Full text of Federal Reserve Bulletin : April 1987
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VOLUME 73 • NUMBER 4 • APRIL 1987 FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, WASHINGTON, D . C . PUBLICATIONS COMMITTEE Joseph R. Coyne, Chairman • Michael Bradfield • S. David Frost • Griffith L. Garwood • James L. Kichline • Edwin M. Truman T h e FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN is i s s u e d m o n t h l y u n d e r the d i r e c t i o n o f the staff p u b l i c a t i o n s c o m m i t t e e . T h i s c r • n i t t e e is r e s p o n s i b l e f o r o p i n i o n s e x p r e s s e d e x c e p t in official s t a t e m e n t s a n d s i g n e d articles. It is a s s i s t e d b y the E c o n o m i c Editing S e c t i o n h e a d e d b y M e n d e l l e T . B e r e n s o n , the G r a p h i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s S e c t i o n u n d e r the direction o f P e t e r G . T h o m a s , a n d P u b l i c a t i o n s S e r v i c e s s u p e r v i s e d b y L i n d a C . K y l e s . Table of Contents 239 MONETARY POLICY TO THE CONGRESS REPORT The current economic expansion has entered its fifth year, ranking it among the longest of the postwar period; monetary expansion, while adequate to support orderly economic growth, needs to be consistent with continuing progress over time in reducing the underlying rate of inflation. 255 BASIC BANKING On October 2, 1986, the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council approved a policy statement that endorses and encourages private sector efforts to offer basic banking services. This article focuses on the basic banking issue, its origins, and recent developments. 270 STAFF STUDIES "Determinants of Corporate Merger Activity: A Review of the Literature" reviews the relevant theoretical literature regarding the major determinants of corporate merger activity and examines the empirical evidence bearing on the aptness of the suggested explanations. 272 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Industrial production increased an estimated 0.4 percent in January. 275 STATEMENTS TO CONGRESS Paul A. Volcker, Chairman, Board of Governors, discusses domestic and international economic policies and says that although much more remains to be done, there is some evidence that the needed economic adjustments are beginning, before the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress, February 2, 1987. 279 Wayne D. Angell, Member, Board of Governors, provides the views of the Board on the issue of delayed availability, and specifically on S. 344, the Fair Deposit Availability Act of 1987, before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, February 5, 1987. 282 Chairman Volcker reviews the conduct of monetary policy against the background of economic and financial developments here and abroad, concentrating on more general considerations underlying the policy approaches of the Federal Reserve, and says that these approaches must fit into a broader pattern of complementary action both in the United States and in other countries if the common objective of sustained economic expansion and price stability is to be reached, before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, February 19, 1987. [Chairman Volcker presented identical testimony before the House Committee on Banking, Finance and Urban Affairs, February 26, 1987.] 290 Chairman Volcker discusses recent and prospective developments in domestic and international economic policies and says that what is required in dealing with the distortions and imbalances within our economy and internationally is complementary actions, here and abroad, on budgets, on monetary policies, and on maintaining appropriate exchange rates and an open trading order, before the Senate Committee on the Budget, February 24, 1987. 296 ANNOUNCEMENTS Meeting of Consumer Advisory Council. New edition of Bank Holding Supervision Manual available. Company Comments requested on proposed riskbased capital framework for banks and bank holding companies; comment requested on two notices to be used by financial institutions to notify federal regulators of their status under the Government Securities Act of 1986; comment period extended on proposals to reduce the risks on largedollar payment systems and on proposed rulemaking to permit bank holding companies to engage in limited real estate investment activities. 299 RECORD OF POLICY ACTIONS OF THE FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE At its meeting on December 15-16, 1986, all of the members of the Committee indicated that they favored a directive that called for no change in the degree of pressure on reserve positions. The members expected this approach to policy implementation to be consistent with growth of both M2 and M3 at an annual rate of about 7 percent over the four-month period from November to March. Because the behavior of Ml remained subject to unusual uncertainty, the members decided they would continue to evaluate this aggregate in the light of the performance of the broader monetary aggregates and other factors. The members indicated that slightly greater reserve restraint or somewhat lesser reserve restraint would be acceptable over the intermeeting period depending on the behavior of the monetary aggregates, taking into account the strength of the business expansion, the performance of the dollar in foreign ex- change markets, progress against inflation, and conditions in domestic and international credit markets. The members agreed that the intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating consultation of the Committee when its boundaries are persistently exceeded, should be left unchanged at 4 to 8 percent. 305 LEGAL DEVELOPMENTS Various bank holding company, bank service corporation, and bank merger orders; and pending cases. AI FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS STATISTICS A3 Domestic Financial Statistics A44 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics A53 International Statistics A69 GUIDE TO TABULAR PRESENTATION, STATISTICAL RELEASES, AND SPECIAL TABLES A70 BOARD OF GOVERNORS AND STAFF All FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE AND STAFF; ADVISORY COUNCILS A74 FEDERAL RESERVE PUBLICATIONS BOARD AH INDEX TO STATISTICAL TABLES A19 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS, AND OFFICES BRANCHES, A80 MAP OF FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Monetary Policy Report to the Congress Report submitted to the Congress on February 19, 1987, pursuant to the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978.1 MONETAR Y POLIC Y AND THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR 1987 The current economic expansion in the United States has entered its fifth year, ranking it among the longest of the postwar period. While substantial imbalances and risks that must be dealt with forcefully and effectively have emerged in the course of the expansion, important groundwork also has been laid for continued growth through 1987 and beyond. Significantly, price trends thus far have remained favorable, reflecting not only the dramatic drop in crude oil prices in early 1986 but also continued restraint on labor costs in many sectors. Interest rates have moved lower and stock prices higher, reducing the cost of capital for investment and enhancing wealth. Furthermore, processes are in train that should help correct the major imbalances that have been plaguing the economy: action has been taken to cut the deficit in the federal budget, and the foreign exchange value of the dollar has moved to levels that have made U.S. firms more competitive in world markets and that should help correct the imbalance in the U.S. external accounts. While the potential for further economic progress thus appears considerable, those gains will be secured only if there is timely and constructive action by decisionmakers in the public and private sectors. The Congress and the administration must follow up the steps already taken and make basic programmatic changes that will ensure continuing movement toward budgetary 1. The charts for the report are available on request from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. balance; failure to do so would be damaging to confidence and disruptive to the financial markets. Many of our major trading partners, which have depended greatly on external surpluses to buoy their economies over the past few years, must act to open their markets more fully and to foster sustained growth in domestic demand; without such action, prospects for world growth as well as for reducing our own trade deficit would be impaired, the risks of protectionism would rise, and prospects for the dollar would be more uncertain. And, if we are to capitalize on those trading opportunities and promote economic and financial stability at home, labor and management must avoid a return to the inflationary behavior of the past. Oil prices have firmed recently, and the sizable decline in the dollar is likely to exert upward pressure on other prices in the months ahead; the challenge is to prevent such developments from triggering a cumulative price-wage spiral. In that context, Federal Reserve policy has a critical role to play. Monetary expansion, while adequate to support orderly economic growth, needs to be consistent with continuing progress over time in reducing the underlying rate of inflation. As the experience of recent years has demonstrated, such a policy—in part by bolstering confidence in financial markets and providing a framework of greater certainty for private decisionmaking—can make a substantial contribution to the maintenance of expansion and the reduction of unemployment. In the short run, a variety of factors—such as interest rate movements, regulatory changes, and institutional innovations, among others—may alter considerably the amount of funds the public wishes to hold in monetary form. Over time, however, expansion of the money stock measures clearly must moderate from recent rates if destabilizing pressures are to be avoided. The Federal Open Market Committee has established targets for 1987 with that fact in mind, but it will continue to 240 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 interpret the movements in the monetary aggregates in light of developments in the economy and in domestic and international financial markets and the potential for inflationary pressures. A Brief Review of the Past Year Economic activity continued to expand moderately in 1986, at about the pace that has prevailed, on average, since mid-1984. This growth was sufficient to create 2Vi million new payroll jobs, and the unemployment rate drifted down to the area of 63A percent at year-end. Further progress was made in 1986 toward the objective of overall price stability. Wage and price behavior continued to be influenced by the anti-inflationary thrust of policies put in place some time ago—and by the ongoing adjustment of expectations to the new environment. Thus, while the plunge in world crude oil prices contributed importantly to the sharp slowing in inflation last year, prices outside the energy area also decelerated on average. Running counter to past cyclical patterns, labor cost pressures remained subdued, with nominal wage gains across a broad range of occupations and industries continuing to move toward less inflationary rates—rates that are more consistent with trends in labor productivity. The Federal Reserve encouraged continued economic expansion last year by supplying ample reserves for the banking system and reducing the discount rate four times, by a total of 2 percentage points. A large portion of the reserves provided were to accommodate the strong demand for Ml-type deposits. Last year, Ml grew in excess of 15 percent, and its velocity— the ratio of nominal gross national product to money—declined more than 9 percent, unprecedented during the postwar years. In part, this rapid money growth reflected the public's response to changes in interest rates, which made it more attractive to hold negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts and demand deposits. However, last year's growth was well in excess of what would be expected based on past relationships among money, interest rates, and income. Growth in the broader aggregates was more in line with past experience, taking account of interest rate movements. Both M2 and M3 expanded almost 9 percent last year, ending 1986 just within the upper bound of their annual target ranges. In the credit markets, short-term rates of interest declined about 2 percentage points through the first three quarters of the year. Since that time, short-term rates have backed up some, first reflecting pressure around the end of the year from a huge volume of tax-related transactions and more recently from investors' response to stronger-than-anticipated economic news and concerns about weakness in the dollar. Longerterm bond rates have fallen more than 2 percentage points since the end of 1985, with most of the decline occurring in the first four months of 1986 in response to an improved inflation outlook and sluggish growth in economic activity. After midApril, Treasury bond rates fluctuated in a relatively narrow range, but corporate and municipal bond rates trended lower—reaching the lowest levels since the late 1970s. The declines in interest rates contributed to the vigorous pace of household spending last year by reducing borrowing costs and boosting asset values. Housing starts, which are particularly sensitive to interest rate developments, rose a bit, despite the drag of a depressed economy in regions heavily dependent on oil and agriculture. In contrast, capital spending declined over the course of the year, largely because of the sharp cutback in oil drilling; more broadly, investment was restrained by an overhang of office and other commercial space and the weak pace of activity in major segments of the manufacturing sector. The disparity between household spending and business investment is indicative of the imbalances that characterized the U.S. economy in 1986. Indeed, economic performance throughout the current expansion has varied considerably across industries and regions of the country. In some cases, such as agriculture, special circumstances have played a role. But more fundamentally, the imbalances are rooted in the enormous—and partly related—deficits in our external accounts and in the federal budget. Although the foreign exchange value of the dollar has fallen sharply from its peak in early 1985—at least relative to the currencies of the major industrialized countries—the nation's Monetary Policy Report to the Congress trade deficit deepened last year. The increased price competitiveness of U.S. producers contributed to a sizable improvement in real export growth, but the pickup was damped by the relatively slow pace of economic activity abroad. At the same time, the volume of imports continued to rise rapidly through most of last year, in part because the pass-through of the dollar depreciation into import prices was limited by the ability of foreign exporters and U.S. distributors to absorb much of the exchange rate swing in their profit margins. Also, American buyers apparently have developed strong preferences for certain foreign goods, and the newly industrialized and developing countries continued to rely disproportionately on U.S. markets. With import penetration remaining on an uptrend, domestic production continued to expand less rapidly than domestic demand. The federal budget deficit also remains huge, despite substantial deficit-reducing actions taken by the administration and the Congress. Official estimates suggest that the deficit for fiscal 1987 will be in the range of $175 billion—a good deal less than the record $221 billion figure of a year earlier but still equal to a historically high 4 percent of GNP. Further cuts in the federal deficit are essential, in the context of movement toward better external balance, to ensure that an adequate flow of domestic saving is available to support needed domestic investment. Monetary Policy for 1987 As noted above, the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) believe that a reduction in the growth of the money supply measures, over time, will be needed if the economy is to achieve noninflationary growth and external equilibrium. The precise timing and degree of that moderation in monetary expansion will depend on prevailing circumstances in the U.S. economy and in domestic and international financial markets. The Committee has established target ranges for M2 and M3 of 5YI to 8V2 percent from the fourth quarter of 1986 to the fourth quarter of 1987, the same as those tentatively agreed upon in July. The ranges for M2 and M3 are V2 percentage point below those in 241 Ranges of growth for monetary and debt aggregates Percent change, fourth quarter to fourth quarter Aggregate M2 M3 Debt 1987 1986 5 Vi t o 8V4 to 8 to 11 5Vt m 6 to 9 6 to 9 8 t o 11 effect for 1986 and are below the actual growth rates last year. Indeed, in an environment without the dramatic movements in interest rates of recent years, only small changes in the velocity of these aggregates would be anticipated. Accordingly, the Committee now expects growth of M2 and M3 this year to be in the middle parts of their ranges. The FOMC elected not to establish a specific target range for Ml at this time because of uncertainties about its underlying relationship to the behavior of the economy and its sensitivity to a variety of economic and financial circumstances and assumptions at particular points in time. With the deregulation of deposit rates and the attendant changes in the composition of M l , the narrow money measure has become much more responsive in the short run to changes in interest rates, and possibly to other factors affecting the portfolio decisions of households. Moreover, only with the passage of time will it become possible to assess with any precision the longer-term trend in growth of M l , under current institutional arrangements, relative to nominal GNP. Given these circumstances, the appropriateness of different rates of growth of Ml cannot be assessed in isolation; rather, the movement of this aggregate necessarily will be evaluated in the light of expansion in M2 and M3, growth of the domestic economy, and emerging price pressures, which in turn are partly related to changes in the value of the dollar. Clearly, there are circumstances in which much slower growth of Ml would be appropriate. For example, if, in the context of an expanding economy, inflationary forces appeared threatening, the dollar was exhibiting significant weakness on exchange markets, and the broader aggregates were growing rapidly, a less accommodative approach to reserve provision would be necessary. In those circumstances, monetary velocity likely would accelerate, and much slow- 242 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 er growth of Ml would be both a natural and essential development. Conversely, it could be appropriate to accommodate, in the short run, further sizable increases in Ml in circumstances characterized by sluggish business activity and maintenance of progress toward underlying price stability and international equilibrium. As this implies, the Committee will continue to monitor Ml behavior carefully, assessing the growth of the aggregate in the context of other financial and economic developments. And, depending on circumstances, it is possible that at some time in the year the Committee might set more specific objectives for Ml. The Committee will continue to monitor the growth of debt. Growth of domestic nonfinancial sector debt in recent years consistently has exceeded both the Committee's expectations and, more important, the expansion of income by a wide margin. This is a matter of concern, for it has resulted in potential fragilities in the nation's financial structure. Although the range for the debt measure has been kept at 8 to 11 percent, the same as in 1986, that range implies a significant slowing from the pace of almost 13 percent last year—but to a rate still in excess of that expected for income. With a reduced federal deficit, borrowing by the federal government will slow. Also, new constraints imposed by tax reform legislation should reduce the presence of state and local governments in the financial markets. Borrowing by nonfinancial business firms is expected to grow at about the same rate as last year. Tax reform should result in some reduction in the volume of equity shares retired in connection with mergers and other corporate restructurings, but such activity—and the attendant borrowing—appears likely to remain significant, in some cases undermining the financial strength of corporations as they become more highly leveraged. Moreover, firms may have a wider gap than they did last year between internally generated funds and investment expenditures, owing in part to higher corporate tax bills. Growth of household debt also is expected to be about the same as last year. Growth of consumer installment credit clearly is decelerating, but growth of mortgage debt should be robust, reflecting both a good housing market and the substitution of home equity lines of credit for installment borrowing. Economic Projections The Committee believes that its monetary objectives are consistent with continued moderate growth in economic activity and a relatively modest upturn in inflation in 1987 that would be attributable almost entirely to higher import prices and a rebound in energy costs. As indicated in the table, the central tendency of the forecasts of Committee members and other Reserve Bank Presidents is for growth in real GNP of about 21/2 to 3 percent. Such an increase in output would be expected to generate substantial gains in employment, and the jobless rate is projected to drift down a bit over the year. Prices, as measured by the implicit deflator for GNP, are expected to rise 3 to V/i percent. It should be noted that the rise in energy and import prices likely will have a somewhat greater effect on consumer prices, so that measures such as the CPI may rise faster than the GNP deflator—a pattern that emerged in the second half of 1986. Economic projections for 1987 Percent F O M C members and other F R B Presidents Item Change, fourth quarter to fourth Nominal G N P Real G N P Implicit deflator for G N P Average level in the fourth U n e m p l o y m e n t rate Congressional Budget Office 6.5 3.0 3.4 Range 4>/2 to 7'/: 2 to 4 2V2 to 4 53/4 to 6V2 2^2 to 3 3to3V2 6.9 3.2 3.6 6V2 t o 6V41 6V2 to 63/4i 6.5 quarter quarter 1. Civilian u n e m p l o y m e n t rate. Administration Central tendency 6.6 1 Monetary Policy Report to the Congress The forecasts of the Committee members and the other Reserve Bank Presidents assume that the Congress will make further progress in reducing the federal budget deficit. Continuing evidence of fiscal restraint is viewed as crucial in maintaining financial conditions that are conducive to balanced growth and an improved pattern of international transactions. In the Committee's view, orderly growth in GNP has become increasingly dependent upon a substantial improvement in real net exports. The international competitiveness of U.S. firms clearly has benefited from the decline in the dollar, and this should bolster export growth and help curb the expansion in imports. But there still is considerable uncertainty about some of the other factors affecting the external sector. In particular, the increase in exports is contingent on a satisfactory pace of economic activity abroad over time, on continued progress in handling international debt problems, and on enhanced access to foreign markets. On the import side, the improvement is predicated on a substantial rise in the relative price of foreign goods. That unfortunately carries with it some domestic inflationary risks, underscoring the need for prudent fiscal and monetary policies. Slower growth of domestic demand is expected to release resources to the external sector in 1987. Consumer spending is projected to rise less rapidly than in 1986, given that the saving rate has fallen to an extremely low level and real income gains in 1987 are likely to be damped by rising energy and nonpetroleum import prices. And while the sharp rise in the value of financial assets should continue to buoy household spending, debt burdens remain troublesome for many families. Housing activity overall is expected to be well maintained, even though multifamily building will be inhibited by high vacancy rates and adverse tax changes. Nonresidential construction also will be depressed by a sizable overhang of office space; the recent firming in oil prices may well signal an end to the sharp contraction in oil drilling, but relatively little improvement seems likely at current price levels. In contrast, equipment spending by industry generally is anticipated to be supported by the continuing need to modernize and to cut costs, as well as by the improved sales prospects associated with a more positive foreign trade outlook. 243 The effect of the dollar depreciation on prices is likely to be felt more strongly in 1987. In addition, crude oil prices have rebounded in the past few months, reversing part of the sharp drop that occurred early last year. However, the favorable trend in wages and other costs, combined with sizable productivity gains in manufacturing, provides the opportunity for absorbing these short-run price shocks while maintaining a sense of progress toward greater underlying price stability. The Committee's projections anticipate that neither significant capacity constraints nor strong labor market pressures will develop and that domestic firms will not squander the opportunity to regain markets in a shortsighted effort to expand profit margins unduly as demand for their products increases. The central tendency projections of real GNP and inflation are slightly lower than the forecasts of the administration. However, given the uncertainty of economic forecasting, the differences are not significant, and, in fact, the administration's projections are well within the full range of expectations among Committee members and other Reserve Bank Presidents. THE PERFORMANCE OF THE DURING THE PAST YEAR ECONOMY The economy completed a fourth consecutive year of expansion in 1986, with real gross national product increasing about 2lA percent. The rise in overall activity last year was similar to the gains that have been recorded, on balance, since mid-1984 and was sufficient to create 2Vi million new payroll jobs. The jobless rate for civilians continued to edge down and, at year-end, was 63/4 percent. Inflation slowed sharply in 1986, with virtually all broad measures of price trends showing their smallest increases in many years. Although the sharpness of the deceleration owed much to specific developments in the markets for oil and other commodities, the favorable inflation performance also represented at a fundamental level the continuation of trends in wage and price behavior fostered by policies in place since the early part of the decade. Although output continued to grow in 1986, the economy still was characterized by pro- 244 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 nounced imbalances. These were reflected in marked disparities in economic performance across industries and regions of the country. In particular, domestic oil exploration and investment was cut back sharply, and only massive federal subsidies sustained many farm enterprises faced with sharply lower crop prices. In addition, major segments of the industrial sector continued to struggle with intense foreign competition, and relatively low rates of capacity utilization—along with a glut of office space— depressed capital spending. The most serious imbalances continue to be in the external sector and in the federal budget— developments that are linked. Although the foreign exchange value of the dollar against the other G-10 currencies has declined roughly 40 percent over the past two years, the nation's trade balance continued to deteriorate in 1986. Growth in the volume of exports did pick up in response to the enhanced international competitiveness of U.S. firms, although the rebound was damped somewhat by the relatively slow growth of the economies of our major trading partners. However, import volumes continued to expand rapidly through most of the year, in part because much of the swing in exchange rates apparently was absorbed in the profit margins of foreign exporters and U.S. distributors, thereby limiting increases in the prices of imported goods. As a result, the current account deficit continued to widen, reaching the $150 billion range in 1986. The federal budget deficit also increased, hitting $221 billion in fiscal 1986; the deficit vastly exceeded official targets, as underestimates of program costs and shortfalls in revenues offset the deficit-reducing actions taken by the administration and the Congress. Recent estimates suggest that the deficit for fiscal year 1987 will decline to the neighborhood of $175 billion, which is a good deal less than that of a year earlier, but considerably more than the GrammRudman-Hollings target of $144 billion. The Household Sector The household sector was the major contributor to overall growth again last year. Consumer spending increased a robust 4 percent in real terms, even though income growth was only moderate, on average, for the second year in a row. Real disposable income soared in the first half because of the plunge in energy prices, but dropped after midyear, as wage and salary gains remained sluggish and farm and interest income declined. Consequently, the personal saving rate fell to about 4 percent, the lowest annual average in nearly 40 years. Consumer spending has been bolstered by lower interest rates, which have reduced borrowing costs and boosted asset values. Rising stock prices alone have added several hundred billions of dollars to household wealth since late 1985. Household debt also increased further last year, in part reflecting the desire of consumers to liquify the gains in their asset values. The rise in debt was somewhat smaller than in the preceding few years, but still large enough to push measures of debt burdens to new highs. For a sizable number of families, especially in parts of the country hard hit by economic adversities, servicing these debts became more difficult, as evidenced by higher consumer loan delinquencies and charge-offs and high mortgage delinquencies. The growth in consumption last year was paced by strong gains in purchases of durable goods, while spending on nondurables and services was up at about the same rate as in the preceding few years. Within the durables category, sales of new cars rose to about WVT. million units. Effective prices of new cars were held down by a series of below-market finance incentive programs for domestic makes and by the introduction of low-priced imports from Korea and Yugoslavia. At the same time, sales of Japanese and European models remained brisk, despite appreciable increases in their sticker prices. Outlays for other durables also rose substantially last year, as purchases of home electronics products advanced sharply and sales of furniture and appliances were supported in part by the robust pace of home sales in recent years. Housing activity continued to expand in 1986. Total housing starts edged up to 1.8 million units for the year as a whole, their highest level since the late 1970s. Single-family homebuilding increased about 10 percent, bolstered not only by a sizable decline in mortgage rates—which brought Monetary Policy Report to the Congress fixed-rate loan rates back to single-digits for the first time since 1978—but also by continuing favorable demographic trends. In contrast, multifamily activity dropped off considerably over the course of the year. In part, the slowdown reflected the restraining influence of record-high vacancy rates on rental units, especially in key markets in the South. Also, several provisions of the recent tax legislation have reduced the profitability of building rental housing. The Business Sector Business spending on plant and equipment declined 5VI percent in real terms in 1986. Much of the drop in investment was attributable to the sharp cutback in oil and gas well drilling, which fell almost 50 percent over the year. But investment outside the energy sector also was generally lackluster, as many firms—especially in the tradable goods sector—trimmed expansion plans in light of relatively low rates of utilization of existing capacity and continuing uncertainties about future sales trends. Investment in computers and other office machines remained on the reduced growth path that has been evident since the fading of the high-tech spending boom in 1985, reflecting in part concerns about the productivity-enhancing potential of some of these products. More broadly, transitory tax considerations also helped to depress equipment spending in 1986. In late 1985, the widely anticipated elimination of the investment tax credit prompted many firms to accelerate spending from early 1986; although there also was some tax-related speedup of spending in late 1986, it appears to have been comparatively small. Outlays for nonresidential structures outside the energy area, which rose extraordinarily rapidly over the first few years of the expansion, fell in 1986. The decline in office construction, for which vacancy rates have reached extraordinarily high levels, was especially sharp. Inventory investment generally remained subdued in 1986. In an environment of sluggish orders and stable or falling prices, manufacturers continued to trim their stocks. In the retail and wholesale trade sector, inventories of goods other than automobiles increased moderately for the 245 second year in a row; however, at year-end such stocks appeared to be roughly in line with nearterm sales prospects. At auto dealers, there were sharp fluctuations in stocks, but little net change over the course of the year; drops in inventories coincided mainly with the timing of special incentive programs that pushed sales to record levels as well as with a burst in sales in December in anticipation of tax changes in 1987. Aftertax economic profits in the nonfinancial corporate sector, although at fairly high levels relative to GNP, were essentially unchanged overall from 1985 levels. There was considerable diversity in the performance of individual industries. The petroleum industry experienced a sharp drop in profits associated with the fall in oil prices. On the other hand, petroleum-using industries such as chemicals and plastics fared relatively well. Given these movements in business investment and corporate earnings, internal funds in the aggregate were nearly sufficient to meet the basic financing needs of nonfinancial corporations. However, some firms continued to borrow heavily to fund massive retirements of equity