Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 21, 1969
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™=™ L.5.8 Confidential (F.R.) LIBRARY A P R 2 3 1969 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF R I C H M O * ® CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS C a p i t a l Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C. Apr. 21, 1969 INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception YIELDS W E E K ENDING: NEW I S S U E 1 1969 - M a r . Apr. 7 1421 28 4 11 6.72 6.75 6.94 6.99 6.99 r/7.22 "" 7.57 r/7.36 7.28 7.30 7.02 6.97 6.88 n.a. 160 230 226 ... 185 196 525 573 813 513 635 r/548 437 50 25 100 97 90 307 176 365e 100 95 i i 18 25 e/ MOODY'S Aaa CORPORATE BOND MARKET ; VOLUME;2'' PER CENT GROSS BONDS SCHEDULED SOLD BY END OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS OFFERINGS MUNICIPAL E VOLUME 2 YIELDS W E E K ENDING: MOODY'S Aaa 1969 - Mar. Apr. 7 14 21 28 4 11 18; 4.90 4.92 5.02 5.02 5.00 5.08.: 5.00 25ey BOND BUYER 20 BOND INDEX 5.19 5.26 5.29 5.30 5.25 5.29 5.13 GROSS OFFERINGS 94 88 112 154 280 420 328 450 e PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 75 90 83 84 408 575 741 849 79 87 69 , V 969 791 705 ; l Derived by adjusting to an Aap basis, new issues of publicly-offered, corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.) 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated, n. a.-- Not available. TABLE 2: Details on Inventories CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE EMD OF LATEST W E E K ORIGINAL RATING A N D ' • . I - ' YIELD CALL PROTECTION COUPON ISSUER 7 AMOUNT (MIL. $) DATE , OFFERED 4/15 15.0 Public Service of Mew Mexico 7.25 7.30 A 4/2 25.0 Hudson Bay Oil & Gas 7.85 7.85 A y. ' / ' 5 yrs 5 yrs. ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 60% 98% / . \ x DATE OFFERED | RELEASED CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST W E E K ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING A N D ESTIMATED PROCOUPON AMOUNT ISSUER IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED YIELD NONE DATE 1969 - Mar. 21 28 Apr. 4 11 18£/ N.C. - No call protection, others as of Friday; INVENTORIES 1 MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST | IN SYNDICATE . 400 356 356 r/407 394 83 68 106 123 135 p Daily average of three days ended Wednesday. in millions of dollars. Estimated. CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 0 5 17 15 9e V Blue List is daily average; BONDS IN SYNDICATE Millions of dollars CORPORATE B O N D S IN S Y N D I C A T E 200 100 T i i r~~j i i r i i r MUNICIPAL B O N D S IN S Y N D I C A T E T T i — i — ! — r 300 200 100 SEPT. DEC. 67 MAR. JUN. 1968 \ SEPT. DEC. MAR. f —" JUN. 1969 SEPT. DEC. TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields NEW CORPORATE •MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE ISSUES(ADJUSTED Aaa1 TO Aaa BASIS) DATE U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 2 SEASONED STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Aaa3 1966 - High Low 5.99(9/2) 4.82(1/7) 5.52(9/9) 4.73(1/7) 5.04(2/9) 4.50(1/21) 4.04(8/25) 3.39(1/10) 1967 - High Low 6.55(12/8) 5.11(2/10) 6.24(2/29) 5.00(2/10) 5.73(11/7) 4.48(1/20) 4.15(12/28) 3.25(2/9) 1968 - High Low 7.02(12/13) 6.13(8/30) 6.53(1/27) 5.95(9/13) 5.90(12/20) 5.18(8/9) 4.57(12/26) 3.80(8/8) 7.57 7.37 6.94 6.99 6.99 6.97 6.88 6.27 6.22 6.17 6.11 5.97 5.02 5.02 5.00 5.08 5.00 1969 - Mar. Apr. 21 28 3 11 18£/ 7.28 7.32 7.02 Preliminary. Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. Weekly average of daily figures. Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. SOURCE: MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. p V 2 3 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW CORPORATE Aaa K f MOODY'S ^ CORPORATE Aaa U S. GOVT. 20-YR. CONSTANT MATURITIES MOODY'S MUNICIPAL Aaa 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 TABLE 4: Long:term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) NEW CAPITAL 1 PERIOD STATE AND LOCAL 2 - CORPORATE 1969p 1968 1967 1969 p 1968 1967 January February March 2,000e/ 1,8751/ l,950e/ 1,706 1,568 1,740 1,648 1,398 2,317 1,237 973 1,138 1,156 1,394 1,482 1,196 1,438 April % y June " l,925e/ 2,300e/ 1,385 1,825 2,334 1,973 1,474 2,611 1,475 1,314 1,396 1,111 1,229 1,497 2,091 1,394 1,497 2,457 2,406 1,723 1,466 1,688 1,435 943 858 1,300 2,100e/ l,725e/ . 2,000e/ 2,289 1,467 2,336 2,227 997 1,112 974 1,400 1,182 5,014 5,544 4,982 5,825e/ 5,364 6,058 6,584 6,092 3,698 3,850 4,589 4,336 4,119 3,837 3,131 3,556 10,558 15,540 21,365e/ 11,421 18,007 24,098 8,925 12,127 16,463 7,956 11,087 14,643 - July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 5,825e/ 525 900e/ .2,335 1,140 | i | Excluding finance companies 3 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 4,943 5,265 4,882 5,207 5,913 6,338 5,657 23,115 Year Preliminary. ^Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. 1 T A B L E 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH . 6,833 6,294 5,178 5,705 5,133 3,951 1967 - I I I IV 1968 - I I I I I I IV 1969 - I e / 5,937 1,800 1968 - M a r . Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 Jan. Feb.. Mar. TOTAL 1,428 1,867 2,418 2,144 1,433 1,556 2,129 1,767 2,055 2,022 £/ 1,910 2,005 GROSS PROCEEDS FOR NEW CAPITAL A N D REFUNDING T COMMON MEMO: AND ISSUES INCLUDED MFG. PUBLICLY PRIVATELY PFD. FOREIGN CONVERTIBLE STOCK PLACED OFFERED 4,604 3,107 2,465 3,105 2,606 2,555 2,593 1,551 2,137 1,724 1,644 1,361 1,922 1,791 678 1,051 989 956 1,166 1,474 1,553 766 719 1,046 1,340 1,244 637 725 593 438 521 685 528 400 433 441 271 300 385 372 396 398 1,000 595 362 965 591 550 . 650 525 466 483 453 550 939 607 978 810 805 550 234 93 313 172 124 113 n. a . 236 31 89 52 47 49 28 24 49 40 104 n. a . NET PROCEEDS FOR NEW CAPITAL PUBLIC UTILITY 1 2 COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUES 1,632 1,327 584 758 1,037 902 n.a. 2,792 2,527 1,855 1,653 1,599 e/1,675 1,575 1,219 1,255 1,394 1,201 1,143 595 269 411 529 483 1,976 2,040 1,356 2,159 1,758 e/1,385 1,320 e/305 410 e/2»460 2,520 199 139 380 239 605 211 221 761 353 550 750 818 349 432 431 178 549 474 236 438 469 78 189 103 237 236 92 155 469 663 622 874 801 515 442 e/665 s/110 £'410 Pl55 Si! 3 1 0 e/40 e/ 575 e/ 150 1/325 "e/60 200 420 e/700 e/750 •Al,010 e/ 775 IV815 930 365 211 326 371. ±(625 e/410 */640 e/ 5 0 0 i/675 e/400 p Preliminary, e Estimated by Federal Reserve. 1 Gross proceeds exceed net proceeds by the cost of flotation. 2 For total see Table 4; other issuers are extractive, railroad and other tran'sporation, real estate, and finance, and commercial and other. SOURCE: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements ape available. TABLE'S: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) ADril 1 t hrout?h Aoril ISSUER Corporate Public Service Elec. & Gas Company ^Continental Airlines, Inc. l&Tdiflc Tel. and Tel. Co. *Security National Bank Marine Midland Banks Southern Calif. Edison Co. Mortgage Investment Group Union Tank Car Co. *Dayton Power & Light Co. Sybron Corp Dillingham Corp. Continental Computer Assoicf. Texas Power & Light Co. Texas Power & Light Co. Commonwealth Edison Co. Florida Gas Co. Pacific Gas & Elec. Co. *Northwest Airlines Inland Steel Co. General Tele. Co.of,Mich. Public Service Co.of N.Mex Wisconsin Pub. Service Co. Maryland Cup Corp Rochester Gas & Elec. Corp TYPE2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 1st & ref. mtg. bds. 75.0 21.6 Com. stk Com. stk. 15.3 17.3 Com. stk 60.0 Debs. 54.4 Com. stk 45.0 Units Equip, tr. 20.0 ctfs. Cum; pfd .stk. 15.3 S. F. Debs. 30.0 Conv.jub.debs.50.0 Conv.sub.debs.15.0 S. E. debs. ^ 20.0 Pfd. stk. 30.0 1st mtg. bds. 75.0 Conv. debs. 15.0 1st mtg. bds. 80.0 Com. stk. 79.7 1st mtg.. bds. 50.0 22.0 Debs. 1st