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FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release G.17 (419) Supplement For release at 9:15 a.m. (EST) November 15, 2002 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production fell 0.8 percent in October. At 139.3 percent of its 1992 average, the October index was just 1.2 percent higher than its year-ago level. Manufacturing output decreased 0.7 percent in October. The recent lockout at the West Coast ports apparently accounted for only a small portion of this decline. Mining output fell 1.0 percent, as storm-related disruptions in the Gulf Coast region curtailed the output of crude oil and natural gas. Utilities production declined 1.6 percent. The rate of capacity utilization for total industry fell 0.6 percentage point, to 75.2 percent, a level 6.7 percentage points below its 1967–2001 average. Market Groups The output of consumer goods decreased 0.8 percent in October, its third consecutive monthly decline. The production of durable consumer goods fell 2.5 percent; a 4.4 percent decline in the output of automotive products accounted for much of the drop. The production of appliances and furniture also decreased, while the output of home (over) INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION: SUMMARY Seasonally adjusted Index, 1992=100 Percent change Industrial Production 2002 Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p Total index Previous estimates 141.0 141.1 140.7 140.6 140.4 140.5 Major market groups: Products, total Consumer goods Business equipment Construction supplies Materials 128.5 123.1 163.8 138.5 162.5 128.1 121.8 164.7 140.3 162.4 Major industry groups: Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities 145.6 180.3 111.9 95.9 127.8 145.5 181.3 111.1 96.3 124.6 Capacity Utilization Total industry Previous estimates Manufacturing Advanced processing Primary processing Mining Utilities Average 1967–01 1982 Low 2002 Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p 139.3 .5 .5 -.2 -.3 -.2 -.1 -.8 1.2 127.8 121.6 162.3 140.6 162.2 126.7 120.7 159.1 139.7 161.0 .4 .7 .0 -1.4 .7 -.3 -1.1 .5 1.3 .0 -.3 -.1 -1.5 .2 -.1 -.9 -.8 -2.0 -.6 -.7 -.1 .9 -4.6 3.8 3.3 144.9 180.2 110.9 95.7 127.6 143.9 178.1 110.7 94.8 125.6 .4 .3 .5 -.1 2.3 -.1 .5 -.7 .4 -2.5 -.4 -.6 -.2 -.6 2.4 -.7 -1.2 -.2 -1.0 -1.6 1.3 2.4 -.1 -4.7 5.2 Percent of capacity 1988–89 2001 2002 High Oct. Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p Oct. 01 to Oct. 02 Capacity growth Oct. 01 to Oct. 02 81.9 71.1 85.4 75.0 76.3 76.3 76.1 76.0 75.8 75.9 75.2 1.0 80.9 80.3 82.0 87.6 87.6 69.0 71.0 65.7 80.3 75.9 85.7 84.2 88.3 88.0 92.6 73.3 72.9 73.9 88.4 85.7 74.6 73.1 76.9 85.0 88.8 74.5 72.8 77.0 85.3 86.4 74.1 72.4 76.8 84.8 88.2 73.5 71.7 76.3 83.9 86.6 1.0 .6 1.6 .4 4.1 electronics products and of miscellaneous goods rose. The production of nondurable consumer goods fell 0.3 percent; the index for non-energy nondurables edged down 0.1 percent, and the index for consumer energy products fell 1.5 percent. Among non-energy nondurables, declines in the output of clothing, paper products, and chemical products slightly more than offset a rise in the production of foods and tobacco. The production of business equipment dropped 2.0 percent in October after having declined 1.5 percent in September. A 6.5 percent drop in the output of transit equipment was largely responsible for the October decline, and the main contributor was a reduction in the production of motor vehicles. In addition, the production of industrial and other equipment contracted 1.4 percent; most industries within the category posted declines. Continued weakness in the output of information processing equipment largely reflected ongoing declines in the communications industry. The index for defense and space equipment rose 0.9 percent and was 6.6 percent above its level of a year ago. The output of construction supplies decreased 0.6 percent. The output of business supplies dipped 0.3 percent, primarily because of a weakening in the production of commercial energy products. The output of industrial materials fell 0.7 percent. The drop was the largest since December 2001, and production declined in all of the major categories. Among durable materials, the output of consumer parts dropped 2.0 percent, and equipment parts and other materials fell slightly. Production in the major categories of nondurable materials—textile, paper, and chemical—declined last month. Industry Groups Manufacturing output moved down 0.7 percent; the index for durable goods decreased 1.2 percent, and the index for nondurables slipped 0.2 percent. The largest decline among major durable goods industries was in motor vehicles and parts, which dropped 5.2 percent; about one-third of the decline was due to parts shortages resulting from effects of the port shutdowns on the West Coast. The production of furniture and fixtures, industrial machinery and equipment, and lumber and products registered sizable declines. The losses for industrial machinery included reductions in construction equipment and in engines primarily used in medium and heavy trucks and in off-highway equipment. The index for computers, however, posted a gain for a fourth consecutive month. The increases in the computer index in the third quarter were revised upward. A rise in the output of primary metals reversed much of September’s loss, and was led by an increase in steel production. The decline in nondurable goods comprised an increase in the production of food and tobacco products that was more than offset by declines in the production of most other major nondurables industries, especially chemicals and products and paper and products. The factory operating rate in October was 73.5 percent, 7.4 percentage points below its 1967–2001 average. The utilization rates for advanced processing and primary processing fell in October. The operating rate at mines decreased 0.9 percentage point to 83.9 percent, and the rate at utilities declined 1.6 percentage points, to 86.6 percent. 2 Revision of Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization On November 26, at 2 p.m. Eastern time, the Federal Reserve Board will publish a revision to the index of industrial production (IP), the related measures of capacity and capacity utilization, and the data on industrial use of electric power. The revised estimates will be classified according to the 2002 North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS); previously, the estimates from 1987 forward were classified according to the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system. NAICS changes the SIC system’s industry composition of manufacturing. To preserve the continuity of the production, capacity, and utilization rate measures featured in the Federal Reserve’s G.17 statistical release, portions of SIC 27 (printing and publishing) and SIC 24 (lumber and products) that are not classified in manufacturing under NAICS will continue to be included in the overall IP index and capacity utilization. The revised production indexes will be based on annual output measures that are constructed by reclassifying the establishments in historical Censuses of Manufactures and Mineral Industries under NAICS; annual output indexes constructed this way will maximize the reliability and historical consistency of the IP industry detail. Data going back to at least 1972 will be restated using NAICS. The monthly indicators used in current IP indexes will be incorporated into the revised IP indexes as far back as the data will allow. The revised indexes will be expressed as percentages of output in 1997, beginning at the start date of each index: 1919 for total and manufacturing IP, 1948 for manufacturing capacity, and 1967 for total industrial capacity. The Federal Reserve’s accompanying indexes of industrial electric power use, which began in 1972, also will be restated to accord with NAICS, rebased to use 1997 as a comparison year, and revised to incorporate previously unavailable data. The updated measures will reflect the incorporation of newly available, more comprehensive source data typical of annual revisions. The updating of source data for IP in the 2002 annual revision will include annual data from the 2000 Annual Survey of Manufactures of the Bureau of the Census and from selected editions of its 2000 and 2001 Current Industrial Reports. Annual data from the U.S. Geological Survey regarding metallic and nonmetallic minerals (except fuels) for 2000 and 2001 will also be introduced. The updating will include revisions to the monthly indicator for each industry (either physical product data, production-worker hours, or electric power usage) and revisions to seasonal factors. Capacity and capacity utilization will be revised to incorporate preliminary data from the 2001 Survey of Plant Capacity of the Bureau of the Census, which covers manufacturing, along with other new data on capacity from the U.S. Geological Survey, the U.S. Department of Energy, and other organizations. The statistics on the industrial use of electric power will incorporate additional information received from utilities for the past few years and will include some data from the 2000 Annual Survey of Manufactures. Once the revision is published, it will be made available on the Board’s web site, at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/G17. The revised data will also be available through the web site of the U.S. Department of Commerce. Further information on these revisions is available from the Board’s Industrial Output Section (telephone 202-452-3197). 3 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization (October data, seasonally adjusted) Ratio scale, 1992=100 Percent of capacity Industrial Production Capacity Utilization 87 150 140 Total Industry 82 130 Manufacturing 120 Manufacturing Total Industry 110 77 100 90 72 1990 1995 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 Industrial Production, Market Groups Ratio scale, 1992=100 165 155 145 2000 Consumer goods Ratio scale, 1992=100 Intermediate Products 165 155 145 135 135 125 115 125 Durable 115 Construction supplies 105 105 Business supplies Nondurable 95 95 85 85 1990 1995 2000 1990 1995 Ratio scale, 1992=100 225 200 175 150 Ratio scale, 1992=100 Equipment 125 2000 Materials 225 200 175 150 Durable goods Business 100 125 100 Nondurable goods and energy Defense and Space 75 75 50 50 1990 1995 2000 1990 4 1995 2000 Table 1A INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: MARKET GROUPS Index, 1992=100 2001 IP Proportion1 2002 May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 100.00 139.4 140.3 141.0 140.7 61.89 46.44 127.3 129.3 128.0 130.2 128.5 130.8 Consumer goods Durable Automotive products Autos and trucks Autos Trucks Auto parts and allied goods Other durable goods Appliances and electronics Appliances and air cond. Home electronics Carpeting and furniture Miscellaneous Nondurable Nonenergy Foods and tobacco Clothing Chemical products Paper products Energy products Fuels Utilities 30.46 6.50 3.49 2.32 .69 1.63 1.17 3.01 .79 .51 .28 .81 1.41 23.96 20.57 11.18 1.30 5.05 3.04 3.39 1.17 2.22 121.4 159.0 162.7 178.2 102.3 259.1 138.3 153.3 312.8 154.2 606.7 119.1 110.4 112.6 111.3 109.3 74.5 144.0 97.7 121.6 115.6 124.4 122.3 161.1 169.0 185.8 104.5 272.4 142.3 150.6 295.7 141.9 607.7 116.0 111.5 113.2 112.2 109.7 74.5 146.4 98.9 120.7 114.5 123.7 123.1 164.4 174.7 197.1 107.2 292.7 138.9 150.8 290.9 138.9 603.9 116.5 112.5 113.6 112.3 109.2 75.0 148.1 99.2 122.4 114.2 126.3 Equipment, total Business equipment Information processing & related Computer and office Industrial Transit Autos and trucks Other Defense and space equipment Oil and gas well drilling Manufactured homes 15.98 13.06 5.04 1.10 3.68 2.93 1.36 1.40 2.01 .72 .19 141.6 163.2 265.1 1001.1 116.5 111.9 159.2 132.1 75.7 101.4 84.8 15.45 6.56 8.89 Item Total index Products, total Final products Intermediate products Construction supplies Business supplies Materials Durable Consumer parts Equipment parts Semiconductors, printed circuit boards, and oth. elec. comps. Other Basic metals Nondurable Textile Paper Chemical Other Energy Primary Converted fuel Seasonally Adjusted Not seasonally adjusted Oct.p 2002 May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p 140.4 139.3 138.0 143.5 136.4 143.7 144.1 141.6 128.1 130.1 127.8 