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DIVISION O F I N T E R N A T I O N A L F I N A N C E BOARD OF GOVERNOR# F E D E R A L RESERVE SYSTEM Hl 13 !o ' 160 „ ' ' August 12, 196lt. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS ABROAD I. II. I Japan Nine Charts on Financial Markets Abroad Japan: Money and Capital Markets i n June - July Recently there have been signs of a slackening i n Japanese borrowing ^ i n both the United States and Europe, Japan f l o a t e d only one $10 m i l l i o n bond i s s u e i n Europe i n July, and because of t i g h t e r conditions i n European money markets, the Ministry of Finance i s reportedly planning t o reduce the volume of private i s s u e s i n Europe during the next e i g h t months- Five more government and government-guaranteed i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $93«5 m i l l i o n are scheduled to be f l o a t e d before next April, along with p o s s i b l y three or four private i s s u e s of $10-15) m i l l i o n each. At the same time. U,S, short-term claims on Japan rose only $23 m i l l i o n i n April-May i n contrast t o an increase of $226 m i l l i o n during the f i r s t quarter. Long-term claims have also been r i s i n g much l e s s r a p i d l y i n recent months than e a r l i e r . (See Table l ) . Table 1. 1 Japan: Short- and Long-term Borrowings i n the U.S. ~ ~~ ( i n m i l l i o n s o f U,s. d o l l a r s ) Change during year I960 1961 1962 1963 I 1963 11 III Change during Period 196U IV Feb.. Mar Ap- • May Total U80 3 W 722 212 51 5 727 353 397 169 566 11 2 13 118 35 133 - 7 287 30 102 23 3B9 7h 93 11 32 m ion Securities 2/ Total 30 353 £8 W> 200 5 l 766 35 8U 237 60 5 %3 39H m 1/ !•?/ ±/ lhl kOb Bank-reported l i a b i l i t i e s to the U.S. New s e c u r i t y f l o t a t i o n s Preliminary, . 0 0 ion 59 lit 73 - 7a/ 61/ --11/ 30 2 32 'o 73 0 -3a/ 0 32 • This slackening i n f o r e i g n borrowing has occurred at a time of continued t i g h t conditions i n Japanese f i n a n c i a l markets, (See Table 2% Several of the f a c t o r s contributing to the slowdown include a slower rate of increase i n acceptance OFFICIAL USE ONLY (Decontrolled a f t e r 6 months) OFFICIAL USE ONLY f i n a n c i n g s i n c e imports have i n c r e a s e d l e s s r a p i d l y , a t i g h t e n i n g i n European f i n a n c i a l markets, and the consequent p o l i c y of limiting f u t u r e f l o t a t i o n s i n Europe mainly to government and government-guaranteed i s s u e s 0 In a d d i t i o n , the improvement i n the balance-of-payments p o s i t i o n may be encouraging Japanese commercial i n t e r e s t s t o expect some r e l a x a t i o n i n c r e d i t a v a i l a b i l i t i e s i n domestic f i n a n c i a l m a r k e t s ' i n the near f u t u r e c The balance o f payments continued to improve i n June as the s e a s o n a l l y adjusted trade d e f i c i t narrowed f u r t h e r 0 Early i n July the M i n i s t e r of Finance announced that the balance of payments f o r the c u r r e n t f i s c a l year ending next March vd.ll probably r e g i s t e r a surplus of about $50 million,. This c o n t r a s t s with a d e f i c i t of $150 m i l l i o n p r e d i c t e d by the M i n i s t e r l a s t January. I n t e r n a t i o n a l r e s e r v e s r o s e $7 m i