Full text of Federal Reserve Bulletin : April 1989
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VOLUME 7 5 • NUMBER 4 • APRIL 1 9 8 9 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, WASHINGTON, D . C . PUBLICATIONS COMMITTEE Joseph R. Coyne, Chairman • S. David Frost • Griffith L. Garwood • Donald L. Kohn • J. Virgil Mattingly, Jr. • Michael J. Prell • Edwin M. Truman The FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN is issued monthly under the direction of the staff publications committee. This committee is responsible for opinions expressed except in official statements and signed articles. It is assisted by the Economic Editing Section headed by Mendelle T. Berenson, the Graphic Communications Section under the direction of Peter G. Thomas, and Publications Services supervised by Linda C. Kyles. Table of Contents 227 THE ESTABLISHMENT AND EVOLUTION OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD: 1913-23 In the first decade after the passage of the Federal Reserve Act, the Board evolved under the pressure of circumstances in ways not foreseen by the framers of the act. 244 UNDERSTANDING THE BEHAVIOR OF M2 AND V2 This article examines the properties of the M2 aggregate and of its velocity, V2, the ratio of gross national product to M2— particularly over the one- to two-year intervals that are associated with monetary targeting and over which V2 has fluctuated by substantial amounts. 255 TRANSFER RISK IN U.S. BANKS The expansion of international lending has made an analysis of country risk an essential element in the overall evaluation of the financial condition of the largest U.S. banks. 259 TREASURY AND FEDERAL RESERVE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OPERATIONS The dollar, which had moved lower in November, found support at the end of November and recovered through most of December and January to return to levels that had prevailed in the autumn. 263 STAFF STUDIES In "M2 per Unit of Potential GNP as an Anchor for the Price Level," the authors develop a measure for a long-run equilibrium price level that is proportional to the stock of M2 per unit of potential GNP. Deviations of the actual price level from the equilibrium price level provide a good forecast of changes in the inflation rate over periods of one year or more. 265 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Industrial production increased an estimated 0.3 percent in January. 267 STATEMENTS TO CONGRESS Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors, discusses corporate restructuring and the need for reducing the federal budget deficit, and says that it would be unwise to restrict arbitrarily corporate restructuring and that the budget deficit must be brought down, before the House Committee on Ways and Means, February 2, 1989. 272 Chairman Greenspan discusses recent monetary policy and plans for the future within the framework of the Board's Monetary Policy Report to the Congress, before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, February 21, 1989. [Chairman Greenspan presented identical testimony before the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, February 22, 1989.] 278 Chairman Greenspan outlines the views of the Board on the legislation for the reform and recovery of the thrift industry and says that the Board supports this comprehensive package of proposals to strengthen the thrift industry and depository institutions in general, before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, February 23, 1989. 282 Chairman Greenspan reviews briefly where the economy has been over the past year and where it appears to be going to bring into focus the challenges that face monetary and fiscal policymakers, before the Senate Committee on the Budget, February 28, 1989. [Chairman Greenspan presented identical testimony before the House Committee on the Budget, March 2, 1989.] 287 ANNOUNCEMENTS Change in the discount rate. Expression of support for the reform and recovery program for the thrift industry announced by President Bush. Amendment to Regulation H (Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System). Interpretation to Regulation H. Comment requested on a series of revised proposals regarding the finality accorded ACH credit and debit transactions processed by Federal Reserve Banks. Changes in Board staff. Availability of some Federal Reserve statistical releases through the computerized bulletin board of the Department of Commerce. Change in the database used in compiling the statistical appendix to the BULLETIN. 290 RECORD OF POLICY ACTIONS OF THE FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE At its meeting on December 13-14, 1988, the Committee approved a directive that called for some immediate firming of reserve conditions, with some further tightening to be implemented at the start of 1989, assuming that economic and financial conditions remained reasonably consistent with current expectations. In keeping with the Committee's usual approach to policy, the conduct of open market operations would be subject to further adjustment during the intermeeting period based on indications of inflationary pressures, the strength of the business expansion, the behavior of the monetary aggregates, and developments in foreign exchange and domestic financial markets. Depending on such developments, some added reserve restraint would be acceptable, or some slight lessening of reserve pressure might be acceptable. The reserve conditions contemplated at this meeting were expected to be consistent with growth of M2 and M3 at annual rates of around 3 percent and 6V2 percent respectively over the four-month period from November 1988 to March 1989. The intermeeting range for the federal funds rate was raised by 1 percentage point to 7 to 11 percent. 297 LEGAL DEVELOPMENTS Various bank holding company, bank service corporation, and bank merger orders; and pending cases. AI FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS STATISTICS These tables reflect data available as of February 24, 1989. A3 Domestic Financial Statistics A46 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics A55 International Statistics A71 GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION, STATISTICAL RELEASES, AND SPECIAL TABLES A76 BOARD OF GOVERNORS AND STAFF A78 FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE AND STAFF; ADVISORY COUNCILS A80 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD PUBLICATIONS A83 INDEX TO STATISTICAL TABLES A85 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS, BRANCHES, AND OFFICES A86 MAP OF FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 Say re Ellen Dykes, of the Division of Research and Statistics at the Board of Governors, and Michael A. Whitehouse, of the Board's Office of the Secretary, prepared this article. When, on December 23, 1913, Woodrow Wilson signed the act establishing the Federal Reserve System, he felt grateful, he said, for having had a part in "completing a work . . . of lasting benefit to the business of the country." The nation had been without an organization performing central banking functions since the charter of the Second Bank of the United States had expired in 1836. Financial stresses caused by the Civil War and a series of devastating liquidity crises and bank failures, especially the Panic of 1907, had focused public awareness on the need for banking and monetary reform. The Congress passed the Aldrich-Vreeland Act of 1908, which provided for the issuance of currency in an emergency. The act also created the bipartisan National Monetary Commission, headed by Senator Nelson Aldrich, to study banking and currency reform and to develop some recommendations. After making a detailed study of banking in Europe and North America, the commission in 1912 published its findings in 38 massive volumes. Aldrich formalized the commission's recommendations in a bill, generally known as the Aldrich Plan, calling for one central bank and 15 branches. Although members of the Congress agreed on the need for reform and on its general goals, they differed strongly on its shape. The Aldrich Plan stirred up a deep-seated distrust of the centralization of power and of the banking establishment. Alternative plans, which attempted different balances between public and private interests and between central and regional control, were proposed. The members finally overcame their partisan differences and adopted the plan forged by President Wilson, Congressman Carter Glass, and Senator Robert Owen, which became the Federal Reserve Act—an act "to furnish an elastic currency, to afford means of rediscounting commercial paper, to establish a more effective supervision of banking in the United States, and for other purposes." While the process of investigation, discussion, and compromise leading to the act had ended with President Wilson's signature, another long process was beginning: that of organizing and establishing in practice the central banking system of the United States and of developing new policies and tools to meet the changing needs and circumstances of the economy. At the time of the signing, Paul Warburg, one of the members of the first Board, said prophetically that "the Federal Reserve Act as passed should not be considered as a finality, and . . . actual experience in its operation would prove the need of important modifications or amplifications." 1 The process of modifying and amplifying the act over the next 10 years was far from smooth. H. Parker Willis, the first Secretary of the Board, in a rhetorical flourish implied that it could even be considered a war: "[The struggle that produced the Federal Reserve Act] is not merely a chapter in financial history; it is also an account of the first battle in a campaign for safe and scientific banking that has only just opened." 2 Willis's metaphor was apt. During its first decade, the System struggled to gain acceptance while facing the stresses caused by World War I and its aftermath. 1. Paul M. Warburg, The Federal Reserve System: Its Origin and Growth, vol. 1 (Macmillan, 1930), p. 141. 2. Henry Parker Willis, The Federal Reserve System: Legislation, Organization and Operation (Ronald Press, 1923), pp. 20-21. 228 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 The System was to consist of the Federal Reserve Board in Washington; Federal Reserve Banks, each in its own district and known by the name of the city in which it was located; and member banks, that is, all national banks and those state-chartered banks willing and qualified to join. Initially, all the parts of the interdependent System struggled for acceptance. While separating those parts is often difficult, this article focuses on the struggles of the Board, which was to be, according to President Wilson, the "capstone" of the new Federal Reserve System. During its formative years, the Board had its own problems of establishing its authority, of recognizing the possibilities of its tools, and of developing its role as a policymaker. By the end of 1923, 10 years after the passage of the act, the Board was beginning to resemble the influential policymaking body it is today. PROVISIONS OF THE FEDERAL ACT RESERVE The Federal Reserve Board was established by Section 10 of the Federal Reserve Act. This section carefully spelled out the organizational aspects of the Board, which was to consist of "seven members, including the Secretary of the Treasury and the Comptroller of the Currency, who shall be members ex officio [that is, by virtue of their offices], and five members appointed by the President of the United States, by and with the advice and consent of the Senate." Making the members presidential appointees was an attempt by the framers of the act, and of President Wilson in particular, to keep the System under a centralized public authority so as to balance the power of private "money interests." The earlier Warburg and Glass plans, while giving the government some voice, had given the banks that were members of the system (by subscription to stock in the regional banks) representation on the Board; and the Aldrich plan had even given the banks essential control (for a comparison of the features of the various proposals, see the box on pages 230 and 231.). But President Wilson, believing that interested, private parties should not sit on a board of control, stated: [T]he power to direct this system of credits is put into the hands of a public board of disinterested officers of the Government itself who can make no money out of anything they do in connection with it. No group of bankers anywhere can get control; no one part of the country can concentrate the advantages and conveniences of the system upon itself for its own selfish advantage. 3 Through presidential appointment of the members of the Board, the framers of the act hoped to avoid a system that had even the appearance of a monopolistic institution likely to fall victim to partisan politics as had the First and Second Banks of the United States. Section 10 further stipulated that no more than one of the five appointive members was to be selected from any one Federal Reserve District and that the President should have "due regard to a fair representation of the different commercial, industrial and geographical divisions of the country." At least two Board members were to be "persons experienced in banking or finance." These provisions for membership of the Board were intended to limit the degree to which the Board was subject to partisan pressures and to help ensure that it would not be dominated by any one interest group or region. In particular, a majority of the framers wanted to avoid giving substantial control to New York financial interests. The requirement that two members be knowledgeable in banking and finance was intended to ensure that the System would be governed by sound and "scientific" principles in addressing the commercial and financial needs of the nation. While the President was to select the members of the Board and to designate one as Governor and another as Vice Governor, no direct line of communication was set up between the Board and the President. The salaries and operating expenses of the Board were to be paid from the earnings of the Reserve Banks rather than from congressional appropriations, but the Board was to make a full report of System operations to the Congress annually. 3. Letter, Woodrow Wilson, to Oscar Wilder Underwood, October 17, 1914, in Arthur S. Link (ed.), The Papers of Woodrow Wilson, vol. 31 (Princeton University Press, 1979), p. 172. The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 These arrangements were intended to help insulate the Board from pressures from the executive and the legislative branches. In a further attempt to insulate the Board from partisan politics, Section 10 provided for 10-year terms for Board members. These terms were longer than those of any other executive appointees except for those of the federal judiciary, which were lifetime appointments, and that of the Comptroller General, which was for 15 years. The first appointed members were to serve varied terms of 2 , 4 , 6 , 8, and 10 years, so that future appointments would be staggered and any future President would be unlikely to appoint a majority of the Board. Powers and Duties of the Board While the organizational aspects appeared in one section, the powers and duties of the Board were spread throughout the act. Section 11 gave the Board the functions of examining the "accounts, books, and affairs" of the Reserve Banks and of the member banks; of permitting or requiring a Reserve Bank to rediscount the discounted paper of other Reserve Banks and to fix the rate for such rediscounting; 4 of regulating the amount of gold reserves held against Federal Reserve notes; of supervising and regulating the issue and retirement of these notes; of changing the number and designation of Federal Reserve cities; and of carrying out various supervisory and regulatory functions concerning the Reserve Banks. But other powers and duties of the Board appeared in sections dealing with additional organizational and functional elements of the System. For example, the Board's power to designate three of the nine directors of each Reserve Bank appeared in Section 4; its duty to determine or define the character of the paper eligible for discounting fell under Section 13; and its power regarding rates of discount fell under Section 14, "Open-Market Operations." Besides being spread throughout the act, the Board's functions were in some cases presented vaguely and indirectly, almost as an afterthought. For example, each Reserve Bank's 4. The term "rediscount" is no longer in use. 229 power to establish rates of discount was "subject to review and determination of the Federal Reserve Board." What "determination" meant was not clear, and so the line between the Reserve Banks' power and the Board's power in fixing discount rates was left ill-defined. In other instances, provisions in one part of the act seemed to contradict or overlap provisions in other parts. Thus, Section 11(a) authorized the Board to "examine at its discretion the accounts, books, and affairs of each Federal Reserve bank and of each member bank," and Section 21 empowered the Comptroller of the Currency to "appoint examiners who shall examine every member bank at least twice in each calendar year and oftener if considered necessary" and later referred to the examinations "made and conducted" by the Comptroller of the Currency. There were two reasons for such lack of precision. First, the act was a political compromise between different conceptions of what the Federal Reserve System as a whole, and the Board as part of that System, was to do and was not to do and what kind of checks and balances were needed. Having a public body oversee a system of privately owned commercial banks raised questions not only about lines of authority but also about what the Board's function was and how the Board was to fulfill it. The attempt to satisfy different interests led at times to vagueness and even to contradiction. Second, the type of system that was set up by the act was new and untried. Thus, even some provisions that were less vague, such as the number and the qualifications of persons to be on the Board and the ability of the Board to alter Reserve Districts and cities, were later reinterpreted and amended as circumstances required. Some Unsettled Issues The issues regarding the Board that the act left unsettled can be grouped into three categories: (1) the Board's relation to the government, primarily the Department of the Treasury; (2) the Board's relation to the rest of the Federal Reserve System; and (3) the Board's specific role or mission within those frameworks. During the first decade of the Board's existence, the need for its independence from the Treasury became Major twentieth-century plans for a governing body for the central banking system Plan, bill, or act Name Date Governing body Name Number of members Term of office (years) Composition Function Secretary of Treasury; Comptroller of the Currency; U.S. Treasurer; 6 members of Congress; 20 chairmen of branches; 12 others voted by stockholding member banks; a salaried board governor Issue notes based on commercial bills and gold; fix the discount rate and rediscount short-term commercial paper; maintain central cash reserve; establish branches; manage and supervise activities of 20 regional bank associations Warburg Plan November 1907; revised April 1908 Board of Managers 42 1, or until their successors qualify Fowler Plan February 1908 Court of Finance 17 Serve until age 6 members from Atlantic coast; 72, unless 6 from Mississippi region; 4 majority of from Pacific coast; all experiCourt exenced in business and banktends appointing; one at-large appointee to ment preside over court; all appointed by the President Aldrich Plan January 1911 Reserve Association Board 45 3 Secretaries of Treasury, ComAct as fiscal agent for government; merce, Labor, and Agriculture; determine discount rate for Comptroller of the Currency; 14 short-term commercial paper, bills of exchange, and so on; members elected by boards of engage in open market branches; 12 representing stockpurchases holding interests; 12 representing agriculture, commerce, and industry; governor and deputy governor Owen Bill May 1913 Board of Governors of the National Currency 7 Serve at the pleasure of the President Secretaries of Treasury and Agriculture; Comptroller of the Currency; 4 governors appointed by President: 1 knowledgeable in commerce, 1 in manufacturing, 1 in transportation, and 1 in banking and credit Issue notes based on secured bank assets; consider appeals from member banks not satisfied with rulings from regional associations; manage central gold reserve Exercise general supervision over reserve banks and examine accounts of national and reserve banks; act as fiscal agent for government; adjust boundaries and districts of reserve banks if necessary; supervise issuance of national currency; suspend for no more than 30 days reserve requirements specified in bill; approve reserve bank accounts in foreign countries; oversee foreign exchange operations Glass Bill June 1913 Federal Reserve Board Secretaries of Treasury and Ag- Examine accounts of reserve banks riculture; Comptroller of the require or permit reserve banks to Currency; 4 board members discount paper of any other reappointed by the President, at serve bank; establish mandatory least 1 experienced in banking weekly discount rates upon each class of paper; suspend for no more than 30 days reserve requirements specified in bill; supervise and regulate the issuance of notes to reserve banks; prescribe rules for reserve banks to engage in open market operations Vanderlip Plan November 1913 Governing Board 7 members appointed by the President; nonpartisan, government board Approve rediscounting; oversee clearinghouse operations; issue bank notes Federal Reserve December 1913 Act (GlassOwen Bill) Federal Reserve Board Secretaiy of Treasury; Comptroller of the Currency; 5 members appointed by the President with due regard to commercial, industrial, and geographical representation, with at least 2 members experienced in banking and finance Supervise and regulate the issuance and retirement of Federal Reserve notes; reclassify Reserve Districts and add Reserve Banks if appropriate; supervise the activities and audit accounts of Reserve Banks; select 3 directors, including chairman, of each Reserve Bank board; require or permit Reserve Banks to rediscount paper of other Reserve Banks; approve discount rates set by Reserve Banks; issue regulations regarding Reserve Bank open market operations Federal Reserve June 1922 Act amended Federal Reserve Board Secretary of Treasury; Same as above Comptroller of the Currency; 6 appointive members; added agricultural representative and eliminated requirement for 2 members to be experienced in banking or finance Federal Reserve August Act amended 1935 (Banking Act of 1935) Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System 7 members appointed by the President, representing financial, agricultural, industrial, and commercial interests, and geographical divisions of the country; removed Secretary of Treasury and Comptroller of the Currency from Board Exercise authority over national monetary and credit policies and, as part of the Federal Open Market Committee, help set open market policy 232 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 clearer; its struggle for power with the regional Reserve Banks, particularly the New York Bank, intensified; and its sense of its own mission and how to carry it out strengthened and solidified. The Board's Relation to the Treasury. Because the Board was a public body charged with overseeing the nation's financial institutions, those who drafted the act believed that the Board clearly had to have a close relation with the Treasury. That close relation, however, raised the issue of the System's independence from the Treasury, which soon became manifest in three conflicts involving the Board: (1) about the respective responsibilities of the Treasury officials who sat on the Board and of the members appointed by the President; (2) about the Board's financial accountability; and (3) about the division of powers between the Treasury and the Board. The Secretary of the Treasury and the Comptroller of the Currency (a Treasury Department official) sat on the Board and voted as part of the duties of their respective offices. Thus, the Treasury had a substantial influence on the decisions of the Board. The Secretary of the Treasury was designated by the act as the Chairman of the Board, but the responsibilities of this position were not spelled out. The appointed member designated by the President as Governor was the "active executive officer," but his duties, too, were left unclear. Later, Secretary of the Treasury William McAdoo interpreted "active executive officer" to mean "manager and administrator." But the heavy influence of the Treasury and the lack of a clear definition of roles put some strain on the relations among the Board members. The act gave the Board the power to levy an assessment on the Reserve Banks to pay its expenses, including the salaries of members and staff, and thus made the Board independent of the congressional appropriations process, though it required the Board to make a yearly report to the Congress. The Treasury, however, claimed the right to audit the Board's books as the Board's funds were initially construed to be public moneys. As early as December 19, 1914, the U.S. Attorney General ruled on this issue, saying that while the moneys the Board had were public and thus were subject to audit by an agent of the Treasury, the Board was an independent board or government body separate from the Treasury. Despite the ruling, the debate continued for a long time. (The issue of financial independence was settled with the Banking Act of 1933, which stated that the Board's funds were not to be construed as public moneys. But the lingering issue of accountability was not settled until the Federal Banking Agency Audit Act of 1978, which authorized the General Accounting Office to audit the Board.) The division of powers between the Board and the Treasury also was cloudy. Some of the functions that the act gave to the Board overlapped those of the Treasury, as in the examination of member banks. Also, the Comptroller of the Currency chartered national banks, all of which were required to be members of the System, so the question arose as to who had regulatory power over them. (This confusion over supervisory and regulatory jurisdiction has been settled over the years through informal agreements among the System, the Comptroller, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Generally, the System has authority over state member banks and bank holding companies; the Comptroller has authority over nationally chartered banks; and the FDIC oversees state nonmember banks.) The issue of the Board's, and the System's, independence from the Treasury caused conflicts between the two agencies and among the Board members themselves. (It was defused in part by the Banking Act of 1935, which removed the Secretary of the Treasury and the Comptroller of the Currency from the Board and placed responsibility for monetary policy solely in the hands of the Board and the newly established Federal Open Market Committee.) The Board's Relation to the Reserve Banks. As established by the act, the Board had an ambiguous position vis-a-vis the Reserve Banks. The Board was a central public body having supervisory and regulatory powers over private commercial banks that were members of the System. To help ensure that commercial bankers' concerns would be heard, the act established the Federal Advisory Council, consisting of one rep- The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 resentative from each Reserve District elected by the member banks of that District, who acted as the banks' representatives to the Board. The council was, however, empowered only to receive and provide information and to make recommendations. The Board had its representative at each of the Reserve Banks: one of the three Class C directors it appointed was designated the Federal Reserve Agent. The delineation of powers between the Agent and the Governor (now called the President) of the Reserve Bank was at first unclear. By the end of the first decade, however, the Governors had emerged as the principal leaders of their respective Reserve Banks. But the Board was more than the government regulatory agency that President Wilson characterized as analogous to the Interstate Commerce Commission. It also had managerial duties and served to direct, coordinate, and guide the System's activities. In his 1914 opinion on the status of the Board, Attorney General T.W. Gregory stated that the Board was "not merely supervisory, but . . . a distinctly administrative board with extensive powers." These powers, however, had to be defined. According to the act, the Board and the Reserve Banks would exercise jointly the functions of issuing and retiring Federal Reserve notes. But the act assumed that cooperation and coordination between the Board and the Reserve Banks, as well as among the Reserve Banks, would be automatic. 5 One example of the problems arising from this assumption regarded the discount rate, which each Reserve Bank was empowered to set for its own district. Was the rate to be uniform or to vary across the country, and was it to depend on the type of paper that was being discounted? If the rates were to vary geographically, might not money accumulate in one Reserve District while draining away from another, a situation that the act was intended to prevent? Who would then decide when the rate was to change, and what principles were to govern this decision? 5. Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960 (Princeton University Press, 1963), p. 190. 233 Each Reserve Bank could engage in open market operations "at home and abroad" for its own earnings. Who would regulate the competition for funds that might arise among the Reserve Banks? How would the others fare against the New York Bank, the one that was the largest and most influential and likely to do the most business? How were policies regarding the discount rate and those regarding open market operations, which could work against one another, to be coordinated? In international operations, who would speak for the System, and what body would take the initiative? After the passage of the act and even before the selection of the first Board, J.P. Morgan, Jr., and other bankers and businessmen told the Reserve Bank Organization Committee, a committee established by the act to designate the Federal Reserve cities and districts, that one Reserve Bank, probably in New York, should be of "commanding importance," especially with a view to its recognition by the central banks of Europe. 6 Secretary of the Treasury William McAdoo and Secretary of Agriculture David Houston, both on the committee, put forward the contrary view that the activities of all 12 Reserve Banks should be coordinated through the Board and that the Board should be the entity to which the foreign authorities looked. In practice, however, the New York Reserve Bank became the principal representative in international affairs during the early years of the System. This situation arose because of the superior knowledge and experience in international finance and the close contacts with foreign bankers of that Bank's governor, Benjamin Strong. The Board's Mission. Much rhetoric surrounded the establishment of the Board. President Wilson called it the "Supreme Court of Finance," and William McAdoo saw it as a "bulwark against financial disaster." 7 But the rhetoric did not fit the reality of the Board's job as outlined in the act. 6. "Commanding Bank Most Needed Here," New York Times, January 7, 1914. 7. "New Reserve Board Sworn into Office," New York Times, August 11, 1914. 234 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 The Board's role and its means for filling it were not well defined because the framers of the act were concerned about limiting the Board's powers and because the System's role in the economy and the tools of monetary control had not been tested and thus were not well understood. Was the Board to be the partly automatic regulator of an organization that was generally passive except when an emergency required it to accommodate commerce and business? Or was the Board to be the central policymaker in a System that actively participated in regulating the economy through managing the availability of money and credit? The discussion in the Congress just before the passage of the act was indicative of the concerns that the legislators had about the powers of an activist central bank. Said Congressman Rufus Hardy of Texas: "A central bank, so much desired by Wall Street. . . [would have] powers for evil which the Board does not have. . . . The Board could not loan, earn, own, or borrow one dollar. It could not finance an enterprise. It could not finance a candidate or a campaign." 8 What the Board could or should do was not so clear. In its First Annual Report, published less than six months after it was sworn in, the Board rejected a passive role for the Reserve Banks and, by extension, for itself: The System's "duty" was "not to await emergencies but, by anticipation, to do what it can to prevent them." 9 But because the Board was unsure of its mandate for setting policy as well as of the tools at its disposal and also because it immediately faced an extraordinary situation—World War I—it could not act according to this principle. The muddiness in the division of powers between the Board and the Reserve Banks and between the Board and the Treasury, as well as in the conception of the Board's mission, led to floundering and conflict in the early years of the System. How powers were to be divided and duties performed had to be worked out by trial and error in an ever-changing economic milieu. In its first 10 years, the Board began to establish itself within the System and in relation to the 8. Congressional Record, September 13, 1913, p. 4865. 9. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, First Annual Report, 1914 (1915), p. 17. Treasury Department and to learn what tools it had and how to use them in setting and carrying out policy. Under pressure of circumstances, the Board, and the rest of the System, evolved in ways not foreseen by the framers of the act. THE FIRST BOARD The first Federal Reserve Board was sworn into office on August 10, 1914, after a selection process that was long and difficult for several reasons. First, President Wilson had to wait for the Reserve Bank Organization Committee to select Federal Reserve cities and draw District lines because the act specified that not more than one appointive member could come from any one Reserve District. Second, Wilson was aware of a widespread belief that the success of the Reserve System depended on his selections. Like the First and Second Banks of the United States, the Reserve Banks had been assigned a 20-year charter, and Wilson wanted the System to last. (In the McFadden Act of 1927, the Congress showed its agreement with Wilson's position by extending the Reserve Banks' charter indefinitely.) While the composition of the Board had been addressed in the act, demands persisted from various quarters that Board members have certain credentials. Some interests, for example, urged that a member of a labor union, a farmer, and a former U.S. President be placed on the Board. Wilson had to consider these requests and weigh their importance. Third, the confirmation process took time. Two of Wilson's original choices—Richard 01ney, a lawyer from Boston and a former Secretary of State, and Harry A. Wheeler, a Chicago businessman and a former president of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce—declined their appointments. A third choice, David D. Jones, a Chicagoan who was a close friend of the President, encountered strong opposition because he had been a director of International Harvester, a trust that in 1914 was under indictment for illegal restraint of trade. Jones was ultimately rejected by the Senate. A fourth choice, Paul M. Warburg, a partner in the Wall Street investment firm of Kuhn, Loeb & Company, met with suspicion The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 because of his ties to the New York "money interests" and because of his backing of the Aldrich Plan and his original opposition to the Federal Reserve Act. After testifying before the Senate Banking Committee, Warburg, who had protested at being the only nominee besides Jones requested to appear, was finally confirmed. Besides Warburg, the appointive members of the first Board were Frederic A. Delano, president of the Monon Railway, from Chicago; Charles S. Hamlin, a lawyer from Boston and a former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury; William P.G. Harding, president of the First National Bank of Birmingham, Alabama; and Adolph C. Miller, a noted economist and former professor at the University of California, who was at that time an Assistant Secretary of the Department of the Interior. President Wilson designated Hamlin as Governor and Delano as Vice Governor. These appointments, particularly those of Warburg and Harding, who were exceedingly knowledgeable about banking, were welcome to the business and banking communities. The Commercial and Financial Chronicle noted at the time that "the sentiment of the financial community as a whole on learning of the president's nominations for the Federal Reserve Board has been one of profound relief." 10 Once appointed, the Board members were not directly responsible to the President, who had no formal channel of communication to the Board and no legal power over Board policies.11 But in practice, the presence of the Secretary of the Treasury and the Comptroller of the Currency on the Board gave the Executive Branch considerable weight; and the differing interests were expressed in quite a bit of friction between the "Treasury" faction, which included Hamlin as well as the ex officio members, and the "nonTreasury" faction, which included Delano, Warburg, and Miller. In 1916, when Hamlin was reappointed to the Board for a 10-year term, some members of the Board objected to his continuing as Governor because his close connection to the Treasury threatened the Board's 10. In Gerald T. Dunne, "The Federal Reserve: The First Foundations," Business Horizons (Winter 1966), p. 56. 11. Donald F. Kettl, Leadership at the Fed (Yale University Press, 1986), p. 4. 235 independence and because they wanted a rotation of the governorship. So President Wilson appointed Harding as Governor and Warburg as Vice Governor. EARLY TASKS AND ISSUES: 1914-17 The first task of the Board was to complete the establishment of the System begun by the Reserve Bank Organization Committee. The Board had a great deal of work to do before November 16, 1914, the date Secretary of the Treasury McAdoo had set for the opening of the Reserve Banks. The Board members selected three Class C directors for each of the 12 Reserve Banks (the Class A and Class B directors were elected by the member banks in each Reserve District); drafted uniform bylaws for the Reserve Banks; dealt with staffing and housing the Reserve Banks; oversaw the design and printing of the new Federal Reserve notes; supervised the transfer of gold reserves to the Reserve Banks from the subtreasuries; set guidelines for the types of paper that were eligible for discounting by the Reserve Banks; and worked out a mechanism for discounting. On October 20, 1914, soon after announcing the appointment of the Class C directors, the Board called a meeting in Washington of the directors and other officers of the Reserve Banks to deal with practical items that required uniformity and cooperation among the Reserve Banks, such as a check-clearing and -collection system and a method of accounting. Some of the executive officers (or "Governors," as they then were called), especially Benjamin Strong of the New York Bank and Alfred L. Aiken of the Boston Bank, recognized the need to continue such meetings and helped to establish a conference of Governors that met several times a year to discuss common concerns and objectives. The "Governors Conference" began to take on a life of its own, to issue resolutions on System policies, and to criticize rulings and orders from the Board. In January 1916, the Board decided to check the authority of the Governors Conference by refusing to approve its expenses for a secretary and for travel not undertaken at the behest 236 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 of the Board. The Board also insisted that any meetings of the group take place in Washington at a time designated by the Board. Some Governors complained that the Board was exceeding its mandated authority; but the Board prevailed and, through this early internal contest, began to define and exert its authority within the System. Some of the tasks of setting up the System, complex in themselves, were made even more difficult because of opposition from various quarters. The establishment of a universal par checkclearance system, for example, was opposed by many member banks, particularly those in small towns, that did not want their "exchange charges," or processing fees, abolished since these were a means of earning income. (This issue actually went into litigation, and the case was not settled until a 1923 Supreme Court decision affirmed the right of a Reserve Bank to collect checks within its District for other Reserve Banks, for member banks, and for affiliated nonmember banks without paying an exchange charge.) In a further effort to strengthen the System and to unify U.S. banking, the Board issued regulations fixing the conditions under which state banks could join the System (under the terms of the act, national banks were required to become members within a year or forfeit their federal charters). But the state banks, finding those conditions less satisfactory than the ones under which they currently operated, did not rush to join. At the same time, the Board was developing its own staff and operations. To support its work, the Board hired a staff of 45 from 1,250 applicants, dealing with considerable pressure from various sources for particular appointments; established three divisions—the Correspondence Division, the Division of Reports and Statistics, and the Division of Audit and Examination—and a legal department under the charge of a general counsel; and appointed two administrative officers, the secretary (H. Parker Willis) and the assistant secretary (Sherman P. Allen). In accordance with the act, Treasury Secretary McAdoo provided office space in the Treasury Building for the Board and its staff. This arrangement was disturbing to some of the Board members, who suggested moving the Board's operations to Chicago to mitigate what seemed at times to be overwhelming Treasury influence. In May 1915, the Board created the FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN as a monthly publication to "afford a general statement concerning business conditions and events in the Federal reserve system that will be of interest to all member banks." The provision of statistical and other information on a consistent basis for all Reserve Districts was another move toward coordination and unity. Soon after the Board took office, it was asked to review the decisions of the Reserve Bank Organization Committee regarding the designation of Federal Reserve cities and the drawing of District lines. Pittsburgh and Baltimore had requested designation as Federal Reserve cities in place of Cleveland and Richmond respectively. Some areas, such as Fairfield County, Connecticut, had applied to be transferred from one Reserve District to another. A few members of the Board believed that the System would be more efficient with fewer Districts. Since the capital of some of the Reserve Banks was close to the statutory minimum of $4 million and since transferring territory among Districts could in some cases reduce capital below the limit, the Attorney General was asked for an opinion about the Board's power to readjust the Reserve Districts. On November 22, 1915, the Attorney General said that the Board could not reduce the number of Reserve Districts or Reserve Banks below 12, and on April 14,1916, he indicated that the Board could not change the location of any Reserve Bank but that it could adjust the boundary lines of the Districts. Policy Questions According to the act, one of the main functions of the System was to "furnish an elastic currency," that is, a currency that would respond to the regional, seasonal, and cyclical needs of the U.S. economy as well as its emergency needs. The discounting of "eligible" paper would be the primary policy tool with which to achieve this elasticity. Each Reserve Bank was to set its own discount rate, subject to "review and determination" by the Board. The act assumed the coordination of discount policy to be automatic, The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 relying on the gold standard and the "real bills" doctrine. That doctrine held that if credit were issued only on the basis of short-term, selfliquidating paper associated with goods in commercial transactions, money and credit would expand and contract with the volume of goods produced. However, the Board quickly saw the necessity for developing a Systemwide discount policy so that all the Reserve Bank discount rates, even if differing among the Districts, would at least bear a consistent relation to one another. In an effort to standardize Reserve Bank practices, the Board defined the different classes of paper that were eligible for discount and decided on a schedule of graduated rates based on the maturity and character of the paper discounted. Carrying out such tasks and deciding on such sensitive issues would have been difficult enough in peacetime; but even as the Board was being sworn in and the System was being organized, war erupted in Europe. In the time of uncertainty as to whether the United States would enter the war, the Board adhered to a policy of strengthening the System for preparedness in case of the declaration of war. It attempted to maintain the liquid character of the Reserve Banks' assets, to concentrate and conserve the gold supply within the System, and to discourage excessive expansion of credit. In May 1915, the Board established the Gold Settlement Fund, with each Reserve Bank depositing with the Treasury $1 million in gold or gold certificates. With the Board acting as a clearinghouse, the fund eliminated the need for shipments of gold in adjusting balances among Reserve Banks. In September 1916, the Federal Reserve Act was amended to permit member banks to carry all required reserves as balances with the Reserve Banks. In June 1917, the act was amended again in accordance with Board recommendations to make membership in the System more attractive to state banks and trust companies, to modify reserve requirements to increase the gold holdings of the Reserve Banks, and to make gold more available as a basis for elastic note issue. Also, the Reserve Banks began to issue Federal Reserve notes against not only gold but a combination of gold and commercial paper. Whereas earlier the centralization of the gold supply had been seen as a way of discouraging excessive 237 expansion of money and credit, now it was seen as a way of encouraging needed expansion. As a result of these changes, the Federal Reserve note was becoming, rather than an occasional emergency currency, the most important constituent of the U.S. "circulating medium." Emergency Measures While the declaration of war in Europe in the summer of 1914 served to moderate opposition to the System, it diverted attention from longerterm issues to emergency measures. Although the United States was not yet directly involved in the war, the country's economic and financial systems were from the first affected by the European conflict. Fortunately, the Congress had extended the Aldrich-Vreeland Act of 1908 until June 30,1915, which helped to prevent a panic by providing for the issuance of notes through national currency associations. This extension enabled the Board to respond to other emergency conditions caused by the war. At first, the war curtailed ocean transportation and disrupted international trade, creating strains in commodities markets and hardships for U.S. farmers, particularly those growing cotton. The cotton crop in 1914 had been the largest on record, and the collapse of the cotton export market (which took about 60 percent of the cotton farmers' output) and the closing of the cotton exchanges in the United States and England brought pressures from the Congress on the Board to help support the price of cotton and to provide credit assistance to cotton farmers. In January 1915, the Board approved a plan for a Cotton Loan Fund subscribed to by commercial banks to supply long-term loans to farmers. When hostilities started in Europe, the United States was a debtor nation. Its outstanding obligations to Europe, primarily to England, were large, and a substantial volume of securities payable in Europe were about to mature. To prevent a drain of gold that could endanger the U.S. banking system and to facilitate gold payments between countries, the Board and the Treasury helped set up in September 1914 a $100 million Gold Exchange Fund from which international payments could be made. Although only a small portion of the fund was used before it was 238 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 terminated in March 1915, the existence of the fund did help to prevent panic, restore confidence in the economy, and provide an interim solution to the gold exchange problem until the Reserve Banks were fully operational. As the war in Europe continued, the financial and monetary situation of the United States changed. Many financial centers in Europe experienced difficulties, and several stock exchanges closed. London gave way to New York as the major world credit market, and large foreign credits were negotiated in the United States. Exports, particularly those of war-related goods, increased dramatically, and gold poured into the country. From August 1914 to April 1917, the gold stock of the United States almost doubled, to $2.85 billion. THE BOARD DURING WORLD WAR I: 1917-18 When the United States declared war on Germany on April 6, 1917, the Board and the Reserve Banks found themselves involved in new duties and subjected to new pressures. Just before the declaration of war, Secretary of the Treasury McAdoo charged the System, which in 1915 had been made a receiver and distributor of government funds, with a new fiscal-agency function: that of issuing and redeeming shortterm Treasury certificates to prepare for the floating of the $2 billion Liberty Loan of 1917. The Board objected both to the amount of the borrowing and to the low rate of interest for the first certificates, which were for $50 million at 2 percent. In response, McAdoo threatened to invoke the Overman Act, which would have allowed him to take over the System's funds to gain immediate control of all U.S. banking reserves in the emergency. The Board withdrew its objections. During the war, the System assisted the Treasury in floating four Liberty Bond issues; by October 1918, $17 billion in bonds had been floated. Because of this heavy borrowing, the federal government debt expanded from roughly $1 billion in June 1916 to $21 billion in December 1918. Discount Policy In its discount policy, the Board faced conflicting objectives: (1) facilitating the war-financing, emergency operations of the Treasury, which meant keeping discount rates low, to allow the financing of the government debt at low rates, and (2) preventing the overexpansion of credit to protect business and commerce, which meant raising interest rates and using "moral suasion" to encourage a "policy of common sense practical economy" (that is, appealing to commercial interests to borrow and the banks to lend only for legitimate business needs and not for speculative purposes). 12 Most often, the Board sought to facilitate the Treasury's financing. Thus, the Board urged the Reserve Banks to establish preferential discount rates on loans to member banks secured by government obligations as compared with discounts of commercial paper. By 1918, the Board looked toward the time when "the war obligations of the Government have been digested, and the invested assets of the Federal Reserve Banks have been restored to a commercial basis, [so that] rates can be established with reference to the commercial requirements of the country." 13 Strengthening the System During the war, the Board continued its efforts to strengthen the System. After the 1915-16 influx, the movement of gold into the United States virtually ceased as European countries went off the gold standard. The Board attempted to conserve the U.S. gold supply by limiting exports of gold to neutral countries. It also attempted to make membership in the System more attractive to state banks. President Wilson supported these efforts, saying that membership in the System was a "solemn obligation," and many banks took heed. During the System's first year of operation, 17 state banks joined; by June 1919, spurred by appeals to patriotism and concerned about possible war emergencies, 1,042 state banks had joined, bringing the total number of 12. Fourth Annual Report, 1917 (1918), p. 9. 13. Fifth Annual Report, 1918 (1919), p. 87. The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 System members, including the 7,780 national banks, to 8,822. Responding to the growing complexity of the economic and financial system, the Board in 1918 added the Division of Analysis and Research to its staff with headquarters in Washington and a working office in New York. The System as a whole gained strength and prestige because it was able to facilitate the mobilization of funds for the war effort and to help bring the country through the collapse of the European financial and commodity markets. The Board itself, however, felt that it was losing control not only to the Treasury but also to the New York Reserve Bank, which operated under the forceful and able leadership of Benjamin Strong. After the first Liberty Loan, the Treasury began to bypass the Board and to deal directly with the Reserve Banks, particularly the New York Reserve Bank. In 1917, in an effort to define its authority, the Board discontinued the regular meetings of the Federal Reserve Agents and those of the Governors of the Reserve Banks. It also took the stand that "in all vital matters of general policy calling for prompt and decisive action concentration of responsibility without division of authority is indispensable." 14 But the Board was still hampered in its attempt to assume leadership by its location in Washington with no immediate access to financial markets, with only a limited research staff, and within too easy reach of the Treasury's influence. AFTERMATH OF WORLD WAR 1:1918-23 As a result of the war, the United States became a creditor nation. At first, domestic production surged with the increases in exports and U.S. government expenditures, both of which remained high for some time after the Armistice was signed on November 11, 1918. With the increase in reserves resulting from the inflow of gold and from the use of Treasury bonds as collateral for advances to member banks, credit expanded. The expansion of credit and a surge in demand for consumer goods, which had been pent up during the war years, contributed to 14. Fourth Annual Report, 1917 (1918), p. 29. 239 postwar inflation. During 1919, speculation and consumption increased while production began to drop off and, with the lifting of the gold embargo, gold began to flow out. In its Annual Report for 1920, the Board described the postwar economy in strong language: the year was "characterized by an unprecedented orgy of extravagance, a mania for speculation, overextended business in nearly all lines and in every section of the country, and general demoralization of the agencies of production and distribution." 15 The Discount Rate and Controversy As early as December 1918, members of the Board were stressing the connection between low discount rates and excessive expansion of credit and inflation. However, the Board, led by Governor Harding, believed that its duty was to cooperate with the Treasury, which wanted to float a Victory Loan in 1919. In April 1919, the Board discussed at length suggestions by several Reserve Banks to raise the discount rate but decided to keep the rate low to discourage competition with the buying of Victory bonds and to assist the Treasury in keeping the government's interest payments low. It did, however, express concern over the unhealthful tendencies in the process and discussed acting after the close of the Victory Loan campaign. During that campaign, the Board attempted to use moral suasion by issuing warnings to member banks to restrict credit except for essential purposes. By 1920, the wholesale price index was more than twice its 1914 level, and the Board and the Reserve Banks saw clearly that, despite the Treasury's opposition, something had to be done to contain inflation and speculation. In January, with approval from the Board, the discount rate was raised from 43A percent to 6 percent. Member bank borrowing from the Reserve Banks still continued to mount: it went from $1.8 billion in June 1919 to $2.5 billion in May 1920. In May, the Board approved another increase—to 7 percent—initiated by the New York Reserve Bank and three other Reserve Banks, which went into effect in June. 15. Seventh Annual Report, 1920 (1921), p. 1. 240 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 These increases in the discount rate contributed to a brief but severe recession in business activity and to a collapse in prices in 1920-21. There was a precipitous liquidation of discount credits at the Reserve Banks, accompanied by a large-scale contraction of money in circulation. The agricultural sector was particularly affected: farmers who had incurred large mortgage and capital obligations on the basis of high wartime prices found the carrying costs beyond their means when prices dropped. Farm mortgages at many small banks became uncollectable, and in 1921 more than 500 banks failed. Although the price collapse was international in scope, the System received much of the blame for the situation. Many of the buyers of the Liberty bonds at low interest rates discovered that bond prices fall when market rates rise and were resentful that the System had imposed capital losses on them so soon after they had bought the bonds. Charges were made in the Congress against the System, the Board, and even Governor Harding personally. Some members of the Congress claimed that the System was acting for its own benefit and not for the economy and that the System had discriminated against certain sectors, especially agriculture. Some asserted that the situation showed the misuse of funds by the Board and that some Board members acted for their own gain. Even Comptroller of the Currency John Skelton Williams, who sat on the Board, charged that the Board and the Reserve Banks had conspired to drive up rates to create deflation for the profit of bankers. In an effort to resolve the controversy, the Board requested a congressional investigation. The Joint Congressional Commission of Agricultural Inquiry started hearings in August 1921 and submitted a report to the Congress in January 1922. The commission concluded that the Federal Reserve System had erred in not acting sooner to raise interest rates. It also established that the charges of discrimination against agriculture or of personal gain had no basis. Most important for the evolution of the Board and the System, the commission noted that the System was in a difficult position vis-a-vis the Treasury, and it emphasized that the Federal Reserve should answer, not to the Treasury, but to the Congress. Thus, the commission, as had the Attorney General earlier, underscored the principle of the Board's independence from the Treasury. Changes in the Board After the war, the membership of the Board, which had remained intact for nearly four years, underwent repeated changes. One seat changed four times in five years: Delano had resigned in 1918 to serve in the U.S. Army overseas, and in 1919 Henry A. Moehlenpah filled his place, to be followed in 1920 by David C. Wills, in 1921 by John R. Mitchell, and in 1923 by George R. James. From 1918 to 1921, the Vice Governorship had three occupants—Paul Warburg, Albert Strauss, and Edmund Piatt— and the office of Secretary of the Treasury and Chairman of the Board had four—William McAdoo, Carter Glass, David Houston, and Andrew W. Mellon. In 1922, as a result of the congressional investigation, an amendment to Section 10 of the act provided for an additional member of the Board to represent agricultural interests. In 1923, Milo D. Campbell of Michigan was appointed to that new position. But he died suddenly after having served on the Board only eight days, and Edward H. Cunningham of Iowa replaced him. Governor Harding's term expired in 1922, and Daniel R. Crissinger, who had been Comptroller of the Currency, was appointed to fill the vacancy in 1923. In that year, too, Henry M. Dawes assumed the office of Comptroller and membership on the Board. By the end of the first decade, only two of the original members—Charles S. Hamlin and Adolph C. Miller, both of whom had been reappointed—were still serving (they served until 1936). By the end of the war, the Treasury could no longer house the staff of the Board, which now numbered 345. While the Board members, the Secretary, the General Counsel, and the Gold Settlement Division still had offices in the Treasury building, the Division of Reports and Statistics and the Division of Operations and Examinations were in two other Washington locations and the Division of Analysis and Research was in New York. Coordination was at best difficult. The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 Thus, the Board began planning for its own quarters, which would not be completed until 1937. The Board and the Reserve Banks During the postwar period, power in policymaking began to shift from New York to Washington, a process that continued for some years. In May 1922, the Division of Analysis and Research moved from New York to Washington, and in September of that year Walter W. Stewart replaced H. Parker Willis as director of that division. In 1923, the division was combined with the Office of Statistician and renamed the Division of Research and Statistics under the directorship of Stewart. After the wartime hiatus in their meetings, the Governors of the Reserve Banks, led by Benjamin Strong, again sought the right to consult as a body. In May 1922, the Governors Conference met in Washington with the Board's approval (that group meets today as the Conference of Presidents). At that meeting, the Reserve Bank Governors set up the Committee of Governors on Centralized Execution of Purchases and Sales of Government Securities by Federal Reserve Banks. As originally conceived, this Governors Committee was to coordinate the Reserve Banks' purchases and sales of government securities; however, it soon began to influence policy and, as with the Conference of Governors before the war, it came into conflict with the Board. In March 1923, while Strong was in Colorado recuperating from an episode of tuberculosis, the Board asserted its jurisdiction over Reserve Bank open market operations, disbanded the Governors Committee as it was then composed, and reappointed the same officials to a new committee that would operate under the aegis of the Board. Despite disagreements about the right of the Board to act in such a manner, the Open Market Investment Committee, as it was called, had its first meeting on April 13, 1923. The Board's action brought open market operations under its direction for the first time and reduced the autonomy of the individual Reserve Banks in carrying them out. It also signaled a major change in policy. Changes 241 in Policy The breakdown of the gold standard in several countries during the war and the issuance of government securities to finance the war effort of the United States heralded the beginning of the end of the gold standard and the real bills doctrine as a guide to policy. There was a growing recognition among System officials that the securities transactions had affected bank reserves and thus economic conditions. Also, the large amount of speculation during 1919-20 had showed that regulations, even with the most precise definition of eligibility, could not control the ultimate use of Federal Reserve credit. These changes in the Board's thinking on policy are indicated in the Tenth Annual Report. First of all, the Board and the System shifted from the sole reliance on changes in discount rates to the inclusion of open market operations in carrying out general credit policy. Thus, the Board stated the principle that Reserve Bank purchases and sales of government securities should be made with reference to prevailing credit conditions and for the accommodation of commerce and business, not just to provide earnings to the individual Reserve Banks or to facilitate Treasury financing operations. This statement put open market operations under the same guiding principle as that prescribed by the act for the discount rate. Second, the Board indicated that the need for coordination and uniformity in pursuing open market operations was the basis for its actions in setting up the Open Market Investment Committee. It also affirmed the need for uniformity in setting discount rates. Third, in recognition that it could not prevent speculation by defining the kinds of paper that were eligible for discounting, the Board asserted the principle that the quantity of paper discounted was as important as the quality in guarding against the overexpansion of credit. In these statements, the Board demonstrated its growing ability to analyze and adapt to new uses the tools it had and its growing recognition of itself, not merely as a regulator, but as a policymaking body. The questions of the centralization of power within the System, of independence from the Treasury, and of the mission of the Board were not settled, but the process was under way. 242 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 BIBLIOGRAPHY Anderson, Clay J. A Half-Century of Federal Reserve Policymaking, 1914-1964. Philadelphia: The Bank, 1965. Beckhart, Benjamin H. The Federal Reserve System. New York: Columbia University Press, 1972. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Annual Report, for the years 1914-23. Washington: Board of Governors, 1915-24. . Banking and Monetary Statistics. Washington: Board of Governors, 1943. Chandler, Lester V. Benjamin Strong: Central Banker. Washington: The Brookings Institution, 1958. Clifford, A. Jerome. The Independence of the Federal Reserve System. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1965. Dunne, Gerald T. A Christmas Present for the President. St. Louis: The Bank, 1964. . "The Federal Reserve: The First Foundations," Business Horizons (Winter 1966), pp. 49-60. Eccles, George S. The Politics of Banking. Salt Lake City: University of Utah, 1982. Elliott, David C. "The Federal Reserve System, 1914-29," in Herbert V. Prochnow, ed., The Federal Reserve System. New York: Harper & Brothers Publishers, 1960, pp. 295-316. Friedman, Milton, and Anna J. Schwartz. A Monetary History of the United States, 1867— 1960. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1963. Glass, Carter. An Adventure in Constructive Finance. Garden City, N.Y.: Doubleday, Page and Company, 1927. Goldenweiser, E.A. American Monetary Policy. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1951. Harding, W.P.G. The Formative Period of the Federal Reserve System. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1925. Harris, S.E. Twenty Years of Federal Reserve Policy, vol. 1. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1933. Hepburn, A. Barton. A History of Currency in the United States. New York: Macmillan, 1915. Johnson, Roger T. Historical Beginnings . . . The Federal Reserve. Boston: The Bank, 1977 (reprinted, 1982). Kettl, Donald F. Leadership at the Fed. New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1986. Laughlin, J. Lawrence. The Federal Reserve Act, Its Origins and Problems. New York: Macmillan Company, 1933. Link, Arthur S., ed. The Papers of Woodrow Wilson. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1979. McAdoo, William G. Crowded Years. Boston: Houghton Mifflin Company, 1931. Miller, A.C. "Federal Reserve Policy," American Economic Review, vol. 11 (June 1921), pp. 195-206. Noyes, Alexander D. " A Year after the Panic of 1907," Quarterly Journal of Economics (February 1909), pp. 185-212. Parthemos, James. "The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 in the Stream of U.S. Monetary History," Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Review, vol. 74 (July/August 1988), pp. 19-28. Reed, Harold L. The Development of Federal Reserve Policy. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1922. . Federal Reserve Policy 1921-1930. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1930. Rowe, J.Z. The Public-Private Character of United States Central Banking. New Brunswick, N.J.: Rutgers University Press, 1965. Sprague, O.M.W. "The Crisis of 1914 in the United States," American Economic Review, vol. 5 (September 1915), pp. 499-533. Stein, Herbert. Government Price Policy in the United States during the World War. Williamstown, Mass.: Williams College, 1939. Timberlake, Richard H. The Origins of Central Banking in the United States. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1978. U.S. Congress. Federal Reserve Act. Public Law No. 43. 63 Cong. 2 Sess. 38 Stat. 251. Washington: Government Printing Office, 1913. Warburg, Paul M. The Federal Reserve System: Its Origin and Growth. 2 vols. New York: Macmillan Company, 1930. West, Robert Craig. Banking Reform and the The Establishment and Evolution of the Federal Reserve Board: 1913-23 Federal Reserve, 1863-1923. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1977. White, Eugene N. The Regulation and Reform of the American Banking System, 1900-1929. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1983. 243 Willis, Henry Parker. The Federal Reserve System: Legislation, Organization and Operation. New York: Ronald Press Company, 1923. . The Theory and Practice of Central Banking. New York: Harper & Brothers Publishers, 1936. 244 Understanding the Behavior of M2 and V2 This article was prepared by David H. Small and Richard D. Porter of the Board's Division of Monetary Affairs. Michael V. Vaccaro provided research assistance. As part of its responsibility of reporting to the U.S. Congress, the Federal Reserve System establishes ranges for the growth of various monetary aggregates over the coming year. These ranges are set so as to foster the ultimate objectives of the Federal Reserve, mainly stable economic growth and stable prices. The relations between these aggregates and income and prices, therefore, bear both upon the appropriate width of the target range set for each aggregate and upon the proper response of policy should one of them deviate from its range. This article focuses on the properties of the M2 aggregate and of its velocity, V2, the ratio of gross national product to M2. The time frame is the intermediate run—the one- to two-year intervals that are associated with monetary targeting and over which V2 has fluctuated by substantial amounts. The article shows that much of the intermediate-run variability in this velocity measure can be explained by changes in the opportunity cost of holding M2 balances, defined as a market interest rate less the average rate paid on M2 deposits. Those changes, in turn, depend upon the rate-setting behavior of depository institutions: the more quickly and the more fully deposit rates adjust to changes in market rates, the more stable will be the opportunity cost of M2 and, therefore, the more stable will be V2 itself. Empirically, the average rate on M2 deposits tends to respond sluggishly to changes in market rates, so that opportunity costs vary significantly over the intermediate run but vary far less in the long run as deposit rates adjust. Given the history of market rates, these two relations—between V2 and M2's opportunity cost and between the opportunity cost and market rates—account for much of the past variabil- ity of V2. Nonetheless, predictions about the relationship of movements in M2 and in gross national product still embody much uncertainty. While the forecasts from models of M2 demand and deposit rates developed by the staff of the Federal Reserve Board are reasonably accurate, the interval since the deregulation of deposits in M2 has not been long enough for confidence to have been built in specific estimates of these relationships. Moreover, even if the links among market rates, deposit rates, GNP, and M2 demand were stable and fully understood, uncertainty about shocks elsewhere in the economy, and about the interest rate changes needed to offset them, would still neccesitate judgment in setting the appropriate path for M2. To shed light on these issues, this article first reviews the recent behavior of V2 and its determinants. It then examines the Board's formal model of M2 demand, which explicitly traces the relations between M2 on the one hand and income, prices, interest rates, and its other determinants on the other; and it reports simulations of that model to quantify the importance of the relationships governing the determination of M2 demand and deposit rates and of the uncertainty surrounding them. An appendix provides a brief exposition of the model. HISTORICAL BEHAVIOR OF V2, OPPORTUNITY COSTS, AND DEPOSIT RATES The velocity of M2, V2, has fluctuated about a generally flat trend over the last three decades (chart l). 1 However, some evidence suggests 1. This observation refers to "contemporaneous velocity"—that is, the current level of GNP divided by the current level of M2. An alternative measure of the link between M2 and the gross national product is "leading velocity," in which current GNP is divided by a past level of M2. Using previous values of M2 allows for lags between changes in M2 and their effect on GNP and thereby potentially provides a more stable 245 1. V2 and leading velocity Velocity Leading velocity i V2 mean (1959:1-1988:4) 1960 1970 1980 1988 that the introduction of money market deposit accounts at the end of 1982 had a once-and-for-all depressing effect on the average level of V2. With their transaction features and attractive offering rates, MMDAs apparently drew in funds that previously had been held outside M2 and thereby lowered V2. 2. Velocity and the opportunity cost of M2 of MMDAs.3 Indeed, the simple correlation between V2 and M2's opportunity cost is 0.78 over the period from 1959:2 to 1988:4. The opportunity cost of M2, in turn, moves less than market interest rates because the average rate on M2 deposits—the M2 own rate—is adjusted in the wake of changes in the Treasury bill rate; obviously, greater adjustment tends to stabilize opportunity costs more. 4 From 1959:2 to 1988:4, the standard deviation of the Treasury bill rate was 3.23 percentage points while that of the opportunity cost of M2 was only 1.53 percentage points. In the 1960s and 1970s, most of 3. Opportunity cost of M2 and its components Percent Opportunity cost Components 1960 B I I I B I I I B I I I B I I I B I M B 1960 1970 1980 1988 Changes in M2's opportunity cost appear to be the main factor causing V2 to deviate from its trend (see chart 2).2 The relation between V2 and the opportunity cost of M2 seems reasonably stable, even after the extraordinary initial growth measure of velocity. The use of leading rather than contemporaneous velocity appears to smooth some of the variations in V2, but it does not affect the major swings in velocity, including those of recent years (see chart 1). The mean level of contemporaneous velocity is lower than that of leading velocity because, for any given period, the latter uses a smaller number—that is, an earlier value of M2—in the denominator. Here, M2 is lagged two quarters. Hereafter, the concept of velocity used throughout this article is the contemporaneous measure. 2. The opportunity cost of M2 is the three-month Treasury bill rate less the average rate paid on M2 deposits. These rates and all other rates used in this article are effective annual yields. 1970 1980 1988 the adjustments made to the M2 deposit rate involved changes in rates that were under Regulation Q; these adjustments were generally made in lagged response to the upward trend in open market rates. However, since the deregulation of deposit rates began in mid-1978, the rate on M2 has generally responded more sensitively to changes in market rates. As a result, the M2 3. In view of the relatively attractive rates paid on MMDAs, the introduction of these accounts may have decreased the long-run equilibrium opportunity cost of M2 balances, increasing the demand for this aggregate and lowering its velocity. After their introduction in December 1982, MMDAs (not seasonally adjusted) promptly grew to 13 percent of M2 (seasonally adjusted) on average during 1983:1. 4. The M2 own rate is defined as the deposit-weighted average of the observed rates paid on M2 deposits; each type of deposit is weighted by the value of its ratio to M2, lagged one quarter. Currency and demand deposits are assumed to earn no explicit interest. 246 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 4. The federal funds rate and M2 deposit rates Slowly adjusting rates the last shows the M2 own rate. Much of the recent responsiveness of the M2 own rate to changes in market rates, and therefore much of the increase in the stability of the M2 opportunity cost, stems from the closeness with which the rates on small time deposits and on money market mutual funds have followed short-term open market rates. When short-term market rates have risen, that closeness has promoted the stability of V2 in two ways: first, by permitting those instruments to retain deposits; and, second, by making them attractive to funds in other components of M2 that might otherwise have left the aggregate altogether. MODELING M2 DEMAND DEPOSIT RATES opportunity cost has been considerably more stable since 1983 than it was during the late 1960s and most of the 1970s, even though the variability of market rates was roughly the same in the two periods (see chart 3). The standard deviation of the M2 opportunity cost over the four years ending in 1988:4 was 48 basis points, the lowest value for any four-year interval in two decades. Chart 4 shows the recent historical relations between the individual M2 deposit rates and the federal funds rate, which serves as a proxy for short-term open market rates. The first panel relates the funds rate to the more slowly adjusting M2 deposit rates—the rates on other checkable deposits, savings deposits, and MMDAs; the second panel shows the relation with the more quickly adjusting rates on small time deposits and on money market mutual funds; and AND To explore the implications of these relationships for setting the target range for M2 and for dealing with deviations from that range, the Federal Reserve staff has developed an econometric model of the relationship of M2 to GNP and to market interest rates. The model has two components: the demand for M2 by the public and the rate-setting behavior of depository institutions.5 The relation between V2 and the opportunity cost of holding M2 balances, which is exhibited in chart 2, forms the basis of the staff econometric model of the demand for M2. In the model, the ratio of M2 demand to GNP (that is, the reciprocal of V2) is affected primarily by the opportunity cost of M2. 6 The model also specifies the short-run dynamics by which M2 demand, and hence V2, adjusts toward its long-run level; these adjustments include, among other things, current and lagged responses to changes in nominal GNP, personal consumption expendi- 5. For a full discussion of this and other models, see George R. Moore, Richard D. Porter, and David H. Small, "Modeling the Disaggregated Demands for M2 and Ml in the 1980s: The U.S. Experience," in Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Financial Sectors in Open Economies: Empirical Analysis and Policy Issues (the Board, forthcoming, 1989). 6. The long-run demand for M2 also includes a time trend and a dummy variable to account for the introduction of MMDAs. These variables are only marginally significant and drop out altogether when the sample period starts in 1960:1 rather than in 1964:1, for example. Understanding the Behavior of M2 and V2 5. Response of M2 to increases of 1 percent in the scale variables and in the opportunity cost of M2 Elasticity Elasticity 247 counts adjust more slowly, as chart 4 makes evident. In addition, as tests conducted with the staff model indicate, apart from rates on small time deposits, offering rates adjust downward faster than they adjust upward. 6. Response of M2 own rate and opportunity cost to increases and decreases in the federal funds rate Basis points tures, and the M2 opportunity cost, and to previous changes in M2 itself. The estimated behavioral responses of M2 demand to increases in the scale variables, nominal GNP and personal consumption expenditures, and in the M2 opportunity cost unfold fairly smoothly and nearly monotonically over time, although they exhibit some overshooting of their long-run values (see chart 5).7 As estimated, the demand for M2 takes slightly less than a year to respond fully to shocks to GNP, but needs about a year and a half to respond fully to shocks to opportunity costs. The long-run elasticity with respect to changes in opportunity costs is estimated to be -0.057; that is, a 1 percent increase in opportunity costs induces a 0.057 percent decrease in the level of M2. The response of M2 demand to a change in market rates is more complex because the lagged adjustments of offering rates result in changes in opportunity costs long after the initial movement in market rates. The staff model links deposit rates to the federal funds rate. After allowing for costs of servicing accounts, deposit rates are assumed to adjust one for one with the funds rate in the long run. 8 The speed of this adjustment varies significantly across the different types of M2 deposits; the rates on the more liquid ac- Chart 6 shows the estimated responses of the M2 own rate and the M2 opportunity cost to changes of plus and minus 100 basis points in the federal funds rate. During the first quarter following the rise in the funds rate, the Treasury bill rate is estimated to increase about 90 basis 7. In computing the scale variable elasticity, the two scale variables entering the M2 demand model are changed in tandem by the same percentage amounts. 8. In "Modeling the Disaggregated Demands," Moore and his colleagues provide some evidence that this assumption is warranted. An exception to the one-for-one adjustment is the rate on other checkable deposits, which is subject to a "reserve tax" on the margin. The reserve tax is assumed to be 12 percent, equaling the marginal reserve ratio for OCD balances in excess of the low-reserve tranche. For the other non-MlA deposit rates, the reserve tax should reflect the 3 percent marginal reserve ratio applicable to nonpersonal time and savings accounts at institutions with too little vault cash to avoid being bound by reserve requirements. But since this requirement is not applied to all nontransaction accounts, the average tax is generally considerably less than 3 percent. For simplicity, the model assumes it is zero. Change in funds rate Increase — Response of M2 opportunity cost — Decrease mm 0 i i m 4 i i • • i i • • i 8 12 Quarters after shock i MI 16 i 1 K! 20 248 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 points. But, because rates on small time deposits and on money market mutual funds respond relatively quickly, the average M2 offering rate moves up about 40 basis points (top panel), leaving a net increase in the opportunity cost of about 50 basis points (lower panel). After two quarters, the Treasury bill rate has completed its adjustment and the opportunity cost starts to decline as M2 deposit rates continue to adjust upward, albeit sluggishly. Combining the model of M2 demand with that of deposit rate setting produces a model of the monetary sector in which M2 demand is tied to GNP and the federal funds rate. The response of M2 demand to a change in the funds rate follows a humped profile, as shown by the black lines in chart 7. The opportunity cost initially falls after a decrease in the funds rate (as in chart 6), working to increase M2 demand. However, as the deposit rates continue to decline, the opportunity cost begins to rise and the demand for M2 weakens, though remaining above its original value. As 7. Response of M2 with respect to an increase of 1 percent in the federal funds rate Absolute value of elasticity Stochastic simulations of money demand and deposit rates Quarters after shock chart 7 shows, the short-run elasticity peaks seven quarters after the shock in the funds rate at -0.14, about twice the absolute value of the long-run elasticity of -0.073. 9 STABILITY OF THE DEMAND FOR M2 AND ASSOCIATED TARGETING ISSUES The usefulness of M2 as a guide to monetary policy depends not only on the strength of M2's relationships to income and interest rates, but also on the stability and predictability of those relationships. An impression of the stability of the equation for M2 demand can be gleaned from the forecasts of the annual growth rates of M2 shown in table 1. These forecasts are mainly within the model's estimation period—1964:1 to 1986:2; they represent dynamic simulations of the model, in which past values of GNP and the M2 opportunity cost are exogenous. 10 As indicated by the correlation of 0.907 between the actual and forecasted growth rates, the model captures the swings in M2 growth reasonably well. The table also shows that changes in the M2 opportunity cost make the more significant contributions to short-run swings in M2 growth (column 4), while changes in GNP and personal consumption expenditures account for more of the slowly evolving changes in trend M2 growth (column 5). The implied forecasts of V2 using the forecasted levels of M2 and historical values of GNP that are shown in chart 8 indicate the model's ability to track the relation between V2 and opportunity costs. However, the divergence of the actual and simulated values starting in 1987 is as pronounced as any in the estimation period and largely reflects the overprediction by 1.8 points of M2 growth in 1987 (see table 1). This 9. Strictly speaking, this elasticity depends both upon the level of interest rates at which it is evaluated and upon the associated magnitude of the change in interest rates. However, in experiments testing federal funds rates of 4 percent to 16 percent, the elasticity varied by only 0.002. 10. Whether to use dynamic or static simulations is an issue in models such as the staffs model of M2 demand, in which there are lagged dependent variables. Static simulations use historical values for the lagged dependent variables, while dynamic simulations use model forecasts of the variables. Understanding the Behavior of M2 and V2 249 1. Forecasts of annual growth in M2, 1964-88 Percent change, fourth quarter to fourth quarter, except as noted Contribution to forecasted M2 growth (per centage points) Actual (1) Forecast (2) Forecast error (1-2) (percentage points) (3) 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 7.9 8.0 4.8 9.1 7.8 4.4 8.6 6.8 7.1 6.8 8.1 5.2 -.6 1.3 -2.3 2.3 -.3 -.8 .0 -.9 -2.3 1.0 -1.9 -2.6 5.8 8.4 9.5 5.9 10.0 7.8 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 6.1 13.5 12.8 7.2 5.9 5.4 13.0 13.7 4.8 7.4 .7 .5 -.9 2.4 -1.5 .0 5.6 3.6 -6.7 -2.6 5.6 7.9 10.6 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 12.1 13.3 11.2 8.0 8.2 11.2 14.7 12.1 7.9 8.9 .9 -1.4 -.9 .1 -.7 2.8 3.8 1.2 -4.7 -3.7 8.7 11.5 11.2 12.2 12.4 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 8.9 9.3 9.1 12.1 7.7 8.2 8.8 8.7 12.2 7.7 .7 .4 .4 -.1 .0 -.7 -1.3 3.4 2.4 -.6 8.9 10.1 5.9 6.4 9.4 1985 1986 1987 1988 8.9 9.3 4.2 5.3 10.0 8.1 6.0 5.5 -1.1 1.2 -1.8 -.3 2.3 3.0 .3 -1.7 8.2 5.5 5.9 7.3 Year Summary statistic Root mean squared error Mean absolute error Mean error (bias) Correlation of actual and forecasted annual growth.. Scale variables (5) 11.0 9.9 1.2 1.0 .0 .907 forecast error is relatively large, and it is somewhat disturbing, coming as it does in the first full out-of-sample year. However, the forecast of M2 growth in 1988 was quite accurate; therefore, the simulated and actual velocities plotted in chart 8 parallel one another in 1988. 8. Actual and simulated velocity of M2 Opportunity costs (4) Velocity These results lend some credence to future forecasts of the M2 demand model, at least to forecasts over such annual intervals and conditional on actual values of income and opportunity costs; but they fail to incorporate any uncertainty associated with forecasting opportunity costs. This issue is addressed in forecasts of M2 growth based on endogenous deposit rates (table 2, column 2).11 These forecasts start in 1984:1, about the earliest these deposit-rate equations are applicable. 12 For comparison, the forecasts 11. The deposit-rate models use the historical values of the rates on federal funds and on Treasury bills. 12. Rates on all deposit categories except passbook savings accounts were deregulated by this period. Rates on passbook accounts were deregulated in 1986:2, but they move so sluggishly in response to changes in market rates that using simulated rather than historical values would not substantially affect the forecasts. 