in association with mergers, buyouts, and share repurchases. At the same time, the drop in longterm interest rates to the lowest levels in a decade afforded businesses the opportunity to improve their financial positions by selling bonds and retiring older, high-coupon securities or short-term debt. The External Sector Widening U.S. trade and current account deficits have aroused deep concern because of their implications both for the orderly expansion of the domestic economy and for international financial stability. The foreign exchange value of the dollar, which had declined about 20 percent against a weighted average of the currencies of other Group of Ten (G-10) countries from February 1985 to December 1985, has fallen an additional 20 percent since that time. Because the U.S. inflation rate over the past two years was approximately the same as the average inflation rate in other G-10 countries, the decline in the real value of the dollar (that is, adjusted for 246 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 relative inflation rates) was similar to the nominal decline. As measured by broader exchangerate indexes, which include the currencies of major developing countries as well, the real decline in the value of the dollar was somewhat smaller, in part because some of those countries allowed their currencies to depreciate as part of an effort to improve their external positions. On such broader measures, the appreciation of the dollar in real terms through early 1985 also was smaller. The decline in the dollar over the past year was associated with a fall in interest rates on dollardenominated assets relative to rates on assets denominated in other currencies. Moreover, some correction of the dollar's external value was seen to be an essential element in the process of reducing over time the huge U.S. current account deficit—which widened to the $150 billion range in 1986—and restoring better balance in the United States and world economies. The apparently muted response of the current account to the dollar's depreciation through most of 1986 contributed to sharp downward pressure on the dollar in early 1987. The volume of merchandise imports rose sharply in 1986, with increases widespread across products and countries of origin. Petroleum imports surged as prices plunged and domestic production contracted, and nonpetroleum imports continued to grow at about the rapid 1985 pace. In part, the sustained strength of nonpetroleum imports reflected the relatively moderate increase to date in prices of these goods. As measured by the index compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, prices of nonpetroleum imports were up 8V2 percent over the year, with sizable increases for products such as automobiles, other consumer goods, and some types of capital equipment. Nonetheless, the rise in the overall index was somewhat smaller than historical patterns would suggest, given the typical lags between movements in exchange rates and import prices. The weak response of import prices was attributable in part to the ability of exporters to the United States, whose profit margins had widened substantially during the period of dollar appreciation in the early 1980s, to absorb initially a large proportion of the dollar's depreciation. In some cases when prices of imported goods have risen, U.S. distributors have absorbed some of that increase. Also, since early 1985, the dollar has appreciated in real terms relative to the currencies of Canada and some developing countries, which account for almost half of U.S. nonpetroleum imports. Meanwhile, the volume of merchandise exports picked up last year. This improvement mainly reflected the enhanced international competitiveness of U.S. goods in foreign markets that stemmed from the decline in the dollar, as the pace of foreign economic activity generally remained sluggish. Growth last year for the major industrialized countries as a group was slower than in 1985, in part because of a pronounced deceleration in Japan, while activity in many developing countries was damped by subdued growth in the industrialized world and the continuing pressures associated with the need to meet external debt-servicing obligations. Weakness in world commodity prices also has aggravated the financial difficulties of many developing nations, including oil-exporting countries. The Government Sector Even though the administration and the Congress have taken significant actions in the past few years to reduce the federal budget deficit, it has remained huge. In fiscal year 1986, the fiscal imbalance hit a record $221 billion, exceeding the previous year's figure by more than $8 billion. Revenue growth last year was restrained by the relatively moderate rise in nominal income, while demands on a number of programs, especially in the agriculture and health areas, were strong. Although the budgetary program put in place for fiscal year 1987 was nominally consistent with the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings deficit target of $144 billion, the administration and the Congressional Budget Office recently have published estimates in the range of $175 billion, equal to about 4 percent of GNP—still a high ratio historically. Excluding changes in farm inventories held by the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC), federal purchases of goods and services rose appreciably last year. Over the course of 1986, defense purchases in real terms grew about 7 percent, Monetary Policy Report to the Congress similar to the increases that have been recorded since the early 1980s. Excluding CCC purchases, real nondefense outlays, which have shown little net change in recent years, were essentially flat. Purchases of goods and services by state and local governments rose briskly last year, mainly reflecting a surge in construction activity. An upswing in the school-age population in recent years has led to a step-up in school building, and numerous programs are under way to expand and improve basic infrastructure. The growth in overall outlays has been sustained despite concerns about the financial condition of the sector. Excluding some special one-time inflows—such as previously escrowed oil lease payments—the combined surplus of operating and capital accounts for the sector as a whole fell to near zero in 1986. Many states, including most of those in the energy and agricultural regions, have responded to budgetary pressures by raising taxes and cutting spending. Labor Markets Nonfarm payroll employment increased 2Vi million in 1986, about the same as the robust 1985 pace, and continued strong in January of this year. Hiring in trade and services again was quite vigorous, with especially large increases for business and health services. In contrast, manufacturing employment contracted over the first three quarters of 1986. However, factory hiring picked up in the autumn in response to an apparent firming in industrial activity. Employment gains in nondurable industries, in which output has risen steadily, have been widespread in recent months; meanwhile, hiring at firms producing durable goods has remained spotty. The growth in jobs last year slightly exceeded the rise in the labor force. As a result, the civilian unemployment rate edged down, to 63A percent at year-end. Labor force participation maintained its upward trend; women continued to enter the work force in large numbers, in part responding to expanding job opportunities, and participation rates for adult men held steady. Overall, the number of persons employed relative to the working-age civilian population reached 61 percent—a new high. 247 Wages continued on a path of moderation in 1986. Hourly compensation in the nonfarm private sector, as measured by the employment cost index, rose about 31/4 percent, 3A percentage point less than in 1985. The deceleration in wages reflected the continued slack in labor markets as well as the reduction in price inflation, and was widespread across industries and occupations. In the unionized sector, wage increases have been especially small, and a number of alternative, more flexible compensation arrangements—including the substitution of lump-sum payments for general wage increases—have been adopted. Compensation for white-collar workers, although continuing to rise more rapidly than for other groups, also moderated in 1986. Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector were well contained last year, given the relatively moderate increase in wages and a small advance in labor productivity. Gains in output per hour, however, have averaged less than 1 percent per year since 1984, suggesting that the underlying trend in productivity for the business sector as a whole has improved only slightly from the very low pace of the 1970s and remains well below the pace of earlier in the postwar period. In contrast, productivity in manufacturing over the past three years has increased about 3V2 percent per year, in part because intense foreign competition has induced many producers to modernize their factories and streamline their operations. Price Developments The fixed-weighted price index for GNP rose about 2V2 percent in 1986, down from an increase of 3!/2 percent in 1985. The increase was the smallest in more than two decades. Some other popular measures of prices decelerated even more markedly. The consumer price index for goods and services rose only about 1 percent, and the producer price index for finished goods actually fell 2Vi percent. The greater deceleration in the CPI and PPI than in the GNP price measure is a reflection of the greater importance of energy prices in those indexes. The movements in energy prices over the past year or so have been striking. World crude oil prices dropped from $26 per barrel in 248 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 late 1985 to the $11 per barrel range around midyear; these prices trended up over the second half and recently have risen to around $18 per barrel in the wake of the agreement on production limits reached at the meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries in late December. The drop in crude oil prices in the first half was reflected fairly rapidly in prices of gasoline and home heating oil, which fell about 30 percent over the course of the year. There also were declines in charges for electricity and natural gas, but they were much smaller than those on refined petroleum products. On balance, retail energy prices declined 20 percent last year. The effects of the recent firming in oil prices are already evident in general indexes: the PPI jumped 0.6 percent in January, owing largely to the rebound in gasoline and heating oil prices. Price increases outside the energy area generally remained moderate in the past year. Retail food prices rose 4 percent, a bit more than in 1985, reflecting the effects of last summer's heat wave in the Southeast. However, prices of retail goods excluding food and energy continued to slow and, on balance, were up only V/2 percent. The influence of the depreciating dollar on consumer goods prices was highly variable across sectors and relatively small overall. There were sizable increases in dockside prices for foreign cars and for some types of home electronic and photographic equipment, and retail prices of such goods have accelerated. But there was little evidence of any significant aggregate impact on other consumer goods. Prices for nonenergy services also slowed somewhat last year but still rose about 5 percent, boosted by continued large increases for medical services and higher premiums for various types of insurance. Prices for many basic industrial commodities continued to decline over the first three quarters of 1986. Excess capacity in some basic industries and the generally abundant world supplies of many primary commodities contributed importantly to the weakness in these prices. Sluggish industrial activity in the United States and other large economies also was a factor. Prices in a number of these markets have turned up in recent months, possibly in response to the firming in U.S. industrial activity. Nonetheless, industrial commodity prices still are well below the most recent peaks reached in mid-1984. MONETAR Y POLICY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS IN 1986 The Federal Reserve faced continuing challenges in 1986, not only in discerning the underlying trends in a complex domestic and international economic setting, but also in specifying appropriate policy actions in a financial environment marked by a rapid pace of structural change. As in previous years, and in keeping with the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act, money and credit aggregates were used as a means of assessing and characterizing policy. At the same time, however, in targeting and interpreting these aggregates, and in reaching operational decisions with respect to the degree of reserve pressures and the discount rate, the evaluation of signals provided by a broad range of economic and financial indicators played a large role. At its meeting in February 1986, the Federal Open Market Committee established target growth ranges, measured from the fourth quarter of 1985 to the fourth quarter of 1986, of 3 to 8 percent for Ml and 6 to 9 percent for both M2 and M3. The associated monitoring range for growth of domestic nonfinancial debt was set at 8 to 11 percent. Based on the experience of recent years, the Committee recognized that the relationship between Ml and economic activity was subject to particularly great uncertainty. Accordingly, the FOMC agreed to evaluate movements in Ml in light of their consistency with the patterns in other monetary aggregates, developments in the economy and financial markets, and potential inflationary pressures. Ml was well above its annual target range at the time of the July FOMC meeting. The available evidence suggested that the rapid growth of Ml reflected shifts in portfolios toward liquid assets in the context of declining market interest rates rather than excessive money growth with potential inflationary consequences. Against this background, the Committee concluded that Ml growth above the existing range would be acceptable, provided the broader aggregates expanded within their target ranges, price pressures remained subdued, and the economy continued to expand at a moderate pace. The Committee reaffirmed the target ranges for M2 and M3 at its July meeting. Data at that time showed that both of these aggregates had ex- Monetary Policy Report to the Congress panded near the midpoints of their ranges, and Committee members felt that growth within those ranges for the year was still consistent with the overall policy objectives of reducing inflation further, promoting sustainable growth in output, and contributing to an improved pattern of international transactions. In the first half of the year, the growth of domestic nonfinancial debt exceeded both its monitoring range and the growth of nominal GNP, as it had in previous years. The Committee was concerned about the burdens and potential instabilities associated with the persistence of rapid debt growth and felt that raising the monitoring range for debt would create an inappropriate benchmark for evaluating long-term trends. As such, the existing range was maintained, but the FOMC thought that debt growth could well exceed its upper bound. The growth of M2 quickened in the second half of the year, and M3 expanded at a somewhat faster pace as well. However, both of the broader aggregates ended the year within—although near the upper bounds of—their target ranges. The growth of Ml accelerated further in the second half of the year, resulting in a record postwar decline in velocity for 1986. The growth of nonfinancial debt slowed slightly in the second half of the year, but still exceeded its monitoring range by nearly 2 percentage points. Pressure on reserve positions of depository institutions, as reflected in a relatively low volume of borrowing at Federal Reserve Banks, changed little over the course of 1986. The broadly accommodative thrust of policy also was manifest in the four reductions in the discount rate between March and August. In part, the discount rate cuts were intended to keep this rate in line with the yields on short-term market instruments, but they also were taken in the context of hesitant worldwide economic growth, an improved inflation outlook, and growth of the broader monetary aggregates within their annual target ranges. In setting monetary policy the FOMC focused considerable attention on the nation's trade deficit and on the foreign exchange value of the dollar. The Committee members generally viewed the narrowing in the trade deficit as a key to achieving a sustainable and more even expansion of activity across the economy. At the same time, however, the Committee was concerned 249 that an unduly precipitous decline of the dollar against the currencies of our major trading partners could contribute to inflationary pressures in the United States. To help limit the effect on the value of the dollar, the first reduction in the discount rate was a coordinated action with other major central banks; similarly, the reduction in April was accompanied by a cut in the Bank of Japan's discount rate. Money, Credit, and Monetary Policy M2 expanded almost 9 percent in 1986, placing this aggregate near the upper bound of its annual growth target. Although in recent years this aggregate has exhibited a tighter relationship with nominal GNP than Ml, M2 velocity still registered a decline of 4 percent last year and reached its lowest level in decades. The buildup of M2 balances relative to income probably reflected incentives to place savings in various components of the aggregate whose offering rates were falling more slowly than market interest rates. The slowest adjustments in rates on retail deposits last year were made in short-term accounts. Depository institutions have been reluctant to adjust savings deposit rates downward because many of these accounts have represented a stable, profitable source of funds for many years. Rates on NOW accounts also have fallen only slightly. Much larger declines were registered on time deposits, reflecting not only quicker adjustment to market rates but also the pattern of rate movements in the credit markets, in which long-term rates fell much more than short-term rates in late 1985 and early 1986. The changing structure of deposit rates at banks and thrift institutions has led to a pronounced shift in the composition of M2: inflows to transaction deposits, savings deposits, money market deposit accounts, and money market mutual fund shares were very strong last year, while small time deposits ran off, marking the second consecutive year of zero or negative growth. The weakness in small time deposits in 1985 and 1986 also could reflect "rate shock." As existing time deposits matured, savers with highyielding deposits acquired several years ago were unable to reinvest the funds at comparable 250 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 returns. A sizable portion of maturing deposits evidently was placed in liquid instruments in M2 while savers searched for other investment opportunities. Yield-conscious investors also may have been lured from time deposits by attractive returns on some nondeposit instruments. For example, stock and bond mutual funds grew rapidly in 1985 and 1986 after stagnating during most of the 1970s and early 1980s, and the issuance of savings bonds was strong in the summer and fall before their minimum yield was lowered from IV2 to 6 percent. M3 also ended 1986 near the upper bound of its annual range, increasing 83/4 percent over the year. Growth of M3 close to that of M2 is not surprising, given that M2 constitutes four-fifths of the larger aggregate. The remaining share is dominated by large time deposits and certain other managed liabilities of depository institutions. Credit growth at banks and thrift institutions remained quite strong last year, but with the exception of the first quarter, the use of managed liabilities in M3 was light as growth of core deposits largely was sufficient to fund asset expansion. Large CDs expanded only 3 percent on balance in 1986, with commercial banks paying down their outstanding CDs during much of the year and thrift institutions also doing so in the fourth quarter. The weakness in CDs was widespread as institutions relied more on other managed liabilities, such as term repurchase agreements (RPs), included in M3, and advances from Federal Home Loan Banks, not included in M3. The broad shift to liquid assets greatly affected the behavior of Ml. The narrow monetary aggregate expanded more than 15 percent in 1986, marking the second consecutive year of doubledigit growth. The velocity of Ml fell 9Vi percent last year, compared with a decline of 5XA percent in 1985. Since 1981 the velocity of Ml has declined 16 percent—a remarkable development in view of its tendency to climb about 3 percent per year in the previous two decades. Much of the rapid growth in narrow money over the past two years appeared to be related to the effects of the sharp decline in market interest rates on incentives to hold both NOW accounts and demand deposits. Since their peak in the latter part of 1984, short-term market interest rates have fallen about 5 percentage points, to their lowest levels in nine years, while NOW account rates have changed considerably less. Although more rapid money growth generally would be expected in an environment of declining rates, the expansion of Ml last year and in 1985 was in excess of what would be indicated by the historical relationships among money, interest rates, and income. About half of the growth of Ml in both 1985 and 1986 occurred in interest-bearing checkable deposits. Because depository institutions have adjusted the rates paid on NOW accounts only sluggishly, the spreads between the rates on these deposits and those on substitutes have narrowed substantially. For example, between the first quarter of 1986, when interest rates on Growth of money and debt 1 Percentage changes at annual rates Ml M2 M3 Domestic nonfinancial sector debt 7.9 7.3 5.1 (2.4) 2 8.6 10.2 5.4 12.1 ( 1 2 . 7 P 15.2 8.2 8.9 9.2 9.1 12.1 7.9 8.8 8.9 10.4 9.6 12.3 9.9 9.8 10.7 7.7 8.8 12.2 9.6 9.9 8.9 11.5 13.9 13.5 12.9 8.8 15.5 16.5 17.0 5.3 9.4 10.6 9.0 7.7 8.7 9.7 7.8 15.4 10.3 12.0 11.5 Period Fourth quarter to fourth 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Quarterly 1986: 1 2 3 4 quarter growth 1. M l , M2, and M3 incorporate effects of benchmark and seasonal adjustment revisions made in February 1987. 2. M l figure in parentheses is adjusted for shifts to N O W accounts in 1981. 3. M l figure in parentheses is the annualized growth rate from the s e c o n d to the fourth quarter of 1985. Monetary Policy Report to the Congress NOW accounts were fully deregulated, and the fourth quarter of last year, the spread between the three-month Treasury bill rate and the average rate on NOW accounts at commercial banks shrank from 135 basis points to 53 basis points. Similarly, the average rate on NOW accounts late last year was not far below that on six-month small time deposits. The growth of demand deposits also accelerated last year, amounting to nearly 12 percent from the fourth quarter of 1985 to the fourth quarter of 1986. As with other checkable deposits, lower short-term interest rates are an important influence on the growth of demand deposits because they reduce incentives to economize on transaction balances. Also, some demand deposits are held by business firms in exchange for services provided by banks, and these compensating balance requirements typically are enlarged as market rates decline. While these effects were important elements behind the expansion of demand deposits throughout 1986, the apparent response to declining interest rates was much larger than would be expected from historical experience. Another element in the growth of demand deposits apparently was the large volume of financial transactions that occurred in 1986. For example, because of certain payment procedures—such as funds held in escrow accounts and transferred by officer's check rather than by wire—the massive volume of mortgage originations and prepayments last year could have influenced the movement of demand deposits. In addition, a flurry of financial transactions around year-end, induced in part by impending tax law changes, temporarily boosted demand deposits sharply. Domestic nonfinancial debt expanded almost 13 percent last year, a slightly slower pace than in the two previous years but still above both the Committee's monitoring range and the growth of nominal GNP. 2 Debt issuance by the state and local sector dropped off substantially from the pace set in 1985, when it was boosted by borrow2. When measured from the end of December to the end of December, domestic nonfinancial debt expanded 11 Vi percent last year. The fourth-quarter-to-fourth-quarter growth cited in the text is higher because of the surge in debt at the end of 1985 and the arithmetical effects of quarterly averaging. 251 ing in anticipation of tax reform restrictions. In the household sector, mortgage borrowing strengthened, but a marked decrease in the expansion of consumer installment credit from the elevated rates in previous years contributed to a moderation in overall growth of household indebtedness. A continuation of corporate financial restructurings buoyed expansion of business debt, despite the maintenance of a moderate gap between capital spending and internal funds. Growth of federal sector debt remained strong. In implementing policy in 1986, the FOMC generally accommodated through open market operations the strong demand for reserves associated with the rapid growth of transaction balances. In the context of prospects for slow growth of real economic activity, disinflationary trends in wages and prices, and growth of the broader monetary aggregates within their target ranges, four reductions in the discount rate were implemented between March and August. Early in the year, all the monetary aggregates slowed sharply, with M2 dropping below its annual target range. Also, evidence suggested that the economy was growing sluggishly, and the outlook for inflation improved as oil prices fell. In this environment, market interest rates began to decline in mid-February, and the Federal Reserve reduced the discount rate V2 percentage point to 7 percent in early March. At the time, there was concern that unilateral action to lower interest rates might cause an excessive reaction in the foreign exchange market, in which the dollar had been under downward pressure. Accordingly, the reduction was timed to correspond with similar actions by the central banks of West Germany, Japan, and several other industrialized nations. With the economy expanding slowly and underlying price pressures continuing to moderate, interest rates fell further throughout March and into April. By mid-April, most market interest rates had reached their lowest levels since the late 1970s. At that time, the Federal Reserve instituted another reduction in the discount rate to catch up with and to ratify the declines in market rates. After mid-April, interest rates rose for a short time as market participants focused on an upturn in oil prices, an acceleration in the growth of the monetary aggregates, and a further decline in the 252 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 foreign exchange value of the dollar. By the end of June, however, a steady flow of weak statistics began to reveal anemic growth in real economic activity in the second quarter. An improvement in activity had been expected by the FOMC for the second half of the year, but the rebound now appeared likely to be less vigorous than previously anticipated and perhaps delayed because of continued disappointing movements in our trade position and the effects of pending tax reform legislation on business investment. Accordingly, shortly after the July FOMC meeting, the Board approved another cut of Vi point in the discount rate to 6 percent. The final reduction in the discount rate last year took place after the August FOMC meeting. The last two reductions in the discount rate in 1986 were adopted without similar action by foreign central banks. Unilateral action to lower interest rates carried the risk of adding to the downward pressure on the dollar and possibly feeding a source of inflationary pressure. However, the Federal Reserve thought that prevailing economic and financial conditions warranted such a risk, realizing that the provision of reserves could be tightened through open market operations if adverse developments were to arise. While the value of the dollar fluctuated considerably after the reduction in the discount rate in August, it showed no distinct downward movement until around year-end. Short-term interest rates declined about 1 percentage point over the summer months, moving either in anticipation of, or in response to, the reductions in the discount rate. Long-term rates were about unchanged on balance over the summer, but more concern about interest rate prospects developed in early fall. Economic indicators began signaling a pickup in the pace of economic activity, and rising prices of oil and precious metals, along with the potential effects of the cumulative decline in the value of the dollar, seemed to raise concerns about the outlook for inflation. Over that period and through the remainder of the year, the FOMC attempted to keep a steady degree of reserve pressure, and market interest rates fluctuated within a fairly narrow range. Even so, short-term interest rates moved higher as the year-end approached, owing, in part, to the exceptional volume of tax-related transactions. As firms rushed to complete mergers and buyouts, and households stepped up their sales of assets to realize capital gains, the demand for transaction balances and business loans surged. This heavy volume of financing also was reflected in unusually strong reserve demands by depository institutions. The System added reserves freely to accommodate this demand, but the pressure nevertheless showed through to shortterm rates. Shortly after the turn of the year, short-term rates moved back toward their earlier levels. The dollar, however, was under substantial downward pressure in early 1987; disappointing figures on the U.S. trade deficit prompted selling of the dollar on exchange markets, and this pressure intensified with reported suggestions by some U.S. policymakers that, particularly in the absence of more growth-oriented policies abroad, further dollar depreciation might be necessary to correct the nation's external imbalance. Other Developments in Financial Markets As long-term interest rates declined last spring to their lowest levels in eight years, the volume of corporate bond issuance surged to record levels. Indeed, the volume of domestic corporate bonds sold last year was nearly twice the previous record set in 1985. Much of the bond issuance last year was used to refund higher-cost debt or to pay down short-term credit. With the stock market continuing to register impressive gains last year, new equity issuance also reached record levels. Of the gross proceeds from new equity issues sold last year, about 30 percent was raised by firms issuing stock in the public market for the first time. The retirement of high-coupon bonds, the reduced dependence on short-term credit, and the issuance of new equity shares tended to improve conventional measures of corporate balance sheet strength. However, massive volumes of outstanding equity were retired through mergers, acquisitions, buyouts, and other restructurings, resulting in the third consecutive year of large net equity retirements. Reflecting the financing patterns in recent years, the aggregate debt- Monetary Policy Report to the Congress equity ratio of nonfinancial corporations, on a " b o o k " basis, swelled to a record level. When stated at market values, however, the robust gains in share prices have kept debt-equity ratios well below levels that generally prevailed during the 1970s. With interest rates trending down in recent years, interest-coverage ratios have crept up, suggesting that the ability of firms in the aggregate to service their debt has not deteriorated. These modest gains, however, have been achieved in relatively benign market and economic circumstances. Because of the large pay down of equity, the ability of some corporations to weather economic shocks has waned. The weak financial structures of some firms, along with strains in certain industries, led to more than $3 billion of corporate bond defaults in 1986, an amount that dwarfs the experience in nearly every other year of the postwar period. Concern that other firms also may have problems in meeting their financial obligations is reflected in the pace of bond downgradings, which last year totaled more than three or four times that of the late 1970s. Firms with downgraded debt typically find their securities trading at higher interest rates in the secondary market. In general, however, quality spreads between private debt securities of different grades have been relatively stable in recent years, suggesting that investors have not been alarmed at the credit quality of corporations in the aggregate and have not attempted to limit their portfolios to higher-rated issues. 3 During the first half of 1986, spreads between the yields on corporate bonds and Treasury securities widened considerably, but this appeared to be related to the heavy volume of corporate issues and a revaluation of call and refunding provisions on long-term obligations. A narrowing of these spreads early in 1987 has reversed much of the earlier increase. The expansion of household debt slowed last year as the growth of consumer installment cred3. The interest rate spreads between investment-grade and speculative issues widened about 50 basis points for a short time after the bankruptcy filing by LTV Corporation in July. Low-rated or unrated bonds also experienced substantial yield increases for a time later in the year, when concerns about the liquidity of that market segment surfaced in connection with the insider trading scandal; that widening has been reversed since the beginning of 1987. 