Full text of Federal Reserve Bulletin : October 1997
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VOLUME 8 3 • NUMBER 1 0 • OCTOBER 1 9 9 7 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, WASHINGTON, D . C . PUBLICATIONS COMMITTEE Joseph R. Coyne, Chairman • S. David Frost • Griffith L. Garwood • Donald L. Kohn • J. Virgil Mattingly, Jr. • Michael J. Prell • Richard Spillenkothen • Edwin M. Truman The Federal Reserve Bulletin is issued monthly under the direction of the staff publications committee. This committee is responsible for opinions expressed except in official statements and signed articles. It is assisted by the Economic Editing Section headed by S. Ellen Dykes, the Graphics Center under the direction of Peter G. Thomas, and Publications Services supervised by Linda C. Kyles. Table of Contents 797 EVALUATING INTERNATIONAL POLICY WITH THE FEDERAL GLOBAL MODEL ECONOMIC RESERVE'S FRB/Global is a large-scale macroeconomic model developed and maintained by the Board's staff. This article provides a historical perspective on the development of the model, gives an overview of its structure, and highlights its dynamic properties with three simulation experiments: a reduction in U.S. government purchases; a depreciation of the U.S. dollar; and an increase in the price of oil exported by OPEC. The article illustrates other uses of FRB/Global by examining the spillover effects of fiscal and monetary policy under alternative European monetary policy regimes. 818 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION FOR AUGUST 1997 Industrial production increased 0.7 percent in August, to 121.3 percent of its 1992 average, and output growth in July was revised up 0.2 percentage point, to 0.4 percent. The rate of industrial capacity utilization rose to 83.9 percent, its highest rate since September 1995. 821 ANNOUNCEMENTS Amendments to Regulation E. Modifications of prudential limits on underwriting and dealing activities by bank holding companies through section 20 subsidiaries Extension of the Federal Reserve's "regular" billing deposit deadline for ACH transactions Proposal to amend the risk-based and tier 1 leverage capital guidelines for state member banks and bank holding companies; proposal to amend Regulation D; and extension of the comment period on a proposal to apply sections 23A and 23B of the Federal Reserve Act to transactions between a member bank and any subsidiary that engages in activities that are impermis- sible for the bank itself and that Congress has not previously exempted from coverage by section 23A. 823 MINUTES OF THE FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE MEETING HELD ON JULY 1-2, 1997 At its meeting on July 1-2, 1997, the Committee reaffirmed the ranges that it had established in February for 1997 growth of M2 and M3 of 1 to 5 percent and 2 to 6 percent respectively and for domestic nonfinancial debt of 3 to 7 percent. The Committee provisionally set the same ranges for 1998. For the intermeeting period ahead, the Committee adopted a directive that called for maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions and that retained a bias toward the possible firming of reserve conditions during the intermeeting period. 831 LEGAL DEVELOPMENTS Various bank holding company, bank service corporation, and bank merger orders; and pending cases. A1 FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS STATISTICS These tables reflect data available as of August 27, 1997. A3 GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION A4 Domestic Financial Statistics A42 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics A50 International Statistics A 6 3 GUIDE TO STATISTICAL SPECIAL TABLES RELEASES A70 INDEX TO STATISTICAL TABLES AND A72 BOARD OF GOVERNORS AND STAFF A74 FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE STAFF; ADVISORY COUNCILS A 7 6 FEDERAL RESERVE AND BOARD PUBLICATIONS A78 MAPS OF THE FEDERAL A 8 0 FEDERAL RESERVE AND OFFICES RESERVE BANKS, SYSTEM BRANCHES, Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model Andrew Levin, John Rogers, and Ralph Tryon, of the Board's Division of International Finance, prepared this article. Asim Husain provided research assistance. FRB/Global is a large-scale macroeconomic model developed and maintained by the staff of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The model contains the equations of the FRB/US model (discussed in the April 1997 issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin) to represent the macroeconomic structure of the U.S. economy. In addition, FRB/ Global contains eleven other blocks of equations to represent each of the foreign Group of Seven (G-7) industrial economies (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom), Mexico, and four other groups of industrial and developing economies. Simulation experiments conducted with FRB/ Global assist the Board in analyzing sudden changes in external macroeconomic variables and alternative policy responses in foreign economies. For example, experiments with FRB/Global provide useful information about the effects of exchange rate movements or oil price changes on U.S. unemployment and inflation. The alternative scenarios studied with FRB/ Global also provide a valuable input to forecasts of foreign activity and the U.S. external sector. Over the past several years, two important features have been added to the structure of FRB/Global. First, the equations have been reformulated to ensure long-run stability: In response to a macroeconomic disturbance, each economy represented in FRB/ Global gradually converges to a balanced growth (or equilibrium) path, that is, a path in which actual output is equal to potential gross domestic product and in which every inflation-adjusted variable has a constant ratio to potential GDP. The inflation rate adjusts to a target level determined by monetary policy, and all relative prices reach constant values. Fiscal solvency (a condition in which the stock of government debt grows no faster than nominal GDP) is maintained by assuming the gradual adjustment of a country's tax rate. Similarly, national solvency (a condition in which the stock of net external debt grows no faster than nominal GDP), is ensured by the assumption that the risk premium on a country's external liabilities rises when net external debt is high relative to nominal GDP. The second feature added to FRB/Global is the explicit treatment of expectations. In the model, agents' expected values of future variables directly influence interest rates, consumption and investment expenditures, the aggregate wage rate, and the exchange rate. Thus, the way in which agents form expectations can have important implications for the simulation results. In FRB/Global, simulations can be performed under either of two assumptions about the nature of expectations: (1) limited-information expectations, under which agents have incomplete information about the structure of the global economy or (2) model-consistent expectations, under which agents possess all the information contained in the model. This article provides a historical perspective on the development of FRB/Global and an overview of the model's blocks of equations for foreign countries. We use three simulation experiments to highlight the dynamic properties of FRB/Global: a reduction in U.S. government purchases, a depreciation of the U.S. dollar, and an increase in the price of oil exported by countries in OPEC (the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries). The article also illustrates other uses of FRB/Global by examining the spillover effects of fiscal and monetary policy under alternative European monetary policy regimes. A HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE ON FRB/GLOBAL NOTE. We thank Shaghil Ahmed, David Bowman, Flint Brayton, Christopher Erceg, Dale Henderson, Jaime Marquez, David Reifschneider, Robert Tetlow, and Volker Wieland for valuable comments and suggestions during the development of FRB/Global and the preparation of this article. In the mid-1970s, a variety of factors—increased economic interaction among countries, the first (1973) shock to oil prices, and the floating of 798 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 exchange rates—combined to raise interest in global macroeconomic modeling. Against this background, the Board's staff began the development of a largescale macroeconometric model called the Multicountry Model (MCM) to provide an empirical framework for analyzing interactions among the major industrial countries. One of the first models of its kind, the MCM consisted of about 1,000 equations divided into six blocks: one representing the U.S. economy (with a more detailed external sector than in previous models); four others representing Canada, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom; and an aggregate block representing the rest of the world.1 From 1979 onward, the Board staff regularly used the MCM to simulate the effects of alternative policy scenarios and external shocks. In the early 1980s the staff significantly modified the MCM with regard to exchange rate determination and the capital account of the balance of payments. 2 Empirical considerations also led to the elimination of detailed representations of banking sectors from the equation blocks of individual countries. In subsequent versions of the MCM, the monetary authorities were assumed to control either the money stock or the short-term interest rate. Finally, in the wake of the second (1979) OPEC oil price shock, the MCM was extended to provide explicit treatment of the oil sector. In the mid-1980s, many of the equations in the MCM were re-estimated using methods suggested by David Hendry and other econometricians at the London School of Economics. 3 The re-estimation improved the fit and the dynamic properties of the equations and represented a first step toward ensuring the long-run stability of the model. In the late 1980s, the equations in the Board staffs model of the U.S. 1. Guy Stevens led the effort to develop the MCM; see Guy V.G. Stevens, Richard B. Berner, Peter B. Clark, Ernesto Hernandez-Cata, Howard J. Howe, and Sung Y. Kwack, The U.S. Economy in an Interdependent World: A Multicountry Model (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1984). 2. In particular, equations based on the portfolio balance approach to the determination of exchange rates were replaced by modified uncovered interest parity relationships, a specification based on interest rate differentials. The change was prompted by a lack of empirical support for the portfolio balance model and by the attractive properties of the overshooting model of Dornbusch, which incorporated assumptions of open interest parity, nominal price rigidities, and model-consistent expectations (Rudiger Dornbusch, "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 84, December 1976, pp. 1161-76). 3. The results of these and other changes to the MCM are described in Hali Edison, Jaime Marquez, and Ralph Tryon, "The Structure and Properties of the Federal Reserve Board Multicountry Model," Economic Modelling, vol. 4 (April 1987), pp. 115-315. economy (the MPS model) were linked with the foreign equation blocks of the MCM. FRB/Global has continued this approach of linking foreign equation blocks with the staffs domestic U.S. model. Another major restructuring and re-estimation of the MCM came in 1991-92. The model continued to use individual country blocks for the United States, Canada, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom, while the rest-of-world block was disaggregated into seven blocks of equations representing France, Italy, Mexico, the smaller industrial countries, the newly industrializing economies, OPEC countries, and other developing countries and economies in transition. A multilateral trade structure replaced the bilateral one, thereby greatly simplifying the data requirements and the analysis of simulation results for each country and region. The resulting arrangement—twelve countries and regions, each with an equation block containing multilateral trade equations—is used in the current version of FRB/Global. The staffs most recent reassessment of the MCM began in 1993 and culminated in FRB/Global in 1996.4 Explicit treatment of expectations enabled the model to capture the notion that news about future economic developments can directly affect the current economy; for example, the adoption of a multiyear deficit reduction package can generate an immediate drop in long-term interest rates. To ensure the long-run stability of the model, errorcorrection mechanisms were incorporated into the behavioral equations, and constraints that preserve fiscal and national solvency were imposed. 5 The long-run stability of FRB/Global permits simulations under either model-consistent or limited-information expectations. 6 4. This work drew heavily on the experimental multicountry model of Joseph E. Gagnon, "A Forward-Looking Multi-Country Model: MX-3," International Finance Discussion Papers 359 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1989). 5. The constraints of fiscal and national solvency in FRB/Global are similar to those used in the IMF's multicountry model, MULTIMOD; see P. Masson, S. Symansky, R. Haas, and M. Dooley, "MULTIMOD: A Multi-Region Econometric Model," International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook, July 1988, pp. 50-104. 6. To represent limited-information expectations, FRB/US uses a core vector autoregression with auxiliary equations (see F. Brayton and P. Tinsley, eds., "A Guide to FRB/US: A Macroeconomic Model of the United States," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1996-42 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1996); see also Flint Brayton, Eileen Mauskopf, David Reifschneider, Peter Tinsley, and John Williams, "The Role of Expectations in the FRB/US Macroeconomic Model," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 83 (April 1997), pp. 227-45. Individual regression equations are used to generate each of the expectation variables in the foreign blocks of FRB/Global. Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model THE STRUCTURE OF FRB/GLOBAL FRB/Global consists of twelve blocks of equations, with each block describing the economy of a country or a group of countries. The U.S. block of FRB/ Global is taken directly from the staff's model of the domestic economy, FRB/US, which consists of about 50 behavioral equations and about 250 accounting identities. Among the FRB/US behavioral equations are 4 that determine foreign aggregate demand, the inflation-adjusted (real) effective exchange rate, the oil import price deflator, and net investment income from abroad. FRB/Global replaces these 4 equations with about 1,400 equations that provide a much more detailed representation of macroeconomic developments outside the United States. Six blocks of FRB/Global represent the foreign G-7 industrial countries (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom). The equation blocks for the foreign G-7 countries represent medium-sized open economies in which, in the short run, aggregate demand determines output and employment, and wages and prices respond slowly to macroeconomic shocks (a formulation in accord with neo-Keynesian theory). Eventually, however, wages and prices adjust to ensure that the economies return to a balanced growth path, with output at potential and unemployment at the natural rate (a result conforming to neoclassical theory). Gradual movement of the direct tax rate ensures long-run fiscal solvency, while the determination of the risk premium on external liabilities ensures national solvency.7 To incorporate these features, the equation block for each foreign G-7 country consists of about 60 behavioral equations and about 100 accounting identities. The specification of these equations is nearly identical for each country. The behavioral differences among the six economies have been derived from estimation and from calibration of the model; the differences in monetary and fiscal policies among the six depend on the assumptions of a particular simulation scenario. The remaining five blocks of equations in FRB/ Global represent Mexico; 16 smaller OECD countries (SOECD); the newly industrializing economies of Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan 7. The risk premium on external liabilities (also known as the sovereign risk premium) refers to the extra rate of return demanded by creditors to compensate them for holding government bonds that have some degree of credit risk. Credit risk is the risk that the government, or sovereign, will not fully redeem the bonds at maturity. In the model, the risk premium on the net foreign holdings of a country's government bonds rises when those holdings are rising relative to that country's GDP. 799 (NIEs); the 16 countries with fuel-oriented exports (OPEC); and the rest of the world (ROW), which comprises about 140 developing economies and countries in transition. The structure of the equation blocks for Mexico, the NIEs, and the SOECD is fairly similar to that of the foreign G-7 country blocks but with somewhat less disaggregation: Each of these blocks consists of about 45 behavioral equations and about 75 accounting identities. The OPEC and ROW blocks are much smaller, with about 15 behavioral equations and 25 accounting identities each. Each block of equations in FRB/Global may be divided into five sectors: domestic spending, fiscal accounts, the external sector, aggregate supply (production, employment, wage and price determination), and financial markets (interest rates and exchange rates). The remainder of this section outlines the specification of these sectors for the foreign G-7 countries, highlights the role of expectations, and outlines the features that ensure the long-run stability of the model. For more details about the foreign blocks of FRB/Global, see appendixes A and B. Domestic Spending In the foreign G-7 equations of FRB/Global, six expenditure variables constitute domestic spending: private consumption expenditures, business fixed investment, residential investment, changes in business inventories, government fixed investment, and other government spending on goods and services (referred to as government consumption). Real private expenditures for consumption and for investment are determined endogenously (that is, by the model) through assumptions and empirical findings embodied in behavioral equations. Real government consumption and investment, on the other hand, are independent variables—they are determined exogenously (that is, outside the model). The behavioral equation for each component of private expenditure incorporates an error-correction mechanism that permits realistic short-run dynamics while ensuring that the level of expenditure gradually adjusts to a long-run equilibrium growth path—that is, a stable ratio of expenditures to real GDP. The equilibrium path of each expenditure variable can be shifted by a permanent change in real interest rates or other specific macroeconomic variables. For example, the equilibrium path of real private consumption depends on real disposable income and the labor force participation rate as well as the long-term real interest rate (see box "Determining Private Con- 800 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Determining Private Consumption Expenditures The equilibrium level of real private consumption expenditures, C, depends on real disposable income, Y; the ex ante long-term real interest rate, R, \ and the labor force participation rate, L/POP.1 An accounting identity relates nominal disposable income to nominal GDP, net investment income from abroad, and taxes less government subsidies and transfers to households; then Y is computed by deflating nominal disposable income by the consumption price index. The determination of RL is described below. The labor force participation rate is exogenously determined. For each foreign G-7 country, statistical analysis has been used to verify that the ratio of private consumption to disposable income, C/Y, has a stationary long-run relationship with RL and L/POP, and to estimate the short-run and long-run characteristics of this relationship.2 The table below summarizes the response of private consumption to changes in disposable income and the long-term real interest rate. In Germany, for example, a permanent 1 percentage point increase in RL is estimated to reduce private consumption 0.23 percent within one quarter and 0.76 percent in the long run. In the short run, C exhibits partial adjustment in response to permanent changes in Y and RL because of liquidity constraints, information lags, and other factors. In Germany, for example, a permanent 1 percent change in Y generates an immediate 0.73 percent change in C, so that the consumption-income ratio temporarily falls. The gap between the actual consumption-income ratio and its equilibrium value subsequently shrinks at a rate of 30 percent per quarter (not shown in table). 1. In the foreign G-7 equation blocks of FRB/Global. private consumption expenditures depend on current and past income so that consumption is sensitive to movements in temporary as well as permanent income. In FRB/US, consumption expenditures also depend on financial wealth and the present discounted value of expected future labor and transfer income so that consumption is less sensitive to fluctuations in temporary income; in future work, we plan to investigate specifications in the foreign-country equations of FRB/Global that are comparable to those in FRB/US. 2. The labor force participation rate is highly significant in explaining long-term changes in private saving rates in Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom, perhaps because the private saving rate tends to decline as a higher fraction of the population reaches retirement age. The labor force participation rate is not, however, statistically significant in explaining the private saving rate in Canada. For Italy, the relationship between the private saving rate and the rates of long-term interest and labor force participation appears to be nearly nonstationary; for France, no satisfactory estimates of the relationship could be obtained, so the relationship in Germany was used for France as well. Determinants of private consumption expenditures sumption Expenditures"). The equilibrium paths of real business fixed investment and residential investment are each determined by real GDP, the long-term real interest rate, and the corresponding depreciation rate. Finally, the equilibrium path of real inventory investment depends on domestic sales and the shortterm real interest rate (see box "Determining Business Inventory Investment"). The determination of business fixed investment provides a useful example of the long-run stability and flexible dynamics associated with an errorcorrection mechanism. In each period, the business capital stock changes by the amount of business fixed investment less depreciation. Assuming competitive markets for inputs (land, labor, and capital) and output, microeconomic theory holds that the marginal product of capital should equal the real rental rate on capital, which is the sum of the real interest rate and the depreciation rate. In FRB/Global, the marginal product of capital is inversely proportional to the ratio of capital to GDP (the Cobb-Douglas produc Y Short run . . . Long run . . . iRl Short run . . . Long run . . . Canada France Germany .58 1.0 .73 1.0 .73 1.0 -.13 -.37 -.23 -.76 -.23 -.76 Italy Japan U.K. .10 1.0 .62 1.0 .29 1.0 -.05 -2.4 -.23 -1.5 -.19 -.65 NOTE. The first two rows indicate the elasticity of private consumption expenditures, C, with respect to a permanent change in real disposable income, Y. The last two rows indicate the percentage change in C arising from a permanent 1 percentage point increase in the ex ante long-term real interest rate, RL. The "short run" is the first quarter; the "long run" is the steady-state. tion function). Therefore, in the model's long run, business fixed investment is determined in a manner that will maintain the capital-output ratio at a level consistent with the long-term real interest rate and the depreciation rate. In the short run, however, fluctuations in the growth of real GDP strongly influence business fixed investment through an accelerator effect. Business fixed investment also incorporates a partial adjustment mechanism: For each of the foreign G-7 economies, the gap between current fixed investment and its equilibrium level shrinks at an estimated rate of about 25 percent per quarter. For an illustration of these properties in the determination of business fixed investment, consider a permanent 1 percent increase in real GDP (both actual and potential) for Germany, with no change in the real rental rate on capital (chart 1, top panel). The dynamic accelerator generates a 3.5 percent increase in business fixed investment during the first year and an additional 0.75 percent increase over the subse- Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model Determining Business Inventory Investment In the equations for each foreign G-7 country, real inventory investment depends on domestic sales, the stock of business inventory, and the ex ante short-term real interest rate. Domestic sales include all private and government consumption and fixed investment expenditures. The equilibrium ratio of the inventory stock to domestic sales depends on the cost of holding inventories, which is mainly determined by the ex ante short-term real interest rate. Thus, with domestic sales held unchanged along a constant growth path, an increase in the short-term real interest rate reduces the target stock of business inventories and thereby depresses the equilibrium level of inventory investment. In the very short run, an increase in the level of domestic sales generates negative inventory investment as firms use inventories as a buffer against sudden changes in sales. The target inventory-sales ratio remains unchanged, assuming a constant short-term real interest rate. Thus, over the medium term, the increase in domestic sales stimulates higher inventory investment until the stock of business inventories eventually rises in proportion to the increase in domestic sales. quent two years. These changes in investment represent a small fraction of the existing stock of business fixed capital, so that the capital stock rises gradually in response to the output shock. With a constant real rental rate, the equilibrium value of the capitaloutput ratio remains unchanged, so that the capital stock eventually stabilizes at 1 percent above its initial level. Given the constant depreciation rate, fixed investment also rises 1 percent in the long run. A permanent 1 percentage point increase in the real rental rate on capital in Germany, with no change in actual or potential output, also illustrates the model's adjustment properties (chart 1, bottom panel). The drop in the equilibrium capital-output ratio leads to a 1.8 percent reduction in business fixed investment over the first several years. The stock of business fixed capital gradually falls about 0.4 percent, to its new equilibrium level, with a similar long-run drop in the level of business fixed investment. Fiscal Accounts The model's representation of the fiscal accounts of the foreign G-7 countries is relatively straightforward: Government expenditures consist of consumption, investment, subsidies, transfers to households, and interest payments; government revenues come 801 from direct taxes, social security payroll taxes, fuel taxes, and other indirect taxes. The most important feature of this sector is that the direct tax rate is determined endogenously to prevent a shock from causing a continuous rise or fall in the ratio of real government debt (nominal debt deflated by the GDP price deflator) to potential GDP. That is, each country's block of equations has a specified target path for the debt-GDP ratio; if a shock causes the ratio to deviate from that path, the direct tax rate is adjusted to ensure that the ratio gradually returns to its target. For an illustration of this mechanism, consider the effects of a permanent reduction in government consumption expenditures under two different fiscal policy assumptions. Under the first assumption, the target ratio of government debt to GDP is unchanged. In this case, the direct tax rate will gradually move downward so that the drop in government spending is matched by a similar drop in direct tax revenue and by a corresponding increase in disposable income. As already noted, the equilibrium level of private consumption expenditures moves in proportion to real disposable income. Thus, in the long run, the drop in Illustration of error correction in FRB/Global: < m e n t i n Germany B u s i n e s s fixed i n v e s Percent Response to 1 percent rise in real G D P Business fixed investment pnai MUCK. Response to 1 percentage point rise in real interest rate — 0.5 802 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 government consumption is offset by a roughly equal increase in private consumption. Under the second assumption, the debt-GDP target ratio gradually adjusts downward toward a new value, so that the direct tax rate remains constant over the first twenty-five years of the experiment. During this period, lower real interest rates stimulate private expenditures to keep real output at potential and avoid deflationary pressures, and potential GDP itself gradually rises in response to the higher level of private investment. Eventually, however, the downward trajectory of the debt-GDP ratio must be halted by reducing the direct tax rate, so that the long-run effects are the same as those described for the previous experiment. The External Sector For each foreign G-7 country, exports and imports are divided into three components: fuel, nonfuel merchandise, and services. The volume of net fuel imports equals the difference between domestic fuel production and domestic fuel consumption, in which fuel production is determined exogenously, and fuel consumption depends on domestic nonfuel output and the relative price of fuel. The imports of services and nonfuel merchandise are determined as follows. Under the assumption of worldwide balanced growth in the long run, the equilibrium ratio of real nonfuel merchandise imports to real domestic spending is set by the ratio of the import price deflator for nonfuel goods to the price deflator for nonfuel domestic output. In the short run, real nonfuel merchandise imports adjust at a rate of 30 percent per quarter toward the equilibrium level. The determination of imports of services involves the relative price of such imports and follows essentially the same error-correction mechanism as nonfuel merchandise. Exports of services and nonfuel merchandise are determined by error-correction mechanisms (see box "Determining Export Volumes"). Aggregate Supply For each foreign G-7 country, wage and price determination causes the rates of inflation and unemployment to move inversely in the short run (a downward-sloping Phillips curve); in the long run, unemployment settles on its "natural" rate, the point at which the inflation rate is constant (a vertical Determining Export Volumes For each foreign G-7 country, the volume of nonfuel merchandise exports, XG, is determined by foreign tradeweighted imports, M*, and relative prices, RPXG. We use the equation block for Germany to illustrate the construction of the variables for foreign demand and relative prices. Foreign demand for German exports is the weighted average of nonfuel goods imports by Germany's trading partners, in which the weights are constructed using the bilateral export data for Germany. The relative-price variable measures German competitiveness in each of its export markets. For example, the share of German exports in total French imports depends on the relative price of German exports compared with other exporters to France. Thus, in constructing the relative-price measure for Germany, RPXG, the French component is defined as the ratio of the German nonfuel goods export price deflator to the weighted average of foreign export prices, in which the weights are constructed using bilateral import data for France. Finally, the overall measure of German competitiveness, RPXG, is computed as a weighted average across German export markets, using bilateral export weights for Germany. Using these measures of foreign demand and relative prices, an error-correction mechanism determines the volume of nonfuel merchandise exports. With constant relative prices, the ratio of XG to M* remains on its baseline path; that is, each country exports a fixed share of world imports. If relative prices change, the ratio of XG to M* gradually adjusts toward its new equilibrium value at a rate of 15 percent per quarter. Real exports of services are determined by a similar error-correction mechanism involving foreign trade-weighted service imports and the relative price of service exports. Phillips curve). For example, a monetary stimulus initially generates a drop in the unemployment rate and a relatively small increase in wage and price inflation; as wages and prices rise further, unemployment gradually returns to its natural rate. In particular, real GDP is determined by aggregate demand, which is the sum of domestic spending and net exports. The employment level (and hence the unemployment rate) adjusts to equate aggregate supply to aggregate demand. Potential GDP is determined by the size of the labor force, the natural unemployment rate, the stocks of business fixed capital and residential capital, and net fuel imports. When output exceeds potential (unemployment is below the natural rate), wages initially move little but gradually rise in response to pressures generated by excess aggregate demand. An error-correction mechanism Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model ensures that the price deflator for domestic output gradually moves toward its equilibrium path, which is a markup over the aggregate wage rate and the domestic fuel price index. The specific formulation of aggregate wage behavior depends on how expectations are formed. Under limited-information expectations, the aggregate wage inflation rate is a function of past wage inflation rates, current and past output gaps, consumer price inflation rates, and short-term interest rates.8 Under modelconsistent expectations, the aggregate wage rate is determined by the overlapping nominal wage contract specification of Taylor. In this case, the new wage contracts signed each period depend on expectations about future aggregate wages and deviations of unemployment from its natural rate; the aggregate wage rate is defined as the average value of the wage contracts currently in effect. 9 Financial Markets The financial-market equations for the foreign countries cover short- and long-term interest rates, expected inflation, and exchange rates. For countries whose currencies are assumed to be pegged to the German mark, interest rates and expected inflation move in parallel with the corresponding variables in Germany, apart from an endogenously determined risk premium on each country's external liabilities. The premium is related to the ratio of net external debt to GDP and helps avoid continuously rising or falling levels of net external debt. For the countries with independent monetary policies, the monetary policy regime and the method of expectations formation are crucial in the determination of long-term interest rates, expected inflation, and the bilateral U.S. dollar exchange rate. Short-Term Interest Rates In a typical FRB/Global simulation, Canada, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom follow independent monetary policies using a rule of the form proposed by Henderson and McKibbin and by 8. Regression analysis has been used to estimate the parameters of this relationship for each foreign G-7 country. 9. John Taylor, "Aggregate Dynamics and Staggered Contracts," Journal of Political Economy, vol. 88 (February 1980), pp. 1-23. This specification of wage determination under model-consistent expectations is highly simplified; alternative specifications of wage determination for the foreign G-7 countries will be considered in subsequent research. 803 Taylor.10 Under this form of rule, the short-term interest rate is adjusted in response to the current output gap and to the current deviation of consumer price inflation from an exogenously specified target. France and Italy are usually assumed to maintain fixed exchange rates with respect to the German mark. Although these are typical monetary policy assumptions, FRB/Global has been designed so that they can be modified easily from one simulation to the next, a feature that will be highlighted later in this article. Long-Term Interest Rates Under limited-information expectations, the longterm nominal interest rate is specified as a function of current and past short-term interest rates, inflation rates, and output gaps. The long-term interest rate also exhibits partial adjustment, so that the spread between short-term and long-term rates initially widens and then gradually shrinks in response to a shock to the short-term interest rate. Under modelconsistent expectations, the long-term interest rate is determined as a geometrically declining weighted average of future short-term interest rates. Expected Inflation Under limited-information expectations, short-term expected inflation is equal to the current inflation rate; long-term expected inflation is a moving average of current and past short-term inflation rates, with a relatively slow adjustment of 5 percent per quarter in response to a persistent change in the inflation rate. Under model-consistent expectations, short-term expected inflation is equal to the actual one-stepahead inflation rate, while long-term expected inflation is determined as a weighted average of future short-term inflation rates (using the same geometrically declining weights as in the long-term interest rate equation). Exchange Rates For those countries with independent monetary policies, the bilateral exchange rate under both limited- 10. In Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, vol. 39 (June 1993), see Dale Henderson and W. McKibbin, "A Comparison of Some Basic Monetary Policy Regimes for Open Economies: Implications of Different Degrees of Instrument Adjustment and Wage Persistence," pp. 221-318; and John Taylor, "Discretion versus Policy Rules in Practice," pp. 195-214. 804 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 information and model-consistent expectations is determined by real interest parity (the bilateral differential in real interest rates) and the risk premium on external liabilities, which depends on the ratio of net external debt to GDP, both measured in U.S. dollars (see box "Determining Exchange Rates under Alternative Types of Expectations"). Thus, an increase in the relative magnitude of U.S. net external debt puts downward pressure on the real value of the dollar, thereby preventing explosive paths for the net stock of external debt. Under either method of expectations formation, an unanticipated temporary increase in U.S. interest rates generates an initial rise in the exchange value of the U.S. dollar, followed by depreciation back toward its equilibrium value, a point referred to as purchasing Determining Exchange Rates power parity. For example, under limited-information expectations, the bilateral exchange rate depends on the corresponding differential in long-term interest rates as adjusted for long-term expected inflation. In this case, a 1 percentage point increase in the differential between U.S. and German long-term real interest rates generates a 0.08 percent real appreciation of the dollar against the German mark. Under model-consistent expectations, the exchange rate is determined by short-term real interest parity. If the U.S. three-month real interest rate temporarily exceeds the German three-month real interest rate by 1 percentage point, then investors are willing to hold assets denominated in German marks only if the U.S. dollar is expected to depreciate 1 percent against the mark over the subsequent quarter. Thus, the temporary interest rate differential generates an immediate 1 percent jump in the value of the dollar, followed by depreciation back to its long-run value in the subsequent period. under Alternative Types of Expectations THE DYNAMIC PROPERTIES OF FRB/GLOBAL Limited-information expectations: RER, = 0.08[(RLys ~ ftp) - (RL, - ft,)] „ , NXDEBTtus - NXDEBT, -0.1 : GDPVD"S + GDPVD, Model-consistent expectations: RER, - RER,+, = (RSW - j£f») - (RS, - n,) _ 1NXDEBTVS _ NXDEBT, JS GDPVD[ + GDPVD, Definitions RER, = the natural logarithm of the bilateral real exchange rate as adjusted by consumer prices, where the exchange rate is defined in units of local currency per U.S. dollar RL, = the current long-term interest rate RS, = the current short-term interest rate NXDEBT, = the net external debt position in U.S. dollars GDPVD, = nominal GDP in U.S. dollars Long-term expected inflation, rip is computed using limited-information expectations. The one-step-ahead inflation rate, n r+s , and the one-step-ahead real exchange rate, RERl+ j, are computed using model-consistent expectations. The US superscript indicates the corresponding variable in the U.S. block of equations. Each equation includes an intercept and a residual term (not shown). The dynamic properties of FRB/Global are described here through three simulation experiments, each featuring a different type of shock: an exogenous reduction in U.S. government spending, an exogenous depreciation of the exchange value of the U.S. dollar, and an exogenous increase in the OPEC oil export price. In each experiment, expectations are assumed to be formed with limited information. The effects of each shock are evaluated under two alternative U.S. monetary policy rules: "active" and "passive." Under the active rule, the nominal federal funds rate adjusts in response to the output gap and to the deviation of consumer price inflation from the target rate. Thus, for each percentage point that output exceeds potential, the short-term nominal interest rate rises 50 basis points. For each percentage point increase in average annual inflation (based on the current and previous three quarters), the short-term nominal interest rate rises 150 basis points. Under the passive monetary policy rule, the nominal federal funds rate is held constant throughout the simulation. In each simulation experiment, Canada, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom follow independent monetary policies under the same active monetary policy rule just described for the United States. Meanwhile, the French franc, Italian lira, and SOECD currencies remain fixed to the German mark. The Mexican peso and the OPEC and ROW currencies are assumed to be pegged to the U.S. dollar, while the NIE currencies are assumed to be pegged to a trade-weighted basket of foreign currencies. Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model The results of each experiment are reported in terms of deviations from the baseline path; the construction of the baseline is described in appendix C. Experiment 1: A Reduction in U.S. Government Spending In this experiment, real U.S. government purchases of goods and services are permanently reduced by 1 percent of the baseline path of U.S. GDP, starting in the first quarter of year 1, while U.S. tax rates are held constant through year 14. During year 1, the spending reduction amounts to about $70 billion. Because the spending shock originates within the United States, where foreign trade is a fairly small part of the economy, the experiment also serves as a useful benchmark for comparing the simulation results from FRB/Global with those from FRB/US. The two models generate nearly identical paths for U.S. real GDP and consumer price inflation (chart 2, top panels). In FRB/US, the two foreign variables that enter into the determination of U.S. net exports— 2. the trade-weighted real exchange rate and foreign trade-weighted GDP—are each determined by a single equation; in FRB/Global, they are jointly determined by 1,400 equations. Yet, in the case of the real exchange rate, the paths generated by the two models are quite close, especially over the first three years of the simulation (chart 2, bottom-left panel). The differences in the paths for foreign GDP are slightly larger (bottom-right panel), but the effect on U.S. exports (not shown) is small. This example illustrates the general result that, for domestic shocks, FRB/Global produces essentially the same results as FRB/US. Thus, the natural role for FRB/Global is in analyzing the effects of US. shocks on foreign economies and the effects of external shocks on the U.S. economy as well as foreign economies. Active U.S. Monetary Policy Rule Examining the U.S. government spending shock over its first three years provides a good comparison Comparison of FRB/Global and FRB/US: A shock in U.S. government spending 805 806 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 of its effects on four of the countries with independent monetary policies—the United States, Canada, Germany, and Japan—under both active and passive U.S. monetary rules (chart 3, sections A and B). In the active-policy experiment, real GDP in Canada closely tracks the contraction and recovery in U.S. output (chart 3.A, top-left panel), inasmuch as exports from Canada to the U.S. comprise a relatively large share of aggregate demand in Canada. The U.S. contraction has a much smaller effect on Japan and Germany. The active monetary policy rule prescribes a cut in short-term interest rates in each country (chart 3.A, bottom-left panel). The short rate in Canada falls a full percentage point, whereas the Japanese and German short rates fall only about 20-40 basis points. Long-term real interest rates in all three foreign countries fall less than in the United States (chart 3.A, bottom-right panel). Thus, each foreign currency exhibits real appreciation relative to the U.S. dollar (see the equations for determining exchange rates), accounting for the depreciation in the tradeweighted U.S. real exchange rate (chart 2, bottom-left panel). The U.S. fiscal shock under an active U.S. monetary policy improves the U.S. trade balance by about $15 billion (table l.A); the improvement arises from a combination of the depreciation in the real exchange rate and lower domestic spending. The U.S. current account improves even more as lower rates of profit and interest reduce the rates of return paid on direct investment and portfolio liabilities. The rise in U.S. net exports is reflected in a fairly even drop in net exports among the other eleven blocks. The restof-world (ROW) trade balance is determined by the constraint that the global trade deficit remain at its baseline value. Nevertheless, the decline of about $5 billion in ROW net exports seems to be reasonable in light of the fact that the ROW block accounts for about 30 percent of U.S. imports. foreign real interest rates in response to the active monetary policy rules in Canada, Germany, and Japan lead to real appreciation of the U.S. dollar. As long as the U.S. federal funds rate remains constant, these contractionary influences will grow in magnitude, Effects of selected shocks on the trade balances and current accounts of countries and country groups in FRB/Global, years 1 through 3 U.S. dollars A. U.S. government spending shock United States Italy United Kingdom Smaller OECD NIEs OPEC ROW When the United States maintains a constant federal funds rate, U.S. real GDP remains stagnant, at about 1 percent below baseline, during the first three years of the simulation (chart 3.B, top-left panel), while consumer price inflation falls because of the downward-sloping short-run Phillips curve (toplight panel). Thus, expected long-term inflation falls, and the long-term real interest rate gradually increases (bottom-right panel). Meanwhile, falling Current account Year Year 1 2 3 1 2 3 15.1 .1 -.6 -1.5 .1 .1 -.8 -1.0 -.3 -1.6 -4.4 -5.1 16.9 .2 -1.4 -1.3 -.3 -.3 -.6 -1.7 -.5 -1.2 -3.0 -6.8 11.8 .1 -1.6 -1.2 -.7 -.4 -.4 -1.1 -.6 -.4 -1.0 -4.3 24.3 -.8 -5.3 -1.0 -.4 .0 -1.6 -.8 -.2 -1.1 -4.9 -8.3 27.8 -.8 -7.4 -.9 -1.0 -.7 -1.8 -1.6 -.4 -1.2 -4.1 -7.9 23.7 -1.3 -9.0 -.9 -1.7 -.9 -1.8 -1.1 -.6 -.8 -2.8 -2.9 23.8 4.3 -5.6 1.2 2.3 .4 -4.0 -.9 1.4 -14.2 -2 1 -6.7 34.7 2.8 -10.5 .6 -1.6 -1.1 -4.1 -2.4 1.8 -13.5 _2 -6.4 -3.6 -2.4 -1.4 .3 1.6 3.1 -3.1 5.8 -.5 -5.3 97 15.1 18.1 -2.0 -3.8 .8 -1.2 -1.9 -10.0 2.1 .0 -6.4 52 9.6 28.2 -4.3 -10.6 .5 -5.9 -3.5 -10.0 .8 .5 -6.7 -3 5 14.5 -1.8 -3.0 -5.7 .2 -1.9 -2.3 -.2 1.7 1.4 -4.8 21.8 -5.5 -14.2 -4.6 -11.4 .9 -2.6 -3.2 .0 -1.1 1.4 -2.5 35.3 2.0 -3.1 -3.8 -10.1 .5 -2.5 -3.1 -1.0 .1 1.6 -3.0 30.7 -6.1 -1.0 -3.8 -9.3 .5 -2.6 -2.9 -1.1 1.6 1.5 -3.7 28.0 -7.2 B. U.S. currency shock United States NIEs -2.8 2.2 -1.1 .5 3.7 2.4 -3.0 3.3 .4 -12.1 ROW 13.5 Canada United Kingdom Smaller OECD C. OPEC oil export price shock United States Germany United Kingdom Smaller OECD Passive U.S. Monetary Policy Rule Trade balance Country or region NIEs OPEC ROW -13.1 -4.1 -12.3 1.3 -2.7 -3.0 .5 -1.2 1.4 -3.2 34.5 2.7 -4.0 -3.3 -7.9 .3 -2.1 -2.6 -.2 .2 1.4 -4.4 26.8 -4.1 NOTE. Each shock begins at the start of year 1. In each simulation, the U.S. monetary authorities follow the active monetary policy rule, in which the federal funds rate is adjusted to counteract movements in the output gap and in deviations of consumer price inflation from the target rate. The U.S. government spending shock is a permanent reduction in spending equal to 1 percent of the baseline path of U.S. GDP. The U.S. currency shock is a 5 percent depreciation in the exchange value of the U.S. dollar versus the Canadian dollar and a 10 percent depreciation versus the currencies of the rest of the G-7, the smaller OECD countries, and the newly industrializing economies (NIEs). The OPEC oil export price shock is an increase of $5 per barrel above the baseline path. Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model 3. 807 U.S. g o v e r n m e n t spending s h o c k under active and passive U.S. monetary policy rules A. Active monetary policy rule Percent Percent Output g a p Consumption price deflator — 0.5 — — 0.5 Germany Canada United States Percentage points Short-term nominal interest rate B. Passive monetary policy rule Percentage points Long-term interest rate Percent Percent Consumption price deflator Percentage points Short-term nominal interest rate NOTE. For definitions of shock and active monetary policy rule, see note to table 1. Percentage points Long-term interest rate 808 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 generating an explosive downward spiral for U.S. output and prices. 11 Experiment 2: A Depreciation in the Exchange Value of the U.S. Dollar In this simulation, the exchange value of the US. dollar depreciates 5 percent against the Canadian dollar and 10 percent against the currencies of the other foreign G-7 countries, the SOECD, and the NIEs. After the depreciation in year 1, these exchange rates remain fixed at the new level throughout the simulation period. Because the depreciation is not triggered by a change in expectations about future interest rates, it may be viewed as arising from an exogenous downward shift in preferences for holding dollar-denominated assets. Under the active as well as the passive monetary policy regime, the exchange rate depreciation improves U.S. external competitiveness and stimulates net exports, thereby raising real GDP about 0.6 percent within about a year (charts 4.A and 4.B, top-left panels). The exchange rate depreciation also passes gradually into U.S. import prices and ultimately into higher consumer price inflation (top-right panels). The active monetary policy rule prescribes an increase of almost 150 basis points in the federal funds rate by the middle of year 2 and gradually pushes up the long-term real interest rate (chart 4.A, top-right panel). Under the active U.S. monetary policy rule, the U.S. trade balance displays a standard J-curve response to the exchange rate depreciation, with a small initial deterioration yielding to an improvement of $35 billion by the end of year 3 (table l.B). The U.S. current account improves a smaller amount as higher rates of interest and profit generate higher net factor payments. Japan and the NIEs bear the brunt of the increase in U.S. net exports. The ROW is not severely affected—its price level adjusts fairly quickly to maintain a constant trade-weighted real exchange rate. Experiment 3: An Increase in OPEC Oil Export Prices In this case, the export price of OPEC oil increases $5 per barrel above its baseline path in year 1 and 11. These results are consistent with standard economic theory, which holds that the domestic price level is indeterminate (that is, not tied down by macroeconomic fundamentals) under a fixed nominal interest rate. remains fixed at $5 above the baseline thereafter (chart 5 and table l.C). This shock roughly corresponds to a 25 percent rise in the fuel import prices faced by all countries and regions in the model. Under the active monetary policy rule, the U.S. consumer price level rises about 0.3 percent by the end of year 1 (chart 5.A, top-right panel). To push inflation back toward its target rate, the active policy raises the federal funds rate 20 basis points, causing a mild contraction in which U.S. real GDP falls about 0.3 percent (chart 5.A, top-left panel). As inflationary pressures subside, the federal funds rate returns to baseline, and by year 3 the output gap is almost closed. By contrast, U.S. output remains close to the baseline under a constant federal funds rate (chart 5.B, top-left panel), but consumer prices rise about 0.5 percent (chart 5.B, top-right panel), nearly twice as much as under the active policy rule. ILLUSTRATIVE APPLICATIONS OF FRB/GLOBAL FRB/Global can be used to analyze the spillover effects of fiscal and monetary policy under alternative European monetary policy regimes, an area of interest given the movement toward a European monetary union. Simulations inform the forecasts of the Board's staff regarding foreign activity and the U.S. external sector. This section discusses three examples of such simulations. A Comparison of EMS and EMU The first scenario highlights the effects of different monetary policy regimes on simulations for France and Germany of a fiscal shock originating in Germany. The shock is a permanent increase in German government spending equal to 1 percent of German GDP beginning at the outset of year 1. Although hypothetical, this shock is comparable to the fiscal expansion in Germany that followed reunification in 1990. The scenario covers two monetary policy regimes: the current arrangements (the European Monetary System, or EMS) and those envisioned under the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). Under the EMS regime, monetary policy in Germany follows an active rule (German short rates respond to deviations of German output and inflation from target), while France, Italy, and the SOECD countries peg Evaluating 4. International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model 809 U.S. currency shock under active and passive U.S. monetary policy rules A. Active monetary policy rule Output gap Consumption price deflator 0.5 0.5 United States 0.5 Germany 0 5 1.0 Percentage points Percentage points Long-term real interest rate Short-term nominal interest rate 0.2 0.2 0.4 B. Passive monetary policy rule Percent Percent Percentage points Short-term nominal interest rate 0.5 1.0 2 Year NOTE. For definitions of shock and active monetary policy rule, see note to table 1. Percentage points Long-term real interest rate 810 5. Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 S h o c k to the export price o f O P E C oil under active and p a s s i v e U.S. monetary p o l i c y rules A. Active monetary policy rule Output gap Consumption price deflator — Canada Percent Percent 0.4 Germany United States Percentage points Short-term nominal interest rate B. Passive monetary policy rule Percentage points Long-term real interest rate Percent Percent Consumption price deflator Output gap Percentage points Short-term nominal interest rate NOTE. For definitions of shock and active monetary policy rule, see note to table 1. Percentage points Long-term real interest rate Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model their currencies to the German mark. 12 In this experiment, the United States, Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom follow independent monetary policies under the EMS. Under the model's EMU regime, the European Central Bank would implement monetary policy for the member countries; it would use an active monetary policy rule in which the interest rate on the common currency (the euro) responds to the weighted average of the output gaps and inflation deviations of all member countries. This rule highlights the contrast between the EMU and the EMS regimes; in the latter, short-term interest rates in all member countries are determined by the output and inflation gap in Germany (apart from a risk premium on external liabilities). The actual composition of the EMU and the relative influence of its members remain open issues. For this experiment, all members of the European Union except the United Kingdom are assumed to join the EMU, and the influence of specific countries in the equation governing the European Central Bank's simulated response are represented by weights calculated from the relative dollar values of GDP of the member states. On that basis, Germany's weight is slightly more than lA, France and Italy each have a weight of about Vs, and the SOECD weight is about lA. Under the EMS, the fiscal expansion in Germany has a direct positive effect on German GDP and prices (chart 6.A, top panels). The German central bank responds to the shock by raising short-term interest rates substantially (about 75 basis points) (chart 6.A, bottom-left panel). France must raise interest rates by a similar magnitude in order to maintain the exchange rate peg (chart 6.B, bottomleft panel). The interest rate hike in France has strongly contractionary effects on real GDP and prices in France (chart 6.B, top panels), which are only partially offset by higher net exports to Germany. Under the EMU regime, the same fiscal shock produces a rise in the interest rate in each country (about 60 basis points) that is somewhat smaller than under the EMS (as noted, about 75 basis points) (chart 6.A and 6.B, bottom-left panels). The smaller rise in interest rates reflects the fact that the European Central Bank adjusts interest rates according to the effects of a shock on the output gaps and inflation rates of all member countries. Under the EMU, the 12. Because the SOECD block includes Australia and New Zealand, the simulations are intended to only approximately represent both EMS and EMU. 811 effects of a German-specific fiscal expansion on the rates of GDP and inflation in all member countries are much smaller than the effect on Germany; therefore, interest rates rise less than they do under the EMS, in which interest rates target only the German output and inflation gaps. In addition, output and prices in Germany rise more under the EMU than they do under the EMS in response to the fiscal expansion (chart 6.A, top panels). These results highlight the point that relative to the EMS, the EMU will tend to generate somewhat higher variability of output and inflation in Germany because German short-term interest rates will reflect economic conditions in all member countries and not just those in Germany, as they do under the EMS. Likewise, under the EMU, the contractionary effects in France arising from fiscal expansion in Germany are much smaller than they are under the EMS (chart 6.B). In particular, the variability of French output and inflation are markedly lower. These results illustrate the general point that, as modeled by FRB/Global, a country that currently pegs its currency to the German mark will tend to reduce the volatility of its output and inflation by joining EMU. A Comparison of Independent Monetary Policy and Participation in EMU Although countries that currently participate in the EMS (other than Germany) may experience a reduced volatility of inflation and output under the EMU, a non-EMS country joining the EMU presumably would sacrifice some control over domestic macroeconomic outcomes by giving up its independent monetary policy. To test the latter proposition, we analyze a fiscal shock similar to that considered above—a permanent increase in fiscal spending of 1 percent of GDP—but this time within the United Kingdom instead of Germany. We consider its effects on the United Kingdom under each of two monetary policy scenarios: U.K. membership in the EMU and an independent monetary policy in the United Kingdom. Under the EMU scenario, the European Central Bank is assumed to adjust interest rates using the active monetary policy rule discussed above, except that the United Kingdom is now included in the set of member countries. In this simulation, the United Kingdom receives a relatively small GDP-based weight of Vs. Under an independent monetary policy, the United Kingdom uses a variant of the active monetary policy rule, in which the short-term interest rate is adjusted to keep U.K. output at its target level. 812 6. Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 German fiscal shock under EMS-style and EMU-style monetary policies A. Effects on Germany Percent Real GDP Percent Consumption price deflator EMU Percentage points Short-term interest rate Percent Nominal exchange rate 0.50 B. Effects on France Percent Real GDP Consumption price deflator Percentage points Short-term interest rate NOTE. The shock begins at the start of year 1 and consists of a permanent increase in German central government spending equal to 1 percent of GDP. See text for definition of monetary policy alternatives. Percent Long-term interest rate Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model After the fiscal expansion in the United Kingdom, output there initially rises sharply (to 1 percent above baseline) if the country is in the EMU (chart 7, top-left panel); in contrast, an independent U.K. monetary policy could basically target output at baseline. The monetary tightening and the resulting rise in U.K. interest rates under an independent policy is considerably more aggressive than that which would be taken by the ECB if the United Kingdom were one of its members (bottom-left panel). The simulation just described illustrates how a country such as the United Kingdom stands to incur some increase in the variability of output and inflation by forgoing an independent monetary policy. Although the FRB/Global simulations help to assess these costs, the simulations do not take into account some potential benefits of joining EMU, including the microeconomic benefits of lower transaction costs that come with a common currency. Another potential benefit is the "credibility effects" that could reduce the risk premium on a country's external 7. 813 liabilities. That is, choosing to link its economy to a common monetary policy could enhance a country's status as an inflation fighter, which would tend to lower the risk premium on its external liabilities. The Formation of Expectations The final scenario examines the implications of alternative assumptions about expectations. The implications are most apparent in the case of shocks whose effects arise after the start of the simulation. We compare the results obtained from expectations that are formed with limited information to the results obtained with model-consistent expectations—those formed with the benefit of all the information contained in the model. Limited-information expectations depend exclusively on past information; hence, shocks are unforeseen. By contrast, with model-consistent expectations, agents are assumed to have perfect foresight about the shock, meaning that they know the entire U . K . fiscal s h o c k : E f f e c t s o n the U n i t e d K i n g d o m under i n d e p e n d e n t and E M U - s t y l e m o n e t a r y p o l i c i e s Percent — PercCm Consumption price deflator 1.0 0.5 Independent U.K. — 0.5 Percentage points Short-term nominal interest rate 0.5 Percentage points Long-term real interest rate 1.0 — 2 0.5 3 Year NOTE. The shock begins at the start of year 1 and consists of a permanent increase in U.K. central government spending equal to 1 percent of GDP. See text for definition of the monetary policy alternatives. 3 Year 814 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 future path of the variable whose value is being exogenously changed in the simulation. The assumption of such foresight enables the model to capture the notion that news about future economic developments can affect the current economy. Under each variant of the model, we consider the short- and medium-term response of agents to an announcement by the German government at the beginning of year 1 that, at the beginning of year 3, it will permanently add to its spending an amount equal to 1 percent of GDR The monetary policy regime in years 1 and 2 is assumed to be the EMS; in year 3, the EMU. (The United Kingdom conducts an independent monetary policy throughout these simulations.) In Germany, limited-information expectations produce no response until the spending rise is implemented in year 3 (chart 8). Even long-term interest rates fail to respond (bottom-right panel), an indication that, until the shock is implemented, agents do not expect future short-term rates to rise. From year 3 forward, however, the limited-information dynamics are like those in the previous simulation of the effects 8. on Germany of a German fiscal expansion (chart 6. A) because that simulation was also conducted under limited-information expectations. Under model-consistent expectations, agents in year 1 can use the information that the European Central Bank will be in operation as of the beginning of year 3: As soon as the forthcoming year-3 shock is announced, agents realize that the central bank will have to raise short-term interest rates beginning in year 3 to restrain the effects of the projected fiscal expansion on output and prices. The expectation of the rise in future short rates (chart 8, bottom-left panel) causes an immediate rise in long-term rates (bottom-right panel). The rise in long rates in turn causes real activity to contract somewhat in years 1 and 2, so in this simulation, a future fiscal expansion has a contractionary effect in the short run. Thus, FRB/Global accommodates two different, and somewhat extreme, perspectives on the formation of expectations. The degree of divergence in the results produced by each perspective in a given scenario depends on whether the effects of the shock are anticipated by economic agents. Future German fiscal shock: Model-consistent vs. limited-information expectations Percent Consumption price deflator Real G D P Limited-information Percentage points Short-term interest rate NOTE. The shock, of the magnitude given in chart 6, is announced in year 1 for implementation in year 3. See text for definition of expectations alternatives. Percentage points Long-term interest rate Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model 815 The equation blocks for the foreign G-7 countries cover government expenditures, tax revenue, net factor income, potential output, aggregate wages, and domestic prices. wage rate and total employment. 15 The fuel tax rate is specified on a per-barrel basis, and the value of the tax per barrel is indexed to the GDP price deflator but not to the current price of fuel. Other indirect taxes (for example, the value-added tax) are assumed to vary proportionally with the value of private consumption and investment expenditures. Government Expenditures Net Investment Income from Abroad Total government expenditures are divided into five components: consumption, investment, subsidies, transfers to households, and interest payments. Real government consumption and investment expenditures on goods and services are exogenously determined; the corresponding nominal values are obtained using price deflators for government consumption and investment. The nominal value of government subsidies moves proportionally with the level of nominal GDP. In contrast, real transfers to households are assumed to be acyclical, depending only on potential GDP; nominal transfers are obtained using the GDP price deflator. Finally, interest payments are computed by multiplying the stock of government debt by the average rate of return on outstanding government securities. The average rate of return is assumed to be a weighted average of two components: the current short-term Treasury bill rate and a moving average of past long-term bond rates. 13 Net investment income from abroad is divided into four components: direct investment payments and receipts and portfolio investment payments and receipts. Each of the four is computed by multiplying the outstanding stock of claims or liabilities by the appropriate rate of return. The rate of return on direct investment liabilities varies with the domestic output gap, while the rate of return on direct investment claims varies with a weighted average of foreign output gaps in which the weights are computed using bilateral export data. The rate of return on portfolio liabilities is assumed to be a weighted average of two components: the current short-term interest rate and a moving average of past long-term interest rates. Finally, the rate of return on portfolio investment claims is a weighted average of foreign rates of return on portfolio investment liabilities, adjusted for exchange rate movements. APPENDIX BLOCKS A: THE FOREIGN G-7 EQUATION Potential Output Tax Revenue Total government revenues are divided into four components: direct taxes, social security payroll taxes, fuel taxes, and other indirect taxes.14 Direct tax revenue consists mainly of personal and corporate income taxes and is computed by multiplying the direct tax rate by nominal net national product (nominal GDP plus net factor income from abroad, less depreciation allowances). The direct tax rate is endogenously determined to stabilize the ratio of real government debt to potential GDP. Payroll taxes are assumed to vary proportionally with labor income, which is the product of the hourly 13. In all foreign G-7 country blocks, the weights on the short-term and long-term components are 10 percent and 90 percent respectively. The long-term component assigns weights of 0.05 to the current long-term bond rate and 0.95 to the previous period's long-term component. In future work, we intend to construct new weights that reflect cross-country differences in the maturity structure of government debt. 14. Strictly speaking, payroll taxes are a subcategory of direct taxes, so direct taxes in this discussion should be understood as referring to the nonpayroll component of direct tax revenue. Potential domestic nonfuel output is determined by a Cobb-Douglas production function exhibiting constant returns to scale with respect to labor, the business fixed capital stock, the residential capital stock, and domestic fuel consumption. 16 Potential GDP is defined as potential nonfuel output less net fuel imports, a formula that reflects the concept of GDP as a measure of value added (gross output less raw materials). Aggregate Wages Under limited-information expectations, the inflation rate of aggregate wages is specified as a function of 15. Hours of work are assumed to be constant in the current version of FRB/Global; this variable will be determined endogenously in future work. 16. These four inputs have output elasticities of 0.7, 0.15, 0.1, and 0.05 respectively. Future work on FRB/Global will incorporate country-specific production parameters and will relax the assumption that the industrial sector uses a constant fraction of total domestic fuel consumption. 816 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 past wage inflation rates as well as current and past output gaps, consumer price inflation rates, and shortterm interest rates. Under model-consistent expectations, the aggregate wage rate is determined by overlapping nominal wage contracts, as formulated by Taylor.17 At the beginning of each quarter, one-fourth of the work force is assumed to sign new wage contracts of annual duration. When unemployment remains at its natural rate, each contract specifies a wage rate equal to the average expected aggregate wage rate over the subsequent year. In addition, the wage contract is adjusted to account for the average expected deviation of unemployment from its natural rate over the subsequent year. In particular, for a given value of the average expected aggregate wage, a 1 percentage point increase in unemployment throughout the coming year reduces the current contract wage rate 0.02 percent. Finally, the aggregate wage rate is defined as the average of the four wage contracts currently in effect. Domestic Prices The price deflator for domestic nonfuel output is determined as a markup over the aggregate wage rate and the domestic fuel price index. 18 The markup rate is assumed to be mildly procyclical: Given employment and fuel costs, a persistent 1 percentage point increase in the output gap generates a 0.36 percent rise in the domestic nonfuel output price deflator. The gap between the markup rate and its equilibrium value shrinks about 33 percent per quarter. Given prices for fuel imports and exports and the price deflator for nonfuel output, nominal GDP is computed as nominal domestic nonfuel output less net fuel imports, and nominal domestic spending is computed as nominal GDP plus net nonfuel imports. The GDP price deflator is then determined by the ratio of nominal to real GDP, and the domestic spending deflator is determined as the ratio of nominal to real domestic expenditures. The private and government price deflators for consumption and investment move proportionally with the domestic spending deflator, so that the relative prices of the components of domestic spending are held constant. Finally, the domestic fuel price depends on the price of imported fuel and the fuel tax rate. 17. Taylor, "Aggregate Dynamics and Staggered Contracts." 