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DIVISION OF I N T E R N A T I O N A L F I N A N C E

BOARD OF GOVERNORS

H. 13

June 2, 1965.

No. 198

V CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS ABROAD
j

I.
II.
III.

I.

Japan
Nine Charts on Financial Markets Abroad
Latest Figures Plotted in H. 13 Chart Series

Japan:

Money and Capital Markets in April-May

The near financial failure of Japan's second largest securities
company, the Yamaichi Securities Company, Ltd., was the major development in
Japanese financial markets in May. According to press reports, the company's
liabilities in mid-May exceeded its assets by about $20 million. The Ministry.
of Finance and the Bank of Japan have both announced their intention to support
the firm financially so that it does not fail. The stock market remained relatively calm in view of the news, but sank to a new five-year low at the end of
May.
Japanese short-term borrowing in the U.S. rose substantially in March
by $121 million, although part of this reflected credits that had been extended
earlier but had not been reported until recently. With a rise in long-term
claims of $20 million in March, total claims increased $141 million. In the
twelve months ending March 31, 1965, Japanese borrowing in the U.S., as reported by U.S. banks, increased $601 million. In April, the first Japanese
bond placement in the United States since September 1963 was made. A second
issue, within the $100 million exemption from the Interest Equalization Tax
granted to Japan in February, is expected in June.
Table 1.

Japan:

Short- and Long-term Borrowing in the U.S.
(in millions of U.S. dollars)

1961 1962 1963 1964
Short-term claims 1/
Long-term claims 1/
TOTAL
Securities — !
TOTAL

&

722
_5
727

212
50
262

431
121
606

58

141

200

0

785

403

806

784

784

Change during period
1964
1965
Jan. Feb.
IV
I
II III

Mar.

229
_61
290

69
15
84

24
26
50

121-|'
_ZCr'
141-2'

_o

_o

_0

0

290 . 84 50

360

I

2

jt>

360

622/
_45§/
107—/

-61
_26
-35

—5 y — o
107-2/ -35

1
o ,
1-2/

0

141"'

1/ Bank-reported liabilities to the U.S.
2/ New security flotations.
J3/ Includes $91 million newly reported in December.
4/ Includes $38 million newly reported in December.
a/ Preliminary.
NOTE: Data on short- and long-term claims since early 1962 have recently been revised
substantially by the U.S. Treasury.




OFFICIAL USE ONLY
(Decontrolled after 6 months)

OFFICIAL USE ONLY

- 2-

In May, the continuing tightness in the Euro-dollar market led Japan
on three occasions to increase the maximum authorized rates that Japanese foreign
exchange banks may pay on Euro-dollars. Between May 10 and May 31 authorized
rates were increased by the Ministry of Finance by 0.25 to 0.625 percentage,
points.
(See Table 2). These actions brought most of the rates to the highest
level in years.
Table 2.
Effective:
Less than 30 days
1-3 months
3-6 months
5-12 months
1 year and over

Japan:

Maximum Authorized Rates on Euro-dollar Deposits

3/15/65

3/25/65

5/10/65

5/24/65

5/28/65

5/31/65

4.375
5.125
5.25
5.625
5.875

4.375
4.875
5.25
5.5
5.875

4.375
4.875
5.125
5.375
5.875

4.375
5.0
5.25
5.5
5.875

4.375
5.25
5.375
5.5
5.875

4.375
5.5
5.625
5.75
6.125

Japan continued to lose international reserves in May for the second
consecutive month. Following a decline of $34 million in April, reserves fell an
additional v6millIon in May to $2,013 million. The May decline would have been
even larger except for the United Kingdom drawing on the IMF which had the effect
of increasing Japan's official reserves (through a rise in its gold tranche position) by $30 million. The trade performance was relatively good in April, but
for the second consecutive month there was a net outflow of long-term capital.
The yen continued to weaken in the foreign exchange market in April and the first
part of May.
On the domestic side, the money market remained easy and call loan rates
remained steady in April and most of May. Bank credit expansion appeared to be
accelerating through March, and the average interest rate on bank loans and discounts continued to decline through February. New bond issues reached a record
high in March when a very large volume of public corporation bonds was issued.
Money market. The easing tendency in the money market, evident since
last October, continued in April and May, and rates may ease further in June if
the heavy bond-buying operations which are projected are carried out by the Bank
of Japan. In April, the expansionary effect from seasonally heavy net Treasury
payments of ¥238 billion was not quite offset by the contractionary impact from
an increase in note issues of ¥11 billion and a decline in Bank of Japan credit
of ¥225 billion during the month.
Interest rates. Call loan rates were unchanged throughout most of
April and May after declining on April 3 following a reduction in the Bank of
Japan's basic discount rate. Call rates have been falling since last September
and are now at the same general level as in January of 1964.
(See Table 3).




