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H. 13

?

No. 371

CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS ABROAD
I.
II.

October

9,

Ten Charts on Financial Markets Abroad
Latest Figures Plotted in H.13 Chart Series, 1968
(Vjc-ctiL/

I.

Ten Charts on Financial Markets Abroad

Chart
Chart

1
2

Chart

3

Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart

4
5
6
7
8

Chart 9
Chart 10

New York, London: Yields on U.S. Dollar Funds
London: Yields for U.S. Dollar Investors on
3-Month Funds
Interest Arbitrage: Fraikfurt/London,
Zurich/London
Interest Arbitrage: New York/Canada
Interest Arbitrage: New York/London
Short-Term Interest Rates
Long-Term Bond Yields
Spot Exchange Rates--Major Currencies
Against U.S. Dollar
3-Month Forward Exchange Rates
Industrial Stock Indices

Europe and British Commonwealth Section.




NOT FOR PUBLICATION

DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MOflTHS

1968

NEW Y O R K - L O N D O N : YIELDS O N U.S. DOLLAR FUNDS
3-MONTH DOLLAR DEPOSIT RATES
Wednesday figures

EURO DOLLAR DEPOSIT

U . S . C E R T I F I C A T E OF DEPOSIT

EURO-DOLLAR OVER U . S . C E R T I F I C A T E OF DEPOSIT

CALL EURO DOLLAR DEPOSIT RATE VS. U.S. FEDERAL FUNDS RATE
CALL E U R O D O L L A R DEPOSITS

FEDERAL F U N D S l ^

EURO DOLLAR OVER FEDERAL F U N D S
Mar.

Jun.
Sept.
1965

Dec.

Mar.




Jun,
1966

Mar.

Sept.
Jen.
1967

Dec.

Mar.

Jen.
196#

Sept.

Dee.

3
L O N D O N : YIELDS
EURO-DOLLAR

FOR U . S . D O L L A R

INVESTORS O N 3 - M O N T H

FUNDS

D E P O S I T RATES

3 0 DAY

CALL

1 I » DAY

9 0 DAY

M

J

S

D

1965




M

J
1966

$

D

M

J
1967

S

D

M

J
1968

$

I

L O N D O N : Y I E L D S FOR U . S . H O L L A * I N V E S T O R S O N 3 - M O N T H F U N D S
HIRE PURCHASE A N D L O C A L A U T H O R I T Y D E P O S I T RATES ( c o v e r e d )

EURO DOLLAR D E P O S I T .

HIRE P U R C H A S E

T

FAVOR HIRE PURCHASE

DIFFERENTIAL

FAVOR EURODOLLAR

EURO DOLLAR D E P O S I T

LOCAL A U T H O R I T Y D E P O S I T

DIFFERENTIAL
fOR EUR# DOLLAR

1965




1966

1967

1968

I

INTEREST A R B I T R A G E : F R A N K F U R T / L O N D O N , Z U R I C H / L O N D O N
F R A N K F U R T I N T E R B A N K L O A N RATE V S . L O N D O N E U R O - D O L L A R RATE (COVERED)
1
I N T E II M S
-

r"

Iv \

-4

A A

l - D O L L lI R
"

w

1

V

-

I N T E R S A N K LCI A N RA TE
1

1

I

1

FAVOR FRANKFURT

D I F F IE R E N T I A L
A_

N...

y

1 I

1 1

1 1

1
O F DM

1 1

1 1

V
i

I

i

i

1 1

Vx

rrr

i

FAVOR EURO-DOLLAR
i i I I i I 1

Z U R I C H DEPOSIT RATE V S . L O N D O N E U R O - D O L L A R RATE ( C O V E R E D )
I N TERMS OF S W I S S F R A N C S
EURO-DOLLAR

-SWISS

DEPOSIT RATE

FAVOR ZURICH

DIFFERENTIAL

FAVOR EURO-DOLLAR
n

PRICE OF G O L D I N L O N D O N

i I

?5.5
<5.4

41.0

5.3

39.0

-5.2

37.0

35.1

35.0

5.0
1965
Merket cloud March 15 April 1, 1968.




