Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 29, 1968
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( iblication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS April 29, 1968. CAPITAL MARKETS DEVELOPMENTS IN THE UNITED STATES and municipal bond markets. The volume of new municipal securities expected this week will about equal I volume of the past year, while the corporate volume will be substantially lower. Featured among the municipal issues will be the negotiated offering of $96.5 million of New York State Housing Finance Agency revenue bonds. The largest corporate issue will be the Columbia Gas System's $50.0 million of debentures. Long-term Public Security Offerings (In millions of dollars) Corporate New Capital I Refunding 1/ State and local Government New Capital I Refunding Sold: 52 week avg. April 19 26 324 248 r/398 162 r/216 182 175 250 Scheduled: May 1/ 3 Federal Reserve estimates are based upon published reports of I issues sold and scheduled for offering; corporate rights offerings are included as of date subscription rights expire. Yields on new and seasoned corporate bonds advanced last week. The new issue series set a new high, one basis point above the previous ::ecord set the week of February 10, 1968. The increase in the new issue series, however, was somewhat overstated owing to the non-representative level it showed the previous week. The main component of last week's series—the Pennsylvania Bell Telephone issue--carried the highest net interest cost for a Be LI system issue since 1921. The new record yield, however, led to a rapid sell-out of the issue. Yields on municipals advanced sharply last week, but in thiis market new issues were not as well received. By the end of the week, about 65 per cent of the week's offerings had been sold. There was, however, little hange in the volume of dealer inventories advertised in the Blue List. Home-mortgage interest rates. With pressures on mortgage rates as well as other rates mounting further, secondary market yields on FHA-insured new-home mortgages, which had fallen slightly in February to 6.78 per cent, turned upward again in March to a record high of 6.83 per cent. Interest rates H. 14 Yields on Security Markets High-Grade Notes and Bonds Change from preceding week Levels Latest Week Corporate New Seasoned 6.65 6.22 23 2 5.33 5.88 5 18 • U.S. Government . Long-term : 3-5 year State and local Govt. 10 10 4.18 4.47 Moody's Aaa Std. & Poor's high grade Money Market 5.68 Federal funds Treasury bills 3-month 6-month 24 1 5.63 5.50 Corporate Bonds Still in Syndicate Date Offered 4/18 4/17 Amount (millions of $) 50.0 15.0 Issuer ' Reoffering Yield Province of Quebec, 7's - 1989 Rating Estimated proportion sold 85% 7.25 Massachusetts Electric, 7-1/8 's - 1998 6.85 30% Blue List of Municipal "Dealers' Advertised Inventories Latest Week 606(4/23/68) End of Previous Week 599 Recent jligh 849(4/26/67) H. 14 on conventional mortgages for new homes also rose by 5 basis points t:o reach the rate for existing homes at 6#80 per cent — a record level for both types of mortgages as reported by the Federal Housing Adminstrat:ion. However, while new-home mortgages were reaching this average for the first time in March, existing home mortgages continued about unchanged since a 10 basis point rise in January. Related data for conventional first mortgage loans on sing;le-family homes from the Federal Home Loan Bank Board indicated a similar pattei:rn toward further tightening injlarch. The FHLBB series, which tends t0 lag the FHA series, showed a 3-basis point increase in the contract rate on loans for new homes to 6.50 per cent, also a new high, with the rate for existing home loans unchanged from February, at 6.58 per cent. While lenders remained quite selective in March, average maturities and loan-to-price ratios for qualified borrowers continued to be relatively liberal, according to the FHLBB. Average maturities for such loans actually lengthened further during March, from 25.5 to 25.6 years for new and from 22.6 to 23.1 years for existing homes. Loan-to-price ratios, even though dipping somewhat in both cases, were still near earlier highs, at 74.1 per cent for new and 73.2 per cent for existing homes,, Moreover, average loan amounts continued to rise as purchase prices increased. Savings Flows. Seasonally-adjusted March inflows to nonbaik depositary institutions continued the improvement shown in February. Financial conditions during