18. The relative weights are identical to those in the production function: 0.92 on labor and 0.08 on fuel. Import and Export Prices The import price deflators for services and nonfuel goods are determined by a weighted average of foreign export prices converted into local currency units, with the weights constructed from bilateral import data. The export price deflators for services and nonfuel goods are determined by the price of domestic nonfuel output and a weighted average of foreign output prices converted into local currency, with the weights constructed from bilateral export data. The price deflators for fuel exports and imports are determined by the local-currency equivalent of the OPEC oil export price, which is expressed in U.S. dollars per barrel. APPENDIX B: OTHER FOREIGN-COUNTRY EQUATION BLOCKS OF FRB/GLOBAL Three blocks of equations represent Mexico, the NIEs, and the SOECD. These three blocks have a structure similar to that of the foreign G-7 blocks but with no disaggregation of private investment, government revenue, and the capital account. The currencies of the SOECD are assumed to be pegged to the German mark, so that SOECD interest rates and expected inflation move in parallel with the corresponding German variables, apart from differences in risk premiums on external liabilities. Similarly, the Mexican peso is assumed to be pegged to the U.S. dollar, and the NIE currencies are assumed to be pegged to a trade-weighted basket of foreign currencies. The OPEC block is intended to represent fuelexport-oriented developing economies with no inertia in their nominal macroeconomic variables. The OPEC currencies are assumed to be fixed to the U.S. dollar, and the OPEC nonfuel output price level adjusts in a flexible way to maintain a stable tradeweighted real exchange rate. OPEC imports adjust gradually to maintain a constant ratio of net external assets to nominal GDP. The OPEC oil export price is endogenously determined by world fuel consumption and a trade-weighted index of foreign prices converted into U.S. dollars. For example, a 1 percent increase in world fuel consumption generates a 1 percent increase in the equilibrium OPEC oil export price, with an adjustment rate of 40 percent per quarter toward the new equilibrium price level. The ROW block of FRB/Global plays a crucial role in ensuring that all global adding-up constraints are satisfied. Thus, all ROW variables related to the Evaluating International Economic Policy with the Federal Reserve's Global Model current account and capital account are defined by accounting identities; for example, ROW net nonfuel merchandise exports are determined by the sum of net nonfuel merchandise imports of the other eleven blocks. At the same time, the ROW block is intended to be representative of small open developing economies with no nominal inertia. Thus, the ROW nonfuel output price index adjusts fairly quickly in response to changes in the ratio of net external debt to nominal GDR Since the ROW currencies are assumed to be fixed with respect to the U.S. dollar, these movements in the ROW price level translate directly into the trade-weighted real exchange rate, which in turn influences the net exports of the other eleven blocks and contributes to the long-run stability of the global model. APPENDIX C: CONSTRUCTION FRB/GLOBAL BASELINE OF THE The data used to construct the FRB/Global baseline come from a variety of sources (table C.l). The FRB/Global baseline (tables C.2 and C.3) is extrapolated to the fourth quarter of 2025 under the assumption of a gradual transition to a balanced growth path. Thus, all output gaps in the model are closed within C. 1. about ten years, and each component of aggregate demand converges to a constant fraction of real GDR Consumer price inflation gradually converges to a constant rate of 3 percent, and each wage and price deflator eventually becomes constant relative to the consumer price index. Finally, tax rates are adjusted so that fiscal balance is achieved within about twenty years. • C.2. Highlights of the FRB/Global baseline Percent Country or region United States Germany Italy United Kingdom .. SOECD NIEs OPEC ROW United States Domestic External sector Foreign industrial countries National accounts, fiscal and trade data Foreign direct and portfolio investment Bilateral export and import shares Fiscal data, stocks of government debt Oil production, consumption, and trade Oil prices and tax rates Real capital stocks, depreciation rates Developing countries Mexico and NIEs data Additional data for NIEs OPEC and ROW data C.3. Exports 24 8 15 2 5 4 4 12 1 3 2 20 Net external Government debt assets -14 11 20 -43 -1 -5 7 16 -65 16 125 -20 11 24 10 38 24 24 29 27 32 56 31 20 Percent Exporter United States United States Germany Japan 5 19 4 IMF balance of payments statistics IMF direction of trade statistics NIEs OPEC ROW 5 15 18 2 2 3 6 8 10 4 27 IMF government finance statistics Total 100 OECD-IEA oil and gas statistics OECD-IEA energy prices and taxes NOTE. Averages for 1995. Imports measured in U.S. dollars. . . . Not applicable. FRB/US baseline Baseline of a Federal Reserve international transactions model BIS database Penn world tables IMF international finance statistics DRI database IMF World Economic Outlook 49 77 59 107 44 119 56 63 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Merchandise imports of the United States, Germany, and Japan in the FRB/Global baseline, distributed by exporter Sources BIS Bank for International Settlements IMF International Monetary Fund OECD-IEA Organisation for Economic Cooperation and DevelopmentInternational Energy Agency Ratio to country's or region's GDP Share of world GDP NOTE. Averages for 1995. n.a. Not available. Sources of baseline data for FRB/Global variables Variables 817 Canada France Italy United Kingdom SOECD 5 .5 11 8 6 39 .1 4 2 20 100 3 2 2 2 15 .4 12 13 27 100 818 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for August 1997 Released for publication September 15 Industrial production increased 0.7 percent in August, with widespread gains in manufacturing. In addition, output growth in July was revised up 0.2 percentage point to 0.4 percent. The upward revision in July was largely the result of higher manufacturing output— especially nondurables. At 121.3 percent of its 1992 average, industrial production in August was 4.7 per- cent higher than in August 1996. The rate of industrial capacity utilization rose to 83.9 percent—its highest rate since September 1995. The acceleration in industrial production between July and August was concentrated in manufacturing; much of it was related to the 10 percent jump in the assembly of autos and light trucks, which had dropped 5 percent from June to July. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, manufacturing production rose Industrial production indexes Twelve-month percent change Twelve-month percent change Durable manufacturing Materials 10 Products J 1991 1992 1993 I 1994 L 1995 1996 1991 1997 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Capacity and industrial production Ratio scale, 1992 production = 100 Ratio scale, 1992 production = 100 — Total industry Capacity Production 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 160 140 — 120 - 100 = - Manufacturing — Capacity 1 1 1 — 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Percent of capacity 1 _ 1 1 1 1 1 Manufacturing - Utilization 90 80 Utilization - — J ^ r ^ ^ r 1987 1989 1 1 1991 1 1 1 1993 1 1995 I 1 1997 70 t 1983 i l 1985 I l 1987 All series are seasonally adjusted. Latest series, August. Capacity is an index of potential industrial production. 90 80 70 1 1985 80 Percent of capacity Total industry 1983 140 100 """" Production 1 160 120 80 1 _ 1989 1991 1993 l 1995 l 1997 819 Industrial production and c a p a c i t y utilization, A u g u s t 1 9 9 7 Industrial production, index, 1992=100 Percentage change Category 1997 19971 r July r Aug.p 121.3 1 r r May' June Total 119.5 119.9 120.4 Previous estimate 119.3 119.6 119.8 Major market groups Products, total2 Consumer goods . . . Business equipment Construction supplies Materials 115.9 112.6 136.1 120.6 125.2 116.1 112.5 137.5 120.3 125.9 116.3 112.8 139.0 118.8 127.0 117.2 113.5 141.7 119.2 127.8 -.2 1.1 -1.2 -.2 .6 .9 .6 1.9 .4 .7 Major industry groups Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities 121.0 132.7 108.7 108.1 112.4 121.6 134.1 108.4 107.4 112.1 122.2 134.7 109.0 106.8 112.7 123.4 136.8 109.3 105.8 111.4 .1 .3 .0 1.9 -1.0 .4 1.0 -.3 -.6 -.3 .5 .4 .6 -.5 .5 1.0 1.6 .3 -.9 -1.1 May " June July Aug. 4.7 .4 .4 .4 .4 .2 .2 -.1 .3 1.0 1996 Total 82.1 Low, 1982 71.1 85.3 81.2 80.6 82.3 87.5 87.2 69.0 70.4 66.2 80.3 75.9 85.7 84.2 88.9 86.8 92.6 NOTE. Data seasonally adjusted or calculated from seasonally adjusted monthly data. 1. Change from preceding month. 0.7 percent in August, as it had in July, with large increases in the output of commercial aircraft, computers, semiconductors, and primary metals. Output at mines, however, declined 0.9 percent, and that at utilities fell 1.1 percent. MARKET GROUPS Led by a 2.1 percent advance in the production of durable goods, the overall output of consumer goods grew 0.6 percent in August; the production of nondurable goods advanced 0.3 percent. The gain in consumer durables resulted from the sharp rebound in the output of motor vehicles, which more than offset noticeable declines in the production of appliances and most other consumer durables. Among nondurable consumer goods, the production of nonenergy products increased for the second consecutive month, with advances in food and tobacco products and in chemical and paper products. The output of .1 5.2 5.3 7.4 2.9 1.3 .5 Capacity, percentage change, Aug. 1996 to Aug. 1997 Aug. May' June r July r Aug.? 83.2 83.5 83.5 83.6 83.9 3.9 83.3 83.3 83.1 82.4 80.3 87.1 94.6 88.5 82.5 80.6 86.9 93.9 88.2 82.6 80.7 86.9 93.2 88.5 83.1 81.3 87.3 92.2 87.4 4.2 5.1 2.3 1.0 1.8 Previous estimate Manufacturing Advanced processing Primary processing . Mining Utilities 1997 High, 1988-89 4.4 3.1 11.0 MEMO Capacity utilization, percent Average, 1967-96 Aug. 1996 to Aug. 1997 82.3 80.4 86.5 91.9 88.5 2. Contains components in addition to those shown, r Revised, p Preliminary. consumer energy products was unchanged in August because a large gain in the output of automotive gasoline was nearly offset by a drop in residential electricity sales. The output of business equipment expanded at a 1.9 percent pace, marking a third straight month of sizable gains; this index has increased 11.0 percent since August 1996. While the growth in business equipment was led by solid gains in the output of business vehicles, it was also accompanied by further strong increases in information processing equipment, especially computers and related equipment, and by large gains in commercial aircraft and in farm machinery and equipment. Moreover, after several months of weakness, the production of industrial equipment rebounded with big increases in both July and August. The output of defense and space equipment rose 0.6 percent. After a drop of 1.2 percent in July, the output of construction supplies recovered partially with a 0.4 percent increase; nevertheless, the August index 820 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 for this market group was just 0.1 percent above its August 1996 level. Meanwhile, the production of materials posted another sizable gain, led by a 1.5 percent increase in the output of durable goods materials; strong gains in the production of equipment parts, particularly semiconductors, and parts for consumer durables, especially motor vehicles, supplied much of the boost. Energy materials fell 0.9 percent, with noticeable declines in coal mining and electricity generation. The output of nondurable goods materials decreased 0.3 percent; a large gain in container output was more than offset by drops in the other major categories of materials. INDUSTRY GROUPS Manufacturing output increased 1.0 percent in August after a 0.5 percent increase in July; excluding motor vehicles and parts, production rose 0.7 percent for a second month. The gains in manufacturing output were largely concentrated in durable goods industries, which increased 1.6 percent. In addition to the gain in motor vehicles and parts, there were strong increases in furniture and fixtures, primary metals, fabricated metals, industrial machinery and computers, electrical machinery, aerospace, and instruments. The output of nondurable goods, which had been weak since the beginning of the year, rebounded 0.6 percent in July and gained another 0.3 percent in August. Only two nondurables industries—apparel and paper—had output losses, while tobacco, petroleum, rubber and plastic products, and leather had substantial gains. A large drop in coal mining largely accounted for the decline in mining output, and losses in electricity generation and sales reduced utility output. Led by a 7.3 percentage point increase in the operating rate at auto and light truck factories, the overall factory operating rate increased 0.5 percentage point, to 83.1 percent—its highest level since September 1995. Similarly, the utilization rate for advanced-processing industries increased 0.6 percentage point, to 81.3 percent—also its highest level since September 1995. The rate for primaryprocessing industries increased 0.4 percentage point, to 87.3 percent, about the same as its level in March. The operating rate at mines decreased 1.0 percentage point, to 92.2 percent, while the rate at utilities decreased 1.1 percentage points, to 87.4 percent. • 821 Announcements REGULATION E: AMENDMENTS The Federal Reserve Board on August 13, 1997, adopted amendments to its Regulation E (Electronic Fund Transfers), to carry out statutory amendments to the Electronic Fund Transfer Act. These changes became effective September 15, 1997. The amendments to the regulation exempt certain "needs-tested" electronic benefit transfer (EBT) programs established or administered by state or local government agencies, such as the food stamp program, from requirements of the Electronic Fund Transfer Act. The modified regulatory requirements that the Board established in its 1994 rulemaking would continue to apply to federally administered EBT programs and state and local employmentrelated EBT programs, such as state pension programs. Generally, EBT programs involve the issuance of access cards and personal identification numbers to recipients of government benefits so that they can obtain their benefits through automated teller machines and point-of-sale terminals. MODIFICATIONS OF PRUDENTIAL LIMITS ON UNDERWRITING AND DEALING ACTIVITIES THROUGH SECTION 20 SUBSIDIARIES The Federal Reserve Board on August 22, 1997, announced modifications to the prudential limits or firewalls that currently apply to bank holding companies engaged in securities underwriting and dealing activities through section 20 subsidiaries. The modifications are effective October 31,1997. The Board is eliminating those restrictions that have proved to be unduly burdensome or unnecessary in light of other laws or regulations and is consolidating the remaining restrictions in a series of eight operating standards. The new operating standards will cover the following areas: • Capital requirement for bank holding company and section 20 subsidiaries • Internal controls • Interlocks restriction • Customer disclosure • Credit for clearing purposes • Funding of securities purchases from a section 20 affiliate • Reporting requirement • Application of sections 23A and 23B to foreign banks. The Board has concluded that the narrower set of restrictions will be fully consistent with safety and soundness and should improve operating efficiencies at section 20 subsidiaries and increase options for their customers. EXTENSION OF THE FEDERAL "REGULAR " BILLING DEPOSIT ACH TRANSACTIONS RESERVE'S DEADLINE FOR The Federal Reserve Board on August 29, 1997, announced a five-hour extension of the Federal Reserve Banks' automated clearinghouse (ACH) "regular" billing deposit deadline. ACH operates twenty-four hours a day. Effective October 1, 1997, the "regular" processing window will begin at 3:00 a.m. Eastern Time and close at 1:00 a.m. rather than 8:00 p.m. The fees assessed to Federal Reserve Bank customers during this regular billing period are 0.9 cents per transaction and a file fee of $1.75 for files of up to 2,500 transactions and 0.7 cents per transaction and a file fee of $6.75 for files of more than 2,500 transactions. The new "premium" hours will be between 1:00 a.m. and 3:00 a.m. Eastern Time, and the transaction surcharge assessed during this period will remain 0.5 cents on each ACH item deposited with the Reserve Banks. The change will reduce fees charged to customers originating ACH transactions by approximately $2.1 million annually. This is the fourth time the Federal Reserve has reduced its ACH fees in the past twelve months. These price reductions reflect the efficiencies the Federal Reserve is realizing from its centralized ACH processing environment. 822 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 PROPOSED ACTIONS The Federal Reserve Board on August 1, 1997, requested comment on a proposal to amend its riskbased and tier 1 leverage capital guidelines for state member banks and bank holding companies to address the treatment of servicing assets on both mortgage assets and financial assets other than mortgages (nonmortgages). Comments were requested by October 6, 1997. The Federal Reserve Board on August 5, 1997, requested comment on a proposal to amend its Regulation D (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions) to allow U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks and Edge and agreement corporations to choose whether to aggregate reserves on a nationwide basis in a single account at one Reserve Bank or to continue to have separate accounts on a samestate-same-District basis as they do today. Comments were requested by September 12, 1997. The Federal Reserve Board on August 22, 1997, extended the comment period from September 3, 1997, to October 3, 1997, on its proposal to apply sections 23A and 23B of the Federal Reserve Act to transactions between a member bank and any subsidiary that engages in activities that are impermissible for the bank itself and that the Congress has not previously exempted from coverage by section 23A. The extension is granted to give the public additional time to comment on the proposal. 823 Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Held on My 1-2, 1997 A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee was held in the offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, July 1, 1997, at 2:30 p.m. and continued on Wednesday, July 2, 1997, at 9:00 a.m. Present: Mr. Greenspan, Chairman Mr. McDonough, Vice Chairman Mr. Broaddus Mr. Guynn Mr. Kelley Mr. Moskow Mr. Meyer Mr. Parry Ms. Phillips Ms. Rivlin Messrs. Hoenig, Jordan, Melzer, and Ms. Minehan, Alternate Members of the Federal Open Market Committee Messrs. Boehne, McTeer, and Stern, Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks of Philadelphia, Dallas, and Minneapolis respectively Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Mr. Kohn, Secretary and Economist Bernard, Deputy Secretary Coyne, Assistant Secretary Gillum, Assistant Secretary Mattingly, General Counsel Baxter, Deputy General Counsel Prell, Economist Truman, Economist Messrs. Beebe, Goodfriend, Hunter, Lindsey, Mishkin, Promisel, Siegman, Slifman, and Stockton, Associate Economists Mr. Fisher, Manager, System Open Market Account Mr. Ettin, Deputy Director, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors Messrs. Madigan and Simpson, Associate Directors, Divisions of Monetary Affairs and Research and Statistics respectively, Board of Governors Ms. Johnson, Assistant Director, Division of International Finance, Board of Governors Messrs. Reifschneider 1 and Small, 1 Section Chiefs, Divisions of Research and Statistics and Monetary Affairs respectively, Board of Governors Mr. Sichel, Senior Economist, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors Mr. Elmendorf, 1 and Ms. Garrett, Economists, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors Mr. Lebow, 2 and Ms. Lindner, 2 Economists, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors Ms. Low, Open Market Secretariat Assistant, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors Ms. Holcomb, First Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Ms. Browne, Messrs. Dewald, Hakkio, Kos, Lang, Rolnick, Rosenblum, and Sniderman, Senior Vice Presidents, Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, St. Louis, Kansas City, New York, Philadelphia, Minneapolis, Dallas, and Cleveland respectively Ms. Rosenbaum, Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta By unanimous vote, the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee held on May 20, 1997, were approved. The Manager of the System Open Market Account reported on developments in foreign exchange markets since the meeting on May 20, 1997. There were no System open market transactions in foreign currencies during this period, and thus no vote was required of the Committee. The Manager also reported on developments in domestic financial markets and on System open mar1. Attended portions of meeting relating to the Committee's review of the economic outlook and establishment of its monetary and debt ranges for 1998. 2. Attended portion of meeting relating to price measurement issues for monetary policy. 824 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 ket transactions in government securities and federal agency obligations during the period May 20, 1997, through June 30, 1997. By unanimous vote, the Committee ratified these transactions. The Committee then turned to a discussion of the economic outlook, the ranges for the growth of money and debt in 1997 and 1998, and the implementation of monetary policy over the intermeeting period ahead. A summary of the economic and financial information available at the time of the meeting and of the Committee's discussion is provided below, followed by the domestic policy directive that was approved by the Committee and issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that the economic expansion slowed substantially in the second quarter after having surged in late 1996 and earlier this year. Consumer spending decelerated considerably, but business spending on durable equipment increased substantially further and housing demand appeared to have been well maintained. Employment growth moderated recently, while industrial production continued to rise appreciably. Price inflation remained subdued despite high rates of resource utilization, notably that of labor. Private nonfarm payroll employment rose at a reduced pace in May after having registered sizable advances over the first four months of the year. Job growth remained brisk in the services sector despite a further drop in employment at temporary help agencies that might have reflected constraints on the availability of workers for hire. Although employment in construction recovered in May from the weatherdepressed level in April, the underlying growth in such jobs seemed to have slowed. Employment in manufacturing changed little over April and May after having increased moderately in the first quarter. The average workweek for production or nonsupervisory workers was unchanged in May but was slightly below the average for the first quarter. The civilian unemployment rate fell slightly further to 4.8 percent in May. Industrial production continued to grow briskly in May. Manufacturing output recorded a substantial gain and mining production rose considerably; however, cooler-than-average weather led to a drop in utility output. Much of the rise in manufacturing reflected a rebound in the production of motor vehicles and parts from strike-depressed levels in April and strength in the output of business equipment, construction supplies, and materials. With output generally keeping pace with the rapid expansion of factory capacity, the rate of utilization of manufacturing capacity remained at a relatively high level. Personal consumption expenditures, in real terms, rose substantially in May after having changed little on balance over the preceding three months. Spending on services remained on a solid uptrend in May, while aggregate purchases of goods turned up after three months of lackluster spending on nondurable goods and motor vehicles. The unusual weather patterns of late winter and early spring apparently had a depressing effect on consumer expenditures, especially for seasonal items; however, the combination of strong job gains, buoyant sentiment, and increased household net worth pointed to a possible resumption of more robust spending by consumers. Housing activity appeared to have been generally well maintained in recent months. Although housing starts were down somewhat in May from the relatively elevated average rate for the first four months of the year, this slowing might have been, at least in part, the result of unusually mild winter weather that enabled an early start on spring building activity. The latest information on home sales suggested continued firm demand for single-family housing: Sales of existing homes rose in May and were among the highest monthly totals on record, and sales of new homes in April (latest data available) were down only a little from the brisk pace of earlier months in the year. Available information suggested further sizable gains in business fixed investment. Shipments of nondefense capital goods edged higher in May after having posted large increases in earlier months of the year. Shipments of computers had been particularly strong this year in conjunction with rapidly falling prices, but shipments of other categories of capital goods also had been robust on balance. Recent data on orders pointed to further brisk growth in coming months. Nonresidential construction activity appeared to have eased recently, with constructionput-in-place slipping in March and April from the elevated pace of the first two months of the year. However, other information suggested that the downturn might be shortlived: Vacancy rates for office space had been declining, prices for commercial real estate had been edging up, and recent data on contracts suggested that building activity would improve in coming months. Business inventory investment picked up sharply in April from the slow pace in March but, overall, stocks remained at a low level in relation to sales. In manufacturing, much of the increase in stocks occurred in capital goods industries in which production was expanding briskly. In the wholesale sector, a substantial decline in stocks in April more than offset a sizable increase in March, and the aggregate stock- Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee sales ratio for the sector fell further over the MarchApril period. Retail inventories rose considerably in April, with notable increases in stocks of apparel and general merchandise. In a departure from the general downtrend of recent months, inventory-sales ratios for most types of retail establishments were up appreciably in April. The nominal deficit on U.S. trade in goods and services narrowed somewhat in April from a downward-revised average rate in the first quarter. The value of exports in April rose substantially from the first-quarter level, led by increases in exports of machinery and aircraft. The value of imports also rose but less than that of exports; imports were up in most trade categories except petroleum products. Recent information suggested that, on average, economic activity in the major foreign industrial countries continued to grow at a moderate rate in the second quarter. Growth remained robust in Canada and the United Kingdom and was improving in Germany, France, and Italy. Economic activity appeared to have flattened temporarily in Japan after an increase in the consumption tax in April. Price inflation remained subdued. For a third straight month, consumer prices recorded only a slight increase in May. Favorable developments in food and energy continued to hold down the overall rise and accounted for a much smaller advance in the index of prices of all consumer items over the twelve months ended in May than over the previous twelve months. The decline in core CPI inflation over the same time period was much less, though this measure of inflation also remained relatively restrained. At the producer level, prices of finished goods other than food and energy fell further in May and were little changed over the year ended that month. At earlier stages of processing, producer prices for intermediate materials other than food and energy changed little over the year ended in May, and producer prices at the crude level advanced only slightly. The tight conditions prevailing in labor markets were associated with a somewhat larger increase in average hourly earnings in the twelve months ended in May than in the year-earlier period. At its meeting on May 20, 1997, the Committee adopted a directive that called for maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions. Because the members saw the potential need for some tightening in monetary policy to counter rising inflationary pressures, perhaps in the relatively near term, the directive included a bias toward the possible firming of reserve conditions during the intermeeting period. The reserve conditions associated with this directive were expected to be consistent 825 with moderate growth of M2 and M3 over coming months. Open market operations were directed throughout the intermeeting period toward maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions, and the federal funds rate averaged close to the intended level of 5'/2 percent. Most other market interest rates declined somewhat on balance during the period. Market participants apparently concluded that the likelihood of further policy tightening had decreased substantially in light of incoming data that suggested slowing growth of final demand and continued subdued inflation. Share prices in equity markets rose considerably further. In foreign exchange markets, the trade-weighted value of the dollar in terms of the other G-10 currencies was up on balance over the intermeeting period; the advance occurred despite a smaller decline on average in long-term interest rates abroad than in the United States. The dollar rose appreciably against the German mark and most other continental European currencies amid growing market concerns that there would be broad participation in the European Monetary Union despite the fact that the major European countries would not be able to comply strictly with the Maastricht fiscal standards and related expectations that the euro would be a weak currency. In contrast, the dollar fell against the Japanese yen and the British pound; the yen moved up as markets focused more closely on recent and prospective increases in Japan's current account surplus, and the pound strengthened in anticipation of further policy tightening by the Bank of England. Expansion of M2 and M3 slowed sharply in May in association with a swing in household balances related to large tax payments; growth of M2 rebounded in June, but M3 accelerated less. For the year through June, M2 increased at a rate near the upper bound of its range for the year. Rapid growth of M3 over the first half of the year, partly in conjunction with robust expansion of bank credit, placed growth of this aggregate somewhat above the upper bound of its range. The rate of increase in total domestic nonfinancial debt had been a little higher in recent months; for the year to date, this aggregate had grown at a rate near the middle of its range. The staff forecast prepared for this meeting suggested that the economy would expand at a pace somewhat above that of its estimated potential in the second half of the year but would slow to a rate of increase more in line with that of potential in 1998. Growth of consumer spending, supported by high levels of household wealth and further projected gains in employment and income, was expected to be 826 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 relatively brisk for some time. Business spending on equipment and structures was anticipated to continue outpacing the overall expansion of the economy, though the differential would tend to narrow in association with the gradual diminution of increases in sales and profits that was expected to occur in the context of moderating economic growth. Housing construction was projected to drift lower over the forecast period. The staff anticipated that fiscal policy and the external sector would exert mild restraint on the expansion of economic activity. With labor compensation gradually accelerating in the context of high resource utilization, core consumer price inflation was forecast to drift slightly higher. In the Committee's discussion of current and prospective economic developments, members commented on the continuing exceptional performance of the economy, including widespread indications of strength in business activity and subdued inflation. After a surge in late 1996 and earlier this year, the rate of expansion had moderated considerably in recent months, and the members generally expected economic activity to settle into a pattern of growth over the next six quarters that would approximate the economy's estimated output potential. A major factor in that outlook was their expectation of some deceleration in demands for consumer durables and business plant and equipment in light of the substantial buildup of such assets that already had taken place in recent years. However, given the underlying strength of the expansion, favorable financial conditions, and the absence of major imbalances in the economy, the risks of a different outcome were judged to be in the direction of somewhat faster growth than currently projected. The outlook for inflation was subject to particular uncertainty. Despite an economy that had been operating for a considerable period at rates of resource utilization that were very close to, and by some estimates somewhat above, sustainable levels, inflation had remained relatively low and indeed had declined on the basis of some broad measures of prices. Such an outcome was very much welcome, but the reasons for it were not completely understood and appeared to include some factors that might exert only temporary restraint on price increases. Consequently, continuing pressures on resources associated with economic growth in line with the members' current forecasts could well be reflected in rising inflation over time. In keeping with the practice at meetings when the Committee sets its long-run ranges for the money and debt aggregates, the members of the Committee and the Federal Reserve Bank presidents not currently serving as members provided individual projections of the growth in real and nominal GDP, the rate of unemployment, and the rate of inflation for the years 1997 and 1998. The forecasts of the rate of expansion in real GDP for 1997 as a whole had a central tendency of 3 to 3XA percent and for 1998 were centered on a range of 2 to 2 Vz percent. With regard to the growth of nominal GDP, most of the forecasts were in ranges of 5 to 5Vi percent for 1997 and 4'/2 to 5 percent for 1998. The civilian rate of unemployment associated with these forecasts had a central tendency of 43A to 5 percent in the fourth quarters of both years. Projections of the rate of inflation, as measured by the consumer price index, pointed to a sizable moderation this year from the rate in 1996 and a partially offsetting rise in 1998, with prices of food and energy accounting for much of the swing. Specifically, the projections converged on CPI inflation rates of 2XU to 1xh percent in 1997 and 2Vi to 3 percent in 1998. In their review of the outlook for economic activity in major sectors of the economy, members referred to the generally sluggish pace of retail sales in recent months. It was noted, however, that the slowdown was perhaps in part an adjustment to very strong growth of sales in previous months, and some members commented on anecdotal indications of some pickup in recent weeks. More importantly, underlying trends and fundamentals pointed to prospective growth in consumer expenditures at a pace that was likely to continue to provide key support for further moderate expansion in overall economic activity. In particular, jobs and incomes had continued to post sizable gains; further large increases in stock market prices had raised wealth-to-income ratios sharply; and consumer optimism had risen to new highs. On the other hand, the accumulation of consumer durables that had occurred over the course of the current cyclical advance was likely to exert a retarding influence on the rise in consumer spending. Other somewhat restraining factors included the prospect of some softening in housing demand and related purchases of household goods and the already heavy debt repayment burdens of many consumers. Some members also noted that a possible correction from the currently elevated levels of stock market prices could have adverse effects on consumer sentiment and purchasing power. On balance, growth in personal consumer expenditures was seen as likely to approximate the moderate rate of increase projected in overall domestic demand. The members viewed the prospects for further growth in business fixed investment as another important supportive factor in the outlook for sustained economic expansion. Current indicators Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee pointed to the continuation of very rapid growth in such spending over the near term, but some moderation was likely over the course of coming quarters in conjunction with the projected slowing in the increase of overall demand and the very large buildup in the stock of capital that already had occurred in recent years. Even so, investment spending was likely to be relatively robust over the projection horizon in the context of continuing incentives to hold down production costs in highly competitive markets and to take advantage of falling prices and wider applications for certain types of new equipment, notably computer-related equipment. The ready availability of both debt and equity finance on favorable terms, an upbeat outlook for sales in many industries, and generally high profit levels were other positive factors. The outlook for nonresidential construction activity also seemed to be relatively favorable. Members referred to declining vacancy rates and rising rents for commercial structures in many parts of the country and noted that construction contracts for new office buildings and hotels recently had turned up on a nationwide basis after a pause earlier this year. In sum, the growth in business fixed investment seemed likely to continue to outpace that of overall demand in coming quarters. Some restraint on aggregate demand would come from other sectors of the economy—notably government spending, net exports, housing, and perhaps business inventories. None of these factors seemed likely to exert a substantially negative effect, but in total they were expected to help keep the pace of the expansion close to the estimated rate of increase in the economy's potential over coming quarters. During the course of the Committee's discussion, many of the members commented on the persistence of an impressively benign inflation performance despite widespread indications of very high, and by some measures increasing, levels of capacity use. Indeed, most broad measures of prices pointed to subdued or even declining inflation, and it was difficult to find evidence of rising inflation pressures in "pipeline" price data or the wage structure. The members anticipated that inflation as measured by the consumer price index would decrease appreciably over 1997 as a result of favorable developments in the food and especially the energy sectors of the economy and declining import prices associated with the previous appreciation of the dollar. These positive influences would wane over time, however, and consumer prices were likely to rise at a somewhat faster pace in 1998. The members agreed that the risks to their price forecasts were in the direction of higher inflation, 827 given already high levels of capacity use and their expectations of appreciable further economic growth. Nonetheless, the relatively low inflation experienced despite a lengthy period of fully employed resources suggested that the timing of a potential upturn in inflation—indeed whether inflation would in fact pick up—could not be predicted with any degree of confidence on the basis of past historical patterns. The reasons for the persistence of a relatively benign inflation performance in the current expansion were not fully understood. They included some temporary factors such as the effect of the rise in the dollar on import prices and the restraint on health care costs. More fundamentally, they presumably also involved the favorable effects on production costs of widespread business restructurings and the large volume of investment in more productive technology in recent years, the impact of both factors on the job security concerns of workers and their willingness to accept reduced increases in compensation, and the effects of an intense degree of competition among domestic and foreign producers in U.S. markets. With regard to the possibility that more robust productivity increases would be holding down production costs, it was noted that a surge in economic activity, such as had occurred in late 1996 and early 1997, tended to be accompanied by above-trend gains in productivity. A slower pace of economic growth in the second quarter and beyond might provide an opportunity to assess whether productivity increases were on a clear uptrend and could help to explain the favorable behavior of prices over an extended period. In any event, it was too early to reach any firm conclusion on this issue or the broader question of whether or when a rise in inflation might materialize under anticipated economic conditions. The members also discussed a staff study of the relative performance of various price indexes as measures of inflation. Members noted that most broad measures of inflation moved together over extended periods of time, but they did not always do so over short intervals. Differences in construction, coverage, and other factors meant that none of the individual measures was clearly superior in assessing general inflation trends, and several members commented that all measures needed to be monitored. In keeping with the requirements of the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 (the Humphrey-Hawkins Act), the Committee at this meeting reviewed the ranges for growth of the monetary and debt aggregates that it had established in February for 1997, and it decided on tentative ranges for those aggregates for 1998. The current ranges set in February for the period from the fourth quarter of 828 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 1996 to the fourth quarter of 1997 were unchanged from the ranges for 1996 and included expansion of 1 to 5 percent for M2 and 2 to 6 percent for M3. An unchanged range of 3 to 7 percent also was set in January for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt in 1997. All the members favored retaining the current ranges for this year and extending them on a provisional basis to 1998. They anticipated that growth of M2 probably would continue at rates in the upper part of its current range in both years and that of M3 at rates approximating or even slightly above the upper bound of its range, given the Committee's expectations for the performance of the economy and prices. The current ranges were not expected to be guides to money growth under anticipated conditions in the period ahead, but instead could be viewed as anchors or benchmarks for money growth that would be associated with approximate price stability and sustained economic growth, assuming behavior of velocity in line with historical experience. Accordingly, a reaffirmation of those ranges would underscore the Committee's commitment to a policy of achieving price stability over time, and in the view of at least some members, higher ranges could raise questions in this regard. Over the past few years, in contrast to earlier in the 1990s, the behavior of the broad aggregates, especially that of M2, in relation to nominal GDP and short-term interest rates had displayed a pattern that was in line with historical norms before the 1990s. The members viewed this as an encouraging development in that it raised the possibility of giving more weight at some point to the performance of these aggregates as useful indicators in formulating monetary policy. However, the period of more predictable M2 and M3 behavior was still relatively brief, and such behavior had occurred at a time of generally settled conditions in financial markets and the overall economy. The prospective performance of these aggregates in periods of rapid changes in financial and economic conditions was still an open question, and in light of the uncertainties that were involved the members concluded that it would be premature to place increased reliance on them in the conduct of policy. Accordingly, the Committee decided that despite projected growth of M2 and M3 at rates in the vicinity of the upper limits of the current ranges, prevailing uncertainties made it desirable to retain those ranges as benchmarks for the achievement of price stability rather than to establish higher ranges that seemed more likely to capture expected outcomes. In the circumstances, any tendency for growth of the monetary aggregates to move outside the Com- mittee's ranges would not in itself call for a policy adjustment but would continue to be interpreted in the context of a broad range of business and financial developments bearing on the prospective performance of the overall economy. The Committee members were unanimously in favor of retaining the current range of 3 to 7 percent for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt in 1997 and extending that range on a provisional basis to 1998. They took account of a staff projection indicating that growth of the debt aggregate was likely to slow somewhat from its pace in 1995 and 1996, reflecting a small reduction in the expansion of federal government debt. According to the staff projection, growth in the debt measure would be near the midpoint of the existing range over the period through 1998. At the conclusion of this discussion, the Committee voted to reaffirm the ranges for growth of M2, M3, and total domestic nonfinancial debt that it had established in February for 1997. For the year 1998, the Committee approved provisional ranges for the three aggregates that were unchanged from the 1997 ranges. In keeping with its usual procedure under the Humphrey-Hawkins Act, the Committee would review its preliminary ranges for 1998 early next year, or sooner if interim conditions warranted, in light of their growth and velocity behavior and ongoing economic and financial developments. Accordingly, the Committee voted to incorporate the following statement regarding the 1997 and 1998 ranges in its domestic policy directive: The Federal Open Market Committee seeks monetary and financial conditions that will foster price stability and promote sustainable growth in output. In furtherance of these objectives, the Committee reaffirmed at this meeting the ranges it had established in February for growth of M2 and M3 of 1 to 5 percent and 2 to 6 percent respectively, measured from the fourth quarter of 1996 to the fourth quarter of 1997. The range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt was maintained at 3 to 7 percent for the year. For 1998, the Committee agreed on tentative ranges for monetary growth, measured from the fourth quarter of 1997 to the fourth quarter of 1998, of 1 to 5 percent for M2 and 2 to 6 percent for M3. The Committee provisionally set the associated range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt at 3 to 7 percent for 1998. The behavior of the monetary aggregates will continue to be evaluated in the light of progress toward price level stability, movements in their velocities, and developments in the economy and financial markets. Votes for this action: Messrs. Greenspan, McDonough, Broaddus, Guynn, Kelley, Meyer, Moskow, Parry, Mses. Phillips and Rivlin. Votes against this action: None. Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee In the Committee's discussion of policy for the intermeeting period ahead, all the members favored or could support a proposal to maintain an unchanged policy stance, and they strongly supported the retention of a bias toward restraint. An unchanged policy seemed appropriate with inflation still quiescent and business activity projected to settle into a pattern of moderate growth broadly consistent with the economy's long-run output potential. While the members assessed risks surrounding such a forecast as decidedly tilted to the upside, the slowing of the expansion should keep resource utilization from rising substantially further, and this outlook together with the absence of significant early signs of rising inflationary pressures suggested the desirability of a cautious "wait and see" policy stance at this point. In the current uncertain environment, this would afford the Committee an opportunity to gauge the momentum of the expansion and the related degree of pressure on resources and prices. The risks of waiting appeared to be limited, given that the evidence at hand did not point to a step-up in inflation despite low unemployment and that the current stance of monetary policy did not seem to be overly accommodative, at least on the basis of some measures such as the level of real short-term interest rates. In these circumstances, any tendency for price pressures to mount was likely to emerge only gradually and to be reversible through a relatively limited policy adjustment. Some members commented, however, that in the absence of unanticipated weakness in the economy, some tightening of policy was likely to be needed in the relatively near future, and one expressed the view that a tightening action at this meeting seemed desirable to forestall or limit the risks of intensifying inflationary pressures. However, waiting was an acceptable alternative given the favorable economic news and the persisting uncertainties surrounding the relationship of output to prices. In their discussion of possible adjustments to policy during the intermeeting period, all the members indicated that they wanted to retain the existing asymmetry toward restraint adopted at the May meeting. An asymmetric directive was consistent with their view that the risks clearly were in the direction of excessive demand pressures in the economy and an associated upward trend in inflation. Such a bias in the directive also would serve the purpose of signaling the Committee's ongoing commitment to curb inflation in the interest of fostering maximum sustainable economic growth and employment. The members agreed that the current environment called for careful monitoring of developments and for prompt action by the Committee if needed to counter rising 829 inflation. Indeed, in the interest of fostering a continuation of sustainable growth of the economy, it would be desirable to tighten on the basis of early signs of potentially intensifying inflation and before higher inflation actually materialized. At the conclusion of the Committee's discussion, all the members indicated that they could support a directive that called for maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions and that retained a bias toward the possible firming of reserve conditions during the intermeeting period. Accordingly, in the context of the Committee's long-run objectives for price stability and sustainable economic growth, and giving careful consideration to economic, financial, and monetary developments, the Committee decided that somewhat greater reserve restraint would be acceptable and slightly lesser reserve restraint might be acceptable during the intermeeting period. The reserve conditions contemplated at this meeting were expected to be consistent with moderate expansion in M2 and M3 over coming months. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York was authorized and directed, until instructed otherwise by the Committee, to execute transactions in the System Account in accordance with the following domestic policy directive: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that the economic expansion slowed substantially in the second quarter after surging in late 1996 and earlier this year. Private nonfarm payroll employment increased at a reduced pace in May, but the civilian unemployment rate fell slightly further to 4.8 percent. Industrial production registered another sizable gain in May. Personal consumption expenditures, in real terms, rose substantially in May after having changed little over the preceding three months. Housing activity appears to have been well maintained in recent months. Available indicators point to further sizable gains in business fixed investment. The nominal deficit on U.S. trade in goods and services narrowed somewhat in April from its downward-revised average rate in the first quarter. Price inflation has remained subdued. Market interest rates generally have declined somewhat since the day before the Committee meeting on May 20, 1997; share prices in equity markets have risen considerably further. In foreign exchange markets, the tradeweighted value of the dollar in terms of the other G-10 currencies was up slightly on balance over the intermeeting period. Growth of M2 and M3 fluctuated sharply from April to May in association with a swing in household balances related to large tax payments; on balance, both aggregates expanded at a moderate pace over the two months, and available data pointed to further moderate growth in June. For the year through June, M2 expanded at a rate near the upper bound of its range for the year and M3 at a rate somewhat above the upper bound of its range. Total domes- 830 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 tic nonfinancial debt has continued to expand in recent months and is near the middle of its range. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks monetary and financial conditions that will foster price stability and promote sustainable growth in output. In furtherance of these objectives, the Committee reaffirmed at this meeting the ranges it had established in February for growth of M2 and M3 of 1 to 5 percent and 2 to 6 percent respectively, measured from the fourth quarter of 1996 to the fourth quarter of 1997. The range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt was maintained at 3 to 7 percent for the year. For 1998, the Committee agreed on tentative ranges for monetary growth, measured from the fourth quarter of 1997 to the fourth quarter of 1998, of 1 to 5 percent for M2 and 2 to 6 percent for M3. The Committee provisionally set the associated range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt at 3 to 7 percent for 1998. The behavior of the monetary aggregates will continue to be evaluated in the light of progress toward price level stability, movements in their velocities, and developments in the economy and financial markets. In the implementation of policy for the immediate future, the Committee seeks to maintain the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions. In the context of the Committee's long-run objectives for price stability and sustainable economic growth, and giving careful consideration to economic, financial, and monetary developments, somewhat greater reserve restraint would or slightly lesser reserve restraint might be acceptable in the intermeeting period. The contemplated reserve conditions are expected to be consistent with moderate growth in M2 and M3 over coming months. Votes for this action: Messrs. Greenspan, McDonough, Broaddus, Guynn, Kelley, Meyer, Moskow, Parry, Mses. Phillips and Rivlin. Votes against this action: None. It was agreed that the next meeting of the Committee would be held on Tuesday, August 19, 1997. The meeting adjourned at 11:55 a.m. on July 2. Donald L. Kohn Secretary 831 Legal Developments FINAL RULE—AMENDMENT TO REGULATION E The Board of Governors is amending 12 C.F.R. Part 205, its Regulation E (Electronic Fund Transfers). The revisions implement an amendment to the Electronic Fund Transfer Act ("EFTA"), contained in the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996, that exempts certain electronic benefit transfer ( " E B T " ) programs from the EFTA. Generally, EBT programs involve the issuance of access cards and personal identification numbers to recipients of government benefits so that they can obtain their benefits through automated teller machines and point-of-sale terminals. The Board's amendments to Regulation E exempt needs-tested EBT programs that are established or administered by state or local government agencies. Federally administered EBT programs and state and local employment-related EBT programs (such as state pension programs) remain covered by Regulation E subject to modified requirements. Effective September 15, 1997, 12 C.F.R. Part 205 is amended as follows: Part 205—Electronic tion E) Fund Transfers point-of-sale terminals, but does not include an account for distributing needs-tested benefits in a program established under state or local law or administered by a state or local agency. FINAL RULE—AMENDMENT DELEGATION OF TO RULES REGARDING AUTHORITY The Board of Governors is amending 12 C.F.R. Part 265, its Rules Regarding Delegation of Authority, to remove the delegation to the Board's General Counsel to approve provisions of Federal Reserve Bank operating circulars related to uniform services. Under a newly amended supervisory letter, other Board officials will review uniform Reserve Bank operating circulars, in consultation with the General Counsel. Effective August 21, 1997, 12 C.F.R. Part 265 is amended as follows: Part 265—Rules Regarding Delegation of Authority (Regula- 1. The authority citation for Part 205 is revised to read as follows: 1. The authority citation for Part 265 continues to read as follows: Authority. 12 U.S.C. 248(i) and (k). Section 265.6[Amended] Authority. 15 U.S.C. 1693-1693r. 2. Section 205.15 is amended by revising paragraph (a) to read as follows: 2. In section 265.6, paragraph (a)(5) is removed. Section 205.15—Electronic fund transfer of government benefits. ORDERS ISSUED UNDER BANK HOLDING (a) Government agency subject to regulation. (1) A government agency is deemed to be a financial institution for purposes of the act and this part if directly or indirectly it issues an access device to a consumer for use in initiating an electronic fund transfer of government benefits from an account, other than needs-tested benefits in a program established under state or local law or administered by a state or local agency. The agency shall comply with all applicable requirements of the act and this part, except as provided in this section. (2) For purposes of this section, the term account means an account established by a government agency for distributing government benefits to a consumer electronically, such as through automated teller machines or COMPANY ACT Orders Issued Under Section 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act Northwest Bancorp, MHC Warren, Pennsylvania Northwest Bancorp, Inc. Warren, Pennsylvania Order Approving Formation of a Bank Holding and Acquisitions by Bank Holding Companies Company Northwest Bancorp, MHC ("MHC"), Warren, Pennsylvania, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act") and organized 832 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 in mutual form, has requested the Board's approval under section 3 of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to reorganize its corporate structure by forming Northwest Bancorp, Inc. ("Bancorp"), as a majority owned subsidiary stock bank holding company that would own all the voting shares of MHC's subsidiary bank, Northwest Savings Bank ("Bank"), all of Warren, Pennsylvania. Bancorp also has requested the Board's approval to become a bank holding company under section 3 of the BHC Act. Notice of this proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (62 Federal Register 3513 (1997)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the proposal and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3 of the BHC Act. Bank is the 19th largest depository institution in Pennsylvania, controlling approximately $1.5 billion in deposits, representing less than 1 percent of all deposits in depository institutions in the state.1 Based on all the facts of record, including the fact that the transaction represents a corporate reorganization to form a second-tier bank holding company, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on competition or on the concentration of banking resources in any relevant banking market, and that competitive considerations are consistent with approval. In every application under section 3 of the BHC Act, the Board is required to consider the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of the companies and banks concerned, and the convenience and needs of the communities to be served. MHC owns approximately 69 percent of the voting shares of Bank. The remaining 31 percent of Bank's shares are owned by members of the public, including minority shareholders who serve as senior management of Bank and members of MHC's board of trustees. Shareholders of Bank would exchange their stock for voting shares of Bancorp, and would own the same percentage of shares of Bancorp as they currently own of Bank. 2 When the Board approved the formation of MHC in 1994, the Board noted that, because MHC did not own all the voting shares of Bank, equity could be transferred from the mutual owners of the holding company to the minority shareholders of Bank at the expense of the mutual owners if MHC were the only shareholder to waive dividends from Bank. 3 The Board concluded that such a result could 1. All banking data are as of September 30, 1996. In this context, depository institutions include commercial banks, savings banks, and savings and loan associations. 2. Bancorp would be formed through a series of transactions that would occur simultaneously. Bancorp would initially be formed as a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank. Bancorp would then charter an interim savings bank as a wholly owned subsidiary. Bank would merge with the interim savings bank and, as the surviving institution, become a wholly owned subsidiary of Bancorp. The shareholders of Bank would then exchange their Bank stock for Bancorp stock on a one-for-one basis and Bancorp would own all the voting stock of Bank. 3. See Northwest Bancorp, MHC, 80 Federal Reserve Bulletin 1131 (1994) ("Northwest Order"). present adverse considerations under the financial and managerial resources and future prospects and convenience and needs factors required to be reviewed under the BHC Act. 4 After carefully reviewing all the facts of record, including MHC's commitments requiring Bank to retain any dividends waived, and the fulfillment of the conditions imposed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC") and the Pennsylvania Department of Banking, the Board concluded that these factors were consistent with approving the formation of MHC. 5 The formation of Bancorp as a subsidiary stock company between MHC and Bank potentially raises the same adverse considerations discussed in the Northwest Order. Bancorp, for example, as a company controlled by MHC, could pay a dividend to insider minority shareholders, notwithstanding MHC's dividend waiver commitment, by issuing special classes of stock with dividend rights to the minority shareholders. In addition, insider minority shareholders could increase the value of their shares at no cost through the repurchase of MHC stock by Bancorp, or by repurchases of insider minority shareholdings at above market prices. The Board is also concerned that the preference to purchase new shares of Bank or shares of MHC that was provided to Bank's depositors by the Northwest Order could be circumvented through the sale of new shares of Bancorp. 6 To address these concerns, MHC and Bancorp have made a number of commitments set forth in the Appendix. In particular, MHC or its subsidiaries will not issue any securities that would give the holder a right to acquire equity securities or convey an interest in the retained earnings of the issuer to a person other than MHC without the Board's approval. Bancorp also will seek the Board's approval before repurchasing any equity securities from MHC, will repurchase equity securities from shareholders other than MHC only at the current market price, and will 4. The Board noted that a waiver of dividends by MHC could reduce or impair its ability to serve as a source of strength for Bank. The Board also concluded that a decision by MHC's board of trustees to execute such a waiver, without a corresponding waiver by the minority shareholders, raised a potential conflict of interest because, as minority shareholders, board members had a financial interest in the waiver. The potential conflict was of particular concern in a company that was organized in mutual form because, unlike a stock company whose management may be replaced by its shareholders, state law did not provide a mechanism for management of a mutual holding company to be changed by its mutual owners. See Northwest Order at 1132-33. 5. The commitments and conditions discussed in the Northwest Order are specifically incorporated by reference as commitments and conditions in connection with the Board's action on this proposal. 6. The Office of Thrift Supervision's ("OTS") regulations require that if a stock thrift subsidiary of a mutual holding company issues stock, the thrift must first offer the stock to its depositors before oifering shares to the public, including stock issuances to fund an acquisition. FDIC regulations require the FDIC to take into account the extent to which a proposal to convert a state chartered savings bank to stock form complies with the OTS regulations, including stock issuances and depositor preference rules. MHC has agreed to commitments that are consistent with the OTS's depositor preference rules and the commitments in the Northwest Order. Legal Developments maintain detailed records of all stock repurchases. Finally, Bank's depositors will be accorded the same preference to purchase shares that is provided by the Northwest Order for any sale, transfer or issuance of shares of Bank or Bancorp to any person other than MHC. The Board believes that these commitments permit the Board to monitor and address the issues raised when a mutual holding company owns less than all the voting shares of a savings bank through a subsidiary stock holding company. In this light, and based on all the facts of record, including consultations with federal and state banking supervisory agencies, the Board concludes the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of MHC, Bancorp, and Bank are consistent with approval, as are the convenience and needs and other supervisory factors that the Board must consider under section 3 of the BHC Act. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the applications should be, and hereby are, approved. The Board's approval of the proposal is expressly conditioned on compliance with all the commitments made by the applicants in connection with the applications, including the commitments and conditions discussed in the order, and is conditioned on receipt by the applicants of all necessary approvals from all relevant regulators, and compliance with the requirements imposed by those regulators. For purposes of this action, the commitments and conditions relied on by the Board in reaching this decision are deemed to be conditions imposed in writing and, as such, may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. This proposal shall not be consummated before the fifteenth calendar day after the effective date of this order or later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 18, 1997. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Phillips, and Meyer. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board APPENDIX (1) MHC will not sell, transfer, or otherwise dispose of any of its shares in Bancorp, or Bank to any person (including an Employee Stock Ownership Plan) and Bancorp will not sell, transfer, or otherwise dispose of any of its shares of Bank without the prior approval of the Board. Bancorp, Bank, or any other direct or indirect subsidiary of MHC will not issue equity securities or any securities that would accord the holder the right to acquire equity securities or that would bestow upon the holder an interest in the retained earnings of the issuer to persons other than MHC, 833 unless MHC and Bancorp seek prior approval of the Board and the Board approves the issuance; (2) In any conversion of MHC from mutual to stock form, the holding company will file an application for approval of the conversion with the Board and will comply with the rules and regulations of the Office of Thrift Supervision ("OTS") as if Bank were a savings association and MHC and Bancorp were savings and loan holding companies, respectively, except that such rules shall be administered by the Board; (3) In connection with commitments 1 and 2, MHC and Bancorp agree with the following: A. In any sale, transfer or issuance of shares of Bank or Bancorp to any person other than MHC, the depositors of Bank will be accorded the same stock purchase priorities given to depositors of a mutual savings association in connection with such association converting to stock form, unless such condition is waived by the Board. In making such sale, or transferring or issuing such shares, MHC and Bancorp and their management will comply with any fiduciary duty they owe. B. The Board will take into account the extent to which the proposed transactions conform with the provisions and purpose of the regulations of the OTS (12C.F.R. Parts 563b and 575) and the FDIC (12 C.F.R. 303.15 and 333.4), as currently in effect at the time the Board reviews the required materials related to the proposed transactions. Any nonconformity with those provisions will be closely scrutinized. Conformity with the OTS and FDIC requirements, however, will not be sufficient for Board regulatory purposes if the Board determines that the proposed transaction would pose a risk to the institution's safety and soundness, violate any law or regulations, or present a breach of fiduciary duty. (4) Bancorp commits to seek the Board's prior approval before repurchasing any equity securities from MHC. Bancorp commits that any repurchases of equity securities from shareholders other than MHC shall be at the current market price for such share repurchase. Bancorp shall maintain detailed records of all stock repurchases for review by the Board; (5) MHC and Bancorp commit not to incur debt without receiving prior approval from the Board; and (6) MHC and Bancorp commit not to pledge the stock of Bancorp in support of any borrowing without receiving prior approval from the Board. Santa Barbara Bancorp Santa Barbara, California Order Approving the Acquisition of a Bank, the Merger of Banks, and Establishment of Branches Santa Barbara Bancorp, Santa Barbara ("Bancorp"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has requested the Board's approval under section 3 of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to acquire Citizens State Bank of Santa Paula, Santa Paula ("Citizens Bank"), both in California. 834 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Bancorp's subsidiary bank, Santa Barbara Bank and Trust, Santa Barbara, California ("SB Bank"), also has requested the Board's approval under section 18(c) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (12 U.S.C. § 1828(c)) (the "Bank Merger Act") to merge with Citizens Bank, and under section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 321) (the "FRA") to establish branches at the existing offices of Citizens Bank set forth in the Appendix. Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (62 Federal Register 35,397 (1997)). As required by the Bank Merger Act, reports on the competitive effects of the merger were requested from the United States Attorney General ("Department of Justice"). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the proposal and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the BHC Act, the Bank Merger Act, and the FRA. Bancorp is the 35th largest depository institution in California, controlling deposits of approximately $1 billion, representing less than 1 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state. 1 Citizens Bank is the 252nd largest depository institution in California, controlling approximately $68 million in deposits, representing less than 1 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state. On consummation of the proposal, Bancorp would remain the 35th largest depository institution and continue to control less than 1 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state. SB Bank and Citizens Bank compete directly in the Oxnard-Ventura, California, banking market. 2 SB Bank is the eighth largest depository institution in the banking market, controlling deposits of approximately $68 million, representing 2.4 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the market ("market deposits"). Citizens Bank is the ninth largest depository institution in the Oxnard-Ventura market, controlling deposits of approximately $67.6 million, representing 2.4 percent of market deposits. On consummation of the proposal, SB Bank would become the fifth largest depository institution in the market, controlling deposits of approximately $135.6 million, representing approximately 5 percent of market deposits. Twenty-one competitors would remain in the Oxnard-Ventura banking market. 1. In this context, depository institutions include commercial banks, savings banks, and savings associations. State deposit, market share, and rank data are as of lune 30, 1996, and incorporate structural changes through May 1997. Market share data are based on a calculation in which the deposits of thrift institutions are included at 50 percent. The Board previously has indicated that thrift institutions have become, or have the potential to become, significant competitors of commercial banks. See WM Bancorp, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 788 (1990); National City Corporation, 70 Federal Reserve Bulletin 743 (1984). Thus, the Board has regularly included thrift deposits in the calculation of market share on a 50-percent weighted basis. See, e.g., First Hawaiian Inc., 11 Federal Reserve Bulletin 52 (1991). 2. The Oxnard-Ventura banking market is approximated by the Oxnard-Ventura RMA and the towns of Fillmore, Ojai, Piru, Port Hueneme and Santa Paula, all in California. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") for the banking market would increase by 12 points to 1469. 3 The increase in market concentration as measured by the HHI would be well within the Department of Justice Merger Guidelines. The Department of Justice has advised the Board that consummation of the proposal would not likely have any significantly adverse competitive effects in the Oxnard-Ventura banking market or any other relevant banking market. Based on these and all the facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal is not likely to have a significantly adverse effect on competition or on the concentration of banking services in the OxnardVentura banking market or any other relevant market. Other Factors The BHC Act and the Bank Merger Act also require the Board, in acting on an application, to consider the financial and managerial resources of the companies and banks involved, the convenience and needs of the communities to be served, and certain other supervisory factors. A. Financial, Managerial, and Other Supervisory Factors The Board has carefully considered the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Bancorp, SB Bank, and Citizens Bank, and other supervisory factors in light of all the facts of record. The facts include supervisory reports of examination assessing the financial and managerial resources of the organizations, and confidential financial information provided by Bancorp. Based on these and all other facts of record, the Board concludes that all the supervisory factors under the BHC Act and the Bank Merger Act, including the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of the institutions involved, are consistent with approval of the proposal. B. Convenience and Needs Factor The Board also has carefully considered the effect of the proposal on the convenience and needs of the communities to be served in light of all the facts of record. In reviewing convenience and needs considerations, the Board notes that SB Bank provides a range of financial services including mortgage, consumer, agricultural and small business loans. 3. Under the revised Department of Justice Merger Guidelines, 49 Federal Register 26,823 (June 29, 1984), a market in which the post-merger HHI is between 1000 and 1800 is considered to be moderately concentrated. The Department of Justice has informed the Board that a bank merger or acquisition generally will not be challenged (in the absence of other factors indicating anticompetitive effects) unless the post-merger HHI is at least 1800 and the merger increases the HHI by more than 200 points. The Department of Justice has stated that the higher than normal HHI thresholds for, screening bank mergers for anticompetitive effects implicitly recognize the competitive effect of limited-purpose lenders and other nondepository financial entities. Legal Developments SB Bank also provides financing for affordable housing and community development. Bancorp has indicated that SB Bank plans to continue to offer credit products currently offered by Citizens Bank and may adopt portions of Citizen Bank's program for helping to meet community credit needs into SB Bank's program after consummation of the proposal. Moreover, Bancorp expects that the acquisition of Citizens Bank would strengthen SB Bank's ability to provide financial services throughout the combined service areas, including service areas comprised primarily of low- and moderate-income ( " L M I " ) individuals and small businesses. The Board also has long held that consideration of the convenience and needs factor includes a review of the records of the relevant depository institutions under the Community Reinvestment Act (12U.S.C. § 2901 et seq.) ("CRA"). The CRA performance records of the institutions involved are reviewed below in light of all the facts of record, including comments received on the proposal. CRA Performance Examinations. As provided in the CRA, the Board evaluates the convenience and needs factor in light of examinations of the CRA performance records of the relevant institutions by their primary federal supervisor. An institution's most recent CRA performance evaluation is a particularly important consideration in the applications process because it represents a detailed on-site evaluation of the institution's overall record of performance under the CRA by its primary federal supervisor. 