1966

1967

1961

I N T E R S ! A R B I T R A G E , U N I T E D STATES / C A N A D A
3 - M O N T H TREASURY BILL RATES

C A N . F I N . CO. P A P E R

UNITED STATES

T
BILL' RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L A N D

F O R W A R D C A N A D I A N DOLLAR

PREMIUM

S P R E A D I N F AVOR OF C A N A D A

F O R W A R D RATE

DISCOUNT

3 - M O N T H C O V E R E D RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L S (NET I N C E N T I V E S )

FAVOR CANADA

, TREASURY BILLS

I PRIME F I N A N C E PAPER

1965




1966

1967

1868

2

INTEREST ARBITRAGE, NEW Y O R K / L O N D O N
3 - M O N T H TREASURY BILL RATES




U . K . LOCAL A U T H O R I T Y D E P O S I T S

LONDON

NEW YORK

1965

1966

1967

1981

• < ?

INTEREST A R B I T R A G E , N E W Y O R K / L O N D O N
RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L A N D

4

3 - M O N T H F O R W A R D STERLING
S P R E A D I N F A V O R OF L O N D O N

2

PREMIUM
0
DISCOUNT
FORWARD RATE
2
v \
4

6

8

10
T

2

0
I N F A V O R OF N E W V M K
2

4

I

DIFFERENTIAL WITH FORWARD
1965




1966

E X C H A N G E COVER (NET I N C E N T I V E )
1967

I
1966

!

SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES*

EURO-DOLLAR - LONDON t

I II M

I M

II I 1 I I I 11 I II I 1 1

1964

1965

I M

I II

1966

>3-menth ireeivry bill relei lor all countries except Japan (Average rate on bank loam and diicovnli)
Switzerland (3-month deposit rate) and Germany (Interbank Lean (ate)
3 month rate lor U.S. dollar depoiiti in London.




1
1967

j

\

r

\

II
1968

|0
LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS
Weekly hguret

Pi

8

NETHERLANDS^

7

CANADA

6

U.S.

5

SWITZERLAND
4

3
T

9

8

GERMANY
U.K.

7

EURO DOLLAR BONDS

6

5
1

f
U.S. EURO DOLLAR BONOS
I
U.S. CORP. Aaa BONDS

1964
*
* #
***
* I *

1965

Hew t«n«a for Germany starts 7-9-65
New series for Swiizerlond slorls 3 3-67
New series for Netherlands slorli 1-7-66
* New series for Switzerland starts 8-2-68




1966

1967

1911

Chart 8A

SPOT EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR
Above par

1.6
SWISS FRANC

/KTv'

4 f GERMAN MARK

with

U.K. STERLING

Below par
Above par

DUTCH GUILDER

Par
with

FRENCH FRANC

JAPANESE YEN

I

s

D

M

1966
'Devaluation of the pound sterling from $2.80 to $2.40.




J

1967

s

D

M

J

1968

S

D

M

J

1969

S

|

Below par
D

V

Chart 8B

SPOT EXCHANGE RATES • MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR
Above par

1.2

BELGIAN FRANC

\ hi
ITALIAN LIRA

U.S.

CANADIAN DOLLAR

I

M

J

S

1966




D

M

J

1967

S

D

M

J

*1968

S

D

M

S
1969

Below par
D

Chart 9A

\ J

3-MONTH FORWARD EXCHANGE RATES
AGAINST U.S. DOLLARS-NEW YORK
Friday figures

Per cent per annum
PREMIUMS-

GERMAN MARK

/

v

SWISS FRANC

POUND STERLING

DISCOUNT—

PREMIUM +

DUTCH GUILDER A / ,

CANADIAN DOLLAR

10

FRENCH FRANC

M

J

S

D

1966




J

1967

S

D

J

1968

S

D

M

J

1969

S

D

3-MONTH FORWARD EXCHANGE RATE
AGAINST POUND STERLING-LONDON
Friday figures

Per cent per annum
PREMIUM-

GERMAN MARK

U.S. DOLLAR

SWISS FRANC

DISCOUNTM

J

S

D

1966




M

S

1967

D

M

J

1968

S

D

*

M

J

1969

S

D

\<
INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDICES

,„ 8 , l 0 0
Roiio tcole

360
320

280

240
SWITZERLAND
200

U.S.

GERMANY
160

U.K.

120
360
320

280
JAPAN
240

CANADA

200

U.S.

1M

its
1965
•
• •

Swiei Seek Corporallsn indweiriol stock index.
index el 225 industrial end ether Hoc




1911

1117

111!

w

October 9, 1968.

