Full text of Federal Reserve Bulletin : March 1990
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VOLUME 76 • NUMBER 3 • MARCH 1990 FEDERAL RESERVE 'V BULLETIN E I " BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, WASHINGTON, D . C . PUBLICATIONS COMMITTEE Joseph R. Coyne, Chairman • S. David Frost • Griffith L. Garwood • Donald L. Kohn • J. Virgil Mattingly, Jr. • Michael J. Prell • Edwin M. Truman The Federal Reserve Bulletin is issued monthly under the direction of the staff publications committee. This committee is responsible for opinions expressed except in official statements and signed articles. It is assisted by the Economic Editing Section headed by Mendelle T. Berenson, the Graphic Communications Section under the direction of Peter G. Thomas, and Publications Services supervised by Linda C. Kyles. Table of Contents 107 MONETARY CONGRESS POLICY REPORT TO THE Although growth was slower than in the preceding two years, the U.S. economy recorded its seventh consecutive year of expansion in 1989, including the creation of 2Vi million jobs. Also, the trade and current account deficits shrank further, and the rate of inflation was lower than many analysts had predicted. 120 STAFF STUDIES In " N e w Data on the Performance of Nonbank Subsidiaries of Bank Holding Companies," the authors use 1986 and 1987 data from a new reporting system to examine the extent of the involvement of bank holding companies in nonbank activities and the profitability and riskiness of the nonbank subsidiaries. 122 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Industrial production rose 0.4 percent in December after an increase of 0.3 percent (revised) in November. Joint Economic Committee of the Congress, January 30, 1990. The following statements by four Federal Reserve Bank Presidents support House Joint Resolution 409, which directs the Federal Reserve to achieve price stability within five years. These statements were presented before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs on February 6, 1990. 132 E. Gerald Corrigan, President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, says that the U.S. economy would perform better, U.S. citizens would be better off, and the international competitiveness of the United States would improve in a setting in which the goals of this resolution were achieved. 135 W. Lee Hoskins, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, says that this resolution wisely directs the Federal Reserve to place price stability above other economic goals because price stability is the most important contribution the Federal Reserve can make to achieve full employment and maximum sustainable growth. Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, analyzes the long-run implications of foreign investment in the United States, before the House Committee on Ways and Means, January 25, 1990. 142 Robert P. Black, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, says that passage of the resolution by the Congress would significantly improve the overall framework in which monetary policy is conducted and increase the chances of achieving price stability and steady economic growth in the years ahead. 128 Chairman Greenspan discusses the current state of the economy and says that the imbalances and dislocations that are evident probably do not suggest anything more than a temporary hesitation in the continuing expansion of the economy, before the 146 Robert T. Parry, President, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, says that Federal Reserve officials have made it clear that achieving price stability is the longterm goal of the System and that H.J. Res. 409 would assist the Federal Reserve in 124 STATEMENTS TO CONGRESS pursuing a credible and consistent anti-inflation policy by providing a statement from the Congress that the Federal Reserve should focus primarily on achieving that one attainable goal within a specified period of time. 151 AI FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS STATISTICS These tables reflect data available as of January 29, 1990. A3 Domestic Financial Statistics A46 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics A55 International Statistics ANNOUNCEMENTS New members named to Consumer Advisory Council. New members named to Thrift Institutions Advisory Council. Preliminary figures available on income and expenses of the Federal Reserve Banks. Revised list of OTC stocks subject to margin regulations now available. Change in Board staff. 155 LEGAL DEVELOPMENTS Various bank holding company, bank service corporation, and bank merger orders; and pending cases. A71 GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION, STATISTICAL RELEASES, AND SPECIAL TABLES A90 BOARD OF GOVERNORS AND STAFF A92 FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE AND STAFF; ADVISORY COUNCILS A94 FEDERAL RESERVE PUBLICATIONS BOARD A96 INDEX TO STATISTICAL TABLES A98 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS, BRANCHES, AND OFFICES A99 MAP OF FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Monetary Policy Report to the Congress Report submitted to the Congress on February 20, 1990, pursuant to the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of1978.1 MONETARY POUCY AND THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR 1990 The U.S. economy recorded its seventh consecutive year of expansion in 1989. Although growth was slower than in the preceding two years, it was sufficient to support the creation of 2xh million jobs and to hold the unemployment rate steady at 5lA percent, the lowest reading since the early 1970s. On the external front, the trade and current account deficits shrank further in 1989. And while inflation remained undesirably high, the pace was lower than many analysts—and, indeed, most members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)—had predicted, in part because of the continuing diminution in longer-range inflation expectations. In 1989, monetary policy was tailored to the changing contours of the economic expansion and to the potential for inflation. Early in the year, as for most of 1988, the Federal Reserve tightened money market conditions to prevent pressures on wages and prices from building. Market rates of interest rose relative to those on deposit accounts, and unexpectedly large tax payments in April and May drained liquid balances, restraining the growth of the monetary aggregates in the first half of the year. By May, M2 and M3 lay below the lower bounds of the annual target ranges established by the FOMC. Around midyear, risks of an acceleration in inflation were perceived to have diminished as pressures on industrial capacity had moderated, commodity prices had leveled out, and the dollar 1. The charts for the report are available on request from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. had strengthened on exchange markets, reinforcing the signals conveyed bythe weakness in the monetary aggregates. In June, the FOMC began a series of steps, undertaken with care to avoid excessive inflationary stimulus, that trimmed IVi percentage points from short-term interest rates by year-end. Longer-term interest rates moved down by a like amount, influenced by both the System's easing and a reduction in inflation expectations. Growth of M2 rebounded to end the year at about the midpoint of the 1989 target range. Growth of M3, however, remained around the lower end of its range, as a contraction of the thrift industry, encouraged by the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989 (FIRREA), reduced needs to tap M3 sources of funds. The primary effect of the shrinkage of the thrift industry's assets was a rechanneling of funds in mortgage markets, rather than a reduction in overall credit availability; growth of the aggregate for nonfinancial sector debt that is monitored by the FOMC was just a bit slower in the second half than in the first, and this measure ended the year only a little below the midpoint of its range. Thus far this year, the overnight rate on federal funds has held at 8 lA percent, but other market rates have risen. Increases of as much as Vi percentage point have been recorded at the longer end of the maturity spectrum. The bond markets responded to indicators suggesting a somewhat greater-thananticipated buoyancy in economic activity—which may have both raised expected real returns on investment and renewed some apprehensions about the outlook for inflation. The rise in yields occurred in the context of a general runup in international capital market yields, which appears to have been in part a response to emerging opportunities associated with the opening of Eastern Europe; this development had particularly notable effects on the exchange value of the West German mark, which rose considerably relative to the dollar, the yen, and other non-European Monetary System currencies. 108 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Monetary Policy for 1990 The Federal Open Market Committee is committed to the achievement, over time, of price stability. The importance of this objective derives from the fact that the prospects for long-run growth in the economy are brightest when inflation need no longer be a material consideration in the decisions of households and firms. The members recognize that certain short-term factors—notably a sharp increase in food and energy prices—are likely to boost inflation early this year, but they anticipate that these factors will not persist. Under these circumstances, policy can support further economic expansion without abandoning the goal of price stability. To foster the achievement of those objectives, the Committee has selected a target range of 3 to 7 percent for M2 growth in 1990. Growth in M2 may be more rapid in 1990 than in recent years and yet be consistent with some moderation in the rate of increase in nominal income and restraint on prices; in particular, M2 may grow more rapidly than nominal GNP in the first part of this year in lagged response to last year's interest rate movements. Eventually, however, slower M2 growth will be required to achieve and maintain price stability (table 1). The Committee reduced the M3 range to 2Vi to 6Vi percent to take account of the effects of the restructuring of the thrift industry, which is expected to continue in 1990. A smaller proportion of mortgages is likely to be held at depository institutions and financed by elements in M3; thrift institution assets should continue to decline, as some solvent thrift institutions will be under pressure to meet capital standards and insolvent thrift institutions will continue to be shrunk and closed, with a portion of their assets carried, temporarily, by the government. While some of the assets shed by thrift institutions are expected to be acquired by commercial banks, overall growth in the asset portfolios of banks is 1. Ranges of growth for monetary and credit aggregates Percent change, fourth quarter to fourth quarter Aggregate M2 M3 Debt 1988 1989 1990 4 to 8 4 to 8 7 to 11 3 to 7 3% to Vh 6Vi to 10% 3 to 7 2% to 6% 5 to 9 expected to be moderate, as these institutions exercise caution in extending credit. An increase in lender—and borrower—caution more generally points to some slowing in the pace at which nonfinancial sectors take on debt relative to their income in 1990. In particular, recent developments suggest that leveraged buyouts and other transactions that substitute debt for equity in corporate capital structures will be noticeably less important in 1990 than in recent years. Moreover, a further decline in the federal sector's deficit is expected to reduce credit growth this year. In light of these considerations, the Committee reduced the monitoring range for debt of the nonfinancial sectors to 5 to 9 percent. The setting of targets for money growth in 1990 is made more difficult by uncertainty about developments affecting thrift institutions. The behavior of M3 and, to a more limited extent, M2 is likely to be affected by such developments, but there is only limited basis in experience to gauge the likely effect. In addition, in interpreting the growth of nonfinancial debt, the Committee will have to take into account the amount of Treasury borrowing (recorded as part of the debt aggregate) used to carry the assets of failed thrift institutions, pending their disposal. With these questions adding to the usual uncertainties about the relationship among movements in the aggregates and output and prices, the Committee agreed that, in implementing policy, they would need to continue to consider, in addition to the behavior of money, indicators of inflationary pressures and economic growth as well as developments in financial and foreign exchange markets. Economic Projections for 1990 The Committee members, and other Reserve Bank presidents, expect that growth in the real economy will be moderate during 1990. Most project real GNP growth over the four quarters of the year to be between 1% and 2 percent—essentially the same increase as in 1989, excluding the bounceback in farm output after the 1988 drought. It is expected that this pace of expansion will be reflected in some easing of pressures on domestic resources; the central tendency of forecasts is for an unemployment rate of 5 Vi to 5 % percent in the fourth quarter (table 2). Monetary Policy Report to the Congress 2. 109 Economic projections for 1990 Item FOMC members and other FRB Presidents 1989 Actual Range Administration Central tendency Percent change, fourth quarter to fourth quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP Consumer price index 6.4 2.4 4.5 4 to 7 lto2U 3% to5 5Vito6'/* 134 to 2 4 to4'/2 7.0 2.6 4.1 1 Average level in the fourth quarter, percent Unemployment rate 5.3 5V4 to6'/j 5% to 5% 5.4 2 1. CPI for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers. FOMC forecasts are for CPI for All Urban Consumers. 2. Percent of total labor force, including armed forces residing in the United States. Certain factors have caused an uptick in inflation early this year. Most notably, prices for food and energy increased sharply as the year began, reflecting the effect of the unusually cold weather in December. However, these run-ups should be largely reversed in coming months, and inflation in food and energy prices for the year as a whole may not differ much from increases in other prices. Given the importance of labor inputs in determining the trend of overall costs, a deceleration in the cost of labor inputs is an integral part of any solid progress toward price stability. Nominal wages and total compensation have grown relatively rapidly during the past two years, while increases in labor productivity have diminished. With prices being constrained by domestic and international competition, especially in goods markets, profit margins have been squeezed to low levels. A restoration of more normal margins ultimately will be necessary if businesses are to have the wherewithal and the incentive to maintain and improve the stock of plant and equipment. Unfortunately, the near-term prospects for a moderation in labor cost pressures are not favorable. Compensation growth is being boosted in the first half of 1990 by an increase in social security taxes and a hike in the minimum wage. The anticipated easing of pressures in the labor market should help produce some moderation in the pace of wage increases in the second half of 1990, but the Committee will continue to monitor closely the growth of labor costs for signs of progress in this area. Finally, the recent depreciation of the dollar likely will constitute another impetus to near-term price increases, reversing the restraining influence exerted by a strong dollar through most of last year. Prices of imported goods, excluding oil, increased in the fourth quarter after declining through the first three quarters of 1989. The full effect of this upturn likely will not be felt on the domestic price level until some additional time has passed. Despite these adverse elements in the near-term picture, the Committee believes that progress toward price stability can be achieved over time, given the apparently moderate pace of activity. In terms of the consumer price index, most members expect an increase of between 4 and 4Vi percent, compared with the 4.5 percent advance recorded in 1989. Relative to the Committee, the Administration currently is forecasting more rapid growth in real and nominal GNP. At the same time, the Administration's projection for consumer price inflation is at the low end of the Committee's central-tendency range. In its Annual Report, the Council of Economic Advisers argues that, if nominal GNP were to grow at a 7 percent annual rate this year—as the Council is projecting—then M2 could exceed its target range, particularly if interest rates fall as projected in the Administration forecast. As suggested above, monetary relationships cannot be predicted with absolute precision, but the Council's assessment is reasonable. And, although most Committee members believe that growth in nominal GNP more likely will be between 5l/z and 6V2 percent, a more rapid expansion in nominal income would be welcome if it promised to be accompanied by a declining path for inflation in 1990 and beyond. THE PERFORMANCE OF THE ECONOMY IN 1989 Real GNP grew 2 V2 percent over the four quarters of 1989, 2 percent after adjustment for the recovery in 110 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 farm output from the drought losses of the prior year. This rate of growth of GNP constituted a significant downshifting in the pace of expansion from the unsustainably rapid rates of 1987 and 1988, which had carried activity to the point that inflationary strains were beginning to become visible in the economy. As the year progressed, clear signs emerged that pressures on resource utilization were easing, particularly in the industrial sector. Nonetheless, the overall unemployment rate remained at 5.3 percent, the lowest reading since 1973, and inflation remained at 4l/z percent despite the restraining influence of a dollar that was strong for most of the year. The deceleration in business activity last year reflected, to some degree, the monetary tightening from early 1988 through early 1989 that was undertaken with a view toward damping the inflation forces. Partly as a consequence of that tightening, the U.S. dollar appreciated in the foreign exchange markets from early 1988 through mid-1989, contributing to a slackening of foreign demand for U.S. products. At the same time, domestic demand also slowed, more for goods than for services. Reflecting these developments, the slowdown in activity was concentrated in the manufacturing sector: Factory employment, which increased a total of90,000 over the first three months of 1989, declined 195,000 over the remainder of the year, and growth in manufacturing production slowed from 5 Vi percent in 1988 to only 1 % percent last year. Employment in manufacturing fell further in January of this year, but that decline was largely attributable to temporary layoff's in the automobile industry, and most of the affected workers have since been recalled. As noted above, the rate of inflation was about the same in 1989 as it had been in the preceding two years. While the appreciation of the U.S. dollar through the first half of the year helped to hold down the prices of imported goods, the high level of resource utilization continued to exert pressure on wages and prices. In that regard, the moderation in the expansion of real activity during 1989 was a necessary development in establishing an economic environment that is more conducive to progress over time toward price stability. vehicles and housing. Real consumer spending on goods and services increased 2 lA percent over the four quarters of 1989, IV2 percentage points less than in 1988. Growth in real disposable income slowed last year, but continued to outstrip growth in spending, and, as a result, the personal saving rate increased to 5% percent in the fourth quarter of 1989. The slackening in consumer demand was concentrated in spending on goods. Real spending on durable goods was about unchanged from the fourth quarter of 1988 to the fourth quarter of 1989-after jumping 8 percent in the prior year—chiefly reflecting a slump in purchases of motor vehicles. Spending on nondurable goods also decelerated, increasing only V2 percent in 1989 after an advance of 2 percent in 1988. The principal support to consumer spending came from continued large gains in outlays for services. Spending on medical care moved up IV2 percent in real terms last year, and now constitutes 11 percent of total consumption expenditures—up from 8 percent in 1970. Outlays for other services rose 3 V percent, with sizable increases in a number * of categories. Sales of cars and light trucks fell % million units in 1989, to l4Vi million. Most of the decline reflected reduced sales of cars produced by U.S.owned automakers; a decline in sales of imported automobiles was about offset by an increase in sales of foreign nameplates produced in U.S. plants. The slowing in sales of motor vehicles was most pronounced during the fourth quarter of 1989, reflecting a "payback" for sales that had been advanced into the third quarter and a relatively large increase in sticker prices on 1990-model cars. Although part of this increase reflected the inclusion of additional equipment—notably the addition of passive restraint systems to many models—consumers nevertheless reacted adversely to the overall increase in prices. Beyond these influences, longerrun factors appear to have been damping demand for autos and light trucks during 1989; in particular, the robust pace of sales earlier in the expansion seems to have satisfied demand pent up during the recessionary period of the early 1980s. The rebuilding of the motor vehicle stock suggests that future sales are likely to depend more heavily on replacement needs. The Household Residential investment fell in real terms through the first three quarters of 1989, and with only a slight upturn in the fourth quarter, expenditures decreased 6 percent on net over the year. Construction was Sector Household spending softened significantly in 1989, with a marked weakening in the demand for motor Monetary Policy Report to the Congress weighed down throughout 1989 by the overbuilding that occurred in some locales earlier in the decade. Vacancy rates were especially high for multifamily rental and condominium units. In the single-family sector, affordability problems constrained demand, dramatically so in those areas in which home prices had soared relative to household income. Mortgage interest rates declined more than a percentage point, on net, between the spring of 1989 and the end of the year, helping to arrest the contraction in housing activity; however, the response to the easing in rates appears to have been muted somewhat by a reduction in the availability of construction credit, likely reflecting, in part, the tightening of regulatory standards in the thrift industry and the closing of several insolvent institutions. Exceptionally cold weather also hampered building late in the year, but a sharp December drop in housing starts was followed by a record jump in activity last month. The Business Sector Business fixed investment, adjusted for inflation, increased only 1 percent at an annual rate during the second half of 1989 after surging 7% percent during the first half. Although competitive pressures forced many firms to continue seeking efficiency gains through capital investment, the deceleration in overall economic growth made the need for capacity expansion less urgent, and shrinking profits reduced the availability of internal finance. Spending on equipment moved up briskly during the first half of 1989, with particularly notable gains in outlays for information-processing equipment— computers, photocopiers, telecommunications devices, and the like. However, equipment outlays were flat in the second half of the year; growth in the information processing category slowed sharply, and spending in most other categories was either flat or down. Purchases of motor vehicles dropped sharply in the fourth quarter from the elevated levels of the second and third quarters. There were a few exceptions to the general pattern of weakness during the second half. Spending on aircraft was greater in the second half of 1989 than in the first half, and would have increased still more had it not been for the strike at Boeing. Outlays for tractors and agricultural machinery moved up smartly; spending on farm equipment has been buoyed by the substantial improvements over the past several years in the 111 financial health of the agricultural sector. Over the four quarters of 1989, total spending on equipment increased 6 percent in real terms—about 1 percentage point below the robust pace of 1988. Business spending for new construction edged down xh percent in real terms during 1989—the second consecutive yearly decline. Commercial construction, which includes office buildings, was especially weak; vacancy rates for office space remain at high levels in many areas, lowering prospective returns on new investment. Outlays for drilling and mining, which had dropped 20 percent over the four quarters of 1988, moved down further in the first quarter of 1989; later in the year, drilling activity revived as crude oil prices firmed. The industrial sector was the most notable exception to the overall pattern of weakness: Real outlays increased 11 percent in 1989, largely because of construction that had been planned in 1987 and 1988 when capacity in many basic industries tightened substantially and profitability was improving sharply. As noted above, the slowdown in investment spending during the second half of last year likely was exacerbated by the deterioration in corporate cash flow. Before-tax operating profits of nonfinancial corporations dropped 12 percent from the fourth quarter of 1988 to the third quarter of 1989 (latest data available); after-tax profits were off in about the same proportion. Reflecting the increased pressures from labor and materials costs—and a highly competitive domestic and international environment—before-tax domestic profits of nonfinancial corporations as a share of gross domestic product declined to an average level of 8 percent during the first three quarters of 1989, the lowest reading since 1982. At the same time, taxes as a share of beforetax operating profits increased to an estimated 44 percent in the first three quarters of 1989; since 1985, this figure has retraced a bit more than half of its decline from 54 percent in 1980. Nonfarm business inventory investment averaged $21 billion in 1989. Although the average pace of accumulation last year was slower than in 1988, the pattern across sectors was somewhat uneven. Some of the buildup in stocks took place in industries— such as aircraft—where orders and shipments have been strong for some time now. But inventories in some other sectors became uncomfortably heavy at times and precipitated adjustments in orders and production. The clearest area of inventory imbalance at the end of the year was at auto dealers, where 112 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 stocks of domestically produced automobiles were at 1.7 million units in December—almost three months' supply at the sluggish fourth-quarter sales pace. In response, the domestic automakers implemented a new round of sales incentives and cut sharply the planned assembly rate for the first quarter of 1990. Elsewhere in the retail sector, inventories moved up substantially relative to sales at general merchandise outlets. Overall, however, most sectors of the economy have adjusted fairly promptly to the deceleration in sales and appear to have succeeded in preventing serious overhangs from developing. The Government Sector Budgetary pressures continued to restrain the growth of purchases at all levels of government. At the federal level, purchases fell 3 percent in real terms over the four quarters of 1989, with lower defense purchases accounting for the bulk of the decline. Nondefense purchases also declined in real terms from the fourth quarter of 1988 to the fourth quarter of 1989; increases in such areas as the space program and drug interdiction were more than offset by general budgetary restraint that imposed real reductions on most other discretionary programs. In terms of the unified budget, the federal deficit in fiscal year 1989 was $152 billion, slightly smaller than in 1988. Growth in total federal outlays, which include transfer payments and interest costs as well as purchases of goods and services, picked up a bit in fiscal year 1989. Outlays were boosted at the end of the fiscal year by the initial $9 billion of spending by the Resolution Trust Corporation. On the revenue side of the ledger, growth in federal receipts also increased in fiscal 1989. The acceleration occurred in the individual income tax category, but strong increases also were recorded in corporate and social security tax payments. Purchases of goods and services at the state and local level increased 2xh percent in real terms over the four quarters of 1989, down more than a percentage point from the average pace of the preceding five years. Nonetheless, there were some areas of growth. Spending for educational buildings increased, and employment in the state and local sector rose 350,000 over the year, largely driven by a pickup in hiring by schools. Despite the overall slowdown in the growth of purchases, the budgetary position of the state and local sector deteriorated further over the year; the annualized deficit of operating and capital accounts, which excludes social insurance funds, increased $6 billion over the first three quarters of 1989 and appears to have worsened further in the fourth quarter. The External Sector The U.S. external deficits improved somewhat in 1989, but not by as much as in 1988. On a balanceof-payments basis, the deficit on merchandise trade fell from an annual rate of $128 billion in the fourth quarter of 1988 (and $127 billion for the year as a whole) to $114 billion in the first quarter of 1989. Thereafter, there was no further net improvement. The appreciation in the foreign exchange value of the dollar between early 1988 and mid-1989 appears to have played an important role in inhibiting ftirther progress on the trade front. During the first three quarters of 1989, the current account, excluding the influence of capital gains and losses that are largely caused by currency fluctuations, showed a deficit of $106 billion at an annual rate—somewhat below the deficit of $124 billion in the comparable period of 1988. Measured in terms of the other Group of Ten (G-10) currencies, the foreign exchange value of the U.S. dollar in December 1989 was about 3 percent above its level in December 1988, but the dollar has moved lower thus far in 1990. In real terms, the net appreciation of the dollar during 1989 in terms of the other G-10 currencies was about 5 percent as consumer prices rose somewhat faster here than they did abroad, on average. Over the year, the dollar moved lower on balance against the currencies of South Korea, Singapore, and especially Taiwan. From a longer perspective, the modest uptrend on balance in the dollar over the past two years marked a sharp departure from the substantial weakening seen during the 1985-87 period. The behavior of the dollar differed greatly between the two halves of 1989. In the first half, the dollar appreciated 12 percent in terms of the other G-10 currencies, while depreciating against the currencies of South Korea and Taiwan. The dollar fluctuated during the summer, and later in the year unwound most of the prior appreciation, as U.S. interest rates eased relative to rates abroad and in Monetary Policy Report to the Congress response to concerted intervention in exchange markets in the weeks immediately after the September meeting of Group of Seven officials and to events in Eastern Europe. In the second half of the year, the dollar rose against the currencies of South Korea and Taiwan while depreciating in terms of the Singapore dollar. Over the course of 1989, the dollar appreciated nearly 16 percent against the Japanese yen and 14 percent against the British pound, but it depreciated slightly against the German mark, the Canadian dollar, and most other major currencies. On a GNP basis, merchandise exports increased about 11 percent in real terms over the four quarters of 1989—roughly 4 percentage points less than in 1988. This deceleration took place despite continued strong growth in economic activity in most foreign industrial countries (with the exception of Canada and the United Kingdom), and appears to have reflected, in large part, the effect on U.S. competitiveness of the dollar's appreciation and the more rapid U.S. inflation over 1988 and much of 1989. Exports were also depressed in the fourth quarter of 1989 by several special factors, including the Boeing strike. The volume of agricultural exports increased about 11 percent in 1989—a bit faster even than the robust pace of 1988. The value of agricultural exports rose much less, however, as agricultural export prices reversed the drought-induced increases of the previous year. Merchandise imports excluding oil expanded about 7 percent in real terms during 1989, with much of the rise accounted for by imports of computers. Imports of oil increased 6 percent from the fourth quarter of 1988 to the fourth quarter of 1989, to a rate of 8.3 million barrels per day. At the same time, the average price per barrel increased almost 40 percent, and the nation's bill for foreign oil jumped 45 percent. The counterpart of the current account deficit of $106 billion at an annual rate over the first three quarters of 1989 was a recorded net capital inflow of about $60 billion at an annual rate and an unusually large statistical discrepancy, especially in the second quarter. More than half of the recorded net inflow of capital reflected transactions in securities, as foreign private holdings of U.S. securities rose nearly $50 billion (half of the increase being in holdings of U.S. Treasury securities), while U.S. holdings of foreign securities increased a bit less than $20 billion. Net direct investment accounted for another substantial 113 portion of the inflow; foreign direct investment holdings in the United States rose more than $40 billion, and U.S. holdings abroad rose only half as much. Over the first three quarters of 1989, foreign official assets in the United States increased almost $15 billion, but this increase was more than offset by the increase in U.S. official holdings of assets abroad, largely associated with U.S. intervention operations to resist the dollar's strength. Labor Markets Employment growth slowed in the second half of 1989; nonetheless, nonfarm payrolls increased nearly 2VI million during the year. The bulk of this expansion occurred in the service-producing sector. By contrast, the manufacturing sector shed 100,000 jobs. These job losses were more than accounted for by declines in the durable goods industries and appeared to reflect the slump in auto sales, the weakening in capital spending, and the effects of a stronger dollar on exports and imports. Despite the slowdown in new job creation, the overall balance of supply and demand in the labor market remained steady over the year. The civilian unemployment rate, which had declined about V 2 percentage point over the twelve months of 1988, finished 1989 at 5.3 percent—unchanged from twelve months earlier. Moreover, there was no increase in the number of "discouraged" workers — those who say they would re-enter the labor force if they thought they could find a job. Nor was there any net increase in workers who accepted part-time employment when they would have preferred fulltime. The proportion of the civilian population with jobs reached a historic high. Reflecting the tightness of labor markets and the persistence of inflation expectations in the range of 4 to 5 percent, according to surveys, the employment cost index for wages and salaries in nonfarm private industry increased 4% percent over the twelve months of 1989-about the same as in 1988. Benefit costs continued to rise more rapidly than wages and salaries last year, with health insurance costs remaining a major factor; nonetheless, the rate of growth in overall benefit costs slowed in 1989, in part because of a smaller increase in social security taxes than in 1988. Total compensation-including both wages and salaries and benefits—rose 4% 114 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 percent during 1989. Compensation growth in the service-producing sector—at 5 percent—continued to outpace the gain in the goods-producing sector by about % percentage point. A slowdown in the growth of productivity often accompanies a softening in the general economy, and productivity gains were lackluster in 1989. Output per hour in the private nonfarm business sector increased only V percent over the four 2 quarters of the year — 1 percentage point below the rate of increase in 1988. In the manufacturing sector, productivity gains during the first half of 1989 kept pace with the 1988 average of 3 percent; in the second half, however, productivity growth slowed to an annual rate of 2 lA percent. Reflecting both the persistent growth in hourly compensation and the disappointing developments in productivity, unit labor costs in private nonfarm industry rose 5 percent over the four quarters of 1989—the largest increase since 1982. Price Developments Inflation in consumer prices remained in the neighborhood of 4j/2 percent for the third year in a row, as the level of economic activity was strong and continued to exert pressures on available resources. During the first half of the year, overall inflation was boosted by a sharp run-up in energy prices and a carry-over from 1988 of drought-related increases in food prices. However, inflation in food prices slowed during the second half, and energy prices retraced about a third of the earlier run-up. Prices for imported goods excluding oil were little changed over 1989, on net, and acted as a moderating influence on consumer price inflation. Food prices increased 5Vi percent at the retail level, slightly more than in 1988 when several crops were severely damaged by drought. Continued supply problems in some agricultural markets in 1989—notably a poor wheat crop and a shortfall in dairy production—likely prevented a deceleration from the drought-induced rate of increase in 1988. At the same time, increases in demand, including sharp increases in exports of some commodities, also appear to have played a role. Still another impetus to inflation in the food area last year evidently came from the continuing rise in processing and marketing costs. Consumer energy prices surged 17 percent at an annual rate during the first six months of 1989, before dropping back 6 percent in the second half. During the first half of the year, retail energy prices were driven up by increases in the cost of crude oil. The increase in gasoline prices at midyear was exaggerated by the introduction of tighter standards governing the composition of gasoline during summer months. Gasoline prices eased considerably in the second half, reflecting a dip in crude oil prices and the expiration of the summertime standards. Taking the twelve months of 1989 as a whole, the increase in retail energy prices came to a bit more than 5 percent. Heating oil prices jumped sharply at the turn of the year, reflecting a surge in demand caused by December's unusually cold weather. The spike in heating fuel prices largely reversed itself in spot markets during January of this year, but crude oil prices remained at high levels. Consumer price increases for items other than food and energy remained at about 4Vi percent in 1989. Developments in this category likely would have been less favorable had the dollar not been appreciating in foreign exchange markets through the first half of 1989. The prices of consumer commodities excluding food and energy decelerated sharply, and this slowdown was particularly marked for some categories in which import penetration is high, including apparel and recreational equipment. Given the dollar's more recent depreciation, however, the moderating effect of import prices on overall inflation may be diminishing. Indeed, prices for imported goods excluding oil turned up in the fourth quarter of 1989, after declining earlier in the year. In contrast to goods prices, the prices of nonenergy services—which make up half of the overall consumer price index—increased 5 lA percent in 1989, lA percentage point more than in 1988. The pickup in this category was led by rents, medical services, and entertainment services. At the producer level, prices of finished goods increased IV2 percent at an annual rate during the first half—almost twice the pace of 1988— before slowing to an annual rate of increase of 2 x h percent over the second half. In large part, developments in this sector reflected the same sharp swings in energy prices that affected consumer prices. At earlier stages of processing, the index for intermediate materials excluding food and energy decelerated sharply during the first half of the year and then Monetary Policy Report to the Congress edged down in the second half. For the year as a whole, this index registered a net increase of only 1 percent, compared with more than 7 percent in 1988. The sharp deceleration in this category appears to have reflected a relaxation of earlier pressures on capacity in the primary processing industries, and the influence of the rising dollar through the first half of last year. Also consistent with the weakening in the manufacturing sector and the strength of the dollar, the index for crude nonfood materials excluding energy declined 3 3A percent over the year, and spot prices for industrial metals moved sharply lower during the year, in part because of large declines for steel scrap, copper, and aluminum. MONETARY AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS DURING 1989 In 1989, the Federal Reserve continued to pursue a policy aimed at containing and ultimately eliminating inflation while providing support for continued economic expansion. In implementing that policy, the Federal Open Market Committee maintained a flexible approach to monetary targeting, with policy responding to emerging conditions in the economy and financial markets as well as to the growth of the monetary aggregates relative to their established target ranges. This flexibility has been necessitated by the substantial variability in the short-run relationship between the monetary aggregates and economic performance; however, when viewed over a longer perspective, those aggregates are still useful in conveying information about price developments. As the year began, monetary policy was following through on a set of measured steps begun a year earlier to check inflationary pressures. By then, however, evidence of a slackening in aggregate demand, along with sluggish growth of the monetary aggregates, suggested that the year-long rise in short-term interest rates was noticeably restraining the potential for more inflation. But, after an increase of V percentage point in the discount rate at the end 2 of February, the Federal Reserve took no further policy action until June. Over the balance of 1989, the Federal Reserve moved toward an easing of money market conditions, as indications mounted of slack in demand and lessened inflation pressures. The easing in reserve availability induced declines 115 in short-term interest rates of 1V2 percentage points; money growth strengthened appreciably, and M2 was near the middle of its target range by the end of 1989. The level of M3, on the other hand, remained around the lower bound of its range, with its weakness mosdy reflecting the shifting pattern of financial intermediation as the thrift industry retrenched. The growth of nonfinancial debt was trimmed to 8 percent in 1989, about in line with the slowing in the growth of nominal GNP, and ended the year at the midpoint of its monitoring range. Implementation of Monetary Policy In the opening months of the year, the Federal Open Market Committee, seeking to counter a disquieting intensification of inflationary pressures, extended the move toward restraint that had begun almost a year earlier. Policy actions in January and February, restraining reserve availability and raising the discount rate, prompted a further increase of % percentage point in short-term market interest rates. Longer-term rates, however, moved up only moderately; the tightening apparently had been widely anticipated and was viewed as helping to avoid an escalation in underlying inflation. Real short-term interest rates—nominal rates adjusted for expected price inflation—likely moved higher, though remaining below peak levels earlier in the expansion; these gains contributed to a strengthening of the foreign exchange value of the dollar over this period, while the growth of the monetary aggregates slowed as the additional policy restraint reinforced the effects of actions in 1988. As evidence on prospective trends in inflation and spending became more mixed in the second quarter, the Committee refrained from further tightening and in June began to ease pressures on reserve markets. As the information on the real economy, along with the continued rise in the dollar, suggested that the outlook for inflation was improving, most long-term nominal interest rates fell as much as a percentage point from their March peaks; the yield on the bellwether thirty-year Treasury bond moved down to about 8 percent by the end of June. The decline in interest rates outstripped the reduction in most measures of investors' inflation expectations, so that estimated real interest rates fell from their levels earlier in the year. These declines in nominal and 116 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 real interest rates, however, were not accompanied by declines in the foreign exchange value of the dollar. Rather, because of better-than-expected trade reports and political turmoil abroad, the dollar strengthened further. In July, when the FOMC met for its semiannual review of the growth ranges for money and credit, M2 and M3 lay at, or a bit below, the lower bounds of their target cones. This weakness, reinforcing the signals from prices and activity, contributed to the Committee's decision to take additional easing action in reserve markets. The Committee reaffirmed the existing annual target ranges for the monetary and debt aggregates and tentatively retained those ranges for the next year, since they were likely to encompass money growth that would foster further economic expansion and moderation of price pressures in 1990. Late in the summer, longer-term interest rates turned higher, as several releases of economic data suggested reinvigorated inflationary pressures. With growth in the monetary aggregates rebounding, the Committee kept reserve conditions about unchanged until the direction of the economy and prices clarified. Beginning in October, amid indications of added risks of a weakening in the economic expansion, the FOMC reduced pressures on reserve markets in three separate steps, which nudged the federal funds rate down to around 8 lA percent by year-end, about 1 xh percentage points below its level when incremental tightening ceased in February. Over those ten months, other short- and long-term nominal interest rates fell about 1 to 1XA percentage points; and most major stock price indexes reached record highs at the turn of the year, more than recovering the losses that occurred on October 13. Reflecting some reduction in inflation anticipations over the same period, estimated short- and long-term real interest rates fell somewhat less than nominal rates, dropping probably about xh to 3A percentage point. Still, most measures of short- and long-term real interest rates remained well above their trough levels of 1986 and 1987-levels that had preceded rapid growth in the economy and a buildup of inflationary pressures. Over the last three months of the year and into January 1990, the foreign exchange value of the dollar declined substantially from its high, which was reached around midyear and largely sustained through September. The dollar fell amid concerted intervention undertaken by the G-7 countries in the weeks immediately after a meeting of the finance ministers and central bank governors of these countries in September. The dollar continued to decline in response to the easing of short-term interest rates on dollar assets and increases in rates in Japan and Germany. The German currency rate rose particularly sharply as developments in Eastern Europe were viewed as favorable for the West German economy, attracting global capital flows. Rising interest rates in Germany likely contributed to an increase in bond yields in the United States early in 1990, even as U.S. short-term rates remained essentially unchanged. More important, however, for the rise in nominal, and likely real, long-term rates in the United States were incoming data pointing away from recession in the economy and from any abatement in price pressures, especially as oil prices moved sharply higher. Behavior of Money and Credit Growth in M2 was uneven over 1989, with marked weakness in the first part of the year giving way to robust growth thereafter. On balance over the year, M2 expanded 4x/2 percent, down from 5 lA percent growth in 1988, placing it about at the midpoint of its 1989 target range of 3 to 7 percent. The slower rate of increase in M2 reflected some moderation in nominal income growth as well as the pattern of interest rates and associated opportunity costs of holding money, with the effects of increases in 1988 and 1989 outweighing the later, smaller drop in rates (table 3). M2 has grown relatively slowly over the past three years, as the Federal Reserve has sought to ensure progress over time toward price stability. There appears to be a fairly reliable long-term link between M2 and future changes in inflation. One method of specifying that link is to estimate the equilibrium level of prices implied by the current level of M2, assuming that real GNP is at its potential and velocity is at its long-run average, and compare that to actual prices. The historical record suggests that inflation tends to rise when actual prices are below the equilibrium level and to moderate when equilibrium prices are below actual. At the end of 1986, the equilibrium level of prices was well above the actual level, reinforcing Monetary Policy Report to the Congress the view that the risks weighed on the side of an increase in inflation; at the end of 1989, that equilibrium price had moved into approximate equality with the actual price level, indicating that basic inflation pressures had steadied. In 1989, compositional shifts within M2 reflected the pattern of interest rates, the unexpected volume of tax payments in the spring, and the flow of funds out of thrift deposits and into other instruments. Early in the year, rising market interest rates buoyed the growth of small-denomination time deposits at the expense of more liquid deposits, as rates on the latter accounts adjusted only sluggishly to the upward market movements. The unexpectedly large tax payments in April and May contributed to the weakness in liquid instruments as those balances also were drawn down to meet tax obligations. As market interest rates fell, the relative rate advantage reversed in favor of liquid instruments and the growth in liquid deposits rebounded, boosted as well by the replenishment of accounts drained by tax payments. The M l component of M2 was especially affected by the swings in interest rates and opportunity costs last year, and in addition was buffeted by the effects of outsized tax payments in April. After its rise of 4lA percent in 1988, M l grew only Vi percent in 1989, with much of the weakness in this transactions aggregate occurring early in the year. By May, M l had declined at an annual rate of about 2Vi percent from its fourth-quarter 1988 level, reflecting a lagged response to earlier increases in short-term 3. 117 interest rates and an extraordinary bulge in net individual tax remittances to the Treasury. From May to December, M l rebounded at a 4 percent rate as the cumulating effects of falling interest rates and post-tax-payment rebuilding boosted demands for this aggregate. M l velocity continued the upward trend that resumed in 1987, increasing in the first three quarters before turning down in the fourth quarter of 1989. The shift of deposits from thrift institutions to commercial banks and money fund shares owed, in part, to regulatory pressures that brought down rates paid by some excessively aggressive thrift institutions. Beginning in August, the newly created Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC) targeted some of its funds to pay down high-cost deposits at intervened thrift institutions and began a program of closing insolvent thrift institutions and selling their deposits to other institutions—for the most part, banks. On balance, the weak growth of retail deposits at thrift institutions appears to have been about offset by the shift into commercial banks and money market mutual funds, leaving M2 little affected overall by the realignment of the thrift industry. M3 was largely driven, as usual, by the funding needs of banks and thrift institutions; under the special circumstances of the restructuring of the thrift industry, it was a less reliable barometer of monetary policy pressures than is normally the case. After expanding 6 lA percent in 1988, M3 hugged the lower bound of its 3 Vi to IVi percent target cone in Growth of money and debt Percent change Period Fourth quarter to fourth quarter 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Quarterly growth rates (annual rates) 1989: 1 2 3 4 Ml 7.4 5.4 (2.5)' 8.8 10.4 5.4 12.0 15.5 6.3 4.3 .6 -.1 -4.4 1.8 5.1 1. Figure in parentheses is adjusted for shifts to NOW accounts in 1981. M2 M3 Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors 8.9 9.3 9.1 12.2 7.9 8.9 9.3 4.3 5.2 4.6 9.5 12.3 9.9 9.8 10.6 7.8 9.1 5.8 6.3 3.3 9.5 10.2 9.1 11.1 14.2 13.1 13.2 9.9 9.2 8.1 2.3 1.6 6.9 7.1 3.9 3.3 3.9 2.0 8.4 7.9 7.2 8.0 118 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 1989, closing the year about 3% percent above its fourth quarter of 1988 base. In 1989, bank credit growth about matched the previous year's IV2 percent increase, but credit at thrift institutions is estimated to have contracted a bit on balance over the year, in contrast to its 6V4 percent growth in 1988. This weakness in thrift credit directly owed to asset shrinkage at savings and loan institutions insured by the Savings Association Insurance Fund; credit unions and mutual savings banks expanded their balance sheets in 1989. In addition, funds paid out by the RTC to thrift institutions and to banks acquiring thrift deposits directly substituted for other sources of funds. As a result, thrift institutions lessened their reliance on managed liabilities, as evidenced by the decline of 14% percent over the year in the sum of large time deposits and repurchase agreements at thrift institutions. Institution-only money market mutual funds were bolstered by a relative yield advantage, as fund returns lagged behind declining market interest rates in the second half of the year; these funds provided the major source of growth for the non-M2 component of M3. On balance, the effects of the thrift restructuring dominated the movements in M3, and the rebound in M2 in the second half of the year did not show through to this broader aggregate. As a consequence, the velocity of M3 increased 3 percent in 1989, 1 lA percentage points faster than the growth in M2 velocity, and its largest annual increase in twenty years. Many of the assets shed by thrift institutions were mortgages and mortgage-backed securities, but this appears to have had little sustained effect on home mortgage cost and availability. The spread between the rate on primary fixed-rate mortgages and the rate on ten-year Treasury notes rose somewhat early in the year, but thereafter remained relatively stable. The share of mortgages held in securitized form again climbed in 1989, facilitating the tapping of a base of investors. Diversified lenders, acting in part through other intermediaries, such as federally sponsored agencies, mostly filled the gap left by the thrift institutions. However, some shrinkage of credit available for acquisition, development, and construction appeared to follow from limits imposed by the FIRREA on loans by thrift institutions to single borrowers, though the reduction in funds available for these purposes probably also reflected problems in some residential real estate markets. Aggregate debt of the domestic nonfinancial sectors grew at a fairly steady pace over 1989, averaging 8 percent, which placed it near the midpoint of its monitoring range of 6V2 to IOV2 percent. Although the annual growth of debt slowed in 1989, as it had during the preceding two years, it still exceeded the 6V2 percent growth of nominal GNR Federal sector debt grew 7 V2 percent, about V2 percentage point below the 1988 increase—and the lowest rate of expansion in a decade—as the deficit leveled off. Debt growth outside the federal sector eased by more to average 814 percent, mostly because of a decline in the growth of household debt. Mortgage credit slowed in line with the reduced pace of housing activity, and consumer credit growth, though volatile from month to month, trended down through much of the year. The growth of nonfinancial business debt slipped further below the extremely rapid rates of the mid-1980s. Corporate restructuring continued to be a major factor buoying business borrowing, although such activity showed distinct signs of slowing late in the year as lenders became more cautious and the use of debt to require equity ebbed. The second half of 1989 was marked by the troubling deterioration in indicators of financial stress among certain classes of borrowers, with implications for the profitability of lenders, including commercial banks. In the third quarter, several measures of loan delinquency rates either rose sharply or continued on an uptrend. Delinquency rates on closed-end consumer loans at commercial banks and auto loans at "captive" auto finance companies were close to historically high levels. At commercial banks as a whole in 1989, both delinquency and charge-off rates for real estate loans were little changed from the previous year. Still, problem real estate loans continued to be a drag on the profitability of banks in Texas, Oklahoma, and Louisiana; in the second half, such loans emerged as a serious problem for banks in New England. On the other hand, smaller, agriculturally oriented banks continued to recover from the distressed conditions of the mid-1980s. Since 1987, agricultural banks have charged off loans at well below the national rate, and their nonperforming assets represented a smaller portion of their loans than that for the country as a whole. The upswing in the profitability of insured commercial banks that began in 1988 only extended Monetary Policy Report to the Congress through the first half of 1989. A slowing in the buildup of loan loss provisions, along with improvements in interest rate margins, contributed to these gains, with the money center banks showing the sharpest turnaround. Information for the second half of 1989, although still incomplete, clearly points to an erosion of these profit gains, in part, because of problems in the quality of loans. Several money 119 center banks sharply boosted their loss provisions on loans to developing countries, while evidence of rising delinquency rates on real estate and consumer loans suggested more widespread weakening. Despite these developments, the spread of rates on bank liabilities, certificates of deposit, and Eurodollar deposits, over comparable Treasury bill rates narrowed early in 1990. 120 Staff Studies The staff members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and of the Federal Reserve Banks undertake studies that cover a wide range of economic and financial subjects. From time to time the studies that are of general interest are published in the Staff Studies series and are summarized in the FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN. The analyses STUDY and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not necessarily indicate concurrence by the Board of Governors, by the Federal Reserve Banks, or by members of their staffs. Single copies of the full text of each study are available without charge. The titles available are shown under "Staff Studies" in the list of Federal Reserve Board publications at the back of each BULLETIN. SUMMARY NEW DATA ON THE PERFORMANCE OF NONBANK COMPANIES Nellie Liang and Donald Savage—Staff, Board of SUBSIDIARIES OF BANK HOLDING Governors Prepared as a staff study in the winter of 1989 The Federal Reserve Board is empowered to permit bank holding companies to engage in those nonbank activities that are closely related to banking and that provide net public benefits. There are few studies of the performance of nonbank subsidiaries and those bank holding companies that own them because, until 1986, little financial information had been collected from nonbank subsidiaries. Using 1986 and 1987 data from a new reporting system, this study examines the extent of the involvement of bank holding companies in nonbank activities and the profitability and riskiness of the nonbank subsidiaries. In 1987, net nonbank assets owned by the 298 firms reporting under the new system totaled $146.8 billion, representing 6.3 percent of the consolidated bank and nonbank assets of these firms. The ownership of these nonbank assets is highly concentrated. Among the reporting firms, the top five in terms of net nonbank assets held 59.2 percent of the net nonbank assets, and the top ten held 74.6 percent. The nation's largest banking organizations are also among the largest owners of nonbank assets. The fifty largest bank holding companies (in terms of consolidated bank and nonbank assets) held 90.6 percent of total net nonbank assets; twelve of these organizations held more than 10 percent of their total assets in nonbank subsidiaries. For the most part, nonbank subsidiaries engage in the same lines of business as do banks. About 50 percent of aggregate nonbank assets are accounted for by the assets held in subsidiaries engaged principally in commercial finance, mortgage banking, consumer finance, and leasing. Securities brokerage subsidiaries, which engage in discount brokerage and some government securities underwriting, are also significant in terms of assets. In both 1986 and 1987, profit rates of the nonbank subsidiaries were higher than the profit rates of affiliated banks and the consolidated bank holding companies. Across the different 121 types of nonbank activities, profit rates vary widely. In general, subsidiaries engaged in insurance underwriting and the insurance agency business have relatively high returns on assets, whereas subsidiaries engaged in leasing and mortgage banking have relatively low returns. Finally, nonbank subsidiaries are better capitalized than affiliated bank subsidiaries of bank holding companies. Some other commonly used risk measures suggest, however, that some of the nonbank subsidiaries are riskier than affiliated bank subsidiaries. 122 Industrial Production Released for publication January 17 Industrial production rose 0.4 percent in December following an upward revised increase in November of 0.3 percent and slightly smaller declines in October and September than were reported last month. The extremely cold weather in December caused a sharp rise in utility output, but also resulted in some disruptions in produc- tion, particularly in petroleum refining and construction supplies. Aircraft production returned to normal in December following the settlement of a strike at a major producer in late November. At 142.8 percent of the 1977 annual average, the total index in December was 1.7 percent higher than that of a year earlier; for the fourth quarter on average, total industrial output was little changed from the third quarter. Manufacturing Ratio scale, 1977=100 140 Total Index 120 100 80 160 Manufacturing Nondurable 140 Durable 120 100 Consumer Goods Intermediate Products / Business supplies. - * _ **~ , »»"^• Construction supplies Durable J I Final Products Motor Vehicles and Parts Defense and space Business equipment ^ , - Consumer goods 1984 1986 1988 All series are seasonally adjusted. Latest figures: December. 1990 1984 1986 1988 1990 123 1977 = 100 Percentage change from preceding month 1989 1989 Group Nov. Aug. Dec. Sept. Oct. Percentage change, Dec. 1988 Nov. Dec. 1989 Major market groups Total industrial production 142.3 142.8 .4 -.1 -.4 .3 .4 1.7 Products, total Final products Consumer goods Durable Nondurable Business equipment... Defense and space Intermediate products... Construction supplies. Materials 152.3 150.1 139.8 126.8 144.6 167.2 176.9 160.1 143.9 128.6 153.6 151.6 140.6 127.7 145.4 169.9 179.6 160.5 142.9 128.2 .5 .6 .4 1.1 .2 .8 .4 .0 -.5 .4 -.1 -.2 -.2 -.6 -.1 -.2 -.3 .2 -.4 -.2 -.6 -1.0 .6 -.2 .9 -2.6 -3.4 .6 1.1 .0 .6 .5 -.1 -.6 .1 1.2 .5 .8 1.0 .0 .8 1.0 .6 .7 .6 1.6 1.6 .3 -.7 -.3 2.8 2.6 1.8 -3.2 3.5 4.5 -.5 3.5 1.1 -.1 .4 .4 .3 .3 -.3 .2 .3 -.1 -1.2 6.3 1.7 .3 3.7 -1.7 6.3 Major industry groups 148.6 145.7 152.7 104.4 115.5 Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities 148.8 146.2 152.6 103.2 122.7 .5 .7 .2 .3 -.5 -.2 -.4 .0 1.1 1.0 -.5 -1.5 .7 .6 1.2 NOTE. Indexes are seasonally adjusted. output rose 0.2 percent in December, and factory utilization edged down to 83.1 percent. Detailed data for capacity utilization are shown separately in "Capacity Utilization," Federal Reserve monthly statistical release G.3. In market groups, production of consumer goods rose 0.6 percent in December, mainly reflecting a surge in electricity and gas output for residential use and an increase in light truck production. Auto assemblies, at an annual rate of 6.2 million units, were unchanged from November. Output of home goods, particularly appliances, remained weak. Production of business equipment rose sharply last month as aircraft Total industrial production—Revisions Estimates as shown last month and current estimates Index (1977=100) Month Percentage change from previous months Previous Sept Oct Nov Dec Current Previous Current 142.1 141.3 141.5 142.3 141.8 142.3 142.8 -.3 -.6 .1 -.1 -.4 .3 .4 output rebounded; production of manufacturing equipment has changed little recently, but most other major sectors have posted gains. Output of construction supplies fell 0.7 percent following sizable increases in the previous two months; the December decline reflected, at least in part, the effects of the severe weather. Materials production decreased 0.3 percent as output of basic metals, coal mining, and parts for consumer durables, mainly motor vehicles, fell significantly. These losses more than offset the weather-related jump in utility output. In industry groups, excluding the comeback in the aircraft industry, manufacturing production would have been nearly unchanged in December. Output of motor vehicles and parts remained relatively weak in December; other related industries, such as steel, fabricated metal products, and textiles, also have declined, on balance, in recent months. The production of paper, printing, and publishing, and nonelectrical machinery posted further gains in December. Outside of manufacturing, mining output fell because coal production was curtailed by an unusually long holiday shutdown; utility output rose sharply because of the extremely cold weather. 124 Statements to Congress Statement by Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on Ways and Means, U.S. House of Representatives, January 25, 1990. I am pleased to appear before this committee today to discuss foreign investment in the United States. Over the past decade, foreign investment in the United States has increased dramatically, reflecting both the increased integration of world financial markets and the financial flows that are the necessary counterpart to large U.S. current account deficits. In my testimony today, I would like to put these developments in perspective and analyze their longer-run implications. Both direct and portfolio investment by foreigners in the United States have soared in the past decade. Since 1980 the position of foreign direct investors in the United States has increased 300 percent. Private foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury securities have increased 500 percent, and holdings of equities have increased 200 percent. Holdings of corporate and U.S. government agency bonds also have grown rapidly, as have liabilities of banks in the United States to foreigners; growth of the latter was spurred by regulatory changes in late 1981 that permitted the creation of international banking facilities. These statistics on foreign investments in the United States tell only part of the story of increased foreign participation in U.S. financial markets. Foreign-based financial intermediaries play an increasingly prominent role in U.S. banking and securities markets. The volume of transactions by foreigners in U.S. securities markets has increased even more dramatically than foreign holdings. For example, foreign purchases and sales of U.S. Treasury securities surpassed $3 trillion on a gross basis in 1988, up from $100 billion to $200 billion earlier in the decade. Similarly, foreign purchases and sales of U.S. corporate stocks and bonds also have been running dramatically above levels earlier in the decade, although they are off from their peak levels of a couple of years ago. U.S. investment abroad also has grown in the 1980s, but not as rapidly as foreign investment in the United States. Although the position of U.S. direct investors abroad as measured by book value increased about 50 percent between the end of 1980 and the end of 1988, the book value of foreign direct investment in the United States rose from much lower levels to about the same total—$325 billion as of the end of 1988. However, the market value of U.S. direct investments abroad, which have accumulated over many years, undoubtedly still exceeds the market value of foreign direct investments in the United States by a substantial margin. U.S. holdings of foreign stocks and bonds also have grown in the 1980s, as have the activities abroad of U.S. financial intermediaries. This surge in cross-border financial transactions has paralleled a large advance in the magnitude of cross-border trade of goods and services. A key factor behind these trends in international trade and securities transactions is a process that I have described elsewhere as the "downsizing of economic output." The creation of economic value has shifted increasingly toward conceptual values with decidedly less reliance on physical volumes. Today, for example, major new insights have led to thin fiber optics, replacing vast tonnages of copper in communications. Financial transactions historically buttressed with reams of paper are being progressively reduced to electronic charges. Such advances not only reduce the amount of human physical effort required in making and completing financial transactions across national borders but facilitate more accuracy, speed, and ease in execution. Underlying this process have been quantum advances in technology, spurred by economic forces. In recent years, the explosive growth in information-gathering and processing techniques 125 has greatly extended our analytic capabilities of substituting ideas for physical volume. The purpose of production of economic value will not change. It will continue to serve human needs and values. But the form of output increasingly will be less tangible and hence more easily traded across international borders. It should not come as a surprise therefore that in recent decades the growth in world trade has far outstripped the growth in domestic demand. As a necessary consequence, imports as a share of output, on average, have risen significantly. Since irreversible conceptual gains are propelling the downsizing process, these trends almost surely will continue into the twenty-first century and beyond. New technology—especially computer and telecommunications technology—is boosting gross financial transactions across national borders at an even faster pace than the net transactions supporting the increase in trade in goods and services. Rapidly expanding data processing capabilities and virtually instantaneous information transmission are facilitating the development of a broad spectrum of complex financial instruments that can be tailored to the hedging, funding, and investment needs of a growing array of market participants. These types of instruments were simply not feasible a decade or two ago. Some of this activity has involved an unbundling of financial risk to meet the increasingly specialized risk management requirements of market participants. Exchange rate and interest rate swaps, together with financial futures and options, have become important means by which currency and interest rate risks are shifted to those more willing to take them on. The proliferation of financial instruments, in turn, implies an increasing number of arbitrage opportunities, which tend to boost further the volume of gross financial transactions in relation to output. Moreover, these technological advances and innovations have reduced the costs of managing operations around the globe, and have facilitated direct, as well as portfolio, investment. Portfolio considerations also are playing an important role in the globalization of securities markets. As the welfare of people in the United States and abroad becomes increasingly dependent on the performance of foreign economies, it is natural for both individual investors and insti- tutions to raise the share of foreign securities in investment portfolios. Such diversification provides investors a means of protecting against both the depreciation of the local currency on foreign exchange markets and the domestic economic disturbances affecting asset values on local markets. As international trade continues to expand more rapidly than global output and domestic economies become even more closely linked to those abroad, the objective of diversifying portfolios of international securities will become increasingly important. Moreover, since the U.S. dollar is still the key international currency, such diversification has been, and may continue to be, disproportionately into assets denominated in the dollar. Another factor facilitating the globalization of capital markets and the growth of foreign investments in the United States has been deregulation. Technological change and innovations that have tied international economies more closely together have increased opportunities for arbitrage around domestic regulations, controls, and taxes, undermining the effectiveness of these policies. Many governments have responded by dismantling domestic regulations designed to allocate credit and by removing controls on international capital flows, relying more heavily instead on market forces to allocate capital. An additional factor contributing to an increase in Japanese gross investment abroad may have been the rise in stock and land prices in Japan that has been leveraged to finance these increased investments. The 1980s were marked not just by the expansion of gross capital flows into and out of the United States but also by very large net capital inflows. As I noted earlier, foreign investment in the United States has grown faster than U.S. investment abroad. During the decade of the 1980s, the U.S. net international investment position, as published by the Department of Commerce, fell sharply from a positive $141 billion at the end of 1981 to a negative $533 billion by the end of 1988. However, these numbers should not be viewed as precise measures of U.S. net international indebtedness. Because of valuation problems in the U.S. international transactions accounts, the measurement of U.S. indebtedness could be overstated by several hundred billion 126 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 dollars. Much of this overstatement is the result of the inclusion of direct investment assets in the data at book rather than market value. Nonetheless, while the precise level of our net investment position is uncertain, the direction and magnitude of recent changes are clear. They are the consequence of our large current account deficits. The growing U.S. net international indebtedness and our large current account deficits are two sides of the same coin. Over the past decade the United States bought more goods and services from the rest of the world than it sold, and it has paid for the difference, in essence, by borrowing from, and selling assets to, foreigners. The U.S. current account moved from approximate balance in the early 1980s to a deficit of more than $140 billion in 1987. More recently, the deficit has declined, but it remains substantial. The most important underlying cause of the surge in our net borrowing from foreigners and the deterioration in our external balance has been the substantial decline in our national savings rate against the background of a relatively stable domestic investment rate. As you are well aware, the decline in our savings rate reflected both the expansion of the fiscal deficit and some downtrend in the U.S. private savings rate. The fundamental accounting identity between savings and investment, of course, requires that any shortfall of domestic savings below domestic investment be made up in the form of a net inflow of savings from abroad. It is important to understand just how this link between lower domestic savings and increased inflows from abroad worked in practice. The increased demand for funds to finance both the gaping budget deficit and growing private investment in the face of a declining private savings rate put substantial upward pressure on U.S. interest rates. Higher interest rates made investment in the United States more attractive to foreigners, increased demand for dollars to implement such investments, and, thereby, pushed up the foreign exchange value of the dollar. The higher dollar, in turn, reduced U.S. international price competitiveness and contributed to the widening of the external deficit. The fiscal stimulus and downtrend in private savings also led to strong growth in U.S. domestic demand, which raised demand for imports and contributed further to the external deficit. The behavior of the U.S. national savings rate during most of the 1980s contrasted with events abroad. Over much of the past decade, other major industrial countries generally were moving fiscal policies toward restraint. In Germany and Japan, especially, government deficits were being reduced, which contributed to their external surpluses and to the outflow of financial resources from those countries. The widening of the U.S. external deficit also was facilitated by the enhanced mobility of capital; the tremendous growth in gross capital flows undoubtedly permitted the emergence of very large net flows. On balance, though, the global integration of financial markets was probably only a facilitating factor, not a motivating force, behind the growth and persistence of U.S. net capital inflows. The progress that has been made in reducing the budget deficit from its earlier peak levels, along with declines in U.S. interest rates and the dollar since the mid-1980s, can explain much of the more recent improvement in the external deficit. Nonetheless, we still have a long way to go to establish equilibrium in our international accounts. The persistence of inadequate domestic savings, large current account deficits, and continued deterioration of the U.S. net international investment position remain matters of serious concern. Current U.S. savings levels are inadequate to finance the domestic investment necessary to provide rising living standards for future generations on the scale enjoyed by previous generations. The most important contribution the Congress can make to remedying this problem is to continue the progress made in recent years in reducing the federal budget deficit. As I have stated here before, the ultimate target should be a budget surplus. Efforts to limit directly or to discourage the inflow of capital from abroad would aggravate the problem by raising real interest rates in the United States and lowering domestic investment toward levels consistent with already low domestic savings. Even limited measures affecting only Statements certain capital flows, such as direct investment, would necessitate larger inflows through other channels that could only be attracted at higher rates of return or with a weaker dollar. Measures to restrict or discourage foreign investment in the United States would be undesirable for other reasons as well. The United States has benefited, and will continue to benefit, from the inevitably closer integration of world markets for goods, services, and capital. As unfolding events in Eastern Europe indicate, countries that attempt to isolate their economies from the rest of the world and do not heed market signals in allocating scarce resources pay a high price in terms of low levels of economic welfare. The globalization of capital markets offers many benefits in terms of increased competition, reduced costs of financial intermediation that benefit both savers and borrowers, more efficient allocation of capital, and the more rapid spread of innovations. However, this internationalization does pose certain risks as well: The United States has become more vulnerable to disturbances originating outside its borders. The Federal Reserve has been actively interested in efforts to limit risks in international payments and settlement systems. In cooperation with authorities in other countries, the Federal Reserve has pressed for improved capital adequacy for banks and other financial intermediaries. These measures to protect the soundness and integrity of our financial system are necessary regardless of whether the United States is a net debtor or a creditor. It should be noted that in the 1970s, when the United States was still a substantial net creditor, unfavorable developments led to repeated episodes of downward pressure on the foreign exchange value of the dollar. Given the vast array of financial products currently available, and the wealth of U.S. residents themselves, the size of net holdings of U.S. assets by foreigners bears little relationship to the magnitude of pressures that can arise in foreign exchange markets. Concern about foreign investment in the United States tends to focus on direct investment; highly visible purchases, such as Rockfeller Center, Columbia Pictures, and Bloomingdales, have given rise to fears about the selling of America at bargain basement prices. How- to Congress 127 ever, little attention is paid to the benefits of direct investment. The operations of multinational companies play an important role in facilitating the growth of world trade in goods, services, and information. Trade and direct investment are intimately related; transactions between direct investment affiliates and their U.S. or foreign parents accounted for 35 percent of U.S. merchandise exports and 40 percent of U.S. imports in 1987—the latest year for which data are available. It is essentially impossible to separate trade from investment and vice versa. Foreign investment in the United States spurs competition, provides infusions of new capital and technology into industries like steel, and speeds the spread of technological advances. Concerns about direct investment in the United States are understandable because these investments sometimes disrupt established patterns of doing business. But, on the whole, such concerns are overblown. It is ironic that if a Japanese real estate company buys a building in the United States, we record it as a direct investment and a possible source of concern. If, however, the real estate company dismantles the building brick by brick and ships it to Japan, it is recorded as a U.S. export, a positive event. Acquisitions of U.S. companies by foreigners present somewhat different issues. The analysis of mergers and acquisitions in general is controversial, but one conclusion with which nearly all investigators would concur is that the American stockholders of takeover targets are big gainers. The former owners of acquired U.S. companies can reinvest these funds in other enterprises that they judge to have the highest returns. As for foreigners who outbid U.S. competitors for U.S. companies, recent news indicates that overly optimistic estimates of future earnings may have been an important factor in several important cases. Although foreign direct investment in the United States has grown very rapidly, it is still relatively small. For manufacturing as a whole, direct investment affiliates accounted for 13 percent of assets and 11 percent of sales in 1987, the latest data available. Comparison of the role of direct investment affiliates in U.S. sales, manufacturing employment, and assets with ratios for other countries indicates that direct investment 128 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 plays a much smaller role in the U.S. economy than in Canada, the United Kingdom, Germany, or France. Most direct investment in the United States originates from the United Kingdom, Japan, Canada, the Netherlands, and Germany—countries with which the United States has close economic and political ties. Direct investment in the United States gives these countries an even larger interest in ensuring continued U.S. prosperity. Moreover, the U.S. government has ample authority to block direct investments that have a negative impact on national security or that involve undesirable concentrations of market power. Comparison of the operations of affiliates of foreign companies with U.S. firms in the same industry indicates that research and development expenditures, wage rates, and value added do not differ systematically. Only a tendency to import more clearly distinguishes affiliates from U.S.owned companies; however, since some foreign companies have built plants in the United States to replace imports, the net effect of direct investment on the U.S. trade balance is probably small. One area of foreign direct investment of particular interest to the Federal Reserve Board is the banking industry. Foreign banks account for about one-fifth of all banking assets in the United States. However, in many cases foreign banks conduct largely international transactions at their U.S. offices. Foreign-chartered banks typically have not been very successful at competing for retail U.S. business, but they have been more successful in the area of commercial and industrial lending to large companies. Foreign bank participation in that market has increased competitive pressures to price loans off money market rates. U.S. consumers of banking services have benefited from a more competitive banking environment. Departure from a policy of national treatment in the banking industry could produce retaliation and could seriously complicate negotiations to ensure access of U.S. banks to markets abroad, particularly to Europe after 1992. In conclusion, the globalization of markets for goods, services, and finance benefits both the United States and the rest of the world. Efforts to insulate the United States from the inexorable forces of increasing globalization could be very costly to our standard of living. However, continued efforts should be made to limit risks in international payments and securities settlement systems and to protect investors by increasing international cooperation and coordination of supervision and regulation. The United States could help to ensure the orderly progress of global integration by reducing its current account imbalance. The necessary policies are not those that attack the symptoms— large accumulations of foreign assets in the United States—but rather policies that address the underlying cause, which is our inadequate national savings, particularly our large federal budget deficit. • Statement by Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress, January 30, 1990. Concerns that our long economic expansion may be nearing an end may have been intensified last week by the release of initial estimates showing that real GNP rose only Vz percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter of 1989. To be sure, activity in that period was affected by several special transitory influences—the California earthquake, Hurricane Hugo, extraordinarily cold weather, and the long strike at Boeing. But even allowing for those factors, business activity in recent months clearly has been less vigorous than it was earlier. The locus of the recent softness is in what we can broadly characterize as "durable" goods. Most notably, weakness has emerged in the auto I am pleased, as always, to appear before this distinguished committee. As you know, the Federal Reserve will be submitting its semiannual Humphrey-Hawkins Report to the Congress in just a few weeks. At that time, I will be in a position to address more meaningfully the tactics and strategy of monetary policy. Under the circumstances, I thought it might be most useful for me to focus my initial remarks this morning on the current state of the economy. Statements industry, and this has spread to related supplier industries, including metals, textiles, and machine tools. In addition, several categories of capital goods and consumer hard goods, as well as construction of both residential and nonresidential buildings, have softened in recent months. In evaluating trends in such long-lived physical assets, one must remember that household and business users' ownership of them does not appear anywhere in the gross national income and product accounts; nevertheless, by providing flows of services, these balance sheet items are an important determinant of the level of production. A fundamental characteristic of such durable items is that demand for them is shaped in part by the size of outstanding stocks relative to current household and producer needs. Viewed in this light, the current economic slowdown represents, at least to an extent, a pause in the accumulation of physical assets, a form of "inventory correction," so that levels of ownership do not get too far ahead of the long-term desired levels. Because of their importance in understanding the current economic situation, it is worth examining some of these stock adjustment relationships in detail. Let me start with motor vehicles, for which manufacturers have made sizable production cutbacks recently. It appears that auto assemblies in January may fall short of an annual rate of 4Vi million units, well below the rate of 7 million units over 1989 as a whole. The proximate cause of the recent production cutback was soft demand and rising dealer inventories last fall. The soft demand reflects a payback from the elevated sales pace of the third quarter