Full text of Federal Reserve Bulletin : October 1996
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VOLUME 8 2 • NUMBER 1 0 • OCTOBER 1 9 9 6 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, WASHINGTON, D . C . PUBLICATIONS COMMITTEE Joseph R. Coyne, Chairman • S. David Frost • Griffith L. Garwood • Donald L. Kohn • J. Virgil Mattingly, Jr. • Michael J. Prell • Richard Spillenkothen • Edwin M. Truman The Federal Reserve Bulletin is issued monthly under the direction of the staff publications committee. This committee is responsible for opinions expressed except in official statements and signed articles. It is assisted by the Economic Editing Section headed by S. Ellen Dykes, the Graphics Center under the direction of Peter G. Thomas, and Publications Services supervised by Linda C. Kyles. Table of Contents 883 THE LOCATION OF U.S. CURRENCY: MUCH is ABROAD? HOW Federal Reserve bank notes are widely used outside the United States. Knowledge of how much U.S. currency is abroad is important for a variety of reasons, but currency movements are notoriously difficult to measure, and estimates of the foreign component of currency stocks and flows have been subject to a great deal of speculation and uncertainty. This article brings together several new methods and data sources to narrow the range of that uncertainty. The authors estimate that about $200 billion to $250 billion of U.S. currency was abroad at the end of 1995, or more than half the roughly $375 billion then in circulation outside of banks. Moreover, growth in foreign demand for U.S. currency— especially for hundred-dollar bills ($100s)—has been far stronger than growth in U.S. demand. On average over the 1990s, the currency stock abroad has been growing at about three times the rate of growth of the domestic stock. 904 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION FOR AUGUST 1996 Industrial production increased 0.5 percent in August, to 126.9 percent of its 1987 average, after a gain of 0.1 percent in My. Industrial capacity utilization rose 0.2 percentage point, to 83.5 percent. 907 ANNOUNCEMENTS Issuance of final agency guidelines on safety and soundness standards for asset quality and earnings. Issuance of a final rule amending the risk-based capital standards to incorporate a measure of market risk. Adoption of a final rule regarding investment adviser activities in Regulation Y. Recission of a staff interpretive letter. Amendment to regulations regarding loans in areas with special flood hazards. Proposal to amend the risk-based capital guidelines for banks and bank holding companies regarding the treatment of collateralized transactions; proposed amendments to Regulation Y. Development of public service announcements on the sale of mutual funds at banks. 909 MINUTES OF THE FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE MEETING HELD ON JULY 2-3, 1996 At its meeting on July 2-3, 1996, the Committee reaffirmed the ranges for 1996 growth of M2 and M3 of 1 to 5 percent and 2 to 6 percent respectively and the monitoring range for expansion of total domestic nonfinancial debt of 3 to 7 percent that it had established in January. The Committee provisionally set the same ranges for 1997. For the intermeeting period ahead, the Committee adopted a directive that called for maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions and that included a bias toward the possible firming of reserve conditions during the intermeeting period. 917 LEGAL DEVELOPMENTS Various bank holding company, bank service corporation, and bank merger orders; and pending cases. A1 FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS STATISTICS These tables reflect data available as of August 28, 1996. A3 GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION A4 Domestic Financial Statistics A42 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics A50 International Statistics A63 GUIDE TO STATISTICAL RELEASES AND SPECIAL TABLES A66 INDEX TO STATISTICAL PUBLICATIONS A74 M4.PS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM TABLES A68 BOARD OF GOVERNORS AND STAFF A70 FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE AND STAFF; ADVISORY COUNCILS A72 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD A76 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS, AND OFFICES BRANCHES, The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? Richard D. Porter and Ruth A. Judson, of the Division of Monetary Affairs, prepared this article. Lyle Kumasaka, Adam Reed, and James Walsh provided research assistance. Federal Reserve bank notes are widely used outside the United States. Knowing how much U.S. currency is abroad is important for a variety of reasons, but currency movements are notoriously difficult to measure, and estimates of the foreign component of currency stocks and flows have been subject to a great deal of speculation and uncertainty. Here we bring together several new methods and data sources to narrow the range of that uncertainty. According to our estimates, about $200 billion to $250 billion of U.S. currency was abroad at the end of 1995, or more than half the roughly $375 billion then in circulation outside of banks. Moreover, that proportion has been rising. Our calculations indicate that growth in foreign demand for U.S. currency—especially for hundred-dollar bills ($100s)—is far stronger than growth in U.S. demand. On average over the 1990s, the overseas stock has been growing at about three times the rate of growth of the domestic stock. Today, foreigners hold U.S. currency for the same reasons that people once held gold coins: as a unit of account, a medium of exchange, and a store of value when the purchasing power of the domestic currency is uncertain or when other assets lack sufficient anonymity, portability, divisibility, liquidity, or security. A safe asset in an unpredictable world, dollars often flow into a country during periods of economic and political upheaval and sometimes remain there well after the crisis has subsided. NOTE. We are grateful to Michael Bordo, David B. Humphrey, Russell Krueger, J.L. Laake, Robert M. Lucas, Jr., Howard Murad, Gerald Pollack, and our colleagues in the Federal Reserve for helpful assistance, comments, and discussions on various points. We thank FinCEN, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network of the Department of the Treasury, for permission to use aggregate information derived from the U.S. Customs Service's Currency and Monetary Instrument Reports. Finally, we are grateful for the stimulating dialogue we have had with Edgar L. Feige on all aspects of this study. Questions and comments can be e-mailed to the authors at rporter@frb.gov or ijudson@frb.gov. Currency movements are difficult to measure for some of the same reasons that currency is popular: It can be easily concealed and readily carried across borders, even in large quantities (a briefcase can hold $1 million in $100s). The total amount of U.S. currency in circulation is known; in principle, one could conduct a census to determine the domestic stock and assume that the rest of the currency is abroad. However, such a census would be invasive, prohibitively costly, and unlikely to yield reliable results. Thus, the amount of currency held abroad can only be estimated, and then only from incomplete or indirect evidence about dollars flowing across U.S. borders. Policymakers would find it useful to have a clear idea of how much U.S. currency is circulating outside the country. First, foreign demand for U.S. currency, if large and unrelated to domestic U.S. spending, will complicate the interpretation of movements in the amount of currency outstanding and in various other monetary aggregates. Second, estimates of changes in foreign holdings of U.S. currency may also reduce the average size of the errors-and-omissions category in the U.S. international transaction accounts, which do not currently incorporate any estimates of changes in foreign holdings of currency. Third, a significant foreign demand for U.S. currency will have important effects on the amount of seigniorage that the United States can expect.1 All U.S. currency, including that held externally, can be thought of as a form of interest-free Treasury borrowing and therefore as a saving to the taxpayer. If the amount of currency abroad is around $200 billion, and the three-month Treasury bill rate is 5.2 percent (which it is as of this writing), the amount of seigniorage (and taxpayer saving) from externally circulating currency, calculated as the product of these two figures, would be more than $10 billion per year. Knowing more accurately the amount of seigniorage 1. Seigniorage is defined as the government's gain from converting valuable metal into more valuable coins. We use the term here in the looser sense that includes the central bank's income from issuing paper currency. 884 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 derived from externally circulating currency would assist policymakers in deciding how many resources to devote to protecting it by, for example, combating the counterfeiting of U.S. currency abroad or improving the physical quality of externally circulating notes. Add to these reasons the fact that currency outstanding has surged over recent years, and a reliable answer to the question of how much is abroad becomes a matter of considerable interest. In all, we have examined ten methods for estimating the amount of currency held abroad. We first outline the major sources of foreign demand for U.S. currency. We also review the available information, from statistical reports to institutional structure, none of which, alone, covers the full extent of currency stocks or flows but which nonetheless point to foreign use as the major source of recent growth in US. currency. We then describe two of the ten methods we use to estimate the stock of currency abroad, the seasonal method and the biometric method, which provide convenient illustrations of the assumptions and empirical relationships required to estimate overseas currency flows and stocks. After briefly summarizing the remaining eight methods, we present a summary measure, the "median flow estimate," based on several methods for which we have sufficient time-series data. We show that although year-to-year changes in domestic holdings have been relatively stable, changes in total currency have grown and have become increasingly dominated by foreign movements. In light of the evidence, we examine and find unpersuasive several arguments supporting the claim that very little currency is held outside the United States. Finally, when our estimate of U.S. currency held abroad is subtracted from the total outstanding, the amount of domestically circulating currency per U.S. resident that remains is considerably smaller than the corresponding measure for most other developed countries, and we examine some of the economic forces underlying these cross-country differences.2 2. For earlier estimates of the foreign component of currency stocks and flows and related issues, see, for example, Robert B. Avery, Gregory E. Elliehausen, Arthur B. Kennickell, and Paul A. Spindt, "Changes in the Use of Transaction Accounts and Cash from 1984 to 1986," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 73 (March 1987), pp. 179-96. Alan S. Blinder, "The Role of the Dollar as an International Currency," Eastern Economic Journal, vol. 22 (Spring 1996), pp. 127-36. Edgar L. Feige, "Overseas Holdings of U.S. Currency and the Underground Economy," in Susan Pozo, ed., Exploring The Underground Economy: Studies of Illegal and Unreported Activity (Kalamazoo, Mich.: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 1996), pp. 5-62. THE INTERNATIONAL MARKET FOR U.S. CURRENCY Before the advent of paper currency, gold coin—in the form of Dutch guilders, Spanish pieces of eight, and other coins of the realm—circulated far outside the countries in which they were minted; similarly, bank notes (that is, notes issued by private commercial banks) in the United States and England in the 19th century circulated far beyond the market areas of those banks. U.S. currency today provides many of the monetary services that gold coins once did. As the leading international currency, Federal Reserve notes enter other national economies for reasons both public and private. Some countries, including Panama and Liberia, have elected at times to use the U.S. dollar as their currency. Other countries that issue currency maintain stable exchange rates between their own currency and the U.S. dollar; in the Caribbean, for example, that stability allows tourists and residents to use both dollars and local currency without fear of a sudden change in exchange value. Workers employed outside their home countries are often paid in U.S. dollars, which make their way into local economies directly or via remittances: U.S. soldiers have been paid in dollars since World War II, and many expatriate workers in the oil-producing countries of the Middle East are paid in dollars. The dollar is also the preferred currency for exchange: Travelers heading for points outside of Western Europe often economize on exchange costs by carrying dollars. Jeffrey A. Frankel, "Still the Lingua Franca," Foreign Affairs, vol. 74 (July/August 1995), pp. 9-16. Lawrence B. Lindsey, "America's Most Ignored Export," Durell Journal of Money and Banking, vol. 6 (Winter 1994-95), pp. 2-5. John Mueller, "Most of Our Money Is Missing—Again," Durell Journal of Money and Banking, vol. 6 (Winter 1994-95), pp. 6-13. Richard D. Porter, "Estimates of Foreign Holdings of U.S. Currency—An Approach Based on Relative Cross-Country Seasonal Variations," in Nominal Income Targeting with the Monetary Base as Instrument: An Evaluation ofMcCallums' Rule, Finance and Economics Discussion Series Working Study 1 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, March 1993). , "Foreign Holdings of U.S. Currency," International Economic Insights (November/December 1993), p. 5. and Ruth A. Judson, "The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad?" (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, April 15, 1996). Franz Seitz, "The Circulation of Deutsche Mark Abroad," Discussion Paper 1/95, Economic Research Group of the Deutsche Bundesbank (May 1995). Case M. Sprenkle, "The Case of the Missing Currency," Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 7 (Fall 1993), pp. 175-84. Scott B. Summer, "The Case of the Missing Currency, Correspondence," Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 8 (Fall 1994), pp. 201-03. , "The Transactions and Hoarding Demand for Currency," Quarterly Review of Economics and Business, vol. 30 (Spring 1990), pp. 75-89. The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? Episodes of economic and political turmoil have frequently been the catalyst for major influxes of dollars into a region. Recently, Argentina and the former Soviet Union received large inflows of dollars. In Argentina, which experienced chronic high inflation from the 1960s to the early 1990s and brief bouts of hyperinflation in the mid 1970s and late 1980s, U.S. currency is still used as the settlement medium for large-scale transactions such as those involving real estate and cars.3 Argentina has received as much as $40 billion in net shipments of U.S. currency, or well over $1,000 per capita.4 However, a Federal Reserve and Treasury study of the use of U.S. currency in Argentina suggests that some currency that was initially shipped to Argentina could have subsequently moved to neighboring countries.5 In the countries of the former Soviet Union, past and current high inflation, confiscatory currency reforms, and the underdevelopment of the banking system encourage people to hold and use U.S. dollars for everything from retail purchases of imported consumer products to the settlement of debts between and within countries. Cumulative net shipments of U.S. dollars to this part of the world have likely surpassed those to Argentina, with some estimates as high as $60 billion. Moreover, evidence from Argentina and other countries indicates that long after crisis episodes have passed, many residents 3. Daniel Heymann and Axel Leijonhufvud discuss the forces affecting currency holdings in countries experiencing high inflation but not hyperinflation (High Inflation: The Arne Ryde Memorial Lectures, Clarendon Press, 1995). See also Carlos A. Vegh, "Stopping High Inflation," International Monetary Fund, Staff Papers, vol. 39 (September, 1992), pp. 626-95; and Miguel A. Savastano, "Dollarization in Latin America: Recent Evidence and Some Policy Issues," in P.D. Mizen and E.J. Pentecost, eds., The Macroeconomics of International Currencies: Theory, Policy, and Evidence (Brookfleld, Vt.: Elgar, forthcoming). For a perspective on this phenomenon and its relationship to sovereignty, see Benjamin J. Cohen, "The Political Economy of Currency Regions," in Edward D. Mansfield and Helen V. Milner, eds., The Political Economy of Regionalism (Columbia University Press, forthcoming). For an international treatment of this issue, including a discussion of the implications for balance-of-payments statistics, see John Wilson, "Physical Currency Movements and Capital Flows," in Report on the Measurement of International Capital Flows: Part II—Background Papers (International Monetary Fund, 1992), pp. 91-97; and Russell Krueger and Jiming Ha, "Measurement of Co-Circulation of Currencies," Working Paper 95/34 (International Monetary Fund, 1995). 4. This figure extends through 1995 the cumulation of net currency shipments to Argentina calculated in Steven Kamin and Neil R. Ericsson, "Dollarization in Argentina," International Finance Discussion Papers 460 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1993). Kamin and Ericsson find their estimate of Argentine dollar holdings to be consistent with the reduction in domestic money demand attributable to high inflation. 5. Graciela Kaminsky, "Study by the U.S. Treasury Department and Federal Reserve System of the Use of U.S. Currency Outside the United States" (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1994). 885 continue to hold dollars as an instantly liquid form of insurance against further political or economic upheaval. Finally, in a high-inflation economy, holding dollars as currency and bearing the implicit interest cost can be more convenient than holding other available savings or transactions instruments, even if they earn interest.6 DATA SOURCES FOR ESTIMATES OF CURRENCY HELD ABROAD We have two direct sources of information about currency flows abroad—the U.S. Customs Service and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. However, data from these sources are often inadequate for measuring the stock of currency abroad, in particular because they miss much of the cash that is handcarried or remitted by mail by guest workers and travelers. Thus, to better estimate stocks, we also use sources of indirect information about currency flows. We first describe the major sources of direct and indirect data on currency flows in and out of the United States. We then present other institutional and general information on currency growth and economic activity that point to a large and increasing presence of U.S. currency outside the country. The Currency and Monetary Reports Instrument The most obvious direct source of information on currency flows across U.S. borders are the Currency and Monetary Instrument Reports (CMIRs) required by the U.S. Customs Service.7 In principle, these reports are a rich source of information because individuals or firms making almost any shipment of more than $10,000 in cash across a U.S. border are required to file a CMIR (the reporting threshold was raised, from $5,000 to $10,000, in 1980). Although CMIR data on shipments by banks seem to agree with the banks' own reports to the Federal Reserve Bank of 6. In fact, some evidence indicates that the private holding of dollars in high-inflation regimes may possibly be more efficient than other arrangements: A recent study of the welfare cost of inflation presents evidence that the financial sectors in high-inflation countries are larger than they would be otherwise; but among such highinflation economies, those that have been "dollarized" tend to have somewhat smaller financial sectors than the others. See William B. English, "Inflation and Financial Sector Size," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 9 6 - 1 6 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, April 1996). 7. For more detail on these reports, see Feige, "Overseas Holdings of U.S. Currency." 886 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 New York, the CMIR data on nonbank shipments sum to improbably large net inflows.8 At least four factors indicate that CMIRs are neither accurate nor thorough measures of large cash shipments that take place outside the banking sector. First, because arriving travelers must pass through Customs but departing travelers ordinarily do not, the CMIR data are biased toward measuring inflows of currency. Departing travelers are occasionally informed of the filing requirement or are targeted for enforcement purposes, but their responses are not adjusted statistically to account for the large proportion of outgoing travelers who should, but apparently do not, file CMIRs. For example, in 1994 the number of travelers entering the United States from anywhere in the world was about the same as the number of travelers leaving (about 45 million), but in that year, about 170,000 arriving travelers filed CMIRs, whereas only about 34.000 departing travelers did so. Second, CMIRs do not capture shipments of $10,000 or less, activity that could cumulate to a significant total. In 1994, excluding travel to Mexico and Canada, 18.7 million U.S. residents left the United States, and 19.2 million visitors entered. If these travelers carried an average of $1,000 each, the unrecorded flows in each direction would be relatively large, around one-half of the measured $32.8 billion 1994 CMIR inflows and $39.1 billion outflows. For example, banking statistics seem to indicate that U.S. currency flows only back from the Caribbean to the United States; the currency going in the other direction, from the United States to the Caribbean, goes not through the international banking system but via the pockets of American tourists and others, and most of it presumably goes unrecorded. Third, many shipments greater than $10,000 are likely to be misreported or not reported at all. Although banks and other firms are accustomed to filing CMIRs and probably do so fairly diligently, individuals are potentially less aware of these reports, less willing to file them, or even eager to avoid them. Fourth, the record-keeping system for CMIRs was designed with the purpose of identifying individual transactions, not of developing accurate aggregate statistics on currency flows. In sum, CMIRs are an important source of data, but they probably do not 8. In the CMIR system, double counting may exist for some transactions: for example, a bank and a commercial shipper may both report the same currency shipment. Further, not all cross-border consignments of cash require a CMIR. In particular, overland shipments of currency between banks and established customers do not need to be reported, nor do overland shipments between established offices of banks (31 C.F.R. 103.23, (3) and (9)). provide accurate aggregate data because of a onesided data collection process and the omission of some potentially large volumes of currency flows. Foreign Currency Shipments by Banks A second direct source of currency flow data is the information provided to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by commercial bank-note brokers, primarily large commercial banks. Currently, we have monthly data on incoming and outgoing currency shipments by country for two intervals, the interwar period (for which the country data had been published annually) and the period beginning in 1988. We focus on the recent data.9 Overall, the shipments data indicate that well over $100 billion in U.S. currency on net has moved overseas since the late 1980s. From 1988 through 1991, the region receiving the bulk of currency shipments was Latin America, led by Argentina, which received a little more than one-third of total net shipments from the United States to the rest of the world in this period. Since then, Europe has become the dominant destination, reflecting the turbulence in the former Soviet Union. Net U.S. currency flows to Russia alone in both 1994 and 1995 have been at least $20 billion per year, or well more than half of total net foreign shipments of U.S. currency. On the whole, from 1988 to 1995 about half of net U.S. currency shipments abroad have gone to Europe, with the bulk of those presumably going to Russia. About 30 percent has been evenly split between the Far East and the Middle East, with the remainder going to Latin America, particularly Argentina. Disaggregated Sources: Surveys and Federal Reserve Cash Offices Two of the most important sources of indirect information on currency flows are recent survey results 9. The details of the data from 1988 onward are confidential. For the interwar period, see for example, "Foreign Movements of United States Currency," Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Monthly Review of Credit and Business Conditions, October 1, 1926, p. 6; "Shipments of American Currency To and From Europe," Banking and Monetary Statistics: 1914-1941 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1943), pp. 405-07, and table 113, pp. 417-18; and "Shipments of American Currency To and From Europe," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 18 (January 1932), pp. 7-9. Also, some annual data cover a brief period following World War II: See Balance of Payments Statistical Supplement to Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce, 1958), pp. 178-79, note 3, international investment position table referencing U.S. currency abroad in 1946-56. The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? and data from currency processing performed at the Federal Reserve System's Cash Offices. Twice in the mid-1980s and again in May 1995 the Federal Reserve engaged the Michigan Survey Research Center to poll at least 500 households regarding their use of currency and various transaction accounts (table l). 10 In the latest survey, average cash holdings (line 1), the percentage of currency outstanding that is accounted for by holdings of adults (line 5), and the percentage of expenditures made with cash (line 10) all had dropped significantly from the levels of the mid-1980s. Furthermore, businesses and children are not believed to hold significant amounts of currency. Hence, the declines recorded by the surveys over a period when real per capita currency was increasing sharply (see table 3) most likely point to growing demand outside the country. The other type of indirect data, which we use in the biometric method (described below), comes from the 10. Results from the 1980s surveys are discussed in Avery and others, "Changes in the Use of Transaction Accounts"; and Robert B. Avery, Gregory E. Elliehausen, Arthur B. Kennickell, and Paul A. Spindt, "The Use of Cash and Transaction Accounts by American Families," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 72 (February 1986), pp. 87-108. 1. Results of three household surveys on use of cash, 1984, 1986, and 1995 Item 1. Average cash holdings (dollars) 1 2. Cash on hand before acquisition of cash (dollars) 3. Cash acquired (dollars) 4. Days between acquisitions of cash . . . . 5. Percentage of total currency and coin outside of depository institutions and held by adults . . . 6. Percentage of cash acquired in $ 100s . 7. Annual turnover rate of cash (cash spent divided by average cash balance) 8. Number of cash transactions per month 9. Monthly cash expenditures (dollars) .. 10. Percentage of total expenditures made with cash June 1984 June 1986 May 1995 148 153 100 2 50 196 12 50 207 16 27 1493 12 11 n.a. 11 n.a. 50 49 5 23 gljj/s Isjs 36 n.a. 633 n.a. 669 29 301 30 34 20 NOTE. Dollar values for 1984 and 1986 have been inflated by the chain-type price index for personal consumption expenditures to make them comparable to the nominal 1995 values. All statistics are sample means. 1. Estimated as cash on hand before the acquisition of cash (line 2) plus one-half of the cash acquired (line 3). 2. Based on 458 respondents. 3. Based on 453 respondents who held positive amounts of cash. Calculating as in note 1 for the 453 respondents in lines 2 and 3 in May 1995, average cash balances were $27 + $ 1 4 9 / 2 = $101.50. The May 1995 entry in line 1 is $100 ($1.50 less) because it includes 5 additional individuals, who held no cash whatsoever. In both of the earlier surveys, all of the respondents reported that they held some cash. n.a. Not available. SOURCE. Federal Reserve. 887 thirty-seven Federal Reserve Cash Offices. Each of the twelve Federal Reserve Banks has at least one main Cash Office and up to five Branch Cash Offices. The Cash Offices record—by denomination and, to a limited extent, by series—all currency received, processed, destroyed, and paid out or shipped to other Cash Offices. These data do not differentiate foreign and domestic flows, but by comparing Cash Office reports on shipments of $100s and $50s with information from the surveys, we can enhance our knowledge of stocks and flows abroad. The biometric method indicates that about two-thirds of $100s and nearly half of $50s are held abroad. Institutional Knowledge: The New York Cash Office and $100 Notes Hundred-dollar notes are the largest denomination now issued by the Federal Reserve. Although $20s are in more common use than $100s in the United States, $100s make up 60 percent of the dollar value of all U.S. currency outstanding. Two facts about the use of $100 notes suggest that the net new demand for them is coming primarily from abroad. First, the Federal Reserve Cash Office serving the New York City region is the primary supplier of currency to foreign users, especially of $100s, and second, its shipments of $ 100s are unusually large relative to the size of its District, as measured by several economic variables, including regional shares of vault cash, population, income, and deposits (table 2).11 This Cash Office, one of the two Cash Offices in the New York District (the other is in Buffalo), has accounted for 97 percent of the nationwide net issuance of $100s since 1988; for the twenty-two years of currency issuance reported in table 2, the New York City Cash Office accounted for nearly 83 percent of the net national issuance of $100s. Given the survey data described above (table 1), the largest possible number of $100s per person in the United States is less than one-third of a single $100 bill, while for every U.S. resident about nine 11. The determination of a given District's share of nationwide currency holdings should depend on some combination of the variables in the first five columns of table 2. Because the Federal Reserve System supplies currency on demand, we need consider only the demand for currency. That demand depends on national variables such as the price level and interest rates and on regional measures such as spending and population. If the use of cash in some Districts is more intensive than in others, that propensity would be visible in variables such as vault cash. Thus, it is fair to assume that a given District's share of currency is explained by some combination of spending (for which we substitute personal income), population, vault cash, or deposits in that District. 888 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 2. District shares of nationwide characteristics of economic size and total cash issuance Percent Federal Reserve District Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco Total Vault cash' 5.0 13.0 3.6 6.9 9.7 12.7 10.6 4.0 1.9 4.6 6.4 21.5 100 Population 2 Personal income 3 5.0 9.7 4.6 6.5 9.4 12.8 12.3 5.0 3.0 5.4 7.4 18.8 100 6.1 12.1 5.1 5.9 9.3 11.2 12.4 4.2 2.6 5.0 6.4 19.6 100 NOTE. Because the distribution of these values changes extremely slowly, the variation in dates for which we have data introduces only a small discrepancy into the comparisons. 1. 1995:Q4. $100 notes circulate somewhere in the world.12 In sum, the basic information we have from surveys and the Federal Reserve Cash Offices about the circulation of $100 notes is consistent with relatively low dollar use domestically and high use abroad. Aggregate Data on the Relative Growth of Currency and Related Economic Variables Finally, basic domestic macroeconomic data corroborate our findings that recent currency growth is not driven by domestic factors. Empirically, the amount of currency outstanding typically grows in line with, or even a bit more slowly than, consumption in the United States. Indeed, this was the pattern until 1990. However, in the current decade, currency has grown about 3V6 percentage points more rapidly than consumption in nominal terms and in real per capita terms (table 3).13 Yet as the survey data show, the 12. We do not know the proportion of survey respondents who held $100s before their acquisition of cash, but we do know the maximum number of $100s they could have held from the individual data underlying table 1, line 2. Based on this maximum as well as on line 6 and the assumption that the average holding of this denomination is the initial amount plus one-half of the $100s acquired, the maximum amount of $100s held on average could not have been more than 30 percent of one note in the 1995 survey. 13. Currency in circulation is defined as currency, including coin, held outside of the Federal Reserve and the Treasury. The currency component of Ml is equal to currency in circulation less vault cash held at depository institutions. Definitive estimates on the amounts of currency that have been lost or destroyed are not available, but presumably the quantities are small (see Robert Laurent, "Currency in Circulation and the Real Value of Notes," Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, vol. 16, May 1974, pp. 213-26). In this paper we use a variety of currency measures, the choice of which depends on the availability of the data needed for a given method; hence, our estimates of currency abroad do not always refer to exactly the same currency concept. The differences between the currency measures are Transaction deposits 1 4.4 14.3 3.3 6.3 8.8 11.1 12.6 5.0 3.2 5.9 6.9 18.1 100 Savings and transaction deposits 1 4.6 14.4 3.6 6.8 9.5 12.0 12.4 4.6 2.9 5.3 6.3 17.5 100 $100s issued 4 All denominations issued 4 4.4 82.8 3.0 4.5 6.7 -15.9 13.8 3.7 1.7 3.0 1.2 -9.1 10.7 80.5 -.7 13.0 9.4 -34.8 29.0 3.8 1.9 4.3 -3.6 -13.4 100 100 2. 1990 census. 3. Per capita for 1989 multiplied by the 1990 population. 4. Value issued from 1974 to 1995 inclusive. SOURCE. Authors' calculations. 1990s have been a period of declining use of cash for consumption spending within the United States. In real per capita terms, the amount of notes outstanding, other than $100s, has not changed much since the late 1950s, so the increase is almost all attributable to $100s: the stock of $100s outstanding has risen about $700 in real terms, to nearly $850, since 1959. Other data pointing to a dominant external demand for currency are the changes in total real per capita currency holdings and the ratio of currency to M2 since 1959, which are a puzzle if one ignores foreign currency demands (chart 1). In real terms, total per capita balances for all denominations plus coin increased relatively slowly from 1959 to 1979, then jumped sharply from the early 1980s to the end of 1995. In contrast, the direction of change in the ratio of currency to M2 was generally downward until the late 1980s, a trend that reflected in part the absence of interest paid on currency and the implicit or explicit interest paid on the rest of M2.14 Because most of M2 bears interest at the market rate and currency yields no interest, households have an incentive to economize on currency in favor of other M2 assets, so the ratio should (other things equal) tend to decrease over time. Indeed, one might have expected this decline to have accelerated somewhat as more and more of M2 bore a market rate of interest, a process that began in 1978 and was completed for the explicit interest- very small, however, relative to the magnitude of the uncertainty inherent in our estimates of overseas currency holdings. To reflect that uncertainty, we round all of the reported percentage estimates to the nearest percent. 14. A similar declining pattern for this or comparable ratios holds in most other developed countries. The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? 889 3. Spending and currency measures in the United States, 1959-95 Mean year-end to year-end growth (percent) Period Personal consumption expenditures Currency component of Ml $100s Level, end of period Currency component of M l $100s Nominal 1959 1960-69 1970-79 1980-89 1990-95 6.5 9.9 7.9 5.1 4.6 8.3 7.5 8.6 Billions of dollars 6.2 13.4 10.4 11.8 28.8 45.7 104.8 222.6 372.2 Per capita, real terms 1959 1960-69 1970-79 1980-89 1990-95 3.0 2.3 2.1 1.0 1.1 .7 1.7 4.5 Other denominations 5.9 11.0 42.0 118.7 241.5 24.4 36.9 72.0 123.6 159.9 Per capita dollars, real terms 2.7 5.8 4.6 7.7 701 779 839 995 1,303 144 188 336 531 843 594 630 576 552 558 NOTE. Growth is at logarithmic rates. End-of-period values for the currency component of M l are December averages; for denominations, December 31. Real terms calculated with the chain-type price index for personal consumption expenditures, 1992 base year. . . . Not applicable. SOURCE. Federal Reserve, U.S. Department of the Treasury, and authors' calculations. bearing components of this aggregate in the mid1980s. In any case, until the latter part of the 1980s, the downward trend in this currency ratio was interrupted only by business cycles. Thus, the large increase in the currency ratio starting at the end of the 1980s is a surprise, suggesting once more that explaining currency growth with domestic factors alone is problematic.15 estimates; thereafter, we summarize the other eight methods and present the median estimate.16 The seasonal and biometric approaches are indirect methods in that they do not directly use information about currency flows or currency abroad but infer them from other characteristics of currency. The Seasonal Method ESTIMATION METHODS Because data on currency flows abroad are incomplete, cumulating them does not provide a good estimate of the stock of currency held abroad. Thus, we combine the flow data with estimates from a variety of alternate methods. We have examined ten methods for estimating the share of currency abroad. We discuss in detail two methods, one based on differences in the seasonal patterns of U.S. and Canadian currency demand and one based on biometric population 15. Part of the increase in the ratio reflects the shift of assets out of M2 into non-M2 instruments such as stock and bond funds in the first few years of the 1990s; see Athanasios Orphanides and Richard Porter, "P* Revisited: Money-Based Inflation Forecasts with a Changing Equilibrium Velocity" (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1996). But even after accounting for such shifts, the implied increase in the demand for currency from the low point of the ratio in the late 1980s would be quite large, on the order of $140 billion to account for the increase in the ratio. We will show below that a shift of this magnitude is consistent with most of the estimates of net shipments of currency abroad during the period since 1988 (table 5). We have not included interest rates in the discussion, even though they move in the right direction to explain some of the recent acceleration in currency growth (table 3). We do not find compelling evidence that the interest sensitivity of currency is large enough to explain this acceleration (see appendix A). In general, the seasonal method presupposes that U.S. currency held abroad behaves differently from U.S. 16. For details of these methods, see Porter and Judson, "The Location of U.S. Currency." 1. U.S. currency ratio and the total real stock of U.S. currency measured in dollars per U.S. resident Chained (1992) dollars NOTE. Currency ratio calculated with the currency component of M l (see text note 13). Per capita holdings deflated by the chain-type price index for personal consumption expenditures, 1992 base year. Shading indicates periods of recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research. 890 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 currency held at home in some measurable respect.17 The average measured characteristic of currency, say X, will be a weighted average of the characteristic for the domestically held currency, XD, and of that for the foreign-held currency, XI, as follows: (1) X=(3Xrf + (l holdings, then overall seasonal variations in U.S.currency holdings should have diminished. Rough support for such a hypothesis comes from a comparison of the 1959-63 seasonal variations in the currency component of Ml with the component's 1991-95 variations. The seasonal fluctuations for the last fiveyear period are much reduced from what they were in the early period (chart 2).19 where the weight P is the domestic share of total currency outstanding, and 1 — (3 is the foreign share. By observing the overall behavior of currency, we Canada as the Benchmark know X. We exploit various data to infer XD or XF, for U.S. Domestic Behavior thus allowing an estimate of the shares of currency held at home and abroad (see box "The Seasonal Canada is a suitable benchmark for comparison for Variation Technique"). two basic reasons. First, Canadian currency is not The seasonal method uses relative seasonal variaused outside of Canada to any significant degree. tions in the currency circulating in the United States Second, because the United States and Canada have a and Canada to infer overseas holdings of dollars.18 similar set of major holidays and school vacations Four assumptions underlie this method: (1) the seaand share many customs, the seasonal variations in sonal pattern in domestic demand for U.S. dollars is retail sales and in consumption in the two countries similar to the seasonal pattern of demand within are similar; hence the induced domestic demand for Canada for Canadian dollars, (2) foreign demand for their respective currencies should also have about the U.S. dollars has no significant seasonal pattern, (3) the circulation of Canadian dollars outside of Canada is negligible, so that the demand for Cana19. The degree of the decline may be overstated in the chart because of differing trends in the two periods. To investigate more dian dollars can be attributed solely to domestic precisely, we use a seasonal filter, STL, to extract the seasonal demand, and (4) U.S. currency is not used to a component of the series and focus on the seasonal amplitude, which is substantial degree inside Canada. Under these the difference between the maximum seasonal effect (reached in December) and the minimum (usually reached in the subsequent assumptions, the share of U.S. currency abroad can February). According to this measure, the amplitude of seasonal be deduced by comparing the seasonality of Canavariation declines about one-half from 1960 to 1995. The STL method dian currency in circulation to the seasonality of all is set out in Robert B. Cleveland, William S. Cleveland, Jean E. McRae, and Irma Terpenning, "STL: A Seasonal-Trend DecomposiU.S. currency in circulation. If foreign holdings tion Procedure Based on Loess," Statistics Sweden, Journal of Offiexhibit seasonality similar to that of domestic holdcial Statistics, vol. 6, no. 1 (1990), pp. 3-73. More formally, statistical ings, the estimate generally provides a lower bound tests indicate that net foreign shipments of currency by banks do not have a significant seasonal pattern; see Porter and Judson, "The on the share of currency held abroad. Location of U.S. Currency." Seasonality in Currency Holdings and in Banking Shipments One factor undercutting any seasonality in foreign holdings is the unpredictable timing of foreign national crises, which tend to precipitate large dollar inflows to the affected nation. In addition, transaction costs may discourage foreign users from returning to the United States those dollars received in routine exchanges that may have a seasonal pattern. If foreign currency holdings have relatively little seasonality and have tended to increase relative to domestic 17. Two other indirect methods, the coin and demographic, also embody this assumption (Porter and Judson, "The Location of U.S. Currency"). 18. Porter and Judson, "The Location of U.S. Currency." 2. Stock of U.S. currency in two periods, 1959-63 and 1991-95 Ratio scale, billions of dollars 34 Ratio scale, billions of dollars — 360 32 1991-95, (right scale) — 320 30 — 28 — 1959-63, (left scale) 280 1 Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. NOTE. Currency measured as currency component of M l . Dec. The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? 891 The Seasonal Variation Technique Typically, the currency component of Ml is seasonally adjusted with a model in which the unadjusted series is viewed as a product of three terms: a trend-cycle term, a seasonal term, and an irregular, or noise, term. The seasonal term in the unadjusted series (the reciprocal of the seasonal factor) is around 1 in periods without a discernible seasonal influence; it registers its largest values above 1 in periods of significant seasonal increases of currency, which occur around Christmas and the summertime vacation period; and it is typically the furthest below 1 after such periods, when the seasonal term typically declines sharply. Given the assumptions above, the model for the domestic and foreign holdings of currency can be written as follows. First, overall currency holdings can be modeled as the product of a trend-cycle (and irregular) component and a seasonal component in the respective (domestic and foreign) locations. In symbols let S be the seasonal term and T be the trend term so that (1.1) TtS, = T}Sd + 7?Sf where the superscript d is associated with the multiplicative currency components held domestically, the superscript/is associated with those components held outside the country, and the subscript t denotes time.1 The left side of equation 1.1 represents the overall unadjusted currency series as the product of the trend-cycle and seasonal terms, while the right side displays a parallel decomposition for the domestic and foreign components. If we let (5, be the fraction of the overall trend held domestically, and 1 - (3, the fraction held abroad, then equation 1.1 can be rewritten as (1.2) r,s,=P,r(s?+( i - p , ) W Cancelling Tt from both sides of equation 1.2, (1.3) s,=p,s? + a - P , ) # Observe that equation 1.3 is an example of the main text's equation 1, with the seasonal term playing the role of the X variable in that definitional equation. Finally, assuming that the foreign seasonal component is always equal to 1 (that is, same seasonal pattern.20 This similarity implies that any difference between the seasonal variation in total 20. The notion that the seasonal term in retail sales induces the seasonal term in holdings of domestic currency is of long standing (see, for example, "Seasonal Variations in Money in Circulation," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 18, December 1932, pp. 7 3 5 ^ 6 ) . foreign demand does not vary seasonally), we can simplify equation 1.3 slightly: (1.4) S, = + (1 - P,) Given values for the seasonal terms, equation 1.4 becomes a single equation in one unknown, (3,. We can solve for provided that the seasonal terms in equation 1.4 do not equal 1. In periods without a seasonal influence (which is when 5, = 1 and S,d =1), any value of P, is consistent with equation 1.4, so we cannot identify a unique value. Thus, the method generates sensible estimates at an annual frequency but not at all frequencies. The best estimate of the model is obtained by measuring the seasonal variation around Christmas, specifically from the seasonal high that is reached in currency in December to the seasonal low in February. This period of the year is the one in which the seasonal in currency is best aligned with the seasonal in transactions (retail sales). Formally, we take equation 1.4 and rewrite the time subscript t as m,y (where m refers to the mA month in the yA year) and set (5, to (3. Then subtracting equation 1.4 for February from equation 1.4 for the preceding December and collecting terms in (3, we find that the share of currency held domestically is °dec,y ^feb,y + 1 To calculate this equation with actual values, we assume, for the reasons given above, that Canadian data can be used to estimate what the relative seasonal variations in the United States would be without any foreign holdings of currency. Given a seasonal adjustment procedure, we can use the estimate of the overall seasonal component for the currency component of Ml in the United States to estimate the numerator in equation 1.5 and use the analogous term for Canada to estimate the denominator; with the value for p, the domestic share, the share held abroad is then calculated as 1 - p. 1. The irregular term in the seasonal decomposition can be viewed as being confined within the trend term. Adding an explicit irregular term does not alter the results. demand for U.S. currency and that for Canadian currency likely reflects foreign demand for U.S. currency. In addition, Canada's set of denominations is similar to that in the United States, and the bilateral exchange rate is sufficiently close to 1 that pair-wise comparisons of individual denominations or combinations of denominations in the two currencies can be considered. 892 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Estimates from the Seasonal Method Biometric Applying the seasonal method produces an estimate of the share of currency held abroad that begins with about 40 percent in 1960 and then rises uniformly, reaching 70 percent by 1995 (chart 3, top panel).21 The estimated rise in the currency share abroad stems both from the drop in seasonal amplitude within the United States and from an increase in that for Canada. Toward the end of the period, the growth in the share of currency held abroad moderated, but the implied flows abroad picked up sharply (chart 3, bottom panel) because of the large increase in overall currency holdings. Our use of the biometric method focuses on the supply of $100s. The share of the nationwide net issuance of $100s attributable to four Reserve Districts—New York, Atlanta, Dallas, and San Francisco—over the past twenty-two years is out of proportion to the Districts' shares of other national economic characteristics (table 2). The anomaly regarding these four Districts is consistent with our understanding that most foreign shipments of currency go in and out of the New York District, with additional smaller net inflows through the Atlanta and Dallas Districts (from Latin America) and the San Francisco District (from the Far East). To obtain a more precise understanding of such regional breakdowns, including the overall domesticforeign split in currency holdings, the second estimation method we develop mimics a technique used by biologists to estimate the size of an animal population when they are able to capture only a sample of the population at any given time. The approach draws on studies by a Danish biologist, Carl Petersen, who worked more than 100 years ago. Petersen's work suggested that an animal population can be estimated by capturing a sample of animals, marking them, releasing them, and capturing another sample later.22 Assuming that the marks do not affect the animals' ability to survive (and thus their likelihood of being in the second sample), the share of marked animals in the (unknown) general population will be the same as the share of marked animals in the recaptured sample (see box "The Biometric Method"). We adapt Petersen's approach to obtain an estimate of how much U.S. currency is abroad by combining two sources of information. First, data from Federal Reserve Cash Offices on currency shipped to and from local banks allow us to obtain virtually continuous "samples" of currency. Second, although currency is not literally marked, statistics for the pre1990-series note are maintained separately from those for the 1990-series $100 note, which contains an embedded security thread.23 We can think of the 1990-series notes as marked animals: When a pre- 21. The seasonal adjustment method, applied to the logarithm of the series, is from Cleveland and others, "STL: A Seasonal-Trend Decomposition." On balance, the results using XI1 ARIMA or official (central bank) adjustment procedures are very similar to those shown here. We have chosen to report the STL results because they are the smoothest, but the basic results would be little changed if other estimates were substituted. Because the time-varying estimate is calculated without averaging, it might seem surprising that the estimate shown in the top panel of chart 3 is so smooth. By construction the STL seasonal adjustment procedure guarantees that the monthly seasonal components are smooth through time, a property that evidently carries over in this application to the ratios. 3. U.S. currency abroad, estimated with seasonal method Percent Percentage held abroad Billions of dollars N e t amount 1965 flowing^ 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 NOTE. Currency measured as currency component of M l . 1995 Estimates 22. E.D. Le Cren, "A Note on the History of Mark-Recapture Population Estimates," The Journal of Animal Ecology, vol. 34 (June 1965), pp. 453-54, notes that Petersen did not use the method for counting but that others properly credit him with the method. See C.G. Joh. Petersen, "On the Biology of Our Fiat-Fishes and on the Decrease of Our Flat-Fish Fisheries," Report of the Danish Biological Station, vol. 4, 1893. See also G.A.F. Seber, The Estimation of Animal Abundance and Related Parameters, 2d ed. (Macmillan, 1982). 23. The 1990-series notes were introduced in August 1991, in $100s. The 1996-series $100 note was introduced in March 1966 (see box "The 1996-Series $100 Note"). The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? 893 The Biometric Method For any geographic area, the total population of notes to be estimated, N, can be expressed in relation to three known numbers: M, the total number of marked (1990-series) notes; n, the number of notes in a sample; and m, the number of marked (1990-series) notes in a sample. Assuming that the notes circulate freely and randomly, so that the sampled proportions of marked notes are representative of the notes circulating in the area chosen, Petersen's approach (see text note 22) tells us that the sample proportion of marked notes is equal to the proportion of marked notes in the whole population: (i.D N ^ n With the total number of notes in the population, N, in some geographic area (for example, a Federal Reserve Cash Office's area) as the only unknown in this relationship, we can solve for it as (1.2) N =— M m We have used the Petersen method to obtain estimates of Federal Reserve 1990-series $100 and $50 notes circulating in the United States and abroad ($50s with the embedded security thread were introduced in 1992). We know the total number of marked notes, M, from outflows of the 1990series $100s and $50s from each of the Federal Reserve Cash Offices; and we know the ratio of total sampled notes to marked sampled notes, n/m, from notes that are received from circulation at each Cash Office. Because almost all currency sent to and received from foreign countries goes through the New York City Cash Office, we provisionally assume that this office is the foreign pool and the rest of the Offices together constitute the domestic pool. We estimate total notes in circulation throughout the United States excluding New York City, say Nmy, by applying equation 1.2 to the pool consisting of all the Offices outside New York City. Then, to obtain an estimate of total domestic currency circulation (that is, including New York City), Nd, we scale up to account for the population served by the New York City Cash Office: P°Pny POPxn> where popny is the population served by the New York City Office, and popxny is the population served by the rest of the Cash Offices combined. We can estimate the foreign share of currency holdings in two different ways, depending on whether total notes are determined as the sum of the notes in all the Federal Reserve Districts, say N = Nny + Nmy (that is, an estimate) or are taken as the actual total of notes in circulation, say N. Unlike the biologists, we do know N, apart from what has been lost or destroyed.1 Using N, the estimate for total notes, the number of notes held in foreign countries is Nf~ N - Nd, and the share of notes abroad is just Nf/N. This method has the advantage of using parallel estimates for domestic and foreign circulation. Using the actual N, the share of currency abroad is estimated as Nf/N, which has the advantage of using our knowledge of the total amount of currency in circulation for each of the denominations. The range of estimates for each denomination (see table) can be considered outer bounds for the true figures because of the way they represent hoarded notes. The biometric method is able to estimate only the population of notes actively in circulation; the bank notes that are hoarded do not circulate and hence cannot be part of the estimates of n/m for any location. When the foreign share is estimated as the ratio of notes circulating in the foreign pool to all notes outstanding, the implicit assumption is that all uncounted notes are in the domestic pool, which is presumably not true; thus, the estimate is a lower bound of currency held abroad. Similarly, estimating the foreign share as the number of notes in the foreign pool over total measured notes implicitly assumes that notes are hoarded in the same proportion that they circulate. In this case, if notes are hoarded disproportionately abroad, the estimate could be higher; however, the estimate for $100s is about 70 percent, and we find it unlikely that more than 70 percent of the hoarded notes in the world are hoarded abroad. Thus, we consider this estimate an upper bound.2 1. A difference between this problem and the biometricians' is that they capture and count marked species over discrete time intervals, whereas the Federal Reserve continuously processes currency. Thus, our computations should, in principle, use a lag of the quantity of new notes in circulation to account for the fact that notes released during the sample period are not actually part of the pool for the whole period. In practice, lags do not appear to matter. For estimates of notes that are lost and destroyed, see Laurent, "Currency in Circulation." 2. The estimates appear to be relatively robust to alternative assumptions about the location of the foreign pool. Little changes if, as part of the foreign pool, we include two other cities, Los Angeles and Miami, that are believed to have significant foreign currency activity. Generally, if we try to align the District biometric estimates with the relevant economic variables that influence domestic currency location, we obtain estimates of domestic holdings that are similar to the aggregate biometric estimates. Biometric estimates of currency held abroad Percent $50s Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 $100s Value used for total bank notes Estimated Actual Estimated Actual n.a. 29 30 34 40 n.a. 62 54 48 49 56 47 53 60 66 82 75 72 71 75 894 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 1990 note is "sampled," or returned to a Federal Reserve Cash Office, it is "marked" by being replaced with a 1990-series note. We know how many 1990-series notes have been issued by each Federal Reserve Cash Office, and we know how many return to the Cash Offices in later samples. Second, we make use of the institutional fact that the New York City Cash Office handles relatively few cash shipments to and from domestic banks and that most of the currency shipments it handles are to and from foreign banks. Thus, if we can estimate the "population" of dollars in the "pool" served by each Federal Reserve Cash Office, the currency abroad can be estimated as the population in the New York City Cash Office pool. Using the biometric method, we find that the December 1995 estimate of the share of $100s held abroad is between 66 percent and 75 percent and the estimate for $50s (marked with a security thread in 1992) is between 40 percent and 49 percent.24 SUMMARY OF ALL ESTIMATION Domestic and foreign shipments of a newly designed U.S. $100 note began in March 1996. Aside from minor changes introduced in 1990, the 1996 note was the first redesign of U.S. currency since 1928. The goal of the change was to preserve as much of the traditional appearance of the note as possible while introducing new security features that would make the note more difficult to counterfeit. With the new design, which will be applied to smaller denominations over six- to twelve-month intervals, notes are the same size, use the same ink color and paper, and feature the same historical figures and monuments as before. However, the portrait has been enlarged and moved to the left to make room for a watermark that matches the portrait. Other security features include microprinting around the portrait and elsewhere, a thread woven into the note in a different position for each denomination, and, for the larger denominations, a special ink for the denomination number in the lower right front corner of the note that changes color when one changes the viewing angle of the note. METHODS In addition to the two methods described above, eight other techniques were developed to estimate the stock of U.S. currency held abroad. These are summarized in table 4. The estimate of the foreign share of currency using indirect estimates of the type just described is just under 30 percent using the coin method and ranges from about 50 percent to 70 percent using the biometric, demographic, and seasonal methods (table 5). Although flow-based methods (both direct and outlier) do not yield straightforward estimates of the stock held abroad, such estimates can be derived because the flow data over the years can be consistent only with a relatively narrow range for the overseas stock. The estimates are obtainable from a trial-anderror procedure using various assumed values for the current proportion abroad.25 24. As an alternative, we have also estimated the model for each Cash Office and then aggregated the results. The estimate in the text should be preferred if there are significant movements of currency (leakages) across these domestic pools. In any event, this alternative estimate tends to be within a few percentage points of those shown in the text by the end of the sample period. Thus, it does not seem to matter very much whether we explicitly consider leakages of currency across the domestic pools. 25. To see the steps involved, consider what foreign holdings of currency would be consistent with some flow estimates. According to the shipments proxy, currency shipped abroad between 1977 and 1995 totaled $183.3 billion, on net, as shown in table 5, column 1. If no currency had been held overseas at the end of 1976, the total stock of foreign holdings at the end of 1995 would have been $183.3, or 49 percent of the total outstanding. At the other extreme, if all The 1996-Series $100 Note Taking the midpoint of this range of estimates gives us a way of assigning an end-of-year value for the share abroad for any method for which we have flow data; for example, we derive an extreme range of 49 percent to 71 percent for the shipments proxy (see note 25), the midpoint of which is 60 percent.26 Overall, the shares of currency held abroad at yearend 1995 as derived from the flow-based estimates range from the low of 17 percent for the CMIR statistics to a high of 60 percent using the shipments proxy. We have also used the same trial-and-error method to get an estimate of currency held abroad averaging across all of the methods. We begin by taking the estimated flows abroad for each year of the period currency outstanding at the end of 1976 had been held overseas ($80.1 billion, not seasonally adjusted), then the stock of foreign holdings would have been $263.4 billion, or 71 percent of the total. 26. Clearly, neither endpoint is likely to be correct, whereas a value near the middle is much more likely to be so. Thus, we will use the midpoint in what follows as a rough gauge of the percentage held abroad. The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? from 1977 to 1995 for each of the seven available methods.27 For each year of the period, we take the median value of the seven estimates, which are then summed across years to obtain the total median flow estimate for the entire period, shown in the first two columns of the bottom row of table 5. Taking the flows from the median flow estimate and using the same technique to estimate year-end shares that we used before for each of the direct methods (taking 27. For three of the methods (biometric, demographic, and foreign currency shipments), we do not have sufficient years of data to include them in the median calculation. 4. 895 the midpoint between the two extremes), we obtain a midpoint estimate of 55 percent as the proportion of total currency that was held abroad at the end of 1995. As a check on this estimated percentage abroad, it is helpful to evaluate the largest denomination in active circulation, the hundred-dollar bill, which plays such a major role in the overseas currency market. The available estimates for $100s, shown in table 5, are consistent with 74 percent of this denomination being held abroad. If only $100s were abroad, they alone could account for an overseas share for total currency of 44 percent. A reasonable assumption is that the smaller denominations could easily Methods for estimating currency abroad Method Description Indirect (stock-based) Seasonal Described in text Biometric Described in text Coin As in the seasonal method, we use Canada's ratio of notes to coin to estimate the U.S. domestic ratio, assuming that U.S. coins are not typically used outside the country Demographic Estimates of the ages of domestic and foreign notes were obtained from special samples of physical notes taken in March and October 1989. The overall age of notes in circulation is a weighted average of notes circulating abroad and domestically Direct (flow-based) Customs reports Businesses and individuals moving more than $10,000 across U.S. borders must generally file Currency and Monetary Instrument Reports (CMIRs) with U.S. Customs. Incoming travelers are informed of the filing requirement on their Customs Declaration. Departing travelers are occasionally informed of the filing requirement or are targeted for enforcement purposes Foreign currency shipments Net foreign currency shipments are reported to Federal Reserve Cash Offices on an informal basis by the small number of commercial banks that are major international shippers of currency Shipments proxy We assume that monthly net shipments of $100s from the New York City Cash Office are approximately equal to net shipments abroad of all currency. We exploit the institutional fact that foreign shipments are predominantly in $100 notes and that they most often originate at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. We assume that the three sources of disparity between actual net flows and New York shipments (that is, the quantity of $100s used domestically within the area served by the N Y. Office, the quantity of lower-denomination notes this Office sends abroad, and foreign shipments by other Cash Offices) are all small Cash Office flows We compare currency shipment data from each Federal Reserve Cash Office with other indicators of regional cash demand such as population and income. Cash Offices whose share of total shipments is much different from their population or income shares are assumed to be making or receiving foreign shipments. Statistical methods yield an estimate of the domestic cash demand component as indicated by local population and income Outlier-based (flow-based) Money demand Signal extraction Summary measure of currency flows abroad Median flow estimate If currency holdings abroad increase sharply, then predictions of U.S. demand based on domestic factors such as U.S. interest rates and transactions should produce a significant underestimate. This approach measures the net flows of currency abroad from prediction errors generated by the Federal Reserve Board staff's currency demand model Like the money-demand method, this method is based on outliers from a prespecified relationship, in this case a time-series model Computed as the median in each year of the estimates from seven of the above methods: seasonal, coin, Customs reports, shipments proxy, Cash Office flows, money demand, and signal extraction. The remaining three methods do not have data for enough years to be included in this estimate 896 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 contribute 11 additional percentage points.28 Thus, the evidence for $100s appears consistent with an estimated minimum of around 55 percent of currency being held abroad. PROPERTIES OF MEDIAN FLOW ESTIMATE OF OVERSEAS CURRENCY FLOWS All our methods except the CMIR indicate that overseas currency flows are large and growing. We focus on the median flow estimate because it does not depend very much on the results of any one method. The median flow calculations show that the overseas component of currency flows has been picking up, to more than 70 percent of total currency flows in the 28. Estimates from the biometric, seasonal, and demographic methods for denominations less than $100 can easily account for the needed increment. 5. Net flows of U.S. currency to foreign locations and the percentage of U.S. currency abroad, by method of estimation Flow (billions of dollars)1 Method Indirect (stock-based) Seasonal Biometric Coin Demographic Stock, December 1995 except as noted (percent) 1977-95 1988-95 Overall $100s 223.6 n.a. 173.8 132.5 n.a. 92.2 70 n.a. 29 492 74 70' n.a. methods Direct (flow-based) methods Customs reports Net foreign currency shipments, as compiled by N.Y. FR Cash Office Shipments proxy Estimates based on Cash Office flows 5.2 42.1 17* n.a. 183.3 107.1 140.3 54 4 604 123.2 4 1990s (table 6). The domestic flows show no distinct trend, and most of the year-to-year changes in the currency component of Ml (including the pickup in the 1990s) are accounted for by variations in the foreign flows.29 (Appendix A is an economic and statistical analysis of these summary flows.) Two notable multiyear spurts appear in the net amount of currency going abroad: in 1990 and the early part of 1991 and again in 1993 and 1994. The first surge is associated with an increase to Argentina and with a worldwide increase in the demand for dollar currency as a result of the Persian Gulf war; the second is part of the deteriorating situation in Russia and other parts of the former Soviet Union. Although overseas currency flows tended to drop back somewhat after these surges, the general upward path for foreign currency shipments is unmistakable. Predicting the future course of shipments is even more problematic than estimating past flows. Some of the currency held abroad is used by travelers to areas outside of Western Europe, so that more such travel is likely to increases the foreign demand for currency. But the remaining, larger component is much more unpredictable and subject to massive and abrupt shifts because of wars or fundamental changes in economic and political regimes or to evolving fears about such developments. 29. Statistically, they have a simple correlation coefficient of 0.98 with annual data. 513 6. Increase in the currency component of Ml, by foreign or domestic destination Billions of dollars except as noted 163.1 55 63 4 Year Total increase 1 Going to foreign economies Amount Outlier-based (flow-based) methods Money demand Signal extraction 119.6 179.6 104.6 140.4 43 4 594 944 Median flow estimate 3 163.8 123.1 55 4 746 NOTE. For detail on the results of the coin, shipments proxy, Cash Office, and outlier-based methods, see Porter and Judson, "The Location of U.S. Currency." For detail on the demographic method, see Feige, "Overseas Holdings of U.S. Currency." 1. The average of the two estimates that bound the true value. 2. Surveys taken in the spring and fall of 1989. An updated estimate of the currency held abroad based on this 1989 estimate and the median flow estimate (last row in table) yields a result of 59 percent at the end of 1995. 3. This value becomes 78 percent when updated by the increase in $100s since 1989 that is associated with the shipments proxy. 4. Midpoint of feasible range for proportion of currency held abroad; see text. 5. Computed by taking, for each year, the median of the seven methods that have data for 1977-95 and then taking the median of the resulting series. 6. Median of all methods yielding a value, with the demographic value updated as in note 3. n.a. Not available. . . . Not applicable. / Percent Going to domestic economy Amount Percent 1977 1978 1979 7.9 8.6 8.8 1.6 2.6 2.4 20.2 29.8 27.2 6.3 6.1 6.4 79.8 70.2 72.8 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 10.6 7.2 9.9 13.7 9.9 3.6 2.3 3.8 5.3 3.5 33.7 32.0 38.1 38.7 35.6 7.0 4.9 6.2 8.4 6.4 66.3 68.0 61.9 61.3 64.4 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 11.8 12.8 16.1 15.4 10.4 5.0 4.6 6.0 6.5 5.7 42.5 36.2 37.3 41.9 54.5 6.8 8.2 10.1 9.0 4.7 57.5 63.8 62.7 58.1 45.5 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 24.2 20.6 25.5 29.5 32.5 18.3 15.1 18.1 22.3 23.6 75.7 73.1 71.2 75.6 72.5 5.9 5.5 7.3 7.2 8.9 24.3 26.9 28.8 24.4 27.5 1995 18.3 13.6 74.5 4.7 25.5 1. December to December, seasonally adjusted. SOURCE. Federal Reserve and authors' calculations. The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? Finally, the growth of total U.S. currency outstanding over the past fifteen years has clearly outpaced both the inflation rate and the growth of the U.S. population (that is, as shown in chart 4, total real U.S. currency outstanding per U.S. resident has risen substantially since the early 1980s). But the level of real domestic balances has been nearly flat since the late 1980s (chart 4), a result, perhaps, of the increasing use of currency substitutes such as checks and credit cards (as found in the 1995 currency survey). By contrast, real foreign demand has been increasing sharply, resulting in a more stable appearance for the trend in total real currency per US. resident than for either of its components.30 The Contrarian View That Most U.S. Currency Is Held at Home One of our basic findings is that most of the recent increase in the demand for currency has been from outside of the United States. The other possibility is that the increased demand has been domestic in origin. But domestic sources for the recent surge in total cash holdings are difficult to identify. Most analysts do not ascribe very much currency holding to businesses; the thinness of their likely holdings can be 30. The foreign component is the median flow estimate for 197795, here deflated by U.S. population because we are uncertain of the size of the foreign population that holds U S . currency. The levels for the foreign component are based on the midpoint of the range for this series, estimated to be 55 percent at the end of 1995. 4. Median flow estimate of the foreign component of the total real stock of U.S. currency, measured in dollars per U.S. resident Ratio scale, chained (1992) dollars 1980 1985 1990 1995 NOTE. Currency measured as currency component of M l and deflated by the chain-type price index for personal consumption expenditures, 1992 base year. 1. The domestic component is defined here as total less foreign. 897 seen from simple back-of-envelope calculations.31 And we have already seen that surveys do not assign much cash to households, although respondents may understate the true amounts they hold.32 An unreported rise in the use of currency could reflect a rise in tax evasion or underground activity (such behavior is very unlikely to be picked up in a survey of currency usage). But the estimated size of the unrecorded economy does not seem sufficient to account for the observed increase in currency holdings. Suppose that 10 percent of U.S. gross domestic product were generated in the cash economy—a generous assumption—and that all worldwide illegal drug transactions were exclusively done with U.S. currency (an assumption that double counts the illegal drug transactions included in the U.S. cash economy). We know from currency surveys that an average unit of currency turns over on the order of thirty-five to fifty times per year. Thus, the amount of currency required to support both the 10 percent of our $7 trillion GDP economy plus all drug trafficking (reported to be on the order of $300 billion) would be between about $20 billion and $30 billion, or only 5 percent to 8 percent of U.S. currency outstanding.33 Tax avoidance is the most likely other possibility that would account for the cash we attribute to foreign holdings. Suppose that, to avoid taxation, individuals and businesses manage to hide sizable 31. Most businesses need nothing more than seed cash to operate, and the total amount of such cash is not likely to be significant, as the following calculation shows. Almost 2.7 million retail establishments existed in 1992. Taking certain elements of cash use at supermarket chains as the standard for all retail establishments that year, assume that each establishment had ten cash registers (currently the median number for supermarket chains) and each register contained $200 of seed cash (the amount that at least one large supermarket chain uses for that purpose); then the total currency holdings by all retail establishments would have been only $5.4 billion, or 1.8 percent of the total stock of currency at the end of 1992. If, in addition, one business days' worth of total consumption was always in transit to depository institutions, the total amount from both of these sources would have been only $22.3 billion, or only 7.7 percent of total currency holdings in that year. 32. Even taken at face value, CMIR statistics contradict claims that the foreign component is small. For example, the CMIR data imply that, taking the midpoint of the range of estimates, 17 percent of currency was held abroad at the end of 1995; but in that case, the implied amount overseas at the beginning of the sample (the end of 1976) would have been 67 percent. On the other hand, if little currency is held abroad currently, how would one account for the $53.2 billion in currency that was returned to the United States in 1995, according to CMIR statistics? 33. That is, with a turnover rate of fifty, ([0.1 x 7 x 10 12 ] + [300 x 10 9 ]) / 50 = 20 x 10 9 . The most recent cash survey, in 1995, found that the turnover rate of currency was about thirty-six times per year, down from a rate of fifty times per year in the mid-1980s (a decline from about seven days per turnover to ten). Such a decline might be expected in light of the generally lower level of interest rates prevailing more recently. 898 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 amounts of cash that they had skimmed from their business cash receipts. Such activities undoubtedly occur, but it strikes us as dubious that in the aggregate they could fill the void, given that currency, which does not pay interest, must compete with many other investment vehicles that produce significant real returns. Another counterargument to our findings would be that we have not given sufficient recognition to the unique characteristics of currency, including its anonymity, which can have great value in some (mostly illicit) transactions. However, this advantage is not unique to transactions within the United States but extends to the world, in part because of even fewer legal and regulatory restrictions on the use of currency elsewhere. Also, the increase in $100s, the denomination with the most significant increase, has been concentrated in one Federal Reserve Cash Office, that serving only New York City and its environs. Tax evasion and other illegal activity cannot explain this geographic concentration. Moreover, if the New York City region actually had a highly unusual distribution of cash, it would surely be reflected in other statistics such as a skewed geographic distribution of vault cash, which is not the case, at least for the District in which New York City is located (table 2). Nor, finally, can tax evasion and other illegal activity explain the data's temporal pattern—for example, the sharp rise in the ratio of currency to M2 that began at the end of the 1980s. CROSS-COUNTRY COMPARISONS After decades in which many developed countries have supposedly been moving to cashless economies, the sheer size of current per capita currency holdings around the world may come as a surprise (table 7). For two countries, the United States and Germany, part of the mystery is removed when we take the foreign holdings into account.34 Making such adjustments, the United States per capita holdings move to the low end of the international scale, roughly equal to the per capita levels in Great Britain, Finland, and Canada—countries without significant external holdings of their currencies. Appendix B explores how the relatively high amount in other countries (even in Germany after deducting its foreign holdings) might be explained in the context of an analysis of the 34. Work at the German central bank suggests that between 30 percent and 40 percent of deutsche marks are held outside Germany. See Seitz, "The Circulation of Deutsche Mark Abroad." demand for money in these developed countries.35 We conclude that these differences can be explained in part by differences in the principal determinants of currency holdings—interest rates, inflation, and spending. But more important, we believe the differences can be more fully explained by differences in payment systems and practices as well as in the levels of crime and taxation, the availability of ATM machines, the relative size of the denominations in which currency is issued, and, we suspect, the relative strictness of the regulations regarding currency usage. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS One of the purposes of the Federal Reserve System is to provide currency on demand—"to furnish an elastic currency," according to the preamble of the 1913 act creating the Federal Reserve. The original impetus for providing a more flexible currency supply was domestic in nature—for example, at the time, onethird of the population was still engaged in agricultural pursuits and thus subject to the large seasonal swings in agricultural transactions, a great many of 35. The balances for Switzerland conceivably include substantial amounts of cash held by nonresidents in safety deposit boxes at Swiss banks. If so, the Swiss data, like that for the United States and Germany, should be adjusted for "foreign" holdings. Currently, almost 90 percent of Swiss currency value is held in three largedenomination notes—100 francs, 500 francs, and 1,000 francs—with almost 50 percent of total currency held in the largest of these. Because 1,000-franc notes rarely circulate in Switzerland, we suspect that some of the currency is held in safety deposit boxes. 7. Comparison of per capita amounts of currency in circulation in selected industrial countries, 1995 Country Japan Switzerland Germany Netherlands United States Norway Belgium Germany with foreign holdings removed, assuming 35 percent abroad Sweden Italy Denmark France Canada United States with foreign holdings removed. assuming 55 percent abroad Finland Great Britain U.S. dollars 3,590 3,450 2,030 1,550 1,450 1,410 1,350 1,320 1,160 1,080 1,050 900 670 650 560 530 NOTE. Per capita amounts converted to dollars and rounded to the nearest $10. Some values for 1995 population are extrapolations. SOURCE. International Financial Statistics (International Monetary Fund), Bank for International Settlements, and authors' calculations. The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? which were undertaken with cash. But within a decade of the act's passage, the Federal Reserve began to collect data on overseas shipments of currency by a number of large commercial banks in New York City, and over the subsequent seventy years, U.S. currency has become the world's leading cash medium. In addition to the dollar's virtues as cash (anonymity and compactness), dollars are held and used because of their liquidity and stability relative to most of the world's currencies. While much of U.S. currency abroad is held in $100s, a significant amount also appears to be in smaller denominations. Determining how much of U.S. currency has gone abroad or returned from abroad in any period is difficult. Identifying flows between the United States and any individual country is even more problematic. If the flows in both directions stay within the banking system, the banking data we have will often capture much of it. However, if the flows are extraordinarily large, as they appear to have been recently, the outlier methods—the money demand and signal extraction methods—may be able to pick up aggregate net outflows as well.36 The difficulty is that not all currency moves across borders within the banking system. Thus, part of our motivation for developing the indirect methods, such as the seasonal and the biometric, was to capture flows that might not show up in the more direct measures. In fact, all of the methods except for that using the CMIR data from Customs suggest that a large amount of currency has gone abroad, and we are inclined to view those expansive estimates as being close to the truth. Does this mean that the methods are inherently good? Or is this just a coincidence? We think it safe to say that the movements abroad have been so large in the 1990s that any reasonable method would have a fair chance of picking them up. Our "median flow" estimates of the amount of currency held abroad and the size of recent overseas flows suggest that more than half of the nearly $300 billion increase in the currency component of Ml since 1976 has gone abroad to accommodate increased demands for Federal Reserve currency (table 6). Higher flows abroad would be registered if we used the shipments proxy (60 percent) and much lower flows would be estimated if we used the Customs data on CMIRs (less than 2 percent). We have also estimated that between 55 percent and 70 per- 36. The same also applies to the Cash Office flows, which can be thought of as a crude form of money demand applied to the District or Branch level. 899 cent of the U.S. currency stock is currently held outside the country. The large expansion of the stock of U.S. currency in the past decade—attributable, as we have seen, to foreign demand—has provided a significant rise in seigniorage to the U.S. Treasury and in the benefit that seigniorage provides to U.S. taxpayers. In the last several years, the Federal Reserve's holdings of U.S. securities (the bulk of the Federal Reserve's balancesheet counterpart to the stock of U.S. currency outstanding) have yielded annual net earnings— seigniorage—of roughly $15 billion to $25 billion, which is turned over to the U.S. Treasury. Our estimate is that roughly one-half to two-thirds of the earnings is likely attributable to foreign holdings of U.S. currency. In sum, we now have several methods of determining the stocks and flows of dollars abroad. The estimates are far from identical, but they generally point in the same direction, toward large and increasing quantities of U.S. dollars abroad. APPENDIX A: OTHER PROPERTIES OF THE MEDIAN FLOW ESTIMATE Here are details on our investigation of the relationship of the changes in the overall demand for currency and its domestic and foreign components and on considerations in determining a confidence interval for the median flow estimate. The Median Flow Estimate and Domestic Demand Recent changes in currency holdings seem to be dominated by the foreign component: While the foreign component has been trending up, the domestic component has been rather flat at an average level of a little less than $7 billion (table 6). To see whether the domestic component responds to economic incentives, we regressed the change in the currency component of Ml on the median flow estimate as well as on variables possibly determining changes in the domestic demand for money. If the coefficient on the median flow estimate is close to 1 (as it is in the regression reported in table A.l), then we can interpret the remaining coefficients as a domestic money demand function for the annual change in domestic currency holdings. That is, with the full effect of the median flow estimate being captured by the change in the currency component of Ml, the result is essentially the same 900 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 as if we had subtracted the median flow estimate from the change in the currency component and then estimated a money demand function for domestic currency holdings. Of course, if the coefficient on the overseas flow is significantly different from 1, such an interpretation will not hold. The domestic part of the specification explains the changes in domestic currency holdings by an intercept, the change in the nominal interest rate, and a consumption measure. The change in the nominal interest rate is measured (in the spirit suggested by Lawrence Ball) as the weighted average rate on a narrow alternative to holding currency, namely the components of M2 without any maturity: other checkable deposits, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and money market mutual fund accounts.37 The scale measure is the change in nominal consumption expenditures (excluding those on automobiles, which are generally not bought with currency). The specification is in changes and not in levels because levels (together with lagged stocks to cover distributed lag effects) require accounting for the measurement error in the level of currency abroad.38 Each of the estimates has the correct sign, but most of the variance of the change in the currency component, at least at an annual frequency, apparently results from changes in foreign holdings and not domestic holdings. The framework of table A.l allows us to distinguish the relative contributions in an analysis of variance, and we find that almost 90 percent of the variance of currency changes results from changes in foreign currency holdings (row 2). 37. Lawrence Ball, "Velocity and the Return on Near Moneys," (Johns Hopkins University, June 1995). 38. If we drop any one of the methods from the median calculation, the resulting regression estimates are relatively similar to those shown in table A. 1. A.l. Confidence Intervals for the Median Flow Estimate An advantage of using the median flow estimate as the summary measure of currency flows abroad is that it readily permits statements of confidence intervals. From a statistical point of view, one may regard the seven estimates (one from each of our seven different methods) used in constructing the median flow estimate as a random sample from a continuous distribution of possible estimates; in that case, the sample median that we use is an estimate of the median of the population distribution. In the example at hand, the median is the middle result obtained from the seven estimation methods and hence can be thought of as a result of discarding the three highest and three lowest estimates of net flows abroad; in that light, variations in confidence intervals for median flow estimates can be constructed on the basis of variations in the number of extreme observations that are excluded from the calculation (chart A.l). 39 For the widest confidence interval, none of the observations are excluded, so that the lower and upper confidence limits are formed by the lowest and highest of all seven observations; for the intermediate interval, the lowest and highest observations are excluded; and for the narrowest, the two lowest and two highest are discarded. These ranges may be useful if one wants to represent some 39. To obtain the widest interval, we drop none of the observations in constructing the range. In that case the probability that the range consisting of the smallest to largest flow would cover the true median in some period is about 0.98; alternatively, if one removed the top and bottom estimates from the set of seven, the resulting confidence interval for the median would be about 0.87; finally if one removed the top two and bottom two estimates, the probability that the resulting interval would cover the true median would be about 0.55. See Robert V. Hogg and Allen T. Craig, Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, 5th ed. (Prentice Hall, 1995), pp. 497-98. Results of regression of change in currency component of Ml on foreign demand and the determinants of domestic demand, and associated decomposition of variance Determinants of domestic demand Foreign demand, median flow estimate Intercept Change in nominal interest rates Change in consumption expenditures Regression' .993 (15.1) 5.912 (3.5) -1.223 (-2.7) 13.096 (.7) Variance decomposition 2 52.6 (90.3) Item 1 .9 (1-5) 1. Numbers in parentheses are t statistics. 2. Numbers in parentheses are the percentages of the variance of changes in currency that are explained by each column or set of columns. . . . Not applicable. Residual standard error Covariance term 1.3 1.7 (2.9) Ri .9754 3.1 (5.3) The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? of the uncertainty that exists about net flows of currency abroad. For that purpose we are inclined to use either the intermediate or narrowest interval: The width of neither interval shows any tendency to trend up over time; the widths are not constant but can get relatively narrow, as in 1990 or 1992, years for which the various methods are in broad agreement about net flows of currency abroad. Another part of our reason for preferring the two narrowest ranges is that they exclude the smallest observation in each year and thus give less weight to A. 1. Alternative confidence intervals for the median flow estimate 901 the CMIR data, which generally appear to underestimate net currency flows abroad and produce the smallest flow measure in nearly three-fourths of the periods. This result raises the question of how much the median flow estimate would rise if we excluded the CMIR statistics at the outset: In that case, the resulting summary measure matches the median flow estimate for much of the period and lies slightly above it otherwise; the average amount by which it exceeds the median flow estimate is only $0.5 billion per year.40 Alternatively, because the CMIR flows are most often at the bottom of the range of estimates, one could diminish their influence by constructing a confidence interval ranging from the next to the smallest flow to the largest flow in any period; such a range would cover the true median about 93 percent of the time. Further, as an indication of the level of uncertainty about net flows abroad, the implied standard error associated with such a range would currently lie between about %2Vi billion and $23/4 billion per year. APPENDIX B: ESTIMATES OF CURRENCY DEMAND CROSS-COUNTRY We investigated the degree to which the crosscountry differences in per capita holdings of currency can be explained by various economic factors. We estimated currency demand equations for fourteen developed countries with data covering a seven-year period ending in 1993.41 The equations have the following specifications: • The dependent variable, VELOCITY, which is the currency velocity of GNP, that is, the ratio of GNP to the estimated currency holdings that are inside the country but outside the banking system. 40. Taking the median of the six methods excluding the CMIR method would increase the midpoint estimate of the amount held abroad slightly, from 55 percent to 57 percent. 41. In our specification, all the variables are natural logs of the underlying series, and the variable names are written in small capital letters. We thank David B. Humphrey and his collaborators for making their cross-country currency data available to us (see David B. Humphrey, Lawrence B. Pulley, and Jukka M. Vesala, "Cash, Paper, and Electronic Payments," Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, vol. 28, November 1996, part 2, in press). The only variable that we have added is RATIO OF REVENUE TO GDP from Robert Summers and Alan Heston, "The Penn World Table (Mark 5): An Expanded Set of International Comparisons, 1950-1988," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 106 (May 1991), pp. 327-68. We used an updated version, Mark 5.5, available by anonymous ftp from ftp://nber.harvard.edu. 902 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 • Two opportunity cost terms, an interest rate and the rate of inflation (INFLATION RATE). Higher opportunity costs tend to induce currency holders to reduce their holdings, resulting in higher currency velocities. • Two "scale" terms. The first, RATIO OF REVENUE TO GDP, accounts for the velocity effect of the underground economy: If government raises taxes, tax avoidance will rise, leading to more production in the off-the-books (cash) sector, which in turn increases the amount of currency per unit of output and thus works to lower velocity. The second scale term is VIOLENT CRIME per 100,000 population. The effects of crime are ambiguous: On one hand, street crime is likely to reduce currency holdings (raise velocity) because of fear of being robbed; on the other hand, various forms of criminal activities involve the use of currency. • The total estimated number of noncash payments, NONCASH PAYMENTS, per capita. Presumably, other things equal, an economy with a higher level of noncash payments will have lower currency holdings and higher currency velocities. • The number of automated teller machines, ATM, per capita. The effect of ATMs is ambiguous. On one hand, more ATMs reduce the cost of obtaining currency and thus should lower currency obtained per transaction and overall currency holdings. On the other hand, lowering the cost of obtaining currency could also make it more convenient relative to other transaction media such as credit cards, thus increasing overall currency holdings and lowering velocity. The last factor we consider accounts for the notable differences that exist among countries in the (NOMINAL RATE) B.l. Pooled panel-data regressions for currency velocities Variable Low-denomination countries High-denomination countries purchasing power associated with the largest denomination of domestic currency that is generally available. For example, the largest denomination in active circulation in Japan (the ¥10,000 note), the-United Kingdom (the £50 note), and the United States (the $100 note) range in value in dollar terms from about $78 to $100 as of this writing; these values represent considerably less purchasing power than that of the largest denominations in Canada, Germany, the Netherlands, and Switzerland, all of which have 1,000-unit bank notes, which now range in value from about $600 to $830. Categorizing some countries as "low-denomination" (those in which the largest denomination has relatively low purchasing power) and others as "high-denomination," we find that significant differences emerge between the two groups in the responsiveness of their currency demand functions. For example, for both groups, increases in the price level tend to redirect more transactions toward the largest denomination; but, for low-denomination countries, another effect of inflation may be more important: the substitution out of currency into other means of payment for large-value transactions that would otherwise require an inconvenient amount of cash to execute. The specification we estimate uses a pooled panel regression with different slopes for the lowdenomination and high-denomination countries (table B.l). The opportunity-cost elasticities in the low-denomination countries are higher (in absolute value) than those in the high-denomination countries, perhaps because of the above-mentioned substitution effect in low-denomination countries as rising prices B.2. Actual real per capita holdings of currency in selected industrial nations compared with holdings predicted by pooled panel-data regressions for velocity U.S. dollars Country NOMINAL RATE 4.47 (3.0) 1.21 (.4) INFLATION RATE 7.52 (3.9) 5.05 (1.4) -.70 (-4-7) -.81 (-5.9) VIOLENT CRIME -.02 (-.3) .29 (1.5) United Kingdom United States' NONCASH PAYMENTS .70 (7.2) 1.60 (5.6) High-denomination -.15 (-1.8) -.36 (-3.3) INTERCEPT 1.82 (4.3) -3.40 (-4.1) R2 Number of observations .78 60 RATIO OF REVENUE TO GDP . . . ATM NOTE. Numbers in parentheses are t statistics. .79 34 Low-denomination Denmark Germany 2 Netherlands Switzerland Actual Predicted 714 407 784 943 2,247 1,132 1,108 462 358 839 610 650 1,028 2,033 924 840 520 340 1,178 618 906 1,309 2,732 1,281 648 1,067 1,057 2,566 countries countries NOTE. Holdings are averages for 1987-93. Dollar values deflated by the chain-type price index for personal consumption expenditures, 1992 base year. 1. After removal of foreign holdings, which were estimated using midpoint of overseas stock from the median flow estimate. 2. After removal of estimated foreign holdings (35 percent of total). The Location of U.S. Currency: How Much Is Abroad? intensify the inconvenience of their low purchasing power currency.42 Except for the effect of crime, which is ambiguous, all of the variables appear to have the expected signs and are generally quite significant43 42. Using a Chow test, we solidly reject the hypothesis that the corresponding slope coefficients in the velocity specifications are equal in the high- and low-denomination countries; the test statistic equaled 5.50, which has a p value of 0.0001. B o t h o p p o r t u n i t y c o s t v a r i a b l e s (NOMINAL RATE a n d INFLATION RATE) are measured as a gross return so that we treat them symmetrically and can take logs for the deflation of the price level that occurs in the sample. As a result, the coefficient of the elasticity of real money balances with respect to these opportunity costs measured as a net return (the more usual way of introducing such variables) will be x / (1 + x) times the gross elasticity, where x is a fraction; for example, a 5 percent rate would imply that the elasticity on the gross return should be reduced by 0.05 / 1.05 = 0.0471 to express it as an elasticity on a net return. 43. The crime variable has different signs in the two regressions and is insignificant in either case. The underground economy effects (RATIO OF REVENUE TO GDP) are s i m i l a r i n m a g n i t u d e . W e b e l i e v e o n balance that crime should reduce currency holdings and thus increase velocity. We find such a result for the high-denomination countries, and it is marginally significant on a one-sided test of statistical significance. The opportunity-cost elasticities in the high-denomination countries are not significant, perhaps because of the relatively low number of degrees of freedom. 