Full text of Federal Reserve Notes : April 1983
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Federal Reserve Notes FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO • April 1983 Serving Araska* Arizona, California, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, Utah & Washington S.F. FED OFFERS TWO NEW SERVICES On May 2, 1983, the Federal Re serve Bank of San Francisco announced the availability of two new services for payor financial in WESTERN FINANCE IN 1982 In 1982, the challenges posed by high interest rates, accelerating de vices were offered concurrent with posit deregulation, and a slowdown in the Western economy tested Twelfth District depository institu tions' ability to maintain asset qual ity and earnings. Although District banks posted earnings of nearly implementation of noon present $1.7 billion in 1982 almost all mea ment of items. sures of profitability suffered, espe cially during the first half of the year. Earnings rebounded in the second stitutions: "Printed Selected Totals by Account Numbers" and "Mag netic Tape of MICR Line." The ser Printed Selected Totals by Account Numbers should aid payor institu tions that wish to monitor selected accounts or ranges of accounts for cash management purposes. The service provides a printout of: the account number (or range), the dol lar amount, the number of items for half as interest rates fell and mar gins widened, but not by enough to post an increase over 1981 earnings. Since late 1982, the rapid increase in the pace of deposit deregulation taken by the Depository Institutions each selected account or range of Non-machinable and package sort ing those items with unreadable characters or missing account num ber fields, or (2) a tape that contains only those items in which all five ed items are not included in the fields on the MICR line are read account tables. able. A sort of items that do not read accounts, and a cash letter total. The printout is available at present ment, as is telephone notification. A daily magnetic tape of the MICR line of items processed on the Bank's high speed check sorters is available at presentment in either of two forms: (1) a tape that contains all items drawn on the payor institu tion in the order processed, includ- so doing, encouraged net savings in flows into depository institutions. The following report recounts the devel opments in Western finance in 1982 that preceded the more positive out look for the current year. Recession Hurt Credit Demand The recession that plagued the West ern region's businesses and house holds also curtailed their demands for credit through most of 1982. With weak loan growth and little change in banks' securities holdings, total bank credit growth was anemic. Only com mercial and industrial lending con tinued to show moderate strength, but the display was due to poor busi ness conditions and the unwilling is optional on the latter tape. ness to use alternative sources of The prices for these services are financing rather than to a resurgence in economic activity. listed in the box below. For further information and detailed specifi cations, please contact Financial Commerical and industrial loans ac counted for half of the $13 billion Services in the Federal Reserve (6 percent growth) in total loans. Through much of the year, busi nesses were under severe pressure to meet their borrowing needs in the Office serving your institution. fjL New Services for Payor Financial Institutions Service Deregulation Committee has set the tempo for heightened competition in 1983. In particular, the Money Market Deposit Account has given banks and thrifts a short-term, ceiling-free de posit instrument to compete with money market mutual funds and, in Price Printed Selected Totals $300 per month for the first ten accounts by Account Number $ 12 for each account over ten Fees include file maintenance and notification by telephone Magnetic Tape of $ 25 per tape plus .10 per item (plus $500 per MICR Line month and .20 per item for optional sort of "bad"reads) short end of the market. Increased borrowing from banks filled the funding gaps arising from firms' temporary working capital needs. Western banks were a source of in terim credit when funds in the com merical paper or long-term bond markets either dried up or became (Continued on page 3) FED REDUCES DEPOSIT REPORT REQUIREMENTS The Federal Reserve Board's amendments to Regulation D (Re serves of Depository Institutions) designed to reduce the deposit re porting burden for small institutions took effect April 28, 1983. The Board action implements provisions ments. Former quarterly reporters that are fully exempt from reserve requirements have been converted into annual reporters, and former weekly