Full text of Federal Reserve Notes : January 1977
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Federal Reserve Notes FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO • JANUARY 1977 Serving Alaska, Arizona, California, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, Utah & Washington COMPUTER WORK GROWS AT SAN FRANCISCO FED NOBEL WINNER NAMED VISITING SCHOLAR Nobel Laureate Milton During the past five years, Federal Reserve computer applications have accelerated dramatically in such areas as checks, budget, research and cost accounting. In the words of Friedman joined the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank this month as a Visiting Scholar for the January-March winter quarter. Senior Vice President Richard T. Grif "The Visiting Scholar position was inaugurated at the Bank to encourage creative research and the fith, who heads the Computer Servic es Group at the San Francisco Feder al Reserve Bank, "Our job is to increase the Bank's productivity by employing computer technology and instituting new system approaches to major Fed operations." inter change of ideas by practicing schol ars in the specialty of economics," President John J. Balles said. "We're honored to have Milton Friedman with us in this role. He has altered the course of economic thinking with his contributions both to the theory and practice of the science." Friedman received the Nobel Prize in economics last month in Stockholm. In awarding the prize, the Swedish Royal Academy of Science cited his Friedman grow in line with the growth of output of goods and services to maintain price stability. If money grows in ex cess of real output it will create prob lems of inflation. achievements in the fields of con sumption analysis, monetary history and theory, and economic stabiliza tion policy. Friedman retired at year-end as the Paul Snowden Distinguished Service Friedman attended Rutgers Universi ty and the University of Chicago, before receiving a Ph.D. at Columbia University. He began his professional career as a research assistant with the University of Chicago. During the Professor of Economics at the Uni 1930s and the Second World War, he versity of Chicago. He is nationally served in a number of research posi known for his column in Newsweek tions with and for his frequent service as advisor to various government agencies. search and the U.S. Treasury. The most widely known monetarist, he is a leader of the so-called "Chica go School" of economic thought. This group holds that the government's most important economic tool is its ability to regulate the basic money supply, which consists of currency in circulation plus most commercialbank deposits. According to this view, the nation's supply of money should National such institutions as the Bureau of Economic Re His teaching career spans four dec ades, from the time he was a part-time lecturer at Columbia University through his period of association with the University of Chicago. He has been a Fulbright lecturer at Cam bridge University (England) and a Visiting Professor at Columbia Uni versity, the University of California at (continued on page 3) R.T. Griffith Griffith, who joined the Fed in 1975 after serving as Vice President of Crocker National Bank and Executive V.P. of Teknekron, Inc., was promoted this month to Senior Vice President, with responsibility for all dataprocessing activities in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District. The Bank installed its first major general-purpose computer in San Francisco in 1969. However, the branch offices functioned independ(continued on page 2) K.A. Grant COMPUTER WORK member banks will facilitate an even (continued from page 1) higher volume of money transfers. ently, with different equipment and procedures. Today, the Bank has the latest computer equipment, and all offices have begun to standardize their computer hardware and operat ing systems. This effort has helped the success of the new program of direct deposit of social-security checks, which in volves 2,000 financial institutions and one million recipients in the Twelfth District. The Bank is now able to transfer social-security payments from the Treasury directly to a recipi ent's savings or checking account in The Computer Services Group is playing an essential role in this tran sition. To facilitate the process, man agement reorganized the group into functional activities, with staff sepa rated from production, and with provi The system saves time and expense and eliminates the danger of loss or theft for recipients of social security sion made for District-wide coordina payments. tion under the Computer Services Group. Kenneth A. Grant, Director of Com puter Systems, has a staff of about 40 analysts and programmers. His de partment, which is responsible for the development of new system projects and applications, is organized along three major lines following the Bank's structure—Corporate Staff, Branch Operations and District Departments. Corporate Services is primarily con cerned with the Bank's personnel and budget and control functions. District Services works on such projects as econometric studies, monetary data, operations research and bank exami nations, while Branch Services fo cuses on cash, check and fiscal oper the financial institution of his choice. In operating this program, the Bank built on the experience it had already gained with other recurring-payment programs, such as Federal civilservice retirement, railroad retire ment, revenue sharing, and Air Force payroll and retirement. This