that period, including moderated short-term market yields and slackened stock market activity, contributed to increased inflows. The first quarter growth rate (seasonally adjusted) for mutual savings banks was well above that for the fourth quarter, while at savings and loans associations first quarter growth was slightly below the fourth quarter rate--reflecting primarily the adverse January experience at savings and laans associations. More information on savings flows in presented in the tabl page', $. Stock market credit. Figures for stock market credit extended by brokers continue to be distorted by the wide swings in trading volume which have been occurring this year. Thus, although customers' net debit balances showed a decline of $169 million in March, margin debt increased $80 million during the month. The more reliable series on securities loans to others than brokers and dealers by large banks showed a drop of $47 million, but this decline may merely reflect the loss of credit extended to purchasers of convertible bonds, who, since March 11, have been able to do their Convertible bond margin trading more easily, and on the same terms, at brokerages Customers' free credit balances declined $76 million, but these net withdrawals may simply have been made to meet April 15 tax payments. Thus, the true direction of stock market credit let alone the underlying reasons fcjr the movements in the data are definitely in doubt in most cases, and it imprudent to attach any significance to the changes at this point. Stock prices. Common stock prices rose sharply last week in trading volume which was heavy by any standards other than those of the past few weeks. At the close Friday the Standard & Poor's index of 500 stocks stood at 97.21, up 1.36 from the previous Friday and only 0.36 below the all-time high reached last September 25. Trading volume, averaged 13.7 million shares a day. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H. 14 STOCK MARKET CREDIT (In millions of dollars) Months Outstanding: 1955-56 High 1957-•58 Low 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1965 - High Low High Low High Low 1964 - Dec; 1965 - Dec. 1968 - Mar. Total Customer Net Debit balances with NYSE member firms 4,047 (5/56) 2,823 (12/56) 3,554 (1/58) 2,482 (12/57) 1,255 (4/56) 1,873 430 1,069 (1/55) 1,060 (11/57) 1,344 188 807 (4/57) 1,373(5) 1,121 (5) 1,377 (8) 1,269 (9) 1,727 (12) 1,865 (2) 2,044 1,801 2,572 1,856 3,892 2,882 318 237 385 235 597 446 3,393 2,889 n. a. 517 | 1,169 687 | 1,666 n. a.! 2,692 4,876 (7) 7,298 (11) 6,833 (7) 3,401 3,004 4,259 3,562 5,586 4,863 7,053 7,705 9,586 5,079 5,521 7,212 1,974 2,184 2,374 369 101 107 240 437 4 218 185 43 830 -122 -380 -169 24 60 9 8 30 65 75 86 19 22 -32 -11 -47 4,764 (4) 4,142 (5) 5,602 (12) . (4) (7) (12) (7) (11) (7) Broker & Healer Credit Credit Customers Money Bank loins to others net free orrowed than brokers and dealers for purchas- Cust.I Other credit balances & carrying secur, coll.I coll 1,257 940 1,508 1,091 (3) (4) (4) (9) 1,211 (U) 1,192 (8) Change in outstanding: 1967 - Mar. Apr. MayJune July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1968 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 393 161 116 248 467 69 293 271 62 852 -154 -391 -216 n.a. 1 n.a.! n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.: n.a. n. a. 199 -57 142 11 110 -60 120 112 -13 263 179 -174 -76 MMiiliSli-li'li" SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK DEPOSITARY INTERMEDIARIES ($ millions) Date Mutual Savings Banks Regular Deposits Annual Net Growth . Rate Flow Net New £' Money Savings & Loan Asso<Nations Share Capital Annual Net Net Growth New 2 / Rate y MoneyFlow Total Deposits Annual Growth . Net Flow Rate — Net New 2 / Money — Not Seasonally Adjusted 1965 1966 1967 3,563 2,591 5,079 7.4% 4.9 9.3 1967 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 433 319 727 •W 1968 - Jan. Feb. Mar.r/ 262 350 645 —— . — -- , 8.3, 3.3 9.1 1,527 227 2,376 8,396 3,656 10,686 331 286 260 309 764 1,457 —— 162 301 117 -251 584 1,255 -- 4,458e -552 6,136 -- —- 11,959 6,247 15,765 290 741 787 742 1,083 2,184 -270 560 539 11 934 1,900 8.0% 3.8 9.2 —— -— 5,985e -325 8,512 621 1,027 1,047 -108 861 656 — mm -- " Seasonally Ad lusted 1967 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 338 340 302 6.9 6.9 6.1 —— 1968 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 244 439 427 4.9 8.8 8,5 —— 1/ — — -— 652 544 560 6.4 5.3 5.5 249 615 866 2; 4 6.0 9,3 -- 