129.6 126.7 128.3 126.0 128.2 130.5 132.1 124.9 124.6 131.5 132.6 131.1 132.1 129.9 131.2 121.8 162.3 173.6 195.0 102.0 293.7 139.6 147.5 291.4 139.0 606.0 112.5 109.4 112.4 111.2 108.2 72.4 145.6 100.1 120.7 115.5 123.1 121.6 161.2 172.0 192.7 95.6 295.7 139.1 147.1 292.5 139.7 607.6 113.7 107.9 112.4 111.0 107.9 74.3 145.7 99.0 121.9 113.8 125.9 120.7 157.2 164.5 181.6 94.0 274.7 137.4 147.3 293.0 139.3 614.0 112.7 108.7 112.1 111.0 108.7 72.7 144.7 97.8 120.1 111.3 124.5 119.7 165.5 174.1 196.6 111.7 286.9 138.1 153.8 291.8 149.1 518.2 116.8 116.9 109.2 110.4 108.2 74.9 143.3 96.8 101.3 117.9 92.1 123.8 168.4 180.7 202.5 115.4 295.0 146.1 152.2 279.5 138.1 538.0 123.1 113.6 113.5 114.7 114.5 77.6 145.0 97.7 105.6 117.6 98.8 117.1 133.3 125.2 118.7 69.5 171.1 136.7 142.0 263.6 124.3 561.4 117.2 104.1 112.7 112.0 109.2 74.6 146.5 99.4 117.5 116.6 117.5 124.4 160.5 173.1 194.0 102.4 291.2 139.8 143.8 282.4 132.4 608.3 116.4 103.5 115.9 115.9 115.5 75.5 146.5 100.9 116.3 116.9 115.4 123.6 163.3 175.8 196.3 98.9 299.6 143.3 146.7 301.8 140.4 660.6 118.5 102.8 114.4 115.0 113.5 77.0 147.7 100.4 110.3 115.5 107.0 122.9 166.7 178.6 202.4 102.7 308.1 140.4 151.0 327.7 154.3 699.5 117.3 104.7 112.9 114.7 114.5 74.4 145.8 98.0 100.9 111.8 94.6 142.3 142.4 143.3 141.9 139.7 163.8 163.8 164.7 162.3 159.1 265.1 265.0 264.9 263.5 263.8 995.0 1015.6 1034.4 1050.2 1067.8 116.0 115.6 117.0 114.6 113.1 113.2 114.1 113.6 112.1 104.8 165.4 171.3 170.3 168.0 153.1 135.1 134.3 137.8 133.5 131.2 76.1 76.6 77.8 78.4 79.1 104.4 104.1 104.6 105.6 103.6 84.3 84.4 83.5 84.2 85.0 142.0 163.8 260.8 969.8 115.6 117.9 175.2 132.2 75.1 102.2 89.9 145.2 136.0 145.4 145.4 144.0 167.8 155.4 167.5 167.3 165.1 268.9 272.5 276.5 275.0 273.0 968.5 1013.6 1044.8 1075.7 1163.8 117.4 112.4 117.5 117.0 115.2 120.0 87.8 112.9 112.8 111.7 182.8 109.3 170.1 170.7 169.8 137.1 130.8 138.5 140.7 136.1 75.9 75.2 77.1 78.2 78.7 103.7 104.9 105.9 106.5 104.6 93.8 76.2 94.1 87.7 92.6 120.9 139.6 109.9 121.5 140.5 110.2 121.6 138.5 111.6 122.0 140.3 111.1 122.3 140.6 111.4 121.7 139.7 111.1 119.4 141.3 106.3 125.5 148.9 111.6 125.2 142.9 114.8 127.7 146.7 116.4 127.9 146.9 116.7 125.7 145.6 113.9 38.11 160.2 161.3 162.5 162.4 162.2 161.0 158.4 165.7 155.9 164.4 166.5 161.5 22.35 4.65 8.09 216.2 166.0 452.7 218.0 167.5 456.9 218.9 171.7 456.4 220.0 171.8 461.3 218.9 169.1 461.8 217.7 165.6 461.5 213.6 171.3 428.5 225.6 172.2 479.7 203.9 137.3 428.5 221.8 175.6 453.7 228.8 175.3 493.6 219.6 171.4 451.2 2.97 9.60 2.69 7.63 .75 1.56 3.50 1.82 8.13 5.46 2.67 2927.2 2979.9 3019.8 3047.7 3099.9 3144.4 2573.1 3349.1 2634.3 2937.7 3607.7 2947.1 123.6 124.5 124.2 124.5 124.0 123.8 123.5 127.6 123.6 126.9 127.6 126.2 109.9 111.2 108.8 112.2 110.9 112.4 110.4 112.8 106.6 110.6 111.6 112.2 107.1 107.1 107.6 107.1 107.6 107.0 106.8 108.5 105.4 107.0 107.8 109.1 89.7 87.9 91.6 89.3 88.5 88.0 94.2 91.0 85.4 90.8 87.8 90.5 109.1 106.4 109.1 109.3 112.0 110.9 107.0 107.8 107.8 109.3 111.8 111.1 108.6 108.9 108.9 108.1 107.9 107.5 108.5 109.8 107.2 107.5 108.3 108.4 110.9 113.2 111.5 112.0 112.5 111.8 109.2 115.0 109.3 112.0 113.2 118.1 102.4 103.3 105.3 103.9 104.5 103.0 100.3 105.3 108.4 108.3 103.9 99.2 96.5 97.8 98.8 98.1 98.1 96.8 95.8 99.7 99.7 99.4 96.3 93.1 113.4 113.8 117.8 115.0 116.7 114.9 108.5 115.6 125.0 125.1 118.1 110.6 SPECIAL AGGREGATES Total excluding: Autos and trucks Motor vehicles and parts Computers Computers and semiconductors2 Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors 96.31 93.65 98.45 94.91 138.5 137.4 133.4 118.5 139.2 137.9 134.3 119.2 139.6 138.3 135.0 119.8 139.3 138.0 134.6 119.5 139.1 137.8 134.3 119.1 138.4 137.2 133.2 118.0 136.4 135.0 132.1 117.8 141.8 140.6 137.5 121.6 137.3 137.4 130.5 116.2 142.4 141.0 137.5 122.2 142.8 141.4 137.9 121.7 140.1 138.8 135.3 120.1 93.38 116.2 117.0 117.6 117.2 116.9 115.8 115.5 119.3 114.0 120.0 119.5 117.9 Consumer goods excluding: Autos and trucks Energy 28.14 27.07 118.2 121.4 118.7 122.5 118.9 123.2 117.6 121.9 117.6 121.6 117.3 120.7 115.3 121.9 119.3 126.0 117.3 117.1 120.5 125.4 119.5 125.2 118.4 125.6 Business equipment excluding: Autos and trucks Computer and office equipment 11.70 11.96 163.3 134.4 163.1 135.1 162.2 134.8 163.4 135.4 161.0 133.0 159.5 130.0 161.6 135.3 165.0 138.9 161.8 127.3 166.6 137.8 166.3 137.2 163.8 134.2 Materials excluding: Energy 29.98 179.1 180.3 181.0 181.5 181.0 180.0 177.4 185.5 170.9 182.5 187.2 182.1 1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year. 2. Semiconductors include related electronic components. 5 Table 1B INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: MARKET GROUPS Percent change Item 2000 Q4 to 2001 Q4 Seasonally adjusted annual rate 2001 2002 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3r Seasonally adjusted 2002 Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p Not seasonally adjusted 2002 Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p Oct. 01 to Oct. 02 Total index -5.9 -6.7 2.6 4.2 3.5 .5 -.2 -.2 -.8 -4.9 5.3 .3 -1.7 1.2 Products, total Final products -5.2 -5.1 -7.3 -7.4 1.0 .6 1.4 .5 2.2 1.8 .4 .5 -.3 -.5 -.3 -.4 -.9 -1.0 -4.3 -5.7 5.3 6.5 -.3 -.4 -1.0 -.7 -.1 -.7 Consumer goods Durable Automotive products Autos and trucks Autos Trucks Auto parts and allied goods Other durable goods Appliances and electronics Appliances and air cond. Home electronics Carpeting and furniture Miscellaneous Nondurable Nonenergy Foods and tobacco Clothing Chemical products Paper products Energy products Fuels Utilities -1.7 -2.3 3.7 7.0 -.6 10.3 -2.7 -8.6 -6.6 3.5 -18.2 -5.6 -11.4 -1.5 -.5 -.8 -10.8 6.1 -5.3 -6.8 .9 -10.7 -3.6 -7.1 -6.5 -6.3 3.0 -9.8 -6.7 -8.0 .2 -8.2 17.8 2.3 -17.7 -2.5 -1.7 .1 -13.1 4.5 -12.8 -7.5 4.0 -13.2 3.7 11.2 13.2 16.1 52.4 3.5 7.5 8.8 30.6 28.6 33.2 .0 2.5 1.7 .5 4.4 6.6 -1.1 -13.3 10.2 6.5 12.2 1.7 10.0 16.1 17.1 -4.2 27.4 13.9 2.8 .0 6.4 -11.1 .0 6.3 -.5 -2.9 -.6 -4.1 -7.5 -2.9 15.5 -1.7 25.6 1.6 8.5 23.0 34.5 -7.6 55.2 .8 -8.3 -14.0 -19.7 -.5 -12.6 -2.2 -.3 -.7 -4.2 -3.2 4.0 6.9 2.1 -4.8 5.6 .7 2.0 3.4 6.1 2.6 7.5 -2.4 .1 -1.6 -2.1 -.6 .4 .9 .3 .1 -.4 .8 1.2 .3 1.3 -.3 2.1 -1.1 -1.3 -.6 -1.1 -4.8 .3 .5 -2.2 .2 .1 .3 -3.4 -2.8 -1.1 -1.0 -.9 -3.5 -1.7 .9 -1.4 1.2 -2.6 -.1 -.7 -.9 -1.1 -6.3 .7 -.4 -.3 .4 .5 .3 1.0 -1.4 .0 -.2 -.3 2.5 .1 -1.1 1.0 -1.5 2.3 -.8 -2.5 -4.4 -5.8 -1.7 -7.1 -1.2 .1 .2 -.2 1.1 -.9 .7 -.3 -.1 .7 -2.1 -.7 -1.2 -1.5 -2.3 -1.1 -5.4 -20.8 -30.7 -41.4 -39.8 -42.0 -6.4 -6.7 -5.7 -10.0 4.3 -4.8 -8.4 -.8 -2.4 -4.7 -3.9 1.0 1.8 11.3 -.9 18.9 6.2 20.4 38.3 63.4 47.3 70.2 2.3 1.3 7.1 6.5 8.4 -.7 -.6 2.9 3.5 5.7 1.3 .0 1.5 -1.0 .3 -1.7 -.6 1.8 1.6 1.2 -3.5 2.9 2.5 2.0 6.9 6.0 8.6 1.8 -.6 -1.3 -.7 -1.7 2.0 .8 -.5 -5.2 -1.2 -7.3 -.6 2.1 1.5 3.1 3.8 2.9 -2.0 2.9 8.6 10.0 5.9 -1.0 1.8 -1.3 -.3 .9 -3.5 -1.3 -2.4 -8.5 -3.2 -11.5 .9 7.5 13.2 17.6 8.1 21.3 4.6 .9 7.8 4.6 14.2 -3.2 -.5 -.9 -1.4 .4 -2.3 -2.6 -5.9 2.8 -4.1 6.4 Equipment, total Business equipment Information processing & related Computer and office Industrial Transit Autos and trucks Other Defense and space equipment Oil and gas well drilling Manufactured homes -11.2 -12.6 -11.5 -7.3 -14.6 -13.1 -5.6 -10.6 .2 -16.0 4.6 -14.4 -14.2 -5.1 2.9 -13.3 -28.1 -15.9 -16.9 4.2 -56.6 1.7 -5.3 -4.4 1.3 33.2 -9.8 -10.0 30.4 1.3 2.8 -32.2 -38.2 -1.9 -2.3 -4.1 2.7 3.0 -9.3 20.8 5.0 4.4 -11.1 -17.3 2.3 .7 -1.7 12.7 1.5 1.1 23.7 6.0 10.2 8.7 .9 .1 .0 .0 2.1 -.4 .8 3.6 -.6 .6 -.3 .0 .7 .5 -.1 1.9 1.3 -.4 -.6 2.6 1.6 .4 -1.0 -1.0 -1.5 -.5 1.5 -2.1 -1.4 -1.3 -3.1 .8 1.0 .8 -1.5 -2.0 .1 1.7 -1.3 -6.5 -8.8 -1.7 .9 -1.9 .9 -6.3 -7.3 1.3 4.7 -4.2 -26.8 -40.2 -4.6 -1.0 1.1 -18.7 6.9 7.8 1.5 3.1 4.5 28.5 55.7 5.9 2.6 .9 23.4 .0 -.1 -.5 3.0 -.4 -.1 .3 1.6 1.4 .6 -6.7 -1.0 -1.3 -.8 8.2 -1.5 -1.0 -.5 -3.3 .6 -1.8 5.6 -3.9 -4.6 -1.6 16.9 -5.2 -12.0 12.4 1.5 6.6 -18.6 -15.2 -5.4 -3.8 -6.6 -7.1 -9.3 -5.5 2.2 8.7 -2.4 4.1 5.5 3.1 3.5 1.0 5.4 .1 -1.4 1.3 .3 1.3 -.4 .2 .2 .3 -.4 -.6 -.3 -.2 -4.0 2.9 1.9 2.6 1.4 .2 .1 .3 -1.7 -.9 -2.4 1.8 3.8 .3 -6.9 -5.8 5.3 8.8 5.7 .7 .0 -.1 -.7 -5.9 5.5 1.3 -3.0 3.3 -8.6 -4.4 -11.1 -8.3 -9.3 -1.1 8.5 21.2 9.1 10.0 9.8 12.7 5.9 11.1 7.6 .4 2.5 -.1 .5 .1 1.1 -.5 -1.6 .1 -.6 -2.0 -.1 -9.6 -20.3 -10.7 8.7 27.9 5.9 3.2 -.2 8.8 -4.0 -2.2 -8.6 4.7 8.7 6.9 -13.7 -8.1 -13.9 -6.1 -12.7 -5.0 -7.2 -1.9 -3.2 -1.0 -8.2 23.2 -13.7 -24.3 -2.7 -14.7 -6.3 -.2 .8 -2.1 -2.0 -2.2 47.2 2.1 5.4 2.6 10.2 -10.7 9.7 -1.4 -.7 -3.7 5.4 42.6 7.8 6.8 10.9 5.8 10.4 15.0 5.6 3.3 -.4 10.4 22.1 2.0 3.4 4.3 4.5 11.8 1.9 2.8 6.7 4.3 10.9 1.3 -.3 -2.2 .5 4.2 2.6 .0 -1.5 1.9 1.0 3.4 .9 .3 3.2 -.5 -2.5 .1 -.7 .4 -1.3 -.7 -2.3 1.7 -.4 -1.2 .4 -1.0 2.5 -.3 .5 .6 .0 1.5 1.4 -.2 1.4 -.6 -.6 -.9 -.3 -.6 -1.4 -1.3 -1.6 -21.3 -3.1 -5.5 -2.9 -6.2 .0 -2.4 -4.9 3.0 -.1 8.1 11.5 2.7 3.7 1.6 6.2 1.4 .3 2.4 -.1 -.3 .2 22.8 .5 1.0 .7 -3.2 2.3 .7 1.1 -4.1 -3.1 -5.6 -18.3 -1.2 .5 1.2 3.1 -.6 .1 4.3 -4.5 -3.3 -6.4 31.4 1.0 1.3 2.2 .9 -1.3 3.8 2.8 .4 -1.4 3.6 SPECIAL AGGREGATES Total excluding: Autos and trucks Motor vehicles and parts Computers Computers and semiconductors1 Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors -6.1 -6.2 -5.8 -5.4 -6.6 -6.5 -6.9 -7.6 1.9 1.3 2.2 1.0 3.6 3.2 4.1 3.1 2.4 2.1 3.4 2.9 .3 .3 .5 .5 -.2 -.2 -.2 -.3 -.2 -.1 -.2 -.3 -.5 -.4 -.8 -.9 -3.2 -2.2 -5.1 -4.5 3.7 2.6 5.3 5.2 .3 .3 .3 -.4 -1.9 -1.9 -1.9 -1.3 .6 .3 .9 .1 -5.0 -7.3 1.3 3.2 3.1 .5 -.3 -.3 -.9 -4.5 5.2 -.4 -1.3 .3 Consumer goods excluding: Autos and trucks Energy -2.3 -1.0 -3.3 -3.1 2.7 3.0 .4 .2 -1.1 1.5 .2 .6 -1.1 -1.1 .0 -.3 -.3 -.7 -1.7 -7.1 2.7 7.1 -.8 -.1 -.9 .3 -.4 .7 -13.4 -13.2 -14.0 -15.7 -8.1 -7.5 -5.1 -2.8 -2.3 -.3 -.6 -.2 .7 .4 -1.5 -1.7 -.9 -2.3 -2.0 -8.3 3.0 8.2 -.2 -.4 -1.5 -2.2 -6.6 -6.5 -7.9 -6.9 7.0 10.2 5.5 .4 .3 -.3 -.6 -7.9 6.8 2.5 -2.7 4.1 Intermediate products Construction supplies Business supplies Materials Durable Consumer parts Equipment parts Semiconductors, printed circuit boards, and oth. elec. comps. Other Basic metals Nondurable Textile Paper Chemical Other Energy Primary Converted fuel Business equipment excluding: Autos and trucks Computer and office equipment Materials excluding: Energy Note—Percent changes shown in the first and last columns are based on seasonally adjusted data. 1. Semiconductors include related electronic components. 6 Table 2A INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY GROUPS Index, 1992=100 2001 IP SIC Proportion1 Item Total index Manufacturing Primary processing Advanced processing Durable Lumber and products Furniture and fixtures Stone, clay, and glass products 24 25 32 Primary metals 33 Iron and steel 331,2 Raw steel Nonferrous 333–6,9 Fabricated metal products 34 Industrial machinery and equipment 35 Computer and office equip. 