activity will be expanded later to include Vet erans Administration payments. In automated clearing-house (ACH) activities, the Twelfth District current ly clears 85,000 commercial items and 1 million government items each month. This work will grow considera bly as the system expands to five clearing-house operations for com mercial use. Portland, Los Angeles and San Francisco are already on line, and Seattle and Salt Lake City will be added later. ations. H.A. Martin Hector M. Martin, Director of Com puter Operations, heads a staff of 45 which is responsible for hardware planning, computer processing and branch-operations control. Assistant Vice President Keith B. Da vis heads a staff of 30 in Support Services, with such responsibilities as long-range planning, operating sys tems, data base/data communica tions technology, managementinformation reports and financial analysis. One of the Bank's major computer accomplishments of 1976 was the development of an enhanced "Fed wire" money-transfer system, which can transfer up to 20,000 messages a day between the Fed and memberK.B. Davis bank terminals. In the future, computer-to-computer interface with Elsewhere throughout the Bank, the computer's impact is evident in a number of service improvements. For example, a new check-processing control system, utilizing high-speed check reader-sorters, now permits member banks to deposit checks until midnight and still receive immediate credit for their cash letters. In this and other ways, the full resources of the computer are being used to improve Federal Reserve services to commer cial banks and the general public.% ECONOMIC REVIEW A new mailing list is being created for the quarterly Economic Re view based on the return of sub scription cards included in the last issue of that publication. If you were on the mailing list and wish to remain on it, please return your card promptly. BOOK-ENTRY MATERIAL WESTERN BORROWING NOW AVAILABLE COSTS DECLINE Claims for about $1 million in lost or Business borrowing costs at West stolen securities are received each Coast banks continued to decline in month by the Treasury Department. the late fall months, according to the For this and other reasons, the Treas Federal Reserve Bank of San Fran ury and the Federal Reserve System have launched a program—"book entry"—to eliminate millions of pieces of paper that flow out of funding the cisco's latest quarterly interest-rate survey. This decrease reflected a continued easing of money-market rates, as well as a two-step drop in the prime business-loan rate from the level prevailing last summer. national debt. Loans Under $10,000 The Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco now makes a film and a Market slide presentation available, explain ing how book-entry operates and rates charged by banks, have fluctu ated since the November survey, declining until about year-end and then rising in early January. what it means to commercial bankers. As the film illustrates, the program is designed to eliminate definitive secu rities by making all public debt avail able only in the form of computer entries at a Reserve Bank or the Treasury. In the Treasury's view, book-entry is an answer to the paperwork crisis, by reducing substantially the cost of issuing, storing and delivering Treas ury securities. In addition, it protects the investor against loss, theft and counterfeiting. rates, which influence the Between the August and November survey periods, the average rate on regular short-term loans dropped 63 basis points, to 7.52 percent. (One hundred basis points equal one per centage point.) Rates on revolvingcredit loans fell by 62 basis points to an average of 7.11 percent. The decline in interest rates occurred in all loan-size categories. However, Banks that are not Fed members will Over 80 percent of the nearly $350 billion in outstanding marketable debt is already in book-entry form, under a system initiated in 1968. However, the Treasury is continuing to improve the program. Eventually, all transactions will be documented, providing the investor with a confirmation that describes the amount, maturity date and identifica tion number of his holdings. But an exception will be made for a small number of institutional investors that are prevented by law or regulation from holding securities in book-entry form. Definitive bills in $100,000 de nomination will be available to such investors for a limited time. The Treasury moved last month to require "book-entry only" for 52-week Treasury bills, and it plans to expand this rule to six-month bills in June and to three-month bills in September. By year-end, all Treasury bills should be in book-entry form only, and buyers will no longer have the option of taking physical possession of their bills. utilize the book-entry system, either for themselves or for their customers' accounts, through a member bank or a Reserve Bank. The Treasury hopes to convert all notes, bonds and bills to book-entry form eventually. However, savings bonds will continue to be available in their present certificate form. A Treasury-produced film and a relat ed slide presentation explain the key parts of the book-entry program. The 12-minute film provides a general description of the benefits of bookentry and the procedures involved. A two-part, 25-minute slide show with audio cassette provides more de tailed information for bank employ ees. Part I covers the need for com puterizing paperwork and the devel opment of telegraphic transfer of se curities; Part II focuses on the actual book-entry procedures. 