253 it receded to about 12 percent from the 15 to 20 percent pace of recent years. Nevertheless, installment debt continued to grow faster than income, and the ratio of such debt to income established another record. With mortgage debt expanding rapidly, the ratio of overall household debt to income also reached a new high. While assets of the household sector have increased sharply in recent years, many individuals have experienced difficulty in meeting their financial commitments. The number of personal bankruptcies accelerated dramatically in 1985 and 1986, with bankruptcies last year surging well beyond the historical experience. Strains were particularly evident in the area of credit card debt, as delinquency rates on revolving balances increased appreciably. Delinquency rates on other categories of installment debt and mortgage loans fell some last year, although they were at much higher levels than in previous expansions. For some households, debt-servicing burdens were reduced last year by the refinancing of highrate mortgages or the decline in interest payments on their adjustable-rate mortgages. While the economy has grown continuously for more than four years, the expansion has been uneven and has left certain sectors under severe strains. The problems faced by firms in the mining, energy, agricultural, and many manufacturing industries are well known, as are those of a number of heavily indebted developing countries. The difficulties in these areas are feeding through to the financial intermediaries supplying them credit. Last year, for example, 136 commercial banks failed—compared with a total of only seven in 1981. Many of these institutions had heavy credit exposures to the oil industry, while more than 40 percent of the failed banks held large amounts of agricultural loans. The impact of the distress in the farm sector also has been severe for the Farm Credit System, the government-sponsored agency that holds about 25 percent of outstanding farm debt in the United States. The losses of the banks in the System probably exceeded $2 billion last year, largely reflecting provisions for loan losses, and the System's capital surplus soon will be exhausted if losses do not abate. The Congress last fall approved regulatory accounting procedures for the Farm Credit System that will allow the 254 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 banks to report higher net income figures than generally accepted accounting principles would permit. The higher reported income may ease some of the problems within the System relating to the preservation of capital and help to justify charging borrowers more competitive rates. By themselves, however, the accounting procedures do not provide substantive relief. The financial condition of the thrift industry as a whole has improved markedly since the early part of the decade, but the difficulties of many institutions have intensified. As interest rates fell from their elevated levels in 1981 and 1982, the average cost of funds at thrift institutions declined much more rapidly than the average yield on their assets. The industry as a whole returned to profitability in 1983, and aggregate earnings have jumped since then. Net income for the industry in 1986 probably was strong again, although it is likely to have been below that of 1985. At the same time, asset quality problems have become increasingly important for a sizable number of these institutions. While some of these problems are associated with economically distressed regions of the country, overly aggressive investment strategies of some institutions cer- tainly have contributed heavily. For 1986, about one-quarter of the thrift industry will report negative net income, and the long-term prospects for many of these institutions are unfavorable. Moreover, the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation has inadequate resources to manage these problems effectively. While the many stresses and financial vulnerabilities are not amenable to correction through general monetary policy, they do influence the economic environment and represent a potentially disruptive and destabilizing element in financial markets. The Federal Reserve has been called upon to play a positive role through its regulatory and supervisory functions. For example, steps have been taken to reduce the risks associated with large payments made by wire transfer, and several proposals have been made to ensure the capital adequacy of commercial banks. Many of the financial and sectoral stresses will take considerable time to alleviate, and will require a stable monetary environment, redress of the imbalances in the nation's federal budget and international trade positions, and— importantly—prudent private behavior, encouraged as necessary by sound regulation. • 255 Basic Banking This article was prepared by Glenn B. Canner of the Board's Division of Research and Statistics and Ellen Maland of the Board's Division of Consumer and Community Affairs. Julia A. Springer provided research assistance. On October 2, 1986, the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council approved a policy statement that endorses and encourages private sector efforts to offer basic banking services. The council's action, prompted by a recommendation made by the Federal Reserve Board, occurred at a time of heightened interest in the subject by consumer groups, legislators, industry trade associations, and individual financial institutions. This article discusses the definition and origins of the basic banking issue, explores the positions taken by various proponents of basic banking, and reports highlights of research on the subject. It also examines responses to the issue by the banking industry and its regulators. The article concludes by raising several questions about the potential effectiveness and consequences of providing basic banking services. BACKGROUND In recent years, significant changes have occurred in the structure, the marketing practices, and the regulation of the financial services industry. 1 These changes are the consequence of rapid technological developments, declining inflation, 1. For example, the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980, in particular, has accelerated the evolution of the banking industry. Among other changes, that act (1) authorized financial institutions nationwide to offer NOW accounts (interest-bearing checking accounts); (2) created the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee to phase out over six years interest rate ceilings on deposits; and (3) required the Federal Reserve System to establish fees for many services it had previously provided without charge. swings in the general level of economic activity, and new competition from largely unregulated providers of financial services. The changes have afforded consumers new opportunities to invest and save in various financial instruments that yield rates of return determined by market forces. They have also led financial institutions to change the way services are offered and priced to generate income, manage risk, and reduce costs. Financial institutions have adopted strategies to respond to changing market pressures: explicitly pricing services previously offered without charge, consolidating or eliminating unprofitable services, and closing branch offices to reduce overhead expenses. Implementing these strategies affects consumers in different ways. Explicit pricing of services, for example, makes consumers consider the true cost of the services they receive. Before the deregulation of interest rates, financial institutions had to compete for consumers' deposits using various nonprice means, such as longer banking hours, extensive branch networks, premiums, free or low-fee checking, and nonexistent or low minimum-balance requirements on checking and savings accounts. Such nonprice competition, of course, suggests an inefficient allocation of society's scarce resources. For example, because inexpensive checking was widely available, many consumers established multiple checking accounts with small balances, when fewer accounts—or even one—might have sufficed. While many changes in the financial marketplace have favorably affected consumers, concern has been raised that some of the changes may have adversely affected certain segments of the population. A particular concern is that pricing services explicitly and reducing the number of branches in some areas may either price some consumers out of the market for deposit services or deny them convenient access to services. Another concern is that some of the changes may 256 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 curtail access to credit because credit may be more difficult to obtain if a person does not have an account with a financial institution. Out of these concerns has developed a movement advocating that depository institutions provide basic banking services. What Is Basic Banking? A uniformly accepted definition of basic banking has not evolved from the public debate. Consequently, an element of uncertainty exists about what kinds of services and associated prices constitute a basic banking program. Nevertheless, several working definitions, which vary in specificity, have been offered. Most generally, basic banking has been defined as the minimum level of financial services that should be available to all citizens, regardless of income (see inset). A more specific approach defines basic banking in terms of the financial needs that should be met. An example of this approach is the policy statement by the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC), which identifies three fundamental needs: a safe and accessible place to keep money, a way to obtain cash, and a way to make payments to third parties. (See the appendix for the text of the statement.) Although the statement does not address the issue of the price that should be assessed for basic financial services, it does explicitly state that such services should be offered in a manner consistent with safe and sound business practices. Various approaches to the provision of basic banking services have evolved. Most include an account that can be used for transactions, with reduced fees and low minimum-balance requirements. Many also include the cashing of checks (particularly government checks) for both those who hold accounts and those who do not. For example, one bank offers a checking account with no required minimum balance and unlimited check-writing privileges provided deposits and withdrawals are made through automated teller machines. A fairly high fee is assessed for conducting a transaction with bank personnel if the transaction could have been done by machine. In another instance, a thrift institution offers an account with a $10 opening balance but no required minimum balance on which eight free checks may be written each month; additional Lifeline banking was the term originally used by those advocating the provision of financial services at reduced prices. The term was drawn from the public utilities where it referred to providing at least the minimum level of energy or telephone services necessary for health and comfort for those too poor to afford the usual charges. Use of the term for financial services drew criticism from those who felt that banking services do not cany the same life-or-death connotations that some utility services do. The critics suggested that use of what they considered an emotion-laden phrase obscures the practical elements of the issue. Over time, then, lifeline has largely given way to basic. Although the phrase basic financial services is sometimes used to indicate that financial institutions other than banks are involved, basic banking has come to be the popular designation. checks cost 50 cents each. In still another approach, an advisory group formed by the New York State Banking Department called for a passbook savings account with low or no minimum-balance requirements on which interest would be earned on virtually all balances. 2 A limited number of deposits and withdrawals (perhaps eight per month) would be permitted without charge, and three free money orders would be provided. One aspect of the basic banking issue on which no consensus exists is to whom the services should be offered. Some feel that access to basic services should be based on an inability to pay (determined perhaps by an income test or evidence of receipt of public benefits). Others believe that such services should be universally available. Many of those who shun eligibility tests believe that basic banking services, properly designed, are likely to satisfy the modest needs of those intended to benefit while being too limited to appeal to the general public. PROPONENTS OF BASIC BANKING Advocates of basic banking contend that recent changes in banking practices have adversely affected less affluent individuals and communi2. Speech by Vincent Tese, New York State Superintendent of Banks, before the 90th Annual Convention of the New York State Bankers Association, June 11, 1984. Basic Banking ties. They see rising service charges and minimum-balance requirements taking an increasing proportion of the resources of lower-income people, and they allege that branch closings have effectively eliminated banking services in some communities. They believe that these developments have harmed low-income people by forcing some out of the banking system, by preventing others from entering the system, and by imposing financial hardship on those who remain in the system. Proponents of basic banking worry that saving is being discouraged and that some people have to rely more on the use of cash for transactions, with its attendant inconveniences and dangers. Moreover, they contend that access to credit may be reduced because in their view credit may be more difficult to obtain without a deposit account. Supporters of basic banking consider banking services to be almost a necessity in today's economy. They believe that banks and other regulated financial institutions have a special obligation to address these needs because of the nature of their charters and the publicly backed benefits they receive—deposit insurance and regulatory oversight, for example. Consumer Activity and Community Organization Over the past several years, consumer and community organizations have become increasingly vocal in their demands that financial institutions do more to make their services both affordable and accessible to all segments of the public. The techniques they employ cover a wide range: filing petitions and suits, working on joint industry-consumer task forces, publicizing surveys of fees, supporting legislation, protesting bank applications, organizing sit-ins, and picketing. One of the earliest formal demands for basic banking was an administrative petition filed in August 1984 with California's attorney general and state banking superintendent. 3 Filed on be3. "Petty Larceny: Excessive Bank Charges Produce Banking Crisis for the Poor; An Administrative Petition to Ensure Essential Banking Services for All California Consumers," filed by Public Advocates, Inc., of San Francisco on August 7, 1984, on behalf of Consumer Action, Self-Help for the Elderly, Black Women Organized for Political Action, 257 half of a coalition of nine California consumer groups, the petition asserted that recent banking practices—including special efforts to attract wealthy customers and requiring credit cards to open accounts—effectively shut low-income consumers out of the banking system creating, as the title states, a "crisis for the poor." Although the petition was rejected by the banking superintendent, its contents provide an example of the services and associated prices proponents of basic banking support. Specifically, the petition called for requiring banks (1) to offer those with annual incomes of $11,000 or less savings accounts without fees and inexpensive checking accounts with 10 free checks per month, (2) to eliminate the requirement of a credit card to open an account, (3) to cash government checks for free, and (4) to charge no more than $1.00 for a money order. The petition also proposed that a finding be required t h a t ' 'public convenience and advantage are preserved" before bank offices are closed or replaced by automated teller machines. Although denying the petitioners' request for adoption of new regulations, the banking superintendent did encourage the petitioners to work directly with the financial services industry to resolve informally the problems cited in the petition. 4 The concerns reflected in the California petition have been echoed by other groups. Several national consumer organizations, including the Consumer Federation of America, the Consumers Union, the American Association of Retired Persons, and the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now (ACORN), as well as state and local organizations, have devoted considerable attention in recent years to the issue of availability and aflfordability of financial services. These groups argue that a need for basic banking services exists, particularly among lower-income consumers. The organizations cite as the basis for their concern the growing number of complaints they receive and the evidence from surveys they conduct about increasing service Gray Panthers, the Oakland Citizens Committee for Urban Renewal, the League of United Latin American Citizens, the Sacramento Urban League, Progressive Senior Citizens, and the San Francisco Chapter of the National Organization for Women (NOW). 4. Letter, Louis Carter, California Superintendent of Banks, to Law Offices of Public Advocates, Inc., September 6, 1984. 258 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 charges. 5 In some cases, organizations have taken more direct action, such as demonstrations at banks and at the offices of a banking trade association to demand wider availability of basic banking services. There has been a noticeable increase in the frequency with which local groups have pressed for commitments to provide basic banking services from banks and bank holding companies applying to the Federal Reserve and other regulatory agencies for approval to merge with or acquire another bank. Under the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA), the agencies are required to take into account an applicant's record of meeting the credit needs of its entire community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods. Community organizations sometimes challenge such applications, contending that the banks have not met these needs. 6 (The number of protests lodged with the Federal Reserve System that were based on alleged violations of the CRA has increased from 7 in 1983-84 to 39 in 1985-86. However, although the number of applications protested on CRA grounds has grown in recent years, in relation to the total number of applications processed by the Federal Reserve, the number of CRA-based protests is small.) Most of these protests focus on credit needs, but about half of the recent protests have included complaints about the lack of other banking services. One such protest in 1984 alleged that a bank's pattern of branch closings discriminated against minority and low- and moderate-income residents, thus depriving them of essential services. 7 Many of the most recent protests allege that 5. San Francisco Consumer Action and Consumer Federation of America, "Bank Fees on Consumer Accounts: A 10State Survey," May 17, 1984; "Bank Fees on Consumer Accounts: The Second Annual National Survey," May 28, 1985; and "Bank Fees on Consumer Accounts: The Third Annual National Survey," June 2, 1986. Press release highlighting results of survey on availability of banking services, ACORN, New Orleans, Louisiana, April 17, 1986. See "It Pays to Comparison Shop "American Banker, December 19, 1984, and "Consumer Group's Study Says Rhode Island Banks Overcharge for Checking," American Banker, March 17, 1986. 6. See, for example, "Hibernia Refuses Compromise with Community Group," American Banker, May 30, 1986, and "Acorn Fails in Bid to Block Phoenix Bank Acquisition," American Banker, August 27, 1986. 7. See "Order Approving Acquisition of a Bank, Citicorp, New York, New Y o r k , " F E D E R A L RESERVE BULLETIN, vol. 70 (May 1984), pp. 431-33. banks fail to offer or to publicize the availability of low-cost deposit accounts and have restrictive policies for cashing government checks. Some agreements between banks and protesting groups have required banks to look at the feasibility of opening branches in "unbanked" or "underbanked" neighborhoods. Besides filing formal protests, an increasing number of community groups have been informally pressing their demands for basic services with banks that are considering applications. The result has been several agreements in which banks have committed to offer transaction accounts at reduced prices, to cash government checks for noncustomers, and to lower fees for cashing government checks. 8 Legislative Activity Local, state, and federal legislators have expressed concern about the availability and affordability of banking services. For example, in late 1982, the Philadelphia City Council considered, although it did not approve, a proposed ordinance that would require banks to notify the city in advance of a branch closing. 9 The city treasurer would then hold a public hearing to decide whether the closing was justified; if not, city deposits would be withdrawn from the institution. At least 15 states have considered basic banking legislation. New York was one of the first states to consider such legislation, although it has not adopted any to date. In April 1984, the governor submitted a bill to the state legislature that would require state-chartered banks and thrift institutions to offer "lifeline" accounts in return for allowing the institutions to exercise expanded insurance powers. 10 The legislation 8. In 16 out of 22 agreements recently reviewed by Federal Reserve staff, basic banking was a negotiated issue. See also "Group Pushes for 'Lifeline' Bank Services," St. Louis Post-Dispatch, December 5, 1985; "Demands for Local Credit Shape More Bank Mergers," American Banker, June 2, 1986; and "Chase Promises Low-Cost Basic Banking Services When It Opens in Arizona," American Banker, August 12, 1986. 9. "Bill Aimed at Branch-Closers,"American Banker, December 27, 1982. 10. "Cuomo Offers Bills with New Banking Powers," American Banker, April 19, 1984. No action was taken on the bill at that time, and the bill was reintroduced as the Governor's Program Bill, Senate 7648/Assembly 9670 (1986). Basic Banking was based on recommendations made by the DeWind Commission, a group representing both industry and consumer interests formed to conduct a broadly based study of the effects of financial deregulation. 11 Part of the final report expressed concern that increases in fees and closings of branches might leave some consumers and some communities without access to even minimal banking services. Another recommendation of the DeWind Commission called for advance notice of branch closings. Under rules adopted by the state banking board in July 1984, the superintendent of banks, whenever determining that a closing would significantly reduce the availability of services, is authorized to call meetings with the institution and community leaders to seek a way to replace the branch with other banking facilities. The first state to adopt a law dealing directly with fees on deposit accounts was Massachusetts. In October 1984, that state prohibited state-chartered banks from assessing service charges on savings or checking accounts held by anyone 65 years and older or 18 years and younger. 12 In 1985, Rhode Island adopted a similar law, prohibiting the assessment of charges on savings accounts for those 17 years of age or younger, as long as the balance is under $500.13 In 1986, three states adopted laws to require financial institutions to offer basic banking services. Illinois requires institutions to offer "basic checking accounts" to those 65 years and older; the accounts must allow 10 free checks a month and cannot require initial deposits of more than $100.14 Minnesota and Pennsylvania have made basic banking part of their interstate banking laws: institutions involved in interstate banking are obligated to offer basic banking services. The Minnesota law defines with some specificity the "basic services transaction account" that must be offered (six free checks and six free transactions at an automated teller machine allowed per month and no periodic service charges) with eligibility restricted to those who meet an income 11. Report of the Temporary State Commission on Banking, Insurance and Financial Services, February 15, 1984. 12. Mass. Gen. Laws Ann. ch. 167D, § 2 (West supp. 1986). 13. R.I. Gen. Laws § 19-11-11 (Supp. 1986). 14. 111. Ann. Stat. ch. 17, § 504 (Smith-Hurd supp. 1986). 259 test or receive public benefits. 15 The law also requires banks to cash federal and state government checks. The Pennsylvania law authorizes the state banking department to ensure that "basic transaction account services" are available from institutions applying for interstate banking privileges. 16 The law leaves the definition of such services to the banking department. The issue of basic banking has also attracted the attention of federal legislators. Although no federal legislation pertaining to basic banking has been enacted, several bills have been introduced in recent years. In the fall of 1984, a bill was introduced in the House of Representatives that would require the regulators of financial institutions to study the issue of basic banking services and offer recommendations to the Congress about what should be done "to encourage savings by individuals and to assist individuals in cashing checks." 17 The following year, three more bills were introduced in the House. Two of these defined in some detail the kinds of deposit accounts depository institutions would be required to offer. 18 The third bill would have amended the CRA to require financial regulators to consider in applications an institution's record of providing basic financial services to all members of its community, including low- and moderate-income members. 19 Consumer Advisory Council Activity Established by the Congress in 1976, the Consumer Advisory Council provides advice to the Federal Reserve Board on consumer protection matters. The council consists of 30 individuals, including representatives of consumers and the financial services industry, academics, and representatives from state government agencies. In July 1984, the council formed a committee to review in greater depth the basic banking issue 15. Reciprocal Interstate Banking Act, ch. 339, 2 Minn. Legis. Serv. 66 (West 1986) (to be codified at Minn. Stat. §§ 46.044, 48.512). 16. Act of June 25, 1986, Act. No. 1986-69, 4 Penn. Legis. Serv. 109 (Purdon 1986) (to be codified at 7 Pa. Cons. Stat. § 116(i)-(k)). 17. H.R. 6435, 98 Cong. 2 Sess. (1984). 18. H.R. 2011, 99 Cong. 1 Sess. (1985); H.R. 2661, 99 Cong. 1 Sess. (1985). 19. H.R. 15, 99 Cong. 1 Sess. (1985). 260 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 and asked the Federal Reserve staff to prepare a study of changes in bank service charges and their effect on consumers. The committee concluded that basic banking services were needed for low- and moderate-income consumers, that a voluntary approach was preferable to a legislative mandate, and that the Federal Reserve and other agencies should actively encourage the institutions they supervise to offer such services. The council endorsed the committee's conclusions and, in October 1985, recommended that the Board of Governors issue a policy statement on basic banking. AVAILABLE EVIDENCE BASIC BANKING CONCERNING The Federal Reserve Board and others have undertaken extensive research to assess recent changes in the way financial institutions price their deposit services. In general, this research indicates that, in the past few years, fees charged on transaction accounts have increased more quickly than the general level of prices in the economy and that minimum-balance requirements on deposit accounts have risen at about the same rate as prices overall. 20 The financial behavior of American families has also been investigated, and some of this research is directly relevant to the basic banking issue. As noted earlier, proponents of basic banking have expressed concern that many Americans have no deposit account in a financial institution and that the proportion of certain groups of families in this category appears to have increased in recent years. Evidence on these points comes from two consumer surveys, the 1977 Consumer Credit Survey and the 1983 Survey of Consumer Finances, jointly sponsored by the Federal Reserve and other government agencies. 21 These surveys, which were conducted by 20. See Glenn B. Canner and Robert D. Kurtz, Service Charges as a Source of Bank Income and Their Impact on Consumers, Staff Studies 145 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1985), tables B.1-B.7, pp. 21-25. 21. For a summary of basic results of these surveys, see Thomas A. Durkin and Gregory E. Elliehausen, 1977 Consumer Credit Survey (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1977), and Robert B. Avery and others, "Survey of Consumer Finances, 1983,"FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, vol. 70 (September 1984), pp. 679-92. the Survey Research Center of the University of Michigan, collected detailed information on deposit accounts held by nationally representative samples of U.S. families. Characteristics Holders of Deposit Account In 1983, roughly 79 percent of all families held a checking account (see table l). 22 In addition, 9 percent of all families held a savings account but no checking account. Taken together, these statistics imply that approximately 12 percent, or roughly 9.5 million families, in 1983 held neither a checking nor a savings account (table 2). The vast majority of these families had no other deposit accounts in a financial institution in 1983. The 1983 survey affords an opportunity to examine the characteristics of families that do not maintain a deposit account in a financial institution. Although families without deposit accounts are in all income, age, and education groups, most of these families are concentrated in relatively few categories (see table 2). Overwhelmingly, the most common attribute of families without a deposit account is low income. Thirty-six percent of families in the lowest quintile for family income (family income less than $8,400) did not have a deposit account in 1983. In contrast, almost all families in the highest quintile for family income (income more than $37,000) had a checking account, a savings account, or both. Overall, 57 percent of all families without an account in 1983 fell into the lowest quintile for family income (table 2, column 3). Families without a high-school diploma also make up a substantial fraction of all the families without a deposit account. While these lesseducated families are 28 percent of all families (data not shown in tables), they account for 59 percent of all families without a deposit account. Since families without a deposit account tend to be poor, examining the demographic characteristics of these lower-income families in some detail is informative (see table 3). The data reveal 22. Checking accounts include non-interest-bearing demand deposit and NOW accounts but exclude money market deposit accounts. Basic Banking 1. Checking and savings account holdings of families with selected characteristics, 1977 and 1983 P e r c e n t of g r o u p Family group Hold checking account Hold savings account only1 1977 1983 1977 1983 56 58 75 79 86 89 89 96 96 96 44 58 65 77 80 87 90 93 95 97 14 15 15 12 10 7 8 3 3 1 13 13 11 11 11 7 8 5 4 3 73 83 88 86 83 79 71 63 75 83 81 83 82 76 16 8 5 9 7 9 16 16 10 7 7 7 6 9 Education offamily head 0 - 8 grades 9 - 1 1 grades High-school diploma S o m e college College degree 63 69 87 90 97 59 66 80 84 95 14 13 7 8 3 12 10 10 8 3 Ail families 81 79 9 9 Family income Lowest Second Third Fourth Fifth Sixth Seventh Eighth Ninth Highest Age offamily (years) L e s s than 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 o r m o r e (decile)2 head 1. T h e s e f a m i l i e s h o l d a s a v i n g s a c c o u n t but not a c h e c k i n g account. 2. A d i f f e r e n c e of l e s s t h a n a b o u t 11 p e r c e n t a g e p o i n t s b e t w e e n 1977 and 1983 is not statistically significant. SOURCES: T h o m a s A . D u r k i n a n d G r e g o r y E. E l l i e h a u s e n , 1977 Consumer Credit Survey ( B o a r d o f G o v e r n o r s o f the F e d e r a l R e s e r v e S y s t e m , 1977); R o b e r t B . A v e r y a n d o t h e r s , " S u r v e y o f C o n s u m e r F i n a n c e s , 1 9 8 3 , " FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, v o l . 7 0 ( S e p t e m b e r 1984), pp. 6 7 9 - 9 2 . that low-income families headed by unmarried nonwhites, regardless of age, are disproportionately represented among families without accounts. Particularly noteworthy is the disproportionate number of families headed by unmarried nonwhite women that had no checking or savings account. Families headed by such nonwhite women (regardless of age) are 17 percent of total low-income families but 34 percent of all lowincome families without a deposit account. Overall, regardless of age or income, families headed by nonwhite women are 7 percent of all families but make up 27 percent of all families without accounts. Married families with a nonwhite head also are disproportionately represented among families without accounts: they are 9 percent of all families but 17 percent of all families without a checking or savings account. Changes in Deposit Account 261 Holdings Evidence from consumer surveys indicates that roughly 10 percent of families did not maintain deposit accounts in either 1977 or 1983. Close inspection of the survey data shows that between those two years certain groups of families experienced a decline in account ownership. For example, the proportion of families headed by a younger person having a checking account decreased, as did the proportion of families in the lowest income group (table 1). Moreover, the proportion of lower-income and younger families without any deposit account increased over this period (table 2). Some proponents of basic banking contend that the decline in account ownership (particularly among the poor) is a consequence of financial deregulation. However, underlying changes in the demographic composition of the population 2. Proportion of families not holding a depository account, by family groups with selected characteristics, 1977 and 1983 P e r c e n t o f g r o u p e x c e p t as n o t e d Family group Family income 1983 28 10 4 2 * 36 17 2 2 1 57 84 95 99 100 11 9 7 6 10 12 14 22 14 10 11 10 13 15 13 39 54 68 80 92 100 23 18 5 2 1 29 25 10 8 3 33 59 84 95 100 9 12 100 (quintile)1 Third Fourth Highest Age of family head L e s s than 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 or m o r e (years) Education of family head 0 - 8 grades 9-11 grades High-school diploma S o m e college College degree All families 2 1977 Cumulative percentage o f all f a m i l i e s without a dep o s i t acc o u n t , 1983 1. A d i f f e r e n c e of l e s s t h a n a b o u t 6 p e r c e n t a g e p o i n t s b e t w e e n 1977 and 1983 is not statistically significant. 2. A d i f f e r e n c e o f l e s s t h a n a b o u t 2 p e r c e n t a g e p o i n t s b e t w e e n 1977 and 1983 is not statistically significant. * L e s s than 0 . 