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May 18, 1962 H.13 tigyrAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS ABROAD I , Canada IIo Nine Charts on F i n a n c i a l Markets Abroad I . Canadas Money and C a p i t a l Markets during April Continued s a l e s of Canadian d o l l a r s i n t h e f o r e i g n exchange market during April culminated on May 2 i n the adoption by Canada of a f i x e d exchange r a t e of 92.5 U, So cents f o r the currency„ The r a t e was held during A p r i l a t around 95-1A U, S, c e n t s by means of heavy o f f i c i a l support operationso Sales of U. S, d o l l a r s by the Exchange Fund amounted t o (U, So) $1114. m i l l i o n i n A p r i l and o f f i c i a l reserve l o s s e s i n t h e f i r s t f o u r months of t h i s year t o (Uo So) $U60 m i l l i o n 0 The decision t o s e t a par v a l u e , taken with the approval of t h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l Monetary Fund, brought t o an end t h e Canadian experiment with a f l u c t u a t i n g exchange-rate p o l i c y i n i t i a t e d i n 1950, Canadian short-term money r a t e s moved up sharply i n e a r l y May a f t e r t h e new par value was announced. At 3»2lj. per cent on May 10, t h e Canadian Treasury b i l l y i e l d was a t t h e h i g h e s t p o i n t i n nearly twelve months, In t h e bond market, y i e l d s continued t o d r i f t - downward i n l a t e A p r i l and e a r l y May. The average y i e l d f o r 1*0 p r o v i n c i a l and corporate bonds eased ftfom 5»25 per cent on March 30 t o 5o22 per cent on A p r i l 30, the lowest average y i e l d since February 1959» The r i s e i n Treasury b i l l r a t e s r e f l e c t e d i n p a r t s u b s t a n t i a l s a l e s by the c h a r t e r e d banks t o f i n a n c e t h e i r r e c e n t loan expansion0 Government d e p o s i t s rose f u r t h e r by $21*2 m i l l i o n i n t h e f i r s t week i n May t o a record peak of $986 m i l l i o n on May 9« Receipts of Canadian-currency from s a l e s of f o r e i g n exchange undoubtedly c o n t r i b u t e d t o t h e r e c e n t growth i n t h e s e Treasury b a l a n c e s . Since the a u t h o r i t i e s w i l l have t o be i n a p o s i t i o n t o f i n a n c e reserve a c c r u a l s , i t i s l i k e l y t h a t the Treasury balances may be maintained a t a higher l e v e l than has been the p r a c t i c e i n the p a s t decade, Since the bulk of r e c e n t Treasury deposit a c c r u a l s have been r e t a i n e d a t t h e c h a r t e r e d banks, they have not immediately a f f e c t e d commercial-bank r e s e r v e a v a i l a b i l i t i e s , Despite the r e c e n t expansion i n bank l o a n s , the Canadian business t r e n d s remain mixed. Even though Canadian observers expect an i n c r e a s e i n gross n a t i o n a l product of about 6 per cent t h i s y e a r , some continued slackening i n business expansion i s recorded i n s t a t i s t i c a l i n d i c a t o r s f o r t h e f i r s t q u a r t e r . Seasonally-adjusted i n d u s t r i a l production was a t 180.7 i n December 1961 and a t 180,5 i n