Full text of Federal Reserve Bulletin : March 1982
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VOLUME 68 • NUMBER 3 • MARCH 1 9 8 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Washington, D.C. PUBLICATIONS COMMITTEE Joseph R. Coyne, Chairman • Stephen H. Axilrod • Michael Bradfield John M. Denkler • Janet O. Hart • James L. Kichline • Edwin M. Truman Naomi P. Salus, Coordinator The FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN is issued monthly under the direction of the staff publications committee. This committee is responsible for opinions expressed except in official statements and signed articles. The artwork is provided by the Graphic Communications Section under the direction of Peter G. Thomas. Editorial support is furnished by the Economic Editing Unit headed by Mendelle T. Berenson. Table of Contents budget deficits, before the Senate Committee on the Budget, March 2, 1982, and before the Senate Committee on Appropriations, March 4, 1982. 125 MONETAR Y POLIC Y REP OR T TO CONGRESS While economic activity was disappointing last year, signs of progress in reducing inflationary pressures emerged. 135 INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT BONDS: SOME ASPECTS OF THE CURRENT CONTROVERSY The growth of financing through industrial development bonds has raised questions about the appropriate use of implicit federal subsidies and the impact on borrowing costs of state and local governments and on federal revenues. 143 TREASURY AND FEDERAL RESERVE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OPERATIONS In the exchange markets the dollar first declined and then firmed over the period from August 1981 through January 1982. 165 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Output increased about 1.6 percent in February. 167 STATEMENTS TO CONGRESS Paul A. Volcker, Chairman, Board of Governors, comments on the implications of congressional decisions on spending and revenue measures for the overall fiscal position of the government and for financial markets, before the House Committee on Ways and Means, February 23, 1982, and before the Senate Finance Committee on February 24, 1982. 171 Chairman Volcker reviews the recent and prospective course of monetary policy and its relationship to the problem of curtailing 174 Lyle E. Gramley, Member, Board of Governors, gives his views regarding the effects of financial innovations on the conduct of monetary policy and recommends that the Congress impose reserve requirements on money market fund shares and other similar investments to the extent that they serve as the functional equivalent of transaction balances, regardless of the issuer, before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, March 3, 1982. 178 Theodore E. Allison, Staff Director for Federal Reserve Bank Activities, presents the views of the Board on delayed funds availability, including what the Board has learned from studies of the problems and practices of delayed availability and what would be the most productive approach to the problems, before the Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs of the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, March 19, 1982. 185 ANNOUNCEMENTS Resignation of Frederick H. Schultz as a member of the Board of Governors. Amendment of Regulation Z with respect to the definition of an "arranger of credit" under the Truth in Lending Simplification Act. (See Legal Developments.) Publication of a supplement to the list of over-the-counter stocks that are subject to the Federal Reserve's margin regulations. Publication of revised money stock data. AI Proposed policy statement to provide guidance on reviews of applications for approval of bank acquisitions, mergers, or consolidations; proposed regulatory framework that could be used to establish margin requirements on futures contracts based on stock indexes. A3 Domestic Financial Statistics A46 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics A54 International Statistics Admission of six state banks to membership in the Federal Reserve System. 189 LEGAL DEVELOPMENTS Amendment to Regulation Z; various rules and bank holding company and bank merger orders; and pending cases. FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS STATISTICS A69 GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION, STATISTICAL RELEASES, AND SPECIAL TABLES A70 BOARD OF GOVERNORS AND STAFF A72 FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE AND STAFF; ADVISORY COUNCILS A73 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS, BRANCHES, AND OFFICES A74 FEDERAL RESERVE PUBLICATIONS BOARD A76 INDEX TO STATISTICAL TABLES A78 MAP OF FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Monetary Policy Report to Congress Report submitted to the Congress on February 10, 1982, pursuant to the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978.1 MONETARY POLICY AND THE PERFORMANCE OF THE ECONOMY IN 1981 The economy was growing rapidly as 1981 began, continuing the sharp cyclical rebound that had started in mid-1980. Activity leveled out during the spring and summer, however, and it fell in the final quarter of the year. As a result, the rate of production of goods and services— real gross national product—was only slightly higher at the end of 1981 than it had been a year earlier. With the weakening of output late in the year, the margin of unutilized plant capacity widened and the unemployment rate rose sharply to near postwar record levels. While economic activity was disappointing last year, signs of progress in reducing inflationary pressures were emerging. The rate of price inflation slowed from the extremely rapid pace of the preceding two years, and as 1981 progressed there also were indications of an easing in the rate of wage increases, particularly in some key pattern-setting industries. Confidence in the restoration of reasonable overall price stability is needed if economic growth is to be resumed on a sustained basis. The accelerating inflation of earlier years had been eroding the foundations of the nation's economy: capital formation had slowed; productivity was sagging; the functioning of basic market mechanisms was being impaired; and inequitable and capricious transfers of wealth were harming many of the weakest among us. The task of reversing the inflationary trend of earlier years was made more difficult because a decade of escalating prices and unsuccessful anti-inflation policies had led to firmly held expectations of 1. The charts for the report are available on request from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. continued high—if not accelerating—rates of inflation. Thus, it was recognized that reducing inflation would take time and that anti-inflation policies would have to be applied with persistence if they were to be effective in altering expectations and slowing the rate of increases in prices. While fiscal policy and decisions made in the private sector have much to do with the course of economic developments, economic theory and experience alike indicate that progress toward price stability cannot be obtained without adequate restraint on the growth of money and credit. Monetary policy was conducted in 1981 with this crucial fact in mind. The Federal Reserve set objectives for the growth of the monetary aggregates that it believed would help to damp inflation and would lead to movement over time toward trend rates of monetary expansion consistent with the growth of potential output at stable prices. Short-term market rates of interest began 1981 at record levels, as rapid growth of economic activity in the second half of 1980 had pushed up the demand for money and credit faster than could be accommodated within the target ranges for growth of the monetary aggregates and bank reserves. Early in 1981 these demands began to subside, pressures on bank reserve positions were relieved, and money market rates declined for a time. A bulge in money demand early in the second quarter was steadily resisted by restraining the supply of reserves, and in the process short-term interest rates moved back to their earlier highs. By midsummer, short-term interest rates were declining, as demands for money and credit slackened while the Federal Reserve expanded nonborrowed reserves in an effort to maintain adequate monetary growth. Those declines in interest rates accelerated in October and November as the recession took hold. On balance, short-term interest rates—although volatile—moved down considerably over the course of 1981. In contrast, long-term rates 126 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 rose substantially over the period, despite declines in the last quarter of the year. The pressure on long-term rates appeared to reflect a combination of factors. Of continuing strong investor concern were anticipations that continued, large federal budget deficits would clash with private credit demands particularly as the economy expanded and put strong pressures on credit markets. Despite reductions in the growth of many federal spending programs, federal borrowing in calendar year 1981 siphoned off roughly a quarter of the total funds available to domestic nonfinancial borrowers. In the background were continuing doubts and skepticism that antiinflation programs would be carried through. Moreover, the volatility of the markets may have inhibited aggressive buying of longer-term securities. The tensions in credit markets in 1981 had their greatest impact on capital formation by businesses and households. Housing construction fell to its lowest level in the postwar period; only 1.1 million new housing units were started in 1981. The weakness in real estate markets last year reflected a number of influences. Of paramount importance in the short run was the cost of mortgage funds. The average rate on mortgages closed for new homes was 15.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 1981, up from 12.6 percent a year earlier. But it was not higher mortgage rates alone that cut into housing demand: high prices also adversely affected the ability of those seeking new homes to afford the monthly payments. Although house prices changed little in 1981, over the preceding five years prices of new and existing homes had risen half again as fast at the overall rate of inflation. As a result, the share of average family disposable income needed to service the monthly payment on a typical new mortgage rose from 21 percent in 1976 to nearly 40 percent last year. Slow income growth and rising unemployment, along with the increased cost of credit, combined to damp consumer spending in 1981— particularly for more discretionary, large-ticket items such as autos, furniture, and appliances. Since the mid-1970s, household real after-tax income has only been rising at an annual rate of Vi percent, compared with a long-run trend of 2 percent. At the same time, the prices of essential items such as food, gasoline, heating fuel, utili ties, and medical services—as a group—have been rising faster than the overall inflation rate, and the share of disposable income devoted to these items has been increasing. The resulting squeeze on family budgets led many households to overextend themselves during the second half of the 1970s, taking on more and more debt to finance their purchases. With household balance sheets debt-laden and credit costs rising, a retrenchment in consumer borrowing began in 1980, and continued through 1981. As the year progressed, household balance sheets appeared to be improving. Consumer debt burdens (the ratio of monthly debt repayment obligations to income) declined to their lowest level in more than five years. Moreover, partly in response to the higher after-tax income after the tax cut on October 1, the saving rate rose from about 5 percent in the first three quarters of 1981 to 6 percent in the fourth quarter. In real terms, personal consumption expenditures rose VA percent over the four quarters of 1981. The gain was concentrated in the early months of the year as real consumer spending fell, on balance, over the final three quarters of 1981. Purchases of new automobiles were hardest hit. Sales of domestically produced cars totaled 6.2 million units in 1981, the poorest performance in 20 years. The depressed conditions in the auto sector were related, in part, to the typical cyclical volatility in the demand for motor vehicles and to credit market conditions, which affected the cost of financing new car and truck purchases. However, the current problems in the industry appear to be related mainly to longer-term trends in the demand for automobiles. These include the rapid increase in the price of new cars, high gasoline and other operating costs, sluggish growth of real income, intense foreign competition, and government regulations that have necessitated large investments to comply with emission control standards and to improve fuel efficiency. As 1981 was ending, the auto industry appeared to be taking aggressive actions to reduce costs and to improve the competitiveness of its products. Business firms, like households, restrained their spending on investment goods in 1981. Demand was damped by a substantial degree of excess capacity and by the rising trend in corporate bond rates throughout much of the year, Monetary Policy Report to Congress which boosted the real cost of capital. In real terms, expenditures for new plant and equipment rose only IV2 percent over the four quarters of 1981. Although spending for new structures increased during the year, real equipment outlays fell for the second year in a row; the biggest declines were for electrical machinery and transportation equipment, while spending for most other capital goods remained weak. In contrast to fixed investment outlays, sizable unintended inventory accumulation boosted business financing requirements. As the year went on, unexpectedly weak demand led to a buildup of excess stocks in several industries. The most pronounced problem was in autos, but other manufacturers and retailers also found their inventory levels uncomfortably high relative to sales. On balance, total nominal business capital spending—fixed investment and inventories— rose about 20 percent above the 1980 average. Early in 1981, strong economic growth helped boost corporate internal funds, greatly reducing corporate needs for external financing. But as the economy slowed, corporate profits turned sluggish and businesses were forced to rely more heavily on credit markets to satisfy their rising capital needs. The bulk of business borrowing last year was in short-term markets, as most firms felt it best to defer making long-run commitments in the current financial environment. With the accumulation of additional short-term debt, however, corporate balance sheet positions deteriorated further, and the ratio of short-term to total debt of the nonfinancial corporate sector rose to a record high. Real purchases of goods and services at all levels of government rose only moderately during 1981 as a sharp increase in purchases by the federal government was partly offset by curtailed spending at the state and local level. The rise in federal spending on goods and services reflected another large increase in defense purchases, while federal payroll reductions helped to contain increases in nondefense outlays. At the state and local level, real purchases fell 2 percent owing to a combination of the withdrawal of federal support for many activities, the continued impact of tax limitation measures, and the effects of a sluggish economy on tax revenues. The weighted-average value of the dollar against major foreign currencies rose nearly one 127 fourth during the period from January to August. The dollar eased somewhat in the last part of 1981, but at the end of the year still remained well above its year-earlier level. The improvement in the inflation outlook in the United States was a factor in the appreciation of the dollar. Moreover, at various times during the year changes in the differential between interest rates on dollar assets and rates of return on foreign currency assets also had a noticeable impact on exchange rates. Real exports of goods and services increased in the first quarter of 1981, in part because of strong growth of GNP in one of our major trading partners, Canada. But for the next three quarters, real exports declined in response to a slowing of economic growth abroad and the effect of the appreciation of the dollar in 1980 and 1981. The volume of imports, other than oil, rose fairly steadily throughout the year. The current account, reflecting this weakened trade performance, shifted from a surplus in the first quarter to a deficit by the fourth quarter. Employment grew at a moderate rate during the first three quarters of 1981 and the unemployment rate edged down. Job increases were strongest in the service and trade sectors. As economic activity began to contract in the autumn, the demand for labor fell sharply and the unemployment rate climbed to 8.8 percent in December— only fractionally below its postwar high. Layoffs in the durable goods and construction industries accounted for much of the drop in employment. As a result, the unemployment rate of adult men—who tend to be more heavily employed in these industries—jumped to a postwar record of 7.9 percent in December 1981. Labor productivity (output per hour worked) showed considerable fluctuation during 1981, reflecting the course of economic activity. Productivity rose at an annual rate of 1 VA percent in the first three quarters of 1981. However, as often happens at the beginning of a cyclical downturn, output fell more than employment in the fourth quarter and productivity declined, offsetting the gains earlier in the year. Averaging across short-run cyclical movements, productivity has shown little improvement in recent years, and thus has provided virtually no offset to the impact of rapidly rising compensation on unit labor costs. 128 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Compensation and wage increases did decelerate during 1981—with continuing progress observed throughout the year. But the slowing was moderate, reflecting the basic inertia of the wage-determination process, in which many union contracts last three years or more and nonunion wage agreements usually are set annually. By the second half of 1981, however, some changes in those traditional wage-setting practices were under way in several important industries: management and workers alike began to reconsider planned wage adjustments; some expiring contracts were renegotiated well in advance of termination dates; and labor agreements at a number of firms were modified in an effort to ease cost pressures and to enable firms to compete more effectively. These adjustments, coupled with the progress seen in reducing inflation during 1981, suggest that the nation's anti-inflation policies have set the stage for a sustained unwinding of wage and price increases. The trend in inflation improved noticeably during 1981, and by year-end virtually all aggregate price indexes were advancing well below double-digit rates for the first time since 1978. The consumer price index rose 8.9 percent over the course of 1981, down from the average rate of nearly 13 percent in 1979 and 1980. Important factors in the slowing of inflation were exceptionally favorable agricultural supplies and declines, after the first quarter, in world oil prices. Inflation in areas other than food and energy— particularly consumer commodities and capital equipment—also began to abate, although price pressures persisted in the consumer service sector, notably for medical care. As the year progressed, surveys of consumer expectations suggested that the inflationary psychology, which had increasingly permeated many aspects of economic behavior in earlier years, appeared to be subsiding. THE GROWTH OF MONEY AND CREDIT IN 1981 The Board of Governors in its report to the Congress last February indicated that the System intended to maintain restraint in the expansion of money and credit in 1981. The specific ranges chosen by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) for the various monetary aggregates anticipated a deceleration in monetary growth that would encourage further improvement in price performance. Measured from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, and abstracting from the effects on deposit structure of the authorization of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts nationwide, the ranges adopted were as follows: for Ml-A, 3 to 5VI percent; for Ml-B, V/2 to 6 percent; for M2,6 to 9 percent; and for M3, 6V2 to 9VI percent. The associated range for commercial bank credit was 6 to 9 percent. In formulating its objectives for 1981, the FOMC knew that the growth rates of the narrow aggregates would be affected markedly by shifts into NOW accounts, which for the first time became available on a nationwide basis in January. Transfers into NOW accounts, which are included in Ml-B, from savings deposits and other asset holdings not included in Ml were expected to be particularly large in the early months of the year. Thus, in order to avoid confusion about the intent of policy and to facilitate comparisons with previous years, the objectives announced for Ml-B abstracted from such shifts.2 Even after accounting for such shifts, however, the FOMC anticipated that the growth rates of the various aggregates were likely to diverge more than usual, reflecting the rapid pace of institutional change in financial markets. The FOMC indicated that if Ml-B growth (adjusted for shifts into new NOW accounts and other checkable deposits) was about in the middle of its annual range, the growth of M2 was likely to be in the upper part of its range, given the popularity of the nontransaction components of M2 that pay market-related interest rates. It also was noted that the relationship of M3 and bank credit to their respective ranges would be influenced in an important way by the pattern of credit flows that would emerge, and particularly by whether financial conditions would be conducive for corporations to refinance short-term borrowing in the bond and equity markets. It soon became apparent as 1981 unfolded that the behavior of the aggregates was turning out to 2. The shift adjustments were estimated on the basis of survey evidence and were published regularly over the past year. Monetary Policy Report to Congress be even more divergent than had been anticipated. Growth rates of the shift-adjusted narrow aggregates were low in the opening months of the year, a development that was welcome following rapid growth in the latter part of 1980. A strong surge in April was offset by weakness over the remainder of the second quarter. On the whole, average growth in adjusted Ml-B over the first half of 1981 was well below the growth that would have been expected on the basis of historical relationships among money, GNP, and interest rates. On the other hand, despite the weakness in Ml-B, the broader aggregates expanded quite rapidly in early 1981. Growth in M2 over the first half was near the upper end of its annual range, while the expansion of M3 placed this aggregate above the upper bound of its range at midyear. After reassessing its objectives for 1981 at midyear, the FOMC elected to leave unchanged the previously established ranges for the aggregates over the remainder of the year. However, in light of the reduced growth in Ml-type balances over the first half of the year, indications that this weakness might reflect a lasting change in cash management practices of individuals and businesses related to the growth of alternative means of holding highly liquid funds, and given the relatively strong growth of the broader aggregates, the FOMC anticipated that growth of the narrow aggregates might likely and desirably end the year near the lower bounds of their annual ranges. Even so, given the sluggishness early in the year, this decision implied that growth of Ml-A and Ml-B would accelerate over the balance of the year. At the same time, the FOMC indicated that M2 and M3 might well end the year around the upper ends of their ranges. This expectation also reflected in part the possibility that regulatory and legislative actions as well as the popularity of money market mutual funds might intensify the public's preference to hold the type of assets encompassed in the broader aggregates. Although growth of narrow money in the second half of the year was on average about the same as in the first half, Ml-B strengthened appreciably in the final two months of the year. This acceleration appeared to reflect in part a lagged response to large short-term interest rate 129 declines in the summer and fall and in part a shift to preferences for very liquid assets in an environment of heightened economic and financial uncertainty. Similarly, M2 growth in the second half was about in line with expansion in the first half, although growth in this measure also picked up at the end of the year. The expansion in M3, on the other hand, decelerated from the rapid pace of the first half, as sales of large certificates of deposit slowed in concert with a slackening in growth of bank credit and stronger growth in core deposits. Measuring growth for the year from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, growth in Ml-B adjusted for shifts into NOW accounts was about 2!/4 percent—VA percentage points below the lower end of its targeted range.3 Growth rates, of course, are affected by the particular pattern of variation that develops over the course of the year. Measuring expansion from December to December, growth in adjusted Ml-B in 1981 was at a rate of 3Vi percent. On a yearly average basis, which reflects movements through the year as a whole relative to the level of the previous year, the increase was at a rate of 43/4 percent. At the same time, measured from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, growth of M2 was 9.4 percent, 0.4 percentage point above the upper limit of its range. Also, growth of M3 exceeded the upper end of its range by 1.9 percentage points, while bank credit growth was just inside the upper end of its annual range. Table 1 puts the performance of the aggregates during 1981 into a somewhat longer-term perspective, showing two measures of annual growth. No matter which of the measures of annual growth is used, a marked deceleration in Ml-B since 1978 is apparent. The table also clearly illustrates that growth rates for the broader aggregates have been maintained around a higher level, and larger divergences have developed from growth of Ml-B. In considerable part, these differences can be explained by structural changes in financial markets. As noted earlier, it was already obvious last February when the FOMC was meeting to set its 3. Unadjusted for shifts into NOW accounts, Ml-B increased 5.0 percent from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981. 130 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 1. G r o w t h o f m o n e y a n d b a n k credit Percentage changes Period Ml-B 1 M2 M3 Bank credit2 Fourth quarter to fourth quarter 1978 1979 1980 1981 8.3 7.5 6.6 2.3 8.3 8.4 9.1 9.4 11.3 9.8 9.9 11.4 13.3 12.6 8.0 8.8 Annual average to annual average 1978 1979 1980 1981 8.2 7.7 5.9 4.7 8.8 8.5 8.3 9.7 11.8 10.3 9.3 11.5 12.4 13.5 8.5 9.4 1. Growth rates for 1980 and 1981 adjusted for shifts to other checkable deposit accounts since the end of the preceding year. 2. The December level used for calculating these 1981 growth rates incorporates an adjustment to abstract from the shifting of assets from domestic banking offices to international banking facilities. objectives for 1981 that shifts into NOW accounts after their nationwide authorization at the beginning of 1981 would alter the behavior of the narrow aggregates. Data for early January had pointed to a very large movement of funds at the beginning of the year. However, the pattern and magnitude of subsequent movements could not be predicted with any certainty. As events unfolded, the shifts into NOW accounts were more concentrated in the early part of 1981 than was anticipated by the working assumptions of the Board's staff. Through June, the adjustments made to the aggregates to correct for such shifts had the effect of raising Ml-A by $28 billion and lowering Ml-B by %9Vi billion. Over the second half of 1981, further adjustments for shifts into NOW accounts raised Ml-A by only another $6 billion and lowered Ml-B by about %2Vi billion more. While these adjustments are imprecise and based on evidence from a variety of sources, data on the number of NOW accounts coupled with other available information confirm that the shifting of funds from demand deposits to new interest-bearing checking accounts tapered off considerably by the fall. A surge in NOW account balances near the end of the year and early in 1982 appeared to reflect primarily the precautionary savings behavior already noted rather than shifting of funds into new accounts. As already indicated, the growth of the narrow aggregates adjusted for shifts into NOW accounts was low in 1981 compared with the other aggregates and also relative to past relationships with income and interest rates. Continued high interest rates provided a substantial incentive for businesses to intensify efforts to pare narrow money balances and to make increasingly widespread use of sophisticated cash management techniques. At the same time, explosive growth of money market mutual funds (MMMFs), many of which offer check-writing or other third-partypayment services comparable with conventional checking accounts, appeared to induce some households to minimize checking account balances. Also, the broader availability of NOW accounts may have stimulated households to reconsider in a more general way their habits of cash management. Likewise, the strong growth of M2 over the past few years reflected changing financial practices. Money market funds and instruments offered by depository institutions that pay marketrelated interest rates have been accounting for an increasing proportion of M2, as such assets have become much more competitive with open market instruments. Indeed, the attractiveness of small time deposits was enhanced last year by the liberalization of the interest rate ceilings on small savers certificates and to a limited extent by the introduction of all savers certificates. Even so, three-fourths of the increase in the nontransaction components of M2 was accounted for by MMMFs, which grew 140 percent last year. The distortions in the aggregates resulting from the expansion in MMMFs are difficult to quantify. Surveys of household behavior and data on account turnover suggest that most shareholders of money funds have made little or no use of their accounts for transaction purposes. Thus, the direct substitution effect of MMMFs on the growth of Ml has appeared small, perhaps on the order of 1 percentage point on the rate of growth for the year. However, indirect effects may have been larger as the potential availability of such a highly liquid asset may facilitate holding less funds in demand and NOW accounts. The direct effect of MMMFs on M2 appears more substantial in dollar terms. Presumably, the great bulk of the inflow of $20 billion in 1981 to MMMFs catering only to institutional investors was funds that otherwise would have been invested in assets not included in M2. In addition, it seems likely that a small portion of the growth Monetary Policy Report to Congress of $90 billion in other types of MMMFs also reflected diversions from assets not in M2. In light of the sizable distortions created by the growth of institution-only MMMFs, such funds have been excluded from the revised M2, but they will continue to be a component of M3. In addition, M2 has been revised to include retail repurchase agreements (RPs). Retail RPs, which previously had been a component only of M3, were promoted on a substantial scale in 1981, likely attracting funds mainly from household small-denomination time deposits and MMMF holdings and thus resulting in a downward bias on M2 growth. The net effect on M2 growth of reclassifying institution-only MMMFs and retail RPs, along with other minor revisions, was small. M3 increased more rapidly than M2 last year largely because of the substantial expansion in large CDs, particularly over the first half of the year. With growth of core deposits weak on balance over the year, depository institutions increased their managed liabilities to support expansion in loans and investments. Growth in bank credit accelerated somewhat in 1981 but stayed just within the upper end of its annual target range. The pickup in bank credit growth was concentrated in business loans. Growth in this category was bolstered by the high level of corporate bond rates through most of the year, which tended to focus business credit demands on short-term borrowing such as bank loans and commercial paper. Although merger activity contributed significantly to the growth of loan commitments over the year, actual takedowns for this purpose influenced loan growth only slightly. Real estate loans at banks in 1981 grew at about the same moderate pace as in 1980, while consumer lending strengthened a little from 1980. Security holdings at banks grew somewhat more slowly than loans in 1981. The bank credit data in December were affected by the shifting of assets to accounts in the newly authorized international banking facilities (IBFs). About $22 billion of loans to foreign customers are estimated to have shifted from U.S. offices to IBFs in December. The data presented in this report are adjusted for this shift. Without this adjustment, the increase in bank credit from the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981 was SlA percent, Vi per 131 centage point less than shown by the adjusted data. Broader measures of credit flows reflected the slowing pace of production and income in 1981 and the effects of high interest rates. Households and businesses continued to increase their borrowing over the first three quarters, but their use of credit contracted in the fourth quarter in response to the weakening of the economy. In view of the high level of long-term interest rates during most of 1981, virtually all of the increase in funds raised was in short-term debt instruments. Overall, net funds raised by nonfinancial sectors rose 7 percent in 1981 and continued to fall relative to GNP for the third consecutive year. THE FEDERAL RESERVE S OBJECTIVES FOR THE GROWTH OF MONEY AND CREDIT The Federal Reserve remains committed to restraint on the growth of money and credit in order to exert continuing downward pressure on the rate of inflation. Such a policy is essential if the groundwork is to be laid for sustained economic expansion. A distinct slowing of inflation occurred during 1981, and the prospects for further progress are good. Failure to persist in the effort to maintain the improvement would have long-lasting and damaging consequences. Once again, underlying expectations would deteriorate, with potentially adverse effects on financial markets, particularly long-term rates. The result would be to embed inflation even more deeply into the nation's economic system—with the attendant debilitating consequences for the performance of the economy. A failure to continue on the current path would mean that the next effort would be associated with still greater hardship. Progress toward price stability can be achieved most effectively and with the least amount of economic disruption by the concerted application of monetary, fiscal, regulatory, and other economic policies. But quite clearly inflation cannot persist over an extended period unless financed by excessive growth of money. Thus, a policy of restraint on the growth of the monetary aggregates is a key element in an antiinflation strategy. 132 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Targets for the monetary aggregates have been set with the aim of slowing the expansion of money over time to rates consistent with the needs of an economy growing in line with its productive potential at reasonably stable prices. The speed with which the trend of monetary growth can be lowered without unduly disturbing effects on short-run economic performance depends, in part, on the credibility of anti-inflation policies and their effects on price expectations as well as on other forces influencing interest rates and credit market demands, including importantly the fiscal position of the federal government. More technically, financial innovation or other factors affecting the demand for specific forms of money need to be monitored. In its deliberations concerning the target ranges for 1982, the Committee recognized that the recent rapid increase in Ml placed the measure in January well above the average level during the fourth quarter of 1981, the conventional base for the new target. Experience has shown that, from time to time, Ml growth can fluctuate rather sharply over short periods, and these movements may be at least partially reversed fairly quickly. The available analysis suggested that the recent increase reflected in part some temporary factors of that kind, rather than signaling a basic change in the amount of money needed to finance growth in nominal GNP. In light of all these considerations, the FOMC reaffirmed the following ranges of monetary expansion—tentatively set out in mid-1981—for the year ending in the fourth quarter of 1982: for Ml, 2Vi to 51/2 percent; for M2, 6 to 9 percent, and for M3, VA\o 9V 2 percent. 4 The FOMC also adopted a corresponding range of 6 to 9 percent for commercial bank credit. These ranges are the same as those agreed to in July and reaffirm the 4. The objective for growth of narrowly defined money over 1982 is set in terms of Ml only. Last February, when the FOMC set its targets for narrow money, it recognized that regulatory changes allowing for the establishment of nationwide NOW accounts would distort the observed behavior of Ml-A and Ml-B. Accordingly, the targets were set on a basis that abstracted from the shifting of funds into interest-bearing checkable deposits. Based on a variety of evidence suggesting that the bulk of the shift to NOW accounts had occurred by late 1981, the Federal Reserve reaffirmed in December its previously announced intention that starting in January 1982 shift adjustments would no longer be published and only a single Ml figure would be released with the same coverage as Ml-B. Federal Reserve's commitment to reduce inflationary forces. As has been typical in the past, these changes are measured from actual fourthquarter levels from the previous year.5 During 1981, Ml-B (shift-adjusted) rose slowly in relation to nominal GNP. 6 On the assumption that the relationship between growth of Ml and the rise of nominal GNP is likely to be more normal in 1982, and given the relatively low base for the range of Ml-B, the Committee contemplated that growth in Ml this year may well be in the upper part of its range. At the same time, the FOMC elected to retain the lower bound of 2Vi percent for growth of Ml that was tentatively set last July in recognition of the possibility that financial innovations—especially techniques for economizing on the use of checking account balances included in Ml—could accelerate, with restraining effects on growth of Ml. The actual and potential effects on Ml of ongoing changes in financial technology and the greater availability of a wide variety of moneylike instruments and near-monies strongly suggest the need for also giving careful attention to developments with respect to broader money measures in the implementation of monetary policy. The range for growth of M2 is the same as in 1981 when actual growth slightly exceeded the upper bound of the range. The Committee contemplated that M2 growth in 1982 would be somewhat below the 1981 pace, although probably in the upper part of the range. However, should personal saving, responding to recent changes in tax law or other influences, grow much more rapidly in relation to income than now anticipated, or should depository institutions attract an exceptionally large inflow to individual retirement accounts from sources outside measured M2, growth of M2 might appropriately reach—or even slightly exceed—the upper 5. Because of the introduction of IBFs, the bank credit data after December 1981 are not comparable with earlier data. Thus, the targets for 1982 are in terms of growth from an average of December 1981 and January 1982 to the average level in the fourth quarter of 1982. 6. Ml-B velocity, before shift adjustment, rose at a rate closer to historical experience. However, the shift of funds from savings accounts or other sources of funds not included in measures of the narrow money supply temporarily depressed that velocity figure, particularly early in the year. Monetary Policy Report to Congress end of the range. The ability of depository institutions to compete for the public's savings will, of course, also be affected in part by deregulatory decisions that may be made by the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee. The 1982 ranges for M3 and bank credit were left unchanged from those for 1981. These aggregates again will be influenced importantly by the degree to which credit demands tend to be focused on short-term borrowing and are funded at home or abroad. THE OUTLOOK FOR THE ECONOMY IN 1982 Economic activity still appears to be contracting; industrial production and employment certainly declined further in January, with the extent of the fall worsened by exceptionally bad winter storms. Demand in the key sectors that had led the decline—housing and consumer spending— showed some signs of leveling off as the year began, and the recent cuts in production likely have helped to relieve some of the remaining inventory imbalances. Recent weather-related disruptions may affect the incoming data for a time, but the economy appears to be in the process of bottoming out, and a perceptible recovery in business activity seems likely before midyear. One element supporting final demands in the economy is the federal government. Part of the recent expansion in the deficit reflects the cushioning effects of reduced taxes and increased government expenditures that result from declining income growth and rising unemployment. In addition, however, the buildup in defense spending is a continuing source of stimulus. The second phase of the tax reductions that occurs in July will provide another expansionary impetus to the economy. At the same time, the deficit— particularly if expected to continue at exceptionally high levels in later years—adversely influences current financial market conditions. The Federal Reserve's objectives for money growth in 1982 are consistent with recovery in economic activity. The expansion is likely to be concentrated initially in consumer spending. Given the substantial margin of excess capacity, outlays for business fixed investment may remain weak, particularly if long-term interest rates continue to fluctuate near their current high 133 levels. A continuation of high levels of long-term rates also would inhibit the recovery in residential housing, although demographic factors will continue to buttress demands in that sector. The effort to deal with inflation is at a critical juncture. The upward trend in inflation clearly has been halted and the process of reversal is under way. There are signs that price setting, wage bargaining, and personal spending decisions are beginning to be made and that these decisions over time will serve to moderate, rather than to intensify, inflationary pressures. Nonetheless, the behavior of financial markets and other evidence strongly suggests the continued existence of considerable skepticism that progress in reducing inflation will be maintained. Lasting improvement in financial markets—particularly for longer-term instruments—is dependent on confidence that progress against inflation will continue; looming federal deficits have served to shake that confidence. Prospects for lower interest rates and for sustaining recovery over a long period—indeed for the timing of recovery—are thus tied to prospects for a more stable price level. How we emerge from the current recession will be crucial to further curtailing inflation. The recovery phases that have followed recent recessions have sometimes been associated with an acceleration of inflation. However, if monetary and fiscal policies are appropriately disciplined, this pattern need not recur; and recovery from the current recession will be consistent with further progress toward achieving sustainable growth, price stability, and lower levels of interest rates. Given the current circumstances and in light of the objectives for the monetary aggregates for the coming year, the individual members of the 2. Economic projections for 1982 Percent Period Changes, fourth quarter to fourth quarter Nominal GNP Real GNP GNP deflator Average level in the fourth quarter Unemployment rate Actual 1981 Projected for 1982 FOMC members Administration 9.3 .7 8.6 8 to 10'/2 Vt to 3 6l/z to 7% 10.4 3.0 7.2 8.3 8l/4 to 9Vi 8.4 134 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 FOMC have formulated projections for economic performance in 1982 that generally fall within the ranges indicated in table 2. The members of the FOMC expect inflation to continue to moderate in 1982. At the same time, real activity is expected to accelerate with most of the growth coming in the second half of the year. With inflation continuing to be substantial and the prospect of the federal budget deficit remaining large even as the recovery gathers momentum, demands for credit should intensify as the year progresses. In these circumstances, the recovery is likely to be somewhat restrained, with the result that unemployment probably still will be substantial at year-end. The FOMC members' projections generally encompass those that underlie the administration's recent budget proposals. The consensus view of the FOMC anticipates an improvement in inflation during 1982 comparable with the administration's as well as a similar outlook for the labor market. The administration's projection for real growth falls at the high end of the FOMC consensus. In the event prices and wages should respond more rapidly to anti-inflation policies than historical experience would suggest or should more favorable productivity trends develop, then the recovery could be faster without adverse pressures developing on prices, wages, and interest rates. • 135 Industrial Development Bonds: Some Aspects of the Current Controversy Daniel E. Laufenberg of the Board's Division of Research and Statistics prepared this article. Tax-exempt securities have been the traditional means by which state and local governmental units have financed the construction of schools, roads, hospitals, and other public improvements. In recent years, another category of these "municipal" securities, generally referred to as industrial development bonds (IDBs), has become important. IDBs are issued by state and local units on behalf of private businesses to finance industrial and commercial projects. The growth of IDB financing has stirred considerable controversy, centering on the appropriate use of implicit federal subsidies and the impact on the borrowing costs of state and local governments. Moreover, concern has arisen about the impact on federal revenues of the tax exemption of interest earned on IDBs; partly for this reason, the Reagan administration has proposed curtailment of IDB issuance as part of its budget program. Hundreds of state agencies, local development agencies, counties, and cities have issued IDBs in the name of local economic development. But many of the uses to which this financing vehicle has been put has raised doubts about legitimate public purpose. A recent study by the Congressional Budget Office noted that some less conventional uses of small-issue IDBs have become common, such as commercial real estate development, retail stores, recreational facilities, tourist facilities, and proprietary health facilities.1 Moreover, small-issue IDB financing is being used extensively by large national retailers and somewhat less extensively by large manufac- 1. Small Issue Industrial Revenue Bonds. Congress of the United States, Budget Office, September 1981. turing corporations. Such uses seem to contradict the intent of the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968, which imposed maximum dollar limits on the size of the IDB issue or on the total capital expenditures on any one project financed in part or in whole by IDBs, except for special purposes. This paper reviews the legal definitions of small-issue and selected-purpose IDBs to provide a clearer distinction between IDBs and traditional municipal issues; analyzes the costs and benefits of using tax-exempt financing to promote local development; and discusses the current concerns about IDB issuance. BACKGROUND The use of public tax-exempt credit for private business purposes had its origin in the United States in 1936, when Mississippi authorized cities and counties to incur general-obligation indebtedness to construct industrial buildings for lease to private enterprise. Other states in the South and a few in other regions followed suit after World War II, but through the 1950s the volume of IDBs was relatively small. In the early 1960s, the total of IDB issuance picked up substantially as more use was made of the revenue version of IDBs, which is secured by the property or receipts of the project financed rather than the full faith and credit of the issuer, and as businesses of all sizes participated in locally sponsored development programs. By 1968, IDBs, most of which were revenue bonds, represented 10 percent of all long-term tax-exempt bond sales. The growing popularity of such bonds alarmed Treasury Department officials because IDBs threatened sizable losses of tax revenues. As a result, the Treasury ruled in 1967 that IDBs were 136 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 subject to taxation. This ruling was withdrawn, however, when the Congress enacted the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968, the statute that still governs IDB issuance. Under this statute, tax-exempt status is denied IDBs except those that are designated as "small issues" or those that finance certain types of facilities. LEGAL LIMITS ON IDB ISSUANCE Securities issued by state and local governmental units are defined as IDBs in the 1968 legislation if they satisfy two tests. The first is the "trade or business test," which is met if a major portion of bond proceeds are used in business by a nonexempt entity—one other than a state or local government or organization. The second is the "security interest test," which is met if a major portion of the debt service is secured by property used in or payments derived from a business, regardless of whether the bonds are also general obligations of the issuer. IDB issues in recent years have been exclusively revenue bonds, and increasingly have been called industrial revenue bonds (IRBs). For the remainder of this paper, IDB and IRB are used synonymously. Small Issues of Industrial Development Bonds The Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968 provides a tax exemption for certain small issues of industrial development bonds. Under this exemption, the governmental unit issuing the bonds may select a limit of either $1 million or $10 million. In either case, substantially all of the proceeds from the issues must be used to acquire, construct, or improve depreciable property. An IDB issue is within the $1 million exemption if the sum of the proposed issue and outstanding IDBs, whether or not by the same issuer but used to finance facilities for the principal user in the same jurisdiction, is no greater than $1 million. If the issuer elects the $10 million limit, all capital expenditures incurred by the principal user in the issuing jurisdiction during the six-year period beginning three years before the issuance of the bonds also must be counted against the limit.2 In general, capital expenditures must be taken into account if those expenditures are properly chargeable to the capital account of the principal user or a related person. There are, however, exceptions to the "related person" rule when such capital expenditures are made by exempt entities. For example, the IRS has ruled that capital expenditures by the local governmental unit do not count against the $10 million limit unless the expenditures are used to construct facilities that are clearly a part of the project financed with IDBs. On the other hand, capital expenditures by a charitable trust or a nonprofit corporation involved in an IDB financing do not count against the limit even if the expenditures are directly for the financed project. Exempt Facilities In addition to the small-issue exemption, the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act permits the issuance of IDBs, without limits on the size of the issue or the total capital expenditures on the project being financed, if substantially all of the proceeds are used for selected purposes. 3 Although a few of these purposes are considered to be traditional municipal functions when provided by state and local governments, most of them are not generally viewed as appropriate uses of tax-exempt financing. The Public Securities Association, the primary source of data on the issuance of tax-exempt securities, reports the volume of all municipal bonds on the basis of the purpose for which they are issued (table 1), but does not provide a breakdown between IDBs and other tax-exempt securities issued for each purpose. Thus the precise relative importance of IDBs in the taxexempt market is impossible to quantify, but it is 2. For a project that also has financing under the Urban Development Action Grant program, the capital expenditure limit is $20 million, but the tax-exempt issue cannot exceed $10 million. 3. Substantially all of the proceeds, defined as 90 percent of an amount equal to the bond proceeds less the issuance cost and a reasonable debt reserve fund, must be used to purchase land or depreciable property. Industrial Development Bonds 1. New security issues of state and local governments, 1978-81 Item 1978 1979 1980 1981 Millions of dollars All issues1 Refunding and advance refunding New capital 48,352 43,335 48,368 47,515 10,767 37,585 1,925 41,410 1,768 46,600 46,314 1,201 Percent Use of proceeds Education Social welfare and public services Transportation Hospitals Utilities Housing Recreation Industrial aid2 Industrial pollution control Other purposes 13.0 12.5 10.0 10.0 6.0 9.0 6.0 24.0 16.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 15.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 20.5 29.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 12.0 2.0 5.5 8.0 17.0 33.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 14.5 3.0 7.0 12.0 22.0 13.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 16.0 1. Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2. The percent of new capital used for industrial aid purposes is based on data from the Public Securities Association, which according to a recent Congressional Budget Office study, substantially understate the volume of small-issue industrial development bonds sold during the past four years. The reason for this discrepancy is that many small issues are privately placed with commercial banks or other lenders and are seldom reported beyond the state level. SOURCE. Public Securities Association. clearly greater than that inferred from simply adding the industrial-aid and pollution-control categories in table 1, given the following long list of purposes that are eligible for the special exemption. Sewage or Sold-Waste-Disposal Facilities. Privately owned sewage and solid-waste-disposal facilities qualify for a special-purpose exemption if they are used for the collection, storage, treatment, utilization, processing, or final disposal of sewage and solid waste, and if they are available to the general public. In recent years the separation from garbage of combustible material used as fuel has given this material market value in some areas. As such, it did not qualify as solid waste within the meaning of the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968. For example, boilers that burned combustible waste no longer qualified as solid waste disposal facilities. To clarify this point, the Windfall Profits Tax Act of 1980 added a section to the Internal Revenue Code that expanded the definition of solid-wastedisposal facilities to include qualified steam-generating facilities and qualified alcohol-producing 137 facilities. At least 90 percent of such fuel must be produced at, or adjacent to, the steam- or alcohol-producing facilities. Electric Energy and Gas Facilities. The principal factor in determining whether tax-exempt financing is available for privately owned electric energy and gas facilities is the size of the service areas. Only "local furnishing" facilities, which are facilities that service an area no larger than two contiguous counties or a city and a contiguous county, qualify for the exemption. Moreover, the Internal Revenue Service has ruled to allow tax-exempt financing for a privately owned electric generating facility that served a distribution system located entirely within two counties but was owned and operated by a wholly owned subsidiary corporation of a utility that furnished electric energy to the general public in many areas of the state. Airports, Docks, and Wharves. Privately owned airports, docks, and wharves are eligible for tax-exempt financing if they satisfy the public-use test. Airports satisfy this test if they are available to the general public or are served by a common or charter carrier that is publicly available. This exemption applies to facilities that are directly related and essential to aircraft landing and takeoff, as well as to those related to servicing aircraft and transferring passengers and cargo. Subordinate facilities that also qualify for the exemption include in-flight meal facilities; commercial space in terminals and hotels to be used by passengers, all of which must be located at the airport; and certain improved or unimproved land adjacent to the airport. Facilities at the airport used to customize new aircraft do not qualify. Docks and wharves satisfy the public-use test if they are available for use by the general public, are served by a common or charter carrier that is publicly available, or are part of a public port. Functionally related and subordinate facilities include cranes, conveyors, and training and storage facilities. The IRS has ruled that offshore oil ports and onshore oil-storage facilities qualify as exempt facilities but that docks located in a public port to be used for construction of vessels do not qualify. 138 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Pollution-Control Facilities. Facilities for air or water pollution control installed by privately owned companies are considered exempt if they remove, alter, dispose, or store pollutants. In this regard, smokestacks do not qualify because they merely disperse pollutants. Moreover, no part of the cost of a new production facility that avoids the creation of pollutants, rather than treating the pollutants after they are created, qualifies for the exemption. Facilities for the Furnishing of Water. An exemption is provided in the tax code for privately owned facilities that furnish water to the general public, and that are operated by a governmental unit or charge rates established or approved by a state or political subdivision, an agency or instrumentality of the United States, or a public utility commission or a similar body of any state or political subdivision. Sports and Convention or Trade-Show Facilities. Privately owned sports facilities that are eligible for tax-exempt financing without limits on the size of the issue include baseball and football stadiums, indoor sports arenas, swimming pools, golf courses, ski slopes, and tennis courts. Facilities directly related to exempt sports facilities, including bathhouses, clubhouses, parking lots, and ski lifts (but not an overnight ski lodge), are also exempt. For convention or trade-show facilities, only the special-purpose buildings and structures such as meeting halls and display areas qualify under this exemption. To meet the public-use test, the facility must be available for rent by the general public, which means it cannot be leased subject to a long-term contract with one user or group of users. Tax exemption does not apply to bonds issued to finance a hotel, even though most of its clientele are expected to be delegates or participants at conventions and trade shows. Qualified Hydroelectric Generating Facilities. In 1980, the tax code was amended to permit the issuance of IDBs for qualified hydroelectric generating facilities. Such a facility qualifies if the property is owned for tax purposes by a state or political subdivision, and if the facility generates electricity from the flow or fall of water. The exemption does not apply if debt service is guaranteed, either directly or indirectly, by the federal government pursuant to an energy-production or conservation program. Industrial Parks. IDBs are exempt if they are issued to finance the acquisition or development of land used as building sites by industrial, distribution, or wholesale businesses. These are industrial parks and must be administered by an exempt entity or developed under an overall plan subject to special zoning restrictions to qualify for the exemption. For the purposes of this exemption, development of land includes providing water, sewage, and drainage facilities; road, railroad, docking, and similar transportation facilities; and power or communication facilities. It does not include the construction of buildings or other structures. Mass Commuting Facilities. Mass commuting facilities eligible for tax-exempt financing include real property and improvements and personal property including buses, train cars, subway cars, and similar vehicles leased to mass transit systems owned by state or local governments. Residential Mortgage Programs. Proceeds of tax-exempt bonds also are used to finance residential mortgages. Single-family mortgage bonds are issued under two general types of programs, mortgage-purchase programs and loan-to-lender programs. Under a mortgage-purchase program, the proceeds are used by the issuer to acquire mortgages that are originated and serviced by participating financial institutions. This type of program has been viewed traditionally by bond counsel as not being an IDB-financed project because the mortgages purchased are considered assets of the issuer rather than of the participating financial institutions. Under a loan-to-lender program, the bonds are issued on behalf of participating financial institutions, which in turn use the proceeds to finance mortgages that are held as assets of the financial institutions rather than the governmental authority. This type of program has been viewed by bond counsel as an IDB-financed project. The marked increase in the issuance of taxexempt bonds during 1979-80 to finance residen- Industrial Development Bonds tial mortgages, mortgages that largely benefited middle-income households, raised doubts about the propriety of this use of tax-exempt financing. This concern and the potential loss of tax revenue to the Treasury were the principal factors behind the passage of the Mortgage Subsidy Bond Tax Act of 1980, which prohibits the issuance of any bonds to subsidize single-family mortgages after December 31, 1983, and places substantial restrictions on the issuance of such bonds in the interim: 1. The residence securing the mortgage must be the principal residence of the borrower. 2. A borrower may not have had an ownership interest in a principal residence during the threeyear period before execution of the mortgage. 3. The purchase price of the residence financed may not exceed 90 percent of the average purchase price of single-family residences during the most recent 12-month period for which such information is available in the statistical area in which the residence is located. 4. Each state is limited in the aggregate principal amount of bonds that it and its political subdivisions can issue annually. 5. The arbitrage differential permitted between the effective rate of interest on the mortgages financed by the bond proceeds and the yield on the bonds cannot exceed 1 percent for mortgage-purchase programs and IV2 percent for loan-to-lender programs. The less stringent arbitrage restriction on loan-to-lender programs may explain, in part, why many of the mortgagesubsidy programs in 1981 were of this type. The Mortgage Subsidy Bond Act also amended the tax code governing IDB issuance to allow tax-exempt financing for multifamily housing only if at least 20 percent of the financed units are occupied by low- or moderate-income tenants, as defined by the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This qualification reportedly deterred some tax-exempt issuers from offering multifamily housing bonds during 1981. THE EFFECTS OF INDUSTRIAL BONDS IDB issuance, despite the legal restrictions imposed on it in 1968, has once again surfaced as an 139 important topic in the current debate on tax reform. The advantages of IDBs explain why the volume of such bonds has become so great, and the disadvantages of IDBs explain why their purposes have been questioned. Some Advantages Industrial development bond financing is one of a variety of incentives a state or local government can offer business firms to locate or to remain within its jurisdiction.4 In principle, IDBs can be an effective way to target investment on industries and areas so as to contribute substantially to more balanced national economic growth. However, to the extent that local authorities everywhere use IDB financing to compete against each other, any regional benefits to private businesses are eliminated and such financing functions simply as a conduit to the tax-exempt market. Like that of any other tax-exempt security, the cost of the IDB subsidy is borne by the federal government but the subsidy is used at the discretion of the local authority. Moreover, in the case of revenue bonds no liability is assigned to the issuing authority for the debt service on the bonds, and few if any limits are placed on the total volume issued.5 Thus, constituents of the issuing jurisdictions are seldom concerned about the volume or purposes of IDB issues. Private businesses benefit from the issuance of IDBs because such bonds give them access to the capital market at a rate of interest below market rates on taxable debt obligations. For firms that might otherwise be denied access to capital markets, the relative benefit from IDB financing may be the firm's existence. The opportunity cost to society, in the form of misallocated resources, of providing this subsidy may, however, more than offset any benefit. 4. Other incentives frequently offered by state governments in competing for private business include exemption from state taxes, loan guarantees, and below-cost facilities and services. 5. While the size of any one IDB issue is restricted (except for those whose proceeds finance the exempt facilities discussed above), there are no limits on the number of such issues by any one jurisdiction. 140 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 2. Benefit to the firm of IDB financing Percent of taxable yield Ratio of tax-exempt to taxable yields (percent) Marginal tax rate of the firm (percent) 26 48 50 60 70 80 90 37 26 30 21 22 16 15 10 7 5 the commercial loan department, they are often reported as loans rather than tax-exempt securities. By classifying IDBs as loans, banks can avoid the question of whether the obligations are of "investment grade," which is required of securities held by banks. Some If the IDB issue acts solely as a means for a firm to borrow at lower costs in the tax-exempt market, the relative benefit to that firm depends on the ratio of tax-exempt to taxable yields and, because interest expenses are tax deductible, on the marginal tax rate of the borrowing firm.6 As table 2 shows, an increase in the ratio of tax-exempt to taxable yields results in a decline in the relative benefit to the firm of IDB financing regardless of the firm's marginal tax rate. Moreover, the higher the tax rate of the firm, the lower the relative benefit of tax-exempt financing. Because of the tax-exempt nature of municipal securities, investors generally are persons and institutions that are subject to high marginal tax rates. Chief among these are individuals and individual trusts, property and casualty insurance companies, and commercial banks. At present, commercial banks are the primary holders of municipal bonds, but, reportedly, they are relying more often on small-issue IDBs to satisfy their demand for tax shelter. One attractive feature that small-issue IDBs offer banks is their resemblance to business loans. Thus the commercial loan departments of banks often assume responsibility for evaluating the risks and negotiating the terms of such IDB issues. Moreover, because these transactions are handled within 6. The benefit of IDB financing, in this case, is assumed to be the spread between taxable and tax-exempt yields, both of which are adjusted for the tax deductibility of interest costs; that is, B = (R, - Rle)( 1 - t), where B is the benefit, R, is the taxable interest rate, Rte is the tax-exempt rate, and t is the marginal tax rate of the firm. This expression can be transposed into the following form: B = (1 - r)(l - t) R„ where r is the ratio of tax-exempt to taxable yields. The percentages reported in table 1 represent the coefficient (1 - r)(l - t) in the above expression. Disadvantages Public programs that offer credit to private business under conditions more favorable than those conventionally offered by the market inevitably involve some element of subsidy. In the case of IDBs, the subsidy is from the federal government, but is triggered by a local authority. Opponents of IDB financing contend that local authorities might dispense a federal subsidy either less carefully than would federal officials or less carefully than a subsidy of local money. They also argue against the use of a federal subsidy to foster new private business that may place established businesses at a competitive disadvantage. Furthermore, they assert that the IDB loses any justification for tax exemption if it is issued for corporations that do not need assistance in financing expansion and in areas where commercial credit is readily available.7 Tax-exempt financing entails the loss of tax revenues rather than an increase in actual expenditures. This characteristic of IDBs makes them, in the eyes of critics, an inequitable and inefficient way for the federal government to provide financial assistance to state and local governments. From the viewpoint of tax equity, the exemption permits individuals and institutions in high tax brackets to avoid the full burden of the progressive federal income tax. While the bondholders could be viewed as paying a "tax" to the state and local governments by accepting lower interest rates on tax-exempt bonds, they are in fact net gainers, because they are willing to engage in the transaction only if the "tax" allows them to avoid a higher federal income tax. With regard to the cost effectiveness of IDBs as a subsidy, the exemption gives less financial assistance in the form of lower interest rates than 7. Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, Industrial Development Bond Financing (ACIR, June 1963), pp. 40-46. Industrial Development Bonds it costs the federal government in foregone revenue. Opponents of IDBs contend that, to make the tax exemption attractive to investors in lower tax brackets, the issuance of such bonds pushes yields higher on municipal securities relative to taxable securities. While a relatively higher taxexempt yield is necessary to attract the marginal, low-bracket investor into the municipal market, the higher yield is available to all who invest in newly issued securities, including those in the higher tax brackets. Moreover, the value of taxexempt financing to state and local governments declines because they must pay higher relative interest rates on all bond issues regardless of the purpose. The net effect is an increase in the overall cost of tax-exempt financing to the federal government in the form of tax revenue foregone and a smaller relative benefit to municipal issuers. In other words, the efficiency of this type of revenue sharing declines as the ratio of tax-exempt to taxable yields rises. CURRENT PROBLEMS Questions about the public purpose and the inefficiency of IDBs sold during the mid-1960s resulted in the enactment of the Revenue and Expenditure Control Act of 1968, which still 141 governs the issuance of such bonds. Once again, these concerns have surfaced in relation to the reportedly growing volume of small-issue IDBs, but have yet to result in additional legislation. Under current federal law anyone may use smallissue IDBs, and only a few states limit the projects benefiting from tax-exempt financing within their jurisdictions. Thus small-issue IDBs finance a wide variety of business ventures, including projects like private golf courses and fast-food outlets as well as small industrial firms. Another serious problem with the current use of small-issue IDBs is that many of the bond issues are for business firms that do not need financial assistance to undertake their projects. Critics object to this use of tax-exempt financing because it serves simply as a source of cheap credit at the expense of federal tax revenues. Addressing these concerns, as well as the federal revenue loss arising from IDBs, the administration has proposed legislation that would limit the use of IDBs to small businesses and bar firms that use IDB financing from also taking accelerated depreciation write-offs for the same projects. Moreover, tax exemption would be limited to IDBs approved before their issuance by state or local elected officials. These restrictions would apply to the issuance of both smallissue and exempt-facility IDBs. • 143 Treasury and Federal Reserve Foreign Exchange Operations This 40th joint report reflects the TreasuryFederal Reserve policy of making available additional information on foreign exchange operations from time to time. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York acts as agent for both the Treasury and the Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve System in the conduct of foreign exchange operations. This report was prepared by Sam Y. Cross, Manager of Foreign Operations for the System Open Market Account and Senior Vice President in charge of the Foreign Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It covers the period August 1981 through January 1982. Previous reports have been published in the March and September BULLETINS of each year beginning with September 1962. There were two key turning points for the dollar in the exchange market during the period under review. In early August, the year-long advance of the dollar against major foreign currencies came to an end. Then, after a four-month decline, dollar rates started to firm at the beginning of December, a trend that continued through the remainder of the period. Several factors supported the long advance of the dollar through early August. Inflation in the United States had begun to moderate even as the U.S. economy withstood recessionary tendencies longer than most forecasters had expected. The Reagan Administration's leadership in translating its economic policy into action was greeted positively in the exchange markets, particularly as the program gained support in the Congress. At the same time, the U.S. current account continued to post a surplus. Meanwhile, the demand for credit in the United States remained strong, and with the Federal Reserve continuing to restrain monetary expansion, interest rates stayed high. Thus, although differentials favoring the dollar were well below their peaks of late 1980, they were widening again during the summer, attracting interest-sensitive funds into dollar-denominated assets once again. Most other industrial countries by contrast continued to show disappointingly slow progress in pulling out of the difficulties associated with the prolonged adjustment to the oil price increases of 1979-80. Many countries had a public debate over the appropriate course of fiscal and monetary policy in the face of unacceptably high inflation and mounting unemployment. In this context, foreign governments expressed open concern over the high level of U.S. interest rates and the inflationary consequences of the depreciation of their currencies against the dollar. Furthermore, political developments in Eastern Europe and the Middle East clouded the outlook for many countries abroad, leaving traders and in1. Federal Reserve reciprocal currency arrangements Millions of dollars Amount of facility Institution Jan. 1, 1981 Jan. 31, 1982 Austrian National Bank National Bank of Belgium Bank of Canada National Bank of Denmark Bank of England Bank of France German Federal Bank 250 1,000 2,000 250 3,000 2,000 6,000 250 1,000 2,000 250 3,000 2,000 6,000 Bank of Italy Bank of Japan Bank of Mexico Netherlands Bank Bank of Norway Bank of Sweden Swiss National Bank 3,000 5,000 700 500 250 500 4,000 3,000 5,000 700 500 250 300' 4,000 600 600 Bank for International Settlements Swiss francs/dollars Other authorized European currencies/dollars Total 1,250 1,250 30,300 30,100 1. Decreased by $200 million effective May 23, 1981. 144 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 2. Drawings and repayments under reciprocal currency arrangements, January 1, 1981-January 31, 19821 Millions of dollars equivalent; drawings, or repayments ( - ) Activity by the Federal Reserve System Transactions with Commitments, Jan. 1, 1981 1981 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 January 1982 Commitments, Jan. 31, 1982 Public series German Federal Bank Swiss National Bank 5,233.6 1,203.0 0 0 0 0 - 680.3 744.5 -931.1 0 0 0 3,622.3 458.5 Total 6,436.6 0 0 -1,424.8 -931.1 0 4,080.8 Activity by foreign central banks Bank drawing on System Bank of Sweden Outstanding Jan. 1, 1981 0 1981 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 January 1982 Outstanding, Jan. 31, 1982 200.0 -200.0 0 0 0 0 1. Because of rounding, figures may not add to totals. Data are on a value-date basis. vestors with the view that the United States was a relatively attractive outlet for investment. As the dollar continued its advance in early August, however, sentiment became more cautious. Market participants were aware that major European central banks had stepped up their dollar sales and, in view of the rapid runup of the dollar in late July and early August, began to expect a correction. Consequently, once the upward momentum broke, dollar rates fell back sharply in mid-August and then declined irregularly through late November. The August turnaround in the exchange markets coincided with a shift in focus in the U.S. financial community from the immediate issues surrounding the passage of the administration's program to its implications for the fiscal deficit and U.S. capital markets. As market attention turned to estimates of the fiscal gap, skepticism deepened that the administration's program could proceed without having the government's burgeoning financing needs exert renewed strains on the credit markets. In this environment, a growing concern arose over the potential for conflict between fiscal and monetary policy, leading market participants to question whether the Federal Reserve might back away from its anti-inflation stance. At the same time, the economy began to show signs of weakening. U.S. short-term interest rates were therefore easing, even though the Federal Reserve continued its policy of restrain ing monetary expansion. Reflecting the slow growth of the narrowly defined money supply, the federal funds rate dropped about 600 basis points over the four months to the end of November. The Federal Reserve progressively eliminated its surcharge of 4 percent on large banks that frequently borrowed at the discount window, and by early December it had reduced its basic discount rate 2 percentage points to 12 percent. By November evidence was already mounting that the U.S. economy was in a sharp recession, leading to expectations that privatesector credit demands would decline substantially. These expectations contributed to a rally in the bond market, which brought long-term rates down more than 200 basis points by the end of the month. The four-month decline of short-term interest rates in the United States was reflected in a narrowing of interest differentials favorable to the dollar vis-a-vis most other currencies. At least initially, monetary authorities abroad felt they had little room to respond to the lower U.S. interest rates by easing their own money market rates. They were concerned about entrenched inflationary pressures at home; and in some countries, notably France, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom, the central banks acted to raise interest rates. In addition, some countries felt constrained by the pressures against their currencies within the European Monetary System (EMS). Foreign Exchange Operations Beginning in October, however, as U.S. interest rates continued to decline, monetary authorities in some countries began to allow an easing of their own short-term interest rates. Their economies were making little headway in recovering from recession, and unemployment was rising rapidly. Government deficits were already large relative to historical standards and in many cases were placing strains on the domestic financial markets. Consequently, the authorities in several countries felt that only limited scope existed for further fiscal stimulus. The current account deficits of a number of countries were beginning to decline so that the authorities felt they no longer needed such high interest rates to attract capital from abroad. There were widespread forecasts of a U.S. move from current account surplus to deficit in 1982; Japan's current account had already swung from a deep deficit into surplus; and a German export surge had led officials and private forecasters alike to predict an elimination of that country's current account deficit in 1982. Moreover, strains in the EMS were relieved by a multilateral realignment of parities on October 5. As a result, foreign monetary authorities felt they had greater scope for easing their domestic interest rates. Even so, with the drop in short-term U.S. rates accelerating, particularly in November, interest differentials favoring the dollar continued to narrow. Meanwhile, other factors lent support to the dollar. Orders to buy dollars emerged repeatedly whenever the dollar moved substantially lower, as commercial interests in a number of centers sought to take advantage of what they consid3. U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve foreign exchange operations1 Net profits or losses (—), in millions of dollars U.S. Treasury Period Federal Reserve 1981—Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 January 1982 Valuation profits and losses on outstanding assets and liabilities as of January 31, 1982 1. Data are on a value-date basis. - 6.2 1.4 .1 0 0 -374.8 Exchange Stabilization Fund - General account .7 3.8 0 0 15.2 -144.3 0 85.9 - 39.2 - 4.2 -1,102.1 826.4 145 ered favorable rates for current payments or investments. From time to time substantial purchases of dollars were made by the monetary authorities in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other countries outside the Group of Ten. In addition, a continuing inflow of funds into dollars came from Japan, where residents were taking advantage of a recent relaxation of exchange controls or were for other reasons seeking to diversify their portfolios internationally. Furthermore, the November rally in the U.S. bond market reportedly attracted capital from abroad, as investors sought to lock in high yields and position themselves for capital appreciation. Moreover, the increasingly fragile situation in the Middle East and Poland depressed sentiment toward those countries seen as more vulnerable than the United States to heightened geopolitical tensions. The recession in the U.S. economy led forecasters to expect less deterioration in this country's current account than previously. Even so, by the end of November the dollar had dropped SlA percent from levels at the end of July against sterling, about 11 percent against the Japanese yen and the German mark, and as much as 18 percent against the Swiss franc. Early in December the dollar turned around once more and began an advance that carried through the end of January. This second turning point was triggered by a reappraisal of the view that a continuing drop in economic activity in the United States would lead to further substantial declines in U.S. interest rates and, therefore, to further movements adverse to the dollar in interest rate differentials. That reappraisal was based on a number of developments. In the United States, the Federal Reserve was perceived as moving cautiously to reduce its discount rate and to supply bank liquidity. Although output was falling and unemployment was climbing, credit demands were not fading. In fact, commercial financing needs were heavy, with corporate issues flooding the bond market in December and commercial demand for bank credit remaining strong. Also, estimates of the federal deficit for current and future fiscal years had undergone repeated and large upward revisions, and the prospective borrowing requirement for the first quarter of 1982 was seen 146 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 as likely to be greater than previously had been estimated. Moreover, the release of figures showing no letup in a series of large weekly increases in the monetary aggregates began to generate expectations of a substantial tightening of money market conditions. Under these circumstances, U.S. money market rates rose in December and faster in early January. Abroad, by contrast, persistent weakness of domestic economies had led to near-record levels of unemployment, and in some countries official financial policies were coming under domestic criticism. As pressures for measures to boost employment intensified, expectations strengthened that some countries in Europe might ease their restrictive monetary postures even if U.S. interest rates did not decline further. In fact, during January, the central banks of many major industrialized countries either reduced their official lending rates or facilitated some easing of local money market rates. As interest rate differentials once more moved strongly in favor of the dollar, they began to attract funds into dollar-denominated assets. The dollar was bid up across the board during the final two months of the period. By the end of January it had risen about 6 percent against the European currencies and 8 percent against the yen from the levels at the end of November. As a result, the dollar closed the six-month period down on balance about 1 percent against sterling, 4 percent against the yen, 5!