during which the use of price incentives was especially heavy for the 1989 model-year cars. Moreover, demand for 1990 model-year cars has been restrained by increases in sticker prices, which in many cases exceeded 5 percent. However, with the introduction of new incentive programs, sales picked up in late December and early January. This has reduced dealer inventories to more acceptable levels, and automakers reportedly plan to step up production somewhat in the coming weeks. Looking beneath these short-run variations in sales, production, and dealer inventories, how- to Congress 129 ever, current and prospective developments in the auto market reflect in part longer-range demand factors. Among the underlying forces are the existing number of motor vehicles owned per household and the average age of the auto and truck stocks. To see the role of these factors more clearly, it is useful to go back to the beginning of the last decade. Between 1979 and 1983, the number of vehicles per household— which had been on a strong uptrend throughout the postwar period—fell nearly 3 percent. A decline of 3 percent may not sound very large until you consider that it represented a shortfall of about 10 million cars and trucks between the actual stock of motor vehicles and the underlying trend stock. This decline in the ownership per household of motor vehicles was likely a result of consumer reaction to the relative increase in gasoline prices and the downturn in economic activity that occurred during the period. Also, during the late 1970s and early 1980s consumers slowed the pace at which they scrapped their existing cars and light trucks; the combination of lower scrappage and the lower sales of new vehicles pushed the average age of both the auto and truck stocks up approximately one year to more than seven years. The combination of an enormous pent-up demand—reflecting the gap between actual and presumptive desired levels of ownership—as well as increased replacement needs associated with an aging auto stock, provided the stimulus for the extraordinarily strong pace of auto sales posted from 1983 through much of the remainder of the decade. The number of vehicles per household has risen substantially, rising well above the earlier peak, and, as scrappage rates have returned to prior levels, the average ages of the auto and truck stocks have leveled out. This rebuilding of the motor vehicle stock and stabilization in its average age suggest that the number of autos sitting in America's driveways is adequate to meet much of the desired demand for transportation equipment, and lowered sales are at this point likely to reflect primarily replacement needs and growth in the driving-age population. In contrast to motor vehicles, the current slowdown in construction of new homes and commercial buildings seems to reflect a situation 130 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 in which earlier activity was so robust that the actual stocks of residential and nonresidential structures exceed desired levels—at least in some locales. Moreover, in the housing market longer-run demographic factors also are having an effect on the underlying stock demand—especially the rate of household formation. This rate has been slowing and will slow further as more and more of the low birth cohort of the 1960s and 1970s matures into adulthood. What this means, of course, is that we need to lower our sights about what constitutes "normal" levels of homebuilding activity during the 1990s compared with the 1980s. How the broad decade averages of demand get distributed from year to year depends in large part on financial conditions. Interest rates on home mortgages have been around 10 percent since mid-1989, and so, from the homebuyer's perspective, financial considerations have not varied to a great extent. In recent months, however, segments of the construction industry have reported difficulty in obtaining credit in the wake of newly imposed restrictions on lending by thrift institutions. Some added caution in acquisition, development, and construction lending was called for, given the riskiness of this activity, but the difficulties now being experienced by builders should diminish considerably over time as these businesses secure other financing sources for their creditworthy projects. Despite the reduced pace of housing construction, there continues to be an overhang of new single-family homes and condominiums for sale in a few regions of the country, and rental vacancy rates in the multifamily market remain high. But, it is important to note that much of the market overhang is concentrated in the Northeast and shows few signs of leading to a national real estate market contraction. The reason is that the spread of local problems generally is limited by the geographical segmentation of real estate markets. Because neither residential property nor occupants are perfectly mobile, the market will not necessarily arbitrage away price differences observed in different local markets. Hence, softness in housing prices in some areas is unlikely to prove highly contagious in the short run. Indeed, in most areas, and on average nationally, real estate values have continued to increase. In the case of nonresidential structures, there also is an indication of stock overhang, with vacancy rates for office space in metropolitan areas at near-record levels. Moreover, lending institutions—stung by a long series of questionable investments—are scrutinizing loan applications more carefully than in the past so that highly risky projects are not getting funded as readily. Reflecting these developments, building permits have turned down and new construction spending has been stagnant over the past year in all major sectors except industrial building. Business demands for new equipment also reflect, to a large degree, stock-adjustment motives. Recently available data for the fourth quarter show that a sizable deceleration in business equipment spending is under way, reflecting the general slowdown in economic activity and expected sales. Real spending on producers' durable equipment fell more than 4 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter. Part of the decline resulted from the work stoppage at Boeing; but even allowing for that special factor, real equipment outlays still declined somewhat. Looking forward, recent data are offering mixed signals about future capital spending. For example, orders for nondefense capital goods received in November and December show a bounceback from the decline that had occurred in the third quarter. Other indicators of capital spending, however, give the impression of softness ahead. For example, recent declines in real cash flow of nonfinancial corporations do not bode well for investment spending in the near term. In the 1980s, growth in cash flow—measured as the sum of undistributed after-tax profits and depreciation allowances—tended to move with growth in real gross business fixed investment. Thus the recent cash-flow experience— which has signaled a deterioration in the availability of internal funds—is one factor likely to be a restraining influence on capital spending in 1990. Moreover, this signal is being reinforced by surveys of plant and equipment expenditures taken this past fall that indicate real capital spending will grow less this year than last, the Statements deceleration being most noticeable among nondurable manufacturing and nonmanufacturing firms. Until now, I have been sketching the negative side of the economic landscape. Let me now suggest where we can look for more favorable signs. First, demand for long-lived assets is still growing in some areas, creating opportunities for strong production growth. This is most clearly evident in the case of civilian aircraft for which the level of the orders backlog has doubled over the past two years. Second, in contrast to some past cycles, we have not seen the type of speculative buildups of materials and finished goods by businesses that can exacerbate the effects of any weakening in sales trends. I believe one reason for this is that thus far we have avoided a cyclical upswing in inflation, so that the buyin-advance motive has been less of an influence. Third, foreign demand for many of our manufactured products is strong. Real export growth of manufactured goods, although down somewhat from the torrid pace of 1988, remains sizable. Strength runs across a wide variety of consumer and capital goods as well as industrial supplies. Fourth, there is evidence from labor markets that the spillover effects from durable manufacturing have been limited. Although manufacturing employment has fallen nearly 195,000 jobs since last March, total private nonfarm payrolls have continued to rise, with the increase totaling about Wi million over that period. The contribution from the health services area to the overall increase has been especially noteworthy. Employment in medical care, which made up about 7 percent of total payroll employment early last year, has increased nearly 400,000 since then. Other sizable employment contributions have come from business services and state and local governments. Favorable signs about the economy's economic health are also revealed by comparing recent movements in an index of leading eco- to Congress 131 nomic indicators with its pattern of movements just before and during previous recessions. Recently, statistical procedures have been developed that allow such a comparison to be translated into the likelihood of a recession. These procedures have been applied by Board staff to the Commerce Department's index of leading economic indicators, which comprise several real and financial market variables. The resulting measure suggests that the probability of a recession developing in the next six months increased last spring to almost 30 percent, but according to the most recent estimates has declined to about 20 percent. A second probability-of-recession measure is based on a leading index recently compiled by economists at the National Bureau of Economic Research, which relies less heavily on data from the manufacturing sector than does the Commerce Department index and does not include stock prices. The probability of a recession in the next six months based on the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) index also has declined since last spring and according to the December reading stands at about 10 percent. Both probabilities are much smaller than those occurring at the beginning of each of the four recessions since the late 1960s. For example, the probability exceeded 50 percent shortly before each of the previous recessions using the NBER index. I wouldn't want to "bet the ranch" on such statistical measures. I think we must continue to monitor developments closely and stay alert to the possibility that, perhaps reinforced by some adverse shock not now visible, the weakness in the several sectors I have discussed might cumulate and lead to a more widespread downturn in activity. But such imbalances and dislocations as we see in the economy today probably do not suggest anything more than a temporary hesitation in the continuing expansion of the economy. • 132 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Statement by E. Gerald Corrigan, President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, February 6, 1990. I am pleased to appear before you this morning to lend my support to House Joint Resolution 409, which calls for Federal Reserve monetary policy to be conducted with a view toward achieving price stability in five years. I want to applaud your efforts for taking the initiative on this important matter. There is no doubt in my mind that our economy would perform better, our citizens would be better off, and our international competitiveness would improve in a setting in which the goals of this resolution were achieved. There is also no doubt in my mind that the primary (but not sole) mission of the central bank should be to promote a noninflationary economic environment. Finally, I believe that monetary policy in the United States is capable of achieving that result, but how quickly it is achieved, at what cost, and how sustainable that environment proves to be will depend importantly on other aspects of economic policy both here and, increasingly, in other countries as well. In this context, it seems to me that the resolution raises two basic issues that warrant the careful consideration of the subcommittee and the Congress as a whole. The first relates to the definition of price stability and the second relates to the costs that may be incurred in moving toward price stability and, more importantly, what we, as a nation, can do to minimize such costs. Let me turn first to the definitional question. The resolution incorporates a definition of price stability that is couched in terms of a pattern of behavior in which expectations of future price changes play no role in decisionmaking on the part of businesses, households, and governments. This definition is conceptually sound because inflation is at least as much a state of mind as it is a statistic. To be a bit more concrete, I would suggest that the spirit of the resolution would be essentially attained if we were able to return to the pattern of behavior that characterized the period from 1955 through 1965, when the average annual change in the consumer price index (CPI) was only 1.5 percent. Such an outcome would also closely approximate experience over the past few years in Japan, Germany, and the Netherlands, the industrial countries that have been among the leaders with regard to containing inflation over most of the 1980s. In short, the goal of seeking to replicate a pattern of price performance that approximates our own national experience between 1955 and 1965 and to realize that goal in the timeframe of the mid-1990s strikes me as appropriate. The second major issue relates to the costs incurred in the transition to such an environment and the sustainability of that environment once it is achieved. There is absolutely no question that bringing the underlying inflation rate down from its current level of about 4.5 percent to about 1 or 1.5 percent will involve costs in terms of at least some shortfall of actual output relative to potential output over the transition period. Moreover, history here in the United States, as well as experience in all other countries, suggests that such costs could be large. Indeed, I am very hard pressed to recall a single case in which a significant reduction in inflation was accomplished in a major industrial country without relatively large costs. And, in cases in which the costs were more moderate and the success more lasting, the adjustment process typically has been assisted by complementary moves on the part of fiscal or other elements of economic policy. But, even under the best of circumstances, some costs will be incurred. For example, over the last decade, in both Germany and the Netherlands—the European superstars on the inflation front—the unemployment rate has been quite high by historic and international comparative standards. Having said that there will be at least some costs associated with the transition, let me hasten to add that it is not easy to judge just how small or how great those costs might be. This is true, in part, because these costs can vary significantly, depending on the broad economic and expectational environment in which the transition is made. To illustrate some of the dimensions of this situation, I have attached to my statement a table containing a cross section of economic statistics covering the 1955-65 and the Statements 1983-89 periods. Clearly a handful of statistics cannot begin to capture all the elements and all the dynamics of a multitrillion dollar economy, but I believe they convey many useful insights. The first cluster of those statistics provides a quick comparison of five measures of overall economic performance over the two periods. These statistics suggest that the growth of real GNP was not, on average, wildly different in the two periods. In fact, the similarity in the average growth rates of real GNP in the two periods is very striking. However, the " c o r e " inflation rate was much higher in the 1980s and unemployment Selected macroeconomic statistics Average Economic indicators 1955-65 Economic performance Percent change in nominal GNP Percent change in real GNP Percent change in CPI Excluding food and energy Average unemployment rate Unemployment rate at end of period Structural change in the economy Percent of civilian population aged 16 or more in labor force Percent of total population aged 25-44 .. Consumer spending on services as percent of GNP 6.0 3.6 1.4 1.6 1 5.3 4.5 1983-89 7.5 3.9 3.6 4.3 6.9 5.3 59.2 26.2 65.2 31.3 25.4 34.3 4.3 2.6 4.4 1.8 5.4 3 1.6 2.6 4.3 3 6.5 5 2.4 7.4 6.0 3.7 7 2.4 1 5.3 4.0 7 2 Underlying inflation Percent change in compensation per hour .. Percent change in productivity Percent change in unit labor cost (all data for private nonfarm economy). Financial performance Percent change in M2 4 Inflation adjusted long-term bond yield 6 . . . Inflation adjusted long-term bond yield using CPI, excluding food and energy . Underlying characteristics of the U.S. economy2 Federal budget deficit as percent of GNP Current account balance as percent of GNP Net private savings as percent of GNP . . . Excluding state and local government balances8 Net private investment as percent of GNP Net domestic savings gap as percent of GNP Net economic profits as percent of GNP . Net foreign assets or liabilities ( - ) as percent of GNP at end of period .. .1 1.03 4.1 .6 7.7 -2.6 7.8 6.9 5.2 4.8 6.5 -2.4 6.6 10.3 n.a. 9 -11.7 1. Based on 1958-65 average. 2. 1989 data are based on estimates. 3. Percent change, 1988:3 to 1989:3. 4. Annual data calculated on fourth-quarter-to-fourth-quarter basis. 5. 1955-59 data are based on estimates. 6. Ten-year bond yield less change in CPI. 7. 1989. 8. Includes state and local government surplus or deficit. 9. 5.7 percent at end of 1970. n.a. Not available. to Congress 133 materially lower in the earlier period even though the unemployment rate at the end of the 1980s had converged significantly toward its level in 1965. To some extent, these differences in inflation and unemployment may reflect changed structural features in the economy. To illustrate this, the second set of statistics shows that over the interval spanned by the two time periods, we have experienced a significant increase in the following: (1) labor force participation rates; (2) the share of the population in the household formation age bracket of 25 to 44 years of age; and (3) the share of GNP that is accounted for by consumer spending on services, in which inflation rates tend to be relatively high. However, even after allowing for these changed structural features of the economy, the " c o r e " rate of inflation in the 1980s is both too high and is materially higher than it was in the 1955-65 interval. To shed further light on this, the third set of statistics presents data on compensation per hour, productivity, and unit labor costs for the private nonfarm economy. At least in a proximate sense, these data provide particularly good insights into the dynamics of the core inflationary process. In looking at these data, it is important to keep in mind that the aggregate compensation bill represents a sizable fraction of GNP. Therefore, as an approximation over time, it follows that the only way in which the core inflation rate can rise at a materially slower rate than the rise in unit labor costs would be when profitability is falling. That is particularly important in the current setting in which profits already are squeezed and the share of "economic" profits in GNP is near to an all-time postwar low. With those qualifications in mind, the most striking feature of the third set of statistics is that by far the largest factor contributing to the more rapid rise in unit labor costs in the 1980s is not the rate of increase in compensation but the distinct slowing of productivity growth. The immediate situation is even worse than the average for 1983-89 since over the past four quarters productivity growth has slowed to only 1 percent and unit labor costs are rising at 4.3 percent. I might also add in this regard that recent patterns of productivity increases in the United States not only look poor relative to the 1955-65 period but 134 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 also look quite poor by international standards as well. For example, overall productivity increases not only in Japan and Germany, but also in France and the United Kingdom, have outpaced those in the United States during the 1980s. While I will return to this point later, it is quite clear to me that if we want to achieve and sustain major improvements in inflation at modest costs, we are going to have to do much better on the productivity front than has been our recent history. The reason for this is quite straightforward: Namely, the higher the rate of productivity growth, the lower the rise in unit labor costs associated with any given rate of compensation increase and the smaller the amount of slack needed in labor markets to achieve that lower rise in unit labor costs. The next set of data in the table provides some insights on financial indicators during the two periods under study. These, too, might be surprising to some, especially since the growth of M2 over the two intervals was quite similar. However, there is a striking difference between the inflation-adjusted interest rates on long-term bonds over the two periods—a difference that, at first blush, seems difficult to explain. For the 1983-89 period as a whole, the very high, real long-term interest rates are somewhat exaggerated by extraordinarily high rates earlier in the period as the economy adjusted from the very high inflation rates of the early 1980s. However, even at the end of 1989 the inflation-adjusted long-bond rate of about 4 percent was still about 1.5 percentage points above its average during the 1955-65 period. The last set helps shed some light on this difference and, in my judgment, gets right to the heart of many of our current economic difficulties. There are truly massive differences in the behavior of the federal budget and current account relative to GNP in the two periods, as well as associated sharp differences in the private savings and investment rates relative to GNP (bottom panel of the table). These differences can have profound implications both for how the economy works and for the costs associated with the transition to price stability. For example, with the investment rate as low as it is, should we be all that surprised that productivity behavior has been so poor? In fact, the investment situa- tion may be even worse than indicated; some analytical work by my colleagues at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York suggests that the stock of net capital per worker has been essentially flat over the past three years. As another example that can be drawn from the lower panel of the table, should we be surprised that real interest rates are so high when our domestic credit demands far exceed our domestic savings and, as a result, we must finance much, and at times virtually all, of our budget deficit by attracting savings flows from the balance of the world in a setting in which our net external liabilities are now so large. To be sure, other factors such as volatility in economic growth patterns and high and volatile inflation rates also play a role in explaining the relatively high level of U.S. real interest rates in recent years. But, the persistent domestic savings gap and the resulting need to attract so much savings from abroad in recent years have to be recognized as significant factors in this regard. As I mentioned earlier, I am under no illusion that these few statistics can tell the whole story about a large and complex economy such as that of the United States. Despite these limitations, I think the message from these statistics is clear: We have some major imbalances in our economy, which, among other things, have a direct bearing on the relative ease—or lack thereof— with which the transition to price stability can be managed. For example, to the extent that the savings gap is eliminated by balancing the federal budget, we would at least have much more room to finance domestically a higher rate of private investment, which, in turn, would assist productivity performance over time. Similarly, in those same circumstances, the potential for some decline in real interest rates is clear, although we must recognize that our status as a large net debtor nation may limit the scope of these gains. To put it differently, moving toward and sustaining a noninflationary environment will be even easier if we have genuine success in implementing policies that will deal with the closely interrelated problems of low savings, low investment, and low productivity growth. But, these gains will only come slowly. There is one other crucial variable that could make an enormous difference with regard to Statements to Congress 135 containing the costs of the transition to price stability, and that is the role of expectations. Many models of the economy and most elements of casual observation suggest that expectations of future inflation are importantly, if not decisively, influenced by experience with inflation in the recent-to-intermediate-term past. Econometric analysis also suggests that the deeper those expectations are entrenched, the more difficult and more costly will be the task of winding down inflation. By the same token, the less entrenched, and even more important, the more forward looking such expectations are, the lower will be the cost of moving toward and achieving price stability. For this reason, if the American public were convinced that the national commitment to price stability was real and lasting, the transition problem would be much easier and less costly. However, it is going to take much more than rhetoric to produce that change in expectations. Even if H.J. Res. 409 were to become law with broadbased bipartisan support, I am not at all sure that the public would immediately and fully adjust their expectations in a major way so long as perceptions about our national economic imbalances in areas such as the budget deficit remain unchanged. In other words, a change in expectations about future inflation would make a very major contribution to our success in achieving a noninflationary environment, but that change will not come easily or automatically. In closing, I think that it is essential that any discussion of the costs of moving to price stability also includes a parallel discussion of the costs of coexisting with something like the current rate of inflation and the ever-present danger that the inflation rate could move still higher. Virtually every observable facet of economic and financial history—here in the United States and around the world—tells us that high or rising rates of inflation are simply incompatible with sustained economic prosperity. Inflation inevitably undermines economic and financial discipline; it can arbitrarily redistribute income; it surely undercuts international competitiveness; and it can induce wholly unnecessary and costly elements of volatility in interest rates and exchange rates. Moreover, so long as an inflationary environment persists, these costs are ongoing and cumulative. Looked at in this light, the costs of gradually winding down inflation—especially if we are able to maintain the discipline to keep the inflation down—look far less foreboding. Nevertheless, both minimizing the transition costs and maximizing the prospects of sustaining a noninflationary environment make it all the more clear to me that those complementary efforts aimed at the savings gap, the investment rate, and productivity growth are very important indeed. • Statement by W. Lee Hoskins, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, February 6, 1990. serve. Efficient utilization of our nation's resources requires a sound and predictable monetary polidy. H.J. Res. 409 wisely directs the Federal Reserve to place price stability above other economic goals because price stability is the most important contribution the Federal Reserve can make to achieve full employment and maximum sustainable growth. I am pleased to appear before this subcommittee to testify on House Joint Resolution 409. I strongly support your resolution directing the Federal Reserve System to make price stability the main goal of monetary policy. Ultimately, the price level is determined by monetary policy. While economic growth and the level of employment depend on our resources and the efficiency with which they are used, the aggregate price level is determined uniquely by the Federal Re- THE BENEFITS OF PRICE Price Stability Leads STABILITY to Economic Stability An important benefit of price stability is that it would stabilize the economy. High and variable inflation has always been one of the prime causes 136 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 of financial crises and economic recessions. Certainly U.S. experience since World War II reaffirms the notion that inflation is a leading cause of recessions. Every recession in our recent history has been preceded by an outburst of cost and price pressures and the associated imbalances and distortions. A monetary policy that strives for price stability, or zero inflation, as mandated by H.J. Res. 409, would help markets avoid distortions and imbalances, stabilize the business cycle, and promote the highest sustainable growth in our economy. Price Stability Maximizes Efficiency and Output Economic A market economy achieves maximum production and growth by allowing market prices to allocate resources. Money helps make markets work more efficiently by reducing information and transactions costs, thus allowing for better decisions and improved productivity in resource use. Stabilizing the price level would make the monetary system operate more efficiently and would result in a higher standard of living for all Americans. Money is a standard of value. Much of our wealth is held either in the form of money or in claims denominated in and payable in money. Money represents a claim on a share of society's output. Stabilizing the price level protects the value of that claim while inflation reduces it. When we borrow, we promise to pay back the same amount with interest. When we allow unpredictable inflation, we arbitrarily take from the lender and give to the borrower. When this condition persists, we create an environment in which interest rates rise once to accommodate expected inflation and again to accommodate the increased risk involved in dealing with an uncertain inflation. When inflation rises and becomes uncertain, people are forced to develop elaborate, complicated, and expensive mechanisms to protect their wealth and income, such as new accounting systems, markets for trading financial futures and options, and cash managers who spend all their time trying to keep cash balances at zero. It would be inefficient to allow the length of a yardstick to vary over time, and it is ineffi- cient to allow inflation to change the yardstick for economic value. While the evidence that price stability maximizes production and employment is not as direct or as extensive as I would like, it is persuasive to me. One source of evidence can be found in the comparison of inflation and real growth across countries. Several studies find that higher inflation or higher uncertainty about inflation is associated with lower real growth. Inflation adds risk to decisionmaking and retards long-term investments. Inflation causes people to invest scarce resources in activities that have the sole purpose of hedging against inflation. Inflation interacts with the tax structure to stifle incentives to invest. More evidence comes from the extreme cases, the cases of hyperinflation. There we see that economic performance clearly deteriorates with high inflation. Both specialization and trade decline as small firms go bankrupt and people return to home production for a larger share of goods and services. Even a relatively predictable and moderate rate of inflation can be quite harmful. During the seven years of our economic expansion since 1982, inflation has averaged between 3 and 4 percent. While that is low by the standards of the 1970s, the purchasing power of the dollar has been reduced about 25 percent. Interest rates continue to include a premium for expected inflation and a premium for uncertainty about inflation. Research at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland indicates that a fully anticipated inflation, with no uncertainty about future inflation, would reduce the capital stock through taxes on capital income. Using 1985 as a benchmark and using conservative assumptions, we have estimated that the interaction of an expected 4 percent inflation rate with the tax on capital income leads to a present value income loss in the American economy of $600 billion or more. This is an amount much greater than the output loss typically associated with recessions. This estimate is from a policy of a perfectly anticipated 4 percent inflation and includes only the welfare loss associated with the failure to fully index taxes on capital income. It ignores the Statements greater damage done to market efficiency by making our monetary yardstick variable. 1 Even beyond these costs, I believe that inflation diminishes productivity growth. Because the worldwide slowdown in productivity growth occurred simultaneously with the acceleration in inflation and the oil price shocks, the evidence is very difficult to sort out satisfactorily. But if I am correct in believing that inflation inhibits productivity growth, the present value of lost output from even a very small reduction in the trend of productivity growth would far exceed the adjustment costs associated with the transition to price stability. THE LIMITATIONS A Fallacious Prosperity OF MONETARY Trade-Off: Inflation POLICY for Unfortunately, over the years we have come to believe that we can prolong expansion, or avoid recession, with more inflation. A look at recent history reminds us that there is no trade-off between inflation and recession. Although we do not understand recessions completely, we have seen that they can be caused by monetary policy actions as well as by nonmonetary factors. In the early 1980s we had recessions caused by monetary policy mistakes. The policy mistake was the excessive monetary growth of the 1970s, which allowed accelerating inflation and rising interest rates and ultimately led to the need for disinflationary monetary policies. The disinflationary policies were necessary to get our economy back to an acceptable level of real activity. Yet even today, we are apt to blame the recessions on policies that reduced inflation instead of blaming the policies that created the inflation to begin with. While recessions will occur even under an ideal monetary policy, they will not be as frequent or as severe. With price stability, we would not have recessions induced by inflation and the subsequent need to eliminate it. 1. David Altig and Charles T. Carlstrom, "Expected Inflation and the Welfare Losses from Taxes on Capital Income," Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, February 1990. to Congress 137 Even if we thought that eliminating the business cycle was a desirable and healthy long-term goal, I believe it is impossible to do so. There are several reasons that prevent us from using monetary policy to offset nonmonetary surprises. First, we cannot predict recessions. Second, monetary policy does not work immediately or predictably; it works with a lag, and the lag is variable and poorly understood. The Crystal Ball Syndrome The limitations of economic forecasting are well known. Analysis of forecast errors has shown that we often do not know that a recession has begun until it is well under way. At any point in time, the range of uncertainty around economic forecasts of business activity for one quarter in the future is wide enough that both expansion and recession are plausible outcomes. The people who make forecasts and those who use them often get a false sense of confidence because forecast errors are not distributed evenly over the business cycle. When the economy is doing well, forecasts that prosperity will continue are usually correct. And when the economy is performing poorly, forecasts that the slump will continue are also usually correct. The problem lies in predicting the turning points. However, the turning points are the things we must forecast to prevent recessions. Monetary Policy's Long and Variable Lags We do not know exactly how a particular policy action will affect the economy. Macroeconomic ideas about monetary policy and its effect on real output have changed profoundly in the last decade, as we have recognized that the effect of monetary policy depends importantly on how economic agents form and alter expectations about policy. Even if we could predict recessions and wanted to vary monetary policy to alleviate them, we still face an almost insurmountable problem—monetary policy operates with a lag. Moreover, the length of the lag varies over time, depending on conditions in the economy and on public perception of the policy process. The effect of today's monetary policy actions 138 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 will probably not be felt for at least six to nine months, with the main influence perhaps two to three years in the future. The act of trying to prevent a recession may not only fail, but may also create a future recession—via an inflation—where otherwise there would not have been one. Economic agents, businessmen, and consumers alike do not act in a vacuum. The political forces operating on a central bank make inflation always a possibility. Uncertainty about future inflation adds risk to future investments. Uncertainty about future inflation will raise real interest rates, drive investors away from longterm markets, and delay the very adjustments needed to end the recession. The more certain people are about the stability of future monetary policy, the more easily and quickly inflation can be reduced and the economy can recover. Lessons We Should Have Learned If we have learned anything about economic policymaking in the last twenty years, we ought to have learned to think about policy as a dynamic process. To claim that "in order to reduce inflation, we must have a recession," is a wrongheaded notion that completely ignores the ability of humans to adapt their expectations as the environment changes. People do their best to forecast economic policies when they make decisions. If the central bank has a record of expanding the money supply in attempts to prevent recessions, people will come to anticipate the policy, setting off an acceleration of inflation and misallocation of resources that will lead to a recession. An economy often goes into recession after an unexpected burst of inflation because people have made decisions that were based on an incorrect view of the future course of asset prices and economic activity. The central bank can help prevent the need for such adjustments by providing a stable price environment. Moreover, price stability will be the optimal setting for adjustments in business inventories and bad debts, should such adjustments be necessary. THE IMPORTANCE OF ADOPTING HOUSE JOINT RESOLUTION 409 Sound Policies Minimize Uncertainty Economic policies must have clear objectives, verifiable outcomes, and rules that are consistently adhered to in order to minimize uncertainty. Predictable, verifiable policies ensure that long-term planning and resource allocation decisions will be efficient. Sound policy thus requires a resolute focus on the long term and resistance to policies that, while expedient in the short run, introduce more uncertainty into an already unpredictable world. If enacted, H.J. Res. 409 would make a valuable contribution to this important objective. In the long run, inflation is the one economic variable for which monetary policy is unambiguously responsible. The zero inflation policy called for in H.J. Res. 409 satisfies the key requirements of sound policy: It is clear, it is verifiable, and it has consistent rules. Unlike other rates of inflation, zero inflation is a policy goal that will be understood by everyone. Responding to Multiple Goals The Federal Reserve Reform Act of 1977 amended the Federal Reserve Act so that it now requires the Federal Reserve " . . . to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates." However, it is the Federal Reserve's responsibility to decide how best to pursue those goals. Because of the multiplicity of goals established by the Congress for the Federal Reserve, the Federal Reserve can choose which goal it emphasizes at any moment. Such discretion increases the likelihood that political and special interest groups could try to influence the Federal Reserve to pursue the policy that is currently important to that group. In this respect, the Federal Reserve's situation is different from that of West Germany's central bank, which is also independent. More than one goal is specified by law for that bank, but German law states that the goal of price stability is to be given highest priority whenever another goal Statements might conflict with maintaining price stability. This stipulation is a major reason why West Germany's price level only doubled between 1950 and 1988, while the U.S. price level quadrupled. Since current law requires the Federal Reserve to promote maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates, the Federal Reserve must choose a viable strategy to accomplish this mission. Two approaches seem plausible. One approach would be for the central bank to try to achieve a balance among its three congressionally mandated objectives. The Federal Reserve could use its own judgment about what balance among the objectives to pursue, and could change that balance from time to time, depending on its view of how the economy works and what course is broadly acceptable to the public. In essence, this is the practice that the Federal Reserve has followed. It has strived to balance desirable economic conditions such as full employment, economic growth, and low long-term interest rates with low rates of inflation. But the major drawback to this approach is its feasibility. To strike a balance among the mandated goals requires that they be reliably linked to one another. Furthermore, monetary policy would need to be capable of influencing simultaneously all these economic dimensions in the desired directions and quantities. While monetary policy is capable of influencing the economy in the short to intermediate run, over long periods of time monetary policy can only affect the rate of inflation. The rate of inflation, in turn, affects all dimensions of economic performance, including output, employment, and interest rates. Maximum production and employment and low interest rates can be achieved only with price stability. By its very nature, a balancing act among complex economic goals causes substantial confusion about the Federal Reserve's intentions. Such confusion could be avoided to a large degree if the Congress or the Federal Reserve assigned priorities to the goals. A more promising approach is to select one objective—the only one that the Federal Reserve can influence directly. Under the provisions of H.J. Res. 409, the Federal Reserve would seek to to Congress 139 maintain a stable price level over time. Price stability is defined as an inflation rate so small that it does not systematically affect economic decisions. The definition may appear less specific than some would like, but I believe that the decisions of economic agents will be very important in monitoring success in achieving price stability. In practice, the size of the inflation premium estimated to be found in long-term interest rates, surveys of the public's inflation expectations, and other market-generated measures of inflation expectations can be very useful. If policy is credible, both the inflation component and the inflation uncertainty risk premium would be eliminated from interest rates. Temporary and unforeseen factors will cause the price level to deviate from the desired course. It would be a mistake to try to keep some inflation index on target each and every quarter, or even each and every year. Price stability can be achieved by holding the money supply (as measured by M2) on or close to a path that is consistent with price stability over long periods. The relationship between money and the price level over long periods of time is stable and strong. However, the link between money and the economy over periods perhaps as short as a year is loose enough to afford the Federal Reserve considerable leeway in responding to problems and crises—as long as economic agents believe that the future value of money will be stable. Clearly, this resolution would not prevent the Federal Reserve from providing liquidity in times of financial crises, such as the stock market crash in 1987. Announcing a Commitment to Price Stability Announcement of a commitment to price stability, as embodied in H.J. Res. 409, would enhance the ability of the Congress to hold the Federal Reserve accountable for achieving the goal. Central bank accountability is appropriate in a democracy and, in fact, the Congress has the ultimate authority to change the Federal Reserve's goal. A legislative commitment to price stability would also enhance the Federal Reserve's independence from political pressures as it pursued 140 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 that goal. A commitment by the Congress to price stability would reduce the effectiveness of political pressure to deviate from that goal. Thus, a distinction can be made between a central bank that is accountable for long-run performance and a central bank that can be influenced to pursue short-run goals that might be incompatible with desirable long-term economic performance. The commitment to price stability supported by a legislative mandate would foster the credibility of the Federal Reserve. Improving the Federal Reserve's credibility would strengthen the expectation that prices will be stable and would contribute to price and wage decisions that would make price stability easier to achieve and maintain. ARGUMENTS AGAINST ADOPTING HOUSE JOINT RESOLUTION 409 ARE WEAK What About the Transition Costs? A commitment by the Congress and the Federal Reserve to achieve price stability would entail adjustment costs. Adjustment costs would arise from two sources: contractual obligations and the credibility problem, or uncertainty about whether price stability would be achieved and maintained. The contractual costs can be alleviated with an appropriate adjustment period. H.J. Res. 409 recognizes that abrupt policy changes can be disruptive and provides a phase-in period to help reduce adjustment costs. Much of our day-to-day economic activity is conducted under contracts and commitments that extend over longer periods of time and that embody the expectations of a continuing moderate inflation rate. Most of these contracts will expire in the next few years. The disruption to business and the arbitrary wealth redistribution of an abrupt adjustment to price stability would be greatly reduced by an appropriate phase-in period. H.J. Res. 409 gives us five years to get to price stability—a period long enough to reduce substantially the transition costs. The second set of adjustment costs emanates from the expectations of economic agents. As the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) points out in its recent Economic and Budget Outlook, if ev- eryone believed that inflation would be reduced to zero, and planned accordingly, these costs would be very low. The Federal Reserve has stated that it intends to reduce inflation to zero or to low levels, but it has not committed to a specific timetable for eliminating inflation, or to a plan for doing so. The result is that the public in general and the markets in particular wonder just how serious we are in those intentions, or whether we will switch our priorities to some other goal, as we have in the past. Large-Scale Econometric of the Transition Cost Model Estimates Economists have not made much progress in estimating the transition costs of eliminating inflation. Frequently, econometric models that embody a large number of complex relationships and variables are used to estimate the adjustment costs. For manageability, econometric models are built with many simplifying assumptions, one of which is the presumption that economic agents are backward looking in the way they form and change expectations. In these models, expectations, which in effect determine adjustment costs, are formed from past experience, and are changed only slowly as the future unfolds. The presumption that expectations change only slowly inevitably generates estimates of high transition costs. The real question about a change in policy as specified by H J . Res. 409 is how forward-looking economic agents would behave under a fully credible and fully understood policy change. Backward-looking models are relatively useless in answering this question. In almost every case, such models are constructed to display the effects that are consistent with the model builder's theories and biases. Almost all of the large models are based on the dual notion that the only way to eliminate inflation is to raise the unemployment rate. Naturally, these models will find that eliminating inflation is very costly. These exercises have been conducted many times in the past, and they have consistently overestimated the costs of eliminating inflation and ignored the benefits of doing so. I might also observe that those who really believe the analytical structures contained in these models logically should advocate an acceleration of Statements inflation because the models would predict great benefits from doing so. One member of the Council of Economic Advisors, an expert on such matters, has developed large econometric models with sluggish resource adjustment induced by labor contracts. Even in these models, there is almost no short-run cost to eliminating inflation with a credible policy change. The reason is simply that, in these models, people are assumed to change their behavior in response to the policy change. As the CBO study states, "inflation could be reduced relatively painlessly by lowering inflationary expectations." A commitment by the Congress and the Federal Reserve would enhance credibility and convince economic agents to begin to base decisions on gradual elimination of inflation over a five-year period. The transitional costs presented elsewhere in the CBO study then would be grossly overestimated. A consistent commitment to a long-run policy goal of price stability is important. One of the worst things we could do is to eliminate inflation for a while and then return to high inflation later. H.J. Res. 409 would contribute to an important change in the policy process, focusing it toward consistent long-run goals and away from reactions to each new report of economic activity. Each policy action would become part of a policy process that is consistent with long-run price stability. Fiscal Policy Is No to Price Stability Obstacle Federal budget deficits should not compromise either the Federal Reserve's goal of price stability or the adoption of a specific timetable to achieve it. I do not mean to suggest or imply that current fiscal policy is ideal, appropriate, or the result of bad monetary policy. Savings are too low, at least partly because of budget deficits, and measures to address our savings shortfall must include measures to reduce the deficit. However, while we strive for better fiscal policy, we should recognize that monetary policy cannot offset whatever harm may to Congress 141 result from fiscal policy; indeed, it can only add to those costs. We are all familiar with the argument that large federal budget deficits cause high interest rates, forcing the Fed to ease monetary policy to keep interest rates at levels consistent with full employment. This argument ignores the fact that both the federal budget deficit and, more important, government spending, at least measured relative to the economy, have been falling for the past several years and should continue to do so. There is, of course, legitimate concern that the progress in deficit and expenditure reduction might cease or even be reversed, for any number of reasons. How should such a reversal influence monetary policy? Even if fiscal policy choices were to put upward pressure on interest rates, and there is little consensus among economists that this is the case, it is far from clear that the Federal Reserve can do anything to alleviate the economic consequences of that problem. Ultimately, it is real interest rates that affect the consumption and production decisions of individuals and businesses and the allocation of resources over time. Real rates of return are based on the productivity of labor, capital, and other real assets in a society, and have very little, if any, connection with monetary policy. In an inflationary environment, nominal rates of return include an inflation premium to compensate lenders for being repaid in money of reduced purchasing power. The correlation between monetary policy and nominal interest rates that dominates discussion in the financial press tells us next to nothing about the relationship between monetary policy and the real interest rates that govern the allocation of resources over time. Every movement in the federal funds rate does not produce equivalent changes in real interest rates, in the productivity of our capital stock, or in any of the other important real variables that affect economic activity. The fact that monetary policy exerts relatively direct control over the federal funds rate does not imply that real interest rates can, similarly, be controlled by monetary policy. It is unnecessary and undesirable for sound monetary policy choices to await sound fiscal 142 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 policy choices. Sound fiscal policy decisions, like sound private economic decisions, require the stable inflation environment that H.J. Res. 409 would direct the Federal Reserve to provide. The tax-related distortions and economic complexities associated even with stable, positive rates of inflation argue strongly for price stability. CONCLUSION If H.J. Res. 409 is enacted and the Federal Reserve commits to an explicit plan for price stability, the transition period will soon be over, and any costs that arise because of this Statement by Robert P. Black, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, February 6, 1990. I am delighted to be here today to testify in favor of House Joint Resolution 409, which would instruct the Federal Reserve to achieve price stability within five years. I believe that passage of the resolution by the Congress would significantly improve the overall framework in which monetary policy is conducted and increase our chances of achieving price stability and steady economic growth in the years ahead. I have been associated with the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond for more than thirty-five years and have attended at least some of the meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee for about thirty of those years. For seventeen years, I have been the Richmond Bank's official representative at those meetings. My work with the Committee has convinced me that price stability should be the primary long-run objective for monetary policy and that the Federal Reserve can make its greatest contribution to the economic health of our country through pursuit of that objective. policy change will be outweighed by the benefits. These benefits will be large and permanent, and will far outweigh the costs of getting there. H.J. Res. 409, if enacted, would be a milestone in economic policy legislation because it would shift the focus of monetary policy away from short-term fine tuning to the long term, where it belongs. It would enforce accountability for the one vital objective that the Federal Reserve can achieve. It would officially sanction those sometimes unpopular short-run policy actions that most certainly are in our nation's long-term interest. It would make clear that the Federal Reserve cannot achieve maximum output and employment without achieving price stability. I fully support House Joint Resolution 409. • THE CASE FOR MAKING PRICE STABILITY THE OVERRIDING OBJECTIVE OF MONETARY POLICY The case for making price stability the primary objective of monetary policy is a compelling one. First, inflation imposes pervasive costs on our society, especially if it is not anticipated. Inflation distorts the signals that prices send in our market economy, which leads to serious inefficiencies in the allocation of resources. These distortions and inefficiencies reduce the long-run rate of growth of the economy below its full potential. In a similar way, inflation disrupts the functioning of our financial markets and on balance discourages saving and investment. Moreover, its volatility increases the risk associated with particular business decisions. Finally, inflation redistributes income and wealth in arbitrary ways, which creates dissatisfaction within the social and economic groups whose incomes and wealth are adversely affected. Although many of these costs are hard to measure, there is good reason to believe that they are significant in the aggregate. First, there is a negative correlation between inflation and long-term economic growth across different countries. Second, our citizens have repeatedly made it clear that they strongly dislike inflation. Finally, persistently high rates of inflation in peacetime in the United States have frequently Statements been associated with relatively low rates of real economic growth. Inflation is still a major problem today, despite the belief in some quarters that it has been conquered. It disturbs me to hear people talk as if inflation were dead when we have been experiencing an underlying inflation rate of about 4 to 4Vi percent. The current rate is clearly an improvement over the very high rates prevailing in the late 1970s and early 1980s, but it is not a particularly low rate when judged by longer-run historical standards. As you may know, the consumer price index rose at an average annual rate of 1.5 percent between the end of the Korean War and 1965. What is now considered by some to be moderate inflation was regarded as an intolerable condition only a few years ago. President Nixon imposed a comprehensive price and wage control program on the economy in August 1971 when the rate of inflation was even lower than the rates of recent years. Moreover—and I believe that this is one of the critical issues addressed by the resolution—inflation may well reaccelerate in the absence of a clear signal to the public that the Congress fully supports the Federal Reserve's commitment to reduce it further. As we all know, the System is under constant pressure to "do something" with monetary policy in the short run to improve the economy's performance or deal with some other current problem. In the past such pressures have, at times, led the System to take actions that have eventually contributed to an acceleration of inflation. There is obviously a risk that history will repeat itself unless an effort is made to reduce these pressures. I say this even though I believe that the present members of the Federal Open Market Committee as a group are especially strongly committed to fighting inflation and that the public still has vivid memories of the rampant inflation of the late 1970s and early 1980s. The composition of the Federal Open Market Committee will change, and the memories of double-digit inflation will gradually fade, but the pressures on the Federal Reserve to make its monetary policy decisions on the basis of short-run considerations without adequate regard for the long-run inflationary consequences of these decisions will surely persist in the years ahead. to Congress 143 One problem that the Federal Reserve faces in conducting monetary policy currently, in my view, is that our mandate is too broad. A clear and attainable objective is a necessary condition for the success of any policy strategy. Unfortunately, current law does not provide the Federal Reserve with such an objective. Instead, our current mandate instructs us to consider a wide range of economic conditions in carrying out monetary policy. Specifically, Section 2A of the Federal Reserve Act requires the System to take account of " . . . past and prospective developments in employment, unemployment, production, investment, real income, productivity, international trade and payments, and prices. . . . " in setting its annual objectives for the growth of the monetary and credit aggregates. A mandate that instructs the Federal Reserve to consider such a broad range of economic conditions may not be the strongest foundation for an effective strategy for monetary policy. Faced with the requirement to take account of all these conditions, policy choices necessarily are made in a discretionary manner that gives substantial weight to current economic and financial conditions and prospects for the near-term future. This approach to policy fosters the notion that the Fed can fine-tune the economy even though both actual experience and much of the most important recent research in macroeconomics argue persuasively to the contrary. It also encourages special interest groups to try to pressure the System to pursue the particular goals they consider important. These circumstances tend to impart an inflationary bias to monetary policy. The resolution would help us overcome these problems by specifying clearly a single, feasible objective for monetary policy and instructing the Federal Reserve to achieve that objective. Price stability is obviously an appropriate objective for any central bank. Further, it is a feasible objective since there is no question that the System can achieve price stability over the long run by controlling the rate of growth of the monetary aggregates. Moreover, I believe price stability is really the only feasible objective for monetary policy. Some might argue that increasing long-run eco- 144 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 nomic growth or fine-tuning economic activity in the short run are alternative objectives. Most economists now agree, however, that the longrun rate of real economic growth is determined by nonmonetary factors such as population growth, increases in productivity, and the rate of saving and investment. Accordingly, most conclude that expansionary monetary policies can raise the growth rate only temporarily, if at all. There is also a growing consensus that the System could make its greatest contribution to longrun economic growth by fostering price stability so that economic decisions could be made on the basis of reliable information on both current and future prices. There also is very little evidence that the Federal Reserve can use monetary policy to finetune the economy in the short run. Monetary policy affects the economy with both long and variable lags. These lags, in conjunction with the inability of economists to forecast future economic conditions with much confidence, make it very difficult for the System to determine what policy actions it should take today to produce a particular result at some point in the near-term future. Moreover, as I indicated earlier, focusing too narrowly on relatively short-run economic conditions tends to give monetary policy an inflationary bias. This is not to say that the Federal Reserve should ignore extraordinary events such as the stock market crash in October 1987. But, as I believe we demonstrated in late 1987, the System can react to such shocks to the economy without weakening its long-run commitment to price stability. One might argue, of course, that price stability has always been one of the System's primary objectives and therefore that the resolution is not needed since it simply instructs the Federal Reserve to seek an objective it is already pursuing. I strongly disagree with this view. Despite our best intentions, prices have not yet stabilized, as evidenced by the fourfold increase in the price level since 1964. Moreover, surveys of expected inflation consistently indicate that the public does not expect the Federal Reserve to make much further progress in reducing inflation in the future, let alone achieve price stability. Confidence in the System's commitment to price stability suffers because its policy decisions are necessarily influenced by numerous other considerations. Passage of the resolution would send an unambiguous signal to the public and the financial markets that price stability is the overriding goal of the Federal Reserve. The credibility of the System's efforts to reduce inflation would therefore rise. This increased credibility would, in turn, lower the public's expectations of future inflation because these expectations would be less influenced by the relatively high inflation rates in the recent past. Further, lower expected inflation would tend to reduce the costs of achieving price stability in terms of any temporary loss of output and employment. This reduction would occur, in part, because producers, when faced with monetary restraint, would be more inclined to reduce prices, or raise them at a slower pace, and less likely to reduce output and employment. Similarly, workers would be more inclined to restrain their wage demands. It is worth emphasizing that a truly clear and unambiguous congressional mandate to eliminate inflation would play a vital role in this process. RESPONSES TO SOME LIKELY AGAINST THE RESOLUTION ARGUMENTS The major arguments that will be made against the resolution are fairly predictable, and I would like to say a few words about them. One argument obviously concerns the potential transitional cost of implementing the resolution. Specifically, some will argue that trying to eliminate inflation altogether would risk a recession. It is impossible to predict the future, so we cannot dismiss this argument out of hand. In evaluating the argument, however, we should not simply extrapolate from our experience in dealing with past inflationary episodes such as the ones in 1973-74 and 1979-81. In those periods, the System acted forcefully in a crisis atmosphere to reduce the rate of inflation over a short period of time and economic activity contracted sharply. In contrast, H.J. Res. 409 would require a gradual reduction in inflation over a relatively long period of time following an extended period in which substantial progress has already been made. As I indicated earlier, there is good reason to believe that passage of the resolution would Statements enable us to achieve such a reduction in inflation with relatively small costs to the economy. Moreover, it is very important to weigh any short-run costs of achieving price stability as provided by the resolution against the longer-run costs of not achieving it. These latter costs could be particularly great if, at some future time, the Federal Reserve were forced to follow policies resulting in a recession in order to rein in an accelerating rate of inflation. A second possible argument against H.J. Res. 409 is that it would prevent the Federal Reserve from reacting appropriately to unanticipated " s h o c k s " to the economy, such as the stock market crash in October 1987. As I suggested a moment ago, however, there is simply no reason why shocks that may affect the System's actions in the short run should prevent us from achieving price stability over a period as long as five years. This would be especially true if the policy had credibility in the eyes of the general public and financial market participants, as I believe it would if the resolution were enacted. In evaluating this argument, it is also important to distinguish between temporary adjustments in our policy instruments or intermediate targets and changes in our ultimate policy objectives. Adjustments in our policy instruments or intermediate targets do not require us to alter our longrun objectives. Following the stock market crash in 1987, for example, the System temporarily supplied additional reserves to meet the greater demand for liquidity induced by the crash, but this action did not change our longer-run policy goals. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE RESOLUTION A final question regarding H.J. Res. 409 concerns how it would be implemented. I realize that the resolution leaves this matter to the Federal Reserve. Nevertheless, in evaluating the resolution I think it is important to appreciate that from a technical standpoint the System is quite capable of achieving price stability over a five-year period and that pursuing this objective would require at most minor changes in our current procedures. Recent research both at the Board of Governors and at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond has to Congress 145 provided strong evidence that the public's total demand for balances included in the monetary aggregate, M2, has remained stable since the early 1950s, despite the substantial amount of financial innovation in recent years. This innovation has affected the behavior of the components of M2, but it has had little effect on the behavior of total M2. Consequently, the velocity of M2, which is simply current-dollar GNP divided by M2, has not exhibited any trend either upward or downward in this period. This constancy in the velocity of M2 over time implies that the System could bring the trend rate of inflation to zero within a five-year period by gradually lowering the trend rate of growth of M2 to the longer-run potential rate of growth of real GNP. It is worth noting that implementing the resolution would not require any major change in the Federal Reserve's operating procedures, since we already set annual targets for M2 and announce them to the Congress. Under the resolution we would simply have to reduce these targets gradually and persistently until they declined to the trend rate of growth of real GNP, which is probably somewhere in the neighborhood of 2Vi to 3 percent a year. One fairly straightforward change in our procedures that I would favor would be to establish multiyear targets for M2 rather than the one-year targets we currently set. Under the current procedure, growth in M2 above or below the target for a given year is effectively forgiven at the end of the year. Thus, the base for the next year's target is the actual level of M2 at the end of the current year rather than the targeted level. As a result of this "base drift" in M2, the price level can drift up or down over time even though the individual annual M2 targets may be consistent with a zero rate of inflation. Consequently, I believe that the likelihood of achieving true longrun price stability would be increased if we eliminated base drift by setting a multiyear path for M2. This last point raises a corresponding point regarding how, in practice, the System would pursue the price stability objective mandated by the resolution. One approach would be to seek to hold the price level at a particular permanent level on average over the long run. A second approach would be to try to maintain the price 146 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 level at its current level at any point in time irrespective of any past movements in the level. Under the first approach, the System would act to bring prices back to their permanent target level if they moved away from that level in response, for example, to an unanticipated change in M2 velocity. Under the second approach, the System would not attempt to offset the one-time effects of such shocks on the price level, but would simply try to hold the price level at its then current level. We prefer the first approach, although we recognize that it might take considerable time to reattain the permanent objective in some instances in order to avoid significant transitory disruptions to real economic activity. Under the second approach, the price level would almost certainly change permanently from time to time, and it is not unreasonable to expect that political and other pressures would tend to bias these movements upward. Statement by Robert T. Parry, President, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, February 6, 1990. I am Robert Parry, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, a position I have held since early 1986. I am pleased to speak on House Joint Resolution 409. Over all, I strongly endorse the resolution—the Federal Reserve should gear monetary policy toward gradually eliminating inflation and maintaining price stability thereafter. Since inflation is a monetary phenomenon, the central bank is uniquely suited to control inflation in the long run. Monetary policy also can have significant transitory effects on the production of goods and services. As a result, I believe that there is a role for countercyclical monetary policies, although the difficulty of forecasting future economic developments limits the extent to which the Federal Reserve can effectively engage in such policies. More important, monetary policy cannot have any direct control over real variables in the long run. Thus, although the CONCLUSION In conclusion, I strongly support H.J. Res. 409 and its objective of achieving price stability in five years. The costs of the persistent inflation in this country are substantial. Without a significant change in the framework in which monetary policy decisions are made, inflation is likely to continue to be a serious problem in the years ahead, and it is entirely possible that the rate of inflation could reaccelerate. H.J. Res. 409 goes to the heart of the policy problem, which stems to a large extent from the Federal Reserve's overly broad current mandate. Price stability can, and should, be the overriding objective of monetary policy. Achieving and maintaining price stability is the best contribution monetary policy can make to the successful performance of the economy over the long run. • Federal Reserve must consider the transitory effects of its actions on the business cycle, it should orient its efforts mainly around the single variable it can control in the long run—the rate of inflation. Federal Reserve officials have made it clear that achieving price stability is the long-term goal of the System. H.J. Res. 409 would assist us in pursuing a credible and consistent antiinflation policy by providing a statement from the legislature that we should focus primarily on achieving that one attainable goal within a specified period of time. Without this support, there is the danger that the pursuit of the long-term inflation goal could be unduly delayed because of pressure to respond to short-run, businesscycle considerations. 1 Eliminating inflation would help to promote the highest possible standards of living for U.S. residents and greater prosperity around the world. The magnitude of the costs of inflation, in terms of lost output and employment, are noto- 1. For a discussion of the role of a monetary policy rule in combating inflation, see Robert J. Barro, "Recent Developments in the Theory of Rules Versus Discretion," Supplement to Economic Journal (1986), pp. 23-37. Statements riously difficult to estimate. 2 However, these costs almost surely are large. The most worrisome of these costs stem from uncertainty about future prices, which undermines the ability of our market system to function efficiently. Price stability would reduce the risk and uncertainty that have hampered longterm planning and contracting by business and labor and that have reduced capital formation by raising the risk premia in long-term interest rates. Moreover, price stability would lead to the avoidance of the many arbitrary transfers of wealth and income that occur when the general price level changes unexpectedly and thus would reduce wasteful hedging activity designed to protect against these transfers. Eliminating inflation also would avoid confusion between absolute price changes and movements in relative prices, which can lead to inefficient economic decisions by businesses and households. 3 The foregoing comments make it clear that I strongly support the message of H.J. Res. 409. I also have the following comments on its more specific features. LENGTH OF THE TRANSITION PERIOD Few would disagree that the elimination of inflation is a desirable goal for the Federal Reserve. The issues center on the costs of achieving the goal and on how large these costs are relative to the benefits. As I mentioned earlier, it is difficult to produce reliable estimates of the gains in output and employment that would accrue from price stability, although my judgment is that they 2. For more formal discussions of the costs of inflation, see Stanley Fischer, "Towards an Understanding of the Costs of Inflation: II," in Karl Brunner and Allan H. Meltzer, eds., The Costs and Consequences of Inflation, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, vol. 15 (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1981), pp. 5-41; and Michelle R. Garfinkel, "What Is an 'Acceptable' Rate of Inflation?—A Review of the Issues," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Review, vol. 71 (July/August 1989), pp. 3-15. 3. For example, an individual firm may speed up its production schedule because it finds that it can command a higher price for its product, only to subsequently find out that the prices of its materials and other inputs also have risen (along with the aggregate price level). By mistaking inflation for a rise in the demand for its product, the firm makes an inefficient production decision. to Congress 147 most likely would be large. Unfortunately, calculations of the costs of eliminating inflation also are problematic. An upper limit to these costs can be obtained from the so-called Phillips curve, which relates inflation to the actual unemployment rate, an estimate of the unemployment rate consistent with the economy operating at full capacity, and an estimate of expected inflation. The latter estimate generally is based on an assumption that the public's expectations adjust gradually to past observations of inflation. The Phillips curve suggests that the short-run costs of reducing inflation are relatively high, largely because it assumes that inflation expectations are slow to adjust to the introduction of an anti-inflation regime. For example, work at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco on this relationship suggests that a recession is not necessary to reduce inflation from approximately 4l/z percent now to zero percent in 1994. The unemployment rate would need to rise a maximum of about l3/4 percentage points above an estimated 5 to 6 percent "full-employment" rate. 4 At the same time, real GNP growth would need to slow from 1 to 2 percent per year below what it would otherwise have been during the five-year transition period. Two points about these estimates are worth emphasizing. First, the costs would be transitory only. In the long run, there is no trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Thus, once inflation were eliminated, real G N P could go back to its long-run potential path, and the unemployment rate to its "full-employment" level. The benefits of price stability, however, would continue indefinitely. Second, the figures represent average historical relationships over the past twenty-five years and should be taken only as very rough guidelines for the costs of implementing the resolution //inflation expectations were to adjust only gradually. It seems highly likely, however, that the costs would be smaller than this. Rather than adapting 4. For a discussion of how estimates of this type are made, see Laurence H. Meyer and Robert H. Rasche, "On the Costs and Benefits of Anti-Inflation Policies," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Review, vol. 62 (February 1980), pp. 3-14. 148 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 solely to declines in observed inflation, as assumed in the Phillips curve analysis, the public's expectations of inflation probably would adjust directly in response to the implementation of the new anti-inflation regime itself. This direct response might become quite strong over perhaps two to three years, as it became apparent that the Federal Reserve, with legislative support, indeed was acting to eliminate inflation. Unfortunately, there appears to be little historical evidence available that would provide a reliable estimate of how strong the direct response might be. There is evidence that sweeping institutional changes put in place to limit hyperinflations have had dramatically beneficial effects, but the relevance of these experiences to moderate inflation is remote. 5 In fact, there is evidence that expectations did not respond directly to the October 1979 change in Federal Reserve monetary policy procedures. 6 However, I seriously doubt that this experience is particularly relevant to the question at hand. The announcement of a policy change by the central bank itself will not carry as much credibility as the same announcement initiated and supported by a resolution of the legislative body. Moreover, the Federal Reserve has much more credibility as an inflation fighter today than it did in the period of double-digit inflation at the beginning of this decade. 7 Finally, as noted by others, I also believe that the attainment of price stability would be expedited if such a monetary policy were supported by other policy actions, such as a credible elimination of the federal deficit. There is general agreement within the economics profession that the costs of reducing inflation are closely tied to the degree to which the public 5. See Thomas J. Sargent, "The Ends of Four Big Inflations," in Robert E. Hall, ed., Inflation: Causes and Effects (University of Chicago Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research, 1982), pp. 41-97. 6. See Benjamin M. Friedman, "Lessons on Monetary Policy from the 1980s," Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 2 (Summer 1988), pp. 51-72. 7. In recent years, long-term interest rates have not risen very much when tighter monetary policies have led to higher short-term interest rates. This development suggests that financial market participants believed that recent periods of tighter monetary policy would be successful in controlling inflation. See Frederick T. Furlong, "The Yield Curve and Recessions," Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Weekly Letter, March 10, 1989. believes the central bank's anti-inflation policy to be credible. 8 I believe that the resolution as proposed would help in this regard, but I also recognize the possibility that achieving zero inflation in five years might involve high transitional costs. We will only know for sure as such a policy is being carried out. However, I do not favor lengthening the transition period because the resolution's credibility, and thus its impact, would be diluted if the time limit were too far in the future. PRICE STABILITY OR INFLATION STABILITY There appears to be some ambiguity in the wording of the resolution concerning what the Federal Reserve would be required to do once zero inflation is achieved: Should it aim at a constant price level over time (price level stability) or at zero inflation over time (inflation stability)? This distinction would become important after an unanticipated price level change. A stable price level objective would require that a period of deflation (inflation) follow a positive (negative) price level shock. As a consequence, this approach might imply a high level of volatility in short- to intermediate-run inflation. Alternatively, a zero-inflation objective would allow the price level to be permanently affected by a price level shock, while monetary policy would be geared toward permitting no further change in prices: that is, zero future inflation. This approach, by accommodating past price level movements, would involve less short-term volatility in inflation, but would permit more long-run inflation or deflation if shocks or policy errors tended to be one-sided. I personally prefer a policy of price level stability. First, in my view, the costs of inflation that I discussed earlier relate more closely to uncertainty about the long-run price level than to short- 8. For a discussion of the conceptual basis for this view, see Keith Blackburn and Michael Christensen, "Monetary Policy and Policy Credibility: Theories and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, vol. 27 (March 1989), pp. 1-45; and Alex Cukierman, "Central Bank Behavior and Credibility: Some Recent Theoretical Developments," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Review, vol. 68 (May 1986), pp. 5-17. Statements run inflation volatility. 9 Moreover, the credibility of a zero-inflation goal probably would be less than that of a price-level goal. Permitting the price level to drift (upward) under a zero-inflation goal inevitably would raise questions in the minds of the public as to whether the Federal Reserve was serious about controlling inflation or instead was losing control of long-run inflation through a series of "one-time" price-level adjustments. Finally, there is nothing to be gained, and a lot to be lost, by permitting the price level to drift over the long run. Permitting this drift in response to the influences of fiscal and monetary policies obviously would defeat the purpose of the resolution. In my view the appropriate response to a supply shock, such as the oil embargo of the mid-1970s, also is to maintain price stability in the long run. Following such a shock, real GNP inevitably must fall to reflect the decline in long-run potential output. This decline in output will occur no matter where the price level eventually ends up, and thus there is nothing to gain by allowing prices to rise in the long run. There are, however, short-run problems to consider. For example, a recession could result from attempts by the Federal Reserve to hold the price level constant immediately after a large oil price shock. This example shows why it is important for the Federal Reserve to have some flexibility in implementing the requirements of the resolution. "Draconian" effects on economic activity could be avoided by permitting some inflation for a time in the wake of the oil shock. The potential damage done by price-level uncertainty simultaneously could be avoided by monetary policies designed to produce a subsequent period of gradual deflation until the price level returned to its original level. Such an approach, once it became credible with the public, would remove the long-run uncertainty about the price level that damages the performance of the economy. 9. The one exception may be the problem of confusing price level and relative price movements in making economic decisions. This cost of inflation may be exacerbated more by a price level target than by an inflation target because the former would involve greater volatility in short-run inflation. However, this cost of inflation may be among the least onerous on my list, since information is readily available to businesses and individuals on the general price level each month. DEFINITION OF PRICE to Congress 149 STABILITY For the reasons just given, there may be some flexibility needed in the implementation of policies designed to achieve price stability. Thus, I support the concept of a functional definition instead of a specific numerical target. It might be argued that a numerical target would enhance the credibility of the objective, since the public then could measure Federal Reserve performance against a published standard. However, it would be difficult to define, in advance, a specific numerical target that reasonably could be adhered to over a long period of time into the future. First, there would be a great deal of debate over which particular price index to target, and all indexes most likely will not exhibit zero rates of change when "price stability" is achieved. Second, there may be upward biases in the price indexes because they may not adequately adjust for improvements in the quality of goods and services. This difficult-to-estimate bias should be reflected in a change in the price index that is greater than zero, but it would be difficult to estimate the appropriate size of the adjustment. 10 Third, a specific numerical target would reduce Federal Reserve flexibility in responding to relative price shocks. I already have discussed how an inflexible approach in such circumstances could lead to undesirable effects on economic activity. Of course, relying on a functional definition of price stability inevitably will lead to some debate over how the Federal Reserve's performance stacks up against its objective. This judgment will depend on the evaluation of a large number of different price indexes. Other considerations also could play a role. Does a recent supply shock justify the inflation observed in a given year? Have there been significant biases in price 10. See Paul A. Armknecht, "Quality Adjustment in the CPI and Methods to Improve It," in Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section (American Statistical Association, August 13-16, 1984), pp. 57-63; Martin Neil Baily and Robert J. Gordon, "The Productivity Slowdown, Measurement Issues, and the Explosion of Computer Power/'Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1988:2, pp. 347-431; and Robert J. Gordon, The Measurement of Durable Goods Prices (University of Chicago Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research, forthcoming). 