The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release G.3 (402) For Immediate release CAPACITY UTILIZATION Manufacturing, Mining, Utilities, and Industrial Materials May 16, 1984 Capacity utilization in manufacturing, mining and utilities rose 0.9 percentage points in April to 81.9 percent, the highest rate since March 1980. The April level was more than 12 percentage points above the low in the 1982 recession, but it remains significantly below the highs reached in 1973 and 1979. Capacity utilization in manufacturing rose 1.1 percentage points to 82.3 percent and the gains were widespread among industries. In contrast, the rate for mining edged downward in April to 74.3 percent of capacity as operating rates declined in coal mining and remained low in oil and gas well drilling and metal mining. Utilities operated at 83.2 percent of capacity, the same as in March. Manufacturers of durable goods operated at 81.9 percent of capacity in April, up 1.3 percent from March, despite a substantial decline in the rate of auto assemblies. The operating rate for nondurable goods rose 0.7 percentage point to 82.7 percent of capacity as the rate for petroleum products rose 2 percentage points. The operating rate for producers of industrial materials rose one percentage point in April to 83.3 percent, equal to its 1967-1982 average. Since its low in late 1982, this rate has risen 16.7 percentage points in part reflecting a 27 percentage point increase in the utilization rate for metal materials. Capacity Utilization: S u m m a r y Percent of capacity, seasonally adjusted Series 1973 HIGH 1975 LOU 1978 -80 HIGH 1982 LOW 1967 -82 AVEH. 1984 JAN | FEB j NAB | APR 63.4 71.1 87.3 69.6 82.4. 80. 1 80.8 81.0 81.9 Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 67.9 87.9 89.1 69.0 67.6 71.0 87.5 89.4 87.2 68.8 64.8 73.8 81.8. 80.5. 83.9. 80. 1 79.3 81.1 81.0 80.2 82.0 81.2 80.6 82.0 82.3 81.9 82.7 Mining Utilities 91.8 94*9 86.0 82,0 90.4 86.8 69.6 79.0 86.5. 88.6. 75.4 84.8 75.1 82.6 74.5 83.2 74.3 83.2 92.6 69.3 88.9 66.6 83.3. 80.6 82.0 82.3 83.3 Total Industry Industrial Materials ! CAPACITY UTILIZATION APRIL DATA SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, PERCENT 110 TOTAL INDUSTRY 70 50 110 MINING 90 ^^^SS^/%VA\ UTILITIES V MANUFACTURING 70 i 50 i ! i MM ''I 110 MANUFACTURING REFINED PETROLEUM PRODUCTS ^A. jv^NONDURABLE 90 Cj \ / t •Jf \/ ^ 1 DURABLE 70 V j i • t ! i , : , 1 i i i ! i i i 1 i ! . i i i I 50 i ' i l i l i I I ! i ! i ! I ! ! 110 MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS 50 — 1 1 ! 