4 SB Bank received a "satisfactory" rating from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ("Reserve Bank") at its most recent examination for CRA performance, as of July 15, 1996 ("SB Bank Examination"). Citizens Bank received an "outstanding" rating from the Reserve Bank at its most recent examination for CRA performance, as of March 10, 1997. CRA Performance Record of SB Bank. Lending. Examiners considered the overall lending activities of SB Bank to be very responsive to community credit needs. They noted that LMI census tracts comprised 37 percent of the bank's delineated community and that 41 percent of its loans were made to borrowers with zip codes in LMI areas during the period from July 1994 to July 1996 covered by the SB Bank Examination. Examiners also considered the geographic distribution of SB Bank's loans to be good and favorably noted that 92 percent of the bank's loans were made within its delineated community. The SB Bank Examination concluded that residential mortgage lending to LMI borrowers in the bank's delineated community was particularly difficult because of the 4. The Statement of the Federal Financial Supervisory Agencies Regarding the Community Reinvestment Act ("Agency CRA Statement") provides that a CRA examination is an important and often controlling factor in the consideration of an institution's CRA record, and that reports of these examinations will be given great weight in the applications process. 54 Federal Register 13,742, 13,745 (1989). 835 high cost of housing in Santa Barbara County. To address housing-related credit needs, SB Bank offers a number of residential mortgage products 5 and actively participates in programs that provide affordable housing to LMI individuals. Overall, the bank estimates that it made 17 loans totalling approximately $22.6 million to 9 affordable housing organizations and developers since 1996. The bank has, for example, provided financing to the Santa Barbara Housing Authority totalling approximately $5.9 million since 1996. In addition, SB Bank has made approximately $1 million in loans since 1996 through the Santa Barbara County Home Buyers Assistance Program for the South Coast Region. SB Bank also is affiliated with the Coastal Housing Partnership which offers a loan program with flexible underwriting guidelines called the Housing for Employees Loan Program. Since 1996, the bank has made 65 loans, totalling approximately $1.6 million through the program. SB Bank also provides financing to other developers specializing in the construction of affordable housing for LMI individuals in Santa Barbara and Ventura Counties. 6 The SB Bank Examination also concluded that the bank was very responsive to the credit needs of small businesses. One SB Bank product, for example, offered small business loans in amounts less than $35,000 within 24 hours after completion of a one-page application. In addition, the bank's Community Banking Group focused on the credit needs of small businesses with less than $1 million in gross revenues. Examiners found that SB Bank made more than 1000 commercial loans, totalling approximately $17.3 million, for amounts of less than $100,000, and 12 loans, totalling $11.1 million, for agricultural purposes, during the examination period. The SB Examination noted that although loans secured by mixed-use property were difficult to obtain in the community, SB Bank made 5 such loans totalling $2.5 million. In addition, examiners noted that the bank made 17 loans, totalling approximately $652,000 to start-up businesses. 7 In 1996, SB Bank originated 696 small business loans, totalling approximately $52.4 million. SB Bank also made business development loans through its affiliation with the California Coastal Rural Development Corporation, 8 and participated in a number of small business organizations, including Women's Economic Ventures, Santa Barbara 5. Examiners noted that SB Bank offered 50 different residential mortgage loans and had made 496 mortgage loans totalling $103 million during the examination period. Examiners concluded that SB Bank's overall lending levels reflect responsiveness to the community's credit needs. 6. SB Bank has operated in Ventura County for approximately two years and would expand its presence in the county through the acquisition of Citizens Bank. SB Bank has developed programs for LMI residents in Ventura County similar to the programs offered in Santa Barbara County. 7. SB Bank estimates that since 1996, the bank made 14 business development loans totalling approximately $698,000 to 13 small businesses. 8. Examiners noted that SB Bank made 13 small business loans totalling $1 million in affiliation with this non-profit small business development organization. 836 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, and Ventura County Economic Development. Marketing and Ascertainment. The SB Examination found that the bank's marketing program informed all segments of the community of general financial products and services offered, including those that had been developed to address identified community credit needs. Moreover, examiners considered the bank's ascertainment efforts to be satisfactory in light of management's regular contact with various community organizations and its formal call program. The examiners reported that senior management satisfactorily responded to local input regarding community credit needs and the changing marketplace. SB Bank established a Hispanic Marketing Committee to focus on the credit needs of Hispanic residents within its delineated community. In 1996, the bank made 116 small business loans, totalling $4.9 million, in the seven census tracts with the largest Hispanic populations in bank's delineated community. In addition, SB Bank has Spanishspeaking employees in 19 of its 21 branches, with 46 of its 224 employees available for Spanish-speaking customers. 9 SB Bank also stated that it would more prominently display brochures in Spanish that describe the products and services available in all its branches. Branch Locations. The SB Bank Examination found that SB Bank's branches were readily accessible to all segments of SB Bank's community, that office hours and services were tailored toward the convenience and needs of the community, and that the bank periodically reviewed the effectiveness of its branches. Since the SB Bank Examination, the bank's branch closing policies have been modified to include the consideration of the impact of a branch closing on the community before closing the branch. SB Bank has not closed a branch since it was chartered 37 years ago, and it does not anticipate branch closings as a result of the proposal. 10 Comments on the proposal. The Board has carefully reviewed comments contending that SB Bank's efforts in lending and outreach to LMI and minority residents, particularly Hispanic residents, are inadequate. 11 These concerns 9. The two branches without Spanish speaking employees are located in areas with small Hispanic populations. 10. The Board previously has noted that federal banking law addresses branch closings by specifically requiring an insured depository institution to provide notice to the appropriate regulatory agency prior to closing a branch. See section 42 of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Act (12 U.S.C. § 183lr-1), as implemented by the Joint Policy Statement Regarding Branch Closing (58 Federal Register 49,083 (1993)). The statute, however, does not authorize the federal regulators to prevent the closing of any branch. Similarly, the BHC Act and the Bank Merger Act do not make approval of a proposal contingent on an applicant's commitment to keep open all branches of the resulting institution. Instead, branch closings resulting from a proposed acquisition are reviewed insofar as they affect the general availability of bank services and offices as one of the several factors the Board considers in assessing the effect of the acquisition on the convenience and needs of the community to be served. See Westamerica Bank, 83 Federal Reserve Bulletin 614 (1997). 11. The commenters are The California Reinvestment Committee, the Santa Clara Valley Citizens for Economic Vitality and the Board of Supervisors of Ventura County. The Board also has received are based, in large measure, on data filed by SB Bank under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (12 U.S.C. 2801 et seq.) ("HMDA"). 1 2 The Board has reviewed the 1994, 1995, and 1996 HMDA data reported by SB Bank in light of the comments. These data reflect some disparities in the rate of loan originations, denials, and applications by racial group or income level. The Board is concerned when the record of an institution indicates such disparities, and believes that all banks are obligated to ensure that their lending practices are based on criteria that ensure not only safe and sound lending, but also equal access to credit by creditworthy applicants regardless of race. The Board recognizes, however, that HMDA data alone provide an incomplete measure of an institution's lending in its community because these data cover only a few categories of housing-related lending. Moreover, HMDA data provide only limited information about the covered loans. 13 HMDA data, therefore, have limitations that make the data an inadequate basis, absent other information, for concluding that an institution has engaged in illegal lending discrimination. In light of the limitations of HMDA data, the Board has carefully reviewed other information, particularly examination reports that provide an on-site evaluation of compliance with the fair lending laws by SB Bank. The SB Examination found no evidence of prohibited discrimi- submissions from commenters and SB Bank regarding information provided to the commenters by SB Bank after the close of the comment period. The comments discuss efforts by commenters to resolve issues raised in their timely comments through commitments to increase lending to affordable housing projects, small businesses, community development projects, and to increase other CRA-related activities. Although the Board has indicated in previous orders and in the Agency CRA Statement that communication by depository institutions with community groups provides a valuable method of assessing and determining how best to address the credit needs of the community, the Board concludes that the substance of the comments does not involve matters required to be considered by the Board. Neither the CRA nor the Agency CRA Statement require an insured depository institution to enter into commitments with community representatives. In reviewing an application under the BHC Act and the Bank Merger Act, the CRA and the Agency CRA Statement instead require the Board to focus on the established record of performance of the institutions involved and the programs and policies that the institutions have in place to assist in meeting the credit needs of their entire communities. In this case, the facts of record indicate that SB Bank has programs to help meet the credit needs of its community. 12. Commenters also maintain SB Bank should establish a branch in Piru, California, to serve the unmet banking needs of the LMI residents in this small rural community. As discussed above, the SB Bank Examination found that the bank's branches were readily accessible to all segments of SB Bank's community. Moreover, SB Bank would acquire and keep open a branch of Citizens Bank located in Fillmore, California, which is approximately seven miles from Piru. The record indicates that residents in this area of California regularly drive to work in Valencia and Ventura which are located 10 miles and 33 miles, respectively, from Piru. In this light, Piru residents would continue to have reasonable access to banking services from SB Bank after consummation of the proposal. 13. These data, for example, do not provide a basis for an independent assessment of whether an applicant who was denied credit was, in fact, creditworthy. Credit history problems and excessive debt levels relative to income — reasons most frequently cited by a credit denial — are not available from HMDA data. Legal Developments nation or illegal credit practices, and found the bank to be in substantial compliance with antidiscrimination laws and regulations. 14 The record also indicates that SB Bank has taken a number of steps to ensure compliance with the fair lending laws. Examiners found, for example, that the board of directors and senior management have developed adequate policies and training programs supporting nondiscrimination in lending and credit activities. As a part of these programs, bank personnel receive periodic training in fair lending policy and compliance bulletins and articles regarding fair lending issues. Conclusion on Convenience and Needs Considerations The Board has carefully considered all the facts of record, including the public comments received, responses to those comments, and the CRA performance records of SB Bank and Citizens Bank, including relevant reports of examination. 15 Based on a review of the entire record, and for the reasons discussed in this order, the Board has concluded that convenience and needs considerations, including the CRA records of performance of SB Bank and Citizens Bank, are consistent with approval of this proposal. Conclusion For these reasons, and in light of all the other facts of record, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, approved. 16 The Board's approval is expressly conditioned on compliance with all the commitments made in connection with the applications. The commitments relied on by the Board in reaching this decision shall be deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decision, and, as such, may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. The transactions shall not be consummated before the fifteenth calendar day following the effective date of this order, or later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 21, 1997. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Phillips, and Meyer. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON C. FRA Factors SB Bank also has applied under section 9 of the FRA to establish branches at the offices of Citizens Bank listed in the appendix. The Board has considered the factors it is required to consider when reviewing applications for establishing branches pursuant to the FRA and, for the reasons discussed in this order, finds those factors to be consistent with approval. 14. Commenters point out that examiners noted widespread violations of technical provisions of Regulation C and HMDA in the SB Examination. In considering the overall managerial record and convenience and needs factor in this case, the Board has carefully reviewed these violations in light of information regarding the type and scope of the violations, the response of SB Bank to the findings, and additional supervisory information. The Board concludes that SB Bank's response adequately addresses the issues raised by examiners at this time. If future examinations by the Reserve Bank indicate that additional steps are necessary, the Board retains sufficient supervisory authority to require corrective action. 15. Commenters contend that SB Bank's CRA performance rating should have been less than satisfactory in light of certain remarks made by examiners in the SB Examination. Commenters also maintain that the acquisition of Citizens Bank by a bank with a lower CRA performance rating raises concerns about the possible adverse impact the acquisition will have on the community currently served by Citizens Bank. Although the SB Bank Examination noted some areas in which bank could improve its CRA performance, the examiners rated the bank's overall performance as "satisfactory." In addition, SB Bank has initiated measures that satisfactorily respond to the examiners' comments. Moreover, SB Bank's record of CRA performance indicates that the convenience and needs of the communities currently served by Citizens Bank would continue to be served after consummation of the proposal in a manner consistent with the requirements of the BHC Act, the Bank Merger Act, and the CRA. 837 Deputy Secretary of the Board APPENDIX Branches of SB Bank to be established locations: at Citizens Bank 1. 948 East Main Street, Santa Paula, California 93060 2. 537 West Harvard Boulevard, Santa Paula, California 93060 16. Commenters have requested that the Board hold a public hearing or meeting on this proposal. Section 3(b) of the BHC Act does not require the Board to hold a public hearing on an application unless the appropriate supervisory authority for the bank to be acquired makes a timely written recommendation of denial of the application. In this case, the Board has not received such a recommendation from any state or federal supervisory authority. In addition, neither the Bank Merger Act nor the FRA require a public meeting on an application. Under its rules, the Board also may, in its discretion, hold a public hearing or meeting on an application or notice to clarify factual issues related to the proposal and to provide an opportunity for testimony. See 12 C.F.R. 225.25(a)(2), 262.3(e), and 262.25(d). The Board has carefully considered commenters' requests for a hearing or meeting in light of all the facts of record. In the Board's view, commenters have had ample opportunity to submit views, and have, in fact, provided written submissions that have been considered by the Board in acting on this proposal. The requests fail to demonstrate why these written submissions do not adequately present commenters' allegations. After a careful review of all the facts of record, the Board has concluded that these requests fail to identify any genuine dispute about facts that are material to the Board's decision or any other basis on which a hearing or meeting would be warranted. Based on all the facts of record, the Board has determined that a public hearing or meeting is not necessary to clarify the factual record in the proposal, and is not otherwise warranted in this case. Accordingly, the request for a public hearing or meeting on the proposal is hereby denied. 838 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 3. 316 Central Avenue, Fillmore, California 93015 Orders Issued Under Section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act CoreStates Financial Corporation Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Order Approving a Notice to Engage in Certain Nonbanking Activities CoreStates Financial Corporation, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ("CoreStates"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act") has requested the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and section 225.24 of the Board's Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.24) to engage in the following nonbanking activities through its wholly owned subsidiary, CoreStates Securities Corporation, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ("Company"): (1) Underwriting and dealing in, to a limited extent, certain municipal revenue bonds (including certain unrated municipal revenue bonds), 1-4 family mortgagerelated securities, consumer receivable-related securities, and commercial paper (collectively, "bankineligible securities"); (2) Providing financial and investment advisory services, pursuant to section 225.28(b)(6) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.28(b)(6)); (3) Buying and selling all types of securities on the order of customers as a "riskless principal," pursuant to section 225.28(b)(7)(ii) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.28(b)(7)(ii)); (4) Acting as agent in the private placement of all types of securities, pursuant to section 225.28(b)(7)(iii) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.28(b)(7)(iii»; (5) Providing other transactional services, pursuant to section 225.28(b)(7)(v) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.28(b)(7)(v)); and (6) Providing investing and trading services, pursuant to section 225.28(b)(8)(ii) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.28(b)(8)(ii). In addition, CoreStates proposes that Company engage in extending credit and servicing loans, activities related to extending credit, leasing personal and real property, and management consulting and counseling activities that are related to Company's underwriting and dealing, private placement, riskless principal, and other securities activities. These activities would be conducted in accordance with the Board's Regulation Y.1 Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (62 Federal Register 32,117 (1997)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the 1. Sections 225.28(b)(1), (b)(2), (b)(3), and (b)(9) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.28(b)(1), (b)(2), (b)(3), and (b)(9)). notice and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. CoreStates, with total consolidated assets of approximately $45.3 billion, is the 21st largest banking organization in the United States. 2 CoreStates operates bank subsidiaries in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware, and engages through its subsidiaries in a broad range of permissible nonbanking activities. Company is, and will continue to be, registered as a broker-dealer with the Securities and Exchange Commission ( " S E C " ) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. § 78a et seq.) and a member of the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. ("NASD"). Accordingly, Company is, and will continue to be, subject to the recordkeeping and reporting obligations, fiduciary standards, and other requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the SEC, and the NASD. Underwriting and Dealing in Bank-Ineligible Securities The Board has determined that, subject to the prudential framework of limitations established in previous decisions to address the potential for conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices, or other adverse effects, the proposed activities of underwriting and dealing in bank-ineligible securities are so closely related to banking as to be a proper incident thereto within the meaning of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. 3 CoreStates has committed that Company will conduct the underwriting and dealing activities using the same methods and procedures and subject to the same prudential limitations established by the Board in the Section 20 Orders. 4 The Board also has previously determined that conduct of the proposed activities is consistent with section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act (12 U.S.C. § 377), provided that the company engaged in underwriting and dealing activities derives no more than 25 percent of its gross revenues from underwriting and dealing in bank-ineligible securities over a two-year period. 5 CoreStates has committed that Com- 2. Asset and ranking data are as of March 31, 1997. 3. See Citicorp, 73 Federal Reserve Bulletin 473 (1987), aff'd sub nom. Securities Industry Ass'n v. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 839 F.2d 47 (2d Cir.), cert, denied. 486 U.S. 1059 (1988), as modified by Review of Restrictions on Director, Officer and Employee Interlocks, Cross-Marketing Activities, and the Purchase and Sale of Financial Assets Between a Section 20 Subsidiary and an Affiliated Bank or Thrift, 61 Federal Register 57,679 (1996) (collectively, "Section 20 Orders"). 4. In connection with its proposal, CoreStates proposes to underwrite and deal in unrated municipal revenue bonds. CoreStates has committed that Company will not underwrite unrated municipal revenue bonds until the Federal Reserve System has reviewed Company's policies and procedures with respect to such activities. In conducting this activity, Company will in each case conduct an independent credit review to determine that the securities are of investment grade quality. CoreStates also has provided other commitments previously relied on by the Board in authorizing a section 20 company to underwrite and deal in unrated municipal revenue bonds. See Letter Interpreting Section 20 Orders, 81 Federal Reserve Bulletin 198 (1995); BOK Financial Corporation, 83 Federal Reserve Bulletin 510 (1997). 5. See Section 20 Orders. Compliance with the revenue limitation shall be calculated in accordance with the method stated in the Sec- Legal Developments pany will conduct its bank-ineligible securities underwriting and dealing activities subject to the Board's revenue limit. 6 Other Activities Approved by Regulation As noted above, Company proposes to engage in providing credit, servicing loans, and activities related to extending credit; leasing personal or real property; providing financial and investment advisory services; providing riskless principal, private placement and other transactional services; providing investing and trading services; and providing management consulting and counseling services. 7 The Board previously has determined by regulation that each of the proposed activities is closely related to banking for purposes of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. 8 CoreStates and Company will conduct these activities in accordance with the limitations set forth in Regulation Y, and the Board's orders and interpretations relating to each of these activities. 9 Proper Incident to Banking Standard To approve this notice, the Board also must consider whether performance of the proposed activities is a proper incident to banking, that is, whether the activities proposed "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public . . . that outweigh possible adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices." 10 As part of its evaluation of these factors, the Board considers the financial condition and managerial resources 839 of the notificant and its subsidiaries and the effect the transaction would have on such resources. 11 The Board has carefully examined the financial resources, management expertise, and risk management policies of CoreStates and its subsidiaries. Based on all the facts of record, the Board concludes that financial and managerial considerations are consistent with approval. The Board expects that the de novo entry of Company into the market for the proposed services would provide added convenience to CoreStates's customers and would increase the level of competition among existing providers of these services. As noted above, CoreStates has committed that Company will conduct its bank-ineligible securities underwriting and dealing activities in accordance with the prudential framework established by the Board's Section 20 Orders. Under the framework and conditions established in this order and the Section 20 Orders, the Board concludes that Company's proposed limited conduct of underwriting and dealing in bank-ineligible securities is not likely to result in significantly adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interest, or unsound banking practices that would outweigh the public benefits. Similarly, the Board finds no evidence that Company's riskless principal, private placement, and other nonbanking activities— conducted under the framework and conditions established in this order and Regulation Y—would likely result in any significant adverse effects that would outweigh the public benefits of the proposal. Accordingly, the Board has determined that performance of the proposed activities by CoreStates are a proper incident to banking for purposes of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Conclusion tion 20 Orders, as modified by the Order Approving Modifications to the Section 20 Orders, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 751 (1989) and 10 Percent Revenue Limit on Bank-Ineligible Activities of Subsidiaries of Bank Holding Companies Engaged in Underwriting and Dealing in Securities, 61 Federal Register 48,953 (1996) and Revenue Limit on Bank-Ineligible Activities of Subsidiaries of Bank Holding Companies Engaged in Underwriting and Dealing in Securities, 61 Federal Register 68,750 (1996) (collectively, "Modification Orders"). 6. Company may provide services that are necessary incidents to the proposed underwriting and dealing activities. Unless Company receives specific approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act to conduct the activities independently, any revenues from the incidental activities must be treated as ineligible revenues subject to the Board's revenue limitation. 7. As provided in the Section 20 Orders, no corporate reorganization of any subsidiary engaged in underwriting and dealing in bankineligible securities may be consummated without prior Board approval. CoreStates has stated that Company will not engage in any additional activities or transfer assets or businesses into Company without first consulting with the Board. 8. See 12 C.F.R. 225.28(b)(1), (b)(2), (b)(3), (b)(6), (b)(7)(ii), (b)(7)(iii), (b)(7)(v), (b)(8)(ii), and (b)(9). 9. CoreStates also proposes that Company enter into a dualemployee arrangement with a third party insurance agent to sell annuity products. CoreStates has committed that the dual-employee arrangement will be consistent with the BHC Act and the restrictions and limitations previously established by the Board on such insurance sales arrangements. See, e.g., Letter dated December 6, 1995, from J. Virgil Mattingly, Jr., to Russell J. Bruemmer, Esq. 10. 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). Based on all the facts of record, and subject to the commitments made by CoreStates, as well as the terms and conditions set forth in this order and in the Board's orders and regulations noted above, the Board has determined that the notice should be, and hereby is, approved. Approval of the proposal also is conditioned on compliance by CoreStates and Company with the commitments made in connection with the notice, the conditions referenced in this order, and the above-cited Board regulations and orders. The Board's determination also is subject to all the terms and conditions set forth in Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.7 and 225.25(c) (12 C.F.R. 225.7 and 225.25(c)), and to the Board's authority to require modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with, and to prevent evasion of, the provisions of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder. In approving the proposal, the Board has relied on all the facts of record and all the representations and 11. See 12 C.F.R. 225.24; see also The Fuji Bank, Limited, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 94 (1989); Bayerische Vereinsbank AG, 73 Federal Reserve Bulletin 155 (1987). 840 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 commitments made by CoreStates. These commitments and conditions shall be deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decisions, and may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. This transaction shall not be commenced later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, acting pursuant to delegated authority. INDEX OF ORDERS ISSUED OR ACTIONS By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 4, 1997. This action was taken pursuant to the Board's Rules Regarding Delegation of Authority (12 C.F.R. 265.4(b)(1)) by a committee of Board members. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Phillips and Meyer. Absent and noting voting: Vice Chair Rivlin and Governor Kelley. TAKEN BY THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM (April 1, 1997-July 31, 1997) Bulletin Applicant Merged or Acquired Bank or Activity Date of Approval Volume and Page Agricultural Bank of China, Beijing, People's Republic of China Allied Irish Banks, pic, Dublin, Ireland First Maryland Bancorp, Baltimore, Maryland Amboy Bancorporation, Old Bridge, New Jersey AMCORE Financial, Inc., Rockford, Illinois To establish a representative office in New York, New York Dauphin Deposit Corporation, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania Dauphin Bank and Trust Company, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania The Community Bank of New Jersey, Freehold, New Jersey Country Bancshares Corporation, Mount Horeb, Wisconsin Belleville Bancshares Corporation, Belleville, Wisconsin State Bank of Mount Horeb, Mount Horeb, Wisconsin Montello State Bank, Montello, Wisconsin State Bank of Argyle, Argyle, Wisconsin Citizens State Bank, Clinton, Wisconsin Belleville State Bank, Belleville, Wisconsin AmSouth Bank of Florida, Tampa, Florida AmSouth Bank of Georgia, Rome, Georgia AmSouth Bank of Tennessee, Chattanooga, Tennessee AmSouth Bank of Walker County, Jasper, Alabama Liberty Bancorp, Inc., Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Liberty Bank & Trust Company of Oklahoma City, N.A., Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Liberty Bank & Trust Company of Tulsa, N.A., Tulsa, Oklahoma May 14, 1997 83, 617 May 19, 1997 83, 607 April 14, 1997 83, 507 June 16, 1997 83, 666 June 1, 1997 83, 528 April 29, 1997 83, 520 AmSouth Bank of Alabama, Birmingham, Alabama Banc One Corporation, Columbus, Ohio Banc One Oklahoma Corporation, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Legal Developments 841 Index of Orders Issued—Continued Bulletin Applicant Merged or Acquired Bank or Activity Date of Approval Volume and Page Banc One Corporation, Inc., Columbus, Ohio First USA, Inc., Dallas, Texas First USA Federal Savings Bank, Wilmington, Delaware Roig Commercial Bank, Humacao, Puerto Rico Far East National Bank, Los Angeles, California May 14, 1997 83, 602 May 27, 1997 83, 612 June 11, 1997 83, 669 Alliance Securities Corporation, Tulsa, Oklahoma CAM Acquisition, LLC, Wilmington, Delaware Montgomery Asset Management, L.P., San Francisco, California Montgomery Services, LLC, San Francisco, California Crestar Securities Corporation, Richmond, Virginia The Farmers and Merchants State Bank, Effingham, Kansas April 28, 1997 83, 510 June 16, 1997 83, 678 April 14, 1997 83, 512 June 30, 1997 83, 671 U.S. Bancorp, Portland, Oregon U.S. National Bank of Oregon, Portland, Oregon U.S. Bank of Washington, N.A., Seattle, Washington U.S. Bank of Nevada, Reno, Nevada U.S. Bank of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah U.S. Bank of Idaho, Boise, Idaho U.S. Bank of California, Sacramento, California First State Bank of Oregon, Canby, Oregon Sun Capital Bank, St. George, Utah Business & Professional Bank, Woodland, California Border Bancshares, Inc., Greenbush, Minnesota Border State Bank, Roseau, Minnesota Security Capital Corporation, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Security Bank SSB, Milwaukee, Wisconsin June 23, 1997 83, 689 April 21, 1997 83, 509 June 30, 1997 83, 672 Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, Hato Rey, Puerto Rico Bank SinoPac, Taipei, Taiwan SinoPac Bancorp, Los Angeles, California BOK Financial Corporation, Tulsa, Oklahoma Commerzbank AG, Frankfurt am Main, Federal Republic of Germany Crestar Financial Corporation, Richmond, Virginia Exchange Bankshares Corporation of Kansas, Atchison, Kansas First Bank System, Inc., Minneapolis, Minnesota G.B. Financial Services, Inc., Greenbush, Minnesota Marshall & Ilsley Corporation, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Marshall & Ilsley Bank, Milwaukee, Wisconsin 842 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Index of Orders Issued—Continued Applicant Merged or Acquired Bank or Activity Date of Approval Bulletin Volume and Page Mellon Bank Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Mercantile Bancorporation Inc., St. Louis, Missouri Ameribanc, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri National Canton Bancshares, Inc., Canton, Illinois Buck Consultants, Inc., New York, New York Roosevelt Financial Group, Inc., Chesterfield, Missouri Roosevelt Bank, Chesterfield, Missouri Sturm Investment, Inc., Denver, Colorado The Union National Bank of Macomb, Macomb, Illinois First National Security Company, DeQueen, Arkansas Calvin B. Taylor Bankshares, Inc., Berlin, Maryland First Perry Bancorp, Inc., Pinckneyville, Illinois The First National Bank in Falfurrias, Falfurrias, Texas SJS Bancorp, Inc., St. Joseph, Michigan SJS Federal Savings Bank, St. Joseph, Michigan SJS Financial Corporation, St. Joseph, Michigan United Carolina Bancshares Corporation, Whiteville, North Carolina United Carolina Bank, Whiteville, North Carolina United Carolina Bank of South Carolina, Greer, South Carolina Standard Federal Bancorporation, Inc., Troy, Michigan Standard Federal Bank, Troy, Michigan Standard Brokerage Services, Inc., Troy, Michigan June 16, 1997 83, 681 June 4, 1997 83, 683 June 11, 1997 83, 676 May 12, 1997 83, 593 April 21, 1997 83, 515 May 29, 1997 83, 596 April 10, 1997 83, 518 ValliWide Bank, Fresno, California May 27, 1997 83, 614 NationsBank Corporation, Charlotte, North Carolina NB Holdings Corporation, Charlotte, North Carolina Shoreline Financial Corporation, Benton Harbor, Michigan Southern National Corporation, Winston-Salem, North Carolina Stichting Prioriteit ABN AMRO Holding, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Stichting Administratiekantoor ABN AMRO Holding, Amsterdam, The Netherlands ABN AMRO Holding N.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands ABN AMRO Bank N.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands ABN AMRO North America, Inc., Chicago, Illinois Westamerica Bank, San Rafael, California Legal Developments APPLICATIONS APPROVED By Federal Reserve UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY 843 ACT Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Section 3 Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date AMFED Financial, Inc., Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Bank Nevada, F.S.B., Las Vegas, Nevada Norwest Bank Nevada, National Association, Las Vegas, Nevada Elmwood Financial Corporation, Racine, Wisconsin Minneapolis July 28, 1997 Chicago August 8, 1997 St. Louis July 23, 1997 Atlanta August 21, 1997 Dallas July 24, 1997 CNB Bancorp, Inc., Independence, Kansas Kansas City August 14, 1997 Commercial Bank of Volusia County, Ormond Beach, Florida Upper Rio Grande Bank Corporation, Del Norte, Colorado Citizens Bank, Appleton City, Missouri Community National Bank, Waterloo, Iowa Atlanta August 20, 1997 Kansas City August 6, 1997 Kansas City August 15, 1997 Chicago August 1, 1997 Atlanta August 1, 1997 Kansas City August 8, 1997 Chicago July 31, 1997 Kansas City August 6, 1997 Philadelphia August 19, 1997 Bank of Elmwood Employee Stock Ownership Plan and Trust, Racine, Wisconsin Banterra Corp., Eldorado, Illinois Big Lake Financial Corporation, Okeechobee, Florida Bryan Family Management Trust, Bryan, Texas Bryan-Heritage Limited Partnership, Bryan, Texas Commerce Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri CBI-Kansas, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri The Commercial Bancorp, Inc., Ormond Beach, Florida Community Bankshares, Inc., Denver, Colorado Community First Bancshares, Inc., Butler, Missouri Community National Bancorporation, Waterloo, Iowa Edison Bancshares, Inc., Fort Myers, Florida First Fairland Bancshares, Inc., Fairland, Oklahoma First Midwest Bancorp, Inc., Itasca, Illinois FMB Acquisition Corporation, Itasca, Illinois First National Bank Shares, Ltd., Great Bend, Kansas Harris Financial, Inc., Harrisburg, Pennsylvania Harris Financial, MHC, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania 1st Bancorp Vienna, Inc., Vienna, Illinois The First State Bank of Vienna, Vienna, Illinois CNB Financial Corporation, Clewiston, Florida Clewiston National Bank, Clewiston, Florida The First National Bank of Bryan, Bryan, Texas Edison National Bank, Fort Myers, Florida Fairland Holding Company, Inc., Neosho, Missouri SparBank, Inc., McHenry, Illinois McHenry State Bank, McHenry, Illinois BankWest, Castle Rock, Colorado Harris Savings Bank, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania 844 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Section 3—Continued Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date Hibernia Corporation, New Orleans, Louisiana Unicorp Bancshares-Texas, Inc., Orange, Texas OrangeBank, Orange, Texas Morton Community Bank, Morton, Illinois Atlanta August 14, 1997 Chicago August 20, 1997 Lafayette Bancshares, Inc., Lexington, Missouri Lafayette County Bank of Lexington/Wellington, Lexington, Missouri B&L Bank, Lexington, Missouri Marquette Bank Rochester, N.A., Rochester, Minnesota First State Bank, Maypearl, Texas Kansas City August 7, 1997 Minneapolis August 14, 1997 Dallas August 19, 1997 Mount Prospect National Bank, Mt. Prospect, Illinois The Bank of the Southwest, N.A., Pagosa Springs, Colorado Halo Bancorporation, Inc., Devils Lake, North Dakota Chicago August 4, 1997 Minneapolis August 7, 1997 Minneapolis August 20, 1997 Farmers Bank of Malone, Malone, Florida Atlanta August 14, 1997 People's Community Bank of South Carolina, Aiken, South Carolina Progress Bank of Sullivan, Sullivan, Missouri Pekin Savings, s.b., Pekin, Illinois Florida Gulfcoast Bancorp, Inc., Sarasota, Florida Enterprise National Bank of Sarasota, Sarasota, Florida Northeastern Oklahoma Banshares, Inc., Inola, Oklahoma Ready Bank of West Florida, Fort Walton Beach, Florida Richmond August 21, 1997 St. Louis August 15, 1997 Chicago August 19, 1997 Cleveland July 31, 1997 Kansas City July 31, 1997 Atlanta July 25, 1997 Southwestern Bank & Trust Company, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma First Houston Bancshares, Inc., Houston, Texas Houston National Bank, Houston, Texas Kansas City August 19, 1997 Dallas August 7, 1997 Hometown Independent Bancorp, Inc., Morton, Illinois Lexington B&L Financial Corp., Lexington, Missouri Marquette Bancshares, Inc., Minneapolis, Minnesota Maypearl Bancshares, Inc., Maypearl, Texas Maypearl Holdings, Inc., Wilmington, Delaware Northwest Suburban Bancorp, Inc., Arlington Heights, Illinois Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Otto Bremer Foundation, St. Paul, Minnesota Bremer Financial Corporation, St. Paul, Minnesota Peoples Community Bancshares, Inc., Colquitt, Georgia People's Community Capital Corporation, Aiken, South Carolina Progress Bancshares, Inc., Sullivan, Missouri Progressive Bancorp, Inc., Pekin, Illinois Provident Bancorp, Inc., Cincinnati, Ohio FGBI Acquisition Corp., Cincinnati, Ohio RCB Holding Company, Inc., Claremore, Oklahoma Ready Bank of Fort Walton Beach Holding Company, Inc., Fort Walton Beach, Florida Southwestern Bancshares, Inc., Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Sterling Bancshares, Inc., Houston, Texas Legal Developments Section 3—Continued Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date Stockmens Financial Corporation, Rushville, Nebraska TNB Bancorporation, Inc., Brenham, Texas TNB Bancorporation of Delaware, Inc., Wilmington, Delaware Triangle Bancorp, Inc., Raleigh, North Carolina United Community Banks, Inc., Blairsville, Georgia BankWest, Castle Rock, Colorado Texas National Bank, Brenham, Texas Kansas City August 6, 1997 Dallas August 1, 1997 Bank of Mecklenburg, Charlotte, North Carolina First Clayton Bancshares, Inc., Clayton, Georgia First Clayton Bank & Trust Company, Clayton, Georgia Richmond August 6, 1997 Atlanta August 20, 1997 Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company Reserve Bank Effective Date BB&T Corporation, Winston-Salem, North Carolina BB&T Financial Corporation of Virginia, Winston-Salem, North Carolina Caisse Nationale de Credit Agricole, Paris, France Credit Agricole Group, Paris, France Virginia First Financial Corporation, Petersburg, Virginia Richmond August 21, 1997 Credit Agricole Indosuez, Paris, France Indosuez Investment Management Services, Inc., Menlo Park, California Cash Now L.L.C., Grandview, Missouri Cash Now, Inc., Kansas City, Kansas To engage de novo in the purchasing and servicing of accounts receivable through a joint venture Finance Company of North America, LLC, East Lansing, Michigan Money Station, Inc., Columbus, Ohio Chicago August 1, 1997 Kansas City August 8, 1997 Kansas City August 4, 1997 Chicago August 12, 1997 Cleveland August 5, 1997 St. Louis August 5, 1997 Minneapolis August 14, 1997 Section 4 Central Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri Citizens Bancshares Company, Chillicothe, Missouri First National Bancshares, Inc. East Lansing, Michigan Mellon Bank Corporation, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania APT Holdings, Inc., Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Middleburg Bancorp, Inc., Middleburg, Kentucky Northwest Wisconsin Bancorp, Inc. Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin BCB Bancorp, Inc., Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin Lincoln Financial Bancorp, Inc., Stanford, Kentucky Lincoln Federal Savings Bank, Liberty, Kentucky Heartland Data Center, Inc., Cameron, Wisconsin 845 846 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Section 4—Continued Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company Reserve Bank Effective Date Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Financial Services, Inc. Des Moines, Iowa Norwest Financial, Inc., Des Moines, Iowa Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Financial Services, Inc. Des Moines, Iowa Norwest Financial, Inc., Des Moines, Iowa P.C.B. Bancorp, Inc., Largo, Florida Peoples Bancorp, Inc., Marietta, Ohio Pioneer Bancshares, Inc., Chattanooga, Tennessee Royal Bank of Canada, Montreal, Quebec, Canada Family Loan, Inc., Stockbridge, Georgia Minneapolis August 13, 1997 Fidelity Acceptance Corporation, Kansas City, Missouri Minneapolis August 7, 1997 Anchor Savings Bank, F.S.B., St. Petersburg, Florida Gateway Bancorp, Inc., Catlettsburg, Kentucky Pioneer Bank, f.s.b., Chattanooga, Tennessee Integrion Financial Network, LLC, Atlanta, Georgia VISA Interactive, Inc., Herndon, Virginia RBC Dominion Securities Corporation, New York, New York State Bank & Trust Mortgage, L.L.C., Colorado Springs, Colorado Integrion Financial Network, LLC, Atlanta, Georgia VISA Interactive, Inc., Herndon, Virginia Atlanta August 13, 1997 Cleveland August 8, 1997 Atlanta August 21, 1997 New York August 14, 1997 New York August 4, 1997 Kansas City August 21, 1997 Chicago August 14, 1997 Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company Reserve Bank Effective Date Area Bancshares Corporation, Owensboro, Kentucky Cardinal Bancshares, Inc., Lexington, Kentucky The Vine Street Trust Company, Lexington, Kentucky HNB Bank, National Association, Harlan, Kentucky First and Peoples Bank, Springfield, Kentucky Jefferson Banking Company, Louisville, Kentucky St. Louis July 30, 1997 Royal Bank of Canada, Montreal, Quebec, Canada SBT Bankshares, Inc., Colorado Springs, Colorado Stichting Administratiekantoor ABN AMRO Holding, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Stichting Prioriteit ABN AMRO Holding, Amsterdam, The Netherlands ABN AMRO Holding N.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands ABN AMRO Bank N.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands ABN AMRO North America, Inc., Chicago, Illinois Sections 3 and 4 Legal Developments 847 Sections 3 and 4—Continued Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company F.N.B. Corporation, Hermitage, Pennsylvania Alliance Bank, FSB, Somerset, Kentucky Mutual Service Corporation, Somerset, Kentucky Sun Bancorp, Inc., Selinsgrove, Pennsylvania APPLICATIONS APPROVED By Federal Reserve UNDER BANK MERGER Reserve Bank Effective Date Cleveland August 15, 1997 ACT Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date Ambassador Bank of the Commonwealth, Allentown, Pennsylvania Bank of Mecklenburg, Charlotte, North Carolina Colonial Bank, Montgomery, Alabama Colonial Bank, Montgomery, Alabama Community Bank & Trust Company, Neosho, Missouri Fifth Third Bank Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio Fifth Third Bank Columbus, Columbus, Ohio First Virginia Bank-Southwest, Roanoke, Virginia Wilbur Savings Bank, Bethlehem, Pennsylvania Philadelphia August 14, 1997 Triangle-Mecklenburg Interim Bank, Charlotte, North Carolina Dadeland Bank, Miami, Florida First Independence Bank of Florida, Fort Myers, Florida Citizens State Bank, Galena, Kansas Richmond August 6, 1997 Atlanta August 20, 1997 Atlanta August 6, 1997 Kansas City August 12, 1997 Cleveland July 31, 1997 Cleveland July 31, 1997 Richmond August 6, 1997 Chicago July 31, 1997 Cleveland August 14, 1997 Atlanta July 31, 1997 Richmond August 7, 1997 Chicago July 31, 1997 Chicago July 31, 1997 Omni Bank, Macomb, Illinois The Provident Bank, Cincinnati, Ohio Provident Bank of Florida, Apollo Beach, Florida Resource Bank, Virginia Beach, Virginia Tiskilwa State Bank, Tiskilwa, Illinois UnionBank, Streator, Illinois Great Lakes National Bank, Hamilton, Ohio Great Lakes National Bank, Hamilton, Ohio Premier Bank-South, National Association, Wytheville, Virginia Farmers State Bank, Ferris, Illinois The Provident Bank of Kentucky, Alexandria, Kentucky Enterprise National Bank, Sarasota, Florida Eastern American Bank, F.S.B., Herndon, Virginia Tampico National Bank, Tampico, Illinois The First National Bank of Manlius, Manlius, Illinois UnionBank/Sandwich, Sandwich, Illinois 848 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 PENDING CASES INVOLVING THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS This list of pending cases does not include suits against the Federal Reserve Banks in which the Board of Governors is not named a party. Eliopulos v. Board of Governors, No. 97-1442 (D.C. Cir., filed July 17, 1997). Petition for review of a Board order dated June 23, 1997, approving the application of First Bank System, Inc., Minneapolis, Minnesota, to acquire U.S. Bancorp, Portland, Oregon, and thereby acquire U.S. Bancorp's banking and nonbanking subsidiaries. Greeff v. Board of Governors, No. 97-1976 (4th Cir., filed June 17, 1997). Petition for review of a Board order dated May 19, 1997, approving the application of by Allied Irish Banks, pic, Dublin, Ireland, and First Maryland Bancorp, Baltimore, Maryland, to acquire Dauphin Deposit Corporation, Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, and thereby acquire Dauphin's banking and nonbanking subsidiaries. Inner City Press/Community on the Move v. Board of Governors, No. 97-1394 (D.C. Cir., filed June 12, 1997). Petition to review a Board order dated May 14, 1997, approving the application of Banc One Corporation, Inc., Columbus, Ohio, to merge with First USA, Inc., Dallas, Texas. On June 16, 1997, petitioners moved for a stay pending appeal. The motion was denied on June 27, 1997. On August 11, 1997, the Board filed a motion to dismiss the petition. Vickery v. Board of Governors, No. 97-1344 (D.C. Cir., filed May 9, 1997). Petition for review of a Board order dated April 14, 1997, prohibiting Charles R. Vickery, Jr., from further participation in the banking industry. Wilkins v. Board of Governors, No. 3:97CV331 (E.D. Va., filed May 2, 1997). Customer dispute with bank. On June 11, 1997, the Board filed a motion to dismiss. Pharaon v. Board of Governors, No. 97-1114 (D.C. Cir., filed February 28, 1997). Petition for review of a Board order dated January 31, 1997, imposing civil money penalties and an order of prohibition for violations of the Bank Holding Company Act. Research Triangle Institute v. Board of Governors, No. 971282 (4th Cir., filed February 24, 1997). Appeal of district court's dismissal of contract claim. Jones v. Board of Governors, No. CV97-0198 (W.D. Louisiana, filed January 30, 1997). Complaint alleging violations of the Fair Housing Act. The case was dismissed on May 29, 1997. The New Mexico Alliance v. Board of Governors, No. 969552 (10th Cir., filed December 24, 1996). Petition for review of a Board order dated December 16, 1996, approving the acquisition by NationsBank Corporation and NB Holdings Corporation, both of Charlotte, North Carolina, of Boatmen's Bancshares, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri. Also on December 24, 1996, petitioners moved for an emergency stay of the Board's order. The motion for a stay was denied by the 10th Circuit on January 3, 1997; on January 6, 1997, petitioners' application for emergency stay was denied by the Supreme Court. Artis v. Greenspan, No. 1:96CV02619 (D.D.C., filed November 19, 1996). Employment discrimination action. On May 30, 1997, the court granted the Board's motion to dismiss the action. The plaintiff filed a notice of appeal on August 25, 1997. Snyder v. Board of Governors, No. 96-1403 (D.C. Cir., filed October 3, 1996). Petition for review of Board order dated September 11, 1996, prohibiting John K. Snyder and Donald E. Hedrick from further participation in the banking industry. On May 8, 1997, the court of appeals granted the Board's motion to dismiss the petition. Petitioners' request for rehearing or rehearing en banc was denied on July 31, 1997. American Bankers Insurance Group, Inc. v. Board of Governors, No. 96-CV-2383-EGS (D.D.C., filed October 16, 1996). Action seeking declaratory and injunctive relief invalidating a new regulation issued by the Board under the Truth in Lending Act relating to treatment of fees for debt cancellation agreements. On October 18, 1996, the district court denied plaintiffs' motion for a temporary restraining order. On January 17, 1997, the parties filed cross-motions for summary judgment. Artis v. Greenspan, No. 96-CV-02105 (D. D.C., filed September 11, 1996). Class complaint alleging race discrimination in employment. On December 20, 1996, the Board moved to dismiss the action. On June 30, 1997, the court granted the motion and dismissed the case. The plaintiffs filed a notice of appeal on August 25, 1997. Leuthe v. Board of Governors, No. 96-5725 (E.D. Pa., filed August 16, 1996). Action against the Board and other Federal banking agencies challenging the constitutionality of the Office of Financial Institution Adjudication. On January 24, 1997, the agencies filed a motion to dismiss the action. Long v. Board of Governors, No. 96-9526 (10th Cir., filed July 31, 1996). Petition for review of Board order dated July 2, 1996, assessing a civil money penalty and cease and desist order for violations of the Bank Holding Company Act. Oral argument was heard on May 12, 1997, and on June 30, 1997, the court affirmed the Board's decision. Inner City Press/Community on the Move v. Board of Governors, No. 96^1008 (2nd Cir., filed January 19, 1996). Petition for review of a Board order dated January 5, 1996, approving the applications and notices by Chemical Banking Corporation to merge with The Chase Manhattan Corporation, both of New York, New York, and by Chemical Bank to merge with The Chase Manhattan Bank, N.A., both of New York, New York. Petitioners' motion for an emergency stay of the transaction was denied following oral argument on March 26, 1996. The Board's brief on the merits was filed July 8, 1996. The case was consolidated for oral argument and decision with Lee v. Board of Governors, No. 95-4134 (2d Cir.); oral argument was held on January 13, 1997. On July 2, 1997, the court of appeals dismissed the petition for review. Legal Developments Lee v. Board of Governors, No. 95-4134 (2nd Cir., filed August 22, 1995). Petition for review of Board orders dated July 24, 1995, approving certain steps of a corporate reorganization of U.S. Trust Corporation, New York, New York, and the acquisition of U.S. Trust by Chase Manhattan Corporation, New York, New York. On September 12, 1995, the court denied petitioners' motion for an emergency stay of the Board's orders. The Board's brief was filed on April 16, 1996. Oral argument, consolidated with Inner City Press/Community on the Move v. Board of Governors, took place on January 13, 1997. On July 2, 1997, the court of appeals dismissed the petition for review. In re Subpoena Duces Tecum, Misc. No. 95-06 (D.D.C., filed January 6, 1995). Action to enforce subpoena seeking predecisional supervisory documents and testimony sought in connection with an action by Bank of New England Corporation's trustee in bankruptcy against the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. On August 7, 1997, the court granted in part and denied in part the motions to compel. Board of Governors v. Pharaon, No. 91-CIV-6250 (S.D. New York, filed September 17, 1991). Action to freeze assets of individual pending administrative adjudication of civil money penalty assessment by the Board. On September 17, 1991, the court issued an order temporarily restraining the transfer or disposition of the individual's assets. Judge ("ALJ") Arthur L. Shipe, issued following an administrative hearing held between November 1994 and August 1995. In the Recommended Decision, the ALJ found that the OCC's Enforcement Counsel had established all of the requirements for an order of prohibition: that both respondents had engaged in misconduct from which they gained and the Bank lost, and that reflected culpability inconsistent with their continued participation in banking. The ALJ therefore recommended that both respondents be prohibited from participating in banking without the approval of the appropriate regulatory agencies. Respondents filed 424 pages of exceptions to the recommended decision in which they concede most of the underlying conduct but argue that it was reasonable and legitimate. Based on a review of the record and the arguments raised by the Towes, the Board adopts the recommended decision and rejects the Towes' exceptions for the reasons stated by the ALJ, except as specifically noted in this Final Decision. I. Statement of the Case A. Statutory and Regulatory Framework 1. Standards for Prohibition FINAL ENFORCEMENT OF DECISION ISSUED BY THE BOARD GOVERNORS In the Matter of Edward Towe, Former President and Director, and Thomas E. Towe, Former Director and Chairman of the Board of Directors First National Bank and Trust Wibaux, Montana Docket Nos. OCC-AA-EC-93-42 OCC-AA-EC-93-43 Final Decision This is an administrative proceeding pursuant to section 8(e) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act ("FDI Act"), 12 U.S.C. § 1818(e), in which the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency of the United States of America ( " O C C " ) seeks to prohibit Respondents Edward and Thomas E. Towe from further participation in the affairs of any federally-supervised financial institution as a result of their conduct during their former affiliation with First National Bank and Trust, Wibaux, Montana (the "Bank"). As required by statute, the OCC has referred the action to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (the "Board") for final decision. The proceeding comes before the Board in the form of a 219-page Recommended Decision by Administrative Law 849 Order Under the FDI Act, the ALJ is responsible for conducting an administrative hearing on a notice of intent to prohibit. 12 U.S.C. § 1818(e)(4). Following the hearing, the ALJ issues a recommended decision that is referred to the Board, and the parties may file exceptions to the ALJ's recommendations. The Board makes the final findings of fact, conclusions of law, and determination whether to issue an order of prohibition. Id.\ 12 C.F.R. 263.40. To issue a prohibition order under the FDI Act, the Board must make each of three findings: (1) There must be a specified type of misconduct— violation of law, regulation, or final cease-and-desist order, unsafe or unsound practice, or breach of fiduciary duty; (2) The misconduct must have a prescribed effect— financial gain to the respondent or financial loss or other damage to the institution or prejudice to the institution's depositors; 1 and (3) The misconduct must involve culpability of a certain degree—personal dishonesty or willful or continuing disregard for the safety or soundness of the institution. 1. The standards for the issuance of an order of prohibition were amended by the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989 ("FIRREA"), Pub. L. No. 101-73, 103 Stat. 183 (1989), effective August 9, 1989. Prior to that date, the statute required that the loss to the institution be "substantial" and that the prejudice to the depositors be "serious." While the conduct in this case began before the statutory changes and continued thereafter, the ALJ's conclusions of law applied the higher pre-FlRREA standard in each instance, and therefore more than satisfied the post-FIRREA standards for prohibition. 850 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 B. Procedural History The OCC initiated this proceeding on March 24, 1993 with the issuance of an assessment of civil money penalties and a notice that it would seek an order of prohibition against the Towes. Recommended Decision ( " R D " ) 1. Both actions were addressed in a common hearing before the ALJ and by the ALJ's Recommended Decision. The FDI Act assigns authority for a final decision regarding prohibition to the Board and the final decision as to civil money penalties to the Comptroller. 12U.S.C. § 1818(h), (i). The Board takes official notice that on July 25, 1997, the Comptroller issued a final Decision and Order adopting almost all of the ALJ's recommendations and assessing a penalty of $10,000 against Edward Towe and $25,000 against Thomas Towe. II. Discussion After reviewing the exceptions to the Recommended Decision of the ALJ, the Board adopts the findings and conclusions of the ALJ, except as otherwise indicated in this Order. A. Factual Overview Edward Towe and his son Thomas Towe have extensive banking backgrounds. By the early 1970's, each was a director of every bank in a chain of 13 state and national banks, and Edward Towe was president of all but two. Recommended Finding of Fact ("RFF") 3. Thomas Towe, an attorney, performed most of the legal work for these banks and has practiced generally in the areas of banking law and taxation. RFF 4. Prior to January 1987, Edward Towe served as a director of the Bank, but neither he nor the Towe family exercised exclusive control of the Bank. On January 15, 1987, the Towe family gained exclusive control of the Bank, a national bank subject to the OCC's supervision. 2 Edward Towe became its president, and Thomas Towe became chairman of the Bank's board of directors and served as its legal counsel. RD 5-6. Accordingly, both Edward and Thomas Towe were subject to the OCC's supervisory jurisdiction no later than January 15, 1987. During 1990, Edward Towe was given proxies to vote over 66 percent of the Bank's shares, a figure that increased to 82 percent in 1991. RFF 165. Thus, during these years at least Edward 2. While Edward Towe directly owned only director's qualifying shares in the Bank, the remainder of the Bank's shares were largely owned by family members or by entities that Towe controlled. Grant Investments owned about 15.6 percent of the total shares outstanding, family trusts owned more than 50 percent, and Edward Towe's sisters owned an additional 31 percent. RFF 315-317. Edward Towe exercised control at shareholders meetings in 1990 and 1991 through proxies executed in his favor representing a majority of the voting stock. RFF 165-171. Towe controlled the Bank for purposes of section 23A of the Federal Reserve Act, 12 U.S.C. § 371c. 3 The record in this action establishes repeated instances on the part of both Edward and Thomas Towe of selfdealing, conflicts of interest, unsafe and unsound banking practices, and a willingness to use the Bank for the Towes' personal ends. The Towes arranged for payments to be made to Edward Towe and his wife in a manner intended to avoid an IRS wage levy, knowingly exposing the Bank to IRS penalties and resulting in false statements in the Bank's books. Edward Towe operated a family-owned company, Grant Investments, from the Bank's premises and used Bank personnel to service loans made by Grant without providing adequate compensation to the Bank. Assets were transferred back and forth between Grant and the Bank in transactions known only to Edward Towe, who "agreed" to both sides of these transactions, and who gave Grant superior rights in collateral held by the Bank. In the so-called "Jacobson Transaction," Edward Towe involved the Bank in a transaction the sole purpose of which was to cloud the title to property of a former business partner with whom he was feuding, leading to a lawsuit against the Bank. Edward and Thomas Towe arranged for a swap of worthless checks, drawn on accounts at the Bank, in order to deceive the IRS into believing that a family foundation had liquidated its interest in Grant Investments. On the advice of Thomas Towe, the Bank repeatedly violated the terms of a final cease-and-desist order. These and other transactions, described in more detail below and in the Recommended Decision, amply demonstrate that the requirements for orders of prohibition against Edward Towe and Thomas Towe have been established. 4 B. Disguised Payments to Edward and Florence Towe Beginning in 1986, the IRS served levies on the Bank directing it to pay over to the IRS any wages, salary or other income for which the Bank was obligated to Edward Towe or his wife, Florence Towe. RFF 5. In response, Edward Towe ceased to collect director's fees from the Bank. When the Towe family acquired exclusive control of the Bank and Edward Towe became its president in January 1987, the Bank, at Edward Towe's direction and with Thomas Towe's knowledge and assistance, decided not to pay Edward Towe a salary, but instead arranged for the Bank to compensate him in a variety of ways disguised as something other than salary in an effort to fall outside the terms of the IRS levies. These practices, involving the 3. The Board rejects Respondents' argument that the shares Edward Towe controlled by proxy are irrelevant for purposes of the control provisions of section 23A. See 1 F.R.R.S. 3-1144, 3-1146.2. 4. The Board bases its conclusion as to Thomas Towe upon his status as chairman of the Bank's board, and not on his role as counsel to the Bank. Because Thomas Towe did not maintain a clear distinction between his two capacities with respect to arranging or assisting the transactions at issue (as opposed to his representation of the Bank in litigation as counsel), he bears responsibility as chairman for those actions. Legal Developments manipulation and falsification of Bank records, exposed the Bank to a suit by the IRS seeking damages, penalties, and interest for the failure to honor the levies, which was eventually settled for a $20,000 payment by the Bank. RFF 36; Ex. 711. The disguised payments purported successively to be reimbursement for travel expenses, "subsistence," and consulting fees, and were designed to funnel money to the Towes in circumvention of the IRS levies rather than to purchase services that would benefit the Bank. RFF 28, 31, 34, 35. From January 1987 until about August 1988, the Bank issued monthly travel expense checks to Edward Towe totalling over $6,000, purporting to compensate him for travel to and from directors' meetings in Wibaux from his former home in Texas. In fact, Edward Towe incurred no significant travel expenses on behalf of the Bank during this period. For almost all of that time, from January 1987 until mid-1988, Edward Towe travelled to directors meetings from his home in a Bank-owned apartment located directly above the Bank, where he and his wife lived rent-free, with all utilities paid for by the Bank. RFF 6, 7.5 When OCC examiners questioned the travel payments, the Bank redesignated the payments as "subsistence," and continued to pay them in the same amounts as before from September 1988 until January 1989. 6 The month following the last of these payments, Florence Towe began to be paid $300 per month in "consulting fees", though she had no contract with the Bank, did not report to the Bank's board, and performed no additional services beyond the "public relations" work previously performed for free. RFF 24-28. Additionally, the Bank paid Edward Towe a $5,000 "consulting fee" on December 18, 1989. RFF 29. These consulting fees were intended to provide living expenses to the Towes that would not be subject to the IRS levies. The making of these payments by the Bank was initially suggested by Thomas Towe, who advised the board of directors to approve them, but failed to disclose to the other board members that he was simultaneously representing his parents in connection with the IRS levies. The Board adopts the ALJ's conclusion that as a result of the Bank's payments to Edward Towe, Edward and Thomas Towe engaged in unsafe and unsound practices and breaches of their fiduciary duty as directors and officers of the Bank. Specifically, the Board finds that, by causing the Bank to make travel and similar reimbursement payments to Edward Towe for expenses that he never incurred, and to pay him and his wife for services that were already obligated to be provided or were in fact already being provided without fee to the Bank, the Towes caused the Bank to expend funds with no corresponding benefit to the Bank. In addition, the Towes' conduct was also unsafe and unsound because it subjected the Bank to a substantial risk of financial loss in that it would have to pay penalties 5. When Edward and Florence Towe moved into a house in Wibaux in mid-1988 within 10 miles of the Bank, the Bank continued to pay their utility expenses. RFF 8. 6. No other member of the board was paid "subsistence" or travel payments for non-travel. 851 and fines to the IRS for violation of the levy on Edward Towe's salary from the Bank. That liability was realized when the Bank paid $20,000 to the IRS to settle the penalty case. The Board rejects Respondents' exceptions to the ALJ's conclusions on this point that: the total compensation package to Edward Towe was not unreasonable in amount; that the payment represented permissible tax avoidance rather than evasion; and that in any event Edward Towe was entitled to payment by the Bank for at least the subsistence payments that he received as part of the reimbursed travel expenses because Wibaux was not his legal residence. Except. 162-200. Respondents' assertions about the amount of the reimbursements miss the point. What is important is not whether the amount of money paid by the Bank to Edward Towe was too much, but whether he was entitled to receive any travel reimbursement payments and consulting fees. As explained above, there is no basis for concluding that Edward Towe incurred any travel costs on behalf of the Bank or performed any services for the Bank that he was not already required to perform as the president. Moreover, there is no factual basis to support the claim that Edward Towe was entitled to "subsistence" (or "per diem") payments from the Bank for "temporary" service as bank president. He was not "temporarily transferred" by the Bank from his home in Texas to Wibaux, Montana. Instead, he came out of retirement and moved to Wibaux to work at the Bank after the Towe family assumed control of that institution. RD 5; cf. Rev. Rul. 75-432 (95-2 CCH 21,780 f 8500.069 (discussing temporary assignments). The Board rejects Respondents' assertions that the payments constituted permissible tax avoidance. As a general matter, it is not unsafe or unsound or otherwise improper for a bank to arrange a transaction in a manner so as to minimize the tax consequences, provided the transaction complies with all other applicable legal requirements. Here, however, in the Board's judgment, the payment scheme devised by the Towes was not even a facially plausible tax avoidance device. First, in making the payments to Edward Towe, the Bank was not attempting to minimize its own tax liability, but instead to prevent collection of taxes owed by a Bank insider. Second, the scheme involved the false characterization on the Bank's books of the purpose of payments made by the Bank, which itself is a violation of law. C. Self Dealing Through Commingled Bank and Towe Interests 1. Bank Services to Grant Investments Fund Grant Investments Fund ("Grant") was an investment partnership organized in 1955 by Towe family members for the purpose of making and buying personal and commercial loans. It was owned by numerous Towe family members and trusts. Edward Towe acted as general manager of Grant and it is uncontested that Edward Towe controlled Grant for purposes of section 23A of the Federal Reserve 852 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Act, 12 U.S.C. § 371c. RFF 164; see Exceptions at 23539.7 Edward Towe operated Grant "with virtually unrestrained latitude" from his office as president of the Bank, using Bank resources. RD 11-12. Grant made loans primarily to Bank borrowers, many of whom were insufficiently creditworthy to qualify for new or additional bank loans. RD 12. Grant also made loans to Thomas Towe. RFF 138-139. Grant's operations were tightly intertwined with those of the Bank. Grant used Bank resources in its operations, including operating rent-free from Edward Towe's office at the Bank, and using note forms bearing the Bank's name, which led to confusion among borrowers as to the identity of their creditor. Moreover, at Edward Towe's direction, the Bank provided all of the loan servicing for Grant Investment loans: the Bank received and collected payments on the various Grant loans, processed the payments, maintained documents connected to the loans, issued demands for payment, recovered collateral on defaulted loans, and provided collection services. These services were originally provided without compensation to the Bank and without any formal agreement between Grant and the Bank; later, Grant began to pay a minimal and belowmarket amount for loan processing. RD 13; RFF 245-251. In addition, Edward Towe arranged that all Grant Investment partners would receive free checking accounts from the Bank. RFF 230-233. These practices violated section 23B of the Federal Reserve Act, 12 U.S.C. § 371c-l, and constituted a breach of Edward Towe's fiduciary duty to the Bank. 2. " B a n k Related" Loans by Grant Grant was in the business of lending to "unbankable" clients, making loans to individuals or companies that could not obtain financing from the Bank either because of violation of loan limits or because they would not qualify for Bank lending. RFF 259. In numerous cases, Edward Towe categorized these loans as "bank-related." The relevance of that categorization was that Grant obtained priority over the Bank on whatever collateral the Bank had from the borrower, and would generally get repaid first out of whatever proceeds were obtained from the borrower or the collateral. The subordination "agreement" between the Bank and Grant pursuant to which these payments were made existed solely in Edward Towe's mind, was never reduced to writing, and was not approved by the Bank's board. RFF 272-275. Essentially, however, it meant that Grant was protected by the Bank's collateral for any loan it made up to the value of that collateral, even if that meant that the Bank would suffer a loss on the loan. Grant loans were generally considered "bank-related" if the borrower was a Bank borrower, and the categorization of a particular loan could change at the whim of Edward 7. Accordingly, at least in 1990 and 1991, the Bank and Grant were "affiliates" for purposes of sections 23A and 23B of the Federal Reserve Act, 12U.S.C. §§ 371c and 371c-l. See 12U.S.C. § 371 c(b)( 1), b(3)(A). Towe. Although the Respondents argue in their exceptions that "bank related" loans were made for the benefit of the Bank, Edward Towe's own testimony refutes that position. RFF 279-282; Tr. 4423. Over a 5>/2 year period, Grant made 79 "bank-related" loans totalling $205,000. RFF 275. An example is the so-called "Preiss loan." David Preiss had borrowed $96,959 from the Bank, secured by commercial property known as the Stockman Lounge. Preiss began experiencing financial difficulty in 1986 and 1987. The Bank could not make additional loans to Preiss because he had become an unacceptably high credit risk. Edward Towe caused Grant, however, to make Preiss a series of unsecured loans totalling approximating $10,000 for working capital. These additional loans were evidenced by notes bearing the Bank's name, and Preiss was unaware that he was borrowing from Grant Investments rather than the Bank. Later, Edward Towe caused the Bank to transfer the collateral for Preiss's Bank loans from the Bank to Grant Investments. He achieved this by physically altering a quitclaim deed to substitute Grant for the Bank as the grantee. Edward Towe did not deny that he made the alteration. Tr. 5379-5381. Ultimately, Preiss became bankrupt. The Stockman Lounge property was resold, with the Bank funding 100 percent of the new sale price. Grant's loans to Preiss were repaid out of the proceeds of the second loan, but the Bank was never made whole for its original loan. Further, the new buyers defaulted and the Bank was forced to write off its second loan on the property, although Grant subsequently purchased that note from the Bank. RD 22. Another example involves property known as the Glendive House, which the Bank had acquired through foreclosure. There, too, the Bank made an initial loan, Grant made additional loans that did not reduce the balance on the Bank's loan, the borrowers defaulted, the Bank repossessed and financed the resale of the property, Grant was made whole from the new loan proceeds while the Bank was not, and the second loan defaulted, causing significant losses. RD 23-25. Respondents argue with respect to the "Bank related" loans that the transactions were intended to help the Bank by enabling borrowers to pay olf Bank loans and that the terms of those transactions were governed by an "unwritten agreement" or "oral understanding" subordinating the Bank's claims to Grant's claims to the proceeds of the sale of collateral. Except. 