11,892 10,596 10,356 6.6 5.8 5.7 5,916 12,648 15.516 3.2 6.9 8.4 . --- Net New Money is deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of the total resources of the industry. SOURCES: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. Estimated. £,/ Preliminary. ' EXHIBIT A. Part 1 LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS, HIGH-GRADE Weekly /» fer CORPORATE Aaa U.S. r STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aaa 1963 1964 1965 1966 1167 Iff! cewt Exhibit A -- Jfaru jlI Date 1959-60 - High 1966 - High - Low 1967 - High - Low Corporate j Aaa 1/ 4.61(1/29/60) 5.52(9/9) 4.73(1/7) 6.24(12/29) 5.00(2/10) State and U.S. Govt. | local long-term 2/, government Aaa 3/ (per cent) 4.42(1/8/60) 4.87(9/2) 4.42(1/7) 5.49(11/17) 4.37(2/3) 3.65(9/24/59) 4.04(8/25) 3.39(1/13) 4.15(12/28) 3.25(2/9) Spread between U.S. Govt, and Corporate | State and x Aaa | local Aaa .59(8/5/60) .84(12/30) .14(2/18) .92 .44 .92(4/22/60) 1.19(2/11) .77(9/2) 1.51 .74 1.13 1968 - Mar. 29 5.41 4.28 6.17 .76 6.20 5.25 1.07 4.18 .95 Apr. 5 5.21 12 1.13 6.19 4.08 .98 6.20 .92 4.08 5.28 19 1.20 26p/ 6.22 5.33 4.18 1.15 .89 £/ Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. For spreads, high refers to widest, and low to narrowest. EXHIBIT B, Pari 1 L O N G - T E R M B O N D YIELDS, LOWER GRADE Weekly CORPORATE Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Baa 1963 1964 1966 1117 Exhibit B — Corporate Baa 1/ Date Part II State and local govt. Baa 3/ (per cent) Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local j>ovt. 1959-60 - High Year end- 1965 1966 - High Low 1967 - High Low 5.36(2/12/60) 5.04 6.18(12/30) 5.05(1/14) 6.97(12/29) 5.81(4/14) 4.46(1/7/60) 3.79 4.55(8/25) 3.78(1/20) 4.73(12/28) 3.85(4/13) .84 .31 .81 .31 .82 .63 1.08 .39 .62 .31 .81 .37 1968 - Mar. 29 Apr. 5 12 19 6.93 6.98 6.98 6.95 6.96 4.91 4.84 4.83 4.83 4.84 ;76 .78 .79 .75 .74 .63 .66 .75 .75 .66 26D/ KTA4*N • E./ I?ZM Preliminary. EXHIBIT C. Part S H O R T - A N D I N T E R M E D I A T E - T E R M INTEREST RATES GOVERNMENT Weekly 6-MONTH m i s 3-3 YEA* ISSUES r.W. IISCtUNT RATE 3-MONTH DLLS M a r k e t Yields 1963 1964 1965 1966 1117 Exhibit C -- Part II Discount rate 1959-60 - High Year end - 1965 1966 1966 - High Low 1967 - High Low 1968 - Mar. 29 Apr. 5 12 1 19 26p / | 4.00 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.50 5.50 3-month bills y 4.59(1/8/60) 4.47 4.80 5.52(9/23) 4.39(6/24) 4.99(12/29) 3.41(6/9) 5.14 5.20 5.35 5.39 5.63 Yields 6-month bills 2/ (per cent) 5.07(1/8/60) 4.66 4.92 5.92(9/23) 4.53(6/24) 5.50(12/15) 3.74(6/2) 5.32 5.29 5.44 5.51 5.50 3-5 year issues U Spread between yields on 3-mo. bills and yields on 6-mo. bills 13-5 vr. issues 5.00(12/24/59) 4.90 4.86 5.83(9/2) 4.80(4/8) 5.80(11/10) 4.36(4/7) .79 .19 .12 .52 o 09 .62 .01 1.81 .43 .06 .78 .01 1.61 . 02 .18 5.77 .09 5.53 .09 5.48 .12 5.70 -13 5.88 at the Federal Reserve Bank or Series of 3-5 2/ Market yield; weekly averages computed from daily closing bid prices ~ year issues consists of selected notes and bonds. Note—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. For spreads, high refers to widest, and low to nariowest. g/ Preliminary. .63 .33 .13 .19 .25 EXHIBIT D, Port 1 S H O R T - A N D I N T E R M E D I A T E - T E R M INTEREST RATES, B A N K S A N D OTHER P R I V A T E BORROWERS Weekly PRIME RATE FINANCE CI Directly p l a c e d . 3-6 M o n t h * F.R. DISCOUNT RATE FEDERAL FUNDS 1964 1965 1966 1HI Exhibit D — Date Prime rate 1/ Part II Finance company •paper 2/ Federal funds 3/ Spread between 3-mo. bills and finance co. paper (per cent) 1959-60 - High Year end- 1964 1965 1966 1966 - Low 1967 - High Low 5.00 4.50 5.00 6.00 5.00(3/4) 6.00(12/29) 5.50(12/1) 5.13(1/22/60) 4.06 4.75 5.88 4.75(1/7) 5.75(1/6) 4.38(6/23) 4.00(5/13/60) 4.00 4.63 5.63 , 3.55(1/21) 5.25(1/6) 3.40(10/27) 1.02 .23 .28 1.08 .20 1.33. .21 .26 5.35 6.00 5.50 1968 - Mar. 29 .30 5.50 5.73 Apr. 5 6.00 5.58 .15 12 6.00 5.50 19 .24 5.63 5.70 6.50 .12 5.68 5.75 26a/ 6.50 1/ Weekly rate shown is that in effect at end of period. Prime rate is that charged by large banks on short-term loans to business borrowers of the highest credit standing. 2/ Average of daily rates published by finance companies for directly placed paper for varying maturities in the 90-179 day range. 3/ Weekly average of daily effective rate, which is the rate for the heaviest volume of purchase and sale transactions as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Note.-Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. For spreads, high refers to widest, and low to narrowest. I)/ Preliminary. EXHIBIT E, Port 1 STOCK MARKET STOCK MARKET CREDIT YIELDS 1 1 "ii iii Ii i i i M II i 1 I 1 i U 1 I 1.1. 1 1 II 1 1 i IIi i i i. i i1 1 1 I I 1. 1 I'l l I 1963 v 1964 1965 19B6 1117 1 1 1 U 1 11.1 N i l III Exhibit E -- Part II Stock price index 1/ Common stock yields 2/ (per cent) Trading Stock market customer credit volume 2/ Customers' Bank (millions Total debit bal- loans to of shares) ances 4/ "others"5/ (In millions of dollars) 1961-62 - High Low 1966 - High Low 1967 - High Low 72.04(12/8/61) 52.68(6/22/62) 93.77(2/11) 73.20(10/7) 97.26(10/6) 82.18(1/6) 2.82 3.96 3.01 3.97 3.01 3.58 10.1 2.4 10.7 5.0 12.3 6.9 1968 - Feb. Mar. 90.75 89.09 3.28 3.34 9.2 9.2 5,602(12/61) 4,259(12/61) 1,418(5/9/62) 4,424(1/61) 3,253(1/61) 1,161(3/8/61) 7,997 5,835 2,241(7/6) 7,302 5,169 2,097(12/14) 10,347(12/67) 7,883(12/67) 2,507(11/1) 7,345(1/6) 5,290(1/67) 2,055(1/25) 9,802 n.a. 7,381 n.a. 2,421 2,374 96.53 3.09 n.a. 15.9 n.a. 2,349 n.a, 95.85 n.a. 3.11 14.9 r/2,356 97.21 3.07 13.7 n.a. n.a. n.a. Not Available. £/ Preliminary, r/ Revised. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43=10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Friday's only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. 3/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. Year-end figures are averages of daily figures for the year. . 4/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U.S. Government securities. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others,. For further detail see Bulletin. 1968 - Apr. 12 19 JM. EXHIBIT F. Port I MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS^ HOME MORTGAGES: Aaa CORPORATE BONDS: r\ 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 U v Exhibit F Conventional mort25-year 30-year gages 3/ m mortgages 1957 1958 1959-60 1961-66 1966 1967 - High Low High Low High High Low 5.63 5.35 6.24 5.43 6.73 —— — —— — — 5.44 6.81 6.81 6.29 6.00 5.55 6.30 5.80 6.70 6.65 6.40 Part II Spread between yields on conv. & FHA mort-, y gages .47 .15 .23 .25 .30 .11 -.12 Aaa (:orporate Bonds Spread between yields on new cor6/ porate bonds and New*' Seasoned"" FHA ijatgs. Seasoned M I bonds 4.94 3.65 5.25 4.12 5.82 6.53 5.20 4.12 3.57 4.61 4*19 5.49 6.07 5.03 1.:58 B8 l.i69 V ' l.:LI 1 26 *i 24 1.03 .05 .73 -.16 .46 .46 ,17 6.53 .46 -.12 6.07 .24 n.a. 6.65 Nov. 6.77 .32 .30 6.51 6.19 n.a. 6.81 6.70 -.11 Dec. .07 6.24 n.a; -.06 6.17 6.81 6.75 Jan. 1968 -.03 6.29 6.10 .49 .19 n.a. Feb. n. a. .45 Mar. -.03 .27 6.56 6.11 Neither mortgage nor bond yields take into account servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than bonds. Generally* bonds pay interest semi-annually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a sepi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. 2/ Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Separate data available for 25-year and—beginning July 1961—30-year mortgages with minimum downpay yments, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, apssuming prepayment period of 12 years for 25-year mortgages and 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Over the period for which they can be compared, the movement of the two mortgage yield series has been similar. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rates. 3/ Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) oi conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring office cities. Beginning with April 1960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate iicates this related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line infi change in the series. L 4/ FHA mortgage yield data are for 25-year mortgages through June 1961; 30 -year mortgages thereafter. 5/ See note for Exhibit G. 6/ Moody's Investor Service. Monthly averages of daily data. See Exhibit A. n.a. Not available. 1967 17 a# EXHIBIT F, Pari HI C O N V E N T I O N A L M O R T G A G E TERMS y MATURITY NEW EXISTING 1 LOAN/PRICE RATIO NEW EXISTING 1964 1966 1968 * CHANGE IN SERIES 80 Exhibit F Part IV New Homes Con- Fees & EffecLoan/ Con- Fees & tract Charges tive Maturity Price Loan tract Charges Rate (Per Rate (Years) Ratio Amt. Rate (Per (Per cent) (Per cent) ($000) (Per cent) 3/ 2/ cent) 2/ cent) Existing Homes Loan/ EffecMaturity Price Loan tive Rate (Years) Ratio Amt. (Per ($000) cent) . 