903 The underground economy effects (RATIO OF REVENUE TO GDP), are similar in magnitude in both types of countries and appear to have powerful explanatory effects. The ATM results are especially significant in the high-denomination countries and indicate that the convenience effects dominate the transaction-cost effects. The difference between the intercepts in the two specifications implies that residents in the highdenomination countries hold on average about $185 more in currency than their counterparts in lowdenomination countries. Excluding foreign holdings from the domestic currency stock of Germany and the United States yields values that on average tend to track the currency series in the various countries, with about 80 percent of the variation in velocity explained by the specification in both types of countries (table B.2). In sum, the cross-country differences in currency holdings appear to be somewhat explicable by the basic factors we have been considering, including the magnitude of the largest denomination in which currency is issued. To be sure, consideration of such denomination effects, as well as of the NONCASH PAYMENTS variable, may also embody other aspects of the demand for currency, such as the regulatory environment in which bank notes are handled. • 904 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for August 1996 Released for publication September 17 Industrial production increased 0.5 percent in August after a gain of 0.1 percent in July. Some of the acceleration from July to August resulted from weather-related swings in utility output; manufacturing output increased 0.3 percent in both months. At 126.9 percent of its 1987 average, total industrial production in August was 3.4 percent higher than it was in August 1995. Industrial capacity utilization rose 0.2 percentage point, to 83.5 percent. When analyzed by market group, the data show that the output of consumer goods fell 0.6 percent, with the decline concentrated in durables; the production of nondurable consumer goods was unchanged. The drop in the output of durable consumer goods reflected decreases in the output both of automotive products and of other durable goods. Motor vehicle Industrial production indexes Twelve-month percent change Twelve-month percent change 10 Materials 10 Durable manufacturing Products 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1990 1996 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Capacity and industrial production Ratio scale, 1987 production = 100 — Total industry — Capacity Ratio scale, 1987 production = 1 0 0 160 ~ Manufacturing 140 - — Capacity _ —~~ 120 140 ^ 120 100 - Production Production 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Percent of capacity 1 I 1 1 Percent of capacity Manufacturing Total industry - Utilization 90 90 Utilization 80 80 70 1 1982 1 1984 1 100 80 80 1 160 1 1986 1 1988 1990 1992 1 1994 1 1 1996 70 1 1982 1 1984 1 1 1 1986 All series are seasonally adjusted. Latest series, August. Capacity is an index of potential industrial production. 1 1988 1 1 1 1990 1 1 1992 1 1994 1 1 1996 905 Industrial production and capacity utilization, August 1996 Industrial production, index, 1987 = 100 Percentage change Category 1996 1996 1 May' June r July r Aug. p May r June r July r Total 125.4 126.2 126.3 126.9 .7 .6 .1 Previous estimate 125.2 126.0 126.2 .5 .6 .1 121.3 116.3 166.0 131.6 122.1 116.6 168.5 113.8 132.5 122.4 117.3 170.0 112.2 132.2 122.4 116.5 170.9 111.9 133.8 .5 .4 -.2 1.7 1.0 .6 .3 1.5 2.5 .7 127.4 139.1 114.4 100.5 128.4 128.4 141.2 114.4 101.9 126.2 128.8 141.6 114.8 100.9 123.9 129.1 142.0 114.9 103.3 125.8 .7 .6 .8 .1 1.6 .8 1.5 .0 1.4 -1.8 Major market groups Products, total 2 Consumer goods Business equipment Construction supplies Materials Major industry Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities 111.0 Aug.p Aug. 1995 to Aug. 1996 .5 3.4 .2 .5 .8 -1.4 -.2 .0 -.6 .6 -.3 1.2 2.7 .6 8.6 4.6 4.5 .3 .3 .3 -1.0 -1.8 .3 .3 .2 2.4 1.5 4.0 6.7 .6 3.3 -2.4 groups MEMO Capacity utilization, percent 1995 Average, 1967-95 Total Low, 1982 Aug. May r June r July r Aug.? 83.3 83.5 83.3 83.5 3.9 83.2 83.4 83.2 82.1 80.5 86.1 89.8 94.1 82.5 80.8 86.6 91.1 92.3 82.4 80.8 86.4 90.2 90.5 82.3 80.6 86.5 92.4 91.8 4.4 5.2 2.5 -.1 1.3 82.1 71.8 84.9 83.9 81.4 80.7 82.6 87.4 86.9 70.0 71.4 66.8 80.6 76.2 85.2 83.5 89.0 86.5 92.6 82.7 81.2 86.2 89.3 95.3 Previous estimate Manufacturing Advanced processing Primary processing Mining Utilities NOTE. Data seasonally adjusted or calculated from seasonally adjusted monthly data. 1. Change from preceding month. assemblies fell 0.7 million units from their July level, to 12.6 million units (annual rate). The August rate was higher than in any month during the first half of the year. Decreases in the output of air conditioners, appliances, and television sets led the decline in other durables. Among consumer nondurables, increases in residential electricity usage and in the production of gasoline and heating oil were offset by decreases in the output of consumer chemical products and clothing. The output of business equipment advanced 0.6 percent; the increase was concentrated at producers of information processing equipment. The output of industrial equipment, which had fallen for five consecutive months, barely edged up; because of the drop in motor vehicle assemblies, the production of transit equipment fell. However, the decrease in transit equipment was muted somewhat by another month of increased activity at aircraft manufacturers. The output of defense and space equipment increased for a second month; production in this sector has risen since the end of last year, the first sustained increase since the 1980s. The production of construction sup 1996 High, 1988-89 Capacity, percentage change, Aug. 1995 to Aug. 1996 2. Contains components in addition to those shown, r Revised, p Preliminary. plies decreased 0.3 percent after a 1.4 percent drop in July. Despite these recent declines, the production index for this sector remains 4.6 percent above its year-earlier level. The output of industrial materials rose 1.2 percent in August. Increases in electricity generation and in coal mining pushed the output of energy materials up 2.5 percent. The output of durable goods materials rose 1.1 percent, with gains in the output of parts destined for use in consumer goods or in business and defense equipment. The output of nondurable materials increased 0.4 percent for a second month; the production in this grouping has risen about 4]/i percent since its low point at the beginning of the year. When analyzed by industry group, the data show that the 0.3 percent increase in factory output reflected gains both in durable goods and in nondurable goods. Among durables, large increases came in computer and office equipment, aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment, and instruments; all posted increases of more than 1 percent. Besides motor vehicles and parts, the production of lumber and of iron and steel fell significantly. Among 906 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 nondurables, the indexes for petroleum refining, rubber and plastics products, and tobacco showed gains of more than 1 percent. On the negative side, the output of textile mill products fell 1.1 percent, and the output indexes for both apparel and chemicals fell 0.5 percent. Apparel production is down nearly 6 percent from its year-earlier level. The factory operating rate edged down 0.1 percentage point, to 82.3 percent. The rate for advancedprocessing industries decreased 0.2 percentage point, to 80.6 percent, and the rate for primary-processing industries edged up 0.1 percentage point, to 86.5 percent. Utilization for primary-processing industries remains about 4 percentage points above its 1967-95 average. Rates for primary metals, petroleum refining, fabricated metals products, and rubber and plastics products are more than 5 percentage points above their long-run averages. The operating rate for utilities increased 1.3 percentage points in August but stayed below its level during the first half of the year; temperatures moved up from their low levels in July but remained below normal. This release and the history for all series published here are available on the Internet at http://www.bog.frb.fed.us, the Board of Governors' World Wide Web site. 1996 REVISION ANNOUNCEMENT During the fourth quarter, the Federal Reserve will publish revisions of its measures of industrial production (IP), capacity, capacity utilization, and industrial use of electric power; the current target month for the release is November. The revisions of IP, capacity, and capacity utilization will incorporate updated source data for recent years and will feature a change in the method of aggregating the indexes. From 1977 onward, the value-added proportions used to weight individual series will be updated annually rather than quinquennially. In addition, the IP indexes and the capacity measures will be rebased so that 1992 actual output equals 100. Capacity utilization, the ratio of IP to capacity, will be recomputed on the basis of revised IP and capacity measures. The aggregate IP indexes will be constructed with a superlative index formula similar to that introduced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis as the featured measure of real output in its January 1996 comprehensive revision of the National Income and Product Accounts. At present, the aggregate IP indexes are computed as linked Laspeyres indexes, with the weights updated every five years. Because of the rapid fall in the relative price of computers and peripheral equipment, that periodic updating of weights is too infrequent to provide reliable estimates of current changes in output, capacity, and capacity utilization. With the publication of the revision, value-added proportions will be updated annually, and the new index number formula will be applied to all aggregates of IP, capacity, and gross value of product. For the most part, relative price movements among the 260 individual components of the IP index are likely to have little visible effect on total IP. However, the more frequent updating of the relative price of the output of the computer industry could lower overall IP growth in some years by as much as '/2 percentage point; in other years, the updating of weights will have virtually no effect. Because the new index number formula will slow capacity growth as well as IP growth, the effect of the reaggregation on overall capacity utilization should be small. The regular updating of source data for IP will include the introduction of annual data from the 1994 Annual Survey of Manufactures and selected 1995 Current Industrial Reports of the Bureau of the Census. Available annual data on mining for 1994 and 1995 from the Department of the Interior will also be introduced. Revisions to the monthly indicators for each industry (physical product data, productionworker hours, or electric power usage) and revised seasonal factors will be incorporated back to 1992. The statistics on the industrial use of electric power will be revised back to 1972. These revisions stem from three basic sources. First, the new figures incorporate more complete reports received from utilities for the past few years. Second, an updated panel of reporters on cogeneration will be fully integrated into our survey of electric power use. Third, the levels of the monthly electric power series for manufacturing industries will be benchmarked to indexes derived from data published in the Census Bureau's annual surveys and censuses of manufactures. These indexes will also be revised so that 1992 electric power usage equals 100. More detail on the plans for this revision is available on the Internet at http://www.bog.frb.fed.us. Once the revision is published, the revised data will be available at that site and on diskettes from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Publications Services, 202-452-3245. The revised data will also be available through the Economic Bulletin Board of the Department of Commerce, call 202-482-1986. In addition to the data currently provided, the time series of implicit prices necessary for a user to aggregate IP and capacity under the new methodology will be provided by the Industrial Output Section, 202-452-3151. • 907 Announcements ISSUANCE OF FINAL AGENCY GUIDELINES ON SAFETY AND SOUNDNESS STANDARDS FOR ASSET QUALITY AND EARNINGS The Federal Reserve Board along with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of Thrift Supervision on August 27, 1996, issued final interagency guidelines prescribing safety and soundness standards for asset quality and earnings, thus completing the requirements of section 132 of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Improvement Act of 1991. The guidelines were effective October 1, 1996. The guidelines prescribe that insured depository institutions establish and maintain systems that are commensurate with the institution's size and the nature and scope of its operations to accomplish the following: • Identify problem assets and prevent deterioration in those assets • Evaluate and monitor earnings and ensure that earnings are sufficient to maintain adequate capital and reserves. The guidelines are general in nature and focus on what proper management should achieve, while leaving the methods for achieving those objectives to each institution. Because the guidelines are consistent with existing sound practices at banks, the Board believes that well-managed banks will not need to alter their operations to comply with the guidelines. The final guidelines are substantially the same as those proposed in 1995. ISSUANCE OF FINAL RULE AMENDING THE RISK-BASED CAPITAL STANDARDS TO INCORPORATE A MEASURE OF MARKET RISK The Federal Reserve Board along with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) on August 29, 1996, issued a final rule amending riskbased capital standards to incorporate a measure for market risk. The final rule is effective January 1, 1997, and compliance is mandatory as of January 1, 1998. The final rule implements an amendment to the Basle Capital Accord that sets forth a supervisory framework for measuring market risk to cover debt and equity positions located in an institution's trading account and foreign exchange and commodity positions wherever located. The effect of the final rule is that any bank or bank holding company (institution) that is regulated by the Board, the OCC, or the FDIC and has significant exposure to market risk must measure that risk using its own internal value-at-risk model, subject to the parameters contained in the final rule, and hold a commensurate amount of capital. ADOPTION OF A FINAL RULE REGARDING INVESTMENT ADVISER ACTIVITIES IN REGULATION Y The Federal Reserve Board on August 26, 1996, announced adoption of a final amendment to the Board's interpretive rule regarding investment adviser activities contained in Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.125). The final rule was effective September 30, 1996. The amendment permits a bank holding company (and its bank and nonbank subsidiaries) to purchase, in a fiduciary capacity, securities of an investment company advised by the bank holding company if the purchase is specifically authorized by the terms of the instrument creating the fiduciary relationship, by court order, or by the law of the jurisdiction under which the trust is administered. RESCISSION OF A STAFF INTERPRETIVE LETTER The Federal Reserve Board on August 26, 1996, determined to rescind a June 27, 1986, staff interpretive letter setting forth restrictions that a bank holding company must abide by in selling mutual fund and unit investment trust shares through a nonbanking subsidiary engaged in securities brokerage. In light of regulatory changes that have occurred since the issu- 908 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 ance of the so-called Sovran Letter, the Board determined that the restrictions contained in the letter either have been effectively superseded or are no longer necessary. AMENDMENT TO REGULATIONS REGARDING LOANS IN AREAS WITH SPECIAL FLOOD HAZARDS The Federal Reserve Board is amending regulations regarding loans in areas having special flood hazards. The Board's action was effective October 1, 1996. This action implements the provisions of the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994. As required by statute, the final rules establish new escrow requirements for flood insurance premiums, add reference to the statutory authority and the requirement for lenders and servicers to "force place" flood insurance under certain circumstances, enhance flood hazard notice requirements, set forth new authority for lenders to charge fees for determining whether a property is located in a special flood hazard area, and contain various other provisions necessary to implement the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994. Similar action is being taken by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Deposit Corporation, the Office of Thrift Supervision, the National Credit Union Administration, and the Farm Credit Administration. PROPOSED ACTIONS The Federal Reserve Board along with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of Thrift Supervision (Agencies) on August 8, 1996, requested comments on a proposal to amend the risk-based capital guidelines for banks and bank holding com- panies (banking organizations) regarding the treatment of collateralized transactions. Comments are requested by October 15, 1996. The Federal Reserve Board on August 28, 1996, requested comment on proposed revisions to Regulation Y that are intended to improve the competitiveness of bank holding companies by eliminating unnecessary regulatory burden and operating restrictions and by streamlining the application and notice process. Comments are requested by October 31, 1996. PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS ON THE SALE OF MUTUAL FUNDS The Federal Reserve announced on August 15, 1996, that it is providing public service announcements to 145 television stations across the United States as part of its continuing nationwide education program entitled "Mutual Funds: Understand the Risks." The public service announcements, in 15- and 30second versions, deal with the sale of mutual funds and annuities at banks. The announcements highlight that these investment products, even when purchased through banks, are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and are subject to market risks, including loss of principal. As part of the education campaign, the Federal Reserve System has been offering seminars on this topic for consumer and banker groups. Additional information may be obtained from the regional Federal Reserve Banks. Following is a list of contact numbers: Boston (617) 9 7 3 - 3 6 4 7 Chicago (312) 3 2 2 - 5 1 1 0 N e w York (212) 7 2 0 - 6 1 3 6 St. Louis (314)444-8688 Philadelphia (215) 5 7 4 - 6 4 3 9 Minneapolis (612) 3 4 0 - 2 3 7 3 Cleveland (216) 579-2891 Kansas City (816)881-2681 Richmond (804) 6 9 7 - 8 1 3 5 Dallas (214) 922-5255 Atlanta (404) 5 2 1 - 8 9 3 4 San Francisco (415) 9 7 4 - 2 4 8 9 909 Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Held on July 2-3, 1996 A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee was held in the offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, July 2, 1996, at 1:00 p.m. and continued on Wednesday, July 3, 1996, at 9:00 a.m. Present: Mr. Greenspan, Chairman Mr. McDonough, Vice Chairman Mr. Boehne Mr. Jordan Mr. Kelley Mr. Lindsey Mr. McTeer Mr. Meyer Ms. Phillips Ms. Rivlin Mr. Stern Ms. Yellen Messrs. Broaddus, Guynn, Moskow, and Parry, Alternate Members of the Federal Open Market Committee Messrs. Hoenig and Melzer, and Ms. Minehan, Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks of Kansas City, St. Louis, and Boston respectively Mr. Kohn, Secretary and Economist Mr. Bernard, Deputy Secretary Mr. Coyne, Assistant Secretary Mr. Gillum, Assistant Secretary Mr. Mattingly, General Counsel Mr. Baxter, Deputy General Counsel Mr. Prell, Economist Mr. Truman, Economist Messrs. D. Lindsey, Mishkin, Promisel, Rolnick, Rosenblum, Siegman, Simpson, Sniderman, and Stockton, Associate Economists Mr. Fisher, Manager, System Open Market Account Mr. Winn,1 Assistant to the Board, Office of Board Members, Board of Governors Mr. Ettin, Deputy Director, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors 1. Attended portion of meeting concerning issues relating to the long-run price objective for monetary policy. Messrs. Madigan and Slifman, Associate Directors, Divisions of Monetary Affairs and Research and Statistics respectively, Board of Governors Mr. Bray ton,2 Ms. Johnson,2 Messrs. Reinhart and Smith,3 Assistant Directors, Divisions of Research and Statistics, International Finance, Monetary Affairs, and International Finance respectively, Board of Governors Ms. Kusko2 and Mr. Wilcox,2 Senior Economists, Divisions of Research and Statistics and Monetary Affairs respectively, Board of Governors Ms. Garrett, Economist, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors Ms. Low, Open Market Secretariat Assistant, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors Ms. Holcomb, First Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Mr. Beebe, Ms. Browne, Messrs. Davis, Dewald, Eisenbeis, Goodfriend, and Hunter, Senior Vice Presidents, Federal Reserve Banks of San Francisco, Boston, Kansas City, St. Louis, Atlanta, Richmond, and Chicago respectively Messrs. Kos and Meyer, Vice Presidents, Federal Reserve Banks of New York and Philadelphia respectively By unanimous vote, the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee held on May 21, 1996, were approved. The Manager of the System Open Market Account reported on recent developments in foreign exchange markets. There were no open market transactions in foreign currencies for System account during the period since the meeting on May 21, 1996, and thus no vote was required of the Committee. The Manager also reported on recent developments in domestic financial markets and on System open market transactions in U.S. government securities and federal agency obligations during the period May 21, 2. Attended portion of the meeting relating to the Committee's discussion of the economic outlook and its longer-run growth ranges for the monetary and debt aggregates. 3. Attended portion of the meeting relating to the Committee's review of its swap line agreements. 910 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 1996, through July 2, 1996. By unanimous vote, the Committee ratified these transactions. The Committee then turned to a discussion of the economic and financial outlook, the ranges for the growth of money and debt in 1996 and 1997, and the implementation of monetary policy over the intermeeting period ahead. A summary of the economic and financial information available at the time of the meeting and of the Committee's discussion is provided below, followed by the domestic policy directive that was approved by the Committee and issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that economic activity advanced considerably further in the second quarter, although growth in aggregate final demand showed some signs of slowing. Consumer spending continued to post sizable gains, but business investment in equipment and structures apparently was rising less vigorously, and higher mortgage rates evidently were starting to exert some restraint on housing construction activity. Business inventories had been brought into better balance with sales, and production and employment had risen appreciably. Upward pressures on food and energy prices had led to somewhat larger increases in the consumer price index over recent months. Nonfarm payroll employment continued to expand briskly over April and May. Job gains were concentrated in the service-producing and construction industries, while employment in manufacturing was stable on balance over the April-May period after having declined somewhat in 1995 and the first quarter of 1996. The civilian unemployment rate rose in May to 5.6 percent, which was the average rate for the year to date. Industrial production increased appreciably further in May. In contrast to April's advance, much of which had resulted from the resumption of operations at a major motor vehicle manufacturer after the settlement of a strike, the May rise largely reflected gains in a wide range of non-auto-related manufacturing industries as well as a weather-related jump in electricity generation. The surge in overall output lifted total utilization of industrial capacity somewhat above the average rate recorded during the previous two quarters. Total nominal retail sales surged in May after having changed little in April; the increase in sales, coupled with available information on prices, suggested that real consumer spending on goods had risen substantially on balance since the first quarter. Recent data (available through April) indicated that spending on services had increased moderately on balance in recent months. Single-family housing starts fell considerably in May from the relatively high April level. The decline suggested that the rise in mortgage rates in recent months had begun to damp construction activity, but indicators of housing demand, such as sales of new and existing homes, remained relatively robust. Growth in business expenditures on durable equipment and nonresidential structures appeared to be slowing following a surge in outlays in the first quarter. In May, shipments of nondefense capital goods rebounded from the substantial decline in April; however, excluding movements in the volatile aircraft category, shipments were down on balance over the two months. Among the major components, shipments of both computing and communications equipment fell sharply in April and retraced only part of that decline in May. Recent data on new orders pointed to more modest increases in spending on business equipment over the months ahead. Nonresidential building activity increased considerably further in April (latest data available), but incoming information on contracts suggested that growth in nonresidential construction would weaken somewhat in coming months. Businesses had made considerable progress in recent months in bringing their inventories into better alignment with sales. In manufacturing, stocks rose moderately in April after a decline in March. The stock-to-shipments ratio dropped further in April and was at a low level. At the wholesale trade level, inventory accumulation was appreciable in April after several months of modest growth. The inventory-to-sales ratio for this sector edged up in April but remained well below the elevated levels of last fall. Retail inventories increased slightly in April after a large decline in March associated with a substantial liquidation of motor vehicle stocks. The aggregate ratio of inventories to sales for retail establishments was around the lower end of its range in recent years. The nominal deficit on U.S. trade in goods and services widened in April from its rate in the first quarter, reflecting a slightly larger increase in the value of imports than in that of exports. The expansion in imports was concentrated in oil as U.S. refiners sought to meet growing domestic demand and rebuild their inventories. The rise in exports was broadly based, although exports of computers, semiconductors, and automotive products edged off. Economic activity in the major foreign industrial countries appeared to have expanded moderately on balance since the beginning of the year. In the first quarter, economic performance ranged from unexpectedly robust in Japan to further weakness in Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee Germany; the limited data available for the second quarter suggested a slowdown in Japan, a bounceback in Germany, and moderate growth in other major trading partners. Although upward pressures on energy prices continued to boost overall consumer prices in April and May, price increases for nonfood, non-energy items remained small. Over the twelve months ended in May, the increase in core consumer prices was appreciably smaller than in the previous twelve-month period; much of the deceleration reflected swings in automobile finance charges. At the producer level, higher prices for finished energy goods over April and May were partially offset by slightly lower prices for finished foods; prices for nonfood, non-energy finished goods were little changed over the twomonth period and rose less over the twelve months ended in May than in the comparable year-earlier period. Data on average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers indicated that this measure of labor costs had increased by a somewhat larger amount in the year ended in May than in the comparable year-earlier period. At its meeting on May 21, 1996, the Committee adopted a directive that called for maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions and that did not include a presumption about the likely direction of any adjustments to policy during the intermeeting period. The directive stated that in the context of the Committee's long-run objectives for price stability and sustainable economic growth, and giving careful consideration to economic, financial, and monetary developments, slightly greater reserve restraint or slightly lesser reserve restraint would be acceptable during the intermeeting period. The reserve conditions associated with this directive were expected to be consistent with moderate growth in M2 and M3 over coming months. Open market operations were directed toward maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions throughout the intermeeting period. The federal funds rate averaged near 5lA percent, the level expected to be associated with the unchanged policy stance. Because the Committee's decision had been largely anticipated in financial markets, other market interest rates also were little changed during the early part of the period. However, market rates increased appreciably following the release of a strong employment report in early June, though most of that rise was later retraced as expectations of near-term tightening of monetary policy diminished. On balance, most market rates were up a little over the intermeeting period. Major indexes of stock prices were down on balance over the period. 911 In foreign exchange markets, the trade-weighted value of the dollar in terms of the other G-10 currencies depreciated slightly over the intermeeting period. The dollar declined against the German mark and other European currencies as growing indications of a recent pickup in economic activity in Germany damped market expectations of any further easing of monetary policy by the Bundesbank. By contrast, the dollar rose against the yen in apparent response to a series of statements by Japanese officials suggesting that there would be no near-term firming of Japanese monetary policy. The broad monetary aggregates were weak in May: M2 declined, and M3 expanded relatively sluggishly. The weakness in M2 and M3 was associated in part with the adverse effects of the earlier rise in market interest rates on the opportunity costs of holding deposits. Deposit balances also may have been drawn down to meet unusually large individual tax liabilities on the April 15 tax date. Partial data for June pointed to a rebound in both aggregates. For the year through June, these aggregates were estimated to have grown at rates around the upper bounds of their respective annual ranges. Expansion of total domestic nonfinancial debt had slowed somewhat in recent months, but the debt aggregate had remained in the middle portion of its annual range. The staff forecast prepared for this meeting suggested that, after a sizable advance in economic activity in the second quarter, growth would moderate and the economy would expand around or perhaps a little above its estimated potential. Consumer spending was projected to expand at a more moderate pace, in line with disposable income; the favorable effect of higher equity prices on household wealth and the still-ample availability of credit were expected to balance persisting consumer concerns about job and retirement security and the restraining effect of high household debt burdens. Homebuilding was forecast to slow somewhat in response to the back-up in residential mortgage rates but was expected to remain at a relatively high level in the context of sustained income growth and the still-favorable cash flow affordability of home ownership. Business spending on equipment and structures was projected to grow less rapidly in light of the anticipated moderate growth of sales and profits and the reduced rate of utilization of production capacity now prevailing. The external sector was expected to exert a small restraining influence on economic activity over the projection period, even though an anticipated firming of economic activity abroad would bolster demand for U.S. exports. Little further fiscal contraction was forecast over the projection period. Inflation recently 912 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 had been lifted by adverse developments in energy markets and was projected to remain above the levels of recent years, given the still-high level of resource utilization and the effects of tight grain supplies on food prices. In the Committee's discussion of current and prospective economic developments, members commented on the stronger-than-expected expansion in overall economic activity in recent months, but for a variety of reasons they anticipated that growth would slow appreciably over the second half of the year to a pace more in line with the growth in the economy's potential. Key factors bearing on this outlook included the prospective effects of the rise in interest rates and the dollar that had occurred since earlier in the year and the waning influence of transitory factors that had stimulated economic activity in the second quarter. The members generally agreed, however, that, apart from evidence of some moderation in the growth of business investment expenditures from a very rapid pace, there were few hard indications of a slowing in the expansion and the risks were clearly to the upside of their current forecasts. Against that background, they were concerned that inflation could begin to rise. Cost and price pressures had been surprisingly well contained at high levels of resource utilization, but this unusually favorable performance might not be sustained, and in any event even greater resource utilization, as would occur if growth did not moderate appreciably, carried substantial inflation risk. There were some scattered indications in statistical and anecdotal reports that tended to suggest that wage inflation might be trending higher, although key measures of price inflation, excluding their food and energy components, continued to display a flat or even a declining trend. In keeping with the practice at meetings when the Committee sets its long-run ranges for the money and debt aggregates, the members of the Committee and the Federal Reserve Bank presidents not currently serving as members provided individual projections of the growth in real and nominal GDP, the rate of unemployment, and the rate of inflation for the years 1996 and 1997. (The ranges in this paragraph take into account minor revisions made by a few members subsequent to the meeting.) The forecasts of the rate of expansion in real GDP for 1996 as a whole had a central tendency of 2Vi to 23A percent, reflecting expectations of considerable moderation in the rate of economic growth over the second half of the year; for 1997, the projections centered on continued moderate growth of GDP in a range of l3A to 2'A percent. With regard to the expansion of nominal GDP, the forecasts were concentrated in growth ranges of 5 to 5Y2 percent for 1996 and 4]A to 5 percent for 1997. The civilian rate of unemployment associated with these forecasts was expected by most members to remain around 5V2 percent this year and to be in a range of 5XA to 53A percent in 1997. This level of resource utilization was expected to be associated with a slightly higher rate of inflation in 1996, as measured by the consumer price index, than that recorded in 1995 owing to developments in the food and energy sectors, but a decline was anticipated in 1997. Specifically, the projections converged on rates of 3 to 3lA percent in 1996 and 23A to 3 percent in 1997. The projections for both 1996 and 1997 were based on individual views concerning what would be an appropriate monetary policy over the projection horizon. In their assessment of factors bearing on the outlook for final demand, members commented that growth in consumer spending was likely to moderate in coming quarters from its pace thus far this year. This moderation would reflect the projected slowing in income growth. While overall employment conditions, the buildup of household net worth, and access to financing would bolster consumer expenditures, members also cited a number of limiting factors. The latter included the increase in consumer indebtedness, satisfaction of earlier pent-up demand for consumer durable goods, and continuing concern about job security. Higher interest rates also were expected to exert an inhibiting effect on purchases of consumer durables, including those related to housing. Some members observed that while slower growth in consumer spending was the most probable forecast, they saw an upside risk from the wealth effects of the large rise that had occurred in the value of stock market holdings. Business expenditures for plant and equipment were expected to grow at a slower though still appreciable pace. Indeed, such spending already appeared to be moderating. Contract data suggested that nonresidential construction activity was on a slowing growth trajectory and expansion of outlays for producers' durable equipment also appeared to have softened. Given the outlook for slower growth in final demand, many businesses would not have to add significantly to capacity. However, spending for computing equipment, while perhaps moderating from the exceptional pace of recent quarters, was thought likely to remain buoyant as continuing innovations and declining prices stimulated further solid gains in this segment of business spending. Housing was seen as another important sector of the economy that was likely to exert a retarding effect on the expansion as the rise that had occurred in Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee mortgage interest rates was felt increasingly in housing markets. The anecdotal information from around the nation and the available statistics suggested, however, that those markets generally had remained surprisingly ebullient thus far, and there were only limited indications of some softening in home construction activity. Business inventory investment was viewed as a key upside risk in the economic outlook for coming quarters. An inventory overhang at the end of last year had been corrected in the first quarter, and inventory investment was indicated to have turned positive again in the second quarter. However, current inventory-to-sales ratios appeared to be relatively lean, and final sales that exceeded current expectations might well induce a sharp upward adjustment in inventory accumulation, especially if lead times were to lengthen and producers perceived shortfalls in their safety stocks. Members viewed the outlook for inflation as a source of substantial uncertainty in their forecasts, though many saw reasonable prospects that a rate of economic expansion in line with their forecasts and associated levels of capacity utilization would prove to be consistent with little change in the core rate of inflation. Some important measures of price inflation, after adjustment to exclude their volatile food and energy components, had shown a flat or even a declining trend in recent quarters. The outlook for overall price increases would remain contingent in part on food and energy price developments, but more importantly on underlying cost pressures in the economy. Several members commented that the levels of utilization of capital and labor resources that had prevailed over the past couple of years would have been expected, on the basis of historical patterns, to foster rising cost pressures and greater inflation. However, labor compensation gains had been subdued in relation to earlier cyclical experience, likely as a consequence of increased worker concerns about job security and job opportunities. Despite the continued low rate of unemployment and widespread anecdotal reports of tight labor markets across the country, there were only limited indications in national data that wage inflation might be increasing. Whether greater labor cost pressures would emerge in the context of the members' consensus forecast for economic activity was a critical issue in the outlook for prices, though it was noted that at least some of the rising costs were likely to be absorbed in shrinking profit margins. Even if greater price inflation were averted under that scenario, the members saw a substantial risk that if economic growth did not slow 913 in line with their current forecasts, the resulting added pressures on resources would at some point translate into higher price inflation. Accordingly, the factors bearing on the outlook for resource use and inflation needed to be monitored with special care in this period. With regard to inflation over the long run, the members agreed that it was essential for the Committee to continue to focus on reducing inflation over time because the achievement of an even less inflationary economic environment would foster a more productive economy and maximum sustainable economic expansion. The members acknowledged that as inflation diminished to very low levels, questions about the measurement of the overall price level presented difficult problems for assessing progress toward price stability. Some also observed that the precise level of average price inflation that might be compatible with the optimal functioning of the economy was an unsettled issue owing, for example, to potential rigidities in labor markets. Thus far, such rigidities had not impeded the economy from functioning at a very high level as inflation came down, and continued adaptation to even lower inflation rates was very likely. However, the Committee would need to pay careful attention to these potential problems as inflation fell further. For now, the members agreed that some additional progress in reducing inflation was very likely to improve the ultimate performance of the economy, and that it was particularly important at this juncture to resist firmly any tendency for inflation to worsen. In keeping with the requirements of the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978 (the Humphrey-Hawkins Act), the Committee at this meeting reviewed the ranges for growth of the monetary and debt aggregates that it had established in January for 1996, and it decided on tentative ranges for those aggregates for 1997. The current ranges set in January for the period from the fourth quarter of 1995 to the fourth quarter of 1996 were unchanged from the ranges for 1995 and included expansion of 1 to 5 percent for M2 and 2 to 6 percent for M3. An unchanged monitoring range of 3 to 7 percent was set in January for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt in 1996. A majority of the members favored retaining the current ranges for this year and extending them on a provisional basis to 1997. They anticipated that growth of M2 and M3 probably would continue at rates close to the upper limit of their respective ranges in both years, given the Committee's expectations for the performance of the economy and prices. However, despite a degree of concern about setting 914 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 ranges that did not more comfortably encompass expected growth, these members preferred not to change the ranges for a variety of reasons. The current ranges for the broad monetary aggregates could be viewed as anchors or benchmarks for money growth that would be associated with approximate price stability and sustained economic growth, assuming behavior of velocity in line with historical experience. Accordingly, a reaffirmation of those ranges would underscore the Committee's commitment to a policy of achieving price stability over time; and in the view of some members, higher ranges could raise questions in this regard. Moreover, a change in the ranges might be misinterpreted as a signal of greater reliance on the broad monetary aggregates in the formulation and conduct of monetary policy. In this connection, the members noted that the behavior of M2 in relation to nominal GDP and interest rates had displayed a pattern over the past two years or so that was in line with historical norms before the 1990s. However, in light of difficulties in the early 1990s and changes in financial markets, the prospective growth of M2 and its velocity remained subject to considerable uncertainty and the members felt that it would be premature for the Committee to place increased reliance on M2 at this point. A few members preferred somewhat higher growth ranges for M2 and M3 because such ranges would more comfortably surround the Committee's expectations for monetary growth. The higher ranges would be more informative for the Congress and the public as to the money growth likely to be associated with the Committee's expected economic outcomes for the period covered by the ranges. They believed that the reasons for establishing the higher ranges could readily be explained and understood as appropriate technical adjustments that did not imply any lessened commitment to the Committee's price stability goal. For example, such an explanation appeared to have been accepted with little or no comment by the public when the range for M3 was increased in July 1995. The Committee members were unanimously in favor of retaining the current monitoring range of 3 to 7 percent for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt in 1996 and extending that range on a provisional basis to 1997. They took account of a staff projection indicating that growth of the debt aggregate was likely to slow somewhat from its pace earlier this year in line with some moderation in the expansion of nominal income. According to the staff projection, growth in the debt measure would be near the midpoint of the existing range over the period through 1997. At the conclusion of this discussion, the Committee voted to reaffirm the ranges for growth of M2 and M3 and the monitoring range for expansion of total domestic nonfinancial debt that it had established in January for 1996. For the year 1997, the Committee approved provisional ranges for M2 and M3 and a provisional monitoring range for total domestic nonfinancial debt that were unchanged from the 1996 ranges. In keeping with its usual procedure under the Humphrey-Hawkins Act, the Committee would review its preliminary ranges for 1997 early next year, or sooner if interim conditions warranted, in light of their growth and velocity behavior and ongoing economic and financial developments. Accordingly, the Committee voted to incorporate the following statement regarding the 1996 and 1997 ranges in its domestic policy directive: The Federal Open Market Committee seeks monetary and financial conditions that will foster price stability and promote sustainable growth in output. In furtherance of these objectives, the Committee reaffirmed at this meeting the ranges it had established in January for growth of M2 and M3 of 1 to 5 percent and 2 to 6 percent respectively, measured from the fourth quarter of 1995 to the fourth quarter of 1996. The monitoring range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt was maintained at 3 to 7 percent for the year. For 1997 the Committee agreed on tentative ranges for monetary growth, measured from the fourth quarter of 1996 to the fourth quarter of 1997, of 1 to 5 percent for M2 and 2 to 6 percent for M3. The Committee provisionally set the associated monitoring range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt at 3 to 7 percent for 1997. The behavior of the monetary aggregates will continue to be evaluated in the light of progress toward price level stability, movements in their velocities, and developments in the economy and financial markets. Votes for this action: Messrs. Greenspan, McDonough, Boehne, Jordan, Kelley, McTeer, Meyer, Mses. Phillips and Rivlin, and Mr. Stern. Votes against this action: Mr. Lindsey and Ms. Yellen. Mr. Lindsey and Ms. Yellen dissented because they preferred somewhat higher ranges for M2 and M3 growth in 1996 and 1997. The central tendencies of the members' forecasts of nominal GDP for the two years were likely to be associated with growth of the broad monetary aggregates at rates around the top of the current ranges. Somewhat higher ranges would more comfortably encompass the anticipated growth of the monetary aggregates and in their view would conform more closely with the provisions and intent of the Federal Reserve Act that require the System to communicate its objectives and plans for monetary growth to the Congress. They believed the reasons for raising the ranges could easily be explained and understood as a technical adjustment that did not represent a reduced commitment to the goal of price Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee stability or an increased emphasis on the monetary aggregates in policy formulation. In the Committee's discussion of policy for the intermeeting period ahead, all but one of the members supported a proposal to maintain an unchanged policy stance. These members also indicated that they preferred or could accept an asymmetric directive that was biased toward restraint. In their view, the most likely outcome was a slowing of the expansion to a more sustainable pace and a continuation of subdued inflation. Nevertheless, they were concerned that the risks to that outcome were tilted toward higher inflation. While a strong economy generally was a welcome development, at current levels of resource use a continuation of rapid growth was not likely to be sustainable because it would have the potential for adding significantly to inflation pressures. However, inflation had remained relatively damped thus far, and the rise in interest rates among other factors was expected to curb demand. Moreover, any tendency for price pressures to mount was likely to emerge only gradually and be reversible through a relatively limited policy adjustment. The current stance of monetary policy could not be described in this view as clearly accommodative. While the federal funds rate had been reduced appreciably in nominal terms over the past year, its current level on an inflation-adjusted basis seemed to be only marginally below its peak prior to mid-1995. In the circumstances, the Committee could afford to wait for more evidence to see whether additional inflation pressures were likely to develop. A number of key economic data would become available over the next several weeks that would provide a much better basis for assessing the economy's momentum over the second half of the year and the outlook for inflation. A differing view gave more emphasis to prospects for rising inflation and the need for immediate action to forestall a buildup of cost and price pressures before they undermined the expansion. There was little firm evidence that economic growth was slowing and reports of appreciable wage pressures were increasing. Inflation expectations persisted in financial markets, and probably in product and labor markets as well; if they were allowed to worsen, the Committee's long-run goal of price stability would become much more difficult to achieve. Delaying action risked the need for a greater adjustment in policy at a later date with possible disruption to the economy. Members observed that an asymmetric directive would represent a shift from the symmetric directives that had been adopted over the past year but would be in keeping with their assessments of the risks of 915 higher inflation. Several commented that an asymmetric directive did not imply a commitment to tighten monetary policy at some point, whether during the intermeeting period or at a future meeting, but it did imply the need for special vigilance. Some noted that a policy tightening action could tend to have a more pronounced effect than usual because it would indicate a shift in the direction of policy and might generate expectations of further tightening. Under the circumstances, the Committee would consult in some way before any policy tightening was undertaken. At the conclusion of the Committee's discussion, all but one member indicated that they supported a directive that called for maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions and that included a bias toward the possible firming of reserve conditions during the intermeeting period. Accordingly, in the context of the Committee's long-run objectives for price stability and sustainable economic growth, and giving careful consideration to economic, financial, and monetary developments, the Committee decided that somewhat greater reserve restraint would be acceptable and slightly lesser reserve restraint might be acceptable during the intermeeting period. The reserve conditions contemplated at this meeting were expected to be consistent with moderate growth of M2 and M3 over coming months. At the conclusion of the meeting, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was authorized and directed, until instructed otherwise by the Committee, to execute transactions in the System Account in accordance with the following domestic policy directive: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that economic activity advanced considerably further in the second quarter, but increases in final demand showed some signs of moderation. Nonfarm payroll employment was up substantially in April and May; the civilian unemployment rate rose to 5.6 percent in May. Industrial production increased appreciably further in May, reflecting gains across a wide range of industries. Real consumer spending rose substantially on balance over April and May. Singlefamily housing starts fell considerably in May from a relatively high level in April. Orders and contracts point to some deceleration in spending on business equipment and nonresidential structures after a very rapid expansion earlier in the year. The nominal deficit on U.S. trade in goods and services widened in April from its rate in the first quarter. Upward pressures on food and energy prices have led to somewhat larger increases in the consumer price index over recent months. Most market interest rates have edged higher since the Committee meeting on May 21. In foreign exchange markets, the trade-weighted value of the dollar in terms of the other G-10 currencies has depreciated slightly over the intermeeting period. 916 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 M2 declined in May, though partial data for June pointed to a rebound. Growth of M3 was relatively sluggish in May but also appears to have turned up in June. For the year through June, both aggregates are estimated to have grown at rates around the upper bounds of their respective ranges for the year. Expansion in total domestic nonfinancial debt has been moderate on balance over recent months and has remained in the middle portion of its range. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks monetary and financial conditions that will foster price stability and promote sustainable growth in output. In furtherance of these objectives, the Committee reaffirmed at this meeting the ranges it had established in January for growth of M2 and M3 of 1 to 5 percent and 2 to 6 percent respectively, measured from the fourth quarter of 1995 to the fourth quarter of 1996. The monitoring range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt was maintained at 3 to 7 percent for the year. For 1997 the Committee agreed on tentative ranges for monetary growth, measured from the fourth quarter of 1996 to the fourth quarter of 1997, of 1 to 5 percent for M2 and 2 to 6 percent for M3. The Committee provisionally set the associated monitoring range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt at 3 to 7 percent for 1997. The behavior of the monetary aggregates will continue to be evaluated in the light of progress toward price level stability, movements in their velocities, and developments in the economy and financial markets. In the implementation of policy for the immediate future, the Committee seeks to maintain the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions. In the context of the Committee's long-run objectives for price stability and sustainable economic growth, and giving careful consideration to economic, financial, and monetary developments, somewhat greater reserve restraint would or slightly lesser reserve restraint might be acceptable in the intermeeting period. The contemplated reserve conditions are expected to be consistent with moderate growth in M2 and M3 over coming months. Votes for short-run policy: Messrs. Greenspan, McDonough, Boehne, Jordan, Kelley, Lindsey, McTeer, Meyer, Mses. Phillips, Rivlin, and Yellen. Vote against this action: Mr. Stern. Mr. Stern dissented because he was convinced that a modestly more restrictive policy was warranted. In his view, the momentum of the economy and strains on capacity in labor and some other markets raised the possibility of an acceleration of inflation that would jeopardize the economic expansion. This concern aside, Mr. Stern also believed that current circumstances were favorable for policy action to reduce inflation further and thereby help to sustain the ongoing improvement in the economy. As a prelude to its formal review later in the year, the Committee at this meeting considered its existing network of swap arrangements with a number of foreign central banks and the Bank for International Settlements. From time to time in recent years the Committee had discussed a variety of issues relating to its foreign exchange activities and its financial arrangements with other central banks. In this discission, the Committee considered in particular whether the swap arrangements, all of which had been put in place in the 1960s, remained an appropriate approach to international financial cooperation among central banks in light of the evolution of the international financial system in recent decades, and whether other approaches should be considered. The Committee made no decisions relating to these matters, though it was understood that these issues would be explored further. It was agreed that the next meeting of the Committee would be held on Tuesday, August 20, 1996. The meeting adjourned at 12:50 p.m. Donald L. Kohn Secretary 917 Legal Developments JOINT FINAL RULE—AMENDMENTS TO REGULA- TIONS H AND Y The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Board), and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) (collectively, the Agencies) are amending their respective risk-based capital standards to incorporate a measure for market risk to cover all positions located in an institution's trading account and foreign exchange and commodity positions wherever located. The final rule implements an amendment to the Basle Capital Accord that sets forth a supervisory framework for measuring market risk. The effect of the final rule is that any bank or bank holding company (institution) regulated by the OCC, the Board, or the FDIC, with significant exposure to market risk must measure that risk using its own internal value-atrisk model, subject to the parameters contained in this final rule, and must hold a commensurate amount of capital. Effective January 1, 1997, 12C.F.R. Parts 3, 208, 225, and 325 are amended as follows: Part 3—Minimum Capital Ratios; Issuance of Directives 1. The authority citation for Part 3 continues to read as follows: Authority. 12U.S.C. 93a, 161, 1818, 1828(n), 1828 note, 183In note, 1835, 3907, and 3909. 2. Section 3.6 is amended by revising paragraph (a) to read as follows: Section 3.6—Minimum capital ratios. (a) Risk-based capital ratio. All national banks must have and maintain the minimum risk-based capital ratio as set forth in Appendix A (and, for certain banks, in Appendix B). 3. A new Appendix B is added to Part 3 to read as follows: Appendix B to Part 3—Risk-Based Capital Guidelines; Market Risk Adjustment Section 1—Purpose, Applicability, Scope, and Effective Date. (a) Purpose. The purpose of this Appendix is to ensure that banks with significant exposure to market risk maintain adequate capital to support that exposure.1 This Appendix supplements and adjusts the risk-based capital ratio calculations under Appendix A of this part with respect to those banks. (b) Applicability. (1) This Appendix applies to any national bank whose trading activity2 (on a worldwide consolidated basis) equals: (i) 10 percent or more of total assets;3 or (ii) $1 billion or more. (2) The OCC may apply this Appendix to any national bank if the OCC deems it necessary or appropriate for safe and sound banking practices. (3) The OCC may exclude a national bank otherwise meeting the criteria of paragraph (b)(1) of this section from coverage under this Appendix if it determines the bank meets such criteria as a consequence of accounting, operational, or similar considerations, and the OCC deems it consistent with safe and sound banking practices. (c) Scope. The capital requirements of this Appendix support market risk associated with a bank's covered positions. (d) Effective date. This Appendix is effective as of January 1, 1997. Compliance is not mandatory until January 1, 1998. Subject to supervisory approval, a bank may opt to comply with this Appendix as early as January 1, 1997.4 Section 2—Definitions. For purposes of this Appendix, the following definitions apply: (a) Covered positions means all positions in a bank's trading account, and all foreign exchange5 and commodity 1. This Appendix is based on a framework developed jointly by supervisory authorities from the countries represented on the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision and endorsed by the Group of Ten Central Bank Governors. The framework is described in a Basle Committee paper entitled "Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risk," January 1996. 2. Trading activity means the gross sum of trading assets and liabilities as reported in the bank's most recent quarterly Consolidated Report of Condition and Income (Call Report). 3. Total assets means quarter-end total assets as reported in the bank's most recent Call Report. 4. A bank that voluntarily complies with the final rule prior to January 1, 1998, must comply with all of its provisions. 5. Subject to supervisory review, a bank may exclude structural positions in foreign currencies from its covered positions. 918 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 positions, whether or not in the trading account.6 Positions include on-balance-sheet assets and liabilities and offbalance-sheet items. Securities subject to repurchase and lending agreements are included as if they are still owned by the lender. (b) Market risk means the risk of loss resulting from movements in market prices. Market risk consists of general market risk and specific risk components. (1) General market risk means changes in the market value of covered positions resulting from broad market movements, such as changes in the general level of interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange rates, or commodity prices. (2) Specific risk means changes in the market value of specific positions due to factors other than broad market movements and includes such risk as the credit risk of an instrument's issuer. (c) Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital are the same as defined in Appendix A of this part. (d) Tier 3 capital is subordinated debt that is unsecured; is fully paid up; has an original maturity of at least two years; is not redeemable before maturity without prior approval by the OCC; includes a lock-in clause precluding payment of either interest or principal (even at maturity) if the payment would cause the issuing bank's risk-based capital ratio to fall or remain below the minimum required under Appendix A of this part; and does not contain and is not covered by any covenants, terms, or restrictions that are inconsistent with safe and sound banking practices. (e) Value-at-risk (VAR) means the estimate of the maximum amount that the value of covered positions could decline during a fixed holding period within a stated confidence level, measured in accordance with section 4 of this Appendix. Section 3—Adjustments to the Risk-Based Capital Ratio Calculations. (a) Risk-based capital ratio denominator. A bank subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio denominator as follows: (1) Adjusted risk-weighted assets. Calculate adjusted risk-weighted assets, which equals risk-weighted assets (as determined in accordance with Appendix A of this part), excluding the risk-weighted amounts of all covered positions (except foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and over-the-counter derivative positions).7 (2) Measure for market risk. Calculate the measure for market risk, which equals the sum of the VAR-based capital charge, the specific risk add-on (if any), and the capital charge for de minimis exposure (if any). 6. The term trading account is defined in the instructions to the Call Report. 7. Foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and all over-the-counter derivative positions, whether or not in the trading account, must be included in adjusted risk-weighted assets as determined in Appendix A of this part. (i) VAR-based capital charge. The VAR-based capital charge equals the higher of: (A) The previous day's VAR measure; or (B) The average of the daily VAR measures for each of the preceding 60 business days multiplied by three, except as provided in section 4(e) of this Appendix; (ii) Specific risk add-on. The specific risk add-on is calculated in accordance with section 5 of this Appendix; and (iii) Capital charge for de minimis exposure. The capital charge for de minimis exposure is calculated in accordance with section 4(a) of this Appendix. (3) Market risk equivalent assets. Calculate market risk equivalent assets by multiplying the measure for market risk (as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section) by 12.5. (4) Denominator calculation. Add market risk equivalent assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(3) of this section) to adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section). The resulting sum is the bank's risk-based capital ratio denominator. (b) Risk-based capital ratio numerator. A bank subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio numerator by allocating capital as follows: (1) Credit risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital equal to 8.0 percent of adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section).8 (2) Market risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3 capital equal to the measure for market risk as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section. The sum of Tier 2 and Tier 3 capital allocated for market risk must not exceed 250 percent of Tier 1 capital allocated for market risk. (This requirement means that Tier 1 capital allocated in this paragraph (b)(2) must equal at least 28.6 percent of the measure for market risk.) (3) Restrictions, (i) The sum of Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) and Tier 3 capital (allocated in paragraph (b)(2) of this section) may not exceed 100 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess).9 (ii) Term subordinated debt (and intermediate-term preferred stock and related surplus) included in Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) may not exceed 50 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess). (4) Numerator calculation. Add Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess), Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess), and Tier 3 capital (allocated under paragraph (b)(2) of this section). The resulting sum is the bank's risk-based capital ratio numerator. 8. A bank may not allocate Tier 3 capital to support credit risk (as calculated under Appendix A). 9. Excess Tier 1 capital means Tier 1 capital that has not been allocated in paragraphs (b)(1) and (b)(2) of this section. Excess Tier 2 capital means Tier 2 capital that has not been allocated in paragraph (b)( 1) and (b)(2) of this section, subject to the restrictions in paragraph (b)(3) of this section. Legal Developments Section 4—Internal Models. (a) General. For risk-based capital purposes, a bank subject to this Appendix must use its internal model to measure its daily VAR, in accordance with the requirements of this section.10 The OCC may permit a bank to use alternative techniques to measure the market risk of de minimis exposures so long as the techniques adequately measure associated market risk. (b) Qualitative requirements. A bank subject to this Appendix must have a risk management system that meets the following minimum qualitative requirements: (1) The bank must have a risk control unit that reports directly to senior management and is independent from business trading units. (2) The bank's internal risk measurement model must be integrated into the daily management process. (3) The bank's policies and procedures must identify, and the bank must conduct, appropriate stress tests and backtests.11 The bank's policies and procedures must identify the procedures to follow in response to the results of such tests. (4) The bank must conduct independent reviews of its risk measurement and risk management systems at least annually. (c) Market risk factors. The bank's internal model must use risk factors sufficient to measure the market risk inherent in all covered positions. The risk factors must address interest rate risk,12 equity price risk, foreign exchange rate risk, and commodity price risk. (d) Quantitative requirements. For regulatory capital purposes, VAR measures must meet the following quantitative requirements: (1) The VAR measures must be calculated on a daily basis using a 99 percent, one-tailed confidence level with a price shock equivalent to a ten-business day movement in rates and prices. In order to calculate VAR measures based on a ten-day price shock, the bank may either calculate ten-day figures directly or convert VAR figures based on holding periods other than ten days to the equivalent of a ten-day holding period (for instance, 10. A bank's internal model may use any generally accepted measurement techniques, such as variance-covariance models, historical simulations, or Monte Carlo simulations. However, the level of sophistication and accuracy of a bank's internal model must be commensurate with the nature and size of its covered positions. A bank that modifies its existing modeling procedures to comply with the requirements of this Appendix for risk-based capital purposes should, nonetheless, continue to use the internal model it considers most appropriate in evaluating risks for other purposes. 11. Stress tests provide information about the impact of adverse market events on a bank's covered positions. Backtests provide information about the accuracy of an internal model by comparing a bank's daily VAR measures to its corresponding daily trading profits and losses. 12. For material exposures in the major currencies and markets, modeling techniques must capture spread risk and must incorporate enough segments of the yield curve—at least six—to capture differences in volatility and less than perfect correlation of rates along the yield curve. 919 by multiplying a one-day VAR measure by the square root of ten). (2) The VAR measures must be based on an historical observation period (or effective observation period for a bank using a weighting scheme or other similar method) of at least one year. The bank must update data sets at least once every three months or more frequently as market conditions warrant. (3) The VAR measures must include the risks arising from the non-linear price characteristics of options positions and the sensitivity of the market value of the positions to changes in the volatility of the underlying rates or prices. A bank with a large or complex options portfolio must measure the volatility of options positions by different maturities. (4) The VAR measures may incorporate empirical correlations within and across risk categories, provided that the bank's process for measuring correlations is sound. In the event that the VAR measures do not incorporate empirical correlations across risk categories, then the bank must add the separate VAR measures for the four major risk categories to determine its aggregate VAR measure. (e) Backtesting. (1) Beginning one year after a bank starts to comply with this Appendix, a bank must conduct backtesting by comparing each of its most recent 250 business days' actual net trading profit or loss13 with the corresponding daily VAR measures generated for internal risk measurement purposes and calibrated to a oneday holding period and a 99 percent, one-tailed confidence level. (2) Once each quarter, the bank must identify the number of exceptions, that is, the number of business days for which the magnitude of the actual daily net trading loss, if any, exceeds the corresponding daily VAR measure. (3) A bank must use the multiplication factor indicated in Table 1 of this Appendix in determining its capital charge for market risk under section 3(a)(2)(i)(B) of this Appendix until it obtains the next quarter's backtesting results, unless the OCC determines that a different adjustment or other action is appropriate. 1. Multiplication Factor Based on Results of Backtesting Number of exceptions Multiplication factor 4 or fewer 5 6 7 8 9 10 or more 3.00 3.40 3.50 3.65 3.75 3.85 4.00 13. Actual net trading profits and losses typically include such things as realized and unrealized gains and losses on portfolio positions as well as fee income and commissions associated with trading activities. 920 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Section 5—Specific Risk. (a) Specific risk add-on. For purposes of section 3(a)(2)(ii) of this Appendix, a bank's specific risk add-on equals the standard specific risk capital charge calculated under paragraph (c) of this section. If, however, a bank can demonstrate to the OCC that its internal model measures the specific risk of covered debt and/or equity positions and that those measures are included in the VAR-based capital charge in section 3(a)(2)(i) of this Appendix, then the bank may reduce or eliminate its specific risk add-on under this section. The determination as to whether a model incorporates specific risk must be made separately for covered debt and equity positions. (1) If a model includes the specific risk of covered debt positions but not covered equity positions (or vice versa), then the bank can reduce its specific risk charge for the included positions under paragraph (b) of this section. The specific risk charge for the positions not included equals the standard specific risk capital charge under paragraph (c) of this section. (2) If a model addresses the specific risk of both covered debt and equity positions, then the bank can reduce its specific risk charge for both covered debt and equity positions under paragraph (b) of this section. In this case, the comparison described in paragraph (b) of this section must be based on the total VAR-based figure for the specific risk of debt and equity positions, taking into account any correlations that are built into the model. (b) VAR-based specific risk capital charge. In all cases where a bank measures specific risk in its internal model, the total capital charge for specific risk (i.e., the VARbased specific risk capital charge plus the specific risk add-on) must equal at least 50 percent of the standard specific risk capital charge (this amount is the minimum specific risk charge). (1) If the portion of a bank's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is greater than or equal to the minimum specific risk charge, then the bank has no specific risk add-on and its capital charge for specific risk is the portion included in the VAR measure. (2) If the portion of a bank's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is less than the minimum specific risk charge, then the bank's specific risk add-on is the difference between the minimum specific risk charge and the specific risk portion of the VAR measure (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix). (c) Standard specific risk capital charge. The standard specific risk capital charge equals the sum of the components for covered debt and equity positions as follows: (1) Covered debt positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered debt positions means fixed-rate or floating-rate debt instruments located in the trading account and instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in interest rates, including certain non-convertible preferred stock, convertible bonds, and instruments subject to repurchase and lending agreements. Also included are derivatives (including written and purchased options) for which the underlying instrument is a covered debt instrument that is subject to a non-zero specific risk capital charge. (A) For covered debt positions that are derivatives, a bank must risk-weight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered debt positions that are options, whether long or short, a bank must risk-weight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta. (ii) A bank may net long and short covered debt positions (including derivatives) in identical debt issues or indices. (iii) A bank must multiply the absolute value of the current market value of each net long or short covered debt position by the appropriate specific risk weight2. Specific Risk Weighting Factors for Covered Debt Positions Category Government1 Qualifying 2 Other 3 Remaining maturity (contractual) Weighting factor (in percent) N/A .00 6 months or less Over 6 months to 24 months over 24 months .25 1.00 N/A 8.00 1.60 1. The "government" category includes all debt instruments of central governments of OECD countries (as defined in Appendix A of this part) including bonds, Treasury bills, and other short-term instruments, as well as local currency instruments of non-OECD central governments to the extent the bank has liabilities booked in that currency. 2. The "qualifying" category includes debt instruments of U.S. governmentsponsored agencies (as defined in Appendix A of this part), general obligation debt instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD countries, multilateral development banks (as defined in Appendix A of this part), and debt instruments issued by U.S. depository institutions or OECDbanks (as defined in Appendix A of this part) that do not qualify as capital of the issuing institution. This category also includes other debt instruments, including corporate debt and revenue instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD countries, that are: (1) rated investment grade by at least two nationally recognized credit rating services; (2) rated investment grade by one nationally recognized credit rating agency and not rated less than investment grade by any other credit rating agency; or (3) unrated, but deemed to be of comparable investment quality by the reporting bank and the issuer has instruments listed on a recognized stock exchange, subject to review by the OCC. 3. The "other" category includes debt instruments that are not included in the government or qualifying categories. Legal Developments ing factor indicated in Table 2 of this Appendix. The specific risk capital charge component for covered debt positions is the sum of the weighted values. (2) Covered equity positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered equity positions means equity instruments located in the trading account and instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in equity prices, including voting or non-voting common stock, certain convertible bonds, and commitments to buy or sell equity instruments. Also included are derivatives (including written and purchased options) for which the underlying is a covered equity position. (A) For covered equity positions that are derivatives, a bank must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or equity portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying equity instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered equity positions that are options, whether long or short, a bank must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta. (ii) A bank may net long and short covered equity positions (including derivatives) in identical equity issues or equity indices in the same market.14 (iii) (A) A bank must multiply the absolute value of the current market value of each net long or short covered equity position by a risk weighting factor of 8.0 percent, or by 4.0 percent if the equity is held in a portfolio that is both liquid and well-diversified. For covered equity positions that are index contracts comprising a well-diversified portfolio of equity instruments, the net long or short position is multiplied by a risk weighting factor of 2.0 percent. (B) For covered equity positions from the following futures-related arbitrage strategies, a bank may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to one side (long or short) of each position with the opposite side exempt from charge: (1) Long and short positions in exactly the same index at different dates or in different market centers; or (2) Long and short positions in index contracts at the same date in different but similar indices. (C) For futures contracts on broadly-based indices that are matched by offsetting positions in a basket 14. A bank may also net positions in depository receipts against an opposite position in the underlying equity or identical equity in different markets, provided that the bank includes the costs of conversion. 921 of stocks comprising the index, a bank may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to the futures and stock basket positions (long and short), provided that such trades are deliberately entered into and separately controlled, and that the basket of stocks comprises at least 90 percent of the capitalization of the index. (iv) The specific risk capital charge component for covered equity positions is the sum of the weighted values. Section 6—Reservation of Authority. The OCC reserves the authority to modify the application of any of the provisions in this Appendix to any bank, upon reasonable justification. Part 208—Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System (Regulation H) 1. The authority citation for Part 208 is revised to read as follows: Authority. 12 U.S.C. 36, 248(a), 248(c), 321-338a, 371d, 461, 481-486, 601, 611, 1814, 1823(j), 1828(o), 1831o, 183lp-1, 3105, 3310, 3331-3351, and 3906-3909; 15 U.S.C. 78b, 781(b), 781(g), 781(i), 78o-4(c)(5), 78q, 78q-l, and 78w; 31 U.S.C. 5318; 42 U.S.C. 4012a, 4104a, 4104b, 4106, and 4128. 2. In Part 208, section 208.13 is revised to read as follows: Section 208.13—Capital Adequacy. The standards and guidelines by which the capital adequacy of state member banks will be evaluated by the Board are set forth in Appendix A and Appendix E for risk-based capital purposes, and, with respect to the ratios relating capital to total assets, in Appendix B to Part 208 and in Appendix B to the Board's Regulation Y, 12 C.F.R. Part 225. 3. In Part 208, Appendix A is amended in the introductory text, by adding a new paragraph after the second undesignated paragraph to read as follows: Appendix A to Part 208—Capital Adequacy Guidelines for State Member Banks; Risk-Based Measure In addition, when certain banks that engage in trading activities calculate their risk-based capital ratio under this Appendix A, they must also refer to Appendix E of this part, which incorporates capital charges for certain market risks into the risk-based capital ratio. When calculating 922 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 their risk-based capital ratio under this Appendix A, such banks are required to refer to Appendix E of this part for supplemental rules to determine qualifying and excess capital, calculate risk-weighted assets, calculate market risk equivalent assets, and calculate risk-based capital ratios adjusted for market risk. 4. In Part 208, a new Appendix E is added to read as follows: Appendix E to Part 208 —Capital Adequacy Guidelines for State Member Banks; Market Risk Measure Section 1—Purpose, Applicability, Scope, and Elfective Date. (a) Purpose. The purpose of this Appendix is to ensure that banks with significant exposure to market risk maintain adequate capital to support that exposure.1 This Appendix supplements and adjusts the risk-based capital ratio calculations under Appendix A of this part with respect to those banks. (b) Applicability. (1) This Appendix applies to any insured state member bank whose trading activity2 (on a worldwide consolidated basis) equals: (i) 10 percent or more of total assets;3 or (ii) $1 billion or more. (2) The Federal Reserve may additionally apply this Appendix to any insured state member bank if the Federal Reserve deems it necessary or appropriate for safe and sound banking practices. (3) The Federal Reserve may exclude an insured state member bank otherwise meeting the criteria of paragraph (b)(1) of this section from coverage under this Appendix if it determines the bank meets such criteria as a consequence of accounting, operational, or similar considerations, and the Federal Reserve deems it consistent with safe and sound banking practices. (c) Scope. The capital requirements of this Appendix support market risk associated with a bank's covered positions. 1. A portfolio is liquid and well-diversified if: (1) It is characterized by a limited sensitivity to price changes of any single equity issue or closely related group of equity issues held in the portfolio; (2) The volatility of the portfolio's value is not dominated by the volatility of any individual equity issue or by equity issues from any single industry or economic sector; (3) It contains a large number of individual equity positions, with no single position representing a substantial portion of the portfolio's total market value; and (4) It consists mainly of issues traded on organized exchanges or in well-established over-the-counter markets. 2. Trading activity means the gross sum of trading assets and liabilities as reported in the bank's most recent quarterly Consolidated Report of Condition and Income (Call Report). 3. Total assets means quarter-end total assets as reported in the bank's most recent Call Report. (d) Effective date. This Appendix is elfective as of January 1, 1997. Compliance is not mandatory until January 1, 1998. Subject to supervisory approval, a bank may opt to comply with this appendix as early as January 1, 1997.4 Section 2—Definitions. For purposes of this Appendix, the following definitions apply: (a) Covered positions means all positions in a bank's trading account, and all foreign exchange5 and commodity positions, whether or not in the trading account.6 Positions include on-balance-sheet assets and liabilities and offbalance-sheet items. Securities subject to repurchase and lending agreements are included as if they are still owned by the lender. (b) Market risk means the risk of loss resulting from movements in market prices. Market risk consists of general market risk and specific risk components. (1) General market risk means changes in the market value of covered positions resulting from broad market movements, such as changes in the general level of interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange rates, or commodity prices. (2) Specific risk means changes in the market value of specific positions due to factors other than broad market movements and includes such risk as the credit risk of an instrument's issuer. (c) Tier I and Tier 2 capital are defined in Appendix A of this part. (d) Tier 3 capital is subordinated debt that is unsecured; is fully paid up; has an original maturity of at least two years; is not redeemable before maturity without prior approval by the Federal Reserve; includes a lock-in clause precluding payment of either interest or principal (even at maturity) if the payment would cause the issuing bank's riskbased capital ratio to fall or remain below the minimum required under Appendix A of this part; and does not contain and is not covered by any covenants, terms, or restrictions that are inconsistent with safe and sound banking practices. (e) Value-at-risk (VAR) means the estimate of the maximum amount that the value of covered positions could decline during a fixed holding period within a stated confidence level, measured in accordance with section 4 of this Appendix. 4. A bank that voluntarily complies with the final rule prior to January 1, 1998, must comply with all of its provisions. 5. Subject to supervisory review, a bank may exclude structural positions in foreign currencies from its covered positions. 6. The term trading account is defined in the instructions to the Call Report. Legal Developments Section 3—Adjustments to the Risk-Based Capital Ratio Calculations. (a) Risk-based capital ratio denominator. A bank subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio denominator as follows: (1) Adjusted risk-weighted assets. Calculate adjusted risk-weighted assets, which equals risk-weighted assets (as determined in accordance with Appendix A of this part), excluding the risk-weigh ted amounts of all covered positions (except foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and over-the-counter derivative positions).7 (2) Measure for market risk. Calculate the measure for market risk, which equals the sum of the VAR-based capital charge, the specific risk add-on (if any), and the capital charge for de minimis exposures (if any). (i) VAR-based capital charge. The VAR-based capital charge equals the higher of: (A) The previous day's VAR measure; or (B) The average of the daily VAR measures for each of the preceding 60 business days multiplied by three, except as provided in section 4(e) of this Appendix; (ii) Specific risk add-on. The specific risk add-on is calculated in accordance with section 5 of this Appendix; and (iii) Capital charge for de minimis exposure. The capital charge for de minimis exposure is calculated in accordance with section 4(a) of this Appendix. (3) Market risk equivalent assets. Calculate market risk equivalent assets by multiplying the measure for market risk (as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section) by 12.5. (4) Denominator calculation. Add market risk equivalent assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(3) of this section) to adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section). The resulting sum is the bank's risk-based capital ratio denominator. (b) Risk-based capital ratio numerator. A bank subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio numerator by allocating capital as follows: (1) Credit risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital equal to 8.0 percent of adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section).8 (2) Market risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3 capital equal to the measure for market risk as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section. The sum of Tier 2 and Tier 3 capital allocated for market risk must not exceed 250 percent of Tier 1 capital allocated for market risk. (This requirement means that Tier 1 capital 7. Foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and all over-the-counter derivative positions, whether or not in the trading account, must be included in adjusted risk weighted assets as determined in Appendix A of this part. 8. A bank may not allocate Tier 3 capital to support credit risk (as calculated under Appendix A of this part). 923 allocated in this paragraph (b)(2) must equal at least 28.6 percent of the measure for market risk.) (3) Restrictions, (i) The sum of Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) and Tier 3 capital (allocated in paragraph (b)(2) of this section) may not exceed 100 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess).9 (ii) Term subordinated debt (and intermediate-term preferred stock and related surplus) included in Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) may not exceed 50 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess). (4) Numerator calculation. Add Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess), Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess), and Tier 3 capital (allocated under paragraph (b)(2) of this section). The resulting sum is the bank's risk-based capital ratio numerator. Section A—Internal Models. (a) General. For risk-based capital purposes, a bank subject to this Appendix must use its internal model to measure its daily VAR, in accordance with the requirements of this section.10 The Federal Reserve may permit a bank to use alternative techniques to measure the market risk of de minimis exposures so long as the techniques adequately measure associated market risk. (b) Qualitative requirements. A bank subject to this Appendix must have a risk management system that meets the following minimum qualitative requirements: (1) The bank must have a risk control unit that reports directly to senior management and is independent from business trading units. (2) The bank's internal risk measurement model must be integrated into the daily management process. (3) The bank's policies and procedures must identify, and the bank must conduct, appropriate stress tests and backtests.11 The bank's policies and procedures must identify the procedures to follow in response to the results of such tests. 9. Excess Tier 1 capital means Tier 1 capital that has not been allocated in paragraphs (b)(1) and (b)(2) of this section. Excess Tier 2 capital means Tier 2 capital that has not been allocated in paragraph (b)(1) and (b)(2) of this section, subject to the restrictions in paragraph (b)(3) of this section. 10. A bank's internal model may use any generally accepted measurement techniques, such as variance-covariance models, historical simulations, or Monte Carlo simulations. However, the level of sophistication and accuracy of a bank's internal model must be commensurate with the nature and size of its covered positions. A bank that modifies its existing modeling procedures to comply with the requirements of this Appendix for risk-based capital purposes should, nonetheless, continue to use the internal model it considers most appropriate in evaluating risks for other purposes. 11. Stress tests provide information about the impact of adverse market events on a bank's covered positions. Backtests provide information about the accuracy of an internal model by comparing a bank's daily VAR measures to its corresponding daily trading profits and losses. 924 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 (4) The bank must conduct independent reviews of its risk measurement and risk management systems at least annually. (c) Market risk factors. The bank's internal model must use risk factors sufficient to measure the market risk inherent in all covered positions. The risk factors must address interest rate risk,12 equity price risk, foreign exchange rate risk, and commodity price risk. (d) Quantitative requirements. For regulatory capital purposes, VAR measures must meet the following quantitative requirements: (1) The VAR measures must be calculated on a daily basis using a 99 percent, one-tailed confidence level with a price shock equivalent to a ten-business day movement in rates and prices. In order to calculate VAR measures based on a ten-day price shock, the bank may either calculate ten-day figures directly or convert VAR figures based on holding periods other than ten days to the equivalent of a ten-day holding period (for instance, by multiplying a one-day VAR measure by the square root of ten). (2) The VAR measures must be based on an historical observation period (or effective observation period for a bank using a weighting scheme or other similar method) of at least one year. The bank must update data sets at least once every three months or more frequently as market conditions warrant. (3) The VAR measures must include the risks arising from the non-linear price characteristics of options positions and the sensitivity of the market value of the positions to changes in the volatility of the underlying rates or prices. A bank with a large or complex options portfolio must measure the volatility of options positions by different maturities. (4) The VAR measures may incorporate empirical correlations within and across risk categories, provided that the bank's process for measuring correlations is sound. In the event that the VAR measures do not incorporate empirical correlations across risk categories, then the bank must add the separate VAR measures for the four major risk categories to determine its aggregate VAR measure. (e) Backtesting. (1) Beginning one year after a bank starts to comply with this Appendix, a bank must conduct backtesting by comparing each of its most recent 250 business days' actual net trading profit or loss13 with the corresponding daily VAR measures generated for internal risk measurement purposes and calibrated to a one- 12. For material exposures in the major currencies and markets, modeling techniques must capture spread risk and must incorporate enough segments of the yield curve—at least six—to capture differences in volatility and less than perfect correlation of rates along the yield curve. 13. Actual net trading profits and losses typically include such things as realized and unrealized gains and losses on portfolio positions as well as fee income and commissions associated with trading activities. day holding period and a 99 percent, one-tailed confidence level. (2) Once each quarter, the bank must identify the number of exceptions, that is, the number of business days for which the magnitude of the actual daily net trading loss, if any, exceeds the corresponding daily VAR measure. (3) A bank must use the multiplication factor indicated in Table 1 of this Appendix in determining its capital charge for market risk under section 3(a)(2)(i)(B) of this Appendix until it obtains the next quarter's backtesting results, unless the Federal Reserve determines that a different adjustment or other action is appropriate. 1. Multiplication Factor Based on Results of Backtesting Number of exceptions Multiplication factor 4 or fewer 5 6 7 8 9 10 or more 3.00 3.40 3.50 3.65 3.75 3.85 4.00 Section 5—Specific Risk. (a) Specific risk add-on. For purposes of section 3(a)(2)(ii) of this Appendix, a bank's specific risk add-on equals the standard specific risk capital charge calculated under paragraph (c) of this section. If, however, a bank can demonstrate to the Federal Reserve that its internal model measures the specific risk of covered debt and/or equity positions and that those measures are included in the VAR-based capital charge in section 3(a)(2)(i) of this Appendix, then the bank may reduce or eliminate its specific risk add-on under this section. The determination as to whether a model incorporates specific risk must be made separately for covered debt and equity positions. (1) If a model includes the specific risk of covered debt positions but not covered equity positions (or vice versa), then the bank can reduce its specific risk charge for the included positions under paragraph (b) of this section. The specific risk charge for the positions not included equals the standard specific risk capital charge under paragraph (c) of this section. (2) If a model addresses the specific risk of both covered debt and equity positions, then the bank can reduce its specific risk charge for both covered debt and equity positions under paragraph (b) of this section. In this case, the comparison described in paragraph (b) of this section must be based on the total VAR-based figure for the specific risk of debt and equity positions, taking into account any correlations that are built into the model. (b) VAR-based specific risk capital charge. In all cases where a bank measures specific risk in its internal model, the total capital charge for specific risk (i.e., the VARbased specific risk capital charge plus the specific risk Legal Developments add-on) must equal at least 50 percent of the standard specific risk capital charge (this amount is the minimum specific risk charge). (1) If the portion of a bank's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is greater than or equal to the minimum specific risk charge, then the bank has no specific risk add-on and its capital charge for specific risk is the portion included in the VAR measure. (2) If the portion of a bank's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is less than the minimum specific risk charge, then the bank's specific risk add-on is the difference between the minimum specific risk charge and the specific risk portion of the VAR measure (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix). (c) Standard specific risk capital charge. The standard specific risk capital charge equals the sum of the components for covered debt and equity positions as follows: (1) Covered debt positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered debt positions means fixed-rate or floating-rate debt instruments located in the trading account and instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in interest rates, including certain non-convertible preferred stock, convertible bonds, and instruments subject to repurchase and lending agreements. Also included are derivatives (including written and purchased options) for which the underlying instrument is a covered debt instrument that is subject to a non-zero specific risk capital charge. (A) For covered debt positions that are derivatives, a bank must risk-weight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered debt positions that are options, whether long or short, a bank must risk-weight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta, (ii) A bank may net long and short covered debt positions (including derivatives) in identical debt issues or indices. (iii) A bank must multiply the absolute value of the current market value of each net long or short covered debt position by the appropriate specific risk weighting factor indicated in Table 2 of this Appendix. The specific risk capital charge component for covered debt positions is the sum of the weighted values. 925 2. Specific Risk Weighting Factors for Covered Debt Positions Category Government Qualifying Other Remaining Maturity (contractual) Weighting Factor (in percent) N/A .00 6 months or less over 6 months to 24 months over 24 months .25 1.00 N/A 8.00 1.60 (A) The government category includes all debt instruments of central governments of OECD-based countries14 including bonds, Treasury bills, and other short-term instruments, as well as local currency instruments of non-OECD central governments to the extent the bank has liabilities booked in that currency. (B) The qualifying category includes debt instruments of U.S. government-sponsored agencies, general obligation debt instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD-based countries, multilateral development banks, and debt instruments issued by U.S. depository institutions or OECD-banks that do not qualify as capital of the issuing institution.15 This category also includes other debt instruments, including corporate debt and revenue instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD countries, that are: (1) Rated investment-grade by at least two nationally recognized credit rating services; (2) Rated investment-grade by one nationally recognized credit rating agency and not rated less than investment-grade by any other credit rating agency; or (3) Unrated, but deemed to be of comparable investment quality by the reporting bank and the issuer has instruments listed on a recognized stock exchange, subject to review by the Federal Reserve. (C) The other category includes debt instruments that are not included in the government or qualifying categories. (2) Covered equity positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered equity positions means equity instruments located in the trading account and instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in equity prices, including voting or non-voting common stock, certain convertible bonds, and commitments to buy or sell equity instruments. Also included are derivatives (including 14. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)-based countries is defined in Appendix A of this part. 15. U.S. government-sponsored agencies, multilateral development banks, and OECD banks are defined in Appendix A of this part. 926 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 written and purchased options) for which the underlying is a covered equity position. (A) For covered equity positions that are derivatives, a bank must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or equity portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying equity instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered equity positions that are options, whether long or short, a bank must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta. (ii) A bank may net long and short covered equity positions (including derivatives) in identical equity issues or equity indices in the same market.16 (iii) (A) A bank must multiply the absolute value of the current market value of each net long or short covered equity position by a risk weighting factor of 8.0 percent, or by 4.0 percent if the equity is held in a portfolio that is both liquid and welldiversified.17 For covered equity positions that are index contracts comprising a well-diversified portfolio of equity instruments, the net long or short position is multiplied by a risk weighting factor of 2.0 percent. (B) For covered equity positions from the following futures-related arbitrage strategies, a bank may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to one side (long or short) of each position with the opposite side exempt from charge, subject to review by the Federal Reserve: (7) Long and short positions in exactly the same index at different dates or in different market centers; or (2) Long and short positions in index contracts at the same date in different but similar indices. (C) For futures contracts on broadly-based indices that are matched by offsetting positions in a basket 16. A bank may also net positions in depository receipts against an opposite position in the underlying equity or identical equity in different markets, provided that the bank includes the costs of conversion. 17. A portfolio is liquid and well-diversified if: (1) It is characterized by a limited sensitivity to price changes of any single equity issue or closely related group of equity issues held in the portfolio; (2) The volatility of the portfolio's value is not dominated by the volatility of any individual equity issue or by equity issues from any single industry or economic sector; (3) It contains a large number of individual equity positions, with no single position representing a substantial portion of the portfolio's total market value; and (4) It consists mainly of issues traded on organized exchanges or in well-established over-the-counter markets. of stocks comprising the index, a bank may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to the futures and stock basket positions (long and short), provided that such trades are deliberately entered into and separately controlled, and that the basket of stocks comprises at least 90 percent of the capitalization of the index. (iv) The specific risk capital charge component for covered equity positions is the sum of the weighted values. Part 225—Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control (Regulation Y) 1. The authority citation for Part 225 continues to read as follows: Authority. 12U.S.C. 1817(j)(13), 1818, 1831i, 1831p-l, 1843(c)(8), 1844(b), 1972(1), 3106, 3108, 3310, 33313351,3907, and 3909. 2. In Part 225, Appendix A is amended in the introductory text, by adding a new paragraph after the second undesignated paragraph to read as follows: Appendix A to Part 225—Capital Adequacy Guidelines for Bank Holding Companies: Risk-Based Measure In addition, when certain organizations that engage in trading activities calculate their risk-based capital ratio under this Appendix A, they must also refer to Appendix E of this part, which incorporates capital charges for certain market risks into the risk-based capital ratio. When calculating their risk-based capital ratio under this Appendix A, such organizations are required to refer to Appendix E of this part for supplemental rules to determine qualifying and excess capital, calculate risk-weighted assets, calculate market risk equivalent assets, and calculate risk-based capital ratios adjusted for market risk. 3. In Part 225, a new Appendix E is added to read as follows: Appendix E to Part 225—Capital Adequacy Guidelines for Bank Holding Companies: Market Risk Measure Section 1—Purpose, Applicability, Scope, and Effective Date. (a) Purpose. The purpose of this Appendix is to ensure that bank holding companies (organizations) with significant exposure to market risk maintain adequate capital to sup- Legal Developments 927 port that exposure.1 This Appendix supplements and adjusts the risk-based capital ratio calculations under Appendix A of this part with respect to those organizations. (b) Applicability. (1) This Appendix applies to any bank holding company whose trading activity2 (on a worldwide consolidated basis) equals: (i) 10 percent or more of total assets;3 or (ii) $1 billion or more. (2) The Federal Reserve may additionally apply this Appendix to any bank holding company if the Federal Reserve deems it necessary or appropriate for safe and sound banking practices. (3) The Federal Reserve may exclude a bank holding company otherwise meeting the criteria of paragraph (b)(1) of this section from coverage under this Appendix if it determines the organization meets such criteria as a consequence of accounting, operational, or similar considerations, and the Federal Reserve deems it consistent with safe and sound banking practices. (c) Scope. The capital requirements of this Appendix support market risk associated with an organization's covered positions. (d) Effective date. This Appendix is effective as of January 1, 1997. Compliance is not mandatory until January 1, 1998. Subject to supervisory approval, a bank holding company may opt to comply with this Appendix as early as January 1, 1997.4 (1) General market risk means changes in the market value of covered positions resulting from broad market movements, such as changes in the general level of interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange rates, or commodity prices. (2) Specific risk means changes in the market value of specific positions due to factors other than broad market movements and includes such risk as the credit risk of an instrument's issuer. (c) Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital are defined in Appendix A of this part. (d) Tier 3 capital is subordinated debt that is unsecured; is fully paid up; has an original maturity of at least two years; is not redeemable before maturity without prior approval by the Federal Reserve; includes a lock-in clause precluding payment of either interest or principal (even at maturity) if the payment would cause the issuing organization's risk-based capital ratio to fall or remain below the minimum required under Appendix A of this part; and does not contain and is not covered by any covenants, terms, or restrictions that are inconsistent with safe and sound banking practices. (e) Value-at-risk (VAR) means the estimate of the maximum amount that the value of covered positions could decline due to market price or rate movements during a fixed holding period within a stated confidence level, measured in accordance with section 4 of this Appendix. Section 2—Definitions. Section 3—Adjustments to the Risk-Based Capital Ratio Calculations. For purposes of this Appendix, the following definitions apply: (a) Covered positions means all positions in an organization's trading account, and all foreign exchange5 and commodity positions, whether or not in the trading account.6 Positions include on-balance-sheet assets and liabilities and off-balance-sheet items. Securities subject to repurchase and lending agreements are included as if still owned by the lender. (b) Market risk means the risk of loss resulting from movements in market prices. Market risk consists of general market risk and specific risk components. 1. This Appendix is based on a framework developed jointly by supervisory authorities from the countries represented on the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision and endorsed by the Group of Ten Central Bank Governors. The framework is described in a Basle Committee paper entitled "Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risk," January 1996. 2. Trading activity means the gross sum of trading assets and liabilities as reported in the bank holding company's most recent quarterly Y-9C Report. 3. Total assets means quarter-end total assets as reported in the bank holding company's most recent Y-9C Report. 4. A bank holding company that voluntarily complies with the final rule prior to January 1, 1998, must comply with all of its provisions. 5. Subject to supervisory review, a bank may exclude structural positions in foreign currencies from its covered positions. 6. The term trading account is defined in the instructions to the Call Report. (a) Risk-based capital ratio denominator. An organization subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio denominator as follows: (1) Adjusted risk-weighted assets. Calculate adjusted risk-weighted assets, which equals risk-weighted assets (as determined in accordance with Appendix A of this part) excluding the risk-weighted amounts of all covered positions (except foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and over-the-counter derivative positions).7 (2) Measure for market risk. Calculate the measure for market risk, which equals the sum of the VAR-based capital charge, the specific risk add-on (if any), and the capital charge for de minimis exposures (if any). (i) VAR-based capital charge. The VAR-based capital charge equals the higher of: (A) The previous day's VAR measure; or (B) The average of the daily VAR measures for each of the preceding 60 business days multiplied by three, except as provided in section 4(e) of this Appendix; 7. Foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and all over-the-counter derivative positions, whether or not in the trading account, must be included in adjusted risk weighted assets as determined in Appendix A of this part. 928 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 (ii) Specific risk add-on. The specific risk add-on is calculated in accordance with section 5 of this Appendix; and (iii) Capital charge for de minimis exposure. The capital charge for de minimis exposure is calculated in accordance with section 4(a) of this Appendix. (3) Market risk equivalent assets. Calculate market risk equivalent assets by multiplying the measure for market risk (as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section) by 12.5. (4) Denominator calculation. Add market risk equivalent assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(3) of this section) to adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section). The resulting sum is the organization's risk-based capital ratio denominator. (b) Risk-based capital ratio numerator. An organization subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio numerator by allocating capital as follows: (1) Credit risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital equal to 8.0 percent of adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section).8 (2) Market risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3 capital equal to the measure for market risk as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section. The sum of Tier 2 and Tier 3 capital allocated for market risk must not exceed 250 percent of Tier 1 capital allocated for market risk. (This requirement means that Tier 1 capital allocated in this paragraph (b)(2) must equal at least 28.6 percent of the measure for market risk.) (3) Restrictions, (i) The sum of Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) and Tier 3 capital (allocated in paragraph (b)(2) of this section) may not exceed 100 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess).9 (ii) Term subordinated debt (and intermediate-term preferred stock and related surplus) included in Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) may not exceed 50 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess). (4) Numerator calculation. Add Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess), Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess), and Tier 3 capital (allocated under paragraph (b)(2) of this section). The resulting sum is the organization's risk-based capital ratio numerator. Section A—Internal Models. (a) General. For risk-based capital purposes, a bank holding company subject to this Appendix must use its internal model to measure its daily VAR, in accordance with the 8. An institution may not allocate Tier 3 capital to support credit risk (as calculated under Appendix A of this part). 9. Excess Tier 1 capital means Tier 1 capital that has not been allocated in paragraphs (b)(1) and (b)(2) of this section. Excess Tier 2 capital means Tier 2 capital that has not been allocated in paragraph (b)(1) and (b)(2) of this section, subject to the restrictions in paragraph (b)(3) of this section. requirements of this section.10 The Federal Reserve may permit an organization to use alternative techniques to measure the market risk of de minimis exposures so long as the techniques adequately measure associated market risk. (b) Qualitative requirements. A bank holding company subject to this Appendix must have a risk management system that meets the following minimum qualitative requirements: (1) The organization must have a risk control unit that reports directly to senior management and is independent from business trading units. (2) The organization's internal risk measurement model must be integrated into the daily management process. (3) The organization's policies and procedures must identify, and the organization must conduct, appropriate stress tests and backtests.11 The organization's policies and procedures must identify the procedures to follow in response to the results of such tests. (4) The organization must conduct independent reviews of its risk measurement and risk management systems at least annually. (c) Market risk factors. The organization's internal model must use risk factors sufficient to measure the market risk inherent in all covered positions. The risk factors must address interest rate risk,12 equity price risk, foreign exchange rate risk, and commodity price risk. (d) Quantitative requirements. For regulatory capital purposes, VAR measures must meet the following quantitative requirements: (1) The VAR measures must be calculated on a daily basis using a 99 percent, one-tailed confidence level with a price shock equivalent to a ten-business day movement in rates and prices. In order to calculate VAR measures based on a ten-day price shock, the organization may either calculate ten-day figures directly or convert VAR figures based on holding periods other than ten days to the equivalent of a ten-day holding period (for instance, by multiplying a one-day VAR measure by the square root of ten). 10. An organization's internal model may use any generally accepted measurement techniques, such as variance-covariance models, historical simulations, or Monte Carlo simulations. However, the level of sophistication and accuracy of an organization's internal model must be commensurate with the nature and size of its covered positions. An organization that modifies its existing modeling procedures to comply with the requirements of this Appendix for risk-based capital purposes should, nonetheless, continue to use the internal model it considers most appropriate in evaluating risks for other purposes. 11. Stress tests provide information about the impact of adverse market events on a bank's covered positions. Backtests provide information about the accuracy of an internal model by comparing an organization's daily VAR measures to its corresponding daily trading profits and losses. 12. For material exposures in the major currencies and markets, modeling techniques must capture spread risk and must incorporate enough segments of the yield curve—at least six—to capture differences in volatility and less than perfect correlation of rates along the yield curve. Legal Developments (2) The VAR measures must be based on an historical observation period (or effective observation period for an organization using a weighting scheme or other similar method) of at least one year. The organization must update data sets at least once every three months or more frequently as market conditions warrant. (3) The VAR measures must include the risks arising from the non-linear price characteristics of options positions and the sensitivity of the market value of the positions to changes in the volatility of the underlying rates or prices. An organization with a large or complex options portfolio must measure the volatility of options positions by different maturities. (4) The VAR measures may incorporate empirical correlations within and across risk categories, provided that the organization's process for measuring correlations is sound. In the event that the VAR measures do not incorporate empirical correlations across risk categories, then the organization must add the separate VAR measures for the four major risk categories to determine its aggregate VAR measure. (e) Backtesting. (1) Beginning one year after a bank holding company starts to comply with this Appendix, it must conduct backtesting by comparing each of its most recent 250 business days' actual net trading profit or loss13 with the corresponding daily VAR measures generated for internal risk measurement purposes and calibrated to a one-day holding period and a 99th percentile, one-tailed confidence level. (2) Once each quarter, the organization must identify the number of exceptions, that is, the number of business days for which the magnitude of the actual daily net trading loss, if any, exceeds the corresponding daily VAR measure. (3) A bank holding company must use the multiplication factor indicated in Table 1 of this Appendix in determining its capital charge for market risk under section 1. Multiplication Factor Based on Results of Backtesting Number of exceptions Multiplication factor 4 or fewer 5 6 7 8 9 10 or more 3.00 3.40 3.50 3.65 3.75 3.85 4.00 3(a)(2)(i)(B) of this Appendix until it obtains the next quarter's backtesting results, unless the Federal Reserve determines that a different adjustment or other action is appropriate. 13. Actual net trading profits and losses typically include such things as realized and unrealized gains and losses on portfolio positions as well as fee income and commissions associated with trading activities. 929 Section 5—Specific Risk. (a) Specific risk add-on. For purposes of section 3(a)(2)(h) of this Appendix, a bank holding company's specific risk add-on equals the standard specific risk capital charge calculated under paragraph (c) of this section. If, however, an organization can demonstrate to the Federal Reserve that its internal model measures the specific risk of covered debt and/or equity positions and that those measures are included in the VAR-based capital charge in section 3(a)(2)(i) of this Appendix, then it may reduce or eliminate its specific risk add-on under this section. The determination as to whether a model incorporates specific risk must be made separately for covered debt and equity positions. (1) If a model includes the specific risk of covered debt positions but not covered equity positions (or vice versa), then the organization can reduce its specific risk charge for the included positions under paragraph (b) of this section. The specific risk charge for the positions not included equals the standard specific risk capital charge under paragraph (c) of this section. (2) If a model addresses the specific risk of both covered debt and equity positions, then the organization can reduce its specific risk charge for both covered debt and equity positions under paragraph (b) of this section. In this case, the comparison described in paragraph (b) of this section must be based on the total VAR-based figure for the specific risk of debt and equity positions, taking account of any correlations that are built into the model. (b) VAR-based specific risk capital charge. In all cases where a bank holding company measures specific risk in its internal model, the total capital charge for specific risk {i.e., the VAR-based specific risk capital charge plus the specific risk add-on) must equal at least 50 percent of the standard specific risk capital charge (this amount is the minimum specific risk charge). (1) If the portion of an organization's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the organization's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is greater than or equal to the minimum specific risk charge, then the organization has no specific risk add-on and its capital charge for specific risk is the portion included in the VAR measure. (2) If the portion of an organization's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the organization's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is less than the minimum specific risk charge, then the organization's specific risk add-on is the difference between the minimum specific risk charge and the specific risk portion of the VAR measure (multiplied by the multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix). (c) Standard specific risk capital charge. The standard specific risk capital charge equals the sum of the components for covered debt and equity positions as follows: (1) Covered debt positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered debt positions means fixed-rate or floating-rate debt instruments located in the trading 930 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 account or instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in interest rates, including certain non-convertible preferred stock, convertible bonds, and instruments subject to repurchase and lending agreements. Also included are derivatives (including written and purchased options) for which the underlying instrument is a covered debt instrument that is subject to a non-zero specific risk capital charge. (A) For covered debt positions that are derivatives, an organization must risk-weight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered debt positions that are options, whether long or short, an organization must riskweight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta. (ii) An organization may net long and short covered debt positions (including derivatives) in identical debt issues or indices. (iii) An organization must multiply the absolute value 2. Specific Risk Weighting Factors for Covered Debt Positions Category Government Qualifying Other Remaining Maturity (contractual) Weighting Factor (in percent) N/A .00 6 months or less over 6 months to 24 months over 24 months .25 1.00 N/A 8.00 1.60 of the current market value of each net long or short covered debt position by the appropriate specific risk weighting factor indicated in Table 2 of this Appendix. The specific risk capital charge component for covered debt positions is the sum of the weighted values. (A) The government category includes all debt instruments of central governments of OECD-based countries14 including bonds, Treasury bills, and other short-term instruments, as well as local currency instruments of non-OECD central govern- 14. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)-based countries is defined in Appendix A of this part. ments to the extent the organization has liabilities booked in that currency. (B) The qualifying category includes debt instruments of U.S. government-sponsored agencies, general obligation debt instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD-based countries, multilateral development banks, and debt instruments issued by U.S. depository institutions or OECD banks that do not qualify as capital of the issuing institution.15 This category also includes other debt instruments, including corporate debt and revenue instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD countries, that are: (7) Rated investment-grade by at least two nationally recognized credit rating services; (2) Rated investment-grade by one nationally recognized credit rating agency and not rated less than investment grade by any other credit rating agency; or (3) Unrated, but deemed to be of comparable investment quality by the reporting organization and the issuer has instruments listed on a recognized stock exchange, subject to review by the Federal Reserve. (C) The other category includes debt instruments that are not included in the government or qualifying categories. (2) Covered equity positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered equity positions means equity instruments located in the trading account and instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in equity prices, including voting or non-voting common stock, certain convertible bonds, and commitments to buy or sell equity instruments. Also included are derivatives (including written or purchased options) for which the underling is a covered equity position. (A) For covered equity positions that are derivatives, an organization must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or equity portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying equity instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered equity positions that are options, whether long or short, an organization must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta. 15. U.S. government-sponsored agencies, multilateral development banks, and OECD banks are defined in Appendix A of this part. Legal Developments (ii) An organization may net long and short covered equity positions (including derivatives) in identical equity issues or equity indices in the same market.16 (iii) (A) An organization must multiply the absolute value of the current market value of each net long or short covered equity position by a risk weighting factor of 8.0 percent, or by 4.0 percent if the equity is held in a portfolio that is both liquid and welldiversified.17 For covered equity positions that are index contracts comprising a well-diversified portfolio of equity instruments, the net long or short position is to be multiplied by a risk weighting factor of 2.0 percent. (B) For covered equity positions from the following futures-related arbitrage strategies, an organization may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to one side (long or short) of each equity position with the opposite side exempt from charge, subject to review by the Federal Reserve: (7) Long and short positions in exactly the same index at different dates or in different market centers; or (2) Long and short positions in index contracts at the same date in different but similar indices. (C) For futures contracts on broadly-based indices that are matched by offsetting positions in a basket of stocks comprising the index, an organization may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to the futures and stock basket positions (long and short), provided that such trades are deliberately entered into and separately controlled, and that the basket of stocks comprises at least 90 percent of the capitalization of the index. (iv) The specific risk capital charge component for covered equity positions is the sum of the weighted values. Part 325—Capital Maintenance 1. The authority citation for Part 325 continues to read as follows: 16. An organization may also net positions in depository receipts against an opposite position in the underlying equity or identical equity in different markets, provided that the organization includes the costs of conversion. 17. A portfolio is liquid and well-diversified if: (1) It is characterized by a limited sensitivity to price changes of any single equity issue or closely related group of equity issues held in the portfolio; (2) The volatility of the portfolio's value is not dominated by the volatility of any individual equity issue or by equity issues from any single industry or economic sector; (3) It contains a large number of individual equity positions, with no single position representing a substantial portion of the portfolio's total market value; and (4) It consists mainly of issues traded on organized exchanges or in well-established over-the-counter markets. 931 Authority: 12U.S.C. 1815(a), 1815(b), 1816, 1818(a), 1818(b), 1818(c), 1818(t), 1819(Tenth), 1828(c), 1828(d), 1828(i), 1828(n), 1828(o), 1831o, 3907, 3909, 4808; Pub. L. 102-233, 105 Stat. 1761, 1789, 1790 (12U.S.C. 1831n note); Pub. L. 102-242, 105 Stat. 2236, 2355, 2386 (12 U.S.C. 1828 note). 2. Appendix A to Part 325 is amended in the introductory text, by adding a new paragraph after the third undesignated paragraph to read as follows: Appendix A to Part 325—Statement of Policy on Risk-Based Capital In addition, when certain banks that engage in trading activities calculate their risk-based capital ratio under this Appendix A, they must also refer to Appendix C of this part, which incorporates capital charges for certain market risks into the risk-based capital ratio. When calculating their risk-based capital ratio under this Appendix A, such banks are required to refer to Appendix C of this part for supplemental rules to determine qualifying and excess capital, calculate risk-weighted assets, calculate market risk equivalent assets and add them to risk-weighted assets, and calculate risk-based capital ratios as adjusted for market risk. 3. A new Appendix C is added to Part 325 to read as follows: Appendix C to Part 325—Risk-Based Capital for State Non-Member Banks; Market Risk Section 1—Purpose, Applicability, Scope, and Effective Date. (a) Purpose. The purpose of this Appendix is to ensure that banks with significant exposure to market risk maintain adequate capital to support that exposure.1 This Appendix supplements and adjusts the risk-based capital ratio calculations under Appendix A of this part with respect to those banks. (b) Applicability. (1) This Appendix applies to any insured state nonmember bank whose trading activity2 (on a worldwide consolidated basis) equals: (i) 10 percent or more of total assets;3 or 1. This Appendix is based on a framework developed jointly by supervisory authorities from the countries represented on the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision and endorsed by the Group of Ten Central Bank Governors. The framework is described in a Basle Committee paper entitled "Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risk," January 1996. 2. Trading activity means the gross sum of trading assets and liabilities as reported in the bank's most recent quarterly Consolidated Report of Condition and Income (Call Report). 3. Total assets means quarter-end total assets as reported in the bank's most recent Call Report. 932 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 (ii) $1 billion or more. (2) The FDIC may additionally apply this Appendix to any insured state nonmember bank if the FDIC deems it necessary or appropriate for safe and sound banking practices. (3) The FDIC may exclude an insured state nonmember bank otherwise meeting the criteria of paragraph (b)(1) of this section from coverage under this Appendix if it determines the bank meets such criteria as a consequence of accounting, operational, or similar considerations, and the FDIC deems it consistent with safe and sound banking practices. (c) Scope. The capital requirements of this Appendix support market risk associated with a bank's covered positions. (d) Effective date. This Appendix is effective as of January 1, 1997. Compliance is not mandatory until January 1, 1998. Subject to supervisory approval, a bank may opt to comply with this Appendix as early as January 1, 1997.4 ratio to fall or remain below the minimum required under Appendix A of this part; and does not contain and is not covered by any covenants, terms, or restrictions that are inconsistent with safe and sound banking practices, (e) Value-at-risk (VAR) means the estimate of the maximum amount that the value of covered positions could decline during a fixed holding period within a stated confidence level, measured in accordance with section 4 of this Appendix. Section 3—Adjustments to the Risk-Based Capital Ratio Calculations. (a) Covered positions means all positions in a bank's trading account, and all foreign exchange5 and commodity positions, whether or not in the trading account.6 Positions include on-balance-sheet assets and liabilities and offbalance-sheet items. Securities subject to repurchase and lending agreements are included as if they are still owned by the lender. (b) Market risk means the risk of loss resulting from movements in market prices. Market risk consists of general market risk and specific risk components. (1) General market risk means changes in the market value of covered positions resulting from broad market movements, such as changes in the general level of interest rates, equity prices, foreign exchange rates, or commodity prices. (2) Specific risk means changes in the market value of specific positions due to factors other than broad market movements and includes such risk as the credit risk of an instrument's issuer. (c) Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital are defined in Appendix A of this part. (d) Tier 3 capital is subordinated debt that is unsecured; is fully paid up; has an original maturity of at least two years; is not redeemable before maturity without prior approval by the FDIC; includes a lock-in clause precluding payment of either interest or principal (even at maturity) if the payment would cause the issuing bank's risk-based capital (a) Risk-based capital ratio denominator. A bank subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio denominator as follows: (1) Adjusted risk-weighted assets. Calculate adjusted risk-weighted assets, which equals risk-weighted assets (as determined in accordance with Appendix A of this part), excluding the risk-weighted amounts of all covered positions (except foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and over-the-counter derivative positions).7 (2) Measure for market risk. Calculate the measure for market risk, which equals the sum of the VAR-based capital charge, the specific risk add-on (if any), and the capital charge for de minimis exposures (if any). (i) VAR-based capital charge. The VAR-based capital charge equals the higher of: (A) The previous day's VAR measure; or (B) The average of the daily VAR measures for each of the preceding 60 business days multiplied by three, except as provided in section 4(e) of this Appendix; (ii) Specific risk add-on. The specific risk add-on is calculated in accordance with section 5 of this Appendix; and (iii) Capital charge for de minimis exposure. The capital charge for de minimis exposure is calculated in accordance with section 4(a) of this Appendix. (3) Market risk equivalent assets. Calculate market risk equivalent assets by multiplying the measure for market risk (as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section) by 12.5. (4) Denominator calculation. Add market risk equivalent assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(3) of this section) to adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section). The resulting sum is the bank's risk-based capital ratio denominator. (b) Risk-based capital ratio numerator. A bank subject to this Appendix shall calculate its risk-based capital ratio numerator by allocating capital as follows: 4. A bank that voluntarily complies with the final rule prior to January 1, 1998, must comply with all of its provisions. 5. Subject to FDIC review, a bank may exclude structural positions in foreign currencies from its covered positions. 6. The term trading account is defined in the instructions to the Call Report. 7. Foreign exchange positions outside the trading account and all over-the-counter derivative positions, whether or not in the trading account, must be included in adjusted risk weighted assets as determined in Appendix A of this part. Section 2—Definitions. For purposes of this Appendix, the following definitions apply: Legal Developments (1) Credit risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital equal to 8.0 percent of adjusted risk-weighted assets (as calculated in paragraph (a)(1) of this section).8 (2) Market risk allocation. Allocate Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3 capital equal to the measure for market risk as calculated in paragraph (a)(2) of this section. The sum of Tier 2 and Tier 3 capital allocated for market risk must not exceed 250 percent of Tier 1 capital allocated for market risk. (This requirement means that Tier 1 capital allocated in this paragraph (b)(2) must equal at least 28.6 percent of the measure for market risk.) (3) Restrictions, (i) The sum of Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) and Tier 3 capital (allocated in paragraph (b)(2) of this section) may not exceed 100 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess).9 (ii) Term subordinated debt (and intermediate-term preferred stock and related surplus) included in Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess) may not exceed 50 percent of Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess). (4) Numerator calculation. Add Tier 1 capital (both allocated and excess), Tier 2 capital (both allocated and excess), and Tier 3 capital (allocated under paragraph (b)(2) of this section). The resulting sum is the bank's risk-based capital ratio numerator. Section A—Internal Models. (a) General. For risk-based capital purposes, a bank subject to this Appendix must use its internal model to measure its daily VAR, in accordance with the requirements of this section.10 The FDIC may permit a bank to use alternative techniques to measure the market risk of de minimis exposures so long as the techniques adequately measure associated market risk. (b) Qualitative requirements. A bank subject to this Appendix must have a risk management system that meets the following minimum qualitative requirements: (1) The bank must have a risk control unit that reports directly to senior management and is independent from business trading units. 8. A bank may not allocate Tier 3 capital to support credit risk (as calculated under Appendix A of this part). 9. Excess Tier 1 capital means Tier 1 capital that has not been allocated in paragraphs (b)(1) and (b)(2) of this section. Excess Tier 2 capital means Tier 2 capital that has not been allocated in paragraph (b)(1) and (b)(2) of this section, subject to the restrictions in paragraph (b)(3) of this section. 10. A bank's internal model may use any generally accepted measurement techniques, such as variance-covariance models, historical simulations, or Monte Carlo simulations. However, the level of sophistication and accuracy of a bank's internal model must be commensurate with the nature and size of its covered positions. A bank that modifies its existing modeling procedures to comply with the requirements of this Appendix for risk-based capital purposes should, nonetheless, continue to use the internal model it considers most appropriate in evaluating risks for other purposes. 933 (2) The bank's internal risk measurement model must be integrated into the daily management process. (3) The bank's policies and procedures must identify, and the bank must conduct, appropriate stress tests and backtests.11 The bank's policies and procedures must identify the procedures to follow in response to the results of such tests. (4) The bank must conduct independent reviews of its risk measurement and risk management systems at least annually. (c) Market risk factors. The bank's internal model must use risk factors sufficient to measure the market risk inherent in all covered positions. The risk factors must address interest rate risk,12 equity price risk, foreign exchange rate risk, and commodity price risk. (d) Quantitative requirements. For regulatory capital purposes, VAR measures must meet the following quantitative requirements: (1) The VAR measures must be calculated on a daily basis using a 99 percent, one-tailed confidence level with a price shock equivalent to a ten-business day movement in rates and prices. In order to calculate VAR measures based on a ten-day price shock, the bank may either calculate ten-day figures directly or convert VAR figures based on holding periods other than ten days to the equivalent of a ten-day holding period (for instance, by multiplying a one-day VAR measure by the square root of ten). (2) The VAR measures must be based on an historical observation period (or effective observation period for a bank using a weighting scheme or other similar method) of at least one year. The bank must update data sets at least once every three months or more frequently as market conditions warrant. (3) The VAR measures must include the risks arising from the non-linear price characteristics of options positions and the sensitivity of the market value of the positions to changes in the volatility of the underlying rates or prices. A bank with a large or complex options portfolio must measure the volatility of options positions by different maturities. (4) The VAR measures may incorporate empirical correlations within and across risk categories, provided that the bank's process for measuring correlations is sound. In the event that the VAR measures do not incorporate empirical correlations across risk categories, then the bank must add the separate VAR measures for the four 11. Stress tests provide information about the impact of adverse market events on a bank's covered positions. Backtests provide information about the accuracy of an internal model by comparing a bank's daily VAR measures to its corresponding daily trading profits and losses. 12. For material exposures in the major currencies and markets, modeling techniques must capture spread risk and must incorporate enough segments of the yield curve—at least six—to capture differences in volatility and less than perfect correlation of rates along the yield curve. 934 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 major risk categories to determine its aggregate VAR measure. (e) Backtesting. (1) Beginning one year after a bank starts to comply with this Appendix, a bank must conduct backtesting by comparing each of its most recent 250 business days' actual net trading profit or loss13 with the corresponding daily VAR measures generated for internal risk measurement purposes and calibrated to a oneday holding period and a 99 percent, one- tailed confidence level. (2) Once each quarter, the bank must identify the number of exceptions, that is, the number of business days for which the magnitude of the actual daily net trading loss, if any, exceeds the corresponding daily VAR measure. (3) A bank must use the multiplication factor indicated in Table 1 of this Appendix in determining its capital charge for market risk under section 3(a)(2)(i)(B) of this Appendix until it obtains the next quarter's backtesting results, unless the FDIC determines that a different adjustment or other action is appropriate. 1. Multiplication Factor Based on Results of Backtesting Number of exceptions Multiplication factor 4 or fewer 5 6 7 8 9 10 or more 3.00 3.40 3.50 3.65 3.75 3.85 4.00 Section 5—Specific Risk. (a) Specific risk add-on. For purposes of section 3(a)(2)(ii) of this Appendix, a bank's specific risk add-on equals the standard specific risk capital charge calculated under paragraph (c) of this section. If, however, a bank can demonstrate to the FDIC that its internal model measures the specific risk of covered debt and/or equity positions and that those measures are included in the VAR-based capital charge in section 3(a)(2)(i) of this Appendix, then the bank may reduce or eliminate its specific risk add-on under this section. The determination as to whether a model incorporates specific risk must be made separately for covered debt and equity positions. (1) If a model includes the specific risk of covered debt positions but not covered equity positions (or vice versa), then the bank can reduce its specific risk charge for the included positions under paragraph (b) of this section. The specific risk charge for the positions not in- 13. Actual net trading profits and losses typically include such things as realized and unrealized gains and losses on portfolio positions as well as fee income and commissions associated with trading activities. eluded equals the standard specific risk capital charge under paragraph (c) of this section. (2) If a model addresses the specific risk of both covered debt and equity positions, then the bank can reduce its specific risk charge for both covered debt and equity positions under paragraph (b) of this section. In this case, the comparison described in paragraph (b) of this section must be based on the total VAR-based figure for the specific risk of debt and equity positions, taking into account any correlations that are built into the model. (b) VAR-based specific risk capital charge. In all cases where a bank measures specific risk in its internal model, the total capital charge for specific risk (i.e., the VARbased specific risk capital charge plus the specific risk add-on) must equal at least 50 percent of the standard specific risk capital charge (this amount is the minimum specific risk charge). (1) If the portion of a bank's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is greater than or equal to the minimum specific risk charge, then the bank has no specific risk add-on and its capital charge for specific risk is the portion included in the VAR measure. (2) If the portion of a bank's VAR measure that is attributable to specific risk (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix) is less than the minimum specific risk charge, then the bank's specific risk add-on is the difference between the minimum specific risk charge and the specific risk portion of the VAR measure (multiplied by the bank's multiplication factor if required in section 3(a)(2) of this Appendix). (c) Standard specific risk capital charge. The standard specific risk capital charge equals the sum of the components for covered debt and equity positions as follows: (1) Covered debt positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered debt positions means fixed-rate or floating-rate debt instruments located in the trading account and instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in interest rates, including certain non-convertible preferred stock, convertible bonds, and instruments subject to repurchase and lending agreements. Also included are derivatives (including written and purchased options) for which the underlying instrument is a covered debt instrument that is subject to a non-zero specific risk capital charge. (A) For covered debt positions that are derivatives, a bank must risk-weight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying debt instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered debt positions that are options, Legal Developments whether long or short, a bank must risk-weight (as described in paragraph (c)(l)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying debt instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta. (ii) A bank may net long and short covered debt positions (including derivatives) in identical debt issues or indices. (iii) A bank must multiply the absolute value of the current market value of each net long or short covered debt position by the appropriate specific risk weighting factor indicated in Table 2 of this Appendix. The specific risk capital charge component for covered debt positions is the sum of the weighted values. 2. Specific Risk Weighting Factors for Covered Debt Positions Category Remaining Maturity (contractual) Weighting Factor (in percent) N/A 0.00 6 months or less over 6 months to 24 months over 24 months 0.25 1.00 N/A 8.00 Government Qualifying Other 1.60 (A) The government category includes all debt instruments of central governments of OECD-based countries14 including bonds, Treasury bills, and other short-term instruments, as well as local currency instruments of non-OECD central governments to the extent the bank has liabilities booked in that currency. (B) The qualifying category includes debt instruments of U.S. government-sponsored agencies, general obligation debt instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD-based countries, multilateral development banks, and debt instruments issued by U.S. depository institutions or OECD-banks that do not qualify as capital of the issuing institution.15 This category also includes other debt instruments, including corporate debt and revenue instruments issued by states and other political subdivisions of OECD countries, that are: (7) Rated investment-grade by at least two nationally recognized credit rating services; (2) Rated investment-grade by one nationally recognized credit rating agency and not rated less than investment-grade by any other credit rating agency; or (3) Unrated, but deemed to be of comparable investment quality by the reporting bank and the 14. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)-based countries is defined in Appendix A of this part. 15. U.S. government-sponsored agencies, multilateral development banks, and OECD banks are defined in Appendix A of this part. 935 issuer has instruments listed on a recognized stock exchange, subject to review by the FDIC. (C) The other category includes debt instruments that are not included in the government or qualifying categories. (2) Covered equity positions, (i) For purposes of this section 5, covered equity positions means equity instruments located in the trading account and instruments located in the trading account with values that react primarily to changes in equity prices, including voting or non-voting common stock, certain convertible bonds, and commitments to buy or sell equity instruments. Also included are derivatives (including written and purchased options) for which the underlying is a covered equity position. (A) For covered equity positions that are derivatives, a bank must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or equity portfolio. Swaps must be included as the notional position in the underlying equity instrument or index portfolio, with a receiving side treated as a long position and a paying side treated as a short position; and (B) For covered equity positions that are options, whether long or short, a bank must risk weight (as described in paragraph (c)(2)(iii) of this section) the market value of the effective notional amount of the underlying equity instrument or index multiplied by the option's delta. (ii) A bank may net long and short covered equity positions (including derivatives) in identical equity issues or equity indices in the same market.16 (iii) (A) A bank must multiply the absolute value of the current market value of each net long or short covered equity position by a risk weighting factor of 8.0 percent, or by 4.0 percent if the equity is held in a portfolio that is both liquid and welldiversified.17 For covered equity positions that are index contracts comprising a well-diversified portfolio of equity instruments, the net long or short position is multiplied by a risk weighting factor of 2.0 percent. 16. A bank may also net positions in depository receipts against an opposite position in the underlying equity or identical equity in different markets, provided that the bank includes the costs of conversion. 17. A portfolio is liquid and well-diversified if: (1) It is characterized by a limited sensitivity to price changes of any single equity issue or closely related group of equity issues held in the portfolio; (2) The volatility of the portfolio's value is not dominated by the volatility of any individual equity issue or by equity issues from any single industry or economic sector; (3) It contains a large number of individual equity positions, with no single position representing a substantial portion of the portfolio's total market value; and (4) It consists mainly of issues traded on organized exchanges or in well-established over-the-counter markets. 936 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 (B) For covered equity positions from the following futures-related arbitrage strategies, a bank may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to one side (long or short) of each position with the opposite side exempt from charge, subject to review by the FDIC: (/) Long and short positions in exactly the same index at different dates or in different market centers; or (2) Long and short positions in index contracts at the same date in different but similar indices. (C) For futures contracts on broadly-based indices that are matched by offsetting positions in a basket of stocks comprising the index, a bank may apply a 2.0 percent risk weighting factor to the futures and stock basket positions (long and short), provided that such trades are deliberately entered into and separately controlled, and that the basket of stocks comprises at least 90 percent of the capitalization of the index. (iv) The specific risk capital charge component for covered equity positions is the sum of the weighted values. JOINT FINAL RULE—AMENDMENT TO REGULATION H The Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Board), Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS). and National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) are amending their regulations, and the Farm Credit Administration (FCA) is issuing new regulations, regarding loans in areas having special flood hazards. This action is required by statute to implement the provisions of the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994. The joint final rules establish new escrow requirements for flood insurance premiums, add references to the statutory authority and the requirement for lenders and servicers to ''force place" flood insurance under certain circumstances, enhance flood hazard notice requirements, set forth new authority for lenders to charge fees for determining whether a property is located in a special flood hazard area, and contain various other provisions necessary to implement the National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994. Effective October 1, 1996; except for Part 614, which will be effective October 3, 1996, and Part 760, which will be effective November 1, 1996, 12C.F.R. Parts 22, 208, 339, 563, 572, 614, and 760 are amended as follows: Part 22—Loans in Areas Having Special Flood Hazards Section 22.1—Authority, purpose, and scope. 22.2—Definitions. 22.3—Requirement to purchase flood insurance where available. 22.4—Exemptions. 22.5—Escrow requirement. 22.6—Required use of standard flood hazard determination form. 22.7—Forced placement of flood insurance. 22.8—Determination fees. 22.9—Notice of special flood hazards and availability of Federal disaster relief assistance. 22.10—Notice of servicer's identity. Appendix A to Part 22—Sample Form of Notice of Special Flood Hazards and Availability of Federal Disaster Relief Assistance Authority. 12U.S.C. 93a; 42 U.S.C. 4012a, 4104a, 4104b, 4106, and 4128. Section 22.1—Authority, purpose, and scope. (a) Authority. This part is issued pursuant to 12 U.S.C. 93a and 42 U.S.C. 4012a, 4104a, 4104b, 4106, and 4128. (b) Purpose. The purpose of this part is to implement the requirements of the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 and the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973, as amended (42 U.S.C. 4001-4129). (c) Scope. This part, except for sections 22.6 and 22.8, applies to loans secured by buildings or mobile homes located or to be located in areas determined by the Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency to have special flood hazards. Sections 22.6 and 22.8 apply to loans secured by buildings or mobile homes, regardless of location. Section 22.2—Definitions. (a) Act means the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968, as amended (42 U.S.C. 4001-4129). (b) Bank means a national bank or a bank located in the District of Columbia and subject to the supervision of the Comptroller of the Currency. (c) Building means a walled and roofed structure, other than a gas or liquid storage tank, that is principally above ground and affixed to a permanent site, and a walled and roofed structure while in the course of construction, alteration, or repair. (d) Community means a State or a political subdivision of a State that has zoning and building code jurisdiction over a particular area having special flood hazards. (e) Designated loan means a loan secured by a building or mobile home that is located or to be located in a special flood hazard area in which flood insurance is available under the Act. (f) Director of FEM A means the Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency. (g) Mobile home means a structure, transportable in one or more sections, that is built on a permanent chassis and Legal Developments designed for use with or without a permanent foundation when attached to the required utilities. The term mobile home does not include a recreational vehicle. For purposes of this part, the term mobile home means a mobile home on a permanent foundation. The term mobile home includes a manufactured home as that term is used in the NFIP. (h) NFIP means the National Flood Insurance Program authorized under the Act. (i) Residential improved real estate means real estate upon which a home or other residential building is located or to be located. (j) Servicer means the person responsible for: (1) Receiving any scheduled, periodic payments from a borrower under the terms of a loan, including amounts for taxes, insurance premiums, and other charges with respect to the property securing the loan; and (2) Making payments of principal and interest and any other payments from the amounts received from the borrower as may be required under the terms of the loan. (k) Special flood hazard area means the land in the flood plain within a community having at least a one percent chance of flooding in any given year, as designated by the Director of FEMA. (1) Table funding means a settlement at which a loan is funded by a contemporaneous advance of loan funds and an assignment of the loan to the person advancing the funds. Section 22.3—Requirement to purchase flood insurance where available. (a) In general. A bank shall not make, increase, extend, or renew any designated loan unless the building or mobile home and any personal property securing the loan is covered by flood insurance for the term of the loan. The amount of insurance must be at least equal to the lesser of the outstanding principal balance of the designated loan or the maximum limit of coverage available for the particular type of property under the Act. Flood insurance coverage under the Act is limited to the overall value of the property securing the designated loan minus the value of the land on which the property is located. (b) Table funded loans. A bank that acquires a loan from a mortgage broker or other entity through table funding shall be considered to be making a loan for the purposes of this part. Section 22.4—Exemptions. The flood insurance requirement prescribed by section 22.3 does not apply with respect to: (a) Any State-owned property covered under a policy of self-insurance satisfactory to the Director of FEMA, who publishes and periodically revises the list of States falling within this exemption; or (b) Property securing any loan with an original principal balance of $5,000 or less and a repayment term of one year or less. 937 Section 22.5—Escrow requirement. If a bank requires the escrow of taxes, insurance premiums, fees, or any other charges for a loan secured by residential improved real estate or a mobile home that is made, increased, extended, or renewed after October 1, 1996, the bank shall also require the escrow of all premiums and fees for any flood insurance required under section 22.3. The bank, or a servicer acting on behalf of the bank, shall deposit the flood insurance premiums on behalf of the borrower in an escrow account. This escrow account will be subject to escrow requirements adopted pursuant to section 10 of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act of 1974 (12 U.S.C. 2609) (RESPA), which generally limits the amount that may be maintained in escrow accounts for certain types of loans and requires escrow account statements for those accounts, only if the loan is otherwise subject to RESPA. Following receipt of a notice from the Director of FEMA or other provider of flood insurance that premiums are due, the bank, or a servicer acting on behalf of the bank, shall pay the amount owed to the insurance provider from the escrow account by the date when such premiums are due. Section 22.6—Required use of standard flood hazard determination form. (a) Use ofform. A bank shall use the standard flood hazard determination form developed by the Director of FEMA (as set forth in Appendix A of 44 C.F.R. Part 65) when determining whether the building or mobile home offered as collateral security for a loan is or will be located in a special flood hazard area in which flood insurance is available under the Act. The standard flood hazard determination form may be used in a printed, computerized, or electronic manner. (b) Retention of form. A bank shall retain a copy of the completed standard flood hazard determination form, in either hard copy or electronic form, for the period of time the bank owns the loan. Section 22.7—Forced placement of flood insurance. If a bank, or a servicer acting on behalf of the bank, determines at any time during the term of a designated loan that the building or mobile home and any personal property securing the designated loan is not covered by flood insurance or is covered by flood insurance in an amount less than the amount required under section 22.3, then the bank or its servicer shall notify the borrower that the borrower should obtain flood insurance, at the borrower's expense, in an amount at least equal to the amount required under section 22.3, for the remaining term of the loan. If the borrower fails to obtain flood insurance within 45 days after notification, then the bank or its servicer shall purchase insurance on the borrower's behalf. The bank or its servicer may charge the borrower for the cost of premiums and fees incurred in purchasing the insurance. 938 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Section 22.8—Determination fees. (a) General. Notwithstanding any Federal or State law other than the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973 as amended (42 U.S.C. 4001-4129), any bank, or a servicer acting on behalf of the bank, may charge a reasonable fee for determining whether the building or mobile home securing the loan is located or will be located in a special flood hazard area. A determination fee may also include, but is not limited to, a fee for life-of-loan monitoring. (b) Borrower fee. The determination fee authorized by paragraph (a) of this section may be charged to the borrower if the determination: (1) Is made in connection with a making, increasing, extending, or renewing of the loan that is initiated by the borrower; (2) Reflects the Director of FEMA's revision or updating of floodplain areas or flood-risk zones; (3) Reflects the Director of FEMA's publication of a notice or compendium that: (i) Affects the area in which the building or mobile home securing the loan is located; or (ii) By determination of the Director of FEMA, may reasonably require a determination whether the building or mobile home securing the loan is located in a special flood hazard area; or (4) Results in the purchase of flood insurance coverage by the bank or its servicer on behalf of the borrower under section 22.7. (c) Purchaser or transferee fee. The determination fee authorized by paragraph (a) of this section may be charged to the purchaser or transferee of a loan in the case of the sale or transfer of the loan. Section 22.9—Notice of special flood hazards and availability of Federal disaster relief assistance. (a) Notice requirement. When a bank makes, increases, extends, or renews a loan secured by a building or a mobile home located or to be located in a special flood hazard area, the bank shall mail or deliver a written notice to the borrower and to the servicer in all cases whether or not flood insurance is available under the Act for the collateral securing the loan. (b) Contents of notice. The written notice must include the following information: (1) A warning, in a form approved by the Director of FEMA, that the building or the mobile home is or will be located in a special flood hazard area; (2) A description of the flood insurance purchase requirements set forth in section 102(b) of the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973, as amended (42 U.S.C. 4012a(b)); (3) A statement, where applicable, that flood insurance coverage is available under the NFIP and may also be available from private insurers; and (4) A statement whether Federal disaster relief assistance may be available in the event of damage to the building or mobile home caused by flooding in a Federally declared disaster. (c) Timing of notice. The bank shall provide the notice required by paragraph (a) of this section to the borrower within a reasonable time before the completion of the transaction, and to the servicer as promptly as practicable after the bank provides notice to the borrower and in any event no later than the time the bank provides other similar notices to the servicer concerning hazard insurance and taxes. Notice to the servicer may be made electronically or may take the form of a copy of the notice to the borrower. (d) Record of receipt. The bank shall retain a record of the receipt of the notices by the borrower and the servicer for the period of time the bank owns the loan. (e) Alternate method of notice. Instead of providing the notice to the borrower required by paragraph (a) of this section, a bank may obtain satisfactory written assurance from a seller or lessor that, within a reasonable time before the completion of the sale or lease transaction, the seller or lessor has provided such notice to the purchaser or lessee. The bank shall retain a record of the written assurance from the seller or lessor for the period of time the bank owns the loan. (f) Use of prescribed form of notice. A bank will be considered to be in compliance with the requirement for notice to the borrower of this section by providing written notice to the borrower containing the language presented in Appendix A to this part within a reasonable time before the completion of the transaction. The notice presented in Appendix A to this part satisfies the borrower notice requirements of the Act. Section 22.10—Notice of servicer's identity. (a) Notice requirement. When a bank makes, increases, extends, renews, sells, or transfers a loan secured by a building or mobile home located or to be located in a special flood hazard area, the bank shall notify the Director of FEMA (or the Director's designee) in writing of the identity of the servicer of the loan. The Director of FEMA has designated the insurance provider to receive the bank's notice of the servicer's identity. This notice may be provided electronically if electronic transmission is satisfactory to the Director of FEMA's designee. (b) Transfer of servicing rights. The bank shall notify the Director of FEMA (or the Director's designee) of any change in the servicer of a loan described in paragraph (a) of this section within 60 days after the effective date of the change. This notice may be provided electronically if electronic transmission is satisfactory to the Director of FEMA's designee. Upon any change in the servicing of a loan described in paragraph (a) of this section, the duty to provide notice under this paragraph (b) shall transfer to the transferee servicer. Legal Developments Appendix A to Part 22—Sample Form of Notice of Special Flood Hazards and Availability of Federal Disaster Relief Assistance We are giving you this notice to inform you that: The building or mobile home securing the loan for which you have applied is or will be located in an area with special flood hazards. The area has been identified by the Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) as a special flood hazard area using FEMA's Flood Insurance Rate Map or the Flood Hazard Boundary Map for the following community: . This area has a one percent (1%) chance of a flood equal to or exceeding the base flood elevation (a 100-year flood) in any given year. During the life of a 30-year mortgage loan, the risk of a 100-year flood in a special flood hazard area is 26 percent (26%). Federal law allows a lender and borrower jointly to request the Director of FEMA to review the determination of whether the property securing the loan is located in a special flood hazard area. If you would like to make such a request, please contact us for further information. The community in which the property securing the loan is located participates in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). Federal law will not allow us to make you the loan that you have applied for if you do not purchase flood insurance. The flood insurance must be maintained for the life of the loan. If you fail to purchase or renew flood insurance on the property, Federal law authorizes and requires us to purchase the flood insurance for you at your expense. • Flood insurance coverage under the NFIP may be purchased through an insurance agent who will obtain the policy either directly through the NFIP or through an insurance company that participates in the NFIP. Flood insurance also may be available from private insurers that do not participate in the NFIP. • At a minimum, flood insurance purchased must cover the lesser of. (1) The outstanding principal balance of the loan; or (2) The maximum amount of coverage allowed for the type of property under the NFIP. Flood insurance coverage under the NFIP is limited to the overall value of the property securing the loan minus the value of the land on which the property is located. • Federal disaster relief assistance (usually in the form of a low-interest loan) may be available for damages incurred in excess of your flood insurance if your community's participation in the NFIP is in accordance with NFIP requirements. Flood insurance coverage under the NFIP is not available for the property securing the loan because the community in which the property is located does not participate in the NFIP. In addition, if the non-participating community has been identified for at least one year as containing a special flood hazard area, properties located in the community will not be eligible for Federal disaster 939 relief assistance in the event of a Federally declared flood disaster. PART 208—MEMBERSHIP OF STATE BANKING INSTITUTIONS IN THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM (REGULATION H) 1. The authority citation for Part 208 is revised to read as follows: Authority. 12 U.S.C. 36, 248(a), 248(c), 321-338a, 37Id, 461, 481-486, 601, 611, 1814, 1823(j), 1828(o), 1831o, 183lp-1, 3105, 3310, 3331-3351 and 3906-3909; 15 U.S.C. 78b, 781(b), 781(g), 781(i), 78o-4(c)(5), 78q, 78q-l, and 78w; 31 U.S.C. 5318; 42 U.S.C. 4012a, 4104a, 4104b, 4106, and 4128. Section 208.8(e) [Removed and Reserved] 2. In section 208.8, paragraph (e) is removed and reserved, and APPENDIX A— SAMPLE NOTICES is removed. 3. A new section 208.23 and its Appendix A are added at the end of subpart A to read as follows: Section 208.23—Loans in areas having special flood hazards. (a) Purpose and scope—(1) Purpose. The purpose of this section is to implement the requirements of the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 and the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973, as amended (42 U.S.C. 40014129). (2) Scope. This section, except for paragraphs (f) and (h) of this section, applies to loans secured by buildings or mobile homes located or to be located in areas determined by the Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency to have special flood hazards. Paragraphs (f) and (h) of this section apply to loans secured by buildings or mobile homes, regardless of location. (b) Definitions. (1) Act means the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968, as amended (42 U.S.C. 4001-4129). (2) Building means a walled and roofed structure, other than a gas or liquid storage tank, that is principally above ground and affixed to a permanent site, and a walled and roofed structure while in the course of construction, alteration, or repair. (3) Community means a State or a political subdivision of a State that has zoning and building code jurisdiction over a particular area having special flood hazards. (4) Designated loan means a loan secured by a building or mobile home that is located or to be located in a special flood hazard area in which flood insurance is available under the Act. (5) Director of FEMA means the Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency. (6) Mobile home means a structure, transportable in one or more sections, that is built on a permanent chassis and 940 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 designed for use with or without a permanent foundation when attached to the required utilities. The term mobile home does not include a recreational vehicle. For purposes of this section, the term mobile home means a mobile home on a permanent foundation. The term mobile home includes a manufactured home as that term is used in the NFIR (7) NFIP means the National Flood Insurance Program authorized under the Act. (8) Residential improved real estate means real estate upon which a home or other residential building is located or to be located. (9) Servicer means the person responsible for: (i) Receiving any scheduled, periodic payments from a borrower under the terms of a loan, including amounts for taxes, insurance premiums, and other charges with respect to the property securing the loan; and (ii) Making payments of principal and interest and any other payments from the amounts received from the borrower as may be required under the terms of the loan. (10) Special flood hazard area means the land in the flood plain within a community having at least a one percent chance of flooding in any given year, as designated by the Director of FEMA. (11) Table funding means a settlement at which a loan is funded by a contemporaneous advance of loan funds and an assignment of the loan to the person advancing the funds. (c) Requirement to purchase flood insurance where available— (1) In general. A state member bank shall not make, increase, extend, or renew any designated loan unless the building or mobile home and any personal property securing the loan is covered by flood insurance for the term of the loan. The amount of insurance must be at least equal to the lesser of the outstanding principal balance of the designated loan or the maximum limit of coverage available for the particular type of property under the Act. Flood insurance coverage under the Act is limited to the overall value of the property securing the designated loan minus the value of the land on which the property is located. (2) Table funded loans. A state member bank that acquires a loan from a mortgage broker or other entity through table funding shall be considered to be making a loan for the purposes of this section. (d) Exemptions. The flood insurance requirement prescribed by paragraph (c) of this section does not apply with respect to: (1) Any State-owned property covered under a policy of self-insurance satisfactory to the Director of FEMA, who publishes and periodically revises the list of States falling within this exemption; or (2) Property securing any loan with an original principal balance of $5,000 or less and a repayment term of one year or less. (e) Escrow requirement. If a state member bank requires the escrow of taxes, insurance premiums, fees, or any other charges for a loan secured by residential improved real estate or a mobile home that is made, increased, extended, or renewed after October 1, 1996, the state member bank shall also require the escrow of all premiums and fees for any flood insurance required under paragraph (c) of this section. The state member bank, or a servicer acting on its behalf, shall deposit the flood insurance premiums on behalf of the borrower in an escrow account. This escrow account will be subject to escrow requirements adopted pursuant to section 10 of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act of 1974 (12 U.S.C. 2609) (RESPA), which generally limits the amount that may be maintained in escrow accounts for certain types of loans and requires escrow account statements for those accounts, only if the loan is otherwise subject to RESPA. Following receipt of a notice from the Director of FEMA or other provider of flood insurance that premiums are due, the state member bank, or a servicer acting on its behalf, shall pay the amount owed to the insurance provider from the escrow account by the date when such premiums are due. (f) Required use of standard flood hazard determination form— (1) Use of form. A state member bank shall use the standard flood hazard determination form developed by the Director of FEMA (as set forth in Appendix A of 44 C.F.R. Part 65) when determining whether the building or mobile home offered as collateral security for a loan is or will be located in a special flood hazard area in which flood insurance is available under the Act. The standard flood hazard determination form may be used in a printed, computerized, or electronic manner. (2) Retention of form. A state member bank shall retain a copy of the completed standard flood hazard determination form, in either hard copy or electronic form, for the period of time the bank owns the loan. (g) Forced placement of flood insurance. If a state member bank, or a servicer acting on behalf of the bank, determines at any time during the term of a designated loan that the building or mobile home and any personal property securing the designated loan is not covered by flood insurance or is covered by flood insurance in an amount less than the amount required under paragraph (c) of this section, then the bank or its servicer shall notify the borrower that the borrower should obtain flood insurance, at the borrower's expense, in an amount at least equal to the amount required under paragraph (c) of this section, for the remaining term of the loan. If the borrower fails to obtain flood insurance within 45 days after notification, then the state member bank or its servicer shall purchase insurance on the borrower's behalf. The state member bank or its servicer may charge the borrower for the cost of premiums and fees incurred in purchasing the insurance. (h) Determination fees—(1) General. Notwithstanding any Federal or State law other than the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973, as amended (42 U.S.C. 4001-4129), any state member bank, or a servicer acting on behalf of Legal Developments the bank, may charge a reasonable fee for determining whether the building or mobile home securing the loan is located or will be located in a special flood hazard area. A determination fee may also include, but is not limited to, a fee for life-of-loan monitoring. (2) Borrower fee. The determination fee authorized by paragraph (h)(1) of this section may be charged to the borrower if the determination: (i) Is made in connection with a making, increasing, extending, or renewing of the loan that is initiated by the borrower; (ii) Reflects the Director of FEMA's revision or updating of floodplain areas or flood-risk zones; (iii) Reflects the Director of FEMA's publication of a notice or compendium that: (A) Affects the area in which the building or mobile home securing the loan is located; or (B) By determination of the Director of FEMA, may reasonably require a determination whether the building or mobile home securing the loan is located in a special flood hazard area; or (iv) Results in the purchase of flood insurance coverage by the lender or its servicer on behalf of the borrower under paragraph (g) of this section. (3) Purchaser or transferee fee. The determination fee authorized by paragraph (h)(1) of this section may be charged to the purchaser or transferee of a loan in the case of the sale or transfer of the loan. (i) Notice of special flood hazards and availability of Federal disaster relief assistance— (1) Notice requirement. When a state member bank makes, increases, extends, or renews a loan secured by a building or a mobile home located or to be located in a special flood hazard area, the bank shall mail or deliver a written notice to the borrower and to the servicer in all cases whether or not flood insurance is available under the Act for the collateral securing the loan. (2) Contents of notice. The written notice must include the following information: (i) A warning, in a form approved by the Director of FEMA, that the building or the mobile home is or will be located in a special flood hazard area; (ii) A description of the flood insurance purchase requirements set forth in section 102(b) of the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973, as amended (42 U.S.C. 4012a(b)); (iii) A statement, where applicable, that flood insurance coverage is available under the NFIP and may also be available from private insurers; and (iv) A statement whether Federal disaster relief assistance may be available in the event of damage to the building or mobile home caused by flooding in a Federally declared disaster. (3) Timing of notice. The state member bank shall provide the notice required by paragraph (i)(l) of this section to the borrower within a reasonable time before the completion of the transaction, and to the servicer as promptly as practicable after the bank provides notice to 941 the borrower and in any event no later than the time the bank provides other similar notices to the servicer concerning hazard insurance and taxes. Notice to the servicer may be made electronically or may take the form of a copy of the notice to the borrower. (4) Record of receipt. The state member bank shall retain a record of the receipt of the notices by the borrower and the servicer for the period of time the bank owns the loan. (5) Alternate method of notice. Instead of providing the notice to the borrower required by paragraph (i)(l) of this section, a state member bank may obtain satisfactory written assurance from a seller or lessor that, within a reasonable time before the completion of the sale or lease transaction, the seller or lessor has provided such notice to the purchaser or lessee. The state member bank shall retain a record of the written assurance from the seller or lessor for the period of time the bank owns the loan. (6) Use of prescribed form of notice. A state member bank will be considered to be in compliance with the requirement for notice to the borrower of this paragraph (i) by providing written notice to the borrower containing the language presented in Appendix A to this section within a reasonable time before the completion of the transaction. The notice presented in Appendix A to this section satisfies the borrower notice requirements of the Act. (j) Notice of servicer's identity—(1) Notice requirement. When a state member bank makes, increases, extends, renews, sells, or transfers a loan secured by a building or mobile home located or to be located in a special flood hazard area, the bank shall notify the Director of FEMA (or the Director's designee) in writing of the identity of the servicer of the loan. The Director of FEMA has designated the insurance provider to receive the state member bank's notice of the servicer's identity. This notice may be provided electronically if electronic transmission is satisfactory to the Director of FEMA's designee. (2) Transfer of servicing rights. The state member bank shall notify the Director of FEMA (or the Director's designee) of any change in the servicer of a loan described in paragraph (j)(l) of this section within 60 days after the effective date of the change. This notice may be provided electronically if electronic transmission is satisfactory to the Director of FEMA's designee. Upon any change in the servicing of a loan described in paragraph (j)(l) of this section, the duty to provide notice under this paragraph (j)(2) shall transfer to the transferee servicer. Appendix A to Section 208.23—Sample Form of Notice Notice of Special Flood Hazards and Availability of Federal Disaster Relief Assistance We are giving you this notice to inform you that: The building or mobile home securing the loan for which 942 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 you have applied is or will be located in an area with special flood hazards. The area has been identified by the Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) as a special flood hazard area using FEMA's Flood Insurance Rate Map or the Flood Hazard Boundary Map for the following community: . This area has a one percent (1%) chance of a flood equal to or exceeding the base flood elevation (a 100-year flood) in any given year. During the life of a 30-year mortgage loan, the risk of a 100-year flood in a special flood hazard area is 26 percent (26%). Federal law allows a lender and borrower jointly to request the Director of FEMA to review the determination of whether the property securing the loan is located in a special flood hazard area. If you would like to make such a request, please contact us for further information. The community in which the property securing the loan is located participates in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). Federal law will not allow us to make you the loan that you have applied for if you do not purchase flood insurance. The flood insurance must be maintained for the life of the loan. If you fail to purchase or renew flood insurance on the property, Federal law authorizes and requires us to purchase the flood insurance for you at your expense. • Flood insurance coverage under the NFIP may be purchased through an insurance agent who will obtain the policy either directly through the NFIP or through an insurance company that participates in the NFIP. Flood insurance also may be available from private insurers that do not participate in the NFIP. • At a minimum, flood insurance purchased must cover the lesser of: (1) the outstanding principal balance of the loan; or (2) the maximum amount of coverage allowed for the type of property under the NFIP. Flood insurance coverage under the NFIP is limited to the overall value of the property securing the loan minus the value of the land on which the property is located. • Federal disaster relief assistance (usually in the form of a low-interest loan) may be available for damages incurred in excess of your flood insurance if your community's participation in the NFIP is in accordance with NFIP requirements. Flood insurance coverage under the NFIP is not available for the property securing the loan because the community in which the property is located does not participate in the NFIP. In addition, if the non-participating community has been identified for at least one year as containing a special flood hazard area, properties located in the community will not be eligible for Federal disaster relief assistance in the event of a Federally declared flood disaster. FINAL RULE—AMENDMENT TO REGULATION Y The Board of Governors is adopting a final rule amending its interpretive rule regarding investment adviser activities of bank holding companies to allow a bank holding company (and its bank and nonbank subsidiaries) to purchase, in a fiduciary capacity, securities of an investment company advised by the bank holding company if the purchase is specifically authorized by the terms of the instrument creating the fiduciary relationship, by court order, or by the law of the jurisdiction under which the trust is administered. This amendment would reflect changes that have occurred since the rule was adopted; and would conform the Board's interpretive rule to rules applied to banks by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and the standard in section 23B of the Federal Reserve Act for this type of activity. Effective September 30, 1996, 12 C.F.R. Part 225 is amended as follows: Part 225—Bank Holding Companies and Change in Bank Control (Regulation Y) 1. The authority citation for 12 C.F.R. Part 225 continues to read as follows: Authority: 12 U.S.C. 1817(j)(13), 1818, 1831i, 1831p-l, 1843(c)(8), 1844(b), 1972(1), 3106, 3108, 3310, 33313351,3907, and 3909. 2. Section 225.125 is amended by revising paragraph (g) to read as follows: Section 225.125—Investment adviser activities. (g) In view of the potential conflicts of interests that may exist, a bank holding company and its bank and nonbank subsidiaries should not: (1) Purchase for their own account securities of any investment company for which the bank holding company acts as investment adviser; (2) Purchase in their sole discretion, any such securities in a fiduciary capacity (including as managing agent) unless the purchase is specifically authorized by the terms of the instrument creating the fiduciary relationship, by court order, or by the law of the jurisdiction under which the trust is administered; (3) Extend credit to any such investment company; or (4) Accept the securities of any such investment company as collateral for a loan which is for the purpose of purchasing securities of the investment company. ORDERS ISSUED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT Orders Issued Under Section 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act First Merchants Corporation Muncie, Indiana Legal Developments Order Approving the Acquisition of a Bank Holding Company First Merchants Corporation, Muncie, Indiana ("First Merchants"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has requested the Board's approval under section 3 of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to merge with Randolph County Bancorp ("Randolph"), and thereby acquire its wholly owned subsidiary bank, Randolph County Bank ("Randolph Bank"), both in Winchester, Indiana. Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (61 Federal Register 31,941 (1996)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the proposal and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the BHC Act. First Merchants is the 14th largest commercial banking organization in Indiana, controlling deposits of approximately $596 million, representing approximately 1.1 percent of total deposits in commercial banking organizations in Indiana.1 Randolph is the 88th largest commercial banking organization in Indiana, controlling approximately $63.4 million in deposits, representing less than 1 percent of total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state. On consummation of the proposal, First Merchants would become the 13th largest commercial banking organization in Indiana and control approximately $659.4 million in deposits, representing approximately 1.2 percent of total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state. Competitive Considerations First Merchants's subsidiary bank, First Merchants Bank, National Association, Muncie ("Merchants Bank"), and Randolph Bank compete directly in the Muncie banking market ("Muncie banking market").2 Merchants Bank is the largest depository institution in the Muncie banking market, controlling deposits of approximately $446.9 million, representing approximately 31.6 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the market ("market deposits").3 Randolph Bank is the eighth largest deposi- 1. State deposit data are as of December 31, 1995, and market share data are as of June 30, 1995. 2. The Muncie banking market is approximated by Delaware and Randolph Counties in Indiana, excluding Washington and Greensfork townships; Licking and Jackson townships in Blackford County, Indiana; and Jackson township in Darke County, Ohio. 3. In this context, depository institutions include commercial banks, savings banks, and savings associations. Market share data are based on a calculation in which the deposits of thrift institutions are included at 50 percent. The Board previously has indicated that thrift institutions have become, or have the potential to become, significant competitors of commercial banks. See WM Bancorp, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 788 (1990); National City Corporation, 70 Federal Reserve Bulletin 743 (1984). Thus, the Board has regularly included thrift deposits in the calculation of market share on a 50-percent weighted basis. See, e.g., First Hawaiian Inc., 11 Federal Reserve Bulletin 52 (1991). 943 tory institution in the Muncie banking market, controlling deposits of $62.8 million, representing approximately 4.4 percent of market deposits. After consummation of the proposal, First Merchants would control deposits of approximately $509.7 million, representing approximately 36 percent of market deposits. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") for the Muncie banking market would increase by 281 points to 2184. Consummation of the proposal, therefore, would exceed the threshold levels of market concentration as measured by the HHI under the Department of Justice Merger Guidelines.4 The Board believes that several factors in the Muncie banking market mitigate the potential anticompetitive effects of the proposal. For example, eight other competitors would remain in the market, including three relatively large out-of-state banking organizations, each with total deposits of more than $2 billion. In addition, three of the eight other competitors, including one of the large out-ofstate banking organizations, would each control at least 9 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the market. The Muncie banking market also has several characteristics that make it attractive for entry. Deposit growth in the Muncie Metropolitan Statistical Area ("MSA") has substantially exceeded the average deposit growth in Indiana's other MSAs during recent years, and recent job growth in the market has been substantial.5 The Muncie MSA also has recently experienced both de novo entry and entry by acquisition,6 and a large interstate banking organization has announced its intention to enter the Muncie banking market. Indiana's interstate and branch banking laws, moreover, permit both statewide branching and interstate banking, and, therefore, present low legal barriers to entry into the Muncie banking market for in-state and out-ofstate banking organizations.7 The Department of Justice has reviewed the proposal and advised the Board that consummation of the proposal would not likely have any significantly adverse competitive effects in this or any relevant banking market.8 4. Under the revised Department of Justice Merger Guidelines, 49 Federal Register 26823 (June 29, 1984), a market in which the post-merger HHI is above 1800 is considered to be highly concentrated. The Department of Justice has informed the Board that a bank merger or acquisition generally will not be challenged (in the absence of other factors indicating anticompetitive effects) unless the postmerger HHI is at least 1800 and the merger increases the HHI by more than 200 points. The Department of Justice has stated that the higher than normal HHI thresholds for screening bank mergers for anticompetitive effects implicitly recognize the competitive effect of limitedpurpose lenders and other nondepository financial entities. 5. One recent study ranked the Muncie metropolitan area first among 50 similarly sized metropolitan areas in terms of job creation in the United States. 6. Michigan's third largest bank entered the market de novo in 1995, and entry by acquisition occurred in 1994 and 1995. 7. Indiana Code Annotated §§ 28-2-13-19 and 28-2-16-15 (Burns 1996). 8. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation have not objected to the proposal. 944 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Based on these and all the facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal is not likely to have a significantly adverse effect on competition or on the concentration of banking services in the Muncie banking market or any other relevant market. In light of all the facts of record, the Board also concludes that the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of First Merchants and Randolph and their respective subsidiaries are consistent with approval, as are considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served and other supervisory factors the Board must consider under the BHC Act. For these reasons, and in light of all the other facts of record, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, approved. The Board's approval is expressly conditioned on First Merchants' compliance with all the commitments made in connection with the application. The commitments relied on by the Board in reaching this decision shall be deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decision, and, as such, may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. The merger with Randolph shall not be consummated before the fifteenth calendar day following the effective date of this order or later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 28, 1996. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, and Governors Lindsey, Phillips, Yellen, and Meyer. Absent and not voting: Vice Chair Rivlin and Governor Kelley. WILLIAM W. WILES Secretary of the Board InterWest Bancorp, Inc. Oak Harbor, Washington Order Approving the Acquisition of a Bank Holding Company InterWest Bancorp, Inc., Oak Harbor ("InterWest"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has requested the Board's approval under section 3 of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to merge with Central Bancorporation, Wenatchee ("Central"), and thereby indirectly acquire its wholly owned subsidiary banks, Central Washington Bank, Wenatchee, and North Central Washington Bank, Omak, all in Washington. Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (61 Federal Register 21,183 (1996)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the proposal and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the BHC Act. InterWest is the ninth largest depository institution in Washington, controlling deposits of approximately $833 million, representing approximately 1.6 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in Washington.1 Central is the 3 2d largest depository institution in Washington, controlling approximately $178 million in deposits, representing less than 1 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state. On consummation of the proposal, InterWest would become the seventh largest commercial banking organization in Washington, and control approximately $1 billion in deposits, representing approximately 2 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state. Competitive Considerations InterWest's subsidiary savings bank, Interwest Savings Bank, Oak Harbor, Washington ("Savings Bank"), and Central's commercial bank subsidiaries, Central Washington Bank, Wenatchee, Washington ("Central Washington"), and North Central Washington Bank, Omak, Washington ("North Central"), compete directly in the Washington banking markets of Wenatchee ("Wenatchee banking market"), Omak-Okanogan ("Omak-Okanogan banking market"), and Chelan ("Chelan banking market"). 2 Consummation of the proposal would not exceed the threshold levels of market concentration3 as measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") under the Department of Justice Merger Guidelines in the Wenatchee banking market.4 1. Deposit and market share data are as of June 30, 1995, adjusted for mergers and acquisitions that were consummated as of April 30, 1996. In this context, depository institutions include commercial banks, savings banks, and savings associations. 2. The Wenatchee banking market is approximated by the towns of Wenatchee, East Wenatchee, Leavenworth, Cashmere, and Waterville, Washington. The Omak-Okanogan banking market is approximated by the towns of Omak, Okanogan, Oroville, Tonasket, Twisp, and Winthrop, Washington. The Chelan banking market is approximated by the towns of Manson and Chelan, Washington. 3. Market share data are based on a calculation in which the deposits of thrift institutions are included at 50 percent. The Board previously has indicated that thrift institutions have become, or have the potential to become, significant competitors of commercial banks. See WM Bancorp, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 788 (1990); National City Corporation, 70 Federal Reserve Bulletin 743 (1984). Thus, the Board has regularly included thrift deposits in the calculation of market share on a 50-percent weighted basis. See, e.g., First Hawaiian Inc., 77 Federal Reserve Bulletin 52 (1991). 4. The HHI for the Wenatchee banking market would increase by 145 points to 1987. Under the revised Department of Justice Merger Guidelines, 49 Federal Register 26,823 (June 29, 1984), a market in which the post-merger HHI is above 1800 is considered to be highly concentrated. The Department of Justice has informed the Board that a bank merger or acquisition generally will not be challenged (in the absence of other factors indicating anticompetitive eifects) unless the post-merger HHI is at least 1800 and the merger increases the HHI by more than 200 points. The Department of Justice has stated that the higher than normal HHI thresholds for screening bank mergers for anticompetitive eifects implicitly recognize the competitive effect of limited-purpose lenders and other nondepository financial entities. Legal Developments These thresholds, however, would be exceeded in the Omak-Okanogan and Chelan banking markets.5 The Board notes that HHI levels are only guidelines that are used by the Board, the Department of Justice, and the other banking agencies to help identify cases in which a more detailed competitive analysis is appropriate to assure that the proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on competition in any relevant market. A proposal that fails to pass the HHI market screen may nonetheless be approved because other information may indicate that the proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on competition. The Department of Justice has reviewed the proposal and advised the Board that consummation of the proposal would not likely have any significantly adverse competitive effects in these or any relevant Washington banking market.6 The Board also believes that several factors in the OmakOkanogan and Chelan markets mitigate the potential anticompetitive effects of the proposal. The Board believes that a calculation of the HHI based on total market deposits does not accurately reflect the competitive effects of this proposal in these markets. In addition, numerous competitors would remain in both banking markets after consummation of the proposal. In the Omak-Okanogan banking market, seven depository institutions would remain, including three large regional commercial banking organizations each with more than 10 percent of market deposits. In the Chelan banking market, four depository institution competitors would remain, including two large bank holding companies that would control more than 34 percent and 24 percent of market deposits, respectively. The record indicates that governmental deposits of local political subdivisions represent a majority of the deposits held by Interwest in the Omak-Okanogan banking market. These types of deposits may be volatile because they generally are short-term, subject to competitive bidding, and usually can be used to fund only short-term loans. The Board previously has determined that individual, partnership, and corporation ("IPC") deposits may be the proper focus for the competitive analysis of markets in which government deposits constitute a relatively large share of total market deposits.7 In the Omak-Okanogan banking market, 62.6 percent of InterWest's deposits are non-IPC deposits, compared with market-wide non-IPC deposits of approximately 9.4 percent.8 In light of these and all the facts of record, the Board concludes that the competitive 5. The HHI would increase for the Omak-Okanogan banking market by 397 points to 1875, and for the Chelan banking market by 211 points to 2981. 6. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC") have not objected to the proposal. 7. See Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, 79 Federal Reserve Bulletin 979 (1993); CNB Bancshares, Inc., 80 Federal Reserve Bulletin 538 (1994). 8. On average, non-IPC deposits account for approximately 6.4 percent of total deposits in banks in the United States. These data are as of June 30, 1995. 