February, A f t e r a pause i n February, i n d u s t r i a l employment r e g i s t e r e d f u r t h e r gains i n March and unemployment declined from 6.0 t o 5.8 per c e n t . R e t a i l t r a d e declined f r a c t i o n a l l y i n February, NOT FOR PUBLICATION DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS . NOT FOR PUBLICATION - 2 - S i n c e i t s s t a b i l i z a t i o n on May 2 9 t h e Canadian d o l l a r has b e e n under s e l l i n g p r e s s u r e s and t h e s p o t r a t e has d e c l i n e d from 9 2 . 7 3 Uo So c e n t s on May U t o 91=81 Uo So c e n t s on May 15» The f o r w a r d d o l l a r was quoted a t a d i s c o u n t of 0.L3 p e r c e n t p e r annum on May 3 and of 0 , 3 1 p e r c e n t on May l5o Money m a r k e t . A f t e r d e c l i n i n g from mid-March t h r o u g h A p r i l , Canadian s h o r t - t e r m i n t e r e s t r a t e s moved upward i n e a r l y May0 The 3-month T r e a s u r y b i l l remained around 3o0i- t o 3=10 p e r c e n t from A p r i l 5 t o A p r i l 26 b u t moved t o 3»19 p e r c e n t on May 3 and 3 = 2b. p e r c e n t on May 10 (See Table , and C h a r t 1)» The 6-month b i l l r a t e moved more n a r r o w l y ; i t was 3.30 p e r c e n t on A p r i l 5> 3 = 35 p e r c e n t on May.3> and 3»38 p e r c e n t on May 1 0 D a y t o - d a y was a t 3o20 p e r c e n t on A p r i l Us b u t t h e r a t e remained unchanged a t 3»00 p e r c e n t f o r t h e r e m a i n d e r of A p r i l and t h e f i r s t two weeks i n May* I n A p r i l , t h e Canadian c h a r t e r e d banks a c c e l e r a t e d t h e i r s a l e s of T r e a s u r y b i l l s » T h e i r s a l e s of $106 m i l l i o n d u r i n g t h e month (See t a b l e ) were matched by p u r c h a s e s by t h e g e n e r a l p u b l i c ($U2 m i l l i o n ) 5 by t h e Government a c c o u n t s ($50 m i l l i o n ) , and by t h e Bank of Canada ($1U m i l l i o n ) » Net s a l e s of o t h e r s e c u r i t i e s r e p r e s e n t e d i n p a r t t h e redemption of an o u t s t a n d i n g m a t u r i t y i n c o n n e c t i o n w i t h t h e r e f u n d i n g o p e r a t i o n announced on A p r i l 11 and summarized i n t h e p r e v i o u s r e p o r t 0 The i n c e n t i v e i n f a v o r of t h e Canadian T r e a s u r y b i l l a g a i n s t t h e Uo So b i l l was r e d u c e d f r o m 0 . 3 7 p e r c e n t tin March 29 t o 0»17 p e r c e n t on May 10 s l a r g e l y b e c a u s e of t h e s u b s t a n t i a l d i s c o u n t on t h e f o r w a r d Canadian d o l l a r i n l a t e A p r i l and e a r l y May, (See T a b l e and C h a r t 1 . ) However, t h e s p r e a d i n f a v o r of Canadian f i n a n c e p a p e r widened from 0 o l 2 p e r c e n t on March 30 t o 0»57 p e r c e n t on May 10 a s Canadian y i e l d s r o s e . The wider d i f f e r e n t i a l s a r e r e p o r t e d t o have a t t r a c t e d some U.' S» i n v e s t o r i n t e r e s t i n Canadian p a p e r . Comparative y i e l d s on 3 0 - t o - 8 9 day p a p e r f o r l e a d i n g a c c e p t a n c e houses were ( i n p e r c e n t p e r annum)% Canada March 30 A p r i