/2 percent against the German mark, and 13 percent against the Swiss franc. The trade-weighted value of the dollar in terms of ten major currencies declined 316 percent during the period. During the six-month period, there were occasions when the market experienced unusually sudden and sharp exchange rate movements during a single day. Some of these episodes were associated with major political events, such as the assassination of Egypt's President Anwar Sadat on October 6 and the imposition of martial law in Poland over the December 12-13 weekend. Other episodes were less dramatic and were not associated with such identifiable events. The U.S. authorities were prepared to intervene on some occasions had the market disturbances persisted or cumulated during the U.S. trading session; as it turned out, the Federal Reserve undertook no intervention operations on behalf of the U.S. authorities. The Trading Desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York continued its longstanding practice of cooperating with other central banks by intervening as their agent from time to time in the New York market. On September 1 and December 15 the U.S. Treasury paid off the first two maturing tranches equivalent to $1,611.4 million of its securities denominated in German marks. After those redemptions, the Treasury had outstanding $4,080.8 million equivalent of the foreign currency notes, public series, which had been issued with the cooperation of the German and Swiss authorities in connection with the dollar-support program of November 1978. Of the notes outstanding as of January 31, 1982, a total of $3,622.3 million is denominated in German marks and $458.5 million is denominated in Swiss francs. The maturity dates for the remaining securities range between May 12, 1982, and July 26, 1983. In the seven months through January 1982, the Federal Reserve had gains of $0.1 million on its foreign currency transactions. The Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) gained $15.2 million in connection with sales of foreign currencies to the Treasury General Fund to finance interest and principal payments on securities denominated in foreign currencies. The Treasury's general account gained $42.5 million net. This gain reflected $94.8 million of profits on the redemption at maturity of securities denominated in Swiss francs and German marks, partly offset by $52.3 million of losses as a result of annual renewals at current market rates of the agreement to warehouse Swiss franc and German mark proceeds of Treasury securities with the Federal Reserve. As of January 31, 1982, valuation losses on outstanding balances were $374.8 million for the Federal Reserve and $1,102.1 million for the Exchange Stabilization Fund. The Treasury's general account had valuation gains of $828.4 million related to outstanding issues of securities denominated in foreign currencies. GERMAN MARK In early August, the German mark was subject to divergent tendencies: weak against the dollar but strong against European currencies. Foreign Exchange Operations With respect to the dollar, market sentiment toward the mark remained bearish. Domestically, the German economy was relatively weak: unemployment was rising, and inflation was high by historical standards. Moreover, the government deficit remained large, capital markets continued under strain, and fiscal policy was under heated discussion publicly and within Germany's coalition government. Internationally, Germany had experienced substantial deterioration in its terms of trade because of the increase in oil prices and the depreciation of the mark. The current account was in heavy deficit, and wide interest rate differentials favored investment in the United States. On top of these economic considerations, the mark was seen in the exchanges as more exposed than the dollar to international political tensions. This vulnerability reflected Germany's strategic position, its ties to Eastern Europe, and its greater reliance on the Middle East for energy resources and export markets. In consequence, the mark was subject to capital outflows, all the more as market sentiment toward the dollar became increasingly bullish. On August 10 the rate plunged to a five-year low of DM 2.5773, a decline of some 45 percent since mid-1980. Against other EMS currencies, however, the mark remained strong. It benefited from the market's view that the authorities in Germany were still placing priority on correcting the external imbalance and on financing the current account deficit in the interim by inflows of private and official capital. The federal government continued the practice, unusual for Germany, of placing German mark-denominated debt instruments directly with foreign official institutions. Following the move in February 1981 to introduce a special Lombard facility, German interest rates increased so that adverse interest rate differentials vis-a-vis other EMS currencies were either narrowed or eliminated. The German Federal Bank had announced that because of the inflation problem it would aim at the lower part of the 4- to 7-percent target range for the growth of central bank money. Thus, with the market apprehensive about prospects for other EMS currencies, the mark had moved toward the top of the EMS, at times hitting its upper intervention limit. As a result of these crosscurrents in the ex 147 changes, the German Federal Bank had frequently bought French and Belgian francs to ease pressures within the EMS while selling dollars, at times heavily, to support the mark against the dollar. Through the end of July, Germany's foreign currency reserves had increased to stand at $43.4 billion. During August, however, as the German Federal Bank stepped up its dollar sales to support the mark, German foreign currency reserves fell by $1.5 billion. Once the mark came close to its lows, market participants became wary of a shift in market direction and professionals moved quickly to cover their short positions. The mark bounced back sharply, and as the dollar fell lower in the exchanges, market sentiment toward the German currency became more favorable. In part, the turnaround reflected developments in the United States, where the initial euphoria surrounding the adoption of the administration's economic program gave way to skepticism that the program would achieve all its goals. At the same time in Germany, trade and current account figures for July were released, pointing to a dramatic improvement in export sales and providing the first concrete evidence that the earlier surge in export orders was finally showing through. Official commentary about this improvement gave rise to expectations that Germany's current account deficit would continue to narrow in subsequent months—a time when most forecasters were expecting the U.S. current account to deteriorate. Furthermore, the government finalized a 1982 budget proposal according to which nominal expenditure growth would be slowed to 4 percent and the net financing requirement of the federal government would be cut to DM 27 billion or 1.6 percent of gross national product, down from a revised estimate for 1981 of DM 34.3 billion or 2.2 percent of GNP. As the dollar eased, therefore, the German mark moved up to trade around DM 2.3195 by the end of September. Meanwhile, the strengthening of the mark added to strains within the EMS. The markets became vulnerable, especially before weekends, to repeated rumors of an imminent realignment of the participating currencies. Speculative bidding for marks against the French and Belgian francs frequently stretched the EMS to its limits, generating sizable intervention in several centers 148 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 and pushing the mark up against the dollar as well. The German Federal Bank responded to these pressures by purchasing both dollars and EMS currencies in the exchanges so that, by the end of September, German foreign exchange reserves increased by $1.1 billion. Over the weekend of October 3 and 4, the EMS finance ministers announced a realignment of parities to take effect October 5. The mark, as well as the Dutch guilder, was revalued by 5l/2 percent against those currencies whose parities remained unchanged and in effect by 8V2 percent against the French franc and the Italian lira. Immediately thereafter, the mark traded in the lower portion of the new band, reflecting reflows of speculative investments as well as a reversal of commercial leads and lags. Accordingly, other central banks began purchasing marks in the exchanges so as to cover the liabilities within the EMS that had built up over preceding months. Against the dollar, however, the realignment was seen as freeing the mark to strengthen further, and in subsequent days the mark moved up to DM 2.1815, 15V2 percent above its August low. Following the realignment of the EMS, the German Federal Bank confirmed the easing of interest rates that had already begun in Germany's money and capital markets by cutting the special Lombard facility rate from 12 percent to 11 percent effective October 9. The German Federal Bank felt able to take action to support the domestic economy because of the overall strength of the mark, the improving outlook for the balance of payments, and the achievement of a compromise on fiscal policy. Even so, the German Federal Bank was careful not to signal more forceful action, because at home inflation continued to accelerate to an annual rate of 7 percent year on year and in the United States interest rates remained high so that interest rate differentials adverse to the mark remained large. Later the same day the Federal Reserve lowered its surcharge on discount window borrowing by large banks from 3 percent to 2 percent, the second cut of 1 percentage point in this rate in three weeks. Thus, the German Federal Bank's action did not contribute to any further widening of interest rate differentials versus dollar assets. After mid-October a number of developments within Germany weighed on the mark. Unemployment was increasing as declining corporate profits forced many firms to move aggressively to economize on labor. As a result, market participants came to expect that the German Federal Bank would take advantage of whatever opportunity developed to allow German interest rates to follow U.S. rates down. In addition, the earlier optimism over a quick and sustained improvement in Germany's balance of payments faded, as first August and then September monthly trade figures disappointed market expectations. Late in October the government revised its budget estimates for 1982 to take account of climbing unemployment and revenues that were lower than expected, thereby eliminating virtually all of the planned drop in the borrowing requirement. Although this new budget gap was later covered, largely by an expected increase in profits of the Federal Bank available to be transferred to the government, the episode underscored the differences that still existed within the government coalition on major issues of economic policy. Also, political tensions abroad adversely affected sentiment toward the mark. The assassination of Egyptian President Anwar Sadat pointed up the potential for instability in the Middle East and Germany's reliance on that region for oil supplies. Repeated reports of military maneuvers around Poland were also an unsettling reminder of Germany's vulnerability to potential Soviet interference in Eastern Europe. Under these circumstances, the mark did not strengthen even though interest differentials adverse to the mark were narrowing sharply. Also, the German Federal Bank moved cautiously to provide some short-term liquidity to the banking system through swaps and repurchase agreements and did not change official interest rates again until December 4, when it cut its special Lombard rate V2 percentage point to 10.5 percent. By contrast, in the two months to early December, the Federal Reserve had twice lowered its discount rate by 1 percentage point to 12 percent and also eliminated the remaining surcharge of 2 percentage points on frequent borrowers. Short-term interest rates in the United States had fallen sufficiently to cut in half—from about 5 percentage points to 2V2 percentage points—the short-term differentials vis-a-vis the mark. During the six weeks to the end of November, the mark occasionally came into demand, espe- Foreign Exchange Operations daily at times when U.S. interest rates were declining. But the mark did not keep pace with currencies outside the EMS that were continuing to strengthen against the dollar. Instead, movements of the rate above the DM 2.20 level regularly prompted commercial and investor selling of marks against dollars. On occasion, the mark came sharply on offer, especially in the wake of political developments in Eastern Europe or the Middle East. At these times, the German Federal Bank intervened promptly and forcefully to sell dollars while EMS central banks were also buying marks. These operations contributed to better market balance. In December and January the mark was adversely affected by developments abroad. On December 14, martial law was declared in Poland, triggering a brief scramble for dollars against marks and sending the rate as low as DM 2.3650 for a few hours. Prompt intervention by the German Federal Bank and other central banks, together with commercial activity and professional profit taking, quickly restored balance to the market, and the rate almost fully recovered in just a matter of hours. Yet the Polish situation remained a matter of market concern. In the United States, interest rates stopped declining, disappointing market expectations that the deepening U.S. recession would continue to ease credit demands. Indeed, U.S. money market rates moved strongly higher, casting doubt that the strengthening of Germany's external position would show through in the mark exchange rate. This development focused attention anew on the dilemma facing the German authorities. With the level of unemployment heading to a record 2 million persons, political pressures mounted, not only from labor unions but also within parties in the governing coalition, for more action to deal with the deteriorating unemployment situation. But the government was concerned about actions that either would increase taxes and thereby hamper a recovery or would increase government borrowing and thereby add to inflation. There were also pressures to ease monetary conditions. But the German Federal Bank remained concerned that a renewed easing in interest rates would exacerbate the decline in the mark, which would exert a further upward push on costs and prices. 149 In the event, the government presented to Parliament a compromise program, approved shortly after the close of the period, that was designed to stimulate jobs through investment subsidies, lending programs for small companies, and modest direct government spending on energy-saving projects—financed mainly by an increase of 1 percentage point in the value-added tax in 1983. Meanwhile, new figures showed that an export surge late in the year had boosted Germany's trade account and helped pull its current account deficit for 1981 as a whole down to DM 17.5 billion, significantly lower than had been forecast. The improving external position gave the German Federal Bank scope to lower its special Lombard rate a further ¥z percentage point to 10 percent on January 21 and ensure a similarly modest easing in money market rates. At the end of January the mark was trading at DM 2.3420, down about 6]A percent from the late-November levels while up about 9 percent from its lows of early August. The German Federal Bank was at times active in the markets during December and January, selling dollars in support of the mark, while other central banks within the EMS continued to acquire marks. Reflecting dollar sales by the Federal Bank during the two months, German foreign currency reserves fell $3.0 billion to close the period at $37.5 billion, down $5.9 billion for the period as a whole. Swiss FRANC In mid-1981, Switzerland was faced with the resurgence of inflationary pressures. Part of the inflationary impulse stemmed from the buoyancy of the domestic economy—in contrast to the stagnation in other European countries—led by strong consumption and construction activity. Shortages developed in the housing market and domestic house prices and rents exhibited sharp increases, contributing to a strong rise in consumer prices. Also, the decline of the Swiss franc in the exchanges substantially boosted the cost of imports, particularly by raising the domestic price of oil and other dollar-denominated raw materials. Though Swiss interest rates had risen progressively, they were still well below those in other 150 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 industrial countries. At midyear, interest differentials adverse to the franc were about 9 to 10 percentage points vis-a-vis the dollar and more than 3 percentage points vis-a-vis the German mark. Consequently, foreign official and corporate borrowers continued to place heavy demands on the Swiss franc money and capital markets. The Swiss authorities did not seek to restrain these outflows. They hoped to avoid the development of sizable external markets in Swiss franc-denominated assets, particularly for longer maturities, and in any event the current account had moved into surplus, estimated to be $2.0 billion to $2.5 billion for 1981. Nonetheless, the pressure of outflows of capital pushed the Swiss franc down in the exchanges. At the end of July the franc was trading at SF 2.15 against the dollar and SF 0.87 against the German mark. Along with other major currencies, it declined further against the rising dollar to a four-year low of SF 2.2095 on August 10, a decline of some 39 percent since its peak of 1980. On July 31, Switzerland's foreign exchange reserves stood at $9.9 billion. The Swiss authorities continued to pursue a policy of monetary restraint to combat inflationary pressures. Increasingly, however, the authorities had reason to question whether policy was as restrictive as developments in the monetary aggregates would suggest or, in view of the inflationary situation, whether policy was as tight as circumstances warranted. For some time the monetary base was below the annual growth target of 4 percent for 1981. However, as in many other countries, continuing financial innovations in Switzerland, coupled with unusually high interest rates by historical standards, had altered the behavior of banks and the public, making the monetary base as well as the broader monetary aggregates less reliable than in the past as a guide to policy. Questions about the adequacy of monetary restraint were highlighted by the release of consumer price numbers for August, showing inflation rising 11.3 percent at an annual rate in the most recent quarter and 7.4 percent year on year. Early in September the authorities began taking aggressive action to tighten monetary policy and thereby underscore the primacy of the antiinflation struggle. Effective September 2 the Swiss National Bank boosted its discount rate to 6 percent from 5 percent and its Lombard rate to 7.5 percent from 6.5 percent, the fourth rise in 1981 in those official lending rates. The authorities also made the refinancing of credit through foreign exchange swaps with the central bank more expensive. Following these actions, Swiss franc interest rates shot up temporarily before settling down around 11 percent. The rise in Swiss interest rates during September and October, which occurred at a time when interest rates in other centers were easing, meant that differentials adverse to the franc either narrowed dramatically, as in the case of the dollar, or were reversed, as in the case of the German mark. Nonresidents therefore found incentives to begin repaying their Swiss franc-denominated debt, while investors sought out higher-yielding franc investments, and these actions helped to propel the franc sharply higher in the exchanges. As the franc strengthened, the view developed in the market that the Swiss authorities might allow the franc to appreciate beyond SF 0.80 against the mark—a level considered an upper bound in the market since September 1978 when the Swiss National Bank had intervened forcefully at that rate. In addition, many European countries were regarded as more vulnerable than Switzerland to political tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, and this concern over the prospects for other currencies continued to benefit the Swiss franc. In these circumstances, the franc became exceptionally well bid. By mid-November the rate advanced 18 percent from levels in early September to a high of SF 1.7475 against the dollar and some 10 percent to SF 0.7935 against the German mark. The strong appreciation of the franc, while welcome as a contribution in the fight against inflation, was nevertheless a matter of concern to the authorities. Of special worry was the rapid rise against the German mark, the currency of Switzerland's main foreign trade partner and major competitor in third markets, because it threatened to put Swiss exporting and tourist industries in a difficult position. Still, the authorities made clear in public statements that largescale intervention similar to that undertaken in 1978 would be inappropriate. Sizable sales of Swiss francs would lead to an expansion in Switzerland's money supply, and large purchases of dollars would push the dollar higher in Foreign Exchange Operations the exchanges—both developments that would exacerbate inflationary pressures. In the event, by November the economy showed clear signs of flattening out and some private forecasters began to express fears that economic activity would weaken to the point at which unemployment might rise. In addition, the need to avoid liquidity strains from developing with the approach of the year-end argued for some relaxation in monetary restraint. Accordingly, the Swiss National Bank progressively reduced the rate charged to domestic banks for Swiss-franc swap credit against dollars and provided somewhat more liquidity than it absorbed via maturing swaps. On December 4 the authorities reduced the Lombard rate from 7.5 percent to 7.0 percent—an action taken in coordination with interest rate reductions in other industrial countries and designed to bring the Lombard rate more closely in line with prevailing Swiss money market rates. But at the same time the Swiss National Bank was anxious to avoid the impression of a fundamental shift in policy course and consequently left the discount rate unchanged at 6 percent. In the exchange market the franc lost its upward momentum as domestic and EuroSwiss money market rates eased downward. Against the dollar the franc slipped back to trade around SF 1.80 by the end of December. Against the mark, however, the franc remained well bid around SF 0.7985, principally in response to market concerns over the foreign and domestic implications for Germany of the declaration of martial law in Poland. By January the need for such a tight monetary policy in Switzerland appeared to have passed, particularly with the release of inflation figures showing a marked deceleration in consumer prices to around 6 percent. The monetary growth target of 3 percent announced by the authorities for 1982 was generally viewed as consistent with the policy of fighting inflation, while also providing sufficient liquidity so as not to exacerbate the developing weakness of the economy. Even so, the Swiss authorities were thought to be under less pressure than others in Europe to ease credit conditions, given Switzerland's low unemployment rate and the still relatively favorable performance of the economy. In fact, the Swiss National Bank did not lower its official lending rates following the reduction by the German 151 Federal Bank on January 21 of its special Lombard rate. In these circumstances the franc, though fluctuating widely at times, remained firm against the German mark. But vis-a-vis the dollar, the franc continued to ease as money and capital market rates in the United States firmed substantially and were generally expected to remain high despite the weakness of the U.S. economy. By the end of January the franc was trading at SF 1.8680 against the dollar and at SF 0.7976 against the German mark. At these levels the franc was up 15^2 percent against the dollar since its August low. Over the six months under review the franc gained WA percent against the dollar and 8 percent against the German mark. Between the end of July and the end of January, Switzerland's foreign exchange reserves rose $600 million to 10.5 billion in response to foreign currency swap operations, the net purchase of dollars in intervention operations, and interest earnings on outstanding reserves. JAPANESE YEN By mid-1981, the Japanese economy had made impressive adjustments to the second round of oil price increases of 1979-80. Changes in production processes in many of Japan's largest enterprises had substantially reduced Japan's dependence on oil imports. These developments, together with the continuing impact of the 197980 depreciation of the yen, had led to a sharp improvement in Japan's current account, which swung from deep deficit to moderate surplus in just one and a half years. The rate of inflation at the wholesale level, which at one point in 1980 had reached 24 percent, had slowed to just about 1 percent. Meanwhile, restrictive monetary and fiscal policies had helped limit the extent to which rising prices of material were passed on in the economy so that inflation at the consumer level, which had never exceeded 9 percent, was around 5 percent per year. The process of adjustment had been uneven, however, and domestic demand remained weak. Important sectors of the economy remained severely depressed. Moreover, consumer expenditures were slow to recover from the deflationary impact of rising energy prices, despite the mod- 152 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 eration of inflation. The sluggishness of domestic demand cast doubt that a firm basis for sustained recovery had been established, and domestic pressures on the authorities intensified to adopt reflationary measures. Anxiety rose that the weakness of demand at home, in combination with the legacy of the yen's earlier depreciation, would provoke another surge of exports and exacerbate protectionist reactions in Japan's major markets overseas. As a result, the authorities had already begun to provide stimulus to the economy. The government had announced measures to aid small companies and speed up expenditures for public works. But the scope for further expansionary fiscal policies was limited by virtue of the fact that the levels of the government's overall deficit and borrowing requirement continued to be considered excessive by many Japanese and were already exerting pressures in the local capital markets. Thus, the larger source of stimulus came from an easing of monetary policy. During the spring, the Bank of Japan lowered its discount rate, eased banks' reserve requirements, and substantially relaxed "window guidance" ceilings on the growth of bank lending. In the exchange markets, the yen had benefited from Japan's improving economic performance to recover from its 1980 lows against most European currencies. Relative to the German mark, it had risen nearly 40 percent to trade at 97 yen to the mark by early August. Against the dollar, however, a tentative recovery late in 1980 had given way to a renewed and protracted decline. With interest rates in Japan lower than in any other industralized country, Japanese residents had taken advantage of newly liberalized foreign exchange controls to make longterm investments abroad. Then during midsummer, when a long-awaited decline in U.S. interest rates failed to materialize, market participants lost hope that the large interest differentials adverse to the yen would soon narrow so as to permit Japan's improving competitiveness to show through in the yen-dollar exchange rate. Thus, as Japanese importers sought to limit their losses during the August vacation period, they accelerated their yen sales to hedge remaining future dollar needs. In addition, foreign corporations continued short-term yen borrowings to meet financing needs in other currencies. As the selling of yen gathered force, it pushed the spot rate down to ¥ 246.10 by the first business day in August—a level only about 6 percent above its 1980 low. At this point, many market participants felt that the yen's decline had been overdone in view of Japan's steadily improving current account position. With banks generally in an oversold position, the market was ripe for a reversal of sentiment toward the yen when the dollar began its general decline during August. Reports that some Middle Eastern investors had been attracted in size by the rally in Japan's securities markets and purchases on the international monetary market helped spur the turnaround in demand for the currency in early August. The yen's rise initially outpaced that of other currencies against the dollar, bringing the exchange rate to ¥ 228.20 against the dollar and to a high of ¥ 91.64 against the German mark on August 18. A sense of caution soon overcame the yen market, however. Participants recalled the disappointment earlier in the year when the yen's appreciation had not gone as far as expected. They worried about the possibility that new protectionist barriers might be erected in markets where Japan's exports were penetrating rapidly. Moreover, pressures built up over the summer and autumn for the government to introduce further monetary and fiscal stimulus to the still flagging domestic economy. In this atmosphere, the yen's rise seemed to stall after midAugust at a level around ¥ 230 against the dollar even as the European currencies continued rising. In September, the monetary authorities announced that window guidance ceilings on commercial banks' lending would be further increased for the fourth quarter, even though monetary growth, running close to 10 percent at an annual rate, was just within the Bank of Japan's projections. Further, the government announced on October 2 a four-point program of fiscal and other measures intended to stimulate domestic demand and imports while assisting Japanese industries and regions that were experiencing particularly severe structural difficulties. The Ministry of Finance also set wider limits on foreign lending by Japanese banks for the halfyear beginning in October, in keeping with the projected financing needs accompanying the Foreign Exchange Operations growing surplus on the current account and reflecting the continuing policy of allowing the country's banks to maintain their overall share of lending in the Euromarkets. Long-term capital outflows from Japan remained large even though interest differentials favoring dollar investments narrowed during the late summer and autumn. Using their new freedom under the 1980 Foreign Exchange Law, Japanese institutional investors continued programs begun earlier in the year to diversify internationally. Also, some Japanese firms with large import requirements had experienced significant losses earlier in the year on their uncovered future dollar commitments and were now adopting more conservative policies regarding the hedging of forward obligations in foreign currency. In the case of firms in some structurally depressed industries, such as oil refining, the need to protect weak financial positions by hedging more of their future import requirements was encouraged as part of the government's efforts to support long-term adjustment. Under these influences, the yen-dollar rate wavered around the ¥ 230 level through September and October. Against the German mark, whose continuing rise against the dollar was partly influenced by the pressures building for realignment within the EMS, the yen declined steadily to reach a low point of nearly ¥ 105 per mark on October 30. During November the yen became well bid again, as U.S. interest rates declined further, and hopes became widespread that this trend would continue. Market participants felt that, despite renewed arguments being heard in Japan for a further easing of monetary policy, Japan's already low interest rates offered less scope for the monetary authorities in Japan compared with those in Europe to match U.S. interest rate reductions. Therefore, further drops in U.S. rates were expected to be reflected in a significant narrowing of the differentials adverse to yen investments. Foreign transactions in Japan's securities markets, including purchases of bonds under short-term repurchase arrangements, reversed direction in November to become sizable net purchases. Market participants were also impressed by trade figures released for September and October that showed a further strong improvement in the current account surplus, 153 even though the October figures on export letters of credit already gave some warning that the growth of exports might be slowing in subsequent months. Under these positive influences, the yen rose some 8 percent against the dollar during November, reaching its high for the sixmonth period of ¥ 213.40 on November 30 while recovering to ¥ 96.80 against the German mark. Toward the end of the year there still was no clear evidence of recovery in the domestic economy and predictions of a very large current account surplus in 1982 became widely accepted. Statistics on consumer and wholesale prices continued to show the lowest rate of inflation among industrial countries. Information released about the real economy indicated that growth of the third quarter had been heavily concentrated in the foreign sector. Public-sector spending and domestic consumption were virtually flat while private investment actually declined slightly for the third quarter in a row. Investment by small and medium-sized firms showed an especially large drop, continuing the trend that had been of concern to policymakers for some time. After the third quarter, monthly trade statistics revealed that even export growth had slowed at least temporarily in November under the influence of government-imposed restraints as well as sluggish demand in major export markets. While welcome from the point of view of mitigating trade frictions, this development lent further emphasis to the need for recovery in the domestic economy. The new budget, announced in December for the fiscal year beginning in April 1982, retained the relatively restrictive stance that had been adopted for fiscal year 1981 in keeping with the long-range objective of containing and eventually reducing the size of the government's deficit and borrowing requirement. In these circumstances and with the yen exhibiting more strength than it had in the earlier part of the year, the monetary authorities took further action to help spur the faltering recovery. On December 11, the Bank of Japan reduced its discount rate for lending to commercial banks 3/4of a percentage point to 5'A percent following similar actions in the United States and other industrial countries. This step was supplemented later in the month by the announcement that overall credit ceilings limiting loans extended by Japan's leading commer- 154 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 cial banks, already progressively eased in previous quarters, would be lifted entirely for the calendar quarter beginning in January 1982. In announcing the cut in the official lending rate, the authorities made it clear that they had confined the reduction to less than 1 percentage point so as not to interfere with the recent rising tendency of the yen and that they were prepared to counter any short-term effect on the yendollar rate by intervening in the exchange markets. Nonetheless, when the U.S. and Eurodollar interest rates began to rise during December, the relative unattractiveness of yields on yendenominated assets showed through in the exchanges once again and the yen began moving down. When the upward movement of U.S. interest rates continued into January, rather than reversing with the new year as many had hoped, the depreciation of the yen continued. Potential yen holders became interestingly impressed with the discrepancy between the pressures building for sustained high interest rates in the United States, as new statistics were released showing higherthan-expected growth of the U.S. monetary aggregates, and the situation of Japan's monetary authorities, who faced a continued need to ease credit policy to stimulate the flagging domestic economy. Hope that wide interest differentials might soon be reversed thus faded in the first weeks of the new year. Pressure against the yen intensified, bringing the exchange rate against the dollar to ¥ 230.00 by the close of January, down 8 percent from the November 30 high but up 6V2 percent above the low of August 1981. The yen's cross rate in terms of the German mark had changed even less on balance to ¥ 98.21 by the end of January as compared with ¥ 97.00 six months earlier. The Bank of Japan continued its policy of intervening in the exchange markets to smooth erratic fluctuations in the exchange rate, intervening to support the yen at various times when the rate moved down rapidly. Such dollar sales contributed to net declines recorded in Japan's foreign exchange reserves for December and January. For the six months as a whole, however, Japan's foreign exchange reserves rose $600 million to $24.6 billion by the end of January, mainly reflecting interest earnings on Japan's outstanding holdings. STERLING In mid-1981, deep-seated concerns over the prospects for the economy of the United Kingdom continued to weigh on market sentiment toward the pound. While the worst of the 2Vi-year-old recession appeared over, evidence of an economic upturn had not yet materialized and, with interest rates lower than earlier in the year, there was concern that the government might be easing its stringent financial policies prematurely. It appeared likely that the U.K. share in world export markets was falling—inasmuch as persistently high rates of inflation and the earlier appreciation of the exchange rate had severely eroded the competitiveness of British industry. The trade and current accounts remained in surplus. However, softening world oil prices prompted worries that the substantial benefits that Britain's oil self-sufficiency had provided to the balance of payments might diminish. Moreover, in other major industrial countries interest rates had increased, particularly over the summer. But in the United Kingdom the pressures of high and rising unemployment were seen in the exchange market as limiting the rationale, as well as the scope, for the authorities to raise domestic interest rates, and interest differentials in fact moved adversely to sterling-denominated assets. By the end of July the pound had dropped 24 percent from the highs registered in January of last year to $1.84 against the dollar. It also declined IOV2 percent to DM 4.55 against the German mark and 10 percent in effective terms to 92.5 on a trade-weighted basis. The Bank of England, acting to smooth fluctuations in the exchange rate, had maintained its policy of intervening modestly on both sides of the market. Nonetheless, mainly reflecting the repayment of outstanding loans, Britain's foreign exchange reserves had declined to $13.6 billion by the end of July. The pronounced drop of the dollar in August was reflected in only a temporary rebound of sterling in the exchanges. Indeed, bearish sentiment toward the pound deepened in September and October so that, while other European currencies were advancing against the dollar, the pound declined in the exchanges. In part, renewed downward pressure on sterling reflected fears that the monetary authorities had relaxed Foreign Exchange Operations the restrictive stance of monetary policy before inflationary expectations had been firmly laid to rest, thereby threatening the progress already under way in bringing inflation under control. In the view of many, the growth of the targeted aggregate sterling M3 substantially above its 8 to 10 percent annual range could not be fully explained by temporary distortions, such as the delay of tax payments caused by a civil servants' strike, or by technical factors, such as a shift in housing finance from the building societies to the banks. After allowing for these considerations, the "underlying" rate of growth of sterling M3 remained high. The banking data released for August were particularly discouraging in this respect, reflecting a rapid expansion of bank lending to finance personal consumption and to satisfy growing needs of the corporate sector. The downward pressure on sterling also resulted from nervousness ahead of the publication of trade figures for September and October—the first full figures since February 1981 when the civil service pay dispute interrupted the compilation of data. In the interval, expectations for a reduction of the trade surplus had developed. Weakened competitiveness was thought likely to restrict the volume of exports, while import volume was expected to rebound as the previous sharp rundown of domestic stocks abated and was gradually reversed. The decline of sterling during 1981 was also presumed to have weakened the terms of trade. In the event, the actual trade figures confirmed a fall in the trade surplus from the exceptional level of the winter of 198081, though gaps in the data posed greater-thanusual problems of interpretation. Looking ahead, reductions in crude oil prices, which had taken place on a selective basis following the breakdown of OPEC price discussions in late summer, added to the unfavorable outlook for Britain's balance of payments trends. As broad-based selling pushed the pound precipitously lower, the rate dropped in September to $1.7695 against the dollar and DM 4.10 against the mark. In effective terms it traded as low as 86, representing a trade-weighted drop in sterling to the lowest levels since March 1979. At this point British policymakers faced a choice. On the one hand, the depreciation of the exchange rate improved competitiveness and brightened the outlook for a recovery of depressed profit 155 margins and of investment activity. But, on the other hand, the fall in the exchange rate following the decline that had already taken place earlier in 1981 threatened anti-inflationary goals at a time when wage and price inflation were showing improvement. Inflation had already fallen to around 10 percent, close to rates prevailing among Britain's major trading partners. Moreover, a sharp drop in average wage settlements had occurred, which, coupled with productivity gains, had stabilized unit labor costs for the first time in a decade. A failure by the authorities to respond forcefully to the rapid buildup of selling pressures might risk accelerating sterling's fall given the development of a severely adverse market psychology. Furthermore, domestic monetary developments, particularly the expansion of bank lending, suggested that policy action was appropriate to avoid a further buildup of domestic liquidity. Thus, on balance, both external and internal considerations pointed to the desirability of increasing U.K. money market rates. Accordingly, in mid-September the authorities raised short-term interest rates sharply, under new monetary control arrangements that came into effect the previous month, first through the discount window and then by operations in the bill market. In addition, the authorities began operating more actively in the exchange market as a seller of dollars. Meanwhile, interest rates moved lower in the United States, and as a result British interest rates stood above comparable U.S. interest rates for the first time since November 1980. Then, immediately following the realignment within the EMS, interest rates softened in a number of continental European countries as well so that interest differentials moved favorably for sterling more generally. These developments prompted widespread demand for sterling, which gathered momentum in November when the rally in the U.S. bond market carried over to the gilt-edged market and attracted foreign investors seeking to benefit from capital gains in addition to exchange rate returns. By late November the pound had recovered 11 percent from its lows to trade around $1.98 against the dollar and 91.9 on an effective basis. During December, domestic debate over the state of the economy intensified against the background of increased labor unrest. On December 156 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 2, Chancellor Howe announced a £5 billion increase in projected public spending for the 1982— 83 fiscal year (April-March), mainly for the local authorities and for spending on employment and training programs. But these measures were generally seen as no more than a passive adjustment by the government to rising unemployment and continued low levels of economic activity because they did not imply a significant shift in the already restrictive stance of fiscal policy. Most private forecasters remained relatively pessimistic concerning the strength of any recovery given the lackluster prospects for government expenditure, consumer spending, and exports. The rebuilding of inventories was thought to compensate only partly for the weakness in other areas of economic activity. In these circumstances, exchange market participants remained concerned that the government would have to relax its restrictive policies after all and the pound again came under selling pressure, with the rate slipping back 6 percent from its late-November highs to $1.8690 by mid-December before steadying around the year-end. Sentiment toward sterling turned more optimistic during January. The labor situation improved, particularly following the unexpected decision of the miners not to strike and instead to accept the management pay offer—a development that seemed to validate the perseverance of the government in its overall strategy. The miners' decision brightened the outlook for inflation to abate, and in the exchange market this boosted sentiment for sterling. Domestically, this prospect gave a lift to the capital markets and generated hopes that conditions in the money markets would ease. In fact, a softening in shortterm interest rates materialized and was not resisted by the authorities. Even so, the decline in short-term U.K. interest rates was less than reductions on the Continent where the monetary authorities were taking advantage of some improvement in their external positions to allow interest rates to decline and thus support their economies. As a result, interest rate differentials favoring sterling investments over those denominated in continental currencies widened. At the same time, trade figures released for December were better than expected and the pound also benefited from oil company demand. As a result, sterling held generally firm against the rising dollar and advanced strongly against the continental currencies. By the end of January the pound was trading at $1.8670 for a net rise of Wz percent against the dollar since the end of July. On an effective basis, sterling stood at 91.8 for a 3 /4 percent decline over the six-month period under review. Between the end of July 1981 and the end of January 1982 the foreign exchange reserves of the United Kingdom declined $1.0 billion to $12.6 billion. The authorities' intervention operations in the exchange market had a small impact on reserves as compared with other influences, such as the repayments and accruals of external public-sector borrowings and the revaluation losses of gold and dollar swaps against European currency units (ECUs) done with the European Monetary Cooperation Fund. FRENCH FRANC During late summer 1981, major elements of the economic strategy adopted by France's new government were under exchange market scrutiny. The government had moved aggressively to reduce burgeoning unemployment through monetary and fiscal measures to stimulate consumption and investment, and it was pledged to a program to redistribute income and to nationalize major banks and industrial groups. In other European countries the case for a shift toward policy stimulus was under intense political debate, but most governments opted for continued monetary and fiscal restraint. Consequently, pessimism deepened in the exchange markets over the outlook for the French franc, since the divergence in policies was expected to produce a deterioration in inflation and the current account deficit in France while improvements were anticipated in some other European countries. The franc fell in these circumstances more rapidly than other European currencies against the rising dollar. From FF 5.8775 at the end of July it plummeted to a record low of FF 6.1870 on August 10, while also dropping to the floor of the EMS. Moreover, in subsequent weeks as the dollar declined in the exchanges, the franc had difficulty keeping pace with the advance of the German mark and other EMS currencies against the U.S. currency. Foreign Exchange Operations The French government sought to contain the selling pressures on the franc during August and September so as not to jeopardize its domestic program. The Bank of France intervened heavily in the exchange markets, selling mainly dollars as well as European currencies, to keep the franc within the mandatory 2VA percent trading limit against the German mark and occasionally also against other currencies that traded at the top of the joint float. The government also tightened exchange controls to limit further the scope for leading and lagging of commercial payments by temporarily suspending the facility for importers to purchase foreign currency forward. Previously, one-month forward cover had been permitted except for importers of raw materials, who were allowed up to three months to purchase forward exchange ahead of delivery. In addition, the Bank of France raised on September 21 its money market intervention rates 1 percentage point—to 191/2 percent for seven-day maturities—thereby reversing the previously easier tendency in domestic interest rates. However, the authorities did not wish to undercut the basic policy aim of reducing the high interest rate burden on French industry, and thus the government requested that the increase in banks' costs be financed out of profits and not by raising base lending rates. Otherwise, with respect to domestic policy, the government continued to address the problems of an economy showing only limited signs of recovery from more than sixteen to eighteen months of recession. Late in September the government presented its 1982 budget proposals, aimed foremost at increasing employment by supporting economic activity. The budget provided for the creation of 70,000 new publicsector jobs, increased spending on private and public investment, raised aid and financial incentives to industry, and hiked outlays on education and various social welfare programs. On the revenue side, the imposition of new taxes, higher tax rates, and steps to reduce tax evasion fell short of the nearly 27 percent increase in expenditures, leaving the government with a projected fiscal deficit of FF 95 billion, roughly equivalent to 3 percent of GNP, compared with about FF 70 billion in 1981 or about 2.4 percent of GNP. The government also approved a bill nationalizing five industrial groups and a large segment of the 157 private banking sector, with the takeover shifting approximately 750,000 workers from private industry to the government sector. In the exchange market, participants continued to be concerned about the direction of economic policy. They feared an adverse impact on already depressed business spending plans of the government's efforts to nationalize and restructure industry. They were troubled by the prospect of a sharp rise in the fiscal deficit, which seemed likely if an economic recovery did not materialize. They worried that an expansion in the deficit in a short period could compromise the government's growth target for the monetary aggregates and, thereby, risk substantially increasing inflationary pressures. These concerns prompted large flows of funds to move out of France amid growing speculation that the franc would be devalued within the EMS. The outflows of funds were reflected in a decline of $3 billion in French foreign exchange reserves from $22.6 billion at the end of July to $19.8 billion by the end of September. On October 5 the central EMS parity of the French franc, along with the Italian lira, was adjusted downward 3 percent against the Danish krone, the Irish pound, and the Belgian franc— whose central rates remained unchanged—and in effect 8!/2 percent against the German mark and the Netherlands guilder, currencies whose central rates were moved upward within the joint float. Immediately after the EMS realignment, the franc traded at the top of the new band amid a reflow of funds that took the form of a reversal of commercial leads and lags and also represented a reflux of speculative and investment capital. As a result, the franc rose in tandem with the mark against the dollar to trade around FF 5.58 by mid-October. In the weeks that followed, French government officials stated that henceforth the government would give the same priority to fighting inflation as to unemployment to ensure maximum positive effects from the currency realignment. The authorities acted on several fronts to blunt the inflationary impact of the devaluation of the franc. The government imposed temporary price controls or freezes on a wide range of services and food items, on which prices had shown marked acceleration, and introduced an 8 percent guideline on annual increases for indus- 158 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 trial products. Regarding wages, the government began discussions with the country's main unions to alter cost-of-living provisions in future wage negotiations so as to stabilize real earnings. In addition, the government froze FF 15 billion in budgeted 1982 expenditures, while also raising employer and worker contributions to the social security fund. These various measures helped improve the atmosphere in the domestic bond market, and the government, unable to issue new bonds for some time previously, began to borrow successfully on a large scale. The government's access to the bond market in financing its deficit made possible a deceleration in monetary growth and enhanced prospects for the monetary aggregates to stay within the 1982 range. With the realignment in place and with policies in France appearing to move toward greater balance between the goals of combating unemployment and curbing inflation, the franc remained firm within the EMS. The impact of stimulative policies on France's inflation and trade performance remained a source of concern. However, these issues became somewhat less acute, as other countries moved cautiously to provide stimulus to their flagging economies through an easing in monetary conditions and as they came under growing pressure to adopt programs of fiscal stimulus. With the divergence in policies somewhat less pronounced, some forecasters began to look for a smaller deterioration than previously expected in the 1982 French current account. Moreover, nominal French interest rates remained relatively high—commanding a premium of 6 to 7 percentage points over German interest rates—even though the authorities had renewed their efforts to reduce French money market rates in the aftermath of the EMS realignment. French firms sought foreign currency loans to finance domestic expenditures, while foreign official and private investors maintained and even increased their holdings of franc-denominated assets. In these circumstances, the French authorities were able to ease the ban on forward purchases of foreign currencies, allowing importers of selected basic commodities to purchase foreign exchange up to three months ahead of delivery. Otherwise, exchange controls remained intact, limiting the scope for resident outflows. Moreover, France continued to be seen in the exchanges as less vulnerable than other continental countries to political disruptions in the Middle East and in Eastern Europe, a perception that helped to bolster the franc, particularly following the declaration of martial law in Poland in December. For all these reasons, the franc remained firm at the top of the joint float even as EMS currencies as a group weakened against the dollar during December and January. By the end of January, the franc was trading at FF 5.96 against the dollar, a net decline of about 1V4 percent over the six-month period under review but a rise of more than 3Vi percent from its August lows. The relative strength of the franc enabled the Bank of France to acquire sufficient marks in the market to reimburse in advance the main part of its very short-term obligations to the European Fund for Monetary Cooperation (FECOM) stemming from earlier exchange market intervention in 1981. The outstanding amount was fully repaid by early January in ECUs, foreign currency, and special drawing rights. By the end of January, France's foreign exchange reserves stood at $18.3 billion. At this level, France's foreign exchange reserves were $4.3 billion lower over the six-month period under review, in part reflecting these repayments as well as the revaluation losses of gold and dollar swaps against ECUs done with FECOM. ITALIAN LIRA At the beginning of August the Italian lira had fallen against the strongly rising dollar to stand at LIT 1,227.50. However, it was trading comfortably near the top of the EMS, holding its position firmly in relation to other European currencies after its earlier downward adjustment within the joint float. The Bank of Italy had recently taken advantage of the lira's position within the EMS to rebuild foreign currency reserves to a level of $16.5 billion. The relatively firm performance of the lira at that time reflected sizable tourist inflows that offset the adverse impact of Italy's deteriorating terms of trade following the sharp increase in dollar prices for energy and other products as well as a weakening of demand in Italy's principal export markets. In addition, a tight control on Foreign Exchange Operations liquidity and credit at home helped shield the lira from high interest rates abroad. The Bank of Italy, as part of its continuing struggle against inflation, had tightened monetary policy progressively by widening the scope of its ceilings on bank lending, raising reserve requirements, and hiking its discount rate to 19 percent. In addition, the monetary authorities were changing their procedures for issuing Treasury bills so that the Bank of Italy could vary its purchases of bills according to its assessment of domestic liquidity needs rather than buying all unsold Treasury bills at auction. Moreover, a deposit scheme had been imposed in May for a four-month period on purchases of foreign exchange for imports. This scheme, which required the placement with the Bank of Italy for ninety days of a non-interestbearing lira deposit equal to 30 percent of the exchange transaction, had the effect of increasing the cost of payments in foreign currency as well as cutting into credit available for domestic purposes. Nevertheless, problems were continuing. Inflation was still running at a rate of 18 percent, considerably higher than most of Italy's trading partners. The public-sector debt had continued to exceed expectations despite persistent attempts at expenditure control. A collapse in the stock market had seriously threatened the authorities' long-standing efforts to rebuild the financial structure of Italy's industrial sector. Evidence then available indicated that the domestic economy was weak, with industrial production still declining. The terms of trade were falling, as the U.S. dollar continued to climb in the exchanges and the traditional surplus on service income was contracting because of growing international debt service. To deal with these problems, a new coalition government led by Republican Giovanni Spadolini announced that it would not rely on any further sharp contraction of economic activity to curb inflation. Instead, it would seek to contain inflationary pressures through a series of negotiations with business, labor, and various political interests aimed foremost at adjusting Italy's wage indexation system, the scala mobile. For the first time, two of the three major labor unions indicated a willingness to negotiate limited adjustments to the system. Furthermore, proposals were put forth for "receding targets" and 159 "norms" for prices, wages, and public utility rates. At the same time, the government decided to extend the four-month-old import deposit scheme until the end of February 1982. In an agreement with the European Community, however it announced a phased reduction of the proportion of foreign exchange purchases held in non-interest-bearing deposits and increased somewhat the products exempted from the deposit requirement. During August and September, the lira remained firm within the joint float even as seasonal tourist inflows tapered off. Italy's trade balance was beginning to improve, as export volumes picked up in response to the earlier devaluation and as softness in the domestic economy held import volumes down. Although the weakness of the EMS bloc had pushed the lira to a new record low of LIT 1,268.50 against the dollar on August 10, the Bank of Italy was able to purchase sizable amounts of dollars to rebuild its reserve position through early September. These purchases were reflected in the $1.0 billion increase in foreign currency reserves over the two months. Late in September the lira dropped from the middle to the bottom of the joint float. Rumors began to circulate in the market that an EMS realignment would be broad enough to include the lira, whereas previously only a limited adjustment focusing on other currencies was thought likely. New estimates, putting the public-sector borrowing requirement as large as 12.5 percent of gross domestic product, also generated concern that the escalating deficit would undermine the efforts to curb inflation. As Italian importers moved to accelerate foreign currency purchases, sizable intervention by the Bank of Italy was required to steady the rate. On October 5, the lira was, in fact, devalued along with the French franc by 3 percent against the currencies whose official parities remained unchanged and, in effect, by 8V2 percent against the German mark and the Dutch guilder. In public statements after the realignment, the Italian government stressed that it had not taken the initiative for the change and that the effect of the revaluation of the mark versus the lira, while insufficient to reestablish the competitive position of Italian exports to West Germany, would make German exports to Italy more expensive 160 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 and thereby add to Italian inflation in the short run. After the EMS realignment and through the end of November the lira, although generally trading around the middle of the EMS band, firmed against the dollar. Italian interest rates remained high while those in other centers were generally declining so that favorable interest rate differentials for the lira widened against most currencies. Concern remained, however, that the new government would not win quick agreement from unions and business on approaches to reduce price and wage pressures. Similarly, in November a record rise in the scala mobile underscored the risk that the gains in international competitiveness resulting from the two devaluations would be quickly eroded by inflation. Thus, at times the lira came on offer and the Bank of Italy promptly intervened to resist declines in the rate, as reflected in the two-month drop of $469 million in foreign currency reserves. Beginning in late December and continuing through the end of January, the lira firmed to trade at or near the top of the EMS, even though it fell back in relation to the U.S. dollar along with other currencies in the joint float. The Italian trade and current accounts had made considerable and sustained improvement. Export and import volumes, as well as service income, were responding favorably to the depreciation of the lira, declining real incomes in Italy, and inventory liquidation. Moreover, long-term capital continued to flow into Italy, mainly in the form of Eurodollar borrowings, as credit availability at home remained tight. To reinforce the slowdown that was under way in inflation, the Bank of Italy extended in late December the 1981 ceilings on growth of bank lending until the end of 1982. These ceilings were extremely restrictive in that they required a reduction of lending in real terms. Nevertheless, the lira came on offer on occasion, for example, when a bunching of foreign currency purchases entered the market following reductions in the proportion of transactions covered by the import deposit scheme. But intervention by the Bank of Italy helped the lira remain near the top of the EMS. By the end of January the lira was trading at LIT 1,250.00 against the dollar, up 1 Vi percent from its August lows. However, over the six-month period under review, the lira declined PA percent against the dollar and 7lA percent against the mark, in part reflecting the results of the October EMS realignment. Meanwhile, Italy's foreign exchange reserves advanced $1.3 billion over the period to stand at $17.8 billion at the end of January. EUROPEAN MONETARY SYSTEM The persistence of serious recession and high inflation provoked major policy debates in most countries in the EMS over the summer of 1981. Complaints intensified that high U.S. interest rates were exacerbating the already difficult process of adjustment by forcing a choice between accepting the inflationary consequences of depreciation of their currencies against the rising dollar or by raising interest rates in defense of home currencies and accepting a loss in economic output. Domestically, pressures built up for a relaxation in monetary policy, for fiscal expansion—through some combination of increased expenditures and tax cuts—or otherwise for a change in policy emphasis. In some countries, such as Germany, the commitment to restrictive policies already in place remained firm. In other nations, including Belgium and the Netherlands, the debate made it difficult for newly elected legislatures to reach agreement on a ruling government or on a common program. In France there was an explicit shift in strategy, under new leadership elected in the spring, in favor of reducing unemployment through domestic stimulus and specific job-creating measures. In the exchange markets, expectations intensified during the summer and early autumn that divergent policies and economic trends among participating EMS countries—particularly Germany and France—would force a realignment of the joint float. These expectations gained strength, particularly after the turnaround of the dollar in August, since market participants felt that tensions within the joint float would more readily show through once there was greater scope for the mark to rise in the exchanges. In the event, large speculative flows emerged, imposing major strains on the joint float arrangement. To contain the selling pressures, the monetary authorities in many countries raised domestic interest rates. Moreover, EMS central Foreign Exchange Operations banks intervened heavily during August and September to keep their currencies within agreed limits. In contrast to the spring, the intervention largely took the form of sales of dollars rather than EMS currencies. Then, on October 5 the EMS currencies were realigned with the German mark and Dutch guilder each revalued 5V2 percent and the French franc and the Italian lira each devalued 3 percent in relation to the Belgian franc, the Danish krone, and the Irish pound whose bilateral central rates against each other remained unchanged. The new exchange rate structure and the lessening of strains within the EMS provided more countries than previously with the scope to begin lowering interest rates and thereby provide some monetary stimulus to their economies. France and Denmark permitted money market rates to ease, while Germany and the Netherlands lowered official lending rates in the October-December period. However, the reduction of European interest rates lagged behind the decline of rates in the United States and partly for this reason EMS currencies advanced against the dollar by as much as 11 to 16 percent from their August lows. In December when U.S. interest rates moved higher, the currencies of the EMS started to decline against the rising dollar in the exchanges. Although exchange rates fluctuated rather widely against the dollar, the configuration of currencies within the EMS remained comparatively stable. The French franc, which moved to the top of the band immediately after the realignment, was soon joined by the Dutch guilder in the upper part of the EMS. The guilder was supported by a current account surplus and improving inflation prospects in the Netherlands. From a deficit in 1980, the current account moved to a surplus of about NG 7 billion last year, with further improvement expected this year. The turnaround in the current account reflected delayed increases in the price of natural gas exports and the effect on imports of weak domestic investment and consumer demand. In addition, direct incomes policies pursued by the authorities in 1980 and 1981 improved competitiveness, with labor costs per unit of output lagging behind those of most other countries. Also contributing to the guilder's strength in the EMS was the formation of a government in autumn after many false starts 161 since the general elections in May. The government was pledged to a program of reducing the fiscal deficit as a proportion of GNP, while also directing part of the country's substantial gas revenues to specific employment-creating projects. Even though Denmark in contrast to the Netherlands was running a current account deficit, the Danish krone also traded firmly in the upper portion of the joint float. Gains in export market shares and the depressed level of imports supported the krone by narrowing Denmark's current account deficit over the course of 1981. The central bank also made sizable foreign currency payments on behalf of the government from official reserves, thereby helping maintain balance in the exchange market. Trading around the middle of the EMS band was the Italian lira, bolstered by a contraction in Italy's current account deficit and a tight monetary policy that induced long-term capital to flow in from abroad. Meanwhile, the Irish pound tended to fluctuate somewhat below the middle of the joint float even as Irish domestic interest rates rose significantly. Although conversions of private- and public-sector foreign borrowings helped underpin the pound, the inflows of capital had difficulty keeping pace with the widening of the current account deficit, as a recovery in stock building and fixed investment from earlier depressed levels began to draw in imports. The German mark, after having initially moved to the floor of the EMS following the October realignment, remained near the bottom of the joint float through the end of 1981. Accordingly, EMS central banks were able to purchase marks in exchanges to cover liabilities incurred earlier in the year to the FECOM. Together with the mark at the bottom of the EMS was the Belgian franc, pushed lower by concerns over Belgium's large and protracted budget and current account deficits. After elections in November, expectations built up that a downward adjustment of the franc within the EMS would occur. As selling pressures intensified in late November and early December, the Belgian National Bank supported the franc at the floor of the 2V4 percent band through increasingly heavy sales of foreign currency. The authorities also raised the discount rate and the Lombard rate each by 2 percentage points to 15 percent and 17 percent respectively, 162 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 effective December 11, and enforced other measures making it prohibitively expensive for nonresidents to speculate against the franc. Then, over the December 13-14 weekend, a new government was formed, pledged to restrain wage increases under the wage indexation system and curtail the budget deficit. With the new government providing grounds for a more effective approach than previously to reducing government expenditures and lowering the costs of industry, market sentiment toward the Belgian franc improved. After the new year, as the currency bloc declined against the dollar, the configuration of currencies within the EMS shifted somewhat, but without imposing new strains on the jointfloat mechanism itself. As before, the Dutch guilder and the French franc remained strong within the joint float, and the authorities in both countries were able to lower interest rates in line with reductions in Germany. The Italian lira also traded at the top of the band as the authorities kept interest rates high. The Danish krone slipped lower in the middle of the band in response to projections of a widening in Denmark's current account deficit irl 1982 and the authorities, unable to take advantage of the tendency for major European interest rates to come down, tightened money market conditions instead. The German mark moved higher in the joint float even as the German Federal Bank, acting to stimulate domestic demand, lowered on January 21 the special Lombard rate for the third time in six months. As the mark moved higher and as debate within Ireland over economic policy intensified, the Irish pound came under modest pressure and moved into the lower half of the EMS band. For its part, the Belgian franc traded steadily at the bottom of the EMS and the authorities cut the discount rate, effective January 7, 1 percentage point to 14 percent and the Lombard rate 2 percentage points to 15 percent. The authorities did not, however, further reduce lending rates when the German Federal Bank acted on January 21 to cut its official lending rate. By the end of January the EMS currencies had relinquished much of the gains recorded against the dollar in the autumn months to end the six-month period about Wi percent to 10^4 percent higher against the U.S. currency from their August lows. CANADIAN DOLLAR The Canadian dollar was heavily on offer in mid1981, dropping on August 4 to a fifty-year low of Can. $1.2445 (U.S. $0.8035). The decline reflected market concerns over the balance of payments implications of Canadian energy policy, constitutional issues, and persistent inflation. The main focus of exchange market attention was Canadian energy policy announced in the autumn of 1980, especially the establishment of incentives for exploration and development of domestic energy that favor Canadian ownership, and an ensuing dispute between the federal government and Alberta over energy pricing and taxation. By mid-1981, the "Canadianization" policy had stimulated sales of foreign-owned energy companies and outflows of capital. Moreover, the policy was seen as threatening the inflows of investment capital needed to offset the traditional current account deficit and to provide capital required to develop Canadian energy reserves and other economic resources. Also, to press their position in the dispute with the federal government, the provincial authorities in Alberta had cut oil production temporarily within the province, increasing Canada's short-term dependence on imported crude oil. Other factors beyond the energy problems weighed on market sentiment in early August. Strong upward pressure on Canadian prices and wage costs had continued through the first half of 1981 in contrast to the United States where improvement on the inflation front had begun to appear. The move to patriate the Canadian constitution by the federal government led to legal challenges by provincial governments at a time when relations were already strained by the energy issues. Earlier in the summer, the traditional interest rate differentials in favor of the Canadian currency nearly disappeared at times when short-term U.S. rates climbed sharply. Against this background, the Canadian dollar had become increasingly vulnerable, dropping sharply at the end of July and the first week of August. The authorities took several actions in response. The Bank of Canada intervened heavily to support the rate and by the end of July, Canadian foreign currency reserves had declined to $748 million. It also drew $700 million in July and $500 million in August under the $3.5 billion Foreign Exchange Operations standby facility with domestic chartered banks to replenish reserves. At the end of August total borrowings under the facility stood at $1.5 billion. Beginning in late July, the Bank of Canada aggressively pushed up interest rates. In roughly three weeks, short-term rates jumped about 3 percentage points, restoring substantial interest rate differentials in favor of Canadian assets by early August. In addition, the Canadian Ministry of Finance asked commercial banks to reduce their lending to corporations for purposes of financing buy-outs involving foreign currency conversions. In the wake of these actions, the Canadian dollar rebounded in the exchanges. Also during August, expectations developed that a compromise would soon be reached between the federal and provincial governments on the troublesome issues of pricing, taxation, and revenue sharing in the energy field. On September 1, an agreement was in fact announced that provided for the rapid move of domestic oil prices toward world market levels, helping to alleviate exchange market concern that the government's policy would limit future energy development. With agreement now reached, chances increased that several major oil exploration projects that had been suspended in earlier months would be resumed. Also, Alberta moved to restore oil production cutbacks, easing Canadian needs for imported crude. A compromise on revenue sharing was also achieved, providing for increases in federal revenues. Under these circumstances, and with the U.S. dollar generally in decline, the Canadian dollar recovered substantially after mid-August to Can. $1.1929 by September 3. The Bank of Canada was a net purchaser of U.S. dollars during August and September and repaid $700 million of the $1.5 billion in credits drawn during the summer. The Canadian dollar then steadied to trade in a fairly narrow range, easing back slightly on balance through the remainder of September and October. The Bank of Canada, stressing its view that reduction of inflation was crucial to a return to healthy economic growth and external balance, resisted declines in Canadian interest rates as large as those then developing in the United States. Nevertheless, a sudden increase in unemployment in September and other signs of developing economic slack led to questions in the 163 market as to how much longer the authorities could maintain their policies of restraint even with no evidence of a slowing of inflation. Moreover, the Canadian trade surplus had weakened through the summer, pushing the current account more deeply into deficit. The Bank of Canada was a net purchaser of U.S. dollars during these two months. It paid down $200 million in borrowings from domestic banks and by the end of October foreign currency reserves stood at $1,270 million. During November, the Canadian dollar climbed about 2 percent as the U.S. dollar declined against most major currencies and as several factors shifted in favor of the Canadian dollar. The Bank of Canada responded to the continued decline in U.S. interest rates by limiting the fall in Canadian interest rates. As a result, interest rate differentials favorable to the Canadian dollar widened, spurring borrowings abroad, especially by public authorities. As the exchange rate rose, borrowers moved to accelerate conversions of foreign currency. The government also introduced a generally restrictive 1982 federal budget to Parliament. The exchange market was impressed that monetary and fiscal policy in Canada continued to be directed toward control of entrenched inflationary pressures. At about the same time, new oil and gas finds in the Beaufort Sea seemed to improve the chances of achieving the Canadian goal of energy self-sufficiency by 1990. Also, Prime Minister Trudeau announced in early November a compromise agreement with all provinces except Quebec approving patriation of the Canadian constitution. By November 30, the Canadian dollar had reached Can. $1.1761 (U.S. $0.8503), its highest level in over a year. With the Canadian dollar strengthening sharply, the Bank of Canada bought U.S. dollars in the exchange markets. During November, the government finalized a $300 million medium-term loan from the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency. In total, Canadian foreign currency reserves rose $1.75 billion during the month and stood at $3.0 billion at the month-end. In November and December the Bank of Canada repaid the final amounts borrowed to finance intervention during the summer. In December and January, with U.S. interest 164 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 rates rising, concern developed that Canadian interest rates would not increase sufficiently to maintain interest rate differentials. Successive monthly figures on unemployment confirmed the weakness of the Canadian economy and triggered a debate over fiscal and monetary policy. The restrictive tone of the 1982 budget had generated substantial domestic criticism, and many analysts were predicting that the Canadian economy had by then entered its worst recession of the postwar period. Yet, inflation had not decelerated and wage settlements continued above 12 percent at a time when the United States was showing progress in both of these areas. In the event, Canadian interest rates drifted slightly lower and favorable differentials, which at their peak had been more than 5 percentage points, nearly evaporated by the end of January. Capital inflows tapered off and the Canadian dollar dropped back to Can. $1.1988. Thus, by the end of January, the Canadian dollar was trading about 2 percent below its highs at the end of November but still nearly 3 percent above its lows reached just after the opening of the period. The Bank of Canada was a net seller of U.S. dollars, so that Canadian foreign currency reserves declined in January to stand at $2.9 billion. Even so, over the six-month period, Canadian foreign currency reserves increased $2.2 billion and all drawings on the standby facility with domestic chartered banks had been repaid. • 165 Industrial Production Released for publication March 16 Industrial production increased an estimated 1.6 percent in February, reflecting a rebound in activity from the sharply curtailed output levels that resulted in part from severe January weather. Gains were generally widespread, with output of autos and trucks also rebounding in February from the very low level a month earlier. The index for February at 141.8 percent of the 1967 average was 1.0 percent below the December 1981 level and 6.6 percent below its level a year earlier. Industrial production in January is now estimated to have declined about 2.5 percent from December's level rather than the 3 percent originally estimated. In market groupings, production of consumer goods increased 1.7 percent in February, after a decline of 2 percent in January. Autos were assembled at an annual rate of 4.1 million units, up about 14 percent from the January assembly rate. Output of durable goods for the home increased 2.8 percent; revised estimates now indicate only a slight decline in January. In February, output of consumer nondurable goods regained almost three-fifths of the 1.5 percent drop in the preceding month, a part of which apparently was weather related. Output of business equipment increased 0.5 percent after a decline of 3.4 percent in January; a further weakening occurred in the output of building and Seasonally adjusted, ratio scale, 1967=100 Federal Reserve indexes, seasonally adjusted. Latest figures: February. Auto sales and stocks include imports. Major market groupings 1967 = 100 Percentage change from preceding month 1982 Grouping 1981 Oct. Nov. Jan." Feb.