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January 20, 1971 No. 489 i of International Finance Europe and British Commonwealth Section SELECTED INTEREST & EXCHANGE RATES FOR MAJOR COUNTRIES & THE US. WEEKLY SERIES OF CHARTS # BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM TABLE OF CONTENTS PART I. EXCHANGE RATES AND GOLD PRICES Chart 1A and B - Spot Exchange Rates, Major Currencies against U.S. Dollar Chart 2A and B - 3-Month Forward Exchange Rates, Major Currencies against U.S. Dollar Chart 3A and B - 3-Month Forward Exchange Rates, Major Currencies against U.K. Pound Chart 4 - Gold Price in London PART II. SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES Chart 5 - Call Money Rates Chart 6A and B - London: Euro-$ Deposit Rates Chart 7A and B - New York - London: Yields on U.S. Dollar Funds Chart 8A and B - London: Covered Yields on U.S. Dollar Funds Chart 9A and B - Interest Arbitrage: United States-United Kingdom Chart 10A and B - Interest Arbitrage: U.S.-Germany and U.S.-Switzerland Chart 11 - Interest Arbitrage: United States-Canada Chart 12A and B - Selected Short-term Interest Rates PART III. LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES AND STOCK INDICES Chart 13 Chart 14 - Long-Term Bond Yields - Industrial Stock Indices PART IV. LATEST FIGURES PLOTTED ON THE CHARTS NOTE: This series is a continuation of the CAPITAL MARKETS DEVELOPMENTS ABROAD, which has been published under that title through December 31, 1968. The changes in the format and order of the charts are fully explained in the Supplement to the series, which accompanied issue dated January 1, 1969. C h a r t 1A SPOT EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR Weekly averages " Per cent Above par SWISS FRANC 1.6 { GERMAN MARK U.K. POUND | Below par ] ~ ~ A b o v e par FRENCH FRANC- JAPANESE YEN U.S. DUTCH GUILDER B e l o w par S 1968 M J S D 1969 * D e v a l u a t i o n of the French f r a n c f r o m 4 . 9 4 t o 5.55 for $1.00. * * DM rate n o t s u p p o r t e d by the Bundesbank. * * * R e v a l u a t i o n of t h e DM f r o m 2 5 . 0 0 to 2 7 . 3 2 in U.S. cents. M J 1970 S D M J 1971 S D Chart I B SPOT EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR Weekly averages Percent Above par 1.2 CANADIAN DOLLAR I r BELGIAN FRANC ITALIAN LIRA 1.2 Below par M S D 1968 J 1969 * Can. $ rate not s u p p o r t e d by Bank of Canada. S D M J 1970 S D M J 1971 S D Chart 2A 3-MONTH FORWARD EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR Weekly averages Per c e n t per a n n u m PREMIUM* GERMAN MARK SWISS FRANC U.K. POUND DISCOUNTS D 1968 M J 1969 S D M J 1970 S D M J 1971 S D C h a r t 2B 3-MONTH FORWARD EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. DOLLAR Wee kly averages Per cent per a n n u m PREMIUM* DUTCH GUILDER CANADIAN DOLLAR FRENCH FRANC 20 24 28 j s D 1968 M J DISCOUNT S 1969 * Devaluation of the F r e n c h f r a n c f r o m 4.94 to 5.55 for $1.00. * * Can. $ rate not s u p p o r t e d by Bank of Canada. D 32 M J 1970 S D S 1971 D 3-MONTH FORWARD EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.K. POUND Friday f i g u r e s « Per cent per a n n u m 24 PREMIUM* 20 GERMAN MARK U.S. DOLLAR DISCOUNT— J S D 1968 S 1969 D M S 1970 D M J 1971 S D 3-MONTH FORWARD EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.K. POUND Friday f i g u r e s Per c e n t per a n n u m PREMIUM* SWISS FRANC FRENCH FRANCi j M J S D 1968 J DISCOUNT— S 1969 " D e v a l u a t i o n of t h e F r e n c h franc f r o m 4.94 to 5.55 for $ 1 . 