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OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Table 3.

Japan;

-3-

Average Call Loan Money Rates in Tokyo

Overnight — /

Unconditional — /

Over-month-end — ^

March 27

8.030

8.395

9.125

April

3
10
17
24

6.935
6.935
6.935
6.935

7.300
7.300
7.300
7.300

8.030
8.030
8.030
8.030

May

1
8
15
22

6.935
6.935
6.935
6.935

7.300
7.300
7.300
7.300

8.030
8.030
8.030
8.030

1/
2/
3/

For settlement on the following day.
Repayable at a day's notice.
Repayable at a day's notice in the following month.

After remaining steady at 7.99 per cent in the second half of 1964,
the average monthly interest rate on bank loans and discounts edged down to 7.98
per cent in January and 7.97 per cent in February. The declines, reflecting the
January discount rate reduction, probably continued into April and May, following
the April discount rate reduction.
Bank loans and discounts. Bank credit rose by 1.4 per cent in March
compared to an increase of 1.3 per cent a year earlier and 0.3 per cent in
February of this year. The credit increase in March showed up primarily in a
2.2 per cent rise in loans, compared to a 1.2 per cent rise in February. Holdings of securities remained unchanged, as against a 2.4 per cent decline in
February. Bills discounted in March increased by 0.5 per cent, compared to a
slight decline in February. There was a seasonally large rise in deposits in
March of 6.4 per cent compared to 0.6 per cent in February and 6.1 per cent a
year earlier.
During the first quarter bank credit increased 2.9 per cent, or somewhat higher than the 2.5 per cent rise in the same period a year earlier. (See
Table 4). This indicates that credit has been increasing at a somewhat faster
rate since monetary policy was first relaxed last December.




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OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Table 4.

Japan:

-4-

Quarterly Changes in Deposits and Principal Assets of Commercial Banks
(in billions of yen)