1i 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 30 1984 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 MANUFACTURING, MINING AND UTILITIES TabS® 1 €ap@©H3f Utilization Monthly, seasonally adjusted, percent of capacity 1973 Series HIGH 1975 1S78 1982 1967 LOW -80 LOS -82 A? FR_ Tots! Industry 88.4 Manufacturing 87.9 Primary processing Advanced processing Durable manufacturing Stone, clay and glass products iron and steel, subtotal Nonferrous metals, subtotal Fabricgted metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, eqp. Instruments Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products Mining Utilities Electric utilities ¥EAR AGO 1I MOMTHJ 1983 | APB 80.1 80.8 81. 9 80.1 81.0 8U2 82.3 80.5 79-9 82.0 80.5 82,3 80.7 83*2 81.7 80.2 79. 1 72.3 81.2 73.7 73.7 91.5 86.5 83.7 73.1 77.5 80.6 79.0 71.5 81.8 74.9 74.2 91.9 86.3 84.5 73.0 78.1 81*9 7eloi 79.3 77.9 67.6 77.8 73.4 73.0 90.1 87.1 83.6 71.7 77.3 76.2 75«6 94.2 84.9 79.2 74.1 79.4 1 80.7| 78.03 88.95 95.7| 70.61 71.1! 92161 81.1 78.7 38. 1 96.8 70.5 73.9 93.2 82.0 78.8 87.1 98.8 71.8 79.5 93,3 82.0 82.7 87.4 97.9 71.8 79.9 94.3 71*1 87.3 69.6 { 82.4 73.1 77.3 78.2 78.7 73. 7 87.5 68.8 81.8 72.9 77.3 78.4 78.9 78.8 78.9J AUQ j SEP i OCT. | NOV J 84.0 | 73.4 j 30.6 72.5 ! 78.1 76.9 79.7 77.8 80»4 77.9 80.0 78.0 80.5 69.7 89.4 } 6 4 . 8 87.9 § 67.6 78.4 63*0 69.1 88.0 | 6 4 . 0 '90*4 57.0 38.8 82.3 103.3 | 69.2 97.5 73.6 99.0 | 6 0 . 8 98.2 1 6 2 . 1 | 83.8 60.7 65.0 79.6 90.0 86.3 i 6 5 . 7 61.6 79.8 62,9 88.3 | 7 1 . 8 83.1 74.7 80.0 79.3 | 90.6 88.7 i 6 2 . 3 65.0 1 4 6 . 1 | 78.6 98.7 | 51.3 | 94.5 61.2 35.8 NA 91.6 NA I NA 78. 1 j 68.2 93.9 69.1 76.0 i 6 8 . 0 72.6 89.6 | 73.7 | 92.3 I 73. 1 { 83.5 74.6 73.6 62.5 73.9 70.6 68.5 83.8 75.3 78.6 68.3 75.1 76.0 75.3 65.1 76.0 71.3 68.8 86.5 78.9 80.5 68.7 75.9 76.5 75.3 70.2 77.5 71.0 69.1 87.5 79.0 77.2 69.6 75.5 76.8 75.6 66.0 77.7 71.7 70.0 88.0 80.2 77.1 70.6 75.4 66.2 91.4 85.9 | 70.0 68.2 | 69.4 37.2 85.2 91.3 95. 1 83.6 93. 0 91.5 89.1 85.7 95.4 96.7 86.2 99. 1 97.4 | | | | | j | 91.8 I | 86.0 j 90.4 71.0 77.2 61.3 69. 1 65.9 84.6 62. 1 | | ! | | 79,21 78.61 1 77.5| 76.01 61.9J 80.5| 72-0| 70.9! 88.4 1 83.31 7 ill! ! 73.8 83.9 | 76.5 83.3 73.0 1 86.2 | 84.2 1 89.6 | 6 4 . 0 | 78.7 71.5 89.6 | 74.0 88.3 76.9 77.5 | 83.6 | 89.1 68.2 | 73.9 84.1 80.8 79.6 90.3 95.3 71.2 76.0 90.9 81.5 78.8 91.2 96.3 72.2 77.3 92.0 81.8 78.3 91.2 96.8 73.4 76.5 91.9 81.3 77.9 89.4 97.0 72.3 77.8 91.3 | 69.6 67.5 i 70.2 7C.8 71.5 73.2 74.71 75.4 75.1 74.5 74.3 83.0 81.7 85.71 84.8 84.7 1 84.0 82.6 81.0 83*2 81,7 83.2 81*7 I 1984J 1983 86.5 80.9 I | 8 2 . 0 ! 86.8 | 7 9 . 0 1 38.6 | 8 2 . 1 | 87.0 | 77.9 I 89.8 l 80.1 | 94.9 97.6 HAH 3 81.0 i 69,0 1 93.7 85.5 1984 „ JAB 8 FEB \ DEC i I 79. 1J | 85.0 84.5 84.8 83.9 83.3 82.1 1 81.9 Table 2 Output, Capadty, and Capacity Utilization Quarterly, seasonally adjusted Series O0TPUT 1983 CAPACITY ! Total Industry 138.5 144.5 151.8 Manufacturing 138.4 145.2 152.8 137.0 139.7 145.2 145.1 152.8 152.8 Durable manufacturing Stone, clay and glass products Iron and steel, subtotal Nonferrous metals, subtotal Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, eqp. Instruments 124.2 131.6 63.4 102.3 110.6 137.6 170.7 120.0 101.4 97.9 154.0 131. 