0 0 D 20 J 1970 s D M S 1971 D GOLD PRICE IN LONDON, 12.5 Kg BARS W e e k ' s a v e r a g e of a f t e r n o o n f i x i n g s U.S. d o l l a r e q u i v a l e n t per fine o u n c e 44 42 38 36 34 s 1968 s D M J 1969 S 1970 MARKET SUPPORTED BY GOLD POOL U.S. dollar equivalent per fine ounce I I I M I I I 1 ! J 1967 M a r k e t closed M ar c h 15-April 1, 1 9 6 8 : w I I I D J 1971 S D CHART 5A CALL MONEY RATES DOLLAR FUNDS r CALL EURO-DOLLAR DEPOSITS f FEDERAL FUNDS EURO DOLLAR OVER FEDERAL FUNDS Per cent per a n n u m EURO-CURRENCIES r Weekly averages I EURO DM EURO DOLLAR EURO-SWISS FRANC 1968 1969 1970 1971 ' 1 12 Chart 58 CALL MONEY RATES FOREIGN C U R R E N C I E S * Per cent per a n n u m JAPAN SELECTED EEC C U R R E N C I E S * * Per cent per a n n u m Friday figures FRANCE GERMANY NETHERLANDS 1968 1969 1970 * Japan, U n c o n d i t i o n a l Money; U.K., 2-day Local Authority Deposits; Canada, Day-to-day Loans, w e e k l y average. * * G e r m a n y , Call Money; France, Day-to-day Money; N e t h e r l a n d s , Call Money, weekly average. LONDON: EURO DOLLAR DEPOSIT RATES Per cent per a n n u m Friday f i g u r e s 13 { J M J S D 1968 M J S 1969 D M J S 1970 D M J S 1971 5 2 Chart 6 8 LONDON: EURO DOLLAR DEPOSIT RATES Friday figures 6-MONTH 3 MONTH 1968 1969 1970 1971 NEW YORK-LONDON: YIELDS ON U.S. DOLLAR FUNDS 3 M O N T H DOLLAR DEPOSIT R A T E S - S E C O N D A R Y M A R K E T Wednesday figures EURO-DOLLAR DEPOSIT U.S. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSIT EURO DOLLAR OVER U.S. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSIT M J S D 1968 M j S 1969 D M J 1970 S D NEW YORK-LONDON: COSTS OF U.S. DOLLAR FUNDS 3 M O N T H DOLLAR DEPOSIT R A T E S - P R I M A R Y MARKET Wednesday f i g u r e s EURO-DOLLAR DEPOSIT ADJUSTED EURO-DOLLAR DEPOSIT U.S. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSIT ADJUSTED* I I 1 I I 1 i I 1 i i 1 M I M I i j _ L I „i EURO-DOLLAR OVER U.S. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSIT ADJUSTED L i I I I L.1 ! 1 1.11 1 I U L.L 1 1 I 1 I J. I I I 1971 * Adjusted for Reserve R e q u i r e m e n t * * Adjusted for 10% M a r g i n a l Reserve Requirement * * * Adjusted for 2 0 % M a r g i n a l Reserve R e q u i r e m e n t Chart 8A LONDON: COVERED YIELDS ON U.S. DOLLAR FUNDS HIRE PURCHASE AND EURO-DOLLAR RATES Friday f i g u r e s . Per cent per a n n u m EURO-DOLLAR DEPOSIT i] HIRE PURCHASE COVERED FAVOR HIRE PURCHASE m DIFFERENTIAL FAVOR EURO DOLLAR S D 1968 S 1969 D M J 1970 S D J 1971 S D Chart 8 B LONDON: COVERED YIELDS ON U.S. DOLLAR FUNDS -OCAL AUTHORITY AND EURO DOLLAR RATES . Per cent per ai riday figures 14 12 EURO DOLLAR DEPOSIT 10 8 6 LOCAL AUTHORITY DEPOSIT COVERED 4 2 + 0 FAVOR LOCAL AUTHORITY • 0 2 4 6 DIFFERENTIAL FAVOR EURO DOLLAR I I 1 I I I I I INTEREST ARBITRAGE: UNITED STATES AND UNITED KINGDOM Per cent per annum Friday figures 12 3 M O N T H TREASURY P ; L L RATES T U.K. LOCAL A U T H O R I T Y D E P O S I T S UNCOVERED ! 10 LONDON NEW YORK 1968 Plotted for comparison purposes 1971 INTEREST ARBITRAGE: UNITED STATES AND UNITED KINGDOM Friday f i g u r e s Per cent per 4 RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND 3-MONTH FORWARD STERLING 2 SPREAD IN FAVOR OF LONDON + PREMIUM 0 DISCOUNT FORWARD RATE 2 4 6 8 10 12 2 IN FAVOR OF LONDON + 0 m ! 