l l i o n i n June to $1,937 m i l l i o n , p r i m a r i l y as a r e s u l t of the better-^trade performance and $65 m i l l i o n i n bond i s s u e s i n Europe = In J u l y , however 5 r e s e r v e s d e c l i n e d $22 m i l l i o n , i n p a r t , because of a much smaller r e f l u x o f the E u r o - d o l l a r s t h a t had flowed out i n June 0 I n a move to reduce the adverse e f f e c t s o f t h e s e v o l a t i l e short-term c a p i t a l f l o w s on the domestic money market and at the same time s t r e n g t h e n the t i g h t money p o l i c y , Japan imposed e a r l y i n July new q u a n t i t a t i v e l i m i t s on the short-term l i a b i l i t i e s of Japanese f o r e i g n exchange banks» On the domestic s i d e , money market c o n d i t i o n s t i g h t e n e d f u r t h e r i n June and J u l y , and c a l l l o a n r a t e s increased,, The average i n t e r e s t r a t e on commercial bank l o a n s and d i s c o u n t s a l s o r o s e i n A p r i l , continuing the general uptrend from the low reached i n February c Bank credit, i n May rose a t the same r a t e as a y e a r e a r l i e r , but more r a p i d l y than i n the previous four months„ The stock market eased a f t e r reaching a high for the y e a r e a r l y i n July and through August 3 show no s i g n s of r a l l y i n g « I n a move aimed a t reducing the l e v e l of e f f e c t i v e or r e a l i n t e r e s t r a t e s , commercial banks " v o l u n t a r i l y " agreecT l a t e i n June to cut t h e i r compens a t o r y balance requirements by one-half i n s i x months and to e l i m i n a t e them a l t o g e t h e r w i t h i n one y e a r . I f t h i s move does a c t u a l l y reduce e f f e c t i v e i n t e r e s t r a t e s , i t i s l i k e l y t h a t itcf would cause an i n c r e a s e d demand f o r bank c r e d i t „ I n a d d i t i o n , an e a s i n g i n i n t e r e s t r a t e s would mean a b a s i c s h i f t t o an e a s i e r money p o l i c y i n c o n t r a s t t o the p r e s e n t p o l i c y of f i n a n c i a l retrenchment 0 Although the Japanese are o p t i m i s t i c regarding an e a r l y r e s o l u t i o n of the balance of payments problem,, t h i s i s s t i l l i n the realm of e x p e c t a t i o n s rather than r e a l i t y 0 Money market 0 Conditions i n the money market continued t o t i g h t e n i n June i n s p i t e of a n e t expansionary impact from monetary developments„ An i n c r e a s e i n Bank of Japan c r e d i t of ¥l5h b i l l i o n and net Treasury payments of ¥"5 b i l l i o n i n June more than o f f s e t the c o n t r a c t i o n a r y impact from a ¥120 b i l l i o n i n c r e a s e i n bank notes i n c i r c u l a t i o n = I n J u l y , the money market continued to tighten. OFFICIAL USE ONLY — 3 - OFFICIAL USE ONLY I n t e r e s t r a t e s . Call loan r a t e s continued to increase i n June and July. After remaining at 10*6 per cent during most of June, the r a t e f o r unconditional c a l l loan money (repayable at a day's notice) jumped to 11<>3 per cent for the l a s t four days of the month. During the f i r s t half of July the rate eased to the e a r l i e r level of 10*6 per cent, but between July 1$ and 25 i t advanced to the 10,95 per cent l e v e l . The r a t e f o r over-night money (for