357 Electrical machinery 36 Semiconductors and related electronic components 3672–9 Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Autos and light trucks Aerospace and misc. Instruments Miscellaneous 37 371 100.00 Not seasonally adjusted June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p 2002 May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p 139.4 140.3 141.0 140.7 140.4 139.3 138.0 143.5 136.4 143.7 144.1 141.6 86.74 144.2 145.0 145.6 145.5 144.9 143.9 143.8 149.1 139.8 148.3 149.8 147.9 33.26 53.48 172.9 128.7 173.8 129.5 174.6 129.9 175.0 129.6 174.8 128.8 173.9 127.7 171.2 128.8 179.4 132.8 166.1 125.4 176.6 132.9 180.7 133.1 176.5 132.4 46.81 2.15 1.57 2.66 178.4 111.8 134.7 130.0 179.7 113.5 132.5 129.9 180.3 113.3 133.9 130.6 181.3 113.3 132.5 131.8 180.2 113.5 133.8 132.3 178.1 112.3 130.7 132.6 178.6 112.1 133.1 131.0 185.8 118.8 137.9 135.3 167.2 112.2 134.3 133.3 183.0 117.2 141.4 137.0 186.5 117.6 142.9 137.7 182.5 116.8 134.5 138.3 2.93 1.51 .06 1.42 5.85 115.2 117.5 100.9 112.9 130.0 116.2 116.2 108.4 116.5 130.6 112.8 112.9 108.5 113.1 131.7 117.3 119.9 113.2 114.7 131.3 115.2 116.0 113.4 114.6 130.8 117.1 118.8 113.4 115.4 129.6 116.4 119.5 103.8 113.0 128.6 117.9 119.2 109.9 116.7 133.8 109.6 111.0 105.3 108.3 130.3 115.9 118.1 111.9 113.6 134.2 116.2 116.4 113.0 116.3 134.7 117.5 119.0 112.7 116.1 132.4 7.69 1.55 7.82 208.3 208.4 207.2 211.0 207.8 205.3 210.2 211.8 202.1 208.0 209.6 208.3 1165.2 1158.6 1179.8 1199.9 1218.4 1239.4 1103.5 1096.7 1167.0 1212.7 1255.2 1360.5 520.1 520.1 518.1 519.3 523.3 522.2 488.4 549.8 485.7 515.6 569.5 520.1 3.54 2022.5 2054.1 2071.8 2091.5 2133.5 2150.5 1813.1 2278.4 1836.3 2025.1 2429.2 2037.8 372–6,9 38 39 128.8 178.8 170.3 82.3 111.6 117.8 131.8 185.5 177.4 82.0 111.8 119.8 134.3 191.9 187.9 80.8 112.6 119.6 134.5 191.9 185.7 81.1 112.3 118.1 132.8 189.3 183.1 80.2 111.9 117.4 127.8 179.5 173.4 79.7 112.3 118.4 135.0 192.2 187.7 81.9 110.5 117.1 137.4 197.2 193.4 81.9 114.1 119.9 101.0 124.2 113.8 79.2 115.6 115.3 134.7 193.6 184.8 80.0 116.9 118.7 135.3 194.9 186.7 80.0 115.9 119.3 134.7 194.2 193.0 79.6 113.4 120.5 20 21 22 23 26 39.93 9.66 2.11 1.17 1.46 3.29 111.0 113.2 94.5 86.8 88.7 108.3 111.4 113.6 95.1 85.8 88.7 107.1 111.9 113.1 94.5 88.1 89.3 108.7 111.1 112.6 92.2 85.9 87.0 108.4 110.9 112.5 90.7 85.2 87.0 110.7 110.7 113.4 91.2 84.9 85.9 109.5 110.1 111.8 94.0 89.1 89.0 105.8 113.8 116.7 104.1 91.2 90.8 108.0 111.7 115.3 84.1 86.4 87.9 107.4 114.5 118.7 100.4 87.7 89.4 108.7 114.4 119.7 89.3 86.2 89.3 110.5 114.2 119.2 98.2 88.9 87.0 111.5 27 28 29 30 31 6.62 9.75 1.92 3.78 .16 95.3 123.3 116.0 140.2 59.2 96.0 124.2 115.2 142.1 59.5 96.5 125.8 115.1 141.7 61.4 97.1 124.2 114.8 141.0 59.2 96.2 124.1 113.9 140.1 62.7 96.0 123.4 112.4 139.2 64.1 92.9 123.2 118.6 139.6 59.8 96.7 124.8 120.4 144.2 61.3 100.0 124.0 120.5 137.4 58.0 101.6 124.4 120.1 141.9 59.7 102.6 125.4 118.1 141.8 63.6 100.2 124.8 113.3 140.8 64.8 10 12 13 14 6.19 .22 .69 4.61 .67 95.1 77.3 101.7 89.7 134.7 96.0 79.0 103.3 90.3 136.2 95.9 76.8 101.6 90.8 135.4 96.3 74.7 103.1 91.1 135.8 95.7 77.1 108.5 89.0 136.4 94.8 77.3 109.0 87.8 135.0 96.8 77.0 99.3 90.1 148.5 98.5 81.1 103.4 90.3 157.3 97.0 75.2 94.8 90.5 155.1 99.5 74.5 104.3 91.1 163.3 97.7 77.6 109.5 88.5 155.4 98.2 76.1 112.4 88.1 159.9 491,3pt 7.07 5.60 1.47 123.3 124.4 119.1 124.9 127.5 114.9 127.8 130.9 115.6 124.6 126.9 115.3 127.6 131.0 114.2 125.6 127.9 116.4 109.1 116.5 80.1 119.0 133.5 62.9 131.3 149.7 59.7 129.0 146.8 59.4 121.1 137.2 58.7 109.6 118.0 77.3 Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products Leather and products Utilities Electric Gas 492,3pt 2002 May 10.44 6.35 3.42 4.10 4.51 1.18 Nondurable Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products Mining Metal mining Coal mining Oil and gas extraction Stone and earth minerals Seasonally Adjusted SPECIAL AGGREGATES Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors2 Manufacturing excluding: Motor vehicles and parts Computer and office equipment Computers and semiconductors2 Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors2 Memo: Motor vehicle assemblies3 Total Autos Trucks Light Heavy and medium 6.62 1107.5 1117.7 1119.0 1128.1 1143.5 1149.7 1025.2 1175.0 1038.1 1109.0 1247.2 1141.7 80.39 85.19 81.65 142.1 137.2 119.8 142.5 138.0 120.5 142.7 138.5 120.9 142.6 138.4 120.7 142.1 137.8 120.1 141.7 136.8 119.1 140.7 136.9 120.1 146.0 142.1 123.6 141.2 132.9 116.4 145.4 141.1 123.3 146.9 142.4 123.5 144.9 140.4 122.6 80.12 117.2 117.8 118.3 118.2 117.6 116.6 117.5 120.9 113.8 120.8 120.9 120.1 12.1 5.0 7.0 6.8 .3 12.7 5.3 7.4 7.1 .3 13.2 5.4 7.8 7.5 .3 12.9 5.1 7.9 7.6 .3 12.8 4.9 7.9 7.6 .3 12.1 4.8 7.3 7.1 .2 14.3 5.9 8.4 8.0 .3 12.8 5.4 7.4 7.1 .3 8.8 3.8 5.0 4.7 .3 13.2 5.2 8.0 7.7 .3 12.7 4.9 7.8 7.5 .3 14.3 5.6 8.7 8.5 .2 1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year. 2. Semiconductors include related electronic components. 3. Millions of units at an annual rate. Note—Primary processing manufacturing includes textile mill products, paper and products, industrial chemicals, synthetic materials, and fertilizers, petroleum products, rubber and plastics products, lumber and products, primary metals, fabricated metals, stone, clay, and glass products, semiconductors and related electronic components, and motor vehicle parts. Advanced processing manufacturing includes foods, tobacco products, apparel products, printing and publishing, chemical products and other agricultural chemicals, leather and products, furniture and fixtures, industrial machinery and equipment, electrical machinery except semiconductors and related electronic components, transportation equipment except motor vehicle parts, instruments, and miscellaneous manufactures. 7 Table 2B INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY GROUPS Percent change Item SIC 2000 Q4 to 2001 Q4 Seasonally adjusted annual rate 2001 2002 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3r Total index -5.9 -6.7 2.6 Manufacturing -6.1 -6.3 -7.2 -5.4 -6.1 -6.4 -8.3 -1.2 -7.7 -3.0 Oct. 01 to Oct. 02 3.5 .5 -.2 -.2 -.8 -4.9 5.3 .3 -1.7 1.2 3.0 3.6 3.2 .4 -.1 -.4 -.7 -6.3 6.1 1.0 -1.3 1.3 8.8 -.4 10.8 -.7 5.8 1.5 .4 .4 .3 -.2 -.1 -.6 -.5 -.9 -7.4 -5.5 6.3 6.0 2.3 .1 -2.4 -.5 5.0 -1.1 -9.2 -9.4 -8.0 -5.3 4.7 -1.6 -.4 -2.2 5.4 .2 -1.4 6.8 5.0 3.8 -1.8 5.4 .3 -.2 1.1 .5 .5 .0 -1.1 .9 -.6 .2 1.0 .4 -1.2 -1.1 -2.3 .2 -10.0 -5.5 -2.6 -1.4 9.5 4.4 5.3 2.7 1.9 .3 1.1 .5 -2.1 -.7 -5.9 .4 2.4 -.4 -2.1 1.7 -13.7 -13.0 -13.3 -14.5 -6.4 -26.4 -34.7 -41.5 -16.4 -7.1 11.2 21.8 35.9 .9 .6 9.0 21.8 11.2 -3.7 4.8 2.2 5.1 35.5 -1.2 5.3 -2.9 -2.8 .1 -2.9 .9 4.0 6.2 4.4 1.5 -.3 -1.8 -3.2 .1 -.1 -.4 1.6 2.5 .0 .7 -.9 -7.0 -6.9 -4.1 -7.2 -2.6 5.7 6.4 6.2 4.8 3.0 .3 -1.5 1.0 2.4 .3 1.1 2.2 -.3 -.2 -1.6 3.1 7.6 14.0 -1.9 1.7 -11.7 -8.2 -14.3 -12.0 3.6 .3 7.0 36.1 11.7 4.3 4.9 14.1 1.6 11.5 3.3 -.6 1.8 -.4 1.9 1.7 .2 -1.5 1.5 .8 -1.2 1.7 -.2 -4.6 6.4 -11.7 2.9 3.9 6.2 .7 3.5 10.4 -.6 8.4 -8.7 1.3 18.1 7.7 -14.9 14.4 39.0 34.5 19.3 .9 1.0 2.0 .8 -19.4 10.3 20.0 -16.1 25.8 372–6,9 38 39 -3.8 -.4 5.2 -8.9 -4.4 -8.8 -13.3 -10.1 -6.4 -18.2 -1.8 -14.5 4.8 22.7 18.2 -20.4 -1.3 8.8 5.2 18.2 15.8 -15.9 -4.0 9.2 12.1 23.6 32.6 -8.6 1.5 2.1 1.8 3.5 5.9 -1.5 .7 -.2 .2 .0 -1.2 .4 -.2 -1.2 -1.3 -1.3 -1.4 -1.1 -.4 -.6 -3.7 -5.2 -5.3 -.6 .4 .8 -26.5 -37.0 -41.2 -3.4 1.3 -3.9 33.3 56.0 62.4 1.1 1.2 3.0 .4 .7 1.0 .0 -.9 .5 -.4 -.3 3.4 -.5 -2.2 1.0 2.6 14.1 17.6 -15.0 -1.2 4.2 20 21 22 23 26 -3.5 -.7 -1.2 -10.7 -10.7 -6.1 -2.8 1.5 -6.3 -12.9 -16.1 -9.5 1.2 2.9 10.4 12.6 5.2 -5.3 1.6 -1.0 .9 7.4 -2.2 10.1 1.2 -3.0 -8.9 -.2 -3.7 9.2 .5 -.4 -.6 2.6 .6 1.5 -.7 -.5 -2.5 -2.4 -2.5 -.3 -.2 -.1 -1.6 -.8 .0 2.1 -.2 .8 .5 -.4 -1.3 -1.1 -1.9 -1.2 -19.2 -5.4 -3.2 -.6 2.6 2.9 19.4 1.5 1.7 1.2 -.1 .8 -11.0 -1.7 -.1 1.7 -.2 -.4 10.0 3.2 -2.5 .9 -.1 1.0 -1.8 2.4 -2.3 1.3 27 28 29 30 31 -7.9 -.2 -1.2 -5.2 -14.8 -7.0 4.2 1.8 -8.7 -17.4 -10.5 1.9 9.2 7.9 6.6 -2.5 1.1 -.7 11.4 -4.6 5.2 4.8 -4.9 1.2 11.8 .5 1.3 -.2 -.3 3.3 .6 -1.3 -.3 -.5 -3.7 -.9 -.1 -.8 -.7 5.9 -.2 -.6 -1.3 -.6 2.3 3.4 -.6 .2 -4.7 -5.3 1.6 .3 -.4 3.3 2.9 .9 .8 -1.7 -.1 6.5 -2.3 -.5 -4.0 -.7 2.0 -3.8 .2 -2.2 3.6 6.9 10 12 13 14 -2.4 -13.4 -.5 -2.5 1.1 -11.8 -29.4 -18.2 -11.0 -5.1 -9.1 -18.5 -10.1 -11.0 10.1 -3.5 -3.1 -4.6 -5.0 5.1 2.2 -5.1 8.5 1.0 4.3 -.1 -2.8 -1.7 .5 -.6 .4 -2.8 1.6 .4 .3 -.6 3.3 5.1 -2.3 .5 -1.0 .2 .5 -1.4 -1.1 -1.5 -7.2 -8.3 .3 -1.4 2.6 -1.0 10.1 .6 5.3 -1.9 4.2 5.0 -2.9 -4.8 .5 -1.9 2.6 -.5 2.9 -4.7 -9.7 2.4 -7.4 4.1 491,3pt -6.1 -4.1 -13.1 -7.2 -3.4 -20.2 8.3 3.2 31.1 17.1 14.0 29.8 8.6 11.5 -3.2 2.3 2.7 .6 -2.5 -3.1 -.3 2.4 3.2 -1.0 -1.6 -2.3 1.9 10.3 12.2 -5.1 -1.8 -1.9 -.5 -6.1 -6.5 -1.3 -9.5 -14.0 31.7 5.2 4.6 7.8 -15.6 1.3 23.7 18.6 9.7 .1 .8 1.4 .5 -11.7 6.8 12.5 -8.5 14.7 -6.6 -6.1 -5.6 -6.0 -6.5 -7.3 1.6 2.5 1.1 2.4 3.6 2.4 1.5 3.1 2.4 .1 .4 .3 -.1 -.1 -.1 -.3 -.4 -.5 -.3 -.8 -.8 -3.3 -6.4 -5.8 3.0 6.2 6.0 1.0 .9 .2 -1.3 -1.4 -.7 .3 1.0 .0 -5.1 -6.9 1.5 2.5 2.7 .4 -.1 -.5 -.8 -5.8 6.1 .2 -.7 .3 Durable Lumber and products Furniture and fixtures Stone, clay, and glass products 24 25 32 Primary metals 33 Iron and steel 331,2 Raw steel Nonferrous 333–6,9 Fabricated metal products 34 Industrial machinery and equipment 35 Computer and office equip. 357 Electrical machinery 36 Semiconductors and related electronic components 3672–9 37 371 Nondurable Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products Leather and products Mining Metal mining Coal mining Oil and gas extraction Stone and earth minerals Utilities Electric Gas 492,3pt Not seasonally adjusted 2002 Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p 4.2 Primary processing Advanced processing Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Autos and light trucks Aerospace and misc. Instruments Miscellaneous Seasonally adjusted 2002 Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p SPECIAL AGGREGATES Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors1 Manufacturing excluding: Motor vehicles and parts Computer and office equipment Computers and semiconductors1 Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors1 1. Semiconductors include related electronic components. Note—Percent changes shown in the first and last columns are based on seasonally adjusted data. 8 Table 3 CAPACITY UTILIZATION: MANUFACTURING, MINING, AND UTILITIES Percent of capacity, seasonally adjusted Item SIC 2001 Proportion 19672001 Ave. 19781980 High 1982 Low 19881989 High 19901991 Low 19941995 High 2001 Oct. 2002 May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p Total industry 100.00 81.9 87.3 71.1 85.4 78.1 84.5 75.0 75.6 76.0 76.3 76.1 75.8 75.2 Manufacturing 87.62 80.9 86.9 69.0 85.7 76.6 84.1 73.3 74.0 74.3 74.6 74.5 74.1 73.5 33.80 53.82 82.0 80.3 88.6 86.3 65.7 71.0 88.3 84.2 76.7 76.6 88.8 81.3 73.9 72.9 76.4 72.4 76.7 72.8 76.9 73.1 77.0 72.8 76.8 72.4 76.3 71.7 49.11 2.14 1.57 2.47 79.4 82.4 81.2 78.9 87.7 87.9 85.5 88.0 63.9 60.8 68.9 64.3 84.6 93.6 86.6 83.5 73.1 75.5 72.5 69.7 83.7 88.3 84.3 82.2 70.1 75.7 71.7 79.6 71.2 74.8 72.3 78.7 71.7 75.9 71.1 78.5 71.8 75.7 71.9 78.8 72.1 75.6 71.1 79.5 71.6 75.7 71.8 79.6 70.6 74.9 70.1 79.7 2.88 1.50 .06 1.37 .03 .10 81.6 81.3 81.1 82.1 75.5 87.6 94.2 95.8 95.8 91.1 81.5 97.6 45.1 37.0 35.2 60.1 42.1 58.6 92.7 95.2 92.7 89.3 86.3 100.4 73.7 71.8 71.5 74.2 73.5 97.3 95.4 98.8 98.3 92.2 101.1 83.7 75.5 75.4 75.1 75.5 81.0 58.8 77.9 83.1 79.5 72.4 71.5 62.1 78.9 82.8 86.2 74.8 71.9 64.0 77.0 81.1 87.1 72.6 70.9 65.6 80.5 86.9 91.9 73.7 70.3 64.6 79.4 84.8 92.9 73.6 69.8 63.9 81.1 87.7 93.9 74.2 6.06 77.8 83.9 63.7 82.0 71.9 85.2 70.7 72.0 72.2 72.8 72.6 72.2 71.5 8.29 2.05 9.17 81.0 80.7 81.1 93.2 92.6 89.4 64.0 65.5 71.6 85.4 86.9 84.0 72.3 66.9 75.0 87.2 85.3 90.6 67.7 62.0 64.6 69.2 65.9 67.2 69.2 64.9 66.8 68.7 65.6 66.1 70.0 66.1 65.8 68.9 66.5 65.9 68.0 67.1 65.4 4.55 79.6 91.6 75.7 81.1 75.6 91.0 60.9 67.9 68.1 67.9 67.6 68.1 67.8 76.0 77.0 372–6,9 38 39 10.77 6.47 3.31 4.29 4.57 1.19 75.1 81.1 76.0 84.8 95.0 94.6 81.9 92.7 79.4 57.2 45.5 40.6 66.6 78.4 65.4 85.8 89.1 92.3 87.3 81.4 79.0 68.5 55.9 53.3 79.2 77.2 71.7 76.8 85.1 86.4 69.0 78.3 80.7 70.2 70.7 73.2 69.4 73.3 71.8 72.2 79.3 82.7 61.0 72.1 74.1 73.8 82.1 85.8 60.8 72.3 75.2 75.1 84.8 90.6 60.0 72.9 75.0 75.1 84.6 89.2 60.3 72.7 74.0 74.1 83.3 87.7 59.7 72.4 73.4 71.3 78.8 82.7 59.3 72.8 73.9 20 22 23 26 261–3 27 38.51 9.11 1.20 1.60 3.19 1.11 6.61 83.0 82.6 85.2 80.6 88.3 92.0 84.9 87.5 84.6 91.2 87.5 96.1 98.3 93.9 76.4 79.1 72.3 77.5 80.6 82.0 82.0 87.3 85.4 90.4 85.1 93.5 98.0 91.7 80.7 82.7 77.7 75.5 85.0 89.9 79.6 84.6 84.0 92.5 85.9 92.0 97.4 82.2 77.5 78.5 71.7 65.6 77.8 83.4 73.5 77.6 78.8 76.6 67.0 78.0 83.9 70.7 77.9 79.1 75.9 67.0 77.2 82.4 71.3 78.2 78.7 78.1 67.5 78.4 84.1 71.8 77.7 78.2 76.4 65.8 78.3 83.5 72.4 77.5 78.1 75.9 65.9 80.0 85.1 72.0 77.3 78.6 75.9 65.0 79.1 Chemicals and products 28 Plastics materials 2821 Synthetic fibers 2823,4 Petroleum products 29 Rubber and plastics products 30 Leather and products 31 9.60 .79 .24 1.63 3.64 .17 79.2 86.1 84.4 87.5 84.5 80.6 84.6 90.9 98.6 90.0 91.2 92.1 69.9 63.4 64.4 66.8 72.7 75.8 86.2 97.0 99.7 88.5 89.6 83.3 79.3 74.8 77.6 85.1 77.4 76.1 79.9 103.0 90.4 92.9 91.4 85.5 77.7 77.7 78.7 93.7 76.5 67.7 77.2 85.2 82.2 94.3 79.4 69.2 77.6 84.2 79.4 93.6 80.4 69.8 78.5 83.0 84.5 93.4 80.1 72.3 77.3 77.1 76.5 82.5 93.2 79.7 69.8 76.4 92.4 79.1 74.1 91.1 78.6 76.0 10 12 13 138 14 6.14 .22 .60 4.75 .70 .57 87.6 79.4 86.7 88.7 74.2 84.7 96.0 87.9 99.4 97.3 104.3 92.7 80.3 44.4 76.6 82.3 50.9 63.3 88.0 89.4 91.5 88.2 69.3 89.0 87.0 79.9 83.4 88.7 60.0 79.4 89.3 90.0 88.4 90.1 76.9 90.4 88.4 74.4 82.3 90.1 69.6 85.2 84.2 68.3 78.4 84.6 54.2 88.2 85.1 69.9 79.8 85.2 55.8 89.2 85.0 68.1 78.4 85.6 55.6 88.6 85.3 66.4 79.7 85.9 55.9 88.8 84.8 68.8 83.8 83.9 56.4 89.2 83.9 69.1 84.3 82.7 55.4 88.2 491,3pt 6.24 4.71 1.53 87.6 89.7 81.8 89.1 88.2 93.7 75.9 78.9 69.1 92.6 95.0 85.0 83.4 87.1 67.1 92.5 96.1 87.6 85.7 88.0 79.6 86.3 86.6 87.7 87.1 88.4 84.6 88.8 90.4 85.1 86.4 87.3 84.9 88.2 89.8 84.0 86.6 87.4 85.6 8.52 80.0 90.9 77.3 81.9 72.4 88.2 61.0 64.4 64.4 63.9 63.8 64.0 63.8 79.10 81.0 87.0 68.0 86.1 76.8 83.8 74.8 75.4 75.8 76.1 76.0 75.6 74.9 Primary processing Advanced processing Durable Lumber and products Furniture and fixtures Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metals Iron and steel Raw steel Nonferrous Primary copper Primary aluminum 24 25 32 33 331,2 333–6,9 3331 3334 Fabricated metal products 34 Industrial machinery and equipment 35 Computer and office equip. 