150 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 indexes because of mismeasurement of quality change? These issues can be discussed and evaluated in the context of the Federal Reserve's semiannual policy report to the Congress, as specified in H.J. Res. 409. Although this process may not alleviate everyone's concerns, I would like to point out that specifying a numerical target that later had to be modified in view of unforeseen events might damage credibility more than acknowledging the need to retain some flexibility and judgment. Moreover, I am confident that credibility will develop as the evidence emerges that Federal Reserve policy actions actually are being guided by the resolution, and as the economy moves toward price stability. CONCLUSION To sum up, I enthusiastically support H.J. Res. 409. Eliminating inflation would be the most significant contribution that the Federal Reserve could make to the attainment of the highest possible standards of living in the United States and around the world. H.J. Res. 409 can assist the Federal Reserve in attaining this goal by stating that we should design policies to eliminate inflation within a prescribed deadline. Once this goal is achieved, I believe that monetary policy should be geared toward maintaining a stable price level, so that businesses and individuals do not need to be concerned about long-run inflation in making their economic decisions. • 151 Announcements NEW MEMBERS NAMED TO CONSUMER ADVISORY COUNCIL The Federal R e s e r v e Board named on January 25, 1990, eight new members to its Consumer Advisory Council to replace those m e m b e r s w h o s e terms have expired and designated a new chairman and vice chairman of the council for 1990. The C o n s u m e r Advisory Council was established by the Congress in 1976, at the suggestion of the Board, to advise the Board on the exercise of its duties u n d e r the Consumer Credit Protection Act and on other consumer-related matters. The thirty-member council meets three times a year. William E . O d o m , Chairman of the Board of the F o r d M o t o r Credit Company in Dearborn, Michigan, was designated chairman of the council, and J a m e s W . H e a d , Executive Director of the National E c o n o m i c Development and L a w Center in Berkeley, California, was designated vice chairman. T h e eight n e w m e m b e r s , named f o r staggered, three-year terms, are the following: George C. Galster Professor of Economics The College of Wooster Wooster, Ohio Kathleen E. Keest Staff Attorney National Consumer Law Center, Inc. Boston, Massachusetts Colleen D. McCarthy Executive Director Kansas City Neighborhood Alliance Kansas City, Missouri Bernard F. Parker, Jr. Executive Director Community Resource Projects Detroit, Michigan Nancy Harvey Steorts President Nancy Harvey Steorts & Associates Dallas, Texas T h e other m e m b e r s of the Council are the following: George H. Braasch Corporate General Counsel Spiegel, Inc. Oakbrook, Illinois Betty Tom Chu Chairman Trust Savings Bank Arcadia, California Cliff E. Cook Vice President and Compliance Officer Puget Sound National Bank Tacoma, Washington E. Thomas Garman Professor of Consumer Studies College of Human Resources Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Blacksburg, Virginia Jerry D. Craft Senior Vice President First National Bank of Atlanta Atlanta, Georgia Michael M. Greenfield Professor of Law Washington University St. Louis, Missouri Donald C. Day President New England Securities Corp. Boston, Massachusetts Deborah B. Goldberg Reinvestment Specialist on the Neighborhood Revitalization Project Center for Community Change Washington, D.C. R.B. Dean, Jr. Administrator of Community and Consumer Affairs South Carolina National Bank Columbia, South Carolina 152 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 William C. Dunkelberg Dean of the School of Business & Management Temple University Philadelphia, Pennsylvania David B. Ward Consultant Beneficial Management Corp. Chester, New Jersey James Fletcher President and Director South Shore Bank of Chicago Chicago, Illinois Lawrence Winthrop President Consumer Credit Counseling Services of Oregon, Inc. Portland, Oregon Robert A. Hess President and General Manager Wright Patman Congressional Federal Credit Union Washington, D.C. Barbara Kaufman Co-Director of KCBS Call for Action San Francisco, California A.J. King Chairman and Vice President Valley Bank of Kalispell Kalispell, Montana Michelle S. Meier Counsel for Government Affairs Consumers Union Washington, D.C. Linda K. Page Director Ohio Department of Commerce Columbus, Ohio Sandra Phillips Executive Director Pittsburgh Partnership for Neighborhood Development Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Vincent P. Quayle Director St. Ambrose Housing Aid Center Baltimore, Maryland NEW MEMBERS APPOINTED TO THRIFT INSTITUTIONS ADVISORY COUNCIL The Federal Reserve Board announced on January 19, 1990, the names of the five new members appointed to its Thrift Institutions Advisory Council (TIAC) to replace those m e m b e r s whose terms have expired and designated a new President and Vice President of the council for 1990. The council is an advisory group made up of twelve representatives f r o m thrift institutions. The panel was established by the Board in 1980 and includes savings and loan, savings bank, and credit union representatives. The council meets at least four times each year with the Board of Governors to discuss developments relating to thrift institutions, the housing industry, mortgage finance, and certain regulatory issues. Donald B. Shackelford, Chairman of the Board of State Savings Bank, Columbus, Ohio, will serve as president of the council and Marion O. Sandler, President/Chief Executive Officer of World Savings and L o a n Association, Oakland, California, will serve as vice president. The five new m e m b e r s , named for two-year terms that began January 1, are the following: Clifford N. Rosenthal Executive Director National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions New York, New York David L. Hatfield President Fidelity Federal Savings and Loan Association Kalamazoo, Michigan Alan M. Silberstein Senior Vice President Chemical Bank New York, New York Lynn W. Hodge President and Chief Executive Officer United Savings Bank Inc. Greenwood, South Carolina Ralph E. Spurgin President and Chief Executive Officer Limited Credit Services, Inc. Columbus, Ohio Elliott K. Knutson Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Washington Federal Savings and Loan Association Seattle, Washington Announcements John Wm. Laisle President MidFirst Bank SSB Oklahoma City, Oklahoma John A. Pancetti Chairman and Chief Executive Officer The Manhattan Savings Bank New York, New York The other members of the Council are the following: Charlotte Chamberlain Vice Chairman New America Saving Los Angeles, California Adam A. Jahns Chairman and President Cragin Federal Bank for Savings Chicago, Illinois H.C. Klein President and General Manager Little Rock AFB Federal Credit Union Jacksonville, Arkansas Philip E. Lamb Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Springfield Institution for Savings Springfield, Massachusetts Charles B. Stuzin Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer Citizens Federal Savings and Loan Association Miami, Florida INCOME AND EXPENSES OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Preliminary figures released on January 9, 1990, indicate that operating income of the Federal Reserve Banks amounted to $22,230 billion during 1989. Net income before dividends, additions to surplus, and payments to the Treasury totaled $21,888 billion. About $21.6 billion was paid to the U.S. Treasury during 1989. Federal Reserve System income is derived primarily from interest earned on U.S. government securities that the Federal Reserve has acquired through open market operations. Income from the provision of financial services amounted to $702 million. 153 Operating expenses of the twelve Reserve Banks and their Branches totaled $1,331 billion, including $147 million for the earnings credits granted to depository institutions under the Monetary Control Act of 1980. Assessments by the Board of Governors for Board expenditures totaled $90 million, and the cost of currency amounted to $175 million. Net additions to income amounted to $1,296 billion, primarily resulting from gains on assets denominated in foreign currencies. Statutory dividends to member banks were $130 million; and payments to the Treasury amounted to $21,627 billion. Under the policy established by the Board of Governors at the end of 1964, all net income after the statutory dividend to member banks and the amount necessary to equate surplus to paid-in capital is transferred to the U.S. Treasury as interest on Federal Reserve notes. REVISED LIST OF OTC STOCKS SUBJECT TO MARGIN REGULATIONS NOW AVAILABLE The Federal Reserve Board published on January 26, 1990, a revised list of over-the-counter (OTC) stocks that are subject to its margin regulations, effective February 12, 1990. This revised List of Marginable OTC Stocks supersedes the list that was effective on November 13, 1989. The changes that have been made to the list, which now includes 2,859 OTC stocks, are as follows: • Seventy stocks have been included for the first time, sixty-three under National Market System (NMS) designation. • Forty-six stocks previously on the list have been removed for substantially failing to meet the requirements for continued listing. • Fifty-eight stocks have been removed for reasons such as listing on a national securities exchange or involvement in an acquisition. This list is published by the Board for the information of lenders and the general public. It includes all OTC securities designated by the Board pursuant to its established criteria as well as all stocks designated as NMS securities for which transaction reports are required to be 154 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 made pursuant to an effective transaction reporting plan. Additional OTC securities may be designated as NMS securities in the interim between the Board's quarterly publications and will be immediately marginable. The next publication of the Board's list is scheduled for April 1990. Besides NMS-designated securities, the Board will continue to monitor the market activity of other OTC stocks to determine which stocks meet the requirements for inclusion and continued inclusion on the list. CHANGE IN BOARD STAFF William C. Schneider, Jr., has been appointed to the Office of Staff Director for Management as Project Director of the National Information Center (NIC), effective January 12, 1990. Before this appointment, Mr. Schneider served as Vice President at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. He holds an M.B.A. in Computer Science from George Mason University. 155 Legal Developments FINAL RULE—AMENDMENT G, T, U AND X TO REGULATIONS The Board of Governors is amending 12 C.F.R. Parts 207, 220, 221 and 224, its Securities Credit Transactions; List of Marginable OTC Stocks. The List of Marginable OTC Stocks is comprised of stocks traded over-the-counter (OTC) that have been determined by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System to be subject to the margin requirements under certain Federal Reserve regulations. The List is published four times a year by the Board as a guide for lenders subject to the regulations and the general public. This document sets forth additions to or deletions from the previously published List which was effective November 13, 1989, and will serve to give notice to the public about the changed status of certain stocks. Effective February 12, 1990, accordingly, pursuant to the authority of sections 7 and 23 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (15 U.S.C. §§ 78g and 78w), and in accordance with 12 C.F.R. 207.2(k) and 207.6(c) (Regulation G), 12 C.F.R. 220.2(s) and 220.17(c) (Regulation T), and 12 C.F.R. 221.2(j) and 221.7(c) (Regulation U), there is set forth below a listing of deletions from and additions to the Board's List of Marginable OTC Stocks: City Investing Company Liquidating Trust: Units of beneficial interest Columbia Pictures Entertainment, Inc.: Warrants (expire 06-01-92) Commercial Decal, Inc.: $.20 par common Commodore Environmental Services, Inc.: $.10 par common Connaught Biosciences Inc.: No par common Constar International, Inc.: Warrants (expire 11-13-89) Entree Corporation: $.01 par common First American Bank and Trust of Palm Beach County: Class A, $1.00 par common Flight International Group, Inc.: $.01 par common Fonar Corporation: $.0001 par common Frances Denney Companies, Inc.: $.01 par common Frontier Savings Association: $.80 par capital Harvard Knitwear, Inc.: $.001 par common Hauserman, Inc.: $1.00 par common High Plains Corporation: $.10 par common Kimmons Environmental Service Corp.: 9% convertible subordinated debentures Kurzweil Music Systems, Inc.: $.001 par common Deletions From the List of Marginable OTC Stocks Lyphomed, Inc.: $.01 par common, 5-Vi% convertible subordinated debentures Stocks R e m o v e d For Failing Continued Listing Requirements Macrochem Corporation: $.005 par common Management Assistance Inc. Liquidating Trust: Units of beneficial interest McM Corporation: $1.00 par common Medical Sterilization, Inc.: $.01 par common Monoclonal Antibodies, Inc.: N o par common 3CI Incorporated: $.01 par common ABQ Corporation: $.01 par common AFP Imaging Corporation: $.01 par common American Savings & Loan Association of Florida: $.01 par preferred Braniff, Inc.: $.01 par common Brown, Robert C. & Co., Inc.: $.01 par common Central Bancorporation: $1.67 par common Chemex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.: $.01 par common, 1989-1 Warrants (expire 03-31-94) Northern Trust Corporation: Series B, no par preferred stock Pantera's Corporation: $.01 par common Plains Resources Inc.: $1.00 par cumulative convertible preferred Ports of Call, Inc.: $.20 par common Priam Corporation: $.001 par common Properties of America, Inc.: $.01 par common 156 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Rentrak Corp.: $.001 par common Rudy's Restaurant Group, Inc.: $.01 par common International Genetic Engineering, Inc.: No par common Scanforms, Inc.: $.01 par common Silvar-Lisco: No par common Skipper's Inc.: $.10 par common Jefferson Smurfit Corporation: $1.00 par common Unifast Industries, Inc.: $.01 par common Management Science America, Inc.: $.0025 par common Marine Transport Lines, Inc.: $.10 par common Mayfair Super Markets, Inc.: Class A, $.01 par common Microbilt Corporation: No par common Midwest Financial Group, Inc.: $5.00 par common Yorkridge-Calvert Savings and Loan Association (Maryland): $1.00 par common Stocks Removed for Listing on a National Securities Exchange or Being Involved in an Acquisition Alco Health Services Corporation: $.01 par common Alliance Financial Corporation: $10.00 par common American Home Shield Corporation: $.04 par common American Savings Financial Corporation (Washington): $1.00 par common Associated Natural Gas Corp.: $.10 par common Beaman Corporation: $1.00 par common Clinical Sciences, Inc.: $.01 par common CMS Enhancements, Inc.: $.01 par common Coast Federal Savings and Loan Association (Florida): $.01 par common Convex Computer Corporation: $.01 par common Crawford & Company: $1.00 par common CVB Financial Corp.: No par common CVN Companies, Inc.: No par common Digilog, Inc.: $.01 par common Dumagami Mines Limited: $1.00 par common Dunkin' Donuts Inc.: $1.00 par common Dyatron Corporation: $.66-% par common E.I.L. Instruments, Inc.: $.10 par common Elan Corporation PLC: American Depositary Receipts Leo's Industries, Inc.: $.001 par common Noxell Corporation: Class B, non-voting, $1.00 par common Numerex Corporation: $.01 par common Pace Membership Warehouse, Inc.: $.01 par common Pacific First Financial Corp.: $1.00 par common Pacific Silver Corporation: $.25 par common Peoples Savings Bank F.S.B.: $1.00 par common Praxis Biologies, Inc.: $.01 par common Precision Castparts Corp.: No par common Ravenswood Financial Corp.: $1.00 par common Reisterstown Federal Savings Bank (Maryland): $1.00 par common Resurgens Communications Group, Inc.: $.01 par common Rhone-Poulenc S.A.: American Depositary Receipts Richton International Corp.: $.10 par common RSI Corporation: $.05 par common Safecard Services, Inc.: $.01 par common SAG Harbor Savings Bank (New York): $1.00 par common Security American Financial Enterprises, Inc.: $.10 par common Starpointe Savings Bank: $2.00 par common Stratus Computer, Inc.: $.01 par common First Banc Securities, Inc.: $5.00 par common First Ohio Bancshares, Inc.: $6.25 par common Trustcorp, Inc.: $1.00 par common Gen-Probe Incorporated: $.01 par common Guber-Peters Entertainment Company, The: $.01 par common Weisfield's, Inc.: $2.00 par capital Westmarc Communications, Inc.: Class A, $.01 par common H.M.S.S., Inc.: $.01 par common HCC Industries Inc.: $.10 par common Hibernia Corporation: Class A, no par common Howard Bancorp: $5.00 par common Additions to the List of Marginable OTC Stocks Inca Resources, Inc.: No par common Allied Capital Corporation II: $1.00 par common American Capital and Research Corporation: Class A, $.01 par common Legal Developments 157 Amtech Corporation: $.01 par common Aztar Corporation: $.01 par common MAF Bancorp, Inc.: $1.00 par common MIPS Computer Systems, Inc.: No par common BKLA Bancorp: N o par common Borland International, Inc.: $.01 par common Boston Technology, Inc.: $.001 par common BT Shipping Limited: American Depositary Receipts New Horizons Savings & Loan Association: No par common Nucorp, Inc.: Class C, Warrants (expire 06-30-91) Caere Corporation: $.001 par common Candela Laser Corporation: $.01 par common Cellular Information Systems, Inc.: Class A, $.01 par common Century South Banks, Inc.: No par common Continental Gold Corporation: No par common Cray Computer Corporation: $.01 par common Cupertino National Bancorp: No par common Cytogen Corporation: $.01 par convertible exchangeable preferred Economy Savings Bank, PASA: $1.00 par common Energy Ventures, Inc.: $1.00 par common Exabyte Corporation: $.001 par common Exide Electronics Group, Inc.: $.01 par common Financial Center Bancorp: No par common First American Financial Corporation, The: Class B, $1.00 par common First Bank of Philadelphia: $2.00 par common First Federal Capital Corp.: $.01 par common G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.: $.01 par common Gehl Company: $.10 par common Great Southern Bancorp, Inc.: $.01 par common Harmonia Bancorp, Inc.: $.01 par common Healthsource, Inc.: $.10 par common Henley Group, Inc., The (Delaware): $.01 par common Home Nutritional Services, Inc.: No par common Hycor Biomedical Inc.: $.01 par common Ilio, Inc.: $.01 par common, Warrants (expire 10-25-92) Immunogen, Inc.: $.01 par common Industrial Funding Corporation: Class A, no par common Keegan Management Company: $.001 par common Knowledge ware, Inc.: N o par common Landmark Bancorp: No par common Laserscope: No par common Lattice Semiconductor Corporation: common $.01 par Pacific Bank, N.A., The: $5.00 par common Pamrapo Bancorp, Inc.: $.01 par common Parametric Technology Corporation: $.01 par common People's Telephone Company, Inc.: $.01 par common Pinnacle Financial Services, Inc.: $10.00 par common Players International, Inc.: $.005 par common Procyte Corporation: $.01 par common Ramtron Australia Limited: American Depositary Receipts Receptech Corporation: Paired common stock & a Warrant Ren Corporation - USA: N o par common Robec, Inc.: $.01 par common Sierra Tucson Companies, Inc.: $.01 par common Smith International, Inc.: Class A, Warrants (expire 02-28-95) Solectron Corporation: No par common Summit Technology, Inc.: $.01 par common Sun Sportswear, Inc.: No par common T2 Medical, Inc.: $.01 par common TW Holdings, Inc.: No par common United Artists Entertainment Company: 12.875%, no par cumulative convertible preferred Urcarco, Inc.: $.01 par common Ventura County National Bancorp: No par common Village Financial Services, Inc.: $.01 par common Westcott Communications, Inc.: $.01 par common Workmen's Bancorp, Inc.: $1.00 par common Yes Clothing Company: No par common FINAL RULE—AMENDMENT TO RULES REGARDING FOREIGN GIFTS AND DECORATIONS The Board of Governors is amending 12 C.F.R. Part 264b, its Rules Regarding Foreign Gifts and Decorations. Congress has permitted federal government employees to accept gifts from foreign governments in amounts up to a "minimal value" that is to be established by the Government Services Administration ("GSA") in consultation with the Secretary of State. 158 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 The GSA's regulations currently establish "minimal value" to be $180, while the Board's Rules Regarding Foreign Gifts and Regulations set "minimal value" at $100. Accordingly, this amendment will change the Board's definition of "minimal value" by increasing it to $180 or such higher amount as might be established by the GSA. Effective January 29, 1990, and pursuant to the Board's authority under section ll(i) of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. § 248(i)), 12 C.F.R. Part 264b is amended as follows: Part 264b—Rules Regarding Foreign Gifts and Decorations 1. The authority citation for Part 264b continues to read as follows: Authority: 5 U.S.C. § 7342, as amended; and section ll(i) of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. § 248(i)); 5 U.S.C. § 552. 2. In section 264b.3 paragraph (a) is revised to read as follows: Section 264b.3—Foreign gifts. (a) Gifts of minimal value. If not otherwise prohibited by Board regulations, Board members and employees may accept and retain a tangible or intangible gift of minimal value, intended as a souvenir or mark of courtesy, from a foreign government. A gift of minimal value is one having a retail value in the United States at the time of acceptance not in excess of $180 (or such higher amount established in 41 C.F.R. Part 101-49). ORDERS ISSUED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT Orders Issued Under Section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Toronto, Ontario, Canada The Royal Bank of Canada Montreal, Quebec, Canada Barclays PLC London, England Barclays Bank PLC London, England Order Approving Applications to Engage, to a Limited Extent, in Underwriting and Dealing in Debt and Equity Securities Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Toronto, Ontario, Canada ("Canadian Imperial"), The Royal Bank of Canada, Montreal, Quebec, Canada ("Royal Bank"), and Barclays PLC and Barclays Bank PLC, London, England ("Barclays") (together referred to as "Applicants"), bank holding companies within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), have each applied for the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act, 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8), and section 225.23(a)(3) of the Board's Regulation Y, 12 C.F.R. 225.23(a)(3), for their indirect subsidiaries, Wood Gundy Corp., RBC Dominion Securities Corporation, and Barclays de Zoete Wedd Government Securities, Inc., respectively, each located in New York, New York ("Companies"), to underwrite and deal in, on a limited basis, all types of debt securities, including without limitation, sovereign debt securities, corporate debt, debt securities convertible into equity securities, and securities issued by a trust or other vehicle secured by or representing interests in debt obligations. In addition, Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank have each applied for approval to underwrite and deal in equity securities, including, without limitation, common stock, preferred stock, American Depositary Receipts, and other direct and indirect equity ownership interests in corporations and other entities.1 Notice of the applications, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments on the proposals, has been duly published (54 Federal Register 25,173; 54 Federal Register 29,388; 54 Federal Register 26,252 (1989)). The Board received comments in opposition to approval of all the applications from the Securities Industry Association ("SIA"), a trade association of the investment banking industry, and in opposition to approval of the application of Royal Bank from the Investment Company Institute ("ICI"), a trade association of the mutual fund industry. The Board also received comments in support of the proposals from the Institute of International Bankers, the Bankers' Association for Foreign Trade, and the Bank Capital Markets Association. 1. Applicants have not proposed to underwrite or deal in securities issued by open-end investment companies and, accordingly, may not do so without further application under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank have proposed to underwrite and deal in securities issued by closed-end investment companies. Legal Developments Canadian Imperial has total consolidated assets equivalent to approximately $82.6 billion.2 Canadian Imperial owns bank subsidiaries in Los Angeles, California, and New York, New York, and operates agencies in Atlanta, New York City, Los Angeles, and San Francisco. Royal Bank has total consolidated assets equivalent to approximately $96.0 billion. Royal Bank owns bank subsidiaries in New York, New York, and San Juan, Puerto Rico, and operates branches in Portland, Oregon, New York City, and Puerto Rico and agencies in Miami and San Francisco. Barclays has total consolidated assets equivalent to approximately $196.1 billion.3 Barclays owns bank subsidiaries in New York City, Wilmington, Delaware, and Charlotte, North Carolina, and operates branches in New York, Boston, Seattle, and Chicago and agencies in San Francisco and Miami. I. Glass-Steagall Act Applicants have previously received Board approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act for Companies to underwrite and deal in securities that member banks are authorized to underwrite and deal in under the Glass-Steagall Act4 (hereinafter "eligible securities") and to engage in various other activities permissible for bank holding companies. In order to ensure that Companies would not be engaged principally in underwriting or dealing in securities in violation of section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act5 upon commencing the proposed debt and equity securities activities, each Company will limit the gross revenues derived from these activities to no more than 10 percent of its total gross revenues over any two-year period.6 The Board has previously determined that a company would not be in violation of section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act if the gross revenue the company derived from underwriting and dealing in ineligible securities does not exceed between 5 and 10 percent of the company's total gross revenues on average over any two-year period. CiticorplJ.P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated1 Bankers Trust New York Corporation, 73 Federal 2. Unless otherwise noted, asset data are as of April 30, 1989. 3. Asset data are as of June 30, 1989. 4. Other types of securities, which member banks may not underwrite deal in under the Glass-Steagall Act, are referred to herein as "ineligible securities". 5. 12 U.S.C. § 377. Section 20 provides that ". . . no member bank shall be affiliated . . . with any . . . organization engaged principally in the issue, flotation, underwriting, public sale, or distribution at wholesale or retail or through syndication of stocks, bonds, debentures, notes, or other securities . . . ." 6. Compliance with the revenue limits shall be calculated in the manner set forth in J. P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, et al., 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 192, 196-197 (1989). 159 Reserve Bulletin 473, 485 (1987).7 Accordingly, the Board concludes that Applicants' proposals would be consistent with section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act. II. Bank Holding Company Act In order to approve an application under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act, the Board must find that the activities to be conducted are "so closely related to banking . . . as to be a proper incident thereto." 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). In January 1989, the Board determined that bank holding companies, through separately incorporated and capitalized subsidiaries ("section 20 subsidiaries" or "underwriting subsidiaries"), may underwrite and deal in ineligible debt and equity securities, subject to the 5 to 10 percent revenue limit established under the Glass-Steagall Act. J.P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, et al., 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 192 (1989) (the "section 20 Order"). The Board concluded that these activities are closely related to banking and a proper incident thereto, provided that the activities are conducted within a framework of prudential limitations that avoid the potential for conflicts of interest, unsound banking practices, unfair competition and other adverse effects.8 In reaching this decision, the Board found that the proposals could be expected to result in public benefits such as increased competition, gains in efficiency, greater convenience to users of these services and a strengthened and more competitive banking and financial system. Applicants have proposed for Companies to conduct the new activities within the prudential framework of limitations established by the Board in the section 20 Order. They have requested, however, certain modifications to that framework, which are discussed below, to account for the fact that each Applicant is a foreign bank that operates predominately outside the United States. Applicants' requests for modification raise issues under the BHC Act and the framework established in the section 20 Order because, unlike U.S. bank holding companies, Applicants are both banks and bank holding companies. The framework established in the section 20 Order required a separation of federallyinsured bank or thrift institutions from an affiliated 7. That decision has been affirmed by the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit. Securities Industry Ass'n v. Board of Governors, 839 F.2d 47, 67, cert, denied, 108 S.Ct. 2830 (1988). See also Press Release, dated September 21, 1989, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 751 (1989), raising the revenue limitation for section 20 subsidiaries from 5 to 10 percent. 8. The Board hereby adopts and incorporates herein by reference the reasoning and analysis from that Order for these findings, except as that reasoning and analysis is specifically modified by this Order to account for the particular circumstances of these cases. 160 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 section 20 subsidiary in order both to insulate U.S.insured institutions and the federal safety net from the risk of the section 20 subsidiary's activities and for reasons of competitive equity in the United States. Although as banks, Applicants are not supported to any significant extent by the U.S. federal safety net, they have access to any benefits that are associated with their respective home country safety nets, from which they may derive some competitive advantage over U.S. bank holding companies operating under the section 20 framework or other U.S. securities firms. Rigid application of the section 20 framework to Applicants as banks, however, would prevent them generally from being able to establish section 20 subsidiaries in the United States unless they adopted a holding company structure. The International Banking Act of 1978 ("IBA"), 12 U.S.C. §3101 et seq., established that foreign banks were to operate in the United States under the principle of national treatment. National treatment in this context calls for parity of treatment between domestic and foreign banking organizations to the extent possible such that one group does not have competitive advantages relative to the other in the United States. In order to assist in achieving this objective, the IBA provided that any foreign bank that operates a bank, branch or agency in the United States "shall be subject to the provisions of the Bank Holding Company Act . . . in the same manner and to the same extent that bank holding companies are subject thereto . . ." 12 U.S.C. § 3106(a). The legislative history of the IBA states that this was "to insure competitive equality by allowing foreign financial institutions to expand their U.S. banking-related activities in accordance with the same standards applicable to domestic bank holding companies. . . . [T]he bill does not affect the type or scope of a foreign bank's nondomestic business." S. Rep. No. 1073, 95th Cong., 2d Sess. 15 (1978). Applicants have asserted that some of the conditions established in the section 20 Order were imposed on domestic bank holding companies for supervisory reasons and that such conditions should not be applicable to the operations of Applicants. Consequently, they have requested modification of certain conditions, principally those that apply to their non-U.S. operations. Without appropriate modifications, Applicants assert, the conditions of the section 20 Order would be an extraterritorial extension of U.S. regulation and supervision, which would be inconsistent with U.S. policy and international agreements on bank supervision. The Board has carefully considered Applicants' requests and has determined that, consistent with the IBA and its policy of national treatment, foreign banks must conduct the proposed activities in the United States within the framework of prudential limitations established in the section 20 Order. Giving due regard to the principles of national treatment and the Board's policy not to extend U.S. bank supervisory standards extraterritorially, the Board has determined, as discussed further below, to adjust the funding and certain operational requirements of the section 20 Order where these adjustments would not change the balance of public interest factors that the Board considered in the section 20 Order or cause adverse effects to outweigh public benefits. Consistent with the terms and objectives of the BHC Act and the IBA, the conditions to which the Board believes Applicants should be subject are designed to ensure that the prudential, competitive equity, safety net and prevention of moral hazard objectives of the conditions continue to be met; that U.S. regulation does not interfere with the operations of foreign banks outside the United States; and that foreign bank applicants will not have any significant competitive advantage in the United States over section 20 subsidiaries and nonbank-owned securities firms. To achieve these ends, the Board has determined that: (1) the prudential framework of the section 20 Order will apply without modification to the U.S. bank and thrift affiliates of Applicants' underwriting subsidiaries; (2) the framework will also generally cover U.S. branches and agencies of Applicants; (3) the Applicants, insofar as their foreign offices and operations are concerned, will be treated as bank holding companies for purposes of the framework consistent with the IBA; and (4) the responsibility for compliance with the framework will be placed on the section 20 subsidiaries in order to avoid U.S. regulation having an extraterritorial impact. The Board recognizes that this modified framework raises certain issues of compatibility with that established for U.S.-owned section 20 subsidiaries, principally in the area of bank funding and investment. For example, under the modified framework, a foreign bank may establish and fund a section 20 subsidiary, while a U.S. bank may not. While there could be potential advantages accruing to Applicants through this differing structure, the Board believes that any advantage would not be significant in light of the effect on them of the overall section 20 framework and the circumstances of these cases, and should not preclude foreign bank ownership of section 20 subsidiaries. The Board notes that the Legal Developments absolute size of the ineligible securities activities of section 20 companies owned by foreign banks will generally be small, as they will necessarily be constrained by the 10 percent revenue limitation established by the Board. The base of eligible securities activities against which to measure ineligible securities activities is derived mainly from U.S. government securities, which do not form as relatively large or as natural an asset base for foreign banks as they do for U.S. banking organizations. In addition, foreign banks in their capacity as bank holding companies will be subject to the provisions of the section 20 Order requiring a bank holding company to deduct from its capital investments in and unsecured lending to a section 20 subsidiary. Finally, the U.S. operations of the foreign bank will be subject to the provisions of the section 20 Order to the same extent as U.S.-owned and section 20 subsidiaries, and, significantly, a foreign-owned section 20 subsidiary may not utilize the credit facilities of its foreign bank parent to gain an advantage over U.S. firms in its securities underwriting and dealing activities. The Board notes that this assessment could change with a significant change in the factors considered by the Board, such as if the size of section 20 companies becomes significant, due to an increase in the revenue limitations, a change in the law governing bank securities activities, or sizeable growth in the base of eligible securities. In such circumstances, the Board may reevaluate its position on these matters from the standpoint of the principles of national treatment. The modifications adopted by the Board to the section 20 framework as it applies to Applicant foreign banks are discussed below. Capital Adequacy Considerations In the section 20 Order, the Board stated that it would not permit any impairment in an applicant's financial strength as a result of the provision of capital or liquidity support for the proposed activities. The Board required that each bank holding company deduct from its consolidated primary capital any investments in, or unsecured extensions of credit to, the section 20 subsidiary9 and exclude from its total consolidated assets the assets of the section 20 subsidiary. This requirement was designed to ensure that the holding company maintains a strong capital position to support its subsidiary banks and that the resources 9. The applicants were required to deduct any loans extended directly or indirectly to the section 20 subsidiary that were not fully secured by U.S. government or other marketable securities in the same manner and to the same extent as would be applicable in the case of member bank loans or extensions of credit to an affiliate under section 23A(c) of the Federal Reserve Act. 12 U.S.C. § 371c(c). 161 needed for that support would not be put at risk to fund the expanded securities activities.10 Applicants have proposed that, in the case of a foreign bank seeking to establish a section 20 company, the proper authority to assess capital adequacy is the home country supervisor, using its own capital guidelines consistent with the standards established by the Basle Committee on Banking Regulations and Supervisory Practices. The Board has adopted guidelines consistent with these standards and considers the Basle Accord an important step toward a more consistent and equitable international standard for assessing capital adequacy.11 In 1979, the Board adopted a Policy Statement on Foreign-Based Bank Holding Companies12 that states a foreign bank with U.S. banking operations is expected to meet the same general standards of financial strength as U.S. bank holding companies. The Board recognized, however, that foreign banks operate outside the United States in accordance with different banking practices and in different legal environments, and that the Board's supervisory responsibilities extend only to the safety and soundness of U.S. banking operations. The Board stated that, consistent with the principles of the BHC Act and the IBA, its policy is not to extend U.S. bank supervisory standards extraterritorially to foreign banks. Rather, the Board would seek to assure itself of the foreign bank's ability to be a source of strength to its U.S. operations. In light of the Board's policy with respect to foreign bank holding companies and the endorsement and implementation of the Basle Accord by the Applicants' home country regulators, the Board has considered the following in assessing Applicants' capital positions: both before and after deduction of investments in and unsecured loans to the section 20 subsidiary, each Applicant meets the risk-based capital standards established by its home country supervisor under the Basle Accord; each is in good standing with the home country supervisor; the U.S. offices, subsidiary banks, and any subsidiary U.S. holding company of Applicants are in generally satisfactory condition; and all other financial and managerial factors are consistent with the capability of each Applicant to remain a source of strength to its U.S. banking operations. One of the conditions of the section 20 Order is that the section 20 subsidiary maintain at all times capital adequate to support its activity and cover reasonably 10. In accordance with the new Risk-Based Capital Guidelines, the applicants were required to take 50 percent of the deductions from Tier 1 capital and 50 percent from Tier 2 capital. 11. See 54 Federal Register 4186 (1989). 12. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service 1 4-835. 1 162 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 expected expenses and losses in accordance with industry norms. The Board has reviewed the capitalization of each of the section 20 subsidiaries and believes that each is adequate in light of its business plan which, at the outside, projects a modest increase in outstanding ineligible securities positions. Barclays notes that additional capitalization of its section 20 subsidiary may be necessary, and has committed to increase capital in the securities subsidiary in early 1991 if, at year end 1990, the subsidiary's assets have grown to the size projected. The section 20 subsidiaries of Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank may also have a need for increased capital if their businesses grow beyond current projections. Accordingly, and subject to any commitments related to capital, approval of these activities is limited to a level consistent with the projections of position size and types of securities contained in each of the applications unless the section 20 subsidiaries receive an appropriate infusion of additional capital. The Board notes that Applicants have an ongoing responsibility under the Board's regulations to continue to act as a source of financial strength to their U.S. subsidiary banks. 12 C.F.R. 225.4(a). Under this rule, Applicants are expected to manage their operations, including their section 20 subsidiaries, in such a way as not to compromise or prejudice their ability to continue to act as a source of strength to their U.S. subsidiary banks and thrifts. Funding of Section 20 Subsidiaries In addition to these capital adequacy considerations, the Board determined in the section 20 Order that the broadening in the scope of permissible securities activities required a prohibition on lending by a bank or thrift affiliate to the section 20 subsidiary, as well as a prohibition on the purchase and sale of financial assets between these institutions for their own account, subject to limited exceptions for clearing U.S. government and agency securities and the purchase and sale of U.S. Treasury securities. The purpose of the prohibitions is to limit the transfer of risk from the securities activities to the federal safety net, both to protect the resources of the federal safety net and to prevent a securities company affiliated with a bank from gaining an unfair competitive advantage over securities companies that are not bank-affiliated. The section 20 Order permitted a bank holding company to provide secured and unsecured credit to an underwriting subsidiary. In these cases, Applicants are not only bank holding companies within the meaning of the BHC Act but are also banks that have access to deposits in the United States and abroad and have the benefits of the safe guards that most countries afford to their banking systems. Unlike the typical U.S. banking organization structure, foreign banking institutions are not generally organized in a holding company structure. The foreign bank itself is generally the parent organization.13 Applicants argue that, in light of this organizational structure, the foreign bank parent is the only ultimate source of support for the operations of the section 20 subsidiary. Accordingly, Applicants contend, a determination by the Board that the foreign bank parent could not fund its section 20 subsidiary through loans or investments because it is a bank would have the effect of preventing foreign banks from establishing section 20 subsidiaries in the United States unless they adopted the U.S. holding company structure. As previously noted, the Board has considered the implications of modifying the section 20 conditions to permit extensions of credit and other support by a foreign bank to its section 20 subsidiary in light of the purposes of the prohibition against such support by a bank affiliate. Because funds of a foreign bank that are generated from abroad are not federally insured, and the foreign bank itself does not have access to the discount window, the provision of support by a foreign bank to its underwriting subsidiary from outside the United States would not directly implicate the federal safety net. In addition, for the reasons discussed above, it does not appear that the ability to provide such support would give securities companies owned by foreign banks a significant competitive advantage over domestically-owned companies. Moreover, whether or not a funding advantage exists by virtue of Applicants' status as banks, U.S. securities companies, whether or not affiliated with a U.S. bank, may borrow from foreign bank affiliates. The Board notes that certain of the largest U.S. investment banking companies are affiliated with foreign banks from which they may obtain credit. In the case of a U.S. bank holding company that directly owns a foreign bank, the section 20 conditions would not prohibit loans by that foreign bank affiliate to an underwriting subsidiary in the United States, subject to the lending and capital deduction requirements established in the section 20 Order, which are applicable also to the foreign bank Applicants. Accordingly, in light of these considerations and consistent with the IBA, the Board has determined that Applicant foreign banks should be able to lend to their section 20 subsidiaries in accordance with their status as bank holding companies. The restrictions 13. In some cases, this organizational structure is required by the home country's laws governing ownership of banks. Legal Developments against lending and purchasing or selling assets will apply, however, to all of Applicants' U.S. banking offices, including their U.S. bank and thrift subsidiaries, branches, and agencies. Barclays has requested modification of the section 20 conditions in order to lend to its section 20 subsidiary through its U.S. branches. In support of the request, Barclays notes that the deposits in its U.S. branches are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and Barclays is expected by the Federal Reserve to call on home country resources before seeking credit at the discount window. Therefore, according to Barclays, the U.S. federal safety net would not be exposed even if Barclays' U.S. branches were to lend to its section 20 subsidiary. The Board has considered this request and has determined that an exception to the section 20 Order to permit U.S. branches of foreign banks to lend to the section 20 subsidiaries would not be appropriate. Although their deposits are not FDIC-insured, these offices are part of the U.S. financial structure and have statutory access to the discount window and payments system. Moreover, in the Board's view, lending to a section 20 subsidiary from a U.S. branch is inconsistent with, and could potentially undermine, the framework that the Board has adopted for the operation of the section 20 companies in the United States. Compliance with Capital and Funding Conditions In the section 20 Order, the Board required that any funds supplied to a section 20 subsidiary by the holding company or its nonbank subsidiaries, whether in the form of capital, secured or unsecured loans or transfer of assets, be subject to prior notice to and approval by the Board. The Board imposed this requirement as a method to ensure compliance with the condition that requires a bank holding company to deduct from capital any investments in and unsecured lending to its section 20 subsidiary. In this manner, the Board could assure itself that any funds necessary to support a bank holding company's bank or thrift subsidiaries would not be diverted to fund the activities of the section 20 subsidiary. The Board stated that it would consider requests for prior approval of specific quantitative levels of funding by a holding company for a section 20 subsidiary in accordance with the particular holding company's capitalization and resources and the requirements outlined in the section 20 Order. Applicants have requested modification to this condition to permit them to fund their section 20 subsidiaries without prior notice. Applicants argue that this requirement was designed to protect the safety and soundness of the U.S. banking system; accordingly, it 163 should not be necessary to extend its application to the foreign offices and subsidiaries of Applicants, which are supervised by home country authorities. The Board has considered Applicants' arguments and believes that, while the home country supervisors have primary responsibility for the financial soundness of Applicants, it is an appropriate concern of the Board to ensure that Applicants' investments in and liquidity support for section 20 companies do not adversely affect their ability to support their U.S. insured subsidiary banks and other U.S. banking operations in accordance with the Board's source of strength policy. Accordingly and consistent with the general approach to these applications outlined above, the Board has determined not to grant Applicants an exception from the requirement for prior approval for additional investments in or loans or transfers of assets to the section 20 subsidiary. This requirement is not expected to impose a significant burden as each Applicant has requested approval for investments and funding in amounts that should be adequate for its section 20 company's operations for the next several years. The Board recognizes that the capital deduction for unsecured lending and prior approval requirements for bank holding companies raise a number of difficult and complex issues for foreign bank applicants that, as noted, need not be definitively or finally resolved by the specific factual setting of the present applications. The Board believes that these requirements are issues of concern to both domestic and foreign applicants that implicate significant banking structure policies. In light of the concerns raised by this issue, the Board intends to review this requirement generally to determine whether it need be retained for domestic and foreign applicants. Credit Enhancement and Loans to Customers In the section 20 Order, the Board established several limitations on extensions of credit by the applicants or their subsidiaries to customers of the section 20 subsidiaries. The Board provided that bank holding companies and their subsidiaries may not extend credit or issue or enter into any facility that might be viewed as enhancing the creditworthiness or marketability of ineligible securities underwritten or distributed by the section 20 subsidiary, or make loans to issuers of ineligible securities underwritten by the section 20 subsidiaries for the purpose of payment of principal, interest, or dividends on such securities. Affiliates of section 20 subsidiaries also could not knowingly extend credit to a customer secured by, or for the purpose of purchasing, any ineligible security that the section 20 subsidiary underwrites during the period of 164 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 the underwriting and for 30 days thereafter, or to purchase from the section 20 subsidiary any ineligible security in which the subsidiary makes a market. These limitations were imposed in order to protect the soundness of U.S. banking institutions by removing improper incentives from the credit granting process. In addition, the limitations protect the federal safety net from the potential for abusive credit practices and prevent bank-affiliated securities companies from obtaining an unfair advantage over companies that are not affiliated with banks. Applicants argue that because the limitations were imposed primarily to protect the soundness of U.S. banking institutions and the federal safety net, they should not be applied to Applicants' non-U.S. operations in a manner that interferes with those operations or requires them to create costly new compliance systems. Applicants view such requirements not only as entailing substantial costs, but also as amounting to an unwarranted extraterritorial regulation of their nonU.S. operations. Applicants have suggested a number of alternatives to ensure compliance by their non-U.S. operations with the goals of the section 20 conditions. Credit Enhancements Although Applicants argue generally against the need for limitations on credit enhancements, each has agreed to comply fully with the conditions with respect to their U.S. operations. Barclays also committed to comply with the condition worldwide, while Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank proposed to comply worldwide with the restrictions when the section 20 subsidiary is the sole underwriter or lead or co-lead manager of an underwriting of ineligible securities. Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank contend that a section 20 subsidiary should not be prohibited from handling a small part of an underwriting that is managed by other securities companies simply because a foreign affiliate has provided credit enhancements for that issue. The Board is of the view that it is appropriate to adopt one general framework for foreign banks and section 20 subsidiaries, rather than to rely on individual and differing commitments from each foreign bank applicant. In considering the merits of Applicants' various arguments, the Board has determined not to grant an exception from the condition prohibiting an affiliate from providing credit enhancements for ineligible securities underwritten by a section 20 subsidiary. The Board, however, recognizes that a compliance requirement imposed on the foreign operations of Applicants could be viewed as having an inappropriate extraterritorial effect on their non-U.S. business. Consequently, the Board has determined that the objectives of the credit enhancement condition may be achieved by placing the restriction on the operations of the section 20 subsidiary, rather than on its non-U.S. affiliates. Accordingly, the section 20 company would be prohibited from underwriting any ineligible securities where it became aware, in the ordinary course of conducting a due diligence review, that an affiliate was providing a credit enhancement. Because virtually every credit facility that would enhance an issue of securities would be listed in the required disclosure documents for the issue, the section 20 subsidiary would be in a position to know if an affiliate is providing credit. Credit to Customers and Issuers Applicants offered various commitments with respect to the conditions prohibiting credit to customers to purchase ineligible securities underwritten or dealt in by the section 20 subsidiary or to issuers of ineligible securities underwritten by the section 20 subsidiary to pay the principal, interest, or dividends on those securities. Each Applicant committed to comply fully with these conditions in the United States. Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank committed to comply with the conditions worldwide in any instance in which the section 20 subsidiary is sole underwriter or lead or co-lead manager of an underwriting syndicate in respect of ineligible securities. Canadian Imperial also suggested that the prohibitions not apply to pre-existing or new lines of credit unless such lines were purposely marketed to an issuer in connection with the offering of services by the section 20 subsidiary. As with the condition prohibiting credit enhancements, the Board believes it is important to maintain these conditions relating to credit granted to customers and issuers. As in the previous condition, the Board also believes that it is appropriate to place the responsibility for compliance with these prohibitions on Applicants' section 20 subsidiaries rather than on their non-U.S. affiliates. Therefore, the section 20 subsidiary may not participate in any underwriting where it arranges for an affiliate to provide credit, or knowingly participates in any arrangement whereby an affiliate provides credit, to a customer or issuer for a prohibited purpose. This modification would limit the extraterritorial impact of establishing compliance procedures in the non-U. S. offices of the foreign banks, while also achieving the purposes of the conditions in the section 20 Order and preserving competitive equality. Purchase by Affiliate of Securities Underwritten by the Section 20 Subsidiary The section 20 Order did not permit bank holding companies or their subsidiaries to purchase, as princi- Legal Developments pal, ineligible securities underwritten by the section 20 subsidiaries during the period of the underwriting and for 60 days thereafter. The Order also prohibited the purchase from the section 20 subsidiary of any ineligible security in which it makes a market. The Board imposed these prohibitions in order to prevent a bank holding company from using its resources, to the detriment of its banking subsidiaries, to support a failing underwriting or ineligible securities in which the section 20 subsidiary makes a market. Royal Bank has proposed that this prohibition extend only to its U.S. subsidiaries, branches, and agencies. Canadian Imperial has put forward a more limited proposal, requesting only that Wood Gundy Inc., the Canadian parent company of its section 20 subsidiary, be exempt from the prohibition in order to permit the joint participation by Wood Gundy Inc. and the section 20 subsidiary in cross-border transactions. Barclays has requested that its foreign securities affiliates be permitted to purchase securities from the section 20 subsidiary at any time. The Board has considered these requests and has determined that it is not appropriate to modify this condition generally. The Board believes, however, that this limitation should be modified for all section 20 companies, both domestic and foreign-owned, in one limited respect. Canadian Imperial has argued that this restriction would potentially interfere with the effective distribution of securities that are issued in a simultaneous, cross-border offering. In such situations, where the securities are issued in two or more markets at the same time, a syndicate in each market commits to a portion of the issue. During the underwriting period, fluctuations in market conditions may enhance demand for the issue in one market and dampen demand in another. Intersyndicate agreements in such circumstances permit the sale of securities between syndicate members to ensure smooth and broad distribution of the securities. The Board believes that modifying this prohibition to permit purchases and sales of ineligible securities between affiliates that are participating in simultaneous underwritings in more than one market could promote efficiency and better service to customers. If the transactions are entered into to satisfy bona fide customer demand, the risk of adverse effects appears to be slight. Accordingly, in this limited circumstance, the Board believes that the purposes of the condition prohibiting purchases or sales during the underwriting period and for 60 days thereafter would not be undermined where such purchases or sales result from bona fide indications of interest from customers in the various markets. This exception will extend to all section 20 companies whether owned by U.S. bank holding companies or foreign banks. The Board re- 165 quires all section 20 companies to establish appropriate documentation procedures to assure that such purchases or sales are related to customer demand in the market and are not entered into to evade the requirements established in this Order or the section 20 Order. Personnel Interlocks and Other Restrictions The section 20 Order prohibited officer, director, or employee interlocks between a section 20 subsidiary and any affiliated bank or thrift institution. It also prohibited an affiliated bank or thrift institution from engaging in certain marketing activities on behalf of the section 20 subsidiary. These limitations were among the measures established to ensure that the section 20 company was insulated, both structurally and operationally, from the holding company's subsidiary banks and thrifts. Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank have each committed to comply with these restrictions and to extend them to their U.S. branches and agencies. Barclays has agreed to the prohibition against personnel interlocks and marketing with respect to its U.S. bank and thrift affiliates, but has requested that it be permitted to have management interlocks and engage in joint marketing between its U.S. branches and agencies and the section 20 subsidiary. Barclays argues that these prohibitions were adopted in order to assure the protection of federally-insured depositors. This rationale would be inapplicable, however, to U.S. branches and agencies of a foreign bank that are not insured by the FDIC and, consequently, are not covered by the federal safety net. Barclays also states that qualified personnel available to foreign banks for employment in the United States are scarce and that it would impose a particular hardship on foreign banks to require them to build up duplicate marketing staffs in New York for their branches and their section 20 subsidiaries. Barclays argues further that applying these prohibitions to its New York branch would also place the section 20 subsidiary at a competitive disadvantage. Because there are a number of officers and employees in the New York office of Barclays whose responsibilities are not specifically confined to the New York branch, Barclays states that it would be administratively difficult to exclude those officers and employees from involvement with any permitted transactions between Barclays as a bank holding company and the section 20 subsidiary. With respect to interlocks, the Board notes that various proposals considered by the Congress to amend the Glass-Steagall Act would not have required a complete prohibition on interlocks between a section 166 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 20 subsidiary and an insured bank, and would have authorized the Board to permit officer or director interlocks, taking into consideration the size of the organizations, safety and soundness considerations, and other appropriate factors, including unfair competition in securities activities. In these applications, the Board, as a regulator of foreign bank offices in the United States, has an interest in assuring that these foreign banks have in place a mechanism for proper control of all of their U.S. operations. Accordingly, while the Board has determined at this time to retain the general prohibition against interlocks, the Board believes that, giving due regard to all relevant factors, it is appropriate to permit an interlock between a U.S. branch and agency of a foreign bank and a section 20 subsidiary as a means of providing the foreign bank with a mechanism to monitor effectively the operations of the underwriting subsidiary for supervisory purposes. In these applications, such an interlock would not appear to result in any adverse effects in light of the general framework of conditions to which Applicants' section 20 subsidiaries will be subject. The Board has determined not to modify at this time the condition relating to marketing activities as it would apply to U.S. branches and agencies in light of the general approach to these applications as outlined above and considerations of competitive equity. However, with respect to this condition as well as the general prohibition on interlocks between U.S. banks or banking offices and a section 20 subsidiary, the Board will consider, based on experience with the operations of section 20 subsidiaries, whether modification of these general restrictions would be appropriate consistent with the purposes of the section 20 prudential framework. In accordance with the policy of not extending U.S. regulation extraterritorially, the Board has also modified the condition relating to purchases by an affiliate of a section 20 company, acting in a trustee or other fiduciary capacity, of ineligible securities from the section 20 affiliate. This condition, which reflects applicable U.S. fiduciary principles, was intended to apply only to U.S. organizations or entities operating in the United States. This condition would apply fully to the U.S. affiliates, branches and agencies of Applicants, but would not apply to the non-U.S. operations of Applicants, which are governed by their home country law. Supervision of Section 20 Subsidiaries and Reservation of Authority to Modify Operating Limitations In the section 20 Order, the Board stated that, because the proposals represented the first major entry of banking organizations into debt and equity securities underwriting and dealing activities, it was appropriate to proceed cautiously and to establish an extensive framework of prudential limitations to guard against potential conflicts of interest, unsound banking practices, and other adverse effects.14 The Board continues to be of this view. The Board also continues to believe that careful supervisory review is needed to ensure that the structural and operating conditions established in the section 20 Order are observed in order to achieve the objectives of the conditions of minimizing adverse effects and insulating affiliated banks and thrifts and the federal safety net from the risks of the new activity.15 Thus, the Board expects careful adherence by section 20 subsidiaries, including Companies, and their affiliates to the conditions established in this and the section 20 Order and directs the appropriate Federal Reserve Banks to undertake at least annual inspections for compliance. The Board will review the results of these inspections annually. In addition, the Board continues to believe that, before the new activities may be commenced, the appropriate Reserve Bank should determine by inspection that the section 20 subsidiaries and their affiliates have put in place the operational and managerial infrastructure necessary to ensure compliance with the conditions in this and the section 20 Order, including computer, audit and accounting systems, internal risk management controls and other policies and procedures consistent with sound operating practices. As indicated in the section 20 Order, the Board may review the continued appropriateness of particular operating limitations as section 20 subsidiaries establish a record of experience in the proposed activities. The Board also reserves the right to establish, from time to time, based upon the supervisory process and experience with the activities, additional limitations on the conduct of the proposed activities to ensure that they are consistent with safety and soundness, and conflict of interest and other considerations relevant under the BHC Act. Canadian Government Securities Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank have proposed that Canadian government securities be treated in the same manner as U.S. government securities for purposes of exemptions granted U.S. government securities from two of the section 20 conditions. First, the prohibition 14. J.P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, 15. Id. at 209. at 210. Legal Developments against purchase and sale of financial assets between a bank or thrift affiliate and a section 20 subsidiary contains an exemption for U.S. Treasury securities. Second, the section 20 prohibition against a bank or thrift affiliate extending credit to a section 20 subsidiary contains an exemption for an extension of credit that is incidental to the provision of clearing services by the bank or thrift to the section 20 subsidiary with respect to U.S. government securities if the extension of credit is fully secured by such securities, is on market terms, and is repaid on the same calendar day. In light of the United States-Canada Free-Trade Agreement, under which member banks were authorized to underwrite and deal in Canadian governmental securities, and in light of the nature of the Canadian government securities market, the Board has determined that a section 20 subsidiary may engage in transactions involving Canadian government securities with a U.S. bank or thrift affiliate to the same extent it is permitted to do so with respect to U.S. and other government securities.16 This authority is extended to all section 20 subsidiaries, whether owned by foreign or U.S. bank holding companies. Immediate Authority to Underwrite and Deal in Equity Securities The section 20 Order imposed a one-year waiting period on the applicants in those cases before they were permitted to commence underwriting and dealing in equity securities.17 The Board indicated that it would review in one year whether the applicants had established the managerial and operational infrastructure and other policies and procedures necessary to comply with the requirements of the section 20 Order and thus to be able to implement the equity securities underwriting and dealing activities. Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank have requested immediate authority to commence underwriting and dealing in equity securities. They assert that, unlike U.S. bank holding companies, their section 20 subsidiaries were engaged in a full range of securities activities in the United States for over 70 years prior to their acquisition by the Applicants. At that time, the companies terminated their ineligible securities activities to conform to U.S. banking law. Applicants assert that the companies already have the necessary managerial and operational infrastructure in place for underwriting equity securities. Applicants state that the 16. Where exceptions to the requirements apply only to U.S. Treasury Securities, rather than the broader category of government securities, the exception is extended only to direct obligations of the Canadian federal government. 17. J.P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, at 209. 167 purpose of their applications is merely to obtain approval for their section 20 subsidiaries to resume, on a very limited basis, underwriting activities that had been an essential part of their operations for many years prior to their acquisition by the Canadian banks in 1988. In imposing the one-year waiting period in the section 20 Order, the Board explained that it wanted to allow the applicants time to establish the managerial and operational infrastructure and other policies and procedures necessary "to comply with the requirements of this Order." 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 209. Accordingly, in addition to being concerned with the bank holding companies' lack of experience in underwriting equity securities, the Board recognized that the applicants would require time to develop and put into place the policies and procedures required by the operating conditions of the section 20 Order, especially when applied in the context of underwriting equity securities. In light of these concerns and the principle established by the IBA of equality of treatment in the United States, the Board does not believe it would be appropriate to authorize Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank to begin underwriting equity securities immediately. Although Applicants' section 20 subsidiaries may have had substantial experience in underwriting equity securities prior to their acquisition by Applicants, the subsidiaries and their U.S. bank affiliates and the U.S. offices of their parent foreign banks have never had to comply with the framework of conditions established in the section 20 Order. Thus, the Board finds no basis to differentiate between the Canadian and U.S. applicants with respect to the need for an infrastructure review. In the alternative, Canadian Imperial and Royal Bank have requested an exemption pursuant to section 4(c)(9) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(9)) to underwrite and deal in the equity securities of Canadian issuers immediately. Section 4(c)(9) permits the Board to grant an exemption from the BHC Act's nonbanking activity prohibitions to a foreign bank if the Board determines that the exemption would not be substantially at variance with the purposes of the BHC Act and would be in the public interest. Applicants assert that granting the exemption would not be substantially at variance with the purposes of the BHC Act because the Board has determined that underwriting and dealing in equity securities are closely related to banking under the BHC Act. Moreover, Applicants argue, there is no basis for finding a substantial competitive disadvantage to U.S. competitors because U.S. companies may commence the activity as well as soon as they are found to have the necessary procedures and expertise. Applicants fur- 168 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 ther contend that the proposed exemption would be in the public interest in that it would provide the public with additional sources of equity underwriting and dealing services. Finally, Applicants contend that their underwriting subsidiaries will suffer substantial competitive harm if they are not permitted to resume underwriting and dealing in equity securities immediately in that they will lose valuable, experienced staff to companies who are able to engage in such activities. The Board believes, however, that granting Applicants' request for an exemption pursuant to section 4(c)(9) would give them a competitive advantage over U.S. bank holding companies as well as other securities companies owned by foreign banks. By virtue of the exemption, Applicants would be able to offer equity underwriting services while their U.S. bankowned competitors could not without having been examined with respect to their managerial and operational infrastructure and other policies and procedures. Moreover, it has long been the policy of the Board not to grant exemptions under section 4(c)(9) to foreign organizations if the exemption would give the foreign organization a material competitive advantage over U.S. bank holding companies.18 Accordingly, the Board does not believe Applicants' request for an exemption to be consistent with the policies governing the implementation of section 4(c)(9) of the BHC Act and the request is denied. Public Benefits Consummation of Applicants' proposals would provide increased convenience to the section 20 subsidiaries' customers and gains in efficiency. In addition, the Board expects that the de novo entry of Applicants into the market for these services would increase the level of competition among providers of these services. Accordingly, for these reasons and the reasons set forth in the section 20 Order, the Board finds that the performance of the proposed activities by the section 20 subsidiaries can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public. Contentions of SI A and ICI The SIA and ICI, in their comments on these applications, incorporated by reference the arguments each had made relating to the Board's January 1989 section 20 Order. The SIA contends that the proposed activities would result in a violation of section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act and that they do not meet the 18. See Midland (1981). Bank Limited, 67 Federal Reserve Bulletin 729 "closely related" and "proper incident to banking" standards of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. The ICI makes similar contentions to the extent that the application by Royal Bank requests authority to underwrite and deal in investment company securities.19 With respect to the comments previously made by the SIA and ICI in connection with the January 1989 Order regarding the Glass-Steagall Act and the BHC Act, the Board has considered and rejected such comments in that Order, the reasons for which have been incorporated and made part of the Board's decision herein.20 The SIA also contends that consistent application of the Board's statutory interpretation and related regulatory framework is appropriate, given that the applicable statutory language applies equally to all conduct covered by it regardless of the status or locale of the particular banking entity involved. The SIA argues that such a consistent rationale counsels against granting additional authority to or reducing limitations proposed by a given applicant, such as Canadian 19. The ICI also argues that, to the extent Royal Bank seeks authority for the Section 20 subsidiary to engage in underwriting or dealing in bank-ineligible affiliate securities, the application is contrary to law and should be denied. By Order dated September 21, 1989, however, the Board made a determination to permit a section 20 subsidiary to underwrite and deal in securities of affiliates, where the securities are rated by an unaffiliated, nationally recognized rating organization or are issued or guaranteed by the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or the Government National Mortgage Association, or represent interests in such obligations. 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 751 (1989). The Board hereby incorporates the reasoning of that decision. 20. The SIA has also indicated that a determination to increase from 5 to 10 percent the revenue limit on the amount of total revenues a Section 20 subsidiary may derive from ineligible securities underwriting and dealing activities should be addressed in the context of a response to the Board's general request for comments on that issue, rather than in the context of this particular application. The Board acted on this issue by Order dated September 21, 1989, determining that it would be appropriate to raise the revenue limit from 5 to 10 percent. The SIA also contends that Royal Bank and Barclays appear to be requesting permission to engage in "riskless principal" transactions in which their section 20 subsidiaries would act in effect as dealers for securities underwritten or distributed by foreign affiliates. While it is unclear which of the proposed activities the SIA is referring to as "riskless principal" transactions, Royal Bank and Barclays have committed that any of the activities of the section 20 subsidiaries that constitute underwriting or dealing in securities within the meaning of section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act would be subject to the 10 percent revenue limitation. The Board also notes that Royal Bank and Barclays have not applied to engage in riskless principal transactions as an eligible securities activity in accordance with the conditions established by the Board for the conduct of that activity. Bankers Trust New York Corporation, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 829 (1989). One of the conditions established in the Bankers Trust Order is that, for a riskless principal transaction to be considered an eligible activity for a section 20 subsidiary, it may not be entered into on behalf of a foreign affiliate that deals in securities abroad. The Board had previously stated that, where a U.S. company acts as a riskless principal on behalf of foreign securities affiliates, such activity could constitute dealing in securities. Letter from William W. Wiles to Security Pacific Corporation (April 18, 1988). Legal Developments Imperial, Royal Bank or Barclays, relative to those previously enunciated by the Board. The Board has considered the SIA's comments and has found, for the reasons discussed in this Order, that modifications to the conditions previously imposed by the Board on the conduct of the proposed activities are appropriate in these cases, particularly in light of the policy of national treatment mandated by the IBA and Applicants' status as bank holding companies. Moreover, the Board has not modified the commitments for particular foreign bank applicants; rather, the Board has adopted a general framework that adjusts certain of the section 20 conditions to address the issues raised by Applicants' foreign status without creating the potential for adverse effects that outweigh expected public benefits. Finally, SI A appears to contend that Applicants' branches and agencies are subject to all the same laws and regulations as national banks by virtue of 12 U.S.C. § 3106a, and therefore the Board may not modify any conditions of the section 20 Order for Applicants that are applicable to national banks. The Board does not agree with this reading of the statute. The provision in question provides that foreign banks operating in the United States are subject to all the same laws and regulations affecting U.S. banks that relate to discrimination based on race, sex, creed or national origin. For these reasons, and subject to the framework and conditions established in this Order, the Board believes that the proposals are not likely to result in decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interest, unsound banking practices, concentration of resources, or other adverse effects that outweigh the reasonably expected public benefits from the proposals. Conclusion Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, and subject to the conditions set forth in this Order, the Board concludes that Applicants' proposals are consistent with section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act and are so closely related to banking as to be a proper incident thereto within the meaning of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Accordingly, the applications are hereby approved. The Board's approval of these proposals extends only to activities conducted within the conditions of this Order and subject to the gross revenue limitation discussed above. Underwriting and dealing in the approved securities in any manner other than as approved in this Order is not within the scope of the Board's approval and is not authorized for the section 20 subsidiaries. As more fully set forth in the section 20 Order, as modified by this Order, the 169 Board's approval is subject to the following conditions: A. Capital Adequacy Conditions 1. Applicant meets internationally-accepted risk-based capital requirements before and after deduction from Applicant's consolidated capital of: (a) any investment it makes in the underwriting subsidiary that is treated as capital in that subsidiary, and (b) any credit Applicant or a subsidiary extends directly or indirectly to the underwriting subsidiary unless the extension of credit is fully secured by U.S. Treasury securities, securities that are direct obligations of the Canadian federal government, or other marketable securities and is collateralized in the same manner and to the same extent as would be required under section 23A(c) of the Federal Reserve Act if the extension of credit were made by a member bank.21 2. In calculating risk-based capital ratios, Applicant should deduct 50 percent of the amount of any investment in, and 50 percent of any unsecured or not fully secured or inadequately collateralized loans to, the underwriting subsidiary from Tier 1 capital and 50 percent from Tier 2 capital. Applicant should also exclude the underwriting subsidiary's assets from its consolidated assets. Notwithstanding these adjustments, Applicant should continue to maintain adequate capital on a fully consolidated basis. 3. No Applicant nor any of its subsidiaries shall, directly or indirectly, provide any funds to, or for the benefit of, an underwriting subsidiary, whether in the form of capital, secured or unsecured extensions of credit, or transfer of assets, without prior notice to and approval by the Board. 4. The underwriting subsidiary shall maintain at all times capital adequate to support its activity and cover reasonably expected expenses and losses in accordance with industry norms. B. Credit Extensions to Customers of the Underwriting Subsidiary 22 5(a) No U.S. affiliate or branch or agency of Applicant shall directly or indirectly extend credit or issue or enter into a stand-by letter of credit, asset purchase 21. An extension of credit means any loan, guarantee, or other form of credit exposure, including those described in Condition 5. 22. Unless otherwise stated, these conditions shall apply to a subsidiary of a bank or thrift institution to the same extent as they apply to the bank or thrift institution. 170 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 agreement, indemnity, guarantee, insurance or other facility that might be viewed as enhancing the creditworthiness or marketability of an ineligible securities issue underwritten or distributed by the underwriting subsidiary. (b) The underwriting subsidiary shall not underwrite or distribute ineligible securities if the underwriting subsidiary is aware in the ordinary course of conducting a due diligence review that an affiliate is extending credit or issuing or entering into a standby letter of credit, asset purchase agreement, indemnity, guarantee, insurance or other facility that might be viewed as enhancing the creditworthiness or marketability of such ineligible securities. 6(a) No U.S. affiliate or branch or agency of Applicant (other than the underwriting subsidiary) shall knowingly extend credit to a customer directly or indirectly secured by, or for the purpose of purchasing, any ineligible security that the underwriting subsidiary underwrites during the period of the underwriting or for 30 days thereafter, or to purchase from the underwriting subsidiary any ineligible security in which the underwriting subsidiary makes a market. (b) The underwriting subsidiary shall not arrange for an Applicant or any of its subsidiaries to extend, or knowingly participate in any arrangement whereby an Applicant or any of its subsidiaries extends, credit to a customer directly or indirectly secured by, or for the purpose of purchasing, any ineligible security that the underwriting subsidiary underwrites during the period of the underwriting or for 30 days thereafter, or to purchase from the underwriting subsidiary any ineligible security in which the underwriting subsidiary makes a market. (c) These limitations extend to all customers of Applicant and its subsidiaries, including brokerdealers and unaffiliated banks, but do not include lending to a broker-dealer for the purchase of securities where an affiliated bank is the clearing bank for such broker-dealer. 7(a) No U.S. affiliate or branch or agency of Applicant may, directly or indirectly, extend credit to issuers of ineligible securities underwritten by the underwriting subsidiary for the purpose of the payment of principal, interest or dividends on such securities. (b) The underwriting subsidiary shall not arrange for an Applicant or any of its subsidiaries to extend, or knowingly participate in any arrangement whereby an Applicant or any of its subsidiaries extends, credit to an issuer of ineligible securities underwritten by the underwriting subsidiary for the purpose of the payment of principal, interest, or dividends on such securities and shall not underwrite any ineligi- ble securities of an issuer if it becomes aware that an affiliate is providing credit to an issuer for such purposes. (c) These limitations are inapplicable to any credit lines extended to an issuer by any Applicant or any subsidiary of an Applicant that provide for substantially different timing, terms, conditions and maturities from the ineligible securities being underwritten. It would be clear, for example, that a credit has substantially different terms and timing if it is for a documented special purpose (other than the payment of principal, interest or dividends) or there is substantial participation by other lenders. 8. Each Applicant shall adopt appropriate procedures, including maintenance of necessary documentary records, to assure that any extension of credit by any of its U.S. affiliates, branches, or agencies to issuers of ineligible securities underwritten or dealt in by an underwriting subsidiary are on an arm's length basis for purposes other than payment of principal, interest, or dividends on the issuer's ineligible securities being underwritten or dealt in by the underwriting subsidiary. An extension of credit is considered to be on an arm's length basis if the terms and conditions are substantially the same as those prevailing at the time for comparable transactions with issuers whose securities are not underwritten or dealt in by the underwriting subsidiary. 9. In any transaction involving an underwriting subsidiary, Applicant's thrift subsidiaries shall observe the limitations of sections 23A and 23B of the Federal Reserve Act as if the thrifts were banks.23 10. The requirements relating to credit extensions to issuers noted in paragraphs 5 - 9 above shall also apply to extensions of credit to parties that are major users of projects that are financed by industrial revenue bonds. 11. Applicants shall cause their U.S. bank and thrift subsidiaries, branches, and agencies to adopt policies and procedures, including appropriate limits on exposure, to govern their participation in financing transactions underwritten or arranged by an underwriting subsidiary as set forth in this Order. The Reserve Banks shall ensure that these policies and procedures are in place at Applicants' U.S. bank and thrift subsidiaries, branches, and agencies and shall assure that loan documentation is available for review by Reserve Banks to ensure that an independent and thorough credit evaluation has been under- 23. The Board notes that the Applicants in these cases do not currently own thrift subsidiaries in the United States. The Board is including this limitation as part of a general framework for foreign banks operating in the United States. Legal Developments taken in connection with the participation by the bank, thrift, branch, or agency in such financing packages and that such lending complies with the requirements of this Order and section 23B of the Federal Reserve Act. 12. Applicants' U.S. bank and thrift subsidiaries and branches and agencies should also establish appropriate policies, procedures, and limitations regarding exposure of Applicants' U.S. subsidiaries and offices on a consolidated basis to any single customer whose securities are underwritten or dealt in by the underwriting subsidiary. C. Limitations to Maintain Separateness of an Underwriting Affiliate's Activity 13. There will be no officer, director, or employee interlocks between an underwriting subsidiary and any of Applicant's U.S. bank or thrift subsidiaries, branches, or agencies, except that one officer of a branch or agency may act as a director of the underwriting subsidiary. The underwriting subsidiary will have separate offices from any bank or thrift subsidiary or branch or agency of Applicant.24 171 E. Marketing Activities on Behalf of an Underwriting Subsidiary 15. No underwriting subsidiary nor any affiliated U.S. bank or thrift institution, branch, or agency will engage in advertising or enter into an agreement stating or suggesting that an affiliated U.S. bank, thrift, branch, or agency is responsible in any way for the underwriting subsidiary's obligations as required for affiliates of member banks under section 23B of the Federal Reserve Act. 16. No U.S. bank or thrift subsidiary or U.S. branch or agency of Applicant will act as agent for, or engage in marketing activities on behalf of, the underwriting subsidiary.25 In this regard, prospectuses and sales literature relating to securities being underwritten or dealt in by an underwriting subsidiary may not be distributed by a U.S. bank or thrift subsidiary or U.S. branch or agency of Applicant; nor should any such literature be made available to the public at any offices of any such bank, thrift, branch, or agency, unless specifically requested by a customer. F. Investment Advice by Bank/Thrift Affiliates, Branches, and Agencies D. Disclosure by the Underwriting Subsidiary 14. An underwriting subsidiary will provide each of its customers with a special disclosure statement describing the difference between the underwriting subsidiary and its bank and thrift affiliates and its U.S. branches and agencies and pointing out that an affiliated bank or thrift or U.S. branch or agency could be a lender to an issuer and referring the customer to the disclosure documents for details. In addition, the statement shall state that securities sold, offered, or recommended by the underwriting subsidiary are not deposits, are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, are not guaranteed by an affiliated bank or thrift or branch or agency, and are not otherwise an obligation or responsibility of such a bank or thrift or branch or agency (unless such is the case). The underwriting subsidiary should also disclose any material lending relationship between the issuer and a bank or lending affiliate of the underwriting subsidiary as required under the securities laws and in every case, to the extent known, whether the proceeds of the issue will be used to repay outstanding indebtedness to affiliates. 