mtg,. bds. 15.0 1st mtg . bds. 25.0 Conv. debs. 15.0 Pfd. stk. 20.0 MATURITY COUPON; . RATE OR* NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING Aa 1999 7-5/8 7.50 1994 7-5/8 7.67 . — 1989 7-5/8 7.87 A 1994 7-1/2 5-1/2 6-1/2 7-3/4 7,64 5.50 6.50 7.65 A 1994 1989 1994 Aa 1974 1989 2001 7.30 5-3/4 7-1/2 7.30 5.75 7.45 Aaa B Aa 1974, 1994 1999 1999 1994 7.00 7-3/4 7-1/4 7-1/4 5-1/8 7.00 7.77 7.30 7.30 5.13 Aa Baa A A Ba B — ' TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) April 1 through April 18, 1969 ISSUER '• TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE OR NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY1S RATING State & local Government Calif. Dept. of Water Resources Calif. Dept. of Water Resources Calif. Dept. of Water Resources Memphis,; Tenn. Tucson Comm. Center Auth., Arizona State of Virginia N e w Haven Coliseum Auth., Connecticut Port of Oakland, Calif. Chicago^ Illinois Commonwealth of Penna. Kansas City, Kansas Massachusetts Port Authority Essex Co., N e w Jersey ^ Massachusetts Port Auth. R h o d e Island, State of Washington Sub. San. Dist. Maryland New York, New York Fla. State B d . of Educatior San Francisco BART Atlanta, Ga. 5. 75 A-l 5.63 A-l Rev. -Ut. 72.1 2018 5-3/4 Rev. -Ut. 12.3 a 1998 5-5/8 1972-88 1970-94 5.76 5.08 4.50-5.45 4.15-5.45 A-l Aa 12.3 1973-99 1971-84 5.96 4.65 4.75-6.00 4.10-4.70 Aaa 10.0 1975-2009 1971-95 1972-84 1970-98 1970-89 5.78 6.14 5.13 5.62 5.27 4.70-5.80 5.00-6.10 4.60-5.30 4.30-5.80 4.30-5.60 Aa Baa A-l A-l Aa 58.9 2008 5-7/8 5.12 5.20 5.87 4.20-5.30 4.75-5.30 4.30-5.35 Aa -A-l 5.39^ 5.57 5.42 5.27 5.64 4.30-6.00 4.60-5.75 4.20-5.60 4.25-5.60 4.40-5.75 A Baa-1 Aa Aa Baa Rev.-Ut. G. 0. Rev. G.O. Rev. Bonds G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. -Rent. G.O. Rev. -Rent. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. 81.0 1915 11.0 28.0 116.8 16.0 3.1 19.0 23.0 111.1 39.0 70.0 18.0 1970-94 1972-79 1970-89 1970-98 1970-98 1960-98 1972-99 1971-2000 TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 April 1 through 18, 1969 TYPE 1 ISSUER Other AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY \ COUPON RATE OR N E T INTEREST COST 1 OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING 2/ Hudson's Bay Oil & Gas Go. Ltd. (Canada) Federal Land Banks C o l l . t r . bds. Consol. farm loan bds. 25.0 1994 7.85 7.85 181.0 1971 6.80 6.80 Rights offering. , Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues arid non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. In case of State and local government securities, G.0. denotes general obligation; Rev. ->Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; < Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specifib taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. $3 m i l l i o n of this issue had a net interest cost of 5.51%. . TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 As of April 18. 1969. TYPE ISSUER • i AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Corporate Seaboard Finance! Corp. Chrysler Financial Corp. Tenneco, Inc. | *Chelsea Industries^Inc. Sunshine Mining j j Fruehauf Corp. Host International Inc. Potomac Edison Co. Massachusetts Elec. Co. Amfac Inc. ^United Virginia Bancshares Inc. Delmarva Pwr. & Lt., Co. Teledyne Inc. Columbus & Southern Ohio Elec. Co. Union Electric Co. Mid-Contrinent Realty Corporation C.& P. Tele. Co. of West Virginia Cincinnati Gas & Electric Company Wisconsin Elec. Pwr. Co. Kentucky Utilities Co. *Pacific Pwr. & Lt. Co. *Pennsylvania Electric Co. ^American Enka Corporation Houston Lighting & Power Ca Jersey Central Power & Lt. Co. *5outhern New England Tele. Company Long Island Lighting Co. Virginia Electric & Power Company Consumers Power Company Consumers Power Company Florida Power & Light Co. Illinois^ Bell Tele. Co. Beneficial Finance Household Finance Corp. • Hoener Waldorf Corporation *Burroughs Corporation 30.0 100.0 100.0 60.1 25.0 75.0 20.0 15.0 15.0 35.0 April April April April April April April April April April 21 21 21 21 22 22 23 23 24 29 Conv. debs. Pfd. stk Debs. 30.0 20.0 30.0 April April April 30 Debs. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 70.0 May May Debs. Debs. Debs. Conv. Conv. Conv. Conv. w/w. debs. sub. debs. debs. debs. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. debs. 1 5 Conv. debs. 16.0 May 5 Debs. 40.0 May 6 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. debs. 1st mtg. bds. 50.0 40.0 25.0 25.0 28.0 45.0 40.0 May May May May May May May 13 14 19 20 21 22(rts.exp, 22 1st mtg. bds. 33.0 May 26 Debs. 1st mtg. bds. 65.0 40.0 May May 27 28 1st mtg. bds. Pfd. stk. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Debs. Bonds Conv. debs. Conv. debs. 75.0 35.0 50.0 50.0 150.0 50.0 50.0 30.0 100.0 June 3 June 4 June 4 June 12 June 17 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)i ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING State 5c local Government Tallahasse, Florida Boulder Valley Sch. Dist. #R-2, Colorado Ohio, State of Fhila. Sch. Dist., Pa Indianapolis San. Dist., Indiana Phoenix Civic Plaza.Bldg. Corp., Arizona Georgia Education Auth./ Baltimore Co., Maryland *Oregon, State of Delaware River Port Auth., New Jersey . Genesee Co., M i c h i g a n Suffolk Co., New Jersey Penna. State Pub. Sch. Building, Authority New Y o r k State Housing Finance Agency Hawaii, State of Lancaster Area Swr.Auth., Pennsylvania *Denver, Colorado *Madison, W i s c o n s i n *Winston-Salem, N. C. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. & Power King Co., Washington Minnesota, State of Richmond Metro. Auth. Cobb Co., Georgia Arlington Co., Virginia Rev. 19.0 April 21 G.O. G.O. G.O. 10.0 45.0 30.0 April April April 22 22 22 G.O. 14.3 April 22 Rev. G.O. G.O. G.0._ 18.0 22.0 18.0 30.0 April April April April 22 22 23 23 Rev. G.O. G.O. 140.0 30.7 15.5 April April April 23 24 24 Bonds 25.7 April 29 Rev.-Rent. Rev. 60.0 30.0 April April 30 19.0 35.0 12.0 12.0 April May May May Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Bonds Rev. -Ut. G.O. , . 7 8 8 May 28 June 17 Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite Indefinite 20.0 50.0 April 23 Indefinite ' i o 39.0 33,5 33.8 100.0 37.0 13.0 Neon Products of Canada, Ltd. *Quebec, Province of If 2/ Conv. debs.* Debs. Included in table for first time. Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local Government issues of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. TABLE 8: Stock Prices and Volume TRADING1 V O L U M E 2 STOCK PRICES 1 DATE S&P, 500 D.J. - IND. AMEX4 NYSE AMEX 1966 - High Low, 94.06(2/9) 73.02(10/7) 995.15(2/9) 774.32(10/7) 17.00(4.21) 12.07(10/7) 10.7(4/15) 5.0(9/23) 6.1(4/15) 1.3(9/23) 1967 - High Low 97.59(9/25) 80.38(1/3) 943.08(9/25) 786.41(1/3) 24.52(12/29 13.78(1/27) 12.3(12/29) 6.9(1/6) 6.7(10/27 2.1(1/6) 1968 - High Low 108.37(11/29) 985.21(12/3) 87.72(3/5) 825.13(3/21) 33.25(12/24 22.00(3/22) 17.1(7/12) 8.2(3/29) 9.2(5/31) 2.9(3/29) 1969 - Mar. 7 14 21 . 28 98.65 98.00 99.63 101.51 911.18 904.28 920.00 935.48 29.61 29.48 30.00 30.53 9.9 9.2 10.0 10.7 4.5 3.8 4.3 5.0 100.68 Apr. 3 101.65 11 18p /101.24 927.30 30.25 10.9 933.46 924.82 30.31 30.06 10.8 p 1 2 3 4 ; 4.3 5.o 9.7 4.6 Preliminary. Figuresi except highs and lows are Friday's only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Friday's. Averages of daily trading volume on the N e w York and American Stock Exchanges. Millions of shares. 1941-43 = 10 Based on actual dollar value, rather than a formula. STOCK PRICES AND TRADING VOLUME AM EX . Weekly STOCK PRICES AMEX PRICE LEVEL INDEX S&P's 5 0 0 AMEX TRADING VOLUME • ,1, |J H !!#:V - N Y S E TRADING VOLUME i Mi'ljl'ii li lliiiiil;!'!/':.!:,,!! •I I! I • "!v-!' iiii iiliilllllili l:!iiii!ii •iiLniiiiiLiuli! 