357 Electrical machinery 36 Semiconductors and related electronic components 3672–9 Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Autos and light trucks1 Aerospace and misc. Instruments Miscellaneous Nondurable Foods Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products Pulp and paper Printing and publishing Mining Metal mining Coal mining Oil and gas extraction Oil and gas well drilling Stone and earth minerals Utilities Electric Gas 492,3pt 37 371 71.9 SPECIAL AGGREGATES Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors2 Manufacturing ex. computers, communications eq., and semiconductors2 1. Series begins in 1977. 2. Semiconductors include related electronic components. Note—Primary processing manufacturing includes textile mill products, paper and products, industrial chemicals, synthetic materials, and fertilizers, petroleum products, rubber and plastics products, lumber and products, primary metals, fabricated metals, stone, clay, and glass products, semiconductors and related electronic components, and motor vehicle parts. Advanced processing manufacturing includes foods, tobacco products, apparel products, printing and publishing, chemical products and other agricultural chemicals, leather and products, furniture and fixtures, industrial machinery and equipment, electrical machinery except semiconductors and related electronic components, transportation equipment except motor vehicle parts, instruments, and miscellaneous manufactures. 9 Table 4 INDUSTRIAL CAPACITY: MANUFACTURING, MINING, AND UTILITIES Percent change Annual rate Fourth quarter to fourth quarter 1967- 1967- 19752002 1975 2002 SIC Ave. Ave. Ave. 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002p Item Capacity indexes Percent of 1992 output 2001 Oct. 2002 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Total industry 3.1 3.8 2.9 6.4 3.9 4.0 1.7 1.0 183.5 184.5 184.7 184.8 185.0 185.2 185.3 Manufacturing 3.4 4.0 3.3 7.2 4.5 4.7 1.6 1.0 193.9 194.9 195.1 195.3 195.5 195.6 195.8 3.8 3.2 4.4 3.7 3.7 3.0 9.8 5.5 5.0 4.2 7.8 2.9 2.7 .9 1.6 .6 224.3 177.1 226.2 177.7 226.6 177.8 226.9 177.8 227.2 177.9 227.6 178.0 227.9 178.1 4.2 1.9 3.3 1.6 3.7 2.9 4.5 2.5 4.3 1.6 2.8 1.3 10.4 4.1 9.2 3.8 6.6 .5 4.5 2.9 8.1 2.1 3.1 2.6 3.0 1.0 .5 1.9 1.6 .6 .2 1.6 248.1 149.0 186.1 163.7 250.4 149.6 186.2 165.2 250.8 149.6 186.3 165.4 251.1 149.7 186.3 165.7 251.5 149.8 186.4 165.9 251.9 149.9 186.4 166.1 252.2 150.0 186.5 166.3 .4 -.4 -1.0 1.7 .1 1.1 1.7 .7 .3 3.8 1.8 5.2 -.1 -.8 -1.4 1.1 -.4 -.2 3.4 2.8 2.5 4.4 8.3 .0 3.0 1.9 1.7 4.4 -1.2 1.3 .3 -.1 -.8 1.0 -7.5 .2 -.6 -1.5 -2.8 .5 -5.3 .4 -4.4 -8.1 -9.5 -.2 -5.0 .5 150.4 146.4 132.5 155.7 129.9 106.4 147.8 141.5 127.0 155.9 126.1 106.7 147.2 140.3 125.8 155.8 125.6 106.7 146.5 139.1 124.5 155.8 125.0 106.8 145.8 137.9 123.3 155.7 124.5 106.8 145.1 136.7 122.0 155.7 123.9 106.8 144.4 135.5 120.8 155.6 123.4 106.9 2.0 3.1 1.7 7.0 2.0 2.8 .7 .6 180.2 180.6 180.7 180.9 181.0 181.1 181.2 5.7 21.6 10.0 4.7 12.0 5.9 6.0 25.0 11.4 9.9 24.6 27.7 11.4 46.1 16.3 8.5 37.6 30.8 2.6 9.6 9.9 .7 9.7 6.8 299.5 301.1 301.3 301.4 301.6 301.7 301.8 1690.7 1769.2 1784.2 1799.6 1815.4 1831.4 1847.5 750.0 774.3 779.1 784.1 789.1 794.1 799.1 21.4 13.1 24.2 56.0 27.6 54.3 16.8 13.7 2807.7 2977.8 3014.5 3052.7 3091.9 3131.5 3170.9 37 371 2.7 3.5 3.0 4.4 2.6 3.2 372–6,9 38 39 1.5 4.3 2.1 1.1 7.6 4.4 1.7 3.3 1.3 5.4 6.3 6.0 4.0 6.9 2.4 2.3 3.2 2.9 1.1 2.7 2.9 1.8 2.3 2.7 1.1 1.1 .7 1.5 2.6 3.8 -.2 .1 .2 1.1 2.4 4.2 -.6 -.5 1.4 177.3 222.5 201.4 135.1 155.0 158.2 178.6 225.4 206.0 134.8 154.7 159.0 178.7 225.9 206.7 134.7 154.6 159.2 178.9 226.3 207.5 134.6 154.6 159.5 179.0 226.7 208.2 134.6 154.5 159.7 179.2 227.2 208.9 134.5 154.4 159.9 179.4 227.7 209.7 134.4 154.3 160.2 20 22 23 26 261–3 27 2.5 2.2 1.4 1.0 2.6 2.1 2.4 4.3 3.0 4.4 2.3 3.9 2.9 3.0 1.9 2.0 .4 .6 2.2 1.9 2.3 3.2 2.4 -1.1 2.3 2.7 .3 3.2 1.7 2.7 -1.1 -.1 1.5 1.2 2.4 .4 .6 -2.2 -.2 1.0 1.0 -.4 -.2 .4 -3.3 -2.1 .6 .6 -.6 .2 .9 -3.2 -1.2 -.6 -1.1 -1.9 142.9 143.0 115.7 133.8 139.0 125.7 135.9 143.0 143.6 113.4 132.4 138.8 125.4 134.8 143.0 143.7 113.1 132.3 138.7 125.2 134.6 143.1 143.8 112.8 132.2 138.6 125.0 134.3 143.1 143.9 112.5 132.2 138.5 124.9 134.0 143.2 144.1 112.2 132.1 138.4 124.7 133.7 143.2 144.2 111.9 132.0 138.3 124.5 133.5 Chemicals and products 28 Plastics materials 2821 Synthetic fibers 2823,4 Petroleum products 29 Rubber and plastics products 30 Leather and products 31 3.5 5.8 3.0 1.4 5.1 -3.4 6.8 12.7 9.7 4.2 8.4 -1.5 2.5 3.7 .9 .6 4.1 -4.0 5.3 5.5 3.8 2.2 5.3 -3.8 2.1 3.2 -.3 1.6 4.0 -2.6 .7 1.8 -4.9 .5 3.3 -4.8 .4 1.3 -7.3 .7 1.9 -7.3 2.1 .8 2.1 .6 .8 -4.5 158.5 153.3 112.2 122.6 175.6 88.6 159.7 154.1 111.0 123.0 176.7 85.5 160.0 154.2 111.4 123.1 176.8 85.3 160.4 154.3 111.8 123.2 176.9 85.0 160.7 154.4 112.3 123.2 177.0 84.8 161.1 154.5 112.8 123.3 177.1 84.6 161.4 154.5 113.3 123.3 177.1 84.3 10 12 13 138 14 .0 .9 2.1 -.6 .7 1.4 -.1 .5 2.4 -1.0 .8 2.6 .1 1.0 2.0 -.5 .7 1.0 -.6 -.1 .4 -1.8 -1.1 3.0 -2.4 -1.1 .4 -3.4 -1.7 1.7 -1.9 -2.4 1.3 -2.2 .9 .5 .6 -2.8 1.2 .8 7.2 .7 .4 -2.7 -.2 .8 1.7 .5 112.5 114.9 129.4 105.2 182.7 152.2 112.9 113.2 129.6 106.0 187.1 152.7 112.9 112.9 129.6 106.0 187.2 152.7 112.9 112.7 129.5 106.0 187.2 152.8 112.9 112.4 129.4 106.1 187.1 152.9 112.9 112.1 129.4 106.1 187.1 152.9 113.0 111.8 129.3 106.2 187.1 153.0 491,3pt 2.8 3.7 .3 6.1 7.8 2.3 1.7 2.4 -.3 .1 .2 .6 2.4 2.4 .2 2.9 3.2 -.2 5.1 6.4 -.2 3.9 5.1 .3 139.3 139.0 135.7 143.0 143.7 135.8 143.4 144.3 135.8 143.8 144.8 135.9 144.2 145.3 135.9 144.6 145.8 136.0 145.0 146.4 136.0 17.2 9.5 19.9 36.6 28.6 42.9 12.7 10.1 2.3 3.7 1.8 4.4 2.0 1.0 .3 .2 Primary processing Advanced processing Durable Lumber and products Furniture and fixtures Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metals Iron and steel Raw steel Nonferrous Primary copper Primary aluminum 24 25 32 33 331,2 333–6,9 3331 3334 Fabricated metal products 34 Industrial machinery and equipment 35 Computer and office equip. 357 Electrical machinery 36 Semiconductors and related electronic components 3672–9 Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Autos and light trucks1 Aerospace and misc. Instruments Miscellaneous Nondurable Foods Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products Pulp and paper Printing and publishing Mining Metal mining Coal mining Oil and gas extraction Oil and gas well drilling Stone and earth minerals Utilities Electric Gas 492,3pt SPECIAL AGGREGATES Computers, communications eq. and semiconductors2 Manufacturing ex. computers, communications eq., and semiconductors2 p. Preliminary estimate for current year. 1. Series begins in 1977. 2. Semiconductors include related electronic components. 10 1644.7 1720.4 1735.9 1752.1 1768.7 1785.5 1802.3 155.4 155.5 155.5 155.5 155.6 155.6 155.6 Table 5A INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION FOR TOTAL INDUSTRY: HISTORICAL DATA Seasonally adjusted Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Industrial Production, Percent Change1 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 -.5 -.5 .0 .3 .2 .5 -.8 .5 .4 .3 .5 -.9 .9 .2 .8 -.6 .3 .7 .3 .6 .4 .8 .3 -.4 .7 .0 1.2 -.1 .2 .5 .0 .1 .9 .2 .3 .2 .1 -.3 -.2 .4 .1 1.0 .4 1.0 .2 -.6 -.1 .5 .4 .8 -1.3 -.1 .6 .5 .6 -.6 -.6 .0 .8 1.1 2.0 -8.3 .6 3.6 5.7 .6 1.5 6.6 1.5 7.6 1.0 6.2 3.3 1.8 5.2 -5.8 1.1 4.4 6.5 7.5 -.2 -2.0 3.1 3.4 5.5 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 .5 -.3 .4 .6 .7 .0 1.2 1.1 .1 .2 .1 -.1 .1 .3 .4 -.2 1.0 .6 .5 .1 .3 .7 .3 .3 .4 .4 .7 .5 -.6 .2 -.5 .2 .5 -.2 .6 1.3 .6 1.0 1.9 .5 .4 .5 .7 -.2 .0 -.1 .0 .7 .6 .8 .3 1.0 .6 -.4 .4 .2 .6 .2 .0 .7 5.9 2.9 7.7 4.5 3.6 .8 8.4 6.0 3.2 3.3 3.6 6.3 7.7 2.8 4.7 3.6 5.8 8.2 3.5 5.8 4.8 4.6 6.9 5.1 3.7 2000 2001 2002 .2 -.8 .6 .6 -.3 .4 .6 -.4 .3 .5 -.6 .1 .7 -.3 .5 .4 -.9 .6 -.4 .1 .5 .1 -.3 -.2 .1 -1.1 -.2 -.4 -.6 -.8 -.3 -.3 -.4 -.4 5.8 -6.1 2.6 7.0 -5.9 4.2 .6 -4.7 3.5 -2.6 -6.7 4.5 -3.9 Industrial Production 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 98.6 96.7 97.5 102.2 105.9 99.1 95.9 98.0 102.6 106.3 99.6 95.0 98.9 102.8 107.2 99.0 95.4 99.6 103.1 107.8 99.4 96.1 99.9 102.7 108.5 99.3 97.2 99.7 102.9 109.1 99.3 97.3 100.6 103.2 109.4 99.5 97.4 100.3 103.0 109.9 99.6 98.4 100.7 104.0 110.1 99.1 98.3 101.2 104.4 111.0 97.7 98.1 101.8 104.9 111.7 97.2 97.5 101.8 105.7 112.9 99.1 95.9 98.1 102.5 106.5 99.2 96.2 99.7 102.9 108.4 99.5 97.7 100.5 103.4 109.8 98.0 98.0 101.6 105.0 111.8 98.9 97.0 100.0 103.4 109.1 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 113.4 115.6 123.7 132.7 136.9 113.4 117.1 125.1 132.8 137.2 113.5 116.9 125.3 133.3 137.8 113.3 118.1 126.1 134.0 137.9 113.6 118.9 126.5 134.4 138.5 114.1 119.8 127.2 133.6 138.8 113.5 120.0 127.8 133.3 139.6 115.0 120.7 129.1 135.9 140.2 115.5 121.4 130.0 135.6 140.3 115.4 121.4 130.9 136.4 141.3 115.8 122.6 131.7 135.9 141.9 116.0 123.3 132.0 136.0 142.9 113.4 116.5 124.7 133.0 137.3 113.7 118.9 126.6 134.0 138.4 114.7 120.7 129.0 134.9 140.0 115.7 122.4 131.5 136.1 142.0 114.4 119.6 127.9 134.5 139.4 2000 2001 2002 143.2 143.9 137.6 144.0 143.5 138.1 144.9 142.9 138.6 145.6 142.0 138.8 146.6 141.6 139.4 147.2 140.3 140.3 146.5 140.4 141.0 146.7 140.0 140.7 146.8 138.5 140.4 146.3 137.7 139.3 145.8 137.2 145.1 136.7 144.0 143.5 138.1 146.5 141.3 139.5 146.7 139.6 140.7 145.7 137.2 145.7 140.1 119.2 121.4 123.4 126.1 129.1 119.3 121.6 123.6 126.3 129.4 119.5 121.7 123.8 126.5 129.8 119.7 121.9 124.1 126.7 130.1 119.9 122.1 124.3 127.0 130.5 120.1 122.2 124.5 127.2 130.9 120.2 122.4 124.7 127.4 131.4 120.4 122.6 124.9 127.7 131.8 120.6 122.7 125.2 127.9 132.2 120.8 122.9 125.4 128.2 132.7 121.0 123.0 125.6 128.5 133.2 121.2 123.2 125.8 128.8 133.7 119.3 121.6 123.6 126.3 129.4 119.9 122.1 124.3 127.0 130.5 120.4 122.6 124.9 127.7 131.8 121.0 123.0 125.6 128.5 133.2 120.2 122.3 124.6 127.3 131.2 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 134.2 141.2 149.0 158.9 168.4 134.8 141.9 149.7 159.8 168.9 135.3 142.5 150.4 160.7 169.5 135.8 143.1 151.2 161.6 170.0 136.4 143.8 151.9 162.5 170.5 137.0 144.4 152.7 163.3 171.0 137.6 145.0 153.5 164.2 171.5 138.2 145.7 154.4 164.9 172.0 138.8 146.3 155.2 165.7 172.5 139.4 147.0 156.1 166.4 173.1 140.0 147.6 157.0 167.1 173.6 140.6 148.3 157.9 167.8 174.2 134.8 141.9 149.7 159.8 168.9 136.4 143.8 151.9 162.5 170.5 138.2 145.7 154.4 164.9 172.0 140.0 147.6 157.0 167.1 173.6 137.3 144.7 153.3 163.6 171.3 2000 2001 2002 174.8 181.5 183.9 175.4 181.8 184.1 176.0 182.2 184.2 176.6 182.4 184.4 177.2 182.6 184.5 177.9 182.8 184.7 178.5 183.0 184.8 179.0 183.2 185.0 179.6 183.3 185.2 180.1 183.5 185.3 180.6 183.6 181.1 183.8 175.4 181.8 184.1 177.2 182.6 184.5 179.0 183.2 185.0 180.6 183.6 178.1 182.8 82.7 79.6 79.0 81.1 82.1 83.0 78.9 79.3 81.3 82.1 83.3 78.1 79.8 81.2 82.6 82.7 78.2 80.3 81.4 82.8 82.9 78.7 80.3 80.9 83.1 82.7 79.6 80.1 80.9 83.3 82.6 79.5 80.7 81.0 83.3 82.6 79.5 80.3 80.6 83.4 82.6 80.2 80.4 81.3 83.3 82.0 80.0 80.7 81.4 83.6 80.8 79.8 81.0 81.6 83.8 80.2 79.2 80.9 82.1 84.4 83.0 78.9 79.4 81.2 82.3 82.8 78.8 80.2 81.1 83.1 82.6 79.7 80.5 81.0 83.3 81.0 79.6 80.9 81.7 84.0 82.3 79.3 80.2 81.2 83.2 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 84.5 81.9 83.1 83.6 81.3 84.2 82.5 83.6 83.1 81.2 83.9 82.0 83.3 82.9 81.3 83.4 82.5 83.4 82.9 81.1 83.3 82.7 83.3 82.7 81.2 83.3 82.9 83.3 81.8 81.2 82.5 82.7 83.2 81.2 81.4 83.2 82.9 83.6 82.4 81.5 83.2 83.0 83.7 81.8 81.3 82.8 82.6 83.8 82.0 81.7 82.7 83.0 83.9 81.3 81.7 82.5 83.1 83.6 81.1 82.0 84.2 82.1 83.3 83.2 81.3 83.3 82.7 83.3 82.5 81.2 83.0 82.9 83.5 81.8 81.4 82.7 82.9 83.8 81.5 81.8 83.3 82.7 83.5 82.2 81.4 2000 2001 2002 81.9 79.3 74.8 82.1 78.9 75.0 82.3 78.5 75.2 82.5 77.8 75.3 82.7 77.5 75.6 82.8 76.7 76.0 82.1 76.7 76.3 81.9 76.4 76.1 81.7 75.5 75.8 81.2 75.0 75.2 80.7 74.7 80.2 74.4 82.1 78.9 75.0 82.6 77.4 75.6 81.9 76.2 76.1 80.7 74.7 81.8 76.8 Capacity 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Utilization 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1. Quarterly percent changes are at annual rates. Annual percent changes are calculated from annual averages. 