216-263. The Board rejects these arguments. While the ALJ found that Grant did indeed help the Bank in some instances, as in its purchase of the second note in the case of the Preiss loan, that help was offset by instances where Grant benefited at the expense of the Bank. Moreover, Grant can be found to have "helped" the Bank only by isolating one portion of the constantly cycling mix of transactions between the Bank and Grant. The Towes' actions are hardly mitigated by the fact that Grant relieved the Bank of some portion of its loss after they had, by forgery, caused Grant to obtain security that properly belonged to the Bank, and then funded the payment to Grant with the proceeds of another bad loan. Legal Developments More important, as the ALJ acknowledged, is that these transactions, whether or not they conferred some transient benefit on the Bank, constituted egregious unsafe and unsound banking practices. By arranging, with himself, to subordinate the Bank's secured position to another lender with respect to all "bank-related" loans, and by authorizing himself to categorize a given loan as "bank-related," Edward Towe prevented the impartial review of this arrangement by the Bank. While it is conceivable that there might have been transactions in which a disinterested Bank officer would have concluded that the Bank's interests would be served by subordinating its security interest to a third-party lender, no such review was possible. The agreement was not reduced to writing, but originated with and remained in the mind of Respondent Edward Towe, as did the identification of a given loan as "bank-related." RD 23. 8 There was no independent review by Bank personnel other than Edward Towe to determine if the transaction was equivalent to one on an arms' length basis. In any event, the agreement in which Edward Towe allegedly represented both the Bank and Grant was frequently unfavorable to the Bank and caused the Bank to make concessions that were not financially or economically justified. A bank insider who engages in self-dealing transactions runs a high risk of breaching fiduciary duties and of engaging in unsafe and unsound banking practices. In some cases, such conflicts may be cured by full disclosure of the existence of conflicts and approval by a majority of the non-interested members of the Board of directors. Such approval is not possible, of course, where the terms of the transaction have not been reduced to writing and remain subject to change at the whim of the insider. See Greenberg v. Board of Governors, 968 F.2d 164, 171 (2d Cir. 1992) (minutes of board of directors meetings silent as to conflict relationship). Moreover, an agreement that exists wholly in the mind of a single person cannot be said to have any legal meaning whatsoever. Furthermore, the Towes' commingling of their family business interests with those of the Bank breached their fiduciary responsibilities to the Bank (and to the family interests). "The threshold inquiry in assessing whether a director violated his duty of loyalty is whether the director has a conflicting interest in the transaction. Directors are considered to be 'interested' if they either 'appear on both sides of a transaction [] or expect to derive any personal financial benefit from it in the sense of self-dealing, as opposed to a benefit which devolves upon the corporation or all stockholders generally." In re Seidman, 37 F. 3d 911, 8. Respondents' argument that the agreement was nonetheless enforceable has the flavor of a Gilbert and Sullivan farce: "Just because Edward Towe is on both sides of an agreement doesn't mean that no agreement exists at all. Both parties had the capacity to enter into a contract, both parties intended to enter into a contract, and there certainly was a mutual meeting of the minds. Thus all of the elements of an agreement exist." Except, at 222. Moreover, the question is not whether the agreement was enforceable, but whether it was a good deal for the Bank—a determination no one at the Bank had an opportunity to review since the agreement was not in writing or known to anyone other than Edward Towe. 853 934 (3d Cir. 1994), quoting In re Bush, OTS AP 91-16 at 11, 15-16. Here, as Respondents admit, Edward Towe was repeatedly "on both sides of a transaction," in breach of his fiduciary responsibility to the Bank. 3. Condominiums In another set of transactions, involving condominium properties that the Bank had acquired upon default of the loans that financed their construction, Respondents used Grant to create the false appearance that the Bank had sold the condominiums in compliance with banking regulations concerning "other real estate owned" ( " O R E O " ) . RD 28-35. Those regulations required the Bank to dispose of the condominiums within five years, and, in order for such sales to be recognized, prohibited the Bank from financing more than 90 percent of the sale transactions. 12 C.F.R. 7.3025 (1988). The Bank entered into a scheme to make it appear that the Bank had complied with the applicable regulations by selling the foreclosed condominium properties. In particular, the Bank made a series of loans on extremely favorable terms to marginally creditworthy or uncreditworthy borrowers to purchase the condominiums, leading to repeated defaults and resales. Initially, the Bank required only a $200 cash down payment for the condominium units, far less than 10 percent of the purchase price of the condominiums, and financed the remainder of the purchase price. The ALJ found, and the record shows, that the Bank extended credit to any purchaser who applied for a loan, without examining the borrower's credit condition. As a result, the condominium loans experienced an extraordinarily high default rate, increasing the Bank's losses and requiring the Bank repeatedly to reacquire title to the condominium units. Edward and Thomas Towe engaged in conduct that further increased the Bank's risk with respect to the foreclosed condominium properties. (a) Diversion of Down Payments. From 1989 until 1991, down payments made by purchasers buying condominiums from the Bank were deposited into an account controlled by Edward Towe, which was used for the buyers' real estate expenses associated with the condominiums and to make unrecorded loans to condominium buyers, rather than being credited to the Bank. RD 40-41. When the Bank's board reviewed expenses each month, it was not shown the expenses paid out of the down payment account. RFF 372. (b) Down Payment Loans. When informed of an upcoming OCC examination, Edward Towe attempted to disguise the Bank's near-100 percent financing of the sales. He caused Grant to loan each purchaser of a Bank condominium an amount equal to ten percent of the purchase price of each unit, which was applied to reduce the principal amount of the existing Bank loans. RD 31. This gave the appearance that the borrowers had made a 10 percent down payment, when they had not, and thus that the sales would be 854 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 deemed to comply with the regulatory requirements. 9 The down payment loans also made the borrowers' financial condition appear stronger than it actually was and created the appearance that the loans were performing. RD 32. After Grant had extended these retroactive down payment loans, any payments received from borrowers were applied to the Grant loans rather than to the Bank loans. Edward Towe testified that Grant's preferred status was the product of an agreement that he made with himself to subordinate the Bank's position to Grant's. RD 32; Tr. 5778. There is no evidence in the record that there was any independent review of this agreement on behalf of the Bank or that the Bank obtained any benefit for the subordination of its position with regard to these loans. Edward and Thomas Towe then falsified the loan ledgers, reconstructing them to conceal aspects of these transactions, including the fact that the proceeds of the loans from Grant had been applied to reduce the principal amount of the Bank loans. RD 32-35; RFF 492. owned 13.5 percent of Towe Farms, and understood that Towe Farms's losses on the mortgage insurance would be subject to indemnity by Towe Farms' shareholders. RFF 526." The Towes' conduct with respect to the loans to finance the purchases of foreclosed condominium properties constituted unsafe and unsound practices and breaches of their fiduciary duty to the Bank. The making of loans to less than creditworthy borrowers without adequate review, the diversion of the small down payments made by the borrowers, the subordination of the Bank's loans to the Grant down payment loans, and the Bank's reimbursement of Towe Farms for mortgage insurance payments all exacerbated the Bank's losses with respect to the condominium properties. In addition, the loans to finance the condominium purchases failed to comply with the OCC's regulations. (c) Sham Mortgage Insurance. In December 1988, the OCC informed the Bank that the condominiums were still considered to be OREO, despite the down payment loans from Grant. The Bank therefore purchased the down payment loans from Grant and tried another way to remove the condominiums from OREO status. The Bank paid Grant $16,084, representing full principal and interest on the down payment loans. Defaults on these loans following the Bank's acquisition resulted in losses of over $11,000. RD 33. Under OCC regulations, a bank may finance in excess of 90 percent of the purchase price of foreclosed OREO property and still consider the transaction to be an effective sale if private mortgage insurance covers the amount of the bank's loan in excess of 90 percent of the purchase price. As part of this new attempt to establish effective sales of the condominiums, Edward and Thomas Towe arranged for another family entity, Towe Farms, to issue what appeared to be private mortgage insurance to condominium purchasers to cover 10 percent of the loan amount. In reality, as the ALJ found, the mortgage insurance was a complete sham. RD 36. The Bank was rarely reimbursed despite the high default rate, and in those cases where Towe Farms did make payments under the policies, the Bank frequently reimbursed Towe Farms for the payments. In other cases, Towe Farms' liability to the Bank was "waived" by Edward Towe. RD 35- 37. 10 Thomas Towe (a) Jacobson Sham Transaction. Edward Towe, with Thomas Towe's knowledge, caused the Bank to engage in a sham transaction with the purpose of clouding the title of property part-owned by a former business partner, with whom he was feuding. The former partner, Ellis Jones, had built his personal home on land in which he owned an undivided half-interest. Towe family interests owned the other undivided half-interest, which was so encumbered by IRS liens as to be worthless. RD 16. Edward Towe, through Grant, conveyed the Towes' interest in the property to a nominee, John Jacobson. Towe then caused the Bank to purport to loan Jacobson $53,000 secured by the property, evidenced by a mortgage that included the Jones home. One day later, the $53,000 was repaid to the Bank by Jacobson through Grant, and Grant took the Jacobson loan and the mortgage. RD 18. 9. In addition, Grant applied funds to delinquent condominium loans to create the appearance that the loans were performing. RD 32. Given the relationship between the Bank and Grant, it cannot be assumed that Grant's down payment loans actually shifted any risk of loss with respect to the condominium loans from the Bank to Grant. 10. Although actual private mortgage insurance on the condominium loans would have required substantial premiums, neither the Bank nor the borrowers paid Towe Farms for issuing its mortgage insurance. This may explain why, despite defaults on 38 covered mortgage loans, Towe Farms paid out only three times (excluding those payments that were fully reimbursed by the Bank), with total payments of $4715. RFF 508-509, 522. 4. Sham Transactions The net effect was to cloud Jones's title to the property, which led to a lawsuit, settled by the Bank after paying Thomas Towe $5371 in legal fees. Thomas Towe objected to the transaction at a board meeting because it would expose the Bank to a lawsuit for slander of title, but Edward Towe insisted on proceeding with the transaction. RFF 93-94. This sham transaction 12 had no prospect of producing a 11. In 1989 the OCC informed the Bank that it needed to document the legal and financial capacity of Towe Farms to issue private mortgage insurance, and noted that Montana law requires a certificate of authority to transact insurance. Thomas Towe's response was to call the Montana Insurance Commissioner's office to ask if a "guarantee" was subject to the insurance laws. When told that it was not, Thomas Towe ended his research into the issue. RFF 515-519. 12. Among the indicia that this was a sham transaction were that: Jacobson did not file a financial statement or loan application; no title search was performed; the collateral was not appraised; Jacobson did not pay property taxes or secure insurance for the property; Jacobson never made a single payment of principal or interest; and Edward Towe did not believe that Jacobson had the monev to pay the loan. RFF 68-74. Legal Developments benefit to the Bank, 13 in fact caused the Bank a loss at least in the form of unnecessary legal fees, and displayed Edward Towe's willingness to misuse the Bank for personal ends. In their exceptions to the ALJ's findings, Respondents do not dispute the facts concerning the transaction or even its motivation, but argue that it caused no harm and did not constitute wrongdoing. Except, at 200-201. Respondents argue that in the settlement of the ensuing litigation with Jones, Jones dropped the slander of title claim and the Bank was able to make a settlement of unrelated claims that Thomas Towe regarded as favorable. Except, at 202. The Board rejects those exceptions. The manipulation of a bank for a self-dealing transaction is an unsafe or unsound practice when it is motivated by spite as well as when it is motivated by venality. 14 As the Board has previously observed: The safety or soundness element addresses the nature, rather than the degree, of the departure from ordinary standards of prudent banking. Conduct departing from such standards represents an unsafe or unsound banking practice when it is of a kind that, if continued, would present an abnormal risk—i.e., risks other than those inherent in doing business—of harm or loss to the bank. In re Van Dyke, No. AA-EC-87-88 (June 13, 1988), slip op. at 26, aff'd, Van Dyke v. Board of Governors, 876 F.2d 1377, 1380 (8th Cir. 1989); see Greene County Bank v. FDIC, 92 F.3d 633, 636 (8th Cir. 1996) (unsafe or unsound practice is conduct deemed contrary to accepted standards of banking operation which might result in abnormal risk or loss to a banking institution or shareholder). The Jacobson transaction exposed the Bank to substantial financial loss for slander of title, and caused actual loss in the form of whatever settlement value was exchanged for the dropping of the claim. 15 Furthermore, the transaction cost the Bank a portion of the $5,7103 in legal fees paid to Thomas Towe. (b) New Year's Day Sham Transaction. Edward Towe's tax problems included a claim by the IRS that Grant was Edward Towe's alter ego and that, as such, it had engaged in acts of self-dealing in 1989, 1990, and 1991. RFF 113. At the end of 1991, Edward Towe was under pressure from the IRS to cause the Towe Foundation to liquidate its investment in Grant by the end of the year or be subject to 13. Edward Towe conceded that the transaction was not intended to benefit the Bank. RD 18; RFF 100. 14. Notwithstanding Respondents' arguments that there was nothing wrong with the use of the Bank to gain revenge against Jones (Except, at 214-15), such practices are clearly contrary to generally accepted standards of prudent operation and, if continued, could pose an abnormal risk to the institution. They therefore meet the standard for "unsafe or unsound banking practice." 15. The Bank settled claims brought by Jones totalling $28,000 for $9000, and it is impossible to determine what portion of the payment was associated with the slander of title claim. Similarly, it cannot be determined what portion of the legal fees are properly attributed to the transaction. 855 a $50,000 penalty for an additional year of self-dealing. RFF 113-115. On January 1, 1992, in order to give the appearance of complying with that requirement, Edward Towe, with the knowledge and consent of Thomas Towe, effected a circular transaction between the Towe Foundation and Grant accounts at the Bank. Edward Towe deposited a check drawn on Towe Foundation's account, in the amount of $994,500, into Grant's account; simultaneously, he deposited a check in the same amount, drawn on Grant's account, into Towe Foundation's account. Neither account had sufficient funds to pay the checks; Grant's account had a balance of $3007, and Towe Foundation's account had a balance of $11,036. Edward Towe admitted that part of the purpose of the transaction was to produce Bank documents that Thomas Towe could use to show to the IRS that the Towe Foundation's investment in Grant had been liquidated. RFF 111-125. The Board rejects Respondents' argument that the transaction represented a legitimate assignment of assets from Grant to the Towe Foundation in lieu of cash, and that the exchange of checks was merely Edward Towe's idiosyncratic bookkeeping method of recording the transaction. Even though Grant eventually transferred some assets to Towe Foundation, that was not the transaction reflected by the exchange of checks, and it was those cancelled checks that were used to demonstrate to the IRS that Towe Foundation had liquidated its investment in Grant. The Board finds that the Bank's involvement in this transaction, which was designed to mislead the IRS, exposed the Bank to possible financial penalties. Accordingly, Edward and Thomas Towe engaged in an unsafe and unsound transaction and a breach of fiduciary duty by entering into the transaction. 5. Violations of Cease and Desist Order In 1986, before the Towes assumed control, the Bank consented to the issuance of a cease and desist order, which continued in effect throughout the time relevant to the Notice. Among other things, the Order required the Bank to revise and implement its lending policy, adopt and implement written policies and procedures governing charge-offs and recognition of losses, establish a loan review system, adopt and implement policies governing supervision and control of non-accrual loans, and refrain from extending credit without obtaining and analyzing current and satisfactory credit information. From January 1987 until June 1992, during the time the Towes were in control, the Bank operated in continuous violation of the Order in a host of respects including: failing to adhere to workout programs; failing to comply with the Bank's loan policy; failing to recognize quarterly losses; and failing to require current and satisfactory credit information. RD 50. OCC examiners severely criticized these failures in reports in January and September 1987, 1988, 1989, and 1991. Id. The board of directors failed to take effective action to comply because Thomas Towe 856 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 repeatedly reassured the board that the Bank was in compliance with almost all provisions of the Order. The Board rejects Respondents' exception arguing that because the Order used the word "adherence" with respect to one article of the Order, but not others, the Order should be read as excusing non-adherence to the plans, policies, programs and systems that the Order concededly required the Bank to "adopt and implement," or "establish." Except. 378-384. In construing the terms of the Order, the Board draws upon its institutional experience in requiring the establishment of such programs through cease and desist orders. When an institution displays problems of sufficient severity to warrant the imposition of a cease and desist order, it is imperative that action be taken through such programs to address identified problems in a manner endorsed by and monitored by the supervisor. Thomas Towe's construction of the Order, which implicitly reads it as requiring only empty formalities, is at odds with banking reality. The requirement of "adoption" or "establishment" and "implementation" of such programs in a cease and desist order therefore necessarily connotes "adherence" to the programs thus established. When the OCC appointed a conservator for the Bank in June 1992, these violations of the Order were cited, among other things, as grounds for the conservatorship. When challenged by the Bank, the OCC's findings were upheld by the courts, which expressly rejected the contention that the Order required only "adoption," not actual implementation. of the policies specified. First Nat'I Bank & Trust Dep't of Treasury. 63 F.2d 894, 899 (9th Cir. 1995)(Bank's argument "without merit" because it would "render the [Order] meaningless"). The very fact that Thomas Towe maintains this untenable argument before the Board undermines his argument that he has been singled out for punishment as an "effective advocate for the Bank." Except. 378. It instead shows a resistance to fundamental principles of banking and bank regulation inconsistent with service as a bank director. The Board also rejects the argument that Respondents could delegate their responsibility for compliance with the Order to another bank officer. Except. 398-400. The Board has previously observed: A cease and desist order is the most important tool available to federal banking agencies to ensure that banking organizations operate in a safe and sound manner and in conformance with law and regulation . . . The Board believes that these orders must be treated with seriousness by the officers and directors of the companies against which they are issued, because they are meant to assure that banks operate in a safe and sound manner and do not put at risk the resources of the federal safety net and the taxpayers. Under these circumstances, the Board must expect and demand that [bank] officers and directors take particular care to ensure that the provisions of such orders are fulfilled, In re Northwest Indiana Bancshares, Inc. (September 7, 1990) at 32-33, ajf'd sub nom. Stanley v. Board of Governors, 940 F.2d 267 (7th Cir. 1991). For these reasons. directors may not simply delegate away their responsibilities for compliance. The violations of the cease and desist order unquestionably caused loss to the Bank. As an example, the condominium loans were made in violation of the loan policies the cease and desist order required the Bank to adopt. The 1991 examination classified around $300,000 in condominium loans as "loss." Basis For Prohibition The Board adopts the ALJ's recommended conclusions that the conduct of each of the Respondents satisfies all of the requirements for an order of prohibition. 1. Misconduct a. Unsafe and Unsound Banking Practices Respondents participated in a host of unsafe and unsound banking practices reflected by self-dealing transactions including: the disguised payment of compensation to Edward Towe; the commingling of the business operations of the Bank and the other family interests; and the sham transactions, which represented the manipulation of Bank resources for personal reasons rather than for legitimate Bank business. Each of these practices is contrary to prudent principles of banking operation and, if continued, could result in abnormal risk of harm or loss to the Bank. b. Breaches of Fiduciary Duty All of the transactions and practices represented conflicts of interest between the Respondents' Bank and non-Bank duties, and thus breaches of the Respondents' fiduciary duties to the Bank (and to the family interests for which they were fiduciaries.) The surreptitious payment of compensation to Edward Towe benefitted him while putting the Bank at significant risk, and the sham transactions were undertaken to serve personal interests rather than those of the Bank. Respondents' actions in connection with Grant Investments also showed repeated willingness to subordinate the Bank's interests to those of other entities. Respondents appeared not to recognize the existence of these conflicts and took no action to avoid or cure them. c. Violations of Law, Regulations, and Orders Various of the transactions also reflected violations of law and regulation. For example, the transfer of low-quality assets between the Bank and the affiliated Towe family interests, particularly Grant Investments, violated sections 23A and 23B of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. §§ 371c and 371 c-1). The provision of free or belowmarket Bank services to Grant also violated section 23B. The Bank's failure legitimately to dispose of the condominiums within the five-year holding period, and its failure accurately to report its continued holding of this real estate, constituted violations of 12C.F.R. 7.3025 and 12 U.S.C. § 29 and 161. Edward and Thomas Towe also participated in the Bank's violation of the 1986 cease and desist order. Legal Developments 857 2. Effects Procedural These practices, violations, and breaches unquestionably caused both gain to the Respondents and financial and other loss to the Bank. Respondents received financial gain in a number of the transactions and practices, including the disguised compensation payments (Edward Towe received the payments that otherwise would have gone to the IRS); the New Years Day sham transaction (Edward Towe received gain through the avoided IRS penalty); and the commingled Grant/Bank transactions (Grant, an affiliate of Respondents, gained at the expense of the Bank). In addition, the Bank suffered substantial financial loss through a number of the transactions and practices, including the disguised compensation payments (which exposed it to the IRS suit that was ultimately settled for $20,000), the provision of free or below-market services to Grant, the commingled transactions which caused it repeatedly to throw good money after bad while Grant was paid off, the diversion of condominium down payments from the Bank into the account Edward Towe used to pay condominium buyers' expenses, and the violations of the cease and desist order that caused losses on the condominium loans, among others. Administrative law judges are normally accorded wide discretion in dealing with procedural issues before and during the hearing. The ALJ's decisions here were well within his authority under the Uniform Rules of Procedure governing the hearing, and Respondents' procedural exceptions are therefore denied. See 12 C.F.R. 19.5. 3. Culpability The record amply reflects that Respondents repeatedly displayed willful disregard for the safety or soundness of the Bank in every one of the transactions or practices, consciously placing the interests of themselves and of their other family interests ahead of the interests of the Bank. The Board also adopts the ALJ recommended conclusion that both respondents engaged in "continuing disregard for the safety and soundness of the institution," a standard that captures conduct reflecting recklessness or indifference with respect to an institution's safety. See Brickner v. FDIC, 747 F.2d 1198, 1203 n.6. (8th Cir. 1984); Grubb v. FDIC, 34 F.3d 956, 962 (10th Cir. 1994). Furthermore, a number of the practices also meet the alternative requirement of personal dishonesty in that they served the purpose of deception. These practices include the disguised compensation payments, the surreptitious down payment loans, and the New Years Day sham transaction. In addition, Edward Towe's admitted physical alteration of the terms of the Preiss deed further evidenced personal dishonesty. Accordingly, all of the elements required for issuance of an order of prohibition have been amply met. 16 16. The Board denies Respondents' exception relating to the A L J ' s amended recommendation as to the term of prohibition, revising his initial recommendation of a term-limited order to one with an indefinite term. In a recent case the Board expressed doubt that it has the authority to order any term of prohibition other than indefinite. See In re Vickery, 83 Federal Reserve Bulletin 535, 541 (1997). In any event, the Board would be disinclined on the facts of this case to issue any term of prohibition other than indefinite. The Board also declines to issue an advisory opinion on the application of the Order of Prohibition to Thomas Towe's law practice, as he Exceptions Conclusion For the foregoing reasons, the Board orders that the attached Orders of Prohibition issue. By Order of the Board of Governors, this 18th day of August, 1997. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System WILLIAM W. WILLS Secretary of the Board Order of Prohibition WHEREAS, pursuant to section 8(e) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act, as amended (the "Act")(12 U.S.C. § 1818(e)), the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ("the Board") is of the opinion, for the reasons set forth in the accompanying Final Decision, that a final Order of Prohibition should issue against EDWARD TOWE and THOMAS E. TOWE; NOW, THEREFORE, IT IS HEREBY ORDERED that: (1) In the absence of prior written approval by the Board, and by any other Federal financial institution regulatory agency where necessary pursuant to section 8(e)(7)(B) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1818(e)(7)(B)), EDWARD TOWE and THOMAS E. TOWE are hereby prohibited: (a) From participating in the conduct of the affairs of any bank holding company, any insured depository institution or any other institution specified in subsection 8(e)(7)(A) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1818(e)(7)(A)); (b) From soliciting, procuring, transferring, attempting to transfer, voting or attempting to vote any proxy, consent, or authorization with respect to any voting rights in any institution described in subsection 8(e)(7)(A) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1818(e)(7)(A)); (c) from violating any voting agreement previously approved by the appropriate Federal banking agency; or requests in his motion for clarification. The Board notes that the FDI Act specifically distinguishes between persons generally participating in the conduct of the affairs of a bank, and an independent contractor, such as an attorney. 12 U.S.C. § 1813(u)(3)-(4). See Cavallari v. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, 57 F.3d 127 (2d Cir. 1995) (finding attorney to be an institution-affiliated party under 12 U.S.C. § 1813(u)(4)). Thomas Towe should seek any more specific guidance he desires from the appropriate financial institution regulatory agency. 858 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 (d) From voting for a director, or from serving or acting as an institution-affiliated party as defined in section 3(u) of the Act, (12 U.S.C. § 1813(u)), such as an officer, director, or employee. 2. This Order, and each provision hereof, is and shall remain fully eifective and enforceable until expressly stayed, modified, terminated or suspended in writing by the Board. This Order shall become eifective upon the expiration of thirty days after service is made. By Order of the Board of Governors, this 18th day of August, 1997. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System WILLIAM W. WILES Secretary of the Board A1 Financial and Business Statistics A3 GUIDE TO TABULAR DOMESTIC FINANCIAL STATISTICS Money Stock and Bank Credit A4 A5 A6 Federal Finance—Continued PRESENTATION Reserves, money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures Reserves of depository institutions, Reserve Bank credit Reserves and borrowings—Depository institutions All All Federal debt subject to statutory limitation Gross public debt of U.S. Treasury— Types and ownership A28 U.S. government securities dealers—Transactions A29 U.S. government securities dealers— Positions and financing A30 Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies—Debt outstanding Securities Markets and Corporate Finance Policy Instruments A7 A8 A9 Federal Reserve Bank interest rates Reserve requirements of depository institutions Federal Reserve open market transactions Federal Reserve Banks A10 Condition and Federal Reserve note statements A11 Maturity distribution of loan and security holdings A31 New security issues—Tax-exempt state and local governments and corporations A32 Open-end investment companies—Net sales and assets A32 Corporate profits and their distribution A32 Domestic finance companies—Assets and liabilities A33 Domestic finance companies—Consumer, real estate, and business credit Real Estate Monetary and Credit Aggregates A11 Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base A12 Money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A14 Deposit interest rates and amounts outstanding— commercial and BIF-insured banks Commercial Banking Institutions— Assets and Liabilities A15 A16 A17 A19 A20 All commercial banks Domestically chartered commercial banks Large domestically chartered commercial banks Small domestically chartered commercial banks Foreign-related institutions Financial Markets A22 Commercial paper and bankers dollar acceptances outstanding All Prime rate charged by banks on short-term business loans A23 Interest rates—money and capital markets A24 Stock market—Selected statistics Federal Finance A25 Federal fiscal and financing operations A26 U.S. budget receipts and outlays A34 Mortgage markets A35 Mortgage debt outstanding Consumer Credit A36 Total outstanding A3 6 Terms Flow of Funds A37 A39 A40 A41 Funds raised in U.S. credit markets Summary of financial transactions Summary of credit market debt outstanding Summary of financial assets and liabilities DOMESTIC NONFINANCIAL STATISTICS Selected Measures A42 Nonfinancial business activity— Selected measures A42 Labor force, employment, and unemployment A43 Output, capacity, and capacity utilization A44 Industrial production—Indexes and gross value A46 Housing and construction A47 Consumer and producer prices A48 Gross domestic product and income A49 Personal income and saving 2 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Summary Statistics A50 A51 A51 A51 U.S. international transactions—Summary U.S. foreign trade U.S. reserve assets Foreign official assets held at Federal Reserve Banks A52 Selected U.S. liabilities to foreign official institutions Reported by Banks in the United States A52 A53 A55 A56 Liabilities to and claims on foreigners Liabilities to foreigners Banks' own claims on foreigners Banks' own and domestic customers' claims on foreigners A56 Banks' own claims on unaffiliated foreigners A57 Claims on foreign countries— Combined domestic offices and foreign branches Securities Holdings and Transactions A60 Foreign transactions in securities A61 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes—Foreign transactions Interest and Exchange Rates A61 Discount rates of foreign central banks A61 Foreign short-term interest rates A62 Foreign exchange rates A 6 3 GUIDE TO STATISTICAL SPECIAL SPECIAL A58 Liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners A59 Claims on unaffiliated foreigners AND TABLES TABLES A64 Terms of lending at commercial banks, May 1997 A68 Pro forma balance sheet and income statements for priced service operations, June 30, 1997 A 7 0 INDEX TO STATISTICAL Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States RELEASES TABLES A3 Guide to Tabular Presentation SYMBOLS c e n.a. n.e.c. P r * 0 ATS BIF CD CMO FFB FHA FHLBB FHLMC FmHA FNMA FSLIC G-7 GENERAL AND ABBREVIATIONS Corrected Estimated Not available Not elsewhere classified Preliminary Revised (Notation appears on column heading when about half of the figures in that column are changed.) Amounts insignificant in terms of the last decimal place shown in the table (for example, less than 500,000 when the smallest unit given is millions) Calculated to be zero Cell not applicable Automatic transfer service Bank insurance fund Certificate of deposit Collateralized mortgage obligation Federal Financing Bank Federal Housing Administration Federal Home Loan Bank Board Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation Farmers Home Administration Federal National Mortgage Association Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Group of Seven G-10 GNMA GDP HUD IMF IO IPCs IRA MMDA MSA NOW OCD OPEC OTS PO REIT REMIC RP RTC SAIF SCO SDR SIC VA Group of Ten Government National Mortgage Association Gross domestic product Department of Housing and Urban Development International Monetary Fund Interest only Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Individual retirement account Money market deposit account Metropolitan statistical area Negotiable order of withdrawal Other checkable deposit Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Office of Thrift Supervision Principal only Real estate investment trust Real estate mortgage investment conduit Repurchase agreement Resolution Trust Corporation Savings Association Insurance Fund Securitized credit obligation Special drawing right Standard Industrial Classification Department of Veterans Affairs INFORMATION In many of the tables, components do not sum to totals because of rounding. Minus signs are used to indicate (1) a decrease, (2) a negative figure, or (3) an outflow. "U.S. government securities" may include guaranteed issues of U.S. government agencies (the flow of funds figures also include not fully guaranteed issues) as well as direct obligations of the Treasury. "State and local government" also includes municipalities, special districts, and other political subdivisions. A4 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 1.10 RESERVES, M O N E Y STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS. A N D DEBT MEASURES Percent annual rate of change, seasonally adjusted1 1997 1996 1997 Monelary or credit aggregate Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Mar. Apr. May June July -16.4 -16.5 -17.6 5.3 -17.2 -18.5 -16.2 5.1 -8.3 -8.4 -7.2 5.6 -14.3 —15.0r -16.0 3.3 -17.0 -20.7 -19.9 3.5 -21.9 -18.6 -24.5 1.6 -9.7 -15.8 -9.3 3.6 1.5r ,5r - 1.6r 4.7 -5.6 -3.8 -6.7 7.4 -6.5 3.4 5.5 6.5 5.2r -7.3 5.1 8.2 7.2 5.0 -.7 -5.5 4.3 7.1r 7.7 4.9 -6.0 5.2 7.9 ' 8.2' 5.3 -11.3 8.2 6.7 4.5 9.5' 10.3' 5.9 -2.7 -.1 2.0 r 3.1 r 3.9r .6 4.6 5.9r 6.4 2.6 -1.0 4.5 11.0 n.a. n.a. 7.7 13.4r 10.3 19.6r 8.7 15.6r 8.1 16.8r 9.6 16.8r 12.7 21.3 r .9' 8.9' 6.2 10.1r 6.5 32.7 12.0 3.7 19.1 17.0 4.7 22.9 14.0 2.9 12.8 10.7 5.9 23.7 17.1 5.1 25.5 17.6 5.6 35.4 -3.2 6.2 4.6 5.7 11.6 25.6 9.3 12.6 47.1 .2 -.3 9.0 .8 3.0 9.1 2.7 .1 12.8 5.8 -3.1 5.1 2.3 -10.5 1.5 9.7 -4.1 7.3 7.7 3.4 -1.5 .0 -4.1 11.7 -1.6 -13.3 21.6 Monet market mutual funds 18 Retail 19 Institution-onlv 16.3 20.7 17.2 19.8 16.3 15.5 14.7 12.5 19.9 25.1 24.5 -.8 -4.2 .0 12.1 28.1 12.6 19.6 Repurchase agreements and Eurodollars 7 0 Repurchase agreements 10 21 Eurodollars'" -4.0' 9.7' 3.0' 48.2 r 8.5r 40.6 r 5.2 r 30.8 r -10.1' 21.0 r 16.2' 45.3' 3.6 r 61.7' — 12.4r -50.5r 41.9 7.5 3.8 5.7r 3.2 5.6 1.8 5.4r .7 6.3 4.7 5.6r 2.4 7.2' -3.9 6.6 r -3.9 4.8 1 2 3 4 Reserves of depositorv Total Required Nonborrowed Monetary base'1 5 6 7 8 9 Concepts of money, liquid assets, and debt4 M1 M2 M3 L Debt Nonlransaction 10 In M2 3 11 In M3 only 6 institutions' 6.1 6.1 components Time and savings deposits Commercial banks Savinas, including MMDAs Smalltime 7 Large time 8 ' } Thrift institutions 15 Savinas. including MMDAs 16 Smalltime 7 17 Large time 8 P 13 14 Debt components4 2~> Federal 23 Nonfederal 1. Unless otherwise noted, rates of change are calculated from average amounts outstanding during preceding month or quarter. 2. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities, or "breaks," associated with regulatory changes in reserve requirements. (See also table 1.20.) 3. The seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted monetary base consists of (1) seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves (line 1), plus (2) the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock, plus (3) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. 4. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: Ml: (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions. (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers, (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those owed to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions, less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float, and (4) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. Seasonally adjusted Ml is computed by summing currency, travelers checks, demand deposits, and OCDs, each seasonally adjusted separately. M2: Ml plus (1) savings (including MMDAs), (2) small-denomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and (3) balances in retail money market mutual funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of less than $50,000). Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Seasonally adjusted M2 is calculated by summing savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and retail money fund balances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M l . M3: M2 plus (1) large-denomination time deposits (in amounts of $100,000 or more), (2) balances in institutional money funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of $50,000 or more), (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by all depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada. Excludes n.a. n.a. amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Seasonally adjusted M3 is calculated by summing large time deposits, institutional money fund balances, RP liabilities, and Eurodollars, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M2. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, net of money market fund holdings of these assets. Seasonally adjusted L is computed by summing U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and then adding this result to M3. Debt: The debt aggregate is the outstanding credit market debt of the domestic nonfinancial sectors—the federal sector (U.S. government, not including government-sponsored enterprises or federally related mortgage pools) and the nonfederal sectors (state and local governments, households and nonprofit organizations, nonfinancial corporate and nonfarm noncorporate businesses, and farms). Nonfederal debt consists of mortgages, tax-exempt and corporate bonds, consumer credit, bank loans, commercial paper, and other loans. The data, which are derived from the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts, are breakadjusted (that is, discontinuities in the data have been smoothed into the series) and month-averaged (that is, the data have been derived by averaging adjacent month-end levels). 5. Sum of (1) savings deposits (including MMDAs), (2) small time deposits, and (3) retail money fund balances, each seasonally adjusted separately. 6. Sum of (1) large time deposits, (2) institutional money fund balances, (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) of U.S. addressees, each seasonally adjusted separately. 7. Small time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All IRA and Keogh account balances at commercial banks and thrift institutions are subtracted from small time deposits. 8. Large time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 9. Large time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market funds, depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions. 10. Includes both overnight and term. Money Stock and Bank Credit 1.11 A5 RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS A N D RESERVE BANK CREDIT 1 Millions of dollars Average of daily figures Average of daily figures for week ending on date indicated May July June 18 June 25 July 2 July 9 447,486 450,254 r July 16 July 23 July 30 SUPPLYING R E S E R V E FUNDS 1 Reserve Bank credit outstanding U.S. government securities 2 2 Bought outright—System account 3 Held under repurchase agreements 3 Federal agency obligations 4 Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements 5 6 Acceptances Loans to depository institutions 7 Adjustment credit 8 Seasonal credit Extended credit 9 10 Float 11 Other Federal Reserve assets 12 Gold stock 13 Special drawing rights certificate account 14 Treasury currency outstanding 449,169 r 456,507 449,824 405,099 10,616 407,635 7,801 410,681 3,618 407,195 6.331 409,750 7,427 409,846 11,652 411,184 3.575 411,118 5,039 410,818 1,713 1,970 680 1,563 862 1,220 814 1,496 659 1,496 457 1,422 831 1,236 1,513 1,222 1,209 163 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 66 176 94 243 425 304 21 10 294 303 27 347 0 105 330 69 295 0 9 221 0 0 0 0 0 150 30,028 474 30,497 r 497 31.534 1,278 30,297 30.787 608 31,419 754 31,246 197 31,694 566 31,540 11,051 9,200 25,260 r 11,050 9,200 25,31 l r 11,050 9,200 25,369 11,050 9.200 25.310 r 11,050 9,200 25,322 r 11,050 9,200 25,335 11,050 9,200 25,349 11,049 9,200 25,363 11,049 9,200 25,377 448,766 r 320 451,823 r 343 456,114 336 451,814 r 344 451,528 r 344 453,544 344 458,067 346 456,881 345 455,217 334 11,513 175 7,117 356 15,132 10,918 4,750 175 7,309 319 15,354 10.063 6,831 172 7,146 374 15,198 11,868 208 7,122 338 15,194 9,223 r 12,577 177 7,559 324 15,467 12,100 3,902 171 7,285 324 15,172 10,155 4,919 190 7,251 321 15,359 11,026 5,212 7,185 366 15,497 10,487 r 7,293 311 15,343 8,130 July 16 July 23 0 0 -21' 1,096 ABSORBING R E S E R V E F U N D S 15 Currency in circulation 16 Treasury cash holdings Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks 17 Treasury 18 Foreign 19 Service-related balances and adjustments . . . 20 Other 21 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital . . 22 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 4 182 11,168 Wednesday figures End-of-month figures July May 168 July 2 July 9 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 1 Reserve Bank credit outstanding U.S. government securities" 2 Bought outright—System account 3 3 Held under repurchase agreements Federal agency obligations 4 Bought outright 5 Held under repurchase agreements 6 Acceptances Loans to depository institutions 7 Adjustment credit 8 Seasonal credit 9 Extended credit 10 Float 11 Other Federal Reserve assets 12 Gold stock 13 Special drawing rights certificate account 14 Treasury currency outstanding 451,816 449,141 450,131 446,018 405,124 7,453 410.914 15,456 407,839 6,326 407,451 9,211 409,719 13,140 411,461 3,360 410,155 3,415 411,733 4,840 409,877 1,650 1,970 1,847 1,496 1,117 1,209 743 1,496 966 1,496 1.400 1,236 1,725 1,236 1.470 1,209 500 1,209 190 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 353 219 1,587 307 14 398 268 393 309 1,142 296 107 291 4 328 365 0 0 0 0 0 811 0 128 447,054 0 0 461r 1 0 103 29,986 32,338 959 31,459 30,562 -703r 31,349 1,848 30,747 1,253 31,214 31,388 948 31,778 11,051 9,200 25.284' 11,050 9,200 25,335 r 11,051 9,200 25,405 11,050 9,200 25,310' 11,050 9,200 25,322'' 11,050 9,200 25,335 11,050 9,200 25,349 11,049 9,200 25,363 11,050 9,200 25,377 451,141r 330 453,624 r 343 455,103 311 452,468 r 344 452,834 r 343 456,813 346 458,689 347 456,880 336 455,703 323 5,174 177 7,124 325 16,037 12,281 16,368 178 7,559 321 15,517 15,350 r 5,014 175 7,139 325 14,785 11,752 9,050 167 7,146 371 14,940 11,846 19,285 468 7,122 337 15,166 7,120 r 5,253 172 7,559 340 14,971 11,945 4,645 170 7,285 303 15,101 8,200 6,562 265 7,251 317 15,167 8,965 4,942 163 7,293 308 15,138 7,777 ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 15 Currency in circulation 16 Treasury cash holdings Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks 17 Treasury 18 Foreign 19 Service-related balances and adjustments . . 20 Other 21 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 22 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks" 1. Amounts of cash held as reserves are shown in table 1.12, line 2. 2. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 3. Includes compensation that adjusts for the effects of inflation on the principal of inflation-indexed securities. 4. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. A6 1.12 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 RESERVES A N D BORROWINGS Depository Institutions' Millions of dollars Prorated monthly averages of biweekly averages Reserve classification 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks 2 Total vault cash 1 Applied vault cash 4 Surplus vault cash 5 Total reserves 6 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks 7 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks 8 Seasonal borrowings Extended credit9 1994 1995 1996 1997 Dec. Dec. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June r July 24,658 40,378 36,682 3,696 61,340 60,172 1.168 209 100 0 20,440 42.094 37.460 4,634 57,900 56,622 1,278 257 40 0 13,395 44,426 37,848 6,578 51,243 49,819 1,424 155 68 0 11,710 47,172 38,932 8,240 50,642 49,419 1,223 45 19 0 11,455 43,375 36,588 6,788 48,043 47,012 1,031 42 21 0 11,515 42,116 36,029 6,087 47,543 46,383 1,160 156 37 0 12,308 41,381 35,571 5,810 47,879 46,869 1,010 261 88 0 10,916 41,111 35,081 6,030 45,997 44,757 1,240 243 173 0 10,291 42,398 36.319 6,079 46,610 45,330 1,280 367 243 0 9,854 43,129 36,530 6,599 46,383 45,179 1,204 409 330 0 Biweekly averages of daily figures for two week periods ending on dates indicated 1997 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks" Total vault cash 3 Applied vault cash 4 Surplus vault cash'1 Total reserves 6 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks 7 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks 8 Seasonal borrowings Extended credit 9 Apr. 9 Apr. 23 May 7 May 21 June 4 June 18 July 2 r July 16 July 30 Aug. 13 12,620 41,640 35,916 5,724 48,536 47,313 1,223 344 61 0 12,516 40,986 35.359 5,627 47,874 47,209 665 228 86 0 11,493 41,838 35,551 6,288 47,043 45,619 1,424 219 127 0 10,547 40,879 34,780 6,099 45,326 44,280 1,046 189 169 0 11,030 40,929 35,176 5,753 46,205 44,821 1,384 336 210 0 9,782 43,447 36,911 6,536 46,693 45,417 1,276 222 205 0 10,639 41,664 36,009 5,655 46,648 45,398 1,250 547 300 0 10,560 42,756 36,565 6,191 47,125 45,739 1,386 314 299 0 9,007 43,703 36,559 7,144 45,566 44,561 1,005 484 363 0 10,251 43,250 36,665 6,585 46,916 45,576 1,340 426 371 0 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's H.3 (502) weekly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. Data are not break-adjusted or seasonally adjusted. 2. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float and includes other off-balance-sheet "as-of" adjustments. 3. Total "lagged" vault cash held by depository institutions subject to reserve requirements. Dates refer to the maintenance periods during which the vault cash may be used to satisfy reserve requirements. The maintenance period for weekly reporters ends sixteen days after the lagged computation period during which the vault cash is held. Before Nov. 25, 1992, the maintenance period ended thirty days after the lagged computation period. 4. All vault cash held during the lagged computation period by "bound" institutions (that is, those whose required reserves exceed their vault cash) plus the amount of vault cash applied during the maintenance period by "nonbound" institutions (that is, those whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) to satisfy current reserve requirements. 5. Total vault cash (line 2) less applied vault cash (line 3). 6. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks (line 1) plus applied vault cash (line 3). 7. Total reserves (line 5) less required reserves (line 6). 8. Also includes adjustment credit. 9. Consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market effect of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. Policy Instruments 1.14 A7 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK INTEREST RATES Percent per year Current and previous levels Adjustment credit1 Federal Reserve Bank Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta On 9/5/97 Extended credit 3 Effective date Previous rate On 9/5/97 Eifective date Previous rate On 9/5/97 Effective date Previous rate 2/1/96 1/31/96 1/31/96 1/31/96 2/1/96 1/31/96 5.25 5.60 8/28/97 5.55 6.10 8/28/97 6.05 5.25 5.60 8/28/97 5.55 6.10 8/28/97 6.05 5.00 Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Seasonal credit 2 2/1/96 2/5/96 1/31/96 2/1/96 1/31/96 1/31/96 5.00 Range of rates for adjustment credit in recent years Range (or level)—All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 6-6.5 6.5 6.5-7 7 7-7.25 7.25 7.75 8 8-8.5 8.5 8.5-9.5 9.5 6.5 6.5 7 7 7.25 7.25 7.75 8 8.5 8.5 9.5 9.5 In effect Dec. 31, 1977 1978—Jan. 9 20 May 11 12 July 3 10 Aug. 21 Sept. 22 Oct. 16 20 Nov. 1 3 1981—Nov. 1979—July 20 Aug. 17 20 Sept. 19 21 Oct. 8 10 10-10.5 10.5 10.5-11 11 1980—Feb. 15 19 May 29 30 June 13 12-13 10 16 July 28 29 Sept. 26 Nov. 17 Dec. 5 8 1981—May 5 Range (or evel)—All F.R. Banks 11-12 12 13 12-13 12 10 10.5 10.5 11 12 12 13 13 13 12 11 11 10 10 11 12 12-13 13 13-14 13 13 14 2 6 4 1982—July 20 23 Aug. 2 3 13 13 12 11.5 11.5 11 11 10.5 10 10 9.5 9.5 9 9 9 8.5 8.5 9 13 Nov. 21 26 Dec. 24 8.5-9 9 8.5-9 8.5 8 9 9 8.5 8.5 8 1985—May 20 24 7.5-8 7.5 7.5 7.5 1986—Mar. 7-7.5 7 6.5-7 6.5 6 5.5-6 5.5 7 7 6.5 6.5 6 5.5 5.5 5.5-6 6 6 6 16 27 30 Oct. 12 13 Nov. 22 26 Dec. 14 15 17 1984—Apr. 7 10 Apr. 21 23. July II Aug. 21 22 Effective date 1988—Aug. 11 Range (or level)—All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 9 11 6-6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 1989—Feb. 24 27 6.5-7 7 7 7 1990—Dec. 19 6.5 6.5 1 4 30 2 13 17 6 7 20 24 6-6.5 6 5.5-6 5.5 5-5.5 5 4.5-5 4.5 3.5-4.5 3.5 6 6 5.5 5.5 5 5 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 2 7 3-3.5 3 1994—May 17 18 Aug. 16 18 Nov. 15 17 3-3.5 3.5 3.5-4 4 4-4.75 4.75 3.5 3.5 4 4 4.75 4.75 1 9 4.75-5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 1996—Jan. 31 Feb. 5 5.00-5.25 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 1991—Feb. Apr. May Sept. Nov. Dec. 1992—July 1995—Feb. In effect Sept. 5. 1997 1987—Sept. 4 1. Available on a short-term basis to help depository institutions meet temporary needs for funds that cannot be met through reasonable alternative sources. The highest rate established for loans to depository institutions may be charged on adjustment credit loans of unusual size that result from a major operating problem at the borrower's facility. 2. Available to help relatively small depository institutions meet regular seasonal needs for funds that arise from a clear pattern of intrayearly movements in their deposits and loans and that cannot be met through special industry lenders. The discount rate on seasonal credit takes into account rates charged by market sources of funds and ordinarily is reestablished on the first business day of each two-week reserve maintenance period; however, it is never less than the discount rate applicable to adjustment credit. 3. May be made available to depository institutions when similar assistance is not reasonably available from other sources, including special industry lenders. Such credit may be provided when exceptional circumstances (including sustained deposit drains, impaired access to money market funds, or sudden deterioration in loan repayment performance) or practices involve only a particular institution, or to meet the needs of institutions experiencing difficulties adjusting to changing market conditions over a longer period (particularly at times of deposit disintermediation). The discount rate applicable to adjustment credit ordinarily is charged on extended-credit loans outstanding less than thirty days; however, at the discretion 13-14 13 12 F.R. Bank of N.Y. 11.5-12 11.5 11-11.5 11 10.5 10-10.5 10 9.5-10 9.5 9-9.5 9 8.5-9 8.5-9 8.5 11 11-12 11 10-11 10 11 12 14 Dec. 4 3 3 of the Federal Reserve Bank, this time period may be shortened. Beyond this initial period, a flexible rate somewhat above rates charged on market sources of funds is charged. The rate ordinarily is reestablished on the first business day of each two-week reserve maintenance period, but it is never less than the discount rate applicable to adjustment credit plus 50 basis points. 4. For earlier data, see the following publications of the Board of Governors: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941, and 1941-1970; and the Annual Statistical Digest, 19701979. In 1980 and 1981, the Federal Reserve applied a surcharge to short-term adjustment-credit borrowings by institutions with deposits of $500 million or more that had borrowed in successive weeks or in more than four weeks in a calendar quarter. A 3 percent surcharge was in effect from Mar. 17, 1980, through May 7, 1980. A surcharge of 2 percent was reimposed on Nov. 17, 1980; the surcharge was subsequently raised to 3 percent on Dec. 5, 1980, and to 4 percent on May 5. 1981. The surcharge was reduced to 3 percent effective Sept. 22, 1981, and to 2 percent effective Oct. 12, 1981. As of Oct. 1, 1981, the formula for applying the surcharge was changed from a calendar quarter to a moving thirteen-week period. The surcharge was eliminated on Nov. 17, 1981. A8 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 1.15 RESERVE REQUIREMENTS OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS 1 Type of deposit Net transaction accounts $0 million-$49.3 million 3 . More than $49.3 million 4 . 1/2/97 1/2/97 3 Nonpersonal time deposits' 12/27/90 4 Eurocurrency liabilities6. . . 12/27/90 1 2 1. Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with Federal Reserve Banks or vault cash. Nonmember institutions may maintain reserve balances with a Federal Reserve Bank indirectly, on a pass-through basis, with certain approved institutions. For previous reserve requirements, see earlier editions of the Annual Report or the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Under the Monetary Control Act of 1980, depository institutions include commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, agencies and branches of foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations. 2. Transaction accounts include all deposits against which the account holder is permitted to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instruments, payment orders of withdrawal, or telephone or preauthorized transfers for the purpose of making payments to third persons or others. However, accounts subject to the rules that permit no more than six preauthorized, automatic, or other transfers per month (of which no more than three may be by check, draft, debit card, or similar order payable directly to third parties) are savings deposits, not transaction accounts. 3. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 requires that the amount of transaction accounts against which the 3 percent reserve requirement applies be modified annually by 80 percent of the percentage change in transaction accounts held by all depository institutions, determined as of June 30 of each year. Effective with the reserve maintenance period beginning January 2, 1997, for depository institutions that report weekly, and with the period beginning January 16, 1997, for institutions that report quarterly, the amount was decreased from $52.0 million to $49.3 million. Under the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, the Board adjusts the amount of reservable liabilities subject to a zero percent reserve requirement each year for the succeeding calendar year by 80 percent of the percentage increase in the total reservable liabilities of all depository institutions, measured on an annual basis as of June 30. No corresponding adjustment is made in the event of a decrease. The exemption applies only to accounts that would be subject to a 3 percent reserve requirement. Effective with the reserve maintenance period beginning January 2, 1997, for depository institutions that report weekly, and with the period beginning January 16, 1997, for institutions that report quarterly, the exemption was raised from $4.3 million to $4.4 million. 4. The reserve requirement was reduced from 12 percent to 10 percent on Apr. 2, 1992, for institutions that report weekly, and on Apr. 16, 1992, for institutions that report quarterly. 5. For institutions that report weekly, the reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of less than 1 1 /2 years was reduced from 3 percent to 1 1 /2 percent for the maintenance period that began Dec. 13, 1990, and to zero for the maintenance period that began Dec. 27, 1990. For institutions that report quarterly, the reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of less than 1 x/2 years was reduced from 3 percent to zero on Jan. 17, 1991. The reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of 1 '/2 years or more has been zero since Oct. 6, 1983. 6. The reserve requirement on Eurocurrency liabilities was reduced from 3 percent to zero in the same manner and on the same dates as the reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of less than 1 '/2 years (see note 5). Policy Instruments 1.17 A9 FEDERAL RESERVE OPEN MARKET TRANSACTIONS' Millions of dollars 1997 1996 Type of transaction and maturity 1994 1995 1996 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June U.S. TREASURY SECURITIES 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 V 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Outright transactions (excluding transactions) Treasury bills Gross purchases Gross sales Exchanges For new bills Redemptions Others within one vear Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges Redemptions One to five years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges Five to ten years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges More than ten years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges All maturities Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions matched Matched transactions 26 Gross purchases 27 Gross sales Repurchase agreements 28 Gross purchases 29 Gross sales 30 Net change in U.S. Treasury securities 17,484 0 380,327 380,327 0 10,932 0 405,296 405,296 900 9,901 0 426,928 426,928 0 0 0 34,211 34,211 0 0 0 40,346 40,346 0 0 0 33,997 33.647 0 0 0 31,720 31,720 0 4,006 0 33,160 33,160 0 0 0 47,456 47,456 0 596 0 33,022 33,022 0 733 0 0 -31,949 2,337 390 0 43,574 -35,407 1.776 524 0 30,512 -41.394 2,015 0 0 2.259 -1,950 0 0 0 2,481 -550 607 818 0 5,086 -2,864 0 0 0 3,143 -1,534 0 0 0 2,006 -2,100 376 383 0 5,666 -4,229 0 494 0 1,476 -2,250 0 9,916 0 -6.004 26,458 5,366 0 -34,646 26,387 3,898 0 -25,022 31,459 0 0 -2,259 1.950 0 0 -2,481 550 1,125 0 -4,926 1,874 2,861 0 -3,143 1.534 1,924 0 -2,006 1,700 1,102 0 -4,685 2,479 2,797 0 -1,476 2,250 3,575 0 -3.145 4,717 1,432 0 -3,093 7,220 1.116 0 - 5,469 6,666 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,236 890 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 400 734 0 -981 1.750 499 0 0 0 3,606 0 -918 775 2,529 0 -2,253 1,800 1.655 0 -20 3,270 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1,396 450 1.117 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 988 0 0 0 906 0 0 0 35,314 0 2,337 20.649 0 2,676 17,094 0 2,015 0 0 0 0 0 607 1,943 0 0 3,978 0 0 5,930 0 376 3,206 0 0 5,292 0 0 1,700,836 1,701,309 2,197,736 2,202,030 3,092,399 3,094,769 272,117 273,872 285,667 283,240 250,867 254,741 288,373 288,073 303,056 301,177 287,229 287,826 293,506 293,008 309,276 311,898 331.694 328,497 457.568 450,359 85,924 73,501 74,422 86,673 48,805 45,747 60.425 60,718 102,578 62,685 46,552 89.477 60,286 47,070 29,882 16.875 19,919 10,669 -10,430 1.127 3.984 47.326 -40,316 19.006 0 0 942 0 0 1,003 0 0 409 0 0 12 0 0 187 0 0 27 0 0 17 0 0 24 0 0 0 0 0 474 52,696 52,696 36,851 36,776 75,354 74,842 7,796 8,947 17,668 17,995 9,795 9.454 14,300 14.830 10,178 10,285 7,954 7.096 9.228 9,131 FEDERAL A G E N C Y OBLIGATIONS Outright transactions 31 Gross purchases 32 Gross sales 33 Redemptions Repurchase agreements 34 Gross purchases 35 Gross sales 36 Net change in federal agency obligations 37 Total net change in System Open Market Account . . . -942 -928 103 -1,163 -514 314 -547 -131 858 -377 28,940 15,948 20,021 9,506 -10,944 1,441 3,437 47,195 -39,458 18,629 1. Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures increase such holdings. 2. Transactions exclude changes in compensation for the effects of inflation on the principal of inflation-indexed securities. A10 1.18 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Condition and Federal Reserve Note Statements 1 Millions of dollars Account July 2 July 9 Wednesday End of month 1997 1997 July 16 July 23 July 30 May 31 June 30 July 31 Consolidated condition statement ASSETS 11,050 9,200 473 11,050 9,200 459 11,049 9,200 468 11,050 9,200 471 11,051 9,200 477 11,051 9,200 531 11,050 9,200 492 11,051 9,200 484 Loans 4 To depository institutions 5 Other 6 Acceptances held under repurchase agreements 1,438 0 0 398 0 0 332 0 0 366 0 0 1,679 0 0 571 0 0 1,894 0 0 411 0 0 Federal agency obligations 1 Bought outright 8 Held under repurchase agreements 1,236 1,725 1,236 1,470 1,209 500 1,209 190 1,209 975 1,970 1,847 1,496 1,117 1,209 743 1 Gold certificate account 2 Special drawing rights certificate account 3 Coin 414,821 413,570 416,573 411,527 417,919 412,577 426,370 414,165 10 Bought outright 2 11 Bills 12 Notes 13 Bonds 14 Held under repurchase agreements 411,461 196,077 161,122 54,261 3,360 410,155 194,772 161,122 54,261 3,415 411,733 196,947 160,524 54,261 4,840 409,877 195,091 160,524 54,261 1,650 408,992 194,207 160,524 54,261 8,927 405,124 194,437 157,770 52,916 7,453 410,914 195.531 161,122 54,261 15,456 407,839 193,053 160,524 54,261 6,326 15 Total loans and securities 419,220 416,674 418,615 413,292 421,782 416,965 430,878 416,529 8,916 1,251 7,988 1,252 7,241 1,259 6,424 1,259 5,733 1,258 4,188 1,243 2,400 1,251 4,833 1,257 17,972 11,696 17,979 12,213 17,986 12,267 17,992 12,400 17,999 13,074 18,080 10,727 17,970 13,295 17,204 12,976 479,778 476,815 478,084 472,088 480,574 471,985 486,536 473,534 432,297 434,145 432,321 431,119 430,862 426,718 429,124 430,492 25,498 21,051 24,009 20,080 28,624 25,268 40,087 23,646 19,732 5,253 172 340 15,932 4,645 170 303 16,865 6,562 265 317 14,668 4,942 163 308 22,984 5,153 170 316 19,592 5,174 177 325 23,219 16,368 178 321 18,132 5,014 175 325 7,011 4,779 6,518 4,691 6,586 4,663 5,751 4,575 5,549 4,929 3,962 5,187 1,808 5,029 4,611 4,919 469,585 466,405 467,580 461,525 469,963 461,135 476,048 463,667 5,055 4,496 642 5,063 4,496 852 5,074 4,496 934 5,079 4,496 988 5,087 4,496 1,028 4,828 4,496 1,527 5,050 4,496 943 5,087 4,317 462 479,778 476,815 478,084 472,088 480,574 471,985 486,536 473,534 630,606 628,414 627,882 629,980 631,119 643,549 632,925 634,814 9 Total U.S. Treasury securities 16 Items in process of collection 17 Bank premises Other assets 18 Denominated in foreign currencies 3 19 All other 4 20 Total assets LIABILITIES 21 Federal Reserve notes 22 Total deposits 23 24 25 26 Depository institutions U.S. Treasury—General account Foreign—Official accounts Other 27 Deferred credit items 28 Other liabilities and accrued dividends 5 29 Total liabilities CAPITAL A C C O U N T S 30 Capital paid in 31 Surplus 32 Other capital accounts 33 Total liabilities and capital accounts MEMO 34 Marketable U.S. Treasury securities held in custody for foreign and international accounts Federal Reserve note statement 35 Federal Reserve notes outstanding (issued to Banks) 36 LESS: Held by Federal Reserve Banks 37 Federal Reserve notes, net 38 39 40 41 Collateral held against notes, net Gold certificate account Special drawing rights certificate account Other eligible assets U.S. Treasury and agency securities 42 Total collateral 541,847 109,550 432,297 541,156 107,010 434,145 540,855 108,534 432,321 540,941 109,821 431,119 541,296 110,434 430,862 536,348 109,630 426,718 542,199 113,075 429,124 541,783 111,291 430,492 11,050 9,200 0 412,047 11,050 9,200 0 413,896 11,049 9,200 0 412,072 11,050 9,200 0 410,869 11,051 9,200 0 410,611 11,051 9,200 0 406,468 11,050 9,200 0 408,874 11,051 9,200 0 410,241 432,297 434,145 432,321 431,119 430,862 426,718 429,124 430,492 1. Some of the data in this table also appear in the Board's H.4.1 (503) weekly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. Treasury securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and includes compensation that adjusts for the effects of inflation on the principal of inflation-indexed securities. Excludes securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 3. Valued monthly at market exchange rates. 4. Includes special investment account at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in Treasury bills maturing within ninety days. 5. Includes exchange-translation account reflecting the monthly revaluation at market exchange rates of foreign exchange commitments. Federal Reserve Banks/Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.19 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS All Maturity Distribution of Loan and Security Holding Millions of dollars Type of holding and maturity July 2 July 9 Wednesday End of month 1997 1997 July 16 July 23 July 30 May 30 June 30 July 31 1 Total loans 1,438 398 332 366 1,677 571 1,894 412 2 Within fifteen days' 3. Sixteen days to ninety days 1,191 248 180 218 209 123 310 56 1,610 73 466 105 1,726 169 193 218 414,821 413,570 416,573 411,527 417,919 412,577 426,370 414,165 12,768 95,093 128,617 95,315 39,017 44,011 17,059 89,047 129,122 95,315 39,016 44,011 19,827 87,937 131,778 94,034 39,016 44,011 15,482 94,167 124,847 94,004 39,016 44,011 16,820 92,691 131,377 94,004 39,016 44,011 8,778 100,730 127,057 94,392 38,516 43,105 23,839 94,494 129,694 95,315 39,016 44,011 9,419 88,758 139,787 93,174 39,016 44,011 11 Total federal agency obligations 2,961 2,706 1,709 1,399 2,184 3,797 2,613 2,130 12 13 14 15 16 17 1,752 269 210 416 290 25 1,497 329 150 416 290 25 500 349 145 401 290 25 354 200 130 401 290 25 1,154 185 130 401 290 25 2,301 434 315 416 307 25 1,392 281 210 416 290 25 922 185 130 401 290 25 4 Total U.S. Treasury securities 2 5 6 7 8 9 10 Within fifteen days' Sixteen days to ninety days Ninety-one days to one year One year to five years Five years to ten years More than ten years Within fifteen days' Sixteen days to ninety days Ninety-one days to one year One year to five years Five years to ten years More than ten years 1. Holdings under repurchase agreements are classified as maturing within fifteen days in accordance with maximum maturity of the agreements. 1.20 2. Includes compensation that adjusts for the effects of inflation on the principal of inflation-indexed securities. AGGREGATE RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS A N D MONETARY BASE 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1997 1996 Item 1993 Dec. 1994 Dec. 1995 Dec. 1996 Dec. Dec. Total reserves" Nonborrowed reserves 4 Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 5 Required reserves Monetary base 6 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June r July 48.31 48.16 48.16 47.15 457.62 47.43 47.17 47.17 46.42 458.24 47.05 46.81 46.81 45.81 459.61 47.11 46.74 46.74 45.83 461.42 46.89 46.48 46.48 45.68 464.25 Seasonally adjusted ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS 2 1 2 3 4 5 Jan. 60.55 60.46 60.46 59.48 386.88 59.40 59.20 59.20 58.24 418.48 56.39 56.13 56.13 55.11 434.52 50.06 49.91 49.91 48.64 452.67 50.06 49.91 49.91 48.64 452.67 49.52 49.47 49.47 48.29 454.14 49.01 48.97 48.97 47.98 456.28 Not seasonally adjusted 6 7 8 9 10 Total reserves 7 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 5 Required reserves 8 Monetary base 9 62.37 62.29 62.29 61.31 390.59 61.13 60.92 60.92 59.96 422.51 58.02 57.76 57.76 56.74 439.03 51.52 51.37 51.37 50.10 456.72 51.52 51.37 51.37 50.10 456.72 50.67 50.62 50.62 49.44 455.55 48.12 48.08 48.08 47.09 452.56 47.69 47.53 47.53 46.53 455.26 48.09 47.83 47.83 47.08 458.17 46.26 46.02 46.02 45.02 458.30 46.93 46.56 46.56 45.65 461.82 46.76 46.35 46.35 45.56 465.59 62.86 62.78 62.78 61.80 397.62 1.06 .08 61.34 61.13 61.13 60.17 427.25 1.17 .21 57.90 57.64 57.64 56.62 444.45 1.28 .26 51.24 51.09 51.09 49.82 463.49 1.42 .16 51.24 51.09 51.09 49.82 463.49 1.42 .16 50.64 50.60 50.60 49.42 462.71 1.22 .05 48.04 48.00 48.00 47.01 459.64 1.03 .04 47.54 47.39 47.39 46.38 462.22 1.16 .16 47.88 47.62 47.62 46.87 465.06 1.01 .26 46.00 45.75 45.75 44.76 465.23 1.24 .24 46.61 46.24 46.24 45.33 468.80 1.28 .37 46.38 45.97 45.97 45.18 472.62 1.20 .41 N O T ADJUSTED FOR C H A N G E S IN RESERVE R E Q U I R E M E N T S 1 0 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Total reserves" Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 5 Required reserves Monetary base' 2 Excess reserves' 3 Borrowings from the Federal Reserve 1. Latest monthly and biweekly figures are available from the Board's H.3 (502) weekly statistical release. Historical data starting in 1959 and estimates of the effect on required reserves of changes in reserve requirements are available from the Money and Reserves Projections Section, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. 2. Figures reflect adjustments for discontinuities, or "breaks," associated with regulatory changes in reserve requirements. (See also table 1.10.) 3. Seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves equal seasonally adjusted, breakadjusted required reserves (line 4) plus excess reserves (line 16). 4. Seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted nonborrowed reserves equal seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves (line 1) less total borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (line 17). 5. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market effect of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 6. The seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted monetary base consists of (1) seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves (line 1), plus (2) the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock, plus (3) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all those weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. 7. Break-adjusted total reserves equal break-adjusted required reserves (line 9) plus excess reserves (line 16). 8. To adjust required reserves for discontinuities that are due to regulatory changes in reserve requirements, a multiplicative procedure is used to estimate what required reserves would have been in past periods had current reserve requirements been in effect. Breakadjusted required reserves include required reserves against transactions deposits and nonpersonal time and savings deposits (but not reservable nondeposit liabilities). 9. The break-adjusted monetary base equals (1) break-adjusted total reserves (line 6), plus (2) the (unadjusted) currency component of the money stock, plus (3) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all those weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the break-adjusted difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. 10. Reflects actual reserve requirements, including those on nondeposit liabilities, with no adjustments to eliminate the effects of discontinuities associated with regulatory changes in reserve requirements. 11. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements. 12. The monetary base, not break-adjusted and not seasonally adjusted, consists of (1) total reserves (line 11), plus (2) required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float at Federal Reserve Banks, plus (3) the currency component of the money stock, plus (4) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all those weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. Since the introduction of contemporaneous reserve requirements in February 1984, currency and vault cash figures have been measured over the computation periods ending on Mondays. 