17. An affiliated U.S. bank or thrift institution or a U.S. branch or agency may not express an opinion on the value or the advisability of the purchase or the sale of ineligible securities underwritten or dealt in by an affiliated underwriting subsidiary unless the affiliated institution, branch, or agency notifies the customer that the underwriting subsidiary is underwriting, making a market, distributing or dealing in the security. 18. No U.S. bank, thrift, or trust or investment advisory subsidiaries, or U.S. branches or agencies, of an Applicant shall purchase, as a trustee or in any other fiduciary capacity, for accounts over which they have investment discretion ineligible securities: (a) underwritten by the underwriting subsidiary as lead underwriter or syndicate member during the period of any underwriting or selling syndicate, and for a period of 60 days after the termination thereof, and (b) from the underwriting subsidiary if it makes a market in that security, unless, in either case, such purchase is specifically authorized under the instrument creating the fiduciary relationship, by court order, or by the law of the jurisdiction under which the trust is administered. 24. An underwriting subsidiary may have offices in the same building as a bank or thrift subsidiary or branch or agency of Applicant if the underwriting subsidiary's offices are clearly distinguished from those of the bank, thrift, branch, or agency. 25. This condition does not prevent a bank, thrift, branch, or agency from informing its customers of the available services of the underwriting subsidiary. 172 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 G. Extensions of Credit and Purchases and Sales of Assets 19. An underwriting subsidiary may not sell to any affiliate that is acting as principal in the transaction, ineligible securities that are underwritten by the underwriting subsidiary during the period of the underwriting and for 60 days after the close of the underwriting period, or any ineligible security in which the underwriting subsidiary makes a market, except that, in the case of ineligible securities that are being issued in a simultaneous cross-border underwriting in which the underwriting subsidiary and a foreign affiliate or affiliates are participating, such securities may be purchased or sold pursuant to an intersyndicate agreement for the period of the underwriting where the purchase or sale results from bona fide indications of interest from customers. Such purchases or sales shall not be made for purposes of providing liquidity or capital support to the underwriting subsidiary or otherwise to evade the requirements of this Order. An underwriting subsidiary shall maintain documentation on such transactions. 20. An underwriting subsidiary may not underwrite or deal in any ineligible securities issued by its affiliates or representing interests in, or secured by, obligations originated or sponsored by its affiliates (except for grantor trusts or special purpose corporations created to facilitate underwriting of securities backed by assets originated by a non-affiliated lender) unless such securities are rated by an unaffiliated, nationally recognized rating organization or are issued or guaranteed by the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or the Government National Mortgage Association or represent interests in securities issued or guaranteed by such agencies. 21(a) Applicants shall assure that no U.S. bank or thrift subsidiary, branch, or agency shall, directly or indirectly, extend credit in any manner to an affiliated underwriting subsidiary or a subsidiary thereof; or issue a guarantee, acceptance, or letter of credit, including an endorsement or standby letter of credit, for the benefit of the underwriting subsidiary or a subsidiary thereof, (b) This prohibition shall not apply to an extension of credit by an affiliated bank or thrift subsidiary, branch, or agency to an underwriting subsidiary that is incidental to the provision of clearing services by such affiliate, branch or agency to the underwriting subsidiary with respect to securities of the United States or Canada or their agencies, or securities on which the principal and interest are fully guaranteed by the United States or Canada or their agencies, if the extension of credit is fully secured by such securities, is on market terms, and is repaid on the same calendar day. If the intra-day clearing of such securities cannot be completed because of a bona fide fail or operational problem incidental to the clearing process that is beyond the control of the affiliate, branch or agency and the underwriting subsidiary, the affiliate, branch or agency may continue the intra-day extension of credit overnight provided the extension of credit is fully secured as to principal and interest as described above, is on market terms, and is repaid as early as possible on the next business day. 22. No U.S. bank or thrift subsidiary, branch, or agency shall, directly or indirectly, for its own account, purchase financial assets of an affiliated underwriting subsidiary or a subsidiary thereof or sell such assets to the underwriting subsidiary or subsidiary thereof. This limitation shall not apply to the purchase and sale of U.S. Treasury securities or direct obligations of the Canadian federal government that are not subject to repurchase or reverse repurchase agreements between the underwriting subsidiary and its affiliated bank or thrift subsidiary, branch, or agency. H. Limitations on Transfers of Information 23. No U.S. bank, thrift, branch, or agency shall disclose to an affiliated underwriting subsidiary, nor shall an underwriting subsidiary disclose to an affiliated bank, thrift, branch, or agency, any nonpublic customer information (including an evaluation of the creditworthiness of an issuer or other customer of that bank, thrift, branch, agency, or underwriting subsidiary) without the consent of that customer. I. Reports 24. Applicants shall submit quarterly to the appropriate Federal Reserve Bank FOCUS reports filed with the NASD or other self-regulatory organizations, and detailed information breaking down the underwriting subsidiaries' business with respect to eligible and ineligible securities, in order to permit monitoring of the underwriting subsidiaries' compliance with the provisions of this Order. J. Transfer of Activities and Formation of Subsidiaries of an Underwriting Subsidiary to Engage in Underwriting and Dealing 25. The Board's approval of the proposed underwriting and dealing activities extends only to the subsidiaries described above for which approval has been sought in the instant applications. The activities in the United States may not be conducted by Applicants in Legal Developments any other subsidiary without prior Board review. Pursuant to Regulation Y, no corporate reorganization of an underwriting subsidiary, such as the establishment of subsidiaries of the underwriting subsidiary to conduct the activities, may be consummated without prior Board approval. K. Limitations on Reciprocal Arrangements and Discriminatory Treatment 26. No Applicant nor any of its subsidiaries may, directly or indirectly, enter into any reciprocal arrangement. A reciprocal arrangement means any agreement, understanding, or other arrangement under which one bank holding company (or subsidiary thereof) agrees to engage in a transaction with, or on behalf of, another bank holding company (or subsidiary thereof), in exchange for the agreement of the second bank holding company (or any subsidiary thereof) to engage in a transaction with, or on behalf of, the first bank holding company (or any subsidiary thereof) for the purpose of evading any requirement of this Order or any prohibition on transactions between, or for the benefit of, affiliates of banks established pursuant to federal banking law or regulation. 27. No U.S. bank or thrift subsidiary or branch or agency of Applicant shall, directly or indirectly: (a) acting alone or with others, extend or deny credit or services (including clearing services), or vary the terms or conditions thereof, if the effect of such action would be to treat an unaffiliated securities firm less favorably than its affiliated underwriting subsidiary, unless the bank, thrift, branch, or agency demonstrates that the extension or denial is based on objective criteria and is consistent with sound business practices; or (b) extend or deny credit or services or vary the terms or conditions thereof with the intent of creating a competitive advantage for an underwriting subsidiary of an affiliated bank holding company. 173 that it has established the managerial and operational infrastructure and other policies and procedures necessary to comply with the requirements of this Order. The Board's approval determination is subject to the conditions set forth in the Board's Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b), and to the Board's authority to require modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with, and to prevent evasion of, the provisions and purposes of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder. By order of the Board of Governors, effective January 4, 1990. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Kelley, and LaWare. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board Concurring Statement of Governor Seger I concur in the decision of the Board to approve these applications. I believe, however, that the Board should reevaluate the need for continued imposition on any section 20 company, whether U.S. or foreignowned, of any firewalls that are not related to safety and soundness of affiliated banks. In these cases, I would not require that Applicants obtain the Board's prior approval for future investment and lending. Moreover, I do not see the need to continue to require U.S.-owned section 20 companies to obtain such approval. I would also permit Applicants to establish interlocks without restriction between the section 20 companies and their U.S. branches and agencies, and would urge the Board to reconsider the section 20 Order's total prohibition on interlocks with bank and thrift affiliates. January 4, 1990 L. Requirement for Supervisory Review Before Commencement of Activities Concurring Statement of Governor LaWare 28. An Applicant may not commence the proposed debt or equity securities underwriting and dealing activities until the Board has determined that the Applicant has established policies and procedures to ensure compliance with the requirements of this Order, including computer, audit and accounting systems, internal risk management controls and the necessary operational and managerial infrastructure. In this regard, the Board will review whether an Applicant may commence underwriting and dealing in equity securities based on a determination by the Board These applications present a number of complex issues that require difficult choices on the part of the Board. The Board's decision to approve the applications within the framework of its previous section 20 Orders reflects a careful balancing of competing interests and, in my view, the decision strikes the appropriate balance under the circumstances. As the Board's Order recognizes, there is a basic incongruity presented by Applicants' status as both banks and bank holding companies. In my view, the Board correctly determined, consistent with the pro- 174 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 visions of the International Banking Act, that the Applicant foreign banks should be treated as bank holding companies and that the conditions or firewalls should be appropriately adjusted to reflect that policy. My disagreement with the Board lies in its decision to leave open the possibility that other circumstances could arise that would warrant a different treatment for an applicant foreign bank than the one reached today. I recognize that the Board is proceeding cautiously in this difficult area and that it is not willing to establish a general principle applicable to situations not before it. Nevertheless, it is my opinion that the Board's basic decision to treat the Applicant foreign banks as bank holding companies is the correct principle to apply generally under current law. In applying the principles of national treatment and competitive equity in the context of the International Banking Act's instruction that Applicants be treated as bank holding companies, the Board felt compelled not to exempt Applicants from the requirement of the section 20 Order that bank holding companies deduct from their capital any investments in and unsecured lending to the section 20 company, and seek prior approval for such actions in the future. The Board established the condition in its original decision in order to ensure that the parent bank holding company met its capital requirements after the applicable deductions and thus could continue to serve as a source of strength to its subsidiary banks. While I recognize that it is the Board's objective through the condition to strengthen and preserve the capital position of domestic bank holding companies, I disagree with the need for that requirement in the context of foreign banks whose financial condition is subject to comparable home country supervision. Any advantage that might be conferred on Applicants by an exemption would not, in my opinion, be so substantial as to warrant the condition in order to maintain competitive equity. I note, however, that the Board has stated it will review the requirement for prior approval of bank holding company funding of section 20 subsidiaries, whether domestically or foreign owned, outside the context of these applications. I welcome that review. January 4, 1990 First Union Corporation Charlotte, North Carolina Order Approving Application to Act in the Private Placement of All Types of Securities First Union Corporation, Charlotte, North Carolina ("First Union"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has applied for the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and section 225.23 of the Board's Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.23) for its subsidiary, First Union Securities, Incorporated, Charlotte, North Carolina ("Company"), to act as agent in the private placement of all types of securities. First Union, with approximately $19.9 billion in deposits, is the third largest commercial banking organization in North Carolina.1 It operates five subsidiary banks and engages directly and through subsidiaries in a broad range of permissible nonbanking activities in the United States, including engaging through Company to a limited extent in underwriting and dealing in certain securities.2 Company is and will continue to be a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and subject to the recordkeeping, reporting, fiduciary standards, and other requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and the National Association of Securities Dealers. Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments on the proposal, has been published (54 Federal Register 24,038 (1989)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the public interest factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. The Board received written comments opposing the application from the Investment Company Institute ("ICI"), a trade association of the mutual fund industry.3 Because Company would be affiliated through common ownership with a member bank, Company may not be "engaged principally" in underwriting or dealing in securities within the meaning of section 20 of the Banking Act of 1933 (the "Glass-Steagall Act"). 4 In earlier decisions, the Board has determined that Company is not "engaged principally" in section 20 activities if revenues from underwriting and dealing in 1. All data are as of June 30, 1989. 2. See First Union Corporation, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 645 (1989). 3. The comments of the ICI were received substantially after the close of the comment period prescribed in the notice of this application. Under the Board's Rules of Procedure, the Board may, but is not required to consider comments received after the close of the public comment period. 12 C.F.R. 262.3. In any event, the ICI has objected to First Union's proposal to the extent that it could be construed to seek approval for Company to privately place securities of investment companies that are sponsored or advised by Company or First Union. This application does not involve a request by First Union to place such securities. 4. Section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act (12 U.S.C. § 377) provides that ". . . no member bank shall be affiliated . . . with any . . . organization engaged principally in the issue, flotation, underwriting, public sale, or distribution at wholesale or retail or through syndicate participation of stocks, bonds, debentures, notes, or other securities. . . . " Legal Developments securities that banks are not authorized to underwrite and deal in directly ("ineligible securities") do not exceed 10 percent of Company's gross revenues. In its recent Bankers Trust decision, the Board determined that acting as agent in the private placement of securities does not constitute underwriting and dealing in securities for purposes of section 20 of the Glass-Steagall Act, and therefore revenue derived from these activities is not subject to the 10 percent revenue limitation on ineligible securities underwriting and dealing.5 In addition, in its Bankers Trust and J.P. Morgan decisions the Board found that, subject to a number of prudential limitations that address the potential for conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices or other adverse effects, private placement was so closely related to banking as to be a proper incident thereto within the meaning of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. First Union has committed that Company will conduct its private placement activities in a manner consistent with, and subject to, all of the prudential limitations approved by the Board in J.P. Morgan.6 First Union has proposed to have its affiliated banks extend credit to an issuer whose debt securities have been placed by the section 20 subsidiary where the proceeds would be used to pay the principal amount of the securities at maturity. Such transactions may be appropriate if at the time the securities mature it were more advantageous to the issuer to obtain financing from the bank rather than to reissue the securities. In situations where the decision to extend credit to an issuer of securities placed by the section 20 subsidiary to repay the principal amount of the securities at maturity is made at a different time than when the securities are actually being placed, the likelihood that the decision to extend credit would be influenced by any promotional incentive associated with the placement activity would be minimized, especially in the case of longer-term securities. Since the decision whether to extend credit in this situation would not be made while the securities are being marketed, the likelihood that the bank would not exercise independent judgment in assessing the creditworthiness of the issuer in light of all relevant circumstances at the time would be lessened. The bank's credit decisions, moreover, can be closely scrutinized through the examination process. In addition, many of these credit transactions could be subject to the requirements of section 5. Bankers Trust New York Corporation, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 829 ("Bankers Trust"). See also J.P. Morgan & Company Incorporated, 76 Federal Reserve Bulletin 26 {"J.P. Morgan"). 6. First Union has agreed to consult with Federal Reserve staff before transferring its private placement activities from Company to any other nonbank subsidiary of First Union to assure that none of the provisions of the J.P. Morgan Order are evaded by the transfer. 175 23B of the Federal Reserve Act, which provides that certain types of transactions between a bank and a nonbank affiliate must be on an arm's length basis.7 While it is not entirely clear that section 23B will apply to all of these credit transactions, the Board expects that the standards set out in that section will nevertheless be complied with. Accordingly, the Board believes that it is appropriate to allow banks affiliated with section 20 subsidiaries or other nonbank affiliates to extend credit to an issuer to repay the principal amount of the securities, provided there is some reasonable time difference between the placement of the securities and the decision to extend credit,8 and provided the extensions of credit meet prudent and objective standards. The Board conditions its decision with regard to these extensions of credit on the requirement that First Union's subsidiary banks or other affiliates maintain detailed and clearly identified credit and collateral documentation so that examiners may determine that a thorough, objective and independent analysis of the credit has been undertaken. In addition, documentation must be maintained to show that the participation by a bank or thrift affiliate in the transaction has been undertaken under circumstances and on terms and conditions (including pricing, minimum borrower cash flow-to-debt service or collateral requirements, or repayment terms) that are not preferential and that fully reflect the risks associated with the loan, as required under section 23 B of the Federal Reserve Act. The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond will closely review loan documentation of bank affiliates to ensure that an independent and thorough credit evaluation has been undertaken with respect to the participation of the bank in these credit extensions to issuers of securities privately placed by an agent affiliated with the bank. With respect to the affiliate purchase restriction, First Union also has proposed to have Company place securities with its parent holding company or with a nonbank subsidiary of the parent company consistent with the Board's ruling in J.P. Morgan.9 The Board notes that since purchases of securities will not be made by an affiliated bank, the possibility that losses as a result of these investments will adversely affect the federal safety net protecting the bank is minimized. 7. 12 U.S.C. § 371c-l. 8. In the Board's view, this requirement will be satisfied if at the time the extension of credit is made, a period of at least three years has elapsed from the time of the placement of the securities. 9. Under current legal restrictions, member banks cannot generally purchase securities privately placed by an affiliate. This is because member banks are prohibited from acquiring any equity securities or unmarketable debt securities, i.e., those that cannot be resold because of SEC private placement restrictions. See 12 U.S.C. §§ 24 (Seventh) and 335. 176 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Accordingly, the Board believes that it is appropriate to allow Company to place securities with its parent holding company or a nonbank affiliate. The Board recognizes that the potential for certain conflicts of interest may be increased if affiliates were to purchase the entire issue of securities placed by the section 20 subsidiary or a substantial portion of such an issue. The Board therefore believes that it is appropriate to require that affiliates of the section 20 subsidiary limit their investment, both individually and in the aggregate, in any particular issue of securities that are placed by the section 20 subsidiary. The Board expects that First Union will establish appropriate internal policies, procedures, and limitations regarding the amount of securities of any particular issue placed by Company that may be purchased by First Union and each of its nonbanking subsidiaries, individually and in the aggregate.10 These policies and procedures, as well as the purchases themselves, will be reviewed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. In sum, the record shows that under the framework established in this and prior decisions, consummation of this proposal is not likely to result in any significant undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interest, unsound banking practices, or other adverse effects. Consummation of this proposal would provide greater efficiencies and added convenience to First Union's customers by allowing consolidation of a wider range of services in a single entity. Accordingly, the Board has determined that the performance of the proposed activities by First Union can reasonably be expected to produce public benefits which would outweigh adverse effects under the proper incident to banking standard of section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Based on the above, the Board has determined to approve First Union's application subject to all of the terms and conditions set forth above. The Board's determination is subject to all of the conditions set forth in the Board's Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b), and to the Board's authority to require modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with, and to prevent evasion of, the pro- 10. The limit established shall not exceed 50 percent of the issue being placed. Additionally, in the development of these policies and procedures, First Union should incorporate, with respect to placements of securities, the limitations established by the Board in condition 12 of its Order regarding aggregate exposure of the holding company on a consolidated basis to any single customer whose securities are underwritten or dealt in by Company. J.P. Morgan & Co. Incorporated, The Chase Manhattan Corporation, Bankers Trust New York Corporation, Citicorp and Security Pacific Corporation, 75 Federal Reserve Bulletin 192 (1989). visions of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and Orders issued thereunder. This transaction shall not be consummated later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective January 4, 1990. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Kelley, and LaWare. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board Orders Issued Under Sections 3 and 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act CoreStates Financial Corp. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Order Approving Merger of Bank Holding Companies CoreStates Financial Corp., Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ("CoreStates"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has applied for the Board's approval under section 3 of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to merge with First Pennsylvania Corp., Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ("First Penn"), and thereby indirectly acquire First Pennsylvania Bank, N.A., Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, First Pennsylvania Bank (NJ), N.A., Evesham Twp., New Jersey, and First Pennsylvania Bank (Del), Wilmington, Delaware. CoreStates also has applied for the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act to acquire the nonbanking subsidiaries of First Penn.1 Notice of the applications, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (54 Federal Register 51,235 (1989)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments 1. CoreStates proposes to acquire Centre Square Investment Group, Inc., Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and thereby engage in investment advisory services; Pennco Life Insurance Company, Phoenix, Arizona, and thereby engage in underwriting as a reinsurer of credit life and accident and health insurance in connection with extensions of credit by its subsidiary banks; and First Pennsylvania Financial Services, Inc., Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and thereby engage in second-mortgage lending. These activities are authorized for bank holding companies pursuant to the Board's Regulation Y, 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(4), (b)(8), and (b)(1). Legal Developments received in light of the factors set forth in sections 3(c) and 4 of the BHC Act. Section 3(d) of the BHC Act, the Douglas Amendment, prohibits the Board from approving an application by a bank holding company to acquire control of any bank located outside of the holding company's home state,2 unless such acquisition is "specifically authorized by the statute laws of the State in which [the] bank is located, by language to that effect and not merely by implication." 12 U.S.C. § 1842(d). The Board has previously determined that the acquisition of a Delaware bank by a Pennsylvania bank holding company is specifically authorized by the statute laws of Delaware, subject to CoreStates's obtaining the approval required pursuant to Delaware law.3 The Board has also previously determined that the acquisition of a New Jersey bank by a Pennsylvania bank holding company is specifically authorized by the statute laws of New Jersey.4 Based on the foregoing, the Board has determined that the proposed merger is specifically authorized by the statute laws of Delaware and New Jersey, and that Board approval of the proposal is not barred by the Douglas Amendment, subject to CoreStates's obtaining the required approval of state banking authorities. CoreStates controls commercial banking institutions in Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware. CoreStates is the fourth largest commercial banking organization in Pennsylvania, controlling deposits of $11 billion, representing approximately 6.7 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the state.5 First Penn operates commercial bank subsidiaries in Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware. First Penn is the eighth largest commercial banking organization in Pennsylvania, with total deposits of $4.8 billion, representing 3.3 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the state. Upon consummation of the proposal, CoreStates would become the third largest commercial banking organization in Pennsylvania, controlling deposits of approximately $15.8 billion, representing approximately 10 percent of the total deposits in commercial banking organizations in Pennsylvania. Consummation of this proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect upon the concentration of commercial banking resources in Pennsylvania. 177 banking market.6 In that market, CoreStates is the third largest of 184 commercial banking and thrift organizations, controlling $6.6 billion in deposits, representing approximately 10 percent of total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the market ("market deposits").7 First Penn is the sixth largest commercial banking organization in the Philadelphia/ Trenton market, controlling $3.6 billion in deposits, representing approximately 5.4 percent of market deposits. Upon consummation of this proposal, CoreStates would become the second largest commercial banking organization in the market, controlling $10.2 billion in deposits, representing approximately 15.4 percent of market deposits.8 The Philadelphia/ Trenton market is considered unconcentrated, with a Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") of 660, which would increase by 108 points to 768 upon consummation of the proposal. Based on the facts of record in this case, the Board has determined that consummation of the proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on existing competition in the Philadelphia/Trenton banking market, or in any other relevant banking market. The increase in concentration resulting from the proposal is small, and a significant number of competitors would remain after consummation. The Board also has considered the effects of the proposal on probable future competition in relevant markets. In light of the market concentration and the number of probable future entrants into those markets, the Board concludes that consummation of this proposal would not have a significantly adverse effect on probable future competition in any relevant market. In evaluating these applications, the Board has considered the financial and managerial resources of CoreStates, First Penn and their bank subsidiaries, and the effect of the proposed merger on the resources and future prospects of these companies. The Board has stated and continues to believe that capital adequacy is an important factor in the analysis of bank holding company expansion proposals.9 In this regard, the Board expects banking organizations contemplating expansion proposals to maintain strong capital levels substantially above the minimum levels speci- CoreStates and First Penn compete directly in the Philadelphia, Pennsylvania/Trenton, New Jersey 2. A bank holding company's home state is that state in which the operations of the bank holding company's banking subsidiaries were principally conducted on July 1, 1966, or the date on which the company became a bank holding company, whichever is later. 3. Meridian Bancorp, Inc., 74 Federal Reserve Bulletin 51 (1988). 4. CoreStates Financial Corporation, 72 Federal Reserve Bulletin 796 (1986). 5. Banking data are as of September 30, 1989. 6. The Philadelphia/Trenton banking market is comprised of Philadelphia, the counties of Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery in Pennsylvania, and Trenton and the counties of Burlington, Camden, Gloucester and Mercer in N e w Jersey. 7. Market data are as of June 30, 1988. 8. This includes 50 percent of thrift deposits. 9. The Bank of New York Company, Inc., 74 Federal Reserve Bulletin 257 (1988); Chemical New York Corporation, 73 Federal Reserve Bulletin 378 (1987); Citicorp, 72 Federal Reserve Bulletin 497 (1986); National City Corporation, 70 Federal Reserve Bulletin 743 (1984). 178 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 fied in the Board's Capital Adequacy Guidelines10 without significant reliance on intangibles, in particular goodwill. The Board carefully analyzes the effect of expansionary proposals on the preservation or achievement of strong capital levels, and has adopted a policy that there should be no significant diminution of financial strength below these levels for the purpose of effecting major expansion proposals. CoreStates proposes to accomplish the merger through an exchange of shares. CoreStates would remain well capitalized following consummation of the proposal, with capital ratios above the minimum levels specified in the Board's Capital Adequacy Guidelines. Based on these and all of the other facts of record, the Board concludes that financial and managerial considerations are consistent with approval of this application. In considering the convenience and needs of the communities to be served, the Board has taken into account the record of CoreStates's subsidiary banks under the Community Reinvestment Act ("CRA"). The CRA requires the federal financial supervisory agencies to encourage financial institutions to help meet the credit needs of the local communities in which they operate, consistent with the safe and sound operation of such institutions. To accomplish this end, the CRA requires the appropriate federal supervisory authority to "assess an institution's record of meeting the credit needs of its entire community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, consistent with the safe and sound operation of the institution," and to "take this record into account in its evaluation of bank holding company applications."11 In this regard, the Board has received comments filed by the Black Clergy of Philadelphia and Vicinity ("Protestant") critical of the CRA performance of CoreStates's subsidiary bank, Philadelphia National Bank, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ("PNB"). Protestant alleges that PNB has shown a lack of commitment to low- and moderate-income minority neighborhoods in the Philadelphia area. In particular, Protestant asserts that PNB engaged in a significantly smaller percentage of its mortgage business in low- to moderate-income and minority areas than in other parts of the Philadelphia area. CoreStates has submitted a detailed response to the comments made by Protestant.12 The Board also received letters from 12 community organizations13 in support of this application. The letters describe the initiatives these organizations have undertaken in collaboration with PNB and the positive relationship PNB has developed with their organizations, generally over a period of years. The Board has carefully reviewed the CRA performance record of PNB, as well as Protestant's comments and CoreStates's response to those comments, in light of the CRA, the Board's regulations, and the jointly issued Statement of the Federal Financial Supervisory Agencies Regarding the Community Reinvestment Act ("CRA Policy Statement").14 The CRA Policy Statement provides guidance regarding the types of policies and procedures that the supervisory agencies believe financial institutions should have in place in order to fulfill their responsibilities under the CRA on an ongoing basis, and the procedures that the supervisory agencies will use during the application process to review an institution's CRA compliance and performance. Initially, the Board notes that PNB has received a satisfactory rating from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in a January 1990 examination of its CRA performance. The record also shows that CoreStates's other subsidiary banks have each received satisfactory ratings from their primary regulators in the most recent examinations of their CRA performance. In addition, CoreStates has in place the types of programs outlined in the CRA Policy Statement as essential to any effective CRA program. Specifically, PNB has a Public Responsibility Department that reports to the Board of Directors of CoreStates and concentrates on CRA matters, monitors the CRA activities and initiatives taken by the bank, and maintains contacts within the community to develop and monitor all of its CRA activities. CoreStates also has a Compliance Committee to evaluate CRA activity in a similar manner throughout the entire organization. PNB routinely codes and analyzes the geographic distribution of its loans in order to monitor the effectiveness of its lending and outreach programs and advertises the availability of its products and services in community newspapers, including foreign-language newspapers, directed at low- and moderate-income areas. PNB sponsors community informational events to publicize products which could be of interest to 10. Capital Adequacy Guidelines, 50 Federal Register 16,057 (April 24, 1985). 11. 12 U.S.C. § 2903. 12. CoreStates has met with Protestant in an effort to clarify the issues presented under the CRA, although the parties failed to resolve all of their differences. 13. These are the Glenwood Development Corporation, Women's Community Revitalization Project, Venture Theatre, the Resource Center for Human Services, Indochinese-American Council, Hispanic Association of Contractors and Enterprises, Inc., People's Emergency Center, Better Housing for Chester, Inc., Neighborhoods Action Bureau, Inc., Community Ventures, Inc., Housing Consortium for Disabled Individuals, and Centra Pedro Claver. 14. 54 Federal Register 13,742 (1989). Legal Developments members of the community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods. PNB has been extensively involved in the Philadelphia Mortgage Plan, which is a city-wide plan with participation by local banks to grant mortgages in the inner-city; the Philadelphia Rehabilitation Plan, which makes inner-city rehabilitation loans; the Action Loan Program, which consists of subsidized home improvement loans in low- to moderate-income neighborhoods; and other loans to multi-family rental housing made in cooperation with community groups. It has also participated in subsidized public mortgage lending programs, as well as lending to local governments, underwriting debt issues, investing in municipal bonds, lending to small businesses, farms and nonprofit organizations, and the creation of no-frills and basic checking accounts. CoreStates engages in a variety of other CRA activities, including support for public debt issues for local units of government; industrial development lending in cooperation with local and regional development authorities; a wide range of credit and banking services to health care facilities; and secured loans to individuals and businesses through consumer finance and commercial finance subsidiaries as well as the banks. The Board has carefully reviewed Protestant's allegation that 83 percent of mortgage dollars extended by PNB went to census tracts with less than 10 percent minority population, while only 5.3 percent of mortgage dollars were extended in census tracts with minority populations of 40 percent or more. An analysis of the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act ("HMDA") data for PNB in the Philadelphia Metropolitan Statistical Area ("PMSA") indicates, however, that there is no evidence of discriminatory or other illegal credit practices by PNB. When compared with other HMDA-reporting lenders in the PMSA, PNB devoted a much higher percentage of its portfolio to those areas with a substantial minority population, and a lesser percentage of its mortgage loan portfolio to mostly white neighborhoods than aggregate lenders. In 1987 and 1988, PNB made 25 and 24 percent of the total number of mortgage loans in census tracts with minority populations of greater than 40 percent. These census tracts constitute approximately 16 percent of the owner-occupied housing units in the PMSA. In mostly white census tracts, which constitute 68 percent of owner-occupied units, PNB made 62 and 55 percent of its mortgage loans in 1987 and 1988.15 For home improvement lending, PNB's 15. Eighteen percent, or 217 out of 1,187, of the PMSA's census tracts have a minority population of 40 percent or more. These 217 tracts account for only 16 percent of the owner-occupied housing units in the PMSA. At the same time, 756, or 64 percent, of the tracts have lower than 10 percent minority population, and account for 68 percent of the owner-occupied units. 179 lending was roughly the same as the aggregate in those neighborhoods during 1987 and 1988. Protestant bases its comments on an analysis of the level of loans by dollar amount, rather than on the number of loans made as reported under HMD A. Because differences in housing values will affect the size of mortgage and home improvement loans, analysis of the number of loans made is a more reliable indicator of lending practices than percentages based on loan amounts. For the foregoing reasons, and based upon the overall CRA record of CoreStates and PNB, and other facts of record, the Board concludes that convenience and needs considerations, including the record of performance under the CRA of CoreStates, PNB and CoreStates's other subsidiaries, are consistent with approval of this application. CoreStates has also applied, pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act, to acquire certain nonbanking subsidiaries of First Penn. CoreStates and First Penn operate subsidiaries that engage in investment advisory activities, credit related health, accident and life insurance, and mortgage lending. These activities are permissible for bank holding companies under the Board's Regulation Y. 16 The market share controlled by each of these subsidiaries is small, and there are numerous competitors for their services. Accordingly, consummation of this proposal would have a de minimis effect on competition in each of these markets, and the Board concludes that the proposal would not have any significantly adverse effect on competition in the provision of these services in any relevant market. Furthermore, there is no evidence in the record to indicate that approval of this proposal would result in undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices, or other adverse effects on the public interest. Accordingly, the Board has determined that the balance of public interest factors it must consider under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act is favorable and consistent with approval of CoreStates's application to acquire the nonbanking subsidiaries of First Penn. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the consummation of the transaction would be in the public interest, and that the applications under sections 3 and 4 should be, and hereby are, approved. The acquisition of First Penn shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective day of this Order, or later than three months following the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of 16. 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(4), (b)(8) and (b)(1), respectively. 180 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Philadelphia, acting pursuant to delegated authority. The determinations as to Applicant's nonbanking activities are subject to all of the conditions contained in the Board's Regulation Y, including sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3) (12 C.F.R. 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3)), and to the Board's authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with, or to prevent evasion of, the provisions and purposes of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder. By order of the Board of Governors, effective January 29, 1990. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Kelley, and LaWare. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board ORDERS ISSUED UNDER BANK MERGER ACT Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company Buffalo, New York Order Approving the Acquisition of Assets and Assumption of Liabilities of a Savings Bank Manufacturers and Traders Trust Company, Buffalo, New York, has applied for the Board's approval under the Bank Merger Act (12 U.S.C. § 1828(c)) to acquire certain assets and assume certain liabilities of Monroe Savings Bank, FSB, Rochester, New York, ("Bank"), an FDIC-insured savings bank. Public notice of the application before the Board is not required by the Act, and, in view of the emergency situation, the Board has not followed its normal practice of affording interested parties the opportunity to submit comments and views. In view of the emergency situation involving Bank, the Office of Thrift Supervision has recommended immediate action by the Board to prevent the probable failure of Bank. In connection with the application, the Secretary of the Board has taken into consideration the competitive effects of the proposed transaction, the financial and managerial resources of the banks concerned, and the convenience and needs of the communities to be served. On the basis of the information before the Board, the Secretary of the Board finds that an emergency situation exists so as to require that the Secretary of the Board act immediately pursuant to the provisions of section 18(c)(3) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (12 U.S.C. § 1828 (c)(3)) in order to safeguard the depositors of Bank. Having considered the record of this application in light of the factors contained in the Bank Merger Act, the Secretary of the Board has determined that consummation of the transaction would be in the public interest and that the application should be approved on a basis that would not preclude immediate consummation of the proposal. On the basis of these considerations, the application is approved. The transaction may be consummated immediately, but in no event later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Secretary of the Board acting pursuant to delegated authority for the Board of Governors, effective January 26, 1990. WILLIAM W . WILES Secretary of the Board APPLICATIONS APPROVED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT By the Secretary of the Board Recent applications have been approved by the Secretary of the Board as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Freedom of Information Office, Office of the Secretary, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Section 3 Applicant(s) First Commercial Corporation, Little Rock, Arkansas Bank(s) ABT Bancshares Corporation, Hot Springs, Arkansas Effective , date January 16, 1990 Legal Developments 181 Section 3—Continued Appiicant(s) First Security Corporation, Salt Lake City, Utah West One Bancorp, Boise, Idaho West One Bancorp, Washington Bellevue, Washington Bank(s) ^ate^ United Savings Bank, Salem, Oregon Bank of Tacoma, Tacoma, Washington January 31, 1990 January 29, 1990 Section 4 Applicant(s) Mid-South Bancorp, Inc., Franklin, Kentucky Effective Bank(s) date General Trust Company, Nashville, Tennessee January 19, 1990 By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Section 3 Applicant Bradford Bankshares, Inc., Starke, Florida Brotherhood Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Kansas Chrisman-Sawyer Bancshares, Inc., Independence, Missouri The Citizens and Southern Corporation, Atlanta, Georgia The Citizens and Southern Florida Corporation, Fort Lauderdale, Florida Durand Bancorp, Inc., Durand, Illinois Financial Bancshares, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri First Banks, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective date Atlanta December 22, 1989 Kansas City January 12, 1990 Kansas City January 19, 1990 M.B. Group, Inc., Marathon, Florida Atlanta January 4, 1990 Durand State Bank, Durand, Illinois First Bank of East Prairie, East Prairie, Missouri West Frankfort Community Bancshares, Inc., West Frankfort, Illinois Chicago January 8, 1990 St. Louis December 29, 1989 St. Louis January 9, 1990 First National Bank of Bradford County, Starke, Florida The Brotherhood Bank and Trust Company, Kansas City, Kansas First City Bank, Independence, Missouri 182 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Section 3—Continued Applicant First City, Inc., Memphis, Tennessee First Eldorado Bancshares, Inc., Eldorado, Illinois First Maiden Bancshares, Inc., Maiden, Missouri First Mid-America Bancorp, Inc., Davenport, Iowa First Mutual Bancorp of Illinois, Inc., Chicago, Illinois First Patriot Bankshares Corporation, Fairfax, Virginia First State Bancorp of Monticello, Inc., Monticello, Illinois First State Bancorp of Princeton, Illinois, Inc., Princeton, Illinois FMS Bancorp, Inc., Poplar Bluff, Missouri Goodenow Bancorporation, Spirit Lake, Iowa Gore-Bronson Bancorp, Inc., Prospect Heights, Illinois International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, Iron Ship Builders, Blacksmiths, Forgers and Helpers, Kansas City, Kansas Las Cruces B.R.G., Inc., Las Cruces, New Mexico Lincoln Financial Corporation, Fort Wayne, Indiana Mercantile Bankshares Corporation, Baltimore, Maryland Merchant Bankshares Group, Inc., Fort Myers, Florida National Penn Bancshares, Inc., Boyertown, Pennsylvania Overton Bank Shares, Inc., Mondamin, Iowa The Owego National Financial Corporation, Owego, New York Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective date First City, A Federal Savings Bank, Memphis, Tennessee First State Bank of Eldorado, Eldorado, Illinois First National Bank of Maiden, Maiden, Missouri The State Bank of Annawan, Annawan, Illinois First State Bancorp of Harvey, Harvey, Illinois St. Louis December 29, 1989 St. Louis December 27, 1989 St. Louis December 19, 1989 Chicago January 10, 1990 Chicago January 11, 1990 Patriot National Bank of Reston, Reston, Virginia Richmond December 27, 1989 Busey Bank of McLean County, Heyworth, Illinois Chicago January 3, 1990 First Bank and Trust Co. of Gridley, Gridley, llinois First Missouri State Bank, Poplar Bluff, Missouri First Trust & Savings Bank, Armstrong, Iowa IRVING BANCORP, INC., Chicago, Illinois Brotherhood Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Kansas Chicago January 5, 1990 St. Louis December 19, 1989 Chicago January 10, 1990 Chicago December 22, 1989 Kansas City January 12, 1990 Rio Grande, N.A., Las Cruces, New Mexico PTC Financial Corporation, Peru, Indiana Baltimore Trust Company, Selbyville, Delaware Dallas January 12, 1990 Chicago December 29, 1989 Richmond December 28, 1989 Merchant National Bank, Fort Myers, Florida Atlanta December 22, 1989 Valley Community Bank, Kingston, Pennsylvania Mondamin Savings Bank, Mondamin, Iowa The Owego National Bank, Owego, New York Philadelphia January 10, 1990 Chicago December 27, 1989 New York December 29, 1989 Legal Developments 183 Section 3—Continued Applicant Bank(s) Piedmont Bancshares Corporation, Winston-Salem, North Carolina Royal Bancshares, Inc., Elroy, Wisconsin Security Chicago, Corp., Chicago, Illinois Enterprise National Bank of the Piedmont, Winston-Salem, North Carolina Bank of Elroy, Elroy, Wisconsin First Bank and Trust Company of Gridley, Gridley, Illinois Fir-Ban Inc., Verona, Kentucky Texas Security Bancshares, Inc., Fort Worth, Texas Central Bank and Trust, Fort Worth, Texas North Fort Worth Bank, Fort Worth, Texas First Financial Services, Inc., Brownsville, Tennessee Security Bancshares, Inc., Paris, Tennessee Peoples State Bank, Three Lakes, Wisconsin First National Bank of Chippewa Falls, Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin The Nehawka Bank, Nehawka, Nebraska Star Banc Corporation, Cincinnati, Ohio Thompson Financial, Ltd., Fort Worth, Texas Union Planters Corporation, Memphis, Tennessee Union Planters Corporation, Memphis, Tennessee Valley Bancorporation, Appleton, Wisconsin Valley Bancorporation, Appleton, Wisconsin WallCo, Inc., Nehawka, Nebraska Reserve Bank Effective date Richmond January 3, 1990 Chicago January 8, 1990 Chicago January 5, 1990 Cleveland January 5, 1990 Dallas January 10, 1990 St. Louis January 4, 1990 St. Louis January 4, 1990 Chicago December 21, 1989 Chicago December 21, 1989 Kansas City December 21, 1989 Section 4 Applicant Compagnie Financiere de Suez, Paris, France Banque Indosuez, Paris, France Dunlap Iowa Holding Co., Dunlap, Iowa Northern Missouri Bancshares, Inc., Unionville, Missouri Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Union Planters Corporation, Memphis, Tennessee Nonbanking Activity/Company brokerage of foreign currency options and in the provision of incidental investment advice with respect to such options to increase the dollar volume of its lending authority Harrison County Bancshares, Inc., Bethany, Missouri First Interstate Corporation of Wisconsin, Kohler, Wisconsin Union Planters Investment Bankers Corporation, Memphis, Tennessee Reserve Bank Effective date New York December 22, 1989 Chicago December 27, 1989 Kansas City January 18, 1990 Minneapolis December 29, 1989 St. Louis December 28, 1989 184 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Section 4—Continued Applicant The Yasuda Trust & Banking Co., Ltd., Tokyo,Japan Nonbanking Activity/Company MASI, Ltd., Deerfield, Illinois Reserve Bank New York Effective date January 22, 1990 APPLICATIONS APPROVED UNDER BANK MERGER ACT By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Applicant Central State Bank, Elkader, Iowa First Illini Bank, Galesburg, Illinois Ohio Citizens Bank, Toledo, Ohio First State Savings Bank, McGregor, Iowa Abingdon Bank and Trust Company, Abingdon, Illinois Community Bank & Trust Company, Canton, Illinois Madison Park Bank, Peoria, Illinois Fremont Office of Diamond Savings and Loan Company, Findlay, Ohio PENDING CASES INVOLVING THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS This list of pending cases does not include suits against the Federal Reserve Banks in which the Board of Governors is not named a party. Woodward v. Board of Governors, No. 90-3031 (11th Cir., filed January 16, 1990); Kaimowitz v. Board of Governors, undocketed (11th Cir., filed January 23, 1990). Petitions for review of Board order dated December 22, 1989, approving application by First Union Corporation to acquire Florida National Banks. Petitioners object to approval on Community Reinvestment Act grounds, and have moved for a stay of the Board's order. Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, No. 89-1730 (D.C. Cir., filed November 29, Reserve Bank Bank(s) Effective date Chicago December 21, 1989 Chicago January 12, 1990 Cleveland January 19, 1990 1989). Petition for review of Board order approving application under section 4(c)(8) to engage in private placement and riskless principal activities. The case has been held in abeyance pending the outcome of Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, No. 89-1127 (D.C. Circuit). Babcock and Brown Holdings, Inc., et al. v. Board of Governors, No. 89-70518 (9th Cir., filed November 22, 1989). Petition for review of Board determination that a company would control a proposed insured bank for purposes of the Bank Holding Company Act. Consumers Union of U.S., Inc. v. Board of Governors, No. 89-3008 (D.D.C., filed November 1, 1989). Challenge to various aspects of amendments to Regulation Z implementing the Home Equity Loan Consumer Protection Act. Synovus Financial Corp. v. Board of Governors, No. 89-1394 (D.C. Cir., filed June 21, 1989). Petition for Legal Developments review of Board order permitting relocation of a bank holding company's national bank subsidiary from Alabama to Georgia. MCorp v. Board of Governors, No. 89-2816 (5th Cir., filed May 2, 1989). Appeal of preliminary injunction against the Board enjoining pending and future enforcement actions against bank holding company now in bankruptcy. Awaiting decision. Independent Insurance Agents of America v. Board of Governors, No. 89-4030 (2d Cir., filed March 9, 1989). Petition for review of Board order ruling that the non-banking restrictions of section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act apply only to non-bank subsidiaries of bank holding companies. Board's order upheld on November 29, 1989. Petition for rehearing denied; petitioners have moved for a stay pending Supreme Court review. Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, No. 89-1127 (D.C. Cir., filed February 16, 1989). Petition for review of Board order permitting five bank holding companies to engage to a limited extent in additional securities underwriting and dealing activities. American Land Title Assoc. v. Board of Governors, No. 88-1872 (D.C. Cir., filed December 16, 1988). Petition for review of Board order ruling that exemption G from the section 4(c)(8) prohibition on insurance activities, which grandfathers insurance agency activities by bank holding companies that conducted insurance agency activities before January 1, 1971, does not limit those grandfathered activities to the specific ones undertaken at that time. Board's order upheld on December 29, 1989. MCorp v. Board of Governors, No. CA3-88-2693 (N.D. Tex., filed October 10, 1988). Application for injunction to set aside temporary cease and desist orders. Stayed pending outcome of MCorp v. Board of Governors in Fifth Circuit. White v. Board of Governors, No. CU-S-88-623-RDF (D. Nev., filed July 29, 1988). Age discrimination complaint. Cohen v. Board of Governors, No. 88-1061 (D.N.J., filed March 7, 1988). Action seeking disclosure of documents under the Freedom of Information Act. Chase Manhattan Corp. v. Board of Governors, No. 87-1333 (D.C. Cir., filed July 20, 1987). Petition to review order conditionally approving application for bank holding company to underwrite and deal in mortgage-related securities to a limited extent. Dismissed by stipulation on December 28, 1989. Lewis v. Board of Governors, Nos. 87-3455, 87-3545 (11th Cir., filed June 25, August 3, 1987). Petition for review of Board orders approving applications of non-Florida bank holding companies to expand activities of Florida trust company subsidiaries. Mat 185 ter stayed pending Supreme Court review of Continental Illinois Corp. v. Lewis, 827 F.2d 1517 (11th Cir. 1987). FINAL ENFORCEMENT ORDERS ISSUED BY THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS Bruce F. Dailey Director of First Security Bank of Missoula Missoula, Montana The Federal Reserve Board announced on October 31, 1989, the issuance, on October 30, 1989, of an Order of Prohibition against Bruce F. Dailey, the former chairman of the board of directors of the First Security Bank of Missoula, Missoula, Montana, in settlement of an enforcement action instituted against him. In an enforcement proceeding, the Board contended that Mr. Dailey misappropriated at least $100,000 from the bank, while he was the chairman of its board, through the use of false loan documents. Without admitting any allegations made by the Board, Mr. Dailey consented to the issuance of the Order of Prohibition. Mr. Dailey is henceforth prohibited from participating, including serving as an officer, director, or employee, in any manner in the conduct of the affairs of any financial institution supervised by a federal financial institutions supervisory agency without the approval of the appropriate federal banking agencies. EVCO, Inc. Evanston, Wyoming Stockgrowers State Bank Company, Inc. Worland, Wyoming The Federal Reserve Board announced on January 30, 1990, the issuance of a Final Decision and Final Order assessing civil money penalties in an aggregate amount of $3,015,000 against seven former officials of EVCO, Inc., Evanston, Wyoming, and Stockgrowers State Bank Company, Inc., Worland, Wyoming. They are Daniel M. Burke, John P. Burke, M. Joseph Burke, John A. Edmiston, Don C. Davis, Lyle R. Lake, and James R. Sperry. The Board also issued Orders of Prohibition against four of those officials, Daniel M. Burke, M. Joseph Burke, Edmiston, and Davis. 186 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 National Bank of Greece Athens, Greece The Federal Reserve Board announced on September 25, 1989, the issuance of a Consent Cease and Desist Order and Consent Assessment of Civil Money Penalty as to the National Bank of Greece and the National Mortgage Bank of Greece. The Consent Order is in settlement of enforcement proceedings instituted by the Board because of alleged unsafe and unsound practices and alleged violations of law and regulation that generally arose out of the receipt of deposits by representative offices of the National Mortgage Bank in New York and in three other states. The National Mortgage Bank of Greece, without admitting any of the allegations in the proceeding, agreed to pay a fine of $2,000,000. The National Bank of Greece, without admitting any of the allegations in the proceeding, agreed to pay a fine of $125,000. A1 Financial and Business Statistics N O T E . The following tables may have discontinuities in historical data for some beginning with the December 1989 issue: 1.33, 1.44, 1.52, 1.57-1.60, 2.10, 2.12, 2.13, some series 1.12, 3.10, COMMERCIAL BANKING CONTENTS Domestic 3.11, 3.15-3.20, 3.22-3.25, 3.27, 3.28, and 4.30. For a more detailed explanation of the changes, see the announcement on page 16 of the January 1990 Bulletin. Financial Statistics INSTITUTIONS A17 Major nondeposit funds A18 Assets and liabilities, last-Wednesday-of-month series MONEY STOCK AND BANK CREDIT A3 Reserves, money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A4 Reserves of depository institutions, Reserve Bank credit A5 Reserves and borrowings—Depository institutions WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL A19 A20 A21 A22 A6 Selected borrowings in immediately available funds—Large member banks Assets and liabilities All reporting banks Banks in New York City Branches and agencies of foreign banks Gross demand deposits—individuals, partnerships, and corporations FINANCIAL POLICY INSTRUMENTS A7 Federal Reserve Bank interest rates A8 Reserve requirements of depository institutions A9 Federal Reserve open market transactions FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS A10 Condition and Federal Reserve note statements A l l Maturity distribution of loan and security holdings MONETARY AND CREDIT AGGREGATES A12 Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base A13 Money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A15 Bank debits and deposit turnover A16 Loans and securities—All commercial banks BANKS MARKETS A23 Commercial paper and bankers dollar acceptances outstanding A23 Prime rate charged by banks on short-term business loans A24 Interest rates—money and capital markets A25 Stock market—Selected statistics A26 Selected financial institutions—Selected assets and liabilities FEDERAL A28 A29 A30 A30 FINANCE Federal fiscal and financing operations U.S. budget receipts and outlays Federal debt subject to statutory limitation Gross public debt of U.S. Treasury—Types and ownership A31 U.S. government securities dealers—Transactions A32 U.S. government securities dealers—Positions and financing A3 3 Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies—Debt outstanding 2 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 SECURITIES MARKETS AND CORPORATE FINANCE A34 New security issues—State and local governments and corporations A35 Open-end investment companies—Net sales and asset position A35 Corporate profits and their distribution A35 Total nonfarm business expenditures on new plant and equipment A36 Domestic finance companies—Assets and liabilities and business credit REAL ESTATE A37 Mortgage markets A3 8 Mortgage debt outstanding CONSUMER INSTALLMENT A56 U.S. reserve assets A56 Foreign official assets held at Federal Reserve Banks A57 Foreign branches of U.S. banks—Balance sheet data A59 Selected U.S. liabilities to foreign official institutions REPORTED BY BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES A59 A60 A62 A63 Liabilities to and claims on foreigners Liabilities to foreigners Banks' own claims on foreigners Banks' own and domestic customers' claims on foreigners A63 Banks' own claims on unaffiliated foreigners A64 Claims on foreign countries—Combined domestic offices and foreign branches CREDIT A39 Total outstanding and net change A40 Terms REPORTED BY NONBANKING BUSINESS ENTERPRISES IN THE UNITED STATES FLOW OF FUNDS A65 Liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners A66 Claims on unaffiliated foreigners A41 Funds raised in U.S. credit markets A43 Direct and indirect sources of funds to credit markets A44 Summary of credit market debt outstanding A45 Summary of credit market claims, by holder Domestic Nonfinancial SECURITIES HOLDINGS AND A67 Foreign transactions in securities A68 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes—Foreign transactions Statistics INTEREST AND EXCHANGE SELECTED MEASURES A46 Nonfinancial business activity—Selected measures A47 Labor force, employment, and unemployment A48 Output, capacity, and capacity utilization A49 Industrial production—Indexes and gross value A51 Housing and construction A52 Consumer and producer prices A53 Gross national product and income A54 Personal income and saving International SUMMARY Statistics STATISTICS A55 U.S. international transactions—Summary A56 U.S. foreign trade TRANSACTIONS RATES A69 Discount rates of foreign central banks A69 Foreign short-term interest rates A70 Foreign exchange rates A71 Guide to Tabular Presentation, Statistical Releases, and Special Tables SPECIAL TABLES A73 Terms of lending at commercial banks, May 1989 and November 1989 A84 Assets and liabilities of U. S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, September 30, 1989 A88 Pro forma balance sheet and income statement for priced service operations, September 30, 1989 Money Stock and Bank Credit A3 1.10 RESERVES, MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Annual rates of change, seasonally adjusted in percent 1 1989 1989 Monetary and credit aggregates Ql 1 2 3 4 Reserves of depository institutions2 Total Required Nonborrowed Monetary base3 5 6 7 8 9 Concepts of money, liquid assets, and debt4 Ml M2 M3 L Debt Nontrgnsaction components 10 In M25 11 In M3 only6 Time and savings deposits Commercial banks Savings Small-denomination time Large-denomination time • Thrift institutions 15 Savings 16 Small-denomination time 17 Large-denomination time 12 13 14 Debt components4 18 Federal 19 Nonfederal Q2 Q3 -4.2 -4.4 .0 4.6 -8.7 -7.6 -10.2 1.5 .3 .1 8.3 2.9 5.7 5.5 7.8 4.1 Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov.' 1.1 2.8 1.5 1.2 9.6 8.6 9.3 7.5 8.1 6.5 11.0 2.8 -1.1 .4 3.1 1.3 8.5 9.1 10.3 9.4 Dec. -.4 1.9 3.7 5.0 8.4 -5.6 1.2 2.5' 4.7 7.9 1.5 7.1' 4.0' 4.4r 7.2 6.7 7.7 2.8 n.a. 7.5 .3 7.3 1.9 3.9' 8.1 5.8 6.8' .4' 1.6' 7.1 10.1 7.6 2.9 3.1 7.8 2.8 8.6 5.0 3.1 8.2 12.2 7.8 3.7 n.a. n.a. 2.6 10.5' 3.6' i.y 9.0r -7.or 8.0 -15.0 9.6' -17.5' 7.2' -22.8' 6.8 -14.8 10.4 -8.4 6.4 -12.3 -3.7 22.5 18.1 -14.2 29.0 17.7 -.2 10.3r 2.r 8.9 8.3 1.5 7.3 7.5 -2.<r 7.9 3.9 -3.3' 5.9 13.0 5.0 13.6 6.0 6.6 11.4 8.3 -5.9 -7.7 4.3 1.2 -19.0 14.0 5.9 -6.7 9.9' -9.6 4.1 -4.5 -28.4 -1.7' 5.3' -22.6' 4.2' -2.9 -29.2' 3.6 -10.0 -34.3 7.7 -4.0 -27.1 3.7 -2.0 -23.3 7.7 8.6 6.9 8.2 11.0 5.9 9.8 7.2 11.1 7.4 1. Unless otherwise noted, rates of change are calculated from average amounts outstanding in preceding month or quarter. 2. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act and other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. To adjust for discontinuities due to changes in reserve requirements on reservable nondeposit liabilities, the sum of such required reserves is subtracted from the actual series. Similarly, in adjusting for discontinuities in the monetary base, required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float also are subtracted from the actual series. 3. The monetary base not adjusted for discontinuities consists of total reserves plus required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float at Federal Reserve Banks plus the currency component of the money stock less the amount of vault cash holdings of thrift institutions that is included in the currency component of the money stock plus, for institutions not having required reserve balances, the excess of current vault cash over the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. After the introduction of contemporaneous reserve requirements (CRR), currency and vault cash figures are measured over the weekly computation period ending Monday. Before CRR, all components of the monetary base other than excess reserves are seasonally adjusted as a whole, rather than by component, and excess reserves are added on a not seasonally adjusted basis. After CRR, the seasonally adjusted series consists of seasonally adjusted total reserves, which include excess reserves on a not seasonally adjusted basis, plus the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock plus the remaining items seasonally adjusted as a whole. 4. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: Ml: (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) other checkable deposits (OCD) consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. M2: Ml plus overnight (and continuing contract) repurchase agreements (RPs) issued by all commercial banks and overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide, Money Market Deposit Accounts (MMDAs), savings and small-denomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt general purpose and broker-dealer money market mutual funds. Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh balances at depository Q4 4.6 8.0 9.6 6.9 8.8 8.0 n.a. n.a. institutions and money market funds. Also excludes all balances held by U.S. commercial banks, money market funds (general purpose and broker-dealer), foreign governments and commercial banks, and the U.S. government. M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits and term RP liabilities (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by commercial banks and thrift institutions, term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada, and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt, institution-only money market mutual funds. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Also subtracted is the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper and bankers acceptances, net of money market mutual fund holdings of these assets. Debt: Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. government, state and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors. Private debt consists of corporate bonds, mortgages, consumer credit (including bank loans), other bank loans, commercial paper, bankers acceptances, and other debt instruments. The source of data on domestic nonfinancial debt is the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts. Debt data are based on monthly averages. Growth rates for debt reflect adjustments for discontinuities over time in the levels of debt presented in other tables. 5. Sum of overnight RPs and Eurodollars, money market fund balances (general purpose and broker-dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits less the estimated amount of demand deposits and vault cash held by thrift institutions to service their time and savings deposit liabilities. 6. Sum of large time deposits, term RPs, and Eurodollars of U.S. residents, money market fund balances (institution-only), less a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. 7. Excludes MMDAs. 8. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All IRA and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrifts are subtracted from small time deposits. 9. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 10. Large-denomination time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market mutual funds, depository institutions, and foreign banks and official institutions. A4 1.11 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS A N D RESERVE BANK CREDIT Millions of dollars Monthly averages of daily figures Weekly averages of daily figures for week ending 1989 1989 Factors Oct. Nov. Dec. Nov. 15 Nov. 22 Nov. 29 Dec. 6 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 260,634 265,521 269,244 261,218 261,012 264,506 266,554 267,710 267,551 270,879 215,920 215,920 0 6,546 6,546 0 0 608 734 36,825 11,064 8,518 19,462 217,455 216,475 980 6,602 6,525 77 0 346 1,024 37,093 11,062 8,518 19,529 224,142 223,031 1,111 6,683 6,525 158 0 289 1,128 37,003 11,059 8,518 19,585 214,890 214,890 0 6,525 6,525 0 0 341 1,197 38,265 11,062 8,518 19,522 217,268 216,872 396 6,536 6,525 11 0 202 858 36,148 11,061 8,518 19,536 220,059 216,254 3,805 6,845 6,525 320 0 680 981 35,941 11,060 8,518 19,550 223,003 223,003 0 6,525 6,525 0 0 171 672 36,184 11,060 8,518 19,564 223,498 223,040 458 6,549 6,525 24 0 132 832 36,699 11,059 8,518 19,578 222,841 222,609 232 6,544 6,525 19 0 189 1,314 36,665 11,059 8,518 19,592 224,613 221,943 2,670 6,786 6,525 261 0 513 1,692 37,275 11,059 8,518 19,606 249,190 439 251,807 448 256,870 448 251,338 449 252,158 451 253,641 448 253,842 445 255,349 448 256,683 447 259,112 447 6,111 245 5,008 234 4,787 286 4,757 213 4,449 239 5,093 253 5,162 327 4,475 223 4,402 252 4,571 215 1,866 327 1,944 333 1,817 397 1,880 248 1,984 293 1,966 457 1,904 283 2,165 231 1,881 337 1,822 337 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 1 Reserve Bank credit 2 U.S. government securities1 3 Bought outright 4 Held under repurchase agreements 5 Federal agency obligations Bought outright 6 7 Held under repurchase agreements 8 Acceptances 9 Loans 10 Float 11 Other Federal Reserve assets 12 Gold stock2 13 Special drawing rights certificate account... 14 Treasury currency outstanding ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 15 Currency in circulation 16 Treasury cash holdings Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks 17 Treasury 18 Foreign 19 Service-related balances and adjustments 20 Other 21 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 22 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 8,091 7,862 8,242 7,716 7,651 7,912 8,464 8,458 7,839 8,140 33,410 33,993 35,559 33,717 32,903 33,866 35,268 35,515 34,878 35,417 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 End-of-month figures Wednesday figures 1989 1989 Oct. Nov. Dec. 23 Reserve Bank credit 264,717 267,060 24 U.S. government securities' 25 Bought outright 26 Held under repurchase agreements 27 Federal agency obligations Bought outright 28 29 Held under repurchase agreements 30 Acceptances 31 Loans 32 Float 33 Other Federal Reserve assets 34 Gold stock2 35 Special drawing rights certificate account... 36 Treasury currency outstanding 218,176 218,176 0 6,525 6,525 0 0 270 1,471 38,275 11,062 8,518 19,494 223,142 223,142 0 6,525 6,525 0 0 181 668 36,544 11,060 8,518 19,564 249,025 444 Nov. 15 Nov. 22 276,622 261,062 263,150 275,731 266,028 272,155 270,208 283,575 228,367 226,775 1,592 7,050 6,525 525 0 481 1,093 39,631 11,059 8,518 19,615 216,088 216,088 0 6,525 6,525 0 0 1,329 563 36,556 11,062 8,518 19,522 219,406 216,633 2,773 6,599 6,525 74 0 170 890 36,086 11,061 8,518 19,536 228,898 216,672 12,226 7,689 6,525 1,164 0 1,225 1,022 36,898 11,060 8,518 19,550 221,821 221,821 0 6,525 6,525 0 0 136 1,003 36,543 11,059 8,518 19,564 226,601 223,395 3,206 6.691 6,525 166 0 147 1,649 37,068 11,059 8,518 19,578 224,245 222,623 1,622 6,655 6,525 130 0 182 2,100 37,028 11,059 8,518 19,592 233,951 222,195 11,756 8,026 6,525 1,501 0 2,159 1,514 37,926 11,059 8,518 19,606 253,960 445 260,443 455 251,555 452 253,389 447 253,928 448 254,561 448 256,013 447 257,700 447 260,291 447 13,124 252 5,500 307 6,217 589 6,637 277 4,504 244 6,470 185 4,020 241 5.692 206 5,356 228 5,029 269 1,623 292 1,638 311 1,618 1,298 1,636 301 1,639 232 1,639 949 1,638 230 1,636 217 1,637 228 1,626 523 8,303 8,402 8,486 7,405 7,572 7,855 8,292 7,878 7,641 8,062 30,728 35,639 36,709 31,901 34,238 43,385 35,739 39,221 36,141 46,511 Nov. 29 Dec. 6 Dec. 13 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 37 Currency in circulation 38 Treasury cash holdings2 Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks 39 Treasury 40 Foreign 41 Service-related balances and adjustments 42 Other 43 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 44 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 1. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes any securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2. Revised for periods between October 1986 and April 1987. At times during this interval, outstanding gold certificates were inadvertently in excess of the gold stock. Revised data not included in this table are available from the Division of Monetary Affairs, Banking Section. 3. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. NOTE. For amounts of currency and coin held as reserves, see table 1.12. Components may not add to totals because of rounding. Money Stock and Bank Credit 1.12 RESERVES AND BORROWINGS A5 Depository Institutions1 Millions of dollars Monthly averages9 Reserve classification Reserve balances with Reserve Banks2 Total vault cash Vault4 Surplus Total reserves6 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks Total borrowings at Reserve Banks Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks Extended credit at Reserve Banks 1988 1989 Dec. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1987 Dec. Dec. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 37,673 26,185 24,449 1,736 62,123 61,094 1,029 777 93 483 37,830 27,197 25,909 1,288 63,739 62,699 1,040 1,716 130 1,244 35,437 28,782 27,374 1,409 62,810 61,887 923 265 84 20 33,852 27,151 25,735 1,416 59,587 58,681 905 1,490 431 917 33,902 27,851 26,351 1,500 60,254 59,288 966 694 497 106 32,823 28,358 26,735 1,622 59,559 58,674 885 675 490 41 33,556 28,085 26,570 1,515 60,126 59,188 938 693 452 22 33,123 28,900 27,275 1,625 60,397 59,378 1,020 555 330 21 33,94 V 28,519 27,048 1,471 60,989 60,044 945 349 134 21 35,437 28,782 27,374 1,409 62,810 61,887 923 265 84 20 1989 Biweekly averages of daily figures for weeks ending 1989 1990 Sept. 6 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks2 Total vault cash1 Vault 4 ..5 Surplus Total reserves6 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks7 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks Extended credit at Reserve Banks Sept. 20 Oct. 4 Oct. 18 Nov. 1 Nov. 15 Nov. 29 Dec. 13r Dec. 27r Jan. 10 33,053 27,710 26,153 1,557 59,206 58,247 959 538 485 22 34,424 28,095 26,660 1,436 61,083 60,195 888 614 438 21 32,643 28,298 26,695 1,603 59,338 58,343 995 898 453 25 33,581 29,096 27,531 1,565 61,112 60,186 926 653 342 19 32,778 28,875 27,177 1,698 59,955 58,827 1,128 345 280 23 34,468 27,907 26,552 1,355 61,020 60,139 881 272 147 20 33,394 29,156 27,574 1,582 60,968 59,958 1,009 441 115 23 35,399 27,821 26,509 1,312 61,908 61,149 759 151 87 22 35,131 29,415 27,903 1,513 63,033 62,015 1,018 351 89 19 36,630 29,695 28,334 1,361 64,963 63,841 1,122 339 58 19 1. These data also appear in the Board's H.3 (502) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. 3. Dates refer to the maintenance periods in which the vault cash can be used to satisfy reserve requirements. Under contemporaneous reserve requirements, maintenance periods end 30 days after the lagged computation periods in which the balances are held. 4. Equal to all vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 5. Total vault cash at institutions having no required reserve balances less the amount of vault cash equal to their required reserves during the maintenance period. 6. Total reserves not adjusted for discontinuities consist of reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks, which exclude required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float, plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements. Such vault cash consists of all vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 7. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements less required reserves. 8. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as there is with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market impact of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 9. Data are prorated monthly averages of biweekly averages. A6 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 1.13 SELECTED BORROWINGS IN IMMEDIATELY AVAILABLE FUNDS Large Member Banks1 Averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1988 and 1989 week ending Monday Maturity and source Dec. 5 Dec. 12 Dec. 19 Dec. 26 Jan. 2 Jan. 9 Jan. 16 Jan. 23 Jan. 30 Federal funds purchased, repurchase agreements, and other selected borrowing in immediately available funds From commercial banks in the United States For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities From other depository institutions, foreign banks and foreign official institutions, and U.S. government agencies For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities 74,471 9,940 70,886 9,829 69,448 10,114 70,964 9,810 67,427 9,356 75,520 9,753 70,344 10,870 69,604 10,424 66,372 9,947 28,709 6,545 30,368 7,418 26,454 7,778 24,933 8,730 22,855 7,709 28,713 6,801 26,331 7,431 24,937 6,694 27,974 6,345 Repurchase agreements on U.S. government and federal agency securities in immediately available funds Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities All other customers For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities 14,929 10,352 15,392 10,890 14,634 10,659 13,043 11,003 12,610 8,252 15,134 9,458 14,513 11,235 15,955 11,280 16,041 12,425 30,312 9,790 30,307 9,651 29,321 9,790 27,986 10,860 27,418 9,248 28,613 9,154 29,334 9,547 28,826 9,389 28,775 9,750 MEMO: Federal funds loans and resale agreements in immediately available funds in maturities of one day or under continuing contract 9 To commercial banks in the United States 10 To all other specified customers2 39,202 13,277 35,912 13,936 39,237 14,108 40,080 14,987 38,015 12,747 42,159 15,135 40,105 14,111 40,596 14,784 40,075 13,584 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1. Banks with assets of $1 billion or more as of Dec. 31, 1977. These data also appear in the Board's H.5 (507) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities; other depository institutions; foreign banks and official institutions; and United States government agencies, Policy Instruments 1.14 A7 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK INTEREST RATES Percent per year Current and previous levels Extended credit2 Adjustment credit and Seasonal credit1 Federal Reserve Bank After 30 days of borrowing3 First 30 days of borrowing On 1/29/90 Effective date Previous rate On 1/29/90 Effective date Previous rate On 1/29/90 EfFective date Previous rate 7 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 6V5 7 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 6Vl 8.70 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 8.75 Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco . . . 7 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/27/89 2/24/89 6Vi 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/27/89 2/24/89 7 6V5 8.70 Range of rates for adjustment credit in recent years Effective date In effect Dec. 31, 1977. 1978—Jan. 9 20 May 11 12 July 3 10 Aug. 21 Sept. 22 Oct. 16 20 Nov. 1 3 1979—July 20 Aug. 17 20 Sept. 19 21 Oct. 8 10 1980—Feb. 15 19 May 29 30 June 13 16 Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 6 6 6 Vi 6V5 7 7 71/4 7V4 7% 8 8V5 6-6V1 6'/5 6V5-7 7 7-7V4 71/4 7V4 8 8-8i/> 8'/> S'A-9>A 9Vi 10 10-10'/! 10V5 10!/5-l 1 11 11-12 12 12-13 13 12-13 12 11-12 11 8V2 m 9 Yi 1 0 1 '> 0/ 10W 11 11 12 12 13 13 13 12 11 11 Effective date F.R. Bank of N.Y. 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 1/11/90 8.75 4 Effectiv Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks 1980-—July 28 —July 29 Sept. 26 Nov. 17 Dec. 5 10-11 10 11 12 12-13 10 10 11 12 13 1984—Apr. 9 13 Nov. 71 76 Dec. 74 81/5-9 9 8V5-9 8 Vl 8 9 9 m 8'A 8 1981-—May —May 13-14 14 13-14 13 12 14 14 13 13 12 1985—May 70 74 7V5-8 71/5 71/5 71/5 1986—Mar. 7 10 Apr. 71 July 11 Aug. 71 77 7-7!A 7 61/5-7 6 51/5-6 5V 5 7 7 6 Vi 6 51/5 5V5 1987—Sept. 4 11 5V5-6 6 6 6 9 11 6-61/5 6"/5 6V5 6'/5 1989—Feb. 74 77 6V5-7 7 7 7 In effect Jan . 29 7 7 Nov. Dec. 5 8 2 6 4 1982--July 20 -July 23 Aug. 2 3 16 27 30 Oct. 12 13 Nov. 22 26 Dec. 14 15 17 1. Adjustment credit is available on a short-term basis to help depository institutions meet temporary needs for funds that cannot be met through reasonable alternative sources. After May 19, 1986, the highest rate established for loans to depository institutions may be charged on adjustment credit loans of unusual size that result from a major operating problem at the borrower's facility. Seasonal credit is available to help smaller depository institutions meet regular, seasonal needs for funds that cannot be met through special industry lenders and that arise from a combination of expected patterns of movement in their deposits and loans. A temporary simplified seasonal program was established on Mar. 8, 1985, and the interest rate was a fixed rate '/> percent above the rate on adjustment credit. The program was reestablished for 1986 and 1987 but was not renewed for 1988. 2. Extended credit is available to depository institutions, when similar assistance is not reasonably available from other sources, when exceptional circumstances or practices involve only a particular institution or when an institution is experiencing difficulties adjusting to changing market conditions over a longer period of time. 3. For extended-credit loans outstanding more than 30 days, a flexible rate somewhat above rates on market sources of funds ordinarily will be charged, but Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 1/25/90 Effective date 11V5-12 111/5 11-111/! 11 10 Vl 10-10V5 10 91-5-10 9 Vl 9-9V2 9 8W-9 8V5-9 8V5 UVi ll>/5 11 11 10V5 10 10 9 Vi 91Vi 9 9 9 m 8 Vi 1988—Aug. in no case will the rate charged be less than the basic discount rate plus 50 basis points. The flexible rate is reestablished on the first business day of each two-week reserve maintenance period. At the discretion of the Federal Reserve Bank, the time period for which the basic discount rate is applied may be shortened. 4. For earlier data, see the following publications of the Board of Governors: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941, and 1941-1970; Annual Statistical Digest, 1970-1979. In 1980 and 1981, the Federal Reserve applied a surcharge to short-term adjustment credit borrowings by institutions with deposits of $500 million or more that had borrowed in successive weeks or in more than four weeks in a calendar quarter. A 3 percent surcharge was in effect from Mar. 17, 1980 through May 7, 1980. There was no surcharge until Nov. 17, 1980, when a 2 percent surcharge was adopted; the surcharge was subsequently raised to 3 percent on Dec. 5, 1980, and to 4 percent on May 5, 1981. The surcharge was reduced to 3 percent effective Sept. 22, 1981, and to 2 percent effective Oct. 12, 1981. As of Oct. 1, 1981 the formula for applying the surcharge was changed from a calendar quarter to a moving 13-week period. The surcharge was eliminated on Nov. 17, 1981. A8 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 1.15 RESERVE REQUIREMENTS OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS 1 Percent of deposits Type of deposit, and deposit interval Depository institution requirements after implementation of the Monetary Control Act Effective date Net transaction accounts3'4 $0 million-$40.4 million.... More than $40.4 million . . . 12/19/89 12/19/89 5 Nonpersonal time deposits By original maturity Less than 1 Vi years 1 l/i years or more 10/6/83 10/6/83 Eurocurrency liabilities All types 1. Reserve requirements in effect on Dec. 31, 1989. Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with Federal Reserve Banks or vault cash. Nonmember institutions may maintain reserve balances with a Federal Reserve Bank indirectly on a pass-through basis with certain approved institutions. For previous reserve requirements, see earlier editions of the Annual Report or the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Under provisions of the Monetary Control Act, depository institutions include commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, agencies and branches of foreign banks, and Edge corporations. 