11 Table 5B INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION FOR MANUFACTURING: HISTORICAL DATA Seasonally adjusted Year Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Annual Industrial Production, Percent Change1 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 -.2 -.9 .1 .7 .1 .9 -.7 .7 .2 .4 .3 -1.1 1.0 .2 1.1 -.8 .3 .6 .5 .8 .4 .7 .4 -.3 .8 -.1 1.4 .0 .0 .3 .0 .2 .9 .2 .5 .3 .2 -.3 -.3 .6 -.1 1.1 .3 1.1 .3 -.6 -.1 .5 .4 .9 -1.3 -.2 .6 .5 .8 -.6 -.5 -.1 .9 1.1 2.9 -9.7 2.0 4.2 5.9 -.1 1.2 7.4 2.1 9.4 .8 7.8 4.1 1.3 6.0 -6.3 1.7 3.7 6.9 9.0 -.5 -2.4 4.0 3.7 6.1 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 .6 -.3 .4 .9 .6 -.1 1.2 1.2 .0 .4 .2 -.2 .3 .2 .2 -.3 1.2 .5 .7 .2 .1 .8 .4 .2 .6 .5 .9 .7 -.7 .1 -.7 .6 .4 -.2 .4 1.2 .6 1.3 2.3 .8 .7 .6 .6 -.2 .0 .0 .0 .6 .8 .8 .1 1.0 .7 -.2 .6 .1 .7 .3 .2 .6 6.4 2.4 8.8 6.0 3.9 .4 9.2 6.8 3.0 3.6 3.0 8.4 8.9 3.2 4.8 4.2 6.2 8.7 5.2 6.9 5.3 4.9 7.9 5.9 4.2 2000 2001 2002 .3 -.8 .7 .5 -.3 .2 .9 -.4 .4 .3 -.8 .0 .7 -.2 .6 .5 -1.0 .6 -.4 .2 .4 -.1 -.5 -.1 .1 -1.1 -.4 -.5 -.5 -.7 -.5 -.1 -.7 -.3 6.3 -7.1 3.0 7.1 -6.2 3.6 .4 -4.9 3.2 -4.0 -6.3 4.8 -4.4 Industrial Production 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 98.1 95.8 97.2 102.5 106.2 99.0 95.1 97.8 102.7 106.6 99.3 94.1 98.8 102.9 107.7 98.6 94.4 99.4 103.4 108.6 99.0 95.0 99.8 103.1 109.4 98.9 96.3 99.9 103.1 109.7 98.8 96.6 100.8 103.3 110.3 99.1 96.8 100.5 103.0 110.9 99.0 97.8 100.8 104.2 111.3 98.4 97.8 101.3 104.6 112.2 97.2 97.6 101.9 105.2 113.1 96.6 97.1 101.8 106.1 114.3 98.8 95.0 97.9 102.7 106.8 98.8 95.2 99.7 103.2 109.2 99.0 97.0 100.7 103.5 110.8 97.4 97.5 101.6 105.3 113.2 98.5 96.2 100.0 103.7 110.0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 115.0 117.0 126.3 136.9 141.8 114.9 118.4 127.8 137.0 142.4 115.1 118.1 128.2 137.3 142.7 114.8 119.5 128.9 138.2 143.0 115.0 120.4 129.4 138.5 143.8 115.5 121.5 130.4 137.6 143.9 114.7 122.2 130.9 137.2 144.4 116.1 122.9 132.6 140.3 145.6 117.0 123.7 133.5 140.0 145.7 117.0 123.7 134.3 141.1 146.8 117.2 124.9 135.3 140.8 147.7 117.3 125.8 135.7 141.0 148.6 115.0 117.9 127.4 137.1 142.3 115.1 120.5 129.6 138.1 143.6 116.0 122.9 132.3 139.2 145.2 117.2 124.8 135.1 141.0 147.7 115.8 121.5 131.1 138.8 144.7 2000 2001 2002 149.0 148.9 142.6 149.8 148.4 142.9 151.1 147.9 143.4 151.6 146.7 143.4 152.6 146.4 144.2 153.3 145.0 145.0 152.7 145.2 145.6 152.6 144.5 145.5 152.8 142.9 144.9 152.0 142.1 143.9 151.2 142.0 150.1 141.6 149.9 148.4 142.9 152.5 146.0 144.2 152.7 144.2 145.4 151.1 141.9 151.6 144.8 119.9 122.4 124.6 127.5 131.0 120.1 122.6 124.8 127.8 131.3 120.3 122.8 125.0 128.0 131.7 120.5 123.0 125.3 128.3 132.1 120.7 123.1 125.5 128.5 132.6 120.9 123.3 125.8 128.8 133.0 121.1 123.5 126.0 129.1 133.5 121.3 123.7 126.2 129.3 134.0 121.5 123.8 126.5 129.6 134.5 121.7 124.0 126.7 129.9 135.0 122.0 124.2 127.0 130.3 135.6 122.2 124.3 127.2 130.6 136.1 120.1 122.6 124.8 127.8 131.3 120.7 123.1 125.5 128.5 132.6 121.3 123.7 126.2 129.3 134.0 122.0 124.2 127.0 130.3 135.6 121.0 123.4 125.9 129.0 133.4 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 136.7 144.7 153.7 165.1 176.1 137.3 145.5 154.5 166.2 176.8 137.9 146.2 155.3 167.2 177.4 138.5 147.0 156.2 168.3 178.0 139.2 147.7 157.1 169.3 178.6 139.8 148.5 158.0 170.3 179.2 140.5 149.2 158.9 171.2 179.8 141.2 149.9 159.9 172.2 180.4 141.9 150.7 160.9 173.0 181.1 142.6 151.4 161.9 173.9 181.7 143.3 152.2 162.9 174.6 182.4 144.0 153.0 164.0 175.4 183.1 137.3 145.5 154.5 166.2 176.8 139.2 147.7 157.1 169.3 178.6 141.2 149.9 159.9 172.1 180.4 143.3 152.2 162.9 174.6 182.4 140.2 148.8 158.6 170.6 179.5 2000 2001 2002 183.8 192.0 194.3 184.6 192.4 194.4 185.4 192.7 194.6 186.1 193.0 194.8 186.9 193.2 194.9 187.7 193.4 195.1 188.4 193.5 195.3 189.1 193.6 195.5 189.8 193.8 195.6 190.4 193.9 195.8 191.0 194.0 191.5 194.2 184.6 192.3 194.4 186.9 193.2 194.9 189.1 193.6 195.5 191.0 194.0 187.9 193.3 81.8 78.2 78.0 80.4 81.1 82.5 77.5 78.4 80.4 81.1 82.6 76.6 79.0 80.4 81.8 81.8 76.8 79.4 80.6 82.2 82.0 77.1 79.5 80.2 82.5 81.8 78.1 79.4 80.0 82.5 81.6 78.2 80.0 80.1 82.6 81.7 78.2 79.6 79.7 82.8 81.5 79.0 79.7 80.4 82.7 80.9 78.9 79.9 80.5 83.1 79.7 78.6 80.2 80.7 83.4 79.0 78.1 80.0 81.2 84.0 82.3 77.5 78.5 80.4 81.3 81.9 77.3 79.4 80.3 82.4 81.6 78.5 79.8 80.0 82.7 79.9 78.5 80.0 80.8 83.5 81.4 77.9 79.4 80.4 82.5 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 84.1 80.9 82.1 83.0 80.5 83.7 81.4 82.7 82.4 80.6 83.5 80.8 82.5 82.1 80.4 82.9 81.3 82.5 82.2 80.3 82.6 81.5 82.4 81.8 80.5 82.6 81.8 82.5 80.8 80.3 81.7 81.9 82.4 80.1 80.3 82.3 82.0 83.0 81.5 80.7 82.5 82.1 83.0 80.9 80.5 82.1 81.7 83.0 81.2 80.8 81.8 82.1 83.0 80.6 81.0 81.5 82.2 82.7 80.4 81.1 83.8 81.0 82.5 82.5 80.5 82.7 81.6 82.5 81.6 80.4 82.1 82.0 82.8 80.9 80.5 81.8 82.0 82.9 80.7 81.0 82.6 81.6 82.7 81.4 80.6 2000 2001 2002 81.0 77.6 73.4 81.1 77.2 73.5 81.5 76.7 73.7 81.4 76.0 73.6 81.6 75.8 74.0 81.7 75.0 74.3 81.0 75.1 74.6 80.7 74.6 74.5 80.5 73.7 74.1 79.8 73.3 73.5 79.2 73.2 78.4 72.9 81.2 77.2 73.5 81.6 75.6 74.0 80.7 74.5 74.4 79.1 73.1 80.7 75.1 Capacity 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Utilization 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1. Quarterly percent changes are at annual rates. Annual percent changes are calculated from annual averages. 12 Table 6 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES Index, 1992 = 100 Item SIC 2001 IP Proportion Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 74.9 83.8 73.4 65.9 77.0 102.2 72.7 60.3 81.1 108.2 76.5 66.4 75.2 93.3 72.2 61.0 74.5 77.6 70.2 73.6 10 101 102–4,8,9 102 .22 .03 .19 .06 75.3 85.5 73.6 65.7 77.3 98.8 73.7 58.6 79.0 102.6 75.0 66.3 76.8 90.0 74.5 61.7 74.7 77.1 71.2 73.6 12 .69 101.8 101.7 103.3 101.6 103.1 108.5 101.8 99.3 103.4 94.8 104.3 109.5 13 131 132 138 4.61 3.63 1.82 1.81 .27 .72 90.3 88.3 78.5 101.8 112.7 102.0 89.7 87.6 79.0 99.5 114.0 101.4 90.3 88.1 79.5 100.0 109.3 104.4 90.8 88.9 77.7 104.3 107.6 104.1 91.1 88.8 78.2 103.6 113.6 104.6 89.0 86.0 74.8 101.6 112.0 105.6 90.5 88.6 78.9 102.2 114.1 101.2 90.1 87.9 79.1 100.0 115.1 102.2 90.3 88.1 78.9 100.9 110.2 103.7 90.5 88.3 77.1 103.7 108.7 104.9 91.1 88.4 77.9 103.0 114.5 105.9 88.5 85.0 73.7 100.7 114.0 106.5 14 .67 132.5 134.7 136.2 135.4 135.8 136.4 133.2 148.5 157.3 155.1 163.3 155.4 20 201 202 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 9.66 1.67 .52 .34 .80 .01 .96 .01 .25 .21 .11 .37 114.0 125.9 115.2 113.5 146.2 65.1 106.1 113.4 123.2 127.1 84.8 93.0 113.2 127.2 117.0 118.9 145.0 67.4 104.6 113.0 121.1 123.5 81.3 93.3 113.6 128.7 121.6 115.3 146.9 63.9 105.8 116.2 120.5 128.3 84.8 93.1 113.1 129.3 122.1 115.6 147.8 62.8 104.0 110.7 118.9 123.3 81.3 93.2 112.6 129.2 120.6 115.0 148.9 63.5 106.5 113.9 123.4 127.6 81.8 94.6 112.5 128.8 116.7 119.7 148.4 66.4 105.1 109.5 121.7 117.3 88.5 94.8 111.5 127.9 114.6 116.8 148.8 65.3 113.3 127.3 125.0 143.1 96.0 97.3 111.8 127.2 117.2 110.4 148.6 61.9 112.3 116.8 125.2 140.0 92.6 97.7 116.7 132.7 128.4 110.2 152.9 60.6 112.4 99.3 123.1 139.4 106.5 95.4 115.3 125.8 121.7 104.4 144.9 58.5 103.8 86.7 116.1 119.1 97.1 92.0 118.7 131.9 126.4 112.0 151.5 61.7 101.7 83.3 118.9 109.9 92.6 91.5 119.7 129.1 120.0 119.4 145.9 65.8 98.1 92.3 117.6 97.5 86.9 90.8 203 204 205 206 207 208 2082,3 2086,7 209 2095 1.23 1.03 1.29 .62 .18 1.80 .54 1.04 .88 .12 102.3 110.5 121.3 110.7 143.9 114.0 94.4 127.5 111.8 104.2 101.3 109.5 120.2 105.8 145.3 113.9 91.8 129.6 110.7 104.5 98.2 110.7 118.0 112.2 147.2 115.0 97.2 127.6 110.4 103.1 97.6 111.9 117.9 113.7 139.2 112.5 91.8 127.1 111.1 103.5 95.4 110.1 117.1 111.2 136.3 112.2 93.0 125.2 111.8 95.2 109.4 117.6 110.4 138.9 113.6 96.8 125.4 110.9 94.7 107.7 116.0 101.9 142.6 112.9 100.5 120.8 103.3 95.0 95.3 107.7 117.0 95.4 141.2 115.2 102.2 125.8 107.0 98.5 97.8 109.3 123.5 103.3 141.0 123.2 109.3 135.4 114.5 92.1 100.7 111.1 127.7 102.0 131.6 119.4 97.2 141.5 119.6 91.6 108.7 112.3 129.0 108.7 135.0 121.0 96.2 141.9 124.9 113.7 114.0 130.8 117.2 139.2 122.1 93.7 144.1 124.0 21 2.11 94.4 94.5 95.1 94.5 92.2 90.7 91.7 94.0 104.1 84.1 100.4 89.3 Textile mill products 22 Fabrics 221–4 Cotton and synthetic 221,2 Narrow fabrics 224 Knit goods 225 Knit garments 2253,4,7–9 Fabric finishing 226 Carpeting 227 Yarns and miscellaneous 228,9 Cotton and synthetic yarns 2281,2,4 1.17 .28 .23 .03 .24 .16 .10 .19 .37 .17 86.7 76.6 80.5 79.7 70.9 69.1 71.5 108.7 109.8 109.3 86.8 77.3 81.6 76.0 69.5 67.0 70.9 108.1 111.5 110.5 85.8 72.0 74.8 78.5 70.4 68.0 69.6 106.7 113.6 116.9 88.1 77.5 81.6 80.4 71.9 69.6 70.9 104.1 116.4 123.0 85.9 75.5 79.9 76.1 70.1 67.7 69.1 102.1 113.5 110.6 85.2 72.5 76.3 77.3 71.2 69.5 67.7 98.5 115.3 115.7 91.6 80.4 84.8 79.4 72.6 66.5 77.4 124.3 112.5 114.6 89.1 81.7 86.4 77.4 71.8 67.9 78.4 100.6 114.7 118.3 91.2 75.8 78.9 80.1 79.7 75.5 71.5 115.5 116.5 121.7 86.4 71.9 75.4 76.5 73.4 73.0 64.8 116.4 109.6 112.8 87.7 76.8 81.9 76.1 74.6 77.1 70.2 100.1 115.3 113.5 86.2 72.4 76.5 77.5 76.5 78.1 62.3 98.8 116.4 114.8 Apparel products 23 1.46 88.3 88.7 88.7 89.3 87.0 87.0 87.8 89.0 90.8 87.9 89.4 89.3 24 241,2 241 243–5,9 243 2435,6 245 2.15 .74 .25 1.41 .80 .14 .19 111.6 103.9 84.8 118.0 127.3 91.6 82.4 111.8 101.6 82.6 119.7 128.1 91.2 84.8 113.5 105.9 84.5 119.8 127.9 93.0 84.3 113.3 103.0 80.7 121.2 129.5 84.7 84.4 113.3 104.1 80.3 120.6 129.1 91.3 113.5 104.4 82.9 120.8 129.3 90.6 112.6 102.4 73.9 120.5 127.4 94.1 89.0 112.1 99.9 78.5 121.2 130.0 95.0 89.9 118.8 112.2 87.0 124.7 131.3 94.8 93.8 112.2 101.0 86.0 120.7 132.0 84.1 76.2 117.2 107.4 89.3 125.0 133.5 93.5 117.6 110.1 91.4 124.0 132.2 91.9 Metal mining Iron ore Nonferrous ores Copper Coal mining Oil and gas extraction Crude oil and natural gas Crude oil, total Natural gas Natural gas liquids Oil and gas well drilling Stone and earth minerals Foods Meat products Beef Pork Poultry Miscellaneous meats Dairy products Butter Cheese Concentrated milk Frozen desserts Milk and misc. dairy products Canned and frozen food Grain mill products Bakery products Sugar and confectionery Fats and oils Beverages Beer and ale Soft drinks Coffee and miscellaneous Roasted coffee Tobacco products Lumber and products Logging and lumber Logging Lumber products Millwork and plywood Plywood Manufactured homes 1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year. 13 Table 6 (continued) INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES Index, 1992 = 100 Item SIC 2001 IP Proportion1 Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 25 251 1.57 .62 134.8 123.0 134.7 122.8 132.5 119.0 133.9 120.7 132.5 116.0 133.8 118.9 132.7 122.9 133.1 122.5 137.9 125.6 134.3 117.2 141.4 122.1 142.9 125.4 26 261–3 261 262 263 265,7 265 267 3.29 1.21 .05 .73 .42 2.09 .69 1.40 105.3 101.5 87.8 100.6 106.2 107.8 101.5 111.5 108.3 105.2 91.2 102.0 114.4 110.3 103.6 114.2 107.1 103.2 92.9 98.5 114.4 109.5 108.2 110.6 108.7 105.2 91.7 102.9 112.4 111.0 103.8 115.2 108.4 104.2 93.1 101.2 112.6 111.1 104.0 115.3 110.7 106.1 95.1 103.8 113.2 113.7 107.0 117.6 108.0 103.5 89.7 101.6 110.2 110.9 107.7 112.8 105.8 103.1 90.4 99.3 112.9 107.6 99.5 112.2 108.0 103.5 92.7 98.7 115.0 110.9 109.7 111.8 107.4 103.9 92.8 101.3 111.3 109.7 103.0 113.5 108.7 104.7 94.6 101.0 114.2 111.3 104.5 115.1 110.5 105.8 94.3 103.4 113.1 113.5 107.4 117.0 Printing and publishing 27 Newspapers 271 Periodicals, books, and cards 272,3,7 Job printing 274–6,8,9 6.62 1.44 2.18 3.00 94.9 79.4 94.2 104.3 95.3 80.1 94.5 104.6 96.0 80.2 96.9 104.4 96.5 80.2 97.0 105.5 97.1 80.0 97.8 106.4 96.2 79.8 96.9 105.3 93.9 84.8 94.4 98.6 92.9 78.5 93.8 100.7 96.7 78.4 95.4 108.6 100.0 77.6 97.5 115.4 101.6 74.8 99.0 119.8 102.6 80.6 98.6 118.7 Chemicals and products Industrial chemicals and synthetic materials Basic chemicals Alkalies and chlorine Inorganic pigments Inorganic chemicals, nec Acids and other 28 9.75 122.2 123.3 124.2 125.8 124.2 124.1 123.0 123.2 124.8 124.0 124.4 125.4 281,2,6 281 2812 2816 2819 3.25 1.03 .06 .07 .80 .72 104.6 108.2 72.2 88.7 115.3 149.8 108.0 112.1 71.7 102.8 119.4 151.1 107.6 109.6 73.9 90.7 117.0 153.1 108.6 114.6 78.1 99.3 122.0 152.5 107.2 110.6 73.7 89.4 117.8 152.3 107.0 110.8 71.7 90.3 118.2 152.6 107.5 111.8 71.8 95.4 119.5 151.1 107.1 107.6 73.0 97.1 113.4 145.5 107.6 108.4 71.8 92.4 115.2 155.6 104.7 104.0 76.8 95.5 108.0 146.2 105.1 107.4 72.9 91.5 113.2 153.7 107.1 111.1 71.6 90.1 118.6 155.4 282 2821 2823,4 286 1.15 .79 .24 1.07 113.9 123.8 88.9 93.8 118.2 131.3 91.2 96.0 117.2 129.8 88.4 97.8 117.6 128.1 94.5 96.2 117.8 116.6 118.6 130.9 90.8 97.6 115.9 126.5 92.7 95.8 