3/ 1967- Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 6.34 6.31 6.25 6.23 6.31 6.28 6.31 6.34 6.33 6.41 0.82 72.8 0.76 0.84 6.47 6.43 6.37 6.35 6.43 6.40 6.44 6.47 6.45 6.54 24.6 24.8 25.3 25.2 25.2 25.2 25.3 25.4 25.3 25.4 73.2 74.0 74.0 73.9 73.7 74.2 73.8 73.4 72.7 0.86 6.52 25.4 25.5 25.6 72.9 74.5 74.1 0.77 0.77 0.76 0i77 0.78 0.78 0.82 19.4 19.8 20.4 0.78 0.74 0.70 0.67 0.70 0.72 0.73 0.78 0.77 0.83 6.44 6.34 6.29 20.8 6.28 21.0 6.30 21.0 6.34 2L4 6.36 21.5 6.51 21.7 22.2 22.4 6.57 6.58 6.58 21.2 6.39 21.2 6.42 19686.39 Jan. Feb. vi 6.47 Mar. j>/ 6.50 Notes 0.94 0.88 6.62 6.64 0.82 0.81 0.78 6.56 6.46 22.5 22.3 22.3 6.46 22.8 6.40 6.39 6.41 22.8 22.7 6.47 6.52 6.55 6.64 22.5 22.5 22.7 23.1 6.70 6.71 6.71 22.6 22.7 23.1 17.0 17.2 17.5 72.5 72.6 72.7 72.5 72.9 73.4 72.7 73.0 72.9 73.1 17.4 17.3 18.3 18.4 73.7 73.6 73.2 18.4 18.0 18.7 18.2 18.1 18.1 New series beginning 1965 as shown in table; related revision of chart isj pending, r/ Revised. ~1J Compiled' by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups, (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning, or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; a n d — i n this exhibit—permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to owner-builders. Data prior to 1965 on a comparable basis with the new series are pending. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of regional-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-)-in the case of new home mortgage rates—in Exhibit F Parts I and II. 2/ Fees and charges—expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount—include ~~ loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. 3/ Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the c ~ interest rate. -tOr A. \ '' EXHIBIT yields o n new and seasoned c o r p o r a t e G. Pari 1 bonds Weekly I.S Adjusted to Aoo Basil NEW ISSUES II 5.8 5.0 SEASONED Aaa 4.5 4.1 1964 1965 IMS $ Exhibit G - II Yields on New Corporate Bond Issues Adjusted\to an Aaa basis Number of issues Number |Am't. of issues Average of included (mill. yield (per cent) issues 1 of dollars) Am't. of issues Average yield included (mill* (per cent) of dollars) Monthly averages: 1968 - Jan Feb. Mar. 13 13 10 567.0 564.5 350.0 6.24 6.29 6.56 Feb. Mar. 6.21 2 9 16 23 76.0 237.0 42.5 6.23 6.30 6.29 1 8 15 12 29 70.0 6.48 85.0 135.0 130.0 6.44 6.58 6.64 205.0 2 4 4 6.58 50.0 5 1 Apr. 6.41 25.0 12 1 Weekly averages 6.42 215.0 19 3 6.65(4/26/68) High 6.65 125.0 fa/ 2 6.18(1/12/68 Low Note: Averages of offering yields on all new issues of publicly offered corporate bonds rated Aaa, Aa, and A by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government) weighted by size of offering. Before averaging, new offerings are adjusted to a composite Aaa basis by deducting from the actual reoffering yield the excess of the weekly average yield for seasoned bonds of the appropriate industry-quality group over the composite average for seasoned Aaarated bonds (Moody's). Averages considered unrepresentative because of special characteristics of the offerings included are denoted by an asterisk. Exhibit H Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) January February March April May -June £/ 1,689 £/ 1,566 e/ 2,010 . e/ 1,725 July . August September October ^November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter e/ 5,265 let half Three quarters Year Corporate 1967 pltal 5 1 1968p/ 1966 State and local 2/ 1968p/ 1966 1967 1,648 1,399 2,317 1,302 1,237 2,446 1,134 £/l,175 £/1,356 1,482 1,194 1,439 1,188 858 865 1,973 1,474 2,611 " 1,553 1,058 2,364 e/1,100 1,111 1,222 1,497 1,193 901 1,141 2,454 2,407 1,723 1,039 1,670 1,382 943 858 1,324 701 773 1,020 2,289 1,467 2,336 829 1,085 1,635 974 1,424 1,060 755 969 940 4,115 3,830 3,125 3,458 2,911 3,235 2,494 2,664 7,945 11,070 14,529 6,146 8,640 11,304 5,364 6,058 6,584 , 6,092 4,985 , 4,975 4,091 3,550 9,959 14,050 17,601 11,421 18,007 24,098 £/3,665 Excluding finance companies 3/ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Year £/ V 2J Y/ 5,207 5,913 6,338 5,657 4,924 4,884 3,969 3,188 23,115 17,269 Preliminary. Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total new capital Issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. -18.