945 effects of the proposal should be considered on the basis of IPC deposits. When analyzed on the basis of IPC deposits, the HHI for deposits in the Omak-Okanogan banking market would increase 172 points to 1757, and Interwest would control 24.3 percent of IPC deposits after consummation of the proposal. Barriers to entry into these markets are relatively low because Washington law permits banks to branch statewide without restriction. The Chelan banking market, in particular, has characteristics that make it attractive for entry by an out-of-market firm. The population of the Chelan banking market increased by 15.9 percent from 1990 to 1994, while the population for the entire state increased by 9.8 percent. Based on these and all the facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal is not likely to have a significantly adverse effect on competition or on the concentration of banking services in the OmakOkanogan or Chelan banking markets or any other relevant market. The Board also concludes in light of all the facts of record that the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of InterWest and Central and their respective subsidiaries are consistent with approval, as are considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served and other supervisory factors the Board must consider under the BHC Act.9 For these reasons, and in light of all the other facts of record, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, approved. The Board's approval is expressly conditioned on InterWest's compliance with all the commitments made in connection with the application. The commitments relied on by the Board in reaching this decision shall be deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decision, and, as such, may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. The transactions shall not be consummated before the fifteenth calendar day following the effective date of this order, or later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 12, 1996. 9. Interwest proposes to operate Savings Bank's branches, which are insured by the Savings Association Insurance Fund, in tandem with the branches of Central's subsidiary banks, which are insured by the Bank Insurance Fund. The FDIC has determined generally that tandem operations of the type proposed are consistent with restrictions on a "conversion transaction" under the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (12 U.S.C. § 1815), see FDIC Press Release 47-96 (July 1, 1996). InterWest has proposed steps to ensure that deposit transfers by customers are voluntary and to inform customers that the depository subsidiaries of InterWest and Central are separate. 946 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Phillips, and Meyer. Absent and not voting: Governors Lindsey and Yellen. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board KeyCorp Cleveland, Ohio Order Approving the Acquisition of a Bank KeyCorp, Cleveland, Ohio ("KeyCorp"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), and its wholly owned subsidiary, Key Bancorp of New Hampshire, Inc., Bedford, New Hampshire, have requested the Board's approval under section 3 of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to acquire Key Bank, Bedford, New Hampshire ("Key Bank"), a de novo state-chartered bank. Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (61 Federal Register 26,181 (1996)).1 The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the proposal and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3 of the BHC Act. KeyCorp, with total consolidated assets of $66.3 billion, operates subsidiary banks in 13 states. KeyCorp is the tenth largest commercial banking organization in the United States, controlling 1.7 percent of total United States banking assets, and is the third largest commercial banking organization in Ohio, controlling approximately $13.2 billion in deposits, representing 13.4 percent of all deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state.2 KeyCorp also engages in a number of permissible nonbanking activities throughout the United States. Interstate Analysis Section 3(d) of the BHC Act, as amended by section 101 of the Riegle-Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act of 1994, allows the Board to approve an appli- 1. Inner City Press/Community on the Move ("Protestant") contends that notice of the proposal was required under the Board's Rules of Procedure to be published in Albany, New York. The Board's Rules of Procedure provide for newspaper publication in the "community or communities in which the head offices of the largest subsidiary bank, if any, or an applicant and of each bank, shares of which are to be directly or indirectly acquired, are located in the case of applications under section 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act." 12 C.F.R. 262.3(b)(l)(ii)(E). The record indicates that Key Bancorp of New Hampshire, Inc., a New Hampshire corporation, initially was chartered as a non-operating company located in Albany, New York, but subsequently moved its headquarters to New Hampshire. Accordingly, KeyCorp's publication of notice of the proposal in newspapers of general circulation on April 26, 1996, in appropriate areas in Ohio and New Hampshire complied with the Board's Rules of Procedure. 2. U.S. banking asset data are as of March 31, 1996. State deposit data are as of June 30, 1995. cation by a bank holding company to acquire control of a bank located in a state other than the home state of such bank holding company, if certain conditions are met. For purposes of the BHC Act, the home state of KeyCorp is Ohio.3 As noted above, KeyCorp would establish a de novo bank in New Hampshire. The conditions for an interstate acquisition under section 3(d) are met in this case.4 In view of all the facts of record, the Board is permitted to approve the proposal under section 3(d) of the BHC Act. Competitive Considerations Section 3 of the BHC Act prohibits the Board from approving an application if the proposal would result in a monopoly, or would substantially lessen competition in any relevant market unless such anticompetitive effects are clearly outweighed in the public interest by the probable effects of the transaction in meeting the convenience and needs of the community to be served. KeyCorp currently does not operate an insured depository institution in New Hampshire. Based on all the facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal would not have any significantly adverse effects on competition or the concentration of banking resources in any relevant banking market. Accordingly, the Board concludes that competitive considerations are consistent with approval. Other Factors under the BHC Act The BHC Act also requires the Board to consider the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of the companies and banks involved, the convenience and needs of the community to be served, and certain other supervisory factors. A. Supervisory Factors The Board has carefully considered the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of KeyCorp and its subsidiaries, as well as other supervisory factors in light of all the facts of record. These facts include supervisory 3. Pub. L. No. 103-328, 108 Stat. 2338 (1994). A bank holding company's home state is the state in which the operations of the bank holding company's banking subsidiaries were principally conducted on July 1, 1966, or the date on which the company became a bank holding company, whichever is later. 4. See 12 U.S.C. § § 1842(d)(1)(A) and (B) and 1842(d)(2)(A) and (B). KeyCorp is adequately capitalized and adequately managed. The New Hampshire Banking Department has determined that Key Bank is not subject to the minimum charter age requirements under current New Hampshire law because the transaction was authorized and approved before New Hampshire law was amended to impose a minimum age requirement. In addition, on consummation of the proposal, KeyCorp and its affiliates would control less than 10 percent of the total amount of deposits of insured depository institutions in the United States, and less than 20 percent of the total amount of deposits of insured depository institutions in New Hampshire, as required by state law. The New Hampshire Banking Department approved KeyCorp 's petition to organize a de novo bank, and has issued a Certificate to Affiliate to KeyCorp. Legal Developments reports of examination assessing the financial and managerial resources of the organizations and confidential financial information provided by KeyCorp. Based on these and all other facts of record, the Board concludes that all the supervisory factors under the BHC Act, including financial and managerial considerations, weigh in favor of approving the proposal.5 B. Convenience and Needs Factor The Board has long held that consideration of the convenience and needs factor includes a review of the records of the relevant depository institutions under the Community Reinvestment Act (12 U.S.C. § 2901 et seq.) ("CRA"). As provided in the CRA, the Board has evaluated this factor in light of examinations by the primary federal supervisors of the CRA performance records of the relevant institutions. The Board also has carefully considered comments from Protestant contending that branch closings by KeyCorp's subsidiary banks have adversely affected access to credit and banking services in low-to-moderate income ("LMI") communities located in several states.6 Protestant also argues that KeyCorp's reported plan to close up to 40 percent of its traditional brick and mortar branches over the next four to five years would disproportionately disadvantage LMI areas. In addition, Protestant criticizes the record of lending of several of KeyCorp's subsidiary banks in LMI areas and areas with predominantly African-American populations7 by citing housing-related loan data filed under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (12 U.S.C. § 2801 et seq.) ("HMDA") for a number of metropolitan areas.8 An institution's most recent CRA performance evaluation is a particularly important consideration in the applications process because it represents a detailed on-site evaluation of the institution's overall record of performance under the CRA by its primary federal supervisor.9 In addi- 5. Protestant alleges that KeyCorp management improperly paid for a flight for the New York State Tax Commissioner from Cleveland to Albany in May, 1996. KeyCorp states that it has billed the Commissioner's office for the cost of passage on the flight which had been scheduled to transport KeyCorp employees from Cleveland to Albany. 6. In particular, Protestant alleges that specific branch closings and consolidations in Indiana and Ohio in 1995 and 1996 eliminated convenient banking alternatives in a number of communities. Protestant believes that the criteria that these banks have used to determine whether a branch should be closed have a disparate impact on LMI areas and communities with predominantly minority populations. 7. These banks include Key Bank of New York, Albany, New York ("Key Bank-NY"), Key Bank of Washington, Tacoma, Washington ("Key Bank-WA"), Key Bank of Oregon, Portland, Oregon ("Key Bank-OR"), Society National Bank, Cleveland, Ohio ("SocietyOH"), Society National Bank, South Bend, Indiana ("Society-IN"), and Society Bank, Ann Arbor, Michigan ("Society-MI"). 8. Data for KeyCorp's subsidiary banks cited by Protestant include data from the following metropolitan areas: Albany, Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, Binghamton, and New York City, all in New York; Seattle and Tacoma, both in Washington; Portland and Salem, both in Oregon; Detroit, Michigan; Bloomington, Indianapolis and ElkhartGoshen, all in Indiana; and Cincinnati, Ohio. 9. The Board notes that the Statement of the Federal Financial Supervisory Agencies Regarding the Community Reinvestment Act 947 tion, the Board considers an institution's policies and practices for compliance with applicable fair lending laws. The Board also takes into account information on an institution's lending activities that assist in meeting the credit needs of low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, including programs and activities initiated since its most recent CRA performance examination.10 Performance Examinations. All of KeyCorp's subsidiary banks, including the banks conducting the banking activities in the areas discussed in Protestant's comments, received a CRA performance rating of "satisfactory" or "outstanding" in their most recent evaluations for CRA performance by their primary federal supervisors (collectively, "CRA Examinations").11 In particular, Key BankNY, Key Bank-OR, Society-OH, Society-IN, and Society-MI received "outstanding" ratings from their primary federal supervisors.12 Key Bank-WA was rated "satisfactory" by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC") at its most recent CRA performance evaluation. The examinations of the particular KeyCorp subsidiary banks that were the primary focus of Protestant's comments generally found that the community delineations for the banks were reasonable and did not exclude any LMI neighborhoods.13 In general, examiners also concluded that the geographic distribution of credit demonstrated reasonable penetration of all segments of each bank's communities, including LMI neighborhoods. None of the banks was found to have engaged in illegal credit practices or prac- provides that a CRA examination is an important and often controlling factor in the consideration of an institution's CRA record and that reports of these examinations will be given great weight in the applications process. 54 Federal Register 13,742, 13,745 (1989). 10. Protestant argues that KeyCorp's examinations should be accorded little weight because they are outdated. As noted, the Board has considered all the information of record since the performance examinations of KeyCorp's subsidiary banks, including information provided by Protestant and KeyCorp. The Board has also considered supervisory information from the primary federal supervisors of the subsidiary banks, particularly when the most recent examination of a KeyCorp subsidiary bank indicated areas to be addressed to improve its performance. 11. The CRA ratings for all of KeyCorp's subsidiary banks are set forth in Appendix A. KeyCorp also owns Key Bank USA, N.A., Cleveland, Ohio ("Key Bank USA"), which was chartered in September 1995 and has not been examined for CRA performance. Protestant maintains that the bank's recent designation as a limited purpose bank under the new CRA regulations was in error. See 60 Federal Register 22,156 (1995). This designation was made by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC"), the primary federal supervisor of Key Bank USA, under 12 C.F.R. 25.25(b) and is not reviewable by the Board. 12. Key Bank-NY also received an "outstanding" rating for CRA performance from the New York State Banking Department ("NYSBD") as of December 31, 1995. Protestant contends that this examination should be given little weight because it was conducted off-site. The Board has considered information provided by the NYSBD examination, which assesses the bank's compliance under section 28-b of the New York Banking Law, as well as information provided by the FDIC's on-site examination. 13. FDIC examiners concluded that Key Bank-WA had inconsistently applied the bank's methodology for delineating its service community. The Board has considered the bank's new delineated community in light of supervisory information provided by the FDIC. 948 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 tices that discourage applications for credit.14 Examiners also determined that the banks' ascertainment efforts were effective, and marketing activities sufficiently informed all residents of banks' delineated community of its available banking products and services. Examiners indicated that all the banks offered some programs to support affordable housing and small business lending in their communities and that all the banks participated to some extent in federal and local government-sponsored loan programs. These examinations, moreover, found that many of the banks were actively involved in community development lending programs with local nonprofit organizations or community development corporations. KeyCorp has developed several products on the corporate level to help meet the credit and banking service needs of LMI customers. KeyCorp's Home Assist program offers mortgages with a lower downpayment and the ability to finance closing costs. Under this program, an approved applicant is eligible to receive a contribution from the bank of up to 2 percent of the purchase price of a home, up to a maximum of $1,000. A related corporate product called LoanAssist helps customers establish or improve credit histories. KeyCorp's subsidiary banks also locally develop and participate in special lending programs that reflect the unique credit needs of particular communities. Each subsidiary bank has several specialized programs designed to improve its lending to LMI and minority communities. For example, Key Bank-NY has committed permanent mortgage financing for Affordable Housing Projects in several cities in New York and has developed the Key Affordable Mortgage Program in conjunction with the New York State Commissioner of Housing to provide homeownership opportunities for LMI individuals. In April 1994, Key Bank-NY introduced the Key to the City program that required only a $500 down payment for the purchase of a one-to-four family residential dwelling located in an LMI census tract. Through May 1995, Key Bank-NY originated approximately $50 million in mortgages under the Key to the City product. In addition, in January 1994, Key Bank-NY committed $20 million to the Key to Ownership program offered with New York state's Home Ownership Development Program and the State of New York Mortgage Agency's Mortgage Insurance Fund. The Key to Ownership program has a $5,000 minimum loan amount, terms up to 30 years, flexible underwriting standards, and reduced downpayment and closing costs. 14. The KeyCorp-WA examination noted weaknesses in the bank's procedures for fair lending law compliance, including reviews of all denied applications, and in the bank's ability to retrieve denied loan files. The examiners found that there was no indication of prohibited discriminatory or other illegal credit practices, but noted that recordkeeping deficiencies prevented the completion of their assessment. KeyCorp-WA has initiated steps to improve its fair lending law compliance, including a second review process for initially denied housing-related loan applications, and other steps to address examiners' comments. The Board has reviewed these steps in light of supervisory information from the FDIC. KeyBank National Association ("KeyBank, N.A."), participates in special lending programs in Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana involving loan pools, entrepreneurial groups, housing partnerships and other local, state, and federal programs.15 In Ohio, KeyBank, N.A., provides financing for the Microloan Initiative Fund for women-owned businesses, participates in programs with the Coalition for Community Reinvestment Group, and offers its BusinessAssist Program, which assists in paying the Small Business Administration guarantee fee. In Indiana, KeyBank, N.A., participates in projects with Habitat for Humanity, Elkhart Housing Partnership, Noblesville Housing Association, and Corporation for Entrepreneurial Development. Key Bank-WA and Key Bank-OR also participate in programs offered with community reinvestment associations, small business associations, and affordable housing organizations. For example, examiners noted that Key Bank-WA, is a founding member of the Washington Community Reinvestment Association, a nonprofit mortgage banking consortium that assists in providing affordable housing to LMI individuals throughout the state. Key Bank-OR offers the Federal Home Administration ("FHA") Title I Home Improvement program and the bank's own Basic Home Repair Loan Program.16 HMDA Data. The Board has carefully reviewed HMDA data cited by Protestant to support its contention that certain of KeyCorp's subsidiary banks have inadequate and discriminatory lending records. These data show that in some respects, such as in the percentage of applications received from and loans made to African-American applicants, KeyCorp's performance is comparable to or exceeds the performance of lenders in the aggregate in a significant number of the metropolitan areas analyzed by Protestant. In other respects, however, the data show disparities in application and denial rates to African-American loan applicants as compared to white applicants in certain markets.17 The Board is concerned when the record of an institution indicates such disparities in lending, and believes that all 15. In the first half of 1996, Society-OH, Society-IN, and Society-MI merged to form KeyBank, N.A. 16. The Basic Home Repair Loan Program supplements the FHA program and focuses on low-income individuals who have little or no equity in their homes but need to improve basic functions, such as electrical wiring and plumbing. 17. Protestant claims that KeyCorp's mortgage lending has declined and, consequently, that KeyCorp is no longer committed to serving the mortgage credit needs of its communities. The Board notes that KeyCorp's subsidiary banks continue to provide housing-related loans, including loans to LMI neighborhoods. The Board has reviewed KeyCorp's HMDA data for 1994 and 1995 for areas in which KeyCorp's mortgage lending has declined. In New York, for example, the Board notes that mortgage lending by all HMDA-reporting lenders in Key Bank-NY's delineated community also declined during this period. In addition, the Board notes that the CRA does not require banks to provide any specific type of loan product, participate in any specific type of loan program, or allocate any particular level of resources to any such product or program. As discussed, KeyCorp's subsidiary banks provide a variety of products and programs to meet the housing-related credit needs of LMI communities. Legal Developments banks are obligated to ensure that their lending practices are based on criteria that assure not only safe and sound lending, but also assure equal access to credit by creditworthy applicants regardless of race. The Board recognizes, however, that HMDA data alone provide an incomplete measure of an institution's lending in its community because these data cover only a few categories of housingrelated lending and provide limited information about the covered loans.18 HMDA data, therefore, have limitations that make the data an inadequate basis, absent other information, for concluding that an institution has engaged in illegal discrimination in lending. Because of the limitations of HMDA data, the Board has carefully reviewed other information such as the examinations reports of the banks' primary supervisors. As noted, the CRA examinations found none of the KeyCorp's subsidiary banks engaged in practices that would discourage individuals from applying for credit. In addition, KeyCorp has initiated a number of steps to ensure compliance with fair lending laws. For example, Key Corp has implemented a second review of denied loan applications in many of its banks to ensure that consistent loan decisions are made. The second review generally is conducted before a final decision when denial of a mortgage application is recommended. In addition, examiners noted in the CRA Examinations that management of all of KeyCorp's subsidiary banks had implemented training and compliance programs to support fair and equal treatment of loan applicants.19 18. For example, these data do not provide a basis for an independent assessment of whether an applicant who was denied credit was in fact creditworthy. Thus, credit history problems and excessive debt levels relative to income—reasons most frequently cited for a credit denial—are not available from the HMDA data. 19. Protestant alleges that 1994 HMDA data reported by Key Bank-NY, Key Bank-WA, and Key Bank-OR reflect illegal prescreening because of the extremely high approval rates for home purchase loans to minorities in certain MSAs. KeyCorp denies that it has engaged in illegal pre-screening and believes that the data issues raised by Protestant result from the operations of its former mortgage subsidiary, KeyCorp Mortgage Inc. ("KMI"), which was sold in 1995. Data reported by Key Bank-NY reflect coding errors for loans made under one special loan program by KMI in 1994. In essence, incorrect computer coding of these items caused applications under this program that were denied, withdrawn, closed for incompleteness, or approved but not accepted to be deleted from the relevant HMDA Loan Application Register ("LAR"). Key Bank-NY also inadvertently reported loans under this special program as originations instead of purchases in its HMDA LAR. KeyCorp has and undertaken steps to improve the accuracy of its HMDA data reporting. For example, in 1995, KeyCorp implemented significant enhancements to its programming systems and centralized all HMDA data processing at the parent holding company. KeyCorp also states that the three banks cited by Protestant may have had high approval rates because many loans and applications resulted from an accommodation loan program with KMI. Under this program, if a loan application did not meet secondary market guidelines, KMI, as an accommodation for its affiliate banks, would offer the banks the opportunity to originate the loan. This practice ended with the sale of KMI and KeyCorp's subsidiary banks now originate their loans directly. The Board also has provided Protestant's comments and KeyCorp's responses regarding HMDA data reporting to the banks' primary federal supervisor, the FDIC, to consider in conducting its scheduled on-site examinations of the banks in October 1996. 949 Branch Closings. Protestant maintains that KeyCorp's branch closings have adversely affected access to credit and banking services, particularly in Indiana and Ohio.20 KeyCorp indicates that Society-IN has not closed or consolidated any branches in LM1 neighborhoods since its 1995 examination. Examiners concluded that the eight branches closed during the two years preceding the 1995 examination had not adversely affected overall access to the bank's loan products.21 Society-IN's branch closing policy required management to consider the impact of a proposed closure or reduction in services on the community, customers, and employees. Before a final decision on closure was made, the proposal was reviewed by the bank's local Advisory Board and the Community Investment Committee. Society-OH has closed or consolidated 31 branches with five branches located in LMI neighborhoods during the period January 1, 1994, to May 31, 1996. Examiners reviewed the bank's closure of 12 branches and automated teller machines ("ATMs") for the two-year period preceding the examination, and the proposed closure of 14 branches and one ATM at the time of the examination, and concluded that these closures had not and would not adversely impact LMI areas. Examiners also considered Society-OH's record of opening and closing branches within its communities to be very strong and noted that its Community Development Department was involved in the beginning if a proposed branch closing affected an LMI area.22 The Board also has considered Protestant's comments regarding KeyCorp's reported plan—independent of the proposed transaction under review in this case—to close branches over a four to five year period. This case involves the establishment by KeyCorp of a new bank in New Hampshire. KeyCorp currently does not operate any banks or branches in New Hampshire, and KeyCorp proposes to open seven new branches to serve communities in New Hampshire.23 The Board notes, moreover, that any pro20. Protestant disputes KeyCorp's determination that certain cessations of branch operations were branch consolidations, which do not require advanced notice, instead of branch closings, which do require advanced notice. Protestant also disputes KeyCorp's interpretation of the Joint Policy Statement on Branch Closings (58 Federal Register 49,083 (1993)), with respect to the distinction between consolidations and closings set forth in the statement. The OCC is conducting an on-site CRA examination of KeyBank, N.A.. which serves Ohio and Indiana. The Board has considered Protestant's comments in light of information provided by the OCC. and information made public by KeyCorp in connection with the proposal that indicates that advance notice was provided regardless of whether the cessation in branch operations was categorized as a consolidation or a closing. 21. Examiners also noted that Society-IN initiated discussions with some city officials and community leaders on potential new inner-city branch sites in LMI areas and alternative delivery systems. 22. Branch closings by other KeyCorp banks discussed in Protestant's comments are reviewed in Appendix B. 23. Protestant criticizes KeyCorp's plan to open seven supermarket branches by noting that no supermarket is located in an LMI community and by arguing that such smaller automated facilities disproportionately exclude LMI communities and businesses. KeyCorp states that three of Key Bank's proposed supermarket branches are located 950 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 jected branch closings by KeyCorp's subsidiary banks would be reviewed by its primary federal supervisors during CRA examinations and by the Board in future applications. Conclusion on Convenience and Needs Factor. The Board has carefully considered the entire record in its review of the convenience and needs factor under the BHC Act. Based on all the facts of record, including information provided by Protestant and KeyCorp, relevant reports of CRA evaluations of performance and other supervisory information from the banks' regulators, the Board concludes that the efforts of KeyCorp to help meet the credit needs of all segments of the communities served, including residents of low- and moderate-income areas, are consistent with approval. Since KeyCorp currently does not operate any banks or branches in New Hampshire, the proposal under review would have a positive effect on the convenience and needs of the New Hampshire communities by providing a new banking alternative. In this light, the Board concludes that convenience and needs considerations, including the CRA performance records of KeyCorp's subsidiary banks, are consistent with approval.24 Board's approval is expressly conditioned on compliance by KeyCorp with all the commitments made in connection with the proposal and with the conditions referred to in this order. For purposes of this action, the commitments and conditions relied on by the Board in reaching this decision are deemed to be conditions imposed in writing and, as such, may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. This proposal shall not be consummated before the fifteenth calendar day following the effective date of this order or later than three months following the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 5, 1996. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Phillips, and Meyer. Absent and not voting: Governors Lindsey and Yellen. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board Conclusion Appendix A Based on the foregoing and including all the commitments nection with the proposal, the the application should be, and all other facts of record, made by KeyCorp in conBoard has determined that hereby is, approved.25 The within three miles of 19 of the 24 LMI census tracts in New Hampshire. In addition, KeyCorp notes that these supermarket branches would be full-service branches offering the same products and services offered at traditional branches, including deposit and loan products. 24. Protestant maintains that negative comments in the public CRA files at certain KeyCorp banks, and KeyCorp's responses which Protestant considers to be inadequate, raise adverse considerations for KeyCorp's CRA record. The Board believes that these isolated comments are outweighed by all the facts of record relating to KeyCorp's CRA performance. In addition, the Board notes that such comments and responses by the bank are reviewed by the bank's primary federal regulator as part of the examination process in assessing the institution's CRA performance record. 25. Protestant requested that the Board hold a public hearing or public meeting. Section 3(b) of the BHC Act does not require the Board to hold a public hearing or meeting on an application unless the appropriate supervisory authority for the bank to be acquired makes a timely written recommendation of denial of the application. In this case, the New Hampshire Banking Department has not recommended denial. Under the Board's rules, the Board may, in its discretion, hold a public hearing or meeting on an application to clarify factual issues related to the application and to provide an opportunity for testimony, if appropriate. 12 C.F.R. 262.3(e) and 262.25(d). The Board has carefully considered Protestant's request in light of all the facts of record. Protestant has had ample opportunity to submit its views and has, in fact, submitted substantial materials that have been considered by the Board in acting on the application. Protestant does not indicate what, if any, additional views would be expressed at a public hearing or meeting, or why its written submission does not adequately present the views of its members. Based on all the facts of record, the Board has determined that public or private hearings or meetings are not necessary to clarify the factual record or otherwise warranted in this Bank Key Bank Alaska, Anchorage, Alaska Key Bank Colorado, Ft Collins, Colorado Key Bank Idaho, Boise, Idaho Key Bank New York, Albany, New York Key Bank Maine, Portland, Maine Key Bank Oregon, Portland, Oregon Key Bank Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah Key Bank Vermont, Burlington, Vermont Key Bank Washington, Tacoma, Washington Key Bank Wyoming, Cheyenne, Wyoming Key Savings Bank, Vancouver, Washington . . . Society National Bank, 1 Cleveland, Ohio Society Bank, 1 Ann Arbor, Michigan Society National Bank, 1 South Bend, Indiana Rating Supervisor Date outstanding FDIC June 27, 1994 satisfactory FDIC Oct. 28, 1994 outstanding FDIC Mar. 28, 1994 outstanding FDIC Oct. 4, 1994 outstanding FDIC July 19, 1994 outstanding FDIC June 27, 1994 outstanding FDIC Feb. 7, 1994 outstanding FDIC Aug. 30, 1994 satisfactory FDIC Nov. 8, 1993 outstanding FDIC May 23, 1994 satisfactory FDIC Dec. 12, 1994 outstanding occ Mar. 23, 1994 outstanding FDIC Nov. 15, 1993 outstanding occ Mar. 31, 1995 1. These banks were merged in 1995 to form KeyBank National Association, Cleveland, Ohio. Appendix B Branch Closings by Key Bank-NY According to KeyCorp, Key Bank-NY has closed or consolidated 18 branches with 5 branches located in LMI case, and, accordingly, the request for public hearings or meetings on the applications are denied. Legal Developments neighborhoods from January 1, 1994, to May 31, 1996. Examiners reviewed the bank's closure of 20 branches in the 18 months preceding the 1994 examination, and noted that the bank had opened and closed numerous offices as a result of the acquisition of two institutions in 1993. Examiners found that Key Bank-NY had established written policies and procedures covering branch openings and closings, which include the requirements of federal law and specify individual responsibilities for all personnel involved in branch closings. Branch Closings by Key Bank-ME KeyCorp indicates that Key Bank-ME has closed or consolidated 16 branches with 5 branches located in LMI neighborhoods from January 1, 1994, to May 31, 1996.1 KeyCorp also indicates that many of these closures and consolidations were in connection with Key Bank-ME's merger with Casco Northern Bank. Examiners reviewed the bank's closure of 5 branches in the two years preceding the 1994 examination, and noted that in all cases it appears that the bank reviewed all possible options prior to actually closing the branches and complied with federal regulations. Examiners found that Key Bank-ME decided against closing one branch office as a result of receiving strong support from the community to keep the branch open. In addition, examiners noted that the bank's branch closing policy meet the requirements of federal law. Branch closings by Key Bank-WA KeyCorp indicates that Key Bank-WA has closed or consolidated 21 branches with 8 branches located in LMI neighborhoods from January 1, 1994, to May 31, 1996. Examiners reviewed the bank's closure of 16 branches in the three years preceding the 1993 examination, and noted that all branches closed involved a facility which was within one half mile of another full service Key Bank-WA branch. Examiners also noted that the bank appeared to consider the possible elfects of any reduction in banking services prior to closing branches and that the bank adopted a branch closing policy in conformance with federal law. Shinhan Bank Seoul, Korea Order Approving the Formation of a Bank Holding Company Shinhan Bank, Seoul, Korea ("Shinhan"), has requested the Board's approval under section 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)) ("BHC Act") to 1. Key Bank-ME has applied to the FDIC to establish and relocate branches in Maine. Protestant has objected to these applications and maintains that these actions do not constitute relocations. Protestant's comments are under consideration by the FDIC. 951 become a bank holding company by acquiring Marine National Bank, Irvine, California ("Marine"). Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (60 Federal Register 67,137 (1995)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3 of the BHC Act. Shinhan, with total assets equivalent to approximately $22.7 billion, is the 11th largest banking organization in Korea.1 Shinhan also operates a branch in New York, New York. Marine controls $94.3 million in deposits, representing less than 1 percent of total deposits in banks and thrifts in California.2 Shinhan and Marine do not compete in any relevant banking market. Accordingly, the Board concludes that consummation of this proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on competition or the concentration of banking resources in any relevant banking market. Under section 3 of the BHC Act, as amended by the Foreign Bank Supervision Enhancement Act of 1991,3 the Board may not approve an application involving a foreign bank unless the bank is "subject to comprehensive supervision or regulation on a consolidated basis by the appropriate authorities in the bank's home country."4 The Board has previously determined, in applications under the International Banking Act (12 U.S.C. § 3101 et seq.) (the "IBA"), that certain Korean commercial banks were subject to comprehensive consolidated supervision by their home country authorities.5 In this case, the Board has determined that Shinhan is supervised on substantially the same terms and conditions as the other Korean commercial banks. Based on all the facts of record, the Board has concluded that Shinhan is subject to comprehensive supervision and regulation on a consolidated basis by its home country supervisors. The BHC Act also requires the Board to determine that the foreign bank has provided adequate assurances that it will make available to the Board such information on its operations and activities and those of its affiliates that the Board deems appropriate to determine and enforce compliance with the BHC Act. The Board has reviewed the 1. Asset and ranking data are as of December 31, 1995, and employ the exchange rate then in effect. 2. Deposit data are as of December 31, 1995. 3. Pub. L. No. 102-242, § 201 et seq., 105 Stat. 2286 (1991). 4. 12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)(3)(B). As provided in Regulation Y, the Board determines whether a foreign bank is subject to consolidated home country supervision under the standards set forth in Regulation K (International Banking Operations). 12C.F.R. 225.13(b)(5). Regulation K provides that a foreign bank may be considered subject to consolidated supervision if the Board determines that the bank is supervised or regulated in such a manner that its home country supervisor receives sufficient information on the worldwide operations of the foreign bank, including the relationship of the bank to its affiliates, to assess the foreign bank's overall financial condition and compliance with law and regulation. 12 C.F.R. 211.24(c)(l)(ii). 5. See Donghwa Bank, 81 Federal Reserve Bulletin 744 (1995), Cho Hung Bank, 81 Federal Reserve Bulletin 475 (1995), KorAm Bank, 80 Federal Reserve Bulletin 184 (1994) ("KorAm"). 952 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 restrictions on disclosure in jurisdictions where Shinhan has material operations and has communicated with the relevant government authorities concerning access to information. Shinhan has committed that, to the extent not prohibited by applicable law, it will make available to the Board such information on the operations of Shinhan and any of its affiliates that the Board deems necessary to determine and enforce compliance with the BHC Act, the IBA, and other applicable federal law. Shinhan also has committed to cooperate with the Board to obtain any waivers or exemptions that may be necessary in order to enable Shinhan to make any such information available to the Board. In light of these commitments and other facts of record,6 the Board has concluded that Shinhan has provided adequate assurances of access to any appropriate information the Board may request. For these reasons, and based on all the facts of record, the Board has concluded that the supervisory factors the Board is required to consider under section 3 of the BHC Act are consistent with approval. The Board also has concluded that considerations relating to the financial and managerial resources7 and future prospects of Shinhan and its subsidiaries and Bank and the convenience and needs of the community to be served are consistent with approval of this proposal, as are other supervisory factors. Based on the foregoing and all the other facts of record, the Board has determined that this application should be, and hereby is, approved. The Board's approval of this proposal is expressly conditioned on Shinhan's compliance with all the commitments made in connection with this application, and with the conditions in this order. For purposes of this action, these commitments and conditions are deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decision and, as such, may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. This transaction shall not be consummated before the fifteenth calendar day following the effective date of this order or later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 19, 1996. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Lindsey, Phillips, Yellen, and Meyer. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board 6. The Board previously has reviewed relevant provisions of confidentiality, secrecy, and other laws in jurisdictions in which Shinhan has material operations. See KorAm; Bank of Tokyo, 81 Federal Reserve Bulletin 279 (1995). 7. Shinhan's capital exceeds the minimum levels that would be required under the Basle Capital Accord, and is considered equivalent to the capital that would be required of a U.S. banking organization. Orders Issued Under Section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act CNB Financial Corp. Canajoharie, New York Order Approving a Notice to Engage in Certain Investment Advisory Activities CNB Financial Corp., Canajoharie, New York ("CNB"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has applied for the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and section 225.23 of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.23) to establish and retain all the voting shares of Central Asset Management, Inc., also of Canajoharie, New York ("Company"), and thereby engage de novo in providing portfolio investment advisory services, including discretionary investment management services to institutional customers, and general economic advice pursuant to sections 225.25(b)(4)(iii) and (iv) of Regulation Y. CNB also proposes to provide discretionary investment management services to customers who do not qualify as institutional customers under Regulation Y.1 Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (61 Federal Register 31,942 (1996)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the notice and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. CNB, with total consolidated assets of $583.4 million, controls one commercial bank in New York.2 CNB has committed to the Board that Company would be registered as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 (15 U.S.C. § 80b-1 et seq.) ("Investment Advisers Act") before engaging in any investment advisory activities. Section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act provides that a bank holding company may engage, with Board approval, in any activity that the Board determines to be "so closely related to banking or managing or controlling banks as to be a proper incident thereto." The Board previously has determined that all of the proposed investment advisory activities are closely related to banking.3 In order to approve this notice, the Board also must find that the performance of the proposed activities by CNB "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public . . . that outweigh possible adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices."4 As part of its evaluation of these factors, the Board considers the financial and managerial resources of the 1. 12 C.F.R. 225.2(g). 2. Asset data are as of March 31, 1996. 3. See 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(4)(iii) and (iv); and CoreStates Financial Corp., 80 Federal Reserve Bulletin 644 (1994) ("CoreStates"). 4. 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). Legal Developments notificant and its subsidiaries and the effect the transaction would have on such resources.5 Based on all the facts of record, the Board concludes that financial and managerial considerations are consistent with approval. The Board expects that consummation of this proposal to engage de novo in these activities would result in greater competition in the market for these services. In addition, consummation of the proposal can reasonably be expected to provide added convenience and services to CNB's customers. CNB has stated that Company would be able to make investment advisory services more accessible to customers in the central New York region. Consummation of this proposal is unlikely to result in significantly adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices.6 Based on all the facts of record, the Board finds that the public benefits of CNB's proposed activities outweigh any adverse effects, and, therefore, that the activities are a proper incident to banking for purposes of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Based on the foregoing and all the facts of record, including the commitments discussed in this order and all other commitments and representations made by CNB in connection with this notice, and subject to the terms and 5. See 12 C.F.R. 225.24. 6. CNB has committed that, with two exceptions, Company will conduct these activities pursuant to the conditions and limitations specified in the Board's regulations and in CoreStates. In CoreStates, the Board, in approving the provision of discretionary investment management services to non-institutional customers, relied on certain commitments intended to mitigate any potential for abuse, conflicts of interest, or customer confusion. In this regard, CNB has committed that no investment transactions will be executed by Company on behalf of non-institutional customers through Company, CNB, or any affiliate of CNB; Company will not purchase, for discretionary investment advisory accounts, any securities for which CNB acts as underwriter, dealer, distributor, or placement agent, other than obligations of the United States, unless directed to do so in writing by the customer prior to each such transaction and after disclosure of any such affiliated relationships involved in the particular transaction; fees charged by Company to its non-institutional customers for its discretionary investment advisory services will not be based on the number of account transactions executed; the services of Company will not be advertised, promoted, or otherwise marketed through branches of CNB's depository institution subsidiaries; Company's affiliation with CNB will not be advertised or promoted, unless and to the extent required by law; Company, CNB, and affiliates of CNB will not share confidential information regarding their respective customers without the customer's consent; and Company's offices will not be located in, located in the same building as, or geographically proximate to any branches of CNB's depository institution subsidiaries. CNB has requested relief, however, from two other restrictions. In particular, CNB has proposed that its depository institution subsidiaries be permitted to refer non-institutional customers to Company, and that Company be permitted to have a name that is similar to the name of the existing depository institution subsidiary of CNB. To mitigate the potential for customer confusion, CNB has committed that its depository institution subsidiaries will provide customers with oral and written disclosures before making any referral to Company to enforce the understanding that Company and CNB's depository institution subsidiaries are separate and that products provided by Company are uninsured. These disclosures are similar to those required in the Interagency Statement on the Retail Sale of Nondeposit Investment Products. I FRRS ^ 3-1579.51 and 3-1579.52. 953 conditions set forth in this order, the Board has determined that the notice should be, and hereby is, approved. The Board's determination is subject to all the conditions set forth in Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.7 and 225.23(b)(3) and (b)(7) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.7 and 225.25(b)(3) and (b)(7)), and to the Board's authority to require modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with, and to prevent evasion of, the provisions of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder. The Board's decision is specifically conditioned on CNB's compliance with the commitments and representations made in connection with this notice, including the commitments and conditions discussed in this order. The commitments, representations, and conditions relied on in reaching this decision shall be deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decision and may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. This transaction shall not be consummated later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 12, 1996. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Phillips, and Meyer. Absent and not voting: Governors Lindsey and Yellen. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board First State Bancshares of Blakely, Inc. Blakely, Georgia Order Denying Acquisition of a Thrift Holding Company First State Bancshares of Blakely, Inc., Blakely, Georgia ("First State"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has requested the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and section 225.23 of the Board's Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.23) to acquire First Southwest Bancorp, Inc. ("Southwest"), and Southwest's wholly owned thrift subsidiary, First Federal Savings Bank of Southwest Georgia ("FFSB"), both of Donalsonville, Georgia, and thereby to engage in operating a savings association. Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (61 Federal Register 33,920 (1996)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. First State is the 138th largest depository institution in Georgia, controlling deposits of $69.8 million, represent- 954 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 ing less than 1 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state.' Southwest, with deposits of $69.6 million, is the 140th largest depository institution in the state. On consummation of the proposal, First State would be the 62d largest depository institution in Georgia, controlling total deposits of $139.4 million, representing less than 1 percent of the total deposits in depository institutions in the state. The Board previously has determined by regulation that the operation of a savings association by a bank holding company is closely related to banking within the meaning of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(9). The Board requires savings associations acquired by bank holding companies to conform their direct and indirect activities to those permissible for bank holding companies under section 4 of the BHC Act and Regulation Y.2 Competitive Considerations Under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act, the Board is required to consider whether a proposal is likely to result in any significant adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices.3 The Board has carefully considered First State's contentions that consummation of this proposal would not result in significantly adverse competitive effects because First State and FFSB do not provide the same types of banking products and services in Early County, Georgia ("Early County"), a rural county in southwest Georgia near the Alabama and Florida state lines. In addition, First State maintains that the relevant geographic banking market for analyzing the competitive effects of this proposal extends beyond Early County and includes the City of Dothan, which is the county seat of Houston County, Alabama ("Dothan"). In evaluating the competitive effects of a proposed transaction, the Board must determine the appropriate product market and geographic market. Using the cluster of banking products and services approximated by market deposits, which is the traditional method for analyzing the competitive effects of an acquisition of a depository institution,4 the Board concludes that consummation of this proposal would result in significantly adverse effects on competition in the Early County banking market for the reasons discussed below. The Board also concludes that the relevant banking market does not include Dothan. The Board and the courts have found that the relevant geographic banking market for 1. Deposit data are as of December 31, 1995. In this context, depository institutions include commercial banks, savings banks, and savings associations. 2. Southwest and FFSB currently do not engage in any activities that are not permissible for bank holding companies under the BHC Act. 3. 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). 4. First Hawaiian, Inc., 79 Federal Reserve Bulletin 966, 966-68 (1993); SouthTrust Corporation, 78 Federal Reserve Bulletin 710 (1992); see also United States v. Philadelphia Nat'I Bank, 374 U.S. 321, 357 (1963). analyzing the competitive effects of a proposal must reflect commercial and banking realities and should consist of the local area where the depository institutions involved offer their services and where local consumers can practicably turn for alternatives.5 In making a determination on the geographic market in this case, the Board has considered worker commuting patterns (as indicated by census data), shopping patterns, and other indicia of economic integration and the transmission of competitive forces among depository institutions.6 In addition, the Board has reviewed information from an on-site investigation of the area conducted by Board staff and the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta in connection with the proposal ("Federal Reserve Survey"). First State Bank is headquartered and FFSB's branch is located in Blakely, which is approximately 32 miles northeast of Dothan and connected to Dothan by a two-lane state highway. Blakely and Dothan are separated by the Chattahoochee River, and there is little commercial development between the two towns. Traffic count data do not indicate a significant amount of daily travel from Blakely to Dothan.7 In addition, commuting data from the 1990 US. Census indicate that only approximately 4 percent of the resident work force in Early County commutes to the Dothan Metropolitan Statistical Area ("MSA"). 8 Moreover, the Dothan Ranally Metro Area ("RMA") does not include 5. See St. Joseph Valley Bank, 68 Federal Reserve Bulletin 673 (1982). The key question to be considered in making this selection "is not where the parties to the merger do business or even where they compete, but where, within the area of competitive overlap, the effect of the merger on competition will be direct and immediate." United States v. Philadelphia Nat'I Bank, 374 U.S. at 357; United States v. Phillipsburg Nat'I Bank, 399 U.S. 350 (1969). 6. First State discounts the value of commuting data for Early County and contends that data showing where Early County residents regularly travel to obtain goods and services is more useful in defining the relevant banking market. First State conducted an informal survey of FFSB customers, which found that 44 percent of the 128 FFSB customers questioned believe Blakely, the county seat of Early County, is the most important town for their shopping and financial needs, but that 30 percent selected Dothan. First State reports that 46 percent of the FFSB customers surveyed had banking relationships with one of the other financial institutions in Blakely, and 9 percent had banking relationships with institutions in Dothan. First State also contends that Early County's small population and declining economic base require its residents to travel regularly to Dothan to obtain goods, services, and entertainment. To support this view. First State notes that Blakely does not have a major shopping center, sit-down restaurant, or movie theater and that all these facilities are available in Dothan. Dothan also has three college-level institutions, all of which waive out-of-state tuition for residents of Early County. 7. The population of Early County is approximately 11,800 residents. Data from the Georgia Department of Transportation for 1995 indicate that approximately 2300 cars travel daily on state highway 62 from Blakely to Dothan. Assuming that not more than 50 percent of the cars (1150) that drive through Blakely to get to Dothan are from counties surrounding Early County, approximately 10 percent of the residents (assuming one passenger per car) travel daily to Dothan. 8. MSAs are designated by the Office of Management and Budget and reflect some degree of economic integration. No part of Early County is included within the Dothan MSA. Legal Developments any portion of Early County or extend to the AlabamaGeorgia line.9 Basic shopping and medical facilities are available to residents within Early County. For example, a grocery store, small retail operations, farm supply and hardware stores, car dealerships and 17 fast-food restaurants are located in Blakely. Medical services are provided by a small hospital, six physicians, two dentists, and several pharmacies that are located in the county. In addition, Early County residents have a number of entertainment facilities, including video rental stores, several private clubs, a swimming pool, and a ball park. Approximately 68 percent of the participants in a telephone survey conducted as part of the Federal Reserve Survey indicated that their regular shopping was done in the Early County area, primarily Blakely, and only 28.3 percent of the participants regularly shopped in Dothan.10 The Federal Reserve Survey also indicates that Early County residents rely on financial institutions located in the county for banking services. A survey of Early County residents showed that 91 percent of Early County households with depository institution accounts had their transaction accounts with in-market institutions. In addition, 84 percent of savings accounts and 78 percent of certificates of deposit ("CDs") held by Early County residents are with the local banks and thrift. The Federal Reserve Survey found that, by contrast, residents of Early County do not use Dothan's financial institutions." Georgia state law also limits a Georgia bank's ability to compete with other depository institutions located outside a particular county. In fact, until this year, Georgia banks were prohibited from branching de novo in counties other than the county where the main office of the bank was located.12 Observations of bank practices and discussions with senior management of depository institutions in Early County and Dothan confirm that competition between Early County 9. RMA is a privately defined geographic locality that is demographically and economically integrated. The Board previously has found RMA definitions to be useful guidelines in defining relevant geographic markets. See, e.g., SouthTrust Corporation, 78 Federal Reserve Bulletin 711 (1992). 10. The Federal Reserve Survey also showed little evidence of economic integration between the town of Arlington and Early County. Arlington straddles the county line between Early and Calhoun Counties and most of its residents live and work in Calhoun County. Arlington also is served by a different local telephone company from the one that serves Early County, and Arlington residents are not listed in the Early County telephone directory. Accordingly, in light of all the facts of record, the Board concludes that Arlington should be excluded from the definition of the Early County banking market. 11. Of the 81 households surveyed that reported having checking accounts, only one maintained an account with an institution in Dothan; of the 82 savings and time deposit accounts maintained by the survey respondents, only one was held at an institution in Dothan. In addition, none of the respondents who reported obtaining a loan in the last five years received their loan from a Dothan-based institution. 12. Effective July 1, 1996, Georgia law was amended to permit de novo branching into three non-contiguous counties. Statewide branching is authorized after July 1, 1998. See Ga. Code Ann. § 7-1-601. 955 and Dothan banking organizations is limited. Deposit rates paid by the banks in Early County appear to be alfected primarily by rates offered by other institutions in the Early County banking market, and not by institutions in Dothan. In addition, Dothan-based institutions do not report actively seeking customers in Early County. Overall, Dothan is regarded as too distant to be considered a convenient or cost-effective alternative source of banking services for most of Early County's residents and small business.13 Based on all the facts of record, and for the reasons discussed above, the Board concludes that the Early County banking market, an area that includes all of Early County except the town of Arlington, is the appropriate geographic market for analyzing the competitive effects of the proposal, and that Dothan should not be included in the relevant banking market. Competitive Effects in the Early County Banking Market First State Bank is the largest of three depository institutions in the Early County banking market, controlling $53.3 million of deposits, representing nearly 54 percent of the total deposits in the market ("market deposits").14 FFSB is the smallest of the three depository institutions in the market, controlling deposits of $18.6 million, which represents 9.4 percent of market deposits based on weighting thrift deposits at 50 percent. On consummation, First State would control total deposits of $71.9 million, representing more than 66 percent of market deposits. Only one depository institution would compete with First State in the market.13 The market, as measured by the HerfindahlHirschman Index ("HHI"), would be highly concentrated. The HHI would increase by 1208 points to 5549, an increase in concentration that would significantly exceed 13. The ability of residents to bank locally is important in view of the county's large proportion of low-income families, who are unlikely to travel considerable distances for goods and services. Twothirds of Early County households have annual incomes of less than $25,000, and 27 percent of families have annual incomes below the poverty level. 14. Market data are as of June 30, 1996. Market share data are based on calculations that include the deposits of the thrift institution at 50 percent. The Board previously has indicated that thrift institutions have become, or have the potential to become, significant competitors of commercial banks. See WM Bancorp, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 743 (1984). Because the deposits of FFSB would be controlled by a commercial banking organization after consummation of the proposal, those deposits are included at 100 percent in the calculation of First State's pro forma market share. See Norwest Corporation, 78 Federal Reserve Bulletin 452 (1992); First Banks, Inc., 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 669 (1990). 15. First State contends that the remaining competitor, Bank of Early, Blakely, Georgia, has an established record of aggressively competing with First State across several major product lines. As a result of this proposal, however, First State Bank would control twice the percentage of market deposits controlled by Bank of Early (66 percent of market deposits compared to 33 percent) and have three branches or offices in the Early County banking market as compared to Bank of Early's single office in the market. 956 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 the threshold levels in the Department of Justice merger guidelines.16 The Board notes that HHI thresholds are only guidelines that are used by the Board, the Department of Justice, and other banking agencies to help identify cases in which a more detailed competitive analysis is appropriate to ensure that the proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on competition in any relevant market. A proposal that fails to pass the HHI market screen nevertheless may be approved because other information may indicate that the proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on competition. First State contends that First State Bank and FFSB do not provide the same types of banking products and services in the Early County area.17 First State also argues that a number of factors mitigate the potential anticompetitive effects of the proposal, including competition offered by nonbank competitors in Early County and the inability of the declining Early County economy to support three depository institutions. Although First State Bank and FFSB do not focus on the same products, they do compete directly, in particular across four individual loan product lines that are important to Early County residents: commercial and industrial ("C&I") loans, agricultural loans, l-to-4 family mortgage loans, and consumer loans. First State Bank and FFSB both offer C&I loans.18 Following consummation of this proposal, concentration in the market for C&I loans, as measured by the HHI, would increase 1082 points to 5779.19 Both institutions also offer agricultural loans to Early County residents and, although FFSB does less agricultural lending than First State Bank, there is evidence that the thrift plays an important role in the provision of agricultural credit. FFSB is one of a small number of financial institutions in southwest Georgia that offers guaranteed and/or subsidized loans through the Rural Economic and Community Development Service and the Farm Services Administration. These loans provide Early County farmers with operating funds necessary to plant and harvest crops, and they provide guaranteed lines of credit to farmers for operating expenses. FFSB and First State Bank also are important competitors in the provision of consumer loans, and approval of this proposal would result in the elimination of one important source for this type of credit.20 Following consummation of this proposal, the market concentration for these loans, as measured by the HHI, would increase by 2010 points to 5581.21 Both FFSB and First State Bank also engage in l-to-4 family mortgage lending. More than 70 percent of FFSB's loans consist of home mortgages, and 16 percent of First State Bank's loans are such mortgages. Accordingly, both institutions have the expertise and familiarity with Early County real estate to make mortgage loans in this market.22 First State and FFSB also compete directly with respect to deposit accounts. Both institutions concentrate on providing small retail deposit accounts (accounts with average balances of less than $10,000), and both institutions have a significant number of these accounts.23 First State maintains that FFSB is an ineffective competitor for small accounts because it offers interest rates lower than its two commercial bank competitors in the market. The Board notes, however, that FFSB has offered competitive rates on certain products in the past and currently offers the highest rate in the market for small passbook savings accounts, a particularly important product in a county in which 42 percent of the population has an annual income of less than $15,000 a year. Nonbank organizations are not significant competitors for the depository institutions in the Early County banking market. The largest nonbank competitor, Five Star Federal Credit Union, Cedar Springs, Georgia ("Five Star"), has membership requirements that would disqualify approximately 50 percent of Early County residents and offers 16. Under the revised Department of Justice Merger Guidelines, 49 Federal Register 26,823 (1984), a market in which the post-merger HHI is above 1800 is considered highly concentrated. The Department of Justice has informed the Board that a bank merger or acquisition generally will not be challenged (in the absence of other factors indicating anticompetitive effects) unless the post-merger HHI is at least 1800 and the merger increases the HHI by more than 200 points. The Justice Department has stated that the higher than normal HHI thresholds for screening bank mergers for anticompetitive effects implicitly recognize the competitive effect of limited-purpose lenders and other non-depository institutions. 17. FFSB, a thrift institution, engages primarily in residential mortgage and real estate lending and provides few unsecured commercial loans and agricultural loans in the market. First State Bank, on the other hand, engages in limited residential mortgage lending and has focused its activities on commercial and agricultural lending. 18. FFSB offers only secured C&I loans, whereas First State Bank makes both secured and unsecured loans. Each C&I loan made in the market was for less than $1 million. Data submitted by First State indicate that the average size of its secured C&I loans is $24,000; the average size of such loans made by FFSB is $20,000. 19. Interviews conducted as part of the Federal Reserve Study indicate that FFSB would welcome the opportunity to do more commercial and industrial lending. 20. As of May 9, 1996, First State Bank made 44.4 percent of the total amount of these loans in the market ("market share") and, as of March 31, 1996, FFSB had a 22.6 percent market share. Following consummation of this proposal, First State would control 67.1 percent of the market for this type of credit. 21. The Board recognizes that there are other lenders that provide consumer credit to Early County residents. These nonbanking firms are not significant competitors of the three depository institutions. Nonetheless, if the total volume of consumer loans made by an in-market credit union and several area finance companies were considered in calculating the competitive effects of the proposal, the HHI would increase by 268 points to 4029. 22. First State Bank generally limits the maturity of its mortgages to 15 years, while FFSB offers a broader array of products with maturities extending to 30 years. Each institution has the capacity to offer various types of mortgages should demand for a particular type of mortgage increase. 23. More than 76 percent of FFSB's accounts and almost 81 percent of First State Bank's accounts are small retail deposit accounts. As of June 30, 1996, small retail deposit accounts in the Blakely office of FFSB included 780 savings accounts, 439 CDs, and 737 checking and NOW accounts. These accounts at First State Bank's Blakely office included 1,747 savings accounts, 1,365 CDs, and 3,131 transaction accounts. Legal Developments limited products and services.24 In addition, the mitigating effect of competition provided by Five Star would be minimal even if it were considered to be an equal competitor of the depository institutions.25 Moreover, the Federal Reserve Survey indicates that the overwhelming majority of Early County residents obtain their deposit and credit products from the three depository institutions in the market.26 Small businesses as well rely on in-market depository institutions.27 Data indicate that Early County is recovering from the economic decline that First State cites as a factor supporting its contention that three depository institutions cannot operate profitability in the market. From 1990 to 1995, the population in Early County increased by 2.9 percent and, from 1991 to 1994 (the latest available data), per capita income increased at a rate equal to the rate of increase for the state as a whole and the rate of increase for the state's non-metropolitan areas. From 1993 to 1994, per capita income growth in Early County was double the state average and nearly three times the national average.28 The Federal Reserve Survey, which included discussions with Early County officials and businessmen, indicates that the current rate of growth is anticipated to continue in part because of the planned expansion of highway connections between Early County and other parts of the region. A review of profitability data also indicates that the three depository institutions have generally performed well. Bank performance ratios for Early County, although below average, are comparable to those in other rural Georgia counties.29 The banking market's growth rate for deposits and population also slightly exceeds the state and rural Georgia county averages. First State contends that FFSB's Blakely branch is not performing well to support its view that Early County is a declining market. The Board notes that, although First State claims that FFSB's Blakely office was unprofitable in the last two years, FFSB's Blakely office earned a profit in 24. Other nonbank firms in the market provide negligible deposit services and offer a narrow range of loan products. 25. If Five Star's deposits were given 100 percent weight, the HHI would increase 1205 points to 4182 as a result of the proposal. 26. For example, evidence suggests that the finance companies that operate in the Early County banking market do not compete with the depository institutions. Interviews conducted as part of the Federal Reserve Survey suggested that the customer base of the finance companies differs substantially from the customer base of the depository institutions. 27. According to Federal Reserve Survey, nearly 85 percent of the 177 small business reporting had relationships with Early County depository institutions. Large regional bank holding companies had almost no accounts. 28. During this time period, per capita income grew in Early County by 11.5 percent, while the growth rate was 5.0 percent in Georgia and 4.2 percent in the United States. In 1994, Early County was ranked 107th of 159 Georgia counties in terms of population, but ranked 88th in terms of per capita income. 29. First State consistently earned 1 percent or more on assets in the 1990s. Bank of Early earned more than 1 percent on assets in each of the last four years. 957 1993.30 The data thus do not establish any long-term downward trend. Moreover, FFSB's Blakely office has experienced a steady growth in deposits since it was established 20 years ago, including a significant deposit growth in the past several years. For example, deposits in the branch have grown from $13.2 million in 1990 to $19.2 million in 1995, a 45 percent increase. Public Benefits The Board also has considered whether the potential benefits to the public, such as greater convenience, increased competition, or gains in efficiency outweigh possible adverse effects. First State contends that cost savings realized as a result of this proposal would permit the combined institutions to provide more products and services to its customers, increased community development activities, and affordable banking products for low- and moderateincome residents in Early County. First State believes that it can expand FFSB's programs to benefit the existing customers of both institutions. The requirement under section 4 of the BHC Act that the Board must determine that public benefits from a proposal can reasonably be expected to outweigh potential adverse effects necessarily involves a balancing process that takes into account the extent of the potential for adverse effects. For the reasons discussed in this order, the effects on competition in the Early County banking market are substantially adverse. The Board also notes that Southwest and FFSB are well-managed organizations in satisfactory financial condition. FFSB has an "outstanding" rating from its primary federal supervisor in its most recent evaluation for performance under the Community Reinvestment Act. In light of these and all the facts of record, the Board does not believe that the public benefits derived from costs savings and gains in efficiency in the proposal are sufficient, on balance, to outweigh the significantly adverse effects on competition in the Early County banking market. For these reasons, and based on all of the facts of record, the Board concludes that the proposed transaction would have significantly adverse effects of the Early County banking market. The Board also concludes that considerations relating to public benefits, including financial and managerial resources of the institutions involved, do not lend sufficient weight to outweigh these adverse competitive effects. Accordingly, the Board hereby denies First State's notice under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 26, 1996. 30. The record suggests that the Blakely branch may have been unprofitable in part because deposits gathered at the branch have been invested in the federal funds market rather than in higher yielding loans. Also, income earned from FFSB's investments are allocated to the FFSB home office, while the corresponding expenses are divided equally between the home office and the branches. Such internal accounting procedures may understate the profits earned at the Blakely office. 958 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Lindsey, Yellen, and Meyer. Voting against this action: Governor Phillips. WILLIAM W. WILES Secretary of the Board KeyCorp Cleveland, Ohio Order Approving a Notice to Engage in Certain Nonbanking Activities KeyCorp, Cleveland, Ohio, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has requested the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and section 225.23 of the Board's Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.23) to acquire all the voting shares of Carleton, McCreary, Holmes & Co. ("CMHC"), Cleveland, Ohio. Under this proposal, KeyCorp would merge CMHC with and into Key Capital Markets, Inc., Cleveland, Ohio ("Key Capital"), a wholly owned subsidiary of KeyCorp authorized to engage in certain nonbanking activities, including underwriting and dealing in, to a limited extent, securities that a state member bank may not underwrite or deal in ("bank-ineligible securities").1 KeyCorp would thereby engage in the following nonbanking activities throughout the United States: (1) Providing corporate financial advisory services pursuant to 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(4), and (2) acting as agent in the private placement of all types of debt and equity securities as permitted by Board order.2 Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (61 Federal Register 33,118 (1996)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the notice and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. KeyCorp, with total consolidated assets of approximately $65 billion, is the 13th largest banking organization in the United States.3 KeyCorp operates banking subsidiaries in several states and engages through other subsidiaries in various permissible nonbanking activities. Key Capital is registered as a broker-dealer with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 ("1934 Act") (15 U.S.C. § 78a et seq.), and is a member of the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. ("NASD"). Accordingly, Key Capital is subject to the record keeping and reporting obligations, fidu- 1. See KeyCorp, 82 Federal Resen'e Bulletin 359 (1996) ("KeyCorp Order"). The transaction would involve two steps. KeyCorp would acquire 100 percent of the voting shares of CMHC through its wholly owned subsidiary, KeySub, Inc., Cleveland, Ohio. Shortly thereafter, KeyCorp would merge the corporation surviving the acquisition ("NewCo") with and into Key Capital. 2. See J.P. Morgan & Company Incorporated, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 26 (1990). 3. Assets and ranking are as of March 31, 1996. ciary standards, and other requirements of the 1934 Act, the SEC, and the NASD. Activities Approved by Order The Board previously determined that it was permissible under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act and section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act for KeyCorp to conduct the proposed activities through Key Capital.4 KeyCorp has committed to engage in these activities in accordance with the conditions and limitations relied on by the Board in the KeyCorp Order, with one exception.5 Director Interlocks KeyCorp has requested that the Board permit three (of seven) directors of Key Capital also to serve as directors of Key Capital's bank or thrift affiliates ("affiliated banks"). 6 KeyCorp has committed that the three interlocking directors would not be officers of Key Capital or the affiliated banks, or have the authority to conduct the daily business or handle individual transactions of Key Capital or its affiliated banks. In addition, KeyCorp has committed that, at a meeting of the board of directors of Key Capital or the affiliated banks, a quorum will not be deemed to exist unless the interlocking directors are less than a majority of the directors present. The Board previously has permitted limited interlocks between a banking organization and an affiliated subsidiary engaged in bank-ineligible securities activities ("section 20 subsidiary").7 The addition of the interlocks proposed by KeyCorp would not, in view of the commitments provided by KeyCorp, appear to give the affiliated banks managerial control over Key Capital or otherwise raise any conflicts of interest. Accordingly, the Board finds these limited interlocks should be permitted, since it appears that Key Capital would be operationally distinct from its affiliated banks. The Board expects that KeyCorp will ensure that the framework established in the KeyCorp Order will be maintained in all other respects. 4. See KeyCorp Order. 5. KeyCorp anticipates that there may be a brief period (ranging from one or two days to a few weeks) between the acquisition of the voting shares of CMHC through KeySub and the merger of the assets of CMHC into Key Capital. During the period between the acquisition and the merger, KeyCorp will conduct the proposed activities through NewCo. KeyCorp has committed that, during this time, it will treat NewCo as if it were Key Capital for the purposes of the commitments and limitations of the KeyCorp Order. 6. KeyCorp previously received the Board's approval to have two director interlocks and one officer interlock between Key Capital and its affiliated banks. The interlocking officer provides only legal counsel and corporate record keeping services to Key Capital and does not serve as a management official of, have sales or policy making responsibilities for, or have contact with customers of Key Capital. See KeyCorp Order. 1. See KeyCorp Order, National City Corporation, 80 Federal Reserve Bulletin 346 (1994); Synovus Financial Corp., 11 Federal Reserve Bulletin 954 (1991); Banc One Corporation, 76 Federal Resen'e Bulletin 756 (1990). Legal Developments Financial Factors, Managerial Resources and Other Considerations In order to approve this notice, the Board must consider whether the proposed activities "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public, such as greater convenience, increased competition, or gains in efficiency, that outweigh possible adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices."8 As part of its evaluation of these factors, the Board considers the financial condition and managerial resources of the notificant and its subsidiaries and the effect of the proposed transaction on these resources.9 Based on all the facts of record, including relevant reports of examination, the Board has concluded that financial and managerial considerations are consistent with approval of the proposal. The Board expects that the proposed transaction would result in public benefits by permitting CMHC and its customers to draw upon the greater resources of and broader range of products offered by Key Capital and its affiliates. The Board also expects that the transaction would produce efficiencies and economies of scale for KeyCorp and thereby would permit KeyCorp to provide better investment banking services to its customers. In sum, the proposal should yield greater convenience for KeyCorp's and CMHC's customers and may be expected to foster improved methods of meeting customer needs. There is no evidence in the record to indicate that the proposed transaction would result in any undue concentration of resources or decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices, or other adverse effects. In addition, to address any potential adverse impact from its performance of the proposed activities, KeyCorp has committed to conduct the activities pursuant to conditions the Board previously has found satisfactory to mitigate potential adverse effects. Accordingly, the Board has concluded that the performance of the proposed activities by KeyCorp can reasonably be expected to produce public benefits that outweigh possible adverse effects under the proper incident to banking standard of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Based on the foregoing and all the facts of record, the Board has determined that the notice should be, and hereby is, approved. Approval of this notice is specifically conditioned on compliance by KeyCorp with the commitments made in connection with this notice. The Board's determination also is subject to all the terms and conditions set forth in Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.7 and 225.23(b) (12 C.F.R. 225.27 and 225.23(b)), and to the Board's authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to ensure compliance with, and to prevent evasion of, the provisions of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders thereunder. For purposes of this transaction, the commit- 8. 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). 9. See 12 C.F.R. 225.24. 959 ments and conditions agreed to by KeyCorp shall be deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decision, and as such may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. These activities shall not be commenced later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or, pursuant to delegated authority, by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 14, 1996. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Phillips, and Meyer. Absent and not voting: Governors Lindsey and Yellen. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board Union Planters Corporation Memphis, Tennessee Order Approving Notice to Acquire a Savings Association and Engage in Certain Nonbanking Activities Union Planters Corporation ("Applicant"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company ("BHC") Act, has requested the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and section 225.23 of the Board's Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.23) to acquire all the voting shares of Leader Financial Corporation ("Leader Financial") and its wholly owned subsidiary, Leader Federal Bank for Savings ("Savings Bank"), a federal savings bank, all in Memphis, Tennessee. Applicant also has requested the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act to acquire the other direct and indirect nonbanking subsidiaries of Leader Financial listed in the Appendix and thereby engage nationwide in permissible nonbanking activities.1 Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (61 Federal Register 30,240 (1996)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the notice and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Applicant, with total consolidated assets of $11.4 billion, operates subsidiary banks in Alabama, Arkansas, Ken- 1. The proposal is the first step in a series of transactions to merge Savings Bank with and into Applicant's wholly owned subsidiary bank, Union Planters National Bank, Memphis, Tennessee ("UPNB"). Immediately after the merger, UPNB would sell Savings Bank's Nashville branches to Union Planters Bank-Middle Tennessee, Nashville, Tennessee ("UPB-Middle Tennessee"). These transactions (the "Bank Mergers") are subject to the approval of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ("OCC") under section 18(c) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (12 U.S.C. § 1828(c)). 960 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 tucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee.2 Applicant is the third largest depository organization in Tennessee, controlling $4.9 billion in deposits, representing approximately 8.9 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state.3 Leader Financial, with total consolidated assets of $3.2 billion, is the 8th largest depository organization in Tennessee, controlling $1.5 billion in deposits, representing 2.8 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state. On consummation of the proposal, Applicant would remain the third largest depository organization in Tennessee, controlling deposits of $6.4 billion, representing approximately 11.7 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the state. The Board has determined that the operation of a savings association by a bank holding company is closely related to banking for purposes of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act.4 Applicant has committed to conform all activities of Savings Bank to those permissible for bank holding companies under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act and Regulation Y.5 The Board also has determined by regulation that the proposed lending, leasing, community development, creditrelated insurance, and full-service securities brokerage activities are closely related to banking within the meaning of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act.6 Applicant has committed to conduct these activities subject to the limitations set forth in Regulation Y. Competitive Considerations Under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act, the Board is required to consider whether a proposal is likely to result in any significantly adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices.7 In evaluating the competitive eifects of a proposed transaction, the Board must determine the appropriate product market and geographic market.8 Using the cluster of banking products and 2. Consolidated asset data are as of March 31, 1996. All other data are as of June 30, 1995, and are adjusted to reflect acquisitions of Applicant consummated through March 15, 1996. 3. In this context, depository institutions include commercial banks, savings banks, and savings associations. 4. See 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(9). Applicant's proposed acquisition of Leader Financial also is subject to the approval of the Office of Thrift Supervision ("OTS") pursuant to the Home Owners Loan Act (12 U.S.C. § 1467a(e)). 5. Applicant has committed that all impermissible real estate activities will be divested or terminated within two years of consummation of the proposal, that no new impermissible projects or investments will be undertaken during this period, and that capital adequacy guidelines will be met excluding impermissible real estate investments. Applicant also has committed that any impermissible securities or insurance activities conducted by Savings Bank will cease on or before consummation of the proposal. Savings Bank may continue to service any impermissible insurance policies for two years after consummation of the proposal, but may not renew any policies during this two-year period. 6. See 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(1), (5), (6), (8)(i), and (15)(ii). 7. 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). 8. See First Hawaiian, Inc., 79 Federal Reserve Bulletin 966, 966-68 (1993); SouthTrust Corporation, 78 Federal Reserve Bulletin services, which is the traditional method for analyzing the competitive effects of an acquisition of a depository institution, the Board finds that consummation of the proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on competition in any relevant banking market.9 Applicant and Savings Bank compete directly in the Memphis and Nashville, Tennessee, banking markets.10 Consummation of the proposal would not cause the levels of concentration as measured by the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") to exceed the Department of Justice merger guidelines in either of these banking markets,11 and a large number of depository institutions would continue to oper- 710 (1992); see also United States v. Philadelphia National Bank, 374 U.S. 321, 357 (1963). Mid-South Peace and Justice Center, Memphis, Tennessee ("Mid-South"), maintains that the Board should analyze the competitive eifects of the proposal on specific loan products and banking services, including loans secured by used automobiles. Mid-South provides no evidence to support the conclusion that individual products and services should be considered separately. Available data indicate that consummation of the proposal is not likely to increase appreciably the level of concentration in consumer lending or commercial lending, including small business lending. Moreover, numerous competitors, including a number of nonbank lenders that provide consumer loans, would remain after consummation of the proposal, and the relevant markets are attractive for entry by other competitors. 9. Mid-South and Inner City Press/Community on the Move, Bronx, New York ("ICP"), contend that the Board should separately consider the competitive effects of the proposal in several downtown and lowto moderate-income areas of Memphis, Tennessee. In determining the relevant geographic markets, the Board has considered the location of the depository institutions, worker commuting patterns (as indicated by census data), and other indicia of economic integration and the transmission of competitive forces among depository institutions. Commuting data from the 1990 Census show significant levels of commuting into Shelby County, Tennessee, which includes Memphis, from the five surrounding counties. In addition, Memphis is the largest city in the six-county area and is the primary location for shopping, services and entertainment for residents in the area. Other relevant indicators, moreover, including the Memphis Metropolitan Statistical Area ("MSA") and Memphis Ranally Metropolitan Area, reflect a substantial degree of economic integration between Shelby County and its surrounding counties. Based on all the facts of record, the Board concludes that the appropriate geographic market for analyzing the combination of Applicant and Leader Financial in this area is the Memphis, Tennessee banking market, which is approximated by Shelby, Tipton and Fayette Counties in Tennessee; Crittendon County, Arkansas; and De Soto and Tate Counties in Mississippi. 10. The Nashville, Tennessee, banking market is approximated by Cheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Rutherford, Sumner, Williamson, and Wilson Counties, and the town of Spring Hill in Maury County, all in Tennessee. 11. On consummation of the proposal, the HHIs would increase 261 points to 1671 in the Memphis banking market, and 1 point to 1467 in the Nashville banking market. Under the revised Department of Justice Merger Guidelines, 49 Federal Register 26,823 (June 29, 1984), a market in which the post-merger HHI is between 1000 and 1800 is considered moderately concentrated. The Justice Department has informed the Board that a bank merger or acquisition will not be challenged (in the absence of other factors indicating anti-competitive effects) unless the post-merger HHI is at least 1800 and the merger increases the HHI by more than 200 points. The Justice Department has stated that the higher than normal HHI thresholds for screening bank mergers for anticompetitive effects implicitly recognize the competitive effect of limited purpose lenders and other non-depository financial entities. Legal Developments ate in these markets.12 Based on these and all other facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal would not result in any significantly adverse eifects on competition or on the concentration of banking resources in the Memphis or Nashville banking markets or any other relevant banking market. Applicant also operates subsidiaries that engage in mortgage lending, leasing, credit-related insurance, and securities brokerage activities in competition with Leader Financial subsidiaries. The record indicates that there are numerous providers of these services and that the markets for these services are unconcentrated. Based on all the facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal would not have any significantly adverse eifects on competition in the markets for these nonbanking services. Record of Performance Under the Community Reinvestment Act In acting on a proposal to acquire a savings association under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act, the Board reviews the records of the relevant depository institutions under the Community Reinvestment Act (12 U.S.C. § 2901 et seq.) ("CRA"). 13 As provided in the CRA, the Board has evaluated the record of performance of Applicant's depository institutions and Savings Bank in light of the CRA performance examinations of these organizations by their primary federal supervisors. 12. After consummation of the proposal, Applicant would remain the second largest depository institution in the Memphis banking market and the fourth largest depository institution in the Nashville banking market. Applicant would control approximately 25.5 percent of total deposits in depository institutions in the Memphis banking market ("market deposits") and 8.6 percent of market deposits in the Nashville banking market after consummation of the proposal. In addition, 37 depository institutions would remain in the Memphis banking market and 32 depository institutions would remain in the Nashville banking market after consummation of the proposal. Market share data are based on calculations in which the deposits of thrift institutions are included at 50 percent. The Board previously has indicated that thrift institutions have become, or have the potential to become, significant competitors of commercial banks. See WM Bancorp, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 743 (1984). Because the deposits of Savings Bank would be controlled by a commercial banking organization after consummation of the proposal, those deposits are included at 100 percent in the calculation of Applicant's pro forma market share. See Norwest Corporation, 78 Federal Reserve Bulletin 452 (1992); First Banks, Inc., 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 669 (1990). 13. The Board previously has determined that the CRA by its terms generally does not apply to applications by bank holding companies to acquire nonbanking companies under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. See The Mitsui Bank, Ltd., 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 381 (1990). The Board also has stated that, unlike other companies that may be acquired by bank holding companies under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act, savings associations are depository institutions, as that term is defined in the CRA, and thus acquisitions of savings associations are subject to review under the express terms of the CRA. See Norwest Corporation, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 873 (1990). 961 The Board also has carefully considered comments from several organizations and an individual ("Protestants") 14 that criticize the record of Applicant and Savings Bank in meeting the credit needs of minority individuals and lowto moderate-income communities in Memphis, Tennessee. In addition, some Protestants contend that UPNB and Savings Bank have an insufficient number of branches in downtown and low- to moderate-income areas of Memphis, and that Applicant's proposed branch closings in Memphis after consummation of this transaction would adversely affect the local communities. Several Protestants also contend that data filed under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act ("HMDA") (12 U.S.C. § 2801 et seq.) indicate that UPNB and Savings Bank have refused or failed to assist in meeting the housing-related credit needs of African Americans, low- to moderate-income neighborhoods, and areas with predominantly minority populations ("minority communities") in Memphis. An institution's most recent CRA performance evaluation is a particularly important consideration in the applications process because it represents a detailed on-site evaluation of an institution's overall record of performance under the CRA by its primary federal supervisor.15 In addition, the Board considers an institution's policies and practices for compliance with applicable fair lending laws. The Board also takes into account information on an institution's lending activities that assist in meeting the credit needs of low- to moderate-income neighborhoods. Performance Examinations. All of Applicant's subsidiary banks and savings associations that have been examined for CRA performance received "outstanding" or "satisfactory" ratings from their primary federal supervisors in their most recent examinations. In particular, UPNB received a "satisfactory" CRA performance rating from the OCC, its primary federal supervisor, at its most recent examination as of October 1994 ("UPNB Examination").16 Furthermore, Savings Bank received a "satisfactory" CRA performance rating from the OTS at its most recent examination as of April 1995 ("Savings Bank Examination"). Performance Records of Applicant and Savings Bank. As noted above, Applicant proposes to merge Savings Bank with and into UPNB, after which the operations of Savings Bank would become subject to the CRA policies, procedures, and programs of UPNB. The Board has care- 14. In addition to Mid-South and ICP, Protestants include Memphis Area Community Reinvestment Organization ("MACRO"); VECA Community Development Corporation; Students, Mothers, and Concerned Citizens, Inc.; and Douglass, Bungalow & Crump Neighborhood Association's Coalition Alliance ("DBC Neighborhood Alliance"), all of Memphis, Tennessee. 15. The Board notes that the Statement of the Federal Financial Supervisory Agencies Regarding the Community Reinvestment Act provides that a CRA examination is an important and often controlling factor in consideration of an institution's CRA record and that reports of these examinations will be given great weight in the applications process. See 54 Federal Register 13,742, 13,745 (1989). 16. UPB-Middle Tennessee also received a "satisfactory" CRA performance rating from the OCC at its most recent examination as of January 1996. 