116.8 86.1 95.6 119.1 131.7 92.3 96.5 116.0 92.7 95.5 118.3 129.3 91.8 94.7 91.4 94.1 87.0 95.6 283–5,9 283 284 285 287 6.04 3.62 1.43 .36 .46 138.9 157.3 120.9 112.0 90.1 138.7 155.0 123.0 113.1 88.8 140.5 159.6 121.5 114.3 89.3 142.4 160.1 125.4 113.9 92.0 140.3 157.9 122.2 113.5 93.1 140.4 158.7 121.0 113.9 92.3 137.9 156.6 115.7 123.3 93.1 138.7 157.5 116.5 125.1 90.7 141.5 154.5 127.0 131.7 89.0 142.2 153.2 133.7 120.4 89.6 142.4 153.0 134.2 119.9 91.3 142.8 155.2 133.4 115.3 91.5 Petroleum products 29 Petroleum refining and misc. 291,9 Miscellaneous petroleum products Distillate fuel oil Residual fuel oil Aviation fuel and kerosene Automotive gasoline Paving and roofing materials 295 1.92 1.70 .32 .30 .04 .19 .85 .22 116.9 113.5 110.6 123.7 70.9 107.4 115.5 147.5 116.0 112.2 112.1 122.9 65.5 107.1 112.8 150.7 115.2 111.1 110.7 124.4 60.6 108.2 111.0 152.7 115.1 111.2 109.9 116.9 61.5 112.0 112.9 150.0 114.8 111.3 106.4 117.6 65.0 109.7 114.5 146.7 113.9 110.1 105.7 118.6 114.8 118.8 124.8 65.2 104.9 115.4 152.6 120.4 115.5 122.5 123.8 60.4 108.1 115.4 164.0 120.5 115.8 124.8 119.9 63.3 112.0 115.2 163.0 120.1 115.2 121.6 119.0 65.2 109.8 115.9 163.7 118.1 113.0 113.7 148.6 116.2 113.4 112.6 122.3 67.3 106.1 115.5 140.3 163.8 Rubber and plastics products 30 Tires 301 Other rubber products 302,5,6 Plastics products, nec 308 3.78 .29 .61 2.89 139.2 115.6 129.4 144.7 140.2 120.4 130.6 145.2 142.1 127.8 130.1 147.0 141.7 118.3 130.5 147.5 141.0 118.4 128.6 147.0 140.1 117.7 128.1 145.9 139.1 123.2 127.3 144.0 139.6 119.7 130.1 144.5 144.2 127.7 136.1 148.3 137.4 103.7 129.3 143.6 141.9 121.5 134.2 146.4 141.8 118.2 136.1 146.3 31 314 .16 .04 59.5 50.5 59.2 48.8 59.5 50.4 61.4 50.7 59.2 46.3 62.7 49.4 59.7 50.3 59.8 49.2 61.3 52.0 58.0 47.4 59.7 47.1 63.6 49.6 Stone, clay, and glass products 32 Pressed and blown glass 322 Glass containers 3221 Cement 324 Structural clay products 325 Concrete and miscellaneous 326–9 2.66 .32 .12 .23 .12 1.60 129.6 107.6 78.7 138.0 115.7 129.0 130.0 109.0 81.1 131.5 117.9 130.5 129.9 108.1 79.0 136.1 118.1 129.6 130.6 112.0 80.3 133.1 117.0 129.5 131.8 111.2 77.8 131.6 115.3 132.1 132.3 112.3 79.2 130.8 109.4 81.3 144.2 117.7 129.8 131.0 109.0 82.4 146.0 120.5 129.7 135.3 112.0 81.7 159.0 122.7 133.1 133.3 113.5 82.7 149.0 111.9 132.3 137.0 113.5 81.4 155.8 120.6 135.3 137.7 112.8 78.6 Furniture and fixtures Household furniture Paper and products Pulp and paper Wood pulp Paper Paperboard Paper products Paperboard containers Converted paper products Synthetic materials Plastics materials Synthetic fibers Industrial organic chemicals Chemical products Drugs and medicines Soap and toiletries Paints Agricultural chemicals Leather and products Shoes 114.7 132.5 1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year. 14 116.1 137.6 Table 6 (continued) INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES Index, 1992 = 100 Item Primary metals Iron and steel Basic steel and mill products Basic iron and steel Pig iron Raw steel 2001 IP SIC Proportion1 33 331,2 331 Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted 2002 Apr. Sept.r 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 2.93 1.51 1.05 .20 .11 .06 112.1 110.7 109.6 86.0 79.8 101.2 115.2 117.5 118.3 85.9 79.3 100.9 116.2 116.2 117.2 91.4 84.7 108.4 112.8 112.9 113.4 94.7 90.1 108.5 117.3 119.9 122.9 97.7 92.3 113.2 115.2 116.0 117.5 100.9 97.0 113.4 115.6 114.6 113.6 89.0 82.2 106.2 116.4 119.5 121.0 88.3 81.9 103.8 117.9 119.2 120.3 92.3 85.4 109.9 109.6 111.0 112.2 92.7 88.2 105.3 115.9 118.1 122.6 96.6 91.1 111.9 116.2 116.4 117.3 99.5 94.7 113.0 116.6 120.0 82.9 163.6 87.0 115.4 114.1 127.8 135.8 90.0 179.0 93.3 125.9 116.8 124.8 120.7 90.8 176.8 94.6 124.9 114.8 118.9 130.0 82.0 151.4 92.1 118.8 112.6 130.3 129.3 84.4 169.2 96.4 134.4 113.8 122.3 118.6 78.0 165.6 87.4 126.1 113.5 120.8 129.1 85.8 168.3 87.3 119.1 118.0 130.6 142.3 92.2 183.2 96.6 127.7 117.3 128.5 124.5 90.7 184.5 96.7 128.8 117.8 118.0 101.6 79.6 159.8 93.8 123.5 109.2 130.3 129.2 84.5 173.9 101.5 133.2 108.9 122.5 123.4 80.8 163.3 94.4 124.8 115.3 Steel mill products Consumer durable steel Equipment steel Construction steel Can and closure steel Miscellaneous steel Iron and steel foundries 332 .85 .13 .07 .12 .03 .49 .46 Nonferrous metals Primary nonferrous metals Copper Aluminum 333–6,9 333 3331 3334 1.42 .17 .03 .08 114.1 88.8 88.2 65.0 112.9 89.8 90.2 66.2 116.5 88.2 90.3 68.3 113.1 86.7 88.6 70.0 114.7 88.2 87.5 69.0 114.6 88.9 86.5 68.2 117.2 90.3 87.9 65.3 113.0 90.7 91.2 66.5 116.7 85.6 87.1 68.1 108.3 82.9 82.8 69.5 113.6 85.3 84.7 68.9 116.3 88.1 86.8 68.5 Nonferrous products Nonferrous mill products Aluminum Nonferrous foundries 335,6 335 3353–5 336 1.05 .80 .31 .25 118.6 112.2 86.3 140.1 116.6 109.5 87.7 140.8 122.3 116.7 98.1 141.3 117.4 110.5 88.0 141.1 119.8 113.4 95.0 141.5 119.4 113.4 99.2 139.6 122.1 116.8 94.4 139.9 116.7 109.9 89.2 139.7 122.3 116.7 99.7 141.1 111.9 105.8 84.5 132.4 118.5 112.1 94.6 140.2 120.7 114.7 100.5 141.1 Fabricated metal products 34 Metal containers 341 Hardware, tools, and cutlery 342 Hardware and tools 3423,5,9 Structural metal products 344 Other fabricated metal products 345–9 Fasteners, stampings, etc. 345–7 5.85 .20 .56 .49 1.66 3.23 1.90 128.2 102.0 110.9 111.8 133.7 130.6 139.0 130.0 103.5 111.2 112.9 135.8 132.8 142.8 130.6 104.0 111.7 113.1 135.4 133.6 143.1 131.7 103.4 115.1 116.5 134.3 135.4 147.1 131.3 103.1 116.0 118.3 134.7 134.5 145.2 130.8 102.9 114.8 116.3 134.8 134.0 145.6 126.4 100.5 109.0 109.9 131.4 130.4 138.6 128.6 111.1 110.4 112.0 134.3 131.9 141.3 133.8 121.4 116.9 118.8 136.7 136.6 147.6 130.3 113.8 116.5 118.6 135.4 132.2 143.8 134.2 115.9 121.7 124.5 136.5 136.1 148.7 134.7 107.8 120.6 122.4 136.7 136.4 149.8 Industrial machinery and equipment 35 Engines and turbines 351 Farm 352 Construction and allied 353 Metalworking 354 Special industry machinery 355 General industrial machinery 356 Bearings and gears 3562,6,8 Bearings 3562 Equipment 3561,3–5,7,9 Computer and office equip. 357 Service industry machines 358 Refrig. and heating equip. 3585 Miscellaneous machinery 359 7.69 .49 .35 .89 .85 .57 .94 .28 .14 .66 1.55 .90 .68 1.14 Electrical machinery Major electrical and parts Electric distribution equip. Household appliances Cooking equipment Refrigerators and freezers Laundry Miscellaneous Electrical housewares Appliances, nec 36 361,2 361 363 3631 3632 3633 3634,5,9 3634 3639 7.82 .82 .30 .49 .08 .10 .08 .22 .07 .09 365 366 367 .10 1.53 3.60 65.3 66.5 66.9 64.2 63.3 61.8 63.7 59.5 69.6 58.6 63.2 72.2 281.3 279.7 281.6 269.8 267.8 265.2 279.2 277.1 280.9 266.4 267.5 267.9 1854.3 1919.7 1947.0 1963.1 1979.8 2017.7 1632.0 1725.6 2152.5 1744.0 1923.4 2295.3 3672–9 369 3691 3.54 .65 .13 1949.0 2022.5 2054.1 2071.8 2091.5 2133.5 1712.3 1813.1 2278.4 1836.3 2025.1 2429.2 125.3 125.4 123.8 123.4 119.0 119.1 124.5 122.8 127.0 118.7 120.1 126.4 158.6 159.0 156.9 150.6 149.6 148.1 169.8 150.5 37 371 3714 3716 10.44 6.35 1.22 2.52 2.47 1.63 .84 2.56 .05 129.6 179.3 111.6 232.4 243.0 258.9 216.0 200.2 95.7 128.8 178.8 109.9 233.7 244.2 259.1 219.0 198.7 107.1 131.8 185.5 112.5 245.5 256.3 272.4 229.1 203.8 135.7 134.3 191.9 115.7 260.6 272.3 292.7 237.7 206.8 113.1 134.5 191.9 110.7 262.9 273.9 293.7 240.5 209.3 110.1 132.8 189.3 104.3 265.0 275.8 295.7 242.2 205.2 122.3 136.6 193.8 121.3 256.6 268.6 284.6 241.1 210.9 117.5 135.0 192.2 120.1 258.2 270.2 286.9 241.6 206.6 102.5 137.4 197.2 124.3 267.7 279.5 295.0 252.8 207.4 136.8 101.0 124.2 75.1 157.9 163.3 171.1 149.7 142.0 95.6 134.7 193.6 111.2 261.2 272.0 291.2 239.1 215.4 107.5 135.3 194.9 107.8 268.1 278.8 299.6 243.4 214.9 129.6 372–6,9 372 373 374–6,9 4.10 2.63 .42 1.05 83.3 77.1 101.7 90.8 82.3 74.7 107.0 91.1 82.0 72.7 110.2 93.2 80.8 70.6 109.0 93.9 81.1 69.2 112.1 97.4 80.2 68.4 111.1 96.4 83.4 76.6 102.7 91.9 81.9 74.2 106.5 90.5 81.9 72.5 108.5 94.1 79.2 69.1 107.6 92.1 80.0 68.1 111.0 96.3 80.0 67.9 109.4 97.2 Audio and video equipment Communication equipment Electronic components Semiconductors and related electronic components Misc. electrical supplies Storage batteries Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Autos Trucks and truck trailers Trucks and buses Consumer trucks Business trucks Motor vehicle parts Motor homes Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment Aircraft and parts Ships and boats Railroad and miscellaneous 206.8 208.3 208.4 207.2 211.0 207.8 210.8 210.2 211.8 202.1 208.0 209.6 123.3 126.6 127.4 120.0 130.9 125.7 121.3 123.6 126.7 116.5 129.0 126.4 125.5 123.0 134.3 129.6 140.8 128.6 180.4 158.8 139.2 89.5 92.6 100.2 134.1 144.1 144.5 142.9 149.7 138.4 140.6 144.9 148.6 127.1 144.9 141.3 99.9 102.1 101.0 101.5 102.9 102.1 99.8 101.1 100.6 99.3 101.0 101.4 115.1 112.9 114.3 115.1 117.5 117.8 114.8 112.7 114.2 113.2 116.3 117.5 99.5 100.7 99.0 98.4 97.3 97.0 97.7 99.7 101.8 100.8 102.3 101.9 85.3 86.5 87.3 87.9 87.8 87.5 87.0 87.6 88.1 86.3 85.0 84.9 77.2 78.7 78.9 81.9 79.8 81.3 82.1 79.8 105.9 107.1 104.3 103.1 101.6 101.2 102.6 105.1 108.0 107.5 110.2 109.7 1177.6 1165.2 1158.6 1179.8 1199.9 1218.4 1095.4 1103.5 1096.7 1167.0 1212.7 1255.2 155.7 154.2 152.9 150.5 149.9 149.4 174.1 169.1 167.9 148.1 137.3 139.8 177.2 173.1 169.1 168.8 168.0 168.6 202.8 194.1 190.4 166.0 149.4 153.6 137.0 136.6 136.6 136.0 135.1 134.8 132.8 133.8 142.5 145.2 147.8 147.2 507.9 116.0 119.1 139.2 145.4 163.8 150.8 120.9 112.7 116.7 520.1 118.1 124.2 149.9 165.5 171.2 173.5 126.1 121.7 119.4 520.1 118.9 126.2 138.8 147.3 156.7 145.0 123.7 110.5 120.9 518.1 120.8 127.8 135.7 143.2 163.7 146.3 116.3 94.5 115.4 519.3 121.8 128.9 136.4 140.4 166.2 144.7 118.0 93.6 121.8 523.3 120.5 127.2 137.5 133.2 164.4 146.9 122.0 94.3 129.9 476.2 114.3 117.6 139.5 147.5 182.8 175.0 107.2 74.0 123.9 488.4 117.1 122.3 141.3 176.8 187.4 164.6 104.2 73.9 117.4 1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year. 15 549.8 121.7 127.5 134.2 144.6 162.7 147.8 113.2 86.1 122.3 485.7 123.3 130.9 122.4 139.9 156.7 118.2 103.1 79.5 99.1 515.6 127.1 134.4 134.2 141.6 160.5 135.1 118.5 108.8 111.8 569.5 126.2 131.9 142.5 128.6 161.1 146.1 134.3 134.6 125.2 Table 6 (continued) INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES Index, 1992 = 100 Item Instruments Scientific and medical Medical instruments Misc. manufactures Consumer goods Business supplies Electric utilities Generation Fossil fuel Hydro and nuclear 2001 IP SIC Proportion1 Not seasonally adjusted 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r 38 381–4 384 4.51 3.88 1.71 112.2 116.2 139.5 111.6 115.4 138.6 111.8 115.3 137.4 112.6 116.5 139.6 112.3 116.5 138.9 111.9 115.9 136.9 110.3 114.0 133.6 110.5 114.2 136.1 114.1 118.1 145.0 115.6 120.2 151.5 116.9 122.0 154.5 115.9 120.6 149.6 39 391,3,4,6 395,9 1.18 .51 .67 115.8 105.5 125.8 117.8 107.5 127.8 119.8 109.3 130.0 119.6 109.5 129.5 118.1 105.1 130.7 117.4 103.7 130.5 116.1 107.1 125.0 117.1 107.3 126.6 119.9 108.9 130.7 115.3 103.0 127.1 118.7 105.0 131.8 119.3 105.4 132.6 491,3pt 5.60 2.39 1.25 1.14 126.6 123.3 127.7 119.9 124.4 121.0 125.7 117.4 127.5 124.1 128.8 120.4 130.9 127.4 132.3 123.6 126.9 123.6 131.0 127.5 112.0 111.6 113.2 110.7 116.5 116.3 118.6 114.8 133.5 132.8 138.1 128.5 149.7 143.7 155.8 132.9 146.8 138.1 137.2 127.8 3.22 1.42 1.80 1.21 .59 129.0 131.2 127.5 145.7 100.4 126.9 129.2 125.4 142.5 99.9 130.0 133.4 127.6 145.0 101.8 133.6 137.0 131.2 149.0 104.6 129.4 133.6 133.8 133.6 134.1 154.1 104.4 154.3 168.5 143.5 168.3 106.7 144.5 131.1 116.5 107.3 123.6 138.7 101.4 153.6 127.8 112.2 105.0 117.8 131.5 97.5 143.6 139.9 1.47 .80 .29 .26 113.9 106.0 135.5 113.7 119.1 114.8 133.9 115.7 114.9 106.4 136.2 117.4 115.6 107.5 136.8 117.8 115.3 107.3 136.1 117.7 114.2 106.1 134.8 112.9 106.4 131.3 111.2 80.1 66.2 93.8 95.4 62.9 41.9 78.5 91.9 59.7 34.4 73.4 99.2 59.4 31.8 75.1 103.0 58.7 35.7 74.4 Sales Residential Nonresidential Commercial and other Industrial Gas utilities Residential Commercial and other Gas transmission Seasonally adjusted 492,3pt 1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year. Table 7 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: GROSS VALUE OF PRODUCTS Billions of 1996 dollars at annual rates, seasonally adjusted 2001 Item 1992 2001 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002 Q1 Q2 Q3r 2002 May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.r Oct.p 2091.3 2724.4 2751.8 2726.5 2677.3 2696.0 2715.5 2737.5 