250 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 2. A l t e r n a t i v e f o r e c a s t s o f q u a r t e r l y g r o w t h in M 2 , 1 9 8 4 : 1 - 1 9 8 8 : 4 , b a s e d o n f o r e c a s t e d and actual deposit rates Forecasted deposit rates Year and quarter Actual deposit rates Actual growth (1) Forecasted growth (2) 1984:1 2 3 4 7.5 7.3 6.3 8.9 6.9 7.3 7.1 8.2 .6 -.1 -.8 .7 6.9 7.3 7.1 8.3 .6 -.1 -.8 .7 1985:1 2 3 4 12.0 6.1 9.7 6.7 9.2 9.7 10.5 9.2 2.9 -3.6 -.8 -2.5 9.3 9.8 10.2 8.6 2.8 -3.7 -.5 -1.9 1986:1 2 3 4 5.5 9.9 11.0 9.6 8.0 7.8 9.3 8.5 -2.5 2.1 1.7 1.0 7.4 7.1 9.0 8.2 -1.9 2.8 2.1 1.4 1987:1 2 3 4 6.1 2.1 3.4 4.9 6.4 5.7 5.4 4.7 -.3 -3.5 -2.0 -.2 6.3 5.8 5.8 5.6 -.2 -3.7 -2.4 -.7 1988:1 2 3 4 6.2 6.9 3.8 3.8 5.4 5.7 5.5 4.5 .7 1.2 -1.7 -.7 6.5 6.2 5.1 3.8 -.4 .7 -1.4 .0 Summary statistic Root mean squared error Mean absolute error Mean error (bias) 1.8 1.5 -.4 in column 4 also start in 1984:1, but they take past opportunity costs as given. Although the summary statistics in columns 3 and 5 suggest that the use of forecasted rather than historical deposit rates has no appreciable effect on the forecasts of M2 growth, behind these statistics there is a noticeable difference between the two sets of forecasts for the period from 1987:4 to 1988:2. Over this period, the simulated deposit rates result in M2 growth rates that are around 1 percentage point lower than those based on historical rates. In 1987 and early 1988, the actual M2 own rate rose 9. A c t u a l a n d s i m u l a t e d o w n rates f o r M 2 Error (3) Percent Forecasted growth (4) Error (5) 1.8 1.4 -.3 more than the simulated rate (chart 9), producing higher M2 growth for the forecast using historical deposit rates. Table 2 also shows that the relatively accurate annual forecasts reported in table 1 mask relatively large quarterly errors that tend to offset one another over the course of a year. These annual and quarterly forecast results reflect all errors in the various aspects of the model: possibly omitted variables and other misspecifications of the model, as well as uncertainties about the estimated values of the coefficients and about the behavior of the additive residuals in the model. These last uncertainties are especially important in evaluating the M2 growth rates that are likely to be associated with alternative paths for GNP or interest rates. Table 3 and chart 7 cast light on this issue. Table 3 displays confidence intervals for the elasticity of M2 with respect to the federal funds rate. 13 It provides estimated standard deviations 13. In principle, these confidence intervals can be computed directly from the model's underlying estimated coeffi- Understanding the Behavior of M2 and V2 251 3. Responses of M2 to changes in the federal funds rate Quarters after change Uncertainty in money-demand model only Uncertainty in money-demand and rate models Estimate Standard deviation Estimate Standard deviation Elasticity of M2 with respect to the federal funds rate1 0 1 2 3 4 -.020 -.054 -.087 -.113 -.129 .005 .009 .013 .017 .019 -.020 -.054 -.087 -.113 -.129 .004 .006 .008 .011 .013 5 6 7 8 -.138 -.140 -.138 -.134 .021 .022 .023 .023 -.138 -.140 -.138 -.134 .015 .015 .015 .016 9 10 11 12 -.130 -.126 -.122 -.118 .024 .025 .026 .026 -.130 -.126 -.122 -.118 .016 .016 .016 .016 24 36 48 60 (long run) -.098 -.086 -.078 -.073 .022 .019 .016 .015 -.098 -.086 -.078 -.073 .012 .011 .010 .009 Change in annualized quarterly growth rates of M2 after increase of 100 basis points in the federal funds rate (percentage points) 0 1 4 8 12 24 36 48 60 (long run) -.86 -1.37 -.30 .20 .14 .19 .18 .15 .11 .05 .05 .03 .02 .01 .02 .01 .01 .01 1. Evaluated for a 1 percent increase in the federal funds rate. for the elasticity of M2 with respect to the funds rate, after allowing for uncertainties in coefficients and error terms in the equations for both M2 demand and the deposit rates; and chart 7 shows the confidence intervals around the estimated elasticity of M2 in terms of a band of one standard deviation about the estimated values. The elasticity follows the humped pattern discussed earlier, reaching its largest values after six quarters. The standard deviation around the elasticity peaks somewhat later, about twelve quarters after the shock, but then it too begins a cients, after some distributional assumptions concerning the estimated coefficients have been made. In practice, direct computation is fairly difficult when the model is viewed as a dynamic system and because of the way we have estimated it. Thus, we have used a stochastic simulation technique to construct the confidence intervals, where random parameter values are drawn from multivariate normal distributions using the estimated variance-covariance matrixes of the parameters. steady decline. Table 3 also lists the implied estimated changes in quarterly M2 growth rates, and their standard deviations, following an increase of 100 basis points in the federal funds rate. In light of the degree of uncertainty that table 3 and chart 7 reveal, the separate contributions of the equations for M2 demand and the deposit rates are especially interesting. When we allow for uncertainty only in the equation for M2 demand, the standard deviation of M2's elasticity with respect to the funds rate falls approximately 40 percent from its level when uncertainty is allowed for in the equations for both M2 demand and the deposit rates. The remaining coefficient uncertainty involves the elasticity of M2 demand with respect to GNP. Here, our measures of uncertainty are necessarily biased downward because, in formulating the model, a long-run elasticity of unity was imposed 252 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 and thus no uncertainty arises in this regard. Nonetheless, the speed with which the model converges to this long-run elasticity is a function of freely estimated parameters, and the associated uncertainty can be computed. One standard deviation of the estimated elasticity is about one-sixth of the estimated value during the first few quarters following a change in GNP (see table 4). Over longer horizons, the standard deviation falls, reflecting the long-run constraint of a unitary elasticity and the implied convergence of the standard error to zero. 4. Elasticity of M2 with respect to scale variables1 Estimate Standard deviation 0 1 2 3 4 .272 .607 .933 1.097 1.155 .067 .089 .059 .035 .042 5 6 7 8 1.153 1.124 1.087 1.054 .054 .055 .047 .035 9 10 11 12 1.029 1.012 1.002 .997 .024 .017 .016 .015 24 36 48 60 (long run) 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 .001 .000 .000 .000 Quarters after change 1. The scale variables are nominal GNP and personal consumption expenditures. CONCLUSION This article examines the empirical linkages among M2, nominal GNP, and the opportunity cost of M2 balances. M2 is apparently rather closely tied to nominal GNP in the long run, as indicated by the long-run stability of V2; but changes in market rates can have significant short-run effects on M2 and V2 through their effects on the opportunity cost of holding M2 balances. The equation for M2 that was used to characterize the behavior of that aggregate is rather standard in terms of variables used to explain M2—mainly, income and opportunity costs. But the resulting behavior that is imparted to M2 by the sluggish adjustment of deposit rates to changes in market rates is not always recognized. This sluggish adjustment process for deposit rates produces swings in the opportunity cost for M2 deposits that initially widen when market rates increase but that gradually narrow as deposit rates adjust upward. M2 has, therefore, a greater response to changes in market rates in the short run than in the long run. However, the experience with deregulated rates for most M2 deposits is limited to the 1980s, and therefore the uncertainty concerning their behavior and effects on M2 is probably greater than is conveyed in the model presented here. APPENDIX: MODEL OF M2 DEMAND The staff model of M2 demand is an errorcorrection specification, composed of two parts. The first is a long-run equilibrium money demand function: (A.l) mt = a + yt + 0s, + yTt + et, where m, = log(M2), yt = log(nominal GNP), s, = log(Opp t ), Opp is the opportunity cost of M2, and T is an index for time. 14 The unitary coefficient on yt assures that this is a velocity relationship, with the long-run elasticity with respect to nominal GNP equal to unity. The second part of the model is a dynamic error-correction equation of the form (A.2) Am, = a + + 2 CjAm,., + 2 «=i + ( =20\ f A y t - i + €„ «=o where e, is a white-noise error term. Here et_x is derived from A.l; it is the lagged difference between the actual and long-run demand for M2, where the lags avoid problems of simultaneity. The coefficient b on in A.2 is negative and ensures that the short-run demand for M2 will converge to its long-run demand as expressed in equation A. 1. The first-difference terms influence the short-run adjustment of M2 toward its longrun equilibrium. To guarantee that these terms are logically consistent with the convergence to and the stability of the long-run equilibrium, an 14. The logarithm of the opportunity cost cannot be used for all historical periods because at times the opportunity cost turns negative. In specifying the models, we have used logarithms for levels of opportunity cost greater than 50 basis points. Below this level, the logarithm is replaced by its first-order Taylor series expansion. Understanding the Behavior of M2 and V2 additional "convergence" restriction is imposed. This restriction is noted below. Using A.l to substitute for et_x in A.2 yields the following form of the model: (A.3) Am, ~ a - ba - byTt_l - b$st_x u + b{mt_x - y,_,) + 2 c(A/n(_(. /=I V +( =20 dAst-i The short-run "convergence" restriction that is imposed on the coefficients is that the coefficients on the changes in consumption and on Alog (M2,_j) sum to one. In this equation, the terms are defined as follows: C. Control w +.\fAy t-i J=0 + €,. The staff model takes this form, but in Ay we use personal consumption expenditures rather than GNP. 15 The estimated model for the sample period from 1964:1 to 1986:2 is shown below; the absolute values of the t statistics are shown in parentheses beneath the estimated coefficients. Alog(M2), = -.074 - .00008 Time (6.05) (2.49) + .0045 MMDA (2.15) - .011 Taylog(Oppt_x) (6.78) 253 Consump DUM83Q1 DUM83Q2 GNP MMDA Opp Taylog -.185 [log(M2,_,) - log(GAr/V,)] (6.17) + .273 A log (Consump t ) (3.92) Dummy variable for credit controls: 1 in 1980:2 and 0 otherwise. Personal consumption expenditures. Short-run dummy variable for the introduction of MMDAs; 1 in 1983:1 and 0 otherwise. Short-run dummy variable for the introduction of MMDAs; 1 in 1983:2 and 0 otherwise. Nominal GNP (two-quarter moving average). Dummy variable for the introduction of MMDAs; 0 through 1982:4 and 1 thereafter. Opportunity cost of M2. The natural logarithm for values of the opportunity cost {Opp) greater than 50 basis points; the linear approximation of this function for values of the opportunity cost less than 50 basis points. Time-trend variable, with increments of 1 in each quarter. + .166 A log(Consump t _ x ) (2.33) Time + .098 A \og(Consumpt_2) (1.67) Deposit-Rate - .008 A Taylog (Oppt) (5.50) - .012A C. Control (3.29) The deposit-rate equations, like the M2-demand model, are formulated within an error-correction framework. The long-run equilibrium relation between a deposit rate and the federal funds rate is specified as + .026 DUM83Q1 (5.55) (A. 4) -.006DUM83Q2 + .462 Alog {M2t_x). (1.08) (5.67) Equations Ret = a 0 + a jF, where Re is the equilibrium deposit rate and F is the rate on federal funds. This specification im- R2 = .71; Durbin's h statistic = 1.26; standard error of the regression = .0043. 15. Personal consumption was used in the short-run components of the model since, in comparison to GNP, it led to some moderate improvement in the fit. The improved fit may arise because short-run changes of some components of GNP, such as business fixed investment and inventories, may not generate a significant increase in the transactions demand for money balances in the short run. 254 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 A.l. Estimated coefficients for alternative deposit-rate models1 Model Coefficient Small time deposits (1) MMDAs (3) MMMFs (2) Savings deposits 2 (4) OCD (5) Long-run relation (equation A.4) 3 <*o -.1628 -1.1565 <*i 1.00 1.00 -1.3024 -1.4274 -1.2499 1.00 1.00 .88 Short-run relation (equation A.6) r -.6699 (4.4) -.71845 (2.6) -.34572 (2.3) -.08643 -.20895 -.6699 (4.4) -.49937 (2.5) -.11524 (2.3) -.02881 -.035132 .72711 (14.5) .58908 (15.8) .42849 (9.7) .10712 Ti .51081 (3.8) .16294 (2.8) .040736 8 -.4104 (4.3) To -.12112 1. The numbers in parentheses are the absolute values of the t statistics. Where no number appears, the t statistic was not available. 2. Savings deposit rates have been deregulated only since 1986:2 so that there are too few observations to estimate the short-run relation. The short-run parameters were judgmentally set equal to one-fourth of the values of the corresponding parameters of the MMDA rate equations. The intercept, a 0 , was set about 25 basis points below the MMDA intercept. 3. The slope coefficients, a,, are imposed to reflect the marginal reserve requirements on these accounts. plicitly assumes that competitive forces will drive the slope coefficient a! to one minus the marginal reserve ratio, while the intercept a 0 will be negative, reflecting transaction costs associated with deposit activity that are not recovered by fees assessed on the depositor. Of course, deposit rates need not always be in equilibrium, and a short-run disequilibrium term, et, is introduced to model the data: asymmetric upward and downward short-run responses that are evident in the data, we let e" equal et when et is positive (that is, Rt is above its long-run equilibrium) and zero otherwise; similarly, we let ebt equal et when et is negative (that is, Rt is below its long-run equilibrium) and zero otherwise. Then the asymmetric error-correction equation with a lag structure adequate to fit the data is (A. 5) Rt = Ret + e, = a 0 + a lFt + er (A.6) ARt = + + 7oAFt + 7iAF,_! + 8AR t _ x + ut, When e, is positive we expect Rt to fall because R, is then above its long-run equilibrium level; conversely, when et is negative we expect R, to rise because Rt is then below its equilibrium level. The second fundamental component of the model is an error-correction equation that describes how the deposit rate adjusts toward its long-run equilibrium in response to the existing disequilibrium and to lagged changes in the deposit rate and the funds rate. To allow for the where the disturbance term ut is assumed to be uncorrelated over time. We expect, other things equal, the fall in R induced by an ea to be larger than the rise in R induced by an eb of the same magnitude, so that 0* < < 0. Table A. 1 reports the estimates of the parameters in equations A.5 and A.6 for the models of rates paid on small time deposits, MMMFs, MMDAs, savings deposits, and other checkable deposits. 255 Transfer Risk in U.S. Banks The growth of international lending by U.S. banking organizations, especially during the last decade, has added new dimensions to the responsibilities of the federal regulatory agencies that supervise the operations of U.S. banking organizations. As a matter of general approach and philosophy, the agencies seek to apply the same criteria to evaluate both the domestic and the international activities of banking organizations. Evaluating international transactions, however, demands special procedures that take account of "country exposure"—that is, the amount of lending to a country—and of "country risk"—that is, the possibility that adverse economic, social, or political developments in a country may prevent that country, its businesses, and other local borrowers from making timely payment of interest or principal to creditors in other countries. The expansion of international lending has made an analysis of country risk an essential element in the overall evaluation of the financial condition of the largest U.S. banks. A component of country risk is "transfer risk," which arises when borrowers incur debts denominated in the currencies of other countries. Specific government policies, general economic conditions in a borrower's country, or changes in the international environment may prevent that borrower from obtaining the foreign currencies needed to service its debt. Whatever the cause, foreign currency may not be sufficiently available to permit the government and other entities of the country to service all their foreign debt. In such circumstances, the condition of the lending banks suffers. ler of the Currency, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation—jointly developed an approach to improving their supervision of the transfer risks inherent in foreign lending by U.S. banks. The new system was designed to address transfer risks separately in the bank examination process, rather than attempt to analyze them in the supervisory framework that is used for evaluating commercial risks. A common supervisory approach was needed for two other purposes: to ensure that the bank regulatory agencies treated transfer risks uniformly; and to improve the quality and efficiency of regulatory review by drawing on and coordinating the best available expertise. The system was built around a process for reporting country exposure that had been adopted a few years earlier. This supervisory system has four parts: 1. The identification in examination reports of significant country exposures to bring to the attention of bank management exposures that are large relative to an institution's own capital. 2. Comments by the agency on large exposures to individual countries based on a country's economic condition and on the relation of the bank's exposure to its capital funds or to the exposures of its competitors. 3. The identification, or "classification," of exposures to countries with debt-servicing problems. 4. A review of the bank's policies, practices, procedures, and controls for managing country risk. Like domestic lending, loans to individual foreign borrowers are subject to legal lending limits, but otherwise the agencies do not prohibit lending to any country per se. Bank regulators want assurance, however, that the bank's management and directors are aware of significant exposures and that reasonable procedures are in place to evaluate the risks. THE SUPERVISORY Reporting Michael G. Martinson and James V. Houpt of the Board's Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation prepared this article. SYSTEM In 1978, the three regulatory agencies—the Federal Reserve System, the Office of the Comptrol As the volume of international lending grew during the 1970s, the regulatory agencies needed 256 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 more complete and accurate data about the level of bank exposures. They also needed to ensure that all banks that engaged in lending to foreign borrowers had sufficient information on aggregate lending to make informed decisions about portfolio diversification. The Country Exposure Report (form 009 of the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council) was developed in 1976 to provide that information; it has become a key source of data on country exposure for the agencies, as well as for many commercial banks and other interested parties. Initially, banks reported on a semiannual basis, but they began to file quarterly reports in 1984, as required by the International Lending Supervision Act of 1983. As a general rule, a U.S. commercial bank that has $30 million or more in foreign lending must file the report. The report currently consists of 24 different items of information on lending and covers almost 190 countries. A bank first lists the amount of credit it has extended to borrowers in a country and then provides information on any guarantees by parties in other countries. The report also categorizes the loans by their remaining maturity and by the sector of the borrower (bank, public, other). It lists the amount of lending in the local currency provided by the bank's local offices and the amount and nature of certain contingent liabilities. The focus of the report is the "adjusted" exposure, the result of transferring the bank's claims from the country of the "initial" borrower to the country of the guarantor (if any) and, in the case of claims on foreign branches of banks, to the home countries of those banks. Analysis of the various items reported and of the results of these adjustments indicates the location of the country risk in a bank's portfolio. These individual reports are used to evaluate the exposure of the reporting institutions. The agencies hold them in confidence, but much information about foreign exposure remains available to the public. Specifically, banks must disclose their large exposures in annual reports to their shareholders and in other regulatory reports. For this purpose, large exposures are defined as those representing more than 1 percent of the bank's assets or more than 20 percent of its primary capital. Moreover, each quarter, the Federal Reserve Board's statistical release, "Country Exposure Lending Survey" (E.16), makes available to the public a substantial amount of information about the foreign exposure of U.S. banks to individual countries. It provides the information for all reporters combined and also for three subgroups separately: the nine money-center banks, a group of large regional banks, and all other reporting banks. Aggregate data are used principally in making supervisory and regulatory policy, but they are also used for identifying the aggregate borrowings of foreign countries from U.S. banks. In addition, the Federal Reserve submits total figures on U.S. bank lending to each country to the Bank for International Settlements in Basle, Switzerland, where they are combined with similar data from banks in other major countries. These BIS statistics, in turn, provide the public with information about worldwide lending and borrowing trends. Evaluation Process In connection with the country-risk procedures adopted in 1978, the agencies established the Interagency Country Exposure Review Committee to assess transfer risk and to ensure uniform treatment of the risks during examinations. The committee consists of three voting members from each agency: a staff member from the agency's Washington office and two of its senior field examiners who have broad experience in international banking. The committee meets three times each year to review conditions in countries where transfer risk to U.S. banks is significant. Formal economic analyses of each country are presented to the members by economists from the U.S. Treasury, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and the Board of Governors. In addition, the examiners recount views expressed and actions taken by major money-center and regional U.S. bank lenders with whom they met prior to the meeting. Drawing upon this information and using standards promulgated by the agencies, the members evaluate the transfer risk inherent in U.S. bank loans to borrowers as a group in each country discussed. Transfer Risk in U.S. Banks CATEGORIES OF RISK A number of broad categories are used to evaluate transfer risk. The first three apply to loans in countries that do not have current or imminent debt-service problems, according to the evidence available at the meeting. These categories divide the countries according to potential risk. The remaining categories apply to countries that already pose transfer risk. Categories of Potential Problems Countries that are evaluated according to their potential for transfer risk can range from developed countries and countries with strong balance of payments positions to countries with relatively weak balance of payment positions or other problems that could, unless addressed properly, lead to debt-servicing problems. The categories characterize the country as "strong," "moderately strong," and "weak" according to the degree of transfer risk it poses. These three categories are used only for determining whether a particular concentration of exposure warrants comment in the examination report. Categories of Current Problems Four other categories are used to identify credits that currently exhibit transfer-risk problems. However, for borrowers in these categories the committee often distinguishes between credit related to trade financing and credit for other purposes because even countries in severe economic difficulty usually give priority to servicing their international trade. Once credits are placed in one of these categories, a more favorable evaluation is not applied until the country has demonstrated a sustained ability to service its debts in an orderly manner. Its economic position, especially with respect to its external accounts, must also show improvement. The first three categories are various levels of "classification," and they cover the loans subject to the more serious transfer risks. The first category of classification, "losses," applies to loans to borrowers in countries that have repudiated their obligations to banks, the International Monetary Fund, or other lenders, 257 or in countries whose payment records and economic conditions have deteriorated to the point that any payment is unlikely. The net carrying value of such loans must be reduced to zero. The second category of classification, "value impaired," covers loans that the lender should not carry at face value. Loans to borrowers in a country with protracted arrearages, as indicated by at least two of the following conditions, receive this evaluation: the country of the borrower has not paid full interest for at least six months; it has not complied with an IMF-supported or similar program and has no immediate prospects for doing so; it has not met its obligations on rescheduled debt for one year or more; or it has no definite prospect for an orderly restoration of debt service. When an asset receives this classification, the agencies require the lender either to charge off a certain percentage of the original claim or to establish an equivalent specific reserve, called an allocated transfer-risk reserve, that is not considered part of bank capital when measuring capital adequacy. The ratio of this reserve has ranged from 10 percent to 100 percent. The least serious of the classifications is "substandard." It applies to loans to borrowers in countries that have not complied fully with their external debt obligations, have not adopted satisfactory reform programs, and have not negotiated a viable rescheduling agreement with their lending banks and appear unlikely to do so. A final category of transfer-risk problems is labeled "other transfer-risk problems." Credits are placed in this category when transfer-risk problems have prevented borrowers in the country from fulfilling their obligations to service external debt, as evidenced by arrearages, forced restructurings, or rollovers. The country is, however, taking steps to restore debt service through economic reforms, which are usually part of an IMF-supported program. Two other kinds of credits fall into this category: those that are being serviced as scheduled but on which an interruption is deemed imminent; and those that have previously been categorized in one of the three classifications just described but for which classification is no longer warranted in light of recent improvements in debt-service performance. Such loans are ones that are viewed as subject to 258 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 more than normal risks, but not enough to be "classified." Implementation Examiners use the evaluations of transfer risk by the Interagency Country Exposure Review Committee in judging the overall quality of a bank's assets. They must also consider commercial risk factors. If the examiner believes that the business risks a commercial borrower poses dictate a classification more severe than the transfer risk does, then that more severe classification is applied. After this adjustment, classified foreign loans are added to classified domestic loans as part of the process of determining the overall quality of the bank's assets and the adequacy of its capital and reserves. Examiners may also comment in their reports about a bank's concentration of exposure to a particular country relative to the bank's capital funds. They are required to do so if lending to a country designated as "weak" for transfer-risk purposes exceeds 10 percent of the bank's total capital or if, for a "moderately strong country," the exposure exceeds 15 percent of capital. They do not ordinarily comment on exposures to borrowers in "strong" countries. These examination comments consist of two paragraphs. The first contains a brief statement on conditions prevailing in the country and on the country's performance under any IMF-supported program. The interagency committee prepares this paragraph. The examiner prepares the second paragraph. It describes the nature of the bank's exposure (such as maturities and types of borrowers) and identifies trends in that exposure. When it is relevant to do so, the examiner may compare the bank's exposure with that of other banks (without revealing identities) and may also discuss the bank's plans for lending to the country. Identifying and commenting on concentrations of credit to borrowers in any one country are important elements of bank supervision in the United States. When appropriate, the comments should prompt senior management and the bank's board of directors to review their lending policies and exposures. In some cases, the bank may revise its strategy about the nature and amount of lending to borrowers in such a country. If an examiner determines that the exposure is particularly high (relative to risk factors), or that the management of international risk poses other problems, he or she may call attention to those findings in the summary of the examination and also in the letter transmitting the examination report. In that case, the bank's board of directors is required to review and formally respond to the examiner's concerns. Examiners also evaluate the procedures the bank uses to manage and control its international lending program. Specifically, they review three aspects of the bank's systems: (1) the measurement and monitoring of country risk; (2) the procedures for establishing and changing limits on lending to any one country; and (3) the procedures for evaluating overall country risk. Any material deficiencies in these areas are also criticized. CONCLUSION The approach the federal bank regulatory agencies take to evaluating international lending integrates concerns about transfer risks into the overall evaluation of a bank. The Interagency Country Exposure Review Committee enables the agencies to centralize decisionmaking, ensure uniform treatment of foreign lending, and conduct an efficient supervisory review of transfer risks. The related examination procedures ensure that both the supervisory agencies and bank management recognize significant transfer risks when evaluating concentrations and the overall condition of the bank. • 259 Treasury and Federal Reserve Foreign Exchange Operations This quarterly report, covering the period November 1988 through January 1989, provides information on Treasury and System foreign exchange operations. It was presented by Sam Y. Cross, Manager of Foreign Operations of the System Open Market Account and Executive Vice President in charge of the Foreign Group of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Christopher Rude was primarily responsible for preparation of the report.1 The dollar moved lower in November, continuing the decline against most major currencies that had begun in late September. The dollar then gradually found support at the end of November and recovered through most of December and January to return to levels that had prevailed in the autumn. The U.S. monetary authorities intervened to resist the dollar's decline in November and early December and to resist the dollar's rise in January. The reversal of the dollar's downward momentum during the period reflected shifts in the market's assessment of the strength of the U.S. economy, of the prospects for exchange rate and monetary policies in the United States and elsewhere, and of the effectiveness of the U.S. administration in dealing promptly with pressing economic issues. THE DOLLAR ' s DECLINE IN NOVEMBER When the three-month period opened in November, market sentiment toward the dollar was decidedly negative. With statistics released in October suggesting that U.S. economic expan1. The charts for the report are available on request from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. sion might be moderating, market participants assumed that U.S. monetary policy would not be tightened further. They expected that the interest differentials that had attracted inflows into dollardenominated assets might not continue to be so favorable. Moreover, concerns about the pace of international adjustment had been aroused by recent trade figures. Not only had the trade surpluses of Germany and Japan showed renewed strength, but also the U.S. trade figures released in mid-October showed that the U.S. trade deficit had widened in August. Market participants began to doubt that the substantial trade improvement the United States had experienced during early 1988 would continue. In addition, market participants expressed growing impatience with the lack of progress being made in reducing the U.S. fiscal deficit and with what seemed to be a lack of urgency given to the issue during the 1988 election campaign. The dollar's decline through October gained momentum late in the month, especially against the yen. Some Japanese investors sold dollars to protect the yen value of their assets against a further drop in the dollar, and many Japanese exporters hedged their dollar receivables well into 1989. The Japanese currency benefited, too, from a favorable market assessment of the ease with which the Japanese economy had shifted from an emphasis on external demand to one on domestic demand, as well as from Japan's ability, as a major oil importer, to benefit from declining oil prices. By the beginning of November, the dollar had given up most of its midyear gain against the yen to trade at ¥125.65. The U.S. monetary authorities continued the intervention operations started at the end of October to counter downward pressure on the dollar. These operations involved purchases totaling $350 million against yen during the first two days of November. 260 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 1. Federal Reserve reciprocal currency arrangements Millions of dollars Institution Amount of facility, January 31, 1989 Austrian National Bank National Bank of Belgium Bank of Canada National Bank of Denmark Bank of England Bank of France German Federal Bank Bank of Italy Bank of Japan 250 1,000 2,000 250 3,000 2,000 6,000 3,000 5,000 Bank of Mexico Netherlands Bank Bank of Norway Bank of Sweden Swiss National Bank 700 500 250 300 4,000 Bank for International Settlements Dollars against Swiss francs Dollars against other authorized European currencies Total 600 1,250 30,100 At the time of the presidential election in the United States, sentiment toward the dollar became even more negative after comments by foreign officials brought the U.S. budget deficit issue back onto center stage. Market participants questioned whether a new administration could successfully negotiate a budget compromise with a Congress controlled even more than before by the opposition party. Market participants were also skeptical that the Group of Seven (G-7) countries would remain committed to exchange rate stability after additional comments from abroad indicated that other countries' intervention operations to support the dollar might come into conflict with the efforts of the G-7 to keep their own domestic inflation rates under control. The dollar continued to come under selling pressure, and, in the period from November 9 through November 16, the U.S. monetary authorities purchased another $625 million against yen in coordination with the Bank of Japan. U.S. and other G-7 officials also made statements expressing continuing official commitment to exchange rate stability. Although the dollar benefited temporarily from these actions, it remained under pressure during the rest of November. The release of October U.S. retail sales and industrial production figures indicating that economic growth in the United States continued to be strong, as well as a rise in short-term dollar interest rates, had little positive impact on market sentiment. The U.S. trade report on November 16, showing that the trade deficit had narrowed in September and suggesting that the market's earlier concerns about the pace of international adjustment might have been exaggerated, was also largely ignored. Near the middle of the month, the selling pressure on the dollar intensified, and the U.S. monetary authorities broadened their intervention operations to include the mark. Between November 17 and December 2, the U.S. authorities purchased a total of $630 million against marks and a further $795 million against yen in a series of intervention operations that were conducted in cooperation with the Bank of Japan, the Bundesbank, and other foreign central banks. The dollar reached its lows of the reporting period on November 25 at ¥120.65 against the yen and DM1.7085 against the mark. At these levels, the dollar was more than 4 percent lower against the yen and the mark from its level at the beginning of November and roughly IIV2 percent lower than its autumn highs. Although the dollar had declined by comparable amounts against both currencies, against the yen it was only marginally higher than its record low of ¥120.20, reached on January 4, 1988. STABILIZATION AND IN DECEMBER RECOVERY Market participants gradually came to believe that the G-7 monetary authorities were still committed to exchange rate stability. The authorities were seen as showing a consistent presence in the exchange market. At the same time, market participants sensed from policy decisions taken by foreign central banks—including an increase of 1 percentage point in base lending rates in the United Kingdom on November 25—that containing potential inflationary pressures worldwide was a policy priority. Against this background, U.S. economic statistics that had been released earlier and that revealed unexpected strength in the economy were seen in a different light. Market participants were also impressed by the strong labor market statistics for November released in Treasury and Federal Reserve Foreign Exchange Operations 261 2. Drawings and repayments by foreign central banks under special swap arrangement with the U.S. Treasury1 Millions of dollars; drawings or repayments ( - ) Central bank drawing on the U.S. Treasury Central Bank of the Argentine Republic National Bank of Yugoslavia Central Bank of Brazil Amount of facility Outstanding, October 31, 1988 November December January Outstanding, January 31, 1989 265.0 50.0 250.0 0 0 0 47.7 * * 0 -46.9 .8 1. Data are on a value-date basis. *No facility. early December. Noting that short-term dollar interest rates had firmed during November, they came to believe that the Federal Reserve might soon tighten its stance again, either via money market operations or by raising the discount rate. In addition, market participants were impressed with the extent to which the dollar rallied when a speech by Soviet General Secretary Gorbachev, at the United Nations on December 7, proposing Soviet arms reductions, was temporarily seen as providing scope for the United States to reduce its budget deficit through defense spending cuts. Even though the euphoria of the moment quickly passed, the episode created a renewed sense of two-way market risk. Under these circumstances, the foreign exchange market slowly shed its negative view of the dollar during the rest of December. Many market participants, who during October and November had postponed purchasing dollars for commercial and investment purposes, began to reenter the market. At the same time, investors who had previously increased their hedging of dollar exposures now lowered their hedge ratios, taking note of the widening of interest rate differentials favoring dollar assets and the increased costs of hedging. The dollar's gradual recovery did not waiver in mid-December when the Bundesbank increased its Lombard rate by Vi percentage point, and several other European central banks also announced increases in their key lending rates. Instead, with the year-end approaching, demand for dollars from bank customers and by bank dealers themselves, who moved to square positions in increasingly thin markets, kept the dollar relatively well bid. Although dealers were skeptical that the dollar's firmer tone would carry over into the new year, the dollar closed the year at DM1.7725 against the mark and ¥124.85 against the yen, V/i percent higher than its lows of late November. THE DOLLAR 'S RISE IN JANUARY In January, sentiment toward the dollar grew bullish. Actions and statements in the political sphere contributed to a sense of optimism about the new administration. Signs of Federal Reserve tightening early in the month added to the dollar's upward momentum. As January progressed, several reports showing continued strength in the U.S. economy, together with Chairman Greenspan's reiteration in congressional testimony of the Federal Reserve's concern about the dangers of inflation, supported expectations that dollar interest rates would continue to firm. Also, the market interpreted certain statements by foreign officials as implying a readiness of the G-7 industrial nations to tolerate a further appreciation of the dollar. In this atmosphere, market participants shrugged off the report on January 18 of a sharp rise in the U.S. trade deficit in November. As the dollar moved up through levels not seen for several months, market participants continued to reduce their dollar hedges and reverse commercial leads and lags. Moreover, investors noted the relatively good performance of the dollar through 1988, and reports circulated of widespread Japanese and European interest in buying dollar-denominated securities. In the process, bidding for dollars became at times quite strong. The force of the dollar's rise was directed particularly against the German mark and other European currencies. By mid-January the dollar had moved up to DM1.8713 against the mark and ¥128.52 against the yen. On January 19, the Bundesbank an- 262 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 3, Net profits or losses ( - ) on U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve current foreign exchange operations, November 1, 1988-January 31, 19891 Millions of dollars Item Valuation profits and losses on outstanding assets and liabilities as of January 31, 1989 Federal Reserve U.S. Treasury Exchange Stabilization Fund 155.3 155.4 1,004.8 789.4 1. Data are on a value-date basis. nounced a further increase of Vi percentage point in its Lombard rate and a similar increase in its discount rate. Several other European central banks also raised key lending rates. The rate increases, supported by coordinated intervention, injected a note of caution in the market, and, for a time, the dollar's upward momentum stalled. But the dollar soon resumed its rise to reach its period highs of DM1.8795 against the mark and ¥130.55 against the yen on January 31. It thus closed the three-month reporting period 5 percent higher against the mark and V/i percent higher against the yen relative to its levels at the start of November. On a trade-weighted basis, as measured by the staff of the Federal Reserve Board, it was 4 percent higher on balance. As the dollar moved up in January, the U.S. monetary authorities intervened to counter the rise. From January 6 to January 27, the U.S. authorities intervened on 12 days to sell a total of $1,880 million against marks in coordination with the Bundesbank and other foreign central banks. In summary, for the period as a whole, the U.S. monetary authorities purchased a total of $2,400 million during November and December—$1,770 million against Japanese yen and $630 million against German marks—and sold $1,880 million against German marks during January. The U.S. Treasury, through the Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF), and the Federal Re- serve participated equally in the financing of all intervention operations. The ESF also received $62.2 million equivalent of Japanese yen in principal repayments and interest payments under the Supplementary Financing Facility of the International Monetary Fund. For the November-January period, the Federal Reserve and the Treasury realized profits of $155.3 million and $155.4 million respectively. As of the end of January 1989, cumulative bookkeeping or valuation gains on outstanding foreign currency balances were $1,004.8 million for the Federal Reserve and $789.4 million for the ESF. These valuation gains represent the increase in the dollar value of outstanding currency assets valued at end-of-period exchange rates, compared with the rates prevailing at the time the foreign currencies were acquired. The Federal Reserve and the ESF regularly invest their foreign currency balances in a variety of instruments that yield market-related rates of return and that have a high degree of quality and liquidity. A portion of the balances is invested in securities issued by foreign governments. As of the end of January 1989, holdings of such securities by the Federal Reserve amounted to $1,457.9 million equivalent, and holdings by the ESF amounted to the equivalent of $1,821.3 million. In other operations, on November 22, 1988, the Central Bank of the Argentine Republic drew $79.5 million from a $265 million swap facility with the ESF. This facility was provided as part of a $500 million short-term financing package arranged in October 1988 by a number of monetary institutions. Argentina repaid $31.8 million on November 23, 1988, and $46.9 million on January 26, 1989. ESF short-term facilities with the Central Bank of Brazil and the National Bank of Yugoslavia expired in November 1988. There was no activity in either facility during the period. 263 Staff Studies The staff members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and of the Federal Reserve Banks undertake studies that cover a wide range of economic and financial subjects. From time to time the results of studies that are of general interest to the professions and to others are summarized in the FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN. The analyses and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not necessarily STUDY indicate concurrence by the Board of Governors, by the Federal Reserve Banks, or by the members of their staffs. Single copies of the full text of each of the studies or papers summarized in the BULLETIN are available without charge. The list of Federal Reserve Board publications at the back of each BULLETIN includes a separate section entitled "Staff Studies" that lists the studies that are currently available. SUMMARY M2 PER UNIT OF POTENTIAL Jeffrey J. Hallman, GNP AS AN ANCHOR FOR THE PRICE Richard D. Porter, and David H. Small—Staff, LEVEL Board of Governors Prepared as a staff study in the winter of 1988-89 The velocities of the monetary aggregates have been quite variable during the current decade, leading some economists to conclude that the monetary authority cannot use any of the aggregates as a reliable anchor for the price level. This study questions that conclusion as it applies to M2: its velocity relative to the gross national product, while somewhat variable in the short run, has shown a flat trend over most of the twentieth century. This stability has likely stemmed in recent years from the flexibility of most rates paid on M2 deposits and, in earlier decades, from the flexible administration of Regulation Q and the introduction of new instruments. As a consequence of this stability, a comparatively reliable long-run link between M2 and the price level exists. The study's analysis of M2 and prices starts with the question, What long-run price level will current holdings of M2 support? The long-run equilibrium price level, P*, is defined as being consistent with the current value of M2 when V2 is at its long-run level, V*, and when real GNP is at its long-run potential level, Q*. Algebraically, »« _ M 2 * V* Q* ' Thus, P* is proportional to M2 per unit of potential output. Operationally, the mean of V2 since 1955:1 is used as the estimate of V*. Discrepancies between the long-run equilibrium price level, P*, and the actual price level, P, drive the inflation process. The relationship is best modeled as an equation in which, with a lag, P - P* determines the change in the inflation rate (the acceleration or deceleration of the price level). If P* is greater than P, then the current level of M2, if maintained, will eventually yield an acceleration of prices. If P* is below P, then maintaining the current level of M2 will eventually yield a deceleration. This approach to forecasting inflation allows one to disregard forecasts of interest rates, ex- 264 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 change rates, fiscal policy, real output, and the like. It requires estimates of the future courses of only M2, potential real GNP, and long-run velocity and thus provides a framework in which the future price level is determined by the level of M2. The model forecasts well over periods of one year or longer, even outside various periods over which it has been estimated. In particular, the model outperforms a simple version of the more traditional approach that relates changes in inflation to the "output gap." Moreover, the model's coefficients are stable over a 33-year period. Over periods of less than one year, factors outside the model—wage trends, interest rates, foreign exchange movements, and the gap between real and potential output—are of great importance in the inflation process and remain essential to the assessment of short-run inflationary developments. Another limitation of the approach concerns the future long-run value of V2; permanent shifts in V2 are always a possibility, especially if significant progress is made toward price stability and, correspondingly, nominal interest rates decline markedly. But the potential shortcomings of M2 should not deflect attention from the need for an analytic framework within which to formulate a long-term policy strategy and evaluate progress toward long-run price stability. In this regard, P* appears to be a simple empirical guidepost that can help the monetary authorities track the implications of short- and intermediate-term policies for achieving the long-term objective of stable prices. • 265 Industrial Production Released for publication February 15 sumer goods, construction supplies, and durable materials. In contrast, output of motor vehicles fell sharply in January, retracing some of the large increases registered in December. At 141.1 percent of the 1977 average, the total index in January was 5.0 percent higher than it was a year earlier. In market groups, the output of consumer goods rose in January, primarily reflecting wide- Industrial production increased 0.3 percent in January, after having risen a revised 0.5 percent in December. Total manufacturing output posted another gain of 0.5 percent in January, while production at mines and utilities declined. Among market groups, the most significant increases in January occurred in nondurable con- Ratio scale, 1977=100 160 Total Index Products 140 120 Materials 100 Materials Nondurable^ Durable Energy Business supplies Intermediate Products — — -—^ Construction supplies Final Products Motor Vehicles and Parts Defense and space 150 200 180 135 120 — Business equipment 160 - 140 90 120 Consumer goods 100 75 60 80 1983 1985 1987 All series are seasonally adjusted. Latest series: January. 1989 1983 1985 1987 1989 266 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 1977 = 100 Percentage change from preceding month Sept. Jan. Dec. 1989 1988 1989 Group Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Percentage change, Jan. 1988 to Jan. 1989 Major market groups Total industrial production 140.6 141.1 .1 .6 .3 .5 .3 5.0 Products, total Final products Consumer goods Durable Nondurable Business equipment.. Defense and space Intermediate products.. Construction supplies Materials 149.4 147.6 138.0 132.1 140.2 162.0 182.3 155.4 141.4 128.7 150.1 148.2 138.9 132.2 141.3 162.5 181.9 156.8 143.4 128.7 .1 .0 -.1 .5 -.3 .4 -.2 .4 .2 .0 .5 .4 1.2 2.4 .7 -.4 -.3 .7 1.2 .8 .2 .2 .2 -.1 .3 .6 -.8 .1 .7 .6 .7 .6 1.0 2.2 .6 .5 -.1 .8 .3 .3 .5 .4 .6 .1 .8 .3 -.2 .9 1.4 .0 5.2 5.0 5.8 8.6 4.9 7.5 -4.6 5.8 4.8 4.7 .5 .5 .6 .1 .9 .5 .3 .7 -1.2 -.8 5.7 6.2 5.1 .0 1.7 Major industry groups 146.6 146.0 147.6 104.5 114.1 Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities .3 .4 .1 .0 -4.0 147.4 146.5 148.6 103.3 113.2 .6 .6 .7 -.6 .8 .4 .5 .3 1.3 -.7 NOTE. Indexes are seasonally adjusted. spread gains in nondurable consumer goods. Automobile assemblies decreased to an annual rate of 7.5 million units from a rate of 7.9 million units in December; however, the output of trucks for consumer use continued to rise. The output of total business equipment, which decelerated noticeably in the fourth quarter of 1988, rose 0.3 percent in January. The composition of the gain in production in January differed significantly from that of recent months. Transit equipment, which posted a huge increase in the fourth quarter of last year, fell sharply in January as the output of motor vehicles for business use Total industrial production—Revisions Estimates as shown last month and current estimates Index (1977=100) Month Oct Nov Dec Jan Percentage change from previous months Previous Current Previous Current 139.3 139.8 140.2 139.4 139.9 140.6 141.1 .5 .4 .3 .6 .3 .5 .3 dropped. However, a pickup in the production of both manufacturing and commercial equipment more than offset the decline in transit equipment. The output of materials was unchanged, on balance, in January. Both durable and nondurable materials posted gains, as steel and chemicals advanced. But output of energy materials decreased nearly 2 percent, reflecting declines in coal mining, crude oil extraction, and electricity generation. In industry groups, within manufacturing, production of all major industries, except transportation equipment and paper, rose in January. Production at utilities was down 0.8 percent, mainly reflecting the unusually mild weather in January, and mining output declined 1.2 percent. Capacity utilization in total industry for January was estimated at 84.4 percent, the same as in December. In manufacturing, capacity utilization for January was 84.8 percent, 0.2 percentage point higher than it was in December, and 2.1 percentage points higher than it was a year earlier. Detailed data for capacity utilization are shown separately in "Capacity Utilization," Federal Reserve monthly statistical release, G3. 267 Statements to Congress Statement by Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on Ways and Means, U.S. House of Representatives, February 2, 1989. I am pleased to be here today to discuss corporate restructuring and the need for reducing the federal budget deficit, issues raised in your letter of invitation. CORPORATE RESTRUCTURING LEVERAGING AND The spate of mergers, acquisitions, leveraged buyouts (LBOs), share repurchases, and divestitures in recent years has major implications for the American economy. While the evidence suggests that the restructurings of the 1980s probably are improving, on balance, the efficiency of our economy, the worrisome and possibly excessive degree of leveraging associated with this process could create a set of new problems for the financial system. Corporate restructuring is not new to American business. It has long been a feature of our enterprise system, a means by which firms adjust to everchanging product and resource markets and to perceived opportunities for gains from changes in management and management strategies. However, the 1980s have been characterized by features not present in previous episodes. The recent period has been marked not only by acquisitions and mergers but also by significant increases in leveraged buyouts, divestitures, asset sales, and share repurchase programs. In many cases, recent activity reflects the breakup of the big conglomerate deals packaged in the 1960s and 1970s. Also, the recent period has been characterized by the retirement of substantial amounts of equity (more than $500 billion since 1983) mostly financed by borrowing in the credit markets. The accompanying increase in debt has resulted in an appreciable rise in leverage ratios for many of our large corporations. Aggregate book value debt-equity ratios, based on balance sheet data for nonfinancial firms, have increased sharply in the 1980s, moving outside their range in recent decades, although measures based on market values have risen more modestly. Along with this debt expansion, the ability of firms in the aggregate to cover interest payments has deteriorated. The ratio of gross interest payments to corporate cash flow before interest provision is currently about 35 percent, close to the 1982 peak when interest rates were much higher and profits were weak owing to the recession. Lately, profits have been fairly buoyant; the current deterioration has been due to heavier debt burdens. A measure of credit quality erosion is suggested by an unusually large number of downgradings of corporate bonds in recent years. The average bond rating of a large sample of firms has declined fairly significantly since the late 1970s, from A+ to A - . To fashion an appropriate policy response, if any, to this extraordinary restructuring-LBO phenomenon, there are some key questions that must be answered: What is behind the corporate restructuring movement? Why is it occurring now, in the middle and late 1980s, rather than in some earlier time? Why has it involved such a broad leveraging of corporate balance sheets? And finally, has it been good or bad for the American economy? The 1980s has been a period of dramatic economic changes: large swings in the exchange value of the dollar, with substantial consequences for trade-dependent industries; rapid technological progress, especially in automation and telecommunications; rapid growth in the service sector; and large movements in real interest rates and relative prices. Clearly, such changes in the economic environment imply ma- 268 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 jor, perhaps unprecedented, shifts in the optimal mix of assets at firms—owing to corresponding shifts in synergies—and new opportunities for improving efficiency. Some activities need to be shed or curtailed, and others added or beefed up. Moreover, the long period of slow productivity growth in the 1970s may have partly exacerbated the buildup of a backlog of inefficient corporate practices. When assets become misaligned or less than optimally managed, there is clearly an increasing opportunity to create economic value by restructuring companies, restoring what markets perceive as a more optimal mix of assets. But restructuring requires corporate control. And managers, unfortunately, often have been slow in reacting to changes in their external environment, some more so than others. Hence, it shouldn't be a surprise that, in recent years, unaffiliated corporate restructurers, some call them corporate raiders, have significantly bid up the control premiums over the passive investment value of companies that are perceived to have suboptimal asset allocations. If a company has an optimal mix and is appropriately managed, there is no economic value to be gained from restructuring and, hence, no advantage in obtaining control of a company for such purposes. In that case, there is no incentive to bid up the stock price above the passive investment value based on its existing, presumed optimal, mix of assets. But in an economy knocked partially off kilter by real interest rate increases and gyrations in foreign exchange and commodity prices, there emerge significant opportunities for value-creating restructuring at many companies. This presumably explains why common stock tender offer prices of potential candidates for restructuring have risen significantly during the past decade. Observed stock prices generally (though not always) reflect values of shares as passive investments. But there can be, for any individual company, two or more prices for its shares, reflecting the degree of control over a company's mix of assets. Tender-offer premiums—which represent the price that active investors are willing to pay for corporate control—ranged from 13 percent to 25 percent in the 1960s, but have moved to 45 percent and higher during the past decade, underscoring the evident increase in the perceived profit to be gained from corporate control and restructuring. Interest in restructuring also has been spurred by the apparent increased willingness and ability of corporate managers and owners to leverage balance sheets. The gradual replacement of managers who grew up in the Depression and developed a strong aversion to bankruptcy risk probably accounts for some of the increased proclivity to issue debt now. Moreover, innovations in capital markets have made the increased propensity to leverage feasible. It is now much easier than it used to be to mobilize tremendous sums of debt capital for leveraged purchases of firms. Improvements in the loan-sale market among banks and the greater presence of foreign banks in U.S. markets have greatly increased the ability of the banking sector to participate in merger and acquisition transactions. The phenomenal development of the market for low-grade corporate debt, so-called junk bonds, also has enhanced the availability of credit for a wide variety of corporate transactions. The increased liquidity of this market has made it possible for investors to diversify away firm-specific risks by building portfolios of such debt. The tax benefits of restructuring activities are, of course, undeniable, but this is not a particularly new phenomenon. Our tax system has long favored debt finance by taxing the earnings of corporate debt capital only at the investor level, while earnings on equity capital are taxed at both the investor and corporate levels. There have been other sources of tax savings in mergers that do not depend on debt finance, involving such items as the tax basis for depreciation and foreign tax credits. And taxable owners benefit when firms repurchase their own shares, using what is, in effect, a tax-favored method of paying cash dividends. In any event, the recent rise in restructuring activity is not easily tied to any change in tax law. Evidence about the economic consequences of restructuring is beginning to take shape, but much remains conjectural. It is clear that the markets believe that the recent restructurings are potentially advantageous. Estimates range from Statements to Congress $200 billion to $500 billion or more in paper gains to shareholders since 1982. Apparently, only a small portion of that has come at the expense of bondholders. These gains are reflections of the expectations of market participants that the restructuring will, in fact, lead to a better mix of assets within companies and greater efficiencies in their use. This, in turn, is expected to produce marked increases in future productivity and, hence, in the value of American corporate business. Many of the internal adjustments brought about by changes in management or managerial policies are still being implemented, and it will take time before they show up for good or ill in measures of performance. So far, various pieces of evidence indicate that the trend toward more ownership by managers and tighter control by other owners and creditors has generally enhanced operational efficiency. In the process, both jobs and capital spending in many firms have contracted as unprofitable projects are scrapped. But no clear trends in these variables are yet evident in restructured firms as a group. For the business sector, generally, growth of both employment and investment has been strong. If what I have outlined earlier is a generally accurate description of the causes of the surge in restructurings of the past decade, one would assume that a stabilization of interest rates, exchange rates, and product prices would slow the emergence of newly misaligned companies and opportunities for further restructuring. Such a development would presumably lower control premiums and reduce the pace of merger, acquisition, and LBO activity. This suggests that the most potent policies for defusing the restructuring-LBO boom over the long haul are essentially the same macroeconomic policies toward budget deficit reduction and price stability that have been the principal policy concerns of recent years. Whatever the trends in restructuring, we cannot ignore the implications of the associated heavy leveraging for broad-based risk in the economy. Other things equal, greater use of debt makes the corporate sector more vulnerable to an economic downturn or a rise in interest rates. The financial stability of lenders, in turn, also may be affected. How much is another question. 269 The answer depends greatly on which firms are leveraging, which financial institutions are lending, and how the financings are structured. Most of the restructured firms appear to be in mature, stable, noncyclical industries. Restructuring activity has been especially prevalent in the trade, services, and, more recently, the food and tobacco industries. For such businesses, a substantial increase in debt may raise the probability of insolvency by only a relatively small amount. However, roughly two-fifths of merger and aquisition activity, as well as LBOs, have involved companies in cyclically sensitive industries that are more likely to run into trouble in the event of a severe economic downturn. Lenders to leveraged enterprises have been, in large part, those that can most easily absorb losses without major systemic consequences. They include mutual funds, pension funds, and insurance companies, which generally have diversified portfolios and have traditionally invested in securities involving some risk, such as equities. To the extent that such debt is held by individual institutions that are not well diversified, there is some concern. At the Federal Reserve, we are particularly concerned about the increasing share of restructuring loans made by banks. Massive failures of these loans could have broad ramifications. Generally, we must recognize that the line between equity and debt has become increasingly fuzzy in recent years. Convertible debt has always had an intermediate character, but now there is almost a continuum of securities varying in their relative proportions of debt and equity flavoring. Once there was a fairly sharp distinction between being unable to make interest payments on a bond, which frequently led to liquidation proceedings, and merely missing a dividend. Now the distinction is smaller. Outright defaults on original issue high-yield bonds have been infrequent to date, but payment difficulties have led to more frequent exchanges of debt that reduce the immediate cash needs of troubled firms. Investors know when they purchase such issues that the stream of payments received may well differ from the stream promised, and prices tend to move in response to changes in both debt and equity markets. In effect, the yields on debt capital rise toward that 270 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 of equity capital when scheduled repayments are less secure. In view of these considerations, and the very limited evidence on the effects of restructuring at the present time, it would be unwise to restrict arbitrarily corporate restructuring. We must resist the temptation to seek to allocate credit to specific uses through the tax system or through the regulation of financial institutions. Restrictions on the deductibility of interest unavoidably involve an important element of arbitrariness, one that will affect not only those types of lending intended but other types as well. Moreover, foreign acquirers could be given an artificial edge to the extent that they could avoid these restrictions. Also, the historical experience with various types of selective credit controls clearly indicates that, in time, borrowers and lenders find ways around them. All that does not mean that we should do nothing. The contribution of our tax structure to corporate leveraging warrants attention. The double taxation of earnings from corporate equity capital has added to leveraging, and thus debt levels are higher than they need, or should, be. Our options for dealing with this distortion are, unfortunately, constrained severely by the federal government's still serious budget deficit problems, a matter that I will turn to in a moment. One straightforward approach to this distortion, of course, would be to substantially reduce the corporate income tax. Alternatively, partial integration of corporate and individual income taxes could be achieved by allowing corporations a deduction for dividends paid or by giving individuals credit for taxes paid at the corporate level. But these changes taken alone would result in substantial revenue losses; a rough estimate of IRS collections from taxing dividends is in the range of $20 billion to $25 billion annually. Dangers of risk to the banking system associated with high debt levels also warrant attention. As I have noted, the Federal Reserve, in its role as a supervisor of banks, has particular concerns in this regard. In 1984, the Board issued supervisory guidelines for assessing LBO-related loans, which are set forth in an attachment to my text. 1 These guidelines emphasized that the circumstances associated with highly leveraged deals require that creditors exercise credit judgment with special care, assessing those risks that are firm-specific as well as those common to all highly leveraged firms. The Federal Reserve is currently in the process of reviewing guidelines regarding the evaluation of bank participation in highly leveraged financing transactions; we anticipate that this review will be completed shortly. THE BUDGET DEFICIT AND THE ECONOMY The remainder of my prepared remarks will concentrate on the budget deficit and the corrosive impact it is having on the economy. It is beguiling to contemplate the strong economy of recent years in the context of very large deficits and to conclude that the concerns about the adverse effects of the deficit on the economy have been misplaced. But this argument is fanciful. The deficit already has begun to eat away at the foundations of our economic strength. And the need to deal with it is becoming ever more urgent. To the extent that some of the negative effects of deficits have not as yet been felt, they have been merely postponed, not avoided. Moreover, the scope for further such avoidance is shrinking. To some degree, the effects of the federal budget deficits over the past several years have been muted by two circumstances, both of which are currently changing rapidly. One was the rather large degree of slack in the economy in the early years of the current expansion. This slack meant that the economy could accommodate growing demands from both the private and public sectors. In addition, to the extent that these demands could not be accommodated from U.S. resources, we went abroad and imported them. This can be seen in our large trade and current account deficits. By now, however, the slack in the U.S. economy has diminished substantially. And as inflows of foreign saving are reduced along with our trade deficit, other sources of saving must be found, or demands for 1. The attachments to this statement are available on request from publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Statements to Congress saving curtailed. The choices are limited; as will become clear, the best option for the American people is a further reduction in the federal budget deficit, and the need for such reduction is becoming more pressing. Owing to significant efforts by the executive branch and the Congress, coupled with strong economic growth, the deficit has shrunk from 5 percent to 6 percent of gross national product a few years earlier to about 3 percent of GNP today. Such a deficit, nevertheless, is still very large by historical standards. Since World War II, the actual budget deficit has exceeded 3 percent of GNP only in the 1975 recession period and in the recent deficit experience beginning in 1982. On a cyclically adjusted or structural basis, the deficit has exceeded 3 percent of potential GNP only in the period since 1983. Government deficits, however, place pressure on resources and credit markets, only if they are not offset by saving elsewhere in the economy. If the pool of private saving is small, federal deficits and private investment will be in keen competition for funds, and private investment will lose. The U.S. deficits of recent years are threatening precisely because they have been occurring in the context of private saving that is low by both historical and international standards. In the 1980s, net personal plus business saving in the United States has been about 3 percentage points lower relative to GNP than its average in the preceding three decades. Internationally, government deficits have been quite common among the major industrial countries in the 1980s, but private saving rates in most of these countries have exceeded the deficits by very comfortable margins. In Japan, for example, less than 20 percent of its private saving has been absorbed by government deficits, even though the Japanese general government has been borrowing almost 3 percent of its gross domestic product in the 1980s. In contrast, more than half of private U.S. saving in the 1980s has been absorbed by the combined deficits of the federal and state and local sectors. Under these circumstances, such large and persistent deficits are slowly but inexorably damaging the economy. The damage occurs because deficits tend to pull resources away from net 271 private investment, which damps the growth of the nation's capital stock. This, in turn, has meant less capital per worker than would otherwise have been the case, and this will surely engender a shortfall in labor productivity growth and, with it, a shortfall in growth of the standard of living. All else equal, the higher real interest rates associated with increased borrowing by the Treasury in the 1980s have reduced private investment in the aggregate. Moreover, the higher real interest rates have shifted the composition of investment away from long-lived assets, such as factories, toward computers and other shorterlived equipment. The data also underscore a recent decline in the average service life of consumption as well as investment goods and a systematic tendency for this average to move inversely with real rates of interest. That is, the higher are real interest rates, the heavier is the concentration on short-lived assets. Not surprisingly, we have already experienced a disturbing decline in the level of net investment as a share of GNP. Net investment has fallen to 4.7 percent of GNP in the 1980s from an average level of 6.7 percent in the 1970s and even higher in the 1960s. Moreover, it is low, not only by our own historical standards, but by international standards as well. International comparisons of net investment should be viewed with some caution because of differences in the measurement of depreciation and in other technical details. Nevertheless, the existing data do indicate that total net private and public investment as a share of gross domestic product over the period between 1980 and 1986 was lower in the United States than in any of the other major industrial countries except the United Kingdom. It is important to recognize, as I indicated earlier, that the negative effects of federal deficits on growth in the capital stock may be attenuated for a while by several forces in the private sector. One is a significant period of output growth in excess of potential GNP growth—such as occurred over much of the past six years—which undoubtedly boosts sales and profit expectations and, hence, business investment. Such rates of output growth, of course, cannot persist, making this factor inherently temporary in nature. 272 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Another factor tending to limit the decline in investment spending would be any tendency for saving to respond positively to the higher interest rates that deficits would bring. The supply of domestic private saving has some interest elasticity, as people put off spending when borrowing costs are high and returns from their financial assets are favorable. But most analysts find that this elasticity is not sufficiently large to matter much. Finally, net inflows of foreign saving can be, as recent years have demonstrated, an important addition to saving. In the 1980s, our ability to tap foreign saving has kept the decline in the gross investment-GNP ratio, on average, to only moderate dimensions (slightly more than Vi percentage point) compared with the 1970s, while the federal deficit rose about 2Vi percentage points relative to GNP. Net inflows of foreign saving have amounted, on average, to almost 2 percent of GNP, an unprecedented level. Looking ahead, the continuation of inflows of foreign saving at current levels is questionable. Evidence for the United States and for most other major industrial nations over the past 100 years indicates that such sizable foreign net capital inflows have not persisted and, hence, may not be a reliable substitute for domestic saving on a long-term basis. In other words, domestic investment tends to be supported by domestic saving alone in the long run. Let me conclude by reiterating that the budget deficit must be brought down. I do not underestimate the difficult decisions that you must make if we are to achieve the necessary reduction in the deficit. But allowing deficits to persist courts a dangerous corrosion of our economy and risks potentially significant reductions over time in our standard of living. • Statement by Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on Banking, Housing,and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, February 21, 1989. reserves slightly further, adding to the easing put in place immediately after October 19; at the same time we monitored financial and economic indicators closely for any signs that the economic expansion was faltering. Gradually, however, it became clear that the economic expansion remained well on track and that market confidence was on the mend. Spending was robust, and dwindling margins of unused resources as employment and output registered sizable gains indicated that the balance of risks was shifting in the direction of higher inflation. Consequently, the Federal Open Market Committee applied increased restraint to reserve positions in a series of steps beginning in the spring of 1988 and extending to the current period. In addition, the discount rate was raised from 6 percent to 6V2 percent in August. The policy restraint led to an appreciable rise in short-term market interest rates beginning in spring 1988. Growth of money moderated over the year as rates on deposits lagged the rise in market interest rates. M2 and M3, which were near the upper ends of their target ranges early in the year, slowed considerably in subsequent months and finished the year around the middle of their annual target ranges of 4 percent to 8 I appreciate this opportunity to discuss with you recent monetary policy and our plans for the future. You have received our formal report to the Congress. 1 This morning, I would like to summarize the important points of that report and to place monetary policy in the context of the overall economic and financial situation. ECONOMIC AND MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS IN 1988 Last year was a challenging one for monetary policy. Early in the year, uncertainties remained about the impact of the October 1987 worldwide stock market break on the economic expansion and financial system. Given these risks, the Federal Reserve increased the availability of bank 1. See "Monetary Policy Report to the Congress," FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, v o l . 75 ( M a r c h 1989), p p . 1 0 7 - 1 9 . Statements to Congress percent. Growth of Ml also was restrained by higher interest rates, slowing to about 4 percent, while the monetary base grew only a bit less rapidly than in 1987, as currency continued to expand at a strong pace. Thus, in both 1987 and 1988, most money measures grew appreciably more slowly than they had in many years. This more moderate pace of monetary expansion has been a necessary aspect of a monetary policy designed to contain inflation and to promote price stability and economic growth over time. Despite tightening money markets, longerterm interest rates have been remarkably stable. Yields on Treasury bonds, for example, remained in a fairly narrow range around 9 percent for most of the year and have continued in that range so far in 1989. Moreover, the stock market recovered relatively steadily over the year and into 1989. The performance of the bond and stock markets in the face of rising short-term rates seemed to stem from expectations of continued relatively balanced economic expansion in the United States with inflation pressures not likely to intensify. U.S. investments looked attractive under these circumstances, and the dollar's average value against major foreign currencies recovered from the late 1987 plunge and was relatively stable over the course of the year. The optimism of domestic and foreign investors evident in financial markets reflected the solid performance of the economy and prospects for its continuation. Our gross national product expanded around 3lA percent in 1988, adjusted for crop losses caused by the drought. Over the year, payroll employment rose 3.7 million. Since the economic expansion began in late 1982, employment in the United States has increased more than 17 million, pushing the unemployment rate below 5Vz percent, its lowest level since the mid-1970s. Employment gains in 1987 and 1988 were strong in nearly every major sector of the American economy, including manufacturing, construction, trade, and services. Although in 1988 farmers suffered one of their worst crop losses in this century, the situation in agriculture remains fundamentally much improved from that earlier in the 1980s. Industrial production in manufacturing rose 5V2 percent, bringing average capacity utilization to the highest level since the late 1970s. Some industries that had been hit 273 especially hard by the recession of 1981-82 and by the erosion of international competitiveness owing to the rise in the value of the dollar now are considerably improved. Quite a few firms in those industries are operating essentially flat out and experiencing notable profit improvement. However, last year's economic performance had some disappointing features. The federal budget deficit remained high and our national saving low. This contributed to continued large current account and trade deficits. By keeping pressure on interest rates, the low rate of saving also was a factor behind the performance of business fixed investment last year. Investment slowed from 1987, especially in the second half of the year, even in the face of relatively rapid expansion of production and high levels of capacity utilization. In addition, overall inflation, in the area of 4 percent to 4Vi percent, during 1988 was a little above the general range in which it had fluctuated in the mid-1980s. The drought boosted food prices, adding somewhat to inflation last year, but this was largely offset by a leveling-off of energy prices. Prices of other consumer goods and services accelerated a bit. This acceleration is troubling, especially with inflation already at a level that would be unsatisfactory if it persisted. Although the step-up in consumer inflation to date has been rather small, some signs have emerged of greater acceleration in broad measures of costs of production. Wage gains accelerated toward the end of last year. Moreover, benefits took an unusually large jump in 1988, boosted in part by a sharp rise in health insurance costs and a hike in social security taxes—both of which add to business costs as directly as do wages. Overall, the employment cost index, a comprehensive measure of hourly wage and benefit rates, rose 5 percent in 1988, up significantly from 1987. Materials inputs also were adding to costs; the producer price index for intermediate materials and supplies excluding food and energy rose about 7 percent over the past year. ECONOMIC PROSPECTS AND MONETARY POLICY FOR 1989 On the whole, the economic expansion remains vigorous and unusually well balanced after more 274 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 than six years. There are few of the telltale distortions, such as widespread inventory overhangs or constricted profit margins, that typically have signaled the last phases of expansions. But with the economy running close to its potential, the risks seem to be on the side of a further strengthening of price pressures. In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve remains more inclined to act in the direction of restraint than toward stimulus. The determination to resist any pickup in inflation in 1989 and especially to move over time toward price stability shaped the Committee's decisions with respect to monetary and credit ranges for 1989. The Committee agreed that, particularly in this environment, progress toward these objectives likely will require continuing restraint on growth in money and credit. To this end, the Committee lowered the range for M2 a full percentage point to 3 percent to 7 percent and reduced the range for M3 Vi percentage point to V/i percent to IVi percent. The Committee also lowered the monitoring range for domestic nonfinancial sector debt Vi percentage point to 6Y2 percentage points to IOV2 percentage points. These were the ranges adopted on a tentative basis last June. We decided to retain the wider, 4-percentagepoint ranges that were adopted in 1988. The relationship of the monetary aggregates to economic performance has been quite variable in the 1980s. The relatively high interest elasticity of the aggregates, even after deregulation, makes them very sensitive to changes in money market conditions, which in turn can respond to developments in the real economy or prices. The resulting potential for sizable movements in velocity requires broader ranges to have reasonable assurance that the targets are consistent with satisfactory economic performance. Considerable uncertainties regarding the effects on the monetary aggregates of the resolution of difficulties in thrift institutions also argue for relatively wide ranges this year. Depending on the pace of asset growth of thrift institutions and changes in their deposit-pricing policies, the composition and growth of their liabilities could vary substantially from past patterns. For the same reasons, the Committee agreed to continue its current approach to the implemen- tation of policy, which involves monitoring a variety of economic and financial indicators, including growth of money and debt. In this regard, appropriate growth of M2 and M3 relative to their ranges will be determined in part by developments during the year. At present, it appears that the velocities of M2 and M3 are likely to rise this year, in response to the market interest rate increases to date and unusually sluggish adjustment of deposit rates. The Federal Reserve expects its policy in 1989 to support continued economic expansion while putting in place conditions for a gradual easing in the rate of inflation over time. However, the wage and price process may have developed some momentum. The central tendency of forecasts made by members of the Federal Reserve Board and presidents of Federal Reserve Banks is for inflation to rise slightly in 1989. But let me stress that the current rate of inflation, let alone an increase, is not acceptable, and our policies are designed to reduce inflation in coming years. This restraint will involve containing pressures on our productive resources, and, thus, some slowing in the underlying rate of growth of real GNP is likely in 1989. The central tendency of GNP forecasts for this year of Board members and Reserve Bank presidents is 2V2 percent to 3 percent; abstracting from the expected rebound from last year's drought losses, real GNP is projected to grow at closer to a 2 percent rate. Net exports are expected to continue to improve in 1989 as we make further progress in reducing our external imbalances, but this implies the need for restraint on domestic demand to contain pressures on our productive resources. With demands for labor growing more in line with expansion of the labor force, the unemployment rate is expected to remain near its recent level over 1989. MONETARY POLICY AND LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH Maximum sustainable economic growth over time is the Federal Reserve's ultimate objective. The primary role of monetary policy in the pursuit of this goal is to foster price stability. For all practical purposes, price stability means that Statements to Congress expected changes in the average price level are small enough and gradual enough that they do not materially enter business and household financial decisions. Price stability contributes to economic efficiency in part by reducing the uncertainties that tend to inhibit investment. Also, it directs resources to productive economic activity that otherwise would tend to be diverted to mitigating the financial effects of inflation. Price stability—indeed, even preventing inflation from accelerating—requires that aggregate demand be in line with potential aggregate supply. In the long run, that balance depends crucially on monetary policy. Inflation cannot persist without a supporting expansion in money and credit; conversely, price stability requires moderate growth in money—at rates below those prevailing in recent years. In the short run, demands can fall short of, or run ahead of, available resources, with implications for wage and price pressures and the appropriate stance of monetary policy. By altering reserve conditions and the money supply, and thus interest and exchange rates and wealth positions, monetary policy can assist in bringing about a better match between demand and potential supply and thereby contribute to aggregate price stability. When the economy is operating below capacity, bringing demand in line with supply can involve real GNP growth that is faster for a time than its long-run potential. For example, in the mid-1980s, the U.S. economy was recovering from a deep recession; with utilization of labor and capital not nearly complete, we were able to bring these resources back into the production process at a pace that substantially exceeded their underlying growth rates. In those circumstances, it is not surprising that growth of real GNP was relatively rapid while inflation performance was reasonably good. But when the economy is operating essentially at capacity, monetary policy cannot force demand to expand more rapidly than potential supply without adverse consequences. Such an attempt will result in accelerating prices and wages, as producers bid for scarcer, and at the margin less productive, labor and capital. Over time it would result in little if any additional output. 