H. 13
No. 371

(all figures in per cent per annum)
Chart 4

Chart 1
Upper Panels (Wednesday,

Oct. 2

)

6.12

Euro-$ deposit

Call Euro-$ deposit

5.65

Federal Funds

5 . 90

Panel

-0. 65

Net incentive (Canada +)

-0.35

Canadian Finance paper

)

Call

6.00

30-day

6.44

90-dav

6.31

180-day

Spread (favor U.K. +)

•+1.36
-1.38

Forward rate

-0.02

Net incentive (U.K. +)
Chart

5.42
5.77
5.36
5. 6.2
5.88
6. 13

Upper Panel

(Friday,

Treasury Bills

6

Oct. 4

6.38

)

Lower Panel

4.75

German Interbank loan rate
( Oct. 1-7
)

Euro-$ deposits (average)

3.79

Zurich 3-month deposit (Oct. 2

Lower Panel (date: Sept. 30

)

3.75

Euro-$ rate (covered) (Oct. 7) 6.10
39.24

(average-week ended Oct. 4)




5.49

Euro-$ deposit (London)

Oct . 1-7

II. Price of Gold (London)

5. 19
6. 55

U.S.
U.K.
Canada

Interbank Loan (mid-point)

Zurich 3-mo. deposit

6.55

Chart 5B

6.31

Hire-Purchase (Sept. 20 )
(Sept. 27 )
Local Authority ( Sept. 20)
( Sept. 27)
Euro-$ deposit ( Sept. 20 )
(Sept. 27 )
Chart 3

7.41

< U.K. Local Authority deposit
(Sept. 11)
Treasury bills:
U.K.
U.S.

Chart 2fi

I. Upper Panel (Period:

+0.30

Chart 5A
(Friday, Oct. 4

Euro-$ deposits (Friday, Oct. 4

Lower

5.49
5. 19

Forward Canadian dollar

Chart 2A

Upper Panel

^

Spread (favor Canada +)

)

Lower Panels (Wednesday, Oct. 2

0ctl

U.S.

5.69

U.S. certif. of deposit

(Friday,

Treasury bills: Canada

4.75
3. 75

Japan Composite Rate ( July 31

)

7.52

U.S. Treasury bills ( Oct. 4

)

5.19

October 9, 1968.

II. b

H. 13
No. 371

Chart 9A

Chart 7
Upper Panel
U.S. Gov't. (Wed.,

(Friday,
Oct. 2

)

5. 23

Oct. 4

Against U.S. dollars
Upper Panel

Netherlands Govt. (Fri. ,Sept. 27) 6. 47

Swiss francs

4-2. 79

Canadian Gov't. (Wed. ,

Oct. 2 ) 6.84

German marks

4-0.84

Swiss Gov't. Composite
(Fri.,

£ sterling

-1.38

Oct. 4) 4.37

Lower Panel

Middle Panel
German Fed., (Fri.,

Oct. 4

)

6.21

U.K. War Loan (Thus., Oct. 3 )

7.54

Euro-$ bonds (Fri. , Oct. 4

7.60

)

Low.- r Panel
U.S. Euro-bonds ( SePt-

30

U.S. Corporate Aaa ( Sep!.
Chart 8A
(Friday,
Oct. 4

)
• V;

-1.29

French franc
Dutch guilder

4-0. 84

Canadian do Liar

-0.65

Chart 9B
(Friday,
Oct. 4
Against pound sterling

7 14

•

Upper Panel
5.97

)

German mark

4-3.68

U.S. dollar

4-1. 16

Lower panel

Upper Panel

4-1.92

Swiss franc

Swiss francs

4-1. 67

German marks

4-0. 62

U.K. £ sterling

-0.44

Chart 10
(Index; 1958 = 100)
Upper Panel
U.K. (

Lower Panel
French francs

-0.75

Dutch guilders

-0.47

Japanese yens?

4-0. 36

Chart 8B
uct
(Friday,
- 4 )
-0.40

Belgian francs
Canadian dollars

4-0. 78

Italian lira

4-0.48

Friday, Oct. 4 )

Germany (

Sent. 21

Switzerland (

Oct. 4

279.5

)

264.4

)

342.0

Lower Panel
U.S. (

Oct. 4

)

228.6

Canada (

Sept. 26

)

217.7

Japan (

Oct. 4

)

31 9. 2

For descriptions and sources of data, see Special Supplement No. 343-5
dated March 27, 1968.



)