2. The Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982 (Public Law 97-320) requires that $2 million of reservable liabilities (transaction accounts, nonpersonal time deposits, and Eurocurrency liabilities) of each depository institution be subject to a zero percent reserve requirement. The Board is to adjust the amount of reservable liabilities subject to this zero percent reserve requirement each year for the succeeding calendar year by 80 percent of the percentage increase in the total reservable liabilities of all depository institutions, measured on an annual basis as of June 30. No corresponding adjustment is to be made in the event of a decrease. On Dec. 20, 1988, the exemption was raised from $3.2 million to $3.4 million. In determining the reserve requirements of depository institutions, the exemption shall apply in the following order: (1) net NOW accounts (NOW accounts less allowable deductions); (2) net other transaction accounts; and (3) nonpersonal time deposits or Eurocurrency liabilities starting with those with the highest reserve ratio. With respect to NOW accounts and other transaction accounts, the exemption applies only to such accounts that would be subject to a 3 percent reserve requirement. 3. Transaction accounts include all deposits on which the account holder is permitted to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instruments, payment orders of withdrawal, and telephone and preauthorized transfers in excess of three per month for the purpose of making payments to third persons or others. However, MMDAs and similar accounts subject to the rules that permit no more than six preauthorized, automatic, or other transfers per month, of which no more than three can be checks, are not transaction accounts (such accounts are savings deposits subject to time deposit reserve requirements). 4. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 requires that the amount of transaction accounts against which the 3 percent reserve requirement applies be modified annually by 80 percent of the percentage change in transaction accounts held by all depository institutions, determined as of June 30 each year. Effective Dec. 19, 1989 for institutions reporting quarterly and Dec. 26, 1989 for institutions reporting weekly, the amount was decreased from $41.5 million to $40.4 million. 5. In general, nonpersonal time deposits are time deposits, including savings deposits, that are not transaction accounts and in which a beneficial interest is held by a depositor that is not a natural person. Also included are certain transferable time deposits held by natural persons and certain obligations issued to depository institution offices located outside the United States. For details, see section 204.2 of Regulation D. Policy Instruments 1.17 A9 FEDERAL RESERVE OPEN MARKET TRANSACTIONS 1 Millions of dollars 1989 Type of transaction 1986 1987 1988 May July June Aug. Sept. Nov. Oct. U . S . TREASURY SECURITIES Outright transactions (excluding matched transactions) 1 2 3 4 Treasury bills Gross purchases Gross sales Exchange Redemptions 5 6 7 8 9 22,604 2,502 0 1,000 18,983 6,051 0 9,029 8,223 587 0 2,200 311 321 0 1,200 0 571 0 1,200 0 5,517 0 2,400 0 934 0 800 0 0 0 0 219 1,633 0 1,400 8,794 0 0 3,530 Others within 1 year Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange Redemptions 190 0 18,674 -20,180 0 3,659 300 21,504 -20,388 70 2,176 0 23,854 -24,588 0 0 0 2,863 -3,628 0 0 0 1,828 -1,434 0 0 0 1,749 -1,073 0 0 0 4,200 -4,025 0 0 0 1,832 0 0 0 0 852 -2,678 500 155 0 3,915 -5,502 0 10 11 12 13 1 to 5 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 893 0 -17,058 16,985 10,231 452 -17,975 18,938 5,485 800 -17,720 22,515 0 75 -2,036 3,328 0 0 -1,828 1,434 0 13 -1,584 787 0 150 -3,321 3,425 0 0 -1,832 0 0 24 -758 2,552 0 0 -2,869 4,902 14 15 16 17 5 to 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 236 0 -1,620 2,050 2,441 0 -3,529 950 1,579 175 -5,946 1,797 0 0 258 200 0 0 0 0 0 9 -165 286 0 0 -879 400 0 0 0 0 0 0 -95 126 0 0 -1,046 400 18 19 20 21 Over 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 158 0 0 1,150 1,858 0 0 500 1,398 0 -188 275 0 0 -1,086 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 24,081 2,502 1,000 37,170 6,803 9,099 18,863 1,562 2,200 311 396 1,200 0 571 1,200 0 5,539 2,400 0 1,084 800 0 0 0 219 1,657 1,900 8,949 0 3,530 Matched transactions 25 Gross sales 26 Gross purchases 927,999 927,247 950,923 950,935 1,168,484 1,168,142 123,029 113,041 128,139 138,141 123,373 118,221 146,611 147,228 116,502 120,144 111,430 111,893 105,696 105,243 Repurchase agreements2 27 Gross purchases 28 Gross sales 170,431 160,268 314,621 324,666 152,613 151,497 31,419 41,117 6,203 6,203 4,961 4,961 0 0 9,396 9,396 0 0 15,350 15,350 29,988 11,234 15,872 -20,971 8,232 -13,091 -1,267 3,642 -2,875 4,966 0 0 398 0 0 276 0 0 587 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 0 0 0 0 0 54 0 0 30 0 0 0 31,142 30,521 80,353 81,350 57,259 56,471 12,732 16,573 1,666 1,666 1,137 1,137 0 0 4,011 4,011 0 0 1,247 1,247 35 Net change in federal agency obligations 222 -1,274 198 -3,841 0 -45 0 -54 -30 0 36 Total net change in System Open Market Account 30,212 9,961 16,070 -24,812 8,232 -13,136 -1,267 3,588 -2,905 4,966 All maturities 22 Gross purchases 23 Gross sales 24 Redemptions 29 Net change in U.S. government securities FEDERAL AGENCY OBLIGATIONS Outright transactions 30 Gross purchases 31 Gross sales 32 Redemptions Repurchase agreements2 33 Gross purchases 34 Gross sales 1. Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures increase such holdings. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. In July 1984 the Open Market Trading Desk discontinued accepting bankers acceptances in repurchase agreements, A10 1.18 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Condition and Federal Reserve Note Statements 1 Millions of dollars Wednesday 1989 Account Nov. 29 Dec. 6 End of month 1989 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Oct. Dec. 27 Nov. Dec. Consolidated condition statement ASSETS 15 Total loans and securities 16 Items in process of collection 17 Bank premises Other assets 18 Denominated in foreign currencies 19 All other4 20 Total assets 11,060 8,518 473 11,059 8,518 477 11,059 8,518 495 11,059 8,518 489 11,059 8,518 467 11,062 8,518 492 11,060 8,518 465 11,059 8,518 456 1,225 0 0 136 0 0 146 0 0 182 0 0 2,159 0 0 270 0 0 182 0 0 481 0 0 6,525 1,164 6,525 0 6,525 166 6,525 130 6,525 1,501 6,525 0 6,525 0 6,525 525 94,477 91,381 30,814 216,672 12,226 228,897 99,626 91,381 30,814 221,821 0 221,821 101,201 91,381 30,814 223,395 3,206 226,602 100,428 91,381 30,814 222,623 1,622 224,245 100,000 91,381 30,814 222,195 11,756 233,951 96,136 91,426 30,614 218,176 0 218,176 100,947 91,381 30,814 223,142 0 223,142 104,581 91,381 30,814 226,775 1,592 228,367 237,812 228,482 233,439 231,081 244,136 224,971 229,848 235,898 6,275 776 7,547 787 7,594 789 8,516 790 8,150 789 10,120 775 6,103 776 8,903 790 29,075 7,047 29,593 6,163 29,679 6,600 29,722 6,516 29,784 7,353 28,953 8,548 29,593 6,175 31,333 7,465 301,036 1 Gold certificate account 2 Special drawing rights certificate account 3 Loans 4 To depository institutions 5 Other 6 Acceptances held under repurchase agreements Federal agency obligations 7 Bought outright 8 Held under repurchase agreements U.S. Treasury securities Bought outright 9 Bills 10 Notes 11 Bonds 12 Total bought outright2 13 Held under repurchase agreements 14 Total U.S. Treasury securities 292,626 298,173 296,691 310,256 293,439 292,539 304,424 LIABILITIES 235,299 235,923 237,377 239,045 241,599 230,467 235,306 241,739 22 23 24 25 45,024 6,470 185 949 37,377 4,020 241 230 40,858 5,692 206 217 37,777 5,356 228 228 48,136 5,029 269 523 32,351 13,124 252 292 37,277 5,500 307 311 38,327 6,217 590 1,298 26 Total deposits 52,628 41,868 46,973 43,589 53,958 46,018 43,395 46,430 5,253 3,041 6,543 2,952 5,945 3,003 6,417 2,808 6,637 3,198 8,649 2,819 5,436 3,081 7,773 3,994 296,221 287,286 293,299 291,858 305,392 287,954 287,217 299,935 2,230 2,112 472 2,229 2,112 999 2,232 2,112 530 2,244 2,112 477 2,247 2,112 505 2,223 2,112 1,150 2,229 2,112 980 2,243 2,243 0 33 Total liabilities and capital accounts 301,036 292,626 298,173 296,691 310,256 293,439 292,539 304,423 34 MEMO: Marketable U.S. Treasury securities held in custody for foreign and international accounts 233,024 235,957 233,712 232,269 230,616 235,318 235,096 233,048 21 Federal Reserve notes Deposits To depository institutions U.S. Treasury—General account Foreign—Official accounts Other 27 Deferred credit items 28 Other liabilities and accrued dividends 29 Total liabilities CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 30 Capital paid in 31 Surplus 32 Other capital accounts Federal Reserve note statement 35 Federal Reserve notes outstanding issued to bank 36 LESS: Held by bank 37 Federal Reserve notes, net Collateral held against notes net: 38 Gold certificate account 39 Special drawing rights certificate account 40 Other eligible assets 41 U.S. Treasury and agency securities 279,559 44,260 235,299 280,873 44,950 235,923 281,361 43,984 237,377 280,943 41,899 239,045 280,128 38,529 241,599 278,866 48,398 230,467 279,629 44,321 235,306 279,665 37,926 241,739 11,060 8,518 0 215,721 11,059 8,518 0 216,345 11,059 8,518 0 217,800 11,059 8,518 0 219,468 11,059 8,518 0 222,022 11,062 8,518 0 210,887 11,060 8,518 0 215,728 11,059 8,518 0 222,162 42 Total collateral 235,299 235,923 237,377 239,045 241,599 230,467 235,306 241,739 1. Some of these data also appear in the Board's H.4.1 (503) release. For address, see inside front cover. Components may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. Treasury securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 3. Valued monthly at market exchange rates. 4. Includes special investment account at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in Treasury bills maturing within 90 days. 5. Includes exchange-translation account reflecting the monthly revaluation at market exchange rates of foreign-exchange commitments. Federal Reserve Banks 1.19 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Maturity Distribution of Loan and Security Holdings 1 Millions of dollars Wednesday 1989 Type and maturity groupings End of month 1989 Nov. 29 Dec. 6 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 1,225 1,214 136 72 64 146 89 57 182 2,159 2,157 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 270 193 77 182 11 9 U.S. Treasury securities—Total .. 10 Within 15 days2 11 16 days to 90 days 12 91 days to 1 year 13 Over 1 year to 5 years 14 Over 5 years to 10 years 15 Over 10 years 228,897 19,836 48,452 68,641 52,732 12,529 26,706 221,821 9,418 48,932 70,726 53,509 12,529 26,706 226,602 12,291 50,825 70,741 53,509 12,529 26,706 224,245 11,241 52,183 68,076 53,509 12,529 26,706 233,951 18,134 52,297 70,776 53,509 12,529 26,706 218,176 8,144 48,677 70,197 51,476 13,175 26,506 223,142 4,468 51,283 74,646 53,509 12,529 26,706 16 Federal agency obligations—Total 17 Within 15 days2 18 16 days to 90 days 19 91 days to 1 year 20 Over 1 year to 5 years 21 Over 5 years to 10 years 22 Over 10 years 7,689 1,480 418 1,395 3,159 1,048 189 6,525 70 673 1,386 3,166 1,041 189 6,691 203 636 1,386 3,206 1,071 189 6,655 307 496 1,386 3,206 1,071 188 8,026 1,654 568 1,346 3,198 1,071 188 6,525 89 672 1,357 3,180 1,038 189 6,525 316 418 1,395 3,159 1,048 189 1 Loans—Total 2 Within 15 days 3 16 days to 90 days 4 91 days to 1 year 5 Acceptances—Total 6 Within 15 days 16 days to 90 days 7 8 91 days to 1 year 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1. Holdings under repurchase agreements are classified as maturing within 15 days in accordance with maximum maturity of the agreements. 0 0 0 0 0 177 5 0 0 0 0 0 134 48 0 0 0 0 0 NOTE: Components may not add to totals due to rounding, All A12 1.20 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 AGGREGATE RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS A N D MONETARY BASE 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1989 Item 1986 Dec. 1987 Dec. 1988 Dec. 1989 Dec. May 2 3 4 5 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit Required reserves Monetary base July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 58.75 59.22 59.62 59.57 59.99 Seasonally adjusted ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS2 1 Total reserves3 June 58.14 57.31 57.62 56.77 241.45 60.71 58.69 57.92 58.40 57.66 257.99 58.99 60.23 59.67 275.50 59.99 59.73 59.75 59.07 285.22 58.74 57.02 58.22 57.71 278.43 58.35 56.86 57.78 57.44 279.06 58.70 58.00 58.11 57.73 280.01 58.08 58.12 57.87 280.29 58.53 58.55 58.29 282.04 59.07 59.22 59.73 59.75 59.09 59.24 58.62 59.07 58.60 282.70 283. O(Y 285.22 Not seasonally adjusted 6 Total reserves3 7 8 9 10 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit4 Required reserves Monetary base 59.46 60.06 62.21 61.50 57.72 58.41 58.95 58.30 58.91 58.64 58.94 58.09 245.25 59.28 59.76 59.03 262.08 60.50 61.74 61.17 279.71 61.24 61.26 60.58 289.44 56.00 57.20 56.69 277.59 56.92 57.84 57.51 280.19 58.26 58.37 57.99 282.10 57.62 57.66 57.41 281.09 58.21 58.24 57.97 280.70 59.56 62.12 63.74 62.81 58.91 59.59 60.25 59.56 60.13 58.73 59.04 58.19 247.71 61.35 61.83 61.09 266.16 62.02 63.27 62.70 283.18 62.54 62.56 61.89 292.71 57.19 58.39 57.88 280.64 58.10 59.01 58.68 283.28 59.56 59.67 59.29 285.39 58.88 58.93 58.67 284.23 59.43 59.46 59.19 283.78 59.14 59.72 61.50 58.58 59.37 61.24 58.61 59.39 61.26 58.12 58.77' 60.58 281.37 284.13 289.44 NOT ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS 11 Total reserves3 12 13 14 15 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit4 Required reserves Monetary base 1. Latest monthly and biweeklyfiguresare available from the Board's H.3(502) statistical release. Historical data and estimates of the impact on required reserves of changes in reserve requirements are available from the Monetary and Reserves Projections Section. Division of Monetary Affairs. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. 2. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act and other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. To adjust for discontinuities due to changes in reserve requirements on reservable nondeposit liabilities, the sum of such required reserves is subtracted from the actual series. Similarly, in adjusting for discontinuities in the monetary base, required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float also are subtracted from the actual series. 3. Total reserves not adjusted for discontinuities consist of reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks, which exclude required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float, plus vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 4. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under 60.40 60.99 62.81 59.84 60.64 59.86 60.66 59.38 60.04 284.49 287.35 62.54 62.56 61.89 292.71 the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to helpdepository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there isnot the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as there is with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market impact of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 5. The monetary base not adjusted for discontinuities consists of total reserves plus required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate forfloatat Federal Reserve Banks and the currency component of the money stock plus, for institutions not having required reserve balances, the excess of current vault cash over the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. Currency and vault cash figures are measured over the weekly computation period ending Monday. The seasonally adjusted monetary base consists of seasonally adjusted total reserves, which include excess reserves on a not seasonally adjusted basis, plus the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock and the remaining items seasonally adjusted as a whole. 6. Reflects actuail reserve requirements, including those on nondeposit liabilities, with no adjustments to eliminate the effects of discontinuities associated with implementation of the Monetary Control Act or other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.21 A13 MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, A N D DEBT MEASURES 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 2 1986 Dec. 1987 Dec. 1988 Dec. 1989 1989 Dec. Sept. Oct. Nov.' Dec. 781.1 3,153.5' 4,001.0' 4,813.9' 9,615.3 787.7 3,173.6' 4,010.6' 4,826.2' 9,677.9' 789.6 3,196.2 4,027.3 4,838.7 9,744.2 797.6 3,217.0 4,039.6 n.a. n.a. 219.3 7.2 277.3 277.3 219.7 7.3 280.4 280.3 220.2 7.5 278.9 283.0 222.1 7.5 281.2 286.8 2,372.4' 847.4' 2,385.9' 837.0' 2,406.6 831.1 2,419.4 822.6 Seasonally adjusted 1 2 3 4 3 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 6 7 8 9 Ml components Currency3 Travelers checks4 Demand deposits5 Other checkable deposits6 10 11 Nontransactions components In M27 In M3 only8 12 13 Savings deposits9 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 14 15 725.9 2,811.2 3,494.9 4,135.1 7,597.0 752.3 2,909.9 3,677.8' 4,336.8'' 8,316.1 790.3 3,069.6 3,915.6' 4,672.3' 9,082.2 196.4 7.1 288.3 260.4 211.8 7.6 288.6 282.3 2,157.6 767.9'' 2,279.3 846.0' 155.8 215.2 178.5 237.8 192.5 238.8 189.0 222.8 184.2 220.0 185.1 220.7 187.2 222.1 189.0 222.8 Small-denomination time deposits10 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 364.6 489.3 385.3 528.8 443.1 582.2 521.4 614.3 509.7' 622.5 515.2' 617.3' 517.8 615.3 521.4 614.3 16 17 Money market mutual funds General purpose and broker-dealer Institution-only 208.0 84.4 221.1 89.6 239.4 87.6 309.1 102.8 292.4' 99.1 298.4' 98.7 306.5 102.0 309.1 102.8 18 19 Large-denomination time deposits" Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 288.8 150.1 325.4 162.0 364.9 172.9 397.8 156.4 395.9' 167.9 397.6' 163.1 399.8 159.5 397.8 156.4 20 21 Debt components Federal debt Nonfederal debt 1,805.8 5,791.2 1,957.4 6,358.6 2,113.5 6,968.7 2,238.3 7,439.5' 2,259.0 7,485.2 n.a. n.a. 778.5 3,146.9' 3,999.0' 4,808.6' 9,577.0 784.4 3,169.5' 4,008.0' 4,821.5' 9,643.7' 791.1 3,194.2 4,032.6 4,847.4 9,711.1 811.5 3,223.6 4,048.2 n.a. n.a. 218.7 7.7 275.9 276.2 219.0 7.3 280.3 277.8 221.1 7.0 281.1 281.8 225.3 6.9 291.2 288.1 2,368.5' 852.1' 2,385.1' 838.5' 2,403.1 838.3 2,412.1 824.6 180.5 6.5 303.2 235.8 2,085.3 683.7 797.6 3,217.0 4,039.6 n.a. n.a. 222.1 7.5 281.2 286.8 2,419.4 822.6 n.a. n.a. 2,220.1 7,395.2 Not seasonally adjusted 740.4 2,821.1 3,507.4 4,150.1 7,580.7 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 214.9 6.9 298.8 283.7 225.3 6.9 291.2 288.1 2,152.3 770.1' 2,272.9 848.1' 2,412.1 824.6 358.8 167.5 352.5 150.3 354.4 132.0 338.9 130.2 342.0 131.0 349.7 132.0 354.4 132.0 154.2 212.7 Money market deposit accounts Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 199.3 6.5 298.6 262.0 379.6 192.9 Nontransactions components M2 M3 only8 804.4 3,077.3r 3,925.4 4,685.8' 9,067.5 2,080.7 686.3 Ml components Currency3 Travelers checks4 Demand deposits5 Other checkable deposits6 766.4 2,918.7r 3,688.7 4,351.r 8,297.6 183.0 6.0 314.0 2i7.4 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 176.6 234.8 190.3 235.6 186.8 219.7 184.0' 220.9' 185.5 221.9 186.7 221.2 186.8 219.7 811.5 3,223.6 4,048.2 n.a. n.a. 9 Savings deposits Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 35 36 10 37 38 Small-denomination time deposits Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 365.3 489.8 386.1 529.1 444.1 582.4 522.8 614.4 510.1' 619.7 515.6 617.8' 519.5 615.8 522.8 614.4 39 40 Money market mutual funds General purpose and broker-dealer Institution-only 208.0 84.4 221.1 89.6 239.4 87.6 309.1 102.8 292.4' 99.1 298.4' 98.7 306.5 102.0 309.1 102.8 41 42 Large-denomination time deposits" Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 289.1 150.7 325.8 163.0 365.6 174.1 398.8 157.5 398.1' 168.3 399.3' 164.9 401.2 161.2 398.8 157.5 43 44 Debt components Federal debt Nonfederal debt 1,803.9 5,776.8 1,955.6 6,342.0 2,111.8 6,955.7 2,222.6 7,421.1' 2,250.8 7,460.2 For notes see following page. n.a. n.a. 2,200.9 7,376.1 n.a. n.a. A14 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 NOTES TO TABLE 1.21 1. Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board's H.6 (508) release. Historical data are available from the Monetary and Reserves Projection section, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. 2. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: Ml: (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) other checkable deposits (OCD) consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. M2: Ml plus overnight (and continuing contract) repurchase agreements (RPs) issued by all commercial banks and overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide, MMDAs, savings and smalldenomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt general purpose and broker-dealer money market mutual funds. Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Also excludes all balances held by U.S. commercial banks, money market funds (general purpose and broker-dealer), foreign governments and commercial banks, and the U.S. government. M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits and term RP liabilities (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by commercial banks and thrift institutions, term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada, and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt, institution-only money market mutual funds. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Also subtracted is the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper and bankers acceptances, net of money market mutual fund holdings of these assets. Debt: Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. government, state and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors. Private debt consists of corporate bonds, mortgages, consumer credit (including bank loans), other bank loans, commercial paper, bankers acceptances, and other debt instruments. The source of data on domestic nonfinancial debt is the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts. Debt data are based on monthly averages. 3. Currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and vaults of depository institutions. 4. Outstanding amount of U.S. dollar-denominated travelers checks of nonbank issuers. Travelers checks issued by depository institutions are included in demand deposits. 5. Demand deposits at commercial banks and foreign-related institutions other than those due to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float. 6. Consists of NOW and ATS balances at all depository institutions, credit union share draft balances, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. 7. Sum of overnight RPs and overnight Eurodollars, money market fund balances (general purpose and broker-dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits. 8. Sum of large time deposits, term RPs, and term Eurodollars of U.S. residents, money market fund balances (institution-only), less the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market funds. 9. Savings deposits exclude MMDAs. 10. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrifts are subtracted from small time deposits. 11. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 12. Large-denomination time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market mutual funds, depository institutions, and foreign banks and officii institutions. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.22 A15 BANK DEBITS A N D DEPOSIT TURNOVER 1 Debits are shown in billions of dollars, turnover as ratio of debits to deposits. Monthly data are at annual rates. 1989 Bank group, or type of customer 1986 1987 1988 May July June Aug. Sept. Oct. Seasonally adjusted DEBITS TO 3 Demand deposits 1 All insured banks 2 Major New York City banks 3 Other banks 4 ATS-NOW accounts4 5 Savings deposits 188,346.0 91,397.3 96,948.8 2,182.5 403.5 217,116.2 104,496.3 112,619.8 2,402.7 526.5 226,888.4 107,547.3 119,341.2 2,757.7 583.0 266,468.1 120,984.1 145,483.9 3,406.5 647.2 284,129.2 129,166.6 154,962.7 3,696.5 640.0 276,453.7 114,991.8 161,461.9 3,596.3 580.4 292,446.5 121,378.1 171,068.3 3,943.1 650.0 281,432.2 125,206.9 156,225.3 3,601.9 672.3 293,424.9 136,039.0 155,385.9 3,911.9 665.4 556.5 2,498.2 321.2 15.6 3.0 612.1 2,670.6 357.0 13.8 3.1 641.2 2,903.5 376.8 14.7 3.1 767.1 3,342.1 467.5 18.2 3.6 824.0 3,588.5 501.8 19.8 3.6 788.4 3,222.3 512.6 19.1 3.2 841.8 3,402.4 548.8 20.6 3.6 802.2 3,482.2 496.2 18.8 3.7 826.4 3,486.5 492.5 20.1 3.6 DEPOSIT TURNOVER 6 7 8 9 10 Demand deposits3 All insured banks Major New York City banks Other banks . ATS-NOW accounts4 Savings deposits Not seasonally adjusted Demand deposits 11 All insured banks 12 Major New York City banks 13 Other banks 14 ATS-NOW accounts4 15 MMDA 16 Savings deposits 188,506.7 91,500.1 97,006.7 2,184.6 1,609.4 404.1 217,125.1 104,518.8 112,606.2 2,404.8 1,954.2 526.8 227,010.7 107,565.0 119,445.7 2,754.7 2,430.1 578.0 274,861.8 121,507.2 153,354.6 3,325.2 2,910.5 637.9 295,522.8 134,020.7 161,502.1 3,770.8 3,136.0 641.4 268,243.0 117,276.1 150,966.9 3,549.0 2,686.7 610.4 304,407.5 132,158.8 172,248.7 3,762.6 3,068.7 656.7 266,882.2 115,187.4 151,694.7 3,702.7 2,554.3 665.2 292,750.0 138,964.6 153,785.5 3,891.4 2,651.5 690.4 556.7 2,499.1 321.2 15.6 4.5 3.0 612.3 2,674.9 356.9 13.8 5.3 3.1 641.7 2,901.4 377.1 14.7 6.9 3.1 805.9 3,482.5 500.9 18.0 9.0 3.5 855.6 3,795.0 520.9 20.3 9.7 3.6 761.3 3,247.5 477.4 18.9 8.2 3.4 891.5 3,911.6 559.9 20.0 9.2 3.6 763.1 3,279.7 482.2 19.5 7.6 3.7 829.6 3,594.8 489.4 20.3 7.8 3.8 DEPOSIT TURNOVER 17 18 19 20 21 22 Demand deposits3 All insured banks Major New York City banks Other banks ATS-NOW accounts4 MMDA Savings deposits 1. Historical tables containing revised data for earlier periods may be obtained from the Monetary and Reserves Projections Section, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. These data also appear on the Board's G.6 (406) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Annual averages of monthly figures. 3. Represents accounts of individuals, partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subdivisions. 4. Accounts authorized for negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOW) and accounts authorized for automatic transfer to demand deposits (ATS). ATS data are available beginning December 1978. 5. Excludes ATS and NOW accounts, MMDA and special club accounts, such as Christmas and vacation clubs. 6. Money market deposit accounts. A16 1.23 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 LOANS AND SECURITIES All Commercial Banks 1 Billions of dollars; averages of Wednesday figures 1989 Category Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Seasonally adjusted 2 1 Total loans and securities 2 U.S. government securities i Other securities 4 Total loans and leases2 S Commercial and industrial . . . . . 6 Bankers acceptances held . . . / Other commercial and industrial 8 U.S. addressees4 9 Non-U.S. addressees4 10 Real estate 11 Individual 12 Security 13 Nonbank financial institutions 14 Agricultural 15 State and political subdivisions 16 Foreign banks 17 Foreign official institutions 18 Lease financing receivables . . . . 19 All other loans 2,422.8 2,451.9 2,464.9 2,470.9 2,486.3 2,496.8 2,518.1 2,534.4 2,544.1 2,575.5 2,583.9 2,577.4 360.4 189.6 1,872.9 606.6 4.4 361.8 190.4 1,899.7 619.0 4.2 368.8 189.7 1,906.5 617.8 4.0 370.7 187.2 1,913.1 620.6 4.1 373.5 186.4 1,926.5 626.3 4.2 373.8 185.7 1,937.3 624.9 4.2 374.4 184.6 1,959.1 632.1 4.1 376.6 182.8 1,974.9 637.3 4.5 378.8 182.9 1,982.4 636.9 4.8 391.7 182.7 2,001.1 641.1 5.4 397.5 180.3 2,006.1 641.5' 4.9 396.9 181.3 1,999.2 634.2 4.3 602.2 596.6 5.7 678.9 357.9 37.6 614.8 609.9 4.9 685.6 358.9 44.7 613.7 608.3 5.4 691.8 360.6 43.5 616.6 611.7 4.9 699.5 362.9 39.9 622.1 616.6 5.4 705.5 365.4 38.0 620.7 615.2 5.5 712.0 366.0 41.2 628.1 622.2 5.9 719.9 367.0 40.0' 632.8 627.1 5.7 729.0 369.3 39.3' 632.1 626.6 5.5 734.4 372.1 39.9' 635.7 629.3' 6.3' 741.1 374.4 41.4' 636.7 631.2' 5.5' 747.7 376.9 40.6' 629.9 624.6 5.2 754.8 378.1 37.8 30.1 30.7 30.5 30.7 29.6 30.7 29.1 30.4 28.6 30.3 30.2 30.3 31.2' 30.4 31.lr 30.3 31.3' 30.2 32.4' 30.1 33.1 30.3' 32.2 30.5 44.2 7.8 4.8 29.4 44.8 44.3 8.5 4.8 29.6 43.1 44.3 8.2 4.8 29.6 45.6 44.4 8.4 4.9 29.8 43.2 44.4 9.4 4.9 30.0 43.7 44.2 9.3 4.7 29.9 44.5 43.9 8.9 4.5 30.3 50.8' 43.6 9.3 4.3 30.3 51. V 43.5 8.5 4.3 31.0 r 42.9r 9.7 4.0 31.6 52.3' 42.3 9.0' 3.8 31.6 49.2' 41.0 9.1 3.8 31.1 46.5 50.2 Not seasonally adjusted 2 20 Total loans and securities 2,430.7 2,453.6 2,462.8 2,473.9 2,487.4 2,500.9 2,511.8 2,526.9 2,541.2 2,565.6 2,582.6' 2,591.7 21 U.S. government securities 22 Other securities 23 Total loans and leases2 24 Commercial and industrial . . . . . 25 Bankers acceptances held . . . 26 Other commercial and industrial U.S. addressees 27 28 Non-U.S. addressees 29 Real estate 30 Individual 31 Security 32 Nonbank financial institutions 33 Agricultural 34 State and political subdivisions 35 Foreign banks 36 Foreign official institutions SI Lease financing receivables 38 All other loans 362.2 191.7 1,876.9 605.8 4.1 366.3 190.1 1,897.2 618.3 4.1 370.2 188.9 1,903.7 621.1 4.0 370.9 187.2 1,915.9 625.2 4.0 372.6 186.8 1,928.0 630.0 4.3 372.6 186.0 1,942.3 629.0 4.4 373.1 184.1 1,954.6 631.0 4.2 376.8 183.1 1,966.9 632.7 4.6 378.5 182.8 1,980.0 632.2 4.9 388.3 181.6 1,995.6 636.0 5.5 396.1 180.5 2,006.1 638.7 4.8 397.2 181.2 2,013.3 637.9 4.3 601.7 596.4 5.3 678.9 360.7 38.1 614.2 608.9 5.3 683.6 358.2 43.7 617.1 611.8 5.3 689.2 357.7 44.1 621.3 616.0 5.3 697.4 360.3 42.0 625.8 620.2 5.5 704.1 363.2 38.9 624.6 619.0 5.6 712.1 364.5 42.8' 626.8 621.1 5.6 720.6 365.9r 39.7 628.0 622.6 5.5 730.4 369.3 as.tr 627.3 621.7'' 5.5 736.5 374.0r 38.4 630.5 624.9' 5.6' 741.9 375.6 39.7' 634.0 628.5' 5.4 749.8 378.1 633.6 628.3 5.3 756.4 382.4 38.2 30.6 30.1 29.9 29.7 29.0 29.6 28.9 29.5 28.8 30.1 30.3' 30.6 31.2'" 31.1 sur 31.2 31.2r 31.1 32.1' 31.0 33.3 30.5' 33.4 30.3 45.6 8.1 4.8 29.7 44.4 45.3 8.5 4.8 29.7 45.4 44.9 8.0 4.8 29.7 45.8 44.6 8.1 4.9 29.8 45.0 44.3 9.0 4.9 30.0 44.8 43.9 9.1 4.7 30.0 45.2 43.4 9.0 4.5 30.2r 48. l 43.2 9.1 4.3 30.2 47.6' 42.9 8.7 4.3 30.9 49.8' 42.5 9.8 4.0 31.4 51.7' 41.8 9.1' 3.8 31.5 49.6' 40.9 9.5 3.8 31.4 49.3 1. Data have been revised because of benchmarking beginning January 1984 . These data also appear in the Board's G.7 (407) release. For address, see inside front cover. 39.9" 2. Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. 3. Includes nonfinancial commercial paper held, 4. United States includes the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Commercial Banking Institutions 1.24 A17 MAJOR NONDEPOSIT F U N D S OF COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 Monthly averages, billions of dollars Source Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec. 205.9 3.0 209.9 226.9 7.7 228.3 229.8r 9.3' 238.C 9.7r 248.4' lO.O' 251.9 -.1 245.2 3.0 203.9 165.8 38.1 203.0' 164.2 38.8r 210.0 169.2 40.8r 219.3' 179.1 40.1 217.2 175.4 41.8 220.5 178.2 42.3 228.3 184.9 43.4 238.4 192.0 46.4 243.1 194.4 48.7 242.2 194.9 47.3 217.7 7.2 -19.5 26.7 208.6 217.6' 2.5 -21.9 24.4 230. l r 7.9 -18.3 26.2 224.0 228.6' -16.4 24.5 8.9' -15.5 24.4' 234.0' 10.7' -14.2 241.5' 9.7' -14.8 24.5' 247.6 9.8 -15.2 25.0 238.2 5.5 -19.0 24.6 222.2 168.1 215.0 173.8 180.5 215.9 173.5 219.7 177.7 223.3 180.7 231.8 187.2 237.8 192.7 232.7 187.8 167.5 3.5 39.6 163.8 4.3 39.6 170.1 3.7 41.2 177.0 3.4 41.7 170.8 2.7 42.4 175.1 178.1 2.6 42.6 184.8 2.4 44.7 190.7 2.6 42.0 45.0 185.3 2.5 44.9 440.3 440.2 446.7 448.2 452.7 450.6 456.8 455.5 458.8 457.3 461.6 458.8 460.4 461.2 458.0 460.1 459.4' 461.1' 461.4 462.9 460.1 461.1 20.3 25.9 20.3 20.9 27.1 34.3 27.4 26.2 22.7 23.0 22.9 15.8 19.9 20.4 14.7 21.3 19.6 Jan. Seasonally adjusted — 1 Total nondeposit funds 2 Net balances due to related foreign offices — 3 Borrowings from other than commercial banks in United States 4 Domestically chartered banks 5 Foreign-related banks Not seasonally adjusted 6 Total nondeposit funds 7 Net balances due to related foreign offices — 8 Domestically chartered banks 9 Foreign-related banks 10 Borrowings from other than commercial banks in United States4 11 Domestically chartered banks 12 Federal funds and security RP borrowings 13 Other6 14 Foreign-related banks6 Feb. 208.2 8.2 211.3 10.7 212.1 200.0 163.0 37.0 200.6 161.3 39.3 207.4 7.9 -20.2 28.1 216.1 10.5 -17.6 28.1 199.5 161.3 205.7 165.1 210.6 207.7 170.9 157.9 3.4 38.1 161.9 3.2 40.6 434.9 434.5 20.3 25.0 8.2 .9 -22.8 23.7 11.1 8.1 24^ 2.0 MEMO Gross large time deposits Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted U.S. Treasury demand balances at commercial banks8 17 Seasonally adjusted 18 Not seasonally adjusted 15 16 18.1 1. Commercial banks are those in the 50 states and the District of Columbia with national or state charters plus agencies and branches of foreign banks, New York investment companies majority owned by foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations owned by domestically chartered and foreign banks. Tliese data also appear in the Board's G.10 (411) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes federal funds, RPs, and other borrowing from nonbanks and net balances due to related foreign offices. 3. Reflects net positions of U.S. chartered banks, Edge Act corporations, and U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks with related foreign offices plus net positions with own IBFs. 20.2 23.8 24.8' 20.6 4. Other borrowings are borrowings through any instrument, such as a promissory note or due bill, given for the purpose of borrowing money for the banking business. This includes borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks and from foreign banks, term federal funds, loan RPs, and sales of participations in pooled loans. 5. Based on daily average data reported weekly by approximately 120 large banks and quarterly or annual data reported by other banks. 6. Figures are partly daily averages and partly averages of Wednesday data. 7. Time deposits in denominations of $100,000 or more. Estimated averages of daily data. 8. U.S. Treasury demand deposits and Treasury tax-and-loan notes at commercial banks. Averages of daily data. A18 1.25 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 ASSETS A N D LIABILITIES OF COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS Billions of dollars Last-Wednesday-of-Month Series 1 1989 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,624.0 535.8 351.3 184.5 20.1 2,068.0 173.2 1,894.9 617.6 684.1 358.3 234.8 2,627.1 539.1 355.5 183.6 21.8 2,066.2 154.9 1,911.3 622.9 692.6 358.1 237.7 2,623.0 538.3 356.6 181.7 17.8 2,066.8 150.7 1,916.2 627.3 699.4 361.8 227.7 2,659.8 541.1 359.1 182.0 19.2 2,099.5 160.5 1,939.0 631.1 706.7 363.8 237.4 2,660.7 541.6 362.2 179.4 18.2 2,100.9 155.0 1,945.9 628.3 715.1 366.0 236.6 2,677.1 538.3 360.3 178.1 19.8 2,119.0 162.4 1,956.6 635.3 722.8 366.2 232.3 2,692.5 542.8 365.3 177.5 18.7 2,131.0 162.9 1,968.1 631.9 733.9 371.4 231.0 2,695.7 542.4 366.4 176.1 18.3 2,135.0 158.0 1,977.1 630.3 737.5 375.5 233.7 2,728.1 545.4 370.8 174.6 26.6 2,156.1 164.2 1,992.0 634.9 743.2 376.1 237.8 2,764.7 549.5 375.8 173.7 27.6 2,187.6 179.9 2,007.8 638.7 752.0 378.8 238.2 2,771.0 550.4 375.7 174.7 23.4 2,197.2 181.9 2,015.3 639.4 757.7 384.5 233.8 227.4 27.7 26.6 89.1 211.5 30.9 26.8 75.9 215.8 33.4 26.9 78.8 248.3 27.8 27.9 107.6 214.2 27.9 27.6 78.7 211.7 30.6 27.4 75.2 212.0 28.7 28.5 77.4 219.6 31.7 28.0 82.6 213.0 28.0 27.9 77.5 234.8 38.7 30.7 84.1 259.3 42.8 31.6 98.8 33.3 50.7 28.8 49.0 28.5 48.3 34.9 50.2 29.6 50.5 28.8 49.7 29.7 47.7 29.0 48.3 28.8 50.7 28.9 52.3 32.5 53.7 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS2 1 Loans and securities 2 Investment securities 3 U.S. government securities 4 Other 5 Trading account assets 6 Total loans 7 Interbank loans 8 Loans excluding interbank 9 Commercial and industrial 10 Real estate 11 Individual 12 All other 13 Total cash assets 14 Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks. 15 Cash in vault 16 Cash items in process of collection . . . 17 Demand balances at U.S. depository institutions 18 Other cash assets 19 Other assets 191.4 194.1 200.7 206.8 198.7 201.1 199.6 203.9 203.8 201.9 208.2 20 Total assets/total liabilities and capital.... 3,042.8 3,032.7 3,039.5 3,114.9 3,073.6 3,090.0 3,104.0 3,119.3 3,144.9 3,201.3 3,238.6 21 Deposits 22 Transaction deposits 23 Savings deposits 24 Time deposits 25 Borrowings 26 Other liabilities 21Residual (assets less liabilities) 2,125.2 602.6 527.3 995.3 502.9 216.5 198.2 2,123.7 583.2 523.2 1,017.3 483.6 223.9 201.4 2,134.2 594.5 512.0 1,027.6 486.7 217.4 201.2 2,182.6 628.5 509.7 1,044.3 510.6 218.6 203.2 2,138.2 580.5 507.4 1,050.2 512.7 218.4 204.4 2,152.0 579.4 514.0 1,058.6 510.2 223.1 204.7 2,166.6 583.4 518.9 1,064.4 504.6 226.3 206.5 2,175.3 588.5 520.7 1,066.1 516.5 221.4 206.1 2,194.2 588.0 527.6 1,078.6 526.5 222.4 201.9 2,221.1 602.5 537.6 1,081.0 542.2 235.2 202.9 2,265.1 643.3 540.3 1,081.5 530.6 239.1 203.8 366.2 372.1 369.5 372.3 374.4 373.5 377.5 378.5 390.4 396.2 392.2 189.7 188.8 186.6 188.0 185.4 184.6 184.0 182.3 181.6 180.9 181.6 2,405.9 509.0 338.1 171.0 20.1 1,876.8 138.9 1,737.8 503.4 661.7 358.0 214.7 2,407.8 513.1 342.7 170.4 21.8 1,872.8 122.3 1,750.5 506.1 669.8 357.7 216.9 2,407.8 513.8 344.1 169.7 17.8 1,876.2 120.2 1,756.0 511.3 676.0 361.4 207.3 2,446.0 516.1 345.9 170.2 19.2 1,910.6 131.5 1,779.2 515.5 683.2 363.5 217.0 2,439.9 517.3 349.5 167.8 18.2 1,904.5 119.3 1,785.1 511.6 691.6 365.6 216.3 2,452.1 514.2 347.8 166.5 19.8 1,918.1 126.4 1,791.7 515.6 698.2 365.8 212.0 2,467.6 519.4 353.5 165.9 18.7 1,929.4 127.0 1,802.5 512.8 708.7 371.1 209.9 2,473.6 519.0 354.5 164.5 18.3 1,936.3 125.1 1,811.2 510.4 712.2 375.2 213.5 2,506.5 521.6 358.7 162.9 26.6 1,958.3 134.9 1,823.5 514.2 717.1 375.8 216.4 2,526.4 523.0 362.1 160.9 27.6 1,975.8 142.1 1,833.7 515.3 724.4 378.5 215.5 2,535.9 524.3 363.3 161.0 23.4 1,988.3 145.8 1,842.5 515.9 729.7 384.2 212.7 206.4 26.6 26.6 88.1 191.4 29.5 26.8 75.1 195.3 30.7 26.8 77.9 227.0 26.7 27.9 106.6 192.3 26.6 27.6 77.7 190.1 29.6 27.4 74.4 191.7 27.0 28.5 76.5 197.6 29.5 28.0 81.3 191.5 26.3 27.9 76.3 209.5 37.9 30.7 82.2 235.0 41.7 31.5 97.4 31.2 33.9 26.6 33.4 26.8 33.1 32.9 33.0 27.5 32.9 27.0 31.7 28.0 31.7 27.3 31.6 26.9 34.2 27.0 31.7 30.7 33.6 MEMO 28 U.S. government securities (including trading account) 29 Other securities (including trading account) DOMESTICALLY CHARTERED COMMERCIAL BANKS3 30 Loans and securities 31 Investment securities 32 U.S. government securities 33 Other 34 Trading account assets 35 Total loans 36 Interbank loans 3/ Loans excluding interbank 38 Commercial and industrial 39 Real estate 40 Individual 41 All other 42 Total cash assets 43 Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks. 44 Cash in vault 45 Cash items in process of collection . . . 46 Demand balances at U.S. depository institutions 47 Other cash assets 48 Other assets 129.6 130.6 134.6 133.6 131.6 128.4 127.5 131.5 126.3 132.2 136.0 49 Total assets/liabilities and capital 2,741.8 2,729.9 2,737.7 2,806.6 2,763.9 2,770.6 2,786.7 2,802.8 2,824.3 2,868.2 2,906.9 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 2,052.7 593.5 524.8 934.4 378.7 115.8 194.6 2,047.4 574.1 520.7 952.6 362.8 121.7 197.9 2,056.2 584.8 509.4 961.9 368.2 115.6 197.7 2,103.0 618.7 507.1 977.2 383.0 120.9 199.7 2,058.8 571.2 504.8 982.9 387.3 116.9 200.8 2,071.3 570.2 511.3 989.9 380.2 117.8 201.2 2,086.9 574.7 516.2 995.9 375.5 121.3 203.0 2,094.5 578.8 517.9 997.7 390.8 114.9 202.6 2,112.4 578.4 525.0 1,009.0 393.2 120.4 198.4 2,139.2 592.7 534.8 1,011.6 404.4 125.2 199.4 2,182.3 633.2 537.5 1,011.7 398.3 125.9 200.3 41.7 620.0 42.5 627.3 43.4 632.6 44.3 638.9 45.3 646.2 45.7 652.5 46.4 662.3 47.1 665.0 47.9 669.2 48.5 676.0 49.1 680.6 Deposits Transaction deposits Savings deposits Time deposits Borrowings Other liabilities Residual (assets less liabilities) MEMO 57 Real estate loans, revolving 58 Real estate loans, other 1. Back data are available from the Banking and Monetary Statistics section, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C., 20551. These data also appear in the Board's weekly H.8 (510) release. Figures are partly estimated. They include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries. Loan and securities data for domestically chartered commercial banks are estimates for the last Wednesday of the month based on a sample of weekly reporting banks and quarter-end condition report data. Data for other banking institutions are estimates made for the last Wednesday of the month based on a weekly reporting sample of foreign-related institutions and quarter-end condition reports. 2. Commercial banking institutions include insured domestically chartered commercial banks, branches and agencies of foreign banks, Edge Act and Agreement corporations, and New York State foreign investment corporations. 3. Insured domestically chartered commercial banks include all member banks and insured nonmember banks. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks 1.26 A19 ASSETS A N D LIABILITIES OF LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1989 Account Nov. V 1 Cash and balances due from depository institutions 2 Total loans, leases, and securities, net 3 U.S. Treasury and government agency 4 Trading account Investment account 5 Mortgage-backed securities 6 R Nov. 8 R Nov. 15 130,647 109,220 117,955 1,274,536 1,245,950 1,265,997 Nov. 22 111,966' Nov. 29 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 113,198 115,176 123,602 139,112 1,250,240 1,257,325 1,258,300 1,258,888 1,251,465 R 1,250,175 120,195' Dec. 6 159,975 21,235 138,740 69,066 160,544 21,716 138,828 69,219 163,222 23,416 139,806 70,775 162,577 22,109 140,468' 71,209' 161,329' 20,406 140,923' 71,483' 164,458 22,782 141,677 71,836 164,785 22,685 142,101 72,131 160,736 19,700 141,036 72,163 156,540 16,554 139,986 71,822 7 One year or less 8 Over one through five years 9 Over five years 10 Other securities 11 Trading account Investment account 12 13 States and political subdivisions, by maturity 14 One year or less Over one year 15 16 Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities 17 Other trading account assets 19,880 35,237 14,556 67,141 913 66,229 39,125 4,850 34,275 27,104 6,148 19,744 35,431 14,433 66,817 900 65,918 38,800 4,943 33,857 27,118 6,118 19,342 35,401 14,288 66,971 1,064 65,907 38,628 4,932 33,696 27,278 6,066 19,307 35,649' 14,303' 66,658' 1,032 65,626' 38,525 4,947 33,578 27,101' 6,046 19,189 35,644' 14,606' 66,556' 1,182 65,374' 38,395 4,948 33,447 26,979' 5,982 19,929 34,763 15,148 66,693 1,087 65,605 38,036 5,017 33,018 27,570 6,265 20,406 34,526 15,038 66,737 1,078 65,658 37,790 4,963 32,827 27,868 6,001 19,949 34,238 14,686 66,591 1,253 65,338 37,406 4,919 32,487 27,932 5,866 19,846 33,868 14,450 66,646 1,276 65,370 37,332 4,876 32,456 28,038 5,570 18 Federal funds sold4 19 To commercial banks 20 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities 21 To others 22 Other loans and leases, gross 23 Other loans, gross 24 Commercial and industrial 25 Bankers acceptances and commercial paper 26 All other 27 U.S. addressees 28 Non-U.S. addressees 88,666 62,061 16,978 9,628 995,523 969,371 320,642 1,816 318,827 317,000 1,827 70,289 46,908 16,444 6,937 985,228 959,125 318,275 1,798 316,477 314,720 1,757 81,758 57,063 16,603 8,092 991,078 964,936 320,301 1,721 318,579 316,681 1,898 66,208 43,944' 15,875' 6,389 991,82c 965,614' 320,156' 1,721 318,435' 316,685' 1,750' 67,784 46,306' 15,090' 6,389' 991,549 965,323 319,046' 1,520 317,526' 315,771' 1,754' 71,574 48,399 15,341 7,834 991,529 965,642 317,973 1,495 316,477 314,724 1,753 70,838 49,069 14,731 7,037 993,296 967,382 318,337 1,410 316,926 315,152 1,774 72,093 51,964 13,552 6,576 996,866 970,873 320,047 1,404 318,643 316,916 1,727 69,681 50,681 13,577 5,422 995,794 969,625 318,783 1,404 317,379 315,573 1,806 Real estate loans 347,332 Revolving, home equity 26,491 All other 320,841 174,030 To individuals for personal expenditures 51,068 To depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States 23,049 Banks in foreign countries 5,168 Nonbank depository and otherfinancialinstitutions .. 22,851 17,319 For purchasing and carrying securities 5,559 To finance agricultural production 25,935 To states and political subdivisions 1,459 To foreign governments and official institutions 26,026 All other Lease financing receivables 26,152 4,863 LESS: Unearned income 38,054 Loan and lease reserve 952,606 Other loans and leases, net 134,716 All other assets 1,539,899 Total assets 247,426 Demand deposits 193,984 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 7,122 States and political subdivisions 1,582 U.S. government Depository institutions in the United States 26,572 Banks in foreign countries 7,138 738 Foreign governments and official institutions Certified and officers' checks 10,290 77,424 Transaction balances other than demand deposits 702,216 Nontransaction balances 664,376 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 29,252 States and political subdivisions 945 U.S. government 7,039 Depository institutions in the United States 604 Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks .. 323,954 Liabilities for borrowed money 0 Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks 24,403 Treasury tax-and-loan notes 299,552 All other liabilities for borrowed money 90,466 Other liabilities and subordinated notes and debentures .. 1,441,486 Total liabilities 98,413 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities)7 348,200 26,542 321,658 174,049 48,618 21,194 4,660 22,764 15,137 5,511 25,836 1,481 22,017 26,103 4,886 38,161 942,181 135,227 348,900 26,653 322,247 174,713 49,315 22,137 4,691 22,487 16,006 5,521 25,548 1,483 23,148 26,142 4,890 38,208 947,980 138,016 349,330' 26,734 322,596' 174,802 49,542' 22,798 4,549' 22,195 16,356 5,449 25,429 1,388 23,163' 26,206 4,941 38,194 948,685' 132,920' 350,282 26,816 323,466 175,401 48,921' 21,591' 4,458' 22,872 15,760 5,402 25,389 1,414 23,708' 26,226 4,912 38,050 948,588 133,365' 352,077 26,908 325,169 175,594 49,119 21,490 4,615 23,014 15,286 5,355 25,210 1,340 23,688 25,887 4,813 38,381 948,336 135,449 353,080 27,035 326,046 176,721 48,480 21,140 4,368 22,972 16,852 5,398 24,996 1,364 22,153 25,913 4,817 38,539 949,940 136,581 353,327 27,222 326,105 177,262 47,948 20,633 4,876 22,439 17,110 5,379 24,919 1,452 23,428 25,993 4,784 38,480 953,602 136,322 352,524 27,271 325,253 177,825 47,572 20,813 4,430 22,329 16,261 5,452 24,856 1,415 24,936 26,169 4,762 38,004 953,027 135,528 1,505,973 1,510,058 1,518,812 1,526,105 227,177 182,551 5,998 2,675 20,475 6,304 606 8,567 79,918 706,637 668,841 29,273 898 7,061 563 306,167 0 7,786 298,381 87,003 228,103 185,306 5,944 1,446 20,199 5,982 878 8,349 78,322 706,401 668,522 29,298 900 7,128 554 306,043 25 7,360 298,658 92,012 247,131 191,286 7,450 5,099 22,542 8,196 11,929 79,232 702,865 665,733 28,424 886 7,289 533 299,242 0 17,626 281,616 91,000 247,985 197,147 7,245 1,853 23,729 6,844 681 10,485 79,264 704,033 666,359 28,968 886 7,241 579 302,906 1,943 15,064 285,899 92,732 1,404,928 1,406,901 1,410,881 1,419,470 1,426,920 98,871 99,072 99,176 99,342 99,185 1,230,630 993,214 217,753 18,496 536 233 304 268,157 1,231,448 993,925 217,113 19,039 536 232 304 268,617 1,229,554 996,361 215,307 17,882 524 229 295 266,828 1,222,737 993,980 214,664 17,257 532 235 297 268,435 All other maturing in 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 1,490,398 222,095 177,368 5,244 3,227 20,374 6,068 621 9,192 77,648 702,174 664,443 29,202 948 6,963 617 302,262 0 2,520 299,742 87,779 1,391,958 1,521,968 1,495,062' 1,503,799 243,064 193,079 6,632 4,266 23,788 6,050 592 8,655 77,533 705,266 667,394 29,462 945 6,886 579 309,420 1,150 3,244 305,026 88,427 227,363 181,649 6,925 3,212 20,081 6,583 781 8,131 76,872 703,451 665,702 29,332' 952' 6,890 574 298,644' 0 7,613 291,030' 89,939' 1,423,710 1,396,268 98,439 98,258 98,794' 1,220,896 987,416 218,747 18,288 1,523 1,221 302 264,325 1,229,895 993,636 218,339 17,957 1,126 825 301 266,525 1,226,568' 991,286' 218,219 17,594 829 525 304 265,355 223,373 178,974 5,623 1,793 21,049 6,250 618 9,066 76,012 703,876 665,914' 29,409' 948' 7,037 569 310,423' 899 9,610' 299,914' 91,243' 628 MEMO 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Total loans and leases (gross) and investments adjusted . 1,232,344 999,080 Total loans and leases (gross) adjusted 218,072 Time deposits in amounts of $100,000 or more 18,413 U.S. Treasury securities maturing in one year or less 1,526 Loans sold outright to affiliates—total 1,226 Commercial and industrial 300 Other 264,644 Nontransaction savings deposits (including MMDAs) 1. Beginning Jan. 6, 1988, the "Large bank" reporting group was revised somewhat, eliminating some former reporters with less than $2 billion of assets and adding some new reporters with assets greater than $3 billion. 2. For adjustment bank data see this table in the March 1989 Bulletin. The adjustment data for 1988 should be added to the reported data for 1988 to establish comparability with data reported for 1989. 3. Includes U.S. government-issued or guaranteed certificates of participation in pools of residential mortgages. 4. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 5. Includes allocated transfer risk reserve. 1,225,304' 991,437' 217,748 17,100 536 231 305 265,832 6. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase; for information on these liabilities at banks with assets of $1 billion or more on Dec. 31, 1977, see table 1.13. 7. This is not a measure of equity capital for use in capital-adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. 8. Exclusive of loans and federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. 9. Loans sold are those sold outright to a bank's own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank affiliates of the bank, the bank's holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. A20 1.28 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 ASSETS A N D LIABILITIES OF LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL B A N K S IN NEW YORK CITY 1 Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1989 Account Nov. 1 1 Cash balances due from depository institutions 2 Total loans, leases, and securities, net2 Securities 3 U.S. Treasury and government agency 4 Trading account3 5 Investment account 6 Mortgage-backed securities All other maturing in 7 One year or less 8 Over one through five years 9 Over five years 10 Other securities 11 Trading account3 12 Investment account 13 States and political subdivisions, by maturity 14 One year or less 15 Over one year 16 Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities 17 Other trading account assets 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 Loans and leases Federal funds sold5 To commercial banks To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities To others Other loans and leases, gross Other loans, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees Real estate loans Revolving, home equity All other To individuals for personal expenditures To depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Nonbank depository and other financial institutions For purchasing and carrying securities To finance agricultural production To states and political subdivisions To foreign governments and official institutions All other Lease financing receivables LESS: Unearned income Loan and lease reserve Other loans ancLleases, net All other assets 47 Total assets 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 Deposits Demand deposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Depository institutions in the United States Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions Certified and officers' checks Transaction balances other than demand deposits (ATS, NOW, Super NOW, telephone transfers) Nontransaction balances Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Depository institutions in the United States Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks Liabilities for borrowed money Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Treasury tax-and-loan notes All other liabilities for borrowed money8 Other liabilities and subordinated notes and debentures 68 Total liabilities 69 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities)9 Nov. 8 Nov. 15 Nov. 22 Nov. 29 Dec. 6 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 34,938 25,318 24,768 21,833 28,750 22,921 21,572 28,238 36,663 222,339 207,756 220,795 209,742 212,537 209,462 214,997 210,684 207,786 0 0 15,927 8,442 0 0 15,890 8,447 0 0 15,718 8,376 0 0 16,173 8,627 0 0 16,100 8,534 0 0 16,141 8,588 0 0 16,043 8,464 0 0 15,969 8,402 0 0 15,848 8,242 2,836 3,180r l ^ 0 0 15,312 8,403 1,061 7,343 6,908 0 2,844 3,209' 1,389' 0 0 15,032 8,120 1,046 7,074 6,912 0 2,849 3,111' 1,381' 0 0 15,092 8,057 1,051 7,006 7,035 0 2,858 3,342' 1,346' 0 0 15,056 8,020 1,052 6,969 7,036 0 2,831 3,242' 1,494' 0 0 14,846 7,988 1,049 6,940 6,858 0 2,792 3,236 1,525 0 0 14,873 7,893 1,052 6,841 6,980 0 2,813 3,240 1,525 0 0 14,900 7,867 1,055 6,812 7,033 0 2,816 3,289 1,462 0 0 14,805 7,837 1,053 6,783 6,968 0 2,774 3,330 1,500 0 0 14,830 7,833 1,047 6,786 6,997 0 25,543 13,429 6,296 5,818 185,571 179,860 61,631 165 61,466 60,764 702 59,768 3,798 55,970 20,055 19,624 8,082 3,777 7,765 7,069 122 5,969 384 5,238 5,711 1,738 18,275 165,558 60,546 17,730 9,001 4,919 3,811 179,133 173,458 60,418 160 60,259 59,620 639 59,939 3,809 56,130 20,139 16,926 5,901 3,357 7,668 5,516 114 5,961 412 4,032 5,676 1,759 18,271 159,103 61,507 27,450 16,294 6,104 5,052 182,583 176,911 61,406 151 61,255 60,473 782 59,925 3,810 56,115 20,150 18,481 7,380 3,382 7,720 6,366 113 5,695 425 4,350 5,672 1,757 18,290 162,536 62,540 16,640 8,473 5,077 3,089 181,982 176,269 60,506 136 60,371 59,795 576 60,099 3,828 56,270 20,168 18,256 7,391 3,239 7,626 6,857 102 5,565 339 4,377 5,714 1,820 18,290 161,873 59,368 19,788 12,046 4,600 3,143 181,873 176,168 60,040 131 59,909 59,332 578 60,309 3,835 56,474 20,148 18,188 6,954 3,127 8,108 6,404 103 5,555 382 5,037 5,705 1,791 18,280 161,802 59,680 17,344 8,310 4,922 4,113 181,205 175,510 59,781 122 59,659 59,056 603 61,332 3,840 57,492 19,975 18,596 7,166 3,200 8,230 5,425 103 5,515 316 4,465 5,695 1,801 18,301 161,103 61,547 20,548 12,041 5,098 3,409 183,655 177,917 60,455 116 60,339 59,724 616 61,563 3,852 57,711 19,969 18,479 7,259 3,006 8,214 6,841 111 5,350 346 4,803 5,739 1,807 18,343 163,506 61,204 17,304 10,169 4,154 2,981 182,749 177,023 60,379 134 60,245 59,635 609 61,303 3,864 57,439 19,967 18,066 6,797 3,536 7,733 6,298 113 5,340 405 5,154 5,726 1,808 18,336 162,606 59,750 16,289 10,381 3,339 2,569 180,812 175,068 58,571 125 58,445 57,838 607 60,850 3,841 57,009 20,046 18,098 7,446 3,026 7,625 6,150 113 5,349 384 5,509 5,744 1,801 18,192 160,819 61,849 317,824 294,581 308,103 290,943 300,966 293,930 297,773 298,672 306,298 61,956 41,668 956 170 8,798 5,849 554 3,962 51,659 35,810 582 626 5,028 4,941 458 4,213 56,515 40,130 965 715 6,800 4,675 453 2,777 50,289 35,858 635 604 4,114 5,413 646 3,018 50,743 34,999 493 326 5,920 4,944 468 3,593 48,644 34,518 584 448 4,451 5,037 479 3,127 50,476 36,648 547 168 4,458 4,799 740 3,114 59,194 39,192 953 1,004 5,424 6,708 392 5,521 55,232 38,291 810 270 5,432 5,547 541 4,340 8,255 115,441 105,718 7,388 29 2,034 271 75,784 0 5,684 70,100 32,327 8,305 113,697 104,048 7,274 29 2,074 273 67,473 0 422 67,050 29,333 8,361 116,677 106,976 7,353 30 2,062 256 72,910 1,150 604 71,157 29,622 8,252 115,318 105,704 7,281 29 2,051 252 62,029 0 1,465 60,564 30,619 8,205 115,313 105,701 7,292 29 2,041 249 69,940 883 1,878 67,179 32,460 8,560 116,075 106,650 7,117 30 2,041 238 68,108 0 1,594 66,515 28,037 8,505 115,658 106,374 7,040 29 1,980 234 67,054 0 1,541 65,514 31,589 8,675 116,117 107,067 6,819 27 1,976 228 61,462 0 4,664 56,798 28,929 8,701 115,660 106,870 6,691 26 1,833 240 71,691 1,680 3,831 66,180 30,930 293,763 270,467 284,085 266,507 276,662 269,425 273,282 274,377 282,214 24,060 24,114 24,018 24,436 24,305 24,505 24,491 24,295 24,084 220,842 189,604 42,444 3,353 212,884 181,962 41,933 3,005 217,169 186,359 42,576 2,904 213,987 182,758 41,804 2,990 213,608 182,662 41,576 2,970 214,087 183,073 41,740 3,066 215,846 184,904 41,535 3,084 213,862 183,087 41,798 3,118 209,952 179,274 41,103 3,240 MEMO 70 71 72 73 Total loans and leases (gross) and investments adjusted2'10 Total loans and leases (gross) adjusted Time deposits in amounts of $100,000 or more U.S. Treasury securities maturing in one year or less 1. These data also appear in the Board's H.4.2 (504) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Excludes trading account securities. 3. Not available due to confidentiality. 4. Includes U.S. government-issued or guaranteed certificates of participation in pools of residential mortgages. 5. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. FRASER allocated transfer risk reserve. 6. Includes Digitized for 7. Includes trading account securities. 8. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 9. Not a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. 10 Exclusive of loans and federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks 1.30 LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING U.S. BRANCHES AND AGENCIES OF FOREIGN BANKS 1 Liabilities Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures A21 Assets and 1989 Account Nov. 1 38 39 40 41 Cash and due from depository institutions . . . Total loans and securities U.S. Treasury and government agency securities Other securities Federal funds sold To commercial banks in the United States . To others Other loans, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees Loans secured by real estate Tofinancialinstitutions Commercial banks in the United States.. Banks in foreign countries Nonbank financial institutions To foreign governments and official institutions For purchasing and carrying securities All other3 Other assets (claims on nonrelated parties) .. Net due from related institutions Total assets Deposits or credit balances due to other than directly related institutions Transaction accounts and credit balances . Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Other Nontransaction accounts Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Other Borrowings from other than directly related institutions Federal funds purchased6 From commercial banks in the United States From others Other liabilities for borrowed money To commercial banks in the United States To others Other liabilities to nonrelated parties Net due to related institutions Total liabilities 42 43 Total loans (gross) and securities adjusted .. Total loans (gross) adjusted 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Nov. 8 Nov. 15 Nov. 22 Nov. 29' Dec. 6 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 12,734 137,835' 12,083' 139,655 12,983 140,684 12,064 141,024 13,482 146,884 12,161 142,824 12,958 143,456 13,008 143,263 13,410 144,880 8,167 6,159 4,441 3,049 1,392 119,068'' 74,366 8,237 6,204 5,321 3,985 1,336 119,893 75,074 8,268 6,347 4,996 3,338 1,658 121,073 74,987 8,367 6,423 4,865 3,349 1,516 121,369 75,917 8,997 6,577 8,219 6,567 1,652 123,091 75,345 8,922 6,637 4,984 3,233 1,751 122,281 74,487 9,054 6,672 6,182 4,293 1,889 121,548 73,952 8,380 6,810 4,857 3,532 1,325 123,216 75,238 8,266 6,925 6,956 5,745 1,211 122,733 75,075 2,328 73,589 71,838 1,751 17,643 23,366 17,507' 1,330' 4,529 2,399 72,946 71,263 1,683 18,077 24,399 18,262 1,552 4,585 2,050 72,437 70,762 1,675 18,226 24,869 18,487 1,803 4,579 2,062 71,890 70,244 1,646 18,206 24,441 18,082 1,779 4,580 2,065 73,173 71,492 1,681 18,244 24,826 18,348 1,636 4,842 2,054 73,021 71,318 1,703 18,553 24,542 18,388 1,415 4,739 2,329 72,037 70,117 1,920 17,426 22,63 l r 16,981' 1,398' 4,252 2,129 72,945 71,196 1,749 17,379 23,280 16,881' 1,508' 4,891 2,032 72,955 71,224 1,731 17,753 23,168 17,326' 1,311' 4,531 489 1,627 2,529 36,183 20,307 207,059 374 1,472 2,314 36,499' 15,348 203,584 373 2,306 2,486 36,571 16,029 206,268 384 1,722 2,337 36,570' 16,429^ 206,087' 382 2,317 2,571 36,761 11,454 208,580 431 2,026 2,242 37,903 13,961 206,852 434 2,206 2,309 38,117 12,517 207,047 402 2,141 2,365 38,122 13,350 207,742 388 1,956 2,219 37,250 12,124 207,665 51,313 4,483 50,944 3,772 52,887 4,918 50,359 3,757 49,927 4,204 49,684 3,735 50,906 4,292 50,992 4,241 50,180 4,047 2,531 1,952 46,830 2,250 1,522 47,172 2,635 2,283 47,969 2,661 1,096 46,602 2,439 1,765 45,723 2,509 1,226 45,949 2,514 1,778 46,614 2,612 1,629 46,751 2,632 1,415 46,133 38,998' 7,832' 39,006' 8,166' 39,184 8,785 38,828 7,774 38,584 7,139 38,311 7,638 38,334 8,280 38,961 7,790 38,816 7,317 96,525 46,988 90,730 40,454 92,556 42,500 92,251 37,192 90,291 38,907 92,244 39,896 88,366 35,839 92,845 41,464 86,771 34,624 25,390 21,598 49,537 21,168 19,286 50,276 25,151 17,349 50,056 18,392 18,800 55,059 19,041 19,866 51,384 21,010 18,886 52,348 18,551 17,288 52,527 23,606 17,858 51,381 16,521 18,103 52,147 32,411 17,126 36,260 22,962 207,059 32,698 17,578 36,141 25,769 203,584 32,588 17,468 37,070 23,754 206,268 35,040 20,019 37,114 26,361' 206,087' 33,158 18,226 36,552 31,808 208,580 33,718 18,630 37,386 27,537 206,852 33,508 19,019 38,052 29,722 207,047 32,250 19,131 37,582 26,323 207,742 33,674 18,473 37,169 33,545 207,665 117,805' 103,479' 118,789' 104,348' 120,020' 105,405' 120,168' 105,378' 122,055 106,481 121,104 105,545 121,081 105,355 121,383 106,193 120,747 105,556 MEMO 1. Effective Jan. 4, 1989, the reporting pane) includes a new group of large U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. Earlier data included 65 U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks that included those branches and agencies with assets of $750 million or more on June 30, 1980, plus those branches and agencies that had reached the $750 million asset level on Dec. 31, 1984. These data also appear in the Board's H.4.2 (504) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 3. Effective Jan. 4, 1989, loans secured by real estate are being reported as a separate component of Other loans, gross. Formerly, these loans were included in "All other", line 21. 4. Includes credit balances, demand deposits, and other checkable deposits. 5. Includes savings deposits, money market deposit accounts, and time deposits. 6. Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 7. Exclusive of loans to and federal funds sold to commercial banks in the United States. A22 1.31 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 GROSS DEMAND DEPOSITS Individuals, Partnerships, and Corporations1 Billions of dollars, estimated daily-average balances, not seasonally adjusted Commercial banks Type of holder 1988 1985 Dec. 1986 Dec. 1987 Dec. 1989 1988 Dec. Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 1 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 321.0 363.6 343.5 354.7 337.8 354.7 330.4 329.3 337.3 n.a. 2 3 4 5 6 32.3 178.5 85.5 3.5 21.2 41.4 202.0 91.1 3.3 25.8 36.3 191.9 90.0 3.4 21.9 38.6 201.2 88.3 3.7 22.8 34.8 190.3 87.8 3.2 21.7 38.6 201.2 88.3 3.7 22.8 36.3 182.2 87.4 3.7 20.7 33.0 185.9 86.6 2.9 21.0 33.7 190.4 87.9 2.9 22.4 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other Weekly reporting banks 1988 1985 Dec. 1986 Dec. 1987 Dec. 1989 1988 Dec. Sept. 7 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 8 9 10 11 12 Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other Mar. June Sept. Dec. 168.6 195.1 183.8 198.3 185.3 198.3 181.9 182.2 186.6 196.7 25.9 94.5 33.2 3.1 12.0 32.5 106.4 37.5 3.3 15.4 28.6 100.0 39.1 3.3 12.7 30.5 108.7 42.6 3.6 12.9 27.2 101.5 41.8 3.1 11.7 30.5 108.7 42.6 3.6 12.9 27.2 98.6 41.1 3.3 11.7 25.4 99.8 42.4 2.9 11.7 26.3 101.6 43.0 2.8 12.9 27.6 108.8 44.1 3.0 13.2 1. Figures include cash items in process of collection. Estimates of gross deposits are based on reports supplied by a sample of commercial banks. Types of depositors in each category are described in the June 1971 Bulletin, p. 466. Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. Beginning in March 1984, these data reflect a change in the panel of weekly reporting banks, and are not comparable to earlier data. Estimates in billions of dollars for December 1983 based on the new weekly reporting panel are: financial business, 24.4; nonfinancial business, 80.9; consumer, 30.1; foreign, 3.1; other 9.5. 3. Beginning March 1985, financial business deposits and, by implication, total gross demand deposits have been redefined to exclude demand deposits due to thrift institutions. Historical data have not been revised. The estimated volume of such deposits for December 1984 is $5.0 billion at all insured commercial banks and $3.0 billion at weekly reporting banks. Dec. 4. Historical data back to March 1985 have been revised to account for corrections of bank reporting errors. Historical data before March 1985 have not been revised, and may contain reporting errors. Data for all commercial banks for March 1985 were revised as follows (in billions of dollars): all holders, - . 3 ; financial business, - . 8 ; nonfinancial business, - . 4 ; consumer, .9; foreign, .1; other, - . 1 . Data for weekly reporting banks for March 1985 were revised as follows (in billions of dollars): all holders, - . 1 ; financial business, - . 7 ; nonfinancial business, - . 5 ; consumer, 1.1; foreign, .1; other, - . 2 . 5. Beginning March 1988, these data reflect a change in the panel of weekly reporting banks, and are not comparable to earlier data. Estimates in billions of dollars for December 1987 based on the new weekly reporting panel are: financial business, 29.4; nonfinancial business, 105.1; consumer, 41.1; foreign, 3.4; other, 13.1. Financial Markets A23 1.32 COMMERCIAL PAPER AND BANKERS DOLLAR ACCEPTANCES OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 1985 Dec. 1984 Dec. Instrument 1987 Dec. 1986 Dec. 1988 Dec. June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov. Commercial paper (seasonally adjusted unless noted otherwise) 237,586 2 3 4 5 6 329,991 357,129 455,017 503,445 506,095 516,476 507,090 507,902 n.a. 78,443 101,072 101,958 159,947 167,681 179,354 183,992 179,050 177,713 n.a. 2,035 1,602 2,265 1,428 1,248 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 110,543 135,320 151,820 173,939 192,442 211,020 205,847 208,915 206,521 210,855 n.a. 42,105 70,558 Financial companies' Dealer-placed paper Total Bank-related (not seasonally adjusted) Directly placed paper Total Bank-related (not seasonally adjusted) ^ Nonfinancial companies 298,779 56,485 1 All issuers 44,778 85,016 40,860 77,099 43,173 81,232 43,155 102,628 n.a. 124,744 n.a. 121,217 n.a. 125,478 n.a. 123,489 n.a. 121,466 n.a. n.a. 63,814'" 63,660 63,704 9,526' 8,779' 747' 10,811 9,108 1,703 10,025 8,518 1,507 Bankers dollar acceptances (not seasonally adjusted)6 78,364 11 12 13 70,565 66,631 64,141' 11,197 9,471 1,726 13,423 11,707 1,716 10,943 9,464 1,479 9,086 8,022 1,064 9,442' 8,397' 1,046 9,410' 8,334' 1,076 9,935' 8,874' 1,061 0 937 56,279 0 1,317 50,234 0 965 58,658 0 1,493 56,052 0 1,177 53,521 0 1,026 55,152' 0 1,014 54,615' 0 1,016 53,370 0 1,016 51,833 0 1,034 52,645 17,845 16,305 44,214 Basis 14 Imports into United States 15 Exports from United States 16 All other 8 9 10 64,974 0 671 67,881 Holder Accepting banks Own bills Bills bought Federal Reserve Banks Own account Foreign correspondents Others 68,413 9,811 8,621 1,191 7 Total 15,147 13,204 40,062 14,670 12,960 37,344 16,483 15,227 38,855 14,984 14,410 37,237 15,093 15,063 33,985r 15,338 15,270 34,980 16,140 14,895 34,729 16,101' 14,304' 33,409' 16,157 14,275 33,228 15,664 14,397 33,643 1. Institutions engaged primarily in activities such as, but not limited to, commercial savings, and mortgage banking; sales, personal, and mortgage financing; factoring, finance leasing, and other business lending; insurance underwriting; and other investment activities. 2. Includes all financial company paper sold by dealers in the open market. 3. Beginning January 1989, bank-related series have been discontinued. 4. As reported by financial companies that place their paper directly with investors. 65,588 65,764 5. Includes public utilities and firms engaged primarily in such activities as communications, construction, manufacturing, mining, wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and services. 6. Beginning January 1988, the number of respondents in the bankers acceptance survey were reduced from 155 to 111 institutions—those with $100 million or more in total acceptances. The new reporting group accounts for over 90 percent of total acceptances activity. 1.33 PRIME RATE CHARGED BY BANKS on Short-Term Business Loans Percent per year Period Rate 7.75 8.00 8.25 8.75 9.25 9.00 8.75 8.50 9.00 9.50 10.00 10.50 11.00 11.50 11.00 10.50 1987 1988 1989 Average rate 8.21 9.32 10.87 1987Feb. Mar. Apr. May . June July . Aug. Sept. Oct. . Nov. Dec. 7.50 7.50 7.50 7.75 8.14 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.70 9.07 8.78 8.75 10.00 NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H. 15 (519) and G. 13 (415) releases. For address, see inside front cover. Period 1988—Jan. ... Feb. .. Mar. .. Apr. .. May ... June .. July .. Aug. .. Sept. .. Oct. ... Nov. .. Dec. .. Average rate 8.75 8.51 8.50 8.50 8.84 9.00 9.29 9.84 10.00 10.00 10.05 10.50 1989—Jan. . Feb. Mar. Apr. May . June July . Aug. Sept. Oct. . Nov. Dec. 1990—Jan. . A24 1.35 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 INTEREST RATES Money and Capital Markets Averages, percent per year; weekly, monthly and annual figures are averages of business day data unless otherwise noted. 1989 Instrument 1987 1988 1989, week ending 1989 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Dec. 1 Dec. 8 Dec. 15 Dec. 22 Dec. 29 MONEY MARKET RATES 1 Federal funds1,2 2 Discount window borrowing1, Commercial paper • 3 1-month 3-month 4 5 6-month , Finance paper, directly placed4, 6 1-month 7 3-month 8 6-month . Bankers acceptances ,6 9 3-month 10 6-month Certificates of deposit, secondary market 11 1-month 12 3-month 13 6-month 14 Eurodollar deposits^ 3-month8 U.S. Treasury bills5 Secondary market9 15 3-month 16 6-month 17 1-year Auction average 18 3-month 19 6-month 20 1-year 6.66 5.66 7.57 6.20 9.21 6.93 9.02 7.00 8.84 7.00 8.55 7.00 8.45 7.00 8.51 7.00 8.52 7.00 8.47 7.00 8.52 7.00 8.38 7.00 6.74 6.82 6.85 7.58 7.66 7.68 9.11 8.99 8.80 8.87 8.70 8.50 8.66 8.53 8.24 8.47 8.35 8.00 8.61 8.29 7.93 8.42 8.25 7.90 8.53 8.24 7.86 8.61 8.31 7.94 8.67 8.33 7.94 8.66 8.31 7.99 6.61 6.54 6.37 7.44 7.38 7.14 8.99 8.72 8.16 8.76 8.35 7.56 8.54 8.29 7.50 8.33 8.07 7.45 8.40 8.01 7.33 8.21 7.97 7.34 8.40 8.00 7.33 8.45 8.01 7.31 8.43 8.01 7.34 8.28 8.00 7.36 6.75 6.78 7.56 7.60 8.87 8.67 8.59 8.37 8.42 8.08 8.21 7.86 8.15 7.78 8.12 7.77 8.10 7.73 8.19 7.81 8.15 7.77 8.16 7.84 6.75 6.87 7.01 7.07 7.59 7.73 7.91 7.85 9.11 9.09 9.08 9.16 8.83 8.78 8.75 8.85 8.62 8.60 8.45 8.67 8.44 8.39 8.21 8.42 8.65 8.32 8.12 8.39 8.43 8.27 8.09 8.25 8.55 8.26 8.04 8.34 8.67 8.35 8.16 8.40 8.72 8.37 8.15 8.48 8.72 8.33 8.16 8.39 5.78 6.03 6.33 6.67 6.91 7.13 8.11 8.03 7.92 7.75 7.74 7.65 7.64 7.62 7.45 7.69 7.49 7.25 7.63 7.42 7.21 7.63 7.43 7.21 7.61 7.35 7.22 7.65 7.40 7.22 7.60 7.42 7.15 7.68 7.56 7.27 5.82 6.05 6.33 6.68 6.92 7.17 8.12 8.04 7.91 7.72 7.74 7.61 7.63 7.61 7.35 7.65 7.46 7.17 7.64 7.45 7.14 7.63 7.45 n.a. 7.55 7.30 n.a. 7.60 7.41 n.a. 7.62 7.43 7.14 7.77 7.64 n.a. 6.77 7.42 7.68 7.94 8.23 8.39 n.a. 8.59 7.65 8.10 8.26 8.47 8.71 8.85 n.a. 8.96 8.53 8.57 8.55 8.50 8.52 8.49 n.a. 8.45 8.22 8.28 8.26 8.17 8.23 8.19 n.a. 8.15 7.99 7.98 8.02 7.97 8.03 8.01 n.a. 8.00 7.77 7.80 7.80 7.81 7.86 7.87 n.a. 7.90 7.72 7.78 7.77 7.75 7.85 7.84 n.a. 7.90 7.73 7.76 7.76 7.77 7.83 7.85 n.a. 7.91 7.73 7.77 7.77 7.74 7.83 7.84 n.a. 7.90 7.73 7.78 7.74 7.72 7.83 7.82 n.a. 7.88 7.66 7.71 7.72 7.69 7.81 7.78 n.a. 7.85 7.80 7.89 7.90 7.88 7.99 7.93 n.a. 7.98 8.64 8.98 8.58 8.31 8.15 8.03 8.02 8.03 8.02 8.00 7.97 8.12 7.14 8.17 7.63 7.36 7.83 7.68 7.00 7.40 7.23 6.97 7.26 7.26 6.93 7.33 7.22 6.77 7.16 7.14 6.72 7.03 6.98 6.67 7.00 7.04 6.61 6.83 7.00 6.73 7.10 6.99 6.76 7.10 6.96 6.76 7.10 6.97 9.91 9.38 9.68 9.99 10.58 10.18 9.71 9.94 10.24 10.83 9.66 9.26 9.46 9.74 10.18 9.41 9.01 9.23 9.51 9.91 9.34 8.92 9.19 9.44 9.81 9.32 8.89 9.14 9.42 9.81 9.30 8.86 9.11 9.39 9.82 9.31 8.88 9.14 9.40 9.83 9.30 8.86 9.11 9.40 9.81 9.29 8.85 9.12 9.38 9.81 9.28 8.85 9.08 9.36 9.82 9.32 8.88 9.14 9.41 9.85 9.96 10.20 9.79 9.55 9.39 9.28 9.36 9.26 9.29 9.33 9.40 9.54 8.37 3.08 9.23 3.64 n.a. n.a. 8.82 3.29 8.85 3.29 8.73 3.39 8.75 3.33 8.67 3.37 8.69 3.33 8.68 3.29 8.75 3.39 8.75 3.31 CAPITAL MARKET RATES 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 U.S. Treasury notes and bonds11 Constant maturities 1-year 2-year 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year Composite Over 10 years (long-term) State and local notes and bonds Moody's series Aaa Baa Bond Buyer series15 Corporate bonds Seasoned issues All industries Aaa Aa A Baa A-rated, recently offered utility bonds17 MEMO: Dividend/price ratio18 39 Preferred stocks 40 Common stocks 1. Weekly, monthly and annual figures are averages of all calendar days, where the rate for a weekend or holiday is taken to be the rate prevailing on the preceding business day. The daily rate is the average of the rates on a given day weighted by the volume of transactions at these rates. 2. Weekly figures are averages for statement week ending Wednesday. 3. Rate for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. 4. Unweighted average of offering rates quoted by at least five dealers (in the case of commercial paper), or finance companies (in the case of finance paper). Before November 1979, maturities for data shown are 30-59 days, 90-119 days, and 120-179 days for commercial paper; and 30-59 days, 90-119 days, and 150-179 days for finance paper. 5. Yields are quoted on a bank-discount basis, rather than in an investment yield basis (which would give a higher figure). 6. Dealer closing offered rates for top-rated banks. Most representative rate (which may be, but need not be, the average of the rates quoted by the dealers). 7. Unweighted average of offered rates quoted by at least five dealers early in the day. 8. Calendar week average. For indication purposes only. 9. Unweighted average of closing bid rates quoted by at least five dealers. 10. Rates are recorded in the week in which bills are issued. Beginning with the Treasury bill auction held on Apr. 18, 1983, bidders were required to state the percentage yield (on a bank discount basis) that they would accept to two decimal places. Thus, average issuing rates in bill auctions will be reported using two rather than three decimal places. 11. Yields are based on closing bid prices quoted by at least five dealers. 12. Yields adjusted to constant maturities by the U.S. Treasury. That is, yields are read from a yield curve at fixed maturities. Based on only recently issued, actively traded securities. 13. Averages (to maturity or call) for all outstanding bonds neither due nor callable in less than 10 years, including one very low yielding "flower" bond. 14. General obligations based on Thursday figures; Moody's Investors Service. 15. General obligations only, with 20 years to maturity, issued by 20 state and local governmental units of mixed quality. Based on figures for Thursday. 16. Daily figures from Moody's Investors Service. Based on yields to maturity on selected long-term bonds. 17. Compilation of the Federal Reserve. This series is an estimate of the yield on recently-offered, A-rated utility bonds with a 30-year maturity and 5 years of call protection. Weekly data are based on Friday quotations. 18. Standard and Poor's corporate series. Preferred stock ratio based on a sample often issues: four public utilities, four industrials, one financial, and one transportation. Common stock ratios on the 500 stocks in the price index. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H. 15 (519) and G. 13 (415) releases. For address, see inside front cover. Financial Markets 1.36 STOCK MARKET A25 Selected Statistics 1989 Indicator 1987 1988 1989 Apr. June May July Sept. Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. Prices and trading (averages of daily figures) Common stock prices 1 New York Stock Exchange (Dec. 31, 1965 = 50) 2 Industrial 3 Transportation 4 Utility 5 Finance 6 Standard & Poor's Corporation (1941-43 = 10)1 161.78 195.31 140.52 74.29 146.48 149.97 180.83 134.09 72.22 127.41 180.13 228.04 174.90 94.33 162.01 169.38 204.81 164.32 79.69 143.26 175.30 211.81 169.05 84.21 146.82 180.76 216.75 173.47 87.95 154.08 185.15 221.74 179.32 90.40 157.78 192.93 231.32 197.53 92.90 164.86 193.02 230.86 202.02 93.44 165.51 192.49 229.40 190.36 94.67 166.55 188.50 224.38 174.26 94.95 160.89 192.67 230.12 177.25 99.73 155.63 287.00 265.88 323.05 302.25 313.93 323.73 331.92 346.61 347.33 347.40 340.22 348.57 7 American Stock Exchange (Aug. 31, 1973 = 50p 316.78 295.08 356.67 336.82 349.50 362.73 368.52 379.28 382.75 383.63 371.92 373.87 188,922 13,832 161,386 9,955 165,568 13,124 161,863 11,529 171,495 11,699 180,680 13,519 162,501 11,702 171,683 14,538 151,752 12,631 182,394 13,853 144,389 12,001 160,671 13,298 Volume of trading (thousands of shares) 8 New York Stock Exchange 9 American Stock Exchange Customer financing (end-of-period balances, in millions of dollars) 10 Margin credit at broker-dealers3 31,990 32,740 34,320 32,610 33,140 34,730 34,360 33,940 35,020 35,110 34,630 34,320 Free credit balances at brokers4 11 Margin-account 12 Cash-account 4,750 15,640 5,660 16,595 7,040 18,505 5,450 16,125 5,250 15,965 6,900 19,080 5,420 16,345 5,580 16,015 5,680 15,310 6,000 16,340 5,815 16,345 7,040 18,505 Margin requirements (percent of market value and effective date)6 Mar. 11, 1968 13 Margin stocks 14 Convertible bonds 15 Short sales June 8 , 1968 May 6, 1970 Dec. 6, 1971 Nov. 24, 1972 Jan. 3, 1974 70 50 70 80 60 80 65 50 65 55 50 55 65 50 65 50 50 50 1. Effective July 1976, includes a new financial group, banks and insurance companies. With this change the index includes 400 industrial stocks (formerly 425), 20 transportation (formerly 15 rail), 40 public utility (formerly 60), and 40 financial. 2. Beginning July 5, 1983, the American Stock Exchange rebased its index effectively cutting previous readings in half. 3. Beginning July 1983, under the revised Regulation T, margin credit at broker-dealers includes credit extended against stocks, convertible bonds, stocks acquired through exercise of subscription rights, corporate bonds, and government securities. Separate reporting of data for margin stocks, convertible bonds, and subscription issues was discontinued in April 1984. 4. Free credit balances are in accounts with no unfulfilled commitments to the brokers and are subject to withdrawal by customers on demand. 5. New series beginning June 1984. 6. These regulations, adopted by the Board of Governors pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit to purchase and carry "margin securities" (as defined in the regulations) when such credit is collateralized by securities. Margin requirements on securities other than options are the difference between the market value (100 percent) and the maximum loan value of collateral as prescribed by the Board. Regulation T was adopted effective Oct. 15, 1934; Regulation U, effective May 1, 1936; Regulation G, effective Mar. 11, 1968; and Regulation X, effective Nov. 1, 1971. On Jasv. 1, 1977, the Board of Governors for the first time established in Regulation T the initial margin required for writing options on securities, setting it at 30 percent of the current market-value of the stock underlying the option. On Sept. 30, 1985, the Board changed the required initial margin, allowing it to be the same as the option maintenance margin required by the appropriate exchange or self-regulatory organization; such maintenance margin rules must be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Effective Jan. 31, 1986, the SEC approved new maintenance margin rules, permitting margins to be the price of the option plus 15 percent of the market value of the stock underlying the option. A26 1.37 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 SELECTED FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS Selected Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Account 1987 1988 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. SAlF-insured institutions 1 Assets 2 Mortgages 3 Mortgage-backed securities 4 Contra-assets to mortgage assets' . 5 Commercial loans 6 Consumer loans 7 Contra-assets to nonmortgage loans2 . 8 Cash and investment securities 9 Other3 1,250,855 Savings capital Borrowed money FHLBB Other Other Net worth 1,340,502 1,345,347' 1,346,564' 1,338,576' 1,331,965' 1,318,148' 1,301,825' 1,289,468 764,513 767,260 767,603 769,398 773,386' 774,358' 772,720' 771,654' 770,072' 764,703' 757,730 201,828 214,587 211,308 213,090 215,203 216,129'" 216,256' 211,325' 204,321' 195,262' 188,397' 181,589 42,344 23,163 57,902 37,950 33,889 61,922 37,157 32,974 61,998 37,013 32,955 61,981 37,842 32,866 61,402 37,791' 32,812' 61,71c 37,504' 33,009' 61,869' 37,540' 33,073' 60,769' 37,204' 33,213 61,100' 36,781' 32,004' 60,981' 36,235' 32,939' 60,425' 34,835 32,579 59,795 3,467 3,056 2,840 2,923 3,074 2,899' 2,918' 3,192' 3,192' 3,157' 3,001' 3,111 169,717 122,462 186,986 129,610 178,813 125,026 177,178 126,243 177,094 125,455 175,841' 126,065' 174,333' 127,161' 175,222' 126,200' 175,244' 126,829' 171,674' 127,092' 169,643' 125,054' 172,721 123,000 10 Liabilities and net worth . 1,250,855 11 12 13 14 15 16 1,350,500 1,337,382 1,339,115 721,593 932,616 249,917 116,363 133,554 21,941 46,382 1,350,500 1,337,382 1,339,115 971,700 299,400 134,168 165,232 24,216 55,185 963,820 299,415 135,712 163,703 29,751 58,882 957,358 305,675 140,089 165,586 31,749 58,962 1,340,502 1,345,347' 1,346,564' 1,338,576' 1,331,965' 1,318,148' 1,301,825' 1,289,468 956,663 312,988 146,007 166,981 29,593 57,113 954,495 318,671' 148,000 170,671' 31,629' 56,068' 955,566 318,367' 146,520 171,847' 33,585' 54,596' 960,073' 312,093' 144,217 167,876' 29,892' 52,741' 963,158 301,581 141,875 159,706 31,884' 50,916' 960,344' 289,631 138,331 151,300 33,807' 49,959' 958,949' 281,474 133,633 147,841 29,831' 47,802' 948,531 275,979 130,514 145,465 30,875 49,157 SAIF-insured federal savings banks 17 Assets 284,270 425,983 423,846 432,675 443,167 455,143 469,939 495,739 507,020' 504,187' 501,128' 502,589 18 Mortgages 19 Mortgage-backed securities 20 Contra-assets to mortgage assets' . 21 Commercial loans Consumer loans 22 23 Contra-assets to nonmortgage loans . 24 Finance leases plus interest 25 Cash and investment . . . 26 Other 161,926 227,869 234,591 238,415 241,076 249,940' 257,187' 276,613' 285,072' 285,503' 283,188' 283,674 45,826 64,957 62,773 65,896 68,086 69,964 73,963 73,943 74,341 72,082 72,438' 72,318 9,100 6,504 17,696 13,140 16,731 24,222 12,258 16,172 25,033 12,685 16,320 25,977 12,896 16,313 26,096 13,049 16,497' 26,768' 13,227 16,934' 27,957' 13,662 18,014 28,157 13,972 18,279' 28,996' 13,859 18,169 28,985 13,821' 18,195 28,766 13,492 18,301 28,326 678 889 814 857 977 863 888 976 1,029 1,051 591 35,347 24,069 880 61,029 35,428 907 57,434 33,954 946 57,986 34,664 1,011 60,272 34,964 1,047 61,278 37,333 1,072 62,002 38,021 1,083 65,778 39,644 1,088 66,068 40,340' 1,075 65,109 40,534' 1,092 64,232 40,680 1,087 65,277 40,756 27 Liabilities and net worth . 284,270 425,983 423,846 432,675 443,167 455,143 469,939 495,739 507,020' 504,187' 501,128' 502,589 28 29 30 31 32 33 203,196 60,716 29,617 31,099 5,324 15,034 298,197 99,286 46,265 53,021 8,075 20,235 298,515 98,304 46,470 51,834 8,270 21,625 301,770 102,902 48,951 53,951 8,884 22,700 307,580 107,179 51,532 55,647 8,649 23,090 315,725 110,004 53,519 56,485 9,306 23,404 324,369 114,854 55,463 59,391 10,174 23,926 342,145 121,895 58,505 63,390 9,825 25,677 352,547 121,195 59,781 61,414 10,697 26,266' 352,099 117,970 59,189 58,781 11,443 26,369' 353,461' 115,628 57,941 57,687 9,904' 26,134' 355,903 114,232 57,793 56,439 10,298 26,126 Savings capital Borrowed money FHLBB Other Other Net worth 980 987 Financial Markets A25 1.37—Continued 1989 Account 1987 1988 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Credit unions5 34 Total assets/liabilities and capital 174,593 175,027 176,270 178,175 177,417 178,812 180,664 179,029 180,035 181,812 181,527 35 36 114,566 60,027 114,909 60,118 115,543 60,727 117,555 60,620 115,416 62,001 116,705 62,107 117,632 63,032 117,475 61,554 117,463 62,572 118,746 63,066 118,887 62,640 113,191 73,766 39,425 159,010 104,431 54,579 114,012 74,083 39,927 159,106 104,629 54,477 113,880 73,917 39,963 161,073 105,262 55,811 114,572 74,395 40,177 164,322 107,368 56,954 115,249 75,003 40,246 161,388 105,208 56,180 116,947 76,052 40,895 162,134 105,787 56,347 119,101 77,729 41,372 164,415 106,984 57,431 119,720 78,472 41,248 162,405 106,266 56,139 120,577 78,946 41,631 162,754 106,038 56,716 122,522 80,548 41,874 164,050 106,633 57,417 122,997 80,570 42,427 164,695 107,588 57,107 Federal State 37 Loans outstanding 38 Federal 39 State 40 Savings 41 Federal 42 State n.a. Life insurance companies 43 Assets 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 1,044,459 1,157,140 1,176,042 1,186,208 1,199,125 1,209,242 1,221,332 1,232,195 1,247,341 1,257,045 1,266,773 84,426 57,078 10,681 16,667 n.a. 472,684 n.a. 203,545 34,172 53,626 89,586 84,051 58,564 9,136 16,351 660,416 556,043 104,373 232,863 37,371 54,236 93,358 84,042 58,473 8,918 16,651 667,026 560,385 106,641 232,941 37,453 54,517 98,063 84,190 58,509 8,817 16,864 678,541 571,365 107,176 233,556 37,603 54,738 97,580 84,485 58,417 8,860 17,208 687,777 579,232 108,545 234,632 37,842 54,921 99,468 82,873 57,127 8,911 16,835 697,703 587,889 109,814 235,312 37,976 55,201 100,173 83,847 57,790 8,953 17,104 706,960 595,500 111,460 236,651 38,598 55,525 99,751 84,564 57,817 9,036 17,711 714,398 601,786 112,612 237,444 38,190 55,746 101,853 84,438 57,698 9,061 17,679 726,599 606,686 119,913 237,865 38,622 55,812 104,005 83,225 56,978 9,002 17,245 735,441 614,585 120,856 238,944 38,822 56,077 104,536 82,867 56,684 9,037 17,146 742,537 621,856 120,681 240,189 38,942 56,403 105,835 Securities Government United States6 State and local Foreign Business Bonds Stocks Mortgages Real estate Policy loans Other assets 1. Contra-assets are credit-balance accounts that must be subtracted from the corresponding gross asset categories to yield net asset levels. Contra-assets to mortgage loans, contracts, and pass-through securities include loans in process, unearned discounts and deferred loan fees, valuation allowances for mortgages "held for sale," and specific reserves and other valuation allowances. 2. Contra-assets are credit-balance accounts that must be subtracted from the corresponding gross asset categories to yield net asset levels. Contra-assets to nonmortgage loans include loans in process, unearned discounts and deferred loan fees, and specific reserves and valuation allowances. 3. Holding of stock in Federal Home Loan Bank and Finance leases plus interest are included in "Other" (line 9). 4. Excludes checking, club, and school accounts. 5. Data include all federally insured credit unions, both federal and state chartered, serving natural persons. 6. Direct and guaranteed obligations. Excludes federal agency issues not guaranteed, which are shown in the table under "Business" securities. 7. Issues of foreign governments and their subdivisions and bonds of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. n. a. NOTE. FSLIC-insured institutions: Estimates by the FHLBB for all institutions insured by the FSLIC and based on the FHLBB thrift Financial Report. FSLIC-insured federal savings banks: Estimates by the FHLBB for federal savings banks insured by the FSLIC and based on the FHLBB thrift Financial Report. Savings banks: Estimates by the National Council of Savings Institutions for all savings banks in the United States and for FDIC-insured savings banks that have converted to federal savings banks. Credit unions: Estimates by the National Credit Union Administration for federally chartered and federally insured state-chartered credit unions serving natural persons. Life insurance companies: Estimates of the American Council of Life Insurance for all life insurance companies in the United States. Annual figures are annualstatement asset values, with bonds carried on an amortized basis and stocks at year-end market value. Adjustments for interest due and accrued and for differences between market and book values are not made on each item separately but are included, in total, in "other assets." As of June 1989 Savings bank data are no longer available. A28 1.38 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 FEDERAL FISCAL A N D FINANCING OPERATIONS Millions of dollars Calendar year Type of account or operation Fiscal year 1987 Fiscal year 1988' Fiscal year 1989 1989 July U.S. budget1 1 Receipts, total 2 On-budget 3 Off-budget 4 Outlays, total 5 On-budget 6 Off-budget 7 Surplus, or deficit ( - ) , total 8 On-budget 9 Off-budget 10 11 12 Source of financing (total) Borrowing from the public Operating cash (decrease, or increase <")), Other 2 Aug. Sept. 66,191 45,673 20,518 84,430 66,624 17,806 -18,239 -20,951 2,712 76,161 57,156 19,004 98,310 79,218 19,092 -22,150 -22,062 99,233 75,711 23,522 105,299 86,548 18,750 -6,066 -10,837 4,771 68,426 50,122 18,304 94,515 75,096 19,419 -26,089 -24,974 -1,115 Nov. Dec. 71,213 51,989 19,223 100,172 80,794 19,378 -28,959 -28,804 -155 89,130 69,052 20,077 103,770 91,249 12,522 -14,641 -22,1% 7,556 854,143 640,741 213,402 1,003,804 809,972 193,832 -149,661 -169,231 19,570 908,166 666,675 241,491 ,063,318 860,626 202,691 -155,151 -193,951 38,800 -151,988 -204,433 52,445 151,717 166,139 140,156 36,690 19,790 -5,052 2,996 -7,963 -3,025 3,425 8,407 21,564 636 -3,235 -10,469 -15,589 14,977 -2,513 21,772 -12,603 -5,221 13,040 36,436 9,120 27,316 44,398 13,024 31,375 40,973 13,452 27,521 22,149 5,312 16,837 25,384 6,652 18,732 40,973 13,452 27,521 43,486 13,124 30,362 21,715 5,501 16,214 26,935 6,217 20,718 990,789 727,123 263,666 1,142,777 931,556 211,221 35,854 MEMO 13 Treasury operating balance (level, end of period) 14 Federal Reserve Banks 15 Tax and loan accounts 1. In accordance with the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, all former off-budget entries are now presented on-budget. The Federal Financing Bank (FFB) activities are now shown as separate accounts under the agencies that use the FFB to finance their programs. The act has also moved two social security trust funds (Federal old-age survivors insurance and Federal disability insurance trust funds) off-budget. 2. Includes SDRs; reserve position on the U.S. quota in the IMF; loans to international monetary fund; other cash and monetary assets; accrued interest payable to the public; allocations of special drawing rights; deposit funds; miscellaneous liability (including checks outstanding) and asset accounts; seigniorage; increment on gold; net gain/loss for U.S. currency valuation adjustment; net gain/loss for IMF valuation adjustment; and profit on the sale of gold. SOURCE. Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government and the Budget of the U.S. Government. Federal Finance A3 3 1.39 U.S. BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 1 Millions of dollars Calendar year Source or type Fiscal year 1988 Fiscal year 1989 1989 1988 1989 HI H2 HI H2 Oct. Nov. Dec. 475,724 449,394 527,574 470,354 68,426 71,213 89,130 37,385 35,443 0 2,717 775 19,731 853 RECEIPTS 908,166 1 All sources 2 Individual income taxes, net 3 Withheld Presidential Election Campaign Fund . . . . 