275 As a result of robust expansion in the last few years, the U.S. economy has absorbed much of its unused labor and capital resources. No one can say precisely which level of resource utilization marks the dividing line between accelerating and decelerating prices. However, the evidence—in the form of direct measures of prices and wages—is clear that we are now in the vicinity of that line. Thus, policies that foster more economic growth, if such growth is to be sustainable over the long run, should focus on aggregate supply. Aggregate supply depends on the size of the labor force and its productivity. Growth of the labor force basically is a function of increases in population and of individuals' decisions with regard to participation in the labor force. Labor productivity depends partly on the quantity and quality of capital and the overall efficiency in combining labor and capital in the production process. Given projections of likely expansion in the labor force and capital accumulation, most estimates of growth in long-run potential real GNP fall in a range below the average growth rates of real nonfarm GNP experienced over the last couple of years. Faster growth in real GNP would be possible for a time if we could use more of our labor and plant capacity without putting pressure on wages and prices. Monetary policy is not a useful tool to accomplish this. But microeconomic policies may well be, such as policies designed to improve the match between labor demands and supplies. Conversely, we must be careful to avoid approaches to our national needs that would add unduly to business costs or increase rigidities in labor and product markets. Perhaps most important over the long run, as the composition of production in the U.S. economy continues to evolve, we must intensify our efforts to educate our labor force to be productive in the increasingly high-technology world marketplace. In addition, the United States could improve its longer-run growth prospects by stepping up the pace of capital accumulation. Government policies can contribute to a higher rate of investment. Tax policies can help by ensuring that returns from capital are not taxed excessively or unpredictably. And fiscal policy can help boost the national saving rate. 276 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Ideally, increased national saving would involve some improvement in the private saving rate. Household saving is abysmally low in the United States, and business saving has not risen enough to offset that. However, it is not clear that past government policies have been very effective in boosting private saving. Probably the most direct and sure way of increasing saving is by a reduction in government dissaving. The Congress should follow the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings timetable and then seek a budgetary surplus by the mid-1990s. An improving federal budget position should have a variety of favorable effects. It can pave the way for a reduction in our external imbalance by freeing resources currently absorbed by domestic demand. By putting downward pressure on real interest rates, it can encourage domestic business capital formation and make housing more affordable. It can encourage households and businesses to focus more on the long run in economic planning. Monetary policy also has a role to play in encouraging capital formation and economic growth over time, by providing a stable price environment. Although the relationship between growth of money and the economy can vary from year to year, over the long haul there is a close relationship between money and prices. Recently, the Board's staff has done some interesting research on this subject. This work indicates that future changes in the rate of inflation have been fairly reliably linked to the difference between the prevailing price level and its equilibrium level. That equilibrium level is calculated at the current level of M2, assuming that real GNP is at its potential and velocity is at its long-run average. As you can see from the chart, inflation apparently tends to accelerate with a lag when actual prices are below the equilibrium value associated with current M2, and to decelerate when above it. This research suggests that despite relatively moderate expansion of M2 in recent years, the equilibrium value still is a little above the current price level, reinforcing the notion that the present risks are on the side of a pickup of inflation. This work also confirms that price stability ultimately will require somewhat slower M2 growth than we have experienced in recent years. Inflation indicator based on M2 Ratio scale Current price level (P) Long-run equilibrium price level given current M2(P*) 1960 1970 1980 1988 The current price level (P, the solid line in the top panel) is the implicit GNP deflator, which is set at 100 in 1982. The long-run equilibrium price level given current M2 (P*, the dashed line in the top panel), is calculated as P* = (M2 x V*)/Q*, where V* is an estimate of the long-run value of the GNP velocity of M2—the mean of V2 from 1955:1 to 1988:4—and Q* is a Federal Reserve Board staff measure of potential real GNP. The vertical lines mark the quarters when the difference between the current price level {P) and the long-run equilibrium price level CP*) switches sign, and thus when inflation, with a lag, tends to begin accelerating or decelerating. Inflation (bottom panel) is the percentage change in the implicit GNP deflator from four quarters earlier. For more details, see Jeffrey Hallman, Richard D. Porter, and David H. Small, M2 Per Unit of Potential GNP as an Anchor for the Price Level, Staff Studies 157 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, April 1989). FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS MONETARY POLICY AND The Federal Reserve recognizes that monetary policy over the coming year will be carried out against the backdrop of a financial system facing certain difficulties. The thrift and Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation situation is perhaps most pressing. The administration has proposed an extensive, workable plan for closing insolvent institutions, improving the regulation and supervision of savings and loan associations, and strengthening the deposit insurance funds. I will be presenting more detailed testimony on this topic before this committee. For now, let me simply encourage you and your colleagues to take the necessary legislative steps to resolve Statements to Congress this situation promptly. There appears to have been little, if any, effect of the savings and loan problem on mortgage availability and housing— thanks in part to financial innovation in the form of the mortgage-backed securities market. However, without quick and effective action the situation could deteriorate. Developments in the corporate sector warrant close scrutiny as well. The stock market has been recovering over the past 15 months, with few signs as yet of speculative excesses. However, as you know, corporate equity continues to be retired at a startling rate in conjunction with leveraged buyouts and other mergers and restructurings and has involved issuance of a correspondingly large amount of debt. As I have noted in recent congressional testimony, this phenomenon is complex, having both positive and negative dimensions. These restructurings often have added economic value through improved efficiency—an important consideration given the increasingly competitive nature of world markets. But the higher leverage leaves these firms, and potentially their creditors, more vulnerable to financial difficulties in event of a downturn. The Federal Reserve and other federal regulators are instructing bank examiners to review especially carefully loans to highly leveraged firms to maintain a safe and sound banking system. The international economy also will command the continuing attention of policymakers around the world. Among the industrial countries, greater concern about rising inflation followed the substantial economic growth recorded last year. Meanwhile, the process of adjustment of international imbalances appeared to have slowed somewhat in the second half of last year, and many developing countries continued to face serious problems of achieving sustained economic growth, fostering development, and servicing large external debts. Some have argued that these financial stresses, taken together, could hamstring the Federal Reserve's anti-inflationary policy. Certainly we have to take account of the effects of our actions on all sectors of the domestic and international economy and on financial markets; at the same time we recognize that monetary policy is not the 277 instrument to deal with structural financial stresses and imbalances here and abroad—and that attempts to do so may even worsen these problems. Backing away from policy adjustments needed to contain inflation will not solve the thrift problem, make the debt burden of heavily leveraged firms lighter, speed the process of international adjustment, or contribute to a fundamental solution of the economic problems of the developing countries. In fact, the thrift industry's problems, as well as the external debt problems of the developing countries, were exacerbated by the inflation of the 1970s. Attempting to lower interest rates in the short run through more rapid money growth against countervailing market pressures would quickly raise inflationary expectations, leading soon to higher, not lower, interest rates. Instead, the structural financial problems require the prompt application of microeconomically oriented solutions within the supervisory, regulatory, and legal framework. Imbalances in the world economy require the continued, patient application of responsible macroeconomic policies in the United States and in other industrial countries, as well as further progress in economic reforms by the developing countries. CONCLUSION For its part, the Federal Reserve will continue to seek monetary conditions that will reduce inflation. Our major trading partners are following consistent policies in their own economies. Together, these policies should bring about a more stable financial environment and promote longrun worldwide economic growth. Relatively stable long-term nominal interest rates and flattening yield curves around the industrial world are strong evidence that savers and investors are in accord with this view. Monetary policy, at least for the moment, appears on track in the United States. The task is to keep it on track while making necessary adjustments to fiscal policy and reforms to the regulation of financial institutions. In this way we can ensure vigorous and balanced economic conditions over the long run. • 278 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Chairman Greenspan presented identical testimony before the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, February 22, 1989. Statement by Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, February 23, 1989. I am pleased to appear today before this committee to outline the views of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on the legislation proposed by President Bush for the reform and recovery of the thrift industry. The Board supports this comprehensive package of proposals to strengthen the thrift industry, and depository institutions generally, as well as to prevent the serious problems of the thrift industry from recurring. The proposals in the bill include the following: (1) greatly enhanced supervisory, regulatory, and enforcement authority; (2) a new framework for resolving insolvent thrift institutions; (3) a separate insurance fund for thrift institutions under the administration of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), and (4) a strengthening of this new thrift fund, as well as the FDIC fund, through higher premiums. Besides this legislative program, a number of administrative measures have been taken, or are planned. As a first step to limit losses in insolvent institutions, more than 200 of them will be brought under federal control in the next few weeks. As part of this effort, we are contributing 150 Federal Reserve examiners to the overall task force. Moreover, to help attract responsible buyers for troubled thrift institutions, and as a result of the important changes in the environment for interstate banking, the Federal Reserve Board intends to reconsider the tandem operations restrictions on applications brought to the Board for acquisitions of failed or failing savings and loan associations. In addition, we have made arrangements with the Federal Home Loan Banks and the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC) to support these basic sources of liquidity for the thrift industry. I would like to focus my remarks today on the two major elements of the President's program: (1) the restructuring and reform proposals, and (2) the procedures for dealing with failed savings and loan corporations as well as the funding required to cover losses incurred by these institutions. Before turning to this task, I believe it would be useful to recall why we are facing a thrift problem and to draw some lessons from its causes. Today's thrift industry losses grew partly out of the vulnerability of a fixed rate, long-term, lender with relatively short-term liabilities, to changes in interest rates. As inflation, and interest rates, rose in the late 1970s and early 1980s and as deposit rate ceilings were phased out, the resulting mismatch on the rising cost of deposit liabilities and the fixed return on mortgage assets produced substantial losses and a serious erosion of industry capital. Into this situation other elements were added. Expanded powers were mixed with inexperienced or dishonest management, brokered deposits that fed unchecked growth, lax accounting standards, and seriously inadequate supervision, all within the context of adverse economic conditions. It is sobering how these factors led so quickly to insolvencies. In a short period, the serious, but manageable, maturity-mismatch problem became the disastrous asset-quality problem that we face today. In evaluating this situation, I would not limit my emphasis, as some have done, to focusing only on the decline in regional economies and, in particular, on the drop in oil prices. The regional economic problems were real, but in assessing responsibility it is important to recognize that the oversupply in the real estate market in certain areas was at least partially a result of the lending by the savings and loan associations themselves. During the period 1982 to 1985, in the face of declining oil prices, commercial real estate loans of savings and loan associations increased more than $57 billion (129 percent). In many cases these loans were made with an eye principally Statements to Congress focused on front-end fees, and without any reasonable assurance of repayment. A comparison with the banking industry is instructive. While the banks do not have real estate equity investment powers, nonrecourse lending by banks for commercial real estate development projects with thin borrower equity positions often puts the bank lenders in a position in which they are very close to equity investors. Taking this into account, it is all the more surprising that the estimated cost of resolving the thrift problems in Texas will run about $40 billion. In that state, where the economic environment for banks and thrift institutions is identical, the costs for resolving the problems of the banking industry, with assets that are much larger than those of the thrift institutions, should amount to considerably less than $10 billion. Clearly, the large absolute difference in costs, and the even larger difference in costs relative to assets, is evidence that the thrift industry experienced a systems failure, that is, a major lapse in public and private prudential standards. To deal with these problems, the new program focuses on the supervisory and regulatory reforms designed to ensure that the mistakes that have so adversely affected the thrift industry, its deposit insurance fund, and the taxpayers will not be repeated. A number of important steps have been proposed. A new insurance fund for thrift institutions will be established to be administered by the FDIC, separately from the insurance fund for banks, but with special powers for the FDIC to approve applications by thrift institutions for insurance, to make examinations, to initiate enforcement actions, to terminate insurance on an expedited basis, and to prohibit thrift institutions from exercising powers that could cause undue risk to the FSLIC insurance fund. Moreover, the proposal puts a new emphasis on adequate capital for the thrift industry as a cushion against losses and as a restraint on excessive risktaking. Accordingly, thrift institutions will be required to meet bank capital standards by June 1991, with the exception that they will be given 10 years to write off goodwill. For those institutions that do not meet this standard, growth can be restricted before the 1991 deadline and must be prohibited after this time. 279 Our estimates indicate that more than a majority of the thrift institutions with positive tangible capital under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) standards could meet the existing bank primary capital requirements; on a riskadjusted basis, we estimate that nearly twothirds would meet bank standards due largely to the favorable risk-weight given to 1- to 4- family residential mortgages under the risk-based measure of capital. If goodwill were to be immediately excluded from capital, the institutions falling below the standard would have to raise about $15 billion to $20 billion in capital to meet bank minimums. However, the proposed legislation, as noted, gives thrift institutions a 10-year period to write off the goodwill; thus, this major capital-raising effort can be spread over several years. It should be emphasized that if losses continue or accelerate due to further credit deterioration or interest rate exposure, the industry's need for capital could be substantial. Those institutions that cannot meet bank capital standards as set forth in the proposed legislation would necessarily have their growth restricted or may be required to shrink their assets. The administration's program also takes major steps toward restructuring the thrift supervisory and regulatory framework. Besides separating the insurance and regulatory functions, the proposal would create a new federal thrift regulator. The new regulator—the Chairman of the Federal Home Loan Bank System (FHLBS), who would be under the Secretary of the Treasury in the same relationship as the Comptroller of the Currency—should be more independent from the industry. Importantly, the FHLBS would be required to apply bank supervisory and accounting standards to the savings and loan associations. Moreover, the boards of directors of the Federal Home Loan Banks will be reconstituted along the lines of Federal Reserve Bank boards. This should make them more responsive to the broader public interest. In contrast to present arrangements, most of the membership of the boards will be drawn from outside the industry, including the chairman and vice chairman of the boards, who will be chosen by the new chief of the Federal Home Loan Bank System. Finally, 280 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 the Chairman of the FHLBS, as the new regulator and supervisor, would carry a mandate emphasizing safety and soundness, and would appoint the head supervisory agent at the Home Loan Banks who would be directly responsible to the FHLBS in Washington. These are both necessary and important reforms. Another step recommended by the President, to which we attach great importance, is the requirement that savings and loan associations that do not meet the qualified thrift lender (QTL) test (60 percent of assets in residential-related lending) in the Competitive Equality Banking Act of 1987 must, after an appropriate transition period, become banks and be subject to the entire regulatory and supervisory regime applicable to banks and their holding companies. We believe it is fully appropriate to confine the benefits of thrift status, involving both access to subsidized long-term borrowing from Federal Home Loan Banks and tax benefits, to only those institutions that devote a major part of their assets to promoting homeowner ship. Another important part of the reform package is the increase in insurance premiums for both thrift institutions and banks, as well as the authority for the FDIC to raise premiums for both types of institutions in the light of experience. For thrift institutions, for which the fund is now insolvent and in need of rebuilding, premiums under the proposal will rise in 1990 from their present level of 20.8 basis points to 23 basis points in 1991, remain at that level for three years, and then fall to 18 basis points in 1994. For banks the current premium of 8 basis points would increase 4 basis points in 1990, and another 3 points in 1991; and then would be held at that level. However, when the insurance funds reach the target for reserves of 1.25 percent of insured deposits, rebates would again be possible. The level of FDIC insurance reserves as a percentage of insured deposits has dropped in recent years to the present ratio of 0.83 percent, and it is important that this trend be reversed. The proposed premium increase for banks thus stands on its own merits, quite apart from anything that might be done about thrift institutions, as a necessary step to maintain the integrity of the FDIC fund against future contingencies. Another element of the President's program is a funding package designed to provide sufficient financial resources to resolve current and prospective insolvencies among FSLIC-insured institutions. This function would be assigned to a newly created Resolution Trust Corporation (RTC), which would be managed by the FDIC and operate under the direction of the Oversight Board composed of the Secretary of the Treasury, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, and the Attorney General. To accomplish its task, the RTC would be provided with $50 billion of funding—the proceeds of bonds issued by an RTC Funding Corporation. These funds would be used to resolve insolvent thrift institutions that have not received assistance from FSLIC or that will become insolvent over the next three years. Principal would be repaid with the proceeds of zero coupon bonds purchased from thrift industry resources, and the interest on the bonds would be paid with thrift industry and, if necessary, Treasury funds. The most recent data available (for September 30, 1988) indicate that about 470 thrift institutions, with assets of about $250 billion, are tangible capital insolvent. It seems prudent to assume that all of these institutions will require RTC assistance. We cannot know exactly what the resolution costs will be for these institutions, but based on FSLIC's estimates of the costs of its 1988 resolutions we estimate that it will cost around $40 billion to take care of these 470 institutions. Of course, many other FSLICinsured institutions are at present thinly capitalized, and some of these could well become insolvent during the three-year period for which RTC would be responsible for new insolvencies. We have looked at the cost of resolving new and existing insolvencies under different scenarios, and under some, unlikely, circumstances the resolution costs could exceed $50 billion. However, in our judgment, all things considered, the $50 billion should be adequate. There is, of course, much that is unknown, and that is now unknowable, that will affect this judgment. Marginal adjustments may be necessary as experience is gained to take account of, for example, additional costs or recoveries. The critical point is that the fundamental approach is sound and Statements to Congress has the necessary flexibility to adapt to changes in circumstances. Key to the RTC's ability to minimize costs is flexibility to pursue various resolution options. Such flexibility would permit the separate marketing of franchises and troubled real estate portfolios, which might broaden the market and thereby increase the values of both. In particular, in cases in which no franchise value remains in an organization, the least-cost option would likely be liquidation rather than purchase and assumption. To reduce overall costs, the RTC must have the resources necessary to pursue this course. When so much money is needed to make up for such large losses, partly from mismanagement, and in no small part due to fraud, is it reasonable to ask the taxpayers to pay any part of these costs? It is. The basis for my answer goes far beyond the congressional pledge of the full faith and credit of the United States behind insured deposits. The reason for public expenditure to support deposit insurance is the basic benefits to the economy as a whole that we derive from deposit insurance. The certainty and stability provided by deposit insurance benefit the nation as a whole, while they protect the individual from catastrophic loss. By giving the public confidence in the safety of its funds we avoid the deposit withdrawal and losses that disrupted the payments system and the savings and investment process in the 1930s. Losses of the kind that we face today should not happen, but with the gains to society as a whole that come with deposit insurance we must accept both the possibility and the reality that there will be losses to be borne by society as a whole. Our job now is not to see to it that there are never any losses as a result of deposit insurance; to do so would require limitations and rules that would put depository institutions lenders, and the economy they serve, in a straitjacket. Such a course would be costly to growth and efficiency. Our task is to see to it that the potential for losses is minimized to the extent possible and that steps are taken to ensure that the preventable governmental, regulatory, supervisory, and human failures that were the cause of the thrift industry losses do not happen again. 281 The Board attaches considerable importance to the provision of the proposed legislation that calls for the Secretary of the Treasury, in conjunction with the federal financial regulators, to undertake a study of the nation's deposit insurance system. There are major areas of concern about the system, focusing on its apparent bias toward excessive risktaking, its tendency in the direction of differential treatment of small and large institutions, and the unintended expansion of insurance coverage through such techniques as brokering deposits that have been disaggregated into $100,000 segments. A review, at both a conceptual and practical level, is needed of the consistency of an insurance system that evolved out of the Great Depression, on the one hand, with today's depositgathering industry of both small banks and giant modern financial services organizations that operate across markets and national boundaries, on the other. It will be no easy task. It must be done carefully and the recommendations implemented gradually to ensure a smooth transition to modified insurance arrangements. Without in any way meaning to prejudge the conclusions of the study, I would like to discuss several matters that should receive attention. First, I would note that all analyses of which I am aware have suggested that depositors are not effective at restraining imprudence or risktaking at banks and thrift institutions. They cannot be expected to have sufficient information and tend, in any event, to be either unresponsive or to run when faced with bad news. If the study confirms that view, the policy options that then must be seriously considered surely will include other ways to limit risktaking, such as enhanced supervision, different insurance assessment techniques, or use of subordinated capital that would not be protected in case of failure. The large cost to the public of the legislation before you suggests that we must consider the potential benefits of requiring prompt recapitalization, merger, or closure of troubled insured entities whose capital is declining, but still positive. Second, attention should be given to determining whether specialized fixed-rate residential lending institutions are needed today. This question is raised because of the costs and competitive distortions involved in subsidized borrowing 282 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 from Home Loan Banks, the dangers inherent in special regulatory and supervisory regimes for subsidized depository institutions, and the continued vulnerability of a large element of the thrift industry to increased interest rates. This question should also be considered because of the important changes in the mortgage market. In the past, home mortgages were a uniquely local product, almost always held to maturity by the original lender. Now, computers, modern telecommunications, and financial engineering have vastly changed this market. In today's market, mortgages frequently are originated by a wide variety of intermediaries, bundled into securitized products, and sold to institutional investors in all parts of the country— more than one-third of outstanding home mortgages are held in securitized form. This new environment may make it unnecessary to provide special government-subsidized facilities for mortgage lending and may make it possible to eventually bring all depository institutions under one regulatory and supervisory system. This issue should be given priority attention as part of the study of deposit insurance reform. Third, in considering the reforms that should be developed, considerable attention has been focused on the expanded investment and lending powers that have been granted to state-chartered thrift institutions. The study must examine the safeguards that should be developed for the future. These safeguards should not require rigid prohibitions on types of activities that may be engaged in by depository institutions. Rather, as a first step, consideration should be given to requiring that nonbanking activities of banks and thrift institutions take place in subsidiaries of holding companies to ensure that these activities are not subsidized by the federal safety net and that this safety net will not be responsible for covering any losses that may arise from these nonbanking activities. We have such a proposal under review at the Board. In addition, consideration should be given to amending and expanding existing law to limit risky nonbanking activities in banks and thrift institutions. I would like to close my testimony by stressing that it is vitally important for the Congress to move very promptly to consider and enact the President's proposals. We must make available the resources the regulators need to close insolvent thrift institutions. We must stop the continuing daily losses due to operating expenses that greatly exceed income as well as to the higherthan-normal rates that they must offer to attract deposits. In operating in this way, they not only hurt themselves and the insurance funds, but, as they drive up rates, they also injure their competitors and the economy as a whole. Prompt action is essential to maintaining public confidence in thrift institutions and their insurance fund. • Statement by Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. Senate, February 28, 1989. believe that it would be useful, however, if I were to review briefly where the economy has been over the past year and where it appears to us to be going. This may help to bring into focus the challenges that face monetary and fiscal policymakers. Principal among those challenges, in the view of the Federal Reserve, is setting the stage for sustainable, balanced growth, in part by preventing a corrosive inflationary psychology from taking hold. Fiscal, as well as monetary, policy has a role to play in achieving that objective and proceeding expeditiously is much more likely to get the job done. Overall, the past year has been a good one for the economy. In 1988, real GNP grew about 3LA percent, adjusted for crop losses caused by the It is a pleasure to appear before you this morning to discuss economic policy in the context of the broad objectives that are relevant to us in our respective spheres of policymaking. I have provided our recent Monetary Policy Report, and I shall avoid consuming a lot of your time discussing the details presented in that document. 1 I 1. See "Monetary Policy Report to the Congress," FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, v o l . 75 ( M a r c h 1989), pp. 1 0 7 - 1 9 . Statements to Congress drought, and payroll employment rose more than 3Vi million. Prospects had been uncertain as the year began, given the worldwide stock market break in October 1987, but gradually, it became clear that the economic expansion remained well on track and that market confidence was on the mend. Demand for goods and services was robust, and sizable gains in employment and output pushed levels of resource utilization still higher. The unemployment rate fell to, and then below, 51/2 percent, the lowest level since the mid-1970s, and the average manufacturing capacity utilization rate rose to the highest level since the late 1970s. As these developments unfolded, it became clear that the balance of risks was shifting in the direction of higher inflation. Consequently, the Federal Open Market Committee has applied increased pressures on bank reserve positions, in a series of steps beginning in the spring of 1988 and extending into this year. In addition, the discount rate was raised from 6 percent to 6V1 percent in August, and again last week to 7 percent. The policy restraint has led to an appreciable rise in short-term market interest rates. Also, growth of money has moderated, as rates on deposits lagged the rise in market rates. M2 and M3 finished the past year around the middle of their annual target ranges of 4 percent to 8 percent, and they have grown relatively slowly in recent months. Despite tightening money markets, longerterm interest rates have been relatively stable. Yields on Treasury bonds, for example, remained in a fairly narrow range around 9 percent for most of last year and, although rising most recently, are still not much above 9 percent. With inflation expectations apparently fairly stable and the expansion sustained, investments in the United States have looked attractive; the dollar's average value against major foreign currencies recovered from the late-1987 plunge and has been relatively stable for many months. Some of the developments of the past year suggest, however, that we still have work to do if we are to succeed in our task of achieving the goals of balanced expansion and the reduced inflation needed to sustain it. In the area of your direct interest, the federal budget, the deficit remains large. Meanwhile, private saving re- 283 mains low. The continued imbalance of domestic saving and investment is mirrored in the persistent large trade and current account deficits. In addition, although overall inflation last year—in the area of 4 percent to 4V2 percent— was only a little above the general range in which it had fluctuated in the mid-1980s, underlying trends were troubling. At the consumer level, the drought boosted food price inflation in 1988, but this was more than offset in the aggregate figures by a leveling-off of energy prices. Now energy prices are turning up. More fundamentally, prices of consumer goods and services other than food and energy accelerated last year and this faster pace extended into January. Furthermore, some signs have emerged of greater pressures in production costs. Wage increases accelerated toward the end of last year. Moreover, benefits took an unusually large jump in 1988, boosted in part by a sharp rise in health insurance costs and a hike in social security taxes—both of which add to business costs as directly as do wages. Overall, the employment cost index, a comprehensive measure of hourly wage and benefit rates, rose 5 percent in 1988, up significantly from 1987. Materials inputs also were adding to costs; the producer price index for intermediate materials and supplies excluding food and energy has been rising at an annual pace of about 7 percent for some time. The large increases in the producer finished goods and consumer price indexes in January could be early warnings that the cost-price process is gathering force. At the same time, the economy generally remains vigorous. The available data for January suggest that we moved into 1989 with considerable upward momentum. Moreover, widespread inventory overhangs or constricted profit margins, which typically have signaled the last phases of expansions, are not apparent. With the economy already operating at high levels of labor and plant utilization, and given the disturbing signs of strengthening price and cost pressures, the momentum of expansion implies risks that clearly remain on the side of accelerating inflation. It is just such an acceleration that could feed the kind of imbalances that ultimately bring expansions to an end. The Federal Reserve's earlier money market tightening and the discount 284 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 rate action last week were taken to forestall such imbalances to keep the economy on a more sustainable path toward price stability. The same determination to resist any pickup in inflation and especially to move over time toward price stability shaped the Committee's recent decisions with respect to target or monitoring ranges for money and credit in 1989. To this end, the Committee lowered the range for M2 by a full percentage point to 3 percent to 7 percent and reduced the range for M3 Vi percentage point to V/i percent to IVi percent. The Committee also lowered the monitoring range for domestic nonfinancial sector debt Vz percentage point to 6V2 percent to \QVi percent. The Federal Reserve expects its policy in 1989 to support continued economic expansion, even while putting in place conditions for a gradual easing in the rate of inflation over time. However, in light of present conditions, the central tendency of forecasts made by members of the Federal Reserve Board and presidents of Federal Reserve Banks is for inflation to rise slightly in 1989, with the consumer price index edging up to the range of 4V2 percent to 5 percent. With restraint on inflation requiring that we limit pressures on our productive resources, some slowing in the underlying rate of growth of real GNP is expected in 1989. The central tendency of GNP forecasts of Board members and Reserve Bank presidents for this year is 2Vi percent to 3 percent from the fourth quarter of 1988 to the fourth quarter of 1989; abstracting from the expected rebound from last year's drought losses, real GNP is projected to grow at closer to a 2 percent rate. Net exports are likely to continue to improve as we make further progress in reducing our external imbalances, but this implies the need for counterbalancing restraint on domestic demand. With demands for labor growing more in line with expansion of the labor force, the unemployment rate is expected to remain near its recent level during the course of the year. Looking beyond a one-year horizon, the primary role of monetary policy in the pursuit of the goal of maximum sustainable growth is to foster price stability. By this we mean establishing an environment in which expected changes in the average price level are small enough and gradual enough that they do not materially enter business and household financial decisions. Price stability—indeed, even preventing inflation from accelerating—requires that aggregate demand be in line with potential aggregate supply. Inflation in the longer term is essentially a monetary phenomenon. But large budget deficits contribute to the problem; they tend to put inordinate strains on financial markets and they directly fuel excess demand on resources. Thus, in the present circumstances, fiscal policy can help to smooth our progress over the next few years toward better price performance. Prompt and sustained action is becoming increasingly urgent. The situation today differs markedly from that of the mid-1980s, when the U.S. economy was recovering from a deep recession. Then, with utilization of labor and capital still quite low, we were able to bring these resources back into the production process at a pace that substantially exceeded their underlying growth rates. And in those circumstances, the growth of real GNP could be relatively rapid while the inflation performance was reasonably good. But as a result of the robust expansion, the U.S. economy has absorbed much of its unused labor and capital resources. No one can say precisely which level of resource utilization marks the dividing line between accelerating and decelerating prices. However, the evidence—in the form of direct measures of prices and wages—clearly suggests that we are now in the vicinity of that line. Thus, the thrust of both monetary and fiscal policies in the short run appropriately is more toward restraint than stimulus. The extent and duration of the financial market pressures that are likely, until overall demand moderation is achieved, will depend on the size and credibility of deficit-reducing measures. In this context, credibility will be much enhanced by a multiyear approach to budget action. I am mindful that, owing to significant efforts by the executive branch and the Congress, coupled with strong economic growth, the deficit has shrunk from 5 percent to 6 percent of GNP a few years earlier to a bit over 3 percent today. And abstracting from the effects of economic expansion, the cyclically adjusted, or structural, deficit as a share of potential GNP has fallen VA per- Statements to Congress centage points from its 1986 peak. Nonetheless, at about 3 percent, this share is still very large. Since the end of World War II, the structural deficit has exceeded 3 percent of potential GNP only since 1983. I am also mindful that the progress that has been made in narrowing the structural deficit in the past two years is even greater when we look only at the so-called primary portion of the deficit, that is when interest costs are removed. Interest outlays, of course, are now very large and their level will remain high as long as our stock of Treasury debt remains large. Nevertheless, growth in the interest component of the budget is volatile. It is spurred by large deficits, but it also picks up when interest rates are rising and then subsides when interest rates come down. For example, annual growth in interest costs averaged about $13 billion from 1980 to 1985, but since then has slowed to an average of about $7 billion per year. The most effective way to keep interest costs down is to forestall another virulent burst of inflation expectations such as we experienced a decade ago. Simple arithmetic tells us that an increase of 1 percentage point in actual inflation raises the cost of indexed programs 1 percent. But if the faster rate of inflation were to become embedded in expectations throughout the financial structure, interest rates, and ultimately federal debt service costs, would rise more than 10 percent from their current levels. We are fortunate that inflation expectations so far seem not to have worsened, and long-term interest rates have risen little in the past year despite a tightening in money markets. Both fiscal and monetary policies have a role to play in maintaining this situation. For the longer term, fiscal policy also has a special contribution to make in promoting growth in our production or supply capabilities. Reducing the deficit is the surest way to raise national saving, thereby lowering the average level of real interest rates, boosting domestic investment, and reducing our reliance on foreign capital. The federal deficits of recent years are threatening precisely because they have been occurring in the context of private saving that is low by both historical and international standards. In the 1980s, net personal plus business saving in the 285 United States has been about 2 percentage points lower relative to GNP than its average in the preceding three decades. Internationally, government deficits have been quite common among the major industrial countries in the 1980s, but private saving rates in most of these countries have exceeded the deficits by very comfortable margins. In Japan, for example, about 15 percent of its private saving is estimated to have been absorbed by government deficits, even though the Japanese general government has been borrowing more than 2Vi percent of its gross domestic product in the 1980s. In contrast, about half of private U.S. saving in the 1980s has been absorbed by the combined deficits of the federal and state and local sectors. Under these circumstances, such large and persistent deficits are slowly but inexorably damaging the economy. The damage occurs because deficits, which must be financed regardless of the level of interest rates, tend to pull resources away from interest-elastic private investment. When the pool of private saving is small, federal deficits and private investment tend to be forced into competition and private investment loses. To the extent that more resources are demanded than are available to be financed, interest rates will rise until sufficient excess demand is crowded out of the private sector. In the short run, the Federal Reserve can hold down nominal interest rates, but the result largely would be more inflation, with little or no lasting effect on real interest rates and the allocation of real resources. All else equal, any crowding out of productive investment damps the growth of the nation's capital stock, and the result is less capital per worker than would otherwise have been the case. This will surely engender a shortfall in labor productivity growth and, with it, a shortfall in growth of the standard of living. Moreover, the higher real interest rates associated with increased borrowing by the Treasury in the 1980s have been associated with a shift in the composition of investment away from longlived assets, such as factories, and toward computers and other shorter-lived equipment. Evidence points to a recent decline in the average service life of measured consumption spending as well, and suggests a systematic tendency for 286 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 the average service life of all spending to move inversely with real rates of interest. That is, the higher are real interest rates, the heavier is the concentration on spending that satisfies immediate desires or yields its returns quickly. Not surprisingly, we have already experienced a disturbing decline in the level of net investment relative to GNP, as depreciation has speeded up, reflecting shorter investment horizons. Net investment has fallen to 4.7 percent of GNP in the 1980s from an average level of 6.7 percent in the 1970s and even higher in the 1960s. The effects of this decline in the net investment share has been offset, to some extent, by increased productivity of certain short-lived capital such as computers, but nonetheless, slower investment has been associated with weak productivity performance. The U.S. net investment ratio is low, not only by our own historical standards, but by international standards as well. International comparisons of net investment should be viewed with some caution because of differences in the measurement of depreciation and in other technical details. Nevertheless, the existing data indicate that total net private and public investment as a share of gross domestic product over the period between 1980 and 1986 was lower in the United States than in any of the other major industrial countries except the United Kingdom. Even this U.S. investment performance may not be sustainable. The negative effects of federal deficits on growth in the capital stock in the 1980s may have been attenuated for a while by the strength of aggregate output growth over much of the past six years. Such rates of output growth undoubtedly boosted sales and profit expectations and, hence, business investment, but they cannot be maintained. Furthermore, net inflows of foreign saving in recent years have been an important addition to aggregate saving. In the 1980s, our ability to tap foreign saving has moderated the decline in the investment-GNP ratio. While the federal deficit rose about 2Vi percentage points relative to GNP between the 1970s and the 1980s, net inflows of foreign saving have mounted, on average, to almost 2 percent of GNP—an unprecedented level—from close to zero before. We welcome the discipline and efficiency gains of an open economy, but the continuation of inflows of foreign saving at current levels may be neither desirable nor possible. Evidence for the United States and for other major industrial nations over the past 100 years indicates that, for most countries, such sizable foreign net capital inflows have not persisted; hence, they may not be a reliable substitute for domestic saving on a long-term basis. In other words, domestic investment tends to be supported by domestic saving alone in the long run. Let me conclude by reiterating that the budget deficit must be brought down. While it is beguiling to contemplate the healthy growth of recent years in the context of large budget deficits, it is fanciful to conclude that these deficits have no adverse consequences. The prospect of a continuing imbalance between domestic saving and investment—with the accompanying constraints on growth and modernization of capital and the substantial reliance on foreign saving—poses risks for the future. Forward looking investors may react to those risks today in financial markets. I do not underestimate the difficult decisions that you must make if we are to achieve the necessary reduction in the deficit. But allowing deficits to persist courts instability in the near term and threatens potentially significant reductions over time in the U.S. standard of living. Chairman Greenspan presented identical testimony before the House Committee on the Budget, March 2, 1989. 287 Announcements CHANGE IN THE DISCOUNT RATE In the light of inflationary pressures in the economy, the Federal Reserve Board announced on February 24, 1989, an increase in the discount rate from 6V2 percent to 7 percent, effective immediately. In taking the action, the Board voted on requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and San Francisco. The Board subsequently approved similar requests by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, also effective February 24; and by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, effective February 27. The discount rate is the interest rate that is charged depository institutions when they borrow from their District Federal Reserve Banks. EXPRESSION OF SUPPORT FOR REFORM AND RECOVERY PROGRAM The Federal Reserve Board expressed its support for the reform and recovery program announced on February 6, 1989, by President Bush. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said, "This comprehensive package of measures to strengthen the thrift industry, and depository institutions generally, should assure that the problems that occurred in the savings and loans will not happen again." Chairman Greenspan urged prompt congressional consideration of the President's program. AMENDMENT TO REGULATION H The Federal Reserve Board approved on February 3, 1989, an amendment to Regulation H (Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System) to facilitate public ac cess to financial information regarding state member banks and U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. The amendment to Regulation H requires that banks make available to shareholders and the public, upon request, one free copy of the full year-end Reports of Condition and Income ("Call Reports") for the preceding two years or, as a substitute, other specified financial reports, which are routinely prepared by banks and that contain information equivalent to that presented in Call Reports. The amendment requires state-licensed agencies of foreign banks and state-licensed branches of foreign banks that are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to make available, upon request, one free copy of the three specified schedules from the two most recent year-end Reports of Assets and Liabilities of U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks. Covered institutions must provide the information as soon as is reasonably possible, but not later than April 1 of the year immediately following the end of the year to which the most recently available information pertains. Covered institutions must notify shareholders and the public of the availability of the information. The amendment takes effect April 1, 1989. INTERPRETATION TO REGULATION H The Federal Reserve Board announced on February 14, 1989, approval of an interpretation to its regulations authorizing state member banks to buy stock in some types of investment companies. The action provides state member banks with parallel authority to that of national banks. Under the interpretation to Regulation H, a state member bank could buy stock in an investment company that invests solely in U.S. Treasury and agency obligations, state and municipal obligations, corporate debt instruments, or other 288 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 securities that a member bank may purchase directly. The interpretation also includes a prior authorization to invest in the stock of money market mutual funds. PROPOSED ACTION The Federal Reserve Board announced for comment on February 24, 1989, a series of revised proposals regarding the finality accorded automated clearinghouse (ACH) credit and debit transactions processed by Federal Reserve Banks. Comment was requested by March 31, 1989. CHANGES IN BOARD STAFF The Federal Reserve Board announced on February 27, 1989, the appointment of J. Virgil Mattingly, Jr. as its General Counsel to succeed Michael Bradfield, who resigned, effective February 28. Mr. Mattingly had been Deputy General Counsel since 1985. Alan Greenspan, Chairman, Board of Governors, noted that Mr. Bradfield played a vital role, as a legal and policy advisor, in helping the Board manage its way through a particularly difficult period. "Mr. Bradfield's performance over the turbulent years of the 1980s has been outstanding," Dr. Greenspan said. The Board also announced on February 27, 1989, the appointment of Barry R. Snyder as Assistant Inspector General in the Office of Inspector General. Mr. Snyder has been a senior auditor since 1987. He holds certificates in information systems auditing and internal auditing, a bachelors degree from West Virginia University, and a masters degree from the University of Maryland. AVAILABILITY OF FEDERAL RESERVE STATISTICAL RELEASES THROUGH COMPUTERIZED BULLETIN BOARD The Federal Reserve Board and the Department of Commerce announced on February 27, 1989, the availability of six of the Board's statistical releases through Commerce's economic bulletin board. Commerce's computerized bulletin board, which can be accessed by the public on a fee basis, initially will provide four weekly and two monthly Board releases. Weekly releases now available are the following: H3 (Aggregate Reserves), H6 (Money Supply), H8 (Bank Credit), and H15 (Selected Interest Rates). Monthly releases now available are G12.3 (Industrial Production) and G3 (Capacity Utilization). Later this year, two other releases will be available in this form: the monthly G19 (Consumer Installment Credit) and the weekly H4.1 (Factors Affecting Reserve Balances). The annual subscription to access the Commerce Department's bulletin board is $25, which includes two hours of free access time with additional usage at $.10 a minute. The bulletin board also carries major economic releases from the Commerce Department and the Labor Department. The historical data for the six releases now available may be ordered in machine-readable form through the National Technical Information Service (NTIS), an agency of the Department of Commerce. For a free Catalog of Data Files produced by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, write to the National Technical Information Service, 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22161 or telephone (202) 487-4808 requesting PR790. For further information about these releases, contact either the Federal Reserve Board at (202) 452-3240 or the Commerce Department at (202) 377-1986. CHANGE IN DATABASE USED FOR COMPILING THE STATISTICAL APPENDIX TO THE BULLETIN Starting with the March 1989 issue of the BULLETIN, some of the series in the statistical appendix, "Financial and Business Statistics" beginning on page Al, have been converted to a new database that uses a different software package. The new software will facilitate more precise computation of weekly, monthly, quarterly, and yearly averages. Because of the changes in averaging techniques, some small discontinuities will Announcements occur between current data that are stored in the new system and previously published data that were produced by the old system. The following tables have been converted to the new system: 1.10, 1.17, 1.20, 1.22, 1.23, 1.24, 1.25, 1.26, 1.28, 1.30, 1.31, 1.32, 1.35, 1.37, 1.39, 1.40, 1.41, 1.42, 289 1.43, 1.45, 1.46, 1.47, 1.48, 1.50, 1.53, 1.54, 1.55, 1.56, 2.11, 2.15, 2.16, 2.17, 3.14, and 3.21. Over the next year, the rest of the tables in the statistical appendix will be converted, and announcements will be made from time to time of tables that have been added to the new system. 290 Record of Policy Actions of the Federal Open Market Committee MEETING HELD ON DECEMBER Domestic Policy 13-14, 1988 Directive Information on employment and production reviewed at this meeting suggested that, apart from the direct effects of the drought, economic activity had continued to expand at a vigorous pace although some measures of demand, available on a less current basis, still indicated more moderate growth. Recent price data showed a fairly stable inflation rate, partly because of the favorable effects of earlier oil price declines, while labor cost measures continued to indicate some acceleration from a year earlier. Total nonfarm payroll employment rose sharply in October and November. Following declines in late summer, gains in manufacturing employment were large in both months, with particularly sizable increases recorded in the machinery, electrical equipment, and lumber industries. Employment in service industries picked up significantly in November from the reduced pace of expansion in previous months. The civilian unemployment rate edged up to 5.4 percent in November but remained in the lower part of the narrow range that had prevailed since early spring. Industrial production advanced considerably further in October and November after a strong third quarter. Output of consumer goods continued to increase, on balance, at a fairly vigorous pace, and production of materials posted another solid gain in November. Output of business equipment also increased in November, but revised data indicated that such growth had moderated appreciably in recent months. Total industrial capacity utilization edged up further in November, and the operating rate in manufacturing reached its highest level since July 1979. Growth of overall consumer spending had moderated somewhat in recent months. Spending for nondurables had been sluggish in September and October, while outlays for durable goods had declined, mainly because of reduced purchases of cars. On the other hand, preliminary data for total retail sales in November indicated a strong advance following a large, upward-revised increase in October. Indicators of business capital spending suggested a substantially slower rate of expansion in October than earlier in the year. Shipments of nondefense capital goods were little changed, reflecting a fairly broad-based deceleration. Nonresidential construction edged down a little further, as petroleum drilling fell again and expenditures on commercial structures other than office buildings declined. Inventory investment in the manufacturing and wholesale sectors in the third quarter remained about in line with the growth of sales. In the retail sector, a buildup in inventories in the third quarter largely reflected additions to stocks by auto dealers; the expansion of nonauto stocks remained broadly in line with sales. Housing starts strengthened in October after changing little on balance over the previous several months. Excluding food and energy, producer prices of finished goods were unchanged in October after a sizable increase in September. At the consumer level, retail food prices eased in October and energy prices were little changed, but prices of other goods and services increased faster on balance than in preceding months. On a yearover-year basis, consumer prices continued to rise at about the 4Vi percent annual rate evident since late 1987. The limited data available for labor costs in the fourth quarter suggested that increases in these costs continued to exceed those of a year earlier. Preliminary data for the nominal U.S. mer- 291 chandise trade deficit in October showed a slightly smaller deficit than in September. The value of total imports fell, with declines recorded in capital goods, consumer goods, and oil. Exports also declined in October owing to lower agricultural sales abroad. Boosted by higher aircraft shipments, nonagricultural exports were unchanged from their September level. Economic activity accelerated or remained strong in most of the major foreign industrial countries in the third quarter but appeared to have slowed somewhat in the fourth quarter. In the foreign exchange markets, the tradeweighted value of the dollar in terms of the other G-10 currencies had declined about 2Vi percent on balance over the period since the Committee meeting on November 1, bringing it to a level 8 percent below its peak of last August. Following a brief respite in the week before the U.S. elections, the dollar was under downward pressure over most of the intermeeting period. However, the dollar firmed somewhat near the end of the period, as prospects were seen to be increasing for further reductions in the federal deficit and a tightening of monetary policy. At its meeting on November 1, the Committee adopted a directive calling for no immediate change in the degree of pressure on reserve positions. These reserve conditions were expected to be consistent with growth of M2 and M3 at annual rates of about 2Vi and 6 percent respectively over the period from September to December. The members agreed that somewhat greater reserve restraint would, or slightly lesser reserve restraint might, be acceptable depending on indications of inflationary pressures, the strength of the business expansion, the behavior of the monetary aggregates, and developments in foreign exchange and domestic financial markets. In the course of implementing policy following the November meeting, it became increasingly evident that a slightly higher federal funds rate than that anticipated at the time of the meeting was associated with a substantially lower volume of adjustment plus seasonal borrowing; for reasons that remained unclear, depository institutions exhibited a reduced willingness to come to the discount window. To take account of this change in borrowing behavior, and against a backdrop of recent information suggesting that the economic expansion retained considerable vigor and potential for price pressures, the Manager for Domestic Operations adjusted the reserve paths on November 22 to incorporate a lower level of borrowings, with the expectation that federal funds would continue trading in the slightly higher range that had prevailed recently. Over the intermeeting period, the federal funds rate rose nearly VA percentage point to around 8V2 percent. Other short-term market interest rates generally advanced by more than the federal funds rate over the intermeeting period, as expectations of a tighter monetary policy were stimulated by higher world oil prices, renewed weakness of the dollar, and the release of strong domestic economic data. The prime rate was increased 50 basis points. Rates in long-term debt markets also rose on balance, although by appreciably less than short-term rates. Stock prices fell over the first half of the intermeeting period, but most indexes rebounded subsequently to nearly their values at the time of the November 1 meeting. Growth of the broader monetary aggregates strengthened in November from the relatively sluggish rates of expansion recorded in previous months, especially for M2. The acceleration in M2 reflected strong expansion in its liquid retail components. M3 growth picked up somewhat less, as bank credit growth and associated funding needs remained moderate. On average in October and November, growth of M2 had been somewhat faster, and that of M3 slightly faster, than the Committee expected at the time of the previous meeting. With demand deposits running off again, Ml, which had increased only slightly on balance since midsummer, was virtually unchanged in November. The staff projection prepared for this meeting suggested that, after adjustment for the effects of the drought, economic growth in the current quarter might be near the vigorous pace of the third quarter but that expansion in 1989 was likely to moderate on balance. However, to the extent that expansion of final demand at a pace that could foster higher inflation was not accommodated by monetary policy, pressures would be generated in financial markets that would tend to restrain domestic spending. The staff continued to project some slowing in the growth of con- 292 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 sumer spending, sharply reduced expansion of business fixed investment, and sluggish housing activity. Foreign trade was expected to make an important contribution to growth in domestic output, despite some damping effects from the dollar appreciation that had occurred earlier in 1988 and somewhat slower growth abroad. The staff also anticipated some continuing cost pressures over the next several quarters, especially owing to reduced margins of unutilized labor and other production resources. In the Committee's discussion of the economic situation and outlook, the members focused on indications of continuing strength in the economic expansion. While some signs of prospective slowing in the expansion remained in evidence, recent data on employment and production suggested that the economy retained considerable momentum. A number of members commented that business activity had remained more robust than had seemed likely earlier, and many expressed concern that continued expansion at a relatively rapid pace raised the risk that inflation would intensify, given already high rates of capacity utilization in many industries and tight labor markets in many parts of the country. On balance, while somewhat more moderate growth continued to be viewed as a reasonable expectation for 1989, most members interpreted recent developments as suggesting that, in the absence of some added policy restraint, any moderation in the expansion might well prove to be insufficient to forestall a pickup in inflation, much less to permit progress to be made in reducing inflation over time. At the same time, some members cautioned that the risk of a recession stemming from a substantial tightening of policy should not be overlooked; in addition to job and output losses, a recession could impede progress in bringing the federal budget into balance and could have severe repercussions on the viability of highly leveraged borrowers and many depository institutions. In their review of developments bearing on the economic outlook, members took account of indications that overall domestic demands were being well maintained, including some recent strength in retail sales, and that exports remained on a clear uptrend. High levels of activity continued to characterize business conditions in many areas. Manufacturing was benefiting from growing export markets and the substitution of domestic products for higher-priced imports; moreover, many domestic producers had not yet exploited potential markets abroad. There were indications of some softening in business fixed investment, including a moderation of growth in outlays for equipment and reduced construction activity in a number of areas, notably those most affected by weak energy markets and previous overbuilding. Nonetheless, business contacts suggested that overall investment spending would continue to benefit from ongoing efforts in many industries to modernize or expand production facilities. With regard to housing construction, members reported somewhat depressed conditions in a number of areas, but the latest statistics for the nation as a whole were on the firm side of recent trends. In the course of the Committee's discussion, members gave a good deal of attention to the outlook for inflation. On the positive side, inflationary expectations did not appear to be worsening, as evidenced for example by the stability of long-term bond markets, and strong competitive pressures were encouraging business firms to persist in their efforts to hold down costs. Such competition continued to make it difficult for many businesses to pass on increasing costs through higher prices and tended to harden business resistance to demands for higher wages. With regard to labor costs, reports from local areas suggested that nonwage components were rising at a faster rate than wages but that large increases in the latter still were infrequent despite some shortages of labor. While the members saw no clear evidence in current aggregate measures of prices that the overall rate of inflation was worsening, key indicators of labor compensation suggested some uptrend and many members commented that the risks were in the direction of greater inflation, given the apparent growth of the economy at a pace above its long-run potential together with the relatively full employment of production resources. These risks would be heightened if the dollar were to decline significantly from current levels. Commodity prices appeared to have leveled off, but they showed little sign of reversing earlier increases, which themselves might not yet Record of Policy Actions of the Federal Open Market Committee have been passed through fully to consumer prices. Of particular concern was the prospect that, in the absence of a timely move to restraint, greater inflation would become embedded in the economy, especially in the labor-cost structure. A new wage-price spiral would then be very difficult to avoid and the critical task of bringing inflation under control would be prolonged and much more disruptive. A worsening of inflationary pressures and inflation expectations, if unchecked, eventually would foster higher interest rates and would lead to growing imbalances and distortions in the economy and almost certainly to a downturn at some point in overall economic activity. At its meeting in late June, the Committee reviewed its basic policy objectives for growth of the monetary and debt aggregates in 1988 and established tentative objectives for expansion of those aggregates in 1989. For the period from the fourth quarter of 1987 to the fourth quarter of 1988, the Committee reaffirmed the ranges of 4 to 8 percent that it had set in February for growth of both M2 and M3. The monitoring range for expansion of total domestic nonfinancial debt in 1988 was left unchanged from its February specification of 7 to 11 percent. For the year through November, M2 grew at an annual rate a little below, and M3 at a rate a little above, the midpoint of their annual ranges. Expansion of total domestic nonfinancial debt appeared to have moderated to a pace somewhat below the midpoint of its range. For 1989 the Committee agreed in June on tentative reductions to ranges of 3 to 7 percent for M2 and 3'/2 to IVi percent for M3. The monitoring range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt was lowered to 6Vi to 101/2 percent for 1989. It was understood that all the ranges for next year were provisional and that they would be reviewed in February 1989 in the light of intervening developments. With respect to Ml, the Committee reaffirmed in June its earlier decision not to set a specific target for growth in 1988, and it also decided not to establish a tentative range for 1989. In the Committee's discussion of policy for the near term, nearly all the members supported a proposal that called for an immediate increase in the degree of reserve pressure to be followed by some further tightening at the start of 1989 unless 293 incoming evidence on the behavior of prices, the performance of the economy, or conditions in financial markets differed greatly from current expectations. The appropriate degree of reserve restraint also would be reevaluated in the event of an increase in the discount rate. While the members recognized that the degree of monetary restraint could be overdone, they generally felt that the risks of a downturn stemming from the limited tightening under consideration were extremely small and needed to be accepted in light of what they perceived as the much greater threat of a recession if inflation were allowed to intensify. Expressing a differing view, one member commented that further restraint was undesirable in light of that member's expectation that economic growth over the next several quarters was likely to be at a pace consistent with progress against inflation. While all but one member agreed on the need for some further monetary restraint, views differed to some extent with regard to the appropriate degree and timing of such restraint. A number of members indicated a preference for a stronger immediate move to greater restraint, given their perception of the urgency of countering inflation expectations and inflationary pressures in the economy. Other members did not disagree that inflation was a serious problem, but they preferred a more gradual approach to further restraint in order to minimize potential market disturbances, especially around the year-end, and to facilitate adjustments to rising interest rates. It also was suggested that more marked tightening at this time could have the unintended effect of fostering an escalation of interest rates in world markets, with especially undesirable effects on many less developed debtor nations. In the discussion of adjustments in the provision of reserves through open market operations, many members commented on how a possible increase in the discount rate might interact with such operations. Several favored the implementation of a tighter policy through the discount rate in order to signal more clearly than through a gradual tightening of reserve conditions the System's ongoing commitment to an anti-inflationary policy. Other members expressed concern that, under immediately prevailing circumstances, an increase in the discount rate might 294 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 have exaggerated repercussions on domestic and international financial markets. The Committee concluded that in the event of an increase in the discount rate during the intermeeting period the members would need to consult regarding the implications for the conduct of open market operations. In the course of the Committee's discussion, the members took account of a staff analysis which suggested that monetary growth was likely to remain relatively restrained in the months immediately ahead, especially if reserve conditions were tightened. An increase in the degree of reserve restraint in line with that contemplated by the Committee would reduce growth of M2 somewhat from its recent pace, assuming a typically delayed adjustment in deposit rates to rising short-term market interest rates, while growth of M3 would continue at a somewhat higher rate than that of M2. Several members observed that restrained monetary growth would continue to be desirable, and some expressed concern that in the absence of some tightening of reserve conditions such growth might accelerate, with inflationary implications under foreseeable economic conditions. On the other hand, in light of the limited growth in the monetary base and reserves in the past several months, some other members cautioned that sharp additional restraint on reserve provision could have an undesirably restraining effect on monetary growth and the economy. With regard to the proposed move toward further monetary restraint shortly after the yearend, it was understood that such firming would be implemented unless emerging economic and financial conditions were to differ markedly from current expectations. Should unanticipated developments of that kind occur or should the Board of Governors approve an increase in the discount rate during the intermeeting period, the Chairman would call for a special consultation of the Committee. On the question of any additional adjustment in policy, the members generally agreed that policy implementation should remain especially alert to incoming information that might call for further firming beyond that already contemplated. In light of the tightening of reserve conditions after today's meeting and the presumption that some further monetary restraint would be implemented later during the intermeeting period, the members decided to raise the intermeeting range for the federal funds rate by 1 percentage point to 7 to 11 percent. With such an increase, federal funds would be expected to trade at rates averaging closer to the middle of the range. That range provides one mechanism for initiating consultation of the Committee when its boundaries are persistently exceeded. At the conclusion of the Committee's discussion, all but one of the members indicated that they favored or could accept a directive that called for some immediate firming of reserve conditions, with some further tightening to be implemented at the start of 1989, assuming that economic and financial conditions remained reasonably consistent with current expectations. In keeping with the Committee's usual approach to policy, the conduct of open market operations would be subject to further adjustment during the intermeeting period based on indications of inflationary pressures, the strength of the business expansion, the behavior of the monetary aggregates, and developments in foreign exchange and domestic financial markets. Depending on such developments, some added reserve restraint would be acceptable, or some slight lessening of reserve pressure might be acceptable. The reserve conditions contemplated at this meeting were expected to be consistent with growth of M2 and M3 at annual rates of around 3 percent and 6V2 percent respectively over the four-month period from November 1988 to March 1989. At the conclusion of the meeting, the following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that, apart from the direct effects of the drought, economic activity has continued to expand at a vigorous pace. Total nonfarm payroll employment rose sharply in October and November, with sizable increases indicated in manufacturing after declines in late summer. The civilian unemployment rate, at 5.4 percent in November, remained in the lower part of the range that has prevailed since early spring. Industrial production advanced considerably in October and November. Housing starts turned up in October after changing little on balance over the previous several months. Growth in consumer spending has been somewhat more moderate in recent months, and indicators of business capital spending suggest a substantially Record of Policy Actions of the Federal Open Market Committee slower rate of expansion than earlier in the year. The nominal U.S. merchandise trade deficit narrowed further in the third quarter. Preliminary data for October indicate a small decline from the revised deficit for September. The latest information on prices and wages suggests little if any change from recent trends. Interest rates have risen since the Committee meeting on November 1, with appreciable increases occurring in short-term markets. In foreign exchange markets, the trade-weighted value of the dollar in terms of the other G-10 currencies declined significantly further on balance over the intermeeting period. Expansion of M2 and M3 strengthened in November from relatively slow rates of growth in previous months, especially in the case of M2. Thus far this year, M2 has grown at a rate a little below, and M3 at a rate a little above, the midpoint of the ranges established by the Committee for 1988. Ml has increased only slightly on balance over the past several months, bringing growth so far this year to 4 percent. Expansion of total domestic nonfinancial debt for the year thus far appears to be at a pace somewhat below that in 1987 and around the midpoint of the Committee's monitoring range for 1988. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks monetary and financial conditions that will foster price stability over time, promote growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to an improved pattern of international transactions. In furtherance of these objectives, the Committee at its meeting in late June reaffirmed the ranges it had established in February for growth of 4 to 8 percent for both M2 and M3, measured from the fourth quarter of 1987 to the fourth quarter of 1988. The monitoring range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt was also maintained at 7 to 11 percent for the year. For 1989, the Committee agreed on tentative ranges for monetary growth, measured from the fourth quarter of 1988 to the fourth quarter of 1989, of 3 to 7 percent for M2 and 3 V2 to IV2. percent for M3. The Committee set the associated monitoring range for growth of total domestic nonfinancial debt at 6V2 to IOV2 percent. It was understood that all these ranges were provisional and that they would be reviewed in early 1989 in the light of intervening developments. With respect to Ml, the Committee reaffirmed its decision in February not to establish a specific target for 1988 and also decided not to set a tentative range for 1989. The behavior of this aggregate will continue to be evaluated in the light of movements in its velocity, developments in the economy and financial markets, and the nature of emerging price pressures. In the implementation of policy for the immediate future, the Committee seeks to increase somewhat the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions. Taking account of indications of inflationary pressures, the strength of the business expansion, the behavior of the monetary aggregates, and developments in foreign exchange and domestic financial markets, somewhat 295 greater reserve restraint would, or slightly lesser reserve restraint might, be acceptable in the intermeeting period. The contemplated reserve conditions are expected to be consistent with growth of M2 and M3 over the period from November through March at annual rates of about 3 and 6V2 percent, respectively. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that reserve conditions during the period before the next meeting are likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 7 to 11 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Greenspan, Corrigan, Angell, Black, Forrestal, Heller, Hoskins, Johnson, Kelley, LaWare, and Parry.Vote against this action: Ms. Seger. Ms. Seger dissented because she viewed current business indicators as already pointing on balance to slower economic expansion, and in the circumstances she did not feel that any added monetary restraint was needed to foster economic conditions consistent with progress in reducing inflationary pressures. In the context of already restrained monetary growth, she was concerned that a further increase in the degree of reserve pressure would pose unnecessary risks to interest-sensitive sectors of the economy and ultimately to the sustainability of the expansion itself. She expressed particular concern that the higher interest rates implied by greater monetary restraint would aggravate the condition of financially troubled thrift institutions. At this meeting the Committee reviewed its current procedure for implementing open market operations against the background of a marked change over recent months in the relationship between the level of adjustment plus seasonal borrowing and the federal funds rate. The current procedure of focusing on the degree of reserve restraint, as indexed by borrowed reserves, had been implemented with some flexibility in recent weeks in light of the substantial shortfall of borrowing in relation to expectations. The policy results had been satisfactory, but some members proposed that consideration be given to focusing more directly on the federal funds rate in carrying out open market operations, particularly if uncertainty about the borrowing-federal funds relationship were to persist. Others felt that despite its drawbacks, the current procedure had 296 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 a number of advantages, including that of allowing greater scope for market forces to determine short-term interest rates. The Committee concluded that no changes in the current procedure were needed at this time, but that flexibility would remain important in accomplishing Committee objectives under changing circumstances. 297 Legal Developments INTERPRETATION OF REGULATION H The Board of Governors has issued an interpretation of Regulation H, Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System, 12 C.F.R. Part 208, authorizing state member banks to purchase and hold for their own accounts stock of investment companies that are authorized to invest in certain securities that the banks may purchase directly and no others, but that may also enter into futures, forwards, options, repurchase agreements, and securities lending contracts relating to assets the banks may purchase directly. This action will expand the investment authority of state member banks, and will provide those institutions an opportunity to increase the diversity of their investments. Because this authority includes authority for state member banks to invest in stock of money market mutual funds (MMMFs), the Board has also rescinded 12 C.F.R. 208.123. That interpretation authorized state member banks to invest in stock of MMMFs. Effective February 17, 1989, pursuant to authority under section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act, 12 U.S.C. §§ 321 et seq., the Board is amending 12 C.F.R. Part 208 as follows: Part 208—Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System 1. The authority citation for Part 208 continues to read as follows: Authority: Sections 9, 11, and 21 of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. §§ 321-338, 248, and 486, respectively); sections 4 and 13(j) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (12 U.S.C. § 814 and 1823(j), respectively); section 7(a) of the International Banking Act of 1978 (12 U.S.C. § 3105); sections 907 - 910 of the International Lending Supervision Act of 1983 (12 U.S.C. § 3906 - 3909); sections 2, 12(b), 12(g), 12(i), 15B(c)(5), 17, 17A, and 23 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. § 78b, 78/(b), 78/(g), 78/(i), 78o-4(c)(5), 78q, 78q-l, and 78w, respectively); and section 5155 of the Revised Statutes (12 U.S.C. § 36) as amended by the McFadden Act of 1927. 2. Section 208.123 is removed. 3. Part 208 is amended by adding Section 208.124 to read as follows: Section 208.124—Purchase of investment company stock by a state member bank (a) Scope. The Board of Governors has been asked whether a state member bank may purchase and hold for its own account stock of investment companies (mutual funds) whose portfolios consist entirely of securities that state member banks may purchase directly, and futures, forwards, options, repurchase agreements and securities lending contracts relating to those securities. (b) Investment authority. The National Bank Act, 12 U.S.C. § 24(7), provides that a national bank may purchase for its own account investment securities under such limits and restrictions as the Comptroller of the Currency may prescribe. The statute defines "investment securities" to mean marketable obligations evidencing indebtedness of any person, partnership, association, or corporation in the form of bonds, notes, and debentures. The Act further limits the holdings of securities of any one issuer to an amount equal to ten percent of the capital stock and surplus of the bank. These limits, however, do not apply to obligations issued by the United States, general obligations of any state or any political subdivision of any state, and to certain obligations of federal agencies. The restrictions of 12 U.S.C. 24(7) also apply to state member banks under 12 U.S.C. § 335. (c) Authorization. The Board has determined that a state member bank may purchase and hold for its own account stock of any investment company (including a money market mutual fund), subject to the following conditions: (1) Investment authority of the investment company. The investment company may have authority, as stated in the investment objectives of its current prospectus, to invest in the following securities and no others: United States Treasury and agency obligations, general obligations of states and municipalities, corporate debt securities, and any other securities designated in 12 U.S.C. § 24(7) as eligible for purchase by national banks that state member banks 298 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 are authorized to purchase directly. The investment company may have authority, as stated in the investment objectives of its current prospectus, to enter into futures, forwards and option contracts relating to the above securities when those futures, forwards and option contracts are to be used solely to reduce interest rate risk and not for speculation. The investment company may also have authority, as stated in the investment objectives of its current prospectus, to enter into repurchase agreements and securities lending contracts relating to the securities designated above if those contracts comply with policy statements adopted by the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council. See 45 Federal Register 18,120 (March 20, 1980) and Federal Reserve Regulatory Service 3-1535, 3 1579.1, and 3-1579.5. (2) Limits on investment. (i) If the portfolio of the investment company in which a state member bank may invest consists solely of obligations that the bank could purchase without restriction as to amount, or solely of those obligations and futures, forwards, options, repurchase agreements and securities lending contracts relating solely to those obligations, no express limit is placed on investment. (ii) If the portfolio of the investment company in which a state member bank may invest includes any securities that the bank could purchase subject to a restriction as to amount, the pro-rata share of holdings of such securities of an issuer indirectly held by a state member bank through its holdings of investment company stock (including money market mutual funds), when aggregated with the direct investment in securities of that issuer by the bank, must not exceed the investment limit. (3) Registration of publicly offered investment company stock. Except as provided in section (c)(4), investment company stock purchased by a state member bank must be of an investment company registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and the Securities Act of 1933. (4) Privately offered fund. The stock purchased may be of a privately offered fund if the sponsor of the fund is a subsidiary of a bank holding company, and if the stock of the fund is held solely by subsidiaries of the bank holding company. (5) Proportionate and undivided interest. The stock purchased must represent an equitable, equal, and proportionate undivided interest in the underlying assets of the investment company. (6) Stockholders shielded from liability. The stockholders must be shielded from personal liability for acts and obligations of the investment company. (7) Bank investment policy and procedures. (i) The investment policy of the bank, as formally approved by its board of directors, must specifically provide for investment in investment company stock. The investment policy must establish procedures, standards, and controls that relate specifically to investments in investment company stock. (ii) Prior approval of the board of directors of the bank must be obtained for investment in a specific investment company and recorded in the official board minutes. (iii) Unless the investment objectives of the investment companies, as stated in their current prospectuses, restrict investments to those obligations that the state member bank could purchase without restrictions to amount, the bank must review its holdings of investment company stock at least quarterly to ensure that investments have been made in accordance with established bank policies and legal requirements. (8) Reporting and accounting. Reporting of holdings of investment company stock must be consistent with established standards for "marketable equity securities." Accordingly, the instructions for the quarterly Reports of Condition and Income and the requirements of the Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement No. 12 must be followed. (i) Holdings of investment company stock must be reported as "All other" securities on Schedule RC-B, Item 4(b) on the quarterly Reports of Condition, unless otherwise directed. (ii) In no case may the carrying value of investment company stock be increased above aggregate cost as a result of net unrealized gains. Holdings of investment company stock must be reported in the Reports of Condition at the lower of their aggregate cost or aggregate market value, determined as of the report date. (iii) Sales fees, both "front end load" and "deferred contingency," must be deducted in calculating market value. (iv) Any net unrealized loss or increase in a previously recorded net unrealized loss must be charged directly against "undivided profits and capital reserves." Subsequent reductions of any net unrealized loss must be credited directly to "undivided profits and capital reserves." (v) A loss on an individual investment that is other than temporary, as that term is used for purposes of FASB Statement No. 12, must be charged to "noninterest expense" on Schedule RI of the Income Statement. (d) Evaluation of investment risk. Investments in stock of investment companies and direct investments in Legal Developments debt securities are not treated the same for accounting, tax, and other purposes. Consequently, state member banks should evaluate investments in investment company stock in light of these differences and give special attention to the risks these differences impose. 