5 p e r c e n t . SOURCES: D u r k i n a n d E l l i e h a u s e n , 1977 Consumer Credit Survey, A v e r y and others, " S u r v e y of C o n s u m e r Finances, 1983." 262 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 3. Distribution of account holdings by families with incomes of less than $10,000 and by all families, by selected characteristics of head, 1983 Percent 1 Families with incomes of less than $10,000 Head of family Neither savings nor checking account Savings account only Checking account All families Total Neither savings nor checking account Less than 50 years of age Unmarried White male Nonwhite male . White female . . . Nonwhite female Married White Nonwhite More than 50 years of age Unmarried White male Nonwhite male . White female . . . Nonwhite female Married White Nonwhite Total Savings account only Checking account 6 1 9 2 16 Total 7 2 9 4 22 10 34 5 31 3 6 5 4 10 15 8 5 14 10 6 1 32 4 6 2 22 8 4 3 8 11 5 2 7 5 11 1 3 1 10 3 6 8 6 4 17 3 12 5 8 7 12 4 25 2 22 3 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 * 1. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. SOURCES: Robert B. Avery and Gregory E. Elliehausen, "Additional Evidence on Deposit Account Ownership Changes and Usage Factors," memorandum to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (June 6, 1986), table 2. and differences in prevailing economic conditions at the times of the 1977 and 1983 surveys provide a competing explanation. Survey findings indicate, for example, that a substantially higher proportion of families in the lowest income decile were unemployed in 1983 than in 1977. Since only about one-fifth of unemployed families in this income group held either a checking or a savings account in 1983, growth in the proportion of lower-income families that were unemployed between 1977 and 1983 may account for part of the decline in measured ownership of deposit accounts among all families in this income category. Changes in the demographic composition of the population between 1977 and 1983 may also account for the differences in checking account holdings among the poor. In particular, there were significantly more low-income families headed by a female in 1983 than in 1977 (data not shown in tables). Because this group is less likely than other families to hold accounts, the decline in account ownership among the poor may reflect in substantial part changes in the composi- tion of the population rather than changes in regulation or underlying consumer behavior. 23 Reasons for Lack of Account Ownership Whereas the socioeconomic attributes of families without accounts are relatively well known, much less information is available on the reasons that these families do not have accounts. Such information is important because it improves our understanding of the financial behavior of such families and helps indicate the potential demand for basic banking services. As noted earlier, before 1980, service fees and minimum-balance requirements on checking or savings accounts either did not exist or had levels much lower than they are today. Nevertheless, in 1977, 9 percent of all families did not hold a deposit account. Factors other than the 23. Robert B. Avery and Gregory E. Elliehausen, "Additional Evidence on Deposit Account Ownership Changes and Usage Factors," memorandum to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, June 6, 1986. Basic Banking pricing of deposit services seem to explain the behavior of these families. Although no available information specifically explains consumers' decisions to hold deposit accounts in 1977, recent surveys that focus directly on the current financial behavior of consumers may help the understanding of the reasons that certain families do not hold deposit accounts. 24 In 1985, the Unidex Corporation conducted one such survey. 25 Families that had closed their only checking account as well as families that had never held such an account were asked about their motivation for these decisions (table 4). In all cases a respondent's answer was followed by questions soliciting a more specific response. Nearly half of the consumers reported that they either did not want a checking account or did not need such an account. Among those who indicated they did not want an account, most stated that they preferred to use cash or money orders or had difficulty keeping an account balance. Some indicated they did not trust financial institutions. A substantial number of respondents (43 percent of those who had closed an account and 44 percent of those who had never had a checking account) also stated that they could not afford such an account. When questioned further, most of these families indicated they did not have enough money to make having an account worthwhile. Some respondents also mentioned high service fees as the reason they could not afford an account. Specifically, 11 percent of those who closed an account because they could not afford it cited high service fees as the reason for their decision, and 2 percent of those who had never had an account because they could not afford it cited high service fees as the reason. 26 A relative- 24. One limitation of these surveys is that they were conducted by telephone. As a result, families without phones could not be contacted. Whether the behavior of such families (most of whom have low incomes) is similar to that of other families, particularly other low-income families, is unknown. 25. The survey included 527 low- and moderate-income families without a checking account. See "Low-Income Checking Study," survey by Unidex Corporation on behalf of the American Bankers Association, February 1985. 26. A recent survey sponsored by the Travelers Express Company found that among regular users of money orders 14 263 4. Reasons given by consumers for closing or never opening a checking account, 19851 Percent Closed a checking account Never opened a checking account Major reasons All reasons, total D o not need account Cannot afford account D o not want account Not convenient 100 21 43 26 10 100 22 44 29 6 Subcategories of reasons D o not need account, total D o not need account U s e savings account instead D o not make enough transactions 100 10 19 71 100 11 33 56 Cannot afford account, total Cannot afford account D o not have enough money to make account worthwhile Cannot afford service charges 100 6 100 11 83 11 87 2 D o not want account D o not want account Prefer to use cash or money order Have trouble keeping account balance D o not trust institution 100 6 35 29 13 62 45 14 13 13 100 58 12 30 100 55 36 9 Reason 2 N o t convenient N o t convenient Banking hours not convenient N o bank nearby ... 1. Respondents are low-income families without a checking account. The number of respondents w h o closed a checking account was 206, and the number w h o never opened a checking account was 312. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. Subcategories represent probing for specific reason. SOURCE: Unidex Corporation, " L o w - I n c o m e Checking Study," sponsored by the American Bankers Association, February 1985. ly small group of consumers also reported they either had closed their only checking account or had never had such an account because it was inconvenient. When questioned further, some of these consumers specifically noted that no financial institution was located conveniently for them. In June 1986, the Federal Reserve Board sponsored a survey that collected information about deposit account ownership from a nationally representative sample of families. 27 Those fampercent had recently given up their checking accounts; 23 percent of these families cited high service fees or minimumbalance requirements as the reason they dropped their checking account. "The Money Order User Profile," survey by J. Maclachlan and Associates on behalf of Travelers Express Company, Inc., April 1985. 27. Survey of Consumer Attitudes, conducted by the University of Michigan, Survey Research Center, June 1986. 264 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 ilies without a checking or savings account were asked why they did not hold a deposit account. Although the number of respondents without accounts in the sample was relatively small, the responses were consistent with those found in the Unidex survey. No consumers in the June survey mentioned high service fees or minimum balance requirements as the main reason for not having an account. The majority of respondents without an account indicated they would not write enough checks or did not have enough money to make having an account worthwhile (table 5). Thirteen percent of respondents indicated they preferred to use currency or money orders, rather than checks, to conduct their financial affairs. In addition, a small group (3 percent) of respondents stated that they did not have a deposit account because financial institutions were either inconveniently located or not open at convenient hours. Although direct evidence on the financial habits of families without accounts is limited, some data are available for analysis. Like other families, those without deposit accounts incur bills associated with shelter, utilities, and the like. Unlike families with checking accounts, however, these families rely primarily on cash and money orders to pay bills.28 Results of the June 1986 Survey of Consumer Attitudes indicate that 47 percent of families without accounts reported using money orders in the previous month compared with only 6 percent of families with checking accounts (data not shown in tables). Sixty-six percent of families with savings accounts but no checking accounts reported using money orders in the previous month. On average, families without accounts used only three money orders per month. These findings are consistent with those reported in the 1985 Unidex survey. That survey found that roughly half (48 percent) of the families without a checking account regularly use money orders to pay bills and that 70 percent of these families typically pay no more than five 28. Families without checking accounts most frequently use money orders to pay utility, rent, mortgage, insurance, medical, and charge account bills. See J.L. Pierce, "The Users of Money Orders," paper prepared for the Symposium on Money Orders and Travelers Checks, California State Banking Department, San Francisco, December 8-9, 1977. Further evidence on the use of money orders is found in "Money Order User Profile." 5. Reasons given by consumers for having neither a checking nor a savings account, 19861 Respondents Reason Prefer currency or money orders Would not write enough checks or have enough money to make account worthwhile High service charges or minimum-balance requirements Inconvenient hours or location Other Don't know Total Number Percent 2 9 13 42 63 0 2 5 9 0 3 7 13 67 100 1. The survey asked each respondent: What is the most important reason that you do not now have a checking or savings account—is it because you prefer to use currency or money orders, because you do not write enough checks or have enough money to make an account worthwhile, because the service charges or minimum balance requirements are too high, because the bank does not have convenient hours or locations, or what? 2. Details do not add to totals because of rounding. SOURCE: Survey of Consumer Attitudes, conducted by the University of Michigan, Survey Research Center, June 1986. bills a month. This latter figure is consistent with the finding that most families without accounts have particularly low expenditures. Analysis of data from the 1984 Currency and Transaction Account Usage Survey sponsored by the Federal Reserve Board provides further evidence that most families without deposit accounts have minimal demand for financial services. 29 Using survey data obtained from families with deposit accounts, a statistical model was developed to predict account usage on the basis of income and other demographic characteristics. 30 This model was used to forecast the manner in which low-income families without accounts would use such accounts if they had them. The model predicts that low-income families currently without checking accounts would hold account balances averaging about one-half that of other low-income families and would write only one-half as many checks. This result occurs primarily because families currently without accounts have, on average, lower incomes 29. The 1984 Currency and Transaction Account Usage Survey collected detailed information from consumers about their payment practices, including their sources and uses of cash. See Robert B. Avery and others, "The Use of Cash and Transaction Accounts by American Families," FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, vol. 72 (February 1986), pp. 87-108. 30. Avery and Elliehausen, "Additional Evidence," table 4. Basic Banking and expenditures than low-income families that have checking accounts. RESPONSES TO CALLS FOR BASIC BANKING The banking industry and several state and federal regulatory agencies have responded to the calls for basic banking. The responses have been diverse, ranging over a wide spectrum. Industry Response Whereas some financial institutions have chosen to offer basic banking services, others have opposed the idea that they should have to develop such special programs. Some of these institutions believe that they already offer regular banking products that meet basic banking needs. For example, many institutions have traditionally offered savings accounts with low or no fees and sold money orders. Such an arrangement gives consumers an opportunity to pay bills without using cash and provides a safe place to hold funds. Regardless of whether they have decided to offer basic banking services, some institutions question whether such services really constitute a "right" or "necessity," and some question whether the evidence supports the contention that people have in fact been forced out of the banking system. They ask why banks and other regulated financial institutions should be required to provide services at reduced prices when similar demands are not made of sellers of other goods and services. They contend that banks should not be treated like public utilities and suggest that, if the government believes all people should have specific banking services, the government should provide subsidies. A number of financial institutions have chosen to make basic banking services available. Such services have long been offered to certain groups (particularly to the elderly in the form of senior citizens accounts), and an increasing number of institutions are developing programs available to the general public. 31 A 1985 survey by the Ameri- 31. Surveys of commercial banks indicate that 74 percent of banks olfer "free" checking account services to senior citizens. Pricing of Bank Services and Loans (Austin, Texas: Sheshunoff and Company, 1983). 265 6. Proportion of commercial banks offering basic banking services, by size of assets, selected years Percent Bank assets (millions of dollars) L e s s than 5 0 50-99 100-499 500-999 1,000 or m o r e 1984 1985 Plan t o offer 1 9.9 9.8 10.7 17.4 19.8 10.7 15.9 21.0 32.3 24.6 4.3 25.6 42.0 35.5 45.6 13.4 21.1 38.0 1. In 1985, t h e s e b a n k s s t a t e d t h e y p l a n n e d t o o f f e r b a s i c b a n k i n g services. 2. T h i s is a n a v e r a g e w e i g h t e d b y the total n u m b e r o f b a n k s in e a c h asset class. SOURCE: Retail Deposit Services Reports (Washington, DC: A m e r i c a n B a n k e r s A s s o c i a t i o n , 1984 a n d 1985). can Bankers Association (ABA) revealed that 21 percent of all commercial banks offered a basic banking account, up from 13 percent in 1984 (table 6). The survey also found that 38 percent of the banks without a basic banking program had plans to initiate such services. According to the ABA survey, larger banks, most of which are located in urban areas, are more likely than smaller banks to offer basic banking services. A survey of large financial institutions conducted in 1985 by Trans Data Corporation found that 24 percent of the largest banks and thrift institutions offered basic banking accounts and a similar percentage planned to begin offering such accounts during 1986.32 A Credit Union National Association survey of its members in the spring of 1985 found that 75 percent of credit unions that offer share draft accounts imposed no maintenance or per draft fees. 33 Besides conducting surveys to gather information about available basic banking services, national and state trade associations have sponsored research on consumer attitudes about changes in service charges, the effect of branch closings, reasons for not holding an account, and the need for and desirability of basic banking accounts. Several trade associations have made special efforts to encourage their members to 32. Retail Packaging, Lifelines and Deregulation 1986 (Salisbury, Maryland: Trans Data Corporation, Deposits and Credit Products Program, 1985). 33. Credit Union National Association, "Credit Union Service Charges and Check Hold Policies" (Madison, Wisconsin: July 1985). 266 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 develop and market voluntarily products that will provide banking services at affordable prices. The ABA and the Consumer Bankers Association, for example, have called on their member institutions to respond to the demands for basic banking services and have provided models to guide the development and marketing of such programs. Both organizations have also alerted their members to related matters—such as the importance of careful evaluation of proposed branch closings and the problems caused by requiring credit cards for opening accounts— and have encouraged the development of alternative policies. Regulatory Agency Response Concerns about the accessibility and affordability of services have been voiced by various state and federal regulatory agencies. The New York State Banking Department, for instance, convened a joint industry-consumer task force to turn the DeWind Commission's recommendations into concrete legislative proposals for basic banking accounts. Both the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve System have arranged several meetings, conferences, and seminars with bankers and consumer representatives to discuss basic banking services and related issues. The OCC sent two letters to national banks in 1985 alerting them to the possible problems associated with changes in banking practices. The first letter urged banks to take steps to minimize the adverse effect branch closings and reduction of services can have on communities, particularly low- and moderate-income communities. The letter suggested using objective criteria for decisions about cutbacks, considering whether other institutions exist in the neighborhood, and giving advance notice of closings to residents. Later in 1985, the OCC issued a banking circular encouraging banks to develop and promote basic banking services to customers. 34 The Federal Reserve Board first discussed the 34. Banking Circular on Basic Banking Services, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, August 23, 1985. basic banking issue in June 1986. The discussion was initiated in response to the Consumer Advisory Council's recommendation described earlier. The Board deferred action on a proposed policy statement to review the results of research then under way concerning changes in account ownership and reasons for not holding accounts. Board members were also interested in learning more about how successful the banking trade associations had been in encouraging voluntary action by their member institutions. Finally, some Board members expressed concern about whether the policy statement would be perceived incorrectly as mandating the provision of basic banking services. The Board again considered the question in September 1986 and at this meeting approved a policy statement. The Board was influenced by the Consumer Advisory Council's request that the Board not delay approval of the policy statement. Council members felt that Board action would strengthen the industry's voluntary efforts and might reduce the likelihood of burdensome legislation. The policy statement ultimately approved by the Board differs from the draft originally considered in that the statement emphasizes supporting and encouraging trade associations to address actively the interest in basic banking services. ISSUES TO WATCH As noted, a growing number of financial institutions are implementing basic banking programs. Efforts by trade associations to encourage the development of such programs, along with recent endorsement by regulatory agencies of such actions, will likely accelerate this trend. Despite the relatively rapid development of basic banking plans, the effectiveness and the profitability of these programs still need to be assessed. Effectiveness Whether reduced fees for deposit account services will prove attractive to families without such accounts is unclear. When asked why they Basic Banking do not hold a deposit account, many families cite affordability of banking services in general or say they do not have enough money or transactions to make an account worthwhile. Yet few families specifically cite high service charges and high minimum-balance requirements as the reasons they have no deposit account. Furthermore, the cost of using nondepository providers of financial services (such as check-cashing facilities and sellers of money orders) raises a question about the importance of price compared with other factors in the decision about whether or not to hold an account. Finally, lowering the price for services does not address the concern expressed by the small proportion of families without accounts who cite inconvenient hours of operation or location of banking facilities as the main reason they do not hold an account. Thus, although reduced charges for deposit account services ifiay be attractive to the most price-sensitive families without accounts, whether the majority of families without accounts will be drawn to basic banking services is an open question. Evaluation of the effectiveness of basic banking programs must include how well such programs are reaching targeted groups. The marketing practices of institutions offering basic banking will have a bearing on the number of families that seek such services. Financial institutions may find effective marketing difficult because they may be unaccustomed to selling products to such families. Moreover, these families undoubtedly have developed relationships with nondepository providers of financial services and may be reluctant to change established financial habits. Without special outreach efforts in both marketing and education, institutions may find basic banking programs largely unused or used by groups for whom the plans are really not intended—college students, for example. 267 banking, they have stated that such programs should be implemented in a manner consistent with the safety and soundness of the institution. The clear implication is that institutions should attempt to develop products that meet the needs of their potential basic banking customers without losing money. The ability of depository institutions to implement programs in this manner is unclear. For instance, a 1986 survey by the Consumer Bankers Association found that 61 percent of the banks offering basic banking plans operated them on a break-even or profitable basis. 35 A similar survey, conducted by the ABA in 1986, found that 53 percent of banks offering basic banking plans operated them on a breakeven or profitable basis. 36 Competitive Equity Competitive equity is a third area meriting attention. The market for most types of transaction account services is local in nature. Thus the type of community in which a financial institution operates will have a direct bearing on potential demand for its basic banking services. Institutions in predominately lower-income neighborhoods may find the demand for their basic banking accounts far different from that found by institutions in higher-income locations. If basic banking programs cannot be operated profitably, or at least on a break-even basis, institutions located in lower-income areas that offer such accounts will operate at a competitive disadvantage. Ironically, this situation could create an incentive for office relocations, potentially hurting all bank customers in the area. These and other issues will need to be more fully explored as basic banking services become more common and assessments are made of how well such services meet the purposes for which they were intended. Profitability Besides the effectiveness of basic banking programs, issues related to the profitability of such services warrant attention. Although the regulatory agencies have endorsed the concept of basic 35. Consumer Bankers Association, "Basic Banking Services Survey" (Arlington, Virginia: November 1986). 36. American Bankers Association, "Survey of Basic/NoFrills Banking Services: Management Summary of Results" (Washington, DC: January 26, 1987). 268 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 APPENDIX The following is the text of the policy statement approved by the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council on October 2, 1986. The FFIEC consists of representatives from the five federal agencies that regulate financial institutions: the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, the Federal Reserve Board, the National Credit Union Administration, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The policy statement was also approved by three associations of state supervisors: the Conference of State Bank Supervisors, the National Association of State Credit Union Supervisors, and the National Association of State Savings and Loan Supervisors. Joint Policy Statement Financial Services on Basic The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, National Credit Union Administration, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Conference of State Bank Supervisors, National Association of State Credit Union Supervisors, and National Association of State Savings and Loan Supervisors are issuing this joint policy statement to encourage the efforts of trade associations and individual depository institutions regarding the offering of "basic financial services." 1 The economic environment in which financial institutions operate has changed over the past few years, due in part to increased competition from outside the traditional depository institution structure, increased cost of funds following deregulation of interest rates, and interest rate volatility. As a consequence, many institutions have had to adopt new strategies to market their services, generate income, manage risk, and reduce costs. Some institutions have begun to 1. The Comptroller of the Currency previously issued a banking circular on this subject to all national banks in August 1985. explicitly price their products, consolidate or eliminate services they believe to be unprofitable, and close branch offices. In many instances, institutions have increased service charges, imposed new fees, and raised minimum balance requirements. While such adaptation may be a necessary response to competitive markets, considerable concern has developed about the potential impact of these changes in effectively denying or reducing convenient access of many individuals to the payments system and to safe depositories for small savings. Because credit availability is often dependent on an account relationship with a financial institution, access to credit for lowincome or young consumers may also be adversely affected. While a significant number of consumers have never had a deposit account, some research studies reflect declines in account ownership that may be cause for concern. For example, between 1977 and 1983 the proportion of families headed by a younger person having checking accounts decreased, as did the number of families from the lowest income group, regardless of age. The proportion of young families having either a savings or a checking account also declined. While the cause of these declines is not always clear, the surveys do suggest that a significant number of individuals or families do not have a deposit relationship of any kind. Legislation dealing with basic financial services has been introduced at both the federal and state level[s] as a result of these concerns. The industry has also responded. Many financial institutions have independently undertaken to develop and implement new measures to meet minimum consumer needs. They are offering basic services, such as low-cost transaction and savings accounts with low or no minimum balances, accounts for consumers who use a limited number of checks or drafts, and other accounts on which minimal charges are made for account maintenance. Institutions that have for years offered such services to particular groups of customers are now advertising their availability more widely. Other institutions are exploring and finding ways to maintain a physical presence in low- and moderate-income neighborhoods even while reducing the expense normally associated Basic Banking with full branch facilities. Trade groups too have joined in these efforts to encourage the offering of such services at affordable prices. The American Bankers Association and Consumer Bankers Association, for example, have called upon their members to address the continuing interest in basic banking services. The member agencies of the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council and the associations of state supervisors wish to encourage such efforts by trade associations and individual depository institutions that promote the offering of basic financial services, consistent with safe and sound business practices. While the specific type of services will, of course, vary because of differences in local needs and in the characteristics of individual institutions, we encourage efforts to meet certain minimum needs of all consumers, in particular: • the need for a safe and accessible place to keep money; 269 • the need for a way to obtain cash (including, for example, the cashing of government checks); • the need for a way to make third party payments. We believe that industry trade associations have a key role to play in this effort, and are in a position to encourage a constructive response without the rigidities of legislation or regulation. We realize that some associations have such programs already under way. These programs could usefully: 1. Encourage members to offer and appropriately publicize low-cost basic financial services such as those listed above. 2. Survey the current availability of such services among member institutions. 3. Make available to members not providing such services material reflecting the successful experiences of other organizations. 270 Staff Studies The staffs of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and of the Federal Reserve Banks undertake studies that cover a wide range of economic and financial subjects. From time to time the results of studies that are of general interest to the professions and to others are summarized in the F E D E R A L R E S E R V E BULLETIN. The analyses and conclusions set forth are those of the authors and do not necessarily STUDY indicate concurrence by the Board of Governors, by the Federal Reserve Banks, or by the members of their staffs. Single copies of the full text of each of the studies or papers summarized in the B U L L E T I N are available without charge. The list of Federal Reserve Board publications at the back of each B U L L E T I N includes a separate section entitled "Staff Studies" that lists the studies that are currently available. SUMMARY DETERMINANTS OF CORPORATE Mark Warshawsky—Staff, Board MERGER of ACTIVITY: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE Governors Prepared as a staff study in the fall of 1986 Merger and restructuring activity among corporations has increased dramatically in recent years. The high level of activity has attracted considerable attention owing to the size and prominence of the corporations involved, the predominant use of debt (in particular, low-grade " j u n k " bonds) to finance the activity, and the success of hostile raiders in forcing changes in management and in corporate policies. Particular concern has been expressed about the significant cutbacks in corporate expenditures and staff that often result after completion of a takeover or restructuring. More recently, several cases of "insider" trading in stocks of target firms have led to enforcement actions. These concerns have prompted several proposals to curb takeovers. This paper reviews the relevant theoretical literature, much of it recent, regarding the major determinants of corporate merger activity and examines the empirical evidence bearing on the aptness of the suggested explanations. It also addresses the issue of increased leverage. The literature suggests four major hypotheses to explain merger activity. These are not by any means mutually exclusive and might all be relevant in varying degree in different periods and circumstances. The dominant view, for which empirical studies have provided support, is that mergers and takeovers primarily reflect efforts to wrest corporate control from inefficient, entrenched management in order to realize the full potential of a firm's assets. In the recent period, the targets of many threatened or actual takeovers have been firms that seemed to have larger cash flows than they could profitably plow back into their basic businesses given the long-range growth prospects of their industries. These firms in effect were forced to distribute that excess cash flow by exchanging debt for equity. In other instances, firms were forced to sell productive assets that they were unable to manage effectively. Any rise in share prices after restructuring or takeover reflects the market's expectation that the actions taken will improve a firm's profitability. The second hypothesis focuses on tax consid- 271 erations. A merger may afford important tax advantages through a rise in the asset "basis" for depreciation allowances and other purposes, the capture of tax-loss carryovers, or enhanced leverage. As an explanation of the choice of a merger to realize tax savings, this hypothesis suffers from the fact that many of these tax advantages can be achieved by alternative transactions—for example, through partial asset sales or debt-for-equity swaps. Tax factors, however, may contribute to the profitability of mergers, even if the choice of this transaction is primarily motivated by other considerations. Consequently, tax factors may play a significant, although largely secondary, role in the prices paid for target companies and in the number of mergers undertaken. The third hypothesis maintains that mergers are motivated by the desire to limit competition and gain market power. Logic suggests that merger activity might increase when some development (such as major deregulatory actions of the sort seen in recent years or a slowing of growth in demand for an industry's product) intensifies competition among firms and thereby enhances the desire to find relief from market pressures through combination. Alternatively, mergers will increase when antitrust restraints are eased (again, something that has occurred in recent years). The fourth hypothesis states that mergers and acquisitions are stimulated by financial market inefficiencies that leave corporate equities undervalued relative to their intrinsic worth. In this view, which is a commonplace in popular accounts of market activity, acquirers are shopping for "bargains," that is, buying existing physical assets more cheaply than they can be manufactured or built. Many corporate managers believe that raiders essentially "steal" corporate assets by purchasing shares at prices below their true value. Such undervaluations, which are independent of managerial inefficiency, tax considerations, or the extent of market power, result from the inability of the market to correctly value corporate assets. Market undervaluation is more likely during times of major economic disturbances and uncertainties when stock market prices generally reach their trough. Distinguishing financial market inefficiencies empirically from the corporate control case would be difficult; existing studies on market efficiency are not conclusive, and not surprisingly, any evidence of such inefficiencies is disputed by those who believe the markets do a good job of valuing corporate shares. • 272 Industrial Production manufacturing nearly 2 percent higher, but mining about 12 percent lower, than it was a year earlier. In market groups, output of consumer goods rose 0.5 percent in January as production of nondurable consumer goods continued to advance at its recent strong pace. However, output of durable consumer goods was little changed, on balance, following a sharp gain in December. Released for publication February 16 Industrial production increased an estimated 0.4 percent in January following a rise of 0.3 percent (downward revised) in December. Moderate gains prevailed in most sectors, except home goods and energy materials. At 126.9 percent of the 1977 average, industrial output in January was 0.6 percent above that of a year earlier, with R a t i o scale, 1977 = 100 Products 140 TOTAL INDEX 120 100 80 MANUFACTURING 140 Durable Nondurable " "N y MATERIALS Durable Nondurable 120 • — / / 100 80 CONSUMER 160 GOODS Nondurable INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS 140 Business supplies 120 / Durable 100 / w 140 / 80 — C o n s t r u c t i o n supplies J I I FINAL PRODUCTS MOTOR VECHICLES A N D PARTS Defense and space 120 100 Business equipment 80 Consumer goods 60 1981 1983 1985 1987 All series are seasonally adjusted. Latest figures: January. 