l 26 May 10 U. So 2.88=3,00 3.2S-3o$0 3o25-3=50 2,88 2.88-3.00 2.75-2.88 Spread 0.12 O.Wi 0.57 Bond marketo Canadian Government bond y i e l d s d e c l i n e d d u r i n g A p r i l b u t t h e movement was r e v e r s e d i n t h e f i r s t two weeks i n May. (See Table and C h a r t 6 . ) Recent Canadian y i e l d s (in p e r c e n t p e r annum) were: 196L fey_ Jan. 31 Mar. 28 Apr. 25 May 9 3.75 3»5>8 3,k7 3.59 1975-78 (Jan.) Lo98 L86 k.78 L.83 NOT FOR PUBLICATION 1983 (Sept.) 5.0k Uo9U k.87 It.91 NOT FOR PUBLICATION - 3 - In A p r i l , t h e spread i n Canadian over U, S. bonds d e c l i n e d i n i n t e r m e d i a t e and long-term m a t u r i t i e s b u t w i d e n e d i n e a r l y M a y . (See T a b l e , ) — As i n March, heavy demand from i n s t i t u t i o n a l i n v e s t o r , combined with a reduced volume of new o f f e r i n g s coming on t h e market, c o n t r i b u t e d t o a continued d e c l i n e during A p r i l i n y i e l d s i n t h e p r o v i n c i a l and c o r p o r a t e bond s e c t o r s . Y i e l d s on p r o v i n c i a l and c o r p o r a t e bonds d e c l i n e d from 5.25 p e r c e n t on March 30 t o 5-22 on A p r i l 30; t h i s marks t h e lowest l e v e l s i n c e February, 1959.. According t o t h e monthly r e p o r t p r e p a r e d by Mcleod, Young, Weir and Company, r e c e n t average bond y i e l d s were ( i n p e r c e n t p e r annum); Feb. 28 10 10 10 10 hO Provincial Municipal Public u t i l i t i e s Industrials Bond y i e l d average 5.31 5-5U" 5.23 5.28 5.3U 1962 Mar. 30 5.20 5<M 5.18 5.18 5-25 Apr. 30 5-19 5.38 5.17 5.15 5.22 According t o A.E. Ames & C o . , •$1,1U1 m i l l i o n of new s e c u r i t i e s ( e x c l u s i v e of r e g u l a r s h o r t - t e r m f i n a n c i n g ) were i s s u e d i n t h e p e r i o d ending A p r i l 2k; t h i s compares with new i s s u e s t o t a l l i n g $1,361 m i l l i o n i n t h e comparable p e r i o d i n 1961. Of t h e new i s s u e s r e p o r t e d through A p r i l 2h, $U.5 m i l l i o n i n c o r p o r a t e and municipal bonds were s o l d i n t h e U. S„ market. Bank loans and t h e money supply. On a s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d b a s i s , g e n e r a l bank l o a n s have been expanding s h a r p l y . In t h e f i r s t q u a r t e r of t h i s y e a r , t h e y r o s e by .6.5 p e r c e n t compared with a year-ago i n c r e a s e of 2 p e r c e n t . At t h e end of March, g e n e r a l bank l o a n s o u t s t a n d i n g were, a t a l e v e l 16 p e r c e n t above t h e end of March 1961. The money supply a l s o r o s e during t h e q u a r t e r , although t h e i n c r e a s e of 1 . 9 p e r c e n t i s only moderately above t h e expansion by 1 . 5 p e r c e n t l i n January-March 1961. Money supply a t t h e end of March was 8.8 p e r c e n t g r e a t e r than on t h e same d a t e l a s t y e a r c Although data on a comparable b a s i s a r e not y e t a v a i l a b l e f o r A p r i l , i t would appear t h a t bank c r e d i t continued t o expand. The loan expansion was supported i n p a r t by bank s a l e s of Treasury b i l l s and was r e f l e c t e d i n some t i g h t e n i n g i n bank l i q u i d i t y . The average l i q u i d a s s e t r a t i o of t h e Canadian c h a r t e r e d banks, which was 18.0 p e r c e n t i n both February and March, d e c l i n e d t o 1 7 . 