13. Unadjusted total reserves (line 11) less unadjusted required reserves (line 14). A12 1.21 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, A N D DEBT MEASURES' Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1997 Item 1993 Dec. 1994 Dec. 1995 Dec. 1996 Dec. Apr. May June July Seasonally adjusted Measures' 1 Ml M2 3 M3 4 1. Debt 1,129.8 3,486.6 4,254.4 5,167.8 12,508.7 1,150.7 3,502.1 4,327.3 r 5,308.4 r 13,150.9 1,129.0 3,655.0 4,592.5 r 5,697.6 r 13,866.9r 1,081.0 3,834.3 4,933.0 r 6,098.7 r 14,614.0r 1,065.1 3,905.0 5,067.5 6,254.9 r 14,857.8r 1,062.7 3,904.7 5,075.8 r 6,270.9 r 14,905.9r 1,063.2 3,919.8 5,100.8 r 6,304.2 14,937.8 1,062.3 3,934.4 5,147.5 n.a. n.a. 322.2 7.9 385.2 414.5 354.4 8.5 384.1 403.8 372.6 8.9 391.1 356.5 395.2 8.6 402.4 274.8 403.7 8.3 395.4 257.7 406.1 8.2 395.6 252.8 407.7 8.0 397.3 250. r 410.3 8.2 396.4 247.4 2,356.8 767.8 2,351.4 825.3 r 2,526.0 937.5 r 2,753.3 l,098.7 r 2,839.9 1,162.5 2,842.0 r l,171.1 r 2,856.6 1,181 .C 2,872.1 1,213.2 Commercial banks 12 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 13 Small time deposits 9 14 Large time deposits' 0, " 785.2 468.3 271.9 752.4 503.2 298.4 776.0 576.0 344.7 903.9 592.0 412.3 947.9 598.9 439.7 945.4 602.0 441.4 949.9 607.8 450.8 r 957.3 614.2 468.5 Thrift institutions 13 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 16 Small time deposits'1 1/ Large time deposits 10 434.0 314.3 61.5 397.2 314.3 64.7 361.1 357.7 75.1 367.1 353.7 79.2 373.1 350.8 82.5 375.5 351.8 82.4 375.5 350.6 83.2 375.0 346.7 84.7 Money market mutual funds 18 Retail 19 Institution-only 354.9 209.5 384.3 198.5 455.2 246.9 536.6 299.3 569.2 311.6 567.2 311.6 572.9 318.9 578.9 324.1 Repurchase agreements and Eurodollars 20 Repurchase agreements 121 Eurodollars' 2 158.6 66.4 182.9 80.8 r 182.1 88.7r 194.0r 113.9'" 202. l r 126.5r 202.7 r 133.0r 200.6' 127.4' 207.6 128.2 3,323.3 9,185.4 3,492.2 9,658.7 3,638.8 10,228. r 3,780.4 10,833.6r 3,806.8 11,051.1r 3,794.3 11,111.6r 3,782.1 11,155.7 n.a. n.a. 6 / 8 y Ml components Currency 3 Travelers checks 4 Demand deposits 5 Other checkable deposits 6 Nontransaction 10 In M2 11 In M3 only 8 components Debt components 22 Federal debt 23 Nonfederal debt Not seasonally adjusted 24 25 26 2/ 28 Measures2 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 29 30 31 32 Ml components Currency 3 Travelers checks 4 Demand deposits 5 Other checkable deposits 6 1,153.7 3,506.6 4,274.8 5,197.7 12,510.7 1,174.4 3,522.5 4,347.4 r 5,338.8 r 13,152.4 324.8 7.6 401.8 419.4 357.5 8.1 400.3 408.6 2,352.9 768.2 Commercial banks 35 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 36 Small time deposits' 37 Large time deposits 10 ' " 1,103.0 3,852.8 4,950.0 r 6,128.1 r 14,612.1r 1,071.6 3,922.0 r 5,075.1 6,266.7 r 14,820.9r 1,051.8 3,887.2 5,057.6 r 6,247.4 r 14,857.6r 1,062.5 3,917.3' 5,097.0' 6,288.7 14,890.6 1,063.9 3,939.2 5,145.3 n.a. n.a. 376.2 8.5 407.3 360.8 397.9 8.3 418.8 278.0 403.4 8.2 396.4 263.6 r 406.1 8.2 387.3 250.2 408.4 8.2 396.3 249.5' 411.4 8.7 398.1 245.6 2,348.1 824.9 r 2,522.6 936.6 r 2,749.8 l,097.2 r 2,850.4 l,153.1 r 2,835.4 1,170.4r 2,854.8' 1,179.7' 2,875.4 1,206.1 784.3 466.8 272.0 751.7 501.5 298.9 775.3 573.8 345.7 902.9 589.8 413.7 949.4 600.6 435.7 943.7 603.2 443.6 952.7' 608.2 451.1' 960.7 614.8 466.0 Thrift institutions 38 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 39 Small time deposits 9 40 Large time deposits'" 433.4 313.3 61.5 396.8 313.2 64.8 360.8 356.3 75.4 366.7 352.4 79.5 373.7 351.8 81.8 374.8 352.5 82.8 376.6 350.8 83.3 376.3 347.1 84.2 Money market mutual funds 41 Retail 42 Institution-only 355.0 210.6 385.0 199.8 456.3 248.2 538.1 300.5 574.8 309.2 561.1 307.0 566.5 313.1 576.5 321.0 Repurchase agreements and Eurodollars 43 Repurchase agreements' 2 44 Eurodollars 12 156.6 67.6 179.6 81.8r 178.0 89.4r 188.8r 114.7r 200.8 r 125.6r 205.3 r 131.8r 205.8' 126.5' 208.3 126.5 3,329.5 9,181.2 3,499.0 9,653.5 3,645.9 10,221.4r 3,787.9 10,824.2r 3,810.3 11,010.6' 3,781.3 1 l,076.3 r Nontransaction 33 In M2 34 In M3 only 8 1,152.8 3,675.3 4,612.0 r 5,729.5 r 13,867.3' components Debt components 45 Federal debt 46 Nonfederal debt Footnotes appear on following page. 3,766.2 11,124.5 n.a. n.a. Monetary and Credit Aggregates A13 NOTES TO TABLE 1.21 1. Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board's H.6 (508) weekly statistical release. Historical data starting in 1959 are available from the Money and Reserves Projections Section, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. 2. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: M l : (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions, (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers, (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those owed to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions, less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float, and (4) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. Seasonally adjusted Ml is computed by summing currency, travelers checks, demand deposits, and OCDs, each seasonally adjusted separately. M2: Ml plus (1) savings deposits (including MMDAs), (2) small-denomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and (3) balances in retail money market mutual funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of less than $50,000). Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Seasonally adjusted M2 is calculated by summing savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and retail money fund balances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M l . M3: M2 plus (1) large-denomination time deposits (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by all depository institutions, (2) balances in institutional money funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of $50,000 or more), (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by all depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Seasonally adjusted M3 is calculated by summing large time deposits, institutional money fund balances, RP liabilities, and Eurodollars, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M2. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, net of money market fund holdings of these assets. Seasonally adjusted L is computed by summing U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and then adding this result to M3. Debt: The debt aggregate is the outstanding credit market debt of the domestic nonfinancial sectors—the federal sector (U.S. government, not including government-sponsored enterprises or federally related mortgage pools) and the nonfederal sectors (state and local governments, households and nonprofit organizations, nonfinancial corporate and nonfarm noncorporate businesses, and farms). Nonfederal debt consists of mortgages, tax-exempt and corporate bonds, consumer credit, bank loans, commercial paper, and other loans. The data, which are derived from the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts, are breakadjusted (that is, discontinuities in the data have been smoothed into the series) and month-averaged (that is, the data have been derived by averaging adjacent month-end levels). 3. Currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and vaults of depository institutions. 4. Outstanding amount of U.S. dollar-denominated travelers checks of nonbank issuers. Travelers checks issued by depository institutions are included in demand deposits. 5. Demand deposits at commercial banks and foreign-related institutions other than those owed to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions, less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float. 6. Consists of NOW and ATS account balances at all depository institutions, credit union share draft account balances, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. 7. Sum of (1) savings deposits (including MMDAs), (2) small time deposits, and (3) retail money fund balances. 8. Sum of (1) large time deposits, (2) institutional money fund balances, (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) of U.S. addressees. 9. Small time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All IRAs and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrift institutions are subtracted from small time deposits. 10. Large time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 11. Large time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market funds, depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions. 12. Includes both overnight and term. A14 1.22 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 DEPOSIT INTEREST RATES AND AMOUNTS OUTSTANDING Commercial and BIF-insured saving banks' 1996 Item 1995 1996 Dec. Dec. Nov. 1997 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Interest rates (annual effective yields) INSURED C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S 1 2 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 2 Savings deposits" I.91 3.10 n.a. n.a. 1.98 2.85 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 4.10 4.68 5.02 5.17 5.40 4.03 4.63 5.00 5.22 5.46 4.08 4.60 4.99 5.23 5.48 4.03 4.63 5.00 5.22 5.46 4.03 4.63 5.01 5.25 5.49 4.05 4.62 5.02 5.27 5.51 4.02 4.67 5.08 5.36 5.60 4.01 4.72 5.13 5.46 5.69 4.07 4.77 5.15 5.45 5.68 4.09 4.79 R 5.16 5.44 5.69 4.08 4.76 5.15 5.41 5.63 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts" Savings deposits - ' 1 1.91 2.98 n.a. n.a. 1.92 2.82 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 vear More than 1 year to 2'zi years More than 2V2 years 4.43 4.95 5.18 5.33 5.46 4.66 5.02 5.28 5.53 5.72 4.67 5.03 5.29 5.56 5.76 4.66 5.02 5.28 5.53 5.72 4.75 5.05 5.31 5.58 5.77 4.73 5.04 5.31 5.59 5.78 4.80 5.06 5.37 5.69 5.84 4.83 5.13 5.43 5.75 5.91 4.81 5.15 5.45 5.77 5.91 4.82 5.13R 5.47 5.72 5.90 R 4.87 5.13 5.44 5.74 5.89 Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 year More than 1 year to 2^/2 years / More than 2Vl years J 4 5 6 B I F - I N S U R E D SAVINGS B A N K S 4 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Amounts outstanding (millions of dollars) INSURED C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S 15 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts" 16 Savings deposits - " 17 Personal 18 Nonpersonal 19 20 21 22 23 Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 year More than 1 year to 2 x/2 years More than 2'/2 years 24 IRA and Keogh plan deposits B I F - I N S U R E D SAVINGS B A N K S Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 year More than 1 year to 2'/2 years More than 2'/2 years 34 IRA and Keogh plan accounts n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 167,503 896,820 713,672 183,148 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 32,170 93,941 183,834 208,601 199,002 32,931 92,301 201,449 213,198 199,906 32,044 92,503 201,281 214,405 198,539 32,931 92,301 201,449 213,198 199,906 32,799 94,955 201,491 213,875 198,077 32,796 95,235 202,329 212,970 197,958 34,853 93,804 203,336 214,066 200,282 34,485 92.432 207,006 226,159 199,147 32,561 91,234 209,296 220,795 198,694 31,464r 91,512 r 21 l,961 r 228,783 r 197,903r 30,115 90,765 211,772 231,833 195,665 150,067 151,275 151.389 151,275 150,442 150,356 151,931 151,105 151,192 152,639r 152,137 11,918 68,643 65,366 3,277 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 9,710 68,102 64,369 3.733 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 2,001 12,140 25,686 27,482 22,866 2,428 13,013 28,792 29,095 22,254 2,405 13,074 29,329 28,573 21,823 2,428 13,013 28.792 29,095 22,254 2,542 13,112 29,503 29,163 21,828 2,535 13,099 29,510 29,699 21,877 2,656 13,377 30,002 31,028 21,731 2,698 13,463 30,076 31,616 21,640 2,738 13,731 29,661 31,664 21,391 2,684 13,747r 29,804 r 32,126r 21,472 r 2,596 13,629 29,850 32,730 21,171 21,408 21,365 20,627 21,365 20,405 20,423 20,860 20,860 20,683 20,595 r 20,557 4 25 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts" 26 Savings deposits"' 1 27 Personal 28 Nonpersonal 29 30 31 32 33 248,417 776,466 615,113 161,353 1. BIF, Bank Insurance Fund. Data in this table also appear in the Board's H.6 (508) Special Supplementary Table monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. Estimates are based on data collected by the Federal Reserve System from a stratified random sample of about 425 commercial banks and 75 savings banks on the last day of each month. Data are not seasonally adjusted and include IRA and Keogh deposits and foreign currency-denominated deposits. Data exclude retail repurchase agreements and deposits held in U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. 2. Owing to statistical difficulties associated in part with the implementation of sweep accounts, estimates for NOW and savings accounts are not available beginning December 1996. 3. Includes personal and nonpersonal money market deposits. 4. Includes both mutual and federal savings banks. Commercial Banking Institutions—Assets and Liabilities 1.26 COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES A15 Assets and Liabilities1 A. All commercial banks Billions of dollars Wednesday figures Monthly averages 1997 r 1996 Account July Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1997 May June July July 9 July 16 July 23 July 30 Seasonally adjusted 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit 2 . . . Commercial and industrial Real estate Revolving home equity Other Consumer Security 3 Other loans and leases Interbank loans Cash assets 4 Other assets 5 16 Total assets 6 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 27 Total liabilities 28 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 3,685.6 984.7 708.2 276.5r 2,700.9 744.7 1,104.8 80.1 1,024.7 511.8 77.9 261.7 197.7 220.5 247.7 3,803.8 1,004.4 706.4 298.0 2,799.4 785.4 1,134.7 85.7 1,049.0 521.5 82.4 275.5 198.9 232.2 256.2 3,840.4 1,020.1 703.6 316.5 2,820.3 793.7 1,140.3 86.5 1,053.8 520.5 83.9 282.0 204.7 233.4 265.0 3,860.1 1,014.2 708.3 305.9 2,845.9 798.0 1,153.9 87.9 1,066.0 518.1 88.2 287.7 220.0 239.9 272.8 3,900.9 1,034.0 723.6 310.4 2,866.9 805.2 1,166.9 89.7 1,077.2 516.2 89.7 288.9 216.0 246.4 277.3 3,909.2 1,015.7 723.3 292.4 2,893.5 811.0 1,177.7 90.9 1,086.8 519.1 89.1 296.6 218.6 244.0 277.7 3,932.4 1,012.5 726.4 286.1 2,920.0 817.9 1,187.1 92.4 1,094.8 521.7 94.0 299.3 191.7 248.3 282.7 3,963.0 1,032.5 727.2 305.3 2,930.5 822.1 1,191.6 93.3 1,098.3 521.4 95.3 300.1 186.1 244.8 277.8 3,946.3 1,026.1 733.5 292.5 2,920.2 819.9 1,189.9 93.0 1,096.9 520.9 91.3 298.2 179.2 237.8 277.5 3,958.6 1,029.6 724.3 305.3 2,929.0 822.7 1,190.2 93.2 1,097.0 521.1 94.9 300.2 193.6 248.8 279.1 3,962.1 1,031.3 721.7 309.7 2,930.7 821.2 1,192.6 93.4 1,099.1 521.9 94.1 301.0 189.0 244.2 277.9 3,984.7 1,044.0 727.7 316.3 2,940.6 823.9 1,194.0 93.6 1,100.4 522.0 100.8 300.0 182.8 248.5 277.7 4,294.0 4,435.0 4,487.4 4,536.6 4,584.0 4,593.0 4,598.2 4,614.4 4,5833 4,622.8 4,616.0 4,636.5 2,743.0 743.9 1,999.1 447.3r 1,551.8r 701.1 287.1 414.0 257.4 219.9 2,871.9 715.1 2,156.8 526.7 1,630.1 724.2 300.6 423.6 222.3 268.5 2,892.6 705.1 2,187.6 542.3 1,645.2 735.2 304.9 430.3 217.7 286.2 2,916.1 699.8 2,216.3 548.5 1,667.8 747.9 313.0 434.8 209.1 277.6 2,949.7 701.9 2,247.8 567.8 1,679.9 763.7 313.2 450.6 211.5 270.3 2,937.3 690.1 2,247.2 563.2 1,684.0 766.9 302.8 464.0 233.7 262.5 2,971.8 694.5 2,277.3 580.5 1,696.7 737.6 271.2 466.4 229.4 263.2 2,992.4 688.7 2,303.6 599.7 1,703.9 736.5 266.5 470.0 215.3 277.3 2,983.5 673.7 2,309.7 599.3 1,710.5 728.5 264.0 464.6 220.5 270.1 3,000.7 694.8 2,305.9 597.2 1,708.7 731.3 270.8 460.5 225.4 272.1 2.990.7 691.6 2,299.1 599.2 1,699.9 735.4 260.0 475.4 209.1 279.9 2,992.0 696.1 2,295.9 604.0 1,691.9 749.0 269.5 479.5 207.6 289.8 3,921.5 4,086.9 4,131.7 4,150.7 4,195.2 4,2003 4,201.9 4,221.5 4,202.5 4,229.4 4,215.0 4,238.5 372.6 348.1 355.7 385.9 388.8 392.7 396.2 392.9 380.8 393.4 401.0 398.0 Not seasonally adjusted Assets 29 Bank credit 30 Securities in bank credit 31 U.S. government securities 32 Other securities 33 Loans and leases in bank credit 2 . . . 34 Commercial and industrial 35 Real estate 36 Revolving home equity 37 Other 42 Cash assets 4 43 Other assets 5 3,682.8 983.3 705.8 277.5 2,699.5r 745.8r 1,104.8 80.1 1,024.7 509.7 76.5 262.6 195.2 217.3 249.4 3,802.5 995.8 700.4 295.4 2,806.7 783.1 1,136.7 85.7 1,051.0 527.2 81.6 278.1 208.7 242.5 256.8 3,833.2 1,016.7 702.3 314.4 2,816.5 793.3 1,137.2 86.1 1,051.1 521.2 85.0 279.8 209.1 234.5 264.9 3,850.5 1,016.9 712.9 304.0 2,833.7 800.6 1,147.9 87.1 1,060.8 513.5 87.8 283.8 216.4 230.8 268.2 3,900.4 1.036.4 726.3 310.2 2,863.9 812.5 1,162.4 88.9 1,073.5 513.7 90.2 285.1 214.4 241.7 275.0 3,913.9 1,024.8 725.8 299.0 2,889.1 817.8 1,173.3 90.6 1,082.6 517.0 89.5 291.4 214.2 241.8 280.0 3,936.1 1,018.9 726.2 292.8 2,917.2 821.4 1,185.5 92.4 1,093.1 518.8 93.6 298.0 189.2 244.9 282.8 3,958.7 1,029.7 723.1 306.7 2,928.9 823.4 1,191.7 93.3 1,098.4 519.0 93.8 301.1 183.8 241.1 279.8 3,945.8 1,024.5 726.8 297.7 2,921.3 823.3 1,190.6 93.0 1,097.6 516.9 89.4 301.1 181.7 240.3 280.9 3,952.2 1,023.6 719.3 304.4 2,928.5 823.9 1,190.9 93.3 1,097.6 518.3 93.6 301.8 191.1 245.0 279.1 3,951.5 1,026.0 718.2 307.9 2,925.5 821.7 1,191.8 93.4 1,098.4 520.1 92.4 299.5 181.8 228.9 276.1 3,980.4 1,043.9 726.2 317.7 2,936.5 822.6 1,193.5 93.7 1,099.8 521.2 99.6 299.6 179.3 246.0 281.9 44 Total assets 6 4,287.5 4,454.7 4,485.8 4,509.8 4,574.9 4,593.2 4,596.0 4,606.4 4,591.7 4,610.4 4,5813 4,630.6 2,734.5 737.0 1,997.4 444.2r l,553.2 r 714.7 296.1 418.6 252.0 218.8 2,875.8 726.5 2,149.2 525.4 1.623.8 718.6 294.8 423.8 232.7 265.8 2,877.6 698.1 2,179.5 541.9 1,637.6 719.7 293.1 426.6 228.6 288.1 2,904.8 687.6 2,217.3 548.6 1,668.6 728.4 301.3 427.1 218.3 275.8 2,947.1 705.1 2,242.0 563.5 1,678.5 764.7 311.9 452.7 210.1 270.6 2,928.6 680.2 2,248.4 568.1 1,680.4 776.7 310.9 465.8 236.7 266.1 2,967.0 688.8 2,278.2 580.3 1,697.9 756.7 284.0 472.7 220.0 265.5 2,983.7 682.5 2,301.2 595.4 1,705.9 749.8 274.4 475.3 211.5 275.6 2,991.3 681.2 2,310.1 590.7 1,719.4 740.9 272.4 468.5 208.7 266.9 2,990.0 686.2 2,303.8 592.5 1,711.3 747.3 279.2 468.1 217.1 270.5 2,958.8 664.2 2,294.6 597.2 1,697.3 747.1 266.4 480.8 212.9 276.8 2,982.5 689.8 2,292.6 603.0 1,689.7 759.0 276.4 482.6 210.7 289.9 3,920.0 4,092.8 4,114.1 4,127.3 4,192.5 4,208.0 4,209.1 4,220.6 4,207.8 4,224.9 4,195.6 4,242.0 385.5 385.7 388.6 39 40 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Security-1 Other loans and leases Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 55 Total liabilities 56 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 367.5 361.9 371.7 382.4 382.4 385.2 386.9 385.8 383.9 n.a. 88.7 101.8 90.4 90.1 81.4 76.7 87.8 78.3 82.5 86.5 90.7 n.a. 85.0 98.5 86.9 88.0 85.7 81.4 92.4 80.8 86.4 90.4 96.3 MEMO 57 Revaluation gains on off-balance-sheet items 8 58 Revaluation losses on off-balancesheet items 8 Footnotes appear on p. A21. A16 1.26 Domestic Financial Statistics • October 1997 COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES Assets and Liabilities'—Continued B. Domestically chartered commercial banks Billions of dollars Monthly averages Account 1997 r 1996 July Wednesday figures Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1997 May June July July 9 July 16 July 23 July 30 Seasonally adjusted - 1 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit2 Commercial and industrial Real estate Revolving home equity Other Consumer Security 1 Other loans and leases Interbank loans Cash assets 4 Other assets 5 16 Total assets 6 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 27 Total liabilities 28 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 3,216.7 833.8 628.0 205.8 2,382.9 550.7 1,071.8 80.1 991.8 511.8 45.9 202.7 178.2 192.2 209.8 3,288.1 834.4 624.6 209.8 2,453.7 571.0 1,102.8 85.7 1,017.2 521.5 44.3 214.1 176.2 201.1 218.2 3,309.8 843.2 618.2 225.0 2,466.6 576.5 1,108.2 86.5 1,021.8 520.5 44.1 217.2 183.8 200.5 223.9 3,334.8 841.3 624.7 216.6 2,493.5 581.9 1,122.3 87.9 1,034.4 518.1 48.4 222.7 197.3 207.6 231.8 3,367.2 855.9 635.7 220.2 2,511.3 588.6 1.135.5 89.7 1,045.8 516.2 46.5 224.5 197.0 213.7 238.2 3,369.3 840.1 633.4 206.8 2,529.1 591.3 1,147.1 90.9 1,056.2 519.1 45.6 226.0 198.0 210.0 238.8 3,389.8 835.0 634.1 201.0 2,554.7 597.3 1,157.5 92.4 1,065.1 521.7 48.0 230.2 171.8 212.6 241.5 3,417.1 847.5 633.6 214.0 2,569.5 601.6 1,163.1 93.3 1,069.8 521.4 50.5 233.1 166.5 210.8 234.7 3,402.0 840.6 635.0 205.6 2,561.4 599.2 1,161.1 93.0 1,068.1 520.9 49.8 230.5 160.7 204.4 233.7 3,415.4 847.0 632.7 214.3 2,568.4 601.9 1,161.8 93.2 1,068.6 521.1 50.6 233.0 174.0 215.0 234.4 3,422.1 849.9 633.7 216.2 2,572.3 602.1 1,164.2 93.4 1,070.8 521.9 48.9 235.2 168.8 210.5 236.2 3,429.2 853.8 632.2 221.6 2,575.3 602.6 1,165.4 93.6 1,071.8 522.0 52.5 232.8 162.9 214.2 235.1 3,739.7 3,827.7 3,862.2 3,915.5 3,959.8 3,959.8 3,958.9 3,972.1 3,943.8 3,981.8 3,980.7 3,984.5 2,563.8 733.3 1.830.5 281.R 1,549.4 577.5 256.5 320.9 79.3 151.2 2,646.2 704.8 1,941.4 313.5 1,627.9 593.9 272.6 321.3 72.0 178.6 2,654.7 695.4 1,959.3 318.1 1.641.3 592.0 271.0 321.0 78.2 186.4 2,673.4 689.3 1,984.1 319.9 1,664.2 607.9 278.3 329.6 68.0 183.7 2,691.8 691.1 2,000.7 323.4 1,677.3 623.7 280.4 343.3 77.1 178.3 2,685.1 678.8 2,006.3 324.9 1,681.4 623.1 269.7 353.4 85.1 173.1 2,713.4 683.4 2,030.1 335.9 1,694.2 596.1 240.1 356.0 80.7 173.0 2,721.1 677.5 2,043.6 342.4 1,701.3 598.8 235.9 362.9 85.3 180.7 2,710.7 662.4 2,048.4 340.5 1,707.8 592.3 235.9 356.4 83.5 177.3 2,732.3 684.1 2,048.2 342.1 1,706.2 593.3 238.2 355.1 92.4 176.7 2,720.3 680.3 2,040.1 342.7 1,697.3 604.0 231.9 372.1 83.0 183.0 2,717.9 684.7 2,033.2 344.2 1,689.0 606.0 236.7 369.3 86.1 186.9 3,371.8 3,490.7 3,511.3 3,533.0 3,570.9 3,566.5 3,563.3 3,585.8 3,563.8 3,594.6 3,590.3 3,596.9 367.9 337.0 350.9 382.5 388.9 393.4 395.6 386.3 380.0 387.3 390.4 387.6 Not seasonally adjusted 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit2 Commercial and industrial Real estate Revolving home equity Other Consumer Security 3 Other loans and leases Interbank loans Cash assets 4 Other assets 5 44 Total assets 6 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 55 Total liabilities 56 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 3,212.5 832.3 626.7 205.6 2,380.2 550.7 1,072.0 80.1 991.9 509.7 44.5 203.2 175.8 188.8 212.2 3,289.5 829.6 617.6 212.0 2,459.9 568.8 1,104.8 85.7 1,019.2 527.2 43.5 215.6 186.1 211.1 219.6 3,302.1 838.8 615.1 223.7 2,463.2 576.2 1,105.1 86.1 1,019.1 521.2 45.2 215.5 188.2 202.4 223.0 3,325.4 843.3 626.3 217.0 2,482.1 584.9 1,116.4 87.1 1,029.3 513.5 48.1 219.2 193.7 199.0 227.8 3,366.6 857.9 638.9 219.0 2,508.7 595.2 1,131.4 88.9 1.042.5 513.7 47.0 221.3 195.4 209.8 237.3 3,371.3 844.3 635.3 209.0 2,527.0 597.8 1,142.9 90.6 1,052.3 517.0 46.0 223.2 193.6 207.8 240.1 3,393.1 840.8 635.2 205.7 2,552.2 600.0 1,155.9 92.4 1,063.6 518.8 47.6 229.8 169.3 208.5 241.7 3,412.3 846.0 632.2 213.8 2,566.4 601.7 1,163.2 93.3 1,069.9 519.0 48.9 233.5 164.2 207.0 237.6 3,403.2 842.7 633.6 209.1 2,560.5 601.2 1,161.8 93.0 1,068.8 516.9 47.9 232.7 163.2 206.8 238.5 3,409.5 843.7 631.2 212.4 2,565.8 601.9 1,162.6 93.3 1,069.3 518.3 49.3 233.7 171.5 211.3 235.4 3,410.2 845.0 631.5 213.5 2,565.2 601.1 1,163.4 93.4 1,070.0 520.1 47.3 233.3 161.6 195.2 235.1 3,423.0 851.8 631.7 220.1 2,571.2 601.1 1,165.2 93.7 1,071.5 521.2 51.3 232.4 159.5 211.5 239.6 3,732.3 3,850.5 3,859.9 3,890.0 3,952.9 3,956.3 3,955.7 3,964.4 3,955.0 3,970.9 3,945.4 3,976.7 2,557.2 726.4 1,830.8 279.9 l,550.8 r 583.5 264.2 319.3 77.1 151.7 2,649.9 716.2 1,933.8 312.1 1,621.6 591.5 265.8 325.6 73.6 176.7 2,642.8 688.2 1,954.7 320.9 1,633.7 583.1 261.5 321.6 79.9 185.8 2,662.3 677.3 1,985.0 319.9 1,665.1 594.3 268.2 326.1 72.5 182.0 2,695.6 694.8 2,000.9 324.9 1,676.0 622.1 278.9 343.2 78.8 178.8 2,675.9 669.4 2,006.5 328.7 1,677.8 633.0 278.2 354.8 92.3 174.1 2,708.2 677.8 2,030.5 335.2 1,695.3 610.2 251.2 359.0 79.6 174.4 2,715.4 671.2 2,044.2 341.0 1,703.3 603.0 242.2 360.8 82.6 181.2 2,725.7 670.1 2,055.6 338.8 1,716.9 594.9 241.4 353.5 76.3 177.2 2,724.4 675.3 2,049.2 340.4 1,708.8 598.8 244.7 354.1 88.0 177.7 2,689.6 653.0 2,036.6 341.8 1,694.8 607.4 238.9 368.6 83.2 183.0 2,708.9 678.5 2,030.4 343.5 1,686.8 608.9 241.9 367.0 87.6 187.6 3,369.4 3,491.8 3,491.7 3,511.1 3,575.4 3,575.4 3,572.3 3,582.2 3,574.0 3,589.0 3,563.2 3,592.9 362.9 358.7 368.2 378.8 377.5 380.9 383.4 382.1 381.0 381.9 382.2 383.8 n.a. 47.5 55.9 49.0 49.5 42.0 38.5 44.3 41.2 42.8 45.5 48.3 n.a. n.a. 44.0 244.9 50.9 244.1 43.2 246.2 44.6 249.5 43.4 249.6 40.2 249.0 45.7 250.2 41.3 252.2 43.9 251.6 46.9 251.4 51.1 251.4 MEMO 57 Revaluation gains on off-balance-sheet items 8 58 Revaluation losses on off-balancesheet items 8 59 Mortgage-backed securities 9 Footnotes appear on p. A21. Commercial Banking Institutions—Assets and Liabilities 1.26 COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES A17 Assets and Liabilities 1 —Continued C. Large domestically chartered commercial banks Billions of dollars Monthly averages Account 1997r 1996 July1" Wednesday figures Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1997 May June July July 9 July 16 July 23 July 30 Seasonally adjusted Assets 1 Bank credit 2 Securities in bank credit 3 U.S. government securities 4 Trading account Investment account 5 Other securities 6 Trading account 7 Investment account 8 State and local government. . 9 Other 10 11 Loans and leases in bank credit2 . . . Commercial and industrial 12 Bankers acceptances 13 Other 14 Real estate 15 Revolving home equity 16 Other 17 Consumer 18 Security 3 19 Federal funds sold to and 20 repurchase agreements with broker-dealers Other 21 State and local government 22 Agricultural 23 24 Federal funds sold to and repurchase agreements with others All other loans 25 Lease-financing receivables 26 27 Interbank loans 28 Federal funds sold to and repurchase agreements with commercial banks Other 29 4 Cash assets 30 31 Other assets5 32 Total assets 6 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 43 Total liabilities 44 Residual (assets less liabilities)7 Footnotes appear on p. A21. 1,892.5 433.8 307.3 20.9 286.3 126.6 58.1 68.5 20.6 47.9 1,458.7 385.2 1.6 383.6 594.4 57.1 537.3 295.2 41.5 1,921.1 432.7 303.2 17.3 286.0 129.4 64.6 64.9 20.5 44.3 1,488.5 398.2 1.9 396.3 599.4 59.2 540.2 299.7 39.8 1,940.0 443.0 297.8 16.2 281.6 145.2 79.9 65.3 21.1 44.1 1,497.0 402.1 1.6 400.5 600.1 59.6 540.4 301.4 39.4 1,952.0 437.5 302.1 18.3 283.8 135.4 69.3 66.0 20.8 45.2 1,514.6 406.2 1.7 404.5 606.0 60.4 545.6 300.0 43.5 1,970.3 448.4 311.4 20.3 291.1 137.0 71.9 65.1 20.8 44.3 1,521.9 411.7 1.6 410.1 609.3 61.0 548.3 298.5 41.9 1,962.3 431.9 308.2 19.4 288.8 123.7 58.3 65.4 21.1 44.3 1,530.4 412.8 1.6 411.2 615.8 61.9 553.9 299.9 40.9 1,973.9 428.1 309.6 23.1 286.4 118.5 51.7 66.8 21.7 45.1 1,545.8 417.2 1.6 415.6 620.7 63.2 557.5 300.2 43.3 1,993.6 440.9 308.8 24.9 283.9 132.1 64.1 68.0 22.1 45.9 1,552.7 419.3 1.6 417.8 619.9 63.9 556.0 300.6 45.7 1,984.2 435.1 311.4 25.4 286.0 123.7 57.1 66.6 22.2 44.4 1,549.1 417.8 1.5 416.3 620.6 63.7 556.9 300.5 45.1 1,994.0 441.0 308.4 25.7 282.7 132.6 65.3 67.4 22.0 45.3 1,553.0 419.7 1.5 418.1 619.5 63.9 555.6 301.0 45.8 1,996.4 442.4 308.2 25.1 283.1 134.2 66.3 67.9 22.1 45.8 1,554.0 419.8 1.5 418.2 619.8 64.0 555.8 300.9 44.1 1.999.8 446.0 306.5 22.8 283.7 139.5 69.8 69.7 22.2 47.5 1,553.8 419.4 1.5 417.9 619.5 64.2 555.3 300.4 47.8 25.8 15.7 11.8 9.1 23.9 15.9 11.7 8.7 24.0 15.3 11.6 8.7 27.1 16.5 11.5 8.7 23.8 18.1 11.2 8.7 23.3 17.6 11.1 8.9 26.5 16.9 11.2 8.8 28.6 17.1 11.2 8.7 28.3 16.7 11.2 8.7 28.4 17.5 11.2 8.6 27.6 16.6 11.1 8.7 29.8 18.0 11.1 8.7 5.6 63.2 52.7 138.9 6.1 61.2 63.8 129.3 5.3 62.7 65.8 133.8 6.2 64.9 67.4 143.3 7.3 64.1 69.1 148.9 5.7 64.8 70.5 149.6 6.3 66.0 72.2 121.5 7.3 65.7 74.3 115.2 7.3 64.1 73.8 109.7 7.1 66.0 74.1 122.3 7.7 67.1 74.6 117.6 6.8 65.1 74.9 112.3 93.1 45.8 134.9 163.4 81.4 47.9 139.0 169.8 83.9 49.9 135.5 173.3 92.0 51.3 140.4 174.4 96.8 52.1 145.2 179.6 93.4 56.3 143.0 181.4 69.8 51.7 142.8 179.3 69.5 45.7 141.8 172.7 63.9 45.8 138.2 173.0 77.2 45.2 144.0 171.9 72.4 45.2 141.2 174.0 66.6 45.7 144.8 172.2 2,291.5 2322.7 2346.2 2373.7 2,4073 2399.8 2380.8 2386.6 2368.1 2395.5 2392.6 23925 1,414.1 429.4 984.7 142.4 842.4 436.0 177.3 258.7 73.6 126.0 1,447.6 402.9 1,044.8 159.7 885.1 440.0 188.1 251.9 68.0 154.4 1,445.4 392.7 1,052.7 162.8 890.0 439.4 187.4 252.0 74.2 161.5 1,453.3 385.8 1,067.6 163.5 904.1 453.1 194.0 259.1 64.1 157.4 1,465.7 385.7 1,080.0 167.8 912.2 466.2 195.4 270.8 72.7 152.3 1,455.3 375.1 1,080.1 167.9 912.2 466.8 184.2 282.6 80.9 146.4 1,469.8 378.3 1,091.4 176.1 915.3 438.6 160.4 278.2 76.9 145.8 1,462.9 371.6 1,091.3 180.7 910.7 438.4 160.4 278.1 80.5 154.2 1,459.9 364.2 1,095.7 179.2 916.5 434.5 161.3 273.2 78.2 150.9 1,470.6 375.9 1,094.7 180.2 914.5 434.4 163.4 271.0 87.5 150.4 1,460.4 372.2 1,088.2 181.0 907.2 442.0 155.5 286.5 78.4 156.8 1,457.4 374.6 1,082.8 182.0 900.7 442.3 160.2 282.1 81.3 160.2 2,049.8 2,110.0 2,120.5 2,127.9 2,156.8 2,149.4 2,131.1 2,136.0 2,123.5 2,142.9 2,137.6 2,141.2 241.7 212.7 225.7 245.8 250.4 250.5 249.7 250.6 244.6 252.6 255.0 251.3 A18 1.26 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES Assets and Liabilities'—Continued C. Large domestically chartered commercial banks—Continued Monthly averages Account 1997r 1996 July r Wednesday figures Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1997 May June July July 9 July 16 July 23 July 30 Not seasonally adjusted Assets 45 Bank credit 46 Securities in bank credit 47 U.S. government securities 48 Trading account 49 Investment account 50 Mortgage-backed securities. 51 Other 52 One year or less 53 Between one and five years 54 More than five y e a r s . . . . 55 Other securities 56 Trading account 57 Investment account 58 State and local government . . 59 Other 60 Loans and leases in bank credit2 . . 61 Commercial and industrial 62 Bankers acceptances 63 Other 64 Real estate 65 Revolving home equity 66 Other 67 Commercial 68 Consumer 69 Security3 70 Federal funds sold to and repurchase agreements with broker-dealers 71 Other 72 State and local government 73 Agricultural 74 Federal funds sold to and repurchase agreements with others 75 All other loans 76 Lease-financing receivables . . . . 77 Interbank loans 78 Federal funds sold to and repurchase agreements with commercial banks 79 Other 80 Cash assets4 81 Other assets5 82 Total assets 6 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From nonbanks in the U.S Net due to related foreign offices . . . . Other liabilities 93 Total liabilities 94 Residual (assets less liabilities)7 1,8 S7.8 433.1 306.7 20.0 286.7 126.4 58.7 67.7 20.2 47.4 1,454.7 385.2 1.5 383.7 594.1 57.1 n.a. n.a. 293.4 40.2 1,924.4 429.4 297.5 16.4 281.2 181.1 99.6 27.5 58.3 13.8 131.9 66.5 65.4 20.6 44.8 1,495.0 396.0 1.9 394.2 601.8 59.3 331.1 209.1 304.3 38.9 1,937.7 440.3 296.2 16.4 279.8 181.9 97.4 26.2 56.1 15.0 144.1 78.8 65.4 21.1 44.2 1,497.4 402.1 1.6 400.5 599.5 59.4 328.4 209.4 301.2 40.4 1,947.2 438.1 302.6 19.4 283.3 183.7 99.0 26.5 56.2 16.3 135.5 69.8 65.7 20.8 44.9 1,509.0 408.6 1.6 407.0 603.1 59.9 330.3 210.7 297.2 43.2 1,969.3 447.0 311.5 20.5 290.9 186.3 104.2 28.9 57.3 17.9 135.5 70.7 64.8 20.9 43.8 1,522.4 417.0 1.5 415.5 607.9 60.6 336.6 208.5 296.5 42.4 1,964.5 434.3 308.6 19.6 289.0 186.1 102.4 27.4 56.5 18.5 125.7 60.5 65.1 21.2 43.9 1,530.2 417.9 1.5 416.4 613.2 61.8 340.4 208.7 298.2 41.5 1,976.3 432.1 308.8 21.6 287.2 186.4 100.3 27.3 54.3 18.7 123.3 56.9 66.4 21.8 44.6 1,544.2 418.7 1.6 417.1 619.3 63.2 343.2 210.5 299.1 43.0 1,988.5 440.1 308.2 23.8 284.4 187.7 96.2 25.7 50.5 20.0 131.9 64.8 67.1 21.7 45.4 1,548.4 419.4 1.5 417.9 619.6 63.9 343.1 210.3 298.4 44.3 1,984.2 437.3 310.0 23.4 286.6 188.4 98.1 25.4 53.6 19.2 127.3 61.6 65.7 21.6 44.0 1,547.0 419.1 1.5 417.6 621.1 63.7 345.4 212.1 297.7 43.1 1,986.8 438.0 307.4 24.4 283.0 187.9 95.1 25.3 50.5 19.3 130.6 64.0 66.6 21.6 45.0 1,548.9 419.5 1.5 418.0 619.6 63.9 344.4 211.3 298.4 44.7 1,984.5 438.4 306.9 23.8 283.0 187.2 95.9 25.2 49.9 20.8 131.5 64.7 66.9 21.8 45.1 1,546.0 419.1 1.5 417.6 618.6 64.0 343.6 211.0 298.8 42.8 1,994.4 445.8 307.9 23.2 284.7 187.2 97.5 27.1 48.8 21.6 137.9 69.1 68.8 21.9 46.9 1,548.5 418.7 1.5 417.2 618.9 64.2 343.4 211.2 299.0 46.9 25.1 15.1 11.8 9.3 22.9 16.0 11.5 8.6 24.3 16.1 11.5 8.4 26.8 16.4 11.5 8.5 24.8 17.6 11.2 8.6 24.1 17.4 11.1 8.9 26.0 17.0 11.2 8.9 27.9 16.5 11.2 8.9 27.0 16.1 11.3 8.9 28.2 16.5 11.2 8.9 27.3 15.5 11.2 9.0 29.2 17.7 11.2 9.0 5.8 62.6 52.4 139.1 6.2 62.9 64.8 137.9 6.1 61.7 66.4 136.1 6.2 63.0 67.8 139.8 7.0 62.8 68.9 146.9 5.8 63.2 70.4 148.6 6.5 65.5 72.0 121.8 7.5 65.1 73.8 115.5 7.4 64.8 73.5 110.8 7.5 65.4 73.7 122.6 7.8 64.9 73.9 115.6 7.0 63.8 74.2 113.1 92.5 46.6 132.0 165.8 86.4 51.5 146.8 170.1 85.9 50.2 138.2 171.0 90.0 49.7 134.1 171.4 96.9 50.0 142.7 179.7 94.3 54.3 141.0 183.1 71.2 50.6 140.1 181.5 68.9 46.7 138.4 175.6 64.4 46.4 138.3 176.4 76.2 46.4 141.8 174.6 68.9 46.7 129.1 174.9 66.5 46.6 142.7 175.6 2,286.7 2,342.9 2346.7 2,355.9 2,402.0 2/400.7 2383.0 2381-4 2373.1 23892 2367.6 23893 1,411.0 424.8 986.2 142.0 14.2 442.5 183.5 259.0 71.4 126.3 1,453.9 410.5 1,043.4 159.6 883.7 435.9 181.6 254.3 69.7 152.3 1,443.4 389.3 1,054.0 164.9 889.1 431.8 179.7 252.1 76.0 160.5 1,447.2 378.1 1,069.1 162.6 906.5 444.9 187.6 257.3 68.6 155.4 1,467.3 389.1 1,078.2 168.3 909.9 467.2 194.8 272.4 74.4 152.5 1,448.6 369.1 1,079.5 170.9 908.6 472.8 190.3 282.5 88.1 147.7 1,466.5 374.3 1,092.1 175.9 916.2 449.0 168.5 280.5 75.8 147.6 1,460.6 367.5 1,093.1 180.1 913.0 442.7 165.0 277.6 77.8 154.5 1,469.3 366.8 1,102.5 178.5 923.9 436.4 165.3 271.1 71.0 150.8 1,468.2 370.7 1,097.5 179.7 917.8 440.4 168.3 272.1 83.2 151.1 1,441.1 353.9 1,087.2 180.6 906.6 445.4 160.2 285.2 78.6 156.4 1,453.8 372.2 1,081.6 182.0 899.7 446.5 164.4 282.1 82.8 160.6 2,051.2 2,111.6 2,111.6 2,116.1 2,161.3 2,157.2 2,138.9 2,135.6 2,1275 2,142.9 2,1215 2,143.8 235.6 231.3 235.1 239.8 240.7 243.6 244.1 245.8 245.6 246.3 246.1 245.5 47.5 55.9 49.0 49.5 42.0 38.5 44.3 41.2 42.8 45.5 48.3 44.0 202.7 138.3 50.9 202.3 138.6 43.2 203.2 139.9 44.6 206.1 142.3 43.4 205.7 142.9 40.2 203.9 142.0 45.7 204.0 142.3 41.3 204.5 142.6 43.9 204.0 142.6 46.9 203.6 142.4 51.1 203.5 141.4 64.4 63.7 63.4 63.8 62.8 61.9 61.7 61.9 61.4 61.2 62.1 2.7 30.9 2.7 32.1 2.7 32.9 1.8 33.3 2.1 33.6 2.6 33.4 3.1 33.7 3.1 33.0 3.2 34.0 3.1 33.8 3.2 33.8 n.a. MEMO 95 Revaluation gains on off-balancesheet items8 96 Revaluation losses on off-balancesheet items 8 97 Mortgage-backed securities9 98 Pass-through securities 99 CMOs, REMICs, and other mortgage-backed securities . . . 100 Net unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities 10 . . . 101 Offshore credit to U.S. residents" . . . Footnotes appear on p. A21. n.a. >8.8 Commercial Banking Institutions—Assets and Liabilities 1.26 COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES A19 Assets and Liabilities'—Continued D. Small domestically chartered commercial banks Billions of dollars Wednesday figures Monthly averages Account 1997 r 1996 July r Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1997 May June July July 9 July 16 July 23 July 30 Seasonally adjusted 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit2 Commercial and industrial Real estate Revolving home equity Other Consumer Security 5 Other loans and leases Interbank loans Cash assets 4 Other assets 5 16 Total assets 5 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 27 Total liabilities 28 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 1,329.9 400.7 321.5 79.2 929.2 166.2 479.8 23.0 456.8 217.7 4.6 60.8 43.1 57.9 48.0 1,372.4 402.2 321.8 80.4 970.3 173.5 505.8 26.5 479.2 223.0 4.7 63.2 50.5 62.8 50.0 1,375.3 400.6 320.8 79.9 974.7 175.2 510.5 26.9 483.6 220.3 4.9 63.7 53.6 65.6 52.1 1,388.2 404.3 323.1 81.3 983.9 176.6 518.6 27.6 491.1 219.2 5.1 64.3 57.6 67.7 58.9 1,395.6 406.8 323.6 83.1 988.8 177.5 524.0 28.1 495.9 218.2 4.8 64.3 52.1 68.8 59.9 1,404.7 407.3 324.3 83.0 997.4 179.1 528.6 28.4 500.2 219.7 4.8 65.2 52.2 67.3 58.7 1,412.2 405.8 323.5 82.2 1,006.5 180.4 533.8 28.5 505.2 221.5 4.9 65.9 53.2 70.0 63.3 1,418.8 405.4 323.7 81.6 1,013.4 182.5 539.3 28.7 510.6 220.5 4.9 66.1 54.1 69.2 63.1 1,413.1 404.3 322.6 81.6 1,008.8 181.6 536.6 28.6 508.0 220.1 4.9 65.7 53.6 66.4 61.9 1,416.7 404.7 323.3 81.4 1,012.0 182.5 538.4 28.7 509.8 219.8 5.0 66.2 54.8 71.2 63.5 1,421.0 406.2 324.5 81.7 1,014.8 182.5 540.5 28.7 511.7 220.7 5.0 66.2 54.0 69.5 63.2 1,424.7 406.5 324.7 81.8 1,018.2 183.4 542.2 28.8 513.4 221.3 4.9 66.4 53.4 69.6 64.0 1,459.5 1,516.2 1,527.1 1,553.0 1,556.7 1,563.1 1,578.7 1,584.9 1,574.9 1,586.0 1,5873 1,5913 1,156.5 305.7 850.7 139.0 711.7 142.9 79.2 63.7 5.7 25.2 1,205.6 303.7 901.9 154.2 747.7 155.5 84.5 71.0 4.0 24.3 1,216.3 304.3 911.9 155.7 756.3 154.2 83.6 70.6 4.0 25.0 1,227.1 305.2 921.9 156.8 765.2 156.4 84.3 72.1 3.9 26.4 1,227.9 305.8 922.1 155.7 766.4 158.4 84.7 73.7 4.4 26.1 1,230.9 303.8 927.1 157.1 770.0 157.0 85.1 72.0 4.2 26.8 1,244.3 305.2 939.1 159.6 779.5 157.6 79.0 78.5 3.8 27.3 1,257.7 305.9 951.7 161.5 790.2 160.3 74.9 85.5 4.8 26.5 1,250.4 298.3 952.2 161.1 791.1 157.7 73.9 83.8 5.3 26.5 1,261.1 308.3 952.9 161.6 791.3 158.8 74.1 84.7 4.9 26.4 1,259.3 308.0 951.2 161.6 789.7 162.0 75.7 86.2 4.6 26.3 1,259.9 310.2 949.7 161.9 787.8 163.7 75.8 87.9 4.8 26.8 1330J 1,389.4 1399.5 1,413.8 1,416.7 1,419.0 1,432.9 1,4493 1,439.9 1,451.2 1,452.1 1,455.1 129.3 126.8 127.6 139.2 140.0 144.1 145.8 135.6 135.0 134.8 135.2 136.2 Not seasonally adjusted 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit2 Commercial and industrial Real estate Revolving home equity Other Consumer Security 3 Other loans and leases Interbank loans Cash assets 4 Other assets 5 44 Total assets 6 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 55 Total liabilities 56 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 1,330.4 399.9 320.7 79.2 930.4 166.3 480.2 23.1 457.2 217.5 4.5 62.0 40.5 57.5 47.9 1,370.5 400.7 320.6 80.2 969.8 173.6 505.4 26.5 478.9 224.0 4.8 62.1 51.7 64.9 51.0 1,369.8 399.0 319.4 79.6 970.8 174.9 507.9 26.7 481.2 221.1 5.0 61.8 55.6 64.9 53.5 1,383.7 405.7 324.2 81.5 978.1 177.1 515.6 27.3 488.3 217.4 5.1 62.8 57.6 65.5 58.0 1,395.9 410.2 326.8 83.4 985.7 178.7 521.3 27.9 493.4 217.8 4.8 63.1 52.5 67.4 58.9 1,404.5 409.1 325.8 83.2 995.4 180.5 527.1 28.3 498.8 219.2 4.6 64.0 48.8 67.1 58.2 1,413.1 407.5 325.4 82.1 1,005.6 181.6 533.6 28.5 505.1 219.7 4.7 65.9 50.4 68.6 61.3 1,419.2 404.6 322.9 81.7 1,014.6 182.5 539.7 28.7 511.0 220.3 4.8 67.2 51.5 68.8 63.1 1,414.2 404.2 322.6 81.5 1,010.1 182.4 536.8 28.6 508.1 218.9 5.0 67.0 55.0 68.6 63.3 1,417.9 404.4 322.9 81.5 1,013.5 182.7 539.1 28.7 510.4 219.6 4.8 67.3 52.0 69.7 61.9 1,421.0 405.3 323.6 81.7 1,015.7 182.2 540.9 28.7 512.2 221.0 4.6 66.9 48.8 66.3 61.3 1,424.0 404.7 322.7 81.9 1,019.4 182.7 542.6 28.9 513.7 221.9 4.7 67.5 49.1 69.0 64.9 1/456.9 1,518.7 1,5243 1,5453 1,555.1 1,558.7 1,5733 1,5823 1,581.0 1,581.4 1,577.1 1,586.8 1,153.0 303.4 849.6 138.3 711.3 142.4 80.7 61.8 5.7 25.4 1,203.1 307.4 895.7 152.9 742.8 157.2 84.3 72.9 4.0 24.5 1,206.4 300.5 906.0 156.4 749.6 152.9 81.8 71.2 4.0 25.4 1,222.1 300.9 921.3 157.7 763.6 151.0 80.6 70.4 3.9 26.7 1,230.1 306.0 924.1 156.8 767.3 155.8 83.8 72.0 4.4 26.3 1,228.4 300.5 927.9 157.9 770.0 161.0 87.5 73.5 4.2 26.5 1,242.3 303.5 938.8 159.1 779.7 161.3 82.0 79.2 3.8 26.8 1,254.3 303.8 950.6 160.7 789.9 160.3 76.4 83.9 4.8 26.7 1,255.9 303.3 952.6 160.0 792.6 158.5 75.4 83.1 5.3 26.4 1,255.7 304.6 951.1 160.5 790.6 158.4 75.7 82.7 4.9 26.7 1,247.8 299.1 948.8 161.0 787.7 162.0 77.9 84.1 4.6 26.7 1,254.4 306.3 948.1 161.4 786.7 162.3 76.7 85.6 4.8 27.0 1,326.6 1,388.8 1388.8 1,403.8 1,416.7 1,420.1 1,434.2 1,446.2 1,446.1 1,445.7 1,441.2 1,448.5 130.4 129.9 135.5 141.5 138.3 138.6 139.2 136.1 134.9 135.7 136.0 138.2 42.2 41.8 42.9 43.4 43.9 45.1 46.2 46.1 46.0 46.2 46.3 MEMO 57 Mortgage-backed securities 9 Footnotes appear on p. A21. n.a. A20 1.26 Domestic Financial Statistics • October 1997 COMMERCIAL BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES Assets and Liabilities'—Continued E. Foreign-related institutions Billions of dollars Monthly averages Account 1996 July Wednesday figures 1997 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1997 May June" July July 9 July 16 July 23 July 30 Seasonally adjusted 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit 2 . . . Commercial and industrial Real estate Security 1 Other loans and leases Interbank loans Cash assets 4 Other assets 5 13 Total assets 6 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 24 Total liabilities 25 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 468.9 150.9 80.1 70.8 318.0r 194.0 32.9 32.0 59.0 19.4 28.3 37.8 515.7' 170.1r 81.8 88.3r 345.7 214.4 31.8 38.1 61.3 22.7 31.1 38.0" 530.5" 176.9" 85.4 91.5" 353.6 217.1 32.0 39.8 64.7 20.9 32.9 41.1" 525.3" 172.9" 83.6 89.3" 352.4 216.1 31.5 39.7 65.1 22.7 32.4 41.0" 533.5" 177.9" 87.8 90.1" 355.6 216.6 31.4 43.2 64.5 18.9 32.7 39.1' 539.8' 175.5" 89.9 85.5" 364.3 219.7 30.6 43.5 70.5 20.6 34.0 38.8" 543.2 178.0 92.3 85.7 365.2 220.5 29.6 46.0 69.1 19.9 35.7 41.3 550.0 189.0 93.6 95.4 360.9 220.5 28.5 44.9 67.1 19.6 34.0 43.9 548.2 189.5 98.5 91.0 358.8 220.7 28.8 41.5 67.8 18.5 33.3 44.6 547.3 186.7 91.5 95.2 360.5 220.7 28.4 44.3 67.1 19.5 33.8 45.6 544.0 185.6 88.0 97.7 358.4 219.1 28.3 45.2 65.8 20.2 33.7 42.6 559.5 194.3 95.4 98.8 365.2 221.2 28.6 48.3 67.1 19.8 34.3 43.4 554.4 607.3 R 625.2" 621.1 R 624.0 R 633.0" 639.9 647.2 644.4 645.9 640.2 656.8 179.3 10.6 168.7 166.2 2.4 123.6 30.5 93.1 178.1 68.7 225.7 10.3 215.4 213.2 2.2 130.3 27.9r 102.4r 150.3 89.9" 238.0 9.7 228.2 224.3 4.0 143.2" 33.9" 109.3' 139.4 99.8" 242.7 10.4 232.2 228.7 3.6 140.0" 34.8" 105.2' 141.1 94.0" 257.7 10.8 246.9 244.5 2.5 139.8' 32.8" 107.1' 134.6 92.0" 252.0 11.2 240.8 238.4 2.4 143.6" 33.2" 110.5" 148.7 89.3" 258.2 11.1 247.0 244.6 2.4 141.3 31.2 110.2 148.8 91.0 271.1 11.3 259.9 257.4 2.4 137.5 30.6 107.0 130.2 101.9 272.6 11.4 261.2 258.7 2.5 136.1 28.1 108.0 137.1 98.1 268.3 10.8 257.5 255.1 2.4 137.9 32.6 105.2 133.2 100.6 270.2 11.3 258.9 256.4 2.4 131.2 28.1 103.1 126.3 102.2 274.0 11.4 262.5 260.1 2.5 142.8 32.8 110.0 121.7 108.1 549.7 596.2 R 620.4" 617.6 R 624.1" 633.7 R 639.3 640.8 643.9 640.0 629.9 646.6 4.7 11.1 4.8" 3.5" -0.1 -0.7" 0.6 6.4 0.5 6.0 10.4 10.2 Not seasonally adjusted 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Trading account Investment account Other securities Trading account Investment account Loans and leases in bank credit 2 . . . Commercial and industrial Real estate Security 1 Other loans and leases Interbank loans Cash assets 4 Other assets 5 42 Total assets 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From others Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities 53 Total liabilities 54 Residual (assets less liabilities) 7 470.3 151.0" 79.1 n.a. n.a. 71.9 n.a. n.a. 319.2 195.0 32.8 32.0 59.4 19.4 28.5 37.2 513.0" 166.2" 82.8 17.0 65.8 83.4' 58.7' 24.8" 346.8 214.3 31.8 38.1 62.6 22.7 31.5 37.3" 531.2" 177.9" 87.2 21.4 65.8 90.7" 65.2 25.5" 353.3 217.1 32.1 39.8 64.4 20.9 32.1 41.9" 525.1" 173.5" 86.6 20.0 66.6 87.0" 60.4 26.6" 351.6 215.7 31.5 39.7 64.6 22.7 31.8 40.4" 533.6' 178.4" 87.3 18.6 68.7 91.1" 61.1" 29.9" 355.2 217.3 30.9 43.2 63.8 18.9 31.8 37.7" 542.4" 180.4" 90.5 18.8 71.6 89.9" 59.7" 30.2" 362.0 220.0 30.3 43.5 68.3 20.6 34.0 39.9" 543.6 178.7 91.0 18.8 72.2 87.7 58.9 28.8 364.9 221.3 29.5 46.0 68.2 19.9 36.4 41.2 550.5 188.0 90.9 18.2 72.7 97.1 65.2 31.9 362.5 221.7 28.4 44.9 67.5 19.6 34.1 43.1 546.7 186.0 93.2 19.5 73.8 92.7 61.2 31.5 360.7 222.0 28.7 41.5 68.4 18.5 33.5 43.3 546.8 184.1 88.0 16.1 71.9 96.1 64.2 31.9 362.7 222.0 28.3 44.3 68.2 19.5 33.8 44.5 545.5 185.2 86.7 14.8 71.8 98.5 66.5 32.0 360.3 220.6 28.3 45.2 66.1 20.2 33.7 41.8 561.6 196.3 94.5 21.9 72.6 101.8 68.8 33.0 365.3 221.5 28.3 48.3 67.1 19.8 34.5 43.2 555.3 604.2" 625.8 R 619.8 R 621.8 R 636.7" 641.0 647.0 641.7 644.4 640.9 658.8 177.2 10.6 166.7 164.3 2.4 131.3 32.0 99.3 174.9 67.2 225.8 10.4 215.5 213.2 2.2 127.1" 29.01 98.2' 159.1 89.1" 234.8 9.9 224.9 221.0 3.9 136.6" 31.7" 105.0" 148.6 102.3" 242.5 10.2 232.3 228.7 3.5 134.1" 33.2" 100.9" 145.8 93.8" 251.3 10.4 241.0 238.6 2.4 142.3" 33.0" 109.3" 131.5 91.8" 252.5 10.7 241.8 239.4 2.4 143.4" 32.7" 110.7" 144.5 92.0" 258.6 11.1 247.5 245.1 2.4 146.3 32.9 113.5 140.6 92.0 268.1 11.3 256.8 254.4 2.4 146.6 32.3 114.3 129.0 99.6 265.5 11.1 254.3 251.9 2.4 145.9 31.0 114.8 132.6 94.8 265.4 11.0 254.5 252.1 2.4 148.2 34.4 113.8 129.2 97.9 269.0 11.3 257.8 255.4 2.4 139.5 27.5 112.0 129.9 98.9 273.5 11.3 262.1 259.7 2.4 149.9 34.4 115.5 123.2 107.5 550.6 6OI.R 622.4 R 616.2" 616.9" 632.5" 637.5 643-3 638.8 640.9 6373 654.1 4.7 3.1" 3.5" 3.6" 4.8" 3.5 3.7 2.9 3.6 3.5 4.7 n.a. 41.1" 45.9" 41.4" 40.5" 39.4" 38.2 43.5 40.5 43.2 44.5 45.9 n.a. 41.0" 47.6" 43.7" 43.4" 42.3" 41.2 46.7 43.6 46.6 47.5 49.2 4.2 v MEMO 55 Revaluation gains on off-balance-sheet items 8 56 Revaluation losses on off-balancesheet items 8 Footnotes appear on p. A21. Commercial Banking Institutions—Assets and Liabilities A21 NOTES TO TABLE 1.26 NOTE. Tables 1.26, 1.27, and 1.28 have been revised to reflect changes in the Board's H.8 statistical release, "Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States." Table 1.27, "Assets and Liabilities of Large Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks," and table 1.28, "Large Weekly Reporting U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks," are no longer being published in the Bulletin. Instead, abbreviated balance sheets for both large and small domestically chartered banks have been included in table 1.26, parts C and D. Data are both merger-adjusted and break-adjusted. In addition, data from large weekly reporting U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks have been replaced by balance sheet estimates of all foreign-related institutions and are included in table 1.26, part E. These data are breakadjusted. The not-seasonally-adjusted data for all tables now contain additional balance sheet items, which were available as of October 2, 1996. 1. Covers the following types of institutions in the fifty states and the District of Columbia: domestically chartered commercial banks that submit a weekly report of condition (large domestic); other domestically chartered commercial banks (small domestic); branches and agencies of foreign banks, and Edge Act and agreement corporations (foreign-related institutions). Excludes International Banking Facilities. Data are Wednesday values or pro rata averages of Wednesday values. Large domestic banks constitute a universe; data for small domestic banks and foreign-related institutions are estimates based on weekly samples and on quarter-end condition reports. Data are adjusted for breaks caused by reclassifications of assets and liabilities. The data for large and small domestic banks presented on pp. A17— 19 are adjusted to remove the estimated effects of mergers between these two groups. The adjustment for mergers changes past levels to make them comparable with current levels. Estimated quantities of balance sheet items acquired in mergers are removed from past data for the bank group that contained the acquired bank and put into past data for the group containing the acquiring bank. Balance sheet data for acquired banks are obtained from Call Reports, and a ratio procedure is used to adjust past levels. 2. Excludes federal funds sold to, reverse RPs with, and loans made to commercial banks in the United States, all of which are included in "Interbank loans." 3. Consists of reverse RPs with brokers and dealers and loans to purchase and carry securities. 4. Includes vault cash, cash items in process of collection, balances due from depository institutions, and balances due from Federal Reserve Banks. 5. Excludes the due-from position with related foreign offices, which is included in "Net due to related foreign offices." 6. Excludes unearned income, reserves for losses on loans and leases, and reserves for transfer risk. Loans are reported gross of these items. 7. This balancing item is not intended as a measure of equity capital for use in capita] adequacy analysis. On a seasonally adjusted basis this item reflects any differences in the seasonal patterns estimated for total assets and total liabilities. 8. Fair value of derivative contracts (interest rate, foreign exchange rate, other commodity and equity contracts) in a gain/loss position, as determined under FASB Interpretation No. 39. 9. Includes mortgage-backed securities issued by U.S. government agencies, U.S. government-sponsored enterprises, and private entities. 10. Difference between fair value and historical cost for securities classified as availablefor-sale under FASB Statement No. 115. Data are reported net of tax effects. Data shown are restated to include an estimate of these tax effects. 11. Mainly commercial and industrial loans but also includes an unknown amount of credit extended to other than nonfinancial businesses. A22 1.32 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 COMMERCIAL PAPER A N D BANKERS DOLLAR ACCEPTANCES OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period 1997 Year ending December Item 1992 Dec. 1993 Dec. 1994 Dec. 1995 Dec. 1996 Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Commercial paper (seasonally adjusted unless noted otherwise) 1 All issuers ? 3 Financial companies' Dealer-placed paper", total Directly placed paper 1 , total 4 Nonfinancial companies 4 545,619 555,075 595,382 674,904 775,371 813,168 836,979 838,366 855,178 864,758 889,494 226,456 171.605 218,947 180,389 223,038 207.701 275.815 210,829 361 14/ 229,662 387,164 239,509 402,291 246,215 404,727 248,920 413,776 252,856 414,475 256,165 440,262 253,971 147,558 155,739 164,643 188,260 184,563 186,495 188,473 184,719 188,546 194,119 195,260 n.a. n.a. n.a. Bankers dollar acceptances (not seasonally adjusted) 5 5 Total 6 7 8 9 10 Bx holder Accepting banks Own bills Bills bought from other banks Federal Reserve Banks 6 Foreign correspondents Others By basis 11 Imports into United States 12 Exports from United States 13 All other 38,194 32,348 29,835 10,555 9,097 1,458 12,421 10,707 1.714 11,783 10,462 1,321 1.276 26.364 725 19,202 410 17.642 12,209 8.096 17,890 10.217 7,293 14,838 10,062 6.355 13.417 29,242 25,754 n.a. n.a. 1. Institutions engaged primarily in commercial, savings, and mortgage banking; sales, personal, and mortgage financing; factoring, finance leasing, and other business lending; insurance underwriting; and other investment activities. 2. Includes all financial-company paper sold by dealers in the open market. 3. As reported by financial companies that place their paper directly with investors. 4. Includes public utilities and firms engaged primarily in such activities as communications, construction, manufacturing, mining, wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and services. 1.33 PRIME RATE CHARGED B Y BANKS n.a. n.a. n.a. 5. Data on bankers dollar acceptances are gathered from approximately 100 institutions. The reporting group is revised every January. Beginning January 1995, data for Bankers dollar acceptances are reported annually in September. 6. In 1977 the Federal Reserve discontinued operations in bankers dollar acceptances for its own account. Short-Term Business Loans' Percent per year Average rate 6.25 6.75 7.25 7.75 8.50 9.00 8.75 8.50 8.25 8.50 1994 1995 1996 7.15 8.83 8.27 1994—Jan. . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Ocl Nov. Dec. 6.00 6.00 6.06 6.45 6.99 7.25 7.25 7.51 7.75 7.75 8.15 8.50 1. The prime rate is one of several base rates that banks use to price short-term business loans. The table shows the date on which a new rate came to be the predominant one quoted by a majority of the twenty-five largest banks by asset size, based on the most recent Call Average rate 1995—Jan. . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July . Aug. Sept. Oct. . Nov. Dec. 8.50 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 8.80 8.75 8.75 8.75 8.75 8.65 1996—Jan. . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July . Aug. Sept. Oct. . Nov. Dec. 1997—Jan. . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July . Aug. Report. Data in this table also appear in the Board's H.15 (519) weekly and G.13 (415) monthly statistical releases. For ordering address, see inside front cover, Financial Markets 1.35 INTEREST RATES A23 Money and Capital Markets Percent per year; figures are averages of business day data unless otherwise noted 1997, week ending 1997 1994 Item 1995 1996 Apr. May June July June 27 July 4 July 11 July 18 July 25 M O N E Y M A R K E T INSTRUMENTS Federal funds 1 ' 2,3 2 Discount window borrowing 2 ' 4 1 4 5 Commercial 1-month 3-month 6-month 6 7 8 Finance paper, directly 1-month 3-month 6-month 3 5.30 5.02 5.51 5.00 5.50 5.00 5.56 5.00 5.52 5.00 5.42 5.00 5.82 5.00 5.48 5.00 5.44 5.00 5.43 5.00 4.43 4.66 4.93 5.93 5.93 5.93 5.43 5.41 5.42 5.61 5.71 5.79 5.61 5.69 5.78 5.60 5.65 5.69 5.56 5.57 5.60 5.61 5.63 5.65 5.62 5.63 5.66 5.56 5.58 5.62 5.55 5.56 5.60 5.54 5.55 5.57 4.33 4.53 4.56 5.81 5.78 5.68 5.31 5.29 5.21 5.51 5.61 5.60 5.53 5.61 5.66 5.53 5.57 5.57 5.49 5.50 5.50 5.54 5.55 5.53 5.54 5.55 5.52 5.48 5.51 5.50 5.49 5.50 5.51 5.48 5.49 5.48 4.56 4.83 5.81 5.80 5.31 5.31 5.62 5.71 5.62 5.71 5.59 5.63 5.53 5.54 5.58 5.61 5.58 5.61 5.54 5.55 5.53 5.55 5.51 5.52 4.38 4.63 4.96 5.87 5.92 5.98 5.35 5.39 5.47 5.57 5.71 5.90 5.58 5.70 5.87 5.57 5.66 5.78 5.54 5.60 5.70 5.58 5.66 5.76 5.58 5.66 5.78 5.54 5.61 5.71 5.54 5.59 5.71 5.53 5.59 5.68 4.63 5.93 5.38 5.70 5.69 5.66 5.61 5.63 5.65 5.63 5.63 5.59 4.25 4.64 5.02 5.49 5.56 5.60 5.01 5.08 5.22 5.16 5.37 5.64 5.05 5.30 5.54 4.93 5.13 5.38 5.05 5.12 5.24 4.99 5.08 5.35 5.04 5.09 5.32 4.99 5.09 5.24 5.05 5.12 5.24 5.08 5.15 5.25 4.29 4.66 5.02 5.51 5.59 5.69 5.02 5.09 5.23 5.17 5.35 5.66 5.13 5.35 5.64 4.92 5.14 5.35 5.07 5.12 5.26 4.94 5.05 5.35 5.12 5.14 n.a. 4.97 5.07 n.a. 5.05 5.09 n.a. 5.11 5.17 5.26 5.32 5.94 6.27 6.69 6.91 7.09 7.49 7.37 5.94 6.15 6.25 6.38 6.50 6.57 6.95 6.88 5.52 5.84 5.99 6.18 6.34 6.44 6.83 6.71 5.99 6.45 6.61 6.76 6.86 6.89 7.20 7.09 5.87 6.28 6.42 6.57 6.66 6.71 7.02 6.94 5.69 6.09 6.24 6.38 6.46 6.49 6.84 6.77 5.54 5.89 6.00 6.12 6.20 6.22 6.56 6.51 5.65 6.04 6.20 6.33 6.42 6.45 6.80 6.73 5.63 6.01 6.17 6.31 6.40 6.42 6.78 6.72 5.54 5.91 6.03 6.15 6.24 6.26 6.61 6.56 5.56 5.90 6.02 6.14 6.22 6.23 6.57 6.52 5.54 5.89 5.97 6.09 6.16 6.18 6.52 6.46 7.41 6.93 6.80 7.18 7.00 6.82 6.55 6.78 6.76 6.60 6.55 6.50 5.77 6.17 6.18 5.80 6.10 5.95 5.52 5.79 5.76 5.66 5.85 5.88 5.48 5.67 5.70 5.33 5.53 5.53 5.33 5.53 5.35 5.24 5.43 5.53 5.29 5.48 5.53 5.24 5.41 5.38 5.23 5.38 5.32 n.a. n.a. 5.28 8.26 7.83 7.66 7.99 7.86 7.68 7.42 7.63 7.62 7.47 7.43 7.37 7.97 8.15 8.28 8.63 8.29 7.59 7.72 7.83 8.20 7.86 7.37 7.55 7.69 8.05 7.77 7.73 7.93 7.98 8.34 8.23 7.58 7.80 7.86 8.20 8.01 7.41 7.62 7.68 8.02 7.85 7.14 7.36 7.42 7.75 7.62 7.36 7.56 7.62 7.96 7.84 7.35 7.55 7.61 7.94 7.72 7.19 7.41 7.47 7.79 7.62 7.15 7.38 7.43 7.76 7.59 7.09 7.31 7.38 7.70 7.52 2.82 2.56 2.19 1.98 1.85 1.77 1.66 1.76 1.71 1.70 1.65 1.64 placed3-5-7 Bankers acceptances3'5'8 3-month 6-month 11 12 13 Certificates of deposit, secondary 1-month 3-month 6-month market3'9 14 Eurodollar deposits, 3-month 3 ' 10 18 19 20 U.S. Treasury bills Secondary market 3 ' 5 3-month 6-month 1-year Auction average 3 ' 5 '" 3-month 6-month 1-year 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Constant maturities12 1-year 2-year 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year 15 16 17 5.83 5.21 paper ' ' 10 9 3.60 4.21 356 U . S . TREASURY N O T E S AND B O N D S Composite 29 More than 10 years (long-term) STATE AND L O C A L N O T E S AND B O N D S Moody's series13 30 Aaa 31 Baa 32 Bond Buyer series CORPORATE BONDS 33 Seasoned issues, all industries' 5 34 35 36 37 38 Rating group Aaa Aa A Baa A-rated. recently offered utility bonds' 6 MEMO Dividend-price ratio17 39 Common stocks 1. The daily effective federal funds rate is a weighted average of rates on trades through New York brokers. 2. Weekly figures are averages of seven calendar days ending on Wednesday of the current week; monthly figures include each calendar day in the month. 3. Annualized using a 360-day year for bank interest. 4. Rate for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. 5. Quoted on a discount basis. 6. An average of offering rates on commercial paper placed by several leading dealers for firms whose bond rating is AA or the equivalent. 7. An average of offering rates on paper directly placed by finance companies. 8. Representative closing yields for acceptances of the highest-rated money center banks. 9. An average of dealer offering rates on nationally traded certificates of deposit. 10. Bid rates for Eurodollar deposits at approximately 11:00 a.m. London time. Data are for indication purposes only. 11. Auction date for daily data; weekly and monthly averages computed on an issue-date basis. 12. Yields on actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. 13. General obligation bonds based on Thursday figures; Moody's Investors Service. 14. State and local government general obligation bonds maturing in twenty years are used in compiling this index. The twenty-bond index has a rating roughly equivalent to Moodys' A1 rating. Based on Thursday figures. 15. Daily figures from Moody's Investors Service. Based on yields to maturity on selected long-term bonds. 16. Compilation of the Federal Reserve. This series is an estimate of the yield on recently offered, A-rated utility bonds with a thirty-year maturity and five years of call protection. Weekly data are based on Friday quotations. 17. Standard & Poor's corporate series. Common stock ratio is based on the 500 stocks in the price index. NOTE. Some of the data in this table also appear in the Board's H. 15 (519) weekly and G. 13 (415) monthly statistical releases. For ordering address, see inside front cover. A24 1.36 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 STOCK MARKET Selected Statistics 1997 1996 Indicator Nov. Jan. Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Prices and trading volume (averages of daily figures)' Common stock prices (indexes) 1 New York Stock Exchange (Dec. 31, 1965 = 50) 2 Industrial 3 Transportation 4 Utility 5 Finance 254.16 315.32 247.17 104.96 209.75 291.18 367.40 270.14 110.64 238.48 357.98 453.57 327.30 126.36 303.94 388.75 490.60 348.32 135.88 345.30 391.61 494.38 352.28 128.55 350.01 403.58 509.18 359.40 131.95 361.45 418.57 524.30 364.15 142.88 388.75 416.72 523.08 372.37 132.38 387.19 401.00 506.69 366.67 126.66 364.25 433.36 549.65 395.50 140.52 392.32 457.07 578.57 410.93 140.24 419.12 480.94 610.42 433.75 144.25 441.59 6 Standard & Poor's Corporation (1941-43 = lOr 460.42 541.72 670.49 735.67 743.25 766.22 798.39 792.16 763.93 833.09 876.29 925.29 7 American Stock Exchange (Aug. 31, 1973 = 50) 3 449.49 498.13 570.86 583.21 582.96 585.09 593.29 593.64 554.13 584.06 619.94 635.28 290,652 17,951 345,729 20,387 409,740 22,567 443,521 22,151 431,538 23,648 526,631 24,019 508.199 21,250 496,241 19,232 473,094 19,122 479,907 19,634 516,241 23.277 543,006 25,562 Volume of trading (thousands of shares) 8 New York Stock Exchange 9 American Stock Exchange Customer financing (millions of dollars, end-of-period balances) 10 Margin credit at broker-dealers 4 61,160 76,680 97,400 91,680 97,400 99,460 100,000 100,160 98,870 106,010 113,440 116,190 Free credit balances at brokers' 11 Margin accounts 6 12 Cash accounts 14,095 28,870 16,250 34,340 22.540 40.430 20.020 36,650 22.540 40,430 22,870 41,280 22,200 40,090 22,930 41,050 22,700 37,560 22,050 39,400 23,860 41.840 r 24,290 43,985 Margin requirements (percent of market value and effective date) 7 13 Margin stocks 14 Convertible bonds 15 Short sales Mar. 11, 1968 June 8, 1968 May 6, 1970 Dec. 6, 1971 Nov. 24, 1972 70 50 70 80 60 80 65 50 65 55 50 55 65 50 65 1. Daily data on prices are available upon request to the Board of Governors. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. In July 1976 a financial group, composed of banks and insurance companies, was added to the group of stocks on which the index is based. The index is now based on 400 industrial stocks (formerly 425), 20 transportation (formerly 15 rail), 40 public utility (formerly 60). and 40 financial. 3. On July 5, 1983, the American Stock Exchange rebased its index, effectively cutting previous readings in half. 4. Since July 1983, under the revised Regulation T, margin credit at broker-dealers has included credit extended against stocks, convertible bonds, stocks acquired through the exercise of subscription rights, corporate bonds, and government securities. Separate reporting of data for margin stocks, convertible bonds, and subscription issues was discontinued in April 1984. 5. Free credit balances are amounts in accounts with no unfulfilled commitments to brokers and are subject to withdrawal by customers on demand. Jan. 3, 1974 50 50 50 6. Series initiated in June 1984. 7. Margin requirements, stated in regulations adopted by the Board of Governors pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit that can be used to purchase and carry "margin securities" (as defined in the regulations) when such credit is collateralized by securities. Margin requirements on securities are the dilference between the market value (100 percent) and the maximum loan value of collateral as prescribed by the Board. Regulation T was adopted effective Oct. 15, 1934; Regulation U, effective May 1, 1936; Regulation G, effective Mar. 11, 1968; and Regulation X, effective Nov. 1, 1971. On Jan. I, 1977, the Board of Governors for the first time established in Regulation T the initial margin required for writing options on securities, setting it at 30 percent of the current market value of the stock underlying the option. On Sept. 30, 1985, the Board changed the required initial margin, allowing it to be the same as the option maintenance margin required by the appropriate exchange or self-regulatory organization; such maintenance margin rules must be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Federal Finance 1.38 A25 FEDERAL FISCAL A N D FINANCING OPERATIONS Millions of dollars Fiscal year Calendar year Type of account or operation 1997 1994 1995 1996 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 1 U.S. budget 1 Receipts, total 2 On-budget Off-budget 3 4 Outlays, total On-budget 5 6 Off-budget 7 Surplus or deficit (—), total On-budget 8 9 Off-budget Source of financing (total) 10 Borrowing from the public 11 Operating cash (decrease, or increase (—)) 12 Other 2 1,258,627 923,601 335,026 1.461,731 1,181,469 279,372 -203,104 -258,758 55,654 1,351,830 1,000,751 351,079 1,515,729 1,227,065 288,664 -163,899 -226,314 62,415 1,453,062 1,085,570 367,492 1,560,330 1,259,872 300,458 -107,268 -174,302 67,034 90,293 59,673 30,620 134,303 104,964 29,339 -44,010 -45,291 1,281 108.099 73,869 34,230 129,422 100,427 28,996 -21,323 -26,558 5.234 228,588 187,997 40,591 134,650 107,842 26,807 93,939 80,155 13,784 94,493 63,146 31,347 142,988 112,625 30,362 -48,494 -49,479 985 173,361 135,922 37,439 118,726r 105,267r 13,459 54,635' 30,655 r 23,980 109,178 79,599 29.579 134,802 107,049 27,753 -25,624 -27,450 1,826 185,344 16,564 1,196 171,288 -2,007 -5,382 129,712 -6,276 -16,168 35,968 21,357 -13,315 28,833 -18,274 10,764 -39,001 -55.908 970 -19,054 72,532 -4,984 -11.147 -34,387 -9,ior -1,408 23,748 3,284 35,942 6,848 29,094 37,949 8,620 29,329 44,225 7,700 36,525 15,222 5,258 9,965 33,496 5,945 27,551 89,404 52,215 37,189 16,872 5,174 11,698 51,259 16,368 34,891 27,511 5,014 22,496 MEMO 13 Treasury operating balance (level, end of period) 14 Federal Reserve Banks Tax and loan accounts 15 1. Since 1990, off-budget items have been the social security trust funds (federal old-age survivors insurance and federal disability insurance) and the U.S. Postal Service. 2. Includes special drawing rights (SDRs); reserve position on the U.S. quota in the International Monetary Fund (IMF); loans to the IMF; other cash and monetary assets; accrued interest payable to the public; allocations of SDRs; deposit funds; miscellaneous liability (including checks outstanding) and asset accounts; seigniorage; increment on gold; net gain or loss for U.S. currency valuation adjustment; net gain or loss for IMF loanvaluation adjustment; and profit on sale of gold. SOURCE. Monthly totals: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government, fiscal year totals: U.S. Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the U.S. Government. A26 1.39 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 U.S. BUDGET RECEIPTS A N D OUTLAYS' Millions of dollars Fiscal year Calendar year Source or type 1995 1996 1997 1997 1996 1995 H2 HI H2 HI May June July RECEIPTS 1 All sources 2 Individual income taxes, net 3 Withheld 4 Nonwithheld Refunds" 5 Corporation income taxes 6 Gross receipts Refunds 7 8 Social insurance taxes and contributions, net . . . 9 Employment taxes and contributions" 10 Unemployment insurance 11 Other net receipts 3 12 13 14 15 Excise taxes Customs deposits Estate and sift taxes Miscellaneous receipts 4 1,351,830 1,453,062 656,865 767,099 707,551 845,552 94,493 173,361 109,178 590.244 499.927 175,855 85.538 656.417 533,080 212,168 88,897 292.393 256.916 45.521 10.058 347.285 264.177 162.782 79.735 323,884 279.988 53.491 9.604 400,435 292.252 191.050 82.926 30.690 48.097 5.873 23,300 74.381 44,802 31.395 1,825 53,868 51,812 4,003 1.950 174.422 17,418 484.473 451.045 28,878 4.550 189.055 17.231 509,414 476.361 28,584 4,469 88,302 7.518 224.269 211.323 10.702 2.247 96.480 9.704 277.767 257.446 18.068 2.254 95.364 10,053 240.326 227,777 10.302 2.245 106.451 9.635 288.251 268.357 17.709 2,184 5.005 752 50.220 39,835 9,963 422 40.541 1.169 48,612 47,933 343 336 5.442 1.739 40.572 38,066 2.081 425 57.484 19.301 14.763 28.561 54,014 18,670 17,189 25.534 30.014 9.849 7.718 11.839 25.682 8.731 8.775 12.087 27,016 9,294 8,835 12,888 28,084 8,619 10.477 12,866 4,808 1.443 1,412 1,667 5.185 1,522 1,494 2.793 5.369 1.799 1.552 2.315 OUTLAYS 1,515,729 1,560,330 752,856 785.368 800,184 r 797,443 r 142,988 118,726 r 134,802 17 18 19 20 21 22 National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology Energv Natural resources and environment Agriculture 272.066 16.434 16.724 4.936 22.078 9.778 265.748 13.496 16.709 2.836 21,614 9,159 132,887 6,908 7.970 1.992 11,392 3.065 132.599 8.076 8.897 1,356 10.254 73 138.350 8.895 9.498 806 11.642 10,699 131,525 5,779 8,939 801 9,688 1,433 26.152 256 1,655 129 1.719 -205 20.613 472 1,565 - 5 1,622 -255 22.944 1.541 1.763 238 1.909 -35 23 24 25 26 Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development Education, training, employment, and social services -17,808 39.350 10.641 -10.646 39.565 10,685 -3.947 20.725 5.569 -6,885 18,290 5.245 -5.865' 21.205 6.192 -7.575'' 18.046 5,699 -62 3.320 883 779' 3.224 1,207 -415 3.667 958 16 All types 54.263 52.001 26.212 25,979 26.032 25,227 3,799 3.702 3.542 27 Health 28 Social security and Medicare 79 Income security 1 15.418 495.701 220.493 119,378 523,901 225,989 57.128 251.388 104.847 59,989 264,647 121.186 61,466 269,410 r 107,182 r 61,808 278,817 123,874 10,374 48,887 22.357 10.595 47.558 11,298 9.821 47,860 17.921 30 31 3' 33 34 37.890 16.216 13,835 232.169 -44,455 36.985 17.548 1 1.892 241.090 — 37.620 18.678 8,091 7.601 119.348 -26.995 18.140 21.107 9.595 6,544 122.568 — 25.141 r 17,697 10.643 6.574 122,701 -24,234 4.333 1.875 484 21,162 -4,128 1.583 1,883 1.897 19,543 -8.556 3,409 1.863 366 7 1.046 -3.594 Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government Net interest 3 Undistributed offsetting receipts 6 1. Functional details do not sum to total outlays for calendar year data because revisions to monthly totals have not been distributed among functions. Fiscal year total for receipts and outlays do not correspond to calendar year data because revisions from the Budget have not been fully distributed across months. 2. O l d - a g e . d i s a b i l i t y , a n d h o s p i t a l i n s u r a n c e , a n d r a i l r o a d r e t i r e m e n t a c c o u n t s . 3. Federal employee disability fund. retirement contributions and civil service retirement and 9,015 4.641 120.576 -16.716 4. Deposits of earnings by Federal Reserv e Banks and other miscellaneous receipts. 5. Includes interest received by trust funds. 6. Rents and royalties for the outer continental shelf, U.S. government contributions for employee retirement, and certain asset sales. S o i - R C E . Fiscal y e a r totals: U S . O f f i c e of M a n a g e m e n t a n d B u d g e t . Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 199ft-. m o n t h l y a n d h a l f - y e a r totals: U.S. D e p a r t m e n t of the T r e a - sury. Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government. Federal Finance A25 1.40 FEDERAL DEBT SUBJECT TO STATUTORY LIMITATION Billions of dollars, end of month 1995 1996 1997 Item June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 1 Federal debt outstanding 4,978 5,001 5,017 5,153 5,197 5,260 5,357 5,415 n.a. 2 Public debt securities 3 Held by public 4 Held by agencies 4.951 3,635 1,317 4,974 3,653 1,321 4,989 3,684 1,305 5,118 3,764 1,354 5,161 3,739 1,422 5,225 3,778 1,447 5,323 3,826 1,497 5,381 3,874 1,507 5,376 27 27 0 27 27 0 28 28 0 36 28 8 36 28 8 35 27 8 34 27 8 34 26 8 4,861 4,885 4,900 5,030 5,073 5,137 5,237 5,294 5,290 4.861 0 4,885 0 4,900 0 5,030 0 5,073 0 5,137 0 5,237 0 5,294 0 5,290 0 4.900 4,900 4,900 5,500 5,500 5,500 5,500 5,500 5,500 5 Agency securities 6 Held by public 1 Held by agencies 8 Debt subject to statutory limit 9 Public debt securities 10 Other debt1 June 30 1 1 n.a. 1 MEMO 11 Statutory debt limit 1. Consists of guaranteed debt of U.S. Treasury and other federal agencies, specified participation certificates, notes to international lending organizations, and District of Columbia stadium bonds. 1.41 GROSS PUBLIC DEBT OF U.S. TREASURY SOURCE. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States and Treasury Bulletin. Types and Ownership Billions of dollars, end of period 1996 Type and holder 1 Total gross public debt 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 By tvpe Interest-bearing Marketable Bills Notes Bonds Inflation-indexed notes' Nonmarketable" State and local government series Foreign issues 3 Government Public Savings bonds and notes Government account series 4 Non-interest-bearing By holder' 16 U.S. Treasury and other federal agencies and trust funds 17 Federal Reserve Banks 18 Private investors 19 Commercial banks Money market funds 20 21 Insurance companies 22 Other companies State and local treasuries 6-7 23 Individuals 24 Savings bonds 25 Other securities Foreign and international 8 26 21 Other miscellaneous investors 7-9 1993 1995 1997 1996 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 4,535.7 4,800.2 4,988.7 5,323.2 5,224.8 5,323.2 5,380.9 5,376.2 4,532.3 2,989.5 714.6 1,764.0 495.9 n.a. 1,542.9 149.5 43.5 43.5 .0 169.4 1.150.0 3.4 4,769.2 3,126.0 733.8 1,867.0 510.3 n.a. 1,643.1 132.6 42.5 42.5 .0 177.8 1.259.8 31.0 4,964.4 3,307.2 760.7 2,010.3 521.2 n.a. 1,657.2 104.5 40.8 40.8 .0 181.9 1,299.6 24.3 5,317.2 3,459.7 777.4 2,112.3 555.0 n.a. 1,857.5 101.3 37.4 47.4 .0 182.4 1,505.9 6.0 5,220.8 3,418.4 761.2 2,098.7 543.5 n.a. 1,802.4 95.7 37.5 37.5 .0 184.2 1,454.7 4.0 5,317.2 3,459.7 777.4 2,112.3 555.0 n.a. 1,857.5 101.3 37.4 47.4 .0 182.4 1,505.9 6.0 5,375.1 3,504.4 785.6 2,131.0 565.4 7.4 1,870.8 104.8 36.8 36.8 .0 182.6 1,516.6 5.8 5.370.5 3,433.1 704.1 2,132.6 565.4 15.9 1,937.4 107.9 35.4 35.4 .0 182.7 1,581.5 5.7 1,153.5 334.2 3,047.4 322.2 80.8 234.5 213.0 609.2 r 1,257.1 374.1 3,168.0 290.4 67.6 240.1 224.5r 540.2r 1,304.5 391.0 3,294.9 278.7 71.5 r 241.5 228.8 421.5 r 1,497.2 410.9 3,411.2 261.7 r 91.6 r 235.9 r 258.5 358.0 r 1,447.0 390.9 3,386.2 274.8 85.2 235.6 r 249.1 382.3 r 1,497.2 410.9 3,411.2 261.7 r 9I.6 r 235.9 r 258.5 358.0 r 1,506.8 405.6 3,451.7 275.0 83.9 236.5 262.5 353.0 171.9 137.9 623.0 655.0 r 180.5 150.7 688.6 785.5 r 185.0 162.7 862.2 843.0 r 187.0 169.6 l,131.8 r 717.T 186.8 167.0 1,030.9 774.5 r 187.0 169.6 l,131.8 r 717.T 186.5 168.9 1,199.1 686.4 1. The U.S. Treasury first issued inflation-indexed notes during the first quarter of 1997. 2. Includes (not shown separately) securities issued to the Rural Electrification Administration, depository bonds, retirement plan bonds, and individual retirement bonds. 3. Nonmarketable series denominated in dollars, and series denominated in foreign currency held by foreigners. 4. Held almost entirely by U.S. Treasury and other federal agencies and trust funds. 5. Data for Federal Reserve Banks and U.S. government agencies and trust funds are actual holdings; data for other groups are Treasury estimates. 6. Includes state and local pension funds. 7. In March 1996, in a redefinition of series, fully defeased debt backed by nonmarketable federal securities was removed from "Other miscellaneous investors" and added to "State and local treasuries." The data shown here have been revised accordingly. 1994 n.a. 8. Consists of investments of foreign balances and international accounts in the United States. 9. Includes savings and loan associations, nonprofit institutions, credit unions, mutual savings banks, corporate pension trust funds, dealers and brokers, certain U.S. Treasury deposit accounts, and federally sponsored agencies. SOURCE. U.S. Treasury Department, data by type of security. Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States; data by holder, Treasury Bulletin. A28 1.42 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS Transactions' Millions of dollars, daily averages 1997, week ending 1997 Item Apr. May June June 4 June 11 49,329 42,017 40.559 49,231 40,156R 40,063 39,012 35.964 30,635 32,509 38,791 33,065 104.196 49.121 38,194 41,984 107,517 57.216 41,103 39,712 112,860 56,041 39,498 48.439 113.651 61,943 44.927 41.622 114.155R 61.383R 35,059R r 65,91 l 112,350 56.678 39,975 45.400 111,740 49,296 35.339 42,808 112,630 51.414 47,604 40,589 92,504 59,006 39,648 68,903 98,686 56,905 36,876 54,575 109,764 56,563 36,051 38,158 95,979 70,380 43,617 45,711 117,018 1.028 13.923 120,714 1.003 12.677 118.504 1,378 15.552 123,578 1.223 13.036 122,735 1.334 20,694 120,481 1,821 15,073 115,078 1.066 13,753 108,794 1,389 13,294 100,433 2,053 17,621 105.229 1,253 17,207 116,955 1.063 11,992 113,020 1,710 15,535 85,628 37,166 28,061 86,036 40,100 27,035 90,956 38,120 32,887 101,248 43.704 28.585 88,610 38,154 30,327 84,970 34,273 29,055 91,213 46,215 27,295 81,713 37,595 51,283 82,870 35,623 37,368 88,162 34,989 26,166 86,404 41,907 30,176 n.a. n.a. June 18 June 25 July 2 July 9 July 16 July 23 July 30 OUTRIGHT TRANSACTIONS 2 1 2 3 4 5 By type of security U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity Five years or less More than five years Federal agency Mortgage-backed Bx type of counterparty With interdealer broker U.S. Treasury Federal agencv Mortgage-backed With other 9 U.S. Treasury 10 Federal agency 11 Mortgage-backed 6 7 8 92.959R 33,726R 45,217R FUTURES TRANSACTIONS 3 12 13 14 15 16 By type of deliverable security U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity Five years or less More than five years Federal agencv Mortgage-backed 191 217 352 244 1,720 12.314 0 0 2.014 14,506 0 0 2.430 15,048 0 0 3,447 18,631 0 0 473 2.364' 15,656 R 0 0 494 155 2,558 15,967 0 0 1,755 13,281 0 0 2,433 11,864 0 0 1.082 13,024 0 0 103 339 135 1,354 14,384 0 0 1,196 16,056 0 0 1,425 15,123 0 0 OPTIONS TRANSACTIONS 4 17 18 19 20 21 By type of underlying securityUS. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity Five years or less More than five years Federal agencv Mortgage-backed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.195 4,277 0 584 3.570 5,024 0 560 3,103 4.018 0 408 2.342 4,325 0 445 3,993 4,265 0 530 4,122 3,691 0 572 1,655 3,760 0 163 3,095 4,271 0 304 2,362 8,238 0 887 2,494 4,791 0 290 2,000 6,506 0 557 1,725 5.726 0 711 1. Transactions are market purchases and sales of securities as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Monthly averages are based on the number of trading days in the month. Transactions are assumed evenly distributed among the trading days of the report week. Immediate, forward, and futures transactions are reported at principal value, which does not include accrued interest: options transactions are reported at the face value of the underlying securities. Dealers report cumulative transactions for each week ending Wednesday. 2. Outright transactions include immediate and forward transactions. Immediate delivery refers to purchases or sales of securities (other than mortgage-backed federal agency securities) for which delivery is scheduled in five business days or less and "when-issued" securities that settle on the issue date of offering. Transactions for immediate delivery of mortgagebacked agency securities include purchases and sales for w hich delivery is scheduled in thirty business days or less. Stripped securities are reported at market value by maturity of coupon or corpus. Forward transactions are agreements made in the over-the-counter market that specify delayed delivery. Forward contracts for U.S. Treasury securities and federal agency debt securities are included when the time to delivery is more than five business days. Forward contracts for mortgage-backed agency securities are included when the time to delivery is more than thirty business days. 3. Futures transactions are standardized agreements arranged on an exchange. All futures transactions are included regardless of time to delivery. 