962 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 fully reviewed Applicant's CRA performance record in light of substantially similar comments submitted in connection with a number of recent applications filed by Applicant.17 In the Union Planters Orders, the Board carefully reviewed UPNB's CRA performance record, including its lending, marketing, and outreach activities, the services provided through its branches, its branch closing policies, and the actions that the bank had taken to strengthen its lending in low- to moderate-income areas. The Board also considered Applicant's HMDA data for 1990 to 1994, and preliminary 1995 HMDA data. For the reasons discussed in detail in the Union Planters Orders, which are hereby incorporated by reference, the Board concluded that the CRA performance record of Applicant was consistent with approval of the applications under the BHC Act. The Union Planters Orders noted that the UPNB Examination found that the bank's community delineation was reasonable and did not exclude any low- to moderateincome neighborhoods. The examination also found that UPNB had a satisfactory record of ascertaining community credit needs and that the bank's marketing program effectively informed all segments of its delineated community of the bank's credit products and services. In addition, examiners concluded that the bank's distribution of loans, applications, and denials was reasonable. The Union Planters Orders also reviewed UPNB's special lending programs to assist in meeting the credit needs of low- to moderate-income borrowers, including participation in a number of government-sponsored programs through the Federal Housing Administration ("FHA"), Veterans Administration ("VA"), Tennessee Housing Development Authority, and Small Business Administration.18 The Savings Bank Examination found that the institution's delineated community was reasonable and did not unreasonably exclude any low- to moderate-income neighborhoods. Examiners found that Savings Bank's branches that accepted mortgage loan applications were easily accessible to members of the local communities. Examiners also found that Savings Bank had a strong record of ascertain- 17. See Union Planters Corporation, 82 Federal Reserve Bulletin 756 (1996); Union Planters Corporation, 82 Federal Reserve Bulletin 745 (1996); Union Planters Corporation, 82 Federal Reserve Bulletin 78 (1996); and Union Planters Corporation, 81 Federal Reserve Bulletin 800 (1995) (collectively, "Union Planters Orders"). These matters have included UPNB's sensitivity to the credit needs of African Americans, its history of providing loans and other banking services to low- to moderate-income neighborhoods and minority residents of Memphis, and its branch locations in downtown and lowto moderate-income areas of Memphis. 18. One Protestant expresses concern that consummation of the proposal would reduce the level of funding available for community development activities in Memphis. The UPNB Examination noted that UPNB was a charter member of the Memphis Multi-Bank Community Development Corporation, and had formed an association with the City of Memphis and community groups to develop housing for low- to moderate-income persons. Applicant, moreover, has requested approval to continue Leader Financial's participation in two community development housing projects that will be rented primarily to low- to moderate-income persons. ing the credit needs of, and marketing its credit products to, residents of Memphis.19 The Savings Bank Examination concluded that Savings Bank had performed reasonably well in attracting loan applications from individuals in low- to moderate-income census tracts in the Memphis MSA, and that the association's credit extensions, credit applications and credit denials were adequately distributed throughout its delineated community. In addition, examiners noted that Savings Bank was an active participant in the market for FHA and VA loans and participated in a variety of community development projects in Memphis.20 Branch Locations and Closings. The UPNB Examination concluded that the bank's branch and automated teller machine ("ATM") networks were reasonably accessible to all segments of the bank's community, including low- to moderate-income neighborhoods. UPNB operates 35 fullservice branches and 37 stand-alone ATMs in Shelby County.21 Five of UPNB's branches in Memphis are located in low- to moderate-income census tracts. The bank recently applied for the OCC's approval to establish an additional 55 stand-alone ATMs in convenience stores located throughout Shelby County, and 26 of these ATMs would be located in low- to moderate-income census tracts.22 Savings Bank operates 15 branches in Shelby County, including two branches that are located in low- to moderate-income census tracts. 19. Examiners noted that Savings Bank initiated a marketing plan in the Memphis area that placed special emphasis on attracting credit applications from individuals in low- to moderate-income census tracts. Examiners also found that the association marketed its credit products through local newspapers and radio programs with predominately minority audiences and through advertisements in low- to moderate-income and minority communities. 20. Savings Bank purchased and originated 6,245 FHA and VA loans in 1993 and 1994, totalling more than $419 million. In connection with its operations, Savings Bank purchases and services pools of delinquent FHA and VA loans. Certain Protestants contend, without providing any substantiation, that Savings Bank may use improper collection techniques to service these delinquent loans, and question whether UPNB's proposed acquisition of this line of business is consistent with the convenience and needs of the community. The Board has carefully considered Protestants comments in light of confidential reports of examination assessing Savings Bank's FHA/VA loan purchase and servicing program. The Board also notes that OTS examiners favorably noted Savings Bank's purchase of FHA and VA loans at the Savings Bank Examination. 21. Fifteen of UPNB's branches are designated "Home Buyer Centers" and are staffed by employees with particular knowledge of the bank's mortgage products, including its special housing-related lending programs. 22. Two Protestants submitted proposals requesting that Applicant agree to establish a bank branch in specific neighborhoods in Memphis. UPNB is conducting an internal analysis to determine whether UPNB should construct a branch at the locations identified by Protestants. Although communications by depository institutions with community groups provide a valuable method of assessing and determining how an institution may best address the credit needs of the community, the Board believes that the CRA does not require that a depository institution enter into an agreement with any organization. Accordingly, in reviewing the proposal, the Board has focused on the programs and policies that Applicant and Savings Bank have in place to serve the credit needs of their entire communities. See Fifth Third Bancorp, 80 Federal Reserve Bulletin 838 (1994). Legal Developments UPNB has publicly stated that it plans to close or consolidate 14 branches of UPNB and Savings Bank in the Memphis banking market after consummation of the proposal and the related Bank Mergers. The operations of the 14 branches would be transferred to other branches of the combined entity.23 More than 70 percent of the branches to be closed or consolidated in the Memphis area are located within one-half mile of another UPNB branch, and all of the branches are located within one mile of another UPNB branch.24 Two of the branches to be closed or consolidated are located in low- to moderate-income areas. After the proposed branch actions, UPNB would continue to operate five branches in low- to moderate-income census tracts.25 Applicant has stated that the proposed branch closings and consolidations in Memphis would be conducted in accordance with UPNB's branch closing policy. The UPNB Examination concluded that the bank's branch closing/service reduction policy seeks to minimize the impact of any reduction in services and that UPNB had an acceptable record of opening and closing branch offices. The Board notes that UPNB's branch closing policy requires the bank to notify community groups and leaders prior to closing any branch, and that UPNB has sent notification of the proposed closings and consolidations to a variety of community groups in the Memphis area.26 In addition, UPNB's proposed branch closings will be subject to the Joint Agency Policy Statement on Branch Closings ("Joint Policy Statement").27 The Board also notes that the impact of UPNB's proposed branch closings and consoli23. Some Protestants contend that the closure of specific branches would negatively affect the local communities. Applicant has stated that it would continue to serve all communities currently served by the branches slated for closure or consolidation. Applicant also has noted that UPNB intends to establish a telephone banking center capable of opening accounts and accepting loan applications from customers located throughout the Memphis area. 24. Applicant also has stated that it intends to close or consolidate an additional four branches of Savings Bank and UPB-Middle Tennessee in the Nashville banking market after consummation of the proposal. Three of the four branches to be closed or consolidated in the Nashville area are located within one-half mile of another UPBMiddle Tennessee branch, and none of the four branches is located in a low- to moderate-income census tract. 25. None of the branches to be closed or consolidated in connection with the proposal are located in a census tract that has a minority population of 80 percent or more. 26. These groups include the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People, the Memphis Urban League, the Memphis Area Neighborhood Development Community Organization, and the DBC Neighborhood Alliance. 27. See 58 Federal Register 49,083 (1993) (interpreting section 42 of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (12 U.S.C. § 1831r-l)). Under these provisions, all insured depository institutions are required to submit a notice of any proposed branch closing to the appropriate federal banking agency no later than 90 days before the date of closure that contains: (1) The identity of the branch to be closed and the proposed closing date; (2) A detailed statement of the reasons for the decision to close the branch; and (3) Statistical or other information supporting the reasons for closure, consistent with the institution's written policy for branch closings. 963 dations will be assessed by examiners as part of the bank's next CRA performance examination and will be reviewed by the Board in future applications to acquire a depository facility. HMDA Data. In the Union Planters Orders, the Board noted that 1990-1994 HMDA data for Applicant and UPNB generally reflect reasonable efforts by UPNB to assist in meeting the credit needs of communities with lowto moderate-income and minority residents.28 In connection with the proposal, the Board has carefully reviewed the 1995 HMDA data for Applicant and the 1993, 1994, and 1995 HMDA data for Savings Bank.29 These data for UPNB indicate that UPNB continues to assist in meeting the needs of minorities and low- to moderate-income communities.30 HMDA data for Applicant and Savings Bank, however, also generally indicate some disparities in the rate of loan originations, denials, and applications by racial group and income level. The Board is concerned when an institution's record indicates disparities in lending to minority applicants and believes that all banks are obligated to ensure that their lending practices are based on criteria that assure not only safe and sound banking, but also equal access to credit by creditworthy applicants regardless of race. The Board recognizes, however, that HMDA data alone provide an incomplete measure of an institution's lending in its community because these data cover only a few categories of housing-related lending and provide limited information about the covered applications and loans.31 HMDA data, therefore, have limitations that make the data an inadequate basis, absent other information, for concluding that an institution has engaged in illegal discrimination in making lending decisions. Movement of branches within the same immediate neighborhood that do not substantially affect the nature of the business or the customers served are considered consolidations or relocations under the Joint Policy Statement and, as such, do not require prior notice. 28. The Board noted, for example, that the percentage of the total number of applications received by UPNB from African Americans had increased every year from 1992 to 1994. In addition, the Board noted that UPNB had received a greater percentage of loan applications from, and originated a greater percentage of loans to, African Americans than the aggregate average of banking institutions in the Memphis MSA from 1992 to 1994. 29. MACRO submitted a survey of 1993 and 1994 HMDA data for Applicant and Leader Financial in the Memphis MSA. Based on this survey, MACRO concluded that Applicant had an "above average" record of housing-related lending in the Memphis MSA and in the center city area of Memphis, and that Leader Financial had a "below average" record of housing-related lending in these areas. 30. For example, the 1995 data indicate that UPNB continued to receive a higher percentage of its total loan applications in Shelby County from, and continued to originate a higher percentage of its total loans to, African Americans than lenders in the aggregate. These data also indicate that UPNB originated a higher percentage of the loan applications that it received from low- to moderate-income census tracts in 1995 than in 1994. 31. For example, HMDA data do not provide a basis for an independent assessment of whether an applicant who was denied credit was in fact creditworthy. Thus, credit history problems and excessive debt levels relative to income—reasons most frequently cited for a credit denial—are not available from the HMDA data. 964 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Because of the limitations of HMDA data, the Board has carefully reviewed other information, particularly examination reports that provide an on-site evaluation of compliance by UPNB and Savings Bank with the fair lending laws. The UPNB Examination and Savings Bank Examination found no evidence of prohibited discrimination or other illegal credit practices at the institutions.32 Examiners at both institutions also found no evidence of any practices intended to discourage applications for the types of credit listed in the bank's CRA statement. In addition, UPNB and Savings Bank have initiated several measures to assure compliance with the fair lending laws. For example, UPNB has instituted a "second look" program for its retail and mortgage loan divisions and provides sensitivity and diversity training to bank personnel.33 In May 1996, UPNB also hired a private consulting firm to conduct a comprehensive fair lending review of its residential mortgage activities. The Savings Bank Examination noted that management routinely monitored the association's underwriting policies and procedures to assure that loan applicants are not discriminated against on a prohibited basis.34 Conclusion Regarding Record of Performance Under CRA. The Board has carefully reviewed all the facts of record in considering the CRA performance record of Applicant and Savings Bank, including information provided by Protestants, Applicant's responses, and the results of the performance examinations of Applicant's bank subsidiaries and Savings Bank. Based on this review, and for the reasons discussed in this order and the Union Planters Orders, the Board concludes that considerations relating to the CRA are consistent with approval.35 32. Examiners at the UPNB Examination reviewed all first mortgage and home improvement loan applications received by UPNB during the first six months of 1994, and compared the loan files of white applicants whose loans were approved with the files of AfricanAmerican applicants whose loans were denied. This review revealed no instances, practices, or policies indicating that customers were treated in an illegal manner. Examiners at the Savings Bank Examination also conducted a comparative review of loan files for white applicants who received loans and minority applicants who were denied loans. Examiners found no patterns of discriminatory treatment and concluded that minority and non-minority applicants were given similar levels of assistance during the underwriting process. 33. UPNB also takes a "second look" at loan applications received through the bank's automated loan machines. 34. Examiners also noted that Savings Bank's board of directors had instructed management to reemphasize to all employees the institution's commitment to nondiscriminatory lending. 35. One Protestant contends, without providing supporting facts, that banking organizations in the Memphis area, including Applicant and Leader Financial, charge an excessive fee for returned checks and that banking organizations have colluded to establish a uniformly high fee for this service. The record indicates that UPNB has an established record of providing a full range of banking and lending services in its delineated communities, including substantial lending services, and offers access to a full range of retail banking services, including a checking account with no monthly fee for senior citizens and other low-cost checking account products. While the Board has recognized that banks help serve the banking needs of their communities by making available basic banking services at a nominal or no charge, the CRA does not require that banks limit the fees charged for services. Other Considerations In order to approve the proposal, the Board also must determine that the proposed activities are a proper incident to banking, that is, that the proposal "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public, such as greater convenience, increased competition, or gains in efficiency, that outweigh possible adverse eifects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices."36 As part of the Board's evaluation of these factors, the Board has carefully reviewed the financial and managerial resources of Applicant, Leader Financial, and their respective subsidiaries, and the effect the transaction would have on such resources in light of all the facts of record.37 These facts of record include confidential reports of examination and other supervisory information received from the primary federal supervisors of the organizations assessing their financial and managerial resources and compliance with consumer-related laws.38 Based on all the facts of record, the Board concludes that the financial and managerial resources of the organizations involved in this proposal are consistent with approval.39 The record does not support the conclusion that the fees charged by Applicant or Leader Financial for checking accounts or other banking services are based in any way on a factor prohibited by law. The Board also has noted that the limited jurisdiction granted to the Board under the BHC Act does not authorize the Board to adjudicate unsubstantiated allegations that arise under a statute administered and enforced by another agency. See Norwest Corporation, 82 Federal Reserve Bulletin 580 (1996). The Department of Justice ("DOJ") has express statutory authority to investigate and prosecute the type of collusive practices alleged by Protestant, and the Board has provided Protestant's comments to the DOJ for its consideration. 36. 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). One Protestant notes that Leader Financial is a defendant in lawsuits concerning the forced placement of collateral insurance. The "forced placement" of insurance occurs when a creditor obtains, at the borrower's expense, insurance to protect collateral after other coverage for the collateral has lapsed. Leader Financial has denied any wrongdoing and the courts have not reached any final judgment in these lawsuits. The Board retains adequate supervisory authority to take action, if appropriate, should the allegations of improper actions be substantiated. Protestant also reiterates comments that the Board previously reviewed in the Union Planters Orders, including comments relating to pending lawsuits against Applicant involving the forced placement of collateral insurance, a past lawsuit against Applicant involving the sale of securitized automobile receivables by Applicant's three nonbank subsidiaries, and allegations of management misconduct at a Mississippi state bank acquired by Applicant in 1994. 37. See 12 C.F.R. 225.24; see also The Fuji Bank, Limited, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 94 (1989); Bayerische Vereinsbank AG, 73 Federal Reserve Bulletin 155 (1987). 38. In conducting this review, the Board has carefully considered comments from certain Protestants alleging misconduct and violations of banking laws by the management of Leader Financial, and violations of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (12 U.S.C. § 2601 et seq.) by UPNB and Leader Financial. Based on all the facts of record, including supervisory information provided by the primary federal supervisor of UPNB and Leader Financial, the Board does not believe that the record supports these allegations. 39. One Protestant has questioned whether the proposal would be eligible for "pooling-of-interests" accounting treatment and why Applicant's pro forma financial statements do not reflect the "goodwill" Legal Developments In reviewing the public interest factors in this case, the Board also has carefully considered the contentions of certain Protestants that Applicant has not sufficiently demonstrated the public benefits of the proposal.40 The record indicates that consummation of the proposal and the Bank Mergers would provide customers of the combined institutions with access to a broader array of banking products and services than currently is offered by each of the institutions individually.41 In addition, the proposed merger of Savings Bank and UPNB would provide the customers of Savings Bank with access to Applicant's larger network of branches and ATMs.42 Applicant also has stated that it intends to invest approximately $2.5 million to upgrade the branches of Savings Bank acquired by UPNB and UPBMiddle Tennessee.43 Applicant states, moreover, that the combination of Savings Bank and UPNB would permit UPNB to achieve greater economies of scale and efficiencies in its mortgage operations. The requirement under section 4 of the BHC Act that the Board must determine that public benefits from a proposal can reasonably be expected to outweigh potential adverse effects necessarily involves a balancing process that takes currently maintained by Leader Financial. The Board has reviewed these comments in light of relevant accounting principles and all the facts of record, including a preliminary opinion of Applicant's independent public accountant stating that the proposal would qualify for pooling-of-interests accounting treatment. In addition, Applicant has stated that it will not consummate the proposal unless it qualifies for pooling-of-interests accounting treatment. The Board also notes that Leader Financial has no "goodwill" on its financial statements. 40. One Protestant also contends, without providing any supporting factual evidence, that prior acquisitions by Applicant have benefited only stockholders of the institutions and resulted in adverse effects such as increased fees to consumers and fewer banking services and facilities for low- to moderate-income customers. The facts of record in this application, and the facts of record considered in the Union Planters Orders, do not support these contentions. 41. For example, UPNB operates ten automated loan machines and offers retail trust services and telephone bill payment services to its customers. Comparable products or services currently are not offered by Savings Bank. In addition, Applicant has stated that consummation of the proposal would permit Applicant to offer to its expanded customer base certain mortgage and loan products that have been developed by Savings Bank, including a variety of adjustable-rate mortgage programs and a temporary construction loan that converts to a permanent loan upon completion of the project. 42. After the Bank Mergers and the proposed branch consolidations, current customers of Savings Bank would have access to 36 full-service UPNB branches in the Memphis banking market and 24 full-service UPB-Tennessee branches in the Nashville banking market. This represents a substantial increase over the 15 branches that Savings Bank currently operates in the Memphis banking market, and the four branches operated by Savings Bank in the Nashville banking market. Applicant also operates 37 stand-alone ATMs in the Memphis banking market and 11 stand-alone ATMs in the Nashville banking market. In comparison, Savings Bank operates four stand-alone ATMs in the Memphis banking market and no stand-alone ATMs in the Nashville banking market. As noted above, UPNB also has requested the approval of the OCC to establish 55 more stand-alone ATMs throughout Shelby County. 43. Applicant states that these improvements may include expanding the branches to accommodate increased staff, providing drivethrough teller or ATM access, or adding safe deposit boxes or night depositories. 965 into account the extent of the potential for adverse effects. For the reasons discussed in this order and the Union Planters Orders, the potential for adverse effects, if any, resulting from the transaction is negligible. The Board also concludes that, based on the considerations discussed above, including the expanded products and services for customers, the proposal can reasonably be expected to produce notable public benefits. Accordingly, based on all the facts of record, the Board has determined that consummation of the proposal can reasonably be expected to produce public benefits that would outweigh any likely adverse effects under the proper incident to banking standard of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act.44 Conclusion Based on the foregoing and all the facts of record, including the commitments discussed in this order and all other commitments and representations made by Applicant in connection with the notice, and subject to the terms and conditions set forth in this order, the Board has determined that the notice should be, and hereby is, approved.43 The Board's determination is subject to all the conditions set forth in Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.7 and 225.23(g) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.7 and 44. Some Protestants contend that the Board should delay consideration of the proposal and request additional information from Applicant on the competitive impact of the proposal, proposed branch closures, the public benefits anticipated from consummation of the proposal, and the management of Savings Bank's FHA/VA loan program. Protestants have not provided any facts to demonstrate that a delay is warranted. The Board is required by the BHC Act and the Board's rules to act on applications submitted under section 4 of the BHC Act within specified time periods. Based on all the facts of record, the Board concludes that the record on this notice is sufficient to act on the notice at this time and that delay or denial of the proposal on the grounds of informational insufficiency is not warranted. 45. Some of the Protestants have requested that the Board hold a public hearing or meeting to receive public testimony on this proposal, including testimony relating to Applicant's proposed branch closures, the effect of the proposal on banking competition and the level of lending in Memphis, and the CRA record of performance of Applicant and Leader Financial. Under the Board's rules, a hearing is required under section 4 of the BHC Act only if there are disputed issues of material fact that cannot be resolved in some other manner. 12 C.F.R. 225.23(f). Protestants do not identify disputed issues of fact that are material to the Board's decision. In addition, interested parties have had an ample opportunity to present their views, and Protestants have submitted substantial written comments that have been considered by the Board. Protestants' requests fail to demonstrate why a written presentation would not suffice and to summarize the evidence that would be presented at a hearing or meeting. See 12 C.F.R. 262.3(e). The Board has carefully considered the proposal in light of all the facts of record, including Protestants' comments on the issues discussed above, and, for the reasons discussed in this order and the Union Planters Orders, has concluded that the factors that the Board must consider under section 4 of the BHC Act are consistent with approval. Protestants' requests dispute the weight that should be accorded to, and the conclusions that the Board should draw from, the existing facts of record. For these reasons, and based on all the facts of record, the Board has determined that a public hearing or meeting is not required or necessary to clarify the factual record in the notice, or otherwise warranted in this case. Accordingly, the requests for a public hearing or meeting on the notice are hereby denied. 966 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 225.25(g)), and to the Board's authority to require modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with, and to prevent evasion of, the provisions of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder. The Board's decision is specifically conditioned on Applicant's compliance with the commitments made in connection with the notice, including the commitments and conditions discussed in this order. The commitments and conditions relied on in reaching this decision shall be deemed to be conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decision and may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. This transaction shall not be consummated later than three months after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 5, 1996. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Phillips, and Meyer. Absent and not voting: Governors Lindsey and Yellen. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Deputy Secretary of the Board Appendix Other Nonbanking Subsidiaries of Leader Financial to be Acquired by Applicant (1) Leader Services, Inc., Memphis, Tennessee, and thereby engage in acting as principal, agent or broker in the sale of certain insurance (including home mortgage redemption insurance) that is directly related to an extension of credit by the bank holding company or its subsidiaries pursuant to section 225.25(b)(8)(i) of the Board's Regulation Y; and in full-service brokerage activities pursuant to section 225.25(b)(15)(ii) of the Board's Regulation Y; (2) Leader Federal Mortgage, Inc. ("Leader Mortgage"), Leader Funding Corporation I, and Leader Funding Corporation III, all in Memphis, Tennessee, and thereby engage in making, acquiring and servicing loans or other extensions of credit pursuant to section 225.25(b)(1) of the Board's Regulation Y; and (3) Leader Leasing, Inc., Memphis, Tennessee, and thereby engage in leasing real and personal property, including certain higher-residual-value leasing, pursuant to section 225.25(b)(5) of the Board's Regulation Y and making, acquiring, or servicing commercial loans pursuant to section 225.25(b)(1) of the Board's Regulation Y. Applicant also has applied to retain Leader Financial's direct and indirect ownership interest in the following joint ventures: (1) Millcreek Development Partnership, L.P. and Hoover Road, L.P., both in Memphis, Tennessee, and thereby engage in community development activities pursuant to section 225.25(b)(6) of the Board's Regulation Y; and (2) Southeastern Mortgage of Alabama, L.L.C., Birmingham, Alabama, and ASMI, LLC, Indianapolis, Indiana, and thereby engage in making, acquiring, or servicing loans or other extensions of credit pursuant to section 225.25(b)(1) of the Board's Regulation Y. ORDERS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL RESERVE ACT Community Bank of Nevada Las Vegas, Nevada Order Approving Establishment of a Branch Community Bank of Nevada, Las Vegas, Nevada ("Bank"), a state member bank, has requested the Board's approval under section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. § 321 et seq.) to establish a branch at 2887 South Maryland Parkway, Las Vegas, Nevada. Notice of the proposal, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published in accordance with the Board's Rules of Procedure. The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors specified in the Federal Reserve Act. Bank, with total deposits of approximately $34.9 million, is the 18th largest commercial banking organization in Nevada, controlling less than 1 percent of the total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state.1 Bank has been in operation since July 1995, and, under this proposal, would establish its first permanent branch. Considerations Related to the Community Reinvestment Act In reviewing an application to establish a branch, the Board is required to take into account the institution's record under the Community Reinvestment Act (12 U.S.C. § 2901 et seq.) ("CRA"). 2 The Board has received comments from the Culinary Workers Union, Local 226, and a number of individuals ("Protestants") criticizing Bank's record of performance under the CRA.3 In particular, Protestants maintain that Bank: . (1) Has a declining loan-to-deposit ratio; 1. Deposit and state ranking data are as of March 31, 1996. 2. See 12 U.S.C. §§ 2902(3)(C), 2903(2). 3. The Board has also considered comments supporting Protestants' contentions from the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now, the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, and the National Low Income Housing Coalition. Legal Developments (2) Originates a small percentage of real estate loans within its assessment area; (3) Lends primarily to borrowers in high-income census tracts and to large residential developments and commercial projects; and (4) Does not sufficiently provide residential lending in census tracts with substantial minority populations. Protestants also contend that the significant amount of lending to Bank's directors and shareholders impairs its ability to assist in meeting the credit needs of its communities.4 The Board has carefully reviewed those comments in light of all the facts of record. An institution's most recent CRA performance evaluation is a particularly important consideration in the applications process because it represents a detailed on-site evaluation of the institution's overall record of performance under the CRA by its primary federal supervisor.5 In connection with this application, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco ("Reserve Bank") conducted a full-scope, on-site examination of Bank's CRA record of performance (the "July 1996 Examination") and has preliminarily rated Bank's performance as "satisfactory." Bank qualifies as a small bank for purposes of the new regulations jointly promulgated by the federal financial supervisory agencies to implement the CRA.6 Bank was evaluated under the small bank performance standards, which consider: (1) The bank's loan-to-deposit ratio, adjusted for seasonal variation and, as appropriate, other lending-related activities; (2) The percentage of loans and, as appropriate, other lending-related activities located in the bank's assessment area; (3) The bank's record of lending to and, as appropriate, engaging in other lending-related activities for borrowers of different income levels and businesses and farms of different sizes; (4) The geographic distribution of the bank's loans; and (5) The bank's record of taking actions, if warranted, in response to written complaints about its performance in helping to meet credit needs in its assessment area(s).7 Examiners also consider any evidence of discriminatory or other illegal credit practices.8 4. In addition, Protestants believe that Bank should provide Spanish language brochures and other materials. 5. The Board notes that the Statement of the Federal Financial Supervisory Agencies Regarding the Community Reinvestment Act provides that a CRA examination is an important and often controlling factor in the consideration of an institution's CRA record and that reports of these examinations will be given great weight in the applications process. See 54 Federal Register 13,742, 13,745 (1989). 6. See 60 Federal Register 22,156 (May 4, 1995). See also 12 C.F.R. 228.12(t) which defines a "small bank" with no parent holding company as a bank that had less than $250 million in assets as of December 31 of either of the prior two years. Bank's assets totalled approximately $37 million as of December 31, 1995. 7. See 12 C.F.R. 228.26. 8. 12 C.F.R. 228.28(c). 967 Bank's loan-to-deposit ratio averaged approximately 70 percent over the four quarters from September 30, 1995, to June 30, 1996. The July 1996 Examination found that this ratio exceeded the standards for satisfactory performance in light of peer averages for commercial banks within Bank's assessment area and nationally. Although Bank's loan-to-deposit ratio declined to 58 percent as of June 30, 1996, examiners concluded that the decline resulted from the greater than expected success of Bank's certificate of deposit program and not from a diminution in lending.9 As noted, Bank is a small institution and is primarily engaged in business-purpose lending, especially small business loans.10 Bank's outstanding loans consist of approximately 66 percent for business-related purposes, totaling $16.5 million, and approximately 23 percent for financing real estate construction and development, totaling $5.7 million. The July 1996 Examination found that all of Bank's business-related loans were small business loans, and that approximately 74 percent by count and 72 percent by dollar amount of those loans were made in its assessment area.11 Approximately 49 percent of Bank's construction and development loans by count and 56 percent by dollar amount of commitment were also made in its assessment area. Overall, approximately 67 percent by count of Bank's business-related and construction and development loans and 62 percent by dollar amount were conducted within its assessment area. Of Bank's small business loans, 24 percent by count and 35 percent by dollar amount were made in moderateincome census tracts.12 Bank also is qualified to make government-sponsored loans through the Small Business Administration ("SBA"), specifically the SBA's 504 and 9. If Bank's loans to directors were excluded from consideration in calculating the ratio, as suggested by Protestants, examiners still considered Bank's loan-to-deposit ratio to be reasonable as compared to the ratio for its national peers. Examiners also reviewed the level of aggregate loans to Bank's directors and their related interests. They concluded that the level was not unusual for a de novo bank that had been in operation for a short period of time, because such institutions often rely on established relationships to generate business. 10. For purposes of the new CRA regulation, a small business loan is a commercial and industrial loan with an original amount of $1 million or less, or a loan secured by nonfarm nonresidential property with an original amount of $1 million or less. See 12 C.F.R. 228.12(u). Bank also participated as a mortgage broker in 67 home mortgages, totaling approximately $12.6 million, as of the July 1996 Examination. 11. As determined by the examiners, Bank's assessment area encompasses 52 census tracts in Clark County, Nevada, which includes the City of Las Vegas. This area, which is located in the western part of the city and includes only whole geographies (i.e, in this case, census tracts), was considered by examiners to be reasonable and not to reflect any illegal discrimination or to exclude arbitrarily any lowand moderate-income areas. Bank's assessment area is comprised of the following numbers of census tracts by income: low income—4, moderate income—10, middle income—21, and high income—17. Bank intends to expand its assessment area after opening the proposed branch. 12. The largest dollar amount of loans extended by Bank was in moderate-income census tracts (as opposed to middle- or upperincome census tracts). 968 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 7A programs. Examiners also found that residential real estate development within Bank's assessment area was focused primarily in middle- and high-income census tracts, consistent with construction and development lending by Bank and by other institutions. Nevertheless, Bank financed the development of 16 condominiums to provide affordable housing to low- and moderate-income individuals, with purchase prices ranging from $68,000 to $70,000.13 Examiners considered Bank to be generally responsive to written complaints about its efforts to assist in meeting the credit needs of its community. The July 1996 Examination noted a number of complaints in Bank's public comment file from members of the Culinary Workers Union. Bank invited all complainants who provided return addresses to discuss their concerns, but no complainant has responded. The July 1996 Examination also found no evidence of illegal discrimination and considered Bank's compliance with fair lending laws and regulations satisfactory.14 The Board has carefully reviewed all the facts of record in considering the CRA performance record of Bank, including information provided by Protestants, Bank's responses, and the results of the July 1996 Examination. Based on this review, the Board concludes that considerations relating to the CRA are consistent with approval.15 Other Considerations The Board also carefully reviewed the factors required to be considered in proposals to establish a branch, including the financial condition of Bank,16 the general character of 13. Bank also financed the development of 23 single family homes with purchase prices ranging from $89,950 to $112,945. Examiners noted, based on information from the Housing Authority of the City of Las Vegas and the Nevada Fair Housing Center, that housing with a purchase price of less than $90,000 is considered affordable for lowto moderate-income individuals. 14. The compliance examination included a sampling of approved and denied loan applications, a review of Bank's loan policies and lending criteria, and interviews with Bank personnel. Examiners also noted that Bank financed a real estate development project in one census tract and made 13 percent of its small business loans in another census tract within Bank's assessment area that have substantial minority populations. 15. Protestants question whether Bank has provided sufficient information to demonstrate a benefit to the community from this proposal. In reviewing an application to establish a branch, the Board is required to consider the specific factors set forth in the Federal Reserve Act and the bank's record of performance under the CRA. As discussed in this order, the Board has carefully reviewed the proposal in light of these considerations. Neither of these Acts, however, requires a separate finding that benefits to the community would result from the establishment of a branch. Protestants also maintain that Bank has not complied with all aspects of its internal CRA policy, including documentation of its outreach efforts. The new CRA regulations, as a general matter, focus on an institution's actual performance and not the documentation of its lending efforts. 16. Protestants contend that a substantial portion of Bank's deposits is from large depositors in amounts of $100,000 or more. Approximately 60 percent of Bank's large deposits are held by Bank's primary shareholders, and two of these depositors are Bank its management, and the proposed exercise of corporate powers. Protestants argue that an administrative action by the National Labor Relations Board ("NLRB") against a casino owned by one of Bank's outside directors, past business proposals between Bank and its officers and directors, and current loans extended to Bank insiders raise adverse managerial considerations and conflicts of interests concerns. Protestants also allege that Bank has made loans to single borrowers and their related interests that exceed 25 percent of its unimpaired capital in violation of Nevada state law.17 The Board does not believe that the conduct at issue in the NLRB proceeding warrants a denial of the proposal.18 In addition, the Board notes that issues raised by Bank's proposed business dealings with its officers and directors were resolved in the context of Bank's application for membership in the Federal Reserve System two years ago. Reserve Bank and state examiners also recently conducted a joint safety and soundness examination of Bank. Examiners reviewed all of Bank's loans to insiders and concluded that they complied with Regulation 0 ( 1 2 C.F.R. Part 215), the regulation applicable to loans to insiders of state member banks, including the requirement that an insider abstain from voting on his or her own loan application. Bank also has sold to institutions unaffiliated with Bank or Bank's directors participations in loans to single borrowers, in order to comply with Nevada limitations on loans to single borrowers; and state examiners did not find any violations of applicable state law lending limits. The Board also notes that Bank has a compliance officer and written procedures to ensure compliance with all applicable regulations. In light of these and all the facts of record, the Board concludes that other factors required to be considered under section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act are consistent with approval.19 directors. In this light, examiners in a recent safety and soundness examination did not consider the volatility of these deposits to adversely affect the financial condition of Bank and noted that Bank management monitors large depositor relationships closely. 17. See Nevada Revised Stat. §§ 662.145 and 662.155 (1992); Nevada Administrative Code § 662.002 et seq. 18. The NLRB proceeding is part of a long-standing dispute between the casino and the unions representing beverage dispensers and hotel and restaurant employees. The NLRB found that the casino had engaged in unfair labor practices that: (1) Interfered with, restrained, or coerced employees in the exercise of their rights under the National Labor Relations Act ("NLRA"), and (2) Refused to bargain collectively with the representatives of employees. See §§ 8(a)(1) and (a)(5) of the NLRA (29 U.S.C. §§ 158(a)(1) and (a)(5)). The conduct at issue included surveillance on and ejection of union representatives, unilaterally imposing new rules on employee conduct and unilaterally ceasing to pay pension fund contributions. The casino was ordered to cease and desist from these activities, and the NLRB's finding was upheld by a federal circuit court of appeals. 19. Protestants argue that the record of this proposal is informationally incomplete because Bank has failed to respond to their requests for information, including information regarding its CRA-related activities. In light of all the facts of record, and for the reasons discussed above, the Board concludes that the record of the proposal is sufficient Legal Developments Based on the foregoing, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, approved.20 The Board's approval is specifically conditioned on compliance by Bank with all the commitments made in connection with the application. For purposes of this action, these commitments and conditions are conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its findings and decisions and, as such, may be enforced in proceedings under applicable law. Approval of the establishment of the branch is subject to the completion of the facility within one year after the effective date of this order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or the Reserve Bank, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective August 28, 1996. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Lindsey, Meyer, Phillips, and Yellen. Absent and not voting: Vice Chair Rivlin and Governor Kelley. WILLIAM W. WILES Secretary of the Board ORDERS ISSUED UNDER INTERNATIONAL BANKING ACT Korea Development Bank Seoul, Korea Order Approving Establishment of a Branch Korea Development Bank, Seoul, Korea ("Bank"), a foreign bank within the meaning of the International Banking Act ("IBA"), has applied under section 7(d) of the IBA (12 U.S.C. § 3105(d)) to establish a state-licensed branch in New York, New York. The Foreign Bank Supervision Enhancement Act of 1991 ("FBSEA"), which amended to act on the application at this time and that delay or denial of the proposal on the grounds of informational insufficiency is not warranted. 20. Protestants have requested that the Board hold a public hearing or meeting on this proposal to allow Protestants to question Bank on its submissions, to obtain additional information from Bank, and to present information on the proposal. The Federal Reserve Act does not require the Board to hold a public hearing on applications to establish branches. Generally, under its Rules of Procedure, the Board may, in its discretion, hold a public hearing or meeting on an application to clarify factual issues related to the application and to provide an opportunity for testimony, if appropriate. 12 C.F.R. 262.3(e) and 262.25(d). Protestants in this case have had ample opportunity to submit their views, and have, in fact, submitted substantial written comments that have been carefully considered in connection with the Board's decision. Protestants' requests fail to demonstrate why written comments are inadequate in this case to present their views or resolve the issues raised by their comments as required by the Board's rules. 12 C.F.R. 262.3(e). For these reasons, and based on all the facts of record, the Board has determined that a public hearing or meeting is not necessary to clarify the factual record in this application, or otherwise warranted in this case. Accordingly, Protestants' requests for a public hearing or meeting on the proposal are denied. 969 the IBA, provides that a foreign bank must obtain the approval of the Board to establish a branch in the United States. Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published in a newspaper of general circulation in New York (The New York Times, April 26, 1996). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received. Bank has total consolidated assets of approximately $62 billion, and is wholly owned by the Government of the Republic of Korea.1 Bank, which originally was chartered as a development bank focused on executing the government's economic development plans after the Korean War, now engages in a wide range of commercial banking activities in the domestic and international markets.2 In addition to its network of domestic branches, Bank also operates 13 domestic subsidiaries engaged in leasing, venture capital finance, investment advisory and securities services, merchant and investment banking and manufacturing activities. International operations include branches, representative offices, and banking and financial subsidiaries located in Europe, Asia, and North America. In the United States, Bank operates a representative office and a broker-dealer subsidiary, Korea Associated Securities, Inc. ("KASI"), 3 in New York, New York, and several nonbank subsidiaries and affiliates.4 Bank would be a qualifying banking organization within the meaning of Regulation K after establishment of the proposed branch. 12 C.F.R. 211.23(b). Bank would upgrade its existing representative office in New York, New York, to a state-licensed branch that would engage in wholesale banking activities including the provision of long-term facility loans to Korean manufacturing companies operating in the United States, loan syndications for project and lease finance, and trade financing for export and import transactions between Korea and the United States. The Ministry of Finance and Economy of the Republic of Korea (the "Ministry") has no objection to the establishment of the proposed branch. The State of New York Banking Department has approved the application of Bank to establish the proposed branch. 1. All data are as of December 31, 1995. 2. The Government of Korea does not direct Bank's lending activities or impose legal restrictions, goals, quotas or directives on Bank as to particular types of commercial transactions or particular borrowers. A relatively small percentage of Bank's lending is to governmentowned companies. 3. Bank would apply under section 4(c)(8) of the Bank Holding Company Act for the approval of the Board to retain its ownership interest in KASI following establishment of the proposed branch. 4. KDB has indirect investments in the following non-bank entities in the U.S.: Pohang Steel America, a wholly owned subsidiary of Pohang Iron & Steel Co. of Korea, Daewoo Equipment Corporation and Daewoo Machinery Corporation, subsidiaries of Daewoo Industries of Korea, Hanjung America Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Korea Heavy Industries & Construction Co., Ltd., and a direct investment in Asiana Airlines, a Korean commercial air carrier with ticketing offices in the United States. 970 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 In order to approve an application by a foreign bank to establish a branch in the United States, the IBA and Regulation K require the Board to determine that the foreign bank applicant engages directly in the business of banking outside of the United States, and has furnished to the Board the information it needs to adequately assess the application. The Board also must determine that the foreign bank is subject to comprehensive supervision or regulation on a consolidated basis by its home country supervisor (12 U.S.C. § 3105(d)(2)). The Board may also take into account additional standards as set forth in the IBA (12 U.S.C. § 3105(d)(3)-(4)) and Regulation K (12 C.F.R. 211.24(c)). Bank engages directly in the business of banking outside of the United States through its commercial banking operations in Korea. Bank also has provided the Board with the information necessary to assess the application through submissions that address the relevant issues. Regulation K provides that a foreign bank will be considered to be subject to comprehensive supervision or regulation on a consolidated basis if the Board determines that the bank is supervised and regulated in such a manner that its home country supervisor receives sufficient information on the foreign bank's worldwide operations, including the relationship of the foreign bank to any affiliate, to assess the overall financial condition of the foreign bank and its compliance with law and regulation (12 C.F.R. 211.24(c)(1)).5 In making its determination under this standard, the Board has considered the following information. Bank's primary supervisor is the Ministry. Additionally, Bank is subject to supervision by the Office of Bank Supervision and Examination (the "OBSE") of the Bank of Korea.6 As a government-owned institution, Bank also is subject to audit and inspection by the Board of Audit and 5. In assessing this standard, the Board considers, among other factors, the extent to which the home country supervisors: (i) Ensure that the bank has adequate procedures for monitoring and controlling its activities worldwide; (ii) Obtain information on the condition of the bank and its subsidiaries and offices through regular examination reports, audit reports, or otherwise; (iii) Obtain information on the dealings with and relationship between the bank and its affiliates, both foreign and domestic; (iv) Receive from the bank financial reports that are consolidated on a worldwide basis, or comparable information that permits analysis of the bank's financial condition on a worldwide consolidated basis; (v) Evaluate prudential standards, such as capital adequacy and risk asset exposure, on a worldwide basis. These are indicia of comprehensive, consolidated supervision. No single factor is essential and other elements may inform the Board's determination. 6. The Board previously has determined that several other Korean banks are subject to comprehensive supervision on a consolidated basis in connection with their applications filed under the FBSEA. These banks, however, are chartered as commercial banks and are subject to primary supervision by the OBSE. In addition, the Board recently determined that Long Term Credit Bank of Korea, a private development bank under the primary supervision of the Ministry, is also subject to comprehensive supervision on a consolidated basis. 82 Federal Reserve Bulletin 767 (1996). Inspection (the "BAI"), an independent government agency that reports directly to the President of Korea.7 The Ministry's supervisory authority extends to establishment or change of location of Bank's subsidiaries and offices, amendments to the by-laws, approval of an annual operational program and annual budget, changes in the amount of capital, nomination of the governor of Bank and the appointment of the auditor of Bank, and determination of any permissible incidental activities of Bank. The BAI is authorized to audit the books and records of all government-owned institutions, including Bank and its subsidiaries. The results of the BAI's annual on-site examinations of Bank are reviewed by the Ministry in its role as the principal supervisor of Bank. BAI inspectors have broad authority to request any documents necessary to conduct their examination and their inspection authority extends to all domestic and foreign offices and subsidiaries of Bank. On-site examinations of Bank's head office occur once a year. These examinations include a review of asset quality, capital adequacy, accounting procedures, compliance with laws and regulations, adequacy of internal compliance and controls, proper procurement of goods and services, appropriateness of expenditures, adequacy of foreign operations, including an evaluation of management effectiveness over those operations, and accuracy of reports submitted by foreign offices. The BAI has authority to audit all domestic and foreign offices and subsidiaries of Bank. On-site examinations of foreign offices occur generally every three years. The schedule, however, is adjusted as necessary to address changes in risk profiles or other specific issues. Off-site examinations are conducted annually in conjunction with the head office examination, and are similar in scope to on-site examinations. Bank is required to submit periodic reports to the Ministry and the OBSE. The Ministry requires the submission of reports from Bank on all aspects of Bank's banking operations including management, financial performance, and foreign exchange activity. Certain financial statements, including the balance sheet and income statement, and the report on capital adequacy are prepared on a consolidated basis. Reports submitted monthly to either the OBSE or the Ministry include a balance sheet, deposit and reserve requirement information, credit exposures exceeding 15 percent of equity, aggregate large exposure concentrations, and loans outstanding to the 30 largest Korean business conglomerates. Additionally, Bank is required to provide the OBSE with semiannual operational reports of its foreign branches and subsidiaries. These reports include fi- 7. Certain domestic nonbanking subsidiaries of Bank are subject to supervision and audit by other regulatory authorities in addition to the BAI, the Ministry and the Bank of Korea. KDB Securities Co., Ltd. and Korea Development Investment Management Co., Ltd. are subject to supervision by the Securities Supervisory Board (the "SSB"), a Ministry-subordinated entity that supervises and regulates securities firms. The SSB examines these entities on an as-needed basis and reports the result of the examinations to the Ministry upon request. Legal Developments nancial statements and analyses of past due loans and other exposures. Bank also provides the OBSE with annual financial reports. The OBSE has the authority to require any relevant statistical data or information. In addition to the audits performed by the BAI, all of Bank's foreign subsidiaries are audited by external auditors at least annually. The external auditors review, among other things, asset quality and internal controls. Internal control weaknesses are reported to senior management and the board of directors. Although there is no formal and direct communication channel between the external auditors and the Ministry and Bank of Korea, audited financial statements are provided to the Ministry and Bank of Korea upon request. Bank provides the Ministry with operational information on a consolidated basis which includes materials concerning the business activities of Bank and its domestic and foreign subsidiaries. Although there are no express legal or regulatory restrictions imposed on transactions between Bank and its affiliates, Bank represents that it observes restrictions fundamentally similar to those imposed on commercial banks. In this regard, Bank applies limits on loans to its officers and employees as well as officers or employees of its affiliated companies. Additionally, certain restrictions on equity investments apply to Bank. Bank's internal audit function is responsible for annual on-site audits of the head office and branches and bi-annual audits of foreign offices. In accordance with standards set by the Ministry, the audit group conducts general, specific, and routine (daily) audits.8 The scope of the general audit is broad, covering financial performance as well as compliance with Korean banking law and regulations. Head office audits include a review of asset quality, internal controls, accounting policies and procedures, operational policies and controls, budgeting and expenditure controls. The annual internal audit report is submitted to the Ministry and includes the examination scope, correction orders, and recommendations. The audit group is also responsible for ensuring that the foreign offices are complying with Bank's internal policies and procedures and all applicable banking laws and regulations of the host countries. The branch also would be audited by the BAI. Under the KDB Act, the Ministry has the power to dismiss the senior officers, executive directors, and auditor of KDB, and may request the dismissal of the governor. The BAI may request the Ministry to take disciplinary action against any officer or employee of KDB who has committed any unlawful act, refused inspection, or caused any delay in the presentation of documents requested by the BAI. Based on all the facts of record, including the information described above, the Board concludes that Bank is 8. A general audit encompasses an annual review of all operating departments. Special audits may be conducted at the request of the Ministry, the board of directors, or the governor in response to specific issues or concerns which may arise. Routine or daily audits relate specifically to the loan approval process. 971 subject to comprehensive supervision on a consolidated basis by its home country supervisor. The Board has also taken into account the additional standards set forth in section 7 of the IB A (see 12 U.S.C. § 3105(d)(3)-(4); 12 C.F.R. 211.24(c)(2)). Bank has provided the Board with the information necessary to assess the application through submissions that address the relevant issues. As noted above, Bank has received the consent of the Ministry to establish the proposed state-licensed branch. In addition, the Ministry may share information on Bank's operations with other supervisors, including the Board. Korea is a signatory to the Basle risk-based capital standards, and Korean risk-based capital standards meet those established by the Basle Capital Accord. Bank's capital is in excess of the minimum levels that would be required by the Basle Capital Accord and is considered equivalent to capital that would be required of a U.S. banking organization. Managerial and other financial resources of Bank also are considered consistent with approval, and Bank appears to have the experience and capacity to support the proposed branch. Bank has established controls and procedures for the proposed branch in order to ensure compliance with U.S. law, as well as controls and procedures for its worldwide operations in general. Finally, the Board has reviewed the restrictions on disclosure in relevant jurisdictions in which Bank operates and has communicated with relevant government authorities about access to information. Bank has committed that it will make available to the Board such information on the operations of Bank and any affiliate of Bank that the Board deems necessary to determine and enforce compliance with the IBA, the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956, as amended, and other applicable federal law. To the extent that the provision of such information is prohibited or impeded by law, Bank has committed to cooperate with the Board to obtain any necessary consents or waivers that might be required from third parties in connection with disclosure of certain information. In addition, subject to certain conditions, the Ministry may share information on Bank's operations with other supervisors, including the Board. In light of these commitments and other facts of record, and subject to the condition described below, the Board concludes that Bank has provided adequate assurances of access to any necessary information the Board may request. On the basis of all the facts of record, and subject to the commitments made by Bank, as well as the terms and conditions set forth in this order, the Board has determined that Bank's application to establish a state-licensed branch should be, and hereby is, approved. Should any restrictions on access to information on the operations or activities of Bank and its affiliates subsequently interfere with the Board's ability to obtain information to determine and enforce compliance by Bank or its affiliates with applicable federal statutes, the Board may require termination of any of Bank's direct or indirect activities in the United States. 972 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Approval of this application is also specifically conditioned on Bank's compliance with the commitments made in connection with this application and with the conditions in this order.9 The commitments and conditions referred to above are conditions imposed in writing by the Board in connection with its decision, and may be enforced in proceedings under 12 U.S.C. § 1818 or 12 U.S.C. § 1847 against Bank, its offices, and its affiliates. By order of the Board of Governors, elfective August 23, 1996. 9. The Board's authority to approve establishment of the proposed branch office parallels the continuing authority of the State of New York to license offices of a foreign bank. The Board's approval of this application does not supplant the authority of the State of New York and its agent, the New York State Banking Department, to license the Deputy Secretary of the Board Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan, Vice Chair Rivlin, and Governors Kelley, Lindsey, Phillips, and Meyer. Absent and not voting: Governor Yellen. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON INDEX OF ORDERS ISSUED OR ACTIONS proposed branch office of Bank in accordance with any terms or conditions that the New York State Banking Department may impose. TAKEN BY THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM (APRIL I, 1996-JUNE 30,1996) ,. Applicant Merged or Acquired Bank * • • or Activity Date of * Approval Aspen Bancshares, Inc., Aspen, Colorado Val Cor Bancorporation, Inc., Cortez, Colorado Valley National Bank of Cortez, Cortez, Colorado The Boston Bancorp, Boston, Massachusetts South Boston Savings Bank, Boston, Massachusetts BNY Capital Markets, Inc., New York, New York May 31, 1996 82, 665 June 3, 1996 82, 733 June 10, 1996 82, 748 Bessemer Asset Management, Inc., New York, New York Cambridge Bank Professionals, LLC, St. Cloud, Minnesota BNC Financial Corporation, St. Cloud, Minnesota First Citizens Bank of Butte, Butte, Montana CALFP (US), Inc., New York, New York April 24, 1996 82, 569 May 1, 1996 82, 673 April 1, 1996 82, 554 June 10, 1996 82, 754 Order approving an exemption from the anti-tying provisions Security First Network Bank, Pineville, Kentucky Five Paces Software, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia To establish a representative office in New York, New York To establish a representative office in New York, New York April 11, 1996 82,584 May 21, 1996 82, 674 April 24, 1996 82, 591 April 22, 1996 82, 592 Bank of Boston Corporation, Boston, Massachusetts The Bank of New York Company, Inc., New York, New York The Bessemer Group, Incorporated, Woodbridge, New Jersey BNCCORP, Inc., Bismarck, North Dakota Butte Bank Shares, Inc., Butte, Montana Caisse Nationale de Credit Agricole, S.A., Paris, France Capital One Financial Corporation, Falls Church, Virginia Cardinal Bancshares, Inc., Lexington, Kentucky Cedel Bank, S.A., Luxembourg Commercial Bank "Ion Tiriac", S.A., Bucharest, Romania Bulletin Volume ,_ and Page Legal Developments Applicant Community Bancshares of Marysville, Inc., Marysville, Kansas Creditanstalt-Bankverein, Vienna, Austria Croghan Bancshares, Inc., Fremont, Ohio The Croghan Colonia Bank, Fremont, Ohio Dresdner Bank AG, Frankfurt, Germany Emigrant Bancorp, Inc., New York, New York Farmers State Corporation, Mountain Lake, Minnesota Bank Southwest Corporation, Worthington, Minnesota Firstar Corporation, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Firstar Corporation of Minnesota, Bloomington, Minnesota First Commerce Banks of Florida, Inc., Winter Haven, Florida First Commerce Corporation, New Orleans, Louisiana First Hawaiian, Inc., Honolulu, Hawaii Flathead Holding Company of Bigfork, Bigfork, Montana Fleet Financial Group, Inc., Boston, Massachusetts Huntington Bancshares, Incorporated, Columbus, Ohio National City Corporation, Cleveland, Ohio Bulletin Volume and Page Merged or Acquired Bank or Activity Date of Approval Community State Bank, Hanover, Kansas June 17, 1996 82, 735 To relocate its existing federally licensed uninsured branch from New York, New York, to Greenwich, Connecticut Union Bancshares Corp., Bellevue, Ohio Union Bank and Savings Company, Bellevue, Ohio Union Bank and Savings Company, Bellevue, Ohio RCM Capital Management, California Limited Partnership, San Francisco, California RCM Capital Trust Company, San Francisco, California Queens County Bancorp, Inc., Flushing, New York First Security Bank-Madison, Madison, Minnesota April 22, 1996 82, 594 June 10, 1996 82, 737 June 10, 1996 82, 737 May 30, 1996 82, 676 April 1, 1996 82, 555 April 8, 1996 82, 557 Jacob Schmidt Company, St. Paul, Minnesota American Bancorporation, Inc., St. Paul, Minnesota Prime Bank of Central Florida, Titusville, Florida June 24, 1996 82, 762 June 5, 1996 82, 738 150 Baronne Street Limited Partnership, New Orleans, Louisiana Pacific One Bank, Portland, Oregon Pioneer Federal Savings Bank, Honolulu, Hawaii Bank West, N.A., Kalispell, Montana May 29, 1996 82, 679 April 8, 1996 82, 575 June 24, 1996 82, 741 April 15, 1996 82, 558 May 23, 1996 82, 688 NatWest Bank National Association, Jersey City, New Jersey Order approving an exemption from the anti-tying provisions 973 974 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Applicant Huntington Bancshares Incorporated, Columbus, Ohio Wachovia Corporation, Winston-Salem, North Carolina Area Bancshares Corporation, Owensboro, Kentucky Iowa State Bank, Hull, Iowa Komercni Banka, a.s., Prague, Czech Republic Korea Long Term Credit Bank, Seoul, Korea Morgan Guaranty Trust Company of New York, New York, New York National Bancshares Corporation of Texas, Laredo, Texas National Bank of Canada, Montreal, Cananda Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Promstroybank of Russia, Moscow, Russian Federation R&G Financial Corporation, Hato Rey, Puerto Rico Signet Bank, Richmond, Virginia Swiss Bank Corporation, Basle, Switzerland Bulletin Volume and Page Merged or Acquired Bank or Activity Date of Approval Five Paces Software, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia May 21, 1996 82, 680 To establish a branch at 1101 Main Street, Hull, Iowa To establish a representative office in New York, New York To establish a state-licensed branch in New York, New York J.P. Morgan Delaware, Wilmington, Delaware June 24, 1996 82, 767 April 22, 1996 82, 597 June 24, 1996 82, 767 April 29, 1996 82, 585 Corpus Christi Bancshares, Inc., Corpus Christi, Texas April 29, 1996 82, 565 To establish representative offices in Denver, Colorado; Boca Raton, Florida; Baltimore, Maryland; Boston, Massachusetts; Southfield, Michigan; Charlotte, North Carolina; Cincinnati, Ohio; Cleveland, Ohio; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; Memphis, Tennessee; and Richmond, Virginia AmeriGroup, Incorporated, Minnetonka, Minnesota AmeriBank, Bloomington, Minnesota The Prudential Home Mortgage Company, Inc., Clayton, Missouri Union Texas Bancorporation, Inc., Laredo, Texas Union National Bank of Texas, Laredo, Texas To establish a representative office in New York, New York R-G Premier Bank of Puerto Rico, Hato Rey, Puerto Rico R&G Mortgage Corporation, Hato Rey, Puerto Rico Signet Bank N.A., Falls Church, Virginia S.G. Warburg Overseas Ltd., London, England S.G. Warburg Forex Ltd., London, England (branch located in New York, New York) June 10, 1996 82, 769 April 29, 1996 82, 580 May 6, 1996 82, 683 May 29, 1996 82, 667 April 8, 1996 82, 599 June 17, 1996 82, 745 April 29, 1996 82, 590 May 13, 1996 82, 685 Legal Developments Applicant Swiss Bank Corporation, Basle, Switzerland Union Planters Corporation, Memphis, Tennessee Union Planters Corporation, Memphis, Tennessee West One Bank, Idaho, Boise, Idaho Wilson Bank Holding Company, Lebanon, Tennessee Woodforest Bancshares, Inc., Houston, Texas 975 Bulletin Merged or Acquired Bank or Activity Date of Approval To establish a representative office in Houston, Texas Eastern National Bank, Miami, Florida Franklin Financial Group, Inc., Morristown, Tennessee Franklin Federal Savings Bank, Morristown, Tennessee U.S. Bank of Idaho, National Association, Coeur D'Alene, Idaho DeKalb Community Bank, Smithville, Tennessee Mutual Money Investments, Inc., Houston, Texas May 13, 1996 82, 690 June 5, 1996 82, 745 June 10, 1996 82, 756 June 17, 1996 82, 765 April 1, 1996 82, 568 April 8, 1996 82, 573 Volume and Page APPLICATIONS APPROVED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT By the Secretary of the Board Recent applications have been approved by the Secretary of the Board as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Freedom of Information Office, Office of the Secretary, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Section 4 Applicant(s) Bank(s) Effective Date Wachovia Corporation, Winston-Salem, North Carolina Wachovia Capital Markets, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia August 26, 1996 By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Section 3 Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date Alabama National Bancorporation, Birmingham, Alabama FIRSTBANC Holding Company, Inc., Robertsdale, Alabama First Bank of Baldwin County, Robertsdale, Alabama Commerce Bancorporation, Inc., McLoud, Oklahoma Bootheel Bancorp, Inc., Maiden, Missouri First Community Bank, Bernie, Missouri Atlanta August 21, 1996 Kansas City July 26, 1996 St. Louis August 19, 1996 BancFirst Corporation, Inc., Oklahoma City, Oklahoma The Belknap Partnership, L.P., Poplar Bluff, Missouri 976 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Section 3—Continued Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date Big Bend Bancshares Corporation, Presidio, Texas Rio Bancshares Corporation, Wilmington, Delaware Bullsboro Bancshares, Inc., Newnan, Georgia Community Holdings Corporation, Palos Hills, Illinois Marfa National Bank, Marfa, Texas Dallas July 30, 1996 The Bank of Newnan, Newnan, Georgia First State Bank and Trust Company of Palos Hills, Palos Hills, Illinois Air Academy National Bancorp, United States Air Force Academy, Colorado East Texas Delaware Financial Corporation, Dover, Delaware Community Bank, Longview, Texas Community Bank, Longview, Texas Atlanta August 14, 1996 Chicago August 19, 1996 Kansas City August 21, 1996 Dallas July 30, 1996 Dallas July 30, 1996 FirstBank of Greeley, Greeley, Colorado Kansas City August 20, 1996 City National Bank, Whitehouse, Texas First Interstate Bank of Montana, N.A., Kalispell, Montana First Interstate Bank of Wyoming, N.A. Casper, Wyoming The First National Bank of St. Mary's, St. Mary's, West Virginia Allegiance Banc Corporation, Bethesda, Maryland Richmond St. Louis July 29, 1996 UB&T Financial Corporation, Dallas, Texas Dallas August 2, 1996 Granite Holding Corporation, Granite Falls, Minnesota Investors Savings Bank, Millburn, New Jersey Minneapolis July 30, 1996 New York August 16, 1996 First Interstate Bank of Montana, N.A., Kalispell, Montana First Interstate Bank of Wyoming, N.A., Casper, Wyoming Minneapolis August 14, 1996 DFC Acquisition Corporation Two, Kansas City, Missouri East Texas Bancorp, Inc., Longview, Texas East Texas Delaware Financial Corporation, Dover, Delaware FirstBank Holding Company of Colorado Employee Stock Ownership Plan, Lakewood, Colorado FirstBank Holding Company of Colorado, Lakewood, Colorado First Commercial Corporation, Little Rock, Arkansas First Interstate BancSystem of Montana, Inc., Billings, Montana First National Bancorp, Inc., St. Mary's, West Virginia F & M National Corporation, Winchester, Virginia FNB Bancshares, Inc., Gaffney, South Carolina Freeman Bancstock Investments, Dallas, Texas Inwood Bancshares, Inc., Dallas, Texas Independent Bancshares, Inc., Clarkfield, Minnesota Investors Bancorp, MHC, Millburn, New Jersey Investors Bancorp, Inc., Millburn, New Jersey JS Investments, Limited Partnership, Billings, Montana Nbar5, Limited Partnership, Ranchester, Wyoming August 14, 1996 Richmond August 14, 1996 August 15, 1996 August 16, 1996 Legal Developments Section 3—Continued Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date Kingsbury BDC Financial Services, Inc., Ponca, Nebraska Bank of Dixon County, Ponca, Nebraska American State Bank, Newcastle, Nebraska First United, Inc., Central City, Kentucky Northland Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri First National Bank of Platte County, Kansas City, Missouri Peoples State Bank, Topeka, Kansas Kansas City July 30, 1996 St. Louis August 21, 1996 St. Louis August 15, 1996 St. Louis August 5, 1996 Minneapolis July 31, 1996 Atlanta August 8, 1996 St. Louis August 2, 1996 Minneapolis August 20, 1996 Atlanta August 22, 1996 Dallas August 2, 1996 Kansas City August 20, 1996 Kansas City July 26, 1996 Minneapolis August 7, 1996 Northland Security Bank, Ramsey, Minnesota Second Bancshares, Inc., Miami, Oklahoma The Austin State Bank, Austin, Indiana Sierra Thrift, Fresno, California Minneapolis July 31, 1996 Kansas City July 31, 1996 St. Louis August 12, 1996 San Francisco August 8, 1996 Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company Reserve Bank Effective Date Arrow Financial Corporation, Glens Falls, New York Arrow Vermont Corporation, Rutland, Vermont Centura Banks, Inc., Rocky Mount, North Carolina VNB Trust Company, Rutland, Vermont New York July 31, 1996 First Greensboro Home Equity, Inc. Greensboro, North Carolina Richmond August 12, 1996 Lawton Partners Holding Company, Central City, Kentucky Mark Twain Bancshares, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri Mark Twain Acquisition Corp. II, St. Louis, Missouri Mercantile Bancorporation Inc., St. Louis, Missouri Ameribanc, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri Mesaba Bancshares, Inc., Biwabik, Minnesota Mid State Banks, Inc., Cordele, Georgia National City Bancshares, Inc., Evansville, Indiana Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota ONB Financial Services, Inc., Ocala, Florida Ouachita Bancshares Corp., West Monroe, Louisiana Premier Bancorp, Inc., Denver, Colorado R. Banking Limited Partnership, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma The Ringsmuth Family Limited Partnership, Wakefield, Michigan River Bancorp, Inc., Ramsey, Minnesota SSB Holdings, Inc., Miami, Oklahoma S.Y. Bancorp, Inc., Louisville, Kentucky WKS, Inc., Fresno, California River Bancorp, Inc., Ramsey, Minnesota The First State Bank of Ocilla, Ocilla, Georgia First National Bank of Wayne City, Wayne City, Illinois Texas Bancorporation, Inc., Odessa, Texas Ocala National Bank, Ocala, Florida Ouachita Independent Bank, Monroe, Louisiana Premier Bank, Lenexa, Kansas Commerce Bancorporation, Inc., McLoud, Oklahoma Wakefield Bancorporation, Inc., Wakefield, Michigan Section 4 977 978 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Section 4—Continued Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company Reserve Bank Elfective Date Century Bancshares, Inc., Gainesville, Missouri Commerzbank Aktiengesellschaft, Frankfurt am Main, Germany Deutsche Bank AG, Frankfurt (Main), Federal Republic of Germany, To engage de novo in discount brokerage securities activities Commerz Futures Corporation, Chicago, Illinois Deutsche Financial Capital Limited Liability Company, Greensboro, North Carolina Oakwood Homes Corporation, Greensboro, North Carolina Greater Community Financial, L.L.C., Totowa, New Jersey Smoky Mountain Financial Services, Inc., Jefferson City, Tennessee To engage in making and servicing loans Smoky Mountain Financial Services, Inc., Jefferson City, Tennessee Central Computers, Inc., Victoria, Texas Norwest Technical Services, Inc., Minneapolis, Minnesota To engage de novo in the issuance and sale at retail of money orders Sunburst Financial Services, Inc., Jackson, Mississippi, dba Rapid Finance, Inc., Jackson, Mississippi St. Louis July 30, 1996 New York August 12, 1996 New York August 16, 1996 New York August 2, 1996 Atlanta July 31, 1996 Chicago August 8, 1996 Atlanta August 16, 1996 Minneapolis July 26, 1996 Minneapolis August 22, 1996 Minneapolis July 26, 1996 Cleveland August 2, 1996 St. Louis July 26, 1996 San Francisco August 14, 1996 San Francisco August 6, 1996 Greater Community Bancorp, Totowa, New Jersey NBN Corp., Newport, Tennessee NEB Corporation, Fond du Lac, Wisconsin NBN Corp., Newport, Tennessee Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Financial, Inc., Des Moines, Iowa Norwest Financial Services, Inc., Des Moines, Iowa Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Financial Services, Inc., Des Moines, Iowa Norwest Financial, Inc., Des Moines, Iowa Security Banc Corporation, Springfield, Ohio Sharon Bancshares, Inc., Sharon, Tennessee The Tokai Bank, Limited, Nagoya, Japan Wells Fargo & Company, San Francisco, California Third Financial Corporation, Piqua, Ohio To engage de novo in full-service brokerage activities Tokai Financial Services, Inc., Berwyn, Pennsylvania To engage de novo on a nationwide basis, through all of its subsidiary banks, in the issuance and sale of money instruments as follows: (1) domestic money orders up to a maximum face value of $10,000; (2) international money orders in denominations not to exceed $10,000; and (3) official checks with no maximum limitation on the face amount, but subject to certain limitations Legal Developments 979 Section 4—Continued Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company Reserve Bank Effective Date Wells Fargo & Company, San Francisco, California To expand to nationwide, the geographic scope of the previously approved activity of installing, owning, operating, and maintaining automatic teller machines To engage de novo in the activity of installing, owning, and operating automatic teller machines San Francisco August 5, 1996 San Francisco August 9, 1996 Zions Bancorporation, Salt Lake City, Utah Sections 3 and 4 Applicant(s) Nonbanking Activity/Company Reserve Bank Effective Date North Shore Community Bancorp, Inc., Wilmette, Illinois Lake Forest Bancorp, Inc., Lake Forest, Illinois Hinsdale Bancorp, Inc., Hinsdale, Illinois Libertyville, Bancorp, Inc., Lake Forest, Illinois Crabtree Capital Corporation, Schaumburg, Illinois Community Charter Corporation, St. Louis, Missouri Missouri State Bank and Trust Company, St. Louis, Missouri Roosevelt Bank, Chesterfield, Missouri Roosevelt Mortgage Company, Chesterfield, Missouri Chicago August 14, 1996 St. Louis August 19, 1996 Roosevelt Financial Group, Inc., Chesterfield, Missouri APPLICATIONS APPROVED UNDER BANK MERGER ACT By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date BancFirst, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Boulder Valley Bank & Trust, Boulder, Colorado The Bank of Commerce, McLoud, Oklahoma Mountain Parks Bank-East, Evergreen, Colorado Mountain Parks Bank-West, Breckenridge, Colorado The Bank of Louisville, Louisville, Colorado Granville United Bank, Oxford, North Carolina Kansas City July 26, 1996 Kansas City July 26, 1996 Richmond August 2, 1996 Triangle Bank, Raleigh, North Carolina 980 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Bank Merger Act—Continued Applicant(s) Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective Date Yellowstone Bank, Laurel, Montana Yellowstone Bank, Absarokee, Montana Yellowstone Bank, Billings, Montana Yellowstone Bank, Columbus, Montana Minneapolis August 20, 1996 PENDING CASES INVOLVING THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS This list of pending cases does not include suits against the Federal Reserve Banks in which the Board of Governors is not named a party. Long v. Board of Governors, No. 96-9526 (10th Cir., filed July 31, 1996). Petition for review of Board order dated July 2, 1996, assessing a civil money penalty and cease and desist order for violations of the Bank Holding Company Act. Esformes v. Board of Governors, No. 96-1916 (S.D. Fla., filed July 12, 1996). Complaint challenging Board denial of administrative request for confidential supervisory information. On July 12, 1996, plaintiffs moved for an expedited hearing on the complaint. The motion was denied on August 1, 1996. Board of Governors v. Interamericas Investments, Ltd., No. 96-7108 (D.C. Cir., filed June 14, 1996). Appeal of district court ruling granting, in part, the Board's application to enforce an adminstrative investigatory subpoena for documents and testimony. Appellants filed a motion for a stay of the district court ruling on July 17, 1996; the Board's opposition was filed on July 23, 1996. Interamericas Investments, Ltd. v. Board of Governors, No. 96-60326 (5th Cir., filed May 8, 1996). Petition for review of order imposing civil money penalties and cease and desist order in enforcement case. Petitioners' brief was filed on July 26, 1996. On August 20, petitioners' motion for a stay of the Board's orders pending judicial review was denied by the Court of Appeals. Kuntz v. Board of Governors, No. 96-1137 (D.C. Cir., filed April 25, 1996). Petition for review of a Board order dated March 25, 1996, approving an application by CoreStates Financial Corp., Philadelphia, Pennsylvania to acquire Meridian Bancorp, Inc., Reading, Pennsylvania. The Board's motion to dismiss was filed on June 3, 1996. Kuntz v. Board of Governors, No. 96-1079 (D.C. Cir., filed March 7, 1996). Petition for review of a Board order dated February 7, 1996, approving applications by The Fifth Third Bank, Cincinnati, Ohio, and The Firth Third Bank of Columbus, Columbus, Ohio, to acquire certain assets and assume certain liabilities of 25 branches of NBD Bank, Columbus, Ohio. Petitioner has moved to consolidate the case with Kuntz v. Board of Governors, No. 95-1495. On April 8, 1996, the Board filed a motion to dismiss the action. Henderson v. Board of Governors, No. 96-1054 (D.C. Cir., filed February 16, 1996). Petition for review of a Board order dated January 17, 1996, approving the merger of First Citizens BancShares, Inc., Raleigh, North Carolina, with Allied Bank Capital, Inc., Sanford, North Carolina. Petitioners' motion for a stay was denied on March 7, 1996. Research Triangle Institute v. Board of Governors, No. 1:96CV00102 (M.D.N.C., filed February 12, 1996). Contract dispute. On May 3, 1996, the Board filed a motion to dismiss the action. Inner City Press/Community on the Move v. Board of Governors, No. 96-4008 (2nd Cir., filed January 19, 1996). Petition for review of a Board order dated January 5, 1996, approving the applications and notices by Chemical Banking Corporation to merge with The Chase Manhattan Corporation, both of New York, New York, and by Chemical Bank to merge with The Chase Manhattan Bank, N.A., both of New York, New York. Petitioners' motion for an emergency stay of the transaction was denied following oral argument on March 26, 1996. The Board's brief on the merits was filed July 8, 1996. The case has been consolidated for oral argument and decision with Lee v. Board of Governors, No. 95^1134 (2d Cir.). Menick v. Greenspan, No. 95-CV-01916 (D. D.C., filed October 10, 1995). Complaint alleging sex, age, and handicap discrimination in employment. Kuntz v. Board of Governors, No. 95-1495 (D.C. Cir., filed September 21, 1995). Petition for review of Board order dated August 23, 1995, approving the applications of The Fifth Third Bank, Cincinnati, Ohio, to acquire certain assets and assume certain liabilities of 12 branches of PNC Bank, Ohio, N.A., Cincinnati, Ohio, and to establish certain branches. The Board's motion to dismiss was filed on October 26, 1995. Lee v. Board of Governors, No. 95-4134 (2nd Cir., filed August 22, 1995). Petition for review of Board orders dated July 24, 1995, approving certain steps of a corporate reorganization of U.S. Trust Corporation, New York, New York, and the acquisition of U.S. Trust by Chase Manhattan Legal Developments Corporation, New York, New York. On September 12, 1995, the court denied petitioners' motion for an emergency stay of the Board's orders. The Board's brief was filed on April 16, 1996. Beckman v. Greenspan, No. 95-35473 (9th Cir., filed May 4, 1995). Appeal of dismissal of action against Board and others seeking damages for alleged violations of constitutional and common law rights. The appellants' brief was filed on June 23, 1995; the Board's brief was filed on July 12, 1995. Money Station, Inc. v. Board of Governors, No. 95-1182 (D.C. Cir., filed March 30, 1995). Petition for review of a Board order dated March 1, 1995, approving notices by Bank One Corporation, Columbus, Ohio; CoreStates Financial Corp., Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; PNC Bank Corp., Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and KeyCorp, Cleveland, Ohio, to acquire certain data processing assets of National City Corporation, Cleveland, Ohio, through a joint venture subsidiary. On April 23, 1996, the court vacated the Board's order. On July 31, 1996, the full court granted the Board's suggestion for rehearing en banc, and vacated the April 23 panel decision. In re Subpoena Duces Tecum, Misc. No. 95-06 (D.D.C., filed January 6, 1995). Action to enforce subpoena seeking predecisional supervisory documents sought in connection with an action by Bank of New England Corporation's trustee in bankruptcy against the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. The Board filed its opposition on January 20, 1995. Oral argument on the motion was held July 14, 1995. Board of Governors v. Pharaon, No. 91-CIV-6250 (S.D. New York, filed September 17, 1991). Action to freeze assets of individual pending administrative adjudication of civil money penalty assessment by the Board. On September 17, 1991, the court issued an order temporarily restraining the transfer or disposition of the individual's assets. FINAL ENFORCEMENT OF GOVERNORS 981 ORDERS ISSUED BY THE BOARD Joseph G. Donner, Jr. Lenexa, Kansas The Federal Reserve Board announced on August 14, 1996, the issuance of an Order of Prohibition against Joseph G. Donner, Jr., an appraiser for the Premier Bank, Lenexa, Kansas, a state member bank, and other banks. Albert L. Margolin Lenexa, Kansas The Federal Reserve Board announced on August 14, 1996, the issuance of an Order of Prohibition against Albert L. Margolin, an appraiser for the Premier Bank, Lenexa, Kansas, a state member bank, and other banks. WRITTEN AGREEMENTS APPROVED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS The Bank of Corning Company Corning, Ohio The Federal Reserve Board announced on August 13, 1996, the execution of a Written Agreement by and among The Bank of Corning Company, Corning, Ohio, the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, and the Superintendent of Financial Institutions of the State of Ohio. A1 Financial and Business Statistics A3 GUIDE TO TABULAR DOMESTIC FINANCIAL STATISTICS Money Stock and Bank Credit A4 A5 A6 A6 Reserves, money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures Reserves of depository institutions, Reserve Bank credit Reserves and borrowings—Depository institutions Selected borrowings in immediately available funds—Large member banks Policy Instruments A7 A8 A9 Federal Finance PRESENTATION Federal Reserve Bank interest rates Reserve requirements of depository institutions Federal Reserve open market transactions Federal Reserve Banks A10 Condition and Federal Reserve note statements A l l Maturity distribution of loan and security holdings Monetary and Credit Aggregates A12 Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base A13 Money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A15 Deposit interest rates and amounts outstanding— commercial and BIF-insured banks A16 Bank debits and deposit turnover A25 A26 A27 A27 Federal fiscal and financing operations U.S. budget receipts and outlays Federal debt subject to statutory limitation Gross public debt of U.S. Treasury— Types and ownership A28 U.S. government securities dealers—Transactions A29 U.S. government securities dealers— Positions and financing A30 Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies—Debt outstanding Securities Markets and Corporate Finance A31 New security issues—Tax-exempt state and local governments and corporations A32 Open-end investment companies—Net sales and assets A32 Corporate profits and their distribution A3 3 Domestic finance companies—Assets and liabilities, and consumer, real estate, and business credit Real Estate A34 Mortgage markets A35 Mortgage debt outstanding Consumer Installment Credit A3 6 Total outstanding A36 Terms Flow of Funds Commercial Banking Institutions A17 Assets and liabilities, Wednesday figures Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks— Assets and liabilities A19 Large reporting banks A21 Branches and agencies of foreign banks A37 A39 A40 A41 Funds raised in U.S. credit markets Summary of financial transactions Summary of credit market debt outstanding Summary of financial assets and liabilities DOMESTIC NONFINANCIAL STATISTICS Selected Measures Financial Markets A22 Commercial paper and bankers dollar acceptances outstanding A22 Prime rate charged by banks on short-term business loans A23 Interest rates—money and capital markets A24 Stock market—Selected statistics A42 Nonfinancial business activity— Selected measures A42 Labor force, employment, and unemployment A43 Output, capacity, and capacity utilization A44 Industrial production—Indexes and gross value A46 Housing and construction A47 Consumer and producer prices 2 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 DOMESTIC NONFINANCIAL STATISTICSCONTINUED Selected Measures—Continued A48 Gross domestic product and income A49 Personal income and saving INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Summary Statistics A50 A51 A51 A51 U.S. international transactions—Summary U.S. foreign trade U.S. reserve assets Foreign official assets held at Federal Reserve Banks A52 Selected U.S. liabilities to foreign official institutions Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States A58 Liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners A59 Claims on unaffiliated foreigners Securities Holdings and Transactions A60 Foreign transactions in securities A61 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes—Foreign transactions Interest and Exchange Rates A61 Discount rates of foreign central banks A61 Foreign short-term interest rates A62 Foreign exchange rates A63 GUIDE TO STATISTICAL RELEASES AND SPECIAL TABLES Reported by Banks in the United States A52 A53 A55 A56 Liabilities to and claims on foreigners Liabilities to foreigners Banks' own claims on foreigners Banks' own and domestic customers' claims on foreigners A56 Banks' own claims on unaffiliated foreigners A57 Claims on foreign countries— Combined domestic offices and foreign branches SPECIAL TABLE A64 Pro forma balance sheets and income statements for priced service operations, June 30, 1996 A66 INDEX TO STATISTICAL TABLES A3 Guide to Tabular Presentation SYMBOLS AND ABBREVIATIONS c e n.a. n.e.c. P r * 0 ATS BIF CD CMO FFB FHA FHLBB FHLMC FmHA FNMA FSLIC G-7 Corrected Estimated Not available Not elsewhere classified Preliminary Revised (Notation appears on column heading when about half of the figures in that column are changed.) Amounts insignificant in terms of the last decimal place shown in the table (for example, less than 500,000 when the smallest unit given is millions) Calculated to be zero Cell not applicable Automatic transfer service Bank insurance fund Certificate of deposit Collateralized mortgage obligation Federal Financing Bank Federal Housing Administration Federal Home Loan Bank Board Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation Farmers Home Administration Federal National Mortgage Association Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation Group of Seven G-10 GNMA GDP HUD IMF IO IPCs IRA MMDA MSA NOW OCD OPEC OTS PO REIT REMIC RP RTC SAIF SCO SDR SIC VA Group of Ten Government National Mortgage Association Gross domestic product Department of Housing and Urban Development International Monetary Fund Interest only Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Individual retirement account Money market deposit account Metropolitan statistical area Negotiable order of withdrawal Other checkable deposit Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Office of Thrift Supervision Principal only Real estate investment trust Real estate mortgage investment conduit Repurchase agreement Resolution Trust Corporation Savings Association Insurance Fund Securitized credit obligation Special drawing right Standard Industrial Classification Department of Veterans Affairs GENERAL INFORMATION In many of the tables, components do not sum to totals because of rounding. Minus signs are used to indicate (1) a decrease, (2) a negative figure, or (3) an outflow. "U.S. government securities" may include guaranteed issues of U.S. government agencies (the flow of funds figures also include not fully guaranteed issues) as well as direct obligations of the Treasury. "State and local government" also includes municipalities, special districts, and other political subdivisions. A4 1.10 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 RESERVES, MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Percent annual rate of change, seasonally adjusted' 1995 1996 1996 Monetary or credit aggregate Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Mar. Apr. May June July -11.7 -11.6 -13.2 -.6 -20.8 -15.4 -21.6 1.0 -2.5 -9.1' -8.3' 5.7 -20.2 -18.8 -20.0 7.6 -8.8 2.3 3.8 n.a. n.a. 1 2 3 4 Reserves of depository institutions2 Total Required Nonborrowed Monetary base3 -1.5 -2.5 -2.4 1.7 -6.9 -7.7 -6.4 2.7 -7.9 -8.5 -6.5 1.5 -6.4 -5.7 -7.6 2.1 19.2 13.2 19.6 8.9 5 6 7 8 9 Concepts of money, liquid assets, and debt4 Ml M2 M3 L Debt -1.5 6.9 8.0 9.1 4.9 -5.1 4.1 4.5 5.9 4.7 -2.7 5.9 7.2 5.1 4.7 -,7r 4.1 5.4r 5.9 4.8 10.0 11.7 11.1 12.6 6.1r -3.2r 1.9r 1.8r 5.7r 4.5r -6.8r - 1.7r 3.0r 3.7 -.5' 5.5' 4.7 6.5 3.8 10.9 12.1 8.3 6.3 9.7 12.6 6.r 10.6 12.4 9.0 4.1r 1.5 .6 21.2r 8.1' 1.5' 7.0 9.5 Nontransaction components 10 In M2 5 11 In M3 only6 -.r Time and savings deposits Commercial banks Savings, including MMDAs Small time7 Large time 8,9 Thrift institutions 15 Savings, including MMDAs 16 Small time7 17 Large time8 9.0 11.0 13.0 13.1 4.8 19.4 22.6 2.5 8.9 12.7 —2.6r 17.8r 25.2 -4.5 27.4 8.6r -3.5 8.1r 4.1r -2.1' 20.2' 12.3 1.3' 18.5' 10.9 5.6 25.1 -7.3 4.1 13.7 -2.8 5.0 8.0 -.3 -2.5 6.2 8.1 -3.4 -2.8 5.7 -8.4 -9.5 13.91 -1.7 1.6 5.2' -2.7 -9.5 2.9 -3.4' 6.4 .0 -3.1 12.7 Money market mutual funds 18 Retail 19 Institution-only 36.9 27.6 16.5 10.3 14.7 27.9 11.5 8.7 32.6 21.6 2.7 -13.0 21.2 29.1 14.0 16.8 Repurchase agreements and Eurodollars 20 Repurchase agreements10 21 Eurodollars10 -5.0 9.4 -14.6 —6.6r 1.3 16.9r 5.0r 10.8r -13.5 -29.8 -7.8 33.1' 80.0 17.4' -70.7' 11.0 -18.3 -19.4 4.6 5.0 2.3 5.5 2.7 5.4 5.2 4.7 3.6 4.8r 1.8 4.4 2.5 4.3 12 13 14 -3.2 -10.3 4 Debt components 22 Federal 23 Nonfederal 1. Unless otherwise noted, rates of change are calculated from average amounts outstanding during preceding month or quarter. 2. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities, or "breaks," associated with regulatory changes in reserve requirements. (See also table 1.20.) 3. The seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted monetary base consists of (1) seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves (line 1), plus (2) the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock, plus (3) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. 4. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: Ml: (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions, (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers, (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those owed to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions, less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float, and (4) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. Seasonally adjusted Ml is computed by summing currency, travelers checks, demand deposits, and OCDs, each seasonally adjusted separately. M2: Ml plus (1) savings (including MMDAs), (2) small-denomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and (3) balances in retail money market mutual funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of less than $50,000). Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Seasonally adjusted M2 is calculated by summing savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and retail money fund balances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M1. M3: M2 plus (1) large-denomination time deposits (in amounts of $100,000 or more), (2) balances in institutional money funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of $50,000 or more), (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by all depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada. Excludes 11.2 4.3r n.a. n.a. amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Seasonally adjusted M3 is calculated by summing large time deposits, institutional money fund balances, RP liabilities, and Eurodollars, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M2. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, net of money market fund holdings of these assets. Seasonally adjusted L is computed by summing U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and then adding this result to M3. Debt: The debt aggregate is the outstanding credit market debt of the domestic nonfinancial sectors—the federal sector (U.S. government, not including government-sponsored enterprises or federally related mortgage pools) and the nonfederal sectors (state and local governments, households and nonprofit organizations, nonfinancial corporate and nonfarm noncorporate businesses, and farms). Nonfederal debt consists of mortgages, tax-exempt and corporate bonds, consumer credit, bank loans, commercial paper, and other loans. The data, which are derived from the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts, are breakadjusted (that is, discontinuities in the data have been smoothed into the series) and month-averaged (that is, the data have been derived by averaging adjacent month-end levels). 5. Sum of (1) savings deposits (including MMDAs), (2) small time deposits, and (3) retail money fund balances, each seasonally adjusted separately. 6. Sum of (1) large time deposits, (2) institutional money fund balances, (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) of U.S. addressees, each seasonally adjusted separately. 7. Small time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All IRA and Keogh account balances at commercial banks and thrift institutions are subtracted from small time deposits. 