1 p e r c e n t i n A p r i l — s t i l l w e l l above t h e r e q u i r e d minimum of 15 p e r c e n t . Throughout t h e p e r i o d , t h e cash r a t i o was unchanged a t 8 . 1 p e r c e n t . Operations of Canadian banks i n non-Canadian c u r r e n c i e s . I n February, t h e r e t u r n flow of non-Canadian currency d e p o s i t s with Canadian c h a r t e r e d banks continued — as i n January — b u t a t a much reduced pace* (See T a b l e . ) This r e t u r n f l o w , r e v e r s i n g t h e l o s s of d e p o s i t s i n December 1961, brought t o t a l non-Canadian currency d e p o s i t s t o $3.9 b i l l i o n a t t h e end of February, comparable t o t h e record l e v e l recorded a t t h e end of November, 1961. I n March, however, non-Canadian d o l l a r d e p o s i t s d e c l i n e d moderately — by $115 m i l l i o n — t o a t o t a l of $3«8 b i l l i o n . NOT FOR PUBLICATION NOT FOR PUBLICATION h - - " C a l l l o a n s " by Canadian banks i n t h e New York market showed l i t t l e change i n March. E s t i m a t e s of t h e New York S t a t e Banking D e p a r t ment show r e c e n t t o t a l l o a n s t o s e c u r i t y d e a l e r s ( i n m i l l i o n s of U„ S, dollars)? I960 Deco 1961 Dec,, Jan. 1962 Febo Mar 0 1,U96 1,963 1,288 1,775 1,822 Foreign agencies 81# 829 881 823 875 Compare Canadian a / Other ( r e s i d u a l ) 829 20 809 SO 786 95 7U3 80 78U 91 U. S . banks __ C a l l l o a n s , a s r e p o r t e d by Canadian b a n k s , c o n v e r t e d i n t o U0 So d o l l a r s a t end-of-month exchange r a t e . Borrowings by m u n i c i p a l i t i e s . During 1961, borrowings by m u n i c i p a l i t i e s i n c r e a s e d by $361 m i l l i o n compared w i t h r i s e s of $L79 and $372 m i l l i o n s i n t h e two p r e c e d i n g c a l e n d a r y e a r s . T o t a l d e b t has i n c r e a s e d f r o m $3,56U m i l l i o n i n 1958 t o $U,775> m i l l i o n i n 1961= The breakdown of d e b t by p r i n c i p a l p r o v i n c e s i s ( i n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) % Ontario Quebec Alberta B r i t i s h Columbia Other Total 195& 1959 I960 1961 1,321 1,156 360 318 U09 3,56U l,U52 1,263 h09 355 U56 3,935 l,60li 1,152 li39 Uoi 519 U,l»l5 1,722 1,609 U17 553 U, 775 No f i g u r e s a r e a v a i l a b l e on t h e volume of t h e s e borrowings p l a c e d i n U n i t e d S t a t e s markets» F o r e i g n t r a d e , Canadian t r a d e , s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d , showed o n l y minor d e f i c i t s i n J a n u a r y and F e b r u a r y . Recent t r a d e e s t i m a t e s (monthly o r monthly a v e r a g e s i n m i l l i o n s of Canadian d o l l a r s ) have b e e n : I Exports Imports Trade b a l a n c e II li59.3 U56»7 - 2.6 1961 U73»5 Uk3°2 +30.3 III IV Jan, SlUoU L95.5 +18.9 520.3 518.9 + loli 50U»7 507.5 -2.8 1962 