4. Options transactions are purchases or sales of put and call options, whether arranged on an organized exchange or in the over-the-counter market, and include options on futures contracts on U.S. Treasury and federal agency securities. NOTE, "n.a." indicates that data are not published because of insufficient activity. Major changes in the report form filed by primary dealers induced a break in the dealer data series as of the week ending July 6, 1994. Federal Finance 1.43 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS A25 Positions and Financing 1 Millions of dollars 1997 1997, week ending Item Apr. May June June 4 June 11 June 18 June 25 July 2 July 9 July 16 July 23 Positions 2 N E T OUTRIGHT POSITIONS 3 By type of security 1 U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity 2 Five years or less 3 More than five years 4 Federal agency 5 Mortgage-backed 4,082 -5,335 -1,305 10,641 3,197 -5,577 -3,991 -7,425 -5,265 -3,117 -1,038 -24,459' -28,153 29,723 34,916 -22,394 -18,077 29,451 35,472 -20,661 -20,191 31,556 35,836 -19,961 -21,997 30,873 29,343 -16,154 -17,990 33,666 37,166 -22,525 -19,549 33,311 39,500 -21,468 -18,265 29,410 34,532 -23,790 -25,420 29,693 35,866 -18,706 -21,965 31,388 31,276 -17,720 -22,963 42,158 35,337 -12,025 -20,857 36,535 35,484 -2,308 -974 633 -237 -432 812 1,303 1,355 1,535 1,311 -252 4,018 -5,916 0 0 3,100 -11,685 0 0 2,705 -13,430 0 0 3,973 -9,970 0 0 3,485 -14,621 0 0 2,209 -12,934 0 0 1,200 -15,485 0 0 3,676 -12,348 0 0 3,119 -15,715 0 0 3,740 -17,546 0 0 2,769 -18,512 0 0 N E T FUTURES POSITIONS 4 B\ type of deliverable security 6 U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity 7 Five years or less 8 More than five years 9 Federal agency 10 Mortgage-backed N E T OPTIONS POSITIONS 11 12 13 14 15 By type of deliverable security US. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity Five years or less More than five years Federal agency Mortgage-backed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2,458 -1,448 0 2,437 848 -671 0 2,210 2,660 2,466 0 240 2,882 -252 0 2,343 3,083 2,147 0 -464 2,692 2,495 0 -182 2,821 4,031 0 22 1,621 2,857 0 439 2,506 3,643 0 249 2,273 1,833 0 43 2,448 7,081 0 521 Financing 5 Reverse repurchase agreements 16 Overnight and continuing 17 Term 279,264 537,456 293,697 552,156 290,312 592,367 291,476 555,332 283,840 600,039 305,383 607,423 274,543 626,584 299,419 542,271 304,295 574,692 295,803 584,084 285,438 626,375 Securities borrowed 18 Overnight and continuing 19 Term 213,138 81,206 216,864 78,569 213,510 87,422 215,458 76,489 211,755 83,949 214,207 93,569 209,449 93,508 219,116 83,907 214,131 91,447 214,489 92,001 214,679 95,797 6,499 n.a. 4,104 188 8,826 163 4,452 178 4,603 153 11,328 165 11,702 166 10,706 156 9,885 137 8,501 116 8,092 117 Repurchase agreements 22 Overnight and continuing 23 Term 595,167 484,562 602,889 500,610 626,329 538,571 624,993 492,636 637,862 529,437 643,690 558,977 600,015 586,101 623,786 492,997 634,318 516,923 651,834 532,333 638,716 582,543 Securities loaned 24 Overnight and continuing 25 Term 5,795 4,430 6,399 4,352 6,774 4,574 5,584 4,427 5,947 4,879 7,346 4,522 7,310 4,458 7,330 4,497 7,473 4,394 7,812 4,293 8,524 4,990 Securities pledged 26 Overnight and continuing 27 Term 59,877 2,363 62,667 2,956 61,239 1,736 60,212 1,388 61,080 1,386 61,646 1,840 62,734 1,987 59,623 2,009 58,453 2,052 55,283 2,025 52,747 1,858 Collateralized loans 28 Overnight and continuing 29 Term 30 Total 0 0 11,503 0 0 12,391 0 0 13,374 0 0 16,226 0 0 12,383 0 0 13,191 0 0 14,074 0 0 11,757 0 0 13,272 0 0 13,790 0 0 13,679 MEMO: Matched book 6 Securities in 31 Overnight and continuing 32 Term 281,975 521,831 298,289 531,303 290,345 575,636 290,066 533,488 290,077 579,944 303,114 594,712 272,007 610,520 298,739 527,780 305,482 565,779 294,008 569,975 281,480 610,930 Securities out 33 Overnight and continuing 34 Term 362,687 418,703 363,061 432,788 380,179 461,838 372,527 419,514 378,812 453,902 405,995 480,866 367,276 500,907 370,136 425,473 384,736 446,662 383,121 453,947 376,160 500,175 Securities received as pledge 20 Overnight and continuing 21 Term 1. Data for positions and financing are obtained from reports submitted to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Weekly figures are close-of-business Wednesday data. Positions for calendar days of the report week are assumed to be constant. Monthly averages are based on the number of calendar days in the month. 2. Securities positions are reported at market value. 3. Net outright positions include immediate and forward positions. Net immediate positions include securities purchased or sold (other than mortgage-backed agency securities) that have been delivered or are scheduled to be delivered in five business days or less and "when-issued" securities that settle on the issue date of offering. Net immediate positions for mortgage-backed agency securities include securities purchased or sold that have been delivered or are scheduled to be delivered in thirty business days or less. Forward positions reflect agreements made in the over-the-counter market that specify delayed delivery. Forward contracts for U.S. Treasury securities and federal agency debt securities are included when the time to delivery is more than five business days. Forward contracts for mortgage-backed agency securities are included when the time to delivery is more than thirty business days. 4. Futures positions reflect standardized agreements arranged on an exchange. All futures positions are included regardless of time to delivery. 5. Overnight financing refers to agreements made on one business day that mature on the next business day; continuing contracts are agreements that remain in effect for more than one business day but have no specific maturity and can be terminated without advance notice by either party; term agreements have a fixed maturity of more than one business day. Financing data are reported in terms of actual funds paid or received, including accrued interest. 6. Matched-book data reflect financial intermediation activity in which the borrowing and lending transactions are matched. Matched-book data are included in the financing breakdowns given above. The reverse repurchase and repurchase numbers are not always equal because of the "matching" of securities of different values or different types of collateralization. NOTE, "n.a." indicates that data are not published because of insufficient activity. Major changes in the report form filed by primary dealers induced a break in the dealer data series as of the week ending July 6, 1994. A30 1.44 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 FEDERAL A N D FEDERALLY SPONSORED CREDIT AGENCIES Debt Outstanding Millions of dollars, end of period 1997 Agency 1 T 4 S 6 7 8 9 10 1 1 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 1993 Federal and federally sponsored agencies Federal agencies Defense Department' Export Import Bunk - " Federal Housing Administration 4 Government National Mortgage Association certificates ot participation" Postal Service6 Tennessee Vallev Authority United Stales Railwav Association 6 Federal Home Loan Banks Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation Federal National Mortgage Association Farm Credit Banks's Student Loan Marketing Association 9 Financing Corporation1" Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation" Resolution Funding Corporation 1- 1994 1995 1996 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May 570.711 738,928 844,611 925,823 939,416 927,400 929.809 960,491 974,331 45.193 6 5.315 255 39.186 6 3.455 116 37.347 6 2.050 97 29.380 6 1.447 84 29.481 6 1.437 144 29.303 6 1.437 146 28.989 6 1.363 26 27.762 6 1,357 31 28.011 6 1.357 32 n.a. n.a. n.a. 9.732 29.885 8.073 27.536 5,765 29.429 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 27.853 27.831 27.714 27,594 27,756 n.a. n.a. 28.005 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 5 2 3 45"> 139,512 49.993 2 0 1 . 1 12 53.123 39.784 8.170 1,261 29.996 699 742 205.817 93.279 257.230 53.175 50.335 8.170 1.261 29.996 807.764 243,194 119.961 299.174 57.379 47.529 8.170 1.261 29,996 896,443 263.404 156.980 331,270 60,053 44,763 8.170 1,261 29.996 909.998 257.055 163.171 333.302 67.610 48,788 8.170 1.261 29.996 898.097 255.407 161,532 332.046 60.075 48.707 8.170 1,261 29.996 900.820 266.456 153,621 336.174 60,884 43.105 8.170 1.261 29,996 932,729 277.880 162.872 341,789 60.945 48.515 8.170 1.261 53.243R 946.320 284.861 167.407 344.350 61.384 47.620 8.170 1.261 29,996 128,187 103,817 78,681 58,172 57.635 57,625 53.688 5.309 9,732 4.760 6.325 3.449 8.073 2.044 5,765 n.a. n.a. MEMO 19 Federal Financing Bank debt 1 1 20 21 22 23 24 l.eiuliim to federal and federally sponsored Export-Import Bank"1 Postal Service 6 Student Loan Marketing Association Tennessee Vallev Authority United States Railway Association 6 25 26 27 Other lending1'* Farmers Home Administration Rural Electrification Administration Other n.a. 38.619 17,578 45.864 3.200 3,200 n.a. n.a. 33.719 17.392 37.984 1. Consists of mortgages assumed by the Defense Department between 1957 and 1963 under family housing and homeow ners assistance programs. 2. Includes participation certificates reclassified as debt beginning Oct. 1. 1976. 3. On-budget since Sept. 30. 1976. 4. Consists of debentures issued in payment of Federal Housing Administration insurance claims. Once issued, these securities may be sold privately on the securities market. 5. Certificates of participation issued before fiscal year 1969 by the Government National Mortgage Association acting as trustee for the Farmers Home Administration, the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, the Department of Housing and Urban Development, the Small Business Administration, and the Veterans Administration. 6. Off-budget. 7. Includes outstanding noncontingent liabilities: notes, bonds, and debentures. Includes Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation; therefore details do not sum to total. Some data are estimated. 8. Excludes borrowing by the Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation, which is shown on line 17. 9. Before late 1982, the association obtained financing through the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Borrowing excludes that obtained from the FFB, which is shown on line 22. n.a. 51.866 agencies 21.015 17,144 29,513 1,431 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 18,325 16,702 21.714 1.431 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 17.875 16,702 21,627 1,431 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 17.875 16,710 21.609 1,357 1,357 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 16,675 15.696 21.317 16.675 15,696 R 23.919 1.357 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 16.505 15.674 18.330 10. The Financing Corporation, established in August 1987 to recapitalize the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, undertook its first borrowing in October 1987. 11. The Farm Credit Financial Assistance Coiporation. established in January 1988 to provide assistance to the Farm Credit System, undertook its first borrowing in July 1988. 12. The Resolution Funding Corporation, established by the Financial Institutions Reform. Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989, undertook its first borrowing in October 1989. 13. The FFB, which began operations in 1974. is authorized to purchase or sell obligations issued, sold, or guaranteed by other federal agencies. Because FFB incurs debt solely for the purpose of lending to other agencies, its debt is not included in the main portion of the table to avoid double counting. 14. Includes FFB purchases of agency assets and guaranteed loans; the latter are loans guaranteed by numerous agencies, with the amounts guaranteed by any one agency generally being small. The Farmers Home Administration entry consists exclusively of agency assets, whereas the Rural Electrification Administration entry consists of both agency assets and guaranteed loans. Securities Markets and Corporate Finance 1.45 NEW SECURITY ISSUES A31 Tax-Exempt State and Local Governments Millions of dollars 1997 1996 Type of issue or issuer, or use 1994 1 All issues, new and refunding 1 1995 1996 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May1 June1 July 153,950 145,657 171,222 17,431 10,340 12,052 13,701 15,741 15,447 19,350 15,496 Bx tvpe of issue i General obligation 3 Revenue 54,404 99,546 56,980 88.677 60,409 110,813 4,755 12.676 4,160 6,180 4.287 7,765 5.491 8.210 6.224 9.517 5.741 9,706 6.133 13.217 6.95 1 8.545 Bx type of issuer 4 Slate Special district or statutory authority" 6 Municipality, county, or township 19.186 95.896 38.868 14.665 93,500 37,492 13.651 113.228 44,343 663 12.315 4,453 728 6,306 3,306 713 8.341 2.998 4.037 7.206 2.458 1,126 1 1.124 3,491 1.219 9.666 4.562 1.197 1 3.774 4.379 1,985 9.694 3,817 105,972 102,390 112,298 12,311 6,106 8,409 8,736 11,476 10,507 14,952 9,758 21.267 10,836 10,192 20,289 8.161 35.227 23,964 11.890 9.618 19,566 6,581 30,771 26,851 12,324 9,791 24,583 6,287 32.462 2.306 736 1.006 3.294 1,081 3.888 1,974 808 749 1.265 231 1.079 1,924 639 901 1.281 481 3,183 2,330 393 954 2.644 317 2,098 3.264 1.873 425 1.929 765 3,220 2,844 1.225 1.608 1.291 462 3.077 3.498 638 1.615 4.438 637 4,126 2.959 822 1.388 1.641 355 2.593 7 Issues for new capital BY use of proceeds X Education 9 Transportation 10 Utilities and conservation 1 1 Social welfare 12 Industrial aid 13 Other purposes 1. Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2. Includes school districts. 1.46 NEW SECURITY ISSUES SOI'RCE. Securities Data Company beginning January Digest before then. 1990; Investment Dealer U.S. Corporations Millions of dollars 1997 1996 Type of issue, offering, or issuer 1994 1995 1996 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr.1 May June 1 All issues' 583,240 n.a. n.a. 57,937 48,747 57,186 53,027 62,41 l r 43.956 54,269 83,468 2 Bonds" 498,039 573,206 n.a. 44,569 39,585 44,027 44,980 54,632 37,672 46,259 72,561 Bx type of offering 3 Public, domestic 4 Private placement, domestic 5 Sold abroad 365.222 76.065 56,755 408,804 87,492 76,910 386 280 n.a. 74,793 38,948 n.a. 5,621 37.108 n.a. 2,477 35,449 n.a. 8,577 35,245 n.a. 9,735 45.886 n.a. 8,746 29.797 n.a. 7,875 38.1 15 n.a. 8.144 60.35 1 n.a. 12.210 43.423 40.735 6,867 13.322 13.340 380,352 61.070 50.689 8.430 13.751 22.999 416,269 41,959 34.076 5.111 8,161 13,320 358,446 2.720 4.282 270 773 475 36,049 5.096 1.727 341 680 628 31,113 4,088 4.926 366 858 1,210 32,578 4.791 2.004 100 1,476 405 36,204 3,060 1.641 324 1.185 2.802 45,619 2.276 6.201 257 47 500 28.391 2.355 4.225 4.445 653 300 34,282 3.748 2,771 667 1.377 576 6.3,423 12 Stocks" 85,155 100,573 n.a. 13,368 9,162 13,159 8,047 7,779 6.284 8,012 10,907 Bx type of offering 13 Public preferred 14 Common 15 Private placement" 12.570 47.828 24.800 10,917 57.556 32.100 33.208 83.052 5.656 7,712 n.a. 5,452 3.710 n.a. 8,048 5.111 n.a. 1,510 6.537 n.a. 2.740 5.039 n.a. 1.952 4.332 n.a. 2,055 5,957 n.a. 3.843 7.064 n.a. 17.798 15.713 2.203 2.214 494 46.733 21.545 27.844 804 1.936 1.077 47.367 1.530 3.974 367 210 42 7,219 899 2,922 54 103 23 5.161 608 1.827 250 1,847 0 8.292 2.008 3.041 258 96 28 2.575 1.136 1.923 0 841 0 3.879 847 1.181 0 570 25 3,661 1.594 1.912 35 200 0 4,219 966 2.933 257 1,046 374 5,344 6 7 8 9 10 11 16 17 18 19 20 21 Bx industn• group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial Bx industn group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial n.a. I. Figures represent gross proceeds of issues maturing in more than one year: they are the principal amount or number of units calculated by multiplying by the offering price. Figures exclude secondary offerings, employee stock plans, investment companies other than closedend. intracorporate transactions, equities sold abroad, and Yankee bonds. Stock data include ownership securities issued by limited partnerships. 2. Monthly data cover only public offerings. 3. Monthly data are not available. SOt'RCE. Beginning July 1993, Securities Data Company and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. A32 1.47 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 O P E N - E N D INVESTMENT COMPANIES Net Sales and Assets' Millions of dollars 1996 Item 1995 1997 1996 Dec. Jan. Mar. Feb. Apr. May June July 1 Sales of own shares 2 871,415 1,149,918 122,792 134,460 102,169 101,390 110,721 103,470 112,807 125,639 2 Redemptions of own shares 3 Net sales 3 699,497 171,918 853,460 296,458 87,949 34,843 96,243 38,218 73,871 28,298 79,976 21,413 100,188 10,532 76,337 27,133 87.056 25,752 90,131 35,508 4 Assets 4 2,067,337 2,637,398 2,637,398 2,752,273 2,772,715 2,700,474 2,782,077 2,952,609 3,067,392 3,279,457 6 Other 142,572 1,924,765 139,396 2,498,002 137,973 2,499,425 152,297 2,599,976 153,525 2,619,189 160,570 2,539,906 177,979 2,604,098 182,004 2,770,606 180,464 2,886,928 183,044 3,096,414 4. Market value at end of period, less current liabilities. 5. Includes all U.S. Treasury securities and other short-term debt securities. SOURCE. Investment Company Institute. Data based on reports of membership, which comprises substantially all open-end investment companies registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Data reflect underwritings of newly formed companies after their initial offering of securities. 1. Data on sales and redemptions exclude money market mutual funds but include limited-maturity municipal bond funds. Data on asset positions exclude both money market mutual funds and limited-maturity municipal bond funds. 2. Includes reinvestment of net income dividends. Excludes reinvestment of capital gains distributions and share issue of conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 3. Excludes sales and redemptions resulting from transfers of shares into or out of money market mutual funds within the same fund family. 1.48 CORPORATE PROFITS A N D THEIR DISTRIBUTION Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1995 r Account 1994 r 1995 r 1996 r 1997 1996 r Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Qir Q2 1 Profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment 2 Profits before taxes 3 Profits-tax liability 4 Profits after taxes • 5 Dividends 6 Undistributed profits 570.5 535.1 186.6 348.5 216.2 132.3 650.0 622.6 213.2 409.4 264.4 145.0 735.9 676.6 229.0 447.6 304.8 142.8 672.8 630.6 218.8 411.8 266.8 145.0 685.7 634.1 215.3 418.8 274.4 144.5 717.7 664.9 226.2 438.7 300.7 138.0 738.5 682.2 232.2 450.0 303.7 146.4 739.6 679.1 231.6 447.5 305.7 141.8 747.8 680.0 226.0 454.0 309.1 144.9 779.6 708.4 241.2 467.2 326.8 140.3 794.5 717.3 244.4 473.0 333.0 140.0 7 Inventory valuation 8 Capital consumption adjustment -16.1 51.4 -24.3 51.6 -2.5 61.8 -9.3 51.5 .4 51.1 -5.1 57.9 -5.4 61.6 -2.7 63.2 3.3 64.4 3.5 67.7 7.6 69.6 SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current 1.51 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES Business. Assets and Liabilities' Billions of dollars, end of period; not seasonally adjusted 1995 r Account 1994 r 1995 r 1996 r 1997 1996r Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Qlr Q2 ASSETS 1 Accounts receivable, gross" 2 Consumer .3 Business 4 Real estate 543.7 201.9 274.9 66.9 607.0 233.0 301.6 72.4 637.1 244.9 309.5 82.7 607.0 233.0 301.6 72.4 613.7 235.9 303.5 74.3 626.7 240.6 305.7 80.4 628.1 244.4 301.4 82.2 637.1 244.9 309.5 82.7 647.2 248.6 315.2 83.4 650.7 254.3 311.7 84.8 52.9 11.3 60.7 12.8 55.6 13.1 60.7 12.8 58.9 12.8 57.2 12.7 54.8 12.9 55.6 13.1 51.3 12.8 57.0 13.3 7 Accounts receivable, net 8 All other 479.5 216.8 533.5 250.9 568.3 290.0 533.5 250.9 542.0 255.0 556.7 258.7 560.5 268.7 568.3 290.0 583.1 289.9 580.4 308.1 9 Total assets 696.3 784.4 858.3 784.4 796.9 815.4 829.2 858.3 873.0 888.6 14.8 171.6 15.3 168.6 19.7 177.6 15.3 168.6 15.4 168.2 17.7 169.6 18.3 173.1 19.7 177.6 18.4 185.3 18.9 193.8 41.8 247.4 146.2 74.6 51.1 300.0 163.6 85.9 60.3 332.5 174.7 93.5 51.1 300.0 163.6 85.9 50.5 307.5 165.6 89.7 56.3 319.0 163.2 89.7 57.9 322.3 164.8 92.8 60.3 332.5 174.7 93.5 61.0 324.4 189.1 94.8 61.4 344.6 170.9 98.8 696.3 784.4 858.3 784.4 796.9 815.4 829.2 858.3 873.0 888.6 5 LESS: Reserves for unearned income 6 Reserves for losses LIABILITIES AND C A P I T A L 10 Bank loans 11 Commercial paper 12 13 14 15 Debt Owed to parent Not elsewhere classified All other liabilities Capital, surplus, and undivided profits 16 Total liabilities a n d capital 1. Includes finance company subsidiaries of bank holding companies but not of retailers and banks. Data are amounts carried on the balance sheets of finance companies; securitized pools are not shown, as they are not on the books. 2. Before deduction for unearned income and losses, Securities Market and Corporate Finance 1.52 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES A33 Owned and Managed Receivables' Billions of dollars, amounts outstanding 1997 Type of credit Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Seasonally adjusted 1 Total 607.3 682.4 762.4 766.6 767.7 773.8 775.6 775.9 783.1 1 3 4 244.4 66.9 295.9 281.9 72.4 328.1 306.6 111.9 343.8 309.1 112.7 344.7 311.3 112.8 ' 343.5 312.5 115.5 345.8 318.2 116.9 340.5 318.5 118.0 3.39.3 320.5 120.7 342.0 Consumer Real estate Business Not seasonally adjusted 5 Total 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 Consumer Motor vehicles loans Motor vehicle leases Revolving 2 Other 3 Securitized assets 4 Motor vehicle loans Motor vehicle leases Revolving Other Real estate One- to four-family Other Securitized real estate assets 4 One- to four-family Other Business Motor vehicles Retail loans Wholesale loans 5 Leases Equipment Loans Leases Other business receivables 6 Securitized assets 4 Motor vehicles Retail loans Wholesale loans Leases Equipment Loans Leases Other business receivables 6 613.5 689.5 769.7 767.7 766.2 775.0 776.6 777.8 787.2 248.0 70.2 67.5 25.9 38.4 285.8 81.1 80.8 28.5 42.6 310.6 86.7 92.5 32.5 33.2 310.6 86.8 93.6 32.3 34.4 309.9 87.1 94.3 32.2 34.0 311.0 85.8 95.6 33.2 34.0 315.6 83.2 96.7 34.3 34.3 317.5 85.1 97.3 34.4 34.7 320.6 87.0 98.5 34.1 35.3 32.8 2.2 n.a. 11.2 66.9 n.a. n.a. 34.8 3.5 n.a. 14.7 72.4 n.a. n.a. 36.8 8.7 0.0 20.1 111.9 52.1 30.5 35.0 8.6 0.0 19.8 112.7 53.2 30.3 34.2 8.5 0.0 19.7 112.8 53.8 30.2 34.5 8.4 0.0 19.6 115.5 53.3 30.1 38.3 9.4 0.0 19.3 116.9 55.0 30.3 36.8 9.3 0.0 19.9 118.0 54.9 30.3 36.8 9.2 0.0 19.7 120.7 55.1 30.3 n.a. n.a. 298.6 62.0 18.5 35.2 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 n.a. n.a. 331.2 66.5 21.8 36.6 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 28.9 0.4 347.2 67.1 25.1 33.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 28.9 0.3 344.4 68.4 24.9 34.5 9.1 191.9 56.1 135.8 47.7 28.5 0.3 343.4 71.0 25.0 36.9 9.1 190.8 54.5 136.3 48.3 31.8 0.4 348.5 73.8 25.1 39.6 9.1 192.1 55.0 137.1 49.3 31.3 0.3 344.1 71.7 24.6 37.9 9.2 189.9 53.8 136.1 49.6 32.5 0.3 342.2 70.4 24.4 36.6 9.3 188.0 52.3 135.6 50.3 .35.0 0.3 345.9 70.7 25.2 36.3 9.3 188.8 52.6 136.2 52.2 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 23.3 2.6 20.7 0.0 10.7 4.5 6.2 2.4 20.7 2.4 18.3 0.0 10.3 4.2 6.0 2.4 20.5 2.2 18.2 0.0 10.3 4.0 6.3 2.5 20.3 2.1 18.2 0.0 9.9 3.8 6.2 2.6 21.1 2.6 18.5 0.0 9.9 4.0 5.9 2.5 21.3 2.5 18.7 0.0 10.4 3.9 6.5 2.5 NOTE. This table has been revised to incorporate several changes resulting from the benchmarking of finance company receivables to the June 1996 Survey of Finance Companies. In that benchmark survey, and in the monthly surveys that have followed, more detailed breakdowns have been obtained for some components. In addition, previously unavailable data on securitized real estate loans are now included in this table. The new information has resulted in some reclassification of receivables among the three major categories (consumer, real estate, and business) and in discontinuities in some component series between May and June 1996. Includes finance company subsidiaries of bank holding companies but not of retailers and banks. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.20 (422) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 1. Owned receivables are those carried on the balance sheet of the institution. Managed receivables are outstanding balances of pools upon which securities have been issued; these balances are no longer carried on the balance sheets of the loan originator. Data are shown before deductions for unearned income and losses. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding. 2. Excludes revolving credit reported as held by depository institutions that are subsidiaries of finance companies. 3. Includes personal cash loans, mobile home loans, and loans to purchase other types of consumer goods such as appliances, apparel, boats, and recreation vehicles. 4. Outstanding balances of pools upon which securities have been issued; these balances are no longer carried on the balance sheets of the loan originator. 5. Credit arising from transactions between manufacturers and dealers, that is, Hoor plan financing. 6. Includes loans on commercial accounts receivable, factored commercial accounts, and receivable dealer capital; small loans used primarily for business or farm purposes; and wholesale and lease paper for mobile homes, campers, and travel trailers. A34 1.53 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 MORTGAGE MARKETS Mortgages on New Homes Millions of dollars except as noted 1997 Item 1994 1995 1996 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Terms and yields in primary and secondary markets PRIMARY M A R K E T S 1 2 3 4 5 Terms1 Purchase price (thousands of dollars) Amount of loan (thousands of dollars) Loan-to-price ratio (percent) Maturity (years) Fees and charges (percent of loan amount)" Yield (percent per year) 6 Contract rate1 7 Effective rate 1 3 8 Contract rate (HUD series) 4 170.4 130.8 78.8 27.5 1.29 175.8 134.5 78.6 27.7 1.21 182.4 139.2 78.2 27.2 1.21 172.4 133.6 79.7 27.9 1.02 166.6 130.9 80.9 28.2 1.03 169.2 132.1 80.8 28.0 0.99 172.5 134.8 81.1 27.8 1.04 177.6 137.7 80.0 28.2 1.00 181.4 140.6 79.9 28.0 1.04 181.4 142.7 81.2 28.7 1.05 7.26 7.47 8.58 7.65 7.85 8.05 7.56 7.77 8.03 7.65 7.81 7.94 7.61 7.78 7.94 7.72 7.88 8.25 7.86 8.03 8.19 7.85 8.01 8.08 7.79 7.95 7.82 7.62 7.78 7.62 8.68 7.96 8.18 7.57 8.19 7.48 8.06 7.51 8.08 7.37 8.55 7.69 8.56 7.80 8.05 7.59 8.02 7.37 7.61 7.04 SECONDARY M A R K E T S Yield (percent per year) 9 FHA mortgages (Section 203) 5 10 GNMA securities 6 Activity in secondary markets FEDERAL NATIONAL M O R T G A G E ASSOCIATION Mortgage holdings (end of period) 11 Total 17 F H A / V A insured 13 Conventional 14 Mortgage transactions purchased (during period) Mortgage commitments (during period) 7 15 Issued 8 16 To sell 222,057 27,558 194,499 253,51 1 28,762 224,749 287,052 30,592 256,460 288,504 30,352 258,152 288,951 30,119 258,832 292,115 30,100 262.015 295,804 30,839 264,965 297,023 31,437 265.586 297,471 31,198 266,273 300,439 31,065 269.374 62,389 56,598 68.618 4,128 3,029 5.839 6,683 4.148 3,594 6,417 54,038 1,820 56,092 360 65.859 130 4,384 71 4,407 0 8,299 1 3,898 0 1,704 23 6,196 115 6.956 75 72.693 276 72,416 107,424 267 107,157 137,755 220 137,535 138,935 216 138,719 139,925 213 139.712 144,558 208 144,350 147,190 205 146,985 148,698 210 148,488 149,250 210 149,040 151,582 210 151,372 FEDERAL H O M E L O A N M O R T G A G E CORPORATION Mortgage holdings (end of periodf 17 Total 18 19 F H A / V A insured Conventional Mortgage transactions (during period) 70 21 Sales 124,697 117,110 98.470 85,877 128,566 119,702 9,507 9,204 8,204 10,271 7,403 6,796 8,981 8,269 8,195 7,596 8,884 8,321 8,374 7,756 22 Mortgage commitments contracted (during period) 9 136,067 118,659 128,995 9,021 7,537 7,595 9.746 7,408 9,099 9,054 1. Weighted averages based on sample surveys of mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups for purchase of newly built homes; compiled by the Federal Housing Finance Board in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2. Includes all fees, commissions, discounts, and "points" paid (by the borrower or the seller) to obtain a loan. 3. Average effective interest rate on loans closed for purchase of newly built homes, assuming prepayment at the end of ten years. 4. Average contract rate on new commitments for conventional first mortgages; from U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Based on transactions on the first day of the subsequent month. 5. Average gross yield on thirty-year, minimum-downpavment first mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) for immediate delivery in the private secondary market. Based on transactions on first day of subsequent month. 6. Average net yields to investors on fully modified pass-through securities backed by mortgages and guaranteed by the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), assuming prepayment in twelve years on pools of thirty-year mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration or guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. 7. Does not include standby commitments issued, but includes standby commitments converted. 8. Includes participation loans as well as whole loans. 9. Includes conventional and government-underwritten loans. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation's mortgage commitments and mortgage transactions include activity under mortgage securities swap programs, whereas the corresponding data for FNMA exclude swap activity. Real Estate 1.54 A35 MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1997 1996 Type of holder and property 1 All holders 2 3 4 5 B\ type of property One- to tour-family residences Multifamilv residences Nonfarm, nonresidential Farm Bv type of holder 6 Major financial institutions Commercial banks" 7 8 One- to four-family 9 Multifamily 10 Nonfarm. nonresidential Farm 1 1 12 Savings institutions" 13 One- to four-family 14 Multifamily 15 Nonfarm, nonresidential 16 Farm 17 Life insurance companies 18 One- to four-family 19 Multifamilv 20 Nonfarm. nonresidential 21 Farm -n Federal and related agencies 23 Government National Mortgage Association 24 One- to four-family 25 Multifamily 26 Farmers Home Administration 4 27 One- to four-family 28 Multifamily 29 Nonfarm, nonresidential 30 Farm 31 Federal Housing and Veterans' Administrations 32 One- to four-familv 33 Multifamilv 34 Resolution Trust Corporation One- to four-family 35 36 Multifamily 37 Nonfarm, nonresidential 38 Farm Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 39 40 One- to four-family 41 Multifamilv Nonfarm, nonresidential 42 43 Farm 44 Federal National Mortgage Association One- to four-family 45 46 Multifamily 47 Federal Land Banks 48 One- to four-family 49 Farm 50 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 51 One- to four-family Multifamily 52 53 Mortgage pools or trusts 5 54 Government National Mortgage Association 55 One- to four-family 56 Multifamily Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 57 58 One- to four-family 59 Multifamily 60 Federal National Mortgage Association 61 One- to four-family Multifamily 62 Farmers Home Administration 4 63 64 One- to four-family Multifamily 65 66 Nonfarm, nonresidential Farm 67 68 Private mortgage conduits 69 One- to four-family 6 Multifamily 70 71 Nonfarm, nonresidential Farm 72 73 Individuals and others 7 74 One- to four-family Multifamily 75 76 Nonfarm, nonresidential 77 1994 1993 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Qlp 4,269,331 4,475,550 4,709,386 4,788,889 4.882,718 4,964,129 5,052,167 5,113,053 3,232.753 270,380 685.015 81,183 3,436.677 275,301 680.615 82,957 3.633.779 287.761 703.226 84,620 3.700,246 292,084 711.355 85,204 3.775,559 297,543 723,090 86.526 3,848,864 301,943 725,919 87,405 3,915,412 310.395 738.301 88,060 3,966.770 313,285 744,567 88,432 1.763.404 940.595 556.660 38,657 324,413 20,866 598.437 470,000 67,367 60,765 305 224,372 8.593 25,376 180.934 9.469 1,811.417 1,004,322 611.391 39.360 331,004 22,567 596.191 477,626 64.343 53.933 289 210.904 7,018 23.902 170,421 9.563 1,884.623 1,080,366 663,614 43,842 349.081 23,829 596.789 482.351 61,988 52,162 288 207,468 7,316 23,435 167.095 9.622 1,897.191 1.087,207 665,935 44,700 352,641 23.931 602,631 489,634 60,540 52,155 302 207,353 7.273 23.427 167.039 9,614 1,919,622 1,099.643 670.756 45,368 358,956 24,563 611.735 498.219 60,680 52,522 315 208,244 7,270 23,534 167,800 9,640 1,945.088 1,112,914 679,217 46,529 362,353 24,815 628,037 513.291 61,434 52,991 320 204.138 6,190 23.155 165,096 9,697 1.967.948 1,136.128 696,333 47,037 367.875 24,883 628,337 513,376 61,624 53.007 331 203.483 5,817 23.082 164.573 10.011 1,979,222 1.149,716 705,210 47,904 371,372 25,231 627.212 513,903 60,718 52,255 336 202,293 5,412 22,968 163,765 10,148 327,014 n 15 7 41,386 15.303 10,940 5,406 9,739 12.215 5,364 6.851 17,284 7,203 5,327 4,754 0 14,112 2,367 1,426 10,319 0 166.642 151.310 15.332 28,460 1,675 26,785 46,892 44,345 2,547 319.327 6 6 0 41.781 13,826 11.319 5,670 10.966 10.964 4,753 6.211 10.428 5.200 2,859 2.369 0 7.821 1,049 1,595 5,177 0 178,059 162.160 15,899 28,555 1.671 26.885 41,712 38.882 2,830 313,760 2 2 0 41.791 12.643 11.617 6,248 11.282 9.809 5,180 4.629 1,864 691 647 525 0 4.303 492 428 3,383 0 183,782 168.122 15,660 28,428 1,673 26,755 43,781 39,929 3,852 312.950 2 i 0 41.594 12,327 11.636 6,365 11,266 8,439 4,228 4,211 0 0 0 0 0 5,553 839 1.099 3,616 0 183,531 167.895 15.636 28.891 1.700 27,191 44,939 40.877 4.062 314,694 0 2 0 41,547 11.982 11.645 6,552 11,369 8.052 3.861 4.191 0 0 0 0 0 5.016 840 955 3,221 0 186.041 170,572 15,469 29,362 1,728 27,634 44,674 40.477 4,197 311,697 2 2 0 41,575 11.630 11,652 6.681 11,613 6.627 3,190 3,438 0 0 0 0 0 4.025 675 766 2,584 0 185,221 170.083 15,138 29,579 1,740 27,839 44,668 40.304 4,364 309,757 2 2 0 41,596 11.319 11.685 6,841 11,752 6,244 3,524 2,719 0 0 0 0 0 2,431 365 413 1,653 0 184.445 169,765 14,680 29.602 1,742 27,860 45,437 40.691 4,746 303,591 6 6 0 41,485 11,311 11,692 6,969 11,513 4.330 2,335 1,995 0 0 0 0 0 2,217 333 377 1,508 0 182,556 168.436 14,120 29,668 1,746 27.922 43,329 38,301 5,028 1,570.666 414,066 404,864 9,202 447,147 442,612 4.535 495.525 486,804 8,721 28 5 0 13 10 213.901 179,730 8.701 25,469 0 1,726,833 450,934 441,198 9,736 490,851 487,725 3,126 530,343 520,763 9,580 19 3 0 9 7 254.686 202.987 14,925 36,774 0 1.861,864 472,292 461.447 10,845 515.051 512,238 2.813 582,959 569,724 13,235 11 2 0 5 4 291,551 222,892 21.279 47,380 0 1,905,515 475.829 464,650 11,179 524.327 521,722 2,605 599,546 585,527 14.019 10 1 0 5 4 305,803 230.221 24,477 51.104 0 1.963.909 485,441 473.950 11.491 536.671 534.238 2,433 621.285 606,271 15,014 9 1 0 4 4 320,502 239.153 26,809 54.541 0 2.008,229 497,248 485,303 11,945 545,608 543.341 2.267 636,362 619.869 16,493 7 0 0 4 3 329,003 244,527 28.141 56.336 0 2,057.873 505,977 493,795 12,182 554,260 551,513 2,747 650.780 633.210 17,570 3 0 0 0 3 346,853 249.700 33.689 63,464 0 2,100,674 513,531 500,651 12,880 562,894 560,369 2,525 663,668 645.324 18,344 3 0 0 0 3 360,579 258.000 35.498 67.081 0 608.247 455.903 65,393 72.943 14,009 617,972 460.419 69,615 75,257 12,681 649,140 485.464 73.492 77,346 12.838 673,233 507.414 74,492 78,431 12,896 684.494 516.239 75.758 79.495 13,002 699.115 529.501 76.622 79.874 13.118 716,590 544,259 78.221 80,888 13,221 729,565 555,434 79,236 81,616 13,280 1. Multifamily debt refers to loans on structures of tive or more units. 2. Includes loans held by nondeposit trust companies but not loans held by bank trust departments. 3. Includes savings banks and savings and loan associations. 4. FmHA-guaranteed securities sold to the Federal Financing Bank were reallocated from FmHA mortgage pools to FmHA mortgage holdings in I986:Q4 because of accounting changes by the Farmers Home Administration. 5. Outstanding principal balances of mortgage-backed securities insured or guaranteed by the agency indicated. 1995 6. Includes securitized home equity loans. 7. Other holders include mortgage companies, real estate investment trusts, state and local credit agencies, state and local retirement funds, noninsured pension funds, credit unions, and finance companies. SOURCE. Based on data from various institutional and government sources. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, if not reported directly, and interpolations and extrapolations, when required for some quarters, are estimated in part by the Federal Reserve. Line 69 from Inside Mortgage Securities and other sources. A36 1.55 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 CONSUMER CREDIT1 Millions of dollars, amounts outstanding, end of period 1997r Holder and type of credit 1994 1996 1995 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Seasonally adjusted 1 Total 964,568 1,100,712 1,184,022 1,195,181 1,202,877 1,205,557 1,214,512 1,217,035 1,217,011 2 Automobile 3 Revolving 4 Other 2 326,356 364,616 273,596 362,097 441,862 296,753 390,308 497,977 295,738 390.649 505,306 299.226 390,823 510,617 301,437 390,450 509,476 305,632 394,260 512,381 307,871 394,399 514,126 308,510 394,321 516,627 306,063 Not seasonally adjusted 5 Total 988,079 1,128,618 1,214,882 1,204,825 1,197,168 1,193,994 1,202,634 1,206,863 1,211,382 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Savings institutions Nonfinancial business 3 Pools of securitized assets 4 462,923 134.421 119,594 38,468 86,621 146,052 507,753 152,123 131,939 40,106 85,061 211,636 529.417 152,391 144,148 44,711 77,745 266,470 525,749 153,487 144,432 45,095 73,611 262,451 518,596 153,275 143,788 45,478 70,599 265,432 511,584 152,995 144,415 45,860 69,954 269,186 516,640 151,897 146,265 46,243 69,346 272,243 517,956 154,177 147,558 46,626 67,744 272,802 515,785 156,450 148,674 47,009 68,039 275,425 By major type of credit5 12 Automobile 13 Commercial banks 14 Finance companies Pools of securitized assets 4 15 328,576 141,895 70,157 36,689 364,726 149,094 81,073 44,635 393,189 153,983 86,690 52,363 389,461 153,013 86,809 49,481 387,539 151,826 87,064 48,195 386,713 150,458 85,754 49,334 389,844 150.937 83,230 53,504 391,259 151,203 85,106 51,505 393,437 149,029 86,979 52,739 16 Revolving 1/ Commercial banks 18 Finance companies 19 Nonfinancial business 3 383,187 182,021 25,880 56,790 464,134 210,298 28,460 53,525 522,860 228,615 32,493 44,901 513,437 223,184 32,262 41,900 508,559 215,772 32,206 39,813 502,850 207,251 33,225 39,433 504,916 209,031 34,345 38,953 509,207 212,796 34,411 37,078 513,376 215,342 34,130 37,283 Pools of securitized assets 4 20 21 Other 22 Commercial banks Finance companies 23 24 Nonfinancial business 3 Pools of securitized assets 4 25 96,130 276,316 139,007 38.384 29,831 13,233 147,934 299.758 148,361 42,590 31,536 19,067 188,712 298,833 146,819 33,208 32,844 25,395 187,865 301,927 149,552 34,416 31,711 25,105 192,332 301,070 150,998 34,005 30,786 24,905 194,549 304,431 153,875 34,016 30,521 25,303 193.798 307,874 156,672 34,322 30,393 24,941 195,800 306,397 153,957 34,660 30,666 25,497 196,906 304,569 151.414 35,341 30,756 25,780 6 / 8 9 10 II 1. The Board's series on amounts of credit covers most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Comprises mobile home loans and all other loans that are not included in automobile or revolving credit, such as loans for education, boats, trailers, or vacations. These loans may be secured or unsecured. 1.56 3. Includes retailers and gasoline companies. 4. Outstanding balances of pools upon which securities have been issued; these balances are no longer carried on the balance sheets of the loan originator. 5. Totals include estimates for certain holders for which only consumer credit totals are available. TERMS OF CONSUMER CREDIT1 Percent per year except as noted 1996 Item 1994 1995 1997 1996 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June INTEREST RATES Commercial banks' 1 48-month new car 2 24-month personal 8.12 13.19 9,57 13.94 9.05 13.54 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 8.92 13.46 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 9.20 13.81 n.a. n.a. Credit card plan 3 All accounts 4 Accounts assessed interest 15.69 15.77 16.02 15.79 15.63 15.50 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 15.88 15.13 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 15.75 15.72 n.a. n.a. Auto finance 5 New car 6 Used car 9.79 13.49 11.19 14.48 9.84 13.53 8.60 13.42 7.17 12.93 7.44 13.08 8.08 13.18 8.56 13.29 7.80 13.48 7.64 13.55 54.0 50.2 54.1 52.2 51.6 51.4 52.3 49.9 55.1 51.5 54.6 51.1 53.5 51.1 52.8 51.2 53.2 51.3 53.3 51.3 92 99 92 99 91 100 90 99 92 99 92 99 90 99 91 99 93 99 93 99 15,375 10,709 16,210 11,590 16,987 12,182 17,670 12,492 17.090 12,362 16,837 12,202 17,198 12,194 17,620 12,195 18,060 12,261 18,171 12,239 companies OTHER T E R M S 3 Maturity (months) New car 8 Used car 7 Loan-to-value 9 New car 10 Used car ratio Amount financed 11 New car 12 Used car (dollars) 1. The Board's series on amounts of credit covers most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Data are available for only the second month of each quarter, 3. At auto finance companies, Flow of Funds 1.57 A37 F U N D S R A I S E D IN U.S. C R E D I T M A R K E T S 1 Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1996 1995 Q3 Q4 1997 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total net borrowing by domestic nonfinancial s e c t o r s . . . . 545.6 628.8 621.6 719.7 751.8 571.1 590.2 886.1 715.0 712.7 693.2 762.9 fiv sector and instrument 1 Federal government 3 Treasury securities 4 Budget agency securities and mortgages 304.0 303.8 •2 256.1 248.3 7.8 155.9 155.7 .2 144.4 142.9 1.5 145.0 146.6 -1.6 86.0 85.6 .4 59.3 54.1 5.1 239.9 242.2 -2.3 62.4 60.2 2.2 161.3 164.4 -3.1 116.5 119.8 -3.3 93.7 95.2 -1.4 5 Nonfederal 241.6 372.7 465.8 575.3 606.7 485.1 530.9 646.3 652.6 551.4 576.7 669.1 8.6 30.5 67.6 -13.7 10.1 133.5 190.3 -10.7 -47.5 1.4 5.0 10.0 74.8 75.2 3.6 -9.4 157.0 186.4 -5.9 -23.9 .5 61.5 21.4 -29.3 23.3 73.2 54.4 196.4 203.9 1.7 -11.0 1.8 126.3 18.1 -44.2 73.3 99.5 59.0 228.0 197.1 10.5 18.7 1.7 141.6 -.9 1.5 72.5 70.2 38.8 331.4 281.6 18.9 27.4 3.4 93.2 18.1 -107.2 59.8 75.0 35.2 247.7 219.2 11.6 14.8 2.2 156.4 14.1 -12.6 82.0 77.9 61.0 191.0 161.4 13.3 15.2 1.1 117.5 30.3 -18.9 60.9 40.6 32.9 377.9 333.5 14.7 27.4 2.3 122.5 11.0 37.7 71.5 75.0 26.8 339.4 276.1 18.3 39.7 5.3 91.2 -16.1 -76.2 67.8 134.3 79.4 268.0 248.4 13.4 2.7 3.5 94.2 -29.0 63.5 89.9 31.0 16.2 340.2 268.5 29.1 39.9 2.6 65.0 13.1 26.8 79.4 138.4 34.9 296.4 274.3 6.3 14.3 1.5 80.2 201.0 19.5 34.1 -16.0 1.3 21.1 256.5 53.9 47.7 4.2 2.0 62.3 372.4 133.2 118.5 11.9 2.8 -39.8 381.9 232.4 197.0 33.7 1.6 -39.0 403.4 190.5 146.4 40.8 3.3 12.9 413.8 172.5 133.8 35.2 3.5 -101.3 334.6 207.0 174.9 33.1 -1.0 -10.8 473.5 176.4 130.9 45.5 .1 -3.6 420.3 187.8 148.3 32.4 7.1 44.4 372.1 240.9 211.8 30.2 -1.2 -61.6 347.7 156.8 94.6 55.0 7.2 72.2 391.4 237.5 189.2 48.8 -.4 40.3 23.7 5.2 16.8 2.3 -.6 70.4 -9.0 82.9 .7 -4.2 -15.3 -27.3 12.2 1.4 -1.6 69.5 13.6 48.3 8.5 -.8 67.4 10.9 46.8 9.1 .7 88.3 23.7 55.2 8.2 1.3 76.9 -3.9 72.7 11.9 -3.9 49.1 -8.5 47.9 8.7 1.1 36.6 9.5 11.1 15.1 .7 106.0 38.6 59.7 4.7 3.1 77.8 3.8 68.4 7.8 -2.2 29.0 13.3 17.3 -.6 -.9 569.3 699.3 606.4 789.1 819.1 659.4 667.1 935.3 751.5 818.7 771.0 791.9 By instrument 6 Commercial paper 7 Municipal securities and loans 8 Corporate bonds 9 Bank loans n.e.c 10 Other loans and advances 1 1 Mortgages 1? Home Multifamily residential n 14 Commercial 15 Farm 16 Consumer credit 17 18 19 20 71 22 By borrowing sector Household Nonfinancial business Corporate Nonfarm noncorporate Farm State and local government 23 Foreign net borrowing in United States 24 Commercial paper 75 26 Bank loans n.e.c Other loans and advances 27 28 Total domestic plus foreign Financial sectors 29 Total net borrowing by financial sectors 240.0 291.3 467.7 447.2 531.2 506.3 574.3 330.9 689.3 497.2 607.2 332.8 By instrument 30 Federal government-related 31 Government-sponsored enterprise securities Mortgage pool securities 32 33 Loans from U.S. government 155.8 40.3 115.6 .0 165.3 80.6 84.7 .0 287.5 176.9 115.4 -4.8 204.1 105.9 98.2 .0 231.1 90.4 140.7 .0 227.7 101.5 126.2 .0 305.5 132.1 173.4 .0 137.8 31.4 106.5 .0 296.0 126.9 169.1 .0 240.4 80.0 160.4 .0 250.0 123.3 126.8 .0 112.4 10.7 101.8 .0 84.2 -.7 82.7 2.2 -.6 .6 126.0 -6.2 119.2 -13.0 22.4 3.6 180.2 41.6 118.4 -12.3 22.6 9.8 243.1 42.6 185.6 5.6 3.4 5.9 300.1 92.7 154.3 14.5 27.2 11.4 278.6 43.7 217.3 8.2 4.9 4.5 268.8 55.1 175.1 -1.2 32.0 7.7 193.1 17.8 147.6 25.4 -5.5 7.7 393.3 105.7 204.7 23.5 48.6 10.8 256.8 85.2 120.7 4.1 33.9 12.9 357.2 162.0 144.1 5.0 31.8 14.3 220.3 177.1 45.7 -2.4 -16.1 16.0 10.0 -7.0 .0 .0 40.2 115.6 58.5 -1.6 8.0 .3 2.7 13.2 13.4 11.3 .2 .2 80.6 84.7 82.4 .2 .0 3.4 12.0 2.9 20.1 12.8 2 .3 172.1 115.4 69.5 50.2 - 11.5 13.7 22.5 2.6 -.1 -.1 105.9 98.2 133.2 51.6 .4 6.0 -5.0 32.0 11.6 26.0 .1 1.1 90.4 140.7 130.2 48.4 9.9 12.8 -2.0 62.1 38.9 5.1 .1 -.1 101.5 126.2 164.8 19.8 4.0 4.5 2.1 39.4 -9.7 31.5 .0 -.4 132.1 173.4 187.5 54.3 -10.0 8.3 7.7 -.4 -32.5 11.0 -.1 2.5 31.4 106.5 137.1 47.1 20.0 8.2 -31.8 31.6 40.1 42.1 -.2 .3 126.9 169.1 131.1 68.4 16.0 11.5 13.2 70.9 15.7 26.4 .3 -.4 80.0 160.4 101.8 56.9 1.6 13.7 5.7 35.0 23.2 24.7 .3 2.0 123.3 126.8 150.6 21.1 1.8 17.7 4.9 110.9 19.3 -14.6 -.2 .8 10.7 101.8 52.6 43.0 -2.6 18.9 -2.9 106.1 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 4? 41 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Open market paper Corporate bonds Bank loans n.e.c Other loans and advances Mortgages By borrowing sector Commercial banking Savings institutions Credit unions Life insurance companies Government-sponsored enterprises Federally related mortgage pools Issuers of asset-backed securities (ABSs) Finance companies Mortgage companies Real estate investment trusts (REITs) Brokers and dealers Funding corporations 24.2 A38 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 1.57 FUNDS RAISED IN U.S. CREDIT MARKETS 1 —Continued 1995 1997 1996 Transaction category or sector Q3 Q4 Qi Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql All sectors 52 Total net borrowing, all sectors 809.3 990.6 1,074.1 1,236.3 1,350.3 1,165.7 1,241.4 1,266.2 1,440.8 1,315.9 1,378.2 1,124.7 Open market paper U.S. government securities Municipal securities Corporate and foreign bonds Bank loans n.e.c Other loans and advances sy Mortgages 60 Consumer credit 13.1 459.8 30.5 167.1 -9.3 8.9 134.1 5.0 -5.1 421.4 74.8 277.3 -8.6 8.7 160.6 61.5 35.7 448.1 -29.3 153.9 62.3 70.7 206.2 126.3 74.3 348.5 -44.2 307.2 113.5 61.6 233.8 141.6 102.6 376.1 1.5 273.6 93.8 66.7 342.8 93.2 85.5 313.7 -107.2 332.2 91.4 41.3 252.2 156.4 65.3 364.8 -12.6 329.9 88.6 89.1 198.7 117.5 39.6 377.7 -18.9 256.4 74.7 28.6 385.6 122.5 126.3 358.4 37.7 287.4 113.6 76.1 350.1 91.2 107.6 401.7 -76.2 248.2 143.1 116.5 280.9 94.2 136.8 366.5 63.5 302.4 43.8 45.8 354.5 65.0 203.4 206.2 26.8 142.4 135.4 17.9 312.4 80.2 53 54 55 5b 5/ 58 Funds raised through mutual funds and corporate equities 61 Total net issues 312.5 453.9 153.0 156.3 240.1 197.1 228.6 306.3 396.7 91.9 165.4 184.3 62 Corporate equities 63 Nonfinancial corporations 64 Foreign shares purchased by U.S. residents 65 Financial corporations 66 Mutual fund shares 103.4 27.0 32.4 44.0 209.1 130.1 21.3 63.4 45.4 323.7 24.1 -44.9 48.1 20.9 128.9 -17.7 -73.8 50.7 5.5 173.9 -18.5 -81.2 57.8 4.9 258.6 -4.9 -92.8 88.2 -.3 202.0 -15.9 -71.2 57.4 -2.2 244.5 2.5 -92.4 89.8 5.1 303.8 53.0 -27.2 69.7 10.5 343.7 -106.3 -138.8 32.1 .5 198.2 -23.2 -66.4 39.5 3.7 188.6 -54.5 -84.8 47.3 -17.0 238.8 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z.l (780) quarterly statistical release, tables F.2 through F.4. For ordering address, see inside front cover. Flow of Funds 1.58 A39 S U M M A R Y OF FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS 1 Billions of dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1992 1994 1993 1995 1997 1996 1995 Transaction category or sector 1996 Q3 Q4 Q2 QI Q3 Q4 Qi N E T LENDING IN CREDIT M A R K E T S 2 1 Total net lending in credit markets ?. Domestic nonfederal nonfinancial sectors Household Nonfinancial corporate business Nonfarm noncorporate business State and local governments Federal government Rest of the world Financial sectors Monetary authority Commercial banking U.S.-chartered banks Foreign banking offices in United States Bank holding companies Banks in U.S.-affiliated areas Savings institutions Credit unions Bank personal trusts and estates Life insurance companies Other insurance companies Private pension funds State and local government retirement funds Money market mutual funds Mutual funds Closed-end funds Government-sponsored enterprises Federally related mortgage pools Asset-backed securities issuers (ABSs) Finance companies Mortgage companies Real estate investment trusts (REITs) Brokers and dealers Funding corporations 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1? 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 74 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 3? 33 809.3 990.6 1,074.1 1,236.3 1,350.3 1,165.7 1,241.4 1,266.2 1,440.8 1,315.9 1,378.2 1,124.7 115.4 86.0 27.8 -.1 1.7 -11.9 98.4 607.4 27.9 95.3 69.5 16.5 5.6 3.7 -79.0 17.7 8.0 79.5 6.7 37.5 5.9 4.7 126.2 252.8 289.9 17.7 9 -55.0 -24.2 132.3 713.2 31.5 163.4 148.1 11.2 .9 3.3 6.7 28.1 7.1 66.7 24.9 47.7 30.7 30.0 -7.1 -3.3 120.6 115.4 62.8 68.2 -24.0 4.7 -44.2 -16.7 -98.5 -19.1 -2.4 .3 -77.4 -21.5 272.7 1,083.7 12.7 265.9 186.5 75.4 -.3 4.2 -7.5 16.2 -18.8 99.2 21.5 63.1 22.7 86.5 52.5 13.3 87.9 98.2 113.0 64.2 -3.4 2.2 90.1 4.3 .6 18.1 18.3 .4 -36.2 -21.9 405.6 966.0 12.3 187.9 119.7 63.3 3.9 1.0 19.9 25.5 3.9 59.7 24.4 46.6 34.5 88.8 48.9 9.3 93.8 140.7 105.2 43.1 8.2 3.0 -17.1 27.5 -82.4 84.6 -38.8 .3 -128.5 -24.3 361.0 911.3 -4.1 244.8 227.0 25.6 -9.6 1.8 32.2 11.0 -23.7 73.1 21.9 59.9 2.6 30.0 58.0 16.7 50.0 126.2 154.4 50.8 7.3 1.8 -5.2 3.7 -189.9 -93.6 -12.9 .3 -83.7 -24.4 157.6 1,298.0 19.7 166.2 118.1 36.1 4.6 7.4 -68.4 19.5 -20.2 53.1 22.3 81.3 20.2 125.1 141.9 13.2 186.5 -78.0 -121.1 40.4 .4 2.4 -20.7 341.1 1,023.8 16.9 121.7 80.5 44.2 -5.1 141.4 53.7 -36.4 3.4 189.3 12.8 -11.9 -69.9 -42.4 -21.8 .4 -6.2 -25.1 528.5 944.8 3.6 237.7 149.2 78.5 10.6 -.6 -48.8 24.8 7.2 67.6 25.3 29.5 17.3 73.4 21.5 7.5 137.5 126.8 107.3 34.3 4.1 2.0 77.0 -10.9 -113.8 -187.8 81.1 .5 -7.6 -18.7 360.3 896.8 37.5 310.3 210.0 92.1 2.2 6.0 -10.0 15.4 8.2 56.1 26.2 57.6 -2.8 175.0 81.8 10.9 33.4 106.5 117.3 40.9 51.8 3.4 -109.0 116.7 330.1 310.5 39.9 .4 -20.8 -15.2 268.2 857.7 9.4 190.2 125.5 57.5 5.4 1.7 40.5 34.8 4.2 2.5 23.7 45.4 50.6 18.4 54.1 9.8 122.2 169.1 120.9 41.3 -26.8 3.4 -72.0 15.9 -179.9 -74.7 14.8 .4 -120.4 -26.4 484.4 1,037.8 19.3 202.0 123.6 72.9 4.8 .7 53.7 20.3 7.8 120.1 24.9 41.9 8.0 88.5 38.3 9.0 68.8 115.6 53.7 7.5 .1 1.1 -1.3 13.3 76.0 35.3 9.1 -1.1 32.6 -18.4 129.3 803.7 36.2 142.2 149.6 -9.8 .0 2.4 -23.3 21.7 9.5 100.9 27.7 49.5 21.1 20.4 159.5 14.4 88.6 84.7 79.9 -9.0 .0 .6 14.8 -35.6 809.3 990.6 1,074.1 1,236.3 1,350.3 1,165.7 1,241.4 1,266.2 1,440.8 1,315.9 1,378.2 1,124.7 -1.6 .8 .0 .4 -18.5 50.5 117.3 -5.8 .0 .7 54.0 89.8 -9.7 8.8 2.2 .6 33.5 9.9 -12.8 -6.3 -.5 .0 47.7 -52.7 16.0 -1.9 .0 .0 18.2 80.9 -69.3 -26.6 -1.8 2.3 113.2 -113.0 107.1 .7 .0 -2.3 -8.5 47.0 -91.0 -22.2 -2.1 .4 59.4 -126.3 -40.0 96.5 65.6 97.0 113.9 -.9 .0 .0 85.0 -90.4 43.3 212.5 55.1 1.6 .0 .0 .9 -54.3 4.5 -70.3 -23.5 20.2 71.2 130.1 323.7 52.4 61.4 36.0 259.1 5.2 9.0 8.6 .8 -29.5 -13.1 -113.1 145.6 84.6 95.6 134.4 170.8 142.3 187.7 201.8 110.7 -17.7 -7.2 -4.3 56.6 291.1 -1.2 19.2 43.2 424.6 85.3 -23.2 188.6 104.9 131.1 51.8 308.5 -.6 19.8 18.8 652.3 30.7 -54.5 238.8 77.3 18.2 173.4 2.1 34.1 22.1 -3.5 48.7 23.6 69.5 62.1 82.1 160.4 75.1 55.9 3.4 3.4 35.5 77.1 37.9 6.7 63.2 101.8 27.6 72.3 -5.0 2.0 -11.8 26.6 RELATION OF LIABILITIES TO FINANCIAL A S S E T S 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Net flows through credit markets Other financial sources Official foreign exchange Special drawing rights certificates Treasury currency Foreign deposits Net interbank transactions Checkable deposits and currency Small time and savings deposits Large time deposits Money market fund shares Security repurchase agreements Corporate equities Mutual fund shares Trade payables Security credit Life insurance reserves Pension fund reserves Taxes payable Investment in bank personal trusts Noncorporate proprietors' equity Miscellaneous 55 Total financial sources 56 57 58 59 60 61 Liabilities not identified as assets (—) Treasury currency Foreign deposits Net interbank liabilities Security repurchase agreements Taxes payable Miscellaneous Floats not included in assets ( —) 62 Federal government checkable deposits Other checkable deposits 64 Trade credit 63 65 Total identified to sectors as assets -2.0 .2 -3.5 49.4 113.5 -57.2 -73.2 4.5 43.1 103.4 209.1 46.6 4.6 28.0 233.8 9.7 19.6 43.3 78.3 24.1 128.9 91.0 3,192.3 2,724.3 2,696.0 3,279.2 3,028.5 -.3 -56.0 12.3 75.7 10.3 -45.1 -1.0 19.3 -23.6 30.9 2.2 246.3 -1.1 -1.0 31.3 -26.9 115.1 24.9 -217.5 1.3 62.7 10.9 27.2 -23.2 -147.1 88.6 -9.2 -112.0 9.9 -62.4 -3.1 -63.9 11.6 85.2 3.2 143.0 41.6 26.9 -70.1 -34.2 -28.5 122.9 151.1 92.6 32.1 33.1 250.8 3.4 -65.8 36.4 510.2 62.2 -15.9 244.5 98.7 50.1 38.3 196.2 -10.2 -39.2 29.8 899.1 -4.9 202.0 147.0 -7.1 .9 29.9 267.8 35.5 363.9 -.1 34.5 257.7 3.2 17.8 27.9 290.2 1,808.3 2,407.0 2,179.5 2,820.6 2,972.9 2,613.9 -.2 44.0 -.5 26.7 -3.1 55.1 8.7 -4.3 -1.0 29.7 -3.4 28.9 3.7 -71.0 .5 -.2 -.2 -7.0 1.3 244.0 -19.3 2.5 303.8 62.3 120.6 19.0 260.9 5.6 -.6 182.5 147.4 -29.4 -106.3 198.2 45.8 103.4 58.5 290.9 -8.2 23.5 32.2 660.2 -.3 -2.8 -4.9 4.7 11.9 -37.9 -147.1 -2.7 57.3 8.6 -139.2 .7 1.6 11.3 -1.5 -1.3 -4.0 -4.8 -2.8 8.3 -6.0 -3.8 -27.3 3.8 -3.2 -43.3 -13.8 -4.7 -149.3 8.6 -3.8 45.1 -10.5 -4.2 26.6 28.0 -4.0 -98.6 -24.2 -4.0 -101.0 -3.9 -4.1 -32.0 1,824.0 2,506.8 2,211.1 2,775.0 3,021.6 2,659.7 2,981.6 3,212.9 2,786.6 2,854.5 3,232.3 3,101.9 4.2 46.1 11.1 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z.l (780) quarterly statistical release, tables F. 1 and F.5. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 102.5 26.7 44.9 247.6 3,087.9 145.8 -49.7 33.5 564.0 173.9 26.0 596.8 114.9 -.9 38.6 -18.5 258.6 74.3 52.4 40.0 274.7 2.6 12.5 25.7 500.8 123.4 -4.6 83.5 4.1 117.9 53.0 343.7 137.4 -37.7 32.5 238.3 6.6 11.8 14.8 329.6 80.2 -4.0 2. Excludes corporate equities and mutual fund shares. -.8 A40 1.59 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1997 S U M M A R Y OF CREDIT MARKET DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 Billions of dollars, end of period 1995 1996 1997 4 Q4 Q3 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total credit market debt owed by domestic nonfinancial sectors 12,538.8 13,166.6 13,886.3 14,638.1 13,702.9 13,886.3 14,084.8 14,237.3 14,424.5 14,638.1 14,808.2 By sector and instrument 2 Federal government 3 Treasury securities 4 Budget agency securities and mortgages 3,336.5 3,309.9 26.6 3,492.3 3,465.6 26.7 3,636.7 3,608.5 28.2 3,781.8 3,755.1 26.6 3,603.4 3,576.5 26.9 3,636.7 3,608.5 28.2 3,717.2 3,689.6 27.6 3.693.8 3.665.5 28.2 3,733.1 3,705.7 27.4 3,781.8 3,755.1 26.6 3,829.8 3,803.5 26.3 5 Nonfederal 9,202.3 9,674.3 10,249.6 10,856.3 10,099.5 10,249.6 10,367.6 10,543.5 10,691.4 10,856.3 10.978.4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 B\ instrument Commercial paper Municipal securities and loans Corporate bonds Bank loans n.e.c Other loans and advances Mortgages Home Multifamily residential Commercial Farm Consumer credit 117.8 1,377.5 1,229.7 675.9 677.1 4,260.4 3,232.8 267.4 679.0 81.2 863.9 139.2 1,348.2 1.253.0 749.0 737.8 4,456.8 3,436.7 269.1 668.1 83.0 990.2 157.4 1,304.0 1,326.3 848.4 796.8 4,684.8 3,633.8 279.6 686.8 84.6 1,131.9 156.4 1,305.5 1,398.8 918.6 835.6 5,016.2 3,915.4 298.5 714.2 88.1 1.225.1 163.3 1,308.2 1.305.8 824.3 782.1 4,637.6 3,594.0 276.3 683.0 84.4 1,078.2 157.4 1,304.0 1,326.3 848.4 796.8 4,684.8 3,633.8 279.6 686.8 84.6 1,131.9 174.2 1,300.8 1,341.5 856.4 809.3 4,762.4 3,700.2 283.3 693.6 85.2 1,123.0 181.7 1,306.8 1,359.4 878.4 815.7 4,853.5 3,775.6 287.9 703.5 86.5 1,147.9 173.0 1,290.6 1,376.4 906.3 831.8 4,931.7 3,848.9 291.2 704.2 87.4 1,181.6 156.4 1,305.5 1,398.8 918.6 835.6 5,016.2 3,915.4 298.5 714.2 88.1 1,225.1 168.7 1,314.2 1,418.7 953.1 848.7 5,073.0 3,966.8 300.1 717.8 88.4 1,202.0 17 18 19 20 21 22 By borrowing sector Household Nonfinancial business Corporate Nonfarm noncorporate Farm State and local government 4,287.0 3,757.1 2,495.7 1,123.1 138.3 1,158.2 4,659.0 3,896.9 2,620.8 1,135.0 141.1 1,118.4 5,040.9 4,129.3 2,817.8 1,168.7 142.7 1,079.4 5,444.3 4,319.7 2,964.2 1,209.5 146.0 1,092.3 4,932.1 4,084.3 2,779.6 1,159.9 144.8 1,083.1 5,040.9 4,129.3 2,817.8 1,168.7 142.7 1,079.4 5,103.4 4,184.2 2,863.9 1,180.0 140.3 1,080.0 5,216.2 4,239.6 2.906.1 1,188.2 145.3 1,087.7 5,329.0 4,287.3 2,945.9 1,195.2 146.2 1,075.1 5.444.3 4,319.7 2,964.2 1,209.5 146.0 1,092.3 5,482.8 4,391.3 3.026.3 1,221.6 143.5 1,104.3 23 Foreign credit market debt held in United States 385.6 370.4 439.9 507.2 419.8 439.9 450.8 459.6 487.1 507.2 513.3 24 25 26 27 68.7 230.1 24.6 62.1 41.4 242.3 26.1 60.6 55.0 290.6 34.6 59.7 65.8 337.3 43.7 60.4 55.8 272.4 31.6 60.0 55.0 290.6 34.6 59.7 51.5 302.5 36.8 60.0 53.4 305.3 40.5 60.4 64.8 320.2 41.7 60.4 65.8 337.3 43.7 60.4 67.9 341.7 43.5 60.3 12,924.3 13,537.0 14,326.2 15,145.3 14,122.7 14,326.2 14,535.6 14,696.9 14,911.6 15,145.3 15,321.5 Commercial paper Bonds Bank loans n.e.c Other loans and advances 28 Total credit market debt owed by nonfinancial sectors, domestic and foreign Financial sectors 29 Total credit market debt owed by financial sectors 3,321.7 3,794.6 4,244.4 4,775.6 4,096.3 4,244.4 4,325.4 4,497.8 4,619.7 4,775.6 4,857.9 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 By instrument Federal government-related Government-sponsored enterprise securities Mortgage pool securities Loans from U.S. government Private Open market paper Corporate bonds Bank loans n.e.c Other loans and advances Mortgages 1,885.2 523.7 1,356.8 4.8 1,436.4 393.5 857.6 67.6 108.9 8.9 2,172.7 700.6 1,472.1 .0 1,621.9 442.8 973.5 55.3 131.6 18.7 2,376.8 806.5 1,570.3 .0 1,867.6 488.0 1,159.1 60.9 135.0 24.6 2,607.9 896.9 1,711.0 .0 2,167.7 580.7 1,313.4 75.4 162.2 36.0 2,300.1 773.5 1,526.6 .0 1,796.2 473.6 1,112.6 60.3 127.0 22.7 2,376.8 806.5 1,570.3 .0 1,867.6 488.0 1,159.1 60.9 135.0 24.6 2,414.1 814.4 1,599.7 .0 1,911.4 491.9 1,192.7 66.7 133.6 26.5 2,489.5 846.1 1,643.4 .0 2,008.3 518.5 1,242.4 72.4 145.8 29.2 2,545.3 866.1 1,679.2 .0 2,074.4 539.6 1,274.8 73.3 154.2 32.4 2,607.9 896.9 1,711.0 .0 2,167.7 580.7 1,313.4 75.4 162.2 36.0 2.639.7 899.6 1,740.1 .0 2,218.2 624.5 1,321.2 74.3 158.2 40.0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 By borrowing sector Commercial banks Bank holding companies Savings institutions Credit unions Life insurance companies Government-sponsored enterprises Federally related mortgage pools Issuers of asset-backed securities (ABSs) Brokers and dealers Finance companies Mortgage companies Real estate investment trusts (REITs) Funding corporations 84.6 123.4 99.6 .2 .2 528.5 1,356.8 486.7 33.7 390.5 30.2 17.4 169.9 94.5 133.6 112.4 .5 .6 700.6 1,472.1 556.2 34.3 440.7 18.7 31.1 199.3 102.6 148.0 115.0 .4 .5 806.5 1,570.3 689.4 29.3 492.3 19.1 37.1 233.9 112.2 150.0 141.1 .4 1.6 896.9 1,711.0 819.6 27.3 540.7 29.0 49.9 296.0 102.0 150.3 107.2 .4 .6 773.5 1,526.6 639.8 27.4 471.9 21.6 35.0 239.9 102.6 148.0 115.0 .4 .5 806.5 1,570.3 689.4 29.3 492.3 19.1 37.1 233.9 100.5 141.4 117.8 .4 1.1 814.4 1,599.7 720.3 21.4 499.8 24.1 39.1 245.6 103.6 148.4 128.3 .3 1.2 846.1 1,643.4 751.7 24.6 514.4 28.1 42.0 265.6 106.7 149.1 134.9 .4 1.1 866.1 1,679.2 779.3 26.1 528.4 28.5 45.4 274.5 112.2 150.0 141.1 .4 1.6 896.9 1.711.0 819.6 27.3 540.7 29.0 49.9 296.0 114.5 152.0 137.4 .4 1.8 899.6 1,740.1 829.1 26.6 546.9 28.3 54.6 326.6 All sectors 53 Total credit market debt, domestic and foreign... . 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 Open market paper US. government securities Municipal securities Corporate and foreign bonds Bank loans n.e.c Other loans and advances Mortgages Consumer credit 16,246.0 17,331.7 18,570.6 19,920.9 18,219.0 18,570.6 18,861.0 19,194.7 19,531.3 19,920.9 20,179.4 580.0 5,216.9 1,377.5 2,317.4 768.0 852.9 4,269.3 863.9 623.5 5,665.0 1,348.2 2,468.8 830.4 929.9 4,475.6 990.2 700.4 6,013.6 1,304.0 2,776.0 943.9 991.5 4,709.4 1,131.9 803.0 6,389.7 1,305.5 3,049.6 1,037.7 1,058.2 5,052.2 1,225.1 692.7 5,903.5 1,308.2 2,690.8 916.2 969.1 4,660.3 1,078.2 700.4 6,013.6 1,304.0 2,776.0 943.9 991.5 4,709.4 1,131.9 717.6 6,131.3 1,300.8 2,836.7 959.9 1,002.9 4,788.9 1,123.0 753.6 6,183.2 1,306.8 2,907.1 991.4 1,021.8 4,882.7 1,147.9 777.4 6,278.4 1.290.6 2,971.4 1.021.3 1,046.5 4,964.1 1,181.6 803.0 6,389.7 1,305.5 3,049.6 1,037.7 1,058.2 5,052.2 1,225.1 861.1 6,469.4 1,314.2 3,081.6 1,070.9 1,067.2 5,113.1 1,202.0 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z. I (780) quarterly statistical release, tables L.2 through L.4. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 1.60 Flow of Funds A41 1996 1997 S U M M A R Y OF FINANCIAL ASSETS A N D LIABILITIES' Billions of dollars except as noted, end of period 1995 Transaction category or sector 1993 1994 1995 1996 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql CREDIT M A R K E T D E B T OUTSTANDING 2 1 Total credit market assets 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Domestic nonfederal nonfinancial sectors Household Nonfinancial corporate business Nonfarm noncorporate business State and local governments Federal government Rest of the world Financial sectors Monetary authority Commercial banking U.S.-chartered banks Foreign banking offices in United States Bank holding companies Banks in U.S.-affiliated areas Savings institutions Credit unions Bank personal trusts and estates Life insurance companies Other insurance companies Private pension funds State and local government retirement funds Money market mutual funds Mutual funds Closed-end funds Government-sponsored enterprises Federally related mortgage pools Asset-backed securities issuers (ABSs) Finance companies Mortgage companies Real estate investment trusts (REITs) Brokers and dealers Funding corporations 16,246.0 17,331.7 18,570.6 19,920.9 18,219.0 18,570.6 18,861.0 19,194.7 19,531.3 19,920.9 20,179.4 2,786.5 1,693.0 271.5 37.0 784.9 231.7 1,147.8 12,080.0 336.7 3,090.8 2,721.5 326.0 17.5 25.8 914.1 218.7 240.9 1,416.0 422.7 611.4 423.4 429.0 725.9 82.0 546.4 1,356.8 457.9 482.8 60.4 8.6 137.5 117.9 3,069.6 2,013.3 289.2 37.2 729.9 207.5 1,254.7 12,799.8 368.2 3,254.3 2,869.6 337.1 18.4 29.2 920.8 246.8 248.0 1,482.6 446.4 659.2 454.1 459.0 718.8 78.7 667.0 1,472.1 520.7 551.0 36.5 13.3 93.3 109.0 2,935.9 1,959.1 286.8 37.5 652.5 186.1 1,561.8 13,886.9 380.8 3,520.1 3,056.1 412.6 18.0 33.4 913.3 263.0 229.2 1,581.8 468.7 722.3 476.8 545.5 771.3 92.0 755.0 1,570.3 633.7 615.2 33.0 15.5 183.4 115.9 2,963.1 2,003.8 305.1 37.9 616.3 164.2 1.967.3 14,826.2 393.1 3,708.0 3,175.9 475.8 22.0 34.4 933.2 288.5 233.1 1,641.5 492.8 768.8 511.3 634.3 820.2 101.3 822.5 1,711.0 738.9 658.3 41.2 18.5 166.3 143.4 2,989.6 2,005.5 273.8 37.4 672.9 192.2 1,493.4 13,543.9 370.6 3,473.2 3,023.7 401.1 16.9 31.5 930.4 258.5 234.2 1,571.2 463.0 701.9 470.6 505.7 739.2 88.7 708.4 1,526.6 595.7 594.7 42.2 14.7 136.1 118.3 2,935.9 1,959.1 286.8 37.5 652.5 186.1 1,561.8 13,886.9 380.8 3,520.1 3,056.1 412.6 18.0 33.4 913.3 263.0 229.2 1,581.8 468.7 722.3 476.8 545.5 771.3 92.0 755.0 1.570.3 633.7 615.2 33.0 15.5 183.4 115.9 2,891.1 1,928.1 273.6 37.6 651.8 180.8 1,653.6 14,135.5 379.6 3,541.6 3,068.8 422.2 16.8 33.9 921.8 267.0 228.3 1,596.2 474.5 739.6 491.9 595.6 795.9 94.8 762.7 1,599.7 659.7 621.7 46.0 16.3 156.2 146.5 2,972.5 1,999.9 285.7 37.7 649.1 177.0 1,718.2 14,326.9 386.3 3,590.8 3,101.3 437.1 18.1 34.3 932.0 276.9 229.4 1,596.7 480.2 751.0 505.0 594.7 809.0 97.2 767.6 1,643.4 688.5 633.2 39.3 17.2 138.2 150.3 2,949.2 2,002.4 291.6 37.8 617.4 170.5 1,840.6 14,571.0 386.2 3,643.3 3,135.3 454.2 19.3 34.5 945.4 282.6 231.3 1,627.0 486.4 761.4 506.3 606.6 818.3 99.5 788.2 1,679.2 709.5 642.0 40.2 18.0 147.1 152.6 2,963.1 2,003.8 305.1 37.9 616.3 164.2 1,967.3 14,826.2 393.1 3,708.0 3,175.9 475.8 22.0 34.4 933.2 288.5 233.1 1,641.5 492.8 768.8 511.3 634.3 820.2 101.3 822.5 1,711.0 738.9 658.3 41.2 18.5 166.3 143.4 2,911.2 1,958.8 301.3 38.0 613.0 159.5 2,063.8 15,045.0 397.1 3,778.8 3,220.9 499.5 22.5 35.9 930.7 290.9 235.2 1,657.6 499.3 783.2 510.2 659.0 834.2 103.0 837.6 1,740.1 742.2 672.7 39.9 19.0 163.4 151.1 16,246.0 17,331.7 18,570.6 19,920.9 18,219.0 18,570.6 18,861.0 19,194.7 19,531.3 19,920.9 20,179.4 53.4 8.0 17.0 271.8 189.3 1,251.7 2,223.2 391.7 559.6 471.1 1,375.4 279.0 470.8 4,642.9 1,048.2 84.9 691.3 5,176.6 53.2 8.0 17.6 324.6 280.1 1.242.0 2,183.3 411.2 602.9 549.4 1,477.3 279.0 505.3 4,848.4 1,139.2 88.0 699.4 5,462.9 63.7 10.2 18.2 361.4 290.7 1,229.3 2,279.7 476.9 745.3 660.1 1,852.8 305.7 550.2 5,570.8 1,241.7 89.3 767.4 5,928.9 53.7 9.7 18.2 409.1 239.6 1,245.2 2,376.7 590.8 891.1 698.7 2,342.4 358.1 590.2 6,285.9 1,316.0 91.9 872.0 6,274.4 65.1 10.2 18.2 353.6 267.2 1,200.3 2,255.8 477.5 702.7 654.8 1,782.0 286.1 540.6 5,442.0 1,192.2 91.9 758.6 5,757.3 63.7 10.2 18.2 361.4 290.7 1,229.3 2,279.7 476.9 745.3 660.1 1,852.8 305.7 550.2 5,570.8 1,241.7 89.3 767.4 5,928.9 62.1 10.2 18.2 382.7 266.0 1,183.3 2,342.3 493.6 816.9 666.1 1,997.0 326.9 555.0 5,748.3 1,229.1 94.3 793.7 6,067.5 61.4 10.2 18.2 382.9 249.1 1,212.3 2,340.1 511.1 809.5 692.1 2,129.9 318.6 563.1 5,883.4 1,264.4 90.3 811.7 6,089.1 54.3 9.7 18.8 411.2 223.6 1,220.8 2,357.4 557.6 838.1 687.6 2.211.6 317.8 577.2 6,013.2 1,263.9 92.1 829.0 6,197.3 53.7 9.7 18.2 409.1 239.6 1,245.2 2,376.7 590.8 891.1 698.7 2,342.4 358.1 590.2 6,285.9 1,316.0 91.9 872.0 6,274.4 46.3 9.2 18.3 423.9 204.0 1,218.9 2,428.7 605.4 950.8 717.1 2,410.3 374.4 604.8 6,396.7 1,307.7 93.6 890.4 6,387.6 35,451.8 37,503.8 41,012.7 44,584.6 40,075.1 41,012.7 41,914.0 42,632.0 43,412.6 44,584.6 45,267.5 20.1 6,280.0 2,499.5 21.1 6,263.3 2,591.5 22.1 8,389.9 2,702.8 21.4 10,090.0 2,740.7 22.1 7,972.4 2,657.7 22.1 8,389.9 2,702.8 22.1 8,875.8 2,739.5 22.0 9,170.9 2,762.5 21.2 9,387.4 2,787.2 21.4 10,090.0 2,740.7 20.9 10,099.2 2,827.2 -5.1 232.6 -4.7 -1.6 26.8 -869.9 -5.4 277.8 -6.5 55.7 35.4 -959.9 -5.8 307.6 -9.0 110.9 44.1 -993.3 -6.8 337.2 -10.8 139.8 45.1 -1,240.4 -5.6 299.7 .1 115.1 39.1 -876.3 -5.8 307.6 -9.0 110.9 44.1 -993.3 -6.1 323.2 -2.6 121.7 23.9 -1,052.2 -6.3 331.1 -8.0 141.4 38.0 -1,145.9 -6.0 353.2 -11.6 129.7 41.9 -1,140.7 -6.8 337.2 -10.8 139.8 45.1 -1,240.4 -6.9 347.6 -1.8 125.3 31.1 -1,181.9 5.6 40.7 -248.0 3.4 38.0 -240.7 3.1 34.2 -268.0 -1.6 30.1 -299.9 .6 27.3 -316.7 3.1 34.2 -268.0 .0 29.6 -319.2 -3.4 31.8 -329.7 -1.7 23.1 -365.5 -1.6 30.1 -299.9 -9.7 25.6 -367.2 45,075.0 47,181.7 52,903.7 58,444.0 51,444.0 52,903.7 54,433.1 55,538.4 56,586.0 58,444.0 59,252.7 RELATION OF LIABILITIES TO FINANCIAL ASSETS 34 Total credit market debt 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Other liabilities Official foreign exchange Special drawing rights certificates Treasury currency Foreign deposits Net interbank liabilities Checkable deposits and currency Small time and savings deposits Large time deposits Money market fund shares Security repurchase agreements Mutual fund shares Security credit Life insurance reserves Pension fund reserves Trade payables Taxes payable Investment in bank personal trusts Miscellaneous 53 Total liabilities Financial assets not included in liabilities ( + ) 54 Gold and special drawing rights 55 Corporate equities 56 Household equity in noncorporate business 57 58 59 60 61 62 Liabilities not identified as assets (—) Treasury currency Foreign deposits Net interbank transactions Security repurchase agreements Taxes payable Miscellaneous Floats not included in assets (—) 63 Federal government checkable deposits 64 Other checkable deposits 65 Trade credit 66 Total identified to sectors as assets 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z. 1 (780) quarterly statistical release, tables L.l and L.5. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Excludes corporate equities and mutual fund shares. A42 2.10 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1997 NONFINANCIAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY Selected Measures Monthly data seasonally adjusted, and indexes 1992=100, except as noted 1996 Measure 1994 1995 1997 1996 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May r June r July 1 Industrial production 1 108.6 112.1 115.2 117.2 117.7 117.8 118.4 118.8 119.3 119.3 119.6 119.8 Market groupings Products, total Final, total Consumer goods Equipment Intermediate Materials 106.8 107.1 107.4 106.6 106.1 111.3 109.3 109.9 108.9 111.6 107.5 116.6 112.0 112.8 110.5 116.8 109.4 120.3 114.1 114.8 112.3 119.0 111.9 122.2 114.3 115.3 112.7 119.6 111.3 123.1 114.2 115.1 111.7 120.8 111.6 123.4 114.8 115.6 111.6 122.6 112.0 124.1 115.3 116.3 112.1 123.5 112.1 124.5 115.4 116.6 112.1 124.31" 112.0 125.5 r 115.6 116.7 112.1 124.8 112.1 125.2 116.0 117.4 112.5 125.8 111.9 125.3 115.9 117.2 112.3 125.8 111.8 126.0 109.4 113.2 116.3 118.5 119.2 119.3 120.1 120.6 120.9 121.0 121.3 121.4 83.1 83.1 82.1 82.4 82.5 82.4 82.6 82.7 82.6 82.4 82.3 82.1 10 Construction contracts 3 117.3 121.7 r 130.2 r 132.0 128.0 130.0 131 0 r 133.0 137.0' 136.0 134.0 129.0 11 Nonagricultural employment, total 4 12 Goods-producing, total 13 Manufacturing, total 14 Manufacturing, production workers 15 Service-producing lb Personal income, total Wages and salary disbursements 1/ 18 Manufacturing 19 Disposable personal income 5 20 Retail sales" 112.0 96.9 96.4 97.5 116.8 I48.9 r 142.6 124.9 149.7r 144.6 115.0 98.1 97.2 98.7 120.3 158.2 r 150.9 130.4 158.7 r 151.2 117.3 98.3 96.2 97.5 123.3 167.0 r 159.8 r 135.7 r 166.2 r 158.5 r 118.1 99.3 97.1 98.3 124.1 170. l r 163.4 137.7 r 168.7r 160.5 118.3 99.5 97.1 98.4 124.4 171.4 r 165.2 r 138.9 r 169.7 r 161.3 118.6 99.6 97.2 98.5 124.6 172.3 r 165.2 r 138.9 r I70.6 r 163.9 118.8 99.9 97.2 98.5 124.9 173.6 r 167.2 r 139.5 r 171,7 r 166.1 119.0 100.0 97.3 98.6 125.1 174.6 r 168.1 r 140.5 r 172.5 r 165.6 119.3 100.0 97.4 98.6 125.5 174.9 r 168.2 r 140.7 172.7 r 163.7 119.5 100.1 97.4 98.7 125.7 175.5 168.7 140.9 173.1 163.3 119.7 100.2 97.5 98.7 126.0 176.6 170.2 141.3 174.1 164.3 120.0 100.2 97.5 98.8 126.4 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 165.4 Prices6 21 Consumer ( 1 9 8 2 - 8 4 = 1 0 0 ) 22 Producer finished goods (1982=100) 148.2 125.5 152.4 127.9 156.9 131.3 158.6 132.6 158.6 132.7 159.1 132.6 159.6 132.2 160.0 132.1 r 160.2 131.6 160.1 131.5 160.3 131.6 160.5 131.3 2 3 4 5 6 / Industry groupings 8 Manufacturing 9 Capacity utilization, manufacturing (percent)". . 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.17 (419) monthly statistical release. For the ordering address, see the inside front cover. The latest historical revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in January 1997. See "Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: Historical Revision and Recent Developments," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 83 (February 1997), pp. 67-92. The article contains a description of the new aggregation system for industrial production and capacity utilization. For a detailed description of the industrial production index, see "Industrial Production: 1989 Developments and Historical Revision." Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76 (April 1990), pp. 187-204. 2. Ratio of index of production to index of capacity. Based on data from the Federal Reserve. DRI McGraw-Hill. U.S. Department of Commerce, and other sources. 3. Index of dollar value of total construction contracts, including residential, nonresidential, and heavy engineering, from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. 2.11 4. Based on data from U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Earnings. Series covers employees only, excluding personnel in the armed forces. 5. Based on data from U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business. 6. Based on data not seasonally adjusted. Seasonally adjusted data for changes in the price indexes can be obtained from the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. Monthly Labor Review. NOTE. Basic data (not indexes) for series mentioned in notes 4 and 5, and indexes for series mentioned in notes 3 and 6, can also be found in the Survey of Current Business. Figures for industrial production for the latest month are preliminary, and many figures for the three months preceding the latest month have been revised. See "Recent Developments in Industrial Capacity and Utilization," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76 (June 1990), pp. 411-35. See also "Industrial Production Capacity and Capacity Utilization since 1987," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 79 (June 1993), pp. 590-605. LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, A N D UNEMPLOYMENT Thousands of persons; monthly data seasonally adjusted 1996 Category 1994 1995 1997 1996 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May r June r July H O U S E H O L D SURVEY DATA 1 1 Civilian labor force 2 Employment 2 Nonagricultural industries 3 3 Agriculture Unemployment 4 Number 5 Rate (percent of civilian labor force) 131,056 132,304 133,943 135,022 135,848 135,634 136,319 136,098 136,173 136,200 136,290 119,651 3,409 121,460 3,440 123,264 3,443 124,429 3.426 125.112 3,468 125.138 3,292 125,789 3,386 125,887 3,497 126,209 3,430 125,973 3,391 126,226 3,482 7,996 6.1 7,404 5.6 7,236 5.4 7,167 5.3 7,268 5.4 7,205 5.3 7,144 5.2 6,714 4.9 6,534 4.8 6,836 5.0 6,583 4.8 114,172 117,203 119,549 120,659 120,909 121,162 121344 121,671 121,834 122,062 122378 18,321 601 4,986 5,993 26,670 6,896 31,579 19,128 18,468 580 5,158 6,165 27,585 6,830 33,107 19,310 18,282 570 5,405 6,318 28,178 6,977 34,360 19,459 18,448 571 5,521 6,288 28,471 6,962 34,884 19,514 18,465 574 5,542 6,351 28,487 6,971 34,990 19.529 18,475 574 5,604 6,376 28,515 6,980 35,091 19.547 18,489 572 5,609 6,405 28,556 6,992 35,176 19,545 18,495 573 5,599 6,421 28.651 7,019 35,334 19,579 18,498 576 5,628 6.431 28,656 7,029 35,451 19,565 18,520 576 5,624 6,430 28,711 7,038 35,521 19,642 18,515 574 5,627 6,461 28,805 7,064 35,634 19,698 ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY D A T A 6 N o n a g r i c u l t u r a l payroll e m p l o y m e n t 4 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Manufacturing Mining Contract construction Transportation and public utilities Trade Finance Service Government 1. Beginning January 1994, reflects redesign of current population survey and population controls from the 1990 census. 2. Persons sixteen years of age and older, including Resident Armed Forces. Monthly figures are based on sample data collected during the calendar week that contains the twelfth day; annual data are averages of monthly figures. By definition, seasonality does not exist in population figures. 3. Includes self-employed, unpaid family, and domestic service workers. 4. Includes all full- and part-time employees who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that includes the twelfth day of the month; excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, household and unpaid family workers, and members of the armed forces. Data are adjusted to the March 1992 benchmark, and only seasonally adjusted data are available at this time. SOURCE. Based on data from U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Earnings. Selected Measures 2.12 A43 OUTPUT, CAPACITY, A N D CAPACITY UTILIZATION 1 Seasonally adjusted 1996 1997 1996 1997 1996 1997 Series Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 r Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Capacity (percent of 1992 output) Output (1992=100) Q4 Q3 Ql Q2 r Capacity utilization rate (percent) 2 1 Total industry 115.8 117.0 118.3 119.4 139.2 140.5 141.8 143.2 83.2 83.3 83.5 2 Manufacturing 117.2 118.4 120.0 121.1 142.5 143.9 145.3 146.9 82.3 82.3 82.5 83.4 824 115.7 123.7 130.7 148.2 131.5 150.0 132.2 151.9 132.9 153.8 86.6 80.4 86.6 80.4 86.8 80.7 87.0 80.4 154.5 129.1 129.8 131.9 127.1 176.3 200.6 176.1 156.9 130.0 131.0 133.5 127.8 181.3 208.5 177.3 159.3 131.0 132.1 134.9 128.6 186.5 216.3 178.2 161.8 132.0 133.3 136.0 129.8 192.3 224.2 178.7 82.3 85.6 91.4 89.4 93.9 90.1 82.0 74.5 81.7 84.7 91.5 88.9 94.8 89.1 80.2 71.0 82.0 84.9 90.6 87.7 94.3 89.1 79.6 73.0 82.1 86.1 91.7 89.0 95.2 89.0 79.6 69.7 Primary processing 3 Advanced processing 4 113.2 119.1 113.9 120.7 114.7 122.6 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 1 12 13 Durable goods Lumber and products Primary metals Iron and steel Nonferrous Industrial machinery and equipment Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment , , . 127.2 110.5 118.6 117.9 119.4 158.9 164.5 131.3 128.1 110.1 119.8 118.6 121.1 161.5 167.2 126.0 130.7 111.3 119.7 118.3 121.3 166.2 172.1 130.2 132.8 113.7 122.3 121.1 123.5 171.0 178.5 124.6 86.7 90.4 93.5 96.4 120.2 119.8 119.7 120.5 72.2 75.5 78.1 80.0 14 15 16 17 18 19 Nondurable goods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Plastics materials Petroleum products 130.1 130.8 123.3 140.3 134.0 113.8 130.6 131.3 123.6 141.5 136.2 113.9 131.1 131.4 123.9 142.6 83.0 82.1 89.0 80.1 93.5 94.6 83.1 81.6 89.9 79.8 93.3 94.9 82.8 82.3 90.4 78.9 114.2 82.2 82.9 88.7 78.4 95.1 93.9 98.0 113.7 125.9 124.4 113.8 126.5 125.1 114.3 127.0 125.6 91.2 88.2 89.6 91.3 89.8 90.4 93.0 87.7 89.1 93.8 88.2 89.0 3 4 106.5 107.9 109.0 109.2 125.3 106.7 108.1 107.4 109.8 112.4 125.3 107.7 108.6 107.1 111.2 112.8 127.0 108.1 108.6 108.2 111.9 112.6 111.9 129.6 130.1 122.9 139.2 131.8 113.7 103.7 110.5 110.8 103.8 113.0 112.4 105.8 110.9 111.5 107.2 111.9 111.8 113.7 125.2 123.6 1973 1975 Previous cycle 5 High Low High 20 Mining 21 Utilities 22 Electric Low Latest cycle 6 High Low 1996 July 1997 Feb. Mar. Apr.r May r June July p 83.1 Capacity utilization rate (percent) 2 1 Total industry 89.2 72.6 87.3 71.1 85.3 78.1 83.2 83.5 83.6 83.6 83.3 83.3 2 Manufacturing 88.5 70.5 86.9 69.0 85.7 76.6 82.4 82.6 82.7 82.6 82.4 82.3 82.1 3 4 91.2 87.2 68.2 71.8 88.1 86.7 66.2 70.4 88.9 84.2 77.8 76.1 86.7 80.6 86.9 80.7 87.3 80.7 87.1 80.6 87.2 80.3 86.8 80.3 86.5 80.1 89.2 88.7 100.2 105.8 90.8 68.9 61.2 65.9 66.6 59.8 87.7 87.9 94.2 95.8 91.1 63.9 60.8 45.1 37.0 60.1 84.5 93.6 92.7 95.2 89.3 73.2 75.5 73.7 71.8 74.2 82.6 84.9 91.2 89.8 92.9 82.1 85.5 90.8 87.6 95.0 82.3 86.3 91.5 87.7 96.3 82.2 86.3 90.5 87.9 93.7 82.0 86.4 92.7 90.8 95.2 82.0 85.7 92.0 88.3 96.7 81.8 85.0 91.0 87.9 94.8 96.0 89.2 93.4 74.3 64.7 51.3 93.2 89.4 95.0 64.0 71.6 45.5 85.4 84.0 89.1 72.4 75.1 55.9 90.2 82.7 76.3 89.3 79.7 72.7 88.8 80.1 72.3 90.0 79.8 70.2 88.7 79.4 69.2 88.2 79.6 69.7 88.3 80.1 67.8 78.4 67.6 81.9 66.6 87.3 79.2 71.3 78.2 79.1 79.5 80.0 80.6 81.1 83.1 82.4 90.6 79.0 93.0 94.9 83.0 82.7 90.6 79.6 93.3 97.0 82.8 81.8 91.0 78.6 92.5 98.1 82.7 82.4 89.4 78.6 82.4 82.1 90.0 78.2 98.9 97.3 94.3 86.8 88.1 92.9 89.6 90.6 94.4 87.3 88.0 94.0 87.6 88.4 93.6 88.8 90.0 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Primary processing' Advanced processing 4 Durable goods Lumber and products Primary tnetals Iron and steel Nonferrous Industrial machinery and equipment Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment Nondurable goods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Plastics materials Petroleum products 20 Mining 21 Utilities 22 Electric 87.8 91.4 97.1 87.6 102.0 96.7 71.7 60.0 69.2 69.7 50.6 81.1 87.5 91.2 96.1 84.6 90.9 90.0 76.4 72.3 80.6 69.9 63.4 66.8 87.3 90.4 93.5 86.2 97.0 88.5 80.7 77.7 85.0 79.3 74.8 85.1 82.2 83.7 89.8 78.6 94.9 92.7 83.2 . 81.4 89.9 79.7 93.3 95.4 94.3 96.2 99.0 88.2 82.9 82.7 96.0 89.1 88.2 80.3 75.9 78.9 86.8 92.6 95.0 86.1 83.4 87.1 90.7 87.6 89.2 93.4 87.1 88.7 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.17 (419) monthly statistical release. For the ordering address, see the inside front cover. The latest historical revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in January 1997. See "Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: Historical Revision and Recent Developments." Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 83 (February 1997), pp. 67-92. The article contains a description of the new aggregation system for industrial production and capacity utilization. For a detailed description of the industrial production index, see "Industrial Production: 1989 Developments and Historical Revision," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76 (April 1990), pp. 187-204. 2. Capacity utilization is calculated as the ratio of the Federal Reserve's seasonally adjusted index of industrial production to the corresponding index of capacity. 3. Primary processing includes textiles; lumber; paper; industrial chemicals; synthetic materials; fertilizer materials; petroleum products; rubber and plastics; stone, clay, and glass; primary metals; and fabricated metals. 4. Advanced processing includes foods; tobacco; apparel; furniture and fixtures; printing and publishing; chemical products such as drugs and toiletries; agricultural chemicals; leather and products; machinery; transportation equipment; instruments; and miscellaneous manufactures. 5. Monthly highs, 1978-80; monthly lows, 1982. 6. Monthly highs, 1988-89; monthly lows, 1990-91. A44 2.13 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1997 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value 1 Monthly data seasonally adjusted Group 1992 proportion 1996 1997 1996 avg. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr.r May' June July p Index (1992 = 100) MAJOR MARKETS 1 Total index 100.0 115.2 115.5 115.8 116.0 116.2 117.2 117.7 117.8 118.4 118.8 119.3 119.3 119.6 119.8 2 Products 3 Final products 4 Consumer goods, total s Durable consumer goods 6 Automotive products / Autos and trucks 8 Autos, consumer 9 Trucks, consumer 10 Auto parts and allied goods 11 Other 12 Appliances, televisions, and air conditioners 13 Carpeting and furniture 14 Miscellaneous home goods 13 Nondurable consumer goods 16 Foods and tobacco Clothing 17 18 Chemical products Paper products 19 20 Energy 21 Fuels 22 Residential utilities 60.5 46.3 29.1 6.1 2.6 1.7 .9 .7 .9 3.5 112.0 112.8 110.5 126.2 125.8 132.6 120.2 147.2 114.5 126.3 112.3 113.4 110.7 129.7 132.1 145.7 137.8 161.3 112.4 128.0 112.2 113.0 110.1 128.0 128.7 138.7 132.5 152.3 113.5 127.5 112.7 113.3 110.5 127.1 127.7 134.6 129.9 146.6 116.2 126.6 112.8 113.6 110.8 124.5 122.0 125.7 112.3 147.4 114.4 126.2 114.1 114.8 112.3 127.1 127.4 133.8 123.5 152.4 116.4 126.8 114.3 115.3 112.7 128.4 127.2 135.5 115.9 164.9 114.0 129.1 114.2 115.1 111.7 127.3 129.6 138.7 120.1 167.0 115.5 125.5 114.8 115.6 111.6 129.2 131.0 138.9 122.3 165.0 118.1 127.8 115.3 116.3 112.1 131.0 131.7 138.9 123.3 163.8 119.7 130.4 115.4 116.6 112.1 126.9 124.4 127.1 116.0 146.1 118.0 128.6 115.6 116.7 112.1 128.4 126.3 130.0 117.7 150.5 118.8 129.7 116.0 117.4 112.5 130.6 128.2 132.6 114.9 159.5 119.6 132.1 115.9 117.2 112.3 130.6 123.7 123.6 118.0 136.1 120.3 135.2 1.0 .8 1.6 23.0 10.3 2.4 4.5 2.9 2.9 .8 2.1 173.0 109.9 107.9 106.5 106.1 95.5 112.7 101.1 112.0 106.6 114.3 181.1 107.0 108.5 106.0 105.9 95.4 112.6 101.4 109.1 106.7 109.9 175.9 111.1 108.0 105.6 105.4 95.4 111.3 101.8 109.4 107.7 110.0 174.2 110.5 107.6 106.3 106.1 95.1 113.5 101.9 109.4 105.4 110.9 176.5 108.6 106.5 107.3 106.6 95.5 115.5 102.9 110.7 108.1 111.7 176.9 110.7 106.4 108.5 107.2 95.0 117.3 102.9 115.3 107.8 118.5 181.1 109.3 109.6 108.7 108.2 94.9 118.8 103.0 111.8 106.0 114.2 171.2 106.0 109.2 107.8 107.7 94.0 117.9 101.1 110.4 105.1 112.6 179.5 106.9 109.2 107.2 108.0 93.8 116.2 101.5 107.6 106.2 108.0 183.6 111.6 109.9 107.4 108.7 94.2 114.9 102.3 107.5 108.5 106.8 179.0 108.6 110.0 108.3 107.8 94.4 117.2 102.6 113.0 110.1 114.1 180.9 111.7 109.6 108.0 107.6 94.9 116.3 103.4 111.4 111.9 110.9 187.9 114.2 109.7 108.0 107.0 93.8 116.9 104.5 112.1 113.2 111.4 197.9 114.8 110.9 107.7 107.1 93.2 115.9 103.4 112.6 110.9 113.1 23 24 25 26 21 28 29 30 31 32 33 Equipment Business equipment Information processing and related Computer and office equipment Industrial Transit Autos and trucks Other Defense and space equipment Oil and gas well drilling Manufactured homes 17.2 13.2 5.4 1.1 4.0 2.5 1.2 1.3 3.3 .6 2 116.8 126.6 143.2 292.0 126.9 100.0 115.3 116.4 77.0 120.5 162.0 118.1 128.1 144.1 301.7 127.2 104.1 126.5 118.0 77.7 122.1 163.0 117.9 127.7 144.6 306.2 126.7 103.0 120.9 116.1 77.9 122.6 167.4 118.1 128.3 146.3 314.3 126.3 103.8 117.7 115.5 77.7 117.5 165.6 118.4 128.8 147.4 318.8 127.0 101.9 109.4 118.7 77.0 120.2 165.3 119.0 129.8 147.1 323.5 127.1 106.6 115.9 119.9 76.1 120.7 159.8 119.6 130.7 148.5 327.1 127.3 107.2 113.7 121.4 76.2 123.6 120.8 132.1 149.6 335.7 127.9 109.8 117.2 123.4 74.7 130.8 156.3 122.6 133.8 152.4 343.0 128.2 111.8 118.7 124.4 75.4 140.7 163.5 123.5 134.3 153.6 349.9 127.5 113.1 118.3 125.1 75.6 153.4 160.9 124.3 135.5 155.1 358.6 130.3 110.1 110.0 128.8 75.2 152.5 168.0 124.8 135.9 156.2 365.5 129.3 112.1 111.7 128.3 75.6 154.2 166.4 125.8 136.8 158.4 374.6 128.7 113.2 111.4 128.7 76.4 161.4 163.1 125.8 137.6 159.6 384.3 128.5 114.0 110.1 130.3 76.0 149.6 34 35 36 Intermediate products, total Construction supplies Business supplies 14.2 5.3 8.9 109.4 116.8 105.1 108.9 117.5 103.9 110.0 119.2 104.6 110.6 119.8 105.3 110.2 117.7 105.8 111.9 120.7 106.8 111.3 117.8 107.4 111.6 117.0 108.4 112.0 120.0 107.3 112.1 121.8 106.5 112.0 120.1 107.2 112.1 120.9 107.0 111.9 120.1 107.1 111.8 119.7 107.2 39.5 20.8 4.0 7.6 9.2 3.1 8.9 1.1 1.8 3.9 2.1 9.7 6.3 3.3 120.3 134.0 128.8 159.2 118.2 113.1 106.4 106.3 107.4 105.9 106.1 103.9 102.6 106.2 120.5 134.5 131.1 159.6 118.2 112.9 107.4 109.9 109.1 106.1 107.1 102.4 101.7 103.9 121.5 136.2 133.9 161.7 119.2 113.6 106.5 107.4 108.2 106.2 104.7 104.0 103.2 105.4 121.2 135.5 128.3 162.6 119.2 114.7 106.9 107.1 107.0 106.8 106.2 103.9 102.2 107.0 121.7 135.8 126.6 163.4 120.0 117.2 108.0 108.4 108.0 109.3 103.9 103.9 102.0 107.5 122.2 136.5 129.7 165.3 119.1 114.4 108.4 108.5 110.9 107.7 106.8 104.0 101.6 108.5 123.1 137.8 130.3 167.9 119.9 115.7 109.5 105.9 112.5 110.2 106.3 103.9 102.6 106.3 123.4 138.4 132.1 169.4 119.3 114.9 109.6 106.8 111.5 111.1 105.3 103.8 101.6 108.0 124.1 139.2 129.7 172.6 119.8 116.4 110.5 107.7 113.2 111.2 107.5 104.0 102.8 106.2 124.5 140.2 129.8 175.6 120.0 116.4 110.6 104.9 113.8 111.2 108.4 103.5 102.3 105.9 125.5 141.7 130.5 178.1 121.0 116.7 111.3 109.5 114.4 111.7 107.8 103.8 101.7 107.6 125.2 141.8 127.3 180.5 121.1 118.6 109.9 105.4 114.7 109.9 107.3 103.5 102.0 106.4 125.3 142.2 126.1 182.3 121.2 118.6 110.0 106.7 110.8 110.1 109.8 102.9 100.7 107.0 126.0 142.8 125.7 184.9 120.9 117.7 110.4 106.0 112.4 110.3 110.3 104.5 102.7 108.0 97.1 95.1 114.9 114.6 114.9 114.6 115.4 115.0 115.7 115.4 116.1 115.9 116.9 116.6 117.4 117.2 117.4 117.1 118.0 117.8 118.5 118.3 119.3 119.0 119.2 119.0 119.5 119.3 119.8 119.7 98.2 27.4 26.2 112.9 109.2 110.2 113.1 108.9 110.9 113.4 108.6 110.2 113.5 109.2 110.6 113.7 109.9 110.8 114.6 111.0 111.8 115.1 111.4 112.8 115.1 110.3 111.9 115.6 110.1 112.1 116.0 110.7 112.7 116.4 111.1 111.9 116.3 111.0 112.1 116.6 111.3 112.5 116.7 111.4 112.2 12.0 127.7 128.2 128.3 129.3 130.7 131.2 132.4 133.6 135.3 135.9 138.0 138.4 139.4 140.3 12.1 29.8 115.8 125.4 116.8 126.1 116.1 127.0 116.3 126.6 116.6 127.1 117.5 127.8 118.2 129.0 119.2 129.4 120.5 130.3 120.7 131.0 121.5 132.2 121.6 131.8 122.1 132.1 122.4 132.6 37 Materials 38 Durable goods materials 39 Durable consumer parts 40 Equipment parts 41 Other 42 Basic metal materials 43 Nondurable goods materials 44 Textile materials 45 Paper materials 46 Chemical materials 47 Other 48 Energy materials 49 Primary energy 50 Converted fuel materials SPECIAL AGGREGATES 51 Total excluding autos and trucks 52 Total excluding motor vehicles and parts 53 Total excluding computer and office equipment 54 Consumer goods excluding autos and trucks . 55 Consumer goods excluding energy 56 Business equipment excluding autos and trucks 57 Business equipment excluding computer and office equipment 58 Materials excluding energy Selected Measures 2.13 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Group Indexes and Gross Value 1 —Continued 1992 proportion siccode A45 1996 avg. July Aug. Sept. Apr/ May r July p Index (1992 = 100) MAJOR INDUSTRIES 59 Total index 100.0 115.2 115.5 115.8 116.0 116.2 117.2 117.7 117.8 118.4 118.8 119.3 119.3 119.6 119.8 85.4 26.5 58.9 116.3 112.2 118.4 117.0 113.0 118.9 117.2 113.1 119.2 117.4 113.5 119.3 117.6 113.8 119.5 118.5 113.8 120.8 119.2 114.0 121.7 119.3 113.8 122.0 120.1 114.8 122.6 120.6 115.6 123.0 120.9 115.6 123.5 121.0 115.9 123.5 121.3 115.6 124.1 121.4 115.4 124.3 " ' 24 25 45.0 2.0 1.4 125.7 109.7 108.9 126.9 109.3 108.1 127.5 111.4 108.8 127.2 110.7 108.8 127.1 109.2 110.4 128.4 113.1 110.5 128.8 108.0 110.5 129.5 108.6 109.7 130.8 112.0 110.3 131.7 113.3 111.0 132.3 113.6 112.7 132.7 114.1 114.0 133.4 113.5 114.1 133.8 112.9 114.7 32 33 331,2 331PT 333-6,9 34 2.1 3.1 1.7 .1 1.4 5.0 111.0 117.2 116.4 112.2 118.0 118.6 114.1 118.0 118.0 113.3 117.9 119.1 111.8 118.3 118.2 113.6 118.5 119.4 113.1 119.5 117.4 112.6 121.8 119.3 111.7 122.1 123.2 111.5 120.7 119.3 111.8 118.5 115.9 108.7 121.4 119.1 111.3 118.8 116.7 112.5 121.2 119.5 112.7 117.8 118.0 111.7 117.6 119.2 112.5 120.0 118.2 112.3 122.1 119.5 113.5 121.3 118.7 114.2 124.2 120.4 113.8 120.2 119.3 115.5 121.3 120.8 113.1 123.6 123.6 115.8 123.5 121.0 113.8 123.0 120.5 115.1 125.8 120.1 114.0 121.9 120.3 114.1 123.8 120.0 60 Manufacturing 61 Primary processing 62 Advanced processing 79 80 Durable goods Lumber and products Furniture and fixtures Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metals Iron and steel Raw steel Nonferrous Fabricated metal products. . . Industrial machinery and equipment Computer and office equipment Electrical machinery Transportation equipment. . . Motor vehicles and parts . Autos and light trucks . Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment Instruments Miscellaneous 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 Nondurable goods Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products . . . . Petroleum products Rubber and plastic products . Leather and products 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 92 Mining Metal 93 94 Coal 95 Oil and gas extraction 96 Stone and earth minerals 97 Utilities 98 Electric 99 Gas 35 8.0 156.4 157.7 159.6 159.4 159.9 161.7 162.9 164.7 166.6 167.4 171.3 170.5 171.3 173.2 357 36 37 371 371PT 1.8 7.3 9.5 4.9 2.6 296.9 163.3 106.1 126.9 124.6 306.5 163.8 109.5 134.1 137.3 310.8 164.6 109.3 132.8 131.0 319.0 165.2 107.3 127.0 127.4 323.6 165.6 105.3 121.2 117.3 328.3 167.2 109.5 128.9 125.7 332.5 168.8 109.6 127.9 125.6 340.3 168.6 111.9 132.0 128.8 347.8 172.5 111.5 129.6 129.4 354.7 175.2 111.9 128.9 129.5 363.8 176.7 110.6 125.3 119.1 370.7 178.1 110.2 123.7 121.6 379.9 180.6 111.2 124.7 123.1 389.7 183.9 110.1 121.4 117.0 372-6,9 38 39 4.6 5.4 1.3 85.6 102.8 112.9 85.7 102.3 113.0 86.5 103.0 112.9 87.9 103.0 113.0 89.4 103.4 113.0 90.3 103.0 114.1 91.5 104.1 116.6 92.2 103.3 116.3 93.5 104.6 117.1 94.8 104.7 116.3 95.5 104.4 116.9 96.4 105.2 117.0 97.3 105.8 117.7 98.2 105.9 118.2 20 21 22 23 26 27 28 29 30 31 40.4 9.4 1.6 1.8 2.2 3.6 6.7 9.9 1.4 3.5 .3 106.3 106.3 105.6 106.6 98.2 108.0 98.4 108.9 106.5 120.5 80.0 106.4 106.5 102.5 108.7 98.3 106.9 106.2 104.9 107.2 98.2 108.8 99.1 109.7 106.9 122.8 79.4 107.4 107.1 104.0 107.6 97.8 107.6 99.7 111.3 108.4 121.4 78.4 107.9 107.6 105.4 108.2 97.3 110.1 100.0 111.8 107.4 121.7 77.3 108.8 108.2 108.9 106.3 97.2 99.8 114.0 107.3 122.6 80.1 108.5 108.2 104.6 106.3 96.2 110.3 100.5 113.7 107.4 121.1 78.3 108.6 108.4 105.7 106.9 95.8 111.1 100.6 112.8 108.6 123.1 77.6 108.7 109.2 106.9 108.2 96.3 112.1 99.7 112.0 108.1 124.0 78.4 108.7 108.3 105.5 108.6 96.1 112.2 99.6 113.3 110.7 122.3 78.8 108.5 108.1 104.2 107.5 96.5 112.8 99.8 112.0 112.0 123.3 76.9 108.5 107.9 102.8 108.4 96.3 110.9 100.1 112.4 113.0 123.9 76.4 108.3 107.8 104.1 108.0 95.4 97.6 109.0 105.3 120.7 80.0 106.2 105.5 104.1 107.7 98.5 108.1 97.9 108.7 107.8 122.0 79.5 99.6 112.1 111.4 123.8 74.9 10 12 13 14 6.9 .5 1.0 4.8 .6 102.9 102.0 105.9 100.3 118.7 103.1 103.1 102.7 100.9 120.6 104.5 104.0 109.6 101.1 121.7 103.4 105.3 106.2 100.5 118.5 103.4 105.6 107.5 100.0 120.0 103.5 102.5 108.8 100.2 120.2 104.5 106.3 109.5 100.7 122.9 103.6 105.7 106.4 100.8 117.2 106.3 105.7 109.6 103.1 125.0 107.5 104.8 105.2 105.4 128.8 106.0 103.5 104.1 104.5 122.3 107.9 104.4 115.6 104.4 124.5 107.6 105.7 107.3 105.3 126.9 107.2 104.6 113.8 103.7 124.5 7.7 6.2 1.6 112.8 112.7 113.2 109.4 110.1 107.1 110.8 111.5 108.5 111.1 110.9 111.8 111.9 112.0 111.3 114.5 112.7 120.9 112.6 112.6 112.7 112.7 113.2 110.9 110.2 110.9 107.6 109.9 110.3 108.7 113.6 113.6 113.2 110.8 110.5 111.9 111.3 491,493PT 492.493PT 111.7 113.0 113.4 111.7 110.2 111.6 111.2 111.6 SPECIAL AGGREGATES 100 Manufacturing excluding motor vehicles and parts 101 Manufacturing excluding office and computing machines . . . 80.5 115.7 116.0 116.3 116.8 117.3 117.9 118.6 118.6 119.5 120.0 120.6 120.8 121.1 121.3 83.6 113.7 114.3 114.4 114.5 114.7 115.5 116.1 116.2 116.9 117.3 117.5 117.5 117.8 117.8 Gross value (billions of 1992 dollars, annual rates) MAJOR MARKETS 102 Products, total 2,001.9 2,258.7 2,276.1 2,272.9 2,273.4 2,270.7 2,303.5 2,301.1 2,302.9 2,315.3 2,327.5 2,324.7 2,331.5 2,340.3 2,334.5 103 104 105 106 Final Consumer goods Equipment Intermediate 1,552.1 1,049.6 502.5 449.9 1,760.9 1,162.2 598.0 498.2 1,782.8 1,171.6 610.5 494.3 1,773.6 1,165.5 607.4 499.7 1,771.6 1,163.0 607.8 502.1 1,771.8 1,164.7 606.3 499.3 1,795.1 1,182.2 612.1 508.6 1,796.8 1,182.3 613.7 504.9 1,798.4 1,176.3 621.4 505.1 1,808.8 1,177.7 630.4 507.2 1,819.6 1,184.7 634.2 508.7 1,816.4 1,179.4 636.4 508.9 1,822.6 1,182.6 639.4 509.6 1,832.5 1,187.8 644.1 508.9 1,827.2 1,182.0 644.7 508.2 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.17 (419) monthly statistical release. For the ordering address, see the inside front cover. The latest historical revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in January 1997. See "Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: Historical Revision and Recent Develop- ments," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 83 (February 1997), pp. 67-92. For a detailed description of the industrial production index, see "Industrial Production: 1989 Developments and Historical Revision," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76. (April 1990), pp. 187-204. 2. Standard industrial classification. A46 2.14 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1997 HOUSING A N D CONSTRUCTION Monthly figures at seasonally adjusted annual rates except as noted 1996 1997 lyy4 item Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr.1 May June 1,442 1,060 382 1,483 1,133 350 812 563 249 1,460 1,158 302 372 1,432 1,053 379 1.402 1,098 304 813 563 250 1,391 1,104 287 356 1,402 1,049 353 1.447 1,111 336 823 567 256 1,282 1,059 223 356 Private residential real estate activity (thousands of units except as noted) N E W UNITS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Permits authorized One-family Two-family or more Started One-family Two-family or more Under construction at end of period1 One-family Two-family or more Completed One-family Two-family or more Mobile homes shipped 1,372 1,069 303 1.457 1.198 259 755 584 171 1,346 1,161 185 305 1,333 997 335 1,354 1,076 278 775 554 221 1,319 1,073 246 341 1,426 1,070 356 1.477 1,161 316 819 584 235 1,407 1,124 283 362 1,391 1,029 362 1.470 1,148 322 825 592 233 1,356 1,097 259 372 1,349 1,003 346 1.407 1.104 303 825 588 237 1,375 1,129 246 364 1,391 1,016 375 1,486 1,133 353 828 584 244 1,431 1,151 280 354 1.405 999 406 1,353 1,024 329 815 571 244 1,484 1,177 307 338 1,395 1,052 343 1,375 1.125 250 818 573 245 1.362 1,109 253 339 1,438 1,069 369 1,554 1,237 317 821 574 247 1.572 1,267 305 353 670 340 667 374 757 326 768 331 706 330 788 327 794 322 822 308 826 300 825 R 287 764 287 772 283 819 282 130.0 154.5 133.9 158.7 140.0 166.4 139.0 167.4 143.8 168.4 143.5 172.0 144.9 171.8 145.0 171.9 143.0 171.1 148.0 R 172.7 R 150.0 179.1 140.0 168.5 142.9 176.4 3,967 3,812 4,087 4,020 4,000 4,060 3,950 3,910 4,230 4,160 4,060 4,250 4,150 109.9 136.8 113.1 139.1 118.2 145.5 117.8 144.7 116.6 143.6 117.4 144.1 118.8 147.1 120.6 149.6 117.5 144.7 120.0 147.5 120.7 150.4 123.1 153.1 127.2 158.4 1,457 1,034 423 1.479 1,142 337 814 566 248 1.471 1,156 315 353 Merchant builder activity in one-family units 14 Number sold 1 15 Number for sale at end of period Price of units sold of dollars)2 (thousands 16 Median 17 Average EXISTING UNITS ( o n e - f a m i l y ) 18 Number sold Price of units sold of dollars)" 19 Median 2 0 Average (thousands Value of new construction (millions of dollars) 3 CONSTRUCTION 2 1 Total p u t in place 518,644 534,463 567,179 579,959 584,140 586,226 579,109 577,116 592,365 593,908 596,241 597,852 591,507 2 2 Private 23 Residential 24 Nonresidential 25 Industrial buildings 26 Commercial buildings 27 Other buildings 28 Public utilities and other 398,646 238,423 160,223 28,893 59,480 26,988 44,862 407,370 231,230 176,140 32,505 68,223 27,089 48,323 435,929 246,659 189,271 31,997 74,593 30,525 52,156 444.388 248,957 195,431 32,845 76.713 31,281 54,592 448,951 247,901 201,050 34,738 79,864 32,024 54,424 448,907 248,259 200,648 33,244 80,144 33,454 53,806 447,045 247,899 199,146 30,752 78,395 34,409 55,590 444,391 246,661 197,730 31,871 81,979 34,257 49,623 452,037 251,402 200,635 32,161 83.107 35.561 49,806 452,728 253,974 198,754 30,520 81,015 36,012 51,207 456,944 259,964 196,980 29.450 76,488 38.216 52,826 462,032 259,469 202,563 31,088 80,409 38,146 52,920 454,792 256,401 198,391 31,502 76,991 36.054 53,844 2 9 Public 30 Military 31 Highway 32 Conservation and development Other 33 119,998 2,310 36,933 6,459 74,297 127,092 2,983 36,319 6,391 81,399 131,250 2,541 37,898 5,807 85,005 135,572 2,482 38,338 7,177 87,575 135,188 2,531 38,367 5.573 88.717 137,319 2,365 38.610 5,710 90.634 132,064 2,241 39,585 5,223 85,015 132,725 2,542 37,869 5.807 86.507 140,328 2,564 41,060 5,727 90.977 141.180 2,232 41,473 6,114 91,361 139,297 2,433 42,410 5,069 89,385 135,820 2,554 40,907 5,206 87,153 136,715 2.585 41,437 4,975 87.718 1. Not at annual rates. 2. Not seasonally adjusted. 3. Recent data on value of new construction may not be strictly comparable with data for previous periods because of changes by the Bureau of the Census in its estimating techniques. For a description of these changes, see Construction Reports ( C - 3 0 - 7 6 - 5 ) , issued by the Census Bureau in July 1976. SOURCE. Bureau of the Census estimates for all series except (1) mobile homes, which are private, domestic shipments as reported by the Manufactured Housing Institute and seasonally adjusted by the Census Bureau, and (2) sales and prices of existing units, which are published by the National Association of Realtors. All back and current figures are available from the originating agency. Permit authorizations are those reported to the Census Bureau from 19,000 jurisdictions beginning in 1994. Selected Measures 2.15 A47 CONSUMER A N D PRODUCER PRICES Percentage changes based on seasonally adjusted data except as noted Change from 12 months earlier Change from 3 months earlier (annual rate) Item 1997r 1996r 1996 July Change from 1 month earlier Index level. Julv 1997 1 1997 1997 July Sept. Dec. Mar. June Mar. Apr. May June July C O N S U M E R PRICES 2 (1982-84=100) 1 All items 3.0 2.2 3.1 3.3 1.8 1.0 .1 .1 .1 .1 .2 112.1 Food 3 Energy items 4 All items less food and energy Commodities Services 6 3.4 4.1 2.7 1.4 3.3 2.5 -1.0 2.4 .9 3.1 5.3 I.I 2.7 1.1 3.4 3.4 16.2 2.4 .9 3.1 .3 -2.8 2.4 1.1 2.7 1.5 -14.7 2.4 .6 3.5 .0 -1.7 .2 .1 .3 -.2 -1.5 .3 .3 .3 .4 -2.4 .2 .1 .2 .0 .1 .3 -.1 — ? .3 .3 .2 -.1 .3 157.0 111.4 169.5 141.5 185.4 2.6 4.2 5.4 1.6 1.1 -.2 4.3 2.4 26.2 .6 -.6 -3.3 -2.0 -16.9 .6 .0 -3.6 -3.5 -15.1 -.6 -1.2 -.2 -1.4 .1 -.1 2.5 4.6 7.0 .6 1.2 ,8r -3.r .2 -,5r -.4 -2.7 1 .0 -.3 .4 -2.1 ,OR -.R -.2 -.1 -.9 .7 .1 .1 -.1 -.2 .1 -.1 -.1 131.3 134.0 83.0 144.5 137.9 -.8 -1.8 -.1 .4 1.0 .0 2.2 -.3 -1.9 .6 -1.9 .3 -.6 .0 — ,4r .0 -.2 .0 .2 -.2 .1 .0 125.5 134.2 25.1 19.9 -13.9 -14.4 -3.8 3.0 -9.4 18.7 -2.6 -28.5 235.2 -1.3 -2.8 -75.5 15.7 -10.1 10.2 -3.5 2.0r -21.3r ,3r 3.2r -.3 3.4 1.2 -5.4 -2.9 .4 .3 -.4 -.5 112.1 78.7 157.0 PRODUCER PRICES (1982=100) 7 Finished goods X Consumer foods 9 Consumer energy Other consumer goods 10 1 1 Capital equipment Intermediate materials 17 Excluding foods and feeds 13 Excluding energy Crude materials 14 Foods 15 Energy 16 Other .1 1. Not seasonally adjusted. 2. Figures for consumer prices are for all urban consumers and reflect a rental-equivalence measure of homeownership. 2.F -2.5r -.3 SOURCE. U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. A48 2.16 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1997 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT A N D INCOME Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1996 r Account 1994 r 1995r 1997 1996 r Q2 Q3 Q4 Qir Q2 G R O S S DOMESTIC P R O D U C T 1 Total 6,947.0 7,265.4 7,636.0 7,607.7 7,676.0 7,792.9 7,933.6 8,004.8 By source 2 Personal consumption expenditures 3 Durable goods 4 Nondurable goods Services 4,717.0 579.5 1,428.4 2,709.1 4,957.7 608.5 1,475.8 2.873.4 5,207.6 634.5 1,534.7 3,038.4 5,189.1 638.6 1,532.3 3,018.2 5,227.4 634.5 1,538.3 3,054.6 5,308.1 638.2 1,560.1 3,109.8 5,405.7 658.4 1,587.4 3,159.9 5,429.8 644.0 1.578.9 3,206.9 6 Gross private domestic investment / Fixed investment 8 Nonresidential 9 Structures Producers' durable equipment 1U 11 Residential structures 1,007.9 946.6 660.6 184.5 476.1 286.0 1,038.2 1,008.1 723.0 200.6 522.4 285.1 1.116.5 1,090.7 781.4 215.2 566.2 309.2 1,105.4 1,082.0 769.3 210.6 558.7 312.7 1,149.2 1,112.0 798.6 217.7 580.9 313.5 1,151.1 1,119.2 807.2 227.0 580.2 312.0 1,193.6 1,127.5 811.3 227.4 583.9 316.2 1,227.2 1,157.8 836.4 230.4 606.0 321.4 Change in business inventories Nonfarm 61.2 50.5 30.1 38.1 25.9 23.0 23.4 17.2 37.1 31.3 31.9 28.7 66.1 62.2 69.4 64.8 14 Net exports of goods and services Exports 13 16 -90.9 721.2 812.1 -86.0 818.4 904.5 -94.8 870.9 965.7 -93.8 865.0 958.7 -114.0 863.7 977.6 -88.6 904.6 993.2 -98.8 922.2 1,021.0 -103.3 948.4 1,051.8 17 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal 18 19 State and local 1,313.0 510.2 802.8 1,355.5 509.6 846.0 1,406.7 520.0 886.7 1,407.0 524.6 882.4 1,413.5 521.6 891.9 1,422.3 517.6 904.7 1,433.1 516.1 917.0 1,451.1 528.0 923.2 By major type of product 20 Final sales, total 21 Goods 22 Durable Nondurable 23 24 Services Structures 2b 6,885.7 2,520.2 1,072.5 1,447.6 3,772.4 593.2 7,235.3 2.637.9 1,133.9 1,503.9 3,980.7 616.8 7,610.2 2,759.3 1,212.0 1,547.3 4,187.3 663.6 7,584.3 2,759.3 1,214.8 1,544.5 4,162.2 662.8 7,638.9 2,760.7 1,216.3 1,544.4 4,208.1 670.1 7,761.0 2,795.0 1,233.5 1,561.5 4,282.7 683.3 7,867.4 2,838.4 1,248.0 1,590.4 4,338.2 690.8 7,935.4 2,835.4 1,258.3 1,577.2 4,400.9 699.0 61.2 33.6 27.7 30.1 29.1 1.1 25.9 16.9 9.0 23.4 18.1 5.3 37.1 33.3 3.9 31.9 -1.1 33.0 66.1 31.8 34.3 69.4 38.6 30.8 6,610.7 6,742.1 6,928.4 6,926.0 6,943.8 7,017.4 7,101.6 7,139.7 30 Total 5,590.7 5,912.3 6,254.5 6,229.4 6,303.3 6,376.5 6,510.0 n.a. 31 Compensation of employees 32 Wages and salaries Government and government enterprises 33 34 Other Supplement to wages and salaries 33 Employer contributions for social insurance 36 37 Other labor income 4,012.0 3,254.0 602.2 2,651.8 758.0 353.0 405.0 4,215.4 3,442.6 623.0 2,819.6 772.9 366.0 406.8 4,426.9 3,633.6 642.6 2,991.0 793.3 385.7 407.6 4,403.9 3,612.3 640.3 2.972.0 791.5 383.6 407.9 4,461.0 3,664.0 645.5 3,018.4 797.0 388.6 408.4 4,520.7 3,718.0 648.9 3,069.0 802.7 393.6 409.1 4,606.3 3.792.7 657.8 3,134.9 813.6 401.3 412.3 4,663.3 3,842.6 661.7 3,180.9 820.7 405.5 415.1 471.6 434.7 36.9 489.0 465.5 23.4 520.3 483.1 37.2 520.0 483.5 36.5 523.8 483.7 40.1 528.3 487.9 40.4 534.6 494.4 40.2 543.6 499.1 44.5 12 13 26 Change in business inventories 27 Durable goods Nondurable goods 28 MEMO 29 Total G D P in chained 1992 dollars NATIONAL INCOME 38 Proprietors' income 1 jy Business and professional 1 40 Farm 1 41 Rental income of persons" 124.4 132.8 146.3 144.6 148.0 149.2 149.0 148.6 42 Corporate profits' 43 Profits before tax 3 44 Inventory valuation adjustment 43 Capital consumption adjustment 570.5 535.1 -16.1 51.4 650.0 622.6 -24.3 51.6 735.9 676.6 -2.5 61.8 738.5 682.2 -5.4 61.6 739.6 679.1 -2.7 63.2 747.8 680.0 3.3 64.4 779.6 708.4 3.5 67.7 n.a. n.a. 18.1 69.9 46 Net interest 412.3 425.1 425.1 422.5 430.9 430.6 440.5 n.a. 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. 3. For after-tax profits, dividends, and the like, see table 1.48. SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business. Selected Measures 2.17 A49 PERSONAL INCOME A N D SAVING Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1996r 1994r Account I995 r 1997 1996r Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql' Q2 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING 1 Total personal income ? 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Wage and salary disbursements Commodity-producing industries Manufacturing Distributive industries Service industries Government and government enterprises Other labor income Proprietors' income' Business and professional 1 Farm1 Rental income of persons" Dividends Personal interest income Transfer payments Old- age survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits LESS: Personal contributions for social insurance 18 EQUALS: Personal income 19 5,791.8 6,150.8 6,495.2 6,461.3 6,541.9 6,618.4 6,746.2 6,830.0 3,240.7 824.4 620.8 741.4 1,072.7 602.2 3,429.5 864.4 648.4 783.1 1.159.0 623.0 3,632.5 909.1 674.7 823.3 1,257.5 642.6 3,611.2 906.3 674.1 819.2 1,245.3 640.3 3,662.8 917.2 680.1 829.0 1,271.1 645.5 3,716.9 927.8 685.6 840.6 1,299.5 648.9 3,791.5 942.9 694.1 856.8 1,334.1 657.8 3,841.5 953.3 700.7 866.8 1,359.6 661.7 405.0 471.6 434.7 36.9 124.4 204.8 668.1 954.7 473.0 406.8 489.0 465.5 23.4 132.8 251.9 718.9 1,015.0 507.8 407.6 520.3 483.1 37.2 146.3 291.2 735.7 1,068.0 537.6 407.9 520.0 483.5 36.5 144.6 290.0 727.8 1,064.8 535.4 408.4 523.8 483.7 40.1 148.0 292.0 742.7 1,072.4 540.0 409.1 528.3 487.9 40.4 149.2 295.2 749.8 1.081.5 545.6 412.3 534.6 494.4 40.2 149.0 312.5 757.2 1,107.2 558.9 415.1 543.6 499.1 44.5 148.6 318.3 766.8 1,117.5 564.4 277.5 293.1 306.3 305.0 308.2 311.5 318.2 321.3 5,791.8 6,150.8 6,495.2 6,461.3 6,541.9 6,618.4 6,746.2 6,830.0 739.1 795.1 886.9 887.8 897.3 922.6 955.7 982.0 20 EQUALS: Disposable personal income 5,052.7 5.355.7 5,608.3 5,573.5 5,644.6 5,695.8 5,790.5 5,848.0 21 LESS: Personal outlays 4,842.1 5,101.1 5,368.8 5,347.8 5,390.6 5,475.4 5.574.6 5,600.1 22 EQUALS: Personal saving 210.6 254.6 239.6 225.7 254.0 220.4 215.9 247.9 25,357.7 17.207.4 18,431.0 25,615.7 17.459.2 18.861.0 26.085.8 17,748.7 19,116.0 26,106.4 17,761.8 19,081.0 26,114.4 17,744.2 19,161.0 26.331.6 17,847.8 19,152.0 26,597.8 18,045.2 19.331.0 26,690.5 18,048.1 19,435.0 4.2 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.5 3.9 3.7 4.2 27 Gross saving 1,079.2 1,165.5 1,267.8 1,256.3 1,295.9 1,303.0 1,332.9 n.a. 28 Gross private saving 1.030.2 1,093.1 1,125.5 1,106.3 1,145.1 1,131.4 1,134.0 n.a. 210.6 167.6 -16.1 254.6 172.4 -24.3 239.6 202.1 -2.5 225.7 202.6 -5.4 254.0 202.3 -2.7 220.4 212.6 3.3 215.9 211.5 3.5 247.9 n.a. 18.1 412.3 226.3 428.9 224.1 452.3 230.5 448.5 228.3 455.5 232.2 462.0 235.2 467.4 238.0 472.1 239.8 34 Gross government saving 35 Federal 36 Consumption of fixed capital 37 Current surplus or deficit ( —). national accounts 38 State and local 39 Consumption of fixed capital 40 Current surplus or deficit ( —), national accounts 49.0 -117.2 69.5 -186.7 166.2 69.4 96.8 72.4 -103.6 70.9 -174.4 176.0 72.9 103.1 142.3 -39.3 71.2 -110.5 181.5 76.2 105.3 150.0 -40.2 71.4 -111.6 190.2 75.8 114.4 150.8 -28.3 71.2 -99.5 179.1 76.5 102.6 171.6 -5.9 71.3 -77.1 177.5 77.2 100.4 198.9 15.9 71.4 -55.5 182.9 78.2 104.7 n.a. n.a. 71.5 n.a. n.a. 79.1 n.a. 41 Gross investment 1,093.8 1,137.2 1,207.9 1,206.0 1,216.4 1,243.5 1,268.6 42 Gross private domestic investment 43 Gross government investment 44 Net foreign investment 1,007.9 206.0 -120.0 1.038.2 213.4 -114.4 1,116.5 224.3 -132.9 1,105.4 226.3 -125.6 1,149.2 223.6 -156.4 1,151.1 225.3 -132.9 1.193.6 223.3 -148.4 14.6 -28.2 -59.9 -50.2 -79.5 -59.5 -64.3 LESS: Personal tax and nontax payments MEMO Per capita (chained 1992 dollars) 23 Gross domestic product 2.4 Personal consumption expenditures 25 Disposable personal income 26 Saving rate (percent) GROSS SAVING 29 Personal saving 30 Undistributed corporate profits' 31 Corporate inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption 32 Corporate 33 Noncorporate , allowances 45 Statistical discrepancy 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business. n.a. 1,227.2 226.7 n.a. n.a. A50 3.10 International Statistics • October 1997 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Summary Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted except as noted1 1997 1996 Item credits or debits 1 Balance on current account 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Merchandise trade balance" Merchandise exports Merchandise imports Military transactions, net Other service transactions, net Investment income, net U.S. government grants U.S. government pensions and other transfers Private remittances and other transfers 1994 -133,538 -166,192 502,398 -668,590 1,874 59,902 9,723 -15,671 -4,544 -18.630 1996 1995 QI Q2 Q3 Q4 Qlp -42,833 -52,493 150.764 -203,257 792 19.185 -1.370 -2,690 -1,064 -5,193 -36.874 -48.190 157,846 -206,036 1,295 20,697 1.250 -5,499 -1,050 -5.377 -40,966 -49,787 162,527 -212,314 518 20,152 -3,140 -2.162 -1,098 -5,449 -129,095 -173,560 575,871 -749,431 3,866 67,837 6,808 -11,096 -3,420 -19,530 -148,184 -191,170 612,069 -803,239 3,786 76,344 2,824 -14,933 -4,331 -20,704 -32,884 -42,925 150,048 -192,973 485 17,901 2,061 -4,321 -1,136 -4,949 -35,585 -47.562 153,411 -200,973 1,214 18,569 883 -2,423 -1,081 -5,185 11 Change in U.S. government assets other than official reserve assets, net (increase, —) -352 -549 -690 -210 -358 162 -284 31 12 Change in U.S. official reserve assets (increase, —) Gold 13 14 Special drawing rights (SDRs) Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 15 Foreign currencies 16 5.346 0 -441 494 5,293 -9,742 0 -808 -2,466 -6,468 6,668 0 370 -1,280 7.578 17 0 -199 -849 1,065 -523 0 -133 -220 -170 7,489 0 848 -183 6,824 -315 0 -146 -28 -141 4.480 0 72 1.055 3,353 17 Change in U.S. private assets abroad (increase, —) 18 Bank-reported claims" 19 Nonbank-reported claims 20 U.S. purchases of foreign securities, net U.S. direct investments abroad, net 21 -165,510 -4,200 -31,739 -60,309 -69,262 -296,916 -75,108 -34,997 -100,074 -86,737 -358,422 -98,186 -64,234 -108,189 -87.813 -70,575 1,868 -15,778 -34,455 -22,210 -48,817 192 -5,047 -20.328 -23,634 -85,193 -33,589 -17,294 -23,206 -11,104 -153,837 -66,657 -26,115 -30,200 -30,865 -104,298 -56,560 22 Change in foreign official assets in United States (increase, +) 23 U.S. Treasury securities Other U.S. government obligations 24 Other U.S. government liabilities4 25 Other U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks3 26 Other foreign official assets5 27 40,385 30,750 6,077 2,366 3,665 -2,473 110,729 68,977 3,735 744 34,008 3,265 122,354 111,253 4.381 720 4,722 1,278 52,014 55,600 52 -143 -3,284 -211 13,154 -3,383 1.258 -204 14,198 1,285 24,089 25,472 1,217 907 -1,922 -1,585 33.097 33,564 1,854 160 -4,270 1,789 28,337 23,107 651 377 7,489 -3,287 28 Change in foreign private assets in United States (increase, +) 29 U.S. bank-reported liabilities3 30 U.S. nonbank-reported liabilities Foreign private purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, net 31 Foreign purchases of other U.S. securities, net 32 Foreign direct investments in United States, net 33 256,952 104,338 -7,710 34,274 56,971 45,679 340,505 30,176 34,588 99,548 96,367 67,526 425,201 9,784 31,786 155,578 133,798 76,955 36,219 -33,535 6,800 11,832 36.475 15,877 92.960 2,319 7,288 31,212 29,761 17.440 134,540 2,040 20,610 43,402 35.115 25,977 161,482 38,960 -2,912 67,338 32,447 17.661 130,530 18,891 34 Allocation of special drawing rights 35 Discrepancy Due to seasonal adjustment 36 Before seasonal adjustment 37 0 -3,283 0 -14,931 0 -46,927 -3,284 - i 4,931 -46,926 0 15,419 6,228 9,191 0 -20,831 -1,076 -19,755 0 -38.254 -7,830 -30,424 0 -3.269 2,669 -5,938 0 -18,114 7,325 -25,439 -14,510 -24,628 38,738 21,700 MEMO Changes in official assets 38 U.S. official reserve assets (increase, —) 39 Foreign official assets in United States, excluding line 25 (increase, +) 5,346 -9,742 6,668 17 -523 7,489 -315 4,480 38,019 109,985 121,634 52,157 13,358 23,182 32,937 27,960 40 Change in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries official assets in United States (part of line 22) -1,529 4,239 12,278 -1,539 5,239 5,263 3,315 6,717 1. Seasonal factors are not calculated for lines 12-16, 18-20, 22-34, and 3 8 ^ 0 . 2. Data are on an international accounts basis. The data differ from the Census basis data, shown in table 3.11, for reasons of coverage and timing. Military exports are excluded from merchandise trade data and are included in line 5. 3. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. 4. Associated primarily with military sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. 5. Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securities of private corporations and state and local governments. SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Suney of Current Business. Summary Statistics 3.11 A51 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE 1 Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted 1996 Item 1994 1995 1997 1996 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June p 1 Goods and services, balance 2 Merchandise 3 Services -104,416 -166,192 61,776 -101,857 -173,560 71,703 -111,040 -191,170 80,130 -10,601 -17,695 7.094 -11,474 -18,148 6,674 -9,884 -16,761 6.877 -7,755 -14,877 7,122 -8,746 -15.527 6,781 -9,536 -16,363 6.827 -8.158 -15.013 6,855 4 Goods and services, exports Merchandise 5 6 Services 699.646 502,398 197,248 794,610 575,871 218,739 848,833 612,069 236,764 72,444 52,133 20,311 71,957 51,686 20,271 74,370 53,687 20.683 78,193 57,155 21,038 77,887 57,162 20,725 77,686 56,871 20,815 78,420 57,456 20,964 7 Goods and services, imports 8 Merchandise 9 Services -804,062 -668.590 -135.472 -896,467 -749,431 -147,036 -959,873 -803,239 -156,634 -83,045 -69,828 -13,217 -83,431 -69.834 -13,597 -84,254 -70,448 -13,806 -85,948 -72,032 -13.916 -86.633 -72,689 -13.944 -87,222 -73,234 -13.988 -86,578 -72,469 -14,109 I. Data show monthly values consistent with quarterly figures in the U.S. balance of payments accounts. 3.12 SOURCE. FT900, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. RESERVE ASSETS Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 Asset 1 Total 2 Gold stock, including Exchange Stabilization Fund1 3 Special drawing rights 2 ' 3 4 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund" 5 Foreign currencies 4 1993 1994 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July p 73,442 74,335 85,832 75,090 68,200 67,482 67,222 65,873 68,054 67,813 66,119 11,053 9,039 11.051 10,039 11,050 11,037 11.049 10,312 11,048 9,793 11,051 9,866 11,050 9.879 11,051 9,726 11,051 10,050 11,050 10.023 11,050 9,810 11,818 41,532 12,030 41,215 14.649 49,096 15,435 38,294 14,372 32,987 14,037 32,528 13,846 32,447 13.660 31,436 13,805 32,935 13,805 32,935 13,677 31,582 SDR holdings and reserve positions in the IMF also have been valued on this basis since July 1974. 3. Includes allocations of SDRs by the International Monetary Fund on Jan. 1 of the year indicated, as follows: 1970—$867 million; 1971—$717 million; 1972—$710 million; 1979— $1,139 million; 1980—$1,152 million; 1981—$1,093 million; plus net transactions in SDRs. 4. Valued at current market exchange rates. 1. Gold held "under earmark" at Federal Reserve Banks for foreign and international accounts is not included in the gold stock of the United States; see table 3.13, line 3. Gold stock is valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce. 2. Special drawing rights (SDRs) are valued according to a technique adopted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in July 1974. Values are based on a weighted average of exchange rates for the currencies of member countries. From July 1974 through December 1980. sixteen currencies were used; since January 1981, five currencies have been used. U.S. 3.13 1997 1995 FOREIGN OFFICIAL ASSETS HELD AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 Asset 1993 1994 1997 1995 Jan. Dec. 1 Deposits Held in custody 2 U.S. Treasury securities* 3 Earmarked gold 3 Mar. Apr. May June JulyP 386 250 386 167 167 229 16 169 176 178 175 379,394 12,327 441,866 12,033 522,170 11,702 638,049 11,197 646,130 11,197 662,375 11,175 672,059 11,034 668,536 10,944 662,747 10.868 652,077 10,794 653,157 10,793 1. Excludes deposits and U.S. Treasury securities held for international and regional organizations. 2. Marketable U.S. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds and nonmarketable U.S. Treasury securities, in each case measured at face (not market) value. Feb. 3. Held in foreign and international accounts and valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce; not included in the gold stock of the United States. A52 3.15 International Statistics • October 1997 SELECTED U.S. LIABILITIES TO FOREIGN OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 Item 1 Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1994 1997 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June p 520,934 630,918 752,663 762,914 771,952 781,077 r 777,370 r 782,285 r 776,610 By type Liabilities reported by banks in the United States" U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 3 U.S. Treasury bonds and notes Marketable Nonmarketable 4 U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasury securities 5 73,386 139,571 107,394 168,534 112,182 193,435 119,641 188,076 116,672 191,090 119,881r 191,548 117,337 183,628 125,584r 176,268 122,227 161,984 254,059 6,109 47,809 293,690 6,491 54,809 380,565 5,968 60,513 388,396 6,007 60,794 398,519 6.043 59,628 405,625 6,084 57,939 413,007 r 5.692 57,706 416,384 r 5,730 58,319 427,118 5,767 59,514 By area Europe 1 Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa Other countries 215,374 17,235 41,492 236,824 4,180 5.827 222,406 19,473 66.721 311,016 6,296 5,004 253,099 21,343 81,807 383,107 7,379 5,926 262,055 21,151 77,411 390,803 6,717 4,775 260,962 21,237 79,332 399,294 7,411 3,714 264,919 21,997 80,232 r 401,098 7,908 4,921 264,68l r 19,677 77,024 403,526 7,765 4,695 r 265,724 20,196 82,292r 402,102 8,643 3,326r 271,004 20,577 88,760 381,478 8,890 5,899 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. 2. Principally demand deposits, time deposits, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, negotiable time certificates of deposit, and borrowings under repurchase agreements. 3. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 4. Excludes notes issued to foreign official nonreserve agencies. Includes current value of zero-coupon Treasury bond issues to foreign governments as follows: Mexico, beginning March 1988, 20-year maturity issue and beginning March 1990, 30-year maturity issue; 3.16 LIABILITIES TO, A N D CLAIMS ON, FOREIGNERS Payable in Foreign Currencies Venezuela, beginning December 1990, 30-year maturity issue; Argentina, beginning April 1993, 30-year maturity issue. 5. Debt securities of U.S. government corporations and federally sponsored agencies, and U.S. corporate stocks and bonds. SOURCE. Based on U.S. Department of the Treasury data and on data reported to the department by banks (including Federal Reserve Banks) and securities dealers in the United States, and on the 1989 benchmark survey of foreign portfolio investment in the United States. Reported by Banks in the United States 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 Item 1 Banks' liabilities 2 Banks' claims 3 Deposits 4 Other claims 5 Claims of banks' domestic customers 2 1993 78,259 62,017 20,993 41,024 12,854 1. Data on claims exclude foreign currencies held by U.S. monetary authorities. 1994 89,258 60,711 19,661 41,050 10,878 1997 1995 109,713 74,016 22,696 51,320 6,145 June Sept. Dec. Mar. 111,651 65,825 20,890 44,935 7,554 111,140 68,120 24,026 44,094 7,390 103,383 66,018 22,467 43.551 10,978 109,238r 72,589 24,542 48,047 9,357 2. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the accounts of the domestic customers. Nonbank-Reported 3.17 LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. dollars Data A53 Reported by Banks in the United States' Millions of dollars, end of period 1997 1996 Item 1994 1995 1996 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June p 1,137,751 1,135,724 1,158,680 l,154,155 r l,163,243 r 1,176,959 1,164,065 782,883 r 28,063 r 189,873 r 151,408 r 413,539 r 796,555' 29,745' 183,860' 161,326 421,624' 812,025 26,494 184,347 161,693 439,491 799,548 29,803 186,306 164,861 418,578 BY HOLDER AND T Y P E OF LIABILITY 1 Total, all foreigners 2 Banks' own liabilities 3 Demand deposits 4 Time deposits 2 Other 1 5 6 Own foreign offices 4 7 Banks' custodial liabilities 5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 8 9 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 7 10 Other 11 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 8 . . . 12 Banks' own liabilities 13 Demand deposits 14 Time deposits 2 15 Other 1 16 17 18 19 Banks' custodial liabilities 5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 7 Other 20 Official institutions 9 21 Banks' own liabilities 22 Demand deposits 23 Time deposits" 24 Other 1 25 26 27 28 Banks' custodial liabilities 5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 7 Other 29 Banks'" 30 Banks' own liabilities Unaffiliated foreign banks 31 32 Demand deposits 33 Time deposits 2 34 Other 1 35 Own foreign offices 4 36 37 38 39 Banks' custodial liabilities 5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 7 Other 40 Other foreigners 41 Banks' own liabilities 42 Demand deposits 43 Time deposits" 44 Other 1 45 46 47 48 Banks' custodial liabilities 5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 7 Other 1,014,996 1,099,549 1,137,751 718,591 23,386 186,512 113,215 395,478 753,461 24,448 192,558 140,165 396,290 759.026 27,034 188,000 142,464 401,528 759,026 27,034 188,000 142,464 401,528 765,212 26,228 187,268 158,324 393,392 782,714 25,084 190,257 161,313 406,060 296,405 162,938 346,088 197,355 378,725 220,575 378,725 220,575 370,512 214,727 375,966 217,817 371,272 218,271 366,688 211,148 364,934 200,983 364,517 197,877 42,539 90,928 52,200 96,533 64,040 94,110 64,040 94,110 62,971 92,814 59,668 98,481 55,843 97,158 59,341 96,199 64,343 99,608 65,506 101,134 8,606 8,176 29 3,298 4,849 11,039 10,347 21 4,656 5,670 13,864 13,355 29 5,784 7,542 13,864 13,355 29 5,784 7,542 14,849 14,170 55 5,792 8,323 14,626 14,297 51 5,035 9,211 12,192 11,793 49 6,952 4,792 13,039 12,787 30 5,238 7,519 12,315 12,120 16 4,857 7,247 13,928 13,472 775 6,645 6,052 430 281 692 350 509 244 509 244 679 494 329 219 399 226 252 154 195 102 456 65 149 0 341 1 265 0 265 0 185 0 NO 0 158 15 98 0 88 5 383 8 212,957 59,935 1,564 23,511 34,860 275,928 83,447 2,098 30,717 50,632 305,617 79,406 1,511 33,336 44,559 305,617 79,406 1,511 33,336 44,559 307,717 88,190 1,290 32,646 54,254 307,762 87,317 1,378 34,457 51,482 311,429' 90,70 r 2,390 32,691 55,620' 300,965 86,794 2,345 33,428 51,021 301,852 92,847 1,857 36,627 54.363 284,211 96,311 1,559 39,793 54,959 153,022 139,571 192,481 168,534 226,211 193,435 226,211 193,435 219,527 188,076 220,445 191,090 220,728 191,548 214,171 183,628 209,005 176,268 187,900 161,984 13,245 206 23,603 344 32,350 426 32,350 426 31,291 160 29,008 347 28,797 383 30,396 147 32,485 252 25,487 429 678,532 563,617 168,139 10,633 111,171 46,335 395,478 691,412 567,834 171,544 11,758 103,471 56,315 396,290 680,923 562,912 161,384 13,692 90,811 56,881 401,528 680,923 562,912 161,384 13,692 90,811 56,881 401,528 669,225 553,650 160,258 12,898 90,123 57,237 393,392 683,142 562,652 156,592 11,642 89,723 55,227 406,060 687,849 r 567,824 r 154,285' 13,360 88,784 52,141' 413,539' 700,330' 580,203' 158,579' 14,909 83,540 60,130' 421,624' 710,688 591,295 151,804 12,957 81,585 57,262 439,491 719,266 576,582 158,004 14,954 80,416 62,634 418,578 114,915 11,264 123,578 15,872 118,011 13,886 118,011 13,886 115,575 13,969 120,490 13,289 120,025 13,996 120,127 14,177 119,393 11,223 142,684 23,025 14,506 89,145 13,035 94,671 12,321 91,804 12,321 91,804 11,142 90,464 11,210 95,991 11,204 94,825 12,169 93,781 14,363 93,807 24,140 95,519 114,901 86,863 11,160 48,532 27,171 121,170 91,833 10,571 53,714 27,548 137,347 103,353 11,802 58,069 33,482 137,347 103,353 11,802 58,069 33,482 143,933 109,202 11,985 58,707 38,510 153,150 118,448 12,013 61,042 45,393 142,685' 112,565' 12,264' 61,446' 38,855' 148,909' 116,771' 12,461' 61,654' 42,656' 152,104 115,763 11,664 61,278 42,821 146,660 113,183 12,515 59,452 41,216 28,038 11,822 29,337 12,599 33,994 13,010 33,994 13,010 34,731 12,188 34,702 13,219 30,120 12,501 32,138 13,189 36,341 13,390 33.477 12.803 14,639 1,577 15,221 1,517 19,104 1,880 19,104 1,880 20,353 2,190 19,340 2,143 15,684 1,935 16,678 2,271 17,407 5,544 15,496 5,178 17,895 9,103 9,934 9,934 9,035 8,745 9,332 10,658 10,916 11,651 MEMO 49 Negotiable time certificates of deposit in custody for foreigners 1. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. Excludes bonds and notes of maturities longer than one year. 2. Excludes negotiable time certificates of deposit, which are included in "Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments." 3. Includes borrowing under repurchase agreements. 4. For U.S. banks, includes amounts owed to own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in quarterly Consolidated Reports of Condition filed with bank regulatory agencies. For agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks, consists principally of amounts owed to the head office or parent foreign bank, and to foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of the head office or parent foreign bank. 5. Financial claims on residents of the United States, other than long-term securities, held by or through reporting banks for foreign customers. 6. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 7. Principally bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 8. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the InterAmerican Development Bank, and the Asian Development Bank. Excludes "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 9. Foreign central banks, foreign central governments, and the Bank for International Settlements. 10. Excludes central banks, which are included in "Official institutions." A54 3.17 International Statistics • October 1997 LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States'—Continued 1996 Item 1994 1995 1997 1996 Jan. Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June p AREA 5 0 Total, all foreigners 1,014,996 1,099,549 1,137,751 1,137,751 1,135,724 1,158,680 l,154,155 r l,163,243 r l,176,959 r 1,164,065 51 Foreign countries 1,006,390 1,088,510 1,123,887 1,123,887 1,120,875 1,144,054 l,141,963 r l,150,204 r l,164,644 r 1,150,137 390,869 3,588 21,877 2.884 1,436 44.365 27,109 1,400 10.885 16,033 2,338 2.846 2,726 14,675 3,094 40,724 3.341 362,819 3,537 24,792 2,921 2,831 39,218 24,035 2.014 10,868 13.745 1.394 2.761 7.948 10,011 3,246 43,625 4.124 368.380 5,101 23,576 2,450 1,463 34,365 24,554 1,810 10,701 10,995 1.288 1,865 7,571 16,920 1,291 44,214 6.723 368,380 5,101 23,576 2.450 1,463 34,365 24,554 1,810 10,701 10,995 1,288 1,865 7.571 16,920 1,291 44,214 379.641 4,794 22,842 2,213 1,583 34.558 24,871 2,080 10,366 9,760 1.860 1.741 7,160 20,410 2,226 43,266 379,566 4,010 23.537 1,594 1.338 35,457 24,142 1,930 10,610 10,946 1,538 1,661 6,819 17,963 1,483 46.681 374.944R 4,589 22,107 1,692 1.017 34,861 25,410 2,392 8,676 11,008 1,896 1.756 7.771 43.315 374,978 R 3,069 18,764 1.647 1.747 40,227 25.697 1,740 9,419 11,975 1,357 1,995 7,863 17,674 2,190 41.803 376,406R 3,337 20,896 1,974 953 38,444 26,000 2,269 9,660 8.625 1,121 1.828 9,531 15,005 1,600 43,674 390,020 3,194 40,698 2,003 1,341 40,686 27,446 1,675 10,170 8,226 841 1,821 12,261 16,237 1,406 38,973 163,733 245 27,770 139,183 177 26,389 151.416 206 21,871 6.723 151.416 206 21.871 7,051 157,412 212 25.236 6,748 157,320 239 25,550 7.176 154.182 r 248 26.176 6,585 156,667 r 266 24,293 6,742 160,958 r 3?4 23,465 6,530 152.706 228 23,578 5 2 Europe 53 Austria 54 Belgium and Luxembourg 55 56 5/ 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 6/ 68 69 /0 /I Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Italy Netherlands Norway Portugal Russia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom Yugoslavia11 Other Europe and other former U.S.S.R.'" 72 18,791 r 1,881r 24,768 30.468 38,111 38,111 34.830 33,985 37,118 39,575 37.554 37,090 73 Latin America and Caribbean Argentina Bahamas /5 /6 Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Chile Colombia 80 81 Cuba 82 Ecuador 83 Guatemala 84 Jamaica Mexico 85 86 Netherlands Antilles Panama 87 88 89 Uruguay 90 Venezuela Other 91 423,847 17,203 440.213 12.235 94,991 4,897 23,797 239,083 2,826 3.659 465,733 13,794 88,304 5,299 27.662 250,786 2,915 3,256 13 8 875 1,121 529 12,227 5,217 4,551 900 1.597 13.986 6.704 1,314 1,276 24,560 4,673 4,264 974 1,836 11,808 7,531 465.733 13.794 88.304 5,299 27,662 250,786 2,915 3,256 21 1,767 1,282 628 31,230 5,977 4,077 834 1.888 17,361 8,652 1.767 1.282 628 31,230 5,977 4,077 834 1,888 17,361 8,652 455.457 16.475 90.460 5,103 22,467 244,633 2.987 2,791 19 1,617 1,348 576 27,139 6,401 3,849 967 1,915 18,119 8.591 472,600 17,018 98,120 8.803 23.858 248,571 3,459 2,855 19 1.633 1,410 576 27,442 6,085 4,135 917 1.857 18,125 7,717 464.191' 16,739 89.427 r 8.196 23,693 253,695 r 3,278 2,807 18r 1,484 1,378 585 26,598 r 3,474 3,847 926 1,843 18,454 7,749 r 476,694 r 14,057 104,831 7,197 23,373 250,232 r 3,117 3,165 52 1,469 1,514 525 27,722 r 5,334 3.711 881 1,756 18.968 8,790 r 491,878 r 16,379 100,081 6,265 25,405 r 267,075 r 3.239 2.776 54 1,608 1,457 472 27.914 r 3,678 4,005 1,117r 2,063 18,897 9,393 r 490,436 18,177 89,434 5,176 26,013 269,210 3,371 2,836 55 1,466 1,497 465 31,357 6,103 3,969 919 2,154 18,935 9,299 92 154,346 240,595 236,673 236.673 236,404 244,473 250,705 r 242,327 r 244,199 r 216,550 10,066 9,844 17,104 2,338 1,587 5,157 62,981 5,124 2,714 6.466 15.494 15.471 33,750 11,714 20,197 3,373 2,708 4,041 109,193 5,749 3,092 12,279 15.582 18.917 30,438 15,990 18,736 3.930 2,297 6,042 107,012 5,949 3,378 10,912 14.303 17,686 30,438 15,990 18,736 3,930 2,297 6.042 107,012 5,949 3,378 10,912 14.303 17.686 27,914 16,680 19,866 4,323 2,159 6,597 106,419 6,056 2,340 9,873 12,924 21,253 31,631 15,619 20,062 4,746 2.473 6,197 108,703 6.257 2,437 10,752 12,767 22,829 31,370 15,796 20,106 5,430 2,672 5,960 r 116,066 r 6,545 2,389 9,394 13,408 21,569 28,580 14,669 18,942 4,756 2,441 6,097 r 114,930 r 7,153 2,335 10,361 13,826 18,237 29,432 12,441 19,375 4,368 2,788 6,413 r 114,669 r 2,387 7,808 13,972 22,695 7,284 12,356 20,147 4,241 2,528 5,749 112,998 7,629 2,469 6,159 12,644 22,346 6.524 1.879 97 433 9 1,343 2,763 7,641 2.136 104 739 10 1,797 2.855 8,063 2.012 112 458 8,443 1,933 610 5 3,095 2,689 8,110 2,033 97 720 7 2,467 2,786 8,536 2,001 107 827 2,608 2,863 8.063 2.012 112 458 10 2,608 2,863 2,931 2,661 9,011 2,056 129 784 4 3,344 2,694 9,824 2,248 91 2,004 9 2,731 2,741 9,953 1,977 66 1,770 39 3,153 2,948 112 Other Australia 113 114 Other 6,036 5,142 894 6,774 5.647 1,127 6,927 5,468 1,459 6.927 5,468 1,459 6,100 4.866 1,234 5,320 4,072 1,248 6,469 5,098 1,371 7,619 6.370 1,249 4,783 3,405 r l,378 r 6,088 4,739 1,349 115 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations. . . 116 International 15 Latin American regional 16 Other regional 17 118 8,606 7,537 613 456 11.039 9.300 893 846 13,864 11,991 1,339 534 13.864 11,991 1,339 534 14,849 13,230 1,103 516 14,626 13,000 1,220 406 12,192 10,272 1,459 461 13,039 11,671 1,050 318 12,315 r 10,64 l r 1,435 239 13,928 12,273 1,071 584 14 n m 19 93 94 95 China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong 96 9/ 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 Indonesia Israel Japan Korea (South) Philippines Thailand Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries 13 Other 105 106 10/ 108 109 110 111 Egypt Morocco South Africa Zaire Oil-exporting countries' 4 Other 117 104,014 8,424 9,145 229.599 3,127 4.615 481 11. Since December 1992, has excluded Bosnia, Croatia, and Slovenia. 12. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Since December 1992, has included all parts of the former U.S.S.R. (except Russia), and Bosnia. Croatia, and Slovenia. 13. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 14. Comprises Algeria, Gabon. Libya, and Nigeria. 10 21 111 9 7,851 15. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Excludes "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 16. Principally the Inter-American Development Bank. 17. Asian, African. Middle Eastern, and European regional organizations, except the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Europe." Nonbank-Reported 3.18 Data A55 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States 1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1997 1996 Area or country 1 Total, all foreigners 2 Foreign countries 1994 485,432 1995 532,444 1996 600,676 Apr. May June p Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 600,676 607,491 633,662 636,645 r 641,080 r 632,145 651,993 r 638,792 r 629,813 650,070 195,969 1,440 8,017 924 1,121 17,492 9,059 477 6,478 8,190 1,199 306 1,881 5,854 1,870 24,574 1,306 101,240 79 4,462 191,790 1,395 8,129 1,010 1,414 16,926 9,947 630 7,865 10,841 749 468 2,020 6,810 2,539 22,500 1,455 93,161 75 3,856 480,841 530,513 598,072 598,072 605,719 631,407 635,139 124,124 692 6,923 1,129 512 12,149 7,623 604 6,044 2,960 504 938 973 3,536 4,098 5,747 878 66,863 265 1,686 132,150 565 7,624 403 1,055 15,033 9,263 469 5,370 5,346 665 888 660 2,166 2,080 7,474 803 67,784 147 4,355 166,489 1,662 6,727 492 971 15,246 8,472 568 6,457 7,080 808 418 1,669 3,211 2,673 19,798 1,109 85,057 115 3,956 166,489 1,662 6,727 492 971 15,246 8,472 568 6,457 7,080 808 418 1,669 3,211 2,673 19,798 1,109 85,057 115 3,956 178,480 1,643 7,611 678 1,144 18,111 9,659 636 5,419 8,119 1,058 420 1,673 6,507 2,013 21,457 1,029 86,711 108 4,484 193,227 1,284 6,855 571 976 20,576 9,077 530 5,587 8,658 766 310 1,704 5,407 2,314 25,258 1,221 96,988 107 5,038 204,790 r 1,911 8,439 546 1,684 24,929 11,971 755 6,427 7,616 1,226 421 2,028 6,633 2,311 20,855 1,236 99,129 r 87 6,586 183,017r 1,541 8,054 888 1,194 15,306 9,537 453 6,166 8,866 846 326 1,799 6,301 1,942 21,301 1,216 90,82 r 78 6,382 18,490 20,874 26,436 26,436 26,348 27,881 35,782 r 33,579 r 31,336 36,012 24 Latin America and Caribbean 25 Argentina 26 Bahamas 27 Bermuda 28 Brazil British West Indies 29 Chile 30 31 Colombia 32 Cuba 33 Ecuador 34 Guatemala 35 Jamaica Mexico 36 37 Netherlands Antilles 38 Panama 39 Peru 40 Uruguay 41 Venezuela 42 Other 224,229 5,854 66,410 8,533 9,583 96,373 3,820 4,004 0 682 366 258 17,749 1,404 2,198 997 503 1,832 3,663 256,944 6,439 58,818 5,741 13,297 124,037 4,864 4,550 0 825 457 323 18,024 9,229 3,008 1,829 466 1,661 3,376 274,127 7,400 71,871 4,103 17,259 105,510 5,136 6,247 0 1,031 620 345 18,425 25,209 2,786 2,720 589 1,702 3,174 274.127 7,400 71,871 4,103 17,259 105,510 5,136 6,247 0 1,031 620 345 18,425 25,209 2,786 2,720 589 1,702 3,174 271,654 6,987 62,679 4,444 17,620 108,643 5,509 6,166 0 1,079 612 336 18,323 27,675 2,796 2,867 623 1,599 3,696 275,255 6,952 66,771 5,980 17,758 110,143 5,602 6,033 0 1,134 634 336 18,297 24,250 2,911 2,944 766 1,452 3,292 261,155 6,995 67,728 6,216 17,752 98,778 5,784 6,099 0 1,155 629 366 19,516 18,926 3,110 2,510 741 1,516 3,334 282,478 6,870 68,219 8,125 17,590 111,300 5,636 6,026 0 995 633 325 20,292 25,235 3,243 2,473 682 1,558 3,276 264,380 7,237 65,546 6,596 18,588 106,921 5,745 6,041 0 1,092 619 328 19,168 14,759 3,347 2,580 735 1,710 3,368 281,329 7,297 66,664 6,951 19,152 121,962 5,598 6,320 2 1,130 651 334 19,211 14,022 3,194 2,606 721 1,778 3,736 43 Asia China 44 Mainland 45 Taiwan 46 Hong Kong 47 India Indonesia 48 49 Israel 50 Japan 51 Korea (South) 52 Philippines 53 Thailand 54 Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries 4 55 Other 107,800 115,336 122,535 122,535 121,362 127,080 124,334r 129,598 128,769 130,743 836 1,448 9,222 994 1,472 688 59,569 10,286 663 2,902 13,982 5,738 1,023 1,713 12,821 1,846 1,696 739 61,468 13,975 1,318 2,612 9,639 6,486 1,401 1,894 12,802 1,946 1,762 633 59,967 18,958 1,697 2,679 10,424 8,372 1,401 1,894 12,802 1,946 1,762 633 59,967 18,958 1,697 2,679 10,424 8,372 2,035 1,249 11,764 1,824 1,749 692 59,843 20,214 1,492 3,003 8,582 8,915 1,766 1,201 11,877 1,957 1,896 617 64,199 20,031 1,794 3,092 8,889 9,761 1,456 1,709 14,143 2,194 2,081 612 56,483 r 19,943 1,600 3,429 10,078 10,606 2,201 1,532 13,389 2,147 2,206 586 59,083 20,863 1,746 3,233 11,315 11,297 2,168 1,500 14,969 2,257 2,435 909 56,484 20,925 1,937 3,069 10,590 11,526 2,045 1,884 16,056 2,336 2,569 631 60,255 21,119 2,123 3,192 9,085 9,448 56 Africa 57 Egypt Morocco 58 South Africa 59 Zaire 60 61 Oil-exporting countries 5 Other 62 3,053 225 429 674 2 856 867 2,742 210 514 465 1 552 1,000 2,776 247 524 584 0 420 1,001 2,776 247 524 584 0 420 1,001 2,731 246 489 572 0 408 1,016 2,772 245 522 564 0 474 967 2,735 244 473 470 0 605 943 3,282 231 478 452 1 1,177 943 2,847 270 463 569 0 679 866 3,269 312 465 602 0 1,129 761 63 Other 64 Australia Other 65 3,145 2,192 953 2,467 1,622 845 5,709 4,577 1,132 5,709 4,577 1,132 5,144 3,743 1,401 5,192 3,176 2,016 6,343 4,101 2,242 6,838 4,918 1,920 6,512 4,088 2,424 6,927 5,042 1,885 66 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 6 . .. 4,591 1,931 2,604 2,604 1,772 2,255 1,506 2,288 2,332 1,923 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium and Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland France 8 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 15 Russia 16 Spain 17 Sweden 18 Switzerland 19 Turkey 20 United Kingdom 21 Yugoslavia 2 Other Europe and other former U.S.S.R.3 22 23 Canada 1. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Since December 1992, has excluded Bosnia, Croatia, and Slovenia. 3. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Since December 1992, has included all parts of the former U.S.S.R. (except Russia), and Bosnia, Croatia, and Slovenia. 4. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 5. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 6. Excludes the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Europe." A56 3.19 International Statistics • October 1997 BANKS' OWN A N D DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS' CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. Dollars Reported by Banks in the United States' Millions of dollars, end of period 1997 1996 Type of claim 1994 1996 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. 607,491 26,061 330,261 121,198 39,266 81,932 129,971 633,662 24,755 360,541 118,074 38,155 79,919 130,292 Mar. r Total 601,814 655,211 744,691 744,691 Banks' claims Foreign public borrowers Own foreign offices" Unaffiliated foreign banks Deposits Other All other foreigners 485,432 23,416 283,015 110,410 59,368 51,042 68,591 532,444 22,518 307,427 101,595 37,771 63,824 100,904 600,676 22,241 342,508 113,505 33,826 79,679 122.422 600,676 22,241 342,508 113,505 33,826 79,679 122,422 116,382 64,829 122,767 58,519 144,015 77,673 144,015 77,673 161,972 95,147 36,111 44,161 51,207 51,207 49,518 15,442 20,087 15,135 15,135 17,307 8.427 8,410 10,437 10,437 11,247 32.796 30,717 42,679 42,679 Claims of banks' domestic customers 3 Deposits Negotiable and readily transferable instruments 4 Outstanding collections and other 12 claims May June p 641,080 29,215 362,790 116,018 34,592 81,426 133,057 632,145 27,314 367,977 112,784 34,566 78,218 124,070 651,993 28,322 379,524 120,043 35,785 84,258 124,104 42,719 44,870 38,214 798,617 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Apr.r 636,645 28,898 360,340 118,396 37,284 81,112 129,011 MEMO 13 Customer liability on acceptances 14 Dollar deposits in banks abroad, reported by nonbanking business enterprises in the United States 5 47,270 38,815 principally of amounts due from the head office or parent foreign bank, and from foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of the head office or parent foreign bank. 3. Assets held by reporting banks in the accounts of their domestic customers. 4. Principally negotiable time certificates of deposit, bankers acceptances, and commercial paper. 5. Includes demand and time deposits and negotiable and nonnegotiable certificates of deposit denominated in U.S. dollars issued by banks abroad. 1. For banks' claims, data are monthly; for claims of banks' domestic customers, data are for quarter ending with month indicated. Reporting banks include all types of depository institution as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. For U.S. banks, includes amounts due from own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in quarterly Consolidated Reports of Condition filed with bank regulatory agencies. For agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks, consists 3.20 43,452 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States' Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 Maturity, by borrower and area 2 1994 1993 1997 1995 June Sept. Dec. Mar. r 1 Total 202,566 202,282 224,932 228,534 232,997 257,924 276,080 By borrower 2 Maturity of one year or less 3 Foreign public borrowers 4 All other foreigners .5 Maturity of more than one year 6 Foreign public borrowers 7 All other foreigners 172,662 17,828 154,834 29,904 10,874 19,030 170,411 15.435 154,976 31,871 7,838 24,033 178,857 14,995 163,862 46,075 7.522 38,553 185,878 14,982 170,896 42,656 8,126 34,530 189,047 16,003 173,044 43,950 6,922 37,028 211,740 15,411 196,329 46,184 6,815 39,369 223,817 19,910 203,907 52,263 8,861 43,402 57.413 7,727 60,490 41,418 1,820 3,794 56,381 6,690 59,583 40,567 1,379 5,811 55,622 6,751 72,504 40,296 1,295 2,389 57,138 6,806 78,586 38,111 1,279 3,958 58,545 8,811 79,622 37,199 1,320 3,550 55J513 8,339 103,254 38,135 1,316 5,183 75,011 10,404 96,867 36,495 1,451 3,589 5,310 2,581 14,025 5,606 1,935 447 4,358 3,505 15,717 5,323 1,583 1,385 4,995 2.751 27,681 7,941 1,421 1,286 8,189 3,689 19,538 9,234 1,410 596 7,117 3,533 21,382 9,808 1,349 761 6,928 2,645 24,917 9,392 1,361 941 9,478 2,953 26,771 10,773 1,204 1,084 8 9 10 11 12 13 By area Maturity of one year or less Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Africa All other 3 Maturity of more than one year 14 Europe 15 Canada 16 Latin America and Caribbean 17 18 Africa 19 All other 3 1. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Maturity is time remaining until maturity, 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported 3.21 CLAIMS ON FOREIGN COUNTRIES Data A57 Held by U.S. and Foreign Offices of U.S. Banks 1 Billions of dollars, end of period 1993 1997 1996 1995 Area or country 1994 Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. 409.5 499.5 545.0 531.9 535.3 551.9 574.6 612.7 586.0 645.0 647.7r 161.9 7.4 12.0 12.6 7.7 4.7 2.7 5.9 84.4 6.9 17.6 191.2 7.2 19.1 24.7 11.8 3.6 2.7 5.1 85.8 10.0 21.1 212.1 10.4 19.9 31.2 10.6 3.5 3.1 5.7 90.1 10.8 26.7 206.5 9.7 19.9 30.0 10.7 4.3 3.1 6.2 87.1 11.3 24.4 203.0 11.0 18.0 27.5 12.6 4.5 2.9 6.6 80.4 12.9 26.6 206.0 13.6 19.4 27.3 11.5 3.7 2.7 6.7 82.4 10.3 28.5 203.4 11.0 17.9 31.5 13.2 3.0 3.3 5.2 84.7 10.8 22.7 226.9 11.4 18.0 31.4 14.9 4.7 2.7 6.3 101.6 12.2 23.6 220.0 11.3 17.4 33.9 15.2 5.9 3.0 6.3 90.5 14.8 21.7 228.1 11.7 16.6 29.8 16.0 3.9 2.6 5.3 104.6 14.0 23.6 231.5r 14.1r 19.9r 32. r 14.4r 4.5r 3.4 6.0r 99.2r 16.3r 21.7 13 Other industrialized countries 14 Austria Denmark 15 16 Finland 17 Greece 18 Norway 19 Portugal Spain 20 21 Turkey Other Western Europe 22 South Africa 23 24 Australia 26.5 .7 1.0 .4 3.2 1.7 .8 9.9 2.1 3.2 1.1 2.3 45.7 1.1 1.3 .9 4.5 2.0 1.2 13.6 1.6 3.2 1.0 15.4 44.4 .9 1.7 1.1 4.9 2.4 1.0 14.1 1.4 2.8 1.5 12.6 43.3 .7 1.1 .5 5.0 1.8 1.2 13.0 1.4 2.9 1.4 14.3 50.5 1.2 1.8 .7 5.1 2.3 1.9 13.3 2.0 3.3 1.3 17.4 50.2 .9 2.6 .8 5.7 3.2 1.3 11.6 1.9 4.7 1.2 16.4 61.3 1.3 3.4 .7 5.6 2.1 1.6 17.5 2.0 3.8 1.7 21.7 55.5 1.2 3.3 .6 5.6 2.3 1.6 13.6 2.3 3.4 2.0 19.6 62.1 1.0 1.7 .6 6.1 3.0 1.4 16.1 2.8 4.8 1.7 22.8 65.7 1.1 1.5 .8 6.7 8.0 .9 13.2 2.7 4.7 2.0 24.0 66.4r 1.9 1.7r .7 6.3r 5.3 1.0 14.4r 2.7 6.3 1.9r 24.4 25 OPEC 2 26 Ecuador 27 Venezuela 28 Indonesia 29 Middle East countries African countries 30 17.6 .5 5.1 3.3 7.6 1.2 24.1 .5 3.7 3.8 15.3 .9 19.5 .5 3.5 4.0 10.8 .7 20.3 .7 3.5 4.1 11.5 .6 22.7 .7 3.0 4.4 13.9 .6 22.1 .7 2.7 4.8 13.3 .6 21.2 .8 2.9 4.7 12.3 .6 20.1 .9 2.3 4.9 11.5 .5 19.2 .9 2.3 5.4 10.1 .4 19.7 1.1 2.4 5.2 10.6 .4 21.8r 1.1 1.9 4.9 13.2 .7 31 Non-OPEC developing countries 83.2 96.0 98.5 103.7 104.1 112.6 118.6 126.4 124.1 130.1 128.1r 7.7 12.0 4.7 2.1 17.9 .4 3.1 11.2 8.4 6.1 2.6 18.4 .5 2.7 11.4 9.2 6.4 2.6 17.9 .6 2.4 12.3 10.0 7.1 2.6 17.6 .8 2.6 10.9 13.6 6.4 2.9 16.3 .7 2.6 12.9 13.7 6.8 2.9 17.3 .8 2.8 12.7 18.3 6.4 2.9 16.1 .9 3.1 14.1 21.7 6.7 2.8 15.4 1.2 3.0 15.0 17.8 6.6 3.1 16.1 1.3 3.0 14.3 20.7 7.0 4.1 16.2 1.6 3.3 14.3r 22.0r 6.8 3.7 17.2r 1.6 3.4r 2.0 7.3 3.2 .5 6.7 4.4 3.1 3.1 3.1 1.1 9.2 4.2 .4 16.2 3.1 3.3 2.1 4.7 1.1 8.5 3.8 .6 16.9 3.9 3.0 3.3 4.9 1.4 9.0 4.0 .7 18.7 4.1 3.6 3.8 3.5 1.7 9.0 4.4 .5 18.0 4.3 3.3 3.9 3.7 1.8 9.4 4.4 .5 19.1 4.4 4.1 4.9 4.5 3.3 9.7 4.7 .5 19.3 5.2 3.9 5.2 4.3 2.9 9.8 4.2 .6 21.7 5.3 4.7 5.4 4.8 2.6 10.3 3.8 .5 21.9 5.5 5.4 4.8 4.1 2.5 10.2 4.3 .5 21.5 5.9 5.8 5.7 4.1 2.7 10.5r 4.9 .6 14.6 6.5r 6.0 6.8 4.3r .4 .7 .0 .8 .3 .6 .0 .8 .4 .6 .0 .7 .4 .9 .0 .6 .4 .9 .0 .8 .4 .7 .0 .9 .5 .7 .0 .8 .5 .8 .0 .8 .6 .7 .0 1.0 .7 .7 .1 .9 .9 .6 .0 .9 3.2 1.6 1.6 2.7 .8 1.9 2.3 .7 1.7 1.8 .4 1.3 3.4 .6 2.8 4.2 1.0 3.2 6.3 1.4 4.9 5.1 1.0 4.1 5.3 1.8 3.5 6.9 3.7 3.2 8.9r 3.5r 5.4r 73.5 10.9 8.9 18.4 2.8 2.4 .1 18.8 11.2 .1 43.6 72.9 10.2 8.4 21.4 1.6 1.3 .1 20.0 10.1 .1 66.9 85.7 12.5 8.7 20.7 1.2 1.1 .1 22.5 19.2 .0 82.5 83.8 8.4 8.4 25.3 2.8 1.2 .1 23.1 14.8 .0 72.6 87.5 12.6 6.1 25.1 5.7 1.3 .1 23.7 13.3 .1 64.2 99.2 11.0 6.3 32.4 10.3 1.4 .1 25.0 13.1 .1 57.6 101.3 13.9 5.3 28.8 11.1 1.6 .1 25.3 15.4 .1 62.6 106.2 17.3 4.1 26.1 13.2 1.7 .1 27.8 15.9 .1 72.7 105.3 14.2 4.0 32.0 11.7 1.7 .1 26.2 15.4 .1 50.0 134.9 20.3 4.5 37.2 26.1 2.0 .1 28.1 16.7 .1 59.5 131.3r 20.9' 6.7 32.8r 19.9 Z.ff .1 30.8 17.9 .1 59.6r 1 Total 2 G-10 countries and Switzerland Belgium and Luxembourg 3 4 France 5 Germany 6 Italy 7 Netherlands 8 Sweden 9 Switzerland 10 United Kingdom 11 Canada Japan 12 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Other Asia China Mainland Taiwan India Korea (South) Malaysia Philippines Thailand Other Asia Africa Egypt Morocco Other Africa 3 52 Eastern Europe Russia4 53 54 Other 55 Offshore banking centers Bahamas 56 57 Bermuda 58 Cayman Islands and other British West Indies 59 Netherlands Antilles 60 Panama5 61 Lebanon 62 Hong Kong, China Singapore 63 64 Other® 65 Miscellaneous and unallocated7 1. The banking offices covered by these data include US. offices and foreign branches of U.S. banks, including U.S. banks that are subsidiaries of foreign banks. Offices not covered include U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks. Beginning March 1994, the data include large foreign subsidiaries of U.S. banks. The data also include other types of U.S. depository institutions as well as some types of brokers and dealers. To eliminate duplication, the data are adjusted to exclude the claims on foreign branches held by a U.S. office or another foreign branch of the same banking institution. These data are on a gross claims basis and do not necessarily reflect the ultimate country risk or exposure of U.S. banks. More complete data on the country risk exposure of U.S. banks are available in the quarterly Country Exposure Lending Survey published by the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council. 2. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, shown individually; other members of OPEC (Algeria, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates); and Bahrain and Oman (not formally members of OPEC). 3. Excludes Liberia. Beginning March 1994 includes Namibia. 4. As of December 1992, excludes other republics of the former Soviet Union. 5. Includes Canal Zone. 6. Foreign branch claims only. 7. Includes New Zealand, Liberia, and international and regional organizations. A58 3.22 International Statistics • October 1997 LIABILITIES TO UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Type of liability, and area or country 1993 1994 1997 1996 1995 Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. p 1 Total 50,597 54,309 46,448 46,448 49,907 48,990 51,695 54,822 54,619 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 38,728 11,869 38,298 16.011 33,903 12.545 33,903 12.545 36,273 13,634 35,385 13.605 36,465 15,230 39,003 15,819 .39,394 15,225 By type 4 Financial liabilities 5 Payable in dollars 6 Payable in foreign currencies 29,226 18,545 10,681 32,954 18,818 14,136 24,241 12.903 11,338 24,241 12,903 11,338 26,570 13,831 12,739 24,844 12,212 12,632 25,492 11,319 14,173 26,089 11,374 14,715 25,449 11.241 14,208 7 Commercial liabilities 8 Trade payables y Advance receipts and other liabilities 21,371 8,802 12,569 21,355 10,005 11,350 22,207 11,013 11,194 22,207 11,013 11,194 23,337 10,815 12,522 24,146 11,081 13,065 26,203 11,791 14,412 28,733 12,720 16,013 29,170 11,520 17,650 10 it Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 20,183 1,188 19,480 1,875 21,000 1,207 21,000 1,207 22,442 895 23,173 973 25,146 1.057 27,629 1,104 28,153 1,017 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 By area or country Financial liabilities Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 18,810 175 2.539 975 534 634 13,332 21,703 495 1,727 1,961 552 688 15,543 15,622 369 999 1,974 466 895 10,138 15,622 369 999 1,974 466 895 10,138 16,950 483 1,679 2,161 479 1,260 10,246 16,434 498 1,011 1.850 444 1,156 10,790 16,133 547 1,220 2,276 519 830 9,884 16,242 632 1,091 1,834 556 699 10,224 15.962 769 1,205 1,589 507 694 9,756 19 Canada 859 629 632 632 1,166 951 973 1,401 602 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 3,359 1,148 0 18 1,533 17 5 2,034 101 80 207 998 0 5 1,783 59 147 57 866 12 2 1,783 59 147 57 866 12 2 1,876 78 126 57 946 16 2 969 31 28 8 826 11 1 1,169 50 25 52 764 13 1 1,668 236 50 78 1,030 17 1 1,834 284 27 75 927 16 1 27 28 2y Asia Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' 5,956 4,887 23 8,403 7,314 35 5,988 5,436 27 5,988 5,436 27 6,390 5,980 26 6,351 6,051 26 6,969 6,602 25 6,400 5,846 25 6,347 5,771 72 30 31 Africa Oil-exporting countries 2 133 123 135 123 150 122 150 122 131 122 72 61 153 121 38 0 29 0 109 50 66 66 57 67 95 340 675 6,827 239 655 684 688 375 2,039 6,773 241 728 604 722 327 2,444 7.700 331 481 767 500 413 3,568 7,700 331 481 767 500 413 3,568 8,425 370 648 867 659 428 3,525 7,916 326 678 839 617 516 3,266 8.702 427 657 959 668 409 3,664 9,767 479 680 1.002 766 624 4,303 9,582 643 688 1,045 553 486 4,165 32 33 34 3b 36 37 38 3y Al! other 3 Commercial liabilities Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 40 Canada 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 48 4y 50 Asia Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' 51 52 Africa Oil-exporting countries 2 53 Other 3 879 1,037 1,040 1,040 959 998 1,145 1,090 1,070 1,658 21 350 214 27 481 123 1,857 19 345 161 23 574 276 1,740 1 205 98 56 416 221 1,740 1 205 98 56 416 221 2,110 28 570 128 10 468 243 2.301 35 509 119 10 475 283 2,396 33 355 203 15 451 341 2,574 63 297 196 14 665 328 2,573 43 479 207 14 637 318 10,980 4,314 1,534 10,741 4,555 1,576 10,42.1 3,315 1,912 10,421 3,315 1,912 10,474 3,725 1,747 11,389 3,943 1,784 12,238 4,150 1,951 13,422 4,614 2,168 13,978 4,503 2,495 453 167 428 256 619 254 619 254 708 254 924 462 1,020 490 1,040 532 1,037 479 574 519 687 687 661 618 702 840 930 1. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported Data 3.23 CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS the United States A59 Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in M i l l i o n s of dollars, e n d of p e r i o d 1996 1995 Type of claim, and area or country 1993 1994 1997 1995 Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar.p 1 Total 49,159 57,888 52,509 52,509 55,406 60,195 59,048 63,604 63,835 2 Pavable in dollars 3 Pavable in foreign currencies 45.161 3.998 53,805 4,083 48.711 3,798 48,711 3,798 51,007 4,399 55.350 4.845 53,884 5.164 58,592 5,012 58,498 5.337 By type 4 Financial claims Deposits 5 Payable in dollars 6 7 Pavable in foreign currencies Other financial claims 8 y Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 10 27,771 15,717 15.182 535 12,054 10,862 1,192 33,897 18,507 18,026 481 15.390 14,306 1,084 27,398 15.133 14,654 479 12,265 10,976 1.289 27.398 15,133 14,654 479 12.265 10,976 1.289 30,772 17,595 17.044 551 13,177 11,290 1,887 35,251 19,507 19.069 438 15.744 13.347 2,397 34,200 19,877 19.182 695 14.323 12,234 2,089 35,268 21,404 20.631 773 13,864 12,069 1.795 36.400 19,240 18,137 1,103 17,160 15,383 1.777 n Commercial claims 12 Trade receivables 13 Advance payments and other claims 21,388 18,425 2,963 23,991 21.158 2.833 25,111 22.998 2,113 25,111 22,998 2,113 24,634 22,123 2,511 24,944 22,353 2,591 24,848 22.410 2.438 28,336 25.713 2,623 27.435 24.698 2,737 14 15 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 19.117 2,271 21,473 2,518 23,081 2,030 23,081 2,030 22.673 1.961 22,934 2.010 22.468 2,380 25.892 2,444 24,978 2.457 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 By area or country Financial claims Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 7,299 134 826 526 502 530 3,585 7.936 86 800 540 429 523 4,649 7.609 193 803 436 517 498 4,303 7,609 193 803 436 517 498 4.303 8,929 159 1,015 320 486 470 5.568 10.498 151 679 296 488 461 7.426 9,777 126 733 272 520 432 6.603 9.282 185 694 276 493 474 6.119 9,317 119 761 324 567 570 6.075 23 Canada 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 31 32 33 Asia Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' 34 35 Africa Oil-exporting countries" 36 All other 3 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Commercial claims Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 2,032 3,581 2.851 2,851 5.269 4,773 4,502 3,445 4.817 16.224 1,336 125 654 12,699 872 161 19.536 2.424 27 520 15,228 723 35 14,500 1.965 81 830 10,393 554 32 14,500 1,965 81 830 10.393 554 32 13,827 1,538 77 1.019 10,100 461 40 17,644 2,168 84 1,242 13,024 392 23 17.241 1,746 1 13 1,438 12.809 413 20 19,577 1.452 140 1,468 15.182 457 31 19,453 1,894 157 1.404 14.846 517 22 1.657 892 3 1,871 953 141 1,579 871 3 1.579 871 3 1,890 1,171 13 1,571 852 9 1.834 1,001 13 2.221 1,035 22 2.068 831 12 99 1 373 0 276 5 276 5 277 5 197 5 177 13 174 14 183 14 460 600 583 583 580 568 669 569 562 9.105 184 1,947 1,018 423 432 2,377 9,540 213 1,881 1,027 311 557 2,556 9.824 231 1.830 1.070 452 520 2,656 9.824 231 1,830 1.070 452 520 2,656 9,776 247 1,803 1,410 442 579 2,607 9,842 239 1.659 1.335 481 602 2.658 9,266 213 1,532 1,240 424 590 2.515 10.424 225 1,644 1.336 561 642 2,946 9.827 364 1,514 1.360 582 405 2,625 44 Canada 1,781 1,988 1.951 1,951 2,045 2,074 2,082 2.165 2,380 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 3.274 11 182 460 71 990 293 4.117 9 234 612 83 1,24.3 348 4,364 30 272 898 79 993 285 4.364 30 272 898 79 993 285 4,151 30 273 809 106 870 308 4.347 28 264 838 103 1,021 313 4.399 14 290 963 1 19 931 316 5.264 35 275 1,291 190 1.128 357 5.048 40 159 1.201 127 1.098 330 52 53 54 Asia Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' 6.014 2.275 704 6,982 2,65.5 708 7.312 1.870 974 7,312 1,870 974 7,100 2.010 1,024 6.939 1.877 903 7,278 1,918 945 8,372 2,003 971 8,283 2,052 1,078 55 56 Africa Oil-exporting countries 2 493 72 454 67 654 87 654 87 667 107 688 83 731 142 745 166 717 100 57 Other 3 721 910 1,006 1.006 895 1.054 1.092 1,366 1,180 1. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq. Kuwait, Oman, Qatar. Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Comprises Algeria, Gabon. Libya, and Nigeria. 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A60 3.24 International Statistics • October 1997 FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS IN SECURITIES Millions of dollars Transaction, and area or country 1995 1997 1996 Jan. June Dec. 1997 1996 Jan. Mar. Apr. May June p 73.051 69.191 68.450 68.153 70.267 r 64,433' 82.604 75.655 87,060 76,826 Feb. U.S. corporate securities STOCKS 1 Foreign purchases 462.950 451.710 623,760 611.832 454,468 424.390 57,051 56.629 73,036 70,132 3 Net purchases, or sales (—) 11,240 11,928 30,078 422 2,904 3,860 297 5,834 r 6,949 10,234 4 Foreign countries 11,445 12.002 30,121 451 2,905 3.860 289 5,854 r 6,968 10,245 4.912 -1.099 -1.837 3,507 -2.283 8.066 -1.517 5.814 -337 2.503 -2.725 2 68 5.046 -2.354 1.104 1.389 2.710 4.119 2.221 5.563 -1.598 906 -372 -81 25,570 965 4.850 1.252 3.407 9.365 1.306 3.650 156 - 1.087 1.866 224 302 3.271 532 959 322 289 -134 422 1.364 -1 -2.175 -1.559 -8 32 5.486 427 1.086 - 334 784 2.950 308 405 26 -2.549 -500 58 126 2.116 -309 699 378 304 492 373 -1,433 10 -894 -253 96 21 6,686' 679 648 378 810r 3,274r 141r -1,982 203 729 1,294 -7 84 2.440 238 601 382 184 218 27 7,916 -246 1.556 1,763 4 27 i 5,571 -602 857 126 1,036 2.565 35 2.380 164 2,246 1.121 81 -232 -205 -74 -43 -29 -1 0 8 -19 -11 293,533 206,951 422.249 294.636 287.002 227,049 43.054 32.825 48.955 37,135 48,818 36.424 43.455 38,104 42.663 r 31.726' 44,479 36.358 58.632 47,302 21 Net purchases, or sales (—) 86,582 127,613 59,953 10,229 11,820 12,394 5,351 10,937 r 8,121 11,330 72 Foreign countries 87,036 127,442 59.894 10,229 11,824 12,381 5,337 10,941 r 8,213 11,198 23 4 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 37 33 34 35 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East1 Other Asia Japan Africa Other countries 70.318 1.143 5.938 1.463 494 57.591 2.569 6.141 1,869 5,659 2.250 234 246 75.722 5.124 5.164 7.440 1.053 57.590 4.197 22.901 1.637 22.715 13.644 600 -330 38.196 1.391 478 1.766 -10 32.391 2.684 6.21 i 1.504 9.916 6,591 674 709 4,770 252 -27 148 -30 4,498 391 2.940 412 1.644 1,395 79 -7 6,088 73 -274 337 -58 5.911 379 3.189 480 1.661 1.597 89 -62 9.612 290 184 125 -189 9.229 1,055 -627 691 1.231 535 243 176 4.572 340 493 105 98 2,849 390 -2.434 480 2.165 1.213 47 117 5,377'' 602 30 67 189 4.313 r 512 2.550 16 2,185 1,229 190 111 5.331 -4 145 978 -54 3,618 446 1.569 -179 874 399 44 128 7,216 90 -100 154 4 6,471 -98 1,964 16 1,800 1.618 61 239 36 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations -454 171 59 0 -4 13 14 -92 132 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East1 Other Asia Japan Africa Other countries 18 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations — 729 -1.064 -18 -160 -470 1,487 -9 994 -7 -232 - 343 10 -76 -20 BONDS2 19 Foreign purchases 20 Foreign sales 1 -4 Foreign securities 37 Stocks, net purchases, or sales ( - ) 39 Foreign sales 40 Bonds, net purchases, or sales ( - ) 41 Foreign purchases 42 Foreign sales -50.291 345.540 395.831 -48,405 889.541 937.946 -57.122 456.826 513.948 -48.793 1.1 18.678 1.167.471 -25.797 316.685 342.482 -12,288 720.975 733.263 -5,902 41,850 47.752 -10.947 99,095 110.042 -3.646 47,084 50,730 -710 109.567 1 10.277 -4.353 50.139 54.492 - 1.626 1 10.510 112.136 -3.827 47.780 51,607 -2,979 131.453 134.432 —4.089r 49.725 53,814 r 5.720r 117,761' 112,041' -4.095 57.612 61,707 -1,328 127.985 129,313 -5.787 64.345 70.132 -11.365 P3.699 135.064 -98.696 -105.915 -38,085 -16,849 -4,356 -5,979 -6.806 l,631 r -5,423 -17,152 44 Foreign countries -97,891 -105,044 -38,368 -16,838 -4.404 -6,061 -6,872 l,617 r -5,480 -17,168 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 -48.125 -7.812 -7.634 -34.056 -25.072 -327 63 -55.948 -6,279 -9.503 -27.745 -5,888 -1.529 - 4.040 -968 - 166 -17.154 -19.732 -13.447 -248 -100 -10.740 -2,269 -2.020 -773 2.218 36 -1,072 740 525 -2,264 -2,830 -332 34 -609 - 2.030 1.855 -3.417 -2,284 -2.269 -7 -178 -3,005 -110 -1.574 -1.517 -674 -74 -592 5.732 -239 -1,240 r -3.650' -2,349 -121 1,135 -13 -841 -1,286 -3,570 -2.878 15 215 -2,392 - 1,356 -7,373 -5,881 -4.945 -95 -71 -805 -871 283 -11 48 82 66 14 57 16 43 Net purchases, or sales ( —), of stocks and bonds Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Japan Africa Other countries 52 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations ... 1. Comprises oil-exporting countries as follows: Bahrain, Iran. Iraq, Kuwait. Oman. Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Includes state and local government securities and securities of US. government agencies and corporations. Also includes issues of new debt securities sold abroad by U.S. corporations organized to finance direct investments abroad. Securities Holdings and Transactions/Interest and Exchange Rates 3.25 MARKETABLE U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES A61 Foreign Transactions' M i l l i o n s of dollars; net p u r c h a s e s , o r sales (—) d u r i n g p e r i o d Area or country 1995 1997 1997 1996 Jan.June Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. 1996 May June p 1 Total estimated 134,115 244,725 132,015 47,662 20,791 30,615 22,076 25,587 r 7,752 25,194 2 Foreign countries 133,676 246,567 130,630 46,519 21,257 29,707 22,386 25,127R 7,909 24,244 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Europe Belgium and Luxembourg Germany Netherlands Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom Other Europe and former U.S.S.R Canada 49,976 591 6,136 1,891 358 -472 34,754 6,718 252 118,345 1,486 17,647 -582 2,343 327 65,381 31,743 2,389 64,699 1,986 -3,137 1,416 -1,037 937 47,956 16,578 1,591 14,778 370 1,499 855 26 -517 7,265 5,280 -780 3,403 48 556 -671 -255 241 1,936 1,548 667 17,117 657 -1,227 546 -346 992 13,423 3,072 -402 13,473 83 -3,124 343 -581 -1,431 14,242 3,941 -317 10,625 937 -1,480 1,412 -86 1.029 6,482 2,331 17 9,688 298 721 194 90 -223 6,951 1,657 348 10,393 -37 1,417 -408 141 329 4,922 4,029 1,278 1? 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Latin America and Caribbean Venezuela Other Latin America and Caribbean Netherlands Antilles 48,609 - 2 25,152 23,459 32,467 16,979 1,464 908 25,379 -69 13,026 12,422 98,001 41,390 1,085 1,368 -859 751 13,824 -15,434 64,305 32,570 415 479 15,228 212 5,292 9,724 16,744 7,593 - 2 551 9,813 - 3 6,031 3,785 8,593 4,264 29 -1,248 -762 69 1,577 -2,408 14,217 6,326 57 -520 -3,336 10 3,763 -7,109 12,227 1,747 -22 361 1,381 - 8 -2,657 4,046 13,200 6,604 -16 -80R -9,495 93 2,004 -11,592 7,537 7,657 27 -196 1,540 590 3,106 -2,156 8,531 5,972 340 2,162 439 9 261 -1,842 -1,390 -779 1,385 1,025 318 1,143 773 252 -466 -484 -1 908 530 362 -310 -384 80 -157 -172 - 2 950 1,068 -145 133,676 39,631 94,045 246,567 86,875 159,692 130,630 46,553 84,077 46,519 13,662 32,857 21,257 7,831 13,426 29,707 10,123 19,584 22,386 7,106 15,280 25,127R 7,382R 17,745 R 7,909 3,377 4,532 24,244 10,734 13,510 3,075 2 10,227 1 8,255 - 6 2,279 0 1,307 0 2,604 -1 2,533 0 2,879 1 542 - 6 -1,610 0 Japan Africa Other 20 21 22 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations International Latin American regional 73 ?4 25 Foreign countries Official institutions Other foreign 460 467 24 MEMO 76 27 Oil-exporting countries Middle East 2 1. Official and private transactions in marketable U.S. Treasury securities having an original maturity of more than one year. Data are based on monthly transactions reports. Excludes nonmarketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by official institutions of foreign countries. 3.26 2. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. DISCOUNT RATES OF FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS' P e r c e n t p e r year, a v e r a g e s of daily figures Rate on Aug. 30, 1997 Rate on Aug. 30, 1997 Country Country Month effective 2.5 2.5 3.5 3.25 3.1 Austria. . . Belgium. Canada. . Denmark . France 2 . Apr. 1996 Apr. 1995 June 1997 Nov. 1996 Jan. 1997 1. Rates shown are mainly those at which the central bank either discounts or makes advances against eligible commercial paper or government securities for commercial banks or brokers. For countries with more than one rate applicable to such discounts or advances, the rate shown is the one at which it is understood that the central bank transacts the largest proportion of its credit operations. 3.27 Germany . . . Italy Japan Netherlands . Switzerland . 2.5 6.25 .5 2.5 1.0 2. Since February 1981, the rate has been that at which the Bank of France discounts Treasury bills for seven to ten days, FOREIGN SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES' P e r c e n t p e r year, a v e r a g e s of daily figures 1997 Type or country 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Eurodollars United Kingdom Canada Germany Switzerland Netherlands France Italy Belgium Japan 1994 4.63 5.45 5.57 5.25 4.03 5.09 5.72 8.45 5.65 2.24 1995 5.93 6.63 7.14 4.43 2.94 4.30 6.43 10.43 4.73 1.20 1996 5.38 5.99 4.49 3.21 1.92 2.91 3.81 8.79 3.19 .58 1. Rates are for three-month interbank loans, with the following exceptions: Canada, finance company paper; Belgium, three-month Treasury bills; and Japan, CD rate. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 5.36 6.16 3.16 3.08 1.61 2.95 3.22 7.33 3.10 .54 5.50 6.17 3.25 3.16 1.77 3.12 3.26 7.40 3.40 .55 5.70 6.35 3.49 3.14 1.76 3.15 3.28 7.09 3.22 .55 5.69 6.41 3.35 3.09 1.51 3.15 3.37 6.82 3.22 .58 5.66 6.63 3.30 3.05 1.25 3.14 3.30 6.85 3.23 .60 5.61 6.93 3.57 3.06 1.43 3.17 3.27 6.87 3.39 .67 Aug. 5.58 7.12 3.67 3.19 1.39 3.40 3.31 6.85 3.55 .58 A62 3.28 International Statistics • October 1997 FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES 1 Currency units per dollar except as noted 1997 Country/currency unit 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Australia/dollar Austria/schilling Belgium/franc Canada/dollar China, P.R./yuan Denmark/krone Finland/markka France/franc Germany/deutsche mark Greece/drachma 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Hong Kong/dollar India/rupee Ireland/pound 2 Italy/lira Japan/yen Malaysia/ringgit Netherlands/guilder New Zealand/dollar 2 Norway/krone Portugal/escudo 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Singapore/dollar South Africa/rand South Korea/won Spain/peseta Sri Lanka/rupee Sweden/krona Switzerland/franc Taiwan/dollar Thailand/baht United Kingdom/pound 2 1994 1995 1996 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 73.161 11.409 33.426 1.3664 8.6397 6.3561 5.2340 5.5459 1.6216 242.50 74.073 10.076 29.472 1.3725 8.3700 5.5999 4.3763 4.9864 1.4321 231.68 78.283 10.589 30.970 1.3638 8.3389 5.8003 4.5948 5.1158 1.5049 240.82 78.747 11.932 34.961 1.3725 8.3258 6.4628 5.0632 5.7154 1.6946 266.86 77.868 12.050 35.328 1.3942 8.3257 6.5226 5.1375 5.7672 1.7119 270.58 77.510 11.998 35.188 1.3804 8.3229 6.4926 5.1444 5.7482 1.7048 271.95 75.422 12.158 35.65 l r 1.3843r 8.3224 6.5804 5.1794 5.8293 r 1.7277r 273.83 74.199 12.620 37.040 1.3775 8.3162 6.8317 5.3164 6.0511 1.7939 281.43 74.036 12.946 38.011 1.3905 8.3187 7.0109 5.5046 6.2010 1.8400 288.41 7.7290 31.394 149.69 1,611.49 102.18 2.6237 1.8190 59.358 7.0553 165.93 7.7357 32.418 160.35 1,629.45 93.96 2.5073 1.6044 65.625 6.3355 149.88 7.7345 35.506 159.95 1,542.76 108.78 2.5154 1.6863 68.765 6.4594 154.28 7.7460 35.885 156.57 1,691.21 122.77 2.4773 1.9071 69.789 6.7915 170.35 7.7483 35.828 155.05 1,694.52 125.64 2.5028 1.9256 69.220 6.9932 171.77 7.7431 35.825 151.11 1,684.33 119.19 2.5070 1.9173 69.097 7.0797 171.72 7.7445 35.820 150.60 1,694.54' 114.29r 2.5167 1.9438r 68.713 7.2240 174.56 7.7454 35.747 149.45 1,745.91 115.38 2.5815 2.0201 66.097 7.4545 181.20 7.7436 36.009 145.34 1,797.12 117.93 2.7589 2.0709 64.211 7.6224 186.50 1.5275 3.5526 806.93 133.88 49.170 7.7161 1.3667 26.465 25.161 153.19 1.4171 3.6284 772.69 124.64 51.047 7.1406 1.1812 26.495 24.921 157.85 1.4100 4.3011 805.00 126.68 55.289 6.7082 1.2361 27.468 25.359 156.07 1.4378 4.4319 882.62 143.72 57.873 7.6502 1.4634 27.551 25.959 160.96 1.4417 4.4417 895.57 144.48 58.826 7.6942 1.4618 27.629 26.064 162.93 1.4368 4.4668 894.67 143.93 58.862 7.6856 1.4331 27.791 25.751 163.22 1.4271 4.5005 891.40 145.98 58.531 7.7506 r 1.4424r 27.903 24.534 164.49r 1.4521 4.5611 893.09 151.33 58.732 7.8188 1.4824 28.032 30.274 166.94 1.4977 4.6856 898.71 155.51 59.189 7.9886 1.5128 28.824 32.399 160.35 84.25 87.34 95.60 MEMO 31 United States/dollar 3 91.32 1. Averages of certified noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.5 (405) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Value in U.S. cents. 96.39 95.29 95.42 r 97.48 99.96 3. Index of weighted-average exchange value of U.S. dollar against the currencies of ten industrial countries. The weight for each of the ten countries is the 1972-76 average world trade of that country divided by the average world trade of all ten countries combined. Series revised as of August 1978 (see Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 64 (August 1978), p. 700). A63 Guide to Statistical Releases and Special Tables STATISTICAL RELEASES—List Published Semiannually, with Latest Bulletin Reference Anticipated schedule of release dates for periodic releases Issue June 1997 Page A72 Issue Page November February May September 1996 1997 1997 1997 A100 A64 A64 A64 November February May October 1996 1997 1997 1997 A104 A68 A68 A64 November February May August 1996 1997 1997 1997 A108 A72 A72 A64 October January July October 1996 1997 1997 1997 A64 A64 A64 A68 December May August March 1991 1992 1992 1993 A79 A81 A83 A71 September 1995 September 1996 September 1997 A68 A68 A68 September 1997 A76 SPECIAL TABLES—Data Published Irregularly, with Latest Bulletin Reference Title and Date Assets and liabilities of commercial June 30, 1996 September 30, 1996 December 31, 1996 March 31, 1997 Terms of lending at commercial August 1996 November 1996 February 1997 May 1997 banks banks Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies June 30, 1996 September 30, 1996 December 31, 1996 March 31, 1997 of foreign banks Pro forma balance sheet and income statements for priced service June 30, 1996 September 30, 1996 March 31, 1997 June 30, 1997 Assets and liabilities of life insurance June 30, 1991 September 30, 1991 December 31, 1991 September 30, 1992 Residential 1994 1995 1996 lending reported Disposition 1996 of applications companies under the Home Mortgage for private operations mortgage Disclosure Act insurance A64 4.23 Special Tables • October 1997 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, May 5 - 9 , 1997 A. Commercial and industrial loans made by all commercial banks' Weightedaverage effective loan rate (percent)2 Amount of loans (millions of dollars) Average loan size (thousands of dollars) Amount of loans (percent) Weightedaverage maturity 3 Days Secured by collateral Subject to prepayment penalty Made under commitment 31.0 59.5 30.6 23.1 35.5 72.1 67.3 53.6 79.6 87.8 L O A N RISK 1 All consumer and industrial loans 2 Minimal risk 3 Low risk 4 Moderate risk 5 Acceptable risk By maturity/repricing 6 Zero interval 7 Minimal risk 8 Low risk 9 Moderate risk 10 Acceptable risk 6.82 6.10 6.24 7.05 7.49 113,807 11,450 28.086 36,639 19,762 692 1,306 1,461 602 514 15,714 280 2,214 6,014 5,495 213 184 317 5,820 26,589 241 38 32.4 21.4 29.0 33.0 42.0 22.5 31.3 21.8 23.6 19.7 490 230 374 518 57.9 41.6 41.4 65.0 56.3 21.5 35.8 19.6 22.4 22.6 22.4 21.9 26.4 20.1 14.7 26.0 26.8 26.8 35.2 13.8 29.8 59.5 23.6 21.4 38.1 57.5 4,936 2,918 37 14 33 36 108 168 297 324 interval6 8.79 7.46 8.58 186 267 7.5 11.8 5.9 6.3 10.6 95.5 95.4 92.4 87.7 11 Daily 12 Minimal risk 13 Low risk 14 Moderate risk 15 Acceptable risk 6.20 5.95 5.96 6.43 6.33 53,142 9,411 16,567 15,855 5,433 16 2 to 30 days 17 Minimal risk 18 Low risk 19 Moderate risk 20 Acceptable risk 6.80 6.20 6.36 6.91 7.54 15,608 1,088 2,955 4,822 3,133 890 2,273 1,796 761 591 225 38 267 319 259 28.8 6.6 18.3 29.9 52.1 24.4 83.0 15.7 16.0 17.4 46.5 82.7 38.3 30.9 58.7 81.8 94.9 67.0 82.6 94.9 21 31 to 365 days 22 Minimal risk 23 Low risk 24 Moderate risk 25 Acceptable risk 6.86 6.89 6.42 6.85 7.26 21,841 616 5,520 7,895 5,154 599 129 879 652 746 364 189 305 334 359 35.0 25.5 37.7 25.8 45.9 12.1 4.7 6.8 6.9 25.0 44.3 44.9 56.5 37.2 49.2 87.5 80.8 87.4 87.6 86.3 26 More than 365 days 27 Minimal risk . . . 28 Low risk 29 Moderate risk . . 30 Acceptable risk. . 8.26 9.26 8.38 8.69 8.78 3,035 41 230 1,548 424 69.6 89.4 60.3 84.2 72.7 12.7 21.9 5.6 10.0 3.8 8.0 16.5 .5 10.8 9.3 51.5 27.0 57.3 29,2 66.2 31.8 24.2 16.7 24.1 4.5 15.1 32.8 33.5 75.2 8.188 208 26 110 269 222 Weightedaverage risk rating 5 62.6 32.7 74.2 87.2 Weightedaverage maturity/ repricing interval 6 Days SIZE OF L O A N 31 32 33 34 1-99 100-999 1,000-9,999 10,000+ 35 36 37 38 39 7 9.82 8.75 7.15 6.32 2,799 9,843 27,820 73,346 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.5 202 92 63 47 84.4 70.0 36.4 23.8 9.13 6.14 6.29 16,746 43,971 10,154 29,674 13,263 3.3 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.0 165 6 70 53 116 73.3 88.1 83.7 65.5 B A S E R A T E OF L O A N 4 Prime Fed funds Other domestic Foreign Other Footnotes appear at the end of the table. 6.60 7.01 23.7 6.1 21.1 28.2 11.0 41.8 10.1 14.8 26.2 27.8 60.9 13.3 36.5 25.0 82.9 50.8 67.2 94.2 83.8 Financial Markets 4.23 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS A65 Survey of Loans Made. May 5 - 9 , 1997 B. Commercial and industrial loans made by large domestic banks' Weightedaverage effective loan rate (perceni)" Amount of loans (millions of dollars) 7.05 8.11 44.201 754 8,519 16,720 6.837 912 1,891 3.558 1.067 420 8.19 8.25 6.87 8.34 8.46 9.607 127 ) .364 3.765 3.348 11 Daily 12 Minimal risk . 13 Low risk 14 Moderate risk . 15 Acccptable risk 6.32 5.97 6.00 6.38 7.31 16 2 to 30 days . . . . 17 Minimal risk . . 18 Low risk 19 Moderate risk . 20 Acccptable risk 6.99 Average loan size (thousands of dollars) Amount of loans (percent) Weightedaverage maturity Most common base pricing rate Secured by collateral Callable Subject to prepayment penalty 378 313 397 409 424 35.7 15.9 40.6 39.2 45.1 27.9 9.4 56.0 31.0 10.2 9.0 67.6 10.4 8.3 8.1 65.0 93.9 51.3 67.1 80.9 Fed funds Domestic Fed funds Prime Prime 378 770 1,472 356 335 421 189 271 463 377 50.3 21.8 34.3 57.3 48.9 13.4 1 1.7 10.0 18.1 13.1 5.5 22.9 6.3 6.9 3.7 88.2 99.0 96.9 94.5 87.2 Prime Other Other Prime Pri me 16,396 358 4,571 6.338 590 4.480 4.855 7,114 5,847 654 109 339 263 79 552 32.3 .0 53.5 32.9 39.9 49.6 1 1.5 81.9 55.1 11.3 6.0 83.3 4.3 5.2 80 38.7 88.4 19.4 49.9 75.9 Fed funds Domestic Fed funds Fed funds Domestic 6.389 918 2.052 3,400 1,478 436 372 266 500 417 474 29.7 36.6 16.3 29.6 50.8 16.1 30.0 16.6 13.1 12.9 51.8 12.3 12.3 19.6 72.7 97.5 76.9 73.6 92.6 Domestic Foreign Domestic Domestic Prime 2,367 2.314 2,562 2.316 1.856 515 351 493 467 247 20.5 31.2 28.4 17.2 27.2 7.8 9.5 11.7 10.0 1.5 14.8 78.8 25.7 11.3 9.4 75.7 100.0 83.1 75.6 58.0 Foreign Domestic Foreign Foreign Foreign 64.8 98.9 39.8 82.8 61.4 10.7 1.6 10.0 99.0 .4 13.0 [3.7 53.9 84.9 69.9 27.9 73.0 Prime Prime Other Prime Prime 82.9 67.2 33.8 29.4 40.0 21.1 14.1 35.4 5.1 8.3 13.9 6.9 90.4 90.7 79.0 52.8 Prime Prime Ol helped funds Days Made under commitment LOAN RISK- 1 All consumer and industrial loans 2 Minimal risk Low risk Moderate risk Acceptable risk 6 7 8 9 10 By malurity/rcpricing Zero interval Minimal risk Low risk Moderate risk Acceptable risk 6.60 6.28 7.16 interval ' 6.15 108 6.38 6.94 7.95 1.113 2.367 1,154 21 31 to 365 days Minimal risk . . Low risk Moderate risk . Acceptable risk. 6.99 6.95 6.55 6.91 7.57 6,220 26 More than 365 days 27 Minimal risk . . . 28 Low risk 29 Moderate risk . . 30 Acceptable risk. . 7.94 8.59 7.89 8.53 8.63 2.142 3 125 158 767 2,621 1.364 1.180 296 2,148 2.931 789 Weightedaverage risk rating'' Weightedaverage maturity/ repricing interval'' Days SIZE OF LOAN 31 32 33 34 1-99 100-999 1.000-9,999 10.000+ 9.53 8.83 7.32 6.51 884 4.641 12,621 3.6 3.4 26,054 Average size (thousands of dollars) BASE RATE OF L O A N 4 35 36 37 38 39 Prime' Fed funds Other domestic Foreign Other Footnotes appear at the end of the table. 8.91 6.19 6.27 6.91 6.83 9,863 10,659 8,173 6.465 9,041 3.3 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.0 229 6 73 103 51 69.3 43.3 11.1 25.0 20.0 18.3 56.1 39.9 6.7 6.3 6.3 1.9 17.5 17.9 8.8 81.2 27.5 60.7 80.1 84.8 244 10.988 5.645 2.665 2.227 A66 4.23 Special Tables • October 1997 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, May 5 - 9 , 1997 C. Commercial and industrial loans made by small domestic banks' Weightedaverage effective loan rate (percent) - Amount of loans (millions of dollars) Average loan size (thousands of dollars) 13.374 524 3.237 3,913 2,711 65 217 95 141 Amount of loans (percent) Weightedaverage^ maturity"1 Subject to prepayment penalty- Secured by collateral Made under commitment LOAN R I S K 5 1 All consumer and industrial loans 2 Minimal risk 3 Low risk 4 Moderate risk 5 Acceptable risk By maturity/repricing 6 Zero interval 7 Minimal risk 8 Low risk 9 Moderate risk 10 Acceptable risk 7.96 8.43 7.16 8.26 8.30 126 487 360 321 594 501 57.2 47.8 39.6 62.5 73.9 20.9 36.8 12.5 16.4 22.9 23.9 14.6 34.7 24.3 66.8 64.5 54.6 21.8 76.3 80.8 69.0 70.0 86.8 82.4 30.3 50.6 25.6 27.5 32.6 5.5 125 524 275 650 557 417 4.9 5.6 8.7 85.5 91.1 91.3 85.2 79.5 654 544 1,077 506 565 62 9 17 79 66 24.1 4.7 14.1 14.7 26.7 4.2 20.4 373 138 237 585 510 46.0 25.5 32.1 53.2 74.7 29.1 63.1 15.3 21.7 22.9 23.0 14.6 70.9 74.6 42.3 85.7 89.6 490 259 356 545 672 56.3 62.0 43.4 52.2 80.5 18.2 9.3 13.9 2.6 17.6 17.5 9.6 18.7 17.5 27.8 76.8 34.2 72.9 58.5 96.9 80.9 88.6 85.0 88.9 98.8 14.4 22.3 15.1 7.8 8.7 3.9 272 177 176 35 86.1 83.6 57.4 21.4 28.0 28.1 23.3 8.3 3.6 6.9 13.7 59.6 67.2 81.3 83.4 38.3 97 30 257 104 487 83.3 30.8 7.5 59.1 13.3 13.4 5.0 84.5 81.7 12.9 76.3 90.9 68.2 61.1 b inter\'al 9.15 9.78 8.93 9.09 9.31 4.278 6.48 6.50 2,640 72 920 128 605 1,692 1,203 94 97 107 82 11 Daily 12 Minimal risk 13 Low risk 14 Moderate risk 15 Acceptable risk 6.45 6.50 16 2 to 30 days 17 Minimal risk 18 Low risk 19 Moderate risk 20 Acceptable risk 7.81 8.13 6.94 8.33 8.24 1,415 160 126 314 497 79 2131 22 23 24 25 7.48 8.32 7.08 7.89 7.40 3.259 148 1.115 635 691 9.04 9.31 8.97 9.17 9.13 38 104 369 129 to 365 days Minimal risk Low risk Moderate risk Acceptable risk 26 More than 365 day> 27 Minimal risk . . 28 Low risk 29 Moderate risk . 30 Acceptable risk. 6.01 861 403 473 315 250 111 108 32 207 68 141 Weightedaverage risk rating 5.4 2.6 .1 71.1 78.4 75.9 80.9 64.0 .2 39.6 11.1 12.2 28.1 78.1 15.1 16.4 35.5 45.7 22.6 41.9 33.6 50.6 Weightedaverage maturity/ repricing interval'' Days SIZE OF LOAN 31 32 33 34 1-99 100-999 1,000-9.999 10,000+ 35 36 37 38 39 7 10.01 9.16 7.64 6.30 1.849 3.523 3,901 4.100 3.0 2.9 2.7 BASE RATE OF L O A N 4 Prime Fed funds Other domestic Foreign Other Footnotes appear at the end of the table. 9.51 6.02 7.12 6.81 7.96 5.427 2.729 420 2.441 2,356 3.1 2.7 2.0 3.0 2.8 12.6 36.2 47.6 62.6 17.2 4.5 Financial Markets 4.23 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS A67 Survey of Loans Made, May 5-9, 1997 D . C o m m e r c i a l a n d i n d u s t r i a l l o a n s m a d e b y U.S. b r a n c h e s a n d a g e n c i e s o f f o r e i g n b a n k s ' Weightedaverage effective loan rate (percent) 2 Amount of loans (millions of dollars) Average loan size (thousands of dollars) Amount of loans (percent) Weightedaverage maturity 3 Days Subject to prepayment penalty Secured by collateral Made under commitment LOAN RISK 6.37 5.95 6.03 6.63 6.85 56,233 10,172 16,330 16,006 10,215 5,548 36,351 8,425 4,094 3,448 8.42 6.51 7.11 8.63 8.63 1,829 25 245 557 944 11 Daily 12 Minimal risk 13 Low risk 14 Moderate risk 15 Acceptable risk 6.12 5.94 5.94 6.47 16 2 to 30 days 17 Minimal risk 18 Low risk 19 Moderate risk 20 Acceptable risk 21 31 to 365 days 22 Minimal risk 23 Low risk 24 Moderate risk 25 Acceptable risk 1 All consumer and industrial loans 2 Minimal risk 3 Low risk Moderate risk 4 5 Acceptable risk By maturity/repricing 6 Zero interval 7 Minimal risk Low risk 8 Moderate risk 9 10 Acceptable risk 19.0 32.6 6.3 17.7 25.1 47.8 220 23.8 20.4 20.9 19.3 31.5 39.9 37.2 56.2 79.0 65.5 54.7 97.3 95.6 644 558 557 509 952 876 176 332 995 949 44.2 2.0 10.3 50.8 49.7 42.9 81.3 58.4 36.2 43.3 22.3 16.3 6.2 5.3 37.8 99.5 100.0 96.6 100.0 100.0 23,749 60,629 21,028 20,227 17,987 10 17.6 22.9 16.3 6.18 34,107 8,982 11,076 8,656 4,441 10.2 17.2 27.5 6.3 23.5 15.2 36.7 58.4 27.0 26.5 39.3 61.4 39.6 97.7 93.5 6.47 7,804 4,505 25.0 30.1 76.2 91.2 6.14 6.68 7.17 1,369 2,140 1,729 3,738 2,954 4,203 179 94 15.1 26.8 49.6 4.2 14.5 19.4 59.1 53.2 89.2 67.5 92.1 97.2 6.64 12,362 309 3.638 4.639 3,099 3.262 5,367 6,096 2,847 2,421 259 72 251 232 3.38 36.7 5.2 37.9 27.1 46.5 3.5 5.8 37.0 64.5 44.5 74.3 53.9 67.8 96.2 93.3 92.7 98.4 96.4 Weightedaverage risk rating 5 Weightedaverage maturity/ repricing interval 6 33.9 24.2 17.3 19.2 19.2 48.3 57.0 45.4 32.9 20.7 46.4 10.8 49.9 9.5 29.4 77.6 75.9 39.9 118 61.2 interval6 6.18 6.20 6.68 7.09 2 2 3 57 11.2 * 26 More than 365 days 27 Minimal risk . . . 28 Low risk 29 Moderate risk 30 Acceptable r i s k . . Days SIZE OF L O A N 31 32 33 34 1-99 100-999 1.000-9,999 10,000+ 35 36 37 38 39 Prime 7 Fed funds Other domestic Foreign Other 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.4 56.3 49.1 6.20 66 1,679 11,297 43,191 9.22 6.14 6.19 6.48 6.67 1,457 30,582 1,561 20,768 1,865 3.5 2.3 3.2 2.6 3.3 62.7 14.2 3.6 38.8 8.46 7.66 6.78 32.1 20.6 94.5 95.4 89.0 75.7 B A S E R A T E OF L O A N 4 NOTE. This table has been revised to reflect several changes in the E.2 statistical release. First, business loan pricing information is now disaggregated by risk categories for most loans. Second, the previous disaggregation of loans by maturity categories has been replaced by a "maturity/repricing interval," which measures the period from the day the loan is made until it is next scheduled to reprice (for loans that reprice), or the period from the day the loan is made until it is scheduled to mature (for loans that do not reprice). Third, information on whether loans are callable or subject to prepayment penalties is now being collected and published. In addition to these new loan characteristics, the survey now includes gross business loan extensions of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. 1. As of December 31, 1996, assets of most of the large banks were at least $7.0 billion. Median total assets for all insured banks were roughly $62 million. Assets at all U.S. branches and agencies averaged 1.3 billion. 2. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loans and weighted by loan amount. The standard error of the loan rate for all commercial and industrial loans in the current survey (line 1, column 1) is 0.11 percentage points. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of the universe of all banks. 3. Average maturities are weighted by loan amount and exclude loans with no stated maturities. 4. The most common base pricing rate is that used to price the largest dollar volume of loans. Base pricing rates include the prime rate (sometimes referred to as a bank's "base" or "reference" rate); the federal funds rate; domestic money market rates other than the prime rate and the federal funds rate; foreign money market rates; and other base rates not included http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ in the foregoing classifications. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1.6 5. A complete description of these risk categories is available from the Banking and Money Market Statistics Section, Mail Stop 81, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. The category "Moderate risk" includes the average loan, under average economic conditions, at the typical lender. The category "Acceptable risk" may include a small volume of special mention or classified loans. The weighted-average risk ratings published for loans in rows 31-39 are calculated by assigning a value of "1" to minimal risk loans; "2" to low risk loans; "3" to moderate risk loans, "4" to acceptable risk loans; and "5" to special mention and classified loans. These values are weighted by loan amount and exclude loans with no risk rating. Some of the loans in lines 1,6, 11, 16, 21, 26, and 31-39 are not rated for risk. 6. The maturity/repricing interval measures the period from the date the loan is made until it first may reprice or it matures. For floating-rate loans that are subject to repricing at any time—such as many prime-based loans—the maturity/repricing interval is zero. For floating-rate loans that have a scheduled repricing interval, the maturity/repricing interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it is next scheduled to reprice. For loans having rates that remain fixed until the loan matures (fixed-rate loans), the maturity/repricing interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it matures. Loans that reprice daily mature or reprice on the business day after they are made. Owing to weekends and holidays, such loans may have maturity/repricing intervals in excess of one day; such loans are not included in the "2 to 30 day" category. 7. For the current survey, the average reported prime rate, weighted by the amount of loans priced relative to a prime base rate, was 8.54 percent for all banks; 8.50 percent for large domestic banks, 8.62 percent for small domestic banks; and 8.50 percent for U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. A68 4.31 Special Tables • October 1997 PRO FORMA FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR FEDERAL RESERVE PRICED SERVICES A. Pro forma balance sheet Millions of dollars Item Short-term assets (Note 1) Imputed reserve requirement on clearing balances Investment in marketable securities Receivables Materials and supplies Prepaid expenses Items in process of collection June 30, 1997 June 30, 1996 663.5 5.971.5 64.1 2.9 24.5 2.905.6 603.0 5,427.0 61.9 11.0 24.6 2,154.8 9,632.2 Total short-term assets Long-term assets (Note 2) Premises Furniture and equipment Leases and leasehold improvements Prepaid pension costs 377.1 149.5 21.2 266.3 385.1 136.3 33.2 318.6 Total long-term assets Total assets Short-term liabilities Clearing balances and balances arising from early credit of uncollected items Deferred-availability items Short-term debt 873.3 814.0 10,505.4 9,096.3 7,049.4 2,491.2 91.5 6,093.5 2,091.2 97.5 Total short-term liabilities Long-term liabilities Obligations under capital leases Long-term debt Postretirement/postemployment benefits obligation .7 187.6 186.5 2.3 181.0 183.7 374.8 367.0 10,006.9 8,649.2 498.5 447.1 10,505.4 9,096.3 Equity Total liabilities and equity (Note 3) NOTE. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding. The priced services financial statements consist of these tables and the accompanying notes. ( 1 ) SHORT-TERM A S S E T S The imputed reserve requirement on clearing balances held at Reserve Banks by depository institutions reflects a treatment comparable to that of compensating balances held at correspondent banks by respondent institutions. The reserve requirement imposed on respondent balances must be held as vault cash or as nonearning balances maintained at a Reserve Bank; thus, a portion of priced services clearing balances held with the Federal Reserve is shown as required reserves on the asset side of the balance sheet. The remainder of clearing balances is assumed to be invested in three-month Treasury bills, shown as investment in marketable securities. Receivables are (1) amounts due the Reserve Banks for priced services and (2) the share of suspense-account and difference-account balances related to priced services. Materials and supplies are the inventory value of short-term assets. Prepaid expenses include salary advances and travel advances for priced-service personnel. Items in process of collection is gross Federal Reserve cash items in process of collection (CIPC) stated on a basis comparable to that of a commercial bank. It reflects adjustments for intra-System items that would otherwise be double-counted on a consolidated Federal Reserve balance sheet; adjustments for items associated with non-priced items, such as those collected for government agencies; and adjustments for items associated with providing fixed availability or credit before items are received and processed. Among the costs to be recovered under the Monetary Control Act is the cost of float, or net CIPC during the period (the difference between gross CIPC and deferred-availability items which is the portion of gross CIPC that involves a financing cost), valued at the federal funds rate. 8,282.2 9,632.2 Total long-term liabilities Total liabilities 8,282.2 (2) LONG-TERM ASSETS Consists of long-term assets used solely in priced services, the priced-services portion of long-term assets shared with nonpriced services, and an estimate of the assets of the Board of Governors used in the development of priced services. Effective Jan. 1, 1987, the Reserve Banks implemented the Financial Accounting Standards Board's Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 87, Employers' Accounting for Pensions (SFAS 87). Accordingly, the Federal Reserve Banks recognized credits to expenses of $15.6 million in the second quarter of 1997, $15.6 million in the first quarter of 1997, $12.0 million in the second quarter of 1996, and $12.2 million in the first quarter of 1996, and corresponding increases in this asset account. ( 3 ) LIABILITIES AND EQUITY Under the matched-book capital structure for assets that are not "self-financing," short-term assets are financed with short-term debt. Long-term assets are financed with long-term debt and equity in a proportion equal to the ratio of long-term debt to equity for the fifty largest bank holding companies, which are used in the model for the private-sector adjustment factor (PSAF). The PSAF consists of the taxes that would have been paid and the return on capital that would have been provided had priced services been furnished by a private-sector firm. Other short-term liabilities include clearing balances maintained at Reserve Banks and deposit balances arising from float. Other long-term liabilities consist of obligations on capital leases. Nonbank-Reported 4.31 Data A69 PRO FORMA FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR FEDERAL RESERVE PRICED SERVICES B. Pro forma income statement Millions of dollars Quarter ending June 30, 1997 Revenue from services provided to depository institutions (Note 4) Operating expenses (Note 5) Quarter ending June 30, 1996 164.8 196.0 162.3 31.0 33.7 195.8 Income from operations Inputed costs (Note 6) Interest on float Interest on debt Sales taxes FDIC insurance 1.8 1.1 4.4 2.3 0.5 4.3 2.6 0.0 8.0 25.7 Income from operations after imputed costs Other income and expenses (Note 7) Investment income on clearing balances Earnings credits 91.7 87.6 75.7 68.6 7.1 Income before income taxes Inputed income taxes (Note 8) 32.8 Net income 23.0 9.8 MEMO 10.7 Targeted return on equity (Note 9) Six months ending June 30, 1997 Revenue from services provided to depository institutions (Note 4) Operating expenses (Note 5) Six months ending June 30, 1996 388.9 328.1 Income from operations Imputed costs (Note 6) Interest on float Interest on debt Sales taxes FDIC insurance 390.1 323.4 11.8 8.6 4.9 1.0 Income from operations after imputed costs Other income and expenses (Note 7) Investment income on clearing balances Earnings credits 5.4 20.8 0.0 180.1 147.2 134.0 165.8 25.8 40.9 39.9 13.2 Income before income taxes Imputed income taxes (Note 8) 54.2 17.4 16.2 Net income 36.8 37.9 27.1 21.0 MEMO Targeted return on equity (Note 9) NOTE. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding. The priced services financial statements consist of these tables and the accompanying notes. (4) REVENUE Revenue represents charges to depository institutions for priced services and is realized from each institution through one of two methods: direct charges to an institution's account or charges against its accumulated earnings credits. ( 5 ) OPERATING EXPENSES Operating expenses consist of the direct, indirect, and other general administrative expenses of the Reserve Banks for priced services plus the expenses for staff members of the Board of Governors working directly on the development of priced services. The expenses for Board staff members were $0.7 million in the first and second quarters of 1997 and 1996. The credit to expenses under SFAS 87 (see note 2) is reflected in operating expenses. ( 6 ) IMPUTED COSTS Imputed costs consist of interest on float, interest on debt, sales taxes, and the FDIC assessment. Interest on float is derived from the value of float to be recovered, either explicitly or through per-item fees, during the period. Float costs include costs for checks, book-entry securities, noncash collection, ACH, and funds transfers. Interest is imputed on the debt assumed necessary to finance priced-service assets. The sales taxes and FDIC assessment that the Federal Reserve would have paid had it been a private-sector firm are among the components of the PSAF (see note 3). The following list shows the daily average recovery of float by the Reserve Banks for the second quarter of 1997 and 1996 in millions of dollars: Total float Unrecovered float Float subject to recovery Sources of float recovery Income on clearing balances As-of adjustments Direct charges Per-item fees 1997 1996 404.1 20.1 384.0 413.4 15.4 398.0 38.0 251.9 83.2 10.9 40.3 318.4 107.7 (68.5) 54.1 Unrecovered float includes float generated by services to government agencies and by other central bank services. Float recovered through income on clearing balances is the result of the increase in investable clearing balances; the increase is produced by a deduction for float for cash items in process of collection, which reduces imputed reserve requirements. The income on clearing balances reduces the float to be recovered through other means. As-of adjustments and direct charges are mid-week closing float and interterritory check float, which may be recovered from depositing institutions through adjustments to the institution's reserve or clearing balance or by valuing the float at the federal funds rate and billing the institution directly. Float recovered through per-item fees is valued at the federal funds rate and has been added to the cost base subject to recovery in the second quarters of 1997 and 1996. ( 7 ) OTHER INCOME AND EXPENSES Consists of investment income on clearing balances and the cost of earnings credits. Investment income on clearing balances represents the average coupon-equivalent yield on three-month Treasury bills applied to the total clearing balance maintained, adjusted for the effect of reserve requirements on clearing balances. Expenses for earnings credits granted to depository institutions on their clearing balances are derived by applying the average federal funds rate to the required portion of the clearing balances, adjusted for the net effect of reserve requirements on clearing balances. ( 8 ) INCOME TAXES Imputed income taxes are calculated at the effective tax rate derived from the PSAF model (see note 3). ( 9 ) RETURN ON EQUITY Represents the after-tax rate of return on equity that the Federal Reserve would have earned had it been a private business firm, as derived from the PSAF model (see note 3). This amount is adjusted to reflect the recovery of automation consolidation costs of $1.9 million for the second quarter of 1997, $2.3 million for the first quarter of 1997, $1.6 million for the second quarter of 1996, and $1.2 million for the first quarter of 1996. The Reserve Banks plan to recover these amounts, along with a finance charge, by the end of the year 2001. A70 Index to Statistical Tables References are to pages A3-A69 although the prefix 'A" is omitted in this index ACCEPTANCES, bankers (See Bankers acceptances) Assets and liabilities (See also Foreigners) Commercial banks, 15-21 Domestic finance companies, 32, 33 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Foreign-related institutions, 20 Automobiles Consumer credit, 36 Production, 44, 45 BANKERS acceptances, 5, 10, 22, 23 Bankers balances, 15-21. (See also Foreigners) Bonds (See also U.S. government securities) New issues, 31 Rates, 23 Business activity, nonfinancial, 42 Business loans (See Commercial and industrial loans) CAPACITY utilization, 43 Capital accounts Commercial banks, 15-21 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Central banks, discount rates, 61 Certificates of deposit, 23 Commercial and industrial loans Commercial banks, 15-21, 64-67 Weekly reporting banks, 17, 18 Commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 15-21 Commercial and industrial loans, 15-21, 64-67 Consumer loans held, by type and terms, 36, 64-67 Deposit interest rates of insured, 14 Real estate mortgages held, by holder and property, 35 Terms of lending, 64-67 Time and savings deposits, 4 Commercial paper, 22, 23, 32 Condition statements (See Assets and liabilities) Construction, 42, 46 Consumer credit, 36 Consumer prices, 42 Consumption expenditures, 48, 49 Corporations Profits and their distribution, 32 Security issues, 31,61 Cost of living (See Consumer prices) Credit unions, 36 Currency in circulation, 5, 12 Customer credit, stock market, 24 DEBT (See specific types of debt or securities) Demand deposits, 15-21 Depository institutions Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves and related items, 4, 5, 6, 11 Deposits (See also specific types) Commercial banks, 4, 15-21 Federal Reserve Banks, 5, 10 Interest rates, 14 Discount rates at Reserve Banks and at foreign central banks and foreign countries (See Interest rates) Discounts and advances by Reserve Banks (See Loans) Dividends, corporate, 32 EMPLOYMENT, 42 Eurodollars, 23, 61 FARM mortgage loans, 35 Federal agency obligations, 5, 9, 10, 11, 28, 29 Federal credit agencies, 30 Federal finance Debt subject to statutory limitation, and types and ownership of gross debt, 27 Receipts and outlays, 25, 26 Treasury financing of surplus, or deficit, 25 Treasury operating balance, 25 Federal Financing Bank, 30 Federal funds, 23, 25 Federal Home Loan Banks, 30 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, 30, 34, 35 Federal Housing Administration, 30, 34, 35 Federal Land Banks, 35 Federal National Mortgage Association, 30, 34, 35 Federal Reserve Banks Condition statement, 10 Discount rates (See Interest rates) U.S. government securities held, 5, 10, 11, 27 Federal Reserve credit, 5, 6, 10, 11 Federal Reserve notes, 10 Federal Reserve System Balance sheet for priced services, 68, 69 Condition statement for priced services, 68, 69 Federally sponsored credit agencies, 30 Finance companies Assets and liabilities, 32 Business credit, 33 Loans, 36 Paper, 22, 23 Float, 5 Flow of funds, 37-41 Foreign currency operations, 10 Foreign deposits in U.S. banks, 5 Foreign exchange rates, 62 Foreign-related institutions, 20 Foreign trade, 51 Foreigners Claims on, 52, 55, 56, 57, 59 Liabilities to, 51, 52, 53, 58, 60, 61 GOLD Certificate account, 10 Stock, 5, 51 Government National Mortgage Association, 30, 34, 35 Gross domestic product, 48, 49 HOUSING, new and existing units, 46 INCOME and expenses, Federal Reserve System, 68, 69 Income, personal and national, 42, 48, 49 Industrial production, 42, 44 Insurance companies, 27, 35 Interest rates Bonds, 23 Commercial banks, 64-67 Consumer credit, 36 Deposits, 14 Federal Reserve Banks, 7 Foreign banks, U.S. branches and agencies, 67 Foreign central banks and foreign countries, 61 Money and capital markets, 23 Mortgages, 34 Prime rate, 22 International capital transactions of United States, 50-61 A71 International organizations, 52, 53, 55, 58, 59 Inventories, 48 Investment companies, issues and assets, 32 Investments (See also specific types) Commercial banks, 4, 15-21 Federal Reserve Banks, 10, 11 Financial institutions, 35 LABOR force, 42 Life insurance companies (See Insurance companies) Loans (See also specific types) Commercial banks, 15-21, 64-67 Federal Reserve Banks, 5, 6, 7, 10, 11 Federal Reserve System, 68, 69 Financial institutions, 35 Insured or guaranteed by United States, 34, 35 MANUFACTURING Capacity utilization, 43 Production, 43, 45 Margin requirements, 24 Member banks (See also Depository institutions) Reserve requirements, 8 Mining production, 45 Mobile homes shipped, 46 Monetary and credit aggregates, 4, 11 Money and capital market rates, 23 Money stock measures and components, 4, 12 Mortgages (See Real estate loans) Mutual funds, 12, 32 Mutual savings banks (See Thrift institutions) NATIONAL defense outlays, 26 National income, 48 OPEN market transactions, 9 PERSONAL income, 49 Prices Consumer and producer, 42, 47 Stock market, 24 Prime rate, 22 Producer prices, 42, 47 Production, 42, 44 Profits, corporate, 32 REAL estate loans Banks, 15-21, 35 Terms, yields, and activity, 34 Type of holder and property mortgaged, 35 Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves Commercial banks, 15-21 Depository institutions, 4, 5, 6, 11 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 U.S. reserve assets, 51 Residential mortgage loans, 34, 35 Retail credit and retail sales, 36, 42 SAVING Flow of funds, 37-41 National income accounts, 48 Savings institutions, 35, 36, 37-41 Savings deposits (See Time and savings deposits) Securities (See also specific types) Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies, 30 Foreign transactions, 60 New issues, 31 Prices, 24 Special drawing rights, 5, 10, 50, 51 State and local governments Holdings of U.S. government securities, 27 New security issues, 31 Rates on securities, 23 Stock market, selected statistics, 24 Stocks (See also Securities) New issues, 31 Prices, 24 Student Loan Marketing Association, 30 TAX receipts, federal, 26 Thrift institutions, 4. (See also Credit unions and Savings institutions) Time and savings deposits, 4, 12, 14, 15-21 Trade, foreign, 51 Treasury cash, Treasury currency, 5 Treasury deposits, 5, 10, 25 Treasury operating balance, 25 UNEMPLOYMENT, 42 U.S. government balances Commercial bank holdings, 15-21 Treasury deposits at Reserve Banks, 5, 10, 25 U.S. government securities Bank holdings, 15-21, 27 Dealer transactions, positions, and financing, 29 Federal Reserve Bank holdings, 5, 10, 11, 27 Foreign and international holdings and transactions, 10, 27, 61 Open market transactions, 9 Outstanding, by type and holder, 27, 28 Rates, 23 US. international transactions, 50-62 Utilities, production, 45 VETERANS Administration, 34, 35 WEEKLY reporting banks, 17, 18 Wholesale (producer) prices, 42, 47 YIELDS (See Interest rates) A72 Federal Reserve Board of Governors and Official Staff A L A N GREENSPAN, Chairman ALICE M . RIVLIN, Vice Chair OFFICE OF BOARD EDWARD W . KELLEY, JR. SUSAN M . PHILLIPS DIVISION MEMBERS OF INTERNATIONAL JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant to the Board EDWIN M . TRUMAN, Staff DONALD J. W I N N , Assistant to the Board LARRY J. PROMISEL, Senior THEODORE E. ALLISON, Assistant to the Board for Federal Reserve System Affairs LYNN S. FOX, Deputy Congressional Liaison WINTHROP P. HAMBLEY, Special Assistant to the Board BOB STAHLY MOORE, Special Assistant to the Board DIANE E. WERNEKE, Special Assistant to the Board PORTIA W. THOMPSON, Equal Employment Opportunity Programs Adviser LEGAL DIVISION Counsel OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WILLIAM W . WILES, Adviser LEWIS S. ALEXANDER, Associate Director DALE W. HENDERSON, Associate Director PETER HOOPER III, Associate Director KAREN H. JOHNSON, Associate Director DAVID H. HOWARD, Senior Adviser DONALD B . ADAMS, Assistant Director THOMAS A . CONNORS, Assistant Director CATHERINE L. M A N N , Assistant Director OF RESEARCH M I C H A E L J. P R E L L , SCOTT G. ALVAREZ, Associate General Counsel RICHARD M. ASHTON, Associate General Counsel OLIVER IRELAND, Associate General Counsel KATHLEEN M. O'DAY, Associate General Counsel ROBERT DEV. FRIERSON, Assistant General Counsel KATHERINE H. WHEATLEY, Assistant General Counsel Adviser CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Senior DIVISION J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., General FINANCE Director AND STATISTICS Director EDWARD C. ETTIN, Deputy Director DAVID J. STOCKTON, Deputy Director MARTHA BETHEA, Associate Director WILLIAM R . JONES, Associate Director MYRON L. KWAST, Associate Director PATRICK M . PARKINSON, Associate Director THOMAS D . SIMPSON, Associate Director LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Associate Director MARTHA S. SCANLON, Deputy Associate Director PETER A. TINSLEY, Deputy Associate Director Secretary JENNIFER J. JOHNSON, Deputy Secretary BARBARA R. LOWREY, Associate Secretary' and DAVID S. JONES, Assistant Ombudsman Director STEPHEN A . RHOADES, Assistant Director CHARLES S. STRUCKMEYER, Assistant DIVISION OF BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION JOYCE K. ZICKLER, Assistant RICHARD SPILLENKOTHEN, JOHN J. MINGO, Senior Director STEPHEN C. SCHEMERING, Deputy Director HERBERT A . BIERN, Associate Director GLENN B . CANNER, Senior Adviser Adviser DIVISION OF MONETARY AFFAIRS Director Director GERALD A. EDWARDS, JR., Deputy Associate Director STEPHEN M. HOFFMAN, JR., Deputy Associate Director JAMES V. HOUPT, Deputy Associate Director JACK P. JENNINGS, Deputy Associate Director MICHAEL G. MARTINSON, Deputy Associate Director SIDNEY M. SUSSAN, Deputy Associate Director MOLLY S. WASSOM, Deputy Associate Director HOWARD A . AMER, Assistant Director NORAH M . BARGER, Assistant BETSY CROSS, Assistant Director Director DONALD L. KOHN, Director DAVID E. LINDSEY, Deputy Director BRIAN F. MADIGAN, Associate Director RICHARD D. PORTER, Deputy Associate VINCENT R . REINHART, Assistant GRIFFITH L . G A R W O O D , Director GLENN E . LONEY, Associate DOLORES S. SMITH, Associate WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, Project Director, MAUREEN P. ENGLISH, Assistant to the Board DIVISION OF CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS Director Center Director Director NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Special Assistant RICHARD A . SMALL, Assistant National Information Director Director WILLIAM A . RYBACK, Associate ROGER T. COLE, Associate Director ALICE PATRICIA WHITE, Assistant Director Director IRENE SHAWN M C N U L T Y , Assistant Director Director A73 LAURENCE H . MEYER OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR MANAGEMENT S. DAVID FROST, Staff Director SHEILA CLARK, EEO Programs DIVISION OF HUMAN MANAGEMENT DAVID L. SHANNON, C L Y D E H . FARNSWORTH, JR., Director OFFICE OF THE INSPECTOR BRENT L. BOWEN, Inspector CONTROLLER STEPHEN J. CLARK, Assistant Controller (Programs and Budgets) DIVISION OF SUPPORT ROBERT E . FRAZIER, Controller SERVICES Director GEORGE M. LOPEZ, Assistant DAVID L. WILLIAMS, Assistant Director Director DIVISION OF INFORMATION MANAGEMENT STEPHEN R. MALPHRUS, RESOURCES Director MARIANNE M . EMERSON, Assistant Po KYUNG KIM, Assistant Director Director R A Y M O N D H . M A S S E Y , Assistant Director EDWARD T. MULRENIN, Assistant Director DAY W. RADEBAUGH, JR., Assistant Director ELIZABETH B. RIGGS, Assistant RICHARD C. STEVENS, Assistant (Finance) Director Director BARRY R. SNYDER, Assistant GENERAL General DONALD L. ROBINSON, Assistant Controller DARRELL R. PAULEY, Assistant Director LOUISE L. ROSEMAN, Associate Director PAUL W. BETTGE, Assistant Director JACK DENNIS, JR., Assistant Director EARL G. HAMILTON, Assistant Director JEFFREY C. MARQUARDT, Assistant Director FLORENCE M. YOUNG, Assistant Director RESOURCES GEORGE E. LIVINGSTON, OPERATIONS DAVID L. ROBINSON, Deputy Director (Finance and Control) Director JOHN R. WEIS, Associate Director JOSEPH H. HAYES, JR., Assistant Director FRED HOROWITZ, Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE DIVISION OF RESERVE BANK AND PAYMENT SYSTEMS Inspector Inspector General General 74 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1997 Federal Open Market Committee and Advisory Councils FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE MEMBERS ALAN GREENSPAN, WILLIAM J. MCDONOUGH, Vice Chairman J. A L F R E D B R O A D D U S , JR. LAURENCE H. JACK G U Y N N MICHAEL H. MOSKOW MEYER E D W A R D W . K E L L E Y , JR. ROBERT T. PARRY S U S A N M . PHILLIPS ALICE M . ALTERNATE THOMAS M . CATHY E. RIVLIN MEMBERS THOMAS C. MELZER HOENIG JERRY L . J O R D A N Chairman E R N E S T T . PATRIKIS MINEHAN STAFF DONALD L. KOHN, Secretary and Economist NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Deputy Secretary JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant GARY P. GILLUM, Assistant WILLIAM C . HUNTER, Associate Secretary DAVID E . LINDSEY, Associate Counsel THOMAS C. BAXTER, JR., Deputy General EDWIN M . TRUMAN, Counsel LARRY J. PROMISEL, Associate CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Associate Economist LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Associate Economist DAVID J. STOCKTON, Associate PETER R. FISHER, Manager, System Open Market FEDERAL ADVISORY Economist Economist Economist STEPHEN G . CECCHETTI, Associate Economist JACK BEEBE, Associate Economist MARVIN S. GOODFRIEND, Associate Secretary J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., General M I C H A E L J. P R E L L , ROBERT A . EISENBEIS, Associate Economist Economist Economist Economist Economist Account COUNCIL WALTER V. SHIPLEY, President CHARLES E. NELSON, Vice President ROGER L. FITZSIMONDS, S e v e n t h D i s t r i c t WILLIAM M . CROZIER, JR., First D i s t r i c t WALTER V. SHIPLEY, S e c o n d D i s t r i c t THOMAS H . JACOBSEN, E i g h t h D i s t r i c t WALTER E. DALLER, JR., T h i r d D i s t r i c t RICHARD M . KOVACEVICH, N i n t h D i s t r i c t ROBERT W. GILLESPIE, Fourth D i s t r i c t CHARLES E. NELSON, T e n t h D i s t r i c t KENNETH D . LEWIS, F i f t h D i s t r i c t CHARLES T. DOYLE, E l e v e n t h D i s t r i c t STEPHEN A . HANSEL, S i x t h D i s t r i c t WILLIAM F. ZUENDT, T w e l f t h D i s t r i c t HERBERT V. PROCHNOW, Secretary JAMES A N N A B L E , W I L L I A M J. K O R S V I K , Emeritus Co-Secretary Co-Secretary A75 CONSUMER ADVISORY COUNCIL JULIA W . SEWARD, WILLIAM N . L U N D , R I C H A R D S . A M A D O R , LOS A n g e l e s , Richmond, Virginia, Chairman Augusta, Maine, Vice Chairman ERROL T. LOUIS, B r o o k l y n , N e w York California W A Y N E - K E N T A . B R A D S H A W , LOS A n g e l e s , C a l i f o r n i a PAUL E. MULLINGS, M c L e a n , V i r g i n i a THOMAS R. BUTLER, R i v e r w o o d s , I l l i n o i s CAROL PARRY, N e w York, N e w York ROBERT A . COOK, C r o f t o n , M a r y l a n d P H I L I P PRICE, JR., P h i l a d e l p h i a , HERIBERTO FLORES, S p r i n g f i e l d , M a s s a c h u s e t t s RONALD A . PRILL, M i n n e a p o l i s , M i n n e s o t a Pennsylvania EMANUEL FREEMAN, P h i l a d e l p h i a , P e n n s y l v a n i a LISA RICE, T o l e d o , O h i o DAVID C . FYNN, C l e v e l a n d , O h i o JOHN R. RINES, D e t r o i t , M i c h i g a n ROBERT G . GREER, H o u s t o n , T e x a s SISTER M A R I L Y N R O S S , O m a h a , KENNETH R. HARNEY, Chevy Chase, Maryland MARGOT SAUNDERS, W a s h i n g t o n , GAIL K. HILLEBRAND, S a n F r a n c i s c o , GAIL SMALL, Lame Deer, Montana California Nebraska D.C. TERRY JORDE, Cando, North Dakota YVONNE S. SPARKS, St. L o u i s , M i s s o u r i FRANCINE C. JUSTA, N e w York, N e w York GREGORY D . SQUIRES, M i l w a u k e e , W i s c o n s i n JANET C . KOEHLER, J a c k s o n v i l l e , F l o r i d a GEORGE P. SURGEON, C h i c a g o , I l l i n o i s EUGENE I. LEHRMANN, M a d i s o n , W i s c o n s i n T H E O D O R E J. W Y S O C K I , JR., C h i c a g o , I l l i n o i s THRIFT INSTITUTIONS ADVISORY DAVID COUNCIL F. HOLLAND, Burlington, Massachusetts, President Irwindale, California, Vice President CHARLES R . RINEHART, BARRY C . BURKHOLDER, H o u s t o n , STEPHEN D . HAILER, A k r o n , O h i o Texas DAVID E. A . CARSON, B r i d g e p o r t , C o n n e c t i c u t M I C H A E L T. C R O W L E Y , JR., M i l w a u k e e , Wisconsin EDWARD J. MOLNAR, H a r l e y s v i l l e , P e n n s y l v a n i a GUY C. PINKERTON, Seattle, Washington DOUGLAS A . FERRARO, E n g l e w o o d , C o l o r a d o TERRY R. WEST, J a c k s o n v i l l e , F l o r i d a WILLIAM A . FITZGERALD, O m a h a , FREDERICK WILLETTS, III, Wilmington, North Carolina Nebraska A76 Federal Reserve Board Publications For ordering assistance, write PUBLICATIONS SERVICES, MS-127, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551 or telephone (202) 452-3244 or FAX (202) 728-5886. You may also use the publications order available on the Board's World Wide Web site form (http://www.bog.frb.fed.us). When a charge is indicated, payment should accompany request and be made payable to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or may be ordered via Mastercard or Visa. Payment from foreign residents should be drawn on a U.S. bank. BOOKS THE AND FEDERAL MISCELLANEOUS RESERVE PUBLICATIONS SYSTEM—PURPOSES AND FUNCTIONS. 1994. 157 pp. A N N U A L REPORT. A N N U A L REPORT: B U D G E T REVIEW, 1995-96. S E L E C T E D INTEREST A N D E X C H A N G E RATES — W E E K L Y SERIES OF CHARTS. Weekly. $30.00 per year or $.70 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico. Elsewhere, $35.00 per year or $.80 each. R E G U L A T I O N S O F T H E B O A R D O F G O V E R N O R S OF T H E FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. PERCENTAGE RATE TABLES (Truth in Lending— Regulation Z) Vol. I (Regular Transactions). 1969. 100 pp. Vol. II (Irregular Transactions). 1969. 116 pp. Each volume $5.00. G U I D E T O T H E F L O W OF F U N D S A C C O U N T S . 6 7 2 p p . $ 8 . 5 0 e a c h . 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ANNUAL STATISTICAL DIGEST: period covered, release date, number of pages, and price. $ 6.50 October 1982 239 pp. 1981 December 1983 266 pp. $ 7.50 1982 264 pp. $11.50 October 1984 1983 254 pp. $12.50 1984 October 1985 October 1986 231 pp. $15.00 1985 288 pp. $15.00 November 1987 1986 272 pp. $15.00 October 1988 1987 $25.00 November 1989 256 pp. 1988 712 pp. $25.00 March 1991 1980--89 185 pp. $25.00 November 1991 1990 November 1992 215 pp. $25.00 1991 $25.00 December 1993 215 pp. 1992 281 pp. $25.00 December 1994 1993 190 pp. $25.00 December 1995 1994 4 0 4 pp. $25.00 November 1996 1990--95 ANNUAL The Payment System Handbook. $75.00 per year. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. Four vols. (Contains all four Handbooks plus substantial additional material.) $200.00 per year. Rates for subscribers outside the United States are as follows and include additional air mail costs: Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, $250.00 per year. Each Handbook, $90.00 per year. COUNTRY MODEL, M a y INDUSTRIAL MULTI- 1984. 5 9 0 pp. $ 1 4 . 5 0 each. PRODUCTION—1986 EDITION. December 1986. 4 4 0 pp. $ 9 . 0 0 e a c h . FINANCIAL FUTURES AND OPTIONS IN THE U.S. ECONOMY. December 1986. 264 pp. $10.00 each. FINANCIAL SECTORS IN OPEN ECONOMIES: EMPIRICAL ANALY- SIS AND POLICY ISSUES. A u g u s t 1 9 9 0 . 6 0 8 pp. $ 2 5 . 0 0 e a c h . RISK MEASUREMENT AND SYSTEMIC RISK: PROCEEDINGS JOINT C E N T R A L B A N K RESEARCH CONFERENCE. OF A 1996. 5 7 8 pp. $ 2 5 . 0 0 e a c h . EDUCATION PAMPHLETS Short pamphlets suitable for classroom available without charge. use. Multiple copies are Consumer Handbook on Adjustable Rate Mortgages Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws A Guide to Business Credit for Women, Minorities, and Small Businesses Series on the Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Open Market Committee Federal Reserve Bank Board of Directors Federal Reserve Banks Organization and Advisory Committees A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-Ins A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Settlement Costs A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Refinancings Home Mortgages: Understanding the Process and Your Right to Fair Lending How to File a Consumer Complaint Making Deposits: When Will Your Money Be Available? Making Sense of Savings SHOP: The Card You Pick Can Save You Money Welcome to the Federal Reserve When Your Home is on the Line: What You Should Know About Home Equity Lines of Credit All STAFF STUDIES: Only Summaries BULLETIN Printed in the 165. T H E D E M A N D FOR T R A D E C R E D I T : A N Studies and papers on economic and financial subjects that are of general interest. Requests to obtain single copies of the full text or to be added to the mailing list for the series may be sent to Publications Services. 166. T H E E C O N O M I C S OF T H E PRIVATE P L A C E M E N T M A R K E T , A S U M M A R Y OF M E R G E R P E R F O R M A N C E S T U D I E S IN B A N K ING, 1980-93, A N D A N A S S E S S M E N T OF T H E PERFORMANCE" T H E A D E Q U A C Y A N D C O N S I S T E N C Y OF M A R G I N IN THE MARKETS FOR STOCKS AND 168. N E W D A T A O N T H E P E R F O R M A N C E OF N O N B A N K SUBSIDI- ARIES OF B A N K H O L D I N G C O M P A N I E S , b y N e l l i e L i a n g and "EVENT STUDY" "OPERATING METHODOLOGIES, THE ECONOMICS OF THE PRIVATE EQUITY MARKET, by George W. Fenn, Nellie Liang, and Stephen Prowse. November 1 9 9 5 . 6 9 pp. PRODUCTS, by Mark J. Warshawsky with the assistance of Dietrich Earnhart. September 1989. 23 pp. 159. AND by Stephen A. Rhoades. July 1994. 37 pp. REQUIRE- DERIVATIVE by Mark Carey, Stephen Prowse, John Rea, and Gregory Udell. January 1994. 111 pp. 167. MENTS OF Gregory E. Elliehausen and John D. Wolken. September 1 9 9 3 . 1 8 pp. Staff Studies 1 - 1 5 7 are out of print. 158. INVESTIGATION M O T I V E S FOR T R A D E C R E D I T U S E BY S M A L L B U S I N E S S E S , b y 169. B A N K MERGERS AND INDUSTRYWIDE STRUCTURE, 1980-94, by Stephen A. Rhoades. February 1996. 32 pp. Donald Savage. February 1990. 12 pp. 160. BANKING VICES MARKETS BY SMALL AND AND THE USE OF FINANCIAL MEDIUM-SIZED SER- BUSINESSES, by Gregory E. Elliehausen and John D. Wolken. September 1 9 9 0 . 35 pp. 161. A REVIEW 1980-90, 21 pp. 162. OF CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING ACTIVITY, by Margaret Hastings Pickering. May 1991. E V I D E N C E O N T H E S I Z E OF B A N K I N G M A R K E T S FROM M O R T GAGE LOAN RATES IN TWENTY CITIES, by Stephen CLEARANCE AND SETTLEMENT Limit of ten copies IN U . S . SECURITIES MAR- KETS, by Patrick Parkinson, Adam Gilbert, Emily Gollob, Lauren Hargraves, Richard Mead, Jeff Stehm, and Mary Ann Taylor. March 1992. 37 pp. 164. THE 1989-92 CREDIT CRUNCH FOR REAL ESTATE, James T. Fergus and John L. Goodman, Jr. July 20 pp. Some Bulletin articles are reprinted. The articles listed below are those for which reprints are available. Beginning with the January 1997 issue, articles are available on the Board's World Wide Web site (http://www.bog.frb.fed.us) under P u b l i c a t i o n s , Federal Reserve Bulletin articles. A. Rhoades. February 1992. 11 pp. 163. REPRINTS OF SELECTED Bulletin ARTICLES by 1993. FAMILY F I N A N C E S IN T H E U.S.: RECENT EVIDENCE S U R V E Y OF C O N S U M E R F I N A N C E S . J a n u a r y 1997. FROM THE A78 Maps of the Federal Reserve System 1 2 • 9 ~ MINNEAPOLIS ^ CHICAGO! SAN FRANCISCO 10 ^ CLEVELAND KANSAS CITY I • NEW YORK PSLADELPHIA RICHMOND ST. LOUIS ll BOSTON 6 ATLANTA DALLAS ALASKA HAWAII LEGEND Both pages • Federal Reserve Bank city n Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. Facing page • Federal Reserve Branch city — Branch boundary NOTE The Federal Reserve officially identifies Districts by number and Reserve Bank city (shown on both pages) and by letter (shown on the facing page). In the 12th District, the Seattle Branch serves Alaska, and the San Francisco Bank serves Hawaii. The System serves commonwealths and territories as follows: the New York Bank serves the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands; the San Francisco Bank serves American Samoa, Guam, and the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands. The Board of Governors revised the branch boundaries of the System most recently in February 1996. A79 1-A 2-B 4-D 3-C 5-E Baltimore MD vl^ VT • \ NH ( CT [ / 'Cincinnati Buffalo MA f NJ CT NY sc NEW YORK BOSTON 7-G 6-F RICHMOND CLEVELAND PHILADELPHIA 8-H •Nashville TN- KY Birmingham n. Detroit • MS ^ Louisville MO Jacksonville LA •Memphis PL New Orleans ; w Little" Y Miami ATLANTA ST. LOUIS CHICAGO 9-1 MINNEAPOLIS 12-L 10-J WY 1 NE Omaha* CO MO • Denver KM „ • , Seattle 1 Oklahoma City OK KANSAS CITY 11-K tx Salt Late City i • El Pas Mi I-A r ~~ ^HouSton •Los Angeles San AtttoSio^- DALLAS SAN FRANCISCO A80 Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices FEDERAL RESERVE BANK branch, or facility Zip Chairman Deputy Chairman President First Vice President BOSTON* 02106 William C. Brainard Frederick J. Mancheski Cathy E. Minehan Paul M. Connolly NEW YORK* 10045 John C. Whitehead Thomas W. Jones Bal Dixit William J. McDonough Ernest T. Patrikis Buffalo 14240 Carl W. Turnipseed 1 PHILADELPHIA 19105 Donald J. Kennedy Joan Carter Edward G. Boehne William H. Stone, Jr. CLEVELAND* 44101 Jerry L. Jordan Sandra Pianalto Cincinnati Pittsburgh 45201 15230 G. Watts Humphrey, Jr. David H. Hoag George C. Juilfs John T. Ryan, III RICHMOND* 23219 21203 28230 Claudine B. Malone Robert L. Strickland Rebecca Hahn Windsor Dennis D. Lowery J. Alfred Broaddus, Jr. Walter A. Varvel Baltimore Charlotte Hugh M. Brown David R. Jones D. Bruce CanPatrick C. Kelly Kaaren Johnson-Street James E. Dalton, Jr. Jo Ann Slaydon Jack Guynn Patrick K. Barron Lester H. McKeever, Jr. Arthur C. Martinez Florine Mark Michael H. Moskow William C. Conrad John F. McDonnell Susan S. Elliott Robert D. Nabholz, Jr. John A. Williams John V. Myers Thomas C. Melzer W. LeGrande Rives Jean D. Kinsey David A. Koch Matthew J. Quinn Gary H. Stern Colleen K. Strand A. Drue Jennings Jo Marie Dancik Peter I. Wold Barry L. Eller Arthur L. Shoener Thomas M. Hoenig Richard K. Rasdall Roger R. Hemminghaus Cece Smith Alvin T. Johnson I. H. Kempner, III H. B. Zachry, Jr. Robert D. McTeer, Jr. Helen E. Holcomb Judith M. Runstad Gary G. Michael Anne L. Evans Carol A. Whipple Gerald R. Sherratt Richard R. Sonstelie Robert T. Parry John F. Moore ATLANTA Birmingham Jacksonville Miami Nashville New Orleans 30303 35283 32231 33152 37203 ... 70161 CHICAGO* 60690 Detroit 48231 ST. LOUIS 63166 Little Rock Louisville Memphis MINNEAPOLIS Helena K A N S A S CITY Denver Oklahoma City Omaha DALLAS EI Paso Houston San Antonio S A N FRANCISCO . . . . Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle 72203 40232 38101 55480 59601 64198 80217 73125 68102 75201 79999 77252 78295 94120 90051 97208 84125 98124 Vice President in charge of branch Charles A. Cerino 1 Robert B. Schaub William J. Tignanelli' Dan M. Bechter 1 James M. Mckee Fred R. Herr1 James D. Hawkins 1 James T. Curry III Melvyn K. Purcell Robert J. Musso David R. Allardice 1 Robert A. Hopkins Thomas A. Boone Martha L. Perine John D.Johnson Carl M. Gambs 1 Kelly J. Dubbert Bradley C. Cloverdyke Sammie C. Clay Robert Smith, III1 James L. StuII1 Mark L. Mullinix 1 Raymond H. Laurence 1 Andrea P. Wolcott Gordon R. G. Werkema 2 * Additional offices of these Banks are located at Lewiston, Maine 04240; Windsor Locks, Connecticut 06096; East Rutherford, New Jersey 07016; Utica at Oriskany, New York 13424; Columbus, Ohio 43216; Columbia, South Carolina 29210; Charleston, West Virginia 25311; Des Moines, Iowa 50306; Indianapolis, Indiana 46204; Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202; and Peoria, Illinois 61607. 1. Senior Vice President. 2. Executive Vice President Publications of Interest FEDERAL RESERVE CONSUMER CREDIT PUBLICATIONS The Federal Reserve Board publishes a series of pamphlets covering individual credit laws and topics, as pictured below. Three booklets on the mortgage process are available: A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-Ins, A Consumer 's Guide to Mortgage Refinancings, and A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Settlement Costs. These booklets were prepared in conjunction with the Federal Home Loan Bank Board and in consultation with other federal agencies and trade and consumer groups. The Board also publishes the Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws, a complete guide to consumer credit protections. This forty-four-page booklet explains how to shop and obtain credit, how to maintain a good credit rating, and how to dispute unfair credit transactions. A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-ins Quid* to Mortgage HtflMwoinyt Shop . . . The Card You Pick Can Save You Money is designed to help consumers comparison shop when looking for a credit card. It contains the results of the Federal Reserve Board's survey of the terms of credit card plans offered by credit card issuers throughout the United States. Because the terms can affect the amount an individual pays for using a credit card, the booklet lists the annual percentage rate (APR), annual fee, grace period, type of pricing (fixed or variable rate), and a telephone number for each card issuer surveyed. Copies of consumer publications are available free of charge from Publications Services, Mail Stop 127, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. Multiple copies for classroom use are also available free of charge. A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Settlement Costs A Guide to Business Credit for W o m e n , Minorities, and Small Businesses SHOP The Card You Pick Can Save You Money Publications of Interest FEDERAL RESERVE REGULATORY SERVICE To promote public understanding of its regulatory functions, the Board publishes the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, a four-volume loose-leaf service containing all Board regulations as well as related statutes, interpretations, policy statements, rulings, and staff opinions. For those with a more specialized interest in the Board's regulations, parts of this service are published separately as handbooks pertaining to monetary policy, securities credit, consumer affairs, and the payment system. These publications are designed to help those who must frequently refer to the Board's regulatory materials. They are updated monthly, and each contains citation indexes and a subject index. The Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirements Handbook contains Regulations A, D, and Q, plus related materials. The Securities Credit Transactions Handbook contains Regulations G, T, U, and X, dealing with extensions of credit for the purchase of securities, together with related statutes, Board interpretations, rulings, and staff opinions. Also included are the Board's list of marginable OTC stocks and its list of foreign margin stocks. The Consumer and Community Affairs Handbook contains Regulations B, C, E, M, Z, AA, BB, and DD, and associated materials. GUIDE TO THE FLOW OF FUNDS ACCOUNTS A recent Federal Reserve publication, Guide to the Flow of Funds Accounts, explains in detail how the U.S. financial flow accounts are prepared. The accounts, which are compiled by the Division of Research and Statistics, are published in the Board's quarterly Z.l statistical release, "Flow of Funds Accounts, Flows and Outstandings." The Guide updates and replaces Introduction to Flow of Funds, published in 1980. The 670-page Guide begins with an explanation of the organization and uses of the flow of funds accounts and their relationship to the national income and product accounts prepared by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Also discussed are the individual data series that make up the accounts and such proce- The Payment System Handbook deals with expedited funds availability, check collection, wire transfers, and risk-reduction policy. It includes Regulations CC, J, and EE, related statutes and commentaries, and policy statements on risk reduction in the payment system. For domestic subscribers, the annual rate is $200 for the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service and $75 for each Handbook. For subscribers outside the United States, the price including additional air mail costs is $250 for the Service and $90 for each Handbook. The Federal Reserve Regulatory Service is also available on diskette for use on personal computers. For a standalone PC, the annual subscription fee is $300. For network subscriptions, the annual fee is $300 for 1 concurrent user, $750 for a maximum of 10 concurrent users, $2,000 for a maximum of 50 concurrent users, and $3,000 for a maximum of 100 concurrent users. Subscribers outside the United States should add $50 to cover additional airmail costs. For further information, call (202) 452-3244. All subscription requests must be accompanied by a check or money order payable to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Orders should be addressed to Publications Services, mail stop 127, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. dures as seasonal adjustment, extrapolation, and interpolation. The balance of the Guide contains explanatory tables corresponding to the tables of financial flows data that appeared in the September 1992 Z.l release. These tables give, for each data series, the source of the data or the methods of calculation, along with annual data for 1991 that were published in the September 1992 release. Guide to the Flow of Funds Accounts is available for $8.50 per copy from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. Orders must include a check or money order, in U.S. dollars, made payable to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve Statistical Releases Available on the Commerce Department's Economic Bulletin Board The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System makes some of its statistical releases available to the public through the U.S. Department of Commerce's economic bulletin board. Computer access to the releases can be obtained by subscription. For further information regarding a subscription to the economic bulletin board, please call (202) 4821986. The releases transmitted to the economic bulletin board, on a regular basis, are the following: Reference Number Statistical release Frequency of release H.3 Aggregate Reserves Weekly/Thursday H.4.1 Factors Affecting Reserve Balances Weekly/Thursday H.6 Money Stock Weekly/Thursday H.8 Assets and Liabilities of Insured Domestically Chartered and Foreign Related Banking Institutions Weekly/Monday H.10 Foreign Exchange Rates Weekly/Monday H.15 Selected Interest Rates Weekly/Monday G.5 Foreign Exchange Rates Monthly/end of month G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Monthly/midmonth G.19 Consumer Installment Credit Monthly/fifth business day Z. 1 Flow of Funds Quarterly