1981 1983 1985 1987 273 1977 = 100 Group 1986 1987 Dec. Jan. Percentage change from preceding month 1986 Sept. Oct. 1987 Nov. Dec. Jan. Percentage change, Jan. 1986 to Jan. 1987 Major market groups Total industrial production 126.4 126.9 -.1 .3 .6 .3 .4 .6 Products, total Final products Consumer goods Durable Nondurable Business e q u i p m e n t . . Defense and s p a c e . . . Intermediate p r o d u c t s . . Construction supplies Materials 135.2 133.9 127.1 121.1 129.3 138.3 185.3 139.6 126.9 114.4 135.9 134.6 127.8 121.3 130.1 138.9 186.7 140.3 127.9 114.6 -.4 -.3 -.7 1.4 -1.4 .0 .6 -.6 .4 .3 .6 .4 .4 -1.0 .8 -.2 1.4 1.3 .3 -.2 .4 .4 .6 1.3 .4 -.1 .2 .4 .7 .9 .5 .6 1.3 2.8 .8 -.4 .2 .2 -.2 .1 .5 .5 .5 .2 .7 .4 .8 .5 .8 .2 1.4 .5 3.2 4.6 2.8 -1.8 4.5 4.5 3.1 -.7 Major industry groups Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities 131.0 129.3 133.5 95.4 111.2 131.8 129.8 134.5 95.6 111.0 .3 .0 .7 -.6 .9 .4 .4 .3 1.2 1.7 .5 .5 .6 -1.3 .0 1.8 .2 4.0 -11.6 -1.3 NOTE. Indexes are seasonally adjusted. Production of home appliances, which expanded rapidly in late 1986, retreated in January, and auto assemblies fell to an annual rate of 7.5 million units from a rate of 7.9 million in December; these declines were offset by increases in output of trucks and home goods other than appliances. Production of business equipment rose 0.4 percent in January, with all major categories posting gains, but the overall January level remains almost 2 percent lower than it was a year earlier. Output of defense and space equipment increased further. Following a small decline in December, the output of construction supplies rose 0.8 percent in January and production of business supplies rose 0.3 percent further to a level more than 5 percent higher than it was a year earlier. Among materials, both durables and nondurables posted gains in January, but energy materials declined about 1 percent following a similar drop in December. Within nondurables, recent strength has been concentrated in chemicals and paper, which may have benefited, in part, from increased exports of these products. In industry groups, output in the manufacturing sector rose 0.6 percent in January, while output of mining and utilities was about unchanged. Within manufacturing, gains were largest in nondurables, which rose 0.7 percent. Production of durables increased 0.4 percent; the gain was damped by further declines in the production of metals. 275 Statements to Congress Statement by Paul A. Volcker, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress, February 2, 1987. I am pleased to appear once again before this committee to discuss the economic situation. As you know, the Federal Reserve will be submitting its semiannual report on monetary policy to the Congress later this month. My testimony at that time will provide a full account of recent monetary developments and will report on the decisions to be made by the Federal Open Market Committee regarding money and credit targets for 1987. Therefore, in my statement today I will be emphasizing more general considerations of domestic and international economic policies. The economy is now in the fifth year of expansion, making it among the longest. During this time about IIV2 million jobs have been created, and the unemployment rate has fallen more than 4 percentage points from its peak in 1982, reaching 63A percent in December. In contrast to the experience of the 1970s, real incomes of households have risen steadily in recent years. In the business sector, aftertax profits have recovered both absolutely and relative to overall gross national product. Interest rates, in contrast to the usual cyclical pattern, are lower today than when the expansion started. These substantial economic gains were accompanied by—and I believe fundamentally dependent upon—consistent progress toward the objective of overall price stability. Consumer prices rose a scant 1.1 percent last year, and producer prices actually declined—a performance unrivaled since the early 1960s. We know, of course, that such extraordinary progress reflected, in large measure, the transitory influence of the sharp drop in oil prices that occurred early last year; that movement has been partially reversed recently. Moreover, given the size of the fall in dollar exchange rates against other leading industrialized countries, increases in some important import prices are occurring. Because of those factors, we cannot reasonably expect so satisfactory a statistical result in 1987. There is, however, encouraging evidence of continuing restraint on costs and in pricing behavior. Most significantly, the trend toward moderation in nominal wage and salary increases has continued in almost all sectors of the economy, and productivity gains in manufacturing, if not in other sectors, have been sizable during the expansion. My purpose, however, is not to express satisfaction or complacency over past performance. What will count is whether we can build upon and sustain that progress. And the obstacles and roadblocks are evident. You are all too familiar with regional and sectoral disparities in performance. Manufacturing has been relatively sluggish for two years or more. Much of agriculture is depressed despite massive federal assistance. The energy industry has been hard hit. Conversely, employment in services and finance has been expanding rapidly. Overall, higher levels of consumption have been driving the economy over the past two years, while investment and domestic savings have lagged, hardly a sustainable combination. The exuberance of financial markets and the rapid pace of debt creation have been accompanied by evident pressures on some sectors of the financial system, rising loan losses, and the risks implied by greater leveraging of many businesses. Plainly, in their particulars, many of the strains and imbalances in our economy can be traced to specific circumstances beyond the reach of broad fiscal or monetary policies. For instance, there is a worldwide tendency toward growing surpluses of basic agricultural commodities. The sharp break in oil prices has also been an international market event. Both of those circumstances have contributed to the strains on some lending institutions. But, through it all, two disturbing, 276 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 and partly related, currents run strongly—our trade and budget deficits. Those are matters that must be addressed—indeed can only be constructively addressed—by appropriate national policies. And if we delay, the adjustments will become even more difficult, compounding the risks for the future. The direct effects of the trade deficit are clear enough. Burgeoning imports over several years, while exports in real terms have risen much more slowly, largely account for the overall sluggishness of manufacturing. With capacity ample, that sluggishness feeds back on spending for plant and equipment. The effects of the budget deficit, in current circumstances, may be less obvious—after all, as many have noted, interest rates have fallen while the deficits have been so large, the huge new issues of Treasury securities have found a market, and private debt creation has been high as well. How is that possible when, to take one simple benchmark, our federal deficit has averaged about two-thirds of the net savings generated by our economy over the past four years? In effect, the answer is that we are drawing on the savings of others: in 1986, the net influx of foreign capital appears to have exceeded all the savings generated by individuals in the United States. That capital influx is the mirror image of the deficit in our current account—we cannot, at one and the same time, borrow abroad (net) to cover a domestic investment-savings imbalance and run a balanced current account. In a sense we have been fortunate. We have been able to increase consumption rather rapidly, sustain overall growth, and reduce inflation and interest rates even in the face of a large federal budget deficit by calling upon other nations' savings, which they have readily provided. But the cost has been a rising trade deficit and increasing international indebtedness, strong pressures on manufacturing in the here and now, and an unsustainable pattern of economic activity for the future fraught with political as well as economic risks. Stated simply, we are living beyond our means—individuals, businesses, and government have collectively been spending more than we produce. That might be acceptable if we were matching the foreign borrowing with a surge in productive investment in the United States. That has been the case at times in the distant past in the United States and in other countries more recently. But we are not making that match now—it's consumption that has been leading the economic parade. In that context, the challenge for economic policy over the next few years is clear enough. We have to work toward better external and internal balance at the same time. The adjustments required are large. Given our extended position, the difficulties and risks are substantial. We do not want to achieve the needed external adjustments by recession, nor can we reasonably float off our debts by rekindling inflation—and I do not think it is realistic to think we have the option of trading one of those possibilities for the other. That may sound like abstraction. I will be more specific. One requirement is progress in reducing our trade deficit. That, on the face of it, will bring benefits to manufacturing in the United States. The potential is huge—to close our $150 billion trade deficit by increased manufacturing (and I do not see any other practical avenue) implies a 15 to 20 percent increase in industrial output over the coming years above and beyond that required to support domestic growth. While a surge of that kind would be welcome in many respects, the challenge is to achieve it without renewed inflationary pressure in that sector. That will require continuing restraint on costs, more modernization, and in time more capacity, which in turn will require both money and real resources. By definition, as we close the current account deficit, those funds and real resources will no longer be available from abroad. So we will have to increase our own savings or reduce other demands on savings at home. The obvious candidate—again, as a practical matter, it must be the largest "contributor"—is a reduction in our federal budget deficit. And, unless productivity in the economy as a whole is to dramatically increase above the recent trend of 1 percent or so—and unhappily there is no solid evidence for that—we will not be able to close the gap in trade and meet our domestic investment needs without slowing the growth in domestic consumption well below the 4 percent pace it has averaged during the current expansion. In concept, all those things are "doable." Statements to Congress They provide the outline of an appropriate economic strategy. The result would be a more balanced economy, greatly enhancing the prospects for sustained growth and greater exchange rate and financial stability. In fact, I believe we are beginning to make progress in the required directions. But, in a sense, we have so far only set the stage. Many difficult decisions lie ahead. • In the current fiscal year, some significant progress toward reducing the extraordinary budget deficit appears to be under way. But, as you well know, sustaining that progress will require still more difficult decisions this year, and for the years beyond. The Gramm-Rudman-Hollings targets have signaled your intentions, but more important than those numerical targets is specific action by the Congress to ensure that the deficit will, in fact, continue to decline year by year. Without that progress, it is difficult to see how we could manage to reduce the trade deficit— and with it the net capital flow from abroad— without jeopardizing growth, progress toward lower interest rates, and financial and price stability at home. • The large realignment of exchange rates over the past two years should enable our industry to compete much more aggressively with other major industrialized countries. But that constructive development should not obscure the fact that a declining dollar at some point has high costs and risks as well. It generates inflationary pressures. Uncertainties about the future direction of currency values could dampen the willingness of others to place or maintain funds in the United States—funds upon which, for the time being, we are utterly dependent to finance internal needs. A self-generating cumulative process of currency depreciation and inflation serves no one's interest. Economic history is littered with examples of countries that acted as if currency depreciation alone could substitute for other action to restore balance and competitiveness to their economies. • That history emphasizes the need for national policy to remain strongly oriented toward maintaining greater price stability. As I indicated earlier, the good performance of the key price indexes in 1986 probably cannot be matched this year as we absorb higher import prices and oil 277 prices no longer fall. But monetary policy, in particular, must remain alert to the need to avoid any sense of cumulating inflationary pressures. Over the past year or more, as inflation has subsided and with limited economic growth, the Federal Reserve has been able to accommodate a rapid growth in money and the discount rate has been reduced on several occasions. Clearly, renewed inflationary pressures and weakness in the dollar externally would be factors limiting our flexibility. In that context, your efforts to deal with the budget deficit are even more central to the financial and economic outlook. • In the end, the efficiency, competitiveness, and salesmanship of U.S. industry, and its ability to resist cost increases, will be critical. As I indicated earlier, there are encouraging signs of improved productivity in manufacturing. As a result, profits and cash flow have been reasonably well maintained even as prices of goods have remained virtually stable. All that has been achieved during a period of intense competitive pressure from abroad and at a time of little growth. The challenge will be to maintain that performance as prices of competitive imports increase, as export markets improve, and as new needs for capacity arise. If not, the gains from the realignment of currencies will be frittered away. The point has often been made that despite the longer-run benefits for the economy as a whole, recent tax changes may tend to inhibit plant and equipment spending in some industries. On the other hand, the buoyancy of the financial markets should reduce the cost of capital and provide fresh opportunities for consolidating financial resources and balance sheet strength. Those opportunities should be used constructively and not be dissipated in excessive leveraging and financial risk-taking that could in the end jeopardize our stability. The burden of my comments is that there are gross distortions and imbalances in the economy that we must deal with forcibly and effectively. But we also have a lot upon which to build. The outlines of an effective approach are clear enough. Major elements of that approach are in place. But we will also need time and patience— and they are in short supply. For instance, the deterioration in our trade balance appears to have ended, but signs that the 278 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 corner has been turned are not yet decisive. Meanwhile, the inevitable adjustments in the energy industry, in agriculture, and in commercial building are continuing to work against economic growth in many areas. In these circumstances, stronger growth in 1987, as well as more sustainable growth over time, is heavily dependent on the realization of significant gains in trade. One temptation is to try to speed that process—and to vent our understandable frustration about restrictive trade policies of others—by resorting to broad-brush protectionism. But such a course, it seems to me, would invite almost certain failure. The lesson of experience is that world trade and economic activity would be depressed together. Indeed, given the greater degree of economic and financial interdependence of nations today, the risks and potential losses are all the greater. At the same time, that very interdependence means that we cannot be successful unless other countries are taking constructive complementary actions to maintain their own growth, to keep their markets open, and to deal with legitimate complaints of unfair trading practices. The United States and its currency are a major force in the world economy and financial system. In that context, I can readily understand the concern expressed abroad about instability in the dollar exchange markets and about the potential impact on their own economies. At a time of rather sluggish growth among the main industrialized countries, abrupt further changes in the dollar could undercut business planning and investment. We in the United States obviously have nothing to gain—and a great deal to lose— from any interruption in growth abroad. But it is equally obvious that the needed improvement in our trade position must be matched by others absorbing increased imports and facing stronger export competition; logically and constructively, those changes should be borne primarily by countries with huge external surpluses. For countries that have been dependent on large export surpluses to support growth, that poses difficult adjustment problems, the mirror image of ours. In those cases, the plain need is to encourage domestic growth, while also maintaining the kind of open markets and receptivity to imports that are a necessary part of achieving better international balance in a framework of world growth. Naturally these countries, too, want to maintain and consolidate greater price stability. But with their currencies appreciated, the opportunity to do so consistent with more rapid growth will be enhanced by cheaper and more available imports. Sometimes, and I think unfortunately, that need for complementary adjustment abroad is framed in political terms as a request for "help" by the United States to resolve our own problems. But what is at issue is not a narrow concept of help for us or any single country; rather it is what is required to achieve, in an interdependent world, the sustainable world growth and stability we all want. In that respect, no country heavily dependent on trade is an island. Sooner or later, the necessary adjustments in trade will be made. The issue is whether they will be made in an orderly way, in a framework of open markets and growth, or with excessive currency instability, or protectionism, or both. Our own responsibilities in that connection, as I have outlined, are unmistakable. But those measures inevitably impact others, and a better international balance cannot be achieved, in the interests of the United States and its trading partners, without constructive complementary policies abroad. Moreover, such responsibilities extend beyond the main industrialized countries to others, particularly in the Far East, that have achieved rapid growth largely by penetrating foreign markets open to them, most of all in the United States. To the extent that some of those countries have large and growing external surpluses, the time has come clearly for them to open their markets more broadly. In doing so, the benefits of their growth to their own consumers will be enhanced, even as they contribute to easing the problems of worldwide adjustments. I want to emphasize, too, that all these actions—by the United States, by other industrialized countries, and by certain newly industrialized countries—are a necessary part of achieving the healthy economic environment essential for other developing countries to constructively deal with their problems. The heavily indebted countries, in particular, must be able to penetrate export markets outside the United States. What I have tried to outline this morning is the Statements to Congress 279 broad directions that I believe U.S. policy must take—is in fact taking—during 1987 and the years ahead. And I think there are signs as well that the need for complementary policies abroad is increasingly well understood. Plainly, much more remains to be done. I do not underestimate the difficulties. Right now, our own growth is hesitant, and the indicators of economic activity abroad have not been entirely reassuring. The general ebullience of financial markets masks some strains and weaknesses that will need continuing attention. Despite the progress of the past, the cooperative effort to deal with the acute debt problems in Latin America by the countries themselves, by the international financial institutions, and by leading banks needs fresh impetus. With oil and commodity prices now stable or even rising, maintaining the sense of progress toward general price stability will be more difficult, particularly in the United States. Needed policy changes, here and abroad, even when accepted conceptually, are hard to implement with the needed vigor. At the same time, I think we should be encour- aged by the degree to which some of the needed policies are in place. There is some evidence that the needed economic adjustments are beginning. What seems to me important, as we assess progress in 1987, is not so much whether we in the United States—at least within some reasonable range—reach some specific rate of overall economic growth. Rather, our emphasis in policymaking should be on whether the necessary adjustments are clearly under way and will in fact be sustained. We will not eliminate the budget deficit or the trade deficit easily or quickly and certainly not in 1987. By the same token, we cannot expect to achieve an appropriate balance in our internal savings and investment in so short a period of time nor sharply improve productivity. As a practical matter, a sudden spurt in growth abroad will not be a solvent for our problems. What we collectively can do—and what we must do—is act with force and conviction in the necessary directions. In doing so we will lay the base for sustained noninflationary growth not just in 1987 but for years beyond. • Statement by Wayne D. Angell, Member, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Subcommittee on Consumer Affairs of the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, February 5, 1987. First, additional regulatory authority is needed to make improvements to the check collection and return process, thus reducing or eliminating the risk to depository institutions of making funds available more promptly. Second, there is a strong and straightforward case that if they delay availability of deposited funds, depository institutions should clearly disclose their policies to consumers. S. 344 also contains a third element—schedules that dictate the maximum holds that a depository institution may place on the proceeds of deposits. The Federal Reserve Board believes that mandatory schedules raise difficult problems in minimizing risks to depository institutions and maximizing consumer benefits. We have felt that primary emphasis should be placed on improvements in the disclosure and payment system. However, the Board does believe that availability schedules could be a workable component of the delayed availability legislation. S. 344 contains the basic elements to achieve an effective availability schedule. I welcome this opportunity to provide the views of the Federal Reserve Board on the issue of delayed availability and specifically on S. 344, the Fair Deposit Availability Act of 1987. We share your frustration with the check hold practices of some depository institutions and with the inefficiencies of the return-item process. Therefore, we are eager to work with you and the committee to devise a legislative remedy to the delayed availability problem. I am personally sympathetic with the goals of S. 344; my family experienced some of the problems faced by many consumers when we moved from Kansas to Washington, D.C., last year. Legislation addressing the delayed availability issue should contain two essential elements. 280 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 EXPEDITED FUNDS AVAILABILITY Availability schedules should be designed so as not to encourage check fraud by basing the schedules on the time normally needed to clear and return checks. Although this time period is currently lengthy, it can be shortened to provide for relatively prompt availability schedules if the Board is given additional authority to implement initiatives to expedite the check collection process. The Board is concerned that requiring availability before the receiving institution can reasonably be expected to learn of the return of an unpaid check will encourage check fraud, including kiting. It would be relatively easy to perpetrate a check fraud under a system in which institutions are required to make funds available to customers before there is any opportunity to learn of nonpayment. If an individual knows that funds must be made available before a check can be returned, all he would have to do is to open accounts at two local institutions. Both accounts would be maintained in a proper manner for sufficient time to satisfy any new account exception. After that time, suppose the individual writes a check subject to the availability schedule against nonsufficient funds on his account in one institution and deposits it in his account at the other institution. If the schedules are too stringent, the institution in which the check was deposited would be required to make the funds available to the individual depositing the check before learning that the item would be returned unpaid. If the individual withdraws the funds and leaves before the check is returned, that institution would be unable to charge the check back when it ultimately receives the return item, and it would suffer a loss for the amount of the deposit. Similar schemes involving dozens of institutions could be easily accomplished. 1 While we recognize that this type of check fraud can occur today, requiring funds availability before the completion of the normal collection and return cycle will tend to encourage this type of check fraud. This is not to say that 1. The attachments to this statement are available on request from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. mandatory schedules must accommodate the return of all checks, but rather that the schedules should not be designed so that individuals can rely on obtaining availability before the check is returned. If mandatory availability schedules are adopted, the current check collection and return cycle must be shortened to provide the most expeditious availability to consumers while limiting the risk of increased check kiting. Federal Reserve authority to make needed improvements in the check system is crucial to accomplish this objective as well as to improve the check collection system generally and thereby reduce the risk to institutions from returned checks, even if those checks are not covered by mandatory availability schedules. Today, the Federal Reserve's regulatory authority generally applies only to those checks that it clears. While the Federal Reserve has devoted significant attention to improvements in the return-item process, our lack of regulatory authority has lessened our effectiveness in making significant progress in this arena. If legislation is passed under section 5(b) of S. 344, the Board would propose several initiatives to improve the return process. One such initiative that the Board might propose would be to require the payer institution to return checks to the institution of first deposit within a specified time frame. This requirement would effectively prohibit the use of the mail for most return items. The mail is used now for more than 11 percent of returns, slowing the trip back to the depositing institution as much as several days. This requirement would expedite returns at relatively little cost to the industry, but would be effective only if it were applicable to all checks regardless of how they are cleared. This initiative could also entail permitting institutions to return checks directly to the institution of first deposit, bypassing intermediate endorsers. This practice is not authorized by three jurisdictions, but section 5(b) would provide the Board with the authority to preempt the laws of these jurisdictions, thus making the use of direct returns feasible on a widespread scale. A further initiative involves the automation of return items through the use of the same efficient mechanism used to collect checks. A recent test of this concept by the Federal Reserve, the Statements American Bankers Association, and 75 depository institutions proved quite promising, reducing the time to return checks an average of more than one-third. However, the cost of this program falls on the institution that is returning the check, while the benefits of the expedited return accrue to the institution of first deposit. Therefore, its use is not likely to be widespread without the Federal Reserve having the authority to create incentives for payer institutions to participate in the program. These examples illustrate the steps that could be taken to accelerate the return of checks if additional regulatory authority were granted to the Board. This authority should be sufficiently broad to enable the Board to consider not only the specific initiatives contained in the legislation but also additional proposals, perhaps not envisioned today. With these improvements to the check collection system, a relatively prompt availability schedule would be possible. A schedule of no longer than four intervening business days, with an additional business day added when determined necessary by the Board, would be workable. Therefore, to the extent that the schedule in section 5(b) of S. 344 is based on business days, it sets a realistic goal for availability of all checks. Because many local and regional checks are collected more promptly, the Board would adopt more expeditious schedules for the large majority of checks. Under this schedule, depositors seeking to perpetrate a fraud would not be able to rely on obtaining availability before the check is returned. If the Board implemented the expedited availability system under section 5(b), it would have the authority to establish only very limited exceptions to the schedules. However, even under an expedited system, not all checks will be returned within the time frames established for availability. Therefore, it is important that any mandatory availability schedules adopted contain adequate authority for the Board to establish exceptions, not only for instances in which the institution has specific reason to doubt the collectibility of an individual check, but also for those classes of checks that may impose increased risk even though the individual check raises no particular suspicion that it is uncollectible. For example, it may be necessary to pro to Congress 281 vide an exception for foreign checks, since the receiving institution will not learn of the nonpayment of these checks within the time frame established in the bill. Similarly, general exceptions for new accounts, large dollar deposits, and other types of checks recognized in section 5(c) of S. 344 may also be warranted. In summary, the expedited availability approach taken in section 5(b) of S. 344 provides the needed authority for the Federal Reserve to improve the check system and provides the Board with sufficient flexibility in setting the availability schedules so as to not encourage check kiting schemes. However, it is essential that these schedules allow for exceptions for limited classes of checks, as provided in section 5(c)(2) of S. 344. With the addition of these exceptions, and certain other technical changes, we believe that the approach taken in section 5(b) would ensure that customers obtain prompt availability on the funds they deposit, without exposing depository institutions to significant risks. In