Feb, U95-5 508.6 -13.1 v"Foreign exchange. The a d o p t i o n on May 2 of a f i x e d r a t e of 92=5 U. So cgiits f o r t h e Canadian d o l l a r , ending t h e f l u c t u a t i n g exchange r a t e . p o l i c y p u r s u e d s i n c e 1950, was t h e h i g h l i g h t of t h e month„ The l i k e l i h o o d NOT FOR PUBLICATION NOT FOR PUBLICATION - 5> - of some exchange r a t e move, p o s s i b l y a f t e r t h e Canadian e l e c t i o n s i n June, had been widely a n t i c i p a t e d i n market c i r c l e s . The May 2 a c t i o n came unexpectedly, however, and was a p p a r e n t l y motivated by t h e f e a r of continued heavy r e s e r v e l o s s e s on t h e s c a l e experienced by t h e exchange a u t h o r i t i e s throughout A p r i l . The Canadian d o l l a r was under continuous p r e s s u r e throughout A p r i l , when i t was h e l d a t around 95-l/U U. S„ c e n t s b y " o f f i c i a l s a l e s of U. S # $111; m i l l i o n i n t h e m a r k e - t » For the f i r s t f o u r months t h i s y e a r , l o s s e s came t o $U60 m i l l i o n . This r e p r e s e n t s a d r a i n amounting t o almost o n e - q u a r t e r of o f f i c i a l holdings of gold and Ue. S. d o l l a r s a t t h e end of December 1961. A f t e r t h e p a r vblue was announced, t h e r a t e d e c l i n e d from 92,73 Uo So c e n t s on May 3 t o a low of 91,81 U. S. dents on May 15:• Some w i t h drawal of funds from Canada by U. S. and C o n t i n e n t a l i n v e s t o r s was r e p o r t e d i n t h e p r e s s . Recent changes i n Canadian r e s e r v e s ( i n m i l l i o n s of U. S. d o l l a r s a t end-of-month): 1961 Dec. Gold U . S . dollars Total Jan. Feb. 1962 Mar. Aprn.a* n&ao 916.2 1,109.6 9U9.6 .972.3 962.1 78U.3 963.7 7U5.7 ' 2,055.8 1,921.9 1,716.7 1,709.1 1,595.0 - 133.9 - 175.2 - - llluU Change during period - 23.0 37.3 Throughout A p r i l t h e 3-month forward Canadian d o l l a r remained a t a s l i g h t d i s c o u n t , which widened somewhat a f t e r t h e May 2 exchange r a t e a c t i o n . Despite t h e wider spread i n y i e l d s between t h e Canadian and Uc S. Treasury b i l l s , however, t h e i n c e n t i v e t o hold Canadian b i l l s (covered f o r exchange r i s k ) i s c u r r e n t l y s t i l l below l e v e l s which o p e r a t e t o induce any movement of f u n d s i n t o Canada. Stock exchange. On b a l a n c e , Canadian i n d u s t r i a l stock p r i c e s d e c l i n e d moderately i n A p r i l , d e s p i t e a s l i g h t r a l l y i n t h e t h i r d week of t h e month, and again a t t h e beginning of May. The weekly average f o r t h e index of i n d u s t r i a l stock p r i c e s on May 2 was 0 . 8 p e r c e n t below A p r i l k° During the same p e r i o d the New York Standard & Poor i n d u s t r i a l index dropped more s h a r p l y by l u 3 p e r c e n t . N.Yo Standard & Poor Avg. f o r week ending DBS I n d u s t r i a l s . Industrials 1962-Mar. 8 3U9.1 Apr. 5 339.7 26 337.2 May 3 339.1 Europe and B r i t i s h Commonwealth S e c t i o n • 73.9k . 