DEPOSITS
Per
Cent
Total Change

Total

Per
Cent
Change

PRINCIPAL ASSETS
Per
Bills
Cent
DisLoans Change counted

Per
Cent
Change

Securities

Per
Cent
Chang*

+ 128
+ • 61
+ 678
+ 920

1 .2
0 .6
6 .4
8 .2

+
+
+
+

206
547
407
801

1 .8
4 .6
3 .3
6,.2

+
+
+
+

256
181
223
585

3 .9
2 .7
3 .2
8,.2

+ 14
+ 108
+ 213
+ 145

0 .4
3 .3
6 .3
4,.0

„ 64
+ 253
+ 41
+ 71

+1,158
+ 405
+1,019
+ 947

8,.8
3..1
7,.4
6.,4

+
+
+
+

929
588
783
923

6.,8
4.,0
5.,1
5.,8

+
+
+
+

717
365
524
589

9..3
4.,3
5,.9
6.,3

+
+
+
+

185
150
245
293

4.,9
3,.8
6,.0
6..8

+
+
+
+

27
73
14
41

1.2
3.3
0.6
1.8

2..9
5.,9
5.,1

+
+
+
+

429
754
774
960

2. 5
4. 3
4. 3
5. 1

+
+
+
+

344
278
335
574

3., 5
2. 7
3. 2
5. 3

+
+
+
+

111
218
291
206

2.,4
2. 7
6. 0
4. 0

26
+ 348
+ 148
+ 180

- 1.1
14.9
5.5
6.4

3. 5

+ 570

2. 9

+ 404

3. 5

+

48

0. 9

+ 118

3.9

+
+
+

459
65
944
860

+

620

- 0 .,4

- 3.4
14.1
2.0
3.3

The proportion of bank loans and discounts extended for purchases of
equipment was 17.1 per cent in March, down slightly from 17.2 per cent in February, but above the cyclical low of 16.3 per cent in March of 1963.
Bank of Japan operations in April were sharply contractionary. (See
Table 5). The Bank sold (net) ¥199 billion in securities and reduced its lending
by ¥26 billion. However, the contraction did not entirely offset the heavy net
Treasury payments in April coming at the opening of the new fiscal year.
Table 5.

Japan:

Changes in Bank of Japan Loans and Holdings of Securities
(in billions of yen)

(1)
(2) + (3)
Net increase (+)
or decrease ( - )
1963
I Quarter
II Quarter
III Quarter
IV Quarter

. +
+
+

158.2
109.2
202.4
18.0




(2)
Loans: increase (+)
or decrease (-)
+
+
+

59 .1
198..7
91..3
81.,2

OFFICIAL USE ONLY

(3)
Net purchases (+) or
sales (-) of securities
+
+
+
+

99 .1
89,.2
129,.1
99,.2

OFFICIAL USE ONLY

-5-

Table 5. (Cont.)

(1)
Period

(2) + ( 3 )
Net increase (+)
or decrease (-)

(2)
Loans: increase (+)
or decrease (-)

(3)
Net purchases (+) or
sales (-) of securities

1964
I Quarter
II Quarter
III Quarter
IV Quarter

+ 203.3
- 75.7
+ 106.1
- 329.6

+ 36.7
+ 121.0
+ 97.5
- 300.5

+ 166.6
- 196.7
+
8.6
- 29.1

1965
I Quarter
January
February
March
April

+ 217.5
- 42.2
+155.2
+104.5
- 244.6

+ 216.5
+ 114.8
+36.4
+ 65.3
- 25.9

+
1.0
- 157.0
+ 118.8
+ 39.2
- 198.7

Bond market. New issues of bonds climbed to record heights in March,
reaching ¥224 billion. New issues were ¥76 billion higher than in February, and
¥48 billion higher than last December when an all-time high was reached. Most
of the increase was accounted for by a meteoric rise in new issues of public corporation bonds, which more than tripled between February and March from ¥31 billion
to ¥95 billion. New issues of bank debentures were also up by ¥4 billion to ¥98
billion and new issues of industrial debentures rose by ¥8 billion to ¥31 billion.
It was a busy month for the bond market.
Bond yields in March were a shade higher than in February, but mostly
unchanged. Average yields on local government securities, public corporation
bonds and one-year bank debentures remained at the rates prevailing throughout
1964, or 7.354, 7.053 and 6.224 per cent, respectively. The yield on long-term
bank debentures was up slightly at 7.287 per cent, while the yield on industrial
bonds rose to 7.487 per cent from the February rate of 7.476 per cent.
Stock market. The stock market sank to a new five-year low in May,
largely in response to the news of the near insolvency of the Yamaichi Securities
Company, Japan's second largest securities company. The Minister of Finance
revealed on May 21 that the firm was in financial difficulty and he pledged that
the full resources of the government, including those of the Bank of Japan, would
be made available to prevent the firm from failing. The Dow Jones average weakened
steadily from May 21 through May 28. On that date the average broke through the
¥1,100 level for the first time this year, and fell to ¥1,082, the lowest level
since August of I960.
On May 29, Governor Makoto Usami of the Bank of Japan announced that the
Bank would extend an "unlimited amount of special loans" to Yamaichi in order to
keep it from collapsing. The market then rallied to ¥1,143 on May 31, but sank
back on June 1 to ¥1,093. Earlier trends are indicated in Table 6 below.




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OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Table 6.