- Exhibit I New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) Gross proceeds for new capital and refunding 1/ Common Memo: Bonus Foreign Publicly Privately and pfd. issues Offered Placed stock included Net proceeds Quarter or Month Total 1966 - IV 3,669 2, 047 L ,247 375 117 1,232 984 417 1967 - I II III IV 5,464 6 ,208 6,833 6,294 3, 263 4,,017 4,604 3,,107 1.,811 1,,465 1,,551 2 ,137 390 726 678 1,051 60 65 234 93 997 2,442 3,014 1,268 2,792 1,219 1,255 543 548 595 269 1968 le/ 5,421 2,459 2;,013 949 77 1,446 353 1967 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,362 2,016 1,519 2,673 2,589 2,481 1,763 2,409 1,500 2,385 1.,618 1;,368 965 1:,684 1 ,889 1 ,813 902 1 ,375 645 1 ,087 601 410 396 659 486 418 647 566 551 1 ,020 143 238 158 330 214 250 214 469 304 278 15 16 32 17 213 13 8 34 19 40 503 394 403 471 446 509 265 573 404 278 145 107 91 350 39 356 200 119 82 68 1968 1,757 1,604 Mat. e.'2,060 903 796 760 326 223 400 61 n.a. 418 543 485 182 146 25 is# —j—preliminary, e/ 528 585 900 16 Public CommuniUtility cations Iss Mfg. 1,128 588 1,298 925 1,229 637 906 I Estimated by Federal Reserve, n.a. - Not available. and othet I transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. SOURCE: Securities and Exchange Commission. -rt- Exhibit J Other Security Offerings (In millions of dollars) Gross Long-term 1/ Federal Agency 3/ Foreign Government 2/ 1966 1967 1968 p/ 1967 1*68 £/ January February March April May June July August September October November December Year 123 49 196 —— 223 27 . 13 170 22 586 193 66 142 18 1,656 • 12 40 40 66 69 76 72 7 50 23 74 68 597 999 550 8,180 6,806 January February March April May June July August September October November DecemberJan. - Mar. p / -215 / Year -177 1,721 422 __ 503 410 392 699 1,030 1,084 799 400 450 800 239 New short-term 4/ State\ and local Government 5/ Federal Agency 1 179 103 490 -179 300^/ ' 387 39 -552 436 89£ -594 -319 -454 -604£/ 827 580 -559 515 462 109 -334 -187 93 -103 -158 20 270 -262 593 • -161 1,407 32 -48 606 414 503 49 573 -570 36 -514 -28 1966 1,251 783 750 650 810 650 407 250 599 708 710 612 660 ; 3/ 308 -24 450 718 85 284 -590 -270 -652 -555 -283 219 310 £/ Preliminary, e/ Estimated by Federal Reserve, n.a.—Not available. 1/ These data differ from those in Exhibit H in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more than one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the U.S. by foreign governments and their political subdividions and international organizations. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 3/ Issue's not guaranteed by U.S. government. Source; Long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; short-term, Treasury Dept. & Fed. Reserve. 4/ These data differ from those in Exhibit H and above in that they represent new offerings less retirements, whether from the proceeds or refunding issues or from other funds. Data include only issues with original maturity of one year or less. 5/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, « warrants, or certificates and Public Housing Auth. notes. In some instances PHA notes included mav have a somewhat longer maturity than 1 year. Source: Bond Buyer & Federal Reserve. _<*„ Exhibit K Large Long-term Public Security Iaauea for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treaaury) 1/ Proceed# of Large Iaauea Offered (In milliona of dollara) Total 1967 - Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct, Nov. Dec. 1968 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Bonia (other than 1,435 956 771 1,072 890 1,288 473 897 461 460 652 575 415 1,638 1,311 870 1,666 1,340 1,705 794 1,458 826 978 904 757 788 Convertible bonda 140 213 55 409 317 350 257 285 150 437 168 105 135 Stocka and local sovernmenta 63 142 44 185 133 67 65 276 215 81 85 77 238 669 512 496 875 483 473 847 505 865 633 785 591 736 Other 2/ 1,000 540 391 825 85 221 400 50 845 627 1,095 389 ! 1,030 Lferge Individual Issues Offered April 1 through April 26. laauer Type £/ Keystone Steel & Wire Co. New Jersey Bell Tele. Co. Sundstrand Corporation Southland Corporation Indiana Head, Inc. Potomac Edison Co. Amount (millions of dollars) S.F. debs. 30.0 Debs. 50.0 Conv. sub, debs. 30.0 Com. stk. 18.4 25.0 Conv. debs. 1st mtg. & coll. tr. bds. 25.0 Sears, Roebuck Inc. S.F. debs. 100.0 Allied Chemical Debs. 100.0 Gtaphic Sciences Conv. debs. 15.0 20.0 Massachusetts Electric Co. 1st mtg. bds. Cum. pfd. stk. 35.0 Duke Power Co. Debs. Bell Telephone of Pa. 100.0 Conv. debs. 28.0 Lucky Stores General Telephone of the Southwest 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 Maturity Coupon rate or net inters est cost Offering yield Rating 7.25 1993 2008 1993 7-1/4 6-5/8 5 6.60 5.00 Baa Aaa Ba 1993 5-1/2 5.50 B 1998 1993 1993 1983 1998 7.00 6-3/8 6.80 6.38 6 7-1/8 A Aa A 6.85 2008 