contrast, the approach taken in section 5(c) of the bill, which calls for availability at the time of provisional credit, subject to broad exceptions, would likely result in increased check fraud since institutions would be required to provide availability before any opportunity to learn of the return of the unpaid item. In addition, this alternative does not give the Board the authority to expedite the check system, and thus does not address one of the underlying causes of the delayed availability problem. DISCLOSURES As I stated earlier, disclosures are an essential element in any delayed availability legislation. However, we believe that the disclosure provisions in S. 344 can be made more flexible, particularly for those institutions that do not routinely place holds on deposits. For example, an alternative could be provided for these institutions, in which notice would be required when a hold is placed on a given deposit that falls within one of the exceptions of the bill. This notice requirement would be in lieu of the disclosure requirements. This approach would significantly lessen the compliance burden on institutions 282 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 that, except in rare situations, do not delay availability. For institutions that do regularly place holds on their customers' deposits, the disclosure requirements set forth in S. 344 would apply. Further, the subcommittee may also wish to consider limiting the disclosure requirements to consumer accounts. Providing the required disclosures for all corporate accounts would be a very complex undertaking since the availability of deposits is often tied to the level of required clearing balances and other account terms. Corporate accountholders are typically far more familiar with their institution's availability schedules than are consumer accountholders. Even with this limitation, a number of small businesses may, as a practical matter, still be given the disclosures required by the bill. Given the potential civil liability for failing to follow the requirements for consumer accounts, many institutions would likely simply treat small business accounts as consumer accounts to avoid a time-consuming process of distinguishing between the two. Finally, a number of other provisions of S. 344 bear further consideration. Under the bill, the Board's authority to make payment system improvements could be construed to expire after 48 months. The Board should be given continuing authority to make further improvements to the check system and to modify the availability schedule if warranted by these improvements. The Board is also concerned that the requirement for establishing an Expedited Funds Availability Council may slow rather than facilitate payment systems improvements. The council would duplicate the responsibilities of several other groups, such as the Consumer Advisory Council, which are already in existence. In addition, there are other technical amendments that we would like to propose. The Board staff will be pleased to work with your staff to develop the most effective legislative remedy to the delayed availability problem. In summary, we believe that legislation that requires disclosure and provides authority to the Federal Reserve to improve the return-item process and establish availability schedules will be beneficial to consumers and ensure that the costs to the banking industry are reasonable. Again, I am pleased to be here today and would be glad to discuss the delayed availability issue in more detail as the members of the subcommittee desire. • Statement by Paul A. Volcker, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, February 19, 1987. pattern of complementary action both in the United States and in other countries if the common objective of sustained economic expansion and price stability is to be reached. I appreciate this opportunity to review once again with this committee the conduct of monetary policy against the background of economic and financial developments here and abroad. As usual, a more detailed review of last year, of the prospective ranges for monetary and credit growth established by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and of the Committee's projections for economic activity and inflation are set out in the Board's formal HumphreyHawkins Report delivered to you earlier. (See pages 239-54 of this BULLETIN.) This morning, I want to concentrate on more general considerations underlying the policy approaches of the Federal Reserve. I will emphasize particularly how those approaches must fit into a broader THE ECONOMIC SETTING The current economic expansion—now extending into its fifth year—is already among the longest in peacetime history. It is unusual in other respects as well, including the absence of certain signs of cyclical excesses that often develop after years of expansion. For instance, inventories have been held well within past relationships to sales, and spending by manufacturers for plant and equipment has, if anything, been restrained relative to prospective needs. While the overall rate of economic growth has been rather moderate since mid-1984, averaging about 2Vi percent per year, that growth has been Statements maintained despite strong pressures on sizable sectors of the economy. Oil exploration and development activity and agricultural prices have both been heavily affected by worldwide surpluses. Commercial construction in many areas is suffering from earlier overbuilding. Regions of the country in which those impacts have been particularly large have thus remained relatively depressed. Difficult as those regional conditions have been, however, many of the necessary adjustments are well advanced and other areas of the economy have been moving strongly ahead. More importantly, both the inflation rate and interest rates, after four years of expansion, are substantially lower than when the recovery started. Homebuilding is being well maintained, and both capital and labor appear available to support further growth for some time without undue strain on resources. Certainly, conditions in financial markets, with stock prices exuberant and interest rates generally as low as at any time since the mid-1970s, appear supportive of new investment. But if the traditional indicators of cyclical problems are largely absent, it is also evident that the economy is struggling with structural distortions and imbalances that, for us, have little precedent. Economic activity over the past two years has been supported largely by consumption. That has been at the expense of reduced personal saving rates that, by world standards, were already chronically low. At the same time, the huge federal deficit is absorbing a disproportionate amount of our limited savings. For a time, we have largely escaped the adverse consequences for financial markets of that insidious combination of low saving rates and high federal deficits by drawing on capital from abroad—the flow of which in 1986 actually exceeded all the savings by U.S. households. The other side of that coin, however, is a massive trade and current account deficit, restraining growth in manufacturing generally and incentives for the industrial investment that we will need in the years ahead. The simple facts are that we are spending more than we produce and that we are unable to finance at home both our investment needs and the federal deficit. Those conditions are not sustainable for long—not when, as at present, to Congress 283 the influx of capital from abroad cannot be traced to a surge in productive investment. It is not sustainable from an economic perspective to pile up foreign debts while failing to make the investment that we need both to generate growth and to earn the money to service the debts. It is not supportable politically, as the pressures on our industrial base are transmuted into demands for protection. Ultimately it will not be supportable from an international perspective either, as the confidence that underlies the flow of foreign savings will be eroded. Sooner or later, the process will stop. The only question is how. THE BROAD POLICY APPROACH In concept, we could shut off the flow of imports by aggressive, broad-brush protectionist measures. But the result would be to drive up the rate of inflation and interest rates here, to damage growth abroad, and to invite retaliation. Instead of sustained and orderly growth, we would invite worldwide recession. We could try to drive the dollar much lower— or complacently sit back while the market forces produce that result. But that too would undermine the hard-won gains against inflation and would risk dissipating the flow of foreign capital that we, for the time being, need. The stability of financial markets would be jeopardized, and export prospects could be undercut by adverse effects on growth abroad. Faced with similar circumstances, many smaller countries might reasonably embark upon strong austerity programs—indeed sooner or later they would be forced to undertake such programs. Large doses of fiscal and monetary restraint would be taken, risking recession in the short run, but also anticipating that exports would respond vigorously, imports would decline, and their economies would soon resume growth on a much sounder footing. But, in the context of a sluggish growth of the world economy, for the United States to take that course would entail particularly high risks and the results would be problematical at best. There is a reasonable alternative. It is more 284 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 complicated, but at the same time much more promising. We can draw upon a combination of policy instruments to encourage the needed adjustments. Results may take time. But those results will come with greater certainty—and they should be consistent with maintaining growth here and abroad, with progress toward underlying price stability, and with open markets. That is, in fact, the course on which we are embarked. To be sure, its success will require an unusual combination of discipline, patience, and international cooperation. However, given the stakes not just for the United States but for others, I do not think there is any real choice. Important steps have already been taken in the needed directions. Most obviously, the value of the dollar vis-a-vis the currencies of other industrialized countries has declined substantially, placing our industry in a much stronger competitive position. The volume of exports is rising, despite relatively slow growth abroad. The deterioration in the trade deficit overall appears to have been stemmed, even if clear evidence of a reversal is still lacking. Moreover, while the depreciation of the dollar inevitably carries in its train rising import prices, we have been fortunate that the initial impact on the overall price level was more than offset by falling oil and other commodity prices. The underlying inflation rate, measured by trends in wages relative to productivity, has continued to fall. We have also been fortunate that the flow of capital from abroad, buoyed by the rising stock and bond markets here and by some declines in interest rates abroad, has been well maintained as the dollar depreciated. Nevertheless, as we succeed in reducing our current account deficit, the net capital inflow will decline as well. That emphasizes the critical importance of moving ahead with further reductions in the federal budget deficit, which absorbs so much of our own savings. The progress being made in that direction this year is heartening. But that can only be a start. The projected reduction of $40 billion to $50 billion this year is from a record high deficit of more than $220 billion in fiscal 1986—more than 5 percent of the gross national product—and it is being assisted by some temporary factors. Progress next year will be harder. Success, in my mind, will not be measured so much by whether we meet some preordained arbitrary target but by whether in fact a reasonably steady downward pace in the deficit is maintained as the economy grows—and maintained by measures that can be sustained, year after year. Failing that, it is hard to see how a sustained decline in the trade deficit, if possible at all in the face of huge budget deficits, will bring net benefit to the economy. The clear implication would be congested capital markets, higher interest rates, strong inflationary dangers, and threats to growth. INTERNATIONAL CONSISTENCY Inevitably, because we loom so large in the world economy, marked improvement in our trade balance will be matched by noticeable deterioration elsewhere. Appropriately, that should take place largely in the major countries with exceptionally large surpluses—notably Japan and Germany, both of which are now experiencing some decline in real net exports. That process cannot take place smoothly and effectively unless those countries and others are able to maintain a strong momentum of internal demand. For years, those countries have been dependent for growth mainly on high and rising export surpluses. In both instances, some shift toward domestic demand was apparent in 1986, encouraged partly by some relaxation of monetary policies. That points in the needed direction. But there are also signs that their growth, overall, may be faltering, as exports have declined. At the same time, relatively high levels of unemployment and unused capacity, together with sharp appreciation of their currencies, offer substantial protection against a resurgence of inflationary pressures that they, understandably, want to avoid. Quite obviously, the needed reorientation of economic policies—essentially the complement of our own—is no easier to achieve in those countries than here. Certainly, the nature and design of the needed measures will be—indeed is being—strongly debated within those countries. What is critical from a world perspective is not the precise nature of the measures or their exact Statements to Congress timing, but that, at the end of the day, they are successful in maintaining a strong momentum of growth even as they absorb more imports from the rest of the world. One danger is that, in the absence of stronger domestic growth, pressures will intensify for more appreciation of their currencies, undercutting further their own economic prospects. Given the size of the exchange rate adjustments already made, greater instability in that area seems neither in their interest nor ours. Some newly industrialized countries also have clear responsibilities for contributing to a better world balance. Taiwan and Korea, in particular, have, or are building, external surpluses that are large even by the standards of the traditional industrial powers. Part of that reflects a strong competitive position, but both also maintain a strong wall of protectionist barriers. The very strength of their external positions points—in the interests of their own citizens as consumers, as well as of world equilibrium—to the need for more forceful action to increase imports, whether by reducing tariffs, by lifting other trade restrictions or by exchange rate changes. Success in these efforts, I must emphasize, will not necessarily or primarily be measured by changes in our own bilateral trade vis-a-vis particular countries. An open competitive trading order is by its nature multilateral, and we and others should judge equilibrium in a worldwide context. In that connection, most of the developing world, already carrying heavy debt burdens, is in no position to revalue currencies or to absorb much higher imports (from the United States or from others) without more or less parallel increases in their exports. In recent years, however, the United States has, in fact, absorbed the great bulk of what increase in exports Latin America has had—their exports to Europe and Japan have apparently increased little if at all. For us to close our markets to them now would assuredly thwart prospects for expansion, and with it the encouraging progress that has been made toward both more open, competitive economies and political democracy. What is needed instead is greater access by those countries to growing markets in Europe and Japan as well as here. The recent changes in exchange rates in the industrial world certainly provide greater incen 285 tives for exports of the developing countries to shift to Europe and Japan. At the same time, imports by the developing world from the United States have become much more price competitive than a year or two earlier. THE DEBT SITUATION I cannot neglect emphasizing one further continuing threat to growth and financial stability involving the developing countries. Management of the debt problems of Latin America and some other developing countries is again at a critical stage. The reason is not that progress is absent. To the contrary, most of the heavily indebted countries have been growing—if for the most part far below their potential—debt burdens are tending to move lower relative to exports or other measures of capacity to pay, and new financing needs have been reduced. Perhaps most encouraging, there has been definite, if sometimes hesitant, progress toward liberalizing trade, opening markets, and reducing internal economic distortions, with the World Bank playing a particularly helpful role. At the same time, any failure of the industrialized countries collectively to achieve a satisfactory rate of growth would clearly impair prospects for the developing countries to find the markets they need. More immediately, in recent months, the process of reaching agreement on adequately supportive and timely financing programs, whether by restructuring existing debts or by arranging what new loans are necessary, has conspicuously slowed. In their particulars, the reasons are as varied as the complexity of the individual financing programs themselves, most of which require the agreement of hundreds of banks around the world. In some instances, policy setbacks in the borrowing countries have complicated the task. But I also suspect the very fact that progress has been made over the past five years—most evidently in reducing the exposure of banks relative to capital to something like half of what it was in 1982—has had the unfortunate effect of dulling a sense of urgency and cooperation by some. I do not want to deny the progress. But to fail to carry through on past efforts now would plainly jeopardize much of that success and threaten new strains on the financial system. 286 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 IMPLICATIONS FOR U.S. POLICY Several key implications of all this for the United States should be clear. First, the process of restoring external balance requires first of all that we tend to our inescapable responsibilities to deal with our budget deficit. That is not just because we are dangerously dependent on foreign savings but because progress abroad is, as a practical matter, likely to be stymied without constructive leadership from the largest and the strongest nation. Should we instead resort to closing our markets, be indifferent to the depreciation of our own currency, and permit inflationary forces to regain the upper hand, then there would be no basis for confidence in the United States. Prospects for effective complementary action abroad, or for growth for the world economy, would be dim indeed. Second, we have to recognize that the needed adjustments will require a relative shift of financial and real resources into internationally competitive industry and away from consumption and federal deficits. Without a sharp rise in overall productivity from the rate of 1 percent or so characteristic of most of the 1970s and 1980s—and I see no reason to suggest that trend will change abruptly—the recent rate of increase in consumption is simply unsustainable for long. Instead, more of our growth will need to be reflected in net exports and business investment, and less savings will be available to finance government. Fortunately, performance with respect to productivity growth and restraint on costs in the key manufacturing sectors has been relatively strong during the period of economic expansion. That reinforces prospects for a stronger competitive position internationally. The challenge will be to maintain that performance in the face of a depreciated currency, higher import prices, and more sizable needs for new investment to meet domestic and export opportunities. Finally, achieving these goals in the context of sustained growth and reasonable price stability is beyond the capacity of any single policy instrument. Quite obviously, monetary policy will have a critical role to play. In doing so, it has the potential advantage of more flexibility than other policy instruments. But there will also be a heavy premium on maintaining discipline and sound judgment amid potentially conflicting criteria. RAPID GROWTH OF MONEY AND LIQUIDITY Throughout 1986, monetary policy accommodated a relatively rapid growth in the various monetary aggregates; the narrowly measured money supply—Ml—grew at a particularly rapid pace. The discount rate was reduced four times by a total of 2 percentage points, more or less in line with reductions in market interest rates. The degree of reserve pressures, measured by average adjustment borrowings of depository institutions from the Federal Reserve, was relatively low throughout 1986, and has remained so since. This generous provision of reserves and expansion in money took place in, and appeared justified by, an environment of restrained economic growth and declining inflationary pressures. The latter, to be sure, was dramatically and importantly reinforced by a temporary factor—the sudden collapse in the price of the world's most important commodity, oil. But, potentially more lasting indicators of inflationary pressure—the rate of increase in workers' compensation and in prices of some services that respond slowly to changes in the economic environment—were also trending downward. For much of the year, most commodity prices other than oil, measured in dollars, were falling despite the depreciation of the dollar in the exchange markets. Moreover, the sizable declines in longterm interest rates seemed to reflect some easing of fears of a resurgence of inflationary pressures in the future. Nonetheless, the possibility of renewed inflation remains of concern both in the markets and within the Federal Reserve. One potential channel for renewed inflationary pressures would be an excessive fall of the dollar in the exchange markets. At times during the past year, such exchange rate considerations prompted particular caution in the conduct of policy. The timing of operational decisions with respect to the discount rate or the provision of reserves was affected; on occasion close coordination with the actions of other central banks was particularly important. More generally, intensive analytic work during the year suggested that much of the relatively Statements to Congress rapid growth in the various monetary aggregates was closely related (with lags) to the rather sharp declines in market interest rates late in 1985 and the early months of 1986. The responsiveness of money demand to changes in interest rates is a well-established phenomenon. What is new in the present institutional setting is the increased sensitivity of that relationship, most particularly for Ml. Today, interest rates paid on transaction accounts widely used by individuals are close to rates paid on competing financial instruments. That is because interest rates on those accounts have not declined nearly as much as market rates or those on longer-term deposit accounts. Consequently, there has been a strong incentive to transfer funds to negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW), and to some extent savings, accounts and away from other, less liquid instruments. Demand deposits, which are largely held by businesses and pay no interest, also grew substantially more rapidly than in earlier years. In part, that was also a reflection of declining market rates; banks demanded larger balances in compensation for services provided businesses, and depositors found alternative uses of liquid balances relatively less attractive. Because of its composition, Ml was particularly influenced by these shifts and grew 15 percent. That was far in excess of the target set at the start of the year, when the Federal Open Market Committee drew attention to the uncertainties surrounding that aggregate, and above any postwar historical experience as well. Both M2 and M3 ended the year within—but just within—their target ranges. Even so, the increases of almost 9 percent were about as large as most earlier years, when inflation and the rate of economic growth were higher. With inflation down and real growth moderate, these rapid increases in monetary growth meant that all measures of velocity (that is, the ratio of nominal GNP to money) declined. That was particularly evident in the case of M l ; the decline in velocity of 9 percent was greater than in any year since World War II. While velocity often moves erratically in the short run and a decline is typical of periods of falling interest rates, last year extended and amplified a pattern that has persisted since interest rates peaked in 1981 and 1982. The earlier postwar upward trend in Ml velocity of about 3 287 percent per year—a trend established during a period of generally rising inflation and interest rates—clearly does not provide a reasonable base forjudging appropriate Ml growth today. Historically, there has been little or no trend in M2 velocity. Even so the current level is historically a bit low relative to other periods of low or declining interest rates. All of this poses new questions in setting monetary targets to help guide the conduct of monetary policy. In the broadest terms, a leveling, and even some decline, in velocity could be welcomed as an appropriate sign of growing confidence in the value of holding money during a period of disinflation. But explanations revolving around declining interest rates and greater confidence in price stability beg the larger issue. Not all the increases in money can be adequately explained by interest rate relationships, nor can we be certain about what interest rate is appropriate. Confidence is hard to win and easy to lose. We need to be conscious of the fact that the effects of excessive money creation on inflation may only be evident with lags—possibly quite long. As a consequence, we cannot avoid relying upon a large element of judgment in deciding what, considering all the prevailing circumstances, money growth is appropriate. Obviously, so far as 1986 is concerned, the FOMC made the judgment that relatively strong growth in the aggregates, and particularly M l , could be accommodated consistent with the more basic objectives of orderly growth and price stability. Neither the rate of economic growth, nor the margins of available resources, nor underlying cost trends, nor the movement of sensitive commodity prices suggested money growth was setting in train renewed inflationary forces. The continuing rapid rate of debt throughout the economy—running far above the rate of economic growth since 1982—has raised one warning flag. In one sense, the enormous volume of purely financial activity, especially at yearend but also at times earlier, reinforced other factors increasing the demand for money. But from another point of view, the ready availability of reserves and money was also a factor facilitating that same increase in financial activity. The implicit dangers should be clear. More 288 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 leveraging of corporations, aggressive lending to consumers already laboring under heavy debt burdens, and less equity in homes all increase the vulnerability of the economy to economic risk— to higher interest rates, to recession, or to both. The fact that after four years of expansion, many measures of credit quality are tending to deteriorate rather than to improve, and that too many depository institutions are strained, should be warning enough. Restraining more speculative uses of credit by more restrictive monetary policy is, of course, possible. But that blunt approach inevitably has implications for all credit and for the real economy as well as for financial activity. It cannot substitute for prudent appreciation of the risks in highly aggressive lending by those engaged in financial markets, reinforced and encouraged by regulatory and supervisory approaches sensitive to the potential problems. THE APPROACH TO 1987 In evaluating this experience, the Committee remains highly conscious of the long historical patterns that relate high rates of monetary growth over time to inflation. Consequently, in approaching 1987, it starts with the strong presumption that such growth should be moderated. Reflecting that intent, the tentative target ranges for M2 and M3 set out last July of 5Vi to SVi percent were reaffirmed. While those ranges are only slightly below those set a year earlier, the Committee expects that the actual outcome should be much closer to the middle of the range (and near the anticipated growth in nominal GNP), assuming interest rates prove to be more stable than in recent years. While anticipating much slower growth than in 1986, the Committee did not set out a specific target range for M l . Given the developments of recent years, uncertainty obviously remains about the long-term relationship between Ml and nominal GNP. That uncertainty about the trend might be encompassed by a relatively wide target range. However, the shorter-term sensitivity of M l currently to interest rates and other economic and financial variables realistically would require so wide a range (or tolerance for movements outside its bounds) as to provide little guidance for the FOMC's operational decisions or reliable information for the Congress or for market participants. Instead, the Committee will monitor Ml closely in the light of other information, including whether or not changes in that aggregate tend to reinforce or negate concerns arising from movements in M2 and M3. More broadly, the appropriateness of changes in M l will depend upon evaluation of the growth of the economy and its sustainability and the nature of any emerging price pressures. Among the important factors influencing such judgments may be the performance of the dollar in the exchange markets. I recognize that the success of that approach rests on good judgment and a degree of prescience. It is justified only by the fact that setting out a precise M l target—and weighing it heavily in policy implementation, whatever the circumstances—would run greater risks for the economy. I would point out that the sensitivity of Ml to interest rates and other developments will not always work in the direction of relatively high growth. To the contrary, action to reduce the rate of M l growth, promptly and substantially, would be called for in a context of strongly rising economic activity and signs of emerging and potential price pressures, perhaps related to significant weakness of the dollar externally. In that connection, the Committee explicitly reserves the possibility, in making shorter-run operational decisions from meeting to meeting, to use M l along with M2 and M3 as a benchmark. Conversely, lower interest rates in a context of weak growth and further progress toward reducing inflation pressures would suggest an accommodative approach toward M l growth. In fact, the statistical and other signals provided about economic activity and prices seldom are unambiguous or have the same directional implications for policy. In evaluating the evidence as it does appear, the Committee will naturally be sensitive to the desirability of maintaining the forward momentum of the economy, as well as encouraging greater price stability. Quite obviously, our task in that respect will be eased to the extent fiscal policy is consistent with the needed internal and external adjustments. Most members believe that GNP growth of 2VI to 3 percent is now likely, although a few individual members have higher or lower projections. Statements Such growth should be consistent with continuing sizable gains in employment and a slight downward tilt in the unemployment rate. Members also agree that the rate of price increase is very likely to be greater than last year, essentially because oil prices are expected to average higher and because of the virtual inevitability of higher import prices. The forecasts bunch in the 3 to 3Vi percent area for the GNP deflator. That would be about as low as in 1985 despite the special factors working toward higher prices this year. So far as inflation is concerned, what is critical is that such a bulge in prices related to identifiable temporary external developments not be translated into a broad-based cumulative upward movement. As you well know, just such a cumulative inflationary process started in the 1960s and then extended well over a decade into the 1980s. It was eventually brought to an end, but only with great effort and at considerable cost. The scars of that experience remain. Against that background, participants both in financial markets and in business have persistently been skeptical of prospects for lasting price stability in making investment and pricing decisions. They are bound to be alert and responsive to any sense of adverse change in the underlying inflation trend, with implications for interest rates, exchange rates, and pricing policies. The consequences for the economy would clearly be undesirable. In effect, neither the internal nor the external setting permits thinking of trading off more inflation for more growth. Nor would inflation ease the problem of international adjustment; quite to the contrary, it would both undercut some of our competitive gains and threaten the orderly inflow of funds from abroad. The implications for caution in the conduct of monetary policy are evident. CONCLUDING COMMENTS In sum, we face, at one and the same time, most difficult and most promising economic circumstances. They are difficult because there are obvious 289 distortions and imbalances within our economy and internationally. Unless dealt with forcibly and effectively, those imbalances will impair both growth and price stability—and the adverse implications will be amplified by the effects on other countries. Moreover, those imbalances will not yield to any single instrument of policy, however wisely conducted. Instead, what are required are complementary actions here and abroad—on budgets, on monetary policies, and on maintaining appropriate exchange rates and an open trading order. I know none of that is easy. Many countries are involved, and all of them have tough political decisions to make. Nor are the key decisions entirely in the hands of governmental authorities. American industry, in particular, has the challenge to build upon the efforts of recent years toward effective control of costs and greater efficiency, and to seek out and