Japan:

-6-

Dow Jones Average of 225 Stocks, First Section of Tokyo Exchange

March

29

¥1.,119

April

5
12
17
24

1 :,124
1 ;,163
1,,142
1,,129

May

1
8
15
22
29

¥1 ,177
1 ,169
1 ,148
1.,141
1.,109

1

1.,093

June

1964

High
Low

¥1:,369
¥1;,203

1965

High
Low

¥1.,290
¥1.,082

Foreign trade. In April the seasonally adjusted trade surplus fell to
$21 million as against $55 million in March. This was the fourth consecutive
monthly surplus for Japan's traditionally unfavorable trade balance. Exports in
April were off 1 per cent and imports rose 5 per cent. The April surplus is about
the same as during the first quarter of this year, but the level of both exports
and imports was $10 million higher. The trade figures in Table 7 below are
monthly, or monthly averages, on a customs basis, seasonally adjusted.
Table 7.

1963
III
IV
Imports
Exports
Balance
_§/

576
469

643
484

-107 -159

Japan:

I
664
485

Seasonally Adjusted Foreign Trade
(in millions of dollars)
1964
II
III

655
534

-179 -121

IV

I

697
618

659
679

- 61 - 79

+ 20

632
571

+

Jan.

1965
Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

663
668

674
675

639
694

668^;
689^'

1

+ 55

+ 21-'

5

+

Preliminary.

Foreign reserves and capital flows. Japan's gold and foreign exchange
reserves fell $34 million in April and a further $6 million in May to $2,013
million. The drop in May reportedly reflected an outflow of short-term funds
from Japan. The April decline reflected mainly the continued outflow of longterm capital and the deficit on current account.
The ratio of Japan's international reserves to the Bank of Japan's
note issue fell from 36.5 per cent in March to 35.8 per cent in April. This
decline continues the general downtrend in recent years, with international
reserves rising less rapidly than issues of bank notes.




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OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Table

End of Period
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964

1965

Japan;

Rates of Reserve to Bank Notes

March
June
September
December
January
February
March
April

Reserves/
Bank Notes

Bank Notes
Issued

International
Reserves
¥520.9
701.6
599.8
727.9
740.9
718.6
697.3
698.0
719.6

billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion

¥1,029.4
1,234.1
1,480.1
1,745.9
2,057.4
1,774.8
1,860.6
1,836.1
2,298.8

billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion
billion

50.6
56.9
40.5
41.7
36.0
40.5
37.5
38.0
31.3

per cent
per cent
cent
per
per cent
per cent
per cent
per cent
per cent

729.7
738.0
739.1
726.8

billion
billion
billion
billion

1,961.2
1,995.2
2,022.3
2,032.8

billion
billion
billion
billion

37.2
37.0
36.5
35.8

per
per
per
per

cent
cent
cent
cent

In April there was a negative over-all balance in the international
accounts as measured on an exchange transactions basis. (See Table 9). For the
second consecutive month, there was a net outflow of long-term capital. The
current account also registered a deficit following surpluses in February and
March.
Table 9.

Japan:

Balance of Payments on an Exchange Transactions Basis
(in millions of dollars)

I
Trade account balance
Services balance
Current account
Net long-term capital
receipts
Net short-term capital
receipts
Net balance on capital
account
Errors and omission
Over-all balance of
payments
NOTE:

Quarterly data
rounding.

- 93
- 36
-129

1964
III

IV

Dec.

I

Jan.

1965
Feb.

71
- 37
- 37 .139
33
- 74

94
-42
51

131
zJlL
84

51
-44
7

- 77
- 33
-110

95
134
- 42 iJd
53
77

II

Mar.

Apr,
31
-57
-26

42

28

33

32

5

27

26

- 39

-13

42

-54

-55

Z_52

-I!

128

- 63

- 31

16

122
- 14

84
- 30

- 26
- 5

-22
-16

- 22
- 7

16
- 6

155
- 17

- 37
7

- 70
- 7

3
-13

- 21

- 20

1

13

55

17

28

23

0

-36

23
—99

are monthly averages.




Data may not add exactly because of

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OFFICIAL USE ONLY

-8-

Preliminary data indicate that Japanese short-term liabilities to
the U.S., as reported by U.S. banks, rose by $121 million in March to a record
$2,842 million. Part of the increase in these U.S. claims in recent months
reflects newly reported data rather than the creation of entirely new claims.
Table 10.