2710.7 2731.7 2744.8 2739.1 2728.6 2695.8 1587.4 2102.7 2126.8 2103.9 2067.5 2080.6 2093.5 2111.0 2088.7 2106.2 2120.5 2112.5 2100.1 2070.4 Consumer goods Durable Automotive products Other durable goods Nondurable 1079.6 229.7 123.7 106.0 851.9 1302.9 349.6 187.8 160.5 953.3 1309.1 353.9 190.1 162.7 955.1 1311.0 359.3 196.7 159.7 952.0 1302.2 353.7 193.6 157.3 948.5 1318.6 364.3 200.0 161.0 954.7 1330.0 374.2 207.8 161.6 956.6 1340.0 386.0 220.0 157.9 955.3 1326.5 372.5 205.1 163.6 954.8 1337.6 379.9 213.4 160.2 958.8 1349.1 389.9 221.8 160.1 960.5 1337.4 385.6 220.2 157.0 953.2 1333.6 382.6 218.1 156.4 952.2 1319.5 370.4 207.9 156.7 949.7 Equipment, total Business and defense Business Defense and space 509.4 490.0 402.1 89.0 800.0 778.4 715.8 64.4 820.2 797.2 735.3 64.2 791.0 768.0 705.6 64.0 759.3 740.3 676.3 64.7 753.6 737.8 673.1 65.1 754.0 739.4 673.5 66.0 761.8 746.9 679.0 67.7 752.9 738.3 672.3 66.1 759.2 744.2 677.9 66.5 761.2 746.3 679.6 66.8 767.0 752.3 684.3 67.9 757.3 742.0 673.1 68.3 740.2 724.9 654.5 69.0 504.7 200.1 304.8 72.6 622.0 274.0 347.6 92.2 625.2 276.1 348.5 93.2 622.7 275.7 346.3 93.6 610.0 268.3 341.2 91.7 615.5 274.6 340.2 93.6 622.1 278.4 342.8 95.5 626.5 279.0 346.8 96.7 622.0 278.4 342.7 94.8 625.6 281.1 343.6 96.0 624.4 276.1 347.7 97.8 626.7 280.1 345.8 95.2 628.5 280.7 346.9 97.0 625.3 278.9 345.7 95.6 Products, total Final products Intermediate products Construction supplies Business supplies Commercial energy products Table 8 DIFFUSION INDEXES OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Percent Year One Month Earlier 2000 2001 2002 Three Months Earlier 2000 2001 2002 Six Months Earlier 2000 2001 2002 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 54.3 46.0 54.3 55.1 36.6 56.9 57.2 39.9 60.1 47.8 43.1 50.4 50.4 41.7 60.5 53.6 40.9 56.5 49.6 47.8 55.4 41.3 43.5 49.6 51.4 39.5 46.0 43.5 42.0 44.2 38.8 42.8 52.2 61.2 39.5 44.7 57.6 37.5 57.2 59.4 36.6 56.2 55.4 38.0 56.9 48.6 37.7 64.1 51.4 37.7 61.2 51.4 39.1 60.9 44.2 40.2 54.7 38.4 41.3 47.5 39.1 36.6 40.2 33.0 38.8 39.1 63.4 35.5 39.9 62.0 32.6 44.6 65.9 32.2 51.1 59.8 30.8 52.5 57.6 31.9 62.3 58.0 32.6 61.2 53.6 30.1 63.0 45.3 32.6 59.1 43.5 35.9 55.8 41.3 30.4 40.2 34.1 37.0 35.5 Note—The diffusion indexes are calculated as the percentage of series that increased over the indicated span (one, three, or six months) plus one-half the percentage that were unchanged. 16 Table 9 ELECTRIC POWER USE: MANUFACTURING AND MINING Index, 1992 = 100 1992 Billion KWH 933.2 Seasonally adjusted 2002 Apr. 94.7 Not seasonally adjusted May 95.7 June 93.8 Julyr 96.3 Aug.r 95.2 853.2 366.0 487.2 80.1 95.2 96.4 94.1 88.5 96.3 97.0 95.6 87.6 94.3 95.8 93.0 87.6 96.9 98.6 95.5 88.1 INDUSTRY GROUPS and SERIES Metal mining 10 Iron ore 101 Copper ore 102 18.6 7.3 6.6 96.3 101.9 102.3 97.5 100.1 99.5 98.1 110.4 99.9 Coal mining 12 12.7 95.2 92.5 Oil and gas extraction Crude oil and natural gas Natural gas liquids 13 131 132 36.0 31.0 3.6 73.4 72.2 67.5 Stone and earth minerals Crushed stone Sand and gravel Chemical and fertilizer materials 14 142 144 147 12.8 3.5 2.7 4.7 Foods Meat products Dairy products Canned and frozen food Grain mill products Bakery products Sugar and confectionery Fats and oils Beverages Coffee and miscellaneous 20 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 Sept.p 95.3 2002 Apr. 94.3 May 95.4 June 96.3 Julyr 96.6 Aug.r 98.1 Sept.p 98.8 95.7 98.1 93.8 88.7 95.8 97.0 94.8 88.4 94.8 95.7 94.0 88.1 96.0 97.2 95.1 87.0 96.9 99.3 95.0 87.0 97.4 99.8 95.5 85.7 98.9 101.7 96.7 87.3 99.5 101.1 98.3 88.4 100.2 113.9 101.3 98.2 106.8 99.0 98.9 109.4 103.6 97.8 99.7 106.1 97.8 102.8 103.9 97.0 107.5 98.9 98.4 109.8 100.6 97.4 106.0 101.8 96.4 105.4 100.1 91.2 90.4 91.7 90.7 98.1 89.4 87.4 78.3 85.8 87.7 72.0 69.9 73.8 72.1 71.0 68.5 72.8 72.3 65.7 76.5 77.0 60.5 75.6 75.7 64.9 70.4 69.4 65.3 72.0 70.1 72.0 72.8 71.1 70.3 73.7 72.4 67.3 75.7 75.2 64.6 77.7 77.6 65.2 103.2 184.5 106.2 77.2 102.8 170.3 108.5 81.2 103.4 182.8 106.7 81.0 102.6 183.5 104.7 80.1 98.9 170.7 104.1 77.3 99.2 169.2 100.9 80.6 101.9 180.0 101.0 77.6 102.6 172.8 110.9 79.0 104.7 188.4 113.7 78.7 103.5 187.1 112.4 77.3 100.7 179.5 108.9 76.0 102.1 179.2 108.1 79.7 58.8 10.4 6.8 8.0 11.4 3.5 4.0 3.9 6.1 4.7 121.6 138.6 108.1 116.6 120.5 131.3 149.9 114.3 110.2 114.7 122.3 142.9 110.1 116.6 122.3 130.2 138.1 108.8 113.5 114.4 120.2 138.6 108.4 113.1 120.4 127.5 133.3 110.5 111.5 115.2 120.5 138.9 108.0 112.4 115.8 128.1 149.3 111.3 111.9 116.5 120.4 139.6 111.6 107.7 118.0 126.2 147.6 116.0 110.1 117.2 118.8 137.1 111.1 105.2 116.0 125.5 144.8 114.0 110.3 115.9 117.0 133.0 105.9 108.0 120.7 125.4 146.6 113.7 104.6 106.4 119.1 139.4 108.6 109.7 121.7 126.6 132.0 106.0 110.4 111.1 123.7 145.2 113.9 112.6 121.5 133.2 130.1 108.1 118.6 122.3 126.7 150.6 117.8 116.0 114.7 138.6 138.0 108.2 124.9 129.1 129.9 152.7 120.4 122.6 118.8 138.8 141.0 113.0 125.2 133.4 129.8 151.0 119.8 125.6 118.3 139.5 134.5 113.6 127.1 133.7 21 1.5 78.7 84.1 81.1 83.7 81.6 84.5 74.7 79.5 84.8 88.8 90.7 95.8 Textile mill products Fabrics Knit goods Fabric finishing Yarn and thread Miscellaneous textiles 22 221–4 225 226 228 229 31.5 11.9 4.1 2.5 8.3 3.3 87.4 75.7 81.5 76.7 96.2 99.4 82.2 71.2 79.1 80.8 84.5 99.6 80.8 67.1 80.4 73.9 84.3 102.6 86.8 69.3 82.5 73.7 101.0 104.2 80.1 62.3 80.2 70.5 92.4 100.4 84.9 66.6 82.5 72.9 106.7 96.9 83.8 72.4 78.6 78.1 89.1 98.8 85.4 73.8 80.2 82.3 91.3 100.0 88.5 73.4 89.3 79.5 93.0 109.8 87.5 69.3 86.5 71.8 95.4 111.3 92.5 71.1 91.5 72.5 110.0 112.3 94.2 73.1 92.7 75.7 115.0 110.7 Apparel products Men’s outerwear Women’s outerwear 23 231,2 233 8.2 2.0 2.5 87.0 77.9 81.3 86.3 76.2 81.0 84.9 75.1 76.8 86.6 82.1 78.9 83.1 77.1 77.5 83.1 75.2 78.2 82.8 73.6 78.5 86.3 77.5 82.5 93.6 87.2 87.5 95.9 90.0 90.3 98.1 91.7 93.9 96.2 87.4 92.2 Lumber and products Lumber Millwork and plywood 24 242 243 19.7 7.7 5.6 120.6 99.8 146.1 124.9 102.1 154.2 123.1 102.2 149.4 127.8 103.6 154.2 125.8 102.0 156.7 129.2 103.7 161.8 124.7 105.2 151.4 126.9 105.2 156.9 127.3 104.4 154.9 126.1 100.8 152.4 127.7 100.6 159.3 129.3 100.3 162.3 Furniture and fixtures Household furniture 25 251 6.0 3.2 110.8 107.1 112.6 108.7 109.7 105.5 112.2 107.2 110.0 103.2 112.2 105.6 109.0 106.6 111.1 108.0 114.6 110.8 112.5 103.7 117.5 108.1 120.2 110.9 Paper and products Wood pulp Paper Paperboard Paperboard containers Converted paper products 26 261 262 263 265 267 112.3 8.8 61.5 28.1 5.0 8.9 82.2 72.2 68.1 121.6 101.7 114.9 84.9 82.4 70.2 126.1 100.2 117.5 83.3 77.9 68.3 123.7 100.0 120.5 83.2 70.5 67.7 130.6 100.8 119.3 82.9 70.2 66.9 132.6 101.7 119.1 82.2 66.5 66.3 132.3 101.2 118.0 82.2 72.0 68.2 123.4 100.2 113.9 84.2 79.9 69.5 126.5 99.4 117.7 84.5 75.7 69.4 125.1 102.0 123.0 84.8 71.6 68.7 130.4 105.7 124.1 85.1 71.6 68.7 132.5 107.1 123.5 84.4 68.0 67.7 133.8 106.6 123.8 Printing and publishing Newspapers Commercial printing 27 271 275 17.3 3.7 9.2 105.5 101.5 114.6 105.4 100.6 115.5 103.6 96.3 113.9 104.6 95.0 115.2 106.5 95.7 118.2 104.3 91.8 116.0 99.7 94.3 108.3 101.7 97.5 111.1 107.8 101.6 118.4 114.5 105.8 125.7 119.3 106.6 132.5 117.0 102.7 130.5 Chemicals and products 28 Basic chemicals 281 Alkalies and chlorine 2812 Inorganic chemicals, nec 2819 Acid and fertilizer materials Nuclear materials, nondefense 171.6 78.9 14.9 38.3 14.0 24.3 85.3 70.7 40.3 64.6 52.8 70.4 88.8 73.2 43.4 65.7 52.7 72.1 84.1 67.5 39.9 55.7 52.1 57.5 88.6 71.9 40.4 64.6 55.9 68.9 86.6 69.3 35.6 61.4 56.8 63.7 89.0 74.1 37.7 69.7 58.1 75.4 88.0 74.9 40.5 72.5 52.3 82.5 88.2 73.1 44.3 65.8 54.8 71.3 84.2 64.6 41.3 48.1 53.9 45.2 84.3 62.9 39.8 46.2 56.0 41.3 84.6 62.4 37.1 46.1 55.8 41.3 88.6 70.2 37.1 60.7 55.4 63.3 Item Total 1987 SIC MAJOR INDUSTRY GROUPS Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Tobacco products 17 Table 9 (continued) ELECTRIC POWER USE: MANUFACTURING AND MINING Index, 1992 = 100 1987 SIC 1992 Billion KWH Seasonally adjusted 2002 Apr. Not seasonally adjusted May June Julyr Aug.r Chemicals and Products (cont.) Synthetic materials 282 Plastics materials 2821 Drugs and medicines 283 Soap and toiletries 284 Industrial organic chemicals 286 Agricultural chemicals 287 29.1 18.2 6.6 3.0 39.2 9.7 96.3 124.0 147.6 127.6 110.6 93.2 103.9 133.3 151.6 131.0 113.9 88.3 99.4 125.9 144.4 126.9 118.8 89.7 102.3 129.9 153.4 134.2 116.6 96.0 Petroleum products 29 47.0 103.6 103.0 103.8 Rubber and plastics products Tires Rubber products, nec Plastics products, nec 30 301 306 308 37.9 4.3 3.2 28.9 120.1 107.6 114.1 124.1 120.4 106.3 115.4 124.5 Leather and products Shoes 31 314 1.0 .3 62.5 59.8 Stone, clay, & glass products Flat glass Pressed and blown glass Cement Structural clay products Concrete products 32 321 322 324 325 327 33.7 1.5 7.3 9.6 1.4 4.7 Primary metals Basic steel and mill products Iron and steel foundries Primary nonferrous metals Aluminum Nonferrous foundries 33 331 332 333 3334 336 Fabricated metal products Metal containers Hardware, tools, and cutlery Structural metal products Fasteners Metal stampings Sept.p 2002 Apr. May June Julyr Aug.r Sept.p 102.3 131.5 149.3 129.9 117.9 96.9 102.4 127.5 145.6 127.6 110.8 95.7 98.8 126.5 139.1 122.9 111.0 95.2 103.7 133.0 146.6 124.9 111.7 90.8 104.1 132.4 152.5 133.6 118.5 90.6 104.1 129.9 163.1 144.0 119.1 95.0 105.6 132.7 164.3 143.6 120.3 96.4 104.2 128.5 161.1 141.6 118.7 94.4 103.7 101.0 100.8 102.5 103.7 105.0 105.3 104.3 102.5 119.0 104.6 114.5 123.1 120.9 114.2 115.0 123.7 119.5 108.5 113.3 123.2 120.8 110.8 113.1 124.4 119.0 106.0 112.2 123.2 120.1 106.6 114.7 124.2 124.4 110.9 119.8 128.4 123.0 115.9 114.1 126.3 125.8 117.2 118.0 129.2 128.8 122.4 120.1 132.0 62.4 60.2 60.2 54.5 62.3 56.1 62.1 56.1 60.0 54.1 61.2 56.8 61.4 58.1 62.3 57.4 63.8 59.2 66.2 63.0 65.0 61.9 105.9 116.0 104.8 104.2 107.7 129.3 108.1 116.6 104.8 107.7 112.1 135.0 107.8 121.5 104.0 107.2 113.7 134.9 109.3 126.4 110.4 105.3 111.5 136.1 109.8 131.5 110.0 104.9 106.0 140.8 110.1 129.6 110.5 107.7 108.7 141.2 105.4 117.9 105.5 100.1 108.7 129.7 108.6 118.0 103.8 109.2 113.7 134.9 110.5 124.1 107.9 107.8 115.0 138.6 111.2 126.2 110.7 109.1 111.1 139.6 113.8 130.7 110.7 112.5 108.3 144.1 115.2 131.3 111.6 115.7 113.0 146.6 150.8 57.0 9.9 66.2 60.3 2.7 79.0 98.3 104.7 49.4 26.4 155.2 80.1 98.8 108.1 50.5 27.1 152.2 80.0 102.9 105.4 50.3 29.7 150.8 84.2 109.7 103.4 51.9 31.5 154.3 84.2 106.6 104.5 53.2 32.6 164.2 82.1 103.3 104.2 51.8 33.5 161.3 80.2 100.5 107.7 49.3 26.4 155.4 81.7 101.8 108.1 51.2 27.9 151.8 82.4 104.0 107.6 50.7 30.3 154.8 83.1 104.6 99.7 53.5 32.7 152.8 84.2 106.0 99.4 54.1 33.5 166.3 82.5 102.6 105.3 51.5 34.1 168.7 34 341 342 344 345 346 31.6 2.9 2.6 5.5 1.7 6.7 118.2 92.3 105.8 133.8 105.9 139.4 119.5 92.5 103.7 134.2 114.1 143.7 119.0 91.2 103.3 133.6 108.8 145.2 119.9 92.7 106.8 133.1 107.8 152.6 119.8 94.1 108.8 132.5 110.9 147.0 119.0 92.2 106.7 130.9 107.6 151.2 116.9 92.7 103.8 131.2 103.6 138.8 118.2 93.4 102.7 130.5 112.1 142.1 122.7 93.6 108.3 133.1 114.2 151.6 121.9 95.5 108.6 134.5 111.2 149.8 124.7 95.9 114.3 137.9 116.0 152.6 124.7 93.7 112.1 136.7 115.2 157.2 Industrial machinery and equipment Engines and turbines Farm Construction and allied Metalworking Special industry General industrial Computer and office equip. Service industry machines 35 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 33.2 2.6 2.0 3.9 4.1 2.4 5.2 5.1 3.4 98.4 130.9 66.2 102.1 100.0 102.1 102.5 71.4 97.3 100.2 135.9 67.0 104.8 101.3 102.9 103.3 73.9 97.3 99.6 132.0 65.0 102.7 104.6 103.9 100.6 72.6 102.3 99.9 144.6 67.7 100.0 103.7 103.8 100.2 73.0 102.8 99.1 138.5 62.7 96.5 101.7 101.6 98.6 77.0 102.4 97.7 138.4 60.2 93.8 99.9 103.9 98.3 73.2 101.1 95.3 128.0 67.3 97.6 95.9 98.2 99.5 69.4 94.0 98.6 136.3 66.8 103.4 98.1 99.6 101.6 73.4 96.2 103.4 136.3 66.7 105.3 108.2 107.5 104.4 76.3 106.3 104.5 138.7 65.8 104.1 109.7 109.0 104.6 76.7 109.8 106.8 144.4 63.4 103.6 112.0 110.8 107.2 80.8 110.5 105.6 145.4 61.6 102.5 109.9 113.1 106.7 77.9 108.0 Electrical machinery Electrical distribution Electrical industrial Household appliances Lighting and wiring products TV and radio sets Communication equipment Electronic components 36 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 33.0 1.3 3.9 2.4 3.0 .8 3.3 14.6 98.3 94.0 69.0 86.6 129.0 117.3 100.5 104.2 99.3 99.8 71.8 85.5 132.3 119.1 104.9 103.5 97.0 100.2 72.5 84.0 126.7 116.9 98.3 102.3 96.9 101.0 75.7 84.8 127.5 122.2 95.6 101.3 96.3 103.4 75.4 86.6 129.6 