exploit the greater market opportunities that exist today. Banks around the world, despite the frustrations building over time, will need to maintain and reinforce their efforts to deal cooperatively and constructively with the pressing debt problems of their borrowers at home and abroad. From one point of view, it may seem like a lot to ask. But equally, there is a lot to be gained. We already have achieved a long economic expansion. We have managed to combine that expansion with progress toward price stability— and that progress has made possible lower interest rates. Financial markets more generally reflect renewed confidence. And the broad outline of policies that can preserve and extend those gains are by now well known. To fail to act upon those policies—to instead retreat into protectionism, to relax on inflation, to fail to deal with the deficit—may in some ways appear to be the course of least resistance. But those are also precisely the ways by which we would turn our back to the bright promise before us. It is only a concerted effort here and abroad that will extend and reinforce the economic expansion, consolidate the progress toward price stability, and provide the international environment in which all countries can prosper. • Chairman Volcker presented identical testimony before the House Committee and Urban Affairs, February 26, 1987. to Congress on Banking, Finance 290 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 Statement by Paul A. Volcker, Chairman, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, before the Committee on the Budget, U.S. Senate, February 24, 1987. I appreciate the opportunity to appear before this committee today. As you know, the Federal Reserve submitted its semiannual monetary policy report to the Congress last week. That report, which we have distributed to you, describes in detail our plans for monetary policy, including the Federal Open Market Committee's ranges for growth of money and credit. My prepared remarks this morning will be confined to more general considerations of domestic and international economic policies within the context of recent and prospective developments. THE ECONOMIC SETTING The current economic expansion—now extending into its fifth year—is already among the longest in peacetime history. It is unusual in other respects as well, including the absence of certain signs of cyclical excesses that often develop after years of expansion. For instance, inventories have been held well within past relationships to sales, and spending by manufacturers for plant and equipment has, if anything, been restrained relative to prospective needs. While the overall rate of economic growth has been rather moderate since mid-1984, averaging about 2Vi percent per year, that growth has been maintained despite strong pressures on sizable sectors of the economy. Oil exploration and development activity and agricultural prices have both been heavily affected by worldwide surpluses. Commercial construction in many areas is suffering from earlier overbuilding. Regions of the country in which those impacts have been particularly large have thus remained relatively depressed. Difficult as those regional conditions have been, however, many of the necessary adjustments are well advanced, and other areas of the economy have been moving strongly ahead. More importantly, both the inflation rate and interest rates, after four years of expansion, are substantially lower than when the recovery start ed. Homebuilding is being well maintained, and both capital and labor appear available to support further growth for some time without undue strain on resources. Certainly, conditions in financial markets, with stock prices exuberant and interest rates generally as low as at any time since the mid-1970s, appear supportive of new investment. But if the traditional indicators of cyclical problems are largely absent, it is also evident that the economy is struggling with structural distortions and imbalances that, for us, have little precedent. Economic activity over the past two years has been supported largely by consumption. That has been at the expense of reduced personal saving rates that, by world standards, were already chronically low. At the same time, the huge federal deficit is absorbing a disproportionate amount of our limited savings. For a time, we have largely escaped the adverse consequences for financial markets of that insidious combination of low saving rates and high federal deficits by drawing on capital from abroad—the flow of which in 1986 actually exceeded all the savings by U.S. households. The other side of that coin, however, is a massive trade and current account deficit, restraining growth in manufacturing generally and incentives for the industrial investment that we will need in the years ahead. The simple facts are that we are spending more than we produce and that we are unable to finance at home both our investment needs and the federal deficit. Those conditions are not sustainable for long—not when, as at present, the influx of capital from abroad cannot be traced to a surge in productive investment. It is not sustainable from an economic perspective to pile up foreign debts while failing to make the investment that we need both to generate growth and to earn the money to service the debts. It is not supportable politically, as the pressures on our industrial base are transmuted into demands for protection. Ultimately it will not be supportable from an international perspective either, as the confidence that underlies the flow of foreign savings will be eroded. Sooner or later, the process will stop. The only question is how. Statements THE BROAD POLICY APPROACH In concept, we could shut off the flow of imports by aggressive, broad-brush protectionist measures. But the result would be to drive up the rate of inflation and interest rates here, to damage growth abroad, and to invite retaliation. Instead of sustained and orderly growth, we would invite worldwide recession. We could try to drive the dollar much lower— or complacently sit back while the market forces produce that result. But that too would undermine the hard-won gains against inflation, and would risk dissipating the flow of foreign capital that we, for the time being, need. The stability of financial markets would be jeopardized, and export prospects could be undercut by adverse effects on growth abroad. Both of those courses were specifically rejected by the finance ministers and Central Bank governors at their meeting in Paris last weekend. Faced with similar circumstances, many smaller countries might reasonably embark upon strong austerity programs—indeed sooner or later they would be forced to undertake such programs. Large doses of fiscal and monetary restraint would be taken, risking recession in the short run, but also anticipating that exports would respond vigorously, imports would decline, and their economies would soon resume growth on a much sounder footing. But, in the context of sluggish growth of the world economy, for the United States to take that course would entail particularly high risks and the results would be problematical at best. There is a reasonable alternative. It is more complicated, but at the same time much more promising. We can draw upon a combination of policy instruments to encourage the needed adjustments. Results may take time. But those results will come with greater certainty—and they should be consistent with maintaining growth here and abroad, with progress toward underlying price stability, and with open markets. That is, in fact, the course on which we collectively are embarked, and the course that was endorsed at the meetings in Paris. To be sure, its success will require an unusual combination of discipline, patience, and international cooperation. However, given the stakes to Congress 291 not just for the United States but for others, I do not think there is any real choice. Important steps have already been taken in the needed directions. Most obviously, the value of the dollar vis-a-vis the currencies of other industrialized countries has declined substantially, placing our industry in a much stronger competitive position. The volume of exports is rising, despite relatively slow growth abroad. The deterioration in the trade deficit overall appears to have been stemmed, even if clear evidence of a reversal is still lacking. Moreover, while the depreciation of the dollar inevitably carries in its train rising import prices, we have been fortunate that the initial impact on the overall price level was more than offset by falling oil and other commodity prices. The underlying inflation rate, measured by trends in wages relative to productivity, has continued to fall. Given the size of the adjustments in the exchange rate already made among the major countries, there is a point beyond which further instability would damage both our objectives and those of our trading partners. Against that background, the ministers and governors of the leading industrialized countries collectively agreed last weekend that "their currencies are within ranges broadly consistent with underlying economic fundamentals" on the assumption certain broad economic policies are carried out. We have been fortunate that the flow of capital from abroad, buoyed by the rising stock and bond markets here and by some declines in interest rates abroad, was well maintained as the dollar depreciated. Nevertheless, as we succeed in reducing our current account deficit, the net capital inflow will decline as well. That emphasizes the critical importance of one of the policy assumptions referred to in the weekend statement—that the United States move ahead with further reductions in the federal budget deficit, which absorbs so much of our own savings. The progress being made in that direction this year is heartening. But that can only be a start. The projected reduction of $40 billion to $50 billion this year is from a record high deficit of more than $220 billion in fiscal 1986—more than 5 percent of the gross national product—and it is being assisted by some temporary factors. Progress next year will be harder. Success, in my mind, will require a reasonably 292 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 steady downward pace in the deficit as the economy grows—and that progress will need to be maintained by measures that can be sustained, year after year. Failing that, it is hard to see how a sustained decline in the trade deficit, if possible at all in the face of huge budget deficits, will bring net benefit to the economy. The clear implication would be congested capital markets, higher interest rates, strong inflationary dangers, and threats to growth. INTERNATIONAL CONSISTENCY Inevitably, because we loom so large in the world economy, marked improvement in our trade balance will be matched by noticeable deterioration elsewhere. Appropriately, that should take place largely in the major countries with exceptionally large surpluses—notably Japan and Germany, both of which are now experiencing some decline in real net exports. That process cannot take place smoothly and effectively unless those countries and others are able to maintain a strong momentum of internal demand. For years, those countries have been dependent for growth mainly on high and rising export surpluses. In both instances, some shift toward domestic demand was apparent in 1986, encouraged partly by some relaxation of monetary policies. That points in the needed direction. Again, the Paris statement provided an indication of the intent of Japan and Germany, along with others, to sustain growth by stimulating domestic demand if necessary. What is critical from a world perspective is not the precise nature of these measures or their exact timing, but that, at the end of the day, those countries are successful in maintaining a strong momentum of growth even as they absorb more imports from the rest of the world. Some newly industrialized countries also have clear responsibilities for contributing to a better world balance. Taiwan and Korea, in particular, have, or are building, external surpluses that are large even by the standards of the traditional industrial powers. Part of that reflects a strong competitive position, but both also maintain a strong wall of protectionist barriers. The very strength of their external positions points—in the interests of their own citizens as consumers, as well as of world equilibrium—to the need for more forceful action to increase imports, whether by reducing tariffs, by lifting other trade restrictions, or by exchange rate changes. Success in these efforts, I must emphasize, will not necessarily or primarily be measured by changes in our own bilateral trade vis-a-vis particular countries. An open competitive trading order is by its nature multilateral, and we and others should judge equilibrium in a worldwide context. In that connection, most of the developing world, already carrying heavy debt burdens, is in no position to revalue currencies or to absorb much higher imports (from the United States or from others) without more or less parallel increases in their exports. In recent years, however, the United States has, in fact, absorbed the great bulk of what increase in exports Latin America has had—their exports to Europe and Japan have apparently increased little if at all. For us to close our markets to them now would assuredly thwart prospects for expansion, and with it the encouraging progress that has been made toward both more open, competitive economies and political democracy. What is needed instead is greater access by those countries to growing markets in Europe and Japan as well as here. The recent changes in exchange rates in the industrial world certainly provide greater incentives for exports of the developing countries to shift to Europe and Japan. At the same time, imports by the developing world from the United States have become much more price competitive than a year or two earlier. THE DEBT SITUATION I cannot neglect emphasizing one further continuing threat to growth and financial stability involving the developing countries. Management of the debt problems of Latin America and some other developing countries is again at a critical stage. The reason is not that progress is absent. To the contrary, most of the heavily indebted countries have been growing—if for the most part far below their potential—debt burdens are tending to move lower relative to exports or other measures of capacity to pay, and new Statements financing needs have been reduced. Perhaps most encouraging, there has been definite, if sometimes hesitant, progress toward liberalizing trade, opening markets, and reducing internal economic distortions, with the World Bank playing a particularly helpful role. At the same time, any failure of the industrialized countries collectively to achieve a satisfactory rate of growth would clearly impair prospects for the developing countries to find the markets they need. More immediately, in recent months, the process of reaching agreement on adequately supportive and timely financing programs, whether by restructuring existing debts or by arranging what new loans are necessary, has conspicuously slowed. Now, the largest of the debtor countries, Brazil, after a period of strong expansion, large trade surpluses, and greater price stability, is again experiencing pronounced inflationary pressures and economic difficulties. Its suspension of most external interest payments to private creditors underscores the urgency of coming to grips with its internal economic difficulties as well as developing an appropriate financing program. I suspect that the very fact that progress has been made over the past five years—until recently in Brazil as in a number of other countries and most evidently in reducing the exposure of banks relative to capital to something like half of what it was in 1982—has had the unfortunate effect of dulling a sense of urgency and cooperation in dealing with the remaining problems. I do not want to deny the progress. But to fail in carrying through on past efforts or in dealing with the new points of strain would plainly jeopardize past successes and threaten new strains on the financial system. IMPLICATIONS FOR U.S. POLICY Several key implications of all this for the United States should be clear. First, the process of restoring external balance requires first of all that we tend to our inescapable responsibilities to deal with our budget deficit. That is not just because we are dangerously dependent on foreign savings but because progress abroad is, as a practical matter, likely to be stymied without constructive leadership from to Congress 293 the largest and strongest nation. Should we instead resort to closing our markets, be indifferent to depreciation of our own currency, and permit inflationary forces to regain the upper hand, then there would be no basis for confidence in the United States. Prospects for effective complementary action abroad, or for growth for the world economy, would be dim indeed. Second, we have to recognize that the needed adjustments will require a relative shift of financial and real resources into internationally competitive industry and away from consumption and federal deficits. Without a sharp rise in overall productivity from the rate of 1 percent or so characteristic of most of the 1970s and 1980s—and I see no reason to suggest that trend will change abruptly—the recent rate of increase in consumption is simply unsustainable for long. Instead, more of our growth will need to be reflected in net exports and business investment, and less savings will be available to finance government. Fortunately, performance with respect to productivity growth and restraint on costs in the key manufacturing sectors has been relatively strong during the period of economic expansion. That reinforces prospects for a stronger competitive position internationally. The challenge will be to maintain that performance in the face of a depreciated currency, higher import prices, and more sizable needs for new investment to meet domestic and export opportunities. Finally, achieving these goals in the context of sustained growth and reasonable price stability is beyond the capacity of any single policy instrument. Quite obviously, monetary policy will have a critical role to play. In doing so, it has the potential advantage of more flexibility than other policy instruments. But there will also be a heavy premium on maintaining discipline and sound judgment amid potentially conflicting criteria. MONETARY POLICY Looking back, monetary policy has accommodated a relatively rapid growth in the various monetary aggregates for some time; in 1986, the discount rate was reduced four times by a total of 2 percentage points, more or less in line with reductions in market interest rates. 294 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 This generous provision of reserves and expansion in money took place in, and appeared justified by, an environment of restrained economic growth and declining inflationary pressures. The latter, to be sure, was dramatically and importantly reinforced by a temporary factor—the sudden collapse in the price of the world's most important commodity, oil. But, potentially more lasting indicators of inflationary pressure—the rate of increase in workers' compensation and in prices of some services that respond slowly to changes in the economic environment—were also trending downward. For much of the year, most commodity prices other than oil, measured in dollars, were falling despite the depreciation of the dollar in the exchange markets. Moreover, the sizable declines in longterm interest rates seemed to reflect some easing of fears of a resurgence of inflationary pressures in the future. Nonetheless, the possibility of renewed inflation remains of concern both in the markets and within the Federal Reserve. One potential channel for renewed inflationary pressures would be an excessive fall of the dollar in the exchange markets. Moreover, the continuing rapid expansion of debt throughout the economy—running far above the rate of economic growth since 1982— has raised one warning flag. The implicit dangers should be clear. More leveraging of corporations, aggressive lending to consumers already laboring under heavy debt burdens, and less equity in homes all increase the vulnerability of the economy to economic risk—to higher interest rates, to recession, or to both. The fact that, after four years of expansion, many measures of credit quality are tending to deteriorate rather than improve, and that too many depository institutions are strained, should be warning enough. As we look ahead, the Federal Reserve remains highly conscious of the long historical patterns that relate high rates of monetary growth over time to inflation. In 1987, the effects of the depreciation of the dollar and the rebound in oil prices are very likely to be reflected in somewhat larger increases in consumer prices than occurred last year. What is critical is that such a bulge in prices related to identifiable temporary external devel opments not be translated into a broad-based cumulative upward movement. As you well know, just such a cumulative inflationary process started in the 1960s and then extended well over a decade into the 1980s. It was eventually brought to an end, but only with great effort and at considerable cost. The scars of that experience remain. Against that background, participants both in financial markets and in business have persistently been skeptical of prospects for lasting price stability in making investment and pricing decisions. They are bound to be alert and responsive to any sense of adverse change in the underlying inflation trend, with implications for interest rates, exchange rates, and pricing policies. The consequences for the economy would clearly be undesirable. In effect, neither the internal nor external setting permits thinking of trading off more inflation for more growth. Nor would inflation ease the problem of international adjustment; quite to the contrary, it would both undercut some of our competitive gains and threaten the orderly inflow of funds from abroad. Naturally, in the conduct of monetary policy, we will want to encourage continuing economic expansion. But we also want to see as long an expansion as possible. To that end, the threat of renewed inflation will require continuing caution to avoid excessive increases in money and credit. Clearly, further sizable declines in the federal budget deficit will make our job in the Federal Reserve easier. CONCLUDING COMMENTS In sum, we face, at one and the same time, most difficult and most promising economic circumstances. They are difficult because there are obvious distortions and imbalances within our economy and internationally. Unless dealt with forcibly and effectively, those imbalances will impair both growth and price stability—and the adverse implications will be amplified by the effects on other countries. Moreover, those imbalances will not yield to any single instrument of policy, however wisely conducted. Instead, what are required are complementary actions here and abroad—on budgets, on monetary policies, and Statements to Congress on maintaining appropriate exchange rates and an open trading order. I know none of that is easy. Many countries are involved, and all of them have tough political decisions to make. Nor are the key decisions entirely in the hands of governmental authorities. American industry, in particular, has the challenge to build upon the efforts of recent years toward effective control of costs and greater efficiency, and to seek out and exploit the greater market opportunities that exist today. From one point of view, it may seem like a lot to ask. But equally, there is a lot to be gained. We already have achieved a long economic expansion. We have managed to combine that expansion with progress toward price stability— and that progress has made possible lower inter- 295 est rates. Financial markets more generally reflect renewed confidence. And the broad outline of policies that can preserve and extend those gains are by now well known. To fail to act upon those policies—to instead retreat into protectionism, to relax on inflation, to fail to deal with the deficit—may in some ways appear to be the course of least resistance. But those are also precisely the ways by which we would turn our back to the bright promise before us. It is only a concerted effort here and abroad that will extend and reinforce the economic expansion, consolidate the progress toward price stability, and provide the international environment in which all countries can prosper. • 296 Announcements MEETING OF CONSUMER ADVISORY COUNCIL The Federal Reserve Board announced that its Consumer Advisory Council met on March 19 and 20, in sessions open to the public. The Council's function is to advise the Board on the exercise of the Board's responsibilities under the Consumer Credit Protection Act and on other matters on which the Board seeks its advice. BANK HOLDING COMPANY SUPERVISION MANUAL: NEW EDITION NOW AVAILABLE The Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation has completely updated, revised, and reformatted the Bank Holding Company Supervision Manual. The new inspection Manual includes supervisory developments, policies, and procedures through June 1986. The December 1986 publication is available for purchase at $40.00 per copy by writing to Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. The new Manual implements the System's intensified on-site inspection program that calls for more frequent and in-depth inspections targeted to review certain larger and weaker organizations. The intensified inspection program was the result of a Board policy statement issued in October 1985 designed to strengthen, Systemwide, the supervision of banks and bank holding companies. Besides strengthening on-site inspection activity, the policies also call for greater offsite surveillance, increased efforts to better communicate the results of inspections to the senior management of bank holding companies, and the use of limited and targeted inspections. Other prominent new topics are the following: the April 1985 Capital Adequacy Guidelines, the November 1985 Board policy statement on cash dividend payments, the revised inspection approaches to parent company cash flow and liquidity, the inspection review of funding policies, parent company supervision and control of subsidiary lending and investment activities, use and development of a consolidated plan, budgeting, risk management, securities lending, and repurchase agreements. The nonbank activities section of the Manual has also been expanded to include the nonbank activities authorized by Regulation Y through June 30, 1986. Those activities approved or denied by Board order and not specifically authorized by Regulation Y are also included. The Manual includes an expanded table of contents and an alphabetical index keyed to all of the section and subsection titles and numbers, allowing for easier identification and location of selected topics. The numbering system has been revised and expanded to allow for insertion of new topics as the manual is periodically updated. Comments and suggestions on the Manual content should be directed to the Director of Banking Supervision and Regulation, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. PROPOSED ACTIONS The Federal Reserve Board requested comment on a proposed risk-based capital framework for banks and bank holding companies. Comment should be received by the Board on this matter by May 13, 1987. The Federal Reserve Board also requested comment on two notices that would be used by financial institutions to notify their federal regulators of their status under the Government Securities Act of 1986. Comment must be received by the Board by March 27. The Federal Reserve Board has extended the comment period on most of its proposals issued 297 on December 10, 1986, to reduce the risks on large-dollar payment systems. The comment period has been extended from February 27 to April 3 for the proposals concerning the risks associated with book-entry securities transfers, the reduction of existing levels for net debit caps, the establishment of a "de minimis" cap category, and the adoption of limits on interaffiliate Fedwire transfers. The comment period for the proposed changes to the automated clearinghouse (ACH) procedures has been extended from March 16 to April 3. The Board also sought comment on the concept of charging a fee for all daylight overdrafts in accounts maintained with the Federal Reserve that are subject to the net debit cap. Comment is requested by April 13. The Federal Reserve Board also extended the comment period to March 25 on its proposed rulemaking to permit bank holding companies to engage in limited real estate investment activities. 299 Record of Policy Actions of the Federal Open Market Committee MEETING HELD ON DECEMBER Domestic Policy 15-16, 1986 Directive The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that economic activity was continuing to expand at a moderate pace in the current quarter. Payroll employment increased considerably in October and November; hiring in manufacturing rose somewhat in both months after declining on balance since the beginning of the year. Apart from sales of motor vehicles, which dropped off with the end of financing incentive programs, consumer spending has posted sizable gains in recent months. Business investment spending, however, has remained sluggish, while housing starts have weakened. At the same time, the trade balance has shown only limited indications of improvement. Increases in labor costs still were moderate, but price increases have been somewhat higher than earlier in the year because of developments in food and energy markets. Total nonfarm payroll employment rose about V4 million in both October and November. Much of the gain was in the private service-producing sector, but factory employment also rose moderately, and the workweek lengthened. Aggregate hours for production and nonsupervisory workers in November were a full percentage point above the third-quarter average. The civilian unemployment rate stayed at 7 percent in November for the third consecutive month. Gains in employment and hours worked were associated with a sizable pickup in industrial production in November. The industrial production index rose 0.6 percent last month, after essentially no change over the previous three months. Increases in output were evident in most major marketing groups, with only energy materials showing a marked decline, although auto assemblies were about unchanged from October. Capacity utilization in manufacturing, mining, and utilities rose 0.3 percentage point in November to 79.3 percent. Nonetheless, utilization has changed little on balance since March and is 2XH points below its most recent peak in the summer of 1984. Sales of domestic cars fell sharply after the expiration of cut-rate financing incentive programs in early October. These sales averaged less than 7 million units at an annual rate over the October-November period, compared with the strong 91/2 million unit pace for the third quarter as a whole. Excluding autos, gasoline, and nonconsumer items, retail sales in November rose 0.9 percent paced by continued strength in purchases of furniture and appliances and in other nonauto durables. In addition, data for earlier months were revised upward slightly. Business investment appears to have remained sluggish. Shipments of nondefense capital goods increased in October, and construction spending has firmed in recent months, but prospects for such spending have continued to be affected adversely by high vacancy rates and reactions to tax reform. In contrast, sales of heavy-weight trucks fell markedly in October, and business purchases of cars and light trucks also probably declined sharply after the sales incentive programs ended. At the same time, new orders for nondefense capital goods fell 5 percent. Initial surveys of capital spending plans for 1987 suggested that overall nominal spending on plant and equipment is likely to change little from the 1986 level. Housing starts continued to decline in November. During the month total private housing starts, at 1.6 million units, were a bit below the reduced pace of September and October. Singlefamily starts were virtually unchanged from their rate during the preceding two months, but were below their level earlier in the year; new home 300 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 sales also have remained below their previous pace in recent months. Multifamily starts declined further in November in response to high vacancy rates and adverse changes in tax laws. Price increases, although still moderate, have been somewhat higher than earlier in the year partly because of developments in food and energy markets. The consumer price index rose 0.2 percent in October and the producer price index was up 0.2 percent in November. In the food sector, some upward price pressure continued to be evident, although increases in food prices slowed from the rapid pace during the summer. In addition, energy prices turned down a bit at both the retail and refinery levels, despite the firming of crude oil prices in spot markets since midsummer. Excluding food and energy, the CPI rose 0.4 percent in October, somewhat faster than earlier in the year as new car prices increased sharply. Wage inflation has picked up a bit recently, but has continued at a moderate pace. The trade-weighted value of the dollar against other G-10 currencies has declined somewhat on balance since the November 5 meeting of the Committee. Exchange rates have been affected by news about the pace of economic activity, developments in the U.S. trade balance, and prospects for monetary actions in the United States and in key industrial nations abroad. Short-term interest rates rose moderately abroad, about in line with movements in U.S. rates, while differentials in long-term interest rates moved slightly against dollar assets. Over the period, the dollar declined about 2 percent against the mark and was essentially unchanged against the yen, but the dollar's depreciation had been somewhat larger in early December. As of mid-December, the value of the dollar in relation to other major currencies was little changed on balance from the level prevailing in August. Economic activity in major foreign industrial countries was mixed in the third quarter. The U.S. merchandise trade deficit was estimated to be about the same in the third quarter as in the previous three quarters. Exports were flat in the quarter, while the value of oil imports was close to that in the second quarter as price declines about offset volume increases. Very preliminary data indicated that the deficit in October was the smallest in recent months as exports of agricultural products rose somewhat and imports