8. Large time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 9. Large time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market funds, depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions. 10. Includes both overnight and term. Money Stock and Bank Credit A5 1.11 RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND RESERVE BANK CREDIT 1 Millions of dollars Factor Average of daily figures Average of daily figures for week ending on date indicated 1996 1996 May June July June 19 June 26 July 3 July 10 July 17 July 24 July 31 416,807 420,911R 423,810 422,869 420,638R 425,037 425,448 425,198 419,274 424,561 380,178 1,983 382,000 4,456 383,166 5,677 382,857 5,418 382,495 3,086 383,362 7,282 383,437 7,611 383,393 6,422 382,763 1,794 383,049 6,078 2,442 503 0 2,401 524 0 2,359 449 0 2,388 256 0 2,388 747 0 2,388 62 0 2,383 96 0 2,351 1,010 0 2,351 414 0 2,336 407 0 24 106 0 517 31,054 185 190 0 380 R 30,775R 92 285 0 468 31,314 586 193 0 312 30,861 22 227 0 718 R 30,956R 269 254 0 127 31,293 30 263 0 670 30,958 5 283 0 385 31,349 16 299 0 450 31,188 261 308 0 266 31,856 11,051 10,168 24,415R 11,051 10,168 24,482R 11,050 10,168 24,543 11,051 10,168 24,483R 11,050 10,168 24,497R 11,050 10,168 24,511 11,050 10,168 24,525 11,050 10,168 24,539 11,050 10,168 24,553 11,050 10,168 24,567 420,050R 276 423,445R 281 428,381 269 423,217R 285 423,303R 279 426,183 280 430,109 278 428,958 268 427,422 267 427,164 258 6,162 177 6,161 330 13,224 16,832 R 5,304 180 6,228 318 13,391 15,501 7,184 171 6,184 332 13,252 15,649 R 6,417 188 6,172 333 13,351 17,842 5,277 207 6,270 314 13,228 15,507 5,464 176 6,002 342 13,252 16,494 5,260 173 6,380 313 13,242 11,988 5,384 164 6,281 295 13,885 16,914 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 7 8 9 10 11 Reserve Bank credit outstanding U.S. government securities2 Bought outright—System account Held under repurchase agreements Federal agency obligations Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements Acceptances Loans to depository institutions Adjustment credit Seasonal credit Extended credit Float Other Federal Reserve assets 12 13 14 Gold stock Special drawing rights certificate account Treasury currency outstanding 15 16 Currency in circulation Treasury cash holdings Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks Treasury Foreign Service-related balances and adjustments Other Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks3 .. . 1 2 3 4 5 6 ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 17 18 19 20 21 22 5,714 196 6,188 362 12,885 16,771 6,022 173 6,117 336 13,304 19,117 Wednesday figures End-of-month figures June 19 June 26 July 3 July 10 July 17 July 24 July 31 436,326 433,333 421,392R 426,627 426,066 432,275 419,946 436,326 383,914 7,086 382,378 15,458 382,761 12,711 382,522 4,226 382,702 9,012 383,785 8,798 383,364 12,700 382,967 2,080 382,378 15,458 2,388 0 0 2,336 282 0 2,388 195 0 2,388 0 0 2,388 433 0 2,351 40 0 2,351 1,690 0 2,351 700 0 2,336 282 0 May June July 420,959 425,292R 381,346 5,704 2,428 1,350 0 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 7 8 9 10 11 Reserve Bank credit outstanding U.S. government securities2 Bought outright—System account Held under repurchase agreements Federal agency obligations Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements Acceptances Loans to depository institutions Adjustment credit Seasonal credit Extended credit Float Other Federal Reserve assets 12 13 14 Gold stock Special drawing rights certificate account Treasury currency outstanding 15 16 Currency in circulation Treasury cash holdings Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks Treasury Foreign Service-related balances and adjustments Other Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks3 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 148 0 -342 30,318 388 248 0 -190R 31,458R 1,423 295 0 504 33,649 3,644 207 0 92 31,334 17 241 0 907 R 31,091R 10 255 0 664 31,162 4 272 0 -450 31,265 9 295 0 18 31,848 17 310 0 197 31,324 1,423 295 0 504 33,649 11,051 10,168 24,455R 11,050 10,168 r 24,5 ll 11,050 10,168 24,567 11,051 10,168 24,483R 11,050 10,168 24,497R 11,050 10,168 24,511 11,050 10,168 24,525 11,050 10,168 24,539 11,050 10,168 24,553 11,050 10,168 24,567 422,41 l r 265 424,780R 280 428,715 261 423,830R 279 424,830R 280 429,537 282 430,701 268 428,935 269 427,693 257 428,715 261 7,701 183 6,172 326 13,374 18,205 R 6,836 166 6,281 278 14,817 24,756 7,290 163 6,184 326 13,024 15,012 R 3,703 171 6,172 315 13,049 19,127 5,668 190 6,270 347 13,094 15,271 5,323 167 6,002 363 13,067 23,907 5,211 167 6,380 291 13,194 12,524 6,836 166 6,281 278 14,817 24,756 ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 17 18 19 20 21 22 3,757 160 6,237 300 13,148 20,357 1. Amounts of cash held as reserves are shown in table 1.12, line 2. 2. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 6,142 167 6,117 326 13,141 29,033 3. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. A6 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 1.12 RESERVES AND BORROWINGS Depository Institutions1 Millions of dollars Prorated monthly averages of biweekly averages Reserve classification 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks2 Total vault cash 3 Applied vault cash4 Surplus vault cash 5 Total reserves6 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks7 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks8 Seasonal borrowings Extended credit9 1993 1994 1995 Dec. Dec. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 29,374 36,818 33,484 3,334 62,858 61,795 1,063 82 31 0 24,658 40,378 36,682 3,696 61,340 60,172 1,168 209 100 0 20,440 42,088 37,460 4,628 57,900 56,622 1,278 257 40 0 17,763 44,676 39,170 5,506 56,934 55,449 1,485 38 7 0 16,792 42,115 36,957 5,158 53,749 52,898 851 35 7 0 18,426 40,892 36,458 4,435 54,884 53,747 1,137 21 10 0 19,181 40,889 36,688 4,201 55,869 54,750 1,120 91 34 0 16,753 41,146 36,382 4,764 53,135 52,275 860 127 105 0 16,590r 41,979 37,095 4,883 53,685r 52,535r 1,150r 386 192 0 15,395 42,773 37,451 5,322 52,846 51,778 1,068 368 284 0 1996 Biweekly averages of daily figures for two week periods ending on dates indicated 1996 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks2 Total vault cash 3 Applied vault cash 4 Surplus vault cash5 Total reserves6 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks7 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks8 Seasonal borrowings Extended credit9 Mar. 27 Apr. 10 Apr. 24 May 8 May 22 June 5 June 19 July 3 July 17 July 31 18,492 40,362 36,011 4,352 54,502 53,346 1,156 20 12 0 18,954 40,903 36,767 4,136 55,721 54,567 1,154 47 16 0 20,331 40,398 36,417 3,981 56,748 55,629 1,119 122 30 0 16,876 42,013 37,190 4,823 54,065 53,002 1,063 92 71 0 16,946 40,823 36,091 4,732 53,037 52,201 836 129 103 0 16,341 40,879 36,117 4,762 52,458 51,743 715 156 138 0 16,565 42,824 37,747 5,078 54,311 53,234 1,078 469 173 0 16,735r 41,403 36,712 4,692 53,447r 52,007r l,439 r 386 241 0 16,049 42,347 37,320 5,027 53,369 52,543 826 290 273 0 14,453 43,492 37,741 5,751 52,194 50,965 1,229 442 304 0 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's H.3 (502) weekly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. Data are not break-adjusted or seasonally adjusted. 2. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float and includes other off-balance-sheet "as-of' adjustments. 3. Total "lagged" vault cash held by depository institutions subject to reserve requirements. Dates refer to the maintenance periods during which the vault cash may be used to satisfy reserve requirements. The maintenance period for weekly reporters ends sixteen days after the lagged computation period during which the vault cash is held. Before Nov. 25, 1992, the maintenance period ended thirty days after the lagged computation period. 4. All vault cash held during the lagged computation period by "bound" institutions (that is, those whose required reserves exceed their vault cash) plus the amount of vault cash applied during the maintenance period by "nonbound" institutions (that is, those whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) to satisfy current reserve requirements. 1.13 5. Total vault cash (line 2) less applied vault cash (line 3). 6. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks (line 1) plus applied vault cash (line 3). 7. Total reserves (line 5) less required reserves (line 6). 8. Also includes adjustment credit. 9. Consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market effect of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. SELECTED BORROWINGS IN IMMEDIATELY AVAILABLE FUNDS Large Banks1 Millions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1996, week ending Monday Source and maturity 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Federal funds purchased, repurchase agreements, and other selected borrowings From commercial banks in the United States For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities From other depository institutions, foreign banks and official institutions, and U.S. government agencies For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities Repurchase agreements on U.S. government and federal agency securities Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities All other customers For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities June 3 June 10 June 17 June 24 July 1 July 8 July 15 July 22 July 29 85,577 18,749r 82,179 17,752' 80,092 18,129r 73,504r 18,182r 77,701 17,457 81,116 16,080 75,971 16,780 75,271 15,435 72,877 14,984 21,158 22,330r 19,602 21,178r 17,394 21,307r 24,776 22,056r 18,186 21,159 22,846 20,122 22,183 21,500 22,679 20,195 18,460 20,210 21,158r 41,306r 18,891r 41,082r 17,804r 40,444r 17,786r 39,570r 15,609 37,087 17,296 38,104 14,058 39,958 11,804 39,674 12,467 41,571 39,439 13,652 38,153 13,611 37,560 14,195 35,588 14,362 34,254 13,905 36,086 13,089 37,174 12,734 37,226 13,145 37,015 13,065 68,874 21,sir 68,559 25,847 70,490 27,762 66,112 24,775 72,735 22,878 70,774 25,514 64,529 25,023 64,835 22,049 66,286 21,470 MEMO Federal funds loans and resale agreements in immediately available funds in maturities of one day or under continuing contract 9 To commercial banks in the United States 10 To all other specified customers2 1. Banks with assets of $4 billion or more as of Dec. 31, 1988. Data in this table also appear in the Board's H.5 (507) weekly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities, other depository institutions, foreign banks and official institutions, and U.S. government agencies, Policy Instruments 1.14 A7 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK INTEREST RATES Percent per year Current and previous levels Seasonal credit2 Adjustment credit1 Federal Reserve Bank Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco On 8/30/96 Extended credit3 Effective date Previous rate On 8/30/96 Effective date Previous rate On 8/30/96 Effective date Previous rate 2/1/96 1/31/96 1/31/96 1/31/96 2/1/96 1/31/96 5.25 5.30 8/29/96 5.35 5.80 8/29/96 5.85 5.25 5.30 8/29/96 5.35 5.80 8/29/96 5.85 5.00 2/1/96 2/5/96 1/31/96 2/1/96 1/31/96 1/31/96 5.00 Range of rates for adjustment credit in recent years4 Effective date In effect Dec. 31, 1977 Range (or level)—All F.R. Banks 6 9 20 May 11 12 July 3 10 Aug. 21 Sept. 22 Oct. 16 20 Nov. 1 3 6-6.5 6.5 6.5-7 7 7-7.25 7.25 7.75 8 8-8.5 8.5 8.5-9.5 9.5 1979—July 20 Aug. 17 20 Sept. 19 21 Oct. 8 10 10 10-10.5 10.5 10.5-11 11 11-12 12 1980—Feb. 15 19 May 29 30 June 13 16 July 28 29 Sept 26 Nov. 17 Dec. 5 8 1981—May 5 8 12-13 13 12-13 12 11-12 11 10-11 10 11 12 12-13 13 13-14 14 1978—Jan. F.R. Bank of N.Y. 6 6.5 6.5 7 7 7.25 7.25 7.75 8 8.5 8.5 9.5 9.5 10 10.5 10.5 11 11 12 12 13 13 13 12 11 11 10 10 11 12 13 13 14 14 Effectiv 1981—Nov. 2 Dec. 4 13-14 13 12 F.R. Bank of N.Y. 13 13 Range (or level)—All F.R. Banks 1988—Aug. 9 11 1984—Apr. 9 13 Nov. 21 26 Dec. 24 11.5-12 11.5 11-11.5 11 11.5 11.5 27 11 11 10.5 10-10.5 10 9.5-10 9.5 9-9.5 9 8.5-9 8.5-9 8.5 10.5 10 10 9.5 9.5 9 9 9 8.5 8.5 8.5-9 9 8.5-9 8.5 9 9 8.5 8.5 1990—Dec. 19 1991—Feb. Apr. May Sept. Nov. Dec. 1992—July 1 4 30 2 13 17 6 7 20 24 2 7 6.5 6.5 6.5-7 7 7 7 7.5-8 7.5 7.5 7.5 1986—Mar. 7 10 Apr. 21 23. July 11 Aug. 21 22 7-7.5 7 6.5-7 6.5 6 5.5-6 5.5 7 7 6.5 6.5 6 5.5 5.5 1987—Sept. 4 11 5.5-6 6 6.5 6 6 5.5 5.5 5 5 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 3-3.5 3 3 3 3.5 3.5 4 4 4.75 4.75 1 9 4.75-5.25 5.25 5.25 5.25 1996—Jan. 31 Feb. 5 5.00-5.25 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 18 1985—May 20 24 6.5 6-6.5 6 5.5-6 5.5 5-5.5 5 4.5-5 4.5 3.5^1.5 3.5 3-3.5 3.5 3.5-4 4 4-4.75 4.75 1994—May 17 Aug. 16 18 Nov. 15 17 1995—Feb. In effect Aug. 30, 1996 6 6-6.5 6.5 12 1989—Feb. 24 1982—July 20 23 Aug. 2 3 16 27 30 Oct. 12 13 Nov. 22 26 Dec. 14 15 17 1. Available on a short-term basis to help depository institutions meet temporary needs for funds that cannot be met through reasonable alternative sources. The highest rate established for loans to depository institutions may be charged on adjustment credit loans of unusual size that result from a major operating problem at the borrower's facility. 2. Available to help relatively small depository institutions meet regular seasonal needs for funds that arise from a clear pattern of intrayearly movements in their deposits and loans and that cannot be met through special industry lenders. The discount rate on seasonal credit takes into account rates charged by market sources of funds and ordinarily is reestablished on the first business day of each two-week reserve maintenance period; however, it is never less than the discount rate applicable to adjustment credit. 3. May be made available to depository institutions when similar assistance is not reasonably available from other sources, including special industry lenders. Such credit may be provided when exceptional circumstances (including sustained deposit drains, impaired access to money market funds, or sudden deterioration in loan repayment performance) or practices involve only a particular institution, or to meet the needs of institutions experiencing difficulties adjusting to changing market conditions over a longer period (particularly at times of deposit disintermediation). The discount rate applicable to adjustment credit ordinarily is charged on extended-credit loans outstanding less than thirty days; however, at the discretion Range (or level)—All F.R. Banks 6 of the Federal Reserve Bank, this time period may be shortened. Beyond this initial period, a flexible rate somewhat above rates charged on market sources of funds is charged. The rate ordinarily is reestablished on the first business day of each two-week reserve maintenance period, but it is never less than the discount rate applicable to adjustment credit plus 50 basis points. 4. For earlier data, see the following publications of the Board of Governors: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941, and 1941-1970; and the Annual Statistical Digest, 19701979. In 1980 and 1981, the Federal Reserve applied a surcharge to short-term adjustment-credit borrowings by institutions with deposits of $500 million or more that had borrowed in successive weeks or in more than four weeks in a calendar quarter. A 3 percent surcharge was in effect from Mar. 17, 1980, through May 7, 1980. A surcharge of 2 percent was reimposed on Nov. 17, 1980; the surcharge was subsequently raised to 3 percent on Dec. 5, 1980, and to 4 percent on May 5, 1981. The surcharge was reduced to 3 percent effective Sept. 22, 1981, and to 2 percent effective Oct. 12, 1981. As of Oct. 1, 1981, the formula for applying the surcharge was changed from a calendar quarter to a moving thirteen-week period. The surcharge was eliminated on Nov. 17, 1981. A8 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 1.15 RESERVE REQUIREMENTS OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS 1 Type of deposit Net transaction accounts 1 $0 million—$52.0 million3 . 2 More than $52.0 million4 . 12/19/95 12/19/95 3 Nonpersonal time deposits' 12/27/90 4 Eurocurrency liabilities6. . . 12/27/90 1. Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with Federal Reserve Banks or vault cash. Nonmember institutions may maintain reserve balances with a Federal Reserve Bank indirectly, on a pass-through basis, with certain approved institutions. For previous reserve requirements, see earlier editions of the Annual Report or the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Under the Monetary Control Act of 1980, depository institutions include commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, agencies and branches of foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations. 2. Transaction accounts include all deposits against which the account holder is permitted to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instruments, payment orders of withdrawal, or telephone or preauthorized transfers for the purpose of making payments to third persons or others. However, accounts subject to the rules that permit no more than six preauthorized, automatic, or other transfers per month (of which no more than three may be by check, draft, debit card, or similar order payable directly to third parties) are savings deposits, not transaction accounts. 3. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 requires that the amount of transaction accounts against which the 3 percent reserve requirement applies be modified annually by 80 percent of the percentage change in transaction accounts held by all depository institutions, determined as of June 30 of each year. Effective Dec. 19, 1995, the amount was decreased from $54.0 million to $52.0 million. Under the Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, the Board adjusts the amount of reservable liabilities subject to a zero percent reserve requirement each year for the succeeding calendar year by 80 percent of the percentage increase in the total reservable liabilities of all depository institutions, measured on an annual basis as of June 30. No corresponding adjustment is made in the event of a decrease. The exemption applies only to accounts that would be subject to a 3 percent reserve requirement. Effective Dec. 19, 1995, the exemption was raised from $4.2 million to $4.3 million. 4. The reserve requirement was reduced from 12 percent to 10 percent on Apr. 2, 1992, for institutions that report weekly, and on Apr. 16, 1992, for institutions that report quarterly. 5. For institutions that report weekly, the reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of less than 1 '/> years was reduced from 3 percent to 1 [ /i percent for the maintenance period that began Dec. 13, 1990, and to zero for the maintenance period that began Dec. 27, 1990. For institutions that report quarterly, the reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of less than 11/2 years was reduced from 3 percent to zero on Jan. 17, 1991. The reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of 1 xfi years or more has been zero since Oct. 6, 1983. 6. The reserve requirement on Eurocurrency liabilities was reduced from 3 percent to zero in the same manner and on the same dates as the reserve requirement on nonpersonal time deposits with an original maturity of less than 1 !/> years (see note 5). Policy Instruments A9 1.17 FEDERAL RESERVE OPEN MARKET TRANSACTIONS 1 Millions of dollars 1996 1995 Type of transaction and maturity 1993 1994 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June U.S. TREASURY SECURITIES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Outright transactions (excluding matched transactions) Treasury bills Gross purchases Gross sales Exchanges Redemptions Others within one year Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges Redemptions One to five years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges Five to ten years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges More than ten years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shifts Exchanges All maturities Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions Matched transactions 25 Gross purchases 26 Gross sales Repurchase agreements 27 Gross purchases 28 Gross sales 29 Net change in U.S. Treasury securities 17,717 0 332,229 0 17,484 0 376,277 0 10,932 0 398,487 900 0 0 31,535 0 0 0 31,476 0 0 0 39,332 0 0 0 30,556 0 88 0 32,218 0 0 0 40,467 0 3,311 0 31,726 0 1,223 0 31,368 -36,582 0 1,238 0 0 -21,444 0 390 0 0 0 0 390 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,048 -3,287 1,228 0 0 2,746 -7,575 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 0 3,511 -4,824 787 0 0 5,107 -5,448 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,350 0 -27,140 0 9,168 0 -6,004 17,801 4,966 0 0 0 2,317 0 0 0 0 0 -2,048 3,287 0 0 -1,908 5,175 0 0 0 0 1,899 0 -3,511 4,824 0 0 -4,049 3,748 0 0 0 0 4,168 0 0 0 3,818 0 -3,145 2,903 1,239 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -818 1,500 0 0 0 0 479 0 0 0 0 0 -1,058 1,700 0 0 0 0 3,457 0 0 0 3,606 0 -918 775 3,122 0 0 0 1,884 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -20 900 0 0 0 0 1,065 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36,915 0 767 35,314 0 2,337 20,649 0 2,376 4,591 0 0 0 0 1,228 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,566 0 787 0 0 0 3,311 0 0 1,475,941 1,475,085 1,700,836 1,701,309 2,197,736 2,202,030 227,858 228,071 260,425 259,186 274,290 275,979 251,623 251,086 253,482 251,510 259,135 259,595 248,534 249,277 475,447 470,723 309,276 311,898 331,694 328,497 34,325 28,546 16,040 28,802 6,230 6,230 31,602 27,706 48,869 50,345 30,688 27,404r 43,048 41,666 41,729 29,882 17,175 10,157 -12,751 -1,689 4,433 3,274 2,824r 3,950 0 0 774 0 0 1,002 0 0 1,303 0 0 58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 108 0 0 82 0 0 16 0 0 40 35,063 34,669 52,696 52,696 36,851 36,776 2.888 1,788 9,793 10,893 765 765 5,640 4,640 2,372 3,372 5,122' 4,372 r 5,138 6,488 -380 -1,002 -1,228 1,042 -1,100 0 892 -1,082 l,334 r -1,390 11,199 -13,851 -1,689 5,325 2,192 4,158r 2,560 FEDERAL AGENCY OBLIGATIONS Outright transactions 30 Gross purchases 31 Gross sales 32 Redemptions Repurchase agreements 33 Gross purchases 34 Gross sales 35 Net change in federal agency obligations 36 Total net change in System Open Market Account... 41,348 28,880 15,948 1. Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures increase such holdings. A10 1.18 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Condition and Federal Reserve Note Statements' Millions of dollars Account July 3 July 10 Wednesday End of month 1996 1996 July 17 July 24 July 31 May 31 June 30 July 31 Consolidated condition statement ASSETS 11,050 10,168 523 11,050 10,168 495 11,050 10,168 494 11,050 10,168 508 11,050 10,168 11,051 10,168 11,050 10,168 11,050 10,168 521 552 552 521 265 276 327 0 0 1,718 0 0 636 0 0 1,718 0 0 304 0 0 155 0 0 2,388 2,351 2,351 2,351 2,336 2,428 40 1,690 700 282 1,350 2,388 0 2,336 433 391,714 392,583 396,064 385,047 397,836 387,050 391,000 397,836 10 Bought outright2 11 Bills 12 Notes 13 Bonds 14 Held under repurchase agreements 382,702 186,158 150,102 46,443 9,012 383,785 187,241 150,102 46,443 8,798 383,364 186,819 150,102 46,443 12,700 382,967 186,422 150,102 46,443 2,080 382,378 185,833 150,102 46,443 15,458 381,346 184,801 150,102 46,443 5,704 383,914 187,370 150,102 46,443 7,086 382,378 185,833 150,102 46,443 15,458 15 Total loans and securities 394,801 395,251 400,410 388,425 402,173 390,983 394,025 402,173 7,106 1,182 5,938 1,184 6,567 1,190 5,830 1,191 6,143 1,190 4,007 1,171 4,152 1,182 6,143 1,190 19,556 10,436 19,564 10,682 19,573 11,203 19,581 10,598 20,183 12,349 19,561 9,538 19,554 10,726 20,183 12,349 454,822 454,333 460,654 447,351 463,777 447,032 451,409 463,777 1 Gold certificate account 2 Special drawing rights certificate account 3 Coin Loans 4 To depository institutions 5 Other 6 Acceptances held under repurchase agreements Federal agency obligations 7 Bought outright 8 Held under repurchase agreements 9 Total U.S. Treasury securities 16 Items in process of collection 17 Bank premises Other assets 18 Denominated in foreign currencies3 19 All other4 20 Total assets 0 0 0 0 282 LIABILITIES 405,830 406,938 405,159 403,905 404,930 398,773 401,101 404,930 22 Total deposits 29,442 28,855 36,501 24,886 38,332 30,901 32,804 38,332 23 24 25 26 25,253 3,703 171 315 22,649 5,668 190 347 30,649 5,323 167 363 19,217 5,211 167 291 31,052 6,836 166 278 26,685 3,757 160 300 24,594 7,701 183 326 31,052 6,836 166 278 6,501 4,416 5,446 4,364 5,927 4,323 5,366 4,182 5,697 5,156 4,210 4,542 4,130 4,464 5,697 5,156 446,189 445,603 451,911 438,339 454,116 438,426 442,499 454,116 4,139 3,966 528 4,139 3,966 624 4,159 3,966 618 4,421 3,966 625 4,437 3,966 1,257 4,154 3,960 492 4,138 3,966 806 4,437 3,966 1,257 454,822 454,333 460,654 447,351 463,777 447,032 451,409 463,777 547,336 550,556 549,228 553,814 559,611 556,832 551,797 559,611 21 Federal Reserve notes Depository institutions U.S. Treasury—General account Foreign—Official accounts Other 27 Deferred credit items 28 Other liabilities and accrued dividends5 29 Total liabilities CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 30 Capital paid in 31 Surplus 32 Other capital accounts 33 Total liabilities and capital accounts MEMO 34 Marketable U.S. Treasury securities held in custody for foreign and international accounts Federal Reserve note statement 35 Federal Reserve notes outstanding (issued to Banks) 36 LESS: Held by Federal Reserve Banks 37 Federal Reserve notes, net 38 39 40 41 Collateral held against notes, net Gold certificate account Special drawing rights certificate account Other eligible assets U.S. Treasury and agency securities 42 Total collateral 518,722 112,892 405,830 518,712 111,773 406,938 519,731 114,573 405,159 520,444 116,539 403,905 521,387 116,457 404,930 514,098 115,325 398,773 519,234 118,133 401,101 521,387 116,457 404,930 11,050 10,168 0 384,611 11,050 10,168 0 385,720 11,050 10,168 0 383,941 11,050 10,168 0 382,687 11,050 10,168 0 383,713 11,051 10,168 0 377,554 11,050 10,168 0 379,883 11,050 10,168 0 383,713 405,830 406,938 405,159 403,905 404,930 398,773 401,101 404,930 1. Some of the data in this table also appear in the Board's H.4.1 (503) weekly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. Treasury securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 3. Valued monthly at market exchange rates. 4. Includes special investment account at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in Treasury bills maturing within ninety days. 5. Includes exchange-translation account reflecting the monthly revaluation at market exchange rates of foreign exchange commitments. Federal Reserve Banks 1.19 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS All Maturity Distribution of Loan and Security Holding Millions of dollars Wednesday Type of holding and maturity July 3 July 10 July 17 July 24 52 224 282 23 301 26 1 Total loans 2 Within fifteen days1 July 31 May 31 1,718 61 204 1,555 1,163 75 80 231 383,914 18 3 Sixteen days to ninety days 391,714 392,583 396,064 385,047 397,836 381,346 17,925 93,246 116,132 92,749 32,941 38,721 23,270 88,725 116,177 92,749 32,941 38,721 27,773 87,508 116,650 91,751 33,662 38,721 17,531 91,086 112,295 91,751 33,662 38,721 28,057 86,783 118,032 92,581 33,662 38,721 2,926 98,950 116,114 91,694 32,941 38,721 4,410 99,558 116,591 91,694 32,941 38,721 2,821 2,391 4,041 3,051 2,618 2,428 2,388 470 730 645 485 467 25 55 715 655 475 467 25 659 555 475 467 25 871 709 505 475 467 25 438 722 492 475 467 25 372 473 575 512 472 25 307 495 4 Total U.S. Treasury securities... 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Within fifteen days' Sixteen days to ninety days Ninety-one days to one year One year to five years Five years to ten years More than ten years Total federal agency obligations 12 13 14 15 16 17 Within fifteen days' Sixteen days to ninety days Ninety-one days to one year One year to five years Five years to ten years More than ten years 1. Holdings under repurchase agreements are classified as maturing within fifteen days in accordance with maximum maturity of the agreements. 610 485 467 25 NOTE. Total acceptances data have been deleted from this table because data are no longer available. A12 1.20 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 AGGREGATE RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND MONETARY BASE 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1995 Item 1992 Dec. 1993 Dec. 1994 Dec. Dec. Total reserves3 Nonborrowed reserves4 Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit5 Required reserves Monetary base6 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 55.73 55.71 55.71 54.59 436.87 55.18 55.09 55.09 54.06 436.64 54.23 54.10 54.10 53.37 437.01r 54.1 l r 53.73 53.73 52.96 439.08r 53.20 52.83 52.83 52.13 441.85 Seasonally adjusted ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS 2 1 2 3 4 5 1996 1995 Dec. 54.37 54.24 54.24 53.21 351.24 60.52 60.44 60.44 59.46 386.88 59.36 59.16 59.16 58.20 418.72 56.36 56.11 56.11 55.09 435.01 56.36 56.11 56.11 55.09 435.01 55.61 55.57 55.57 54.12 435.18 54.85 54.81 54.81 54.00 433.67 Not seasonally adjusted 6 7 8 9 10 Total reserves7 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit5 Required reserves8 Monetary base9 56.06 55.93 55.93 54.90 354.55 62.37 62.29 62.29 61.31 390.59 61.13 60.92 60.92 59.96 422.51 58.02 57.76 57.76 56.74 439.03 58.02 57.76 57.76 56.74 439.03 56.95 56.91 56.91 55.47 436.01 53.80 53.77 53.77 52.95 430.29 54.97 54.95 54.95 53.84 434.86 56.00 55.90 55.90 54.88 437.12 53.29 53.16 53.16 52.43 436.13 53.87 53.48r 53.48r 52.72 439.88r 53.06 52.69 52.69 51.99 443.19 56.54 56.42 56.42 55.39 360.90 1.16 .12 62.86 62.78 62.78 61.80 397.62 1.06 .08 61.34 61.13 61.13 60.17 427.25 1.17 .21 57.90 57.64 57.64 56.62 444.45 1.28 .26 57.90 57.64 57.64 56.62 444.45 1.28 .26 56.93 56.90 56.90 55.45 441.96 1.49 .04 53.75 53.72 53.72 52.90 436.26 .85 .04 54.88 54.86 54.86 53.75 440.77 1.14 .02 55.87 55.78 55.78 54.75 442.96 1.12 .09 53.14 53.01 53.01 52.28 442.17r .86 .13 53.69 53.30 53.30 52.54r 445.94r 1.15r .39 52.85 52.48 52.48 51.78 449.26 1.07 .37 NOT ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS 1 0 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Total reserves" Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit5 Required reserves Monetary base12 Excess reserves13 Borrowings from the Federal Reserve 1. Latest monthly and biweekly figures are available from the Board's H.3 (502) weekly statistical release. Historical data starting in 1959 and estimates of the effect on required reserves of changes in reserve requirements are available from the Money and Reserves Projections Section, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. 2. Figures reflect adjustments for discontinuities, or "breaks," associated with regulatory changes in reserve requirements. (See also table 1.10.) 3. Seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves equal seasonally adjusted, breakadjusted required reserves (line 4) plus excess reserves (line 16). 4. Seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted nonborrowed reserves equal seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves (line 1) less total borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve (line 17). 5. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market effect of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 6. The seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted monetary base consists of (1) seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted total reserves (line 1), plus (2) the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock, plus (3) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all those weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the seasonally adjusted, break-adjusted difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. 7. Break-adjusted total reserves equal break-adjusted required reserves (line 9) plus excess reserves (line 16). 8. To adjust required reserves for discontinuities that are due to regulatory changes in reserve requirements, a multiplicative procedure is used to estimate what required reserves would have been in past periods had current reserve requirements been in effect. Breakadjusted required reserves include required reserves against transactions deposits and nonpersonal time and savings deposits (but not reservable nondeposit liabilities). 9. The break-adjusted monetary base equals (1) break-adjusted total reserves (line 6), plus (2) the (unadjusted) currency component of the money stock, plus (3) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all those weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the break-adjusted difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. 10. Reflects actual reserve requirements, including those on nondeposit liabilities, with no adjustments to eliminate the effects of discontinuities associated with regulatory changes in reserve requirements. 11. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements. 12. The monetary base, not break-adjusted and not seasonally adjusted, consists of (1) total reserves (line 11), plus (2) required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float at Federal Reserve Banks, plus (3) the currency component of the money stock, plus (4) (for all quarterly reporters on the "Report of Transaction Accounts, Other Deposits and Vault Cash" and for all those weekly reporters whose vault cash exceeds their required reserves) the difference between current vault cash and the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. Since the introduction of contemporaneous reserve requirements in February 1984, currency and vault cash figures have been measured over the computation periods ending on Mondays. 13. Unadjusted total reserves (line 11) less unadjusted required reserves (line 14). Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.21 A13 MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1996r Item 1992 Dec. 1993 Dec. 1994 Dec. 1995 Dec. Apr. May June July Seasonally adjusted 1 2 3 4 5 Measures2 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 6 7 8 9 Ml components Currency3 Travelers checks4 Demand deposits5 Other checkable deposits6 Nontransaction components 10 In M27 11 In M3 only8 1,024.4 3,438.7 4,187.3 5,075.8 11,880.5 292.9 8.1 339.1 384.2 1,128.6 3,494.1 4,249.6 5,164.5 12,517.4 322.4 . 7.9 384.3 414.0 1,148.7 3,509.4 4,319.7 5,303.7 13,159.3 1,124.9 3,662.6 4,576.0 5,685.5 13,894.8 1,123.6 3,735.9 4,693.4 5,813.0 14,132.9 1,117.2 3,730.7 4,705.1 5,812.7 14,177.0 1,116.7 3,747.8 4,723.5 5,844.2 14,222.4 1,108.5 3,755.0 4,738.3 n.a. n.a. 354.9 8.5 382.4 402.9 373.2 8.9 389.8 353.0 376.0 8.9 406.3 332.4 377.1 8.7 409.6 321.8 379.4 8.6 413.6 315.0 382.6 8.5 410.5 306.9 2,414.3 748.6 2,365.4 755.6 2,360.7 810.3 2,537.7 913.4 2,612.3 957.5 2,613.5 974.4 2,631.2 975.6 2,646.5 983.3 Commercial banks 12 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 13 Small time deposits9 14 Large time deposits10' " 754.1 509.3 286.6 785.0 470.4 272.3 751.9 505.4 298.7 775.0 578.5 342.4 826.9 576.4 356.6 829.7 575.4 362.6 838.2 576.0 368.2 845.8 578.7 375.9 Thrift institutions 15 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 16 Small time deposits9 17 Large time deposits10 433.0 361.9 67.1 433.8 317.6 61.5 397.0 318.2 64.8 359.5 359.6 75.0 366.3 354.0 75.6 367.9 353.2 75.0 368.8 352.2 75.4 368.8 351.3 76.2 Money market mutual funds 18 Retail 19 Institution-only 356.0 199.8 358.7 197.9 388.1 183.7 465.1 227.2 488.7 245.6 487.4 243.5 496.0 249.4 501.8 252.9 Repurchase agreements and Eurodollars 20 Repurchase agreements12 21 Eurodollars12 128.1 66.9 157.5 66.3 180.8 82.3 177.6 91.2 182.9 96.8 195.1 98.2 183.6 99.1 180.8 97.5 3,068.6 8,812.0 3,328.3 9,189.1 3,497.6 9,661.7 3,644.6 10,250.2 3,707.0 10,425.9 3,712.6 10,464.4 3,720.2 10,502.1 n.a. n.a. Debt components 22 Federal debt 23 Nonfederal debt Not seasonally adjusted 24 25 26 27 28 Measures2 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 29 30 31 32 Ml components Currency3 Travelers checks4 Demand deposits5 Other checkable deposits6 1,046.0 3,455.1 4,205.3 5,103.1 11,881.5 1,153.7 3,514.1 4,271.3 5,194.2 12,509.6 1,174.2 3,529.8 4,341.5 5,333.2 13,150.2 1,150.7 3,682.3 4,597.1 5,715.0 13,878.0 1,129.9 3,748.8 4,698.2 5,818.6 14,060.2 1,104.0 3,716.1 4,690.0 5,793.5 14,070.7 1,112.8 3,746.2 4,720.7 5,835.3 14,138.7 1,108.5 3,761.9 4,740.4 n.a. n.a. 295.0 7.8 354.4 388.9 324.8 7.6 401.8 419.4 357.5 8.1 400.1 408.4 376.1 8.5 407.9 358.1 375.8 8.6 406.0 339.4 377.5 8.6 399.5 318.3 380.5 8.9 409.8 313.6 383.8 9.1 411.1 304.5 2,409.1 750.2 2,360.4 757.1 2,355.6 811.7 2,531.5 914.8 2,618.9 949.4 2,612.1 973.8 2,633.4 974.5 2,653.4 978.5 Commercial banks 35 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 36 Small time deposits9 37 Large time deposits10, 11 752.9 507.8 286.2 784.3 468.2 272.1 751.6 502.5 298.5 775.0 574.5 342.3 825.9 578.4 353.8 827.7 577.5 364.9 839.9 578.1 369.0 848.3 581.2 374.2 Thrift institutions 38 Savings deposits, including MMDAs 39 Small time deposits9 40 Large time deposits10 432.4 360.9 67.0 433.4 316.1 61.5 396.9 316.4 64.8 359.5 357.1 75.0 365.9 355.2 75.0 367.0 354.4 75.5 369.5 353.4 75.5 369.9 352.7 75.8 Money market mutual funds 41 Retail 42 Institution-only 355.1 201.1 358.3 199.4 388.2 185.5 465.4 229.4 493.5 242.8 485.5 241.1 492.5 244.5 501.4 250.2 Repurchase agreements and Eurodollars 43 Repurchase agreements' 2 44 Eurodollars12 127.2 68.7 156.6 67.6 179.6 83.4 176.1 92.0r 182.3 95.5 195.4 96.9 187.2 98.3 181.4 96.9 3,069.8 8,811.7 3,329.5 9,180.1 3,499.0 9,651.2 3,645.9 10,232.1 3,699.5 10,360.7 3,692.0 10,378.7 3,698.0 10,440.6 Nontransaction components 33 In M27 34 In M3 only8 Debt components 45 Federal debt 46 Nonfederal debt Footnotes appear on following page. n.a. n.a. A14 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 NOTES TO TABLE 1.21 1. Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board's H.6 (508) weekly statistical release. Historical data starting in 1959 are available from the Money and Reserves Projections Section, Division of Monetary Atfairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. 2. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: Ml: (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions, (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers, (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those owed to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions, less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float, and (4) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. Seasonally adjusted Ml is computed by summing currency, travelers checks, demand deposits, and OCDs, each seasonally adjusted separately. M2: Ml plus (1) savings deposits (including MMDAs), (2) small-denomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and (3) balances in retail money market mutual funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of less than $50,000). Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Seasonally adjusted M2 is calculated by summing savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and retail money fund balances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted Ml. M3: M2 plus (1) large-denomination time deposits (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by all depository institutions, (2) balances in institutional money funds (money funds with minimum initial investments of $50,000 or more), (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by all depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Seasonally adjusted M3 is calculated by summing large time deposits, institutional money fund balances, RP liabilities, and Eurodollars, each seasonally adjusted separately, and adding this result to seasonally adjusted M2. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, net of money market fund holdings of these assets. Seasonally adjusted L is computed by summing U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper, and bankers acceptances, each seasonally adjusted separately, and then adding this result to M3. Debt: The debt aggregate is the outstanding credit market debt of the domestic nonfinancial sectors—the federal sector (U.S. government, not including government-sponsored enterprises or federally related mortgage pools) and the nonfederal sectors (state and local governments, households and nonprofit organizations, nonfinancial corporate and nonfarm noncorporate businesses, and farms). Nonfederal debt consists of mortgages, tax-exempt and corporate bonds, consumer credit, bank loans, commercial paper, and other loans. The data, which are derived from the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts, are breakadjusted (that is, discontinuities in the data have been smoothed into the series) and month-averaged (that is, the data have been derived by averaging adjacent month-end levels). 3. Currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and vaults of depository institutions. 4. Outstanding amount of U.S. dollar-denominated travelers checks of nonbank issuers. Travelers checks issued by depository institutions are included in demand deposits. 5. Demand deposits at commercial banks and foreign-related institutions other than those owed to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions, less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float. 6. Consists of NOW and ATS account balances at all depository institutions, credit union share draft account balances, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. 7. Sum of (1) savings deposits (including MMDAs), (2) small time deposits, and (3) retail money fund balances. 8. Sum of (1) large time deposits, (2) institutional money fund balances, (3) RP liabilities (overnight and term) issued by depository institutions, and (4) Eurodollars (overnight and term) of U.S. addressees. 9. Small time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All IRAs and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrift institutions are subtracted from small time deposits. 10. Large time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 11. Large time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market funds,, depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions. 12. Includes both overnight and term. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.22 DEPOSIT INTEREST RATES AND AMOUNTS OUTSTANDING Commercial and BIF-insured saving banks1 1996 1995 Item 1993 1994 Dec. Dec. Nov. A15 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Interest rates (annual effective yields)2 INSURED COMMERCIAL B A N K S 1 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 2 Savings deposits3 3 4 5 6 7 Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 year More than 1 year to 2'/> years More than 2 vl years 1.86 2.46 1.96 2.92 1.93 3.13 1.91 3.10 1.90 3.01 1.91 2.98 1.85 2.91 1.89 2.91 1.88 2.89 1.90 2.86 R 1.94 2.87 2.65 2.91 3.13 3.55 4.28 3.79 4.44 5.12 5.74 6.30 4.13 4.74 5.11 5.27 5.49 4.10 4.68 5.02 5.17 5.40 4.02 4.57 4.91 5.03 5.26 3.99 4.45 4.79 4.89 5.10 4.02 4.49 4.83 4.94 5.19 4.01 4.51 4.86 5.03 5.28 4.03R 4.51 4.88R 5.10 R 5.36 4.08R 4.55 4.95R 5.18 5.46 4.13 4.59 5.00 5.25 5.51 1.87 2.63 1.94 2.87 1.94 2.99 1.91 2.98 1.85 2.95 1.84 2.92 1.83 2.86 1.84 2.85 1.82 2.84 1.80 2.85 1.81 2.88 2.81 3.02 3.31 3.67 4.62 3.80 4.89 5.52 6.09 6.43 4.43 5.02 5.28 5.47 5.64 4.43 4.95 5.18 5.33 5.46 4.38 4.86 5.06 5.22 5.34 4.26 4.77 4.91 5.10 5.24 4.37 4.76 4.89 5.15 5.24 4.42 4.77 4.91 5.23 5.32 4.49 4.83 4.96 5.25 5.38 4.54 4.91 5.02 5.35 5.51 4.64 5.01 5.09 5.41 5.60 BIF-INSURED SAVINGS B A N K S 4 8 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 9 Savings deposits3 10 11 12 13 14 Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 year More than 1 year to 2 x/i years More than 2yi years Amounts outstanding (millions of dollars) INSURED COMMERCIAL B A N K S 15 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 16 Savings deposits3 17 Personal 18 Nonpersonal 19 20 21 22 23 Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 year More than 1 year to 2 V5 years More than 2 Yl years 24 IRA and Keogh plan deposits BIF-INSURED SAVINGS B A N K S Interest-bearing time deposits with balances of less than $100,000, by maturity 7 to 91 days 92 to 182 days 183 days to 1 year More than 1 year to 2'/i years More than 2 Vl years 34 IRA and Keogh plan accounts 304,896 737,068 580,438 156,630 257,098 753,139 588,995 164,144 248,417 776,466 615,113 161,353 245,749 768,071 612,321 155,750 242,930 784,035 623,110 160,925 218,604 827,666 661,919 165,748 228,637r 805,317r 639,92 l r 165,396r 208,890r 839,482r 669,107r 170,375r 203,034r 844,348r 672,737r 171,61 l r 207,043 841,265 667,595 173,670 29,362 109,050 145,386 139,781 180,461 32,265 96,650 163,062 164,395 192,712 31,093 95,513 184,704 208,315 199,389 32,170 93,941 183,834 208,601 199,002 33,783 95,350 184,046 212,394 199,254 35,719 97,219 184,095 210,493 198,922 35,377 97,141 186,158 208,915 198,980 34,07 r 96,052r 190,018r 208,252r 197,783r 30,356r 95,896r 193,722r 208,767r 198,332r 31,345r 95,100r 195,450r 209,587r 198,856r 31,691 94,659 197,958 209,067 197,733 144,011 144,155 149,647 150,546 150,366 149,965 150,496 150,580r 150,889r 151,349r 151,273 11,191 80,376 77,263 3,113 11,175 70,082 67,159 2,923 11,088 68,345 64,932 3,413 11,918 68,643 65,366 3,277 11,139 66,702 63,377 3,325 11,597 67,614 64,524 3,090 11,703 67,276 64,208 3,068 11,492 66,808 63,559 3,249 11,744 67,715 64,199 3,516 11,234 66,886 63,594r 3,292r 10,921 66,956 63,651 3,305 2,746 12,974 17,469 16,589 20,501 2,144 11,361 18,391 17,787 21,293 1,819 11,394 24,833 27,149 22,552 2,001 12,140 25,686 27,482 22,866 2,009 12,334 26,304 26,582 22,449 2,131 13,247 26,863 26,945 21,819 2,140 13,477 26,534 25,934 22,646 2,179 13,911 27,265 25,684 22,526 2,345 13,934 28,079 25,422 22,638 2,226 13,702 27,907 25,492 22,569r 2,372 13,613 28,556 26,186 22,556 19,791 19,013 21,231 21,321 20,827 20,845 20,615 20,553 20,543 20,709 20,647 4 25 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 26 Savings deposits3 27 Personal 28 Nonpersonal 29 30 31 32 33 305,237 767,035 598,276 168,759 1. BIF, Bank Insurance Fund. Data in this table also appear in the Board's H.6 (508) Special Supplementary Table monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. Estimates are based on data collected by the Federal Reserve System from a stratified random sample of about 425 commercial banks and 75 savings banks on the last day of each month. Data are not seasonally adjusted and include IRA and Keogh deposits and foreign currency-denominated deposits. Data exclude retail repurchase agreements and deposits held in U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. 2. As of October 31, 1994, interest rate data for NOW accounts and savings deposits reflect a series break caused by a change in the survey used to collect these data. 3. Includes personal and nonpersonal money market deposits. 4. Includes both mutual and federal savings banks. A16 1.23 Domestic Financial Statistics • October 1996 BANK DEBITS AND DEPOSIT TURNOVER 1 Debits are in billions of dollars; turnover is ratio of debits to deposits; monthly data are at annual rates 1995 1996 Dec. Demand deposits3 All insured banks Major New York City banks Other banks 4 5 Other checkable deposits4 Savings deposits (including MMDAs) 5 6 7 8 Demand deposits3 All insured banks Major New York City banks Other banks Mar. Apr.' May 447,869.0 238,538.4 209,330.6 422,696.7 224,066.5 198,630.2 463,246.0 245,440.5 217,805.5 470,743.6 252,388.3 218,355.3 Seasonally adjusted DEBITS 1 2 3 Feb. Jan. 334,784.1 171,224.3 163,559.7 369,029.1 191,168.8 177,860.3 397,649.3 201,161.4 196,487.9 397,538.3 203,977.5 193,560.8 430,421.2 229,379.2 201,042.0 3,481.5 3,497.4 3,798.6 3,766.3 4,207.4 4,507.8 4,595.5 5,703.6 4,967.8R 6,035.9R 5,024.4R 6,406.6R 4,942.7R 6,283. F 5,281.1 7,357.0 5,703.5 7,132.9 785.9 4,198.1 424.6 817.4 4,481.5 435.1 874.1 4.867.3 475.2 852.7 5,069.7 454.4 916.8 5,368.0 471.1 950.6 5,852.3 486.4 881.0 5,608.2 451.6 970.0 5,884.3 499.7 987.3 6,032.3 502.0 11.9 4.6 12.6 4.9 15.4 6.1 18.6 7.4 20.8 7.7 21.6 8.1 23.3 9.0 26.4 8.7 456,900.3 238,335.3 218,565.0 459,063.0 240,893.0 218,170.0 DEPOSIT TURNOVER 9 10 Other checkable deposits4 Savings deposits (including MMDAs)5 Not seasonally adjusted DEBITS 11 12 13 Demand deposits3 All insured banks Major New York City banks Other banks 14 15 Other checkable deposits4 Savings deposits (including MMDAs) 5 16 17 18 Demand deposits3 All insured banks Major New York City banks Other banks 19 20 Other checkable deposits4 Savings deposits (including MMDAs)5 21.7 R 7.8 334,899.2 171,283.5 163,615.7 369,121.8 191,226.0 177,895.7 397,657.8 201,182.6 196,475.3 411,802.7 210,780.0 201,022.7 429,213.3 227,293.7 201,919.6 414,819.1 222,007.5 192,811.6 442,977.6 236,954.2 206,023.4 3,481.7 3.498.3 3,795.6 3,764.4 4,202.6 4,500.8 4,784.8 6,013.9 5,393.9R 6,309.7R 4,629. lr 5,798.9R 4,990.4R 6,444.7R 5,580.8 7,690.1 5,479.6 7,061.8 786.1 4,197.9 424.8 818.2 4,490.3 435.3 874.6 4,873.1 475.4 847.5 4,900.9 453.9 895.4 5,109.7 464.3 900.9 5,427.5 459.6 947.0 6,060.5 480.6 956.6 5,774.9 500.9 980.1 5,963.5 509.8 11.9 4.6 12.6 4.9 15.3 6.1 19.0 7.8 24.1 9.4 25.6 8.6 DEPOSIT TURNOVER 1. Historical tables containing revised data for earlier periods can be obtained from the Publications Section, Division of Support Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.6 (406) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Annual averages of monthly figures. 3. Represents accounts of individuals, partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subdivisions. 22.0 R 8.1 19.9 7.3 21.8 R 1.9' 4. As of January 1994, other checkable deposits (OCDs), previously defined as automatic transfer to demand deposits (ATSs) and negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts, were expanded to include telephone and preauthorized transfer accounts. This change redefined OCDs for debits data to be consistent with OCDs for deposits data. 5. Money market deposit accounts. Commercial Banking Institutions A17 1.26 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 Billions of dollars Wednesday figures Monthly averages 1996r 1995 Account July Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. ALL COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS 1996 May June July July 10 July 17 July 24 July 31 Seasonally adjusted Assets 1 Bank credit 7 Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities 4 Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit2 . . . 6 Commercial and industrial Real estate 7 8 Revolving home equity 9 Other in Consumer ii Security3 Other l? 13 Interbank loans4 14 Cash assets5 15 Other assets6 3,533.2r 982.8r 703.9 278.8r 2,550.4 697.7 l,062.2r 78.0 984.2r 481.0 87.1 222.4 192.8 213.8 225.4r 3,633.6 991.2 702.4 288.8 2,642.3 723.6 1,086.4 79.7 1,006.7 500.2 85.0 247.1 203.2 233.3 237.9 3,647.3 998.2 715.3 282.9 2,649.1 728.0 1,090.0 80.0 1,010.0 500.3 85.7 245.1 192.3 219.6 243.0 3,641.1 983.0 704.7 278.3 2,658.1 726.9 1,095.4 80.0 1,015.4 503.8 84.9 247.1 202.6 216.4 242.0 3,659.4 982.0 704.8 277.3 2,677.4 732.8 1,097.3 80.2 1,017.1 507.4 85.9 254.0 208.9 222.5 243.6 3,663.2 988.2 713.2 275.0 2,675.0 735.1 1,099.0 79.8 1,019.2 504.9 82.6 253.5 208.7 219.4 242.8 3,668.4 980.3 706.6 273.7 2,688.1 738.1 1,102.3 79.4 1,022.9 510.0 82.1 255.7 207.0 216.7 253.3 3,671.9 975.0 706.2 268.8 2,696.9 741.9 1,103.5 79.8 1,023.7 511.9 80.3 259.1 199.6 216.9 264.8 3,670.0 978.0 706.9 271.0 2,692.1 738.8 1,101.7 79.6 1,022.0 511.5 82.7 257.4 196.2 209.8 265.4 3,678.3 979.6 705.2 274.4 2,698.7 743.2 1,103.5 79.9 1,023.6 511.9 80.5 259.7 198.3 219.7 264.3 3,676.2 975.4 707.3 268.2 2,700.8 743.4 1,104.3 79.8 1,024.5 512.8 80.4 259.8 198.8 214.6 265.3 3,664.7 967.1 705.2 261.9 2,697.6 743.0 1,105.7 80.0 1,025.8 511.7 76.8 260.3 203.1 227.0 267.0 16 Total assets7 4,108.2r 4,251.1 4,245.5 4,245.2 4211.2 4,277.1 4,288.1 4,2953 4,283.6 4302.7 4,297.0 4303.7 Liabilities 17 Deposits 18 Transaction Nontransaction IP ?0 Large time Other 71 77 Borrowings ?3 From banks in the U.S From nonbanks in the U.S ?4 ?5 Net due to related foreign offices 26 Other liabilities8 2,609.0 792.0 1,817.0 402.0 1,415.0 685.8 195.5r 490.3r 235.5r 213.7r 2,687.5 782.9 1,904.7 422.0 1,482.7 705.1 206.6 498.5 270.2 231.6 2,681.7 765.5 1,916.2 426.4 1,489.8 691.8 192.6 499.2 276.6 233.8 2,702.6 766.7 1,935.9 429.1 1,506.8 688.8 204.0 484.8 261.6 224.1 2,718.7 770.1 1,948.7 433.3 1,515.3 710.5 207.6 502.9 254.6 231.7 2,717.7 756.4 1,961.3 440.0 1,521.3 710.4 207.4 503.0 256.1 219.9 2,721.5 749.8 1,971.7 445.4 1,526.3 702.2 203.6 498.6 255.1 226.9 2,728.4 742.6 1,985.9 448.0 1,537.9 692.5 200.2 492.3 248.1 225.3 2,722.2 737.1 1,985.1 448.8 1,536.2 683.9 197.6 486.3 247.8 226.6 2,726.4 739.9 1,986.5 448.7 1,537.8 694.6 203.4 491.2 251.5 227.8 2,732.3 748.8 1,983.4 447.4 1,536.1 695.9 197.4 498.4 240.9 225.6 2,736.8 752.7 1,984.1 445.8 1,538.3 697.5 201.4 496.1 248.1 221.9 3,744.0r 3394.4 3,883.9 3,877.0 3,915.5 3,904.0 3,905.6 3,894.4 3380.4 3,900.4 3,894.7 3,9043 364.2r 356.7 361.5 368.2 361.6 373.1 382.5 400.9 403.2 402.4 402.3 399.4 27 Total liabilities 28 Residual (assets less liabilities) 9 Not seasonally adjusted Assets 79 Bank credit Securities in bank credit 31 U.S. government securities 3? Other securities 33 Loans and leases in bank credit2 . . . Commercial and industrial 34 35 Real estate 36 Revolving home equity Other 37 38 Consumer 39 Security3 40 Other 41 Interbank loans4 47 Cash assets5 43 Other assets6 3,526.ff 979.6r 701.9 277.7r 2,546.4 698.5 1,062.1 78.1 984.0 478.5 84.3 223.0 189.6 211.7 225,6r 3,624.4 978.9 697.1 281.8 2,645.5 720.6 1,086.2 79.5 1,006.6 504.8 86.9 247.0 212.2 240.8 238.6 3,638.9 993.2 710.6 282.6 2,645.7 726.1 1,086.9 79.5 1,007.4 500.8 88.7 243.2 194.2 220.4 242.3 3,635.4 987.4 709.1 278.4 2,648.0 730.9 1,089.8 79.2 1,010.6 499.5 84.8 243.0 200.5 209.2 240.5 3,660.4 987.2 710.8 276.4 2,673.2 738.7 1,093.4 79.6 1,013.8 504.7 86.7 249.7 205.9 217.0 241.0 3,660.1 992.7 714.0 278.7 2,667.4 740.5 1,095.9 79.7 1,016.3 503.2 78.4 249.5 202.3 216.7 243.8 3,665.3 981.5 706.8 274.7 2,683.8 741.1 1,100.9 79.3 1,021.6 506.3 80.0 255.6 203.3 214.6 252.8 3,664.7 971.7 704.0 267.7 2,693.0 743.0 1,103.3 79.9 1,023.4 509.2 77.8 259.6 196.8 214.6 265.5 3,662.4 973.5 703.9 269.6 2,688.9 740.9 1,102.4 79.7 1,022.7 507.6 79.3 258.7 195.0 208.8 265.7 3,670.3 973.7 702.3 271.4 2,696.6 744.7 1,103.7 80.0 1,023.7 509.0 78.4 260.8 193.5 215.7 263.3 3,661.6 972.0 705.1 266.9 2,689.6 742.5 1,103.3 79.9 1,023.4 510.5 76.4 256.8 188.9 200.0 262.4 3,661.7 967.0 704.7 262.3 2,694.7 742.5 1,104.8 80.2 1,024.6 510.5 76.2 260.7 203.3 228.6 270.8 44 Total assets7 4,0%.2r 4,2593 4,239.1 4,228.5 4,267.5 4,265.9 4,278.8 4,284.0 4,274.6 4,285.2 4,2553 4306.6 2,601.6 784.2 1,817.4 400.1 1,417.3 695.4 193.7r 501.7r 233.8r 212.9r 2,694.3 794.6 1,899.7 419.0 1,480.7 692.2 213.6 478.6 277.3 233.3 2,672.7 758.3 1,914.4 426.9 1,487.4 686.2 194.3 491.9 278.2 234.3 2,688.9 751.9 1,937.0 430.6 1,506.4 680.7 199.2 481.5 262.2 225.5 2,715.6 769.0 1,946.6 433.2 1,513.4 696.6 206.4 490.2 254.8 228.0 2,707.4 744.0 1,963.4 445.4 1,517.9 707.7 204.6 503.1 258.4 222.5 2,718.3 743.3 1,974.9 445.2 1,529.7 711.9 205.3 506.6 247.6 227.7 2,721.6 735.4 1,986.2 445.9 1,540.2 704.7 198.5 506.2 246.7 224.8 2,724.0 736.1 1,987.9 445.6 1,542.2 698.1 197.3 500.7 243.8 224.4 2,715.7 729.0 1,986.7 446.6 1,540.0 709.9 200.0 509.9 245.5 226.7 2,693.8 712.1 1,981.7 446.8 1,534.8 701.8 190.3 511.5 248.9 224.4 2,737.1 752.3 1,984.7 445.2 1,539.5 708.9 200.8 508.1 247.5 223.9 3,743.7r 3^97.1 3,871.4 3,8573 3,895.0 3,896.0 3,905.4 3,897.7 3,890.2 3,897.9 3,868.9 3,917.4 352.5r 362.2 367.7 371.2 372.5 369.9 373.3 386.3 384.4 387.3 386.4 389.2 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 5? 53 54 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From nonbanks in the U.S Net due to related foreign offices Other liabilities8 55 Total liabilities 56 Residual (assets less liabilities)9 Footnotes appear on following page. A18 1.26 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF COMMERCIAL BANKS'—Continued Billions of dollars Monthly averages Account 1995 July 1996' Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. DOMESTICALLY CHARTERED COMMERCIAL BANKS 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit2 Commercial and industrial Real estate Revolving home equity Other Consumer Security3 Other Interbank loans4 Cash assets5 Other assets6 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From nonbanks in the U.S Net due to related foreign offices . . . . Other liabilities8 83 Total liabilities 84 Residual (assets less liabilities) 1996 May June July July 10 July 17 July 24 July 31 Seasonally adjusted 72 Total assets7 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 Wednesday figures 9 3,110.0 849.4r 639.9 209.5 2,260.6 522.9 1,024.3 78.0 946.3r 481.0 51.9 180.5 171.4 187.0 171.6 3,197.3 854.2 639.2 215.1 2,343.0 540.3 1,051.1 79.7 971.5 500.2 55.5 195.8 181.4 202.2 182.7 3,196.0 852.6 641.8 210.8 2,343.4 541.0 1,055.7 79.9 975.8 500.3 52.2 194.2 171.6 190.3 186.4 3,197.9 843.0 633.5 209.4 2,354.9 541.4 1,062.1 80.0 982.2 503.8 51.2 196.5 181.8 189.1 187.0 3,211.6 841.8 633.2 208.6 2,369.8 545.8 1,064.1 80.1 983.9 507.4 52.9 199.6 187.8 196.3 188.7 3,213.4 845.2 635.3 209.9 2,368.2 548.0 1,065.9 79.7 986.2 504.9 50.7 198.8 187.4 193.2 187.4 3,210.9 835.9 627.2 208.6 2,375.0 548.1 1,069.4 79.3 990.1 510.0 46.8 200.7 184.6 191.5 201.1 3,212.2 833.2 625.5 207.8 2,379.0 549.4 1,070.2 79.8 990.4 511.9 46.1 201.3 180.4 191.6 215.1 3,211.5 835.9 625.5 210.4 2,375.6 547.8 1,068.4 79.6 988.8 511.5 48.2 199.7 176.9 184.3 215.3 3,217.8 837.0 624.8 212.1 2,380.8 550.0 1,070.2 79.9 990.4 511.9 46.7 202.0 177.9 194.3 214.6 3,215.9 834.7 627.2 207.5 2,381.2 549.9 1,071.2 79.8 991.4 512.8 45.6 201.7 179.8 189.3 215.6 3,204.2 825.0 623.8 201.2 2,379.2 549.9 1,072.1 80.0 992.2 511.7 43.3 202.1 184.9 201.8 217.7 3,582.9 3,706.7 3,687.6 3,698.9 3,7273 3,7245 3,730.8 3,741.5 3,730.2 3,746.8 3,742.7 3,750.6 2,445.1 782.5 1,662.5 248.3 1,414.3 567.2 176.4r 390.71" 82.9 137.2 2,523.6 772.1 1,751.5 272.3 1,479.2 590.8 185.2 405.7 93.0 152.7 2,516.9 754.8 1,762.1 274.4 1,487.7 574.1 173.1 401.0 90.5 153.9 2,534.6 756.8 1,777.8 273.3 1,504.5 577.0 183.5 393.5 81.3 147.1 2,549.2 759.5 1,789.7 275.6 1,514.0 591.1 184.4 406.7 84.6 154.8 2,545.1 745.4 1,799.7 279.4 1,520.3 585.4 183.9 401.5 88.2 146.4 2,549.3 739.0 1,810.4 283.1 1,527.3 582.1 183.3 398.8 79.7 155.9 2,553.9 731.9 1,822.0 285.5 1,536.6 576.1 180.6 395.5 76.1 155.8 2,545.8 726.3 1,819.5 285.2 1,534.3 568.6 178.9 389.7 76.0 156.5 2,551.9 729.4 1,822.5 286.3 1,536.3 579.8 183.8 396.1 76.4 158.1 2,558.9 738.1 1,820.8 285.8 1,535.0 576.3 175.7 400.6 74.8 155.9 2,563.0 742.0 1,821.0 283.8 1,537.2 580.3 181.9 398.5 74.4 153.5 3,2323r 3,360.2 3335.4 3,340.0 3379.7 3365.1 3367.0 3361.9 3346.8 33663 3365.9 3371.2 350.6 346.5 352.2 358.9 347.6 359.4 363.8 379.6 383.4 380.5 376.8 379.4 Not seasonally adjusted 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 Assets Bank credit Securities in bank credit U.S. government securities Other securities Loans and leases in bank credit2 Commercial and industrial Real estate Revolving home equity Other Consumer Security3 Other Interbank loans4 Cash assets5 Other assets6 100 Total assets7 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 Liabilities Deposits Transaction Nontransaction Large time Other Borrowings From banks in the U.S From nonbanks in the U.S Net due to related foreign offices . . . . Other liabilities8 111 Total liabilities 112 Residual (assets less liabilities)9 3,102.4 845.4 638.0 207.4 2,257.0 522.9 l,024.2r 78.1 946.1r 478.5 50.5 180.9 168.2 184.4 172.5 3,185.6 843.2 632.0 211.2 2,342.4 537.2 1,051.0 79.5 971.5 504.8 53.9 195.5 189.1 210.0 183.7 3,187.8 848.6 637.7 210.9 2,339.3 540.2 1,052.4 79.5 973.0 500.8 53.2 192.6 175.3 192.2 185.2 3,190.7 846.2 636.6 209.6 2,344.5 544.5 1,056.4 79.2 977.2 499.5 51.3 192.9 180.5 182.2 186.3 3,214.3 846.9 638.9 208.0 2,367.4 551.7 1,060.6 79.5 981.0 504.7 53.9 196.6 185.7 191.4 187.9 3,213.8 848.5 637.0 211.5 2,365.3 553.5 1,063.0 79.6 983.4 503.2 49.5 196.2 180.8 191.0 187.7 3,211.3 839.3 628.6 210.7 2,372.0 550.6 1,068.1 79.3 988.8 506.3 47.0 200.0 182.6 188.6 200.9 3,204.4 829.3 623.5 205.9 2,375.0 549.4 1,070.1 79.9 990.2 509.2 44.8 201.5 177.6 188.9 216.5 3,204.5 832.1 624.2 208.0 2,372.3 548.7 1,069.3 79.7 989.6 507.6 46.3 200.5 175.9 183.1 216.8 3,208.5 831.0 622.2 208.8 2,377.5 550.1 1,070.4 79.9 990.5 509.0 45-5 202.5 174.3 190.0 214.2 3,200.3 829.3 624.0 205.3 2,371.1 548.0 1,070.1 79.9 990.2 510.5 43.4 199.0 169.8 174.3 213.3 3,200.1 823.3 622.8 200.5 2,376.7 549.2 1,071.4 80.1 991.3 510.5 43.1 202.5 184.2 202.9 221.7 3,570.9 3,711.9 3,683.9 3,682.7 3,722.4 3,7163 3,726.1 3,729.8 3,722.8 3,729.5 3,700.2 3,751.1 2,439.4 774.8 1,664.7 248.3 1,416.3 571.6 173.5r 398. r 81.8 137.0 2,529.4 783.8 1,745.7 269.6 1,476.0 581.7 192.1 389.6 92.9 153.4 2,508.2 747.7 1,760.5 275.8 1,484.7 573.2 175.6 397.6 92.3 152.3 2,520.6 742.2 1,778.3 273.8 1,504.6 569.5 178.5 390.9 84.5 148.8 2,548.4 759.0 1,789.4 277.0 1,512.4 576.3 184.1 392.1 85.0 152.8 2,533.3 733.7 1,799.6 282.7 1,517.0 584.5 182.8 401.7 93.2 147.9 2,544.0 732.7 1,811.2 282.9 1,528.3 587.6 183.4 404.2 78.5 156.2 2,549.3 724.7 1,824.5 285.6 1,538.9 582.8 177.8 405.0 75.1 155.8 2,551.8 725.5 1,826.4 285.3 1,541.1 576.3 176.7 399.6 72.2 155.5 2,543.4 718.4 1,825.1 286.3 1,538.8 588.1 179.3 408.7 73.9 157.8 2,521.4 701.5 1,820.0 286.5 1,533.5 579.9 169.6 410.3 77.1 155.4 2,564.6 741.7 1,823.0 284.8 1,538.1 586.9 180.1 406.8 75.7 154.8 3,229.9 3357.4 3326.0 3323.4 3362.4 3358.9 33663 3362.9 3355.8 3363.2 3333.9 3382.1 341.0 354.4 357.9 359.3 360.0 357.4 359.8 366.9 367.0 366.3 366.3 369.0 1. Covers the following types of institutions in the fifty states and the District of Columbia: domestically chartered commercial banks that submit a weekly report of condition (large domestic); other domestically chartered commercial banks (small domestic); branches and agencies of foreign banks; New York State investment companies, and Edge Act and agreement corporations (foreign-related institutions). Excludes international banking facilities. Data are Wednesday values, or pro rata averages of Wednesday values. Large domestic banks constitute a universe; data for small domestic banks and foreign-related institutions are estimates based on weekly samples and on quarter-end condition reports. Data are adjusted for breaks caused by reclassifications of assets and liabilities. 2. Excludes federal funds sold to, reverse repurchase agreements with, and loans to commercial banks in the United States. 3. Consists of reserve repurchase agreements with broker-dealers and loans to purchase and carry securities. 4. Consists of federal funds sold to, reverse repurchase agreements with, and loans to commercial banks in the United States. 5. Includes vault cash, cash items in process of collection, demand balances due from depository institutions in the United States, balances due from Federal Reserve Banks, and other cash assets. 6. Excludes the due-from position with related foreign offices, which is included in lines 25, 53, 81, and 109. 7. Excludes unearned income, reserves for losses on loans and leases, and reserves for transfer risk. Loans are reported gross of these items. 8. Excludes the due-to position with related foreign offices, which is included in lines 25, 53, 81, and 109. 9. This balancing item is not intended as a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks 1.27 A19 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1996 Account June 26 July 3 July 10 July 17 July 24 July 31 June 5 June 12 June 19 114,726 277,713 21,150 256,563 115,964 110,322 273,645 18,954 254,691 115,590 125,851 271,603 18,345 253,258 114,558 110,485 272,833 17,982 254,851 115,923 125,567 275,315 19,693 255,623 116,364 113,212 274,472 19,343 255,129 116,197 121,647 273,839 18,671 255,168 115,085 109,121 274,836 18,847 255,990 115,354 130,333 276,139 21,740 254,399 116,003 33,750 59,428r 47,421r 124,631 l,677 r 63,475 18,444 3,909 14,535 45,030 59,479r 34,018 57,420r 47,663r 124,182 l,814 r 63,743 18,543 3,915 14,627 45,200 58,625r 33,613 57,122' 47,965r 123,464 2,380r 64,111 18,775 3,995 14,779 45,336 56,972r 33,645 59,007' 46,276' 122,014 2,262' 63,689 18,845 4,012 14,833 44,844 56,064' 33,424 59,855 45,980 121,839 2,403 63,403 18,303 3,634 14,669 45,100 56,033 32,917 60,109 45,906 121,616 2,325 62,886 18,368 3,720 14,648 44,518 56,404 33,661 59,806 46,616 122,600 2,274 62,978 18,399 3,807 14,592 44,578 57,348 34,451 59,424 46,761 119,324 2,114 62,395 18,658 3,794 14,864 43,737 54,815 31,970 59,361 47,065 114,337 2,271 62,278 18.770 3,872 14,898 43,509 49,788 112,854 81,728 26,224 4,902 1,298,990 355,720r 1,369 354,352r 351,755' 2,597 506,019 48,092 457,927 252,993r 75,897 44,109 3,174 28,614 15,356 6,833 10,384 1,095 27,321 47,373 1,935 33,291 1,263,764 169,655 115,303 82,091 28,326 4,885 1,298,139 353,482r 1,401 352,080r 2,609 507,727 48,135 459,592 254,03 l r 75,821 43,194 3,456 29,171 15,196 6,893 10,163 1,106 25,707 48,013 1,987 33,244 1,262,908 155,524 110,919 79,256 26,292 5,371 1,305,751 357,929r 1,390 356,539r 353,902' 2,637 508,668 48,594 460,074 253,286' 75,057 43,189 3,339 28,529 17,183 7,065 10,392 1,207 26,479 48,486 2,002 33,284 1,270,465 158,979 111,917 83,254 22,608 6,055 1,306,656 357,713' 1,324 356,389' 353,783' 2,605 508,198 48,854 459,343 255,230' 75,479 43,596 3,254 28,629 15,602 7,243 10,520 1,066 26,723 48,883 2,003 33,153 1,271,500 157,831 122,635 91,258 25,629 5,748 1,333,950 363,254 1,365 361,888 359,193 2,696 521,651 49,187 472,464 259,699 75,806 42,590 3,637 29,580 15,411 7,295 10,613 1,079 29,980 49,161 1,988 33,617 1,298,345 172,999 105,554 75,201 25,948 4,405 1,327,943 359,336 1,404 357,932 355,173 2,759 521,806 49,224 472,582 259,840 77,635 43,813 4,367 29,455 14,899 7,286 10,606 1,046 25,923 49,567 2,018 33,602 1,292,323 174,112 105,366 74,976 25,731 4,658 1,334,213 360,809 1,437 359,372 356,540 2,832 521,466 49,529 471,937 261,321 81,484 45,983 6,471 29,030 14,561 7,305 10,698 1,313 25,500 49,755 2,037 33,782 1,298,394 173,688 103,366 75,560 23,547 4,259 1,332,857 360,324 1,453 358,872 355,965 2,907 522,547 49,813 472,734 262,873 77,282 44,555 4,838 27,889 14,891 7,259 10,690 960 26,166 49,863 2,148 33,781 1,296,928 173,218 116,856 87,541 22,708 6,606 1,332,798 361,180 1,536 359,644 356,819 2,826 522,917 49,881 473,036 261,937 75,904 43,551 3,752 28,601 15,186 7,254 10,695 959 26,244 50,521 2,132 33,957 1,296,709 175,842 2,063,343 2,041,883 2,061,280 2,046,580 2,116,700 2,081,290 2,095,534 2,076,792 2,110,216 ASSETS 1 Cash and balances due from depository institutions 2 U.S. Treasury and government securities Trading account 3 Investment account 4 Mortgage-backed securities' 5 All others, by maturity One year or less 6 One year through five years 7 More than five years 8 9 Other securities Trading account 10 Investment account 11 12 State and local government, by maturity One year or less 13 More than one year 14 Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities 15 Other trading account assets 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 Federal funds sold2 To commercial banks in the United States To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities To others3 Other loans and leases, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees Real estate loans Revolving, home equity All other To individuals for personal expenditures To depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Nonbank depository and other financial institutions For purchasing and carrying securities To finance agricultural production To states and political subdivisions To foreign governments and official institutions All other loans Lease-financing receivables LESS: Unearned income Loan and lease reserve3 Other loans and leases, net All other assets 45 Total assets Footnotes appear on the following page. 3 4 9 , 4 7 LR A20 1.27 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS—Continued Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1996 Account June 5 June 12 June 19 June 26 July 3 July 10 July 17 July 24 July 31 46 Deposits Demand deposits 47 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 48 49 Other holders States and political subdivisions 50 51 U.S. government 52 Depository institutions in the United States 53 Banks in foreign countries 54 Foreign governments and official institutions 55 Certified and officers' checks 56 Transaction balances other than demand deposits4 Nontransaction balances 57 58 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Other holders 59 States and political subdivisions 60 61 U.S. government 62 Depository institutions in the United States Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks . . 63 1,238,748 317,013 271,951 45,061 8,238 2,147 22,222 5,172 564 6,718 73,194 848,541 818,924 29,618 23,619 4,030 1,669 300 1,230,539 311,611 267,381 44,230 7,790 2,432 20,565 5,933 588 6,922 72,100 846,828 817,297 29,531 23,587 4,014 1,631 299 1,230,209 311,034 262,712 48,323 9,318 4,319 21,596 5,464 569 7,057 73,684 845,491 816,880 28,611 22,663 4,009 1,633 305 1,221,262 305,247 260,886 44,361 9,059 2,095 19,480 5,892 555 7,279 72,220 843,795 815,778 28,017 21,938 4,050 1,724 306 1,289,538 334,354 286,262 48,091 8,647 2,466 22,769 5,861 761 7,587 70,019 885,166 857,087 28,079 22,007 4,242 1,424 406 1,264,586 314,641 272,047 42,594 7,715 1,681 20,002 5,439 539 7,218 70,413 879,532 851,281 28,251 22,179 4,004 1,531 536 1,263,211 313,598 269,945 43,653 7,816 1,619 19,370 6,871 802 7,175 70,631 878,983 850,729 28,254 22,059 4,010 1,675 509 1,253,938 304,755 262,340 42,415 7,938 1,765 19,596 5,168 523 7,424 69,991 879,192 850,882 28,310 22,131 4,005 1,663 510 1,283,224 331,139 284,903 46,237 9,328 2,321 21,449 4,566 807 7,766 70,901 881,184 852,651 28,533 22,489 4,026 1,582 436 64 Liabilities for borrowed money5 65 Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks 66 Treasury tax and loan notes Other liabilities for borrowed money6 67 68 Other liabilities (including subordinated notes and debentures) . . . 408,777 0 580 408.197 218,946 400,126 0 2,710 397,416 213,405 419,678 3,522 24,581 391,575 213,780 413,207 0 22,963 390,244 214,996 406,560 0 6,143 400,416 214,170 400,223 0 2,692 397,531 209,098 412,173 0 12,316 399,857 212,799 400,513 0 18,540 381,973 213,759 407,117 1,381 22,640 383,096 211,755 1,866,471 1,844,069 1,863,667 1,849,464 1,910,268 1,873,906 1,888,184 1,868,209 1,902,096 196,872 197,814 197,613 197,115 206,432 207,383 207,351 208,583 208,120 1,688,351 126,160 1,020 264 755 28,415 68,820 1,685,983 126,540 1,014 264 750 28,332 74,965 1,689,292 126,910 1,000 264 736 29,051 72,643 1,686,570 126,032 989 263 725 28.633 78,224 1,719,892 130,282 980 263 717 28,993 73,058 1,710,572 130,983 974 263 711 28,681 67,112 1,715,058 131,296 967 263 704 28,623 68,578 1,710,268 132,154 958 263 695 28,729 72,397 1,709,038 130,448 951 263 689 28,859 71,078 LIABILITIES 69 Total liabilities 70 Residual (total assets less total liabilities)7 MEMO 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Total loans and leases, gross, adjusted, plus securities8 Time deposits in amounts of $100,000 or more Loans sold outright to affiliates9 Commercial and industrial Other Foreign branch credit extended to U.S. residents10 Net owed to related institutions abroad 1. Includes certificates of participation, issued or guaranteed by agencies of the U.S. government, in pools of residential mortgages. 2. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 3. Includes allocated transfer risk reserve. 4. Includes negotiable order of withdrawal (NOWs) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts, and telephone and preauthorized transfers of savings deposits. 5. Includes borrowings only from other than directly related institutions. 6. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 7. This balancing item is not intended as a measure of equity capital for use in capitaladequacy analysis. 8. Excludes loans to and federal funds transactions with commercial banks in the United States. 9. Affiliates include a bank's own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank affiliates of the bank, the bank's holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. 10. Credit extended by foreign branches of domestically chartered weekly reporting banks to nonbank U.S. residents. Consists mainly of commercial and industrial loans, but includes an unknown amount of credit extended to other than nonfinancial businesses. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks 1.28 A21 LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING U.S. BRANCHES AND AGENCIES OF FOREIGN BANKS Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1996 Account June 5 June 12 June 19 June 26 July 3 July 10 July 17 July 24 July 31 ASSETS 20 21 Cash and balances due from depository institutions U.S. Treasury and government agency securities Other securities Federal funds sold1 To commercial banks in the United States To others2 Other loans and leases, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper . All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees Loans secured by real estate Loans to depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Nonbank financial institutions For purchasing and carrying securities To foreign governments and official institutions All other Other assets (claims on nonrelated parties) 22 Total assets3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 15,943 15,613 15,994 15,533 15,588 15,069 15,486 15,065 15,508 49,899 44,026' 26,267 7,320 18,947 186,699R 120,260 4,942 115,318 109,080 6,239 20,048R 50,413 43,294' 30,215 6,078 24,138 188,397' 120,539 5,066 115,473 109,233 6,241 20,054' 50,018 40,347 29,399 7,787 21,612 190,581' 121,100 4,887 116,214 109,935 6,279 20,147' 49,962 40,278 27,389 6,285 21,104 190,630' 121,958 4,969 116,989 109,927 7,061 20,291' 50,301 39,819 28,122 6,072 22,050 193,652 122,773 5,096 117,678 110,850 6,827 19,979 50,927 40,206 28,779 6,667 22,112 192,435 121,868 4,979 116,889 109,970 6,919 20,105 51,105 40,838 28,406 6,531 21,875 194,750 123,292 4,953 118,339 111,360 6,979 19,848 51,780 40,101 26,480 4,831 21,650 194,536 123,294 4,951 118,344 111,388 6,956 19,837 52,247 40,252 26,710 5,674 21,036 194,731 122,401 4,718 117,684 110,747 6,936 19,890 33,676 3,100 3,062 27,514 5,387 35,306 3,253 3,075 28,978 5,143 35,978 3,007 3,075 29,896 5,742 36,044 2,735 3,129 30,181 4,994 37,352 2,715 3,334 31,302 5,920 37,529 2,704 3,244 31,581 5,300 38,773 2,709 3,518 32,546 5,444 38,397 2,586 3,351 32,460 5,490 39,340 2,584 3,370 33,385 5,472 587 6,740R 39,783R 599 6,755' 38,897' 791 6,822' 34,643' 783 6,560' 33,636' 773 6,855 32,944 778 6,855 33,634 775 6,619 34,049 787 6,731 34,490 933 6,696 35,740 397,625R 399,306R 391,745R 388,649R 387,099 387,109 388,883 388,071 393,033 111,088 4,325 3,617 708 106,763 78,147 28,616 110,595 4,145 3,487 658 106,450 77,787 28,663 108,608 4,462 3,563 899 104,146 75,870 28,276 108,311 4,380 3,684 696 103,931 76,005 27,927 104,020 4,203 3,503 700 99,818 73,784 26,034 106,582 4,095 3,413 683 102,486 74,867 27,619 109,787 4,664 4,015 648 105,123 76,480 28,643 109,304 3,839 3,223 616 105,465 76,329 29,136 109,190 4,192 3,416 776 104,997 75,548 29,449 LIABILITIES 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Deposits or credit balances owed to other than directly related institutions Demand deposits4 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations . . . . Other Nontransaction accounts Individuals, partnerships, and corporations . . . . Other Borrowings from other than directly related institutions Federal funds purchased5 From commercial banks in the United States . . From others Other liabilities for borrowed money To commercial banks in the United States To others Other liabilities to nonrelated parties 38 Total liabilities6 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 81,729 49,330 11,993 37,337 32,399 3,812 28,587 62,494R 86,177 52,350 11,234 41,116 33,827 3,970 29,856 62,390' 84,714 50,509 11,002 39,507 34,206 4,024 30,181 55,313' 81,610 49,987 10,202 39,786 31,623 4,241 27,382 56,290' 83,982 53,652 11,635 42,018 30,329 3,953 26,377 55,731 81,803 52,091 10,089 42,001 29,712 4,129 25,583 56,051 78,595 48,083 7,897 40,186 30,512 3,712 26,800 55,708 80,900 48,649 9,042 39,607 32,251 3,612 28,639 55,563 86,068 53,673 13,688 39,985 32,395 3,641 28,754 57,353 397,62SR 399,306R 391,745R 388,649R 387,099 387,109 388,883 388,071 393,033 296,471' 107,306' 302,988' 107,667' 299,549' 112,345' 299,239' 111,216' 303,106 116,692 302,976 116,615 305,859 120,544 305,481 116,686 305,682 112,577 MEMO 39 40 Total loans (gross) and securities, adjusted7 Net owed to related institutions abroad 1. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 2. Includes transactions with nonbank brokers and dealers in securities. 3. For U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks having a net "due from" position, includes net due from related institutions abroad. 4. Includes other transaction deposits. 5. Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 6. For U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks having a net "due to" position, includes net owed to related institutions abroad. 7. Excludes loans to and federal funds transactions with commercial banks in the United States. A22 1.32 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 COMMERCIAL PAPER AND BANKERS DOLLAR ACCEPTANCES OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period Year ending December 1996 Item 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Commercial paper (seasonally adjusted unless noted otherwise) 1 All issuers 528,832 545,619 555,075 595,382 674,904 685,791 687,669 695,230r 710,690r 719,069r 731,027 Financial companies' 2 Dealer-placed paper 2 , total 3 Directly placed paper 3 , total 212,999 182,463 226,456 171,605 218,947 180,389 223,038 207,701 275,815 210,829 288,368 208,159 293,313 208,046 291,600' 208,880 302,504' 211,833 301,670' 221,463 310,524 223,236 4 Nonfinancial companies4 133,370 147,558 155,739 164,643 188,260 189,264 186,310 194,750' 196,352' 195,936' 197,267 Bankers dollar acceptances (not seasonally adjusted) 5 Total 6 7 8 9 10 By holder Accepting banks Own bills Bills bought from other banks Federal Reserve Banks6 Foreign correspondents Others By basis 11 Imports into United States 12 Exports from United States 13 All other 43,770 38,194 32,348 29,835 11,017 9,347 1,670 10,555 9,097 1,458 12,421 10,707 1,714 11,783 10,462 1,321 1,739 31,014 1,276 26,364 725 19,202 410 17,642 12,843 10,351 20,577 12,209 8,096 17,890 10,217 7,293 14,838 10,062 6,355 13,417 1. Institutions engaged primarily in commercial, savings, and mortgage banking; sales, personal, and mortgage financing; factoring, finance leasing, and other business lending; insurance underwriting; and other investment activities. 2. Includes all financial-company paper sold by dealers in the open market. 3. As reported by financial companies that place their paper directly with investors. 4. Includes public utilities and firms engaged primarily in such activities as communications, construction, manufacturing, mining, wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and services. 1.33 PRIME RATE CHARGED BY BANKS 29,242 5. Data on bankers dollar acceptances are gathered from approximately 100 institutions. The reporting group is revised every January. Beginning January 1995, data for Bankers dollar acceptances will be reported annually in September. 6. In 1977 the Federal Reserve discontinued operations in bankers dollar acceptances for its own account. Short-Term Business Loans1 Percent per year Date of change 1993—Jan. 1 6.00 1994—Mar. Apr. May Aug. Nov. 24 19 17 16 15 6.25 6.75 7.25 7.75 8.50 1995—Feb. 1 July 7 Dec. 20 9.00 8.75 8.50 1996—Feb. 8.25 1 Period Rate Average rate 1993 1994 1995 6.00 7.15 8.83 1993- -Jan Feb Mar Apr. May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 1. The prime rate is one of several base rates that banks use to price short-term business loans. The table shows the date on which a new rate came to be the predominant one quoted by a majority of the twenty-five largest banks by asset size, based on the most recent Call Period 1994—Jan Feb Mar Apr. May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Average rate 6.00 6.00 6.06 6.45 6.99 7.25 7.25 7.51 7.75 7.75 8.15 8.50 Period Average rate 1995—Jan Feb Mar. Apr. May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 8.50 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 8.80 8.75 8.75 8.75 8.75 8.65 1996—Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug 8.50 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.25 Report. Data in this table also appear in the Board's H.15 (519) weekly and G.13 (415) monthly statistical releases. For ordering address, see inside front cover. Financial Markets 1.35 INTEREST RATES A23 Money and Capital Markets Percent per year; figures are averages of business day data unless otherwise noted 1996, week ending 1996 Item 1993 1994 1995 Apr. May June July June 28 July 5 July 12 July 19 July 26 MONEY MARKET INSTRUMENTS 1 Federal funds 1 ' 2,3 2 Discount window borrowing2'4 3.02 3.00 4.21 3.60 5.83 5.21 5.22 5.00 5.24 5.00 5.27 5.00 5.40 5.00 5.21 5.00 5.53 5.00 5.26 5.00 5.23 5.00 5.25 5.00 3 4 5 Commercial paper3-5,6 1-month 3-month 6-month 3.17 3.22 3.30 4.43 4.66 4.93 5.93 5.93 5.93 5.40 5.39 5.38 5.38 5.39 5.42 5.45 5.49 5.57 5.44 5.53 5.67 5.50 5.51 5.61 5.49 5.52 5.63 5.45 5.56 5.70 5.44 5.54 5.69 5.40 5.51 5.65 6 7 8 Finance paper, directly placed*'5'1 1-month 3-month 6-month 3.12 3.16 3.15 4.33 4.53 4.56 5.81 5.78 5.68 5.31 5.28 5.20 5.29 5.29 5.23 5.35 5.37 5.35 5.33 5.43 5.44 5.38 5.40 5.38 5.35 5.39 5.36 5.36 5.45 5.48 5.31 5.44 5.45 5.29 5.42 5.43 9 10 Bankers acceptances3,5,8 3-month 6-month 3.13 3.21 4.56 4.83 5.81 5.80 5.28 5.28 5.29 5.31 5.38 5.47 5.45 5.57 5.40 5.49 5.43 5.52 5.47 5.59 5.45 5.58 5.44 5.55 11 12 13 Certificates of deposit, secondary market3,9 1-month 3-month 6-month 3.11 3.17 3.28 4.38 4.63 4.96 5.87 5.92 5.98 5.34 5.36 5.42 5.32 5.36 5.47 5.37 5.46 5.64 5.37 5.53 5.75 5.39 5.49 5.66 5.39 5.49 5.69 5.40 5.57 5.80 5.36 5.54 5.75 5.33 5.51 5.73 3.18 4.63 5.93 5.36 5.36 5.46 5.49 5.48 5.45 5.54 5.48 5.47 3.00 3.12 3.29 4.25 4.64 5.02 5.49 5.56 5.60 4.95 5.06 5.23 5.02 5.12 5.33 5.09 5.25 5.48 5.15 5.30 5.52 5.09 5.22 5.47 5.13 5.26 5.49 5.15 5.34 5.57 5.13 5.28 5.47 5.16 5.30 5.53 3.02 3.14 3.33 4.29 4.66 5.02 5.51 5.59 5.69 4.99 5.08 5.17 5.02 5.12 5.31 5.11 5.26 5.56 5.17 5.32 5.49 5.10 5.23 5.56 5.12 5.22 n.a. 5.21 5.41 n.a. 5.19 5.36 n.a. 5.14 5.30 5.49 3.43 4.05 4.44 5.14 5.54 5.87 6.29 6.59 5.32 5.94 6.27 6.69 6.91 7.09 7.49 7.37 5.94 6.15 6.25 6.38 6.50 6.57 6.95 6.88 5.54 5.96 6.11 6.30 6.48 6.51 6.98 6.79 5.64 6.10 6.27 6.48 6.66 6.74 7.11 6.93 5.81 6.30 6.49 6.69 6.83 6.91 7.22 7.06 5.85 6.27 6.45 6.64 6.76 6.87 7.14 7.03 5.79 6.25 6.44 6.63 6.76 6.86 7.16 7.02 5.82 6.25 6.43 6.60 6.73 6.85 7.12 7.00 5.90 6.34 6.53 6.72 6.86 6.95 7.23 7.11 5.80 6.22 6.40 6.59 6.71 6.81 7.11 7.00 5.85 6.25 6.44 6.62 6.73 6.85 7.12 7.02 6.45 7.41 6.93 6.94 7.08 7.20 7.13 7.14 7.10 7.21 7.09 7.10 5.38 5.83 5.60 5.77 6.17 6.18 5.80 6.10 5.95 5.62 5.94 5.94 5.75 5.97 5.98 5.67 5.98 6.02 5.83 5.96 5.92 5.90 5.96 5.97 5.90 5.96 5.94 5.80 5.92 6.00 5.86 6.01 5.88 5.76 5.94 5.86 7.54 8.26 7.83 7.80 7.91 8.00 7.95 7.96 7.92 8.02 7.92 7.93 7.22 7.40 7.58 7.93 7.46 7.97 8.15 8.28 8.63 8.29 7.59 7.72 7.83 8.20 7.86 7.50 7.68 7.83 8.19 7.90 7.62 7.77 7.94 8.30 8.02 7.71 7.87 8.02 8.40 8.13 7.65 7.82 7.97 8.35 8.07 7.66 7.83 7.97 8.36 7.97 7.62 7.79 7.94 8.32 8.23 7.73 7.89 8.05 8.42 8.09 7.61 7.79 7.94 8.32 8.01 7.62 7.81 7.95 8.34 8.06 2.78 2.82 2.56 2.24 2.21 2.21 2.28 2.22 2.19 2.25 2.32 2.35 14 Eurodollar deposits, 3-month 3,10 18 19 20 U.S. Treasury bills Secondary market 3,5 3-month 6-month 1-year Auction average 3 ' 5 '" 3-month 6-month 1-year 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Constant maturities12 1-year 2-year 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year 15 16 17 U.S. TREASURY NOTES AND BONDS Composite 29 More than 10 years (long-term) STATE AND LOCAL NOTES AND BONDS Moody's series13 30 31 Baa 32 Bond Buyer series14 CORPORATE BONDS 33 Seasoned issues, all industries15 34 35 36 37 38 Rating group Aaa Aa A Baa A-rated, recently offered utility bonds16 MEMO Dividend-price raticP 39 Common stocks 1. The daily effective federal funds rate is a weighted average of rates on trades through New York brokers. 2. Weekly figures are averages of seven calendar days ending on Wednesday of the current week; monthly figures include each calendar day in the month. 3. Annualized using a 360-day year for bank interest. 4. Rate for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. 5. Quoted on a discount basis. 6. An average of offering rates on commercial paper placed by several leading dealers for firms whose bond rating is AA or the equivalent. 7. An average of offering rates on paper directly placed by finance companies. 8. Representative closing yields for acceptances of the highest-rated money center banks. 9. An average of dealer offering rates on nationally traded certificates of deposit. 10. Bid rates for Eurodollar deposits at approximately 11:00 a.m. London time. Data are for indication purposes only. 11. Auction date for daily data; weekly and monthly averages computed on an issue-date basis. 12. Yields on actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities. Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. 13. General obligation bonds based on Thursday figures; Moody's Investors Service. 14. State and local government general obligation bonds maturing in twenty years are used in compiling this index. The twenty-bond index has a rating roughly equivalent to Moodys' A1 rating. Based on Thursday figures. 15. Daily figures from Moody's Investors Service. Based on yields to maturity on selected long-term bonds. 16. Compilation of the Federal Reserve. This series is an estimate of the yield on recently offered, A-rated utility bonds with a thirty-year maturity and five years of call protection. Weekly data are based on Friday quotations. 17. Standard & Poor's corporate series. Common stock ratio is based on the 500 stocks in the price index. NOTE. Some of the data in this table also appear in the Board's H.15 (519) weekly and G.13 (415) monthly statistical releases. For ordering address, see inside front cover. A24 1.36 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 STOCK MARKET Selected Statistics 1995 Indicator 1996 1993 Nov. Jan. Dec. Mar. Feb. Apr. May June July Prices and trading volume (averages of daily figures)1 Common stock prices (indexes) 1 New York Stock Exchange (Dec. 31, 1965 = 50) 2 Industrial 3 Transportation 4 Utility 5 Finance 249.71 300.10 242.68 114.55 216.55 254.16 315.32 247.17 104.96 209.75 291.18 367.40 270.14 110.64r 238.48 317.58 398.66 300.06 119.49 266.12 327.90 412.11 303.53 123.95r 273.36 329.22 413.05 300.43 127.09 274.96 346.46 435.92 315.29 135.51 290.97 346.73 439.55 324.77 122.83 290.44 347.50 441.99 326.42 122.44 287.92 354.84 452.63 334.66 124.86 290.43 358.32 458.30 331.57 123.60 294.42 345.06 438.58 316.57 122.66 287.89 6 Standard & Poor's Corporation (1941-43 = 10)2 451.63 460.42 541.72 595.53 614.57 614.42 649.54 647.07 647.17 661.23 668.50 644.06 7 American Stock Exchange (Aug. 31, 1973 = 50)3 438.77 449.49 498.13 529.93 538.01 540.48 562.34 565.69 580.60 600.93 591.99 550.16 263,374 18,188 290,652 17,951 345,729 20,387 360,199 16,724 384,310 21,085 416,048 21,069 434,607 27,107 426,198 22,988 419,941 24,886 404,184 28,127 392,413 23,903 398,245 21,281 Volume of trading (thousands of shares) 8 New York Stock Exchange 9 American Stock Exchange Customer financing (millions of dollars, end-of-period balances) 10 Margin credit at broker-dealers 4 60,310 61,160 76,680 77,875 76,680 73,530 77,090 78,308 81,170 86,100 87,160 79,860 Free credit balances at brokers5 11 Margin accounts6 12 Cash accounts 12,360 27,715 14,095 28,870 16,250 34,340 15,590 30,340 16,250 34,340 14,950 32,465 15,840 34,700 15,770 33,113 15,780 33,100 16,890 33,760 16,800r 33,775r 17,700 32,935 Margin requirements (percent of market value and eifective date)7 13 Margin stocks 14 Convertible bonds 15 Short sales Mar. 11, 1968 June 8, 1968 May 6, 1970 Dec. 6, 1971 Nov. 24, 1972 Jan. 3, 1974 70 50 70 80 60 80 65 50 65 55 50 55 65 50 65 50 50 50 1. Daily data on prices are available upon request to the Board of Governors. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. In July 1976 a financial group, composed of banks and insurance companies, was added to the group of stocks on which the index is based. The index is now based on 400 industrial stocks (formerly 425), 20 transportation (formerly 15 rail), 40 public utility (formerly 60), and 40 financial. 3. On July 5, 1983, the American Stock Exchange rebased its index, effectively cutting previous readings in half. 4. Since July 1983, under the revised Regulation T, margin credit at broker-dealers has included credit extended against stocks, convertible bonds, stocks acquired through the exercise of subscription rights, corporate bonds, and government securities. Separate reporting of data for margin stocks, convertible bonds, and subscription issues was discontinued in April 1984. 5. Free credit balances are amounts in accounts with no unfulfilled commitments to brokers and are subject to withdrawal by customers on demand. 6. Series initiated in June 1984. 7. Margin requirements, stated in regulations adopted by the Board of Governors pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit that can be used to purchase and carry "margin securities" (as defined in the regulations) when such credit is collateralized by securities. Margin requirements on securities other than options are the difference between the market value (100 percent) and the maximum loan value of collateral as prescribed by the Board. Regulation T was adopted effective Oct. 15, 1934; Regulation U, effective May 1, 1936; Regulation G, effective Mar. 11, 1968; and Regulation X, effective Nov. 1, 1971. On Jan. 1, 1977, the Board of Governors for the first time established in Regulation T the initial margin required for writing options on securities, setting it at 30 percent of the current market value of the stock underlying the option. On Sept. 30, 1985, the Board changed the required initial margin, allowing it to be the same as the option maintenance margin required by the appropriate exchange or self-regulatory organization; such maintenance margin rules must be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Effective Jan. 31, 1986, the SEC approved new maintenance margin rules, permitting margins to be the price of the option plus 15 percent of the market value of the stock underlying the option. Eifective June 8, 1988, margins were set to be the price of the option plus 20 percent of the market value of the stock underlying the option (or 15 percent in the case of stock-index options). Federal Finance 1.38 A25 FEDERAL FISCAL AND FINANCING OPERATIONS Millions of dollars Fiscal year Calendar year Type of account or operation 1996 1993 U.S. budget1 1 Receipts, total 2 On-budget 3 Off-budget 4 Outlays, total 5 On-budget 6 Off-budget 7 Surplus or deficit ( - ) , total 8 On-budget 9 Off-budget Source of financing (total) 10 Borrowing from the public 11 Operating cash (decrease, or increase (—)) 12 Other 2 1994 1995 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 1.153,535 841,601 311,934 1,408,675 1.142,088 266,587 -255,140 -300,487 45,347 1,257,737 922,711 335,026 1,460,841 1,181,469 279,372 -203,104 -258,758 55,654 1,355,213 1,004,134 351,079 1,519,133 1,230,469 288,664 -163,920 -226,335 62,415 89,349 60,912 28,437 133,644 105,711 27,933 -44,295 -44,799 504 89,011 56,677 32,334 136,286 108,365 27,921 -47,275 -51,688 4,413 203,386 160,774 42,612 130,993 105,131 25,862 72,393 55,643 16,750 90,044 60,106 29,938 143,342 114,486 28,856 -53,298 -54,380 1,082 151,919 116,718 35,201 117,818 104,161 13,657 34,101 12,557 21,544 103,813 75,202 28,611 130,909 104,454 26,455 -27,096 -29,252 2,156 248,619 6,283 238 185,344 16,564 1,196 171,288 -2,007 -5,361 47,022 6,297 -9,024 39,189 9,283 -197 -35,466 -26,449 -10,478 20,633 43,809 -11,144 -8,619 -33,519 8,037 29,098 1,262 -3,264 52,506 17,289 35,217 35,942 6,848 29,094 37,949 8,620 29,329 31,157 5,632 25,525 21,874 7,021 14,853 48,323 11,042 37,281 4,514 3,757 757 38,033 7,701 30,332 36,771 6,836 29,936 MEMO 13 Treasury operating balance (level, end of period) 14 Federal Reserve Banks 15 Tax and loan accounts 1. Since 1990, off-budget items have been the social security trust funds (federal old-age survivors insurance and federal disability insurance) and the U.S. Postal Service. 2. Includes special drawing rights (SDRs); reserve position on the U.S. quota in the International Monetary Fund (IMF); loans to the IMF; other cash and monetary assets; accrued interest payable to the public; allocations of SDRs; deposit funds; miscellaneous liability (including checks outstanding) and asset accounts; seigniorage; increment on gold; net gain or loss for U.S. currency valuation adjustment; net gain or loss for IMF loanvaluation adjustment; and profit on sale of gold. SOURCE. Monthly totals: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government; fiscal year totals: U.S. Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the U.S. Government. A26 1.39 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 U.S. B U D G E T R E C E I P T S A N D OUTLAYS1 Millions of dollars Fiscal year Calendar year Source or type May July RECEIPTS 1 All sources 2 Individual income taxes, net 3 Withheld 4 Nonwithheld 5 Refunds Corporation income taxes 6 Gross receipts 7 Refunds 8 Social insurance taxes and contributions, net 9 Employment taxes and contributions2 10 Unemployment insurance 11 Other net receipts3 12 13 14 15 Excise taxes Customs deposits Estate and gift taxes Miscellaneous receipts4 1,257,737 1,355,213 625,556 710,542 656,402 766,631 90,044 151,919 103,813 543,055 459,699 160,433 77,077 590,244 499,927 175,855 85,538 273,315 240,063 42,029 8,787 307,498 251,398 132,001 75,959 292,393 256,916 43,100 10,058 347,285 264,177 162,782 79,735 29,914 45,399 6,352 21,850 60,816 2,061 49,814 48,072 3,631 1,893 154,205 13,820 461,475 428,810 28,004 4,661 174,422 17,418 484,473 451,045 28,878 4,550 78,393 7,747 220,140 206,615 11.177 2,349 92,132 10,399 261,837 241,557 18,001 2,279 88,302 7,518 224,269 211,323 10,702 2,247 96,480 9,704 277,767 257,446 3,647 1,077 48,676 38,104 10,155 417 37,950 992 45,583 44,888 400 295 39,258 36,946 1,939 372 55,225 20,099 15,225 22,274 57,484 19,301 14,763 31,944 30.178 11,041 7,067 13,169 27,452 8,848 7,425 15,750 30,014 9,849 7,718 11,374 25,682 8,731 8,775 11,620 4,113 1,427 1,415 1,929 4,310 1,450 1,141 1,663 4,508 1,712 1,259 2,287 18,068 2,254 35,941 26,926 5,656 681 OUTLAYS 16 All types 1,460,841 1,519,133 752,150 760,824 752,511 785,730 143,342 117,818 130,909 17 18 19 20 21 22 National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture 281,642 17,083 16,227 5,219 21,064 15,046 272,066 16,434 16,724 4,936 22,105 9,773 141,885 11,889 7,604 2,923 11,911 7,623 135,648 4,797 132,870r 6,994 26,609 1,165 1,584 216 1,757 -175 19,769 837 1,536 822 1,543 -124 22,541 497 1,660 187 23 24 25 26 Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development Education, training, employment, and social services -5,118 38,066 10,454 -14,441 39,350 10,641 256 3,324 826 -1,368 3,185 -304 3,648 959 9,762 44,731 11,332 10,077 45,376 18,189 1,570 1,327 1,755 18,977 -2,636 3,255 1,989 53 20,311 -3,543 46,307 8,611 8,810 2,358 10,273 4,039 2,203 12,633 3,062 133,439r 8,074 8,897 1,355 10,238 71 -4,270 21,835 6,283 -13,937 18,193 5,073 -4,412 19,931 6,169r -7,334 18,291 5,237r 27,450 25,893 26,137 3,961 27 Health 28 Social security and Medicare 29 Income security 107,122 464,312 214,031 115,418 495,701 220,449 54,147 236,817 101,806 59,057 251,975 117,190 57,098r 251,387 104,041r 59,957 264,649 121,032 11,201 30 31 32 33 34 37,642 15,256 11,303 202,957 -37,772 37,938 16,223 13,835 232,173 -44,455 19,761 7,753 7,355 109,434 -20,066 19,269 8,051 5,796 116,169 -17,631 18,684 18,164 9,021 4,641 120,579 -16,716 Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government Net interest5 Undistributed offsetting receipts6 1. Functional details do not sum to total outlays for calendar year data because revisions to monthly totals have not been distributed among functions. Fiscal year total for receipts and outlays do not correspond to calendar year data because revisions from the Budget have not been fully distributed across months. 2. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance, and railroad retirement accounts. 3. Federal employee retirement contributions and civil service retirement and disability fund. 8,116 r 7,621 119,351r — 26,994 46,727 21,407 5,254 1,683 180 20,359 -2,991 2,062 843 4. Deposits of earnings by Federal Reserve Banks and other miscellaneous receipts. 5. Includes interest received by trust funds. 6. Rents and royalties for the outer continental shelf, U.S. government contributions for employee retirement, and certain asset sales. SOURCE. Fiscal year totals: U.S. Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 1997; monthly and half-year totals: U.S. Department of the Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government. Federal Finance A25 1.40 FEDERAL DEBT SUBJECT TO STATUTORY LIMITATION Billions of dollars, end of month 1994 1995 1996 Item June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 1 Federal debt outstanding 4,673 4,721 4,827 4,891 4,978 5,001 5,017 5,153 5,197 2 Public debt securities 3 Held by public 4 Held by agencies 4,646 3,443 1,203 4,693 3,480 1,213 4,800 3,543 1,257 4,864 3,610 1,255 4,951 3,635 1,317 4,974 3,653 1,321 4,989 3,684 1,305 5,118 3,764 1,354 5,161 n.a. n.a. 28 27 0 29 29 0 27 27 0 27 26 0 27 27 0 27 27 0 28 28 0 36 28 8 36 n.a. n.a. 5 Agency securities 6 Held by public / Held by agencies 8 Debt subject to statutory limit 9 Public debt securities 10 Other debt1 4,559 4,605 4,711 4,775 4,861 4,885 4,900 5,030 5,073 4,559 0 4,605 0 4,711 0 4,774 0 4,861 0 4,885 0 4,900 0 5,030 0 5,073 0 4,900 4,900 4,900 4,900 4,900 4,900 4,900 5,500 5,500 MEMO 11 Statutory debt limit 1. Consists of guaranteed debt of U.S. Treasury and other federal agencies, specified participation certificates, notes to international lending organizations, and District of Columbia stadium bonds. 1.41 GROSS PUBLIC DEBT OF U.S. TREASURY SOURCE. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States and Treasury Bulletin. Types and Ownership Billions of dollars, end of period 1995 Type and holder 1 Total gross public debt 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 By type Interest-bearing Marketable Bills Notes Bonds Nonmarketable1 State and local government series Foreign issues2 Government Public Savings bonds and notes Government account series' Non-interest-bearing By holder 4 15 U.S. Treasury and other federal agencies and trust funds 16 Federal Reserve Banks 17 Private investors Commercial banks 18 Money market funds 19 Insurance companies 20 Other companies 21 State and local treasuries5'6 22 Individuals Savings bonds 23 24 Other securities Foreign and international7 25 Other miscellaneous investors6'8 26 1992 1994 1996 1995 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 4,177.0 4,535.7 4,800.2 4,988.7 4,974.0 4,988.7 5,117.8 5,161.1 4,173.9 2,754.1 657.7 1,608.9 472.5 1,419.8 153.5 37.4 37.4 .0 155.0 1,043.5 3.1 4,532.3 2,989.5 714.6 1,764.0 495.9 1,542.9 149.5 43.5 43.5 .0 169.4 1,150.0 3.4 4,769.2 3,126.0 733.8 1,867.0 510.3 1,643.1 132.6 42.5 42.5 .0 177.8 1,259.8 31.0 4,964.4 3,307.2 760.7 2,010.3 521.2 1,657.2 104.5 40.8 40.8 .0 181.9 1,299.6 24.3 4,950.6 3,260.5 742.5 1,980.3 522.6 1,690.2 113.4 41.0 41.0 .0 181.2 1,324.3 23.3 4,964.4 3,307.2 760.7 2,010.3 521.2 1,657.2 104.5 40.8 40.8 .0 181.9 1,299.6 24.3 5,083.0 3,375.1 811.9 2,014.1 534.1 1,707.9 96.5 40.4 40.4 .0 183.0 1,357.7 34.8 5,126.8 3,348.4 773.6 2,025.8 534.1 1,778.3 97.8 37.8 37.8 .0 183.8 1,428.5 34.3 1,047.8 302.5 2,839.9 294.4 79.7 197.5 192.5 563.3 1,153.5 334.2 3,047.4 322.2 80.8 234.5 213.0 605.9 1,257.1 374.1 3,168.0 290.1 67.6 240.1 226.5 483.4 1,304.5 391.0 3,294.9 280.1 71.3 252.6 228.8 343.8 1,320.8 374.1 3,279.5 289.0 64.2 249.8 224.1 384.9 1,304.5 391.0 3,294.9 280.1 71.3 252.6 228.8 343.8 1,353.8 381.0 3,382.8 281.0 87.3 254.5 229.0 343.0 157.3 131.9 549.7 673.5 171.9 137.9 623.0 658.3 180.5 150.7 688.6 840.5 185.0 162.7 861.8 908.8 183.5 162.4 848.1 873.5 185.0 162.7 861.8 908.8 185.8 161.4 930.1 910.7 1. Includes (not shown separately) securities issued to the Rural Electrification Administration, depository bonds, retirement plan bonds, and individual retirement bonds. 2. Nonmarketable series denominated in dollars, and series denominated in foreign currency held by foreigners. 3. Held almost entirely by U.S. Treasury and other federal agencies and trust funds. 4. Data for Federal Reserve Banks and U.S. government agencies and trust funds are actual holdings; data for other groups are Treasury estimates. 5. Includes state and local pension funds. 6. In March 1996, in a redefinition of series, fully defeased debt backed by nonmarketable federal securities was removed from "Other miscellaneous investors" and added to "State and local treasuries." The data shown here have been revised accordingly. 1993 n a. 7. Consists of investments of foreign balances and international accounts in the United States. 8. Includes savings and loan associations, nonprofit institutions, credit unions, mutual savings banks, corporate pension trust funds, dealers and brokers, certain U.S. Treasury deposit accounts, and federally sponsored agencies. SOURCE. U.S. Treasury Department, data by type of security, Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States; data by holder, Treasury Bulletin. A28 1.42 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS Transactions1 Millions of dollars, daily averages 1996, week ending 1996 Item Apr. May June June 5 55,901 47,278 52,915 57,129 97,216 41,971 28,936 34,788 94,636 49,383 29,131 35,929 99,169 43,649 33,225 35,542 98,440 44,864 29,123 35,943 112,758 795 11,979 111,032 661 13,422 113,378 704 13,267 111,907 496 15,522 82,330 28,141 22,808 80,265 28,470 22,507 82,355 32,521 22,275 88,526 28,626 20,421 June 19 June 26 July 3 July 10 53,849 55,294 47,770 51,172 45,975 108,694 48,800 30,317 56,857 96,599 42,796 35,178 31,260 92,456 36,010 35,464 21,376 99,661 50,178 36,166 27,774 89,231 53,013 35,736 52,724 126,241 752 19,210 113,458 828 11,399 101,372 707 8,498 113,246 575 11,624 106,315 629 18,216 85,103 29,565 37,647 81,230 34,350 19,861 74,864 34,757 12,878 87,765 35,591 16,150 81,904 35,108 34,509 June 12 July 17 July 24 July 31 46,759 44,730 45,143 102,734 48,832 34,710 41,762 101,135 40,111 35,317 27,177 76,322 37,812 34,819 24,319 115,888 748 15,669 108,081 662 10,056 91,951 665 7,890 82,436 33,962 26,093 77,896 34,654 17,121 67,327 34,154 16,429 OUTRIGHT TRANSACTIONS 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 By type of security U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity Five years or less More than five years Federal agency Mortgage-backed By type of counterparty With interdealer broker U.S. Treasury Federal agency Mortgage-backed With other U.S. Treasury Federal agency Mortgage-backed FUTURES TRANSACTIONS 3 By type of deliverable security 12 U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity 13 Five years or less 14 More than five years 15 Federal agency 16 Mortgage-backed 369 410 539 481 779 866 121 250 265 316 1,203 11,717 0 0 1,550 12,854 0 0 l,761 r 12,742 0 0 2,158 14,370 0 0 2,064 15,346 0 0 1,946 13,997 0 0 1.026 8.484 0 0 1,781 11,299 0 0 1,494 11,484 0 0 1,945 11,291 0 0 n.a. 100 1,774 11,071 0 0 1,086 9,513 0 0 OPTIONS TRANSACTIONS 4 By type of underlying security 17 U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity 18 Five years or less 19 More than five years 20 Federal agency 21 Mortgage-backed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,582 3,773 0 1,110 2,294 4,057 0 1,046 2,937 4,494 0 786 2,255 4,562 0 971 4,289 5,585 0 1,288 2,502 4,753 0 467 2,329 3,252 0 510 3,186 4,119 0 740 1,417 4,806 0 1,089 2,187 4,064 0 590 1,978 3,654 0 633 1,588 3,644 0 489 1. Transactions are market purchases and sales of securities as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Monthly averages are based on the number of trading days in the month. Transactions are assumed evenly distributed among the trading days of the report week. Immediate, forward, and futures transactions are reported at principal value, which does not include accrued interest; options transactions are reported at the face value of the underlying securities. Dealers report cumulative transactions for each week ending Wednesday. 