2 4 ilN FAVOR OF NEW YORK 6 8 RATE DIFFERENTIAL WITH FORWARD EXCHANGE COVER (NET INCENTIVE) s 1968 s 1969 D J 1970 s D M S 1971 D Av 3-MONTH INTEREST ARBITRAGE: U.S. - GERMANY F R A N K F U R T I N T E R B A N K L O A N R A T E VS. L O N D O N E U R O - D O L L A R R A T E Wednesday rates Per cent per a IN T E R M S O F D M GERMAN INTERBANK LOAN RATE I EURO-DOLLAR COVERED FAVOR FRANKFUR DIFFERENTIAL FAVOR EURO DOLLAR 1970 1971 Chart 10B 3-MONTH INTEREST ARBITRAGE: U.S. - SWITZERLAND ZURICH DEPOSIT RATE VS. LONDON EURO-DOLLAR RATE Per cent per annum Wednesday rates 14 IN TERMS OF SWISS FRANCS EURO-DOLLAR COVERED SWISS DEPOSIT RATE FAVOR ZURICH DIFFERENTIAL FAVOR EURO DOLLAR 1968 1969 1970 C h a r t 11 3-MONTH INTEREST ARBITRAGE: UNITED STATES - CANADA Friday f i g u r e s Per c e n t per a n n u m CAN. FIN. CO. PAPER CANADIAN t TREASURY BILLS UNITED STATES TREASURY BILLS T BILL RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND FORWARD CANADIAN DOLLAR PREMIUM GROSS SPREAD IN FAVOR OF CANADA DISCOUNT FORWARD RATE I 1 L T i r COVERED RATE DIFFERENTIALS TREASURY BILLS FAVOR U.S. FAVOR CANADA PRIME FINANCE PAPER FAVOR U.S. M S D 1967 J 1968 D M S 1969 D S 1970 D ; " z" Chart 12A SELECTED SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES* Per c r n ! per ,mm GERMANY U.K. U.S. 1 9 T JAPAN U.S. CANADA 1967 1968 1969 1970 * 3 m o n t h t r e a s u r y bill rates for all c o u n t r i e s except J a p a n l A v e r a g e rate on bank loans and d i s c o u n t s ) and G e r m a n y ( l n t e r b a n k Loan Rate) 1971 SELECTED SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES * Per cent per a n n u m EURO DOLLAR - L O N D O N SWITZERLAND 1967 1969 3 m o n t h t r e a s u r y bill rate for U S . S w i t z e r l a n d - 3 m o n t h deposit rate. ' * 3 - m o n t h rate for U S dollar d e p o s i t s m L o n d o n 1971 r Z LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS Weekly f i g u r e s Per c e n t per a n n u m CANADA NETHERLANDS U.S. SWITZERLAND 10 U.K. GERMANY " E U R O DOLLAR BONDS Monthly figures U.S. CORP. DOLLAR EURO-BONDS U.S. CORP. DM EURO-BONDS U.S. CORP. Aaa BONDS 1966 * 1967 New series f o r S w i t z e r l a n d s t a r t s 3-3-67. * * New series f o r S w i t z e r l a n d starts 8-2-68. * * * New-Average y i e l d of all German PA Bonds begins 9 4 70. 1968 1969 1970 - > CHART 14 1958-100 INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDICES Ratio scale SWITZERLAND GERMANY ! 200 U.K. ! j i 240 7 ^ CANADA 200 1 i i I I i 1 1 i i 1 i i i I i i i i i , 1 \ i I i i ' i i 160 380 - ! • 320 [ JAPAN * 280 240 200 1 1 1 1 1 t 1 1 1 1 1 i 1967 i 1 i i I i 1968 i l i i I I i I I I 1 1 1 1 1 1969 * Japan index of 2 2 5 i n d u s t r i a l and other stocks t r a d e d on the Tokyo exchange * * Japan index of all i n d u s t r i a l and o t h e r s t o c k s t r a d e d on the first section of t h e Tokyo Stock Exchange. 1970 ';•! H. 13 No. 489 IV. LATEST FIGURES PLOTTED ON THE CHARTS Chart Panel Series Date 1A Upper Swiss franc Jan. 15 Lower Rate 40.547 U.K. pound +0.116 +0.729 Dutch guilder French franc 40.601 Japanese yen IB 2A " Belgian franc „ 40.489 Italian lira " 40. 