1 (e) No effect on state law. This interpretation shall not be construed as exempting a state member bank from any provision of state law. AMENDMENT TO REGULATION H The Board of Governors is adopting three technical amendments to 12 C.F.R. Part 208, its Regulation H. The first change makes it clear that, if a state member bank has filed its Report of Condition and Income ("Call Report") electronically, the signatures on the published copy of the Call Report must be the same as the signatures on the hard copy retained in the bank's files. The second change replaces the current requirement that a state member bank submit a certification of publication to its Reserve Bank with a requirement that it retain a copy of its published Call Report in its files and make it available to examiners upon request. The last change deletes outdated references in Regulation H to a report form concerning state member bank affiliates. Effective March 1, 1989, pursuant to the Board's authority under section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act, 12 U.S.C. §§321 et seq., the Board is amending 12 C.F.R. Part 208 as follows: Part 208—Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System 299 Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. §§ 78b, 78/(b), 78/(g), 78/(i), 78o-4(c)(5), 78q, 78q-l, and 78w, respectively) ; and section 5155 of the Revised Statutes (12 U.S.C. § 36) as amended by the McFadden Act of 1927. 2. Section 208.10(a)(3) is amended by changing the words "(Form F.R. 105a)" to read "(Forms FFIEC 031-034)" and by revising the last sentence to read as follows: Section 208.10—[Amended] (a) ^ H4 ^ QJ *** All signatures shall be the same in the published statement (although they may be typed or otherwise copied on the report for publication): (i) as in the original report submitted to the Federal Reserve Bank if the bank does not submit its report of condition electronically, or (ii) as retained in the bank's files in hard copy if the bank has filed its report of condition electronically. The hard copy retained in the bank's file must be made available to examiners upon request. 3. Section 208.10(a)(4) is revised to read as follows: ^ *** A copy of the printed report shall be retained in the bank's files and made available to examiners upon request. 1. The authority citation for 12 C.F.R. Part 208 continues to read as follows: Authority: Sections 9,11(a), 11(c), 19, 21, 25, and 25(a) of the Federal Reserve Act, as amended (12 U.S.C. §§ 321-338, 248(a), 248(c), 461, 481-486, 601, and 611, respectively); sections 4 and 13(j) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act, as amended (12 U.S.C. §§ 1814 and 1823(j), respectively); section 7(a) of the International Banking Act of 1978 (12 U.S.C. § 3105); sections 907-910 of the International Lending Supervision Act of 1983 (12 U.S.C. §§ 3906-3909); sections 2, 12(b), 12(g), 12(i), 15B(c)(5), 17, 17A, and 23 of the 1. The Board has issued a cautionary letter in conjunction with this interpretation. This letter recommends that a state member bank avoid undue concentration of investments in the stock of any fund or family of funds and apprises state member banks of the accounting and tax treatment of holding investment company stock. See Federal Reserve Regulatory Service 3-416.16. 4. Section 208.10(b) is amended by deleting the first sentence in paragraph (2) and removing the words "attached to the certificate on Form F.R. 220a" at the end of paragraph (3). AMENDMENT TO REGULATION H The Board of Governors is amending 12 C.F.R. Part 208, its Regulation H. The purpose of the amendment is to make available to the public information regarding the financial condition of state member banks and U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. The amendment requires state member banks to make banks to make available to shareholders and any member of the public, upon request, information re- 300 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 garding each such bank's financial condition in the form of the bank's two most recent year-end Reports of Condition and Income ("Call Reports") (OMB No. 7100-0036). As alternatives to furnishing the Call Reports, at each bank's option, persons requesting such information may be given one of the following: (1) specified schedules from the two most recent year-end Call Reports; (2) in the case of a bank required to file statements and reports pursuant to Regulation H, a copy of the bank's annual report to shareholders for meetings at which directors are elected; (3) copies of independently audited financial statements (accompanied by a company of the certificate or report of the independent accountant) if they contain information comparable to that presented in the two most recent year-end Call Report schedules specified for alternative (1) above; or (4) in the case of a state member bank that is the only bank subsidiary of a bank holding company, that is majority owned by that bank company, and that has assets equal to 95 percent or more of the bank holding company's consolidated total assets: (A) a copy of the annual report of the one-bank holding company prepared in conformity with the regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"); or (B) if the holding company has assets of $150 million or more, copies of those portions of the bank holding company's two most recent yearend Form FR-Y-9C, "Consolidated Financial Statements for Bank Holding Companies With Total Consolidated Assets of $150 Million or More, or With More Than One Subsidiary Bank" (OMB No. 7100-0128), that are comparable to the Call Report schedules specified for alternative (1) above. The amendment also requires state licensed agencies of foreign banks and state licensed branches of such banks that are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to make available, upon request, the following schedules from the two most recent year-end Reports of Assets and Liabilities of U.S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks ("Foreign Branch and Agency Call Reports") (OMB No. 7100-0032): Schedules RAL (Assets and Liabilities), E (Deposit Liabilities and Credit Balances), and P (Other Borrowed Money). Effective April 1, 1989, pursuant to the Board's authority under section 11 of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, as amended (12 U.S.C. § 248), and section 7 of the International Banking Act of 1978 (12 U.S.C. § 3105(b)), the Board amends 12 C.F.R. Part 208 as follows: Part 208—Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System 1. The authority citation for Part 208 continues to read as follows: Authority: Sections 9, 11, and 21 of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. §§ 321-338, 248, and 486, respectively); sections 4 and 13(j) of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (12 U.S.C. §§ 1814 and 1823(j), respectively); section 7(a) of the International Banking Act of 1978 (12 U.S.C. § 3105); sections 907 - 910 of the International Lending Supervision Act of 1983 (12 U.S.C. §§ 3906 - 3909); sections 2, 12(b), 12(g), 12(i), 15B(c)(5), 17, 17A, and 23 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (15 U.S.C. §§ 78b, 78/(b), 78/ (g), 78/(i), 78o-4(c)(5), 78q, 78q-l, and 78w, respectively); and section 5155 of the Revised Statutes (12 U.S.C. § 36) as amended by the McFadden Act of 1927. 2. Section 208.17 is added to read as follows: Section 208.17—Disclosure of financial information by state member banks (a) Purpose and scope. The purpose of this section is to facilitate the dissemination of publicly available information regarding the financial condition of state member banks, state licensed agencies of foreign banks, and state licensed branches of foreign banks that are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. This section requires all state-chartered banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System and all other covered institutions: (1) to make year-end Call Reports or Reports of Assets and Liabilities of U. S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks or, in the case of state member banks, other alternative financial information, available to shareholders, customers, and the general public upon request; and (2) to advise shareholders and the public of the availability of this information. This section does not amend or modify the publication requirements of section 208.10, or any other section of this regulation. (b) Definitions. For purposes of this section, the following definitions apply: (1) "Call Report" means the Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (OMB No. 7100-0036) filed pursuant to 12 U.S.C. § 324 and section 208.10 of this regulation (12 C.F.R. § 208.10). Legal Developments (2) "State member bank" means a bank that is chartered by a State and is a member of the Federal Reserve System. (3) "Other covered institutions" means state licensed agencies of foreign banks, or state licensed branches of foreign banks that are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. (c) Availability of financial information. (1) Shareholders. Each state member bank shall advise its shareholders, by a written announcement, which may be included in the notice of the annual shareholders' meeting, that one copy of certain financial information is available free of charge upon request. The announcement shall include, at a minimum, an address or telephone number to which requests may be directed. (2) General public. State member banks and other covered institutions shall use reasonable means at their disposal to advise the public of the availability of information pursuant to this section. Bankers' banks, as defined by the Federal Reserve Act, as amended by the Monetary Control Act of 1980 (Title I of Pub. L. 96-221), and 12 C.F.R. 204.121, are exempt from this requirement. The notification to the public shall state that one copy of the information is available free of charge upon request and state an address or telephone number to which requests may be directed. (d) Financial information to be provided by state member banks. The bank shall have discretion to determine which type of information, identified in this subsection, to release. The bank shall make the information it chooses to release available as soon as is reasonably possible but not later than April 1 of the year immediately following the end of the year to which the most recently available information pertains. State member banks shall fulfill the requirements of this section by providing, upon request, at least one free copy to each requestor of the following information: (1) copies of their entire Call Report for the most recent year end and the prior year end, excluding any information for which confidential treatment is permitted pursuant to the Call Report instructions; or (2) copies of only the following schedules from their Call Reports for the most recent year end and the prior year end, excluding any information for which confidential treatment is permitted pursuant to the Call Report instructions: (i) Schedule RC (Balance Sheet); (ii) Schedule RC-N (Past Due and Nonaccrual Loans and Leases); (iii) Schedule RI (Income Statement); 301 (iv) Schedule RI-A (Changes in Equity Capital); and (v) Schedule RI-B (Charge-offs and Recoveries and Changes in Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses)—Part I may be omitted; or (3) in the case of a bank required to file statements and reports pursuant to the Board's Regulation H a copy of the bank's annual report to shareholders for meetings at which directors are to be elected or the bank's annual report; or (4) in the case of a bank with independently audited financial statements, copies of the audited financial statements and the certificate or report of the independent accountant if such statements contain information for the two most recent year ends comparable to that specified in subsection (d)(2); or (5) in the case of a bank that is the only bank subsidiary of a bank holding company, that is majority owned by that bank holding company, and that has assets equal to 95 percent or more of the bank holding company's consolidated total assets, a copy of either: (i) the annual report of the bank holding company prepared in conformity with the regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission; or (ii) if the holding company as consolidated assets of $150 million or more, the sections in the bank holding company's consolidated financial statements for the most recent year end and the prior year end on Form FR-Y-9C ("Consolidated Financial Statements for Bank Holding Companies With Total Consolidated Assets of $150 Million or More, or With More Than One Subsidiary Bank" (OMB No. 7100-0128)) prepared pursuant to the Board's Regulation Y, and comparable to the Call Report schedules enumerated in paragraph (d)(2) of this section. (e) Financial information to be provided by other covered institutions. Other covered institutions shall fulfill the requirements of this section by providing, upon request, at least one free copy to each requestor of the following schedules from the Report of Assets and Liabilities of U. S. Branches and Agencies of Foreign Banks (OMB No. 7100-0032) for the most recent year end and the prior year end: (1) Schedule RAL (Assets and Liabilities); (2) Schedule E (Deposit Liabilities and Credit Balances); (3) Schedule P (Other Borrowed Money). The institution shall make the information available as soon as is reasonably possible but not later than April 1 of the year immediately following the end of the year to which the most recently available information pertains. 302 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 (f) Disclaimer. The following legend shall be included with any financial information provided pursuant to this section: "This financial information has not been reviewed, or confirmed for accuracy or relevance, by the Federal Reserve System." (g) This section is not intended to create a private right of faction against any institution disclosing documents pursuant to this section. ORDERS ISSUED UNDER THE BANK COMPANY ACT HOLDING Orders Issued Under Section 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act China Trust Holdings Corp. New York, New York China Trust Capital B.V. The Netherlands China Trust Holdings N.V. Curacao, Netherlands Antilles Order Approving the Formation of Bank Holding Companies China Trust Holdings N.V., Curacao, Netherlands Antilles ("Holdings N.V."); China Trust Capital B.V., The Netherlands ("Capital"); and China Trust Holdings Corp., New York, New York ("Holdings Corp.") (collectively referred to as "Applicants"), have applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(1) of the Bank Holding Company Act, as amended ("BHC Act") (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(1)), to become bank holding companies through the acquisition by Holdings Corp. of all (100 percent) of the voting shares of China Trust Bank, New York, New York ("Bank"). Notice of the applications, affording an opportunity for interested persons to submit comments, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(b)) (53 Federal Register 46,661 (1988)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicants, all non-operating corporations, were organized for the purpose of becoming bank holding companies by acquiring Bank, a de novo bank.1 Bank 1. Holdings N.V. will own 100 percent of the voting shares of Capital; Capital will own 100 percent of the voting shares of Holdings will operate in the Metropolitan New York—New Jersey market.2 The principals of Applicants are not affiliated with any other depository institutions in this market. Based on all the facts of record, the Board believes that consummation of the proposal would not result in any adverse effects upon competition or increase in the concentration of banking resources in any relevant area. Accordingly, the Board concludes that competitive considerations under the BHC Act are consistent with approval. Based upon the facts of record, including certain commitments made by Applicants' principals, the financial and managerial resources of Applicants and Bank are consistent with approval. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served are also consistent with approval. Based on the foregoing and all the facts of record and the commitments offered in this case, the Board has determined that the applications should be, and hereby are, approved. The transaction shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 10, 1989. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Heller, and LaWare. Absent and not voting: Governor Kelley. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board Credit and Commerce American Holdings, N.V. Curacao, Netherlands Antilles Order Approving Acquisition of a Bank Credit and Commerce American Holdings, N.V., Curacao, Netherlands Antilles ("CCAH"); Credit and Commerce American Investment, B.V., Amsterdam, The Netherlands ("Credit and Commerce"); First American Corporation, Washington, D.C. ("First Corp.; and Holdings Corp. will own 100 percent of the voting shares of Bank. 2. The Metropolitan New York - New Jersey market includes New York City ; Nassau, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Suffolk, Sullivan, and Westchester Counties in New York; Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, Union, and Warren Counties in New Jersey; and parts of Fairfield County in Connecticut. Legal Developments American"); First American Bankshares, Inc., Washington, D.C., Georgia Bankshares, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia; and National Bank of Georgia Corporation, Atlanta, Georgia (collectively, "Applicants"), bank holding companies within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act (the "BHC Act") (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)), have applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(3) of the BHC Act to retain 100 percent of the outstanding voting shares of Bank of Escambia, N.A., Pensacola, Florida ("Bank").1 Notice of the applications, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (53 Federal Register 30,467 (1988)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the BHC Act. The Douglas Amendment to the BHC Act prohibits the Board from approving an application by a bank holding company to acquire a bank located outside the bank holding company's home state, unless such acquisition is "specifically authorized by the statute laws of the state in which such bank is located, by language to that effect and not merely by implication."2 The statute laws of Florida expressly authorize the acquisition of a banking institution in Florida by a bank holding company located in a state in a defined region, which includes Virginia, if that other state authorizes the acquisition of a financial institution in that state on a reciprocal basis by a Florida bank holding company.3 Virginia law expressly authorizes the acquisition of a banking organization in Virginia by a Florida bank holding company on a reciprocal basis.4 The Florida State Comptroller has approved Applicants' proposal pursuant to the Florida statute. In light of the foregoing, the Board has determined that its approval of the proposal is not prohibited by the Douglas Amendment. Applicants operate seven banking subsidiaries located in the District of Columbia, Georgia, Maryland, New York, Tennessee, and Virginia. CCAH is the seventh largest banking organization in Virginia, controlling deposits of $2.64 billion, representing 5.9 per- 1. The shares of Bank were acquired by National Bank of Georgia Corporation, Atlanta, Georgia, a subsidiary of Credit and Commerce, in satisfaction of a debt previously contracted. 2. 12 U.S.C. § 1842(d). A bank holding company's home state for purposes of the Douglas Amendment is that state in which the total deposits of its banking subsidiaries were largest on July 1, 1966, or on the date it became a bank holding company, whichever date is later. Applicants' home state is Virginia. 3. Fla. Stat. Ann. § 658.295 (West 1984). Florida law also requires that the applicant must have in excess of 80 percent of its total deposits in its bank subsidiaries in the Southern region. Applicants satisfy this requirement. 4. Va. Code § 6.1-399 (1988). 303 cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in Virginia.5 Bank is one of the smaller commercial banking organizations in Florida, controlling deposits of $27.0 million, representing less than one percent of total deposits in commercial banks in the state.6 Consummation of the proposal would not have any significant adverse effect upon the concentration of banking resources in Virginia or Florida. Applicants and Bank do not compete directly in any banking market. Accordingly, consummation of the proposal would not eliminate any significant existing competition in any relevant banking market. Consummation also would not have any significant adverse effect on probable future competition in any relevant banking market. The financial and managerial resources of Applicants and their subsidiaries as well as Bank are consistent with approval. In considering the convenience and needs of the communities to be served, the Board concludes that Applicants' records under the Community Reinvestment Act ("CRA") are consistent with approval, especially in light of First American's commitment to strengthen its record with regard to the CRA activities of one of its subsidiary banks. The bank has developed a report to monitor its CRA activities, including the ascertainment of community credit needs, an effort which will be aided by the bank's board of directors and CRA committee. The bank has also increased its community outreach activities, including a commitment to a marketing program that informs the public of its product offerings and is targeted to include minority areas of its community. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the applications should be, and hereby are, approved. The transaction shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 16, 1989. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Angell, Heller. Absent and not voting: Governors Seger, Kelley, and LaWare. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board 5. Data are as of December 31, 1987. 6. Data are as of June 30, 1988. 304 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Continental Bank Corporation Chicago, Illinois Continental Illinois Bancorp, Inc. Chicago, Illinois Order Denying Acquisition of a Bank Continental Bank Corporation, Chicago, Illinois, and Continental Illinois Bancorp, Inc., Chicago, Illinois (together, "Continental"), both bank holding companies within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), have applied for the Board's approval under section 3 of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to acquire 100 percent of the voting shares of Grand Canyon State Bank, Scottsdale, Arizona ("Grand Canyon"). Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been published (53 Federal Register 2,092 (1988)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the BHC Act. Continental is the second largest commercial banking organization in Illinois, controlling deposits of approximately $8.3 billion, representing approximately 7.8 percent of total deposits in commercial banking organizations ("total bank deposits") in Illinois.1 Grand Canyon is one of the smaller commercial banking organizations in Arizona, controlling deposits of approximately $14.6 million.2 In its evaluation of the convenience and needs of the communities to be served, the Board has taken into account the record of Continental's subsidiary bank, Continental Bank, N.A. ("Bank"), in fulfilling its responsibilities under the Community Reinvestment Act ("CRA") to help meet the credit needs of its entire community. The CRA requires the federal bank supervisory agencies to encourage financial institutions to help meet the credit needs of the local communities in which they are chartered consistent with the safe and sound operation of such institutions. To accomplish this end, the CRA requires the appropriate federal supervisory authority, in connection with its examination of an institution, to "assess the institution's record of meeting the credit needs of its entire community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, consistent with the safe and sound operation of the institution." 12 U.S.C. § 2903. The Board is required to "take such record into account in its 1. Data are as of June 30, 1987. 2. Data are as of September 30, 1988. evaluation" of applications by bank holding companies under section 3 of the BHC Act to acquire additional banks. See 12 C.F.R. 225.13(b)(3). The Board's experience over the years in examining bank performance under the CRA has indicated that institutions with effective programs to help meet community credit needs share a number of elements. These institutions maintain outreach programs that include procedures to permit effective communication between the bank and various segments of the community, and formalized methods for incorporating findings regarding community credit needs into the development and delivery of products and services. The bank monitors institutional performance at senior management levels and periodically evaluates new opportunities for innovative lending programs, such as home mortgage and neighborhood residential rehabilitation lending and similar programs, designed to meet the credit needs of its designated community, including those of low- and moderate-income persons. An effective program also includes the use of specifically designed marketing and advertising plans to stimulate public-awareness of the bank's services throughout the community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, as well as support of community development projects and programs. The Board has stated that the CRA "provisions were intended to cover all banks that are in the business of extending credit to the public, including both 'wholesale' and 'retail' banks," because "[the] lending activities of these banks affect the economic health of the communities in which they are chartered."3 Although the CRA was not intended to limit an institution's discretion to develop the types of products and services it believes are best suited to its expertise and business objectives and to the needs of its community, the institution's program must meet the objectives of the CRA. The Board expects all banks to ascertain the needs of the community and to undertake to accommodate those needs, including the needs of the low- and moderate-income areas of the community. With regard to wholesale banks that generally are not active providers of consumer credit and services on a retail basis, these activities may, for example, include lending to inner-city revitalization efforts, supporting state and local governmental financing efforts, lending to small or minority-owned businesses, lending support for low-income multi-family rehabilitation and new construction projects, lending to or otherwise financing non-profit developers of low-income housing and small business development, or financing major 3. 12 C.F.R. 228.100. Legal Developments upgrades and/or expansion of industrial plants that would otherwise relocate outside of the city served by the bank. In the Board's opinion, financial institutions that make meeting their responsibilities under the CRA a part of their management and operational structure are best able to accomplish the goals of the statute. In that light, the Board expects banking organizations to have addressed their CRA responsibilities before the submission of applications to the Board. This is in accord with the requirements of the CRA, under which an institution's record of performance in helping to meet the credit needs of its entire community is a critical factor in determining whether the institution has lived up to its responsibilities under the statute. In this case, the Board has noted important deficiencies in Bank's CRA performance, including the absence until quite recently of a program containing the elements outlined above and in applicable agency regulations. In response to issues raised by a public commenter regarding Bank's record in meeting the credit needs of its community, the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, in early 1988, performed an evaluation of Bank's CRA activities to resolve these issues. That evaluation indicated a number of areas of concern with Bank's CRA performance, including a misunderstanding on the part of Bank staff and management of the requirements of the CRA. For example, it appeared to be Bank's view that it could meet its CRA responsibilities in the normal course of its commercial lending business and it did not monitor or promote specific CRA activities. Continental did not have a plan as to how the Bank was to meet its responsibilities under the CRA. Bank's CRA officer did not interact substantially with other staff, and Bank's board of directors confined CRA compliance discussions to approval of a formal annual CRA statement. These CRA statements were substantially inaccurate for a number of years, listing products which were not routinely offered by the Bank. The Bank made no significant effort to ascertain the credit needs of its communities or to advertise its products to the community. Finally, given Continental's size, as well as the opportunities available in the Chicago area, Bank's participation in community development and redevelopment efforts was unsatisfactory. In response to these concerns, Continental submitted a plan to promote Bank's compliance with its responsibilities under the CRA, particularly with respect to the ascertainment of community credit needs, outreach efforts to its community, awareness of CRA responsibilities, and internal monitoring of CRA compliance. As part of its proposal, Bank intends to provide additional training to its managers regarding Bank's CRA policies and programs and to require its 305 CRA officers and branch managers to meet with representatives of local community organizations to discuss the credit needs of the community. Several training sessions have been held, and representatives of Continental have begun meeting with neighborhood organizations, governmental entities, and community groups to discuss Continental's new CRA plan and CRA activities. Furthermore, each of Continental's business units has appointed CRA liaisons who will be responsible for identifying credit needs in the local community, channeling information between the community, other lenders within the unit, and the CRA officer, and designing, implementing and marketing CRA-related products and services. Continental's board of directors will also hold semi-annual meetings to discuss the bank's progress in meeting its CRA responsibilities. Continental proposes an increase in its CRA-related loans and has committed to pursue actively the financial needs of privately held small businesses, with strong attention to those businesses and financial institutions owned by minorities and women, and those servicing low- and moderate-income neighborhoods. Continental has stated that it will seek referrals about such businesses from existing borrowers who are operating similar businesses, and will examine the possibility of participations with a minority-owned or community bank in a low- or moderate-income neighborhood. Bank expects to complete a comprehensive community credit needs ascertainment study by June 30, 1989. The Board believes that Continental's CRA plan, when implemented, should make a substantial contribution to correcting the past deficiencies in Bank's CRA performance. The plan and Bank's progress in implementing that plan indicates an improved awareness by Bank of its responsibilities under the CRA and that Bank has adopted as an affirmative management objective a program to work toward achieving compliance with those responsibilities. The Board has, in the past, taken CRA improvement commitments from bank holding companies into account in considering the performance of subsidiary banks under CRA. The Board believes this is only appropriate, however, when there has been a basic level of compliance on which the commitments can be evaluated. As noted above, that is not the situation in the case now before the Board. Moreover, the Board wishes to stress that banking organizations should address their CRA responsibilities and implement the necessary policies before they file an application with the Board. The Board does not believe that commitments by themselves can serve as a substitute for the established record of CRA performance required by the statute. Accordingly, while the Board believes that 306 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Bank has evidenced an improved understanding of its CRA responsibilities, its record of performance in the past has been inadequate and, until corrected, weighs against approval of this application. In the course of reviewing this application, the Board has also considered the public policy concerns raised by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation's ("FDIC") ongoing assistance agreement with Continental, particularly with regard to the propriety of Continental's proposed expansion plans while the institution is still funded in part by the FDIC and subject to FDIC control. The Board believes this situation raises important public policy concerns with regard to the potential for distortion of competition due to continued use of government provided capital in competition with private capital. In this situation, careful consideration must be given to expansion of activities where the growth is in effect being financed with public funds. In this case, the proposed acquisition would represent an interstate expansion which would not, in the Board's opinion, so substantially further the goals of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act aimed at stabilizing troubled institutions as to outweigh the significant public policy concerns noted above. Based upon Bank's inadequate CRA performance as well as the adverse effects on competition resulting from the continued government ownership of Bank, the Board finds that the approval of this application would not serve the convenience and needs of the community. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, denied. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 15, 1989. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, and Angell. Voting against this action: Governors Heller and LaWare. Absent and not voting: Governor Kelley. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board Dissenting Statement of Governors Heller and LaWare We believe that the record in this case on balance supports approval of this application. As the majority recognizes, Continental has taken substantial steps to address its responsibilities under the Community Reinvestment Act and to improve its performance in the areas noted by the supervisory authorities. In our view, Continental's plan, and the progress Continental has made in implementing the plan, should be given substantial positive weight in the evaluation of this application, consistent with the Board's practice. We recognize the public policy concerns raised by the majority regarding the continued FDIC ownership of Continental. We note, however, that the FDIC has made substantial progress in returning the Bank to private ownership and is continuing its efforts to achieve this goal. Furthermore, we believe that this acquisition would be consistent with prior Board precedent regarding the expansion of Continental's operations and the maintenance of the organization's competitive position. Accordingly, we dissent from the Board's decision denying the application. February 15, 1989 Public Bank Holding Company, Inc. Wilmington, Delaware Order Approving Formation of a Bank Holding Company Public Bank Holding Company, Inc., Wilmington, Delaware ("Public"), has applied for the Board's approval pursuant to section 3(a)(1) of the Bank Holding Company Act ("Act"), (12 U.S.C. § 1841 et seq.), to become a bank holding company by acquiring 100 percent of the voting shares of The First Women's Bank, New York, New York ("Bank"). Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been duly published (53 Federal Register 26,117 (1988)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the Act. Public is a non-operating company formed for the purpose of acquiring Bank. Bank is the 34th largest commercial banking organization in New York, controlling deposits of $415.9 million, representing less than one percent of the total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state.1 This proposal represents a restructuring of existing ownership interests. Consummation of this proposal would not result in any significant adverse effect on the concentration of banking resources in New York. 1. State banking data are as of June 30, 1988. Market data are as of June 30, 1987. Legal Developments Bank competes in the Metropolitan New York-New Jersey banking market, and its deposits represent less than one percent of the total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the market.2 Principals of Public and Bank are not associated with any other banking organization in the market. Based on the facts of record, consummation of this proposal would not result in any adverse effects upon competition or increase the concentration of banking resources in any relevant market. Accordingly, the Board concludes that competitive considerations are consistent with approval of this application. The Board also has considered Public's and Bank's managerial resources, particularly with regard to Bank's previous violations of the Currency and Foreign Transactions Reporting Act (31 U.S.C. § 5311 et seq.) ("CFTRA") uncovered in an examination of Bank in 1985. Since the reporting violations were discovered, Bank's management and ownership have changed, and Bank has undertaken comprehensive remedial and preventative actions with regard to its reporting program.3 In addition, a recent examination of Bank indicates that its CFTRA compliance program and reporting record since the management change is satisfactory. Based on these considerations, and all other facts of record, the Board concludes that Public's and Bank's overall compliance with CFTRA is satisfactory and that Public's and Bank's managerial resources therefore are consistent with approval of this proposal. The financial resources of Public and Bank are consistent with approval of this application. In addition, considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served by Public and Bank also are consistent with approval. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, approved. The proposal shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 28, 1989. 2. The Metropolitan New York-New Jersey banking market is approximated by New York City; Nassau, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Suffolk, Sullivan, and Westchester Counties in New York; Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex, Union, and Warren Counties in New Jersey; and parts of Fairfield County in Connecticut. 3. Based on a report of this examination, the Department of Treasury has assessed $80,000 in civil money penalties against Bank. 307 Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Heller, Kelley, and LaWare. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board United Community Corporation BancFirst and Trust Company Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Order Approving Acquisition of Bank and Merger of Banking Subsidiaries United Community Corporation, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma ("UCC"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U.S.C. § 1841 et seq.), ("BHC Act"), has applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(3) of the BHC Act to acquire 98.1 percent of the voting shares of BancFirst and Trust Company, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma ("BancFirst"), a de novo bank. In addition, BancFirst has applied for the Board's approval under the Bank Merger Act (12 U.S.C. § 1828(c)) to merge with the twelve subsidiary banks of UCC listed in Appendix A under the charter and title of BancFirst. After the proposed merger, the existing offices of the twelve subsidiary banks of UCC would become branch offices of BancFirst. In connection with this proposal, BancFirst has applied to the Board under section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act (12 U.S.C. § 321) to become a member of the Federal Reserve System. BancFirst has also applied for the Board's approval under section 5(b) of the Bank Service Corporation Act, as amended (12 U.S.C. § 1861 et seq.), to acquire approximately 70 percent of the shares of United Community Mortgage Company, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma ("UCMC"), a bank service corporation engaged in mortgage banking activities and owned jointly by the twelve banks to be merged.1 Notice of the applications, affording interested persons the opportunity to submit comments, has been published (53 Federal Register 43,771 (1988)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors and considerations set forth in the foregoing statutes.2 1. The Board has previously authorized UCMC, pursuant to the Bank Service Corporation Act, to engage directly and through its subsidiary, Citizen's Mortgage Corporation, in the activity of providing mortgage banking services. American Bank of Commerce/United Community Mortgage Company, 7 0 F E D E R A L RESERVE BULLETIN 535 (1984). Upon consummation of the proposed merger, the name of UCMC would be changed to BancFirst Service Corporation. 2. The Board received two comments in opposition to this proposal, relating to a credit application of an individual customer and to the 308 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 UCC is the fourth largest banking organization in Oklahoma, controlling deposits of $660 million, representing approximately three percent of the total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state.3 The proposal by UCC represents a corporate reorganization under which UCC's existing banking subsidiaries would be merged into BancFirst, a de novo bank. Accordingly, the acquisition by UCC of BancFirst would have no adverse effects on the concentration of banking resources in Oklahoma or on competition in any relevant banking market. Where the principal of an applicant controls other banking organizations, the Board considers the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of all the institutions comprising the chain. UCC's principal controls a number of other commercial banking organizations in Oklahoma.4 Accordingly, the banks involved and the affiliated banking organizations have been reviewed in light of the Board's Capital Adequacy Guidelines,5 which are generally applicable to bank holding companies and chain banking organizations with total assets of over $150 million.6 Based upon the record, the financial and managerial resources of UCC and the affiliated banks are consistent with approval. No additional debt will be incurred in connection with the acquisition by BancFirst. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served also are consistent with approval. The Board has also considered the factors it is required to consider when approving applications for membership in the Federal Reserve System pursuant to section 9 of the Federal Reserve Act and finds those factors to be consistent with approval. In addition, the Board has considered the factors it is required to consider when acting on applications under the Bank Service Corporation Act and finds those factors to be consistent with approval. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, and subject to resolutions of UCC and BancFirst, the Board has determined that the applications should be and hereby are approved. The acquisition by UCC of BancFirst and the merger of UCC's twelve subsidiary banks into BancFirst shall not be consummated before the thirtieth effect of the proposal on competition in Oklahoma. In light of the facts of record of this case, the Board has determined that these comments do not warrant denial of the applications. 3. Banking data are as of December 31, 1987. 4. See United Community Corporation, 71 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 589 (1985). The Board considered the competitive effects of the transactions whereby common control of the organizations was established in that case and determined the affiliations did not substantially lessen competition in any relevant market. 5. 12 C.F.R. Parts 208, 225, 263. 6. The combined banking assets of the chain were $1.04 billion as of June 30, 1988. calendar day following the effective date of this Order or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, and BancFirst shall be opened for business not later than six months after the effective date of this Order. These time periods may be extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 10, 1989. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Heller, and La Ware. Absent and not voting: Governor Kelley. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board Orders Issued Under Section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act The Nippon Credit Bank, Ltd. Tokyo,Japan Order Approving Application to Acquire a Company Engaged in Certain Securities, Foreign Exchange and Financial Advisory Activities The Nippon Credit Bank, Ltd., Tokyo, Japan ("Nippon Credit Bank"), a foreign bank subject to the Bank Holding Company Act ("BHC Act"), has applied for the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and section 225.23 of the Board's Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.23), to acquire Eastbridge Capital Inc., New York, New York ("Eastbridge"), which will engage in the following activities that the Board has determined by regulation or order to be closely related to banking and generally permissible for bank holding companies: (1) underwriting and dealing in obligations of the United States, general obligations of states and their political subdivisions, and other obligations that a state member bank of the Federal Reserve System may underwrite and deal in ("bank-eligible securities") pursuant to 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(16);' (2) providing transactional services with respect to foreign exchange by arranging for "swaps" among customers with complementary foreign exchange 1. Eastbridge will also engage in the following incidental activities: engaging in repurchase and reverse repurchase transactions on such securities, collateralized borrowing and lending of such securities, and providing clearing, settling, accounting, record keeping and other ancillary services to those counterparties with which it deals that do not maintain accounts with clearing agencies. The Long-Term Credit Bank Sanwa of Japan, 7 4 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 5 7 3 ( 1 9 8 8 ) ; Bank, Limited, The 74 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 578 (1988). Legal Developments exposures and for the execution of foreign exchange transactions pursuant to 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(17); (3) providing portfolio investment advice and research and furnishing general economic information and advice, general economic statistical forecasting services and industry studies with respect to a customer's entire portfolio of bank-eligible securities in connection with and as an incident to the proposed bank-eligible securities activities, but not in connection with any of its brokerage activities, pursuant to 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(4)(iii) and (iv);2 (4) providing financial advice to state and local governments pursuant to 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(4)(v); (5) purchasing and selling as agent municipal revenue bonds under limited circumstances pursuant to 12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(15);3 (6) providing, on an explicit-fee basis, discretionary management of short-term monies for a small number of institutional customers;4 (7) providing advice in connection with merger, acquisition/divestiture and financing transactions, valuations and fairness opinions in connection with merger, acquisition and similar transactions, all for unaffiliated financial and nonfinancial institutional customers;5 (8) dealing in foreign exchange spot contracts for Eastbridge's own account;6 (9) purchasing and selling futures, forward and options contracts for foreign exchange for Eastbridge's own account for hedging purposes only in accordance with 12 C.F.R. 225.142 and providing transactional services for such activities;7 2. Eastbridge will disclose its interest as principal, or that of Nippon Credit Bank, whenever Eastbridge provides advice regarding a bankeligible security that is held by it, Nippon Credit Bank, or any affiliate of Nippon Credit Bank for its own account. In conducting this activity, Eastbridge may occasionally give advice with respect to bank-ineligible securities, at times for a separate fee. 3. These circumstances would involve an institutional customer's request to Eastbridge to locate other dealers in municipal securities or other institutional customers who may wish to purchase or to sell municipal revenue bonds. Eastbridge will not purchase such securities for its own account, will not privately place such securities for issuers either as principal or agent, and will broker municipal revenue bonds only in connection with secondary trades. 4. This activity will be conducted in accordance with the limitations set forth in Sovran Financial Corporation, 73 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 7 4 4 ( 1 9 8 7 ) . 5. This activity will be conducted in accordance with the limitations on financial feasibility studies set forth in Signet Banking Corporation, 7 3 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 5 9 ( 1 9 8 7 ) . 6. The Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan, supra. See also The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, 75 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 217 (1989); and Standard and Chartered Group, Ltd., 38 Federal Register 27,552 (1973). 7. See The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, supra. See also Midland Bank, PLC, 7 4 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 5 7 7 (1988). Nippon Credit Bank has represented that this activity will not constitute a substantial part of its foreign exchange dealing and will be an incidental activity to support positions it takes in the spot foreign exchange market. 309 (10) purchasing and selling futures, forward and options contracts for bank-eligible securities for hedging purposes only in accordance with 12 C.F.R. 225.142;8 and (11) acting as an "introducing broker" only with respect to transactions in exchange-traded futures and options contracts on bank-eligible securities and foreign exchange. 9 Eastbridge also proposes to engage in the following activity that has not been expressly approved by Board regulation or Order: providing advice in connection with the structuring of and arranging for interest rate and currency "swaps", interest rate "caps" and similar transactions. Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been duly published (54 Federal Register 1,236 (1989)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the public interest factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Nippon Credit Bank, with total assets equivalent to approximately $110.7 billion, is the 37th largest banking organization in the world.10 It is subject to the BHC Act by virtue of owning a New York Statelicensed branch in New York and a California Statelicensed agency in Los Angeles. The Board has previously determined that all of the proposed activities, except providing advice relating to the structuring of and arranging for currency "swaps", are closely related to banking and the Board reaffirms its determinations on these activities.11 Regarding advice on currency "swaps", most banks that provide advice relating to interest rate "swaps" also provide advice relating to currency "swaps." Additionally, providing advice relating to currency "swaps" is functionally and operationally similar to providing advice relating to the structuring of and 8. The Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan, supra. 9. As an "introducing broker", Eastbridge would receive customer orders to purchase and to sell these contracts and pass them on to an unaffiliated futures commission merchant ("FCM") for execution, clearing and settlement. Eastbridge will not take a position as principal in such contracts and will conduct this activity in accordance with section 225.25(b)(18) of the Board's Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.25(b)(18)). The Board has previously approved "introducing broker" activities as a preliminary step before engaging in FCM activities. The Sanwa Bank, Limited, supra. 10. Asset and banking data are as of September 30,1988. Ranking is as of March 31, 1988. 11. Advice on interest rate "swaps" and "caps" and "similar transactions" has been previously approved by the Board in Signet Banking Corporation, supra. A currency "swap" is a transaction between two parties in which they agree to exchange streams of payments denominated in different currencies on one or more future dates, most commonly on the basis of predetermined fixed sums or the product of a principal multiplied by a fixed or floating interest rate. 310 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 arranging for interest rate "swaps" and interest rate "caps." 12 Both transactions have the common objectives of securing low cost funds and converting one type of risk to another, and both transactions require similar documentation. Accordingly, the Board concludes that the proposed activity is closely related to banking and similar to transactions previously approved by Board Order. In order to approve this application, the Board must also find that performance of the proposed activities "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public . . . that outweigh possible adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices." 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). In regard to conflicts of interests, the application raises a potential conflict between Eastbridge's proposal to take positions and execute trades in foreign exchange, and section 225.25(b)(17) of the Board's Regulation Y, which prohibits a company that arranges for foreign exchange transactional services from either taking positions for its own account or executing its own trades.13 These prohibitions are based on a potential conflict of interest in performing the combined activities of giving foreign exchange advice, taking positions in foreign exchange and executing trades.14 Eastbridge will not, however, provide advice to customers on foreign exchange exposures or on investment in foreign currency. Furthermore, the limited extent of Eastbridge's foreign exchange dealing and execution activities, and the sophistication of its customers, who can turn to many other banks or nonbanking firms for services, minimize the potential for a conflict in the proposed combined activities.15 12. In National Courier Association v. Board of Governors, 516 F.2d 1229 (D.C. Cir. 1975), the court concluded that an activity would be closely related to banking if it is demonstrated that, among other factors, banks generally have, in fact, provided the proposed services or that banks generally provide services that are operationally or functionally so similar to the proposed services as to equip them particularly well to provide the proposed services. 13. The Board has previously approved the provision of exchange rate information with trading activities in the same subsidiary. See Midland Bank, PLC, supra. The Board also notes that it has approved prior applications by bank holding companies to conduct combined activities of securities and other nonbanking activities in addition to FCM and investment advice activities in the same subsidiary. See e.g. The Sanwa Bank, Limited, supra (Order approving underwriting and dealing in bank-eligible securities, hedging bank-eligible securities, providing investment advice and research but not in connection with brokerage activities, providing discount brokerage services and acting as an FCM). 14. The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, 69 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 2 2 1 ( 1 9 8 3 ) . 15. The Board has previously noted that in appropriate circumstances the sophistication of institutional customers serves to minimize concerns over conflicts of interests involved when a firm provides both advice and execution services. The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, supra. See also National Westminister Bank PLC, 7 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 5 8 4 (1986) In every case involving a nonbanking acquisition by a bank holding company under section 4 of the BHC Act, the Board considers the financial condition and resources of the applicant and its subsidiaries and the effect of the transaction on these resources. 16 In accordance with the principles of national treatment and competitive equity, the Board has stated it expects a foreign bank to meet the same general standards of financial strength as domestic bank holding companies and to be able to serve as a source of strength to its United States banking operations.17 In considering applications of foreign banking organizations, the Board has noted that foreign banks operate outside the United States in accordance with different regulatory and supervisory requirements, accounting principles, asset-quality standards, and banking practices and traditions, and that these differences make it difficult to compare the capital positions of domestic and foreign banks. In the past, the Board has addressed the complex issues involved in balancing these concerns in the context of individual applications on a caseby-case basis, making adjustments as appropriate to an applicant's capital to reflect differences in accounting treatment and regulatory practices. The Board recently has adopted a proposal to supplement its consideration of capital adequacy with a riskbased system that is simultaneously being proposed by the member countries of the Basle Committee on Banking Regulations and Supervisory Practices and the other domestic federal banking agencies.18 The Japanese Ministry of Finance in April of last year acted to implement for Japanese banking organizations the risk-based capital framework developed by the Basle Committee. The Board considers the Basle Committee proposal an important step toward a more consistent and equitable international norm for assessing capital adequacy. Until that framework becomes effective, however, the Board will continue to evaluate applications involving foreign banking organizations on a case-by-case basis consistent with its prior precedent. In this case, the primary capital ratio of Nippon Credit Bank, as publicly reported, is well below the 5.5 (Order approving the combination of investment advice and execution services activities). 16. 12 C.F.R. 225.24; Bayerische Vereinsbank AG, 73 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 155, 156 ( 1 9 8 7 ) . 17. The Long-Term Credit Bank, supra; Sumitomo Trust & Banking Co., Ltd., 73 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 749 (1987); Ljubljanska Banka-AssociatedBank, 72 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 489 (1986); The Mitsubishi Trust and Banking Corporation, 72 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 256 (1986); The Industrial Bank of Japan, Ltd., 72 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 71 (1986); The Mitsubishi Bank, Limited, 70 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 518 (1984). See also Policy Statement on Supervision and Regulation of Foreign-Based Bank Holding Companies, Federal Reserve Regulatory Service 4-835 (1979). 18. 54 Federal Register 4,186 (1989). Legal Developments percent minimum level specified in the Board's Capital Adequacy Guidelines. After making adjustments to reflect Japanese banking and accounting practices, however, including consideration of a portion of the unrealized appreciation in Nippon Credit Bank's portfolio of equity securities consistent with the principles in the Basle capital framework, Nippon Credit Bank's capital ratio meets United States standards. The Board also considered several additional factors that mitigate its concern in this case. The Board notes that the application involves nonbanking activities that require a small commitment of capital. The Board notes further that Nippon Credit Bank is in compliance with the capital and other financial requirements of Japanese banking organizations. In this regard, the Board has considered as favorable factors that, in anticipation of implementation of the Basle Committee risk-based capital framework, Nippon Credit Bank has, through the issuance of common stock, increased its equity capital by the equivalent of almost $446.5 million in its latest fiscal year and that Nippon Credit Bank's capital improvement program is consistent with meeting the standards in the Basle Committee capital framework for 1990 and 1992. Based on these and other facts of record, the Board concludes that financial considerations are consistent with approval of the application. Consummation of the proposal would provide increased convenience to customers and gains in efficiency. In addition, the Board expects that the de novo entry of Eastbridge into the market for these services would increase the level of competition among providers of these services. Accordingly, the Board has determined that the performance of the proposed activities by Eastbridge can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public. The Board believes that the proposal is not likely to result in decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices, concentration of resources, or other adverse effects. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the balance of public interest factors that must it consider under section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act is favorable. Accordingly, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, approved. This determination is further subject to all of the conditions set forth in the Board's Regulation Y, including sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b) (12 C.F.R 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)), and to the Board's authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with the provisions and purposes of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. 311 This transaction shall not be consummated later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 13, 1989. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Heller, and LaWare. Absent and not voting: Governor Kelley. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board Scandinavian Bank Group pic London, United Kingdom Order Approving Application to Engage in Financial Advisory Activities Scandinavian Bank Group pic, London, United Kingdom ("Scandinavian"), has applied pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) ("BHC Act") for approval to establish de novo a subsidiary, Cambridge International Partners L.P., New York, New York ("Cambridge"),1 to act as a financial adviser in providing corporate finance advisory services, including advice concerning domestic and international mergers, acquisitions, joint ventures and divestitures, financings, and the structuring of leveraged buyouts and capital-raising vehicles. Scandinavian is a foreign bank that is subject to section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act pursuant to section 8(a) of the International Banking Act of 1978 (12 U.S.C. § 3106(a)) ("IBA") by virtue of its control of an agency and a branch office in the United States. Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments on the relation of the proposed activities to banking and on the balance of public interest factors, has been duly published (53 Federal Register 45,821 (1988)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the public interest factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. 1. Cambridge will be established as a limited partnership. Cambridge will be owned as follows: Scandinavian will have a 50.5 percent ownership interest as a limited partner, three professional corporations formed by three members of Cambridge's management will have a 48.5 percent ownership interest as limited partners, and Cambridge International Partners, Inc. ("CIP") will have a one percent ownership interest as a general partner. Fifty-one percent of the voting shares of CIP are held by Scandinavian, and the remaining 49 percent are held by the three above-mentioned professional corporations. 312 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Scandinavian, with total consolidated assets of $5.1 billion, is the eleventh largest international bank in London.2 Scandinavian operates 17 offices in 14 countries and maintains a commercial paper funding subsidiary in Delaware, a branch in New York, and an agency in Los Angeles. The Board has previously determined by Order that the proposed activities are closely related to banking and permissible for bank holding companies.3 Under section 4 of the BHC Act, the Board is also required to determine that the performance of the proposed activities by applicant "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public . . . that outweigh possible adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices." 12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8). The Board has expressed its concerns regarding conflicts of interest and related adverse effects that, absent certain limitations, may be associated with financial advisory activities. In order to address these potential adverse effects, Scandinavian has committed that: (1) Cambridge's financial advisory activities shall not encompass the performance of routine tasks or operations for a customer on a daily or continuous basis; (2) Disclosure will be made to each potential customer of Cambridge that Cambridge is an affiliate of Scandinavian; (3) Advice rendered by Cambridge on an explicit fee basis will be without regard to correspondent balances maintained by a customer of Cambridge at Scandinavian or any of its depository subsidiaries; and (4) Cambridge will not make available to Scandinavian or any of its subsidiaries confidential information received from Cambridge's clients, except with the client's consent. the performance of the proposed activities by Scandinavian can reasonably be expected to provide benefits to the public. The financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Scandinavian are considered consistent with approval. Moreover, there is no evidence in the record that consummation of the proposed financial advisory activities would result in any other adverse effects such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices. After consideration of all the relevant facts, the Board concludes that the balance of the public interest factors that it is required to consider under section 4(c)(8) is favorable. Accordingly, based on all the facts of record and the commitments made by Scandinavian, the Board has determined that the proposed application should be, and hereby is, approved. This determination is subject to all of the conditions set forth in Regulation Y, including sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3) (12 C.F.R. 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3)), and to the Board's authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with, or to prevent evasion of, the provisions and purposes of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder. Under these conditions, Scandinavian's performance of these activities is unlikely to result in conflicts of interest or other potential adverse effects. Consummation of Scandinavian's proposal would provide added convenience to its clients. The Board expects that the de novo entry of Scandinavian into the market for these services would increase the level of competition among providers of these services already in operation. Accordingly, the Board concludes that Associate Secretary of the Board The transaction shall be made not later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 6, 1989. Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Heller, Kelley, and LaWare. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON 2. All financial data are as of September 30, 1988. 3. See The Bank of Nova Scotia, 74 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 249 (1988); Sovran Financial Corporation, 73 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 744 (1987); Signet Banking Corporation, 73 FEDERAL RESERVE B U L L E T I N 5 9 ( 1 9 8 7 ) . Order Issued Under Sections 3 and 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act PNC Financial Corp. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Order Approving Acquisition of a Bank Holding Company, Bank, and Nonbanking Subsidiaries PNC Financial Corp., Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania ("Applicant"), a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("Act"), has applied for the Board's approval under section 3 of the Legal Developments 313 Act to acquire all of the voting shares of Bank of Delaware Corporation, Wilmington, Delaware ("Corporation"), and thereby to acquire indirectly Corporation's subsidiary bank, Bank of Delaware, Wilmington, Delaware.1 Applicant also has applied for the Board's approval under section 4(c)(8) of the Act to acquire indirectly Corporation's nonbanking subsidiaries.2 Notice of the applications, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments, has been published (53 Federal Register 51,320 (1988)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in sections 3(c) and 4(c)(8) of the Act. Section 3(d) of the Act, the Douglas Amendment, prohibits the Board from approving an application by a bank holding company to acquire control of any bank located outside of the holding company's home state,3 unless such acquisition is "specifically authorized by the statute laws of the State in which [the] bank is located, by language to that effect and not merely by implication." 12 U.S.C. § 1842(d). The Board has previously determined that the acquisition of a Delaware bank by a Pennsylvania bank holding company is specifically authorized by the statute laws of Delaware, subject to the applicant's obtaining the approval required pursuant to Delaware law.4 Based on the foregoing, the Board has determined that the proposed acquisition is specifically authorized by the statute laws of Delaware and that Board approval of the proposal is not barred by the Douglas Amendment, subject to Applicant's obtaining the required approval pursuant to section 843(a) of Title 5 of the Delaware Code.5 Applicant, with approximately $24.3 billion in domestic deposits, is the twelfth largest commercial banking organization in the United States, with fullservice banks in Delaware, Indiana, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Applicant ranks second in deposit size in Pennsylvania, controlling 14.5 percent of total deposits in commercial banks in the state.6 Corporation is the second largest commercial banking organization in Delaware, with domestic deposits of approximately $1.5 billion, representing approximately 24.2 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in Delaware. Applicant competes with Corporation in the Kent County, Delaware, banking market.7 Applicant is the eighth largest of 10 commercial banking organizations in the market, controlling deposits of approximately $16.8 million, representing approximately 3.1 percent of total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the market ("market deposits"). 8 Corporation is the second largest commercial banking organization in the market, controlling deposits of approximately $103.6 million, representing approximately 18.8 percent of market deposits. Upon consummation, Applicant would become the second largest commercial banking organization in the market, controlling deposits of approximately $120.4 million, representing approximately 21.9 percent of total market deposits. The Kent County market is considered moderately concentrated, with a Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") of 1532, which would increase by 117 points to 1649 upon consummation of the proposal.9 Based on the facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal would not have a significant adverse effect on competition in the Kent County market or in any other relevant market. The Board also does not believe that the consummation of the proposal would have a significant adverse effect on probable future competitors in any relevant market. 1. Applicant will acquire Corporation through the merger of Applicant's wholly owned subsidiary, New Financial Corp., Wilmington, Delaware, with and into Corporation. In connection with these applications, New Financial Corp. also has applied to acquire Corporation's banking and nonbanking subsidiaries. 2. Applicant has applied for approval to acquire indirectly the following nonbanking subsidiaries of Corporation, located in Wilmington, Delaware: Del Vest, Inc., and thereby engage in providing portfolio investment advisory services for institutional and individual customers pursuant to section 225.25(b)(4) of the Board's Regulation Y; and Christina Life Insurance Company, and thereby engage in underwriting, as reinsurer, credit life, disability, accident, and health insurance policies written in conjunction with loans made by Bank of Delaware, pursuant to section 225.25(b)(8). 3. A Bank holding company's home state is that state in which the operations of the bank holding company's banking subsidiaries were principally conducted on July 1, 1966, or the date on which the company became a bank holding company, whichever is later. The financial and managerial resources of Applicant and Corporation are consistent with approval. The 4. Meridian (1988). Bancorp, Inc., 7 4 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 51 5. In addition to obtaining approval from the Delaware State Bank Commissioner, Applicant must obtain approval from the Pennsylvania Department of Banking, 7 P.S. § 116(h). 6. State banking data are as of June 30, 1988. 7. The Kent County market is comprised of Kent County, Delaware. 8. Market data are as of June 30, 1987. 9. Under the revised Department of Justice Merger Guidelines (49 Federal Register 26,823 (June 29, 1984)), a market in which the post-merger HHI is between 1000 and 1800 is considered moderately concentrated. In such markets, the Department of Justice is unlikely to challenge a merger or acquisition resulting in an HHI between 1000 and 1800 if the increase in the HHI is less than 100 points. The Department of Justice has informed the Board that a bank merger or acquisition generally will not be challenged (in the absence of other factors indicating anticompetitive effects) unless the post-merger HHI is at least 1800 and the merger increases the HHI by at least 200 points. The Department of Justice has stated that the higher than normal HHI thresholds for screening bank mergers for anticompetitive effects implicitly recognizes the competitive effect of limited purpose lenders and other non-depository financial entities. 314 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Board notes that the transaction would be accomplished through an exchange of shares without any significant impact on Applicant's capital position. In considering the convenience and needs of the communities to be served, the Board has taken into account the record of Applicant under the Community Reinvestment Act ("CRA") (12 U.S.C. § 2901 et seq.). The CRA requires the federal bank supervisory agencies to encourage financial institutions to help meet the credit needs of the local communities in which they are chartered consistent with the safe and sound operation of such institutions. To accomplish this end, the CRA requires the appropriate federal supervisory authority, in connection with its examination of an institution, to "assess the institution's record of meeting the credit needs of its entire community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, consistent with the safe and sound operation of such institution." 12 U.S.C. § 2903. The Board is required to "take such record into account in its evaluation" of applications by bank holding companies under section 3 of the Act to acquire additional banks. See 12 C.F.R. 225.13(b)(3). The Board's experience over the years in examining bank performance under the CRA has indicated that institutions with effective programs to help meet community credit needs share a number of elements. These institutions maintain outreach programs that include procedures to permit effective communication between the bank and various segments of the community and formalized methods for incorporating findings regarding community credit needs into the development and delivery of products and services. They monitor institutional performance at the senior management or board of director level and periodically evaluate new opportunities for innovative lending programs, such as home mortgage and neighborhood residential rehabilitation lending and similar programs, designed to meet the credit needs of their designated community, including those of low- and moderateincome persons. An effective program also includes the use of specifically designed marketing and advertising plans to stimulate public awareness of the bank's services throughout the community, including lowand moderate-income neighborhoods, as well as support of community development projects and programs. In the Board's opinion, financial institutions that make meeting their responsibilities under the CRA a part of their management and operational structure are best able to accomplish the goals of the statute. In that light, the Board expects banking organizations to have addressed their CRA responsibilities before the submission of applications to the Board. This is in accord with the requirements of the CRA, under which an institution's record of performance in helping to meet the credit needs of its entire community is a critical factor in determining whether the institution has lived up to its responsibilities under the statute. The Board has received a protest from the Philadelphia Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now ("ACORN") regarding the CRA performance of Provident National Bank, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania ("Provident"), one of Applicant's subsidiary banks. Specifically, ACORN alleges that, since Applicant's 1983 acquisition of Provident, Provident has: (i) decreased its level of real estate lending to lowand moderate-income and minority communities; (ii) abandoned its participation in government housing programs; and (iii) located its Philadelphia branches in a manner that shows a lack of interest in minority and low-income communities. As a result, ACORN alleges, Provident has failed to meet local credit needs with respect to low- and moderate-income and minority neighborhoods in its community.10 Applicant has submitted a detailed response to the comments made by ACORN. In this regard, Applicant and ACORN have met privately on several occasions in an attempt to clarify and resolve the concerns raised by ACORN. These meetings, however, did not produce a resolution of all of the differences between Applicant and ACORN.11 The Board has carefully considered the record of this application, including the comments of ACORN (including comments submitted on February 22 and 23, 1989) and Applicant's response, in light of the requirements of the CRA and the implementing regulations of the federal banking agencies. Based upon this record, the Board believes that Applicant has a satisfactory program in place to ensure that its subsidiary banks, including Provident, carry out their re- 10. In addition, ACORN alleges that Applicant's application does not take into account the lending needs of low- and moderate-income residents of Delaware. The Board believes, however, that Applicant's CRA record evidences Applicant's commitment to meet its responsibilities under the CRA to help meet the credit needs of the low- and moderate-income residents of all of its subsidiary banks' communities. The Board expects Applicant to ensure that its CRA policies and programs are fully implemented at the Bank of Delaware. 11. ACORN has also requested that the Board order a public meeting and public hearing. Although section 3(b) of the Act does not require a public meeting or hearing in this instance, the Board may, in any case, order such proceedings. In the Board's view, the parties have had ample opportunity to present their arguments in writing and to respond to one another's submissions. Moreover, Applicant and ACORN have had private meetings to discuss these issues. In light of these facts, the Board has determined that the record has been developed through these proceedings and that a public meeting or hearing would serve no useful purpose in this case. Accordingly, ACORN's request for a public meeting and hearing is hereby denied. Legal Developments sponsibilities under the CRA to serve the convenience and needs of their communities, including low- and moderate-income and minority neighborhoods, and that its subsidiary banks' CRA performance is consistent with approval of the application. The Board notes that, with one exception, Applicant's 23 subsidiary banks (including Provident) have each received satisfactory ratings from their primary regulators in examinations of their CRA performance.12 In light of ACORN's protest, the Board has given careful attention to the CRA record of Provident. Provident was examined by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in January 1988 and received a satisfactory rating for its CRA performance. In addition, the record of this application shows that Applicant has developed a comprehensive program that establishes standards for its subsidiary banks to ascertain community credit needs, to respond to those needs through products and services, and to properly evaluate its success in meeting those needs. In accordance with that policy, Provident personnel establish personal contacts, visit neighborhoods, and hold meetings with community leaders and government officials in order to ascertain the credit needs of their communities and to communicate with members of their communities regarding the credit services they provide. In addition, officers serve as board or committee members for community organizations and attend community educational programs. Provident's Board of Directors and senior management officials participated in formulating Provident's CRA policies and regularly review Provident's CRA performance. Provident has a CRA Management Committee, headed by the CRA Compliance Officer, which monitors and assesses Provident's CRA performance, develops and recommends policy on key CRA issues, assures implementation of policy decisions, formulates Provident's responses to CRA needs and opportunities, and encourages and enhances Provident's position in the communities in which it operates. The Committee studies quarterly reviews of community credit program activity, regular small business lending updates, and real estate development loans in relation to low- and moderate-income areas of the delineated community. In addition, the Board of Directors receives periodic reports on Provident's CRA activities 12. The Board notes that the most recent examination of a recently acquired subsidiary bank of Applicant in Ohio identified certain deficiencies in the bank's CRA performance. Although a formal response to the examination is not yet due, Applicant already has initiated steps to correct the noted deficiencies. The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland will, as part of the supervisory process, carefully monitor the bank's response to the examination report to ensure that the bank addresses the weaknesses noted and improves its CRA performance. 315 from the Committee and reviews all proposals for branch closings or relocations to determine that they do not conflict with Provident's CRA goals. Provident makes use of a variety of marketing strategies to communicate the availability of credit and other bank products. For example, Provident regularly uses eight city-wide newspapers, including ethnic publications, and two suburban newspapers to reach all segments of the community. In addition, Provident has actively participated and invested in local community development and redevelopment projects and programs. The record also shows that Provident has made loans in all segments of its community, including lowand moderate-income and minority neighborhoods. An analysis of Provident's Home Mortgage Disclosure Act ("HMDA") data indicates that a substantial percentage of its residential real estate loans were made in low- and moderate-income and minority communities. While the number of loans made in these communities has dropped somewhat since 1983, the decline is less than that exhibited by other HMDA reporters.13 The Board also notes that the proportion of Provident's residential real estate loans extended in these areas closely parallels the actual percentage of low- and moderate-income and minority census tracts in Provident's delineated community.14 Accordingly, the Board finds that Provident's record of residential real estate lending in low- to moderate-income neighborhoods is consistent with its responsibilities under the CRA. In response to ACORN's comment with respect to Provident's participation in government housing programs, Provident has agreed to provide FHA/VA mortgages either directly or through an affiliate and to participate in Pennsylvania Housing Finance Agency 13. In addition, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency found no evidence of discrimination in Provident's lending practices at its January 1988 examination. 14. ACORN alleges that Applicant's sale in 1986 of its mortgage subsidiary, The Kissell Company, is further evidence of its lending shift away from originating residential mortgage credit. ACORN contends that this divestiture has adversely affected the number of real estate loans made by Provident. Applicant argues that it chose to sell Kissell at a premium price rather than invest a substantial amount to develop the data processing required to upgrade its servicing and compete with major nonbank entrants into the mortgage servicing market. In addition, Kissell had suffered key management losses, rendering it necessary to rebuild Kissell's management structure. In light of these considerations and Provident's satisfactory real estate lending record, the Board does not find that the sale of Kissel has had a serious adverse effect on Provident's service to the convenience and needs of its community. ACORN also alleges that patterns of home mortgage lending by Provident since 1985 show a tendency to exclude lending from neighborhoods where property values had not risen between 1981 and 1985. ACORN provides no data to support this allegation, however, and the Board finds nothing in the record to indicate that Provident has excluded lending from such neighborhoods. 316 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 loans. Provident has also set several specific objectives with respect to Provident's lending in low- and moderate-income and minority neighborhoods in response to comments by ACORN.15 Provident maintains nine branches in low- and moderate-income tracts within the Philadelphia PMSA, two of which have been opened since 1986. In addition, Provident is presently renovating existing branch offices in those areas to update their facilities. Provident has closed no branches in low- or moderateincome or minority neighborhoods to date, although a branch located in Coatesville, Pennsylvania, has been scheduled to close effective March 17, 1989. The Board notes that Provident has in place a written corporate policy concerning branch closings that requires management to notify the public in advance of any proposed closing and to conduct an analysis of the impact of the branch closing on the local community, alternative branch service options, and the profitability of the branch. The decision to close the Coatesville branch was made in accordance with this policy. The Coatesville branch's customers have been notified of the effective date of the closing and informed that continuation of services will be provided by another Coatesville branch less than a mile away. Based upon the record, the Board concludes that Provident's CRA program contains all of the elements 15. Provident has undertaken to implement the following policies: • Effective February 1, 1989, Provident will increase its maximum loan-to-value ratio to 95 percent. • Provident will begin to include food stamps and LIHEAP funds as sources of income in evaluating an applicant's ability to repay a loan. • Provident will continue to develop other means of facilitating residential support in low- and moderate-income communities through such means as land trusts, swing financing, donating vacant properties, use of sweat equity, and other types of purchase/ rehabilitation financing. • Provident will afford applicants an opportunity to provide an explanation accompanying an application. In cases where a creditor has refused to accept payment, or a bill is in dispute, an applicant may deposit in an escrow account all funds that would have been paid, and the applicant will be considered to have an acceptable payment record. In any event, the emphasis will be on the applicant's credit experience in the 12 months prior to application. The absence of a credit history will not be an obstacle to borrowing; such applicants may be asked to supply substitute records of payment. • Provident will implement a procedure whereby mortgage loan denials will be reviewed by a senior officer of the bank and an analysis will be prepared and reviewed by Provident's CRA Management Committee on a quarterly basis. • Provident will make a limited quantity of uninsured mortgage loans for specified purposes. • Provident will aim to increase its residential mortgage volume in low- and moderate-income communities for 1989 by 100 percent over its 1987 performance to a level of approximately $6.3 million and minimally maintain that level for the next five years. ACORN has suggested that Provident offer conventional loans at two percent, rather than one percent, below market rates and that Applicant provide ACORN with a direct grant of $50,000 to operate its programs. Provident has declined to incorporate ACORN's suggestions in its CRA program. that the Board has identified in the past as demonstrating an affirmative, ongoing commitment on the part of an institution to meet its responsibilities under the CRA to help meet the credit needs of its entire community. Provident's program has been in place for a number of years, and the record shows that Provident has an established record of satisfactory performance under the program, including service to the credit needs of low- and moderate-income neighborhoods of its community. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that convenience and needs considerations, including those related to Applicant's and Provident's record of service to their entire communities, are consistent with approval. Applicant competes with Corporation in the provision of investment advisory services. The market for this activity has numerous competitors and is regional to national in scope. In addition, neither Applicant nor Corporation is a dominant participant in the market for investment advisory services. Accordingly, the Board concludes that this proposal will not have any significant adverse effect upon existing or probable future competition in any relevant market for these services. Furthermore, there is no evidence in the record to indicate that approval of this proposal would result in undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices, or other adverse effects on the public interest. Accordingly, the Board has determined that the balance of public interest factors it must consider under section 4(c)(8) of the Act is favorable and consistent with approval of the applications to acquire the nonbanking subsidiaries of Corporation. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that consummation of the transaction would be in the public interest and that the applications under sections 3 and 4 of the Act should be, and hereby are, approved, subject to Applicant's obtaining the approval of the Delaware State Bank Commissioner and the Pennsylvania Department of Banking. The acquisition of Corporation shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, acting pursuant to delegated authority. The determinations as to Applicant's nonbanking activities are subject to all of the conditions contained in Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3) (12 C.F.R. 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3)), and to the Board's authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance Legal Developments with the provisions and purposes of the Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 27, 1989. 317 Voting for this action: Chairman Greenspan and Governors Johnson, Seger, Angell, Heller, Kelley, and LaWare. JENNIFER J. JOHNSON Associate Secretary of the Board APPLICATIONS APPROVED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Section 3 Applicant Baldwin Bancshares, Inc., Milledgeville, Georgia Chandlerville Bancshares, Inc., Chandlerville, Illinois CitNat Bancorp, Inc., Urbana, Ohio Citizens Investment Co., Inc., Glenville, Minnesota CNB Bancshares, Inc., Evansville, Indiana Adam Bank Group, Inc., Bryan, Texas First Commerce Bancshares, Inc., Lincoln, Nebraska Stuart Family Partnership, Lincoln, Nebraska Catherine Stuart Schmoker Family Partnership, Lincoln, Nebraska James Stuart, Jr. Family Partnership, Lincoln, Nebraska Scott Stuart Family Partnership, Lincoln, Nebraska First Community Bank, Inverness, Florida First of America Bank Corporation, Kalamazoo, Michigan Bank(s) First National Bank of Baldwin County, Milledgeville, Georgia Peoples State Bank of Chandlerville, Chandlerville, Illinois The Citizens National Bank of Urbana, Urbana, Ohio Frost State Bank, Frost, Minnesota Bank of St. Helens, Shively, Kentucky First American Bank, Bryan, Texas Lincoln Bank South, Lincoln, Nebraska First Community Bank, Inverness, Florida Antrim Financial Corporation, Mancelona, Michigan Reserve Bank Effective date Atlanta February 6, 1989 Chicago February 6, 1989 Cleveland February 6, 1989 Minneapolis January 31, 1989 St. Louis January 31, 1989 Dallas February 9, 1989 Kansas City February 22, 1989 Atlanta February 10, 1989 Chicago February 16, 1989 318 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Section 3—Continued Applicant First of America Bank Corporation, Kalamazoo, Michigan First of America Bancorporation-Illinois, Inc., Libertyville, Illinois First of Searcy, Inc., Searcy, Arkansas First National Bancshares of Winfield, Inc., Winfield, Kansas First Tuttle Bancorp, Inc., Tuttle, Oklahoma First Wisconsin Corporation, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Four County Bancshares, Inc., Allentown, Georgia The George Washington Banking Corporation, Alexandria, Virginia Jason Bankshares, Inc., Offerle, Kansas Johnson Heritage Bancorp, Ltd., Racine, Wisconsin Jorgenson Holding Company, Kenmare, North Dakota JTNB Bancorp, Inc., Jim Thorpe, Pennsylvania Lower Rio Grande Valley Bancshares, Inc., Employee Stock Option Plan, La Feria, Texas Magna Group, Inc., Belleville, Illinois MCB Acquisition Company, Belleville, Illinois Marshall & Ilsley Corporation, Milwaukee, Wisconsin MidConn Bancorp, Inc., Kensington, Connecticut Mineral King Bancorp, Inc., Visalia, California Old National Bancorp, Evansville, Indiana Old National Bancorp, Evansville, Indiana Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective date Whiteside County Bank, Morrison, Illinois Chicago February 1, 1989 Baxter County Bancshares, Inc., Mountain Home, Arkansas Butler Financial Corp., Inc., Douglass, Kansas St. Louis February 9, 1989 Kansas City February 10, 1989 First National Bank of Tuttle, Tuttle, Oklahoma Stillwater Holding Company, Stillwater, Minnesota The Four County Bank, Allentown, Georgia The George Washington National Bank (in organization), Alexandria, Virginia The Bucklin State Bank, Bucklin, Kansas Rock County Bancorp, Janesville, Wisconsin The Citizens State Bank at Mohall, Mohall, North Dakota Jim Thorpe National Bank, Jim Thorpe, Pennsylvania Lower Rio Grande Valley Bancshares, Inc., La Feria, Texas Kansas City February 22, 1989 Chicago January 30, 1989 Atlanta February 14, 1989 Richmond February 10, 1989 Kansas City January 27, 1989 Chicago February 10, 1989 Minneapolis February 2, 1989 Philadelphia February 7, 1989 Dallas February 16, 1989 New Holland Farmers Bank, New Holland, Illinois Magna Bank of Lincoln, N.A., Lincoln, Illinois M&I Greater Waukesha Bank, Pewaukee, Wisconsin MidConn Bank, Kensington, Connecticut Mineral King National Bank, Visalia, California Morganfield National Service Corp., Morganfield, Kentucky The First National Bank of Harrisburg, Harrisburg, Illinois St. Louis February 6, 1989 Chicago February 17, 1989 Boston February 6, 1989 San Francisco February 13, 1989 St. Louis February 17, 1989 St. Louis February 17, 1989 Legal Developments 319 Section 3—Continued Applicant Panhandle Aviation, Inc., Clarinda, Iowa Peoples Investment Corporation, Cuba, Missouri Sweet Water State Bancshares, Inc., Sweet Water, Alabama Union Bancorporation, Defiance, Iowa Union Planters Corporation, Memphis, Tennessee Wellington Bancorp, Inc., Springfield, Illinois Western Bancshares, Inc., Coos Bay, Oregon Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective date Humboldt Investment, Inc., Humboldt, Iowa Peoples Bank of Steelville, Steelville, Missouri Sweet Water State Bank, Sweet Water, Alabama Chicago February 7, 1989 St. Louis February 7, 1989 Atlanta February 6, 1989 Defiance State Bank, Defiance, Iowa Cumberland City Bank, Cumberland City, Tennessee Community Bank, Hoopeston, Illinois Western Bank, Coos Bay, Oregon Chicago February 15, 1989 St. Louis February 17, 1989 Chicago February 6, 1989 San Francisco February 15, 1989 Section 4 Applicant Barnett Banks, Inc., Jacksonville, Florida CB&T Bancshares, Inc., Columbus, Georgia Chesapeake Bank Corporation, Chesapeake, Virginia United Bancshares of Nebraska, Inc., Omaha, Nebraska Wood Lake Bancorporation, Inc., Wood Lake, Minnesota Nonbanking Activity/Company Barnett Bond Service, Inc., Jacksonville, Florida Calumet Financial Associates, Inc., Columbus, Georgia South Norfolk Loan Corporation, Chesapeake, Virginia Fremont Computer Services, Inc., Omaha, Nebraska Simonson Insurance Agency, Hanley Falls, Minnesota Reserve Bank Effective date Atlanta February 3, 1989 Atlanta February 8, 1989 Richmond February 16, 1989 Kansas City February 17, 1989 Minneapolis February 17, 1989 Sections 3 and 4 Applicant Eastern Savings Bancorp, Inc. Lynn, Massachusetts Eastern Bank, Lynn, Massachusetts Family Bancorp, Haverhill, Massachusetts Nonbanking Activity/Company Eastern Bank & Trust Company, Salem, Massachusetts Reserve Bank Boston Effective date February 17, 1989 320 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 APPLICATIONS APPROVED UNDER BANK MERGER ACT By Federal Reserve Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. . Applicant Sovran Bank/Memphis, Memphis, Tennessee PENDING CASES INVOLVING -pv i / \ Bank(s) First National Bank of Collierville, Collierville, Tennessee Reserve Effective Bank date St. Louis February 16, 1989 THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS This list of pending cases does not include suits against the Federal Reserve Banks in which the Board of Governors is not named a party. Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, No. 89-1127 (D.C. Cir. filed February 16, 1989). American Land Title Association v. Board of Governors, No. 88-1872 (D.C. Cir., filed December 16, 1988). MCorp v. Board of Governors, No. CA3-88-2693-F (N.D. Tex., filed October 28, 1988). White v. Board of Governors, No. CU-S-88-623-RDF (D. Nev., filed July 29, 1988). VanDyke v. Board of Governors, No. 88-5280 (8th Cir., filed July 13, 1988). Whitney v. United States, etal., No. CA3-88-1596-H (N.D. Tex., filed July 7, 1988). Baugh v. Board of Governors, No. C88-3037 (N.D. Iowa, filed April 8, 1988). Bonilla v. Board of Governors, No. 88-1464 (7th Cir., filed March 11, 1988). Cohen v. Board of Governors, No. 88-1061 (D.N-J-, filed March 7, 1988). Stoddard v. Board of Governors, No. 88-1148 (D.C. Cir., filed February 25, 1988). Independent Insurance Agents of America, Inc. v. Board of Governors, No. 87-1686 (D.C. Cir., filed November 19, 1987). National Association of Casualty & Surety Agents, et al., v. Board of Governors, Nos. 87-1644, 871801, 88-1001 88-1206, 88-1245, 88-1270 (D.C. Cir., filed Nov. 4, Dec. 21, 1987, Jan. 4, March 18, March 30, April 7, 1988). Teichgraeber v. Board of Governors, No. 87-2505-0 (D. Kan., filed Oct. 16, 1987). National Association of Casualty & Insurance Agents v. Board of Governors, Nos. 87-1354, 87-1355 (D.C. Cir., filed July 29, 1987). The Chase Manhattan Corporation v. Board of Governors, No. 87-1333 (D.C. Cir., filed July 20, 1987). Lewis v. Board of Governors, Nos. 87-3455, 87-3545 (11th Cir., filed June 25, Aug. 3, 1987). CBC, Inc. v. Board of Governors, No. 86-1001 (10th Cir., filed Jan. 2, 1986). 1 Financial and Business Statistics N O T E . The following tables may have some discontinuities in historical data for some series beginning with the March 1989 issue: 1.10,1.17, 1.20, 1.21,1.22, 1.23,1.24,1.25,1.26,1.28,1.30,1.31,1.32,1.35,1.36, 1.37,1.39,1.40,1.41, 1.42,1.43,1.45,1.46,1.47,1.48, WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL CONTENTS Domestic Financial Statistics MONEY STOCK AND BANK CREDIT A3 Reserves, money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A4 Reserves of depository institutions, Reserve Bank credit A5 Reserves and borrowings—Depository institutions A6 Selected borrowings in immediately available funds—Large member banks POLICY 1.50,1.53, 1.54, 1.55,1.56, 2.11, 2.14, 2.15, 2.16, 2.17, 3.14, and 3.21. For a more detailed explanation of the changes, see the announcement on pages 288-89 of this BULLETIN. INSTRUMENTS A7 Federal Reserve Bank interest rates A8 Reserve requirements of depository institutions A9 Federal Reserve open market transactions A19 A20 A21 All Assets and liabilities All reporting banks Banks in New York City Branches and agencies of foreign banks Gross demand deposits—individuals, partnerships, and corporations FINANCIAL BANKS A10 Condition and Federal Reserve note statements A l l Maturity distribution of loan and security holdings MONETARY AND CREDIT AGGREGATES A12 Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base A13 Money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A15 Bank debits and deposit turnover A16 Loans and securities—All commercial banks COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS A17 Major nondeposit funds A18 Assets and liabilities, last-Wednesday-of-month series MARKETS A23 Commercial paper and bankers dollar acceptances outstanding A23 Prime rate charged by banks on short-term business loans A24 Interest rates—money and capital markets A25 Stock market—Selected statistics A26 Selected financial institutions—Selected assets and liabilities FEDERAL FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS FINANCE A28 A29 A30 A30 Federal fiscal and financing operations U.S. budget receipts and outlays Federal debt subject to statutory limitation Gross public debt of U.S. Treasury—Types and ownership A31 U.S. government securities dealers— Transactions A32 U.S. government securities dealers—Positions and financing A33 Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies—Debt outstanding SECURITIES MARKETS AND CORPORATE FINANCE A34 New security issues—State and local governments and corporations A35 Open-end investment companies—Net sales and asset position 2 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 A35 Corporate profits and their distribution A35 Total nonfarm business expenditures on new plant and equipment A36 Domestic finance companies—Assets and liabilities and business credit REAL A56 U.S. reserve assets A56 Foreign official assets held at Federal Reserve Banks A57 Foreign branches of U.S. banks—Balance sheet data A59 Selected U.S. liabilities to foreign official institutions ESTATE A37 Mortgage markets A38 Mortgage debt outstanding CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT A39 Total outstanding and net change A40 Terms REPORTED BY BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES A59 A60 A62 A63 Liabilities to and claims on foreigners Liabilities to foreigners Banks' own claims on foreigners Banks' own and domestic customers' claims on foreigners A63 Banks' own claims on unaffiliated foreigners A64 Claims on foreign countries—Combined domestic offices and foreign branches FLOW OF FUNDS A41 Funds raised in U.S. credit markets A43 Direct and indirect sources of funds to credit markets A44 Summary of credit market debt outstanding A45 Summary of credit market claims, by holder Domestic Nonfinancial REPORTED BY NONBANKING BUSINESS ENTERPRISES IN THE UNITED STATES A65 Liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners A66 Claims on unaffiliated foreigners Statistics SECURITIES HOLDINGS AND SELECTED MEASURES A46 Nonfinancial business activity—Selected measures A47 Labor force, employment, and unemployment A48 Output, capacity, and capacity utilization A49 Industrial production—Indexes and gross value A51 Housing and construction A52 Consumer and producer prices A53 Gross national product and income A54 Personal income and saving International SUMMARY Statistics STATISTICS A55 U.S. international transactions—Summary A56 U.S. foreign trade TRANSACTIONS A67 Foreign transactions in securities A68 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes— Foreign transactions INTEREST AND EXCHANGE RATES A69 Discount rates of foreign central banks A69 Foreign short-term interest rates A70 Foreign exchange rates A71 Guide to Tabular Presentation, Statistical Releases, and Special Tables SPECIAL TABLES A72 Terms of lending at commercial banks, November 1988 Money Stock and Bank Credit A3 1.10 RESERVES, MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Annual rates of change, seasonally adjusted in percent1 1988r 1988' 1989 Monetary and credit aggregates Q2 Q3 Q4 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 3.5 2.9 1.5 8.1 5.8 7.2 -6.5 7.4 4.3 4.0 2.5 6.7 -.7 -1.4 5.3 5.0 -1.9 -2.3 6.4 5.9 -.8 -2.6 10.3 5.7 2.0 .8 -9.5 3.9 -1.5 .1 22.1 5.0 -8.4 -10.7 -7.6 4.1 3.2 6.1 6.8 6.6 8.2 6.4 6.9 7.2 8.5 8.7 5.2 3.8 5.6 7.2 8.6 2.3 3.7 5.0 6.1 8.2 1.9 2.1 2.7 2.0 8.9 2.7 2.8 5.4 5.9 7.5 1.8 6.7 6.9 8.5 8.2 5.5 5.0 5.7 10.5 7.5 -6.0 -1.1 1.5 n.a. n.a. 7.2 9.1 7.1 8.3 3.3 12.2 4.2 9.8 2.1 4.8 2.9 14.8 8.4 7.8 4.8 8.2 .6 10.7 7.1 13.4 6.3 10.4 12.9 9.1 7.9 11.6 18.2 4.0 18.0 13.1 .7 17.8 14.4 -2.2 20.6 14.3 18.9 15.3 6.7 -1.9 18.3 13.0 -10.4 21.8 17.4 -1.3 20.5 13.0 2.6 12.5 9.2 2.1 5.4 3.9 -2.5 6.6 7.9 -2.7 8.8 22.1 -4.7 7.7 7.7 -1.7 5.4 2.7 -1.2 1.8 -2.4 -9.2 4.4 6.3 8.0 8.2 5.3 8.2 8.9 11.0 7.3 9.0 7.3 7.9 8.3 4.4 12.2 7.8 -.7 5.1 8.2 7.1 6.7 8.7 6.0 7.6 7.4 .1 Q1 1 2 i 4 Reserves of depository Total Required Nonborrowed Monetary base 5 b 1 8 y Concepts Ml M2 M3 L Debt institutions of money, liquid assets, Nontrqnsaction 10 In M2 u In M3 only 6 and debt4 components Time and savings deposits Commercial banks Savings Small-denomination time Large-denomination time 9 , 1 0 Thrift institutions 15 Savings 16 Small-denomination time 17 Large-denomination time 12 u 14 Debt components4 18 Federal iy Nonfederal 20 Total loans and securities at commercial banks" 1. Unless otherwise noted, rates of change are calculated from average amounts outstanding in preceding month or quarter. 2. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act and other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. To adjust for discontinuities due to changes in reserve requirements on reservable nondeposit liabilities, the sum of such required reserves is subtracted from the actual series. Similarly, in adjusting for discontinuities in the monetary base, required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float also are subtracted from the actual series. 3. The monetary base not adjusted for discontinuities consists of total reserves plus required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float at Federal Reserve Banks plus the currency component of the money stock less the amount of vault cash holdings of thrift institutions that is included in the currency component of the money stock plus, for institutions not having required reserve balances, the excess of current vault cash over the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. After the introduction of contemporaneous reserve requirements (CRR), currency and vault cash figures are measured over the weekly computation period ending Monday. Before CRR, all components of the monetary base other than excess reserves are seasonally adjusted as a whole, rather than by component, and excess reserves are added on a not seasonally adjusted basis. After CRR, the seasonally adjusted series consists of seasonally adjusted total reserves, which include excess reserves on a not seasonally adjusted basis, plus the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock plus the remaining items seasonally adjusted as a whole. 4. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: M l : (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) other checkable deposits (OCD) consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. M2: Ml plus overnight (and continuing contract) repurchase agreements (RPs) issued by all commercial banks and overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U . S . banks worldwide, Money Market Deposit Accounts (MMDAs), savings and small-denomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt general purpose and broker-dealer money market mutual funds. Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh balances at depository n.a. 2.5 institutions and money market funds. Also excludes all balances held by U.S. commercial banks, money market funds (general purpose and broker-dealer), foreign governments and commercial banks, and the U . S . government. M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits and term RP liabilities (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by commercial banks and thrift institutions, term Eurodollars held by U . S . residents at foreign branches of U . S . banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada, and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt, institution-only money market mutual funds. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U . S . government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Also subtracted is the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper and bankers acceptances, net of money market mutual fund holdings of these assets. Debt: Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U . S . government, state and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors. Private debt consists of corporate bonds, mortgages, consumer credit (including bank loans), other bank loans, commercial paper, bankers acceptances, and other debt instruments. The source of data on domestic nonfinancial debt is the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts. Debt data are based on monthly averages. Growth rates for debt reflect adjustments for discontinuities over time in the levels of debt presented in other tables. 5. Sum of overnight RPs and Eurodollars, money market fund balances (general purpose and broker-dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits less the estimated amount of demand deposits and vault cash held by thrift institutions to service their time and savings deposit liabilities. 6. Sum of large time deposits, term RPs, and Eurodollars of U.S. residents, money market fund balances (institution-only), less a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. 7. Excludes MMDAs. 8. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All IRA and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrifts are subtracted from small time deposits. 9. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 10. Large-denomination time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market mutual funds, depository institutions, and foreign banks and official institutions. 11. Changes calculated from figures shown in table 1.23. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.11 RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS A N D RESERVE BANK CREDIT Millions of dollars Monthly averages of daily figures Factors 1988 Weekly averages of daily figures for week ending 1989 1988 1989 Nov. Dec. Jan. Dec. 14 Dec. 21 Dec. 28 Jan. 4 Jan. 11 Jan. 18 Jan. 25 258,858 263,823 264,482 262,357 263,885 264,494 270,106 268,011 262,812 261,033 229,131 228,390 741 7,332 7,106 226 0 2,883 1,186 18,327 11,061 5,018 18,718 234,567 233,606 961 7,565 7,041 524 0 1,749 1,436 18,507 11,061 5,018 18,769 235,128 233,851 1,277 7,702 6,923 779 0 1,570 877 19,205 11,057 5,018 18,831 233,266 232,906 360 7,414 7,066 348 0 2,012 1,342 18,323 11,062 5,018 18,759 234,972 234,480 492 7,117 7,018 99 0 1,332 1,760 18,704 11,061 5,018 18,773 234,552 232,881 1,671 7,918 7,010 908 0 1,362 1,771 18,891 11,060 5,018 18,787 238,002 233,504 4,498 9,431 6,966 2,465 0 2,280 1,323 19,071 11,060 5,018 18,801 236,983 234,526 2,457 8,736 6,966 1,770 0 1,816 1,816 18,659 11,057 5,018 18,815 233,808 233,808 0 6,966 6,966 0 0 1,879 933 19,225 11,057 5,018 18,829 233,420 232,989 431 7,084 6,903 181 0 1,174 68 19,286 11,056 5,018 18,843 240,343 401 244,540 399 243,398 406 243,390 404 244,312 398 246,598 397 247,768 395 245,887 400 243,652 408 241,475 409 5,268 246 5,364 248 8,303 257 4,807 237 6,462 270 4,500 183 8,459 299 6,242 251 4,368 247 9,360 281 1,746 380 2,014 369 1,999 402 2,073 310 1,789 371 1,849 412 1,979 491 2,183 332 1,884 330 1,950 381 SUPPLYING RESERVE F U N D S 1 Reserve Bank credit 2 U.S. government securities 1 3 Bought outright 4 Held under repurchase agreements 5 Federal agency obligations 6 Bought outright 7 Held under repurchase agreements 8 Acceptances 9 Loans 10 Float 11 Other Federal Reserve assets 12 Gold stock 2 13 Special drawing rights certificate a c c o u n t . . . 14 Treasury currency outstanding ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 15 Currency in circulation 16 Treasury cash holdings 2 Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks 17 Treasury 18 Foreign 19 Service-related balances and adjustments 20 Other 21 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 22 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 3 7,955 8,040 7,913 7,930 8,130 8,120 7,777 7,975 7,847 8,025 37,316 37,697 36,710 38,044 37,004 37,299 37,816 39,632 38,981 34,068 Jan. 18 Jan. 25 End-of-month figures 1988 Wednesday figures 1989 1988 1989 Nov. Dec. Jan. Dec. 14 Dec. 21 Dec. 28 Jan. 4 Jan. 11 23 Reserve Bank credit 261,971 269,748 261,056 261,481 263,705 269,055 273,893 269,463 262,485 266,298 24 U . S . government securities 1 25 Bought outright 26 Held under repurchase agreements 27 Federal agency obligations 28 Bought outright 29 Held under repurchase agreements 30 Acceptances 31 Loans 32 Float 33 Other Federal Reserve assets 34 Gold stock 2 35 Special drawing rights certificate a c c o u n t . . . 36 Treasury currency outstanding 232,702 228,701 4,001 8,384 7,102 1,282 0 2,328 389 18,168 11,059 5,018 18,743 238,422 233,662 4,760 9,067 6,966 2,101 0 2,170 1,286 18,803 11,060 5,018 18,799 232,933 232,933 0 6,819 6,819 0 0 863 798 19,643 11,056 5,018 18,855 231,552 231,313 239 7,092 7,018 74 0 2,197 2,058 18,582 11,061 5,018 18,771 235,293 234,839 454 7,052 7.017 35 0 961 1,695 18,704 11,060 5.018 18,785 237,268 233,562 3,706 8,402 6,967 1,435 0 1,603 2,691 19,091 11,060 5,018 18,799 240,122 233,025 7,097 10,530 6,966 3,564 0 1,994 2,576 18,671 11,060 5,018 18,813 237,875 234,916 2,959 8,637 6,966 1,671 0 1,814 1,955 19,182 11,057 5,018 18,827 233,131 233,131 0 6,966 6,966 0 0 1,314 1,914 19,160 11,056 5,018 18,841 235,988 232,974 3,014 8,087 6,819 1,268 0 2,018 569 19,636 11,056 5,018 18,855 242,472 402 247,649 395 239,581 412 243,951 398 245,411 398 247,745 390 247,647 3% 244,862 408 243,191 408 240,425 412 5,198 251 8,656 347 11,766 279 4,638 233 10,156 201 5,822 216 8,814 189 4,806 177 3,650 245 13,769 204 1,613 398 1,605 548 1,589 390 1,612 300 1,594 318 1,594 556 1,605 330 1,606 578 1,591 365 1,594 749 8,058 7,683 7,746 7,695 7,674 8,070 7,860 7,828 7,634 7,961 38,399 37,742 34,221 37,504 32,816 39,539 41,943 44,101 40,316 36,113 SUPPLYING RESERVE F U N D S ABSORBING RESERVE F U N D S 37 Currency in circulation 38 Treasury cash holdings 2 Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks 39 Treasury 40 Foreign 41 Service-related balances and adjustments 42 Other 43 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 44 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 3 1. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes any securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2. Revised for periods between October 1986 and April 1987. At times during this interval, outstanding gold certificates were inadvertently in excess of the gold stock. Revised data not included in this table are available from the Division of Research and Statistics, Banking Section. 3. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. NOTE. For amounts of currency and coin held as reserves, see table 1.12. Money Stock and Bank Credit 1.12 RESERVES AND BORROWINGS A5 Depository Institutions' Millions of dollars Monthly averages 9 Reserve classification 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks 2 Total vault cash Vault . i Surplus Total reserves Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks Total borrowings at Reserve Banks Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks Extended credit at Reserve Banks 8 1989 1985 1986 1987 1988 Dec. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 27,620 22,953 20,522 2,431 48,142 47,085 1,058 1,318 56 499 37,360 24,079 22,199 1,879 59,560 58,191 1,369 827 38 303 37,673 26,155 24,449 1,706 62,123 61,094 1,029 777 93 483 37,992 26,479 24,763 1,715 62,756 61,749 1,007 3,440 376 2,538 36,911 26,895 25,054 1,841 61,965 61,012 953 3,241 423 2,653 37,213 26,726 24,940 1,786 62,153 61,181 972 2,839 421 2,059 36,421 27,1% 25,494 1,702 61,915 60,853 1,062 2,299 332 1,781 36,997 26,746 25,410 1,335 62,407 61,287 1,119 2,861 186 2,322 37,830 27,197 25,909 1,291 63,736 62,696 1,040 1,716 130 1,244 36,475 28,376 26,993 1,383 63,468 62,323 1,145 1,662 76 1,046 Biweekly averages of daily figures for weeks ending 1989 1988 11 12 n 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks 2 Total vault cash Vault4 Surplus Total reserves Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks Total borrowings at Reserve Banks Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks Extended credit at Reserve Banks Oct. 5 Oct. 19 Nov. 2 Nov. 16 N o v . 30 Dec. 14 Dec. 28 Jan. 11 Jan. 25 Feb. 8 36,527 26,924 25,063 1,861 61,590 60,442 1,148 2,438 433 1,704 36,678 27,612 25,806 1,806 62,484 61,509 975 2,204 337 1,681 36,078 26,825 25,309 1,516 61,387 60,260 1,128 2,353 285 1,931 38,143 26,221 25,022 1,200 63,165 61,562 1,603 3,233 180 2,838 35,981 27,259 25,814 1,446 61,795 61,160 635 2,562 178 1,863 38,363 26,316 25,128 1,188 63,491 62,515 976 2,014 131 1,529 37,106 27,927 26,525 1,403 63,631 62,550 1,081 1,347 137 968 38,724 27,904 26,679 1,225 65,403 64,256 1,147 2,048 94 1,208 36,514 27,414 26,243 1,171 62,757 61,786 972 1,527 61 1,028 32,260 31,488 29,318 2,170 61,578 60,035 1,543 1,270 78 792 1. These data also appear in the Board's H.3 (502) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. 3. Dates refer to the maintenance periods in which the vault cash can be used to satisfy reserve requirements. Under contemporaneous reserve requirements, maintenance periods end 30 days after the lagged computation periods in which the balances are held. 4. Equal to all vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 5. Total vault cash at institutions having no required reserve balances less the amount of vault cash equal to their required reserves during the maintenance period. 6. Total reserves not adjusted for discontinuities consist of reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks, which exclude required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float, plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements. Such vault cash consists of all vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 7. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements less required reserves. 8. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as there is with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market impact of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 9. Data are prorated monthly averages of biweekly averages. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.13 SELECTED BORROWINGS IN IMMEDIATELY AVAILABLE FUNDS Large Member Banks1 Averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1988 w e e k ending M o n d a y Maturity and source 1 2 3 4 Federal funds purchased, repurchase agreements, and other selected borrowing in immediately available funds F r o m commercial banks in the United States For o n e day or under continuing contract For all other maturities From other depository institutions, foreign banks and foreign official institutions, and U . S . government agencies For o n e day or under continuing contract For all other maturities Apr. 18 Apr. 25 May 2 May 9 May 16 May 23 M a y 30 72,737 10,492 67,632 10,738 64,874 10,683 66,700 10,857 63,447 11,208 63,088 9,894 64,248 10,388 71,726 36,509 7,543 31,334 8,080 28,596 9,081 32,399 8,146 33,207 8,205 34,265 7,486 32,706 7,534 33,220 7,130 10,816 Repurchase agreements on U.S. government and federal agency securities in immediately available funds Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities For o n e day or under continuing contract For all other maturities All other customers For o n e day or under continuing contract For all other maturities 13,659 14,777 13,648 16,544 13,705 17,892 15,256 17,652 16,394 17,513 16,467 15,092 17,941 15,342 17,697 14,767 25,461 10,279 24,743 9,705 25,708 9,324 24,271 9,238 25,333 9,444 25,536 9,348 25,573 10,648 25,070 10,049 MEMO: Federal funds loans and resale agreements in immediately available funds in maturities of one day or under continuing contract 9 T o commercial banks in the United States 10 T o all other specified customers 34,565 13,321 34,092 13,252 34,774 14,708 34,480 14,540 32,915 13,607 31,181 13,154 33,269 13,410 37,361 15,880 5 6 7 8 1. B a n k s with assets of $1 billion or more as of D e c . 31, 1977. T h e s e data also appear in the Board's H . 5 (507) release. For address, s e e inside front c o v e r . 2. Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities; other depository institutions; foreign banks and official institutions; and United States government agencies, Policy Instruments A7 1.14 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK INTEREST RATES Percent per year Current and previous levels Extended credit 2 Adjustment credit and Seasonal credit 1 Federal Reserve Bank On 2/28/89 Effective date 7 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 Boston N e w York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San Francisco . . . 7 After 30 days of borrowing 3 First 30 days of borrowing Previous rate 6 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/27/89 2/24/89 On 2/28/89 Effective date Vi 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 6Vi 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/24/89 2/27/89 2/24/89 7 Previous rate On 2/28/89 Effective date Previous rate 9.90 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 9.70 6V1 6 Vl 9.90 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 2/23/89 Effective date 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 2/9/89 9.70 Range of rates for adjustment credit in recent years 4 Effective date In effect Dec. 31, 1977. 1978—Jan. 9 20 May 11 12 July 3 10 Aug. 21 Sept. 22 Oct. 16 20 Nov. 1 3 1979—July 20 Aug. 17 20 Sept. 19 21 Oct. 8 10 1980—Feb. 15 19 May 29 30 June 13 16 Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks 6 6-6 F.R. Bank of N.Y. 6 Vi 6 Vi 6Vi 6 Vl 6V1-I 7 1 7 I-lVi 7^4 IV* 7!/4 73/4 8 8-8W 8 »Vi-9Vi 9 Vi Vi 10 10-10W lOVi 10W-11 11 II-12 12 12-13 13 12-13 12 11-12 11 7V4 8 svi 8W 9Vl 9Vi 10 10 10W 11 11 12 12 Vi 13 13 13 12 11 11 Effective date 1980—July 28 29 Sept. 26 Nov. 17 Dec. 5 1981—May Nov. Dec. 5 8 2 6 4 1982—July 20 23 2 3 16 27 30 Oct. 12 13 Nov. 22 26 Dec. 14 15 17 Aug. 1. Adjustment credit is available on a short-term basis to help depository institutions meet temporary needs for funds that cannot be met through reasonable alternative sources. After May 19,1986, the highest rate established for loans to depository institutions may be charged on adjustment credit loans of unusual size that result from a major operating problem at the borrower's facility. Seasonal credit is available to help smaller depository institutions meet regular, seasonal needs for funds that cannot be met through special industry lenders and that arise from a combination of expected patterns of movement in their deposits and loans. A temporary simplified seasonal program was established on Mar. 8, 1985, and the interest rate was a fixed rate Vl percent above the rate on adjustment credit. The program was reestablished for 1986 and 1987; but was not renewed for 1988. 2. Extended credit is available to depository institutions, when similar assistance is not reasonably available from other sources, when exceptional circumstances or practices involve only a particular institution or when an institution is experiencing difficulties adjusting to changing market conditions over a longer period of time. 3. For extended-credit loans outstanding more than 30 days, a flexible rate somewhat above rates on market sources of funds ordinarily will be charged, but Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. Effective date Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 10-11 10 11 12 12-13 10 10 11 12 13 1984—Apr. 9 13 N o v . 21 26 Dec. 24 8W-9 9 8W-9 8 Vi 8 9 9 8 Vi 8 Vi 8 13-14 14 13-14 13 12 14 14 13 13 12 1985—May 20 24 lVl-% IVi IVi IVi 7 10 Apr. 21 July 11 Aug. 21 22 1-1 Vi 7 6W-7 6 5W-6 5W 1 1 6 Vi 6 5 Vi SVi 1987—Sept. 4 11 5Vi-6 6 6 6 1988—Aug. 9 11 6 - 6 Vl 6 Vl 6 Vi 6 Vi 1989—Feb. 24 27 (M.-1 7 1 7 7 7 im-12 11 Vi 11-11V4 11 10W 10-10W 10 9VS-10 9 Vi 9 - 9 Vi 9 8Vl-9 »V2-9 m 11 Vi 1 IVi 11 11 10W 10 10 9 Vl 9 Vi 9 9 9 8 Vi 8 Vi 1986—Mar. In effect February 28, 1989 in no case will the rate charged be less than the basic discount rate plus 50 basis points. The flexible rate is reestablished on the first business day of each two-week reserve maintenance period. At the discretion of the Federal Reserve Bank, the time period for which the basic discount rate is applied may be shortened. 4. For earlier data, see the following publications of the Board of Governors: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941, and 1941-1970; Annual Statistical Digest, 1970-1979. In 1980 and 1981, the Federal Reserve applied a surcharge to short-term adjustment credit borrowings by institutions with deposits of $500 million or more that had borrowed in successive weeks or in more than four weeks in a calendar quarter. A 3 percent surcharge was in effect from Mar. 17, 1980 through May 7, 1980. There was no surcharge until N o v . 17,1980, when a 2 percent surcharge was adopted; the surcharge was subsequently raised to 3 percent on Dec. 5, 1980, and to 4 percent on May 5, 1981. The surcharge was reduced to 3 percent effective Sept. 22, 1981, and to 2 percent effective Oct. 12, 1981. As of Oct. 1, 1981 the formula for applying the surcharge was changed from a calendar quarter to a moving 13-week period. The surcharge was eliminated on N o v . 17, 1981. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.15 RESERVE REQUIREMENTS OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS1 Percent of deposits Type of deposit, ai deposit interval Deposiitoiy institution requirements aftter implementation of the Monetary Control A c t Percen depos Net transaction accounts $0 million-$41.5 million More than $41.5 million Effective date ' 12/20/88 12/20/88 Nonpersonal time deposits B y original maturity L e s s than 1 Vi years 1 Vz years or more 3 0 10/6/83 10/6/83 Eurocurrency All types 3 11/13/80 liabilities 1. R e s e r v e requirements in effect o n D e c . 31, 1988. Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with Federal R e s e r v e Banks or vault cash. N o n m e m bers may maintain reserve balances with a Federal Reserve Bank indirectly on a pass-through basis with certain approved institutions. For previous reserve requirements, s e e earlier editions of the Annual Report and of the FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN. U n d e r provisions of the Monetary Control Act, depository institutions include commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, agencies and branches of foreign banks, and Edge corporations. 2. T h e Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions A c t of 1982 (Public L a w 97-320) requires that $2 million of reservable liabilities (transaction accounts, nonpersonal time deposits, and Eurocurrency liabilities) of e a c h depository institution b e subject t o a zero percent reserve requirement. T h e Board is t o adjust the amount of reservable liabilities subject to this zero percent reserve requirement e a c h year for the succeeding calendar year by 80 percent of the percentage increase in the total reservable liabilities of all depository institutions, measured o n an annual basis as of June 30. N o corresponding adjustment is to be made in the event of a decrease. On D e c . 20, 1988, the exemption w a s raised from $3.2 million to $3.4 million. In determining the reserve requirements of depository institutions, the e x e m p t i o n shall apply in the following order: (1) net N O W accounts ( N O W accounts l e s s allowable deductions); (2) net other transaction accounts; and (3) nonpersonal time deposits or Eurocurrency liabilities starting with those with the highest reserve ratio. With respect to N O W accounts and other transaction accounts, the e x e m p t i o n applies only t o such a c c o u n t s that would be subject to a 3 percent reserve requirement. 3. Transaction accounts include all deposits o n w h i c h the account holder is permitted to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instruments, payment orders of withdrawal, and telephone and preauthorized transfers in e x c e s s of three per month for the purpose of making p a y m e n t s to third persons or others. H o w e v e r , M M D A s and similar a c c o u n t s subject to the rules that permit n o more than six preauthorized, automatic, or other transfers per month, of which no more than three can be c h e c k s , are not transaction a c c o u n t s ( s u c h a c c o u n t s are savings deposits subject to time deposit reserve requirements). 4. The Monetary Control A c t of 1980 requires that the amount o f transaction accounts against which the 3 percent reserve requirement applies be modified annually by 8 0 percent of the percentage increase in transaction accounts held by all depository institutions, determined as of June 30 e a c h year. Effective D e c . 20, 1988 for institutions reporting quarterly and D e c . 27, 1988 for institutions reporting w e e k l y , the amount w a s increased f r o m $40.5 million t o $41.5 million. 5. In general, nonpersonal time deposits are time deposits, including savings deposits, that are not transaction a c c o u n t s and in w h i c h a beneficial interest is held by a depositor that is not a natural person. A l s o included are certain transferable time deposits held b y natural persons and certain obligations issued to depository institution offices located outside the United States. For details, s e e section 204.2 of Regulation D . Policy Instruments A9 1.17 FEDERAL RESERVE OPEN MARKET TRANSACTIONS1 Millions of dollars 1988 1986 Type of transaction 1987 1988 July June Aug. Oct. Sept. Nov. Dec. U . S . TREASURY SECURITIES Outright transactions (excluding transactions) 1 2 3 4 Treasury bills Gross purchases Gross sales Exchange Redemptions 5 6 7 8 9 matched 22,604 2,502 0 1,000 18,983 6,051 0 9,029 8,223 587 0 2,200 0 0 0 0 515 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,280 0 0 0 375 0 0 0 3,599 0 0 0 1,125 0 0 0 Others within 1 year Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange Redemptions 190 0 18,674 -20,180 0 3,659 300 21,504 -20,388 70 2,176 0 23,854 -24,588 0 0 0 1,384 -1,826 0 0 0 1,033 -87 0 0 0 3,932 -4,2% 0 0 0 1,368 -1,646 0 0 0 1,669 -916 0 0 0 5,264 -2,391 0 1,084 0 1,750 -1,703 0 10 11 12 13 1 to 5 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 893 0 -17,058 16,985 10,231 452 -17,975 18,938 5,485 800 -17,720 22,515 0 0 -1,384 1,826 0 0 -997 0 0 0 -1,821 3,971 0 0 -1,368 1,646 0 0 -1,544 639 0 0 -3,088 2,091 1,824 0 -1,750 1,703 14 15 16 17 5 to 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 236 0 -1,620 2,050 2,441 0 -3,529 950 1,579 175 -5,946 1,797 0 0 0 0 0 0 -36 87 0 0 -2,111 325 0 0 0 0 0 0 -125 276 0 0 -2,145 300 562 0 0 0 18 19 20 21 Over 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 158 0 0 1,150 1,858 0 0 500 1,398 0 -188 275 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -31 0 432 0 0 0 24,081 2,502 1,000 37,170 6,803 9,099 18,863 1,562 2,200 0 0 0 515 0 0 0 0 0 1,280 0 0 375 0 0 3,599 0 0 5,028 0 0 927,999 927,247 950,923 950,935 1,168,484 1,168,142 73,708 72,966 81,979 83,464 124,875 123,220 113,886 113,384 98,804 97,897 98,618 100,680 93,650 93,584 170,431 160,268 314,621 324,666 152,613 151,497 10,520 5,334 22,978 28,164 0 0 35,800 30,191 4,715 7,727 17,867 16,463 15,575 14,815 29,988 11,234 15,872 4,444 -3,186 -1,655 6,386 -3,544 7,064 5,721 0 0 398 0 0 276 0 0 587 0 0 0 0 0 67 0 0 10 0 0 0 0 75 0 0 14 0 0 135 31,142 30,521 80,353 81,350 57,259 56,471 5,083 2,843 12,355 14,594 0 0 12,107 8,225 2,223 4,454 4,763 5,132 7,672 6,853 35 N e t change in federal agency obligations 222 -1,274 198 2,239 -2,306 -10 3,882 -2,306 -383 683 36 Total net change in System Open Market Account 30,212 9,961 16,070 6,683 -5,492 -1,665 10,268 -5,850 6,681 6,404 All maturities 22 Gross purchases 23 Gross sales 24 Redemptions Matched transactions 25 Gross sales 26 Gross purchases 2 Repurchase agreements 27 Gross purchases 28 Gross sales 29 Net change in U.S. government securities FEDERAL A G E N C Y OBLIGATIONS Outright transactions 30 Gross purchases 31 Gross sales 32 Redemptions Repurchase agreements1 33 Gross purchases 34 Gross sales 1. Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures increase such holdings. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 0 2. In July 1984 the Open Market Trading Desk discontinued accepting bankers acceptances in repurchase agreements, A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.18 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Condition and Federal Reserve Note Statements1 Millions of dollars Wednesday Account 1988 Dec. 28 End of month Jan. 4 Jan. 18 Jan. 11 1989 1988 1989 Jan. 25 Nov. Dec. Jan. Consolidated condition statement ASSETS 1 Gold certificate account 2 Special drawing rights certificate account 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1?, 13 14 Loans T o depository institutions Other Acceptances held under repurchase agreements Federal agency obligations Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements U.S. Treasury securities Bought outright Bills Notes Bonds Total bought outright 2 Held under repurchase agreements Total U . S . Treasury securities 15 Total loans and securities 16 Items in process of collection 17 Bank premises Other assets Denominated in foreign currencies 18 All other 4 19 20 Total assets 11,060 5,018 408 11,060 5,018 382 11,057 5,018 399 11,056 5,018 425 11,056 5,018 457 11,059 5,018 404 11,060 5,018 395 11,057 5,018 480 1,603 0 0 1,994 0 0 1,814 0 0 1,314 0 0 2,018 0 0 2,328 0 0 2,170 0 0 863 0 0 6,967 1,435 6,966 3,564 6,966 1,671 6,966 0 6,819 1,268 7,102 1,282 6,966 2,101 6,819 0 112,782 90,850 29,930 233,562 3,706 237,268 112,145 90,950 29,930 233,025 7,097 240,122 114,036 90,950 29,930 234,916 2,959 237,875 112,251 90,950 29,930 233,131 0 233,131 112,094 90,950 29,930 232,974 3,014 235,988 111,724 87,484 29,493 228,701 4,001 232,702 112,782 90,950 29,930 233,662 4,760 238,422 112,076 90,928 29,929 232,933 0 232,933 247,273 252,646 248,326 241,411 246,093 243,414 249,659 240,615 11,136 746 13,015 750 8,532 751 13,745 751 6,605 752 6,121 743 8,739 750 9,959 754 9,455 8,890 9,130 8,791 9,236 9,195 9,551 8,858 9,860 9,024 9,565 8,0% 9,129 8,924 9,824 9,065 293,986 300,792 292,514 290,815 288,865 284,420 293,674 286,771 229,744 229,612 226,841 225,183 222,439 224,535 229,640 221,619 41,133 5,822 216 556 43,548 8,814 189 330 45,707 4,806 177 578 41,907 3,650 245 365 37,707 13,769 204 749 40,012 5,198 251 398 39,347 8,656 347 548 35,810 11,766 279 390 47,727 52,881 51,268 46,167 52,429 45,859 48,898 48,245 6,036 3,349 6,020 3,221 7,453 3,457 9,161 3,079 LIABILITIES 21 Federal Reserve notes Deposits To depository institutions 23 U.S. Treasury—General account 24 Foreign—Official accounts 25 Other 26 Total deposits 8,445 3,487 10,439 3,421 6,577 3,206 11,831 3,007 289,403 296,353 287,892 286,188 284,253 279,635 289,448 282,104 2,113 2,047 423 2,114 2,113 212 2,114 2,113 395 2,115 2,113 399 2,117 2,113 382 2,106 2,047 632 2,113 2,113 0 2,117 2,112 438 33 Total liabilities and capital accounts 293,986 300,792 292,514 290,815 288,865 284,420 293,674 286,771 34 MEMO: Marketable U . S . Treasury securities held in custody for foreign and international accounts 232,926 233,779 230,643 230,210 228,413 235,131 234,733 229,817 77 Deferred credit items 28 Other liabilities and accrued dividends 29 Total liabilities CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 30 Capital paid in 31 Surplus 32 Other capital accounts Federal Reserve note statement 35 Federal Reserve notes outstanding issued to bank 36 LESS: Held by bank 37 Federal Reserve notes, net Collateral held against notes net: 38 Gold certificate account 39 Special drawing rights certificate account 40 Other eligible assets 41 U . S . Treasury and agency securities 271,942 42,198 229,744 271,326 41,714 229,612 270,803 43,962 226,841 270,765 45,582 225,183 270,349 47,910 222,439 270,577 46,042 224,535 271,492 41,852 228,640 269,942 48,323 221,619 11,060 5,018 0 213,666 11,060 5,018 0 213,534 11,056 5,018 0 210,767 11,056 5,018 0 209,109 11,056 5,018 0 206,365 11,059 5,018 0 208,458 11,060 5,018 0 213,562 11,057 5,018 0 205,544 42 Total collateral 229,744 229,612 226,841 225,183 222,439 224,535 229,640 221,619 1. Some of these data also appear in the Board's H.4.1 (503) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. Treasury securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 3. Valued monthly at market exchange rates. 4. Includes special investment account at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in Treasury bills maturing within 90 days. 5. Includes exchange-translation account reflecting the monthly revaluation at market exchange rates of foreign-exchange commitments. Federal Reserve Banks 1.19 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS All Maturity Distribution of Loan and Security Holdings Millions of dollars End of month Wednesday Type and maturity groupings 1988 Dec. 28 1 Loans—Total 2 Within 15 days 3 16 days to 90 days 4 91 days to 1 year 6 7 8 Within 15 days 16 days to 90 days 91 days to 1 year 9 U . S . Treasury securities—Total 10 Within 15 days' 11 16 days to 90 days 12 91 days to 1 year 13 Over 1 year to 5 years 14 Over 5 years to 10 years 15 Over 10 years 16 Federal agency obligations—Total 17 Within 15 days' 18 16 days to 90 days 19 91 days to 1 year 20 Over 1 year to 5 years 21 Over 5 years to 10 years 22 Over 10 years Jan. 4 1989 1988 1989 Jan. 11 Jan. 18 Jan. 25 N o v . 30 Dec. 30 Jan. 31 1,602 1,592 10 0 1,994 1,981 13 0 1,814 1,799 15 0 1,314 1,307 7 0 2,018 2,017 1 0 2,328 2,289 39 0 2,170 2,152 18 0 863 854 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 237,268 12,562 54,917 74,986 55,326 12,568 26,909 240,122 16,446 54,256 74,664 55,279 12,568 26,909 237,875 13,200 55,234 74,684 55,279 12,569 26,909 233,131 9,162 57,032 72,050 55,277 12,701 26,909 235,988 10,213 56,994 73,894 55,277 12,701 26,909 232,702 12,583 53,659 74,475 53,501 12,007 26,477 238,422 9,935 58,448 75,236 55,326 12,568 26,909 232,933 5,457 58,957 73,405 55,524 12,681 26,909 8,402 1,605 697 1,492 3,419 1,000 189 10,530 3,564 837 1,522 3,418 1,000 189 8,637 1,865 742 1,435 3,406 1,000 189 6,966 195 742 1,435 3,405 1,000 189 8,087 1,364 825 1,353 3,359 997 189 8,384 1,557 675 1,457 3,413 1,093 189 9,067 2,271 697 1,492 3,418 1,000 189 6,819 136 835 1,303 3,359 997 189 1. Holdings under repurchase agreements are classified as maturing within 15 days in accordance with maximum maturity of the agreements. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.20 AGGREGATE RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND MONETARY BASE 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1988 Item 1985 Dec. 1986 Dec. 1987 Dec. 1989 1988 Dec. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Seasonally adjusted A D J U S T E D FOR C H A N G E S IN R E S E R V E REQUIREMENTS^ 1 Total reserves 3 2 3 4 5 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 4 Required reserves Monetary base 47.26 57.46 58.72 60.98 60.64 61.24 61.09 61.00 60.96 61.06 60.98 60.55 45.94 46.44 46.20 218.29' 56.63 56.93 56.09 240.82' 57.94 58.43 57.69 258.06 r 59.26 60.51' 59.94 275.81' 57.55 60.11 59.75 268.27' 57.80 60.34 60.23 270.50' 57.85 60.50 60.14 271.14' 58.16 60.21 60.02 272.47' 58.66 60.44 59.89 273.77' 58.19 60.52 59.94 274.66' 59.26 60.51' 59.94 275.81' 58.89 59.93 59.40 276.75 Not seasonally adjusted 6 Total reserves 3 7 8 9 10 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit Required reserves Monetary base 5 48.27 58.70 60.02 62.43' 60.68 61.47 60.59 60.65 60.54 61.15 62.43' 62.28 46.95 47.45 47.21 221.49 57.87 58.18 57.33 244.55 59.25 59.73 58.99 262.05 60.71 61.96' 61.39' 279.89' 57.60 60.15 59.79 269.44 58.03 60.57 60.46 272.41 57.35 60.00 59.64 271.73 57.82 59.87 59.68 271.57 58.24 60.02 59.48 272.44 58.29 60.62 60.04 275.48 60.71 61.96' 61.39' 279.89 60.62 61.67 61.13 278.10 48.14 59.56 62.12 63.74 61.99 62.76 61.97 62.15 61.92 62.41 63.74 63.47 46.82 47.32 47.08 223.53 58.73 59.04 58.19 247.71 61.35 61.83 61.09 266.16 62.02 63.27' 62.70 283.18 58.91 61.46 61.10 272.65 59.32 61.85 61.75 275.59 58.72 61.38 61.01 275.03 59.31 61.37 61.18 274.87 59.62 61.40 60.85 275.78 59.55 61.87 61.29 278.65 62.02 63.27' 62.70 283.18 61.81 62.86 62.33 281.32 N O T A D J U S T E D FOR , C H A N G E S IN R E S E R V E R E Q U I R E M E N T S " 11 Total reserves 3 12 13 14 15 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 4 Required reserves Monetary base 1. Latest monthly and biweekly figures are available from the Board's H.3(502) statistical release. Historical data and estimates of the impact on required reserves of changes in reserve requirements are available from the Monetary and Reserves Projections Section. Division of Monetary Affairs. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. 2. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act and other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. To adjust for discontinuities due to changes in reserve requirements on reservable nondeposit liabilities, the sum of such required reserves is subtracted from the actual series. Similarly, in adjusting for discontinuities in the monetary base, required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float also are subtracted from the actual series. 3. Total reserves not adjusted for discontinuities consist of reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks, which exclude required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float, plus vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 4. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as there is with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market impact of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 5. The monetary base not adjusted for discontinuities consists of total reserves plus required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float at Federal Reserve Banks and the currency component of the money stock plus, for institutions not having required reserve balances, the excess of current vault cash over the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. Currency and vault cash figures are measured over the weekly computation period ending Monday. The seasonally adjusted monetary base consists of seasonally adjusted total reserves, which include excess reserves on a not seasonally adjusted basis, plus the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock and the remaining items seasonally adjusted as a whole. 6. Reflects actual reserve requirements, including those on nondeposit liabilities, with no adjustments to eliminate the effects of discontinuities associated with implementation of the Monetary Control Act or other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. Monetary and Credit Aggregates A13 1.21 MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES 1 Billions of dollars, averages of daily figures 1988r Item 2 1985 Dec/ 1986 Dec/ 1987 Dec/ 1989 1988 Dec/ Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Seasonally adjusted 1 2 3 4 5 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 6 7 8 9 Ml components Currency 3 Travelers checks* Demand deposits Other checkable deposits 620.5 2,567.4 3,201.7 3,830.6 6,719.9 725.9 2,811.2 3,494.9 4,137.1 7,576.8 752.3 2,909.5 3.677.1 4.340.2 8,282.2 790.2 3.071.8 3,917.3 4.688.9 8,992.5 785.4 3,042.2 3.876.5 4.615.6 8,876.2 786.6 3,059.1 3,898.9 4,648.1 8,937.0 790.2 3.071.8 3,917.3 4.688.9 8,992.5 786.3 3.069.0 3.922.1 n.a. n.a. 167.8 5.9 267.3 179.5 180.5 6.5 303.2 235.8 196.4 7.1 288.3 260.4 211.8 7.6 288.6 282.3 209.7 7.4 288.9 279.4 210.5 7.5 287.7 280.9 211.8 7.6 288.6 282.3 213.4 7.6 284.0 281.3 1,946.9 634.3 2,085.3 683.7 2,157.2 767.6 2,281.5 845.6 2,256.7 834.4 2,272.5 839.8 2,281.5 845.6 2,282.7 853.1 10 11 Nontransactions components In M2 . . . .„ In M3 only 8 12 13 Savings deposits 9 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 125.0 176.6 155.8 215.2 178.5 237.8 192.5 238.8 189.8 239.4 192.8 239.0 192.5 238.8 190.8 237.0 14 15 Small-denomination time deposits 1 0 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 383.3 499.2 364.6 489.3 385.3 528.8 443.0 582.2 430.9 578.8 436.4 581.4 443.0 582.2 451.1 584.4 16 17 Money market mutual funds General purpose and broker-dealer. Institution-only 176.5 64.5 208.0 84.4 221.1 89.6 239.6 87.6 231.3 84.6 237.4 87.4 239.6 87.6 242.0 89.3 18 19 Large-denomination time deposits" Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 285.1 151.5 288.8 150.1 325.4 162.0 365.1 172.9 359.2 172.8 361.2 173.2 365.1 172.9 370.4 173.8 20 21 Debt components Federal debt Nonfederal debt 1,585.3 5,134.6 1,805.8 5,771.1 1,956.1 6,326.0 2.113.7 6.878.8 2,088.7 6,787.4 2,100.4 6,836.6 2.113.7 6.878.8 n.a. n.a. Not seasonally adjusted 22 23 24 25 26 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 27 28 29 30 Ml components Currency 3 Travelers checks* Demand deposits 3 Other checkable deposits 6 31 32 Nontransactions components M2 . M3 only 8 33 34 633.5 2.576.2 3.213.3 3,843.7 6,710.2 740.4 2,821.1 3,507.4 4,152.0 7,561.0 766.4 2,918.3 3.688.1 4,354.5 8.264.2 804.3 3,079.5 3,927.1 4,702.7 8,968.3 782.1 3,038.3 3,874.2 4,611.5 8,842.1 788.3 3.057.7 3.904.0 4.656.1 8.894.8 804.3 3,079.5 3,927.1 4,702.7 8,968.3 793.0 3,079.3 3,929.6 n.a. n.a. 170.2 5.5 276.9 180.9 183.0 6.0 314.0 237.4 199.3 6.5 298.6 262.0 214.9 6.9 298.8 283.7 209.0 7.5 288.8 276.9 211.3 7.1 290.0 279.8 214.9 6.9 298.8 283.7 211.8 7.0 290.5 283.7 1,942.7 637.1 2,080.7 686.3 2,151.9 769.8 2,275.1 847.7 2,256.2 835.9 2,269.4 846.4 2,275.1 847.7 2,286.3 850.3 Money market deposit accounts Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 332.8 180.7 379.6 192.9 358.8 167.5 352.4 150.3 353.0 154.5 354.1 152.6 352.4 150.3 348.3 146.8 35 36 Savings deposits 9 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 123.7 174.8 154.2 212.7 176.6 234.8 190.3 235.6 190.2 240.7 192.2 238.2 190.3 235.6 189.2 233.5 37 38 Small-denomination time deposits 1 0 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 384.0 499.9 365.3 489.8 386.1 529.1 444.1 582.4 431.3 579.3 437.7 581.8 444.1 582.4 453.1 588.2 39 40 Money market mutual funds General purpose and broker-dealer. Institution-only 176.5 64.5 208.0 84.4 221.1 89.6 239.6 87.6 231.3 84.6 237.4 87.4 239.6 87.6 242.0 89.3 41 42 Large-denomination time deposits 1 1 Commercial Banks 2 Thrift institutions 285.4 151.8 289.1 150.7 325.8 163.0 365.8 174.0 360.8 174.7 362.3 174.9 365.8 174.0 370.1 174.9 43 44 Debt components Federal debt Nonfederal debt 1,583.7 5,126.4 1,803.9 5,757.2 1,954.1 6,310.1 2,111.5 6,856.8 2,068.9 6,773.2 2,089.8 6,805.0 2,111.5 6,856.8 For notes see following page. n.a. n.a. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 NOTES TO T A B L E 1.21 1. Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board's H.6 (508) release. Historical data are available from the Monetary and Reserves Projection section, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. 2. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: M l : (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to depository institutions, the U . S . government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) other checkable deposits (OCD) consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. M2: Ml plus overnight (and continuing contract) repurchase agreements (RPs) issued by all commercial banks and overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide, MMDAs, savings and smalldenomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt general purpose and broker-dealer money market mutual funds. Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Also excludes all balances held by U.S. commercial banks, money market funds (general purpose and broker-dealer), foreign governments and commercial banks, and the U.S. government. M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits and term RP liabilities (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by commercial banks and thrift institutions, term Eurodollars held by U . S . residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada, and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt, institution-only money market mutual funds. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U . S . government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Also subtracted is the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper and bankers acceptances, net of money market mutual fund holdings of these assets. Debt: Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U . S . government, state and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors. Private debt consists of corporate bonds, mortgages, consumer credit (including bank loans), other bank loans, commercial paper, bankers acceptances, and other debt instruments. The source of data on domestic nonfinancial debt is the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts. Debt data are based on monthly averages. 3. Currency outside the U . S . Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and vaults of depository institutions. 4. Outstanding amount of U . S . dollar-denominated travelers checks of nonbank issuers. Travelers checks issued by depository institutions are included in demand deposits. 5. Demand deposits at commercial banks and foreign-related institutions other than those due to depository institutions, the U . S . government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float. 6. Consists of N O W and ATS balances at all depository institutions, credit union share draft balances, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. 7. Sum of overnight RPs and overnight Eurodollars, money market fund balances (general purpose and broker-dealer), M M D A s , and savings and small time deposits. 8. Sum of large time deposits, term RPs, and term Eurodollars of U.S. residents, money market fund balances (institution-only), less the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market funds. 9. Savings deposits exclude MMDAs. 10. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrifts are subtracted from small time deposits. 11. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 12. Large-denomination time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market mutual funds, depository institutions, and foreign banks and official institutions. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.22 A15 B A N K DEBITS A N D DEPOSIT TURNOVER1 Debits are shown in billions of dollars, turnover as ratio of debits to deposits. Monthly data are at annual rates. Bank group, or type of customer 1985 1986 1987 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Seasonally adjusted Demand deposits 1 All insured banks 2 Major N e w York City banks 3 Other banks 4 A T S - N O W accounts'' 5 Savings deposits 156,091.8 70,585.8 85,506.0 1,823.5 384.9 188,346.0 91,397.3 96,948.8 2,182.5 403.5 217,116.2 104,496.3 112,619.8 2,402.7 526.5 230,198.8 111,402.1 118,796.6 2,786.0 597.1 224,512.7 107,336.7 117,176.0 2,570.4 583.3 228,898.2 110,150.0 118,748.2 2,963.6 609.6 227,617.3 108,741.8 118,875.5 2,871.2 578.6 235,980.5 114,876.4 121,104.1 2,820.2 521.3 238,497.5 112,071.8 126,425.7 2,897.2 574.9 500.3 2,196.9 305.7 15.8 3.2 556.5 2,498.2 321.2 15.6 3.0 612.1 2,670.6 357.0 13.8 3.1 649.8 2,911.0 376.0 14.8 3.2 622.7 2,789.6 363.8 13.5 2.9 645.8 2,939.3 374.6 15.6 3.2 651.0 3,102.4 377.9 15.1 3.1 659.7 3,086.1 377.9 14.8 2.8 676.6 3,034.6 400.6 15.1 3.1 DEPOSIT TURNOVER 6 7 8 9 10 Demand deposits 3 All insured banks Major N e w York City banks Other banks A T S - N O W accounts 4 Savings deposits Not seasonally adjusted DEBITS TO Demand deposits 11 All insured banks 12 Major N e w York City banks 13 Other banks .1 14 A T S - N O W accounts 4 15 MMDA 16 Savings deposits 156,052.5 70,559.2 85,493.2 1,826.4 1,223.9 385.3 188,506.7 91,500.1 97,006.7 2,184.6 1,609.4 404.1 217,125.1 104,518.8 112,606.2 2,404.8 1,954.2 526.8 241,133.2 117,287.7 123,845.5 2,851.4 2,557.1 598.3 217,350.7 103,561.2 113,789.6 2,536.6 2,399.0 566.2 237,459.0 112,654.6 124,804.4 2,828.0 2,530.0 615.9 224,089.2 107,115.7 116,973.5 2,951.1 2,409.4 570.1 227,485.2 111,019.4 116,465.8 2,805.4 2,325.8 540.9 228,743.0 108,689.1 120,053.9 2,714.1 2,539.7 523.7 499.9 2,196.3 305.6 15.8 4.0 3.2 556.7 2,499.1 321.2 15.6 4.5 3.0 612.3 2,674.9 356.9 13.8 5.3 3.1 679.5 3,121.4 390.3 15.2 7.2 3.2 599.9 2,660.7 351.9 13.4 6.7 3.0 681.6 3,170.3 398.9 15.1 7.2 3.3 642.9 3,046.4 373.3 15.6 6.9 3.1 39.8 3,059.1 364.8 14.9 6.7 2.9 643.3 2,998.6 375.9 14.3 7.3 2.8 DEPOSIT TURNOVER 17 18 19 20 21 22 Demand deposits 3 All insured banks Major N e w York City banks Other banks A T S - N O W accounts 4 MMDA6 Savings deposits 3 1. Historical tables containing revised data for earlier periods may be obtained from the Monetary and Reserves Projections Section, Division of Monetary Affairs, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. These data also appear on the Board's G.6 (406) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Annual averages of monthly figures. 3. Represents accounts of individuals, partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subdivisions. 4. Accounts authorized for negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOW) and accounts authorized for automatic transfer to demand deposits (ATS). ATS data are available beginning December 1978. 5. Excludes ATS and N O W accounts, M M D A and special club accounts, such as Christmas and vacation clubs. 6. Money market deposit accounts. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.23 LOANS AND SECURITIES All Commercial Banks1 Billions of dollars; averages of Wednesday figures 1988 1989 Category Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec/ Jan. Seasonally adjusted 1 Total loans and securities 2 2 U . S . government securities 3 Other securities 4 Total loans and leases 2 5 Commercial and industrial . . . . . 6 Bankers acceptances held . . . 7 Other commercial and industrial 8 U . S . addressees 4 9 Non-U.S. addressees 10 Real estate 11 Individual 12 Security 13 Nonbank financial institutions 14 Agricultural 15 State and political subdivisions 16 Foreign banks 17 Foreign official institutions 18 Lease financing receivables . . . . 19 All other loans 2,264.1 2,281.3 2,304.7 2,328.5 2,348.4 2,360.8 2,374.9 2,373.6 2,387.5 2,398.1 2,398.3 2,403.3 336.4 193.7 1,734.0 569.3 4.3 340.2 195.7 1,745.4 568.6 4.7 343.8 196.6 1,764.3 578.1 4.6 346.5 196.1 1,786.0 586.3 4.4 350.5 196.5 1,801.5 592.4 4.4 348.0 196.8 1,815.9 598.3 4.4 350.5 196.4 1,827.9 599.4 4.6 352.5 194.2 1,826.8 597.1 4.5 355.1 195.4 1,836.9 600.9 4.2 356.8 194.8 1,846.5 599.2 4.2 360.9 190.9 1,846.5 599.9 3.9 360.8 186.2 1,856.3 605.4 4.2 564.9 556.3 8.7 599.2 333.0 42. C 564.0 555.8 8.2 604.9 337.0 41.2' 573.5 565.5 8.1 611.3 340.4 39.6' 582.0 575.1 6.9 618.6 342.8 40.0^ 588.1 581.3 6.8 625.0 344.4 39.5' 593.9 587.4 6.5 631.4 345.3 38.7 r 594.7 588.4 6.3 638.7 347.0 40.0' 592.7 586.4 6.3 644.7 349.1 36.0' 596.7 590.6 6.1 652.0 349.6 37.8' 595.0 589.5 5.5 659.2 350.8 37.0' 596.0 589.6 6.4 663.2 353.6 36.3 601.2 594.8 6.4 668.2 355.4 36.4 31.8 29.5 31.2 29.3 30.4 29.4 30.9 29.6 30.6 29.6 31.0 29.6 30.8 29.5 29.8' 29.5 29.6' 29.7' 29.5' 30.3 29.6 30.8 30.5 31.3 51.0 7.4 5.1 25.3 40.4' 50.1 7.8 5.1 25.4 44.8'' 49.6 8.3 5.1 25.7 46.3' 49.4 7.9 5.1 26.0 49.3 r 49.2 7.9 5.0 26.5 51.2' 48.9 8.2 5.0 27.2 52.2' 48.3 8.1 5.2 27.3 53.8' 48.1 7.3 5.2 27.7 52.2' 49.C 7.6' 5.2' 28.1 47.5' 48.3' 8.2' 5.4 28.1 50.6' 46.8 7.4 5.6 28.1 45.4 44.7 7.5 5.7 28.2 43.0 Not seasonally adjusted 20 Total loans and securities 2 21 U.S. government securities . . . . 22 Other securities 23 Total loans and leases 2 24 Commercial and industrial . . . 25 Bankers acceptances held . 26 Other commercial and industrial 27 U . S . addressees 4 . 28 Non-U.S. addressees 29 Real estate 30 Individual 31 Security 32 Nonbank financial institutions 33 Agricultural 34 State and political subdivisions 35 Foreign banks 36 Foreign official institutions... 37 Lease financing receivables . . . . 38 All other loans 2,268.8 2,281.6 2,305.9 2,325.2 2,344.6 2,350.7 2,363.5 2,370.3 2,382.0 2,397.3 2,416.3 2,416.7 341.5 194.4 1,732.9 568.5 4.3 342.0 195.3 1,744.2 573.8 4.7 343.4 196.2 1,766.3 582.1 4.5 344.9 196.1 1,784.2 588.8 4.4 347.0 196.0 1,801.6 594.0 4.5 347.1 195.5 1,808.1 595.4 4.4 350.5 196.3 1,816.7 594.2 4.6 352.7 194.3 1,823.3 593.7 4.5 352.8 194.3 1,834.9 596.4 4.1 356.9 194.1 1,846.2 598.1 4.2 360.8 191.4 1,864.0 604.4 4.0 362.4 188.9 1,865.5 605.1 4.0 564.2 556.0 8.2 598.5 332.4 40.5' 569.1 561.2 7.9 604.1 333.9 40.6' 577.6 569.7 7.9 610.3 337.4 41.4' 584.4 577.3 7.1 618.1 339.9 40.5' 589.5 582.6 6.9 624.8 342.3 40.9' 591.0 584.0 7.0 631.5 343.8 38.3' 589.6 582.9 6.7 638.7 347.1 38.2' 589.1 582.5 6.6 645.5 350.7 35.0' 592.3 586.1' 6.2 652.7 351.3 36.6' 593.9 587.8' 6.2 659.7 352.7 37 . C 600.4 594.2 6.2 664.2 358.2 38.0 601.1 595.7 5.4 668.6 359.1 37.2 30.8 28.5 30.3 28.3 30.3 28.6 30.7 29.3 30.6 29.9 30.8 30.3 30.7 30.4 30.2 30.5 29.6' 30.6 29^ 30.5 30.8 30.5 30.7 30.6 52.2 7.6 5.1 25.4 43.3' 51.0 7.7 5.1 25.6 43.9' 50.0 7.9 5.1 25.9 47.3' 49.3 7.7 5.1 26.1 48.7' 48.9 7.8 5.0 26.7 50.7' 48.2 8.2 5.0 27.2 49.4' 47.7 7.9 5.2 27.2 49.5' 47.4' 7.5 5.2 27.5 50.C 48.2' 7.8' 5.2' 27.6 48.9' 47.3 8.1 5.4 27.8 49.7' 46.9 7.7 5.6 28.1 49.7 46.2 7.7 5.7 28.4 46.2 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.7 (407) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. 3. Includes nonfinancial commercial paper held. 4. United States includes the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Commercial Banking Institutions A17 1.24 MAJOR NONDEPOSIT FUNDS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 Monthly averages, billions of dollars 1989 1988 Source Seasonally adjusted 1 Total nondeposit funds 2 Net balances due to related foreign o f f i c e s 3 . . . . 3 Borrowings from other than commercial banks in United States 4 4 Domestically chartered banks 5 Foreign-related banks Not seasonally adjusted 6 Total nondeposit funds 7 Net balances due to related foreign offices 3 8 Domestically chartered banks 9 Foreign-related banks 10 Borrowings from other than commercial banks in United States 4 11 Domestically chartered banks 12 Federal funds and security RP borrowings 13 Other 6 14 Foreign-related banks Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 195.0 2.7 189.8 -6.5 204.1 4.5 209.9 6.5 213.3 8.8 215.2 14.0 222.4 21.8 210.4 8.9 210.5 4.3 217.8 9.9 212.7 6.7 207.1 8.1 192.3 164.4 27.9 196.3 166.7 29.6 199.7 167.6 32.1 203.4 170.8 32.6 204.4 170.6 33.8 201.2 166.8 34.4 200.6 166.1 34.5 201.5 165.6 35.9 206.2 168.0 38.2 207.8 168.5 39.3 206.1 167.1 38.9 199.1 162.1 36.9 200.2 3.1 -20.2 23.3 199.2 -3.1 -25.3 22.1 206.4 2.0 -22.2 24.2 218.2 9.7 -16.5 26.2 215.8 8.7 -16.3 25.0 210.6 10.8 -14.0 24.8 218.5 18.6 -7.3 25.9 206.1 9.1 -15.7 24.7 205.4 4.9 -20.6 25.5 213.8 10.2 -19.2 29.4 207.2 9.1 -20.7 29.8 206.3 7.7 -20.3 28.1 197.1 168.2 202.4 171.5 204.4 171.6 208.4 175.4 207.1 171.9 199.8 164.9 199.9 165.6 197.1 161.8 200.5 163.7 203.6 167.2 198.0 161.1 198.5 160.5 166.2 2.0 28.8 168.1 3.4 30.8 166.8 4.8 32.8 170.8 4.6 33.0 167.1 4.8 35.2 159.5 5.4 34.9 160.6 5.0 34.2 157.4 4.4 35.3 159.6 4.1 36.8 162.6 4.6 36.3 157.6 3.5 36.9 157.1 3.4 38.1 395.9' 395.7 398.0' 399.5' 397.1' 395.4' 399.8' 398.9' 403.2' 401.8' 408.4' 405.9' 414.6' 415.1' 419.7 421.7' 423.2' 424.7' 424.5' 425.6' 429.1' 429.8' 434.9 434.5 22.2' 28.2 25.2' 22.3 22.4' 21.7 23.9' 30.4 22.0 21.0 21.3' 22.0 17.1' 11.9 23.5' 24.6 27.2' 27.7 23.0' 16.3 24^ 22.9 20.4 25.1 MEMO Gross large time deposits Seasonally adjusted Not seasonally adjusted U . S . Treasury demand balances at commercial banks 8 17 Seasonally adjusted 18 Not seasonally adjusted 15 16 1. The nondeposit funds series that is published regularly in this table has been revised starting with this issue. For details see the Announcements section, p. 151-152. Commercial banks are those in the 50 states and the District of Columbia with national or state charters plus agencies and branches of foreign banks, N e w York investment companies majority owned by foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations owned by domestically chartered and foreign banks. These data also appear in the Board's G.10 (411) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes federal funds, RPs, and other borrowing from nonbanks and net balances due to related foreign offices. 3. Reflects net positions of U.S. chartered banks, Edge Act corporations, and U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks with related foreign offices plus net positions with own IBFs. 4. Other borrowings are borrowings through any instrument, such as a promissory note or due bill, given for the purpose of borrowing money for the banking business. This includes borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks and from foreign banks, term federal funds, loan RPs, and sales of participations in pooled loans. 5. Based on daily average data reported weekly by approximately 120 large banks and quarterly or annual data reported by other banks. 6. Figures are partly daily averages and partly averages of Wednesday data. 7. Time deposits in denominations of $1(X),000 or more. Estimated averages of daily data. 8. U.S. Treasury demand deposits and Treasury tax-and-loan notes at commercial banks. Averages of daily data. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.25 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS Last-Wednesday-of-Month Series1 Billions of dollars 1988 1989 Account Mar. Apr. May 2,450.0 517.7 325.7 192.0 20.3 1,912.0 159.5 1.752.4 576.2 607.3 334.8 234.1 2.466.8 519.7 328.8 190.9 19.6 1,927.5 158.0 1.769.5 583.4 612.5 339.1 234.6 2.473.2 521.6 330.7 191.0 20.3 1.931.3 152.3 1.779.1 587.8 619.7 340.0 231.7 211.2 32.0 24.8 74.1 214.3 32.2 25.4 76.4 32.0 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec/ Jan. 2,511.7 518.6 328.0 190.6 22.1 1,971.0 163.7 1,807.3 598.2 627.5 343.2 238.4 2,509.0 521.6 '331.6 190.0 23.9 1,963.5 158.7 1,804.8 592.4 633.1 344.1 235.2 2.523.3 525.4 334.6 190.8 22.8 1,975.1 154.7 1.820.4 592.8 641.8 349.2 236.6 2.522.7 525.9 336.5 189.4 21.3 1,975.5 151.2 1,824.3 593.8 647.8 351.5 231.2 2,537.9 523.6 334.4 189.2 24.9 1,989.4 158.5 1,830.9 593.8 654.1 351.9 231.1 2,575.6 529.6 340.4 189.2 24.8 167.7 1.853.5 600.0 661.6 354.1 237.8 2,586.0 529.7 343.9 185.8 19.2 2.037.0 163.7 1,873.3 608.4 666.6 360.4 237.9 2,571.0 531.0 347.7 183.3 21.5 2,018.5 158.1 1,860.4 603.0 669.8 359.2 228.4 200.3 26.0 25.4 71.5 221.4 34.4 26.5 77.2 217.0 30.7 25.9 75.7 221.8 33.0 26.5 79.9 215.9 31.1 26.2 76.4 208.5 31.6 26.3 72.6 235.4 33.7 28.7 89.5 245.6 34.5 30.3 92.0 215.1 31.5 27.5 76.1 30.3 49.9 29.2 31.6 51.8 31.3 53.5 31.5 50.9 29.4 52.8 29.2 48.8 32.1 51.4 34.2 54.5 27.8 190.9 186.6 194.3 188.4 187.5 191.8 201.2 201.3 198.5 2,927.5 2,914.4 2,932.6 2,930.3 2,947.6 3,012.2 3.030.1 2,042.5 603.3 544.5 894.7 487.4 209.7 187.8 2,050.2 598.4 545.4 906.4 470.7 208.2 185.3 2,072.9 609.5 542.2 921.2 452.4 218.5 188.7 2.058.8 588.3 536.9 933.6 470.8 213.1 187.6 2,067.3 586.9 538.4 941.9 481.3 210.0 189.0 2.120.6 627.1 542.2 951.2 476.8 222.6 192.2 2,140.9 641.2 537.1 962.7 470.7 227.3 191.2 2,982.2 2,091.9 585.0 530.3 976.6 492.3 204.0 194.0 A L L COMMERCIAL B A N K I N G INSTITUTIONS^ 1 Loans and securities 2 Investment securities 3 U.S. government securities 4 Other 5 Trading account assets 6 Total loans 7 Interbank loans 8 Loans excluding interbank 9 Commercial and industrial 10 Real estate 11 Individual 12 All other 13 Total cash assets 14 Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks 15 Cash in vault 16 Cash items in process of collection . . 17 Demand balances at U.S. depository institutions 18 Other cash assets 19 Other assets 20 Total assets/total liabilities and capital 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 Deposits Transaction deposits Savings deposits Time deposits Borrowings Other liabilities Residual (assets less liabilities) MEMO 28 U.S. government securities (including trading account) 29 Other securities (including trading account) 48.2 193.1 2,854.3 2.008.5 588.5 540.0 879.9 454.9 207.7 183.2 2.871.9 2.011.6 595.9 536.4 879.3 465.8 210.1 184.4 48.3 2.860.2 2,008.6 579.1 542.2 887.3 458.4 207.4 185.8 2,021.2 52.2 196.1 341.2 343.4 346.3 344.7 349.2 351.4 352.7 354.3 359.9 357.9 364.9 196.8 195.9 195.6 196.0 196.4 196.7 194.4 194.2 194.5 191.0 187.6 2,266.0 491.7 314.5 177.2 20.3 1,754.0 131.2 1,622.9 481.0 592.1 334.5 215.3 2,282.3 494.6 317.7 177.0 19.6 1,768.1 128.5 1,639.6 487.4 597.0 338.8 216.4 2,286.4 495.7 318.6 177.1 20.3 1,770.4 124.9 1.645.6 488.8 603.6 339.7 213.5 2,314.7 492.8 316.3 176.6 22.1 1.799.7 133.1 2.319.3 495.3 319.3 176.1 23.9 492.6 611.4 342.9 219.7 130.7 1.669.4 490.8 617.5 343.8 217.3 2,330.5 499.3 322.8 176.5 22.8 1,808.5 125.2 1.683.3 489.7 625.4 348.9 219.2 2,329.1 501.0 325.0 175.9 21.3 1,806.8 121.8 1,685.0 489.2 631.5 351.2 213.2 2,342.4 498.5 323.1 175.5 24.9 1,819.0 127.8 1,691.2 490.2 636.5 351.6 212.9 2,376.2 504.7 329.2 175.6 24.8 1,846.7 136.3 1,710.4 495.4 642.7 353.7 218.5 2,378.7 505.4 332.9 172.5 19.2 1,854.1 130.5 1,723.6 497.6 647.8 360.1 218.1 2,372.5 505.9 335.3 170.6 21.5 1,845.1 128.7 1.716.4 495.9 651.6 358.8 210.0 193.9 30.1 24.7 73.5 196.7 30.7 25.4 75.8 183.0 23.6 25.4 71.0 201.6 32.9 26.5 76.5 196.4 29.5 25.9 75.1 202.8 31.4 26.5 79.2 193.4 29.0 26.2 75.7 189.7 29.8 26.3 71.9 215.2 32.6 28.7 88.7 223.4 33.1 30.3 91.2 194.0 30.1 27.4 75.3 30.4 28.7 36.0 27.5 29.8 35.8 29.4 29.8 36.0 27.3 35.3 27.2 30.2 35.1 32.2 36.7 25.8 125.6 121.6 123.8 127.8 134.0 135.3 128.0 2,657.2 2,650.3 2,725.4 2,737.3 2.006.4 600.6 539.7 345.7 119.6 185.4 1,991.0 579.1 534.4 877.5 358.6 116.4 184.3 1.999.1 577.3 535.8 885.9 363.2 117.0 185.6 2,051.1 617.2 539.8 894.2 362.5 123.0 2,068.1 631.4 534.6 902.2 360.2 121.2 187.8 2,020.9 575.7 527.9 917.3 373.8 109.1 190.6 36.3 589.2 37.3 594.1 37.9 598.5 39.1 603.7 39.7 608.1 40.2 611.4 DOMESTICALLY CHARTERED COMMERCIAL B A N K S 3 30 Loans and securities 31 Investment securities 32 U.S. Treasury securities 33 Other 34 Trading account assets 35 Total loans 36 Interbank loans 37 Loans excluding interbank 38 Commercial and industrial 39 Real estate 40 Individual 41 All other 42 Total cash assets 43 Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks 44 Cash in vault 45 Cash items in process of collection . . 46 Demand balances at U.S. depository institutions 47 Other cash assets 48 Other assets 49 Total assets/liabilities and capital 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 Deposits Transaction deposits Savings deposits Time deposits Borrowings Other liabilities Residual (assets less liabilities) 35.2 123.1 2,583.0 121.3 2,600.3 1,944.5 580.0 537.6 826.9 350.1 108.6 179.9 1,948.1 587.2 533.9 827.0 358.4 112.7 181.1 32.1 560.0 33.0 564.0 35.6 118.3 2.587.7 1,944.7 570.7 539.8 834.2 351.7 108.8 182.4 1,666.6 2.641.8 1,800.1 36.5 1.976.9 594.5 541.8 840.6 369.4 111.0 184.5 2,637.4 1,984.4 589.6 542.9 851.9 358.5 112.5 182.0 34.8 576.6 35.3 582.2 866.1 34.4 132.9 2.665.0 35.4 2.694.5 MEMO4 57 Real estate loans, revolving 58 Real estate loans, other 33.7 569.9 1. Back data are available from the Banking and Monetary Statistics section, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C., 20551. These data also appear in the Board's weekly H.8 (510) release. Data have been revised because of benchmarking to new Call reports beginning January 1987. Figures are partly estimated. They include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries. Loan and securities data for domestically chartered commercial banks are estimates for the last Wednesday of the month based on a sample of weekly reporting banks and quarter-end condition report data. Data for other banking institutions are estimates made for the last Wednesday of the month based on a weeldy reporting sample of foreign-related institutions and quarter-end condition reports. 2. Commercial banking institutions include insured domestically chartered commercial banks, branches and agencies of foreign banks, Edge Act and Agreement corporations, and N e w York State foreign investment corporations. 3. Insured domestically chartered commercial banks include all member banks and insured nonmember banks. 4. Memorandum items for real estate loans; revolving and other, are shown as separate breakdowns for the first time. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks A19 1.26 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1988 1989 Account Nov. 30 Dec. 14 Dec. 21 Dec. 28 Jan. 4 Jan. 11 Jan. 18 Jan. 25 106,823 2,328 1,157,799 1,150,152 1,150,648 1,157,660 1,154,340 1,177,194 1,172,696 1,176,749 1,175,392 20,658 118,357 1 Cash and balances due from depository institutions 2 Total loans, leases, and securities, net Dec. 7 Adjustment bank 1988 108,707 112,772 107,318 125,023 140,505 115,869 130,199 3 U . S . Treasury and government agency 4 Trading account 5 Investment account 6 Mortgage-backed securities All other maturing in 7 One year or less 8 Over one through five years 9 Over five years 10 Other securities 11 Trading account Investment account 12 13 States and political subdivisions, by maturity 14 One year or less Over one year 15 16 Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities 17 Other trading account assets 135,859 19,817 116,042 46,164 135,819 19,009 116,810 46,407 133,576 16,908 116,668 46,275 132,944 16,532 116,412 46,188 128,584 14,371 114,214 46,306 131,352 14,619 116,733 47,211 132,175 15,367 116,808 47,154 134,266 17,292 116,974 47,338 135,361 17,121 118,240 47,766 2,108 -342 2,450 0 20,975 40,354 8,550 73,349 1,681 71,668 45,456 5,106 40,349 26,212 3,723 21,434 40,373 8,596 72,563 1,622 70,941 44,988 4,960 40,027 25,953 3,900 21,369 40,251 8,773 72,284 1,550 70,734 44,811 4,937 39,874 25,923 3,415 21,410 39,804 9,009 72,279 1,680 70,599 44,717 4,859 39,858 25,882 3,409 20,458 39,527 7,923 72,315 1,713 70,602 44,653 4,865 39,788 25,949 3,596 21,048 40,465 8,010 73,358 1,535 71,823 45,216 4,948 40,268 26,607 3,693 21,074 40,600 7,979 72,989 1,334 71,655 45,206 4,911 40,295 26,449 3,700 21,072 40,704 7,860 72,937 1,273 71,664 45,192 4,902 40,291 26,472 3,524 21,761 40,868 7,844 72,688 1,299 71,388 45,159 4,893 40,266 26,229 3,041 436 1,186 140 880 -85 %5 793 92 700 172 -8 18 Federal funds sold 4 19 To commercial banks 20 To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities 21 To others 72 Other loans and leases, gross 23 Other loans, gross 24 Commercial and industrial 25 Bankers acceptances and commercial paper 76 All other 27 U . S . addressees 28 Non-U.S. addressees 76,096 51,082 15,593 9,420 909,402 886,030 301,179 1,875 299,304 297,046 2,257 72,375 45,665 17,182 9,528 906,165 882,597 300,591 1,786 298,805 2%,575 2,230 73,388 47,158 17,008 9,222 908,550 884,900 299,880 1,802 298,077 295,835 2,242 75,911 49,233 17,242 9,435 913,634 889,939 301,558 1,756 299,802 297,543 2,258 74,401 49,135 16,707 8,558 915,695 891,942 301,992 1,780 300,213 297,854 2,359 77,259 52,820 16,343 8,096 931,160 907,061 306,444 1,930 304,513 302,262 2,252 76,387 50,946 16,616 8,825 926,724 902,576 304,239 1,733 302,506 300,318 2,188 74,237 49,351 16,734 8,152 930,980 906,762 304,269 1,693 302,577 300,686 1,890 75,321 50,565 16,934 7,822 928,366 904,068 305,192 1,626 303,567 301,628 1,938 1,167 1,162 0 5 17,318 17,182 3,709 15 3,694 3,693 1 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 295,937 295,937 295,937 165,852 49,134 22,689 4,679 21,765 15,271 5,477 28,914 2,042 22,224 23,372 4,845 35,785 868,772 131,083 296,152 2%, 152 296,152 166,414 48,813 22,990 4,108 21,714 12,780 5,458 28,714 2,180 21,495 23,568 4,851 35,819 865,495 132,283 297,531 297,531 297,531 167,605 47,837 22,114 3,963 21,760 14,219 5,463 28,685 2,051 21,628 23,650 4,864 35,702 867,985 132,861 298,565 298,565 298,565 168,206 48,150 21,951 4,065 22,134 14,313 5,487 28,694 2,104 22,860 23,694 4,872 35,644 873,117 135,240 299,604 299,604 299,604 169,179 48,728 22,185 3,685 22,858 13,926 5,508 28,648 1,964 22,390 23,753 4,889 35,362 875,444 132,941 308,449 308,449 308,449 173,078 47,404 21,044 3,890 22,470 12,237 5,809 28,374 1,910 23,356 24,098 4,990 34,638 891,531 134,681 309,320 309,320 309,320 172,6% 48,199 22,246 4,017 21,937 11,520 5,777 28,250 1,861 20,713 24,148 5,023 34,256 887,445 131,374 310,108 310,108 310,108 172,362 48,973 22,852 4,277 21,844 12,915 5,740 28,252 1,828 22,314 24,218 5,028 34,167 891,784 132,566 310,582 310,582 310,582 172,119 47,205 22,289 3,445 21,472 12,455 5,682 28,204 1,888 20,740 24,299 5,046 34,339 888,981 127,306 8,983 8,983 8,983 3,431 134 35 0 99 70 150 477 0 228 136 128 0 16,511 1,695 1,407,239 1,391,141 1,396,281 1,400,219 1,412,305 1,452,380 1,419,940 1,439,514 1,409,521 24,681 219,354 175,052 6,770 2,531 19,413 6,006 787 8,795 75,237 651,113 609,460 31,469 855 8,623 705 282,167 1,574 24,107 256,486 85,334 5,093 4,419 149 104 135 46 0 240 2,802 22,854 20,343 1,748 7 755 0 -8,043 0 0 -8,043 1,466 1,312,985 1,296,350 1,301,025 1,305,112 1,318,294 1,356,949 1,323,411 1,343,107 1,313,205 24,172 Real estate loans Revolving, home equity All other To individuals for personal expenditures To depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Nonbank depository and other financial institutions . . For purchasing and carrying securities To finance agricultural production To states and political subdivisions To foreign governments and official institutions All other Lease financing receivables LESS: Unearned income Loan and lease reserve Other loans and leases, net All other assets 47 Total assets 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 Demand deposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Depository institutions in the United States Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions Certified and officers' checks Transaction balances other than demand deposits Nontransaction balances Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Depository institutions in the United States Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks . . Liabilities for borrowed money Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Treasury tax-and-loan notes All other liabilities for borrowed money 6 Other liabilities and subordinated notes and debentures . . 68 Total liabilities 69 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities) 7 240,653 191,638 6,455 2,949 22,067 7,239 832 9,474 73,637 622,745 583,097 30,025 965 7,829 829 278,942 1,872 12,852 264,218 97,009 94,253 230,811 182,951 5,864 2,878 21,951 7,013 878 9,277 75,258 625,000 585,622 30,036 945 7,5% 801 272,591 1,515 4,614 266,461 92,690 94,791 238,701 191,692 6,514 3,332 20,684 6,840 920 8,719 74,519 626,317 586,652 30,207 942 7,799 717 269,511 1,785 5,991 261,734 91,977 95,257 233,932 186,205 6,976 1,609 22,518 6,453 1,054 9,117 75,080 625,120 586,391 29,520 938 7,567 704 280,079 571 25,227 254,281 90,901 247,195 195,382 6,993 2,711 24,187 6,662 985 10,274 75,412 623,960 585,172 29,480 928 7,702 677 278,142 1,035 21,053 256,054 93,585 270,603 214,182 8,144 2,626 28,284 7,244 754 9,369 82,675 651,710 610,601 31,102 885 8,444 678 264,5% 1,655 3,155 259,785 87,365 235,299 187,645 6,207 3,484 22,032 6,127 959 8,844 79,506 652,082 610,725 31,439 858 8,350 710 270,184 1,462 9,825 258,897 86,340 248,581 194,618 6,385 3,172 27,294 7,076 869 9,167 78,750 652,718 611,569 31,345 845 8,254 705 277,733 1,015 20,625 256,094 85,324 96,316 508 1,121,942 1,126,992 1,123,271 1,142,958 1,138,784 1,143,741 1,141,924 912,666 934,555 930,834 918,360 918,776 929,920 933,013 195,955 195,915 204,475 206,773 196,083 206,249 206,332 20,195 20,001 18,560 18,503 18,965 19,531 18,835 1,330 1,370 1,380 1,555 1,461 1,521 1,520 956 1,012 1,029 1,115 1,195 1,240 1,176 374 315 358 350 346 345 325 253,440 251,994 250,402 259,084 253,433 256,923 256,479 20,269 17,288 8,186 0 0 0 0 5,5% 95,107 94,011 95,431 %,528 %,407 MEMO 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Total loans and leases (gross) and investments adjusted Total loans and leases (gross) adjusted 8 Time deposits in amounts of $100,000 or more U . S . Treasury securities maturing in one year or less Loans sold outright to affiliates—total 9 Commercial and industrial Other Nontransaction savings deposits (including MMDAs) 8 . 1,124,658 1,122,167 909,885 911,726 194,464 195,830 19,860 19,997 1,308 1,380 929 1,000 380 380 253,021 253,063 1. Beginning Jan. 6, 1988, the "Large bank" reporting group was revised somewhat, eliminating some former reporters with less than $2 billion of assets and adding some new reporters with assets greater than $3 billion. 2. These amounts represent accumulated adjustments originally made to offset the cumulative effects of bank mergers during the calendar year. The adjustment data for 1988 should be added to the reported data for 1988 to establish comparability with data reported for 1989. 3. Includes U . S . government-issued or guaranteed certificates of participation in pools of residential mortgages. 4. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 5. Includes allocated transfer risk reserve. 6. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements torepurchase; for information on these liabilities at banks with assets of $1 billion or more on Dec. 31, 1977, see table 1.13. 7. This is not a measure of equity capital for use in capital-adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. 8. Exclusive of loans and federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. 9. Loans sold are those sold outright to a bank's own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank affiliates of the bank, the bank's holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.28 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS IN NEW YORK CITY1 Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1988 Nov. 30 1 Cash balances due from depository institutions 2 Total loans, leases and securities, net2 Securities 3 U.S. Treasury and government agency 4 Trading account 5 Investment account 6 Mortgage-backed securities 4 All other maturing in 7 One year or less 8 Over one through five years 9 Over five years 10 Other securities 3 11 Trading account 3 12 Investment account 13 States and political subdivisions, by maturity 14 One year or less 15 Over one year 16 Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities 17 Other trading account assets 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 Loans and leases Federal funds sold To commercial banks To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities To others Other loans and leases, gross Other loans, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees Real estate loans Revolving, home equity All other To individuals for personal expenditures To depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Nonbank depository and other financial institutions For purchasing and carrying securities To finance agricultural production To states and political subdivisions To foreign governments and official institutions All other Lease financing receivables LESS: Unearned income Loan and lease reserve Other loans and leases, net 6 All other assets 47 Total assets 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 Deposits Demand deposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Depository institutions in the United States Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions Certified and officers' checks Transaction balances other than demand deposits (ATS, NOW, Super NOW, telephone transfers) Nontransaction balances Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Depository institutions in the United States Foreign governments, official institutions, and banks . . . Liabilities for borrowed money Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks Treasury tax-and-loan notes All other liabilities for borrowed money 8 Other liabilities and subordinated notes and debentures . . . 68 Total liabilities 69 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities) 9 Dec. 7 Dec. 14 1989 Dec. 21 Dec. 28 Jan. 4 Jan. 11 Jan. 18 27,884 24,348 24,272 22,154 26,940 29,826 25,318 27,633 221,963 216,483 217,293 218,999 221,039 216,341 215,771 215,823 0 0 15,623 6,80^ 0 0 15,559 6,701 r 0 0 15,558 6,717 0 0 15,702 6,770 0 0 15,689 6,782 0 0 15,800 6,913 0 0 15,595 6,910 0 0 16,069 6,977 2,068 r 4,835 1,911 0 0 17,718 12,482 1,092 11,390 5,236 0 2,177 r 4,695 1,986 0 0 17,694 12,359 979 11,380 5,334 0 2,176 4,612 2,053 0 0 17,539 12,269 960 11,308 5,270 0 2,225 4,641 2,066 0 0 17,514 12,263 978 11,284 5,251 0 2,225 4,617 2,066 0 0 17,468 12,205 969 11,236 5,262 0 2,276 4,563 2,048 0 0 17,834 12,198 1,033 11,165 5,636 0 2,268 4,509 1,908 0 0 17,761 12,198 1,038 11,160 5,563 0 2,672 4,510 1,911 0 0 17,817 12,198 1,049 11,149 5,618 0 29,736 14,717 8,394 6,625 173,781 168,182 56,290 483 55,807 55,372 436 49,292 3,222 46,069 20,709 21,789 11,748 2,964 7,077 6,294 197 6,397 592 6,622 5,600 1,611 13,284 158,886 61,130 26,803 10,946 9,563 6,294 171,331 165,647 55,368 416 54,952 54,524 427 49,360 3,246 46,114 20,740 22,169 12,700 2,482 6,987 4,761 200 6,378 709 5,963 5,684 1,616 13,288 156,427 62,323 27,708 12,719 8,944 6,045 171,370 165,687 54,907 400 54,507 54,109 398 49,645 3,248 46,397 20,897 21,179 12,002 2,276 6,901 6,216 164 6,369 591 5,717 5,683 1,620 13,261 156,488 59,462 27,442 12,527 8,771 6,144 173,228 167,551 55,441 363 55,078 54,647 430 50,170 3,262 46,908 20,779 21,480 12,030 2,317 7,133 6,129 161 6,377 680 6,333 5,677 1,630 13,258 158,341 61,242 29,229 14,683 8,970 5,576 173,521 167,825 55,398 389 55,009 54,487 522 50,600 3,271 47,328 20,923 21,851 12,310 2,061 7,479 5,874 159 6,362 517 6,142 5,6% 1,646 13,221 158,654 58,804 26,613 13,640 8,276 4,698 170,542 164,848 55,590 353 55,237 54,874 363 50,318 3,285 47,033 20,901 20,530 11,355 2,261 6,914 4,305 149 6,160 500 6,395 5,693 1,627 12,820 156,095 61,787 28,214 14,043 8,666 5,505 168,847 163,174 55,190 343 54,847 54,474 372 50,362 3,282 47,080 20,827 20,956 11,717 2,470 6,769 3,8% 172 6,142 455 5,173 5,673 1,642 13,003 154,201 59,831 25,878 11,882 8,871 5,125 170,705 165,016 54,878 301 54,577 54,166 412 50,500 3,288 47,213 20,809 21,086 11,855 2,553 6,678 4,855 164 6,132 427 6,163 5,689 1,651 12,995 156,059 63,838 310,977 303,154 301,027 302,395 306,783 307,954 300,920 307,294 57,536 40,412 661 596 5,542 5,922 666 3,736 55,393 37,702 625 542 6,050 5,798 730 3,946 58,192 42,218 627 531 5,015 5,679 761 3,361 55,789 39,407 633 176 5,931 5,168 913 3,562 59,274 41,640 593 458 5,848 5,481 831 4,423 62,132 45,280 909 287 6,303 6,018 582 2,755 53,603 38,046 650 630 5,340 4,976 788 3,172 57,492 39,950 641 436 6,578 5,784 672 3,430 8,608 110,972 100,625 8,140 32 1,894 282 68,091 0 3,451 64,640 38,718 8,735 111,317 101,202 8,020 30 1,788 278 66,294 0 886 65,408 33,810 8,718 111,046 101,024 7,985 31 1,742 265 61,958 0 1,175 60,783 33,038 8,909 111,688 101,664 7,997 33 1,737 257 65,583 0 6,243 59,340 32,668 9,110 110,517 100,417 8,014 33 1,797 257 65,301 0 5,392 59,909 35,359 9,540 113,046 103,166 7,7% 32 1,793 258 65,526 0 625 64,901 30,174 9,161 112,688 102,687 7,917 23 1,802 260 66,669 0 2,509 64,160 30,698 9,004 113,638 103,534 8,034 24 1,786 259 69,269 0 5,410 63,859 29,900 283,926 275,549 272,953 274,636 279,562 280,418 272,820 279,303 27,051 27,604 28,074 27,759 27,221 27,536 28,100 27,991 210,393 177,052 41,053 3,299 207,741 174,488 41,857 3,528 207,454 174,357 41,244 3,354 209,329 176,113 41,492 2,934 208,913 175,756 41,246 2,984 205,793 172,160 41,924 2,751 204,656 171,300 42,316 2,836 206,732 172,846 42,982 3,288 MEMO 70 71 72 73 Total loans and leases (gross) and investments adjusted Total loans and leases (gross) adjusted1 Time deposits in amounts of $100,000 or more U.S. Treasury securities maturing in one year or less 2,10 1. These data also appear in the Board's H.4.2 (504) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Excludes trading account securities. 