settlement on the f o l lowing day) changed by the same degree during t h i s period and over-month-end c a l l money (repayable a t a day's notice i n the following month) remained a t 12.8 per cent during June and most of July. (See Table 2). Table 2. Japans Average Call Loan Money Rates i n Tokyo (in per cent per annum) Overnight l / Unconditional 2/ Over-month-end 3 / May 2 9 16 23 30 8 76 o 9.125 9.125 9.125 9.190 9.125 9.190 9.1*90 9.U90 9.855 11.680 11.680 11.680 11.680 11.680 June 6 13 20 27 10.220 10.220 10.220 10.950 10.585 10.585 10.585 11.315 12.775 12.775 12.775 12.775 July U 11 18 23 10.220 10.220 10.585 10.585 10.585 10.585 l0o950 10.950 12.775 12.775 12.775 12.775 1/ For settlement on following day. 2/ Repayable at a day's notice, 3/ 'Repayable at a day's notice i n the following month. The average-monthly i n t e r e s t r a t e on bank loans and discounts continued to r i s e i n March and April, thus reversing the steady decline since September of 1962 0 From a level of 7.70 per cent i n January-February, the r a t e rose to 7.73 per cent and 7.85 per cent i n March and April, respectively. This upturn r e f l e c t s the t i g h t money policy f i r s t i n s t i t u t e d l a s t December and reinforced in January and March. OFFICIAL USE ONIZ IP . OFFICIAL USE ONLY Table 3» Japans ' u ~ Average Monthly I n t e r e s t Rate on Bank Loans and Discounts ( i n per cent per annum) March June September December 1/ " 1959 I960 1961 1962 1963 196U 8.18 8.28 8.06 8 oil 8.21 8.22 8„1U 8.08 7o92 7.88 8.00 8.20 80 22 8.23 8.2k 8.09 7.92 7.75 7.68 7.67 7.73 7.82 Aprilo Bank, loans and discounts. Bank c r e d i t rose 1 0 8 per cent i n May, the same rate as a year e a r l i e r . During 'the January-April period, the average monthly rate of increase was 1„0 per cento Loans and discounts of b i l l s rose 0 o 6 and 2„3 per cent i n May compared to 1 0 6 per cent f o r each category, r e s p e c t i v e l y , a year earliero Holdings of s e c u r i t i e s increased 5>°U per cent, or s u b s t a n t i a l l y higher than the 2.7 per cent r i s e a year e a r l i e r 0 Bank deposits were up only 1.2 per cent i n contrast to a r i s e of 2.9 per cent a year e a r l i e r . The proportion of bank loans and discounts extended for purchases of equipment increased from 1 7 . 1 per cent i n April to 17=2 per cent i n Mayo , T h i s i s the highest l e v e l since November of 1962 and i t i s well above the c y c l i c a l low of 16,3 per cent i n March of 1963° The credit expansion quota f o r Japan-s 13 large c i t y banks was s e t at ¥297o6 b i l l i o n f o r the third quarter of t h i s year by the Bank of Japan e a r l y i n July c This i s 22 per cent below the actual c r e d i t expansion that occurred i n the same period a year e a r l i e r 0 I n the f i r s t and second quarters, the c r e d i t expansion l i m i t s were "set 10 and 12 per cent below the actual amount of c r e d i t expansion that occurred a year e a r l i e r . Late i n June the Federation of Bankers1 Associations announced that i n response to government requests, i t had "voluntarily" i n s t r u c t e d member banks to reduce compensatory balance requirements to one-half of t h e i r current l e v e l within s i x months and to eliminate them altogether within one year. The general aim of. t h i s move