72,59 71.15 6 9 . Wt I I o Nine Charts on F i n a n c i a l Markets Abroad - 6 - Canadag Treasury B i l l Yields and Exchange Rates 3=mOo Treaso b i l l a r b i t r a g e c a l c u l a t i o n In 3=mOo favor Can. UoSo Differ- y Canada bill®/ ence 1961-High Low 1962-Mar, , 15 22 2? Apr, • 5 12 19 26 May 3 10 2.26 2.17 2.66 Oo68 =0.13 3,08 .73 3.10 75 72 73 73 73 2.73 0.35 OoUl 0.37 0.37 0.31 0.37 0o3U 0oU6 0.58 3c3U 3ol0 3.12 3.09 3=0U 3.07 3.19 3o2U 69 2.66 Spot Can, $ (U.S. cents) 0.U5 0.89 =0.56 -0,20 101.72 95.91 0,U2 95.33 95-31 95.28 95,23 95,30 95.23 95.23 ?2 .78 92.52 +0.07 +0.13 0 0 -0.07 -0,19 -0,1? -0,1*3 -0,31 0,51t 0,37 0.37 0,21* 0,18 0,15 0,03 0.17 Finance paperfV 90-179 days 30-89 days 3-1/8-lA 3-1/8-lA 3-lA 2-7/8 t o 3 2-7/8 t o 3 2-7/8 to 3 3-lA 3-lA 3-lA 3-lA 3-1/2 3-1/2 3-1/2 3-1/2 a / Thursday q u o t a t i o n s , ~~ J / Spread between spot and 3-month forward r a t e i n per cent per annum. Discount equals ( - ) . ; c / Net of d i f f e r e n c e i n b i l l y i e l d l e s s discount on 3-month Canadian d o l l a r „ d / Friday q u o t a t i o n s . Selected Government of Canada S e c u r i t y Yields -mo. Treaso b i l l s Spread over Canada U0S0V 1961-High Low 3.63 2.35 =0oll Mar. 28 Apr . k 11 18 . 25 May 2 9 ,29 .30 OoUl 0olt9 a/ b/ bill c/ d/ e/ f/ j/ h/ .21 .30 .19 .35 38 lol5 0.39 0.U8 0.36 0.53 0.61 Intermediate bonds (8 y r . ) Spread over , Canada UoSoj/ Long •term bonds ^ 2 0 year) 135 y e a r ) " Spread Spread over/ Canada ovej^ Canada UoSoB/ 5.19 Uo75 koll 1.16 OoOU U08O Loll Uol2 Uol3 0.32 0.53 o,L5 o.U5 0oU0 0.U9 0.50 lo821.77 ho73 Uo7U Uo7U Uo77 U.06 UpOU UoOU Uo05 Uo82. 1.U0 0.78 5.23 b.92 1.59 1.1U 0.82 lt.91 li.91 1.23 0.92 0.85 0.83 O.83 0.86 0.91 U.88 U.86 It.86 It .86 li.SU Average y i e l d a t weekly tender on Thursday. " " Spread between Canadian a u c t i o n r a t e and composite market y i e l d of UoS» on close of business Thursday. Government of Canada 2-3/U per cent of June 1967-68. Spread over UoSo Government 2=1/2 per cent of 1963-68. Government of Canada 3 ° l A per cent of October 1979. Spread.over UoSo Government 3 - l / U per cent of 1978=83. Government of Canada 3-3/U per cent of September 1996 = March 1998. Spread over UoSo Government of 1995.- 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.16 1.20 1.20 - 7 Canadai Changes in Distribution of Holdings of Canadian Government Direct and Guaranteed Securities (millions of Canadian dollars, par value) Bank of Canada Treas. bills Bonds 1961-April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov, Dec. 1962-Jan0 Feb. Mar. April Source* Bank Government Total Chartered banks Treas. bills Bonds + 9 - 2 + $9 - 70 . + 17 - 22 + 63 ' - 1 + 2 + 33 + 13 - 7U + 16 + 21 + 16 • 69 + 21 +107 0 + 32 + 16 + 9 + a - 58 + lk +109 -105 - 39 + 3 - Ii2. -125 - 9 + 21 + 32 - U8 - 3 + 88 + U8 - 1 . - 69 - 8 - k2 - 19 - a + 30 - 30 • 51 - 51 + 1U + U6 -106 -117 of Canada, Weekly Financial Statistics* General public Savings Treas. bonds bills Bonds - 52 + 2k + 62 + 11 •1U8 + 72 + k + # +111 * 57 - k • U3 - 23 - 37 - 33 - 22 - 23 7 29 ~ 2h + h +720 + 2k - 10 - k - 13 - 17 + 6U =» 80 - 7 > 95 87 + So 0 3 • U8 + U7 « 20 + 69 - 18 + k2 + + + + - 12 1 37 37 35 U2 31 