reporters that are fully exempt are now quarterly reporters. The number of items reported by the latter of the Garn-St Germain Depository two groups is also substantially Institutions Act of 1982 intended to reduced. reduce the administrative burden of and thrift institutions with $2.1 million or less in total reservable tutions that file the new reduced quar liabilities. Fees for Federal Funds Checks: Effective May 26, 1983, the follow ing fees for processing Federal Funds checks will be established: • $5.00 for each Federal Funds check processed • $10.00 for each stop payment or returned Federal Funds check All nonexempt quarterly respondents will begin reporting on the same schedule as those fully exempt insti such reports for commercial banks REGULATIONS AND OPERATIONS UPDATE Depository institutions will continue to bear the cost of printing and pro ducing supplies of these checks. terly report. At present, institutions For further information, please con Under the amendments, institutions that report quarterly do so on a stag (other than U.S. branches and agen cies of foreign banks or Edge and Agreement corporations) with $2.1 gered basis, one-third reporting each tact the Accounting Department of your local Federal Reserve Office. month. U.S. branches and agencies of for eign banks, and Edge and Agree ment corporations, will continue to file a weekly Report of Transactions Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash (FR 2900) and a Weekly Report of Certain Eurocurrency Transactions (FR 2950 and FR 2951) even if the family of related institutions has million or less in reservable liabilities (called fully exempt institutions) must file one of three kinds of reports based on their total deposits. Avail able data will be used to estimate de posits at fully exempt institutions with less than $2 million in total deposits. Fully exempt institutions with total deposits between $2 million and $15 less than $2.1 million in reservable Regulation D—Reserves of De pository Institutions: The Federal Reserve Board has amended Regu lation D to reduce the deposit reporting burden for most small in stitutions. For a detailed discussion, please refer to the article on this subject in these pages. Regulation Q—Early Withdrawal Penalties: In light of the severe report (FR 291Oa) covering one day in liabilities. damage caused by the recent earth quake in Coalinga, California, the June each year. Fully exempt institu A table illustrating the reporting pro Federal Reserve Board has sus tions with $15 million or more in total gram follows. The Board's notice, pended Regulation Q early with drawal penalties for victims of the million must file an annual two-item deposits must file a condensed sixitem report (FR 291Oq) for the same Docket Number R-0459, is available from Corporate Services at (415) 974-2755. Sample forms for the new reports and further information are week each quarter. With this system, the vast majority of institutions previously deferred from reserve and reporting requirements available from Patrick Condon at (415) 974-3126. Outside California, our toll-free number (800) 227-4133, remain free of reporting require extension 3126, may be used. 1jp Reporting Requirements of Depository Institutions (Other than Edge and Agreement Corporations and U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks) Total Deposits Reservable Liabilities More than $2.1 Million or Less Less than $2 million No reporting required unless data Annually; FR 2910a should obtain from the depositor a signed statement describing fully the disaster-related loss, and have this statement approved and certi fied by a bank officer. The Board's action is retroactive to- Quarterly; FR 2900 in effect until midnight, November 5, 1983. We understand that the FDIC is taking similar action for nonmem- and FR 2950 berbanks. Weekly; FR 2900 tact our Law Department at (415) million $15 million or more can pay a time deposit before ma turity without penalty upon a show ing that the depositor has suffered a property or other financial loss in Coalinga as a result of the May 2 earthquake. The member bank (notapplicable) then special filing of FR 2910a but less than $15 A member bank, wherever located, May 5, 1983 (the day Coalinga was declared by the President to be a major disaster area) and will remain $2.1 Million are not available from other sources, $2 million or more, natural disaster. For further information, please con Quarterly; FR 2910q and FR 2950 974-2256 or 974-2254. ||j WESTERN FINANCE IN 1982 (Continued from page 1) boosted banks' business loan Funding Costs Up Competition from money market growth throughout much of 1982, funds and thrifts for both business it reflected the fundamental weak