1993 6.82 5.00 6.75 5.00 1998 6-7/8 6.90 -IW v1 6.60 6.60 6.00 Aaa B Large Individual Issues Offered April 1 through April 26. (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Amount (millions of dollars) Maturity Coupon Offerrate or ing net interyield est cost Rating State & local Govt, (cont'd) San Francisco, California San Francisco, California Washington Suburban Sanitary District, Maryland Detroit, Michigan California Dept. of Water Resources California Dept. of Water Resources California Dept. of Water Resources . Penna. State Highway & Bridge Authority Oakland Co., Michigan Montgomery Co., Pennsylvania Calcasieu Parish, Louisiana State of Rhode Island San Diego Unif. Sch. Dist., California San Franisco B.A.R.T. m Vermont (Montpelier) New York City Puerto Rico Water Resources Authority .Houston Ind. Sch. District Baltimore, Maryland State of Rhode Island G. 0. G.O. 21.3 1969-1988 10.5 1969-1988 4.07 4.06 3.50-4.10 3.40-4.10 Aa Aa Rev. -Ut. G.O. 25.0 1969-1998 13.9 1969-1992 4.55 5.13 3.60-5.25 3.90-5.25 A Baa Rev. -Rent. 26.01998 A-1 101.0 2018 5.20 A-1 4.00-4.80 A-l Aa A-l Aa Baa A-l Rev.-Rent. 23.0 1972-1988 5.20 1 Rev.-Rent. G.O. G.O. Rev. -Rent. G.O. 75.0 16i9 11.0 12.5 15.1 1968-1989 1972-2002 1969-83 1984 1970-88 4.48 4.94 3.94 5-5/8 4.10 3.90-5.05 3.90-5.00 3.40-3.95 4.50-5.10 3.60-4-1/8 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 10.0 70.0 25.0 98.1 1971-90 1972-99 1969-1987 1969-98 4.27 4.48 4.92 3.75-4.30, ,A 1 3.75-4.60-^ Aa 3.40-4.00 Aaa 3.85-5.20 Baa-1 Rev.-Rent. G.O. G.O. G.O. 38.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 1970-2000 1969-93 1970-98 1970 4.54 4.53 4.23 4 - 5.06 A 3.70-4.63 ,A 3.85-4.65^ A 4.00 S.F. debs. 75.0 1993 7-1/8 7.17 S.F. debs. Debs. Bonds 20.0 1993 50.0 1989 225.0 1970 7 7 7.15 7.25 5.95 Other Lakehead Pipeline New Brunswick Higher Ed. Comm., 'Canada Province of Quebec Federal Home Loan Bank Board 6.00 K-3 FOOTNOTE; * Rights offering. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruct lion and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. 3/ In the case of State and local Government Securities, 6.0. denotes general obligation; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. 4/ Bonds due 1998-1999 were not reoffered. 5/ Bonds reoffered to yield 4% due 1993^98 were not reoffered. L\ H. 14 Exhibit L Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offering for M w Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) V Expected Proceeda from Forthcoming Large Iaauea (In milllone of dollars) During month following Amt* ahown State and Other %f Corporate local 1967 -Mar. Apr. May June July . Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1968 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 31 30 31 30 31 31 30 31 30 31 31 29 31 767 963 1,449 1,636 1,261 694 534 1,357 826 968 531 873 758 227 326 596 401 512 783 768 505 865 633 449 683 494 -— 70 100 40 -- 100 65 50 845 402 60 130 15 Corporate Subsequent to date shown State and local govt. 247 346 616 402 575 903 889 743 684 ,076 937 ,079 624 905 1,262 2,065 1,922 1,576 1,335 1,090 2,694 2,129 1,892 736 1,105 935 Other H 15 85 115 70 150 159 126 260 875 502 75 265 125 Forthcoming Large Offerings as of April 26, 1968. Issuer .8 Amount (millions of dollars) Type Approximate date of offering Corporate Indiana & Michigan Electric Co. Indiana & Michigan Electric Co. National Aviation Corporation Dial Fiance Company Universal Oil Products Co. Columbia Gas System Chase Manhattan Bank Consumers Power Co. El Paso Electric Company Commonwealth Edison Northern States Power Company Northern States Power Co. Chesapeake & Potomac Tel. Co. of Virginia SCM Wisconsin Electric Power Co. Indianapolis Power & Light Co. Appalachian Power Company Virginia Elec. & Power Company S.F. debs. 1st mtg. bds. Com. stk. Debs. S.F. debs. Debs. Conv. cap. notes 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Pfd. stk. Debs. Conv. debs. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Com. stk. ^ op) 15.0 35.0 24.2 25.0 25.0 50.0 150.0 55.0 16.0 50.0 45.0 20.0 70.0 41.5 35.0 25.0 55.0 50.0 § April April April May May May May May May May May May 30 30 30(rts.exp.)? 