® Total industrial production 139.6 141.8 -1.7 -1.9 Products, total Final products Consumer goods Durable Nondurable Business equipment Defense and space Intermediate products Construction supplies Materials 142.3 142.3 138.6 118.9 146.5 172.4 105.5 141.9 122.3 135.6 144.3 144.2 140.9 123.5 147.8 173.3 107.7 144.4 124.9 138.1 -1.1 -.7 -.9 -2.9 -.2 -1.2 1.5 -2.1 -3.2 -2.6 -1.3 -1.1 -1.7 -4.8 -.5 -.8 .8 -1.8 -3.8 -2.6 p Preliminary. e Estimated. NOTE. Indexes are seasonally adjusted. 1982 Dec. Percentage change, Feb. 1981 to Feb. 1982 Jan. Feb. -2.1 -2.5 1.6 -6.6 -1.2 -1.0 -1.8 -5.0 -.7 -.3 1.6 -1.9 -2.2 -3.8 -2.4 -2.4 -2.0 -3.5 -1.5 -3.4 -1.4 -2.7 -3.9 -2.5 1.4 1.3 1.7 3.9 .9 .5 2.1 1.8 2.1 1.8 -3.9 -2.7 -4.7 -12.5 -1.8 -2.4 7.2 -8.4 -16.1 -10.5 166 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Major industry groupings 1967 = 100 Jan." Feb. 6 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Percentage change, Feb. 1981 to Feb. 1982 137.6 126.6 153.5 143.8 168.8 140.1 129.2 155.8 142.0 167.4 -2.1 -2.2 -1.9 .2 .2 -2.0 -2.5 -1.5 -1.4 .5 -2.3 -2.4 -2.1 -.6 -.9 -2.9 -3.5 -2.2 .9 .9 1.8 2.1 1.5 -1.3 -.8 -7.3 -8.2 -6.3 -.8 .6 Grouping 1982 Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities p Preliminary. Percentage change from preceding month e Estimated. 1981 NOTE. Indexes are seasonally adjusted. mining equipment and of farm equipment, while small rebounds occurred in manufacturing, power, commercial, and transit equipment. Production of defense and space equipment increased 2.1 percent last month, more than the drop in January, and was IVA percent above a year earlier. Output of construction supplies increased 2.1 percent in February, after a 3.9 percent decline the previous month. Output of materials increased 1.8 percent, recovering most of the January decline; both durable and nondu- 1982 rable materials rebounded 2.1 percent, and energy materials increased 0.8 percent. In industry groupings, manufacturing output increased an estimated 1.8 percent in February; it had declined almost 3 percent the preceding month. Both durable and nondurable manufactures regained about two-thirds of their January declines. Mining output was reduced 1.3 percent in February, largely because of reduced oil and gas extraction activity. Production by utilities declined 0.8 percent. 167 Statements to Congress Statement by Paul A. Volcker, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on Ways and Means, U.S. House of Representatives, February 23, 1982. I appreciate this opportunity to participate in your hearings on the President's economic program. The responsibilities of the Federal Reserve are, of course, limited to monetary policy, but we must necessarily recognize the broad interrelationships among monetary and other policies bearing upon national economic performance. Your committee has particular responsibility for initiating specific revenue and spending measures; in reaching your decisions, you must also take into account the implications of these decisions for the overall fiscal position of the government and for financial markets. At that point our concerns intersect, and my comments this morning will be largely directed to that area. I have often expressed my concern about the critical need to break the inflationary momentum that had come to grip the nation in the 1970s, and I have spoken of the indispensable role that monetary policy has to play in that effort. At the same time, I have emphasized the extra difficulties that result from placing too heavy a burden on monetary policy alone in the fight on inflation—difficulties manifested in exceptionally heavy pressures on financial markets and interest rates, and therefore on credit-dependent sectors of the economy. Current developments both reflect needed progress on the inflation front and reinforce my concern about the burdens placed on monetary policy to bring about and sustain that progress. In the best of circumstances, ending an inflation, once it has become embedded in behavior and expectations, can be painful in the short run, however necessary that effort is to our future strength and prosperity. The hard fact is that the economy is now in the grip of a second recession in as many years. Recent developments have some of the characteristics of earlier cycli cal downturns. But the current recession has been superimposed on a pattern of stagnation extending over a number of years—years characterized by a rising trend of unemployment, lagging productivity, and particularly strong pressures on the older industrial sectors and regions. And even now, after months of rising unemployment, interest rates have remained painfully high, delaying recovery in some important sectors of the economy. In broad terms, I do not think there is any great mystery as to why the economy and financial markets have behaved in this way. During the 1970s, inflation increasingly became viewed as a way of life, and in the process economic incentives were distorted and our productive energies sapped. As we lost our most important financial yardstick—a stable dollar—interest rates rose and became highly volatile. As monetary policy moved to deal more forcefully with the inflation—particularly in a context of fiscal imbalance—the strain on financial markets became more acute. But the alternative course of trying to accommodate inflation by providing excessive monetary growth would offer no lasting relief—and probably little respite even in the short run—for that approach would only feed inflationary expectations and reinforce the reluctance of lenders to commit funds for any substantial period of time. Now we can see clear signs of progress on the inflation front. A reversal of the pattern of the inflation rate ratcheting higher in each successive economic cycle would be an event of profound importance, not least in encouraging a return to much lower and more stable interest rates. We cannot "prove" that we have yet turned that corner. Indeed, some of the progress against inflation reflects the more immediate and temporary effects of recession-weakened markets, the pressures of extraordinarily high interest rates on commodity and other sensitive prices, and recent surpluses in petroleum and grain production. But we are also seeing signs of potentially 168 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 more lasting changes in attitudes of business and labor toward pricing, wage bargaining, and productivity. Not surprisingly, the effort is most clearly apparent in industries in which costs and wages have been most out of line, in which international competitive pressures are particularly intense, or in which regulatory change has encouraged greater price competition. But I believe the pattern is likely to spread, "building in" lower rates of increase in nominal wages and prices over time. And as the inflationary and cost pressures ease, the economy can resume a healthy pattern of growth, with greater job opportunities, increasing productivity, and higher real wages. But if that bright prospect is to be achieved, we simply cannot afford now—just as the disinflationary process is beginning to take hold and beginning to be believed—to abandon our monetary vigilance. Past failures to "carry through" have left a legacy of skepticism and uncertainty among workers and businessmen, among consumers, and among participants in financial markets in which lenders demand "inflation" and "uncertainty" premiums when committing their funds. Credibility in dealing with inflation will have to be earned by performance and persistence over time. Prudent fiscal and other policies must help in achieving that credibility. But I believe it is broadly and rightly recognized that, whatever those other policies, appropriate restraint on the expansion of money and credit will continue to be fundamental to restoring price stability. As you know, I testified two weeks ago before the House and Senate Banking Committees to report the Federal Reserve's specific intentions with respect to money and credit growth for 1982. Without repeating the details, I would like to highlight a few of the major points. Developments during 1981 were broadly consistent with the continuing effort to reduce growth of money and credit to noninflationary levels over time. There were, to be sure, some divergent movements among the various monetary and credit aggregates that we target. Those movements are largely explicable in terms of technological and regulatory change—the introduction of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts nationwide, the enormous growth of money market funds, and other factors affecting the preferences of the public for different types of financial assets. Specifically, growth of Ml-B (adjusted for the estimated shift of funds into NOW accounts) decelerated further last year, averaging, over the year as a whole, a little more than 1 percent below the previous year— the third consecutive year of lower growth. From the fourth quarter of 1980 to the fourth quarter of 1981, growth of Ml-B (adjusted) was 2.3 percent, a little more than 1 percentage point below the lower end of the target that we had indicated was desirable at midyear. The growth of the broader aggregate M2—about 9Vi percent over the fourquarter period—was a bit higher than in 1980, partly reflecting the extraordinary growth in money market funds. As you know, the money supply had a particularly sharp increase in the early weeks of 1982, after fairly large increases in November and December. Increases of that size are unusual when production and incomes are weak, and the recent rise appears to be related in considerable part to the desire of individuals to place marginally more of their assets in highly liquid form. Interest rates, after falling sharply last fall, retraced part of that decline in January and early February, partly because the rising money supply was reflected in renewed pressure on bank reserve positions. More recently, monetary growth appears to be moderating, and bond markets have rallied. These recent movements, in my mind, emphasize again two relevant points in assessing our monetary targets and their implications. First, in a large and complex economy, short-term fluctuations in money supply data—for a month or even a quarter, and much more so from week to week—can be anticipated as consumers and businesses adjust their cash holdings. So long as the trend is appropriate, those short-term fluctuations should have no important implication for economic activity or inflation. Second and more fundamentally, our targets are, by design, limited to amounts necessary to finance real growth in a framework of declining inflation. The stronger the inflationary momentum, and the more pressure on credit markets from other directions, the greater the risk that high interest rates will squeeze out housing, investment, and other private activity supported by borrowing. Statements to Congress We believe the targets for 1982 established this month (reaffirming tentative targets set last July) will be consistent with recovery in business activity over the second half of the year. Our target range for Ml of 2Vi to 5Vi percent is consistent with larger growth in money over the year as a whole than during 1981, and the Federal Open Market Committee has suggested that, as things now stand, growth in the upper part of the range would be acceptable. The FOMC also suggested that growth of M2 toward the upper end of its 6- to 9-percent range (the same as last year) would also be acceptable. But these ranges also imply a "tight fit," in the sense that they are predicated on the assumption and prospect of a further decline in the rate of inflation. The fact is that consolidating and extending our progress on inflation will require continuing restraint on monetary growth, and we intend to maintain the necessary degree of restraint. That restraint, by providing assurance that inflation will continue to decline, should over time be a powerful influence in bringing down interest rates as well, particularly in the long-term area. Indeed, prospects for any lasting relaxation of interest rate pressures would be dim without the continuing monetary discipline that success against inflation requires. For the more immediate future, interest rate prospects depend crucially on other factors as well, and I am fully aware that interest rates are vitally important to the timing, strength, and sustainability of economic recovery. The most important of those "other" factors is surely the outlook for the federal deficit, a factor that is directly within your own purview. As you know, this year, fiscal 1982, we will have a very large federal deficit—on the order of $100 billion. To a considerable extent, that deficit is a reflection of the recession, which reduces revenues and raises outlays. In the particular circumstances of today, the current deficit, to a large degree, acts as an "automatic stabilizer" for the economy. The financing load should be manageable in a context of reduced credit demands by other sectors. As we look ahead to 1983 and beyond, the situation is quite different, and that is the source of my concern about the budgetary situation. What is so disturbing is that the current services budget (taking account of the administration's 169 defense program) shows a sharply rising deficit, even if we assume revenues are lifted and spending restrained by a rather strong recovery. All the estimates before you, by the administration, by the Congressional Budget Office, or by private forecasters, point in the same direction. In the absence of action to close the potential gap, the deficit will rise to about $150 billion or more in fiscal 1983, and to still larger amounts in later years. Looking at the same situation in another way, even if we assumed the unemployment rate would soon drop back to 6 percent or so—about the level of the best recent years—we would be faced with large and rising deficits unless strong new measures are taken to contain them. In recognition of this outlook, the administration has, as you know, proposed substantial measures to reduce the potential deficit for fiscal 1983, and the years beyond. The emphasis is on spending reductions, but some revenue measures are also proposed. That program is estimated to reduce the projected fiscal gap $56 billion in 1983 and $84 billion in 1984. If enacted, as proposed, it would go a considerable way toward dealing with the fiscal problem. As you consider those and other proposals, I must emphasize the threat that, unless substantial budgetary actions are undertaken, private borrowers would be squeezed out of the market, with adverse consequences for homebuilding, for business investment, and for other credit-dependent sectors. In other words, the budgetary outlook as it stands does not seem to me consistent with the expansion in private investment we seek and have sought to encourage through tax reduction and other measures. The problem is not simply one for the future— for 1983 and 1984 and beyond. Financial markets constantly look ahead—any lender or borrower tries to anticipate and "discount" what lies ahead. Anticipations of a future "squeeze" are translated into present high interest rates, into a desire to "stay short" in lending, into a reluctance to set into motion plans to build and to invest. Moreover, the deep-seated public instinct that sustained large deficits will lead, sooner or later, to pressure to create more money to finance those deficits, or will otherwise stimulate inflation, undercuts the effort to restore stability. I would also point out that, even with measures as large as those proposed by the adminis- 170 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 tration, we would be left with historically high deficits in relation to gross national product or our probable savings potential, as the projected recovery proceeded. And those projections have little margin for misjudgment of the underlying trend in spending or revenues, in interest rates, in the inflation rate and the like—areas in which any projection has an element of uncertainty. I note, in that respect, that projections of the existing budget gap by the Congressional Budget Office run somewhat higher than those of the administration. The potential for a continuing squeeze on financial markets could be alleviated by increases in business and personal saving. Such saving has been abysmally low in recent years. Greater price stability, positive real interest rates, and the tax measures introduced last year, all should work in the direction of greater savings. But to count on a dramatically large increase in savings to "bail" us out of the budgetary problem would be to miss the point, at best. We need larger saving to finance higher levels of business investment and housing construction; we cannot afford to have it dissipated in financing prolonged excessive budget deficits—deficits that, as matters stand, would absorb, or more than absorb, a reasonable projection of increased savings. Given the nature of the problem before us, and the clear risks of underestimating the size of the budgetary problem, I can only conclude that the Congress should set its sights for still larger budgetary savings, keeping in mind the widening gap now projected beyond fiscal 1983. Credible steps to assure substantially declining federal deficits as the economy expands, looking toward balance as we restore satisfactory levels of unemployment, would be enormously helpful in resolving some of the problems in our financial markets today. Indeed, such action could have a galvanizing effect in bringing about lower interest rates because concern about the budgetary prospects preoccupies the thinking of many potential investors in the market today. In carrying the primary responsibility for originating tax legislation and for certain large spending programs, your committee has the excruciating job of translating general budgetary objectives into concrete legislation. You must make choices involving social, national security, and programmatic considerations far beyond the purview of the Federal Reserve or me. As a purely economic matter, I do believe that, in general, lower taxes—particularly lower marginal income tax rates—will permit the private economy to perform more effectively, tending to increase incentives and to reduce distortions. From that standpoint, control of spending clearly deserves priority. But to the extent that the needed job cannot be done by expenditure control alone, I see no alternative to considering new sources of revenue. The difficult economic circumstances of today should not blind us to the fact that we have much upon which to build. We can see the tangible progress against inflation. The administration and the Congress have taken action to spur productivity, work, and savings through the tax system. The inexorable upward trend in spending has been bent lower. Regulatory reform is under way. From that perspective, what we need is not any basic change in direction, but a sense of urgency and persistence in "carrying through." That sense has clear implications for continued discipline in monetary policy. And it has direct implications for dealing with the budgetary problem that looms so large before you. Seldom in my experience has the challenge been so clear for all to see. And seldom has there been so strong a consensus on the need to meet it with bold measures. Those facts give me confidence that you and your colleagues, working with the administration, will find the way to reconcile the competing priorities among the particulars of spending and revenue decisions in a way consistent with needed reduction in the deficit. The quicker that can be done, the brighter, in my judgment, will be the outlook for the economy. • Chairman Volcker gave similar testimony before the Finance Committee, U.S. Senate, February 24, 1982. Statements to Congress Statement by Paul A. Volcker, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. Senate, March 2, 1982. I appreciate this opportunity to discuss with you important economic issues that are of concern to all of us. Obviously, interrelationships among monetary, fiscal, and other policies have important bearing on our national economic performance and, especially, on the performance of our credit markets. The Federal Reserve has responsibilities only for monetary policy. This committee has an important role in shaping the broad outlines of congressional budget policy and, particularly, in focusing on longer-term budget prospects. This longer-term focus is especially important at the current juncture. Clearly, the economy is going through troubled times. Unemployment is painfully high, particularly in older industrial regions. Interest rates are imposing severe strains on housing, small business, and agriculture, and also on thrift institutions and certain other financial institutions. These problems are in major part a legacy of high inflation and lagging growth in productivity over a number of years. The recession has also played a major role in the current budgetary deficit, which is likely to be more than double the deficit you planned about a year ago. I believe that there are strong reasons to expect a cyclical upturn later this year. Our monetary policy targets will accommodate such an upturn. And the deficit for the current year, with its large cyclical component, should be manageable; to a considerable extent, by supporting income flows and spending during the recession, it can help stabilize the economy and induce recovery. For future years the situation is quite different. We face the bleak prospect, as things now stand and without strong action to contain spending and to increase revenues, that budgetary deficits will rise very substantially, even assuming satisfactory economic growth. That prospect threatens the recovery we need in business investment and housing by potentially preempting a sizable fraction of our savings potential; moreover, the future implications for congested credit markets feed back on present interest rates, as lenders and borrowers "discount" what might happen in 171 the years ahead. While it might be argued that larger growth in the money supply, now or in the future, could relieve the pressure, one result would be to renew fears of inflation, just as marked progress toward greater price stability is apparent. An inflationary increase in the money supply cannot substitute for real savings, and in time would result in higher rather than lower interest rates. Clearly, the potential problem before us lies squarely at the point where monetary and fiscal policies intersect our respective responsibilities. For that reason, I should like, first, to review the recent and prospective course of monetary policy and then to discuss its relationship to the fiscal problem. Monetary policy has, of course, been directed toward restraining growth in money and credit with the important objective of reducing inflationary pressures and placing the economy on a course toward price stability. The hard fact is that uprooting a deeply embedded inflationary process is difficult; it is made even more difficult to the extent that the effort is concentrated on one policy instrument. The fact that interest rates have remained painfully high in the midst of recession, restraining activity in credit-dependent sectors of the economy, is one reflection of the difficulty. But the problem extends back over a number of years. As you know, the current recession has been superimposed on a pattern of stagnation extending over a considerable period. In broad terms I do not think there is any great mystery as to why the economy has behaved this way. Beginning in the mid-1960s, inflation increasingly became a way of life and in the process distorted economic incentives, sapped our productive energies, and caused arbitrary and capricious transfers of income and wealth. For a time, as inflation gained momentum, real interest rates were low or negative. But after inflation took hold and became embedded in behavior and expectations, anticipations by borrowers and lenders alike tended to propel interest rates higher. And as monetary policy moved to deal more forcefully with the inflation—particularly in a context of fiscal imbalance—the strain on financial markets became more acute. The alternative course of simply accommodating inflation by providing it monetary sustenance would, however, offer no lasting relief. By feed- 172 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 ing expectations of inflation and reinforcing the reluctance of lenders to commit funds for any but the briefest periods of time, the high level of interest rates (particularly long-term rates) would only become further embedded in the economy. The hard fact is that loss of our most important financial yardstick—a stable dollar—bred high and volatile interest rates. Restoration and maintenance of lower interest rates are ultimately dependent on greater confidence that stability can and will be restored. Developments during 1981 seem to me broadly consistent with that effort. While particular measures of money and credit diverged, responding in large part to legislative, regulatory, and institutional change affecting the way businesses and individuals chose to hold their financial assets, the general direction was consistent with the effort to curb the monetary sources of inflation. Specifically, Ml-B growth (adjusted for the estimated shift of funds into negotiable order of withdrawal accounts) decelerated further last year, averaging a little more than 1 percent lower than the previous year—the third consecutive year of such deceleration. Growth of the broader aggregate, M2, averaged a bit higher than in 1980, but that rise, at the margin, reflected extraordinary growth in money market funds and regulatory and legislative changes affecting the attractiveness of time deposits, which pulled into M2 some funds that otherwise would have been placed elsewhere. Despite the slow growth of the narrowly defined money supply, short-term interest rates fell substantially from midyear peaks, and had a particularly sharp drop after the recession took hold. As you know, however, short-term rates retraced part of that decline late in the year and early in 1982. The money supply rose sharply in the early weeks of 1982, and as a result, bank reserve positions came under renewed pressure. A spurt in money growth is unusual in a context of weak production and income, and it appeared at least in part related to uncertainties on the part of individuals, leading them to shift a portion of their financial assets into the most liquid form. More recently, the excessive growth has appeared to be subsiding, and interest rates have turned somewhat lower. But a characteristic of the past year has been the persistently high level of intermediate- and long-term interest rates, an area of the market most heavily affected by expectations. Those interest rates have remained high despite visible progress—and potentially lasting progress—on the inflation front. To be sure, some of the progress against inflation reflects the more immediate, and potentially reversible, effects of recession-weakened markets, current surpluses in petroleum and grain production, and reduced commodity speculation and pressures generally for inventory liquidation due to extraordinarily high interest rates. However, we can now also see encouraging signs of more lasting progress. Attitudes of business and labor toward pricing and wage bargaining, and toward work rules that hamper productivity, seem to be changing. Not surprisingly, that change is most apparent in industries in which costs and wages have been most clearly out of line and in which international competitive pressures or those resulting from regulatory change are particularly intense. But—so long as monetary and fiscal policies are appropriate—I believe these changes will be reflected in a spreading pattern of cost and price restraint. Individually, workers and businessmen are naturally reluctant to maintain such restraint, partly for fear their concessions will not be matched by those of others. But collectively, such restraint, combined with higher productivity, will be amply repaid in the form of higher real wages and better prospects for job security. This is the foundation on which we can expect to build a sustainable recovery. If these brighter prospects are to be achieved, however, we cannot afford—just as the disinflationary process is beginning to take hold—to abandon our monetary vigilance. Past failures to "carry through" have left a legacy of skepticism and uncertainty among workers and businessmen, among consumers, and, not least, among participants in financial markets in which lenders demand "inflation" and "uncertainty" premiums when committing their funds. That is one important factor holding up longer-term interest rates. Credibility in dealing with inflation will have to be earned by performance and persistence over time. And, I believe, it is broadly and rightly recognized that appropriate restraint on the expansion of money and credit will continue to be fundamental to restoring price stability. Our intentions with respect to money and Statements to Congress credit growth in 1982 reported to the Congress three weeks ago seem to me consistent with that need. The monetary targets are, we believe, consistent with recovery in real business activity over the second half of the year; in fact, the target range for Ml is consistent with somewhat larger growth in that aggregate than actual growth of the adjusted measure during 1981. At the same time, the targets do assume and are designed to encourage further progress toward price stability. In that sense, they are a "tight fit." The performance of the credit markets in 1982 and beyond, in a framework of disciplined monetary policy, will be heavily influenced by supply and demand forces other than the course of inflation and inflationary expectations. Key among these is the size of the federal deficit. Government borrowing and private borrowing compete for a limited supply of available savings and credit. That competition is usually ameliorated in the midst of recession because private credit demands are reduced. But a more prosperous economy also implies much stronger needs for mortgage and business credit; indeed, sustained recovery of the private economy and the investment we need to support productivity are dependent on more favorable financial market conditions. Precisely those more favorable market conditions are threatened by prospects for sharply rising deficits in fiscal 1983 and the years beyond. Members of this committee are acutely aware that all of the familiar projections, by the administration, the Congressional Budget Office, and private forecasters, point to historically huge deficits, assuming that the administration's defense plans are broadly carried out and no new steps are taken to curtail nondefense spending or raise revenues. We can debate whether the estimates of the administration or the Congressional Budget Office are more accurate. But the point is that there is no disagreement that deficits would rise to $150 billion and beyond, in a context of a steadily expanding economy, under either set of assumptions, and deficits of those magnitudes cannot be acceptable—not if we, in fact, want to see the rise in investment and housing we want. Projecting the federal budgetary position for several years ahead necessarily involves a range of uncertainty about spending and tax programs, the level of interest rates, and overall gross 173 national product. Moreover, a range of possible outcomes exists with respect to our savings potential and sources of funds in the credit markets, even with the given assumptions regarding GNP. Nevertheless, some general implications of the budgetary outlook as it stands are clear enough. In the absence of action, the projected deficits would be outside the range of peacetime experience for good business years, whether measured in absolute terms or in relation to the potential GNP and savings. In recognition of those concerns, the administration has proposed large cuts in spending and some measures to increase revenues. Such action would go a long way toward bringing the deficits down, cutting them by one-half or so in fiscal 1984 according to administration estimates. But even with such forceful action, the size of the projected deficits would remain large, relative to savings and GNP, for a relatively prosperous business year. While a few years in the 1970s appear roughly comparable, there would seem to be little or no "safety margin" for meeting expanded investment requirements. Should the deficit trends be more adverse, as the Congressional Budget Office suggests, the potential for "crowding out" private investment would be greater. A substantial increase in savings could help protect against the implied squeeze on financial markets. Indeed, business saving is likely to be enhanced substantially by the provisions of last year's tax bill,- and personal saving should also be increased as inflation declines and in response to other incentives. But we also need to remember that the larger savings potential should not be dissipated in financing government purchases or transfer payments when our investment needs are so urgent. The hard fact is we cannot escape a choice— whether we want to encourage more favorable financing conditions for the private sector or whether we are willing to risk seeing our savings and financial resources diverted in large measure to financing a federal deficit. While it is the deficits for fiscal 1983, 1984, and beyond that loom so large, action is needed now for several reasons. First, as you know, the budgetary momentum cannot be curbed without planning ahead. Steps to achieve large reduc- 174 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 tions in spending or higher receipts in fiscal 1983—only six months off—need to be put in place soon, and measures of spending restraint should be undertaken during the current congressional session to be fully effective in fiscal 1984. Second, deficits of the projected magnitude are in some degree self-reinforcing. Prolongation of high deficits and high interest rates feeds back into future debt service and budget expenditures. Finally, and most important, uncertainties about future credit market pressures cloud the planning of investors today. Strong actions taken now to assure that deficits can and will be reduced as the economy recovers can go far toward galvanizing investor attitudes in a favorable direction. Paradoxical as it may seem in light of some past economic analysis—analysis developed when inflation and high interest rates were not a preoccupation—prospects for recovery can be speeded by decisive action by this committee and your congressional colleagues to curb future deficits, for the result would be to relieve apprehension in the market that contributes to today's high rates. As I noted earlier, if enacted, the proposals by the administration for deficit-reducing measures totaling more than $55 billion in fiscal 1983 and approaching $85 billion in 1984 would go a long way toward ameliorating the potential problem. They represent a major challenge to the Congress, but I would urge upon you the desirability of going even further to reduce demonstrably the pattern of deficits as the economy recovers. The appropriate target, it seems to me, would be to restore the prospect of budgetary balance as a high level of economic activity is restored. On purely economic grounds, I believe that lower taxes will enable the economy to perform more effectively and that higher marginal tax rates distort incentives and impede economic efficiency. But you must weigh many considerations, and I recognize the choices before you are extremely difficult and involve detailed considerations of social objectives and program objectives beyond the purview of the Federal Reserve. To the extent that the job cannot be accomplished by further steps to reduce growth in spending, I see no alternative but action to bring the trend of revenues into better alignment with spending prospects. In concluding, I would emphasize that the main directives of economic policy laid out last year seem to me broadly appropriate to the challenge before us. We are making progress against inflation, and sustaining that progress is fundamental to a brighter future. Tax and other policies developed last year should contribute to a more productive, competitive economy. Some steps have been taken to slow the strong upward momentum in government spending. At the same time, the agenda for action is clear. The Federal Reserve will maintain the needed degree of monetary discipline. We need decisive action to curtail budget deficits. As we approach that agenda, I can only be encouraged by the degree of understanding of the nature and the urgency of the problems before us. I believe a sense exists that, difficult as it is, the Congress and the administration have an opportunity in coming weeks to seize the initiative with a strong budgetary program. We in the Federal Reserve mean to do our part in fostering confidence in financial markets. Together, the Federal Reserve and the Congress can move from challenge to conviction that the base has been laid for national recovery. • Chairman Volcker gave similar testimony before the Committee on Appropriations, U.S. Senate, March 4, 1982. Statement by Lyle E. Gramley, Member, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, March 3, 1982. I appreciate the opportunity to present my views regarding the effects of financial innovations on the conduct of monetary policy. Innovation in U.S. financial markets and practices has been proceeding at a phenomenal pace in the last decade. The innovational process is by Statements to Congress no means completed. It is therefore appropriate and timely to examine the implications of this development for monetary policy. Let me begin, if I may, with a review of the principal forces responsible for the drastic changes we have seen in financial markets. Our economy has suffered from a rising trend of inflation since the mid-1960s. As borrowers and lenders came to expect inflation to continue, or even to accelerate, market interest rates moved progressively upward. Higher market rates of interest increased the penalty for holding deposits whose yields were constrained by law or regulation. The yields that depository institutions could pay were limited by prohibitions or ceilings on the payment of explicit interest and also by reserve requirements that reduced the rate of return on the investment of deposit proceeds. Moreover, the thrift institutions have been, and still are, severely limited in their capacity to pay market interest rates on deposits because they hold a substantial volume of longer-term assets acquired earlier when inflation and interest rates were lower. As the public has become increasingly sensitive to the earnings lost by holding non-interestbearing or low-yielding deposits, it has become more adept at economizing on cash balances and more receptive to new kinds of financial investments. The increased financial sophistication of households and businesses, moreover, has been coupled with technological advances in the computer and telecommunications industries that have reduced the transaction costs of transferring funds. New institutions and instruments have emerged to satisfy the public's demand for highyielding liquid assets. The most widely publicized of these are the money market mutual funds, which have grown explosively during the past several years. These investment companies offer small savers the opportunity to invest indirectly in diversified pools of very short-term, large-denomination, money market instruments such as commercial paper and negotiable certificates of deposit. While money market funds are a repository for savings, they also can serve as transaction balances, or as a very close substitute for them. Most money market funds allow the immediate withdrawal of balances by check or other convenient means. 175 More recently, other interest-bearing assets have attracted considerable public interest as substitutes for money. A number of brokerage firms now offer cash management accounts, which combine the features of money market funds and margin accounts. Most of these allow for withdrawal of funds by check in any denomination and by debit card. The money market fund component of the Merrill Lynch Cash Management Account has already grown to more than $13 billion. Very recently, new types of "sweep" arrangements have emerged, some designed primarily for smaller businesses and others for households. Sweep arrangements permit funds to move automatically into or out of conventional transaction balances to investment accounts paying market-related yields. The financial innovations of recent years have affected principally the asset portfolios and the cash management practices of individuals and other small investors. They parallel developments that began many years earlier in the management of cash by nonfinancial corporations and other large investors. The problems for monetary policy posed by these innovations have thus been around for a while. Financial innovation has, however, raised more questions in recent years about the appropriate definition of money, about the precision of the Federal Reserve's control over the money stock, and about the meaning of changes in money balances. I will touch on each of these issues in turn. DEFINITIONS OF MONEY The difficulties associated with defining money are not new: the existence of money substitutes and "near-monies" has always made it hard to decide which assets should be included in a particular measure of money. Traditionally, the issue has boiled down to drawing the line somewhere along a spectrum of assets ranked according to degrees of "moneyness," starting with balances serving as a generally accepted means of payment—having few investment characteristics—and moving successively to less liquid assets offering higher returns. The difficulties of defining money have increased as new instruments have come into use that possess overlap- 176 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 ping transaction and investment characteristics. The conventional measure of transaction balances, Ml, now includes interest-bearing checkable deposits that have a significant savings component. At the same time, money market funds and cash management accounts—which are not included in Ml—are also used in part for transaction purposes. Periodic redefinitions of money are needed when financial innovation proceeds rapidly. The 1980 redefinition of the monetary aggregates was designed to bring all transaction accounts into Ml. Available evidence at that time suggested that money market mutual funds were not extensively used for transaction purposes, and so they were included in M2. Last month, M2 was revised to exclude shares in money market mutual funds held by institutional investors; retail repurchase agreements, which are close substitutions for small-denomination time deposits, were brought into the definition of M2. Further revisions in definitions of the monetary aggregates may be necessary in the near future. The staff of the Federal Reserve Board, with the help of the Investment Company Institute, is undertaking a survey to determine the extent to which money market mutual funds are used for transaction purposes. The staff will also be gathering data this year on individual retirement and Keogh accounts. These latter data may provide the basis for removing these accounts— which are of a long-term nature—from the definition of M2 or for a better understanding of changes in M2. CONTROLLING THE MONETARY AGGREGATES Turning next to the issue of controlling the monetary aggregates, my judgment is that financial innovations have not, as yet, created a serious problem. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 extended reserve requirements to all depository institutions, a step that helped to strengthen the link between reserves and narrow money balances. The extent to which balances used for transaction purposes escape reserve requirements because they are held outside depository institutions is not known with precision, but it appears to be small at present. For example, the average turnover rate of shares in money market mutual funds is about two to three times per year, slightly lower than that for passbook savings deposits at banks and thrift institutions. However, the prospect of rapid growth of transaction balances not covered by reserves poses a potentially serious problem for monetary control in the future. I will return to that subject shortly. STABILITY OF MONEY DEMAND In recent years, the principal monetary policy problem stemming from financial innovations has been their effect on the relationship among the money stock, nominal gross national product, and interest rates. Relative stability in this relationship is an important ingredient in a central bank's use of monetary aggregates as intermediate targets or as indicators of policy. Before 1974, it was possible to predict reasonably well the amount of Ml that the public would want to hold given the size of the economy and the level of interest rates. Since then, however, growth of Ml has been considerably slower, relative to the rise of nominal GNP, than indicated by historical relationships. More important, the period since 1974 has been characterized by a greater degree of short-run instability in money demand. Estimates of the amount of shortfall in money growth, relative to expectations based on historical experience, differ from one money demand equation to another. But a large number of studies of the public's demand for transaction balances point to a similar conclusion: for reasons that we understand only imperfectly, money demand has grown more slowly than expected over the past seven or eight years, and it has also been rather unstable in the short run. The relationship between the broader monetary aggregates and GNP has also changed in recent years because of financial innovations and regulatory changes. In past periods of rising market interest rates, growth of M2 tended to slow abruptly because the flow of funds was diverted from depository institutions to market securities. But the composition of M2 has changed materially since 1978; now, more than 60 percent of its nontransaction component consists of assets bearing market-related yields. This change helps to insulate the growth of M2 and its Statements to Congress relationship to GNP from the effects of changing market interest rates. Consequently, even in the face of substantial interest rate variations, the velocity of M2 has changed relatively little over each of the last three years, in contrast to the swings that used to occur. I do not by any means conclude that the recent instability of money demand requires a basic change in our procedures for implementing monetary policy. On the contrary, setting targets in advance for growth of money provides an important safeguard against the pitfalls that would be encountered in a policy focused largely on interest rates. As history before October 6, 1979, amply demonstrates, focusing too much attention on interest rates in the conduct of monetary policy is apt to lead to a rate of monetary expansion that produces inflation. We have made substantial progress since the fourth quarter of 1979 in reducing the expansion of money and credit, and also in reducing the rate of inflation. The methods of monetary control employed since then have contributed to those developments. However, several implications for monetary targeting can be drawn from the experience of recent years. First, short-run movements of the money stock have even less meaning than they once did as indicators of monetary policy. What happens to money growth over longer periods is what counts. Second, monetary targets should be expressed in rather wide ranges: the present ranges of 3 percentage points are certainly not too wide. Third, we need to continue to use multiple targets, rather than to focus on any single measure of money. Indeed, somewhat greater weight may need to be given to the broader monetary aggregates in the future as a consequence of the relative instability of the demand for Ml. Finally, we need to stand ready to accept growth of money outside of our target ranges—or even to modify the ranges—if changes in the public's asset preferences warrant it. What we cannot do, and what the Federal Reserve will not do, is to abandon the basic objective of gradually slowing the growth of money and credit in the interests of reducing inflation. It is sometimes argued that our present monetary targets should be replaced by the monetary 177 base. I do not believe that such a step would improve monetary policy. The base is a rather arbitrary combination of the various components of the monetary aggregates. Its largest component is currency, whose magnitude has always been—and, I believe, always should be—determined by the public's demands for currency. The remaining portion of the base, reserves, is basically a weighted sum of the reservable deposit components of the monetary aggregates, with the weights determined by their respective reserve ratios. When the significance of movements in the aggregates is uncertain, so also is the significance of changes in the monetary base. Furthermore, there is little reason to think that stability in the growth of the base will produce economic stability. Annual growth in the base actually was very stable over the 1970s, with yearly growth rates never deviating more than 1 VA percentage points from their average for the decade. Nevertheless, the 1970s was a period of considerable economic instability. Finally, targeting on a broad credit aggregate—another suggestion sometimes offered— has some intellectual appeal for me. Unfortunately, the suggestion seems impractical. The data on credit flows become available with very substantial lags and are subject to large revisions. LEGISLATIVE REMEDIES Let me turn now to legislative actions that would enhance the effectiveness of monetary policy. The greatest concern at this moment is the possibility that an increasing proportion of the financial assets used for transaction purposes will, over time, be held in forms other than deposits, thus escaping Federal Reserve reserve requirements. Such a development, besides its implications for monetary control, would mean that a growing fraction of the nation's money stock would lack the protection of deposit insurance and be held at institutions beyond the scope of supervision and regulation of the traditional federal financial regulatory authorities. If such shifts in asset preferences occurred suddenly, and on a wide scale, they might be accompanied by rather marked reductions in the supply of credit to borrowers heavily dependent on deposi- 178 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 tory institutions as a source of funds—borrowers such as farmers, other small businesses, consumers, and homebuyers. I would therefore recommend that the Congress authorize the Federal Reserve to impose reserve requirements on money market fund shares and all other instruments to the extent that they serve as the functional equivalent of transaction balances, regardless of the issuer. Such legislation would keep intact the basic philosophy of the Monetary Control Act, which extended reserve requirements to transaction balances of all depository institutions. It would also provide a framework for fairer competition among financial intermediaries. In implementing the Monetary Control Act, the Federal Reserve designated as a transaction account one that is accessible by check or debit card, or one that can be used with some frequency for third-party transfers by other means, such as by telephone. The distinction between a transaction account and other accounts payable on demand inevitably is vague at the margin, and I believe the Federal Reserve should retain sufficiently flexible authority to put forward definitions to include the many new types of plans with transaction capabilities that are likely to be developed. My expectation would be that money market funds would react to the imposition of such reserve requirements by segregating shares that can be used for transaction purposes from other accounts. Their customers would be offered a choice among types of funds, with the "transaction balance" account offering a somewhat lower yield. During the short period in 1980 when marginal reserve requirements were imposed on money market funds, fund managements amply demonstrated the feasibility and relative ease of "cloning" their funds to accommodate changes in the regulatory environment. Such an approach would not affect the returns available to individuals holding shares in money market funds purely as a savings vehicle. This step alone would not address fully the existing disparities of regulatory treatment among financial intermediaries. Given the prohibition of explicit interest payments on demand deposits and the ceiling rates on time and savings deposits, deposit-taking institutions are unable to compete on an equal footing with intermediaries offering new instruments. The depository institutions have long been the core of our financial system, and many of their customers have no ready alternatives for the particular types of credit such institutions extend. I do not think we can take lightly the erosion of their competitive position. Ceilings on rates paid on time and savings deposits will be phased out under existing legislation over the next four years. I wish the process could take place faster, and that we could also remove the prohibition of interest on demand deposits. Great caution must be exercised, however, to ensure that the process of deregulation does not add unnecessarily to the burdens of thrift institutions, whose earnings are already under severe strain. Financial innovation will no doubt continue at a rapid pace in the foreseeable future. We as regulators and legislators must ensure that the process of innovation is consistent with an effective monetary policy and equitable treatment of financial institutions. • Statement by Theodore E. Allison, Staff Director for Federal Reserve Bank Activities, before the Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs of the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, March 10, 1982. credit unions, other depository institutions, and nondepository institutions such as money market mutual funds whereby the depositor of a check may not withdraw the funds represented by the check for some period of time to assure that funds are available in the depositor's account if the check is returned unpaid. When confronted with problems involving these policies, many depositors are understandably irritated; often they must delay other transactions, and some may even realize costs as a result. I am pleased to have the opportunity to present the views of the Board of Governors on policies and practices regarding delayed funds availability. Delayed funds availability is a practice used by some banks, savings and loan associations, Statements to Congress I would like to explain briefly how the check collection system works and how it relates to delayed funds availability; to share with you what the Board has learned from its studies of delayed availability problems and practices; and to explain what, in the Board's view, would be the most productive approach in seeking solutions to the problems that exist. THE CHECK COLLECTION SYSTEM The check collection system in the United States frequently involves many handlings of a check between its deposit in one depository institution and its payment by the paying depository institution. Checks deposited to accounts in the same institution at which they are to be paid account for about 51 percent of all checks written. The remaining 49 percent of the checks must be collected by sending them to any of the following: • A correspondent bank1 • A Federal Reserve office2 • A check clearinghouse3 • The paying depository institution directly • Some combination of the above (the most likely alternative). As little as one day or as many as six or more days may be required for a check to move from the institution at which it is first deposited (the endorsing institution) to the paying institution. The actual time required depends on the number of intermediary institutions involved, the weather, distance, whether there are holidays or weekends involved, the exposure to mechanical breakdowns in transportation or sorting equipment, and potential human error. Upon receipt of the check, the paying institution deducts funds equal to the amount of the check from the balance in the maker's account if the check is properly drawn and endorsed, if funds are avail1. A correspondent bank is any depository institution that provides services and holds balances for other depository institutions. 2. Federal Reserve Banks process approximately 40 percent of all checks written. 3. A check clearinghouse is usually an association of depository institutions, which may serve many needs of its member institutions including the exchange or clearing of checks. 179 able, and if no stop-payment order is made. But if the check is not properly drawn or endorsed, if funds are not available, or if a stop-payment order exists, then the paying institution will send the check back to the endorsing institution (table 1). When a paying institution returns a check, it must do so by midnight of the day after it receives the check. Article 4 of the Uniform Commercial Code, which has been adopted in all states, governs check clearing and requires the paying institution to return the check to the institution from which it received the check. Thus, if several institutions were involved sequentially in the clearing process, each institution must also handle the check as it is returned to the depositor. Although the processing of return items is the reverse of the original processing for collection, this process is much more labor intensive. The machine-readable coding at the bottom of the check allows for collection routing through the use of computercontrolled high-speed check sorters. A check being returned, however, must be processed manually because each endorsement stamp on the back of the check must be read to determine the institution to which the check should be returned. As a result, return routing might typically require twice as much time as collection routing. For example, a check requiring two days to be delivered to the paying institution might require four additional days to be returned to the institution of first deposit. Unfortunately, at the time a check is first deposited, there is no way of knowing whether it will be paid or returned unpaid. Slightly more than 1 percent of all checks the Federal Reserve collects—about half a million checks per day— are returned unpaid (table 1). We believe that the rate of return is similar for the checks not collected through the Federal Reserve. Correspondent institutions and the Federal Reserve grant credit for checks that they collect for depository institutions that use an availability schedule, which reflects the normal processing and transportation time involved. For example, if a Federal Reserve office normally is able to collect a check in one day, it gives one-day availability. Most commonly, the Federal Reserve provides credit within two days. However, reflecting the uncertainty regarding the payment 180 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 1. R e a s o n s f o r r e t u r n e d c h e c k s Percent Maker Insufficient funds Account closed Endorsement errors Payment stopped Postdated Uncollected funds Other Total Individual Business Other 60 12 0 9 2 0 2 2 1 2 3 0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 0 78 21 1 Total 72 11 5 5 2 2 3 100 SOURCE. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, sample of 1,119 returned items, September 1981. Findings correspond to similar study by Bank Administration Institute. or return of a check, the credit granted is provisional, and the institution receiving the credit must be prepared to give it up immediately should the check be returned unpaid. Depository institutions' depositors must also be prepared to make restitution of any funds credited to their account should a deposited check be returned unpaid, even though a delay in availability may have been imposed. Several alternatives exist to the use of checks that can ensure against the problems and risks associated with checks being returned unpaid. Many payments—especially those that recur regularly such as salary, dividends, and social security—can be received through automated clearinghouses, and others can be handled as wire transfers. Both of these electronic means of payment are secure against loss or theft, and entail immediate and (usually) irrevocable credit to the receiver's account. I will discuss these alternatives in more detail later. DELAYED FUNDS AVAILABILITY Delayed funds availability is one way that institutions may protect themselves from the risks involved in the event a check is returned unpaid by the paying institution to the institution in which it was first deposited. Delayed funds availability is practiced by all types of depository institutions but varies widely among individual institutions. A study by federal banking agencies in 1978 found that 38 percent of the commercial banks surveyed had adopted some formal policy on delayed funds availability, often specifying widely different procedures and criteria. Some institutions rarely or never delay availability. Frequently, institutions tailor the delay by considering their own exposure to indi vidual risk—how well known the depositor is to the bank, the amount of the check, the average time required for collection and return of unpaid checks between this institution and the paying institution, and so forth. In other cases, institutions apparently delay funds on all checks or all out-of-town checks. Whether the delay is imposed selectively or not, delayed funds availability is often characterized as "unfair" to depositors. Institutions, however, defend the practice as a means of protecting themselves from losses associated with returned checks. As the previous description of the check collection system shows, no mechanism exists for informing an endorsing institution affirmatively that a check has been paid. One way for an institution to avoid loss in the event a check is returned unpaid is to delay the depositor's use of the funds. The longer the delay, the less risk that the check might be returned and loss incurred by the institution. Thus, in view of the check collection system in this country, selective policies and practices on delayed availability have a legitimate business basis and may contribute to the safety and soundness of depository institutions. It is frequently charged that delayed funds availability practices are intended to generate increased revenues for depository institutions at the expense of depositors. Certain institutions may be able to enhance their revenue through the practice of imposing blanket, rather than selective, delay policies because blanket delay programs are relatively easy to implement and affect all or most checks that are deposited. However, a selective policy of delayed availability may entail considerable expense for the institution because training employees to identify the need for and length of delay is costly, and selectively imposed delays are handled as exceptions to Statements to Congress routine procedures. Moreover, delayed availability policies are just one of a number of terms and conditions—including service levels, check fees, required balances, hours of operation, location of branches, and interest rates—that must be considered as a whole in determining the costs and benefits of the account relationship for the customer. Thus, a less selective policy, such as imposing a delay on all out-of-area checks deposited, which would seemingly be more profitable for the institution, might be used in conjunction with lower fees or lower minimum balance requirements than would otherwise be the case. In effect, a less costly, less selective policy could be part of a product preferred by customers who are more interested in low fees and low minimum balances than a short delay in using their funds. The Federal Reserve has made an effort to keep informed of delayed availability practices and problems, both because of its role in the monitoring of consumer complaints about banking practices and because of its responsibility for the effectiveness of the payments system. For example, we have a formal procedure for receiving, tabulating, and investigating consumer complaints involving banks. In the past five years the number of complaints involving delays in the use of funds has consistently been only about 1 or 2 percent of the total number of consumer complaints (table 2). In addition, the Board has sponsored three surveys of consumer problems with delays in use of funds deposited by check in their accounts— one in 1977 and two in 1981—all conducted by the University of Michigan's Survey Research Center. Of the 1,200 account holders queried in the two most recent surveys, 90 percent had rarely or never experienced delays over the past few years. Less than 4 percent had experienced frequent problems. The same question was asked in the 1977 survey, and indications are that a 2. Complaints of funds availability received by the Federal Reserve System, 1977-81 Year Total complaints Funds availability Percent 3,474 3,301 4,065 4,568 3,913 45 46 75 95 75 1 1 2 2 2 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 181 slight increase in consumer problems has occurred during the intervening period. One possible explanation for this increase may be the higher level of interest rates recently, which may have provided incentives for banks to be more cautious in making funds available and for depositors to maintain lower checking and savings account balances. Of the 4 percent of all respondents who reported problems, the consequence of delayed funds availability for about one-fifth was having checks they had written on their accounts returned, which probably led to personal distress and possibly to the levy of a service charge as well. By contrast, four-fifths of the consumers experiencing problems said their problem involved inconvenient delays in purchasing goods, or in getting cash, or some other inconvenience. More often than not, consumers indicated that the inconvenience had not been serious. The cause of the delayed availability problem mentioned most frequently by consumers was lack of awareness of the bank's policy—either they never were informed of the policy or they had forgotten it. Of those depositors who experienced problems, substantially more than half appear to have contacted their depository institution and believed that the institution was helpful. The 1978 bank survey found that 97 percent of the banks that had a policy of delayed funds availability also had an officer authorized to make exceptions to the policy. In addition, the consumer surveys indicated that depositors know a variety of ways to avoid problems once they become aware of the practice and that those who have had the most problems are most likely to have changed their habits or practices to avoid further problems. For example, many said they would plan ahead, keep enough money in their account, carry more cash, or cash their checks elsewhere and then deposit the balance not needed right away. When consumers are asked what they would do if they thought they would have to wait at least four days to use their money, the most frequent response was that they would change depository institutions. Consequently, depositors who are better informed apparently can and do take steps to avoid future problems and are better equipped to bring competitive forces to bear when policies are judged unreasonable. 182 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 WHAT SHOULD BE DONE? The Board is sympathetic to the problems that depositors face as a result of policies of delayed availability, especially when delays appear long relative to normal check-collection time requirements and when problems result from consumers not being aware of the policies. The Board believes that two approaches warrant further attention. First, the Federal Reserve System will expand its efforts to investigate possible ways to speed up the handling of returned checks. If substantial progress can be made in this area, depository institutions that impose delayed availability could reduce the length of the delays. In this connection, the Board has also directed that a study be conducted to determine whether existing Federal Reserve services can be enhanced or new Federal Reserve services developed to achieve prompt final settlement of certain types of checks that seem to cause delayed availability problems more frequently. These might include large payments for deposit in another part of the country—such as for the purchase of a house— or periodic payments by parents to students attending school away from home. Second, the Board believes that financial institutions should, on their own initiative, better inform their depositors of the extent and nature of the policies and practices of delayed availability that they employ. Improved consumer awareness is needed on this subject. Our surveys show that depositors who ask often get some accommodation in particular cases from an official of their institution, generally avoid problems thereafter, and are prepared to change institutions if necessary when confronted by what they consider an unreasonable policy on funds availability. In this connection, the Federal Reserve and the American Bankers Association have agreed to reinstate a joint task force on delayed availability practices to address, among other things, the issue of disclosure by banks of their funds availability policies. The recommendations developed through this joint effort will be made available to other interested parties, including other supervisory agencies and other depository institution trade associations. The Board does not believe that adoption of a legislative or regulatory approach to this practice would be advisable. To attempt to define, through legislation or regulation, an "appropriate" maximum period of delay would be difficult or impossible, given the complexity of our nation's check collection process. Any such legislative or regulatory maximum could well become the industry standard, thus worsening the situation for the majority of customers and reducing the efficiency of the payments system. Moreover, under any legislative or regulatory approach, if the risk of loss could not be avoided by selectively delaying funds availability beyond some maximum, fees or required balances would probably be increased by depository institutions to fund anticipated or actual losses. Meanwhile, the Board will continue to monitor carefully the complaints it receives on this issue, and it will periodically conduct further surveys through the University of Michigan. Finally, the Board wishes to note some alternatives to receiving payments by check that depository institutions and their customers can use to avoid the need for or the effects of delayed funds availability. Recurring check payments, such as salary, dividends, social security, and so forth, can most efficiently be accomplished through the automated clearinghouse (ACH). The ACH is a form of electronic fund transfer that does not have the delays associated with check collection. Less frequent, large dollar-value transactions, such as the transfer of the proceeds from the sale of a former residence to a depository institution in a new location, are suitable for wire transfer, a service designed to accomplish large payments in a secure, rapid, and irrevocable manner. A depositor having a large check and wishing to use a check collection method that includes an affirmative notice of payment or nonpayment may use the "noncash collection" service, which functions in the following manner. Upon instructions from its depositor, a depository institution may send a collection letter to the paying institution, enclosing the check and specifying that funds in payment of the check are to be wired to the originating institution for deposit to its depositor's account. Funds will not be credited to the depositor's account until received. Moreover, the preparation of the letter at the sending institution and processing at the paying Statements to Congress institution are manual processes, the cost is substantially higher than the regular check collection costs, and five to ten business days may be required for completion of the transaction. Nonetheless, this may be a desirable alternative to assure that the check will not be returned because the transaction is final once the paying institution has sent the funds. In this manner, the depositor can invest or spend the funds when received without concern that the check may be returned later. CONCLUSION Consumers have experienced difficulties with the funds availability policies and practices of some 183 depository institutions, and the Board and the Reserve Banks are moving on two fronts to help find ways of improving the situation. They are undertaking a study of possible improvements in check collection procedures that would achieve faster handling of return items or faster confirmation of payment or nonpayment of checks; and they will be working with the American Bankers Association on ways that depository institutions might improve customer awareness of their policies on funds availability. The Board does not believe that delayed availability problems are sufficiently widespread that federal legislation or regulation would be desirable at this time. The Board will, of course, continue to monitor consumer problems and attitudes in this area. • 185 Announcements FREDERICK H. SCHULTZ: RESIGNATION AS A MEMBER OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS Frederick H. Schultz has resigned as a member of the Board of Governors, effective February 11, 1982. Mr. Schultz's letter of resignation follows. February 11, 1982 estate brokers as arrangers of credit in sellerfinanced home sales. The Board said that ideally the matter should be resolved by action of the Congress, and that it was excluding real estate brokers at this time to give the Congress time to act. Depending upon action by the Congress, the Board will review the question early in 1983. Dear Mr. President: Although my term of office officially expired on the last day of January, the law provides that I continue to serve until my successor is sworn in. However, the high ethical standards of the Federal Reserve require that I not take part in Board meetings within 30 days of the time that I am involved in activities in the private sector. Therefore, in an abundance of caution, I am herewith submitting my resignation as a Governor and Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board. It has been a great honor to serve in this capacity. This organization creates justifiable pride in its members. You can continue to be confident of the quality of the Federal Reserve and its commitment. Sincerely, Frederick H. Schultz REGULATION Z. AMENDMENT The Federal Reserve Board has amended Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) with respect to the definition, under the Truth in Lending Simplification Act, of an "arranger" of credit, effective February 19, 1982. The definition includes those who regularly arrange for consumer loans by another person who is not a creditor. The amendment specified that this definition excludes those (such as real estate brokers) who arrange for the financing of the sale of a residence or real property by the seller. The Board's action was taken after consideration of some 3,000 letters of comment on a proposal that would have included certain real SUPPLEMENT TO OTC STOCK LIST The Federal Reserve Board has published a supplement to its list of over-the-counter (OTC) stocks that are subject to its margin regulations, effective March 1, 1982. The supplement to the list issued October 5, 1981, makes the following changes: 173 stocks have been included for the first time; 17 stocks previously on the list have been removed for substantially failing to meet the requirements for continued listing; and 54 stocks have been removed for reasons such as being listed on a national securities exchange or the companies being acquired by another firm. The supplement is available on request from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. MONEY STOCK REVISION On February 5, 1982, the Board published revised money stock data incorporating annual seasonal adjustment and benchmark changes, as well as minor compositional changes. Seasonal adjustment factors were updated using data for 1981, and in accordance with a recommendation of the Committee of Experts on Seasonal Adjustment Techniques, an X - l l ARIMA method was used to compute seasonal factors for 1982. Updated monthly seasonal factors for 1981 and 1982 and weekly factors for late 1981 and 1982 are shown in tables 1 and 2. 186 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 1. Seasonal factors for currency, traveler's checks, and deposit components of the money stock, monthly Commercial banks Month 1981 January February March April May June July..: August September October November December 1982 January February March April May June July August September October November December Currency Nonbank traveler's checks Demand deposits plus OCD 1 Demand1 deposits .9941 .9874 .9908 .9935 .9984 .9467 .9515 .9528 .9494 .9624 1.0351 1.0179 .9736 .9782 1.0129 .9810 .9970 Savings deposits Small time deposits Large time deposits 1.0182 .9742 .9792 1,0136 .9810 .9971 .9981 .9905 .9865 .9938 .9914 .9939 1.0030 1.0104 1.0109 1.0038 1.0031 1.0032 1.0191 1.0212 1.0194 1.0053 .9954 .9842 Small time deposits Large time deposits .9906 .9869 .9888 .9934 .9899 .9961 1.0079 1.0099 1.0102 1.0098 Savings deposits .9998 1.0005 1.0078 .9951 .9852 .9997 .9960 1.0070 1.0048 .9975 .9990 1.0092 1.0183 1.1111 1.1137 1.0599 1.0078 .9609 .9442 1.0044 .9930 1.0005 1.0052 1.0078 1.0284 1.0039 .9920 .9995 1.0042 1.0077 1.0292 1.0092 1.0120 1.0094 1.0128 1.0031 1.0015 .9962 .9917 .9914 .9970 .9931 .9958 .9732 .9788 .9857 .9889 1.0052 1.0214 1.0137 1.0112 1.0179 1.0127 1.0041 .9955 .9932 .9878 .9906 .9978 .9952 .9969 1.0005 1.0036 1.0068 1.0067 .9993 .9968 .9952 .9873 .9898 .9945 .9983 .9990 .9477 .9529 .9537 .9497 .9630 1.0377 1.0177 .9738 .9787 1.0126 .9812 .9970 1.0180 .9744 .9794 1.0134 .9812 .9972 .9982 .9902 .9851 .9931 .9908 .9931 1.0031 1.0108 1.0115 1.0038 1.0029 1.0030 1.0194 1.0223 1.0200 1.0063 .9951 .9847 .9906 .9868 .9882 .9931 .9895 .9956 1.0081 1.0103 1.0108 1.0101 1.0002 1.0003 1.0027 1.0100 .9964 .9851 .9993 .9946 1.0072 1.0039 .9974 .9999 1.0081 1.0192 1.1118 1.1118 1.0643 1.0121 .9595 .9451 1.0042 .9931 1.0002 1.0052 1.0079 1.0282 1.0037 .9923 .9993 1.0041 1.0078 1.0290 1.0098 1.0126 1.0098 1.0126 1.0032 1.0020 .9959 .9913 .9911 .9971 .9934 .9959 .9731 .9784 .9856 .9890 1.0043 1.0211 1.0144 1.0115 1.0183 1.0124 1.0043 .9953 .9924 .9870 .9904 .9980 .9952 .9970 .9988 1.0020 1.0056 1.0070 1.0003 .9987 1.0000 1. In constructing Ml the seasonal factors for "demand deposits plus other checkable deposits" are used to derive the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits, seasonally adjusted. The demand deposit component season- Several benchmark revisions were made. • Commercial bank deposits data were benchmarked to the March, June, and September 1981 call reports. • A consolidation adjustment has been made to remove at the Ml level the portion of thrift institutions' holdings of vault cash that is estimated to be used for servicing their other checkable deposit liabilities; this adjustment lowers the currency component of the money stock that previously included all vault cash at thrift institutions. The remainder of thrift institution vault cash has been removed at the M2 level. • Cash items in the process of collection (CIPC) of thrift institutions have been netted against transaction deposits at the Ml level. Owing to unavailability of data, CIPC of thrift institutions previously had not been deducted from measures of the money stock. • Daily deposits data for savings and time deposits at thrift institutions—reported since November 1980 as a consequence of the Monetary Control Act of 1980—have been incorporated, making these components for thrifts comparable to those of commercial banks in terms of fre- Thrift institutions 1.0001 ally adjusted is constructed using the demand deposit seasonal factors. Other checkable deposits (OCD) seasonally adjusted, is derived as the difference between these two series. quency of data and definition (daily deposits data include balances in escrow accounts and certain primary obligations). Historical data on savings and small time deposits at thrift institutions before November 1980 have been revised to be consistent with the broader daily deposits report definition. In the revised measures, retail repurchase agreements (RPs) at all depository institutions— issued in denominations of less than $100,000— appear in the small-denomination time deposit component of M2; in the old measures, retail RPs entered at the M3 level as a component of term RPs. Institution-only money market mutual funds—which do not offer accounts to individuals—are removed from the money market mutual fund component of M2 and enter the money stock at the M3 level, along with large-denomination time deposits and large-denomination term RPs. A more detailed description of these revisions and revised historical data are available on request from the Banking Section, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Announcements 187 2. Seasonal factors for currency and deposit components of Ml and commercial bank deposit components of broader aggregates, weekly Commercial banks Currency Demand deposits plus OCD 1 Demand deposits' 7 14 21 28 1.0050 1.0060 .9970 .9890 1.0200 1.0170 1.0040 .9790 November 4 11 18 25 .9990 1.0150 1.0090 1.0070 December 2 9 16 23 30 Large time deposits Savings deposits Small time deposits 1.0180 1.0150 1.0010 .9770 1.0177 1.0159 1.0128 1.0082 .9951 .9984 .9983 .9965 .9958 .9925 .9873 .9890 1.0110 1.0140 1.0140 .9890 1.0110 1.0120 1.0140 .9870 1.0050 1.0042 1.0024 1.0025 .9954 .9933 .9923 .9928 .9917 .9980 1.0032 1.0135 1.0080 1.0210 1.0170 1.0240 1.0170 1.0150 1.0250 1.0280 1.0280 1.0270 1.0170 1.0230 1.0300 1.0290 1.0310 1.0031 1.0069 1.0043 .9988 .9972 .9930 .9946 .9951 .9961 .9982 1.0159 1.0118 1.0158 1.0256 1.0333 6 13 20 27 1.0110 1.0030 .9930 .9810 1.0760 1.0370 1.0150 .9740 1.0720 1.0370 1.0180 .9730 1.0021 1.0024 .9987 .9936 .9999 1.0015 1.0033 1.0049 1.0186 1.0180 1.0163 1.0206 February 3 10 17 24 .9820 .9950 .9910 .9820 .9820 .9820 .9790 .9570 .9860 .9830 .9810 .9570 .9905 .9910 .9916 .9894 1.0073 1.0100 1.0102 1.0104 1.0225 1.0214 1.0183 1.0214 March 3 10 17 24 31 .9840 1.0000 .9940 .9880 .9820 .9740 .9850 .9840 .9710 .9750 .9740 .9840 .9880 .9710 .9780 .9857 .9846 .9841 .9856 .9908 1.0105 1.0121 1.0126 1.0109 1.0084 1.0227 1.0197 1.0192 1.0189 1.0168 April 7 14 21 28 1.0000 1.0050 .9930 .9820 1.0170 1.0260 1.0210 .9940 1.0160 1.0280 1.0230 .9930 1.0011 .9991 .9902 .9870 1.0047 1.0041 1.0040 1.0035 1.0107 1.0069 1.0015 1.0032 May 5 12 19 26 .9970 1.0060 .9980 .9910 .9930 .9840 .9820 .9640 .9990 .9840 .9820 .9630 .9892 .9914 .9921 .9909 1.0025 1.0025 1.0028 1.0032 .9924 .9946 .9960 .9980 June 2 9 16 23 30 .9960 1.0090 1.0020 .9970 .9910 .9860 1.0000 1.0090 .9920 .9890 .9860 .9990 1.0090 .9920 .9900 .9907 .9934 .9934 .9932 .9971 1.0045 1.0056 1.0043 1.0022 .9993 .9953 .9889 .9832 .9780 .9821 July 7 14 21 28 1.0190 1.0130 1.0050 .9960 1.0250 1.0150 1.0030 .9780 1.0190 1.0180 1.0010 .9780 1.0067 1.0098 1.0100 1.0089 .9984 .9972 .9958 .9943 .9758 .9703 .9716 .9738 August 4 11 18 25 1.0030 1.0150 1.0080 .9980 1.0060 .9960 .9770 1.0000 1.0010 1.0060 .9940 .9760 1.0112 1.0136 1.0129 1.0115 .9918 .9921 .9915 .9909 .9738 ' .9767 .9786 .9803 September 1 8 15 22 29 .9900 1.0130 1.0010 .9940 .9840 .9900 1.0040 1.0200 .9970 .9770 .9870 1.0190 .9960 .9770 1.0096 1.0103 1.0098 1.0069 1.0083 .9935 .9912 .9911 .9912 .9905 .9845 .9862 .9809 .9846 .9922 October 6 13 20 27 1.0050 1.0070 .9990 .9900 1.0220 1.0150 1.0060 .9810 1.0160 1.0140 1.0020 .9800 1.0165 1.0166 1.0135 1.0091 .9945 .9980 .9985 .9969 .9869 .9913 .9879 .9884 November 3 10 17 24 .9970 1.0150 1.0090 1.0070 1.0060 1.0150 1.0160 .9940 1.0120 1.0130 1.0150 .9900 1.0057 1.0041 1.0027 1.0024 .9956 .9936 .9924 .9927 .9913 .9969 1.0025 1.0121 December 1.0050 1.0210 1.0180 1.0220 1.0200 1.0050 1.0240 1.0270 1.0300 1.0200 1.0110 1.0220 1.0290 1.0310 1.0250 1.0028 1.0067 1.0049 .9998 .9975 .9928 .9946 .9951 .9960 .9980 1.0158 1.0117 1.0147 1.0236 1.0319 Week 1981 October 1982 January 1 8 15 22 29 1. In constructing Ml the seasonal factors for demand deposits plus other checkable deposits are used to derive the sum of demand deposits and other checkable deposits seasonally adjusted. The demand deposit component season- 1.0000 ally adjusted is constructed using the demand deposit seasonal factors. Other checkable deposits (OCD), seasonally adjusted, is derived as the difference between these two series. 