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1040 104 980 98 920 92 860 86 800 80 740 74 TABLE 9: Stock Market Credit CUSTOMERS' CREDIT EXTENDED TO CUSTOMERS BY: NET DEBIT BANKS 2 | TOTAL BROKERS 1 BALANCES END OF PER10E NET CREDIT CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY FREE CREDIT BROKERS AND DEALERS 3 BALANCES ' Outstanding.; 1968- Mar. Apr. May . June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb- j:/ Mar. j[/ 6,190 6,430 6,640 6,690 6,500 6,460 6,390 6,250 6,200 6,200 5,910 5,760 5,680 2,370 2,350 2,360 2,410 2,420 2,490 2,520 2,560 2,630 2,710 2,750 2,810 2,781 8,560 8,780 9,000 9,100 8,920 8,950 8,910 8.810 8,830 8,900 8,660 8,570 8,461 7,248 7.701 8,268 8,728 8,861 8,489 8,724 8.859 9,029 9,790 9,107 9,148 8,348 2^692 2,979 3,064 3,293 3,269 2,984 3,126 3,407 3,419 3,717 3,597 3,645 n. a. -50 -20 10 50 10 70 30 40 70 80 40 60 -29 -10 220 220 100 -180 30 -40 100 20 80 -240 -140 -109 -171 453 567 460 133 -371 235 135 170 761 -683 -51 -800 -76 287 85 229 -24 -285 142 281 12 298 -120 48 ^ 4*556 4,722 5,204 5,435 5,592 5,505 5,590 5,452 5,610 6,073 5,510 5,503 n. a. Change in: Outstanding 1968- Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb.®,Z Mar. £ / 1 2 3 40 240 210 50 -190 z -40 -70 -140 -50 —— . -290 -200 , -80 -85 166 482 231 156 -86 85 -138 158 563 -501 -7 n.«. Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. TABLE 10:—Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ m i l l i o n s ) . / \ DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS NET REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NEW ANNUAL 2 MONEY GROWTH NET RATE 1 FLOW i. 2,557 5,082 4,186 1966 1967 1968 • 4.9 9.3 7.0 3,584 10,687 7,396 162 301 -251 584 266 350 645 117 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. p./ 218 331 650 -- 106 264 70 1968 - Oct. 1968 - Nov. Dec. 363 395 362 6.9 7.5 6.8 1969 - Jan. Feb." 220 384 4.1 7.2 390 7 . 2 Mar.2/ NET NEW . MONEY 2 Wot Seasonally Ad lusted 227 2,376 1,143 1968 - Jan. Feb. Mar.2./ —— TOTAL SAVINGS ' 6c LOAN ASSOCIATIONS^ \ DEPOSITS ' NET SHARE CAPITAL' ANNUAL NEW . ANNUAL NET GROWTH MONEY 2 . GROWTH NET RATE 1 FLOW FLOW RATE 1 —-- . H* — "* 1,275 3.2 9.4 5.9 — -552 6,129 2,676 I 6,141 1 15,769 11,582 -270 559 541 15 934 1,920 -130 574 r/127 r/941 — r/-91 — r/610 — r/1,312 412 Seasonallv Ad lusted -- . 764 7.1 — 620 5.7 . 620 5.7 — r/523 r/ 587 r/837 4.8 —— 5 . 4 — 7.6 cj 1 , 9 6 2 3.8 9.4 6.3 ' ,1 -325 8,505 3,819 „ -108 860 -- 658 — . 1,127 1,015 932 7.0 6.3 6.1 r/743 r/971 4 . 6 1,227 7.5 6 . 0 "24 838 482 — . —— —— 1 • Annual growth irate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits 2 Net New Money is the net change in deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of the total resources of the industry. 3 Regular deposits at mutual "savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board, p Preliminary. ' , * s&L series reflects FHLB revisions of data shown here through 1968. SAVINGS FLOWS (seasonally adjusted) Monthly ' Millions of dollars 2000 1600 TOTAL 1200 800 400 400 SAVINGS & LOANS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions NET CHANGE ALL SAVINGS & LOAN . ' ASSOCIATIONS OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS MUTUAL ALL SAVINGS SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS DATE (Billions of Dollars, Seasonally Adjusted) 1968- Feb. Mar. Apr j May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969- Jan. Feb.E./ 1 8.4 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.8 9.0 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.9 10.1 ' 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.0 5.9 6.1 6.1 . 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.9 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2:9 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 .04 .17 .14 -.13 .04 .24 .16 .14 .35 .27 -.01 .15 .25 MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS' (N.Y. STATE) If .09 .15 .14 -.16 -.10 .16 .10 .22 .10 .02 .02 .06 .08 .16 .04 . 