i s to reduce the l e v e l of e f f e c t i v e or r e a l i n t e r e s t rateso Bond marketo New i s s u e s of bonds i n May totaledT ¥138 b i l l i o n , up ¥ 5 b i l l i o n from the April l e v e l 0 The major f a c t o r i n the r i s e was an increase i n new i s s u e s of bank debentures from ¥80 b i l l i o n i n April to ¥8U b i l l i o n i n May, New i s s u e s of public corporation debentures were down ¥1 b i l l i o n from the April l e v e l to ¥28 b i l l i o n i n May, and new i s s u e s of i n d u s t r i a l debentures rose ¥1 b i l l i o n to ¥26 b i l l i o n 0 Average y i e l d s on bonds and debentures were unchanged i n May from the April l e v e l except for a s l i g h t r i s e i n the y i e l d on i n d u s t r i a l bonds from 7»U83 per cent to 7dt89 per cento OFFICIAL USE ONLY OFFICIAL USE ONLY Stock market. Stock p r i c e s improved i n June, reaching a high f o r t h e year on July 3* but during the r e s t of J u l y d e c l i n e d t o lower l e v e l s „ Between April 9 — a low f o r t h e year — and July 3, stock p r i c e s rose lU per c e n t . On August 3, p r i c e s were s t i l l 5 per cent below the y e a r ' s high 0 The May-June uptrend has been a t t r i b u t e d p r i m a r i l y t o the improved balance-of-payments p o s i t i o n . Table Dow Jones Average o f 225 S t o c k s , F i r s t S e c t i o n of Tokyo Exchange May 25 ¥ 1,318 June 1 8 15 22 29 1,319 1,299 i,3U5 1,316 l,3k8 July Augo 6 13 20 27 ¥1,363 1,331 1.325 1.326 3 1,30U 1963 High Low ¥1,201 1961i High Low ¥ 1,369 ¥ 1,203 ¥ 1,63k Foreign trade 0 The s e a s o n a l l y adjusted trade d e f i c i t continued to narrow i n June as e x p o r t s r o s e 5 per c e n t and imports remained unchanged,,. The June d e f i c i t of $108 m i l l i o n was the l o w e s t t h i s year and r e p r e s e n t e d a subs t a n t i a l improvement from t h e peak d e f i c i t i n January of $225 m i l l i o n , . Most of the improvement i n the trade balance has been due to a s u b s t a n t i a l expansion of e x p o r t s , imports having r i s e n o n l y s l i g h t l y 0 The trade f i g u r e s (monthly, or monthly a v e r a g e s , on a customs b a s i s ) i n Table 5 are based on s e a s o n a l a d j u s t ment f a c t o r s computed by the Board of Governors o f the Federal Reserve System,, Table 5° Imports Exports Balance U9U 382 1962 II III IV 1*68 U52 U09 U26 U6I4. iql; "112 - £9 -26 - 50 Japan; U88 U22 S e a s o n a l l y Adjusted Foreign Trade ( i n m i l l i o n s of U„S„ d o l l a r s ) 1963 II III IV I 515 582 kh3 U6l 6U3 U8U 659 U91 - 66 - 1 0 2 - 1 2 1 -159 II 66I4. 5Ul -168-123 1961 Mar. Apr. 628 517 -111 May 669 662 5U2. 526 June 662 551 -127 - 1 3 6 - 1 0 8 Foreign r e s e r v e s and c a p i t a l f l o w s „ I n t e r n a t i o n a l r e s e r v e s f e l l $22 m i l l i o n i n July t o a l e v e l o f . $ 1 , 9 1 5 m i l l i o n . Preliminary r e p o r t s i n d i c a t e t h a t the primary cause of the d e c l i n e was a smaller volume of c a p i t a l r e c e i p t s , due i n p a r t t o a much smaller r e f l u x i n July of t h e E u r o - d o l l a r s t h a t had f l o w e d out i n June„ Since l a s t October's peak, r e s e r v e s have d e c l i n e d $187 m i l l i o n , , The current account d e f i c i t i n the balance o f payments, a s