1 1 2 6(rts. exp.l 7 8 9 13 13 May May M&y May May May 14 14(rts. exp.) 15 20 21 22 L-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings as of April 26, 1968. (Cont'd) Type Amount (millions of dollars) Approximate date of offering Corporate (Cont'd) Michigan Wisconsin Pipeline Co. Iowa-Illinois Gas & Electric Co. ^Northern Natural Gas ^American Hoist & Derrick Illinois Bell Telephone ^Burroughs Corporation Piedmont Aviation Dow Chemical Company Montana Power Monongehela Power Company Ogden Corporation LTV Ling-Altec Inc. National Equipment Rental Ltd. Fidelity Corporation Collins Radio Company 1st mtg. p.1. bds. Debs. Debs. Conv. debs. Com. stk. Conv. debs. Conv. debs. Com. stk. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. debs. Sub. debs, w/wts. Conv. sub. debs. Conv. debs. Debs. 50.0 20.0 50.0 15.0 83. 50. 15. 100. 30. 20... 50.10 15 JO 25.0 16.0 35.0 May 23 May 23 May 28 May Indefinite (rts.exp.) Indefinite! Indefiniti Indefiniti Indefinite Indefiniti Indefinite Indefinite Indefiniti Indefinite Indefinite State and local Government State of Texas *New York State Housing Finance Agency Cleveland, Ohio Kansas City, Missouri ^California, State of Los Angeles Flood Control Dist. East Baton Rouge Parish, La. Jefferson, La., Parish-wide Sch. District *Delaware, State of Dallas Co. Jr. Coll. Dist., Texas Detroit, Michigan Los Angeles Co. S.E. Gen'1. Hasp. Authority Cincinnati, Ohio Buffalo, New York ^Florida State Bd. of Education *Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ^Housing Assistance Administration Houston, Texas *Austin, Texas Kentucky Turnpike Authority Los Angeles Dept. of Airports Other ^Montreal Catholic Sch. Comm. ^Canadian Utilities Ltd. 30.0 April 29 96.5 27.1 . 10.0 100.0 April April .May May May May 30 30 G.O. Rev.-Rent. G.O. Rev.-Rent. G.O. G.O. G.O. 10.0 21.0 15.0 22.2 26.5 32.0 G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 22.4 13.9 13.3 25.0 29.4 145.6 Rev.-Rent. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Bonds G.O. G.O. Rev.-Q.-Ut. Rev.-Rent. S.F. debs. S.F. debs w/wts. 20.0 16.0 120.0 35.0 20.0 -#)- 15.0 1 May May May May May May May May May May May May Indefinit Indefinit May 15 Indefinite FOOTNOTES: *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local Government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. Notej Government of Jamaica $15.0 million issue. postponed due to "market conditions". Exhibit M Foreign Government and Corporate Security Offerings and Placements in the United States Part I: Sale Date Amount (millions of dollars) Public Offerings Issuer and Description of Issue A. Sold: Mar. 1 through April 26, 1968. March 28 150.0 International Nickel Company -- Debentures maturing 1993, reoffered to yield 6.85%. April 16 75.0 Lakehead Pipeline Co. — 7-1/8% S.F. debent «res, maturing 1993, reoffered to yield 7.17%. April 17 20.0 New Brunswick Higher Education Commission - (Canada) — 7% S.F. debentures maturing 1993, reoffei ed to yield 7.15%. April 18 50.0 Province of Quebec — 7% debentures maturing 1989, reoffered to yield 7.25%. j B. Indefinite Indefinite May 15 15.0 15.0 20.0 ^ Prospective Offerings New Zealand -- Bonds *** Canadian Utilities, Ltd., -- S.F. debs.-with warrants. Montreal Catholic School Commission -- S.F. debentures. * - Included in table for first time. ** - Issues sold to investors outside of U.S. *** - Issue subject to interest equalization tax. NOTE: Government of Jamaica $15.0 million issue, postponed due to "market conditions". M-2 PART II: Private Placements - Reported January 1 through April 26, 1968. Date Reported / Amount (millions of dollars) Issuer and Description of Issue 1/1/68 1.5 Nicaraguan Hotel Co. — U.S. guaranteed 6% note, maturing June 1, 1987. 1/8/68 12.0 Republic of Portugal -- notes due 1968. 1/15/68 7.0 Home Oil Co. Ltd. (Canada) -- Secured 15 year bonds. 2/5/68 1.5 Caribbean Finance Co. (Puerto Rico) Senior notes due 1/15/80. 2/26/68 "6.0 Aluminio, S.A. de C.V. (Mexico) U.S. 7-1/2%, maturing 1980. . debentures — 3/1/68 12.0 Edmonton (City of Alberta, Canada), U.S.. 6-3/4% debentures maturing Jan., 1993. 3/15/68 35.0 Mexico - (United Mexican States) external 7-1/4% bonds due 3/1/73. Note: For retrospective data on aggregate foreign corporate and government security offerings in the United States see Exhibits I and J. There is no simple relationship between the data shown in the Exhibit and that shown in Exhibits I and J because the latter includes privately placed securities in the period in which funds are actually taken down but only in the amount of takedown while the placements shown in this exhibit are included when reported, frequently with little or no information concerning timing of takedown. , Full or partial takedown may take place both prior and subsequent to the date a placement is reported. -36^