188 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 PROPOSED ACTIONS The Federal Reserve Board has proposed a policy statement to provide guidance on certain types of competitive situations in which the Board, or a Federal Reserve Bank, would subject applications for approval of bank acquisitions, mergers, or consolidations to intensive scrutiny. The Board requested comment by April 9, 1982. The Federal Reserve Board has also issued for comment a regulatory framework that could be used to establish margin requirements on futures contracts based on stock indexes. Comments should be received by April 30, 1982. SYSTEM MEMBERSHIP: ADMISSION OF STATE BANKS The following banks were admitted to membership in the Federal Reserve System during the period February 11 through March 10, 1982: Florida Miami Bayshore Bank of Florida Tampa Great American Bank of Tampa Oregon Lincoln City Pacific State Bank Texas Dallas Texas Independent Bank Virginia Louisa Bank of Louisa Vienna Commercial Bank of Tysons Corner 189 Legal Developments AMENDMENT TO REGULATION Z The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has amended its Regulation Z-Truth in Lending (12 CFR Part 226 to change the definition of "arranger of credit" to state that it does not include anyone who arranges for seller financing of a dwelling. However, in light of the possibility of Congress' addressing the question of whether arrangers of credit should have the responsibility for providing Truth in Lending disclosures, the Board has decided not to adopt the amendment as proposed previously. Effective February 19, 1982, the Board revises § 226.2(a)(3) of revised Regulation Z (46 FR 20848), by adding a sentence at the end, so that it will read as follows: Section 226.2—Definitions and Rules of Construction (a) Definitions. * * * (3) "Arranger of credit" means a person who regularly arranges for the extension of consumer credit2 by another person if: (i) A finance charge may be imposed for that credit, or the credit is payable by written agreement in more than four installments (not including a downpayment); and (ii) The person extending the credit is not a creditor. The term does not include a person (such as a real estate broker) when arranging seller financing of a dwelling or real property. AMENDMENT TO RULES DELEGATION OF REGARDING AUTHORITY The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has amended its "Rules Regarding Delegation of Authority" in order to delegate to the Director of its Division of Consumer and Community Affairs, the authority to issue examination or inspection manuals, 2. [Footnote unchanged] report, agreements, and examination forms, guidelines, instructions or other similar materials, in consultation with the Board's Legal Division where appropriate, for use in connection with several laws and regulations that are part of the Board's Consumer Affairs and Civil Rights Compliance Program. Effective January 28, 1982, the Board amends 12 CFR 265.2 by amending paragraph (h)(1) by revising (h)(1) introductory text, (h)(l)(i) and (h)(l)(ii) and adding (h)(l)(v) through (h)(l)(vii), effective immediately to read as follows: Section 265.2—Specific Functions Delegated to Board Employees and to Federal Reserve Banks (h) * * * (1) Pursuant to the provisions of section 11(a) of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 248(a)), sections 108(b), 621(c), 704(b), 814(c) and 917(b) of the Consumer Credit Protection Act (15 U.S.C. 1607(b), 1681s(c), 1691c(b), 16921(c), and 1693o(b), section 305(c) of the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (12 U.S.C. 2804(c)), section 18(f)(3) of the Federal Trade Commission Act (15 U.S.C. 57a(f)(3), section 808(c) of the Civil Rights Act of 1968 (42 U.S.C. 3608(c)), and section 5(c) of the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956 (12 U.S.C. 1844(c)), to issue examination or inspection manuals, report, agreement, and examination forms, guidelines, instructions or other similar materials, in consultation with the Board's Legal Division where appropriate, for use in connection with: (i) Sections 1 through 921 (excluding sections 201 through 500) of the Consumer Credit Protection Act (15 U.S.C. 1601—1693r). (ii) Sections 301 through 312 of the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (12 U.S.C. 2801-2811). (iii) * * * (iv) * * * (v) Section 1364 of the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 (42 U.S.C. 4101 (a)) and Sections 105(b) and 202(b) of the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973 (42 U.S.C. 4012a(b) and 4106(b)). (vi) Section 19(j) of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. 371b). 190 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 (vii) Sections 801-806 of the Community Reinvestment Act (12 U.S.C. 2901-2905). BANK HOLDING ORDERS ISSUED COMPANY AND BANK BY THE BOARD OF MERGER GOVERNORS Orders Under Section 3 of Bank Holding Company Act Barnett Banks of Florida, Inc., Jacksonville, Florida Order Approving Acquisition of Bank Holding Company Barnett Banks of Florida, Inc., Jacksonville, Florida, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board's approval under section 3 of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to directly acquire 100 percent of the voting shares of First Marine Banks, Inc. ("First Marine"), and to indirectly acquire at least 98 percent of the voting shares of its subsidiary bank, First Marine Bank and Trust of the Palm Beaches ("Bank"), both of Riviera Beach, Florida, and subsequently to merge with First Marine. Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant, the 2nd largest banking organization in Florida, controls 24 subsidiary banks with aggregate deposits of about $3.7 billion, representing 9.5 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the state. 1 Acquisition of First Marine, the 17th largest banking organization in Florida, controlling one bank with deposits of $376.2 million, would increase Applicant's share of commercial bank deposits in Florida by 1.0 percent but would not alter its statewide ranking. The banking subsidiaries of Applicant and First Marine, with the exception of the banking subsidiaries in the Eastern Palm Beach banking market, 2 do not compete directly with each other in any banking 1. All deposit data are as of June 30, 1980. 2. The Eastern Palm Beach banking market includes the developed coastal area of Palm Beach County between Broward and Martin Counties, but excludes the Belle Glade-Pahokee area in the western part of Palm Beach County, Florida. market. Bank is the largest of 24 banking organizations competing in the Eastern Palm Beach banking market, controlling 15.6 percent of the deposits in the market. Applicant is the 4th largest banking organization in the relevant market, controlling $179.1 million in deposits, representing 7.4 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Acquisition of First Marine by Applicant would significantly increase Applicant's share of market deposits, to 23.0 percent, causing Applicant to become the largest banking organization in the market. As a means of reducing the anticompetitive effects of its proposed acquisition upon existing competition in the Eastern Palm Beach market, Applicant has committed to divest 9 of Bank's 17 offices located in the banking markets as soon as possible within nine months of the Board's approval of the application. To document its commmitment, Applicant has submitted a detailed outline of the manner in which it intends to acquire First Marine and subsequently divest 9 of its offices (40 percent of First Marine's assets). 3 Upon completion of the proposed divestiture, Applicant's market share would drop to 17.0 percent of the deposits in the banking market. The resulting four-firm concentration ratio would be 46 percent and the market would remain relatively unconcentrated with 23 banking organizations represented. In addition, the competitive effects of consummation of this proposal would be further mitigated by the substantial presence of thrift institutions within the relevant banking market. The Board wishes to emphasize that a divestiture, such as the one proposed by Applicant, should be completed prior to or concurrent with consummation of the proposal so as to avoid the existence of significant anticompetitive effects for even a short period of time. The Board expects that future bank holding company applicants will make every effort to arrange their proposals to comply with this policy. However, the Board recognizes that special circumstances exist in this case that justify an exception to this policy. In particular, the Board notes that Applicant has submitted a detailed outline of its divestiture plan and has signed an agreement with a potential purchaser of the banking offices to be divested. In addition, and of greater importance, is that the facts of record indicate that, in this case, Board approval is a prerequisite to further regulatory approvals. Thus, additional time is necessary to accomplish the divestiture and additional time is required to obtain these approvals. Therefore, 3. On November 3, 1981, Applicant and Pan American Banks Inc., Miami, Florida ("Pan American"), signed a stock purchase and sale agreement concerning Pan American's proposed purchase of the 9 offices of Bank. Pan American is the 14th largest banking organization in the relevant market and controls 2.0 percent of deposits. Legal Developments in light of these considerations, as well as the fact that Applicant has committed to divest the nine banking offices as soon as possible within nine months of the Board's approval, the Board concludes that the application should be approved on the condition that Applicant divest the nine branches of Bank within nine months of the Board's approval of the acquisition of First Marine. Based upon this condition, the Board's judgment is that consummation of the acquisition and divestiture plan would not have any significantly adverse effects upon existing or potential competition, or on the concentration of resources in any relevant market. The financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Applicant, First Marine, and their subsidiary banks are regarded as generally satisfactory and their future prospects appear favorable. Accordingly, banking factors are consistent with, but lend no weight toward, approval of the proposal. Applicant intends to make the following services available to-Bank's customers: a centralized securities portfolio management that permits Applicant's banking subsidiaries to maintain well-balanced bond portfolios suitable to their individual needs; the fiduciary management and portfolio expertise of Barnett Bank Trust Company, N.A.; access by Bank's existing customers to Applicant's statewide system of automated teller machines; Applicant's "umbrella" advertising program and its expertise in the marketing of banking products for business and customers; Bank's access to Applicant's experienced banking officers; the substantial efficiencies resulting from the standarization of forms and procedures relating to compliance with the federal and state laws and regulations governing banking; regular a u d i t i n g by Applicant's staflf of internal auditors; Applicant's loan review team; availability of the expertise of Applicant's international banking department and its corporate cash management services designed to assist businesses in making the most advantageous use of their liquid assets. While it appears that these banking services are already available in the market through Applicant's subsidiaries, making these services more widely available throughout the market would lend slight weight toward approval of this application and outweigh any anticompetitive effects associated with this proposal. Accordingly, on the basis of the record, the application is approved subject to the condition that the proposed divestiture plan be completed as soon as possible within nine months of the Board's approval of the proposal. The transaction shall not be made before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective data of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board, or by the 191 Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, under delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 17, 1982. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Wallich, Partee, Teeters, and Rice. Absent and not voting: Governor Gramley [SEAL] (Signed) J A M E S M C A F E E , Associate Secretary of the Board. Concurring Statement of Governor Teeters The Board's action approving this application based upon Applicant's divestiture commitment implicitly permits an anticompetitive situation to persist for at least nine months following the Board's approval of the proposal. This result concerns me, and in order to avoid this consequence, I believe that such divestitures should be timed to occur prior to or concurrent with consummation of an applicant's proposal. In this instance, I concur in the judgment of the Board that this application be conditionally approved. However, I believe this action represents an exception to the policy stated by the Board today, prohibiting horizontal acquisitions that result, even for a short period, in significant anticompetitive effects in a banking market. February 17, 1982 Statement by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Regarding the Application of Mercantile Texas Corporation By Order dated December 21, 1981, the Board approved the application of Mercantile Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas ("Mercantile"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act to acquire by merger under section 3(a)(5) of the act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(5)), PanNational Group Inc., El Paso, Texas ("PanNational"), 1 a registered bank holding company. Mercantile, the fifth largest banking organization in Texas, controls nine banks with aggregate deposits of about $3.8 billion, representing 4.2 percent of total commercial bank deposits in the state. 2 PanNational is 1. PanNational has two nonbanking subsidiaries engaged in activities permissible under sections 225.4(a)(6) and (8) of the Board's Regulation Y. Because Mercantile plans to convert these subsidiaries into an operating subsidiary of a national bank and a bank service corporation, respectively, applications pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the act are not necessary in this case. 2. All banking data are as of December 31, 1980, and reflect bank holding company formations and acquisitions approved as of November 30, 1981. 192 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 the fourteenth largest banking organization in Texas, and controls six banks with aggregate deposits of about $711.7 million, representing 0.8 percent of commercial bank deposits in the state. PanNational is the second largest banking organization in the El Paso banking market, 3 and controls five banks in that market with deposits representing 29.8 percent of market commercial bank deposits. PanNational also controls the second largest banking organization in the Waco banking market, 4 through its control of deposits representing 26.7 percent of the deposits in the market. None of Mercantile's subsidiary banks has an office in either of these banking markets. Both the El Paso and Waco banking markets are concentrated, with the four largest banking organizations in each market controlling, respectively, 82.7 and 70.8 percent of total market commercial bank deposits. The Board originally denied Mercantile's application by Order dated April 15, 1980,5 on the ground that consummation of Mercantile's proposal would have substantially adverse effects on probable future competition in the relevant banking markets that were not clearly outweighed by considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served. The Board also expressed its concern over the possibility that continued approval of acquisition or merger proposals involving large statewide holding companies and relatively sizable banking organizations might perpetuate the size disparity between statewide and regional banking organizations, and result in an increase in concentration ratios. Mercantile petitioned the United States Circuit Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit for review of the Board's Order. On February 25, 1981, the Court vacated 6 the Board's Order and on July 10, 1981, formally remanded Mercantile's petition to the Board for reconsideration and additional findings of fact with regard to the applicability of probable future competition analysis to the circumstances involved. Specifically, the Court directed the Board to address questions of fact related to the number of other potential entrants into the El Paso and Waco markets, the likelihood that Mercantile would enter either market independently if this and comparable applications were denied, and the deconcentrating or other procompetitive effects associated with such independent entry. The Court's analysis requires the Board to 3. The El Paso banking market is approximated by the El Paso SMSA, which is represented by El Paso County, Texas. 4. The Waco banking market is approximated by the Waco SMSA, which is represented by McClennan County, Texas. 5. Mercantile Texas Corporation, 6 6 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 423 (1980). 6. Mercantile Texas Corp. v. Board of Governors, 638 F.2d 1255 (5th Cir. 1981). make findings of fact with respect to each of four issues7 if the Board is to deny a particular application on the basis of the probable future competition doctrine. The Board has made a thorough investigation of the Mercantile application. On the basis of the record a majority of the Board has concluded that there is insufficient ground for making the factual findings that would justify denial under the evidentiary standards established in the Court's Mercantile decision. Therefore, the majority cannot conclude that there would be a substantially adverse competitive effect were Mercantile to enter the El Paso or Waco markets by the means proposed in its application. However, the Board wishes to note that in arriving at its final determination in this case it reserves judgment as to the appropriateness of applying the Court's analysis in all circumstances. The financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Mercantile and PanNational and their respective subsidiaries are considered satisfactory and consistent with approval. While some new or expanded services may result from approval of this acquisition, including the offering of automated teller machine services to PanNational's customers, there is no evidence in the record indicating that the banking needs of the communities to be served are not being met. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served are consistent with approval. On the basis of the above, the Board concludes that the facts of record pertaining to this proposal do not provide a sufficient basis for making findings such as those listed by the Circuit Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit.8 On reconsideration of all the facts of record, the Board's judgment is that approval of this application would not be contrary to the public interest and that the application should be approved. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, February 1, 1982. [SEAL] (Signed) W I L L I A M W . W I L E S , Secretary of the Board. 7. In addition to the three areas of inquiry described above, the Court also required the Board to consider the degree of concentration in the relevant banking markets if the Board is to deny a proposal on the basis of the probable future competition doctrine. The Court did not require the Board to make a finding on this issue on remand in this case because the opinion indicates the Board has made an adequate finding with respect to the degree of concentration in El Paso and Waco. 8. The Court held that the Board may not deny a proposed merger of bank holding companies without finding a violation of "the antitrust standards explicitly incorporated into" the act. 638 F.2d at 1263. However, the Board continues to be of the view that the last sentence of section 3(c) of the act, which requires that "[i]n every case the Board shall take into consideration . . . the convenience and needs of the community to be served," authorizes the Board to consider all competitive aspects of an acquisition or merger proposal. Legal Developments Dissenting Statement of Governor Teeters The majority of the Board has determined that the facts in this case, under the standards enunciated by the United States Circuit Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, are insufficient to support a denial of the application. If the facts in this case are insufficient to support denial, then the possibility of developing a sufficient case for denial of future applicants is severely limited. The standards set by the Court require evidence that is so subjective that the Board will have great difficulty in enforcing them. Probable future competition analysis has been burdened with standards that are unrealistic and not susceptible to objective determination. Four standards are established: (1) The target market is concentrated and noncompetitive; (2) There are a limited number of potential entrants into the market; (3) There is a reasonable probability that the applicant would enter the market on a de novo or foothold basis if the proposed merger or acquisition is denied; and (4) Such de novo or foothold entry would result in deconcentration of the market or in other significant procompetitive effects. Whether the first standard is met can be determined objectively with relative ease. But the other three present difficulties. In the case of the second, for example, the number of potential entrants into a particular market depends most prominently on the intent of those entrants. Adequately and reliably measuring the intent of a business organization is extremely difficult. Moreover, changes in policy or goals can alter such "intent" in a very short period. In the case of the third standard, applicants can readily argue that they would never enter a market on an independent basis, whether or not they intend to do so; and they can ensure that their records give no indication to the contrary. Thus attempts by the Board to meet this standard could often result in a mere contest of credibility between the Board and the applicant. Finally, in applying the Court's fourth standard, regarding market deconcentration or other procompetitive effects, I believe insufficient account has been taken of the significant differences in competitive effects in a banking market between a large outside holding company opening a small branch and that same company acquiring a large bank, or the largest bank, in the market. I do not believe that the Board has given sufficient attention to ways of administering these standards that would make their application more realistic and less 193 cumbersome. It is evident to me that the facts of record in this case, when viewed realistically, support a finding that the acquisition will substantially lessen competition on the basis of the probable future competition doctrine, and warrant denial of this application. Indeed, as mentioned above, if the majority cannot find material in the evidence of record for this application adequate to make the findings required by the Court, I doubt that such material could be found for many future applications. Furthermore, I believe that the precedential impact of this action may serve to greatly reduce the role of probable future competition analysis as a tool in monitoring the development of banking markets. Such analysis can be an important tool in shaping the Board's regulatory policy. For many years marketextension acquisitions and mergers have been the predominant force in consolidating the banking industry. Probable future competition analysis is the primary regulatory tool that is suitable for dealing with this phenomenon. The majority's interpretation of the standards expressed in the Court's opinion blunts this tool. I recognize that the banking industry in the United States is undergoing significant change. These changes, however, do not render competitive analysis meaningless in terms of distinct banking markets. A bank charter continues to convey a degree of monopoly power with respect to particular banking product markets. Moreover, state boundaries cannot be ignored as long as the McFadden Act and the Douglas Amendment to the Bank Holding Company Act continue to restrict interstate competition. I believe that many local banking markets deserve the protection afforded them by the competitive standards enunciated in the Bank Holding Company Act. In my opinion, with respect to market-extension mergers and acquisitions, the majority demonstrates insufficient concern for these standards. February 1, 1982 Dissenting Statement of Governor Rice I share some of the concerns expressed in the Dissenting Statement of Governor Teeters with respect to the application of Mercantile Texas Corporation, although I am not prepared at this time to conclude with Governor Teeters, that the evidence required by the Court's standards would always be so subjective that the Board will have great difficulty in enforcing those standards. Indeed, I believe the evidence of record in this case is adequate to support a denial of this application, even taking into account the Court's criteria. In my view, the Court has deliberately left a considerable margin of discretion for the application of 194 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 the Board's expertise and judgment. In light of the substantial degree of latitude afforded by the Court's opinion, I believe a denial of this application would be supportable under the Court's standards. I consider it necessary, in view of my position on this case, to indicate the reasons underlying my participation in the majority Statement regarding the application of Republic of Texas Corporation to acquire The Citizens National Bank of Waco, which is also being issued today. In my opinion, there are significant distinctions between the factual situations surrounding the two applications. The Waco banking market is less concentrated than the El Paso banking market. The most recent available statistics indicate that the fourfirm concentration ratio in El Paso is 82.7 percent while the corresponding figure for Waco is 70.8 percent. The number of additional potential entrants into the Waco market is also likely to be somewhat greater than that for the El Paso market, in view of the relatively attractive geographic location of the Waco market and the number of major banking organizations already represented in El Paso. Thus, although the facts of record warrant denial of Mercantile Texas Corporation's application, I believe such a conclusion is less warranted with respect to Republic of Texas Corporation's application. I accordingly dissent from the majority view in the one case and join it in the other. February 1, 1982 Provident National Corporation, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Order Approving Acquisition of Bank Provident National Corporation, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for approval under section 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to acquire Provident of Delaware Bank, Wilmington, Delaware, a proposed new bank. Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Secretary of the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant, controlling one banking subsidiary with aggregate deposits of approximately $2.14 billion, has applied to acquire Bank, which will be located in Delaware.1 Section 3(d) of the Bank Holding Company 1. Deposit data are as of September 30, 1981. Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(d)) prohibits the Board from approving any application by a bank holding company to acquire any bank located outside the state in which the operations of the bank holding company's banking subsidiaries are principally conducted unless such acquisition is "specifically authorized by the statute laws of the state in which such bank is located, by language to that effect and not merely by implication." On February 18, 1981, Delaware amended its banking laws to permit an out-of-state bank holding company to acquire a single de novo bank that, among other things, will be "operated in a manner and at a location that is not likely to attract customers from the general public in [Delaware] to the substantial detriment of existing banking institutions located in this state." 2 The State Bank Commissioner of Delaware, after a hearing on the matter, approved the application of Applicant to acquire Bank and found that the acquisition meets the statutory requirements for approval under Delaware law. In reviewing the application, the Secretary of the Board has determined that the proposed acquisition conforms to Delaware law and has determined that, as provided in section 3(d) of the act, the statute laws of Delaware specifically authorize the acquisition of a bank chartered in Delaware by an outof-state bank holding company. In connection with the application, the Secretary of the Board has taken into consideration the competitive effects of the proposed transaction, the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of the company and the banks concerned, and the convenience and needs of the community to be served. After consideration of the record of this application in light of the factors contained in the act, the Secretary has determined that consummation of the transaction would be in the public interest. On the basis of these considerations, the application is approved. The transaction shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, and Provident of Delaware Bank, Wilmington, Delaware, shall be opened for business not later than six months after the effective date of this Order, unless such periods are extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Secretary of the Board acting pursuant to delegated authority for the Board of Governors, effective February 8, 1982. [SEAL] (Signed) J A M E S M C A F E E , Associate Secretary of the Board. 2. 5 Del. Code § 801, et. seq. (1974). Legal Developments Statement by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Regarding the Application of Republic of Texas Corporation By Order dated December 21, 1981, the Board approved the application of Republic of Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas ("Republic"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, to acquire The Citizens National Bank of Waco, Waco, Texas ("Bank"), under section 3(a)(3) of the act. Republic, the fourth largest banking organization in Texas, controls 31 banks with aggregate deposits of approximately $6.8 billion, representing 7.6 percent of total commercial bank deposits in the state. 1 Bank is the thirtieth largest banking organization in Texas, with deposits of approximately $238.6 million, representing 0.27 percent of commercial bank deposits in the state. Bank is the largest bank in the Waco banking market;2 its deposits represent 29.4 percent of commercial bank deposits in the market. None of Republic's subsidiary banks has an office in the Waco banking market. The Waco banking market is concentrated; its four largest banking organizations control 70.8 percent of total market commercial bank deposits. The Board originally denied Republic's application by Order dated August 20, 1980.3 The Board's Order indicated that consummation of Republic's proposal might substantially lessen probable future competition in the relevant banking market, and that such an anticompetitive effect 4 was not clearly outweighed by considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served. The Board also expressed its concern over the possibility that continued approval of acquisition or merger proposals involving large statewide holding companies and relatively sizable banking organizations might perpetuate the size disparity between statewide and regional banking organizations, and result in an increase in concentration ratios.5 Republic petitioned the United States Circuit Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit (the "Court") for 1. All banking data are as of December 31, 1980, and reflect bank holding company formations and acquisitions approved through April 30, 1980. 2. The Waco banking market is approximated by the Waco SMSA, which is represented by McClennan County, Texas. 3. Republic of Texas Corporation, 66 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLE- TIN 787 (1980). 4. The Board's August, 1980 Order stated that even if the anticompetitive effects of Republic's proposal were viewed as less than substantial, the Board considered such effects to be so seriously adverse as to warrant denial. 5. In addition, the Board stated that consummation of Republic's proposal would eliminate the procompetitive effect Republic exerts as a result of its position as a perceived potential entrant into the market. 195 review of the Board's Order. On June 24, 1981, the Court vacated 6 the Board's Order and on July 16, 1981, formally remanded Republic's petition to the Board for reconsideration and additional findings of fact with regard to the applicability of probable future competition analysis to the circumstances involved. The Court directed the Board to address the same questions of fact that the Court had directed the Board to address regarding the application of Mercantile Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas ("Mercantile"), to acquire by merger PanNational Corporation, El Paso, Texas. 7 These questions, as they apply to Republic's proposal, relate to the number of other potential entrants into the Waco banking market, the likelihood that Republic would enter the market independently if this and comparable applications were denied, and the deconcentrating or other procompetitive effects associated with such independent entry. The Court's analysis requires the Board to make findings of fact with respect to each of four issues8 if the Board is to deny a particular application on the basis of the probable future competition doctrine. The Board has made a thorough investigation of Republic's application. On the basis of the record, a majority of the Board has concluded that there is insufficient ground for making the factual findings that would justify denial under the evidentiary standards established in the Court's Republic decision. 9 Therefore, the majority cannot conclude that there would be a substantially adverse competitive effect were Republic to enter the Waco market by the means proposed in its application. However, the Board wishes to note that in arriving at its final determination in this case it reserves judgment as to the appropriateness of applying the Court's analysis in all circumstances. The financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Republic, Bank and Republic's subsidiaries are considered satisfactory and consistent with approval. Although some new or expanded services may result from approval of this acquisition, there is no evidence in the record indicating that the banking needs of the community to be served are not being met. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served are consistent with approval. 6. Republic of Texas Corp. v. Board of Governors, 649 F.2d 1026 (5th Cir. 1981). 7. See Mercantile Texas Corp. v. Board of Governors, 638 F.2d 1255 (5th Cir. 1981). 8. In addition to the three areas of inquiry described above, the Court also required consideration of the degree of concentration in the relevant banking market. The Court did not require the Board to make a finding on this issue on remand since the Court states in its opinion that Republic had not rebutted the Board's prima facie showing that the Waco banking market was behaving oligopolistically. 9. Although the Board has analyzed the present application chiefly with regard to the probable future competition doctrine, the Board continues to take into consideration procompetitive effects exerted by banks outside a particular market as perceived potential entrants. 196 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 On the basis of the above, the Board concludes that the facts of record pertaining to this proposal do not provide a sufficient basis for making findings such as those listed by the Circuit Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit.10 On reconsideration of all the facts of record, it is the Board's judgment that approval of this application would not be contrary to the public interest and that the application should be approved. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, February 1, 1982. [SEAL] (Signed) W I L L I A M W . W I L E S , Secretary of the Board. area of safeguarding banking competition. I believe that the majority's action regarding the application by Republic of Texas Corporation could have the same type of destructive precedential impact. Accordingly, I dissent from the majority's Statement with respect to this application as well. February 1, 1982 Tulsa Commerce Bancshares, Inc., Tulsa, Oklahoma Order Approving the Formation of a Bank Holding Company Dissenting Statement of Governor Teeters I dissented from the Statement of the majority of the Board issued on today's date with respect to the application of Mercantile Texas Corporation because I believe that the facts of record in that case, when realistically viewed, are adequate to support a denial of that application on the basis of the probable future competition doctrine. I stated my opinion that if the facts in that case were insufficient to support denial, the possibility of developing a sufficient case for denial of future applicants would be severely limited. The standards set by the United States Circuit Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit require evidence that is so subjective that the Board will have great difficulty in enforcing them. In my Dissenting Statement, I described in some detail the reasons for my dissatisfaction with these standards. I find these standards no less unrealistic and subjective when applied to the facts of this case, and I do not believe that the majority has given sufficient attention to ways of administering these standards that would make their application more effective and less cumbersome. I believe that the facts of record in this case, viewed realistically, also warrant denial of the application of Republic of Texas Corporation. I also expressed my concern that the majority's action regarding the application of Mercantile Texas Corporation would greatly reduce the role of the probable future competition doctrine as a tool in fulfilling the Board's statutory responsibilities in the 10. The Court held that the Board may not deny a section 3(a) application to acquire a bank unless the Board finds that the acquisition would constitute a violation o f ' 'the antitrust standards explicitly incorporated into" the act. 649 F.2d at 1043. However, the Board continues to be of the view that the last sentence of section 3(c) of the act, which requires that "fi]n every case the Board shall take into consideration . . . the convenience and needs of the community to be served," authorizes the Board to consider all competitive aspects of an acquisition or merger proposal. Tulsa Commerce Bancshares, Inc., Tulsa, Oklahoma, has applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(1) of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(1)) of formation of a bank holding company by acquiring 99.4 percent or more of the voting shares of Bank of Commerce and Trust Company, Tulsa, Oklahoma ("Bank"). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with section 2(b) of the act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant is a nonoperating company with no subsidiaries organized for the purpose of becoming a bank holding company by acquiring Bank. Upon the acquisition of Bank (which holds $172.1 million in deposits), Applicant would control the twelfth largest of 497 commercial banking organizations in Oklahoma and approximately 0.9 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the state. 1 Bank is the sixth largest of 48 commercial banks located in the relevant banking market, 2 and holds 4.19 percent of total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Principals of Applicant and Bank have ownership interests in Gilcrease Hills Bank ("Gilcrease"), Tulsa, Oklahoma, which is located in Bank's market. Gilcrease is the smallest bank in the market and none of Applicant's or Bank's principals is in a policy making position with Gilcrease. In light of these facts and the existence of numerous intervening banking alternatives between Gilcrease and Bank, the Board has concluded that the relationship between Applicant, Bank, and Gilcrease has no significant effect on competition. Other principals of Applicant and Bank 1. All Banking data are as of March 31, 1981. 2. The relevant banking market is the Tulsa, Oklahoma RMA. Legal Developments who are associated with various banking organizations in the market own less than 1.0 percent of the stock and hold no management positions in these organizations. Two of Bank's directors hold management positions in other banking organizations in Bank's market. These directors will hold no policy-making positions with Applicant and will own less than 1.0 percent of Applicant's voting stock. In light of these facts, the Board concludes that these affiliations have no significant effect on competition in the relevant market. It appears from these facts, and other facts of record, that consummation of the proposal would not result in any adverse effects upon competition or increase the concentration of banking resources in any relevant area. Accordingly, the Board concludes that competitive considerations are consistent with approval of this application. The financial and managerial resources of Applicant and Bank are satisfactory and the future prospects for each appear favorable. In its consideration of this application, the Board applied the less restrictive debt service standards for one-bank holding company formations announced by the Board in March of 1980.3 Although the Board stated at that time that these standards would be applicable to one-bank holding companies whose subsidiary bank would have total assets of approximately $150 million or less, the Board intended to permit larger one-bank holding companies to come under the policy if the Board found that circumstances warranted such an exception. 4 After reviewing all the facts of record, the Board finds such circumstances exist in this case. Approval of this application would solidify local ownership of Bank and perpetuate Bank's current management, both of which the Board finds to be substantial public benefits. Principals of Applicant acquired control of Bank in 1979 at a time when Bank's earnings were low and it was experiencing large loan losses. Since that time, Applicant's principals have effected significant improvements in Bank's overall financial condition, including improvements in Bank's asset quality and capital position. Moreover, Applicant's principals appear willing to provide continuing support to Bank's capital position. Thus, under the direction of Applicant's principals, Bank's condition has become satisfactory and its future prospects are favorable. Accordingly the Board finds that under these circumstances, and in light of the general public interest in facilitating local ownership, it is appropriate to apply the standards that would be applicable for one-bank holding company formations involving 3. 4 5 Federal Register 24,233 (1980). 4. See e.g., The Union of Arkansas Corporation, 66 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 6 5 9 ( 1 9 8 0 ) . 197 banks with assets of $150 million or less. In applying such a standard, the Board's opinion is that banking factors are consistent with approval of this application. While no immediate changes in Bank's services are anticipated as a result of approval of this application, considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served are consistent with approval. Accordingly, the Board has determined that consummation of the transaction would be in the public interest and that the application should be approved. On the basis of all the facts of record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be made before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pursuant to delegated authority. By Order of the Board of Governors, effective February 5, 1982. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Schultz, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Absent and not voting: Governors Wallich and Teeters. [SEAL] (Signed) J A M E S M C A F E E , Associate Secretary of the Board. Yip Financial Investment, Ltd., Hong Kong Yip Bancorporation, N.V., Netherlands Antilles Yip Bancorp, San Francisco, California Chung Hwa Bancorp, San Francisco, California Order Approving Formation of Bank Holding Companies Yip Financial Investment, Ltd., Hong Kong ("YFI, Ltd."); Yip Bancorporation, N.V., Netherlands Antilles ("YB-N.V."); Yip Bancorp, San Francisco, California ("YB-U.S."); and Chung Hwa Bancorp, San Francisco, California ("CHB"), have applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(1) of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(1)) to become bank holding companies through the acquisition by CHB of 100 percent of the voting shares of 198 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Commercial Bank of San Francisco, San Francisco, California ("Bank"). Notice of the applications, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the act. The time for filing comments and views has expired and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the act. Applicants are nonoperating corporations organized for the purpose of becoming bank holding companies by acquiring Bank. YFI, Ltd., a corporation organized under the laws of Hong Kong, owns all of the outstanding shares of YB-N.V. which is organized under the laws of the Netherlands Antilles. YB-N.V. owns 100 percent of the shares of YB-U.S. which in turn owns all of the shares of CHB. Both CHB and YBU.S. are organized under the laws of California. Upon acquisition of Bank (deposits of $36.3 million as of September 30, 1981), Applicants will control the 108th largest commercial bank in California with 0.04 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in that state.1 Bank is the 35th largest of 62 commercial banks in the relevant market and holds 0.1 percent of total deposits in commercial banks in the market. 2 Inasmuch as Applicants and their principal control no other banks and conduct no nonbanking business in the United States, consummation of the proposed transaction would have no adverse effects on existing or potential competition in any relevant market, and would not increase the concentration of resources in any relevant area. Therefore, competitive considerations are consistent with approval of the applications. The financial and managerial resources of Applicants are considered satisfactory and their future prospects favorable. The financial and managerial resources of Bank will be enhanced by consummation of the transaction and Bank's future prospects appear favorable, especially in light of the additional capital Applicants have committed to furnish Bank. Thus, considerations relating to banking factors lend weight toward approval of the applications. Applicants also propose to improve the international financing services offered by Bank. Therefore, considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served are consistent with approval of the applications. Accordingly, the Board has determined that consummation of the transaction would be in the public interest and that the applications should be approved. 1. Statewide banking data are as of December 31, 1980. 2. Market data are as of June 30, 1980. The relevant market is approximated by the San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose Ranally Metropolitan Area ("RMA"). On the basis of the record, the applications are approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be made before the thirtieth day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 5, 1982. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Schultz, Partee, Rice, and Gramley. Absent and not voting: Governors Wallich and Teeters. [SEAL] (Signed) J A M E S M C A F E E , Associate Secretary of the Board. Orders Under Section 4 of Bank Holding Company Act Orbanco Financial Services Corporation, Portland, Oregon Order Denying Investment Note Activity Orbanco Financial Services Corporation, Portland, Oregon, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the act, 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8), to engage in offering an investment note ("Note") with transactional characteristics. The proposed activity is not included in the list of permissible activities for bank holding companies contained in the Board's Regulation Y, 12 C.F.R. § 225.4(a). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been duly published. (46 Federal Register 52426). The time for filing comments and views has expired and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the public interest factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the act. Applicant, the fourth largest commercial banking organization in Oregon with consolidated assets of $1.4 billion,1 controls three banks with aggregate deposits of $726.7 million, representing about 6.1 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in that state. Applicant also controls several nonbanking subsidiaries engaged in commercial finance and mortgage lending activities. 1. Banking data are as of June 30, 1980. Legal Developments The Note that Applicant proposes to offer would be available in minimum denominations of $5,000 and would bear an interest rate computed daily on the basis of current market rates, and paid monthly. Note purchasers would be required to hold each Note for a minimum of eight days, after which the Note would have a one day maturity and would be automatically renewed daily. Note purchasers would be required to maintain a checking account at The Oregon Bank ("Bank"), Applicant's lead subsidiary bank, through which additional purchases and redemptions could be effected by means of telephone transfer. 2 Although the initial purchase of Notes would be made directly with Orbanco at its offices, all subsequent transactions would occur through the Bank. Withdrawals and purchases could be made in denominations of $500 or more, provided a minimum balance of $2500 were maintained. Checks could be drawn on the checking account in any amount. Investors would not be issued individual Notes but would receive monthly statements of all transactions involving the Notes. Orbanco proposes to register a $50 million Note issue with the Oregon Corporation Commissioner. Applicant indicates that the issue would be offered to Oregon residents only and, as an intrastate offering, would be exempt from registration under the Securities Act of 1933. Proceeds of the Note would be used to fund Orbanco's nonbanking activities and no proceeds would be channeled to Applicant's banking subsidiaries. As noted above, the proposed activity is not included in the list of permissible bank holding company activities contained in Regulation Y. Applicant maintains that the activity is nevertheless permissible without prior Board approval as a method of funding its nonbanking operations. The Board has permitted bank holding companies to engage in funding activities under section 4(a)(2) of the act, which authorizes bank holding companies to engage in "banking or . . . managing or controlling banks and other subsidiaries authorized under [the] Act or . . . furnishing services to or performing services for its subsidiaries." (12 U.S.C. § 1843 (a)(2)). The funding activities that the Board has permitted in the past, however, have involved either investment certificates or thrift notes with fixed maturities of at least 14 days, or commercial paper. Orbanco's proposed activity differs significantly from traditional funding activities that the Board has 2. The Board does not regard the tie-in of the Note with the checking account at The Oregon Bank as unlawful under the anti-tie-in provisions of section 106 of the Bank Holding Company Act Amendments of 1970. The use of the Bank's services is intended to facilitate sale of the Notes rather than to benefit the Bank. The Board regards the Note as a single product not involving any tie-in of additional services for purposes of section 106. 199 permitted in the past due to the demand feature 3 and transactional capability of the Note Plan. Accordingly, the Board has determined that the activity is not permissible as a funding method under section 4(a)(2) of the act and consequently, prior Board approval to engage in the activity is required under section 4(c)(8) of the act. The Board is authorized under section 4(c)(8) of the Bank Holding Company Act to approve nonbanking activities for bank holding companies if the Board determines that the proposed activity is so closely related to banking or managing or controlling banks as to be a proper incident thereto. Banks in fact provide, or are particularly well equipped to provide, services similar to those involved in Orbanco's proposal. Accordingly, the Board has determined that the proposed activity is closely related to banking. See National Courier Association v. Board of Governors, 516 F.2d 1229 (D.C. Cir. 1975). In determining whether a particular activity is a proper incident to banking, however, the Board is required to determine whether the proposal can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public, such as greater convenience, increased competition, or gains in efficiency, that outweigh possible adverse effects. The Note involves the taking of a deposit through Bank and the use of this deposit to establish a debt obligation of the parent holding company that can be redeemed virtually on demand through a checking account at Bank. In view of the extensive contact with Bank required to purchase and redeem the Note, and because of the fact that the Note is an obligation of the parent holding company, the Board believes that the Note has a high degree of potential for public confusion inasmuch as the Note is targeted at retail bank customers and is sold to these customers in small denominations. Customers may not appreciate fully the fact that their funds would be shifted from insured to non-insured status and that when so shifted the Note would lack the prudential safeguards associated with bank deposits. Although Bank itself is subject to bank regulation, the organization that ultimately receives and places the public's funds at risk is not regulated to the same degree. In light of this potential for customer confusion, the fact that customers' funds would be invested only in nonbank subsidiaries of Orbanco causes particular concern. This special concern derives, in major part, from the fact that the security underlying the Note would not provide diversification of risk or liquidity usually required with respect to short term financial instruments available to small savers and investors. 3. The Board regards any instrument with a maturity of less than 14 days as a demand obligation. 200 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 The Board does not believe that these problems can be fully eliminated through disclosures or disclaimers in a situation where the holding company's obligations and the originating deposit are linked in a parentsubsidiary relationship. The Board thus concludes that such factors represent adverse effects that weigh against approval of the proposal. The Board also considered the fact that the money market rate payable on the Note has the potential to interfere with the orderly transition to market rates that Congress mandated in the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980 ("DIDMCA"). Until that transition is completed, the Congress has indicated a policy that all transaction accounts at depository institutions should be subject to the same rate ceiling. Approval of the proposed Note, issued by a bank holding company, in effect would permit the offering of a transaction account by Bank, an affiliate of the issuer, at an interest rate far in excess of the rate that banks and thrift institutions are permitted to pay on NOW accounts. The Board concludes that this arrangement is inconsistent with congressionally mandated policy for an orderly phaseout of Regulation Q, and thus is an adverse effect that weighs against approval. Similarly, the Board regards the Note's transaction account feature as undermining the objective of the DIDMCA to impose reserve requirements on transaction accounts at all depository institutions. Funds in the Note flow through a transaction account at Bank to the parent holding company and, thus, balances maintained in the Note are not now subject to reserve ORDERS APPROVING AND BANK MERGER APPLICATIONS ACT UNDER requirements because the Note constitutes a liability of the holding company. In view of the likelihood that a number of bank holding companies may wish to offer similar debt obligations, this adverse effect also appears significant and weighs against approval of the application. Applicant asserts that the proposal could result in public benefits by providing a higher rate of return on customers' funds and greater efficiencies in funding Orbanco's nonbank operations. While some public benefits may be associated with the proposal, the Board does not believe that such benefits are sufficient to outweigh the adverse effects of the proposal. Indeed, each of the adverse effects that the Board has determined weigh against approval of the application are sufficient, in the Board's view, to outweigh any public benefits associated with the proposal. Based upon the foregoing and other considerations reflected in the record, the Board has determined that, in the particular factual situation presented in this case, the balance of the public interest factors that the Board is required to consider under section 4(c)(8) is not consistent with approval of the application. Accordingly, the application is hereby denied. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 16, 1982. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Wallich, Partee, Teeters, Rice, and Gramley. (Signed) W I L L I A M W . W I L E S , Secretary of the Board. [SEAL] THE BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies of the orders are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Section 3 Applicant Exchange Bancorporation, Inc., Tampa, Florida First City Bancorporation of Texas, Inc., Houston, Texas Pioneer American Bancorporation, Pendleton, Oregon Southwest Bancshares, Inc., Houston, Texas Bank(s) Effective date First National Bank of Englewood, Englewood, Florida First City National Bank of Floresville, Floresville, Texas February 9, 1982 Pendleton Banking Company, Pendleton, Oregon First Pasadena State Bank, Pasadena, Texas February 12, 1982 February 22, 1982 February 17, 1982 Legal Developments 201 Section 3—Continued Applicant Texas American Bancshares Inc., Fort Worth, Texas Texas Commerce Bancshares, Inc. Houston, Texas Bank(s) Reserve Bank Charter National Bank, Piano, Texas Texas Commerce Bank-Cypress Station, N.A. Houston, Texas Effective date February 5, 1982 February 10, 1982 By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies of the orders are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Section 3 Applicant Allied Bancshares, Inc., Houston, Texas Amarillo National Bancorp, Inc., Amarillo, Texas Argyle Financial Services, Inc., Argyle, Minnesota Azle Bancorp, Azle, Texas BSD Bancorp, Inc., San Diego, California Banks of Iowa, Inc., Des Moines, Iowa Buffalo Bancorporation, Inc., Buffalo, South Dakota Carolina Bancorp, Inc., Sanford, North Carolina Chebelle Corporation, Solon, Iowa Commerce Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri Commercial National Corporation, Peoria, Illinois The Conifer Group, Inc., Worcester, Massachusetts Corporate Bankshares, Inc., Overland Park, Kansas Crookston Financial Services, Inc., Crookston, Minnesota Bank(s) Lakewood Bank and Trust Company, Dallas, Texas Amarillo National Bank, Amarillo, Texas Argyle State Bank, Argyle, Minnesota Azle State Bank Azle, Texas American Valley Bank, El Cajon, California The Avoca State Bank, Avoca, Iowa First State Bank of Buffalo, Buffalo, South Dakota Bank of Alamance, Graham, North Carolina Chelsea Savings Bank, Belle Plaine, Iowa Wentzville State Bank, Wentzville, Missouri Prospect National Bank of Peoria, Peoria, Illinois University National Bank of Peoria, Peoria, Illinois Commonwealth National Corporation, Boston, Massachusetts Corporate Woods State Bank, Overland Park, Kansas Crookston National Bank, Crookston, Minnesota Reserve Bank Effective date Dallas February 5, 1982 Dallas February 11, 1982 Minneapolis February 1, 1982 Dallas February 10, 1982 San Francisco February 16, 1982 Chicago January 22, 1982 Minneapolis February 22, 1982 Richmond February 24, 1982 Chicago January 27, 1982 Kansas City February 16, 1982 Chicago January 21, 1982 Boston February 8, 1982 Kansas City February 12, 1982 Minneapolis February 19, 1982 202 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Section 3—Continued Applicant El Campo Bancshares, Inc., El Campo, Texas Far-Mer Bankshares, Inc., Reyno, Arkansas Fifth Third Bancorp, Cincinnati, Ohio First Alsip Bancorp, Inc., Alsip, Illinois First Bancorp of Belleville, Inc., Belleville, Illinois First Bancshares, Inc., Slidell, Louisiana First Bancshares of Texas, Inc., Longview, Texas First Colonial Bancshares Corporation, Chicago, Illinois First Delhi Corporation, Delhi, Louisiana First State Holding Company, Inc., Mullinville, Kansas First Texas Financial Corporation, Dallas, Texas Fourth Financial Corporation, Wichita, Kansas Fulton Bancshares, Inc., Alpharetta, Georgia Gaylord Bancorporation Ltd., Gaylord, Minnesota Great Guaranty Bancshares, Inc., New Roads, Louisiana HNB Corporation, Homer, Louisiana Highland Park Bancorporation, Inc., St. Paul, Minnesota Island American Bancshares, Inc., Galveston, Texas Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective date Commercial State Bank of El Campo, El Campo, Texas Farmers & Merchants Bank, Reyno, Arkansas The Bank of Russellville, Russellville, Ohio First State Bank of Alsip, Alsip, Illinois First United Bancshares, Inc., Belleville, Illinois Bank of Belleville, Belleville, Illinois First Bank, Slidell, Louisiana Cushing Bancshares, Inc., Cushing, Texas Van Bancshares, Inc., Van, Texas White Oak Bancshares, Inc., White Oak, Texas All American Bank of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois (additional shares) Capital Bank of Delhi, Delhi, Louisiana First State Bank, Mullinville, Kansas Dallas January 28, 1982 St. Louis January 29, 1982 Cleveland February 17, 1982 Chicago February 12, 1982 St. Louis February 16, 1982 Atlanta February 12, 1982 Dallas February 2, 1982 Chicago February 1, 1982 Dallas February 1, 1982 Kansas City February 11, 1982 First Texas Bank, Dallas, Texas M-L Bancshares, Inc., Wichita, Kansas Newton Bancshares, Inc., Newton, Kansas The Kansas State Bank, Newton, Kansas Fulton County Bank, Alpharetta, Georgia Citizens State Bank of Gaylord, Gaylord, Minnesota Guaranty Bank and Trust Company, New Roads, Louisiana The Homer National Bank, Homer, Louisiana The Highland Bank, St. Paul, Minnesota Dallas February 16, 1982 Kansas City January 28, 1982 Atlanta February 12, 1982 Minneapolis February 1, 1982 Atlanta February 18, 1982 Dallas February 23, 1982 Minneapolis February 2, 1982 American Bank, Galveston, Texas Dallas February 12, 1982 Legal Developments 203 Section 3—Continued Applicant Kansas Unlimited Investments, Inc., Pleasanton, Kansas Keene Bancorp, Inc., Keene, Texas Keyesport Bancshares, Inc., Keyesport, Illinois Liberty Holding Company, Cantonment, Florida Liberty National Bancshares, Inc., Lovington, New Mexico M-L Bancshares, Inc., Wichita, Kansas Mark Twain Bancshares, Inc., St. Louis, Missouri Maryland National Corporation, Baltimore, Maryland Mason State Company, Mason City, Nebraska Merchants Bancorp, Inc., Aurora, Illinois Midwest National Bancshares, Inc., Midwest City, Oklahoma Minnehaha Bancshares, Inc., Sioux Falls, South Dakota Minto Bancorporation, Inc. Minto, North Dakota NCB Corp., Mansfield, Georgia Northern Trust Corporation, Chicago, Illinois North Plaza Bancshares, Inc., Topeka, Kansas Ogden-Saratoga Corporation, Downers Grove, Illinois Paraclete Bancorp., Afton, Iowa Prairie Bancorp, Inc., Bloomington, Illinois Ramsey Bancshares, Inc., Devils Lake, North Dakota Sesser Bancorporation, Inc., Sesser, Illinois Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective date Bank of Pleasanton, Pleasanton, Kansas Kansas City January 21, 1982 First State Bank, Keene, Texas State Bank of Keyesport, Keyesport, Illinois Liberty Bank of Cantonment, Cantonment, Florida Liberty National Bank, Lovington, New Mexico Newton Bancshares, Inc., Newton, Kansas The Kansas State Bank, Newton, Kansas Hub State Bank, Independence, Missouri Central Atlantic Bank, N.A., Newark, Delaware Mason State Bank, Mason City, Nebraska The Merchants National Bank of Aurora, Aurora, Illinois Midwest National Bank, Midwest City, Oklahoma Dallas February 16, 1982 St. Louis February 5, 1982 Atlanta February 12, 1982 Dallas February 19, 1982 Kansas City January 28, 1982 St. Louis February 12, 1982 Richmond February 12, 1982 Kansas City January 22, 1982 Chicago February 18, 1982 Kansas City January 28, 1982 Minneapolis February 12, 1982 Minneapolis February 17, 1982 Atlanta February 1, 1982 Chicago February 5, 1982 Kansas City February 5, 1982 Chicago January 26, 1982 Chicago January 25, 1982 Chicago February 5, 1982 Minneapolis February 3, 1982 St. Louis February 8, 1982 Farmers State Bank of Flandreau, Flandreau, South Dakota Bank of Minto, Minto, North Dakota Newton County Bank, Mansfield, Georgia Security Trust Company of Sarasota, N.A., Sarasota, Florida North Plaza State Bank, Topeka, Kansas First Security Bank of Downers Grove, Downers Grove, Illinois Commercial State Bank, Afton, Iowa Prairie State Bank, Bloomington, Illinois Ramsey National Bank & Trust of Devils Lake, Devils Lake, North Dakota Bank of Sesser, Sesser, Illinois 204 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Section 3—Continued Applicant Reserve Bank Bank(s) Tuscola Bancorp, Inc., Springfield, Illinois United Missouri Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Missouri Union Colony Bancorp., Greeley, Colorado United Madison Bancshares, Inc., Houston, Texas Uptown Bancorporation, Inc., Moline, Illinois Wabash Valley Bancorporation, Inc., Peru, Indiana Wells-Foster Bankshares, Inc., Carrington, North Dakota Westlake Bancshares, Inc., Austin, Texas Woodriver Banco, Inc., Oconto, Nebraska Youell Sales Department, Inc., Manson, Iowa The First National Bank of Douglas County, Tuscola, Illinois Paris Savings Bank, Paris, Missouri Union Colony Bank, Greeley, Colorado United Madison Bank, N.A., Houston, Texas Uptown National Bank of Moline, Moline, Illinois Wabash Valley Bank and Trust Company, Peru, Indiana Farmers State Bank, Carrington, North Dakota Westlake National Bank, Austin, Texas The Farmers Bank, Oconto, Nebraska Manson State Bank, Manson, Iowa Effective date Chicago February 6, 1982 Kansas City January 25, 1982 Kansas City February 12, 1982 Dallas February 18, 1982 Chicago February 1, 1982 Chicago February 19, 1982 Minneapolis February 19, 1982 Dallas February 5, 1982 Kansas City February 19, 1982 Chicago February 12, 1982 Sections 3 and 4 Applicant Bank(s) Hoi-Ark, Inc., Blytheville, Arkansas The First National Bank in Blytheville, Blytheville, Arkansas Pioneer Bancshares Corporation, Shreveport, Louisiana Zachary Taylor Life Insurance Company, Shreveport, Louisiana Pioneer Bank and Trust Company Shreveport, Louisiana Nonbanking company (or activity) to retain and service certain notes receivable directly connected with previous business activities. Reserve Bank Effective date St. Louis February 4, 1982 Dallas February 2, 1982 Section 4 AAp p i l C a n tA First Glen Bancorp Inc., Glens Falls, New York Nonbanking company (or activity) Van Dyke Associates Inc., Glens Falls, New York Reserve Bank New York Effective date February 17, 1982 Legal Developments ORDERS APPROVED UNDER BANK MERGER 205 ACT By Federal Reserve Banks Bank(s) Applicant The FTB Fifth Bank, Russellville, Ohio The Interim Dime Bank of Marietta, Marietta, Ohio Michigan Bank-Port Huron, Port Huron, Michigan United Jersey Bank/Southwest, Camden, New Jersey PENDING CASES INVOLVING The Bank of Russellville, Russellville, Ohio The Dime Bank of Ross County, N.A., Adelphi, Ohio Marine Bank & Trust, Marine City, Michigan Pine Hill office of The Bank of New Jersey Pine Hill, New Jersey THE BOARD OF Effective date Cleveland February 17, 1982 Cleveland February 12, 1982 Chicago February 5, 1982 Philadelphia February 4, 1982 GOVERNORS* *This list of pending cases does not include suits against the Federal Reserve Banks in which the Board of Governors is not named a party. Darnell Hilliard v. Esmond Langley, filed February 1982, Superior Court of the District of Columbia. C. A. Cavendes, Sociedad Financiers v. Board of Governors, filed January 1982, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia. First Lakefield BanCorporation v. Board of Governors, et al, filed January 1982, U.S.D.C. for the District of Minnesota. C. A. Cavendes, Sociedad Financiers v. Board of Governors, filed December 1981, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia. Option Advisory Service, Inc. v. Board of Governors, filed December 1981, U.S.C.A. for the Second Circuit. Edwin F. Gordon v. Board of Governors, et al., filed October 1981, U.S.C.A. for the Eleventh Circuit (Two Consolidated Cases). Wendall Hall v. Board of Governors, et al., filed September 1981, U.S.D.C. for the Northern District of Georgia. Allen Wolf son v. Board of Governors, filed September 1981, U.S.D.C. for the Middle District of Florida. Option Advisory Service, Inc. v. Board of Governors, filed September 1981, U.S.C.A. for the Second Circuit (two cases). American Bankers Association v. Federal Home Loan Bank Board, et al., filed August 1981, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia. Bank Stationers Association, Inc., et al. v. Board of Governors, filed July 1981, U.S.D.C. for the Northern District of Georgia. Reserve Bank Public Interest Bounty Hunters v. Board of Governors, et al., filed June 1981, U.S.D.C. for the Northern District of Georgia. Edwin F. Gordon v. John Heimann, et al., filed May 1981, U.S.C.A. for the Fifth Circuit. Louis J. Rous sell v. Board of Governors, filed May 1981, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia. Wilshire Oil Company of Texas v. Board of Governors, et al., filed April 1981, U.S.C.A. for the Third Circuit. People of the State of Arkansas v. Board of Governors, et al., filed March 1981, U.S.C.A. for the Western District of Arkansas. First Bank & Trust Company v. Board of Governors, filed February 1981, U.S.D.C. for the Eastern District of Kentucky. 9 to 5 Organization for Women Office Workers v. Board of Governors, filed December 1980, U.S.D.C. for the District of Massachusetts. Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, et al., filed October 1980, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia. Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, et al., filed October 1980, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia. A. G. Becker, Inc. v. Board of Governors, et al., filed October 1980, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia. A. G. Becker, Inc. v. Board of Governors, et al., filed October 1980, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia. A. G. Becker, Inc. v. Board of Governors, et al., filed August 1980, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia. Otero Savings and Loan Association v. Board of Governors, filed August 1980, U.S.D.C. for the District of Colorado. 206 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 Berkovitz, et al. v. Government of Iran, et al., filed June 1980, U.S.D.C. for the Northern District of California. Louis J. Roussel v. Comptroller of the Currency and Federal Reserve Board, filed April 1980, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia. Donald W. Riegle, Jr. v. Federal Open Market Com- mittee, filed July 1979, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia. Security Bancorp and Security National Bank v. Board of Governors, filed March 1978, U.S.C. A. for the Ninth Circuit. Darnell Hilliard v. G. William Miller, et al., filed September 1976, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia. 1 Financial and Business Statistics CONTENTS WEEKLY REPORTING Domestic Financial Statistics A3 Monetary aggregates and interest rates A4 Reserves of depository institutions, reserve, bank credit A5 Reserves and borrowings of depository institutions A6 Federal funds and repurchase agreements of large member banks MARKETS INSTRUMENTS A7 Federal Reserve Bank interest rates A8 Depository institutions reserve requirements A9 Maximum interest rates payable on time and savings deposits at federally insured institutions A10 Federal Reserve open market transactions FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS All Condition and Federal Reserve note statements A12 Maturity distribution of loan and security holdings MONETARY BANKS Assets and liabilities A18 All reporting banks A19 Banks with assets of $1 billion or more A20 Banks in New York City A21 Balance sheet memoranda A22 Branches and agencies of foreign banks A23 Commercial and industrial loans A24 Gross demand deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations FINANCIAL POLICY COMMERCIAL AND CREDIT AGGREGATES A12 Bank debits and deposit turnover A13 Money stock measures and components A14 Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base A15 Loans and securities of all commercial banks COMMERCIAL BANKS A16 Major nondeposit funds A17 Assets and liabilities, last Wednesday-of-month series A25 Commercial paper and bankers dollar acceptances outstanding A26 Prime rate charged by banks on short-term business loans A26 Terms of lending at commercial banks A27 Interest rates in money and capital markets A28 Stock market—Selected statistics A29 Selected financial institutions—Selected assets and liabilities FEDERAL A30 A31 A32 A32 FINANCE Federal fiscal and financing operations U.S. budget receipts and outlay Federal debt subject to statutory limitation Gross public debt of U.S. Treasury—Types and ownership A33 U.S. government marketable securities— Ownership, by maturity A34 U.S. government securities dealers— Transactions, positions, and financing A35 Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies—Debt outstanding 85 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 International SECURITIES MARKETS AND CORPORATE FINANCE A36 New security issues—State and local governments and corporations A37 Open-end investment companies—Net sales and asset position A37 Corporate profits and their distribution A38 Nonfinancial corporations—Assets and liabilities A38 Total nonfarm business expenditures on new plant and equipment A39 Domestic finance companies—Assets and liabilities; business credit REAL ESTATE A40 Mortgage markets A41 Mortgage debt outstanding CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT A42 Total outstanding and net change A43 Extension and liquidations FLOW OF A44 Funds raised in U.S. credit markets A45 Direct and indirect sources of funds to credit markets Statistics A46 Nonfinancial business activity—Selected measures A46 Output, capacity, and capacity utilization A47 Labor force, employment, and unemployment A48 Industrial production—Indexes and gross value A50 Housing and construction A51 Consumer and producer prices A52 Gross national product and income A53 Personal income and saving A54 A55 A55 A55 U.S. international transactions—Summary U.S. foreign trade U.S. reserve assets Foreign official assets held at Federal Reserve Banks A56 Foreign branches of U.S. banks—Balance sheet data A58 Selected U.S. liabilities to foreign official institutions REPORTED BY BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES A58 A59 A61 A62 Liabilities to and claims on foreigners Liabilities to foreigners Banks' own claims on foreigners Banks' own and domestic customers' claims on foreigners A62 Banks' own claims on unaffiliated foreigners A63 Claims on foreign countries—Combined domestic offices and foreign branches REPORTED BY NONBANKING ENTERPRISES IN THE UNITED BUSINESS STATES A64 Liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners A65 Claims on unaffiliated foreigners FUNDS Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics SECURITIES HOLDINGS AND TRANSACTIONS A66 Foreign transactions in securities A67 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes— Foreign holdings and transactions INTEREST AND EXCHANGE RATES A67 Discount rates of foreign central banks A68 Foreign short-term interest rates A68 Foreign exchange rates A69 Guide to Tabular Presentation, Statistical Releases, and Special Tables Domestic Financial Statistics 1.10 A3 MONETARY A G G R E G A T E S A N D INTEREST RATES 1981 1981 1982 Item Q1 02 Q3 Q4 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Monetary and credit aggregates (annual rates of change, seasonally adjusted in percent) 1 1 2 3 4 Reserves of depository institutions Total Required Nonborrowed Monetary base2 5.5 6.4 10.7 5.2 4.2 5.0 -2.4 5.8 4.0 3.1 7.9 4.3 3.2 3.5 10.5 3.9 5 6 7 8 Concepts of money and liquid assets3 Ml M2 M3 L 4.6' 7.5 11.2 11.6 9.2 12.0 12.2 10.6 .3 8.3 11.2 11.9 5.7 8.8 9.2 n.a. 16.0 -28.3 28.5 34.3 4.0 11.9 -8.9 16.2 19.9 3.2 18.4 -22.7 24.3 36.0 2.6 11.3 8.4 8.7 Time and savings deposits Commercial banks 9 Total 10 Savings4 11 Small-denomination time 5 12 Large-denomination time 6 13 Thrift institutions 7 14 Total loans and securities at commercial banks 8 8.3 -11.9 20.8' 5.4 r 2.7 3.7 15.1 18.6 14.5 6.0 .3 4.0 6.9 8.2 r Q1 Q2 4.7 7.6 7.3 10.3 r 9.8 -22.4 23.7 11.2 -2.5 6.2 -16.8 22.2 .4 5.1 5.2 5.6 1981 1.0 -1.1 17.0 3.3 -5.8 -1.7 2.5 0.7 11.3' 12.1 12.3 11.3 22.2 19.4 -4.0 11.6 9.7 13.7' 13.1 12.0 12.4' 8.4 7.3' n.a. 21.0 11.7 8.8 n.a. 6.9' 8.5 17.4' -5.2 4.2 1.6 r 4.6 -.3 2.2' 1.3 4.2 14.5 2.0 1.1 1.1 3.3 -8.8 1981 Q3 Q4 Oct. Nov. 4.2 1982 Dec. Jan. Feb. Interest rates (levels, percent per annum) 15 16 17 18 Short-term rates Federal funds 9 Discount window borrowing 10 Treasury bills (3-month market yield) 11 Commercial paper (3-month) 11,14 Long-term rates Bonds 19 U.S. government 13 20 State and local government 14 21 Aaa utility (new issue)15 22 Conventional mortgages' 6 16.57 13.00 14.39 15.34 17.78 13.62 14.91 16.15 17.58 14.00 15.05 16.78 13.59 13.04 11.75 13.04 15.08 14.00 13.54 14.85 13.31 13.03 10.86 12.16 12.37 12.10 10.85 12.12 13.22 12.00 12.28 13.09 14.78 12.00 13.48 14.53 12.74 9.97 14.45 15.10 13.49 10.69 15.41 16.15 14.51 12.11 16.82 17.50 14.14 12.54 15.67 17.33 15.13 12.83 16.94 18.05 13.56 11.89 15.56 16.95 13.73 12.91 15.20 17.00 14.57 13.28 15.68 17.30 14.48 12.97 15.93 17.20 1. Unless otherwise noted, rates of change are calculated from average amounts outstanding in preceding month or quarter. 2. Includes reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks in the current week plus vault cash held two weeks earlier used to satisfy reserve requirements at all depository institutions plus currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, the vaults of depository institutions, and surplus vault cash at depository institutions. 3. Ml: Averages of daily figures for (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of commercial banks; (2) traveler's checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to domestic banks, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at banks and thrift institutions, credit union share draft (CUSD) accounts, and demand deposits at mutual savings banks. M2: Ml plus savings and small-denomination time deposits at all depository institutions, overnight repurchase agreements at commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars held by U.S. residents other than banks at Caribbean branches of member banks, and balances of money market mutual funds (general purpose and broker/ dealer). M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits at all depository institutions and term RPs at commercial banks and savings and loan associations and balances of institution-only money market mutual funds. L: M3 plus other liquid assets such as term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents other than banks, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, Treasury bills and other liquid Treasury securities, and U.S. savings bonds. 