13 .17 .08 -.10 .08 .07 .03 .22 Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Assoications of New York State. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. -.05 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS OUTSTANDING (saar) Billions of dollars Monthly TOTAL S&L'S MSB'S 1959 1963 1965 1967 1969 22 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings 1 DATE • TOTAL INCLUDING FN MA TOTAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS SAVINGS MUTUAL & SAVINGS LOANS. BANKS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES FNMA 1,860 2,706 2,460 1,947 1,165 1,030 1,066 1,600 -52 -66 66 356 1,683 1,651 373 - 1,219 1,277 1,056 1,044 795 551 508 469 COMMERCIAL BANKS 1965 - I ' II III IV 4,761 6,365 6,469 6,303 4,813 6,431 6,403 5,947 823 1,749 1,805 1,322 965 946 1,072 1,078 1966 - I II III IV 5,425 5,648 3,976 3,056 4,630 5,097 3,468 2,587 975 1,656 1,300 774 753 513 739 715 1967 - 1 II III IV 2,617 4,868 6,285 6,246 2,267 4,762 5,706 5,484 151 1,200 1,751 1,537 770 786 839 758 486 2,119 '2,595 "2,320 860 657 521 869 350 106 579 762 1968 - Jan. 1,403 Feb. 1,577 Mar. 1,788 Apr. 1,969 May 2,227 June " 2,125 July r/1,851 Aug. r/1,982 Sept. r/2,000 Oct. r/2,314 Nov. ir/2,088 Dec. .r/2,483 1,053 1,273 1,514 1,723 1,992 1,905 i /I,699 i /I,841 i /I,892 i /2,153 x /I,943 i /2,311 300 400 400 616 616 616 r/533 r/533 r/746 r/807 r/706 r/404 215 197 137 160 203 219 248 233 221 313 310 340 380 542 789 879 957 901 718 874 810 645 732 903 157 134 188 68 216 169 200 201 115 188 195 664 350 304 274 246 235 220 152 141 108 161 145 172 1,650 n.a. 1,449 n.a. 293 228 622 500 684 134 n. a. 201 221 1969 - Jan. •_ Feb. j 400 . - ' I54 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn.. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and the Federal National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for life-insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS Billions of dollars Monthly I I I I | i I I I i i I I i i i I 3.0 TOTAL, INCL. FNMA FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1966 1967 1968 1969 TABLE 13: Net Increases in Mortgage Debt Outstanding 1 QUARTER TOTAL (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate) 1- to 4- MULTI- 1 RESIDENTIAL 2 FAMILY FAMILY 1 COMMERCIAL 19.65 - I II III IV 24.9 25.2 25.8 26.6 18.6 18.5 19.3 19.6 15 ;1 15.1 15.5 15.8 1966 - I 28.4 23.6 17.8 14.9 19.0 15.3 10.6 9.2 14.7 12.18.3 7.2 1967 - I 11 II cv . 15.5 20,4 26.3 28.5 9.9 13.7 19.1 20.6 1968 - I II II. IV 27.1 26,2 25.8 30.2 18.3 18.6 17,8 21.0 II III - IV MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM 3.5 3.5 3.8. 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.4 4.6 8:0 8.1 8.4 7.9 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.4 4.3 2.3 2.0 7.0 6.1 5.1 3.9 11.7 9.4 7.7 5.6 2.4 2.2 2.1 1.7 6.8 10.5 15.3 16,5. 3.1 3.2 3.8 4.3 3.8 4.8 4.8 5.1 7.3 8.0 8.8 8.8 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 16.3 14.7 2.0 3.9 3.3 4.0 6.3 5.3 6.2 7.7 8.6 9.3 9.8 10.8 14.6 17.0 3.2 __ 2.5 1 2.3 1.8 1.6 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, JLnstitute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfariA mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated by Federal Home Loan Bank Board and the Federal Reserve. Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and multi-family mortgage defc>t combined. r/ Preliminary. NET INCREASES IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING Quarterly Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate TOTAL 24 TOTAL RESIDENTIAL _y / 1-4 FAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTIFAMILY 1965 1967 1969 TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly "Auction" Results , TOTAL OFFERED AMOUNTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 1_ TOTAL 906MONTH Year&ovcr DAY 1969 - Feb. 3 10 17 24 320. 