3. Not available due to confidentiality. 4. Includes U.S. government-issued or guaranteed certificates of participation in pools of residential mortgages. 5. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. FRASER Digitized for 6. Includes allocated transfer risk reserve. 7. Includes trading account securities. 8. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 9. Not a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. 10. Exclusive of loans and federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks 1.30 LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING U.S. BRANCHES AND AGENCIES OF FOREIGN BANKS 1 Liabilities A21 Assets and Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1988 1989 Account 1 Cash and due from depository institutions . . . 2 Total loans and securities 3 U . S . Treasury and government agency securities 4 Other securities. 5 Federal funds sold 6 To commercial banks in the United States. 7 To others 8 Other loans, gross Commercial and industrial 9 10 Bankers acceptances and commercial paper 11 All other 12 U . S . addressees 13 Non-U.S. addressees 14 Loans secured by real estate 15 To financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States.. 16 17 Banks in foreign countries 18 Nonbank financial institutions 19 To foreign governments and official institutions For purchasing and carrying securities 20 21 All other 3 22 Other assets (claims on nonrelated parties) . . 23 Net due from related institutions 24 Total assets Deposits or credit balances due to other 25 than directly related institutions 26 Transaction accounts and credit balances . 27 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Other 28 Nontransaction accounts 29 Individuals, partnerships, and 30 corporations Other 31 32 Borrowings from other than directly related institutions Federal funds purchased 33 34 From commercial banks in the United States 35 From others Other liabilities for borrowed money 36 37 To commercial banks in the United States 38 To others 39 Other liabilities to nonrelated parties 40 N e t due to related institutions 41 Total liabilities Nov. 30 Dec. 7 Dec. 14 Dec. 21 Dec. 28 Jan. 4 Jan. 11 Jan. 18 Jan. 25 10,817 112,854 11,067 111,964 11,181 114,403 11,086 113,961 12,181 118,172 11,424 126,253 11,386 122,532 11,304 123,038 11,706 121,752 7,651 7,259 10,172 7,878 2,294 87,772 56,065 7,575 7,227 7,780 5,615 2,165 89,382 57,292 7,794 7,163 10,306 8,208 2,098 89,140 57,006 7,980 7,123 7,964 5,969 1,995 90,894 58,540 7,492 7,156 9,290 7,282 2,008 94,234 59,713 8,012 7,421 8,298 7,445 853 102,522 67,318 7,824 7,441 7,106 6,349 757 100,161 65,604 8,151 7,392 6,446 5,272 1,174 101,049 66,061 8,542 7,147 6,319 5,385 934 99,744 64,582 1,554 54,511 52,871 1,640 n.a. 16,308 12,018 1,220 3,070 1,618 55,674 53,941 1,733 n.a. 17,289 12,929 1,298 3,062 1,485 55,521 53,829 1,692 n.a. 17,291 12,931 1,194 3,166 1,532 57,008 55,355 1,653 n.a. 17,460 12,927 1,307 3,226 1,420 58,293 56,624 1,669 n.a. 18,666 14,098 1,269 3,299 1,651 65,667 64,215 1,452 13,108 18,206 13,517 1,225 3,464 1,648 63,956 62,474 1,482 13,285 17,581 13,020 1,126 3,435 1,786 64,275 62,771 1,504 13,458 17,410 12,715 1,198 3,497 1,703 62,879 61,340 1,539 13,630 17,929 13,188 1,214 3,527 830 1,761 12,808 33,025 15,233 171,928 830 1,535 12,436 32,537 17,869 173,439 906 1,514 12,423 33,007 14,524 173,117 864 1,780 12,250 33,288 15,202 173,540 857 2,317 12,861 32,511 13,002 175,865 756 1,772 1,362 32,727 14,573 184,976 811 1,664 1,216 32,206 16,154 182,280 754 2,053 1,313 31,341 14,452 180,134 746 1,642 1,215 31,401 16,286 181,146 44,179 3,954 44,843 3,965 44,601 4,010 45,246 4,179 46,626 4,183 43,635 3,747 42,897 3,516 43,351 3,463 43,276 3,451 2,451 1,503 40,225 2,323 1,642 40,878 2,520 1,490 40,591 2,581 1,598 41,067 2,453 1,730 42,443 2,436 1,311 39,888 2,316 1,200 39,381 2,325 1,138 39,888 2,140 1,311 39,825 33,713 6,512 34,417 6,461 34,340 6,251 35,061 6,006 36,436 6,007 33,186 6,702 32,630 6,751 33,148 6,740 33,408 6,417 68,197 31,021 69,676 31,238 68,404 29,087 70,772 30,677 66,140 27,492 78,632 36,769 80,060 37,577 74,284 32,285 76,952 34,756 16,454 14,567 37,176 15,670 15,568 38,438 15,553 13,534 39,317 14,778 15,899 40,095 14,188 13,304 38,648 21,548 15,221 41,863 23,006 14,571 42,483 15,838 16,447 41,999 18,974 15,782 42,196 25,744 11,432 34,168 25,383 171,928 26,714 11,724 33,981 24,937 173,439 27,267 12,050 34,556 25,556 173,117 26,577 13,518 34,255 23,266 173,540 25,716 12,932 34,088 29,011 175,865 28,034 13,829 33,697 29,013 184,976 28,491 13,992 33,189 26,134 182,280 28,220 13,779 32,446 30,051 180,134 28,025 14,171 32,546 28,373 181,146 92,958 78,048 93,420 78,618 93,264 78,307 95,065 79,962 96,792 82,144 105,291 89,858 103,163 87,898 105,051 89,508 103,179 87,490 MEMO 42 Total loans (gross) and securities adjusted 43 Total loans (gross) adjusted .. 1. Effective Jan. 4,1989, the reporting panel includes a new group of large U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. Earlier data included 65 U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks that included those branches and agencies with assets of $750 million or more on June 30, 1980, plus those branches and agencies that had reached the $750 million asset level on Dec. 31, 1984. These data also appear in the Board's H.4.2 (504) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 3. Effective Jan. 4, 1989, loans secured by real estate are being reported as a separate component of Other loans, gross. Formerly, these loans were included in "All other", line 21. 4. Includes credit balances, demand deposits, and other checkable deposits. 5. Includes savings deposits, money market deposit accounts, and time deposits. 6. Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 7. Exclusive of loans to and federal funds sold to commercial banks in the United States. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.31 GROSS DEMAND DEPOSITS Individuals, Partnerships, and Corporations1 Billions of dollars, estimated daily-average balances, not seasonally adjusted Commercial banks 1987 Type of holder 1984 Dec. 1985 Dec. 1986 Dec. 1988 1987 Dec. Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 1 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 302.7 321.0 363.6 343.5 339.0 343.5 328.6 346.5 337.8 2 3 4 5 6 31.7 166.3 81.5 3.6 19.7 32.3 178.5 85.5 3.5 21.2 41.4 202.0 91.1 3.3 25.8 36.3 191.9 90.0 3.4 21.9 36.5 188.2 88.7 3.2 22.4 36.3 191.9 90.0 3.4 21.9 33.9 184.1 86.9 3.5 20.3 37.2 194.3 89.8 3.4 21.9 34.8 190.3 87.8 3.2 21.7 f 1 n.a. I 1 T Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other Weekly reporting banks 1987 1984 Dec. 7 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 8 9 10 11 12 Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other 1985 Dec. 1988 1987 Dec. Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 157.1 168.6 195.1 183.8 179.1 183.8 181.8 191.5 185.3 198.3 25.3 87.1 30.5 3.4 10.9 25.9 94.5 33.2 3.1 12.0 32.5 106.4 37.5 3.3 15.4 28.6 100.0 39.1 3.3 12.7 29.3 96.0 37.2 3.1 13.5 28.6 100.0 39.1 3.3 12.7 27.0 98.2 41.7 3.4 11.4 30.0 103.1 42.3 3.4 12.8 27.2 101.5 41.8 3.1 11.7 30.5 108.7 42.6 3.6 12.9 1. Figures include cash items in process of collection. Estimates of gross deposits are based on reports supplied by a sample of commercial banks. Types of depositors in each category are described in the June 1971 BULLETIN, p. 466. Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. Beginning in March 1984, these data reflect a change in the panel of weekly reporting banks, and are not comparable to earlier data. Estimates in billions of dollars for December 1983 based on the new weekly reporting panel are: financial business, 24.4; nonfinancial business, 80.9; consumer, 30.1; foreign, 3.1; other 9.5. 3. Beginning March 1985, financial business deposits and, by implication, total gross demand deposits have been redefined to exclude demand deposits due to thrift institutions. Historical data have not been revised. The estimated volume of such deposits for December 1984 is $5.0 billion at all insured commercial banks and $3.0 billion at weekly reporting banks. 1986 Dec. 4. Historical data back to March 1985 have been revised to account for corrections of bank reporting errors. Historical data before March 1985 have not been revised, and may contain reporting errors. Data for all commercial banks for March 1985 were revised as follows (in billions of dollars): all holders, - . 3 ; financial business, - . 8 ; nonfinancial business, —.4; consumer, .9; foreign, .1; other, —.1. Data for weekly reporting banks for March 1985 were revised as follows (in billions of dollars): all holders, - . 1 ; financial business, - . 7 ; nonfinancial business, - . 5 ; consumer, 1.1; foreign, .1; other, —.2. 5. Beginning March 1988, these data reflect a change in the panel of weekly reporting banks, and are not comparable to earlier data. Estimates in billions of dollars for December 1987 based on the new weekly reporting panel are: financial business, 29.4; nonfinancial business, 105.1; consumer, 41.1; foreign, 3.4; other, 13.1. Financial Markets A23 1.32 COMMERCIAL PAPER AND BANKERS DOLLAR ACCEPTANCES OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 1984 Dec. Instrument 1985 Dec. 1986 Dec. 1987 Dec. 1988 Dec. July Aug. Oct. Sept. Nov. Dec. Commercial paper (seasonally adjusted unless noted otherwise) 1 All issuers 2 3 4 5 6 Financial companies' Dealer-placed paper Total Bank-related (not seasonally adjusted) Directly placed paper Total Bank-related (not seasonally adjusted) Nonfinancial companies 237,586 298,779 329,991 357,129 455,017 423,054' 424,504' 421,383' 426,216' 443,531' 455,017 56,485 78,443 101,072 101,958 159,947 148,130r 146,592' 149,995' 149,845' 157,042' 159,947 2,035 1,602 2,265 1,428 1,248 i,3or 911' 110,543 135,320 151,820 173,939 192,442 184,514' 187,031' 180,905' 184,044' 192,22c 192,442 42,105 70,558 44,778 85,016 40,860 77,099 43,173 81,232 43,155 102,628 44,217' 90,411 46,224' 90,881' 43,887 90,483' 42,204 92,327' 43,729 94,269' 43,155 102,628 901 840 995 1,248 Bankers dollar acceptances (not seasonally adjusted) 5 7 Total 8 9 10 11 12 13 Holder Accepting banks Own bills Bills bought Federal Reserve Banks Own account Foreign correspondents Others Basis 14 Imports into United States 15 Exports from United States 16 All other 78,364 68,413 64,974 70,565 66,678 63,240 64,036 63,452 62,253 65,961 66,678 9,811 8,621 1,191 11,197 9,471 1,726 13,423 11,707 1,716 10,943 9,464 1,479 9,082 8,018 1,064 9,655 8,702 953 9,661 8,664 888 9,334 8,400 934 9,083 8,026 1,057 9,483 8,768 715 9,082 8,018 1,064 0 671 67,881 0 937 56,279 0 1,317 50,234 0 965 58,658 0 1,493 56,103 0 1,114 52,471 0 9,915 53,493 0 963 53,154 0 1,166 52,004 0 1,393 55,086 0 1,493 56,103 17,845 16,305 44,214 15,147 13,204 40,062 14,670 12,960 37,344 16,483 15,227 38,855 14,991 15,622 36,065 14,001 14,676 34,564 14,608 14,345 35,083 14,622 13,946 34,884 14,064 14,067 34,122 14,959 14,578 36,424 14,991 15,622 36,065 1. Institutions engaged primarily in activities such as, but not limited to, commercial savings, and mortgage banking; sales, personal, and mortgage financing; factoring, finance leasing, and other business lending; insurance underwriting; and other investment activities. 2. Includes all financial company paper sold by dealers in the open market. 3. As reported by financial companies that place their paper directly with investors. 4. Includes public utilities and firms engaged primarily in such activities as communications, construction, manufacturing, mining, wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and services. 5. Beginning January 1988, the number of respondents in the bankers acceptance survey were reduced from 155 to 111 institutions—those with $100 million or more in total acceptances. The new reporting group accounts for over 90 percent of total acceptances activity. 1.33 PRIME RATE CHARGED BY BANKS on Short-Term Business Loans Percent per year Period 1986—Mar. 7 Apr. 21 July 11 Aug. 26 9.00 8.50 8.00 7.50 1 1 15 Sept. 4 Oct. 7 22 Nov. 5 7.75 8.00 8.25 8.75 9.25 9.00 8.75 2 11 14 11 28 8.50 9.00 9.50 10.00 10.50 1989—Feb. 10 24 11.00 11.50 1987—Apr. May 1988—Feb. May July Aug. Nov. Average rate 1986 1987 1988 8.33 8.21 9.32 1986 —Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 9.50 9.50 9.10 8.83 8.50 8.50 8.16 7.90 7.50 7.50 7.50 7.50 NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H. 15 (519) and G. 13 (415) releases. For address, see inside front cover. Average rate 1987 —Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 7.50 7.50 7.50 7.75 8.14 8.25 8.25 8.25 8.70 9.07 8.78 8.75 1988 —Jan Feb Mar May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1989 —Jan A24 Domestic Financial Statistics • April 1989 1.35 I N T E R E S T R A T E S M o n e y and Capital Markets Averages, percent per year; weekly, monthly and annual figures are averages of business day data unless otherwise noted. 1988 Instrument 1986 1987 1989 1988 and 1989, week ending 1988 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Dec. 30 Jan. 6 Jan. 13 Jan. 20 Jan. 27 MONEY MARKET RATES 1 Federal f u n d s 1 2 2 Discount window borrowing • ' Commercial paper ' 3 1-month 4 3-month 5 6-month Finance paper, directly placed 4 , 5 6 1-month 7 3-month 8 6-month ^ Bankers acceptances ' 6 9 3-month 10 6-month y Certificates of deposit, secondary market 1-month 11 12 3-month 13 6-month 14 Eurodollar deposits. 3-month U . S . Treasury bills 5 Secondary market 15 3-month 16 6-month 17 1-year Auction average 3-month 18 19 6-month 20 1-year 6.80 6.32 6.66 5.66 7.57 6.20 8.30 6.50 8.35 6.50 8.76 6.50 9.12 6.50 8.86 6.50 9.22 6.50 9.08 6.50 9.13 6.50 9.06 6.50 6.61 6.49 6.39 6.74 6.82 6.85 7.58 7.66 7.68 8.12 8.24 8.24 8.38 8.66 8.55 9.31 9.11 8.97 9.03 9.04 9.02 9.30 9.07 8.97 9.05 9.02 8.99 9.04 9.06 9.04 9.02 9.04 9.04 9.00 9.04 9.02 6.57 6.38 6.31 6.61 6.54 6.37 7.44 7.38 7.14 8.05 8.06 7.80 8.29 8.20 7.94 9.00 8.50 8.24 8.90 8.78 8.44 9.00 8.55 8.29 8.91 8.68 8.36 8.93 8.86 8.46 8.91 8.81 8.50 8.84 8.73 8.41 6.38 6.28 6.75 6.78 7.56 7.60 8.15 8.13 8.55 8.46 8.96 8.83 8.93 8.92 8.90 8.83 8.93 8.92 8.95 8.94 8.93 8.92 8.92 8.91 6.61 6.51 6.50 6.71' 6.75 6.87 7.01 7.06' 7.59 7.73 7.91 7.85' 8.15 8.36 8.48 8.51 8.43 8.78 8.81 8.91 9.37 9.25 9.28 9.30 9.06 9.20 9.36 9.28 9.36 9.20 9.26 9.31 9.08 9.20 9.35 9.20 9.08 9.23 9.41 9.31 9.06 9.21 9.36 9.30 9.02 9.17 9.34 9.26 5.97 6.02 6.07 5.78 6.03 6.33 6.67 6.91 7.13 7.35 7.50 7.54 7.76 7.86 7.87 8.07 8.22 8.32 8.27 8.36 8.37 8.16 8.28 8.38 8.24 8.41 8.47 8.26 8.41 8.43 8.24 8.30 8.28 8.29 8.32 8.30 5.98' 6.03' 6.18' 5.82' 6.05' 6.33 6.68 6.92 7.17 7.34' 7.5(r 7.57 7.68' 7.76' 7.92 8.09' 8.24' 8.49 8.29 8.38 8.45 8.22 8.33 n.a. 8.24 8.37 n.a. 8.36 8.48 n.a. 8.30 8.35 8.45 8.26 8.31 n.a. 6.45 6.86 7.06 7.30 7.54 7.67 7.84 7.78 6.77 7.42 7.68 7.94 8.23 8.39 n.a. 8.59 7.65 8.10 8.26 8.47 8.71 8.85 n.a. 8.96 8.11 8.35 8.43 8.51 8.69 8.80 n.a. 8.89 8.48 8.67 8.72 8.79 8.89 8.96 n.a. 9.02 8.99 9.09 9.11 9.09 9.13 9.11 n.a. 9.01 9.05 9.18 9.20 9.15 9.14 9.09 n.a. 8.93 9.07 9.18 9.20 9.18 9.22 9.17 n.a. 9.00 9.17 9.28 9.30 9.28 9.31 9.24 n.a. 9.08 9.11 9.23 9.27 9.23 9.25 9.18 n.a. 9.00 8.96 9.13 9.14 9.09 9.07 9.02 n.a. 8.87 8.97 9.10 9.11 9.04 9.02 8.97 n.a. 8.81 8.14 8.64 8.98 8.89 9.07 9.13 9.07 9.13 9.23 9.14 9.01 8.% 6.95 7.76 7.32 7.14 8.17 7.63 7.36 7.83 7.68 7.25 7.72 7.47 7.35 7.78 7.46 7.35 7.76 7.61 7.23 7.67 7.35 7.30 7.70 7.50 7.33 7.73 7.44 7.28 7.70 7.40 7.20 7.63 7.29 7.10 7.60 7.27 9.71 9.02 9.47 9.95 10.39 9.91 9.38 9.68 9.99 10.58 10.18' 9.71' n.a. 10.24' 10.83' 9.90 9.51 9.71 9.99 10.41 9.91 9.45 9.72 9.99 10.48 10.03 9.57 9.81 10.11 10.65 10.05 9.62 9.81 10.10 10.65 10.06 9.60 9.84 10.14 10.67 10.11 9.66 9.88 10.18 10.73 10.10 9.69 9.86 10.15 10.70 10.03 9.61 9.79 10.08 10.62 9.99 9.56 9.75 10.04 10.61 9.61 9.95 n.a. 10.11 10.12 10.08 10.09 10.12 10.19 10.11 10.05 10.00 8.76 3.48 8.37 3.08 9.23 3.64 9.23 3.61 9.29 3.70 9.38 3.68 9.31 3.64 9.34 3.70 9.33 3.67 9.42 3.65 9.25 3.61 9.23 3.61 CAPITAL MARKET RATES 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 U . S . Treasury notes and bonds 11 Constant maturities 1-year 2-year 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year Composite 1 3 Over 10 years (long-term) State and local notes and bonds Moody's series 14 Aaa Baa Bond Buyer series Corporate bonds Seasoned issues All industries Aaa Aa A Baa A-rated, recently offered utility bonds 1 ' MEMO: Dividend/price ratio 18 39 Preferred stocks 40 Common stocks 1. Weekly, monthly and annual figures are averages of all calendar days, where the rate for a weekend or holiday is taken to be the rate prevailing on the preceding business day. The daily rate is the average of the rates on a given day weighted by the volume of transactions at these rates. 2. Weekly figures are averages for statement week ending Wednesday. 3. Rate for the Federal Reserve Bank of N e w York. 4. Unweighted average of offering rates quoted by at least five dealers (in the case of commercial paper), or finance companies (in the case of finance paper). Before November 1979, maturities for data shown are 30-59 days, 90-119 days, and 120-179 days for commercial paper; and 30-59 days, 90-119 days, and 150-179 days for finance paper. 5. Yields are quoted on a bank-discount basis, rather than in an investment yield basis (which would give a higher figure). 6. Dealer closing offered rates for top-rated banks. Most representative rate (which may be, but need not be, the average of the rates quoted by the dealers). 7. Unweighted average of offered rates quoted by at least five dealers early in the day. 8. Calendar week average. For indication purposes only. 9. Unweighted average of closing bid rates quoted by at least five dealers. 10. Rates are recorded in the week in which bills are issued. Beginning with the Treasury bill auction held on Apr. 18, 1983, bidders were required to state the percentage yield (on a bank discount basis) that they would accept to two decimal places. Thus, average issuing rates in bill auctions will be reported using two rather than three decimal places. 11. Yields are based on closing bid prices quoted by at least five dealers. 12. Yields adjusted to constant maturities by the U . S . Treasury. That is, yields are read from a yield curve at fixed maturities. Based on only recently issued, actively traded securities. 13. Averages (to maturity or call) for all outstanding bonds neither due nor callable in less than 10 years, including one very low yielding "flower" bond. 14. General obligations based on Thursday figures; Moody's Investors Service. 15. General obligations only, with 20 years to maturity, issued by 20 state and local governmental units of mixed quality. Based on figures for Thursday. 16. Daily figures from Moody's Investors Service. Based on yields to maturity on selected long-term bonds. 17. Compilation of the Federal Reserve. This series is an estimate of the yield on recently-offered, A-rated utility bonds with a 30-year maturity and 5 years of call protection. Weekly data are based on Friday quotations. 18. Standard and Poor's corporate series. Preferred stock ratio based on a sample of ten issues: four public utilities, four industrials, one financial, and one transportation. Common stock ratios on the 500 stocks in the price index. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H. 15 (519) and G. 13 (415) releases. For address, see inside front cover. Financial Markets 1.36 STOCK MARKET A25 Selected Statistics 1988 Indicator 1987 1986 1989 1988 May July June Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Prices and trading (averages of daily figures) Common stock prices 1 N e w York Stock Exchange (Dec. 31, 1965 = 50) 2 Industrial 3 Transportation 4 Utility 5 Finance 6 Standard & Poor's Corporation (1941-43 = 10)' 136.00 155.85 119.87 71.36 147.19 161.70 195.31 140.39 74.29 146.48 149.91 180.83 134.01 72.22 127.41 144.99 176.02 127.63 68.66 120.35 152.72 184.92 136.02 72.25 129.04 152.12 184.09 136.49 71.49 129.99 149.25 179.72 132.52 70.67 130.77 151.47 182.18 136.27 71.83 133.15 156.36 188.58 141.83 74.19 136.09 152.67 182.25 137.51 79.28 130.05 155.35 187.75 144.06 74.81 128.83 160.40 194.62 153.09 75.87 132.26 236.34 286.83 266.18 256.12 270.68 269.05 263.73 267.97 277.40 271.02 281.28 285.41 7 American Stock Exchange (Aug. 31, 1973 = 5 0 ? 264.38 316.61 294.90 2%. 30 306.13 307.48 297.76 297.86 302.83 292.25 298.59 316.14 141,385 11,846 188,647 13,832 161,450 9,955 153,906 8,931 195,772 11,348 166,916 9,938 144,668 9,307 145,702 8,198 162,631 9,051 134,427 8,497 135,473 11,227 168,204 10,797 Volume of trading (thousands 8 N e w York Stock Exchange 9 American Stock Exchange of shares) Customer financing (end-of-period balances, in millions of dollars) 10 Margin credit at broker-dealers 3 Free credit balances 11 Margin-account 12 Cash-account at 36,840 31,990 32,740 33,070 32,300 31,770 31,930 32,770 33,410 33,640 32,740 32,530 4,880 19,000 4,750 15,640 5,660 16,595 4,380 14,150 4,580 14,460 4,485 14,340 4,655 14,045 4,725 14,175 5,065 14,880 4,920 15,185 5,660 16,595 5,790 15,705 brokers4 Margin requirements (percent of market value and effective date) 6 13 Margin stocks 14 Convertible bonds 15 Short sales Mar. 11, 1968 June 8, 1968 May 6, 1970 Dec. 6, 1971 N o v . 24, 1972 Jan. 3, 1974 70 50 70 80 60 80 65 50 65 55 50 55 65 50 65 50 50 50 1. Effective July 1976, includes a new financial group, banks and insurance companies. With this change the index includes 400 industrial stocks (formerly 425), 20 transportation (formerly 15 rail), 40 public utility (formerly 60), and 40 financial. 2. Beginning July 5, 1983, the American Stock Exchange rebased its index effectively cutting previous readings in half. 3. Beginning July 1983, under the revised Regulation T, margin credit at broker-dealers includes credit extended against stocks, convertible bonds, stocks acquired through exercise of subscription rights, corporate bonds, and government securities. Separate reporting of data for margin stocks, convertible bonds, and subscription issues was discontinued in April 1984. 4. Free credit balances are in accounts with no unfulfilled commitments to the brokers and are subject to withdrawal by customers on demand. 5. N e w series beginning June 1984. 6. These regulations, adopted by the Board of Governors pursuant to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit to purchase and carry "margin securities" (as defined in the regulations) when such credit is collateralized by securities. Margin requirements on securities other than options are the difference between the market value (100 percent) and the maximum loan value of collateral as prescribed by the Board. Regulation T was adopted effective Oct. 15, 1934; Regulation U , effective May 1, 1936; Regulation G, effective Mar. 11, 1968; and Regulation X, effective N o v . 1, 1971. On Jan. 1, 1977, the Board of Governors for the first time established in Regulation T the initial margin required for writing options on securities, setting it at 30 percent of the current market-value of the stock underlying the option. On Sept. 30, 1985, the Board changed the required initial margin, allowing it to be the same as the option maintenance margin required by the appropriate exchange or self-regulatory organization; such maintenance margin rules must be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Effective Jan. 31, 1986, the SEC approved new maintenance margin rules, permitting margins to be the price of the option plus 15 percent of the market value of the stock underlying the option. A46 1.37 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 S E L E C T E D F I N A N C I A L INSTITUTIONS Selected Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Account 1986 1987 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov. FSLIC-insured institutions 1 Assets L,285,338R 1,163,851 1,250,855 1,257,466 1,261,581 1,289,979' 1,299,408' 1,311,704' 1,323,954' 1,332,962' 1,332,995 2 Mortgages 3 Mortgage-backed securities 4 Contra-assets to mortgage assets' . 5 Commercial loans 6 Consumer loans 7 Contra-assets to nonmortgage loans2 8 Cash and investment securities 9 Other 3 697,451 721,593 723,856 725,625 728,984 733,547 736,893' 743,128' 751,468' 754,470' 760,933' 763,122 158,193 201,828 197,811 197,889 202,767 205,053 207,744 208,532' 210,596' 211,180' 211,999' 212,503 41,799 23,683 51,622 42,344 23,163 57,902 40,836 23,340 58,687 41,268 24,004 58,390 39,358 24,243 59,121 39,764 24,201 60,250 40,308' 24,959' 61,568 39,113' 25,094' 62,412' 38,443' 24,883' 61,785' 38,279' 25,252' 61,308' 37,716 25,391 61,779 3,041 3,467 3,524 3,628 3,513 3,395 3,513' 3,389' 3,156' 3,078' 2,932' 2,961 164,844 112,898 169,717 122,462 174,106 124,025 176,386 124,184 177,955 124,284 179,506 125,939 177,533' 125,751' 178,446' 126,472' 176,099' 128,305' 183,163' 129,994' 184,652' 130,028' 180,015 130,862 10 Liabilities and net worth . 1,163,851 1,250,855 1,257,466 1,261,581 1,285,338' 1,289,979' 1,299,408' 1,311,704' 1,323,954' 1,332,962' 1,332,995 890,664 196.929 100,025 96,904 23,975 52,282 932,616 249,917 116,363 133,554 21,941 46,382 946,790 239,452 112,725 126,727 25,818 45,406 963,761 250,697 114,994 135,703 27,160' 43,720 966,75c 257,134' 117,287' 139,847' 24,563' 41,531' 968,213' 262,745' 118,213' 144,532' 27,111' 41,339' 968,293' 266,787' 120,677' 146,110' 28,905' 47,719' 973,743' 273,666' 123,436' 150,230' 26,014' 50,531' 976,164' 278,244' 124,368' 153,876' 27,544' 51,011' 971,492 281,027 127,547 153,480 29,163 51,313 11 12 13 14 15 16 Savings capital Borrowed money FHLBB Other Other Net worth 958,471 237,663' 112,389 125,274' 22,555 42,892 1,274,482' 1,274,482' 962,304 244,990 113,029 131,961 24,618 42,570 40,251' 24,672' 61,151 FSLIC-insured federal savings banks 17 Assets 210,562 284,270' 295,951 307,756 311,434 323,028 329,736 333,610 357,860 367,974 369,698 374,891 18 Mortgages 19 Mortgage-backed securities 20 Contra-assets to mortgage assets 1 21 Commercial loans 22 Consumer loans 23 Contra-assets to nonmortgage loans . .. 24 Finance leases plus interest 25 Cash and investment . . 26 Other 113,638 161,926' 169,340' 176,090' 178,394' 184,575 188,454 190,897 201,999 205,549 207,200 210,686 29,766 45,826 46,687 47,979 49,075 51,290 52,648 53,049 55,710 56,408 56,770 57,609 13,180 9,100 6,504 17,696 9,175 6,971 18,795 9,460 7,376' 19,141 9,347' 7,531 19,616 9,735 7,639 20,426 10,089 7,904 21,142 10,136 7,919 21,444 10,917 8,570 22,520 11,019 8,719 22,411 10,875 8,910 22,409 10,883 9,071 22,666 678 737 800 19,034 591 35,347 24,069' 584 35,718 25,517 611 38,224 26,424 27 Liabilities and net worth 210,562 284,270' 295,951 307,756 28 29 30 31 32 33 157,872 37,329 19,897 17,432 4,263 11,098 203,196 60,716 29,617 31,099 5,324 15,034' 214,169 59,704 29,169 30,535 6,602 15,477 224,169 61,552 30,456 31,0% 6,089 15,946 Savings capital . . Borrowed money FHLBB Other Other Net worth 724 707 738 699 772 783 789 804 652 39,889 26,758 708 40,286 27,230 735 40,825 27,318 791 45,084 32,516 806 48,985 34,428 805 48,703 34,054 804 48,231 34,935 311,434 323,028 329,736 333,610 357,860 367,974 369,698 374,891 226,544 62,566 30,075 32,491 6,390 16,086' 232,656 66,816 31,682 35,134 7,118 16,589 236,759 69,356 32,177 37,179 6,639 16,886 239,591 70,015 31,941 38,074 7,061 16,847 256,224 75,807 35,357 40,450 8,061 17,665 261,865 80,688 37,245 43,443 7,376 17,913 262,926 80,782 37,510 43,272 7,680 18,217 263,924 83,622 39,628 43,994 8,321 18,907 615 38,259' 25,822 Savings banks 34 Assets 35 36 Loans Mortgage Other Securities U.S. government Mortgage-backed securities State and local government Corporate and other . Cash Other assets 236,866 259,643 259,224 262,100 262,269 264,507 249,927 252,875 253,453 255,510 257,127 258,537 118,323 35,167 138,494 33,871 139,108 35,752 140,835 36,476 139,691 37,471 143,235 35,927 138,148 32,399 139,844 32,941 141,316 32,799 143,626 32,879 145,398 33,234 146,501 33,791 14,209 13,510 12,269 12,225 13,203 12,490 11,597 11,563 11,353 11,182 10,8% 10,804 25,836 32,772 32,423 32,272 31,072 31,861 29,735 30,064 30,006 29,190 29,893 29,372 2,185 20,459 6,894 13,793 2.003 18,772 5,864 14,357 2,053 18,271 5,002 14,346 2,033 18,336 4,881 15,042 2,013 18,549 5,237 15,033 1,933 18,298 5,383 15,380 1,849 17,492 4,831 13,876 1,840 17,527 5,186 13,910 1,901 17,301 4,950 13,827 1,878 17,234 5,463 14,058 1,872 16,886 4,825 14,123 1,887 16,773 5,093 14,316 43 Liabilities 236,866 259,643 259,224 262,100 262,269 264,507 249,927 252,875 253,453 255,510 257,127 258,537 44 Deposits 45 Regular 4 46 Ordinary savings 47 Time 48 Other 49 Other liabilities 50 General reserve accounts 192,194 186,345 37,717 100,809 5,849 25,274 201,497 196,037 41,959 112,429 5,460 35,720 200,391 195,336 41,234 113,751 5,055 35,787 203,407 198,273 41,867 115,529 5,134 35,737 203,273 197,801 41,741 115,887 5,472 35,827 205,692 200,098 42,403 117,297 5,594 35,836 194,018 188,571 40,179 110,738 5,447 34,038 195,537 189,993 40,124 112,272 5,544 34,686 195,907 190,716 39,738 114,255 5,191 34,776 197,665 192,228 39,618 116,387 5,427 35,001 197,925 192,663 39,375 117,712 5,262 35,997 199,092 194,095 39,482 119,026 4,997 36,012 18,105 20,633 20,894 21,024 21,109 21,179 19,875 20,069 20,018 20,151 20,324 20,462 37 38 39 40 41 42 .. Financial Markets All 1.37—Continued 1988 Account 1986 1987 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 173,276 173,044 174,649 174,722 174,406 113,717 61,135 112,452 73,100 39,352 159,021 103,223 55,798 Credit unions 5 51 Total assets/liabilities and capital 52 53 Federal State 54 Loans outstanding.. 55 Federal State 56 57 Savings Federal 58 State 59 147,726 95,483 52,243 86,137 55,304 30,833 134,327 87,954 46,373 f f 1 1 n.a. n.a. 1 1 1 \ 1 169,111 169,175 172,456 172,345 109,797 59,314 109,913 59,262 112,595 59,855 112,573 59,772 113,068 60,208 112,686 60,358 113,383 61,266 113,474 61,248 101,965 65,732 36,233 156,045 101,847 54,198 103,271 66,431 36,840 155,105 101,048 54,057 105,704 68,213 37,491 157,764 103,129 54,635 105,800 68,658 37,142 158,186 103,347 54,839 107,065 69,626 37,439 159,314 104,256 55,058 108,974 70,944 38,030 158,731 103,657 55,074 110,939 72,200 38,739 157,944 103,698 54,246 111,624 72,551 39,073 160,174 104,184 55,990 Life insurance companies 60 Assets 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 Securities Government . . . . . United States 6 .. State and local . Foreign Business Bonds Stocks Mortgages Real estate Policy loans Other assets 937,551 1,044,459 1,052,645 1,065,549 1,075,541 1,094,827 1,105,546 1,113,547 1,121,337 1,131,179 1,139,490 84,640 59,033 11,659 13,948 492,807 401,943 90,864 193,842 31,615 54,055 80,592 84,426 57,078 10,681 16,667 569,199 472,684 96,515 203,545 34,172 53,626 89,586 92,497 65,534 11,859 15,104 571,070 476,448 94,622 213,182 34,503 52,720 88,673 92,408 65,218 12,033 15,157 580,392 484,403 95,989 214,815 34,845 52,604 90,499 93,946 66,749 11,976 15,221 587,846 490,285 97,561 215,383 34,964 52,568 90,834 86,711 58,988 11,016 16,707 606,445 503,728 102,717 219,012 35,484 53,013 94,162 87,160 59,351 11,114 16,695 614,052 509,105 104,947 220,870 35,545 53,107 94,812 88,218 60,244 11,102 16,872 618,742 514,926 103,816 221,990 35,737 53,142 95,718 88,362 60,407 11,190 16,765 624,917 520,796 104,121 233,438 35,920 53,194 95,505 87,588 59,874 11,054 16,660 630,086 525,336 104,750 225,627 35,892 53,149 98,837 88,883 60,621 11,069 17,193 633,390 527,419 105,971 227,342 36,892 53,157 99,826 1. Contra-assets are credit-balance accounts that must be subtracted from the corresponding gross asset categories to yield net asset levels. Contra-assets to mortgage loans, contracts, and pass-through securities include loans in process, unearned discounts and deferred loan fees, valuation allowances for mortgages "held for sale," and specific reserves and other valuation allowances. 2. Contra-assets are credit-balance accounts that must be subtracted from the corresponding gross asset categories to yield net asset levels. Contra-assets to nonmortgage loans include loans in process, unearned discounts and deferred loan fees, and specific reserves and valuation allowances. 3. Holding of stock in Federal Home Loan Bank and Finance leases plus interest are included in "Other" (line 9). 4. Excludes checking, club, and school accounts. 5. Data include all federally insured credit unions, both federal and state chartered, serving natural persons. 6. Direct and guaranteed obligations. Excludes federal agency issues not guaranteed, which are shown in the table under "Business" securities. 7. Issues of foreign governments and their subdivisions and bonds of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. n.a. NOTE. FSLlC-insured institutions: Estimates by the F H L B B for all institutions insured by the FSLIC and based on the F H L B B thrift Financial Report. FSLIC-insured federal savings banks: Estimates by the F H L B B for federal savings banks insured by the FSLIC and based on the F H L B B thrift Financial Report. Savings banks: Estimates by the National Council of Savings Institutions for all savings banks in the United States and for FDIC-insured savings banks that have converted to federal savings banks. Credit unions: Estimates by the National Credit Union Administration for federally chartered and federally insured state-chartered credit unions serving natural persons. Life insurance companies: Estimates of the American Council of Life Insurance for all life insurance companies in the United States. Annual figures are annualstatement asset values, with bonds carried on an amortized basis and stocks at year-end market value. Adjustments for interest due and accrued and for differences between market and book values are not made on each item separately but are included, in total, in "other assets." A28 Domestic Financial Statistics • April 1989 1.38 FEDERAL FISCAL AND FINANCING OPERATIONS Millions of dollars Calendar year Type of account or operation Fiscal year 1986 Fiscal year 1987 Fiscal year 1988 1988 Aug. Sept. 1989 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 63,646 45,847 17,799 90,655 73,514 17,141 -27,009 -27,667 658 64,408 47,023 17,385 93,541' 75,542' 17,999 -29,133' -28,518' -614 93,795 74,682 19,114 105,241' 91,610' 13,632 -11,446' -16,928' 5,482 89,369 65,250 24,119 86,563 68,999 17,564 2,806 -3,749 6,555 1 U.S. budget 1 Receipts, total 2 On-budget 3 Off-budget 4 Outlays, total 5 On-budget 6 Off-budget 7 Surplus, or deficit ( - ) , total 8 On-budget 9 Off-budget Source of financing (total) Borrowing from the public Operating cash (decrease, or increase (-)l 12 Other 2 10 11 MEMO 13 Treasury operating balance (level, end of period) 14 Federal Reserve Banks 15 Tax and loan accounts 769,091 568,862 200,228 990,258 806,760 183,498 -221,167 -237,898 16,731 854,143 640,741 213,402 1,003,830 809,998 193,832 -149,687 -169,257 19,570 908,953 667,462 241,491 1,064,044 861,352 202,691 -155,090 -193,890 38,800 69,479 51,015 18,464 92,561 74,756 17,805 -23,082' -23,741 659 236,187 150,070 162,062 23,370 14,665 10,716 31,520 12,036 -14,324 -696 -5,052 4,669 -7,963 991 10,954 -11,242 -31,444 6,564 13,748 2,545 9,218 -11,605' -12,268 11,678' -8,135 -2,030 31,384 7,514 23,870 36,436 9,120 27,316 44,398 13,024 31,375 12,954 4,390 8,564 44,398 13,024 31,375 30,650 6,151 24,499 21,432 5,198 16,234 33,700 8,657 25,044 41,835 11,766 30,069 1. In accordance with the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, all former off-budget entries are now presented on-budget. The Federal Financing Bank (FFB) activities are now shown as separate accounts under the agencies that use the F F B to finance their programs. The act has also moved two social security trust funds (Federal old-age survivors insurance and Federal disability insurance trust funds) off-budget. 2. Includes SDRs; reserve position on the U.S. quota in the IMF; loans to 97,803 75,586 22,217 87,588 70,071 17,518 10,214' 5,515 4,699 7,359 international monetary fund; other cash and monetary assets; accrued interest payable to the public; allocations of special drawing rights; deposit funds; miscellaneous liability (including checks outstanding) and asset accounts; seigniorage; increment on gold; net gain/loss for U . S . currency valuation adjustment; net gain/loss for IMF valuation adjustment; and profit on the sale of gold. SOURCE. Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government and the Budget of the U.S. Government. Federal Finance A29 1.39 U.S. BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 1 Millions of dollars Calendar year Source or type Fiscal year 1987 Fiscal year 1988 1987 1988 1988 1989 HI H2 HI H2 Nov. Dec. Jan. RECEIPTS 1 All sources 2 Individual income taxes, net 3 Withheld 4 Presidential Election Campaign Fund 5 Nonwithheld 6 Refunds Corporation income taxes 7 Gross receipts 8 Refunds 9 Social insurance taxes and contributions, net 10 Employment taxes and contributions 2 11 Self-employment taxes and contributions 12 Unemployment insurance 13 Other net receipts 14 15 16 17 Excise taxes Customs deposits Estate and gift taxes Miscellaneous receipts 5 854,143 908,954 447,282 421,712 476,115 449,821 64,408 93,795 89,369 392,557 322,463 33 142,957 72,896 401,181 341,435 33 132,199 72,487 205,157 156,760 30 112,421 64,052 192,575 170,203 4 31,223 8,853 207,659 169,300 28 101,614 63,283 200,299 179,600 4 29,880 9,187 29,822 30,092 0 1,367 1,638 39,673 37,578 0 3,034 939 48,627 28,049 0 20,993 415 102,859 18,933 109,683 15,487 52,3% 10,881 52,821 7,119 58,002 8,706 56,409 7,384 2,662 1,219 23,100 940 4,003 822 303,318 334,335 163,519 143,755 181,058 157,603 25,075 24,698 31,652 273,028 305,093 146,6% 130,388 164,412 144,983 22,051 24,100 30,351 13,987 25,575 4,715 17,691 24,584 4,659 12,020 14,514 2,310 1,889 10,977 2,390 14,839 14,363 2,284 3,032 10,359 2,262 326 2,641 382 0 189 410 1,181 949 351 32,457 15,085 7,493 19,307 35,540 16,198 7,594 19,909 15,845 7,494 r 3,818 10,299 17,680 7,993 3,610 10,399 16,440 7,913'" 3,863 9,950 19,434 8,535 4,054 10,873 3,247 1,403 753 2,666 3,155 1,391 673 2,046 2,597 1,316 687 1,309 1,004,586 1,064,054 503,267 532,839 513,210 553,221Y 93,541 r 105,241 r 86,563 281,999 11,649 9,216 4,115 13,363 26,606 290,349 10,469 10,876 2,342 14,538 17,210 142,886 4,374 4,324 2,335 6,175 11,824 146,995 4,487 5,469 1,468 7,590 14,640 143,080 7,150 5,361 555 6,776 7,872 150,4% 2,636 5,852 1,966 8,330 7,725 24,702 -2,055 1,116 539 1,465 3,243 28,934 805 1,007 406 1,480 1,712 19,916 938 946 234 932 2,141 6,156 26,221 5,051 19,064 27,196 5,577 4,893 12,113 3,108 3,852 14,0% 2,075 5,951 12,700 2,765 20,274 14,922 2,690 2,764 2,570 588 7,217 2,249 536 836 2,293 425 OUTLAYS 18 All types 19 20 21 22 23 24 National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture 25 26 27 28 Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development Education, training, employment, and social services 29,724 30,856 14,182 15,592 15,451 16,152 3,054 2,849 3,463 29 Health 30 Social security and medicare 31 Income security 39,968 282,472 123,255 44,482 297,828 130,174 20,318 142,864 62,248 20,750 158,469 61,201 22,643 135,322 65,555 23,360 149,017 64,978 3,%2 25,310 11,054 4,102 25,374 12,355 3,922 25,641 10,701 32 33 34 35 36 37 26,782 7,548 7,564 0 138,570 -36,455 29,248 9,205 9,506 0 151,711 -36,576 12,264 3,626 3,344 337 70,110 -19,102 14,956 4,291 3,560 1,175 71,933 -17,684 13,241 4,761 4,337 448 76,098 -17,766 15,797 4,778 5,137 0 78,317 -18,771 2,713 803 819 0 13,622 -2,844 3,539 765 1,600 0 12,972 -2,537 1,188 884 389 0 14,780 -3,068 Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government General-purpose fiscal assistance Net interest 6 Undistributed offsetting receipts 1. Functional details do not add to total outlays for calendar year data because revisions to monthly totals have not been distributed among functions. Fiscal year total for outlays does not correspond to calendar year data because revisions from the Budget have not been fully distributed across months. 2. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance, and railroad retirement accounts. 3. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance. 4. Federal employee retirement contributions and civil service retirement and disability fund. 5. Deposits of earnings by Federal Reserve Banks and other miscellaneous receipts. 6. Net interest function includes interest received by trust funds. 7. Consists of rents and royalties on the outer continental shelf and U.S. government contributions for employee retirement. SOURCES. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government, and the U . S . Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 1988. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.40 FEDERAL DEBT SUBJECT TO STATUTORY LIMITATION Billions of dollars 1986 1987 1988 Item Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 1 Federal debt outstanding 2129.5 2218.9 2250.7 2313.1 2354.3 2435.2 2493.2 2555.1 2614.6 2 Public debt securities i Held by public 4 Held by agencies 2125.3 1742.4 382.9 2214.8 1811.7 403.1 2246.7 1839.3 407.5 2309.3 1871.1 438.1 2350.3 1893.1 457.2 2431.7 1954.1 477.6 2487.6 1996.7 490.8 2547.7 2013.4 534.2 2602.3 2051.7 550.4 4.2 3.2 1.1 4.0 3.0 1.1 4.0 2.9 1.1 3.8 2.8 1.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 3.5 2.7 .8 5.6 5.1 .6 7.4 7.0 .5 12.4 12.2 .2 5 Agency securities 6 Held by public 7 Held by agencies 8 Debt subject to statutory limit 2111.0 2200.5 2232.4 2295.0 2336.0 2417.4 2472.6 2532.2 2586.9 9 Public debt securities 10 Other debt 1 2109.7 1.3 2199.3 1.3 2231.1 1.3 2293.7 1.3 2334.7 1.3 2416.3 1.1 2472.1 .5 2532.1 .1 2586.7 .1 11 MEMO: Statutory debt limit 2111.0 2300.0 2300.0 2320.0 2800.0 2800.0 2800.0 2800.0 2800.0 1. Includes guaranteed debt of Treasury and other federal agencies, specified participation certificates, notes to international lending organizations, and District of Columbia stadium bonds. 1.41 GROSS PUBLIC DEBT OF U.S. TREASURY SOURCES. Treasury Bulletin and Monthly Statement United States. of the Public Debt of the Types and Ownership Billions of dollars, end of period 1987 Type and holder 1 Total gross public debt 2 3 4 5 b 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 By type Interest-bearing debt Marketable Bills Notes Bonds Nonmarketable State and local government series Foreign issues Government Public Savings bonds and notes. Government account series 14 Non-interest-bearing debt 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 By holder4 U.S. government agencies and trust funds Federal Reserve Banks Private investors Commercial banks Money market funds Insurance companies Other companies State and local Treasurys Individuals Savings bonds Other securities Foreign and international Other miscellaneous investors 1984 1986 1988 1987 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 1663.0 1945.9 2214.8 2431.7 2431.7 2487.6 2547.7 2602.3 1660.6 1247.4 374.4 705.1 167.9 413.2 44.4 9.1 9.1 .0 73.1 286.2 1943.4 1437.7 399.9 812.5 211.1 505.7 87.5 7.5 7.5 .0 78.1 332.2 2212.0 1619.0 426.7 927.5 249.8 593.1 110.5 4.7 4.7 .0 90.6 386.9 2428.9 1724.7 389.5 1037.9 282.5 704.2 139.3 4.0 4.0 .0 99.2 461.3 2428.9 1724.7 389.5 1037.9 282.5 704.2 139.3 4.0 4.0 .0 99.2 461.3 2484.9 1758.7 392.6 1059.9 291.3 726.2 142.9 6.1 6.1 .0 102.3 474.4 2545.0 1769.9 382.3 1072.7 299.9 775.1 146.9 5.7 5.7 .0 104.5 517.5 2599.9 1802.9 398.5 1089.6 299.9 797.0 147.6 6.3 6.3 .0 106.2 536.5 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.7 2.5 289.6 160.9 1212.5 186.0 25.9 64.5 50.1 173.0 348.9 181.3 1417.2 198.2 25.1 78.5 59.0 226.7 403.1 211.3 1602.0 203.5 28.0 105.6 68.8 262.8 477.6 222.6 1745.2 201.2 14.3 120.6 84.6 282.6 477.6 222.6 1745.2 201.2 14.3 120.6 84.6 282.6 490.8 217.5 1778.2 201.0 14.9 125.5 83.0 285.8 534.2 227.6 1784.9 202.5 13.1 132.2 86.5 n.a. 550.4 229.2 1819.0 203.0 10.8 135.0 86.0 n.a. 74.5 69.3 192.9 376.3 79.8 75.0 212.5 462.4 92.3 70.5 251.6 518.9 101.1 72.3 287.3 581.2 101.1 72.3 287.3 581.2 104.0 69.8 321.0 573.2 106.2 71.7 333.8 n.a. 107.8 72.0 334.3 n.a. 1. Includes (not shown separately): Securities issued to the Rural Electrification Administration; depository bonds, retirement plan bonds, and individual retirement bonds. 2. Nonmarketable dollar-denominated and foreign currency-denominated series held by foreigners. 3. Held almost entirely by U . S . Treasury agencies and trust funds. 4. Data for Federal Reserve Banks and U.S. Treasury agencies and trust funds are actual holdings; data for other groups are Treasury estimates. 1985 5. Consists of investments of foreign and international accounts. Excludes non-interest-bearing notes issued to the International Monetary Fund. 6. Includes savings and loan associations, nonprofit institutions, credit unions, mutual savings banks, corporate pension trust funds, dealers and brokers, certain U.S. Treasury deposit accounts, and federally-sponsored agencies. SOURCES. Data by type of security, U . S . Treasury Department, Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States; data by holder. Treasury Bulletin. Federal Finance 1.42 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS A31 Transactions1 Par value; averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1988r Item 1986 1987 1988r 1989 1989 1988r Nov. Dec. Jan. Dec. 21 Dec. 28 Jan. 4 Jan. 11 Jan. 18 Jan. 25 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Immediate delivery U.S. Treasury securities By maturity Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5 - 1 0 years Over 10 years By type of customer U.S. government securities dealers U.S. government securities brokers All others 3 Federal agency securities Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Futures contracts Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities Forward transactions U . S . Treasury securities Federal agency securities 95,444 110,050 101,623 114,807 89,962 107,144 85,718 61,942 71,660 103,367 122,526 108,046 34,247 2,115 24,667 20,455 13,961 37,924 3,271 27,918 24,014 16,923 29,388 3,426 27,777 24,939 16,093 32,553 3,537 32,824 27,072 18,822 28,533 2,925 23,379 21,480 13,643 31,930 3,776 28,259 27,317 15,861 32,188 3,336 19,340 18,379 12,475 24,612 2,364 17,355 10,801 6,810 25,724 3,742 21,785 13,465 6,945 34,216 3,742 26,451 25,328 13,630 36,779 3,974 28,291 33,775 19,708 29,886 3,563 31,153 26,378 17,066 3,669 2,936 2,761 3,123 2,810 2,427 2,580 3,376 1,964 2,572 2,937 2,414 49,558 42,217 16,747 4,355 3,272 16,660 61,539 45,575 18,084 4,112 2,965 17,135 59,844 39,019 15,903 3,369 2,316 22,927 67,174 44,511 17,541 3,535 2,563 26,590 51,787 35,364 14,801 2,759 1,898 28,156 63,244 41,472 19,427 3,779 2,608 35,573 48,361 34,777 12,563 3,202 1,814 29,704 32,559 26,006 11,939 1,978 1,438 26,165 39,292 30,404 14,747 3,134 2,422 35,6% 59,209 41,586 21,030 3,662 2,813 35,970 71,840 47,748 20,376 4,167 2,943 36,787 65,400 40,233 18,507 3,745 2,338 34,323 3,311 7,175 16 3,233 8,963 5 2,627 9,695 1 2,466 11,015 0 2,643 9,490 0 2,924 9,837 0 2,717 9,077 0 1,112 4,833 0 1,997 5,297 0 2,508 7,743 0 2,968 12,481 0 2,814 10,116 0 1,876 7,830 2,029 9,290 2,095 8,008 3,112 8,188 1,747 9,217 1,662 8,211 1,311 10,799 1,891 3,636 1,239 4,702 2,272 10,407 1,208 9,723 1,618 6,921 1. Transactions are market purchases and sales of securities as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank of N e w York by the U . S . government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Averages for transactions are based on the number of trading days in the period. The figures exclude allotments of, and exchanges for, new U.S. Treasury securities, redemptions of called or matured securities, purchases or sales of securities under repurchase agreement, reverse repurchase (resale), or similar contracts. 2. Data for immediate transactions do not include forward transactions. 3. Includes, among others, all other dealers and brokers in commodities and securities, nondealer departments of commercial banks, foreign banking agencies, and the Federal Reserve System. 4. Futures contracts are standardized agreements arranged on an organized exchange in which parties commit to purchase or sell securities for delivery at a future date. 5. Forward transactions are agreements arranged in the over-the-counter market in which securities are purchased (sold) for delivery after 5 business days from the date of the transaction for Treasury securities (Treasury bills, notes, and bonds) or after 30 days for mortgage-backed agency issues. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.43 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS Positions and Financing1 Averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars 1988 Item 1986 1987 1989 1988 Jan. D e c . 28 r Jan. 4 Jan. 11 Jan. 18 Jan. 25 1989 1988 r Nov. Dec/ Positions 1 N e t immediate 2 U.S. Treasury securities 12,912 -6,216 -22,754 -24,048 -32,980 -32,135 -36,617 -37,430 -38,789 -28,110 -29,390 2 3 4 5 6 Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5 - 1 0 years Over 10 years 12,761 3,705 9,146 -9,505 -3,197 4,317 1,557 649 -6,564 -6,174 2,247 -2,233 -3,019 -9,666 -10,082 329 -3,587 -1,334 -7,697 -11,759 -1,524 -1,939 -10,021 -7,115 -12,380 -3,421 -1,831 -10,076 -8,492 -8,316 -3,395 -1,728 -12,340 -7,841 -11,313 -5,041 -1,983 -10,639 -9,479 -10,288 -6,051 -1,559 -10,330 -11,393 -9,457 -2,411 -1,424 -9,048 -7,264 -7,963 -1,484 -1,962 -11,176 -7,410 -7,358 7 8 9 10 Federal agency securities Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Futures positions Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities Forward positions U . S . Treasury securities Federal agency securities 32,984 10,485 5,526 8,089 31,911 8,188 3,660 7,496 28,230 7,300 2,486 6,152 32,172 8,445 2,579 5,957 27,283 8,767 2,128 9,363 26,586 6,812 2,236 8,618 24,238 8,858 2,157 11,426 23,407 9,120 2,124 11,476 25,624 7,361 2,262 8,137 27,542 6,487 2,441 9,242 27,081 6,072 2,122 8,112 -18,059 3,473 -153 -3,373 5,988 -95 -2,210 6,224 0 -1,878 5,875 0 1,014 6,611 0 -1,582 3,325 0 804 5,390 0 -272 6,319 0 -1,994 5,864 0 -1,962 2,801 0 -2,804 1,788 0 -2,144 -11,840 -1,211 -18,817 345 -16,348 -770 -16,959 -451 -12,847 57 -12,783 6 -10,832 121 -10,169 -198 -13,326 -462 -14,555 357 -12,467 11 12 li 14 15 Financing 3 Reverse repurchase agreements 4 Overnight and continuing Term Repurchase agreements 18 Overnight and continuing 19 Term 16 iy 98,913 108,607 126,709 148,288 136,327 177,477 143,423 205,634 147,712 202,052 121,612 159,767 140,953 209,170 154,812 175,141 145,671 199,354 145,077 190,511 151,458 208,025 141,823 102,397 170,763 121,270 172,695 137,056 173,173 165,035 183,081 145,045 155,641 111,476 177,749 150,729 189,331 115,741 185,493 135,047 193,810 131,848 191,920 154,157 1. Data for dealer positions and sources of financing are obtained from reports submitted to the Federal Reserve Bank of N e w York by the U . S . Treasury securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Data for positions are averages of daily figures, in terms of par value, based on the number of trading days in the period. Positions are net amounts and are shown on a commitment basis. Data for financing are in terms of actual amounts borrowed or lent and are based on Wednesday figures. 2. Immediate positions are net amounts (in terms of par values) of securities o w n e d by nonbank dealer firms and dealer departments of commercial banks on a commitment, that is, trade-date basis, including any such securities that have been sold under agreements to repurchase (RPs). The maturities of some repurchase agreements are sufficiently long, however, to suggest that the securities involved are not available for trading purposes. Immediate positions include reverses to maturity, which are securities that were sold after having been obtained under reverse repurchase agreements that mature on the same day as the securities. Data for immediate positions d o not include forward positions. 3. Figures cover financing involving U . S . Treasury and federal agency securities, negotiable C D s , bankers acceptances, and commercial paper. 4. Includes all reverse repurchase agreements, including those that have been arranged to make delivery on short sales and those for which the securities obtained have been used as collateral on borrowings, that is, matched agreements. 5. Includes both repurchase agreements undertaken to finance positions and "matched b o o k " repurchase agreements. NOTE. Data on positions for the period May 1 to Sept. 30, 1986, are partially estimated. Federal Finance 1.44 FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY SPONSORED CREDIT AGENCIES A33 Debt Outstanding Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 1984 Agency 1 Federal and federally sponsored agencies 2 Federal agencies Defense Department 1 3 Export-Import Bank 2, 4 Federal Housing Administration 5 Government National Mortgage Association participation 6 certificates Postal Service 7 Tennessee Valley Authority 8 United States Railway Association 9 10 Federally sponsored agencies 7 Federal Home Loan Banks 11 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 12 Federal National Mortgage Association 13 Farm Credit Banks 8 14 15 Student Loan Marketing Association Financing Corporation 16 Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation 11 17 1985 1986 1987 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. n.a. 271,220 293,905 307,361 341,386 360,004 363,894 364,491 390,639 35,145 142 15,882 133 36,390 71 15,678 115 36,958 33 14,211 138 37,981 13 11,978 183 35,694 11 11,232 115 35,448 11 10,964 120 35,070 8 10,964 118 35,209 8 10,964 139 35,668 8 11,033 150 2,165 1,337 15,435 51 2,165 1,940 16,347 74 2,165 3,104 17,222 85 1,615 6,103 18,089 0 0 5,842 18,494 0 0 5,842 18,511 0 0 5,842 18,138 0 0 5,842 18,256 0 0 6,142 18,335 0 237,012 65,085 10,270 83,720 72,192 5,745 n.a. n.a. 257,515 74,447 11,926 93,896 68,851 8,395 n.a. n.a. 270,553 88,752 13,589 93,563 62,478 12,171 n.a. n.a. 303,405 115,725 17,645 97,057 55,275 16,503 1,200 n.a. 324,310 121,266 19,652 105,730 53,582 19,880 3,750 450 328,446 126,011 18,368 105,986 53,764 20,117 3,750 450 329,421 127,113 17,384 105,698 53,923 21,112 3,750 450 355,430 130,630 19,500 53,420 105,337 21,403 4,450 690 n.a. 135,834 n.a. 53,420 105,452 22,073 5,850 690 145,217 153,373 157,510 152,417 149,809 146,151 145,529 143,321 142,850 15,852 1,087 5,000 13,710 51 15,670 1,690 5,000 14,622 74 14,205 2,854 4,970 15,797 85 11,972 5,853 4,940 16,709 0 11,226 5,592 4,940 17,114 0 10,958 5,592 4,910 17,131 0 10,958 5,592 4,910 16,758 0 10,958 5,592 4,910 16,876 0 11,027 5,892 4,910 16,955 0 58,971 20,693 29,853 64,234 20,654 31,429 65,374 21,680 32,545 59,674 21,191 32,078 59,464 19,225 32,248 58,496 19,205 29,859 58,496 19,222 29,593 58,496 19,220 27,269 58,496 19,246 26,324 MEMO 18 Federal Financing Bank debt 19 7,0 2.1 22 23 Lending to federal and federally sponsored Export-Import Bank 3 Postal Service Student Loan Marketing Association Tennessee Valley Authority United States Railway Association Other Lending13 74 Farmers Home Administration 75 Rural Electrification Administration 26 Other agencies 1. Consists of mortgages assumed by the Defense Department between 1957 and 1963 under family housing and homeowners assistance programs. 2. Includes participation certificates reclassified as debt beginning Oct. 1, 1976. 3. Off-budget Aug. 17, 1974, through Sept. 30, 1976; on-budget thereafter. 4. Consists of debentures issued in payment of Federal Housing Administration insurance claims. Once issued, these securities may be sold privately on the securities market. 5. Certificates of participation issued before fiscal 1969 by the Government National Mortgage Association acting as trustee for the Farmers Home Administration; Department of Health, Education, and Welfare; Department of Housing and Urban Development; Small Business Administration; and the Veterans Administration. 6. Off-budget. 7. Includes outstanding noncontingent liabilities: notes, bonds, and debentures. Some data are estimated. 8. Excludes borrowing by the Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation, shown in line 17. 9. Before late 1981, the Association obtained financing through the Federal Financing Bank (FFB). Borrowing excludes that obtained from the FFB, which is shown on line 21. 10. The Financing Corporation, established in August 1987 to recapitalize the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, undertook its first borrowing in October 1987. 11. The Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation (established in January 1988 to provide assistance to the Farm Credit System) undertook its first borrowing in July 1988. 12. The FFB, which began operations in 1974, is authorized to purchase or sell obligations issued, sold, or guaranteed by other federal agencies. Since F F B incurs debt solely for the purpose of lending to other agencies, its debt is not included in the main portion of the table in order to avoid double counting. 13. Includes F F B purchases of agency assets and guaranteed loans; the latter contain loans guaranteed by numerous agencies with the guarantees of any particular agency being generally small. The Farmers Home Administration item consists exclusively of agency assets, while the Rural Electrification Administration entry contains both agency assets and guaranteed loans. A46 1.45 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 NEW SECURITY ISSUES Tax-Exempt State and Local Governments Millions of dollars 1988 Type of issue or issuer, or use 1 All issues, new and refunding 1986 1 1987 1989 1988 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec/ Jan. 10,455 8,551 11,268 6,324 147,011 102,407 108,078 13,912 9,746 6,966 9,669 46,346 100,664 30,589 71,818 29,662 78,417 4,237 9,675 1,959 7,788 2,472 4,494 2,370 7,299 2,058 8,397 r 2,368 6,183 2,491 8,777 1,709 4,615 Type of issuer 4 State 5 Special district and statutory authority 2 6 Municipalities, counties, and townships 14,474 89,997 42,541 10,102 65,460 26,845 9,254 69,447 29,377 1,349 8,629 3,934 140 6,752 2,854 576 3,749 2,641 1,206 6,407 2,056 734 7,283 2,438 525 5,550 2,476 1,011 7,690 2,567 232 4,620 1,472 7 Issues for new capital, total 83,492 56,789 75,064 8,935 8,386 5,317 7,076 6,965 5,830 8,738 4,185 Use of proceeds Education Transportation Utilities and conservation Social welfare Industrial aid Other purposes 12,307 7,246 14,594 11,353 6,190 31,802 9,524 3,677 7,912 11,106 7,474 18,020 13,722 6,974 7,929 17,824 6,276 22,339 1,320 858 635 2,060 434 3,628 1,699 1,446 225 1,222 128 3,666 694 265 613 1,242 460 2,043 1,351 732 694 2,358 280 1,661 512 559 1,238 2,478 393 1,785 827 237 1,055 1,991 294 1,426 2,564 636 463 2,072 1,010 1,993 829 344 1,368 531 246 867 Type of issue 2 General obligation i Revenue 8 9 10 11 12 13 1. Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2. Includes school districts beginning 1986. 1.46 NEW SECURITY ISSUES SOURCES. Securities Data/Bond Buyer Municipal Data Base beginning 1986. Public Securities Association for earlier data. U.S. Corporations Millions of dollars 1988 Type of issue or issuer, or use 1986 1987 1988 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1 All issues' 423,726 392,156 264,881 23,413 30,043 18,037 19,305 23,933 21,667 r 24,489 r 12,251 2 Bonds 2 355,293 325,648 222,425 19,382 25,748 12,899 15,970 20,928 18,88c 21,054' 10,200 Type of offering 3 Public, domestic 4 Private placement, domestic 3 5. Sold abroad 231,936 80,760 42,596 209,279 92,070 24,299 199,182 90,000 23,243 17,496 n.a. 1,886 22,753 n.a. 2,995 10,905 n.a. 1,994 14,631r n.a. 1,339 18,240 r n.a. 2,688 r 17,368' n.a. 1,512 16,756r n.a. 4,298' 10,000 n.a. 200 91,548 40,124 9,971 31,426 16,659 165,564 61,666 49,327 11,974 23,004 7,340 172,343 40,958 18,614 3,771 13,775 4,044 141,262 4,206 1,446 184 1,929 69 11,546 5,305 2,281 580 1,707 925 14,949 2,205 r 1.53C 100 540 577 7,948 3,476 2,226 r 0 298 29 9,94C 3,750' 1,035 150 856 1,064 14,072' 3,552 764' 605' 1,346 10C 12,513' 2.89C 3,26C 45 672' 289 13,899' 1,446 722 0 138 158 7,736 12 Stocks 3 68,433 66,508 42,456 4,031 4,295 5,138 3,335 3,005 2,787 3,435 2,051 Type 13 Preferred 14 Common 15 Private placement 11,514 50,316 6,603 10,123 43,225 13,157 6,544 35,911 n.a. 285 3,746 n.a. 501 3,794 n.a. 407 4,731 n.a. 498 2,837 n.a. 385 2,620 n.a. 865 1,922 n.a. 478 2,957' n.a. 495 1,556 n.a. 15,027 10,617 2,427 4,020 1,825 34,517 13,880 12,888 2,439 4,322 1,458 31,521 6,115 4,766 845 1,581 448 28,701 1,080 157 15 59 78 2,642 1,676 522 51 207 13 1,826 2% 2,073 0 20 20 2,729 538 347 72 135 3 2,240 244 525 5 215 23 1,993 288 222 25 282 0 1,970 43C 52' 20 70 20 2,843 r 425 89 0 20 59 1,459 6 7 8 9 10 11 16 17 18 19 20 21 Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial 1. Figures which represent gross proceeds of issues maturing in more than one year, are principal amount or number of units multiplied by offering price. Excludes secondary offerings, employee stock plans, investment companies other than closed-end, intracorporate transactions, equities sold abroad, and Yankee bonds. Stock data include ownership securities issued by limited partnerships. 2. Monthly data include only public offerings. 3. Data are not available on a monthly basis. Before 1987, annual totals include underwritten issues only. SOURCES. IDD Information Services, Inc., U . S . Securities and Exchange Commission and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Securities 1.47 OPEN-END INVESTMENT COMPANIES Market and Corporate Finance A35 Net Sales and Asset Position Millions of dollars 1988 1987 Item 1988 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec. INVESTMENT COMPANIES1 1 Sales of own shares 2 381,260 271,237 19,579 22,503 20,728 20,595 19,872 20,494 20,327 25,780 2 Redemptions of own shares 3 3 N e t sales 314,252 67,008 267,451 3,786 21,412 -1,833 23,168 -665 20,561 167 22,837 r -2,242 21,330 -1,458 19,362 1,132 20,599 -272 25,976 -1% 4 Assets 4 453,842 472,297 468,735 481,120 477,076 465,822 474,662 481,571 470,660 472,297 38,006 415,836 45,090 427,207 45,003 423,732 43,229 437,891 44,015 433,061 45,229 420,595 46,706 427,956 45,976 435,595 43,488 427,172 45,090 427,207 5 Cash position 6 Other 5 4. Market value at end of period, less current liabilities. 5. Also includes all U . S . government securities and other short-term debt securities. 1. Data on sales and redemptions exclude money market mutual funds but include limited maturity municipal bond funds. Data on asset positions exclude both money market mutual funds and limited maturity municipal bond funds. 2. Includes reinvestment of investment income dividends. Excludes reinvestment of capital gains distributions and share issue of conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 3. Excludes share redemption resulting from conversions from one fund to another in the same group. NOTE. Investment Company Institute data based on reports of members, which comprise substantially all open-end investment companies registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Data reflect newly formed companies after their initial offering of securities. 1.48 CORPORATE PROFITS AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1987 Account 1986 1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits 2 3 4 5 6 7 Inventory valuation 8 Capital consumption adjustment SOURCE. Survey of Current Business 1987 1988 1988 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 298.9 236.4 106.6 129.8 88.2 41.6 310.4 276.7 133.8 142.9 95.5 47.4 323.8 302.1 140.9 161.3 104.5 56.8 298.3 261.8 126.3 135.5 91.7 43.8 305.2 273.7 132.6 141.1 94.0 47.0 322.0 289.4 140.0 149.5 97.0 52.4 316.1 281.9 136.2 145.7 99.3 46.4 316.2 286.2 136.9 149.4 101.3 48.1 326.5 305.9 143.2 162.7 103.1 59.6 330.0 313.9 144.8 169.1 105.7 63.4 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 108.0 n.a. 8.3 54.2 -18.0 51.7 -23.9 45.6 -14.4 50.8 -20.0 51.5 -19.5 52.1 -18i2 52.4 -19.4 49.4 -27.4 48.0 -29.3 45.4 -19.6 39.7 (Department of Commerce). 1.50 TOTAL NONFARM BUSINESS EXPENDITURES on New Plant and Equipment • Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1987 Industry 1 Total nonfarm business Manufacturing 2 Durable goods industries 3 Nondurable goods industries Nonmanufacturing 4 Mining Transportation 5 Railroad 6 Air 7 Other Public utilities 8 Electric 9 Gas and other 10 Commercial and o t h e r 1986 1987 1989 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 379.47 389.67 430.95 380.66 394.54 406.82 412.02 426.94 436.01 445.73 466.76 69.14 73.56 71.01 74.88 78.06 85.50 69.05 72.66 71.96 76.24 72.28 79.92 75.70 82.90 76.87 84.82 79.48 89.43 78.97 90.00 84.25 93.56 11.22 11.39 12.62 11.02 11.81 12.32 12.59 13.26 12.47 11.97 11.62 6.66 6.26 5.89 5.92 6.53 6.40 7.05 7.61 6.91 5.84 6.02 6.26 6.07 6.15 6.97 6.12 6.94 6.28 6.92 6.43 7.08 7.01 6.66 7.05 6.84 8.06 7.26 8.07 6.84 7.20 9.26 10.07 7.58 33.91 12.47 160.38 31.63 13.25 168.65 32.20 14.27 186.74 31.47 12.47 165.86 31.57 13.73 170.05 32.28 14.11 176.56 30.31 14.30 175.79 30.95 14.48 185.83 32.20 14.50 185.76 33.54 15.25 193.87 32.69 16.66 201.07 ATrade and services are no longer being reported separately. They are included in Commercial and other, line 10. 1. Anticipated by business. 1988 1988 2. "Other" consists of construction; wholesale and retail trade; finance and insurance; personal and business services; and communication. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 Assets and Liabilities1 1.51 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES Billions of dollars, end of period 1986 Account 1983 1984 1987 1985 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 ASSETS Accounts receivable, gross 1 Consumer 2 Business Real estate Total 4 83.3 113.4 20.5 217.3 89.9 137.8 23.8 251.5 111.9 157.5 28.0 297.4 123.4 166.8 29.8 320.0 135.3 159.7 31.0 326.0 134.7 173.4 32.6 340.6 131.1 181.4 34.7 347.2 134.7 188.1 36.5 359.3 141.6 188.3 38.0 367.9 141.1 207.6 39.5 388.2 30.3 3.7 33.8 4.2 39.2 4.9 40.7 5.1 42.4 5.4 41.5 5.8 40.4 5.9 41.2 6.2 42.5 6.5 45.3 6.8 7 Accounts receivable, net 8 All other 183.2 34.4 213.5 35.7 253.3 45.3 274.2 49.5 278.2 60.0 293.3 58.6 300.9 59.0 311.9 57.7 318.9 64.5 336.1 58.2 9 Total assets 217.6 249.2 298.6 323.7 338.2 351.9 359.9 369.6 383.4 394.3 18.3 60.5 20.0 73.1 18.0 99.2 16.3 108.4 16.8 112.8 18.6 117.8 17.2 119.1 17.3 120.4 15.9 124.2 16.4 128.4 11.1 67.7 31.2 28.9 12.9 77.2 34.5 31.5 12.7 94.4 41.5 32.8 15.8 106.9 40.9 35.4 16.4 111.7 45.0 35.6 17.5 117.5 44.1 36.4 21.8 118.7 46.5 36.6 24.8 121.8 49.1 36.3 26.9 128.2 48.6 39.5 28.0 137.1 52.8 31.5 217.6 249.2 298.6 323.7 338.2 351.9 359.9 369.6 383.4 394.3 Less: 5 Reserves for unearned income 6 Reserves for losses LIABILITIES 10 Bank loans 11 Commercial paper Debt Other short-term 12 Long-term 13 All other liabilities 14 15 Capital, surplus, and undivided profits 16 Total liabilities and capital 1. NOTE. Components may not add to totals because of rounding. 1.52 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES Business Credit Outstanding and Net Change1 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1988 Type 1 Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Retail financing of installment sales Automotive (commercial vehicles) Business, industrial, and farm equipment Wholesale financing Automotive Equipment All other Leasing Automotive Equipment Loans on commercial accounts receivable and factored commercial accounts receivable All other business credit 1985 1986 1987 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 156,297 171,966 205,869 223,706 223,958 230,474 231,807 234,059 234,808 20,660 22,483 25,952 22,950 35,674 24,987 37,682 27,428 37,519 27,603 37,120 27,569 37,359 27,841 36,984 28,160 37,067 27,919 23,988 4,568 6,809 23,419 5,423 7,079 31,059 5,693 8,408 28,449 5,654 8,458 27,721 5,803 8,531 32,732 5,949 8,738 32,523 5,888 8,867 32,523 6,045 9,025 33,879 6,083 9,278 16,275 34,768 19,783 37,833 21,943 43,002 24,400 52,803 24,370 53,671 23,861 55,400 24,186 55,786 24,623 56,294 24,639 58,147 15,765 10,981 15,959 13,568 18,024 17,079 19,095 19,736 19,132 19,609 19,386 19,719 19,239 20,117 19,616 20,790 18,133 19,664 Net change (during period) 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Retail financing of installment sales Automotive (commercial vehicles) Business, industrial, and farm equipment Wholesale financing Automotive Equipment All other Leasing Automotive Equipment Loans on commercial accounts receivable and factored commercial accounts receivable All other business credit 19,607 15,669 3,040 1,573 252 6,515 1,333 2,252 749 5,067 -363 5,292 467 1,220 223 163 -120 -163 175 -399 -35 239 272 -375 319 83 -240 5,423 -867 1,069 -569 855 270 158 -101 257 -282 97 -23 -728 149 73 5,011 146 207 -208 -60 129 0 157 158 1,355 38 253 3,8% 2,685 3,508 3,065 -70 1,038 324 438 -30 867 -509 1,729 325 386 436 508 16 1,853 2,161 536 194 2,587 -477 792 500 476 37 -127 255 110 -148 398 377 673 -1,483 -1,126 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.20 (422) release. For address, see inside front cover. Real Estate 1.53 A37 MORTGAGE MARKETS Millions of dollars; exceptions noted. 1988 Item July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov Terms and yields in primary and secondary markets PRIMARY MARKETS 1 2 3 4 5 6 Conventional mortgages on new homes Terms1 Purchase price (thousands of dollars) Amount of loan (thousands of dollars) Loan/price ratio (percent) Maturity (years) Fees and charges (percent of loan amount) 2 Contract rate (percent per year) Yield (percent per 7 F H L B B series 5 8 H U D series 4 118.1 86.2 75.2 26.6 2.48 9.82 137.0 100.5 75.2 27.8 2.26 8.94 150.0 110.5 75.5' 28.0 2.19 8.81 152.9 111.9 75.2 28.4 2.24 8.80 154.2 114.9 76.7 28.5 2.35 8.68 148.3 109.8 75.4 27.6 2.14 8.90 153.8 114.0 75.8 28.4 1.98 8.77 155.3 115.6 76.1 28.4 2.28 9.05 150.0' 110.8' 75.6' 28.3 2.08 9.04' 156.2 115.8 75.6 28.8 1.93 9.23 10.26 10.07 9.31 10.17 9.18 10.30' 9.17 10.47 9.06 10.55 9.26 10.39 9.10 10.21 9.43 10.37 9.39' 10.67 9.55 n.a. 9.91 9.30 10.16 9.43 10.49'' 9.83 10.66 9.91 10.74 10.09 10.58 9.93 10.23 9.77 10.63 9.85 10.81 10.07 n.a. 10.02 year) SECONDARY MARKETS Yield (percent per year) 9 F H A mortgages ( H U D series) 3 10 G N M A securities 6 Activity in secondary markets F E D E R A L N A T I O N A L MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION Mortgage holdings (end of 11 Total FHA/V A-insured 12 13 Conventional Mortgage transactions 14 Purchases period) (during 98,048 29,683 68,365 95,030 21,660 73,370 101,329 19,762 81,567 102,540 19,677 82,864 102,540 19,586 82,954 102,453 19,526 82,927 102,493 19,464 83,032 102,6% 19,467 83,228 103,013 19,415 83,598 102,370 19,354 83,016 30,826 20,531 23,110 1,960 1,638 1,111 1,488 1,5% 1,726 1,037 32,987 3,386 25,415 4,886 23,435 2,148 1,108 4,277 1,041 3,135 1,439 3,257 1,740 3,165 1,289 2,740 1,350 2,148 1,087 2,081 13,517 746 12,771 12,802 686 12,116 n.a. n.a. n.a. 15,133 619 14,514 15,142 611 14,531 15,442 606 14,836 15,669 601 15,068 15,419 595 14,824 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 103,474 100,236 76,845 75,082 3,879 4,115 3,858 3,719 4,192 3,728 4,037 3,674 4,109 4,231' n.a. 5,246 n.a. n.a. 110,855 71,467 5,328 3,480 6,209 4,406 5,419 n.a. n.a. period) 7 Mortgage commitments 15 Contracted (during period) 16 Outstanding (end of period) F E D E R A L H O M E L O A N MORTGAGE CORPORATION Mortgage 17 18 19 holdings (end of periodf FHA/VA Conventional Mortgage transactions 20 Purchases 21 (during Mortgage commitments9 22 Contracted (during period) period) 1. Weighted averages based on sample surveys of mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups; compiled by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2. Includes all fees, commissions, discounts, and "points" paid (by the borrower or the seller) to obtain a loan. 3. Average effective interest rates on loans closed, assuming prepayment at the end of 10 years. 4. Average contract rates on new commitments for conventional first mortgages; from Department of Housing and Urban Development. 5. Average gross yields on 30-year, minimum-downpayment, Federal Housing Administration-insured first mortgages for immediate delivery in the private secondary market. Based on transactions on first day of subsequent month. Large monthly movements in average yields may reflect market adjustments to changes in maximum permissable contract rates. n.a. 39,516' n.a. 6. Average net yields to investors on Government National Mortgage Association guaranteed, mortgage-backed, fully modified pass-through securities, assuming prepayment in 12 years on pools of 30-year F H A / V A mortgages carrying the prevailing ceiling rate. Monthly figures are averages of Friday figures from the Wall Street Journal. 7. Includes some multifamily and nonprofit hospital loan commitments in addition to 1- to 4-family loan commitments accepted in F N M A ' s free market auction system, and through the F N M A - G N M A tandem plans. 8. Includes participation as well as whole loans. 9. Includes conventional and government-underwritten loans. FHLMC's mortgage commitments and mortgage transactions include activity under mortgage/ securities swap programs, while the corresponding data for F N M A exclude swap activity. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.54 MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1987 Type of holder, and type of property 1985 1986 1988 1987 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 1 AU holders 2,289,843 2,597,175 2,943,144 2,864,736 2,943,144 2,988,100 3,067,566 3,151,956 2 3 4 5 1,488,009 214,470 481,514 105,850 1,698,524 247,831 555,039 95,781 1,925,197 273,830 655,249 88,868 1,870,635 268,911 635,230 89,960 1,925,197 273,830 655,249 88,868 1,955,770 277,622 666,521 88,187 2,015,646 282,511 681,478 87,931 2,079,706 286,918 697,919 87,413 1,390,394 429,196 213,434 23,373 181,032 11,357 1,507,289 502,534 235,814 31,173 222,799 12,748 1,700,820 591,151 275,761 33,2% 267,663 14,431 1,648,328 567,000 263,762 32,114 256,981 14,143 1,700,820 591,151 275,761 33,296 267,663 14,431 1,723,737 604,403 280,439 33,640 275,535 14,789 1,773,444 628,132 291,767 34,672 286,366 15,327 1,827,383 653,288 304,029 35,936 297,880 15,443 760,499 554,301 89,739 115,771 688 171,797 12,381 19,894 127,670 11,852 28,902 777,312 558,412 97,059 121,236 605 193,842 12,827 20,952 149,111 10,952 33,601 856,945 598,886 106,359 150,943 838,737 583,432 104,609 149,938 856,945 598,886 106,359 150,943 863,110 603,532 107,687 151,136 881,924 622,863 109,108 149,201 905,372 644,676 109,800 150,144 212,375 13,226 22,524 166,722 9,903 40,349 204,263 12,742 21,968 159,464 10,089 38,328 212,375 13,226 22,524 166,722 9,903 40,349 214,815 13,653 22,723 168,774 9,665 41,409 220,870 14,172 23,021 174,086 9,591 42,518 225,245 14,892 23,100 178,012 9,241 43,478 166,928 1,473 539 934 733 183 113 159 278 203,800 889 47 842 48,421 21,625 7,608 8,446 10,742 192,721 444 25 419 43,051 18,169 8,044 6,603 10,235 191,520 458 25 433 42,978 18,111 7,903 6,592 10,372 192,721 444 25 419 43,051 18,169 8,044 6,603 10,235 196,909 434 25 409 43,076 18,185 8,115 6,640 10,136 199,474 42 24 18 42,767 18,248 8,213 6,288 10,018 197,885 43 24 19 41,836 18,268 8,349 5,300 9,919 Federal Housing and Veterans Administration 1- to 4-family Multifamily Federal National Mortgage Association 1- to 4-family Multifamily Federal Land Banks 1- to 4-family Farm Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation .. 1- to 4-family Multifamily 4,920 2,254 2,666 98,282 91,966 6,316 47,498 2,798 44,700 14,022 11,881 2,141 5,047 2,386 2,661 97,895 90,718 7,177 39,984 2,353 37,631 11,564 10,010 1,554 5,574 2,557 3,017 96,649 89,666 6,983 34,131 2,008 32,123 12,872 11,430 1,442 5,330 2,452 2,878 94,884 87,901 6,983 34,930 2,055 32,875 12,940 11,570 1,370 5,574 2,557 3,017 96,649 89,666 6,983 34,131 2,008 32,123 12,872 11,430 1,442 5,660 2,608 3,052 99,787 92,828 6,959 33,566 1,975 31,591 14,386 12,749 1,637 5,673 2,564 3,109 102,368 95,404 6,964 33,048 1,945 31,103 15,576 13,631 1,945 5,545 2,445 3,100 102,453 95,417 7,036 32,566 1,917 30,649 15,442 13,589 1,853 44 Mortgage pools or trusts 6 45 Government National Mortgage Association.. 46 1- to 4-family 47 Multifamily 48 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation .. 49 1- to 4-family 50 Multifamily 51 Federal National Mortgage Association 52 1- to 4-family 53 Multifamily 54 Farmers Home Administration 55 1- to 4-family 56 Multifamily 57 Commercial 58 Farm 439,058 212,145 207,198 4,947 100,387 99,515 872 54,987 54,036 951 47,523 22,186 6,675 8,190 10,472 565,428 262,697 256,920 5,777 171,372 166,667 4,705 97,174 95,791 1,383 348 142 718,297 317,555 309,806 7,749 212,634 205,977 6,657 139,960 137,988 1,972 245 121 692,944 308,339 300,815 7,524 208,872 202,308 6,564 130,540 128,770 1,770 333 144 718,297 317,555 309,806 7,749 212,634 205,977 6,657 139,960 137,988 1,972 245 121 736,344 322,976 315,095 7,881 214,724 208,138 6,586 145,242 142,330 2,912 172 65 754,045 322,616 314,728 7,888 216,155 209,702 6,453 157,438 153,253 4,185 106 23 782,093 332,926 324,469 8,457 220,683 214,063 6,620 167,170 162,228 4,942 106 27 132 74 63 61 124 65 63 61 58 49 41 42 38 41 7 293,463 162,419 55,849 48,692 26,503 320,658 177,374 66,940 53,315 23,029 331,306 171,325 75,368 63,255 21,358 331,944 173,360 74,795 62,131 21,658 331,306 171,325 75,368 63,255 21,358 331,110 169,509 76,021 64,378 21,202 340,603 177,074 76,935 65,4% 21,098 344,595 178,976 77,706 66,545 21,368 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm 6 Selected financial institutions 7 Commercial banks 2 8 1- to 4-family 9 Multifamily 10 Commercial 11 Farm 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Savings institutions 3 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm Life insurance companies 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm . Finance companies 23 Federal and related agencies 24 Government National Mortgage Association.. 25 1- to 4-family 26 Multifamily 27 Farmers Home Administration 28 1- to 4-family 29 Multifamily 30 Commercial 31 Farm 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 59 Individuals and others 60 1- to 4-family 61 Multifamily 62 Commercial 63 Farm 1. Based on data from various institutional and governmental sources, with some quarters estimated in part by the Federal Reserve. Multifamily debt refers to loans on structures of five or more units. 2. Includes loans held by nondeposit trust companies but not bank trust departments. 3. Includes savings banks and savings and loan associations. Beginning 1987:1, data reported by FSLIC-insured institutions include loans in process and other contra assets (credit balance accounts that must be subtracted from the corresponding gross asset categories to yield net asset levels). 4. Assumed to be entirely 1- to 4-family loans. 5. FmHA-guaranteed securities sold to the Federal Financing Bank were reallocated from FmHA mortgage pools to F m H A mortgage holdings in 1986:4, because of accounting changes by the Farmers Home Administration. 6. Outstanding principal balances of mortgage pools backing securities insured or guaranteed by the agency indicated. 7. Other holders include mortgage companies, real estate investment trusts, state and local credit agencies, state and local retirement funds, noninsured pension funds, credit unions, and other U . S . agencies. Consumer Installment Credit A39 1.55 CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT1 Total Outstanding, and Net Change, seasonally adjusted Millions of dollars 1988 Holder, and type of credit 1987 1988 Apr. May June July Oct. Nov/ Dec. 653,319 657,226 661,889 667,328 Sept. Aug. Amounts outstanding (end of period) 1 613,022 667,328 633,336 636,318 644,372 647,993 653,317 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers 3 Savings institutions Gasoline companies 281,564 140,072 81,065 42,782 63,949 3,590 320,226 143,523 86,070 45,370 68,482 3,657 293,166 144,516 83,204 43,295 65,387 3,769 295,546 144,454 83,881 43,162 65,509 3,765 300,275 144,748 84,912 43,450 67,274 3,713 303,189 143,812 85,468 43,634 68,182 3,707 307,119 143,962 85,881 43,712 68,909 3,735 308,960 142,723 85,553 43,956 68,462 3,665 312,968 142,480 86,024 44,250 67,845 3,658 317,128 142,226 86,102 44,644 68,140 3,648 320,226 143,523 86,070 45,370 68,482 3,657 By major type of credit S Automobile 9 Commercial banks Credit unions 10 Finance companies 11 12 Savings institutions 267,180 108,438 43,474 98,026 17,242 290,434 126,693 48,243 96,368 19,130 278,567 114,868 45,293 100,564 17,841 279,418 115,951 45,831 99,708 17,928 282,254 117,322 46,565 99,900 18,465 283,359 118,650 47,043 98,896 18,770 285,560 120,380 47,444 98,711 19,026 284,782 121,450 47,436 96,939 18,958 286,107 122,995 47,870 96,400 18,842 287,474 124,583 48,088 95,825 18,979 290,434 126,693 48,243 96,368 19,130 13 Revolving 14 Commercial banks 15 Retailers Gasoline companies 16 17 Savings institutions Credit unions 18 159,307 98,808 36,959 3,590 13,279 6,671 185,870 117,137 39,095 3,657 16,516 9,465 167,356 104,250 37,414 3,769 14,309 7,614 169,154 105,742 37,259 3,765 14,518 7,870 172,809 108,309 37,526 3,713 15,098 8,162 174,927 109,645 37,671 3,707 15,492 8,413 177,568 111,623 37,708 3,735 15,850 8,652 178,675 112,341 37,914 3,665 15,938 8,816 181,277 114,404 38,169 3,658 15,984 9,063 184,467 116,824 38,481 3,648 16,244 9,270 185,870 117,137 39,095 3,657 16,516 9,465 19 Mobile home Commercial banks 20 Finance companies 21 22 Savings institutions 25,957 9,101 7,771 9,085 25,610 8,825 7,210 9,574 25,764 9,047 7,575 9,142 25,703 8,966 7,578 9,159 25,852 8,933 7,513 9,406 25,882 8,913 7,436 9,533 25,915 8,893 7,387 9,634 25,746 8,833 7,341 9,572 25,776 9,048 7,243 9,485 25,830 9,079 7,224 9,527 25,610 8,825 7,210 9,574 23 Other 24 Commercial banks 25 Finance companies 26 Credit unions 27 Retailers Savings institutions 28 160,578 65,217 34,275 30,920 5,823 24,343 165,415 67,572 39,945 28,362 6,275 23,261 161,649 65,001 36,376 30,297 5,880 24,095 162,043 64,887 37,168 30,180 5,903 23,904 163,456 65,710 37,335 30,184 5,923 24,305 163,825 65,981 37,480 30,012 5,964 24,388 164,274 66,222 37,863 29,785 6,004 24,399 164,116 66,335 38,443 29,302 6,041 23,995 164,066 66,522 38,837 29,091 6,081 23,534 164,117 66,642 39,177 28,745 6,163 23,390 165,415 67,572 39,945 28,362 6,275 23,261 1 Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 Net change (during period) 41,189 54,306 3,851 2,982 8,054 3,621 5,324 2 3,907 4,663 5,439 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies Credit unions Retailers Savings institutions Gasoline companies 19,425 6,374 4,874 3,122 7,068 326 38,662 3,451 5,005 2,588 4,533 67 2,335 463 609 24 309 112 2,380 -62 677 -133 122 -4 4,729 294 1,031 288 1,765 -52 2,914 -936 556 184 908 -6 3,930 150 413 78 727 28 1,841 -1,239 -328 244 -447 -70 4,008 -243 471 294 -617 -7 4,160 -254 78 394 295 -10 3,098 1,297 -32 726 342 9 By major type of credit 36 Automobile 37 Commercial banks Credit unions 38 39 Finance companies Savings institutions 40 21,071 7,531 5,061 5,676 2,803 23,254 18,255 4,769 -1,658 1,888 1,805 1,275 498 -105 136 851 1,083 538 -856 87 2,836 1,371 734 192 537 1,105 1,328 478 -1,004 305 2,201 1,730 401 -185 256 -778 1,070 -8 -1,772 -68 1,325 1,545 434 -539 -116 1,367 1,588 218 -575 137 2,960 2,110 155 543 151 41 Revolving 42 Commercial banks Retailers 43 44 Gasoline companies Savings institutions 45 Credit unions 46 22,926 12,051 2,639 326 4,913 2,997 26,563 18,329 2,136 67 3,237 2,794 1,713 1,098 6 112 250 246 1,798 1,492 -155 -4 209 256 3,655 2,567 267 -52 580 292 2,118 1,336 145 -6 394 251 2,641 1,978 37 28 358 239 1,107 718 206 -70 88 164 2,602 2,063 255 -7 46 247 3,190 2,420 312 -10 260 207 1,403 313 614 9 272 195 47 Mobile home 48 Commercial banks Finance companies 49 Savings institutions 50 -926 175 -1,051 -50 -347 -276 -561 489 32 54 -65 43 -61 -81 3 17 149 -33 -65 247 30 -20 -77 127 33 -20 -49 101 -169 -60 -46 -62 30 215 -98 -87 54 31 -19 42 -220 -254 -14 47 51 Other 52 Commercial banks Finance companies 53 Credit unions 54 Retailers 55 Savings institutions 56 -1,882 -332 1,749 -3,184 483 -598 4,837 2,355 5,670 -2,558 452 -1,082 301 -93 632 -135 17 -121 394 -114 792 -117 23 -191 1,413 823 167 4 20 401 369 271 145 -172 41 83 449 241 383 -227 40 11 -158 113 580 -483 37 -404 -50 187 394 -211 40 -461 51 120 340 -346 82 -144 1,298 930 768 -383 112 -129 29 Total 30 31 32 33 34 35 1. The Board's series cover most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals that is scheduled to be repaid (or has the option of repayment) in two or more installments. These data also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. More detail for finance companies is available in the G. 20 statistical release. 3. Excludes 3 0 - d a y charge credit held by travel and entertainment companies. A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.56 TERMS OF CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT1 Percent unless noted otherwise 1988 Item 1986 1987 1988 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. INTEREST RATES 1 1 i 4 5 6 Commercial banks 2 48-month new car 3 24-month personal 120-month mobile home 3 Credit card Auto finance companies N e w car Used car 11.33 14.83 13.99 18.26 10.45 14.23 13.38 17.92 10.86 14.68 13.54 17.78 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 10.93 14.81 13.62 17.79 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 11.22 15.06 13.61 17.77 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 9.44 15.95 10.73 14.60 12.60 15.11 12.32 14.83 12.44 14.99 12.64 15.16 12.93 15.46 13.10 15.67 13.20 15.75 13.25 15.80 50.0 42.6 53.5 45.2 56.2 46.7 56.3 46.9 56.4 46.8 56.5 46.8 56.3 46.5 56.3 46.3 56.2 46.2 56.3 46.0 91 97 93 98 94 98 94 99 94 99 94 98 94 98 94 99 94 98 94 98 10,665 6,555 11,203 7,420 11,663 7,824 11,626 7,899 11,663 7,947 11,593 7,918 11,530 7,903 11,845 7,944 11,975 7,991 12,068 8,022 OTHER TERMS4 7 8 9 10 11 12 Maturity (months) N e w car Used car Loan-to-value ratio N e w car Used car Amount financed (dollars) N e w car Used car 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) release. For address, see inside front cover. 2. Data for midmonth of quarter only. 3. Before 1983 the maturity for new car loans was 36 months, and for mobile home loans was 84 months. 