4 5 Nonwithheld 6 Refunds Corporation income taxes 7 Gross receipts 8 Refunds 9 Social insurance taxes and contributions, net 10 Employment taxes and contributions 11 Self-employment taxes and contributions 12 Unemployment insurance 13 Other net receipts4 14 15 16 17 Excise taxes Customs deposits Estate and gift taxes Miscellaneous receipts 990,789 401,181 341,435 33 132,199 72,487 445,690 361,386 32 154,839 70,567 207,659 169,300 28 101,614 63,283 200,300 179,600 4 29,880 9,186 233,572 174,230 28 121,563 62,251 218,661 193,296 3 33,303 7,943 35,493 32,751 0 3,684 943 34,448 34,439 0 1,459 1,450 109,683 15,487 117,015 13,723 58,002 8,706 56,409 7,250 61,585 7,259 52,269 6,842 3,279 2,549 3,381 996 334,335 359,416 181,058 157,603 200,127 162,574 24,308 26,791 25,805 305,093 332,859 164,412 144,983 184,569 152,407 23,100 24,303 25,266 17,691 24,584 4,659 18,405 22,011 4,547 14,839 14,363 2,284 3,032 10,359 2,262 16,371 13,279 2,277 1,947 7,909 2,260 0 859 350 140 2,088 401 0 161 377 35,540 15,411 7,594 19,909 34,386 16,334 8,745 22,927 16,440 7,522 3,863 9,950 19,299 8,107 4,054 10,873 16,814 7,918 4,583 10,235 16,844 8,667 4,451 13,728 2,970 1,493 835 2,598 2,939 1,421 693 2,535 2,763 1,293 850 2,156 1,063,318 1,142,777 512,856 552,801 565,524 586,496 94,515 100,172 103,770 28,570 1,306 1,202 160 1,319 1,097 1,107 2,515 841 OUTLAYS 18 All types 19 20 21 22 23 24 National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture 25 26 27 28 Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development Education, training, employment, and social services 290,361 10,471 10,841 2,297 14,625 17,210 303,551 9,596 12,891 3,745 16,084 16,948 143,080 7,150 5,361 555 6,776 7,872 150,496 2,636 5,852 1,966 9,144 6,911 148,098 6,605 6,238 2,221 7,022 9,619 149,613 5,981 7,091 564 9,209 4,132 19,930 2,117 1,342 363 1,975 904 25,234 495 1,155 -170 2,064 1,967 18,828 27,272 5,294 27,716 27,623 5,755 5,951 12,700 2,765 19,836 14,922 2,690 4,129 13,035 1,833 22,200 14,982 4,879 5,4% 2,618 790 2,030 2,584 1,100 31,938 35,697 15,451 16,152 18,083 18,663 3,251 3,194 3,151 29 Health 30 Social security and medicare 31 Income security 44,490 297,828 129,332 48,391 317,506 136,765 22,643 135,322 65,555 23,360 149,017 64,978 24,078 162,195 70,937 25,339 162,322 67,950 4,511 27,143 9,711 4,136 27,337 11,456 4,435 27,166 13,217 32 33 34 35 36 37 29,406 8,436 9,518 1,816 151,748 -36,967 30,066 9,396 8,940 n.a. 169,314 -37,212 13,241 4,379 4,337 448 76,098 -17,766 15,797 4,351 5,137 0 78,317 -18,771 14,891 4,801 3,858 0 86,009 -18,131 14,864 4,963 4,753 n.a. 87,927 -18,935 1,503 842 842 n.a. 14,124 -2,945 2,627 771 1,437 n.a. 15,526 -2,771 3,664 968 745 n.a. 14,579 -2,271 Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government General-purpose fiscal assistance Net interest6 * Undistributed offsetting receipts 1. Functional details do not add to total outlays for calendar year data because revisions to monthly totals have not been distributed among functions. Fiscal year total for outlays does not correspond to calendar year data because revisions from the Budget have not been fully distributed across months. 2. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance, and railroad retirement accounts. 3. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance. 4. Federal employee retirement contributions and civil service retirement and disability fund. 5. Deposits of earnings by Federal Reserve Banks and other miscellaneous receipts. 6. Net interest function includes interest received by trust funds. 7. Consists of rents and royalties on the outer continental shelf and U.S. government contributions for employee retirement. SOURCES. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government, and the U.S. Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 1990. A30 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 1.40 FEDERAL DEBT SUBJECT TO STATUTORY LIMITATION Billions of dollars 1988 1987 1989 Item Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 1 Federal debt outstanding 2,354.3 2,435.2 2,493.2 2,555.1 2,614.6 2,707.3 2,763.6 2,824.0 2,881.1 2 Public debt securities 3 Held by public 4 Held by agencies 2,350.3 1,893.1 457.2 2,431.7 1,954.1 477.6 2,487.6 1,996.7 490.8 2,547.7 2,013.4 534.2 2,602.2 2,051.7 550.4 2,684.4 2,095.2 589.2 2,740.9 2,133.4 607.5 2,799.9 2,142.1 657.8 2,857.4 2,180.7 676.7 4.0 3.0 1.0 3.5 2.7 .8 5.6 5.1 .6 7.4 7.0 .5 12.4 12.2 .2 22.9 22.6 .3 22.7 22.3 .4 24.0 23.6 .5 23.7 23.5 .1 2,336.0 2,417.4 2,472.6 2,532.2 2,586.9 2,669.1 2,725.6 2,784.6 2,829.8 9 Public debt securities 10 Other debt1 2,334.7 1.3 2,416.3 1.1 2,472.1 .5 2,532.1 .1 2,586.7 .1 2,668.9 .2 2,725.5 .2 2,784.3 .2 2,829.5 .3 11 MEMO: Statutory debt limit 2,800.0 2,800.0 2,800.0 2,800.0 2,800.0 2,800.0 2,800.0 2,800.0 2,870.0 5 Agency securities 6 Held by public 7 Held by agencies 8 Debt subject to statutory limit SOURCES. Treasury Bulletin and Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States. 1. Includes guaranteed debt of Treasury and other federal agencies, specified participation certificates, notes to international lending organizations, and District of Columbia stadium bonds. 1.41 GROSS PUBLIC DEBT OF U.S. TREASURY Sept. 30 Types and Ownership Billions of dollars, end of period 1988 Type and holder 1987 1985 1989 1988 Q4 1 Total gross public debt 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 By type Interest-bearing debt Marketable Bills Notes Bonds Nonmarketable State and local government series Foreign issues Government Public Savings bonds and notes. Government account series 14 Non-interest-bearing debt 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 By holder4 U.S. government agencies and trust funds Federal Reserve Banks Private investors Commercial banks Money market funds Insurance companies Other companies State and local Treasurys Individuals Savings bonds Other securities Foreign and international Other miscellaneous investors6 Q2 Q3 1,945.9 2,214.8 2,431.7 2,684.4 2,684.4 2,740.9 2,799.9 2,857.4 ,943.4 ,437.7 399.9 812.5 2,212.0 2,428.9 1,724.7 389.5 1,037.9 282.5 704.2 139.3 4.0 4.0 2,663.1 1,821.3 414.0 1,083.6 308.9 841.8 151.5 6.6 2.738.3 1,871.7 417.0 1.121.4 318.4 2,797.4 1,877.3 397.1 1,137.2 328.0 920.1 156.0 2,836.3 1,892.8 406.6 1,133.2 338.0 943.5 158.6 99.2 461.3 .0 107.6 575.6 2,663.1 1,821.3 414.0 1,083.6 308.9 841.8 151.5 6.6 6.6 .0 107.6 575.6 110.4 594.7 112.3 645.2 .0 114.0 663.7 2.8 21.3 21.3 2.6 2.5 21.1 477.6 589.2 238.4 1,852.8 193.8 589.2 238.4 1,852.8 193.8 607.5 111.2 111.2 86.5 313.6 86.5 313.6 657.8 231.8 1,905.4 206.7 11.6 n.a. 90.7 322.1 1,954.6 n.a. 12.4 n.a. n.a. n.a. 109.6 77.0 362.1 587.2 109.6 77.0 362.1 587.2 114.0 89.1 367.9 n.a. 115.7 n.a. 393.5 n.a. 78.1 332.2 1,619.0 426.7 927.5 249.8 593.1 110.5 4.7 4.7 .0 90.6 386.9 2.5 2.8 211.1 505.7 87.5 7.5 7.5 .0 348.9 181.3 1,417.2 198.2 25.1 78.5 59.0 226.7 79.8 75.0 224.8 450.1 1. Includes (not shown separately): Securities issued to the Rural Electrification Administration; depository bonds, retirement plan bonds, and individual retirement bonds. 2. Nonmarketable dollar-denominated and foreign currency-denominated series held by foreigners. 3. Held almost entirely by U.S. Treasury agencies and trust funds. 4. Data for Federal Reserve Banks and U.S. Treasury agencies and trust funds are actual holdings; data for other groups are Treasury estimates. Q1 403.1 211.3 1,602.0 203.5 28.0 105.6 68.8 262.8 92.3 70.4 263.4 506.6 .0 222.6 1,745.2 201.5 14.6 104.9 84.6 284.6 101.1 70.2 299.7 584.0 6.6 18.8 18.8 866.6 154.4 6.7 6.7 .0 228.6 1,900.2 200.9 13.0 112.5 89.2 320.4 112.2 82.9 375.6 593.5 6.2 6.2 .0 6.8 6.8 676.7 220.6 5. Consists of investments of foreign and international accounts. Excludes non-interest-bearing notes issued to the International Monetary Fund. 6. Includes savings and loan associations, nonprofit institutions, credit unions, mutual savings banks, corporate pension trust funds, dealers and brokers, certain U.S. Treasury deposit accounts, and federally-sponsored agencies. SOURCES. Data by type of security, U.S. Treasury Department, Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States; data by holder. Treasury Bulletin. Federal Finance 1.42 A3 3 Transactions 1 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS Par value; averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1989 1989 Item 1987 1988 1989 Oct/ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Immediate delivery2 U.S. Treasury securities By maturity Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years By type of customer U.S. government securities dealers U.S. government securities brokers All others Federal agency securities Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Futures contracts Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities Forward transactions U.S. Treasury securities Federal agency securities Nov/ Dec. Nov. 22' Nov. 29 Dec. 6 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 110,050 101,623 112,730 130,820 115,717 84,256 102,465 103,002 84,048 86,756 105,779 72,754 37,924 3,271 27,918 24,014 16,923 29,387 3,426 27,777 24,939 16,093 30,741 3,182 33,665 28,682 16,460 35,905 3,312 39,950 34,368 17,285 32,619 2,809 38,445 26,207 15,638 26,846 2,559 25,879 18,250 10,723 30,234 2,892 38,594 17,045 13,701 31,041 2,660 38,543 20,540 10,219 24,334 2,593 24,995 22,193 9,933 26,890 2,393 25,871 20,356 11,247 34,298 2,745 34,564 20,487 13,685 24,327 2,193 22,201 14,356 9,677 2,936 2,761 3,287 4,298 3,496 2,552 2,753 2,582 2,081 2,410 3,364 2,920 61,539 45,575 18,084 4,112 2,965 17,135 59,844 39,019 15,903 3,369 2,316 22,927 66,419 43,024 18,622 2,798 2,222 31,807 77,566 48,956 20,989 2,422 2,169 34,167 66,555 45,666 20,026 2,184 1,995 31,188 45,734 35,970 17,908 1,596 1,635 32,291 59,514 40,198 19,816 2,281 1,903 32,277 59,607 40,813 15,963 2,150 2,110 27,286 46,781 35,186 19,857 1,783 1,828 32,864 48,224 36,123 23,434 2,016 1,878 31,288 57,553 44,862 17,557 1,807 1,567 33,421 38,286 31,549 13,325 1,046 1,226 31,857 3,233 8,963 5 2,627 9,695 1 2,525 9,603 8 2,797 10,334 20 1,900 9,308 7 2,523 5,838 3 1,606 10,303 10 2,254 6,532 0 2,578 5,334 0 2,713 5,769 6 3,567 6,733 5 1,788 6,773 2 2,029 9,290 2,095 8,008 2,130 9,486 2,163 10,561 2,009 10,894 1,859 9,536 1,440 10,750 2,373 6,150 1,305 9,884 1,221 13,212 3,372 10,135 1,789 5,709 1. Transactions are market purchases and sales of securities as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Averages for transactions are based on the number of trading days in the period. The figures exclude allotments of, and exchanges for, new U.S. Treasury securities, redemptions of called or matured securities, purchases or sales of securities under repurchase agreement, reverse repurchase (resale), or similar contracts. 2. Data for immediate transactions do not include forward transactions. 3. Includes, among others, all other dealers and brokers in commodities and r securities, nondealer departments of commercial banks, foreign banking agencies, and the Federal Reserve System. 4. Futures contracts are standardized agreements arranged on an organized exchange in which parties commit to purchase or sell securities for delivery at a future date. 5. Forward transactions are agreements arranged in the over-the-counter market in which securities are purchased (sold) for delivery after 5 business days from the date of the transaction for Treasury securities (Treasury bills, notes, and bonds) or after 30 days for mortgage-backed agency issues. A32 1.43 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS Positions and Financing1 Averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1989 Item 1987 1988 1989 1989 Oct. Nov/ Dec. Nov. 29r Dec. 6 Dec. 13 Dec. 20 Dec. 27 Positions Net immediate2 U.S. Treasury securities -6,216 -22,765 -5,938 10,654r 17,160 25,256 16,790 23,866 23,329 27,240 26,448 2 3 4 5 6 Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years 4,317 1,557 649 -6,564 -6,174 2,238 -2,236 -3,020 -9,663 -10,084 7,835 -1,528 2,340 -8,133 -6,452 19,152' -1,646r 9,664 -10,499 -6,017' 22,529 -1,276 10,545 -8,995 -5,642 26,829 -1,171 12,424 -7,230 -5,595 24,419 -1,091 8,656 -9,351 -5,843 26,211 -887 11,050 -6,640 -5,868 26,749 -852 9,942 -7,155 -5,355 29,911 -1,106 10,561 -6,623 -5,504 24,106 -1,702 17,619 -7,877 -5,698 7 8 9 10 Federal agency securities Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Futures positions Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities Forward positions U.S. Treasury securities Federal agency securities 31,911 8,188 3,660 7,4% 28,230 7,300 2,486 6,152 31,912 6,674 2,089 8,242 36,265r 7,123' 2,105 9,055 35,449 7,003 1,925 7,650 35,922 6,884 1,728 8,151 31,403 6,580 1,830 7,583 32,700 7,121 2,259 8,875 37,615 7,197 2,109 8,069 37,788 6,848 1,258 8,114 35,231 6,849 1,364 8,191 -3,373 5,988 -95 -2,210 6,224 0 -4,599 -2,919 14 -7,459 -9,302 68 -9,455 -11,364 25 -10,140 -11,022 30 -10,425 -10,772 1 -11,781 -10,264 1 -11,624 -10,907 31 -9,907 -13,006 36 -8,278 -10,748 43 -1,211 -18,817 346 -16,348 -545 -16,878 1,380 -15,367 -109 -17,372 -144 -16,523 1,310 -14,703 649 -15,993 114 -19,513 -22 -16,799 52 -14,438 1 11 12 13 14 15 Financing3 Reverse repurchase agreements4 Overnight and continuing Term Repurchase agreements 18 Overnight and continuing 19 Term 16 17 126,709 148,288 136,327 177,477 156,848 223,566 164,478 233,888 153,281 242,133 129,595 200,542 160,730 231,768 149,612 212,603 150,482 221,256 142,593 220,594 131,535 230,344 170,763 121,270 172,695 137,056 217,235 178,362 242,486 193,445 227,507 218,527 211,236 165,061 245,546 201,010 229,821 180,957 241,158 184,035 240,487 181,824 221,690 182,633 1. Data for dealer positions and sources offinancingare obtained from reports submitted to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. Treasury securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Data for positions are averages of daily figures, in terms of par value, based on the number of trading days in the period. Positions are net amounts and are shown on a commitment basis. Data for financing are in terms of actual amounts borrowed or lent and are based on Wednesday figures. 2. Immediate positions are net amounts (in terms of par values) of securities owned by nonbank dealer firms and dealer departments of commercial banks on a commitment, that is, trade-date basis, including any such securities that have been sold under agreements to repurchase (RPs). The maturities of some repurchase agreements are sufficiently long, however, to suggest that the securities involved are not available for trading purposes. Immediate positions include reverses to maturity, which are securities that were sold after having been obtained under reverse repurchase agreements that mature on the same day as the securities. Data for immediate positions do not include forward positions. 3. Figures coverfinancinginvolving U.S. Treasury and federal agency securities, negotiable CDs, bankers acceptances, and commercial paper. 4. Includes all reverse repurchase agreements, including those that have been arranged to make delivery on short sales and those for which the securities obtained have been used as collateral on borrowings, that is, matched agreements. 5. Includes both repurchase agreements undertaken to finance positions and "matched book" repurchase agreements. NOTE. Data on positions for the period May 1 to Sept. 30, 1986, are partially estimated. Federal Finance 1.44 FEDERAL A N D FEDERALLY SPONSORED CREDIT AGENCIES A3 3 Debt Outstanding Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Agency 1985 1986 1987 1988 July 1 Federal and federally sponsored agencies 2 Federal agencies 3 Defense Department 4 Export-Import Bank2,3 5 Federal Housing Administration 6 Government National Mortgage Association participation certificates5 7 Postal Service 6 ... 8 Tennessee Valley Authority 9 United States Railway Association 10 Federally sponsored agencies7 11 Federal Home Loan Banks 12 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 13 Federal National Mortgage Association 14 Farm Credit Banks8 15 Student Loan Marketing Association 16 Financing Corporation 17 Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation 18 Resolution Funding Corporation Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 293,905 307,361 341,386 381,498 411,874 411,979 408,591 409,113 412,234 36,390 71 15,678 115 36,958 33 14,211 138 37,981 13 11,978 183 35,668 8 11,033 150 36,453 7 11,014 245 36,453 7 11,014 255 36,584 7 10,990 295 36,378 7 10,990 301 35,855 7 10,990 308 2,165 1,940 16,347 74 2,165 3,104 17,222 85 1,615 6,103 18,089 0 0 6,142 18,335 0 0 6,445 18,742 0 0 6,445 18,732 0 0 6,445 18,847 0 0 6,445 18,635 0 0 6,445 18,105 0 257,515 74,447 11,926 93,896 68,851 8,395 0 0 0 270,553 88,752 13,589 93,563 62,478 12,171 0 0 0 303,405 115,725 17,645 97,057 55,275 16,503 1,200 0 0 345,830 135,834 22,797 105,459 53,127 22,073 5,850 690 0 375,421 151,487 25,690 109,926 53,158 26,813 7,500 847 0 375,526 149,269 27,165 110,155 53,511 27,079 7,500 847 0 372,007 143,578 26,738 111,507 54,015 27,126 8,170 847 0 372,735 140,854 25,097 111,776 54,029 27,440 8,170 847 4,522 376,379 138,229 27,018 115,774 54,131 27,688 8,170 847 4,522 153,373 157,510 152,417 142,850 138,814 137,690 136,092 135,841 135,213 15,670 1,690 5,000 14,622 74 14,205 2,854 4,970 15,797 85 11,972 5,853 4,940 16,709 0 11,027 5,892 4,910 16,955 0 11,008 6,195 4,910 17,362 0 11,008 6,195 4,910 17,352 0 10,984 6,195 4,910 17,467 0 10,984 6,195 4,880 17,255 0 10,984 6,195 4,880 16,725 0 64,234 20,654 31,429 65,374 21,680 32,545 59,674 21,191 32,078 58,496 19,246 26,324 54,911 19,257 25,171 54,611 19,270 24,344 53,311 19,275 23,950 53,311 19,233 23,983 53,311 19,249 23,869 MEMO 19 Federal Financing Bank debt13 20 21 22 23 24 Lending to federal and federally sponsored agencies Export-Import Bank Postal Service6 Student Loan Marketing Association Tennessee Valley Authority United States Railway Association Other Lending14 25 Farmers Home Administration 26 Rural Electrification Administration 27 Other 1. Consists of mortgages assumed by the Defense Department between 1957 and 1963 under family housing and homeowners assistance programs. 2. Includes participation certificates reclassified as debt beginning Oct. 1,1976. 3. Off-budget Aug. 17, 1974, through Sept. 30, 1976; on-budget thereafter. 4. Consists of debentures issued in payment of Federal Housing Administration insurance claims. Once issued, these securities may be sold privately on the securities market. 5. Certificates of participation issued before fiscal 1969 by the Government National Mortgage Association acting as trustee for the Farmers Home Administration; Department of Health, Education, and Welfare; Department of Housing and Urban Development; Small Business Administration; and the Veterans Administration. 6. Off-budget. 7. Includes outstanding noncontingent liabilities: notes, bonds, and debentures. Some data are estimated. 8. Excludes borrowing by the Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation, shown in line 17. 9. Before late 1981, the Association obtained financing through the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Borrowing excludes that obtained from the FFB, which is shown on line 21. 10. The Financing Corporation, established in August 1987 to recapitalize the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, undertook its first borrowing in October 1987. 11. The Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation (established in January 1988 to provide assistance to the Farm Credit System) undertook its first borrowing in July 1988. 12. The Resolution Funding Corporation, established by the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and Enforcement Act of 1989, undertook its first borrowing in October 1989. 13. Includes FFB purchases of agency assets and guaranteed loans; the latter contain loans guaranteed by numerous agencies with the guarantees of any particular agency being generally small. The Farmers Home Administration item consists exclusively of agency assets, while the Rural Electrification Administration entry contains both agency assets and guaranteed loans. 14. The FFB, which began operations in 1974, is authorized to purchase or sell obligations issued, sold, or guaranteed by other federal agencies. Since FFB incurs debt solely for the purpose of lending to other agencies, its debt is not included in the main portion of the table in order to avoid double counting. A34 1.45 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 NEW SECURITY ISSUES Millions of dollars Tax-Exempt State and Local Governments 1989 Type of issue or issuer, or use 1986 1987 1988 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec. 1 All issues, new and refunding1 147,011 102,407 114,522 7,435 13,775 8,735 9,824 10,818 9,075 9,564 12,456 Type of issue 2 General obligation 3 Revenue 46,346 100,664 30,589 71,818 30,312 84,210 2,342 5,093 4,960 8,815 3,789 4,946 2,199 7,625 3,500 7,318 3,273 5,802 3,328 6,237 1,930 10,526 Type of issuer 4 State 5 Special district and statutory authority 6 Municipalities, counties, and townships 14,474 89,997 42,541 10,102 65,460 26,845 8,830 74,409 31,193 392 4,979 2,064 1,989 8,033 3,753 970 4,868 2,897 694 7,027 2,103 764 7,567 2,487 1,330 4,770 2,975 930 5,473 3,161 885 8,657 2,914 7 Issues for new capital, total 83,492 56,789 79,665 5,938 10,078 6,816 6,612 7,470 7,266 7,777 9,412 Use of proceeds Education Transportation Utilities and conservation Social welfare Industrial aid Other purposes 12,307 7,246 14,594 11,353 6,190 31,802 9,524 3,677 7,912 11,106 7,474 18,020 15,021 6,825 8,4% 19,027 5,624 24,672 1,024 748 467 1,376 361 1,962 2,678 576 1,058 1,509 329 3,928 998 500 551 1,632 440 2,695 1,302 556 813 1,553 447 1,941 1,639 976 622 1,242 381 2,610 1,006 280 718 1,803 345 3,114 1,058 675 1,137 1,441 444 3,022 1,292 622 2,173 2,292 966 2,067 8 9 10 11 12 13 1. Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2. Includes school districts beginning 1986. 1.46 NEW SECURITY ISSUES SOURCES. Securities Data/Bond Buyer Municipal Data Base beginning 1986. Public Securities Association for earlier data. U.S. Corporations Millions of dollars Type of issue or issuer, or use 1989 1986 1987 1988 Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov. 1 All issues1 424,737 392,171' 408,803' 14,405 21,471 24,450 17,734' 14,895' 14,409' 24,267' 20,240 2 Bonds2 356,304 325,663' 351,002' 13,396 19,662 21,622 12,680' 12,860' 12,136' 20,587' 16,000 Type of offering 3 Public, domestic 4 Private placement, domestic3 5. Sold abroad 232,742 80,760 42,801 209,279 92,070 24,308 200,124' 127,700 23,178 11,471 n.a. 1,925 17,756 n.a. 1,906 18,714 n.a. 2,908 11,26C n.a. 1,420 12,044' n.a. 816 10,936' n.a. 1,200 19,479' n.a. 1,108' 14,000 n.a. 2,000 90,788 41,909 10,322' 31,074r 16,441 165,770 61,666 49,327 11,974 23,004 7,340 172,351 70,348' 61,620' 9,976 19,318 5,951' 183,787' 1,457 843 100 1,695 453 8,848 7,715 2,162 150 385 122 9,128 3,252' 1,649' 480 2,936 4 13,302 2,776' 1,331 0 1,173 300 7,099 2,665' 1,090 423 705' 358 7,619 2,177' 1,393 0 1,058' 308 7,201' 3,438' 1,830' 831 1,738' 632 12,118' 3,214 1,112 272 927 812 9,663 12 Stocks2 68,433 66,508 57,802 1,009 1,809 2,828 5,054 2,035 2,273 3,680 4,240 Type 13 Preferred 14 Common 15 Private placement3 11,514 50,316 6,603 10,123 43,225 13,157 6,544 35,911 15,346 495 514 n.a. 306 1,503 n.a. 335 2,493 n.a. 920 4,134 n.a. 1,013 1,023 n.a. 519 1,754 n.a. 570 3,110 n.a. 160 4,080 n.a. 15,027 10,617 2,427 4,020 1,825 34,517 13,880 12,888 2,439 4,322 1,458 31,521 7,608 8,449 1,535 1,898 515 37,798 155 282 169 0 93 310 299 115 39 192 280 884 630 512 0 125 25 1,536 593 438 0 25 29 3,969 393 343 0 137 20 1,020 193 155 0 709 0 1,195 190 728 50 465 0 2,214 378 498 0 211 0 3,153 6 7 8 9 10 11 16 17 18 19 20 21 Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Reed estate and financial Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial 1. Figures which represent gross proceeds of issues maturing in more than one year, are principal amount or number of units multiplied by offering price. Excludes secondary offerings, employee stock plans, investment companies other than closed-end, intracorporate transactions, equities sold abroad, and Yankee bonds. Stock data include ownership securities issued by limited partnerships. 2. Monthly data include only public offerings. 3. Data are not available on a monthly basis. Before 1987, annual totals include underwritten issues only. SOURCES. IDD Information Services, Inc., the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and before 1989, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Securities Market and Corporate Finance 1.47 OPEN-END INVESTMENT COMPANIES A35 Net Sales and Asset Position Millions of dollars 1989 Item 1987 1988 Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct/ Nov. INVESTMENT COMPANIES1 1 Sales of own shares2 381,260 271,237 25,496 24,661 25,817 25,330 26,800 23,911 23,872 23,618 2 Redemptions of own shares3 3 Net sales 314,252 67,008 267,451 3,786 26,183 -687 22,483 2,178 22,562 3,255 20,053 5,277 22,262 4,538 21,499 2,412 21,702 2,170 19,719 3,899 4 Assets4 453,842 472,297 497,329 509,781 515,814 535,910 539,553 539,814 534,922 550,130 5 Cash position5 6 Other 38,006 415,836 45,090 427,207 48,788 448,541 49,177 460,604 48,428 467,386 47,888 488,022 47,209 492,344 47,163 492,651 46,146 488,776 48,428 501,702 1. Data on sales and redemptions exclude money market mutual funds but include limited maturity municipal bond funds. Data on asset positions exclude both money market mutual funds and limited maturity municipal bond funds. 2. Includes reinvestment of investment income dividends. Excludes reinvestment of capital gains distributions and share issue of conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 3. Excludes share redemption resulting from conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 4. Market value at end of period, less current liabilities. 5. Also includes all U.S. government securities and other short-term debt securities. NOTE. Investment Company Institute data based on reports of members, which comprise substantially all open-end investment companies registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Data reflect newly formed companies after their initial offering of securities. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). 1.48 CORPORATE PROFITS A N D THEIR DISTRIBUTION • Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1987 Account 1986 1987 1988 1989 1988 Q4 1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 QI Q2 Q3 282.1 221.6 106.3 115.3 91.3 24.0 7 Inventory valuation 8 Capital consumption adjustment 298.7 266.7 124.7 142.0 98.7 43.3 328.6 306.8 137.9 168.9 110.4 58.5 308.2 276.2 127.3 148.9 102.8 46.1 318.1 288.8 129.0 159.9 105.7 54.2 325.3 305.3 138.4 166.9 108.6 58.3 330.9 314.4 141.2 173.2 112.2 61.1 340.2 318.8 143.2 175.6 115.2 60.4 316.3 318.0 144.4 173.6 118.5 55.1 307.8 296.0 134.9 161.1 120.9 40.2 295.2 275.0 122.6 152.4 123.3 29.1 6.7 53.8 2 3 4 5 6 -18.9 50.9 -25.0 46.8 -20.4 52.4 -20.7 49.9 -28.8 48.9 -30.4 46.9 -20.1 41.5 -38.3 36.6 -21.0 r 32.3 n.a/ 26.5 •Trade and services are no longer being reported separately. They are included in Commercial and other, line 10. 1.50 TOTAL NONFARM BUSINESS EXPENDITURES on New Plant and Equipment A Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1988 Industry 1988' 1989 1989 1990 19901 Q2 1 Total nonfarm business Manufacturing 2 Durable goods industries 3 Nondurable goods industries Nonmanufacturing 4 Mining Transportation 5 Railroad 6 Air 7 Other Public utilities 8 Electric 9 Gas and other . 10 Commercial and other Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q41 Ql 1 430.17 475.18 505.49r 427.54 435.61 442.11 459.47 470.86 484.93 485.45 503.46 77.75 86.79 83.05 100.11 83.22' 106.94' 77.38 85.24 79.15 89.62 80.56 92.76 81.26 93.96 82.97 98.57 85.66 102.00 82.30 105.90 86.84 106.92 12.57 12.50 12.01r 13.15 12.53 12.38 12.15 12.70 12.59 12.58 12.23 7.21 7.00 7.15 8.12 9.50 7.62 1.1%' lO^ 8.03' 6.99 6.91 7.05 6.84 8.09 7.08 7.45 7.69 6.89 8.02 7.04 8.07 7.37 9.49 7.40 8.16 12.48 7.89 8.93 8.99 7.13 7.91 10.12 8.58 31.75 14.63 185.32 33.96 16.10 204.22 34.32' 15.82'' 226.78r 31.31 14.49 185.21 32.07 14.61 185.61 33.69 15.04 185.65 33.69 17.12 198.15 35.34 16.67 200.36 33.73 15.84 206.59 33.07 14.79 211.76 35.47 16.42 218.97 1. Anticipated by business. 2. "Other" consists of construction; wholesale and retail trade; finance and Q3 insurance; personal and business services; and communication. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A36 1.51 D o m e s t i c Financial Statistics • M a r c h 1990 Assets and Liabilities1 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES Billions of dollars, end of period 1988 Account 1985 1989 1987 1986 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 ASSETS 1 2 Accounts receivable, gross2 Consumer Business Real estate Total 111.9 157.5 28.0 297.4 134.7 173.4 32.6 340.6 141.1 207.4 39.5 388.1 141.5 219.7 41.4 402.6 144.4 224.0 42.5 410.9 146.3 223.3 43.1 412.7 146.2 236.5 43.5 426.2 140.2 243.1 45.4 428.7 144.9 250.5 47.4 442.8 147.2 248.8 48.9 444.9 39.2 4.9 41.5 5.8 45.3 6.8 46.8 6.8 46.3 6.8 48.4 7.1 50.0 7.3 50.9 7.4 52.1 7.5 53.7 7.8 7 Accounts receivable, net 8 Al) other 253.3 45.3 293.3 58.6 336.0 58.3 348.9 60.1 357.8 70.5 357.3 68.7 368.9 72.4 370.4 75.1 383.2 81.5 383.5 83.1 9 Total assets 298.6 351.9 394.2 409.1 428.3 426.0 441.3 445.5 464.6 466.6 18.0 99.2 18.6 117.8 16.4 128.4 14.9 125.2 13.3 131.6 11.9 129.4 15.4 142.0 11.6 147.9 12.2 149.2 12.3 147.4 12.7 94.4 n.a. n.a. 41.5 32.8 17.5 117.5 n.a. n.a. 44.1 36.4 28.0 137.1 n.a. n.a. 52.8 31.5 n.a. n.a. 49.0 132.4 56.1 31.5 n.a. n.a. 51.4 139.8 58.7 33.5 n.a. n.a. 51.5 139.3 58.9 34.9 n.a. n.a. 50.6 137.9 59.8 35.6 n.a. n.a. 56.8 134.5 58.1 36.6 n.a. n.a. 59.7 141.3 63.5 38.7 n.a. 60.4 146.1 60.4 40.0 298.6 351.9 394.2 409.1 428.3 426.0 441.3 445.5 464.6 466.6 i 4 Less: 5 Reserves for unearned income 6 Reserves for losses LIABILITIES 10 Bank loans 11 Commercial paper Debt 12 Other short-term 13 Long-term 14 Due to parent 15 Not elsewhere classified 16 All other liabilities 17 Capital, surplus, and undivided profits 18 Total liabilities and capital 1. Components may not add to totals because of rounding. 1.52 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES 2. Excludes pools of securitized assets. Business Credit Outstanding and Net Change1 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1989 Type 1986 1987 1988 June 1 Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Retailfinancingof installment sales Automotive Equipment Pools of securitized assets2 Wholesale Automotive Equipment All other Pools of securitized assets2 Leasing Automotive Equipment Pools of securitized assets2 Loans on commercial accounts receivable and factored commercial accounts receivable All other business credit July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 172,060 205,810 234,529 249,322 251,126 253,822 258,851 259,083 257,930 26,015 23,112 n.a. 35,782 25,170 n.a. 36,548 28,298 n.a. 39,042 27,773 807 39,183 28,128 769 39,355 29,039 793 39,258 29,639 755 38,952 29,594 715 38,187 29,568 739 23,010 5,348 7,033 n.a. 30,507 5,600 8,342 n.a. 33,300 5,983 9,341 n.a. 34,021 6,165 9,862 0 33,233 6,244 10,001 0 33,566 6,497 9,990 0 37,243 6,602 9,957 0 35,210 6,843 9,927 0 33,537 6,933 9,895 0 19,827 38,179 n.a. 21,952 43,335 n.a. 24,673 57,455 n.a. 26,515 63,370 796 26,701 64,086 887 26,739 64,186 990 26,865 65,170 948 27,442 66,787 1,199 27,547 67,677 1,093 15,978 13,557 18,078 17,043 17,796 21,134 19,302 21,669 19,989 21,904 20,098 22,571 19,611 22,804 19,487 22,926 18,892 23,861 Net change (during period) 14 Total 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Retail financing of installment sales Automotive Equipment Pools of securitized assets Wholesale Automotive Equipment All other Pools of securitized assets2 Leasing Automotive Equipment Pools of securitized assets2 Loans on commercial accounts receivable and factored commercial accounts receivable All other business credit 15,763 33,750 22,662 3,462 1,803 2,697 5,029 232 -1,153 5,355 629 n.a. 9,767 2,058 n.a. 766 1,384 n.a. 226 135 -39 141 354 -38 172 911 24 -97 600 -38 -305 -45 -40 -765 -25 24 -978 780 224 n.a. 7,497 252 1,309 n.a. 2,793 226 999 n.a. -513 69 -68 0 -788 79 139 0 332 253 -11 0 3,677 104 -32 0 -2,033 242 -30 0 -1,673 90 -32 0 3,552 3,411 n.a. 2,125 5,156 n.a. 2,721 9,962 n.a. 504 2,348 -28 187 716 91 38 99 103 126 984 -42 577 1,618 251 105 890 -106 213 2,576 2,100 3,486 -282 4,091 530 298 687 235 109 667 -487 234 -124 122 -595 934 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.20 (422) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Data on pools of securitized assets are not seasonally adjusted. Real Estate 1.53 A37 MORTGAGE MARKETS Millions of dollars; exceptions noted. 1989 Item 1987 1988 1989 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Terms and yields in primary and secondary markets PRIMARY MARKETS 1 2 3 4 5 6 Conventional mortgages on new homes Terms Purchase price (thousands of dollars) Amount of loan (thousands of dollars) Loan/price ratio (percent) Maturity (years) Fees and charges (percent of loan amount) Contract rate (percent per year) Yield (percent per year) / OTS series 8 HUD series4 137.0 100.5 75.2 27.8 2.26 8.94 150.0 110.5 75.5 28.0 2.19 8.81 159.6 117.0 74.5 28.1 2.06 9.76 150.5 111.0 75.2 27.8 1.91 10.09 174.5 125.3 73.8 28.6 2.42 10.06 160.8 119.4 75.6 28.3 2.31 9.83 160.6 118.6 75.3 28.4 2.14 9.87 153.1 111.3 73.2 27.3 1.95 9.77 152.8 110.4 73.0 27.1 1.81 9.78 162.7 119.9 74.4 27.9 2.18 9.70 9.31 10.17 9.18 10.30 10.11 10.22 10.42 10.04 10.48 9.70 10.22 10.05 10.24 10.04 10.11 9.79 10.09 9.72 10.07 9.75 10.16 9.43 10.49 9.83 n.a. n.a. 10.08 9.75 9.61 9.55 9.95 9.48 9.94 9.47 9.73 9.21 9.69 9.07 9.71 n.a. SECONDARY MARKETS Yield (percent per year) 9 FHA mortgages (HUD series) 10 GNMA securities6 Activity in secondary markets FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION Mortgage holdings (end of period) 11 Total 12 FHA/VA-insured 13 Conventional 95,030 21,660 73,370 101,329 19,762 81,567 104,974 19,640 85,335 103,309 19,586 83,723 104,421 19,630 84,791 105,8% 19,589 86,307 107,052 19,608 87,444 108,180 19,843 88,337 109,076 19,953 89,123 110,721 20,283 90,438 Mortgage transactions (during period) 14 Purchases 20,531 23,110 22,518 1,862 2,091 2,724 2,223 2,267 2,376 2,982 Mortgage commitments7 15 Contracted (during period) 16 Outstanding (end of period) 25,415 4,886 23,435 2,148 27,409 n.a. 2,573 5,236 2,513 5,648 2,842 5,755 2,328 5,865 2,963 6,548 2,536 6,645 2,495 n.a. Mortgage holdings (end of periodf 17 Total 18 FHA/VA 19 Conventional 12,802 686 12,116 15,105 620 14,485 n.a. n.a. n.a. 20,121 585 19,535 20,533 585 19,948 21,024 589 20,435 20,650 540 20,110 21,342 588 20,755 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Mortgage transactions (during period) 20 Purchases 21 Sales 76,845 75,082 44,077 39,780 n.a. 72,932 7,392 6,551 5,720 5,180 7,283 6,650 7,889 8,050 7,884 7,058 n.a. 7,059 n.a. 8,526 Mortgage commitments9 22 Contracted (during period) 71,467 66,026 n.a. 7,948 6,608 5,705 7,708 7,555 n.a. n.a. FEDERAL HOME LOAN MORTGAGE CORPORATION 1. Weighted averages based on sample surveys of mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups; compiled by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2. Includes all fees, commissions, discounts, and "points" paid (by the borrower or the seller) to obtain a loan. 3. Average effective interest rates on loans closed, assuming prepayment at the end of 10 years. 4. Average contract rates on new commitments for conventional first mortgages; from Department of Housing and Urban Development. 5. Average gross yields on 30-year, minimum-downpayment, Federal Housing Administration-insured first mortgages for immediate delivery in the private secondary market. Based on transactions on first day of subsequent month. Large monthly movements in average yields may reflect market adjustments to changes in maximum permissable contract rates. 6. Average net yields to investors on Government National Mortgage Association guaranteed, mortgage-backed, fully modified pass-through securities, assuming prepayment in 12 years on pools of 30-year FHA/VA mortgages carrying the prevailing ceiling rate. Monthly figures are averages of Friday figures from the Wall Street Journal. 7. Includes some multifamily and nonprofit hospital loan commitments in addition to 1- to 4-family loan commitments accepted in FNMA's free market auction system, and through the FNMA-GNMA tandem plans. 8. Includes participation as well as whole loans. 9. Includes conventional and government-underwritten loans. FHLMC's mortgage commitments and mortgage transactions include activity under mortgage/ securities swap programs, while the corresponding data for FNMA exclude swap activity. A38 1.54 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Type of holder, and type of property 1986 1987 1989 1988 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3P 1 All holders 2,618,324 2,977,293 3,268,285 3,189,132 3,268,285 3,328,824 3,391,259 3,453,883 2 3 4 5 1,719,673 247,831 555,039 95,781 1,959,607 273,954 654,863 88,869 2,189,475 290,355 701,652 86,803 2,134,225 284,675 683,207 87,025 2,189,475 290,355 701,652 86,803 2,230,006 296,139 716,695 85,984 2,281,317 297,860 725,341 86,741 2,331,196 302,121 733,988 86,578 1,507,944 502,534 235,814 31,173 222,799 12,748 1,704,560 591,369 276,270 33,330 267,340 14,429 1,874,967 669,160 314,283 34,131 305,242 15,504 1,833,800 650,799 307,041 33,960 294,398 15,400 1,874,967 669,160 314,283 34,131 305,242 15,504 1,905,052 688,662 324,681 34,172 313,941 15,868 1,932,154 715,049 338,872 34,954 324,878 16,345 1,950,634 737,979 349,739 36,075 335,2% 16,869 777,967 559,067 97,059 121,236 605 193,842 12,827 20,952 149,111 10,952 33,601 860,467 602,408 106,359 150,943 757 212,375 13,226 22,524 166,722 9,903 40,349 929,647 678,263 111,302 139,416 666 232,639 15,284 23,562 184,124 9,669 43,521 914,280 665,294 109,287 139,029 670 225,627 14,917 23,139 178,166 9,405 43,094 929,647 678,263 111,302 139,416 666 232,639 15,284 23,562 184,124 9,669 43,521 936,091 682,658 112,507 140,255 671 234,910 12,690 24,636 188,073 9,511 45,389 933,694 684,828 110,009 138,201 656 236,160 12,745 25,103 188,756 9,556 47,251 927,982 680,572 109,353 137,406 651 235,767 13,045 25,913 187,208 9,601 48,906 203,800 889 47 842 48,421 21,625 7,608 8,446 10,742 192,721 444 25 419 43,051 18,169 8,044 6,603 10,235 200,570 26 26 0 42,018 18,347 8,513 5,343 9,815 198,027 64 51 13 41,836 18,268 8,349 5,300 9,919 200,570 26 26 0 42,018 18,347 8,513 5,343 9,815 199,847 26 26 0 41,780 18,347 8,615 5,101 9,717 201,909 24 24 0 40,711 18,391 8,778 3,885 9,657 206,503 23 23 0 41,117 18,405 8,916 4,366 9,430 Federal Housing and Veterans Administration 1- to 4-family Multifamily Federal National Mortgage Association 1- to 4-family Multifamily Federal Land Banks 1- to 4-family Farm Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation .. 1- to 4-family Multifamily 5,047 2,386 2,661 97,895 90,718 7,177 39,984 2,353 37,631 11,564 10,010 1,554 5,574 2,557 3,017 96,649 89,666 6,983 34,131 2,008 32,123 12,872 11,430 1,442 5,973 2,672 3,301 103,013 95,833 7,180 32,115 1,890 30,225 17,425 15,077 2,348 5,666 2,432 3,234 102,453 95,417 7,036 32,566 1,917 30,649 15,442 13,322 2,120 5,973 2,672 3,301 103,013 95,833 7,180 32,115 1,890 30,225 17,425 15,077 2,348 6,075 2,550 3,525 101,991 94,727 7,264 31,261 1,839 29,422 18,714 16,192 2,522 6,424 2,827 3,597 103,309 95,714 7,595 31,467 1,851 29,616 19,974 17,305 2,669 5,853 2,730 3,123 107,052 99,168 7,884 30,943 1,821 29,122 21,515 18,493 3,022 44 Mortgage pools or trusts6 45 Government National Mortgage Association.. 46 1- to 4-family 47 Multifamily 48 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation .. 49 1- to 4-family 50 Multifamily 51 Federal National Mortgage Association 52 1- to 4-family 53 Multifamily 54 Farmers Home Administration 55 1- to 4-family 56 Multifamily 57 Commercial 58 Farm 565,428 262,697 256,920 5,777 171,372 166,667 4,705 97,174 95,791 1,383 348 142 0 132 74 718,297 317,555 309,806 7,749 212,634 205,977 6,657 139,960 137,988 1,972 245 121 0 63 61 810,887 340,527 331,257 9,270 226,406 219,988 6,418 178,250 172,331 5,919 104 26 0 38 40 782,802 333,177 324,573 8,604 220,684 214,195 6,489 167,170 162,228 4,942 106 27 0 38 41 810,887 340,527 331,257 9,270 226,406 219,988 6,418 178,250 172,331 5,919 104 26 0 38 40 839,684 348,622 337,563 11,059 234,695 228,389 6,306 188,071 181,352 6,719 96 24 0 34 38 861,827 353,154 341,951 11,203 242,789 236,404 6,385 196,501 188,774 7,727 85 23 0 26 36 898,388 361,291 349,830 11,461 256,8% 250,123 6,773 208,894 200,302 8,592 78 22 0 22 34 59 Individuals and others7 60 1- to 4-family 61 Multifamily 62 Commercial 63 Farm 341,152 197,868 66,940 53,315 23,029 361,715 201,704 75,458 63,192 21,361 381,861 215,077 78,411 67,489 20,884 374,503 209,784 77,502 66,276 20,941 381,861 215,077 78,411 67,489 20,884 384,241 215,379 78,814 69,291 20,757 395,369 225,059 79,840 69,595 20,875 398,358 226,788 81,009 69,690 20,871 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm 6 Selected financial institutions 7 Commercial banks 8 1- to 4-family 9 Multifamily 10 Commercial 11 Farm 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Savings institutions3 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm Life insurance companies 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm Finance companies 23 Federal and related agencies 24 Government National Mortgage Association.. 25 1- to 4-family 26 Multifamily 27 Farmers Home Administration 28 1- to 4-family 29 Multifamily 30 Commercial 31 Farm 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 1. Based on data from various institutional and governmental sources, with some quarters estimated in part by the Federal Reserve. Multifamily debt refers to loans on structures of five or more units. 2. Includes loans held by nondeposit trust companies but not bank trust departments. 3. Includes savings banks and savings and loan associations. Beginning 1987:1, data reported by FSLIC-insured institutions include loans in process and other contra assets (credit balance accounts that must be subtracted from the corresponding gross asset categories to yield net asset levels). 4. Assumed to be entirely 1- to 4-family loans. 5. FmHA-guaranteed securities sold to the Federal Financing Bank were reallocated from FmHA mortgage pools to FmHA mortgage holdings in 1986:4, because of accounting changes by the Farmers Home Administration. 6. Outstanding principal balances of mortgage pools backing securities insured or guaranteed by the agency indicated. Includes private pools which are not shown as a separate line item. 7. Other holders include mortgage companies, real estate investment trusts, state and local credit agencies, state and local retirement funds, noninsured pension funds, credit unions, and other U.S. agencies. Consumer Installment 1.55 Credit A39 CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT 1 Total Outstanding, and Net Change, seasonally adjusted Millions of dollars 1989 Holder, and type of credit 1987 Mar. May Apr. June July Aug. Sept. Oct/ Nov. Amounts outstanding (end of period) 607,721 659,507 691,162 693,911 698,132 700,849 700,344 703,001 704,371 707,562 711,799 282,910 140,281 80,087 40,975 59,851 3,618 n.a. 318,925 145,180 86,118 43,498 62,099 3,687 n.a. 318,242 143,070 88,514 41,300 62,735 3,682 33,619 320,458 144,378 89,330 41,301 61,919 3,787 32,737 323,363 145,523 89,890 41,323 61,311 3,897 32,826 324,438 146,055 90,073 41,649 59,920 4,017 34,696 323,621 145,488 89,852 41,798 60,092 3,936 35,557 326,135 144,386 90,016 41,989 59,229 3,976 37,270 327,327 144,188 89,892 42,221 59,883 3,886 36,974 330,746 141,273 89,856 42,319 58,890 3,804 40,675 332,300 141,440 90,035 42,554 57,967 3,772 43,731 By major type of credit 9 Automobile 10 Commercial banks 11 Credit unions 12 Finance companies 13 Savings institutions 14 Pools of securitized assets 265,976 109,201 40,351 98,195 18,228 n.a. 281,174 123,259 41,326 97,204 19,385 n.a. 288,850 123,062 42,211 89,567 19,231 14,779 289,654 123,878 42,510 90,268 18,866 14,132 290,741 125,118 42,687 90,976 18,566 13,395 290,192 125,592 42,684 91,184 18,032 12,700 288,526 124,881 42,624 90,213 17,972 12,835 288,533 126,597 42,747 89,439 17,603 12,147 287,754 126,759 42,733 88,317 17,990 11,955 288,747 128,238 42,761 84,814 17,692 15,243 289,266 128,635 42,891 84,707 17,415 15,619 Revolving Commercial banks Retailers Gasoline companies Savings institutions Credit unions Pools of securitized assets 153,884 99,119 36,389 3,618 10,367 4,391 n.a. 174,792 117,572 38,692 3,687 10,151 4,691 n.a. 182,831 112,553 36,489 3,682 10,860 4,947 14,299 184,500 114,130 36,497 3,787 10,918 5,035 14,134 186,502 115,407 36,504 3,897 11,008 5,109 14,578 189,622 115,561 36,814 4,017 10,951 5,162r 17,117 191,028 115,967 36,963 3,936 11,176 5,192 17,795 194,398 117,012 37,134 3,976 11,206 5,244 19,827 195,302 117,868 37,355 3,886 11,183 5,279 19,731 196,379 118,801 37,435 3,804 10,998 5,319 20,021 199,191 119,335 37,639 3,772 10,826 5,372 22,247 26,387 9,220 7,762 9,406 25,744 8,974 7,186 9,583 24,168 8,844 5,687 9,637 23,993 8,836 5,659 9,498 23,952 8,878 5,684 9,390 23,685 8,847 5,674 9,163 23,630 8,830 5,624 9,176 22,938 8,808 5,100 9,030 22,991 8,788 5,087 9,116 22,947 8,724 5,272 8,951 22,523 8,942 4,783 8,797 161,475 65,370 34,324 35,344 4,586 21,850 n.a. 177,798 69,120 40,790 40,102 4,807 22,981 n.a. 195,314 73,783 47,816 41,357 4,811 23,006 4,541 195,763 73,614 48,451 41,785 4,804 22,638 4,471 196,936 73,960 48,863 42,094 4,819 22,347 4,853 197,349 74,438 49,197 42,228 4,834 21,773 4,879 197,161 73,944 49,650 42,036 4,835 21,769 4,927 197,132 73,718 49,847 42,025 4,855 21,390 5,296 198,324 73,912 50,784 41,880 4,866 21,593 5,288 199,490 74,983 51,187 41,776 4,884 21,249 5,411 200,818 75,389 51,950 41,772 4,914 20,929 5,865 1 Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 16 17 18 19 20 21 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers Savings institutions Gasoline companies Pools of securitized assets4 27 Mobile home 23 Commercial banks 24 Finance companies 25 Savings institutions 26 Other 77 Commercial banks 28 Finance companies 29 Credit unions 30 Retailers Savings institutions 31 32 Pools of securitized assets4 Net change (during period) 35,674 51,786 3,765 2,749 4,221 2,717 -505 2,657 1,371 3,191 4,236 19,884 6,349 3,853 1,568 3,689 332 n.a. 36,015 4,899 6,031 2,523 2,248 69 n.a. -181 -349 701 247 -375 6 3,716 2,216 1,309 815 2 -815 104 -882 2,904 1,145 560 21 -609 110 89 1,076 532 184 326 -1,390 120 1,870 -817 -567 -222 149 172 -81 861 2,514 -1,102 164 192 -863 39 1,713 1,192 -198 -124 231 654 -89 -296 3,418 -2,915 -36 98 -993 -82 3,701 1,555 167 179 235 -923 -33 3,056 By major type of credit 41 Automobile 42 Commercial banks 43 Credit unions 44 Finance companies Savings institutions 45 46 Pools of securitized assets 18,663 7,919 1,916 5,639 3,188 n.a. 15,198 14,058 975 -991 1,157 n.a. 82 79 247 778 -233 -789 804 816 300 701 -366 -647 1,087 1,239 177 708 -300 -737 -549 474 -3 208 -533 -695 -1,667 -711 -60 -970 -61 135 7 1,716 123 -775 -369 -688 -779 162 -14 -1,122 387 -192 993 1,479 28 -3,503 -298 3,288 519 397 130 -107 -277 376 47 Revolving 48 Commercial banks 49 Retailers 50 Gasoline companies Savings institutions 51 52 Credit unions 53 Pools of securitized assets 16,871 12,188 1,866 332 1,771 715 n.a. 20,908 18,453 2,303 69 -216 300 n.a. 4,261 848 232 6 138 81 2,957 1,670 1,576 8 104 58 88 -165 2,002 1,277 7 110 90 74 444 3,120 154 310 120 -57 53r 2,539 1,406 405 149 -81 225 30 678 3,370 1,045 171 39 30 52 2,032 904 856 221 -89 -22 35 -96 1,076 933 80 -82 -185 40 290 2,813 534 205 -33 -172 53 2,226 54 Mobile home 55 Commercial banks 56 Finance companies 57 Savings institutions -968 192 -1,052 -107 -643 -246 -576 177 -1,824 -131 -1,621 -72 -174 -7 -28 -140 -41 42 25 -108 -267 -31 -10 -227 -56 -18 -50 12 -692 -22 -524 -146 53 -20 -13 86 -44 -64 185 -165 -424 219 -489 -154 58 Other 59 Commercial banks 60 Finance companies 61 Credit unions 62 Retailers 63 Savings institutions 64 Pools of securitized assets4 1,108 -415 1,761 1,221 -297 -1,162 n.a. 16,323 3,750 6,466 4,758 221 1,131 n.a. 1,246 -977 494 374 16 -208 1,548 449 -169 635 428 -7 -368 -70 1,173 346 412 309 15 -291 382 413 478 334 133 16 -574 26 -189 -494 453 -191 0 -5 48 -29 -226 197 -11 21 -379 369 1,192 194 937 -145 11 203 -8 1,166 1,071 403 -104 18 -344 123 1,329 405 763 -4 30 -320 454 33 Total 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers Savings institutions Gasoline companies Pools of securitized assets4 1. The Board's series cover most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals that is scheduled to be repaid (or has the option of repayment) in two or more installments. These data also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. More detail for finance companies is available in the G. 20 statistical release. 3. Excludes 30—day charge credit held by travel and entertainment companies. 4. Outstanding balances of pools upon which securities have been issued; these balances are no longer carried on the balance sheets of the loan originator. A40 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 1.56 TERMS OF CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT 1 Percent unless noted otherwise 1989 Item 1986 1987 1988 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. INTEREST RATES 1 2 3 4 5 6 Commercial banks2 48-month new car 24-month personal 120-month mobile home Credit card Auto finance companies New car Used car 11.33 14.82 13.99 18.26 10.45 14.22 13.38 17.92 10.85 14.68 13.54 17.78 12.44 15.65 14.35 18.11 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 12.13 15.45 14.13 18.07 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 11.94 15.42 13.97 18.07 9.44 15.95 10.73 14.60 12.60 15.11 11.80 16.45 11.96 16.45 11.94 16.37 12.22 16.31 12.42 16.22 13.04 16.17 13.27 16.09 50.0 42.6 53.5 45.2 56.2 46.7 52.7 46.6 53.0 46.5 52.9 46.4 52.9 46.2 53.1 46.2 54.4 45.8 55.1 45.6 91 97 93 98 94 98 91 97 91 97 91 97 90 96 88 96 88 96 89 96 10,665 6,555 11,203 7,420 11,663 7,824 11,973 7,908 12,065 7,921 12,108 7,988 11,949 7,874 11,841 7,856 11,965 7,904 12,279 8,063 OTHER TERMS4 7 8 9 10 11 12 Maturity (months) New car Used car Loan-to-value ratio New car Used car Amount financed (dollars) New car Used car 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Data for midmonth of quarter only. 3. Before 1983 the maturity for new car loans was 36 months, and for mobile home loans was 84 months. 4. At auto finance companies. Flow of Funds 1.57 A41 FUNDS RAISED IN U.S. CREDIT MARKETS Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1988 Ql Q2 1989 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total net borrowing by domestic nonfinancial sectors 750.7 846.3 831.1 693.2 767.0 728.2 827.2 754.4 758.3 792.2 658.9 688.1 By sector and instrument 2 U.S. government 3 Treasury securities 4 Agency issues and mortgages 198.8 199.0 -.2 223.6 223.7 -.1 215.0 214.7 .4 144.9 143.4 1.5 157.5 140.0 17.4 211.6 212.0 -.5 113.7 106.0 7.7 162.5 141.6 20.9 142.1 100.5 41.6 199.9 201.1 -1.2 70.9 65.8 5.1 149.0 149.1 -.2 5 Private domestic nonfinancial sectors 6 Debt capital instruments Tax-exempt obligations 7 8 Corporate bonds 9 Mortgages Home mortgages 10 Multifamily residential 11 12 Commercial 13 Farm 551.9 320.0 51.0 46.1 222.8 136.7 25.2 62.2 -1.2 622.7 451.4 135.4 73.8 242.2 156.8 29.8 62.2 -6.6 616.1 460.3 22.7 121.3 316.3 218.7 33.5 73.6 -9.5 548.3 458.5 34.1 99.9 324.5 234.9 24.4 71.6 -6.4 609.6 462.6 34.0 120.9 307.7 229.1 18.9 61.7 -2.1 516.6 386.5 29.1 118.8 238.7 170.7 24.2 48.5 -4.7 713.4 561.0 37.9 143.9 379.2 300.7 14.7 65.4 -1.6 592.0 463.9 34.8 115.9 313.2 231.0 19.5 65.4 -2.6 616.3 438.9 34.3 104.9 299.7 214.0 17.3 67.7 .7 592.3 427.8 29.3 111.6 286.9 205.2 27.2 58.8 -4.4 588.0 394.1 20.6 138.5 234.9 186.1 8.1 38.7 2.1 539.1 412.6 32.6 113.6 266.4 191.9 21.3 53.2 .0 14 15 16 17 18 Other debt instruments Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other 231.9 81.6 66.3 21.7 62.2 171.3 82.5 38.6 14.6 35.6 155.8 58.0 66.7 -9.3 40.5 89.7 32.9 10.8 2.3 43.8 147.0 51.1 38.4 11.6 45.9 130.1 43.7 20.8 2.4 63.2 152.4 51.9 58.8 6.8 34.8 128.1 35.5 7.3 17.1 68.1 177.3 73.1 66.6 20.0 17.6 164.5 34.8 23.1 44.1 62.5 193.9 46.0 29.9 44.9 73.1 126.5 30.9 21.6 20.4 53.6 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 By borrowing sector State and local governments Households Nonfinancial business Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate 551.9 28.1 231.5 292.3 -.4 123.2 169.6 622.7 90.9 284.6 247.2 -14.5 129.3 132.4 616.1 36.2 289.2 290.7 -16.3 103.2 203.7 548.3 33.6 271.9 242.8 -10.6 107.9 145.5 609.6 29.8 287.9 291.8 -7.5 91.9 207.5 516.6 23.4 230.2 263.0 -12.7 85.2 190.5 713.4 37.0 346.7 329.7 -3.3 83.6 249.4 592.0 28.1 291.6 272.3 -2.2 100.5 174.0 616.3 30.6 283.3 302.4 -11.8 98.2 216.0 592.3 29.7 263.1 299.4 -2.2 91.1 210.6 588.0 27.7 227.1 333.3 .3 70.0 263.0 539.1 29.5 254.8 254.9 2.8 81.7 170.4 26 Foreign net borrowing in United States 27 Bonds 28 Bank loans n.e.c 29 Open market paper 30 U.S. government loans 8.4 3.8 -6.6 6.2 5.0 1.2 3.8 -2.8 6.2 -6.0 9.7 3.1 -1.0 11.5 -3.9 4.9 7.4 -3.6 2.1 -1.0 6.9 6.9 -1.8 9.6 -7.8 4.8 14.2 1.7 .7 -11.8 5.4 2.6 -3.3 6.5 -.4 4.1 5.9 .0 10.3 -12.1 13.3 5.1 -5.7 21.0 -7.1 -1.1 3.2 4.9 12.1 -21.4 -3.9 11.1 1.7 -8.1 -8.6 28.7 9.1 .0 20.4 -.9 31 Total domestic plus foreign 759.1 847.5 840.9 698.1 773.9 733.0 832.6 758.5 771.7 791.1 655.0 716.8 Financial sectors 32 Total net borrowing by financial sectors 150.7 201.3 318.9 315.0 264.2 242.5 263.9 232.1 318.3 394.4 123.4 152.5 By instrument U.S. government related Sponsored credit agency securities Mortgage pool securities Loans from U.S. government 74.9 30.4 44.4 .0 101.5 20.6 79.9 1.1 187.9 15.2 173.1 -.4 185.8 30.2 156.4 -.8 137.5 44.9 92.6 .0 128.8 59.5 69.3 .0 104.3 11.1 93.1 .0 144.4 46.5 97.8 .0 172.5 62.3 110.1 .0 216.1 84.9 131.2 .0 105.8 12.5 93.3 .0 137.4 10.0 127.4 .0 75.9 34.3 .4 1.4 24.0 15.7 99.7 50.9 .1 2.6 32.0 14.2 131.0 82.9 .1 4.0 24.2 19.8 129.2 78.9 .4 -3.3 28.8 24.4 126.7 51.7 .3 1.4 53.6 19.7 113.7 60.0 -.1 5.9 38.5 9.4 159.6 71.1 .1 5.7 70.5 12.3 87.7 32.5 -.1 -5.6 35.1 25.8 145.8 43.0 1.2 -.3 70.4 31.4 178.3 52.7 .3 3.0 53.2 69.1 17.6 31.4 .0 .3 2.8 -16.9 15.1 26.4 .0 4.1 28.2 -43.7 150.7 201.3 318.9 315.0 264.2 242.5 263.9 232.1 318.3 394.4 123.4 152.5 30.4 44.4 75.9 7.3 16.1 17.2 1.2 24.0 .8 9.3 21.7 79.9 99.7 -4.9 16.6 17.3 1.5 57.2 .5 11.5 14.9 173.1 131.0 -3.6 15.2 20.9 4.2 54.5 1.0 39.0 29.5 156.4 129.2 7.1 14.3 19.6 8.1 40.3 .8 39.1 44.9 92.6 126.7 -3.9 5.2 19.9 1.9 67.0 4.1 32.5 59.5 69.3 113.7 -16.7 -8.8 10.0 2.3 78.4 5.4 43.0 11.1 93.1 159.6 -1.6 22.4 19.1 1.1 85.4 1.7 31.5 46.5 97.8 87.7 -.9 6.1 24.1 .5 40.7 -5.9 23.1 62.3 110.1 145.8 3.7 .8 26.3 3.8 63.6 15.0 32.5 84.9 131.2 178.3 -13.4 6.4 71.3 -2.8 78.4 -.9 39.3 12.5 93.3 17.6 -.9 6.5 -16.2 -1.1 32.8 -2.2 -1.4 10.0 127.4 15.1 7.5 6.7 -43.9 -2.9 43.2 -1.4 5.9 33 34 35 36 37 Private financial sectors 38 Corporate bonds 39 Mortgages 40 Bank loans n.e.c 41 Open market paper 42 Loans from Federal Home Loan Banks By sector 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Sponsored credit agencies Mortgage pools Private financial sectors Commercial banks Bank affiliates Savings and loan associations Mutual savings banks Finance companies REITs SCO Issuers A42 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 1.57—Continued 1989 1988 Transaction category, sector 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 All sectors 54 Total net borrowing 909.8 975.5 1,096.5 990.6 778.4 869.3 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 273.8 51.0 84.3 223.1 81.6 61.1 51.9 82.9 324.2 135.4 128.4 242.2 82.5 38.3 52.8 45.0 403.4 22.7 207.3 316.4 58.0 69.7 26.4 56.1 331.5 34.1 186.3 324.9 32.9 3.8 33.2 66.5 294.9 34.0 179.5 308.0 51.1 38.0 74.9 57.8 340.4 29.1 193.0 238.6 43.7 28.3 41.6 60.8 218.0 37.9 217.6 379.3 51.9 61.2 83.9 46.8 306.8 34.8 154.3 313.1 35.5 1.7 62.5 81.8 314.6 34.3 153.0 300.8 73.1 60.7 111.5 42.0 416.0 29.3 167.5 287.2 34.8 31.1 109.4 110.2 176.7 20.6 181.1 234.9 46.0 31.9 39.6 47.5 286.4 32.6 149.2 266.4 30.9 25.8 69.0 9.1 6.3 14.4 .0 -7.9 10.4 47.6 1.2 10.6 -17.9 -22.5 43.7 -7.5 744.4 192.5 831.9 209.3 831.2 215.0 701.1 152.8 756.6 147.1 680.6 164.0 825.9 112.5 743.8 151.8 776.3 160.0 814.7 222.4 615.2 27.2 695.6 156.4 -163.5 -163.5 -48.7 -64.7 U.S. government securities State and local obligations Corporate and foreign bonds Mortgages Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans 63 MEMO: U.S. government, cash balance 64 65 Totals net of changes in U.S. government cash balances Net borrowing by domestic nonfinancial Net borrowing by U.S. government 1,048.8 1,159.8 1,013.2 1,038.1 1,089.9 1,185.4 External corporate equity funds raised in United States 66 Total net share issues 67 68 69 70 71 Mutual funds All other Nonfinancial corporations Financial corporations Foreign shares purchased in United States -36.0 20.1 90.5 29.3 -65.3 -74.5 8.2 .9 84.4 -64.3 -81.5 13.5 3.7 159.0 -68.5 -80.8 11.1 1.2 14.3 -117.9 -101.0 -133.7 71.6 -.7 -57.3 -117.2 -76.5 -130.5 21.4 12.4 -2.1 .9 -9.5 -6.6 -91.5 -127.0 -95.0 -140.0 19.0 2.4 1.1 -6.0 -73.5 24.0 50.0 1.5 11.9 3.6 -75.0 -175.4 -167.1 -72.7 -114.6 -92.0 -195.0 -180.0 -105.0 -145.0 17.1 17.1 14.6 13.5 9.4 2.4 15.2 13.3 6.1 3.6 Flow of Funds 1.58 A43 DIRECT A N D INDIRECT SOURCES OF FUNDS TO CREDIT MARKETS Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1989 1988 Transaction category, or sector 1984 1985 1987 1986 1988 Q1 1 Total funds advanced in credit markets to domestic nonfinancial sectors Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 750.7 846.3 831.1 693.2 767.0 728.2 827.2 754.4 758.3 792.2 658.9 688.1 157.6 38.9 56.5 15.7 46.6 202.0 45.9 94.6 14.2 47.3 314.0 69.4 170.1 19.8 54.7 262.8 70.1 153.2 24.4 15.1 237.6 85.0 104.0 19.7 28.8 278.6 153.2 88.9 9.4 27.1 185.5 43.3 107.9 12.3 22.1 196.9 24.1 98.1 25.8 49.0 289.3 119.6 121.2 31.4 17.1 348.7 26.7 97.6 -102.4 133.3 106.6 69.1 -16.9 48.7 39.4 267.4 117.1 149.0 -43.7 45.0 17.1 74.3 8.4 57.9 17.8 103.5 18.4 62.3 9.7 187.2 19.4 97.8 -7.9 183.4 24.7 62.7 -4.9 129.6 10.5 102.3 -7.0 114.3 2.7 168.6 -7.6 105.7 5.0 82.5 4.3 130.1 15.5 47.0 -9.3 168.5 18.9 111.2 2.8 221.4 5.2 119.3 3.1 15.6 -3.9 11.9 5.2 165.6 -30.7 127.2 74.9 8.4 101.5 1.2 187.9 9.7 185.8 4.9 137.5 6.9 128.8 4.8 104.3 5.4 144.4 4.1 172.5 13.3 216.1 -1.1 105.8 -3.9 137.4 28.7 Private domestic funds advanced 13 Total net advances 14 U.S. government securities 15 State and local obligations 16 Corporate and foreign bonds 17 Residential mortgages 18 Other mortgages and loans 19 LESS: Federal Home Loan Bank advances 676.3 234.9 51.0 35.1 105.3 265.6 15.7 747.0 278.2 135.4 40.8 91.8 214.8 14.2 714.8 333.9 22.7 84.2 82.0 211.8 19.8 621.1 261.4 34.1 87.5 106.1 156.5 24.4 673.8 209.9 34.0 104.4 144.0 201.2 19.7 583.2 187.2 29.1 126.5 106.0 143.8 9.4 751.3 174.7 37.9 126.2 207.5 217.2 12.3 705.9 282.8 34.8 91.7 152.3 170.1 25.8 654.8 195.0 34.3 73.0 110.1 273.7 31.4 658.4 318.4 29.3 89.4 99.2 191.3 69.1 734.1 279.1 20.6 132.3 87.5 197.7 -16.9 586.8 169.3 32.6 103.4 64.2 173.6 -43.7 Private financial intermediation 20 Credit market funds advanced by private financial institutions Commercial banking 21 22 Savings institutions 23 Insurance and pension funds 24 Other finance 585.8 169.2 154.7 121.8 140.1 579.9 186.0 87.9 154.4 151.6 744.0 197.5 107.6 174.6 264.2 560.8 136.8 136.8 210.9 76.3 558.2 155.3 120.5 194.9 87.4 617.4 87.9 96.0 257.4 176.1 553.7 194.5 134.9 182.7 41.6 427.5 118.4 157.0 150.5 1.7 634.1 220.5 94.2 189.1 130.3 568.6 120.6 62.2 228.3 157.6 342.2 544.3 158.6 132.9 -73.1 -154.2 182.5 156.0 276.2 207.4 25 Sources of funds 26 Private domestic deposits and RPs 27 Credit market borrowing 28 Other sources 29 Foreign funds Treasury balances 30 31 Insurance and pension reserves Other, net 32 585.8 322.6 75.9 187.3 8.8 4.0 124.0 50.5 579.9 214.3 99.7 265.9 19.7 10.3 131.9 104.1 744.0 262.6 131.0 350.4 12.9 1.7 149.3 186.5 560.8 144.1 129.2 287.5 43.7 -5.8 176.1 73.6 558.2 219.2 126.7 212.3 9.3 7.3 186.8 8.8 617.4 305.5 113.7 198.2 -60.6 44.2 190.1 24.4 553.7 102.0 159.6 292.1 94.5 -16.3 184.0 29.9 427.5 191.9 87.7 147.9 -42.1 5.6 109.8 74.5 634.1 277.4 145.8 210.9 45.5 -4.1 263.3 -93.8 568.6 166.5 178.3 223.8 -28.4 -21.6 133.0 140.8 544.3 213.4 17.6 313.3 -16.0 26.6 151.5 151.2 342.2 282.7 15.1 44.3 10.6 -6.4 88.7 -48.6 Private domestic nonfinancial investors 33 Direct lending in credit markets 34 U.S. government securities 35 State and local obligations 36 Corporate and foreign bonds 37 Open market paper 38 Other 166.4 111.4 27.1 -4.1 7.8 24.2 266.8 157.8 37.7 4.2 47.5 19.6 101.8 60.9 -21.7 39.3 5.4 17.9 189.6 100.0 45.6 24.1 6.6 13.3 242.3 149.3 33.9 2.6 37.2 19.3 79.5 119.6 19.7 -39.6 -14.5 -5.8 357.2 103.2 37.2 61.4 98.6 56.8 366.2 225.7 56.4 -5.8 77.4 12.5 166.5 148.7 22.3 -5.7 -12.6 13.9 268.1 211.1 35.7 -15.4 67.1 -30.3 207.5 123.2 -11.4 32.8 19.5 43.4 259.7 137.4 22.6 21.2 43.4 35.1 39 Deposits and currency 40 Currency 41 Checkable deposits 42 Small time and savings accounts 43 Money market fund shares 44 Large time deposits 45 Security RPs 46 Deposits in foreign countries 326.1 8.6 30.2 150.7 49.0 82.9 9.8 -5.1 224.6 12.4 41.9 138.5 8.9 7.4 17.7 -2.1 283.0 14.4 95.0 120.6 38.3 -11.4 20.2 5.9 160.2 19.0 -3.0 76.0 27.2 26.7 17.2 -2.8 221.8 14.7 12.3 122.2 22.8 40.8 21.2 -12.1 313.5 10.7 3.6 199.5 57.6 16.9 27.9 -2.7 110.0 13.8 -30.5 130.5 -21.0 -3.5 26.5 -5.9 215.7 29.3 -21.4 72.7 -3.5 137.0 7.0 -5.5 248.2 5.1 97.3 86.0 58.1 12.7 23.3 -34.4 211.2 19.3 -54.5 26.4 51.1 111.9 31.6 25.5 231.1 12.6 -83.0 117.4 111.8 39.8 27.5 5.1 273.2 11.4 35.4 119.1 124.3 -15.4 19.4 -20.9 47 Total of credit market instruments, deposits, and currency 2 3 4 5 6 By public agencies and foreign Total net advances U.S. government securities Residential mortgages FHLB advances to thrifts Other loans and securities Total advanced, by sector U.S. government Sponsored credit agencies Monetary authorities Foreign Agency and foreign borrowing not in line 1 11 Sponsored credit agencies and mortgage pools 12 Foreign 7 8 9 10 492.5 491.4 384.8 349.8 464.2 393.0 467.2 581.9 414.7 479.4 438.6 532.9 Public holdings as percent of total Private financial intermediation (in percent) Total foreign funds 20.8 86.6 66.7 23.8 77.6 82.0 37.3 104.1 110.7 37.6 90.3 106.4 30.7 82.8 111.7 38.0 105.9 108.1 22.3 73.7 177.0 26.0 60.6 4.9 37.5 96.8 156.7 44.1 86.4 90.9 4.1 74.1 -4.1 37.3 58.3 137.8 MEMO: Corporate equities not included above 51 Total net issues -36.0 20.1 90.5 14.3 -117.9 -101.0 -133.7 -73.5 -163.5 -163.5 -48.7 -64.7 52 Mutual fund shares 53 Other equities 54 Acquisitions by financial institutions 55 Other net purchases 29.3 -65.3 15.8 -51.8 84.4 -64.3 45.6 -25.5 159.0 -68.5 53.7 36.8 71.6 -57.3 21.4 -7.1 -.7 -117.2 5.4 -123.3 1.5 -75.0 25.5 -99.1 11.9 3.6 -175.4 -167.1 -6.5 30.1 -193.6 -157.0 50.0 24.0 -72.7 -114.6 -6.5 3.8 -42.2 -68.4 48 49 50 NOTES BY LINE NUMBER. 1. Line 1 of table 1.57. 2. Sum of lines 3-6 or 7-10. 6. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 11. Credit market funds raised by federally sponsored credit agencies, and net issues of federally related mortgage pool securities. 13. Line 1 less line 2 plus line 11 and 12. Also line 20 less line 27 plus line 33. Also sum of lines 28 and 47 less lines 40 and 46. 18. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 26. Line 39 less lines 40 and 46. 27. Excludes equity issues and investment company shares. Includes line 19. 29. Foreign deposits at commercial banks, bank borrowings from foreign branches, and liabilities of foreign banking agencies to foreign affiliates, less claims on foreign affiliates and deposits by banking in foreign banks. 30. Demand deposits and note balances at commercial banks. -9.5 -6.6 -91.5 -127.0 -34.4 .2 -66.5 -133.9 31. Excludes net investment of these reserves in corporate equities. 32. Mainly retained earnings and net miscellaneous liabilities. 33. Line 13 less line 20 plus line 27. 34-38. Lines 14-18 less amounts acquired by private finance plus amounts borrowed by private finance. Line 38 includes mortgages. 40. Mainly an offset to line 9. 47. Lines 33 plus 39, or line 13 less line 28 plus 40 and 46. 48. Line 2/line 1. 49. Line 20/line 13. 50. Sum of lines 10 and 29. 51. 53. Includes issues by financial institutions. NOTE. Full statements for sectors and transaction types in flows and in amounts outstanding may be obtained from Flow of Funds Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A44 1.59 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1990 SUMMARY OF CREDIT MARKET DEBT OUTSTANDING Billions of dollars; period-end levels. 1988 Transaction category, sector iy<s4 lyoj I70O 1989 198/ Q2 Ql Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total credit market debt owed by domestic nonfinancial sectors 5,951.8 6,795.1 7,631.2 8,335.0 8,477.0 8,686.9 8,875.4 9,105.6 9,258.7 9,428.4 9,604.5 By sector and instrument 2 U.S. government 3 Treasury securities 4 Agency issues and mortgages 1,376.8 1,373.4 3.4 1,600.4 1,597.1 3.3 1,815.4 1,811.7 3.6 1,960.3 1,955.2 5.2 2,003.2 1,998.1 5.0 2,022.3 2,015.3 7.0 2,063.9 2,051.7 12.2 2,117.8 2,095.2 22.6 2,155.7 2,133.4 22.3 2,165.7 2,142.1 23.6 2,204.3 2,180.7 23.5 5 Private domestic nonfinancial sectors 6 Debt capital instruments 7 Tax-exempt obligations 8 Corporate bonds Mortgages 9 10 Home mortgages 11 Multifamily residential 12 Commercial 13 Farm 4,575.1 3,038.0 520.0 469.2 2,048.8 1,336.2 183.6 416.5 112.4 5,194.7 3,485.5 655.5 542.9 2,287.1 1,490.2 213.0 478.1 105.9 5,815.8 3,957.5 679.1 664.2 2,614.2 1,720.8 246.2 551.4 95.8 6,374.7 4,428.0 713.2 764.1 2,950.7 1,943.1 270.0 648.7 88.9 6,473.8 4,511.0 718.1 793.8 2,999.1 1,978.0 273.0 660.2 88.0 6,664.7 4,652.6 727.2 829.8 3,095.7 2,055.3 276.6 676.0 87.8 6,811.5 4,782.0 746.1 858.8 3,177.2 2,118.0 281.0 691.1 87.0 6,987.8 4,902.1 759.8 885.0 3,257.3 2,174.2 286.8 709.6 86.8 7,103.0 4,979.2 764.7 912.9 3,301.6 2,214.8 292.6 708.2 86.0 7,262.7 5,078.3 769.3 947.5 3,361.6 2,263.4 294.4 717.0 86.7 7,400.2 5,187.8 780.3 975.9 3,431.6 2,316.7 299.3 728.9 86.6 14 15 16 17 18 Other debt instruments Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other 1,537.1 519.3 553.1 58.5 406.2 1,709.3 601.8 592.7 72.2 442.6 1,858.4 659.8 656.1 62.9 479.6 1,946.7 692.7 664.3 73.8 516.0 1,962.8 688.9 668.3 73.5 532.1 2,012.0 705.8 687.2 77.8 541.2 2,029.4 721.2 687.7 80.3 540.2 2,085.7 743.7 702.6 85.4 554.0 2,123.8 745.0 717.6 96.1 565.1 2,184.3 761.0 729.8 110.1 583.5 2,212.4 775.3 734.5 113.1 589.5 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 By borrowing sector State and local governments Households Nonfinancial business Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate 4,575.1 383.0 2,018.2 2,173.9 187.9 769.0 1,216.9 5,194.7 473.9 2,295.5 2,425.4 173.4 898.3 1,353.6 5,815.8 510.1 2,591.8 2,714.0 156.6 1,001.6 1,555.8 6,374.7 543.7 2,864.5 2,966.5 145.5 1,109.4 1,711.6 6,473.8 547.1 2,900.7 3,026.0 141.3 1,131.7 1,753.0 6,664.7 556.0 2,990.2 3,118.5 143.9 1,151.9 1,822.7 6,811.5 565.7 3,068.3 3,177.5 143.6 1,172.6 1,861.3 6,987.8 573.5 3,152.0 3,262.4 137.6 1,205.3 1,919.5 7,103.0 578.5 3,205.6 3,319.0 135.9 1,229.1 1,954.0 7,262.7 584.8 3,265.5 3,412.3 139.5 1,245.9 2,027.0 7,400.2 595.1 3,336.1 3,469.0 140.7 1,261.6 2,066.6 233.6 68.0 30.8 27.7 107.1 234.7 71.8 27.9 33.9 101.1 236.4 74.9 26.9 37.4 97.1 242.9 82.3 23.3 41.2 96.1 244.6 86.1 22.8 42.5 93.1 245.9 86.0 22.4 44.0 93.5 246.1 87.4 22.7 46.3 89.8 249.6 89.2 21.5 50.9 88.1 249.9 90.5 21.6 54.9 83.0 249.0 92.2 22.7 52.7 81.4 255.3 94.5 22.9 57.5 80.4 6,185.4 7,029.9 7,867.6 8,578.0 8,721.6 8,932.8 9,121.5 9,355.3 9,508.7 9,677.4 9,859.7 26 Foreign credit market debt held in United States 27 Bonds 28 Bank loans n.e.c 29 Open market paper 30 U.S. government loans 31 Total domestic plus foreign Financial sectors 32 Total credit market debt owed by financial sectors 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 By instrument U.S. government related Sponsored credit agency securities Mortgage pool securities Loans from U.S. government Private financial sectors Corporate bonds Mortgages Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Loans from Federal Home Loan Banks. 43 Total, by sector 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 Sponsored credit agencies Mortgage pools Private financial sectors Commercial banks Bank affiliates Savings and loan associations Mutual savings banks Finance companies REITs SCO issuers 1,010.2 1,213.2 1,563.6 1,885.5 1,926.0 2,000.5 2,058.2 2,149.7 2,258.7 2,298.9 2,336.7 531.2 237.2 289.0 5.0 479.0 153.0 2.5 29.5 219.5 74.6 632.7 257.8 368.9 6.1 580.5 204.5 2.7 32.1 252.4 88.8 844.2 273.0 565.4 5.7 719.5 287.4 2.7 36.1 284.6 108.6 1,026.5 303.2 718.3 5.0 859.0 366.3 3.1 32.8 323.8 133.1 1,050.6 313.5 732.1 5.0 875.4 380.5 3.1 31.7 330.6 129.5 1,076.9 317.9 754.0 5.0 923.6 397.9 3.1 34.3 353.4 134.8 1,116.3 328.5 782.8 5.0 941.9 406.4 3.1 32.9 358.0 141.6 1,164.0 348.1 810.9 5.0 985.7 418.0 3.4 34.2 377.4 152.8 1,209.0 364.3 839.7 5.0 1,049.7 458.2 3.5 32.2 392.0 163.8 1,235.8 369.0 861.8 5.0 1,063.1 465.8 3.5 33.8 398.3 161.9 1,273.8 370.4 898.4 5.0 1,062.9 472.8 3.5 34.7 400.9 151.1 1,010.2 1,213.2 1,563.6 1,885.5 1,926.0 2,000.5 2,058.2 2,149.7 2,258.7 2,298.9 2,336.7 242.2 289.0 479.0 84.1 89.5 81.6 2.9 203.0 4.3 13.5 263.9 368.9 580.5 79.2 106.2 98.9 4.4 261.2 5.6 25.0 278.7 565.4 719.5 75.6 116.8 119.8 8.6 328.1 6.5 64.0 308.2 718.3 859.0 82.7 131.1 139.4 16.7 378.8 7.3 103.1 318.5 732.1 875.4 76.4 131.0 135.3 17.1 393.0 8.7 113.9 322.9 754.0 923.6 77.2 136.3 141.9 17.6 419.8 9.1 121.8 333.5 782.8 941.9 76.6 136.3 148.1 18.1 427.7 7.6 127.5 353.1 810.9 985.7 78.8 136.2 159.3 18.6 445.8 11.4 135.7 369.3 839.7 1,049.7 73.3 140.0 170.1 17.8 463.8 11.1 173.5 374.0 861.8 1,063.1 74.5 141.2 167.9 17.7 478.0 10.6 173.1 375.4 898.4 1,062.9 75.8 141.5 156.8 17.6 486.3 10.3 174.6 All sectors 54 Total credit market debt 7,195.7 8,243.1 9,431.2 10,463.4 10,647.5 10,933.4 11,179.7 11,504.9 11,767.4 11,976.3 12,196.4 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 1,902.8 520.0 690.1 2,051.4 519.3 613.4 305.7 592.9 2,227.0 655.5 819.2 2,289.8 601.8 652.7 358.5 638.6 2,653.8 679.1 1,026.4 2,617.0 659.8 719.1 384.9 691.1 2,981.8 713.2 1,212.7 2,953.8 692.7 720.3 438.8 750.2 3,048.8 718.1 1,260.4 3,002.2 688.9 722.7 446.7 759.7 3,094.2 727.2 1,313.7 3,098.8 705.8 744.0 475.3 774.5 3,175.2 746.1 1,352.5 3,180.3 721.2 743.3 484.6 776.6 3,276.7 759.8 1,392.2 3,260.7 743.7 758.3 513.6 799.8 3,359.7 764.7 1,461.6 3,305.1 745.0 771.4 543.1 816.8 3,396.5 769.3 1,505.5 3,365.0 761.0 786.2 561.1 831.7 3,473.1 780.3 1,543.2 3,435.1 775.3 792.0 571.4 826.0 U.S. government securities.. State and local obligations... Corporate and foreign bonds Mortgages Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans Flow of Funds 1.60 A45 SUMMARY OF CREDIT MARKET CLAIMS, BY HOLDER Billions of dollars, except as noted; period-end levels. 1988 Transaction category, or sector 1984 1985 1986 1989 1987 Ql 1 Total funds advanced in credit markets to domestic nonfinancial sectors Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 5,951.8 6,795.1 7,631.2 8,335.0 8,477.0 8,686.9 8,875.4 9,105.6 9,258.7 9,428.4 9,604.5 1,257.7 377.9 423.5 74.6 381.6 1,460.5 423.8 518.2 88.8 429.7 1,794.7 493.2 712.3 108.6 480.5 2,044.9 563.3 862.0 133.1 486.6 2,099.4 595.7 880.6 129.5 493.6 2,151.3 610.1 906.1 134.8 500.3 2,191.8 613.3 934.9 141.6 502.1 2,266.4 648.3 966.0 152.8 499.3 2,332.1 666.2 995.3 163.8 506.9 2,345.1 644.6 1,020.5 161.9 518.1 2,414.3 670.7 1,062.6 151.1 529.8 7 Total held, by type of lender 8 U.S. government 9 Sponsored credit agencies and mortgage pools . . . 10 Monetary authority 11 Foreign 1,257.7 228.2 556.3 167.6 305.6 1,460.5 246.7 659.8 186.0 367.9 1,794.7 253.3 869.8 205.5 466.1 2,044.9 238.0 1,048.9 230.1 527.9 2,099.4 237.1 1,068.0 224.9 569.5 2,151.3 235.8 1,095.6 229.7 590.2 2,191.8 226.3 1,132.9 230.8 601.9 2,266.4 216.9 1,178.6 240.6 630.3 2,332.1 213.9 1,223.5 235.4 659.3 2,345.1 215.2 1,228.9 238.4 662.6 2,414.3 216.9 1,275.3 227.6 694.5 Agency and foreign debt not in line 1 Sponsored credit agencies and mortgage pools . . . Foreign 531.2 233.6 632.7 234.7 844.2 236.4 1,026.5 242.9 1,050.6 244.6 1,076.9 245.9 1,116.3 246.1 1,164.0 249.6 1,209.0 249.9 1,235.8 249.0 1,273.8 255.3 Private domestic holdings 14 Total private holdings 15 U.S. government securities 16 State and local obligations 17 Corporate and foreign bonds 18 Residential mortgages 19 Other mortgages and loans 20 LESS: Federal Home Loan Bank advances 5,458.9 1,524.9 520.0 476.8 1,096.5 1,915.3 74.6 6,202.1 1,803.2 655.5 517.6 1,185.1 2,129.7 88.8 6,917.1 2,160.6 679.1 601.3 1,254.7 2,330.0 108.6 7,559.5 2,418.5 713.2 689.6 1,351.1 2,520.1 133.1 7,672.7 2,453.1 718.1 722.2 1,370.4 2,538.5 129.5 7,858.4 2,484.1 727.2 752.9 1,425.9 2,603.3 134.8 8,045.9 2,561.9 746.1 775.7 1,464.1 2,639.6 141.6 8,252.8 2,628.4 759.8 794.0 1,494.9 2,728.4 152.8 8,385.5 2,693.5 764.7 817.6 1,512.2 2,761.3 163.8 8,568.1 2,751.9 769.3 849.3 1,537.3 2,822.2 161.9 8,719.2 2,802.3 780.3 875.1 1,553.5 2,859.1 151.1 Private financial intermediation 21 Credit market claims held by private financial institutions 22 Commercial banking 23 Savings institutions 24 Insurance and pension funds 25 Other finance 4,699.6 1,791.9 1,100.7 1,215.3 591.7 5,283.1 1,978.9 1,191.2 1,369.7 743.4 6,025.7 2,176.3 1,297.9 1,544.3 1,007.1 6,604.6 2,313.1 1,445.5 1,755.2 1,090.7 6,732.0 2,327.1 1,453.6 1,810.6 1,140.7 6,891.0 2,382.6 1,495.9 1,859.0 1,153.5 7,003.5 2,421.6 1,538.8 1,899.1 1,144.0 7,168.1 2,468.4 1,571.3 1,950.2 1,178.1 7,298.7 2,490.9 1,566.7 1,996.7 1,244.4 7,458.7 2,538.2 1,557.3 2,046.5 1,316.7 7,543.1 2,580.2 1,522.8 2,083.7 1,356.5 26 Sources of funds 27 Private domestic deposits and RPs 28 Credit market debt 4,699.6 2,715.6 479.0 5,283.1 2,930.0 580.5 6,025.7 3,188.4 719.5 6,604.6 3,324.8 859.0 6,732.0 3,404.2 875.4 6,891.0 3,432.6 923.6 7,003.5 3,474.2 941.9 7,168.1 3,554.2 985.7 7,298.7 3,587.8 1,049.7 7,458.7 3,644.5 1,063.1 7,543.1 3,710.6 1,062.9 29 30 31 32 33 1,504.9 -14.1 15.5 1,160.8 342.6 1,772.7 5.6 25.8 1,289.4 451.8 2,117.9 18.6 27.5 1,427.9 643.9 2,420.8 62.2 21.6 1,597.2 739.6 2,452.4 45.9 23.5 1,647.9 735.2 2,534.8 62.3 32.6 1,693.8 746.1 2,587.4 51.9 34.2 1,729.2 772.1 2,628.1 71.6 29.0 1,771.2 756.4 2,661.1 61.9 13.5 1,802.6 783.0 2,751.0 51.0 34.4 1,833.7 831.9 2,769.6 53.7 32.4 1,853.9 829.6 Private domestic nonfinancial investors 34 Credit market claims 35 U.S. government securities 36 Tax-exempt obligations 37 Corporate and foreign bonds 38 Open market paper 39 Other 1,238.4 659.5 194.2 33.1 83.5 268.0 1,499.5 814.7 231.9 38.0 131.0 283.8 1,610.8 899.1 211.2 77.8 136.4 286.2 1,813.9 992.0 256.8 102.2 160.7 302.3 1,816.1 1,005.2 257.6 97.7 151.9 303.7 1,891.0 1,022.1 270.1 105.7 179.9 313.3 1,984.4 1,086.1 289.0 107.1 188.7 313.6 2,070.5 1,143.5 303.7 100.8 201.0 321.5 2,136.6 1,175.0 307.2 137.0 213.0 304.3 2,172.6 1,196.3 308.2 136.4 221.7 309.9 2,239.0 1,239.6 312.4 150.0 221.4 315.5 40 Deposits and currency 41 Currency 42 Checkable deposits 43 Small time and savings accounts 44 Money market fund shares 45 Large time deposits 46 Security RPs 47 Deposits in foreign countries 2,895.8 159.6 380.6 1,693.4 218.5 332.5 90.6 20.6 3,120.4 171.9 422.5 1,831.9 227.3 339.9 108.3 18.5 3,399.2 186.3 517.4 1,948.3 265.6 328.5 128.5 24.5 3,553.9 205.4 514.0 2,017.1 292.8 355.2 145.7 23.7 3,628.0 204.0 495.4 2,084.9 318.4 353.7 151.9 19.9 3,662.4 209.9 510.3 2,110.9 306.1 349.1 156.2 19.9 3,704.4 213.4 496.1 2,131.1 303.6 384.7 158.6 16.8 3,785.9 220.1 525.4 2,150.4 315.6 396.0 166.9 11.6 3,822.8 220.7 492.8 2,164.7 340.3 415.9 174.1 14.3 3,887.9 226.4 496.4 2,186.7 359.9 423.1 178.4 17.0 3,945.9 225.0 497.3 2,219.0 389.2 421.2 183.9 10.3 48 Total of credit market instruments, deposits, and currency 4,134.2 4,619.9 5,010.0 5,367.8 5,444.2 5,553.5 5,688.8 5,856.4 5,959.4 6,060.4 6,184.9 Public holdings as percent of total Private financial intermediation (in percent) Total foreign funds 20.3 86.1 291.5 20.8 85.2 373.5 22.8 87.1 484.7 23.8 87.4 590.2 24.1 87.7 615.3 24.1 87.7 652.5 24.0 87.0 653.8 24.2 86.9 701.9 24.5 87.0 721.2 24.2 87.1 713.6 24.5 86.5 748.1 MEMO: Corporate equities not included above 52 Total market value 2,157.9 2,823.9 3,360.6 3,325.0 3,504.0 3,622.7 3,577.6 3,620.3 3,731.6 4,072.3 4,296.0 53 54 Mutual fund shares Other equities 136.7 2,021.2 240.2 2,583.7 413.5 2,947.1 460.1 2,864.9 479.2 3,024.8 486.8 3,136.0 478.1 3,099.5 478.3 3,142.0 486.3 3,245.3 514.8 3,557.5 538.5 3,757.5 55 56 Holdings by financial institutions Other holdings 615.6 1,542.3 800.0 2,023.9 972.1 2,388.4 1,013.8 2,311.2 1,112.6 2,391.3 1,170.0 2,452.8 1,167.1 2,410.5 1,200.4 2,419.9 1,277.7 2,453.9 1,395.7 2,676.6 1,523.6 2,772.4 2 3 4 5 6 12 13 49 50 51 By public agencies and foreign Total held U.S. government securities Residential mortgages FHLB advances to thrifts Other loans and securities Other sources Foreign funds Treasury balances Insurance and pension reserves Other, net NOTES BY LINE NUMBER. 1. Line 1 of table 1.59. 2. Sum of lines 3-6 or 7-10. 6. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 12. Credit market debt of federally sponsored agencies, and net issues of federally related mortgage pool securities. 14. Line 1 less line 2 plus line 12 and 13. Also line 21 less line 28 plus line 34. Also sum of lines 29 and 48 less lines 41 and 47. 19. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 27. Line 40 less lines 41 and 47. 28. Excludes equity issues and investment company shares. Includes line 20. 30. Foreign deposits at commercial banks plus bank borrowings from foreign affiliates, less claims on foreign affiliates and deposits by banking in foreign banks. 31. Demand deposits and note balances at commercial banks. 32. Excludes net investment of these reserves in corporate equities. 33. Mainly retained earnings and net miscellaneous liabilities. 34. Line 14 less line 21 plus line 28. 35-39. Lines 15-19 less amounts acquired by private finance plus amounts borrowed by private finance. Line 39 includes mortgages. 41. Mainly an offset to line 10. 48. Lines 34 plus 40, or line 14 less line 29 plus 41 and 47. 49. Line 2Aine 1 and 13. 50. Line 21/line 14. 51. Sum of lines 11 and 30. 52-54. Includes issues by financial institutions. NOTE. Full statements for sectors and transaction types in flows and in amounts outstanding may be obtained from Flow of Funds Section, Stop 95, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A46 2.10 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1990 NONFINANCIAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY Selected Measures 1 1977 = 100; monthly and quarterly data are seasonally adjusted. Exceptions noted. 1989 Measure 1987 1988 1989 Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov.' Dec. 1 Industrial production 129.8 137.2 n.a. 141.7 141.6 142.0 141.9 142.5 142.3' 141.8 142.3 142.8 Market groupings Products, total Final, total Consumer goods Equipment Intermediate Materials 138.3 136.8 127.7 148.8 143.3 118.3 145.9 144.3 133.9 158.2 151.5 125.3 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 151.6 150.2 139.5 164.3 156.5 128.2 151.7 150.4 139.2 165.4 156.3 127.9 152.5 151.2 139.9 166.1 157.0 127.7 151.8 150.2 138.7 165.5 157.5 128.3 152.5 151.1 139.3 166.8 157.5 128.8 152.4' 150.8' 139.0' 166.5' 157.8' 128.6' 151.5 149.4 139.9 162.0 158.9 128.6 152.3 150.1 139.8 163.7 160.1 128.6 153.6 151.6 140.6 166.1 160.5 128.2 134.6 142.8 n.a. 148.0 148.1 148.7 148.5 149.2 148.8' 148.0 148.6 148.8 81.1 80.5 83.5 83.7 84.0 83.7 84.5 84.2 84.3 83.8 84.4 83.6 84.0 83.7 84.2 83.9 83.7 83.6' 83.1 83.5 83.2 83.3 83.1 82.8 2 3 4 5 6 7 Industry groupings 8 Manufacturing Capacity utilization (percent)2 9 Manufacturing 10 Industrial materials industries 11 Construction contracts (1982 = 100)3 163.8 160.8 159.4 163.0 159.0 157.0 163.0 160.0 175.0 165.0 158.0 160.0 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Nonagricultural employment, total4 Goods-producing, total Manufacturing, total Manufacturing, production- worker . . . Service-producing Personal income, total Wages and salary disbursements Manufacturing Disposable personal income Retail sales® 123.9 101.5 96.7 91.9 133.3 235.0 226.3 183.8 232.4 210.8 128.0 103.7 98.6 93.9 138.2 252.8 244.4 196.5 252.1 225.1 131.6 105.3 99.6 94.8 142.7 275.5 264.8 207.3 274.0 237.5 131.1 105.5 99.9 95.0 141.8 272.9 261.7 205.7 269.6 235.5 131.3 105.5 99.9 95.0 142.2 273.5 262.0 205.8 271.7 237.4 131.7 105.4 99.8 94.8 142.7 274.8 263.8 207.0 273.8 237.3 131.9 105.4 99.8 94.8 143.0 276.4 266.1 207.5 275.4 239.1 132.0 105.5 99.8 94.8 143.1 277.3 266.7 208.8 276.1 241.3 132.3 105.2 99.4 94.2 143.6 277.9 268.5 208.8 276.5 242.0 132.4 105.2 99.2 94.1 143.8 280.3 271.4 211.1 278.7 238.9 132.6 105.2 99.1 93.9 144.1 282.9 271.6 208.9 281.6 240.1 132.8 104.9 99.0 93.9 144.5 284.2 273.3 209.8 282.7 240.6 22 23 Prices7 Consumer (1982-84 = 100) Producer finished goods (1982 = 100) . . . 113.6 105.4 118.3 108.0 124.0 113.5 123.1 113.0 123.8 114.2 124.1 114.3 124.4 ' 114.1 124.6 113.4' 125.0 113.5 125.6 114.8 125.9 114.8 126.1 115.3 1. A major revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in July 1985. See "A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production" and accompanying tables that contain revised indexes (1977= 100) through December 1984 in the Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 71 (July 1985), pp. 487-501. The revised indexes for January through June 1985 were shown in the September Bulletin. 2. Ratios of indexes of production to indexes of capacity. Based on data from Federal Reserve, McGraw-Hill Economics Department, Department of Commerce, and other sources. 3. Index of dollar value of total construction contracts, including residential, nonresidential and heavy engineering, from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. 4. Based on data in Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). Series covers employees only, excluding personnel in the Armed Forces. 5. Based on data in Survey of Current Business (U.S. Department of Commerce). 6. Based on Bureau of Census data published in Survey of Current Business. 7. Data without seasonal adjustment, as published in Monthly Labor Review. Seasonally adjusted data for changes in the price indexes may be obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. NOTE. Basic data (not index numbers) for series mentioned in notes 4, 5,and 6, and indexes for series mentioned in notes 3 and 7 may also be found in the Survey of Current Business. Figures for industrial production for the last two months are preliminary and estimated, respectively. Selected Measures 2.11 A47 LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, A N D UNEMPLOYMENT Thousands of persons; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. Exceptions noted. 1989 Category 1987' 1988' 1989 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov.' Dec. HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA 1 185,010 186,837 188,601 188,377 188,518 188,672 188,808 188,948 189,096 189,238 189,381 122,122 119,865 123,893 121,669 126,077 123,869 125,747' 123,551' 126,30c 124,111' 126,202' 124,013' 126,28C 124,070' 126,245' 124,023' 126,373 124,148 126,709 124,488 126,762 124,546 109,232 3,208 111,800 3,169 114,142 3,199 113,995'' 3,137' 114,404' 3,138' 114,2W 3,217' 114,275' 3,275' 114,20c 3,2W 114,388 3,197 114,676 3,160 114,691 3,197 7,425 6.2 62,888 6,701 5.5 62,944 6,528 5.3 62,524 6,419' 5.2 62,630' 6,569' 5.3 62,218' 6,577' 5.3' 62,470' 6,52C 5.3' 62,528' 6,604' 5.3 62,703' 6,563 5.3 62,723 6,652 5.3 62,529 6,658 5.3 62,619 9 Nonagricultural payroll employment 102,200 105,584 108,573 108,310 108,607 108,767 108,887 109,096 109,171 109,393 109,535 Manufacturing Mining Contract construction Transportation and public utilities Trade Finance Service Government 19,024 717 4,967 5,372 24,327 6,547 24,236 17,010 19,403 721 5,125 5,548 25,139 6,676 25,600 17,372 19,611 722 5,302 5,703 25,807 6,814 26,889 17,726 19,667 722 5,283 5,700 25,750 6,790 26,711 17,687 19,650 715 5,283 5,716 25,781 6,808 26,931 17,723 19,649 706 5,314 5,736 25,823 6,815 26,973 17,751 19,644 729 5,321 5,618 25,877 6,836 27,058 17,804 19,559 730 5,325 5,709 25,896 6,852 27,159 17,866 19,537 731 5,335 5,729 25,957 6,851 27,188 17,843 19,510 737 5,360 5,745 26,022 6,872 27,321 17,826 19,485 736 5,322 5,818 26,024 6,885 27,405 17,860 1 Noninstitutional population 2 Labor force (including Armed Forces) 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 Civilian labor force Employment Nonagncultural industries Agriculture Unemployment Number Rate (percent of civilian labor force) Not in labor force ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY DATA 3 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1. Persons 16 years of age and over. Monthly figures, which are based on sample data, relate to the calendar week that contains the 12th day; annual data are averages of monthly figures. By definition, seasonality does not exist in population figures. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). 2. Includes self-employed, unpaid family, and domestic service workers. 3. Data include all full- and part-time employees who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that includes the 12th day of the month, and exclude proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, unpaid family workers, and members of the Armed Forces. Data are adjusted to the March 1984 benchmark and only seasonally adjusted data are available at this time. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). A48 2.12 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1990 OUTPUT, CAPACITY, A N D CAPACITY UTILIZATION 1 Seasonally adjusted 1989 1989 Series Ql r Q2' Q3' Q4 Output (1977 = 100) 1 Total industry Ql r Q2' Q3r Q4 Ql r Capacity (percent of 1977 output) Q2r Q3r Q4 Utilization rate (percent) 140.7 141.8 142.2 142.3 167.5 168.7 169.9 84.0 84.1 83.7 83.2 101.8 116.0 102.0 115.7 102.7 113.9 103.9 118.0 125.1 141.0 124.7 141.4 124.3 141.7 123.8 142.0 81.3 82.3 81.8 81.8 82.6 80.4 83.9 83.1 147.0 148.3 148.8 148.S 174.3 175.7 177.2 178.7 84.4 84.4 84.0 83.1 5 Primary processing 127.8 158.6 127.6 160.8 128.8 160.9 128.5 160.4 146.5 191.0 147.8 192.6 149.1 194.2 150.4 195.8 87.3 83.0 86.4 83.5 86.4 82.9 85.5 81.9 6 Advanced processing 127.6 127.9 128.6 128.5 151.7 152.6 153.5 154.4 84.1 83.9 83.8 83.2 7 Materials 8 Durable goods 11 Textile, paper, and chemical 9 Metal materials 12 10 Nondurable goods Paper 13 Chemical 138.6 98.4 136.3 139.2 148.4 145.4 139.0 96.0 137.1 139.8 146.1 145.7 140.4 97.8 137.9 141.1 149.8 146.5 138.6 92.9 138.6 141.5 170.1 110.2 152.7 153.5 154.0 161.4 171.3 110.6 154.2 155.3 155.8 163.7 172.5 111.0 155.8 157.0 157.6 165.9 173.7 111.4 157.4 158.8 81.5 83.8 89.3 90.7 96.4 90.1 81.1 81.4 88.9 90.0 93.8 89.0 81.4 82.3 88.5 89.8 95.1 88.3 79.8 78.0 88.1 89.1 14 Energy materials 100.7 100.7 99.8 101.8 118.4 118.3 118.1 118.0 85.0 85.1 84.5 86.3 Aug/ Sept/ Oct/ Nov/ Dec. 2 Mining 3 Utilities 4 Manufacturing Previous cycle High Low Latest cycle High Low 1988 Dec. 1989 Apr/ May' June' July' Capacity utilization rate (percent) 15 Total industry 88.6 72.1 86.9 69.5 84.3 84.2 84.0 84.0 83.7 83.9 83.6 83.1 83.1 83.3 16 Mining.. 17 Utilities. 92.8 95.6 87.8 82.9 95.2 88.5 76.9 78.0 83.6 82.0 82.0 82.9 81.8 81.8 81.5 80.8 82.1 80.5 82.4 80.0 83.4 80.8 84.0 81.7 84.3 81.3 83.4 86.3 18 Manufacturing 87.7 69.9 86.5 68.0 84.4 84.5 84.3 84.4 84.0 84.2 83.7 83.1 83.2 19 Primary processing... 20 Advanced processing. 91.9 86.0 68.3 71.1 89.1 85.1 65.0 69.5 87.9 82.8 86.8 83.5 86.2 83.4 86.2 83.5 86.7 82.9 86.6 83.2 85.8 82.6 86.2 81.7 85.7 81.9 21 Materials 92.0 70.5 89.1 68.5 84.9 84.2 83.8 83.6 83.7 83.9 83.6 83.5 83.3 22 Durable goods 23 Metal materials 24 Nondurable goods . . . 25 Textile, paper, and chemical 26 Paper 27 Chemical 91.8 99.2 91.1 64.4 67.1 66.7 89.8 93.6 88.1 60.9 45.7 70.7 82.1 84.6 89.8 81.3 83.6 89.2 81.0 79.8 88.7 81.1 80.6 88.7 81.3 82.3 89.2 81.7 82.7 88.8 81.2 81.9 87.5 80.3 81.7 88.3 80.0 77.2 88.1 92.8 98.4 92.5 64.8 70.6 64.4 89.4 97.3 87.9 68.8 79.9 63.5 91.3 98.4 90.7 90.7 94.5 90.1 89.6 93.2 88.4 89.8 93.7 88.5 90.6 95.0 89.5 90.1 95.1 88.6 88.8 95.1 86.7 89.4 96.3 87.4 89.1 95.8 87.2 28 Energy materials. 94.6 86.9 94.0 82.3 86.5 86.0 85.5 83.8 83.9 84.3 85.4 86.1 86.1 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.3 (402) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Monthly high 1973; monthly low 1975. 3. Monthly highs 1978 through 1980; monthly lows 1982. 84.5 82.2 79.1 75.0 87.8 86.6 Selected Measures 2.13 A49 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value 1 Monthly data are seasonally adjusted „ 1977 proportion 1988 1989 1989 avg. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept/ Oct/ Nov.'' D e c / Index (1977 = 100) MAJOR MARKET 1 Total index 100.00 140.4 140.8 140.5 140.7 141.7 141.6 142.0 141.9 142.5 142.3 141.8 142.3 142.8 57.72 44.77 25.52 19.25 12.94 42.28 149.4 147.7 138.2 160.4 155.0 128.3 150.1 148.2 138.5 161.1 156.6 128.1 150.0 148.6 138.7 161.6 155.1 127.4 150.5 148.9 138.4 162.8 156.1 127.3 151.6 150.2 139.5 164.3 156.5 128.2 151.7 150.4 139.2 165.4 156.3 127.9 152.5 151.2 139.9 166.1 157.0 127.7 151.8 150.2 138.7 165.5 157.5 128.3 152.5 151.1 139.3 166.8 157.5 128.8 152.4 150.8 139.0 166.5 157.8 128.6 151.5 149.4 139.9 162.0 158.9 128.6 152.3 150.1 139.8 163.7 160.1 128.6 153.6 151.6 140.6 166.1 160.5 128.2 6.89 2.98 1.79 1.16 .63 1.19 3.91 1.24 1.19 .96 1.71 131.9 134.5 138.0 105.1 199.1 129.3 130.0 151.0 150.0 140.5 108.9 131.5 132.5 135.6 99.6 202.3 127.9 130.7 151.0 149.5 141.1 110.1 131.6 131.6 133.1 96.0 201.9 129.4 131.6 153.9 153.0 141.3 110.1 130.1 128.9 128.3 95.0 190.0 129.8 131.1 151.6 152.3 140.7 110.9 132.2 131.7 131.7 98.8 192.8 131.7 132.6 151.7 152.5 142.8 113.0 131.2 128.6 127.4 96.0 185.5 130.4 133.3 151.3 151.4 144.3 114.1 130.8 125.6 123.3 91.4 182.5 129.1 134.8 155.6 155.0 143.1 115.0 127.3 120.2 114.6 81.2 176.7 128.7 132.7 148.1 147.0 141.3 116.8 128.7 122.3 119.3 86.4 180.5 126.7 133.5 152.1 149.4 139.8 116.6 127.9 120.6 117.1 92.7 162.4 125.9 133.4 151.9 148.3 139.9 116.5 127.6 118.9 113.1 91.5 153.3 127.6 134.2 151.7 147.3 142.0 117.2 126.8 119.3 114.8 84.3 171.2 126.2 132.5 145.0 142.3 142.7 117.8 127.7 121.9 118.3 84.2 181.7 127.4 132.1 142.5 19 Nondurable consumer goods 20 Consumer staples Consumer foods and tobacco 21 22 Nonfood staples Consumer chemical products 23 24 Consumer paper products 25 Consumer energy 26 Consumer fuel 27 Residential utilities 18.63 15.29 7.80 7.49 2.75 1.88 2.86 1.44 1.42 140.5 148.9 144.5 153.6 186.8 169.0 111.6 96.3 127.1 141.1 149.4 144.8 154.2 187.6 174.2 109.1 96.7 121.7 141.4 149.7 144.3 155.4 187.8 177.0 110.1 95.0 125.4 141.4 149.9 143.3 156.9 188.9 180.4 110.7 95.6 126.1 142.2 150.7 144.7 156.9 187.3 180.9 112.0 97.3 127.0 142.1 150.7 144.7 156.9 189.1 180.9 110.1 93.6 127.0 143.3 151.9 145.7 158.4 191.0 183.6 110.7 95.6 126.1 142.8 151.4 144.2 158.9 193.1 183.0 110.4 97.0 124.0 143.2 152.0 145.6 158.7 192.5 184.7 109.2 96.0 122.7 143.1 151.8 145.9 157.9 187.9 186.6 110.3 95.7 125.1 144.4 153.4 147.2 160.0 192.6 187.1 110.8 96.1 125.8 144.6 153.8 148.1 159.7 191.5 189.0 110.1 94.9 145.4 155.0 162.8 Equipment 28 Business and defense equipment 29 Business equipment 30 Construction, mining, and farm Manufacturing 31 32 Power Commercial 33 34 Transit 35 Defense and space equipment 18.01 14.34 2.08 3.27 1.27 5.22 2.49 3.67 166.2 162.6 74.6 137.0 91.8 248.9 124.9 180.5 167.1 163.8 74.3 136.3 92.8 252.4 125.7 180.0 167.9 165.0 75.6 137.8 92.7 254.3 125.2 179.3 168.9 166.3 76.9 138.6 93.0 257.6 123.9 178.7 170.3 167.8 77.6 139.7 93.6 260.1 124.8 179.9 171.5 169.1 76.3 140.9 93.3 263.2 125.3 180.7 172.0 169.6 74.8 142.8 92.5 264.5 124.8 181.1 171.3 168.5 73.0 143.8 92.8 263.8 120.1 182.0 172.5 169.9 72.1 143.5 94.2 265.6 124.4 182.7 172.1 169.6 74.7 143.1 93.8 265.1 122.2 182.1 167.4 165.2 75.2 142.9 95.0 259.6 107.7 176.0 169.2 167.2 75.8 142.7 94.7 264.0 110.2 176.9 171.9 169.9 76.9 142.9 95.3 264.8 122.6 179.6 5.95 6.99 5.67 1.31 141.4 166.7 173.8 135.8 142.3 168.8 175.9 138.2 139.5 168.4 175.4 138.3 139.3 170.4 177.4 140.3 140.2 170.4 177.9 138.0 140.2 170.0 177.3 138.2 141.2 170.4 177.9 138.4 142.2 170.6 177.8 139.6 141.5 171.2 178.8 138.1 140.9 172.3 180.1 138.5 142.5 172.8 180.4 140.0 143.9 173.9 181.7 140.3 142.9 20.50 4.92 5.94 9.64 4.64 139.0 112.5 174.1 130.9 99.8 139.4 111.7 175.2 131.5 100.8 138.6 112.1 175.2 129.7 98.4 137.9 110.7 175.3 128.8 95.9 139.0 110.8 176.9 130.0 98.0 138.7 111.8 177.1 128.9 94.4 139.4 111.6 177.5 130.0 95.5 139.9 109.9 179.1 131.0 97.7 140.9 111.9 180.0 131.6 98.4 140.4 110.7 179.6 131.4 97.4 139.2 108.3 177.7 131.2 96.7 139.0 108.0 179.4 129.9 92.0 137.7 105.0 179.7 128.6 90.0 2 Products 3 Final products 4 Consumer goods 5 Equipment 6 Intermediate products 7 Materials Consumer goods 8 Durable consumer goods 9 Automotive products 10 Autos and trucks 11 Autos, consumer 12 Trucks, consumer 13 Auto parts and allied goods 14 Home goods 15 Appliances, A/C and TV Appliances and TV 16 17 Carpeting and furniture Miscellaneous home goods 18 Intermediate products 36 Construction supplies 37 Business supplies 38 General business supplies 39 Commercial energy products Materials 40 Durable goods materials 41 Durable consumer parts 42 Equipment parts 43 Durable materials n.e.c 44 Basic metal materials 115.2 45 Nondurable goods materials 46 Textile, paper, and chemical materials 47 Textile materials 48 Pulp and paper materials 49 Chemical materials 50 Miscellaneous nondurable materials . . . 