6 285. 7 226. 7 167. 2 80.0 102.4 .100.9 100.1 5.3 6.8 6.9 11.2 35.9 46.2 38.4 48.7 38.8 49.4 55.6 40.1 Mar. 3 118.,9 127. 1 132.,7 220,.9 90.5 84.6 88,5 84,1 11.5 7.5 3.1 3.5 38.1 37.0 45.6 47.4 Apr. 1 7 182 .9 175,.9 93.1 102.5 4.6 8.2 14 21 144 .7 47.2 57.8 . 52.3 WEEK ENDED 10 17 24 Note; 3 IMPLICIT YIELD i z y <101.1 7.9 (100.0)3/ (per cc y 1Year & over 90DAY 6M0NTH 7. 98 8. 0 1 8. 04 8. 09 7.99 8.05 8.09 8.14 7. 82 7. 91 7. 95 8. 00 41.0 40.2 39.8 33.3 8,,13 8.,14 8,.09 8 .10 8.17 8.13 8.08 8.,02 8.,00 7,,95 8.09 7..96 41.4 36.5 40.9 8 .10 8 .12 8 .10 8.11 8.13 7 .98 8 .01 8.10 7 .98 f Under the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an over-all dollar limit announced by F N M A in advance. Bids accepted by FNMA are for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time within the specified period. Bids on proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on w h i c h mortgages may be delivered only . after completion and occupancy. 1 For "proposed construction" of new homes only. 2 Average secondary market yield pfter allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment in 15 years for 30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 50 basis point fee paid by investors to servicers. FNMA aeyaounoed limit of accepted bids for next week's auction. FNMA WEEKLY "AUCTION" RESULTS - • ' $ Millions 120 AMOUNT OF ACCEPTED BIDS BY COMMITMENT PERIOD 100 80 \ 6-MONTHS 40 20 1 YEAR I 90 DAYS IMPLICIT YIELD 8.0 7.6 72 JUNE AUGUST . 1968 OCTOBER : DECEMBER FEBRUARY 1969 TABLE 15: Private housing starts and Permits STARTS 'DATE SEASONALLY A D J U S T E D ^ ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MORE TOTAL UNADJUSTED E OF FINANCING , TYP FHA VA OTHER . 1968 - Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,511 1,591 1,364 1,365 1,531 1,518 1,592 1,570 1,733 1,509 920 591 922 669 838 526 790 575 904 627 867 651 944 648 605 965i 905 828 922 r/585 1969 - Jan. r/ 1,878 Feb. r/ 1,673 Mar. 1,539 r/1,066 r/812 r/974 r/699 825 - 7 1 A 126.6 162.0 140.9 137.9 139.8 136.6 134.3 140.8 127.1 96.4 | 19.6 4.5. 22.6 5.4 20.5 5.5 19.8 5.0 18.8 4.9 20.9 4.8 18.6 4.6 21.4 5.3 17.5, 4.2 16.3 4 . 4 r/101.5 r/14.2 13.2 r/89.5 128.4 18.9 1 3.8 3.5 3.9 BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE)2 102.4 134.0 114.9 113.1 116.2 110.9 111.1 114.0 105.4 75.7 1,416 1,340 1,280 1,281 1,289 1,290 1,393 1,378 1,425 1,463 r/83.5 72.9 105.6 1,403 1,477 1,370 Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and non-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and Va starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. A s reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. apehart military housing units are excluded. Other starts are z ./; derived as a residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly * comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages. Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for about 10,000 areas 2 identified as having a local building;permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning •January 1963, are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. r Revised. p Preliminary. > PRIVATE HOUSING STARTS AND PERMITS Monthly, annual rates Millions of units SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA - A HOUSING STARTS J \ / A r* / A - BUILDING PERMITS (in issuing areas) 1 ' 1 ' * " 1 I ! - | u n , 1 f CHANGE IN SERIES 1 1 1 1 III 1 ! i ! Per PER CENT OF UNADJUSTED TOTAL STARTS MULTI-FAMILY A , (3 or more) , GOVERNMENT UNDERWRITTEN 1 1963 1965 • : 1967 ! 1 I ! 1 1 ! 1 1 11 1 1 1 1 ! ! ! 