measured on an exchange t r a n s a c t i o n s b a s i s , narrowed s u b s t a n t i a l l y from $102 m i l l i o n i n May to $hk m i l l i o n i n June. The d e f i c i t on commodity trade d e c l i n e d s h a r p l y from " OFFICIAL USE ONLY - OFFICIAL USE ONLY 6 - $53 m i l l i o n i n May to $9 m i l l i o n i n June, and n e t payments f o r s e r v i c e s a l s o d e c l i n e d from $b9 m i l l i o n t o $35 m i l l i o n . Net long-term c a p i t a l r e c e i p t s were $70 m i l l i o n , b o l s t e r e d by $65 m i l l i o n i n Japanese s e c u r i t i e s i s s u e s i n Europe during June* Net short-term c a p i t a l r e c e i p t s o f $27 m i l l i o n brought t o t a l c a p i t a l r e c e i p t s to $97 m i l l i o n . Since r e s e r v e s r o s e $7 m i l l i o n i n June, while recorded net r e c e i p t s were $53 m i l l i o n , errors and omissions t o t a l e d $l±6 million,, According t o p r e l i m i n a r y data, Japanese s h o r t - t e r m l i a b i l i t i e s t o the U»So as reported by U.S, banks r o s e $30 m i l l i o n i n May to $2,398 m i l l i o n . This i s a smaller monthly i n c r e a s e than those r e g i s t e r e d e a r l i e r i n the y e a r , and probably r e f l e c t s the r e c e n t s l a c k e n i n g i n the volume of imports which i n t u r n has had an impact on t h e volume o f acceptance f i n a n c i n g . Table 6 S h o r t - t e r m Claims on Japan Reported by U.S. Banks ( i n m i l l i o n s of U,S 0 d o l l a r s ) 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1961 Jan 0 Feb. Mar, 168 ,362 875 i,601 1,697 2,223 175 372 952 1,685 1,691 2,316 20U U20 1,069 1,778 1,751 2,375" Apr 0 Dec, May 221; 2lt2 26 0 250 U88 U67 1,159 1,196 1,272 1 , 7 7 5 1,762 1 , 7 5 8 1,876 1,896 1,869 2,368a/2,398a/ 256 586 1,311 1,765 1,872 269 628 1,335 1,767 1J93 262 660 1,288 1,711 1,862 262 693 1,281 1,710 1,876 27 5 32k 711 806 1,292 1,528 1 , 6 6 2 1,7U0 1,995 2,lk9 NOTE: a/ Data f o r 1962 and 1963 have been r e v i s e d and i n c l u d e $52 m i l l i o n r e p o r t e d by banks i n i t i a l l y as of December 31, 1 9 6 l , Preliminary. Japan p l a c e d two bond i s s u e s i n Europe i n June t o t a l i n g $65 m i l l i o n . The f i r s t was a $15 m i l l i o n , 1 5 - y e a r , 6 - 1 / 2 per c e n t c o n v e r t i b l e bond i s s u e by the Toyo Rayon Company i n London and Luxembourg, and the o t h e r was a $50 m i l l i o n , 1 5 - y e a r , 6 per c e n t bond i s s u e i n Germany p l a c e d by the Government of Japan, The o n l y European f l o t a t i o n i n J u l y was a $10 m i l l i o n , l 5 - y e a r , 6 - 1 / 4 per cent c o n v e r t i b l e bond i s s u e p l a c e d i n London and Luxembourg by H i t a c h i , Ltd, O r i g i n a l l y t h i s i s s u e was scheduled to be $15 m i l l i o n , but i n view of the r e c e n t t i g h t n e s s i n the European c a p i t a l market, the amount was lowered to $10 m i l l i o n . Reports i n d i c a t e t h a t because o f the r e c e n t i n c r e a s e s i n o f f i c i a l d i s c o u n t r a t e s i n s e v e r a l European c o u n t r i e s and a subsequent t i g h t e n i n g of the c a p i t a l market, the M i n i s t r y of Finance w i l l g i v e p r i o r i t y during the rfest of t h e year to government and government-guaranteed bond i s s u e s i n Europe, s c a l i n g down somewhat the planned volume of p r i v a t e bond i s s u e s . OFFICIAL USE ONLY OFFICIAL USE ONLY Table 7 . Japan? Long-term Borrowings i n Europe Reported i n F i n a n c i a l Press a / Capital Markets Amount Month Floated Bank of Japan $ 7 . 