10.09 136.3 137.1 135.9 136.0 137.1 136.8 137.3 138.5 138.3 136.7 138.5 138.6 138.7 7.53 1.52 1.55 4.46 2.57 139.1 110.0 150.3 145.1 128.0 139.9 112.1 150.4 145.7 129.1 138.6 110.7 147.5 145.0 128.0 139.0 111.8 147.3 145.4 127.2 140.3 114.6 146.7 146.8 127.8 139.1 116.4 145.2 144.7 129.9 140.0 117.2 146.5 145.5 129.4 141.8 116.4 149.1 147.9 129.0 141.5 117.0 149.9 147.0 128.9 140.0 115.6 150.5 144.6 127.3 141.5 115.7 153.0 146.3 129.8 141.5 115.0 152.7 146.6 141.5 51 Energy materials 52 Primary energy 53 Converted fuel materials 11.69 7.57 4.12 102.6 107.6 93.3 100.5 105.2 92.0 100.5 104.4 93.3 101.0 103.7 96.1 101.7 104.1 97.4 101.1 104.6 94.7 99.1 103.0 92.0 99.1 103.2 91.6 99.5 104.2 91.0 100.9 105.6 92.2 101.6 106.7 92.2 101.7 106.6 92.6 102.2 A50 2.13 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1990 I N D U S T R I A L PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value 1 —Continued Groups SIC code 1977 proportion 1989 1989 avg. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept/ Oct/ Nov. p Dec Index (1977 = 100) MAJOR INDUSTRY 15.79 9.83 5.96 84.21 35.11 49.10 7 8 9 10 Mining Metal Coal Oil and gas extraction Stone and earth minerals . 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastic products . Leather and products 13 14 107.2 103.0 114.0 147.2 148.5 146.2 106.8 107.5 101.5 117.5 147.0 148.6 145.8 107.9 102.4 117.1 148.0 149.6 146.9 107.2 102.0 115.6 148.1 149.5 147.1 106.3 101.5 114.3 148.7 150.5 147.4 106.6 100.9 116.5 146.8 148.1 145.9 .50 1.60 7.07 111.9 155.1 88.9 149.4 106.9 144.7 88.9 150.8 98.6 134.7 89.5 142.5 98.1 137.7 89.6 143.5 96.8 145.5 89.1 144.5 94.0 137.1 90.5 146.6 101.2 106.2 129.2 90.6 150.2 145.8 107.0 117.9 146.6 105.0 145.4 101.5 119.7 109.9 151.7 146.6 109.2 122.5 111.3 150.7 147.2 105.9 123.6 111.5 150.1 4.54 8.05 2.40 Nondurable manufactures Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products 10 11.12 108.9 104.9 115.4 146.3 147.1 145.7 7.96 .62 2.29 2.79 3.15 1 Mining and utilities . 2 Mining 3 Utilities 4 Manufacturing 5 Nondurable 6 Durable .66 104.3 144.2 90.0 148.8 104.6 144.4 90.6 151.3 147.9 104.2 123.8 111.9 150.2 147.3 97.1 123.5 111.4 152.4 148.3 99.9 123.2 111.1 152.8 148.8 97.3 123.2 150.1 96.6 123.0 110.8 155.2 200.6 161.5 97.7 183.6 203.1 159.3 98.4 184.2 60.4 203.8 161.5 98.1 185.8 135.7 167.6 123.4 137.6 167.9 123.7 88.9 76.4 124.2 184.9 110.2 188.0 193.0 159.0 98.0 175.9 62.9 194.6 158.5 96.3 175.0 62.9 198.5 159.2 97.0 176.4 61.2 200.1 159.3 97.3 178.0 61.4 199.0 158.2 96.9 180.5 60.3 200.5 159.9 97.9 182.3 60.5 199.9 139.9 166.3 132.8 164.8 125.4 133.4 165.8 125.5 135.1 135.5 170.2 123.9 137.2 170.8 123.9 136.9 169.0 122.9 136.5 124.7 91.1 79.1 124.5 88.4 75.9 123.8 183.0 90.1 77.0 123.1 184.7 87.2 73.2 124.8 186.5 89.2 75.4 125.4 186.7 181.4 90.3 75.9 125.5 187.8 183.7 89.2 75.4 124.4 181.6 87.3 72.9 125.2 187.5 181.9 182.7 181.8 134.2 116.4 131.3 110.4 133.2 114.2 131.9 112.7 123.8 110.1 158.4 165.7 117.1 159.6 166.0 119.6 159.0 164.1 118.5 157.9 163.1 119.2 142.4 163.4 121.7 24 25 32 2.30 1.27 2.72 143.0 165.4 125.1 33 331.2 34 35 36 5.33 3.49 6.46 9.54 7.15 90.0 77.6 125.1 177.8 180.9 124.5 178.7 180.9 29 Transportation equipment 37 30 Motor vehicles and parts 371 31 Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment.. 372 - 6 . 9 32 Instruments 38 33 Miscellaneous manufactures 39 9.13 5.25 136.8 125.5 3.87 152.2 159.1 111.0 161.0 1.46 103.7 135.4 90.3 151.5 153.8 60.2 2.66 130.2 90.8 152.1 151.7 .53 Primary metals Iron and steel Fabricated metal products. Nonelectrical machinery .. Electrical machinery 104.2 115.9 148.0 152.2 145.0 108.8 2.80 24 25 26 27 28 107.7 103.5 114.5 148.8 151.1 147.2 114.0 148.5 150.8 146.8 146.3 104.7 119.4 110.2 151.7 120.2 158.1 98.0 177.5 Durable manufactures 21 Lumber and products 22 Furniture and fixtures 23 Clay, glass, and stone products .. 108.6 106.5 102.4 113.3 149.2 151.1 147.8 102.1 126.6 93.2 82.2 180.8 168.0 181.7 181.6 136.7 124.9 136.4 123.4 134.8 120.4 136.4 122.0 135.5 119.7 152.7 154.0 161.3 107.6 154.4 155.9 163.0 114.5 157.1 164.3 114.7 111.8 161.8 110.0 182.2 162.2 98.3 182.3 60.8 60.2 168.0 123.9 111.2 153.4 188.2 60.1 Utilities 34 Electric . Gross value (billions of 1982 dollars, annual rates) MAJOR MARKET 35 Products, total 517.5 1,855.5 1,875.3 1,885.1 1,879.2 1,878.0 1,893.9 1.885.5 1,868.0 1,875.4 1,874.8 1,874.3 36 Final 37 Consumer goods 38 Equipment 39 Intermediate 405.7 272.7 133.0 111.9 1,426.3 1,442.1 1,447.5 1,449.6 1,442.8 1,460.4 1.449.6 1,430.0 1,438.1 1,436.5 1,431.3 918.4 934.4 935.6 934.3 928.0 939.4 928.5 915.5 919.9 917.7 924.0 507.9 507.7 511.9 515.2 514.8 521.1 521.1 514.5 518.2 518.8 507.3 429.3 433.2 437.7 429.6 435.3 433.5 435.9 438.0 437.3 438.3 443.0 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.12.3 (414) release. For address, see inside front cover. A major revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in July 1985. See "A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production" and accompanying tables that contain revised indexes (1977=100) through December 1984 in the Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 71 (July 1985), pp. 487-501. The revised indexes for January through June 1985 were shown in the September Bulletin. Selected Measures 2.14 A51 HOUSING A N D CONSTRUCTION Monthly figures are at seasonally adjusted annual rates except as noted. 1989 Item 1986 1987 1988 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug.' Sept/ Oct/ Nov. Private residential real estate activity (thousands of units) NEW UNITS 1 Permits authorized 2 1-family 3 2-or-more-family 1,750 1,071 679 1,535 1,024 511 1,456 994 462 1,403 989 414 1,230 870 360 1,334 954 380 1,347 905 442 1,308 874 434 1,281 906 375 1,328 927 401 1,319 946 373 1,356 961 395 1,342 979 363 4 Started 5 1-family 6 2-or-more-family 1,805 1,180 626 1,621 1,146 474 1,488 1,081 407 1,465 1,029 436 1,409 981 428 1,343 1,029 314 1,308 977 331 1,406 972 434 1,420 1,026 394 1,329 990 339 1,264 971 293 1,423 1,023 400 1,342 1,003 339 7 Under construction, end of period1 . 8 1-family 9 2-or-more-family 1,074 583 490 987 591 397 919 570 350 951 594 357 942 586 356 924 579 345 911 572 339 914 572 342 918 576 342 902 565 337 893 566 327 897 566 331 888 563 325 1,756 1,120 636 1,669 1,123 546 1,530 1,085 445 1,610 1,189 421 1,459 1,050 409 1,552 1,115 437 1,442 1,041 401 1,355 964 391 1,372 965 407 1,439 1,040 399 1,368 960 408 1,318 990 328 1,451 1,045 406 13 Mobile homes shipped 244 233 218 212 207 198 205 202 178 194 185 191 191 Merchant builder activity in 1-family units 14 Number sold 15 Number for sale, end of period 748 357 672 365 675 366 621 375 555 377 607 377 653 380 647 377 738 369 723 364 642 366 648 366 710 365 10 Completed 11 1-family 12 2-or-more-family Price (thousands of dollars)2 Median 16 Units sold 17 Units sold 92.2 104.7 113.3 118.0 123.0 116.7 119.0 122.8 116.0 122.9 119.0 123.0 127.0 112.2 127.9 139.0 145.3 149.0 144.7 145.1 153.6 140.3 158.6 149.7 147.6 155.9 3,566 3,530 3,594 3,480 3,400 3,400 3,210 3,360 3,330 3,480 3,520 3,480 3,590 80.3 98.3 85.6 106.2 89.2 112.5 91.9 117.8 92.0 116.1 92.9 118.0 92.6 118.0 93.4 118.8 96.7 122.1 94.8 120.8 94.3 118.4 92.6 117.2 93.2 118.3 EXISTING UNITS (1-family) 18 Number sold Price of units sold (thousands of dollars) 19 Median 20 Average Value of new construction3 (millions of dollars) CONSTRUCTION 21 Total put in place 387,043 397,721 409,663 416,597 416,779 411,891 416,540 412,523 410,269r 416,279 416,176 415,631 421,692 22 Private 23 Residential 24 Nonresidential, total Buildings 25 Industrial 26 Commercial 27 Other 28 Public utilities and other 315,313 320,108 187,147 194,656 128,166 125,452 328,738 198,101 130,637 333,169 200,454 132,715 338,065 202,083 135,982 332,537 200,735 131,802 330,591 196,984 133,607 329,035 328,785' 331,884 194,229 195,165' 194,393 134,806 133,620' 137,491 329,564 192,765 136,799 330,183 193,158 137,025 330,281 194,381 135,900 29 Public 30 Military 31 Highway 32 Conservation'and development... 33 Other 13,747 56,762 13,216 44,441 13,707 55,448 15,464 40,833 14,931 58,104 17,278 40,324 15,098 58,749 17,484 41,384 15,698 60.653 17,634 41,997 16,245 55,581 16,645 43,331 15,945 56,796 17,343 43,523 16,302 57,434 17,179 43,891 16,424' 56,640' 16,768' 43,788' 17,526 57,680 18,455 43,830 17,927 57,132 17,962 43,778 17,825 58,154 17,392 43,654 18,063 56,741 17,972 43,124 71,727 3,868 22,971 4,646 40,242 77,612 4,327 25,343 5,162 42,780 80,922 3,579 28,524 4,474 44,345 83,428 3,433 27,936 4,742 47,317 78,714 3,740 26,091 4,210 44,673 80,420 2,054 27,772 3,068 47,526 85,130 3,870 27,432 6,053 47,775 81,914 4,324 27,321 4,699 45,570 81,484' 3,194' 26,128 4,567' 47,595' 84,395 3,779 27,367 4,708 48,541 86,612 4,916 27,581 4,906 49,209 85,448 3,342 26,406 5,343 50,357 91,411 3,988 29,288 4,878 53,257 1. Not at annual rates. 2. Not seasonally adjusted. 3. Value of new construction data in recent periods may not be strictly comparable with data in previous periods because of changes by the Bureau of the Census in its estimating techniques. For a description of these changes see Construction Reports (C-30-76-5), issued by the Bureau in July 1976. NOTE. Census Bureau estimates for all series except (1) mobile homes, which are private, domestic shipments as reported by the Manufactured Housing Institute and seasonally adjusted by the Census Bureau, and (2) sales and prices of existing units, which are published by the National Association of Realtors. All back and current figures are available from the originating agency. Permit authorizations are those reported to the Census Bureau from 16,000 jurisdictions beginning with 1978. A52 2.15 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1990 CONSUMER A N D PRODUCER PRICES Percentage changes based on seasonally adjusted data, except as noted Change from 12 months earlier Change from 3 months earlier (at annual rate) Change from 1 month earlier 1989 1989 Item 1988 Dec. Index level Dec. 1989 1989 Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. CONSUMER PRICES2 (1982-84=100) 1 AU items 4.4 4.6 6.1 5.7 1.6 5.2 .0 .2 .5 .4 .4 126.1 2 J 4 5 6 Food Energy items All items less food and energy Commodities Services 5.2 .5 4.7 4.0 5.0 5.6 5.1 4.4 2.7 5.3 8.2 10.2 5.2 4.1 5.9 5.6 24.8 3.8 2.0 4.3 2.9 -13.4 3.1 .7 4.5 5.8 2.2 5.3 4.1 6.0 .2 -2.0 .2 -.3 .3 .2 -.9 .2 .4 .2 .4 .6 .5 .6 .4 .6 -.1 .4 .2 .5 .5 .0 .4 .2 .5 127.4 93.2 131.5 121.2 137.5 4.0 5.7 -3.6 4.8 3.6 4.8 5.0 9.6 4.5 3.7 10.2 13.1 41.0 5.4 4.6 5.8 -1.3 31.8 5.7 4.5 -.3 -1.3 -16.8 2.6 4.8 4.3 10.9 -7.1 4.5 1.0 -.4 .3 -7.3 .6' .y .8' -,5R 6.5 .4' ,8R .4 1.4 .2 .2 -.3 -.1 .8 -3.3 .0 .3 .7 .5 1.4 .9 .2 115.3 120.9 64.9 126.6 120.7 5.3 7.2 2.6 .9 8.7 5.5 2.9 .3 -1.1 -.7 -.4 -1.3 -.4' -.R .4 .2' .1 .1 -.1 .0 -.1 -.4 112.0 119.7 14.2 -9.5 7.5 2.6 17.9 -3.8 16.9 48.3 10.3 -17.8 23.6 -9.3 -2.2 -6.5 -.6 17.1 12.6 -14.3 -6.8' .8 -1.3' 3.7' .3 -.6 .5 .3 1.7 .3 -2.3 3.0 2.2 -1.8 112.3 78.5 131.7 PRODUCER PRICES (1982=100) 7 8 9 10 11 Finished goods Consumer foods Consumer energy Other consumer goods Capital equipment 12 13 Intermediate materials3 Excluding energy 14 15 16 Crude materials Foods Energy Other 1. Not seasonally adjusted. 2. Figures for consumer prices are those for all urban consumers and reflect a rental equivalence measure of homeownership after 1982. \.r 3. Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. SOURCE. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Selected Measures 2.16 A53 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT AND INCOME Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1988 Account 1987 1988 1989 1989 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 1 Total 2 3 4 5 4,524.3 6 Gross private domestic investment 8 9 10 11 Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential structures 12 13 Change in business inventories Nonfarm '/ 14 Net exports of goods and services 15 Exports 16 Imports 17 Government purchases of goods and services 18 Federal 19 State and local 4,880.6 5,233.2 5,017.3 5,113.1 5,201.7 5,281.0 5,337.0 3,010.8 421.0 998.1 1,591.7 3,235.1 455.2 1,052.3 1,727.6 3,470.3 473.6 1,122.6 1,874.1 3,324.0 467.4 1,078.4 1,778.2 3,381.4 466.4 1,098.3 1,816.7 3,444.1 471.0 1,121.5 1,851.7 3,508.1 486.1 1,131.4 1,890.6 3,547.5 471.0 1,139.1 1,937.5 699.9 670.6 444.3 133.8 310.5 226.4 750.3 719.6 487.2 140.3 346.8 232.4 777.1 747.7 512.5 145.1 367.4 235.2 752.8 734.1 495.8 142.5 353.3 238.4 769.6 742.0 503.1 144.7 358.5 238.8 775.0 747.6 512.5 142.4 370.1 235.1 779.1 751.7 519.6 146.2 373.4 232.1 784.8 749.6 514.8 147.1 367.7 234.8 29.3 30.5 30.6 34.2 29.4 25.2 18.7 40.8 27.7 19.1 27.4 23.6 27.4 19.8 35.2 38.3 -112.6 448.6 561.2 -73.7 547.7 621.3 -50.9 624.4 675.2 -70.8 579.7 650.5 -54.0 605.6 659.6 -50.6 626.1 676.6 -45.1 628.5 673.6 -53.8 637.3 691.1 926.1 381.6 544.5 968.9 381.3 587.6 1,036.7 404.1 632.5 1,011.4 406.4 604.9 1,016.0 399.0 617.0 1,033.2 406.0 627.2 1,038.9 402.7 636.2 1,058.6 408.8 649.8 4,495.0 1,785.2 777.6 1,007.6 2,304.5 434.6 By source Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 4,850.0 1,931.9 863.6 1,068.3 2,499.2 449.5 5,203.8 2,073.6 911.6 1,161.9 2,700.7 459.0 4,998.7 1,987.4 888.5 1,098.9 2,570.0 459.9 5,085.4 2,030.9 894.7 1,136.2 2,620.8 461.3 5,174.3 2,079.1 905.2 1,173.9 2,667.5 455.1 5,253.6 2,096.3 930.1 1,166.2 2,728.1 456.6 5,301.8 2,087.9 916.5 1,171.3 2,786.2 462.9 29.3 22.0 7.2 30.6 25.0 5.6 29.4 14.6 14.9 18.7 32.0 -13.3 27.7 22.0 5.7 27.4 6.0 21.4 27.4 5.2 22.2 35.2 25.0 10.2 3,853.7 4,024.4 4,142.6 4,069.4 4,106.8 4,132.5 4,162.9 4,168.1 By major type of product 20 Final sales, total 21 Goods 22 Durable Nondurable 23 24 Services 25 Structures 26 Change in business inventories 27 Durable goods 28 Nondurable goods MEMO 29 Total GNP in 1982 dollars NATIONAL INCOME 30 Total 3,665.4 3,972.6 4,265.0 4,097.4 4,185.2 4,249.6 4,287.3 n.a. 31 Compensation of employees 32 Wages and salaries 33 Government and government enterprises 34 Other 35 Supplement to wages and salaries Employer contributions for social insurance 36 37 Other labor income 2,690.0 2,249.4 419.2 1,830.1 440.7 227.8 212.8 2,907.6 2,429.0 446.5 1,982.5 478.6 249.7 228.9 3,145.4 2,632.0 476.9 2,155.1 513.4 265.1 248.3 2,997.2 2,505.1 456.3 2,048.9 492.0 255.6 236.5 3,061.7 2,560.7 466.9 2,093.8 501.0 259.7 241.3 3,118.2 2,608.8 473.5 2,135.3 509.4 263.4 246.0 3,171.9 2,654.7 480.2 2,174.5 517.2 266.6 250.7 3,230.1 2,704.0 487.1 2,216.9 526.1 270.7 255.3 311.6 270.0 41.6 327.8 288.0 39.8 352.2 305.9 46.3 328.3 296.3 32.0 359.3 300.3 59.0 355.5 304.2 51.3 343.3 307.2 36.1 350.9 312.0 38.8 38 Proprietors' income1 39 Business and professional1 40 Farm1 41 Rental income of persons 2 13.4 15.7 8.0 16.1 11.8 9.8 5.4 42 Corporate profits1 43 Profits before tax3 44 Inventory valuation adjustment 45 Capital consumption adjustment 298.7 266.7 -18.9 50.9 328.6 306.8 -25.0 46.8 298.2 287.3 -18.5 29.4 340.2 318.8 -20.1 41.5 316.3 318.0 -38.3 36.6 307.8 296.0 -20.7 32.3 295.2 275.0 -6.3 26.5 n.a. n.a. 46 Net interest 351.7 392.9 461.1 415.7 436.1 458.4 471.5 478.4 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. 3. For after-tax profits, dividends, and the like, see table 1.48. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). 5.1 -8.9 22.4 A54 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1990 2.17 PERSONAL INCOME A N D SAVING Billions of current dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. Exceptions noted. 1989 1988 Account 1987 1988 1989 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING 1 Total personal income 3,777.6 4,064.5 4,428.7 4,185.2 4,317.8 4,400.3 4,455.9 4,540.9 2 Wage and salary disbursements 3 Commodity-producing industries 4 Manufacturing 5 Distributive industries Service industries 6 7 Government and government enterprises 2,249.4 649.9 490.3 531.9 648.3 419.2 2,429.0 696.3 524.0 571.9 714.4 446.5 2,632.0 738.3 553.0 615.1 801.7 476.9 2,505.1 714.7 538.1 587.5 746.7 456.3 2,560.7 726.6 546.3 598.8 768.4 466.9 2,608.8 733.7 549.9 610.8 790.8 473.5 2,654.7 742.6 555.7 619.4 812.4 480.2 2,704.0 750.4 559.9 631.2 835.3 487.1 212.8 311.6 270.0 41.6 13.4 92.0 523.2 548.2 282.9 228.9 327.8 288.0 39.8 15.7 102.2 571.1 584.7 300.5 248.3 352.2 305.9 46.3 8.0 112.4 657.8 632.1 325.2 236.5 328.3 296.3 32.0 16.1 106.4 598.6 593.8 304.0 241.3 359.3 300.3 59.0 11.8 109.4 629.0 616.4 316.9 246.0 355.5 304.2 51.3 9.8 111.4 655.1 626.8 322.9 250.7 343.3 307.2 36.1 5.4 113.2 667.8 636.4 327.9 255.3 350.9 312.0 38.8 5.1 115.7 679.5 649.0 333.0 8 Other labor income 9 Proprietors' income 10 Business and professional 11 Farm1 12 Rental income of persons 14 Personal interest income 15 Transfer payments 16 Old-age survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits . . . 17 LESS: Personal contributions for social insurance 18 EQUALS: Personal income 172.9 194.9 214.2 199.6 210.0 213.0 215.4 218.5 3,777.6 4,064.5 4,428.7 4,185.2 4,317.8 4,400.3 4,455.9 4,540.9 571.7 586.6 648.7 597.8 628.3 652.6 649.1 665.0 20 EQUALS: Disposable personal income 3,205.9 3,477.8 3,780.0 3,587.4 3,689.5 3,747.7 3,806.8 3,875.9 21 LESS: Personal outlays 3,104.1 3,333.1 3,573.7 3,424.0 3,483.8 3,547.0 3,611.7 3,652.2 22 EQUALS: Personal saving 101.8 144.7 206.3 163.4 205.7 200.7 195.1 223.7 15,793.9 10,302.0 10,970.0 3.2 16,332.8 10,545.5 11,337.0 4.2 16,650.3 10,725.5 11,681.0 5.5 16,455.3 10,625.6 11,466.0 4.6 16,566.4 10,653.5 11,625.0 5.6 16,629.8 10,678.9 11,622.0 5.4 16,711.8 10,799.3 11,717.0 5.1 16,685.7 10,765.8 11,761.0 5.8 27 Gross saving 553.8 642.4 700.7 647.4 693.5 695.8 709.9 n.a. 28 29 30 31 663.8 101.8 75.3 -18.9 738.6 144.7 80.3 -25.0 805.6 206.3 47.1 -18.5 769.3 163.4 81.7 -20.1 792.1 205.7 53.4 -38.3 793.7 200.7 52.0 -20.7 809.7 195.1 49.3 -6.3 n.a. 223.7 n.a. -8.9 303.1 183.6 321.7 191.9 -344.8 -207.4 329.7 194.4 335.2 197.8 339.7 201.3 -349.9 -215.3 -354.5 -215.1 n.a. n.a. n.a. 19 LESS: Personal tax and nontax payments MEMO Per capita (1982 dollars) 23 Gross national product 24 Personal consumption expenditures 25 Disposable personal income 26 Saving rate (percent) GROSS SAVING Gross private saving Personal saving Undistributed corporate profits Corporate inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption allowances 33 Noncorporate 34 Government surplus, or deficit ( - ) , national income and product accounts 36 State and local -110.1 -161.4 51.3 -96.1 -145.8 49.7 -104.9 -149.9 45.0 -121.9 -167.6 45.7 -98.7 -147.5 48.8 -97.9 -145.4 47.5 -99.8 -144.7 44.9 37 Gross investment 549.0 632.8 677.4 630.8 669.3 677.5 684.3 678.3 699.9 -150.9 750.3 -117.5 777.1 -99.8 752.8 -122.0 769.6 -100.3 775.0 -97.5 779.1 -94.8 784.8 -106.5 -4.7 -9.6 -23.4 -16.6 -24.1 -18.3 -25.5 -25.5 38 Gross private domestic 39 Net foreign 40 Statistical discrepancy 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). Summary Statistics 3.10 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS A55 Summary Millions of dollars; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted except as noted. 1 1989 1988 Item credits or debits 1986 1987 1988 Q3 Balance on current account Not seasonally adjusted Merchandise trade balance Merchandise exports Merchandise imports Military transactions, net Investment income, net Other service transactions, net Remittances, pensions, and other transfers .. U.S. government grants (excluding military) . 11 Change in U.S. government assets, other than official reserve assets, net (increase, - ) -133,249 -143,700 -126,548 -145,058 223,367 -368,425 -4,577 60,629 10,517 -4,049 -11,730 -159,500 250,266 -409,766 -2,856 71,151 10,585 -4,063 -10,149 -127,215 319,251 -446,466 -4,606 61,974 17,702 -4,279 -10,377 Q4 Ql Q2 Qy -32,340 -36,926 -30,339 80,604 -110,943 -1,006 12,806 4,971 -1,088 -2,288 -28,677 -28,191 -32,019 83,729 -115,748 -1,604 21,329 5,475 -1,090 -3,928 -30,390 -25,994 -28,378 87,919 -116,297 -1,498 15,527 5,428 -1,186 -2,340 -32,084 -31,888 -27,554 91,423 -118,977 -1,518 13,400 5,977 -1,011 -1,857 -22,687 -27,718 -27,751 91,569 -119,320 -968 21,096 7,077 -1,099 -2,557 -2,024 997 2,999 1,961 3,413 1,049 -309 644 12 Change in U.S. official reserve assets (increase, - ) . 13 Gold 14 Special drawing rights (SDRs) 15 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund. 16 Foreign currencies 312 0 -246 1,501 -942 9,149 0 -509 2,070 7,588 -3,566 0 474 1,025 -5,064 -7,380 0 -35 202 -7,547 2,271 0 173 307 1,791 -4,000 0 -188 316 -4,128 -12,095 0 68 -159 -12,004 -5,996 0 -211 337 -6,122 17 Change in U.S. private assets abroad (increase, - ) . 18 Bank-reported claims 19 Nonbank-reported claims 20 U.S. purchase of foreign securities, net 21 U.S. direct investments abroad, net -97,953 -59,975 -7,396 -4,271 -26,311 -86,363 -42,119 5,201 -5,251 -44,194 -81,544 -54,481 -1,684 -7,846 -17,533 -32,467 -26,229 255 -1,592 -4,901 -38,332 -30,916 4,569 -3,047 -8,938 -28,367 -22,132 1,835 -2,568 -5,502 12,781 27,238 -2,954 -5,737 -5,766 -41,804 -20,702 23 24 25 26 27 22 Change in foreign official assets in United States (increase, +) U.S. Treasury securities Other U.S. government obligations Other U.S. government liabilities Other U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks3 Other foreign official assets 35,594 34,364 -1,214 2,141 1,187 -884 45,193 43,238 1,564 -2,520 3,918 -1,007 38,882 41,683 1,309 -1,284 -331 -2,495 -2,234 -3,769 572 -232 1,703 -508 10,589 11,897 697 -232 -1,036 -737 7,477 4,634 721 -304 1,974 452 -5,201 -9,738 -97 417 3,620 597 11,246 12,068 190 -547 -1,117 652 28 Change in foreign private assets in United States (increase, +) , 29 U.S. bank-reported liabilities^ 30 U.S. nonbank-reported liabilities 31 Foreign private purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, net 32 Foreign purchases of other U.S. securities, net 33 Foreign direct investments in United States, net 186,011 79,783 -2,641 3,809 70,969 34,091 172,847 89,026 2,450 -7,643 42,120 46,894 180,417 68,832 6,558 20,144 26,448 58,435 48,413 23,291 2,350 3,422 7,454 11,896 70,170 32,223 2,702 5,336 6,871 23,038 52,529 13,261 2,852 8,590 8,665 19,161 3,412 -21,422 -361 2,252 9,676 13,267 61,236 25,688 0 11,308 0 1,878 0 -10,641 0 24,047 -4,556 0 -19,434 4,431 0 1,702 4,127 0 33,496 -2,311 0 -2,639 -5,115 11,308 1,878 -10,641 28,603 -23,865 -2,425 35,807 2,476 34 Allocation of SDRs 35 Discrepancy 36 Owing to seasonal adjustments 37 Statistical discrepancy in recorded data before seasonal adjustment -10,138 -10,964 13,034 11,082 11,432 MEMO Changes in official assets U.S. official reserve assets (increase, —) Foreign official assets in United States (increase, +) excluding line 25 40 Change in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries official assets in United States (part of line 22 above) 41 Transfers under military grant programs (excluded from lines 4, 6, and 10 above) 38 39 312 9,149 -3,566 -7,380 2,271 -4,000 -12,095 -5,996 33,453 47,713 40,166 -2,002 10,821 7,781 -5,618 11,793 -9,327 -9,956' -3,109 -459 672 7,143 433 3,776 96 53 92 7 40 12 13 15 1. Seasonal factors are not calculated for lines 6, 10, 12-16, 18-20, 22-34, and 38-41. 2. Data are on an international accounts (IA) basis. Differs from the Census basis data, shown in table 3.11, for reasons of coverage and timing. Military exports are excluded from merchandise data and are included in line 6. 3. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 4. Primarily associated with military sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. 5. Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securities of private corporations and state and local governments. NOTE. Data are from Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A56 3.11 International Statistics • March 1990 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE 1 Millions of dollars; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. 1989 Item 1986 1987 1988 May June July Aug. Sept/ Oct/ Nov." 1 EXPORTS of domestic and foreign merchandise excluding grant-aid shipments, f.a.s. value 227,158 254,073 322,426 30,455 31,286 30,468 30,562 30,680 31,034 30,192 GENERAL IMPORTS including merchandise for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses 2 Customs value 365,438 406,241 440,952 40,534 39,293 38,709 40,662 39,194 41,283 40,689 -138,279 -152,169 -118,526 -10,079 -8,007 -8,241 -10,101 -8,513 -10,249 -10,498 Trade balance 3 Customs value 1. The Census basis data differ from merchandise trade data shown in table 3.10, U.S. International Transactions Summary, for reasons of coverage and timing. On the export side, the largest adjustment is the exclusion of military sales (which are combined with other military transactions and reported separately in the "service account" in table 3.10, line 6). On the import side, additions are made for gold, ship purchases, imports of electricity from Canada, and other transac- 3.12 tions; military payments are excluded and shown separately as indicated above. As of Jan. 1, 1987 census data are released 45 days after the end of the month; the previous month is revised to reflect late documents. Total exports and the trade balance reflect adjustments for undocumented exports to Canada. SOURCE. FT900 "Summary of U.S. Export and Import Merchandise Trade" (Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census). U.S. RESERVE ASSETS Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Type 1986 1987 1988 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec/ 1 Total 43,186 48,511 45,798 60,502 63,462 62,364 68,418 70,560 70,560 74,609 2 Gold stock, including Exchange Stabilization Fund 11,090 11,064 11,078 11,063 11,066 11,066 11,065 11,062 11,060 11,059 7,293 8,395 10,283 9,034 9,340 9,240 9,487 9,473 9,751 9,951 3 Special drawing rights2,3 4 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 11,947 11,730 11,349 8,888 9,055 8,644 8,786 8,722 9,047 9,048 5 Foreign currencies4 12,856 17,322 13,088 31,517 34,001 33,413 39,080 41,552 42,702 44,551 1. Gold held under earmark at Federal Reserve Banks for foreign and international accounts is not included in the gold stock of the United States; see table 3.13. Gold stock is valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce. 2. Beginning July 1974, the IMF adopted a technique for valuing the SDR based on a weighted average of exchange rates for the currencies of member countries. From July 1974 through December 1980, 16 currencies were used; from January 1981, 5 currencies have been used. The U.S. SDR holdings and reserve position in the IMF also are valued on this basis beginning July 1974. 3.13 3. Includes allocations by the International Monetary Fund of SDRs as follows: $867 million on Jan. 1, 1970; $717 million on Jan. 1, 1971; $710 million on Jan. 1, 1972; $1,139 million on Jan. 1, 1979; $1,152 million on Jan. 1, 1980; and $1,093 million on Jan. 1, 1981; plus transactions in SDRs. 4. Valued at current market exchange rates. FOREIGN OFFICIAL ASSETS HELD AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS' Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Assets 1986 1987 1988 June 1 Deposits Assets held in custody i 2 U.S. Treasury securities 3 Earmarked gold3 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 287 244 347 275 371 265 325 252 307 589 155,835 14,048 195,126 13,919 232,547 13,636 229,914 13,545 233,170 13,530 238,007 13,516 235,597 13,506 230,804 13,460 231,059 13,458 224,911 13,456 1. Excludes deposits and U.S. Treasury securities held for international and regional organizations. 2. Marketable U.S. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds; and nonmarketable U.S. Treasury securities payable in dollars and in foreign currencies. July 3. Earmarked gold and the gold stock are valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce, Earmarked gold is gold held for foreign and international accounts and is not included in the gold stock of the United States. Summary Statistics 3.14 FOREIGN BRANCHES OF U.S. BANKS A57 Balance Sheet Data1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Asset account 1986 1987 1988 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. All foreign countries 1 Total, all currencies 2 Claims on United States 3 Parent bank 4 Other banks in United States 5 Nonbanks 6 Claims on foreigners 7 Other branches of parent bank 8 Banks 9 Public borrowers 10 Nonbank foreigners 456,628 518,618 505,595r 521,436 523,674 534,200 522,489 520,845 533,641 549,126 114,563 83,492 13,685 17,386 312,955 96,281 105,237 23,706 87,731 138,034 105,845 16,416 15,773 342,520 122,155 108,859 21,832 89,674 169,111 129,856 14,918 24,337 299,728 107,179 96,932 17,163 78,454 177,987 134,026 13,040 30,921 302,808 116,506 94,042 16,095 76,165 177,445 132,380 14,218 30,847 303,720 115,913 94,902 16,709 76,196 179,615 133,135 15,744 30,736 310,426 117,438 95,621 16,948 80,419 177,299 134,479 15,225 27,595 299,265 108,893 92,465 16,656 81,251 182,440 142,339 14,164 25,937 289,996 104,683 90,510 16,215 78,588 184,505' 145,034' 14,248' 25,223' 300,814' 110,684' 93,357 16,721 80,052 193,215 152,021 15,405 25,789 306,291 113,732 95,249 16,139 81,171 29,110 38,064 36,756' 40,641 42,509 44,159 45,925 48,409 48,322' 49,620 12 Total payable in U.S. dollars 317,487 350,107 357,573' 366,315 367,562 371,851 369,287 359,924 369,898' 380,948 13 Claims on United States 14 Parent bank 15 Other banks in United States 16 Nonbanks 17 Claims on foreigners 18 Other branches of parent bank 19 Banks 20 Public borrowers 21 Nonbank foreigners 110,620 82,082 12,830 15,708 195,063 72,197 66,421 16,708 39,737 132,023 103,251 14,657 14,115 202,428 88,284 63,707 14,730 35,707 163,456 126,929 14,167 22,360 177,685 80,736 54,884 12,131 29,934 169,796 128,771 11,909 29,116 177,308 86,625 49,793 11,282 29,608 169,520 127,352 13,207 28,961 180,013 88,874 50,627 11,815 28,697 171,041 128,063 14,734 28,244 181,441 90,077 49,913 11,616 29,835 170,497 130,168 14,688 25,641 177,911 83,036 50,885 11,774 32,216 174,628 137,481 13,217 23,930 164,461 77,858 46,786 11,646 28,171 176,228' 139,224' 13,597 23,407' 171,691' 83,945' 47,349 11,579 28,818 185,408 147,104 14,648 23,656 171,506 82,265 49,045 11,446 28,750 11,804 15,656 16,432' 19,211 18,029 19,369 20,879 20,835 21,979' 24,034 11 Other assets 22 Other assets United Kingdom 23 Total, all currencies 140,917 158,695 156,835 155,532 153,968 161,882 158,860 157,673 164,155 166,003 24 Claims on United States 25 Parent bank 26 Other banks in United States 27 Nonbanks 28 Claims on foreigners 29 Other branches of parent bank 30 Banks 31 Public borrowers 32 Nonbank foreigners 24,599 19,085 1,612 3,902 109,508 33,422 39,468 4,990 31,628 32,518 27,350 1,259 3,909 115,700 39,903 36,735 4,752 34,310 40,089 34,243 1,123 4,723 106,388 35,625 36,765 4,019 29,979 39,599 35,642 1,243 2,714 104,504 35,537 37,412 3,627 27,928 38,014 33,763 1,125 3,126 103,773 34,948 37,357 3,599 27,869 42,147 37,713 1,121 3,313 106,586 35,440 36,519 3,788 30,839 41,914 38,031 1,112 2,771 102,231 32,392 36,073 3,586 30,180 40,085 36,046 1,265 2,774 102,097 32,611 37,146 3,265 29,075 42,424' 38,938 1,200 2,286' 106,430 35,252 38,048 3,346 29,784 44,662 40,743 1,303 2,616 105,612 35,071 36,468 3,172 30,901 6,810 10,477 10,358 11,429 12,181 13,149 14,715 15,491 34 Total payable in U.S. dollars 95,028 100,574 103,503 101,612 99,028 103,512 104,036 99,238 35 Claims on United States 36 Parent bank 37 Other banks in United States 38 Nonbanks 39 Claims on foreigners 40 Other branches of parent bank 41 Banks 42 Public borrowers 43 Nonbank foreigners 23,193 18,526 1,475 3,192 68,138 26,361 23,251 3,677 14,849 30,439 26,304 1,044 3,091 64,560 28,635 19,188 3,313 13,424 38,012 33,252 964 3,796 60,472 28,474 18,494 2,840 10,664 36,675 34,119 862 1,694 58,395 26,036 18,458 2,737 11,164 34,990 32,059 844 2,087 58,746 26,541 18,745 2,606 10,854 38,506 36,041 821 1,644 59,137 27,955 17,080 2,702 11,400 39,135 36,375 1,007 1,753 57,706 25,368 18,298 2,679 11,361 37,108 34,537 1,017 1,554 55,340 25,542 17,612 2,521 9,665 39,715' 37,404 951 1,360' 59,389 28,084 18,275 2,553 10,477 41,506 39,199 966 1,341 57,029 26,969 16,963 2,404 10,693 3,697 5,575 5,019 6,542 5,292 5,869 7,195 6,790 7,765' 8,192 33 Other assets 44 Other assets 15,301' 106,869 15,729 106,727 Bahamas and Caymans 45 Total, all currencies 46 Claims on United States 47 Parent bank 48 Other banks in United States 49 Nonbanks 50 Claims on foreigners 51 Other branches of parent bank 52 Banks 53 Public borrowers 54 Nonbank foreigners 55 Other assets 56 Total payable in U.S. dollars 142,592 160,321 170,639 173,137 171,780 172,789 165,401 164,684 164,836 172,762 78,048 54,575 11,156 12,317 60,005 17,296 27,476 7,051 8,182 85,318 60,048 14,277 10,993 70,162 21,277 33,751 7,428 7,706 105,320 73,409 13,145 18,766 58,393 17,954 28,268 5,830 6,341 111,823 73,627 10,807 27,389 53,984 21,962 21,184 5,280 5,558 109,800 70,735 12,116 26,949 54,537 22,324 21,202 5,540 5,471 107,831 67,417 13,712 26,702 57,135 24,462 21,591 5,405 5,677 106,693 69,404 13,294 23,995 50,808 16,802 20,688 5,407 7,911 111,043 76,426 12,141 22,476 45,962 14,688 20,162 5,435 5,677 109,910 75,900 12,059' 21,951' 47,214 16,961 19,579 5,289 5,385 115,373 79,941 13,185 22,247 49,063 17,086 21,641 5,340 4,9% 4,539 4,841 6,926 7,330 7,443 7,823 7,900 7,679 7,712 8,326 136,813 151,434 163,518 166,869 165,676 167,259 160,821 160,274 159,643 167,182 1. Beginning with June 1984 data, reported claims held by foreign branches have been reduced by an increase in the reporting threshold for "shell" branches from $50 million to $150 million equivalent in total assets, the threshold now applicable to all reporting branches. A58 International Statistics • March 1990 3.14—Continued Liability account 1986 1987 May July Aug. Sept. Oct. All foreign countries 57 Total, all currencies 456,628 518,618 505,595' 521,436 523,674 534,200 522,489 520,845 533,641 549,126 58 Negotiable CDs 59 To United States 60 Parent bank 61 Other banks in United States 62 Nonbanks 31,629 152,465 83,394 15,646 53,425 30,929 161,390 87,606 20,355 53,429 28,511 185,577 114,720 14,737 56,120 29,425 178,852' 110,579 13,564 54,709' 28,116 179,902' 113,395 12,951 53,556' 28,882 177,739' 110,326 13,323 54,090' 29,524 177,542' 110,917 13,269 53,356' 26,679 183,203' 121,003 13,015 49,185' 26,776 183,576' 123,229' 11,476 48,871' 26,555 190,472 128,739 11,179 50,554 63 To foreigners 64 Other branches of parent bank 65 Banks 66 Official institutions 67 Nonbank foreigners 68 Other liabilities 253,775 95,146 77,809 17,835 62,985 18,759 304,803 124,601 87,274 19,564 73,364 21,496 270,923 111,267 72,842 15,183 71,631 20,584' 288,260' 121,135 72,897' 17,795 76,433' 24,899 289,559' 118,950 74,209' 17,559 78,841' 26,097 301,389' 119,571 80,069' 18,846 82,903' 26,190 288,566' 113,752' 75,589' 17,591 81,634' 26,857 283,435' 104,853' 77,618' 17,349 83,615' 27,528 294,486' 114,180' 75,758' 19,361 85,187' 28,803 302,316 116,016 80,668 18,937 86,695 29,783 69 Total payable in U.S. dollars 336,406 361,438 367,483 376,474 378,331 381,879 379,771 371,301 384,495' 393,001 70 Negotiable CDs 71 To United States 72 Parent bank 73 Other banks in United States . 74 Nonbanks 28,466 144,483 79,305 14,609 50,569 26,768 148,442 81,783 18,951 47,708 24,045 173,190 107,150 13,468 52,572 25,411 166,165' 102,643 11,944 51,578' 24,129 167,261' 105,074 11,537 50,65c 24,914 163,804' 100,726 11,845 51,233' 25,483 166,041' 103,3% 11,964 50,681' 22,927 170,512' 112,255 11,837 46,42C 22,260 171,458' 115,314' 10,273 45,871' 22,539 179,313 121,914 9,881 47,518 75 To foreigners 76 Other branches of parent bank 77 Banks 78 Official institutions 79 Nonbank foreigners 80 Other liabilities 156,806 71,181 33,850 12,371 39,404 6,651 177,711 90,469 35,065 12,409 39,768 8,517 160,766 84,021 28,493 8,224 40,028 9,482 173,197' 90,123 29,561' 9,255 44,258' 11,701 175,349' 90,850 29,682' 9,852 44,965' 11,592 180,972' 91,713 31,215' 11,176 46,868' 12,189 175,27C 87,123' 31,939' 10,680 45,528' 12,977 165,321' 77,987' 30,232' 10,195 46,907' 12,541 177,703' 85,781' 31,986' 11,445 48,491' 13,074 177,413 83,520 32,775 11,712 49,406 13,736 United Kingdom 81 Total, all currencies 140,917 158,695 156,835 155,532 153,968 161,882 158,860 157,673 164,155 166,003 82 Negotiable CDs 83 To United States 84 Parent bank 85 Other banks in United States 86 Nonbanks 27,781 24,657 14,469 2,649 7,539 26,988 23,470 13,223 1,536 8,711 24,528 36,784 27,849 2,037 6,898 25,539 30,867 20,329 1,720 8,818 24,396 30,013 22,037 1,648 6,328 25,342 29,954 19,885 1,852 8,217 25,905 31,551 21,841 1,767 7,943 23,122 31,076 24,013 1,687 5,376 23,152 34,181 25,061 2,002 7,118 22,837 33,192 25,138 1,464 6,590 87 To foreigners 88 Other branches of parent bank 89 Banks 90 Official institutions 91 Nonbank foreigners 92 Other liabilities 79,498 25,036 30,877 6,836 16,749 8,981 98,689 33,078 34,290 11,015 20,306 9,548 86,026 26,812 30,609 7,873 20,732 9,497 88,985 26,867 30,925 8,946 22,247 10,141 88,381 24,974 31,066 8,650 23,691 11,178 94,335 26,556 33,047 9,586 25,146 12,251 88,661 24,326 30,790 8,868 24,677 12,743 91,101 24,769 31,330 8,878 26,124 12,374 93,700 26,936 30,688 10,132 25,944 13,122 96,711 26,660 33,179 9,723 27,149 13,263 93 Total payable in U.S. dollars 99,707 102,550 105,907 104,356 101,742 105,700 106,915 102,361 110,358 109,169 94 Negotiable CDs 95 To United States 96 Parent bank 97 Other banks in United States . 98 Nonbanks 26,169 22,075 14,021 2,325 5,729 24,926 17,752 12,026 1,308 4,418 22,063 32,588 26,404 1,752 4,432 23,568 26,554 18,545 1,368 6,641 22,324 25,401 19,556 1,393 4,452 23,132 24,618 16,909 1,477 6,232 23,679 27,232 19,580 1,502 6,150 21,156 26,592 21,588 1,511 3,493 20,433 30,433 23,247 1,835 5,351 20,715 29,284 23,350 1,232 4,702 99 To foreigners 100 Other branches of parent bank 101 Banks 102 Official institutions 103 Nonbank foreigners 104 Other liabilities 48,138 17,951 15,203 4,934 10,050 3,325 55,919 22,334 15,580 7,530 10,475 3,953 47,083 18,561 13,407 4,348 10,767 4,173 49,006 18,030 13,930 4,796 12,250 5,228 48,491 16,467 13,545 5,579 12,900 5,526 52,179 18,388 14,173 6,131 13,487 5,771 49,913 17,060 13,578 5,825 13,450 6,091 48,557 16,673 12,331 5,532 14,021 6,056 52,902 18,926 13,177 6,605 14,194 6,590 52,321 16,925 13,687 6,754 14,955 6,849 Bahamas and Caymans 105 Total, all currencies 142,592 160,321 170,639 173,137 171,780 172,789 165,401 164,684 164,836 172,762 106 Negotiable CDs 107 To United States 108 Parent bank 109 Other banks in United States 110 Nonbanks 847 106,081 49,481 11,715 44,885 885 113,950 53,239 17,224 43,487 953 122,332 62,894 11,494 47,944 872 120,206' 64,908 10,398 44,900' 696 117,781' 61,642 10,034 46,105' 717 116,294' 61,263 10,197 44,834' 691 113,179' 58,765 10,076 44,338' 669 117,611' 64,859 10,026 42,726' 669 114,701' 66,292 8,088 40,321' 671 121,253 70,339 8,438 42,476 111 To foreigners 112 Other branches of parent ban 113 Banks 114 Official institutions 115 Nonbank foreigners 116 Other liabilities 34,400 12,631 8,617 2,719 10,433 1,264 43,815 19,185 10,769 1,504 12,357 1,671 45,161 23,686 8,336 1,074 12,065 2,193 48,958' 26,478 8,227' 1,164 13,089' 3,101 50,433' 27,763 8,318' 1,102 13,25(y 2,870 52,848' 29,085 8,308' 1,223 14,232' 2,930 48,712' 25,770' 8,613' 1,081 13,248' 2,819 43,818' 20,678' 8,802' 928 13,410' 2,586 46,906' 23,086' 8,985' 1,003 13,832' 2,560 47,289 23,880 8,442 1,131 13,836 3,549 117 Total payable in U.S. dollars .. 138,774 152,927 162,950 160,800 160,133 166,954 165,593 166,988 160,028 167,835 Summary Statistics 3.15 A59 SELECTED U.S. LIABILITIES TO FOREIGN OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Item 1987 1988 May 1 Total1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov." 259,556 By area Western Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa Other countries 299,782r 306,569' 302,299' 307,516' 317,591' 314,782' 315,118' 315,085 31,838 88,829 31,5^ 103,722 38,185' 91,798 37,490' 87,190 39,216' 87,734 38,171' 88,325 36,393' 86,350 42,148' 81,465 39,203 82,474 122,432 300 16,157 149,056 523 14,962 160,013 542 16,031 160,462 545 16,612' 163,281 549 16,736' 173,238 553 17,304' 174,037 557 17,445' 173,047 561 17,897' 174,733 564 18,111 124,620 4,961 8,328 116,098 1,402 4,147 By type Liabilities reported by banks in the United States U.S. Treasury bills and certificates3 U.S. Treasury bonds and notes Marketable Nonmarketable4 U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasury securities 125,097 9,584 10,099 145,608r 1,369 7,501 126,264' 9,938 6,091 156,180' 1,182 6,371 122,670' 9,604 5,925 155,454' 1,271 6,830 126,533' 9,424 7,166 155,786' 949 7,113 134,232 9,560 7,986 157,197' 810 7,257 133,694' 8,989 9,511 154,315' 867 6,849 133,922' 8,609 10,074 154,084' 910 6,959 137,382 9,066 10,221 149,503 1,019 7,329 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. 2. Principally demand deposits, time deposits, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, negotiable time certificates of deposit, and borrowings under repurchase agreements. 3. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness (including those payable in foreign currencies through 1974) and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 4. Excludes notes issued to foreign official nonreserve agencies. Includes 3.16 June bonds and notes payable in foreign currencies. 5. Debt securities of U.S. government corporations and federally sponsored agencies, and U.S. corporate stocks and bonds. 6. Includes countries in Oceania and Eastern Europe. NOTE. Based on Treasury Department data and on data reported to the Treasury Department by banks (including Federal Reserve Banks) and securities dealers in the United States. LIABILITIES TO A N D CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in Foreign Currencies1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Item 1985 1986 1989 1987 Dec. 1 Banks' own liabilities 2 Banks' own claims 3 Deposits 4 Other claims 5 Claims of banks' domestic customers 15,368 16,294 8,437 7,857 580 1. Data on claims exclude foreign currencies held by U.S. monetary authorities. 29,702 26,180 14,129 12,052 2,507 55,438 51,271 18,861 32,410 551 Mar.' June' Sept. 74,980' 68,983 25,100 43,884 364 76,545 72,904 25,938 46,966 376 69,067 62,758 23,845 38,913 723 72,560 70,715' 23,983 46,731' 2,558 2. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the accounts of the domestic customers. A60 3.17 International Statistics • March 1990 LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. dollars Reported by Banks in the United States 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Holder and type of liability 1986 1987 1988 May June' July Aug. Sept.' Oct.' Nov." 1 All foreigners 540,996 618,874 685,339' 678,480' 673,402 665,330' 679,994' 694,304 701,035 723,141 2 Banks' own liabilities 3 Demand deposits 4 Time deposits 5 Other. 6 Own foreign offices 406,485 23,789 130,891 42,705 209,100 470,070 22,383 148,374 51,677 247,635 514,532' 21,863 152,164' 51,366' 289,138' 512,755' 21,930' 154,169' 59,073' 277,583' 511,877 21,223 153,783 60,916 275,955 503,147' 21,363' 149,753' 64,303' 267,728' 516,883' 19,718 155,494' 63,732' 277,939' 530,517 21,550 157,273 56,157 295,536 540,383 21,089 162,100 65,437 291,757 560,752 21,657 165,184 65,914 307,997 134,511 90,398 148,804 101,743 170,807' 115,056 165,725 102,734 161,524 98,893 162,184 99,365 163,111 99,683 163,787 99,209 160,652 95,278 162,389 96,355 15,417 28,696 16,776 30,285 16,426 39,325' 18,541 44,451 17,077 45,555 16,893 45,925 17,260 46,168 17,091 47,487 16,741 48,633 16,116 49,918 11 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations8 5,807 4,464 3,224 3,415 3,817 4,240 4,418 4,945 6,316 6,337 12 Banks' own liabilities 13 Demand deposits 14 Time deposits 15 Other 3,958 199 2,065 1,693 2,702 124 1,538 1,040 2,527 71 1,183 1,272 2,980 76 1,202 1,702 2,895 32 1,454 1,409 2,716 41 918 1,756 3,402 66 1,079 2,257 3,347 89 1,702 1,555 4,280 53 1,615 2,613 5,019 62 1,446 3,512 16 Banks' custody liabilities5 17 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 18 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 19 Other 1,849 259 1,761 265 698 57 435 95 922 181 1,524 345 1,016 107 1,598 84 2,036 568 1,318 321 1,590 0 1,497 0 641 0 305 35 731 10 1,179 0 909 1 1,479 35 1,454 14 996 0 7 Banks' custody liabilities5 8 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 9 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 10 Other 20 Official institutions9 103,569 120,667 135,241' 129,983' 124,680 126,951' 126,496' 122,743 123,613 121,676 21 Banks' own liabilities 22 Demand deposits 23 Time deposits 24 Other 25,427 2,267 10,497 12,663 28,703 1,757 12,843 14,103 27,109' 1,917' 9,767' 15,425' 31,886' 1,761 11,180' 18,945' 32,167 1,801 10,033 20,332 34,132' 1,959' 10,072' 22,101' 33,238' 1,625 8,837 22,776' 31,615 2,026 8,994 20,595 37,111 2,057 11,877 23,177 34,272 2,118 11,200 20,954 25 Banks' custody liabilities5 26 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 27 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 28 Other 78,142 75,650 91,965 88,829 108,132 103,722 98,097 91,798 92,513 87,190 92,818 87,734 93,258 88,325 91,127 86,350 86,502 81,465 87,404 82,474 2,347 145 2,990 146 4,130 280 6,114 185 5,080 244 4,821 263 4,735 198 4,588 189 4,734 303 4,805 125 29 Banks 351,745 414,280 459,523' 455,183' 452,396 443,172' 457,463' 476,027 477,952 501,912 30 Banks' own liabilities 31 Unaffiliated foreign banks 32 Demand deposits 33 Time deposits 34 Other . 35 Own foreign offices 310,166 101,066 10,303 64,232 26,531 209,100 371,665 124,030 10,898 79,717 33,415 247,635 409,501' 120,362' 9,948' 80,189' 30,226' 289,138' 400,564' 122,981' 11,172' 78,517' 33,293' 277,583' 3%,662 120,707 9,677 77,874 33,156 275,955 387,306' 119,578' 10,145 75,166' 34,267' 267,728' 400,975' 123,036' 9,101 80,603' 33,333' 277,939' 415,761 120,225 10,695 80,789 28,741 295,536 416,766 125,009 9,884 83,327 31,798 291,757 439,580 131,582 10,756 86,690 34,136 307,997 41,579 9,984 42,615 9,134 50,022' 7,602 54,619 7,114 55,734 7,759 55,865 7,674 56,488 7,838 60,265 9,032 61,186 9,251 62,332 9,499 5,165 26,431 5,392 28,089 5,725 36,694' 5,686 41,819 5,314 42,662 5,326 42,866 5,284 43,365 5,095 46,138 4,770 47,165 4,446 48,388 10 36 Banks' custody liabilities5 37 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 38 Other negotiable7 and readily transferable instruments 39 Other 40 Other foreigners 79,875 79,463 87,351' 89,898' 92,509 90,968' 91,617' 90,590 93,154 93,215 41 Banks' own liabilities 42 Demand deposits 43 Time deposits 44 Other 66,934 11,019 54,097 1,818 67,000 9,604 54,277 3,119 75,396' 9,928 61,025 4,443' 77,324' 8,921 63,270' 5,133' 80,153 9,714 64,422 6,018 78,992' 9,218 63,596' 6,179' 79,268' 8,926 64,975' 5,367' 79,793 8,739 65,787 5,267 82,226 9,095 65,281 7,849 81,881 8,721 65,848 7,312 45 Banks' custody liabilities5 46 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates6 47 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 48 Other 12,941 4,506 12,463 3,515 11,956 3,675 12,574 3,725 12,355 3,763 11,976 3,612 12,349 3,413 10,796 3,743 10,928 3,993 11,334 4,061 6,315 2,120 6,898 2,050 5,929 2,351 6,436 2,412 5,952 2,639 5,566 2,797 6,332 2,604 5,929 1,125 5,783 1,152 5,869 1,405 7,496 7,314 6,425 5,625 5,337 5,261 5,199 5,237 5,160 4,799 49 MEMO: Negotiable time certificates of deposit in custody for foreigners 1. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Excludes negotiable time certificates of deposit, which are included in "Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments." 3. Includes borrowing under repurchase agreements. 4. U.S. banks: includes amounts due to own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due to head office or parent foreign bank, and foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or parent foreign bank. 5. Financial claims on residents of the United States, other than long-term securities, held by or through reporting banks. 6. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 7. Principally bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 8. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and the Inter-American and Asian Development Banks. Data exclude "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 9. Foreign central banks, foreign central governments, and the Bank for International Settlements. 10. Excludes central banks, which are included in "Official institutions." Nonbank-Reported Data 3.17—Continued 1989 Area and country 1986 1987 1988 May r June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov." 1 Total 540,996 618,874 685,339 678,480' 673,402' 665,33C 679,994' 694,304' 701,035 723,141 2 Foreign countries 535,189 614,411 682,115'' 675,064' 669,585' 661,091' 675,576' 689,359' 694,719 716,804 180,556 1,181 6,729 482 580 22,862 5,762 700 10,875 5,600 735 699 2,407 884 30,534 454 85,334 630 3,326 80 702 234,641 920 9,347 760 377 29,835 7,022 689 12,073 5,014 1,362 801 2,621 1,379 33,766 703 116,852 710 9,798 32 582 231,912'' 1,155 10,022r 2,200 285' 24,777' 6,772 672 14,599 5,316 1,559 903 5,494 1,284' 34,199' 1,012 111,811' 529 8,598 138 591 223,353' 1,405 8,826' 1,642 433' 24,203' 7,801' 1,172 12,532' 5,870 1,479 996' 5,424' 1,552 28,453' 785 107,742' 520' 11,889' 193 435 222,164' 1,508' 8,631' 1,179 451' 23,868' 9,363' 889 13,965' 4,875 1,485 1,100' 5,09C 1,478 28,811' 737 103,173' 558 14,342' 164 499 222,146' 1,417 8,949 1,348 436' 22,290 8,875' 862 12,892 5,029 1,522 1,419 5,910 1,248 28,581 1,053 105,310' 604 13,667' 175 559 226,366' 1,404 9,286 1,956 460 24,864 7,651 828 14,597 5,106 1,453 1,945 5,390 2,002 28,931 1,022 104,055' 691 13,824 201 699 222,040' 1,345 10,158' 1,265 519' 23,031' 8,345 797 14,542' 4,989' 1,698 2,206 5,277 1,680' 29,001' 1,085' 102,210' 774 12,312' 244 562 232,219 1,193 10,841 1,280 464 23,868 8,700 847 14,220 5,415 1,342 2,291 4,986 1,663 29,552 1,199 106,749 858 15,820 338 593 240,938 1,489 10,306 1,794 577 25,920 9,017 1,024 14,643 7,039 1,952 2,248 4,888 1,920 31,492 1,397 108,432 1,016 14,733 286 764 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland 8 France 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 15 Spain 16 Sweden 17 Switzerland 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 20 Yugoslavia 21 Other Western Europe1 22 U.S.S.R 23 Other Eastern Europe 26,345 30,095 21,062' 18,353 17,514 17,472 16,958 17,960 16,670 18,161 25 Latin America and Caribbean 26 Argentina 27 Bahamas 28 Bermuda 29 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile 32 Colombia 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 35 Guatemala 36 Jamaica 37 Mexico 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru 41 Uruguay 42 Venezuela 43 Other 210,318 4,757 73,619 2,922 4,325 72,263 2,054 4,285 7 1,236 1,123 136 13,745 4,970 6,886 1,163 1,537 10,171 5,119 220,372 5,006 74,767 2,344 4,005 81,494 2,210 4,204 12 1,082 1,082 160 14,480 4,975 7,414 1,275 1,582 9,048 5,234 271,146' 7,804 86,863 2,621 5,314' 113,840' 2,936 4,374 10 1,379 1,195 269 15,185 6,420 4,353 1,671 1,898 9,147 5,868 275,60c 6,459 90,95c 2,451 5,307' 116,491' 2,988 4,033 15 1,285 1,232 188 14,060 6,072 4,453' 1,724 2,344 9,417' 6,130' 271,445' 6,320 82,312' 2,321' 5,004' 121,385' 2,690' 4,127 10 1,351 1,251 294 14,27C 6,316 4,278 1,761 2,429 9,423' 5,903 266,403' 7,397 84,526 2,269 5,396 113,243' 2,683 4,235 9 1,411 1,297 227 13,705' 6,434 4,357 1,770 2,152 9,500 5,790 275,557' 8,047 90,317 2,209 5,539 115,87C 2,739 4,365 10 1,376 1,279 231 13,769 6,071 4,400 1,778 2,121 9,398 6,039 284,9%' 8,446 90,622 2,124 5,892 122,677' 2,765 4,199 14 1,363 1,293 233 14,981 6,062' 4,424 1,828 2,340 9,520 6,213 282,999 8,068 93,119 2,458 6,079 117,395 3,013 4,887 10 1,342 1,276 206 14,641 5,950 4,393 1,901 2,214 9,550 6,495 293,407 7,693 96,273 2,549 6,433 124,799 3,116 4,680 15 1,324 1,289 189 13,851 6,243 4,355 1,922 2,314 9,799 6,563 44 108,831 121,288 147,838' 147,393' 148,449' 144,106' 145,917' 153,564' 150,748 150,425 1,476 18,902 9,393 674 1,547 1,892 47,410 1,141 1,866 1,119 12,352 11,058 1,162 21,503 10,180 582 1,404 1,292 54,322 1,637 1,085 1,345 13,988 12,788 1,895' 26,058 12,248' 699 1,180 1,461 74,015' 2,541 1,163 1,236 12,083 13,260' 1,652 26,931' 12,215 1,009 1,306 1,103 70,505' 3,166 991 1,162 13,505 13,851 1,432 27,025 12,134' 812 1,232 1,088 71,198' 3,047 984 1,274 13,612 14,612' 1,522 27,128' 11,346 871 1,0% 1,058 68.70C 3,556 936 1,254 12,368 14,271 1,700 25,427 12,268 940 1,042 953 71,028' 2,907 1,083 1,776 12,524 14,270 1,804 24,119 12,292 875 1,042 1,041 78,824 3,037 1,055 1,430 13,021' 15,024' 1,985 22,402 12,124 836 1,144 2,221 73,361 3,099 1,148 1,686 13,450 17,293 1,635 21,359 11,895 989 1,300 1,081 74,657 3,359 1,242 1,887 13,574 17,448 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco 60 South Africa 61 Zaire 62 Oil-exporting countries 63 Other 4,021 706 92 270 74 1,519 1,360 3,945 1,151 194 202 67 1,014 1,316 3,991 911 68 437 85 1,017 1,474 3,802 702 68 324 92 879 1,737 3,904 748 67 188 98 1,100 1,702 3,618 738 66 231 92 942 1,548 3,265 549 72 201 87 897 1,459 3,536 574 % 246 81 1,036 1,502 3,486 577 71 220 71 1,046 1,501 3,747 633 75 291 60 1,143 1,546 64 Other countries 65 Australia 66 All other 5,118 4,196 922 4,070 3,327 744 6,165 5,293 872 6,563 5,700 863 6,108 5,192 916 7,346 6,620 726 7,513 6,721 792 7,262' 6,518' 744 8,597 8,046 551 10,126 9,433 692 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations International Latin American regional Other regional6 5,807 4,620 1,033 154 4,464 2,830 1,272 362 3,224 2,503 589 133 3,415 2,456 564 395 3,817' 3,030' 613 175 4,240 2,881 %1 397 4,418 3,084 690 644 4,945 3,390 1,201 353 6,316 4,998 919 400 6,337 5,201 586 551 24 Canada 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Middle-East oil-exporting countries Other 68 69 70 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements and Eastern European countries that are not listed in line 23. 2. Comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 5. Excludes "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 6. Asian, African, Middle Eastern, and European regional organizations, except the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." A61 A62 3.18 International Statistics • March 1990 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States 1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Area and country 1986 1987 1988 May June' July' Aug.' Sept.' Oct.' Nov." 1 Total 444,745 459,877 491,165' 491,219' 491,103 481,051 488,861 499,388 514,552 534,211 2 Foreign countries 441,724 456,472 489,094r 487,437' 487,626 477,264 485,737 4%,466 511,850 531,537 107,823 728 7,498 688 987 11,356 1,816 648 9,043 3,296 672 739 1,492 1,964 3,352 , 1,543 58,335 1,835 102,348 793 9,397 717 1,010 13,548 2,039 462 7,460 2,619 934 477 1,853 2,254 2,718 1,680 50,823 1,700 619 389 852 116,928' 483' 8,515r 483' 1,065 13,243 2,329' 433 7,936 2,541' 455 261' 1,823 1,977 3,895 1,233 65,706' 1,390 1,152 1,255 754 112,957' 764 8,441' 476' 1,280 16,108' 3,965' 595 5,639' 3,197' 567 291' 2,209 2,158 3,975 910 58,077' 1,366 966 1,155 8^ 112,201 809 7,781 774 1,175 15,575 3,695 632 6,813 2,032 667 328 2,190 1,946 5,485 886 56,844 1,359 1 161 1,212 838 106,459 854 7,558 562 1,395 16,008 3,461 602 5,994 1,957 796 283 2,092 2,003 4,123 891 53,464 1,406 974 1,227 810 107,359 549 7,510 768 1,401 16,415 3,316 624 5,494 1,454 665 264 1,738 2,046 4,479 960 54,809 1,346 1 247 U456 819 111,180 480 7,404 557 1,233 16,249 3,463 634 6,043 1,994 644 252 1,684 2,286 5,018 1,028 57,187 1,338 113,432 580 7,510 513 1,707 16,391 3,371 650 5,577 1,899 647 258 1,733 2,087 4,522 1,021 59,840 1,373 1 504 1,453 794 111,948 569 6,605 609 1,179 15,972 2,657 700 5,717 2,259 635 275 1,836 2,555 4,940 1,044 59,906 1,281 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland 8 France 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 15 Spain 16 Sweden 17 Switzerland 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 20 Yugoslavia 71 22 U.S.S.R 23 Other Eastern Europe 24 Canada 345 948 1,574 799 1,080 884 21,006 25,368 18,889 16,075' 16,236 14,493 15,073 14,763 13,800 16,176 208,825 12,091 59,342 418 25,716 46,284 6,558 2,821 0 2,439 140 198 30,698 1,041 5,436 1,661 940 11,108 1,936 214,789 11,996 64,587 471 25,897 50,042 6,308 2,740 1 2,286 144 188 29,532 980 4,744 1,329 963 10,843 1,738 214,264' 11,826 66,954' 483 25,735 55,888' 5,217 2,944 1 2,075 198 212 24,637 1,306' 2,521' 1,013 910 10,733 1,612' 218,320' 11,381 70,552 449 25,785 58,326' 5,266 2,600 1 1,944 207 265 24,052' 978' 2,453' 938 832 10,600 1,691' 219,855 10,840 66,611 391 25,675 65,359 4,863 2,583 1 1,895 201 286 23,703 1,179 2,423 874 896 10,569 1,503 217,371 10,705 70,488 463 25,824 59,670 4,793 2,525 9 1,933 189 270 23,369 1,159 2,320 867 854 10,269 1,665 216,073 10,730 68,113 522 25,597 61,493 4,803 2,504 1 1,918 203 272 23,169 1,022 2,030 870 866 10,024 1,936 219,948 10,460 70,906 1,104 24,999 63,543 4,707 2,477 1 1,905 196 282 22,813 1,103 1,834 823 899 10,064 1,833 219,974 10,442 71,422 804 25,075 62,802 4,601 2,800 1 1,864 270 22,751 1,133 1,837 851 903 10,269 1,960 231,742 10,273 78,609 847 24,432 68,239 4,496 2,784 1 1,858 190 260 23,281 1,022 1,792 849 902 10,119 1,787 96,126 106,096 130,881' 131,634' 130,590 130,369 137,687 140,704 153,753 158,912 787 2,681 8,307 321 723 1,634 59,674 7,182 2,217 578 4,122 7,901 968 4,592 8,218 510 580 1,363 68,658 5,148 2,071 496 4,858 8,635 762 4,184 10,143' 560 674 1,136 90,149' 5,213' 1,876 848' 6,213 9,122 952 3,718' 8,855 411 690 1,047' 93,504' 5,332' 1,810 974' 5,522 8,818 920 4,058 8,557 537 671 1,021 91,103 5,608 1,763 1,056 6,550 8,745 644 3,949 8,153 477 645 964 91,806 5,774 1,607 1,060 5,550 9,741 575 3,356 8,800 547 614 911 96,118 6,007 1,543 1,117 8,879 9,221 615 3,331 10,358 638 615 859 97,699 5,686 1,617 1,203 8,581 9,502 594 2,831 10,052 617 685 1,185 110,444 5,713 1,549 1,058 8,357 10,669 610 2,677 10,441 637 655 758 114,658 5,846 1,478 1,076 8,750 11,324 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco 60 South Africa 61 Zaire 62 Oil-exporting countries 63 Other 4,650 567 598 1,550 28 694 1,213 4,742 521 542 1,507 15 1,003 1,153 5,718 507 511 1,681 17 1,523 1,479 6,083' 541 538 1,753 19 1,504 1,728' 6,075 534 531 1,746 17 1,503 1,744 6,066 577 518 1,702 17 1,587 1,664 6,032 494 535 1,713 16 1,608 1,666 6,028 501 524 1,709 20 1,629 1,645 5,763 475 538 1,679 15 1,546 1,510 6,009 471 547 1,686 16 1,641 1,648 64 Other countries 65 Australia 66 All other 3,294 1,949 1,345 3,129 2,100 1,029 2,413' 1,520' 894 2,368' 1,170' 1,198' 2,670 1,307 1,363 2,505 1,518 987 3,512 2,499 1,013 3,843 3,078 765 5,129 4,301 828 6,750 6,174 576 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 3,021 3,404 2,071 3,782 3,477 3,787 3,124 2,922 2,701 2,675 25 Latin America and Caribbean 26 Argentina 27 Bahamas 28 Bermuda 29 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile 32 Colombia 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 4 35 Guatemala 36 Jamaica4 37 Mexico 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru 41 Uruguay 42 Venezuela 43 Other Latin America and Caribbean 44 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Middle East oil-exporting countries Other Asia 1. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Beginning April 1978, also includes Eastern European countries not listed in line 23. 3. Beginning April 1978 comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 188 4. Included in "Other Latin America and Caribbean" through March 1978. 5. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 6. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 7. Excludes the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." Nonbank-Reported Data 3.19 BANKS' OWN A N D DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS' CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States 1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Type of claim 1986 1987 1988' Mayr June' 491,219 64,276 257,514 130,269 67,331 62,937 39,160 491,103 63,164 258,548 128,295 68,177 60,119 41,095 Julyr Aug/ Sept/ 481,051 62,832 248,987 128,919 68,888 60,031 40,313 488,861 62,765 252,281 132,478 72,576 59,903 41,336 499,388 62,051 265,786 131,124 72,654 58,470 40,428 1 Total 478,650 497,635 538,689 2 Banks' own claims on foreigners 3 Foreign public borrowers 4 Own foreign offices 5 Unaffiliated foreign banks Deposits 6 7 Other 8 All other foreigners 444,745 64,095 211,533 122,946 57,484 65,462 46,171 459,877 64,605 224,727 127,609 60,687 66,922 42,936 491,165 62,658 257,436 129,425 65,898 63,527 41,646 33,905 4,413 37,758 3,692 47,524 8,289 49,531 11,153 26,696 25,700 22,017 7,370 13,535 16,362 23,107 19,596 16,810 40,909' 45,568 43,619 n.a. 12,828 43,984 534,211 61,742 296,552 133,827 75,599 58,228 42,090 16,609 25,706 514,552 63,384 276,422 131,228 72,229 59,000 43,517 24,286 5,448 Nov. p 52,154 11,259 24,044 Oct/ 9 Claims of banks' domestic customers 3 ... 11 540,634 551,543 Negotiable and readily transferable 12 Outstanding collections and other 13 MEMO: Customer liability on Dollar deposits in banks abroad, reported by nonbanking business enterprises in the United States . . . . 49,639 48,485 49,575 46,671 parent foreign bank. 3. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the account of their domestic customers. 4. Principally negotiable time certificates of deposit and bankers acceptances. 5. Includes demand and time deposits and negotiable and nonnegotiable certificates of deposit denominated in U.S. dollars issued by banks abroad. For description of changes in data reported by nonbanks, see July 1979 Bulletin, p. 550. 1. Data for banks' own claims are given on a monthly basis, but the data for claims of banks' own domestic customers are available on a quarterly basis only. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. U.S. banks: includes amounts due from own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due from head office or parent foreign bank, and foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or 3.20 46,740 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States 1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Maturity; by borrower and area 1985 1986 1989 1987 Dec/ 8 9 10 11 1? n 14 15 16 17 18 19 June' Sept. 227,903 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar/ By borrower Maturity of 1 year or less 2 Foreign public borrowers All other foreigners Maturity over 1 year Foreign public borrowers All other foreigners By area Maturity of 1 year or less Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia ; Africa All other3 Maturity of over 1 year Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa Mother 3 232,295 235,130 233,184 231,686 231,374 236,519 160,824 26,302 134,522 67,078 34,512 32,567 160,555 24,842 135,714 71,740 39,103 32,637 163,997 25,889 138,108 71,133 38,625 32,507 172,634 26,562 146,071 60,550 35,291 25,259 168,608 24,479 144,129 63,078 37,935 25,142 167,307 23,759 143,548 64,067 38,108 25,959 169,300 24,223 145,078 67,219 41,852 25,367 56,585 6,401 63,328 27,966 3,753 2,791 61,784 5,895 56,271 29,457 2,882 4,267 59,027 5,680 56,535 35,919 2,833 4,003 55,909 6,282 57,991 46,224 3,337 2,891 57,741 5,119 53,268 45,727 3,610 3,143 58,340 5,693 50,605 45,303 3,601 3,765 52,421 6,206 52,219 51,187 3,510 3,757 7,634 1,805 50,674 4,502 1,538 926 6,737 1,925 56,719 4,043 1,539 777 6,6% 2,661 53,817 3,830 1,747 2,381 4,666 1,922 47,547 3,613 2,301 501 4,508 2,309 49,790 3,699 2,292 480 4,664 2,592 50,107 3,823 2,408 472 8,862 2,459 48,628 4,214 2,472 584 1. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Remaining time to maturity, 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A63 A64 3.21 International Statistics • March 1990 CLAIMS ON FOREIGN COUNTRIES Held by U.S. Offices and Foreign Branches of U.S.-Chartered Banks1-2 Billions of dollars, end of period 1987 Area or country 1985 1988 1989 1986 Sept. 1 Total Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 389.1 386.5 387.9 382.4 371.4 352.2 354.3 346.8 345.9r 339.2r 344.6r 147.0 9.4 12.3 10.5 9.7 3.8 2.8 4.4 63.3 6.8 24.1 156.6 8.4 13.6 11.6 9.0 4.6 2.4 5.8 70.9 5.2 25.1 154.8 8.1 13.6 10.5 6.8 4.8 2.6 5.4 72.0 4.6 26.4 159.7 10.0 13.7 12.6 7.5 4.1 2.1 5.6 68.8 5.5 29.8 156.8 9.1 11.8 11.8 7.4 3.3 2.1 5.1 71.7 4.7 29.7 151.0 9.2 10.9 10.6 6.3 3.2 1.9 5.6 70.4 5.3 27.6 148.9 9.5 10.3 9.2 5.6 2.9 1.9 5.2 67.6 4.9 31.8 153.1 9.0 10.5 10.3 6.8 2.7 1.8 5.4 66.2 5.0 35.3 145.7 8.6 11.2 10.2 5.2 2.8 2.3 5.1 65.3r 4.0 30.9 144.7 7.8 10.8 10.6 6.1 2.8 1.8 5.4r 64.2' 5.1 30.1 145.7r 6.9 11.1 10.4 6.8 2.4 2.0 6.1 63.3r 5.9 30.8 13 Other developed countries 14 Austria 15 Denmark 16 Finland 17 Greece 18 Norway 19 Portugal 20 Spain 21 Turkey 22 Other Western Europe 23 South Africa 24 Australia 30.3 1.6 2.4 1.6 2.6 2.9 1.3 5.8 2.0 2.0 3.2 5.0 26.1 1.7 1.7 1.4 2.3 2.4 .9 5.8 2.0 1.5 3.0 3.4 26.3 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.9 2.0 .9 7.4 1.9 1.6 2.9 2.9 26.4 1.9 1.7 1.2 2.0 2.2 .6 8.0 2.0 1.6 2.9 2.4 26.4 1.6 1.4 1.0 2.3 1.9 .5 8.9 2.0 1.9 2.8 2.0 24.0 1.6 1.1 1.2 2.1 1.9 .4 7.2 1.8 1.7 2.8 2.2 23.0 1.6 1.2 1.3 2.1 2.0 .4 6.3 1.6 1.9 2.7 1.8 21.0 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 .4 6.2 1.5 1.3 2.4 1.8 21.0 1.4 1.1 1.0 2.1 1.6 .4 6.6 1.3 1.1 2.2 2.4 21. Y 1.7 1.4 1.0 2.3 1.8 .6 6.2 l.l r 1.1 2.1 1.9 20.9r 1.5' 1.1 1.1 2.3 1.4 .4 6.9 1.1 1.0 2.1 2.r 25 OPEC countries3 26 Ecuador 27 Venezuela 28 Indonesia 29 Middle East countries 30 African countries 21.5 2.1 9.0 3.0 5.4 2.0 19.4 2.2 8.7 2.5 4.3 1.8 19.2 2.1 8.3 2.0 5.0 1.8 17.4 1.9 8.1 1.9 3.6 1.9 17.6 1.9 8.1 1.8 3.9 1.9 17.0 1.8 8.0 1.8 3.5 1.9 17.9 1.8 7.9 1.8 4.6 1.9 16.6 1.7 7.9 1.7 3.4 1.9 16.2 1.6 7.9 1.7 3.3 1.7 16.0 1.5 7.5 1.9 3.4 1.6 16.2 1.5 7.3 2.0 3.5 1.9 105.0 99.6 98.0 97.8 94.4 91.8 87.2 85.3 85.4 83.1 80.8 8.9 25.5 7.0 2.6 24.3 1.8 3.5 9.5 25.3 7.1 2.1 24.0 1.4 3.1 9.4 25.1 7.1 2.0 24.7 1.2 2.8 9.5 24.7 6.9 2.0 23.5 1.1 2.8 9.6 23.8 6.6 2.0 22.4 1.1 2.8 9.5 23.7 6.4 2.2 21.1 .9 2.6 9.3 22.4 6.3 2.1 20.4 .8 2.5 9.0 22.4 5.6 2.1 18.8 .8 2.6 8.4 22.7 5.7 1.9 18.0 .7 2.7 7.9 22.0 5.1 1.7 17.5 .6 2.6r 7.6 20.8 4.9 1.6 17.0 .6 2.9 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Asia China Mainland Taiwan India Israel Korea (South) Malaysia Philippines Thailand Other Asia .5 4.5 1.2 1.6 9.3 2.4 5.7 1.4 1.0 .4 4.9 1.2 1.5 6.7 2.1 5.4 .9 .7 .3 6.0 1.9 1.3 5.0 1.6 5.4 .7 .7 .3 8.2 1.9 1.0 5.0 1.5 5.2 .7 .7 .4 6.1 2.1 1.0 5.7 1.5 5.1 1.0 .7 .4 4.9 2.3 1.0 5.9 1.5 4.9 1.1 .8 .2 3.2 2.0 1.0 6.0 1.7 4.7 1.2 .8 .3 3.7 2.1 1.2 6.1 1.6 4.5 1.1 .9 .5 4.9 2.6 .9 6.1 1.7 4.4 1.0 .8 .3 5.2 2.4 .8 6.6 1.6 4.4 1.0 .8 .3 5.0 2.7 .7 6.5 1.7 4.0 1.3 1.0 48 49 50 51 Africa Egypt Morocco Zaire Other Africa4 1.0 .9 .1 1.9 .7 .9 .1 1.6 .6 .9 .1 1.3 .6 .9 .0 1.3 .5 .9 .1 1.2 .6 .9 .1 1.2 .5 .8 .0 1.2 .4 .9 .0 1.1 .5 .9 .0 1.1 .6 .9 .0 1.1 .5 .8 .0 1.0 52 Eastern Europe 53 U.S.S.R 54 Yugoslavia 55 Other 4.4 .1 2.4 1.9 3.5 .1 2.0 1.4 3.6 .4 1.9 1.2 3.2 .3 1.8 1.1 3.1 .3 1.9 1.0 3.3 .4 1.9 1.0 3.1 .4 1.8 1.0 3.6 .7 1.8 1.1 3.5 .7 1.7 1.1 3.4 .6 1.7 1.1 3.5r .8 1.7 i.r 56 Offshore banking centers 51 Bahamas 58 Bermuda 59 Cayman Islands and other British West Indies 60 Netherlands Antilles bl Panama 62 Lebanon 63 Hong Kong 64 Singapore 65 Others6 64.0 21.5 .7 12.2 2.2 6.0 .1 11.5 9.8 .0 61.5 22.4 .6 12.3 1.8 4.0 .1 11.1 9.2 .0 63.7 25.7 .6 11.9 1.2 3.7 .1 12.3 8.1 .0 54.5 17.3 .6 13.5 1.2 3.7 .1 11.2 7.0 .0 51.5 15.9 .8 11.6 1.3 3.2 .1 11.3 7.4 .0 43.0 8.9 1.0 10.3 1.2 3.0 .1 11.6 6.9 .0 47.3 12.9 .9 11.9 1.2 2.6r .1 10.5 7.0 .0 44.2r 11.0r .9 12.9 1.0 2.5r .1 9.6 6.1 .0 48.5r 15.8 1.1 12.0r .9 2.2' .1 9.6 6.8 .0 43.1 11.0 .7 10.8 .9 1.9 .1 10.4 7.3 .0 48.7r 11.2' 1.3 15.r 1.0 1.5 .1 10.7 7.8 .0 66 Miscellaneous and unallocated7 16.9 19.8 22.3 23.2 21.5 22.2 26.7 22.6 25.1 27.4 28.4' 2 G-10 countries and Switzerland 3 Belgium-Luxembourg 4 France 5 Germany 6 Italy 7 Netherlands 8 Sweden 9 Switzerland 10 United Kingdom 11 Canada 12 Japan 31 Non-OPEC developing countries 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Other Latin America 1. The banking offices covered by these data are the U.S. offices and foreign branches of U.S.-owned banks and of U.S. subsidiaries of foreign-owned banks. Offices not covered include (1) U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks, and (2) foreign subsidiaries of U.S. banks. To minimize duplication, the data are adjusted to exclude the claims on foreign branches held by a U.S. office or another foreign branch of the same banking institution. The data in this table combine foreign branch claims in table 3.14 (the sum of lines 7 through 10) with the claims of U.S. offices in table 3.18 (excluding those held by agencies and branches of foreign banks and those constituting claims on own foreign branches). 2. Beginning with June 1984 data, reported claims held by foreign branches have been reduced by an increase in the reporting threshold for "shell" branches from $50 million to $150 million equivalent in total assets, the threshold now applicable to all reporting branches. 3. This group comprises the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries shown individually, other members of OPEC (Algeria, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates), and Bahrain and Oman (not formally members of OPEC). 4. Excludes Liberia. 5. Includes Canal Zone beginning December 1979. 6. Foreign branch claims only. 7. Includes New Zealand, Liberia, and international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported 3.22 Data A65 LIABILITIES TO UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 1988 Type, and area or country 1985 1986 1987' Sept. Dec. Mar. June' Sept." r June 1 Total 27,825 25,587 28,302 30,154 32,405' 33,624' 37,440' 36,967 34,711 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies . 24,296 3,529 21,749 3,838 22,785 5,517 24,852' 5,302 27,176' 5,229 28,037' 5,586 31,649' 5,790 31,894 5,073 29,850 4,861 By type 4 Financial liabilities 5 Payable in dollars 6 Payable in foreign currencies 13,600 11,257 2,343 12,133 9,609 2,524 12,424 8,643 3,781 13,934r 10,274r 3,660 15,079' 11,485' 3,594 15,118' 11,250' 3,868 17,532' 13,452' 4,080 16,920 13,060 3,860 15,857 11,998 3,859 7 Commercial liabilities 8 Trade payables Advance receipts and other lial 9 10 Payable in dollars 11 Payable in foreign currencies 14,225 6,685 7,540 13,039 1,186 13,454 6,450 7,004 12,140 1,314 15,878 7,305 8,573 14,142 1,737 16,220' 6,768 9,452' 14,578r 1,642 17,325' 6,480 10,845' 15,691' 1,635 18,506' 6,454 12,052' 16,788' 1,718 19,908' 7,009' 12,899' 18,197' 1,711 20,047 6,339 13,708 18,834 1,213 18,854 6,436 12,418 17,852 1,002 7,700 349 857 376 861 610 4,305 7,917 270 661 368 542 646 5,140 8,320 213 382 551 866 558 5,557 9,071' 282 371 544' 862 638 6,201 10,497' 339 372 690' 996 687 7,243 9,912' 289 267 749' 879 1,163 6,418 12,511' 320 249 741' 933 954 9,121 11,217 357 274 838 834 936 7,799 10,188 308 258 807 853 839 6,928 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 By area or country Financial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada 839 399 360 412 431 650 616 544 599 1,944 614 4 32 1,146 22 0 1,189 318 0 25 778 13 0 1,448 250 0 0 1,154 26 0 1,057 238 0 0 812 2 0 1,239 184 0 0 645 1 0 677 189 0 0 471 15 0 1,216 165 0 0 621 17 0 1,334 204 0 0 698 4 0 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 3,184 1,123 4 29 1,843 15 3 27 28 29 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries . 1,815 1,198 82 1,805 1,398 8 2,451 2,042 8 2,928 2,331 11 3,088 2,435 4 3,313' 2,563 3 3,722 2,950 1 3,842 3,082 12 3,635 2,887 2 30 Africa 12 0 1 1 4 1 2 1 3 1 1 0 5 3 3 2 4 2 50 67 100 74 3 2 2 97 97 4,074 62 453 607 364 379 976 4,446 101 352 715 424 385 1,341 5,516 132 426 909 423 559 1,599 5,755' 147 408 791 508 482 1,804' 6,688 206 438 1,185 647 486 2,110 7,348' 170 459 1,699 591 417 2,063 7,944' 134 579' 1,372' 670' 458' 2,585' 7,865 117 549 1,190 689 458 2,709 7,989 138 773 1,195 549 415 2,728 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Oil-exporting countries All other4 Commercial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada 1,449 1,405 1,301 1,167 1,109 1,218 1,163' 1,132 1,195 924 32 156 61 49 217 216 864 18 168 46 19 189 162 1,035 61 272 54 28 233 140 997 19 222 58 30 177 204 1,118 49 286 95 34 179 177 1,267' 35 426 103' 31 198' 179 1,669 34 388 541 42 182 185 1,091 27 305 113 30 191 140 6,970 2,712 1,431 6,859 2,639 1,426 768 253 650 246 1,643 1,071 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 1,088 12 77 58 44 430 212 48 49 50 Asia Japan -j Middle East oil-exporting countries 1 6,046 1,799 2,829 5,080 2,042 1,679 6,565 2,578 1,964 6,286' 2,659 1,320 6,638' 2,763 1,298 6,916' 3,091 1,386 7,329' 3,059' 1,526 51 52 Africa Oil-exporting countries 587 238 619 197 574 135 626 115 477 106 578 202 706 272 53 All other4 982 980 1,057 1,351' 1,415 1,328 1. For a description of the changes in the International Statistics tables, see July 1979 Bulletin, p. 550. 2. Comprises Baihrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 1,499' 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 4. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. 5. Revisions include a reclassification of transactions, which also affects the totals for Asia and the grand totals. A66 3.23 International Statistics • March 1990 CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS United States 1 Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Type, and area or country 1985 1986 1989 1987 June Sept.' Dec.' Mar.' June' Sept." 1 Total 28,876 36,265 30,964 37,924r 38,465 33,574 31,667 33,833 32,272 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 26,574 2,302 33,867 2,399 28,502 2,462 35,828' 2,097' 35,967 2,498 31,252 2,323 29,371 2,296 31,727 2,106 30,027 2,245 18,891 15,526 14,911 615 3,364 2,330 1,035 26,273 19,916 19,331 585 6,357 5,005 1,352 20,363 14,903 13,775 1,128 5,460 4,646 814 26,537'' 19,75C 18,964' 786r 6,787' 5,892' 895 27,341 19,383 18,370 1,013 7,958 7,016 942 21,638 15,906 14,820 1,086 5,732 5,001 731 19,743 14,838 13,942 896 4,905 4,012 893 21,774 17,043 16,131 911 4,731 4,016 716 19,550 13,191 12,277 914 6,359 5,520 840 11 Commercial claims 12 Trade receivables 13 Advance payments and other claims 9,986 8,696 1,290 9,992 8,783 1,209 10,600 9,535 1,065 11,387' 10,347' 1,040'' 11,123 10,124 1,000 11,937 10,858 1,079 11,924 10,660 1,265 12,059 10,857 1,202 12,722 11,348 1,375 14 13 9,333 652 9,530 462 10,081 519 10,971' 415 10,581 543 11,432 505 11,417 507 11,581 479 12,231 491 6,929 10 184 223 161 74 6,007 10,744 41 138 116 151 185 9,855 9,531 7 332 102 350 65 8,467 11,580'' 16 181 168 335 105 10,498' 10,719 49 278 123 356 84 9,503 10,051 10 224 138 344 215 8,768 9,208 11 230 180 383 203 7,890 8,629 155 191 218 290 70 7,390 7,947 166 209 147 292 123 6,750 By type 4 Financial claims 3 Deposits 6 Payable in dollars 7 Payable in foreign currencies 8 Other financial claims 9 Payable in dollars 10 Payable in foreign currencies 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies By area or country Financial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 23 Canada 3,260 4,808 2,844 2,917' 3,612 2,339 2,210 2,606 2,414 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 7,846 2,698 6 78 4,571 180 48 9,291 2,628 6 86 6,078 174 21 7,012 1,994 7 63 4,433 172 19 10,952' 4,176 87 46 6,142' 146 27 11,862 4,069 188 44 7,098 133 27 8,142 1,857 19 47 5,733 151 21 7,233 2,172 25 49 4,566 117 25 9,340 1,880 125 78 6,848 114 31 8,309 1,684 56 70 6,111 105 36 31 32 33 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries2 731 475 4 1,317 999 7 879 605 8 971' 647' 5 1,027 737 5 830 561 5 951 627 8 1,082 630 8 779 440 7 34 33 Africa Oil-exporting countries3 103 29 85 28 65 7 60 9 95 9 106 10 89 8 80 8 75 8 21 28 33 58 26 170 52 37 27 4,313 172 544 615 146 183 1,191 5,016 177 673 612 208 322 1,306 4,930 201 760 646 158 249 1,283 4,934 201 775 642 194 220 1,355 5,196 208 848 666 179 217 1,463 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 All other4 Commercial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 3,533 175 426 346 284 284 898 3,725 133 431 444 164 217 999 4,180 178 650 562 133 185 1,073 r 4,713 158 687r 774r 172 262 1,107r 44 Canada 1,023 934 936 939' 979 975 1,114 1,181 1,228 45 46 47 48 49 30 31 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 1,753 13 93 206 6 510 157 1,857 28 193 234 39 412 237 1,930 19 170 226 26 368 283 2,067 13 174 232 25 411 304 2,104 12 161 234 22 463 266 2,229 36 229 298 21 457 226 2,103 34 234 277 23 477 211 2,083 14 236 313 29 428 228 2,110 10 270 223 32 497 187 52 33 34 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries2 2,982 1,016 638 2,755 881 563 2,915 1,158 450 2,992r l,169r 446 3,028 967 437 2,954 934 441 3,097 1,038 421 3,115 990 423 3,424 1,173 397 55 36 Africa Oil-exporting countries3 437 130 500 139 401 144 425 136 425 137 435 122 386 95 401 111 388 79 57 All other4 257 222 238 251' 274 328 294 345 377 1. For a description of the changes in the International Statistics tables, see July 1979 Bulletin, p. 550. 2. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 4. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Securities Holdings and Transactions 3.24 A67 FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS IN SECURITIES Millions of dollars 1989 Transactions, and area or country 1987 1989 1988 Jan.Nov. May June' July' Aug.' Sept.' Oct.' Nov. p U.S. corporate securities STOCKS 249,122 232,849 181,185 183,185 197,556 186,609 17,913' 16,849' 24,316 20,646 17,122 15,087 22,112 20,942 19,595 17,047 22,350 20,988 13,819 15,037 3 Net purchases, or sales ( - ) 16,272 -2,000 10,948 l,064r 3,670 2,035 1,171 2,548 1,363 -1,218 4 Foreign countries 16,321 -1,825 11,145 1,066' 3,688 2,052 1,154 2,599 1,340 -1,217 1,932 905 -70 892 -1,123 631 1,048 1,318 -1,360 12,896 11,365 123 365 -3,350 -281 218 -535 -2,243 -954 1,087 1,238 -2,474 1,365 1,922 188 121 486 -445 -824 158 -3,028 3,315 -401 3,519 3,461 3,537 3,400 122 421 -293 -123 -215 -75' -293 495' -75 391 206 784 763 -1 55' 418 -15 -155 131 -114 329 168 166 1,679 1,201 1,215 16 40 779 75 -79 12 -23 546 8 109 456 729 626 2 -30 -98 -251 -238 -63 -333 773 14 250 554 423 424 22 -11 1,461 -5 -65 37 64 894 -265 602 110 631 611 24 38 -107 -265 -117 226 -244 -34 -140 149 112 1,138 975 -6 193 -1,698 -2% -119 -54 -510 -739 -134 -85 303 342 309 19 37 -48 -176 -197 -2 -18 -17 17 -52 23 -1 11,100 1 Foreign purchases 2 Foreign sales 5 Europe 6 France 7 Germany 8 Netherlands 9 Switzerland 10 United Kingdom 11 Canada 12 Latin America and Caribbean 13 Middle East' 14 Other Asia 15 Japan 16 Africa 17 Other countries 18 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations BONDS 2 105,856 86,381' 106,726 8,343' 10,855 10,045 10,944 8,603 10,930 20 Foreign sales 78,312 58,417' 76,%5 8,783' 9,185 7,552 9,361 6,857 6,772 6,667 21 Net purchases, or sales (—) 27,544 27,964r 29,762 -440' 1,670 2,494 1,583 1,746 4,158 4,433 22 Foreign countries 26,804 28,506' 29,469 -563' 1,542 2,516 1,607 1,740 4,106 4,421 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 21,989 194 33 269 1,587 19,770 1,2% 2,857 -1,314 2,021 1,622 16 -61 17,239' 143 1,344 1,514 505 13,084' 711 1,931 -178 8,900 7,686 -8 -89 18,463 366 -206 809 112 16,153 908 3,180 -437 7,107 4,603 29 219 -55 93 -170 9 -114 665 59 136 -93' -615 -722 0 5 2,132 6 -162 395 -110 1,881 -188 271 -619 -59 -209 1 4 1,976 121 -53 -22 81 1,937 79 300 19 35 -44 3 103 -138 -35 -121 % -201 -9 76 63 44 1,574 1,167 5 -17 1,400 78 -33 28 -27 1,311 155 233 20 -108 -179 -3 42 1,986 -41 113 30 74 1,711 175 247 140 1,553 1,263 0 4 2,713 -14 -117 143 54 1,928 -86 529 -80 1,343 1,045 8 -7 292 122 128 -22 -24 6 53 12 19 Foreign purchases Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East' Other Asia Japan Africa Other countries 36 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 740 -542 Foreign securities 37 Stocks, net purchases, or sales ( - ) 3 -11,679 -1,306' -2,100 -808 -1,706 -648 -1,345 -921 95,458 94,377 75,356' 77,315' 93,406 105,085 7,792' 9,098' 9,124 11,225 7,640 8,448 9,489 11,195 8,473 9,121 10,309 11,654 9,406 10,327 40 Bonds, net purchases, or sales ( - ) 41 Foreign purchases 42 Foreign sales -7,946 199,089 207,035 -7,434' 218,521' 225,955' -5,438 215,509 220,948 -110' 17,293' 17,403' -1,506 21,061 22,567 -1,406 20,222 21,628 1,005 24,106 23,101 -1.845 18,325 20,170 -615 21,266 21,881 520 20,487 19,966 43 Net purchases, or sales (—), of stocks and bonds . . . . -6,865 —9,393r -17,117 -1,416' -3,607 -2,214 -701 -2,493 -1,960 -401 44 Foreign countries -6,757 -9,873' -17,084 -1,620' -3,407 -2,366 -887 -1,926 -1,622 -478 -12,101 -4,072 828 9,299 89 -800 -7,864' -3,747' 1,384 979' -54 -571' -17,852 -3,098 700 3,472 38 -344 -1,537' -555 -90 722' 13 -173' -3,945 -705 27 1,262 3 -49 -2,534 -697 -75 921 12 8 -860 -250 314 327 -4 -414 -2,099 -201 -61 412 -3 26 -2,487 924 183 -232 12 -21 -186 -325 -102 3 13 119 -108 480 -33 203 -200 152 186 -568 -338 77 38 39 45 46 47 48 49 50 Foreign purchases Foreign sales Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Africa Other countries 51 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 1,081 - l ^ 1. Comprises oil-exporting countries as follows: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Includes state and local government securities, and securities of U.S. government agencies and corporations. Also includes issues of new debt securities sold abroad by U.S. corporations organized to finance direct investments abroad. 3. As a result of the merger of a U.S. and U.K. company in July 1989, the former stockholders of the U.S. company received $5,453 million in shares of the new combined U.K. company. This transaction is not reflected in the data above. A68 3.25 International Statistics • March 1990 MARKETABLE U.S. TREASURY BONDS A N D NOTES Millions of dollars Foreign Transactions 1989 Country or area 1987 1989 1988 Jan.Nov. May June July' Aug.' Sept.' Oct.' Nov/ Transactions, net purchases or sales (—) during period1 1 Estimated total2 25,587 48,832r 53,443 7,043 -5,202 -1,317 21,979 4,616 -2,150 8,196 30,889 48,170' 52,976 5,518' -5,322' -761 22,409 5,698 -3,404 8,312 3 Europe2 4 Belgium-Luxembourg 5 Germany2 6 Netherlands 7 Sweden 8 Switzerland2 9 United Kingdom 10 Other Western Europe 11 Eastern Europe 12 Canada 23,716 653 13,330 -913 14,3^ 923 -5,268 -356 -323 -1,074 9,64C 10,786 -10 3,761 33,471 1,138 6,187 -750 859 1,452 4,498 88 -179 -638 -69 -83 3,873 1,511 -5 157 -1,305 13 -1,106 -674 647 378 -133 -423 4,357 15,191 413 2,503 1,304 241 -748 9,863 1,614 0 2,494 -2,268 90 137 -1,200 140 -187 -1,049 -199 0 150 4,260 210 1,666 54 -232 -780 3,799 -481 26 375 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 -2,192 150 -1,142 -1,200 4,488 713 -109 1,130 -308 27,603' 21,750' -13 1,786 1,380 347 318 716 16,707 3,429 76 -179 0 -78 643 1 -14 656 -5,581' -7,780 23 29 -506 500 2,857 2,402 0 697 -1,439 72 34 -1,545 1,372 163 576 634 1,646 1,085 9 650 661 467 137 231 1,525' 1,340 70 5,518' 2 Foreign countries 2 Latin America and Caribbean Venezuela Other Latin America and Caribbean Netherlands Antilles Asia Japan Africa All other 210 1,917 3,975 4,563 -19 4,526 868 -56 407 18,810 5,773 4 457 -101 1,732' 1,646 -3 -687 - 6 -478 82 2,622 100 110 -361 1,024 786 -5 -533 1,028 216 510 302 -50 374 339 802 0 -373 839 71 104 665 -4,941 -5,360 -5 -478 120 217 -617 7,121 3,009 -48 12C -253 191 -557 -546 3 -431 -576 75 -1,082 -719 -228 1,254 1,158 160 66 1,332 -280 -602 -101 1,330 13 240 21 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 22 International 23 Latin America regional -5,302 -4,387 3 1,106 Memo 24 Foreign countries2 25 Official institutions 26 Other foreign 30,889 31,064 -176 48,170' 26,624 21,546' 52,976 25,677 27,299 -1,068 6,586' -5,322' 449 -5,772' -761 2,819 -3,580 22,409 9,957 12,452 5,698 799 4,900 -3,404 -990 -2,414 -3,142 16 1,963 1 8,786 -1 -300' 0 667' 0 435 0 3,681 0 695 0 -2,183 0 27 28 Oil-exporting countries Middle East' Africa4 -31 1. Estimated official and private transactions in marketable U.S. Treasury securities with an original maturity of more than 1 year. Data are based on monthly transactions reports. Excludes nonmarketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by official institutions of foreign countries. 2. Includes U.S. Treasury notes publicly issued to private foreign residents denominated in foreign currencies. -116 -143 0 8,312 1,686 6,627 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. Interest and Exchange Rates 3.26 A69 DISCOUNT RATES OF FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS Percent per year Rate on Jan. 31, 1990 Rate on Jan. 31, 1990 Country Percent Austria.. Belgium . Brazil . . . Canada.. Denmark 6.0 10.25 49.0 12.29 10.5 Country Month effective June 1989 Oct. 1989 Mar. 1981 Jan. 1990 Oct. 1989 Percent France Germany, Fed. Rep. of. Italy Japan Netherlands 1. As of the end of February 1981, the rate is that at which the Bank of France discounts Treasury bills for 7 to 10 days. 2. Minimum lending rate suspended as of Aug. 20, 1981. NOTE. Rates shown are mainly those at which the central bank either discounts 3.27 Rate on Jan. 31, 1990 Country 10.0 6.0 13.5 4.25 7.0 Month effective Month effective Dec. 1989 Oct. 1989 Mar. 1989 Dec. 1989 Oct. 1989 8.0 6.0 Norway Switzerland . . . .2 United Kingdom Venezuela June 1983 Oct. 1989 or makes advances against eligible commercial paper and/or government commercial banks or brokers. For countries with more than one rate applicable to such discounts or advances, the rate shown is the one at which it is understood the central bank transacts the largest proportion of its credit operations. FOREIGN SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES Percent per year, averages of daily figures 1989 Country, or type 1987 1988 1989 July 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Eurodollars United Kingdom Canada Germany Switzerland Netherlands France Italy Belgium Japan Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 7.07 9.65 8.38 3.97 3.67 7.85 10.28 9.63 4.28 2.94 9.16 13.87 12.20 7.04 6.83 8.85 13.91 12.24 7.00 6.92 8.71 13.86 12.30 6.99 7.01 8.85 13.99 12.32 7.37 7.42 8.67 15.03 12.29 8.08 7.63 8.42 15.07 12.35 8.22 7.68 8.39 15.07 12.34 8.06 8.14 8.22 15.13 12.24 8.22 9.35 5.24 8.14 11.15 7.01 3.87 4.72 7.80 11.04 6.69 3.96 7.28 9.27 12.44 8.65 4.73 7.07 9.05 12.46 8.46 4.71 7.15 8.95 12.52 8.44 4.80 7.53 9.20 12.40 8.66 4.88 8.08 9.89 12.63 9.51 5.25 8.40 10.41 12.67 9.81 5.71 8.47 10.71 12.83 10.03 5.80 8.82 11.19 12.88 10.48 6.02 NOTE. Rates are for 3-month interbank loans except for Canada, finance company paper; Belgium, 3-month Treasury bills; and Japan, Gensaki rate. A70 3.28 International Statistics • March 1990 FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES 1 Currency units per dollar 1989 Country/currency 1987 1988 1990 1989 Aug. 1 2 3 4 5 6 2 Australia/dollar Austria/schilling Belgium/franc Canada/dollar China, P.R./yuan Denmark/krone 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Finland/markka France/franc Germany/deutsche mark Greece/drachma Hong Kong/dollar India/rupee Ireland/punt2 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Italy/lira Japan/yen Malaysia/ringgit Netherlands/guilder New Zealand/dollar2 Norway/krone Portugal/escudo 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Singapore/dollar South Africa/rand South Korea/won Spain/peseta Sri Lanka/rupee Sweden/krona Switzerland/franc Taiwan/dollar Thailand/baht United Kingdom/pound Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 70.137 12.649 37.358 1.3259 3.7314 6.8478 78.409 12.357 36.785 1.2306 3.7314 6.7412 79.186 13.236 39.409 1.1842 3.7673 7.3210 76.345 13.570 40.310 1.1758 3.7314 7.4938 77.271 13.733 40.841 1.1828 3.7314 7.5872 77.421 13.140 39.197 1.1749 3.7314 7.2781 78.295 12.860 38.403 1.1697 3.7314 7.1138 78.586 12.241 36.544 1.1613 4.1825 6.7610 78.111 11.904 35.451 1.1720 4.7339 6.5620 4.4037 6.0122 1.7981 135.47 7.7986 12.943 148.79 4.1933 5.9595 1.7570 142.00 7.8072 13.900 152.49 4.2963 6.3802 1.8808 162.60 7.8008 16.213 141.80 4.3504 6.5085 1.9268 166.26 7.8078 16.609 138.43 4.4219 6.5855 1.9502 169.03 7.8078 16.745 136.71 4.2817 6.3339 1.8662 165.88 7.8081 16.819 142.50 4.2619 6.2225 1.8300 164.97 7.8140 16.925 144.73 4.1231 5.9391 1.7378 160.32 7.8102 16.932 151.65 4.0080 5.7568 1.6914 157.68 7.8116 16.963 156.31 1,297.03 144.60 2.5186 2.0264 59.328 6.7409 141.20 1,302.39 128.17 2.6190 1.9778 65.560 6.5243 144.27 1,372.28 138.07 2.7079 2.1219 59.354 6.9131 157.53 1,384.24 141.49 2.6825 2.1726 59.217 7.0480 161.15 1,404.18 145.07 2.6980 2.1992 59.144 7.1264 163.36 1,369.24 142.21 2.6945 2.1072 55.937 6.9502 159.08 1,343.83 143.53 2.7028 2.0652 56.301 6.9010 157.65 1,291.93 143.69 2.7032 1.9619 59.458 6.7021 152.34 1,261.87 144.98 2.7041 1.9073 60.220 6.5462 149.17 2.1059 2.0385 825.94 123.54 29.472 6.3469 1.4918 31.753 25.775 163.98 2.0133 2.2773 734.52 116.53 31.820 6.1370 1.4643 28.636 25.312 178.13 1.9511 2.6215 674.29 118.44 35.947 6.4559 1.6369 26.407 25.725 163.82 1.9604 2.7247 671.13 120.64 36.276 6.5481 1.6605 25.685 25.912 159.47 1.9769 2.7882 672.73 122.14 39.572 6.6103 1.6865 25.737 26.012 157.15 1.9622 2.6403 673.86 118.77 40.018 6.4580 1.6302 25.739 25.868 158.74 1.9588 2.6295 674.94 116.58 40.017 6.4306 1.6189 26.029 25.877 157.26 1.9183 2.5679 677.66 112.24 40.018 6.2920 1.5686 26.139 25.778 159.65 1.8873 2.5532 686.18 109.71 40.018 6.1776 1.5175 26.081 25.745 165.12 96.94 92.72 98.60 100.44 101.87 98.92 97.99 94.88 93.00 MEMO 31 United States/dollar3 1. Averages of certified noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.5 (405) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Value in U.S. cents. 