and consumer balances, as well as the acceleration in deposit interest prohibitively expensive. While this ness of the economy and disrup tions in the normal lines of long-term financing. By year-end, however, much of the pressure on business loan demand had subsided. Interest rates had fall en significantly, and the financial mar kets had begun to function in a more normal manner. Borrowers began taking advantage of the declines in long-term interest rates to raise funds in the equity and bond markets; si multaneously, borrowers began to pay down their short-term bank loans. Faced much of the year with high mortgage and consumer credit inter est rates, as well as the specter of rising unemployment, Western house holds severely curtailed bank borrow ing. Real estate loans did increase by $3 billion (a four-percent increase) but most of the strength came from commerical real estate activity. Resi dential mortgage growth fell well below the rapid pace of recent years. Both supply and demand considera tions accounted for the weakness. High rates had an obvious effect on the demand for both housing and mortgages. Moreover, many Western rate ceiling deregulation, also kept the cost of funds up. Almost the en tire 1982 increase in domestic deposits ($16 billion) came in instru ments paying market returns, plac ing continued upward pressure on costs. In addition, a $3-billion increase in non-deposit sources, primarily Federal funds and repur chase agreements, also provided banks with ample funds to expand asset growth during the year. Western banks recorded a $2-billion increase in NOW account balances, but small-denomination time de posits (under $100,000) provided the bulk of new deposits. Of course, the strength in small time deposits reflected the enormous popularity of market-return deposit instruments and the wide variety of newly authorized instruments that became available in 1982. These instruments attracted a continued flow of below-market-return check ing and savings balances. Large time deposits ($100,000 and over), which represent nearly one-third of domestic deposits at District banks, financial institutions—with sizeable also continued to be a major source portfolios of low-yielding long-term fixed rate mortgages—also had of funding, especially earlier in the year. taken actions to limit their exposure to interest rate risk by limiting new ex tensions of fixed-rate mortgages or The surge in small denomination time deposit growth in 1982 was by selling rather than holding new even more dramatic when one mortgages. Consumer loans for durables such notes that Western banks reported a $1-billion decline in holdings of as automobiles, appliances and furniture, exhibited continued weak six-month money market certifi cates ($28 billion as of December). ness in 1982. In fact, consumer Indeed, other factors such as the loans—primarily installment credit sharp decline in short-term interest rates boosted growth in the 21/2-year small-savers certificate (SSC). SSC's jumped by over $3 billion to —at Western banks, have stag nated since 1979. While the decline in consumer loans was very small in 1982, it signaled the inability and unwillingness of many consumers to increase their debt burden amid continued concern over the course of the economy. the $9-billion level. All-Savers Cer tificates began maturing in October, and quickly declined in importance. By year-end, they were surpassed by ceiling-free IRA balances, which had grown to $1.5 billion. The 7to 31-day money market account authorized in September also was a big hit with depositors, although, at year-end many of these deposits were transferred into the newly authorized ceiling-free insured money market deposit account (MMDA). Authorization of the MMDA's for offering in midDecember resulted in a dramatic shift in the composition of banks' consumer deposit base. Over $15 billion rapidly moved out of check ing, NOW's, savings and other types of short-term consumer in struments into the new account. The authorization of the Super-NOW account in January is likely to rein force this trend. Earnings Slump Aggregate earnings of Western banks deteriorated in 1982, falling about ten percent from 1981, as many institutions suffered from nar rowed interest margins, weak asset growth and rising loan losses. Many institutions also felt continued up ward pressure on overhead ex penses, especially personnel costs and occupancy expenses. Most banks' second half earnings also suffered because of the necessity of adding to their loan loss cushions. Net interest income at Western banks rose slightly in 1982 as earn ings from the $13 billion increase in loan volume more than offset reduced earnings from narrowed margins on the remainder of the portfolio. Despite the overall reduc tion in interest margins, caused primarily by the soaring cost of con sumer deposits, there were some bright spots on the funding side. Falling interest rates and weak loan demand combined to help Western banks record sizeable reductions in expenses for off-shore borrowing as well as for managed liabilities and other purchased funds. Unlike interest income, operating earnings failed to keep pace with operating expenses. Thus, the small increase in net interest in- (Continued on page 4) *vvv 9fr22-frZ6 (9l.fr) auoqd ivNaaiM 021-^6 B|UJO)!