0 m. Jan. 1962 Two 5 - y e a r c r e d i t s from 3 Swiss banks a t 5 - 1 / 2 - 5-3/U per c e n t i n Sw0 francso Switz. Osaka C i t y and Prefecture $2^,0 m. Febo 1962 6-1/2%s DM bond i s s u e . Germany Osaka City and Prefecture $ 2 5 . 0 m» Maro 1963 6-1/2%9 DM bond i s s u e 0 Germany G o v ' t , o f Japan L 5 mi11e ($1U.5 m.) Aug. 1963 6%s UoSo d o l l a r s 20-25 y e a r s , conversion of 1899 bond i s s u e . U.K. Takeda Chemical Co* $ 1 5 . 0 Dec. 1963 6%s U0S0 d o l l a r , 2 0 - y e a r , conv e r t i b l e debentureso Luxembourg Canon Camera Co $ 5 . 0 m. Dec. 1963 6 - 1 / 1 $ 5 U.S. d o l l a r , 1 5 - y e a r , c o n v e r t i b l e debentures. Osaka C i t y and Prefecture $ 2 5 . 0 m. Jan. 196I4 6-1/2%} Gov'to of Japan $ 1 1 . 5 m. Febo 196 k 5=5%, Sw f r a n c s , 10-15 y e a r s . Switz. Teijin.ltdo $ 1 0 . 0 m, Mar. 196U 6 - 1 / 1 $ , U.S. d o l l a r , 2 0 - y e a r , c o n v e r t i b l e debentures. Luxembourg C. I t o h & Co. $ 1 2 . 5 m. Mar. 1961* 6-l/k%9 U.S. d o l l a r , 20-year, c o n v e r t i b l e debentures. London Taisho Marine & F i r e I n s , Co. $ k>h m» Mar. I96L Equity i s s u e (London Depositary R e c e i p t s ) , 20 m i l . shares a t $ 0 . 2 2 per share. London Metropolis of Tokyo $22.5 m. Apr. 196U 5 - 3 A ^ s U.So d o l l a r , 1 5 - y e a r , guaranteed d o l l a r bonds. Europe Toyo Rayon Co. $15.0 m. June 196U 6-l/k%, U.S. d o l l a r , 1 5 - y e a r , c o n v e r t i b l e debentures. London & Luxembourg Gov't, o f Japan $50o0 mo (200 EM) June I96U 6%s 1 5 - y e a r , DM bond i s s u e . Germany H i t a c h i , Ltd. $ 1 0 e 0 m. J u l y 196U 6-l/h%s 1 5 - y e a r , c o n v e r t i b l e debenture. London & Luxembourg Borrower 1l7 Terms 1 5 - y e a r , DM bond i s s u e . • U.K. Germany Although t h i s l i s t i s b e l i e v e d t o be complete, some i s s u e s may have been o m i t t e d . OFFICIAL USE ONLY ' OFFICIAL USE ONLY Early i n J u l y the Bank o f Japan imposed q u a n t i t a t i v e l i m i t s on Japanese f o r e i g n exchange banks' short-term l i a b i l i t i e s i n the form of Euro-dollars and f r e e yen d e p o s i t s . S p e c i f i c d e t a i l s were not r e l e a s e d , but each bank has r e p o r t e d l y been" assigned a f i x e d c e i l i n g f o r the two types of l i a b i l i t i e s i n d i c a t e d above, the l i m i t s being c a l c u l a t e d as a percentage of n e t f o r e i g n exchange a s s e t s . These f o r e i g n l i a b i l i t i e s w i l l continue t o remain s u b j e c t t o minimum f o r e i g n exchange r e s e r v e requirements. This l a t e s t move was taken i n order t o reduce the adverse e f f e c t s on the domestic money market from v o l a t i l e short-term c a p i t a l f l o w s , and to r e i n f o r c e the current t i g h t money p o l i c y tfiich has been o f f s e t a t times by bank conversion of f o r e i g n short-term funds i n t o y e n . Foreign exchange. The yen remained extremely weak i n the f o r e i g n exchange market.during June and the f i r s t h a l f