3. Index of weighted-average exchange value of U.S. dollar against the currencies of 10 industrial countries. The weight for each of the 10 countries is the 1972-76 average world trade of that country divided by the average world trade of all 10 countries combined. Series revised as of August 1978 (see Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 64, August 1978, p. 700). A71 Guide to Tabular Presentation, Statistical Releases, and Special Tables GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION Symbols and Abbreviations c e p r * Corrected Estimated Preliminary Revised (Notation appears on column heading when about half of the figures in that column are changed.) Amounts insignificant in terms of the last decimal place shown in the table (for example, less than 500,000 when the smallest unit given is millions) 0 n.a. n.e.c. IPCs REITs RPs SMSAs . . . Calculated to be zero Not available Not elsewhere classified Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Real estate investment trusts Repurchase agreements Standard metropolitan statistical areas Cell not applicable General Information Minus signs are used to indicate (1) a decrease, (2) a negative figure, or (3) an outflow. "U.S. government securities" may include guaranteed issues of U.S. government agencies (the flow of funds figures also include not fully guaranteed issues) as well as direct obligations of the Treasury. "State and local government" also includes municipalities, special districts, and other political subdivisions. In some of the tables, details do not add to totals because of rounding. STATISTICAL RELEASES—List Published Semiannually, with Latest Bulletin Reference Issue December 1989 Anticipated schedule of release dates for periodic releases Page A84 SPECIAL TABLES—Published Irregularly, with Latest Bulletin Reference Title and Date Issue Assets and liabilities of commercial December 31, 1988 March 31, 1989 June 30, 1989 September 30, 1989 Terms of lending at commercial February 1989 May 1989 August 1989 November 1989 banks August December January February 1989 1989 1990 1990 A78 A72 A72 ALL June March November March 1989 1990 1989 1990 A84 A73 A73 A79 June August November March 1989 1989 1989 1990 A90 A84 A78 A84 August September February March 1988 1989 1990 1990 A70 A72 A78 A88 banks Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign December 31, 1988 March 31, 1989 June 30, 1989 September 30, 1989 banks Pro forma balance sheet and income statements for priced service March 31, 1988 March 31, 1989 June 30, 1989 September 30, 1989 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ begin Special tables Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Page on page A73. operations Financial Markets A73 4.23 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, May 1-5, 1989'A A. Commercial and Industrial Loans Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) maturity2 Days Interquartile range5 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) Loan rate (percent) Weighted Weighted average effective3 Standard error4 Most common pricing rate6 ALL BANKS 1 Overnight7 9,048,047 4,504 * 10.98 .08 10.65-11.14 65.8 16.6 Fed funds 2 One month and under 3 Fixed rate 4 Floating rate 6,517,757 4,632,654 1,885,103 579 742 375 17 17 18 11.37 11.19 11.80 .14 .10 .24 10.68-11.66 10.68-11.46 10.71-13.24 77.4 72.7 89.2 10.6 9.3 13.7 Domestic Domestic Prime 5 Over one month and under a year . 6 Fixed rate 7 Floating rate 9,429,494 4,583,393 4,846,101 112 115 110 137 107 166 12.24 11.75 12.70 .16 .21 .12 11.17-13.24 10.74-12.62 12.02-13.42 75.9 72.4 79.3 15.0 16.5 13.6 Prime Other Prime 8 Demand8 9 Fixed rate 10 Floating rate 19,009,291 1,961,921 17,047,370 279 574 264 * * * 12.34 11.14 12.47 .12 .14 .13 11.40-13.24 10.58-11.49 12.01-13.24 81.5 88.6 80.7 7.2 13.3 6.4 Prime Domestic Prime 11 Total short term 44,004,589 266 57 11.89 .14 10.84-12.75 76.5 11.3 Prime 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and over 20,140,462 254,916 136,808 209,946 473,757 397,907 18,667,128 390 7 32 66 218 637 6,518 32 97 116 138 129 102 25 11.22 13.53 13.47 13.12 12.62 11.90 11.10 .10 .16 .22 .19 .12 .15 .06 10.65-11.52 12.64-14.63 12.96—13.97 12.36-14.20 12.00-13.39 11.07-12.19 10.65-11.38 71.0 20.8 25.4 44.0 46.2 80.0 72.8 14.7 .3 .0 .0 1.9 7.5 15.6 Fed funds Other Other Prime Prime Prime Fed funds 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and over 23,864,126 535,104 588,253 1,004,307 3,911,973 1,960,014 15,864,476 210 10 34 67 199 669 4,624 123 169 165 159 154 173 101 12.46 13.67 13.47 13.24 13.01 12.76 12.16 .13 .11 .09 .07 .05 .08 .14 11.83-13.24 12.96—14.37 12.75-14.17 12.68-13.80 12.19-13.52 12.13-13.24 11.09-13.24 81.1 75.3 79.1 82.5 84.2 87.7 79.7 8.5 1.4 4.1 2.7 6.0 7.9 9.9 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Months 8.0 Prime 19.6 .2 1.6 9.3 26.9 None Other Other None Foreign 66.0 27.4 48.4 69.7 71.4 4.8 1.2 17.4 9.2 2.6 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime 4,188,833 228 46 12.76 .10 12.11-13.65 65.2 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and over 907,193 143,759 66,851 61,846 634,737 106 18 221 705 3,863 45 36 61 43 46 12.13 13.16 13.00 11.45 11.88 .30 .20 .27 .61 .54 10.86-13.30 12.68-14.17 11.79-13.80 10.25-13.65 10.81-12.68 62.1 12.1 44.5 55.8 76.0 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and over 3,281,640 171,887 426,840 176,796 2,506,117 336 25 218 674 4,548 46 49 48 48 46 12.94 13.74 13.23 12.71 12.85 .11 .12 .13 .21 .16 12.13-13.65 13.10-14.37 12.68-13.80 12.13-13.31 12.13-13.65 26 Total long term • Loan rate (percent) rnme rate Days Effective3 Nominal9 LOANS MADE BELOW PRIME" Overnight7 One month and under Over one month and under a year Demand8 8,510,957 5,347,703 3,996,237 5,658,433 6,992 2,429 344 2,064 16 97 10.89 10.% 11.00 10.90 10.34 10.42 10.50 10.42 11.50 11.51 11.57 11.52 64.2 77.6 83.8 64.9 16.6 9.8 18.1 6.3 41 Total short term 23,513,329 1,323 27 10.93 10.40 11.52 70.7 12.8 42 Fixed rate 43 Floating rate 17,225,971 6,287,358 1,446 1,071 23 54 10.91 10.% 10.39 10.44 11.51 11.55 71.2 69.5 16.1 3.6 37 38 39 40 * Months 44 Total long term 972,541 391 42 11.18 10.78 11.67 82.8 16.2 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate .. 459,540 513,002 291 565 46 39 10.% 11.37 10.60 10.94 11.59 11.74 75.4 89.5 17.3 15.3 For notes see end of table. A74 4.23 Special Tables • March 1990 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, May 1-5, 19891—Continued A. Commercial and Industrial Loans—Continued Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Loan rate (percent) Days Interquartile range5 Loans made under commitment (percent) 10.99 Weighted average maturity2 10.59-11.18 63.1 10.68-11.54 10.68-11.44 10.46-12.19 78.3 72.8 94.4 12.8 10.79-13.03 Weighted average effective3 Standard Participation loans (percent) LARGE BANKS 1 Overnight7 7,378,179 6,680 2 One month and under 3 Fixed rate 4 Floating rate 5,118,295 3,798,187 1,320,108 3,067 4,085 1,786 17 18 16 11.26 11.17 11.51 5 Over one month and under a year . 6 Fixed rate 7 Floating rate 5,448,135 3,157,624 2,290,511 818 1,448 512 112 11.81 92 139 10.61-12.08 82.0 20.2 11.43 12.33 11.47-13.25 80.4 84.3 23.3 16.0 8 Demand8 9 Fixed rate 10 Floating rate 11,829,673 1,220,780 10,608,893 603 2,130 557 12.11 10.95-13.10 10.68-11.51 11.09-13.24 75.5 86.9 74.2 6.5 7.2 6.5 11 Total short term 29,774,281 1,025 39 11.63 10.75-12.19 74.1 13.4 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and over 15,554,686 10,587 11,775 21,443 143,711 189,945 15,177,225 3,252 10 33 67 223 656 7,222 25 94 82 67 55 45 25 11.14 13.13 13.07 12.98 12.53 11.91 10.65-11.42 12.57-14.20 12.55-13.73 12.47-13.65 11.74-13.31 11.21-12.47 10.65-11.39 70.8 26.5 23.0 47.7 69.8 82.7 70.8 17.3 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and over 14,219,5% 86,602 124,038 251,191 1,311,132 840,066 11,606,566 586 11 34 67 210 669 6,360 94 156 161 151 142 147 85 12.17 13.49 13.34 13.23 11.09-13.24 12.68-14.37 12.68-13.88 12.55-13.80 12.13-13.31 12.13-13.24 10.88-13.10 77.7 79.1 79.8 9.1 .4 85.8 90.1 75.8 3.9 9.1 11.19 12.22 11.11 12.88 12.70 12.00 82.1 10.8 18.5 .1 .0 .3 3.7 5.3 17.7 .8 1.0 10.0 Months 26 Total long term 2,358,090 1,153 12.69 .18 11.87-13.65 84.8 4.7 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and over 443,239 4,949 14,705 15,900 407,684 1,177 23 11.81 10.62-12.17 12.50-14.94 11.79-13.95 11.46-13.66 10.44-12.03 85.8 30.3 24.4 73.4 89.2 13.9 782 5,409 13.70 12.97 12.31 11.73 .58 .24 .15 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and over 1,914,851 28,490 107,171 79,081 1,700,110 1,147 32 223 697 8,663 12.89 13.79 12.89 12.67 12.89 12.13-13.65 12.68-14.37 12.13-13.52 12.01-13.51 12.13-13.65 84.6 70.8 77.5 83.2 85.3 2.6 1.4 8.4 7.7 2.0 228 1.12 1.08 .20 .21 .16 .44 .25 .0 .0 16.0 14.5 Loan rate (percent) Days Effective3 Nominal9 LOANS MADE BELOW PRIME" 37 38 39 40 Overnight7 One month and under Over one month and under a year Demand8 6,860,977 4,464,955 3,240,337 4,585,870 8,039 6,140 4,263 4,950 10.89 10.97 10.92 10.88 10.34 10.43 10.42 10.42 11.50 11.50 11.50 11.50 60.9 76.5 85.5 58.0 20.0 41 Total short term 19,152,139 5,862 10.91 10.39 11.50 68.0 13.9 42 Fixed rate 43 Floating rate 13,739,303 5,412,836 5,947 5,655 10.92 10.90 10.40 10.38 11.50 11.50 68.9 65.8 18.1 3.1 10.5 20.4 3.2 Months 44 Total long term 663,859 3,156 11.03 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate 294,376 369,482 3,184 3,134 11.03 11.03 For notes see end of table. 90.9 10.72 10.68 11.50 11.50 86.2 94.7 19.1 6.5 Financial Markets A73 4.23—Continued A. Commercial and Industrial Loans—Continued Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Weighted average maturity2 Days Loan rate (percent) Weighted average effective3 Standard Interquartile range5 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) 10.65-11.00 77.7 2.2 Fed funds Prime None Prime Most common pricing rate6 OTHER BANKS 1 Overnight7 1,669,868 1,847 * 10.92 .12 2 One month and under 3 Fixed rate 4 Floating rate 1,399,462 834,467 564,995 146 157 132 18 16 22 11.74 11.26 12.46 .13 .16 .24 10.86-12.69 10.72-11.61 11.62-13.25 74.0 72.1 76.9 2.6 2.6 2.5 5 Over one month and under a year . . . . 6 Fixed rate Floating rate 7 3,981,359 1,425,769 2,555,590 52 38 65 172 140 191 12.83 12.46 13.04 .07 .14 .05 12.13-13.47 11.23-13.31 12.19-13.60 67.6 54.8 74.7 8.0 1.6 11.6 Prime Prime Prime 8 Demand8 9 Fixed rate 10 Floating rate 7,179,618 741,141 6,438,478 148 261 141 * * 12.71 11.05 12.90 .10 .20 .09 12.13-13.24 10.58-11.33 12.13-13.31 91.5 91.2 91.5 8.2 23.4 6.4 Prime Domestic Prime 11 Total short term * 14,230,307 104 101 12.44 .13 11.43-13.24 81.5 6.9 Prime 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and over 4,585,777 244,330 125,033 188,503 330,046 207,962 3,489,903 98 7 32 66 215 620 4,578 56 97 119 146 160 152 27 11.48 13.55 13.51 13.13 12.66 11.90 11.03 .12 .19 .31 .18 .13 .15 .06 10.65-11.92 12.64-14.65 12.96-14.00 12.36-14.20 12.01-13.65 11.06-12.12 10.65-11.21 71.5 20.6 25.7 43.6 35.9 77.5 81.2 5.6 .3 .0 .0 1.1 9.5 6.6 Fed funds Other Other Prime Prime Prime Fed funds 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars)... 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and over 9,644,531 448,502 464,214 753,116 2,600,841 1,119,948 4,257,909 108 9 34 66 194 669 2,651 156 170 165 160 158 185 140 12.90 13.70 13.51 13.25 13.08 12.81 12.59 .07 .09 .07 .04 .03 .13 .20 12.13-13.37 12.96-14.37 12.96-14.20 12.68-13.80 12.26-13.65 12.13-13.24 12.13-13.24 86.2 74.5 78.9 82.6 83.4 86.0 90.6 7.5 1.6 4.9 3.2 7.1 7.1 9.5 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Months 1,830,743 112 44 12.86 .11 12.13-13.52 39.9 12.3 Prime 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and over 463,954 138,809 52,146 45,947 227,052 56 18 219 681 2,553 37 35 62 38 31 12.44 13.14 13.01 11.16 12.14 .20 .34 .54 .70 .32 11.13-13.59 12.68-14.09 11.71-13.80 10.25-13.65 10.86-13.59 39.5 11.4 50.1 49.7 52.2 25.0 .2 2.0 7.0 49.1 None Other Other None None 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and over 1,366,789 ' 143,397 319,669 97,715 806,007 169 23 216 657 2,271 46 51 48 46 45 13.00 13.73 13.34 12.75 12.76 .11 .09 .16 .22 .17 12.13-13.52 13.10-14.37 12.68-13.92 12.13-13.24 12.13-13.37 40.0 18.7 38.6 58.7 42.1 8.0 1.2 20.4 10.4 3.9 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime 78.0 83.3 76.6 94.4 2.3 6.0 7.8 19.3 26 Total long term Loan rate (percent) Days rnme rate Effective3 Nominal9 10.33 10.38 10.81 10.45 11.50 11.57 11.88 11.59 LOANS MADE BELOW PRIME Overnight7 One month and under Over one month and under a year Demand8 * 1,649,980 882,748 755,900 1,072,562 4,534 599 70 591 15 99 * 10.88 10.92 11.35 10.96 41 Total short term 4,361,190 301 27 10.99 10.45 11.60 82.9 8.2 42 Fixed rate 43 Floating rate 3,486,668 874,522 363 178 18 83 10.90 11.36 10.36 10.80 11.55 11.82 80.4 92.8 8.4 7.2 37 38 39 40 Months 44 Total long term 308,683 135 33 11.51 10.94 12.02 65.4 25.1 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate .. 165,164 143,519 111 182 37 28 10.84 12.27 10.37 11.61 11.74 12.35 56.1 76.1 14.0 37.8 For notes see end of table. A76 4.23 Special Tables • March 1990 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, May 1-5, 19891—Continued B. Construction and Land Development Loans1 Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Loan rate (percent) Weighted average maturity (months)3 Weighted average effective4 Standard error5 Interquartile range6 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) ALL BANKS 1 Total 2,741,952 163 7 12.60 .11 12.06-13.24 93.2 32.2 978,562 15,089 17,117 22,590 67,082 856,685 270 7 34 72 168 8,658 3 18 19 19 27 1 11.89 13.58 14.22 12.70 12.94 11.71 .25 .34 .41 .28 .43 .28 11.51-12.13 12.47-14.37 12.68-14.93 12.13-13.52 12.13-14.93 11.46-12.06 93.4 51.8 94.4 55.7 85.4 95.7 37.3 .1 .0 1.7 2.3 42.3 10 li 12 li 1,763,389 77,455 64,934 75,801 285,173 1,260,027 134 9 34 68 217 3,000 9 10 12 15 16 8 12.99 13.65 13.21 13.42 13.24 12.85 .09 .09 .07 .10 .05 .09 12.68-13.24 13.03-14.17 12.68-13.65 12.96-13.88 12.96—13.52 12.55-13.19 93.1 88.0 90.7 81.8 82.9 96.5 29.4 1.4 1.7 13.4 9.5 37.9 By type of construction 14 Single family 15 Multifamily 16 Nonresidential 408,552 113,521 2,219,879 41 116 375 12 8 6 13.38 13.43 12.41 .11 .16 .13 12.96-13.80 12.96-13.77 11.51-12.82 84.1 93.8 94.8 4.4 3.3 38.8 2,035,329 1,019 5 12.35 .10 11.51-12.68 96.6 41.5 858,141 643 832 4,036 11 34 2 20 12 11.70 12.29 11.98 .26 .35 .46 11.46-12.06 11.85-12.91 11.71-12.68 95.3 64.1 66.5 42.4 .0 .0 5,884 849,880 226 9,591 15 1 11.93 11.70 .46 .32 11.41-12.46 11.46-12.06 58.7 95.7 26.6 42.7 1,177,188 5,581 10,947 17,660 109,892 1,033,107 660 11 35 71 233 4,209 8 11 16 14 17 8 12.81 13.37 13.33 13.23 13.13 12.77 .13 .11 .09 .14 .08 .15 12.55-12.96 12.96-13.80 12.96-13.80 12.68-13.63 12.68-13.52 12.55-12.96 97.6 89.1 89.6 96.1 96.4 97.9 40.9 3.3 3.9 6.7 11.9 45.1 103,199 27,288 1,904,902 184 144 1,528 11 8 5 13.13 13.59 12.28 .09 .23 .08 12.96-13.24 13.24-13.80 11.51-12.68 80.4 84.5 97.7 5.7 2.9 44.0 1 Total 706,623 48 14 13.32 .06 12.96-13.80 83.3 5.2 2 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) 1-24 3 4 25-49 5 50-99 6 100-499 7 500 and over 120,422 14,466 16,285 21,688 61,198 35 6 34 72 164 23 18 20 19 32 .33 .48 .63 .41 .77 12.13-14.93 12.51-14.37 13.24-14.93 12.13-14.17 12.13-14.93 79.6 51.2 95.8 56.4 88.0 .3 .1 .0 1.8 .0 * * 13.20 13.64 14.33 12.74 13.04 2 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) 3 1-24 4 25-49 5 50-99 6 100-499 7 500 and over 8 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) . . . Y 1-24 25-49 50-99 100-499 500 and over LARGE BANKS 13 1 Total 2 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) i 1-24 4 25-49 5 50-99 6 100-499 7 500 and over 8 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) . . . 9 1-24 10 25-49 11 50-99 12 100-499 13 500 and over By type of construction 14 Single family 15 Multifamily 16 Nonresidential * * * * * * * OTHER BANKS * * 8 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) . . . 1-24 9 10 25-49 11 50-99 12 100-499 13 500 and over 586,201 71,873 53,987 58,141 175,281 226,919 52 9 34 68 208 1,300 12 10 11 15 15 11 13.34 13.68 13.19 13.48 13.30 13.26 .03 .14 .11 .14 .07 .07 12.96—13.80 13.03-14.20 12.26-13.65 12.96-13.88 12.96-13.80 12.96-13.77 84.0 88.0 90.9 77.4 74.5 90.3 6.2 1.3 1.2 15.4 8.0 5.2 By type of construction 14 Single family 15 Multifamily 16 Nonresidential 305,353 86,293 314,977 33 109 67 12 8 18 13.47 13.38 13.15 .21 .23 .12 12.96-13.88 12.96-13.77 12.68-13.80 85.3 96.7 77.7 4.0 3.4 6.9 For notes see end of table. * * Financial Markets A73 4.23—Continued C. Loans to Farmers12 Size class of loans (thousands) Characteristic All sizes $10-24 $1-9 $50-99 $25-49 $100-249 ALL BANKS 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars). 2 Number of loans 3 Weighted average maturity (months) .. $ 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent)3 5 Standard error 6 Interquartile range 146,990 40,498 8.0 $ 184,720 12,617 9.4 $ 130,554 3,838 9.1 $ 208,631 3,059 12.7 12.85 .33 12.27-13.56 12.99 .28 12.19-13.52 13.74 13.30 12.87 13.41 13.56 13.65 12.81 13.38 12.73 13.07 13.03 13.11 12.68 12.97 13.07 17.4 9.2 55.9 2.8 4.6 10.1 6.9 6.4 71.8 6.9 1.7 6.2 13.33 .41 12.60-13.53 13.37 12.98 13.38 57.1 53.3 252,758 1,713 8.1 $ 13.18 .48 12.47-14.09 51.8 54.0 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 13.05 .35 12.59-13.80 12.92 12.79 12.89 13.18 12.06 12.89 Percentage of amount of loans 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 15 16 17 18 19 20 $ 12.86 .56 12.21-13.52 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other I 8 9 10 II 12 1,294,324 62,312 8.9 * 13.15 * 13.77 * * * * * 13.73 13.22 13.18 46.9 45.9 53.4 45.9 46.3 46.1 49.5 48.6 9.4 9.1 67.0 5.4 3.5 5.5 14.9 16.6 56.1 16.3 6.4 52.0 * * 22.4 * 45.4 * * * * 12.9 14.7 8.0 LARGE BANKS 12 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars). 2 Number of loans 3 Weighted average maturity (months) .. $ 13,317 3,235 7.6 $ 21,522 1,460 9.5 $ 22,474 657 10.5 13.13 14.12 13.98 13.65 14.70 13.86 13.29 13.51 13.68 13.72 13.60 13.79 12.83 14.02 13.59 89.4 84.2 5.7 4.0 71.3 3.6 1.4 14.0 $ 13.52 .17 13.03-14.17 28.8 7.9 37.5 1.7 5.3 18.9 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 13.68 .28 13.03-14.37 81.1 84.0 Percentage of amount of loans 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 13.92 .30 13.24-14.45 12.65 12.68 13.18 13.61 11.29 12.60 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 15 16 17 18 19 20 $ 12.78 .53 12.13-13.52 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent)' Standard error 5 6 Interquartile range 7 8 9 10 11 12 381,270 6,482 9.3 * 30,525 465 8.7 $ 58,342 386 12.6 13.22 .26 12.75-13.65 13.23 .41 12.75-13.80 13.06 13.07 * * * 13.35 13.35 * * * * 13.49 13.08 13.31 91.4 84.6 92.7 86.7 90.4 82.7 90.1 90.5 5.2 2.3 66.8 4.6 2.9 18.4 11.1 6.8 54.4 * 27.3 18.5 * 32.1 44.0 * * * * 24.4 * * 30.1 30.1 OTHER BANKS 12 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars). 2 Number of loahs 3 Weighted average maturity (months) • • $ 913,054 55,830 8.8 $ 133,673 37,263 8.0 $ 163,198 11,157 9.4 $ 108,080 3,181 8.9 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 5 Standard error 6 Interquartile range5 12.89 .15 12.24-13.50 12.97 .17 12.55-13.80 12.74 .16 12.26-13.45 12.88 .22 12.11-13.31 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses — Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 13.19 12.83 12.82 13.08 12.44 13.25 13.79 13.25 12.76 13.40 12.78 13.38 12.60 13.00 12.65 12.89 12.% 7 8 9 10 11 12 For notes see end of table. * * 13.59 12.68 $ 178,107 2,595 13.2 13.18 .24 12.47-14.45 * * * * * * * 13.43 $ 194,415 1,326 7.4 13.37 .31 12.60-13.53 * * 13.37 * * 13.85 A78 4.23 Special Tables • March 1990 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, May 1-5, 19891—Continued C. Loans to Farmers12—Continued Size class of loans (thousands) Characteristic $250 and over All sizes Percentage of amount of loans 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 15 16 17 18 19 20 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 39.6 41.4 53.9 50.2 41.1 40.8 45.2 37.4 38.7 39.9 37.3 36.0 12.7 9.7 63.5 3.2 4.4 6.5 7.1 6.6 71.9 7.2 10.0 10.0 67.1 5.5 15.7 18.6 56.4 * * * * * 53.4 49.4 * * * 5.5 3.8 •Note. These data should have appeared in the November 1989 issue but were inadvertently replaced with August 7-11, 1989 data. *Fewer than 10 sample loans. 1. The survey of terms of bank lending to business collects data on gross loan extensions made during the first full business week in the mid-month of each quarter by a sample of 340 commercial banks of all sizes. A subsample of 250 banks also report loans to farmers. The sample data are blown up to estimate the lending terms at all insured commercial banks during that week. The estimated terms of bank lending are not intended for use in collecting the terms of loans extended over the entire quarter or residing in the portfolios of those banks. Mortgage loans, purchased loans, foreign loans, and loans of less than $1,000 are excluded from the survey. As of Dec. 31, 1988, assets of most of the large banks were at least $6.0 billion. For all insured banks total assets averaged $220 million. 2. Average maturities are weighted by loan size and exclude demand loans. 3. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loan and weighted by loan size. 4. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of lending at all banks. * • 15.9 * * 5. The interquartile range shows the interest rate range that encompasses the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. 6. The most common base rate is that rate used to price the largest dollar volume of loans. Base pricing rates include the prime rate (sometimes referred to as a bank's "basic" or "reference" rate); the federal funds rate; domestic money market rates other than the federal funds rate; foreign money market rates; and other base rates not included in the foregoing classifications. 7. Overnight loans are loans that mature on the following business day. 8. Demand loans have no stated date of maturity. 9. Nominal (not compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from survey data on the stated rate and other terms of the loan and weighted by loan size. 10. The prime rate reported by each bank is weighted by the volume of loans extended and then averaged. 11. The proportion of loans made at rates below prime may vary substantially from the proportion of such loans outstanding in banks' portfolios. 12. Among banks reporting loans to farmers (Table B), most "large banks" (survey strata 1 to 2) had over $20 million in farm loans, and most "other banks" (survey strata 3 to 5) had farm loans below $20 million. The survey of terms of bank lending to farmers now includes loans secured by farm real estate. In addition, the categories describing the purpose of farm loans have now been expanded to include "purchase or improve farm real estate." In previous surveys, the purpose of such loans was reported as "other." Financial Markets 4.23 A73 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, November 6-10, 19891 A. Commercial and Industrial Loans Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Weighted average maturity2 Days Loan rate (percent) Weighted average effective3 Standard error4 Interquartile range5 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) Most common pricing ALL BANKS 1 Overnight7 * 13,762,089 5,861 9.56 .41 9.21-9.73 54.7 8.7 Other 2 One month and under 3 Fixed rate 4 Floating rate 7,774,661 4,832,909 2,941,751 806 983 623 19 21 16 10.17 10.18 10.15 .10 .08 .20 9.52-10.56 9.61-10.34 9.33-11.02 84.2 79.6 91.8 8.8 11.8 4.0 Domestic Domestic Domestic 5 Over one month and under a year . Fixed rate 6 7 Floating rate 9,856,562 4,307,635 5,548,927 138 130 145 153 131 170 11.11 10.72 11.42 .17 .18 .16 10.03-12.13 9.86-11.66 10.38-12.19 80.8 75.9 84.6 14.0 13.0 14.7 Prime Other Prime 8 Demand8 9 Fixed rate 10 Floating rate 12,651,826 1,869,578 10,782,248 217 419 200 * * * 11.24 10.09 11.44 .14 .27 .15 10.47-12.19 9.25-10.52 11.02-12.40 86.8 78.0 88.4 6.4 11.7 5.4 Prime Domestic Prime 11 Total short term 44,045,138 311 53 10.50 .16 9.46-11.30 75.0 9.2 Prime 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and over 24,769.253 221,280 125,337 209,130 527,537 437,327 23,248,642 554 7 33 66 207 697 7,752 30 111 120 146 76 79 26 9.92 12.67 12.46 12.01 11.56 10.60 9.81 .14 .15 .18 .24 .18 .14 .13 9.31-10.23 11.84-13.44 12.00-12.89 11.50-13.12 10.73-12.68 9.96-11.07 9.28-10.07 65.0 24.0 28.0 18.2 44.2 55.6 66.7 10.3 1.6 .1 6.6 3.3 5.7 10.7 Other Other Prime Prime Prime Other Other 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and over 19,275,885 469,932 501,634 921,658 3,432,317 1,577,865 12,372,478 199 10 34 66 203 673 4,727 117 153 146 160 153 156 100 11.24 12.64 12.45 12.26 11.95 11.58 10.82 .15 .09 .05 .05 .06 .06 .15 10.26-12.19 12.01-13.24 11.85-13.24 11.57-12.75 11.07-12.64 11.02-12.15 9.73-11.67 87.8 73.8 79.5 82.2 85.3 90.7 89.4 7.9 .6 1.6 3.6 6.2 9.4 9.0 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Months 5,180,184 260 43 11.36 .15 10.92-12.19 74.2 12.2 Prime 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and over 910,099 153,314 126,685 38,287 591,813 114 22 181 670 4,339 49 41 46 76 50 10.68 12.28 12.08 11.32 9.93 .29 .23 .18 .19 .24 9.37-11.63 11.57-13.23 11.30-12.75 10.97-12.13 9.33-10.98 54.1 15.8 23.9 39.1 71.4 .9 .3 3.2 .0 .7 Other Other Prime Other Other 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and over 4,270,086 207,194 520,021 376,052 3,166,819 359 25 206 628 4,987 41 52 38 41 41 11.51 12.48 12.23 11.89 11.28 .15 .12 .16 .13 .12 11.02-12.19 11.85-13.24 11.30-12.68 11.07-12.75 10.92-12.13 78.5 52.2 65.2 66.8 83.8 14.6 2.4 11.2 12.9 16.1 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime 8.9 7.6 16.1 10.2 26 Total long term Loan rate (percent) Prime rate Days Effective3 Nominal9 9.06 9.34 9.47 9.29 10.50 10.51 10.57 10.54 53.8 86.7 91.0 79.0 LOANS MADE BELOW PRIME11 Overnight7 ••'. One month and under Over one month and under a year 8 Demand * 13,280,063 6,097,250 4,347,067 3,726,833 7,900 2,836 548 1,264 17 134 * 9.48 9.77 9.87 9.68 41 Total short term 27,451,213 1,865 30 9.64 9.22 10.52 70.4 9.9 42 Fixed rate 43 Floating rate 21,452,877 5,998,335 2,339 1,081 22 70 9.61 9.73 9.19 9.32 10.51 10.55 64.7 90.8 10.7 7.1 37 38 39 40 Months 44 Total long term 1,402,820 541 45 9.79 9.40 10.63 82.8 12.0 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate .. 528,022 874,798 282 1,210 44 46 9.57 9.92 9.23 9.51 10.62 10.63 73.0 88.7 14.3 10.6 For notes see end of table. A80 4.23 Special Tables • March 1990 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, November 6-10, 1989'—Continued A. Commercial and Industrial Loans—Continued Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Weighted average maturity2 Days Loan rate (percent) Weighted average effective3 Standard Interquartile range5 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) LARGE BANKS 1 Overnight7 11,804,163 8,363 2 One month and under 3 Fixed rate 4 Floating rate 6,223,515 3,992,273 2,231,241 4,567 5,795 3,311 22 5 Over one month and under a year . 6 Fixed rate 7 Floating rate 5,911,897 2,899,355 3,012,542 1,053 3,685 624 8 Demand8 9 Fixed rate 10 Floating rate 7,851,684 1,235,547 6,616,137 438 685 411 11 Total short term 31,791,258 1,209 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and over 19,928,382 8,623 10,820 20,247 141,106 187,140 19,560,445 4,254 10 32 66 227 678 8,455 26 100 76 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and over 11,862,876 82,720 103,240 222,580 1,092,501 631,503 9,730,332 549 11 34 66 208 671 5,800 102 9.56 9.21-9.74 47.6 10.1 13 10.07 10.13 9.95 9.49-10.24 9.54-10.31 9.01-10.22 85.3 80.5 93.8 7.1 9.2 3.4 150 132 167 10.72 10.35 11.08 9.92-11.66 9.86-10.89 10.12-12.13 90.5 88.7 92.3 18.6 11.01 9.97 82.8 7.5 11.20 9.96-12.13 9.12-10.50 10.54-12.19 69.8 85.3 16.0 10.23 9.38-11.02 71.7 10.5 9.82 12.02 11.70 11.59 10.93 10.59 9.80 9.28-10.10 11.50-12.50 11.50-12.13 11.02-12.50 10.33-11.50 9.73-11.25 9.28-10.06 61.5 26.7 34.5 38.2 66.6 70.1 61.5 11.5 10.94 12.33 12.31 11.75 11.57 10.75 9.83-12.01 11.57-13.24 11.57-12.96 11.35-12.68 11.02-12.19 11.02-12.19 9.68-11.63 88.7 76.7 84.8 87.4 89.6 91.2 19 126 57 30 26 148 152 146 164 153 % 12.10 88.6 18.5 18.8 5.9 .0 .0 .0 7.3 6.1 11.6 8.7 .5 1.0 2.0 4.2 7.1 9.6 Months 26 Total long term 3,397,972 1,116 11.04 10.12-12.01 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and over 513,629 5,231 12,841 10,995 484,561 1,346 25 217 599 5,113 9.89 11.66 11.39 9.79 9.20-10.22 11.57-13.31 10.75-12.68 10.73-12.13 9.20-10.22 25.6 45.3 52.0 70.3 2.7 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and over 2,884,343 38,540 208,403 168,373 2,469,027 1,083 37 230 668 5,486 11.25 12.44 11.90 11.73 11.14 10.68-12.13 11.57-12.96 11.02-12.55 11.02-12.19 10.41-12.13 89.4 79.9 85.7 84.4 90.2 15.8 4.4 11.5 15.8 16.3 12.28 .0 .0 Loan rate (percent) Days Prime rate" Effective3 Nominal9 LOANS MADE BELOW PRIME 1 37 38 39 40 Overnight7 One month and under Over one month and under a year . Demand8 11,325,433 5,185,025 3,350,076 2,918,581 9,380 7,563 5,168 3,163 17 131 9.47 9.76 9.84 9.68 9.05 9.33 9.45 9.29 10.50 10.50 10.50 10.50 46.2 86.7 92.3 74.2 10.5 5.3 19.2 11.7 41 Total short term 22,779,114 6,576 27 9.62 9.20 10.50 65.8 10.7 42 Fixed rate 43 Floating rate 17,847,501 4,931,613 7,285 4,863 9.60 9.68 9.19 9.27 10.50 10.50 59.2 89.6 11.8 79.2 92.3 17.6 4.4 6.7 Months 44 Total long term 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate For notes see end of table. 1,147,113 4,041 9.65 9.29 10.50 403,745 743,369 3,362 4,540 9.41 9.79 9.11 9.39 10.50 10.50 Financial Markets A73 4.23—Continued A. Commercial and Industrial Loans—Continued Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Weighted EVCfEJC maturity2 Days Loan rate (percent) Weighted average effective3 Standard error4 Interquartile range5 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) OTHER BANKS * 1 Overnight7 1,957,926 2,090 9.55 .83 9.33-9.69 97.8 .0 2 One month and under 3 Fixed rate 4 Floating rate 1,551,146 840,636 710,510 187 199 175 20 17 22 10.59 10.42 10.79 .05 .08 .19 9.76-11.07 9.81-10.71 9.48-11.07 80.0 75.4 85.4 15.5 23.8 5.6 5 Over one month and under a year . 6 Fixed rate 7 Floating rate 3,944,665 1,408,280 2,536,386 60 44 76 158 129 174 11.69 11.47 11.82 .14 .16 .14 11.02-12.68 9.85-12.67 11.02-12.68 66.1 49.5 75.3 7.0 1.7 9.9 8 Demand8 9 Fixed rate 10 Floating rate 4,800,143 634,032 4,166,111 119 239 no * * * 11.62 10.30 11.83 .06 .51 .06 11.02-12.55 9.33-10.88 11.07-12.55 93.4 94.1 93.3 4.6 3.3 4.8 11 Total short term 12,253,880 106 88 11.18 .11 9.81-12.19 83.6 6.0 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and over 4,840,871 212,657 114,516 188,883 386,431 250,186 3,688,197 121 7 33 66 201 711 5,380 47 111 120 146 80 108 27 10.36 12.70 12.53 12.06 11.79 10.61 9.90 .20 .10 .15 .45 .16 .21 .26 9.42-11.07 11.90-13.47 12.06-13.03 11.57-13.24 10.73-12.75 9.97-11.07 9.35-10.07 79.4 23.9 27.4 16.1 36.1 44.8 94.3 5.0 1.6 .1 7.3 1.8 5.3 5.6 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and over 7,413,009 387,212 398,394 699,078 2,339,816 946,362 2,642,146 98 10 34 66 200 675 2,811 141 153 145 162 150 158 120 11.72 12.71 12.49 12.31 12.04 11.59 11.08 .10 .06 .06 .05 .07 .11 .20 11.02-12.55 12.13-13.31 11.85-13.24 11.63-12.75 11.30-12.68 11.05-12.15 10.44-11.85 86.4 73.1 78.2 80.5 83.3 90.3 92.4 6.6 0.7 1.7 4.0 7.1 11.0 6.8 Months 1,782,213 106 44 11.96 .10 11.20-12.68 51.2 9.6 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) .. 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and over 3%,470 148,082 113,844 27,292 107,251 52 21 178 704 2,578 52 41 46 89 65 11.70 12.28 12.12 11.29 10.54 .26 .40 .23 .24 .30 11.02-12.75 11.57-13.23 11.35-12.96 10.97-11.99 9.80-11.35 34.9 15.4 21.5 33.9 76.2 1.1 .2 3.6 .0 .0 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and over 1,385,743 168,654 311,618 207,678 697,792 150 24 192 600 3,773 42 56 38 42 40 12.04 12.49 12.46 12.01 11.76 .18 .12 .28 .24 .11 11.25-12.68 11.91-13.24 11.57-12.% 11.25-12.75 11.07-12.19 55.9 45.9 51.5 52.6 61.3 12.1 1.9 11.0 10.5 15.4 97.8 86.3 86.5 %.l .0 20.5 5.6 4.7 26 Total long term Loan rate (percent) Prime rate Days Effective3 Nominal9 9.12 9.40 9.56 9.27 10.50 10.55 10.78 10.70 LOANS MADE BELOW PRIME11 Overnight7 '. One month and under Over one month and under a year Demand8 * 1,954,630 912,225 9%,991 808,252 4,127 623 137 399 15 146 9.54 9.85 9.98 9.70 41 Total short term 4,672,098 415 42 9.72 9.29 10.61 92.8 6.0 42 Fixed rate 43 Floating rate 3,605,376 1,066,722 536 235 23 123 9.65 9.98 9.22 9.55 10.55 10.79 91.8 %.2 5.3 8.6 37 38 39 40 * Months 44 Total long term 255,707 111 45 10.39 9.9! 11.20 60.9 25.1 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate .. 124,278 131,430 71 235 55 36 10.09 10.67 9.63 10.16 11.00 11.39 52.7 68.6 3.5 45.4 For notes see end of table. A82 4.23 Special Tables • March 1990 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, November 6-10, 19891—Continued B. Loans to Farmers12 Size class of loans (thousands) Characteristic All sizes $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $250 $100-249 and over ALL BANKS 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) 2 Number of loans $ i Weighted average maturity (months)2 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent)3 5 Standard error 6 Interquartile range5 7 8 9 10 11 12 lb 17 18 19 20 $ 110,182 28,997 6.9 $ 154,326 10,446 6.9 $ 197,356 5,685 8.8 $ 158,728 2,316 9.0 $ 205,328 1,357 8.1 $ 306,586 590 8.0 12.16 .50 11.50-12.75 12.53 .20 12.01-13.05 12.51 .23 11.96-13.03 12.04 .23 11.56-12.69 12.25 .28 11.67-12.84 11.95 .58 11.02-12.08 12.69 13.03 12.63 12.94 12.23 12.81 12.65 12.80 12.45 12.16 12.61 12.34 12.60 12.65 12.45 12.28 12.22 12.20 12.26 12.63 11.53 12.28 12.53 12.18 11.48 11.55 11.39 62.5 55.9 45.1 42.0 44.0 40.4 54.6 51.1 29.1 17.2 37.1 2.9 5.1 8.6 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 12.70 .44 12.19-13.21 12.20 12.19 12.08 12.37 12.26 12.16 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other Percentage of amount of loans 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 15 1,132,505 49,391 8.0 13.1 10.1 61.8 7.8 2.1 5.1 23.4 13.8 50.8 4.6 2.1 5.3 35.9 19.4 29.3 5.1 7.6 2.7 * * 11.17 12.50 * 12.01 11.97 57.5 41.8 73.4 62.7 78.6 74.5 38.5 13.2 33.2 31.0 8.2 33.9 27.1 28.3 30.7 * 3.6 9.7 * 18.3 8.3 LARGE BANKS12 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) 2 Number of loans 3 Weighted average maturity (months)2 $ 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent)3 5 Standard error 6 Interquartile range 7 8 9 10 11 12 $ 15,226 3,920 6.9 29,809 1,989 7.6 $ $ 44,387 1,251 9.0 48,331 711 7.2 $ $ 107,771 708 7.5 $ 254,674 440 7.4 11.77 .48 11.07-12.47 12.49 .16 12.01-12.96 12.31 .21 11.91-12.75 12.18 .14 11.63-12.70 11.97 .16 11.42-12.47 11.38 .53 11.02-12.01 12.58 12.87 12.70 13.30 12.23 12.88 12.54 12.64 12.47 12.13 12.33 12.51 12.43 12.78 12.25 12.06 12.30 12.23 11.90 11.33 11.14 11.39 11.99 11.97 11.48 12.40 85.7 80.7 85.5 79.4 86.2 75.3 88.7 73.5 27.7 14.9 38.7 1.4 4.1 13.1 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other 12.74 .43 12.19-13.31 11.76 11.33 11.82 12.32 11.79 12.09 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other Percentage of amount of loans 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 15 16 17 18 19 20 500,097 9,018 7.5 13.0 5.0 60.9 5.0 2.1 14.1 25.1 6.9 47.0 3.0 3.7 14.3 37.2 5.3 42.5 * * 12.01 * * * * 12.03 87.4 77.4 3.0 9.9 11.92 92.1 89.4 82.1 79.6 28.2 3.4 40.7 31.9 35.2 25.4 25.4 36.9 * 6.6 19.2 * 24.5 7.5 OTHER BANKS12 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) 2 Number of loans i Weighted average maturity (months)2 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent)3 5 Standard error4 6 Interquartile range / 8 9 10 11 12 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other For notes see end of table. $ 632,408 40,374 8.3 $ 94,956 25,078 6.9 $ 124,516 8,457 6.8 $ 152,969 4,434 8.8 12.46 .12 11.97-13.03 12.70 .07 12.19-13.16 12.54 .10 12.01-13.10 12.57 .09 12.00-13.10 12.53 12.72 12.30 12.39 12.52 12.29 12.71 13.04 12.62 12.90 12.22 12.76 12.68 12.82 12.44 12.17 12.66 12.64 12.55 * * * 12.24 $ 110,397 1,605 9.6 11.99 .17 10.88-12.68 * $ 97,557 650 8.6 12.55 .23 11.91-12.89 12.31 * 11.11 * * » * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Financial Markets A25 4.23—Continued B. Loans to Farmers12—Continued Size class of loans (thousands) Characteristic All sizes Percentage of amount of loans 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 15 16 17 18 19 20 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over 44.2 36.3 38.6 36.0 33.9 32.0 44.7 44.6 44.5 26.3 52.7 33.3 * 30.1 19.1 35.9 4.0 5.9 5.0 13.1 10.9 62.0 8.3 2.1 3.6 23.0 15.5 51.7 5.0 35.5 23.5 25.5 43.0 *Fewer than 10 sample loans. 1. The survey of terms of bank lending to business collects data on gross loan extensions made during the first full business week in the mid-month of each quarter by a sample of 340 commercial banks of all sizes. A subsample of 250 banks also report loans to farmers. The sample data are blown up to estimate the lending terms at all insured commercial banks during that week. The estimated terms of bank lending are not intended for use in collecting the terms of loans extended over the entire quarter or residing in the portfolios of those banks. Mortgage loans, purchased loans, foreign loans, and loans of less than $1,000 are excluded from the survey. As of Dec. 31, 1988, assets of most of the large banks were at least $6.0 billion. For all insured banks total assets averaged $220 million. 2. Average maturities are weighted by loan size and exclude demand loans. 3. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loan and weighted by loan size. 4. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of lending at all banks. 5. The interquartile range shows the interest rate range that encompasses the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. * 9.0 * * * * * * * * * * * 30.0 * * * 6. The most common base rate is that rate used to price the largest dollar volume of loans. Base pricing rates include the prime rate (sometimes referred to as a bank's "basic" or "reference" rate); the federal funds rate; domestic money market rates other than the federal funds rate; foreign money market rates; and other base rates not included in the foregoing classifications. 7. Overnight loans are loans that mature on the following business day. 8. Demand loans have no stated date of maturity. 9. Nominal (not compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from survey data on the stated rate and other terms of the loan and weighted by loan size. 10. The prime rate reported by each bank is weighted by the volume of loans extended and then averaged. 11. The proportion of loans made at rates below prime may vary substantially from the proportion of such loans outstanding in banks' portfolios. 12. Among banks reporting loans to farmers (Table B), most "large banks" (survey strata 1 to 2) had over $20 million in farm loans, and most "other banks" (survey strata 3 to 5) had farm loans below $20 million. The survey of terms of bank lending to farmers now includes loans secured by farm real estate. In addition, the categories describing the purpose of farm loans have now been expanded to include "purchase or improve farm real estate." In previous surveys, the purpose of such loans was reported as "other." A84 4.30 Special Tables • March 1990 ASSETS A N D LIABILITIES of U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks, September 30, 19891 Millions of dollars All states2 Item New York California Illinois Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only 561,461 264,602 414,924 210,081 78,029 28,788 41,394 16,091 2 Claims on nonrelated parties 3 Cash and balances due from depository institutions 4 Cash items in process of collection and unposted debits 5 Currency and coin (U.S. and foreign) 6 Balances with depository institutions in United States .. 7 U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks (including their IBFs) 8 Other depository institutions in United States (including their IBFs) 9 Balances with banks in foreign countries and with foreign central banks 10 Foreign branches of U.S. banks Other banks in foreign countries and foreign central 11 banks 12 Balances with Federal Reserve Banks 504,359 144,548 214,215 123,285 372,026 120,685 170,991 102,570 70,893 9,858 22,972 8,939 40,955 12,168 14,812 10,651 836 23 80,380 0 n.a. 61,522 783 17 67,035 0 n.a. 50,963 31 2 5,419 0 n.a. 4,686 5 1 7,114 0 n.a. 5,638 70,469 58,428 59,005 48,274 4,840 4,544 6,171 5,431 9,911 3,095 8,030 2,689 579 142 943 206 62,579 1,741 61,763 1,700 52,244 1,091 51,608 1,050 4,371 593 4,253 593 5,014 50 5,013 50 60,838 730 60,062 n.a. 51,153 607 50,558 n.a. 3,778 35 3,660 n.a. 4,964 34 4,963 n.a. 13 Total securities and loans 283,392 78,364 188,429 58,131 50,962 12,477 26,470 3,590 35,113 5,559 11,338 n.a. 29,194 5,122 9,193 n.a. 3,901 188 1,511 n.a. 1,258 188 544 n.a. 1 Total assets4 14 Total securities, book value 15 U.S. Treasury 16 Obligations of U.S. government agencies and corporations 17 Other bonds, notes, debentures and corporate stock (including state and local securities) 4,909 n.a. 4,758 n.a. 101 n.a. 10 n.a. 24,645 11,338 19,314 9,193 3,612 1,511 1,060 544 20,139 11,038 5,160 3,941 3,760 2,240 12 1,508 18,779 10,075 4,951 3,752 3,310 1,789 12 1,508 642 565 68 9 305 305 0 0 349 283 24 42 114 114 0 0 248,491 213 248,278 67,067 41 67,026 159,368 133 159,236 48,975 37 48,938 47,115 55 47,061 10,969 2 10,967 25,228 16 25,212 3,048 2 3,046 28,033 57,553 33,464 29,348 4,116 347 33,208 11,528 10,984 544 15,333 40,301 23,578 20,279 3,299 213 20,574 5,992 5,681 310 7,238 10,693 6,598 6,253 345 128 8,004 4,002 3,778 224 3,128 4,161 3,019 2,555 464 0 2,603 1,474 1,464 10 111 23,979 499 23,480 7,480 3 21,677 367 21,310 857 55 16,669 430 16,239 5,403 3 14,579 299 14,281 658 50 4,045 42 4,003 981 0 4,002 42 3,960 157 5 1,137 25 1,111 541 0 1,129 25 1,104 28 130,972 109,947 21,026 1,346 283 1,063 15,780 193 15,586 15 4 11 78,675 62,169 16,506 833 229 603 13,409 90 13,319 15 4 11 25,878 23,111 2,767 432 40 392 1,708 94 1,614 0 0 0 16,998 16,537 460 10 0 10 330 9 320 0 0 0 18,023 16,629 15,037 13,881 1,023 972 132 88 2,745 2,339 79 152 1,944 1,843 79 145 800 70 0 0 0 259 0 0 56,281 31,092 21,633 9,459 8,805 n.a. n.a. n.a. 44,133 23,324 14,587 8,737 6,981 n.a. n.a. n.a. 9,431 6,805 6,265 539 1,250 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1,968 718 711 8 458 n.a. n.a. n.a. 25,189 57,103 8,805 50,388 20,809 42,898 6,981 39,089 2,626 7,136 1,250 5,816 1,249 439 458 1,279 57,103 n.a. 42,898 n.a. 7,136 n.a. n.a. 50,388 n.a. 39,089 n.a. 5,816 n.a. 1,279 52 Total liabilities 561,461 264,602 414,924 210,081 78,029 28,788 41,394 16,091 53 Liabilities to nonrelated parties 484,914 232,388 370,349 186,115 70,822 26,744 26,715 11,245 18 Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell 19 U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks 20 Commercial banks in United States 21 Other 22 Total loans, gross 73 Less: Unearned income on loans 24 Equals: Loans, net Total loans, gross, by category 75 Real estate loans 26 Loans to depository institutions 27 Commercial banks in United States (including IBFs) 28 U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks . . . 29 Other commercial banks in United States 30 Other depository institutions in United States (including IBFs) 31 Banks in foreign countries Foreign branches of U.S. banks 37. 33 Other banks in foreign countries 34 Other financial institutions 35 Commercial and industrial loans 36 U.S. addressees (domicile) 37 Non-U.S. addressees (domicile) 38 Acceptances of other banks 39 U.S. banks 40 Foreign banks 41 Loans to foreign governments and official institutions (including foreign central banks) 42 Loans for purchasing or carrying securities (secured and unsecured) 43 All other loans 44 All other assets 45 Customers' liability on acceptances outstanding 46 U.S. addressees (domicile) Non-U.S. addressees (domicile) 47 48 Other assets including other claims on nonrelated parties 49 Net due from related depository institutions 50 Net due from head office and other related depository institutions 51 Net due from establishing entity, head offices, and other related depository institutions 4 439 n.a. U.S. Branches and Agencies A85 4.30—Continued Millions of dollars All states2 Item 54 Total deposits and credit balances 55 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 56 U.S. addressees (domicile) 57 Non-U.S. addressees (domicile) 58 Commercial banks in United States (including IBFs)... 59 U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks .. 60 Other commercial banks in United States 61 Banks in foreign countries 62 Foreign branches of U.S. banks 63 Other banks in foreign countries 64 Foreign governments and official institutions (including foreign central banks) 65 All other deposits and credit balances 66 Certified and official checks 67 Transaction accounts and credit balances (excluding IBFs) 68 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 69 U.S. addressees (domicile) 70 Non-U.S. addressees (domicile) 71 . Commercial banks in United States (including IBFs)... U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks .. 72 Other commercial banks in United States 73 74 Banks in foreign countries 75 Foreign branches of U.S. banks Other banks in foreign countries 76 77 Foreign governments and official institutions (including foreign central banks) 78 All other deposits and credit balances 79 Certified and official checks 80 Demand deposits (included in transaction accounts and credit balances) 81 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations U.S. addressees (domicile) 82 Non-U.S. addressees (domicile) 83 84 Commercial banks in United States (including IBF)s... 85 U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks .. 86 Other commercial banks in United States 87 Banks in foreign countries Foreign branches of U.S. banks 88 89 Other banks in foreign countries 90 Foreign governments and official institutions (including foreign central banks) 91 All other deposits and credit balances 92 Certified and official checks 93 Non-transaction accounts (including MMDAs, excluding IBFs) 94 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 95 U.S. addressees (domicile) Non-U.S. addressees (domicile) 96 97 Commercial banks in United States (including IBFs)... 98 U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks .. 99 Other commercial banks in United States 100 Banks in foreign countries Foreign branches of U.S. banks 101 102 Other banks in foreign countries 103 Foreign governments and official institutions (including foreign central banks) 104 All other deposits and credit balances 105 IBF deposit liabilities 106 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 107 U.S. addressees (domicile) 108 Non-U.S. addressees (domicile) 109 Commercial banks in United States (including IBFs)... 110 U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks .. Other commercial banks in United States 111 112 Banks in foreign countries Foreign branches of U.S. banks 113 Other banks in foreign countries 114 115 Foreign governments and official institutions (including foreign central banks) 116 All other deposits and credit balances For notes see end of table. New York California Illinois Total excluding IBFs IBFs only Total excluding IBFs IBFs only Total excluding IBFs IBFs only Total excluding IBFs IBFs only 76,085 60,514 46, J98 13,616 10,859 4,617 6,242 1,534 175 1,360 183,336 15,577 312 15,265 64,142 56,257 7,885 94,775 6,903 87,872 63,033 49,204 40,730 8,474 9,551 4,024 5,528 1,392 155 1,237 160,512 10,107 288 9,820 55,417 48,300 7,117 86,476 5,859 80,617 3,382 2,640 962 1,678 619 6 613 42 20 22 9,746 335 0 335 4,856 4,326 530 4,489 482 4,007 3,460 2,791 1,916 875 652 561 91 1 0 1 7,014 69 24 45 3,535 3,332 203 3,391 557 2,834 1,065 1,328 785 8,072 7/0 n. a. 938 1,233 714 7,746 767 n a. 24 31 26 67 0 n.a. 2 2 12 20 0 n a. 7,561 4,874 3,578 1,296 254 59 195 871 14 856 n.a. 6,477 3,978 3,044 935 245 58 187 804 14 789 n a. 266 223 179 44 2 0 2 10 0 10 n.a. 247 231 225 6 0 0 0 1 0 1 507 271 785 475 261 714 2 3 26 1 1 12 6,570 4,267 3,168 1,099 131 17 113 748 14 733 5,712 3,587 2,741 846 126 16 110 686 14 671 197 156 133 24 1 0 1 10 0 10 237 222 216 5 0 0 0 1 0 1 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 463 177 785 431 168 714 2 2 26 1 1 12 68,523 55,640 43,320 12,320 10,605 4,558 6,048 664 161 503 56,556 45,226 37,686 7,539 9,306 3,966 5,340 588 >41 448 3,116 2,417 784 1,634 617 6 611 32 20 12 3,213 2,560 1,690 869 652 561 91 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. 559 1,056 n.a. n.a. 463 972 183,336 15,577 312 15,265 64,142 56,257 7,885 94,775 6,903 87,872 8,072 no n.a. n.a. 22 28 160,512 10,107 288 9,820 55,417 48,300 7,117 86,476 5,859 80,617 7,746 767 n.a. n.a. 1 1 9,746 335 0 335 4,856 4,326 530 4,489 482 4,007 67 0 n.a. 7,014 69 24 45 3,535 3,332 203 3,391 557 2,834 20 0 A86 4.30 Special Tables • March 1990 ASSETS A N D LIABILITIES of U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks, September 30, 1989 1 —Continued Millions of dollars All states2 Item New York California Illinois Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only 51,026 13,707 18,487 18,832 118,785 4,680 2,100 748 1,832 36,493 36,880 8,811 11,420 16,650 67,775 2,568 868 285 1,414 16,721 10,503 4,169 5,078 1,256 36,714 1,725 1,055 453 217 14,208 3,105 602 1,712 792 10,918 327 168 10 148 3,545 72,225 30,901 14,795 1,910 37,000 18,337 4,111 835 26,447 8,264 8,443 792 6,709 3,756 1,291 115 41,324 20,219 2,543 17,676 26,341 12,884 19,369 2,459 16,910 2,329 18,663 11,088 1,172 9,916 19,687 3,275 10,307 1,089 9,218 2,304 18,183 5,783 947 4,836 4,484 7,651 5,740 946 4,794 25 2,953 2,270 302 1,968 1,938 1,176 2,254 302 1,952 0 All other liabilites Branch or agency liability on acceptances executed and outstanding Other liabilities to nonrelated parties 131 55,682 7,879 42,148 6,314 10,477 1,065 2,218 33,490 22,193 n.a. n. a. 1,065 1,218 1,001 n.a. 6,314 8,185 2,292 n. a. 7,879 23,581 18,567 Net due to related depository institutions5 Net due to head office and other related depository institutions Net due to establishing entity, head office, and other 134 related depository institutions 76,547 32,215 44,575 23,965 7,207 2,044 14,679 4,846 76,547 n.a. 44,575 n.a. 7,207 n. a. 14,679 n.a. n.a. 32,215 n.a. 23,965 n.a. 2,044 n.a. 4,846 117 118 119 170 121 12.2 m 124 125 126 127 128 Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase U.S. branches and agencies of other foreign banks Other commercial banks in United States Other Other borrowed money Owed to nonrelated commercial banks in United States (including IBFs) Owed to U.S. offices of nonrelated U.S. banks Owed to U.S. branches and agencies of nonrelated foreign banks Owed to nonrelated banks in foreign countries Owed to foreign branches of nonrelated U.S. banks . . . Owed to foreign offices of nonrelated foreign banks.... Owed to others 129 130 132 133 360 360 MEMO 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 Non-interest bearing balances with commercial banks in United States Holding of commercial paper included in total loans Holding of own acceptances included in commercial and industrial loans Commercial and industrial loans with remaining maturity of one year or less Predetermined interest rates Floating interest rates Commercial and industrial loans with remaining maturity of more than one year Predetermined interest rates Floating interest rates 2,178 998 5 1,948 733 5 96 219 0 71 45 3,378 1,913 1,190 134 68,788 39,366 29,422 38,913 20,541 18,372 14,325 10,291 4,034 9,413 5,135 4,278 0 62,185 20,468 41,717 n.a. 39,762 13,826 25,937 n.a. 11,553 3,667 7,886 n. a. 7,585 2,309 5,276 n.a. U.S. Branches and Agencies A87 4.30—Continued Millions of dollars All states2 Item 144 Components of total nontransaction accounts, included in total deposits and credit balances of nontransactional accounts, including IBFs 145 Time CDs in denominations of $100,000 or more 146 Other time deposits in denominations of $100,000 or more 147 Time CDs in denominations of $100,000 or more with remaining maturity of more than 12 months .. Total excluding IBFs New York Total excluding IBFs IBFs only 1 1 89,969 50,385 n.a. 12,906 26,679 All states2 California IBFs only 77,373 42,436 t 1 10,628 Total excluding IBFs IBFs only t 1 3,551 2,165 677 n.a. n.a. 24,309 New York Illinois 710 Total excluding IBFs IBFs only 1 1 3,577 1,618 1,430 n.a. 530 Illinois California Total including IBFs 148 Market value of securities held 149 Immediately available funds with a maturity greater than one day included in other borrowed money 150 Number of reports filed6 IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only Total including IBFs IBFs only 34,269 66,939 531 10,898 n.a. 0 28,708 37,549 253 8,865 n.a. 0 3,549 24,129 127 1,399 n.a. 0 1,254 3,973 53 544 n.a. 0 1. Data are aggregates of categories reported on the quarterly form FFIEC 002, "Report of Assets and Liabilities of U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks." Details may not add to totals because of rounding. This form was first used for reporting data as of June 30, 1980, and was revised as of December 31, 1985. From November 1972 through May 1980, U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks had filed a monthly FR 886a report. Aggregate data from that report were available through the Federal Reserve statistical release G. 11, last issued on July 10, 1980. Data in this table and in the G.ll tables are not strictly comparable because of differences in reporting panels and in definitions of balance sheet items. 2. Includes the District of Columbia. 3. Effective December 1981, the Federal Reserve Board amended Regulations D and Q to permit banking offices located in the United States to operate International Banking Facilities (IBFs). As of December 31, 1985 data for IBFs are reported in a separate column. These data are either included in or excluded from the total columns as indicated in the headings. The notation "n.a." indicates that no IBF data re reported for that item, either because the item is not an eligible IBF asset or liability or because that level of detail is not reported for IBFs. From December 1981 through September 1985, IBF data were included in all applicable items reported. 4. Total assets and total liabilities include net balances, if any, due from or due to related banking institutions in the United States and in foreign countries (see footnote 5). On the former monthly branch and agencyu report, available through the G.ll statistical release, gross balances were included in total assets and total liabilities. Therefopre, total asset and total liability figures in this table are not comparable to those in the G.ll tables. 5. "Related banking institutions" includes the foreign head office and other U.S. and foreign branches and agencies of the bank, the bank's parent holding company, and majority-owned banking subsidiaries of the bank and of its parent holding company (including subsidiaries owned both directly and indirectly). 6. In some cases two or more offices of a foreign bank within the same metropolitan area file a consolidated report. A88 4.31 Special Tables • March 1990 Pro forma balance sheet for priced services of the Federal Reserve System 1 Millions of dollars Item Short-term assets2 Imputed reserve requirement on clearing balances Investment in marketable securities Receivables Materials and supplies Prepaid expenses Items in process of collection 5,140.0 285.1 122.0 6.1 48.4 418.0 6,283.7 2,199.9 2,859.7 80.3 2,748.5 3,037.1 80.2 5,140.0 1.2 131.0 Total long-term liabilities Total liabilities Equity Total liabilities and equity4 1. Details may not sum to totals because of rounding. 2. The imputed reserve requirement on clearing balances and investment in marketable securities reflect the Federal Reserve's treatment of clearing balances maintained on deposit with Reserve Banks by depository institutions. For presentation of the balance sheet and the income statement, clearing balances are reported in a manner comparable to the way correspondent banks report compensating balances held with them by respondent institutions. That is, respondent balances held with a correspondent are subject to a reserve requirement established by the Federal Reserve. This reserve requirement must be satisfied with either vault cash or with nonearning balances maintained at a Reserve Bank. Following this model, clearing balances maintained with Reserve Banks for priced service purposes are subjected to imputed reserve requirements. Therefore, a portion of the clearing balances held with the Federal Reserve is classified on the asset side of the balance sheet as required reserves and is reflected in a manner similar to vault cash and due from bank balances normally shown on a correspondent bank's balance sheet. The remainder of clearing balances is assumed to be available for investment. For these purposes, the Federal Reserve assumes that all such balances are invested in three-month Treasury bills. The account "items in the process of collection" (CIPC) represents the gross amount of Federal Reserve CIPC as of the balance sheet date, stated on a basis comparable with a commercial bank. Adjustments have been made for intraSystem items that would otherwise be double-counted on a consolidated Federal Reserve balance sheet; items associated with nonpriced items, such as items 267.2 124.3 5.7 20.8 461.6 Total short-term liabilities Long-term liabilities Obligations under capital leases Long-term debt 5,865.8 5,601.6 Total long-term assets Total assets Short-term liabilities Clearing balances and balances arising from early credit of uncollected items Deferred available items Short-term debt 214.3 1,571.7 54.7 6.1 19.5 3,999.5 217.9 1,598.1 55.1 6.6 18.6 3,243.7 Total short-term assets Long-term assets3 Premises Furniture and equipment Leases and leasehold improvements Prepaid pension costs September 30, 1988 September 30, 1989 5,865.8 1.2 125.9 132.2 127.1 5,272.2 5,992.9 329.4 290.9 5,601.6 6,283.7 collected for government agencies; and items associated with providing fixed availability or credit prior to receipt and processing of items. The cost base for providing services that must be recovered under the Monetary Control Act includes the cost of float (the difference between the value of gross CIPC and the value of deferred availability items) incurred by the Federal Reserve during the period, valued at the federal funds rate. The amount of float, or net CIPC, represents the portion of gross CIPC that involves a financing cost. 3. Long-term assets on the balance sheet have been allocated to priced services with the direct determination method, which uses the Federal Reserve's Planning and Control System (PACS) to ascertain directly the value of assets used solely in priced services operations and to apportion the value of jointly used assets between priced services and nonpriced services. Also, long-term assets include an estimate of the assets of the Board of Governors directly involved in the development of priced services. Long-term assets include amounts for capital leases and leasehold improvements and for prepaid pension costs associated with priced services. Effective January 1, 1987, the Federal Reserve Banks implemented Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement No. 87, Employer's Accounting for Pensions. 4. A matched-book capital structure has been used for those assets that are not "self-financing" in determining liability and equity amounts. Short-term assets are financed with short-term debt. Long-term assets are financed with long-term debt and equity in a proportion equal to the ratio of long-term debt to equity for the bank holding companies used in the model for the private sector adjustment factor (PSAF). Bank Reported 4.32 Data A89 Pro forma income statement for priced services of the Federal Reserve System 1 Millions of dollars Quarter ending September 30 Item 1989 1988 Income services provided to depository institutions2 178.7 165.9 Production expenses3 138.2 114.2 40.5 51.6 Income from operations Imputed costs4 Interest on float Interest on debt Sales taxes FDIC insurance 9.6 12.6 1.9 .4 24.5 Income from operations after imputed costs Other income and expenses5 Investment income Earnings credits 10.0 12.1 2.0 .4 24.5 16.0 37.4 35.0 _2.4 Income before income taxes 27.1 34.6 32.6 2.0 18.4 Imputed income taxes6 29.1 6.2 9.4 12.2 19.7 8.2 Net income 8.2 MEMO Targeted return on equity6 Nine months ending June 30 1989 1988 Income services provided to depository institutions2 536.5 493.6 Production expenses3 441.3 376.3 95.1 117.3 Income from operations Imputed costs4 Interest on float Interest on debt Sales taxes FDIC insurance 33.0 21.1 5.6 J.2 Income from operations after imputed costs Other income and expenses5 Investment income Earnings credits Ji0.9 21.6 28.3 6.3 1.2 34.2 116.3 109.3 J7.0 57.4 59.9 90.1 85.1 5.0 41.2 64.9 Imputed income taxes6 18^3 23.6 Net income 22.9 41.3 24.6 24.6 Income before income taxes MEMO Targeted return on equity6 1. The income statement reflects income and expenses for priced services. Included in these amounts are the imputed costs of float, imputed financing costs, and the income related to clearing balances. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. Income represents charges to depository institutions for priced services. This income is realized through one of two methods: direct charges to an institution's account or charges against accumulated earnings credits. Income includes charges for per-item fees, fixed fees, package fees, explicitly priced float, account maintenance fees, shipping and insurance fees, and surcharges. 3. Production expenses include direct, indirect, and other general administrative expenses of the Federal Reserve Banks for providing priced services. Also included are the expenses of staff members of the Board of Governors working directly on the development of priced services, which amounted to $0.4 million in the third quarter and $1.3 million in the first nine months for both 1989 and 1988. 4. Imputed float costs represent the value of float to be recovered, either explicitly or through per-item fees, during the period. Float costs include those for checks, book-entry securities, noncash collection, ACH, and wire transfers. The following table depicts the daily average recovery of float by the Federal Reserve Banks for the second quarter of 1989. In the table, unrecovered float includes that generated by services to government agencies or by other central bank services. Float recovered through income on clearing balances represents increased investable clearing balances as a result of reducing imputed reserve requirements through the use of a deduction for float for cash items in process of collection when calculating the reserve requirement. This income then reduces the float required to be recovered through other means. As-of adjustments and direct charges refer to midweek closing float and interterritory check float, which may be recovered from depositing institutions through adjustments to the institution's reserve or clearing balance or by valuing the float at the federal funds rate and billing the institution directly. Float recovered through per-item fees is valued at the federal funds rate and has been added to the cost base subject to recovery in the second quarter of 1989 Total float 721.2 Unrecovered float 48.9 Float subject to recovery 672.3 Sources of float recovery Income on clearing balances 80.7 As of adjustments 279.5 Direct charges 85.8 Per-item fees 226.3 Also included in imputed costs is the interest on debt assumed necessary to finance priced-service assets and the sales taxes and FDIC insurance assessment that the Federal Reserve would have paid had it been a private-sector firm. 5. Other income and expenses consist of income on clearing balances and the cost of earnings credits granted to depository institutions on their clearing balances. Income on clearing balances represents the average coupon-equivalent yield on three-month Treasury bills applied to the total clearing balance maintained, adjusted for the effect of reserve requirements on clearing balances. Expenses for earnings credits are derived by applying the average federal funds rate to the required portion of the clearing balances, adjusted for the net effect of reserve requirements on clearing balances. 6. Imputed income taxes are calculated at the effective tax rate derived from a model consisting of the 25 largest bank holding companies. The targeted return on equity represents the after-tax rate of return on equity that the Federal Reserve would have earned had it been a private business firm, based on the bank holding company model. A90 Federal Reserve Board of Governors ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman MANUEL H . JOHNSON, Vice Chairman MARTHA R . SEGER WAYNE D . ANGELL OFFICE OF BOARD DIVISION MEMBERS JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant to the Board DONALD J. WINN, Assistant to the Board BOB STAHLY MOORE, Special Assistant to the Board OF INTERNATIONAL E D W I N M . TRUMAN, Staff Director LARRY J. PROMISEL, Senior Associate CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Senior Associate D A V I D H . H O W A R D , Deputy Associate ROBERT F. GEMMILL, Staff LEGAL DIVISION J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., General Counsel RICHARD M. ASHTON, Associate General Counsel OLIVER IRELAND, Associate General Counsel RICKI R. TIGERT, Associate General Counsel SCOTT G. ALVAREZ, Assistant General Counsel MARYELLEN A. BROWN, Assistant to the General Counsel OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WILLIAM W . WILES, Secretary JENNIFER J. JOHNSON, Associate BARBARA R. LOWREY, Associate DIVISION OF CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS GRIFFITH L . GARWOOD, Adviser DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS MICHAEL J. PRELL, Director E D W A R D C . ETTIN, Deputy Director THOMAS D . SIMPSON, Associate Director Director D A V I D J. STOCKTON, Associate Director MARTHA BETHEA, Deputy Associate Director PETER A . TINSLEY, Deputy Associate Director MYRON L . KWAST, Assistant Director PATRICK M . PARKINSON, Assistant Director MARTHA S . SCANLON, Assistant Director JOYCE K . ZICKLER, Assistant Director LEVON H . GARABEDIAN, Assistant Director (A dministration) Director GLENN E . LONEY, Assistant Director ELLEN M A L A N D , Assistant Director DOLORES S . SMITH, Assistant Director DIVISION OF BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION WILLIAM TAYLOR, Staff Director D O N E . K L I N E , Associate Director FREDERICK M . STRUBLE, Associate Director WILLIAM A . RYBACK, Deputy Associate Director STEPHEN C . SCHEMERING, Deputy Associate Director RICHARD SPILLENKOTHEN, Deputy Associate Director HERBERT A . BIERN, Assistant Director JOE M. CLEAVER, Assistant Director ROGER T. COLE, Assistant Director JAMES I. GARNER, Assistant Director JAMES D . GOETZINGER, Assistant Director MICHAEL G . MARTINSON, Assistant Director ROBERT S . PLOTKIN, Assistant Director SIDNEY M . SUSSAN, Assistant Director LAURA M . HOMER, Securities Credit Officer Director Director Director DONALD B . A D A M S , Assistant Director PETER HOOPER I I I , Assistant Director KAREN H . JOHNSON, Assistant Director RALPH W . SMITH, JR., Assistant Director LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Associate Secretary Secretary FINANCE DIVISION OF MONETARY AFFAIRS DONALD L . K O H N , Director D A V I D E . LINDSEY, Deputy Director BRIAN F . MADIGAN, Assistant Director RICHARD D . PORTER, Assistant Director NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Special Assistant OFFICE OF THE INSPECTOR BRENT L. BOWEN, Inspector BARRY R. SNYDER, Assistant to the GENERAL General Inspector General Board A91 and Official Staff EDWARD W . KELLEY, JR. JOHN P. LA WARE OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR FEDERAL RESERVE BANK ACTIVITIES MANAGEMENT S . D A V I D FROST, Staff Director E D W A R D T . M U L R E N I N , Assistant Staff Director WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, Special Assignment: Project THEODORE E. ALLISON, Staff Director, National Information Center Equal Employment Opportunity Programs Officer PORTIA W . THOMPSON, DIVISION OF HUMAN MANAGEMENT JOHN H. PARRISH, Assistant (Programs and Budgets) DARRELL R . P A U L E Y , DIVISION Assistant Controller (Finance) OF SUPPORT SERVICES ROBERT E . FRAZIER, Director GEORGE M . LOPEZ, Assistant Director D A V I D L . WILLIAMS, Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE EXECUTIVE INFORMATION RESOURCES DIRECTOR FOR MANAGEMENT A L L E N E . B E U T E L , Executive Director STEPHEN R . M A L P H R U S , Deputy Executive DIVISION SYSTEMS OF HARDWARE AND Director SOFTWARE Director Assistant Director Assistant Director BRUCE M . BEARDSLEY, DAY W . RADEBAUGH, JR., ELIZABETH B . RIGGS, DIVISION OF APPLICATIONS STATISTICAL SERVICES DEVELOPMENT WILLIAM R . JONES, Director RICHARD C . STEVENS, Assistant Director ROBERT J. Z E M E L , Assistant Director Director LOUISE L . R O S E M A N , Assistant FLORENCE M . Y O U N G , Assistant CONTROLLER GEORGE E . LIVINGSTON, Controller STEPHEN J. CLARK, Assistant Controller RESERVE C L Y D E H . FARNSWORTH, J R . , Director D A V I D L . ROBINSON, Associate Director C . WILLIAM SCHLEICHER, J R . , Associate Director BRUCE J. SUMMERS, Associate Director CHARLES W . B E N N E T T , Assistant Director JACK D E N N I S , J R . , Assistant Director EARL G . H A M I L T O N , Assistant Director RESOURCES D A V I D L . S H A N N O N , Director JOHN R . W E I S , Associate Director A N T H O N Y V . D I G I O I A , Assistant Director JOSEPH H . H A Y E S , J R . , Assistant Director F R E D HOROWITZ, Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE DIVISION OF FEDERAL BANK OPERATIONS Director AND Director Director 92 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1990 Federal Open Market Committee FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE MEMBERS A L A N GREENSPAN, Chairman W A Y N E D . ANGELL E D W A R D G . BOEHNE ROBERT H . BOYKIN E . GERALD CORRIGAN, W . LEE HOSKINS M A N U E L H . JOHNSON E D W A R D W . KELLEY, JR. ALTERNATE ROBERT P . BLACK ROBERT P . FORRESTAL Vice Chairman JOHN P . L A W A R E MARTHA R . SEGER GARY H . STERN MEMBERS SILAS KEEHN JAMES H . OLTMAN ROBERT T . PARRY STAFF DONALD L. KOHN, Secretary and Economist NORMAND R . V . BERNARD, Assistant Secretary GARY P . GILLUM, Deputy Assistant Secretary J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., General ERNEST T . PATRIKIS, Counsel Deputy General Counsel MICHAEL J. PRELL, Economist EDWIN M . TRUMAN, Economist JOHN M. DAVIS, Associate Economist RICHARD G. DAVIS, Associate Economist PETER D . STERNLIGHT, Manager SAM Y . CROSS, Manager for FEDERAL ADVISORY Economist Economist Economist Economist Economist Economist Economist Economist for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account COUNCIL WALTER J. CONNOLLY, JR., First District WILLARD C . BUTCHER, Second District TERRENCE A . LARSEN, Third District THOMAS H . O ' B R I E N , Fourth District FREDERICK D E A N E , JR., Fifth District KENNETH L . ROBERTS, Sixth District RICHARD W. LANG, Associate DAVID E. LINDSEY, Associate LARRY J. PROMISEL, Associate ARTHUR J. ROLNICK, Associate HARVEY ROSENBLUM, Associate CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Associate THOMAS D . SIMPSON, Associate LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Associate Seventh District DAN W. MITCHELL, Eighth District LLOYD P . JOHNSON, Ninth District JORDAN L . HAINES, Tenth District VACANCY, Eleventh District PAUL H A Z E N , Twelfth District B . KENNETH WEST, HERBERT V . PROCHNOW, Secretary WILLIAM J. KORSVIK, Associate Secretary A93 and Advisory Councils CONSUMER ADVISORY COUNCIL WILLIAM E. ODOM, Dearborn, Michigan, Chairman JAMES W . H E A D , Berkeley, California, Vice Chairman GEORGE H . BRAASCH, Oakbrook, Illinois BETTY TOM C H U , Arcadia, California KATHLEEN E. KEEST, Boston, Massachusetts, CLIFF E. COOK, Tacoma, Washington JERRY D . CRAFT, Atlanta, Georgia D O N A L D C. D A Y , Boston, Massachusetts R.B. (JOE) D E A N , JR., Columbia, South Carolina WILLIAM C. DUNKELBERG, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania JAMES FLETCHER, Chicago, Illinois GEORGE C. GALSTER, Wooster, Ohio E . THOMAS G ARM A N , Blacksburg, Virginia DEBORAH B . GOLDBERG, Washington, D.C. MICHAEL M . GREENFIELD, St. Louis, Missouri ROBERT A . HESS, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . BARBARA K A U F M A N , San Francisco, California THRIFT INSTITUTIONS ADVISORY A . J. (JACK) K I N G , Kalispell, Montana COLLEEN D. MCCARTHY, Kansas City, Missouri MICHELLE S . MEIER, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . L I N D A K. PAGE, Columbus, Ohio BERNARD F. PARKER, JR., Detroit, Michigan SANDRA PHILLIPS, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania VINCENT P. QUAYLE, Baltimore, Maryland CLIFFORD N. ROSENTHAL, New York, New York A L A N M. SILBERSTEIN, New York, New York RALPH E. SPURGIN, Columbus, Ohio N A N C Y HARVEY STEORTS, Dallas, Texas D A V I D P. W A R D , Chester, New Jersey LAWRENCE WINTHROP, Portland, Oregon COUNCIL DONALD B . SHACKELFORD, Columbus, Ohio, President MARION O. SANDLER, Oakland, California, Vice President CHARLOTTE CHAMBERLAIN, Los Angeles, California D A V I D L. HATFIELD, Kalamazoo, Michigan L Y N N W . HODGE, Greenwood, South Carolina A D A M A. JAHNS, Chicago, Illinois ELLIOTT K . K N U T S O N , Seattle, Washington JOHN W M . LAISLE, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma PHILIP E . LAMB, Springfield, Massachusetts JOHN A. PANCETTI, New York, New York H. C. KLEIN, Jacksonville, Arkansas CHARLES B. STUZIN, Miami, Florida A94 Federal Reserve Board Publications For ordering assistance, write PUBLICATIONS SERVICES, MS-138, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551 or telephone (202) 4523244. When a charge is indicated, payment should accompany request and be made payable to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Payment from foreign residents should be drawn on a U.S. bank. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, $250.00 per year. Each Handbook, $90.00 per year. THE U . S . ECONOMY IN AN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD: A MULTICOUNTRY M O D E L , May 1984. 590 pp. $14.50 each. WELCOME TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE. March 1989. 14 pp. INDUSTRIAL P R O D U C T I O N — 1 9 8 6 EDITION. December 1986. 440 pp. $9.00 each. 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The Payment System Handbook. $75.00 per year. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. 3 vols. (Contains all three Handbooks plus substantial additional material.) $200.00 per year. Rates for subscribers outside the United States are as follows and include additional air mail costs: CONSUMER EDUCATION PAMPHLETS Short pamphlets suitable for classroom use. Multiple copies are available without charge. Consumer Handbook on Adjustable Rate Mortgages Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws Federal Reserve Glossary A Guide to Business Credit and the Equal Credit Opportunity Act A Guide to Federal Reserve Regulations How to File A Consumer Credit Complaint Series on the Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Open Market Committee Federal Reserve Bank Board of Directors Federal Reserve Banks Organization and Advisory Committees A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-Ins A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Settlement Costs A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Refinancing Making Deposits: When Will Your Money Be Available? When Your Home is on the Line: What You Should Know About Home Equity Lines of Credit PAMPHLETS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS Short pamphlets on regulatory compliance, primarily suitable for banks, bank holding companies, and creditors. Limit of 50 copies The Board of Directors' Opportunities in Community Reinvestment The Board of Directors' Role in Consumer Law Compliance Combined Construction/Permanent Loan Disclosure and Regulation Z Community Development Corporations and the Federal Reserve Construction Loan Disclosures and Regulation Z Finance Charges Under Regulation Z How to Determine the Credit Needs of Your Community Regulation Z: The Right of Rescission A95 The Right to Financial Privacy Act Signature Rules in Community Property States: Regulation B Signature Rules: Regulation B Timing Requirements for Adverse Action Notices: Regulation B What An Adverse Action Notice Must Contain: Regulation B Understanding Prepaid Finance Charges: Regulation Z 156. INTERNATIONAL T R E N D S FOR U . S . B A N K S A N D B A N K - ING MARKETS, by James V. Houpt. May 1988. 47 pp. 1 5 7 . M 2 PER U N I T OF POTENTIAL G N P AS AN ANCHOR FOR THE PRICE L E V E L , by Jeffrey J. Hallman, Richard D. Porter, and David H. Small. April 1989. 28 pp. 158. T H E ADEQUACY A N D CONSISTENCY OF MARGIN R E QUIREMENTS IN THE MARKETS FOR STOCKS A N D DERIVATIVE PRODUCTS, by Mark J. Warshawsky with the assistance of Dietrich Earnhart. September 1989. 23 pp. STAFF STUDIES: Summaries Only Printed in the Bulletin Studies and papers on economic and financial subjects that are of general interest. Requests to obtain single copies of the full text or to be added to the mailing list for the series may be sent to Publications Services. Staff Studies 114-145 are out of print. 1 4 6 . T H E ROLE OF THE PRIME RATE IN THE PRICING OF BUSINESS L O A N S BY COMMERCIAL B A N K S , 1 9 7 7 - 8 4 , b y Thomas F. Brady. November 1985. 25 pp. 1 4 7 . REVISIONS IN THE MONETARY SERVICES (DIVISIA) I N DEXES OF THE MONETARY AGGREGATES, b y H e l e n T . Farr and Deborah Johnson. December 1985. 42 pp. 148. T H E MACROECONOMIC A N D SECTORAL EFFECTS OF THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY T A X ACT: SOME SIMULATION RESULTS, by Flint Brayton and Peter B. Clark. December 1985. 17 pp. 1 4 9 . T H E OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF ACQUIRED FIRMS IN BANKING BEFORE A N D AFTER ACQUISITION, b y S t e p h e n A. Rhoades. April 1986. 32 pp. 1 5 0 . STATISTICAL COST ACCOUNTING MODELS IN BANKING: A REEXAMINATION A N D AN APPLICATION, by John T . Rose and John D. Wolken. May 1986. 13 pp. 1 5 1 . RESPONSES TO DEREGULATION: RETAIL DEPOSIT PRICING FROM 1983 THROUGH 1985, by Patrick I. Mahoney, Alice P. White, Paul F. O'Brien, and Mary M. McLaughlin. January 1987. 30 pp. 1 5 2 . DETERMINANTS OF CORPORATE MERGER ACTIVITY: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, by Mark J. Warshawsky. April 1987. 18 pp. by Carolyn D. Davis and Alice P. White. September 1987. 14 pp. 1 5 3 . STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY, 1 5 4 . T H E EFFECTS ON CONSUMERS A N D CREDITORS OF PROPOSED CEILINGS ON CREDIT CARD INTEREST RATES, b y 155. Glenn B. Canner and James T. Fergus. October 1987. 26 pp. T H E F U N D I N G OF PRIVATE PENSION PLANS, by Mark J. Warshawsky. November 1987. 25 pp. REPRINTS OF BULLETIN ARTICLES Most of the articles reprinted do not exceed 12 pages. Limit of 10 copies Foreign Experience with Targets for Money Growth. 10/83. Intervention in Foreign Exchange Markets: A Summary of Ten Staff Studies. 11/83. A Financial Perspective on Agriculture. 1/84. Survey of Consumer Finances, 1983. 9/84. Bank Lending to Developing Countries. 10/84. Survey of Consumer Finances, 1983: A Second Report. 12/84. Union Settlements and Aggregate Wage Behavior in the 1980s. 12/84. The Thrift Industry in Transition. 3/85. A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production. 7/85. Financial Innovation and Deregulation in Foreign Industrial Countries. 10/85. Recent Developments in the Bankers Acceptance Market. 1/86. The Use of Cash and Transaction Accounts by American Families. 2/86. Financial Characteristics of High-Income Families. 3/86. Prices, Profit Margins, and Exchange Rates. 6/86. Agricultural Banks under Stress. 7/86. Foreign Lending by Banks: A Guide to International and U.S. Statistics. 10/86. Recent Developments in Corporate Finance. 11/86. Measuring the Foreign-Exchange Value of the Dollar. 6/87. Changes in Consumer Installment Debt: Evidence from the 1983 and 1986 Surveys of Consumer Finances. 10/87. Home Equity Lines of Credit. 6/88. U.S. International Transactions in 1988. 5/89. Mutual Recognition: Integration of the Financial Sector in the European Community. 9/89. The Activities of Japanese Banks in the United Kingdom and in the United States, 1980-88. 2/90. A96 Index to Statistical Tables References are to pages A3-A89 although the prefix "A" is omitted in this index ACCEPTANCES, bankers (See Bankers acceptances) Agricultural loans, commercial banks, 19, 20, 76, 81 Assets and liabilities (See also Foreigners) Banks, by classes, 18-20 Domestic finance companies, 36 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Financial institutions, 26 Foreign banks, U.S. branches and agencies, 21, 84-87 Automobiles Consumer installment credit, 39, 40 Production, 49, 50 BANKERS acceptances, 9, 23, 24 Bankers balances, 18-20. (See also Foreigners) Bonds (See also U.S. government securities) New issues, 34 Rates, 24 Branch banks, 21, 57, 84-87 Business activity, nonfinancial, 46 Business expenditures on new plant and equipment, 35 Business loans (See Commercial and industrial loans) CAPACITY utilization, 48 Capital accounts Banks, by classes, 18 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Central banks, discount rates, 69 Certificates of deposit, 24 Commercial and industrial loans Commercial banks, 16, 19, 73-83, 84-85 Weekly reporting banks, 19-21 Commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 18-20, 73-83 Commercial and industrial loans, 16, 18, 19, 20, 21, 73-83 Consumer loans held, by type and terms, 39, 40 Loans sold outright, 19 Nondeposit funds, 17 Real estate mortgages held, by holder and property, 38 Terms of lending 73-83 Time and savings deposits, 3 Commercial paper, 23, 24, 36 Condition statements (See Assets and liabilities) Construction, 46, 51 Consumer installment credit, 39, 40 Consumer prices, 46, 48 Consumption expenditures, 53, 54 Corporations Nonfinancial, assets and liabilities, 35 Profits and their distribution, 35 Security issues, 34, 67 Cost of living (See Consumer prices) Credit unions, 26, 39. (See also Thrift institutions) Currency and coin, 18 Currency in circulation, 4, 13 Customer credit, stock market, 25 DEBITS to deposit accounts, 15 Debt (See specific types of debt or securities) Demand deposits Banks, by classes, 18-21 Ownership by individuals, partnerships, and corporations, 22 Demand deposits—Continued Turnover, 15 Depository institutions Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves and related items, 3 , 4 , 5, 12 Deposits (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 3, 18-20, 21 Federal Reserve Banks, 4, 10 Turnover, 15 Discount rates at Reserve Banks and at foreign central banks and foreign countries (See Interest rates) Discounts and advances by Reserve Banks (See Loans) Dividends, corporate, 35 EMPLOYMENT, 47 Eurodollars, 24 FARM mortgage loans, 38 Federal agency obligations, 4, 9, 10, 11, 31, 32 Federal credit agencies, 33 Federal finance Debt subject to statutory limitation, and types and ownership of gross debt, 30 Receipts and outlays, 28, 29 Treasury financing of surplus, or deficit, 28 Treasury operating balance, 28 Federal Financing Bank, 28, 33 Federal funds, 6, 17, 19, 20, 21, 24, 28 Federal Home Loan Banks, 33 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, 33, 37, 38 Federal Housing Administration, 33, 37, 38 Federal Land Banks, 38 Federal National Mortgage Association, 33, 37, 38 Federal Reserve Banks Condition statement, 10 Discount rates (See Interest fates) U.S. government securities held, 4, 10, 11, 30 Federal Reserve credit, 4, 5, 10, 11 Federal Reserve notes, 10 Federal Reserve System Balance sheet for priced services, 88 Condition statement for priced services, 89 Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation insured institutions, 26 Federally sponsored credit agencies, 33 Finance companies Assets and liabilities, 36 Business credit, 36 Loans, 39, 40 Paper, 23, 24 Financial institutions Loans to, 19, 20, 21 Selected assets and liabilities, 26 Float, 4, 89 Flow of funds, 41, 43, 44, 45 Foreign banks, assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies, 21, 84-87 Foreign currency operations, 10 Foreign deposits in U.S. banks, 4, 10, 19, 20 Foreign exchange rates, 70 A97 Foreign trade, 56 Foreigners Claims on, 57, 59, 62, 63, 64, 66 Liabilities to, 20, 56, 57, 59, 60, 65, 67, 68 GOLD Certificate account, 10 Stock, 4, 56 Government National Mortgage Association, 33, 37, 38 Gross national product, 53 HOUSING, new and existing units, 51 INCOME and expenses, Federal Reserve System, 88-89 Income, personal and national, 46, 53, 54 Industrial production, 46, 49 Installment loans, 39, 40 Insurance companies, 26, 30, 38 Interest rates Bonds, 24 Commercial banks, 73-83 Consumer installment credit, 40 Federal Reserve Banks, 7 Foreign central banks and foreign countries, 69 Money and capital markets, 24 Mortgages, 37 Prime rate, 23 International capital transactions of United States, 55-69 International organizations, 59, 60, 62, 65, 66 Inventories, 53 Investment companies, issues and assets, 35 Investments (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 18, 19, 20, 21, 26 Commercial banks, 3, 16, 18-20, 38 Federal Reserve Banks, 10, 11 Federal Reserve System, 88-89 Financial institutions, 26, 38 LABOR force, 47 Life insurance companies (See Insurance companies) Loans (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 18-20 Commercial banks, 3, 16, 18-20, 73-83 Federal Reserve Banks, 4, 5, 7, 10, 11 Federal Reserve System, 88-89 Financial institutions, 26, 38 Insured or guaranteed by United States, 37, 38 MANUFACTURING Capacity utilization, 48 Production, 48, 50 Margin requirements, 25 Member banks (See also Depository institutions) Federal funds and repurchase agreements, 6 Reserve requirements, 8 Mining production, 50 Mobile homes shipped, 51 Monetary and credit aggregates, 3, 12 Money and capital market rates, 24 Money stock measures and components, 3, 13 Mortgages (See Real estate loans) Mutual funds, 35 Mutual savings banks (See Thrift institutions) NATIONAL defense outlays, 29 National income, 53 OPEN market transactions, 9 PERSONAL income, 54 Prices Consumer and producer, 46, 52 Stock market, 25 Prime rate, 23 Producer prices, 46, 52 Production, 46, 49 Profits, corporate, 35 REAL estate loans Banks, by classes, 16, 19, 20, 38 Financial institutions, 26 Terms, yields, and activity, 37 Type of holder and property mortgaged, 38 Repurchase agreements, 6, 17, 19, 20, 21 Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves Commercial banks, 18 Depository institutions, 3, 4, 5, 12 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 U.S. reserve assets, 56 Residential mortgage loans, 37 Retail credit and retail sales, 39, 40, 46 SAVING Flow of funds, 41, 43, 44, 45 National income accounts, 53 Savings and loan associations, 26, 38, 39, 41. (See also Thrift institutions) Savings banks, 26, 38, 39 Savings deposits (See Time and savings deposits) Securities (See also specific types) Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies, 33 Foreign transactions, 67 New issues, 34 Prices, 25 Special drawing rights, 4, 10, 55, 56 State and local governments Deposits, 19, 20 Holdings of U.S. government securities, 30 New security issues, 34 Ownership of securities issued by, 19, 20, 26 Rates on securities, 24 Stock market, selected statistics, 25 Stocks (See also Securities) New issues, 34 Prices, 25 Student Loan Marketing Association, 33 TAX receipts, federal, 29 Thrift institutions, 3. (See also Credit unions and Savings and loan associations) Time and savings deposits, 3, 13, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21 Trade, foreign, 56 Treasury cash, Treasury currency, 4 Treasury deposits, 4, 10, 28 Treasury operating balance, 28 UNEMPLOYMENT, 47 U.S. government balances Commercial bank holdings, 18, 19, 20 Treasury deposits at Reserve Banks, 4, 10, 28 U.S. government securities Bank holdings, 18-20, 21, 30 Dealer transactions, positions, and financing, 32 Federal Reserve Bank holdings, 4, 10, 11, 30 Foreign and international holdings and transactions, 10, 30, 68 Open market transactions, 9 Outstanding, by type and holder, 26, 30 Rates, 24 U.S. international transactions, 55-69 Utilities, production, 50 VETERANS Administration, 37, 38 WEEKLY reporting banks, 19-21 Wholesale (producer) prices, 46, 52 YIELDS (See Interest rates) A98 Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices FEDERAL RESERVE BANK branch, or facility Zip Chairman Deputy Chairman President First Vice President BOSTON* 02106 Richard N. Cooper Richard L. Taylor Richard F. Syron Robert W. Eisenmenger NEW YORK* 10045 Cyrus R. Vance Ellen V. Futter 14240 Mary Ann Lambertsen E. Gerald Corrigan James H. Oltman PHILADELPHIA 19105 Peter A. Benoliel Gunnar E. Sarsten Edward G. Boehne William H. Stone, Jr. CLEVELAND* 44101 Charles W. Parry John R. Miller 45201 To be announced 15230 Robert P. Bozzone W. Lee Hoskins William H. Hendricks Vice President in charge of branch Buffalo Cincinnati Pittsburgh RICHMOND* 23219 Hanne M. Merriman Anne Marie Whittemore Baltimore 21203 John R. Hardesty, Jr. Charlotte 28230 William E. Masters Culpeper Communications and Records Center 22701 ATLANTA Birmingham Jacksonville Miami Nashville New Orleans CHICAGO* Detroit ST. LOUIS Little Rock Louisville Memphis MINNEAPOLIS Helena KANSAS CITY Denver Oklahoma City Omaha DALLAS El Paso Houston San Antonio SAN FRANCISCO Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle John T. Keane Robert P. Black Jimmie R. Monhollon 30303 Larry L. Prince Edwin A. Huston 35283 A. G. Trammell 32231 Lana Jane Lewis-Brent 33152 Robert D. Apelgren 37203 Victoria B. Jackson 70161 Caroline G. Theus Robert P. Forrestal Jack Guynn 60690 Marcus Alexis Charles S. McNeer 48231 Phyllis E. Peters Silas Keehn Daniel M. Doyle 63166 H. Edwin Trusheim Robert H. Quenon 72203 L. Dickson Flake 40232 Raymond M. Burse 38101 Katherine H. Smythe Thomas C. Melzer James R. Bowen 55480 Michael W. Wright Delbert W. Johnson 59601 J. Frank Gardner Roger Guffey Henry R. Czerwinski 75222 Bobby R. Inman Hugh G. Robinson 79999 Donald G. Stevens 77252 Andrew L. Jefferson, Jr. 78295 Roger R. Hemmingshaus Robert H. Boykin William H.Wallace 94120 Robert F. Erburu Carolyn S. Chambers 90051 Yvonne B. Burke 97208 William A. Hilliard 84125 Don M. Wheeler 98124 Bruce R. Kennedy Robert T. Parry Carl E. Powell Robert D. McTeer, Jr.1 Albert D. Tinkelenberg1 John G. Stoides 1 Gary H. Stern Thomas E. Gainor 64198 Fred W. Lyons, Jr. Burton A. Dole, Jr. 80217 Barbara B. Grogan 73125 John F. Snodgrass 68102 Herman Cain Charles A. Cerino1 Harold J. Swart1 Donald E. Nelson Fred R. Herr1 James D. Hawkins 1 James T. Curry III Melvyn K. Purcell Robert J. Musso Roby L. Sloan1 John F. Breen1 Howard Wells Ray Laurence John D. Johnson Kent M. Scott David J. France Harold L. Shewmaker Tony J. Salvaggio1 Sammie C. Clay Robert Smith, III1 Thomas H. Robertson Thomas C. Warren2 Angelo S. Carella1 E. Ronald Liggett1 Gerald R. Kelly 1 *Additional offices of these Banks are located at Lewiston, Maine 04240; Windsor Locks, Connecticut 06096; Cranford, New Jersey 07016; Jericho, New York 11753; Utica at Oriskany, New York 13424; Columbus, Ohio 43216; Columbia, South Carolina 29210; Charleston, West Virginia 25311; Des Moines, Iowa 50306; Indianapolis, Indiana 46204; and Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202. 1. Senior Vice President. 2. Executive Vice President. A99 The Federal Reserve System Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts and Their Branch Territories mm ttte V. l*V ? Helena Minneapolis^ iinneapolis^ ) (%) V'J^ j j ©l \ ^'""yo^P^^iw**0'11 f I wfL ® / " •<. _ 1 *<* ' ' i * ! I fU^r"rSmwASiB* I . ifibn / V UmphisN^lHi t - l 1 T 1 \ r> little Rock IBirmWto<*$ant^ J® Hons tout San /Inronio Irfi-i BHDbBM mBBBBSSBBBm^ • H I H 1 flHBBHHHi HK9HL 7 / j y • • • H H l H LEGEND ~~ Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts ® Federal Reserve Bank Cities Boundaries of Federal Reserve Branch Territories * Federal Reserve Branch Cities Federal Reserve Bank Facility Q Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System — / •••••••••• ALASKA