1973 1974 1975 1976 large borrowers benefited more than small borrowers, since many of them were able to take advantage of the declining prime rate. The average rate for regular short-term loans of $1 million and over fell by 71 basis points to 7.34 percent. In comparison, rates on loans of $10,000 or less averaged 9.08 percent, representing a 19-point decline. In the November 1 -15 survey period, the thirteen banks in the survey re ported 1,983 short-term and revolving-credit loans, for a total vol ume of $833 million. Although the number of loans was slightly greater than reported in the August survey, the dollar amount extended was less. This is contrary to the normal pattern in a recovery period, when a rise in the average size of loan would generally be expected.% NOBEL WINNER NAMED (continued from page 1) Los Angeles, and the University of Hawaii. Friedman is the author of nearly 20 books and many scholarly articles. His most famous book, written with Anna Schwartz, is the definitive Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960. He is past-president of the American Economic Association, and holds memberships in many scholarly societies. His own assessment of himself is ment of the nearest office of the Fed characteristically simple. "It's not my job to persuade people about things," Friedman says. "I just develop ideas and leave them lying around for other eral Reserve Bank of San Francisco. people to pick up."ijflr For information on the book-entryfilm and the slide presentation, contact the Bank and Public Relations depart t^8 LS-t7l7g (g Liz) auoMd '021-W3 'BjUJOJIIBO 'OOSjOUBJJ UBS 'ZOll xog 'O'd 'oospusjj ubs i° ^usg bajbs -8H iBjepej 'jajuao uoiiblujojui ipjBasay au.1 Aq s^usq |Bpjaiuiuoo oj pgjnqujsip sj uojiboji -qnd am >jsny uejBX Aq paonpoid pus zpQ uoy Aq usuum sj sajON SAjasau lejapaj dllVO 'OOSIONVHd NVS ssz on nwyad 0Ztfr6V3 'oosioubjj ubs '»S auiosuBS OOfr aivd aovisod s n 1IVIAI SSVIO ISHId FED ASKS FOR DATA TO CHECK CREDIT BIAS OOSjOUBJd UBS JO >|ueg aAjasay lejapej BDX PROGRAM NOW UNDERWAY Banks choosing to utilize this service simply provide the San Francisco Fed with The Federal Reserve Board of Gover Banks nors has asked creditors to provide information for monitoring credit bias on mortgage loans, through a pro posed amendmentto its Regulation B. Washington can now enroll in the Branch Data Exchange (BDX) pro gram, covering marketing data forthe second half of 1976, by submitting The proposed revision would enforce the 1976 Amendments to the Equal Credit Opportunity Act. The original Act prohibited discrimination in any aspect of a credit transaction on the the nearest Federal Reserve office by mid-February. All member and non- in Arizona, California and authorization and information forms to basis of sex or marital status, and the member banks in these states are eligible for this free program, and efforts are being made to extend the service to Oregon. 1976 amendments extended these prohibitions to cover discrimination in regard to race, color, religion, national origin, age, receipt of income from a public assistance program, and good-faith exercise of rights under the Consumer Credit Protection Act. These amendments go into effect on March 23, 1977, Since the amendments make sub stantial changes in the Act, numerous Reg B revisions have become neces sary. The latest revision would require creditors to monitor mortgage-loan transactions to prevent credit bias. The Board pointed out that a home is generally the single most important purchase a consumer makes, and that access to mortgage credit should be widely available, without threat of discrimination. The dollar amount of applications for mortgage credit is large, and yet the per unit cost for noting credit information would be relatively small. an initial authorization to ex change data with other participants. The next step is to supply individual branch data either on a schedule, on punched cards, or on tape for each survey date. The Fed processes and compiles the information into a con fidential report for each bank, detail ing the bank's comparative position for each county or market subarea in which it maintains an established branch. The surveys are conducted semi-annually, but the participants themselves decide on the reporting frequency and type of data they need. The program has enrolled 125 banks to date—13 in Arizona, 31 in Wash ington, and 81 in California. Forfurther The Reg B requirement would apply to any creditor that receives a credit application for the purchase of resi dential real property secured by a lien. The creditor would be required to request information on race, national origin, sex, marital status, and age, as part of any written application. Under the regulation, the applicant would be informed that this informa tion was being requested by the Fed eral Government for the purpose of monitoring compliance with Federal anti-discrimination statutes. An indi vidual would be asked to supply the information, but would not be required to do so. iff* information about BDX, contact the Bank and Public Services Depart ment at the nearest Fed office or—in San Francisco—Paul Van Etten, Manager of Banking and Statistical Reports, (415) 544-2183.^, FCA REMINDER Functional Cost Analysis schedules for 1976 are now being processed at the San Francisco Office. California member banks interested in submit ting data for 1976 should contact Dick Ranftle, Functional Cost Analyst, (415)544-2351 or 2233. Outside Cal ifornia, call toll free (800) 227-4133 or 4143.