4. Savings deposits exclude NOW and ATS accounts at commercial banks and thrifts and CUSD accounts at credit unions. 5. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. 6. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more. 7. Savings and loan associations, mutual savings banks, and credit 8. Changes calculated from figures shown in table 1.23. December 1981 and 1981 Q4 rates reflect shifts of foreign loans and securities from U.S. banking offices to international banking facilities. 9. Averages of daily effective rates (average of the rates on a given date weighted by the volume of transactions at those rates). 10. Rate for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. 11. Quoted on a bank-discount basis. 12. Unweighted average of offering rates quoted by at least five dealers. 13. Market yields adjusted to a 20-year maturity by the U.S. Treasury. 14. Bond Buyer series for 20 issues of mixed quality. 15. Weighted averages of new publicly offered bonds rated Aaa, Aa, and A by Moody's Investors Service and adjusted to an Aaa basis. Federal Reserve compilations. 16. Average rates on new commitments for conventional first mortgages on new homes in primary markets, unweighted and rounded to nearest 5 basis points, from Dept. of Housing and Urban Development. A4 1.11 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 R E S E R V E S OF D E P O S I T O R Y INSTITUTIONS, R E S E R V E B A N K C R E D I T Millions of dollars Monthly averages of daily figures Weekly averages of daily figures for week ending Factors 1981 Dec. 1982 1982 Jan. Feb.? Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Feb. 3 Jan. 27 Feb. 10 Feb. 17 P Feb. 2 4 P SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 1 Reserve Bank credit outstanding 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 U.S. government securities' Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements Federal agency securities Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements Acceptances Loans Float Other Federal Reserve assets 12 Gold stock 13 Special drawing rights certificate a c c o u n t . . . 14 Treasury currency outstanding 151,920 152,297 150,554 150,931 152,276 151,086 152,857 148,574 151,072 151,391 128.505 127,483 1,022 9,291 9,126 165 315 642 3,456 9,711 127,473 126,112 1,361 9,184 9,084 100 156 1,526 4,485 9,473 126,948 125,599 1,349 9,102 9,044 58 165 1,713 3,292 9,334 127,323 127,323 0 9,100 9,100 0 0 998 4,159 9,351 125,853 125,437 416 9,105 9,082 23 60 951 6,798 9,508 126,143 124,791 1,352 9,103 9,058 45 186 2,469 3,569 9,615 129,016 125,340 3,676 9,206 9,056 150 466 1,851 2,721 9,597 125,075 125,075 0 9,053 9,053 0 0 1,662 3,116 9,668 127,542 125,197 2,345 9,141 9,046 95 396 1,908 2,465 9,622 127,471 126,697 774 9,083 9,040 43 55 1,900 4,060 8,822 11,152 3,318 13,707 11,151 3,318 13,777 11,151 3,559 13,708 11,151 3,318 13,693 11,151 3,318 13,700 11,151 3,318 13,705 11,151 3,389 14,056 11,151 3,568 13,705 11,151 3,568 13,710 11,150 3,568 13,710 143,700 443 142,207 448 140,529 466 143,263 447 141,878 448 140,446 449 140,293 457 140,520 462 141,189 465 140,464 470 2,965 343 605 4,713 389 538 5,506 304 472 3,069 530 480 3,712 334 470 6,147 292 448 7,863 314 475 5,319 279 490 4,568 321 489 6,693 276 431 NO 127 139 125 128 131 135 137 139 141 5,768 26,163 5,401 26,721 5,396 26,161 5,379 25,799 5,391 28,085 5,269 26,078 5,474 26,443 5,097 24,694 5,467 26,863 5,206 26,137 ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 15 Currency in circulation 16 Treasury cash holdings Deposits, other than reserves, with Federal Reserve Banks 17 Treasury 18 Foreign 19 Other 20 Required clearing balances 21 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 22 Reserve accounts 2 Wednesday figures End-of-month figures 1982 1981 Dec. Jan. 1982 Feb. Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Jan. 27 Feb. 3 Feb. 10 Feb.17 Feb. 2 4 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 153,136 151,560 147,618 152,714 157,766 155,060 158,376 150,288 155,143 148,050 U.S. government securities 1 Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements . . . . Federal agency securities Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements . . . Acceptances Loans Float Other Federal Reserve assets 130,954 127,738 3,216 9,394 9,125 269 195 1,601 1,762 9,230 128,230 124,967 3,263 9,192 9,058 134 597 2,217 1,635 9,689 125,410 125,410 0 9,026 9,026 0 0 1,180 2,959 9,043 125,446 125,446 0 9,089 9,089 0 0 2,906 5,346 9,927 127,787 124,872 2,915 9,217 9,057 160 417 3,682 6,579 10,084 129,047 126,541 2,506 9,159 9,057 102 368 5,109 1,732 9,645 132,942 125,588 7,354 9,460 9,054 406 596 1,800 3,869 9,709 125,183 125,183 0 9,046 9,046 0 0 2,283 3,952 9,824 130,353 126,025 4,328 9,218 9,046 172 453 1,505 4,789 8,825 126,250 126,250 0 9,031 9,031 0 0 1,414 2,400 8,955 34 Gold stock 35 Special drawing rights certificate account 36 Treasury currency outstanding 11,151 3,318 14,480 11,151 3,318 14,523 11,150 3,568 13,713 11,151 3,318 13,698 11,151 3,318 13,705 11,151 3,318 13,705 11,151 3,568 13,705 11,151 3,568 13,705 11,151 3,568 13,710 11,150 3,568 13,710 145,566 444 140,475 462 139,655 475 142,921 449 141,450 446 140,356 448 140,359 457 141,231 464 141,492 464 140,407 471 4,301 505 781 117 8,285 333 393 135 3,835 416 414 139 3,235 275 448 125 3,661 264 543 128 7,169 346 437 131 5,576 274 516 135 4,417 340 529 137 5,541 271 509 139 5,143 264 350 141 5,261 25,111 5,539 24,931 6,291 24,825 5,306 28,122 5,272 34,176 5,044 29,303 5,440 34,043 4,967 26,627 5,488 29,668 4,938 24,764 23 Reserve Bank credit outstanding 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 37 Currency in circulation 38 Treasury cash holdings Deposits, other than reserves, with Federal Reserve Banks 39 Treasury 40 Foreign 41 Other 42 Required clearing balances 43 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 44 Reserve accounts 2 . 1. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes (if any) securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2. Excludes required clearing balances, NOTE. For amounts of currency and coin held as reserves, see table 1.12. Depository Institutions 1.12 RESERVES A N D BORROWINGS A5 Depository Institutions Millions of dollars Monthly averages of daily figures Reserve classification 1980 Dec. 1 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks' 2 Total vault cash (estimated) 3 Vault cash at institutions with required reserve balances 2 4 Vault cash equal to required reserves at other institutions 5 Surplus vault cash at other institutions3 .. 6 Reserve balances + total vault cash4 7 Reserve balances + total vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements 4 - 5 8 Required reserves (estimated) 9 Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks4 6 . 10 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks 11 Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks 12 Extended credit at Reserve Banks 1982 1981 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb.P 26,664 18,149 26,623 18,187 27,111 18,273 27,000 18,435 25,499 18,925 25,690 18,810 25,892 18,844 26,163 19,538 26,721 20,284 26,161 19,254 12,602 12,358 12,443 12,549 13,041 12,924 12,986 13,577 14,199 13,117 704 4,843 44,940 1,462 4,367 44,810 1,457 4,373 45,384 1,477 4,409 45,435 2,053 3,831 44,424 2,097 3,789 44,500 2,073 3,785 44,736 2,178 3,783 45,701 2,290 3,795 47,005 2,187 3,950 45,425 40,097 40,067 30 1,617 116 n.a. 40,443 40,104 339 2,039 291 n.a. 41,011 40,667 344 1,751 248 n.a. 41,026 40,731 295 1,408 220 79 40,593 40,177 416 1,473 222 301 40,711 40,433 278 1,149 152 442 40,951 40,604 347 695 79 178 41,918 41,606 312 642 53 149 43,210 42,785 425 1,526 75 197 41,475 40,992 483 1,713 132 232 Feb. IIP Feb. 24p Weekly averages of daily figures for week ending: 1981 Dec. 23 13 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks 1 14 Total vault cash (estimated) 15 Vault cash at institutions with required reserve balances 2 16 Vault cash equal to required reserves at other institutions 17 Surplus vault cash at other institutions 3 .. 18 Reserve balances + total vault cash4 19 Reserve balances + total vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements 4 - 5 20 Required reserves (estimated) 21 Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks4-6 . 22 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks 23 Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks 24 Extended credit at Reserve Banks 1982 Dec. 30 Jan. 6 Jan. 20 Jan. 27 Feb. 3 Feb. 10 26,940 18,613 26,317 19,749 27,140 19,172 25,799 19,723 28,085 20,980 26,078 21,009 26,443 20,449 24,694 20,062 26,863 19,218 26,137 18,158 13,105 13,891 13,498 14,318 14,459 14,505 14,055 13,609 12,974 12,507 2,076 3,432 45,553 2,152 3,706 46,066 2,137 3,537 46,312 2,399 3,006 45,522 2,288 4,233 49,065 2,318 4,186 47,087 2,286 4,108 46,892 2,346 4,107 44,756 2,215 4,029 46,089 2,062 3,589 44,302 42,121 41,746 375 620 70 161 42,360 42,026 334 882 75 173 42,775 42,148 627 1,452 59 193 42,516 42,173 343 998 53 194 44,832 44,299 533 951 70 195 42,901 42,704 197 2,469 96 199 42,784 42,300 484 1,851 110 212 40,649 40,532 117 1,662 114 225 42,060 41,457 603 1,908 134 227 40,713 40,658 55 1,900 146 222 1. As of Aug. 13, 1981 excludes required clearing balances of all depository institutions. 2. Before Nov. 13, 1980, the figures shown reflect only the vault cash held by member banks. 3. Total vault cash at institutions without required reserve balances less vault cash equal to their required reserves. 4. Adjusted to include waivers of penalties for reserve deficiencies in accordance with Board policy, effective Nov. 19, 1975, of permitting transitional relief on a graduated basis over a 24-month period when a nonmember bank merged into an Jan. 13 existing member bank, or when a nonmember bank joins the Federal Reserve System. For weeks for which figures are preliminary, figures by class of bank do not add to total because adjusted data by class are not available. 5. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks which exclude required clearing balances plus vault cash at institutions with required reserve balances plus vault cash equal to required reserves at other institutions. 6. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks which exclude required clearing balances plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements less required reserves. (This measure of excess reserves is comparable to the old excess reserve concept published historically.) A6 1.13 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 FEDERAL FUNDS A N D REPURCHASE AGREEMENTS Large Member Banks' Averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1981 and 1982, week ending Wednesday By maturity and source Jan. 6r One day and continuing contract 1 Commercial banks in United States 2 Other depository institutions, foreign banks and foreign official institutions, and U.S. government agencies 3 Nonbank securities dealers 4 All other Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Jan. 27 Feb. 3 Feb. 10 Feb. 17 Feb. 24 57,560 58,089 55,172 50,762 53,711 57,156 56,219 52,871 18,375 3,744 20,501 18,181 3,638 21,715 17,889 4,019 21,558 17,452r 4,368' 21,999 r 16,495 4,202 21,766 17,300 4,099 21,135 19,302 4,102 20,338 19,211 4,011 21,992 All other maturities 5 Commercial banks in United States 6 Other depository institutions, foreign banks and foreign official institutions, and U.S. government agencies 7 Nonbank securities dealers 8 All other 3,622 3,388 3.891 3,824 3,744 3,873 4,908 4,063 7,897 3,459 10,834 7,140 3,603 9,778 7,339 3,718 9,310 7,434 4,151 9,173 7,389 4,183 8,982 7,536 4,027 8,817 7,510 4,572 10,575 7,543 3,814 9,278 MEMO: Federal funds and resale agreement loans in maturities of one day or continuing contract 9 Commercial banks in United States 10 Nonbank securities dealers 22,231 4,349 18,534 4,227 18,896 4,177 17,811r 3,462 18,477 3,438 19,070 3,318 19,764 2,959 18,974 3,861 1. Banks with assets of $1 billion or more as of Dec. 31, 1977. Policy Instruments 1.14 A7 F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B A N K INTEREST R A T E S Percent per annum Current and previous levels Extended credit' Short-term adjustment credit and seasonal credit Federal Reserve Bank First 60 days of borrowing Next 90 days of borrowing After 150 days Effective date for current rates Rate on 2/28/82 Effective date Previous rate Rate on 2/28/82 Previous rate Rate on 2/28/82 Previous rate Rate on 2/28/82 Previous rate Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta 12 12 12 12 12 12 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San F r a n c i s c o . . . . 12 12 12 12 12 12 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 12/4/81 Range of rates in recent years 2 Effective date In effect Dec. 31. 1972 1973— Jan. 15 Feb. 26 Mar. 2 Apr. 23 May 4 11 18 June 11 15 July 2 Aug. 14 23 1974— Apr. 25 30 Dec. 9 16 1975— Jan. 6 10 24 Feb. 5 7 Mar. 10 14 May 16 23 Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 4 Vi 5 5-5>/i 5>/i 5'/5-53/4 5 5'/5 51/2 5V5 5% 41/2 53/4 Effective date 1976— Jan. 19. 23. Nov. 22. 26. 7 7 7'/4 71/4 73/4 1. 3. 8-81/5 81/5 81/5-9'/2 91/5 91/2 9V2 1979— July 20. Aug. 17. LO-LO'/I 1978— Jan. 7'/5-8 8 7^/4-8 73A 8 8 71/4-73/4 71/4-73/4 71/4 63/4-71/4 63/4 61/4-63/4 61/4 6-61/4 6 71/2 71/5 73/4 73/4 73/4 71/4 71/4 63/4 63/4 6'/4 6'/4 6 6 9. 20. May 11. 12. July 3. July 10. Aug. 21. Sept. 22. Oct. 16. 20. Nov. 20. 1. Applicable to advances when exceptional circumstances or practices involve only a particular depository institution and to advances when an institution is under sustained liquidity pressures. See section 201.3(b)(2) of Regulation A. 2. Rates for short-term adjustment credit. For description and earlier data see the following publications of the Board of Governors: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941 and 1941-1970; Annual Statistical Digest. 1971-1975, 19721976, 1973-1977. and 1974-1978. 5Vz 51/2 51/4 51/4 6 6'/5 7 7'/I 5Vi 514-5V5 51/4 6-6 Vi 61/5 61/5-7 7 7-71/4 71/4 73/4 6 >/l 1 l-V/2 6 6 5V5-6 F.R. Bank of N.Y. 514-53/4 51/4-53/4 53/4 6 1977— Aug. 30. 31. Sept. 2. Oct. 26. 5-V4-6 6 6-6 Vi 6V5 Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks 10 10 Vi 51/4 53/4 53/4 6Vi 6 Vi 8Vi 8'/i Effective date Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 1979— Sept. 19 21 Oct. 8 10 101/5-11 11 11-12 12 11 11 12 12 1980— Feb. 15 19 May 29 30 June 13 16 July 28 29 Sept. 26 Nov. 17 Dec. 5 8 12-13 13 12-13 12 11-12 11 10-11 10 11 12 12-13 13 13 13 13 12 11 11 10 10 11 12 13 13 1981— May May Nov. Nov Dec. 13-14 14 13-14 13 12 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 5 8 2 6 4 10 10V4 W/2 In effect Feb. 28, 1982 In 1980 and 1981, the Federal Reserve applied a surcharge to short-term adjustment credit borrowings by institutions with deposits of $500 million or more that had borrowed in successive weeks or in more than 4 weeks in a calendar quarter. A 3 percent surcharge was in effect from Mar. 17, 1980, through May 7, 1980. There was no surcharge until Nov. 17, 1980, when a 2 percent surcharge was adopted; the surcharge was subsequently raised to 3 percent on Dec. 5, 1980 and to 4 percent on May 5, 1981. The surcharge was reduced to 3 percent effective Sept. 22, 1981 and to 2 percent effective Oct. 12. As of Oct. 1, the formula for applying the surcharge was changed from a calendar quarter to a moving 13-week period. The surcharge was eliminated on Nov. 17, 1981. A8 1.15 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS RESERVE REQUIREMENTS1 Percent of deposits Type of deposit, and deposit interval in millions of dollars Net demand2 0-2 2-10 10-100 100-400 Over 400 Time and savings2^ Savings Time 4 0-5, by maturity 30-179 days 180 days to 4 years 4 years or more Over 5, by maturity 30-179 days 180 days to 4 years 4 years or more Member bank requirements before implementation of the Monetary Control Act Percent Effective date 7 9!/i 113/4 12 % 161/4 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 3 3/16/67 3 2Vi 1 3/16/67 1/8/76 10/30/75 6 21/2 1 12/12/74 1/8/76 10/30/75 1. For changes in reserve requirements beginning 1963, see Board's Annual Statistical Digest, 1971-1975 and for prior changes, see Board's Annual Report for 1976, table 13. Under provisions of the Monetary Control Act, depository institutions include commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, agencies and branches of foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations. 2. (a) Requirement schedules are graduated, and each deposit interval applies to that part of the deposits of each bank. Demand deposits subject to reserve requirements were gross demand deposits minus cash items in process of collection and demand balances due from domestic banks. (b) The Federal Reserve Act as amended through 1978 specified different ranges of requirements for reserve city banks and for other banks. Reserve cities were designated under a criterion adopted effective Nov. 9,1972, by which a bank having net demand deposits of more than $400 million was considered to have the character of business of a reserve city bank. The presence of the head office of such a bank constituted designation of that place as a reserve city. Cities in which there were Federal Reserve Banks or branches were also reserve cities. Any banks having net demand deposits of $400 million or less were considered to have the character of business of banks outside of reserve cities and were permitted to maintain reserves at ratios set for banks not in reserve cities. (c) Effective Aug. 24, 1978, the Regulation M reserve requirements on net balances due from domestic banks to their foreign branches and on deposits that foreign branches lend to U.S. residents were reduced to zero from 4 percent and 1 percent respectively. The Regulation D reserve requirement on borrowings from unrelated banks abroad was also reduced to zero from 4 percent. (d) Effective with the reserve computation period beginning Nov. 16. 1978, domestic deposits of Edge corporations were subject to the same reserve requirements as deposits of member banks. 3. (a) Negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts and time deposits such as Christmas and vacation club accounts were subject to the same requirements as savings deposits. (b) The average reserve requirement on savings and other time deposits before implementation of the Monetary Control Act had to be at least 3 percent, the minimum specified by law. 4. (a) Effective Nov. 2, 1978, a supplementary reserve requirement of 2 percent was imposed on large time deposits of $100,000 or more, obligations of affiliates, and ineligible acceptances. This supplementary requirement was eliminated with the maintenance period beginning July 24, 1980. (b) Effective with the reserve maintenance period beginning Oct. 25, 1979, a marginal reserve requirement of 8 percent was added to managed liabilities in excess of a base amount. This marginal requirement was increased to 10 percent beginning Apr. 3, 1980, was decreased to 5 percent beginning June 12, 1980, and NOTE TO TABLE 1.16 NOTE. Before Mar. 31,1980, the maximum rates that could be paid by federally insured commercial banks, mutual savings banks, and savings and loan associations were established by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Board of Directors of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Federal Home Loan Bank Board under the provisions of 12 CFR 217, 329, and 526 respectively. Title II of the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980 (P.L. 96-221) transferred the authority of the agencies to establish maximum rates of interest payable on deposits to the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee. The maximum rates on time deposits in denominations of $100,000 or more with maturities of 30-89 days were suspended in June 1970; such deposits maturing in 90 days or more were suspended in May 1973. For information regarding previous interest rate ceilings on all types of accounts, see earlier issues of the FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board Journal, and the Annual Report of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Type of deposit, and deposit interval Depository institution requirements after implementation of the Monetary Control Act 5 Percent Effective date 3 12 11/13/80 11/13/80 Nonpersonal time deposits8 By original maturity Less than 4 years 4 years or more 3 0 11/13/80 11/13/80 Eurocurrency liabilities All types 3 11/13/80 Net transaction $0-$26 million accounts61 was reduced to zero beginning July 24, 1980. Managed liabilities are defined as large time deposits. Eurodollar borrowings, repurchase agreements against U.S. government and federal agency securities, federal funds borrowings from nonmember institutions, and certain other obligations. In general, the base for the marginal reserve requirement was originally the greater of (a) $100 million or (b) the average amount of the managed liabilities held by a member bank, Edge corporation, or family of U.S. branches and agencies of a foreign bank for the two statement weeks ending Sept. 26,1979. For the computation period beginning Mar. 20,1980, the base was lowered by (a) 7 percent or (b) the decrease in an institution's U.S. office gross loans to foreigners and gross balances due from foreign offices of other institutions between the base period (Sept. 13-26, 1979) and the week ending Mar. 12,1980, whichever was greater. For the computation period beginning May 29,1980, the base was increased by V/i percent above the base used to calculate the marginal reserve in the statement week of May 14-21, 1980. In addition, beginning Mar. 19, 1980, the base was reduced to the extent that foreign loans and balances declined. 5. For existing nonmember banks and thrift institutions at the time of implementation of the Monetary Control Act, the phase-in period ends Sept. 3, 1987. For existing member banks the phase-in period is about three years, depending on whether their new reserve requirements are greater or less than the old requirements. For existing agencies and branches of foreign banks, the phase-in ends Aug. 12, 1982. All new institutions will have a two-year phase-in beginning with the date that they open for business. 6. Transaction accounts include all deposits on which the account holder is permitted to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instruments, payment orders of withdrawal, and telephone and preauthorized transfers (in excess of three per month) for the purpose of making payments to third persons or others. 7. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 requires that the amount of transaction accounts against which the 3 percent reserve requirement will apply be modified annually to 80 percent of the percentage increase in transaction accounts held by all depository institutions on the previous June 30. At the beginning of 1982 the amount was accordingly increased from $25 million to $26 million. 8. In general, nonpersonal time deposits are time deposits, including savings deposits, that are not transaction accounts and in which the beneficial interest is held by a depositor that is not a natural person. Also included are certain transferable time deposits held by natural persons, and certain obligations issued to depository institution offices located outside the United States. For details, see section 204.2 of Regulation D. NOTE. Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with Federal Reserve Banks or vault cash. After implementation of the Monetary Control Act, nonmembers may maintain reserves on a pass-through basis with certain approved institutions. Policy Instruments 1.16 M A X I M U M I N T E R E S T R A T E S P A Y A B L E on Time and Savings Deposits at Federally Insured Institutions Percent per annum Commercial banks Type and maturity of deposit In effect Feb. 28, 1982 Percent 1 Savings 2 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 2 Time accounts 3 Fixed ceiling rates by maturity 4 3 14-89 days ? 4 90 days to 1 year 5 1 to 2 years 7 6 2 to 214 years 7 7 2V5 to 4 years 7 8 4 to 6 years 8 9 6 to 8 years 8 10 8 years or more 8 11 Issued to governmental units (all maturities) 10 12 Individual retirement accounts and Keogh (H.R. 10) plans (3 years or more) 1 0 1 1 13 14 15 16 A9 5LA Effective date 5 !/4 7/1/79 12/31/80 5'/4 53/4 8/1/79 1/1/80 7/1/73 6</2 71/4 m 73/4 7/1/73 11/1/73 12/23/74 6/1/78 6/1/78 6/1/78 Savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks (thrift institutions) Previous maximum Percent Effective date 7/1/73 1/1/74 5 5>/2 5>/5 53/4 53/4 '), . 7</4 7/1/73 7/1/73 1/21/70 1/21/70 1/21/70 Effective date 5' /5 51/4 (6) 6 61/2 63/4 71/5 7/1/79 12/31/80 1/1/80 (') 0) V3/4 '12/23/74' 11/1/73 12/23/74 6/1/78 6/1/78 73/4 7/6/77 6/1/78 11/1/73 Special variable ceiling rates by maturity 6-month money market time deposits 12 12-month all savers certificates 2'/5 years to 4 years Accounts with no ceiling rates Individual retirement accounts and Keogh (H.R. 10) plans (18 months or more) 1. July 1, 1973, for mutual savings banks; July 6, 1973, for savings and loan associations. 2. For authorized states only. Federally insured commercial banks, savings and loan associations, cooperative banks, and mutual savings banks in Massachusetts and New Hampshire were first permitted to offer negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts on Jan. 1, 1974. Authorization to issue N O W accounts was extended to similar institutions throughout New England on Feb. 27, 1976, in New York State on Nov. 10, 1978, and in New Jersey on Dec. 28, 1979. Authorization to issue N O W accounts was extended to similar institutions nationwide effective Dec. 31. 1980. 3. For exceptions with respect to certain foreign time deposits see the BULLETIN for October 1962 (p. 1279), August 1965 (p. 1084). and February 1968 (p. 167). 4. Effective Nov. 10, 1980, the minimum notice period for public unit accounts at savings and loan associations was decreased to 14 days and the minimum maturity period for time deposits at savings and loan associations in excess of $100,000 was decreased to 14 days. Effective Oct. 30, 1980, the minimum maturity or notice period for time deposits was decreased from 30 to 14 days at mutual savings banks. 5. Effective Oct. 30, 1980, the minimum maturity or notice period for time deposits was decreased from 30 to 14 days at commercial banks. 6. No separate account category. 7. No minimum denomination. Until July 1, 1979, a minimum of $1,000 was required for savings and loan associations, except in areas where mutual savings banks permitted lower minimum denominations. This restriction was removed for deposits maturing in less than 1 year, effective Nov. 1, 1973. 8. No minimum denomination. Until July 1, 1979, the minimum denomination was $1,000 except for deposits representing funds contributed to an individual retirement account (IRA) or a Keogh (H.R. 10) plan established pursuant to the Internal Revenue Code. The $1,000 minimum requirement was removed for such accounts in December 1975 and November 1976 respectively. 9. Between July 1, 1973, and Oct. 31, 1973, certificates maturing in 4 years or more with minimum denominations of $1,000 had no ceiling; however, the amount of such certificates that an institution could issue was limited to 5 percent of its total time and savings deposits. Sales in excess of that amount, as well as certificates of less than $1,000, were limited to the 6'/5 percent ceiling on time deposits maturing in 2 y e a r s or more. Effective Nov. 1, 1973, ceilings were reimposed on certificates maturing in 4 years or more with minimum denomination of $1,000. There is no limitation on the amount of these certificates that banks can issue. 10. Accounts subject to fixed-rate ceilings. See footnote 8 for minimum denomination requirements. 11. Effective Jan. 1, 1980, commercial banks are permitted to pay the same rate as thrifts on I R A and Keogh accounts and accounts of governmental units when such deposits are placed in the new 2'/5-year or more variable-ceiling certificates or in 26-week money market certificates regardless of the level of the Treasury bill rate. 12. Must have a maturity of exactly 26 weeks and a minimum denomination of $10,000, and must be nonnegotiable. 13. Commercial banks and thrift institutions were authorized to offer money market time deposits effective June 1, 1978. These deposits have a minimum denomination requirement of $10,000 and a maturity of 26 weeks. The ceiling rate of interest on these deposits is indexed to the discount rate (auction average) on most recently issued 26-week U.S. Treasury bills. Interest on these certificates may not be compounded. Effective for all 6-month money market certificates issued beginning Nov. 1, 1981, depository institutions may pay rates of interest on these deposits indexed to the higher of (1) the rate for 26-week Treasury bills established immediately before the date of deposit (bill rate) or (2) the average of the four rates for 26-week Treasury bills established for the 4 weeks immediately prior to the date of deposit (4-week average bill rate). Rate ceilings are determined as follows: Bill rate or 4-week Commercial bank ceiling average bill rate 7.50 percent or below 7.75 percent X Above 7.50 percent A of 1 percentage point plus the higher of the bill rate or 4-week average bill rate In effect Feb. 28, 1982 7% Previous maximum Percent 51/4 5 (6) 53/4 53/4 6 6 7>/2 V/4 73/4 13' (>7) (17) C7) (17) Bill rate or 4-week average bill rate Thrift ceiling 7.25 percent or below Above 7.25 percent, but below 8.50 percent 8.50 percent or above, but below 8.75 percent 8.75 percent or above 7.75 percent V5 of 1 percentage point plus the higher of the bill rate or 4-week average bill rate 9 percent VA of 1 percentage point plus the higher of the bill rate or 4-week average bill rate The maximum allowable rates in February for commercial banks and thrifts based on the bill rate were as follows: Jan. 26, 13.78; Feb. 2, 14.096; Feb. 9, 14.183; Feb. 17, 14.61; Feb. 23. 12.945. The maximum allowable rates in February for commercial banks and thrifts based on the 4-week average bill rate were as follows: Jan. 26, 13.18; Feb. 2, 13.571; Feb. 9, 13.853; Feb. 17, 14.167; Feb. 23, 13.958. 14. Effective Oct. 1, 1981, depository institutions are authorized to issue all savers certificates (ASCs) with a 1-year maturity and an annual investment yield equal to 70 percent of the average investment yield for 52-week U.S. Treasury bills as determined by the auction of 52-week Treasury bills held immediately before the calendar week in which the certificate is issued. A maximum lifetime exclusion of $1,000 ($2,000 on a joint return) from gross income is generally authorized for interest income from ASCs. The annual investment yields for ASCs issued in February (in percent) were as follows: Feb. 21, 10.79. 15. Effective Aug. 1, 1981, commercial banks may pay interest on any variable ceiling nonnegotiable time deposit with an original maturity of 2V5 years to less than 4 years at a rate not to exceed LA of 1 percent below the average 2'/i-year yield for U.S. Treasury securities as determined and announced by the Treasury Department immediately before the date of deposit. Thrift institutions may pay interest on these certificates at a rate not to exceed the average 2 V2 -year yield for Treasury securities as determined and announced by the Treasury Department immediately before the date of deposit. If the announced average 2'/5-year yield for Treasury securities is less than 9.50 percent, commercial banks may pay 9.25 percent and thrift institutions 9.50 percent for these deposits. These deposits have no required minimum denomination, and interest may be compounded on them. The ceiling rates of interest at which they may be offered vary biweekly. The maximum allowable rates in February (in percent) for commercial banks were as follows: Feb. 2, 14.3; Feb. 17, 14.80; and for thrift institutions: Feb. 2, 14.55; Feb. 17, 15.05. 16. Between Jan. 1, 1980, and Aug. 1, 1981, commercial banks, and thrift institutions were authorized to offer variable ceiling nonnegotiable time deposits with no required minimum denomination and with maturities of 2V5 years or more. Effective Jan. 1, 1980, the maximum rate for commercial banks was 3/4 percentage point below the average yield on 215-year U.S. Treasury securities; the ceiling rate for thrift institutions was V4 percentage point higher than that for commercial banks. Effective Mar. 1, 1980, a temporary ceiling of 11% percent was placed on these accounts at commercial banks and 12 percent on these accounts at savings and loan associations. Effective June 2, 1980, the ceiling rates for these deposits at commercial banks and savings and loans was increased V5 percentage point. The temporary ceiling was retained, and a minimum ceiling of 9.25 percent for commercial banks and 9.50 percent for thrift institutions was established. 17. Effective Dec. 1, 1981, depository institutions were authorized to offer time deposits not subject to interest rate ceilings when the funds are deposited to the credit of, or in which the entire beneficial interest is held by, an individual pursuant to an I R A agreement or Keogh (H.R. 10) plan. Such time deposits must have a minimum maturity of 18 months, and additions may be made to the time deposit at any time before its maturity without extending the maturity of all or a portion of the balance of the account. For NOTE see opposite page. A10 1.17 Domestic Financial Statistics • March 1982 FEDERAL RESERVE OPEN MARKET TRANSACTIONS Millions of dollars 1981 Type of transaction 1979 1980 1982 1981 July Aug. Sept. Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan. U . S . GOVERNMENT SECURITIES Outright transactions (excluding matched transactions) 1 2 3 4 Treasury bills Gross purchases Gross sales Exchange Redemptions 5 6 / 8 9 15,998 6,855 0 2,900 7,668 7,331 0 3,389 13,899 6,746 0 1,816 1,325 0 0 100 1,713 333 0 0 1,753 945 0 500 241 1,157 0 200 1,765 0 0 16 2,170 0 0 0 0 2,756 0 600 Others within 1 year1 Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange Redemptions 3,203 0 17,339 -11,308 2,600 912 0 12,427 -18,251 0 317 23 13,794 -12,869 0 122 0 1,073 -351 0 0 0 2,807 -2,430 0 0 0 628 -599 0 0 0 425 0 0 0 0 1,389 -3,047 0 80 0 887 -754 0 0 0 542 0 0 10 11 12 13 1 to 5 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 2,148 0 -12,693 7,508 2,138 0 -8,909 13,412 1,702 0 -10,299 10,117 607 0 -1,073 351 0 0 -820 1,724 0 0 -628 599 0 0 -425 0 100 0 -1,057 2,325 526 0 -887 754 0 0 -542 0 14 15 16 1/ 5 to 10 wars Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 523 0 -4,646 2,181 703 0 -3,092 2,970 393 0 -3,495 1,500 64 0 0 0 0 0 -1,987 400 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -332 400 165 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 19 20 21 Over 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 454 0 0 1,619 811 0 -426 1,869 379 0 0 1,253 182 0 0 0 0 0 0 305 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 322 108 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 23 24 All maturities1 Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions 22,325 6,855 5,500 12,232 7,331 3,389 16,690 6,769 1.816 2,301 0 100 1,713 333 0 1,753 945 500 241 1,157 200 1,865 0 16 3,049 0 0 0 2,756 600 25 2b Matched transactions Gross sales Gross purchases 627,350 624,192 674,000 675,496 589,312 589,647 69,972 69,309 54,329 55,917 52,055 51,555 58,581 58,372 42,012 41,900 54,098 54,044 51,132 51,717 27 28 Repurchase agreements Gross purchases Gross sales 107,051 106.968 113,902 113,040 79,920 78,733 23,217 21,599 7,199 8,817 0 0 3,902 3,902 9.505 7,709 14,180 12,760 12,962 12,914 6,896 3,869 9,626 3,155 1,350 -192 -1,325 3,534 4,415 -2,724 853 399 134 668 0 145 494 0 108 0 0 0 0 * * 0 0 33 0 0 15 494 0 10 0 0 4 0 0 68 37,321 36,960 28,895 28,863 13,320 13.576 5,182 4,822 864 1,225 0 0 787 787 1,607 1,288 1,647 1,697 800 935 681 555 130 360 -360 -33 -15 802 -54 -203 36 Outright transactions, net SI Repurchase agreements, net 0 116 0 73 0 -582 0 453 0 -453 0 0 0 0 0 744 0 -549 0 402 38 Net change in bankers acceptances 116 73 -582 453 -453 0 0 744 -549 402 7,693 4,497 9,175 3,968 536 -225 -1,340 5,080 3,812 -2,524 29 Net change in U.S. government securities FEDERAL AGENCY OBLIGATIONS 30 31 32 Outright transactions Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions 33 34 Repurchase agreements Gross purchases Gross sales 35 Net change in federal agency obligations BANKERS ACCEPTANCES 39 Total net change in System Open Market Account 1. Both gross purchases and redemptions include special certificates created when the Treasury borrows directly from the Federal Reserve, as follows (millions of dollars): March 1979, 2,600. NOTE.Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures increase such holdings. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Reserve Banks 1.18 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS All Condition and Federal Reserve Note Statements Millions of dollars Wednesday Account End of month 1982 Jan. 27 Feb. 3 1982 1981 Feb. 10 Feb. 17 Feb. 24 Dec. Feb. Jan. Consolidated condition statement ASSETS 11,151 3,318 410 11,151 3,568 416 11,151 3,568 428 11,151 3,568 431 11,150 3,568 439 11,151 3,318 377 11,151 3,318 422 11,150 3,568 453 5,109 0 1,800 0 2,283 0 1,505 0 1,414 0 1,601 2,217 0 1,180 0 1 Gold certificate account 2 Special drawing rights certificate account 3 Coin Loans 4 To depository institutions 5 Other Acceptances Held under repurchase agreements 6 Federal agency obligations 7 Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements 8 U.S. government securities Bought outright 9 Bills 10 Notes 11 Bonds 12 Total 1 13 Held under repurchase agreements 14 Total U.S. government securities 368 596 0 453 0 195 597 0 9,057 102 9,054 406 9,046 0 9,046 172 9,031 0 9,125 269 9,058 134 9,026 0 48,162 59,978 18,401 126,541 2,506 129,047 47,209 59,978 18,401 125,588 7,354 132,942 46,804 59,978 18,401 125,183 0 125,183 47,646 60,289 18,090 126,025 4,328 130,353 47,801 60,359 18,090 126,250 0 126,250 49,359 59,978 18,401 127,738 3,216 130,954 46,588 59,978 18,401 124,967 3,263 128,230 46,961 60,359 18,090 125,410 0 125,410 15 Total loans and securities 143,683 144,798 136,512 141,529 136,695 142,144 140,236 135,616 6,983 502 10,233 502 9,392 503 13,669 505 8,047 505 8,557 503 8,119 502 8,672 505 5,200 3,943 5,112 4,095 5,132 4,189 5,131 3,189 5,137 3,313 5,129 3,598 5,112 4,075 5,137 3,401 175,190 179,875 170,875 179,173 168,854 174,777 172,935 168,502 127,509 127,527 128,418 128,677 127,607 131,906 126,835 126,869 29,434 7,169 346 437 34,178 5,576 274 516 26,764 4,417 340 529 29,807 5,541 271 509 24,905 5,143 264 350 25,228 4,301 505 781 25,066 8,285 333 393 24,964 3,835 416 414 37,386 40,544 32,050 36,128 30,662 30,815 34,077 29,629 5,251 2,196 6,364 2,627 5,440 2,096 8,880 2,610 5,647 2,061 6,795 2,705 6,484 2,611 5,713 3,341 172,342 177,062 168,004 176,295 165,977 172,221 170,007 165,552 1,286 1,278 284 1,287 1,278 248 1,289 1,278 304 1,291 1,278 309 1,290 1,278 309 1,278 1,278 0 1,287 1,278 363 1,291 1,278 381 175,190 179,875 170,875 179,173 168,854 174,777 172,935 168,502 95,533 92,265 96,024 93,641 94,410 95,220 94,794 94,816 16 Cash items in process of collection 17 Bank premises Other assets 18 Denominated in foreign currencies 2 19 All other 3 20 Total assets 0 LIABILITIES 21 Federal Reserve notes Deposits 22 Depository institutions 23 U.S. Treasury—General account 24 Foreign—Official accounts 25 Other 26 Total deposits 27 Deferred availability cash items 28 Other liabilities and accrued dividends 4 29 Total liabilities CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 30 Capital paid in 31 Surplus 32 Other capital accounts 33 Total liabilities and capital accounts 34 MEMO: Marketable U.S. government securities held in custody for foreign and international account Federal Reserve note statement 35 Federal Reserve notes outstanding (issued to bank) . . . . 36 LESS: Held by bank 5 37 Federal Reserve notes, net Collateral for Federal Reserve notes 38 Gold certificate account Special drawing rights certificate account 39 40 Other eligible assets 41 U.S. government and agency securities 150,632 23,123 127,509 150,650 23,123 127,527 150,557 22,139 128,418 150,655 21,978 128,677 150,682 23,075 127,607 151,033 19,127 131,906 150,605 23,770 126,835 150,636 23,767 126,869 11,151 3,318 0 113,040 11,151 3,568 0 112,808 11,151 3,568 0 113,699 11,151 3,568 0 113,958 11,150 3,568 0 112,889 11,151 3,318 0 117,437 11,151 3,318 0 112,366 11,150 3,568 0 112,151 42 Total collateral 127,509 127,527 128,418 128,677 126,607 131,906 126,835 126,869 1. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes (if any) securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2. Includes U.S. government securities held under repurchase agreement against receipt of foreign currencies and foreign currencies warehoused for the U.S. Treasury. Assets shown in this line are revalued monthly at market exchange rates. 3. Includes special investment account at Chicago of Treasury bills maturing within 90 days. 4. Includes exchange-translation account reflecting the monthly revaluation at market exchange rates of foreign-exchange commitments. 5. Beginning September 1980, Federal Reserve notes held by the Reserve Bank are exempt from the collateral requirement. A12 1.19 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Maturity Distribution of Loan and Security Holdings Millions of dollars Wednesday Type and maturity groupings End of month 1982 Jan. 27 Feb. 3 1981 Feb. 10 Feb. 17 Feb. 24 1982 Dec. 31 Jan. 29 Feb. 26 1 Loans—Total 2 Within 15 days 3 16 days to 90 days 4 91 days to 1 year 5,109 5,079 30 0 1,800 1,728 72 0 2,283 2,207 76 0 1,505 1,479 26 0 1,414 1,319 95 0 1,601 1,576 25 0 2,217 2,180 37 0 1,180 1,069 111 0 5 Acceptances—Total 6 Within 15 days 7 16 days to 90 days 8 91 days to 1 year 368 368 0 0 596 596 0 0 0 0 0 0 453 453 0 0 0 0 0 0 195 195 0 0 597 597 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 U.S. government securities—Total 10 Within 15 days1 11 16 days to 90 days 12 91 days to 1 year 13 Over 1 year to 5 years 14 Over 5 years to 10 years 15 Over 10 years 129,047 7,801 23,428 33,407 36,025 11,752 16,634 132,942 11,031 23.314 34,237 35,974 11,752 16,634 125,183 5,249 21,587 33,987 35,974 11,752 16,634 130,353 10,609 23,596 33,482 35,764 10,193 16,709 126,250 6,419 24,820 32,295 35,814 10,193 16,709 130,954 3,936 25,190 37,417 36,025 11,752 16,634 128,230 4,618 24,980 34,221 36,025 11,752 16,634 125,410 2,617 26,558 33,520 35,814 10,193 16,708 16 Federal agency obligations—Total 17 Within 15 days1 18 16 days to 90 days 19 91 days to 1 year 20 Over 1 year to 5 years Over 5 years to 10 years 21 Over 10 years 22 9,159 243 622 1,357 5,404 960 573 9,460 484 708 1,331 5,404 960 573 9,046 135 572 1,378 5,428 960 573 9,218 367 512 1,378 5,428 960 573 9,031 292 540 1,238 5,428 960 573 9,394 529 631 1,443 5,256 962 573 9,192 276 622 1,357 5,404 960 573 9,026 173 540 1,369 5,396 976 572 1. Holdings under repurchase agreements are classified as maturing within 15 days in accordance with maximum maturity of the agreements. 1.20 B A N K DEBITS A N D DEPOSIT T U R N O V E R Debits are shown in billions of dollars, turnover as ratio of debits to deposit. Monthly data are at annual rates. 1981 Bank group, or type of customer 1979 1978 1980 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1 Debits to demand deposits (seasonally adjusted) 1 All commercial banks 2 Major New York City banks 3 Other banks 40,297.8 15,008.7 25,289.1 49,775.0 18,512.7 31,262.3 63.013.4 25.192.5 37,820.9 89,723.4 41.877.2 47.846.3 87,303.2' 39,209.4' 48,093.8 83,671.3'' 35,109.8' 48,561.5 82,000.3' 34,237.6' 47,762.6 86,430.0' 34,937.3' 51,492.7 753.3 96.3 539.7 1,389.2 903.5 117.9 597.0 1,618.4 292.0' 1,128.3' 190.7 309.2' 1,156.8' 206.6 Debits to savings deposits 2 (not seasonally adjusted) 4 5 6 7 ATS/NOW 3 Business4 Others 5 All accounts 17.1 56.7 359.7 432.9 83.3 77.3 515.2 675.8 158.4 93.4 605.3 857.2 745.0 118.1 595.5 1,458.6 820.2 122.0 577.0 1,519.2 833.4 117.2 581.6 1,532.2 Demand deposit turnover 1 (seasonally adjusted) 8 All commercial banks 9 Major New York City banks 10 Other banks 139.4 541.9 96.8 163.5 646.2 113.3 201.6 813.7 134.3 316.8 1,338.1 189.9 309.5' 1,260.1' 191.6 296.2' 1,109.8' 193.6 Savings deposit turnover 2 (not seasonally adjusted) 11 12 13 14 ATS/NOW 3 Business4 Others 5 All accounts 7.0 5.1 1.7 1.9 1. Represents accounts of individuals, partnerships, and corporations, and of states and political subdivisions. 2. Excludes special club accounts, such as Christmas and vacation clubs. 3. Accounts authorized for negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOW) and accounts authorized for automatic transfer to demand deposits (ATS). ATS data availability starts with December 1978. 4. Represents corporations and other profit-seeking organizations (excluding commercial banks but including savings and loan associations, mutual savings banks, credit unions, the Export-Import Bank, and federally sponsored lending agencies). 5. Savings accounts other than NOW; business; and, from December 1978, ATS. 7.8 7.2 2.7 3.1 9.7 9.3 3.4 4.2 13.5 13.5 3.9 6.7 14.5 14.3 3.9 7.1 14.6 14.1 3.9 7.2 12.8 11.7 3.6 6.4 14.6 13.9 4.0 7.4 NOTE. Historical data for the period 1970 through June 1977 have been estimated; these estimates are based in part on the debits series for 233 SMS As, which were available through June 1977. Back data are available from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Debits and turnover data for savings deposits are not available before July 1977. Monetary Aggregates 1.21 A13 M O N E Y STOCK M E A S U R E S A N D C O M P O N E N T S Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1982 1981 Item 1978 Dec. 1979 Dec. 1980 Dec. 1981 Dec. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 436.4 l,809.7 r 2,174.5 r 2,625.3 440.9 r l,822.4 r 2,187.8 r n.a. 448.6 1,840.2 2,203.9 n.a 121.8 4.3 235.7 74.7 340.9 856.8r 300.6 123.1 4.3 236.4 77.0 343.6r 854.7 r 300.4 123.8 4.3 239.3 81.! 348.9 851.6 303.1 439.7 1,809.3 2,175.4 r 2,624.5 451. V l,829.1 r 2,199.6 r n.a. 453.4 1,848.1 2,216.7 n.a. Seasonally adjusted MEASURES 1 1 2 3 4 Ml M2 M3 L2 363.2 1,403.9 1,629.0 1,938.9 389.0 1,518.9 1,779.3 2,153.9 414.5 1,656.1 1.963.1 2,370.4 440.9 r l,822.4 r 2,187.8 r n.a. 97.4 3.5 253.9 8.4 479.9 533.9 194.6 106.1 3.7 262.2 16.9 421.7 652.6 221.8 116.2 4.2 267.2 26.9 398.9 751.7 257.9 123.1 4.3 236.4 77.0 343.6r 854.7 r 300.4 431.2 1,778.1 2,138.0 2,577.2 r 432.9 1,789.3 2,151.0 2,599.4 r 121.1 4.3 234.7 71.2 343.1 839.7 302.3 121.3 4.3 235.7 71.6 339.6 849.8 302.2 SELECTED COMPONENTS 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Currency Traveler's checks 3 Demand deposits Other checkable deposits 7 Savings deposits 4 Small-denomination time deposits 5 Large-denomination time deposits 6 Not seasonally adjusted MEASURES 1 12 13 14 15 Ml M2 M3 L2 372.5 1,408.5 1,637.5 1,946.6 398.8 1,524.6 1,789.2 2,162.8 424.6 1.662.4 1,973.8 2.380.2 451.2'' 1.829.l r 2.199.6 r n.a. 431.5 1,775.6 2,132.2 2,568.3 r 434.5 1,793.1 2,152.4 2,597.8 r 99.4 3.3 261.5 8.4 24.1 478.0 531.1 108.2 3.5 270.1 17.0 26.3 420.5 649.7 118.3 3.9 275.1 27.2 35.0 398.0 748.9 125.4 4.1 243.3 78.4 38.1 343.0' 851.7r 120.8 4.5 234.6 71.7 39.6 347.9 832.1 121.2 4.3 236.6 72.4 36. V 343.9 847.6 122.9 4.1 237.5 75.2 36.9 342.2 851.9 125.4 4.1 243.3 78.4 38.1 343.0 r 851.7 r 123.2 4.1 243.6 82.5 43.3 346.8 856.8 7.1 3.1 198.6 34.3 9.3 226.0 61.8 13.9 262.3 150.8 33.7 305.5r 130.4 26.6 299.1 137.1 29.4 299.8 144.6 32.0 301.8 150.8 33.7 305.5 r 154.4 32.5 308.1 SELECTED COMPONENTS 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Currency Traveler's checks 3 Demand deposits Other checkable deposits 7 Overnight RPs and Eurodollars 8 Savings deposits 4 Small-denomination time deposits 5 Money Market Mutual Funds 23 General purpose and broker/dealer 24 Institution only 25 Large-denomination time deposits 6 1. Composition of the money stock measures is as follows: Ml: Averages of daily,figures for (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of commercial banks; (2) traveler's checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to domestic banks, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at banks and thrift institutions, credit union share draft (CUSD) accounts, and demand deposits at mutual savings banks. M2: Ml plus savings and small-denomination time deposits at all depository institutions, overnight repurchase agreements at commercial banks, overnight Eurodollars held by U.S. residents other than banks at Caribbean branches of member banks, and balances of money market mutual funds (general purpose and broker/ dealer). M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits at all depository institutions, term RPs at commercial banks and savings and loan associations, and balances of institution-only money market mutual funds. 2. L: M3 plus other liquid assets such as term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents other than banks, bankers acceptances, commercial paper. Treasury bills and other liquid Treasury securities, and U.S. savings bonds. 3. Outstanding amount of U.S. dollar-denominated traveler's checks of nonbank issuers. 4. Savings deposits exclude NOW and ATS accounts at commercial banks and thrift institutions and CUSDs at credit unions. 5. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. 6. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more and are net of the holdings of domestic banks, thrift institutions, the U.S. government, money market mutual funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. 7. Includes ATS and NOW balances at all institutions, credit union share draft balances, and demand deposits at mutual savings banks. 8. Overnight (and continuing contract) RPs are those issued by commercial banks to other than depository institutions and money market mutual funds (general purpose and broker/dealer), and overnight Eurodollars are those issued oy Caribbean branches of member banks to U.S. residents other than depository institutions and money market mutual funds (general purpose and broker/dealer). NOTE. Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board's H.6 (508) release. Back data are available from the Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A14 1.22 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 A G G R E G A T E RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS A N D MONETARY BASE 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1981 Item 1978 Dec. 1979 Dec. 1982 1980 Dec. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Seasonally adjusted ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS 2 1 Total reserves3 35.08 36.37 39.01 39.63 39.62 39.73 39.81 40.31 40.12 40.15 40.53 41.28 2 Nonborrowed reserves 3 Required reserves 4 Monetary base 4 34.22 34.85 134.7 34.90 36.04 145.0 37.32 38.49 158.0 37.40 39.37 161.4 37.58 39.28 161.7 38.05 39.39 162.5 38.39 39.52 162.9 38.86 39.90 163.7 38.94 39.84 163.8 39.49 39.81 164.3 39.89 40.21 165.8 39.76 40.86 167.4 Not seasonally adjusted 5 Total reserves3 35.66 36.97 39.70 39.31 39.05 39.64 39.48 40.09 40.22 40.33 41.26 42.70 6 Nonborrowed reserves 7 Required reserves 8 Monetary base 4 34.80 35.43 137.4 35.50 36.65 147.9 38.01 39.19 161.0 37.08 39.05 160.8 37.02 38.72 161.2 37.96 39.30 163.3 38.06 39.19 163.2 38.63 39.67 163.3 39.04 39.94 163.8 39.67 39.99 165.6 40.63 40.94 168.9 41.18 42.28 168.5 NOT ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS 5 9 Total reserves3 10 Nonborrowed reserves 11 Required reserves 12 Monetary base 4 41.68 43.91 40.66 40.52 40.44 41.01 41.02 40.59 40.71 40.95 41.92 43.20 40.81 41.45 144.6 42.43 43.58 156.2 38.97 40.15 162.4 38.29 40.26 162.6 38.41 40.10 163.3 39.33 40.67 165.4 39.60 40.73 165.4 39.13 40.18 163.9 39.53 40.43 164.3 40.29 40.60 166.3 41.29 41.60 169.7 41.69 42.78 169.1 1. Reserves measures from November 1980 to date reflect a one-time increase— estimated at $550 million to $600 million—in required reserves associated with the reduction of week-end avoidance activities of a few large banks. 2. Reserve aggregates include required reserves of member banks and Edge Act corporations and other depository institutions. Discontinuities associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act, the inclusion of Edge Act corporation reserves, and other changes in Regulation D have been removed. 3. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks (which exclude required clearing balances) plus vault cash at institutions with required reserve balances plus vault cash equal to required reserves at other institutions. 4. Includes reserve balances and required clearing balances at Federal Reserve Banks in the current week plus vault cash held two weeks earlier used to satisfy reserve requirements at all depository institutions plus currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, the vaults of depository institutions, and surplus vault cash at depository institutions. 5. Reserves of depository institutions series reflect actual reserve requirement percentages with no adjustments to eliminate the effect of changes in Regulation D. including changes associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act. Includes required reserves of member banks and Edge Act corporations and, beginning Nov. 13, 1980, other depository institutions. Under the transitional phasein program of the Monetary Control Act of 1980, the net changes in required reserves of depository institutions have been as follows: effective Nov. 13, 1980, a reduction of $2.8 billion; Feb. 12, 1981, an increase of $245 million; Mar. 12, 1981. an increase of $75 million; May 14, 1981, an increase of $245 million; Aug. 13, 1981, an increase of $245 million; Sept. 3, 1981, a reduction of $1.3 billion; and Nov. 19, 1981, an increase of $220 million. NOTE. Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board's H.3(502) statistical release. Back data and estimates of the impact on required reserves and changes in reserve requirements are available from the Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Monetary Aggregates 1.23 A15 L O A N S A N D SECURITIES All Commercial Banks 1 Billions of dollars; averages of Wednesday figures 1981 1982 1980 Dec. n Oct. Nov. Dec. 2 Jan. 2 1981 Oct. Seasonally adjusted 1 Total loans and securities 3 1,239.6 1324.0 1327.5 110.0 214.4 915.1 326.8 262.6 179.6 18.5 29.0 31.5 10.9 56.2 112.5 228.7 982.8 363.7 281.8 183.4 19.6 30.5 32.9 12.5 58.3 110.3 231.2 986.0 363.4 283.1 183.7 21.0 30.4 32.9 12.6 58.9 13 Total loans and securities plus loans sold3-6 . 1,242.3 1326.7 1330.3 14 Total loans plus loans sold3-6 15 Total loans sold to affiliates 6 16 Commercial and industrial loans plus loans sold 6 17 Commercial and industrial loans sold 6 . . . 18 Acceptances held 19 Other commercial and industrial loans .. 20 To U.S. addressees 7 21 To non-U. S. addressees 22 Loans to foreign banks 917.8 2.7 985.5 2.7 988.8 2.7 328.6 1.8 7.8 319.0 297.6 21.4 23.4 365.8 2.0 9.2 354.6 327.8 26.7 23.6 365.5 2.1 8.8 354.5 328.3 26.3 23.4 2 U.S. Treasury securities 3 Other securities 4 Total loans and leases3 5 Commercial and industrial loans 6 Real estate loans 7 Loans to individuals 8 Security loans 9 Loans to nonbank financial institutions .. 10 Agricultural loans 11 Lease financing receivables 12 All other loans 1982 1980 Dec. Nov. Dec. 2 Jan. 2 Not seasonally adjusted 1317.7" 1322.2 1,249.5 1329.9 1333.4 114.3 232.1 975.9 360.9 287.3 185.9 20.6 31.1 33.2 13.0 43.9 110.5 215.7 923.3 328.8 263.3 180.9 19.1 29.9 31.4 10.9 59.0 111.5 229.0 989.4 364.2 283.0 185.0 19.4 30.8 33.4 12.5 61.1 109.5 231.9 992.0 364.8 284.4 184.9 21.3 30.9 33.1 12.6 60.0 1320.5" 1325.1 1,252.2 1332.6 1336.2 1330.3" 1327.6 977.94 2.8 978.8 2.9 926.0 2.7 992.0 2.7 994,7 2.7 985.84 2.8 981.6 2.9 360.84-5 2.2 8.9 349.7 335.0 14.7 19.0 363.2 2.2 8.7 352.2 339.6 12.6 15.4 330.6 1.8 8.5 320.3 297.1 23.2 25.1 366.3 2.0 9.2 355.1 328.4 26.7 24.0 366.9 2.1 9.2 355.6 329.2 26.5 23.2 362.94-5 2.2 9.8 351.0 334.4 16.6 20.0 363.0 2.2 9.1 351.7 338.4 13.3 16.1 110.9 231.7 975.04 358.64'5 285.54 185.2 21.9 30.24 33.0 12.7 47.8 1327.5" 111.4 233.1 983.04 360.84-5 286.34 186.5 22.7 31.24 33.0 12.7 49.9 1324.7 113.8 232.3 978.7 360.7 287.9 186.4 20.8 31.2 32.9 13.0 45.7 MEMO: 1. Includes domestically chartered banks; U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, New York investment companies majority owned by foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations owned by domestically chartered and foreign banks. 2. Beginning December 1981, shifts of foreign loans and securities from U.S. banking offices to international banking facilities reduced the levels of several items as follows: line 1, $23.2 billion; line 4, $22.8 billion; line 21, $10.9 billion; line 22, $5.9 billion; line 12, $11.8 billion; and line 3, $0.5 billion. After December 1981, levels were reduced as follows: line 1, $30.2 billion; line 4, $29.6 billion; line 21, $13.9 billion; line 22, $7.5 billion; line 12, $15.7 billion; and line 3, $0.6 billion. 3. Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. 4. Absorption of a nonbank affiliate by a large commercial bank added the following to February figures: total loans and securities, $1.0 billion; total loans and leases, $1.0 billion; commercial and industrial loans, $.5 billion; real estate loans, $.1 billion; nonbank financial, $.1 billion. 5. An accounting procedure change by one bank reduced commercial and industrial loans by $0.1 billion as of Apr. 1, 1981. 6. Loans sold are those sold outright to a bank's own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank affiliates of the bank, the bank's holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. 7. United States includes the 50 states and the District of Columbia. NOTE. Data are prorated averages of Wednesday estimates for domestically chartered banks, based on weekly reports of a sample of domestically chartered banks and quarterly reports of all domestically chartered banks. For foreign-related institutions, data are averages of month-end estimates based on weekly reports from large agencies and branches and quarterly reports from all agencies, branches, investment companies, and Edge Act corporations engaged in banking. A16 1.24 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 MAJOR NONDEPOSIT FUNDS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 Monthly averages, billions of dollars 1980 1981 1982 Source Dec. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total nondeposit funds Seasonally adjusted 2 Not seasonally adjusted Federal funds, RPs, and other borrowings from nonbanks 3 Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted Net balances due to foreign-related institutions, not seasonally adjusted Loans sold to affiliates, not seasonally adjusted 4 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 121.9 122.5 119.3 120.0 113.2 113.4 120.1 125.7 124.1 126.0 122.7 124.6 123.3 127.4 119.8 125.0 116.3 118.3 116.2 120.8 98.7 99.1 89.6 88.0 111.0 111.6 112.9 113.8 110.6 111.4 108.7 114.2 115.3 117.2 113.8 115.7 110.5 114.6 108.2 113.3 109.1 111.1 110.1 114.7 114.4 114.8 116.3 114.7 8.2 3.5 -.7 8.7 5.9 6.2 10.1 8.9 4.5 3.3 -18.5 -29.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 -14.7 37.5 22.8 -17.0 38.8 21.8 -21.3 43.0 21.7 -13.6 43.4 29.8 -14.6 42.5 27.8 -14.6 45.0 30.4 -10.2 43.7 33.5 -12.3 44.5 32.2 -15.4 45.5 30.1 -15.0 47.9 32.9 -22.4 54.9 32.5 -27.1 57.1 30.0 22.9 32.5 55.4 20.5 31.9 52.4 20.6 34.0 54.6 22.3 35.7 57.9 20.6 36.9 57.4 20.8 37.4 58.2 20.4 38.0 58.4 21.2 40.1 61.3 19.9 38.3 58.2 18.4 39.1 57.4 3.9 48.1 52.0 -2.5 50.0 47.5 64.0 62.3 66.9 65.6 67.0 65.5 64.3 67.6 70.8 70.5 69.2 68.9 65.7 67.6 63.0 65.9 64.9 64.7 65.0 67.3 70.0 68.2 73.0 69.2 9.5 9.0 12.0 10.4 12.1 12.2 12.5 12.5 11.4 12.5 10.9 10.8 8.3 7.5 9.3 10.9 11.1 13.3 12.1 9.7 11.8 11.3 13.5 14.6 267.0 272.4 281.4 285.9 283.0 283.9 294.9 293.9 302.4 298.2 313.1 304.7 321.7 314.8 324.7 320.2 324.8 322.6 323.4 324.6 324.0 330.3 324.3 330.6 MEMO 7 Domestically chartered banks net positions with own foreign branches, not seasonally adjusted 6 8 Gross due from balances 9 Gross due to balances 10 Foreign-related institutions net positions with directly related institutions, not seasonally adjusted 7 11 Gross due from balances 12 Gross due to balances 13 14 15 16 17 18 Security RP borrowings Seasonally adjusted® Not seasonally adjusted U.S. Treasury demand balances 9 Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted Time deposits, $100,000 or more 10 Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted 1. Commercial banks are those in the 50 states and the District of Columbia with national or state charters plus agencies and branches of foreign banks. New York investment companies majority owned by foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations owned by domestically chartered and foreign banks. 2. Includes seasonally adjusted federal funds, RPs, and other borrowings from nonbanks and not seasonally adjusted net Eurodollars and loans to affiliates. Includes averages of Wednesday data for domestically chartered banks and averages of current and previous month-end data for foreign-related institutions. 3. Other borrowings are borrowings on any instrument, such as a promissory note or due bill, given for the purpose of borrowing money for the banking business. This includes borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks and from foreign banks, term federal funds, overdrawn due from bank balances, loan RPs, and participations in pooled loans. Includes averages of daily figures for member banks and averages of current and previous month-end data for foreign-related institutions. 4. Loans initially booked by the bank and later sold to affiliates that are still held by affiliates. Averages of Wednesday data. 5. Averages of daily figures for member and nonmember banks. 6. Averages of daily data. 7. Based on daily average data reported by 122 large banks. 8. Includes U.S. Treasury demand deposits and Treasury tax-and-loan notes at commercial banks. Averages of daily data. 9. Averages of Wednesday figures. NOTE. Beginning December 1981, shifts of foreign assets and liabilities from U.S. banking offices to international banking facilities (IBFs) reduced levels for several items as follows: lines 1 and 2, $22.4 billion; lines 3 and 4, $1.7 billion; line 5, $20.7 billion; line 7, $3.1 billion; and line 10, $17.6 billion. After December 1981, levels were reduced as follows: lines 1 and 2, $29.6 billion; lines 3 and 4, $2.4 billion; line 5, $27.2 billion; line 7. $4.7 billion; and line 10 $22.4 billion. Total nondeposit funds and federal funds, RPs, and other borrowings from nonbanks have been revised because of new seasonal factors and benchmarking to the June and September 1980 call reports. Commercial Banks 1.25 ASSETS A N D LIABILITIES OF C O M M E R C I A L B A N K I N G INSTITUTIONS Billions of dollars except for number of banks A17 Last-Wednesday-of-Month Series 1981 Account July Aug. 218.8 874.2 295.4 578.8 113.4 218.4 1,214.1 881.2 298.3 582.9 113.1 219.8 1,221.3 888.7 301.2 587.5 111.3 221.4 175.9 19.3 25.2 57.7 73.5 165.7 19.0 25.4 56.8 64.5 156.8 19.5 27.0 52.7 57.6 168.4 20.0 25.4 61.4 61.6 Apr. May 1.170.4 842.6 279.8 562.8 110.3 217.5 1.188.7 857.5 287.8 569.7 113.1 1,195.5 864.5 290.3 574.3 112.1 218.1 7 Cash assets, total 8 Currency and coin 9 Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks 10 Balances with depository institutions . 11 Cash items in process of collection . . . 163.9 17.7 31.8 51.3 63.1 178.1 18.7 38.3 53.7 12 Other assets 2 167.2 Dec. 1 Oct. Nov. 1,242.5 906.2 308.5 597.8 109.4 226.9 1,239.9 902.9 308.5 594.3 1,249.4 912.8 312.6 600.2 106.7 229.9 1,268.1 926.6 320.9 605.7 109.6 231.8 1,262.5 920.6 320.9 599.7 111.7 230.2 190.2 19.2 26.8 68.9 75.4 149.8 19.7 25.3 49.3 55.5 162.8 173.1 22.0 155.1 19.8 30.2 50.1 55.0 Sept/ DOMESTICALLY CHARTERED COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 1 Loans and securities, excluding interbank 2 Loans, excluding interbank 3 Commercial and industrial 4 Other 5 U.S. Treasury securities 6 Other securities 13 Total assets/total liabilities and capital... 1.501.5 14 Deposits 15 Demand 16 Savings 17 Time 1,135.7 345.3 220.1 570.3 18 Borrowings 19 Other liabilities 20 Residual (assets less liabilities) 67.4 171.1 1,206.1 110.0 227.1 18.3 26.1 52.0 66.4 28.0 54.5 68.7 163.1 172.2 162.8 168.3 184.5 175.5 194.4 212.5 197.8 1,533.7 1,558.0 1,617.2 1,565.2 1,606.7 1,653.7 1,615.5 1,534.4 1,544.0 1,151.2 356.8 222.4 572.0 1,169.3 360.7 220.4 588.3 1,164.6 350.8 220.0 593.8 1,160.0 1,181.3 342.5 217.2 621.6 1,224.4 378.0 216.7 629.7 1,177.1 324.0 214.0 639.1 1,206.0 333.7 219.2 607.2 339.2 217.9 648.9 1,241.2 364.6 222.4 654.2 1,206.3 322.6 223.0 660.7 164.8 180.4 120.4 124.4 156.8 82.5 125.8 170.3 81.8 127.3 160.4 86.3 127.0 164.4 89.8 122.5 176.9 91.4 124.4 174.5 89.3 124.3 179.3 95.2 126.2 190.1 91.7 130.7 191.7 89.9 127.6 5.5 14,719 17.4 14,719 7.2 14,719 6.4 14,720 15.3 14,720 13.9 14,740 5.6 14,743 13.6 14,744 14,690 1,297.9 960.8 350.3' 610.4 r 115.3 219.3 1,291.2 955.1 345.5 609.8 115.8 220.4 1,306.7 969.8 354.2 r 615.6' 113.5 223.4 1,334.3 993.8 366.3 627.5 111.6 228.9 1,324.7 983.6 361. T 621.9 r 111.9 229.2 1,335.5 994.7 365.5 r 629.2' 108.8 232.0 1.330.6 984.7 361.4 623.4 112.3 233.6 1,322.9 976.3 360.3 616.1 114.6 232.0 193.2 17.7 32.7 77.8 65.1 207.5 19.0 26.5 94.4 67.5 187.8 19.5 28.0 81.4 58.9 205.2 234.5 19.2 28.1 110.7 76.5 165.4' 19.7 26.5 62.5 r 56.6 188.0 22.0 29.3 67.0 69.7 169.8 19.8 31.3 62.5 56.1 80.6 1.537.8 81.8 MEMO: 21 U.S. Treasury note balances included in borrowing 22 Number of banks 10.2 16.8 14,701 14,713 16.6 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS 3 23 Loans and securities, excluding interbank 24 Loans, excluding interbank 25 Commercial and industrial 26 Other 27 U.S. Treasury securities 28 Other securities 29 Cash assets, total 30 Currency and coin 31 Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks 32 Balances with depository institutions . 33 Cash items in process of collection . . . 34 Other assets 2 1,254.6 922.8 331.6 591.3 112.6 221.8 20.1 26.6 95. T 62.9 179.3 18.3 27.5 66.0 67.4 229.0 238.0 228.4 233.7 251.0 244.0 267.0 290.1 275.0 35 Total assets/total liabilities and capital. . . 1,677.0 1,736.9 1,714.1 1,745.6 1,819.8 1,734.0 1,781.7 1.808.7 1,767.8 36 Deposits 37 Demand 38 Savings 39 Time 1,193.3 371.0 220.4 602.0 1,235.5 389.3 220.3 625.9 l,221.5 r 362.4 r 219.5 639.7 1,250.3 378.3 217.5 654.5 1,293.7 412.2 216.9 664.7 1,224.6 337.1 214.3 673.1 1,254.1 352.6 218.1 683.4 1,289.7 378.4 222.7 688.6 1,252.0 335.4 223.2 693.3 224.4 137.1 122.4 231.6 140.6 129.4 218.7 r 145.0' 128.9 223.5 147.4 124.4 242.7 157.0 126.3 236.8 146.4 126.3 246.2 153.3 128.1 250.8 135.6 132.6 253.3 133.0 129.5 7.2 15,188 6.4 15,189 15.3 15,189 13.9 15,209 5.6 15,212 13.6 15,213 16.6 15,185 40 Borrowings 41 Other liabilities 42 Residual (assets less liabilities) MEMO: 43 U.S. Treasury note balances included in borrowing 44 Number of banks 10.2 15,147 1. Domestically chartered commercial banks include all commercial banks in the United States except branches of foreign banks; included are member and nonmember banks, stock savings banks, and nondeposit trust companies. 2. Other assets include loans to U.S. commercial banks. 3. Commercial banking institutions include domestically chartered commercial banks, branches and agencies of foreign banks, Edge Act and Agreement corporations, and New York State foreign investment corporations. 15,1 NOTE. Figures are partly estimated. They include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries. Data for domestically chartered commercial banks are for the last Wednesday of the month. Data for other banking institutions are for the last day of the quarter until June 1981; beginning July 1981, these data are estimates made on the last Wednesday of the month based on a weekly reporting sample of foreign-related institutions and quarterend condition report data. A18 1.26 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 A L L L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T I N G C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S with Domestic Assets of $750 Million or More on December 31, 1977, Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1882 1981 Dec. 30 1 Cash items in process of collection 2 Demand deposits due from banks in the United States 3 All other cash and due from depository institutions .. 4 Total loans and securities 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Securities U.S. Treasury securities Trading account Investment account, by maturity One year or less Over one through five years Over five years Other securities Trading account Investment account U.S. government agencies States and political subdivisions, by maturity One year or less Over one year Other bonds, corporate stocks and securities Loans 19 Federal funds sold 1 20 To commercial banks 21 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities 22 To others 23 Other loans, gross 24 Commercial and industrial 25 Bankers acceptances and commercial paper 26 All other 27 U.S. addressees 28 Non-U.S. addressees 29 Real estate 30 To individuals for personal expenditures To financial institutions 31 Commercial banks in the United States 32 Banks in foreign countries 33 Sales finance, personal finance companies, e t c . . . 34 Other financial institutions 35 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities 36 To others for purchasing and carrying securities 2 ... 37 To finance agricultural production 38 All other 39 LESS: Unearned income 40 Loan loss reserve 41 Otherloans.net 42 Lease financing receivables 43 All other assets 44 Total assets 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 Deposits Demand deposits Mutual savings banks Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions Certified and officers' checks Time and savings deposits Savings Individuals and nonprofit organizations Partnerships and corporations operated for profit Domestic governmental units All other Time Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Commercial banks in the United States Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks Liabilities for borrowed money Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Treasury tax-and-loan notes AH other liabilities for borrowed money 3 Other liabilities and subordinated notes and debentures 70 Total liabilities 71 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities)4 Jan. 6 Jan. 20 Jan. 27p Feb. 3p Feb. 10p Feb. IIP Feb. 24p 54,879 53,600 48,082 49,251 44,111 48,220 43,519 60,614 44,956 118 8,226 36,114 7,230 35,566 6,853 35,090 7,065 40,636 6,773 37,002 6,868 40,816 6,468 34,043 9,121 37,459 6,696 31,168 190 354 608,325 612,198 606,700 604,314 600,360 610,409 603,759 607,023 607,539 1,711 36,819 5.947 30,872 9,861 17,904 3,107 80,086 3,868 76,218 16,300 57,021 8,122 48,899 2,896 37,325 6,604 30,721 9,702 17,991 3,028 81,293 4,677 76,616 16,515 57,194 8,172 49,022 2,907 37,376 6,664 30,712 9,655 18,043 3,014 79,968 3,589 76,378 16,539 56,966 7,891 49,075 2,873 37,577 6,599 30,978 9,970 17,994 3,014 79,267 3,090 76,177 16,383 56,942 7,915 49,027 2,852 37,977 6,854 31,122 10,145 17,958 3,019 79,290 3,088 76,202 16,302 57,081 8,016 49,064 2,818 38,090 7,304 30,785 10,223 17,573 2,989 80,413 4,568 75,845 16,247 56,776 7,853 48,923 2,821 37,606 6,789 30,817 10,304 17,513 3,001 79,328 3,265 76,063 16,287 56,967 7,912 49,055 2,809 38,417 7,606 30,811 10,184 17,709 2,918 79,090 3,101 75,989 16,305 56,882 7,750 49,132 2,801 37,645 6,802 30,844 10,342 17,647 2,855 79,146 3,128 76,018 16,188 57,026 7,860 49,167 2,803 353 35,527 25,740 7,504 2,283 468,270 195,499 4,295 191,205 184,435 6,769 124,444 75,164 38,127 26,958 8,274 2,894 467,900 195,962 3,989 191,973 185,166 6,807 125,644 73,781 37,153 25,740 8,503 2,910 464,724 194,657 4,130 190,528 184,018 6,510 125,744 73,640 36,718 26,247 7,705 2,766 463,231 194,887 3,628 191,259 184,868 6,391 125,920 73,412 32,601 22,285 7,434 2,882 463,040 195,719 3,984 191,735 185,400 6,334 126,041 73,289 37,362 26,818 7,705 2,839 467,180 198,011 3,959 194,052 187,699 6,353 126,157 73,059 34,637 24,357 7,585 2,695 464,869 198,040 3,944 194,096 187,663 6,433 126,278 72,748 33,708 23,975 6,955 2,777 468,494 199,099 4,103 194,996 188,630 6,366 126,502 72,708 35,641 24,508 8,043 3,090 467,813 198,950 4,352 194,599 188,137 6,462 126,703 72,509 7,069 8,257 10,695 16,034 7,946 2,810 5,702 14,648 5,827 6,551 455,893 10,781 108,184 7,420 8,146 10,439 15,938 7,195 2,741 5,728 14,907 5,874 6,574 455,453 10,943 108,521 7,218 7,627 10,206 16,064 6,905 2,700 5,870 14,090 5,904 6,616 452,203 10,993 108,301 7,280 7,511 10,303 15,853 5,655 2,651 5,817 13,942 5,865 6,614 450,752 10,955 104,916 7,124 7,516 10,461 15,511 5,241 2,664 5,716 13,758 5,936 6,611 450,492 11,014 103,712 7,301 7,517 11,158 15,598 6,017 2,658 5,768 13,935 5,899 6,736 454,544 11,022 106,468 6,910 7,200 10,654 15,908 5,462 2,677 5,771 13,220 5,924 6,758 452,187 11,100 108,133 7,011 8,181 10,448 16,255 4,882 2,667 5,763 14,977 5,920 6,766 455,808 11,090 103,549 6,444 8,130 10,218 15,974 6,780 2,682 5,778 13,642 5,933 6,774 455,106 11,067 104,699 6 2 2 4 28 47 49 -10 490 2 342 826,509 828,058 816,019 817,138 802,972 823,804 807,023 828,856 806,124 2,717 187,518 556 140,376 5,235 2,148 21,896 8,206 1,211 7,889 362,502 76,971 73,446 2,977 524 24 285,531 250,511 19,849 239 9,852 188,424 762 142,202 5,120 2,974 21,226 7,676 1,154 7,309 363,114 80,813 77,162 3,041 582 28 282,301 247,821 19,671 235 9,693 173,827 619 134,585 4,924 1,199 18,068 7,255 1,128 6,048 364,230 80,299 76,663 3,000 614 21 283,931 249,319 19,957 246 9,578 171,859 579 129,634 4,523 3,585 18,278 7,701 1,334 6,223 363,890 79,706 76,125 2,939 610 31 284,184 249,676 19,950 266 9,602 162,015 570 123,277 4,740 2,203 17,084 7,232 1,052 5,856 365,612 78,156 74,612 2,923 593 28 287,457 252,442 20,364 281 9,757 170,630 692 127,407 5,270 3,538 19,263 6,731 1,464 6,264 367,193 79,293 75,771 2,893 606 23 287,900 252,226 20,480 290 10,357 159,427 573 120,039 4,535 2,174 17,641 6,602 1,194 6,670 366,814 78,658 75,145 2,887 603 22 288,156 252,093 20,841 299 10,436 181,923 683 133,870 5,631 1,912 24,857 7,338 1,110 6,522 363,746 78,728 75,165 2,858 683 22 285,017 249,149 20,582 295 10,555 161,074 520 121,147 4,590 2,456 17,220 7,297 1,152 6,692 369,200 77,758 74,269 2,854 615 20 291,442 254,161 21,370 310 11,187 1,145 5,079 4,880 4,831 4,690 4,612 4,547 4,486 4,435 4,414 436 10,013 139,215 1,671 3,913 146,354 2,553 7,085 142,208 3,112 10,757 141,836 4,038 11,962 133,101 889 11,955 146,283 1,283 11,957 141,161 518 n.a. n.a. 321 n.a. n.a. 353 110 219 24 688 6 682 237 432 108 324 13 179 179 529 515 4 510 506 4 1,059 -1,175 40 973 60 6 50 10 3 44 1,632 1,137 1,090 35 11 495 259 229 7 -2 -435 73,384 69,798 71,352 71,147 71,403 71,514 71,090 70,476 73,882 58 773,069 773,273 761,254 762,600 748,131 768,466 751,732 773,928 751,252 2,398 53,440 54,784 54,765 54,538 54,841 55,338 55,291 54,928 54,872 320 1. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 2. Other than financial institutions and brokers and dealers. 3. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase; for information on these liabilities at banks with assets of $1 billion or more on Dec. 31, 1977, see table 1.13. 4. Not a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. for FRASER Digitized Jan. 13 Adjustment bank, 1981 NOTE. Beginning in the week ending Dec. 9, 1981, shifts of assets and liabilities to international banking facilities (IBFs) reduced the amounts reported in some items, especially in loans to foreigners and to a lesser extent in time deposits. Based on preliminary reports, the large weekly reporting banks shifted $4.7 billion of assets to their IBFs in the five weeks ending Jan. 13, 1982. Domestic offices net positions with IBFs are now included in net due from or net due to related institutions. More detail will be available later. Weekly Reporting Banks 1.27 A19 L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T I N G C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S with Domestic Assets of $1 Billion or More on December 31, 1977, Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1981 Dec. 30 Jan. 6 Jan. 13 1982 Jan. 20 Jan. 27p Feb. 3P Feb. 10p Feb. 17p Feb. 24p Adjustment bank. 1981 1 Cash items in process of collection 51,553 50,176 45,225 45,972 41,436 45,270 40,953 56,776 42,377 115 2 Demand deposits due from banks in the United States 7,587 33,606 6,551 33,384 6,206 32,583 6,412 37,899 6,150 34,495 6,158 38.144 5,848 31,761 8,195 34,907 6,081 28,611 159 340 567,776 572,294 567,142 565,050 561,695 571,090 564,562 567,982 568,937 3,347 33,535 5,887 27,648 8.816 16,040 2,792 73,650 3,751 69,899 15.092 52,090 7,284 44,806 2,717 33,974 6,522 27,452 8,605 16.137 2,710 74,812 4,562 70,250 15,295 52,230 7,325 44,905 2,724 33,999 6,580 27,419 8.535 16,181 2,703 73,493 3.496 69,997 15,320 51,987 7,040 44,947 2,690 34,165 6,513 27,652 8,813 16,136 2,703 72,825 3,024 69,801 15,164 51,968 7.063 44,904 2,669 34,681 6,796 27,885 9,039 16,145 2,701 72,834 3,005 69,829 15.080 52,114 7,165 44,949 2,634 34,812 7,197 27.615 9,157 15,785 2,674 73,941 4,478 69,463 15,032 51.793 6,992 44.801 2,637 34,391 6,713 27,678 9.231 15,761 2,686 72,824 3,172 69,651 15,051 51,974 7,036 44,938 2,626 35,185 7,462 27,723 9.121 15,998 2,603 72,650 3,037 69,613 15,073 51,922 6,891 45,030 2,618 34,464 6,702 27,762 9,284 15,936 2,542 72,682 3,035 69,647 14,976 52,051 6,993 45,058 2.620 335 31,671 22,403 7.028 2,239 440,274 185,752 4,144 181,608 174,916 6,692 117,629 65,765 33,300 22,806 7,656 2,839 441,664 186,129 3,846 182,282 175,563 6,719 118,670 66,417 32,587 21,876 7,866 2,845 438,589 184,893 3,998 180,895 174.468 6,428 118,736 66,294 32,444 22,717 7,034 2,693 437,106 185,071 3,487 181.584 175,274 6,311 118,893 66,060 28,878 19,196 6,892 2,790 436,855 185,864 3,843 182,020 175,769 6,252 118,999 65,948 33.013 23,332 6,919 2.763 440,970 188,106 3,814 184,292 178.024 6,268 119,121 65,773 30,351 20,831 6.910 2,610 438,684 188,110 3,796 184,314 177,967 6,348 119,240 65,479 29,578 20,570 6,309 2,699 442,260 189,099 3,968 185,131 178,850 6,281 119,467 65,456 31.850 21,444 7.370 3,035 441,652 189,027 4,223 184,804 178,428 6,376 119,657 65,259 6,861 8,178 10.549 15,658 7,886 2,559 5,569 13,867 5,189 6,166 428,920 10,442 104,943 7,227 8,056 10,292 15,518 7,112 2,497 5,591 14,154 5,234 6,221 430,208 10,602 105,431 7,038 7,561 10,060 15,643 6,852 2.453 5,732 13.326 5.266 6,260 427,064 10,657 105,180 7,120 7,442 10,154 15,431 5,606 2,408 5,679 13,242 5,227 6.262 425.617 10,620 101,820 6,967 7,444 10,303 15.115 5,196 2,419 5,572 13.028 5.293 6,260 425,302 10,680 100.591 7,110 7,450 10,996 15.208 5,966 2,418 5,623 13,199 5,266 6,380 429,324 10,689 103,213 6,742 7,130 10,493 15,502 5.412 2,440 5,627 12.509 5.289 6,400 426.996 10,768 104,739 6,844 8,110 10,282 15,866 4,835 2,442 5,619 14,240 5,283 6,408 430,568 10,757 100,120 6,258 8,032 10,067 15,593 6,731 2,464 5,634 12,928 5,293 6,417 429,942 10,733 101,372 6 1 2 4 26 41 46 28 2,238 3 361 775,907 778,440 766,994 767,774 755,047 774,563 758,631 778,738 758,112 4,325 174,411 543 130,196 4,594 1,946 20,308 8,074 1,209 7.541 339,283 71,105 67,844 2,752 484 24 268,178 235,290 18,136 229 9,443 175,009 734 131,871 4,578 2,691 19,494 7.602 1,153 6,886 341,049 74,586 71,197 2,813 548 28 266,463 234.070 18,005 225 9,284 161,431 598 124,741 4.350 978 16,718 7,188 1,126 5,732 342,206 74,126 70,749 2,772 585 21 268,079 235,527 18,288 235 9.198 159.248 560 119,998 3,942 3.008 16,875 7,622 1,331 5,912 341,908 73.578 70,249 2,719 580 31 268,329 235,814 18,310 256 9,261 150,266 555 114,232 4,128 1,891 15,730 7,155 1,034 5,541 343,635 72,168 68,875 2,702 564 28 271,466 238,453 18,697 271 9,433 158,398 666 118,178 4,658 3,199 17,664 6,666 1.437 5,932 345,104 73.212 69,946 2,673 570 23 271.892 238.261 18,774 280 10,030 148,006 554 111,299 3,891 1,846 16,304 6,544 1,188 6,380 344,631 72.628 69,363 2,674 570 22 272,003 238,022 19,089 288 10.116 169,205 657 124,220 4,998 1,691 23,034 7,282 1,092 6,231 341,580 72.674 69,360 2,641 651 22 268,906 235,086 18,854 285 10,246 150.023 500 112.613 4,050 2,231 15,828 7,233 1,145 6,423 346,870 71,785 68,538 2,643 584 20 275,085 239,918 19.585 300 10,868 1,106 5,079 4,880 4,831 4,690 4,612 4.547 4,486 4,435 4,414 436 9,207 131,178 1,584 3,608 137,927 2,520 6,607 133.593 3.061 9.918 133.295 3,853 10,999 125,328 741 10,965 137.863 1.217 10,970 132,827 436 n.a. n.a. 275 n.a. n.a. 18 71,475 67.963 69,413 69,256 69,578 69,600 69.130 68,492 71,850 52 725,990 727,140 715,770 716,686 703,658 722,673 706,780 727,344 706,778 4,001 49,917 51,300 51.224 51.088 51,389 51,890 51.851 51,393 51,334 324 3 All other cash and due from depository institutions .. 4 Total loans and securities Securities 5 U.S. Treasury securities 6 Trading account Investment account, by maturity 7 8 One year or less 9 Over one through five years 10 Over five years 11 Other securities 12 Trading account 13 Investment account 14 U.S. government agencies 15 States and political subdivision, by maturity 16 One year or less 17 Over one year 18 Other bonds, corporate stocks and securities . . . . Loans 19 Federal funds sold1 20 To commercial banks 21 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities 22 To others 23 Other loans, gross 24 Commercial and industrial 25 Bankers acceptances and commercial paper 26 All other 27 U.S. addressees 28 Non-U.S. addressees 29 Real estate 30 To individuals for personal expenditures To financial institutions 31 Commercial banks in the United States 32 Banks in foreign countries 33 Sales finance, personal finance companies, etc . . . 34 Other financial institutions 35 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities 36 To others for purchasing and carrying securities2 .. 37 To finance agricultural production 38 All other 39 LESS: Unearned income 40 Loan loss reserve 41 Other loans, net 42 Lease financing receivables 43 All other assets 44 Total assets 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 Deposits Demand deposits Mutual savings banks Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions Certified and officers' checks Time and savings deposits Savings Individuals and nonprofit organizations Partnerships and corporations operated for profit Domestic governmental units All other Time Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Commercial banks in the United States Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks Liabilities for borrowed money Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Treasury tax-and-Ioan notes All other liabilities for borrowed money 3 Other liabilities and subordinated notes and debentures 70 Total liabilities 71 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities)4 1. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 2. Other than financial institutions and brokers and dealers. 3. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreement to repurchase; for information on these liabilities at banks with assets of $1 billion or more on Dec. 31, 1977, see table 1.13. 335 107 204 24 625 6 619 223 384 100 284 12 148 148 2,312 486 5 480 476 4 929 775 41 950 47 6 50 10 3 40 2,826 1,021 975 35 11 1,805 1,576 222 7 4. Not a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis or for other analvtic uses. A20 1.28 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T I N G C O M M E R C I A L B A N K S IN N E W Y O R K CITY Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1981 1982 Dec. 30 1 Cash items in process of collection 2 Demand deposits due from banks in the United States 3 All other cash and due from depository institutions 4 Total loans and securities1 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Securities U.S. Treasury securities 2 Trading account 2 Investment account, by maturity One year or less Over one through five years Over five years Other securities 2 Trading account 2 Investment account U.S. government agencies States and political subdivision, by maturity . . One year or less Over one year Other bonds, corporate stocks and securities . Loans 19 Federal funds sold 3 20 To commercial banks 21 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities . . . 22 To others 23 Other loans, gross 24 Commercial and industrial 25 Bankers acceptances and commercial paper . . 26 All other 27 U.S. addressees 28 Non-U. S. addressees 29 Real estate 30 T o individuals for personal expenditures To financial institutions 31 Commercial banks in the United States 32 Banks in foreign countries 33 Sales finance, personal finance companies, etc. 34 Other financial institutions 35 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities 36 To others for purchasing and carrying securities 4 37 To finance agricultural production 38 All other 39 LESS: Unearned income 40 Loan loss reserve 41 Other loans, net 42 Lease financing receivables 43 All other a s s e t ? 