Jan.

1959
1960
1961
1S62
1963
1964
1965

168
326
875
1 ,601
1 ,697
2,,247
2,,720

Feb.

175
372
952
1 ,685
1 ,691
2 ,340 ,
2 ,721—'

Short-term Claims on Japan Reported by U.S. Banks
(in millions of U.S. dollars)

Mar.

204
420
1 ,069
1 ,778
1 ,751
2 ,400
2 ,842^/

Apr.

May

June

July

224
456
1 ,159
1 ,775
1 ,876
2 ,394

242
488
1 ,196
1 ,762
1 ,898
2.,421

260
497
1 ,272
1 ,758
1 ,872
2 ,469

256
586
1 ,341
1 ,765
1 ,877
2 ,416

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec .

269
628
1,335
1,767
1,798
2,472

262
660
1,288
1,711
1,890
2,493

262
693
1 ,281
1 ,710
1 ,904
2,,488

275
711
1,292
1,662
2,017
2,496

324
806
1,528
1,740
2,171
2,781

NOTE:

_§/

Data for 1962, 1963 and 1964 have been revised and include $52 million reported by
banks initially as of December 31, 1961. The December 1964 figure includes $128
million in newly reported data.
Preliminary.
Japan returned to the American capital market in April with its first
bond issue since September of 1963. Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation
floated a $22.5 million, 15-year, 5-3/4 per cent bond at a price of $97.25 with
a final yield to subscribers of 6.031 per cent. This bond is the first one eligible
for the $ 100 million per year exemption from the Interest Equalization Tax granted
by the United States to Japan in February.
There were no reported issues in May, but a second U.S. issue of $20
million is planned for June. This also will be a 15-year, 5-3/4 per cent bond,
issued by the Metropolis of Tokyo. In April of 1964 the Metropolis of Tokyo successfully placed a $22.5 million, 15-year, 5-3/4 per cent bond in Europe, and had the
bond listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
The World Bank approved a loan to the Japan Highway Public Corporation
in May equivalent to $75 million for a term of 25 years. It will bear interest
at 6.5 per cent. This is one per cent above the standard interest rate of the
World Bank, and is the first application of a policy adopted recently by the
Bank of charging higher interest rates to countries which cover their external
capital needs mainly in private capital markets.
Foreign exchange. The yen weakened substantially in both the spot and
forward markets during April and the first half of May. The spot middle-rate
depreciated from ¥360.75 to the dollar on April 1 to ¥362.45 to the dollar on
May 15. This is the weakest the yen has been since July of 1964. During the




OFFICIAL USE ONLY

OFFICIAL USE ONLY

-9-

third week in May, the yen strengthened slightly. In the forward market, the
yen continued to depreciate through May 10, but then strengthened slightly
through May 22. The weakness in April reportedly reflected the maturing of a
large volume of import bills contracted late in 1964, and also the net outflow
on current and long-term capital account during the month. In May, some of the
weakness in the early part of the month resulted from a moderate loss in Eurodollars .
Table 11.

Japan:

Customer's T.T. Exchange Rate of Bank of Tokyo in Tokyo

Yen-dollar
spot middle
rate

Three-month
forward middle
rate

Forward discount
in per cent
per annum

March 27

361.30

361.05

.28*

April

5
12
19 '
26

361.10
361.80
362.25
362.45

361.15
361.65
361.55
361.75

.06
.17*
.78*
.77*

May

4
10
15
22

362.60
362.60
362.45
362.35

362.05
362.15
361.90
361.90

.61*
.50*
.61*
.50*

*

Premium.

Asia, Africa and Latin America Section.