2. Outright transactions include immediate and forward transactions. Immediate delivery refers to purchases or sales of securities (other than mortgage-backed federal agency securities) for which delivery is scheduled in five business days or less and "when-issued" securities that settle on the issue date of offering. Transactions for immediate delivery of mortgagebacked agency securities include purchases and sales for which delivery is scheduled in thirty business days or less. Stripped securities are reported at market value by maturity of coupon or corpus. Forward transactions are agreements made in the over-the-counter market that specify delayed delivery. Forward contracts for U.S. Treasury securities and federal agency debt securities are included when the time to delivery is more than five business days. Forward contracts for mortgage-backed agency securities are included when the time to delivery is more than thirty business days. 3. Futures transactions are standardized agreements arranged on an exchange. All futures transactions are included regardless of time to delivery. 4. Options transactions are purchases or sales of put and call options, whether arranged on an organized exchange or in the over-the-counter market, and include options on futures contracts on U.S. Treasury and federal agency securities. NOTE, "n.a." indicates that data are not published because of insufficient activity. Major changes in the report form filed by primary dealers induced a break in the dealer data series as of the week ending July 6, 1994. Federal Finance 1.43 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS A25 Positions and Financing1 Millions of dollars 1996, week ending 1996 Item Apr. May June June 5 June 12 June 19 June 26 July 3 July 10 July 17 July 24 Positions" NET OUTRIGHT POSITIONS 3 By type of security 1 U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity 2 Five years or less 3 More than five years 4 Federal agency 5 Mortgage-backed 17,119 15,447 13,791 28,159 22,380 8,845 4,991 4,854 10,113 12,921 23,286 7,771 -27,702 26,566 32,583 2,210 -23,291 23,921 34,206 -4,136 -20,940 22,350 35,764 -961 -22,315 22,655 36,270 -3,042 -21,501 24,935 35,104 -10,342 -21,006 22,365 35,001 -1,686 -20,230 22,229 35,372 -3,448 -19,366 17,632 38,307 -14,023 -17,599 18,296 37,003 -10,059 -19,276 22,818 39,147 -8,166 -20,244 24,189 40,305 -3,560 -4,625 -2,006 —3,484 -2,941 -1,157 -1,049 -1,681 -1,571 -2,778 -3,226 1,073 -4,285 0 0 632 -3,598 0 0 254 -7,798 0 0 7 -4,910 466 -5,945 0 260 -10,124 0 0 -2,202 -14,039 0 0 -1,978 -11,211 0 0 -2,079 -12,557 0 0 1,617 -5,821 0 0 -1,015 -15,194 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2,796 1,308 2,896 -2,225 3,123 n.a. 2,425 -732 1,884 n.a. 2,886 -908 1,162 n.a. 2,548 -1,058 3,229 0 2,604 NET FUTURES POSITIONS 4 By type of deliverable security 6 U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity 7 Five years or less 8 More than five years 9 Federal agency 10 Mortgage-backed 0 0 0 NET OPTIONS POSITIONS 11 12 13 14 15 By type of deliverable security U.S. Treasury bills Coupon securities, by maturity Five years or less More than five years Federal agency Mortgage-backed 1,542 1,081 0 4,435 -139 -703 0 3,902 -2,515 670 0 3,075 -1,868 -735 0 3,465 -2,276 235 0 3,479 -3,099 70 0 2,941 0 Financing5 Reverse repurchase agreements 16 Overnight and continuing 17 Term 256,694 467,590 251,988 453,182 243,475 463,139 235,548 428,448 238,277 470,543 248,074 471,190 242,786 479,431 255.640 450,945 267,488 475,371 263,405 488,031 250,706 507,791 Securities borrowed 18 Overnight and continuing 19 Term 166,490 67,330 173,105 63,987 179,427 60,592 182,616 58,906 181,178 61,003 182,894 60,316 173,201 61,212 177,206 61,379 182,305 59,185 185,499 58,974 182,017 64,132 3,275 53 2,488 52 5,063 82 4,501 47 4,446 91 5,423 112 5,411 86 5,605 51 5,503 56 4,516 56 4,060 49 Repurchase agreements 22 Overnight and continuing 23 Term 577,949 399,259 559,390 392,946 540,745 409,135 556,952 362,346 561,144 403,262 545,801 415,376 508,525 444,087 532,327 405,814 563,727 412,138 568,361 424,209 560,993 449,452 Securities loaned 24 Overnight and continuing 25 Term 4,728 2,611 4,804 3,094 5,341 3,160 5,577 5,711 5,890 0 0 0 4,636 0 4,670 3,160 4,697 3,133 4,915 3,159 4,384 3,524 Securities pledged 26 Overnight and continuing 27 Term 37,160 8,518 41,591 6,797 46,541 6,584 45,317 6,016 45,388 6,063 47,466 6,060 51,352 7,419 40,053 7,664 39,833 7,595 40,852 6,566 37,337 6,668 12,819 10,687 6,955 14,023 15,662 15,662 14,260 Securities received as pledge 20 Overnight and continuing 21 Term Collateralized loans 28 Overnight and continuing 29 Term 30 Total 1,289 1,284 1,289 1,794 1,189 1,289 13,097 12,080 1,470 13,550 10,911 1,411 12,091 10,828 1,327 12,155 11,827 1,328 14,045 12,200 8,239 15,312 17,456 16,791 15,549 MEMO: Matched book Securities in 31 Overnight and continuing 32 Term 244,480 464,018 244,668 441,772 243,847 448,381 236,593 413,953 236,204 459,074 250,199 453,905 244,804 461,803 253,497 439,546 270,866 460,576 271,578 475,035 265,571 497,723 Securities out 33 Overnight and continuing 34 Term 362,930r 349,263 349,379r 337,119 344,632 353,804 337,593 309,423 356,820 345,288 350,654 360,676 330,951 385,233 345,504 357,154 374,155 361,575 369,901 379,096 369,738 397,826 1,270 6 1. Data for positions and financing are obtained from reports submitted to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Weekly figures are close-of-business Wednesday data. Positions for calendar days of the report week are assumed to be constant. Monthly averages are based on the number of calendar days in the month. 2. Securities positions are reported at market value. 3. Net outright positions include immediate and forward positions. Net immediate positions include securities purchased or sold (other than mortgage-backed agency securities) that have been delivered or are scheduled to be delivered in five business days or less and "when-issued" securities that settle on the issue date of offering. Net immediate positions for mortgage-backed agency securities include securities purchased or sold that have been delivered or are scheduled to be delivered in thirty business days or less. Forward positions reflect agreements made in the over-the-counter market that specify delayed delivery. Forward contracts for U.S. Treasury securities and federal agency debt securities are included when the time to delivery is more than five business days. Forward contracts for mortgage-backed agency securities are included when the time to delivery is more than thirty business days. 4. Futures positions reflect standardized agreements arranged on an exchange. All futures positions are included regardless of time to delivery. 5. Overnight financing refers to agreements made on one business day that mature on the next business day; continuing contracts are agreements that remain in effect for more than one business day but have no specific maturity and can be terminated without advance notice by either party; term agreements have a fixed maturity of more than one business day. Financing data are reported in terms of actual funds paid or received, including accrued interest. 6. Matched-book data reflect financial intermediation activity in which the borrowing and lending transactions are matched. Matched-book data are included in the financing breakdowns given above. The reverse repurchase and repurchase numbers are not always equal because of the "matching" of securities of different values or different types of collateralization. NOTE, "n.a." indicates that data are not published because of insufficient activity. Major changes in the report form filed by primary dealers induced a break in the dealer data series as of the week ending July 6, 1994. A30 1.44 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY SPONSORED CREDIT AGENCIES Debt Outstanding Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 Agency 1 Federal and federally sponsored agencies 2 Federal agencies 3 Defense Department' 4 Export-Import Bank2'3 5 Federal Housing Administration4 Government National Mortgage Association certificates of 6 participation5 7 Postal Service6 Tennessee Valley Authority 8 9 United States Railway Association6 10 Federally sponsored agencies7 11 Federal Home Loan Banks Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 12 13 Federal National Mortgage Association 14 Farm Credit Banks8 Student Loan Marketing Association 9 15 16 Financing Corporation10 17 Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation" Resolution Funding Corporation12 18 1992 1993 1994 1995 Jan. Feb. Mar. 483,970 570,711 738,928 844,611 836,820 840,384 846,807 41,829 7 7,208 374 45,193 6 5,315 255 39,186 6 3,455 116 37,347 6 2,050 97 37,273 6 2,050 31 31,986 6 2,050 35 31,284 6 2,015 52 n.a. 10,660 23,580 n.a. n.a. 9,732 29,885 n.a. n.a. 8,073 27,536 n.a. n.a. 5,765 29,429 n.a. n.a. 5,765 29,421 n.a. n.a. 300 29,595 n.a. n.a. 300 28,911 n.a. 442,141 114,733 29,631 166,300 51,910 39,650 8,170 1,261 29,996 523,452 139,512 49,993 201,112 53,123 39,784 8,170 1,261 29,996 699,742 205,817 93,279 257,230 53,175 50,335 8,170 1,261 29,996 807,264 243,194 119,961 299,174 57,379 47,529 8,170 1,261 29,996 799,547 234,664 120,868 297,657 58,659 47,673 8,170 1,261 29,996 808,398 233,404 123,777 304,159 57,536 49,495 8,170 1,261 29,996 815,523 239,253 124,278 306,815 59,428 45,723 8,170 1,261 29,996 154,994 128,187 103,817 78,681 78,512 68,037 66,725 7,202 10,440 4,790 6,975 n.a. 5,309 9,732 4,760 6,325 n.a. 3,449 8,073 n.a. 3,200 n.a. 2,044 5,765 n.a. 3,200 n.a. 2,044 5,765 n.a. 3,200 n.a. 2,044 300 n.a. n.a. n.a. 2,009 300 n.a. n.a. n.a. 42,979 18,172 64,436 38,619 17,578 45,864 33,719 17,392 37,984 21,015 17,144 29,513 21,015 17,026 29,462 21,015 17,040 27,638 21,015 17,049 26,352 Apr. May n a. n a. 242,437 136,185 306,361 60,815 47,052 8 170 1,261 29,996 837,570 243,389 141,248 305,050 61,197 46,735 8,170 1,261 29,996 n.a. n a. MEMO 19 Federal Financing Bank debt 13 20 21 22 23 24 Lending to federal and federally sponsored agencies Export-Import Bank3 Postal Service6 Student Loan Marketing Association Tennessee Valley Authority United States Railway Association6 Other lending14 25 Farmers Home Administration 26 Rural Electrification Administration 27 Other 1. Consists of mortgages assumed by the Defense Department between 1957 and 1963 under family housing and homeowners assistance programs. 2. Includes participation certificates reclassified as debt beginning Oct. 1, 1976. 3. On-budget since Sept. 30, 1976. 4. Consists of debentures issued in payment of Federal Housing Administration insurance claims. Once issued, these securities may be sold privately on the securities market. 5. Certificates of participation issued before fiscal year 1969 by the Government National Mortgage Association acting as trustee for the Farmers Home Administration, the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, the Department of Housing and Urban Development, the Small Business Administration, and the Veterans Administration. 6. Off-budget. 7. Includes outstanding noncontingent liabilities: notes, bonds, and debentures. Includes Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation; therefore details do not sum to total. Some data are estimated. 8. Excludes borrowing by the Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation, which is shown on line 17. 9. Before late 1982, the association obtained financing through the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Borrowing excludes that obtained from the FFB, which is shown on line 22. 10. The Financing Corporation, established in August 1987 to recapitalize the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, undertook its first borrowing in October 1987. 11. The Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation, established in January 1988 to provide assistance to the Farm Credit System, undertook its first borrowing in July 1988. 12. The Resolution Funding Corporation, established by the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989, undertook its first borrowing in October 1989. 13. The FFB, which began operations in 1974, is authorized to purchase or sell obligations issued, sold, or guaranteed by other federal agencies. Because FFB incurs debt solely for the purpose of lending to other agencies, its debt is not included in the main portion of the table to avoid double counting. 14. Includes FFB purchases of agency assets and guaranteed loans; the latter are loans guaranteed by numerous agencies, with the amounts guaranteed by any one agency generally being small. The Farmers Home Administration entry consists exclusively of agency assets, whereas the Rural Electrification Administration entry consists of both agency assets and guaranteed loans. Securities Market and Corporate Finance A31 1.45 NEW SECURITY ISSUES Tax-Exempt State and Local Governments Millions of dollars 1996 1995 Type of issue or issuer, or use 1993 1994 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 1 All issues, new and refunding1 279,945 153,950 143,101 16,978 11,545 11,598 15,244 13,199 14,991 16,533 11,162 By type of issue 2 General obligation 3 Revenue 90,599 189,346 54,404 99,546 55,737 86,555 5,489 11,489 6,074 5,471 2,063 9,535 4,846 10,398 5,083 8,116 5,476 9,515 6,493 10,040 4,078 7,084 By type of issuer 4 State 5 Special district or statutory authority2 6 Municipality, county, or township 27,999 178,714 73,232 19,186 95,896 38,868 14,215 91,419 36,658 951 11,678 4,349 1,630 7,052 2,863 695 7,820 3,083 904 10,141 4,199 926 9,571 2,702 2,807 9,824 2,360 1,047 9,899 5,587 680 6,923 3,559 91,434 105,972 94,412 11,070 6,517 6,383 10,621 9,487 9,594 13,864 9,364 16,831 9,167 12,014 13,837 6,862 32,723 21,267 10,836 10,192 20,289 8,161 35,227 24,926 11,887 9,618 18,612 6,566 26,518 2,968 1,178 1,664 1,614 1,325 2,321 2,065 573 439 935 322 2,183 2,226 359 582 904 110 2,202 1,847 1,417 892 2,715 785 2,965 2,142 682 592 1,669 751 3,651 2,442 778 1,368 1,764 302 2,940 3,453 1,390 974 3,152 414 4,481 1,859 547 984 2,074 326 3,574 beginning January 7 Issues for new capital 8 9 10 11 12 13 By use of proceeds Education Transportation Utilities and conservation Social welfare Industrial aid Other purposes 1. Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2. Includes school districts. 1.46 NEW SECURITY ISSUES SOURCE. Securities Data Dealer's Digest before then. Company 1993; Investment U.S. Corporations Millions of dollars 1996 1995 Type of issue, offering, or issuer 1 All issues' 2 Bonds 2 By type of offering 3 Public, domestic 4 Private placement, domestic3 5 Sold abroad 6 7 8 9 10 11 By industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial 12 Stocks2 By type of offering 13 Public preferred 14 Common 15 Private placement3 16 17 18 19 20 21 By industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial 1993 769,088 1994 583,240 1995 n a. Dec. Jan. 55,349 40,149 49,520r 62,115r 55,666r 48,844r 69,176 66,233 r r r 36,344r 55,894 53,492 Feb. Apr. Mar. May June 646,634 498,039 n a. 47,568 34,619 44,764 487,029 121,226 38,379 365,222 76,065 56,755 408,806 n a. 76,910 43,336 n.a. 4,232 32,219 n.a. 2,399 35,443r n.a. 9,321r 45,972r n.a. 6,984r 41,419r n.a. 6,837r 30,585r n.a. 5,759r 46,825 n.a. 9,069 45,446 n.a. 8,046 88,160 58,559 10,816 56,330 31,950 400,820 43,423 40,735 6,867 13,322 13,340 380,352 42,950 37,139 5,727 11,974 18,158 369,769 4,017 4,178 225 485 3,333 35,330 3,205 3,099 1,240 685 648 25,742 3,952r 2,277r 664 l,906 r 748 35,217r 2,522r 2,840r 584 965r 2,691 43,354r 3,335 3,803r 137 788r 2,253r 37,94 l r 2,503r 2,663r 120 444r 724r 29,890r 5,937 4,933 819 691 1,187 42,326 5,339 4,272 850 1,144 2,231 39,658 122,454 85,155 n.a. 7,781 5,530 4,756 9,160 7,410r 12,500 13,282 12,741 18,897 82,657 20,900 12,570 47,828 24,800 10,964 57,809 2,210 5,571 n.a. 890 4,640 n.a. 2,167 2,589 n.a. 3,258 5,902 n.a. 967 6,443 n.a. 2,000 10,500 n.a. 1,660 11,622 n.a. 3,195 9,546 n.a. 22,271 25,761 2,237 7,050 3,439 61,004 17,798 15,713 2,203 2,214 494 46,733 2,209 3,274 97 36 0 2,166 681 2,632 156 322 0 1,739 295 2,521 38 115 200 1,588 1,543 2,659 141 809 122 3,719 2,036 3,577 232 319 100 1,130 3,968 4,122 37 149 144 4,079 2,777 5,041 322 147 1,205 3,789 2,688 6,444 189 569 837 2,015 n.a. 1. Figures represent gross proceeds of issues maturing in more than one year; they are the principal amount or number of units calculated by multiplying by the offering price. Figures exclude secondary offerings, employee stock plans, investment companies other than closedend, intracorporate transactions, equities sold abroad, and Yankee bonds. Stock data include ownership securities issued by limited partnerships. Nov. 52,955 48,256 2. Monthly data cover only public offerings. 3. Monthly data are not available. SOURCE. Beginning July 1993, Securities Data Company and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. A32 1.47 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 OPEN-END INVESTMENT COMPANIES Net Sales and Assets 1 Millions of dollars 1996 1995 Item 1994 1995 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1 Sales of own shares 2 841,286 871,415 70,499 94,719 112,332 90,370 93,856 101,310 96,501 88,115 2 Redemptions of own shares 3 Net sales3 699,823 141,463 699,497 171,918 52,727 17,772 67,945 26,774 75,354 36,978 60,398 29,972 65,748 28,108 81,005 20,305 69,419 27,082 69,072 19,044 4 Assets 4 1,550,490 2,067,337 2,032,958 2,067,337 2,143,185 2,181,711 2,212,517 2,293,491 2,356,307 2,363,024 5 Cash5 6 Other 121,296 1,429,195 142,572 1,924,765 141,489 1,891,470 142,572 1,924,765 150,772 1,992,414 144,520 2,037,191 142,697 2,069,820 148,777 2,144,713 145,554 2,201,752 144,275 2,218,749 1. Data on sales and redemptions exclude money market mutual funds but include limited-maturity municipal bond funds. Data on asset positions exclude both money market mutual funds and limited-maturity municipal bond funds. 2. Includes reinvestment of net income dividends. Excludes reinvestment of capital gains distributions and share issue of conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 3. Excludes sales and redemptions resulting from transfers of shares into or out of money market mutual funds within the same fund family. 1.48 4. Market value at end of period, less current liabilities. 5. Includes all U.S. Treasury securities and other short-term debt securities. SOURCE. Investment Company Institute. Data based on reports of membership, which comprises substantially all open-end investment companies registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Data reflect underwritings of newly formed companies after their initial offering of securities. CORPORATE PROFITS AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1995r 1994' Account 1 Profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment 2 Profits before taxes 3 Profits-tax liability 4 Profits after taxes 5 Dividends 6 Undistributed profits 7 Inventory valuation 8 Capital consumption adjustment 1993 1996 1995r Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Qlr Q2 464.4r 464.3 163.8 300.5 197.3 103.2r 529.5 531.2 195.3 335.9 211.0 124.8 586.6 598.9 218.7 380.2 227.4 152.8 553.1 550.8 203.4 347.4 212.5 134.9 570.9 572.4 213.5 358.8 218.5 140.3 560.0 594.5 217.3 377.2 221.7 155.5 562.3 589.6 214.2 375.3 224.6 150.8 612.5 607.2 224.5 382.8 228.5 154.3 611.8 604.2 218.7 385.5 234.7 150.8 645.1 642.2 233.4 408.8 239.9 168.9 653.8 644.0 236.7 407.4 243.1 164.3 -6.6 6.7 -13.3 11.6 -28.1 15.9 -16.5 18.8 -22.8 21.3 -51.9 17.4 -42.3 15.0 -9.3 14.6 -8.8 16.5 -17.4 20.4 -13.0 22.7 SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business. 1994r Securities Markets and Corporate Finance A3 3 1.51 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES Assets and Liabilities1 Billions of dollars, end of period; not seasonally adjusted 1994 Account 1994 1993 1996 1995 1995 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql ASSETS 482.8 116.5 294.6 71.7 551.0 134.8 337.6 78.5 614.6 152.0 375.9 86.6 524.1 130.3 317.2 76.6 551.0 134.8 337.6 78.5 568.5 135.8 351.9 80.8 586.9 141.7 361.8 83.4 594.7 146.2 362.4 86.1 614.6 152.0 375.9 86.6 621.8r 151.9r 380.9r 89.1 50.7 11.2 55.0 12.4 63.2 14.1 51.1 12.1 55.0 12.4 58.9 12.9 62.1 13.7 61.2 13.8 63.2 14.1 61.5r 14.2 Accounts receivable, net 8 All other 420.9 170.9 483.5 183.4 537.3 210.7 460.9 177.2 483.5 183.4 496.7 194.6 511.1 198.1 519.7 198.1 537.3 210.7 546. r 212.8r 9 Total assets 591.8 666.9 748.0 638.1 666.9 691.4 709.2 717.8 748.0 758.9 25.3 159.2 21.2 184.6 23.1 184.5 21.6 171.0 21.2 184.6 21.0 181.3 21.5 181.3 21.8 178.0 23.1 184.5 23.5 184.8 42.7 206.0 87.1 71.4 51.0 235.0 99.5 75.7 62.3 284.7 106.2 87.2 50.0 228.2 95.0 72.3 51.0 235.0 99.5 75.7 52.5 254.4 102.5 79.7 57.5 264.4 102.1 82.5 59.0 272.1 102.4 84.4 62.3 284.7 106.2 87.2 62.3 291.4 105.7 91.1 591.8 666.9 748.0 638.1 666.9 691.4 709.2 717.8 748.0 758.9 1 Accounts receivable, gross2 2 Consumer 3 Business 4 Real estate 5 LESS: Reserves for unearned income 6 Reserves for losses 7 LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL 10 Bank loans 11 Commercial paper 12 13 14 15 Debt Owed to parent Not elsewhere classified All other liabilities Capital, surplus, and undivided profits 16 Total liabilities and capital 1. Includes finance company subsidiaries of bank holding companies but not of retailers and banks. Data are amounts carried on the balance sheets of finance companies; securitized pools are not shown, as they are not on the books. 1.52 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES 2. Before deduction for unearned income and losses, Consumer, Real Estate, and Business Credit1 Millions of dollars, amounts outstanding, end of period 1996 Type of credit 1993 1994 1995 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Seasonally adjusted 1 Total 546,103 615,618 691,616 696,099 700,977 703,398 708,343 710,367 719,536 2 Consumer 3 Real estate2 4 Business 160,227 72,043 313,833 176,085 78,910 360,624 198,861 87,077 405,678 200,162 88,084 407,853 202,548 88,188 410,241 203,280 89,502 410,616 205,184 89,943 413,216 207,027 90,180 413,160 210,341 93,917 415,278 Not seasonally adjusted 5 6 7 Motor vehicles 8 Other consumer3 9 Securitized motor vehicles 10 Securitized other consumer 11 Real estate2 12 Business 13 Motor vehicles 14 Retail loans5 15 Wholesale loans6 16 Leases 17 Equipment 18 Loans7 19 Leases 20 Other business8 21 Securitized business assets 22 Retail loans 23 Wholesale loans 24 Leases 550,751 620,975 697,340 697,312 701,576 705,650 710,762 712,429 722,597 162,770 56,057 60,396 36,024 10,293 71,727 316,254 95,173 18,091 31,148 45,934 145,452 43,514 101,938 53,997 21,632 2,869 10,584 8,179 178,999 61,609 73,221 31,897 12,272 78,479 363,497 118,197 21,514 35,037 61,646 157,953 49,358 108,595 61,495 25,852 4,494 14,826 6,532 202,101 70,061 81,988 33,633 16,419 86,606 408,633 133,277 25,304 36,427 71,546 177,297 59,109 118,188 65,363 32,696 4,723 21,327 6,646 201,774 71,420 81,186 32,128 17,040 88,495 407,043 132,062 25,906 34,198 71,958 175,984 57,997 117,987 66,643 32,354 4,467 21,130 6,757 202,108 73,312 81,214 30,364 17,218 88,520 410,948 132,153 26,591 33,386 72,176 176,461 57,574 118,887 68,070 34,264 4,252 23,460 6,552 202,337 72,129 79,779 31,093 19,336 89,056 414,257 134,098 27,140 33,910 73,048 177,285 57,909 119,376 69,497 33,377 4,067 22,622 6,688 203,532 73,810 79,489 30,476 19,757 89,975 417,255 134,500 27,954 32,155 74,391 178,507 57,576 120,931 69,193 35,055 4,367 24,327 6,361 205,678 74,327 80,435 31,435 19,481 90,182 416,569 134,196 27,151 31,360 75,685 178,151 57,327 120,824 68,112 36,110 4,790 25,028 6,292 209,851 74,286 80,344 34,826 20,395 93,100 419,646 137.477 29,032 32,095 76,350 178,983 58,788 120,195 67,210 35,976 4,688 24,950 6,338 1. Includes finance company subsidiaries of bank holding companies but not of retailers and banks. Data are before deductions for unearned income and losses. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.20 (422) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes all loans secured by liens on any type of real estate, for example, first and junior mortgages and home equity loans. 3. Includes personal cash loans, mobile home loans, and loans to purchase other types of consumer goods such as appliances, apparel, general merchandise, and recreation vehicles. 4. Outstanding balances of pools upon which securities have been issued; these balances are no longer carried on the balance sheets of the loan originator. 5. Passenger car fleets and commercial land vehicles for which licenses are required. 6. Credit arising from transactions between manufacturers and dealers, that is, floor plan financing. 7. Beginning with the June 1996 data, retail and wholesale business equipment loans have been combined and are no longer separately available. 8. Includes loans on commercial accounts receivable, factored commercial accounts, and receivable dealer capital; small loans used primarily for business or farm purposes; and wholesale and lease paper for mobile homes, campers, and travel trailers. A34 1.53 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 MORTGAGE MARKETS Mortgages on New Homes Millions of dollars except as noted 1996 Item 1993 1994 1995 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Terms and yields in primary and secondary markets PRIMARY MARKETS 1 2 3 4 5 Terms[ Purchase price (thousands of dollars) Amount of loan (thousands of dollars) Loan-to-price ratio (percent) Maturity (years) Fees and charges (percent of loan amount)2 Yield (percent per year) 6 Contract rate1 7 Effective rate1,3 8 Contract rate (HUD series)4 163.1 123.0 78.0 26.1 1.30 170.4 130.8 78.8 27.5 1.29 175.8 134.5 78.6 27.7 1.21 179.2 135.8 77.3 27.7 1.07 181.7 143.2 80.3 27.8 1.24 184.5 141.5 77.8 26.4 1.30 175.2 133.2 78.4 27.1 1.17 179.5 137.6 79.3 27.2 1.16 180.1 139.4 78.7 25.8 1.31 194.0 144.2 76.2 26.7 1.25 7.03 7.24 7.37 7.26 7.47 8.58 7.65 7.85 8.05 7.15 7.32 7.23 7.00 7.20 7.56 7.25 7.49 7.97 7.57 7.76 8.22 7.61 7.80 8.34 7.75 8.05 8.37 7.80 8.01 8.28 7.46 6.65 8.68 7.96 8.18 7.57 7.11 6.71 7.57 6.85 8.09 7.40 8.52 7.63 8.57 7.81 8.55 7.91 8.56 7.84 SECONDARY MARKETS Yield (percent per year) 9 FHA mortgages (Section 203)5 10 GNMA securities6 Activity in secondary markets FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION Mortgage holdings (end of period) 11 Total 190,861 23,857 167,004 222,057 27,558 194,499 253,511 28,762 224,749 255,619 28,622 226,997 257,970 28,502 229,468 262,014 28,744 233,270 263,809 29,132 234,677 267,330 30,442 236,888 270,042 30,936 239,106 272,458 30,830 241,628 14 Mortgage transactions purchased (during period) 92,037 62,389 56,598 4,810 5,371 7,681 5,339 6,720 5,421 5,345 Mortgage commitments (during period) 15 Issued7 16 To sell8 92,537 5,097 54,038 1,820 56,092 360 5,750 3 7,013 0 6,293 29 5,599 0 5,228 13 5,280 0 5,036 0 55,012 321 54,691 72,693 276 72,416 107,424 267 107,157 111,143 226 110,917 114,793 223 114,570 117,420 220 117,200 119,520 216 119,304 121,058 212 120,846 123,806 209r 123,597r 125,574 205 125,369 Mortgage transactions (during period) 20 Purchases 21 Sales 229,242 208,723 124,697 117,110 98,470 85,877 13,357 11,624 10,891 9,733 11,984 11,384 12,740 11,958 12,385 11,904 10,266 9,969 9,934 9,496 22 Mortgage commitments contracted (during period)' 274,599 136,067 118,659 12,765 10,378 14,520 13,009 11,075 11,164 10,626 12 FHA/VA insured 13 Conventional FEDERAL HOME LOAN MORTGAGE CORPORATION Mortgage holdings (end of period)8 17 Total 18 FHA/VA insured 19 Conventional 1. Weighted averages based on sample surveys of mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups for purchase of newly built homes; compiled by the Federal Housing Finance Board in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2. Includes all fees, commissions, discounts, and "points" paid (by the borrower or the seller) to obtain a loan. 3. Average effective interest rate on loans closed for purchase of newly built homes, assuming prepayment at the end of ten years. 4. Average contract rate on new commitments for conventional first mortgages; from U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Based on transactions on the first day of the subsequent month. 5. Average gross yield on thirty-year, minimum-downpayment first mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) for immediate delivery in the private secondary market. Based on transactions on first day of subsequent month. 6. Average net yields to investors on fully modified pass-through securities backed by mortgages and guaranteed by the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), assuming prepayment in twelve years on pools of thirty-year mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration or guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs. 7. Does not include standby commitments issued, but includes standby commitments converted. 8. Includes participation loans as well as whole loans. 9. Includes conventional and government-underwritten loans. The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation's mortgage commitments and mortgage transactions include activity under mortgage securities swap programs, whereas the corresponding data for FNMA exclude swap activity. Real Estate 1.54 A3 5 MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 1995 Type of holder and property 1992 1994 1993 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Qlp 1 All holders 4,092,984 4,268,420 4,473,100 4,515,854 4,584,566 4,663,864 4,715,884 4,773,998 By type of property 2 One- to four-family residences 3 Multifamily residences 4 Nonfarm, nonresidential 5 3,037,408 274,234 700,604 80,738 3,227,134 270,796 689,296 81,194 3,430,023 275,303 684,803 82,971 3,465,065 276,398 690,988 83,403 3,524,378 280,390 695,947 83,850 3,593,966 284,238 701,241 84,420 3,634,698 288,090 708,467 84,629 3,682,610 292,448 713,751 85,189 1,769,187 894,513 507,780 38,024 328,826 19,882 627,972 489,622 69,791 68,235 324 246,702 11,441 27,770 198,269 9,222 1,767,835 940,444 556,538 38,635 324,409 20,862 598,330 469,959 67,362 60,704 305 229,061 9,458 25,814 184,305 9,484 1,815,810 1,004,280 611,697 38,916 331,100 22,567 596,199 477,499 64,400 54,011 289 215,332 7,910 24,306 173,539 9,577 1,841,815 1,024,854 625,378 39,746 336,795 22,936 601,777 483,625 63,778 54,085 288 215,184 7,892 24,250 173,142 9,900 1,868,175 1,053,048 648,705 40,593 340,176 23,575 599,745 482,005 64,404 53,054 282 215,382 7,911 24,310 173,565 9,596 1,895,285 1,072,780 662,126 43,003 343,826 23,824 604,614 489,150 63,569 51,604 291 217,892 8,006 24,601 175,643 9,643 1,890,539 1,080,373 663,588 43,846 349,109 23,829 596,789 482,765 61,926 51,809 288 213,377 7,833 24,070 171,855 9,619 1,895,878 1,087,174 666,306 45,201 351,736 23,931 595,903 484,020 60,494 51,089 299 212,801 7,815 24,013 171,445 9,528 286,263 30 30 0 41,695 16,912 10,575 5,158 9,050 12,581 5,153 7,428 32,045 12,960 9,621 9,464 0 0 0 0 0 0 137,584 124,016 13,568 28,664 1,687 26,977 33,665 31,032 2,633 327,014 22 15 7 41,386 15,303 10,940 5,406 9,739 12,215 5,364 6,851 17,284 7,203 5,327 4,754 0 14,112 2,367 1,426 10,319 0 166,642 151,310 15,332 28,460 1,675 26,785 46,892 44,345 2,547 319,401 6 6 0 41,781 13,826 11,319 5,670 10,966 10,964 4,753 6,211 10,428 5,200 2,859 2,369 0 7,821 1,049 1,595 5,177 0 178,059 162,160 15,899 28,555 1,671 26,885 41,786 38,956 2,830 317,753 15 15 0 41,857 13,507 11,418 5,807 11,124 10,890 4,715 6,175 9,342 4,755 2,494 2,092 0 6,730 840 1,310 4,580 0 177,615 161,780 15,835 28,065 1,651 26,414 43,239 40,105 3,134 315,722 7 7 0 41,917 13,217 11,512 5,949 11,239 10,098 4,838 5,260 6,456 2,870 1,940 1,645 0 6,039 731 1,135 4,173 0 178,462 162,674 15,788 28,005 1,648 26,357 44,738 41,477 3,261 319,923 2 2 0 41,858 12,914 11,557 6,096 11,291 9,535 4,918 4,617 4,889 2,299 1,420 1,170 0 5,015 618 722 3,674 0 182,229 166,393 15,836 28,151 1,656 26,495 48,243 44,809 3,434 320,828 2 2 0 41,791 12,643 11,617 6,248 11,282 9,809 5,180 4,629 1,864 691 647 525 0 4,303 492 428 3,383 0 183,782 168,122 15,660 28,428 1,673 26,755 50,849 46,997 3,852 322,131 2 2 0 41,594 12,327 11,636 6,365 11,266 8,439 4,228 4,211 0 0 0 0 0 5,553 1,848 560 3,145 0 183,531 167,895 15,636 28,891 1,700 27,191 54,120 50,058 4,062 1,434,264 419,516 410,675 8,841 407,514 401,525 5,989 444,979 435,979 9,000 38 8 0 17 13 162,217 140,718 6,305 15,194 0 1,564,571 414,066 404,864 9,202 447,147 442,612 4,535 495,525 486,804 8,721 28 5 0 13 10 207,806 173,635 8,701 25,469 0 1,718,297 450,934 441,198 9,736 490,851 487,725 3,126 530,343 520,763 9,580 19 3 0 9 7 246,150 194,451 14,925 36,774 0 1,731,468 454,401 444,632 9,769 492,194 489,114 3,080 533,262 523,903 9,359 14 2 0 7 5 251,597 198,040 15,743 37,814 0 1,759,091 457,101 446,855 10,246 498,216 495,182 3,034 543,669 533,091 10,578 13 2 0 6 5 260,093 202,718 17,281 40,094 0 1,795,041 463,654 453,114 10,540 503,370 500,417 2,953 559,585 548,400 11,185 12 2 0 5 5 268,420 207,679 18,903 41,838 0 1,853,613 472,298 461,453 10,845 515,051 512,238 2,813 582,959 569,724 13,235 11 2 0 5 4 283,294 214,635 21,279 47,380 0 1,895,309 475,823 464,644 11,179 524,326 521,721 2,605 599,546 585,527 14,019 10 1 0 5 4 295,604 220,022 24,477 51,104 0 603,270 447,871 64,688 75,441 15,270 609,000 455,676 65,397 73,917 14,009 619,592 461,157 69,601 76,153 12,681 624,819 465,111 70,305 76,667 12,736 641,578 480,447 71,050 77,284 12,796 653,615 491,463 71,897 77,384 12,872 650,904 486,660 73,243 78,152 12,850 660,680 494,495 74,354 78,861 12,970 By type of holder 6 Major financial institutions 7 Commercial banks2 8 One- to four-family Multifamily 9 10 Nonfarm, nonresidential Farm 11 12 Savings institutions3 One- to four-family 13 Multifamily 14 Nonfarm, nonresidential 15 16 Farm Life insurance companies 17 18 One- to four-family Multifamily 19 20 Nonfarm, nonresidential Farm 21 22 Federal and related agencies Government National Mortgage Association 23 24 One- to four-family 25 Multifamily Farmers Home Administration4 26 27 One- to four-family Multifamily 28 29 Nonfarm, nonresidential Farm 30 Federal Housing and Veterans' Administrations 31 32 One- to four-family Multifamily 33 Resolution Trust Corporation 34 One- to four-family 35 Multifamily 36 37 Nonfarm, nonresidential Farm 38 Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 39 40 One- to four-family Multifamily 41 Nonfarm, nonresidential 42 Farm 43 44 Federal National Mortgage Association 45 One- to four-family Multifamily 46 Federal Land Banks 47 48 One- to four-family 49 Farm Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 50 One- to four-family 51 Multifamily 52 53 Mortgage pools or trusts5 54 Government National Mortgage Association One- to four-family 55 Multifamily 56 57 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 58 One- to four-family Multifamily 59 60 Federal National Mortgage Association 61 One- to four-family Multifamily 62 63 Farmers Home Administration4 64 One- to four-family Multifamily 65 Nonfarm, nonresidential 66 Farm 67 68 Private mortgage conduits 69 One- to four-family 6 Multifamily 70 Nonfarm, nonresidential 71 Farm 72 73 Individuals and others7 74 One- to four-family Multifamily 75 Nonfarm, nonresidential 76 Farm 77 1. Multifamily debt refers to loans on structures of five or more units. 2. Includes loans held by nondeposit trust companies but not loans held by bank trust departments. 3. Includes savings banks and savings and loan associations. 4. FmHA-guaranteed securities sold to the Federal Financing Bank were reallocated from FmHA mortgage pools to FmHA mortgage holdings in 1986:Q4 because of accounting changes by the Farmers Home Administration. 5. Outstanding principal balances of mortgage-backed securities insured or guaranteed by the agency indicated. 6. Includes securitized home equity loans. 7. Other holders include mortgage companies, real estate investment trusts, state and local credit agencies, state and local retirement funds, noninsured pension funds, credit unions, and finance companies. SOURCE. Based on data from various institutional and government sources. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, if not reported directly, and interpolations and extrapolations, when required for some quarters, are estimated in part by the Federal Reserve. Line 69 from Inside Mortgage Securities and other sources. A36 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT1 1.55 Millions of dollars, amounts outstanding, end of period 1996r Holder and type of credit 1993 1994 1995 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Seasonally adjusted 1 Total 844,118 966,457 1,103,164 1,112,235 1,123,182 1,132,882 1,139,830 1,145,428 1,153,703 2 Automobile 3 Revolving 4 Other2 279,786 287,011 277,321 317,182 339,337 309,939 351,052 413,894 338,218 352,520 418,971 340,745 355,136 425,658 342.388 357,752 431,035 344,095 360,460 438,222 341,148 361,627 443,909 339,892 366,936 446,707 340,060 Not seasonally adjusted 5 Total 863,924 990,247 1,131,747 1,122,524 1,120,273 1,122,549 1,129,073 1,135,676 1,146,536 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Savings institutions Nonfinancial business3 Pools of securitized assets 4 .. 399,683 116,453 101,634 37,855 77,229 131,070 462,923 134,830 119,594 38,468 86,621 147,811 507,414 152,624 131,939 40,106 85,061 214,603 501,083 152,606 131,257 40,224 80,733 216,621 498,804 154,365 130,839 40,448 78,138 217,679 498,302 151,749 130,837 40,762 76,681 224,218 503,371 153,299 131,844 41,000 73,765 225,794 502,173 155,893 133,367 41,000 74,680 228,563 504,866 154,630 134,710 40,323 72,521 239,486 By major type of credit5 12 Automobile 13 Commercial banks 14 Finance companies 15 Pools of securitized assets4 281,538 122,000 56,057 39,561 319,715 141,895 61,609 36,376 354,260 149,094 70,626 44,616 352,028 148,186 71,420 42,373 352,907 147,703 73,312 41,568 354,061 148,455 72.129 42,800 356,014 150,434 73,810 40,545 358,948 151,271 74,327 41,021 365,449 153,814 74,286 44,828 16 Revolving 17 Commercial banks 18 Nonfinancial business3 . . . 19 Pools of securitized assets4 302,201 149.920 50,125 80,242 357,307 182,021 56,790 96,130 435,674 210,298 53,525 147,934 425,964 200,080 50,520 151,640 424,537 198,886 48,613 153,390 425,664 196,836 47,416 157,690 431,499 201,903 44,526 161,185 438,033 205,011 45,182 163,774 441,814 204,658 43,097 169,865 20 Other 21 Commercial banks 22 Finance companies 23 Nonfinancial business3 . . . 24 Pools of securitized assets4 280,185 127,763 60,396 27,104 11,267 313,225 139,007 73,221 29,831 15,305 341,813 148,022 81,998 31,536 22,053 344,532 152,817 81,186 30,213 22,608 342,829 152,215 81,053 29,525 22,721 342,824 153,011 79,620 29,265 23,728 341,560 151,034 79,489 29,239 24,064 338,695 145,891 81,566 29,498 23,768 339,273 146,394 80,344 29,424 24,793 6 7 8 9 10 11 1. The Board's series on amounts of credit covers most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals that is scheduled to be repaid (or has the option of repayment) in two or more installments. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Comprises mobile home loans and all other installment loans that are not included in automobile or revolving credit, such as loans for education, boats, trailers, or vacations. These loans may be secured or unsecured. 1.56 3. Includes retailers and gasoline companies. 4. Outstanding balances of pools upon which securities have been issued; these balances are no longer carried on the balance sheets of the loan originator. 5. Totals include estimates for certain holders for which only consumer credit totals are available. TERMS OF CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT1 Percent per year except as noted 1995 Item 1993 1994 1996 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June INTEREST RATES Commercial banks~ 1 48-month new car 2 24-month personal 8.09 13.47 8.12 13.19 9.57 13.94 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 9.12 13.63 n.a. n.a. n.a. 8.93 13.52 n.a. Credit card plan 3 All accounts 4 Accounts assessed interest n.a. n.a. 15.69 15.77 16.02 15.79 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 15.82 15.41 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 15.44 15.41 n.a. Auto finance companies 5 New car 6 Used car 9.48 12.79 9.79 13.49 11.19 14.48 10.52 13.83 9.74 13.27 9.86 13.28 9.77 13.19 9.64 13.26 9.37 13.49 9.53 13.62 54.5 48.8 54.0 50.2 54.1 52.2 53.6 51.8 51.8 52.2 52.3 52.1 51.8 52.0 51.5 51.8 50.8 51.7 50.4 51.6 91 98 92 99 92 99 92 99 92 99 91 98 91 98 91 99 91 99 91 100 14,332 9,875 15,375 10,709 16,210 11,590 17,034 12,152 16,698 12,059 16,627 11,990 16,520 11,934 16,605 12,024 16,686 12,233 16,854 12,249 OTHER TERMS 3 Maturity (months) 7 New car 8 Used car Loan-to-value ratio 9 New car 10 Used car Amount financed (dollars) 11 New car 12 Used car 1. The Board's series on amounts of credit covers most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals that is scheduled to be repaid (or has the option of repayment) in two or more installments. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Data are available for only the second month of each quarter, 3. At auto finance companies, Flow of Funds 1.57 A37 FUNDS RAISED IN U.S. CREDIT MARKETS 1 Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1994 Transaction category or sector 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1995 Q3 Q4 QL Q2 Q3 Q4 QL Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total net borrowing by domestic nonfinancial sectors.... 481.7 543.0 628.5 618.9 732.9 587.6 634.8 880.4 888.3 584.8 578.2 863.5 By sector and instrument 2 U.S. government 3 Treasury securities 4 Budget agency issues and mortgages 278.2 292.0 -13.8 304.0 303.8 .2 256.1 248.3 7.8 155.9 155.7 .2 144.4 142.9 1.5 135.6 132.8 2.9 150.1 155.7 -5.7 266.8 268.0 -1.2 202.8 201.2 1.6 65.8 65.4 .4 42.4 37.2 5.1 288.7 291.0 -2.3 5 Private 203.5 239.0 372.3 463.1 588.5 452.0 484.7 613.6 685.6 519.1 535.9 574.8 87.8 78.8 158.4 173.6 -5.5 -10.0 .4 -13.7 -40.9 -18.4 -48.5 30.5 67.6 130.9 187.6 -10.4 -47.8 1.4 5.0 -13.7 8.6 10.1 74.8 75.2 157.2 187.9 -6.0 -25.0 .5 61.5 3.8 10.0 -10.2 -29.3 23.3 194.3 202.4 1.3 -11.1 1.8 124.9 73.1 21.4 55.4 -41.3 73.3 237.5 204.7 11.0 20.1 1.7 142.9 103.0 18.1 54.9 -58.4 15.4 205.5 210.3 5.6 -12.7 2.2 133.8 92.1 28.5 35.1 -53.8 6.2 210.6 216.8 -4.2 -3.4 1.4 141.8 76.7 30.7 72.4 -45.8 53.0 222.5 196.8 2.7 21.2 1.7 138.3 152.5 12.3 80.8 -4.3 98.4 239.6 207.2 14.2 16.3 1.8 156.9 96.8 39.1 59.1 -107.4 59.8 290.5 256.8 13.7 17.7 2.3 158.5 76.8 13.9 27.1 -7.6 82.0 197.4 157.8 13.6 25.2 .8 118.2 86.0 7.2 52.7 -6.4 58.9 285.4 250.1 15.6 17.4 2.2 121.7 52.8 37.9 24.5 183.8 -61.9 2.1 -53.0 81.6 198.4 19.5 1.3 -16.0 34.1 21.1 249.1 61.0 2.0 7.0 52.0 62.3 362.2 144.3 2.8 12.1 129.3 -43.4 383.5 250.6 2.0 35.9 212.7 -45.7 385.3 132.1 2.4 8.8 120.9 -65.4 392.4 160.8 -2.0 16.5 146.3 -68.5 358.6 300.1 .9 51.3 247.9 -45.1 393.0 303.6 3.6 34.4 265.6 -11.1 448.1 181.5 4.3 29.8 147.4 -110.6 334.5 217.4 -.8 28.2 190.0 -16.0 387.7 190.7 .9 29.3 160.5 -3.7 23 Foreign net borrowing in United States 24 Bonds Bank loans n.e.c 25 26 Commercial paper Other loans and advances 27 14.8 15.0 3.1 6.4 -9.8 22.6 15.7 2.3 5.2 -.6 68.8 81.3 .7 -9.0 -4.2 -20.3 7.1 1.4 -27.3 -1.6 67.7 46.5 8.5 13.6 -.8 19.6 20.8 4.7 -8.1 2.2 33.5 27.7 -.5 5.9 .4 61.4 13.5 8.1 37.9 1.9 40.4 49.9 5.6 -11.1 -4.0 94.1 52.1 8.2 30.9 2.9 75.1 70.6 11.9 -3.4 -4.1 36.9 45.4 8.7 -13.8 -3.3 28 Total domestic plus foreign 496.5 565.6 697.3 598.6 800.7 607.2 668.3 941.8 928.8 678.9 653.3 900.4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 By instrument Municipal securities Corporate bonds Mortgages Home mortgages Multifamily residential Commercial Farm Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Commercial paper Other loans and advances 17 18 19 20 21 22 By borrowing sector Household Nonfinancial business Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate State and local government -11.0 Financial sectors 155.6 240.0 291.1 467.9 444.9 428.7 536.8 273.1 436.1 490.0 580.4 313.6 145.7 9.2 136.6 .0 155.8 40.3 115.6 .0 164.2 80.6 83.6 .0 288.6 176.9 116.5 -4.8 205.1 106.9 98.2 .0 250.3 152.1 98.3 .0 321.2 249.0 72.2 .0 89.4 62.9 26.4 .0 192.1 127.2 64.9 .0 221.4 101.5 119.9 .0 317.5 136.1 181.4 .0 147.2 37.4 109.8 .0 34 Private Corporate bonds 35 36 Mortgages Bank loans n.e.c 37 38 Open market paper 39 Other loans and advances 9.8 69.9 .5 8.8 -32.0 -37.3 84.2 82.7 .6 2.2 -.7 -.6 126.9 120.1 3.6 -13.0 -6.2 22.4 179.2 117.5 9.8 -12.3 41.6 22.6 239.8 185.5 5.3 3.0 42.6 3.4 178.3 103.9 12.0 -11.7 41.3 32.8 215.6 84.9 4.9 1.9 85.9 38.1 183.7 167.5 5.2 -3.0 38.5 -24.5 244.0 182.3 5.2 21.2 34.0 1.3 268.6 208.1 5.2 7.1 43.3 4.9 262.9 184.0 5.6 -13.4 54.7 32.0 166.4 136.2 5.5 7.6 22.6 -5.5 By borrowing sector 40 Government-sponsored enterprises 41 Federally related mortgage pools 42 Private financial sectors Commercial banks 43 44 Bank holding companies 45 Funding corporations 46 Savings institutions 47 Credit unions 48 Life insurance companies * Finance companies 49 50 Mortgage companies 51 Real estate investment trusts (REITs) 52 Brokers and dealers 53 Issuers of asset-backed securities (ABSs) 9.1 136.6 9.8 -10.7 -2.5 -6.5 -44.7 .0 .0 17.7 -2.4 1.2 3.7 54.0 40.2 115.6 84.2 7.7 2.3 13.2 -7.0 .0 .0 -1.6 8.0 .3 2.7 58.5 80.6 83.6 126.9 4.6 8.8 2.9 11.3 .2 .2 .2 .0 3.4 12.0 83.3 172.1 116.5 179.2 9.9 10.3 24.2 12.8 .2 .3 50.2 -11.5 13.7 .5 68.5 106.9 98.2 239.8 8.1 14.4 32.0 2.6 -.1 -.1 51.6 -2.1 5.4 -5.0 133.0 152.1 98.3 178.3 23.9 11.5 47.3 14.8 .5 .0 16.3 -7.0 18.8 -7.6 59.8 249.0 72.2 215.6 4.1 16.0 11.1 36.1 .2 1.3 57.3 1.1 6.3 19.3 62.8 62.9 26.4 183.7 6.3 16.3 61.5 -18.9 -.3 .0 83.1 -7.4 5.2 -29.5 67.6 127.2 64.9 244.0 18.2 20.8 21.7 -7.2 -.1 .1 57.2 14.8 5.2 -.1 113.2 101.5 119.9 268.6 8.8 28.2 52.1 5.1 .1 -.1 6.5 4.0 5.2 2.1 156.5 136.1 181.4 262.9 -.9 -7.8 -7.3 31.5 .0 -.4 59.6 -20.0 6.0 7.7 194.5 37.4 109.8 166.4 -4.8 -25.8 26.6 10.9 -.1 2.5 50.0 .7 5.9 -31.8 132.2 29 Total net borrowing by financial sectors 30 31 32 33 By instrument U.S. government-related Government-sponsored enterprise securities Mortgage pool securities Loans from U.S. government A38 1.57 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 FUNDS RAISED IN U.S. CREDIT MARKETS'—Continued 1994 1996 1995 Transaction category or sector Q3 Q4 QI Q2 Q3 Q4 QL All sectors 54 Total net borrowing, all sectors 652.1 805.6 988.4 1,066.5 1,245.6 1,035.9 1,205.2 1,214.8 1,364.9 1,169.0 1,233.7 1,214.0 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 424.0 87.8 163.6 158.9 -13.7 -29.1 -44.0 -95.6 459.8 30.5 166.0 131.5 5.0 -9.3 13.1 8.9 420.3 74.8 276.6 160.8 61.5 -8.5 -5.1 8.0 449.3 -29.3 147.9 204.1 124.9 62.2 35.7 71.7 349.5 -41.3 305.3 242.8 142.9 114.5 74.3 57.5 386.0 -58.4 140.1 217.5 133.8 85.1 61.7 70.2 471.3 -53.8 118.8 215.5 141.8 78.1 122.5 111.0 356.2 -45.8 234.0 227.7 138.3 157.6 88.8 58.1 394.9 -4.3 330.6 244.8 156.9 123.7 61.9 56.5 287.2 -107.4 320.0 295.7 158.5 92.1 88.1 34.9 359.9 -7.6 336.7 202.9 118.2 84.5 58.5 80.6 435.9 -6.4 240.5 290.9 121.7 69.0 46.6 15.7 U.S. government securities Municipal securities Corporate and foreign bonds Mortgages Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans and advances Funds raised through mutual funds and corporate equities 63 Total net share issues 209.4 294.9 442.1 150.8 159.3 113.2 -81.1 40.0 156.7 196.1 244.3 273.4 64 Mutual funds 65 Corporate equities 66 Nonfinancial corporations 67 Financial corporations Foreign shares purchased by U.S. residents 68 147.2 62.2 18.3 13.3 30.7 209.1 85.8 27.0 28.1 30.7 323.7 118.4 21.3 36.6 60.5 128.9 21.9 -44.9 24.1 42.7 173.9 -14.7 -74.2 12.3 47.2 129.7 -16.4 -50.0 10.5 23.1 -12.6 -68.5 -118.0 16.3 33.2 78.5 -38.5 -60.0 8.7 12.8 173.3 -16.6 -71.3 17.7 37.0 195.3 .7 -92.8 9.7 83.9 248.6 -4.3 -72.8 13.3 55.3 290.9 -17.6 -118.0 11.5 89.0 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z.l (780) quarterly statistical release, tables F.2 through F.5. For ordering address, see inside front cover. Flow of Funds 1.58 A39 SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL TRANSACTIONS 1 Billions of dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1994 Transaction category or sector 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1995 Q3 Q4 Ql 1,245.6 1,035.9 1,205.2 -84.8 51.5 1.0 -3.5 -133.7 -21.3 271.7 1,080.0 94.7 213.4 292.3 .7 37.3 -117.0 -11.3 137.5 696.3 121.9 227.8 343.4 .9 53.2 -169.7 98.3 29.7 183.4 155.6 22.9 2.7 2.2 -43.4 53.8 89.5 25.3 42.5 -11.1 63.8 -14.0 -29.3 -13.6 57.7 5.5 -21.9 50.6 7.7 72.2 30.0 174.5 174.2 -5.6 -2.4 8.3 -4.2 32.4 79.4 30.4 74.7 36.6 81.7 Q4 Q2 Q3 1,214.8 1,364.9 1,169.0 1,233.7 1,214.0 35.3 170.8 .5 -142.3 -77.2 1.1 39.5 -105.7 -54.9 203.2 1.1 -50.2 -209.0 -23.9 358.0 889.8 -177.3 -90.7 1.2 37.6 -125.3 -23.9 161.7 1,273.1 -133.6 -103.6 1.2 52.7 -83.9 -24.6 327.6 1,044.5 Ql NET LENDING IN CREDIT MARKETS 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Total net lending in credit markets 652.1 805.6 988.4 Private domestic nonfinancial sectors Households Nonfarm noncorporate business Nonfinancial corporate business State and local governments U.S. government Rest of the world Financial sectors Government sponsored enterprises Federally related mortgage pools Monetary authority Commercial banking U.S. chartered banks Foreign banking offices in United States Bank holding companies Banks in U.S. affiliated areas Funding corporations Thrift institutions Life insurance companies Other insurance companies Private pension funds State and local government retirement funds Finance companies Mortgage companies Mutual funds Closed-end funds Money market mutual funds Real estate investment trusts (REITs) Brokers and dealers Asset-backed securities issuers (ABSs) Bank personal trusts 105.2 29.0 -5.3 30.7 50.8 10.5 13.3 523.1 15.1 87.9 81.7 -.1 27.8 -21.5 -11.9 98.2 631.5 68.8 65.6 52.2 .6 9.1 3.7 -18.4 128.3 812.8 90.2 258.9 304.7 .7 48.1 -94.6 136.6 31.1 80.8 35.7 48.5 -1.5 -1.9 8.2 -146.1 86.5 30.0 35.4 41.1 -9.2 11.2 83.6 36.2 142.2 149.6 -9.8 116.5 31.5 163.4 148.1 11.2 12.8 32.7 -.7 17.5 50.0 10.0 115.6 27.9 95.3 69.5 16.5 5.6 3.7 17.7 -61.3 78.5 6.7 41.1 23.0 7.5 .1 126.2 18.2 4.7 1.1 -1.3 53.7 8.0 652.1 -5.9 80.1 1,066.5 -24.2 134.4 697.4 119.1 -24.4 210.9 790.8 171.4 -41.1 -94.9 -13.2 241.2 951.6 28.2 -24.3 326.1 1,205.3 97.5 -8.0 42.6 1.4 26.4 16.3 343.1 183.4 158.8 -1.5 2.4 39.8 28.2 132.4 19.2 58.9 62.4 92.5 -14.4 -15.1 3.5 53.1 1.8 30.5 55.5 -10.8 64.9 20.8 315.6 222.4 83.9 5.3 4.0 -3.5 9.7 131.2 21.7 57.2 3.2 65.7 29.9 21.5 6.4 135.2 1.8 146.2 100.9 -20.6 61.5 119.9 -11.1 248.9 227.5 24.1 -9.6 7.0 5.5 43.6 77.0 21.8 50.5 6.8 43.7 7.3 52.0 8.4 33.2 1.8 -1.8 144.6 -23.7 191.7 181.4 24.7 157.7 112.9 35.0 4.6 5.2 -17.0 -46.8 54.3 22.8 78.5 13.2 52.7 -36.4 151.5 5.0 124.6 1.9 185.6 148.0 -20.2 42.3 109.8 14.3 130.7 85.9 51.1 -5.3 -.9 154.9 -2.1 122.1 22.2 77.8 87.3 56.7 1.7 62.9 -1.2 170.1 1.9 -101.1 112.2 -18.1 .0 .9 2.4 -19.4 -1.7 100.9 27.7 45.9 19.8 -9.0 20.4 .6 14.8 80.8 9.5 3.3 -27.4 34.9 66.3 24.9 47.0 29.0 68.2 -22.9 -7.1 -5.5 30.0 4.7 -44.2 61.9 7.1 98.2 12.7 266.3 186.6 75.4 -.3 4.7 6.2 8.7 98.7 21.4 61.3 21.4 63.6 -3.4 52.5 5.8 86.5 1.8 90.1 112.3 -18.8 805.6 988.4 1,066.5 1,245.6 1,035.9 1,205.2 1,214.8 1,364.9 1,169.0 1,233.7 1,214.0 -1.6 -2.0 .8 -5.8 .2 .0 17.8 .0 .7 54.0 302.5 -13.6 42.8 18.1 116.8 59.9 161.8 39.2 78.5 -38.5 -10.7 113.6 15.3 26.9 -44.3 327.2 -1.9 -2.1 .8 67.7 238.0 4.1 -66.0 -51.8 84.0 56.4 86.0 28.1 129.7 -16.4 -59.3 97.2 10.2 46.0 23.6 264.8 -8.6 .0 .7 21.6 293.4 99.9 -40.5 -46.9 36.5 86.5 51.9 97.9 -12.6 -68.5 37.1 149.4 4.2 23.1 11.9 303.4 9.0 8.6 .8 3.2 22.6 18.8 236.8 8.8 2.2 .6 49.9 258.5 10.1 -12.5 96.5 65.6 142.3 110.7 5.8 173.9 -14.7 26.7 106.0 1.3 38.7 -47.7 461.9 10.3 .0 25.2 133.5 112.0 69.2 233.5 130.7 90.6 173.3 -16.6 30.8 30.5 -4.3 33.5 -45.6 505.1 29.9 223.0 -43.2 -151.5 142.2 76.3 121.2 85.1 -63.8 195.3 .7 35.4 183.2 4.0 48.6 -63.9 347.6 .0 66.0 197.7 71.8 -75.0 113.6 .3 154.8 65.2 -42.8 248.6 -4.3 51.3 96.8 -9.8 45.7 -37.1 667.6 56.0 301.5 -80.9 51.7 174.7 52.0 225.6 -31.6 -32.0 290.9 -17.6 80.3 129.7 9.5 53.1 -47.3 466.0 .0 159.5 11.0 2.1 -70.4 -10.0 53.9 .2 RELATION OF LIABILITIES TO FINANCIAL ASSETS 33 Net flows through credit markets 34 35 36 3/ 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Other financial sources Official foreign exchange Special drawing rights certificates Treasury currency Life insurance reserves Pension fund reserves Interbank claims Checkable deposits and currency Small time and savings deposits Large time deposits Money market fund shares Security repurchase agreements Foreign deposits Mutual fund shares Corporate equities Security credit Trade payables Taxes payable Noncorporate proprietors' equity Investment in bank personal trusts Miscellaneous 54 Total financial sources .0 25.7 198.2 -3.4 86.3 1.5 -58.5 41.6 -16.5 -26.5 147.2 62.2 51.4 31.0 -7.4 .5 16.1 278.2 27.3 238.6 49.4 113.5 -57.2 -73.2 4.5 43.1 -3.5 209.1 85.8 4.6 46.6 9.7 16.7 -7.1 280.5 .0 .4 35.2 247.3 50.5 117.3 -70.3 -23.5 20.2 71.2 -18.5 323.7 118.4 61.4 54.4 5.2 3.4 1.6 364.6 .0 .2 .7 34.0 248.0 89.7 -9.7 -40.0 19.6 43.3 78.3 45.8 128.9 21.9 -.1 111.0 .0 .7 49.9 310.7 .0 .0 .0 1,473.9 1,790.4 2,351.7 2,113.5 2,730.1 1,979.2 2,245.7 2,482.9 3,237.8 2,357.5 2,842.3 2,893.5 Floats not included in assets ( —) 55 U.S. government checkable deposits 56 Other checkable deposits 57 Trade credit -13.1 4.5 36.1 .7 1.6 11.3 -1.5 -1.3 -6.6 -4.8 -2.8 -7.8 -6.0 -3.8 -14.8 7.4 -3.3 12.6 -24.4 -2.3 -44.0 13.2 -3.7 79.5 -16.3 -3.9 12.7 3.5 -3.5 -44.1 -24.3 -4.2 -107.3 17.8 -3.9 -71.6 Liabilities not identified as assets (—) 58 Treasury currency 5 9 Interbank claims 60 Security repurchase agreements 61 Foreign deposits 62 Taxes payable 63 Miscellaneous -.6 -.2 -4.9 3.6 -2.8 11.9 -.1 -.2 26.2 -9.5 -24.0 -2.2 9.7 4.2 34.3 -7.0 11.1 -126.1 -.2 -2.7 31.5 36.9 8.6 -138.7 -.5 -3.1 -.2 -1.7 86.7 55.7 -.9 -107.3 -.2 .8 64.4 45.6 -8.9 -230.6 -.4 8.2 -47.3 -1.5 8.7 -29.8 -.2 10.1 -53.5 39.5 10.8 -44.3 31.6 -36.9 -.3 7.6 39.6 -93.6 10.8 -4.8 -1.0 -29.1 -12.7 -39.5 1.4 153.1 -.9 12.4 -76.7 -41.5 -24.0 123.3 1,446.8 1,769.3 2,444.9 2,193.7 2,769.8 2,000.1 2,284.2 2,522.7 3,208.3 2,442.4 2,905.9 2,958.8 64 Total identified to sectors as assets 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z.l (780) quarterly statistical release, tables F.6 and F.7. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 11.0 81.6 2. Excludes corporate equities and mutual fund shares. A40 1.59 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • October 1996 SUMMARY OF CREDIT MARKET DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 Billions of dollars, end of period 1994 1995 1996 Transaction category or sector Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total credit market debt owed by domestic nonfinancial sectors 11,894.5 12,537.8 13,163.0 13,895.9 12,965.8 13,163.0 13,339.3 13,548.4 13,707.8 13,895.9 14,072.1 By sector and instrument 2 U.S. government Treasury securities 4 Budget agency issues and mortgages 3,080.3 3,061.6 18.8 3,336.5 3,309.9 26.6 3,492.3 3,465.6 26.7 3,636.7 3,608.5 28.2 3,432.3 3,404.1 28.2 3,492.3 3,465.6 26.7 3,557.9 3,531.5 26.4 3,583.5 3,556.7 26.8 3,603.4 3,576.5 26.9 3,636.7 3,608.5 28.2 3,717.2 3,689.6 27.6 5 Private 8,814.2 9,201.3 9,670.7 10,259.2 9,533.6 9,670.7 9,781.4 9,964.9 10,104.4 10,259.2 10,354.9 6 / 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 By instrument Municipal securities Corporate bonds Mortgages Home mortgages Multifamily residential Commercial Farm Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Commercial paper Other loans and advances 1,302.8 1,154.5 4,088.7 3,037.4 272.5 698.1 80.7 802.4 672.2 107.1 686.5 1,377.5 1,229.7 4,260.0 3,227.6 267.8 683.4 81.2 863.9 676.0 117.8 676.3 1,348.2 1,253.0 4,454.4 3,430.0 269.1 672.3 83.0 988.8 749.0 139.2 738.0 1,307.0 1,326.3 4,691.8 3,634.7 280.2 692.4 84.6 1,131.7 852.0 157.4 792.9 1,362.6 1,251.5 4,400.5 3,374.6 270.2 673.1 82.6 933.9 724.9 138.7 721.6 1,348.2 1,253.0 4,454.4 3,430.0 269.1 672.3 83.0 988.8 749.0 139.2 738.0 1,335.4 1,266.3 4,495.8 3,465.1 269.8 677.6 83.4 989.3 782.8 149.8 762.0 1,331.7 1,290.9 4,563.2 3,524.4 273.3 681.6 83.9 1,029.7 810.6 162.9 775.8 1,309.9 1,305.8 4,641.2 3,594.0 276.8 686.1 84.4 1,077.5 825.6 163.3 781.2 1,307.0 1,326.3 4,691.8 3,634.7 280.2 692.4 84.6 1,131.7 852.0 157.4 792.9 1,304.1 1,341.0 4,748.6 3,682.6 284.1 696.7 85.2 1,123.3 861.9 173.2 802.7 1/ 18 19 20 21 22 By borrowing sector Household Nonfinancial business Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate State and local government 4,021.4 3,696.8 136.3 1,122.9 2,437.6 1,095.9 4,272.9 3,770.3 138.3 1,129.9 2,502.0 1,158.2 4,634.7 3,921.1 141.2 1,142.0 2,638.0 1,114.8 5,018.3 4,171.8 143.2 1,178.0 2,850.7 1,069.1 4,515.1 3,885.6 143.1 1,137.4 2,605.0 1,132.8 4,634.7 3,921.1 141.2 1,142.0 2,638.0 1,114.8 4,676.5 4,002.7 138.9 1,154.5 2,709.2 1,102.2 4,784.1 4,084.0 142.8 1,163.3 2,777.8 1,096.8 4,908.0 4,122.3 144.9 1,170.4 2,807.0 1,074.1 5,018.3 4,171.8 143.2 1,178.0 2,850.7 1,069.1 5,063.2 4,224.8 140.9 1,185.0 2,898.9 1,066.9 23 Foreign credit market debt held in United States 313.1 381.9 361.6 429.4 352.4 361.6 376.8 387.6 409.9 429.4 438.5 24 25 26 27 146.2 23.9 77.7 65.3 227.4 24.6 68.7 61.1 234.6 26.1 41.4 59.6 281.1 34.6 55.0 58.7 227.6 26.3 39.9 58.6 234.6 26.1 41.4 59.6 237.9 28.2 50.9 59.8 250.4 29.6 48.1 59.5 263.4 31.6 55.8 59.0 281.1 34.6 55.0 58.7 292.4 36.8 51.5 57.8 12,207.6 12,919.7 13,524.6 14,325.3 13,318.3 13,524.6 13,716.1 13,935.9 14,117.7 14,325.3 14,510.7 Bonds Bank loans n.e.c Commercial paper Other loans and advances 28 Total credit market debt owed by nonfinancial sectors, domestic and foreign Financial sectors 29 Total credit market debt owed by financial sectors 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 3/ 38 39 By instrument U.S. government-related Government-sponsored enteipnses securities Mortgage pool securities Loans from U.S. government Private Corporate bonds Mortgages Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans and advances By borrowing sector 40 Government-sponsored enterprises 41 Federally related mortgage pools 42 Private financial sectors 43 Commercial banks 44 Bank holding companies 45 Funding corporations 46 Savings institutions 47 Credit unions 48 Life insurance companies 49 Finance companies 50 Mortgage companies 51 Real estate investment trusts (REITs) 52 Brokers and dealers 53 Issuers of asset-backed securities (ABSs) 3,025.0 3,321.5 3,794.6 4,242.1 3,656.2 3,794.6 3,861.4 3,971.8 4,093.9 4,242.1 4,317.1 1,720.0 443.1 1,272.0 4.8 1,305.1 738.4 5.4 80.5 394.3 86.6 1,884.1 523.7 1,355.6 4.8 1,437.4 858.5 8.9 67.6 393.5 108.9 2,172.7 700.6 1,472.1 .0 1,621.9 973.5 18.7 55.3 442.8 131.6 2,377.8 807.5 1,570.3 .0 1,864.3 1,158.9 24.0 58.3 488.1 135.0 2,093.3 638.3 1,454.9 .0 1,563.0 949.5 17.5 53.4 420.5 122.0 2,172.7 700.6 1,472.1 .0 1,621.9 973.5 18.7 55.3 442.8 131.6 2,196.2 716.3 1,479.9 .0 1,665.2 1,012.3 20.0 53.4 454.1 125.4 2,247.1 748.1 1,499.0 .0 1,724.7 1,056.4 21.3 58.4 462.8 125.7 2,300.1 773.5 1,526.6 .0 1,793.8 1,110.2 22.6 60.3 473.6 127.0 2,377.8 807.5 1,570.3 .0 1,864.3 1,158.9 24.0 58.3 488.1 135.0 2,416.6 816.9 1,599.7 .0 1,900.6 1,189.6 25.4 59.1 492.8 133.6 447.9 1,272.0 1,305.1 80.0 114.6 161.6 88.4 .0 .0 390.4 30.2 13.9 21.7 404.3 528.5 1,355.6 1,437.4 84.6 123.4 169.9 99.6 .2 .2 390.5 30.2 17.4 33.7 487.6 700.6 1,472.1 1,621.9 94.5 133.6 199.3 112.4 .5 .6 440.7 18.7 31.1 34.3 556.1 807.5 1,570.3 1,864.3 102.6 148.0 233.9 115.0 .4 .5 492.3 16.6 36.5 29.3 689.1 638.3 1,454.9 1,563.0 92.6 129.6 200.6 103.4 .4 .3 420.9 18.5 29.5 29.4 537.7 700.6 1,472.1 1,621.9 94.5 133.6 199.3 112.4 .5 .6 440.7 18.7 31.1 34.3 556.1 716.3 1,479.9 1,665.2 95.0 137.7 221.0 107.7 .4 .6 456.7 16.9 32.4 26.9 570.0 748.1 1,499.0 1,724.7 99.9 142.9 229.9 105.9 .3 .6 467.2 20.6 33.7 26.8 596.8 773.5 1,526.6 1,793.8 102.0 150.0 240.0 107.2 .4 .6 471.9 21.6 35.0 27.4 637.8 807.5 1,570.3 1,864.3 102.6 148.0 233.9 115.0 .4 .5 492.3 16.6 36.5 29.3 689.1 816.9 1,599.7 1,900.6 100.5 141.6 244.6 117.8 .4 1.1 499.8 16.8 38.0 21.4 718.8 All sectors 54 Total credit market debt, domestic and foreign.... 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 U.S. government securities Municipal securities Corporate and foreign bonds Mortgages Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans and advances 15,232.6 16,241.2 17,319.2 18,567.4 16,974.5 17,319.2 17,577.5 17,907.8 18,211.5 18,567.4 18,827.8 4,795.5 1,302.8 2,039.0 4,094.1 802.4 776.6 579.0 843.1 5,215.8 1,377.5 2,315.6 4,269.0 863.9 768.2 580.0 851.1 5,665.0 1,348.2 2,461.0 4,473.1 988.8 830.4 623.5 929.1 6,014.6 1,307.0 2,766.3 4,715.9 1,131.7 944.9 700.4 986.6 5,525.6 1,362.6 2,428.6 4,418.0 933.9 804.5 599.2 902.2 5,665.0 1,348.2 2,461.0 4,473.1 988.8 830.4 623.5 929.1 5,754.1 1,335.4 2,516.5 4,515.9 989.3 864.4 654.7 947.2 5,830.6 1,331.7 2,597.7 4,584.6 1,02.9.7 898.6 673.8 961.0 5,903.5 1,309.9 2,679.5 4,663.9 1,077.5 917.4 692.7 967.1 6,014.6 1,307.0 2,766.3 4,715.9 1,131.7 944.9 700.4 986.6 6,133.8 1,304.1 2,823.1 4,774.0 1,123.3 957.8 717.6 994.2 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z.l (780) quarterly statistical release, tables L.2 through L.4. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 1.60 Flow of Funds A41 1995 1996 SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ASSETS AND LIABILITIES 1 Billions of dollars except as noted, end of period 1994 Transaction category or sector 1992 1993 1994 1995 Q3 Q4 Qi Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql CREDIT MARKET DEBT OUTSTANDING 2 1 Total credit market assets 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 Private domestic nonfinancial sectors Households Nonfarm noncorporate business Nonfinancial corporate business State and local governments U.S. government Rest of the world Financial sectors Government-sponsored enterprises Federally related mortgage pools Monetary authority Commercial banking U.S. chartered banks Foreign banking offices in United States Bank holding companies Banks in U.S. affiliated areas Funding corporations Thrift institutions Life insurance companies Other insurance companies Private pension funds State and local government retirement funds Finance companies Mortgage companies Mutual funds Closed-end funds Money market mutual funds Real estate investment trusts (REITs) Brokers and dealers Asset-backed securities issuers (ABSs) Bank personal trusts 15,232.6 16,241.2 17,319.2 18,567.4 16,974.5 17,319.2 17,577.5 17,907.8 18,211.5 18,567.4 18,827.8 2,671.6 1,618.5 38.1 257.8 757.2 235.0 1,022.8 11,303.2 457.8 1,272.0 300.4 2,948.6 2,571.9 335.8 17.5 23.4 162.5 1,134.5 1,309.1 389.4 571.7 417.5 496.4 60.5 566.4 67.7 408.6 8.1 122.7 378.0 231.5 2,730.1 1,658.9 38.8 271.5 760.8 230.7 1,146.6 12,133.8 548.0 1,355.6 336.7 3,090.8 2,721.5 326.0 17.5 25.8 149.2 1,132.7 1,420.6 422.7 617.6 437.3 482.8 60.4 725.9 78.6 429.0 8.6 137.5 458.8 240.9 3,019.3 1,993.9 39.5 319.7 666.3 206.5 1,255.7 12,837.7 667.1 1,472.1 368.2 3,254.3 2,869.6 337.1 18.4 29.2 129.5 1,167.6 1,487.0 446.4 664.6 466.3 551.0 37.5 718.8 73.1 459.0 13.3 93.3 520.7 248.0 2,930.4 2,041.3 40.4 316.1 532.5 185.2 1,527.5 13,924.3 761.8 1,570.3 380.8 3,520.6 3,056.1 412.6 18.0 33.8 138.3 1,176.3 1,585.7 471.9 725.9 487.7 614.6 34.1 771.3 78.9 545.5 15.1 183.4 632.9 229.2 2,900.6 1,857.7 39.3 295.3 708.3 212.6 1,240.7 12,620.6 624.3 1,454.9 356.8 3,203.9 2,822.3 335.5 19.0 27.1 130.2 1,160.4 1,470.7 439.1 645.9 454.3 524.1 37.0 741.8 75.6 437.9 13.3 95.3 507.3 247.7 3,019.3 1,993.9 39.5 319.7 666.3 206.5 1,255.7 12,837.7 667.1 1,472.1 368.2 3,254.3 2,869.6 337.1 18.4 29.2 129.5 1,167.6 1,487.0 446.4 664.6 466.3 551.0 37.5 718.8 73.1 459.0 13.3 93.3 520.7 248.0 2,984.8 2,013.6 39.6 291.0 640.6 203.2 1,324.4 13,065.2 673.5 1,479.9 367.1 3,327.8 2,906.5 373.6 18.0 29.8 140.8 1,173.4 1,523.1 451.8 679.3 480.7 568.5 33.9 719.3 74.0 480.6 13.8 101.0 531.5 245.3 2,935.1 1,974.3 39.9 302.8 618.1 197.1 1,402.6 13,372.9 698.6 1,499.0 375.7 3,409.8 2,963.7 396.0 19.3 30.8 137.4 1,177.4 1,557.1 458.5 693.6 482.1 586.9 41.4 724.8 75.6 508.0 14.2 137.5 555.2 240.2 2,942.2 2,048.3 40.2 290.4 563.4 191.2 1,493.1 13,585.1 714.0 1,526.6 370.6 3,474.2 3,023.7 401.1 16.9 32.5 143.1 1,188.9 1,575.5 464.4 706.2 481.8 594.7 43.2 739.2 77.7 505.7 14.7 137.0 593.2 234.2 2,930.4 2,041.3 40.4 316.1 532.5 185.2 1,527.5 13,924.3 761.8 1,570.3 380.8 3,520.6 3,056.1 412.6 18.0 33.8 138.3 1,176.3 1,585.7 471.9 725.9 487.7 614.6 34.1 771.3 78.9 545.5 15.1 183.4 632.9 229.2 2,858.6 2,001.8 40.7 306.6 509.4 179.0 1,617.8 14,172.5 771.7 1,599.7 379.6 3,541.4 3,068.8 422.3 16.7 33.6 174.9 1,174.6 1,619.2 478.1 745.3 508.2 623.3 34.5 791.7 78.6 595.6 15.6 158.2 657.6 224.7 15,232.6 16,241.2 17,319.2 18,567.4 16,974.5 17,319.2 17,577.5 17,907.8 18,211.5 18,567.4 18,827.8 51.8 8.0 16.5 433.0 4.055.1 138.5 5,050.2 1,134.4 2,293.5 415.2 539.5 399.9 267.7 992.5 217.7 995.1 79.7 660.6 4,785.2 53.4 8.0 17.0 468.2 4,471.6 189.3 5,154.9 1,251.7 2,223.2 391.7 559.6 471.1 257.6 1,375.4 279.0 1,049.4 84.9 691.3 5,165.2 53.2 8.0 17.6 502.2 4,693.9 280.0 5,296.0 1,242.0 2,183.3 411.2 602.9 549.4 307.1 1,477.3 279.0 1,160.5 88.0 699.4 5,397.3 63.7 10.2 18.2 552.1 5,499.6 290.7 5,704.4 1,229.5 2,279.7 476.9 745.3 660.1 312.9 1,852.8 305.6 1,266.5 89.3 767.4 5,769.9 55.5 8.0 17.5 496.8 4,677.0 250.1 5,212.4 1,205.0 2,199.1 402.6 578.7 548.1 278.9 1,515.8 263.9 1,099.8 87.1 701.1 5,373.0 53.2 8.0 17.6 502.2 4,693.9 280.0 5,296.0 1,242.0 2,183.3 411.2 602.9 549.4 307.1 1,477.3 279.0 1,160.5 88.0 699.4 5,397.3 64.1 8.0 17.8 515.7 4,895.7 273.0 5,389.5 1,193.9 2,200.1 441.1 634.0 603.4 316.9 1,553.3 269.5 1,159.8 94.3 719.7 5,459.7 67.1 8.0 18.0 528.1 5,095.4 265.9 5,572.4 1,246.3 2,222.4 456.2 678.5 629.3 339.6 1,661.0 277.9 1,174.2 89.2 739.7 5,537.2 65.1 10.2 18.2 535.6 5,318.1 267.4 5,615.3 1,200.4 2,255.6 477.4 702.7 655.6 323.6 1,782.0 286.2 1,217.3 91.9 758.6 5,626.9 63.7 10.2 18.2 552.1 5,499.6 290.7 5,704.4 1,229.5 2,279.7 476.9 745.3 660.1 312.9 1,852.8 305.6 1,266.5 89.3 767.4 5,769.9 62.1 10.2 18.2 566.1 5,745.6 266.2 5,799.1 1,183.8 2,336.4 490.6 816.9 666.5 304.9 2,004.8 318.3 1,269.7 94.2 781.6 5,836.4 32,716.4 35,248.7 37,271.6 40,757.9 36,732.4 37,271.6 37,997.6 38,941.9 39,804.3 40,757.9 41,600.4 19.6 5,462.9 2,458.3 20.1 21.1 6,293.4 2,564.6 22.1 21.1 6,293.4 2,564.6 22.7 6,835.8 2,576.7 22.9 7,393.0 2,607.0 22.1 8,013.8 2,619.3 22.1 8,345.4 2,657.7 21.0 6,228.7 2,550.9 22.1 6,278.5 2,476.3 8,345.4 2,657.7 8,820.5 2,669.9 RELATION OF LIABILITIES TO FINANCIAL ASSETS 33 Total credit market debt 52 Other liabilities Official foreign exchange Special drawing rights certificates Treasury currency Life insurance reserves Pension fund reserves Interbank claims Deposits at financial institutions Checkable deposits and currency Small time and savings deposits Large time deposits Money market fund shares Security repurchase agreements Foreign deposits Mutual fund shares Security credit Trade payables Taxes payable Investment in bank personal trusts Miscellaneous 53 Total liabilities 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Financial assets not included in liabilities (+) 5 4 Gold and special drawing rights 5 5 Corporate equities 5 6 Household equity in noncorporate business 57 58 59 Floats not included in assets (—) U.S. government checkable deposits Other checkable deposits Trade credit 6.8 42.0 -251.1 5.6 40.7 -251.4 3.4 38.0 -260.1 3.1 34.2 -274.9 1.2 30.6 -323.2 3.4 38.0 -260.1 4.2 33.3 -297.1 2.0 35.7 -315.8 .6 27.3 -331.3 3.1 34.2 -274.9 .0 29.6 -356.1 60 61 62 63 64 65 Liabilities not identified as assets ( - ) Treasury currency Interbank claims Security repurchase agreements Foreign deposits Taxes payable Miscellaneous -4.9 -9.3 43.0 217.6 25.2 -514.5 -5.1 -4.7 77.3 218.4 26.8 -667.2 -5.4 -6.5 108.8 258.7 25.0 -830.5 -5.8 -9.0 119.8 257.2 33.7 -859.2 -5.3 -3.4 100.7 241.3 22.8 -688.2 -5.4 -6.5 108.8 258.7 25.0 -830.5 -5.4 -2.7 132.9 270.1 10.0 -892.2 -5.5 -2.9 114.5 290.5 25.6 -878.5 -5.6 .1 136.4 267.1 28.7 -884.9 -5.8 -9.0 119.8 257.2 33.7 -859.2 -6.0 -2.5 108.7 246.8 13.5 -896.0 66 Total identified to sectors as assets 41,102.3 44,583.2 46,819.3 52,483.9 46,156.5 46,819.3 48,179.7 49,699.2 51,221.1 52,483.9 53,975.0 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's Z.l (780) quarterly statistical release, tables L.6 and L.7. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Excludes corporate equities and mutual fund A42 2.10 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1996 NONFINANCIAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY Selected Measures Monthly data seasonally adjusted, and indexes 1 9 8 7 = 1 0 0 , except as noted Apr. May' Juner 120.8r 124.8 115.9r 139.2 121.2 121.8 125.0 125.5 137.3 109.3 129.4 120.0 123.4 115.3 136.5 109.6 129.1 1 Industrial production Market groupings 2 Products, total 3 Final, total 4 Consumer goods 5 Equipment 6 Intermediate 7 Materials 110.0 118.8 119.2 118.6 121.9 115.9 131.4 109.3 128.4 122.1 128.4 121.9 114.6 133.7 108.5 128.5 120.7 124.5 101.8 115.6 118.3 113.7 125.3 107.3 113.8 122.0 118.3 121.4 115.1 131.4 109.0 127.4 105.1 114.2 118.3 122.0 117.0 120.0 r 113.0 126.0 r 127.0' 125.0 120.0 108.6 112.0 94.6 95.1 95.3 113.1 141.3 136.0 119.3 142.4 134.7 96.9 96.4 97.5 116.8 148.4r 142.6 124.9r 149.3r 144.8 115.0 98.1 97.2 98.7 120.3 157.7r 150.9r 130.4r 158.2r 152.2 115.6 97.8 96.6 98.0 121.3 115.9 97.9 96.7 98.1 115.8 97.7 96.4 97.7 116.3 98.3 96.5 97.8 116.7 98.1 96.2 97.5 121.6 121.6 161.7 r 122.1 164.3r 157.5r 134.4r 162.9r 159.1 117.3 98.4 96.3 97.5 123.3 154.3 161,6r 154.6r 132.0r 162.3r 155.3 117.0 98.3 96.3 97.5 123.0 165.1 158.2 135.1 165.1 160.4 144.5 124.7 148.2 125.5 152.4 127.9 153.6 128.7 153.5 129.1 156.3 130.8 156.6 131.0 156.7 131.6 112.7 109.5 117.5 115.7 132.3 110.1 116.6 116.1 116.1 108.6 130.3r 139.4 109.7 131.4 140.8 110.5 132.5 Industry groupings 8 Manufacturing 9 Capacity utilization, manufacturing (percent)' 10 Construction contracts3 4 11 Nonagricultural employment, total 12 Goods-producing, total 13 Manufacturing, total 14 Manufacturing, production workers 15 Service-producing 16 Personal income, total 17 Wages and salary disbursements 18 Manufacturing 19 Disposable personal income5 20 Retail sales5 Prices6 21 Consumer (1982-84=100) 22 Producer finished goods (1982=100) 160.7r 153.8r 131.6r 161.3r 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.17 (419) monthly statistical release. For the ordering address, see the inside front cover. The latest historical revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in November 1995. See "A Revision to Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, 1991-95," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 82 (January 1996), pp. 16—25. For a detailed description of the industrial production index, see "Industrial Production: 1989 Developments and Historical Revision," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76 (April 1990), pp. 187-204. 2. Ratio of index of production to index of capacity. Based on data from the Federal Reserve, DRI McGraw-Hill, U.S. Department of Commerce, and other sources. 3. Index of dollar value of total construction contracts, including residential, nonresidential, and heavy engineering, from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F.W. Dodge Division. 4. Based on data from U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Earnings. Series covers employees only, excluding personnel in the armed forces. 2.11 154.4r 130.8r 162.2r 155.3 162.9r 156.0r 132.5r 163.2r 158.6 116.5 98.1 96.2 97.4 122.3 163.5r 156.7r 131.8r 163.7r 159.3 154.4 129.4 154.9 129.4 155.7 130.1' 122.6 166.6 160.3 135.7 166.5 159.5 5. Based on data from U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business. 6. Based on data not seasonally adjusted. Seasonally adjusted data for changes in the price indexes can be obtained from the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review. NOTE. Basic data (not indexes) for series mentioned in notes 4 and 5, and indexes for series mentioned in notes 3 and 6, can also be found in the Survey of Current Business. Figures for industrial production for the latest month are preliminary, and many figures for the three months preceding the latest month have been revised. See "Recent Developments in Industrial Capacity and Utilization," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76 (June 1990), pp. 411-35. See also "Industrial Production Capacity and Capacity Utilization since 1987," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 79 (June 1993), pp. 590-605. LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT Thousands of persons; monthly data seasonally adjusted 1995 Category 1993 1994 1996 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May' June' July HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA 1 1 Civilian labor force2 Employment Nonagricultural industries3 2 Agriculture 3 Unemployment Number 4 Rate (percent of civilian labor force) 5 129,200 131.056 132,304 132,352 132,903 133,018 133,655 133,361 133,910 133,669 134,181 117,144 3,115 119,651 3,409 121,460 3,440 121,656 3,325 121,698 3,529 122,143 3,519 122,664 3,487 122,726 3,368 122,971 3,491 123,228 3,382 123,382 3,502 8,940 6.9 7,996 6.1 7,404 5.6 7,371 5.6 7,677 5.8 7,355 5.5 7,504 5.6 7,266 5.4 7,448 5.6 7,060 5.3 7,297 5.4 110,730 114,172 117,203 118,136 118,070 118,579 118,737 118,928 119,335 119,555 119,748 18,075 610 4,668 5,829 25,755 6,757 30,197 18,841 18,321 601 4,986 5,993 26,670 6,896 31,579 19,128 18,468 580 5,158 6,165 27,585 6,830 33,107 19,310 18,367 570 5,223 6,249 27,832 6,887 33,661 19,347 18,309 569 5,234 6,254 27,780 6,894 33,694 19,336 18,332 573 5,349 6,270 27,869 6,919 33,902 19,365 18,282 574 5,340 6,289 27,891 6,932 34,035 19,394 18,283 573 5,353 6,294 27,972 6,942 34,114 19,397 18,302 576 5,384 6,311 28,066 6,964 34,274 19,458 18,298 574 5,406 6,329 28,162 6,968 34,364 19,454 18,278 570 5,431 6,336 28,263 6,987 34,392 19,491 ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY DATA 6 Nonagricultural payroll employment4 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Manufacturing Mining Contract construction Transportation and public utilities Trade Finance Service Government 1. Beginning January 1994, reflects redesign of current population survey and population controls from the 1990 census. 2. Persons sixteen years of age and older, including Resident Armed Forces. Monthly figures are based on sample data collected during the calendar week that contains the twelfth day; annual data are averages of monthly figures. By definition, seasonality does not exist in population figures. 3. Includes self-employed, unpaid family, and domestic service workers. 4. Includes all full- and part-time employees who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that includes the twelfth day of the month; excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, household and unpaid family workers, and members of the armed forces. Data are adjusted to the March 1992 benchmark, and only seasonally adjusted data are available at this time. SOURCE. Based on data from U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Earnings. Selected Measures 2.12 A43 OUTPUT, CAPACITY, AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION1 Seasonally adjusted 1995 1995 1996 1996 1996 1995 Series Q3 Q4 Q2r Ql Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Capacity (percent of 1987 output) Output (1987=100) Q3 Q4 Ql Q2r Capacity utilization rate (percent)2 83.2 1 Total industry 122.3 122.5 123.4 125.2 146.3 147.7 149.1 150.6 83.6 82.9 82.8 2 Manufacturing 124.1 124.6 125.3 127.3 150.2 151.9 153.5 155.1 82.6 82.0 81.6 82.1 Primary processing3 Advanced processing4 117.1 127.5 117.1 128.1 116.7 129.4 118.5 131.5 135.2 157.5 136.1 159.5 136.9 161.5 137.8 163.5 86.6 80.9 86.1 80.3 85.2 80.1 86.0 80.4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Durable goods Lumber and products Primary metals Iron and steel Nonferrous Industrial machinery and equipment Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment 133.0 104.6 118.2 121.3 113.9 178.9 178.4 140.7 134.2 105.8 118.8 121.3 115.3 186.8 182.9 140.5 136.0 104.6 118.9 122.6 113.8 195.3 186.3 132.6 139.5 108.3 119.8 123.3 114.9 201.4 189.4 145.9 161.7 119.8 128.8 132.9 123.3 206.1 206.3 176.8 164.2 120.9 129.5 133.5 124.0 212.0 213.9 179.2 166.7 121.7 130.3 134.4 124.8 218.1 221.8 181.3 169.4 122.4 131.4 135.7 125.5 224.5 229.9 182.9 82.3 87.3 91.8 91.3 92.4 86.8 86.5 79.6 81.7 87.5 91.8 90.9 93.0 88.1 85.5 78.4 81.6 85.9 91.2 91.2 91.2 89.5 84.0 73.2 82.4 88.4 91.2 90.9 91.5 89.7 82.4 79.8 86.9 79.0 84.0 86.3 130.1 129.3 128.6 128.1 66.8 61.1 65.3 67.4 14 15 16 17 18 19 Nondurable goods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Plastics materials Petroleum products 114.3 110.9 119.5 124.6 118.3 109.2 113.9 109.4 118.1 126.4 123.1 107.7 113.5 106.4 114.6 126.9 126.9 109.7 113.8 109.3 119.2 126.3 138.4 132.8 133.9 156.5 137.1 116.6 139.0 133.7 134.9 157.5 138.6 116.8 139.6 134.2 135.8 158.5 117.1 83.0 84.3 90.0 80.1 87.3 93.8 82.3 82.4 88.2 80.7 89.7 92.4 81.7 79.6 85.0 80.6 91.6 93.9 81.5 81.5 87.8 79.7 109.7 137.7 131.6 132.8 155.6 135.4 116.4 93.7 100.2 124.7 125.0 98.2 124.1 123.7 98.7 126.7 126.4 100.8 126.7 127.2 111.9 135.2 132.5 111.9 135.6 133.0 111.9 136.0 133.4 111.8 136.5 133.9 89.5 92.3 94.3 87.8 91.5 93.1 88.2 93.2 94.8 90.1 92.8 94.9 1973 1975 Previous cycle5 High Low High May r June Julyp 83.2 3 4 20 Mining 21 Utilities Electric 22 Low Latest cycle6 High Low 1996 1995 July Feb. Mar. Apr/ Capacity utilization rate (percent)2 1 Total industry 89.2 72.6 87.3 71.8 84.9 78.0 83.3 83.3 82.6 83.0 83.2 83.4 2 Manufacturing 88.9 70.8 87.3 70.0 85.2 76.6 82.4 82.3 81.3 81.9 82.0 82.3 82.3 92.2 87.5 68.9 72.0 89.7 86.3 66.8 71.4 89.0 83.5 77.9 76.1 86.7 80.6 84.9 81.1 85.3 79.6 85.5 80.4 86.0 80.3 86.5 80.6 86.2 80.7 Durable goods Lumber and products Primary metals Iron and steel Nonferrous Industrial machinery and equipment Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment 88.8 90.1 100.6 105.8 92.9 68.5 62.2 66.2 66.6 61.3 86.9 87.6 102.4 110.4 90.5 65.0 60.9 46.8 38.3 62.2 84.0 93.3 92.8 95.7 88.7 73.7 76.1 74.2 72.0 75.2 81.7 86.9 92.0 89.8 94.8 82.5 84.8 89.8 88.9 91.0 80.9 88.2 90.3 89.1 91.8 82.1 88.7 91.0 90.8 91.1 82.2 87.6 90.6 89.7 91.6 82.9 89.0 92.0 92.1 91.8 83.0 87.7 90.8 90.9 90.8 96.4 87.8 93.4 74.5 63.8 51.1 92.1 89.4 93.0 64.9 71.1 44.5 84.0 84.9 85.1 71.8 77.0 56.6 86.2 86.2 77.7 89.9 85.1 77.9 89.9 83.7 66.7 89.5 82.5 79.1 89.5 82.1 79.1 90.1 82.5 81.0 89.9 82.5 84.2 77.0 66.6 81.1 66.9 88.4 78.8 67.2 65.5 66.7 67.0 67.3 67.8 67.8 Nondurable goods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Plastics materials Petroleum products 87.9 92.0 96.9 87.9 102.0 96.7 71.8 60.4 69.0 69.9 50.6 81.1 87.0 91.7 94.2 85.1 90.9 89.5 76.9 73.8 82.0 70.1 63.4 68.2 86.7 92.1 94.8 85.9 97.0 88.5 80.3 78.8 86.7 79.0 74.8 84.6 83.1 83.7 91.6 79.9 87.9 93.7 81.9 79.4 84.1 80.7 91.3 94.3 81.6 81.4 85.4 80.1 92.6 94.0 81.5 80.7 87.7 79.7 93.4 93.8 81.7 81.0 87.9 79.7 94.5 93.8 81.5 82.6 87.7 79.6 81.3 82.4 89.0 79.5 93.6 92.9 94.4 95.6 99.0 88.4 82.5 82.7 96.6 88.3 88.3 80.6 76.2 78.7 86.5 92.6 94.8 86.1 83.1 86.7 90.0 90.8 92.3 87.6 93.1 94.9 90.3 94.0 95.2 89.7 92.7 94.0 89.6 93.7 96.1 91.1 92.2 94.8 90.9 90.3 92.6 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Primary processing3 Advanced processing4 20 Mining 71 Utilities 22 Electric 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.17 (419) monthly statistical release. For the ordering address, see the inside front cover. The latest historical revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in November 1995. See "A Revision to Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, 1991-95," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 82 (January 1996), pp. 16—25. For a detailed description of the industrial production index, see "Industrial Production: 1989 Developments and Historical Revision," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76 (April 1990), pp. 187-204. 2. Capacity utilization is calculated as the ratio of the Federal Reserve's seasonally adjusted index of industrial production to the corresponding index of capacity. 3. Primary processing includes textiles; lumber; paper; industrial chemicals; synthetic materials; fertilizer materials; petroleum products; rubber and plastics; stone, clay, and glass; primary metals; and fabricated metals. 4. Advanced processing includes foods; tobacco; apparel; furniture and fixtures; printing and publishing; chemical products such as drugs and toiletries; agricultural chemicals; leather and products; machinery; transportation equipment; instruments; and miscellaneous manufactures. 5. Monthly highs, 1978-80; monthly lows, 1982. 6. Monthly highs, 1988-89; monthly lows, 1990-91. A44 2.13 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1996 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value1 Monthly data seasonally adjusted Group 1992 proportion 1995 1996 1995 avg. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr.r May' June Julyp Index (1987 = 100) MAJOR MARKETS 1 Total index 100.0 121.9 121.5 122.7 122.8 122.2 122.6 122.8 122.5 124.2 123.6 124.5 125.2 126.0 126.2 2 Products J Final products 4 Consumer goods, total Durable consumer goods 6 Automotive products / Autos and trucks 8 Autos, consumer 9 Trucks, consumer Auto parts and allied goods 10 11 Other 12 Appliances, televisions, and air conditioners 13 Carpeting and furniture 14 Miscellaneous home goods 15 Nondurable consumer goods 16 Foods and tobacco 1/ Clothing 18 Chemical products 19 Paper products Energy 20 21 Fuels 22 Residential utilities 60,6 46.3 28.6 5.6 2.5 1.6 .9 .7 .9 3.0 118.3 121.4 115.1 124.2 130.7 131.4 103.1 181.7 127.8 118.6 118.0 121.2 114.6 121.4 125.3 123.9 101.0 163.9 126.6 118.1 119.2 122.4 115.9 124.0 130.7 132.0 100.6 188.2 126.6 118.1 119.4 122.6 116.0 125.8 132.9 133.1 102.6 187.7 130.8 119.6 118.3 121.3 114.9 123.4 128.5 128.6 100.2 179.1 126.7 118.9 118.8 121.9 115.9 124.9 130.5 129.8 100.2 182.8 130.2 119.9 119.2 122.1 115.7 126.3 132.8 132.1 99.5 190.6 132.7 120.5 118.6 121.9 114.6 120.3 125.9 124.1 92.8 180.4 128.1 115.5 120.7 124.5 116.6 125.1 133.1 133.5 99.7 194.4 130.7 118.1 120.0 123.4 115.3 119.3 120.3 111.1 77.0 173.1 137.2 118.5 120.8 124.8 115.9 125.5 133.5 135.9 104.1 192.7 127.2 118.5 121.2 125.0 116.1 126.1 134.1 135.4 106.2 187.3 129.9 119.2 121.8 125.5 116.1 130.1 137.5 138.9 110.4 189.2 133.1 123.6 122.0 125.9 116.5 133.5 145.0 149.8 116.5 209.3 133.5 123.5 .7 .8 1.5 23.0 10.3 2.4 4.5 2.9 2.9 .9 2.1 135.5 105.8 118.2 112.9 111.3 94.8 131.3 106.6 116.5 108.8 119.6 132.2 107.9 117.4 113.0 112.8 93.6 128.6 107.6 116.1 108.2 119.4 135.8 104.4 118.0 113.9 111.8 93.9 132.6 106.7 122.3 108.4 128.2 139.4 106.9 117.8 113.7 111.6 93.4 134.0 107.3 119.0 111.4 122.2 140.1 105.6 116.9 112.9 111.1 92.9 135.7 106.6 113.1 107.3 115.4 145.3 104.1 117.6 113.8 110.9 91.5 135.0 108.4 121.1 108.2 126.6 141.9 107.4 118.3 113.2 110.6 89.7 136.5 106.3 119.5 108.6 124.1 132.2 101.1 116.2 113.3 110.6 88.2 138.1 104.9 121.0 108.6 126.1 137.5 103.4 117.7 114.5 112.0 90.3 138.1 106.0 122.6 111.8 127.2 138.3 105.7 116.9 114.4 112.3 88.9 136.7 105.8 123.9 112.2 128.8 139.7 104.4 117.1 113.6 112.2 88.8 133.8 106.1 121.8 111.5 126.2 138.9 105.5 118.2 113.7 111.8 89.2 134.0 107.2 122.0 111.7 126.3 151.6 110.0 118.6 112.7 111.4 88.2 132.3 106.6 119.6 110.7 123.3 153.3 109.5 117.9 112.3 110.6 88.1 133.1 108.0 117.0 110.0 119.9 23 24 25 26 28 29 30 31 32 33 Equipment Business equipment Information processing and related Computer and office equipment Industrial Transit Autos and trucks Other Defense and space equipment Oil and gas well drilling Manufactured homes 17.7 13.7 5.7 1.4 4.0 2.6 1.2 1.4 3.3 .6 .2 131.4 155.7 198.1 373.5 127.5 136.3 140.1 123.2 65.9 87.1 152.7 131.6 155.7 197.2 371.7 127.1 139.8 139.9 122.6 66.5 88.4 148.6 132.9 157.5 201.0 379.6 129.1 138.0 141.3 122.2 66.1 89.5 155.9 133.1 158.2 203.0 390.0 128.7 137.9 143.3 123.3 65.2 88.3 158.0 131.5 156.5 206.5 402.9 128.6 122.3 135.7 120.9 64.4 83.5 158.9 131.4 156.9 208.1 417.8 129.1 119.6 134.2 121.4 62.9 83.1 161.8 132.3 158.4 209.4 431.7 129.5 124.5 135.3 121.7 62.0 83.8 164.4 133.7 160.5 213.3 442.9 129.6 128.1 129.1 122.1 61.6 85.1 158.1 137.3 164.8 220.5 463.3 131.3 133.2 136.0 123.5 63.1 89.7 157.8 136.5 162.7 221.6 476.0 130.3 121.2 113.6 122.5 64.2 96.3 168.2 139.2 166.3 224.9 491.1 129.9 136.1 140.0 122.1 64.0 100.6 170.7 139.4 166.2 225.9 503.3 129.4 135.1 138.2 121.2 64.4 104.3 170.4 140.8 168.5 229.9 513.1 128.7 138.9 141.9 124.0 63.8 102.3 172.4 141.2 169.3 230.3 521.8 128.4 144.5 152.0 123.2 63.6 99.1 34 35 36 Intermediate products, total Construction supplies Business supplies 14.3 5.3 9.0 109.0 108.2 109.6 108.5 107.3 109.5 109.4 107.0 111.0 109.5 108.4 110.3 109.2 108.3 109.9 109.3 108.7 109.9 110.1 110.5 110.0 108.5 107.2 109.6 109.3 109.3 109.5 109.6 111.5 108.6 108.6 109.2 108.4 109.7 110.4 109.4 110.5 112.8 109.2 110.2 112.8 108.7 37 Materials Durable goods materials 38 Durable consumer parts 39 40 Equipment parts 41 Other 42 Basic metal materials Nondurable goods materials 43 44 Textile materials 45 Paper materials Chemical materials 46 Other 47 Energy materials 48 Primary energy 49 50 Converted fuel materials 39.4 20.8 4.0 7.5 9.2 3.1 8.9 1.1 1.8 3.9 2.1 9.7 6.3 3.3 127.4 141.5 138.5 163.0 126.2 125.7 119.8 109.2 120.5 124.4 116.5 106.6 101.9 116.0 126.8 140.2 133.9 164.4 124.4 124.9 118.9 102.6 123.9 124.4 113.8 107.5 102.3 118.1 128.1 142.3 138.4 167.1 124.9 123.1 118.8 109.2 120.4 123.1 114.6 108.5 101.4 122.8 128.1 144.1 139.8 169.1 126.8 127.0 117.8 106.2 117.0 123.3 115.1 105.8 101.2 115.0 128.1 143.9 138.6 169.4 126.5 124.3 118.7 107.3 121.4 122.9 114.6 105.5 101.7 113.1 128.4 145.3 140.1 171.0 127.9 128.1 116.6 104.8 114.3 122.7 114.1 105.7 100.8 115.4 128.4 144.8 139.3 170.8 127.2 126.6 117.4 103.3 115.2 121.9 118.9 106.0 101.0 116.2 128.5 145.8 140.6 171.7 128.2 125.7 115.7 100.3 113.4 121.8 115.2 105.9 100.6 116.6 129.4 147.3 141.1 176.3 127.8 123.7 116.1 101.8 113.4 121.3 117.1 106.1 101.3 115.5 129.1 145.5 132.5 176.8 127.4 124.4 116.3 103.0 113.7 121.6 116.4 108.2 103.9 116.7 130.3 147.3 142.1 177.2 126.8 123.7 118.8 104.9 118.9 123.6 117.8 107.0 103.1 114.9 131.4 148.8 143.4 178.8 128.1 124.3 119.8 106.1 118.6 125.3 118.3 107.5 102.4 117.8 132.5 150.5 148.0 181.3 128.1 125.4 120.3 106.8 115.2 127.0 120.0 107.8 103.3 116.9 132.6 151.1 148.7 183.1 127.6 124.3 120.5 107.0 118.2 126.5 119.0 106.9 102.7 115.4 97.2 95.2 121.5 120.9 121.2 120.7 122.3 121.7 122.4 121.8 121.9 121.3 122.3 121.7 122.5 121.9 122.4 121.9 123.8 123.3 123.9 123.7 124.1 123.5 124.8 124.2 125.5 124.8 125.4 124.7 98.2 27.0 25.7 118.2 114.0 114.9 117.8 114.0 114.5 118.9 114.8 115.1 118.9 114.9 115.7 118.1 114.0 115.1 118.4 115.0 115.3 118.5 114.7 115.3 118.0 114.0 113.9 119.5 115.5 115.9 118.7 115.6 114.3 119.5 114.6 115.2 120.1 114.8 115.4 120.7 114.6 115.7 120.8 114.3 116.4 12.5 157.0 157.2 158.9 159.5 158.4 159.0 160.5 163.5 167.5 167.5 168.7 168.8 170.9 170.9 12.2 29.7 133.0 134.9 133.2 133.7 134.4 135.1 134.3 136.1 131.6 136.2 130.8 136.6 131.3 136.4 132.6 136.6 135.5 137.8 132.3 136.6 134.8 138.6 133.8 139.9 135.4 141.3 135.6 141.7 21 SPECIAL AGGREGATES 51 Total excluding autos and trucks 52 Total excluding motor vehicles and parts 53 Total excluding computer and office equipment 54 Consumer goods excluding autos and trucks . 55 Consumer goods excluding energy 56 Business equipment excluding autos and trucks 57 Business equipment excluding computer and office equipment 58 Materials excluding energy Selected Measures 2.13 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Group Indexes and Gross Value 1 —Continued 1992 proportion SIC code A45 1996 1995 1995 avg. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr/ Mayr June Julyp 123.6 124.5 125.2 126.0 126.2 128.1 119.4 132.3 128.6 119.2 133.0 Index (1987 = 100) MAJOR INDUSTRIES 59 Total index 100.0 60 Manufacturing 61 Primary processing 62 Advanced processing 63 (A 65 66 121.9 121.5 122.7 122.8 122.2 122.6 122.8 122.5 124.2 85.4 26.6 58.9 123.9 117.6 126.8 123.3 116.9 126.3 124.2 116.6 127.8 124.9 117.8 128.2 124.4 117.0 127.9 124.5 117.1 128.0 124.8 117.3 128.4 124.5 116.7 128.2 126.2 116.3 131.0 125.2 117.1 129.0 126.5 117.5 130.8 127.2 118.5 131.3 "'24 25 45.0 2.0 1.4 132.5 104.5 111.6 131.5 103.7 111.1 133.2 103.7 110.9 134.4 106.2 112.0 133.5 105.7 110.9 134.3 104.8 109.8 134.8 106.9 109.3 134.9 103.1 109.3 137.5 103.3 110.5 135.6 107.5 107.7 138.3 108.4 108.9 139.2 107.3 111.9 141.2 109.1 113.0 142.0 107.8 112.5 32 33 331,2 331PT 333-6,9 34 2.1 3.1 1.7 .1 1.4 5.0 104.1 119.2 122.4 114.7 114.8 113.9 103.2 118.3 119.3 111.5 116.5 112.4 103.0 115.4 117.7 114.2 111.9 114.3 103.8 121.0 127.0 118.6 113.2 115.1 104.5 115.7 115.1 111.3 115.8 114.0 104.9 120.8 126.1 116.4 113.8 114.5 104.3 120.0 122.7 118.0 116.2 115.0 105.5 121.5 128.1 113.9 113.0 115.6 104.1 117.1 119.5 112.5 113.6 117.0 102.9 118.0 120.2 114.9 114.8 116.1 103.6 119.2 122.9 112.9 114.2 115.5 104.9 119.0 121.8 113.2 115.1 116.7 105.9 121.1 125.4 115.7 115.5 117.4 104.4 120.0 124.1 35 8.0 177.8 176.0 179.5 181.3 183.8 186.5 190.1 191.9 196.1 197.8 199.0 201.0 204.2 205.7 357 36 37 371 371PT 1.8 7.2 9.5 4.8 2.5 373.5 174.9 113.3 141.9 131.3 371.7 175.7 111.6 136.7 124.3 379.6 178.7 114.1 142.1 131.6 390.0 180.8 114.1 143.3 132.8 402.9 182.4 109.3 139.7 128.4 417.8 183.6 108.6 140.7 129.6 431.7 182.8 109.7 141.2 131.5 442.9 182.4 108.3 135.5 123.5 463.3 188.7 112.1 141.1 132.8 476.0 187.9 103.1 121.3 109.9 491.1 187.3 114.6 144.3 135.5 503.3 188.8 114.9 144.7 135.3 513.1 192.0 117.1 148.7 138.9 521.8 194.2 120.1 155.0 149.6 79 80 Durable goods Lumber and products Furniture and fixtures Stone, clay, and glass products Primary metals Iron and steel Raw steel Nonfeirous Fabricated metal products. . . Industrial machinery and equipment Computer and office equipment Electrical machinery Transportation equipment. . . Motor vehicles and parts . Autos and light trucks . Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment Instruments Miscellaneous 372-6,9 38 39 4.7 5.4 1.3 85.8 110.7 122.7 87.6 110.2 121.4 87.2 111.4 122.4 85.9 111.3 122.9 80.0 111.4 122.2 77.7 111.5 123.3 79.4 109.7 123.5 82.2 111.0 122.1 84.2 113.4 124.0 85.7 112.9 124.0 86.0 112.8 122.6 86.3 112.4 123.0 86.8 113.3 124.4 86.6 112.6 123.1 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 Nondurable goods Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products Printing and publishing Chemicals and products . . . . Petroleum products Rubber and plastic products . Leather and products "'20 21 22 23 26 27 28 29 30 31 40.5 9.4 1.6 1.8 2.2 3.6 6.8 9.9 1.4 3.5 .3 114.3 115.3 90.2 112.6 95.7 119.8 99.4 125.0 108.3 139.4 81.3 114.3 115.3 99.1 109.9 94.8 121.3 99.0 124.0 109.0 137.7 78.7 114.3 115.5 91.3 112.4 94.5 118.6 100.5 124.4 108.5 138.7 80.8 114.4 115.5 90.2 110.5 94.5 118.5 99.8 125.3 110.0 139.8 80.5 114.3 115.4 88.2 111.1 93.3 119.7 98.9 126.7 106.9 139.7 79.7 113.7 114.8 88.9 108.9 92.4 116.2 99.3 126.0 107.4 140.3 78.2 113.8 114.8 88.4 108.3 91.5 118.2 98.8 126.5 108.9 139.3 76.8 113.1 114.8 87.1 104.1 89.2 114.9 97.9 127.1 108.9 139.0 75.6 113.8 116.0 90.9 106.2 90.9 113.5 98.7 127.1 110.2 139.7 77.1 113.6 115.6 92.6 109.0 89.7 115.5 96.7 126.5 109.9 140.5 76.7 113.5 115.4 94.6 108.2 90.4 118.9 96.3 126.0 109.7 137.6 76.2 114.0 115.4 91.9 108.8 90.8 119.5 97.5 126.4 109.8 140.7 75.9 113.8 114.6 93.0 111.1 90.9 119.4 96.6 126.5 109.7 140.5 75.7 113.8 114.1 90.8 111.0 90.5 121.4 96.7 126.6 108.9 140.5 73.9 lO 12 13 14 6.9 .5 1.0 4.8 .6 99.9 169.3 112.9 91.9 112.3 100.7 172.2 117.0 91.9 113.5 100.0 172.1 109.7 92.4 111.6 100.0 170.8 116.2 91.2 113.1 98.2 178.3 112.3 89.2 112.4 98.3 175.9 109.5 90.1 110.9 98.1 172.8 108.5 90.1 112.4 97.1 159.5 103.3 90.8 108.9 98.0 157.1 108.0 90.2 117.2 101.1 166.1 114.8 92.6 117.4 100.4 158.3 109.5 93.3 115.6 100.2 161.3 111.9 92.8 112.7 101.9 164.4 113.2 94.1 117.9 101.6 164.0 108.5 94.5 118.7 491,493PT 492,493PT 7.7 6.1 1.6 122.0 122.1 121.7 122.7 122.2 124.5 128.8 130.0 124.3 122.7 122.7 122.4 121.6 123.7 113.6 125.4 123.6 132.5 125.1 123.9 129.9 125.6 125.5 125.6 126.6 126.6 126.3 128.0 127.1 131.5 126.4 125.7 128.9 127.9 128.7 124.8 125.9 127.1 121.4 123.6 124.4 120.5 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 92 Mining 93 Metal 94 Coal 95 Oil and gas extraction 96 Stone and earth minerals 97 Utilities 98 Electric 99 Gas " 114.4 117.5 SPECIAL AGGREGATES 100 Manufacturing excluding motor vehicles and parts 101 Manufacturing excluding office and computing machines . . . 80.6 122.8 122.5 123.1 123.8 123.4 123.6 123.9 123.9 125.4 125.4 125.5 126.1 126.9 127.0 83.7 119.5 118.9 119.8 120.3 119.6 119.6 119.7 119.3 120.7 119.5 120.7 121.2 122.0 122.3 Gross value (billions of 1992 dollars, annual rates) MAJOR MARKETS 102 Products, total 2,002.9 2,245.6 2,238.8 2,257.8 2,268.1 2,240.3 2,255.8 2,265.7 2,248.9 2,293.1 2,269.5 2,300.3 2,304.8 2,316.9 2,326.4 103 Final 104 Consumer goods 105 Equipment 106 Intermediate 1,552.2 1,033.4 518.8 450.7 1,748.7 1.130.5 618.3 496.9 1,743.2 1,124.0 619.2 495.6 1,760.5 1,135.7 624.8 497.3 1,768.2 1,141.1 627.1 499.9 1,741.9 1,125.1 616.7 498.4 1,756.8 1,139.3 617.5 499.0 1,761.9 1,139.0 622.9 503.8 1,753.0 1,124.7 628.4 495.9 1,794.2 1,148.4 645.8 498.8 1,766.8 1,129.5 637.3 502.7 1,801.5 1,144.9 656.6 498.8 1,803.5 1,145.6 657.9 501.3 1,810.7 1,145.6 665.0 506.2 1,821.9 1,151.2 670.8 504.5 1. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G. 17 (419) monthly statistical release. For the ordering address, see the inside front cover. The latest historical revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in November 1995. See "A Revision to Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization, 1991-95," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 82 (January 1996), pp. 16-25. For a detailed description of the industrial production index, see "Industrial Production: 1989 Developments and Historical Revision," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 76, (April 1990), pp. 187-204. 2. Standard industrial classification. A46 2.14 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1996 HOUSING AND CONSTRUCTION Monthly figures at seasonally adjusted annual rates except as noted 1995 Sept. 1996 Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr/ May June Private residential real estate activity (thousands of units except as noted) NEW UNITS 1,199 987 213 1,288 1,126 162 680 543 137 1,193 1,040 153 254 1,372 1,068 303 1,457 1,198 259 762 558 204 1,347 1,160 187 304 1,332 997 335 1,354 1,076 278 776 547 229 1,313 1,066 247 340 1,427 1,079 348 1,401 1,130 271 783 555 228 1,267 1,009 258 352 1,393 1,050 343 1,351 1,109 242 781 560 221 1,320 1,039 281 354 1,450 1,073 377 1,458 1,129 329 790 562 228 1,360 1,081 279 355 1,487 1,123 364 1,425 1,150 275 800 569 231 1,225 1,003 222 352 1,378 1,056 322 1,453 1,146 307 803 569 234 1,403 1,113 290 352 1,417 1,087 330 1,514 1,183 331 800 565 235 1,328 1,052 276 341 1,423 1,097 326 1,439 1,163 276 816 581 235 1,391 1,112 279 364 1,459 1,115 344 1,511 1,209 302 826 591 235 1,350 1,073 277 378 1,452 1,098 354 1,478 1,144 334 833 594 239 1,392 1,108 284 369 1,415 1,085 330 1,474 1,201 273 842 604 238 1,398 1,100 298 372 666 293 670 337 665 372 684 350 673 360 679 368 683 372 743 370 784 355 713r 368r 740 369 739 365 726 363 126.1 147.6 130.4 153.7 133.4 157.6 130.0 155.6 135.2 156.2 137.0 160.7 138.6 165.6 131.9 155.3 139.4 163.7 137.0r 162.l r 140.0 170.0 136.0 162.1 140.0 165.3 18 Number sold 3,800 3,946 3,801 4,090 4,070 4,000 3,870 3,720 3,940 4,200 4,200 4,280 4,160 Price of units sold (thousands of dollars)2 19 Median 20 Average 106.5 133.1 109.6 136.4 112.2 138.4 114.8 140.2 113.2 138.7 114.3 139.5 113.9 138.7 114.8 141.2 114.0 138.7 115.7 140.1 116.5 141.9 117.6 144.4 122.9 150.2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Permits authorized One-family Two-family or more Started One-family Two-family or more Under construction at end of period1 One-family Two-family or more Completed One-family Two-family or more Mobile homes shipped Merchant builder activity in one-family units 14 Number sold 15 Number for sale at end of period1 Price of units sold (thousands of dollars)2 16 Median 17 Average EXISTING UNITS ( o n e - f a m i l y ) Value of new construction (millions of dollars)3 CONSTRUCTION 21 Total put in place 482,737 527,063 547,079 550,467 549,952 549,745 555,701 558,952 544,577 556,983 564,985 559,198 565,891 22 Private 23 Residential 24 Nonresidential 25 Industrial buildings 26 Commercial buildings 27 Other buildings 28 Public utilities and other 362,587 210,455 152,132 26,482 53,375 26,219 46,056 400,007 238,873 161,134 28,947 59,728 26,961 45,498 410,197 236,598 173,599 32,301 67,528 26,923 46,847 411,326 237,663 173,663 32,427 67,660 27,340 46,236 410,550 237,952 172,598 31,422 67,259 27,899 46,018 411,015 239,938 171,077 32,032 65,555 27,418 46,072 417,191 243,104 174,087 31,996 66,447 28,197 47,447 418,896 242,474 176,422 32,495 66,475 28,103 49,349 411,248 238,558 172,690 30,792 66,461 27,470 47,967 419,726 245,881 173,845 30,593 65,503 27,884 49,865 423,568 247,469 176,099 30,316 67,485 27,426 50,872 417,414 246,744 170,670 27,363 65,748 27,755 49,804 424,749 246,076 178,673 29,360 69,043 29,837 50,433 29 Public 30 Military 31 Highway 32 Conservation and development 33 Other 120,151 2,454 34,342 5,908 77,447 127,056 2,319 37,673 6,370 80,694 136,884 3,005 38,161 6,389 89,329 139,140 3,218 38,209 6,212 91,501 139,402 2,295 40,125 5,222 91,760 138,729 3,217 38,344 5,888 91,280 138,510 3,211 40,402 6,014 88,883 140,056 3,554 39,444 5,352 91,706 133,329 3,982 40,956 5,455 82,936 137,257 3,126 39,527 5,811 88,793 141,417 3,192 39,763 5,884 92,578 141,784 3,015 38,071 5,689 95,009 141,142 3,307 38,517 5,920 93,398 1. Not at annual rates. 2. Not seasonally adjusted. 3. Recent data on value of new construction may not be strictly comparable with data for previous periods because of changes by the Bureau of the Census in its estimating techniques. For a description of these changes, see Construction Reports (C—30-76-5), issued by the Census Bureau in July 1976. SOURCE. Bureau of the Census estimates for all series except (1) mobile homes, which are private, domestic shipments as reported by the Manufactured Housing Institute and seasonally adjusted by the Census Bureau, and (2) sales and prices of existing units, which are published by the National Association of Realtors. All back and current figures are available from the originating agency. Permit authorizations are those reported to the Census Bureau from 19,000 jurisdictions beginning in 1994. Selected Measures 2.15 A47 CONSUMER AND PRODUCER PRICES Percentage changes based on seasonally adjusted data except as noted Change from 12 months earlier Change from 3 months earlier (annual rate) Item 1995 1995 July Change from 1 month earlier 1996 Index level, July 1996 1 1996 1996 July Sept. Dec. Mar. June Mar. Apr. May June July CONSUMER PRICES 2 (1982-84=100) 1 All items 2.8 3.0 1.6 2.4 4.0 3.1 .4 .4 .3 .1 .3 157.0 2 3 Energy items 4 All items less food and energy Commodities 6 Services 2.7 1.2 3.0 1.1 3.8 3.4 4.1 2.7 1.4 3.3 2.7 -10.5 2.8 2.0 3.0 1.9 1.9 2.2 1.7 2.5 3.2 15.8 3.5 2.6 3.4 4.6 8.4 2.2 -.3 3.9 .6 1.4 .3 .4 .2 .3 3.2 .1 -.1 .3 .1 1.1 .2 .0 .3 .7 -2.2 .2 .0 .3 .5 -.4 .3 .0 .3 153.2 112.5 165.5 140.3 179.9 7 Finished goods 8 Consumer foods 9 Consumer energy 10 Other consumer goods 11 Capital equipment 1.7 1.8 .4 2.2 1.8 2.6 4.0 5.3 1.7 1.2 1.6 8.8 -10.2 2.3 1.8 4.4 4.4 10.8 3.4 2.9 2.5 ,6r 17.8 -,3r ,0r 1.9 4.9r .0 2.5r -.3' .5 ,8r 2.6 .4 -,4r 2.8 .2 1.6 -2.1 .3 -.1 .0 .2 -.9 -.1 .3 131.5 133.6 84.1 144.4 138.2 Intermediate materials 12 Excluding foods and feeds 13 Excluding energy 6.4 7.4 -.9 -1.8 -.6 1.5 -.6 -2.9 -1.0 -3.5r 1.0 -9.4 13.8 24.7 15.1 -13.5 34.8 -21.0 -17.6 20.8 33.9 -18.4 -4.r 52.8r - 10.6r PRODUCER PRICES (1982=100) Crude materials 14 Foods 15 Energy 16 Other 1. Not seasonally adjusted. 2. Figures for consumer prices are for all urban consumers and reflect a rental-equivalence measure of homeownership. -.R .R .R -.1 .0 -.6 .1 -.1 .0 .0' .2 -.2' .3 -.r .2 .2 -.6 -.1 -.4 -.3 125.5 133.6 58.1r —15.0r -1.9' .f —2.5r -2.3r 4.0 8.2r -.4r 6.3 -3.8 -.3 1.4 -7.7 -1.4 2.7 1.4 -1.6 130.4 78.5 153.1 .l 1 SOURCE. U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. A48 2.16 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • October 1996 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND INCOME Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1995 Account 1993 1994 1996 1995 Q2 Q3 Q4 QL Q2 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT 1 Total 6,553.0r 6,935.7r 7,253.8r 7,204.9r 7,309.8r 7,350.6r 7,426.8r 7,538.1 2 3 4 5 By source Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 4,454.1 530.7 1,368.9 2,554.6 4,700.9' 580.9 1,429.7 2,690.3' 4,924.9' 606.4 1,485.9' 2,832.6' 4,910.5' 604.0 1,486.7' 2,819.8' 4,957.9' 615.8 1,491.2' 2,850.9' 4,990.5' 612.8 1,494.2' 2,883.5' 5,060.5' 625.2 1,522.1' 2,913.2' 5,143.9 641.6 1,549.3 2,953.1 871.1 850.5 598.8 171.8 427.0 251.7 1,014.4 954.9 667.2 180.2 487.0 287.7 1,065.3 1,028.2 738.5 199.7 538.8 289.8 1,050.3 1,016.3 734.4 197.6 536.8 281.9 1,074.8 1,036.6 746.3 202.5 543.8 290.3 1,064.0 1,046.2 749.7 204.0 545.7 296.5 1,068.9 1,070.7 769.0 208.4 560.6 301.7 1,093.0 1,081.6 768.0 205.9 562.1 313.6 20.6 26.8 59.5 48.0 37.0 39.6 34.0 36.1 38.2 41.5 17.8 19.9 -1.7 2.7 11.4 15.1 -62.7R 657.8R 720.5' -94.4R 719.1' 813.5' -94.7' 807.4' 902.0' -115.3' 797.3' 912.6' -87.6' 819.0' 906.6' -67.2' 837.0' 904.2' 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential structures Change in business inventories Nonfarm 14 15 16 Net exports of goods and services Exports Imports 17 18 19 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal State and local 1,290.4' 522.6' 767.8 1,314.7 516.4' 798.4 1,358.3' 516.6' 841.7 1,359.4' 522.0' 837.3 1,364.6' 516.8' 847.7 1,363.4' 507.7' 855.7 1,383.7 518.6 865.1 1,406.2 527.7 878.5 20 21 22 23 24 25 By major type of product Final sales, total Goods Durable Nondurable Services Structures 6,532.4' 2,401.4' 1,014.3' 1,387.2 3,584.0' 547.0 6,876.2' 2,534.4' 1,086.2' 1,448.3 3,746.5' 595.3 7,216.7' 2,662.2' 1,147.3' 1,515.0' 3,926.9' 627.6 7,170.9' 2,646.2' 1,138.6' 1,507.7' 3,908.9' 615.7 7,271.5' 2,688.8' 1,167.2' 1,521.6' 3,950.2' 632.6 7,332.8' 2,698.0' 1,166.4' 1,531.7' 3,992.4' 642.3 7,428.6' 2,749.3' 1,192.1' 1,557.1' 4,027.9' 651.4 7,526.8 2,782.7 1,215.1 1,567.5 4,079.6 664.5 26 27 28 Change in business inventories Durable goods Nondurable goods 29 Total GDP in chained 1992 dollars 20.6 15.7 4.9 59.5 31.9 27.7 37.0 34.9 2.2 38.2 29.2 9.1 34.0 28.5 5.4 17.8 27.3 -9.4 -86.3' 839.5' 925.8' -1.7 12.3 -14.0 -105.0 850.9 955.9 11.4 12.6 -1.2 MEMO 6,386.4' 6,608.7r 6,742.9r 6,713.5r 6,776.4r 6,780.7r 6,814.3r 6,885.1 NATIONAL INCOME 30 Total 5,195.3r 5,501.6r 5,813.5r 5,755.4r 5,861.4r 5,927.4r 6,015.3r n.a. 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Compensation of employees Wages and salaries Government and government enterprises Other Supplement to wages and salaries Employer contributions for social insurance Other labor income 3,809.5' 3,095.3' 584.2 2,511.1' 714.2 333.3 380.9 4,009.8' 3,257.3' 602.5 2,654.8' 752.4 350.2 402.2 4,222.7' 3,433.2' 621.7 2,811.5' 789.5 365.5 424.0 4,191.6' 3,406.0' 619.6 2,786.4' 785.6 363.6 422.0 4,247.7' 3,454.0' 624.1 2,829.9' 793.7 367.8 425.9 4,301.1' 3,501.1' 626.9 2,874.2' 800.1 369.8 430.2 4,344.3' 3,540.2' 634.0 2,906.1' 804.1 375.0 429.1 4,420.8 3,606.3 639.0 2,967.3 814.5 380.5 434.0 38 39 40 Proprietors' income' Business and professional' Farm' 41 Rental income of persons2 102.5 116.6 122.2 121.6 120.9 125.8 126.9 42 43 44 45 Corporate profits' Profits before tax3 Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment 464.4' 464.3 -6.6 6.7 529.5' 531.2' -13.3 11.6 586.6' 598.9' -28.1 15.9 562.3' 589.6' -42.3 15.0 612.5' 607.2' -9.3 14.6 611.8' 604.2' -8.8 16.5 645.1' 642.2' -17.4 20.4 46 Net interest 398.9' 394.9' 403.6' 405.2' 400.7' 401.9' 399.5' 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. 420.0 388.1 32.0 450.9 415.9 35.0 478.3 449.3 29.0 474.7 447.1 27.6 ' 479.6 451.5 28.1 486.7 454.9 31.8 499.5 461.1 38.4 3. For after-tax profits, dividends, and the like, see table 1.48. SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business. 