1 139.7 69.2 111-2 116.4 146.2 179.9 130.7 109.5 98.1 155.7 139. 1 148.5 75.0 110.9 125.4 156.6 191.1 145.8 132.3 99.2 161.5 1984| 1983 I U J 1 155.5j 159.8| 194.6 • a 156.5| 161.21 195.7 1 156.4| 160.7| 194.3 156.1| 161.8J 196.5 1 143.81 150.3J 184.7 152.81 159.6| 199.6 79.2| 83.7J 120.1 116.6! 119.11 148.4 128.2) 1 3 3 . 1 | 176.9 161.8| 171.4J 226.7 200.0| 2.09.31 222.4 154.2J 165.81 193.7 132.11 141.7J 167.8 103.01 106.9| 143. 1 163.51 168-91 213.0 i Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products 159.0 153. 1 129.5 156.9 201.9 113.3 264.1 165.5 155.7 139.3 160.5 211.4 122.5 288.3 172.7 159.1 147.6 168.0 220.9 124.2 304.6 174.8J 157.51 146.5J 171.2J 225.01 121.1! 311.4| Mining 116.7 112.3 116. 1 Utilities Electric utilities 163.6 185.2 169.6 192.5 178.2 203.6 121.01 124.31 165.2 i 1 1 7 8 . 4 | 178.61 208.5 203.01 203.0J 239.2 ; I Primary ^processing Advanced processing II III IV 176.8J 159.81 143,0! 174.5! 224.91 124.7| 319.71 211.7 197.2 163.6 175.9 304.1 163.8 336.0 II III IV 11 UTILIZATIOH I 1984 II I III I? 80.6 195.5 196.4 J 1 197.3| 198.31 71.2 73.9 77.3 1 78 . 81 196.6 197.5 198.4} 199.51 7a. 7 73.8 77.4 78.91 80.8 194.8 197.6 195.3 198.6 195.8! 196.4| 199.7J 20U0J 70.5 71.1 74.6 73.5 78.3 76.9 79.91 7.8.21 81.6 80. 3 185.4 200.4 120. 1 148.4 177.6 223.1 224.1 192.7 167.8 144.2 214. 1 186. 1 201.1 120.1 148.4 178.3 229.6 225. 7 191.7 167.8 145.2 2 15. 1 186.8J 201.91 120. 11 148.41 179.0! 231.01 227.41 190.7J 167.8| 146.3! 216.21 187.7| 202.91 119.0J 148.4| 179.8| 232.7J 229.51 190.91 168.7! 147.2| 217.51 67.2 66.0 52.8 68.9 62.5 60.7 76.8 62.0 60.4 68.4 72-3 70.7 69.7 57.6 74.9 65.5 64.1 80.3 67.8 65.2 68.0 72.8 74.7 73.8 62.5 74.7 70.3 68.2 84.7 76.1 78.8 68.3 75.1 76. 91 75. 7 J 66.0| 78.61 71,6! 70-Of 88.01 80.8| 78. 7 j 70.4| 75.61 80.0 78.7 70.5 30.3 74.0 73.6 91.2 86.8 83.9 72.6 77.6 212.8 198.7 163.4 176.4 306.S 163.0 336.8 213.9 200.2 163.2 176.9 309.4 162.1 337.7 215»01 201.7! 163.0! 177.4| 312.11 161.31 338.5J 216.4| 203. 1J 163.3! 178.2! 315.0$ 160.4) 34U4J 75.1 77.6 79.1 89.2 66.4 69.2 78.6 77.8 7.8.3 85.3 91.0 68.9 75.2 85.6 80.7 79.5 90.4 95.0 71.4 76.6 90.2 8U31 81.7 7 8 . 1 ! 78^6 89.81 87.5 96.5J 97.9 72. 1 I 71,4 75. 1| 77.8 9 1 . 9 | 93.6 ! 75.0 73.1! 1 83..5 0J| 82.2 884. 2-8 165.3 165.4 165.51 165.71 70.6 67.9 70.2 209.8 241. 1 211.1 243. 0 212.4J 213.81 244.9! 246.91 78.5 77.4 80*8 79.8 84.4 83.8 n INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS Table 3 Capacity Utilization Monthly, seasonally adjusted, percent of capacity 1973 Series HIGH 1978 -80 [ HIGH 1982 LO8 1967 -82 AVER. TEAfi AGO J . flOHTH | 1^83 _ ACJG J SEP | Industrial Materials 92.6 69.3 88.9 66.6 83.3 72.5 77.4 Durable goods materials 91.4 63.5 ! 88.4 59.8 79.7 67.7 73. 6 75.2 76.1 76.5 « -, JL, DEC | 1 79.61 1 I 77.01 78 . 5 80.4 80.9 82.2 68.0 67 . 3 70.9 71.7 73.3 70 - 0 79 . 8 74.0 82.0 72.6 84.3 1975 LOW OCT | HOT | 78.6 79.5 79.6 1984 JAN 1 FEB 1 HAH | APS 80 . 