1 1 1 I 1 • 1969 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV, & FHA MORTGAGES 4 CONVEN2 . DATE 25-YEAR 30-YEAR TIONAL MORTGAGES 3 5.63 5.35 6.24 5.43 6.73 1957 - High 1958 - Low 1959-60 - High 1961-66 - Low 1966 - High 1967 - High Low 1968 - High Low n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1968 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 1 n.a. n.a. n.a. 5.44 6.81 6.81 6.29 7.52 6.78 7.29 7.36 7.50 7.99 6.00 5.55 6.30 5.80 6.70 6.65 6.40 7.30 6.75 .47 .15 .23 .25 .30 .11 -.12 .02 -.27 7.25 7.30 7.40 7.55 7.60 -.04 -.06 . -.10 —— , -.39 1 NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS ~"5 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW • CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES 4.94 3.65 5.25 4.41 5.82 6.51 5.18 6.79 6.15 1.58 .88 1.69 .77 1.16 1.28 .27 1.20 .26 6.47 6.61 6.79 3 6.92 f 6.92 .82 .75 .71 — 1.07 Neither mortgage nor bond yields take into account servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to - a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. 2 Based on FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Separate data available for 25-year a n d — b e g i n n i n g July 1961--30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 12 years for 25-year mortgages and 15 years for 30?year mortgages. Over the period for which they can be compared, the movement of the two mortgage yield series has been similar. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rates. 3 Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring office cities. Beginning with April I960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line indicates this change in the-series. 4 FHA mortgage yield data are for 25-year mortgages through June 1961; 30-year mortgages thereafter. 5 See note for Table-1. (Data prior to 1965 is based on a composite of issues with and without call protection.) n.a. Not available. MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS Monthly . Percent HOME MORTGAGES: CONVENTIONAL Aaa CORPORATE BONDS: NEW ISSUES I 1961 i ! 1963 1965 1967 1969 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms HEW HOMES DATE CON FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY (YEARS) TIVE RATE (PER CENT) RATE (PER 3 CENT) 1 EXISTING HOME! FEES & LOAN/ CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE PRICE LOAM (PER RATIO AMI. RATE RITY RATIO TIVE CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER (PER ($000) (PER CENT) CENT) CENT) 2 3 TQAN7 CONTRACT 6.58 6.59 6.64 LOAN AMT. ($000 1968 6,47 6.50 6.57 .69 6.88 7.04 7.10 Aug. Sept. 7.10 "Oct. 7.09 Nov, 7.07 Dec. 7.09 1969 7.16 " 2b. i'ar. Apr. May. Tune July iSiE/i 0.94 0.88 0.88 0.95 0.95 0.85 0.87 0.87 0.88 0.84 0.89 0.84 7.26 0.80 r ~ Revised. 6.62 0.81 6.64 6.71 6.84 7.03 7.17 7.24 7.24 .7.23 7.21 7.23 25.5 25.7 25.3 25.0 25.4 25.5 25.5 25.5 25.6 25.4 25.9 21.9 74.5 22.2 74.3 '21.9 73.4 7 3 . 2 , '21.7 7 4 . 4 . '22.3 7 3 . 7 . 22.2 22.6 73.6 22.1 74.2 22.7 74.5 22.5 74.1 z 24.7 74.0 6.97 7.10 7.12 7.11 7.09 7.07 7.09 0.85 7.30 7.39 25.6 25.6 73.6 73.2 7.18 7.28 0.86 t d 6.81 22.6 0.84 6.71 6.72 6.77 6.95 7.12 7.23 7.26 7.25 7.22 0.82 7.21 7.23 22.5 22.7 23.3 0.86 7.32 7.42 22.9 0.79 0.80 0.87 0.86 0.83 0.85 0.82 23.0 22.6 22.5 22.6 22.5 22.7 22.6 22.8 73.6 73.3 72.8 73.1 17.9 18.3 18.1 18.3 18.2 8:2 73.0 72.6 72.4 72.9 73.2 18.5 18.6 18.3 Z18.3 18.9 20.4 72.6 72.8 p Preliminary 20.0 19.7 . i Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning, or modernization; construction loans to home-builders ; and permanent .loans which are .coupled with construction loans to owner-builders. Data prior to 1965 on a comparable basis with the new series are pending. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of regional-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates—in Table 16. 2 Fees and charges—expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount—include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. 3 Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGE TERMS Monthly Years 1 30 • • MATURITY NEW 25 EXISTING LOAN/PRICE RATIO EXISTING 70 65 1963 1965 1967 1969 * CHANGE IN SERIES