515.8 470.1 45.7 122.6 n.a. n.a. -15.8 22.7 n.a. Selected Measures 2.17 A49 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1995r Account 1993 1996 1995r 1994' Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql r Q2 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING 1 Total personal income 5,480.1r 5,753.1 6,115.1 6,074.4 6,146.9 6,234.5 6,308.5 6,411.3 2 Wage and salary disbursements Commodity-producing industries 3 4 Manufacturing Distributive industries 6 Service industries 7 Government and government enterprises 3,090.7r 781.3 593.1 698.4 l,026.7 r 584.2 3,241.8 824.9 621.1 739.2 1,075.2 602.5 3,430.6 863.5 648.4 783.7 1,161.6 621.7 3,403.1 858.7 645.3 777.3 1,147.5 619.6 3,451.2 866.7 650.1 789.3 1,171.1 624.1 3,500.2 873.9 654.7 800.7 1,198.6 626.9 3,538.2 878.7 654.8 810.5 1,215.1 634.0 3,606.3 900.2 671.6 822.1 1,245.0 639.0 380.9 420.0 388.1 32.0 102.5 186.8 648. l r 910.7 444.4 402.2 450.9 415.9 35.0 116.6 199.6 663.7 956.3 472.9 424.0 478.3 449.3 29.0 122.2 214.8 717.1 1,022.6 507.4 422.0 474.7 447.1 27.6 121.6 212.2 716.6 1,016.8 505.1 425.9 479.6 451.5 28.1 120.9 215.8 719.9 1,029.9 510.7 430.2 486.7 454.9 31.8 125.8 221.7 727.2 1,041.4 516.1 429.1 499.5 461.1 38.4 126.9 226.6 726.1 1.063.0 529.9 434.0 515.8 470.1 45.7 122.6 229.3 733.1 1,076.0 536.4 259.6 278.1 294.5 292.7 296.2 298.8 301.0 305.8 5,480. r 5,753.1 6,115.1 6,074.4 6,146.9 6,234.5 6,308.5 6,411.3 689.9 731.4 794.3 801.5 798.4 807.2 824.9 867.4 r 5,021.7 5,320.8 5,272.9 5,348.5 5,427.3 5,483.5 5,544.0 LESS: Personal outlays 4,575.8r 4,832.3 5,071.5 5,054.4 5,106.6 5,144.7 5,218.1 5,304.4 22 EQUALS: Personal saving 2I4.4 r 189.4 249.3 218.5 241.9 282.6 265.4 239.6 24,734.3r 16,806.7r 18,078.0r 25,349.8 17,158.4 18,330.0 25,628.7 17,399.5 18,799.0 25,555.9 17,395.8 18,676.0 25,726.7 17,453.8 18,829.0 25,684.5 17,459.9 18,986.0 25,753.3 17,570.2 19,041.0 25,962.0 17,692.4 19,071.0 4.5 3.8 4.7 4.1 4.5 5.2 4.8 4.3 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Other labor income Proprietors' income' Business and professional' Farm' Rental income of persons Dividends Personal interest income Transfer payments Old-age survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits LESS: Personal contributions for social insurance 18 EQUALS: Personal income 19 LESS: Personal tax and nontax payments 20 EQUALS: Disposable personal income 21 4,790.2 MEMO Per capita (chained 1992 dollars) 23 Gross domestic product 24 Personal consumption expenditures 25 Disposable personal income 26 Saving rate (percent) GROSS SAVING 27 Gross saving 935.5r 1,056.3 1,151.8 1,102.9 1,168.6 1,220.6 1,217.9 n.a. 28 Gross private saving 962.4r 1,006.7 1,071.8 1,018.5 1,085.9 1,138.9 1,133.8 n.a. 29 Personal saving 30 Undistributed corporate profits' 31 Corporate inventory valuation adjustment 214.4r 103.3r -6.6 189.4 123.2 -13.3 249.3 140.6 -28.1 218.5 123.5 -42.3 241.9 159.6 -9.3 282.6 158.4 -8.8 265.4 171.8 -17.4 239.6 n.a. -15.8 Capital consumption allowances 32 Corporate 33 Noncorporate 417.0 223.1 441.0 237.7 454.0 225.2 451.3 222.4 456.9 224.7 463.6 233.4 465.6 229.1 470.6 232.4 -26.9 r -187.4 r 68.2 -255.6 r 160.5 65.6 94.9 49.6 -119.6 70.6 -190.2 169.2 69.4 99.7 80.0 -87.9 73.8 -161.7 167.9 72.9 95.0 84.4 -86.9 74.2 -161.1 171.3 72.3 99.0 82.7 -84.6 73.8 -158.5 167.3 73.4 93.9 81.7 -80.7 73.8 -154.5 162.4 74.3 88.1 84.1 -82.0 73.2 -155.2 166.1 75.1 91.0 n.a. n.a. 72.5 n.a. n.a. 76.0 n.a. 41 Gross investment 993.S 1,090.4 1,150.9 1,123.2 1,161.5 1,173.9 1,167.9 42 Gross private domestic investment 43 Gross government investment 44 Net foreign investment 871.1 210.6 -88.2 1,014.4 212.3 -136.4 1,065.3 221.9 -136.3 1,050.3 223.7 -150.8 1,074.8 224.7 -138.1 1,064.0 220.1 -110.2 1,068.9 228.8 -129.9 34.1 -.9 20.3 -7.1 -46.7 -50.0 34 Gross government saving Federal 35 36 Consumption of fixed capital Current surplus or deficit ( - ) , national accounts 37 38 State and local 39 Consumption of fixed capital Current surplus or deficit ( —), national accounts 40 45 Statistical discrepancy 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. 58.0r SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Survey of Current Business. n.a. 1,093.0 233.6 n.a. n.a. A50 3.10 International Statistics • October 1996 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS Summary Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted except as noted 1 1995 Item credits or debits 1 Balance on current account 2 Merchandise trade balance2 3 Merchandise exports 4 Merchandise imports 5 Military transactions, net 6 Other service transactions, net / Investment income, net 8 U.S. government grants y U.S. government pensions and other transfers 10 Private remittances and other transfers i i Change in U.S. government assets other than official reserve assets, net (increase, - ) 1993 1994 1996 1995 -99,936 -132,609 456,832 -589,441 881 59,690 9,742 -16,823 -4,081 -16,736 -148,405 -166,121 502,463 -668,584 1,963 59,779 -4,159 -15,816 -4,544 -19,506 -148,154 -173,424 575,940 -749,364 3,585 64,775 -8,016 -10,959 -3,420 -20,696 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Qlp -39,054 -44,923 138,551 -183,474 628 14,780 -900 -2,846 -758 -5,035 -40,976 -47,927 142,983 -190,910 859 15,244 -862 -2,381 -967 -4,942 -37,688 -42,548 144,984 -187,532 1,120 17,093 -4,361 -2,933 -964 -5,095 -30,435 -38,026 149,422 -187,448 978 17,657 -1,890 -2,799 -731 -5,624 -35,588 -42,738 150,019 -192,757 628 17,758 -395 -4,340 -1,026 -5,475 -342 -341 -280 -154 -179 252 -199 52 12 Change in U.S. official reserve assets (increase, —) 13 Gold 14 Special drawing rights (SDRs) 13 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 16 Foreign currencies -1,379 0 -537 -44 -797 5,346 0 -441 494 5,293 -9,742 0 -808 -2,466 -6,468 -5,318 0 -867 -526 -3,925 -2,722 0 -156 -786 -1,780 -1,893 0 362 -991 -1,264 191 0 -147 -163 501 17 0 -199 -849 1,065 17 Change in U.S. private assets abroad (increase, —) 18 Bank-reported claims3 19 Nonbank-reported claims 20 U.S. purchases of foreign securities, net 21 U.S. direct investments abroad, net -192,889 29,947 1,581 -146,253 -78,164 -155,700 -8,161 -32,804 -60,270 -54,465 -297,834 -69,146 -34,219 -98,960 -95,509 -56,275 -29,114 -4,537 -7,571 -15,053 -105,398 -41,236 -22,904 -23,011 -18,247 -37,954 8,476 7,500 -35,839 -18,091 -98,206 -7,272 -14,278 -32,539 -44,117 -55,801 4,510 72,153 48,952 4,062 1,713 14,841 2,585 40,253 30,745 6,077 2,344 3,560 -2,473 109,757 68,813 3,734 1,082 32,862 3,266 21,822 10,132 1,126 -331 10,630 265 37,380 25,208 1,326 235 7,662 2,949 39,186 20,489 518 -71 18,478 -228 11,369 12,984 764 1,249 -3,908 280 51,582 55,600 52 -195 -3,664 -211 178,843 20,859 10,489 24,381 80,092 43,022 245,123 111,842 -7,710 34,225 57,006 49,760 314,705 25,283 34,578 99,340 95,268 60,236 69,173 3,860 9,076 29,969 15,480 10,788 78,041 10,200 7,285 30,368 20,496 9,692 79,630 -21,542 6,945 37,269 31,971 24,987 87,860 32,765 11,272 1,734 27,321 14,768 47,234 -29,449 0 43,550 0 13,724 0 31,548 43,550 13,724 31,548 0 9,806 6,519 3,287 0 33,854 -266 34,120 0 -41,533 -7,407 -34,126 0 29,420 1,153 28,267 0 -7,496 6,365 -13,861 22 Change in foreign official assets in United States (increase, +) 23 U.S. Treasury securities 24 Other U.S. government obligations 25 Other U.S. government liabilities4 26 Other U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks3 21 Other foreign official assets5 28 Change in foreign private assets in United States (increase, +) 29 U.S. bank-reported liabilities3 30 US. nonbank-reported liabilities 31 Foreign private purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, net 32 Foreign purchases of other U.S. securities, net 33 Foreign direct investments in United States, net 34 Allocation of special drawing rights 35 Discrepancy 36 Due to seasonal adjustment 3/ Before seasonal adjustment -33,492 -26,819 11,734 35,437 29,512 MEMO Changes in official assets 38 U.S. official reserve assets (increase, - ) 39 Foreign official assets in United States, excluding line 25 (increase, +) 40 Change in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries official assets in United States (part of line 22) -1,379 5,346 -9,742 -5,318 -2,722 -1,893 191 17 70,440 37,909 108,675 22,153 37,145 39,257 10,120 51,777 -3,717 -1,529 3,959 -412 -341 6,147 -1,435 -1,417 1. Seasonal factors are not calculated for lines 12-16, 18-20, 22-34, and 38^10. 2. Data are on an international accounts basis. The data differ from the Census basis data, shown in table 3.11, for reasons of coverage and timing. Military exports are excluded from merchandise trade data and are included in line 5. 3. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. 4. Associated primarily with military sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. 5. Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securities of private corporations and state and local governments. SOURCE. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of Current Business. Summary Statistics 3.11 A51 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE 1 Millions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted 1995 Item 1993 1994 1996 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Junep 1 Goods and services, balance 2 Merchandise 3 Services -72,037 -132,607 60,570 -104,381 -166,123 61,742 -105,064 -173,424 68,360 -6,399 -12,601 6,202 -9,686 -15,505 5,819 -6,654 -12,784 6,130 -8,012 -14,450 6,438 -9,606 -15,585 5,979 -10,546 -16,791 6,245 -8,111 -14,454 6,343 4 Goods and services, exports Merchandise 5 Services 6 642,953 456,834 186,119 698,301 502,462 195,839 786,529 575,939 210,590 68,088 50,120 17,968 66,493 48,645 17,848 69,163 50,883 18,280 69,277 50,490 18,787 68,990 50,740 18,250 69,893 51,384 18,509 69,706 51,192 18,514 7 Goods and services, imports 8 Merchandise Services 9 -714,990 -589,441 -125,549 -802,682 -668,585 -134,097 -891,593 -749,363 -142,230 -74,487 -62,721 -11,766 -76,179 -64,150 -12,029 -75,817 -63,667 -12,150 -77,289 -64,940 -12,349 -78,596 -66,325 -12,271 -80,439 -68,175 -12,264 -77,817 -65,646 -12,171 1. Data show monthly values consistent with quarterly figures in the U.S. balance of payments accounts. 3.12 SOURCE. FT900, U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census and Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. RESERVE ASSETS Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Asset 1 Total 2 Gold stock, including Exchange Stabilization Fund' 3 Special drawing rights2,3 4 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund2 5 Foreign currencies4 1992 1993 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June Julyp 71,323 73,442 74,335 85,832 82,717 84,270 84,212 83,710 83,468 83,455 85,099 11,056 8,503 11,053 9,039 11,051 10,039 11,050 11,037 11,052 10,778 11,053 11,106 11,053 11,049 11,052 10,963 11,051 11,037 11,050 11,046 11,050 11,216 11,759 40,005 11,818 41,532 12,030 41,215 14,649 49,096 14,312 46,575 14,813 47,298 15,249 46,861 15,117 46,578 15,227 46,153 15,282 46,077 15,665 47,168 SDR holdings and reserve positions in the IMF also have been valued on this basis since July 1974. 3. Includes allocations of SDRs by the International Monetary Fund on Jan. 1 of the year indicated, as follows: 1970—$867 million; 1971—$717 million; 1972—$710 million; 1979— $1,139 million; 1980—$1,152 million; 1981—$1,093 million; plus net transactions in SDRs. 4. Valued at current market exchange rates. 1. Gold held "under earmark" at Federal Reserve Banks for foreign and international accounts is not included in the gold stock of the United States; see table 3.13, line 3. Gold stock is valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce. 2. Special drawing rights (SDRs) are valued according to a technique adopted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in July 1974. Values are based on a weighted average of exchange rates for the currencies of member countries. From July 1974 through December 1980, sixteen currencies were used; since January 1981, five currencies have been used. U.S. 3.13 1996 1994 FOREIGN OFFICIAL ASSETS HELD AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Asset 1992 1993 1996 1994 Dec. 1 Deposits Held in custody 2 U.S. Treasury securities2 3 Earmarked gold3 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July" 205 386 250 386 165 209 191 166 160 182 166 314,481 13,118 379,394 12,327 441,866 12,033 522,170 11,702 532,776 11,702 559,741 11,689 573,435 11,590 573,924 11,445 578,608 11,339 572,839 11,296 580,277 11,273 1. Excludes deposits and U.S. Treasury securities held for international and regional organizations. 2. Marketable U.S. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds and nonmarketable U.S. Treasury securities, in each case measured at face (not market) value. Jan. 3. Held in foreign and international accounts and valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce; not included in the gold stock of the United States. A52 3.15 International Statistics • October 1996 SELECTED U.S. LIABILITIES TO FOREIGN OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Item 1 Total1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 By type Liabilities reported by banks in the United States U.S. Treasury bills and certificates3 U.S. Treasury bonds and notes Marketable Nonmarketable4 U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasury securities5 By area Europe1 Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa Other countries Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June p 482,915 520,934 630,775 644,570 670,229 682,952 687,217r 689,711 695,954 69,721 151,100 73,386 139,571 107,258 168,534 103,919 173,949 103,242 191,188 103,994 198,382 111,017' 186,638 104,926 188,321 117,835 187,171 212,237 5,652 44,205 254,059 6,109 47,809 293,684 6,491 54,808 306,299 6,120 54,283 314,980 6,159 54,660 319,728 6,199 54,649 327,981 6,238r 55,343 334,463 5,903 56,098 327,815 5,941 57,192 207,034 15,285 55,898 197,702 4,052 2,942 215,374 17,235 41,492 236,824 4,180 5,827 222,314 19,473 66,720 310,966 6,296 5,004 223,569 19,078 70,281 320,512 6,924 4,204 231,389 18,850 70,497 338,999 6,574 3,918 242,589 20,846 73,039 335,006 6,584 4,886 241,161 20,878 71,287r 341,148' 7,388 5,353 244.294 21.670 67.949 343,206 7.173 5,417 245,385 21,250 69,739 346,071 6,996 6,511 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. 2. Principally demand deposits, time deposits, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, negotiable time certificates of deposit, and borrowings under repurchase agreements. 3. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 4. Excludes notes issued to foreign official nonreserve agencies. Includes current value of zero-coupon Treasury bond issues to foreign governments as follows: Mexico, beginning March 1988, 20-year maturity issue and beginning March 1990, 30-year maturity issue; 3.16 1996 1994 1993 LIABILITIES TO, AND CLAIMS ON, FOREIGNERS Payable in Foreign Currencies Venezuela, beginning December 1990, 30-year maturity issue; Argentina, beginning April 1993, 30-year maturity issue. 5. Debt securities of U.S. government corporations and federally sponsored agencies, and U.S. corporate stocks and bonds. SOURCE. Based on U.S. Department of the Treasury data and on data reported to the department by banks (including Federal Reserve Banks) and securities dealers in the United States, and on the 1989 benchmark survey of foreign portfolio investment in the United States. Reported by Banks in the United States1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Item 1 Banks'liabilities 2 Banks' claims 3 Deposits 4 Other claims 5 Claims of banks' domestic customers2 1992 72,796 62,799 24,240 38,559 4,432 1. Data on claims exclude foreign currencies held by U.S. monetary authorities. 1993 78,259 62,017 20,993 41,024 12,854 1996 1994 89,284 60,689 19,661 41,028 10,878 June Sept. Dec. Mar. 106,621 77,042 28,909 48,133 10,244 102,147 69,481 25,712 43,769 6,624 112,556 74,830 22,688 52,142 6,145 109,635' 69,522 22,220 47,302 6,064 2. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the accounts of the domestic customers. Nonbank-Reported 3.17 LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. dollars Data A53 Reported by Banks in the United States1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Item 1993 1994 1996 1995 Dec. Jan. Apr. May June p l,100,426 r l,100,602 r r Feb. Mar. l,101,912 r B Y HOLDER AND TYPE OF LIABILITY 1 Total, all foreigners 2 Banks' own liabilities 3 Demand deposits 4 Time deposits2 5 Other3 6 Own foreign offices4 7 Banks' custodial liabilities5 8 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 9 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments7 10 Other 11 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 8 ... 12 Banks' own liabilities 13 Demand deposits 14 Time deposits2 15 Other3 16 17 18 19 Banks' custodial liabilities5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments7 Other 20 Official institutions9 21 Banks' own liabilities 22 Demand deposits 23 Time deposits2 24 Other3 25 26 27 28 Banks' custodial liabilities5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments7 Other 29 Banks 10 Banks' own liabilities 30 31 Unaffiliated foreign banks 32 Demand deposits 33 Time deposits2 34 Other3 Own foreign offices4 35 36 37 38 39 Banks' custodial liabilities5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments7 Other 40 Other foreigners 41 Banks' own liabilities 42 Demand deposits 43 Time deposits2 44 Other3 45 46 47 48 Banks' custodial liabilities5 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments7 Other 1,014,808 l,099,665 r l,099,665 r l,098,640 r 1,096,063 1,097,972 626,919 21,569 175,106 111,971 318,273 718,440 23,386 186,512 112,984 395,558 r 753,545 24,460 192,700 139,780 396,605r r 753,545 24,460 192,700 139,780 396,605r r 747,46 l 22,182 198,434' 141,963 384,882 732,922' 23,507 192,116r 149,009 368,290 729,805 23,371 193,549' 138,311 374,574 735,762' 23,958 192,011' 146,589' 373,204 723,566 23,337 181,031 144,051 375,147 731,351 27,486 189,671 149,290 364,904 299,753 176,739 296,368 162,908 346,120 197,341 346,120 197,341 351,179 203,478 368,990 223,395 370,621 228,705 364,840 217,106 372,497 220,823 366,621 218,604 36,289 86,725 42,532 90,928 52,246 96,533 52,246 96,533 46,973 100,728 43,404 102,191 40,483 101,433 44,823 102,911 49,655 102,019 51,465 96,552 10,936 5,639 15 2,780 2,844 8,606 8,176 29 3,298 4,849 11,039 10,347 21 4,656 5,670 11,039 10,347 21 4,656 5,670 10,622 9,628 30 4,385 5,213 11,109 10,314 43 3,479 6,792 9,476 8,558 16 3,527 5,015 11,954 11,167 34 3,402 7,731 12,093 10,849 123 3,987 6,739 5,297 4,275 430 281 692 350 692 350 994 764 795 555 918 564 826 426 787 376 1,244 874 1,022 0 149 0 341 1 341 1 230 0 230 10 298 56 400 0 390 21 370 0 220,821 64,144 1,600 21,653 40,891 212,957 59,935 1,564 23,511 34,860 275,792 83,311 2,098 30,716 50,497 275,792 83,311 2,098 30,716 50,497 277,868 85,040 1,522 28,069 55,449 294,430 84,077 1,655 29,904 52,518 302,376 88,537 1,423 32,404 54,710 297,655' 91,602' 1,679 36,637' 53,286' 293,247 81,894 1,504 32,656 47,734 305,006 91,502 2,216 38,567 50,719 156,677 151,100 153,022 139,571 192,481 168,534 192,481 168,534 192,828 173,949 210,353 191,188 213,839 198,382 206,053 186,638 211,353 188,321 213,504 187,171 5,482 95 13,245 206 23,603 344 23,603 344 18,532 347 18,138 1,027 14,970 487 19,065 350 22,661 371 25,835 498 592,171 478,755 160,482 9,718 105,262 45,502 318,273 678,367 563,466 167,908 10,633 111,171 46,104 395,558 691,555r 567,980r 171,375 11,756 103,554 56,065 396,605r 691,555r 567,980r 171,375 11,756 103,554 56,065 396,605r 687,180r 558,951r 174,069r 10,247 110,436r 53,386 384,882 670,727r 541,421r 173,13 l r 10,948 104,230r 57,953 368,290 666,739' 539,657' 165,083' 10,971 101,013' 53,099 374,574 665,4901 537,427' 164,223' 11,453 96,222' 56,548' 373,204 662,333 533,016 157,869 10,660 89,075 58,134 375,147 654,502 530,708 165,804 12,389 90,901 62,514 364,904 113,416 10,712 114,901 11,251 123,575 15,869 123,575 15,869 128,229 15,992 129,306 17,947 127,082 15,967 128,063 16,801 129,317 17,584 123,794 18,241 17,020 85,684 14,505 89,145 13,035 94,671 13,035 94,671 13,590 98,647 12,094 99,265 11,864 99,251 10,814 100,448 11,775 99,958 11,021 94,532 102,744 78,381 10,236 45,411 22,734 114,878 86,863 11,160 48,532 27,171 121,279 91,907 10,585 53,774 27,548 121,279 91,907 10,585 53,774 27,548 122,970 93,842 10,383 55,544 27,915 125,646 97,110 10,861 54,503 31,746 121,835 93,053 10,961 56,605 25,487 126,191 96,293 10,798 55,173 30,322 128,529 97,489 11,139 55,898 30,452 126,371 98,292 12,758 56,216 29,318 24,363 10,652 28,015 11,805 29,372 12,588 29,372 12,588 29,128 12,773 28,536 13,705 28,782 13,792 29,898 13,241 31,040 14,542 28,079 12,318 12,765 946 14,633 1,577 15,267 1,517 15,267 1,517 14,621 1,734 12,942 1,889 13,351 1,639 14,544 2,113 14,829 1,669 14,239 1,522 17,567 17,895 9,099 9,099 10,479 10,544 10,005 8,306 9,284 9,580 926,672 11,266' 10,440' 28 3,979 6,433' MEMO 49 Negotiable time certificates of deposit in custody for foreigners 1. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. Excludes bonds and notes of maturities longer than one year. 2. Excludes negotiable time certificates of deposit, which are included in "Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments." 3. Includes borrowing under repurchase agreements. 4. For U.S. banks, includes amounts owed to own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in quarterly Consolidated Reports of Condition filed with bank regulatory agencies. For agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks, consists principally of amounts owed to the head office or parent foreign bank, and to foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of the head office or parent foreign bank. 5. Financial claims on residents of the United States, other than long-term securities, held by or through reporting banks for foreign customers. 6. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 7. Principally bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 8. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, the InterAmerican Development Bank, and the Asian Development Bank. Excludes "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 9. Foreign central banks, foreign central governments, and the Bank for International Settlements. 10. Excludes central banks, which are included in "Official institutions." A54 3.17 International Statistics • October 1996 LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States'—Continued 1995 Item 1993 1994 1996 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Junep May AREA 50 Total, all foreigners 926,672 1,014,808 l,099,665 r l,099,665 r l,098,640 r l,101,912 r l,100,426 r l,100,602 r l,096,063 r 1,097,972 51 Foreign countries 915,736 1,006,202 l,088,626 r l,088,626 r l,088,018 r l,090,803 r l,090,950 r r l,084,109 r 1,085,879 377,911 1,917 28,670 4,517 1,872 40,316 26,685 1,519 11,759 16,096 390,710 3,588 21,877 2,884 1,436 362,786 3,537 24,842 2,921 2,831 39,204 24,035 2,011 10.875 368,325 3,437 24,881 2,979 2,421 39,697 25,988 1,998 9,616 363,790 3,234 20,831 2,796 1,745 40,444 25,863 1,690 12,109 13,724 11,350 1,067 370,581 2,848 25,584 2,876 1,768 41,332 25,229 1,966 11,475 12,839 1,034 367,761 R 3,624 25,955 2,645 2,188 39,640 R 23,950 1,665 11,045 12,578 2,338 2,846 2,726 374,048 2,996 27,182 3,861 2,409 41,099 24,695 2,063 12,468 12,173 1,246 3 7 5 , 5 25R 3,477 27,572 2,787 2,203 41,304 R 24,854 1,714 10,178 12,397 2,966 3,366 2,511 20,496 2,738 41,560 3,227 133,993 372 33,331 362,786 3,537 24,842 2,921 2,831 39,204 24,035 2,011 10,875 13,724 1,394 2,761 7,950 10,012 3,245 43,627 4,124 139,127 177 26,389 2,931 9,180 11,589 2,813 42,010 4,559 146,985 163 23,626 2,843 7,950 10,012 3,245 43,627 4,124 139,127 177 26,389 3,055 7,858 11,838 2,555 40,806 4,350 152,654 163 21,612 915 2,529 8,798 19,548 3,943 36,805 4,453 146,612 145 25,291 828 1,858 7,260 19,010 2,410 37,099 4,669 146,335r 146 24,856r 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 11 Austria Belgium and Luxembourg Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Italy Netherlands Norway Portugal Russia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom Yugoslavia11 Other Europe and other former U.S.S.R.12 44,361 27,109 1,393 10,885 16,033 14,675 3,094 40,515 3,341 163,795 245 27,769 1,394 2,761 9,321 18,976 2,2 56 39,083 4,103 144,136 143 22,769 l,089,336 12,161 1,388 1,401 6,925 20,312 2,693 39,008 4,926 143,770 217 22,277 20,235 24,768 30,470r 30,470r 33,012 32,031 31,500 31,285 33,178 33,389 73 Latin America and Caribbean Argentina 14 Bahamas 75 /6 Bermuda 7/ Brazil 78 British West Indies 79 Chile 80 Colombia 81 Cuba 82 Ecuador Guatemala 83 84 Jamaica 85 Mexico 86 Netherlands Antilles 8/ Panama 88 Peru Uruguay 89 90 Venezuela 91 Other 362,238 14,477 73,820 8,117 5,301 193,699 3,183 3,171 33 880 1,207 410 28,019 4,686 3,582 929 1,611 440,216 12,236 94,991 4,897 23,797 239,083 2,825 3,666 440,216 12,236 94,991 4,897 23,797 239,083 2,825 3,666 11,810 7,531 435,624r 13,524 96,77 l r 4,633 22,715 233,383 2,978 3,505 7 1,236 1,058 500 23,643 4,448 4,030 1,025 1,799 12,662 7,707 421,950r 11,764 91,124r 4,702 21,761 227,438 2,772 3,682 7 1,201 1,075 495 23,899 4,461 4,166 1,092 1,726 12,611 7,974 433,599r 11,985 87,987r 5,035 21,483r 240,61 r 2,815 3,637 7 1,274 1,060 503 24,577 4,402 4,026 962 1,908 13,255 8,072 430,933r 14,117 85,769r 4,262 20,222 239,129 2,882 3,790 13 1,265 1,085 516 23,330 5,272 3,887 1,081 1,748 14,244 8,321 433,075' 11,650 86,303r 4,998 20,105 243,145r 2,867 3,430 6,327 423,830 17,203 104,002 8,424 9,145 229,599 3.127 4,615 13 875 1,121 529 12,227 5,217 4,551 900 1,597 13,985 6,700 1,284 1.073 550 23.214 4.722 3.846 1,064 1.757 14.672 8,387r 432,566 13,580 85,257 4,172 28,130 231,948 2,937 3,680 10 1,302 1,073 534 24,777 5,162 3,878 1,011 1,769 14,925 8,421 92 Asia China People's Republic of China 93 94 Republic of China (Taiwan) 95 Hong Kong 144,527 154,334 240,740 240,740 238,175 249,447 241,958 237,705 235,906 239,232 4,011 10,627 17,132 1,114 1,986 4,435 61,466 4,913 2,035 6,137 15,822 14,849 10,066 9,844 17,104 2,338 1,587 5,157 62,981 5,124 2,714 6,466 15,482 15,471 33,750 11,714 20,303 3,373 2,708 4,073 109,193 5,749 3,089 12,279 15,582 18,927 33,750 11,714 20,303 3,373 2,708 4,073 109,193 5,749 3,089 12,279 15,582 18,927 35,733 12,311 20,307 3,263 2,011 4,348 106,728 5,092 2,394 13,121 14,417 18,450 32,200 12,955 22,286 3,527 2,349 5,780 113,361 5,607 2,366 13,389 13,491 22,136 24,430 15,513 20,187 3,990 2,169 5,344 117,325 5,875 2,336 12,158 13,741 18,890 25,861 14,953 18,379 3,752 2,627 5,450 111,635 5,860 2,467 12,905 14,895 18,921 24,857 14,598 18,605 3,938 2,374 5,123 111,498 5,664 2,897 13,387 14,234 18,731 25,485 16,637 18,257 4,012 2,317 5,199 113,802 6,569 2,970 12,262 13,379 18,343 6,633 2,208 99 451 12 1,303 2,560 6,524 1,879 97 433 9 1,343 2,763 7,641 2,136 104 739 10 1,797 2,855 7,641 2,136 739 10 1,797 2,855 7,679 1,848 99 1,217 11 1,774 2,730 7,818 2,375 52 665 8 1,968 2,750 7,089 2,057 65 413 9 1,706 2,839 7,832 2,002 114 1,001 8 1,904 2,803 7,404 1,873 113 745 16 1,887 2,770 7,507 1,831 115 666 6 2,013 2,876 4,192 3,308 884 6,036 5,142 894 6,773 5,644 1,129 6,773 5,644 1,129 5,203 4,326 877 5,509 4,503 1,006 6,223 5,239 984 6,056 4,896 1,160 6,785r 5,757 l,028 r 9,395 7,981 1,414 10,936 6,851 3,218 867 8,606 7,537 613 456 11,039 9,300 893 846 11,039 9,300 893 846 10,622 9,639 349 634 11,109 10,075 292 742 9,476 7,938 758 780 11,266r 9,982r 422 862 1 l,954 r 10,587r 594 773 12,093 10,835 72 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 Indonesia Israel Japan Korea (South) Philippines Thailand Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries13 Other Egypt Morocco South Africa Zaire Oil-exporting countries14 Other 112 Other Australia 113 114 Other Nonmonetary international and regional organizations.. . International' 5 117 Latin American regional16 118 Other regional17 115 116 12,786 11. Since December 1992, has excluded Bosnia, Croatia, and Slovenia. 12. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Since December 1992, has included all parts of the former U.S.S.R. (except Russia), and Bosnia, Croatia, and Slovenia. 13. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 14. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 8 8 1,315 1,275 1,315 1,275 481 24,555 4,672 4,265 974 481 24,555 4,672 4,265 974 1,835 11,810 7,531 1,835 104 8 451 807 15. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Excludes "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 16. Principally the Inter-American Development Bank. 17. Asian, African, Middle Eastern, and European regional organizations, except the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Europe." Nonbank-Reported 3.18 Data BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1996 1995 Area or country 1993 1994 1995 Dec. 1 Total, all foreigners 2 Foreign countries 3 Europe 4 Austria Belgium and Luxembourg 5 6 Denmark Finland 7 8 France Germany 9 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands Norway 13 14 Portugal Russia 15 Spain 16 Sweden 17 18 Switzerland Turkey 19 20 United Kingdom 21 YugoslaviaOther Europe and other former U.S.S.R.3 22 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr/ May June p 483,242 529,948r 529,948r 527,317 520,790 531,340r 527,363 518,375 536,311 486,092 478,651 528,017 r r 525,015 518,011 527,526r 524,647 514,881 533,289 123,741 412 6,532 382 594 11,822 7,724 691 8,834 3,063 396 834 2,310 3,717 4,254 6,605 1,301 62,013 473 1,784 123,380 692 6,738 1,129 512 12,146 7,608 604 6,043 2,959 504 938 973 3,530 4,098 5,746 878 66,846 265 1,171 130,315 565 7,599 403 1,055 14,798 8,864 449 5,364 5,051 665 888 660 2,166 2,060 7,074 785 67,388 147 4,334 133,923 683 8,365 541 1,397 12,253 8,072 555 5,010 4,305 1,098 853 678 3,811 2,315 4,613 732 75,147 481 3,014 138,574 773 8,519 599 1,313 13,161 8,774 603 4,838 4,722 1,408 743 775 4,041 2,151 4,016 707 78,040 118 3,273 138,820' 892r 6,003r 698r 1,782 13,740 9,260 507 5,865r 5,585r 1,016 773 868 5,420 2,206r 4,841 810 73,741r 120 4,693 135,605 1,213 8,688 543 1,305 11,604 8,647 622 5,696 6,346 793 889 741 5,092 3,534 6,370 973 69,117 208 3,224 134,471 1,212 8,711 482 1,282 11,954 8,099 554 6,166 5,618 933 813 482 3,158 2,526 8,713 867 69,581 204 3,116 146,204 1,088 6,921 432 1,013 11,767 11,831 563 5,721 6,546 1,243 704 472 2,519 2,799 12,144 930 75,810 164 3,537 488,497 528,017 130,315 565 7,599 403 1,055 14,798 8,864 449 5,364 5,051 665 888 660 2,166 2,060 7,074 785 67,388 147 4,334 18,617 18,490 20,192r 20,192r 20,068 18,421 18,040r 22,061 20,885 22,241 24 Latin America and Caribbean 25 Argentina 26 Bahamas 27 Bermuda Brazil 28 29 British West Indies Chile 30 Colombia 31 32 Cuba Ecuador 33 34 Guatemala 35 Jamaica 36 Mexico 37 Netherlands Antilles Panama 38 39 Peru 40 Uruguay 41 Venezuela 42 Other 225,238 4,474 63,353 8,901 11,848 99,319 3,643 3,181 0 681 288 195 15,879 2,683 2,894 657 969 2,910 3,363 223,523 5,844 66,410 8,481 9,583 95,741 3,820 4,004 0 682 366 258 17,749 1,396 2,198 997 503 1,831 3,660 256,955r 6,439 58,815r 5,717 13,297 123,914 5,024 4,550 0 825 457 323 18,028 9,229 3,018 1,829 466 1,661 3,363 256,955r 6,439 58,815r 5,717 13,297 123,914 5,024 4,550 0 825 457 323 18,028 9,229 3,018 1,829 466 1,661 3,363 257,146 6,185 60,284 5,011 13,252 122,759 4,996 4,622 0 841 439 299 17,114 11,043 2,845 1,762 422 1,575 3,697 248,483 6,057 63,240 4,742 13,915 108,833 4,593 4,492 0 842 461 362 17,167 12,973 2,820 1,928 463 1,572 4,023 252,727 6,216 65,628 4,829 13,813 113,239 4,559 4,547 0 977 465 332 16,953 10,902 2,612 1,936 623 1,559 3,537 245,845 6,187 54,911 5,031 14,175 118,599 4,605 4,517 0 959 473 335 17,071 8,728 2,503 2,042 578 1,377 3,754 237,369 6,037 55,476 2,993 14,189 110,770 4,363 4,523 0 944 461 345 16,857 8,674 2,397 2,350 602 1,279 5,109 239,237 6,437 60,592 3,113 15,076 101,589 5,062 4,540 0 957 456 368 16,811 12,888 2,567 2,395 623 1,392 4,371 43 111,775 107,079 115,361r 115,361r 108,989 107,056 111,390 115,030 115,954 118,381 2,271 2,625 10,828 589 1,527 826 60,032 7,539 1,410 2,170 15,115 6,843 836 1,448 9,161 994 1,470 688 59,151 10,286 662 2,902 13,748 5,733 1,023 1,713 12,895 1,846 1,678 739 61,308 14,089r 1,350 2,599 9,639 6,482 1,023 1,713 12,895 1,846 1,678 739 61,308 14,089r 1,350 2,599 9,639 6,482 1,014 1,407 13,254 1,864 1,458 668 55,897 14,501 814 2,397 8,053 7,662 1,351 1,404 13,867 1,859 1,478 683 55,077 15,523 779 3,256 6,410 5,369 2,439 1,729 15,545 1,869 1,604 665 52,776 17,362 1,202 3,060 7,145 5,994 3,405 1,626 15,329 1,787 1,526 642 54,657 17,250 779 2,970 7,252 7,807 2,857 1,514 14,738 1,786 1,539 615 54,685 17,854 836 3,015 8,976 7,539 2,141 1,490 16,016 1,794 1,537 615 54,260 19,256 1,298 3,194 8,354 8,426 56 Africa 57 Egypt Morocco 58 South Africa 59 60 Zaire 61 Oil-exporting countries5 62 Other 3,861 196 481 633 4 1,129 1,418 3,050 225 429 671 2 856 867 2,727 210 514 465 1 552 985 2,727 210 514 465 1 552 985 2,798 208 514 483 1 589 1,003 2,879 237 561 520 1 526 1,034 2,884 247 585 567 1 516 968 2,743 225 594 493 1 501 929 2,691 217 628 468 1 478 899 2,768 198 639 515 1 474 941 63 Other 64 Australia Other 65 2,860 2,037 823 3,129 2,186 943 2,467 1,622 845 2,467 1,622 845 2,091 1,822 269 2,598 2,243 355 3,665 2,645 1,020 3,363 2,620 743 3,511 2,333 1,178 4,458 2,513 1,945 66 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations6 . . . 2,405 4,591 1,931 1,931 2,302 2,779 3,814 2,716 3,494 3,022 23 Canada 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 China People's Republic of China Republic of China (Taiwan) Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea (South) Philippines Thailand Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries4 Other 1. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Since December 1992, has excluded Bosnia, Croatia, and Slovenia. 3. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Since December 1992, has included all parts of the former U.S.S.R. (except Russia), and Bosnia, Croatia, and Slovenia. 4. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 5. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 6. Excludes the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Europe." A55 A56 3.19 International Statistics • October 1996 BANKS' OWN AND DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS' CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. Dollars Reported by Banks in the United States1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Type of claim 1993 1994 1996 1995 Dec. Jan. Feb. 527,317 23,148 305,118 97,240 35,520 61,720 101,811 520,790 24,383 295,217 98,139 37,565 60,574 103,051 Mar.' 1 Total 575,818 599,521 652,715r 652,715r 2 Banks' claims 3 Foreign public borrowers 4 Own foreign offices2 5 Unaffiliated foreign banks 6 Deposits 7 Other 8 All other foreigners 488,497 29,228 285,510 100,865 49,892 50,973 72,894 483,242 23,416 283,183 109,228 59,250 49,978 67,415 529,948r 22,522 307,509' 98,702 37,343 61,359 101,215 529,948' 22,522 307,509' 98,702 37,343 61,359 101,215 87,321 41,734 116,279 64,829 122,767 58,519 122,767 58,519 125,891 68,800 31,186 36,008 44,161 44,161 39,274 14,401 15,442 20,087 20,087 17,817 7,920 8,427 8,410 8,410 9,026 29,150 32,796 30,717 30,717 9 Claims of banks' domestic customers3 10 Deposits 11 Negotiable and readily transferable instruments4 12 Outstanding collections and other claims Apr.' May June p 527,363 26,263 298,972 101,182 37,393 63,789 100,946 518,375 22,217 300,425 98,174 35,413 62,761 97,559 536,311 22,697 307,516 105,549 33,866 71,683 100,549 32,384 34,258 30,598 657,231 531,340 27,759 297,601 103,509 41,914 61,595 102,471 MEMO 13 Customer liability on acceptances 14 Dollar deposits in banks abroad, reported by nonbanking business enterprises in the United States5 32,777 33,113 principally of amounts due from the head office or parent foreign bank, and from foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of the head office or parent foreign bank. 3. Assets held by reporting banks in the accounts of their domestic customers. 4. Principally negotiable time certificates of deposit, bankers acceptances, and commercial paper. 5. Includes demand and time deposits and negotiable and nonnegotiable certificates of deposit denominated in U.S. dollars issued by banks abroad. 1. For banks' claims, data are monthly; for claims of banks' domestic customers, data are for quarter ending with month indicated. Reporting banks include all types of depository institution as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. For U.S. banks, includes amounts due from own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in quarterly Consolidated Reports of Condition filed with bank regulatory agencies. For agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks, consists 3.20 27,830 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. Dollars Reported by Banks in the United States1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1995 Maturity, by borrower and area" 1992 1993 June 1 Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 By borrower Maturity of one year or less Foreign public borrowers All other foreigners Maturity of more than one year Foreign public borrowers All other foreigners By area Maturity of one year or less Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa All other3 Maturity of more than one year Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa All other3 Sept. Dec. Mar. r 216,986r 222,338 233,591 195,119 202,566 200,042 220,360 163,325 17,813 145,512 31,794 13,266 18,528 172,662 17,828 154,834 29,904 10,874 19,030 168,331 15,435 152,896 31,711 7,838 23,873 186,383' 15,822 170,561' 33,977 7,892 26,085 178,686' 14,192 164,494' 38,300 8,220 30,080 176,172 15,015 161,157 46,166 7,506 38,660 193,803 19,569 174,234 39,788 8,110 31,678 53,300 6,091 50,376 45,709 1,784 6,065 57,413 7,727 60,490 41,418 1,820 3,794 55,742 6,690 58,877 39,851 1,376 5,795 60,323 7,838 68,681' 43,965' 1,447 4,129 52,045 7,135 71,319 42,556' 1,261 4,370 53,897 6,089 72,393 40,133 1,271 2,389 58,001 5,473 84,297 40,332 1,302 4,398 5,367 3.287 15,312 5,038 2,380 410 5,310 2,581 14,025 5,606 1,935 447 4,203 3,505 15,717 5,318 1,583 1,385 4,240 3,685 17,557 6,058 1,389 1,048 4,594 3,571 20,224 7,373 1,389 1,149 4,885 2,731 27,811 8,023 1,430 1,286 6,827 2,563 19,532 8.461 1,474 931 1. Reporting banks include all types of depository institutions as well as some brokers and dealers. 1996 1994 2. Maturity is time remaining until maturity. 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported 3.21 CLAIMS ON FOREIGN COUNTRIES Data A57 Held by U.S. and Foreign Offices of U.S. Banks' Billions of dollars, end of period 1992 1996 1995 1994 Area or country 1993 June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. Junep 407.7 486. l r 486.4r 496.6r 541.8r 526.3r 527.0r 549.0r 571.6 605.0 131.3 .0 15.3 9.1 6.5 .0 2.3 4.8 59.7 6.3 18.8 161.8 7.4 12.0 12.6 7.7 4.7 2.7 5.9 84.3 6.9 17.6 r 173.3 8.6 18.6 24.7 14.0 3.4 3.0 5.4 64.9r 9.9 20.7 182.6' 9.6 20.7 24.0 11.6 3.4 2.6 5.5 78.4r 10.2 16.5 190.6' 7.0 19.1 24.7 11.8 3.6 2.7 5.1 85.7' 10.0 20.7 210.6' 10.2 19.8 31.2 10.6 3.5 3.1 5.7 89.9' 10.5 25.9 202.6' 9.4 19.3 29.9' 10.7 4.3 3.0 6.2 86.7' 11.1 22.1 196.8' 10.7 17.5' 27.2 12.6 4.1 2.7 6.3 80.0' 11.9 24.0 203.4' 13.5 19.2 26.9' 11.5 3.4 2.7 6.3 82.0' 9.4 28.5 202.3 10.7 17.9 31.5 13.2 3.0 3.3 5.2 84.8 9.7 22.9 222.0 8.0 17.7 31.4 14.9 4.7 2.7 6.3 101.4 11.1 23.9 13 Other industrialized countries 14 Austria 15 Denmark 16 Finland 17 Greece 18 Norway 19 Portugal 20 Spain 21 Turkey 22 Other Western Europe 23 South Africa 24 Australia 24.0 1.2 .9 .7 3.0 1.2 .4 8.9 1.3 1.7 1.7 2.9 25.6 .4 1.0 .4 3.2 1.7 .8 9.9 2.1 2.6 1.1 2.3 42.6r 1.0 1.1 .8 4.6 1.6 1.1 12.6 2.1 2.8 1.2 13.7 42.6r 1.0 1.0r .8 4.3r 1.6 1.0 14.0 1.8 1.0 1.2 15.0 45.2' 1.1 1.3 .9 4.5' 2.0 1.2 13.6 1.6 2.7 1.0 15.4 44.1' .9 1.7 1.1 4.9' 2.4 1.0 14.1 1.4 2.5 1.5 12.6 43.3' .7 1.1 .5 5.0' 1.8 1.2 13.3 1.4 2.6 1.4 14.3 50.1' 1.2 1.8 .7 5.1' 2.3 1.9 13.3 2.0' 3.0 1.3 17.4 50.2' .9 2.6 .8 5.7' 3.2 1.3 11.6 1.9' 4.7 1.2 16.4 61.3 1.3 3.4 .7 5.6 2.1 1.6 17.5 2.0 3.8 1.7 21.7 55.5 1.2 3.3 .6 5.6 2.3 1.6 13.6 2.2 3.4 2.0 19.7 25 OPEC2 26 Ecuador 27 Venezuela 28 Indonesia 29 Middle East countries 30 African countries 15.8 .6 5.2 2.7 6.2 1.1 17.4 .5 5.1 3.3 7.4 1.2 21.6 .5 4.4 3.2 12.4 1.1 21.7' .4 3.9 3.3 13.0 1.1 23.9' .5 3.7 3.8 15.0 .9' 19.5 .5 3.5 4.0 10.7 .7 20.3' .7 3.5 4.1 11.4 .6' 22.4 .7 3.0 4.4 13.6 .6 22.1 .7 2.7 4.8 13.3 .6 21.2 .8 2.9 4.7 12.3 .6 20.1 .9 2.3 4.9 11.5 .5 31 Non-OPEC developing countries 72.6 83.1 94.8r 93.2' 96.0' 98.5' 103.6 104.0 112.6' 116.8 125.9 6.6 10.8 4.4 1.8 16.0 .5 2.6 7.7 12.0 4.7 2.1 17.8 .4 3.1 9.8 12.0 5.1 2.4 18.6 .6 2.7 10.5 9.3 5.5 2.4 19.8 .6 2.8 11.2 8.4 6.1 2.6 18.4 .5 2.7 11.4 9.2 6.4 2.6 17.8 .6 2.4 12.3 10.0' 7.1 2.6 17.6 .8 2.6 10.9 13.6 6.4 2.9 16.3 .7 2.6 12.9 13.7 6.8 2.9 17.3 .8 2.8 12.7 17.8 6.4 2.9 16.1 .9 3.1 14.1 22.2 6.7 2.8 15.3 1.2 3.1 1 Total 2 G-10 countries and Switzerland 3 Belgium and Luxembourg 4 France 5 Germany 6 Italy 7 Netherlands 8 Sweden 9 Switzerland 10 United Kingdom 11 Canada 12 Japan 344.7 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Other 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Asia China People's Republic of China Republic of China (Taiwan) India Israel Korea (South) Malaysia Philippines Thailand Other Asia .7 5.2 3.2 .4 6.6 3.1 3.6 2.2 3.1 2.0 7.3 3.2 .5 6.7 4.4 3.1 3.1 3.1 .8 7.1 3.7 .4 14.3 5.2 3.2 3.3 3.2 1.0 6.9 3.9 .4 14.4 3.9 2.9 3.5 3.4 1.1 9.2 4.2 .4 16.2 3.1 3.3 2.1 4.7 1.1 8.5 3.8 .6 16.9 3.9 3.0 3.3 4.9 1.4 9.0 4.0 .7 18.7 4.1 3.6 3.8 3.5 1.7 9.0 4.4 .5 18.0 4.3 3.3 3.9 3.7 1.8 9.4 4.4 .5 19.1 4.4 4.1 4.9 4.5 3.3 9.7 4.7 .5 19.4 4.7 3.9 5.2 4.3 2.9 9.8 4.2 .5 21.8 5.0 4.7 5.4 4.7 48 49 50 51 Africa Egypt Morocco Zaire Other Africa3 .2 .6 .0 1.0 .4 .7 .0 .8 ,5r .7 .0 1.0 .3 .7 .0 .9 .3 .6 .0 .8 .4 .6 .0 .7 .4 .9 .0 .6 .4 .9' .0 .7 .4 .7 .0 .9 .2 .7 .0 .7 .2 .8 .0 .8 3.1 1.9 .6 .6 3.2 1.6 .6 .9 3.2 1.3 .5 1.4 3.0 1.1 .5 1.5 2.7 .8 .5 1.4 2.3 .7 .4 1.2 1.8 .4 .3 1.0 3.4 .6 .4 2.3 4.2 1.0 .3 2.8 6.2 1.4 .3 4.5 5.0 1.0 .3 3.7 56 Offshore banking centers 57 Bahamas 58 Bermuda 59 Cayman Islands and other British West Indies 60 Netherlands Antilles 61 Panama6 62 Lebanon 63 Hong Kong 64 Singapore 65 Other' 58.1 6.9 6.2 21.5 1.1 1.9 73.0 10.9 8.9 18.0 2.6 2.4 80.61 13.3 6.5 23.8 2.5 2.0 77.2' 13.8 6.0 21.5 1.7 1.9' 71.4' 10.3 8.4 19.9 1.3 1.3 84.4' 12.5 8.6 19.4 .9 1.1 82.1 8.4 8.3 23.7 2.4 1.3 86.0' 12.6 6.1 23.4 5.5 1.3' 99.0 11.0 6.3 32.1 9.9 1.4 100.7 13.4 5.3 28.5 10.7 1.6 103.2 17.3 3.6 23.6 13.0 1.7 13.9 6.5 .0 18.7 11.2 .1 21.8 10.6 .0 203 11.8 .0 19.9 10.1 .1 22.5' 19.2' .0 23! 1 14.8 .0 23.7 13.3 .1 25.1 13.1 .1 25.7 15.4 .1 27^8 15.9 .1 66 Miscellaneous and unallocated8 39.7 43.4 69.1' 65.8' 66.7' 82.2 72.3 64.0' 57.3' 62.5 72.8 52 Eastern Europe 53 Russia4 54 Yugoslavia5 55 Other 1. The banking offices covered by these data include US. offices and foreign branches of U.S. banks, including U.S. banks that are subsidiaries of foreign banks. Offices not covered include U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks. Beginning March 1994, the data include large foreign subsidiaries of U.S. banks. The data also include other types of U.S. depository institutions as well as some types of brokers and dealers. To eliminate duplication, the data are adjusted to exclude the claims on foreign branches held by a U.S. office or another foreign branch of the same banking institution. These data are on a gross claims basis and do not necessarily reflect the ultimate country risk or exposure of U.S. banks. More complete data on the country risk exposure of U.S. banks are available in the quarterly Country Exposure Lending Survey published by the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council. 2. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, shown individually; other members of OPEC (Algeria, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates); and Bahrain and Oman (not formally members of OPEC). 3. Excludes Liberia. Beginning March 1994 includes Namibia. 4. As of December 1992, excludes other republics of the former Soviet Union. 5. As of December 1992, excludes Croatia, Bosnia and Hercegovinia, and Slovenia. 6. Includes Canal Zone. 7. Foreign branch claims only. 8. Includes New Zealand, Liberia, and international and regional organizations. A58 International Statistics • October 1996 3.22 LIABILITIES TO UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States Millions of dollars, end of period 1994 Type of liability, and area or country 1992 1993 1995 1996 1994 Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar.p 1 Total 45,511 50,597 54,309 54,309 50,187 49,973 47,673 46,448 49,608 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 37,456 8,055 38,728 11,869 38,298 16,011 38,298 16,011 35,903 14,284 34,281 15,692 33,908 13,765 33,903 12,545 36,314 13,294 By type 4 Financial liabilities Payable in dollars 6 Payable in foreign currencies 23,841 16,960 6,881 29,226 18,545 10,681 32,954 18,818 14,136 32,954 18,818 14,136 29,775 16,704 13,071 29,282 15,028 14,254 26,237 13,872 12,365 24,241 12,903 11,338 26,225 13,826 12,399 7 Commercial liabilities 8 Trade payables y Advance receipts and other liabilities 21,670 9,566 12,104 21,371 8,802 12,569 21,355 10,005 11,350 21,355 10,005 11,350 20,412 9,844 10,568 20,691 10,527 10,164 21,436 10,061 11,375 22,207 11,013 11,194 23,383 10,815 12,568 10 ii Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 20,496 1,174 20,183 1,188 19,480 1,875 19,480 1,875 19,199 1,213 19,253 1,438 20,036 1,400 21,000 1,207 22,488 895 12 13 14 lb 16 17 18 By area or country Financial liabilities Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 13,387 414 1,623 889 606 569 8,610 18,810 175 2,539 975 534 634 13,332 21,703 495 1,727 1,961 552 688 15,543 21,703 495 1,727 1,961 552 688 15,543 17,541 612 2,046 1,755 633 883 10,764 18,223 778 1,101 1,589 530 1,056 12,138 16,401 347 1,365 1,670 474 948 10,518 15,622 369 999 1,974 466 895 10,138 16,605 483 1,679 2,161 479 957 10,241 19 Canada 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' Africa Oil-exporting countries2 All other 3 Commercial liabilities Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 544 859 629 629 1,817 893 797 632 1,166 4,053 379 114 19 2,850 12 6 3,359 1,148 0 18 1,533 17 5 2,034 101 80 207 998 0 5 2,034 101 80 207 998 0 5 2,065 135 149 58 1,068 10 5 1,950 81 138 58 1,030 3 4 1,904 79 144 111 930 3 3 1,783 59 147 57 866 12 2 1,876 78 126 57 946 16 2 5,818 4,750 19 5,956 4,887 23 8,403 7,314 35 8,403 7,314 35 8,156 7,182 27 8,023 7,141 25 6,947 6,308 25 5,988 5,436 27 6,390 5,980 26 6 0 133 123 135 123 135 123 156 122 151 122 149 122 150 122 131 122 33 109 50 50 40 42 39 66 57 7,398 298 700 729 535 350 2,505 6,827 239 655 684 688 375 2,039 6,773 241 728 604 722 327 2,444 6,773 241 728 604 722 327 2,444 6,642 271 642 482 536 327 2,848 6,776 311 504 556 448 432 2,902 7,263 349 528 660 566 255 3,351 7,700 331 481 767 500 413 3,568 8,444 370 648 870 659 432 3,525 40 Canada 1,002 879 1,037 1,037 1,235 1,146 1,219 1,040 960 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 1,533 3 307 209 33 457 142 1,658 21 350 214 27 481 123 1,857 19 345 161 23 574 276 1,857 19 345 161 23 574 276 1,368 8 260 96 29 356 273 1,836 3 397 107 12 420 204 1,607 1 219 143 5 357 175 1,740 1 205 98 56 416 221 2,114 28 570 129 10 470 243 48 49 50 Asia Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' 10,594 3,612 1,889 10,980 4,314 1,534 10,741 4,555 1,576 10,741 4,555 1,576 10,151 4,110 1,787 9,978 3,531 1,790 10,275 3,475 1,647 10,421 3,315 1,912 10,496 3,726 1,747 51 52 Africa Oil-exporting countries2 568 309 453 167 428 256 428 256 463 248 481 252 589 241 619 254 708 254 575 574 519 519 553 474 483 687 661 53 Other 3 1. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported Data 3.23 CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS the United States A59 Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in Millions of dollars, end of period 1994 Type of claim, and area or country 1992 1993 1996 1995 1994 Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar.p 1 Total 45,073 49,159 57,888 57,888 52,218 58,051 53,424 52,509 55,398 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 42,281 2,792 45,161 3,998 53,805 4,083 53,805 4,083 48,425 3,793 54,138 3,913 49,696 3,728 48,711 3,798 50,999 4,399 By type 4 Financial claims Deposits 5 Payable in dollars 6 7 Payable in foreign currencies Other financial claims 8 9 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 10 26,509 17,695 16,872 823 8,814 7,890 924 27,771 15,717 15,182 535 12,054 10,862 1,192 33,897 18,507 18.026 481 15,390 14,306 1,084 33,897 18,507 18.026 481 15,390 14,306 1,084 29,606 17,115 16,458 657 12,491 11,275 1,216 34,574 22,046 21,351 695 12,528 11,370 1,158 29,891 17,974 17,393 581 11,917 10,689 1,228 27,398 15,133 14,654 479 12,265 10,976 1,289 30,810 17,595 17,044 551 13,215 11,328 1,887 11 Commercial claims 12 Trade receivables Advance payments and other claims 13 18,564 16,007 2,557 21,388 18,425 2,963 23,991 21,158 2,833 23,991 21,158 2,833 22,612 20,415 2,197 23,477 21,326 2,151 23,533 21,409 2,124 25,111 22,998 2,113 24,588 22,077 2,511 14 15 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 17,519 1,045 19,117 2,271 21,473 2,518 21,473 2,518 20,692 1,920 21,417 2,060 21,614 1,919 23,081 2,030 22,627 1,961 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 By area or country Financial claims Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 9,331 8 764 326 515 490 6,252 7,299 134 826 526 502 530 3,585 7,936 86 800 540 429 523 4,649 7,936 86 800 540 429 523 4,649 7,630 146 808 527 606 490 4,040 7,927 155 730 356 601 514 4,790 7,840 160 753 301 522 530 4,924 7,609 193 803 436 517 498 4,303 8,929 159 1,015 320 486 470 5,568 23 Canada 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 31 32 33 Asia Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' 34 35 Africa Oil-exporting countries' 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 All other3 Commercial claims Europe Belgium and Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 1,833 2,032 3,581 3,581 3,848 3,705 3,526 2,851 5,269 13,893 778 40 686 11,747 445 29 16,224 1,336 125 654 12,699 872 161 19,536 2,424 27 520 15,228 723 35 19,536 2,424 27 520 15,228 723 35 16,109 940 37 528 13,531 583 27 21,159 2,355 85 502 17,013 635 27 15,345 1,552 35 851 11,816 487 50 14,500 1,965 81 830 10,393 554 32 13,865 1,588 77 1,943 9,164 461 40 864 668 3 1,657 892 3 1,871 953 141 1,871 953 141 1,504 621 4 1,235 471 3 2,160 1,404 4 1,579 871 3 1,890 1,171 13 83 9 99 1 373 0 373 0 141 9 138 9 188 6 276 5 277 5 505 460 600 600 374 410 832 583 580 8,451 189 1,537 933 552 362 2,094 9,105 184 1,947 1,018 423 432 2,377 9,540 213 1,881 1,027 311 557 2,556 9,540 213 1,881 1,027 311 557 2,556 8,947 199 1,790 977 324 556 2,388 9,200 218 1,669 1,023 341 612 2,469 8,862 224 1,706 997 338 438 2,479 9,824 231 1,830 1,070 452 520 2,656 9,757 247 1,803 1,407 442 575 2,607 44 Canada 1,286 1,781 1,988 1,988 2,010 2,003 1,971 1,951 2,044 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 3,043 28 255 357 40 924 345 3,274 11 182 460 71 990 293 4,117 9 234 612 83 1,243 348 4,117 9 234 612 83 1,243 348 4,140 17 208 695 55 1,106 295 4,370 21 210 777 83 1,109 319 4,359 26 245 745 66 1,026 325 4,364 30 272 898 79 993 285 4,147 30 273 808 106 868 308 52 53 54 Asia Japan Middle Eastern oil-exporting countries' 4,866 1,903 693 6,014 2,275 704 6,982 2,655 708 6,982 2,655 708 6,200 1,911 689 6,516 2,011 707 6,826 1,998 775 7,312 1,870 974 7,078 2,009 1,024 55 56 Africa Oil-exporting countries2 554 78 493 72 454 67 454 67 468 71 478 60 544 74 654 87 667 107 57 Other3 364 721 910 910 847 910 971 1,006 895 1. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A60 3.24 International Statistics • October 1996 FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS IN SECURITIES Millions of dollars Transaction, and area or country 1994 1996 1995 Jan.— June Dec. 1996 1995 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June p U.S. corporate securities STOCKS 1 Foreign purchases 2 Foreign sales 350,593 348,716 462,950 451,710 305,207 294,700 46,479 44,372 43,574 41,948 52,260 51,083 55,281 54,450 53,047 48,774 57,671 56,084 43,374 42,361 3 Net purchases, or sales ( - ) 1,877 11,240 10,507 2,107 1,626 1,177 831 4,273 1,587 1,013 4 Foreign countries 1,867 11,445 10,530 2,109 1,623 1,306 877 4,129 1,582 1,013 6,714 -201 2,110 2,251 -30 840 -1,160 -2,111 -1,142 -1,234 1,162 29 771 4,912 -1,099 -1,837 3,507 -2,283 8,066 -1,517 5,814 -337 2,503 -2,725 2 68 3,121 -317 650 1,187 1,320 -283 781 3,984 -1,206 3,924 1,535 -67 -7 1,028 -382 -11 373 191 1,277 -175 219 148 883 1,231 -1 7 1,954 164 239 660 639 -165 645 -487 -507 -40 94 6 52 -1,072 -161 -37 20 -441 -223 518 2,694 -285 -336 -131 -62 -151 1,377 661 86 208 566 -241 -90 -318 -33 -291 -749 -44 276 1,429 -336 174 237 618 345 52 808 -6 1,852 1,446 31 -37 -259 -306 -30 -67 -140 417 -425 1,245 -261 1,380 73 6 -104 -308 -339 218 129 78 -416 81 42 -114 1,359 802 -4 -43 10 -205 -23 -2 3 -129 -46 144 5 0 289,586 229,665 293,533 206,951 192,385 134,909 22,020 21,117 26,598 17,726 32,759 23,608 39,808 25,113 24,116r 18,693 34,753 24,026 34,351 25,743 21 Net purchases, or sales ( - ) 59,921 86,582 57,476 903 8,872 9,151 14,695 5,423r 10,727 8,608 22 Foreign countries 59,036 87,036 57,374 875 8,830 9,230 14,607 5,392r 10,722 8,593 23 24 25 26 21 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 37,065 242 657 3,322 1,055 31,642 2,958 5,442 771 12,153 5,486 -7 654 70,318 1,143 5,938 1,463 494 57,591 2,569 6,141 1,869 5,659 2,250 234 246 36,238 3,047 3,913 834 199 24,292 2,113 10,671 -55 8,777 3,503 187 -557 1,631 137 236 101 -381 1,247 181 -848 187 -293 -904 86 -69 5,631 839 -26 163 56 3,854 104 2,096 -194 1,272 338 -16 -63 8,968 314 1,859 365 -86 6,280 235 -713 -334 1,161 336 -40 -47 6,476 670 467 -66 -38 4,745 149 7,140 13 831 245 37 -39 3,947 785 721 -52 -144 2,264 359 33 122 l,094 r 135' 49 -212 7,144 113 891 371 178 4,247 952 1,253 120 1,279 537 107 -133 4,072 326 1 53 233 2,902 314 862 218 3,140 1,912 50 -63 885 -454 102 28 42 -79 88 5 15 5 b 1 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East1 Other Asia Japan Africa Other countries 18 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations BONDS2 19 Foreign purchases 20 Foreign sales Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East1 Other Asia Japan Africa Other countries 36 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 31 Foreign securities 37 Stocks, net purchases, or sales ( —) 38 Foreign purchases 39 Foreign sales 40 Bonds, net purchases, or sales (—) 41 Foreign purchases 42 Foreign sales 43 Net purchases, or sales (—), of stocks and bonds .... -48,071 386,106 434,177 -9,224 848,368 857,592 -50,291 345,540 395,831 -48,545 889,471 938,016 -39,720 224,817 264,537 -14,648 519,705 534,353 -6,602 32,369 38,971 -4,050 80,328 84,378 -6,434 33,481 39,915 -4,584 84,638 89,222 -5,704 37,464 43,168 -1,404 95,201 96,605 -10,345 36,115 46,460 -6,038 93,345 99,383 -6,706 37,764 44,470 -153 81,256 81,409 -3,055 43,515 46,570 -527 82,414 82,941 -7,476 36,478 43,954 -1,942 82,851 84,793 -57,295 -98,836 -54,368 -10,652 -11,018 -7,108 -16,383 -6,859 -3,582 -9,418 44 Foreign countries -57,815 -98,031 -54,059 -10,711 -11,049 -6,983 -16,387 -6,802 -3,473 -9,365 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 -3,516 -7,475 -18,334 -24,275 -17,427 -467 -3,748 -48,125 -7,952 -7,634 -34,056 -25,072 -327 63 -19,947 -4,680 -5,962 -20,767 -11,416 -861 -1,842 -5,926 -14 -802 -4,391 -3,687 -44 466 -4,068 -2,668 -3 -4,685 -3,427 -96 471 -2,552 -58 -1,031 -2,557 -1,592 -161 -624 -4,508 -1,865 -2,582 -5,756 -3,224 -436 -1,240 -1,949 614 -1,190 -4,094 -950 -14 -169 1,475 -231 -2,136 -2,260 -921 -32 -289 -8,345 -472 980 -1,415 -1,302 -122 9 520 -805 -309 59 31 -125 4 -57 -109 -53 Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Japan Africa Other countries 52 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 1. Comprises oil-exporting countries as follows: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Includes state and local government securities and securities of U.S. government agencies and corporations. Also includes issues of new debt securities sold abroad by U.S. corporations organized to finance direct investments abroad. Securities Holdings and Transactions!Interest 3.25 MARKETABLE U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES and Exchange Rates A61 Foreign Transactions1 Millions of dollars; net purchases, or sales (—) during period 1994 Area or country 78,801 1 Total estimated 2 Foreign countries 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Europe Belgium and Luxembourg Germany Netherlands Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom Other Europe and former U.S.S.R Canada 1? 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Latin America and Caribbean Venezuela Other Latin America and Caribbean Netherlands Antilles Japan Africa Other 20 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations International 21 22 Latin American regional 1996 1996 1995 Jan.June Dec. Jan. Feb. 75,261 -9,454 14,018 15,451 1995 133,991 May 7,025 15,751r 14,368 8,648 6,414 17,126' 14,130 9,459 78,637 133,552 77,034 -9,016 13,713 16,192 38,542 1,098 5,709 1,254 794 481 23,365 5,841 3,491 50,000 591 6,136 1,891 358 -472 34,778 6,718 252 42,058 579 8,875 -2,263 1,729 1,395 19,715 12,028 4,723 -1,120 171 452 381 -285 -664 -4,377 3,202 208 7,291 149 1,385 807 -45 76 1,177 3,742 1,867 8,462 -120 1,829 354 803 84 1,644 3,868 1,863 4,083 81 958 -1,597 372 65 2,270 1,934 35 8,712 399 1,833 -2,137 286 1,329 6,070 932 1,766 7,776 -151 1,674 -757 342 683 3,364 2,621 -669 5,734 221 1,196 1,067 -29 -842 5,190 -1,069 -139 -10,383 -319 -20,493 10,429 47,317 29,793 240 -570 48,609 -2 25,152 23,459 32,319 16,863 1,464 908 -8,214 -301 1,566 -9,479 38,076 15,957 950 -559 3,762 61 4,710 -1,009 -11,843 -5,695 252 -275 -2,648 -142 8,922 -11,428 6,920 2,619 515 -232 -2,931 -93 -1,896 -942 8,616 3,069 -100 282 -4,985 -44 -2,696 -2,245 6,941 2,443 311 29 l,993 r 4 3,865r -1,876 4,478 2,382 250 -73 -1,167 -39 -2,195 1,067 8,202 4,565 -48 36 1,524 13 -4,434 5,945 2,919 879 22 -601 164 526 -154 439 9 261 -1,773 -621 -1,279 -438 -347 -115 305 210 -45 -741 -308 -254 611 647 12 -1,375 -414 -1,008 238 -9 9 -811 -747 7 78,637 41,822 36,815 133,552 39,625 93,927 77,034 34,131 42,903 -9,016 2,651 -11,667 13,713 12,615 1,098 16,192 8,681 7,511 6,414 4,748 1,666 17,126r 8,253 8,873r 14,130 6,482 7,648 9,459 -6,648 16,107 -38 0 3,075 2 4,409 1 -1,085 0 -658 0 122 1 1,127 0 863 0 2,162 1 793 -1 MEMO 23 ?4 25 Foreign countries Official institutions Other foreign Oil-exporting countries 7.6 Middle East 2 27 1. Official and private transactions in marketable U.S. Treasury securities having an original maturity of more than one year. Data are based on monthly transactions reports. Excludes nonmarketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by official institutions of foreign countries. 3.26 Junep Apr. Mar. 2. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. DISCOUNT RATES OF FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS 1 Percent per year, averages of daily figures Rate on Aug. 31, 1996 Rate on Aug. 31, 1996 Country Country Month effective Apr. 1996 Apr. 1995 Aug. 1996 Apr. 1996 July 1996 2.5 2.5 4.25 3.25 3.55 Austria. ., Belgium. . Canada. . Denmark France2 . 1. Rates shown are mainly those at which the central bank either discounts or makes advances against eligible commercial paper or government securities for commercial banks or brokers. For countries with more than one rate applicable to such discounts or advances, the rate shown is the one at which it is understood that the central bank transacts the largest proportion of its credit operations. 3.27 2.5 8.25 .5 2.5 1.5 Germany . . . Italy Japan Netherlands . Switzerland . 2. Since February 1981, the rate has been that at which the Bank of France discounts Treasury bills for seven to ten days, FOREIGN SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES1 Percent per year, averages of daily figures 1996 Type or country 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Eurodollars United Kingdom Canada Germany Switzerland Netherlands France Italy Belgium Japan 1993 3.18 5.88 5.14 7.17 4.79 6.73 8.30 10.09 8.10 2.96 1994 4.63 5.45 5.57 5.25 4.03 5.09 5.72 8.45 5.65 2.24 1995 5.93 6.63 7.14 4.43 2.94 4.30 6.43 10.43 4.73 1.20 1. Rates are for three-month interbank loans, with the following exceptions: Canada, finance company paper; Belgium, three-month Treasury bills; and Japan, CD rate. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July 5.14 6.13 5.22 3.26 1.61 3.00 4.29 9.90 3.23 .61 5.28 6.02 5.23 3.25 1.68 3.09 4.14 9.82 3.25 .60 5.36 5.97 5.03 3.22 1.68 2.83 3.87 9.60 3.23 .61 5.36 6.03 4.82 3.19 1.99 2.61 3.78 8.88 3.19 .62 5.46 5.80 4.87 3.29 2.53 2.81 3.85 8.73 3.23 .57 5.49 5.69 4.76 3.29 2.52 2.99 3.73 8.72 3.29 .67 Aug. 5.41 5.72 4.30 3.20 2.21 3.05 3.84 8.77 3.21 .62 A62 3.28 International Statistics • October 1996 FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES1 Currency units per dollar except as noted 1996 Country/currency unit 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Australia/dollar Austria/schilling Belgium/franc Canada/dollar China, P.R./yuan Denmark/krone Finland/markka France/franc Germany/deutsche mark Greece/drachma 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Hong Kong/dollar India/rupee Ireland/pound2 Italy/lira Japan/yen Malaysia/ringgit Netherlands/guilder New Zealand/dollar2 Norway/krone Portugal/escudo 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Singapore/dollar South Africa/rand South Korea/won Spain/peseta Sri Lanka/rupee Sweden/krona Switzerland/franc Taiwan/dollar Thailand/baht United Kingdom/pound2 1993 1994 1995 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. 67.993 11.639 34.581 1.2902 5.7795 6.4863 5.7251 5.6669 1.6545 229.64 73.161 11.409 33.426 1.3664 8.6404 6.3561 5.2340 5.5459 1.6216 242.50 74.073 10.076 29.472 1.3725 8.3700 5.5999 4.3763 4.9864 1.4321 231.68 77.136 10.391 30.371 1.3656 8.3495 5.7074 4.6066 5.0583 1.4776 241.54 78.566 10.580 30.902 1.3592 8.3583 5.8050 4.7288 5.1049 1.5048 242.00 79.700 10.782 31.502 1.3693 8.3479 5.9160 4.7541 5.1855 1.5324 243.27 79.122 10.755 31.433 1.3658 8.3424 5.8941 4.6710 5.1787 1.5282 241.75 78.974 10.576 30.947 1.3697 8.3409 5.8014 4.5812 5.0881 1.5025 237.65 78.305 10.435 30.553 1.3722 8.3379 5.7327 4.4793 5.0636 1.4826 237.00 7.7357 31.291 146.47 1,573.41 111.08 2.5738 1.8585 54.127 7.1009 161.08 7.7290 31.394 149.69 1,611.49 102.18 2.6237 1.8190 59.358 7.0553 165.93 7.7357 32.418 160.35 1,629.45 93.96 2.5073 1.6044 65.625 6.3355 149.88 7.7325 34.485 157.21 1,562.43 105.94 2.5417 1.6540 68.079 6.4277 152.93 7.7345 34.320 156.51 1,565.60 107.20 2.5113 1.6805 68.242 6.4901 154.51 7.7363 35.025 156.29 1,556.71 106.34 2.4936 1.7135 68.571 6.5748 157.54 7.7404 35.100 158.31 1,542.30 108.96 2.4967 1.7120 67.650 6.5376 157.40 7.7379 35.667 160.31 1,526.82 109.19 2.4915 1.6862 69.001 6.4465 154.56 7.7345 35.800 161.08 1,516.62 107.87 2.4933 1.6633 68.860 6.4153 152.27 1.6158 3.2729 805.75 127.48 48.211 7.7956 1.4781 26.416 25.333 150.16 1.5275 3.5526 806.93 133.88 49.170 7.7161 1.3667 26.465 25.161 153.19 1.4171 3.6284 772.69 124.64 51.047 7.1406 1.1812 26.495 24.921 157.85 1.4095 3.9293 781.31 124.39 53.748 6.7318 1.1959 27.400 25.251 152.71 1.4082 4.2130 780.42 125.49 54.163 6.7141 1.2180 27.188 25.290 151.60 1.4074 4.3679 780.86 127.97 54.868 6.7984 1.2539 27.352 25.289 151.52 1.4090 4.3519 798.45 128.87 55.529 6.6807 1.2579 27.674 25.354 154.16 1.4160 4.3963 813.03 126.96 55.293 6.6394 1.2320 27.573 25.355 155.30 1.4124 4.5289 817.52 125.72 55.603 6.6211 1.2029 27.496 25.289 154.99 MEMO 31 United States/dollar3 93.18 91.32 84.25 1. Averages of certified noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.5 (405) monthly statistical release. For ordering address, see inside front cover. 2. Value in U.S. cents. 86.57 87.46 88.28 88.16 87.25 86.54 3. Index of weighted-average exchange value of U.S. dollar against the currencies of ten industrial countries. The weight for each of the ten countries is the 1972-76 average world trade of that country divided by the average world trade of all ten countries combined. Series revised as of August 1978 (see Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 64 (August 1978), p. 700). A63 Guide to Statistical Releases and Special Tables STATISTICAL RELEASES—List Published Semiannually, with Latest Bulletin Reference Issue Anticipated schedule of release dates for periodic releases June 1996 Page All SPECIAL TABLES—Data Published Irregularly, with Latest Bulletin Reference Title and Date Assets and liabilities Issue of commercial banks March 31, 1993 June 30, 1993 September 30, 1993 December 31, 1993 Terms of lending at commercial of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign Pro forma balance sheet and income statements for priced service of life insurance lending reported November February May August 1995 1996 1996 1996 A68 A68 A68 A64 November February May September 1995 1996 1996 1996 All All All A64 October January July October 1995 1996 1996 1996 All A68 A64 A64 December May August March 1991 1992 1992 1993 A79 A81 A83 A71 September 1995 September 1996 A68 A68 companies June 30, 1991 September 30, 1991 December 31, 1991 September 30, 1992 1994 1995 A70 A70 A70 A68 operations June 30, 1995 September 30, 1995 March 31, 1996 June 30, 1996 Residential 1993 1993 1994 1994 banks June 30, 1995 September 30, 1995 December 31, 1995 March 31, 1996 Assets and liabilities August November February May banks August 1995 November 1995 February 1996 May 1996 Assets and liabilities Page under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act A64 4.31 Special Tables • October 1996 PRO FORMA FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR FEDERAL RESERVE PRICED SERVICES A. Pro forma balance sheet Millions of dollars Item Short-term assets (Note 1) Imputed reserve requirement on clearing balances Investment in marketable securities Receivables Materials and supplies Prepaid expenses Items in process of collection June 30, 1996 June 30, 1995 603.0 5,427.0 61.9 11.0 24.6 2,154.8 404.3 3,638.7 63.0 8.1 25.5 2,125.1 6,264.7 8,282.2 Total short-term assets Long-term assets (Note 2) Furniture and equipment Leases and leasehold improvements Prepaid pension costs 377.1 149.5 21.2 266.3 349.0 162.8 23.0 221.3 814.0 756.2 9,096.3 7,020.9 Total long-term assets Total assets Short-term liabilities Clearing balances and balances arising from early credit of uncollected items Deferred-availability items Short-term debt 8,282.2 Total short-term liabilities Long-term liabilities Obligations under capital leases Long-term debt Postretirement/postemployment benefits obligation 4,096.2 2,071.8 96.7 6,093.5 2,091.2 97.5 2.3 181.0 183.7 3.8 159.5 170.8 367.0 334.1 8,649.2 6,598.8 Total long-term liabilities Total liabilities 447.1 422.1 9,096.3 7,020.9 Equity Total liabilities and equity (Note 3) NOTE. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding. The priced services financial statements consist of these tables and the accompanying notes. ( 1 ) SHORT-TERM ASSETS The imputed reserve requirement on clearing balances held at Reserve Banks by depository institutions reflects a treatment comparable to that of compensating balances held at correspondent banks by respondent institutions. The reserve requirement imposed on respondent balances must be held as vault cash or as nonearning balances maintained at a Reserve Bank; thus, a portion of priced services clearing balances held with the Federal Reserve is shown as required reserves on the asset side of the balance sheet. The remainder of clearing balances is assumed to be invested in three-month Treasury bills, shown as investment in marketable securities. Receivables are (1) amounts due the Reserve Banks for priced services and (2) the share of suspense-account and difference-account balances related to priced services. Materials and supplies are the inventory value of short-term assets. Prepaid expenses include salary advances and travel advances for priced-service personnel. Items in process of collection is gross Federal Reserve cash items in process of collection (CIPC) stated on a basis comparable to that of a commercial bank. It reflects adjustments for intra-System items that would otherwise be double-counted on a consolidated Federal Reserve balance sheet; adjustments for items associated with non-priced items, such as those collected for government agencies; and adjustments for items associated with providing fixed availability or credit before items are received and processed. Among the costs to be recovered under the Monetary Control Act is the cost of float, or net CIPC during the period (the difference between gross CIPC and deferred-availability items which is the portion of gross CIPC that involves a financing cost), valued at the federal funds rate. 6,264.7 ( 2 ) LONG-TERM ASSETS Consists of long-term assets used solely in priced services, the priced-services portion of long-term assets shared with nonpriced services, and an estimate of the assets of the Board of Governors used in the development of priced services. Elfective Jan. 1, 1987, the Reserve Banks implemented the Financial Accounting Standards Board's Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 87, Employers' Accounting for Pensions (SFAS 87). Accordingly, the Federal Reserve Banks recognized credits to expenses of $12.0 million in the second quarter of 1996, S12.2 million in the first quarter of 1996, S8.7 million in the second quarter of 1995 and $7.2 million in the first quarter of 1995, and corresponding increases in this asset account. ( 3 ) LIABILITIES AND EQUITY Under the matched-book capital structure for assets that are not "self-financing," short-term assets are financed with short-term debt. Long-term assets are financed with long-term debt and equity in a proportion equal to the ratio of long-term debt to equity for the fifty largest bank holding companies, which are used in the model for the private-sector adjustment factor (PSAF). The PSAF consists of the taxes that would have been paid and the return on capital that would have been provided had priced services been furnished by a private-sector firm. Other short-term liabilities include clearing balances maintained at Reserve Banks and deposit balances arising from float. Other long-term liabilities consist of obligations on capital leases. Nonbank-Reported 4.31 Data PRO FORMA FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FOR FEDERAL RESERVE PRICED SERVICES B. Pro forma income statement Millions of dollars Item Quarter ending June 30, 1996 Revenue from services provided to depository institutions (Note 4) Operating expenses (Note 5) Income from operations Imputed costs (Note 6) Interest on float Interest on debt Sales taxes FDIC insurance 1.1 4.3 2.6 0.0 Quarter ending June 30, 1995 196.0 162.3 183.1 161.8 33.7 21.3 8.0 3.1 4.1 2.9 1.8 25.7 Income from operations after imputed costs Other income and expenses (Note 7) Investment income on clearing balances Earnings credits 75.7 68.6 7.1 11.9 9.4 61.6 55.8 5.8 Income before income taxes Imputed income taxes (Note 8) 32.8 9.8 15.1 4.7 Income before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle Cumulative effect on previous years from retroactive application of accrual method of accounting for postemployment benefits (net of $6.5 million tax) (Note 9) 23.0 10.4 Net income 23.0 10.4 10.7 9.6 MEMO Targeted return on equity (Note 10) Six months ending June 30, 1996 Revenue from services provided to depository institutions (Note 4) Operating expenses (Note 5) Income from operations Imputed costs (Note 6) Interest on float Interest on debt Sales taxes FDIC insurance 11.8 8.6 5.4 0.0 Six months ending June 30, 1995 390.1 323.4 365.1 330.7 66.7 34.3 25.8 8.8 8.1 5.1 5.4 147.2 134.0 13.2 27.4 6.9 40.9 Income from operations after imputed costs Other income and expenses (Note 7) Investment income on clearing balances Earnings credits 125.5 110.1 15.3 Income before income taxes Imputed income taxes (Note 8) 54.1 16.2 22.3 6.9 Income before cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle Cumulative effect on previous years from retroactive application of accrual method of accounting for postemployment benefits (net of $6.5 million tax) (Note 9) 37.9 15.4 Net income 37.9 .8 21.0 17.7 -14.6 MEMO Targeted return on equity (Note 10) NOTE. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding. The priced services financial statements consist of these tables and the accompanying notes. ( 4 ) REVENUE Revenue represents charges to depository institutions for priced services and is realized from each institution through one of two methods: direct charges to an institution's account or charges against its accumulated earnings credits. (5) OPERATING EXPENSES Operating expenses consist of the direct, indirect, and other general administrative expenses of the Reserve Banks for priced services plus the expenses for staif members of the Board of Governors working directly on the development of priced services. The expenses for Board staff members were $.7 million in the first and second quarters of 1996 and 1995. The credit to expenses under SFAS 87 (see note 2) is reflected in operating expenses. (6) IMPUTED COSTS Imputed costs consist of interest on float, interest on debt, sales taxes, and the FDIC assessment. Interest on float is derived from the value of float to be recovered, either explicitly or through per-item fees, during the period. Float costs include costs for checks, book-entry securities, noncash collection, ACH, and funds transfers. Interest is imputed on the debt assumed necessary to finance priced-service assets. The sales taxes and FDIC assessment that the Federal Reserve would have paid had it been a private-sector firm are among the components of the PSAF (see note 3). The following list shows the daily average recovery of float by the Reserve Banks for the second quarter of 1996 and 1995 in millions of dollars: Total float Unrecovered float Float subject to recovery Sources of float recovery Income on clearing balances As-of adjustments Direct charges Per-item fees 1996 1995 413.4 15.4 398.0 457.6 41.2 416.4 40.3 318.4 107.7 (68.5) 42.2 210.5 77.9 85.8 Unrecovered float includes float generated by services to government agencies and by other central bank services. Float recovered through income on clearing balances is the result of the increase in investable clearing balances; the increase is produced by a deduction for float for cash items in process of collection, which reduces imputed reserve requirements. The income on clearing balances reduces the float to be recovered through other means. As-of adjustments and direct charges are mid-week closing float and interterritory check float, which may be recovered from depositing institutions through adjustments to the institution's reserve or clearing balance or by valuing the float at the federal funds rate and billing the institution directly. Float recovered through per-item fees is valued at the federal funds rate and has been added to the cost base subject to recovery in the second quarters of 1996 and 1995. (7) OTHER INCOME AND EXPENSES Consists of investment income on clearing balances and the cost of earnings credits. Investment income on clearing balances represents the average coupon-equivalent yield on three-month Treasury bills applied to the total clearing balance maintained, adjusted for the effect of reserve requirements on clearing balances. Expenses for earnings credits granted to depository institutions on their clearing balances are derived by applying the average federal funds rate to the required portion of the clearing balances, adjusted for the net effect of reserve requirements on clearing balances. (8) INCOME TAXES Imputed income taxes are calculated at the effective tax rate derived from the PSAF model (see note 3). (9) POSTEMPLOYMENT BENEFITS Effective Jan. 1, 1995, the Reserve Banks implemented SFAS 112, Employers' Accounting for Postemployment Benefits. Accordingly in the first quarter of 1995 the Reserve Banks recognized a one-time cumulative charge of $21.1 million to reflect the retroactive application of this change in accounting principle. ( 1 0 ) RETURN ON EQUITY Represents the after-tax rate of return on equity that the Federal Reserve would have earned had it been a private business firm, as derived from the PSAF model (see note 3). This amount is adjusted to reflect the recovery of automation consolidation costs of $1.6 million for the second quarter of 1996, $1.2 million for the first quarter of 1996, $1.7 million for the second quarter of 1995, and $.3 million for the first quarter of 1995. The Reserve Banks plan to recover these amounts, along with a finance charge, by the end of the year 2001. A65 A66 Index to Statistical Tables References are to pages A3-A65 although the prefix "A" is omitted in this index ACCEPTANCES, bankers (See Bankers acceptances) Agricultural loans, commercial banks, 19, 20 Assets and liabilities (See also Foreigners) Banks, by classes, 17-21 Domestic finance companies, 33 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Financial institutions, 25 Foreign banks, U.S. branches and agencies, 21 Automobiles Consumer installment credit, 36 Production, 44, 45 BANKERS acceptances, 10, 11, 19-22, 23 Bankers balances, 17-21. (See also Foreigners) Bonds (See also U.S. government securities) New issues, 31 Rates, 23 Branch banks, 21 Business activity, nonfinancial, 42 Business loans (See Commercial and industrial loans) CAPACITY utilization, 43 Capital accounts Banks, by classes, 17 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Central banks, discount rates, 61 Certificates of deposit, 23 Commercial and industrial loans Commercial banks, 19, 20 Weekly reporting banks, 19-21 Commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 17-21 Commercial and industrial loans, 17-21 Consumer loans held, by type and terms, 36 Deposit interest rates of insured, 15 Loans sold outright, 20 Real estate mortgages held, by holder and property, 35 Time and savings deposits, 4 Commercial paper, 22, 23, 33 Condition statements (See Assets and liabilities) Construction, 42, 46 Consumer installment credit, 36 Consumer prices, 42 Consumption expenditures, 49, 50 Corporations Profits and their distribution, 32 Security issues, 31, 61 Cost of living (See Consumer prices) Credit unions, 36 Currency in circulation, 5, 13 Customer credit, stock market, 24 DEBITS to deposit accounts, 16 Debt (See specific types of debt or securities) Demand deposits Banks, by classes, 17-21 Ownership by individuals, partnerships, and corporations, 20, 21 Turnover, 16 Depository institutions Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves and related items, 4, 5, 6, 12 Deposits (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 4, 17-21 Federal Reserve Banks, 5, 10 Interest rates, 15 Turnover, 16 Discount rates at Reserve Banks and at foreign central banks and foreign countries (See Interest rates) Discounts and advances by Reserve Banks (See Loans) Dividends, corporate, 32 EMPLOYMENT, 42 Eurodollars, 23 FARM mortgage loans, 35 Federal agency obligations, 5, 9, 10, 11, 28, 29 Federal credit agencies, 30 Federal finance Debt subject to statutory limitation, and types and ownership of gross debt, 27 Receipts and outlays, 25, 26 Treasury financing of surplus, or deficit, 25 Treasury operating balance, 25 Federal Financing Bank, 30 Federal funds, 6, 19, 20, 21, 23, 25 Federal Home Loan Banks, 30 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, 30, 34, 35 Federal Housing Administration, 30, 34, 35 Federal Land Banks, 35 Federal National Mortgage Association, 30, 34, 35 Federal Reserve Banks Condition statement, 10 Discount rates (See Interest rates) U.S. government securities held, 5, 10, 11, 27 Federal Reserve credit, 5, 6, 10, 11 Federal Reserve notes, 10 Federal Reserve System Balance sheet for priced services, 64, 65 Condition statement for priced services, 64, 65 Federally sponsored credit agencies, 30 Finance companies Assets and liabilities, 33 Business credit, 33 Loans, 36 Paper, 22, 23 Financial institutions, loans to, 19, 20, 21 Float, 5 Flow of funds, 37-41 Foreign banks, assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies, 20,21 Foreign currency operations, 10 Foreign deposits in U.S. banks, 5, 20 Foreign exchange rates, 62 Foreign trade, 51 Foreigners Claims on, 52, 55, 56, 57, 59 Liabilities to, 20, 51, 52, 53, 58, 60, 61 GOLD Certificate account, 10 Stock, 5 , 5 1 Government National Mortgage Association, 30, 34, 35 Gross domestic product, 48 HOUSING, new and existing units, 46 A67 INCOME and expenses, Federal Reserve System, 64, 65 Income, personal and national, 42, 48, 49 Industrial production, 42, 44 Installment loans, 36 Insurance companies, 27, 35 Interest rates Bonds, 23 Consumer installment credit, 36 Deposits, 15 Federal Reserve Banks, 7 Foreign central banks and foreign countries, 61 Money and capital markets, 23 Mortgages, 34 Prime rate, 22 International capital transactions of United States, 50-61 International organizations, 52, 53, 55, 58, 59 Inventories, 48 Investment companies, issues and assets, 32 Investments (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 17-21 Commercial banks, 4, 17-21 Federal Reserve Banks, 10, 11 Financial institutions, 35 LABOR force, 42 Life insurance companies (See Insurance companies) Loans (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 17—21 Commercial banks, 17-21 Federal Reserve Banks, 5, 6, 7, 10, 11 Federal Reserve System, 64, 65 Financial institutions, 35 Insured or guaranteed by United States, 34, 35 MANUFACTURING Capacity utilization, 43 Production, 43, 45 Margin requirements, 24 Member banks (See also Depository institutions) Federal funds and repurchase agreements, 6 Reserve requirements, 8 Mining production, 45 Mobile homes shipped, 46 Monetary and credit aggregates, 4, 12 Money and capital market rates, 23 Money stock measures and components, 4, 13 Mortgages (See Real estate loans) Mutual funds, 32 Mutual savings banks (See Thrift institutions) NATIONAL defense outlays, 26 National income, 48 OPEN market transactions, 9 PERSONAL income, 49 Prices Consumer and producer, 42, 47 Stock market, 24 Prime rate, 22 Producer prices, 42, 47 Production, 42, 44 Profits, corporate, 32 REAL estate loans Banks, by classes, 19, 20, 35 Real estate loans—Continued Terms, yields, and activity, 34 Type of holder and property mortgaged, 35 Repurchase agreements, 6 Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves Commercial banks, 17 Depository institutions, 4, 5, 6, 12 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 U.S. reserve assets, 51 Residential mortgage loans, 34 Retail credit and retail sales, 36, 42 SAVING Flow of funds, 37-41 National income accounts, 48 Savings institutions, 35, 36, 37 Savings deposits (See Time and savings deposits) Securities (See also specific types) Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies, 30 Foreign transactions, 60 New issues, 31 Prices, 24 Special drawing rights, 5, 10, 50, 51 State and local governments Deposits, 19, 20 Holdings of U.S. government securities, 27 New security issues, 31 Ownership of securities issued by, 19, 21 Rates on securities, 23 Stock market, selected statistics, 24 Stocks (See also Securities) New issues, 31 Prices, 24 Student Loan Marketing Association, 30 TAX receipts, federal, 26 also Credit unions and Savings Thrift institutions, 4. (See institutions) Time and savings deposits, 4, 13, 15, 17-21 Trade, foreign, 51 Treasury cash, Treasury currency, 5 Treasury deposits, 5, 10, 25 Treasury operating balance, 25 UNEMPLOYMENT, 42 U.S. government balances Commercial bank holdings, 17-21 Treasury deposits at Reserve Banks, 5, 10, 25 U.S. government securities Bank holdings, 17-21, 27 Dealer transactions, positions, and financing, 29 Federal Reserve Bank holdings, 5, 10, 11, 27 Foreign and international holdings and transactions, 10, 27, 61 Open market transactions, 9 Outstanding, by type and holder, 27, 28 Rates, 23 U.S. international transactions, 50-62 Utilities, production, 45 VETERANS Administration, 34, 35 WEEKLY reporting banks, 17-21 Wholesale (producer) prices, 42, 47 YIELDS (See Interest rates) A68 Federal Reserve Board of Governors and Official Staff ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman ALICE M . RIVLIN, Vice Chair EDWARD W . KELLEY, JR. OFFICE JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant to the Board DONALD J. WINN, Assistant to the Board THEODORE E. ALLISON, Assistant to the Board for Federal Reserve System Affairs LYNN S. FOX, Deputy Congressional Liaison WINTHROP P. HAMBLEY, Special Assistant to the Board BOB STAHLY MOORE, Special Assistant to the Board DIANE E. WERNEKE, Special Assistant to the Board PORTIA W. THOMPSON, Equal Employment Opportunity Programs Adviser DIVISION OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCE EDWIN M. TRUMAN, Staff Director LARRY J. PROMISEL, Senior Associate Director CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Senior Associate Director DALE W. HENDERSON, Associate Director DAVID H. HOWARD, Senior Adviser DONALD B. ADAMS, Assistant Director THOMAS A. CONNORS, Assistant Director PETER HOOPER III, Assistant Director KAREN H. JOHNSON, Assistant Director CATHERINE L. MANN, Assistant Director RALPH W. SMITH, JR., Assistant Director LEGAL DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS OF BOARD LAWRENCE B . LINDSEY MEMBERS DIVISION J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., General Counsel SCOTT G. ALVAREZ, Associate General Counsel RICHARD M. ASHTON, Associate General Counsel OLIVER IRELAND, Associate General Counsel KATHLEEN M. O'DAY, Associate General Counsel ROBERT DEV. FRIERSON, Assistant General Counsel KATHERINE H. WHEATLEY, Assistant General Counsel OFFICE OF THE WILLIAM W . WILES, SECRETARY Secretary JENNIFER J. JOHNSON, Deputy Secretary BARBARA R. LOWREY, Associate Secretary and DIVISION OF BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION RICHARD SPILLENKOTHEN, Director STEPHEN C. SCHEMERING, Deputy Director WILLIAM A. RYBACK, Associate Director HERBERT A. BIERN, Deputy Associate Director ROGER T. COLE, Deputy Associate Director JAMES I. GARNER, Deputy Associate Director HOWARD A. AMER, Assistant Director GERALD A. EDWARDS, JR., Assistant Director STEPHEN M. HOFFMAN, JR., Assistant Director JAMES V. HOUPT, Assistant Director JACK P. JENNINGS, Assistant Director MICHAEL G. MARTINSON, Assistant Director RHOGER H PUGH, Assistant Director SIDNEY M. SUSSAN, Assistant Director MOLLY S. WASSOM, Assistant Director WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, Project Director, National Information Center Ombudsman M I C H A E L J. PRELL, Director EDWARD C. ETTIN, Deputy Director DAVID J. STOCKTON, Deputy Director MARTHA BETHEA, Associate Director WILLIAM R. JONES, Associate Director MYRON L. KWAST, Associate Director PATRICK M. PARKINSON, Associate Director THOMAS D. SIMPSON, Associate Director LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Associate Director MARTHA S. SCANLON, Deputy Associate Director PETER A. TINSLEY, Deputy Associate Director DAVID S. JONES, Assistant Director STEPHEN A. RHOADES, Assistant Director CHARLES S. STRUCKMEYER, Assistant Director A L I C E PATRICIA W H I T E , Assistant Director JOYCE K. ZICKLER, Assistant Director JOHN J. MINGO, Senior Adviser GLENN B . CANNER, DIVISION Adviser OF MONETARY DONALD L. KOHN, AFFAIRS Director DAVID E. LINDSEY, Deputy Director BRIAN F. MADIGAN, Associate Director RICHARD D. PORTER, Deputy Associate Director VINCENT R. REINHART, Assistant Director NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Special Assistant to the Board DIVISION OF CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS GRIFFITH L . G A R W O O D , Director GLENN E. LONEY, Associate Director DOLORES S. SMITH, Associate Director MAUREEN P. ENGLISH, Assistant Director IRENE S H A W N M C N U L T Y , Assistant Director A69 S U S A N M . PHILLIPS LAURENCE H . M E Y E R JANET L . Y E L L E N OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR MANAGEMENT DIVISION OF RESERVE BANK OPERATIONS AND PAYMENT SYSTEMS S. DAVID FROST, Staff Director SHEILA CLARK, EEO Programs C L Y D E H . F A R N S W O R T H , JR., DIVISION OF HUMAN RESOURCES MANAGEMENT DAVID L. S H A N N O N , Director JOHN R. WEIS, Associate Director JOSEPH H. HAYES, JR., Assistant Director FRED HOROWITZ, Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE INSPECTOR GENERAL OFFICE OF THE CONTROLLER GEORGE E . L I V I N G S T O N , Controller STEPHEN J. CLARK, Assistant Controller (Programs and DARRELL R. PAULEY, Assistant Controller (Finance) DIVISION OF SUPPORT SERVICES R O B E R T E . FRAZIER, Director GEORGE M. LOPEZ, Assistant DAVID L. WILLIAMS, Assistant Director Director DIVISION OF INFORMATION RESOURCES MANAGEMENT STEPHEN R. MALPHRUS, Director MARIANNE M. EMERSON, Assistant Director P o KYUNG KIM, Assistant Director RAYMOND H. MASSEY, Assistant Director EDWARD T. MULRENIN, Assistant Director DAY W. RADABAUGH, JR., Assistant Director ELIZABETH B. RIGGS, Assistant Director RICHARD C. STEVENS, Assistant Director Director DAVID L. ROBINSON, Deputy Director (Finance and LOUISE L. ROSEMAN, Associate Director CHARLES W. BENNETT, Assistant Director JACK DENNIS, JR., Assistant Director EARL G. HAMILTON, Assistant Director Director JEFFREY C. MARQUARDT, Assistant JOHN H. PARRISH, Assistant Director FLORENCE M. YOUNG, Assistant Director Director Budgets) BRENT L. BOWEN, Inspector General DONALD L. ROBINSON, Assistant Inspector General BARRY R. SNYDER, Assistant Inspector General Control) 70 Federal Reserve Bulletin • October 1996 Federal Open Market Committee and Advisory Councils FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE MEMBERS A L A N GREENSPAN, WILLIAM J. M C D O N O U G H , Vice Chairman EDWARD G . B O E H N E LAWRENCE B . LINDSEY ALICE M . RIVLIN JERRY L . JORDAN ROBERT D . M C T E E R , JR. GARY H . S T E R N EDWARD W . KELLEY, JR. LAURENCE H . MEYER JANET L . YELLEN S U S A N M . PHILLIPS ALTERNATE MEMBERS J. ALFRED BROADDUS, JR. MICHAEL H . MOSKOW JACK G U Y N N ROBERT T. PARRY ERNEST T. PATRIKIS STAFF D O N A L D L . K O H N , Secretary and Economist N O R M A N D R . V . BERNARD, Deputy Secretary JOSEPH R . C O Y N E , Assistant GARY P. GILLUM, Assistant LARRY J. PROMISEL, Associate A R T H U R J. ROLNICK, Associate Secretary THOMAS C. BAXTER, JR., Deputy EDWIN M . TRUMAN, FREDERIC S . MISHKIN, Associate Secretary J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., General MICHAEL J. PRELL, DAVID E . LINDSEY, Associate Counsel General Counsel RICHARD W . L A N G , Associate PETER R. FISHER, Manager, FEDERAL ADVISORY Economist Economist DAVID J. STOCKTON, Associate Economist System Open Market Economist Economist Economist Account COUNCIL RICHARD G . TILGHMAN, President FRANK V . CAHOUET, Vice President Seventh District Eighth District RICHARD M . KOVACEVICH, Ninth District CHARLES E. NELSON, Tenth District CHARLES T. D O Y L E , Eleventh District WILLIAM F. Z U E N D T , Twelfth District First District Second District WALTER E. DALLER, JR., Third District FRANK V. CAHOUET, Fourth District RICHARD G. TILGHMAN, Fifth District CHARLES E. RICE, Sixth District WILLIAM M . CROZIER, JR., ROGER L . FITZSIMONDS, WALTER V. SHIPLEY, THOMAS H . JACOBSEN, Economist CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Associate M A R K S . SNIDERMAN, Associate Economist Economist Economist HARVEY ROSENBLUM, Associate THOMAS D . SIMPSON, Associate Economist Economist HERBERT V. PROCHNOW, Secretary JAMES A N N A B L E , WILLIAM J. KORSVIK, Emeritus Co-Secretary Co-Secretary Chairman A71 CONSUMER ADVISORY COUNCIL KATHARINE W. MCKEE, Durham, North Carolina, Chairman JULIA M. SEWARD, Richmond, Virginia, Vice Chairman RICHARD S . AMADOR, LOS A n g e l e s , C a l i f o r n i a ERROL T. LOUIS, B r o o k l y n , N e w Y o r k THOMAS R . B U T L E R , R i v e r w o o d s , I l l i n o i s WILLIAM N . L U N D , F a l m o u t h , M a i n e ROBERT A . COOK, B a l t i m o r e , M a r y l a n d R O N A L D A . PRILL, M i n n e a p o l i s , M i n n e s o t a A L V I N J. COWANS, O r l a n d o , F l o r i d a LISA R I C E - C O L E M A N , T o l e d o , O h i o E L I Z A B E T H G . FLORES, L a r e d o , T e x a s JOHN R . RINES, D e t r o i t , M i c h i g a n HERIBERTO FLORES, S p r i n g f i e l d , M a s s a c h u s e t t s MARGOT SAUNDERS, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . E M A N U E L FREEMAN, P h i l a d e l p h i a , P e n n s y l v a n i a A N N E B . SHLAY, P h i l a d e l p h i a , P e n n s y l v a n i a DAVID C . F Y N N , C l e v e l a n d , O h i o REGINALD J. SMITH, Kansas City, Missouri ROBERT G . GREER, H o u s t o n , T e x a s GEORGE P. SURGEON, A r k a d e l p h i a , A r k a n s a s KENNETH R. HARNEY, Chevy Chase, Maryland GREGORY D . SQUIRES, M i l w a u k e e , GAIL K . HILLEBRAND, S a n F r a n c i s c o , C a l i f o r n i a J O H N E . TAYLOR, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . TERRY JoRDE,'Cando, North Dakota LORRAINE V A N E T T E N , T r o y , M i c h i g a n FRANCINE JUSTA, N e w Y o r k , N e w Y o r k THEODORE J. WYSOCKI, JR., C h i c a g o , I l l i n o i s E U G E N E I. L E H R M A N N , M a d i s o n , W i s c o n s i n LILY K. YAO, Honolulu, Hawaii THRIFT INSTITUTIONS ADVISORY Wisconsin COUNCIL E. LEE BEARD, Hazleton, Pennsylvania, President DAVID F. HOLLAND, Burlington, Massachusetts, Vice President BARRY C . BURKHOLDER, H o u s t o n , T e x a s CHARLES R . RINEHART, I r w i n d a l e , C a l i f o r n i a M I C H A E L T. CROWLEY, JR., M i l w a u k e e , W i s c o n s i n JOSEPH C . SCULLY, C h i c a g o , I l l i n o i s GEORGE L . ENGELKE, JR., L a k e S u c c e s s , N e w Y o r k R O N A L D W . STIMPSON, M e m p h i s , T e n n e s s e e D O U G L A S A . FERRARO, E n g l e w o o d , C o l o r a d o LARRY T. WILSON, Raleigh, North Carolina BEVERLY D . HARRIS, L i v i n g s t o n , M o n t a n a WILLIAM W . Z U P P E , S p o k a n e , W a s h i n g t o n A72 Federal Reserve Board Publications For ordering assistance, write PUBLICATIONS SERVICES, MS-127, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551 or telephone (202) 452-3244 or FAX (202) 728-5886. You may also use the publications order form available on the Board's World Wide Web site (http://www.bog.frb.fed.us). When a charge is indicated, payment should accompany request and be made payable to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or may be ordered via Mastercard or Visa. Payment from foreign residents should be drawn on a U.S. bank. Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirements Handbook. $75.00 per year. Securities Credit Transactions Handbook. $75.00 per year. The Payment System Handbook. $75.00 per year. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. Four vols. (Contains all four Handbooks plus substantial additional material.) $200.00 per year. Rates for subscribers outside the United States are as follows and include additional air mail costs: Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, $250.00 per year. Each Handbook, $90.00 per year. FEDERAL RESERVE REGULATORY SERVICE FOR PERSONAL BOOKS THE AND FEDERAL MISCELLANEOUS RESERVE PUBLICATIONS SYSTEM—PURPOSES AND FUNCTIONS. 1994. 157 pp. A N N U A L REPORT. A N N U A L REPORT: B U D G E T REVIEW, 1995-96. FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN. 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Multiple copies are Consumer Handbook on Adjustable Rate Mortgages Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws A Guide to Business Credit for Women, Minorities, and Small Businesses Series on the Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Open Market Committee Federal Reserve Bank Board of Directors Federal Reserve Banks Organization and Advisory Committees A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-Ins A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Settlement Costs A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Refinancings Home Mortgages: Understanding the Process and Your Right to Fair Lending How to File a Consumer Complaint Making Deposits: When Will Your Money Be Available? Making Sense of Savings SHOP: The Card You Pick Can Save You Money Welcome to the Federal Reserve When Your Home is on the Line: What You Should Know About Home Equity Lines of Credit A73 STAFF STUDIES: Only Summaries BULLETIN Printed in the 163. Studies and papers on economic and financial subjects that are of general interest. Requests to obtain single copies of the full text or to be added to the mailing list for the series may be sent to Publications Services. CLEARANCE A N D SETTLEMENT IN U . S . SECURITIES MAR- KETS, by Patrick Parkinson, Adam Gilbert, Emily Gollob, Lauren Hargraves, Richard Mead, Jeff Stehm, and Mary Ann Taylor. March 1992. 37 pp. 164. THE 1989-92 CREDIT CRUNCH FOR REAL ESTATE, by James T. Fergus and John L. Goodman, Jr. July 1993. 20 pp. 1 6 5 . T H E D E M A N D FOR TRADE CREDIT: A N INVESTIGATION OF Staff Studies 1 - 1 5 7 are out of print. MOTIVES FOR T R A D E CREDIT U S E BY SMALL BUSINESSES, b y 1 5 8 . T H E ADEQUACY A N D CONSISTENCY OF M A R G I N REQUIRE- Gregory E. Elliehausen and John D. Wolken. September 1 9 9 3 . 1 8 pp. DERIVATIVE 1 6 6 . T H E ECONOMICS OF THE PRIVATE PLACEMENT M A R K E T , b y PRODUCTS, by Mark J. Warshawsky with the assistance of Dietrich Earnhart. September 1989. 23 pp. Mark Carey, Stephen Prowse, John Rea, and Gregory Udell. January 1994. I l l pp. MENTS 159. 160. IN THE MARKETS FOR STOCKS AND N E W DATA ON THE PERFORMANCE OF N O N B A N K SUBSIDI- ING, 1 9 8 0 - 9 3 , A N D AN ASSESSMENT OF THE Donald Savage. February 1990. 12 pp. PERFORMANCE" BANKING VICES MARKETS BY SMALL AND AND THE USE OF FINANCIAL MEDIUM-SIZED SER- BUSINESSES, by Gregory E. Elliehausen and John D. Wolken. September 1990. 35 pp. 161. 1 6 7 . A SUMMARY OF MERGER PERFORMANCE STUDIES IN B A N K - ARIES OF B A N K H O L D I N G COMPANIES, b y N e l l i e L i a n g a n d A REVIEW OF CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING ACTIVITY, 1 9 8 0 - 9 0 , by Margaret Hastings Pickering. May 21 pp. 1991. 1 6 2 . EVIDENCE ON THE S I Z E OF B A N K I N G MARKETS FROM M O R T GAGE L O A N RATES IN TWENTY Rhoades. February 1992. 11 pp. CITIES, by Stephen A. AND "EVENT STUDY" "OPERATING METHODOLOGIES, by Stephen A. Rhoades. July 1994. 37 pp. 168. THE ECONOMICS OF THE PRIVATE EQUITY MARKET, by George W. Fenn, Nellie Liang, and Stephen Prowse. November 1 9 9 5 . 6 9 pp. 1 6 9 . B A N K MERGERS A N D INDUSTRYWIDE STRUCTURE, by Stephen A. Rhoades. February 1996. 32 pp. 1980-94, A74 Maps of the Federal Reserve System 9 1 MINNEAPOLIS • °N 2 • N E W YORK 1 2 10 C B I C A O D M KANSAS C I T Y B • 4 CLEVELAND . ^ ST. LOUIS 3 M U PHILADELPHIA ^ • RICHMOND 5 6 i ATLANTA ^ DALLAS ALASKA HAWAII LEGEND Both pages • Federal Reserve Bank city • Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. Facing page • Federal Reserve Branch city — Branch boundary NOTE The Federal Reserve officially identifies Districts by number and Reserve Bank city (shown on both pages) and by letter (shown on the facing page). In the 12th District, the Seattle Branch serves Alaska, and the San Francisco Bank serves Hawaii. The System serves commonwealths and territories as follows: the New York Bank serves the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands; the San Francisco Bank serves American Samoa, Guam, and the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands. The Board of Governors revised the branch boundaries of the System most recently in December 1991. A75 1-A 2-B 4-D 3-C 5-E Baltimore MD vtIJ • I \ Buffalo K VT NH MA CT / wv NC •Charlotte •Cincinnati I / NY cr sc BOSTON NEW YORK CLEVELAND PHILADELPHIA 6-F 7-G RICHMOND 8-H •Nashville KY Birmingham JL Jacksonville • JN ^ ^ d •Memphis Little/ Roek ( MS JMiami Ft New Orleans ; Louisville Detroit • ATLANTA ST. LOUIS CHICAGO 9-1 • Helena MINNEAPOLIS 12-L 10-J WY 1 NTI Omaha* CO Beaver NM S3 Hi Seattle 1 Oklahoim City OK KANSAS CITY 11-K TX Salt Lake City • EL Paso FL RA—H " _ X Houston • V* San Antonio DALLAS LA •Los Angeles SAN FRANCISCO A76 Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices FEDERAL RESERVE BANK branch, or facility Zip Chairman Deputy Chairman President First Vice President BOSTON* 02106 Jerome H. Grossman William C. Brainard Cathy E. Minehan Paul M. Connolly NEW YORK* 10045 John C. Whitehead Thomas W. Jones Joseph J. Castiglia William J. McDonough Ernest T. Patrikis Buffalo 14240 Carl W. Turnipseed1 PHILADELPHIA 19105 Donald J. Kennedy Joan Carter Edward G. Boehne William H. Stone, Jr. CLEVELAND* 44101 Jerry L. Jordan Sandra Pianalto Cincinnati Pittsburgh 45201 15230 A. William Reynolds G. Watts Humphrey, Jr. John N. Taylor, Jr. John T. Ryan III RICHMOND* 23219 J. Alfred Broaddus, Jr. Walter A. Varvel Baltimore Charlotte Culpeper 21203 28230 22701 Claudine B. Malone Robert L. Strickland Michael R. Watson James O. Roberson Hugh M. Brown Daniel E. Sweat, Jr. Donald E. Boomershine Joan D. Ruffier R. Kirk Landon Paula Lovell Lucimarian Roberts Jack Guynn Patrick K. Barron Robert M. Healey Lester H. McKeever, Jr. Florine Mark Michael H. Moskow William C. Conrad John F. McDonnell Susan S. Elliott Janet M. Jones John A. Williams John V. Myers Thomas C. Melzer W. LeGrande Rives Jean D. Kinsey David A. Koch Lane W. Basso Gary H. Stern Colleen K. Strand Herman Cain A. Drue Jennings Peter I. Wold Barry L. Eller LeRoy W. Thom Thomas M. Hoenig Richard K. Rasdall Cece Smith Roger R. Hemminghaus Patricia Z. Holland-Branch Issac H Kempner III Carol L. Thompson Robert D. McTeer, Jr. Helen E. Holcomb Judith M. Runstad James A. Vohs Anita E. Landecker Ross R. Runkel Gerald R. Sherratt George F. Russell, Jr. Robert T. Parry John F. Moore ATLANTA Birmingham Jacksonville Miami Nashville New Orleans 30303 35283 32231 33152 37203 70161 CHICAGO* 60690 Detroit 48231 ST. LOUIS 63166 Little Rock Louisville Memphis 72203 40232 38101 MINNEAPOLIS 55480 Helena KANSAS CITY Denver Oklahoma City Omaha DALLAS El Paso Houston San Antonio SAN FRANCISCO . . . . Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle 59601 64198 80217 73125 68102 75201 79999 77252 78295 94120 90051 97208 84125 98124 Vice President in charge of branch Charles A. Cerino1 Harold J. Swart' William J. Tignanelli 1 Dan M. Bechter 1 Julius Malinowski, Jr.2 James M. Mckee 1 Fred R. Herr1 James D. Hawkins1 James T. Curry III Melvyn K. Purcell Robert J. Musso David R. Allardice 1 Robert A. Hopkins Thomas A. Boone John P. Baumgartner John D. Johnson Carl M. Gambs 1 Kelly J. Dubbert Harold L. Shewmaker Sammie C. Clay Robert Smith, III1 James L. Stull 1 Mark L. Mullinix 1 Raymond H. Laurence1 Andrea P. Wolcott Gordon R. G. Werkema 3 •Additional offices of these Banks are located at Lewiston, Maine 04240; Windsor Locks, Connecticut 06096; East Rutherford, New Jersey 07016; Jericho, New York 11753; Utica at Oriskany, New York 13424; Columbus, Ohio 43216; Columbia, South Carolina 29210; Charleston, West Virginia 25311; Des Moines, Iowa 50306; Indianapolis, Indiana 46204; Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202; and Peoria, Illinois 61607. 1. Senior Vice President. 2. Assistant Vice President. 3. Executive Vice President Federal Reserve Statistical Releases Available on the Commerce Department's Economic Bulletin Board The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System makes some of its statistical releases available to the public through the U.S. Department of Commerce's economic bulletin board. Computer access to the releases can be obtained by subscription. For further information regarding a subscription to the economic bulletin board, please call (202) 4821986. The releases transmitted to the economic bulletin board, on a regular basis, are the following: Reference Number Statistical H.3 Aggregate Reserves Weekly/Thursday H.4.1 Factors Affecting Reserve Balances Weekly /Thursday H.6 Money Stock Weekly/Thursday H.8 Assets and Liabilities of Insured Domestically Chartered and Foreign Related Banking Institutions Weekly/Monday H.10 Foreign Exchange Rates Weekly/Monday H.15 Selected Interest Rates Weekly/Monday G.5 Foreign Exchange Rates Monthly/end of month G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Monthly/midmonth G.19 Consumer Installment Credit Monthly/fifth business day Z. 1 Flow of Funds Quarterly release Frequency of release Publications of Interest FEDERAL RESERVE CONSUMER CREDIT PUBLICATIONS The Federal Reserve Board publishes a series of pamphlets covering individual credit laws and topics, as pictured below. Three booklets on the mortgage process are available: A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-Ins, A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Refinancings, and A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Settlement Costs. These booklets were prepared in conjunction with the Federal Home Loan Bank Board and in consultation with other federal agencies and trade and consumer groups. The Board also publishes the Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws, a complete guide to consumer credit protections. This forty-four-page booklet explains how to shop and obtain credit, how to maintain a good credit rating, and how to dispute unfair credit transactions. Shop . . . The Card You Pick Can Save You Money is designed to help consumers comparison shop when looking for a credit card. It contains the results of the Federal Reserve Board's survey of the terms of credit card plans offered by credit card issuers throughout the United States. Because the terms can affect the amount an individual pays for using a credit card, the booklet lists the annual percentage rate (APR), annual fee, grace period, type of pricing (fixed or variable rate), and a telephone number for each card issuer surveyed. Copies of consumer publications are available free of charge from Publications Services, Mail Stop 127, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551. Multiple copies for classroom use are also available free of charge. A Consumer's Quid* to Mortgage Settlement Costs A Guide to Business Credit for W o m e n , Minorities, a n d Small Businesses SHOP The Card You Pick Can Save You Money