II.
Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart
Chart

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

-

Nine Charts on Financial Markets Abroad

International Money Market Yields for U.S. Dollar Investors
Interest Arbitrage, United States/Canada
Interest Arbitrage, New York/London
Interest Arbitrage for German Commercial Banks
Short-term Interest Rates
Long-term Bond Yields
Industrial Stock Indices
Spot Exchange Rates - Major Currencies Against U.S. Dollar
3-month Forward Exchange Rates




OFFICIAL USE ONLY

INTERNATIONAL
3-MONTH

EURO

MONEY

M A R K E T Y I E L D S FOR

DOLLAR

U.S. D O L L A R

DEPOSIT VS. CERTIFICATE

J

Yit

J

i D$

I

INVESTORS

OF DEPOSIT

aJ

J[,S
-

-

/ — 1

r x

-

z

"h

— i —

ricAii or IIPOSII
-

— 1i
vA

Xvfwl

|
EURO-DOLLAI
I . CERTIFICATE C> F DEPOSIT

Z

'

SELECTED I N T E R N A T I O N A L M O N E Y
Friday l i g u r n




-

V

Y

M

i

l

^

RATES

E U R O - D O L L A R DEPOSIT RATES ( L O N D O N )

C O M M E R C I A L PAPER-FULLY HED«EW

I

I

U.K. HILL PURCHASE

A '

V
1 1

1 1

GE, U N I T E D S T A T E S / C A N A D A

3 - M O N T H TREASURY BILL RATES

BILL

RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L A N D F O R W A R D C A N A D I A N D O L L A R

SMIAD IN IAVOR OF CANABA

3 - M O N T H C O V E R E D RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L S (NET I N C E N T I V E S )

m o t CANAiA

FAVOI U. $_^
fAVOI CANADA

TliASUIV l i m

i i M i
M

J

S

D

M

1»6J
Thunday ftgurei 1962, Friday thereafter.




J

S

lf*3

D

M

J

S

I •• 4

D

i I i i
M

J

S

m s

P

V
INTEREST A R B I T R A G E , N E W
Friday figures

YORK/LONDON

3 - M O N T H T R E A S U R Y BILL RATES

RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L A N D
FORWARD

3-MONTH

STERLING

xfWN
FORWARD RATE

RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L




WITH

FORWARD

EXCHANGE

IN FAVOR OF LONDON

IN FAVOR OF NEW YORK

COVER

(NET

INCENTIVE)

INTKRKST ARBITRAGE FOR GERMAN COMMERCIAL BANKS
Friday f l g u r t s

1

1

1

r

1

1

3 - M O N T H TREASURY BILLS, INTERBANK
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BELGIAN FRANC

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1.V4S

H.13
No. 198

June 2, 1965
III, Latest Figures Plotted In H.13 Chart Series, 1965
Per cent
per annum

Chart 1
Upper panel
(Wednesday,

May 26

(Friday, May 28
,
except as noted)

)

Euro-$ deposit

5. 00

U.S. certif. of deposit

4.32

Treasury bills:

Lower panels
(Friday,

May 28

Euro-dollars:

)

Call
7-day
30-day
90-day
180-day

Finance Co. paper:

4. 38
4.50
5.06
5.25
5.44

U.S.

& 2 5

Canada

4.95

Hire-purchase paper, U.K.

Canada

3.84

U.S.

3.85
-0.01

Forward Canadian dollar

+0.27

Net incentive (Canada +)

+0,26

Chart 3
May 28

Treasury bills:

U. K.

6.20

Germany

3. 12

Canada

3.84
3,25

Euro-$ deposit (London)

5^25

Japan: composite rate
(Date:
Feb. 26 )

7.968

Chart 6

U.S. govt.
(Wed.
May 26

)

Spread favor Canada

(Friday,

1^85

Bonds:

May 28

Treasury bills:

U.S.

Swiss 3-month deposits
(Date: April 15 )

4.87

Chart 2
(Friday,

Per cent
per annum

Chart 5

)

U.K.

6.20

U.S.

3.85

Spread favor U.K.

)

6.73

German Fed. Railway
(Fri.
May 28

)

6^85

Swiss Confederation
(Fri.
Mav 21

)

-LJLL

Canadian govt.
(Wed.
May 19
May 26

)
)

5.09
5. 14

Netherlands government
perpetual
(Fri,
May 21
)

5. 13

2^35

Forward pound

-2.44

Net incentive (U.K. +)

-0.09

Digitized for
ForFRASER
description and sources
September 23, 1964.


4. 18

U.K. war loan
(Thurs.
May ?7

of data see special annex to H. 13 Number 164,