67 77 19 3U 87 31 Canadian banks: Non-Canadian Currency Assets and Liabilities (in billions of Canadian dollars) ~ . " Deposits Banks Others Total End of year 3.957 1958 1959 i960 1961 »3 ok .5 .7 .7 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.8 End of Quarter 196H I II III IV 06 .6 .6 .7 End of month 19618 Oct. Nov. Dec. 1962s Jan. Feb. Mar. Assets Deposits Call Securi- Other with banks loans ties loans Total 1.8 2.1 2 .it 2.7 3.5 .U o3 .U .5 1.0 .6 .6 .7 .8 .8 ok .5 .5 .6 .7 .5 .7 .8 .8 1.1 1.9 2.1 2.U 2.7 3*6 2.3 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.5 .6 .8 .9 1.0 .7 1.0 08 08 .8 .7 .9 .7 .7 .8 .9 1.1 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.6 o7 .7 .7 3.0 3.2 2.8 3.7 3.9 3.5 1.0 . 1.0 1.0 .9 .9 08 1.0 - o7 .8 .9 1,0 1.1 3.6 3.9 3.6 08 .8 .8 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.8 3.9 3.8 »9 o9 .9 08 08 1.1 1.2 .9 1.0 1.0 1.0. 3.8 3.9 3.7 — 08 INTEREST ARBITRAGE, UNITED STATES / C A N A D A Ith u r»d o v figures 1T H R E E - M O N T H TREASURY BILL RATES Kv-'V rV/-/ 'RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND FORWARD v -Vy"^^-sy' CANADIAN DOLLAR EXCHANGE COVER SPREAD IN FAVOR OF CANADA + ' A Y RATE ' fOIWABD I ATI A/ 1Dlicoiet — j DIFFERENTIAL WITH . FORW&RD NET INCENTIVE IN FAVOR OF CANADA + 9^( INTEREST ARBIT ^GE, NEW Y O R K / L O N D O N 3.MONTH TREASURY BILL RATES RATE DIFFEISTTIAL AND | 3-MONTH FCRWARD STERLING fOIW ,"P BATE RATE DIFFERENTIAL WITH "FORWARD EXCHANGE COVER IN Of LEW v o l * 1 1961 INTEREST A R B I T R A G E FOR GERMAN COMMERCIAL B A N K S Fridoy figurei 3-MONTH Pi TREASURY . EURO-DOLLAR BILLS, DEPOSIT RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L AND INTERBANK LENDING RATE A N D RATES FORWARD DEUTSCHE MARK / V r v — i ' TBEASUBV litis RATE DIFFERENTIAL WITH FORWARD EXCHANGE NfT INCENTIVE:. INTERBANK LOAN RATE D rNol«: Special forward 'role available 10 German commercial bonki COVER (+) \X I N T E R E S T A R B ITJR A G E , F R A N K F U R T / L O N D O N " 3 - M O N T H TREASURY BILLS A N D I N T E R B A N K L E N D I N G RATES \ A G E R M A N I N T E R B A N K I; RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L A N D { - 3 - M O N T H FORWARD STERLING SPREAD IN FAVOR OF UNITED KINGDOM B i l l I LOAN RATE RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L W I T H F O R W A RD E X C H A N G E C O V E R G E R M A N T R E A S U R Y BILLS G E R M A N INTER RANK ,1960 > SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES * '^S\J 1 ,'ZV Eueo-boiue A -—i- 1959 1941 3-monlh treasury bill rales for all countries except Japan (3 month interbank deposit rale) and Switzerland (3-month deposit rale)., *1* 3-month rote lor U S dollar deposits in London :\3 LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS \ CiMADA I960 INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDICES* GERMANY 100 ::g- 150 100 'Not*: Japan: Index of all ilocki Iroded SPOT E X C H A N G E RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR \V 3-MONTH A g a i n s t FORWARD u s. EXCHANGE RATES d o l l a r s [ A G A I N S T P O U N D STERLING - L O N D 0 | i AGAINST POUND STERL N G - LONDON, IttGIAM fKMC