44 Total assets 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 Deposits Demand deposits Mutual savings banks Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions . . . Certified and officers' checks Time and savings deposits Savings Individuals and nonprofit organizations Partnerships and corporations operated for profit Domestic governmental units All other Time Individuals, partnerships, and corporations . . . States and political subdivisions U.S. government Commercial banks in the United States Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks Liabilities for borrowed money Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Treasury tax-and-loan notes All other liabilities for borrowed money 6 Other liabilities and subordinated notes and debentures 70 Total liabilities 71 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities) 7 1. 2. 3. 4. Jan. 13 17,269 Jan. 20 Jan. 27^ Feb. 3P Feb. 10? Feb. 17^ 13,816 12,932 13,040 13,497 16,298 1,361 9,812 1,237 10,882 977 8,137 1,310 9,008 1,038 7,507 964 11,408 1,034 6,602 11,064 135,997 133,843 133,127 133,572 132,793 136,861 133,774 132,509 6,907 1,213 5,093 601 6,864 1,198 5,055 6,831 1,231 4,997 603 6,815 1,215 4,998 602 6,655 1,238 4,835 582 6,617 1,220 4,816 582 6,797 611 6,850 1,198 5,046 607 14,750 2,353 11,552 1,964 9,589 844 14,752 2,348 11,563 1,998 9,565 841 14,637 2,352 11,445 1,956 9,488 840 14,618 2,303 11,480 1,990 9,490 834 14,710 2,274 11,598 2,130 9,468 14,598 2,281 11,486 2,038 9,448 830 14,620 2,254 11,530 2,059 9,471 836 14,612 2,254 11,530 2,030 9,500 8,215 3,825 3,289 1,101 109,585 56,225 1,265 54,960 53,446 1,514 17,648 11,150 6,887 2.252 3,306 1,330 108,829 55,777 1,194 54,582 53,115 1,467 17,667 7,670 2,777 3,457 1,435 107,474 55,254 1,284 53,969 52,550 1,419 17,620 11,122 9,441 4,845 2,967 106,187 55,468 1,042 54,426 53,024 1,402 17,662 11,084 8,528 4,047 2,844 1,638 106,311 55,358 1,163 54,195 52,773 1,422 17,697 11,030 10,620 6,035 2,899 1,685 108,562 56,348 1,010 55,338 53,925 1,414 17,677 11,071 9,568 5,264 2,936 1,368 106,561 55,913 912 55,001 53.519 1,482 17,680 11,053 6,776 2,862 2,420 1,495 107,917 55,736 874 54,862 53,465 1,396 17,700 11,096 2,001 3,467 4,323 4,595 5,090 724 277 4,087 1,374 2,086 106,126 2,258 2,362 3,845 4.253 4.365 4,271 685 276 4,168 1.366 2,124 105,340 2,302 1,964 3,216 4,349 4,436 3,138 670 459 3,741 1,367 2,137 102,683 2,314 41,073 2,147 3,272 4,509 4,340 3,113 666 401 3,778 1,428 2,143 102,740 2,318 41,070 2,179 3,221 5,154 4,332 3,676 649 414 3,840 1,403 2,171 104,989 2,285 43,014 1,883 2,915 4,648 4,328 3,330 617 429 3,764 1,406 2,187 102,968 2,339 43,348 1,979 3,747 4,536 4,434 2,687 641 439 4,923 1,407 2,186 104,324 2,338 40,705 11,160 1,628 1,611 1,181 5,030 585 43,264 44,179 2,033 3,365 4,249 4,485 4,272 683 464 3,927 1,367 2,137 103,970 2,308 43,052 209,961 206,106 201,980 201,094 197,658 207,573 200,593 204,526 52,326 268 34,733 424 500 5,434 6,387 919 3,661 66,460 9,318 8,966 49,434 368 34,184 610 808 4,122 5,934 823 2,584 65,224 9,707 9,341 45,931 313 32,191 552 365 3,883 5,602 861 2,164 65,927 9,648 9,277 45,491 282 30,306 522 942 3,883 6,046 1,103 2,406 65,693 9,540 9,185 43,191 284 29,724 437 532 3,800 5,412 795 2,207 66,930 9,357 9,005 45,316 302 30,858 654 866 3,945 5,051 1,195 2,443 68,349 9,468 9,111 42,606 276 27,574 486 582 4,633 5,010 970 3,075 67,764 9,411 9,026 48,696 326 32,552 619 367 5,746 5,379 848 2,860 65,976 9,448 9,027 256 94 255 109 237 114 4 56,153 48,458 1,961 54 3,408 237 3 57,573 49,596 2,121 56 3,508 234 120 2 58,881 50,277 2,263 57 3,997 236 145 3 58,353 49,624 2,326 59 4,058 237 180 4 56,527 47,868 2,341 60 3,971 2,286 2,286 2,287 2,967 46,189 875 2,989 41,973 57,142 49,056 2,073 25 3,504 55,517 47,727 1,916 25 3,462 252 116 3 56,279 48,506 1,923 40 3,420 2,484 2,387 2,390 2,272 2,291 2,856 42,003 1,280 954 45,330 2,317 1,832 41,905 600 2,902 42,685 1,512 3,021 39,284 2 2 112 n.a. n.a. 29,678 26,827 26,956 26,648 26,741 27,363 27,076 27,336 193,323 189,049 184,869 184,018 180,680 190,184 183,284 187,216 16,638 17,057 17,111 17,077 16,978 17,389 17,310 17,310 Excludes trading account securities. Not available due to confidentiality. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. Other than financial institutions and brokers and dealers. Jan.6 5. Includes trading account securities. 6. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 7. Not a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. Weekly Reporting Banks 1.29 L A R G E WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS A21 Balance Sheet Memoranda Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1982 1981 Dec. 30 Jan. 6 Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Jan. 27P Feb. 3p Feb. 10p Feb. IIP Feb. 24P Adjustment bank, 1981 BANKS WITH ASSETS OF $ 7 5 0 MILLION OR MORE 1 Total loans (gross) and securities adjusted 1 2 Total loans (gross) adjusted 1 3 Demand deposits adjusted 2 587,893 470,988 108,595 590,267 471,649 110,624 586,262 468,918 106,477 583,266 466,422 100,744 583,499 466,232 98,616 588,926 470,423 99,608 585,174 468,239 96,093 588,723 471,216 94,540 589,292 472,501 96,442 1,529 488 972 4 Time deposits in accounts of $100,000 or more 5 Negotiable CDs 6 Other time deposits 187,938 137,490 50,448 182,990 132,238 50,752 184,113 133,022 51,090 183,947 132,653 51,293 186,944 135,481 51,462 186,812 135,380 51,432 186,452 134,235 52,217 182,731 130,889 51,842 188,502 135,142 53,360 -965 -1,382 417 2,848 2,210 638 2,888 2,245 643 2,906 2,265 641 2,893 2,251 642 2,863 2,246 616 2,838 2,232 607 2,850 2,242 608 2,826 2,215 611 2,799 2,185 614 10 Total loans (gross) and securities adjusted 1 11 Total loans (gross) adjusted 1 12 Demand deposits adjusted 2 549,866 442,681 100,605 553,717 444,931 102,647 549,754 442,262 98,510 546,703 439,714 93,393 547,085 439,570 91,209 552,295 443,542 92,266 548,677 441,462 88,903 552,259 444,424 87,703 552,945 445,799 89,586 3,231 2,271 935 13 Time deposits in accounts of $100,000 or more 14 Negotiable CDs 15 Other time deposits 178,259 130,940 47,319 174,953 127,240 47,713 176,103 128,045 48,059 175,965 127,732 48,232 178,871 130,510 48,361 178,724 130,416 48,308 178,260 129,236 49,024 174,602 125,932 48,670 180,186 130,069 50,117 432 25 407 2,771 2,150 621 2,816 2,189 627 2,834 2,207 627 2,819 2,191 628 2,789 2,185 604 2,766 2,171 595 2,776 2,180 596 2,757 2,160 597 2,718 2,119 599 133,630 111,973 29,122 132,719 111,102 30,841 131,821 110,334 27,307 130,267 108,818 26,849 130,170 108,645 25,928 132,220 110,967 27,464 130,219 108,982 23,894 131,262 109,853 26,285 131,747 110,378 26,792 44,768 34,028 10,740 43,005 32,050 10,955 43,708 32,765 10,943 43,527 32,670 10,857 45,028 34,246 10,782 46,178 35,205 10,974 45,612 34,559 11,052 43,718 32,835 10,883 44,440 33,324 11,116 7 Loans sold outright to affiliates 3 Commercial and industrial 8 9 Other BANKS WITH ASSETS OF $ 1 BILLION OR MORE 16 Loans sold outright to affiliates 3 17 Commercial and industrial 18 Other BANKS IN NEW YORK CITY 19 Total loans (gross) and securities adjusted1-4 20 Total loans (gross) adjusted 1 21 Demand deposits adjusted 2 22 Time deposits in accounts of $100,000 or more 23 Negotiable CDs 24 Other time deposits 1. Exclusive of loans and federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. 2. All demand deposits except U.S. government and domestic banks less cash items in process of collection. 3. Loans sold are those sold outright to a bank's own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank affiliates of the bank, the bank's holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. 4. Excludes trading account securities. A22 1.291 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T I N G B R A N C H E S A N D A G E N C I E S OF F O R E I G N B A N K S Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1981 1982 Account Dec. 30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Jan. 6 Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Jan. 27P Feb. 3P Feb. l C Feb. IIP Feb. 24P Cash and due from depository institutions Total loans and securities U.S. Treasury securities Other securities Federal funds sold1 To commercial banks in U.S Toothers Other loans, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees To financial institutions Commercial banks in U.S Banks in foreign countries Nonbank financial institutions For purchasing and carrying securities .. All other Other assets (claims on nonrelated parties) Net due from related institutions Total assets 6,545 51,178 2,196 801 5,070 4,442 628 43,111 20,463 6,421 50,150 2,209 800 5,282 4,926 355 41,860 20,291 6,591 50,055 2,445 826 4,791 4,554 236 41,993 20,108 6,402 48,682 2,435 811 4,205 4,014 191 41,231 19,488 6,327 49,443 2,387 816 5,044 4,758 286 41,196 19,716 6,042 47,651 2,545 817 3,865 3,664 201 40,424 19,362 5,996 48,509 2,680 826 4,212 4,041 171 40,791 19,607 6,510 48,273 2,613 838 4,816 4,622 194 40,006 19,690 6,033 48,835 2,618 827 4,399 4,232 167 40,990 19,685 3,791 16,672 13,971 2,701 17,504 13,683 3,452 370 687 4,456 3,835 16,456 13,902 2,554 16,740 12,991 3,356 394 456 4,372 3,644 16,464 13,886 2,578 16,949 13,230 3,314 404 492 4,444 3,591 15,898 13,395 2,503 16,939 13,089 3,443 406 371 4,432 3,453 16,263 13,645 2,617 16,832 13,114 3,322 396 332 4,316 3,582 15,780 13,591 2,189 16,499 12,746 3,377 376 438 4,125 3,569 16,038 13,939 2,099 16,625 12,621 3,623 382 449 4,109 3,614 16,076 13,957 2,119 16,027 12,194 3,461 371 366 3,923 3,538 16,147 13,919 2,227 16,686 12,880 3,437 369 571 4,047 12,202 12,639 82,564 11,858 12,903 81,332 12,266 12,660 81,572 12,064 13,183 80,331 12,074 12,917 80,760 11,959 12,768 78,421 11,733 12,946 79,184 11,840 11,837 78,461 12,077 12,322 79,267 23 Deposits or credit balances 2 24 Credit balances 25 Demand deposits 26 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 27 Other 28 Total time and savings 29 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 30 Other 31 Borrowings 3 32 Federal funds purchased 4 33 From commercial banks in U.S 34 From others 35 Other liabilities for borrowed money . . . 36 To commercial banks in U.S 37 Toothers 38 Other liabilities to nonrelated parties 39 Net due to related institutions 40 Total liabilities 25,292 320 2,379 24,061 356 2,459 23,821 317 2,096 23,234 326 1,939 23,135 292 1,972 22,611 268 1,872 22,722 266 1,953 22,664 357 2,139 23,204 314 1,936 895 1,484 22,593 938 1,521 21,246 774 1,322 21,408 767 1,172 20,969 804 1,168 20,871 776 1,096 20,472 766 1,186 20,503 806 1,333 20,167 724 1,212 20,955 18,866 3,727 31,573 5,666 4,568 1,097 25,907 23,242 2,665 12,306 13,393 82,564 17,936 3,310 33,068 8,169 7,410 759 24,899 22,428 2,470 11,921 12,282 81,332 17,926 3,482 32,779 7,659 6,777 882 25,119 22,596 2,524 12,472 12,500 81,572 17,452 3,516 33,041 8,176 7,250 926 24,865 22,395 2,470 12,216 11,840 80,331 17,744 3,127 32,231 7,167 6,265 902 25,064 22,553 2,511 12,237 13,158 80,760 17,425 3,047 32,238 7,351 6,234 1,118 24,886 22,435 2,451 12,069 11,503 78,421 17,335 3,167 33,017 7,979 7,068 911 25,038 22,447 2,590 11,851 11,595 79,184 17,075 3,092 32,326 7,874 6,714 1,160 24,452 21,902 2,550 11,849 11,622 78,461 17,915 3,040 33,824 8,748 7,531 1,217 25,076 22,537 2,539 12,196 10,043 79,267 33,054 30,056 32,233 29,224 32,270 28,999 31,579 28,333 31,570 28,368 31,240 27,879 31,848 28,341 31,457 28,006 31,722 28,277 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 MEMO 41 Total loans (gross) and securities adjusted' 42 Total loans (gross) adjusted 5 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. Balances due to other than directly related institutions. Borrowings from other than directly related institutions. Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. Excludes loans and federal funds transactions with commercial banks in U.S. NOTE. Beginning in the week ending Dec. 9, 1981, shifts of assets and liabilities to international banking facilities (IBFs) reduced the amounts reported in some items, especially in loans to foreigners and to a lesser extent in time deposits. Based on preliminary reports, the large weekly reporting branches and agencies shifted $22.2 billion of assets to their IBFs in the six weeks ending Jan. 13,1982. Domestic offices net positions with IBFs are now included in net due from or net due to related institutions. More detail will be available later. Weekly Reporting Banks 1.30 L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T I N G C O M M E R C I A L BANKS A23 Domestic Classified Commercial and Industrial Loans Millions of dollars Net change during Outstanding Industry classification Oct. 28 Nov. 25 Dec. 30 Jan. 27 Feb. 24p Q3 1982 1981 1981 1982 1981 Q4 Dec. Jan. Adjustment bank 1 Feb.P 1 Durable goods manufacturing.... 25,907 25,568 26,864 27,126 28.281 834 756 1,297 245 1.155 17 2 Nondurable goods manufacturing 3 Food, liquor, and tobacco 22,060 4,310 22,189 4,282 21,753 4,190 21,588 4,148 21.904 4,407 2,782 26 -1,647 -241 -437 -92 -176 -43 316 258 11 2 4,859 3,722 5,056 4,113 4,652 4,769 4,624 3,863 4,166 4,861 4,341 4,195 4,162 4,574 4,483 4,220 4.411 4,133 4,743 4,210 156 543 1,700 356 -910 906 -1,408 6 -485 92 -283 332 -6 -287 140 20 249 -441 260 -10 2 21,728 22,940 24,364 24,552 25.804 3,088 3,082 1,424 187 1,253 1,006 634 285 86 -170 390 128 -688 32 5 286 -259 -344 -495 -82 233 4 5 6 7 Textiles, apparel, and leather.. Petroleum refining Chemicals and rubber Other nondurable goods 8 Mining (including crude petroleum and natural gas) 2 4 9 Trade 10 Commodity dealers 11 Other wholesale 12 Retail 27,481 1,666 12,636 13,180 28,175 1,901 12,791 13,483 28,005 2,292 12,919 12,795 28,103 2,297 13,224 12,581 27,758 1,802 13,142 12,814 892 158 546 188 13 Transportation, communication, and other public utilities 14 Transportation 15 Communication 16 Other public utilities 21,716 8,410 3,573 9,734 22,019 8,281 3,701 10,037 23.184 8,619 3,954 10,611 23,416 8,740 4,027 10,648 23,380 8,891 4,076 10,412 1,035 262 -7 780 1,324 160 419 745 1,165 338 253 574 208 100 72 36 -36 151 49 -236 24 22 17 Construction 18 Services 19 All other 2 7,163 25,424 15,920 7,137 25,591 16,057 7,193 26,482 17,070 7,062 26,648 17,273 7,204 27,112 16,983 262 792 642 -53 1,145 1,251 56 891 1,014 -176 62 -6 142 464 -290 45 104 209 167,400 169,675 174,916 175,769 178,428 10,328 6,864 5,242 376 2,659 476 84,629 83,833 85,086 85,201 87,853 2,733 -1,049 1.254 -54 2,652 169 20 Total domestic loans 21 MEMO: Term loans (original maturity more than 1 year) included in domestic loans 1. Adjustment bank amounts represent accumulated adjustments originally made to offset the cumulative effects of mergers. These adjustment amounts should be added to outstanding data for any date in the year to establish comparability with any date in the subsequent year. Changes shown have been adjusted for these amounts. 2. Includes commercial and industrial loans at a few banks with assets of $1 billion or more that do not classify their loans. 65 20 45 1 NOTE. New series. The 134 large weekly reporting commercial banks with domestic assets of $1 billion or more as of Dec. 31, 1977, are included in this series. The revised series is on a last-Wednesday-of-the-month basis. Partly estimated historical data are available from the Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A24 1.31 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 GROSS D E M A N D DEPOSITS of Individuals, Partnerships, and Corporations1 Billions of dollars, estimated daily-average balances Commercial banks Type of holder 1977 Dec. 1978 Dec. 1980 19792 Dec. June Sept. 1981 Dec. Mar. 3 June 4 Sept. Dec. 1 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 274.4 294.6 302.2 288.6 302.0 315.5 280.8 277.5 288.9 2 3 4 5 6 25.0 142.9 91.0 2.5 12.9 27.8 152.7 97.4 2.7 14.1 27.1 157.7 99.2 3.1 15.1 27.7 145.3 97.9 3.3 14.4 29.6 151.9 101.8 3.2 15.5 29.8 162.3 102.4 3.3 17.2 30.8 144.3 86.7 3.4 15.6 28.2 148.6 82.1 3.1 15.5 28.0 154.8 86.6 2.9 16.7 Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other n.a. Weekly reporting banks 1977 Dec. 1978 Dec. 1980 19795 Dec. June 7 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 8 9 10 11 12 Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other Dec. Mar. 3 June 4 Sept. Dec. 139.1 147.0 139.3 133.9 140.6 147.4 133.2 131.3 137.5 18.5 76.3 34.6 2.4 7.4 19.8 79.0 38.2 2.5 7.5 20.1 74.1 34.3 3.0 7.8 20.2 69.2 33.9 3.1 7.5 21.2 72.4 36.0 3.1 7.9 21.8 78.3 35.6 3.1 8.6 21.9 69.8 30.6 3.2 7.7 20.7 71.2 28.7 2.9 7.9 21.0 75.2 30.4 2.8 8.0 1. Figures include cash items in process of collection. Estimates of gross deposits are based on reports supplied by a sample of commercial banks. Types of depositors in each category are described in the June 1971 BULLETIN, p. 466. 2. Beginning with the March 1979 survey, the demand deposit ownership survey sample was reduced to 232 banks from 349 banks, and the estimation procedure was modified slightly. To aid in comparing estimates based on the old and new reporting sample, the following estimates in billions of dollars for December 1978 have been constructed using the new smaller sample; financial business, 27.0; nonfinancial business, 146.9; consumer, 98.3; foreign, 2.8; and other, 15.1. 3. Demand deposit ownership data for March 1981 are subject to greater than normal errors reflecting unusual reporting difficulties associated with funds shifted to NOW accounts authorized at year-end 1980. For the household category, the $15.7 billion decline in demand deposits at all commercial banks between December 1980 and March 1981 has an estimated standard error of $4.8 billion. Sept. 1981 n.a. 4. Demand deposit ownership survey estimates for June 1981 are not yet available due to unresolved reporting errors. 5. After the end of 1978 the large weekly reporting bank panel was changed to 170 large commercial banks, each of which had total assets in domestic offices exceeding $750 million as of Dec. 31, 1977. See "Announcements," p. 408 in the May 1978 BULLETIN. Beginning in March 1979, demand deposit ownership estimates for these large banks are constructed quarterly on the basis of 97 sample banks and are not comparable with earlier data. The following estimates in billions of dollars for December 1978 have been constructed for the new large-bank panel; financial business, 18.2; nonfinancial business, 67.2; consumer, 32.8; foreign, 2.5; other, 6.8. Deposits and Commercial 1.32 Paper A25 COMMERCIAL PAPER A N D BANKERS DOLLAR ACCEPTANCES OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period Instrument 1977 Dec. 1978 Dec. 1982 1981 19791 Dec. 1980 Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Commercial paper (seasonally adjusted) 1 All issuers 2 3 4 5 6 Financial companies 2 Dealer-placed paper3 Total Bank-related Directly placed paper4 Total Bank-related Nonfinancial companies 5 65,051 83,438 112,087 123,597 151,013 157,121 165,379 164,026 164,349 164,036 165,118 8,796 2,132 12,181 3,521 17,161 2,874 19,236 3.561 26,006 5,267 27,813 6,037 30,213 6.161 28,909 5,626 28,745 5,725 28,613 6,036 29,233 6,495 40,574 7,102 15,681 51,647 12,314 19,610 64.748 17,598 30,178 67.888 22,382 36.473 79,571 26,104 45,436 80,769 25,153 48,539 83,311 26,426 51,855 83,053 25,397 52,064 82.290 26,224 53,314 81,702 26,901 53,721 80,504 28,587 55,381 Bankers dollar acceptances (not seasonally adjusted) 7 Total Holder Accepting banks Own bills Bills bought Federal Reserve Banks Own account Foreign correspondents Others Basis 14 Imports into United States 15 Exports from United States 16 All other 8 9 10 11 12 13 25,450 33,700 45,321 54,744 63,721 64,577 65,048 66,072 68,749 69,226 10,434 8,915 1,519 8,579 7,653 927 9,865 8,327 1,538 10,564 8,963 1,601 10,505 9,437 1,068 9,959 9,214 745 10,022 9,040 982 10,511 9,522 989 11,253 10,268 985 10,857 9,743 1,115 954 362 13,700 1 664 24.456 704 1,382 33,370 776 1,791 41,614 453 1,459 51,303 0 1,451 53,167 0 1,243 53,783 0 1,428 54,133 0 1,408 56,089 0 1,442 56,926 6,378 5,863 13,209 8,574 7,586 17,540 10,270 9,640 25,411 11,776 12.712 30.257 13,059 13,296 37,365 13,313 13,774 37,490 13,992 13,514 37,542 14,699 13,981 37,391 14,851 14,936 38,962 14,765 15,400 39,061 1. A change in reporting instructions results in offsetting shifts in the dealerplaced and directly placed financial company paper in October 1979. 2. Institutions engaged primarily in activities such as, but not limited to. commercial, savings, and mortgage banking; sales, personal, and mortgage financing; factoring, finance leasing, and other business lending; insurance underwriting: and other investment activities. n a. 3. Includes all financial company paper sold by dealers in the open market. 4. As reported by financial companies that place their paper directly with investors. 5. Includes public utilities and firms engaged primarily in such activities as communications, construction, manufacturing, mining, wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and services. A26 1.33 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 PRIME RATE C H A R G E D BY BANKS on Short-Term Business Loans Percent per annum Rate Effective date 20.00 20.50 20.00 20.50 20.00 19.50 19.00 18.00 1981—May 19 22 June 3 July 8 Sept. 15 22 Oct. 5 13 1.34 Rate Effective Date 17 20 24 Dec. 1 17.50 17.00 16.5017.00 16.50 16.00 15.75 1982—Feb. ? Feb. 18 Feb. 23 16.50 17.00 16.50 1981—Nov. 3 9 Average rate Month 1980—Oct Nov Dec 13.79 16.06 20.35 1981—Jan Feb Mar Apr May June 20.16 19.43 18.05 17.15 19.61 20.03 Month 1981—July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1982—Jan Feb TERMS OF LENDING A T COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, November 2-7, 1981 Size of loan (in thousands of dollars) Item All sizes 1,000 25-49 1-24 50-99 100-499 500-999 and over SHORT-TERM COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL LOANS 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Number of loans Weighted-average maturity (months) Weighted-average interest rate (percent per annum) . Interquartile range 1 $25,466,901 161,627 1.6 17.23 16.14-18.06 $853,739 115,558 3.0 19.95 18.25-21.55 $639,132 20,039 2.8 19.19 18.25-20.85 $579,473 8,992 3.9 19.65 18.27-21.15 $2,158,438 12,122 3.4 19.13 18.25-20.22 $814,291 1,275 3.0 18.64 17.50-19.65 $20,421,829 3,641 1.2 16.73 15.99-17.30 35.5 48.1 15.9 27.9 31.3 10.1 48.2 35.9 15.3 56.5 35.8 17.1 57.0 45.9 19.9 72.1 71.9 35.2 31.1 48.8 15.0 $205,534 319 37.1 18.52 17.50-19.75 $1,226,234 391 41.8 17.55 16.72-18.90 Percentage of amount of loans 6 With floating rate 7 Made under commitment 8 With no stated maturity LONG-TERM COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL LOANS 9 10 11 12 13 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Number of loans Weighted-average maturity (months) Weighted-average interest rate (percent per annum) . Interquartile range 1 $2,438,209 27,160 37.6 18.94 17.50-19.56 $317,491 23,639 29.4 19.60 18.00-20.50 $688,950 2.811 34.0 21.22 18.00-20.50 56.3 54.1 48.0 36.3 33.1 27.2 Percentage of amount of loans 14 With floating rate 15 Made under commitment 66.6 71.2 85.6 69.5 CONSTRUCTION AND LAND DEVELOPMENT LOANS 16 17 18 19 20 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Number of loans Weighted-average maturity (months) Weighted-average interest rate (percent per annum) . Interquartile range 1 21 22 23 24 Percentage of amount of loans With floating rate Secured by real estate Made under commitment With no stated maturity $1,420,394 23,437 9.9 19.46 18.54-20.75 $155,847 12,668 7.6 19.86 19.00-21.00 $192,683 5.497 9.9 19.60 18.77-19.90 $187,702 2,616 5.7 20.43 18.50-21.74 $425,106 2,406 11.5 20.03 19.56-20.82 $459,056 250 11.1 18.34 17.12-19.90 55.3 82.4 38.5 10.2 17.6 95.9 16.4 3.6 21.2 98.5 11.6 2.3 45.2 98.9 16.8 4.3 48.5 78.9 28.2 4.3 92.8 67.5 75.6 23.7 45.8 5.0 49.2 79.6 1.2 19.1 55.2 1.6 43.2 63.4 2.8 33.8 57.3 3.7 39.0 12.6 9.8 77.7 Type of construction 25 l-to4-family 26 Multifamily 27 Nonresidential All sizes 28 29 30 31 32 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Number of loans Weighted-average maturity (months) Weighted-average interest rate (percent per annum) . Interquartile range 1 33 34 35 36 37 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Other 250 25^(9 50-99 100-249 and over $263,546 380 4.9 18.93 18.00-20.15 $1,260,648 64,345 5.8 18.76 17.72-19.56 $156,504 41,247 5.8 18.52 17.72-19.44 $179,965 12,442 7.3 18.79 17.72-19.54 $197,569 5,909 5.5 18.59 17.72-19.36 $162,025 2,448 5.7 18.40 17.72-19.06 $301,038 1.919 5.6 19.04 18.10-20.12 18.50 18.66 18.88 18.11 18.87 18.56 18.23 18.67 18.00 18.68 18.19 19.50 19.04 17.94 19.13 18.35 18.77 18.74 17.98 19.31 18.41 18.05 18.47 18.142 19.10 19.20 1 9 . 1 12 1. Interest rate range that covers the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. 2. Fewer than 10 sample loans. 10-24 1-9 2 () 18.28 () (2) 19.03 NOTE. For more detail, see the Board's E.2(111) statistical release, (2) () 18.63 Securities Markets 1.35 All INTEREST R A T E S Money and Capital Markets Averages, percent per annum; weekly and monthly figures are averages of business day data unless otherwise noted. 1981 Instrument 1979 1980 1982 1982, week ending 1981 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Jan 29 Feb. 5 Feb. 12 Feb. 19 Feb. 26 MONEY MARKET RATES 1 Federal funds 1 , 2 Commercial paper 3 , 4 2 1-month 3 3-month 4 6-month Finance paper, directly placed 3,4 5 1-month 6 3-month 7 6-month Bankers acceptances 4,5 8 3-month 9 6-month Certificates of deposit, secondary market 6 10 1-month 11 3-month 12 6-month 13 Eurodollar deposits, 3-month 2 U.S. Treasury bills4 Secondary market 7 14 3-month 15 6-month 16 1-year Auction average 8 3-month 17 18 6-month 19 11.19 13.36 16.38 13.31 12.37 13.22 14.78 13.98 14.77 15.19 15.61 13.86 10.86 10.97 10.91 12.76 12.66 12.29 15.69 15.32 14.76 12.35 12.16 11.96 12.16 12.12 12.14 12.90 13.09 13.35 14.62 14.53 14.27 13.64 13.83 13.87 14.85 14.70 14.49 15.04 14.92 14.60 15.28 15.15 14.72 13.54 13.55 13.43 10.78 10.47 10.25 12.44 11.49 11.28 15.30 14.08 13.73 12.13 11.80 11.72 11.89 11.31 11.24 12.67 12.56 12.56 14.41 13.59 13.58 13.43 13.11 13.11 14.54 13.60 13.56 14.90 13.84 13.80 15.02 13.97 13.97 13.41 13.08 13.12 11.04 n.a. 12.78 n.a. 15.32 14.66 12.00 11.84 12.13 12.27 13.06 13.31 14.47 14.09 13.68 13.57 14.63 14.22 14.88 14.48 14.96 14.48 13.59 13.35 11.03 11.22 11.44 11.96 12.91 13.07 12.99 14.00 15.91 15.91 15.77 16.79 12.45 12.48 12.65 13.33 12.27 12.49 13.07 13.24 13.03 13.51 14.25 14.29 14.78 15.00 15.12 15.75 13.80 14.24 14.58 15.10 14.88 15.11 15.19 15.24 15.14 15.40 15.50 15.86 15.52 15.66 15.69 16.53 13.81 14.03 14.29 15.30 10.07 10.06 9.75 11.43 11.37 10.89 14.03 13.80 13.14 10.86 11.30 11.20 10.85 11.52 11.57 12.28 12.83 12.77 13.48 13.61 13.11 12.79 12.96 12.78 13.68 13.72 13.19 14.12 14.01 13.43 14.06 14.04 13.37 12.31 12.84 12.56 10.041 10.017 9.817 11.506 11.374 10.748 14.077 13.811 13.159 11.269 11.530 14.077 10.926 11.471 11.504 12.412 12.930 13.143 13.780 13.709 13.180 13.364 13.530 13.143 13.850 13.846 14.099 13.933 14.740 14.360 12.430 12.695 13.180 10.67 10.12 12.05 11.77 14.78 14.56 12.41 12.88 12.85 13.29 14.32 14.57 14.73 14.82 14.85 14.93 11.55 11.48 11.43 11.46 11.39 11.30 14.44 14.24 14.06 13.91 13.72 13.44 13.11 13.38 13.42 13.39 13.56 13.35 13.66 13.60 13.62 13.72 13.73 13.45 14.64 14.65 14.67 14.59 14.57 14.22 14.73 14.54 14.46 14.43 14.48 14.22 14.84 14.73 14.66 14.63 14.67 14.39 15.11 15.10 15 05 15.05 14.91 14.87 14.84 14.95 14.68 15.03 15.04 9.71 9.52 9.48 9.44 9.33 9.29 14.37 14.55 14.55 14.57 14.52 14.48 14.42 14.37 14.09 14.88 14.58 14.42 14.39 14.44 14.18 14.08 14.32 14 30 14.26 14.02 13.97 13.92 13.96 13.71 8.74 10.81 12.87 12.68 12.88 13.73 13.63 13.57 13.83 14.05 13.58 13.13 5.92 6.73 6.52 7.85 9.01 8.59 10.43 11.76 11.33 10.98 12.69 11.89 11.70 13.30 12.91r 12.30 13.95 13.28 12.20 13.83 12.97 12.20 13.80 13.15 12.20 13.90 13.13 12.20 13.80 13.09 12.20 13.80 12.96 12.20 13.80 12.70 10.12 9.63 9.94 10.20 10.69 12.75 11.94 12.50 12.89 13.67 15.06 14.17 14.75 15.29 16.04 15.35 14.22 14.97 15.82 16.39 15.38 14.23 15.00 15.75 16.55 16.05 15.18 15.75 16.19 17.10 16.13 15.27 15.72 16.35 17.18 16.14 15.27 15.84 16.27 17.17 16.15 15.34 15.83 16.27 17.18 16.24 15.49 15.80 16.40 17.28 16.23 15.34 15.77 16.51 17.29 15.92 14.92 15.49 16.26 16.98 10.03 10.02 12.74 12.70 15.56 15.56 15.56 15.49 15.20 15.18 15.68 15.88 15.93 15.97 15.68 15.59 15.97 16.56 16.34 16.00 15 30 15.57 9.07 5.46 10.57 5.25 n.a. n.a. 12.76 5.54 12.83 5.57 13.19 5.95 13.20 6.06 13.13 5.98 13.12 5.95 13.32 6.05 13.23 6.10 13.14 6.12 CAPITAL MARKET RATES 20 21 ?? 23 24 25 26 27 28 U.S. Treasury notes and bonds 9 Constant maturities 10 1-year 2-year 2-'/2-year11 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year 29 Composite 12 Over 10 years (long-term) State and local notes and bonds Moody's series 13 30 Aaa 31 Baa 32 Bond Buyer series 14 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Corporate bonds Seasoned issues15 All industries Aaa Aa A Baa Aaa utility bonds 16 Recently offered issues MEMO: Dividend/price ratio Preferred stocks Common stocks 17 1. Weekly and monthly figures are averages of all calendar days, where the rate for a weekend or holiday is taken to be the rate prevailing on the preceding business day. The daily rate is the average of the rates on a given day weighted by the volume of transactions at these rates. 2. Weekly figures are statement week averages—that is, averages for the week ending Wednesday. 3. Unweighted average of offering rates quoted by at least five dealers (in the case of commercial paper), or finance companies (in the case of finance paper). Before November 1979, maturities for data shown are 30-59 days, 90-119 days, and 120-179 days for commercial paper; and 30-59 days, 90-119 days, and 150179 days for finance paper. 4. Yields are quoted on a bank-discount basis, rather than an investment yield basis (which would give a higher figure). 5. Dealer closing offered rates for top-rated banks. Most representative rate (which may be, but need not be, the average of the rates quoted by the dealers). 6. Unweighted average of offered rates quoted by at least five dealers early in the day. 7. Unweighted average of closing bid rates quoted by at least five dealers. 8. Rates are recorded in the week in which bills are issued. 9. Yields are based on closing bid prices quoted by at least five dealers. 10. Yields adjusted to constant maturities by the U.S. Treasury. That is, yields are read from a yield curve at fixed maturities. Based on only recently issued, actively traded securities. 11. Each weekly figure is calculated on a biweekly basis and is the average of five business days ending on the Monday following the calendar week. The biweekly rate is used to determine the maximum interest rate payable in the following twoweek period on small saver certificates. (See table 1.16.) 12. Unweighted averages of yields (to maturity or call) for all outstanding notes and bonds neither due nor callable in less than 10 years, including several very low yielding "flower" bonds. 13. General obligations only, based on figures for Thursday, from Moody's Investors Service. 14. General obligations only, with 20 years to maturity, issued by 20 state and local governmental units of mixed quality. Based on figures for Thursday. 15. Daily figures from Moody's Investors Service. Based on yields to maturity on selected long-term bonds. 16. Compilation of the Federal Reserve. Issues included are long-term (20 years or more). New-issue yields are based on quotations on date of offering; those on recently offered issues (included only for first 4 weeks after termination of underwriter price restrictions), on Friday close-of-business quotations. 17. Standard and Poor's corporate series. Preferred stock ratio based on a sample of ten issues: four public utilities, four industrials, one financial, and one transportation. Common stock ratios on the 500 stocks in the price index. A28 1.36 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 STOCK MARKET Selected Statistics 1982 1981 Indicator 1979 1980 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Prices and trading (averages of daily figures) Common stock prices 1 New York Stock Exchange (Dec. 31, 1965 = 50) 2 Industrial 3 Transportation 4 Utility 5 Finance 6 Standard & Poor's Corporation (1941-43 = 10)1 7 American Stock Exchange (Aug. 31, 1973 = 100) Volume of trading (thousands of shares) 8 New York Stock Exchange 9 American Stock Exchange 55.67 61.82 45.20 36.46 58.65 107.94 68.06 78.64 60.52 37.35 64.28 118.71 74.02 85.44 72.61 38.90 73.52 128.05 74.98 86.64 74.42 38.90 74.97 129.13 75.24 86.72 73.27 40.22 73.76 129.63 68.37 78.07 63.67 38.17 69.38 118.27 69.40 78.94 65.65 38.87 72.58 119.84 71.49 80.86 67.68 40.73 76.47 122.92 71.81 81.70 68.27 40.22 74.74 123.79 67.91 76.85 62.04 39.30 70.99 117.41 66.16 74.78 59.09 38.32 70.50 114.50 186.56 300.94 343.50 364.33 364.60 313.60 308.81 321.0 321.84 296.49 275.10 32,233 4,182 44,867 6,377 47,237 5,346 43,930 4,374 44,489 5,137 46,042 5,556 46,233 4,233 50,791 5,257 43,596 4,992 48,723 4,497 51,169 4,400 Customer financing (end-of-period balances, in millions of dollars) 10 Regulated margin credit at brokers-dealers2 3 11 Margin stock 12 Convertible bonds Free credit balances at brokers4 14 Margin-account 15 Cash-account 11,619 14,721 14,321 15,134 14,545 13,973 13,866 14,044 14,321 13,441r 11,450 167 2 14,500 219 2 14,060 259 2 14,870 263 1 14,270 274 1 13,710 263 13,600 263 3 13,780 261 3 14,060 259 2 13,190r 259 2 1,105 4,060 2,105 6,070 3,515 7,150 2,670 6,470 2,645 6,640 2,940 6,555 2,990 6,100 3,290 6,865 3,515 7,150 3,455 6,580 n a. Margin-account debt at brokers (percentage distribution, end of period) 16 Total 17 18 19 20 21 22 By equity class (in percent)5 Under 40 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80 or more 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 16.0 29.0 27.0 14.0 8.0 7.0 14.0 30.0 25.0 14.0 9.0 8.0 37.0 21.0 20.0 10.0 6.0 6.0 25.0 29.0 22.0 11.0 7.0 6.0 38.5 24.0 15.0 10.0 6.0 6.0 47.0 22.0 13.0 8.0 5.0 5.0 32.0 28.0 18.0 10.0 6.0 6.0 30.0 25.0 21.0 11.0 6.0 7.0 100.0 37.0 24.0 r 17.0 r 10.0 6.0 6.0 100.0 37.0 24.0 16.0 10.0 7.0 6.0 n.a. Special miscellaneous-account balances at brokers (end of period) 23 Total balances (millions of dollars)* Distribution by equity status (percent) 24 Net credit status Debt status, equity of 25 60 percent or more 26 Less than 60 percent 16,150 21,690 25,870 24,460 44.2 47.8 58.0 47.0 8.8 44.4 7.7 31.0 11.0 24,760 25,234 24,962 25,409 25,870 26,080 53.8 53.5 55.0 55.0 57.0 58.0 58.0 37.9 8.3 37.0 9.5 33.0 12.0 35.0 10.0 33.0 10.0 31.0 31.0 11.0 t n.a. 1 \ 11.0 Margin requirements (percent of market value and effective date) 7 27 Margin stocks 28 Convertible bonds 29 Short sales Mar. 11, 1968 June 8, 1968 May 6, 1970 Dec. 6, 1971 Nov. 24, 1972 70 50 70 80 60 80 65 50 65 55 50 55 65 50 65 1. Effective July 1976, includes a new financial group, banks and insurance companies. With this change the index includes 400 industrial stocks (formerly 425), 20 transportation (formerly 15 rail), 40 public utility (formerly 60), and 40 financial. 2. Margin credit includes all credit extended to purchase or carry stocks or related eguity instruments and secured at least in part by stock. Credit extended is endot-month data for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange. In addition to assigning a current loan value to margin stock generally, Regulations T and U permit special loan values for convertible bonds and stock acquired through exercise of subscription rights. 3. A distribution of this total by equity class is shown on lines 17-22. 4. Free credit balances are in accounts with no unfulfilled commitments to the brokers and are subject to withdrawal by customers on demand. Jan. 3, 1974 50 50 50 5. Each customer's equity in his collateral (market value of collateral less net debit balance) is expressed as a percentage of current collateral values. 6. Balances that may be used by customers as the margin deposit required for additional purchases. Balances may arise as transfers based on loan values of other collateral in the customer's margin account or deposits of cash (usually sales proceeds) occur. 7. Regulations G, T, and U of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, prescribed in accordance with the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit to purchase and carry margin stocks that may be extended on securities as collateral by prescribing a maximum loan value, which is a specified percentage of the market value of the collateral at the time the credit is extended. Margin requirements are the difference between the market value (100 percent) and the maximum loan value. The term "margin stocks" is defined in the corresponding regulation. Financial Institutions 1.37 S E L E C T E D F I N A N C I A L INSTITUTIONS Millions of dollars, end of period Selected Assets and Liabilities 1981 Account 1979 A29 1982 1980 Apr. T May r June r July r Aug. r Sept.' Oct. T Nov.' Dec. Jan.? Savings and loan associations 1 Assets 578,962 629,829 639,770 645,586 647,704 649,807 653,022 655,658 659,073 660,326 663,844 667,118 2 Mortgages 3 Cash and investment securities1 4 Other 475,688 46,341 56,933 502,812 57,572 69,445 509,942 512,183 515,256 511,990 57,242 59,418 57,980 57,817 72,586 73,985 74,468 75,000 518,172 518,778 519,248 58,932 59,530 61,517 75,918 77,350 78,308 519,146 61,369 79,811 518,350 62,756 82,738 517,457 63,812 85,849 5 Liabilities and net worth 578,962 629,829 639,770 645,586 647,704 649,807 653,022 655,658 659,073 660,326 663,844 667,118 470,004 55,232 40,441 14,791 9,582 11,506 510,959 64,491 47,045 16,309 8,120 12,227 516,782 518,351 518,359 514,805 67,818 70,153 74,875 79,704 49,607 51,064 53,836 57,188 18,211 19,089 21,039 22,516 7,816 7.973 7,985 7,741 15,085 17,243 14,933 16,556 513,438 515,649 519,288 83,456 87,477 86,108 61,857 62,000 60,025 23,431 25,620 24,108 7,354 7,040 6,757 18,275 15,307 17,506 519,777 86,255 61,922 24,333 6,451 19,101 524,374 89,097 62,794 26,303 6,369 15,612 526,173 89 140 62,899 26,241 6,219 18,069 12 Net worth 2 32,638 33,319 32,269 31,866 31,552 31,001 30,499 30,185 29,414 28,742 28,392 27,517 13 MEMO: Mortgage loan commitments outstanding 3 16,007 16,102 18,573 18,761 18,037 17,235 16,689 16,012 15,733 15,758 15,225 15,615 6 7 8 9 10 11 Savings capital Borrowed money FHLBB Other Loans in process Other Mutual savings banks 4 163,405 171,564 172,837 173,776 174,387 174,578 174,761 175,234 175,693 175,258 175,612 98,908 9,253 99,865 11,733 99,798 12,756 99,790 13,375 99,993 14,403 100,095 14,359 99,987 14,560 99,944 14,868 99,903 14,725 99,879 15,073 100,015 14,740 7,658 2,930 37,086 3,156 4,412 8,949 2,390 39,282 4,334 5,011 9,262 2,314 39,247 4,172 5,288 9,296 2,328 39,111 4,513 5,364 9,230 2,337 38,418 4,473 5,534 9,361 2,291 38,374 4,629 5,469 9,369 2,326 38,180 4,791 5,547 9,594 2,323 38,118 4,810 5,577 9,765 2,394 38,108 5,118 5,681 9,508 2,271 37,874 5,039 5,615 9,861 2,274 37,674 5,415 5,632 22 Liabilities 163,405 171,564 172,837 173,776 174,387 174,578 174,761 175,234 175,693 175,258 175,612 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 146,006 144,070 61,123 82,947 1,936 5,873 11,525 154,805 151,416 53,971 97,445 2,086 6,695 11,368 153,692 151,429 52,331 99,098 2,264 8,103 11,042 153,891 151,658 51,212 100,447 2,232 8,922 10,923 154,926 152,603 51,594 101,009 2,323 8,634 10,827 153,757 151,394 50,593 100,800 28,494 10,156 10,665 153,120 150,753 49,003 101,750 27,073 11,125 10,516 153,412 151,072 49,254 101,818 25,769 11,458 10,364 154,066 151,975 48,238 103,737 24,806 11,513 10,114 153,809 151,787 48,456 126,889 2,023 11,434 10,015 154,913 152,834 49,409 126,334 2,079 10,731 9,969 3,182 1,476 1,614 1,709 1,577 1,401 1,333 1,218 1,140 1,207 1,293 14 Assets 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Loans Mortgage Other Securities U.S. government 5 State and local government Corporate and other 6 Cash Other assets Deposits Regular 7 Ordinary savings Time and other Other Other liabilities General reserve accounts MEMO: Mortgage loan commitments outstanding 8 n. a. Life insurance companies 31 Assets 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Securities Government United States 9 State and local Foreign 10 Business Bonds Stocks Mortgages Real estate Policy loans Other assets 432,282 479,210 493,185 497,276 500,316 503,994 506,585 509,478 515,079 519,281 521,354 0,338 4,888 6,428 9,022 222,332 178,371 39,757 118,421 13,007 34,825 27,563 21,378 22,603 5,345 6,502 6,701 6,809 9,332 9,292 238,113 245,841 190,747 198,397 47,366 47,444 131,080 133,896 16,464 15,033 41,411 43,772 31,702 30,609 22,948 23,415 23,691 6,787 7,359 7,119 6,815 6,876 6,865 9,346 9,420 9,467 247,437 248,737 250,186 199,818 201,402 203,016 47,619 47,335 41,170 134,492 135,318 135,928 16,738 16,966 17,429 44,292 44,970 45,591 31,369 30,910 31,169 23,949 24,280 24,621 7,544 7,670 7,846 6,904 7,033 7,129 9,501 9,577 9,646 250,371 250,315 253,976 204,501 205,908 208,004 45,870 44,407 45,972 136,516 136,982 137,736 17,626 17,801 18,382 46,252 47,042 47,731 31,971 33,058 32,633 25,200 8,321 7,148 9,731 255,632 209,194 46,438 138,433 18,629 48,275 33,112 25,310 8,578 6,968 9,764 254,978 208,587 46,391 139,046 19,157 48,741 34,122 n. a. Credit unions 43 Total assets/liabilities and capital 65,854 71,709 74,442 75,278 75,781 76,043 75,656 76,145 76,123 76,830 77,682 78,012 44 Federal State Loans outstanding Federal State Savings Federal (shares) State (shares and deposits) 35,934 29,920 53,125 28,698 24,426 56,232 35,530 25,702 39,801 31,908 47,774 25,627 22,147 64,399 36,348 28,051 40,626 33,816 49.186 26.410 22,776 67,160 36,882 30,278 41,105 34,173 49,697 26,744 22,953 67,740 37,241 30,499 41,443 34,338 50,271 27,133 23,138 68,317 37,618 30,699 41,678 34,365 50,724 27,378 23,346 67,690 37,176 30,514 41,394 34,262 51,207 27,701 23,506 66,943 36,713 30,230 41,682 34,463 51,407 27,871 23,536 67,512 36,928 30,584 41,727 34,396 51,029 27,686 23,343 67,625 37,015 30,610 42,025 34,805 50,631 27,508 23,123 67,981 37,261 30,720 42,382 35,300 50,448 27,458 22,990 68,871 37,574 31,297 42,512 35,500 49,949 27,204 22,745 69,432 37,875 31,557 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 For notes see bottom of page A30. A30 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 1.38 F E D E R A L FISCAL A N D FINANCING O P E R A T I O N S Millions of dollars Calendar year Type of account or operation Fiscal year 1979 Fiscal year 1980 Fiscal year 1981 1980 H2 1981 HI 1981 H2 Nov. 1982 Dec. Jan. U.S. budget 1 Receipts' 2 Outlays 1 - 2 3 Surplus, or deficit ( - ) Trust funds 4 5 Federal funds 3 463,302 490,997 -27,694 18,335 -46,069 517,112 576,675 -59,563 8,791 -67,752 599,272 657,204 -57,932 7,168 -65,099 260,569' 309,389' -48,821 -2,551 -46,306 317,304' 333,115 r -15,811 5,797 -21,608 301,777' 358,558' -56,780 -8,085 -48,697 44,018' 54,660' -10,642 -2,352 -8,290 Off-budget entities (surplus, or deficit (-)) 6 Federal Financing Bank outlays 7 Other 4 - 5 -13,261 793 -14,549 303 -20,769 -236 -7,552 376 -11,046 -900 -8,728 -1,752 -1,189 -691 -727 -320 -1,241 11 -40,162 -73,808 -78,936 -55,998 -27,757 -67,260 -12,522 -20,516 8,109 33,641 70,515 79,329 54,764 33,213 54,081 10,972 14,274 9,783 -408 6,929 -355 3,648 -1,878 1,485 -6,730 7,964 2,873 -8,328 -1,111 14,290 8,129 -6,579 -3,889 10,131 -13,371 -4,521 24,176 6,489 17,687 20,990 4,102 16,888 18,670 3,520 15,150 12,305 3,062 9,243 16,389 2,923 13,466 12,046 4,301 7,745 7,796 3,475 4,321 12,046 4,301 7,745 24,710 8,285 16,425 U.S. budget plus off-budget, including Federal Financing Bank 8 Surplus, or deficit ( - ) Source or financing Borrowing from the public 9 10 Cash and monetary assets (decrease, or increase (—)) 11 Other 7 56,825' 76,293' -19,468 -7,675 -11,793 55,269 45,930 9,339 10,799 -1,460 MEMO: 12 Treasury operating balance (level, end of period) 13 Federal Reserve Banks 14 Tax and loan accounts 1. The Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 1983, has reclassified supplemental medical insurance premiums and voluntary hospital insurance premiums, previously included in other social insurance receipts, as offsetting receipts in the health function. 2. Effective Oct. 1, 1980, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation was reclassified from an off-budget agency to an on-budget agency in the Department of Labor. 3. Half-year figures are calculated as a residual (total surplus/deficit less trust fund surplus/deficit). 4. Includes Postal Service Fund; Rural Electrification and Telephone Revolving Fund; and Rural Telephone Bank. 5. Other off-budget includes petroleum acquisition and transportation, strategic petroleum reserve effective November 1981. 6. Includes U.S. Treasury operating cash accounts; special drawing rights; gold tranche drawing rights; loans to International Monetary Fund; and other cash and monetary assets. 7. Includes accrued interest payable to the public; allocations of special drawing rights; deposit funds; miscellaneous liability (including checks outstanding) and asset accounts; seigniorage; increment on gold; net gain/loss for U.S. currency valuation adjustment; net gain/loss for IMF valuation adjustment; and profit on the sale of gold. SOURCE. "Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government," Treasury Bulletin, and the Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1983. NOTES TO TABLE 1.37 1. Holdings of stock of the Federal Home Loan Banks are included in "other assets." 2. Includes net undistributed income, which is accrued by most, but not all, associations. 3. Excludes figures for loans in process, which are shown as a liability. 4. The NAMSB reports that, effective April 1979, balance sheet data are not strictly comparable with previous months. Beginning April 1979, data are reported on a net-of-valuation-reserves basis. Before that date, data were reported on a gross-of-valuation-reserves basis. 5. Beginning April 1979, includes obligations of U.S. government agencies. Before that date, this item was included in "Corporate and other." 6. Includes securities of foreign governments and international organizations and, before April 1979, nonguaranteed issues of U.S. government agencies. 7. Excludes checking, club, and school accounts. 8. Commitments outstanding (including loans in process) of banks in New York State as reported to the Savings Banks Association of the state of New York. 9. Direct and guaranteed obligations. Excludes federal agency issues not guaranteed, which are shown in the table under "Business" securities. 10. Issues of foreign governments and their subdivisions and bonds of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. NOTE. Savings and loan associations: Estimates by the FHLBB for all associations in the United States. Data are based on monthly reports of federally insured associations and annual reports of other associations. Even when revised, data for current and preceding year are subject to further revision. Mutual savings banks: Estimates of National Association of Mutual Savings Banks for all savings banks in the United States. Life insurance companies: Estimates of the American Council of Life Insurance for all life insurance companies in the United States. Annual figures are annualstatement asset values, with bonds carried on an amortized basis and stocks at year-end market value. Adjustments for interest due and accrued and for differences between market and book values are not made on each item separately but are included, in total, in "other assets." Credit unions: Estimates by the National Credit Union Administration for a group of federal and state-chartered credit unions that account for about 30 percent of credit union assets. Figures are preliminary and revised annually to incorporate recent benchmark data. Federal Finance 1.39 A31 U.S. B U D G E T RECEIPTS A N D O U T L A Y S Millions of dollars Calendar year Source or type Fiscal year 1979 Fiscal year 1980 Fiscal year 1981 H2 1981 1981 1980 HI H2 Nov. Dec. Jan. RECEIPTS 1 All sources' 12 13 Individual income taxes, net Withheld Presidential Election Campaign F u n d . . . Non withheld Refunds Corporation income taxes Gross receipts Refunds Social insurance taxes and contributions. net Payroll employment taxes and contributions 2 Self-employment taxes and contributions 3 Unemployment insurance Other net receipts1-4 14 IS 16 17 Excise taxes Customs deposits Estate and gift taxes Miscellaneous receipts 5 7 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 463,302 517,112 599,272 260,569' 317,304 301,777' 44,018' 56,825 55,269 217,841 195,295 36 56,215 33,705 244,069 223,763 39 63,746 43,479 285,917 256,332 41 76,844 47,299 131,962 120,924 4 14,592 3,559 142,889 126,101 36 59,907 43,155 147,035 134,199 5 17,391 4,559 21,775 21,387 0 846 458 25,770 24,590 0 1,602 423 32,646 20,810 0 12,000 163 71,448 5,771 72,380 7,780 73,733 12,596 28,579 4,518 44,048 6,565 31,056 6,847 1,877 1,133 11,087 867 3,212 738 138,939 157.803 182,720 75,679' 101,316r 91,592' 15,496' 14,059 14,575 115,041 133,042 156,953 66,831 83,851 82,984 13,610 13,504 13,085 5,034 15,387 3,477 5,723 15,336 3,702 6,041 16,129 3,598 0 221 335 530 604 357 18,745 7,439 5,411 9,252 24,329 7,174 6,389 12,748 40,839 8,083 6,787 13,790 15,332 3,717 3,499 6,318 21,945 3,926 3,259 6,487 22,097 4,661 3,742 8,441 3,334 729 598 1,341 3,633 823 642 1,679 3,087 696 615 1,176 490,997 576,675 657,204 309,389' 333,115' 358,558' 54,660 76,293 45,930 117,681 6,091 5,041 6,856 12,091 6,238 135,856 10,733 5,722 6,313 13,812 4,762 159,765 11,130 6,359 10,277 13,525 5,572 72,457 5,430 3,205 3,997 7,722 1,892 80,005 5,999 3,314 5,677 6,476 3,101 87,421 4,655 3,388 4,394 7,296 5,181 14,205 745 592 173 955 1,637 16,258 830 613 399 1,289 2,681 14,131 759 496 383 933 2,701 2,579 17,459 9,542 7,788 21,120 10,068 3,946 23,381 9,394 3,163 11,547 5,370 2,047' 11,991 4,621 1,825 10,753 4,269 -243 1,559 707 1,051 1,871 688 849 1,465 591 29,685 46,962 160,159 30,767 55,220 193,100 31,402 65,982 225,099 15,221 29,680 107,912 15,928 33,113 113,490 13,878 35,322 129,269 2,274 5,874 18,462 2,245 5,839 33,175 2,160 5,711 7,370 19,928 4,153 4,093 8,372 52,566 -18,488 21,183 4,570 4,505 8,584 64,504 -21,933 22,988 4,698 4,614 6,856 82,537 -30,320 11,731 2,299 2,432 4,191 35,909 -14,769 10,531 2,344 2,692 3,015 41,178 -12,432 12,880 2,290 2,311 3,043 47,667 -17,281 854 371 339 259 7,869 -1,973 3,217 352 384 28 13,081 -7,710 763 340 210 1,451 6,634 -1,017 188 6,742 l,919 r 6,240 9,205 2,02c 244 6,355 2,009' 0 1,563 323' OUTLAYS 18 All types 19 70 21 77 73 24 1,6 National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology . . . Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture 7,5 76 27 28 Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development Education, training, employment, social services 79 Health 1 30 Income security6 31 Veterans benefits and services 37 Administration of justice 33 General government 34 General-purpose fiscal assistance 35 36 Undistributed offsetting receipts 7 1. The Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 1983 has reclassified supplemental medical insurance premiums and voluntary hospital insurance premiums, previously included in other social insurance receipts, as offsetting receipts in the health function. 2. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance, and railroad retirement accounts. 3. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance. 4. Supplementary medical insurance premiums, federal employee retirement contributions, and Civil Service retirement and disability fund. 5. Deposits of earnings by Federal Reserve Banks and other miscellaneous receipts. 6. Effective Oct. 1, 1980, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation was re- classified from an off-budget agency to an on-budget agency in the Department of Labor. 7. Consists of interest received by trust funds, rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf, and U.S. government contributions for employee retirement. SOURCE. "Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government" and the Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 1983. A32 1.40 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 F E D E R A L D E B T S U B J E C T TO S T A T U T O R Y LIMITATION Billions of dollars 1979 1981 1980 Item Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Dec. 31 Sept. 30 1 Federal debt outstanding 852.2 870.4 884.4 914.3 936.7 970.9 977.4 1,003.9 1,034.7 2 Public debt securities 3 Held by public 4 Held by agencies 845.1 658.0 187.1 863.5 677.1 186.3 877.6 682.7 194.9 907.7 710.0 197.7 930.2 737.7 192.5 964.5 773.7 190.9 971.2 771.3 199.9 997.9 789.8 208.1 1,028.7 825.5 203.2 7.1 5.6 1.5 7.0 5.5 1.5 6.8 5.3 1.5 6.6 5.1 1.5 6.5 5.0 1.5 6.4 4.9 1.5 6.2 4.7 1.5 6.1 4.6 1.5 6.0 4.6 1.4 5 Agency securities Held by public 6 7 Held by agencies 8 Debt subject to statutory limit 846.2 864.5 878.7 908.7 931.2 965.5 972.2 998.8 1,039.3 Public debt securities 10 Other debt 1 844.5 1.7 862.8 1.7 877.0 1.7 907.1 1.6 929.6 1.6 963.9 1.6 970.6 1.6 997.2 1.6 1,037.7 1.6 11 MEMO: Statutory debt limit 879.0 879.0 925.0 925.0 935.1 985.0 985.0 999.8 1,079.8 9 1. Includes guaranteed debt of government agencies, specified participation certificates, notes to international lending organizations, and District of Columbia stadium bonds. 1.41 G R O S S P U B L I C D E B T O F U.S. T R E A S U R Y Billions of dollars, end of period NOTE. Data from Treasury Bulletin (U.S. Treasury Department), Types and Ownership 1981 Type and holder 1977 1978 Oct. 1 Total gross public debt 7 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 17. 13 14 By type Interest-bearing debt Marketable Bills Notes Bonds Nonmarketable 1 State and local government series Foreign issues3 Government Public Savings bonds and notes Government account series4 1982 1980 1979 Nov. Dec. 789.2 845.1 930.2 1,005.0 1,013.3 1,028.7 1,038.4 1,048.2 715.2 459.9 161.1 251.8 47.0 255.3 2.2 13.9 22.2 21.0 1.2 77.0 139.8 782.4 487.5 161.7 265.8 60.0 294.8 2.2 24.3 29.6 28.0 1.6 80.9 157.5 844.0 530.7 172.6 283.4 74.7 313.2 2.2 24.6 28.8 23.6 5.3 79.9 177.5 928.9 623.2 216.1 321.6 85.4 305.7 999.5 689.6 229.1 362.6 97.9 309.9 1,011.9 704.8 233.9 370.8 100.1 307.1 1,027.3 720.3 245.0 375.3 99.9 307.0 1,032.7 726.5 250.6 374.4 101.6 306.1 1,042.2 737.5 254.0 382.1 101.4 304.7 23.8 24.0 17.6 6.4 72.5 185.1 23.1 20.5 15.5 5.0 68.0 198.1 23.0 20.3 15.3 5.0 68.0 195.5 23.0 19.0 14.9 4.1 68.1 196.7 22.7 18.9 14.8 4.1 67.8 196.4 22.7 18.4 14.3 4.1 67.6 195.7 5.7 3.7 6.8 1.2 1.3 5.6 1.4 1.4 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 154.8 102.8 461.3 101.4 5.9 15.1 20.5 55.2 170.0 109.6 508.6 93.2 5.0 15.7 19.6 64.4 187.1 117.5 540.5 96.4 4.7 16.7 22.9 69.9 192.5 121.3 616.4 116.0 5.4 20.1 25.7 78.8 204.9 122.4 677.2 111.3 5.5 19.2 38.6 88.3 202.1 126.5 684.6 110.0 5.2 19.4 38.3 87.5 203.3 131.0 694.5 109.4 5.2 19.1 37.8 85.6 24 75 26 27 Individuals Savings bonds Other securities Foreign and international 6 Other miscellaneous investors7 76.7 28.6 109.6 49.7 80.7 30.3 137.8 58.9 79.9 36.2 124.4 90.1 72.5 56.7 127.7 106.9 68.0 73.0 135.3 138.0 68.1 73.6 138.3 144.3 68.0' 75.6 141.4 152.3 1. Includes (not shown separately): Securities issued to the Rural Electrification Administration, depository bonds, retirement plan bonds, and individual retirement bonds. 2. These nonmarketable bonds, also known as Investment Series B Bonds, may be exchanged (or converted) at the owner's option for IV2 percent, 5-year marketable Treasury notes. Convertible bonds that have been so exchanged are removed from this category and recorded in the notes category (line 5). 3. Nonmarketable dollar-denominated and foreign currency-denominated series held by foreigners. 4. Held almost entirely by U.S. government agencies and trust funds. Feb. 718.9 By holder5 U.S. government agencies and trust funds Federal Reserve Banks Private investors Commercial banks Mutual savings banks Insurance companies Other companies State and local governments 15 Non-interest-bearing debt Jan. n a. 6.0 n a. 5. Data for Federal Reserve Banks and U.S. government agencies and trust funds are actual holdings; data for other groups are Treasury estimates. 6. Consists of investments of foreign balances and international accounts in the United States. 7. Includes savings and loan associations, nonprofit institutions, corporate pension trust funds, dealers and brokers, certain government deposit accounts, and government sponsored agencies. NOTE. Gross public debt excludes guaranteed agency securities. Data by type of security from Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States (U.S. Treasury Department); data by holder from Treasury Bulletin. Federal Finance 1.42 U.S. G O V E R N M E N T M A R K E T A B L E SECURITIES A33 Ownership, by maturity Par value; millions of dollars, end of period 1981 Type of holder 1979 1981 1980 1979 Nov. 1980 Dec. Nov. Dec. 1 to 5 years All maturities 1 AH holders 530,731 623,186 704,819 720,293 89,578 197,409 227,886 228,550 2 U.S. government agencies and trust funds 3 Federal Reserve Banks 11,047 117,458 9,564 121,328 8,745 126,539 8,669 130,954 2,555 8,469 1,990 35,835 1,906 36,410 1,906 38,223 402,226 69,076 3,204 11,496 8,433 3,209 15,735 291,072 492,294 77,868 3,917 11,930 7,758 4,225 21.058 365,539 569,534 76,348 3,847 12,538 5,497 3,913 24,263 444,001 580,671 74,618 3,971 12,090 4,214 4,122 18,991 462,663 133,173 38,346 1,668 4,518 2,844 1.763 3,487 80,546 159,585 44,482 1,925 4,504 2,203 2,289 4,595 99,577 189,570 39,741 1,814 5,527 1,212 2,302 4,518 134,455 188,422 39,021 1,870 5,596 1,146 2,260 4,278 134,251 4 Private investors 5 Commercial banks Mutual savings banks 6 7 Insurance companies 8 Nonfinancial corporations Savings and loan associations 9 10 State and local governments 11 All others 5 to 10 years Total, within 1 year 12 AH holders 13 U.S. government agencies and trust funds 14 Federal Reserve Banks 15 Private investors 16 Commercial banks 17 Mutual savings banks 18 Insurance companies 19 Nonfinancial corporations 20 Savings and loan associations 21 State and local governments 22 All others 255,252 297,385 328,572 340,082 50,440 56,037 60,112 63,483 1,629 63,219 830 56,858 648 61.761 647 64,113 871 12,977 1,404 13,458 824 11,673 779 11,854 190,403 20,171 836 2,016 4,933 1,301 5,607 155,539 239.697 25,197 1,246 1,940 4,281 1,646 7,750 197,636 266.163 27,708 1,439 2,132 2,436 1,509 8.789 222.150 275,322 29,480 1,569 2,201 2,421 1,731 7,536 230,383 36,592 8,086 459 2,815 308 69 1,540 24,314 41,175 5,793 455 3,037 357 216 2,030 29,287 47,615 4,505 229 2,464 298 32 2,724 37,365 50,851 4,496 238 2,507 344 98 2,365 40,804 10 to 20 years Bills, within 1 year 23 All holders 24 U.S. government agencies and trust funds 25 Federal Reserve Banks 26 Private investors 27 Commercial banks 28 Mutual savings banks 29 Insurance companies 30 Nonfinancial corporations 31 Savings and loan associations 32 State and local governments 33 All others 172,644 216,104 233,905 245,015 27,588 36,854 43,062 44,744 0 45,337 1 43,971 1 47,661 » 49,679 4,520 3,272 3,686 5,919 4,027 6,580 3,996 6,692 127,306 5,938 262 473 2,793 219 3,100 114,522 172,132 9,856 394 672 2,363 818 5,413 152,616 186,243 8,083 340 673 1,059 203 6,124 169,760 195,335 9,667 423 760 1,173 363 5,126 177,824 19,796 993 127 1,305 218 58 1,762 15,332 27,250 1,071 181 1,718 431 52 3,597 20,200 32,455 1,324 197 1,548 801 37 4,724 23,824 34,055 873 151 1,119 131 16 2,824 28,940 Over 20 years Other, within 1 year 34 All holders 82,608 81,281 94,667 95,068 33,254 35,500 45,187 43,434 35 U.S. government agencies and trust funds. 36 Federal Reserve Banks 1,629 17,882 829 12,888 647 14,101 647 14,433 1,472 9,520 1,656 9,258 1,340 10,115 1,340 10,073 37 Private investors 38 Commercial banks 39 Mutual savings banks 40 Insurance companies 41 Nonfinancial corporations 42 Savings and loan associations 43 State and local governments 44 All others 63,097 14,233 574 1,543 2,140 1,081 2,508 41,017 67,565 15,341 852 1,268 1,918 828 2,337 45,020 79,920 19.624 1.099 1.459 1,377 1,306 2,665 52,389 79,987 19,814 1,146 1,442 1,248 1,368 2,410 52,560 22,262 1,470 113 842 130 19 3,339 16,340 24,587 1,325 110 730 476 21 3,086 18,838 33,731 2,198 168 866 750 34 3,509 26,208 32,020 749 144 666 172 17 1,988 28,285 NOTE. Direct public issues only. Based on Treasury Survey of Ownership from Treasury Bulletin (U.S. Treasury Department). Data complete for U.S. government agencies and trust funds and Federal Reserve Banks, but data for other groups include only holdings of those institutions that report. The following figures show, for each category, the number and proportion reporting as of Dec. 31,1981: (1) 5,317 commercialbanks, 452 mutual savings banks. and 723 insurance companies, each about 80 percent; (2) 407 nonfinancial corporations and 469 savings and loan associations, each about 50 percent; and (3) 489 state and local governments, about 40 percent. "All others," a residual, includes holdings of all those not reporting in the Treasury Survey, including investor groups not listed separately. A34 1.43 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 U.S. G O V E R N M E N T SECURITIES D E A L E R S Transactions Par value; averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1982 1981 Item 1 Immediate delivery1 U.S. government securities .. By maturity Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 By type of customer U.S. government securities dealers U.S. government securities brokers All others 2 Federal agency securities . . . Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Futures transactions 3 Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities . . . Forward transactions 4 U.S. government securities . Federal agency securities . . . 1978 Nov. Dec. Jan. Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Jan. 27 Feb. 3 Feb. 10 10,285 13,183 18,331 35,034 27,425 28,274 29,817 24,662 28,935 28,320 25,220 6,173 392 1,889 965 867 7,915 454 2,417 1,121 1,276 11,413 421 3,330 1,464 1,704 18,862 1,137 7,713 3,534 3,789 16,599 986 5,354 2,265 2,222 13,998 680 4,749 2,578 2,080 18,028 722 4,177 4,373 2,517 15,806 505 4,099 2,208 2,045 18,671 523 5,742 1,858 91 16,602 613 6,403 2,200 2,502 13,135 514 4,777 2,712 4,082 1,135 1,448 1,484 2,040 1,908 1,371 1,619 1,545 1,587 1,450 1,257 3,838 5,312 1,894 1.292 5,170 6,564 2,723 1,764 7,610 9,237 3,258 2,472 16,519 16,475 4,383 6,380 2.643 7.512 12,316 13,201 2,803 4,781 2,042 6,782 13,650 13,066 2,768 4,249 1.911 7,573 15,417 12,781 2,602 4,759 2,210 6,834 11,534 11,583 2,500 3,609 1,697 7,852 13,903 13,445 3,272 4,458 1,688 7,329 14,347 12,523 2,754 4,361 2,212 8,131 12,472 11,491 2,947 3,209 1,480 6,627 4,905 2,629 260 5.024 1,525 218 5,153 1,193 194 5,107 1,115 163 5,255 1,037 172 5,884 1,161 226 5,391 1,112 271 3,555 1,311 161 569 1,921 602 1,269 591 1,273 205 1,354 503 1,368 988 1,286 1,027 1,362 731 1,504 n a. n a. I I n a. 1. Before 1981, data for immediate transactions include forward transactions. 2. Includes, among others, all other dealers and brokers in commodities and securities, nondealer departments of commercial banks, foreign banking agencies, and the Federal Reserve System. 3. Futures contracts are standardized agreements arranged on an organized exchange in which parties commit to purchase or sell securities for delivery at a future date. 4. Forward transactions are agreements arranged in the over-the-counter market in which securities are purchased (sold) for delivery after 5 business days from the 1.44 1981 and 1982, week ending Wednesday 1980 1979 U.S. G O V E R N M E N T SECURITIES D E A L E R S date of the transaction for government securities (Treasury bills, notes, and bonds) or after 30 days for mortgage-backed agency issues. NOTE. Averages for transactions are based on number of trading days in the period. Transactions are market purchases and sales of U.S. government securities dealers reporting to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The figures exclude allotments of, and exchanges for, new U.S. government securities, redemptions of called or matured securities, purchases or sales of securities under repurchase agreement, reverse repurchase (resale), or similar contracts. Positions and Financing Averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1982 1981 Item 1978 1979 1981 and 1982. week ending Wednesday 1980 Nov. Dec? Jan.P Dec. 30 Jan. 6 Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Jan. 27 Positions 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Net immediate 1 U.S. government securities Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years Federal agency securities . Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Future positions Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities . Forwards positions U.S. government securities Federal agency securities . 2,656 2.452 260 -92 40 -4 606 2,775 1 t 1 n.a. 1 t1 3,223 3.813 -325 -455 160 30 1,471 2,794 A 1 4,306 4,103 -1,062 434 166 665 797 3,115 i 1 n.a. n.a. 1 1t 1 t1 8,592 4,920 -3,611 3,779 241 3,264 2,809 4,396 2,211 3,273 4,111 2,308 -3,915 3,148 -80 2,650 3,721 5,086 2,587 3,254 5,457 3,507 -2,620 2,867 -349 1,993 3,016 3,876 2,233 2,577 5,423 3,536 -3,048 3,105 -380 2,210 3,762 5,837 2,368 3,293 9,523 7,242 -2,999 3,456 -496 2,320 3,638 5,154 2,398 2,823 5.934 3.732 -2,703 2,708 261 1,937 3,282 4,334 2,324 2,612 3,142 1.728 -2,528 2,254 -174 1,863 3,113 3,362 2,365 2,624 4,852 2,895 -2,466 3,058 -815 1,916 2,514 3,139 1,987 2,289 -7,318 -3,872 -197 -5,209 -3,626 -379 -6,565 -2,726 -64 -5,506 -3,134 -469 -6,152 -2,966 -437 -6,068 -2,592 -143 -6,871 -2,643 -46 -6,966 -2,642 63 -443 -1,045 -642 -1,241 -461 -1,226 -513 -1.131 -397 -1,156 -117 -1,305 -546 -1,404 -626 -1,091 Financing2 Reverse repurchase agreements 3 Overnight and continuing . . . Term agreements Repurchase agreements 4 18 Overnight and continuing . . . 19 Term agreements 16 17 For notes see opposite page. 20.711 44,981 25,185 51,003 25,006 47,632 26,474 53,624 27,118 46,898 23,946 47,494 26,195 47,583 43,324 41,525 50,681 43,358 49,809 38,804 51,740 49,607 54,309 38,990 50,296 38,753 50,245 37,806 Federal Finance 1.45 A35 F E D E R A L A N D F E D E R A L L Y S P O N S O R E D CREDIT A G E N C I E S Debt Outstanding Millions of dollars, end of period 1980 1979 Agency July 1 Federal and federally sponsored agencies' Aug. Sept. 137,063 163,290 193,229 213,690 218,362 223,393 226,010 226,269 2 Federal agencies 3 Defense Department 2 4 Export-Import Bank 3 , 4 5 Federal Housing Administration 5 6 Government National Mortgage Association participation certificates" 7 Postal Service 7 8 Tennessee Valley Authority 9 United States Railway Association 7 23,488 968 8,711 588 24,715 738 9,191 537 28,606 610 11,250 477 29,978 536 12,401 443 30,088 526 12,385 449 30,870 516 12,855 432 31,069 514 12,845 427 31,156 490 12,829 419 3,141 2,364 7,460 356 2.979 1,837 8,997 436 2,817 1,770 11,190 492 2,715 1,538 12,130 215 2,715 1,538 12,260 215 2,715 1,538 12,599 215 2,715 1,538 12,830 200 2,715 1,538 12,965 200 10 Federally sponsored agencies 1 11 Federal Home Loan Banks 12 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation . 13 Federal National Mortgage Association . . . . 14 Federal Land Banks 15 Federal Intermediate Credit Banks 16 Banks for Cooperatives 17 Farm Credit Banks 1 18 Student Loan Marketing Association 8 19 Other 113,575 27,563 2,262 41,080 20,360 11,469 4,843 5,081 915 138,575 33,330 2,771 48,486 16,006 2,676 584 33,216 1,505 164,623 41,258 2,536 55,185 12,365 183,712 52,431 2,408 55,362 10,317 1,388 220 57,784 3,800 2 188,274 55,161 2,408 56,372 10,317 1,388 220 58,306 4,100 2 192,523 58,276 2,308 56,688 10,317 1,388 220 59,024 4,300 195,113 57,854 2 194,941 57,990 2,308 57,805 9,717 1,388 220 60,911 4,600 2 51,298 67,383 87,460 102,853 103,597 107,309 108,171 109,495 6,898 2,114 915 5,635 356 8,353 1,587 1,505 7,272 436 10,654 1,520 2,720 9,465 492 11,933 1,288 3,800 10,405 215 11,933 1,288 4,100 10,535 215 12,409 1,288 4,300 10,874 215 12,409 1,288 4,600 11,105 200 12,409 1,288 4,600 11,240 200 23,825 4,604 6,951 32,050 6,484 9,696 39,431 9,196 13,982 47,396 11,604 47,171 11,861 16,494 48,821 12,343 17,059 48,571 12,674 17,324 49,029 12,924 17,805 2 1 1,821 584 48,153 2,720 1 2,6 58,533 9,717 1,388 220 60,191 4,600 2 MEMO: 20 Federal Financing Bank debt 1,9 21 22 23 24 25 Lending to federal and federally sponsored agencies Export-Import Bank 4 Postal Service 7 Student Loan Marketing Association 8 Tennessee Valley Authority United States Railway Association 7 Other Lending10 26 Farmers Home Administration 27 Rural Electrification Administration 28 Other 1. In September 1977 the Farm Credit Banks issued their first consolidated bonds, and in January 1979 thev began issuing these bonds on a regular basis to replace the financing activities of the Federal Land Banks, the Federal Intermediate Credit Banks, and the Banks for Cooperatives. Line 17 represents those consolidated bonds outstanding, as well as any discount notes that have been issued. Lines 1 and 10 reflect the addition of this item. 2. Consists of mortgages assumed by the Defense Department between 1957 and 1963 under family housing and homeowners assistance programs. 3. Includes participation certificates reclassified as debt beginning Oct. 1, 1976. 4. Off-budget Aug. 17, 1974, through Sept. 30, 1976; on-budget thereafter. 5. Consists of debentures issued in payment of Federal Housing Administration insurance claims. Once issued, these securities may be sold privately on the securities market. 6. Certificates of participation issued prior to fiscal 1969 by the Government National Mortgage Association acting as trustee for the Farmers Home Administration; Department of Health, Education, and Welfare; Department NOTES T O T A B L E 1.44 1. Immediate positions are net amounts (in terms of par values) of securities owned by nonbank dealer firms and dealer departments of commercial banks on a commitment, that is, trade-date basis, including any such securities that have been sold under agreements to repurchase (RPs). The maturities of some repurchase agreements are sufficiently long, however, to suggest that the securities involved are not available for trading purposes. Securities owned, and hence dealer positions, do not include securities to resell (reverse RPs). Before 1981, data for immediate positions include forward positions. 2. Figures cover financing involving U.S. government and federal agency securities, negotiable CDs, bankers acceptances, and commercial paper. 16,212 of Housing and Urban Development; Small Business Administration; and the Veterans Administration. 7. Off-budget. 8. Unlike other federally sponsored agencies, the Student Loan Marketing Association may borrow from the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) since its obligations are guaranteed by the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. 9. The FFB, which began operations in 1974, is authorized to purchase or sell obligations issued, sold, or guaranteed by other federal agencies. Since FFB incurs debt solely for the purpose of lending to other agencies, its debt is not included in the main portion of the table in order to avoid double counting. 10. Includes FFB purchases of agency assets and guaranteed loans; the latter contain loans guaranteed by numerous agencies with the guarantees of any particular agency being generally small. The Farmers Home Administration item consists exclusively of agency assets, while the Rural Electrification Administration entry contains both agency assets and guaranteed loans. 3. Includes all reverse repurchase agreements, including those that have been arranged to make delivery on short sales and those for which the securities obtained have been used as collateral on borrowings, i.e., matched agreements. 4. Includes both repurchase agreements undertaken to Finance positions and "matched book" repurchase agreements. NOTE. Data for positions are averages of daily figures, in terms of par value, based on the number of trading days in the period. Positions are shown net and are on a commitment basis. Data for financing are based on Wednesday figures, in terms of actual money borrowed or lent. A36 1.46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 N E W SECURITY ISSUES of State and Local Governments Millions of dollars 1981 Type of issue or issuer, or use 1978 1979 1980 June 1 All issues, new and refunding1 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 48,512 43,365 48,367 4,886 3,184 3,078 3,874 3,977 5,137 17,854 n.a. 30,658 n.a. 12,109 53 31,256 67 14,100 38 34,267 57 1,389 1 3,497 4 1,066 5 2,118 1 961 8 2,117 4 567 2 3,307 10 730 2 3,247 5 1,273 3 3,864 2 Type of issuer 6 State 7 Special district and statutory authority 8 Municipalities, counties, townships, school districts 6,632 24,156 17,718 4,314 23,434 15.617 5,304 26,972 16,090 585 2,711 1,591 353 1,728 1,103 446 1,688 943 92 2,722 1,060 439 2,404 1,133 518 3,326 1,291 9 Issues for new capital, total 37,629 41,505 46,736 4,812 3,174 2,426 3,868 3,890 5,109 Use of proceeds Education Transportation Utilities and conservation Social welfare Industrial aid Other purposes 5,003 3,460 9,026 10,494 3,526 6,120 5.130 2,441 8,594 15,968 3,836 6,120 4,572 2,621 8,149 19,958 3,974 5,536 641 161 767 1,380 757 1,106 255 537 881 712 364 425 272 113 543 807 292 399 162 214 1,626 498 849 519 195 496 695 951 921 632 568 284 742 1,850 539 1,126 2 3 4 5 10 11 12 13 14 15 Type of issue General obligation U.S. government loans2 Revenue U.S. government loans2 1. Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2. Consists of tax-exempt issues guaranteed by the Farmers Home Administration. 1.47 SOURCE. Public Securities Association. N E W S E C U R I T Y ISSUES of Corporations Millions of dollars Type of issue or issuer, or use 1981 1979 1980r 1981 June' 1 July r Aug/ Sept. r Oct/ Nov/ Dec. 1 All issues 51,533 73,694 69,093 9,452 3,842 3,097 4,696 4,368 8,518 5,717 2 Bonds 40,208 53,206 44,593 5,518 2,186 1,616 2,797 2,845 6,724 3,844 Type of offering 3 Public 4 Private placement 25,814 14,394 41,587 11,619 37,604 6.989 4,604 914 1,926 260 905 711 2,198 599 2,582 263 6,560 164 3,526 317 9,678 3.948 3,119 8,153 4,219 11,094 15,409 6,693 3,329 9,557 6,683 11,534 12.325 5.229 2,054 8.963 4.280 11.743 1,312 566 584 847 470 1,738 507 189 120 322 767 281 308 390 95 360 115 348 452 201 63 1,012 471 598 21 617 51 1,008 83 1,065 2,054 949 130 802 326 2,463 954 850 82 582 106 1,269 11,325 20,489 24,500 3,934 1,656 1,481 1,899 1,523 1,794 1,873 3,574 7,751 3,631 16,858 1,796 22.704 187 3.747 67 1,589 14 1,467 186 1,713 141 1,382 59 1,735 80 1,793 1,679 2,623 255 5,171 303 12,931 4,839 5,245 549 6,230 567 3,059 4,786 7,424 735 5.416 1.772 4.368 382 1,024 18 843 1,036 632 335 340 29 308 73 571 160 661 91 248 12 310 117 487 87 514 369 325 193 449 23 438 7 412 407 564 15 405 85 318 206 444 23 534 89 577 5 6 7 8 9 10 Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial 11 Stocks Type 12 Preferred 13 Common 14 15 16 17 18 19 Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial 1. Figures, which represent gross proceeds of issues maturing in more than one year, sold for cash in the United States, are principal amount or number of units multiplied by offering price. Excludes offerings of less than $100,000, secondary offerings, undefined or exempted issues as defined in the Securities Act of 1933, employee stock plans, investment companies other than closed-end, intracorporate transactions, and sales to foreigners. SOURCE. Securities and Exchange Commission. Corporate Finance 1.48 O P E N - E N D I N V E S T M E N T COMPANIES Millions of dollars Item 1980 A37 Net Sales and Asset Position 1982 1981 1981r July June Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.' Jan. INVESTMENT COMPANIES1 1 Sales of own shares 2 2 Redemptions of own shares 3 3 Net sales 4 5 6 Assets 4 Cash position 5 Other 15,266 12,012 3,254 20,596 15,866 4,730 1,910 1,512 398 1,639 1,297 342 1,457 1,422 35 1,449 1,457 -8 1,768 593 1,175 1,729 1,125 604 2,140 1,769 371 3,032 1,475 1,557 58,400 5,321 53,079 55,207 5,277 49,930 58,887 5,199 53,688 57,494 5,109 52,385 54,221 5,058 49,163 51,659 5,409 46,250 54,335 5,799 48,536 57,408 6,269 51,139 55,207 5,277 49,930 54,347 5,424 48,923 5. Also includes all U.S. government securities and other short-term debt securities. 1. Excluding money market funds. 2. Includes reinvestment of investment income dividends. Excludes reinvestment of capital gains distributions and share issue of conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 3. Excludes share redemption resulting from conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 4. Market value at end of period, less current liabilities. 1.49 NOTE. Investment Company Institute data based on reports of members, which comprise substantially all open-end investment companies registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Data reflect newly formed companies after their initial offering of securities. C O R P O R A T E PROFITS A N D THEIR DISTRIBUTION Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1980 Account 1978 1979 Q1 1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits 2 3 4 5 6 7 Inventory valuation 8 Capital consumption adjustment Q2 03 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 185.5 223.3 82.9 140.3 44.6 95.7 196.8 255.3 87.6 167.7 50.1 117.6 182.7 245.5 82.3 163.2 56.0 107.2 200.2 277.1 94.2 182.9 53.9 129.0 169.3 217.9 71.5 146.4 55.7 90.7 177.9 237.6 78.5 159.1 56.7 102.4 183.3 249.5 85.2 164.3 57.7 106.6 203.0 257.0 87.7 169.3 59.6 109.7 190.3 229.0 76.4 152.6 62.0 90.6 195.7 234.4 78.1 156.3 64.8 91.5 -24.3 -13.5 -42.6 -15.9 -45.6 -17.2 -61.4 -15.4 -31.1 -17.6 -41.7 -17.9 -48.4 -17.8 -39.2 -14.7 -24.0 -14.7 -25.3 -13.4 SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (U.S. Department of Commerce). 1981 1980 A38 1.50 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS Current Assets and Liabilities Billions of dollars, except for ratio 1980 Account 1975 1976 1977 1978 1981 1979 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 1 Current assets 759.0 826.8 902.1 1,030.0 1,200.9 1,254.9 1,281.6 1,321.2 1,317.4 1,349.2 2 3 4 5 6 82.1 19.0 272.1 315.9 69.9 88.2 23.4 292.8 342.4 80.1 95.8 17.6 324.7 374.8 89.2 104.5 16.3 383.8 426.9 98.5 116.1 15.6 456.8 501.7 110.8 113.4 16.4 478.7 524.5 121.9 121.0 17.3 491.2 525.4 126.7 120.5 17.0 507.3 542.8 133.6 118.5 17.7 507.4 540.0 133.7 118.3 16.0 519.7 557.2 138.1 7 Current liabilities 451.6 494.7 549.4 665.5 809.1 850.5 877.2 910.9 908.1 951.1 8 Notes and accounts payable 9 Other 264.2 187.4 281.9 212.8 313.2 236.2 373.7 291.7 456.3 352.8 477.2 373.4 498.3 378.9 504.0 406.9 500.8 407.2 529.1 422.0 307.4 332.2 352.7 364.6 391.8 404.3 404.4 410.3 409.3 398.1 1.672 1.642 1.548 1.484 1.475 1.461 1.450 1.451 1.419 Cash U.S. government securities Notes and accounts receivable Inventories Other 10 Net working capital 11 MEMO: Current ratio 1 1.681 1. Ratio of total current assets to total current liabilities. All data in this table reflect the most current benchmarks. Complete data are available upon request from the Flow of Funds Section, Division of Research and Statistics. NOTE. For a description of this series, see "Working Capital of Nonfinancial C o r p o r a t i o n s " in t h e J u l y 1978 BULLETIN, p p . 5 3 3 - 3 7 . SOURCE. Federal Trade Commission. 1.51 T O T A L N O N F A R M BUSINESS E X P E N D I T U R E S on New Plant and Equipment Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1980 Industry 1 Total nonfarm business 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 Manufacturing Durable goods industries Nondurable goods industries Nonmanufacturing Mining Transportation Railroad Air Other Public utilities Electric Gas and other Trade and services Communication and other 2 1980 1981 R 1982 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q11 Q21 295.63 321.49 345.11 299.58 312.24 316.73 328.25 327.83 330.34 336.77 58.91 56.90 61.84 64.95 67.24 69.58 59.77 58.86 61.24 63.27 63.10 62.40 62.58 67.53 60.78 66.14 62.95 66.28 64.79 68.72 13.51 16.86 18.33 15.28 16.20 16.80 17.55 16.81 17.26 17.20 4.25 4.01 3.82 4.24 3.81 4.00 4.55 4.15 4.83 4.54 3.77 3.39 4.23 3.85 3.66 4.38 3.29 4.04 4.18 3.34 4.09 4.18 4.82 4.12 4.39 3.23 4.52 4.37 2.97 4.71 28.12 7.32 81.79 36.99 29.74 8.65 86.33 41.06 31.77 8.43 90.48 45.75 27.54 7.41 82.91 36.11 27.69 8.36 83.43 40.32 29.32 8.53 85.88 39.02 30.54 9.01 87.55 41.89 31.14 8.60 88.33 42.92 30.86 8.46 89.46 42.93 31.59 8.04 89.92 44.45 1. Anticipated by business. 2. "Other" consists of construction; social services and membership organizations; and forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services. 1981 19821 SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (U.S. Dept. of Commerce). Corporate Finance 1.52 D O M E S T I C F I N A N C E COMPANIES A39 Assets and Liabilities Billions of dollars, end of period 1981 Account 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q4 ASSETS Accounts receivable, gross Consumer Business Total LESS: Reserves for unearned income and losses.... Accounts receivable, net Cash and bank deposits Securities All other 36.0 39.3 75.3 9.4 65.9 2.9 1.0 11.8 38.6 44.7 83.4 10.5 72.9 2.6 1.1 12.6 44.0 55.2 99.2 12.7 86.5 2.6 .9 14.3 52.6 63.3 116.0 15.6 100.4 3.5 1.3 17.3 65.7 70.3 136.0 20.0 116.0 73.6 72.3 145.9 23.3 122.6 76.1 72.7 148.7 24.3 124.5 79.0 78.2 157.2 25.7 131.4 84.5 76.9 161.3 27.7 133.6 85.5 81.0 166.5 28.9 138.1 24.9' 27.5 30.8 31.6 34.5 34.2 81.6 89.2 104.3 122.4 140.9 150.1 155.3 163.0 168.1 172.3 10 Bank loans 11 Commercial paper 8.0 22.2 6.3 23.7 5.9 29.6 6.5 34.5 8.5 43.3 13.2 43.4 13.1 44.2 14.4 49.0 14.7 51.2 15.4 51.2 12 13 14 4.5 27.6 6.8 5.4 32.3 8.1 6.2 36.0 11.5 8.1 43.6 12.6 8.2 46.7 14.2 7.5 52.4 14.3 8.2 51.6 17.3 8.5 52.6 17.0 11.9 50.7 17.1 9.6 54.8 17.8 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Total assets LIABILITIES Short-term, n.e.c Long-term, n.e.c Other 15 Capital, surplus, and undivided profits 12.5 13.4 15.1 17.2 19.9 19.4 20.9 21.5 22.4 23.6 16 Total liabilities and capital 81.6 89.2 104.3 122.4 140.9 150.1 155.3 163.0 168.1 172.3 1. Beginning Q1 1979, asset items on lines 6, 7, and 8 are combined. NOTE. Components may not add to totals due to rounding. 1.53 D O M E S T I C F I N A N C E COMPANIES Business Credit Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted except as noted Type Accounts receivable outstanding Dec. 31, 1981' Changes in accounts receivable Extensions Repayments 1981 1981 1981 Oct. Nov. Dec. Oct. Nov. Dec. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1 Total 81,022 418 1,395 552 17,393 20,029 16,192 16,975 18,634 15,640 Retail automotive (commercial vehicles) Wholesale automotive Retail paper on business, industrial, and farm e q u i p m e n t . . . . Loans on commercial accounts receivable and factored commercial accounts receivable 6 All other business credit 11,401 13,103 27.959 -41 184 76 188 534 510 -5 -48 387 877 4.804 1,352 1,081 5,275 2,091 898 3,408 1,701 918 4,620 1,276 893 4,741 1.581 903 3,456 1,314 8,695 19.864 -21 220 83 80 -91 309 8,061 2,299 9,120 2.462 7,378 2.807 8,082 2,079 9,037 2.382 7,469 2,498 2 3 4 5 1. Not seasonally adjusted. A40 1.54 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 MORTGAGE MARKETS Millions of dollars; exceptions noted. 1981 Item 1979 1980 1982 1981 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Terms and yields in primary and secondary markets PRIMARY MARKETS 1 2 3 4 5 6 Conventional mortgages on new homes Terms1 Purchase price (thousands of dollars) Amount of loan (thousands of dollars) Loan/price ratio (percent) Maturity (years) Fees and charges (percent of loan amount) 2 Contract rate (percent per annum) Yield (percent per annum) 1 FHLBB series5 8 HUD series4 74.4 53.3 73.9 28.5 1.66 10.48 83.4 59.2 73.2 28.2 2.09 12.25 90.4 65.2 74.8 27.7 2.67 14.16 95.2 67.7 73.9 28.3 2.73 14.13 98.1 70.3 74.7 27.2 2.98 14.60 89.1 64.8 74.1 26.6 2.75 14.69 89.2 63.5 73.0 27.4 2.86 15.04 84.5 62.7 77.3 23.4 2.52 15.68 88.7 64.4 75.3 27.7 2.87 15.23 102.6 73.3 75.5 27.4 2.55 14.66 10.77 11.15 12.65 13.95 14.74 16.52 14.72 16.70 15.27 17.50 15.29 18.30 15.65 18.05 16.38 16.95 15.87 17.00 15.25 17.30 10.87 10.22 13.42 12.55 16.29 15.29 16.76 15.76 17.96 16.67 18.55 17.06 17.43 16.54 15.98 15.10 16.43 15.51 17.38 16.19 11.17 11.77 14.11 14.43 16.70 16.64 16.65 16.44 17.63 17.59 18.99 19.14 18.13 18.61 16.64 17.20 16.92 16.95 17.80 17.33 SECONDARY MARKETS 9 10 11 12 Yield (percent per annum) FHA mortgages (HUD series)5 GNMA securities" FNMA auctions7 Government-underwritten loans Conventional loans Activity in secondary markets FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION Mortgage holdings (end of period) 13 Total 14 FHA/VA-insured 15 Conventional 46,050 33.673 14.377 55,104 37,364 17.724 58.675 39,342 19.334 57,979 39.108 18.870 58,722 39,368 19,354 59.682 39.792 19,890 60,489 40,043 20,445 60,949 40,056 20,885 61,412 39,997 21,435 61,721 39,937 21,435 Mortgage transactions (during period) 16 Purchases 17 Sales 10,812 0 8.099 0 6,112 2 627 0 944 0 1,125 0 1,000 0 594 0 655 0 430 0 10,179 6,409 8,083 3,278 9,331 3,577 1,662 4,039 1,394 4,399 811 3,997 533 3,447 560 3.354 1,272 3,577 703 3,285 8,860.4 3,920.9 8.605.4 4.002.0 2,487.2 1.478.0 331.9 290.4 689.5 336.6 145.9 64.1 66.3 37.3 79.0 34.4 59.2 27.0 41.5 30.8 4.495.3 2,343.6 3,639.2 1,748.5 2,524.7 1.392.3 306.6 238.2 862.2 304.3 120.7 67.9 43.2 27.5 147.7 63.1 84.4 48.0 31.7 11.5 Mortgage holdings (end of period f 24 Total 25 FHA/VA 26 Conventional 3,543 1,995 1,549 4,362 2,116 2,246 5,245 2.236 3.010 5.250 2.233 3,017 5,294 2,238 3,056 5.431 2.264 3,167 5,469 2,267 3,202 5,283 2,232 3,051 5,255 2,227 3,028 5,240 2,209 3,032 Mortgage transactions (during period) 27 Purchases 28 Sales 5.717 4.544 3,723 2,527 3.789 3.531 242 238 101 44 337 249 290 244 416 596 1,140 1,158 1,628 162 Mortgage commitments10 29 Contracted (during period) 30 Outstanding (end of period) 5,542 797 3,859 447 6.974 3.518 866 824 386 1,028 365 982 1,834 2,863 2,011 4,451 203 3,518 328 5,033 s Mortgage commitments 18 Contracted (during period) 19 Outstanding (end of period) Auction of 4-month commitments to buy Government-underwritten loans Offered Accepted Conventional loans 22 Offered 23 Accepted 20 21 FEDERAL HOME LOAN MORTGAGE CORPORATION 1. Weighted averages based on sample surveys of mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups. Compiled by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2. Includes all fees, commissions, discounts, and "points" paid (by the borrower or the seller) to obtain a loan. 3. Average effective interest rates on loans closed, assuming prepayment at the end of 10 years. 