|eo 'oosjoubjj ubs '20// <°9 O'd 'OOSpUBJJ UBS JO >|UBg aAjasay Bjepej 'uoipas uoiiBLUJOiui oiiqnd agj vv it - Noungiaisio MNV9 * * 3AH3S3* "!Vd3G3d AUVH9H Hoavasad NQHOOID WViaiW (q suoijnijisui Ajojjsodap o\ painqujsip S| puB ilUjuouj paonpojd Sj sajoN aAjasay |Biapaj €006 dHVO 'OOSIONVUd NVS 39/ ON ±IWd3d aivd 39VlSOd s n iwiN ssvno isdid — 011*6 V3 'ODspuEJj ues '-js l3)(Jev\ 101 oospuejj ues *° >|ueg eAjasey jejepej WESTERN FINANCE est-rate sensitive. On the asset (Continued from page 3) side, mortgage lending activity con tinued at a very slow pace as high interest rates and flat or declining housing prices provided little incen tive for consumers to buy housing. However, during the last half of 1982, mortgage interest rates come easily was overshadowed by continued sharp increases in over head expenses and a tremendous jump in banks' provision for loan losses. The fifty percent increase (nearly $.5 billion) in loan loss provi sions at Western banks was the most significant factor in lowering District banks' aggregate earnings in 1982. This erosion of asset quality was a reflection of the troubled na ture of many national and interna tional credits held by large institu tions, as well as problem loans arising from the depressed local markets facing some smaller banks. And while earnings suffered, most banks took significant steps to pro vide an adequate cushion against future losses arising from the weak ened state of the economy. Twelfth District Thrifts The housing slump added to the difficulties faced by Western sav ings and loan associations in 1982. Apart from the accelerated pace of deposit-rate deregulation, the year represented a continuation of trends that have emerged over the last several years. ating losses continued to reduce net worth at some institutions, the in dustry's outlook was already bright ening at year-end in the face of lower interest rates and a modest recovery in housing. turned downward. This trend, if con tinued, may provide the stimulus to mortgage demand that the S&L in dustry has been looking for. Thrifts were more successful in re taining funds in 1982 than in 1981. Whereas in previous years money flowed out of S&Ls into high-yield money market fund accounts, in 1982 thrifts were authorized to offer several new competitive deposit in struments. Preliminary estimates showed an $8 billion deposit inflow for Twelfth District S&Ls in 1982, about two-thirds of which was in large certificates of deposit. Pass book savings and NOW accounts captured some transitory funds in the latter part of the year, while total market-return small-denomination time deposits were up by about $2 billion even after the All-Savers run off. Along with the new MMDA, these instruments helped retain consumer funds that might other wise have been lost to money mar Prospects for the Future In the near future, the competition among financial institutions for corporate and consumer savings should intensify. Institutions will likely place additional emphasis on the design of deposit instruments and other services in order to create a package that is not only attractive to consumers but profitable to the institutions themselves. The competition for savings will affect lending operations. Because business loan demand will probably remain weak, at least through the early stages of the recovery, institu tions will search for profitable lend ing opportunities. Certainly, con sumer installment and mortgage lending could be poised for a recov ery if the general level of interest rates continues its gradual decline. However, more interest-sensitive consumer deposits also are likely to affect the form as well as the cost of ket funds. mortgage and installment contracts Many S&Ls still found themselves as institutions take steps to promote more adjustable rate loan products and to implement more cost-effec Like banks, S&Ls continued to wit ness a change in the composition of their portfolio of liabilities to one both higher in cost and more inter and yields on mortgage portfolios remained low. However, while oper facing continued operating losses in 1982 as the cost of funds crept up tive service fee schedules. mfc