4. At auto finance companies. Flow of Funds 1.57 A41 F U N D S RAISED IN U.S. CREDIT MARKETS Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1987 Transaction category, sector 1983 1984 1985 1986 1988 1987 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total net borrowing by domestic nonfinancial sectors 546.8 750.8 846.3 830.6 680.6 552.0 751.7 652.1 766.8 731.8 704.0 760.4 By sector and instrument 2 U . S . government 3 Treasury securities 4 Agency issues and mortgages 186.6 186.7 -.1 198.8 199.0 -.2 223.6 223.7 -.1 215.0 214.7 .4 143.8 142.3 1.5 161.6 157.7 3.9 145.2 147.1 -1.9 101.8 102.7 -.9 166.7 161.8 5.0 226.3 226.8 -.5 87.6 79.8 7.7 195.5 174.6 20.9 5 Private domestic nonfinancial sectors 6 Debt capital instruments 7 Tax-exempt obligations 8 Corporate bonds 9 Mortgages 10 Home mortgages 11 Multifamily residential 12 Commercial Farm 13 360.2 257.6 53.7 16.0 187.9 120.4 14.1 51.0 2.4 552.0 319.3 50.4 46.1 222.8 136.7 25.2 62.2 -1.2 622.7 452.3 136.4 73.8 242.2 156.8 29.8 62.2 -6.6 615.6 460.7 30.8 121.3 308.6 210.9 33.5 73.6 -9.5 536.8 446.1 34.5 99.9 311.6 221.7 24.3 72.0 -6.4 390.3 473.3 38.7 128.9 305.7 224.2 27.4 66.5 -12.4 606.4 466.7 33.1 88.5 345.1 243.5 30.9 77.2 -6.6 550.3 428.1 32.7 100.7 294.7 212.1 23.1 64.1 -4.7 600.1 416.1 33.5 81.6 301.1 206.9 15.9 80.2 -1.9 505.6 363.3 24.8 101.3 237.1 177.9 21.4 43.2 -5.4 616.5 452.2 32.6 118.4 301.2 228.0 14.0 60.8 -1.6 564.9 457.1 44.4 90.8 322.0 210.1 33.5 72.7 5.7 14 15 16 17 18 Other debt instruments Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other 102.6 49.0 23.2 -.8 31.3 232.7 81.6 67.1 21.7 62.2 170.3 82.5 38.6 14.6 34.6 154.9 54.4 69.3 -9.3 40.5 90.7 40.7 8.8 2.3 38.9 -83.0 -.3 -107.8 -.5 25.5 139.7 52.4 36.6 4.7 46.1 122.2 61.4 21.0 1.0 38.7 184.0 49.4 85.3 3.9 45.5 142.3 34.8 40.4 -3.8 70.9 164.2 59.5 74.2 4.0 26.6 107.8 43.3 2.6 11.1 50.7 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 B y borrowing sector State and local governments Households Nonfinancial business Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate 360.2 34.0 186.1 140.1 3.9 81.9 54.4 552.0 27.4 231.5 293.1 -.4 123.2 170.3 622.7 91.8 283.6 247.3 -14.5 129.3 132.4 615.6 44.3 286.1 285.1 -16.3 127.6 173.8 536.8 34.4 261.5 240.8 -11.2 115.8 136.3 390.3 37.0 197.3 156.0 -23.5 108.4 71.2 606.4 31.4 302.7 272.4 -12.7 125.7 159.4 550.3 34.8 281.2 234.2 -9.4 105.4 138.3 600.1 34.6 264.9 300.7 .8 123.8 176.1 505.6 22.3 220.0 263.3 -12.5 91.0 184.9 616.5 31.1 288.0 297.3 -3.6 87.1 213.9 564.9 41.3 250.9 272.7 1.3 120.3 151.1 17.3 3.1 3.6 6.5 4.1 8.4 3.8 -6.6 6.2 5.0 1.2 3.8 -2.8 6.2 -5.9 9.6 3.0 -1.0 11.5 -3.9 4.3 6.8 -3.6 2.1 -1.0 -8.7 3.0 -1.2 -4.2 -6.4 -.1 -4.1 -3.5 -6.4 13.9 12.3 6.7 -3.7 21.6 -12.3 13.9 21.6 -6.1 -2.5 .8 -1.0 16.8 .7 1.5 -19.9 4.9 -2.9 -3.5 6.4 4.9 9.7 7.4 .3 10.7 -8.8 564.1 759.2 847.5 840.2 685.0 543.3 751.6 664.3 780.7 730.9 709.0 770.1 26 Foreign net borrowing in United States 27 Bonds 28 Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper 29 30 U . S . government loans 31 Total domestic plus foreign Financial sectors 32 Total net borrowing by financial sectors By instrument 33 U . S . government related Sponsored credit agency securities 34 35 Mortgage pool securities 36 37 Private financial sectors Corporate bonds 38 39 Mortgages 40 Bank loans n.e.c 41 Open market paper 42 Loans from Federal Home Loan Banks By sector 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Sponsored credit agencies Mortgage pools Private financial sectors Commercial banks Bank affiliates Savings and loan associations Finance companies REITs CMO Issuers 99.2 148.7 198.3 297.2 303.1 340.0 316.7 306.4 249.2 218.9 250.1 249.1 67.8 1.4 66.4 74.9 30.4 44.4 193.5 -4.4 200.7 -2.9 146.5 103.2 .4 -9.5 41.5 11.0 196.8 21.5 175.4 -.1 119.9 45.6 .1 .6 54.0 19.6 137.4 56.8 80.5 84.7 9.4 75.3 140.2 42.8 97.4 120.8 77.7 .2 6.3 14.3 22.2 81.7 41.8 .4 -10.7 5.4 44.9 81.6 74.7 .2 -26.8 28.0 5.4 165.4 67.9 108.9 65.9 -.1 21.3 -7.0 185.8 30.2 156.4 -.7 117.2 67.1 .3 -3.3 28.8 24.4 167.5 71.6 95.9 73.8 33.0 .4 .7 24.1 15.7 178.1 15.2 163.3 -.4 119.1 70.9 .1 4.0 24.2 19.8 185.5 32.0 153.5 31.4 17.3 101.5 20.6 79.9 1.1 96.7 47.9 .1 2.6 32.0 14.2 8.7 78.7 10.1 -4.9 21.3 26.6 99.2 148.7 198.3 297.2 303.1 340.0 316.7 306.4 249.2 218.9 250.1 249.1 1.4 66.4 31.4 5.0 12.1 -2.1 13.0 -.2 3.6 30.4 44.4 73.8 7.3 15.6 22.7 18.2 .8 9.3 21.7 79.9 96.7 -4.9 14.5 22.3 52.7 .5 11.5 14.9 163.3 119.1 -3.6 4.6 29.8 48.4 1.0 39.0 29.5 156.4 117.2 7.1 2.9 36.0 30.6 1.5 39.1 -7.2 200.7 146.5 6.4 25.6 28.0 18.1 1.7 66.8 21.4 175.4 119.9 20.0 -2.7 22.2 39.9 -.5 41.0 32.0 153.5 120.8 -13.1 11.3 41.9 36.3 1.7 42.7 71.6 95.9 81.7 15.0 -22.6 51.9 28.2 3.2 6.0 56.8 80.5 81.6 -22.4 -5.0 9.1 54.5 2.4 43.1 9.4 75.3 165.4 6.2 7.6 18.2 100.4 1.8 31.2 42.8 97.4 108.9 -12.9 5.2 52.9 40.6 1.9 21.3 * * * A46 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 1.57—Continued 1987 Transaction category, sector 1983 1984 1986 1985 1988 1987 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 All sectors 53 Total net borrowing 663.4 907.9 1,045.7 1,137.4 988.0 970.7 1,029.9 949.8 959.1 1,019.2 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 254.4 53.7 36.4 187.8 49.0 26.7 26.9 28.4 273.8 50.4 83.0 223.1 81.6 61.1 52.0 82.9 324.2 136.4 125.4 242.2 82.5 38.3 52.8 44.0 393.5 30.8 195.2 308.6 54.4 72.3 26.4 56.1 330.4 34.5 173.8 311.9 40.7 1.9 33.2 61.6 358.0 38.7 235.2 306.0 -.3 -118.5 36.8 27.3 342.2 33.1 130.0 345.2 52.4 33.8 52.3 79.4 287.3 32.7 185.1 294.9 61.4 23.6 36.9 48.7 334.2 33.5 145.0 301.4 49.4 68.5 6.7 91.2 363.6 24.8 192.8 237.4 34.8 14.2 25.7 56.4 172.3 32.6 183.5 301.2 59.5 79.4 89.1 41.7 335.7 44.4 164.1 322.0 43.3 -2.0 43.1 68.6 62 MEMO: U . S . government, cash balance -7.1 6.3 14.4 -7.9 -34.9 77.7 -19.6 -54.7 60.9 3.3 6.4 Totals net of changes in U.S. government cash balances 63 Net borrowing by domestic nonfinancial 64 N e t borrowing by U . S . government 553.9 193.7 744.5 192.5 831.9 209.3 688.5 151.7 586.9 196.6 674.0 67.6 671.7 121.4 821.5 221.4 670.9 165.4 700.8 84.3 754.0 189.1 U . S . government securities State and local obligations Corporate and foreign bonds Mortgages Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans * 830.6 215.0 883.3 1,068.3 External corporate equity funds raised in United States 65 Total net share issues 58.1 -36.0 20.1 93.9 13.3 170.1 13.9 -47.1 -83.6 -73.7 -141.0 -70.3 66 67 68 69 70 27.2 30.8 23.5 3.6 3.7 29.3 -65.3 -74.5 8.2 .9 84.4 -64.3 -81.5 13.5 3.7 161.8 -68.0 -80.7 11.5 1.3 72.3 -59.0 -76.5 19.9 -2.4 205.4 -35.3 -57.0 19.1 2.7 79.1 -65.2 -83.0 16.5 1.2 13.8 -60.9 -78.0 18.4 -1.3 -9.1 -74.6 -88.0 25.5 -12.0 5.0 -78.7 -95.0 17.0 -.7 -8.1 -132.9 -140.0 13.8 -6.7 6.0 -76.3 -92.0 13.6 2.1 Mutual funds All other Nonfinancial corporations Financial corporations Foreign shares purchased in United States Flow of Funds 1.58 A43 D I R E C T A N D I N D I R E C T S O U R C E S O F F U N D S TO C R E D I T M A R K E T S Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1988 1987 Transaction category, or sector 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 1 Total funds advanced in credit markets to domestic nonfinancial sectors 546.8 750.8 846.3 830.6 680.6 552.0 751.7 652.1 766.8 731.8 704.0 760.4 By public agencies and foreign 2 Total net advances 3 U . S . government securities 4 Residential mortgages 5 F H L B advances to savings and loans 6 Other loans and securities 117.8 29.0 76.1 -7.0 19.7 157.6 38.9 56.5 15.7 46.6 193.1 37.9 94.6 14.2 46.3 304.2 69.4 160.3 19.8 54.6 256.3 68.2 153.2 24.4 10.5 270.9 59.0 194.8 11.0 6.1 279.3 55.3 169.4 19.6 35.1 211.1 35.1 146.0 22.2 7.8 264.0 123.3 102.7 44.9 -6.8 281.7 148.6 100.7 5.4 27.0 162.5 38.2 89.7 10.1 24.5 196.6 17.3 97.5 26.6 55.3 9.7 69.8 14.7 23.7 17.1 74.3 8.4 57.9 16.8 95.5 18.4 62.3 9.7 177.3 19.4 97.8 -11.5 180.6 24.7 62.5 -8.5 204.9 9.4 65.1 -12.3 177.0 29.8 84.8 -24.1 187.0 29.0 19.1 -.9 153.6 30.4 81.0 -8.9 123.3 -5.5 172.9 -10.1 86.3 4.1 82.2 1.5 119.9 17.1 58.2 67.8 17.3 74.9 8.4 101.5 1.2 178.1 9.6 185.8 4.3 193.5 -8.7 196.8 -.1 185.5 12.3 167.5 13.9 137.4 -1.0 84.7 4.9 140.2 9.7 Private domestic funds advanced n Total net advances 14 U . S . government securities 15 State and local obligations 16 Corporate and foreign bonds 17 Residential mortgages 18 Other mortgages and loans 19 LESS: Federal Home Loan Bank advances 514.2 225.4 53.7 14.5 58.3 155.1 -7.0 676.4 234.9 50.4 35.1 105.3 266.3 15.7 756.0 286.2 136.4 40.8 91.8 214.9 14.2 714.1 324.1 30.8 84.1 84.1 210.8 19.8 614.5 262.2 34.5 86.5 92.8 162.9 24.4 465.9 299.0 38.7 100.4 56.7 -18.0 11.0 669.1 286.9 33.1 58.8 105.0 204.8 19.6 638.7 252.2 32.7 83.7 89.3 203.0 22.2 684.2 210.9 33.5 102.9 120.0 261.7 44.9 586.5 215.0 24.8 115.7 98.7 137.7 5.4 631.2 134.1 32.6 88.1 152.4 234.1 10.1 713.7 318.4 44.4 68.6 146.1 162.8 26.6 Private financial intermediation 20 Credit market funds advanced by private financial institutions 71 Commercial banking 22 Savings institutions 23 Insurance and pension funds 24 Other finance 394.7 144.3 135.6 100.1 14.7 581.0 168.9 150.2 121.8 140.1 569.8 186.3 83.0 148.9 151.6 746.3 194.8 105.5 181.9 264.3 564.9 136.3 140.4 210.8 77.3 521.5 -56.2 89.9 266.3 221.6 549.7 198.0 132.0 178.0 41.7 639.7 150.9 188.7 246.2 54.0 548.5 252.6 151.0 152.8 -7.9 674.9 56.0 87.9 282.4 248.6 615.7 213.3 120.7 235.3 46.5 606.4 132.3 166.4 217.6 90.1 75 Sources of funds 26 Private domestic deposits and RPs 27 Credit market borrowing 7,8 Other sources 79 Foreign funds 30 Treasury balances 31 Insurance and pension reserves Other, net 32 394.7 210.4 31.4 152.9 14.6 -5.3 115.0 28.7 581.0 321.9 73.8 185.3 8.8 4.0 124.0 48.5 569.8 210.6 96.7 262.5 19.7 10.3 131.9 100.7 746.5 264.7 119.1 362.7 12.9 1.7 144.3 203.8 564.9 146.2 117.2 301.4 43.7 -5.8 175.0 88.6 521.5 -17.1 146.5 392.1 14.9 -36.9 195.1 219.0 549.7 141.1 119.9 288.6 35.1 43.6 191.1 18.9 639.7 193.9 120.8 325.0 99.5 6.1 194.8 24.6 548.5 266.8 81.7 200.0 25.2 -36.1 118.9 91.9 674.9 287.7 81.6 305.6 -80.1 53.3 247.6 84.8 615.7 127.3 165.4 323.0 106.6 -17.5 207.8 26.1 606.4 206.1 108.9 291.3 -39.2 -1.9 173.7 158.6 Private domestic nonfinancial investors 33 Direct lending in credit markets 34 U . S . government securities 35 State and local obligations 36 Corporate and foreign bonds 37 Open market paper Other 38 150.9 91.0 38.8 -8.3 12.4 17.0 169.2 115.4 26.5 -.8 4.0 24.2 282.9 175.7 39.6 2.4 45.6 19.6 86.7 50.1 -13.6 32.6 -3.0 20.7 166.8 103.2 46.1 5.1 7.9 4.6 90.9 52.1 27.8 9.3 -1.9 3.6 239.3 170.1 58.1 -58.6 64.2 5.6 119.8 70.9 42.4 28.3 -23.3 1.6 217.3 119.6 56.0 41.5 -7.5 7.7 -6.9 117.6 1.5 -40.6 -65.6 -19.7 180.9 23.8 29.7 52.7 77.7 -3.0 216.2 160.0 39.1 -25.9 40.5 2.5 39 Deposits and currency 40 Currency 41 Checkable deposits 42 Small time and savings accounts 43 Money market fund shares 44 Large time deposits 45 Security RPs 46 Deposits in foreign countries 227.8 14.3 28.8 215.4 -39.0 -8.3 13.5 3.1 325.4 8.6 28.0 150.7 49.0 84.3 10.0 -5.1 220.9 12.4 40.9 138.4 8.9 7.7 14.6 -2.1 285.0 14.4 93.2 120.6 41.5 -11.5 20.8 5.9 162.4 19.0 -2.4 75.9 28.2 27.6 16.9 -2.8 -46.6 9.4 -98.7 31.3 14.4 13.7 22.1 -38.9 149.2 12.5 40.3 69.3 2.4 4.8 24.3 -4.4 229.3 17.3 34.5 79.9 32.7 .2 46.6 18.1 317.6 36.8 14.4 123.1 63.3 91.6 -25.6 13.9 282.7 8.2 4.2 195.1 59.1 12.0 17.3 -13.3 134.9 11.9 21.5 125.5 -34.8 -7.6 22.7 -4.3 256.7 17.5 -.6 102.1 13.0 92.0 -.4 33.1 47 Total of credit market instruments, deposits, and currency 378.7 494.6 503.7 371.8 329.2 44.3 388.5 349.1 534.9 275.8 315.8 472.9 20.9 76.8 38.2 20.8 85.9 66.7 22.8 75.4 82.0 36.2 104.5 110.7 37.4 91.9 106.2 49.9 112.0 80.0 37.2 82.2 119.9 31.8 100.2 118.7 33.8 80.2 106.2 38.5 115.1 92.8 22.9 97.6 188.9 25.5 85.0 19.0 MEMO: Corporate equities not included above 51 Total net issues 58.1 -36.0 20.1 93.9 13.3 170.1 13.9 -47.1 -83.6 -73.7 -141.0 -70.3 57. Mutual fund shares 53 Other equities 54 Acquisitions by financial institutions 55 Other net purchases 27.2 30.8 50.4 7.7 29.3 -65.3 15.8 -51.8 84.4 -64.3 45.6 -25.5 161.8 -68.0 48.5 45.4 72.3 -59.0 22.6 -9.3 205.4 -35.3 29.2 140.9 79.1 -65.2 72.6 -58.7 13.8 -60.9 5.2 -52.4 -9.1 -74.6 -16.5 -67.1 5.0 -78.7 -33.0 -40.7 -8.1 -132.9 -10.1 -131.0 6.0 -76.3 -9.4 -61.0 Total advanced, by sector U . S . government Sponsored credit agencies Monetary authorities Foreign Agency and foreign borrowing not in line 1 11 Sponsored credit agencies and mortgage pools 12 Foreign 7 8 9 10 48 49 50 Public holdings as percent of total Private financial intermediation (in percent) Total foreign funds NOTES BY LINE NUMBER. 1. Line 1 of table 1.57. 2. Sum of lines 3 - 6 or 7-10. 6. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 11. Credit market funds raised by federally sponsored credit agencies, and net issues of federally related mortgage pool securities. 13. Line 1 less line 2 plus line 11 and 12. Also line 20 less line 27 plus line 33. Also sum of lines 28 and 47 less lines 40 and 46. 18. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 26, Line 39 less lines 40 and 46. 27. Excludes equity issues and investment company shares. Includes line 19. 29. Foreign deposits at commercial banks, bank borrowings from foreign branches, and liabilities of foreign banking agencies to foreign affiliates, less claims on foreign affiliates and deposits by banking in foreign banks. 30. Demand deposits and note balances at commercial banks. 31. Excludes net investment of these reserves in corporate equities. 32. Mainly retained earnings and net miscellaneous liabilities. 33. Line 13 less line 20 plus line 27. 34-38. Lines 14-18 less amounts acquired by private finance plus amounts borrowed by private finance. Line 38 includes mortgages. 40. Mainly an offset to line 9. 47. Lines 33 plus 39, or line 13 less line 28 plus 40 and 46. 48. Line 2/line 1. 49. Line 20/line 13. 50. Sum of lines 10 and 29. 51. 53. Includes issues by financial institutions. NOTE. Full statements for sectors and transaction types in flows and in amounts outstanding may be obtained from Flow of Funds Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A46 1.59 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1989 SUMMARY OF CREDIT MARKET DEBT OUTSTANDING Billions of dollars; period-end levels. 1987 1988 Q3 Q2 Ql Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Nonfinancial sectors 1 Total credit market debt owed by domestic nonfinancial sectors 5,204.3 5,953.7 6,797.0 7,618.1 7,725.8 7,917.4 8,074.1 8,301.3 8,444.3 8,629.8 8,817.3 By sector and instrument 2 U.S. government Treasury securities J 4 Agency issues and mortgages 1,177.9 1,174.4 3.6 1,376.8 1,373.4 3.4 1,600.4 1,597.1 3.3 1,815.4 1,811.7 3.6 1,843.9 1,839.3 4.6 1,875.3 1,871.2 4.2 1,897.0 1,893.1 3.9 1,959.2 1,954.1 5.2 2,001.8 1,996.7 5.0 2,020.4 2,013.5 7.0 2,063.8 2,051.6 12.2 4,026.4 2,717.8 471.7 423.0 1,823.1 1,200.2 158.8 350.4 113.7 4,577.0 3,040.0 522.1 469.2 2,048.8 1,336.2 183.6 416.5 112.4 5,196.6 3,488.4 658.4 542.9 2,287.1 1,490.2 213.0 478.1 105.9 5,802.7 3,946.4 689.2 664.2 2,593.0 1,699.6 246.3 551.4 95.8 5,881.9 4,065.6 696.9 696.4 2,672.2 1,730.4 254.2 594.8 92.8 6,042.1 4,189.4 705.2 718.5 2,765.7 1,800.7 259.9 613.8 91.3 6,177.1 4,296.9 715.5 743.7 2,837.7 1,853.8 264.9 629.0 90.0 6,342.1 4,404.5 723.7 764.1 2,916.6 1,908.7 269.9 649.2 88.9 6,442.6 4,479.3 728.0 789.4 2,961.8 1,939.7 273.8 660.2 88.2 6,609.4 4,596.7 735.8 819.1 3,041.9 2,000.4 278.1 675.5 87.9 6,753.5 4,715.0 749.4 841.7 3,123.8 2,056.6 285.6 692.5 89.2 5 Private domestic nonfinancial sectors 6 Debt capital instruments 7 Tax-exempt obligations 8 Corporate bonds 9 Mortgages 10 Home mortgages 11 Multifamily residential 12 Commercial 13 Farm 14 15 16 17 18 Other debt instruments Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other 1,308.6 437.7 490.2 36.8 344.0 1,536.9 519.3 552.9 58.5 406.2 1,708.2 601.8 592.6 72.2 441.6 1,856.3 656.2 658.6 62.9 478.6 1,816.4 643.3 627.7 63.6 481.7 1,852.7 658.7 636.3 67.9 489.9 1,880.2 680.9 637.5 68.1 493.7 1,937.6 696.9 656.7 73.8 510.1 1,963.3 692.2 669.4 73.5 528.1 2,012.6 709.6 689.9 77.8 535.3 2,038.5 727.8 688.7 80.3 541.6 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 By borrowing sector State and local governments Households Nonfinancial business Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate 4,026.4 357.7 1,811.6 1,857.1 188.4 645.8 1,022.9 4,577.0 385.1 2,038.2 2,153.7 187.9 769.0 1,196.8 5,196.6 476.9 2,314.5 2,405.2 173.4 898.3 1,333.5 5,802.7 520.2 2,594.2 2,688.3 156.6 1,025.9 1,505.8 5,881.9 527.5 2,605.4 2,749.0 149.9 1,053.8 1,545.3 6,042.1 535.3 2,691.2 2,815.7 150.2 1,084.3 1,581.2 6,177.1 546.2 2,762.8 2,868.1 148.5 1,106.7 1,612.9 6,342.1 554.7 2,836.6 2,950.9 144.9 1,141.7 1,664.3 6,442.6 558.3 2,866.2 3,018.1 141.5 1,165.2 1,711.5 6,609.4 565.7 2,945.7 3,097.9 144.0 1,186.0 1,767.8 6,753.5 578.5 3,016.4 3,158.5 145.0 1,211.9 1,801.6 227.3 64.2 37.4 21.5 104.1 235.1 68.0 30.8 27.7 108.6 236.7 71.8 27.9 33.9 103.0 238.2 74.8 26.9 37.4 99.1 236.7 75.1 26.0 37.3 98.3 236.8 74.6 25.4 35.6 101.2 238.9 75.9 24.2 40.6 98.2 244.3 81.6 23.3 41.2 98.1 245.1 85.4 22.8 42.5 94.4 246.3 85.2 22.4 44.0 94.7 247.8 86.7 22.0 46.3 92.8 5,431.6 6,188.8 7,033.7 7,856.3 7,962.5 8,154.2 8,313.1 8,545.6 8,689.4 8,876.1 9,065.1 26 Foreign credit market debt held in United States Bonds Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper U.S. government loans 27 28 29 30 31 Total domestic plus foreign Financial sectors 32 Total credit market debt owed by financial sectors 857.9 1,006.2 1,206.2 1,510.8 1,621.8 1,710.0 1,783.8 1,862.6 1,903.8 1,972.6 2,035.7 456.7 206.8 244.9 5.0 401.2 115.8 2.1 28.9 195.5 59.0 531.2 237.2 289.0 5.0 475.0 148.9 2.5 29.5 219.5 74.6 632.7 257.8 368.9 6.1 573.4 197.5 2.7 32.1 252.4 88.8 810.3 273.0 531.6 5.7 700.5 268.4 2.7 36.1 284.6 108.6 887.1 268.4 613.7 5.0 734.8 293.4 2.8 36.5 295.2 106.8 937.1 275.8 656.4 5.0 772.9 304.6 2.9 40.1 311.1 114.3 981.6 283.7 692.9 5.0 802.1 324.2 2.9 42.2 312.7 120.1 1,026.5 303.2 718.3 5.0 836.1 335.5 3.0 40.8 323.8 133.1 1,054.8 313.5 736.3 5.0 849.0 353.2 3.1 31.7 331.5 129.5 1,076.9 317.9 754.0 5.0 895.7 370.0 3.1 34.3 353.4 134.8 1,113.7 328.5 780.2 5.0 922.0 386.8 3.1 33.9 356.8 141.6 43 Total, by sector 857.9 1,006.2 1,206.2 1,510.8 1,621.8 1,710.0 1,783.8 1,862.6 1,903.8 1,972.6 2,035.7 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 211.8 244.9 401.2 76.8 71.0 73.9 171.7 3.5 4.2 242.2 289.0 475.0 84.1 86.6 93.2 193.2 4.3 13.5 263.9 368.9 573.4 79.2 101.2 115.5 246.9 5.6 25.0 278.7 531.6 700.5 75.6 101.3 145.1 308.1 6.5 64.0 273.4 613.7 734.8 76.1 109.0 146.6 315.4 7.0 80.7 280.7 656.4 772.9 80.7 108.7 157.0 328.8 6.8 90.9 288.7 692.9 802.1 78.6 109.5 165.4 339.9 7.3 101.6 308.2 718.3 836.1 82.7 104.2 181.1 357.0 8.1 103.1 318.5 736.3 849.0 76.4 104.4 177.4 368.3 8.7 113.9 322.9 754.0 895.7 77.2 106.5 187.3 393.8 9.1 121.7 333.5 780.2 922.0 75.4 105.8 198.0 406.3 9.6 127.0 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 By instrument U.S. government related Sponsored credit agency securities Mortgage pool securities Loans from U.S. government Private financial sectors Corporate bonds Mortgages Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Loans from Federal Home Loan B a n k s . . . Sponsored credit agencies Mortgage pools Private financial sectors Commercial banks Bank affiliates Savings and loan associations Finance companies REITs CMO issuers All sectors 53 Total credit market debt 6,289.5 7,195.0 8,239.8 9,367.2 9,584.3 9,864.2 10,096.9 10,408.1 10,593.3 10,848.6 11,100.8 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 1,629.4 471.7 603.0 1,825.4 437.7 556.5 253.8 512.1 1,902.8 522.1 686.0 2,051.4 519.3 613.2 305.7 594.4 2,227.0 658.4 812.1 2,289.8 601.8 652.6 358.5 639.5 2,620.0 689.2 1,007.4 2,595.8 656.2 721.6 384.9 692.0 2,726.0 696.9 1,064.9 2,675.1 643.3 690.3 396.1 691.8 2,807.4 705.2 1,097.7 2,768.6 658.7 701.7 414.6 710.4 2,873.7 715.5 1,143.9 2,840.6 680.9 703.8 421.4 717.0 2,980.7 723.7 1,181.2 2,919.7 696.9 720.8 438.8 746.3 3,051.6 728.0 1,228.1 2,964.9 692.2 723.9 447.5 757.0 3,092.3 735.8 1,274.2 3,045.0 709.6 746.6 475.3 769.8 3,172.5 749.4 1,315.2 3,127.0 727.8 744.6 483.4 780.9 U.S. government securities State and local obligations Corporate and foreign bonds Mortgages Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans Flow of Funds 1.60 A45 SUMMARY OF CREDIT MARKET CLAIMS, BY HOLDER Billions of dollars, except as noted; period-end levels. 1988 1987 Transaction category, or sector I Total funds advanced in credit markets to domestic nonfinancial sectors 1983 1984 1985 1986 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 5,204.3 5,953.7 6,797.0 7,618.1 7,725.8 7,917.4 8,074.1 8,301.3 8,444.3 8,629.8 8,817.3 1,101.7 339.0 367.0 59.0 336.8 1,259.2 377.9 423.5 74.6 383.1 1,459.4 421.8 518.2 88.8 430.6 1,759.3 491.2 678.5 108.6 481.0 1,847.6 502.3 758.9 106.8 479.6 1,918.0 519.5 800.0 114.3 484.3 1,967.0 525.6 834.6 120.1 486.8 2,037.8 559.4 862.0 133.1 483.4 2,098.6 592.7 884.8 129.5 491.5 2,144.4 606.1 906.1 134.8 497.4 2,192.8 607.1 932.2 141.6 511.9 7 Total held, by type of lender 8 U . S . government 9 Sponsored credit agencies and mortgage pools . . . Monetary authority 10 11 Foreign 1,101.7 212.8 482.0 159.2 247.7 1,259.2 229.7 556.3 167.6 305.6 1,459.4 247.6 657.8 186.0 367.9 1,759.3 254.3 833.9 205.5 465.7 1,847.6 249.2 912.0 204.1 482.3 1,918.0 242.9 957.9 214.9 502.3 1,967.0 237.1 1,003.7 219.6 506.7 2,037.8 235.4 1,044.1 230.1 528.2 2,098.6 233.7 1,068.2 224.9 571.8 2,144.4 232.0 1,091.6 229.7 591.1 2,192.8 232.6 1,124.2 230.8 605.3 Agency and foreign debt not in line 1 Sponsored credit agencies and mortgage pools . . . Foreign 456.7 227.3 531.2 235.1 632.7 236.7 810.3 238.2 887.1 236.7 937.1 236.8 981.6 238.9 1,026.5 244.3 1,054.8 245.1 1,076.9 246.3 1,113.7 247.8 Private domestic holdings 14 Total private holdings 15 U.S. government securities 16 State and local obligations 17 Corporate and foreign bonds 18 Residential mortgages 19 Other mortgages and loans LESS: Federal Home Loan Bank advances 20 4,786.6 1,290.4 471.7 441.7 992.2 1,649.6 59.0 5,460.8 1,524.9 522.1 476.8 1,096.5 1,915.2 74.6 6,207.0 1,805.2 658.4 517.6 1,185.1 2,129.5 88.8 6,907.3 2,128.7 689.2 601.7 1,267.4 2,328.9 108.6 7,002.0 2,223.7 696.9 626.0 1,225.8 2,336.4 106.8 7,173.2 2,287.9 705.2 642.4 1,260.6 2,391.5 114.3 7,327.7 2,348.1 715.5 663.4 1,284.2 2,436.6 120.1 7,534.2 2,421.3 723.7 688.1 1,316.7 2,517.4 133.1 7,645.7 2,458.9 728.0 716.3 1,328.7 2,543.3 129.5 7,808.6 2,486.3 735.8 740.1 1,372.4 2,608.9 134.8 7,985.9 2,565.3 749.4 757.3 1,410.0 2,645.5 141.6 Private financial intermediation 21 Credit market claims held by private financial institutions Commercial banking 22 Savings institutions 23 24 Insurance and pension funds 25 Other finance 4,111.2 1,622.1 944.0 1,093.5 451.6 4,691.0 1,791.1 1,092.8 1,215.3 591.7 5,264.4 1,978.5 1,178.4 1,364.2 743.4 6,009.5 2,173.2 1,283.0 1,546.0 1,007.3 6,126.1 2,155.9 1,308.4 1,608.7 1,053.1 6,277.5 2,207.9 1,355.4 1,652.6 1,061.5 6,433.5 2,248.7 1,396.5 1,715.3 1,073.0 6,585.2 2,309.6 1,434.2 1,756.9 1,084.6 6,723.0 2,322.1 1,440.3 1,823.0 1,137.6 6,892.6 2,377.5 1,486.8 1,880.9 1,147.5 7,042.6 2,414.3 1,523.4 1,937.2 1,167.7 26 Sources of funds Private domestic deposits and RPs 27 Credit market debt 28 4,111.2 2,389.8 401.2 4,691.0 2,711.5 475.0 5,264.4 2,922.1 573.4 6,009.5 3,182.6 700.5 6,126.1 3,165.0 734.8 6,277.5 3,198.6 772.9 6,433.5 3,234.4 802.1 6,585.2 3,328.8 836.1 6,723.0 3,385.7 849.0 6,892.6 3,417.0 895.7 7,042.6 3,455.1 922.0 29 30 31 32 33 1,320.2 -23.0 11.5 1,036.1 295.6 1,504.5 -14.1 15.5 1,160.8 342.2 1,768.9 5.6 25.8 1,289.5 448.0 2,126.4 18.6 27.5 1,427.9 652.5 2,226.3 26.7 8.6 1,461.8 729.2 2,305.9 26.1 30.9 1,507.5 741.4 2,397.0 52.7 33.0 1,552.8 758.5 2,420.4 62.2 21.6 1,592.2 744.3 2,488.4 45.9 23.5 1,656.3 762.8 2,579.9 62.3 32.6 1,706.7 778.3 2,665.6 54.8 31.5 1,751.9 827.4 Private domestic nonfinancial investors 34 Credit market claims 35 U . S . government securities Tax-exempt obligations 36 37 Corporate and foreign bonds 38 Open market paper Other 39 1,076.6 548.6 170.0 45.4 68.4 244.3 1,244.8 663.6 196.3 44.5 72.4 268.0 1,516.0 830.7 235.9 47.6 118.0 283.8 1,598.3 881.2 222.3 80.1 115.0 299.7 1,610.7 912.0 226.2 88.8 115.5 268.1 1,668.7 950.4 243.1 71.4 132.6 271.2 1,696.3 969.4 255.9 80.6 118.7 271.9 1,785.0 1,014.7 268.4 85.3 143.5 273.2 1,771.6 1,025.7 265.6 82.7 127.8 269.9 1,811.6 1,027.0 275.3 93.0 148.5 267.9 1,865.3 1,071.4 287.3 88.4 149.6 268.5 40 Deposits and currency 41 Currency 42 Checkable deposits 43 Small time and savings accounts 44 Money market fund shares Large time deposits 45 Security RPs 46 47 Deposits in foreign countries 2,566.4 150.9 350.9 1,542.9 169.5 247.7 78.8 25.7 2,891.7 159.6 378.8 1,693.5 218.5 332.1 88.7 20.6 3,112.5 171.9 419.7 1,831.9 227.3 339.8 103.3 18.5 3,393.4 186.3 512.9 1,948.3 268.9 328.4 124.1 24.5 3,364.7 185.3 468.5 1,965.2 281.3 323.4 126.6 14.4 3,405.6 191.3 488.0 1,977.7 279.5 322.5 130.9 15.7 3,444.5 192.4 487.2 1,990.8 286.4 326.3 143.6 17.8 3,555.7 205.4 510.5 2,024.2 297.1 356.0 141.0 21.6 3,607.4 204.0 491.1 2,079.4 322.1 351.0 142.1 17.8 3,646.4 209.9 506.8 2,107.9 310.4 346.1 145.9 19.4 3,690.7 210.7 497.3 2,126.8 311.1 372.4 147.4 25.0 48 Total of credit market instruments, deposits, and currency 3,643.0 4,136.5 4,628.5 4,991.7 4,975.4 5,074.2 5,140.8 5,340.8 5,379.0 5,458.0 5,556.1 20.3 85.9 224.7 20.3 85.9 291.5 20.7 84.8 373.5 22.4 87.0 484.2 23.2 87.5 509.0 23.5 87.5 528.4 23.7 87.8 559.4 23.8 87.4 590.5 24.2 87.9 617.6 24.2 88.3 653.4 24.2 88.2 660.0 2 3 4 5 6 12 13 49 50 51 By public agencies and foreign Total held U . S . government securities Residential mortgages FHLB advances to savings and loans Other loans and securities Other sources Foreign funds Treasury balances Insurance and pension reserves Other, net Public holdings as percent of total Private financial intermediation (in percent) Total foreign funds MEMO: Corporate equities not included above 52 Total market value 2,134.0 2,158.2 2,824.5 3,362.0 3,990.2 4,110.0 4,300.8 3,313.4 3,494.8 3,612.6 3,577.5 53 54 Mutual fund shares Other equities 112.1 2,021.9 136.7 2,021.5 240.2 2,584.3 413.5 2,948.5 485.2 3,505.0 520.7 3,589.3 525.1 3,775.7 460.1 2,853.2 479.2 3,015.7 486.8 3,125.9 483.9 3,093.6 55 56 Holdings by financial institutions Other holdings 612.0 1,522.0 615.6 1,542.6 800.0 2,024.5 972.2 2,389.8 1,175.7 2,814.5 1,238.9 2,871.1 1,312.5 2,988.4 1,021.7 2,291.7 1,087.1 2,407.7 1,133.8 2,478.9 1,133.0 2,444.4 N O T E S BY LINE N U M B E R . 1. Line 1 of table 1.59. 2. Sum of lines 3 - 6 or 7-10. 6. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 12. Credit market debt of federally sponsored agencies, and net issues of federally related mortgage pool securities. 14. Line 1 less line 2 plus line 12 and 13. Also line 21 less line 28 plus line 34. Also sum of lines 29 and 48 less lines 41 and 47. 19. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 27. Line 40 less lines 41 and 47. 28. Excludes equity issues and investment company shares. Includes line 20. 30. Foreign deposits at commercial banks plus bank borrowings from foreign affiliates, less claims on foreign affiliates and deposits by banking in foreign banks. 31. Demand deposits and note balances at commercial banks. 32. Excludes net investment of these reserves in corporate equities. 33. Mainly retained earnings and net miscellaneous liabilities. 34. Line 14 less line 21 plus line 28. 35-39. Lines 15-19 less amounts acquired by private finance plus amounts borrowed by private finance. Line 39 includes mortgages. 41. Mainly an offset to line 10. 48. Lines 34 plus 40, or line 14 less line 29 plus 41 and 47. 49. Line 2/line 1 and 13. 50. Line 21/line 14. 51. Sum of lines 11 and 30. 52-54. Includes issues by financial institutions. NOTE. Full statements for sectors and transaction types in flows and in amounts outstanding may be obtained from Flow of Funds Section, Stop 95, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A46 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1989 2.10 NONFINANCIAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY Selected Measures1 1977 = 100; monthly and quarterly data are seasonally adjusted. Exceptions noted. 1988 Measure 1986 1987 1989 1988 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov.' Dec.' Jan. 1 Industrial production 125.1 129.8 137.2 136.1 136.5 138.0 138.5 138.6 139.4 139.9 140.6 141.1 Market groupings Products, total Final, total Consumer goods Equipment Intermediate Materials 133.3 132.5 124.0 143.6 136.2 113.8 138.3 136.8 127.7 148.8 143.5 118.2 145.9 144.3 133.9 158.2 151.5 125.3 145.0 143.5 132.7 157.7 150.4 123.9 145.3 144.0 133.0 158.5 150.0 124.5 146.5 145.0 134.2 159.4 151.6 126.4 147.3 145.8 135.0 160.1 152.3 126.5 147.4 145.8 134.8 160.4 152.9 126.5 148.1 146.4 136.4 159.7 154.0 127.5 148.3 146.7 136.7 159.9 154.2 128.3 149.4 147.6 138.0 160.3 155.4 128.7 150.1 148.2 138.9 160.5 156.8 128.7 129.1 134.6 142.8 141.8 142.1 143.6 144.0 144.4 145.3 145.9 146.6 147.4 79.7 78.6 81.1 80.5 83.5 83.7 83.3 83.0 83.3 83.2 84.0 84.4 84.0 84.3 84.0 84.1 84.3 84.7 84.4 85.0 84.6 85.2 84.8 85.0 158.0 164.0" 161.0" i66.o" 169.0r 2 3 4 5 6 7 Industry groupings 8 Manufacturing Capacity utilization (percent) 2 9 Manufacturing Industrial materials industries 10 11 Construction contracts (1982 = 100)3 160.0" 162.0' 157.0" 164.0 158.0 163.0 155.0 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Nonagricultural employment, total Goods-producing, total Manufacturing, total Manufacturing, production-worker Service-producing Personal income, total Wages and salary disbursements Manufacturing Disposable personal income Retail sales 120.7 100.9 96.3 91.2 129.0 219.7 210.7 177.4 218.9 199.5 124.1 101.8 96.8 92.1 133.4 235.1 226.2 183.8 232.7 209.3 128.6 105.0 99.2 94.3 138.5 252.8 245.2 196.0 251.8 222.9" 127.9 104.6 99.0 94.1 137.7 250.2 242.3 193.8 249.5 221.2 128.6 105.1 99.3 94.4 138.4 251.6 244.2 195.4 251.2 222.5 128.9 105.4 99.5 94.6 138.7 253.5' 246.7 196.6 253.1 223.7 129.1 105.3 99.4 94.4 139.0 254.5 247.4 196.8 254.2 224.4 129.4 105.4 99.3 94.3 139.5 256.0 249.0 198.1 255.6 223.7 129.7 105.8 99.8 94.9 139.8 259.9 252.3 202.3 259.7 227.4 130.3 106.2 100.1 95.2 140.3 259.4 253.2 201.3 259.0 230.3 130.5 106.4 100.3 95.3 140.6 261.8 254.8 201.2 261.5 230.1 131.0 107.0 100.5 95.7 141.1 266.4 257.8 202.8 265.9 231.4 22 23 Prices 7 Consumer (1982-84 = 100) Producer finished goods (1982 = 100) . . . 109.6 103.2 113.6 105.4 118.3 108.0 117.5 107.5 118.0 107.7' 118.5 108.6' 119.0 108.7' 119.8 108.6 120.2 109.3 120.3 109.7 120.5 110.0 121.1 111.0 4 1. A major revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in July 1985. See "A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production" and accompanying tables that contain revised indexes ( 1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) t h r o u g h D e c e m b e r 1 9 8 4 i n t h e F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B U L L E T I N , v o l . 71 (July 1985), pp. 487-501. The revised indexes for January through June 1985 were shown in the September BULLETIN. 2. Ratios of indexes of production to indexes of capacity. Based on data from Federal Reserve, McGraw-Hill Economics Department, Department of Commerce, and other sources. 3. Index of dollar value of total construction contracts, including residential, nonresidential and heavy engineering, from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. 4. Based on data in Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). Series covers employees only, excluding personnel in the Armed Forces. 5. Based on data in Survey of Current Business (U.S. Department of Commerce). 6. Based on Bureau of Census data published in Survey of Current Business. 7. Data without seasonal adjustment, as published in Monthly Labor Review. Seasonally adjusted data for changes in the price indexes may be obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. NOTE. Basic data (not index numbers) for series mentioned in notes 4, 5,and 6, and indexes for series mentioned in notes 3 and 7 may also be found in the Survey of Current Business. Figures for industrial production for the last two months are preliminary and estimated, respectively. Selected Measures 2.11 A47 LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, A N D U N E M P L O Y M E N T Thousands of persons; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. Exceptions noted. 1988 Category 1986 1987 1989 1988 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec/ Jan. HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA 1 Noninstitutional population 1 2 Labor force (including Armed Forces) 1 3 Civilian labor force Employment 4 Nonagricultural industries 3 Agriculture Unemployment Number 6 7 Rate (percent of civilian labor f o r c e ) . . . . 8 Not in labor force 182,822 185,010 186,837 186,755 186,911 187,033 187,178 187,333 187,471 187,618 187,859 120,078 117,834 122,122 119,865 123,893 121,669 123,717 121,524 123,840 121,658 124,203 122,000 124,200 121,984 124,310 122,091 124,737 122,510 124,779 122,563 125,643 123,428 106,434 3,163 109,232 3,208 111,800 3,169 111,880 3,121 111,974 3,060 112,061 3,142 112,194 3,176 112,335 3,238 112,709 3,238 112,816 3,193 113,411 3,300 8,237 7.0 62,744 7,425 6.2 62,888 6,701 5.5 62,944 6,523 5.4 63,038 6,624 5.4 63,071 6,797 5.6 62,830 6,614 5.4 62,978 6,518 5.3 63,023 6,563 5.4 62,734 6,554 5.3 62,839 6,716 5.4 62,216 99,525 102,310 106,039 106,057 106,271 106,425 106,737 106,973 107,419 107,640 108,048 18,965 777 4,816 5,255 23,683 6,283 23,053 16,693 19,065 721 4,998 5,385 24,381 6,549 24,1% 17,015 19,536 733 5,294 5,584 25,362 6,679 25,464 17,387 19,544 740 5,308 5,582 25,353 6,679 25,472 17,379 19,593 740 5,330 5,598 25,435 6,684 25,561 17,330 19,560 739 5,340 5,605 25,471 6,689 25,662 17,359 19,549 734 5,365 5,618 25,510 6,692 25,737 17,532 19,648 729 5,366 5,631 25,573 6,708 25,826 17,492 19,714 722 5,413 5,658 25,676 6,725 25,947 17,564 19,737 719 5,436 5,667 25,727 6,743 26,065 17,546 19,783 719 5,538 5,713 25,893 6,735 26,139 17,528 ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY DATA 9 Nonagricultural payroll employment 3 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Manufacturing Mining Contract construction Transportation and public utilities Trade Finance Service Government 1. Persons 16 years of age and over. Monthly figures, which are based on sample data, relate to the calendar week that contains the 12th day; annual data are averages of monthly figures. By definition, seasonality does not exist in population figures. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). 2. Includes self-employed, unpaid family, and domestic service workers. 3. Data include all full- and part-time employees who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that includes the 12th day of the month, and exclude proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, unpaid family workers, and members of the Armed Forces. Data are adjusted to the March 1984 benchmark and only seasonally adjusted data are available at this time. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). A48 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1989 2.12 OUTPUT, CAPACITY, AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION1 Seasonally adjusted 1988 1988 1988 Series Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Output (1977 = 100) Ql Q2 Q4 Q3 Ql Capacity (percent of 1977 output) Q2 Q3 Q4r Utilization rate (percent) 1 Total industry 134.5 136.0 138.2 139.8 163.1 164.2 165.2 166.2 82.4 82.8 83.8 84.2 2 Mining 102.5 114.7 103.3 111.7 104.8 103.9 127.7 127.0 114.6 139.8 140.1 125.5 140.7 80.3 82.0 81.5 79.9 82.3 114.9 126.2 140.4 82.8 80.8 139.6 141.6 143.7 145.7 168.9 170.2 171.5 172.7 82.7 83.2 5 Primary processing 123.0 149.7 123.9 152.3 125.7 154.5 127.9 156.4 141.6 185.6 142.7 186.7 143.9 188.1 145.1 189.4 86.9 80.7 86.8 81.5 87.5 82.4 88.2 82.7 6 Advanced processing 122.5 124.0 126.6 128.1 148.5 149.3 150.1 150.9 82.5 83.0 84.3 85.0 131.5 86.2 129.4 131.6 145.7 133.5 134.2 88.1 130.5 132.6 145.9 135.7 136.9 92.4 132.4 135.1 139.3 94.8 135.5 138.3 165.7 108.8 146.8 146.7 147.6 153.5 166.8 109.1 148.3 148.5 149.2 155.4 167.9 109.4 149.8 150.2 169.0 109.7 151.4 152.0 79.4 79.2 88.1 89.7 98.7 87.0 80.4 80.8 87.9 89.2 97.8 87.3 81.6 84.8 88.7 90.0 98.8 88.6 82.6 86.9 89.6 91.2 97.4 90.8 100.9 100.4 103.5 102.0 119.7 119.4 119.1 118.8 84.3 84.2 86.0 85.8 3 Utilities 4 Manufacturing 7 Materials 8 Durable goods 9 Metal materials 10 Nondurable goods 11 Textile, paper, and chemical 12 Paper 14 Energy materials Previous c y c l e High Low 2 Latest cycle 3 1988 Low Jan. High 81.9 84.0 1988 May June July Aug. 84.4 1989 Sept. Oct/ Nov/ Dec/ Jan. Capacity utilization rate (percent) 15 Total industry 88.6 72.1 86.9 69.5 82.5 82.9 83.0 83.7 83.8 83.7 84.0 84.1 84.4 84.4 16 Mining 92.8 95.6 87.8 82.9 95.2 88.5 76.9 78.0 80.7 82.4 80.8 79.7 81.2 80.8 82.5 81.5 82.2 83.9 82.3 r 80.4 R 81.9 81.0 83.1 80.4 83.3 81.0 82.5 80.4 17 Utilities 18 Manufacturing 19 Primary processing 20 Advanced p r o c e s s i n g . . 21 Materials 22 Durable goods 23 Metal materials 24 Nondurable g o o d s 25 Textile, paper, and chemical 26 Paper 27 Energy Chemical 28 materials 87.7 69.9 86.5 68.0 82.7 83.3 83.3 84.0 84.0 84.0 84.3 84.4 84.6 84.8 91.9 86.0 68.3 71.1 89.1 85.1 65.0 69.5 87.1 80.7 87.0 81.7 86.6 81.7 87.8 82.2 87.4 82.4 87.2 82.4 87.9 82.6 88.1 82.6 88.6 82.9 89.1 83.0 92.0 70.5 89.1 68.5 83.0 83.0 83.2 84.4 84.3 84.1 84.7 85.0 85.2 85.0 91.8 99.2 64.4 67.1 89.8 93.6 60.9 45.7 79.7 80.1 80.8 82.1 80.7 80.8 81.7 84.9 81.4 83.4 81.9 86.0 82.4 87.3 82.7 87.1 82.6 86.3 83.0 87.6 91.1 66.7 88.1 70.7 88.8 87.7 87.4 88.9 88.8 88.2 89.3 89.4 90.2 90.1 92.8 98.4 92.5 64.8 70.6 64.4 89.4 97.3 87.9 68.8 79.9 63.5 90.8 100.6 87.8 88.8 98.1 86.9 88.9 97.1 87.0 90.4 100.0 88.8 90.3 98.4 89.0 89.4 97.9 88.0 90.9 97.8 90.2 90.9 96.6 90.5 91.7 97.8 91.7 91.6 94.6 86.9 94.0 82.3 84.7 83.3 84.4 86.2 86.6 85.3 85.3 86.1 86.1 84.6 1. These data also appear in the Board's G.3 (402) release. For address, s e e inside front cover. 2. Monthly high 1973; monthly l o w 1975. 3. Monthly highs 1978 through 1980; monthly lows 1982. Selected Measures 2.13 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION A49 Indexes and Gross Value1 Monthly data are seasonally adjusted 1977 Groups portion 1988 1987 1989 1987 avg. Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Sept. Oct/ Nov. Dec.p Jan/ 138.5 138.6 139.4 139.9 140.6 141.1 148.1 146.4 136.4 159.7 154.0 127.5 148.3 146.7 136.7 159.9 154.2 128.3 149.4 147.6 138.0 160.3 155.4 128.7 150.1 148.2 138.9 160.5 156.8 128.7 Aug. Index (1977 = 100) MAJOR M A R K E T 1 Total index 100.00 129.8 133.9 134.4 134.7 135.4 143.6 141.8 131.2 155.9 149.9 122.5 144.1 142.5 131.9 156.5 149.6 123.6 145.0 143.5 132.7 157.7 150.4 123.9 145.3 144.0 133.0 158.5 150.0 124.5 146.5 145.0 134.2 159.4 151.6 126.4 147.3 145.8 135.0 160.1 152.3 126.5 147.4 145.8 134.8 160.4 152.9 126.5 136.1 136.5 138.0 57.72 44.77 25.52 19.25 12.94 42.28 138.3 136.8 127.7 148.8 143.4 118.2 141.3 139.8 129.8 153.1 146.5 123.7 143.4 141.6 131.3 155.3 149.4 122.1 6.89 2.98 1.79 1.16 .63 1.19 3.91 1.24 1.19 .96 1.71 120.2 118.5 115.1 90.7 160.5 123.5 121.6 141.5 142.1 130.7 102.0 120.3 115.4 110.2 83.7 159.5 123.3 123.9 142.7 142.6 133.9 104.8 120.6 117.6 111.8 79.5 171.6 126.4 122.8 140.6 141.4 132.3 104.7 120.4 120.6 116.4 86.3 172.2 126.9 120.2 132.8 132.7 133.1 103.9 123.3 121.9 118.0 91.0 168.2 127.8 124.3 143.2 142.2 133.1 105.7 125.6 127.1 126.9 98.9 178.9 127.4 124.4 142.2 143.0 135.8 105.2 125.3 127.1 125.3 99.0 174.1 129.7 123.9 138.0 137.1 135.9 107.0 125.3 124.4 120.8 93.8 170.8 129.9 125.9 143.3 143.8 136.6 107.4 125.7 124.2 123.1 93.0 179.0 125.9 126.8 146.5 146.1 137.2 106.8 126.3 126.4 124.8 97.7 175.3 128.8 126.2 144.9 143.7 137.1 106.6 129.3 128.9 128.3 101.3 178.4 129.8 129.7 154.4 151.9 138.8 106.7 129.2 129.5 129.5 101.0 182.4 129.5 128.9 150.4 148.9 139.8 107.3 132.1 134.8 138.0 105.1 199.1 130.0 130.0 151.5 150.5 140.9 108.4 132.2 134.6 137.2 99.6 19 Nondurable consumer goods 20 Consumer staples 21 Consumer foods and tobacco 22 Nonfood staples Consumer chemical products 23 24 Consumer paper products Consumer energy 25 26 Consumer fuel 27 Residential utilities 18.63 15.29 7.80 7.49 2.75 1.88 2.86 1.44 1.42 130.5 137.3 136.2 138.5 162.9 151.8 106.3 93.1 119.8 133.3 140.7 139.2 142.2 167.7 157.0 108.0 95.4 120.7 135.3 142.9 140.8 145.0 171.7 157.5 111.3 97.0 125.8 135.1 142.5 139.4 145.7 172.7 159.1 111.0 97.9 124.5 135.1 142.5 138.3 146.8 175.6 161.4 109.6 98.9 120.5 135.4 143.1 139.2 147.0 177.9 162.4 107.3 94.3 120.6 135.8 143.5 139.3 147.9 179.5 162.8 107.7 93.0 122.6 137.5 145.3 141.1 149.6 181.8 164.0 109.3 94.6 124.4 138.5 146.6 141.3 152.1 183.8 165.3 113.0 95.5 130.9 138.0 145.8 141.1 150.7 185.0 166.3 107.6 92.7 122.8 139.0 147.0 142.4 151.8 186.1 167.1 108.9 95.3 122.7 139.5 147.6 143.6 151.8 185.2 167.8 109.2 94.1 124.5 140.2 148.6 144.4 152.9 186.1 168.3 110.9 96.3 141.3 149.6 Equipment 28 Business and defense equipment 29 Business equipment Construction, mining, and farm 30 31 Manufacturing 32 Power 33 Commercial 34 Transit 35 Defense and space equipment 18.01 14.34 2.08 3.27 1.27 5.22 2.49 3.67 153.6 144.5 62.2 117.9 82.6 226.5 108.4 188.9 157.8 149.8 67.4 122.2 84.2 235.5 109.1 188.9 160.3 152.4 67.6 124.9 88.3 240.3 108.2 191.0 160.8 153.3 68.3 127.0 87.8 239.9 111.1 189.9 161.4 154.6 70.8 127.7 87.0 241.5 112.3 187.9 162.7 156.9 71.8 128.3 87.4 245.7 115.3 185.5 163.5 158.1 72.4 130.3 88.3 247.1 115.7 184.6 164.6 159.3 73.6 132.4 89.8 248.2 115.9 184.9 165.2 160.2 73.1 134.0 90.9 249.8 115.2 184.9 165.6 160.8 74.3 135.8 92.2 248.7 116.8 184.5 165.1 160.2 74.2 136.2 91.5 245.4 120.3 184.0 165.5 161.2 74.5 136.6 92.1 246.8 121.9 182.5 166.2 162.0 75.2 137.1 92.3 247.3 124.5 182.3 166.4 162.5 75.2 138.3 92.9 248.3 123.1 181.9 5.95 6.99 5.67 1.31 131.5 153.5 158.6 131.1 133.8 157.4 163.3 131.8 137.7 159.4 165.0 135.3 137.3 160.7 166.6 135.3 137.6 159.9 165.7 134.6 138.8 160.3 165.5 137.8 137.6 160.6 165.9 137.5 138.4 162.8 168.6 137.6 138.1 164.4 170.6 137.7 138.4 165.2 171.8 136.7 140.0 165.9 172.3 138.2 141.0 165.4 172.7 133.7 141.4 167.2 174.1 137.6 143.4 20.50 4.92 5.94 9.64 4.64 125.0 100.9 159.0 116.4 86.7 132.0 104.6 165.3 125.5 100.0 131.4 104.4 167.6 123.0 91.4 131.3 103.5 167.3 123.4 90.5 132.7 106.2 168.9 124.0 91.6 134.8 110.0 170.8 125.3 94.8 134.9 110.3 171.6 124.8 93.7 136.8 110.1 174.1 127.5 98.4 136.6 109.8 173.5 127.6 97.3 137.8 111.0 174.0 129.2 100.3 138.9 111.4 174.9 130.8 101.1 139.8 113.9 175.0 131.2 101.6 139.9 113.7 174.9 131.7 101.5 140.8 113.7 175.2 133.5 103.3 2 Products 3 Final products 4 Consumer goods 5 Equipment 6 Intermediate products 7 Materials Consumer goods 8 Durable consumer goods 9 Automotive products 10 Autos and trucks 11 Autos, consumer 12 Trucks, consumer 13 Auto parts and allied goods 14 Home goods Appliances, A/C and TV 15 Appliances and TV 16 17 Carpeting and furniture 18 Miscellaneous home goods Intermediate products 36 Construction supplies 37 Business supplies General business supplies 38 Commercial energy products 39 Materials 40 Durable goods materials 41 Durable consumer parts 42 Equipment parts 43 Durable materials n.e.c 44 Basic metal materials 130.7 130.4 149.9 154.1 45 Nondurable goods materials 46 Textile, paper, and chemical materials 47 Textile materials 48 Pulp and paper materials 49 Chemical materials Miscellaneous nondurable materials . . . 50 10.09 125.8 132.5 128.1 130.1 131.1 130.1 130.1 132.8 133.1 132.6 134.7 135.1 136.8 137.1 7.53 1.52 1.55 4.46 2.57 127.6 111.7 141.0 128.4 120.4 135.6 113.6 149.0 138.4 123.3 129.9 110.2 144.4 131.5 123.0 132.4 112.7 144.8 134.8 123.2 133.3 111.9 145.8 136.2 124.6 131.9 107.5 146.4 135.1 125.1 132.1 107.5 145.4 135.8 124.2 135.3 108.5 150.3 139.2 125.6 135.7 110.1 148.3 140.0 125.6 134.9 109.2 148.1 139.0 125.9 137.4 109.5 148.4 143.1 126.6 137.9 110.1 147.1 144.2 126.9 139.7 109.5 149.4 146.7 140.0 51 Energy materials Primary energy 52 53 Converted fuel materials 11.69 7.57 4.12 99.8 105.0 90.3 101.7 107.7 90.7 100.6 104.8 93.0 100.6 105.0 92.6 101.0 106.7 90.5 99.5 104.0 91.2 101.3 105.6 93.5 102.7 106.8 95.3 103.2 106.2 97.7 101.5 106.8 91.8 101.3 106.0 92.6 102.2 108.6 90.5 102.1 108.3 90.6 100.2 A46 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1989 2.13 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value1—Continued Groups SIC code 1977 1987 1989 1988 1987 avg. Dec. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.'' Jan.' Index (1977 = 100) MAJOR INDUSTRY 1 Mining and utilities. 2 Mining 3 Utilities 4 Manufacturing 5 Nondurable 6 Durable 15.79 9.83 5.96 84.21 35.11 49.10 104.3 100.7 110.3 134.6 136.7 133.1 107.3 104.6 111.7 138.9 141.3 137.3 106.8 101.5 115.6 139.5 141.1 138.4 106.7 102.7 113.3 140.0 141.7 138.8 107.1 104.7 111.0 140.8 142.3 139.7 106.0 102.6 111.6 141.8 142.1 141.5 106.8 103.0 113.2 142.1 142.6 141.7 108.1 104.3 114.4 143.6 144.6 142.9 109.0 103.8 117.8 144.0 145.1 143.2 107.2 103.7 113.0 144.4 145.3 143.8 107.2 103.1 113.9 145.3 146.3 144.6 107.7 104.5 113.1 145.9 146.7 145.2 108.2 104.5 114.1 146.6 147.6 146.0 107.1 103.3 113.2 147.4 148.6 146.5 155.1 89.4 144.7 148.1 7 8 9 10 Mining Metal Coal Oil and gas extraction Stone and earth minerals . 10 11.12 13 14 .50 1.60 7.07 .66 77.5 131.8 92.7 128.2 96.5 140.6 94.1 135.6 83.9 133.7 92.4 134.3 84.9 129.1 94.8 136.9 86.9 136.0 95.5 141.2 86.0 127.8 94.6 140.1 82.2 126.9 95.8 137.4 94.0 141.5 93.3 140.2 96.6 137.2 93.2 141.3 99.1 142.2 92.0 139.7 101.6 138.5 91.5 142.8 102.7 149.7 90.8 142.6 11 12 13 14 15 Nondurable manufactures Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products 20 21 22 23 26 7.96 .62 2.29 2.79 3.15 137.7 103.4 115.8 107.4 144.4 140.1 110.5 118.2 107.8 150.6 141.9 107.0 115.3 108.5 148.0 141.1 107.2 117.0 108.7 149.1 140.3 107.2 117.3 109.2 149.2 141.0 107.2 114.6 108.6 149.5 141.3 104.5 114.3 109.3 148.6 143.3 100.6 117.1 109.4 152.3 143.3 105.1 116.4 108.9 151.0 143.2 105.0 116.2 109.9 150.9 144.0 105.4 117.0 109.5 151.8 145.3 106.6 117.2 110.1 150.7 145.9 16 17 18 19 20 Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastic products. Leather and products 27 28 29 30 31 4.54 8.05 2.40 2.80 .53 172.0 140.1 93.5 163.6 60.0 176.9 147.9 96.1 170.6 57.5 178.7 145.4 95.9 172.3 59.7 180.4 146.4 98.4 172.2 59.5 181.8 148.9 98.5 172.3 58.0 180.7 149.1 95.2 173.4 57.1 182.3 150.5 94.1 174.4 58.9 184.9 153.4 95.0 175.4 59.1 186.7 154.8 96.0 175.3 59.4 188.0 155.3 93.7 175.3 59.9 188.1 156.7 96.3 176.9 61.0 188.8 157.3 95.0 177.5 61.9 189.5 158.1 98.1 179.0 62.5 Durable manufactures 21 Lumber and products 22 Furniture and fixtures 23 Clay, glass, and stone products. 24 25 32 2.30 1.27 2.72 130.3 152.8 119.1 133.6 159.4 120.1 139.0 158.3 121.6 137.8 159.4 122.5 138.0 159.2 121.4 139.8 160.5 121.5 136.4 161.2 123.4 136.6 162.9 122.2 133.8 164.9 122.6 133.5 164.9 122.6 137.5 164.5 123.3 139.6 165.4 124.7 141.7 166.6 125.1 33 331.2 34 35 36 5.33 3.49 6.46 9.54 7.15 111.0 81.5 70.8 152.7 172.3 90.6 81.9 115.8 161.0 175.9 86.4 77.4 117.6 163.6 177.8 85.1 74.2 118.8 164.6 176.6 85.3 74.5 118.8 167.2 178.7 89.2 78.6 119.8 170.3 179.1 87.5 74.2 120.4 171.2 179.5 91.5 80.2 121.7 173.1 181.5 90.8 78.9 122.1 174.1 182.2 93.1 81.4 122.5 174.8 181.8 94.2 83.1 122.6 173.8 183.0 93.2 81.3 124.6 175.3 182.2 92.0 79.8 125.3 176.4 182.7 125.6 176.8 182.6 37 371 9.13 5.25 129.2 111.8 128.1 110.2 128.4 109.3 130.0 113.0 130.4 114.8 133.1 119.6 132.8 119.1 131.9 116.6 131.8 117.5 132.7 118.5 134.8 121.7 135.1 122.9 137.0 126.6 136.4 125.2 372-6.9 38 39 3.87 2.66 1.46 152.8 143.9 102.6 152.4 145.5 105.6 154.5 149.2 104.4 153.0 149.7 105.1 151.5 150.5 105.9 151.5 151.3 106.0 151.4 153.0 107.6 152.7 156.4 107.8 151.3 156.8 108.3 151.9 157.8 108.5 152.7 159.9 107.7 151.7 160.0 109.0 151.1 159.5 109.7 151.6 160.2 4.17 126.6 125.6 130.7 129.0 127.6 129.7 132.1 134.6 138.8 132.2 132.8 131.5 132.6 24 25 26 27 28 Primary metals Iron and steel Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery.. Electrical machinery 29 Transportation equipment 30 Motor vehicles and parts 31 Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment 32 Instruments 33 Miscellaneous manufactures Utilities 34 Electric. 117.2 152.6 191.5 99.8 94.2 Gross value (billions of 1982 dollars, annual rates) MAJOR MARKET 1,812.2 1,820.1 1,828.6 35 Products, total. 517.5 1,735.8 1,778.8 1,797.5 1,807.5 36 Final 37 Consumer goods. 38 Equipment 39 Intermediate 405.7 272.7 133.0 111.9 1,333.8 1,359.4 1,381.1 1,385.9 1,393.9 1,397.1 1,394.3 1,398.9 1,404.2 1,404.3 1.423.5 1,424.4 1,440.2 1,450.6 866.0 881.2 893.7 893.2 899.1 898.9 893.6 895.6 900.4 897.2 915.0 916.7 932.7 941.5 467.8 478.2 487.3 492.7 494.7 498.3 500.7 503.2 503.8 507.1 508.4 507.7 507.6 509.1 402.0 419.4 416.5 421.6 418.4 423.0 419.6 423.4 424.3 424.5 430.0 429.2 433.7 437.3 1. These data also appear in the Board's G. 12.3 (414) release. For address, see inside front cover. A major revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in July 1985. See "A Revision of the Index of 1,813.9 1,822.3 1,828.9 1.853.4 1,853.5 1,874.0 1,887.8 Industrial Production" and accompanying tables that contain revised indexes ( 1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) t h r o u g h D e c e m b e r 1 9 8 4 i n t h e F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B U L L E T I N , v o l . 71 (July 1985), pp. 487-501. The revised indexes for January through June 1985 were shown in the September BULLETIN. Selected Measures 2.14 A51 HOUSING A N D CONSTRUCTION Monthly figures are at seasonally adjusted annual rates except as noted. 1988 Item 1986 1987 1988 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov.' Dec. Private residential real estate activity (thousands of units) NEW UNITS 1 Permits authorized 2 1-family 3 2-or-more-family 1,750 1,071 679 1,535 1,024 511 1,451 1,000 452 1,476 1,030 446 1,449 960 489 1,436 982 454 1,493 1,002 491 1,420 984 436 1,464 1,022 442 1,394 974 420 1,516 1,027 489 1,516 1,046 470 1,566 1,082 484 4 Started 5 1-family 6 2-or-more-family 1,805 1,179 626 1,621 1,146 474 1,488 1,080 408 l,528 r 1,169' 359 r 1,576' 1,087' 489' 1,392' 1,001' 391' 1,463' 1,088' 375' 1,478' 1,067' 411' l ^ 1,076' 383 1,463' 1,532 1,136 3% 1,567 1,138 429 1,568 1,123 445 7 Under construction, end of period 1 . 8 1-family 9 2-or-more-family 1,074 583 490 987 591 397 927 575 352 999 617 382 999 622 377 984 610 374 982 609 373 974 606 368 965 603 362 955 596 359 952 598 354 957 602 355 958 605 353 1,669 1,123 546 1,528 1,083 445 1,598 1,094 504 1,665 1,059 606 1,450 1,090 360 1,518 1,106 412 1,529 1,077 452 1,538 1,072 466 1,533 1,089 444 1,516 1,086 430 1,432 1,038 394 1,517 1,085 432 10 Completed 11 1-family 12 2-or-more-family 1,756 1,120 636' 424' 13 Mobile homes shipped 244 233 218 213' 215' 221' 227' 207' 223 224' 216 227 225 Merchant builder activity in 1-family units 14 Number sold 15 Number for sale, end of period 748 357 672 365 677 366 664 372 681 367 681 370 718 367 703 365 714 363 691' 361' 722 354 665 364 669 366 Price (thousands Median Units sold Average 17 Units sold of dollars f 16 92.2 104.7 113.3 108.9 111.0 110.0 111.5 118.0 110.0 116.6' 113.0 110.3 121.0 112.2 127.9 139.3 133.2 135.6 133.5 136.5 141.3 140.6 142.7' 136.8 137.0 152.2 3,566 3,530 3,624 3,330 3,520 3,590 3,820 3,630 3,710 3,670 3,670 3,670 3,920 80.3 98.3 85.6 106.2 88.7 111.9 87.9 110.7 87.3 108.7 88.8 111.9 90.2 115.4 90.7 114.8 91.4 115.1 88.2 112.3 88.1 110.9 88.0 111.8 88.7 112.0 EXISTING UNITS (1-family) 18 Number sold Price of units sold (thousands of dollars) 19 Median 20 Average Value of new construction 3 (millions of dollars) CONSTRUCTION 21 Total put in place 72 Private 73 Residential Nonresidential, total 2,4 Buildings Industrial 75 Commercial 76 Other 77 Public utilities and other 28 79 Public Military 30 31 Highway Conservation and d e v e l o p m e n t . , . 32 Other 33 386,093 398,848 403,371 403,555 396,238 398,473 395,714 404,164 403,172 406,906 408,184 412,436 422,695 314,651 187,147 127,504 323,819 194,772 129,047 325,103 195,180 129,923 324,257 195,554 128,703 318,515 192,026 126,489 320,194 190,374 129,820 317,708 188,071 129,637 324,658 194,215 130,443 326,763 195,393 131,370 327,164 196,945 130,219 330,291 199,567 130,724 331,900 200,269 131,631 335,929 200,922 135,007 13,747 56,762 13,216 43,779 13,707 55,448 15,464 44,428 14,256 55,739 16,789 43,139 14,546 54,843 17,301 42,013 13,849 56,169 16,382 40,089 13,907 57,447 16,847 41,619 13,676 56,585 16,757 42,619 13,928 56,687 16,166 43,662 14,006 56,404 16,613 44,347 13,546 55,815 16,600 44,258 15,234 54,706 17,132 43,652 16,032 53,881 16,7% 44,922 15,059 57,359 17,399 45,190 71,437 3,868 22,681 4,646 40,242 75,028 4,327 22,758 5,162 42,781 78,266 4,077 25,777 4,519 43,893 79,298 4,216 26,963 4,899 43,220 77,723 3,872 26,912 4,226 42,713 78,278 3,547 25,254 4,460 45,017 78,007 4,844 24,822 4,596 43,745 79,506 4,350 27,673 4,861 42,622 76,409 3,984 23,491 4,793 44,141 79,742 4,897 23,841 5,045 45,959 77,893 3,659 25,997 3,927 44,310 80,536 3,932 26,724 3,829 46,051 86,766 4,147 31,976 4,389 46,254 1. Not at annual rates. 2. N o t seasonally adjusted. 3. Value of new construction data in recent periods may not be strictly comparable with data in previous periods because of changes by the Bureau of the Census in its estimating techniques. For a description of these changes see Construction Reports (C-30-76-5), issued by the Bureau in July 1976. NOTE. Census Bureau estimates for all series except (1) mobile homes, which are private, domestic shipments as reported by the Manufactured Housing Institute and seasonally adjusted by the Census Bureau, and (2) sales and prices of existing units, which are published by the National Association of Realtors. All back and current figures are available from the originating agency. Permit authorizations are those reported to the Census Bureau from 16,000 jurisdictions beginning with 1978. A46 2.15 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1989 C O N S U M E R A N D P R O D U C E R PRICES Percentage changes based on seasonally adjusted data, except as noted Change from 12 months earlier Change from 3 months earlier (at annual rate) Item Change from 1 month earlier 1988r 1988 Jan. 1988r 1989 1989 Jan. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Index level Jan. 19891 CONSUMER PRICES2 (1982-84=100) 1 All items 4.0 4.7 3.9 4.9 4.8 4.1 .4 .4 .3 .3 .6 121.1 2 Food i Energy items 4 All items less food and energy J Commodities 6 Services 3.2 4.2 4.3 3.4 4.8 5.6 1.8 4.6 4.2 5.0 2.5 -4.0 5.4 4.7 5.6 6.4 3.7 4.3 3.9 4.5 8.8 2.7 4.3 3.1 4.8 3.0 -.4 4.9 4.2 5.4 .7 -.2 .5 .7 .3 .2 -.1 .5 .5 .5 .2 .3 .3 .3 .4 .3 -.3 .4 .3 .5 .7 .8 .5 .5 .5 122.2 89.0 126.4 117.9 131.4 PRODUCER PRICES (1982=100) 7 Finished goods 8 Consumer foods Consumer energy 9 10 Other consumer goods 11 Capital equipment 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.9 1.3 4.4 5.4 2.9 4.5 3.6 4.2 6.8 -7.0 5.3 3.6 3.0 5.5 -5.2 3.5 2.9 5.7 9.2 -2.7 5.9 6.1 3.0 2.1 2.1 4.4 1.4 .6 .9 -.8 .4 .9 .0 .2 .0 .0 -.3 .3 .3 .5 .3 .3 .5 .1 .0 .7 .3 1.0 1.1 4.9 .4 .6 111.0 116.5 60.9 121.8 117.0 12 Intermediate materials 3 13 Excluding energy 5.1 5.9 5.8 6.8 5.1 8.2 7.4 6.9 4.6 7.2 4.5 6.7 .4 .5 .1 .5 .6 .7 .5 .4 .9 .6 110.2 119.4 5.9 -1.8 22.9 15.6 .6 6.6 18.5 -24.1 17.3 21.3 7.8 -6.5 29.1 -27.0 8.5 -7.9 12.9 5.8 2.0 -2.1 -.5 -.1 -1.9 .1 -4.0 -1.4 .5 2.1 6.5 .7 2.2 6.7 2.2 112.4 71.2 137.7 14 15 16 Crude materials Foods Energy Other 1. Not seasonally adjusted. 2. Figures for consumer prices are those for all urban consumers and reflect a rental equivalence measure of homeownership after 1982. 3. Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. SOURCE. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Selected Measures 2.16 A53 GROSS N A T I O N A L PRODUCT A N D INCOME Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1988 1987 Account 1986 1987 1988r Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4' GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 4,240.3 4,526.7 4,863.1 4,662.8 4,724.5 4,823.8 4,909.0 4,995.2 2,807.5 406.5 943.6 1,457.3 3,012.1 421.9 997.9 1,592.3 3,227.2 451.1 1,047.4 1,728.7 3,076.3 422.0 1,012.4 1,641.9 3,128.1 437.8 1,016.2 1,674.1 3,194.6 449.8 1,036.6 1,708.2 3,261.2 452.9 1,060.8 1,747.5 3,325.1 464.0 1,076.1 1,785.0 665.9 650.4 433.9 138.5 295.4 216.6 712.9 673.7 446.8 139.5 307.3 226.9 766.1 717.5 487.8 142.9 344.8 229.8 764.9 692.9 464.1 147.7 316.3 228.8 763.4 698.1 471.5 140.1 331.3 226.6 758.1 714.4 487.8 142.3 345.5 226.5 772.5 722.8 493.7 143.8 349.9 229.1 770.4 734.8 498.0 145.3 352.6 236.8 15.5 17.4 39.2 40.7 48.6 42.4 72.0 72.8 65.3 49.4 43.7 33.1 49.7 41.9 35.6 45.2 -104.4 378.4 482.8 -123.0 428.0 551.1 -94.3 520.2 614.5 -125.7 459.7 585.4 -112.1 487.8 599.9 -90.4 507.1 597.5 -80.0 536.1 616.0 -94.8 549.7 644.5 871.2 366.2 505.0 924.7 382.0 542.8 964.1 380.5 583.6 947.3 391.4 555.9 945.2 377.7 567.5 961.6 382.2 579.4 955.3 367.7 587.6 994.5 394.4 600.1 4,224.7 1,697.9 725.3 972.6 2,118.3 424.0 4,487.5 1,792.5 776.3 1,016.3 2,295.7 438.4 4,814.6 1,939.3 858.0 1,081.3 2,476.4 447.5 4,590.7 1,849.3 808.7 1,040.7 2,363.9 449.5 4,659.2 1,879.5 819.3 1,060.1 2,405.2 439.9 4,780.1 1,928.0 849.5 1,078.5 2,451.5 444.3 4,859.3 1,960.1 881.6 1,078.5 2,501.6 447.3 4,959.6 1,989.5 881.6 1,107.9 2,547.2 458.5 15.5 4.3 11.3 39.2 26.6 12.6 48.6 31.1 17.5 72.0 50.5 21.6 65.3 26.6 38.6 43.7 17.8 25.9 49.7 45.1 4.6 35.6 34.7 0.9 3,721.7 3,847.0 3,995.1 3,923.0 3,956.1 3,985.2 4,009.4 4,029.7 30 Total 3,437.1 3,678.7 3,965.0 3,802.0 3,850.8 3,928.8 4,000.7 n.a. 31 Compensation of employees 32 Wages and salaries Government and government enterprises 33 Other 34 35 Supplement to wages and salaries Employer contributions for social insurance 36 37 Other labor income 2,507.1 2,094.0 393.7 1,700.3 413.1 217.0 196.1 2,683.4 2,248.4 420.1 1,828.3 435.0 227.1 207.9 2,905.2 2,437.3 446.1 1,991.2 467.8 249.6 218.3 2,769.9 2,324.8 429.2 1,895.6 445.1 232.7 212.4 2,816.4 2,358.7 437.1 1,921.6 457.7 243.1 214.6 2,874.0 2,410.0 442.9 1,967.1 464.0 247.5 216.5 2,933.2 2,462.0 449.1 2,012.9 471.1 251.7 219.5 2,997.2 2,518.7 455.4 2,063.3 478.5 256.0 222.5 286.7 250.3 36.4 312.9 270.0 43.0 324.7 288.5 36.3 326.0 279.0 47.0 323.9 279.2 44.7 328.8 285.3 43.4 321.6 290.7 30.9 324.7 298.6 26.1 1 Total 2 3 4 5 By source Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 6 Gross private domestic investment 7 Fixed investment 8 Nonresidential 9 Structures 10 Producers' durable equipment Residential structures 11 12 13 Change in business inventories Nonfarm 14 Net exports of goods and services 15 Exports Imports 16 17 Government purchases of goods and services 18 Federal 19 State and local By major type of 70 Final sales, total 21 Goods Durable 73 Nondurable 74 Services Structures 25 product n 26 Change in business inventories 27 Durable goods 28 Nondurable goods MEMO 29 Total GNP in 1982 dollars NATIONAL INCOME 38 Proprietors' income 1 39 Business and professional 1 40 Farm 1 41 Rental income of persons 2 12.4 18.4 19.5 20.5 20.5 19.1 19.7 18.6 42 Corporate profits 43 Profits before tax 3 44 Inventory valuation adjustment 45 Capital consumption adjustment 298.9 236.4 8.3 54.2 310.4 276.7 -18.0 51.7 323.8 302.1 -23.9 45.6 316.1 281.9 -18.2 52.4 316.2 286.2 -19.4 49.4 326.5 305.9 -27.4 48.0 330.0 313.9 -29.3 45.4 n.a. n.a. -19.6 39.7 46 Net interest 331.9 353.6 391.9 369.5 373.9 380.6 396.2 416.7 1 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. 3. For after-tax profits, dividends, and the like, see table 1.48. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A46 2.17 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1989 PERSONAL INCOME A N D SAVING Billions of current dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. Exceptions noted. 1988 1987 Account 1986 1987 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 r PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING 1 Total personal income 3,531.1 3,780.0 4,063.4 3,906.8 3,951.4 4,022.4 4,094.0 4,185.5 2 Wage and salary disbursements 3 Commodity-producing industries 4 Manufacturing 5 Distributive industries 6 Service industries 7 Government and government enterprises 2,094.0 625.5 473.1 498.9 575.9 393.7 2,248.4 649.8 490.3 531.7 646.8 420.1 2,437.3 695.6 522.6 578.9 716.8 446.1 2,325.1 665.5 501.3 547.3 682.8 429.5 2,358.7 676.0 509.6 558.2 687.4 437.1 2,410.0 689.1 517.4 572.1 705.9 442.9 2,462.0 701.3 525.9 585.8 725.8 449.1 2,518.7 716.1 537.7 599.4 747.8 455.4 196.1 286.7 250.3 36.4 12.4 82.8 499.1 521.1 269.3 207.9 312.9 270.0 43.0 18.4 88.6 527.0 548.8 282.9 218.3 324.7 288.5 36.3 19.5 96.3 576.3 586.0 301.8 212.4 326.0 279.0 47.0 20.5 91.9 550.0 556.8 286.5 214.6 323.9 279.2 44.7 20.5 93.5 554.2 576.3 298.1 216.5 328.8 285.3 43.4 19.1 95.0 563.7 582.8 300.4 219.5 321.6 290.7 30.9 19.7 97.3 581.9 588.6 303.1 222.5 324.7 298.6 26.1 18.6 99.4 605.5 596.3 305.7 8 Other labor income 9 Proprietors' income 1 10 Business and professional 11 Farm 1 12 Rental income of persons 14 Personal interest income 16 Old-age survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits . . . 17 LESS: Personal contributions for social insurance 18 EQUALS: Personal income 161.1 172.0 195.1 175.9 190.2 193.5 196.7 200.1 3,531.1 3,780.0 4,063.4 3,906.8 3,951.4 4,022.4 4,094.0 4,185.5 511.4 570.3 590.4 591.0 575.8 601.0 586.5 598.2 20 EQUALS: Disposable personal income 3,019.6 3,209.7 3,473.0 3,315.8 3,375.6 3,421.5 3,507.5 3,587.4 21 LESS: Personal outlays 2,898.0 3,105.5 3,327.2 3,171.8 3,225.7 3,293.6 3,361.8 3,427.6 22 EQUALS: Personal saving 121.7 104.2 145.8 144.0 149.9 127.8 145.7 159.8 15,401.2 10,160.1 10,929.0 4.0 15,772.9 10,336.2 11,012.0 3.2 16,227.1 10,528.4 11,331.0 4.2 16,031.9 10,346.1 11,145.0 4.3 16,127.6 10,435.4 11,260.0 4.4 16,213.2 10,492.3 11,237.0 3.7 16,265.3 10,563.1 11,362.0 4.2 16,308.0 10,627.3 11,465.0 4.5 27 Gross saving 537.2 560.4 642.2 603.4 627.0 634.1 665.4 28 Gross private saving 681.6 121.7 104.1 8.3 665.3 104.2 81.1 -18.0 730.6 145.8 78.4 -23.9 714.1 144.0 80.5 -18.2 726.3 149.9 78.1 -19.4 711.2 127.8 80.1 -27.4 732.9 145.7 79.5 -29.3 n.a. 159.8 n.a. -19.6 282.4 173.5 297.5 182.5 315.7 190.7 303.7 185.8 309.8 188.5 313.3 189.9 316.8 190.9 322.9 193.3 -144.4 -205.6 61.2 -104.9 -157.8 52.9 -88.4 -143.3 54.9 -110.7 -160.4 49.7 -99.2 -155.1 55.8 -77.1 -133.3 56.2 -67.5 -123.5 56.0 523.6 552.3 630.1 597.0 612.0 629.0 651.4 628.2 665.9 -142.4 712.9 -160.6 766.1 -135.9 764.9 -167.8 763.4 -151.3 758.1 -129.1 772.5 -121.1 770.4 -142.2 -13.6 -8.1 -12.0 -6.4 -15.0 -5.1 -14.0 -14.0 19 LESS: Personal tax and nontax payments MEMO Per capita (1982 dollars) 23 Gross national product 24 Personal consumption expenditures 25 Disposable personal income 26 Saving rate (percent) GROSS SAVING 30 Undistributed corporate profits 1 31 Corporate inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption 34 allowances Government surplus, or deficit ( - ) , national income and 38 Gross private domestic 39 Net foreign 40 Statistical discrepancy 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Summary Statistics 3.10 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS A55 Summary Millions of dollars; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted except as noted. 1 1987 Item credits or debits 1 Balance on current account 2 Not seasonally adjusted 3 Merchandise trade balance 4 Merchandise exports 5 Merchandise imports 6 Military transactions, net 7 Investment income, net 8 Other service transactions, net 9 Remittances, pensions, and other transfers 10 U.S. government grants (excluding military) 11 Change in U.S. government assets, other than official reserve assets, net (increase, - ) Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3" 249,570 -409,850 -2,369 20,374 1,755 -3,434 -10,011 -41,%7 -47,330 -39,665 64,902 -104,567 -851 1,067 87 -855 -2,125 -33,523 -31,803 -41,192 68,013 -109,205 12,539 479 -828 -3,545 -36,938 -32,179 -35,184 75,300 -110,484 -1,033 1,159 1,241 -882 -2,239 -33,739 -34,606 -30,151 79,606 -109,757 -914 -1,940 2,017 -793 -1,958 -30,894 -37,029 -28,533 82,306 -110,839 -934 -337 2,028 -806 -2,312 -115,102 -138,827 -153,964 — i 22,148 215,935 -338,083 -3,431 25,936 -449 -3,786 -11,223 -i44,547 223,%9 -368,516 -4,372 23,143 2,257 -3,571 -11,738 -i60,280 -1,261 -2,829 -2,000 1,162 252 1,012 -814 -801 1,931 12 Change in U.S. official reserve assets (increase, - ) 13 Gold 14 Special drawing rights (SDRs) 15 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 16 Foreign currencies -3,858 312 9,149 32 3,741 39 -7,380 0 0 0 0 0 1,503 0 -897 908 -3,869 -246 1,500 -942 -509 2,070 7,588 -210 407 -165 -205 722 3,225 155 446 901 0 180 69 -210 17 Change in U.S. private assets abroad (increase, - ) 18 Bank-reported claims 19 Nonbank-reported claims 20 U.S. purchase of foreign securities, net 21 U.S. direct investments abroad, net -25,949 -1,323 923 -7,481 -18,068 -%,303 -59,975 -4,220 -4,297 -27,811 -86,298 -40,531 3,145 -4,456 -44,456 -25,576 -16,519 -215 -972 -7,870 -43,645 -23,460 1,248 -1,757 -19,676 5,903 17,108 -315 -4,467 -6,423 -18,210 -13,274 -7,061 1,529 5% -34,181 -27,023 -1,196 -838 -301 767 645 -1,469 35,507 34,364 -1,214 2,054 1,187 -884 44,968 43,361 1,570 -2,824 3,901 -1,040 611 842 714 -287 -34 -624 20,047 19,243 662 24,670 27,701 -121 -123 -1.954 -833 5,946 5,863 202 -570 -2,902 -3,706 572 -354 1,094 -508 131,0% 41,045 -366 20,433 50,%2 19,022 185,746 79,783 -2,906 3,809 70,%9 34,091 166,521 87,778 2,150 -7,5% 42,213 41,976 71,047 46,153 -116 -2,835 12,819 15,026 1,395 -17,233 2,015 6,887 2,379 7,347 59,549 31,121 113 5,457 9,797 13,061 0 -35 202 -7,547 -1,521 -5,637 22 Change in foreign official assets in United States (increase, +) 23 24 25 26 27 U.S. Treasury securities Other U.S. government obligations Other U.S. government liabilities Other U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks 3 Other foreign official assets 5 108 -223 257 868 -417 28 Change in foreign private assets in United States (increase, +) 29 30 31 32 33 4 U.S. bank-reported liabilities* U.S. nonbank-reported liabilities Foreign private purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, net Foreign purchases of other U.S. securities, net Foreign direct investments in United States, net 34 Allocation of SDRs 35 Discrepancy 36 Owing to seasonal adjustments 37 Statistical discrepancy in recorded data before seasonal adjustment 36,025 29,764 -1,000 4% -4,977 11,742 50,928 30,434 ''4,322 8,043 8,129 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17,839 15,566 18,461 -4,399 -4,658 16,342 3,138 4,282 3,747 -12,784 -3,585 22,498 -5,205 17,839 15,566 18,461 -9,199 27,703 13,204 MEMO Changes in official assets U.S. official reserve assets (increase, —) Foreign official assets in United States (increase, + ) excluding line 25 40 Change in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries official assets in United States (part of line 22 above) 41 Transfers under military grant programs (excluded from lines 4, 6, and 10 above) 38 39 -3,858 312 9,149 — 1,963 33,453 47,792 -6,709 -9,327 -9,956 46 101 58 1. Seasonal factors are not calculated for lines 6, 10, 12-16, 18-20, 22-34, and 38-41. 2. Data are on an international accounts (IA) basis. Differs from the Census basis data, shown in table 3.11, for reasons of coverage and timing. Military exports are excluded from merchandise data and are included in line 6. 3. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 3,741 1,503 39 -7,380 19,939 24,793 6,516 -2,548 -1,723 -2,750 -1,375 -1,783 -423 13 12 45 4 5 32 4. Primarily associated with military sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. 5. Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securities of private corporations and state and local governments. NOTE. Data are from Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A56 3.11 International Statistics • April 1989 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE 1 Millions of dollars; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. 1988 Item 1986 1987 1988 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec. E X P O R T S of domestic and foreign merchandise excluding grant-aid shipments, f.a.s. value 227,159 254,122 322,225 26,283 26,516 27,493 27,989 27,816 27,542 29,192 2 3 G E N E R A L IMPORTS including merchandise for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded w a r e h o u s e s C . I . F . value Customs value 382,295 365,438 424,442 406,241 459,565 440,940 39,499 37,948 35,989 34,533 39,763 38,140 38,662 37,178 38,078 36,600 39,760 38,200 41,086 39,419 4 5 Trade balance C.I.F. value Customs value -155,137 -138,279 -170,320 -152,119 -137,340 -118,716 -13,216 -11,665 -9,473 -8,017 -12,270 -10,647 -10,673 -9,189 -10,262 -8,784 -12,218 -10,658 -11,894 -10,227 1 1. The C e n s u s basis data differ from merchandise trade data s h o w n in table 3.10, U . S . International Transactions Summary, for reasons of coverage and timing. On the export side, the largest adjustment is the exclusion of military sales (which are combined with other military transactions and reported separately in the " s e r v i c e a c c o u n t " in table 3.10, line 6). On the import side, additions are made for gold, ship purchases, imports of electricity from Canada, and other transac- 3.12 tions; military payments are e x c l u d e d and s h o w n separately as indicated a b o v e . A s of Jan. 1, 1987 c e n s u s data are released 45 d a y s after the end o f the month; the previous month is revised to reflect late d o c u m e n t s . Total e x p o r t s and the trade balance reflect adjustments for u n d o c u m e n t e d e x p o r t s t o Canada. SOURCE. FT900 "Summary of U . S . Export and Import Merchandise Trade" (Department of C o m m e r c e , Bureau of the Census). U.S. RESERVE ASSETS Millions of dollars, end of period 1989 Type July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Jan." 43,186 48,511 45,798 43,876 47,778 47,788 50,204 48,944 47,802 48,190 11,090 11,064 11,078 11,063 11,061 11,062 11,062 11,059 11,057 11,056 7,293 8,395 10,283 8,984 9,058 9,074 9,464 9,785 9,637 9,388 R e s e r v e position in International Monetary Fund 11,947 11,730 11,349 9,773 9,642 9,637 10,075 10,103 9,745 9,422 Foreign currencies 4 12,856 17,322 13,088 14,056 18,017 18,015 19,603 17,997 17,363 18,324 2 Gold stock, including Exchange Stabilization Fund 1 3 Special drawing rights2,3 4 5 1. Gold held under earmark at Federal Reserve Banks for foreign and international a c c o u n t s is not included in the gold stock of the United States; s e e table 3.13. Gold stock is valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce. 2. Beginning July 1974, the I M F adopted a technique for valuing the S D R based on a weighted average of exchange rates for the currencies of member countries. From July 1974 through D e c e m b e r 1980, 16 currencies were used; from January 1981, 5 currencies have b e e n used. The U . S . SDR holdiings and reserve position in the I M F also are valued o n this basis beginning July 1974. 3.13 3. Includes allocations by the International Monetary Fund of S D R s as follows: $867 million o n Jan. 1, 1970; $717 million o n Jan. 1, 1971; $710 million o n Jan. 1, 1972; $1,139 million o n Jan. 1, 1979; $1,152 million o n Jan. 1, 1980; and $1,093 million o n Jan. 1, 1981; plus transactions in S D R s . 4. Valued at current market e x c h a n g e rates. FOREIGN OFFICIAL ASSETS HELD AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Assets 1985 1986 July 1 Deposits Assets held in custody 2 U . S . Treasury securities 2 3 Earmarked gold Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. p 480 287 244 269 230 338 301 251 347 279 121,004 14,245 155,835 14,048 195,126 13,919 223,296 13,666 221,715 13,658 221,119 13,653 226,533 13,637 229,926 13,640 232,547 13,636 228,399 13,635 1. E x c l u d e s deposits and U . S . Treasury securities held for international and regional organizations. 2. Marketable U . S . Treasury bills, n o t e s , and bonds; and nonmarketable U . S . Treasury securities payable in dollars and in foreign currencies. 1989 1987 3. Earmarked gold and the gold stock are valued at $42.22 per fine troy o u n c e , Earmarked gold is gold held for foreign and international accounts and is not included in the gold stock of the U n i t e d States. Summary Statistics 3.14 FOREIGN B R A N C H E S OF U . S . B A N K S A57 Balance Sheet Data 1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Asset account 1985 1986 1987 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. All foreign countries 1 Total, all currencies 2 Claims on United States Parent bank 3 4 Other banks in United States 5 Nonbanks 6 Claims on foreigners 7 Other branches of parent bank Banks 8 9 Public borrowers 10 Nonbank foreigners 11 Other assets 458,012 456,628 518,618 487,677 488,283 487,895 490,582 493,728 512,361' 505,271 119,706 87,201 13,057 19,448 315,676 91,399 102,960 23,478 97,839 114,563 83,492 13,685 17,386 312,955 96,281 105,237 23,706 87,731 138,034 105,845 16,416 15,773 342,520 122,155 108,859 21,832 89,674 140,932 104,405 14,424 22,103 311,308 106,722 100,669 20,438 83,479 147,662 109,929 15,954 21,779 305,556 103,646 99,660 19,276 82,974 157,021 117,525 16,176 23,320 295,270 98,299 98,982 18,709 79,280 155,386 115,286 16,121 23,979 298,466 102,355 98,563 18,444 79,104 155,432 r 115,954 14,744 r 24,734 300,954 r 100,609 102,057 r 18,205 80,083 169,458' 129,0% 16,075' 24,287 304,895' 105,121 100,608' 18,170 80,996 168,483 130,063 15,046 23,374 300,253 107,461 97,279 17,077 78,436 22,630 29,110 38,064 35,437 35,065 35,604 36,730 37,342 38,008' 36,535 12 Total payable in U.S. dollars 336,520 317,487 350,107 334,990 336,233 342,906 340,901 337,346 351,654' 357,653 13 Claims on United States 14 Parent bank 15 Other banks in United States Nonbanks 16 17 Claims on foreigners 18 Other branches of parent bank 19 Banks 20 Public borrowers 21 Nonbank foreigners 116,638 85,971 12,454 18,213 210,129 72,727 71,868 17,260 48,274 110,620 82,082 12,830 15,708 195,063 72,197 66,421 16,708 39,737 132,023 103,251 14,657 14,115 202,428 88,284 63,707 14,730 35,707 135,348 101,422 13,661 20,265 183,568 79,774 55,234 13,851 34,709 141,415 106,792 14,434 20,189 179,076 78,071 54,189 13,247 33,569 151,581 114,943 14,901 21,737 174,433 73,792 54,839 12,933 32,869 149,764 112,621 14,687 22,456 174,271 76,506 52,503 12,770 32,492 149,713' 113,569 13,265 r 22,879 171,566' 73,508 54,642' 12,616 30,800 162,988' 125,954 14,771' 22,263 171,862' 75,866 53,483' 12,234 30,279 162,827 127,136 14,288 21,403 178,428 81,023 55,285 11,959 30,161 9,753 11,804 15,656 16,074 15,742 16,892 16,866 16,067 16,804' 16,398 22 Other assets United Kingdom 23 Total, all currencies 148,599 140,917 158,695 151,835 151,017 149,646 147,329 155,580 159,556 155,981 24 Claims on United States 25 Parent bank Other banks in United States 26 Nonbanks 27 28 Claims on foreigners Other branches of parent bank 29 30 Banks Public borrowers 31 Nonbank foreigners 32 33,157 26,970 1,106 5,081 110,217 31,576 39,250 5,644 33,747 24,599 19,085 1,612 3,902 109,508 33,422 39,468 4,990 31,628 32,518 27,350 1,259 3,909 115,700 39,903 36,735 4,752 34,310 33,852 28,535 1,322 3,995 107,856 32,446 37,108 4,742 33,560 35,708 30,615 1,064 4,029 105,594 30,228 37,805 4,665 32,8% 36,307 30,767 1,197 4,343 103,527 29,656 38,259 4,543 31,069 32,048 26,661 1,238 4,149 105,824 31,758 38,848 4,250 30,968 36,210 30,569 994 4,647 109,793 33,103 40,236 4,190 32,264 39,222 33,138 1,343 4,741 110,356 33,243 40,875 4,276 31,962 40,030 34,190 1,117 4,723 106,307 35,404 36,870 3,963 30,070 33 Other assets 34 Total payable in U.S. dollars 35 Claims on United States Parent bank 36 Other banks in United States 37 Nonbanks 38 39 Claims on foreigners Other branches of parent bank 40 Banks 41 42 Public borrowers Nonbank foreigners 43 44 Other assets 5,225 6,810 10,477 10,127 9,715 9,812 9,457 9,577 9,978 9,644 KM,626 95,028 100,574 95,326 94,492 96,767 93,790 99,868 101,341 102,790 32,092 26,568 1,005 4,519 73,475 26,011 26,139 3,999 17,326 23,193 18,526 1,475 3,192 68,138 26,361 23,251 3,677 14,849 30,439 26,304 1,044 3,091 64,560 28,635 19,188 3,313 13,424 31,855 27,672 1,069 3,114 57,%9 23,843 17,477 3,188 13,461 33,795 29,706 870 3,219 55,832 22,549 18,025 3,133 12,125 34,535 29,837 1,039 3,659 57,037 22,465 19,165 3,105 12,302 30,116 25,692 910 3,514 58,474 24,472 19,066 3,022 11,914 34,134 29,667 606 3,861 61,034 25,703 20,488 2,984 11,859 36,881 32,115 849 3,917 59,405 25,574 19,452 2,898 11,481 37,952 33,199 958 3,795 60,397 28,253 18,587 2,840 10,717 3,059 3,697 5,575 5,502 4,865 5,195 5,200 4,700 5,055 4,441 155,265 164,942' 170,977 104,211' 71,916 13,774' 18,521 54,070' 17,016 25,306' 5,862 5,886 104,751 73,669 13,272 17,810 59,223 18,460 28,576 5,825 6,362 Bahamas and Caymans 45 Total, all currencies 46 Claims on United States Parent bank 47 Other banks in United States 48 Nonbanks 49 50 Claims on foreigners Other branches of parent bank 51 52 Banks 53 Public borrowers Nonbank foreigners 54 55 Other assets 56 Total payable in U.S. dollars 142,055 142,592 160,321 159,718 160,516 165,771 164,313 74,864 50,553 11,204 13,107 63,882 19,042 28,192 6,458 10,190 78,048 54,575 11,156 12,317 60,005 17,2% 27,476 7,051 8,182 85,318 60,048 14,277 10,993 70,162 21,277 33,751 7,428 7,706 88,116 58,579 12,236 17,301 65,855 24,745 27,650 6,835 6,625 92,308 61,397 13,863 17,048 62,508 22,797 26,120 6,457 7,134 99,090 67,034 13,907 18,149 60,822 20,789 26,866 6,185 6,982 99,541 66,607 13,878 19,056 57,887 20,320 24,545 6,219 6,803 3,309 4,539 4,841 5,747 5,700 5,859 6,885 6,334 6,661' 7,003 136,794 136,813 151,434 152,219 152,685 157,975 156,409 147,481 157,147' 163,857 1. Beginning with June 1984 data, reported claims held by foreign branches have been reduced by an increase in the reporting threshold for "shell" branches 94,452' 62,709 12,504' 19,239 54,479' 17,331 25,312' 6,045 5,791 from $50 million to $150 million equivalent in total assets, the threshold now applicable to all reporting branches. A58 International Statistics • April 1989 3.14—Continued 1988 Liability account 1986 1987 July Aug, Sept. Oct. Nov. All foreign countries 57 Total, all currencies 458,012 456,628 518,618 487,677 488,283 487,895 490,582 493,728 512,361 r 505,271 58 Negotiable CDs 59 To United States 60 Parent bank 61 Other banks in United States , 62 Nonbanks 34,607 156,281 84,657 16,894 54,730 31,629 152,465 83,394 15,646 53,425 30,929 161,390 87,606 20,559 53,225 29,485 156,294 87,260 14,680 54,354 30,159 159,009 84,196 15,310 59,503 31,203 164,401 88,819 16,356 59,226 28,953 165,492 94,953 14,272 56,267 27,%9 161,783 95,427 14,029 52,327 30,734 172,644'' 104,555' 13,567' 54,522' 28,511 185,986 114,903 14,854 56,229 63 To foreigners 64 Other branches of parent bank 65 Banks 66 Official institutions 67 Nonbank foreigners 68 Other liabilities 245,939 89,529 76,814 19,520 60,076 21,185 253,775 95,146 77,809 17,835 62,985 18,759 304,803 124,601 87,274 19,564 73,364 21,496 280,939 110,429 82,380 17,159 70,971 20,959 277,776 107,084 83,086 16,628 70,978 21,339 270,678 100,538 80,606 17,232 72,302 21,613 274,822 106,284 80,382 16,911 71,245 21,315 281,143 106,010 81,946 18,786 74,401 22,833 285,460' 110,637' 82,308' 17,743 74,772 23,523' 270,364 110,762 72,792 15,182 71,628 20,410 69 Total payable in U.S. dollars 353,712 336,406 361,438 341,411 341,539 346,185 348,248 343,233 359,426' 366,796 70 Negotiable CDs 71 To United States 72 Parent bank 73 Other banks in United States , 74 Nonbanks 31,063 150,905 81,631 16,264 53,010 28,466 144,483 79,305 14,609 50,569 26,768 148,442 81,783 19,155 47,504 25,015 144,464 80,752 13,256 50,456 24,870 147,551 77,503 14,011 56,037 26,128 152,745 81,710 15,153 55,882 24,353 154,647 88,413 13,153 53,081 23,218 150,497 88,447 12,868 49,182 26,130 159,287' %,229' 12.23C 50,828' 24,045 173,558 107,353 13,523 52,682 75 To foreigners 76 Other branches of parent bank 77 Banks 78 Official institutions 79 Nonbank foreigners 80 Other liabilities 163,583 71,078 37,365 14,359 40,781 8,161 156,806 71,181 33,850 12,371 39,404 6,651 177,711 90,469 35,065 12,409 39,768 8,517 162,056 83,493 28,909 9,571 40,083 9,876 158,901 81,144 28,495 9,354 39,908 10,217 156,358 75,014 30,041 9,938 41,365 10,954 158,325 79,450 29,341 9,207 40,327 10,923 158,514 78,423 28,831 10,624 40,636 11,004 162,518' 81,137' 30,805' 9,121 41,455 11,491' 160,165 83,523 28,765 8,222 39,655 9,028 159,556 155,981 United Kingdom 81 Total, all currencies 148,599 140,917 158,695 151,835 151,017 149,646 147,329 155,580 82 Negotiable CDs 83 To United States 84 Parent bank 85 Other banks in United States , 86 Nonbanks 31,260 29,422 19,330 2,974 7,118 27,781 24,657 14,469 2,649 7,539 26,988 23,470 13,223 1,740 8,507 25,390 25,120 15,996 1,791 7,333 25,750 26,859 16,844 2,051 7,964 26,998 25,013 15,100 1,878 8,035 24,311 25,657 17,115 2,021 6,521 23,345 31,575 22,800 2,192 6,583 26,013 32,420 23,226' 1,768 7,426' 24,528 36,726 27,758 2,228 6,740 87 To foreigners 88 Other branches of parent bank 89 Banks 90 Official institutions 91 Nonbank foreigners 92 Other liabilities 78,525 23,389 28,581 9,676 16,879 9,392 79,498 25,036 30,877 6,836 16,749 8,981 98,689 33,078 34,290 11,015 20,306 9,548 91,691 28,967 33,125 8,893 20,706 9,634 88,489 26,948 32,763 9,034 19,744 9,919 87,504 25,570 31,829 9,982 20,123 10,131 87,212 26,837 31,701 8,570 20,104 10,149 89,934 25,743 32,385 10,656 21,150 10,726 90,404 26,268 33,029 9,542 21,565 10,719 85,935 26,827 30,482 7,872 20,754 8,792 112,697 99,707 102,550 97,555 96,908 97,926 96,970 101,689 102,933 104,900 29,337 27,756 18,956 2,826 5,974 26,169 22,075 14,021 2,325 5,729 24,926 17,752 12,026 1,512 4,214 22,960 20,889 14,712 1,512 4,665 22,846 23,105 15,729 1,817 5,559 24,229 20,993 13,745 1,655 5,593 22,043 22,177 16,031 1,819 4,327 20,864 28,063 21,665 1,978 4,420 23,543 27,123 21,003' 1,366 4,754' 22,063 32,529 26,313 1,943 4,273 51,980 18,493 14,344 7,661 11,482 3,624 48,138 17,951 15,203 4,934 10,050 3,325 55,919 22,334 15,580 7,530 10,475 3,953 48,777 20,303 12,957 4,700 10,817 4,929 46,083 18,539 12,240 5,036 10,268 4,874 47,227 17,550 13,501 5,781 10,395 5,477 47,149 18,6% 13,417 4,519 10,517 5,601 47,278 17,384 13,436 6,186 10,272 5,484 46,843 17,443 14,029 4,713 10,658 5,424 46,656 18,578 13,334 4,346 10,398 3,652 93 Total payable in U.S. dollars 94 Negotiable CDs 95 To United States % Parent bank 97 Other banks in United States . 98 Nonbanks 99 To foreigners 100 Other branches of parent bank 101 Banks 102 Official institutions 103 Nonbank foreigners 104 Other liabilities Bahamas and Caymans 105 Total, all currencies 142,055 142,592 160,321 159,718 160,516 165,771 164,313 155,265 164,942' 170,977 106 Negotiable CDs 107 To United States 108 Parent bank 109 Other banks in United States . 110 Nonbanks 610 104,556 45,554 12,778 46,224 847 106,081 49,481 11,715 44,885 885 113,950 53,239 17,224 43,487 941 109,424 52,221 11,451 45,752 940 112,540 49,896 12,069 50,575 731 117,765 54,174 13,412 50,179 924 116,687 56,818 11,106 48,763 1,092 107,115 51,522 10,824 44,769 1,361 115,159' 58,214' 10,823' 46,122' 953 122,821 63,188 11,419 48,214 111 To foreigners 112 Other branches of parent bank 113 Banks 114 Official institutions 115 Nonbank foreigners 116 Other liabilities 35,053 14,075 10,669 1,776 8,533 1,836 34,400 12,631 8,617 2,719 10,433 1,264 43,815 19,185 10,769 1,504 12,357 1,671 47,361 24,755 9,779 1,850 10,977 1,992 44,993 22,288 10,155 1,015 11,535 2,043 45,062 21,221 9,607 1,099 13,135 2,213 44,478 22,872 8,405 1,067 12,134 2,224 44,636 23,283 8,154 972 12,227 2,422 45,814' 22,835' 9,707' 1,060 12,212 2,608' 44,940 23,171 8,632 1,074 12,063 2,263 138,322 138,774 152,927 151,684 152,235 157,512 156,215 147,718 156,694' 163,288 117 Total payable in U.S. dollars .... Summary Statistics A59 3.15 SELECTED U.S. LIABILITIES TO FOREIGN OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Item 1 Total 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 By type Liabilities reported by banks in the United States U.S. Treasury bills and certificates U . S . Treasury bonds and notes Marketable Nonmarketable U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasury securities By area Western Europe 1 Canada Latin America and Caribbean Other countries 6 1987 1986 June July Aug. Sept. Oct.' Nov. Dec." 211,834 259,556' 290,842 290,944 290,263 288,601 295,017' 300,588 299,821 27,920 75,650 31,838 88,829 30,761 95,299 32,070 96,715 32,813 96,698 32,224 96,812 34,594' 100,814 34,719 103,843 31,577 103,724 91,368 1,300 15,596 122,432 300 16,157' 149,333 502 14,947 146,971 506 14,682 145,521 509 14,722 144,040 513 15,012 144,617' 516 14,476 146,813 520 14,693 149,025 523 14,972 88,629 2,004 8,417 105,868 1,503 5,412 124,620 4,961 8,328 116,098 1,402 4,147 126,772 10,773 9,407 134,285 1,266 7,837 125,195 10,725 9,888 135,657 1,179 7,793 123,428 9,981 11,336 136,165 1,196 7,646 121,206 10,054 10,136 137,513 1,130 8,049 125,204' 11,014 9,840 139,447' 1,094 7,903' 128,297 10,066 10,501 142,792 993 7,418 125,092 9,584 10,052 145,722 1,369 7,479 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. 2. Principally demand deposits, time deposits, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, negotiable time certificates of deposit, and borrowings under repurchase agreements. 3. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness (including those payable in foreign currencies through 1974) and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 4. Excludes notes issued to foreign official nonreserve agencies. Includes bonds and notes payable in foreign currencies. 5. Debt securities of U . S . government corporations and federally sponsored agencies, and U.S. corporate stocks and bonds. 6. Includes countries in Oceania and Eastern Europe. NOTE. Based on Treasury Department data and on data reported to the Treasury Department by banks (including Federal Reserve Banks) and securities dealers in the United States. 3.16 LIABILITIES TO AND CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in Foreign Currencies1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1987 Item 1 Banks' own liabilities 2 Banks' own claims 3 Deposits 4 Other claims 5 Claims of banks' domestic customers 2 1. Data on claims exclude foreign currencies held by U.S. ities. 1984 8,586 11,984 4,998 6,986 569 monetary author- 1985 15,368 16,294 8,437 7,857 580 1988 1986 29,702 26,180 14,129 12,052 2,507 Dec. Mar. June Sept.' 55,438 51,271 18,861 32,410 551 55,818 52,221 18,407 33,814 810 55,110 51,183 17,785 33,398 1,004 61,243 60,957 22,139 38,818 392 2. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the accounts of the domestic customers. A60 3.17 International Statistics • April 1989 LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. dollars Reported by Banks in the United States1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Holder and type of liability 1985 1986 June July Aug. Sept. Oct/ Nov. Dec.p 1 All foreigners 435,726 540,996 618,874 637,694 654,809 658,039 657,404 651,776 678,002 684,564 7 Banks' own liabilities 3 Demand deposits Time deposits 4 5 Other 3 6 Own foreign offices 4 341,070 21,107 117,278 29,305 173,381 406,485 23,789 130,891 42,705 209,100 470,070 22,383 148,374 51,677 247,635 476,484 22,991 141,145 47,418 264,931 490,856 21,983 142,551 50,747 275,575 493,988 20,314 145,123 52,630 275,920 491,108 21,375 148,747 53,840 267,145 482,560 21,830 141,948 57,199 261,583 503,465 22,049 149,229 53,896 278,290 512,644 21,817 150,970 51,884 287,973 94,656 69,133 134,511 90,398 148,804 101,743 161,209 108,614 163,953 109,555 164,050 109,106 166,2% 109,768 169,215 112,267 174,537 116,860 171,919 114,976 17,964 7,558 15,417 28,696 16,776 30,285 16,626 35,%9 16,231 38,167 15,971 38,973 15,555 40,973 16,397 40,551 16,614 41,063 16,332 40,612 11 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 8 5,821 5,807 4,464 7,879 7,061 4,749 7,764 5,879 4,752 3,102 17 Banks' own liabilities Demand deposits 13 14 Time deposits Other 3 15 2,621 85 2,067 469 3,958 199 2,065 1,693 2,702 124 1,538 1,040 5,142 84 1,873 3,185 4,882 92 1,857 2,933 2,925 85 966 1,874 5,104 104 1,688 3,311 4,067 143 1,101 2,823 3,4% 76 1,384 2,036 2,405 71 1,183 1,150 16 Banks' custody liabilities 5 U . S . Treasury bills and certificates 6 17 Other negotiable and readily transferable 18 instruments 7 19 Other 3,200 1,736 1,849 259 1,761 265 2,737 745 2,179 286 1,824 43 2,660 755 1,812 62 1,256 83 698 57 1,464 0 1,590 0 1,497 0 1,989 3 1,861 32 1,769 12 1,899 5 1,750 0 1,163 10 641 0 20 Official institutions 4 79,985 103,569 120,667 126,060 128,786 129,511 129,036 135,408 138,562 135,300 21 Banks' own liabilities Demand deposits ?.?. 73 Time deposits 24 Other 3 20,835 2,077 10,949 7,809 25,427 2,267 10,497 12,663 28,703 1,757 12,843 14,103 27,882 1,834 11,865 14,183 28,486 1,6% 11,520 15,270 29,079 1,405 12,289 15,385 28,725 1,756 11,573 15,3% 30,820 1,781 11,209 17,830 30,740 1,584 11,809 17,348 27,170 1,929 9,839 15,402 25 Banks' custody liabilities 5 26 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 27 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 28 Other 59,150 53,252 78,142 75,650 91,%5 88,829 98,178 95,299 100,300 96,715 100,432 %,698 100,311 96,812 104,589 100,814 107,822 103,843 108,130 103,724 5,824 75 2,347 145 2,990 146 2,672 207 3,368 217 3,450 284 3,221 279 3,612 163 3,758 221 4,121 286 29 Banks 10 275,589 351,745 414,280 423,854 436,443 439,532 436,310 425,242 447,584 459,525 30 Banks' own liabilities 31 Unaffiliated foreign banks 32 Demand deposits 33 Time deposits Other 3 35 Own foreign offices 4 252,723 79,341 10,271 49,510 19,561 173,381 310,166 101,066 10,303 64,232 26,531 209,100 371,665 124,030 10,898 79,717 33,415 247,635 375,461 110,529 10,899 72,187 27,444 264,931 387,578 112,003 10,217 73,000 28,787 275,575 390,416 114,495 9,258 73,826 31,412 275,920 385,217 118,072 9,349 77,713 31,010 267,145 374,639 113,056 10,228 71,096 31,733 261,583 395,766 117,475 10,398 76,650 30,427 278,290 408,198 120,225 9,%5 80,386 29,875 287,973 36 Banks' custody liabilities 5 U . S . Treasury bills and certificates 6 37 Other negotiable and readily transferable 38 instruments 39 Other 22,866 9,832 41,579 9,984 42,615 9,134 48,394 9,212 48,865 9,324 49,116 9,299 51,093 8,%9 50,603 7,976 51,819 8,087 51,327 7,602 6,040 6,994 5,165 26,431 5,392 28,089 4,725 34,457 4,625 34,916 4,090 35,727 4,230 37,893 5,265 37,362 5,686 38,046 5,682 38,043 40 Other foreigners 74,331 79,875 79,463 79,900 82,520 84,247 84,294 85,247 87,104 86,636 41 Banks' own liabilities 47 Demand deposits 43 Time deposits 44 Other 64,892 8,673 54,752 1,467 66,934 11,019 54,097 1,818 67,000 9,604 54,277 3,119 67,999 10,173 55,220 2,606 69,910 9,979 56,174 3,757 71,568 9,566 58,042 3,960 72,061 10,166 57,772 4,123 73,035 9,678 58,542 4,814 73,463 9,991 59,386 4,085 74,871 9,852 59,562 5,456 9,439 4,314 12,941 4,506 12,463 3,515 11,901 3,358 12,610 3,231 12,678 3,066 12,233 3,231 12,212 3,415 13,641 4,848 11,765 3,593 4,636 489 6,315 2,120 6,898 2,050 7,241 1,303 6,378 3,002 6,663 2,950 6,205 2,797 5,771 3,026 6,007 2,786 5,889 2,283 9,845 7,4% 7,314 7,711 6,975 6,792 6,121 6,123 6,137 6,344 7 Banks' custody liabilities 5 U .S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 8 9 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 7 10 Other M 45 Banks' custody liabilities 5 46 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 6 47 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 7 Other 48 49 MEMO: Negotiable time certificates of deposit in custody for foreigners 1. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Excludes negotiable time certificates of deposit, which are included in "Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments." 3. Includes borrowing under repurchase agreements. 4. U.S. banks: includes amounts due to own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due to head office or parent foreign bank, and foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or parent foreign bank. 5. Financial claims on residents of the United States, other than long-term securities, held by or through reporting banks. 6. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 7. Principally bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 8. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and the Inter-American and Asian Development Banks. Data exclude "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 9. Foreign central banks, foreign central governments, and the Bank for International Settlements. 10. Excludes central banks, which are included in "Official institutions." Nonbank-Reported Data 3.17—Continued 1988 Area and country 1985 1986 1987 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.p 1 Total 435,726 540,996 618,874 637,694 654,809 658,039 657,404 651,776' 678,002 684,564 2 Foreign countries 429,905 535,189 614,411 629,815 647,749 653,289 649,640 645,896' 673,250 681,462 164,114 693 5,243 513 496 15,541 4,835 666 9,667 4,212 948 652 2,114 1,422 29,020 429 76,728 673 9,635 105 523 180,556 1,181 6,729 482 580 22,862 5,762 700 10,875 5,600 735 699 2,407 884 30,534 454 85,334 630 3,326 80 702 234,641 920 9,347 760 377 29,835 7,022 689 12,073 5,014 1,362 801 2,621 1,379 33,766 703 116,852 710 9,798 32 582 227,661 941 10,363 1,364 426 26,980 5,110 653 10,705 5,351 1,078 897 4,173 1,522 31,197 570 115,531 690 9,259 239 611 231,218 1,425 9,531 1,474 549 26,005 5,211 620 9,921 5,007 1,322 859 5,011 1,926 30,416 537 121,895 614 8,215 80 598 232,797 1,245 10,051 2,078 417 24,237 6,226 694 9,766 5,647 900 848 5,570 2,011 29,043 709 122,620 629 9,463 99 544 224,663 1,072 9,937 1,402 447 24,295 5,085 633 8,550 6,167 1,060 858 6,248 2,1% 31,330 706 113,287 579 10,207 45 558 227,308' 1,271 10,247 2,362' 339 23,285 5,898 675' 12,512 6,377 1,143 915 6,838 1,579 31,333' 878 109,9% 655 10,240' 100 667' 233,943 1,607 11,108 3,089 339 24,564 7,981 683 13,337 5,939 1,342 738 5,976 1,819 32,286 793 111,733 569 9,255 74 711 236,367 1,198 10,001 2,180 284 24,736 6,727 720 14,614 5,306 1,558 903 5,507 1,276 34,320 1,014 116,231 529 8,534 138 591 17,427 26,345 30,095 30,037 29,944 28,128 28,247 26,697 26,188 21,034 167,856 6,032 57,657 2,765 5,373 42,674 2,049 3,104 11 1,239 1,071 122 14,060 4,875 7,514 1,167 1,552 11,922 4,668 210,318 4,757 73,619 2,922 4,325 72,263 2,054 4,285 7 1,236 1,123 136 13,745 4,970 6,886 1,163 1,537 10,171 5,119 220,372 5,006 74,767 2,344 4,005 81,494 2,210 4,204 12 1,082 1,082 160 14,480 4,975 7,414 1,275 1,582 9,048 5,234 233,041 5,876 74,282 2,077 4,205 94,347 2,378 4,502 10 1,212 1,209 156 15,801 5,338 4,171 1,438 1,882 8,950 5,207 242,719 5,975 76,002 2,413 4,489 101,332 2,323 4,441 9 1,216 1,183 154 16,334 4,798 4,251 1,514 1,828 9,116 5,343 246,723 6,775 78,889 2,394 4,524 99,907 2,463 4,403 8 1,224 1,182 149 17,260 5,011 4,262 1,539 1,898 9,330 5,504 246,743 7,106 77,921 2,389 4,475 101,711 2,467 4,171 9 1,244 1,177 166 15,842 5,252 4,128 1,584 1,884 9,752 5,462 240,074' 7,065 76,805 2,577 4,726 95,828 2,727 4,136 12 1,265 1,150 177 15,636' 5,354 4,114 1,605 1,788 9,547 5,560 257,303 7,307 83,613 2,821 5,135 104,906 2,653 4,221 9 1,360 1,178 164 15,457 5,907 4,046 1,650 1,885 9,301 5,690 266,851 7,751 86,499 2,622 5,148 110,471 2,919 4,314 10 1,360 1,186 186 15,122 6,675 4,230 1,612 1,878 9,129 5,740 72,280 108,831 121,288 128,0% 133,933 135,851 139,845 142,062' 145,891 147,094 1,607 7,786 8,067 712 1,466 1,601 23,077 1,665 1,140 1,358 14,523 9,276 1,476 18,902 9,393 674 1,547 1,892 47,410 1,141 1,866 1,119 12,352 11,058 1,162 21,503 10,180 582 1,404 1,292 54,322 1,637 1,085 1,345 13,988 12,788 1,725 23,072 9,321 942 1,075 1,334 60,846 1,572 954 1,099 12,089 14,066 1,564 24,023 9,951 858 1,036 1,244 63,460 1,459 1,085 1,650 14,298 13,306 1,757 23,422 10,417 845 1,254 1,194 64,559 1,720 1,001 1,422 12,787 15,472 1,608 22,334 10,875 1,013 1,121 1,130 70,188 2,091 971 1,369 14,091 13,053 1,479 23,377 11,532 793 1,286 2,323 70,594 2,440 1,140 1,363 13,232' 12,503 1,401 24,791 12,386 761 995 1,063 73,103 2,813 1,150 1,205 12,871 13,352 1,892 26,039 11,724 710 1,189 1,498 73,770 2,546 1,143 1,235 12,053 13,296 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco 60 South Africa 61 Zaire 62 Oil-exporting countries 4 63 Other 4,883 1,363 163 388 163 1,494 1,312 4,021 706 92 270 74 1,519 1,360 3,945 1,151 194 202 67 1,014 1,316 4,023 1,187 73 245 60 1,108 1,351 3,837 1,039 80 200 63 1,052 1,403 3,846 %9 70 204 67 1,039 1,498 3,659 813 111 247 71 1,015 1,402 3,702 850 66 245 71 993 1,477 3,530 757 64 267 72 952 1,418 3,968 911 67 437 71 1,016 1,465 64 Other countries 65 Australia 66 All other 3,347 2,779 568 5,118 4,196 922 4,070 3,327 744 6,957 6,017 939 6,098 5,329 769 5,945 5,170 775 6,484 5,639 845 6,054 5,199 854 6,3% 5,426 970 6,148 5,279 869 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 68 International 5 69 Latin American regional 70 Other regional 6 5,821 4,806 894 121 5,807 4,620 1,033 154 4,464 2,830 1,272 362 7,879 5,925 1,769 185 7,061 5,130 1,651 279 4,749 2,979 1,614 156 7,764 5,721 1,762 281 5,879 3,912 1,662 306 4,752 3,265 1,276 211 3,102 2,381 589 133 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland 8 France 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands Norway 13 14 Portugal 15 Spain 16 Sweden 17 Switzerland 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 20 Yugoslavia 21 Other Western Europe 1 22 U.S.S.R 23 Other Eastern Europe 2 24 Canada 25 Latin America and Caribbean 26 Argentina 27 Bahamas 28 Bermuda 29 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile 32 Colombia 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 35 Guatemala 36 Jamaica 37 Mexico 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru 41 Uruguay 42 Venezuela 43 Other 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Middle-East oil-exporting countries 3 Other 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements and Eastern European countries that are not listed in line 23. 2. Comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 5. Excludes "holdings of dollars" of the International Monetary Fund. 6. Asian, African, Middle Eastern, and European regional organizations, except the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." A61 A62 International Statistics • April 1989 3.18 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Area and country 1985 1986 1987 June July Aug. Sept. Oct/ Nov. Dec." 1 Total 401,608 444,745 459,877 458,967 470,241 469,243 477,149 465,916 485,566 489,260 2 Foreign countries 400,577 441,724 456,472 456,372 467,427 466,799 471,566 462,814 481,244 487,571 106,413 598 5,772 706 823 9,124 1,267 991 8,848 1,258 706 1,058 1,908 2,219 3,171 1,200 62,566 1,964 998 130 1,107 107,823 728 7,498 688 987 11,356 1,816 648 9,043 3,296 672 739 1,492 1,964 3,352 1,543 58,335 1,835 539 345 948 102,348 793 9,397 717 1,010 13,548 2,039 462 7,460 2,619 934 477 1,853 2,254 2,718 1,680 50,823 1,700 619 389 852 100,909 806 7,863 640 954 12,186 2,862 589 7,072 2,656 589 358 1,862 2,087 3,291 1,495 52,033 1,624 647 506 787 99,751 888 8,530 742 1,325 11,861 2,169 562 6,607 3,017 484 333 1,973 1,958 2,491 1,432 51,918 1,559 671 431 800 99,284 743 8,419 608 1,231 11,965 2,000 523 6,626 2,933 534 321 2,011 2,256 2,569 1,397 51,789 1,537 524 466 831 102,409 808 8,786 582 1,195 12,164 1,728 506 6,118 3,202 510 333 1,969 1,983 2,559 1,396 54,669 1,476 889 473 1,065 105,855 812 8,902 631 912 12,327 2,315 493 6,027 2,666 534 266 1,800 1,852 2,918 1,344 57,906 1,472 1,125 754 800 108,157 721 8,951 599 1,157 12,478 2,305 601 7,092 2,763 478 253 2,054 2,086 2,983 1,265 57,988 1,450 926 1,207 801 116,780 490 8,468 480 1,065 13,085 2,323 431 7,942 2,548 453 257 1,823 1,976 4,069 1,222 65,597 1,390 1,152 1,245 764 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland 8 France 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 15 Spain 16 Sweden Switzerland 17 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 20 Yugoslavia 21 Other Western Europe 2 22 U.S.S.R 23 Other Eastern Europe 24 Canada 16,482 21,006 25,368 24,634 23,937 24,137 23,804 22,482 23,274 18,865 202,674 11,462 58,258 499 25,283 38,881 6,603 3,249 0 2,390 194 224 31,799 1,340 6,645 1,947 960 10,871 2,067 208,825 12,091 59,342 418 25,716 46,284 6,558 2,821 0 2,439 140 198 30,698 1,041 5,436 1,661 940 11,108 1,936 214,789 11,996 64,587 471 25,897 50,042 6,308 2,740 1 2,286 144 188 29,532 980 4,744 1,329 963 10,843 1,738 202,663 12,365 55,554 818 26,230 51,763 5,881 3,095 0 2,142 144 187 26,177 1,238 2,492 1,149 885 10,912 1,631 205,268 12,342 60,350 460 26,023 50,483 5,771 3,127 0 2,143 157 214 26,022 1,055 2,400 1,137 878 11,021 1,684 206,798 12,238 63,305 430 25,909 49,641 5,677 3,029 0 2,156 148 184 25,885 1,269 2,370 1,192 889 10,862 1,612 212,897 12,235 64,253 688 25,610 55,262 5,656 3,023 0 2,185 150 185 25,971 1,079 2,238 1,080 891 10,754 1,636 201,049 12,077 59,322 596 25,461 48,881 5,459 3,016 0 2,168 175 201 25,645 1,491 2,214 1,065 850 10,803 1,626 211,334 12,023 67,525 511 26,399 50,637 5,332 2,964 0 2,162 167 205 25,366 1,427 2,350 1,012 888 10,735 1,628 212,922 11,825 67,003 483 25,729 54,395 5,401 2,839 100 2,075 190 268 24,562 1,309 2,486 1,012 910 10,755 1,580 66,212 96,126 106,096 120,202 130,573 128,787 124,835 125,067 130,224 130,801 639 1,535 6,797 450 698 1,991 31,249 9,226 2,224 845 4,298 6,260 787 2,681 8,307 321 723 1,634 59,674 7,182 2,217 578 4,122 7,901 968 4,592 8,218 510 580 1,363 68,658 5,148 2,071 496 4,858 8,635 1,065 3,957 9,632 499 772 1,213 82,350 5,003 2,055 641 4,574 8,441 1,033 3,562 8,342 508 765 1,206 93,140 4,889 2,029 668 6,400 8,031 1,017 3,241 7,451 548 786 1,174 92,840 4,909 2,030 683 6,216 7,891 888 3,121 8,389 540 778 1,180 87,246 5,137 2,009 759 6,401 8,389 756 3,040 9,495 634 808 1,174 87,626 5,192 1,912 766 5,412 8,253 777 3,845 10,826 568 767 1,230 89,464 5,395 1,900 778 6,657 8,018 762 4,184 9,8% 560 730 1,147 90,420 5,155 1,875 850 6,137 9,085 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco 60 South Africa 61 Zaire 62 Oil-exporting countries 63 Other 5,407 721 575 1,942 20 630 1,520 4,650 567 598 1,550 28 694 1,213 4,742 521 542 1,507 15 1,003 1,153 5,423 605 484 1,693 41 1,275 1,325 5,493 539 481 1,726 38 1,340 1,369 5,462 530 478 1,711 36 1,359 1,348 5,454 535 478 1,693 16 1,388 1,343 5,633 540 476 1,707 17 1,483 1,410 5,629 532 488 1,698 18 1,491 1,402 5,706 509 511 1,676 17 1,525 1,469 64 Other countries 65 Australia 66 Mother 3,390 2,413 978 3,294 1,949 1,345 3,129 2,100 1,029 2,541 1,678 863 2,404 1,554 850 2,331 1,499 832 2,167 1,392 775 2,728 1,879 849 2,625 1,566 1,059 2,497 1,624 874 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 1,030 3,021 3,404 2,595 2,814 2,445 5,583 3,101 4,322 1,688 25 Latin America and Caribbean 26 Argentina 27 Bahamas 28 Bermuda 29 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile 32 Colombia 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 35 Guatemala 4 36 Jamaica 37 Mexico 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru 41 Uruguay 42 Venezuela 43 Other Latin America and Caribbean 44 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 >3 54 55 56 China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Middle East oil-exporting countries Other Asia 1. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Beginning April 1978, also includes Eastern European countries not listed in line 23. 3. Beginning April 1978 comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 4. Included in "Other Latin America and Caribbean" through March 1978. 5. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Tracial States). 6. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 7. Excludes the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." Nonbank-Reported Data 3.19 BANKS' OWN AND DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS' CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 Type of claim 1985 1986 1987 June July Aug. 470,241 62,825 239,112 127,298 60,184 67,114 41,006 469,243 61,696 237,012 128,447 60,558 67,889 42,089 Sept. 1 Total 430,489 478,650 497,635 494,280 2 Banks' own claims on foreigners 3 Foreign public borrowers 4 Own foreign offices 5 Unaffiliated foreign banks 6 Deposits 7 Other All other foreigners 8 401,608 60,507 174,261 116,654 48,372 68,282 50,185 444,745 64,095 211,533 122,946 57,484 65,462 46,171 459,877 64,605 224,727 127,609 60,687 66,922 42,936 458,967 62,758 229,972 123,498 59,043 64,455 42,738 28,881 3,335 33,905 4,413 37,758 3,692 35,314 4,843 35,801 5,391 19,332 24,044 26,696 24,002 20,916 6,214 5,448 7,370 6,468 9,494 28,487 25,706 23,107 19,618 18,730 38,102 43,984 40,087 42,763 9 Claims of banks' domestic c u s t o m e r s 3 . . . 11 Oct/ Nov. 465,916 60,649 237,414 121,950 54,180 67,771 45,902 485,566 64,475 255,023 123,204 56,042 67,161 42,864 489,260 61,312 256,214 129,254 66,091 63,163 42,481 41,869 48,676 n.a. 489,260 512,950 477,149 63,736 245,397 124,852 61,521 63,330 43,164 Dec." Negotiable and readily transferable 12 Outstanding collections and other 13 MEMO: Customer liability on Dollar deposits in banks abroad, reported by nonbanking business enterprises in the United States 46,837 49,732 42,720 and foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or parent foreign bank. 3. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the account of their domestic customers. 4. Principally negotiable time certificates of deposit and bankers acceptances. 5. Includes demand and time deposits and negotiable and nonnegotiable certificates of deposit denominated in U . S . dollars issued by banks abroad. For description of changes in data reported by nonbanks, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 1. Data for banks' own claims are given on a monthly basis, but the data for claims of banks' own domestic customers are available on a quarterly basis only. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commercial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. U.S. banks: includes amounts due from own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due from head office or parent foreign bank, 3.20 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States1 Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1987 Maturity; by borrower and area 1984 1985 1988 1986 Dec. Mar. June Sept/ 1 Total 243,952 227,903 232,295 235,130 219,323 227,589 228,887 By borrower 2 Maturity of 1 year or less 2 3 Foreign public borrowers 4 All other foreigners 5 Maturity over 1 y e a r 6 Foreign public borrowers 7 All other foreigners 167,858 23,912 143,947 76,094 38,695 37,399 160,824 26,302 134,522 67,078 34,512 32,567 160,555 24,842 135,714 71,740 39,103 32,637 163,997 25,889 138,108 71,133 38,625 32,507 152,658 24,488 128,171 66,664 35,879 30,785 162,912 25,608 137,304 64,677 35,613 29,064 166,342 27,721 138,622 62,545 35,101 27,445 58,498 6,028 62,791 33,504 4,442 2,593 56,585 6,401 63,328 27,966 3,753 2,791 61,784 5,895 56,271 29,457 2,882 4,267 59,027 5,680 56,535 35,919 2,833 4,003 51,552 4,978 55,544 35,579 2,596 2,410 55,242 6,426 56,333 38,893 2,914 3,103 53,859 5,913 55,661 41,909 3,112 5,888 9,605 1,882 56,144 5,323 2,033 1,107 7,634 1,805 50,674 4,502 1,538 926 6,737 1,925 56,719 4,043 1,539 777 6,696 2,661 53,817 3,830 1,747 2,381 5,914 2,213 51,541 3,680 2,201 1,114 5,420 2,337 49,775 3,711 2,429 1,006 5,323 2,075 48,293 3,954 2,265 635 8 9 10 11 12 n 14 15 16 17 18 19 By area Maturity of 1 year or less Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa All other 3 Maturity of over 1 year 2 Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa All other 3 1. Reporting banks include all kinds of depository institutions besides commerrial banks, as well as some brokers and dealers. 2. Remaining time to maturity, 3. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A63 A64 International Statistics • April 1989 3.21 CLAIMS ON FOREIGN COUNTRIES Held by U.S. Offices and Foreign Branches of U.S.-Chartered Banks1-2 Billions of dollars, end of period 1986 Area or country 1 Total iyo4 1987 1988 l70J Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 405.7 385.4 381.6 385.1 395.4 384.6 387.7 381.4 373.1 352.6 356.9 148.1 8.7 14.1 9.0 10.1 3.9 3.2 3.9 60.3 7.9 27.1 146.0 9.2 12.1 10.5 9.6 3.7 2.7 4.4 63.0 6.8 23.9 154.8 8.3 14.5 12.4 7.8 3.9 2.7 4.7 68.8 5.9 25.8 156.6 8.3 13.7 11.6 9.0 4.6 2.4 5.8 71.0 5.3 24.9 162.7 9.1 13.3 12.7 8.7 4.4 3.0 5.8 73.7 5.3 26.9 158.1 8.3 12.5 11.2 7.5 7.3 2.4 5.7 72.0 4.7 26.3 155.2 8.2 13.7 10.5 6.6 4.8 2.6 5.4 72.1 4.7 26.5 160.0 10.1 13.8 12.6 7.3 4.0 2.1 5.6 69.1 5.6 29.8 156.7 9.3 11.5 11.8 7.4 3.3 2.1 5.1 71.4 4.9 29.9 150.5 9.2 10.8 10.6 6.1 3.3 1.9 5.6 69.8 5.4 27.9 149.5' 9.5 10.0 8.9 5.9 3.0 2.0 5.2 68.0 r 5.2 31.7 13 Other developed countries 14 Austria 15 Denmark 16 Finland 17 Greece 18 Norway 19 Portugal 20 Spain 21 Turkey 22 Other Western Europe 23 South Africa 24 Australia 33.6 1.6 2.2 1.9 2.9 3.0 1.4 6.5 1.9 1.7 4.5 6.0 29.9 1.5 2.3 1.6 2.6 2.9 1.2 5.8 1.8 2.0 3.2 5.0 28.9 1.7 2.2 1.6 2.3 2.7 1.0 6.7 1.9 1.6 3.0 4.2 25.7 1.7 1.7 1.4 2.3 2.4 .8 5.8 1.8 1.4 3.0 3.5 25.7 1.9 1.7 1.4 2.1 2.2 .9 6.3 1.7 1.4 3.0 3.2 25.2 1.8 1.5 1.4 2.0 2.1 .8 6.1 1.7 1.5 3.0 3.1 25.9 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.9 2.0 .8 7.4 1.5 1.6 2.9 2.9 26.2 1.9 1.7 1.3 2.0 2.3 .5 8.0 1.6 1.6 2.9 2.4 26.2 1.6 1.4 1.0 2.3 2.0 .4 9.0 1.6 1.9 2.8 2.1 23.7 1.6 1.0 1.2 2.2 2.0 .4 7.2 1.5 1.6 2.8 2.2 22.7 1.6 1.1 1.3 2.1 2.0 .4 6.3 1.3 1.9 2.7 1.8 25 OPEC countries 3 26 Ecuador 27 Venezuela 28 Indonesia 29 Middle East countries 30 African countries 24.9 2.2 9.3 3.3 7.9 2.3 21.3 2.1 8.9 3.0 5.3 2.0 19.7 2.2 8.7 2.8 4.4 1.7 19.3 2.2 8.6 2.5 4.3 1.7 20.0 2.1 8.5 2.4 5.4 1.6 18.8 2.1 8.4 2.2 4.4 1.7 19.0 2.1 8.3 2.0 5.0 1.7 17.1 1.9 8.1 1.9 3.6 1.7 17.2 1.9 8.1 1.9 3.6 1.7 16.4 1.8 8.0 1.9 3.1 1.7 17.6 1.8 7.9 1.9 4.3 1.7 2 G-10 countries and Switzerland 3 Belgium-Luxembourg 4 France 5 Germany 6 Italy 7 Netherlands 8 Sweden 9 Switzerland 10 United Kingdom 11 Canada 12 Japan 31 Non-OPEC developing countries 111.8 104.2 99.1 99.1 100.7 100.4 97.7 97.7 94.0 91.3 87.0 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Peru Other Latin America 8.7 26.3 7.0 2.9 25.7 2.2 3.9 8.8 25.4 6.9 2.6 23.9 1.8 3.4 9.2 25.2 7.1 1.9 23.9 1.5 3.3 9.5 25.2 7.1 2.1 23.8 1.4 3.1 9.5 26.2 7.3 2.0 24.1 1.4 3.0 9.5 25.1 7.2 1.9 25.3 1.3 2.9 9.3 25.1 7.0 1.9 24.8 1.2 2.8 9.4 24.7 6.9 2.0 23.7 1.1 2.7 9.5 23.9 6.6 1.9 22.5 1.1 2.8 9.4 23.7 6.4 2.1 21.1 .9 2.6 9.2 22.4 6.2 2.1 20.6 .8 2.5 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Asia China Mainland Taiwan India Israel Korea (South) Malaysia Philippines Thailand Other Asia .7 5.1 .9 1.8 10.6 2.7 6.0 1.8 1.1 .5 4.5 1.2 1.6 9.2 2.4 5.7 1.4 1.0 .6 4.3 1.3 1.4 7.1 2.1 5.4 1.0 .6 .4 4.9 1.2 1.5 6.6 2.1 5.4 .9 .7 .9 5.5 1.8 1.4 6.2 1.9 5.4 .9 .6 .6 6.6 1.7 1.3 5.6 1.7 5.4 .8 .7 .3 6.0 1.9 1.3 4.9 1.6 5.4 .7 .7 .3 8.2 1.9 1.0 5.0 1.5 5.1 .7 .7 .4 6.1 2.1 1.0 5.7 1.5 5.1 1.0 .7 .3 4.9 2.3 1.0 5.9 1.5 4.9 1.1 .8 .2' 3.2' 2.0 1.0 6.0 1.6 4.5 1.2 .8 48 49 50 51 Africa Egypt Morocco Zaire Other Africa 4 1.2 .8 .1 2.1 1.0 .9 .1 1.9 .7 .9 .1 1.6 .7 .9 .1 1.6 .6 .9 .1 1.4 .6 .9 .1 1.3 .6 .8 .1 1.3 .5 .9 .0 1.3 .5 .9 .1 1.0 .6 .9 .1 1.2 .5 .8 .0 1.2 52 Eastern Europe 53 U.S.S.R 54 Yugoslavia 55 Other 4.4 .1 2.3 2.0 4.1 .1 2.2 1.8 3.3 .1 1.9 1.4 3.2 .1 1.7 1.4 3.0 .1 1.6 1.3 3.3 .3 1.7 1.3 3.3 .5 1.7 1.2 3.0 .4 1.6 1.0 2.9 .3 1.7 .9 3.1 .4 1.7 1.0 3.0' .4 1.7 1.0' 56 Offshore banking centers 57 Bahamas 58 Bermuda 59 Cayman Islands and other British West Indies 60 Netherlands Antilles 61 Panama 62 Lebanon 63 Hong Kong 64 Singapore 65 Others 6 65.6 21.5 .9 11.8 3.4 6.7] 62.9 21.2 .7 11.6 2.2 6.0] 58.3 19.6 .4 11.3 1.8 5.1j 61.3 22.0 .7 12.4 1.8 4.0j 63.1 23.9 .8 12.2 1.7 4.3| 60.7 19.9 .6 14.0 1.3 3.9j 64.3 25.5 .6 12.8 1.2 3.7 54.3 17.1 .6 13.3 1.2 3.7 54.6 18.3 .8 12.2 1.3 3.2 45.3 11.0 1.0 10.6 1.2 3.0 49.8' 15.8 .9 11.5' 1.2 2.7 1L4 9.8 .0 1L4 9.8 .0 io!s 9.7 .0 11.1 9.2 .0 1L4 8.6 .0 12.5 8.3 .0 12.3 8.1 .0 11.3 7.0 .0 113 7.4 .0 11.7 6.8 .0 10.6 7.0 .0 66 Miscellaneous and unallocated 7 17.3 16.9 17.3 19.8 20.1 18.1 22.3 23.2 21.5 22.2 27.0 1. The banking offices covered by these data are the U.S. offices and foreign branches of U.S.-owned banks and of U.S. subsidiaries of foreign-owned banks. Offices not covered include (1) U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks, and (2) foreign subsidiaries of U.S. banks. To minimize duplication, the data are adjusted to exclude the claims on foreign branches held by a U.S. office or another foreign branch of the same banking institution. The data in this table combine foreign branch claims in table 3.14 (the sum of lines 7 through 10) with the claims of U.S. offices in table 3.18 (excluding those held by agencies and branches of foreign banks and those constituting claims on own foreign branches). 2. Beginning with June 1984 data, reported claims held by foreign branches have been reduced by an increase in the reporting threshold for "shell" branches from $50 million to $150 million equivalent in total assets, the threshold now applicable to all reporting branches. 3. This group comprises the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries shown individually, other members of OPEC (Algeria, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates), and Bahrain and Oman (not formally members of OPEC). 4. Excludes Liberia. 5. Includes Canal Zone beginning December 1979. 6. Foreign branch claims only. 7. Includes New Zealand, Liberia, and international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported Data A65 3.22 LIABILITIES TO UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1988 1987 Type, and area or country 1984 1985 1986 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 1 Total 29,357 27,825 25,587 28,571 27,852 28,877 29,387 30,989 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 26,389 2,968 24,296 3,529 21,749 3,838 24,006 4,565 22,468 5,384 23,293 5,584 24,136 5,251 25,758 5,231 By type 4 Financial liabilities 5 Payable in dollars 6 Payable in foreign currencies 14,509 12,553 1,955 13,600 11,257 2,343 12,133 9,609 2,524 12,936 9,945 2,991 11,828 8,303 3,525 13,134 9,459 3,675 13,112 9,607 3,505 13,512 10,090 3,422 14,849 7,005 7,843 13,836 1,013 14,225 6,685 7,540 13,039 1,186 13,454 6,450 7,004 12,140 1,314 15,635 7,548 8,086 14,061 1,574 16,025 7,425 8,600 14,165 1,859 15,743 6,560 9,183 13,834 1,909 16,275 6,867 9,409 14,529 1,746 17,477 6,586 10,891 15,668 1,809 6,728 471 995 489 590 569 3,297 7,700 349 857 376 861 610 4,305 7,917 270 661 368 542 646 5,140 9,162 230 615 505 505 685 6,357 8,065 202 364 583 884 493 5,346 8,983 241 365 586 883 652 6,074 8,758 269 332 626 880 707 5,772 9,450 326 329 709 893 697 6,326 7 Commercial liabilities 8 Trade payables 9 Advance receipts and other liabilities 10 Payable in dollars 11 Payable in foreign currencies 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 By area or country Financial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 19 Canada 863 839 399 397 400 467 461 439 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 5,086 1,926 13 35 2,103 367 137 3,184 1,123 4 29 1,843 15 3 1,944 614 4 32 1,146 22 0 998 280 0 22 618 17 3 829 278 0 25 459 13 0 1,178 249 0 23 807 15 2 1,175 211 0 20 878 26 0 894 233 0 35 581 2 0 27 28 29 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 1,777 1,209 155 1,815 1,198 82 1,805 1,398 8 2,300 1,830 7 2,429 2,042 8 2,426 1,987 11 2,641 2.066 11 2,672 2,076 11 30 31 Africa Oil-exporting countries 14 0 12 0 1 1 2 0 4 1 5 3 2 1 3 1 32 Mother4 41 50 67 76 100 75 74 55 4,001 48 438 622 245 257 1,095 4,074 62 453 607 364 379 976 4,446 101 352 715 424 385 1,341 4,951 59 437 674 336 556 1,473 5,635 134 451 916 428 559 1,668 5,738 156 441 818 463 527 1,798 5,836 150 433 798 535 482 1,848 6,855 203 470 1,203 653 510 2,186 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Commercial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 40 Canada 1,975 1,449 1,405 1,399 1,301 1,392 1,168 1,106 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 1,871 7 114 124 32 586 636 1,088 12 77 58 44 430 212 924 32 156 61 49 217 216 1,082 22 252 40 47 231 176 865 19 168 46 19 189 162 938 15 325 59 14 164 85 996 58 272 53 28 233 111 995 20 222 58 30 178 204 48 49 50 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries ' 5,285 1,256 2,372 6,046 1,799 2,829 5,080 2,042 1,679 6,511 2,422 2,104 6,573 2,580 1,964 5,888 2,510 1,062 6,262 2,659 1,318 6,644 2,767 1,312 51 52 Africa Oil-exporting countries 588 233 587 238 619 197 572 151 574 135 575 139 624 115 462 106 53 All other 4 1,128 982 980 1,119 1,078 1,211 1,390 1,414 1. For a description of the changes in the Internationa) Statistics tables, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 2. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 4. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. 5. Revisions include a reclassification of transactions, which also affects the totals for Asia and the grand totals. A66 International Statistics • April 1989 3.23 CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS United States1 Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the Millions of dollars, end of period 1987 Type, and area or country 1984 1985 1988 1986 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. 1 Total 29,901 28,876 36,265 33,265 31,967 31,445 38,716 37,497 2 Payable in dollars i Payable in foreign currencies 27,304 2,597 26,574 2,302 33,867 2,399 30,705 2,561 29,114 2,854 29,368 2,077 36,637 2,078 34,899 2,597 By type 4 Financial claims 5 Deposits 6 Payable in dollars / Payable in foreign currencies 8 Other financial claims 9 Payable in dollars 10 Payable in foreign currencies 19,254 14,621 14,202 420 4,633 3,190 1,442 18,891 15,526 14,911 615 3,364 2,330 1,035 26,273 19,916 19,331 585 6,357 5,005 1,352 22,847 17,274 16,366 908 5,572 4,448 1,124 21,338 15,214 13,997 1,217 6,124 5,020 1,104 20,612 13,257 12,604 654 7,355 6,301 1,054 27,102 20,037 19,195 842 7,064 6,238 826 26,508 19,866 18,666 1,200 6,642 5,814 828 11 Commercial claims 12 Trade receivables 13 Advance payments and other claims 10,646 9,177 1,470 9,986 8,696 1,290 9,992 8,783 1,209 10,419 9,420 999 10,630 9,565 1,065 10,832 9,719 1,113 11,614 10,558 1,056 10,989 10,004 985 9,912 735 9,333 652 9,530 462 9,891 528 10,097 533 10,464 369 11,204 410 10,419 570 5,762 15 126 224 66 66 4,864 6,929 10 184 223 161 74 6,007 10,744 41 138 116 151 185 9,855 10,785 26 171 103 157 44 10,074 10,182 7 360 122 351 84 9,008 10,314 15 335 112 336 57 9,210 12,577 16 185 181 337 82 11,407 11,126 49 212 119 364 84 9,675 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies By area or country Financial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 23 Canada 3,988 3,260 4,808 3,295 3,293 2,777 3,074 3,473 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 8,216 3,306 6 100 4,043 215 125 7,846 2,698 6 78 4,571 180 48 9,291 2,628 6 86 6,078 174 21 7,568 3,299 2 113 3,705 174 18 6,817 1,804 7 63 4,427 172 19 6,572 2,349 43 86 3,561 154 35 10,898 4,145 126 46 6,077 147 28 11,177 4,088 138 65 6,421 133 27 31 32 33 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 2 961 353 13 731 475 4 1,317 999 7 1,105 737 10 908 628 10 874 708 7 446 211 6 610 425 6 34 35 Africa Oil-exporting countries 210 85 103 29 85 28 71 14 65 7 53 7 60 10 % 36 All other 4 117 21 28 24 72 23 47 26 3,801 165 440 374 335 271 1,063 3,533 175 426 346 284 284 898 3,725 133 431 444 164 217 999 4,166 169 462 551 190 206 1,228 4,190 179 652 562 135 185 1,086 4,201 192 554 637 151 172 1,084 4,901 159 686 770 173 262 1,300 4,261 171 535 604 146 182 1,187 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Commercial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 9 44 Canada 1,021 1,023 934 1,051 931 1,155 946 933 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 2,052 8 115 214 7 583 206 1,753 13 93 206 6 510 157 1,857 28 193 234 39 412 237 1,732 12 143 231 20 369 192 1,947 19 170 227 26 368 298 1,973 14 171 214 24 374 314 2,090 13 174 234 25 399 343 2,122 12 161 236 22 462 293 52 53 54 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 2 3,073 1,191 668 2,982 1,016 638 2,755 881 563 2,800 1,027 434 2,919 1,160 450 2,857 1,109 408 3,002 1,169 445 2,981 956 407 55 56 Africa Oil-exporting countries 470 134 437 130 500 139 407 124 401 144 419 126 422 136 419 136 57 All other 4 229 257 222 262 241 227 253 272 1. For a description of the changes in the International Statistics tables, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 2. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 4. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Securities Holdings and Transactions A67 3.24 FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS IN SECURITIES Millions of dollars 1988 1988 Transactions, and area or country 1987 1986 Jan.Dec. July June Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec/ 11,971 12,552 13,232 14,852 11,973 11,861 11,215 12,464 U . S . corporate securities STOCKS 1 2 Foreign purchases Foreign sales 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1? 13 14 15 16 17 18 148,114 129,395 249,122 232,849 180,951 183,014 20,007 19,678 19,207 18,383 17,275 16,704 Net purchases, or sales (—) 18,719 16,272 -2,062 329 824 572 -581 -1,620 112 -1,249 Foreign countries 18,927 16,321 -1,887 287 793 548 -554 -1,507 89 -1,204 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East' Other Asia Japan Africa Other countries 9,559 459 341 936 1,560 4,826 816 3,031 976 3,876 3,305 297 373 1,932 905 -70 892 -1,123 631 1,048 1,318 -1,360 12,8% 11,365 123 365 -3,428 -281 223 -535 -2,242 -1,034 1,088 1,248 -2,466 1,362 1,923 188 121 33 121 -36 -56 -204 146 -172 -116 -549 1,039 1,187 3 51 227 -34 -3 20 -90 253 58 58 -159 518 475 78 13 287 -21 9 - 5 -37 234 162 159 91 -228 -282 41 36 -616 -37 -14 -56 -506 245 44 310 -188 -127 24 5 19 -128 89 107 17 -217 -41 -116 374 -846 -693 -626 5 -102 -901 -49 -20 -30 -268 -579 576 98 151 138 133 21 6 -776 -64 -59 - 1 -273 -423 275 -23 -132 -567 -407 -1 19 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations -208 -48 -175 42 31 23 -28 -112 23 -45 BONDS 2 19 Foreign purchases 123,169 105,856 86,362 8,341 8,277 5,966 7,450 7,552 7,650 8,423 20 Foreign sales 72,520 78,312 57,721 4,590 5,064 4,144 5,048 4,674' 4,794 4,447 21 Net purchases, or sales (—) 50,648 27,544 28,641 3,751 3,213 1,822 2,401 2,878 r 2,856 3,976 22 Foreign countries 49,801 26,804 29,188 3,569 3,190 1,837 2,337 3,002 r 2,825 3,973 23 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East' Other Asia Japan Africa Other countries 39,313 389 -251 387 4,529 33,900 548 1,552 -3,113 11,346 9,611 21,989 194 33 269 1,587 19,770 1,2% 2,857 -1,314 2,021 1,622 17,886 143 1,344 1,514 513 13,642 711 1,930 -174 8,900 1,744 - 7 8 17 -139 1,685 130 254 -101 1,152 1,035 1,482 5 166 41 84 1,188 27 193 -87 1,611 90 160 415 97 793 -155 45 -14 916 2,341 45 34 545 175 1,339 20 198 1,240 13 -122 171 -13 1,141 5 58 2,554 -130 75 17 273 2,468 178 240 159 16 139 16 -61 7,686 -8 -58 2,203 15 226 55 -71 1,738 216 174 -124 1,091 1,049 4 5 0 10 1 -33 -67 847 740 -547 182 23 -14 64 24 25 26 77 28 29 30 31 37 33 34 35 36 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 254 178 575 1 -45 485 r 381' 4 -1 -124 143 1,353 1,210 -1 26 840 746 31 3 0 2 Foreign securities 37 Stocks, net purchases, or sales ( - ) 38 39 Foreign purchases Foreign sales 40 Bonds, net purchases, or sales ( - ) Foreign purchases Foreign sales 41 42 -1,853 1,081 -1,685 -160 -126 -257 -57 -126' -186 -1,046 49,149 95,458 94,377 74,720 76,405 6,413 6,573 7,052 7,178 5,904 6,161 5,054 5,111 6,070' 6,1% 7,625 7,810 7,414 8,460 -9,999 -699 -363 17,038 17,401 25,271 25,780 -3,407' 20,525 431 17,033 17,732 -659 19,224 19,882 -509 217,576 227,575 20,873 20,443 -1,550 21,627 23,177 51,002 -3,685 166,992 -7,946 199,089 170,677 207,035 23,932' 43 Net purchases, or sales ( - ) , of stocks and bonds -5,538 -6,865 -11,684 -858 -785 -620 -566 -3,533' 245 -2,595 44 Foreign countries -6,493 -6,757 -12,160 -770 -759 -650 -547 -3,582' 209 -2,690 -18,026 -876 3,476 10,858 52 -12,101 -4,072 828 -10,315 -1,185 -488 -897 -3,799 -190 -319 -479 392 59 -1,545 -658 -33 9,299 89 1,097 -800 -54 -566 -48 237 11 -153 -2,881 -273 -120 112' -1,977 301 552 1 -248 216 -34 -114 37 143 -446 -730 955 -108 476 -89 -26 30 Europe 46 Canada 4 7 Latin America and Caribbean 48 4 9 Africa 50 Other countries 45 51 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 1. Comprises oil-exporting countries as follows: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Includes state and local government securities, and securities of U . S . government agencies and corporations. Also includes issues of new debt securi- 1,477 290 189 28 121 -189 -230 166 18 52 -33 -461 -19 49 36 95 39 ties sold abroad by U . S . corporations organized to finance direct investments abroad. A68 International Statistics • April 1989 3.25 MARKETABLE U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES Foreign Transactions Millions of dollars 1988 Country or area 1988 1987 1986 Jan.Dec. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec." Transactions, net purchases or sales ( - ) during period 1 1 Estimated total 2 19,388 25,587 48,529 -2,161 905 -383 -1,937 2,193" 8,582 133 2 Foreign countries 2 20,491 30,889 47,842 -3,336 2,156 -149 -2,259 -244' 8,247 2,144 16,326 -245 7,670 1,283 132 329 4,546 2,613 0 881 23,716 653 13,330 -913 210 1,917 3,975 4,563 -19 4,526 14,255 923 -5,348 -356 -323 -1,074 9,667 10,776 -10 3,761 -3,226 -68 -4,241 -796 -232 654 47 1,420 -10 669 -1,460 122 -4,240 312 -187 -51 837 1,755 -9 -314 -836 -209 -2,020 -346 175 344 416 803 0 -315 -1,233 -333 -720 -58 -121 -1,355 2,023 -663 -7 -167 -175 -3 277 41 -162 87 -1,019 615 -10 633 1,719 133 -1,015 135 355 -411 1,945 577 -2 -368 299 -90 -406 -114 118 -18 -231 1,054 -15 788 926 -96 1,130 -108 1,345 -22 -54 1,067 -2,192 150 -1,142 -1,200 4,488 868 -56 407 695 -109 1,112 -308 27,357 21,753 -13 1,786 -580 2 63 -645 -381 -52 -1 183 0 -2 57 -55 3,246 3,006 -10 694 -312 -128 -292 108 919 1,540 5 391 269 -17 285 1 -1,351 -2,841 31 193 582 0 506 77 6,870 4,224 -8 -548 -105 0 139 -244 812 -157 -7 358 21 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 22 International Latin America regional 23 -1,104 -1,430 157 -5,300 -4,387 3 689 1,142 -31 1,174 1,546 -38 -1,251 -1,137 -14 -234 -282 -8 323 294 0 2,438 2,365 0 335 489 10 -2,011 -2,019 10 Memo 24 Foreign countries 2 25 Official institutions Other foreign 26 20,491 14,214 6,283 30,889 31,064 -181 47,842 26,593 21,246 -3,336 -1,658 -1,678 2,156 -2,362 4,518 -149 -1,450 1,301 -2,259 -1,481 -779 -244r -821' 8,247 2,196 6,050 2,144 2,212 -68 -1,529 5 -3,142 16 1,715 1 -201 0 295 0 449 0 -182 0 -1,023 0 2,121 0 881 0 3 Europe 2 4 Belgium-Luxembourg 5 Germany 6 Netherlands 7 Sweden 8 Switzerland 9 United Kingdom 10 Other Western Europe Eastern Europe 11 12 Canada 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 27 28 Latin America and Caribbean Venezuela Other Latin America and Caribbean Netherlands Antilles Asia Japan Africa All other Oil-exporting countries Middle East 3 Africa 1. Estimated official and private transactions in marketable U.S. Treasury securities with an original maturity of more than 1 year. Data are based on monthly transactions reports. Excludes nonmarketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by official institutions of foreign countries. 2. Includes U.S. Treasury notes publicly issued to private foreign residents denominated in foreign currencies. -574 1 -331 -244 -107" 220" 0 -21 sir 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. Interest and Exchange Rates A69 3.26 DISCOUNT RATES OF FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS Percent per year Rate on Feb. 28, 1989 Rate on Feb. 28, 1989 Country Month effective Austria.. Belgium . Brazil . . . Canada.. Denmark Rate on Feb. 28, 1989 Country Country 4.5 8.25 49.0 11.86 7.0 Jan. Jan. Mar. Feb. Oct. 1989 1989 1981 1989 1983 Percent France Germany, Fed. Rep. o f . Italy Japan Netherlands 1. A s of the end of February 1981, the rate is that at which the Bank of France discounts Treasury bills for 7 to 10 days. 2. Minimum lending rate suspended as of Aug. 20, 1981. NOTE. Rates shown are mainly those at which the central bank either discounts 8.25 4.0 12.5 2.5 5.0 Month effective Jan. Jan. Aug. Feb. Jan. 1989 1989 1988 1987 1989 Norway Switzerland United Kingdom 2 Venezuela Percent Month effective 8.0 4.0 June 1983 Jan. 1989 Oct. 1985 or makes advances against eligible commercial paper and/or government commercial banks or brokers. For countries with more than o n e rate applicable to such discounts or advances, the rate s h o w n is the one at which it is understood the central bank transacts the largest proportion of its credit operations. 3.27 FOREIGN SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES Percent per year, averages of daily figures 1989 1988 Country, or type 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1986 1987 1988 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Eurodollars United Kingdom Canada Germany Switzerland 6.70 10.87 9.18 4.58 4.19 7.07 9.65 8.38 3.97 3.67 7.86 10.28 9.63 4.28 2.94 8.47 11.29 9.92 5.28 3.57 8.31 12.09 10.48 4.93 3.34 8.51 11.94 10.48 5.03 3.62 8.91 12.23 10.86 4.91 4.10 9.30 13.07 11.15 5.32 4.77 9.28 13.06 11.34 5.63 5.31 9.61 12.97 11.69 6.36 5.69 Netherlands France Italy Belgium Japan 5.56 7.68 12.60 8.04 4.96 5.24 8.14 11.15 7.01 3.87 4.72 7.80 11.04 6.69 3.96 4.50 7.58 11.02 7.25 3.98 5.51 7.86 11.27 7.39 4.15 5.35 7.87 11.30 7.24 4.26 5.30 8.03 11.48 7.18 4.22 5.60 8.36 11.96 7.38 4.16 5.99 8.55 11.84 7.59 4.24 6.75 9.11 12.26 8.04 4.21 NOTE. Rates are for 3-month interbank loans except for Canada, finance company paper; Belgium, 3-month Treasury bills; and Japan, Gensaki rate. A70 International Statistics • April 1989 3.28 FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES1 Currency units per dollar 1988 Country/currency 1 2 3 4 5 6 Australia/dollar^ Austria/schilling Belgium/franc Canada/dollar China, P.R./yuan Denmark/krone 1986 1987 1989 1988 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 67.093 15.260 44.662 1.3896 3.4615 8.0954 70.136 12.649 37.357 1.3259 3.7314 6.8477 78.408 12.357 36.783 1.2306 3.7314 6.7411 79.15 13.135 39.149 1.2267 3.7314 7.1764 80.96 12.777 38.077 1.2055 3.7314 7.0055 85.07 12.307 36.670 1.2186 3.7314 6.7547 85.73 12.359 36.815 1.1962 3.7314 6.7891 87.05 12.904 38.441 1.1913 3.7314 7.1143 85.64 13.022 38.792 1.1891 3.7314 7.2094 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Finland/markka France/franc Germany/deutsche mark Greece/drachma H o n g Kong/dollar India/rupee.. Ireland/punt 2 5.0721 6.9256 2.1704 139.93 7.8037 12.597 134.14 4.4036 6.0121 1.7981 135.47 7.7985 12.943 148.79 4.1933 5.9594 1.7569 142.00 7.8071 13.899 152.49 4.4282 6.3515 1.8668 151.47 7.8106 14.490 143.60 4.3041 6.1975 1.8165 148.71 7.8133 14.720 147.30 4.1522 5.9746 1.7491 145.22 7.8095 14.966 152.70 4.1408 5.9994 1.7563 146.10 7.8062 15.019 152.29 4.2553 6.2538 1.8356 152.25 7.8047 15.092 145.82 4.3006 6.3004 1.8505 154.72 7.8009 15.240 144.10 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Italy/lira Japan/yen Malaysia/ringgit Netherlands/guilder N e w Zealand/dollar 2 . . . Norway/krone Portugal/escudo 1491.16 168.35 2.5830 2.4484 52.456 7.3984 149.80 1297.03 144.60 2.5185 2.0263 59.327 6.7408 141.20 1302.39 128.17 2.6189 1.9778 65.558 6.5242 144.26 1393.15 134.32 2.6643 2.1063 61.480 6.9150 154.18 1353.36 128.68 2.6785 2.0486 62.113 6.7400 150.13 1300.22 123.20 2.6779 1.9729 64.067 6.5796 145.57 1295.61 123.61 2.6935 1.9824 63.621 6.5234 145.56 1345.12 127.36 2.7221 2.0723 62.412 6.6808 150.74 1355.28 127.74 2.7307 2.0895 61.629 6.7254 152.10 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Singapore/dollar South Africa/rand South K o r e a / w o n Spain/peseta Sri Lanka/rupee Sweden/krona Switzerland/franc Taiwan/dollar Thailand/baht United Kingdom/pound 2.1782 2.2918 884.61 140.04 27.933 7.1272 1.7979 37.837 26.314 146.77 2.1059 2.0385 825.93 123.54 29.471 6.3468 1.4918 31.756 25.774 163.98 2.0132 2.1900 734.51 116.52 31.847 6.1369 1.4642 28.636 25.312 178.13 2.0409 2.4575 723.00 124.36 32.953 6.4448 1.5763 28.914 25.548 168.40 2.0202 2.4662 712.72 120.02 32.989 6.2694 1.5372 28.880 25.365 173.87 1.9616 2.3943 696.08 115.17 32.989 6.0968 1.4675 28.170 25.146 180.85 1.9442 2.3487 687.89 113.73 33.016 6.0888 1.4799 28.199 25.146 182.58 1.9404 2.3847 685.28 114.78 33.132 6.2725 1.5619 27.821 25.322 177.37 1.9285 2.4570 680.28 115.67 33.115 6.3238 1.5740 27.716 25.386 175.34 96.94 92.72 95.12 95.77 MEMO 31 United States/dollar 3 . . . 112.22 1. Averages of certified n o o n buying rates in N e w York for cable transfers. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.5 (405) release. For address, s e e inside front cover. 2. Value in U . S . cents. 3. Index of weighted-average e x c h a n g e value of U . S . dollar against the 97.91 95.10 91.91 91.88 currencies of 10 industrial countries. The weight for e a c h of the 10 countries is the 1972-76 average world trade o f that country divided by the average world trade of all 10 countries combined. Series revised as of August 1978 ( s e e FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, vol. 64, August 1978, p. 700). 71 Guide to Tabular Presentation, Statistical Releases, and Special Tables GUIDE TO TABULAR Symbols c e p r * and PRESENTATION Abbreviations Corrected Estimated Preliminary Revised (Notation appears on column heading when about half of the figures in that column are changed.) Amounts insignificant in terms of the last decimal place shown in the table (for example, less than 500,000 when the smallest unit given is millions) General 0 n.a. n.e.c. IPCs REITs RPs SMSAs . .. Calculated to be zero Not available Not elsewhere classified Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Real estate investment trusts Repurchase agreements Standard metropolitan statistical areas Cell not applicable Information Minus signs are used to indicate (1) a decrease, (2) a negative figure, or (3) an outflow. "U.S. government securities" may include guaranteed issues of U.S. government agencies (the flow of funds figures also include not fully guaranteed issues) as well as direct STATISTICAL RELEASES List Published Semiannually, with Latest Bulletin obligations of the Treasury. "State and local government" also includes municipalities, special districts, and other political subdivisions. In some of the tables, details do not add to totals because of rounding. Reference Anticipated schedule of release dates for periodic releases SPECIAL TABLES Published Irregularly, with Latest Bulletin page. Page A77 October February April June February June September January May September January April November February August A70 A70 A70 A70 A76 A76 A82 A78 A70 A70 A72 A72 A74 A80 A70 Reference Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, March 31, 1987 Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, June 30, 1987 Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, September 30, 1987 Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, December 31, 1987 Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, September 30, 1987 Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, December 31, 1987 Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, March 31, 1988 Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, June 30, 1988 Terms of lending at commercial banks, February 1988 Terms of lending at commercial banks, May 1988 Terms of lending at commercial banks, August 1988 Terms of lending at commercial banks, November 1988 Pro forma balance sheet and income statements for priced service operations, June 30, 1987 Pro forma balance sheet and income statements for priced service operations, September 30, 1987 Pro forma balance sheet and income statements for priced service operations, March 31, 1988 . . . Digitized for Special FRASER tables begin on next Issue December 1988 1987 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1989 1988 1988 1989 1989 1987 1988 1988 A72 Special Tables • April 1989 4.23 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, November 7-11, 19881 A. Commercial and Industrial Loans2 Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Weighted average maturity 3 Days L o a n rate (percent) Weighted average effective 4 Standard Interquartile range 6 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) Most common pricing rate 7 ALL BANKS 1 Overnight 8 * 10,032,481 4,728 9.27 .10 8.94-9.35 58.9 10.7 Fed funds 2 One month and under 3 Fixed rate 4 Floating rate 5,792,879 4,782,599 1,010,280 776 1,044 374 18 17 20 9.51 9.39 10.11 .19 .24 .16 9.11-9.95 9.11-9.70 9.36-10.49 77.9 76.6 84.2 12.2 13.5 6.1 Other Other Other 5 Over o n e month and under a year . 6 Fixed rate 7 Floating rate 6,938,988 4,276,464 2,662,525 129 154 102 141 105 199 10.51 10.15 11.10 .17 .20 .16 9.58-11.34 9.35-11.07 10.38-11.63 81.4 84.4 76.5 11.8 11.6 12.1 Prime Domestic Prime 8 Demand9 9 F i x e d rate 10 Floating rate 13,378,620 1,714,414 11,664,206 267 666 245 * * * 10.80 9.66 10.96 .20 .14 .20 9.25-12.01 9.00-10.22 9.57-12.13 83.4 92.4 82.1 8.4 15.7 7.3 Prime Domestic Prime 11 Total short term 36,142,969 318 48 10.11 .15 9.09-11.02 75.3 10.3 Prime 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) . . 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and o v e r 20,378,076 199,044 124,207 147,692 377,087 334,234 19,195,807 547 8 33 64 184 671 7,885 29 106 99 98 89 47 26 9.51 12.19 11.52 12.10 10.86 10.03 9.42 .14 .16 .15 .30 .12 .11 .11 8.97-9.76 11.46-13.00 10.71-12.19 11.22-12.72 10.05-11.57 9.20-10.71 8.94-9.67 70.4 20.0 26.1 24.0 47.9 72.5 71.9 12.2 .1 3.6 .9 2.8 10.3 12.7 F e d funds Other Prime Prime Prime Domestic Fed funds 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and o v e r 15,764,899 355,261 413,527 677,716 2,651,834 1,210,272 10,456,288 207 10 34 66 198 653 5,212 134 149 169 163 182 157 110 10.89 12.12 11.92 11.65 11.38 11.20 10.59 .19 .09 .08 .08 .06 .07 .23 9.62-11.91 11.55-12.68 11.30-12.68 11.02-12.13 10.52-11.91 10.47-11.85 9.20-11.63 81.8 69.3 77.6 79.5 86.0 86.0 80.9 7.8 .9 3.3 2.8 10.0 7.7 8.0 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Months 26 Total long term 2,576,575 173 47 10.79 .25 9.54-11.63 70.8 9.1 Prime 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) . . 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and over 1,074,644 126,456 48,232 32,073 867,884 147 19 172 635 5,393 46 74 59 56 40 10.48 12.65 11.53 10.60 10.11 .43 .31 .27 .41 .22 9.12-11.29 11.57-12.68 11.00-12.40 9.64-11.49 8.88-11.07 79.7 26.4 35.3 85.6 89.7 3.1 .2 2.9 .0 3.7 Domestic Other Prime Other Domestic 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and o v e r 1,501,931 152,876 362,589 137,278 849,187 196 27 220 657 3,942 49 63 48 53 46 11.00 12.05 11.69 11.30 10.47 .22 .17 .20 .21 .19 9.96-11.74 11.57-12.68 10.52-12.13 10.52-11.91 9.29-11.57 64.4 25.8 48.5 50.1 80.5 13.3 1.7 16.1 5.8 15.5 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime 56.7 78.3 93.4 65.4 12.5 13.5 12.1 8.6 Loan rate (percent) Days Prime rate Effective 4 Nominal 10 9.13 9.19 9.54 9.21 8.74 8.80 9.18 8.84 10.00 10.00 10.07 10.01 L O A N S M A D E BELOW P R I M E 1 2 Overnight 8 One month and under Over o n e month and under a year . Demand9 * 9,456,175 4,962,395 3,344,030 4,636,975 9,008 3,056 628 1,728 16 128 41 Total short term 22,399,574 2,096 30 9.22 8.84 10.01 68.8 11.9 42 F i x e d rate 43 Floating rate 17,441,987 4,957,587 2,500 1,337 23 94 9.19 9.33 8.81 8.96 10.01 10.04 69.0 68.1 13.9 4.9 37 38 39 40 * Months 44 Total long term 1,015,037 750 31 9.43 9.11 10.11 94.0 9.8 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate . . 512,241 502,796 813 695 26 37 9.20 9.66 8.94 9.27 10.02 10.19 91.7 96.3 0.0 19.7 For notes s e e end of table. Financial Markets A73 4.23—Continued A. Commercial and Industrial Loans2—Continued Loan rate (percent) Weighted Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) maturity 3 Days Weighted average effective 4 Standard error 5 Interquartile range 6 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) Most common pricing LARGE B A N K S 1 Overnight 8 7,580,092 7,985 9.36 .16 8.94-9.42 66.1 13.9 Fed funds 2 One month and under Fixed rate 3 4 Floating rate 4,379,053 3,729,185 649,869 3,029 3,951 1,295 18 17 21 9.38 9.29 9.90 .29 .42 .18 9.11-9.89 9.04-9.70 9.30-10.47 76.8 75.2 85.9 12.4 13.8 4.6 Other Other Domestic 5 Over o n e month and under a year 6 Fixed rate Floating rate 7 4,458,520 3,313,942 1,144,578 903 2,006 349 125 99 202 10.18 10.03 10.62 .14 .15 .27 9.44-11.07 9.35-10.94 9.88-11.48 91.7 93.9 85.5 11.9 14.4 4.6 Domestic Domestic Prime 8 Demand9 Fixed rate 9 10 Floating rate 8,766,153 976,243 7,789,910 634 2,411 580 * * * 10.78 9.89 10.90 .39 .17 .40 9.20-12.01 9.18-10.47 9.20-12.19 80.5 90.0 79.3 6.3 1.4 6.9 Prime Domestic Prime 11 Total short term 25,183,818 1,190 39 10.00 .13 9.09-10.61 77.5 10.6 Prime 12 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and o v e r 15,177,755 7,762 10,019 20,468 118,503 169,961 14,851,042 3,877 10 33 67 217 693 8,547 28 81 73 60 55 34 28 9.52 11.78 11.38 11.42 10.76 10.27 9.50 .18 .22 .26 .32 .14 .08 .18 9.02-9.80 11.35-12.57 10.51-12.05 10.94-12.09 10.09-11.50 9.55-11.03 9.01-9.80 75.0 21.7 41.3 46.7 69.7 78.3 75.1 13.6 .0 .0 .4 3.4 13.9 13.7 Fed funds Prime Prime Prime Prime Domestic Fed funds 19 Floating rate (thousands of d o l l a r s ) . . . 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and o v e r 10,006,063 61,274 92,129 178,726 898,907 595,723 8,179,305 580 11 34 67 209 658 6,774 112 133 154 157 148 150 104 10.73 11.88 11.75 11.53 11.24 11.07 10.61 .36 .15 .13 .13 .09 .07 .45 9.25-12.01 11.02-12.68 11.02-12.40 10.75-12.13 10.47-11.71 10.47-11.63 9.18-12.01 81.3 83.1 85.8 88.4 89.3 92.1 79.4 6.2 .4 1.0 2.1 5.2 8.2 6.4 Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Prime Months 1,538,426 972 42 10.22 .29 9.19-11.07 93.3 9.5 Domestic 27 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) . . 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and o v e r 815,479 5,155 9,015 12,287 789,021 2,081 25 244 648 6,179 39 46 61 43 39 10.06 12.46 10.68 10.09 10.04 .61 .44 .50 .72 .26 8.88-11.07 11.07-13.24 10.47-12.01 9.59-10.47 8.88-11.07 95.6 34.9 54.6 94.5 96.5 3.9 .0 .0 .0 4.1 Domestic Other Other Other Domestic 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and o v e r 722,947 20,573 77,293 59,726 565,355 607 34 211 633 4,841 45 35 45 40 46 10.40 12.15 11.33 10.97 10.15 .29 .35 .25 .23 .31 9.28-11.57 11.02-12.75 10.52-11.73 10.38-11.71 9.23-11.07 90.6 65.2 77.7 81.4 94.3 15.8 .5 5.5 8.7 18.6 Prime Prime Prime Prime Domestic 26 Total long term Loan rate (percent) Days Prime rate Effective 4 Nominal10 LOANS MADE BELOW PRIME12 Overnight 8 One month and under Over o n e month and under a year Demand9 7,039,554 3,867,427 2,708,342 3,317,365 10,028 5,576 5,569 5,428 17 121 9.20 9.15 9.54 9.18 8.80 8.77 9.19 8.81 10.00 10.00 9.99 10.00 63.7 76.0 96.1 56.0 14.9 13.2 12.0 .5 41 Total short term 16,932,688 6,792 29 9.24 8.86 10.00 70.2 11.3 42 Fixed rate 43 Floating rate 13,004,772 3,927,916 7,002 6,180 22 96 9.23 9.25 8.85 8.88 10.00 10.00 72.2 63.5 14.5 .5 37 38 39 40 * Months 44 Total long term 819,308 4,031 32 9.22 8.94 9.99 96.9 6.2 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate . . 478,578 340,730 4,613 3,425 26 40 9.14 9.34 8.90 8.99 10.00 9.98 95.4 98.9 .0 15.0 For notes see end of table. A74 Special Tables • April 1989 4.23 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, November 7-11, 1988'—Continued A. Commercial and Industrial Loans—Continued 2 Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Weighted average maturity 3 Days Loan rate (percent) Weighted average effective 4 Standard error 5 Interquartile range 6 Loans made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) OTHER B A N K S 1 Overnight 8 2,452,389 2,092 2 One month and under F i x e d rate 3 4 Floating rate 1,413,826 1,053,415 360,411 235 276 164 17 17 18 9.92 9.72 10.49 9.15-10.15 9.15-9.74 9.83-11.57 81.4 81.5 81.2 11.5 12.4 8.6 5 Over o n e month and under a year . 6 Fixed rate Floating rate 7 2,480,468 962,522 1,517,947 51 37 67 170 129 196 11.11 10.57 11.46 10.38-11.85 9.23-11.96 10.92-11.85 62.8 51.9 69.8 11.7 2.1 17.7 4,612,468 738,171 3,874,297 127 340 114 10.82 9.36 11.10 10.22-11.57 9.00-9.54 10.47-11.85 88.9 95.5 87.7 12.3 34.7 8.1 8 Demand9 9 F i x e d rate 10 Floating rate 11 Total short term 8.73-9.14 10,959,151 119 10.36 9.05-11.57 70.4 9.5 12 F i x e d rate (thousands of dollars) . . 13 1-24 14 25-49 15 50-99 16 100-499 17 500-999 18 1000 and o v e r 5,200,315 191,282 114,188 127,224 258,583 164,273 4,344,766 156 8 33 63 171 650 6,236 33 107 101 104 104 61 19 9.48 12.21 11.53 12.21 10.90 9.79 9.13 8.83-9.52 11.46-13.10 10.92-12.19 11.46-12.83 10.05-11.63 9.00-10.38 8.79-9.27 56.9 19.9 24.8 20.4 37.9 66.5 61.2 8.1 3.9 1.0 2.5 6.5 9.2 19 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 20 1-24 21 25-49 22 50-99 23 100-499 24 500-999 25 1000 and o v e r 5,758,836 293,988 321,398 498,989 1,752,928 614,549 2,276,984 98 9 33 66 193 648 2,851 161 151 171 164 191 162 128 11.15 12.17 11.97 11.69 11.45 11.32 10.52 10.47-11.85 11.57-12.71 11.35-12.68 11.02-12.19 10.75-12.13 10.47-12.13 9.50-11.19 82.6 66.4 75.3 76.3 84.3 80.1 86.4 10.6 1.0 3.9 3.0 12.4 7.2 14.1 .1 Months 26 Total long term 1,038,149 78 11.62 10.75-12.13 37.4 8.4 27 F i x e d rate (thousands of dollars) . . 28 1-99 29 100-499 30 500-999 31 1000 and o v e r 259,165 121,301 39,217 19,786 78,862 38 18 161 628 2,374 11.82 12.66 11.72 10.92 10.82 10.86-12.40 11.57-12.68 11.02-12.40 9.66-11.85 10.76-10.86 29.4 26.1 30.8 80.0 21.2 .6 .2 3.6 .0 .0 32 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) 33 1-99 34 100-499 35 500-999 36 1000 and o v e r 778,983 132,303 285,296 77,552 283,832 27 223 677 2,877 11.56 12.04 11.78 11.55 11.10 10.47-12.13 11.57-12.68 10.52-12.68 11.57-11.91 10.42-11.63 40.1 19.6 40.6 26.0 53.0 11.0 1.9 19.0 3.5 9.3 121 Loan rate (percent) Days Prime rate Effective 4 Nominal L O A N S M A D E BELOW PRIME 1 2 37 38 39 40 Overnight 8 One month and under Over o n e month and under a year Demand9 8.93 9.33 9.50 9.28 8.56 8.93 9.14 8.92 10.00 10.39 10.04 36.3 86.4 81.8 89.2 5.6 14.2 12.4 28.9 667 9.16 8.79 10.06 64.4 13.8 867 335 9.06 9.62 8.68 9.24 10.03 10.19 59.4 86.0 12.0 21.4 39.3 90.7 0.4 29.7 2,416,621 1,094,967 635,688 1,319,610 6,950 1,177 131 637 41 Total short term 5,466,886 42 F i x e d rate 43 Floating rate 4,437,215 1,029,671 15 159 10.01 Months 44 Total long term 45 Fixed rate 46 Floating rate For notes s e e end of table. 30 195,729 33,663 162,066 64 260 10.28 10.03 10.34 10.59 9.57 9.86 10.41 10.63 Financial Markets A75 4.23—Continued B. Construction and Land Development Loans1 L o a n rate (percent) Characteristic Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) Average size (thousands of dollars) Weighted average maturity (months) 3 Weighted average effective 4 Standard error 5 Interquartile range 6 L o a n s made under commitment (percent) Participation loans (percent) ALL BANKS 2,404,957 196 15 11.04 .14 10.62-11.57 84.9 17.2 718,378 19,298 13,750 6,219 27,971 651,141 170 6 34 76 214 3,076 7 5 10 10 18 6 10.41 11.59 11.64 11.44 11.27 10.31 .20 .25 .19 .27 .32 .21 9.92-10.64 11.05-12.13 11.02-12.13 11.26-11.57 10.61-12.13 9.92-10.64 81.6 75.9 63.4 68.4 74.8 82.5 7.4 .0 .0 .0 30.4 6.8 8 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) . . . 1-24 9 10 25-49 11 50-99 12 100-499 13 500 and o v e r 1,686,579 42,052 45,693 76,861 251,029 1,270,943 209 10 36 67 228 2,765 20 11 8 9 16 22 11.30 12.12 11.83 12.18 11.57 11.15 .10 .11 .10 .12 .05 .15 11.02-11.57 11.57-12.68 11.57-12.19 11.57-13.31 11.03-11.85 11.02-11.57 86.4 83.8 85.9 89.1 88.4 85.9 21.3 3.4 4.6 2.6 3.1 27.3 By type of construction 14 Single family 15 Multifamily 16 Nonresidential 304,238 235,929 1,864,790 40 304 470 13 23 14 11.44 10.98 10.98 .12 .16 .16 11.02-12.13 9.92-11.57 10.61-11.57 82.1 49.4 89.9 1.1 1.7 21.8 1,418,010 897 14 11.02 .21 10.64-11.30 88.6 27.2 484,890 669 665 2,888 11 33 2 7 9 10.46 11.45 11.43 .23 .45 .34 10.34-10.64 10.94-11.57 11.31-11.57 95.1 79.2 80.1 9.5 .0 .0 1 Total 2 F i x e d rate (thousands of dollars) 3 1-24 4 25 49 5 50-99 6 100-499 500 and o v e r 7 LARGE B A N K S 1 3 1 Total 2 F i x e d rate (thousands of dollars) 3 1 24 25-49 4 5 50-99 6 100-499 7 500 and o v e r * * * # * * * * 9,566 2 10.46 .24 10.34-10.64 95.2 9.3 933,121 4,701 5,965 12,357 99,219 810,879 660 10 36 71 253 3,587 21 10 14 15 16 21 11.31 12.15 11.63 11.74 11.54 11.27 .12 .18 .16 .11 .07 .15 11.02-11.57 11.57-12.75 11.30-12.13 11.30-12.13 11.30-11.85 11.02-11.57 85.2 88.7 92.6 97.8 95.3 83.7 36.4 1.1 .8 7.3 1.7 41.6 91,849 143,194 1,182,967 152 911 1,443 15 25 13 11.60 11.31 10.94 .14 .12 .21 11.30—12.01 11.02-11.57 10.64-11.30 92.6 63.3 91.3 .0 1.4 32.5 1 Total 986,946 92 17 11.06 .22 10.47-11.57 79.7 2.7 2 Fixed rate (thousands of dollars) 1-24 3 4 25-49 5 50-99 6 100-499 7 500 and o v e r 233,488 18,629 13,085 5,311 24,289 58 6 34 77 223 16 5 10 8 19 10.31 11.59 11.65 11.52 11.32 .35 .21 .24 .48 .43 9.42-11.02 11.06-12.13 11.02-12.13 11.35-11.57 10.67-12.13 53.4 75.8 62.5 65.0 72.2 2.9 .0 .0 .0 27.6 * * * 8 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) . . . 9 1 24 10 25-49 11 50-99 12 100-499 13 500 and over By type of construction 14 Single family 15 Multifamily 16 Nonresidential * * * 478,966 # * * OTHER B A N K S 1 3 * * * * * 8 Floating rate (thousands of dollars) . . . 9 1 24 10 25-49 11 50 99 12 100-499 13 500 and o v e r 753,458 37,351 39,727 64,504 151,811 460,064 113 10 36 67 213 1,970 18 11 7 9 16 23 11.30 12.12 11.86 12.27 11.59 10.95 .17 .14 .11 .19 .06 .24 10.75-11.63 11.57-12.68 11.57-12.19 11.57-13.31 11.02-12.13 10.47-11.57 87.8 83.1 84.9 87.5 83.9 89.8 2.6 3.6 5.2 1.7 4.0 2.0 By type of construction 14 Single family 15 Multifamily 16 Nonresidential 212,389 92,735 681,823 31 150 216 13 22 18 11.37 10.47 11.05 .21 .31 .27 11.02-12.17 9.92-11.02 10.47-11.57 77.6 27.9 87.4 1.5 2.0 3.2 For notes s e e end of table. A76 Special Tables • April 1989 4.23 TERMS OF LENDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS Survey of Loans Made, November 7-11, 1988'—Continued C. Loans to Farmers14 Size class of loans (thousands) Characteristic All sizes $10-24 $1-9 $50-99 $25-49 $100-249 $250 and o v e r ALL BANKS 1 A m o u n t of loans (thousands of dollars) 2 N u m b e r of loans 3 Weighted average maturity (months) 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 5 Standard e r r o r Interquartile range 6 1 8 9 10 11 12 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating e x p e n s e s Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other Percentage of amount of 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 15 16 17 18 19 20 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating e x p e n s e s Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other LARGE BANKS 15 16 17 18 19 20 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating e x p e n s e s Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating e x p e n s e s Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other OTHER BANKS By purpose of loan F e e d e r livestock Other livestock Other current operating e x p e n s e s Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other $126,989 1,947 10.2 $166,393 1,077 7.2 $199,874 216 4.6 11.59 .60 10.74-12.13 12.10 .52 11.57-12.55 11.91 .45 11.42-12.40 12.01 .89 11.40-12.68 12.03 .55 11.63-12.47 11.49 .97 10.56-12.01 10.84 .22 10.38-11.57 11.57 11.72 11.57 12.22 11.53 11.35 12.25 13.31 12.06 11.89 11.54 11.58 11.53 12.75 11.93 12.33 12.14 12.40 12.19 11.62 11.87 11.76 11.98 12.17 62.6 61.6 51.7 43.2 28.6 13.8 38.0 3.5 3.1 13.1 * 11.34 * 10.73 * * * * * 11.02 * 11.06 12.00 12.15 11.71 11.03 53.7 48.5 65.8 58.0 52.7 38.5 71.1 56.9 68.4 94.7 14.4 4.2 68.6 5.4 1.2 6.2 31.1 6.8 46.5 6.2 4.6 4.7 39.2 6.3 41.1 27.7 17.3 32.7 42.0 $273,529 3,480 5.6 $6,442 1,555 7.0 11.10 .56 10.47-11.63 11.08 10.73 11.22 11.99 11.98 11.17 * * * * 16.9 * * 27.4 34.8 * * * 3.7 9.5 6.0 32.4 $10,980 706 5.7 $17,162 479 9.7 $22,379 332 9.6 $35,282 242 12.3 $181,285 165 4.0 12.37 .49 11.81-12.83 12.09 .43 11.57-12.68 11.89 .85 11.46-12.40 11.76 .51 11.30-12.28 11.58 .68 11.02-12.02 10.75 .18 10.38-11.07 11.86 12.46 12.41 12.71 11.71 12.14 12.14 11.67 12.04 11.87 * * * * 11.62 * 12.07 12.29 12.00 11.95 74.9 91.4 86.8 78.5 94.4 89.7 96:4 87.8 91.2 81.2 16.5 19.0 35.4 .8 .9 27.4 8.7 5.8 68.2 4.2 13.7 6.0 61.4 19.1 7.5 52.3 * * * * * 10.71 11.69 10.73 * * * * * 11.35 * 11.60 23.3 * 11.71 10.93 95.9 88.3 65.1 94.1 13.5 28.5 * 41.2 * 30.2 35.7 * * * * * # * 30.5 9.6 13.2 17.1 21.3 28.2 $480,431 28,822 8.2 $66,248 18,381 6.0 $83,628 5,808 8.2 $76,244 2,132 9.2 $104,611 1,616 10.3 $131,111 835 6.7 * 11.86 .20 11.30-12.47 12.07 .16 11.57-12.50 11.89 .12 11.41-12.36 12.04 .27 11.40-12.68 12.09 .19 11.63-12.47 11.46 .68 10.56-11.91 * 14 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 5 Standard error 5 6 Interquartile range For n o t e s s e e end of table. $93,406 2,611 9.3 loans 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) 2 N u m b e r of loans 3 Weighted average maturity (months) 7 8 9 10 11 12 $94,609 6,515 8.0 14 4 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 5 Standard e r r o r Interquartile range 6 Percentage of amount of 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment $72,689 19,936 6.1 loans 1 Amount of loans (thousands of dollars) 2 N u m b e r of loans 3 Weighted average maturity (months) 7 8 9 10 11 12 $753,960 32,302 7.4 11.70 12.72 11.75 12.24 11.48 11.91 12.27 13.43 12.03 11.83 * 11.50 11.52 12.24 11.89 11.88 * * * * * 11.79 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Financial Markets All 4.23—Continued C. Loans to Farmers14—Continued Size class of loans (thousands) Characteristic Percentage of amount of loans 13 With floating rates 14 Made under commitment 15 16 17 18 19 20 By purpose of loan Feeder livestock Other livestock Other current operating expenses Farm machinery and equipment Farm real estate Other All sizes $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over 55.6 44.6 48.3 39.8 48.4 43.1 58.9 51.3 44.5 29.4 64.5 48.4 * * 35.4 10.8 39.5 5.0 4.4 5.0 15.0 4.0 68.6 5.5 *Fewer than 10 sample loans. 1. The survey of terms of bank lending to business collects data on gross loan extensions made during the first full business week in the mid-month of each quarter by a sample of 340 commercial banks of all sizes. A subsample of 250 banks also report loans to farmers. The sample data are blown up to estimate the lending terms at all insured commercial banks during that week. The estimated terms of bank lending are not intended for use in collecting the terms of loans extended over the entire quarter or residing in the portfolios of those banks. Construction and land development loans include both unsecured loans and loans secured by real estate. Thus, some of the construction and land development loans would be reported on the statement of condition as real estate loans and the remainder as business loans. Mortgage loans, purchased loans, foreign loans, and loans of less than $1,000 are excluded from the survey. As of Dec. 31, 1987, assets of most of the large banks were at least $6.0 billion. For all insured banks total assets averaged $220 million. 2. Beginning with the August 1986 survey respondent banks provide information on the type of base rate used to price each commercial and industrial loan made during the survey week. This reporting change is reflected in the new column on the most common base pricing rate in table A and footnote 13 from table B. 3. Average maturities are weighted by loan size and exclude demand loans. 4. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loan and weighted by loan size. 5. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of lending at all banks. 33.4 43.7 28.7 44.6 38.6 * * * * * * * 5.8 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * 6. The interquartile range shows the interest rate range that encompasses the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. 7. The most common base rate is that rate used to price the largest dollar volume of loans. Base pricing rates include the prime rate (sometimes referred to as a bank's "basic" or "reference" rate); the federal funds rate; domestic money market rates other than the federal funds rate; foreign money market rates; and other base rates not included in the foregoing classifications. 8. Overnight loans are loans that mature on the following business day. 9. Demand loans have no stated date of maturity. 10. Nominal (not compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from survey data on the stated rate and other terms of the loan and weighted by loan size. 11. The prime rate reported by each bank is weighted by the volume of loans extended and then averaged. 12. The proportion of loans made at rates below prime may vary substantially from the proportion of such loans outstanding in banks' portfolios. 13. 58.5 percent of construction and land development loans were priced relative to the prime rate. 14. Among banks reporting loans to farmers (Table C), most "large banks" (survey strata 1 to 3) had over $600 million in total assets, and most "other banks" (survey strata 4 to 6) had total assets below $600 million. The survey of terms of bank lending to fanners now includes loans secured by farm real estate. In addition, the categories describing the purpose of farm loans have now been expanded to include "purchase or improve farm real estate." In previous surveys, the purpose of such loans was reported as "other." 78 Federal Reserve Board of Governors ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman M A N U E L H . JOHNSON, Vice Chairman MARTHA R . SEGER WAYNE D . A N G E L L OFFICE OF BOARD DIVISION MEMBERS JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant DONALD J. WLNN, Assistant to the Board to the Board BOB STAHLY MOORE, Special Assistant to the Board LEGAL DIVISION J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., General Counsel RICHARD M. ASHTON, Associate General Counsel OLIVER IRELAND, Associate General Counsel RICKI R. TLGERT, Associate General Counsel SCOTT G. ALVAREZ, Assistant General Counsel MARYELLEN A. BROWN, Assistant to the General Counsel OFFICE OF THE Secretary Secretary DIVISION OF CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS ROBERT F. GEMMILL, Staff Adviser DONALD B. ADAMS, Assistant Director PETER HOOPER III, Assistant Director KAREN H. JOHNSON, Assistant Director RALPH W. SMITH, JR., Assistant Director DIVISION OF RESEARCH MICHAEL J. PRELL, Director Director DIVISION OF BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION DIVISION OF MONETARY AFFAIRS Director DAVID E. LINDSEY, Deputy Director BRIAN F. MADIGAN, Assistant Director RICHARD D. PORTER, Assistant Director NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Special Assistant to the Board Director DON E. KLINE, Associate Director FREDERICK M. STRUBLE, Associate OFFICE OF THE INSPECTOR HERBERT A. BLERN, Assistant GENERAL Director WILLIAM A. RYBACK, Deputy Associate Director STEPHEN C. SCHEMERING, Deputy Associate Director RICHARD SPILLENKOTHEN, Deputy Associate Director Director JOE M. CLEAVER, Assistant Director ROGER T. COLE, Assistant Director JAMES I. GARNER, Assistant Director JAMES D. GOETZINGER, Assistant Director MICHAEL G. MARTINSON, Assistant Director ROBERT S. PLOTKIN, Assistant Director Suss AN, Assistant Director LAURA M. HOMER, Securities Credit Officer STATISTICS MYRON L. KWAST, Assistant Director SUSAN J. LEPPER, Assistant Director MARTHA S. SCANLON, Assistant Director DAVID J. STOCKTON, Assistant Director JOYCE K. ZLCKLER, Assistant Director LEVON H. GARABEDIAN, Assistant Director DONALD L. KOHN, SIDNEY M . AND (Administration) GLENN E. LONEY, Assistant Director ELLEN MALAND, Assistant Director DOLORES S. SMITH, Assistant Director WILLIAM TAYLOR, Staff Director LARRY J. PROMISEL, Senior Associate Director CHARLES J. SLEGMAN, Senior Associate Director DAVID H. HOWARD, Deputy Associate Director MARTHA BETHEA, Deputy Associate Director PETER A. TINSLEY, Deputy Associate Director Secretary JENNIFER J. JOHNSON, Associate BARBARA R. LOWREY, Associate GRIFFITH L . GARWOOD, EDWIN M. TRUMAN, Staff FINANCE EDWARD C. ETTIN, Deputy Director THOMAS D. SIMPSON, Associate Director LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Associate Director SECRETARY WILLIAM W . WILES, OF INTERNATIONAL BRENT L. BOWEN, Inspector General BARRY R. SNYDER, Assistant Inspector General 79 and Official Staff H . ROBERT HELLER EDWARD W . K E L L E Y , JR. JOHN P. L A W A R E OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR FEDERAL RESERVE BANK ACTIVITIES FOR S. DAVID FROST, Staff MANAGEMENT THEODORE E. ALLISON, Staff Director EDWARD T. MULRENIN, Assistant Staff Director PORTIA W. THOMPSON, Equal Employment Opportunity Programs Officer DIVISION OF HUMAN MANAGEMENT DAVID L . SHANNON, RESOURCES DIVISION OF FEDERAL BANK OPERATIONS FLORENCE M . YOUNG, CONTROLLER Controller STEPHEN J. CLARK, Assistant Controller (Programs and Budgets) DARRELL R. PAULEY, Assistant Controller (Finance) DIVISION OF SUPPORT ROBERT E . FRAZIER, SERVICES Director GEORGE M. LOPEZ, Assistant DAVID L. WILLIAMS, Assistant Director Director OFFICE OF THE EXECUTIVE INFORMATION RESOURCES ALLEN E. BEUTEL, Executive DIRECTOR FOR MANAGEMENT Director STEPHEN R. MALPHRUS, Deputy Executive Director DIVISION SYSTEMS OF HARDWARE BRUCE M . BEARDSLEY, AND SOFTWARE Director THOMAS C. JUDD, Assistant Director ELIZABETH B. RIGGS, Assistant Director ROBERT J. ZEMEL, Assistant Director DIVISION OF APPLICATIONS STATISTICAL SERVICES WILLIAM R . JONES, DEVELOPMENT Director DAY W. RADEBAUGH, Assistant Director RICHARD C. STEVENS, Assistant Digitized for PATRICIA FRASER A. WELCH, Assistant Director Director Director DAVID L. ROBINSON, Associate Director C. WILLIAM SCHLEICHER, JR., Associate Director BRUCE J. SUMMERS, Associate Director CHARLES W. BENNETT, Assistant Director JACK DENNIS, JR., Assistant Director EARL G. HAMILTON, Assistant Director JOHN H. PARRISH, Assistant Director LOUISE L. ROSEMAN, Assistant Director Director GEORGE E . LIVINGSTON, RESERVE CLYDE H . FARNSWORTH, JR., JOHN R. WEIS, Associate Director ANTHONY V. DLGLOIA, Assistant Director JOSEPH H. HAYES, JR., Assistant Director FRED HOROWITZ, Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE Director AND Adviser 80 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1989 Federal Open Market Committee FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE MEMBERS ALAN GREENSPAN, Chairman WAYNE D . ANGELL ROGER GUFFEY H . ROBERT HELLER E . GERALD CORRIGAN, Vice MANUEL H . JOHNSON SILAS KEEHN EDWARD W . KELLEY, JR. ALTERNATE EDWARD G . BOEHNE ROBERT H . BOYKIN Chairman JOHN P . L A W A R E THOMAS C . MELZER MARTHA R . SEGER RICHARD F . SYRON MEMBERS W . LEE HOSKINS JAMES H . OLTMAN GARY H . STERN STAFF DONALD L . KOHN, Secretary and NORMAND R . V . BERNARD, Assistant Economist Secretary ERNEST T. PATRIKIS, Deputy General Counsel MICHAEL J. PRELL, Economist EDWIN M . TRUMAN, Economist JOHN H . BEEBE, Associate Economist J. ALFRED BROADDUS, JR., Associate Economist JOHN M . DAVIS, Associate Economist RICHARD G . DAVIS, Associate Economist DAVID E . LLNDSEY, Associate Economist CHARLES J. SLEGMAN, Associate Economist THOMAS D . SIMPSON, Associate Economist LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Associate Economist SHEILA L . TSCHINKEL, Associate Economist PETER D. STERNLIGHT, Manager for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account SAM Y. CROSS, Manager for Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account FEDERAL ADVISORY COUNCIL DONALD N . BRANDIN, President SAMUEL A. McCULLOUGH, Vice President THOMAS H. O'BRIEN, Fourth District B. KENNETH WEST, Seventh District DONALD N. BRANDIN, Eighth District LLOYD P. JOHNSON, Ninth District JORDAN L. HAINES, Tenth District FREDERICK DEANE, JR., F i f t h District JAMES E . BURT III, E l e v e n t h D i s t r i c t KENNETH L. ROBERTS, Sixth District PAUL HAZEN, Twelfth District J. TERRENCE MURRAY, First District WILLARD C. BUTCHER, Second District SAMUEL A . MCCULLOUGH, Third District HERBERT V . PROCHNOW, WILLIAM J. KORSVIK, Associate Secretary Secretary 81 and Advisory Councils CONSUMER ADVISORY COUNCIL JUDITH N. BROWN, Edina, Minnesota, Chairman WILLIAM E. ODOM, Dearborn, Michigan, Vice Chairman NAOMI G. ALBANESE, Greensboro, North Carolina GEORGE H. BRAASCH, Chicago, Illinois BETTY TOM CHU, Arcadia, California CLIFF E. COOK, Tacoma, Washington JERRY D. CRAFT, Atlanta, Georgia DONALD C. DAY, Boston, Massachusetts R.B.(JOE) DEAN, JR., Columbia, South Carolina RICHARD B. DOBY, Denver, Colorado ROBERT A . HESS, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . WILLIAM C . DUNKELBERG, P h i l a d e l p h i a , P e n n s y l v a n i a RICHARD H . FINK, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . JAMES FLETCHER, C h i c a g o , Illinois STEPHEN GARDNER, D a l l a s , T e x a s VINCENT P. QUAYLE, Baltimore, Maryland ELENA G. HANGGI, Little Rock, Arkansas JAMES HEAD, Berkeley, California THRIFT INSTITUTIONS ADVISORY RAMON E. JOHNSON, Salt Lake City, Utah BARBARA KAUFMAN, San Francisco, California A. J. (JACK) KING, Kalispell, Montana MICHELLE S . MEIER, W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . RICHARD L. D. MORSE, Manhattan, Kansas LINDA K. PAGE, Columbus, Ohio SANDRA PHILLIPS, P i t t s b u r g h , P e n n s y l v a n i a CLIFFORD N . ROSENTHAL, N e w Y o r k , N e w Y o r k ALAN M. SPURGIN, New York, New York RALPH E. SPURGIN, Columbus, Ohio DAVID P. WARD, Peapack, New Jersey LAWRENCE WINTHROP, P o r t l a n d , O r e g o n COUNCIL GERALD M. CZARNECKI, Honolulu, Hawaii, President DONALD B. SHACKELFORD, Columbus, Ohio, Vice President CHARLOTTE CHAMBERLAIN, G l e n d a l e , California JOE C. MORRIS, Overland Park, Kansas ROBERT S. DUNCAN, Hattiesburg, Mississippi ADAM A. JAHNS, Chicago, Illinois H. C. KLEIN, Jacksonville, Arkansas PHILIP E. LAMB, Springfield, Massachusetts JOSEPH W . MOSMILLER, B a l t i m o r e , M a r y l a n d Louis H. PEPPER, Seattle, Washington MARION O. SANDLER, Oakland, California CHARLES B. STUZIN, Miami, Florida 82 Federal Reserve Board Publications For ordering assistance, write PUBLICATIONS SERVICES, MS-138, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551 or telephone (202) 4523244. When a charge is indicated, payment should accompany request and be made payable to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Payment from foreign residents should be drawn on a U.S. bank. THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM—PURPOSES AND FUNCTIONS. 1984. 120 pp. ANNUAL REPORT. ANNUAL REPORT: BUDGET REVIEW, 1 9 8 8 - 8 9 . FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN. M o n t h l y . $ 2 0 . 0 0 per y e a r or $2.00 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of same issue to one address, $18.00 per year or $1.75 each. Elsewhere, $24.00 per year or $2.50 each. BANKING AND MONETARY STATISTICS. 1914-1941. (Reprint of Part I only) 1976. 682 pp. $5.00. 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REGULATIONS OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. ANNUAL PERCENTAGE RATE TABLES (Truth in L e n d i n g — Regulation Z) Vol. I (Regular Transactions). 1969. 100 pp. Vol. II (Irregular Transactions). 1969. 116 pp. Each volume $2.25; 10 or more of same volume to one address, $2.00 each. INTRODUCTION TO FLOW OF FUNDS. 1 9 8 0 . 6 8 pp. $ 1 . 5 0 e a c h ; 10 or more to one address, $1.25 each. PUBLIC POLICY AND CAPITAL FORMATION. 1981. 326 pp. $13.50 each. FEDERAL RESERVE REGULATORY SERVICE. L o o s e l e a f ; up- dated at least monthly. (Requests must be prepaid.) Consumer and Community Affairs Handbook. $75.00 per year. Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirements Handbook. $75.00 per year. Securities Credit Transactions Handbook. $75.00 per year. The Payment System Handbook. $75.00 per year. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. 3 vols. (Contains all three Handbooks plus substantial additional material.) $200.00 per year. Rates for subscribers outside the United States are as follows and include additional air mail costs: Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, $250.00 per year. Each Handbook, $90.00 per year. THE U . S . ECONOMY IN AN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD: A MULTICOUNTRY MODEL, M a y 1984. 590 pp. $ 1 4 . 5 0 each. PROCESSING A N APPLICATION THROUGH THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. A u g u s t 1985. 30 p p . INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—1986 EDITION. D e c e m b e r 1986. 440 pp. $9.00 each. FINANCIAL FUTURES AND OPTIONS IN THE U . S . ECONOMY. December 1986. 264 pp. $10.00 each. CONSUMER EDUCATION PAMPHLETS Short pamphlets suitable for classroom use. Multiple copies are available without charge. Consumer Handbook on Adjustable Rate Mortgages Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws Federal Reserve Glossary A Guide to Business Credit and the Equal Credit Opportunity Act A Guide to Federal Reserve Regulations How to File A Consumer Credit Complaint If You Use A Credit Card Series on the Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Open Market Committee Federal Reserve Bank Board of Directors Federal Reserve Banks Organization and Advisory Committees A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-Ins A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Closings A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Refinancing Making Deposits: When Will Your Money Be Available? 83 PAMPHLETS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS Short pamphlets on regulatory compliance, primarily suitable for banks, bank holding companies and creditors. 134. SMALL EMPIRICAL MODELS OF EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, b y Limit of 50 copies 135. SMALL EMPIRICAL MODELS OF EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: APPLICATIONS TO CANADA, GER- The Board of Directors' Opportunities in Community Reinvestment The Board of Directors' Role in Consumer Law Compliance Combined Construction/Permanent Loan Disclosure and Regulation Z Community Development Corporations and the Federal Reserve Construction Loan Disclosures and Regulation Z Finance Charges Under Regulation Z How to Determine the Credit Needs of Your Community Regulation Z: The Right of Rescission The Right to Financial Privacy Act Signature Rules in Community Property States: Regulation B Signature Rules: Regulation B Timing Requirements for Adverse Action Notices: Regulation B What An Adverse Action Notice Must Contain: Regulation B Understanding Prepaid Finance Charges: Regulation Z STAFF STUDIES: Summaries Only Printed in the Bulletin Studies and papers on economic and financial subjects that are of general interest. Requests to obtain single copies of the full text or to be added to the mailing list for the series may be sent to Publications Services. Staff Studies 115-125 are out of print. 114. MULTIBANK HOLDING COMPANIES: RECENT EVIDENCE ON COMPETITION AND PERFORMANCE IN BANKING MARKETS, by Timothy J. Curry and John T. Rose. Jan. 1982. 9 pp. 126. DEFINITION AND MEASUREMENT OF EXCHANGE MAR- KET INTERVENTION, by Donald B. Adams and Dale W. Henderson. August 1983. 5 pp. Out of print. 127. U . S . EXPERIENCE WITH EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: JANUARY-MARCH 1975, b y Margaret L . Greene. August 1984. 16 pp. Out of print. 128. U . S . EXPERIENCE WITH EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: SEPTEMBER 1977-DECEMBER 1979, b y Mar- garet L. Greene. October 1984. 40 pp. Out of print. 129. U . S . EXPERIENCE WITH EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: OCTOBER 1980-OCTOBER 1981, b y Margaret L. Greene. August 1984. 36 pp. 130. EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE VARIABILITY ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND OTHER ECONOMIC VARIABLES: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, by Victoria S. Farrell with Dean A. DeRosa and T. Ashby McCown. January 1984. Out of print. 131. CALCULATIONS OF PROFITABILITY FOR U . S . DOLLARDEUTSCHE MARK INTERVENTION, b y L a u r e n c e R. Ja- cobson. October 1983. 8 pp. 132. TIME-SERIES STUDIES OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXCHANGE RATES AND INTERVENTION: A REVIEW OF THE TECHNIQUES AND LITERATURE, b y K e n - neth Rogoff. October 1983. 15 pp. 133. RELATIONSHIPS AMONG EXCHANGE RATES, INTERVENTION, AND INTEREST RATES: A N EMPIRICAL IN- VESTIGATION, by Bonnie E. Loopesko. November 1983. Out of print. Ralph W. Tryon. October 1983. 14 pp. Out of print. MANY, AND JAPAN, by Deborah J. Danker, Richard A. Haas, Dale W. Henderson, Steven A. Symansky, and Ralph W. Tryon. April 1985. 27 pp. Out of print. 136. THE EFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICY ON THE U . S . ECON- OMY, by Darrell Cohen and Peter B. Clark. January 1984. 16 pp. Out of print. 137. THE IMPLICATIONS FOR BANK MERGER POLICY OF FINANCIAL DEREGULATION, INTERSTATE BANKING, AND FINANCIAL SUPERMARKETS, b y S t e p h e n A . Rhoades. February 1984. Out of print. 138. ANTITRUST LAWS, JUSTICE DEPARTMENT GUIDELINES, AND THE LIMITS OF CONCENTRATION IN LOCAL BANKING MARKETS, by James Burke. June 1984.14 pp. Out of print. 139. SOME IMPLICATIONS OF FINANCIAL INNOVATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES, by Thomas D. Simpson and Patrick M. Parkinson. August 1984. 20 pp. 140. GEOGRAPHIC MARKET DELINEATION: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, by John D. Wolken. November 1984. 38 pp. Out of print. 141. A COMPARISON OF DIRECT DEPOSIT AND CHECK PAY- MENT COSTS, by William Dudley. November 1984. 15 pp. Out of print. 142. MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS BY COMMERCIAL BANKS, 1960-83, by Stephen A. Rhoades. December 1984. 30 pp. Out of print. 143. COMPLIANCE COSTS AND CONSUMER BENEFITS OF THE ELECTRONIC F U N D TRANSFER ACT: RECENT SUR- VEY EVIDENCE, by Frederick J. Schroeder. April 1985. 23 pp. Out of print. 144. SCALE ECONOMIES IN COMPLIANCE COSTS FOR CONSUMER CREDIT REGULATIONS: THE TRUTH IN LENDING AND EQUAL CREDIT OPPORTUNITY LAWS, b y Gregory E. Elliehausen and Robert D. Kurtz. May 1985. 10 pp. 145. SERVICE CHARGES AS A SOURCE OF BANK INCOME AND THEIR IMPACT ON CONSUMERS, b y G l e n n B . Canner and Robert D. Kurtz. August 1985. 31 pp. Out of print. 146. THE ROLE OF THE PRIME RATE IN THE PRICING OF BUSINESS LOANS BY COMMERCIAL BANKS, 1 9 7 7 - 8 4 , by Thomas F. Brady. November 1985. 25 pp. 147. REVISIONS IN THE MONETARY SERVICES (DIVISIA) INDEXES OF THE MONETARY AGGREGATES, b y H e l e n T. Farr and Deborah Johnson. December 42 pp. 1985. 148. THE MACROECONOMIC AND SECTORAL EFFECTS OF THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY TAX ACT: SOME SIMULA- TION RESULTS, by Flint Brayton and Peter B. Clark. December 1985. 17 pp. 149. THE OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF ACQUIRED FIRMS IN BANKING BEFORE AND AFTER ACQUISITION, b y Stephen A. Rhoades. April 1986. 32 pp. 150. STATISTICAL COST ACCOUNTING MODELS IN BANKING: A REEXAMINATION AND AN APPLICATION, b y John T. Rose and John D. Wolken. May 1986. 13 pp. 151. RESPONSES TO DEREGULATION: RETAIL DEPOSIT PRICING FROM 1983 THROUGH 1985, b y Patrick I. M a - honey, Alice P. White, Paul F. O'Brien, and Mary M. McLaughlin. January 1987. 30 pp. 84 152. DETERMINANTS OF CORPORATE MERGER ACTIVITY: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, by Mark J. Warshawsky. April 1987. 18 pp. 153. STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY, b y C a r o l y n D . D a v i s a n d Alice P. White. September 1987. 14 pp. 154. THE EFFECTS ON CONSUMERS AND CREDITORS OF PROPOSED CEILINGS ON CREDIT CARD INTEREST RATES, by Glenn B. Canner and James T. Fergus. October 1987. 26 pp. 155. THE FUNDING OF PRIVATE PENSION PLANS, b y Mark J. Warshawsky. November 1987. 25 pp. 156. INTERNATIONAL TRENDS FOR U . S . BANKS AND BANK- ING MARKETS, by James V. Houpt. May 1988. 47 pp. REPRINTS OF BULLETIN ARTICLES Most of the articles reprinted do not exceed 12 pages. Limit of 10 copies Foreign Experience with Targets for Money Growth. 10/83. Intervention in Foreign Exchange Markets: A Summary of Ten Staff Studies. 11/83. A Financial Perspective on Agriculture. 1/84. Survey of Consumer Finances, 1983. 9/84. Bank Lending to Developing Countries. 10/84. Survey of Consumer Finances, 1983: A Second Report. 12/84. Union Settlements and Aggregate Wage Behavior in the 1980s. 12/84. The Thrift Industry in Transition. 3/85. A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production. 7/85. Financial Innovation and Deregulation in Foreign Industrial Countries. 10/85. Recent Developments in the Bankers Acceptance Market. 1/86. The Use of Cash and Transaction Accounts by American Families. 2/86. Financial Characteristics of High-Income Families. 3/86. Prices, Profit Margins, and Exchange Rates. 6/86. Agricultural Banks under Stress. 7/86. Foreign Lending by Banks: A Guide to International and U.S. Statistics. 10/86. Recent Developments in Corporate Finance. 11/86. Measuring the Foreign-Exchange Value of the Dollar. 6/87. Changes in Consumer Installment Debt: Evidence from the 1983 and 1986 Surveys of Consumer Finances. 10/87. U.S. International Transactions in 1987. 5/88. Home Equity Lines of Credit. 6/88. 85 Index to Statistical Tables References are to pages A3-A77 although the prefix "A" is omitted in this index ACCEPTANCES, bankers (See Bankers acceptances) Agricultural loans, commercial banks, 19, 20, 76 Assets and liabilities (See also Foreigners) Banks, by classes, 18-20 Domestic finance companies, 36 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Financial institutions, 26 Foreign banks, U.S. branches and agencies, 21 Automobiles Consumer installment credit, 39, 40 Production, 49, 50 Depository institutions Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves and related items, 3, 4, 5, 12 Deposits (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 3, 18-20, 21 Federal Reserve Banks, 4, 10 Turnover, 15 Discount rates at Reserve Banks and at foreign central banks and foreign countries (See Interest rates) Discounts and advances by Reserve Banks (See Loans) Dividends, corporate, 35 BANKERS acceptances, 9, 23, 24 Bankers balances, 18-20. (See also Foreigners) Bonds (See also U.S. government securities) New issues, 34 Rates, 24 Branch banks, 21, 57 Business activity, nonfinancial, 46 Business expenditures on new plant and equipment, 35 Business loans (See Commercial and industrial loans) EMPLOYMENT, 47 Eurodollars, 24 CAPACITY utilization, 48 Capital accounts Banks, by classes, 18 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Central banks, discount rates, 69 Certificates of deposit, 24 Commercial and industrial loans Commercial banks, 16, 19, 72-74 Weekly reporting banks, 19-21 Commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 18-20 Commercial and industrial loans, 16, 18, 19, 20, 21, 72-74 Consumer loans held, by type, and terms, 39, 40 Loans sold outright, 19 Nondeposit funds, 17 Real estate mortgages held, by holder and property, 38 Terms of lending, 72-77 Time and savings deposits, 3 Commercial paper, 23, 24, 36 Condition statements (See Assets and liabilities) Construction, 46, 51, 73 Consumer installment credit, 39, 40 Consumer prices, 46, 48 Consumption expenditures, 53, 54 Corporations Nonfinancial, assets and liabilities, 35 Profits and their distribution, 35 Security issues, 34, 67 Cost of living (See Consumer prices) Credit unions, 26, 39. (See also Thrift institutions) Currency and coin, 18 Currency in circulation, 4, 13 Customer credit, stock market, 25 DEBITS to deposit accounts, 15 Debt (See specific types of debt or securities) Demand deposits Banks, by classes, 18-21 Ownership by individuals, partnerships, and corporations, 22 Turnover, 15 FARM mortgage loans, 38 Federal agency obligations, 4, 9, 10, 11, 31, 32 Federal credit agencies, 33 Federal finance Debt subject to statutory limitation, and types and ownership of gross debt, 30 Receipts and outlays, 28, 29 Treasury financing of surplus, or deficit, 28 Treasury operating balance, 28 Federal Financing Bank, 28, 33 Federal funds, 6, 17, 19, 20, 21, 24, 28 Federal Home Loan Banks, 33 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, 33, 37, 38 Federal Housing Administration, 33, 37, 38 Federal Land Banks, 38 Federal National Mortgage Association, 33, 37, 38 Federal Reserve Banks Condition statement, 10 Discount rates (See Interest rates) U.S. government securities held, 4, 10, 11, 30 Federal Reserve credit, 4, 5, 10, 11 Federal Reserve notes, 10 Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation insured institutions, 26 Federally sponsored credit agencies, 33 Finance companies Assets and liabilities, 36 Business credit, 36 Loans, 39, 40 Paper, 23, 24 Financial institutions Loans to, 19, 20, 21 Selected assets and liabilities, 26 Float, 4 Flow of funds, 41, 43, 44, 45 Foreign banks, assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies, 21 Foreign currency operations, 10 Foreign deposits in U.S. banks, 4, 10, 19, 20 Foreign exchange rates, 70 Foreign trade, 56 Foreigners Claims on, 57, 59, 62, 63, 64, 66 Liabilities to, 20, 56, 57, 59, 60, 65, 67, 68 GOLD Certificate account, 10 Stock, 4, 56 86 Government National Mortgage Association, 33, 37, 38 Gross national product, 53 HOUSING, new and existing units, 51 INCOME, personal and national, 46, 53, 54 Industrial production, 46, 49 Installment loans, 39, 40 Insurance companies, 26, 30, 38 Interest rates Bonds, 24 Commercial banks, 72-77 Consumer installment credit, 40 Federal Reserve Banks, 7 Foreign central banks and foreign countries, 69 Money and capital markets, 24 Mortgages, 37 Prime rate, 23 International capital transactions of United States, 55-69 International organizations, 59, 60, 62, 65, 66 Inventories, 53 Investment companies, issues and assets, 35 Investments (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 18, 19, 20, 21, 26 Commercial banks, 3, 16, 18-20, 38 Federal Reserve Banks, 10, 11 Financial institutions, 26, 38 LABOR force, 47 Life insurance companies (See Insurance companies) Loans (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 18-20 Commercial banks, 3, 16, 18-20, 72-77 Federal Reserve Banks, 4, 5, 7, 10, 11 Financial institutions, 26, 38 Insured or guaranteed by United States, 37, 38 MANUFACTURING Capacity utilization, 48 Production, 48, 50 Margin requirements, 25 Member banks (See also Depository institutions) Federal funds and repurchase agreements, 6 Reserve requirements, 8 Mining production, 50 Mobile homes shipped, 51 Monetary and credit aggregates, 3, 12 Money and capital market rates, 24 Money stock measures and components, 3, 13 Mortgages (See Real estate loans) Mutual funds, 35 Mutual savings banks (See Thrift institutions) NATIONAL defense outlays, 29 National income, 53 OPEN market transactions, 9 PERSONAL income, 54 Prices Consumer and producer, 46, 52 Stock market, 25 Prime rate, 23 Producer prices, 46, 52 Production, 46, 49 Profits, corporate, 35 REAL estate loans Banks, by classes, 16, 19, 20, 38 Financial institutions, 26 Real estate loans—Continued Terms, yields, and activity, 37 Type of holder and property mortgaged, 38 Repurchase agreements, 6, 17, 19, 20, 21 Reserve requirements, 8 Reserves Commercial banks, 18 Depository institutions, 3, 4, 5, 12 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 U.S. reserve assets, 56 Residential mortgage loans, 37 Retail credit and retail sales, 39, 40, 46 SAVING Flow of funds, 41, 43, 44, 45 National income accounts, 53 Savings and loan associations, 26, 38, 39, 41. (See also Thrift institutions) Savings banks, 26, 38, 39 Savings deposits (See Time and savings deposits) Securities (See also specific types) Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies, 33 Foreign transactions, 67 New issues, 34 Prices, 25 Special drawing rights, 4, 10, 55, 56 State and local governments Deposits, 19, 20 Holdings of U.S. government securities, 30 New security issues, 34 Ownership of securities issued by, 19, 20, 26 Rates on securities, 24 Stock market, selected statistics, 25 Stocks (See also Securities) New issues, 34 Prices, 25 Student Loan Marketing Association, 33 TAX receipts, federal, 29 Thrift institutions, 3. (See also Credit unions and Savings and loan associations) Time and savings deposits, 3, 13, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21 Trade, foreign, 56 Treasury cash, Treasury currency, 4 Treasury deposits, 4, 10, 28 Treasury operating balance, 28 UNEMPLOYMENT, 47 U.S. government balances Commercial bank holdings, 18, 19, 20 Treasury deposits at Reserve Banks, 4, 10, 28 U.S. government securities Bank holdings, 18-20, 21, 30 Dealer transactions, positions, and financing, 32 Federal Reserve Bank holdings, 4, 10, 11, 30 Foreign and international holdings and transactions, 10, 30, 68 Open market transactions, 9 Outstanding, by type and holder, 26, 30 Rates, 24 U.S. international transactions, 55-69 Utilities, production, 50 VETERANS Administration, 37, 38 WEEKLY reporting banks, 19-21 Wholesale (producer) prices, 46, 52 YIELDS (See Interest rates) 87 Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices FEDERAL RESERVE BANK branch, or facility Zip Chairman Deputy Chairman President First Vice President BOSTON* 02106 George N. Hatsopoulos Richard N. Cooper Richard F. Syron Robert W. Eisenmenger NEW YORK* 10045 Cyrus R. Vance Ellen V. Futter Mary Ann Lambertsen E. Gerald Corrigan James H. Oltman Buffalo 14240 John T. Keane PHILADELPHIA 19105 Peter A. Benoliel Gunnar E. Sarsten Edward G. Boehne William H. Stone, Jr. CLEVELAND* 44101 Charles W. Parry John R. Miller Owen B. Butler James E. Haas W. Lee Hoskins William H. Hendricks Hanne Merriman Leroy T. Canoles, Jr. Thomas R. Shelton William E. Masters Robert P. Black Jimmie R. Monhollon Bradley Currey, Jr. Larry L. Prince Nelda P. Stephenson Winnie F. Taylor Jose L. Saumat Patsy R. Williams James A. Hefner Robert P. Forrestal Jack Guynn Robert J. Day Marcus Alexis Richard T. Lindgren Silas Keehn Daniel M. Doyle Robert L. Virgil, Jr. H. Edwin Trusheim L. Dickson Flake Thomas A. Alvey Seymour B. Johnson Thomas C. Melzer James R. Bowen Michael W. Wright John A. Rollwagen Warren H. Ross Gary H. Stern Thomas E. Gainor Fred W. Lyons, Jr. Burton A. Dole, Jr. James C. Wilson Patience S. Latting Kenneth L. Morrison Roger Guffey Henry R. Czerwinski Bobby R. Inman Hugh G. Robinson Diana S. Natalicio Andrew L. Jefferson, Jr. Lawrence E. Jenkins Robert H. Boykin William H.Wallace Robert F. Erburu Carolyn S. Chambers Yvonne B. Burke Paul E. Bragdon Don M. Wheeler Carol A. Nygren Robert T. Parry Carl E. Powell Cincinnati Pittsburgh 45201 15230 RICHMOND* 23219 Baltimore 21203 Charlotte 28230 Culpeper Communications and Records Center 22701 ATLANTA Birmingham Jacksonville Miami Nashville New Orleans 30303 35283 32231 33152 37203 70161 CHICAGO* 60690 Detroit 48231 ST. LOUIS 63166 Little Rock Louisville Memphis 72203 40232 38101 MINNEAPOLIS 55480 Helena KANSAS CITY Denver Oklahoma City Omaha DALLAS El Paso Houston San Antonio 59601 64198 80217 73125 68102 75222 79999 77252 78295 SAN FRANCISCO 94120 Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle 90051 97208 84125 98124 Vice President in charge of branch Charles A. Cerino1 Harold J. Swart1 Robert D. McTeer, Jr.1 Albert D. Tinkelenberg1 John G. Stoides1 Delmar Harrison1 Fred R. Herr1 James D. Hawkins1 James Curry III Donald E. Nelson Robert J. Musso Roby L. Sloan1 John F. Breen1 Howard Wells Ray Laurence Robert F. McNellis Kent M. Scott David J. France Harold L. Shewmaker Tony J. Salvaggio1 Sammie C. Clay Robert Smith, III1 Thomas H. Robertson John F. Hoover1 Thomas C. Warren2 Angelo S. Carella1 E. Ronald Liggett1 Gerald R. Kelly1 *Additional offices of these Banks are located at Lewiston, Maine 04240; Windsor Locks, Connecticut 06096; Cranford, New Jersey 07016; Jericho, New York 11753; Utica at Oriskany, New York 13424; Columbus, Ohio 43216; Columbia, South Carolina 29210; Charleston, West Virginia 25311; Des Moines, Iowa 50306; Indianapolis, Indiana 46204; and Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202. Digitized for 1.FRASER Senior Vice President. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ 2. Executive Vice President. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 88 The Federal Reserve System Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts and Their Branch Territories i^^fcp (•••til illlp ISSNI HAWAII piI8SiS§iP ftBllwMitlP LEGEND Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts ® Federal Reserve Bank Cities Boundaries of Federal Reserve Branch Territories • Federal Reserve Branch Cities Federal Reserve Bank Facility Q Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Publications of Interest NEW HANDBOOK AVAILABLE REGULATORY SERVICE FROM THE The Federal Reserve Board has announced publication of The Payment System Handbook. The new handbook, which is part of the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, deals with expedited funds availability, check collection, wire transfers, and risk-reduction policy. It includes Regulation CC (Availability of Funds and Collection of Checks), Regulation J (Collection of Checks and Other Items and Wire Transfers of Funds by Federal Reserve Banks), the Expedited Funds Availability Act and related statutes, official Board commentary on Regulation CC, and policy statements on risk reduction in the payment system. In addition, it contains detailed subject and citation indexes. It is published in loose-leaf binder form and is updated monthly. To promote public understanding of its regulatory functions, the Board publishes the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, a three-volume loose-leaf service containing all Board regulations and related statutes, interpretations, policy statements, rulings, and staff opinions. For those with a more specialized interest in the Board's r igulations, parts of this service are published separately as handbooks pertaining to monetary policy, securities credit, consumer affairs, and, available for the first time in September 1988, The Payment System Handbook. For domestic subscribers, the annual rate for The Payment System Handbook is $75. For subscribers outside the United States, the price, including additional air mail costs, is $90. For the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, not including handbooks, the annual rate is $200 for domestic subscribers and $250 for subscribers outside the United States. All subscription requests must be accompanied by a check payable to "Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System." Orders should be addressed to Publications Services, Mail Stop 138, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Publications of Interest FEDERAL RESERVE CONSUMER CREDIT PUBLICATIONS The Federal Reserve Board publishes a series of pamphlets covering individual credit laws and topics, as pictured below. The series includes such subjects as how the Equal Credit Opportunity Act protects women against discrimination in their credit dealings, how to use a credit card, and how to resolve a billing error. The Board also publishes the Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws, a complete guide to consumer credit protections. This 44-page booklet explains how to use the credit laws to shop for credit, apply for it, keep up credit ratings, and complain about an unfair credit. Three booklets on the mortgage process are also available: A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Refinancing, A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Lock-Ins, and A Consumer's Guide to Mortgage Closings. These booklets were prepared in conjunction with the Federal Home Loan Bank Board and in consultation with other federal agencies and trade and consumer groups. Copies of consumer publications are available free of charge from Publications Services, Mail Stop 138, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Multiple copies for classroom use are also available free of charge.