of J u l y . The r a t e i n the spot market f l u c tuated o n l y s l i g h t l y and the r a t e i n the three-month forward market remained unchanged a t a depreciated l e v e l , (See Table 8 ) , E a r l y i n July the i n t e r - b a n k r a t e reached a record high of ¥362.5>9 per d o l l a r , the most depreciated l e v e l i n the h i s t o r y of the Japanese f o r e i g n exchange market. Part of the continued weakness has been a t t r i b u t e d t o a much smaller r e f l u x of E u r o - d o l l a r s i n t o Japan i n July f o l l o w i n g a s u b s t a n t i a l o u t f l o w i n June as European banks engaged i n window-dressing o p e r a t i o n s . Table 8. Japan: Customer's T.T. Exchange Rate of Bank of Tokyo i n Tokyo Yen-dollar spot middle rate May June July 29 Three-month forward middle rate Forward d i s c o u n t i n per c e n t per annum .06 362.35 362.UO $ 12 19 26 362.30 362.30 362.32 362.35 362.UO 362.UO 362.W .362.1*0 J 362.UO 362.UO 362.UO 362.UO 362.U0 362.UO 15 Asia, A f r i c a , Latin America S e c t i o n . OFFICIAL USE ONLY „ .11 .11 .06 .06 INTERNATIONAL MONEY 3-MONTH EURO-DOLLAR Wednesda y lig u MARKET DEPOSIT YIELDS FOR U.S. VS. CERTIFICATE DOLLAR OF INVESTORS] DEPOSIT YIELDS .EURO-DOILAR DEPOSIT DIFFERENTIAL: U . S. I NEW YORK Friday figures OFFER RATES ON SELECTED TREASURY COMMERCIAL (CANADIAN FINANCE COMPANY E U RO - D Q L L A R_Q V E R CE RT I F I C A T E OF D E P O S IT 3-MONTH BILLS- Fully INVESTMENTS Hedged PAPER-Fully Hedged INTEREST ARBITRAGE, 3-MONTH TREASURY UNITED BILL STATES / CANADA RATES yVEiN RATE n RATE DIFFERENTIAL : ' DIFFERENTIAL I AND FORWARD : WITH : • FORWARD CANADIAN I : EXCHANGE DOLLAR —1 COVER r ~ NET INCENTIVE IN FAVOR OF CANADA 1963 1964 u INTEREST ARBITRAGE, NEW YORK/LONDON Friday f i g u r e i 3-MONTH Per c e n t p e r a n n u m TREASURY BILL RATES RATE D I F F E R E N T I A L AND 3-MONTH RATE WITH FORWARD DIFFERENTIAL 1962 1963 FORWARD STERLING EXCHANGE COVER 1964 196$ INTEREST ARBITRAGE FOR GERMAN COMMERCIAL Friday figures 3-MONTH BANKS . TREASURY EUROTDOTLAR BILLS, DEPOSIT INTERBANK RATES Per t e n l p e r o n n u LENDING { RATE i EURODOLLAR LONDON AND I J GERMAN TREASURY BILLS RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND FORWARD DEUTSCHE MARK FORWARD RATE DISCOUNT ( - ) TREASURY'BILLS - | RATE , — DIFFERENTIAL NET INCENTIVE:i WITH ! p ,y- FORWARD , ^ EXCHANGE ^ COVER IN FAVOR Of FRANKFURT 1+) - i • i INTERBANK LOAN RATE/ \ . . ' SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES * EURO-DOLLAR - LONDON — t — 1964 jand Switzerland (3 month drpoMi t rtfi*) "I", 3- month r ale I or U S dollar de posiii in I o n d o n w LONG-TERM BOND YIELDS INDUSTRIAL STOCK INDICES , 9 5 8 = 100 Ratio seal* •• \ f , | —y , r r > 11 11 1 i _i_i_lj.. 1 1 > Xy-^\--—\ 1: _1_1-1 I I I.i_l 1963 i i ; . L J . 1. 1... i ' L I 1964 I I l_ I SPOT EXCHANGE RATES - MAJOR CURRENCIES AGAINST U.S. P . , c.n» A b o v . par DOLLAR '' B e l o w pa _L_L "1 ITALIAN LIRA j V CANADIAN DOLLAR T 3-MONTH FORWARD EXCHANGE RATE_ Friday figures AGAINST AGAINST U.S. Per c e n t p e r o n n u m ' DOLLARS POUND STERLING - LONDON 1 PREIMIUM 4- - "\ \* ' 1 I AGAINST 1 1 POUND 1 1 i\ SWISS F RANC A J2 v-rg/n Vx) 1 i i STERLING - 1 1. - NT D ISIU CC 1 I I 1 1 LONDON PREMIUM + FRENCH FRANC A - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1