4. Average contract rates on new commitments for conventional first mortgages, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points; from Department of Housing and Urban Development. 5. Average gross yields on 30-year, minimum-downpayment. Federal Housing Administration-insured first mortgages for immediate delivery in the private secondary market. Any gaps in data are due to periods of adjustment to changes in maximum permissible contract rates. 6. Average net yields to investors on Government National Mortgage Association guaranteed, mortgage-backed, fully modified pass-through securities. assuming prepayment in 12 years on pools of 30-year FHA/VA mortgages carrying the prevailing ceiling rate. Monthly figures are unweighted averages of Monday quotations for the month. 7. Average gross yields (before deduction of 38 basis points for mortgage servicing) on accepted bids in Federal National Mortgage Association's auctions of 4-month commitments to purchase home mortgages, assuming prepayment in 12 years for 30-year mortgages. No adjustments are made for FNMA commitment fees or stock related requirements. Monthly figures are unweighted averages for auctions conducted within the month. 8. Includes some multifamily and nonprofit hospital loan commitments in addition to 1- to 4-family loan commitments accepted in FNMA's free market auction system, and through the FNMA-GNMA tandem plans. 9. Includes participation as well as whole loans. 10. Includes conventional and government-underwritten loans. Real Estate Debt 1.55 A41 MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period 1980 Type of holder, and type of property 1979 1980 1981 1981 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4' 1,326,916 1,446,074 r 1,543,771 r 1,446,074' 1,467,370' 1,497,061' 1,523,522' 1,543,771 878,938 128,850 236,451 82,677 960,344R 137,163' 256,549' 92,018' 1,018,472' 144,267' 279,096' 101,936' 960,344' 137,163' 256,549' 92,018' 972,556' 138,544' 261,809' 94,461' 990,862' 140,100' 268,587' 97,512' 1,007,529' 141,675' 274,250' 100,068' 1,018,472 144,267 279,096 101,936 938,567 245,187 149,460 11,180 75,957 8,590 98,908 64,706 17,180 16,963 59 996,789 263,030 160,326 12,924 81,081 8,699 99,866 65,332 17,347 17,127 60 1,044,496' 286,626 172,549 14,905 90,717 8,455 100,000 65,420 17,370 17,150 60 996,789 263,030 160,326 12,924 81,081 8,699 99,866 65,332 17,347 17,127 60 1,006,836 266,734 161,758 13,282 83,133 8,561 99,719 65,236 17,321 17,102 60 1,023,340 273,225 164,873 13,800 86,091 8,461 99,993 65,415 17,369 17,149 60 1,036,687 281,126 169,378 14,478 88,836 8,434 100,200 65,551 17,405 17,184 60 1,044,496 286,626 172,549 14,905 90,717 8,455 100,000 65,420 17,370 17,150 60 20 Savings and loan associations 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial 475,688 394,345 37,579 43,764 502,812 419,446 38,113 45,253 517,637 432,693 38,253 46,691 502,812 419,446 38,113 45,253 507,152 423,269 38,189 45,694 514,803 430,324 38,044 46,435 518,379 433,313 38,308 46,758 517,637 432,693 38,253 46,691 21 22 23 24 25 Life insurance companies 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm 118,784 16,193 19,274 71,137 12,180 131,081 17,943 19,514 80,666 12,958 140,233' 17,966' 20,101' 88,991' 13,175' 131,081 17,943 19,514 80,666 12,958 133,231 17,847 19,579 82,839 12,966 135,319 17,646 19,603 85,038 13,032 136,982 17,512 19,592 86,742 13,136 140,233 17,966 20,101 88,991 13,175 97,084 3,852 763 3,089 114,300 4,642 704 3,938 126,186 4,765 765 4,000 114,300 4,642 704 3,938 116,243 4,826 696 4,130 119,124' 4,972 698 4,274 121,772' 4,382 696 3,686 126,186 4,765 765 4,000 33 34 Farmers Home Administration 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm 1,274 417 71 174 612 3,492 916 610 411 1,555 2,235' 914' 473' 506 R 342' 3,492 916 610 411 1,555 2,837 1,321 528 479 509 2,662' 1,151' 464' 357' 690' 1,562' 500' 242' 325' 495' 2,235 914 473 506 342 35 36 37 Federal Housing and Veterans Administration 1- to 4-family Multifamily 5,555 1,955 3,600 5,640 2,051 3,589 6,073 2,293 3,780 5,640 2,051 3,589 5,799 2,135 3,664 5,895 2,172 3,723 6,005 2,240 3,765 6,073 2,293 3,780 38 39 40 Federal National Mortgage Association 1- to 4-family Multifamily 51,091 45,488 5,603 57,327 51,775 5,552 61,412 55,986 5,426 57,327 51,775 5,552 57,362 51,842 5,520 57,657 52,181 5,476 59,682 54,227 5,455 61,412 55,986 5,426 41 42 43 Federal Land Banks 1- to 4-family Farm 31,277 1,552 29,725 38,131 2,099 36,032 46,446 2,788 43,658 38,131 2,099 36,032 40,258 2,228 38,030 42,681 2,401 40,280 44,708 2,605 42,103 46,446 2,788 43,658 44 45 46 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 1- to 4-family Multifamily 4,035 3,059 976 5,068 3,873 1,195 5,255' 4,018' 1,237' 5,068 3,873 1,195 5,161 3,953 1,208 5,257 4,025 1,232 5,433 4,166 1,267 5,255 4,018 1,237 119,278 76,401 74,546 1,855 142,258 93,874 91,602 2,272 162,273' 105,790 102,750 3,040 142,258 93,874 91,602 2,272 147,246 97,184 94,810 2,374 1 All holders 2 1- to 4-family 3 Multifamily 4 Commercial 5 6 Major financial institutions 7 Commercial.banks 1 R 1- to 4-family 9 Multifamily 10 Commercial 11 Farm 12 Mutual savings banks 13 1- to 4-family 14 Multifamily 15 Commercial 16 Farm 17 18 19 26 Federal and related agencies 27 Government National Mortgage Association 28 1- to 4-family 29 Multifamily 30 31 32 47 Mortgage pools or trusts 2 48 Government National Mortgage Association 49 1- to 4-family 50 Multifamily 152,308' 100,558 98,057 2,501 158,140' 103,750 101,068 2,682 162,273 105,790 102,750 3,040 52 53 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 1- to 4-family Multifamily 15,180 12,149 3,031 16,854 13,471 3,383 19,843' 15,888' 3,955 16,854 13,471 3,383 17,067 13,641 3,426 17,565 14,115 3,450 17,936 14,401 3,535 19,843 15,888 3,955 54 55 56 57 58 Farmers Home Administration 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm 27,697 14,884 2,163 4,328 6,322 31,530 16,683 2,612 5,271 6,964 36,640' 18,378' 3,426' 6,161' 8,675' 31,530 16,683 2,612 5,271 6,964 32,995 16,640 2,853 5,382 8,120 34,185' 17,165' 3,097' 5,750' 8,173' 36,454' 18,407' 3,488' 6,040' 8,519' 36,640 18,378 3,426 6,161 8,675 171,987 99,421 23,249 24,128 25,189 192,727' 114,123R 26,114R 26,740R 25,750' 192,727' 114,123' 26,114' 26,740' 25,750' 197,045' 117,180' 26,470' 27,180' 26,215' 202,289' 120,639' 27,067' 27,767' 26,816' 206,923' 123,465' 27,772' 28,365' 27,321' 210,816 126,064 28,301 28,880 27,571 51 59 Individual and others 3 60 1- to 4-family 61 Multifamily 62 Commercial 63 Farm 1. Includes loans held by nondeposit trust companies but not bank trust departments. 2. Outstanding principal balances of mortgages backing securities insured or guaranteed by the agency indicated. 3. Other holders include mortgage companies, real estate investment trusts, state and local credit agencies, state and local retirement funds, noninsured pension funds, credit unions, and U.S. agencies for which amounts are small or separate data are not readily available. 210,816' 126,064' 28,301' 28,880' 27,571' NOTE. Based on data from various institutional and governmental sources, with some quarters estimated in part by the Federal Reserve in conjunction with the Federal Home Loan Bank Board and the Department of Commerce. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, if not reported directly, and interpolations and extrapolations when required, are estimated mainly by the Federal Reserve. Multifamily debt refers to loans on structures of five or more units. A42 1.56 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 C O N S U M E R INSTALLMENT CREDIT 1 Total Outstanding, and Net ChangeA Millions of dollars 1981 Holder, and type of credit 1978 1979 1982 1980 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Amounts outstanding (end of period) 1 Total 273,645 312,024 313,472 320,656 324,161 328,187 328,652 329,053 333,375 330,135 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers 2 Savings and loans Gasoline companies . . . Mutual savings banks . . 136,016 54,298 44,334 25,987 7,097 3,220 2.693 154,177 68,318 46,517 28,119 8,424 3,729 2,740 147,013 76,756 44,041 28,448 9,911 4,468 2,835 145,382 83,924 46,096 26,396 10,959 5,078 2,821 146,006 86,152 46,605 26,477 11,125 5,004 2,792 147,060 88,698 46,791 26,594 11,236 5,007 2,801 146,889 89,583 46,416 26,922 11,348 4,713 2,781 146,687 89,956 46,092 27,510 11,529 4,487 2,792 149,300 89,818 45,954 29,551 11,598 4,403 2,751 148,162 88,925 45,907 28,179 11,668 4,541 2,753 By major type of credit 9 Automobile 10 Commercial b a n k s . . . 11 Indirect paper 12 Direct loans 13 Credit unions 14 Finance companies . . 101,647 60,510 33.850 26,660 21,200 19.937 116,362 67,367 38,338 29,029 22,244 26,751 116,838 61,536 35,233 26,303 21,060 34,242 121,476 59,908 34,505 25,403 22,044 39,525 123,481 59,747 34,599 25,148 22,286 41,448 125,703 59,451 34,616 24,835 22,375 43,877 126,344 59,242 34,651 24,591 22,196 44,906 126,385 59,125 34,781 24,344 22,041 45,219 126,431 59,181 35,097 24,084 21,975 45,275 125,525 58,849 35,029 23,820 21,953 44,723 15 Revolving 16 Commercial b a n k s . . . 17 Retailers 18 Gasoline companies . 48,309 24,341 20,748 3,220 56,937 29,862 23,346 3,729 58,352 29,765 24,119 4,468 56,764 29,290 22,396 5,078 57,280 29,778 22,498 5,004 58,318 30,686 22.625 5,007 58,451 30,763 22,975 4,713 58,923 30,876 23,560 4,487 63,049 33,110 25,536 4,403 61,433 32,643 24,249 4,541 19 Mobile home 20 Commercial b a n k s . . . 21 Finance companies . . 22 Savings and loans . . . 23 Credit unions 15,235 9,545 3,152 2,067 471 16,838 10,647 3,390 2,307 494 17,322 10,371 3,745 2,737 469 17,760 10,168 4,076 3,026 490 17,959 10,213 4,178 3,072 496 18,124 10,241 4,282 3,103 498 18,300 10,288 4,384 3,134 494 18,380 10,267 4,439 3,184 490 18,486 10,300 4,494 3,203 489 18,397 10,206 4,481 3,222 48 8 24 Other 25 Commercial b a n k s . . . 26 Finance companies . . 27 Credit unions 28 Retailers 29 Savings and loans . . . 30 Mutual savings banks 108,454 41,620 31,209 22,663 5,239 5,030 2,693 121,887 46,301 38,177 23,779 4,773 6,117 2,740 120,960 45,341 38,769 22,512 4,329 7,174 2,835 124,656 46,016 40,323 23,563 4,000 7,933 2,821 125,441 46,268 40,526 23,823 3,979 8,053 2,792 126,042 46,682 40,539 23,918 3,969 8,133 2,801 125,557 46,596 40,293 23,726 3,947 8,214 2,781 125,365 46,419 40,298 23,561 3,950 8,345 2,792 125,409 46,709 40,049 23,490 4,015 8,395 2,751 124,780 46,464 39,721 23,466 3,930 8,446 2,753 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Net change (during period) 3 31 Total 43,079 38,381 1,448 1,551 2,428 2,975 1,002 600 -33 443 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies . . . . Credit unions Retailers 2 Savings and loans Gasoline companies . . . Mutual savings banks . . 23,641 9,430 6,729 2,497 7 257 518 18,161 14,020 2,185 2,132 1,327 509 47 -7,163 8,438 -2,475 329 1,485 739 95 29 948 532 265 -175 4 -52 -246 2,383 245 -13 42 33 -16 427 2,682 -134 11 71 -62 -20 -76 1,204 -209 104 32 -42 -11 433 462 -224 -126 121 -81 15 1,160 -414 -369 -338 57 -98 -31 10 -597 689 27 172 39 103 By major type of credit 39 Automobile 40 Commercial b a n k s . . . 41 Indirect paper 42 Direct loans 43 Credit unions 44 Finance companies . . 18,736 10,933 6,471 4,462 3,101 4,702 14,715 6,857 4,488 2,369 1,044 6,814 477 -5,830 -3,104 -2,726 -1,184 7,491 1,056 47 196 -149 263 746 1,859 -347 -42 -305 106 2,100 2,079 -404 -79 -325 -82 2,565 1,024 -226 16 -242 -98 1,348 564 220 371 -151 -77 421 68 236 413 -177 -200 32 -121 103 232 -129 345 -569 45 Revolving 46 Commercial b a n k s . . . 47 Retailers 48 Gasoline companies . 9,035 5,967 2,811 257 8,628 5,521 2,598 509 1,415 -97 773 739 116 -205 317 4 177 126 18 33 571 593 40 -62 324 182 184 -42 21 198 -96 -81 59 467 -310 -98 -196 -276 41 39 49 Mobile home 50 Commercial b a n k s . . . 51 Finance companies . . 52 Savings and loans . . . 53 Credit unions 286 419 74 -276 69 1,603 1,102 238 240 23 483 -276 355 430 -25 59 12 81 -44 10 156 24 93 37 2 157 30 102 26 -1 122 28 74 23 -3 75 -9 42 45 -3 143 81 49 15 -2 -26 -74 6 30 12 54 Other 55 Commercial b a n k s . . . 56 Finance companies . . 57 Credit unions 58 Retailers 59 Savings and loans . . . 60 Mutual savings banks 15,022 6,322 4,654 3,559 -314 283 518 13,435 4,681 6,968 1,118 -466 1,087 47 -927 -960 592 -1,266 -444 1,056 95 320 175 121 259 -52 -131 -52 236 -49 190 137 -31 5 -16 168 208 15 -51 -29 45 -20 -468 -60 -218 -108 -80 9 -11 -60 24 -1 -144 -30 76 15 -303 376 -495 -167 -28 42 -31 786 257 -34 332 -14 142 103 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 1. The Board's series cover most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals through regular business channels, usually to finance the purchase of consumer goods and services or to refinance debts incurred for such purposes, and scheduled to be repaid (or with the option of repayment) in two or more installments. 2. Includes auto dealers and excludes 30-day charge credit held by travel and entertainment companies. 3. Net change equals extensions minus liquidations (repayments, charge-offs and other credit); figures for all months are seasonally adjusted. NOTE: Total consumer noninstallment credit outstanding—credit scheduled to be repaid in a lump sum, including single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit—amounted to $71.3 billion at the end of 1979, $72.2 billion at the end of 1980, and $78.4 billion at the end of 1981. A These data have been revised from January 1980 through December 1981. Consumer Debt 1.57 A43 C O N S U M E R I N S T A L L M E N T C R E D I T Extensions and Liquidations A Millions of dollars; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. 1982 1981 Holder, and type of credit 107R 1980 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Extensions 297,668 324,777 306,076 28,290 28,323 29,406 26,836 27,370 26,656 26,888 142,433 50,505 38,111 44,571 3,724 16,017 2,307 154,733 61,518 34,926 47,676 5,901 18,005 2,018 134,960 60,801 29,594 49,942 6,621 22,253 1,905 11,973 5,439 3,299 4,826 383 2,252 118 11,458 6,385 2,913 4,616 537 2,284 130 12,384 7,158 2,558 4,568 573 2,035 130 11,610 5,327 2,621 4,559 553 2,021 145 12,430 5,287 2,571 4,279 668 1,963 172 13,264 4,089 2,517 4,142 588 1,931 125 11,775 4,433 3,326 4,385 716 2,000 253 By major type of credit 9 Automobile 10 Commercial banks 11 Indirect paper Direct loans 1? 13 Credit unions 14 Finance companies 87,981 52,969 29,342 23,627 18,539 16,473 93.901 53,554 29,623 23,931 17,397 22,950 83,454 41,109 22,558 18,551 15,294 27,051 8,059 3,755 2,268 1,487 1,663 2,641 8,396 3,280 1,951 1,329 1,537 3,579 9,000 3,218 1,932 1,286 1,337 4,445 7,490 3,263 1,966 1,297 1,308 2,919 8,073 3,979 2,516 1,463 1,342 2,752 7,352 3,978 2,489 1,489 1,345 2,029 7,474 3,696 2,293 1,403 1,702 2,076 15 Revolving 16 Commercial banks 17 Retailers 18 Gasoline companies 105,125 51,333 37,775 16,017 120,174 61,048 41,121 18,005 128,068 61,593 44,222 22,253 11,706 5,073 4,381 2,252 11,663 5,227 4,152 2,284 12,263 6,124 4,104 2,035 11,753 5,578 4,154 2,021 11,379 5,584 3,832 1,963 11,592 5,961 3,700 1,931 11,070 5,135 3,935 2,000 5,412 3,697 886 609 220 6,471 4,542 797 948 184 5,093 2,937 898 1,146 113 445 276 116 30 23 520 281 120 105 14 532 291 134 95 12 475 254 123 89 9 479 235 108 127 9 508 308 106 86 8 434 188 99 122 25 99,150 34,434 33,146 19,352 6,796 3,115 2,307 104,231 35,589 37,771 17,345 6,555 4,953 2,018 89,461 29,321 32,852 14,187 5,720 5,476 1,905 8,080 2,869 2,682 1,613 445 353 118 7,744 2,670 2,686 1,362 464 432 130 7,611 2,751 2,579 1,209 464 478 130 7,118 2,515 2,285 1,304 405 464 145 7,439 2,632 2,427 1,220 447 541 172 7,204 3,017 1,954 1,164 442 502 125 7,910 2,756 2,258 1,599 450 594 253 1 Total 7 3 4 6 7 8 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers 1 Savings and loans Gasoline companies Mutual savings banks 19 Mobile home 70 Commercial banks Finance companies 71 22 Savings and loans 23 Credit unions 74 Other 75 Commercial banks 76 Finance companies 71 Credit unions 78 Retailers 7.9 Savings and loans 30 Mutual savings banks Liquidations 254,589 286,396 304,628 26,739 25,895 26,431 25,834 26,770 26,689 26,445 118,792 41,075 31,382 42,074 3,717 15,760 1,789 136,572 47,498 32,741 45,544 4,574 17,496 1,971 142,123 52,363 32,069 49,613 5,136 21,514 1,810 11,944 4,491 2,767 4,561 558 2,248 170 11,704 4,002 2,668 4,629 495 2,251 146 11,957 4,476 2,692 4,557 502 2,097 150 11,686 4,123 2,830 4,455 521 2,063 156 11,997 4,825 2,795 4,405 547 2,044 157 12,104 4,503 2,886 4,480 531 2,029 156 11,765 5,030 2,637 4,358 544 1,961 150 69,245 42,036 22,871 19,165 15,438 11,771 79,186 46,697 25,135 21,562 16,353 16,136 82,977 46,939 25,662 21,277 16,478 19,560 7,003 3,708 2,072 1,636 1,400 1,895 6,537 3,627 1,993 1,634 1,431 1,479 6,921 3,622 2,011 1,611 1,419 1,880 6,466 3,489 1,950 1,539 1,406 1,571 7,509 3,759 2,145 1,614 1,419 2,331 7,284 3,742 2.076 1,666 1,545 1,997 7,595 3,593 2,061 1,532 1,357 2,645 45 Revolving 46 Commercial banks Retailers 47 48 Gasoline companies 96,090 45,366 34,964 15,760 111,546 55,527 38,523 17,496 126,653 61,690 43,449 21,514 11,590 5,278 4,064 2,248 11,486 5,101 4,134 2,251 11,692 5,531 4,064 2,097 11,429 5,396 3,970 2,063 11,358 5,386 3,928 2,044 11,533 5,494 4,010 2,029 11,266 5,411 3,894 1,961 49 Mobile home 50 Commercial banks 51 Finance companies 57 Savings and loans 53 Credit unions 5,126 3,278 812 885 151 4,868 3,440 559 708 161 4,610 3,213 543 716 138 386 264 35 74 13 364 257 27 68 12 375 261 32 69 13 353 226 49 66 12 404 244 66 82 12 365 227 57 71 10 460 262 93 92 13 84,128 28,112 28,492 15,793 7,110 2,832 1,789 90,796 30,908 30,803 16,227 7,021 3,866 1,971 90,388 30,281 32,260 15,453 6,164 4,420 1,810 7,760 2,694 2,561 1,354 497 484 170 7,508 2,719 2,496 1,225 495 427 146 7,443 2,543 2,564 1,260 493 433 150 7,586 2,575 2,503 1,412 485 455 156 7,499 2,608 2,428 1,364 477 465 157 7,507 2,641 2,449 1,331 470 460 156 7,124 2,499 2,292 1,267 464 452 150 31 Total 37 33 34 35 36 37 38 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers 1 Savings and loans Gasoline companies Mutual savings banks By major type of credit 39 40 41 47 43 44 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Commercial banks Indirect paper Direct loans Credit unions Finance companies Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers Savings and loans Mutual savings banks 1. Includes auto dealers and excludes 30-day charge credit held by travel and entertainment companies. A These data have been revised from January 1980 through December 1981. A44 1.58 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • March 1982 F U N D S R A I S E D IN U . S . C R E D I T M A R K E T S Billions of dollars; half-yearly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1979 Transaction category, sector 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1980 1981 1981 HI H2 HI H2 HI H2 Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total funds raised 2 Excluding equities By sector and 273.6 262.8 336.6 333.5 395.6 396.3 387.0 394.0 371.9 357.0 393.0 399.9 385.0 394.7 389.0 393.3 339.0 330.1 404.9 383.8 423.5 422.0 362.5 377.9 69.0 69.1 -.1 204.6 10.8 193.8 185.0 10.5 174.5 123.7 15.7 22.8 56.8 57.6 -.9 -279.9 3.1 276.7 266.0 2.7 263.2 172.2 21.9 21.0 53.7 55.1 -1.4 342.0 -.6 342.6 308.7 -.1 308.8 193.7 26.1 20.1 37.4 38.8 -1.4 349.6 -7.1 356.7 328.6 -7.8 336.4 200.1 21.8 21.2 79.2 79.8 -.6 292.7 15.0 277.8 263.4 12.9 250.6 179.4 26.9 30.4 87.3 87.7 -.4 305.7 -6.9 312.6 274.9 -6.9 281.8 150.0 25.3 25.1 30.0 32.3 -2.3 355.0 -9.8 364.7 341.0 -9.6 350.6 203.0 20.9 21.7 44.7 45.2 -.5 344.3 -4.3 348.6 316.1 -6.1 322.2 197.2 22.7 20.7 66.5 67.2 -.6 272.5 8.9 263.6 241.3 6.9 234.4 177.0 21.6 35.3 91.9 92.4 -.6 313.0 21.0 292.0 285.6 18.8 266.8 181.9 32.1 25.6 85.7 86.3 -.5 337.8 1.5 336.3 301.9 .9 301.0 171.7 28.7 27.7 88.9 89.2 -.4 273.6 -15.4 289.0 248.0 -14.7 262.7 128.3 21.9 22.4 instrument 3 U.S. government 4 Treasury securities 5 Agency issues and mortgages 6 All other nonfinancial sectors 7 Corporate equities 8 Debt instruments y Private domestic nonfinancial sectors 10 Corporate equities Debt instruments li 12 Debt capital instruments 13 State and local obligations 14 Corporate bonds 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Home mortgages Multifamily residential Commercial Farm Other debt instruments Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other 64.0 3.9 11.6 5.7 50.7 25.4 4.4 4.0 16.9 96.3 7.4 18.5 7.1 91.0 40.2 26.7 2.9 21.3 108.5 9.4 22.1 7.5 115.1 47.6 37.1 5.2 25.1 113.7 7.8 24.4 11.3 136.3 46.3 49.2 11.1 29.7 81.7 8.5 22.4 9.5 71.1 2.3 37.3 6.6 24.9 60.0 7.2 22.6 9.8 131.8 26.4 53.0 19.0 33.4 117.6 8.0 23.4 11.6 147.6 50.9 55.5 8.0 33.1 109.8 7.6 25.4 11.0 125.0 41.6 42.8 14.2 26.4 76.5 8.2 24.8 10.6 57.4 -5.1 13.5 24.8 24.1 87.0 8.8 19.9 8.4 84.9 9.7 61.2 -11.6 25.6 73.4 6.4 26.7 8.9 129.3 29.1 45.0 17.6 37.6 46.7 8.0 18.6 10.8 134.4 23.8 61.0 20.5 29.1 24 25 26 27 28 29 By borrowing sector State and local governments Households Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate 185.0 15.2 89.6 10.2 5.7 64.3 266.0 17.3 139.1 12.3 12.7 84.6 308.7 20.9 164.3 15.0 15.3 93.2 328.6 18.4 170.6 20.8 14.0 104.8 263.4 25.3 101.7 14.5 15.8 106.1 274.9 22.5 106.7 17.2 15.1 113.5 341.0 17.9 179.1 21.2 13.5 109.3 316.1 18.9 162.1 20.4 14.5 100.2 241.3 19.7 94.2 17.9 11.0 98.4 285.6 30.9 109.1 11.1 20.6 113.8 301.9 26.1 123.4 22.7 17.0 112.7 248.0 18.9 90.1 11.6 13.2 114.2 19.6 .3 19.3 8.6 5.6 1.9 3.3 13.9 .4 13.5 5.1 3.1 2.4 3.0 33.2 -.5 33.8 4.2 19.1 6.6 3.9 21.0 .8 20.3 3.9 2.3 11.2 3.0 29.3 2.1 27.2 .8 11.5 10.1 4.7 30.8 14.0 -.2 14.1 2.8 2.1 6.1 3.1 28.1 1.7 26.4 4.9 2.4 16.3 2.8 31.2 1.9 29.2 2.0 6.1 15.7 5.4 27.4 2.2 25.2 -.4 17.0 4.5 4.0 35.9 .6 35.3 3.3 6.1 20.6 5.3 25.7 -.7 26.3 7.2 6.8 7.1 5.1 Foreign Corporate equities Debt instruments Bonds Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper U.S. government loans 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 * 30.8 5.3 6.5 13.9 5.2 Financial sectors 37 Total funds raised By 38 U.S. government related 39 Sponsored credit agency securities 40 Mortgage pool securities 41 Loans from U.S. government 42 Private financial sectors 43 Corporate equities 44 Debt instruments 45 Corporate bonds 46 Mortgages 4/ Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper and RPs 48 Loans from Federal Home Loan Banks 49 Bv 23.4 51.4 76.8 84.3 66.7 86.9 87.8 80.8 59.8 73.5 90.8 83.0 15.1 3.3 12.2 -.4 8.2 -.2 8.4 9.8 2.1 -3.7 2.2 -2.0 21.9 7.0 16.1 -1.2 29.5 2.6 26.9 10.1 3.1 -.3 9.6 4.3 36.7 23.1 13.6 0 40.1 1.8 38.3 7.5 .9 2.8 14.6 12.5 48.2 24.3 24.0 0 36.0 2.5 33.6 7.8 -1.2 -.4 18.2 9.2 43.0 24.4 18.6 0 23.7 6.2 17.5 7.1 -.9 -.5 4.6 7.1 43.1 29.6 13.5 0 43.8 8.9 34.9 -.9 -3.1 2.7 20.0 16.2 43.7 21.2 22.5 0 44.1 3.6 40.6 8.2 .3 -1.4 25.4 8.2 52.8 27.3 25.5 0 28.0 1.4 26.6 7.5 -2.6 .6 10.9 10.1 44.7 25.1 19.6 0 15.2 7.1 8.1 10.1 -5.8 -.8 4.6 41.3 23.7 17.6 0 32.2 5.2 27.0 4.2 4.0 -.9 10.1 9.6 38.7 24.0 14.7 0 52.1 10.4 41.8 -1.7 -2.9 4.6 23.7 18.0 47.6 35.2 12.4 0 35.4 7.4 28.0 -.1 -3.3 .7 16.3 14.5 2.9 12.2 8.2 2.3 5.4 .1 .9 4.3 -2.2 -2.4 5.8 16.1 29.5 1.1 2.0 9.9 1.4 16.9 -2.3 .4 23.1 13.6 40.1 1.3 7.2 14.3 .8 18.1 -1.1 -.5 24.3 24.0 36.0 1.6 6.5 11.4 .9 16.8 -.4 -.6 24.4 18.6 23.7 .5 6.9 6.9 .9 5.8 -1.7 4.4 29.6 13.5 43.8 .4 8.3 13.6 .9 13.7 -.7 -7.6 21.2 22.5 44.1 1.3 8.0 11.1 .9 22.7 -.6 .7 27.3 25.5 28.0 1.8 4.9 11.7 .9 10.9 -.2 -1.9 25.1 19.6 15.2 .8 5.8 -1.4 .9 5.2 -1.4 5.3 23.7 17.6 32.2 .3 8.0 15.2 .9 6.3 -2.0 3.4 24.0 14.7 52.1 .2 6.9 17.0 .9 18.6 -.8 9.3 35.4 12.4 35.4 .5 9.6 10.3 .9 8.7 -.5 5.9 instrument * sector 50 Sponsored credit agencies 51 Mortgage pools 52 Private financial sectors 53 Commercial banks 54 Bank affiliates Savings and loan associations 55 56 Other insurance companies 57 Finance companies 58 REITs 59 Open-end investment companies All sectors 60 Total funds raised, by instrument 297.0 388.0 472.5 471.3 438.6 479.9 472.8 469.7 398.8 478.4 514.4 445.5 61 Investment company shares 62 Other corporate equities 63 Debt instruments 64 U.S. government securities 65 State and local obligations 66 Corporate and foreign bonds 67 Mortgages 68 Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c 69 Open market paper and RPs /U n Other loans -2.4 13.1 286.4 84.6 15.7 41.2 87.2 25.4 6.2 8.1 17.8 .4 5.3 382.3 79.9 21.9 36.1 132.3 40.2 29.5 15.0 27.4 -.5 1.7 471.3 90.5 26.1 31.8 148.3 47.6 59.0 26.4 41.5 -.6 -4.0 475.8 85.7 21.8 32.8 155.9 46.3 51.0 40.5 41.9 4.4 16.8 417.5 122.3 26.9 38.4 121.1 2.3 48.4 21.4 36.7 7.6 -5.6 478.0 130.6 25.3 29.4 96.5 26.4 62.1 52.9 54.8 .7 -6.9 479.0 73.8 20.9 32.6 160.6 50.9 56.2 39.5 44.4 -1.9 -1.0 472.6 97.6 22.7 33.0 151.1 41.6 45.8 41.5 39.3 5.3 10.7 382.9 111.3 21.6 47.4 114.2 -5.1 19.6 39.7 34.1 3.4 22.8 452.1 133.2 32.1 29.5 128.0 9.7 77.2 3.1 39.3 9.3 2.6 502.5 124.5 28.7 29.3 112.4 29.1 55.8 61.9 60.8 5.9 -13.9 453.5 136.6 21.9 29.5 80.6 23.8 68.5 43.9 48.7 Flow of Funds 1.59 A45 D I R E C T A N D I N D I R E C T S O U R C E S OF F U N D S TO C R E D I T M A R K E T S Billions of dollars, except as noted; half-yearly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1980 1979 Transaction category, or sector 1977 1976 1978 1979 1980 1981 1981 HI H2 HI H2 HI H2 1 Total funds advanced in credit markets to nonfinancial sectors 262.8 333.5 396.3 394.0 357.0 399.9 394.7 393.3 330.1 383.8 422.0 377.9 By public agencies and foreign 2 Total net advances 3 U.S. government securities 4 Residential mortgages 5 FHLB advances to savings and loans 6 Other loans and securities 49.8 23.1 12.3 -2.0 16.4 79.2 34.9 20.0 4.3 20.1 101.9 36.1 25.7 12.5 27.6 74.0 -6.2 36.7 9.2 34.3 92.1 15.6 31.1 7.1 38.2 90.0 16.1 22.1 16.2 35.6 49.6 -27.1 35.7 8.2 32.8 98.5 14.7 37.8 10.1 35.8 102.9 23.2 33.3 4.6 41.7 81.3 8.0 28.9 9.6 34.8 101.2 21.6 20.8 18.0 40.8 78.8 10.6 23.3 14.5 30.3 7.9 16.8 9.8 15.2 15.1 10.0 22.4 7.1 39.6 21.9 17.1 39.9 7.0 38.0 36.7 19.0 53.4 7.7 -6.1 48.2 23.7 43.8 4.5 20.0 43.0 24.9 44.4 9.2 11.5 43.1 19.8 47.8 -.9 -17.2 43.7 18.3 58.9 16.2 5.1 52.8 25.4 42.4 12.1 23.0 44.7 22.1 45.2 -3.1 17.0 41.3 29.9 40.4 -7.1 38.0 38.7 19.9 48.4 25.4 -14.9 47.6 228.1 61.5 15.7 30.5 55.5 62.9 -2.0 276.2 45.1 21.9 22.2 83.7 107.7 4.3 331.0 54.3 26.1 22.4 92.1 148.6 12.5 368.2 91.9 21.8 24.0 84.6 155.1 9.2 307.9 106.7 26.9 26.2 59.1 96.2 7.1 353.1 114.4 25.3 25.7 45.0 158.9 16.2 388.9 101.0 20.9 24.0 89.8 161.4 8.2 347.6 82.9 22.7 24.0 79.5 148.7 10.1 271.9 88.1 21.6 32.5 51.2 83.1 4.6 343.8 125.3 32.1 19.9 66.9 109.3 9.6 359.5 102.9 28.7 24.5 58.9 162.5 18.0 346.7 126.0 21.9 26.8 31.2 155.3 14.5 191.4 59.6 70.5 49.7 11.6 260.9 87.6 82.0 67.8 23.4 302.4 128.7 73.5 75.0 25.2 292.5 121.1 55.9 66.4 49.0 270.3 99.7 58.4 79.8 32.4 309.6 103.3 27.9 83.8 94.5 316.9 130.3 59.6 72.3 54.8 268.0 112.0 52.2 60.5 43.3 246.1 58.5 35.5 89.2 62.8 294.4 140.9 81.3 70.3 1.9 321.0 101.9 42.0 79.3 97.7 298.2 104.8 13.9 88.3 91.2 191.4 124.4 8.4 58.5 -4.7 -.1 34.3 29.0 260.9 138.9 26.9 95.1 1.2 4.3 50.1 39.5 302.4 140.8 38.3 123.2 6.3 6.8 62.2 48.0 292.5 143.2 33.6 115.7 25.6 .4 47.8 41.9 270.3 171.1 17.5 81.6 -22.3 -2.6 64.1 42.4 309.6 188.6 34.9 86.1 6.6 .6 72.2 6.7 316.9 135.1 40.6 141.2 45.6 5.0 52.3 38.4 268.0 151.2 26.6 90.3 5.6 -4.2 43.4 45.4 246.1 158.7 8.1 79.4 -22.8 -2.3 70.0 34.5 294.4 183.6 27.0 83.8 -21.9 -2.8 58.1 50.4 321.0 203.4 41.8 75.8 -6.6 10.3 62.7 9.3 298.2 173.8 28.0 96.3 19.7 -9.1 81.7 4.0 45.1 16.4 3.3 11.8 1.9 11.7 42.2 24.1 -.8 -3.8 9.6 13.2 67.0 35.6 1.4 -2.9 16.5 16.4 109.3 62.8 1.4 10.3 11.4 23.5 55.1 32.6 3.1 3.6 -3.8 19.7 78.4 48.2 14.1 -9.1 5.0 20.1 112.5 71.0 2.6 4.6 11.4 22.9 106.1 54.5 .2 16.0 11.4 24.0 33.9 19.3 -1.8 4.8 -4.5 16.0 76.4 45.8 7.9 2.3 -3.1 23.3 80.3 37.2 20.5 -5.0 5.8 21.8 76.5 59.3 7.7 -13.2 4.3 18.5 133.4 7.3 10.4 123.7 -12.0 2.3 1.7 148.5 8.3 17.2 93.5 .2 25.8 2.2 1.3 152.1 9.3 16.3 63.5 6.9 46.6 7.5 2.0 152.6 7.9 19.2 61.7 34.4 21.2 6.6 1.5 182.3 10.3 4.2 80.9 29.2 50.3 6.5 .9 195.7 8.7 15.5 37.4 107.5 27.6 .7 -1.6 149.3 9.0 16.6 66.5 30.2 3.3 18.5 5.2 155.9 6.9 21.9 56.9 38.6 39.1 -5.3 -2.3 167.6 8.5 -1.5 66.7 61.9 26.3 5.3 .4 197.1 12.1 9.9 95.2 -3.4 74.2 7.8 1.3 209.4 4.8 29.6 13.7 104.1 48.3 7.7 1.2 181.9 12.6 1.3 61.2 110.8 6.8 -6.3 -4.5 7 8 9 10 11 Total advanced, by sector U.S. government Sponsored credit agencies Monetary authorities Foreign Agency borrowing not included in line 1 Private domestic funds advanced 12 Total net advances 13 U.S. government securities 14 State and local obligations 15 Corporate and foreign bonds 16 Residential mortgages 17 Other mortgages and loans 18 LESS: Federal Home Loan Bank advances Private financial intermediation 19 Credit market funds advanced by private financial institutions 20 Commercial banking 21 Savings institutions 22 Insurance and pension funds 23 Other finance 24 Sources of funds 25 Private domestic deposits 26 Credit market borrowing 27 Other sources Foreign funds 28 29 Treasury balances 30 Insurance and pension reserves Other, net 31 Private domestic nonfinancial investors 32 Direct lending in credit markets 33 U.S. government securities 34 State and local obligations 35 Corporate and foreign bonds 36 Commercial paper 37 Other 38 Deposits and currency 39 Currency 40 Checkable deposits 41 Small time and savings accounts 42 Money market fund shares 43 Large time deposits 44 Security RPs 45 Foreign deposits 46 Total of credit market instruments, deposits and currency * 178.5 190.7 219.1 261.9 237.5 274.1 261.8 262.0 201.5 273.4 289.7 258.5 Public support rate (in percent) Private financial intermediation (in percent) Total foreign funds 19.0 83.9 10.5 23.7 94.4 40.8 25.7 91.3 44.3 18.8 79.4 19.5 25.8 87.8 -2.3 22.5 87.7 18.1 12.6 81.5 28.4 25.0 77.1 10.7 31.2 90.5 .2 21.2 85.6 -4.8 24.0 89.3 31.4 20.8 86.0 4.8 MEMO: Corporate equities not included above 50 Total net issues 51 Mutual fund shares 52 Other equities 10.6 -2.4 13.1 5.7 .4 5.3 1.2 -.5 1.7 -4.6 -.6 -4.0 21.1 4.4 16.8 2.0 7.6 -5.6 -6.2 .7 -6.9 -2.9 -1.9 -1.0 16.0 5.3 10.7 26.3 3.4 22.8 11.9 9.3 2.6 -8.0 5.9 -13.9 53 Acquisitions by financial institutions 54 Other net purchases 12.5 -1.9 7.4 -1.6 4.5 -3.4 10.6 -15.1 17.7 3.4 21.7 -19.8 7.1 -13.4 14.0 -16.9 10.5 5.5 24.9 1.4 26.4 -14.5 17.0 -25.0 47 48 49 NOTES BY LINE NUMBER. 1. 2. 6. 11. 12. 17. 25. 26. 28. 29. Line 2 of table 1.58. Sum of lines 3-6 or 7-10. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. Credit market funds raised by federally sponsored credit agencies, and net issues of federally related mortgage pool securities. Line 1 less line 2 plus line 11. Also line 19 less line 26 plus line 32. Also sum of lines 27, 32, and 38 less lines 40 and 46. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. Line 38 less lines 40 and 46. Excludes equity issues and investment company shares. Includes line 18. Foreign deposits at commercial banks, bank borrowings from foreign branches, and liabilities of foreign banking agencies to foreign affiliates. Demand deposits at commercial banks. 30. Excludes net investment of these reserves in corporate equities. 31. Mainly retained earnings and net miscellaneous liabilities. 32. Line 12 less line 19 plus line 26. 33-37. Lines 13-17 less amounts acquired by private finance. Line 37 includes mortgages. 39. Mainly an offset to line 9. 46. Lines 32 plus 38, or line 12 less line 27 plus 39 and 45. 47. Line 2/line 1. 48. Line 19/line 12. 49. Sum of lines 10 and 28. 50. 52. Includes issues by financial institutions. NOTE. Full statements for sectors and transaction types quarterly, and annually for flows and for amounts outstanding, may be obtained from Flow of Funds Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A46 2.10 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1982 N O N F I N A N C I A L BUSINESS ACTIVITY Selected Measures 1967 = 100; monthly and quarterly data are seasonally adjusted. Exceptions noted. 1981 Measure 1979 1980 1982 1981' May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.' Dec. Jan. Feb. 1 Industrial production1 152.5 147.0 151.0 152.7 152.9 153.9 153.6 151.6 149.1 146.3 143.2 139.6 141.8 Market groupings Products, total Final, total Consumer goods Equipment Intermediate Materials 150.0 147.2 150.8 142.2 160.5 156.4 146.7 145.3 145.4 145.2 151.9 147.6 150.6 149.5 147.8 151.8 154.4 151.6 152.3 151.3 150.7 152.1 156.1 153.4 152.7 151.4 150.3 153.0 154.9 154.0 153.0 152.1 150.7 154.1 156.2 155.3 152.6 151.5 149.6 154.0 156.8 155.2 151.0 150.0 147.8 152.9 154.6 152.5 149.4 148.9 146.5 152.1 151.4 148.5 147.5 147.2 144.0 151.5 148.7 144.6 145.8 145.8 141.4 151.8 145.9 139.1 142.3 142.3 138.6 147.5 141.9 135.6 144.3 144.2 140.9 148.8 144.4 138.1 153.6 146.7 150.4 152.8 152.4 153.2 153.2 151.1 148.2 145.0 141.7 137.6 140.1 85.7 87.4 79.1 80.0 78.5 79.9 80.0 81.2 79.6 81.3 79.8 81.9 79.6 81.7 78.3 80.0 76.6 77.7 74.8 75.5 72.9 72.5 70.6 70.5 71.8 71.7 2 3 4 5 6 7 Industry groupings 8 Manufacturing Capacity utilization (percent)1-2 9 Manufacturing 10 Industrial materials industries . . . . 11 Construction contracts (1972 = 100)3 185.6 161.8 160.0 170.0 153.0 156.0 159.0 157.0 142.0 172.0 n.a. 12 Nonagricultural employment, total 4 . 13 Goods-producing, total 14 Manufacturing, total 15 Manufacturing, productionworker 16 Service-producing 17 Personal income, total 18 Wages and salary disbursements .. 19 Manufacturing 20 Disposable personal income5 136.5 113.5 108.2 137.6 110.3 104.4 139.1 110.2 104.2 139.1 110.3 105.0 139.2 110.8 105.0 139.6 111.3 105.6 139.7 111.3 105.4 139.9 111.2 105.4 139.6 110.1 104.1 139.1 109.1 102.9 138.5' 107.7' 101.5' 138.0' 106.2' 100.4' 138.2 106.4 100.2 105.3 149.1 308.5 289.5 248.6 299.6 99.4 152.6 342.9 314.7 261.5 332.5 98.5 155.0 381.5 347.3 288.9 379.6 99.6 155.0 375.8 343.6 289.2 362.3 99.6 154.8 378.5 345.2 289.9 364.4 100.1 155.2 384.0 347.8 292.1 369.7 99.9 155.2 387.8 351.4 294.3 372.9 99.8 155.6 390.9 353.7' 294.9 375.5 r 98.1 155.7 392.8' 355.4 293.7 379.6 96.4 155.6 395.6 357.8 292.0 381.9 94.5' 155.3' 395.4' 356.2' 288.8' 381.7 93.2' 155.5' 396.0' 357.1' 287.1' 383.5 93.2 155.7 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 21 Retail sales6 281.6 303.8 332.5 326.7 333.9 333.8 338.5 338.9 331.1 333.3 334.1 329.2 334.5 Prices7 22 Consumer 23 Producer finished goods 217.4 246.8 247.0' 272.4 269.8 269.0 269.6 271.3 270.5 274.4 271.8 276.5 271.5' 279.3 272.6 279.9 274.2 280.7 275.3' 281.5 276.1 282.5 277.3 n.a. 276.9 n.a. 1. The industrial production and capacity utilization series have been revised back to January 1979. 2. Ratios of indexes of production to indexes of capacity. Based on data from Federal Reserve, McGraw-Hill Economics Department, and Department of Commerce. 3. Index of dollar value of total construction contracts, including residential, nonresidential, and heavy engineering, from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. 4. Based on data in Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). Series covers employees only, excluding personnel in the Armed Forces. 5. Based on data in Survey of Current Business (U.S. Department of Commerce). 2.11 n.a. 6. Based on Bureau of Census data published in Survey of Current Business. 1. Data without seasonal adjustment, as published in Monthly Labor Review. Seasonally adjusted data for changes in the price indexes may be obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. NOTE. Basic data (not index numbers) for series mentioned in notes 4, 5, and 6, and indexes for series mentioned in notes 3 and 7 may also be found in the Survey of Current Business. Figures for industrial production for the last two months are preliminary and estimated, respectively. OUTPUT, CAPACITY, A N D CAPACITY UTILIZATION Seasonally adjusted 1981 1981 1981 Series Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4' Output (1967 = 100) Q1 Q2 151.3 157.5 148.1 152.4 156.5 150.2 152.5 155.8 150.7 144.9 143.5 145.6 189.4 193.8 187.1 190.9 195.0 188.7 4 Materials 154.2 153.4 154.3 144.1 187.6 189.0 150.9 117.5 179.2 186.7 114.8 151.4 232.7 130.9 152.3 112.8 178.4 185.9 114.5 151.0 231.6 125.1 152.8 114.2 175.8 182.8 115.5 152.2 224.9 131.6 140.2 99.5 164.4 169.7 106.8 148.1 206.2 127.8 191.8 141.5 207.3 217.1 140.1 159.7 274.1 153.5 192.9 141.7 209.2 219.4 140.6 160.7 277.5 154.3' Q4 Capacity (percent of 1967 output) 1 Manufacturing 2 Primary processing 3 Advanced processing 5 Durable goods 6 Metal materials 7 Nondurable goods 8 Textile, paper, and chemical 9 Textile 10 Paper 11 Chemical 12 Energy materials Q3 192.4 196.3 190.4 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q4' Utilization rate (percent) 193.9 197.5 192.0 79.9 81.3 79.1 79.8 80.3 79.6 79.3 79.4 79.2 74.7 72.7 75.9 190.3' 191.5' 82.2 81.2 81.1 75.2 194.2 141.9 211.2 221.7 141.0 161.9 281.0 155.0 195.3 142.1 213.1 223.9 141.6 162.8 284.4 155.8' 78.7 83.0 86.5 86.0 81.9 94.8 84.9 85.3 78.9 79.6 85.3 84.8 81.4 93.9 83.5 81.1 78.7 80.5 83.3 82.5 81.8 94.1 80.0 84.9 71.8 70.0 77.3 75.8 75.4 91.0 72.5 82.0 Labor Market 2.11 A47 Continued c . Previous cycle1 High Low Latest cycle2 High Low 1982 1981 Feb. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Capacity utilization rate (percent) 13 Manufacturing 88.0 69.0 87.2 74.9 79.8 79.8 79.6 78.3 76.6 74.8 72.9 70.6 71.8 14 15 93.8 85.5 68.2 69.4 90.1 86.2 71.0 77.2 81.5 79.0 80.1 79.8 79.9 79.4 78.2 78.3 75.7 77.0 72.7 75.8 69.6 74.7 67.0 72.7 67.9 73.9 16 Materials 17 Durable goods 18 Metal materials 92.6 91.5 98.3 69.4 63.6 68.6 88.8 88.4 96.0 73.8 68.2 59.6 82.3 78.5 83.2 81.9 79.3 79.5 81.6 79.4 83.0 80.0 77.3 79.1 77.7 74.7 73.9 75.5 72.2 70.8 72.5 68.5 65.3 70.5 65.9 63.9 71.7 67.2 63.8 19 20 21 22 23 Nondurable goods Textile, paper, and chemical.... Textile Paper Chemical 94.5 95.1 92.6 99.4 95.5 67.2 65.3 57.9 72.4 64.2 91.6 92.2 90.6 97.7 91.3 77.5 75.3 80.9 89.3 70.7 86.8 86.3 82.2 94.5 85.3 83.9 83.2 82.0 92.9 81.2 83.0 82.3 82.3 93.6 79.7 82.9 82.1 81.3 95.7 79.2 80.3 79.1 78.8 92.1 76.2 77.3 75.9 75.5 92.3 72.4 74.3 72.5 72.0 88.6 69.0 72.0 69.7 68.8 88.5 65.8 73.4 71.1 71.0 89.7 66.9 24 Energy materials 94.6 84.8 88.3 82.7 85.8 86.2 85.6 83.0 82.5 82.2 81.3 82.0 82.5 Primary processing Advanced processing 1. Monthly high 1973; monthly low 1975. 2. Preliminary; monthly highs December 1978 through January 1980; monthly lows July 1980 through October 1980. 2.12 LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, A N D UNEMPLOYMENT Thousands of persons; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. Exceptions noted. 1981 Category 1979 1980 1982 1981 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.' Feb. HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA 1 Noninstitutional population1 166,952 169,848 172,272 172,559 172,758 172,967 173,154 173,330 173,494 173,657 2 Labor force (including Armed Forces) 1 . . . 3 Civilian labor force Employment 4 Nonagricultural industries 2 5 Agriculture Unemployment 6 Number 7 Rate (percent of civilian labor force) . 8 Not in labor force 107,050 104,962 109,042 106,940 111,812 108,670 110,978 108,818 110,659 108,494 111,170 109,012 111,430 109,272 111,348 109,184 111,038 108,879 111,333 109,165 95,477 3,347 95,938 3,364 97,030 3,368 97,436 3,404 96,900 3,358 96,965 3,378 96,800 3,372 94,404 3,209 96,170' 3,411 96,217 3,373 6,137 5.8 59,902 7,637 7.1 60,806 8,273 7.6 60,460 7,978 7.3 61,581 8,236 7.6 62,099 8,669 8.0 61,797 9,100 8.3 61,724 9,571 8.8 61,982 9,298 8.5 62,456 9,575 8.8 62,324 89,823 90,564 91,548 91,901 92,033 91,832 91,522 91,113' 90,839' 90,936 21,040 958 4,463 5,136 20,192 4,975 17,112 15,947 20,300 1,020 4,399 5,143 20,386 5,168 17,901 16,249 20,264 1,104 4,307 5,152 20,736 5,330 18,598 16,056 20,505 1,151 4,275 5,170 20,862 5,354 18,667 15,917 20,496 1,162 4,272 5,186 20,872 5,366 18,774 15,905 20,241 1,162 4,259 5,168 20,916 5,360 18,788 15,938 20,017 1,172 4,229 5,147 20,838 5,355 18,838 15,926 19,736' 1,175' 4,193' 5,122' 20,735' 5,366' 18,856' 15,930' 19,528' 1,168' 4,068' 5,120' 20,843' 5,361' 18,849' 15,902' 19,482 1,161 4,146 5,114 20,905 5,362 18,902 15,864 ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY DATA 9 Nonagricultural payroll employment3 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Manufacturing Mining Contract construction Transportation and public utilities Trade Finance Service Government 1. Persons 16 years of age and over. Monthly figures, which are based on sample data, relate to the calendar week that contains the 12th day; annual data are averages of monthly figures. By definition, seasonality does not exist in population figures. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). 2. Includes self-employed, unpaid family, and domestic service workers. 3. Data include all full- and part-time employees who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that includes the 12th day of the month, and exclude proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, unpaid family workers, and members of the Armed Forces. Data are adjusted to the March 1979 benchmark and only seasonally adjusted data are available at this time. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). A48 2.13 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1982 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value Monthly data are seasonally adjusted. Grouping 1967 proportion 1981 1981 age' Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May July June 1982 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.? Index (1967 = 100) MAJOR MARKET 1 Total index 100.00 151.0 151.4 151.8 152.1 151.9 152.7 152.9 153.9 153.6 151.6 149.1 146.3 143.2 139.6 60.71 47.82 27.68 20.14 12.89 39.29 150.6 149.5 147.8 151.8 154.4 151.6 149.9 147.8 146.9 149.1 157.5 153.8 150.2 148.2 147.8 148.7 157.7 154.3 150.7 149.0 148.3 150.0 157.1 154.4 151.3 149.9 148.9 151.4 156.3 152.9 152.3 151.3 150.7 152.1 156.1 153.4 152.2 151.4 150.3 153.0 154.9 154.0 153.0 152.1 150.7 154.1 156.2 155.3 152.6 151.5 149.6 154.0 156.8 155.2 151.0 150.0 147.8 152.9 154.6 152.5 149.4 148.9 146.5 152.1 151.4 148.5 147.5 147.2 144.0 151.5 148.7 144.6 145.8 145.8 141.4 151.8 145.9 139.1 142.3 142.3 138.6 147.5 141.9 135.6 7.89 2.83 2.03 1.90 80 5.06 1.40 1.33 1.07 2.59 140.5 137.9 111.2 103.4 205.6 142.0 119.6 121.2 158.0 147.4 140.1 130.4 102.7 93.3 200.8 145.6 132.2 134.1 156.2 148.4 141.2 133.9 108.5 101.1 198.4 145.2 125.8 128.2 160.4 149.5 143.6 139.2 116.1 107.8 197.5 146.1 129.1 131.2 160.2 149.4 144.3 142.9 120.2 113.2 200.8 145.0 121.2 122.6 165.2 149.7 147.3 151.8 129.1 120.0 209.5 144.8 121.4 122.3 163.1 149.9 147.9 153.1 131.4 122.2 208.0 145.0 120.0 121.4 166.3 149.8 146.5 147.6 123.0 118.1 210.0 145.8 123.6 124.8 163.2 150.7 142.5 137.6 107.8 104.0 213.1 145.3 126.8 128.9 160.1 149.2 140.4 139.1 110.0 103.3 212.9 141.1 119.0 121.4 158.6 145.8 136.3 132.8 101.7 92.5 211.8 138.2 116.7 118.7 152.6 143.9 129.7 121.7 88.9 81.1 205.0 134.1 107.7 108.7 146.9 143.2 123.2 119.2 87.5 78.1 199.7 125.4 85.7 86.6 144.4 139.1 118.9 107.5 71.6 61.3 198.5 125.3 99.2 100.1 135.8 135.1 19.79 4.29 15.50 150.8 119.7 159.4 149.6 121.2 157.5 150.5 120.9 158.6 150.1 118.9 158.8 150.7 120.6 159.0 152.1 122.1 160.3 151.2 120.9 159.6 152.3 122.8 160.5 152.5 121.9 161.0 150.8 119 3 159.5 150.5 117 8 159.6 149.7 116 1 159.0 148.7 112 6 158.7 157.7 8.33 7.17 150.3 169.9 149.3 167.0 150.5 168.1 150.5 168.4 150.2 169.3 151.3 170.8 149.6 171.3 150.5 172.2 150.6 173.0 149.5 171.1 150.7 169.9 150.4 169.1 151.1 167.4 148.9 167.8 2.63 222.8 213.0 219.3 220.0 224.1 225.1 224.4 226.8 227.7 227.5 223.0 220.3 216.1 217.4 1.92 127.9 127.9 129.0 128.7 127.4 127.7 129.2 127.6 128.9 127.7 126.9 125.7 126.6 127.0 2.62 1.45 147.7 166.3 149.4 167.5 145.4 161.3 143.7 161.1 144.9 162.9 147.9 168.9 148.9 170.4 150.0 172.6 150.4 169.7 146.4 162.8 148.2 166.2 149.4 167.4 148.5 166.4 147.9 12.63 6.77 1.44 3.85 1.47 181.1 166.4 286.1 127.9 149.7 177.7 161.5 264.0 127.7 149.1 177.5 163.4 270.4 128.4 149.9 179.3 164.6 276.6 128.6 149.3 181.0 165.9 281.7 128.5 149.9 182.0 167.0 286.4 128.4 150.8 183.6 169.0 289.7 130.6 151.2 184.8 169.4 290.3 130.8 151.6 184.8 170.2 293.0 130.8 152.7 182.7 168.9 293.6 129.3 150.4 180.5 166.9 295.6 125.7 148.4 179.0 165.1 293.8 123.6 147.1 178.4 163.7 294.1 121.7 145.4 172.4 158.6 289.1 117.1 139.2 5.86 3.26 1.93 67 198.0 258.6 125.4 112.1 196.6 249.3 133.1 122.9 193.7 250.4 124.8 116.4 196.2 252.7 127.8 118.5 198.6 254.5 131.5 119.7 199.4 258.0 130.0 113.9 200.4 259.9 129.7 114.9 202.5 263.7 128.4 118.0 200.9 264.3 124.6 111.8 198.5 264.2 121.0 102.1 196.2 259.8 120.6 104.6 195.0 260.6 116.6 101.7 195.5 261.3 117.5 99.8 188.4 255.0 109.0 92.9 36 Defense and space 7.51 102.7 100.9 100.5 100.7 101.5 102.0 101.7 102.6 102.8 103.0 104.5 105.3 107.0 105.5 Intermediate products 37 Construction supplies 38 Business supplies 39 Commercial energy products . 6.42 6.47 1.14 141.9 166.8 176.4 148.4 166.6 175.5 148.9 166.4 174.0 149.0 165.1 174.7 147.9 164.7 175.2 146.5 165.6 179.0 143.4 166.2 177.7 144.3 168.0 180.0 144.0 169.5 176.6 139.7 169.4 174.2 135.2 167.5 174.3 130.1 167.1 177.0 127.2 164.5 177.4 122.3 161.4 177.1 20.35 4.58 5.44 10.34 5.57 149.1 114.5 191.2 142.4 112.0 150.0 114.7 189.7 144.7 116.6 150.6 114.3 188.9 146.6 118.6 152.2 118.4 191.1 146.7 118.3 151.8 119.7 192.8 144.3 113.8 152.8 121.1 194.0 145.1 114.3 152.4 123.1 193.2 143.9 112.8 153.6 123.2 193.8 145.9 114.5 154.3 121.8 194.7 147.4 117.4 150.4 114.5 192.7 144.1 113.1 145.6 107.6 190.3 138.9 106.5 141.0 102.8 188.7 132.9 101.6 134.1 92.9 183.3 126.5 94.7 129.2 84.9 178.7 122.7 93.2 45 Nondurable goods materials.... 46 Textile, paper, and chemical materials 47 Textile materials 48 Paper materials 49 Chemical materials 50 Containers, nondurable 51 Nondurable materials n.e.c... 10.47 174.6 180.2 179.9 177.5 179.3 179.0 176.9 176.5 175.4 175.5 170.6 164.7 158.7 154.2 7.62 1.85 1.62 4.15 1.70 1.14 181.4 113.0 150.8 224.0 169.2 137.4 187.6 114.8 150.5 234.7 173.0 141.0 187.3 115.1 151.0 233.8 172.3 141.8 185.1 114.4 152.6 229.5 168.7 139.6 186.8 115.1 152.2 232.4 172.0 139.7 187.3 114.9 150.9 233.9 167.8 140.5 183.7 113.4 149.8 228.4 171.4 139.6 183.5 115.5 150.0 227.1 171.7 136.6 182.4 116.0 151.5 224.1 169.4 137.8 182.5 114.9 155.1 223.4 170.9 136.2 176.4 111.6 149.6 215.9 166.7 137.1 169.9 106.9 150.2 205.8 163.5 131.9 162.7 102.0 144.6 196.9 160.9 128.7 157.0 97.6 144.7 188.4 158.4 129.0 52 Energy materials Primary energy 53 54 Converted fuel materials . . . . 8.48 4.65 3.82 129.0 115.0 145.9 130.2 115.8 147.8 131.6 118.2 148.0 130.9 116.9 148.1 123.1 104.2 146.1 123.0 104.4 145.5 129.3 113.7 148.2 133.3 120.3 149.2 132.6 120.9 146.9 128.9 117.4 142.9 128.3 116.4 142.8 128.1 115.6 143.4 127.0 115.9 140.5 128.1 116.1 142.7 9.35 12.23 3.76 8.48 131.7 137.4 156.4 129.0 134.4 138.5 157.3 130.2 134.1 138.5 154.0 131.6 133.6 137.7 153.1 130.9 133.8 132.6 154.1 123.1 134.4 133.5 157.3 123.0 133.9 138.0 157.6 129.3 135.2 141.2 159.1 133.3 134.5 140.5 158.4 132.6 131.1 136.8 154.8 128.9 128.8 136.9 156.1 128.3 125.9 137.2 157.8 128.1 119.5 116.5 136.3 136.9 157.3 156.7 127.0 128.1 2 Products 3 Final products 4 Consumer goods 5 Equipment 6 Intermediate products 7 Materials Consumer goods 8 Durable consumer goods 9 Automotive products 10 Autos and utility vehicles .. 11 Autos 12 Auto parts and allied goods 13 Home goods 14 Appliances, A/C, and T V . . 15 Appliances and TV 16 Carpeting and furniture.... 17 Miscellaneous home goods. 18 Nondurable consumer goods . . . 19 Clothing 20 Consumer staples 21 Consumer foods and tobacco 22 Nonfood staples 23 Consumer chemical products 24 Consumer paper products 25 Consumer energy products 26 Residential utilities.... Equipment 2/ Business 28 Industrial 29 Building and mining 30 Manufacturing 31 Power 32 33 34 35 Commercial transit, farm . . . . Commercial Transit Farm Materials 40 Durable goods materials 41 Durable consumer parts 42 Equipment parts 43 Durable materials n.e.c 44 Basic metal materials Supplementary groups 55 Home goods and clothing 56 Energy, total 57 Products 58 Materials 146.5 Output 2.13 A49 Continued Grouping SIC code 1967 proportion 1981 avg. r Feb. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec Jan.? Feb. Index (1967 = 100) MAJOR INDUSTRY 1 Mining and utilities. Mining 2 3 Utilities Electric 4 5 Manufacturing 6 Nondurable Durable 7 12.05 6.36 5.69 3.88 87.95 35.97 51.98 154.9 142.2 169.1 190.9 150.4 164.7 140.5 153.3 140.4 167.6 189.3 151.1 165.6 141.0 154.1 143.1 166.4 187.1 151.2 166.2 140.8 154.8 143.2 167.8 188.9 151.6 165.3 142.1 150.5 135.2 167.6 188.6 152.0 165.9 142.5 152.1 135.4 170.7 192.9 152.8 166.4 143.5 156.3 141.7 172.7 195.6 152.4 165.8 143.2 159.1 146.5 173.1 196.2 153.2 167.1 143.6 158.2 146.0 171.9 194.2 153.2 167.3 143.4 155.8 145.0 167.8 188.3 151.1 165.9 140.9 156.1 145.3 168.1 189.4 148.0 162.8 137.8 155.4 143.3 168.9 190.9 145.0 160.3 134.4 154.2 142.5 167.3 188.8 141.7 156.9 131.2 155.6 143.8 168.8 190.4 137.6 153.5 126.6 154.0 142.0 167.4 188.7 140.1 155.8 129.2 118.0 147.9 151.5 112.5 154.3 147.1 8 9 10 11 Mining Metal Coal Oil and gas extraction . . . Stone and earth minerals. 10 11.12 13 14 .51 .69 4.40 .75 123.1 141.3 146.8 129.4 125.5 147.5 141.4 138.4 134.1 159.0 142.2 140.0 131.1 151.2 144.1 138.8 123.1 75.9 146.1 133.7 125.0 77.0 146.2 132.2 123.5 122.9 148.2 132.7 123.6 170.0 147.7 133.3 124.1 167.4 148.2 128.2 121.5 161.9 148.8 123.4 119.8 166.9 148.9 122.0 115.4 160.8 148.4 116.7 109.4 145.5 150.5 115.7 12 13 14 15 16 Nondurable manufactures Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products 20 21 22 23 26 8.75 .67 2.68 3.31 3.21 152.1 122.9 135.7 120.3 155.1 151.9 123.5 138.4 123.8 156.5 152.5 125.4 139.3 121.6 156.0 152.4 125.7 136.2 120.2 157.6 151.9 122.2 138.9 121.6 157.0 152.2 122.3 138.8 122.6 155.9 151.3 120.9 138.3 121.1 153.4 151.6 121.3 139.4 122.6 154.9 151.9 123.8 140.7 122.6 156.7 150.7 122.4 136.3 122.5 158.6 151.4 124.3 132.5 117.8 153.3 153.0 119.6 126.1 113.8 152.6 152.4 150.2 121.7 122.8 117.0 112.5 146.8 146.9 17 18 19 20 21 Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastic products . Leather and products 27 28 29 30 31 4.72 144.2 143.9 144.8 7.74 215.4 218.9 219.8 1.79 129.7 133.1 131.5 2.24 274.0 264.0 270.2 69.3 68.9 .86 68.3 142.7 218.5 130.3 269.5 68.8 141.6 219.8 130.0 275.2 68.9 141.3 143.1 220.6 218.4 129.8 129.3 280.3 285.1 69.8 68.4 144.4 221.5 128.7 285.3 70.1 146.1 219.2 130.4 286.7 69.6 145.9 216.3 129.1 282.2 69.7 145.6 208.8 128.3 276.0 71.2 143.4 204.6 128.0 264.1 70.8 144.9 197.9 128.4 246.9 65.6 146.0 192.7 123.0 237.3 63.7 147.1 86.3 148.5 120.1 Durable manufactures 22 Ordnance, private and government 23 Lumber and products 24 Furniture and fixtures 25 Clay, glass, stone products 19.91 24 25 32 3.64 1.64 1.37 2.74 81.1 119.0 157.2 147.9 78.6 127.4 150.0 156.8 78.4 126.2 154.3 156.4 78.5 125.6 155.6 154.6 79.8 126.3 158.7 154.3 80.9 126.2 158.9 151.7 80.9 122.5 162.4 148.1 80.6 122.9 164.9 148.7 81.8 119.1 163.3 148.2 82.3 113.2 159.9 147.3 82.5 109.6 157.2 143.4 84.3 104.7 153.7 135.9 85.5 84.7 103.8 95.5 149.4 142.5 132.0 128.2 26 27 28 29 30 33 331.2 34 35 36 6.57 4.21 5.93 9.15 8.05 107.9 99.8 136.4 171.2 178.4 114.1 108.7 135.8 167.3 177.6 114.5 108.4 137.6 168.3 174.9 114.9 108.0 139.2 169.2 177.4 110.6 103.4 139.5 169.7 178.8 111.9 105.6 138.4 172.1 179.9 107.4 98.5 139.3 174.1 180.1 109.4 99.7 140.1 176.7 180.9 113.1 105.1 140.0 176.4 182.6 108.6 99.2 136.8 173.9 180.0 102.3 92.2 133.8 169.7 179.6 96.6 87.2 130.2 167.9 175.7 89.5 87.2 79.2 78.3 126.1 119.7 166.7 161.2 170.7 168.5 122.1 163.5 171.3 37 371 9.27 4.50 116.1 122.3 117.4 120.0 116.1 119.9 119.5 127.1 121.3 130.7 123.7 136.4 123.4 137.5 119.8 130.5 115.4 123.1 114.2 120.4 110.6 113.8 106.1 105.5 103.7 100.4 96.5 90.2 101.2 97.3 372-9 38 39 4.77 2.11 1.51 110.2 170.3 154.7 114.9 173.9 152.9 112.6 171.1 154.9 112.3 170.0 155.4 112.4 170.0 157.3 111.8 170.6 157.0 110.2 171.3 158.8 109.7 172.1 159.4 108.2 172.3 158.6 108.5 169.7 154.2 107.5 168.6 151.5 106.8 167.1 151.7 106.7 102.5 166.4 162.1 147.9 142.9 104.9 164.6 144.6 Primary metals Iron and steel Fabricated metal products. Nonelectrical machinery... Electrical machinery 31 Transportation equipment 32 Motor vehicles and parts 33 Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment 34 Instruments 35 Miscellaneous manufactures . . . . 86.8 Gross value (billions of 1972 dollars, annual rates) MAJOR MARKET 36 Products, total 507.41 612.3 619.2 621.4 616.5 611.5 605.0 597.6 592.2 574.0 585.7 37 Final 38 Consumer goods 39 Equipment 40 Intermediate 390.91 277.51 113.41 116.61 474.0 471.6 472.8 476.4 476.3 482.4 480.5 317.9 316.8 318.8 320.5 320.0 32.4.3 322.1 156.1 154.8 154.0 155.9 156.3 158.1 158.5 138.2 141.2 141.7 141.7 139.9 139.8 138.7 481.9 324.0 157.9 139.5 476.4 319.3 157.1 140.1 473.0 317.7 155.3 138.4 470.1 314.3 155.8 134.9 465.2 310.5 154.7 132.4 461.6 306.7 154.9 130.6 455.9 303.0 152.8 129.8 612.9 614.5 618.0 1. 1972 dollar value. NOTE. Published groupings include some series and subtotals not shown separately. For description and historical data, see Industrial Production—1976 Revision (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: Washington, D.C.), December 1977. 616.2 622.2 446.7 296.6 150.1 127.3 A50 2.14 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1982 HOUSING A N D CONSTRUCTION Monthly figures are at seasonally adjusted annual rates except as noted. 1981 Item 1979 1980 1982 1981 June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov.' Dec.' Jan. Private residential real estate activity (thousands of units) NEW UNITS 1 Permits authorized 2 1-family 3 2-or-more-family 1,552 981 571 1,191 710 481 969' 558 412' Started 1-family 2-or-more-family 1,745 1,194 551 1,292 852 440 1,140 639 501 896 515 382 1,855 1,286 569 1,502 957 545 1,264 818 446 13 Mobile homes shipped 277 222 241 256' 267' 238' Merchant builder activity in 1-family units 14 Number sold 15 Number for sale, end of period 1 709 402 545 r 342' 436' 278 417' 318 408 312 364 308 4 5 6 7 Under construction, end of period 1 1-family 8 9 2-or-more-family 10 Completed 11 1-family 12 2-or-more-family 963 567 396 913 528 385 865 494 371 850 453 397 722 398 324 723 401 322 789 454 335 836 456 380 1,085' 706' 379' 1,046' 705' 341' 1,040' 696' 344' 946' 614' 332' 899' 623' 276' 854' 507 347 860 554 306 899 559 340 894 588 306 691' 385 305 853' 482 371 822 462 361 788 438 349 762 423 340 726 407 318 709 399 311 705 401 303 n a. 1,324 864 460 1,226 804 422 1,197 776 421 1,251 713 538 1,016 650 366 1,132 672 460 232' 208 207 206 335' 304' 359 291 390 282 457 272 1,377 877 500 353 277 Price (thousands of dollars)2 Median 16 Units sold 62.8 r 64.7 r 68.9' 68.8' 69.5' 72.6' 65.8 69.6 71.3 68.6 68.0 17 71.9 76.4' 83.1' 84.7 82.6' 87.0' 81.3' 82.5 85.3 83.3 81.3 Units sold EXISTING UNITS ( 1 - f a m i l y ) 18 Number sold Price of units sold (thous. of dollars)2 19 Median 20 Average 3,701 2,881 2,350' 2.680' 2,450' 2.240' 2,070' 1,930 1,900 1,940 1,820 55.5 64.0 62.1 72.7 66.1' 78.0 66.7' 79.9 67.5 79.6 68.1 80.5 67.1 79.1 66.0 76.6 65.9 77.5 66.6 78.6 66.8 80 .3 Value of new construction 3 (millions of dollars) CONSTRUCTION 21 Total put in place 230,781 230,273 236,312 233,998 233,862 229,844 230,892 229,857 231,587 234,395 230,956 22 Private Residential 23 24 Nonresidential, total Buildings 25 Industrial 26 Commercial Other 27 Public utilities and other 28 181,690 99,032 82,658 174,896 87,260 87,636 182,816 85,720 97,096 181,811 85,971 95,840 182,288 82,916 99,372 180,576 80,535 100,041 178,649 78,503 100,146 178,245 78,202 100,043 179,179 78,056 101,123 181,323 79,643 101,680 180,055 77,864 102,191 14,953 24,919 7,427 35,359 13,839 29,940 8,654 35,203 16.839 33,308 9.358 37.591 16,243 32,442 9,735 37,420 17,182 34,028 9,241 38.921 18,295 33,721 9,367 38,658 18,344 33,412 9,402 38,988 18,558 33,046 9,553 38,886 18,373 34,506 9,193 39,051 17,736 35,921 9,019 39,004 17,213 36,8 89 9,779 38,310 49,088 1,648 11,998 4,586 30,856 55,371 1,880 13,784 5,089 34,618 53,496 1,956 13,143 5,268 33,129 52,186 2,254 13,338 4,912 31,682 51,574 2,091 13,203 5,233' 31.047' 49,268 2,105 12,227 4,717 30,219 52,243 2,065 12,537 4,910' 32,731 51,611 2,116 11,515 6,978 31,002 52,408 1,960 12,478 4,868 33,102 53,072 1,919 11,642 4,908 34,603 50,901 2,1 08 12,167 5,273 31,353 29 Public Military 30 31 Highway Conservation and development 32 Other 33 1. Not at annual rates. 2. Not seasonally adjusted. 3. Value of new construction data in recent periods may not be strictly comparable with data in prior periods due to changes by the Bureau of the Census in its estimating techniques. For a description of these changes see Construction Reports (C-30-76-5), issued by the Bureau in July 1976. NOTE. Census Bureau estimates for all series except (a) mobile homes, which are private, domestic shipments as reported by the Manufactured Housing Institute and seasonally adjusted by the Census Bureau, and (b) sales and prices of existing units, which are published by the National Association of Realtors. All back and current figures are available from originating agency. Permit authorizations are those reported to the Census Bureau from 16,000 jurisdictions beginning with 1978. Prices 2.15 A51 C O N S U M E R A N D P R O D U C E R PRICES Percentage changes based on seasonally adjusted data, except as noted 12 months to 1 month to 3 months (at annual rate) to Item 1981 Jan. 1982 1981 1981 1982 Jan. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Sept. Nov. Oct. Jan. Dec. Index level Jan. 1982 (1967 = 100) ] CONSUMER PRICES 2 1 All items 11.7 8.4 9.6 8.1 12.8 5.4 1.1 .4 .5 .4 .3 282.5 2 Commodities Food 3 4 Commodities less food Durable 5 6 Nondurable 7 Services 8 Rent 9 Services less rent 10.3 10.2 10.5 9.8 11.2 13.7 9.1 14.3 5.5 4.6 5.8 5.6 6.1 12.6 8.4 13.1 8.8 5.3 10.2 1.3 26.7 10.9 7.0 11.5 3.2 2.2 3.8 9.7 -1.4 14.8 7.7 15.8 8.5 7.7 9.0 10.8 4.6 19.2 10.2 20.4 3.6 1.7 4.3 1.2 3.8 7.8 9.0 7.6 .7 .7 .8 .7 .6 1.5 .8 1.6 .4 .3 .4 -.1 .8 .5 .8 .4 .2 .1 .2 .1 .5 .9 .7 1.0 .3 .1 .4 .3 -.3 .5 .7 .4 .1 .7 -.1 .2 .2 .5 .6 .5 258.8 281.0 245.9 233.4 260.2 323.9 217.8 344.2 12.0 11.4 14.8 9.2 9.3 9.4 10.5 6.4 2.9 9.3 11.6 16.9 13.9 15.0 21.5 6.2 5.6 .3 1.2 1.1 1.7 .5 .5 -.3 .6 .4 .2 .4 .5 .2 .2 .3 -.1 281.4 268.5 367.5 11.3 11.3 8.3 12.7 11.1 10.8 6.3 5.8 2.2 7.3 8.4 6.2 12.8 13.2 5.1 16.5 11.6 13.8 7.1 6.4 3.5 7.6 10.0 8.0 3.4 2.8 1.6 3.2 5.7 5.2 5.2 4.0 -3.7 7.2 9.7 2.8 .2 .2 -.5 .5 .2 .2 .5 .4 -.3 .6 1.0 .0 .5 .4 -.6 .9 .8 .4 .3 .2 .0 .3 .6 .3 .4 .5 1.1 .2 .4 .3 277.4 277.7 256.4 284.4 276.1 316.6 18.0 11.1 6.9 -10.4 34.3 -15.6 16.1 6.4 1.1 -18.2 -5.6 -25.5 .5 -3.8 -.8 -2.3 -.8 -2.2 .1 -2.8 -1.1 4.4 481.1 242.5 Other groupings 10 All items less food 11 All items less food and energy 12 Homeownership PRODUCER PRICES 13 Finished goods 14 Consumer Foods IS Excluding foods 16 17 Capital equipment 18 Intermediate materials 3 Crude materials 19 Nonfood Food 20 1. Not seasonally adjusted. 2. Figures for consumer prices are those for all urban consumers. 3. Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. SOURCE. Bureau of Labor Statistics. A52 2.16 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • March 1982 G R O S S N A T I O N A L P R O D U C T A N D INCOME Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1980 Account 1979 1980 1981 1981 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 2,413.9 2,626.1 2,924.8 2,730.6 2,853.0 2,885.8 2,965.0 2,995.3 1,510.9 212.3 602.2 696.3 1,672.8 211.9 675.7 785.2 1,857.8 232.1 743.0 882.7 1,751.0 223.3 703.5 824.2 1,810.1 238.3 726.0 845.8 1.829.1 227.3 735.3 866.5 1.883.9 236.2 751.3 896.4 1,908.4 226.8 759.3 922.2 415.8 398.3 279.7 96.3 183.4 118.6 113.9 395.3 401.2 296.0 108.8 187.1 105.3 100.3 450.7 433.7 328.3 125.4 202.9 105.4 99.9 397.7 415.1 302.1 111.5 190.7 113.0 107.6 437.1 432.7 315.9 117.2 198.7 116.7 111.4 458.6 435.3 324.6 123.1 201.5 110.7 105.4 463.0 435.6 335.1 128.3 206.8 100.5 94.9 443.9 431.3 337.5 133.0 204.5 93.8 88.1 17.5 13.4 -5.9 -4.7 17.0 14.6 -17.4 -14.0 4.5 6.8 23.3 21.5 27.5 23.1 12.6 7.1 15 Net exports of goods and services 16 Exports 17 Imports 13.4 281.3 267.9 23.3 339.8 316.5 25.0 365.6 340.6 23.3 346.1 322.7 29.2 367.4 338.2 20.8 368.2 347.5 29.3 368.0 338.7 20.8 358.9 338.2 18 Government purchases of goods and services 19 Federal 20 State and local 473.8 167.9 305.9 534.7 198.9 335.8 591.3 203.3 361.0 558.6 212.0 346.6 576.5 221.6 354.9 577.4 219.5 357.9 588.9 226.4 362.5 622.2 253.6 368.6 2,396.4 1,055.9 451.2 604.7 1,097.2 260.8 2,632.0 1,130.4 458.6 671.9 1,229.6 266.0 2,907.8 1,272.5 507.4 765.1 1,371.1 281.1 2,748.0 1,169.0 476.7 692.2 1,285.3 276.4 2,848.5 1,247.5 501.4 746.1 1,317.1 288.4 2,862.5 1,257.0 516.9 740.1 1,344.7 284.1 2,937.6 1,298.3 525.2 773.0 1.390.5 276.3 2,982.6 1,287.4 486.2 801.2 1,432.2 275.7 17.5 11.5 6.0 -5.9 -4.0 -1.8 17.0 7.9 9.1 -17.4 .7 -18.1 4.5 -4.2 8.6 23.3 18.5 4.8 27.5 18.6 8.9 12.6 -1.3 14.0 1,483.0 1,480.7 1,510.1 1,485.6 1,516.4 1,510.4 1,515.8 1,497.6 31 Total 1,963.3 2,121.4 2,346.3 2,204.8 2,291.1 2,320.9 2,377.6 2,395.5 32 Compensation of employees 33 Wages and salaries 34 Government and government enterprises 35 Other 36 Supplement to wages and salaries 37 Employer contributions for social insurance 38 Other labor income 1,460.9 1.235.9 235.9 1,000.0 225.0 106.4 118.6 1,596.5 1,343.6 253.6 1,090.0 252.9 115.8 137.1 1,771.5 1,482.6 273.9 1,208.7 288.8 134.7 154.2 1,661.8 1,397.3 263.3 1,134.0 264.5 121.0 143.5 1,722.4 1,442.9 267.1 1,175.7 279.5 131.5 148.0 1,752.0 1,467.0 270.5 1,196.4 285.1 133.2 151.8 1,790.7 1.498.7 274.7 1,224.0 292.0 135.6 156.3 1,820.9 1,522.0 283.2 1,238.8 298.9 138.4 160.5 131.6 100.7 30.8 130.6 107.2 23.4 134.6 112.4 22.3 134.0 111.6 22.5 132.1 113.2 18.9 134.1 112.5 21.7 137.1 112.4 24.7 135.2 111.5 23.8 1 Total 2 3 4 5 By source Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 6 Gross private domestic investment 7 Fixed investment 8 Nonresidential 9 Structures 10 Producers' durable equipment 11 Residential structures 12 Nonfarm 13 14 Change in business inventories Nonfarm By major type of product 21 Final sales, total 22 Goods 23 Durable 24 Nondurable 25 Services 26 Structures 27 Change in business inventories 28 Durable goods 29 Nondurable goods 30 MEMO: Total GNP in 1972 dollars NATIONAL INCOME 39 Proprietors' income 1 40 Business and professional 1 41 Farm 1 42 Rental income of persons 2 43 Corporate profits' 44 Profits before tax 3 45 Inventory valuation adjustment 46 Capital consumption adjustment 47 Net interest 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustments. 30.5 31.8 33.6 32.4 32.7 33.3 33.9 34.5 196.8 255.4 -42.6 -15.9 182.7 245.5 -45.7 -17.2 191.5 232.9 -27.5 -13.9 183.3 249.5 -48.4 -17.8 203.0 257.0 -39.2 -14.7 190.3 229.0 -24.0 -14.7 195.7 234.4 -25.3 -13.4 n.a. n.a. -21.5 -12.8 143.4 179.8 215.0 193.3 200.8 211.0 220.2 228.0 3. For after-tax profits, dividends, and the like, see table 1.49. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). National Income Accounts 2.17 A53 PERSONAL INCOME A N D SAVING Billions of current dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. Exceptions noted. 1981 1980 Account 1979 1980 1981 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING 1 Total personal income 1,943.8 2,160.2 2,404.0 2,256.2 2,319.8 2,368.5 2,441.7 2,485.9 2 Wage and salary disbursements 3 Commodity-producing industries 4 Manufacturing 5 Distributive industries 6 Service industries 7 Government and government enterprises 1,236.1 437.9 333.4 303.0 259.2 236.1 1,343.7 465.4 350.7 328.9 295.7 253.6 1,482.6 512.7 387.3 361.0 335.0 273.9 1,397.8 484.0 364.0 340.6 310.0 263.3 1,442.9 501.3 377.4 351.9 322.5 267.1 1,467.0 508.1 386.7 357.8 330.5 270.5 1,498.5 520.2 393.9 365.3 338.5 274.5 1,522.1 521.0 391.0 369.1 348.7 283.3 118.6 131.6 100.8 30.8 30.5 48.6 209.6 249.4 131.8 137.1 130.6 107.2 23.4 31.8 54.4 256.3 294.2 153.8 154.2 134.6 112.4 22.3 33.6 61.3 308.6 333.2 180.4 143.5 134.0 111.6 22.5 32.4 56.1 269.7 313.9 165.3 148.0 132.1 113.2 18.9 32.7 58.0 288.7 319.6 169.8 151.8 134.1 112.5 21.7 33.3 60.2 300.9 324.2 172.0 156.3 137.1 112.4 24.7 33.9 63.0 315.7 342.2 188.5 160.5 135.2 111.5 23.8 34.5 64.1 329.0 347.0 191.4 80.6 87.9 104.2 91.2 102.3 103.1 105.0 106.5 1,943.8 2,160.2 2,404.0 2,256.2 2,319.8 2,368.5 2.441.7 2,485.9 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Other labor income Proprietors'income 1 Business and professional 1 Farm 1 Rental income of persons 2 Dividends Personal interest income Transfer payments Old-age survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits LESS: Personal contributions for social insurance 18 EQUALS: Personal income 302.0 338.5 388.1 359.2 372.0 382.9 399.8 398.0 20 EQUALS: Disposable personal income 1,641.7 1,821.7 2,015.8 1,897.0 1.947.8 1,985.6 2,042.0 2,087.9 21 1,555.5 1,720.4 1,908.5 1,799.4 1,858.9 1,879.0 1,935.1 1,961.2 86.2 101.3 107.3 97.6 88.9 106.6 106.9 126.7 6,588 4,135 4,493 5.2 6,503 4,108 4,473 5.6 6,568 4,170 4,525 5.3 6,499 4,142 4,488 5.1 6,619 4,191 4,511 4.6 6,581 4,162 4,517 5.4 6,585 4,184 4,535 5.2 6,492 4,149 4,539 6.1 19 LESS: Personal tax and nontax payments LESS: Personal outlays 22 EQUALS: Personal saving MEMO: Per capita (1972 dollars) 23 Gross national product 24 Personal consumption expenditures 25 Disposable personal income 26 Saving rate (percent) GROSS SAVING 27 Gross saving 28 29 30 31 Gross private saving Personal saving Undistributed corporate profits 1 Corporate inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption allowances 32 Corporate 33 Noncorporate 34 Wage accruals less disbursements 35 Government surplus, or deficit ( - ) , national income and product accounts Federal State and local 36 37 412.0 401.9 454.9 406.7 442.6 465.3 469.4 n.a. 398.9 86.2 59.1 -42.6 432.9 101.3 44.3 -45.7 479.7 107.3 50.7 -27.5 436.4 97.6 40.4 -48.4 451.1 88.9 55.7 -39.2 475.3 106.6 52.0 -24.0 486.2 106.9 52.8 -25.3 n.a. 126.7 n.a. -21.5 155.4 98.2 .0 175.4 111.8 .0 197.7 123.9 .0 183.2 115.8 .5 187.5 119.0 .0 194.6 122.1 0 201.1 125.4 .0 207.7 129.1 .0 11.9 -14.8 26.7 -32.1 -61.2 29.1 -25.9 -62.5 36.6 -30.8 -67.9 37.1 -9.7 -46.6 36.9 -11.2 -47.2 36.1 -17.9 -55.7 37.8 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 39 Gross investment 414.1 401.2 454.1 400.1 446.0 458.3 469.6 442.7 40 Gross private domestic 41 Net foreign 415.8 -1.7 395.3 5.9 450.7 3.5 397.7 2.3 437.1 8.8 458.6 -.2 463.0 6.5 443.9 -1.3 2.2 -.7 -.8 -6.6 3.4 -6.9 .2 n.a. 38 Capital grants received by the United States, net 42 Statistical discrepancy 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A54 3.10 International Statistics • March 1982 U.S. I N T E R N A T I O N A L T R A N S A C T I O N S Summary Millions of dollars; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted except as noted.1 1980 Item credits or debits 1979 1978 Q4 Q3 f1 Balance on current account 1981 1980 Q2 Q1 Q3P -14,075 1,414 3,723 4,975 1,149 1,390 3,244 3,263 3,546 1,142 2,438 2,100 886 -33,759 142,054 -175,813 738 21,400 2,613 -27,346 184,473 -211,819 -1,947 33,462 2,839 -25,342 223,966 -249,308 -2,515 32,762 5,874 -2,902 56,252 -59,154 -455 8,154 1,681 -5,570 57,149 -62,719 -715 8,257 1,762 -4,677 61,098 -65,775 -568 9,053 982 -6,910 60,477 -67,387 -698 8,733 1,535 -7,042 58,037 -65,079 -72 9,490 1,618 -1,884 -3,183 -2,057 -3,536 -2,397 -4,659 -591 -912 -720 -1,624 -550 -977 -553 -965 -602 -1,292 11 Change in U.S. government assets, other than official reserve assets, net (increase, - ) -4,644 -3,767 -5,165 -1,427 -1,094 -1,395 -1,485 -1,242 12 Change in U.S. official reserve assets (increase, - ) 13 Gold 14 Special drawing rights (SDRs) 15 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 16 Foreign currencies 732 -65 1,249 4,231 -4,683 -1,132 -65 -1,136 -189 257 -8,155 0 -16 -1,667 -6,472 -1,109 0 -261 -294 -554 -4,279 0 1,285 -1,240 -4,324 -4,529 0 -1,441 -707 -2,381 -905 0 -23 -780 -102 -4 0 -225 -647 868 17 Change in U.S. private assets abroad (increase, - ) 3 18 Bank-reported claims 19 Nonbank-reported claims 20 U.S. purchase of foreign securities, net 21 U.S. direct investments abroad, net 3 -57,158 -33,667 -3,853 -3,582 -16,056 -57,739 -26,213 -3,026 -4,552 -23,948 -71,456 -46,947 -2,653 -3,310 -18,546 -16,766 -12,440 343 -818 -3,851 -22,622 -13,139 -2,005 -356 -7,122 -16,473 -11,241 -3,192 -488 -1,552 -19,581 -15,627 2,470 1,479 -4,945 -16,758 -14,808 n.a. -517 -1,433 22 Change in foreign official assets in the United States (increase, + ) 23 U.S. Treasury securities 24 Other U.S. government obligations 2b Other U.S. government liabilities4 26 Other U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks 27 Other foreign official assets 5 33,561 23,555 666 2,359 5,551 1,4530 -13,757 -22,435 463 -133 7,213 1,135 15,492 9,683 2,187 636 -159 3,145 7,686 3,769 549 80 1,823 1,465 7,712 6,911 587 205 -460 469 5,503 7,242 454 -112 -2,910 829 -2,779 -2,069 536 177 -2,070 647 -5,847 -4,632 545 -162 -2,572 974 28 Change in foreign private assets in the United States (increase, + ) 3 29 U.S. bank-reported liabilities 30 U.S. nonbank-reported liabilities 31 Foreign private purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, net 32 Foreign purchases of other U.S. securities, net 33 Foreign direct investments in the United States, net 3 . . . . 30,187 16,141 1,717 2,178 2,254 7,896 52,703 32,607 2,065 4,820 1,334 11,877 34,769 10,743 5,109 2,679 5,384 10,853 3,965 916 373 -254 241 2,689 16,157 7,737 3,228 893 2,240 2,059 1,637 -3,889 -820 1,405 1,454 2,487 15,667 7,916 -293 733 3,472 3,839 20,903 16,720 n.a. -523 758 3,948 0 11,398 1,139 21,140 1,152 29,640 0 2,676 -3,291 0 2,736 2,139 1,093 10,901 -340 0 7,941 1,222 0 848 -2,592 11,398 21,140 29,640 5,967 597 11,241 6,719 3,440 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Merchandise trade balance 2 Merchandise exports Merchandise imports Military transactions, net Investment income, net 3 Other service transactions, net Remittances, pensions, and other transfers U.S. government grants (excluding military) 34 Allocation of SDRs 35 Discrepancy 36 37 Statistical discrepancy in recorded data before seasonal adjustment MEMO: Changes in official assets U.S. official reserve assets (increase, Foreign official assets in the United States (increase, + ) 40 Change in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries official assets in the United States (part of line 22 above) 41 Transfers under military grant programs (excluded from lines 4, 6, and 10 above) 38 39 732 -1,132 -8,155 -1,109 -4,279 -4,529 -905 -4 31,202 -13,624 14,856 7,606 7,507 5,615 -2,956 -5,685 -1,137 5,543 12,744 4,115 1,024 5,446 2,676 3,028 236 305 635 125 211 192 214 120 1. Seasonal factors are no longer calculated for lines 12 through 41. 2. Data are on an international accounts (IA) basis. Differs from the Census basis data, shown in table 3.11, for reasons of coverage and timing; military exports are excluded from merchandise data and are included in line 6. 3. Includes reinvested earnings of incorporated affiliates. 4. Primarily associated with military sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. 5. Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securities of private corporations and state and local governments. NOTE. Data are from Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of Current Business (U.S. Department of Commerce). Trade and Reserve and Official Assets 3.11 A55 U.S. FOREIGN T R A D E Millions of dollars; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. 1982 1981' Item 1979 1980 1981r July 1 EXPORTS of domestic and foreign merchandise excluding grant-aid shipments 2 GENERAL IMPORTS including merchandise for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses 3 Trade balance 181,860 220,626 233,677 19,289 19,163 19,551 Dec. Jan. 19,153 18,885 18,737 209,458 244,871 260,982 20,114 23,242 21,274 23,077 22,508 19,746 22,829 -27,598 -24,245 -27,305 -825 -4,212 -1,723 -3,914 -3,355 -861 -4,092 not covered in Census statistics, and (b) the exclusion of military sales (which are combined with other military transactions and reported separately in the "service account" in table 3.10, line 6). On the import side, additions are made for gold, ship purchases, imports of electricity from Canada and other transactions; military payments are excluded and shown separately as indicated above. NOTE. The data through 1981 in this table are reported by the Bureau of Census data on a free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) value basis—that is, value at the port of export. Beginning in 1981, foreign trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands is included in the Census basis trade data; this adjustment has been made for all data shown in the table. Beginning with 1982 data, the value of imports are on a customs valuation basis. The Census basis data differ from merchandise trade data shown in table 3.10, U.S. International Transactions Summary, for reasons of coverage and timing. On the export side, the largest adjustments are: (a) the addition of exports to Canada 3.12 19,031 Nov. Oct. Sept. Aug. SOURCE. FT900 "Summary of U.S. Export and Import Merchandise Trade" (U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census). U.S. R E S E R V E ASSETS Millions of dollars, end of period 1982 1981 Type 1978 1979 1980 Aug. 1 Total1 2 Gold stock, including Exchange Stabilization Fund 1 23 Nov. Oct. Sept. Jan. Dec. Feb. 18,650 18,956 26,756 29,265 29,716 30,248 31,002 30,075 30,098 30,060 11,671 11,172 11,160 11,154 11,152 11,152 11,152 11,151 11,151 11,150 1,558 2,724 2,610 3,739 3,896 3,949 4,109 4,095 4,176 4,359 3 Special drawing rights ' 4 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 2 1,047 1,253 2,852 4,341 4,618 4,736 5,009 5,055 5,237 5,275 5 Foreign currencies 4 ' 5 4,374 3,807 10,134 10,031 10,050 10,411 10,732 9,774 9.534 9,276 3. Includes allocations by the International Monetary Fund of SDRs as follows: $867 million on Jan. 1, 1970; $717 million on Jan. 1, 1971; $710 million on Jan. 1, 1972; $1,139 million on Jan. 1, 1979; $1,152 million on Jan. 1, 1980; and $1,093 million on Jan. 1, 1981; plus net transactions in SDRs. 4. Beginning November 1978, valued at current market exchange rates. 5. Includes U.S. government securities held under repurchase agreement against receipt of foreign currencies, if any. 1. Gold held under earmark at Federal Reserve Banks for foreign and international accounts is not included in the gold stock of the United States; see table 3.22. 2. Beginning July 1974, the IMF adopted a technique for valuing the SDR based on a weighted average of exchange rates for the currencies of member countries. From July 1974 through December 1980, 16 currencies were used; from January 1981, 5 currencies have been used. The U.S. SDR holdings and reserve position in the IMF also are valued on this basis beginning July 1974. 3.13 FOREIGN OFFICIAL ASSETS H E L D A T F E D E R A L RESERVE BANKS Millions of dollars, end of period 1981 Assets 1978 1979 Aug. 1 Deposits Assets held in custody 2 U.S. Treasury securities 1 3 Earmarked gold 2 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb/ 367 429 411 255 419 547 534 505 333 416 117,126 15,463 95,075 15,169 102,417 14,965 102,197 14,833 101,068 14,813 101,068 14,811 103,894 14,802 104,680 14,804 104,631 14.802 103,557 14,791 1. Marketable U.S. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds; and nonmarketable U.S. Treasury securities payable in dollars and in foreign currencies. 2. The value of earmarked gold increased because of the changes in par value of the U.S. dollar in May 1972 and in October 1973. 1982 1980 NOTE. Excludes deposits and U.S. Treasury securities held for international and regional organizations. Earmarked gold is gold held for foreign and international accounts and is not included in the gold stock of the United States, A56 3.14 International Statistics • March 1982 F O R E I G N B R A N C H E S O F U.S. B A N K S Millions of dollars, end of period Balance Sheet Data 1981 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.P All foreign countries 1 Total, all currencies 2 Claims on United States 3 Parent bank 4 Other 5 Claims on foreigners 6 Other branches of parent bank 7 Banks 8 Public borrowers 2 9 Nonbank foreigners 10 Other assets 11 Total payable in U.S. dollars 12 Claims on United States 13 Parent bank 14 Other 15 Claims on foreigners 16 Other branches of parent bank 17 Banks 18 Public borrowers 2 19 Nonbank foreigners 20 Other assets 306,795 364,409 401,135 422,946 433,238 433,242 450,234 444,654 462,811 462,633 17,340 12,811 4,529 32.302 25.929 6,373 28,460 20,202 8,258 35,217 24,311 10,906 43,074 30,994 12,080 41,533 29,782 11,751 46,369 32,249 14,120 41,554 26,833 14,721 44,561 26,540 18,021 62,135 41,647 20,488 278,135 70,338 103,111 23,737 80,949 317,330 79,662 123,420 26.097 88,151 354,960 77,019 146,448 28,033 103,460 368,644 79,814 154,682 27,872 106,276 370.938 82.128 154,760 28,728 105.322 372,378 83,171 152.286 29,270 107,651 384,407 84,627 159,637 29,927 110,216 383,463 83,597 156,833 30,211 112,822 397,728 89,280 161,412 30,170 116,866 380,481 88,591 151,457 28,192 112,241 11,320 14.777 17,715 19,085 19,226 19,331 19,458 19,637 20,522 20,017 224,940 267,713 291,798 320,308 330,758 328,784 343,067 336,817 348,946 350,564 16,382 12,625 3,757 31.171 25.632 5,539 27,191 19,896 7,295 37,403 24,041 9,922 41.873 30,742 11.131 40,250 29,490 10,760 45,116 31,991 13,125 40,370 26,639 13,731 43,271 26,347 16,924 60,538 41,104 19,434 203,498 55,408 78,686 19,567 49,837 229,120 61,525 96,261 21.629 49,705 255,391 58,541 117,342 23,491 56,017 275,185 62,696 128,048 23,554 60,887 277.354 64,725 127.469 24.333 60.827 276,935 65,477 124,504 24,410 62,544 286,367 66,279 131,524 24,709 63,855 284,590 65,859 127,944 25,199 65,588 293,592 69,949 131,478 25,110 67,055 278,367 70,286 122,695 22,848 62,538 5,060 7,422 9,216 11,160 11.531 11,599 11.584 11,857 12,083 11,659 United Kingdom 21 Total, all currencies 22 Claims on United States 23 Parent bank 24 Other 25 Claims on foreigners 26 Other branches of parent bank 27 Banks 28 Public borrowers 2 29 Nonbank foreigners 30 Other assets 31 Total payable in U.S. dollars 32 Claims on United States 33 Parent bank 34 Other 35 Claims on foreigners 36 Other branches of parent bank 38 39 Public borrowers 2 Nonbank foreigners 40 Other assets 106,593 130,873 144,717 149,704 148,774 150,161 154,096 153,615 161,531 157,229 5,370 4,448 922 11,117 9,338 1,779 7,509 5,275 2,234 9,650 7,098 2,552 9.130 6.167 2.963 9,995 7,189 2,806 11,167 7,842 3,325 9,668 6,351 3,317 9,315 5,162 4,153 10,534 6,596 3,938 98,137 27,830 45,013 4,522 20,772 115.123 34.291 51.343 4,919 24,570 131,142 34,760 58,741 6,688 30,953 134.092 35,914 60,261 6,811 31,106 133,626 37,035 59,639 6.822 30.130 134,034 38,035 58,362 6,665 30,972 137,056 39,117 58,986 7,112 31,841 137,879 38.799 59,307 7,305 32,468 145,899 41,467 63,044 7,463 33,906 140,166 42,123 56,848 7,490 33,705 3,086 4.633 6,066 5,962 6.018 6,132 5,873 6,068 6,327 6,529 75,860 94,287 99,699 104,959 107,961 109,008 113,014 112,064 117,454 115,188 5,113 4,386 727 10.746 9,297 1,449 7,116 5,229 1,887 9,160 7,059 2,101 8.628 6.110 2.518 9,552 7,128 2,424 10,703 7,779 2,924 9,201 6,299 2,902 8,811 5,110 3,701 9,960 6,435 3,525 69,416 22,838 31,482 3,317 11,779 81.294 28.928 36.760 3,319 12.287 89,723 28,268 42,073 4,911 14,471 96,230 29,725 45,631 5,123 15,751 95,832 30,789 44,488 5,176 15.379 95,887 31,710 42,957 5,006 16,214 98,611 32,845 43,605 5,281 16,880 98,934 32.698 43,345 5,485 17,406 104,741 34,905 46,463 5,500 17,873 101,136 36,322 41,106 5,595 18,113 1,331 2,247 2,860 3,464 3,501 3,569 3,700 3,929 3,902 4,092 Bahamas and Caymans 41 Total, all currencies 42 Claims on United States 43 Parent bank 44 Other 45 Claims on foreigners 46 Other branches of parent bank 47 Banks 48 Public borrowers 2 49 Nonbank foreigners 50 Other assets 51 Total payable in U.S. dollars 91,735 108,977 123,837 135,081 145,290 142,087 147,904 142,687 148,557 149,050 9,635 6,429 3,206 19,124 15,196 3,928 17,751 12,631 5,120 21,812 14,477 7,335 29.808 21,654 8.154 27,131 19,303 7,828 29,896 20,372 9,524 26,741 16.717 10,024 29,908 17,665 12,243 46,246 31,330 14,916 79,774 12,904 33,677 11,514 21,679 86,718 9,689 43.189 12.905 20.935 101,926 13,342 54,861 12,577 21,146 108,477 13,569 59,705 12,038 23,165 110,584 13,788 60,748 12,471 23,577 109,888 13,909 59,316 12,610 24,053 113,048 13,174 62,946 12,431 24,497 110,781 13,066 60,220 12,637 24,858 113,487 13,983 61,337 12,730 25,437 98,313 12,962 55,338 9,995 20,018 2,326 3,135 4,160 4,792 4.898 5,068 4,960 5,165 5,162 4,491 85,417 102,368 117,654 129,438 139,514 136,054 142,053 136,854 142,632 143,686 1. In May 1978 the exemption level for branches required to report was increased, which reduced the number of reporting branches. 2. In May 1978 a broader category of claims on foreign public borrowers, in- eluding corporations that are majority owned by foreign governments, replaced the previous, more narrowly defined claims on foreign official institutions. Overseas Branches 3.14 A57 Continued 1981 T '.L'l',,. 