120.5 96.3 100.5 95.5 101.2 73.8 84.8 130.1 123.9 93.5 100.3 95.1 93.6 68.3 85.7 127.3 111.8 95.6 100.3 97.7 99.1 71.9 88.9 128.4 119.7 100.0 101.8 100.6 102.0 75.1 90.9 131.2 121.1 101.5 105.6 101.2 104.3 77.5 88.6 131.5 126.8 103.6 106.0 102.6 108.7 79.1 91.8 133.9 127.8 105.1 106.6 102.8 105.8 78.1 87.2 136.9 129.4 103.8 107.7 Transportation equipment Motor vehicles and parts Aircraft and parts Ships and boats 37 371 372 373 39.8 22.8 10.7 2.2 112.9 132.3 72.3 92.8 108.5 125.3 74.4 87.8 104.6 121.9 67.0 89.4 108.6 129.4 66.8 89.2 107.8 128.1 63.8 91.5 106.3 125.8 62.6 94.2 109.6 128.8 69.3 91.3 107.6 124.6 73.1 87.1 110.6 129.9 69.9 91.1 110.2 129.7 69.6 90.2 114.1 135.1 68.2 90.5 114.7 134.8 68.4 96.0 Instruments Photographic equip. & supplies 38 386 13.6 1.8 99.4 111.5 97.7 108.3 93.6 100.9 94.4 100.3 92.1 95.0 90.8 90.4 95.0 107.1 95.1 103.7 97.9 103.6 101.9 107.3 100.8 101.1 98.6 97.7 Miscellaneous manufactures 39 4.5 127.0 130.1 126.6 127.7 127.5 124.9 125.9 129.5 132.1 133.9 136.4 134.3 908.9 835.5 97.7 95.8 94.5 97.7 96.7 95.0 97.5 95.5 94.4 96.5 97.5 96.8 94.7 96.7 95.5 95.4 96.2 95.3 96.5 94.9 94.3 94.2 96.5 95.4 95.9 98.6 96.4 94.2 99.1 96.6 96.4 100.7 98.2 97.1 100.4 99.1 94.7 Item SUPPLEMENTARY GROUPS Total, excluding nuclear nondefense Utility sales to industry Industrial generation 18 Explanatory Note The statistical release of Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization reports measures of output, capacity, and capacity utilization in manufacturing, mining, and the electric and gas utilities industries. The release also includes monthly indexes on the use of electric power in manufacturing and mining. Files containing data in the release and historical data are available under “Research and Data” at www.federalreserve.gov, the Board’s World Wide Web site. For paid access to these files through the Department of Commerce’s Economic Bulletin Board or World Wide Web site, please call STAT-USA at 1-800-STAT-USA or (202) 452-1986. Diskettes containing historical data and the data published in this release are available from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Publications Services, (202) 452-3245. Industrial Production Coverage. The industrial production (IP) index measures output in the manufacturing, mining, and electric and gas utilities industries; the reference period for the index is 1992. For the period since 1997, the total IP index has been constructed from 276 individual series based on the 1987 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC). These individual series are classified in two ways: (1) market groups (shown in table 1), such as consumer goods, equipment, intermediate products, and materials; and (2) industry groups (shown in tables 2 and 6), such as two-digit SIC industries and major aggregates of these industries—for example, durable and nondurable manufacturing, mining, and utilities. Market groups. For purposes of analysis, the individual IP series are grouped into final products, intermediate products, and materials. Final products are assumed to be purchased by consumers, businesses, or government for final use. Intermediate products are expected to become inputs in nonindustrial sectors, such as construction, agriculture, and services. Materials are industrial output requiring further processing within the industrial sector. Total products comprise final and intermediate products; final products are divided into consumer goods and equipment. Timing. The first estimate of output for a month is published around the 15th of the following month. The estimate is preliminary (denoted by the superscript “p” in tables) and subject to revision in each of the subsequent three months as new source data become available. (Revised estimates are denoted by the superscript “r” in tables.) After the fourth month, indexes are not revised further until the time of an annual revision or a benchmark revision. The last three benchmark revisions were published in 1990, 1985, and 1976. Source data. In annual or benchmark revisions, the individual IP indexes are constructed from a variety of source data, such as the quinquennial Censuses of Manufactures and Mineral Industries and the Annual Survey of Manufactures, prepared by the Bureau of the Census; the Minerals Yearbook, prepared by the U.S. Geological Survey; and publications of the Department of Energy. On a monthly basis, the individual indexes of industrial production are constructed from two main types of source data: (1) output measured in physical units and (2) data on inputs to the production process, from which output is inferred. Data on physical products, such as tons of steel or barrels of oil, are obtained from private trade associations as well as from government agencies including those listed above; data of this type are used to estimate monthly IP where possible and appropriate. When suitable data on physical product are unavailable, estimates of output are based on either production-worker hours or electric power use by industry. Data on hours worked by production workers are collected in the monthly establishment survey conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data on electric power use are described below. The factors used to convert inputs into estimates of production are based on historical relationships between the inputs and the comprehensive data used to benchmark the IP indexes; these factors also may be influenced by technological or cyclical developments. Especially for the first and second estimates for a given month, the available source data are limited and subject to revision. Weights. In the index, series that measure the output of an individual industry are weighted according to their proportion in the total value-added output of all industries. The industrial production index, which extends back to 1919, is built as a chain-type index since 1977. The components of IP are combined using annual estimates of value added per unit of output; for the data since 1992, the annual unit-value-added estimates are linearly interpolated to get monthly weights. The IP proportions shown in column 1 of tables 1A, 2A, and 6 are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall growth in the following year. For example, a 1 percent increase in durable goods manufacturing in 1997 would account for an increase in total IP of nearly 1/2 percent. Seasonal adjustment. Individual series are seasonally adjusted by the X–11 ARIMA method, developed at Statistics Canada. For series based on production-worker hours, the current seasonal factors were estimated with data through October 2000; for other series, the factors were estimated with data through at least June 2000. Series are preadjusted for the effects of holidays or the business cycle where appropriate. For the data since 1977, all seasonally adjusted aggregate indexes are calculated by aggregating the seasonally adjusted indexes of the individual series. Reliability. The average revision to the level of the total IP index, without regard to sign, between the first and the fourth estimates was 0.28 percent during the 1987–2001 period. The average revision to the percent change in total IP, without regard to sign, from the first to the fourth estimates was 0.22 percentage point during 19 the 1987–2001 period. In most cases (about 84 percent), the direction of change in output indicated by the first estimate for a given month is the same as that shown by the fourth estimate. Rounding. The published percent changes are calculated from unrounded indexes, and may not be the same as percent changes calculated from the rounded indexes shown in the release. Capacity Utilization Definition. Capacity utilization is calculated for the manufacturing, mining, and electric and gas utilities industries. For a given industry, the utilization rate is equal to an output index divided by a capacity index. Output is measured by seasonally adjusted indexes of industrial production. The capacity indexes attempt to capture the concept of sustainable practical capacity, which is defined as the greatest level of output that a plant can maintain within the framework of a realistic work schedule, taking account of normal downtime, and assuming sufficient availability of inputs to operate the machinery and equipment in place. The 76 individual capacity indexes are based on a variety of data, including capacity data measured in physical units compiled by trade associations, surveys of utilization rates and investment, and estimates of growth of the capital input. Groups. Estimates of capacity and utilization are available for a variety of groups, including primary and advanced processing industries within manufacturing, durable and nondurable manufacturing, total manufacturing, mining, utilities, and total industry. Component industries of the primary and advanced processing groups within manufacturing are listed in the note on tables 2 and 3 of the release. Weights. Although each utilization rate is the result of dividing an IP series by a corresponding capacity index, aggregate utilization rates are equivalent to combinations of individual utilization rates aggregated with proportions that reflect current capacity levels of output valued in current-period value added per unit of actual output. The implied proportions of individual industry operating rates in the rate for total industry for the most recent year are shown in the first column of table 3. Perspective. The historical highs and lows in capacity utilization shown in the tables above are specific to each series and did not all occur in the same month. Industrial plants usually operate at capacity utilization rates that are well below 100 percent: none of the broad aggregates has ever reached 100 percent. For total industry and total manufacturing, utilization rates have exceeded 90 percent only in wartime. Electric Power Data on electric power (expressed in kilowatt hours) are collected by the Federal Reserve District Banks from electric utilities and also from manufacturing and mining establishments that generate electric power for their own use (cogenerators). The indexes of power use shown in table 9 are sums of kilowatt hours used by an industry or industry group expressed as a percentage of that industry’s or group’s usage in 1992. The first column of the table shows, for reference, electric power use in billions of kilowatt hours as reported by manufacturing and mining industries in the 1992 censuses of those industries. The supplementary group, “Total, less nuclear nondefense,” is shown separately because the value-added proportion for the nondefense nuclear material series (part of SIC 2819) in total IP is considerably smaller than its share of total electric power use. Excluding this component from total power use facilitates comparisons with total IP. References The annual revision published in November 2001 was described in an article published in the Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 88 (March 2002), pp. 173–187. A description of the aggregation methods for industrial production and capacity utilization is included in an article in the Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 83 (February 1997), pp. 67–92. The Federal Reserve methodology for constructing industry-level measures of capital is detailed in “Capital Stock Estimates for Manufacturing Industries: Methods and Data” by Mike Mohr and Charles Gilbert (1996), which can be obtained at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17/capital_stock_doc-latest.pdf Industrial Production—1986 Edition contains a more detailed description of the other methods used to compile the industrial production index, plus a history of its development, a glossary of terms, and a bibliography. The major revisions to the IP indexes and capacity utilization since 1990 have been described in the Federal Reserve Bulletin (April 1990, June 1990, June 1993, March 1994, January 1995, January 1996, February 1997, February 1998, January 1999, March 2000, March 2001, and March 2002). Release Schedule At 9:15 a.m. on: 2002: January 16, February 15, March 15, April 16, May 15, June 14, July 16, August 15, September 17, October 17, November 15, and December 17. 2003: January 17, February 14, March 14, April 15, May 15, June 17, July 16, August 15, September 15, October 16, November 14, and December 16.