6 82.0 82.3 83.3 i Metal materials Raw steel Aluminum 97.8 107.1 96.8 j Nondurable goods materials Textile, paper, and chemical materials Paper materials Chemical materials 94.4 68.0 95.4 46.2 59.9 64.0 65.5 66.8 6 6 . 81 68.0 73.4 3102.9 S7.9 40.2 57.9 I 84.8 90.6 56.9 60.5 61.0 71.2 63.3 73.6 67.5 75.1 68,6 76.0 67.4 ! 91.7 ! 70*7 | 86.5 I 92.3 | 6 8 . 6 , 86.5 77.2 I 81.1 82.9 84.1 83.8 76.4 | 80.5 82.6 84.1 83.7 91.0 72.6 I | 96.9 75.5 99.0 77.8 99.4 79.7 101.3 79.0 82.8 81.6 81.4 81.8 7 3 . 8) 79.0 8 J ! 81.69 1 81.2| 1 98.8| 76.29 ! 1 83.6| 95.1 65.4 99.4 95.5 72.4 64.2 9 4 . 5 ji 8 4 . 4 Energy materials 82.2 93.4 85. 1 I 97.9 } 86*3 64.0 91.3 I | 88.9 1 78.9 88.5 78-5 1 81 . 9 83.2 83.9 84.7 81 . 5 83.1 83.7 84.4 99 . 3 76 . 7 99.0 79.0 98.3 79.8 84 . 4 34.2 83.7 83.8 1 J Table 4 Output, Capacity, and Capacity Utilization Quarterly, seasonally adjusted Series OUTPUT 1983 I I I I industrial Materials 134.8 141 . 7 149.9 .Durable goods materials t25.2 134 . 7 144.2 78.6 84.9 89.3 Metal materials Raw steel Aluminum Nondurable goods materials textile, paper and chemical materials Paper materials Chemical materials Energy materials 61.9 99.0 68.7 105 . 1 72.7 119.0 163. 7 171 . 7 179.1 169.3 179 . 6 188.0 149.9 204.7 153 . 4 219.4 162.8 227.8 122.2 121. 5 127.4 IV 1 154.3J 1 1 150.31 1 1984] 1983 1 11 1 192.3 158.9) 1 1 157.61 195.2 III t92.9 193.4 195.6 196.0 140.2 139.9 139.a 119.1 167.7 118.8 167.7 217.8 218.8 219.6 193.9) 229.4 230.7 231.6 166.7) 165.3 237.5) 294.8 I ) 131.08 153. 9 ZwStoHKm. 7hi»retoas©o*mtams animate? of output, capacity, and capacity uMKz-atton for the nylon's fo&torias, min*», and eleotrlc and gas utilities. Estimates of actual output m& ©apacity output »r» »xpr*»»«da® percentages of 1987 actual output. Estimates of capa&hy wtftteation arc saiouiated as ratios, In percent, of the Federal Reserve's seasonally adjusted indexes of inaj$Wai production to the Indexes of capacity. The capacity Indexes are based on a variety of data, Including capacity data in physical units, surveys of capacity growth and utilization rates, and estimates of capital stock growth. Instead of a forme! definition of capacity the ©onoept of practical capacity Is applied, which is the greatest level of output that a plant can maintain within the framework of a realistic work pattern, taking account of normal dowsTtirne, and assuming sufficient availability of inputs to operate machinery and equipment to p5a©e. When the capacity Indexes for Individual industries are aggregated—for examp»» to total manufacturing— no explicit account is taken of possible general equilibrium constraints sa&h as emerging industry bottlenecks. Groupings. Estimates of capacity and industrial production for manwfaetwfr>§ mdustftes are aggregated to primary processing and advanced processing mdu&trte», to durable and nondurable manufacturing