1978' 1979 1980 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.P All foreign countries 52 Total, all currencies 53 To United States 54 Parent bank 55 Other banks in United States 56 Nonbanks 57 To foreigners Other branches of parent bank 58 59 Banks 60 Official institutions 61 Nonbank foreigners 62 Other liabilities 63 Total payable in U.S. dollars 64 To United States 65 Parent bank 66 Other banks in United States 67 Nonbanks 68 To foreigners 69 Other branches of parent bank 70 Banks 71 Official institutions 72 Nonbank foreigners 73 Other liabilities 306,795 364,409 401,135 422,946 433,238 433,242 450,234 444,654 462,811 462,633 58,012 28,654 12,169 17,189 66,689 24,533 13,968 28,188 91,079 39,286 14,473 37,275 109,322 44,327 16,136 48,859 118,093 43,069 17,578 57,446 116,190 44,010 15,686 56,494 124,096 48,592 17,657 57,847 120,039 45,909 16,464 r 57,666' 128,081 49,385 17,110 61,586 137,618 56,160 19,315 62,143 238,912 67,496 97,711 31,936 41,769 283,510 77,640 122,922 35,668 47,280 295,411 75,773 132,116 32,473 55,049 298,169 79,033 131,854 26,316 60,966 299,240 81,387 129,290 25,682 62,881 300,081 80,991 125,563 28,209 65,318 306,785 83,336 127,794 28,715 66,940 305,040 82,038 128,536 27,685 66,781 315,969 87,821 132,013 24,541 71,594 305,426 86,368 124,900 25,840 68,318 9,871 14,210 14,690 15,455 15,905 16,971 19,353 19,575 18,761 19,589 230,810 273,857 303,281 332,284 343,947 341,596 355,030 349,602 360,972 364,093 55,811 27,519 11,915 16,377 64,530 23,403 13,771 27,356 88,157 37,528 14,203 36,426 106,740 42,822 15,945 47,973 115,481 41,620 17,391 56,470 113,526 42,481 15,529 55,516 121,130 46,766 17,479 56,885 117,362 44,170 16,313' 56,879' 125,118 47,456 17,011 60,651 134,601 54,275 19,001 61,325 169,927 53,396 63,000 26,404 27,127 201,514 60,551 80,691 29,048 31,224 206,883 58,172 87,497 24,697 36,517 215,931 62,292 89,909 20,853 42,877 218,178 64,884 88,554 20,108 44,632 217,239 64,338 83,842 22,056 47,003 221,090 66,256 84,670 22,836 47,328 219,818 65,160 84,552 21,948 48,158 224,505 69,554 84,691 18,911 51,349 217,463 69,164 79,596 20,288 48,415 5,072 7,813 8,241 9,613 10,288 10,831 12,810 12,422 11,349 12,029 United Kingdom 74 Total, all currencies 75 To United States 76 Parent bank 77 Other banks in United States 78 Nonbanks 79 To foreigners 80 Other branches of parent bank 81 Banks 82 Official institutions 83 Nonbank foreigners 84 Other liabilities 85 Total payable in U.S. dollars 86 To United States Parent bank 87 88 Other banks in United States 89 Nonbanks 90 To foreigners 91 Other branches of parent bank 92 Banks 93 Official institutions 94 Nonbank foreigners 95 Other liabilities 106,593 130,873 144,717 149,704 148,774 150,161 154,096 153,615 161,531 157,229 9,730 1,887 4,189 3,654 20,986 3,104 7,693 10,189 21,785 4,225 5,716 11,844 29,598 4,371 6,172 19,055 30,383 4,138 5,864 20,381 31,408 4,189 5,646 21,573 34,143 5,370 6,396 22,377 32,960 3,542 6,054 23,364 36,316 4,045 7,102 25,169 38,033 5,455 7,502 25,076 93,202 12,786 39,917 20,963 19,536 104,032 12,567 47,620 24,202 19,643 117,438 15,384 56,262 21,412 24,380 115,099 14,996 55,923 17,197 26,983 113,560 15,103 54,351 16,352 27,754 113,191 15,255 51,532 17,866 28,538 113,862 15,121 51,830 18,687 28,224 114,415 15,544 53,634 17,442 27,795 118,401 16,090 56,239 15,089 30,983 112,244 16,534 51,336 16,517 27,857 3,661 5,855 5,494 5,007 4,831 5,562 6,091 6,240 6,814 6,952 77,030 95,449 103,440 113,427 113,247 114,191 117,920 117,346 122,362 120,277 9,328 1,836 4,101 3,391 20,552 3,054 7,651 9,847 21,080 4,078 5,626 11,376 28,858 4,277 6,094 18,487 29,606 4,054 5,768 19,784 30,661 4,132 5,594 20,935 33,464 5,309 6,317 21,838 32,408 3,484 5,976 22,948 35,706 3,956 7,061 24,689 37,343 5,361 7,249 24,733 66,216 9,635 25,287 17,091 14,203 72,397 8,446 29,424 20,192 14,335 79,636 10,474 35,388 17,024 16,750 81,544 10,289 36,701 14,000 20,554 80,400 10,566 35,789 13,133 20,912 79,988 10,943 32,914 14,244 21,887 80,638 10,747 33,010 15,514 21,367 81,260 11,121 34,312 14,415 21,412 82,766 11,457 35,141 12,133 24,035 79,023 12,037 32,298 13,612 21,076 1,486 2,500 2,724 3,025 3,241 3,542 3,818 3,678 3,890 3,911 142,687 148,557 149,050 80,161 36,066 8,971 35,124 85,703 39,260 10,609 35,834 64,462 23,307 24,712 3,381 13,062 60,023 20,641 23,218 3,498 12,666 Bahamas and Caymans 91,735 108,977 123,837 135,081 145,290 142,087 147,904 97 To United States Parent bank 98 99 Other banks in United States 100 Nonbanks 39,431 20,482 6,073 12,876 37,719 15,267 5,204 17,248 59,666 28,181 7,379 24,106 69,407 32,160 8,822 28,425 77,197 31,034 10,517 35,646 73,924 31,265 8,938 33,721 77,533 33,282 9,964 34,287 101 To foreigners 102 Other branches of parent bank 103 Banks 104 Official institutions 105 Nonbank foreigners 50,447 16,094 23,104 4,208 7,041 68,598 20,875 33,631 4,866 9,226 61,218 17,040 29,895 4,361 9,922 62,470 19,484 28,326 3,685 10,975 64,491 20,989 28,056 3,934 11,512 64,565 20,315 27,538 4,605 12,107 66,627 22,393 27,983 4,028 12,223 1,857 2,660 2,953 3,204 3,602 3,598 3,744 3,901 3,934 3,324 87,014 103,460 119,657 131,120 141,241 137,754 143,507 138,094 144,034 145,226 % Total, all currencies 106 Other liabilities 107 Total payable in U.S. dollars 75,991 33,387 9,349' 33,255' 672,795 20,521 25,396 4,078 12,800 A58 3.15 International Statistics • March 1982 S E L E C T E D U.S. LIABILITIES TO F O R E I G N OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS Millions of dollars, end of period 1982 1981 Item 1979 1 Total1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 By type Liabilities reported by banks in the United States 2 . U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 3 U.S. Treasury bonds and notes Marketable Nonmarketable 4 U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasury securities5 By area Western Europe 1 Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa Other countries 6 1980 June r July' Aug/ Sept/ Oct/ Nov.? Dec.'' JanP 149,697 164,578r 167,088 167,007 162,396 161,587 159,798 164,672 169,585 167,860 30,540 47,666 30,381 56,243 25,251 57,719 25,956 55,659 22,940 52,921 22,865 50,179 20,928 48,867 23,424 49,644 26,316 52,389 23,861 52,306 37,590 17,387 16,514 41,455 14,654 21,845' 46,605 13,202 24,311 47,402 12,802 25,188 48,934 12,402 25,199 50,311 12,402 25,830 51,943 12,191 25,869 54,076 11,791 25,737 53,289 11,791 25,800 54,130 11,791 25,772 85,633 1,898 6,291 52,978 2,412 485 81,592 1,562 5,688 70,784 r 4,123 829 71,130 1,248 6,103 83,142 3,190 2,275 70,576 664 5,584 85,847 2,645 1,691 65,960 1,603 5,968 84,643 2,839 1,383 64,409 1,366 5,429 87,332 2,090 961 61,086 1,073 5,088 89,190 2,149 1,212 63,097 2,247 5,049 91,300 1,792 1,187 65,241 2,403 6,927 91,924 1,849 1,241 62,757 2,377 5,977 94,268 1,649 832 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. 2. Principally demand deposits, time deposits, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, negotiable time certificates of deposit, and borrowings under repurchase agreements. 3. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness (including those payable in foreign currencies through 1974) and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 4. Excludes notes issued to foreign official nonreserve agencies. Includes bonds and notes payable in foreign currencies. 3.16 5. Debt securities of U.S. government corporations and federally sponsored agencies, and U.S. corporate stocks and bonds. 6. Includes countries in Oceania and Eastern Europe. NOTE. Based on Treasury Department data and on data reported to the Treasury Department by banks (including Federal Reserve Banks) and securities dealers in the United States. LIABILITIES T O A N D CLAIMS ON F O R E I G N E R S Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in Foreign Currencies Millions of dollars, end of period 1981 Item 1978 1979 1980 Mar. 1 Banks' own liabilities 2 Banks' own claims1 3 Deposits 4 Other claims 5 Claims of banks' domestic customers 2 1. Includes claims of banks' domestic customers through March 1978. 2. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the accounts of their domestic customers. 2,406 3,671 1,795 1,876 358 1,918 2,419 994 1,425 580 3,748 4,206 2,507 1,699 962 3,298 4,257 1,779 2,478 444 June 3,031 3,699 rr 2,050 1,649' 347 Sept.' 2,878 4,078 2,409 1,669 248 Dec.P 3,667 5,331 3,592 1,738 972 NOTE. Data on claims exclude foreign currencies held by U.S. monetary authorities. Nonbank-Reported 3.17 LIABILITIES TO F O R E I G N E R S Payable in U.S. dollars Millions of dollars, end of period Data Reported by Banks in the United States 1982 1981 Holder and type of liability 1 All foreigners 2 Banks' own liabilities 3 Demand deposits 4 Time deposits' 5 Other 2 6 Own foreign offices 3 7 Banks' custody liabilities4 8 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates5 .. 9 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 6 10 Other 11 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations7 12 Banks' own liabilities 13 Demand deposits 14 Time deposits' 15 Other 2 16 Banks' custody liabilities4 17 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates . . . 18 Other negotiable and readily transferable Instruments 6 19 Other 1978 A59 1979 1980 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.P 166,842 187,521 205,297' 208,928' 213,796' 208,046' 216,113 198,717' 208,263' 242,228 247,363 78,661 19,218 12,427 9,705 37,311 117,196 23,303 13,623 16,453 63,817 124,791' 23,462 15,076 17,583' 68,670 128,003' 23,177' 16,641 14,088' 74,097' 132,022' 21,413' 16,457 13,435' 80,717 130,981' 22,073' 17,250 11,242 80,416 142,213 23,592 17,313 13,608 87,699 124,261' 19,061 17,465 11,225 76,511' 132,556' 21,127' 18,068' 14,129' 79,232' 162,133 19,698 29,311 17,406 95,718 167,962 18,030 30,371 15,264 104,297 88,181 68,202 70,325 48,573 80,506 57,595 80,925' 59,745 81,774 57,550 77,065 54,846 73,900 52,368 74,456 51,281 75,707' 52,005' 80,095 55,312 79,402 55,131 17,472 2,507 19,396 2,356 20,079 2,832 17,096' 4,084 17,865 6,359 17,999 4,220 17,295 4,238 18,257 4,919 18,259' 5,442 18,814 5,970 18,787 5,484 2,607 2,356 2,344' 1,777 1,798 1,650 1,826 1,981 2,317 2,721 2,141 906 330 84 492 714 260 151 303 444 r 146 85 212' 357 224 75 58 363 222 75 65 436 233 59 145 398 249 60 89 303 185 58 60 555 388 74 93 638 262 58 318 365 130 86 148 1,701 201 1,643 102 1,900 254 1,420 289 1,435 247 1,214 84 1,428 96 1,678 184 1,762 142 2,083 541 1,775 217 1,499 1 1,538 2 1,646 0 1,132 0 1,188 0 1,130 0 1,332 0 1,494 0 1,621 0 1,542 0 1,558 0 20 Official institutions* 90,742 78,206 86,624 82,970' 81,616' 75,860' 73,044 69,796 73,068' 78,706 76,167 21 Banks' own liabilities 22 Demand deposits 23 Time deposits' 24 Other 2 12,165 3,390 2,560 6,215 18,292 4,671 3,050 10,571 17,826 3,771 3,612 10,443 15,815 3,975 2,563 9,277 14,479' 3,134 2,090 9,255' 13,482 3,714 2,021 7,747 13,951 2,697 1,981 9,273 11,869 2,668 1,692 7,509 14,212' 2,459 1,908' 9,846' 16,687 2,612 4,180 9,895 14,474 2,400 3,668 8,405 25 Banks' custody liabilities4 26 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 5 .. 27 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 6 28 Other 78,577 67,415 59,914 47,666 68,798 56,243 67,155' 57,719 67,136 55,659 62,378' 52,921 59,093 50,179 57,927 48,867 58,856 49,644 62,019 52,389 61,693 52,306 10,992 170 12,196 52 12,501 54 9,356' 80' 9,396 2,081 9,402' 55 8,659 255 9,013 46 9,161 51 9,582 47 9,360 27 29 Banks9 57,423 88,316 96,415 101,512' 107,895' 107,446' 117,630 102,986' 108,486' 134,860 144,730 30 Banks' own liabilities Unaffiliated foreign banks 31 32 Demand deposits 33 Time deposits' 34 Other 2 52,626 15,315 11,257 1,429 2,629 83,299 19,482 13,285 1,667 4,530 90,456 21,786 14,188 1,703 5,895 93,305' 19,208 13,630' 1,728 3,850' 98,974' 18,257' 12,929 1,573 3,755' 98,350 17,933 13,255 1,686 2,993 108,618 20,919 15,199 1,880 3,840 92,786' 16,275 11,346 1,631 3,298 97,651' 18,418' 12,908' 1,837' 3,673' 123,145 27,427 11,613 9,156 6,658 132,817 28,521 10,766 11,402 6,353 Own foreign offices 3 37,311 63,817 68,670 74,097' 80,717 80,416 87,699 76,511' 79,232' 95,718 104,297 4,797 300 5,017 422 5,959 623 8,207' 1,170 8,921 1,069 9,097' 1,217 9,012 1,439 10,200 1,574 10,835' 1,584 11,715 1,683 11,913 1,853 2,425 2,072 2,415 2,179 2,748 2,588 3,178 3,859' 3,732 4,119 4,017' 3,862 3,889 3,684 4,091 4,535 4,169 5,082' 4,421 5,611 4,888 5,172 40 Other foreigners 16,070 18,642 19,914 22,669' 22,489' 23,089' 23,613 23,955 24,392' 25,941 24,326 Banks' own liabilities 42 Demand deposits 43 Time deposits 44 Other 2 12,964 4,242 8,353 368 14,891 5,087 8,755 1,048 16,065 5,356 9,676 1,033 18,526' 5,347' 12,275 903 18,206' 5,127' 12,719 360 18,714' 4,872' 13,483 358 19,246 5,447 13,393 406 19,303 4,862 14,084 358 20,139' 5,373' 14,249' 517' 21,663 5,212 15,916 535 20,305 4,734 15,214 358 3,106 285 3,751 382 3,849 474 4,143' 568 4,283 575 4,376 624 4,367 654 4,652 656 4,253 635' 4,278 698 4,020 755 2,557 264 3,247 123 3,185 190 3,430' 144 3,548 159 3,450 302 3,414 300 3,659 337 3,309' 309' 3,268 312 2,981 284 11,007 10,984 10,745 10,250' 10,091 9,939' 9,459 9,424 9,975 10,542 10,435 35 Banks' custody liabilities4 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates . . . 38 Other negotiable and6 readily transferable instruments 39 Other 36 37 41 45 Banks' custody liabilities4 46 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates . . . 47 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 6 48 Other 49 MEMO: Negotiable time certificates of deposit in custody for foreigners . . . 1. Excludes negotiable time certificates of deposit, which are included in "Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments." Data for time deposits before April 1978 represent short-term only. 2. Includes borrowing under repurchase agreements. 3. U.S. banks: includes amounts due to own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due to head office or parent foreign bank, and foreign branches, agencies or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or parent foreign bank. 4. Financial claims on residents of the United States, other than long-term securities, held by or through reporting banks. 5. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 6. Principally bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 7. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and the Inter-American and Asian Development Banks. 8. Foreign central banks and foreign central governments and the Bank for International Settlements. 9. Excludes central banks, which are included in "Official institutions." A60 3.17 International Statistics • March 1982 Continued 1981 Area and country 1978 1979 1982 1980 June r July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.P 1 Total 166,842 187,521 205,297 208,928' 213,796' 208,046' 216,113 198,717' 208,263' 242,228 247,363 2 Foreign countries 164,235 185,164 202,953 207,151' 211,999' 206,396' 214,287 196,736' 205,946' 239,507 245,223 85,172 513 2,550 1,946 346 9,214 17,283 826 7,739 2,402 1,271 330 870 3,121 18,225 157 14,272 254 3,440 82 330 90,952 413 2,375 1,092 398 10,433 12,935 635 7,782 2,337 1,267 557 1,259 2,005 17,954 120 24,700 266 4,070 52 302 90,897 523 4,019 497 455 12,125 9,973 670 7,572 2,441 1,344 374 1,500 1,737 16,689 242 22,680 681 6,939 68 370 86,788' 540 5,056 415 305 11,515 9,631 507 4,620 2,133 1,743 454 1,199 2,180 15,842' 194 24,428 312 5,323 41 351 85,447' 610 4,759 431' 296' 11,058 9,072 533 6,140' 1,792 1,289 448 1,340' 1,864 16,325' 356 23,236' 408 5,177 33' 280 81,547 612 4,240 239 220 9,235 7,301 492 6,374 1,751 1,228 460 1,409 1,667 16,426 208 24,194 343 4,804 34 310 85,087 590 4,852 163 198 7,637 8,410 578 6,264 2,240 1,008 486 1,189 2,102 16,983 234 26,335 366 5,010 28 414 77,662' 583 3,644 232 187 7,125 6,555 496 5,687 2,173 1,449 424 975 1,609 17,114' 252 23,985 265 4,472 42 396 82,292' 595' 3,989 306 196 7,385 7,211 428 5,656 2,351 1,642 358 954 1,508 18,937' 197 24,258 380 5,384 72 486 90,667 587 4,122 333 296 8,487 7,665 463 7,290 2,779 1,457 354 916 1,545 18,878 518 28,280 375 5,781 49 493 89,695 718 3,969 512 157 8,075 6,908 467 7,101 2,773 1,244 300 1,008 1,272 18,939 336 30,900 215 4,427 106 268 3 Europe 4 Austria Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland 8 France 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 15 Spain 16 Sweden 17 Switzerland 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 20 Yugoslavia 21 Other Western Europe 1 22 U.S.S.R 23 Other Eastern Europe 2 24 Canada 6,969 7,379 10,031 10,267' 9,260' 10,119 8,934 10,091 10,261 11,621 25 Latin America and Caribbean 26 Argentina 27 Bahamas 28 Bermuda 29 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile 32 Colombia 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 35 Guatemala 3 36 Jamaica 3 37 Mexico 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru 41 Uruguay 42 Venezuela 43 Other Latin America and Caribbean . 31,638 1,484 6,752 428 1,125 5,974 398 1,756 13 322 416 52 3,467 308 2,967 363 231 3,821 1,760 49,686 1,582 15,255 430 1,005 11,138 468 2,617 13 425 414 76 4,185 499 4,483 383 202 4,192 2,318 53,170 2,132 16,381 670 1,216 12,766 460 3,077 6 371 367 97 4,547 413 4,718 403 254 3,170 2,123 56,155' 1,991 17,760 698 1,412 12,836' 508 2,827 7 463 399 80 5,351 497 4,615 450 322 3,548 2,393' 64,014' 1,980 24,484' 646 1,172' 14,024 566 2,784 7 392 412 122 5,532 487 5,004 363 243 3,671 2,125 63,791 2,043 24,209 700 1,282 13,239 538 2,708 7 355 399 290 6,352 692 4,619 398 266 3,621 2,073 66,363 1,979 25,168 806 1,301 14,456 491 2,527 8 394 476 92 6,021 697 4,964 380 259 3,982 2,362 59,338' 1,929 20,962' 721 1,265 10,472 538 2,759 6 403 419 147 5,717 2,771 4,599 369 249 4,044 1,969 61,266' 2,012 22,900' 624 1,283' 9,516' 505' 2,776' 7 516 444 96 6,029' 2,896' 4,904 473 266 3,971' 2,049 84,176 2,445 34,380 770 1,541 17,460 664 2,993 9 434 479 87 7,065 3,073 4,852 691 367 4,246 2,620 89,068 2,754 42,479 668 1,594 17,814 765 2,838 7 357 487 120 4,755 3,042 3,482 589 480 4,515 2,324 44 Asia China 45 Mainland 46 Taiwan 47 Hong Kong 48 India 49 Indonesia 50 Israel 51 Japan 52 53 Philippines 54 Thailand 55 Middle-East oil-exporting countries 4 . 56 Other Asia 36,492 33,005 42,420 47,352' 48,113' 46,192 48,722 46,844 48,625 49,789 50,677 67 502 1,256 790 449 688 21,927 795 644 427 7,534 1,414 49 1,393 1,672 527 504 707 8,907 993 795 277 15,300 1,879 49 1,662 2,548 416 730 883 16,281 1,528 919 464 14,453 2,487 102 1,936 3,151 408 582 478 19,563 1,329' 1,049 422 15,203' 3,129 84 2,006' 3,451' 398' 1,309 387 19,475 1,252 992 436 14,921' 3.402' 74 2,177 3,956 455 732 482 19,757 1,319 868 371 12,396 3,607 76 2,188 4,062 491 809 412 20,747 1,434 832 392 13,293 3,985 85 2,182 4,158 433 1,269 418 20,204 1,291 691 274 12,196 3,643 200 2,140 4,090 514 985 475 19,988' 1,322 736 409 13,603 4,163' 153 2,082 3,951 385 640 587 20,557 2,013 876 534 13,160 4,852 183 2,221 3,957 511 1,230 543 20,076 2,156 757 371 13,610 5,063 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco 60 South Africa 61 Zaire 62 Oil-exporting countries 5 63 Other Africa 2,886 404 32 168 43 1,525 715 3,239 475 33 184 110 1,635 804 5,187 485 33 288 57 3,540 783 3,907 289 41 253 181 2,388 755 3,177' 293 77 257 84 1,715 752' 3,201 355 59 296 41 1,703 746 2,561 433 43 244 76 1,040 725 2,535 343 28 282 44 1,165 672 2,381 328 37 202 56 830 929 3,195 354 32 420 134 1,395 860 3,060 569 36 251 33 1,206 965 64 Other countries 65 Australia 66 All other 1,076 838 239 904 684 220 1,247 950 297 2,683 2,398 285 1,987 1,770 217 1,792 1,568 224 1,434 1,174 260 1,423 1,212 211 1,291 1,065 226 1,419 1,223 196 1,102 852 250 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations International Latin American regional Other regional 6 2,607 1,485 808 314 2,356 1,238 806 313 2,344r l,157 r 890 296 1,777 747 722 307 1,798 699 765 333 1,650 524 747 379 1,826 631 750 445 1,981 945 724 312 2,317 1,128 797 391 2,721 1,661 710 350 2,141 1,065 17 1,059 68 69 70 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Beginning April 1978, also includes Eastern European countries not listed in line 23. 2. Beginning April 1978 comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 3. Included in "Other Latin America and Caribbean" through March 1978. 4. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 5. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 9,873' 6. Asian, African, Middle Eastern, and European regional organizations, except the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." Nonbank-Reported 3.18 Data A61 B A N K S ' O W N C L A I M S O N F O R E I G N E R S Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in U . S . Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1981 Area and country 1982 1980 1979 1978 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Jan.P Dec. 1 Total 115,545 133,943 172,592 196,947r 196,885 r 198,903' 210,104' 196,637' 208,059 248,850 253,315 2 Foreign countries 115,488 133,906 172,514 196,900' 196,825' 198,852' 210,049' 196,593' 208,019 248,794 253,263 24,201 140 1,200 254 305 3,735 845 164 1,523 677 299 171 1,120 537 1,283 300 10,147 363 122 360 657 28,388 284 1,339 147 202 3,322 1,179 154 1,631 514 276 330 1,051 542 1,165 149 13,795 611 175 268 1,254 32,108 236 1,621 127 460 2,958 948 256 3,364 575 227 331 993 783 1,446 145 14,917 853 179 281 1,410 36,978' 166 2,395 ' 125 365 3,209 1,099 249 3,879 667 172 353 1,769 794 1,690 147 16,675 988 182 302 1,752 35,198 157 2,087 132 343 2,861 1,259 292 3,923 497 167 389 1,726 730 1,871 137 15,454 992 160 245 1.776 35,065 185 2,373 166 352 3,074 1,144 214 3,997 581 249 350 1,801 672 1,708 159 14,832 948 200 252 1,809 40,876 436 2,625 158 346 3,351 1,267 287 4,016 569 300 328 1,711 930 1,948 144 19,380 932 185 232 1.733 34,373' 138 1,758' 186 397 2,563 841 235 4,322 564 230 353 1,627 871 1,471 153 15,755' 954 148 203 1,605' 39,304 179 2,023 207 527 3,252 979 255 4,559 567 281 390 1,693 1,333 1,961 144 17,895 1,016 197 248 1,596 48,470 151 2,780 186 549 4,089 937 333 5,208 685 384 530 2,091 1,202 2,209 421 23,184 1,224 209 367 1,730 51,312 214 2,822 226 555 4,661 1,080 373 5,451 729 384 584 2,166 1,291 1,842 462 24,761 1,206 231 455 1,816 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland 8 France 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 15 Spain 16 Sweden 17 Switzerland 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 20 Yugoslavia 21 Other Western Europe 1 22 U.S.S.R 23 Other Eastern Europe 2 5,152 4,143 4,810 7,022' 7,661 6,353 7,962 7,343' 6,922 8,595 9,505 25 Latin America and Caribbean 26 Argentina 27 Bahamas 28 Bermuda 29 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile 32 Colombia 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 35 Guatemala 3 36 Jamaica 3 37 Mexico 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru 41 Uruguay Venezuela 42 43 Other Latin America and Caribbean . 57,565 2,281 21,555 184 6,251 9,694 970 1,012 0 705 94 40 5,479 273 3,098 918 52 3,474 1,485 67,993 4,389 18,918 496 7,713 9,818 1,441 1,614 4 1,025 134 47 9,099 248 6,041 652 105 4,657 1,593 92,992 5,689 29,419 218 10,496 15,663 1,951 1,752 3 1,190 137 36 12,595 821 4,974 890 137 5,438 1,583 103,374' 5,822 34,755 404 10,014 18,317' 2,070' 1,533 3 1,285 105' 38 14,066 874 6,210 818 94 5,295 1,671' 105,327' 5.742 35,577' 411 9.781 18.001 2,203 1.480 7 1,307 95 39 15,560 933 6,029 803 102 5,436 1,821 108,731' 5.702 36,709' 340 10,214 17,846 2,321 1,429 14 1,318 115 40 17.391 894 6.167 796 107 5,529 1,800 111,607' 5,771 38,057' 490 9,861 19,016' 2,514 1,487 3 1,298 119 68 17,245 869 6,669' 788 142 5,325 1,885 107,833' 5,887' 36,631' 335 10,374 17,108' 2,567 1,529 4 1.282 127' 40' 17,148 928 5,791 796' 166 5,273' 1,848' 112,913 6,044 39,432 255 10,823 17,745 2,649 1,598 3 1,328 123 45 18,500 951 5,645 705 148 5,129 1,790 137,013 7,541 42,802 326 16,882 21,350 3,673 2,027 3 1,531 124 62 22,367 1,056 6.743 1,213 157 7,082 2,075 141,439 8,613 43,782 375 17,314 21,064 4,150 2,113 7 1,696 118 177 22,952 941 6,741 1,435 256 7,223 2,481 44 Asia China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Middle East oil-exporting countries 4 . Other Asia 25,362 30,730 39,078 46,027 44,999 44,934 45,537' 43.190' 44,963 49,793 45,728 4 1,499 1,479 54 143 888 12,646 2,282 680 758 3,125 1,804 35 1,821 1,804 92 131 990 16,911 3,793 737 933 1,548 1,934 195 2,469 2,247 142 245 1,172 21,361 5,697 989 876 1,432 2,252 205 2,471 3,328 132 257 1,309 25,995 6,678 1,192 663' 1,615' 2,181 188 2,380 3,208 106 271 1.178 25.954 6.426 1,194 546 1,288 2,261 186 2,543 3,347 135 254 1,108 25,352 6,479 1,402 527 1,473 2,129 153 2,476 3,716 144 363 1,086 25,273' 6,486 1,530 549 1,394 2,367 148 2,349' 3,784' 176 267 1,200 22,790' 6,567' 1,448 559 1,381 2,520 199 2,262 3,921 179 329 1,325 23,785 6,733 1,621 546 1,569 2,495 107 2,461 4,113 132 346 1,586 26,771 7,291 1,818 564 1,597 3,008 85 2,630 4,096 148 315 1,318 24,051 6,520 1,764 526 1,611 2,663 2,221 107 82 860 164 452 556 1,797 114 103 445 144 391 600 2,377 151 223 370 94 805 734 2,420' 155 71 658 98 672 767' 2,518 128 88 688 100 726 789 2,715 148 204 787 87 713 777 2,957 145 273 917 102 689 831 2,796' 147 269 848' 102' 534 896 2,803 137 243 904 100 531 888 3,546 238 284 1,011 112 657 1,244 3,817 259 273 948 98 773 1,467 988 877 111 855 673 182 1,150 859 290 1,078 939 139 1,121 988 133 1,054 952 102 1,110 959 152 1,059 962 97 1,114 989 125 1,379 1,197 182 1,462 1,279 183 56 36 78 48 60 51 55 43 40 56 52 24 Canada 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco 60 South Africa 61 Zaire 62 Oil-exporting countries 5 63 Other 64 Other countries 65 Australia All other 66 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 6 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Beginning April 1978. also includes Eastern European countries not listed in line 23. 2. Beginning April 1978 comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 3. Included in "Other Latin America and Caribbean" through March 1978. 4. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 5. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 6. Excludes the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." NOTE. Data for period prior to April 1978 include claims of banks' domestic customers on foreigners. A62 3.19 International Statistics • March 1982 B A N K S ' OWN A N D D O M E S T I C CUSTOMERS' CLAIMS O N F O R E I G N E R S Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1982 1981 Type of claim 1978 1979 1980 June July Aug. Sept. 196,885' 24,026' 80,698' 54,200' 11,278 42,922' 37,961' 198,903' 24,414 80,398' 55,364 11,678 43,686 38,727 210,104' 25,021 88,214 58,487' 12,685 45,803' 38,382 Nov. Oct. Dec. 1 Total 126,787 154,030 198,698 230,776' 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 115,545 10,346 41,605 40,483 5,428 35,054 23,111 133,943 15,937 47,428 40,927 6,274 34,654 29,650 172,592 20,882 65,084 50,168 8,254 41,914 36,459 196,947' 22,909' 79,827' 55,165' 11,163' 44,002' 39,046' 11,243 480 20,088 955 26,106 885 33,829' 763' 35,600' 992 37,264 1,355 5,396 13,100 15,574 23,559' 25,193' 25,786 5,366 6,032 9,648 9,507 9,415' 10,123 15,030 18,021 22,714 27,457 27,640' 29,636 13,648' 22,241' Banks' own claims on foreigners Foreign public borrowers Own foreign offices 1 Unaffiliated foreign banks Deposits Other All other foreigners 9 Claims of banks' domestic customers 2 .. 11 Negotiable and readily transferable Jan.P 286,114 245,705' 196,637' 25,436' 78,855 54,957' 12,407' 42,550' 37,389' 208,059 26,391 84,881 57,648 12,828 44,820 39,139 248,850 30,912 96,415 72,576 21,041 51,535 48,948 253,315 32,346 95,096 75,505 23,002 52,503 50,368 12 Outstanding collections and other 13 MEMO: Customer liability on Dollar deposits in banks abroad, reported by nonbanking business enterprises in the United States 5 , 24,141 33,102 34,240' 36,093' 39,758' 41,367 38,699 n.a. 4. Data for March 1978 and for period before that are outstanding collections only. 5. Includes demand and time deposits and negotiable and nonnegotiable certificates of deposit denominated in U.S. dollars issued by banks abroad. For description of changes in data reported by nonbanks, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 1. U.S. banks: includes amounts due from own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due from head office or parent foreign bank, and foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or parent foreign bank. 2. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the account of their domestic customers. 3. Principally negotiable time certificates of deposit and bankers acceptances. 3.20 37,410' NOTE. Beginning April 1978, data for banks' own claims are given on a monthly basis, but the data for claims of banks' own domestic customers are available on a quarterly basis only. B A N K S ' O W N CLAIMS O N U N A F F I L I A T E D F O R E I G N E R S Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1978 1979 1980 Dec. Dec. Dec. 1981 Maturity ; by borrower and area Mar. June Sept Dec.P 1 73,635 86,181 106,748' 107,276 116,886' 121,561' 151,955 By borrower 2 Maturity of 1 year or less1 3 Foreign public borrowers 4 All other foreigners 5 Maturity of over 1 year1 6 Foreign public borrowers 7 All other foreigners 58,345 4,633 53,712 15,289 5,395 9,894 65,152 7,233 57,919 21,030 8,371 12,659 82,555' 9,974' 72,581' 24,193 10,152 14,041 83,471 10,734 72,737 23,805 10,250 13,555 91,447' 11,713' 79,734' 25,439' 11,022' 14,416' 94,053' 12,950' 81,104' 27,508' 12,367' 15,141' 114,059 15,071 98,988 37,897 15,607 22,290 15,169 2,670 20,895 17,545 1,4% 569 15,235 1,777 24,928 21,641 1,077 493 18,715' 2,723 32,034 26,686' 1,757 640 18,681 2,743 31,329 28,363 1,624 730 20,815' 3,291' 33,292' 31,485' 1,768' 797' 22,727' 3,799 35,207' 29,222' 2,324 774 27,145 4,273 47,576 31,653 2,474 938 3,142 1,426 8,464 1,407 637 214 4,160 1,317 12,814 1,911 655 173 5,118 1,448 15,075 1,865 507 179 5,585 1,180 14,841 1,530 531 138 6,283' 1,317' 15,448 1,680 551 159 6,405' 1,347 17,471' 1,565' 548 172 8,080 1,729 25,187 1,749 893 260 8 9 10 11 V. 13 By area Maturity of 1 year or less1 Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Africa All other 2 Maturity of over 1 year1 14 Europe 15 Canada 16 Latin America and Caribbean 17 18 Africa 19 All other 2 1. Remaining time to maturity. 2. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Bank-Reported, Data 3.21 A63 CLAIMS O N F O R E I G N C O U N T R I E S Held by U.S. Offices and Foreign Branches of U.S.-Chartered Banks' Billions of dollars, end of period 1979 Area or country 1977 1980 1981 19782 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept.P 240.0 266.2 294.0 303.8 308.5 328.7 339.1 351.9 370.9 382.2 398.2 116.4 8.4 11.0 9.6 6.5 3.5 1.9 3.6 46.5 6.4 18.8 124.7 9.0 12.2 11.3 6.7 4.4 2.1 5.3 47.3 6.0 20.6 135.7 10.7 12.0 12.8 6.1 4.7 2.3 5.0 53.7 6.0 22.3 138.4 11.1 11.7 12.2 6.4 4.8 2.4 4.7 56.4 6.3 22.4 141.2 10.8 12.0 11.4 6.2 4.3 2.4 4.3 57.6 6.9 25.4 154.2 13.1 14.1 12.7 6.9 4.5 2.7 3.3 64.4 7.2 25.5 158.8 13.6 13.9 12.9 7.2 4.4 2.8 3.4 66.7 7.7 26.1 162.1 13.0 14.1 12.1 8.2 4.4 2.9 5.0 67.4 8.4 26.5 168.4 13.5 14.5 13.2 7.7 4.6 3.2 5.1 68.2 8.8 29.6 168.3 14.2 14.7 12.1 8.4 4.1 3.1 5.2 66.7 10.8 28.9 171.8 14.0 16.0 12.7 8.6 3.7 3.4 5.1 68.6 11.5 28.2 13 Other developed countries 14 Austria 15 Denmark 16 Finland 17 Greece 18 Norway 19 Portugal 20 Spain 21 Turkey 22 Other Western Europe 23 South Africa 24 Australia 18.6 1.3 1.6 1.2 2.2 1.9 .6 3.6 1.5 .9 2.4 1.4 19.4 1.7 2.0 1.2 2.3 2.1 .6 3.5 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.4 19.7 2.0 2.0 1.2 2.3 2.3 .7 3.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.3 19.9 2.0 2.2 1.2 2.4 2.3 .7 3.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 18.8 1.7 2.1 1.1 2.4 2.4 .6 3.5 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.2 20.3 1.8 2.2 1.3 2.5 2.4 .6 3.9 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.2 20.6 1.8 2.2 1.2 2.6 2.4 .7 4.2 1.3 1.7 1.2 1.2 21.7 1.9 2.3 1.4 2.8 2.6 .6 4.4 1.5 1.7 1.1 1.3 23.5 1.8 2.4 1.4 2.7 2.8 .6 5.6 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.4 24.8 2.1 2.3 1.3 3.0 2.8 .8 5.7 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.7 26.3 2.1 2.5 1.4 2.9 3.0 1.0 5.8 1.5 1.9 2.5 1.9 25 OPEC countries 3 26 Ecuador 27 Venezuela 28 Indonesia 29 Middle East countries 30 African countries 17.6 1.1 5.5 2.2 6.9 1.9 22.7 1.6 7.2 2.0 9.5 2.5 23.4 1.6 7.9 1.9 9.2 2.8 22.9 1.7 8.7 1.9 8.0 2.6 21.8 1.8 7.9 1.9 7.8 2.5 20.9 1.8 7.9 1.9 6.9 2.5 21.4 1.9 8.5 1.9 6.7 2.4 22.7 2.1 9.1 1.8 6.9 2.8 21.7 2.0 8.3 2.1 6.7 2.6 22.2 2.0 8.7 2.1 6.8 2.6 23.4 2.1 9.2 2.5 7.1 2.6 31 Non-OPEC developing countries 48.7 52.6 58.9 62.9 63.7 67.6 72.8 77.2 81.8 84.6 89.8 2.9 12.7 .9 1.3 11.9 1.9 2.6 3.0 14.9 1.6 1.4 10.8 1.7 3.6 4.1 15.1 2.2 1.7 11.4 1.4 3.6 5.0 15.2 2.5 2.2 12.0 1.5 3.7 5.5 15.0 2.5 2.1 12.1 1.3 3.6 5.6 15.3 2.7 2.2 13.6 1.4 3.6 7.6 15.8 3.2 2.4 14.4 1.5 3.9 7.9 16.2 3.7 2.6 15.9 1.8 3.9 9.4 16.8 4.0 2.4 17.0 1.8 4.7 8.5 17.3 4.7 2.5 18.2 1.7 3.8 9.2 17.6 5.5 2.5 20.0 1.8 4.2 1 Total 2 G-10 countries and Switzerland Belgium-Luxembourg 3 4 France 5 Germany 6 Italy Netherlands 7 8 Sweden 9 Switzerland 10 United Kingdom 11 Canada 12 Japan 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Other Latin America 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Asia China Mainland Taiwan India Israel Korea (South) Malaysia Philippines Thailand Other Asia .0 3.1 .3 .9 3.9 .7 2.5 1.1 .4 .0 2.9 .2 1.0 3.9 .6 2.8 1.2 .2 .1 3.5 .2 1.0 5.3 .7 3.7 1.6 .4 .1 3.4 .2 1.3 5.4 .9 4.2 1.5 .5 .1 3.6 .2 .9 6.4 .8 4.4 1.4 .5 .1 3.8 .2 1.2 7.1 .9 4.6 1.5 .5 .1 4.1 .2 1.1 7.3 .9 4.8 1.5 .5 .2 4.2 .3 1.5 7.1 1.0 5.1 1.6 .6 .2 4.4 .3 1.3 7.7 1.0 4.8 1.6 .5 .2 4.6 .3 1.8 8.7 1.4 5.1 1.5 .7 .2 5.1 .3 1.5 8.5 1.4 5.6 1.4 .8 48 49 50 51 Africa Egypt Morocco Zaire Other Africa 4 .3 .5 .3 .7 .4 .6 .2 1.4 .6 .5 .2 1.6 .6 .6 .2 1.7 .7 .5 .2 1.7 .8 .5 .2 1.9 .6 .6 .2 2.1 .8 .7 .2 2.1 .8 .6 .2 2.2 .7 .5 .2 2.1 1.0 .7 .2 2.2 52 Eastern Europe 53 U.S.S.R 54 Yugoslavia 55 Other 6.3 1.6 1.1 3.7 6.9 1.3 1.5 4.1 7.2 .9 1.8 4.6 7.3 .7 1.8 4.8 7.3 .6 1.9 4.9 7.2 .5 2.1 4.5 7.3 .5 2.1 4.7 7.4 .4 2.3 4.6 7.7 .4 2.4 4.8 7.7 .5 2.5 4.8 7.7 .4 2.5 4.8 26.1 9.9 .6 3.7 .7 3.1 .2 3.7 3.7 .5 31.0 10.4 .7 7.4 .8 3.0 .1 4.2 3.9 .5 38.6 13.0 .7 9.5 1.1 3.4 .2 5.5 4.9 .4 40.4 13.7 .8 9.4 1.2 4.3 .2 6.0 4.5 .4 42.6 13.9 .6 11.3 .9 4.9 .2 5.7 4.7 .4 44.3 13.7 .6 9.8 1.2 5.6 .2 6.9 5.9 .4 44.6 13.2 .6 10.1 1.3 5.6 .2 7.5 5.6 .4 47.0 13.7 .6 10.6 2.1 5.4 .2 8.1 5.9 .3 53.1 15.2 .7 11.7 2.3 6.5 .2 8.4 7.3 .9 59.0 17.7 .7 12.4 2.4 6.9 .2 10.3 8.1 .3 60.9 20.8 .9 11.7 2.2 6.7 .2 10.3 8.0 .1 5.3 9.1 10.6 11.7 13.1 14.3 13.7 14.0 14.9 15.7 18.2 56 Offshore banking centers 57 Bahamas 58 Bermuda 59 Cayman Islands and other British West Indies 60 Netherlands Antilles 61 Panama 5 62 Lebanon 63 Hong Kong 64 Singapore 65 Others 6 66 Miscellaneous and unallocated 7 1. The banking offices covered by these data are the U.S. offices and foreign branches of U.S.-owned banks and of U.S. subsidiaries of foreign-owned banks. Offices not covered include (1) U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks, and (2) foreign subsidiaries of U.S. banks. To minimize duplication, the data are adjusted to exclude the claims on foreign branches held by a U.S. office or another foreign branch of the same banking institution. The data in this table combine foreign branch claims in table 3.13 (the sum of lines 7 through 10) with the claims of U.S. offices in table 3.17 (excluding those held by agencies and branches of foreign banks and those constituting claims on own foreign branches). However, see also footnote 2. 2. Beginning with data for June 1978, the claims of the U.S. offices in this tame include only banks' own claims payable in dollars. For earlier dates the claims of the U.S. offices also include customer claims and foreign currency claims (amounting in June 1978 to $10 billion). 3. In addition to the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries shown individually, this group includes other members of OPEC (Algeria. Gabon. Iran, Iraa. Kuwait. Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates) as well as Bahrain and Oman (not formally members of OPEC). 4. Excludes Liberia. 5. Includes Canal Zone beginning December 1979. 6. Foreign branch claims only. 7. Includes New Zealand, Liberia, and international and regional organizations. A64 3.22 International Statistics • March 1982 LIABILITIES T O U N A F F I L I A T E D F O R E I G N E R S Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States' Millions of dollars, end of period 1980 Type, and area or country 1978 1979 1981 1980 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept.? 1 Total 14,956 17,170 21,644 18,778 21,644 21,681 21,163' 21,178 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 2 11,527 3,429 14,095 3.075 17,935 3,709 15,441 3,337 17,935 3,709 18,156 3,525 17,915' 3,247' 18,186 2,992 By type 4 Financial liabilities 5 Payable in dollars b Payable in foreign currencies 6,368 3,853 2,515 7,477 5,207 2,270 11,122 8,350 2,772 8,441 5,954 2,487 11.122 8,350 2,772 11,492 8,860 2,633 11,386 9,053 2,333 10,921 8,739 2,182 7 Commercial liabilities 8 Trade payables 9 Advance receipts and other liabilities 8,588 4,001 4,587 9,693 4,421 5,272 10.521 4,708 5,814 10,337 4,377 5,960 10,521 4,708 5,814 10,188 4,781 5,407 9,777' 4,377' 5,401' 10,257 4,268 5,989 7,674 914 8,888 805 9,585 936 9,487 850 9,585 936 9,296 892 8,862' 915' 9,447 810 3,971 293 173 366 391 248 2,167 4,655 345 175 497 829 170 2,460 6,314 484 327 582 663 354 3,769 5,321 432 360 557 781 224 2,836 6,314 484 327 582 663 354 3,769 6,011 553 324 498 544 315 3,665 5,926 527 362 477 700 321 3,419 6,073 440 607 430 583 335 3,526 10 11 12 13 14 15 lb 17 18 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies By area or country Financial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 19 Canada 20 21 22 23 24 25 2b Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 27 28 29 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 3 30 31 Africa Oil-exporting countries 4 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 All other 247 532 958 642 958 1,090 978 977 1.357 478 4 10 194 102 49 1.483 375 81 18 514 121 72 3,103 964 1 23 1,452 99 81 1.734 407 1 20 708 108 74 3,103 964 1 23 1,452 99 81 3,483 1,217 1 19 1,458 97 85 3,592 1,272 1 20 1,534 98 91 3,032 1,019 0 20 1,296 107 90 784 717 32 799 726 31 723 644 38 712 618 37 723 644 38 880 766 51 861 741 29 805 687 30 5 2 4 1 11 1 11 1 11 1 6 1 5 0 3 1 5 4 15 21 15 23 24 29 3,047 97 321 523 246 302 824 3.636 137 467 545 227 310 1,077 4,197 90 582 679 219 493 1,017 4,074 109 501 686 276 452 1,047 4,197 90 582 679 219 493 1,017 3,814 83 563 639 246 385 880 5 Commercial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 3,892' 72 558' 617' 225 375 950' 3,912 78 575 579 235 563 888 40 Canada 667 868 806 591 806 749 652' 742 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Latin America Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 997 25 97 74 53 106 303 1.323 69 32 203 21 257 301 1,244 8 73 111 35 326 307 1,361 8 114 156 12 324 293 1,244 8 73 111 35 326 307 1,287 1 111 84 16 421 253 1,149' 4 72 54 34 319' 290 1,064 3 113 61 11 345 249 48 49 50 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 3 2,931 448 1,523 2,905 494 1,017 3,005 802 894 2,909 502 944 3,005 802 894 3,071 810 955 2,787' 867 837' 3,197 111 880 51 52 Africa Oil-exporting countries 4 743 312 728 384 814 514 1,006 633 814 514 828 519 676' 392 751 351 203 233 456 396 456 440 622 593 53 All other 5 1. For a description of the changes in the International Statistics tables, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 2. Before December 1978, foreign currency data include only liabilities denominated in foreign currencies with an original maturity of less than one year. 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 5. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported Data 3.23 CLAIMS ON U N A F F I L I A T E D F O R E I G N E R S United States 1 Millions of dollars, end of period Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the 1980 Type, and area or country A65 1981 1980 1979 1978 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept./" 1 Total 28,004 31,286 34,489 32,048 34,489 37,661 35,258' 33,809 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 2 25,001 3,003 28,094 3,193 31,563 2,926 28,712 3,336 31,563 2,926 34,663 2,999 32,334 r 2,924 r 30,828 2,981 By type 4 Financial claims 5 Deposits Payable in dollars 6 7 Payable in foreign currencies 8 Other financial claims 9 Payable in dollars 10 Payable in foreign currencies 16,644 11,201 10,133 1,068 5,443 3,874 1,569 18,431 12,797 11,881 916 5,634 3,808 1,826 19,812 13,978 13,203 775 5,834 4,152 1,683 18,633 12,574 11,361 1,213 6,059 4,404 1,655 19,812 13,978 13,203 775 5,834 4,152 1,683 22,203 16,474 15,679 795 5,729 4,082 1,646 20,133 14,487 13,761 725 5,646 3,992 1,655 18,949 13,239 12,508 732 5,710 4,009 1,701 11 Commercial claims 12 Trade receivables 13 Advance payments and other claims 11,360 10,802 559 12,855 12,161 694 14,677 13,957 720 13,415 12,714 702 14,677 13,957 720 15,458 14,657 801 15,125' 14,295' 830 14,860 14,001 859 14 15 10,994 366 12,405 450 14,208 468 12,947 469 14,208 468 14,901 557 14,581' 544' 14,311 549 5,225 48 178 510 103 98 4,031 6,163 32 177 409 53 73 5,107 6,094 195 334 230 32 59 4,967 5,692 17 409 168 30 41 4,646 6,094 195 334 230 32 59 4,967 6,098 170 411 213 42 90 4,900 5,212 174 377 139 34 96 4,046 4,628 26 348 320 48 67 3,476 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies By area or country Financial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 23 Canada 4,549 4,984 5,057 4,948 5,057 6,611 6,168 6,018 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 5,714 3,001 80 151 1,291 162 157 6,282 2,757 30 163 2,007 157 143 7,682 3,424 135 96 2,681 208 137 6,812 2,845 65 116 2,342 192 128 7,682 3,424 135 96 2,681 208 137 8,552 3,947 13 22 3,398 168 131 7,882 3,231 33 20 3,396 162 143 7,313 3,128 15 66 3,010 273 143 31 32 33 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 3 920 305 18 706 199 16 710 177 20 853 331 20 710 177 20 691 191 17 618 107 19 653 120 29 34 35 Africa Oil-exporting countries 4 181 10 253 49 238 26 260 29 238 26 214 27 216 39 222 41 36 All other 5 55 44 32 68 32 36 37 116 3,983 144 609 399 267 198 824 4,909 202 727 589 298 272 901 5,511 233 1,129 591 318 351 932 4,709 230 710 571 289 339 994 5,511 233 1,129 591 318 351 932 5,822 277 918 597 347 461 1,187 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Commercial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 5,467' 235 783' 572' 308 474 1,067 5,403 219 762 579 307 402 1,025 44 Canada 1,094 849 899 934 899 1,037 991' 993 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 2,546 109 215 628 9 505 291 2,853 21 197 645 16 698 343 3,791 21 148 861 34 1,090 407 3,389 53 81 712 17 992 388 3,791 21 148 861 34 1,090 407 3,832 15 170 799 15 1,051 436 3,793' 29 192 823 34 1,113' 420' 3,684 18 241 708 13 969 438 3,112 1,006 716 3,450 1,175 766 3,507 1.045 821 3,443 1,135 837 3,507 1,045 821 3,763 1,294 925 3,767' 1,218' 934' 3,628 1,097 823 52 53 54 Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 3 55 56 Africa Oil-exporting countries 4 447 136 554 133 651 151 669 135 651 151 678 143 703' 137 703 149 57 All other 5 178 240 318 272 318 327 404' 449 1. For a description of the changes in the International Statistics tables, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 2. Prior to December 1978, foreign currency data include only liabilities denominated in foreign currencies with an original maturity of less than one year. 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 5. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A66 3.24 International Statistics • March 1982 F O R E I G N T R A N S A C T I O N S IN S E C U R I T I E S Millions of dollars 1982 Transactions, and area or country 1979 1980 1981 1982 1981 Jan.Jan.P June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.? U.S corporate securities STOCKS 1 Foreign purchases 2 Foreign sales 3 Net purchases, or sales ( — ) . . . . 4 Foreign countries 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean . Middle East 1 Other Asia Africa Other countries Nonmonetary international and regional organizations BONDS 22,783 21,104 40,290' 34,870' 1,679 5,419 r 5,717 1,662 5,401' 5,692 237 137 -215 -71 -519 964 552 -19 688 211 -14 7 3,108' 490 169' -328 308 2,523 887 148 1,206 16 -1 38 3,592 889 -28 37 269 2,210 750 -30 1,140 279 7 -46 231 11 3 40 168 -45 -13 51 40 0 -1 18 24 5 8,888' 7,648' 15,425 9,964 17,208 12,180 946 778 17 40,558 34,842 4,419' 3,424' 3,458' 3,258' 268 995' 200' 263 990' 192' 537' 48' 13 54' 0 372' 104 126 33 187 4 -1 121' 49 r -28 -41 -19 148' 77 -126 105 37 -1 -21 2,016 1,748 ~2 5 3,152 3,206 2,847 2,322 2,839 2,792 -54 525 -49 531 74 29 -28 -28 1 85 -39 -51 -36 20 0 -17 8 1,894 820 2,689 2,494 2,940 2,740 47 195 200 268 53 207 199 263 38 10 -48 -3 -68 132 44 -81 497 29 0 4 46 21 6 13 -97 86 -47 7 164 -117 0 -2 109 -7 -4 28 0 96 7 54 46 -7 1 -3 176 5 -6 -73 75 171 8 -36 -24 74 0 1 231 -2 3 40 168 -45 -13 51 40 0 -1 -5 -5 -6 -12 0 5 1,171 894 1,306 1,051 1,166 1,203 1,099 1,303 1,192 1,038 946 778 2,016 1,748 11 2 18 Foreign purchases 1,939' 1,450' 19 Foreign sales 1,240' 5,461 5,028 168 489' 1,074 277 255 -36 -204 153 168 20 Net purchases, or sales ( - ) 1,376 5,526 4,961 154 473 1,067 278 243 -27 -212 157 154 21 Foreign countries 671 56 59 -202 -118 814 80 109 424 88 1 1 1,576 129 212' -65 54 1,257 135 185 3,499 117 5 10 1,335 11 850 60 98 178 -6 132 3,465 44 -1 -7 144 15 83 2 19 3 29 17 -89 53 0 0 179 10 151 0 20 4 -6 12 359 -71 0 1 122 -5 68 0 22 11 23 21 853 49 0 0 176 -9 105 -2 22 45 2 -5 81 24 0 0 5 4 64 -2 -23 -53 -12 7 252 -9 0 -106 5 43 3 7 -164 -35 -12 84 43 0 0 -112 4 67 9 10 -174 -29 4 -72 -1 139 7 52 3 -3 55 -2 22 -62 60 0 -2 144 15 83 2 19 3 29 17 -89 53 0 0 -136' -65 66 14 7 -1 12 -10 9 191 794 603 -30 588 617 -70 625 695 -154 1,553 1,706 -1,946 2,296 4,242 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean . Middle East 1 Other Asia Africa Other countries Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 16' - 1 - 1 -2 -4 14 Foreign securities 35 Stocks, net purchases, or sales ( - ) . . 36 Foreign purchases 37 Foreign sales -817 4,617 5,434 -2,142' 7,888' 10,029' 38 Bonds, net purchases, or sales ( - ) . . 39 Foreign purchases 40 Foreign sales -3,999' 12,662 16,660' 41 Net purchases, or sales ( - ) , of stocks and bonds 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 Foreign countries Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa Other countries Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 2 9,198 9,196 159 521 362 -1,013 17,073 18,086 -5,218 17,823 23,041 1,222 1,243 -4,816' -3,155' -5,215 -4,066' -1,785' -2,601 343 15 -63 25 -4,031' -1,959 80 -1,147 24 78 -4,459 637 -3,745 170 287 53 92 — 750 876 756 -1,108' 1. Comprises oil-exporting countries as follows: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). -21 -128' 891 1,019' -483' 1,510' 1,993' 106' 891 785' 51 835 784 -418' 1,768 -32 1,078 1,110 2,186' -611' 110 143 -80 67 - 2 -15 -4 28 -611' -50' -507 -13' -109' - 6 74' -622' 145' -858 -24 140' - 2 -23 311 62 -55 -74 62 131 -3 1 -260' 1,023 1,282' -68' -183 -2,015 -82' -356 -45 -250 50 -113 -1,427 -453 -879 74' -326 1 177 - 6 -3 14 1 0 173 - 6 -148 1 57 -588 2. Includes state and local government securities, and securities of U S government agencies and corporations. Also includes issues of new debt securities sold abroad by U.S. corporations organized to finance direct investments abroad. Investment Transactions and Discount Rates 3.25 M A R K E T A B L E U.S. T R E A S U R Y B O N D S A N D NOTES A67 Foreign Holdings and Transactions Millions of dollars 1982 Country or area 1979 1980 1981 1981 Jan.Jan. July June Sept. Aug. Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan.? Holdings (end of period) 1 1 Estimated total2 51,484 57,549 70,343 64,232' 64,638' 66,437' 67,008' 68,489' 70,512' 70,343 71,629 46,055 52,961 64,672 59,289 59,658 61,579 62,369 64,067 66,035 64,672 65,992 24,964 60 14,056 1,466 647 1,868 6,376 491 0 232 24,468 77 12,327 1,884 595 1,485 7,323 777 0 449 23,976 543 11,861 1,955 643 846 6,709 1,419 0 520 25,000 173 12,585 1,781 582 1,600 6,976 1,304 0 484 24,573 163 13,226 1,756 606 763 6,709 1,350 0 501 25,090 370 13,524 1,760 623 848 6,630 1,334 0 514 24,334 372 12,830 1,756 646 876 6,469 1,385 0 528 24,531 384 13,029 1,784 661 861 6,446 1,367 0 547 24,952 329 13,226 1,889 645 833 6,693 1,337 0 508 23,976 543 11,861 1,955 643 846 6,709 1,419 0 520 24,373 614 11,901 1,998 644 904 6,800 1,514 -2 540 466 103 999 292 736 286 666 287 724 287 818 313 854 294 788 289 761 306 736 286 721 286 200 163 19,805 11,175 591 -3 285 421 26,112 9,479 919 14 319 131 38,806 10,780 631 2 217 162 31,997 9,778 1,139 3 260 177 32,716 9,786 1,139 6 321 184 34,008 9,890 1,140 8 313 246 35,506 10,102 1,140 8 317 182 37,052 10,094 1,141 8 289 165 38,774 10,732 1,037 3 319 131 38,806 10,780 631 2 321 113 39,836 10,844 519 3 21 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 5,429 4,588 5,671 4,943 4,980' 4,858' 4,639' 4,422' 4,477 5,671 5,637 22 23 5,388 37 4,548 36 5,637 1 4,942 1 4,977' 1 4,856' 1 4,636' 1 4,419' 1 4,476 1 5,670 1 5,636 1 2 Foreign countries 2 3 Europe 2 4 Belgium-Luxembourg Germany 2 5 6 Netherlands Sweden 7 8 Switzerland2 9 United Kingdom 10 Other Western Europe 11 Eastern Europe 12 Canada 13 Latin America and Caribbean 14 Venezuela 15 Other Latin America and Caribbean 16 Netherlands Antilles 17 Asia 18 Japan 19 Africa 20 All other International Latin American regional Transactions (net purchases, or sales ( - ) during period) 24 Total 2 25 Foreign countries 2 26 Official institutions 27 Other foreign 2 28 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations MEMO: Oil-exporting countries 29 Middle East 3 30 Africa 4 6,537 6,066 12,794 1,286 1,266 405 1,799 571 1,480 2,024 -169 1,286 6,238 1,697 4,543 6,906 3,865 3,040 11,710 11,833 -124 1,320 841 478 1,121 980 141 369 798 -429 1,920 1,532 388 791 1,376 -585 1,698 1,633 65 1,968 2,123 -165 -1,363 -787 -576 1,320 841 478 300 -843 1,085 -33 145 36 -120 -220 -217 56 1,194 -33 -1,014 -100 7,672 327 11,156 -289 1,019 -112 565 659 1,204 1,354 1,442 0 0 0 0 0 1,250 -102 17 -407 1,019 -112 1. Estimated official and private holdings of marketable U.S. Treasury securities with an original maturity of more than 1 year. Data are based on a benchmark survey of holdings as of Jan. 31,1971, and monthly transactions reports. Excludes nonmarketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by official institutions of foreign countries. 3.26 2. Beginning December 1978, includes U.S. Treasury notes publicly issued to private foreign residents denominated in foreign currencies. 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. DISCOUNT RATES OF FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS Percent per annum Rate on Feb. 28, 1982 Rate on Feb. 28, 1982 Country Country Percent Argentina Austria .. Belgium.. Brazil Canada .. Denmark. 187.55 6.75 14.0 49.0 14.83 11.00 Month effective Jan. Mar. Jan. Mar. Feb. Oct. 1982 1980 1982 1981 1982 1980 Percent France 1 Germany, Fed. Rep. of Italy Japan Netherlands Norway 1. As from February 1981, the rate at which the Bank of France discounts Treasury bills for 7 to 10 days. 2. Minimum lending rate suspended as of Aug. 20, 1981. NOTE. Rates shown are mainly those at which the central bank either Rate on Feb. 28, 1982 Country 17.5 7.5 19.0 5.5 8.5 9.0 Month effective Oct. May Mar. Dec. Jan. Nov. 1981 1980 1981 1981 1982 1979 Percent Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom' Venezuela 11.0 6.0 14.0 discounts or makes advances against eligible commercial paper and/or government commercial banks or brokers. For countries with more than one rate applicable to such discounts or advances, the rate shown is the one at which it is understood the central bank transacts the largest proportion of its credit operations. A68 3.27 International Statistics • March 1982 F O R E I G N S H O R T - T E R M INTEREST R A T E S Percent per annum, averages of daily figures 1981 Country, or type 1979 1980 Aug. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1982 1981 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Eurodollars United Kingdom Canada Germany Switzerland 11.96 13.60 11.91 6.64 2.04 14.00 16.59 13.12 9.45 5.79 16.79 13.86 18.34 12.05 9.15 18.79 14.02 21.84 12.87 9.05 17.80 14.60 20.42 12.48 10.56 16.34 16.27 18.84 11.72 10.85 13.33 15.03 16.53 11.05 9.88 13.24 15.31 15.97 10.72 9.76 14.29 15.14 15.01 10.43 8.53 15.75 14.47 15.25 10.22 8.29 Netherlands France Italy Belgium Japan 9.33 9.44 11.85 10.48 6.10 10.60 12.18 17.50 14.06 11.45 11.52 15.28 19.98 15.28 7.58 13.54 17.40 20.94 16.00 7.22 12.% 17.65 21.07 16.00 7.26 12.57 16.47 21.00 15.83 7.13 11.70 15.35 21.12 15.28 7.15 11.03 15.30 21.24 15.48 6.75 10.49 15.07 21.38 15.09 6.41 10.06 14.58 21.34 14.89 6.38 NOTE. Rates are for 3-month interbank loans except for Canada, finance company paper; Belgium, 3-month Treasury bills; and Japan, Gensaki rate. 3.28 FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES Currency units per dollar 1981 Country/currency 1979 1980 Sept. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Argentina/peso Australia/dollar 1 Austria/schilling Belgium/franc Brazil/cruzeiro Canada/dollar Chile/peso China, P.R./yuan Colombia/peso Denmark/krone Finland/markka France/franc Germany/deutsche mark Greece/drachma Hong Kong/dollar India/rupee Indonesia/rupiah Iran/rial Ireland/pound 1 Israel/shekel Italy/lira Japan/yen Malaysia/ringgit Mexico/peso Netherlands/guilder New Zealand/dollar 1 Norway/krone Peru/sol Philippines/peso Portugal/escudo Singapore/dollar South Africa/rand/ 1 South Korea/won Spain/peseta Sri Lanka/rupee Sweden/krona Switzerland/franc Thailand/baht United Kingdom/pound 1 Venzuela/bolivar 1982 1981 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. n.a. 111.77 13.387 29.342 n.a. 1.1603 n.a. n.a. n.a. 5.2622 3.8886 4.2566 1.8342 n.a. n.a. 8.1555 n.a. n.a. 204.65 n.a. 831.10 219.02 2.1721 22.816 2.0072 102.23 5.0650 n.a. n.a. 48.953 n.a. 118.72 n.a. 67.158 15.570 4.2892 1.6643 n.a. 212.24 n.a. n.a. 111.57 12.945 29.237 n.a. 1.1693 n.a. n.a. n.a. 5.6345 3.7206 4.2250 1.8175 n.a. n.a. 7.8866 n.a. n.a. 213.53 n.a. 856.20 226.63 2.1767 22.968 1.9875 98.65 4.9381 n.a. n.a. 50.082 n.a. 122.72 n.a. 71.758 16.167 4.2309 1.6772 n.a. 227.74 n.a. n.a. 114.57 15.948 37.194 92.374 1.1990 n.a. 1.7031 n.a. 7.1350 4.3128 5.4396 2.2631 n.a. 5.5678 8.6807 n.a. 79.324 161.32 n.a. 1138.60 220.63 2.3048 24.547 2.4998 86.848 5.7430 n.a. 7.8113 61.739 2.1053 114.77 n.a. 92.396 18.967 5.0659 1.9674 21.731 202.43 4.2781 5457.50 114.86 16.527 38.526 105.07 1.2008 39.100 1.7542 55.877 7.3835 4.5000 5.6326 2.3522 57.721 6.0259 9.1152 632.00 80.955 155.04 13.174 1187.60 229.48 2.3516 25.089 2.6109 82.644 5.9610 441.43 7.9699 65.502 2.1442 105.56 686.70 %.129 19.986 5.4303 2.0223 23.050 181.46 4.2990 5967.00 114.32 15.788 37.660 110.96 1.2029 39.100 1.7576 56.444 7.2348 4.4250 5.6314 2.2543 56.706 5.9869 9.1348 632.00 80.95 157.5 13.738 1194.30 231.52 2.2989 25.400 2.4913 82.355 5.9195 455.10 8.0298 64.700 2.0977 104.61 683.81 %.023 20.674 5.5492 1.8844 23.050 184.07 4.2944 6425.20 114.55 15.621 37.420 117.71 1.1872 39.100 1.7409 57.175 7.1720 4.3442 5.6240 2.2292 56.297 5.6681 9.1350 632.00 80.606 158.95 14.537 1191.60 223.13 2.2562 25.722 2.4442 83.104 5.8164 469.83 8.0868 64.375 2.0610 103.82 688.56 95.398 20.826 5.4894 1.7859 23.050 190.25 4.2961 7417.10 113.39 15.852 38.296 121.98 1.1851 39.100 1.7405 57.129 7.3210 4.3666 5.7141 2.2579 57.231 5.6329 9.1304 632.36 79.000 157.30 15.363 1206.40 218.95 2.2477 26.071 2.4734 82.784 5.7801 487.73 8.1446 65.348 2.0530 103.10 694.68 96.97 20.259 5.5411 1.8152 23.050 190.33 4.2958 9910.00 111.41 16.066 39.027 130.14 1.1926 39.100 1.7713 59.409 7.4977 4.4033 5.8298 2.2938 58.811 5.7959 9.1525 645.7 n.a. 153.97 16.163 1228.20 224.80 2.2575 26.469 2.5145 81.399 5.8623 515.21 8.2132 66.492 2.0607 103.46 705.17 98.357 20.228 5.6206 1.8442 23.050 188.60 4.2960 10256.00 108.50 16.587 41.144 137.97 1.2140 39.100 1.8200 60.129 7.7950 4.5058 6.0176 2.3660 60.973 5.8857 9.2144 645.89 n.a. 148.86 17.488 1263.20 235.31 2.3662 31.736 2.5947 79.325 5.9697 534.47 8.2530 69.067 2.1095 101.95 710.05 100.70 20.611 5.7579 1.8909 23.050 184.70 4.2960 88.09 87.39 102.94 107.98 106.34 104.53 105.21 106.96 110.36 MEMO: United States/dollar 2 1. Value in U.S. cents. 2. Index of weighted-average exchange value of U.S. dollar against currencies of other G-10 countries plus Switzerland. March 1973 = 100. Weights are 1972-76 global trade of each of the 10 countries. Series revised as of August 1978. For description and back data, see "Index of the Weighted-Average Exchange Value of the U.S. Dollar: Revision" on page 7 0 0 of t h e A u g u s t 1978 BULLETIN. NOTE. Averages of certified noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers. 69 Guide to Tabular Presentation, Statistical Releases, and Special Tables GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION Symbols and Abbreviations c e p r * Corrected Estimated Preliminary Revised (Notation appears on column heading when more than half of figures in that column are changed.) Amounts insignificant in terms of the last decimal place shown in the table (for example, less than 500,000 when the smallest unit given is millions) 0 n.a. n.e.c. IPCs REITs RPs SMSAs Calculated to be zero Not available Not elsewhere classified Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Real estate investment trusts Repurchase agreements Standard metropolitan statistical areas Cell not applicable General Information Minus signs are used to indicate (1) a decrease, (2) a negative figure, or (3) an outflow. "U.S. government securities" may include guaranteed issues of U.S. government agencies (the flow of funds figures also include not fully guaranteed issues) as well as direct STATISTICAL obligations of the Treasury. "State and local government" also includes municipalities, special districts, and other political subdivisions. In some of the tables details do not add to totals because of rounding. RELEASES List Published Semiannually, with Latest Bulletin Reference Anticipated schedule of release dates for periodic releases SPECIAL Issue June 1981 Page A78 TABLES Published Irregularly, with Latest Bulletin Reference Commercial bank assets and Commercial bank assets and Assets and liabilities of U.S. Commercial bank assets and Commercial bank assets and Commercial bank assets and liabilities, September 30, 1980 liabilities, December 31, 1980 branches and agencies of foreign banks, September 30, 1981 liabilities, March 31, 1981 liabilities, June 30, 1981 liabilities, September 30, 1981 February April January July October January 1981 1981 1982 1981 1981 1982 A68 A72 A76 A72 A74 A70 70 Federal Reserve Board of Governors Chairman PAUL A . VOLCKER, HENRY C . WALLICH J. CHARLES PARTEE OFFICE OF BOARD OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR MONETARY AND FINANCIAL MEMBERS JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant DONALD J. WINN, Assistant to the to the Board Board STEPHEN H . AXILROD, Staff Director ANTHONY F. COLE, Special Assistant to the Board WILLIAM R. MALONI, Special Assistant to the Board FRANK O'BRIEN, JR., Special Assistant to the Board JAMES L. STULL, Manager, Operations Review Program EDWARD C. ETTIN, Deputy Staff LEGAL DIVISION DIVISION MICHAEL BRADFIELD, General Counsel ROBERT E. MANNION, Deputy General Counsel J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., Associate General Counsel GILBERT T. SCHWARTZ, Associate General Counsel MARYELLEN A. BROWN, Assistant to the General Counsel OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WILLIAM W . W I L E S , Secretary MURRAY ALTMANN, Assistant STANLEY J. SIGEL, Assistant FOR POLICY Director to the Board to the Board NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Special Assistant OF RESEARCH JAMES L . K I C H L I N E , AND STATISTICS Director JOSEPH S. ZEISEL, Deputy Director MICHAEL J. PRELL, Associate Director JARED J. ENZLER, Senior Deputy Associate Director DONALD L. KOHN, Senior Deputy Associate Director ELEANOR J. STOCKWELL, Senior Deputy Associate Director J. CORTLAND G. PERET, Deputy Associate Director HELMUT F. WENDEL, Deputy Associate Director MARTHA BETHEA, Assistant Director JOE M. CLEAVER, Assistant Director BARBARA R. LOWREY, Associate Secretary JAMES MCAFEE, Associate Secretary *THEODORE E. DOWNING, JR., Assistant Secretary ROBERT M . FISHER, Assistant DIVISION OF CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS PETER A. TINSLEY, Assistant Director LEVON H. GARABEDIAN, Assistant Director Director DAVID E. LINDSEY, Assistant Director LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Assistant Director FREDERICK M. STRUBLE, Assistant Director STEPHEN P. TAYLOR, Assistant JANET O . H A R T , Director (Administration) Director GRIFFITH L. GARWOOD, Deputy Director JERAULD C. KLUCKMAN, Associate G L E N N E . L O N E Y , Assistant DIVISION OF INTERNATIONAL Director DIVISION OF BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION EDWIN M . TRUMAN, Director ROBERT F. GEMMILL, Associate CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Associate FREDERICK R. DAHL, Associate Director DON E. KLINE, Associate Director WILLIAM TAYLOR, Associate Director JACK M. EGERTSON, Assistant Director LAURA M. HOMER, Securities Director Director Director Director Credit Officer Director Director LARRY J. PROMISEL, Senior Deputy Associate Director DALE W. HENDERSON, Deputy Associate Director SAMUEL PIZER, staff ADVISER RALPH W . SMITH, JR., Assistant Director ROBERT A . JACOBSEN, Assistant ROBERT S. PLOTKIN, Assistant THOMAS A . SIDMAN, Assistant SAMUEL H . TALLEY, Assistant FINANCE Director Director DOLORES S. SMITH, Assistant JOHN E . R Y A N , to the Board Director 71 and Official Staff NANCY H . TEETERS LYLE E . GRAMLEY EMMETT J. RICE OFFICE OF OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR STAFF DIRECTOR FOR MANAGEMENT JOHN M. DENKLER, Staff Director EDWARD T. MULRENIN, Assistant Staff Director JOSEPH W. DANIELS, SR., Director of Equal Employment Opportunity FEDERAL OF DATA PROCESSING CHARLES L . H A M P T O N , Director BRUCE M. BEARDSLEY, Deputy ULYESS D . BLACK, Associate Director Director GLENN L. CUMMINS, Assistant NEAL H. HILLERMAN, Assistant Director Director C . WILLIAM SCHLEICHER, J R . , Assistant ROBERT J. ZEMEL, Assistant Director DIVISION OF DIVISION DAVID L . SHANNON, OFFICE OF THE Director CONTROLLER OF SUPPORT Controller SERVICES DONALD E . ANDERSON, Director ROBERT E . FRAZIER, Associate Director WALTER W . K R E I M A N N , Associate Director *On loan from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. tOn loan from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Director RESERVE OPERATIONS C L Y D E H . FARNSWORTH, J R . , LORIN S . M E E D E R , Associate WALTER A L T H A U S E N , Assistant CHARLES W . B E N N E T T , Assistant RICHARD B . G R E E N , Assistant Director Director Director Director Director EARL G. HAMILTON, Assistant Director DAVID L. ROBINSON, Assistant P . D . RING, Adviser I H O W A R D F . C R U M B , Acting Director JOHN KAKALEC, Controller GEORGE E . LIVINGSTON, Assistant DIVISION Director Director CHARLES W . W O O D , Assistant OF FEDERAL FOR ACTIVITIES ELLIOTT C . M C E N T E E , Assistant PERSONNEL JOHN R. WEIS, Assistant BANK THEODORE E. ALLISON, Staff BANK DIVISION RESERVE Director Director Adviser 155 Federal Reserve Bulletin • March 1982 FOMC and Advisory Councils FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE PAUL A . VOLCKER, A N T H O N Y M . SOLOMON, Vice Chairman E D W A R D G . BOEHNE ROBERT H . BOYKIN E . GERALD CORRIGAN NANCY M. STEELE, Deputy Assistant MICHAEL BRADFIELD, General Secretary Secretary Counsel JAMES H. OLTMAN, Deputy General Counsel ROBERT E. MANNION, Assistant General Counsel JAMES L . KICHLINE, EMMETT J. RICE N A N C Y H . TEETERS HENRY C . WALLICH L Y L E E . GRAMLEY SILAS K E E H N J. CHARLES PARTEE STEPHEN H . AXILROD, Staff Director MURRAY A L T M A N N , Secretary NORMAND R . V . BERNARD, Assistant Economist Chairman JOSEPH E . B U R N S , Associate Economist RICHARD G . D A V I S , Associate Economist E D W A R D C . E T T I N , Associate Economist D O N A L D J. M U L L I N E A U X , Associate Economist MICHAEL J. PRELL, Associate Economist KARL L . SCHELD, Associate Economist E D W I N M . T R U M A N , Associate Economist JOSEPH S . ZEISEL, Associate Economist PETER D. STERNLIGHT, Manager for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account SAM Y. CROSS, Manager for Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account FEDERAL ADVISORY COUNCIL DONALD C. PLATTEN, Second District, President ROBERT M. SURDAM, Seventh District, Vice President R O N A L D TERRY, E i g h t h D i s t r i c t CLARENCE G . FRAME, N i n t h D i s t r i c t GORDON E . WELLS, T e n t h D i s t r i c t WILLIAM S . EDGERLY, F i r s t D i s t r i c t JOHN H . WALTHER, T h i r d D i s t r i c t JOHN G . M C C O Y , F o u r t h D i s t r i c t VINCENT C . BURKE, J R . , F i f t h D i s t r i c t ROBERT STRICKLAND, S i x t h D i s t r i c t T. C. FROST, JR., Eleventh District JOSEPH J. PINOLA, T w e l f t h D i s t r i c t HERBERT V . PROCHNOW, WILLIAM J. KORSVIK, Associate CONSUMER ADVISORY Secretary Secretary COUNCIL CHARLOTTE H. SCOTT, Charlottesville, Virginia, Chairman MARGARET REILLY-PETRONE, Upper Montclair, New Jersey, Vice Chairman ARTHUR F. BOUTON, Little Rock, Arkansas SHIRLEY T . HOSOI, LOS A n g e l e s , C a l i f o r n i a JULIA H . B O Y D , A l e x a n d r i a , V i r g i n i a ELLEN BROADMAN, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . GEORGE S . IRVIN, D e n v e r , C o l o r a d o HARRY N . JACKSON, M i n n e a p o l i s , M i n n e s o t a GERALD R. CHRISTENSEN, Salt Lake City, Utah JOSEPH N. CUGINI, Westerly, Rhode Island F . THOMAS JUSTER, A n n A r b o r , M i c h i g a n RICHARD S . D ' A G O S T I N O , P h i l a d e l p h i a , P e n n s y l v a n i a SUSAN PIERSON D E W I T T , S p r i n g f i e l d , I l l i n o i s JOANNE S . FAULKNER, N e w H a v e n , C o n n e c t i c u t MEREDITH FERNSTROM, N e w Y o r k , N e w Y o r k ALLEN J. FISHBEIN, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . S T A N L . MULARZ, C h i c a g o , I l l i n o i s ROBERT J. MCEWEN, S. J., Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts WILLIAM J. O ' C O N N O R , B u f f a l o , N e w Y o r k WILLARD P . OGBURN, B o s t o n , M a s s a c h u s e t t s JANET J. RATHE, P o r t l a n d , O r e g o n R E N E REIXACH, R o c h e s t e r , N e w York E. C. A. FORSBERG, SR., Atlanta, Georgia PETER D . SCHELLIE, W a s h i n g t o n , LUTHER R . GATLING, N e w Y o r k , N e w Y o r k VERNARD W . H E N L E Y , R i c h m o n d , V i r g i n i a JUAN J. HINOJOSA, M c A l l e n , T e x a s N A N C Y Z . SPILLMAN, LOS A n g e l e s , C a l i f o r n i a D.C. CLINTON W A R N E , C l e v e l a n d , O h i o FREDERICK T . WEIMER, C h i c a g o , I l l i n o i s 73 Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices FEDERAL RESERVE BANK, branch, or facility Zip Chairman Deputy Chairman President First Vice President BOSTON* 02106 Robert P. Henderson Thomas I. Atkins Frank E. Morris James A. Mcintosh N E W YORK* 10045 Robert H. Knight, Esq. Boris Yavitz Frederick D. Berkeley, III Anthony M. Solomon Thomas M. Timlen Buffalo 14240 John T. Keane PHILADELPHIA 19105 Jean A. Crockett Robert M. Landis, Esq. Edward G. Boehne Richard L. Smoot CLEVELAND* 44101 J. L. Jackson William H. Knoell Clifford R. Meyer Milton G. Hulme, Jr. Willis J. Winn Walter H. MacDonald Steven Muller Paul E. Reichardt Edward H. Covell Naomi G. Albanese Robert P. Black Jimmie R. Monhollon Cincinnati Pittsburgh 45201 15230 RICHMOND* 23219 Baltimore 21203 Charlotte 28230 Culpeper Communications and Records Center 22701 ATLANTA Birmingham Jacksonville Miami Nashville N e w Orleans 30301 35202 32231 33152 37203 70161 CHICAGO* 60690 Detroit 48231 ST. LOUIS 63166 Little Rock Louisville Memphis 72203 40232 38101 MINNEAPOLIS 55480 Helena K A N S A S CITY Denver Oklahoma City Omaha DALLAS El Paso Houston San Antonio 59601 64198 80217 73125 68102 75222 79999 77001 78295 S A N FRANCISCO 94120 Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle 90051 97208 84130 98124 Vice President in charge of branch Robert E. Showalter Harold J. Swart Robert D. McTeer, Jr. Stuart P. Fishburne Albert D. Tinkelenberg William A. Fickling, Jr. John H. Weitnauer, Jr. William H. Martin, III Copeland D. Newbern David H. Rush Cecelia Adkins Leslie B. Lampton William F. Ford Robert P. Forrestal John Sagan Stanton R. Cook Russell G. Mawby Silas Keehn Daniel M. Doyle Armand C. Stalnaker W. L. Hadley Griffin Richard V. Warner James F. Thompson Donald B. Weis Lawrence K. Roos Donald W. Moriarty, Jr. William G. Phillips John B. Davis, Jr. Ernest B. Corrick E. Gerald Corrigan Thomas E. Gainor Paul H. Henson Doris M. Drury Caleb B. Hurtt Christine H. Anthony Robert G. Lueder Roger Guffey Henry R. Czerwinski Gerald D. Hines John V. James A. J. L o s e e Jerome L. Howard Pat Legan Robert H. Boy kin William H. Wallace Caroline L. Ahmanson Alan C. Furth Bruce M. Schwaegler John C. Hampton Wendell J. Ashton John W. Ellis John J. Balles John B. Williams Hiram J. Honea Charles D. East F. J. Craven, Jr. Jeffrey J. Wells James D. Hawkins William C. Conrad John F. Breen Donald L. Henry Robert E. Matthews Betty J. Lindstrom Wayne W. Martin William G. Evans Robert D. Hamilton Joel L. K o o n c e , Jr. J. Z. R o w e Thomas H. Robertson Richard C. Dunn Angelo S. Carella A. Grant Holman Gerald R. Kelly * Additional offices of these Banks are located at Lewiston, Maine 04240; Windsor Locks, Connecticut 06096; Cranford, New Jersey 07016; Jericho, New York 11753; Utica at Oriskany, New York 13424; Columbus, Ohio 43216; Columbia, South Carolina 29210; Charleston, West Virginia 25311; Des Moines, Iowa 50306; Indianapolis, Indiana 46204; and Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202. 74 Federal Reserve Board Publications Copies are available from PUBLICATIONS SERVICES, Room MP-510, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. When a charge is indicated, remittance should accompany request and be made THE FEDERAL RESERVE TIONS. 1 9 7 4 . 125 p p . A N N U A L REPORT. SYSTEM—PURPOSES AND FUNC- BANKING A N D MONETARY STATISTICS. 1 9 1 4 - 1 9 4 1 . (Reprint of Part I only) 1976. 682 pp. $5.00. AND MONETARY Each volume $1.00; 10 or more to one address, $.85 each. OPEN MARKET POLICIES A N D OPERATING FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN. Monthly. $20.00 per year or $2.00 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of same issue to one address, $18.00 per year or $1.75 each. Elsewhere, $24.00 per year or $2.50 each. BANKING payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Remittance from foreign residents should be drawn on a U.S. bank. Stamps and coupons are not accepted. STATISTICS, PROCEDURES— STAFF STUDIES. 1971. 218 pp. $2.00 each; 10 or more to one address, $1.75 each. REAPPRAISAL OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE DISCOUNT M E C H A NISM. Vol. 1. 1 9 7 1 . 2 7 6 p p . Vol. 2. 1 9 7 1 . 173 p p . Vol. 3. 1972. 220 pp. Each volume $3.00; 10 or more to one address, $2.50 each. THE ECONOMETRICS OF PRICE DETERMINATION 1941-1970. 1976. 1,168 pp. $15.00. A N N U A L STATISTICAL DIGEST 1971-75. 1976. 339 pp. $5.00 per copy. 1972-76. 1977. 377 pp. $10.00 per copy. 1973-77. 1978. 361 pp. $12.00 per copy. 1974-78. 1980. 305 pp. $10.00 per copy. 1970-79. 1981. 587 pp. $20.00 per copy. 1980. 1981. 241 pp. $10.00 per copy. FEDERAL RESERVE CHART BOOK. Issued four times a year in February, May, August, and November. Subscription includes one issue of Historical Chart Book. $7.00 per year or $2.00 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico. Elsewhere, $10.00 per year or $3.00 each. HISTORICAL CHART BOOK. Issued annually in Sept. Subscription to Federal Reserve Chart Book includes one issue. $1.25 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more to one address, $1.00 each. Elsewhere, $1.50 each. SELECTED INTEREST A N D EXCHANGE R A T E S — W E E K L Y S E - RIES OF CHARTS. Weekly. $15.00 per year or $.40 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of same issue to one address, $13.50 per year or $.35 each. Elsewhere, $20.00 per year or $.50 each. THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT, as amended through December 1976, with an appendix containing provisions of certain other statutes affecting the Federal Reserve System. 307 pp. $2.50. REGULATIONS OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE F E D ERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. BANK CREDIT-CARD A N D CHECK-CREDIT PLANS. 1 9 6 8 . 102 pp. $1.00 each; 10 or more to one address, $.85 each. REPORT OF THE JOINT TREASURY-FEDERAL RESERVE S T U D Y OF THE U . S . GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET. 1 9 6 9 . 48 pp. $.25 each; 10 or more to one address, $.20 each. JOINT TREASURY-FEDERAL RESERVE S T U D Y OF THE GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET; S T A F F S T U D I E S — P A R T CONFER- ENCE, October 30-31, 1970, Washington, D.C. 1972. 397 pp. Cloth ed. $5.00 each; 10 or more to one address, $4.50 each. Paper ed. $4.00 each; 10 or more to one address, $3.60 each. FEDERAL RESERVE S T A F F S T U D Y : W A Y S TO MODERATE FLUCTUATIONS IN HOUSING CONSTRUCTION. 1 9 7 2 . 4 8 7 pp. $4.00 each; 10 or more to one address, $3.60 each. LENDING FUNCTIONS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS. 1973. 271 pp. $3.50 each; 10 or more to one address, $3.00 each. IMPROVING THE MONETARY AGGREGATES: REPORT OF THE ADVISORY COMMITTEE ON MONETARY STATISTICS. 1976. 43 pp. $1.00 each; 10 or more to one address, $.85 each. A N N U A L PERCENTAGE RATE TABLES ( T r u t h i n Lending— Regulation Z) Vol. I (Regular Transactions). 1969. 100 pp. Vol. II (Irregular Transactions). 1969. 116 pp. Each volume $1.00; 10 or more of same volume to one address, $.85 each. FEDERAL RESERVE MEASURES OF CAPACITY A N D CAPACITY UTILIZATION. 1978. 40 pp. $1.75 each; 10 or more to one address, $1.50 each. THE B A N K HOLDING COMPANY MOVEMENT TO 1 9 7 8 : A COMPENDIUM. 1978. 289 pp. $2.50 each; 10 or more to one address, $2.25 each. IMPROVING THE MONETARY AGGREGATES: S T A F F PAPERS. 1978. 170 pp. $4.00 each; 10 or more to one address, $3.75 each. 1977 CONSUMER CREDIT SURVEY. 1 9 7 8 . 1 1 9 p p . $ 2 . 0 0 e a c h . FLOW OF F U N D S ACCOUNTS. 1 9 4 9 - 1 9 7 8 . 1 9 7 9 . 171 p p . $ 1 . 7 5 each; 10 or more to one address, $1.50 each. INTRODUCTION TO F L O W OF F U N D S . 1 9 8 0 . 6 8 p p . $ 1 . 5 0 e a c h ; 10 or more to one address, $1.25 each. PUBLIC POLICY A N D CAPITAL FORMATION. 1981. 326 pp. FEDERAL RE- $13.50 each. N E W MONETARY CONTROL PROCEDURES: SERVE S T A F F S T U D Y , 1 9 8 1 . 1. 1970. 86 pp. $.50 each; 10 or more to one address, $.40 SEASONAL ADJUSTMENT OF THE MONETARY AGGREGATES: REPORT OF THE COMMITTEE OF EXPERTS ON SEASONAL e a c h . PART 2 , 1 9 7 1 . 153 p p . a n d PART 3 , 1 9 7 3 . 131 p p . ADJUSTMENT TECHNIQUES. 1981. 55 pp. $2.75 each. 75 FEDERAL RESERVE REGULATORY SERVICE. L o o s e l e a f ; u p d a t - ed at least monthly. (Requests must be prepaid.) Consumer and Community Affairs Handbook. $60.00 per year. Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirements Handbook. $60.00 per year. Securities Credit Transactions Handbook. $60.00 per year. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. 2 vols. (Contains all three Handbooks plus substantial additional material.) $175.00 per year. Only Printed in the Studies and papers on economic and financial subjects that are of general interest. Requests to obtain single copies of the full text or to be added to the mailing list for the series may be sent to Publications Services. PERFORMANCE A N D CHARACTERISTICS OF E D G E CORPORA- TIONS, by James V. Houpt. Feb. 1981. 56 pp. BANKING STRUCTURE A N D PERFORMANCE AT THE STATE Rates for subscribers outside the United States are as follows and include additional air mail costs: Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, $225.00 per year. Each Handbook, $75.00 per year. WELCOME TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE, D e c e m b e r STAFF STUDIES.- Summaries Bulletin 1980. LEVEL DURING THE 1970s, by Stephen A. Rhoades. Mar. 1981. 26 pp. FEDERAL RESERVE DECISIONS ON B A N K MERGERS A N D A C - QUISITIONS DURING THE 1970S, by Stephen A. Rhoades. Aug. 1981. 16 pp. THE U S E OF CONTINGENCIES A N D COMMITMENTS BY COM- MERCIAL BANKS, by Benjamin Wolkowitz et al. Jan. 1982. 186 pp. CONSUMER EDUCATION PAMPHLETS Short pamphlets suitable for classroom use. copies available without charge. Multiple Alice in Debitland Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws Dealing with Inflation: Obstacles and Opportunities The Equal Credit Opportunity Act and . . . Age The Equal Credit Opportunity Act and . . . Credit Rights in Housing The Equal Credit Opportunity Act and . . . Doctors, Lawyers, Small Retailers, and Others Who May Provide Incidental Credit The Equal Credit Opportunity Act and . . . Women Fair Credit Billing Federal Reserve Glossary Guide to Federal Reserve Regulations How to File A Consumer Credit Complaint If You Borrow To Buy Stock If You Use A Credit Card Series on the Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Open Market Committee Federal Reserve Bank Board of Directors Federal Reserve Banks Monetary Control Act of 1980 Truth in Leasing U.S. Currency What Truth in Lending Means to You MULTIBANK HOLDING COMPANIES: RECENT EVIDENCE ON COMPETITION A N D PERFORMANCE IN BANKING MAR- KETS, by Timothy J. Curry and John T. Rose. Jan. 1982. 9 pp. REPRINTS Most of the articles reprinted do not exceed 12 pages. Revision of Bank Credit Series. 12/71. Rates on Consumer Installment Loans. 9/73. Industrial Electric Power Use. 1/76. Revised Series for Member Bank Deposits and Aggregate Reserves. 4/76. Federal Reserve Operations in Payment Mechanisms: A Summary. 6/76. Perspectives on Personal Saving. 8/80. The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on the Major Foreign Industrial Countries. 10/80. Federal Reserve and the Payments System: Upgrading Electronic Capabilities for the 1980s. 2/81. U.S. International Transactions in 1980. 4/81. Bank Lending in Developing Countries. 9/81. 76 Index to Statistical Tables References are to pages A3 through A68 although the prefix "A" is omitted in this index ACCEPTANCES, bankers, 10, 25, 27 Agricultural loans, commercial banks, 18, 19, 20, 26 Assets and liabilities (See also Foreigners) Banks, by classes, 17, 18-21 Domestic finance companies, 39 Federal Reserve Banks, 11 Foreign banks, U.S. branches and agencies, 22 Nonfinancial corporations, 38 Savings institutions, 29 Automobiles Consumer installment credit, 42, 43 Production, 48, 49 BANKERS balances, 17, 18-20 (See also Foreigners) Banks for Cooperatives, 35 Bonds (See also U.S. government securities) New issues, 36 Yields, 3 Branch banks, 15, 21, 22, 56 Business activity, nonfinancial, 46 Business expenditures on new plant and equipment, 38 Business loans (See Commercial and industrial loans) CAPACITY utilization, 46 Capital accounts Banks, by classes, 17 Federal Reserve Banks, 11 Central banks, 67 Certificates of deposit, 21, 27 Commercial and industrial loans Commercial banks, 15, 17, 22, 26 Weekly reporting banks, 18-22, 23 Commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 3, 15, 17, 18-21 Business loans, 26 Commercial and industrial loans, 15, 17, 22, 23, 26 Consumer loans held, by type, 42, 43 Loans sold outright, 21 Nondeposit funds, 16 Number, 17 Real estate mortgages held, by holder and property, 41 Commercial paper, 3, 25, 27, 39 Condition statements (See Assets and liabilities) Construction, 46, 50 Consumer installment credit, 42, 43 Consumer prices, 46, 51 Consumption expenditures, 52, 53 Corporations Profits and their distribution, 37 Security issues, 36, 66 Cost of living (See Consumer prices) Credit unions, 29, 42, 43 Currency and coin, 5, 17 Currency in circulation, 4, 13 Customer credit, stock market, 28 DEBITS to deposit accounts, 12 Debt (See specific types of debt or securities) Demand deposits Adjusted, commercial banks, 12, 14 Banks, by classes, 17, 18-21 Demand deposits—Continued Ownership by individuals, partnerships, and corporations, 24 Subject to reserve requirements, 14 Turnover, 12 Depository institutions Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves, 3, 4, 5, 14 Deposits (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 3, 17, 18-21, 29 Federal Reserve Banks, 4, 11 Subject to reserve requirements, 14 Turnover, 12 Discount rates at Reserve Banks and at foreign central banks (See Interest rates) Discounts and advances by Reserve Banks (See Loans) Dividends, corporate, 37 EMPLOYMENT, 46, 47 Eurodollars, 27 FARM mortgage loans, 41 Federal agency obligations, 4, 10, 11, 12, 34 Federal credit agencies, 35 Federal finance Debt subject to statutory limitation and types and ownership of gross debt, 32 Receipts and outlays, 31 Treasury operating balance, 30 Federal Financing Bank, 30, 35 Federal funds, 3, 6, 18, 19, 20, 27, 30 Federal Home Loan Banks, 35 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, 35, 40, 41 Federal Housing Administration, 35, 40, 41 Federal Intermediate Credit Banks, 35 Federal Land Banks, 35, 41 Federal National Mortgage Association, 35, 40, 41 Federal Reserve Banks Condition statement, 11 Discount rates (See Interest rates) U.S. government securities held, 4, 11, 12, 32, 33 Federal Reserve credit, 4, 5, 11, 12 Federal Reserve notes, 11 Federally sponsored credit agencies, 35 Finance companies Assets and liabilities, 39 Business credit, 39 Loans, 18, 19, 20, 42, 43 Paper, 25, 27 Financial institutions Loans to, 18, 19, 20 Selected assets and liabilities, 29 Float, 4 Flow of funds, 44, 45 Foreign banks, assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies, 22 Foreign currency operations, 11 Foreign deposits in U.S. banks, 4, 11, 18, 19, 20 Foreign exchange rates, 68 Foreign trade, 55 Foreigners Claims on, 56, 58, 61, 62, 63, 65 Liabilities to, 21, 55, 56-60, 64, 66, 67 77 GOLD Certificates, 11 Stock, 4, 55 Government National Mortgage Association, 35, 40, 41 Gross national product, 52, 53 HOUSING, new and existing units, 50 INCOME, personal and national, 46, 52, 53 Industrial production, 46, 48 Installment loans, 42, 43 Insurance companies, 29, 32, 33, 41 Interbank loans and deposits, 17 Interest rates Bonds, 3 Business loans of banks, 26 Federal Reserve Banks, 3, 7 Foreign central banks and foreign countries, 67 Money and capital markets, 3, 27 Mortgages, 3, 40 Prime rate, commercial banks, 26 Time and savings deposits, 9 International capital transactions of United States, 56-67 International organizations, 58, 59-62, 64-67 Inventories, 52 Investment companies, issues and assets, 37 Investments (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 17, 29 Commercial banks, 3, 15, 17, 18-20 Federal Reserve Banks, 11, 12 Savings institutions, 29, 41 LABOR force, 47 Life insurance companies (See Insurance companies) Loans (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 17, 18—21 Commercial banks, 3, 15, 17, 18-21, 22, 26 Federal Reserve Banks, 3, 4, 5, 7, 11, 12 Insured or guaranteed by United States, 40, 41 Savings institutions, 29, 41 MANUFACTURING Capacity utilization, 46 Production, 46, 49 Margin requirements, 28 Member banks Borrowing at Federal Reserve Banks, 5, 11 Federal funds and repurchase agreements, 6 Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves and related items, 14 Mining production, 49 Mobile home shipments, 50 Monetary aggregates, 3, 14 Money and capital market rates (See Interest rates) Money stock measures and components, 3, 13 Mortgages (See Real estate loans) Mutual funds (See Investment companies) Mutual savings banks, 3, 9, 18-20, 29, 32, 33, 41 NATIONAL defense outlays, 31 National income, 52 OPEN market transactions, 10 PERSONAL income, 53 Prices Consumer and producer, 46, 51 Stock market, 28 Prime rate, commercial banks, 26 Production, 46, 48 Profits, corporate, 37 REAL estate loans Banks, by classes, 18-20, 41 Rates, terms, yields, and activity, 3, 40 Savings institutions, 27 Type of holder and property mortgaged, 41 Repurchase agreements and federal funds, 6, 18, 19, 20 Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves Commercial banks, 17 Depository institutions, 3, 4, 5, 14 Federal Reserve Banks, 11 Member banks, 14 U.S. reserve assets, 55 Residential mortgage loans, 40 Retail credit and retail sales, 42, 43, 46 SAVING Flow of funds, 44, 45 National income accounts, 53 Savings and loan assns., 3, 9, 29, 33, 41, 44 Savings deposits (See Time deposits) Securities (See also U.S. government securities) Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies, 35 Foreign transactions, 66 New issues, 36 Prices, 28 Special drawing rights, 4, 11, 54, 55 State and local governments Deposits, 18, 19, 20 Holdings of U.S. government securities, 32, 33 New security issues, 36 Ownership of securities issued by, 18, 19, 20, 29 Yields of securities, 3 Stock market, 28 Stocks (See also Securities) N e w issues, 36 Prices, 28 TAX receipts, federal, 31 Time deposits, 3, 9, 12, 14, 17, 18-21 Trade, foreign, 55 Treasury currency, Treasury cash, 4 Treasury deposits, 4, 11, 30 Treasury operating balance, 30 UNEMPLOYMENT, 47 U.S. balance of payments, 54 U.S. government balances Commercial bank holdings, 18, 19, 20 Member bank holdings, 14 Treasury deposits at Reserve Banks, 4, 11, 30 U.S. government securities Bank holdings, 17, 18-20, 32, 33 Dealer transactions, positions, and financing, 34 Federal Reserve Bank holdings, 4, 11, 12, 32, 33 Foreign and international holdings and transactions, 11, 32, 67 Open market transactions, 10 Outstanding, by type and ownership, 32, 33 Rates, 3, 27 Savings institutions, 29 Utilities, production, 49 VETERANS Administration, 40, 41 WEEKLY reporting banks, 18-23 Wholesale (producer) prices, 46, 51 YIELDS (See Interest rates) 78 The Federal Reserve System Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts and Their Branch Territories A _ 0) LEGEND Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts ® Federal Reserve Bank Cities Boundaries of Federal Reserve Branch Territories • Federal Reserve Branch Cities Federal Reserve Bank Facility ^ Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 79 Publications of Interest FEDERAL RESERVE PUBLICATIONS CONSUMER CREDIT The Federal Reserve Board publishes a series of pamphlets covering individual credit laws and topics, as pictured below. The series includes such subjects as how the Equal Credit Opportunity Act protects women against discrimination in their credit dealings, how to use a credit card, and how to use Truth in Lending information to compare credit costs. The Board also publishes the Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws, a complete guide to con- sumer credit protections. This 44-page booklet explains how to use the credit laws to shop for credit, apply for it, keep up credit ratings, and complain about an unfair deal. Protections offered by the Electronic Fund Transfer Act are explained in Alice in Debitland. This booklet offers tips for those using the new "paperless" systems for transferring money. Copies of consumer publications are available free of charge from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Multiple copies for classroom use are also available free of charge. LE4BMO LE4SING LE4SMG LE4SMG TRUTH IN LE4SING ^^Alice Debitland What Thithln Lending Means To You The Equal Credit Opportunity Act and Credit Rights In Housing If You Borrow To Buy Stock— The Equal Credit Opportunity Act and... YOU USE A CREDIT CARD L Fair Credit Billing WOMEN