738 40.289 Canadian dollar — German mark 3A 3B 4 5 Upper " -1.34 " -0.24 Canadian dollar " -0.45 French franc " -0.51 German mark ii U.S. dollar " Swiss franc „ 41.14 41.34 +1.83 French franc " 40.91 Gold price, U.S. dollar per ounce " 37.96 Differential * Japanese Unconditional Money German Call Money Euro-Currencies Euro $ Euro DM Euro Swiss Fr. Add Canada Netherlands -0.22 40. 66 Dutch guilder Federal Funds Lower " U.K. pound Call Euro-$ deposits Middle - - Jan. 15 Swiss franc 2B +1.477 German mark Jan. 13 5.62 " 4.27 +1.35 •• ]Dec.31-Jan.8 Jan. 15 8.00 7.50 7.69 U.K. 2-day Local Authority Deposits Jan. 8 6.56 French Day-to-day Money Jan. 15 6.62 Jan. 6.71 6.83 4.12 8 Jan. 6 5.25 Dec. 4-Dec.ll 5.33 6.85 Dec.18-Dec.24 6.80 7.00 Dec. 31-Jan. 8 6.81 6.70 IV- 2 Chart Panel 6A Date Euro-$ Call Rate Jan. 15 Euro-$ 1-month Rate 6B- 7A Upper 7B Upper " 6.00 Euro-$ 6-month Rate " 6.31 Jan. 13 6.06 U.S. Certificate of Deposits » 5.22 Differential " Euro-$ 3-month Deposits " U.S. Certificate of Deposits (Adj.) Upper 2.19 2.19 ii .. i. +0.59r + 0 . 6 7 6.56 » 6.81 Lower Differential " +0.25 Euro-$ 3-month Deposits " 6.56 Local Authority Deposits (covered) " 6.25 Lower Differential " -0.31 Upper U.S. Treasury Bill rate Jan. 15 4.35 U.K. Treasury Bill rate " 6.66 Local Authority Deposit (uncovered) Jan. 8 7.19 Spread (+= favor London) Jan. 15 +2.31 3-month Forward Pound Lower *** 5.39 i. Upper 9A 9B 7.58 5.79r Dec. 31 Hire Purchase Deposits (covered) 8B 6.06 " Differential: on Adj. Euro-$ Deposits Euro-$ 3-month Deposits 40.84 Jan. 6 - 1 3 on Unadj. Euro-$ Deposits 8A 5.94 " * * * Euro-$ 3-month Deposits (Adj.) Lower 5.00 Euro-$ 3-month Rate Euro-$ 3-month Deposits Lower Rate Series Net Incentive (+= favor London) Adjusted for 20 per cent Marginal Reserve Requirement. -1.52 " +0. 79 IV - 3 Rate Chart Panel Series Date 10A Upper Euro-$ Deposits (covered) Jan. 13 6.22 German Interbank Loan rate " 7.50 Lower Differential " +1.28 Upper Euro-$ Deposits (covered) 10B Jan. Swiss Deposit rate 11 Lower Differential Upper Canadian Finance Paper 5.93 5.25 " -0.68 Jan. 15 6.25 " 4.35 U.S. Treasury Bill rate 12A 6 " Canadian Treasury Bill rate " 4.53 U.S. Prime Finance paper (not plotted) " 5.19 Second Bill rate differential " 40.18 Forward Canadian dollar " -0.63 Third Net incentive on bills " -0.45 Bottom Net incentive on Finance Paper " 40.43 Upper Lower U.K. Treasury Bill rate " German Interbank Loan rate " 6. 66 4.35 7.50 Japanese Average rate November 7.699 Canadian Treasury Bill rate Jan. 15 4.53 " 4.35 U.S. Treasury Bill rate 12B Jan. 15 U.S. Treasury Bill rate Euro-$ Deposits 6.00 " Swiss 3-month Deposit rate Jan. 8 5.25 U.S. Treasury Bill rate Jan. 15 4.35 IV- 4 Chart Panel Series 13 Upper Netherlands Lower Dec. 4-11-18-• 7. 68-7. 65-7.57 24-31-Jan. 8 7.58-7.59-7.49 Canada Jan. 6 6.25 United States Jan. 13 6.09 Switzerland Middle Rate Date * Germany Dec. 24 - 3( 5.73r Jan. 8 5.73 Dec. 31 7.98 United Kingdom Jan. 8 9.70 Euro-dollar bonds Jan. 15 7.60 U.S. Corp. Dollar Euro-bonds November 8.24 U.S. Corp. DM Euro-bonds U.S. Corp. Aaa bonds 14 Upper Middle Switzerland ** December Jan. 8 - 1 5 7.64 356.7 Jan. United States Jan. 15 205.49 " 191.59 United Kingdom * * Japan United States * 7.83 Germany Canada Lower 5.70 Jan. 7 7 359.3 240.0 240.0 Dec. 25 335.11 Jan. 15 205.49 New -- Average yield of ALL German Public Authorities bonds made as of banking key days. Beginning week ended September 5, 1970, the Japanese index plotted is that of all industrial and other stocks on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.