industries, and to total manufacturing. The mining, mamife&tw'mg-, and utilities estimates aggregate to the total index, industrial materials are items produced and used as inputs by manufacturing plants, mines, and utilities. Industrial materials toetode many of the Items included in the primary processing grouping of manufacturing, as wet) as some of the output of the advanced processing Industries, mines, and utMtte»~»ueh as fren ore, crude oH, semiconductors, and electricity sold to Industry. II 119.4 167.7 93.8) 97.3j 1 ) 84.5) 82.8] 128.6) 137.6r 1 1 1 183.5) 1 193.2) 1 167.4) 235.0) ) 1 127.81 CAPACITY 166. 1 296.6 166.9 298.3 154.3 154.7 1 1984} II UTILIZATION 1983 I II I I I 70.1 73.5 77.5 64.2 68.9 73.6 139.6! 139.11 1 S 117.11 167l7i 167.7J I 1 I 220.6) 221.8) 56.1 60.7 63.9 51.9 59.0 57.7 62.7 61.2 70.9 75.2 78.5 81.5 232.7| J 167.7) 300.1) 1 1 155.3) I¥ S 194.0| 194.7) 1 \ 1 a 196.5) 197.*) 234.2] I 168.5( 302.31 73.8 77.9 81.2 90.7 69.4 92.3 74.0 97.5 76.4 8 155.8J 79.5 78.7 82.3 IV I 79.6) I 1 76.51 67.2) 3 69.9| 76.7| 1 1 83.21 33.0J i 99.8) 78.3J 1 i 82.3] 1984 I 81,6 80.0 70.0 72.2 62.0 83 .0 82.8 98.9 78.5 84.1 Perspective. The historical h$@Jts and lows in capacity utilization shown in th# tables above are specific to each series and did not all occur in the same month, industrial plants usually operate at oapa&fty utftizaticn rates that are well below 100 percent: none of the broad aggregates has ever reached 100 percent. For mining, manufacturing, and utilities as a who!®, and for total mam*$a&tur»rtg, utilization rates as high as 90 percent have been exceeded only in wartime. Revisions. The first estimates for a month are published about the 17th of the following month. These estimates may revise in each of the next three months as new data become available. After the fourth month no further revisions are undertaken until an annual or benchmark revision. The median of the revisions in the total manufacturing utilization rate between the first and fourth estimate is 0.3 of a percentage point; that is, in about half of the cases, the absolute value of the revision from the first to the fourth estimate is less than 0.3 of a percentage point. Sources. The methodology used to estimate the series is discussed in New Federal Reserve Measures of Capacity and Capacity Utilization, Federal Reserve Bulletin, July 1983. Revised data from 1967-82 are included in the statistical supplement to the July 1983 capacity utilization release, which may be obtained from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Rounding. The rounding algorithms applied to the capacity, output, and utilization rate series are independent. Aggregates are derived from unrounded detailed components. Release schedule for 1984. Approximately 11 a.m. on February 16, March 16, April 16, May 16, June 18, July 16, August 16, September 17, October 17, November 16, and December 17.