declined moderately. At its meeting on November 5, the Committee adopted a directive that called for maintaining the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions. This action was expected to be consistent with growth in both M2 and M3 at annual rates of 7 to 9 percent from September to December. Growth in Ml over the same period was expected to moderate from its exceptional pace during the previous several months. The Committee agreed that the growth in Ml would continue to be evaluated in light of the behavior of the broader monetary aggregates and other factors. The members also decided that slightly greater or slightly lesser reserve restraint might be acceptable depending on the behavior of the monetary aggregates, taking into account the strength of the business expansion, developments in foreign exchange markets, progress against inflation, and conditions in domestic and international credit markets. The intermeeting range for federal funds was maintained at 4 to 8 percent. M2 growth slowed substantially in November to a 6V2 percent annual rate, and M3 growth moderated further to a 5V2 percent annual rate; through November both M2 and M3 were just inside the upper bounds of their 6 to 9 percent growth ranges established by the Committee for 1986. Ml accelerated again in November, reaching a rate of 21 percent, as growth in demand deposits surged. Ml growth has remained far in excess of GNP growth so far this year and its velocity is expected to fall at a historically high rate. Growth of total reserves picked up sharply over the intermeeting period largely because of a surge in required reserves against transaction deposits. In addition, excess reserves increased from almost $750 million in the previous three months to around $1 billion on average in November, reflecting mainly the usual patterns around holidays and social security payment dates. Adjustment plus seasonal borrowing in the two complete maintenance periods since the November FOMC meeting averaged about $300 million, down somewhat from the average over the previous intermeeting period. Even so, the funds rate firmed from around 5Vs percent at the Record of Policy Actions of the FOMC time of the last meeting to well above 6 percent in early December. More recently, the federal funds rate has averaged close to 6 percent. With the federal funds rate firmer through much of the intermeeting period, other shortterm market rates rose 15 to 50 basis points. However, bond yields generally were about unchanged to down 25 basis points. Rates on commitments for fixed-rate home mortgages dropped about Vi percentage point, moving toward a more normal alignment with Treasury bond yields. Although stock prices fell initially on the announcement of insider trading violations related to takeover activity, on balance they showed little change over the period. The staff projections presented at this meeting suggested that real GNP would continue to grow at a moderate rate through the end of 1987. Prospects for an improvement in real net exports of goods and services continued to be a key element shaping the 1987 forecast; export growth was expected to accelerate next year and import growth to moderate as world trade flows adjusted to increased U.S. competitiveness. Gross domestic purchases were projected to be relatively sluggish through the end of 1987, reflecting mainly a shift toward fiscal restraint, the likely weakness in multifamily housing and nonresidential construction, and the damping influence of higher import prices on the growth of real income and consumption. Inflation was expected to pick up a bit in early 1987 as a consequence of the dollar's depreciation and higher energy prices. In the Committee's discussion of current and prospective economic developments, members generally agreed that continuing expansion at a moderate pace remained a reasonable expectation for the year ahead, but a number of members emphasized the risks of a shortfall from current projections, especially in the early part of 1987. In particular, members mentioned the risks that the expected improvement in the nation's foreign trade might be relatively disappointing next year and that overall business spending might remain sluggish. A few members also referred to the possibility of slower growth in consumer spending. On balance, however, while no important sector of the domestic economy seemed likely to be a source of substantial strength in 1987, the members read current economic indicators and 301 other business information as pointing to a fifth year of moderate expansion. Such expansion might be accompanied by some rise in the rate of inflation, primarily reflecting the effects of the dollar's depreciation and energy-sector developments. The members again gave considerable attention to the outlook for foreign trade. An improvement in trade generally was viewed as an essential factor in sustaining a moderate rate of business expansion in the context of perhaps diminishing growth in overall domestic demands. Unfortunately, there was no convincing evidence thus far of a turnaround in the trade balance, and a number of members commented that the expected improvement could be relatively limited next year. On the favorable side, the depreciation of the dollar evidently had enhanced the competitive position of U.S. firms, and individual reports of expanding export opportunities appeared to be multiplying as well as indications of an improved ability of many U.S. firms to compete domestically with imports. As they had at earlier meetings, the members referred to a number of factors that were inhibiting an overall improvement in net exports, including limited expansion in many industrial nations abroad and strong competition from a number of countries whose currencies had not appreciated against the dollar. One member also stressed that persisting debt problems in several developing countries constituted an element of vulnerability for international financial markets and international trade and also for the U.S. economy. With regard to the domestic economy, a number of members commented that consumer expenditures on durables, especially automobiles, and some business spending appeared to have been accelerated into 1986 in reaction to provisions of the tax reform legislation. Compensating adjustments in such spending later could have a restraining effect on economic growth, notably during the first part of 1987. Nonetheless, a few members referred to the possibility that consumer spending might be well maintained during 1987 as a whole. The latter acknowledged the inhibiting effects of the growth in consumer debt, but they stressed the favorable implications of cumulative increases in the total assets and net worth of consumers and the positive impact of reduc- 302 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 tions in personal income tax rates. The outlook for business spending continued to be uncertain and in some respects unpromising, especially with regard to multifamily housing and nonresidential construction; both areas would be adversely affected by high vacancy rates and negative reactions to the tax reform legislation. There were further reports of plant closings, notably in the Midwest. However, one member observed that business spending for plant and equipment might well hold up in response to continuing growth in overall economic activity. As usual, the prospects for inventory accumulation were uncertain and would be affected by the outlook for prices. With regard to the outlook for prices and wages, members generally agreed that increases might be somewhat larger in 1987, reflecting the impact of rising import prices and indications of a turnaround in oil prices. However, the prospect of only moderate economic growth and continued margins of slack in labor and product markets suggested that strong wage pressures were not likely over the year ahead. One member observed that agricultural conditions worldwide suggested an absence of pressure on food prices. Moreover, generally limited growth in key industrial nations together with an ample availability of productive resources abroad implied continuing strong competitive pressures and restrained advances in prices of U.S. imports. Even so, a somewhat higher rate of inflation appeared to be in prospect for next year. At its meeting in July, the Committee had agreed on tentative ranges of 5V2 to 8V2 percent for growth in both M2 and M3 during the period from the fourth quarter of 1986 to the fourth quarter of 1987. The associated range for growth in total domestic nonfinancial debt was set at 8 to 11 percent for 1987. In the case of Ml the Committee had indicated on a more tentative basis than usual that it might retain the 1986 range of 3 to 8 percent for 1987. Such a range implied a marked reduction from the Ml growth experienced in 1986 and provisionally assumed that the relationship of Ml to income, interest rates, and other economic variables next year would be broadly consistent with earlier historical experience. At this meeting the Committee held a prelimi- nary discussion of the factors bearing on appropriate ranges for the various monetary aggregates in 1987. Most of the attention was devoted to the issue of whether a range should be established for M l , given the uncertainty surrounding behavior of that aggregate and its velocity in recent years. While most members currently did not favor establishing a formal target range for Ml growth in 1987, many of them believed that this aggregate should continue to be monitored or evaluated in light of information about the economy, prices, and the broad monetary aggregates and other financial variables. The Committee will complete its review of the role of Ml and the ranges for the broad aggregates for 1987 at its February meeting. In the Committee's discussion of policy implementation for the period immediately ahead, all of the members indicated that they were in favor of directing open market operations, at least initially, toward maintaining unchanged conditions of reserve availability. For now, monetary policy was deemed to be exerting an appropriate degree of pressure on reserve positions in light of the growth of the broader monetary aggregates within—though at the upper ends of—their longer-run ranges, and the generally favorable prospects for sustained, albeit moderate, economic growth. The members recognized that the outlook for the monetary aggregates remained uncertain, notably in the case of M l . According to an analysis presented at this meeting, a moderate trend in the growth of M2 and M3 might be anticipated, given the outlook for fairly limited growth in economic activity and an abatement of the effects of earlier interest rate declines. For the months ahead, growth in the broader aggregates might be well within the Committee's tentative ranges for 1987 on the assumption that there would be no significant changes in market interest rates. The outlook for Ml growth remained highly uncertain, although underlying forces seemed consistent with a considerable slowing over time from the extraordinary expansion experienced during 1986. Some concern was expressed that the failure of such a slowing to occur and the associated large provision of reserves could eventually have inflationary consequences. Even with some moderation over com- Record of Policy Actions of the FOMC ing months, Ml might continue to expand at rates markedly in excess of the growth in nominal GNP. In view of the uncertainties that were involved and in keeping with the Committee's practice since mid-1986, the members did not want to indicate specific expectations with regard to Ml growth in the operational paragraph of the Committee's directive. Nonetheless, it was understood that growth of this aggregate would continue to be evaluated in light of the behavior of the broader monetary aggregates and other economic and financial developments. In their discussion of possible intermeeting adjustments in the degree of reserve pressure, the members thought it unlikely that developments would warrant more than a minor, if any, change in reserve conditions during the weeks ahead. All of the members understood that some small adjustment in either direction might be appropriate under certain circumstances. However, in the context of what they perceived as greater downside risks in the outlook for economic activity, several believed that policy implementation should remain especially alert to developments that might call for somewhat easier reserve conditions. It was noted in this connection that the relative stability of the dollar in foreign exchange markets over the past few months provided greater flexibility for potential easing actions. At the conclusion of the Committee's discussion, all of the members indicated that they favored a directive that called for no change in the degree of pressure on reserve positions. The members expected this approach to policy implementation to be consistent with growth of both M2 and M3 at an annual rate of about 7 percent over the four-month period from November to March. Because the behavior of Ml remained subject to unusual uncertainty, the members decided they would continue to evaluate this aggregate in the light of the performance of the broader monetary aggregates and other factors. The members indicated that slightly greater reserve restraint or somewhat lesser reserve restraint would be acceptable over the intermeeting period depending on the behavior of the monetary aggregates, taking into account the strength of the business expansion, the performance of the dollar in foreign exchange markets, 303 progress against inflation, and conditions in domestic and international credit markets. The members agreed that the intermeeting range for the federal funds rate, which provides a mechanism for initiating consultation of the Committee when its boundaries are persistently exceeded, should be left unchanged at 4 to 8 percent. At the conclusion of the meeting, the following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests that economic activity continues to grow at a moderate pace in the current quarter. Total nonfarm payroll employment grew appreciably further in October and November, and employment in manufacturing also rose after declining on balance in previous months. The civilian unemployment rate remained at 7.0 percent in November for the third consecutive month. Industrial production picked up considerably in November. Total retail sales rose moderately last month after changing little on balance over September and October. Housing starts have weakened and business capital spending generally appears to have remained sluggish. Preliminary data for the U.S. merchandise trade deficit in October suggest a moderate narrowing. Broad measures of prices have firmed somewhat in recent months due to developments in food and energy markets. Labor cost increases this year have remained moderate compared with other recent years. Growth of M2 slowed substantially in November, while growth of M3 remained moderate. Expansion of these two aggregates for the year through November has been just below the upper end of their respective ranges established by the Committee for 1986. In November growth of Ml accelerated to a very rapid rate. Expansion in total domestic nonfinancial debt remains appreciably above the Committee's monitoring range for 1986. Short-term interest rates have risen somewhat since the November 5 meeting of the Committee, while long-term rates have declined on balance. In foreign exchange markets the trade-weighted value of the dollar against other G-10 currencies has declined moderately on balance since the November meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee seeks monetary and financial conditions that will foster reasonable price stability over time, promote growth in output on a sustainable basis, and contribute to an improved pattern of international transactions. In furtherance of these objectives the Committee agreed at the July meeting to reaffirm the ranges established in February for growth of 6 to 9 percent for both M2 and M3, measured from the fourth quarter of 1985 to the fourth quarter of 1986. With respect to Ml, the Committee recognized that, based on the experience of recent years, the behavior of that aggregate is subject to substantial uncertainties in relation to economic activi- 304 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 ty and prices, depending among other things on the responsiveness of Ml growth to changes in interest rates. In light of these uncertainties and of the substantial decline in velocity in the first half o f the year, the Committee decided that growth of Ml in excess of the previously established 3 to 8 percent range for 1986 would be acceptable. Acceptable growth of Ml over the remainder of the year would depend on the behavior of velocity, growth in the other monetary aggregates, developments in the economy and financial markets, and price pressures. Given its rapid growth in the early part of the year, the Committee recognized that the increase in total domestic nonfinancial debt in 1986 may exceed its monitoring range of 8 to 11 percent, but felt an increase in that range would provide an inappropriate benchmark for evaluating longer-term trends in that aggregate. For 1987 the Committee agreed on tentative ranges of monetary growth, measured from the fourth quartfer of 1986 to the fourth quarter of 1987, of 5Vi to 8V2 percent for M2 and M3. While a range of 3 to 8 percent for Ml in 1987 would appear appropriate in the light of most historical experience, the Committee recognized that the exceptional uncertainties surrounding the behavior of Ml velocity over the more recent period would require careful appraisal of the target range at the beginning of 1987. The associated range for growth in total domestic nonfinancial debt was provisionally set at 8 to 11 percent for 1987. In the implementation of policy for the immediate future, the Committee seeks to maintain the existing degree of pressure on reserve positions. This action is expected to be consistent with growth in M2 and M3 over the period from November to March at an annual rate of about 7 percent. Growth in Ml will continue to be appraised in the light of the behavior of M2 and M3 and the other factors cited below. Slightly greater reserve restraint or somewhat lesser reserve restraint would be acceptable depending on the behavior of the aggregates, taking into account the strength of the business expansion, developments in foreign exchange markets, progress against inflation, and conditions in domestic and international credit markets. The Chairman may call for Committee consultation if it appears to the Manager for Domestic Operations that reserve conditions during the period before the next meeting are likely to be associated with a federal funds rate persistently outside a range of 4 to 8 percent. Votes for this action: Messrs. Volcker, Corrigan, Angell, Guffey, Heller, Mrs. Horn, Messrs. Johnson, Melzer, Morris, and Ms. Seger. Votes against this action: None. Absent and not voting: Mr. Rice. 305 Legal Developments ORDERS ISSUED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT, BANK MERGER ACT, BANK SERVICE CORPORATION ACT, AND FEDERAL RESERVE ACT Orders Issued Under Section 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act Bellevue Capital Company Bellevue, Nebraska Order Approving Acquisition of a Bank Bellevue Capital Company, Bellevue, Nebraska, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ("Act"), 12 U.S.C. § 1841 et seq., has applied for the Board's approval pursuant to section 3(a)(3) of the Act, to acquire 99 percent of the voting shares of Otoe County National Bank and Trust Company, Nebraska City, Nebraska ("Bank"). Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the Act (51 Federal Register 43,974 (1986)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the Act. Applicant is a one-bank holding company by virtue of its control of Bank of Bellevue, Bellevue, Nebraska ("Bellevue"). Applicant, with deposits of $43.8 million,1 is the 64th largest banking organization in Nebraska, controlling 0.3 percent of the total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state. Upon consummation of this proposal, Applicant will become the 27th largest commercial banking organization in Nebraska and control deposits of $78.2 million, representing 0.6 percent of the total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the state. Applicant's principal controls Bank and thus, this proposal represents a reorganization of Bank's ownership from individuals to a corporation controlled by the same individuals. Accordingly, consummation of this proposal would 1. All banking data are as of D e c e m b e r 31, 1985. not have any significant adverse effect upon the concentration of banking resources in the state. Bank operates in the Otoe County banking market,2 where it is the largest of eight commercial banking organizations, controlling 27.5 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Neither Applicant nor any of its principals is associated with any other commercial banking organization in the relevant market. Consummation of this proposal would not have any adverse effect on existing competition in any relevant market. Accordingly, considerations relating to competitive considerations under the Act are consistent with approval. The financial and managerial resources of Applicant, Bellevue, and Bank are consistent with approval. This proposal is essentially a reorganization of existing ownership interests, and no additional debt will be incurred as a result of this transaction. The purpose of the proposal is to permit Applicant to use certain tax benefits that have accrued to Bank, which will enhance the debt-servicing capabilities of Applicant. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served also are consistent with approval. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the application should be and hereby is approved. The transaction shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 2, 1987. Voting for this action: Vice Chairman Johnson and Governors Seger, Angell, and Heller. Absent and not voting: Chairman Volcker. JAMES MCAFEE [SEAL] Associate Secretary of the Board 2. T h e O t o e County banking market is approximated b y O t o e County, Nebraska. 306 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 Northfield Bancshares, Inc. Northfield, Minnesota Order Approving Formation of a Bank Holding Company Northfield Bancshares, Inc., Northfield, Minnesota, has applied for the prior approval of the Board under section 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956, as amended (12 U.S.C. § 1841 et seq.) (the "Act"), to acquire 100 percent of the voting shares of First Bank (N.A.) — Northfield, Northfield, Minnesota ("Bank"). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been duly published (51 Federal Register 43,974 (1986)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant is a nonoperating corporation formed for the purpose of acquiring Bank. Bank is the 153rd largest commercial banking organization in Minnesota with $29.7 million in total deposits, representing .09 percent of total deposits in Minnesota.1 Consummation of the proposal would not have a significant effect on the concentration of banking resources in Minnesota. Bank operates in the Northfield banking market,2 where it is the fourth largest commercial bank in the market, controlling 9.04 percent of the deposits in commercial banks in the market. Principals of Applicant are not affiliated with any other depository institution in the market. Based on all the facts of record, consummation of this proposal would not result in any significant adverse effects on existing or potential competition or increase the concentration of banking resources in any relevant area. Accordingly, the Board concludes that competitive considerations are consistent with approval. The Board has indicated on previous occasions that a bank holding company should serve as a source of financial and managerial strength to its subsidiary banks, and that the Board would closely examine the condition of an applicant in each case with this consideration in mind.3 This application represents the dives- titure by First Bank System, Minneapolis, Minnesota ("First Bank System"), a large regional bank holding company, of Bank to a small bank holding company. Under these circumstances, the Board is particularly concerned with the financial strength and future prospects of the bank to be divested, in part because of the uncertainty associated with a change in ownership from a large regional banking organization to a bank holding company with substantially fewer resources to support the bank. These concerns are mitigated in this case by several factors. First, First Bank System has agreed to retain an investment in Applicant until Applicant's initial leverage is reduced. Second, although Applicant will incur a certain amount of debt in connection with the proposed transaction, it appears that Applicant will have sufficient flexibility to retire the debt without adversely affecting the capital position of Bank. In addition, in contemplation of this transaction, First Bank System has taken steps to strengthen Bank's loan portfolio. All of these factors are designed to strengthen the acquiring organization and to facilitate the transfer of Bank to new ownership, thus ensuring that Bank will be financially protected following the divestiture. In light of these and other facts of record, the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Applicant and Bank are consistent with approval of the proposal. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served are also consistent with approval. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that the application should be, and hereby is, approved. The acquisition of Bank shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, acting pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 13, 1987. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Johnson, Seger, and Angell. Absent and not voting: Governor Heller. WILLIAM W . WILES [SEAL] 1. D a t a are as o f June 30, 1985. 2. The Northfield banking market is approximated by Rice County and the t o w n s h i p s of W a r s a w , H o l d e n , and K e n y o n in G o o d h u e County. 3. The Bank Holding C o m p a n y A c t requires that before an organization is permitted to b e c o m e a bank holding c o m p a n y and thus obtain the benefits associated with the holding c o m p a n y structure, it must Secretary of the Board secure the Board's approval. S e c t i o n 3(c) o f the A c t provides that the Board must, in every c a s e , consider, a m o n g other things, the financial and managerial resources of both the applicant c o m p a n y and the bank to be acquired. The Board's action in this c a s e is based on a consideration of such factors. Legal Developments State First Financial Corporation Texarkana, Arkansas Order Approving Acquisition of a Bank State First Financial Corporation, Texarkana, Arkansas, has applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(3) of the Bank Holding Company Act ("Act") (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to acquire American National Bank, Texarkana, Texas ("Bank"). Notice of the application, affording an opportunity for interested persons to submit comments, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the Act (51 Federal Register 41,837 (1986)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Section 3(d) of the Act, 12 U.S.C. § 1842(d), the Douglas Amendment, prohibits the Board from approving an application by a bank holding company to acquire a bank located outside the bank holding company's home state, unless such acquisition is "specifically authorized by the statute laws of the state in which such bank is located, by language to that effect and not merely by implication."1 Effective January 1, 1987, Texas enacted an interstate banking statute that permits out-of-state bank holding companies to acquire established Texas banks and bank holding companies.2 The Texas Banking Department has informed the Board that it has no objection to this proposal. Based on the foregoing, the Board has determined that the proposed acquisition is specifically authorized by the statute laws of Texas and thus Board approval is not prohibited by the Douglas Amendment. Applicant is the tenth largest banking organization in Arkansas, operating two subsidiary banks with total deposits of $295.7 million, representing 2.0 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in Arkansas.3 Bank is the 586th largest bank in Texas, with $56.0 million in deposits, representing less than one percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in Texas. Consummation of this proposal would not have a significant adverse effect on the concentration of banking resources in Arkansas or Texas. 1. A b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n y ' s h o m e state f o r p u r p o s e s o f the D o u g l a s A m e n d m e n t is that s t a t e in w h i c h the total d e p o s i t s o f its b a n k i n g s u b s i d i a r i e s w e r e largest o n July 1, 1966, o r o n t h e date it b e c a m e a b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n y , w h i c h e v e r d a t e is later. 12 U . S . C . § 1842. A p p l i c a n t ' s h o m e s t a t e is A r k a n s a s . 2. T e x . R e v . C i v . Stat. A n n . art. 3 4 2 - 9 1 6 ( V e r n o n 1986). T h e T e x a s statute requires that t h e m a j o r i t y o f the d i r e c t o r s o f a n y b a n k b e T e x a s residents. 3. B a n k i n g d a t a are a s o f D e c e m b e r 31, 1985, a n d reflect h o l d i n g c o m p a n y acquisitions approved and mergers c o n s u m m a t e d through O c t o b e r 31, 1986. 307 Applicant and Bank compete in the Texarkana market.4 Applicant is the largest of eight commercial banking organizations in the market, controlling 32.7 percent of total deposits in commercial banking organizations in the market.5 Bank is the sixth largest commercial banking organization in the market, controlling 6.4 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Upon consummation of the proposal, Applicant's share of the deposits would increase to 39.1 percent. The Texarkana market is considered to be highly concentrated, with the four largest commercial banks controlling 80.0 percent of the deposits in commercial banks in the market. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") for the market is 2035 and would increase by 418 points to 2453 upon consummation of the proposal.6 Although consummation of the proposal would eliminate some existing competition between Applicant and Bank in the Texarkana banking market, numerous other commercial banking organizations would remain as competitors in the market. In addition, the presence of six thrift institutions, controlling approximately 33.4 percent of the market's total deposits,7 mitigates the anticompetitive effects of the transaction.8 Thrift institutions already exert a considerable competitive influence in the market as providers of consumer, real estate, and commercial loans in addition to traditional thrift services. Based upon the above considerations, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal is not likely to substantially lessen competition in the Texarkana banking market.9 The financial and managerial resources of Applicant, its subsidiary banks, and Bank are consistent 4. T h e T e x a r k a n a m a r k e t is a p p r o x i m a t e d b y t h e c o u n t i e s o f Miller a n d Little R i v e r , A r k a n s a s , a n d B o w i e C o u n t y , T e x a s . 5. M a r k e t data are a s o f J u n e 30, 1986, a n d reflect k n o w n h o l d i n g c o m p a n y acquisitions approved and mergers c o n s u m m a t e d through D e c e m b e r 31, 1986. 6. U n d e r t h e r e v i s e d D e p a r t m e n t o f J u s t i c e M e r g e r G u i d e l i n e s (49 Federal Register 2 6 , 8 2 3 (June 29, 1984)), a n y m a r k e t in w h i c h t h e p o s t - m e r g e r H H I is a b o v e 1800 is c o n s i d e r e d h i g h l y c o n c e n t r a t e d , a n d the D e p a r t m e n t is l i k e l y t o c h a l l e n g e a m e r g e r that i n c r e a s e s t h e H H I b y m o r e than 5 0 p o i n t s . T h e D e p a r t m e n t h a s i n f o r m e d t h e B o a r d that a b a n k m e r g e r o r a c q u i s i t i o n g e n e r a l l y will n o t b e c h a l l e n g e d (in the a b s e n c e o f o t h e r f a c t o r s i n d i c a t i n g a n t i c o m p e t i t i v e e f f e c t s ) u n l e s s the p o s t - m e r g e r H H I is at l e a s t 1800 a n d the m e r g e r i n c r e a s e s the H H I b y at l e a s t 2 0 0 p o i n t s . 7. Thrift institution d e p o s i t d a t a are a s o f J u n e 30, 1985. 8. T h e B o a r d h a s p r e v i o u s l y i n d i c a t e d that thrift institutions h a v e b e c o m e , or h a v e t h e p o t e n t i a l t o b e c o m e , m a j o r c o m p e t i t o r s o f c o m m e r c i a l b a n k s . National City Corporation, 7 0 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 7 4 3 (1984); NCNB Bancorporation, 7 0 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 225 (1984); General Bancshares Corporation, 6 9 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 8 0 2 (1983); First Tennessee National Corporation, 6 9 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 2 9 8 (1983). 9. If 5 0 p e r c e n t o f d e p o s i t s h e l d b y thrift institutions in the T e x a r k a n a b a n k i n g m a r k e t w e r e i n c l u d e d in t h e c a l c u l a t i o n o f market c o n c e n t r a t i o n , the share o f total d e p o s i t s h e l d b y t h e f o u r largest o r g a n i z a t i o n s in t h e m a r k e t w o u l d b e 6 8 . 4 p e r c e n t . A p p l i c a n t w o u l d c o n t r o l 2 6 . 2 p e r c e n t o f the m a r k e t ' s d e p o s i t s a n d B a n k w o u l d c o n t r o l 5.1 p e r c e n t o f the m a r k e t ' s d e p o s i t s . T h e H H I w o u l d i n c r e a s e b y 2 6 8 p o i n t s t o 1714. 308 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 with approval. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served are also consistent with approval. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that consummation of the proposed transaction would be in the public interest and that the application should be approved. On the basis of the record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. The transactions shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 9, 1987. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Seger, Angell, and Heller. Absent and not voting: Governor Johnson. JAMES MCAFEE [SEAL] Associate Secretary of the Board SunTrust Banks, Inc. Atlanta, Georgia Order Approving Acquisition of a Bank Holding Company SunTrust Banks, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia, and its wholly owned subsidiary, Third National Corporation, Nashville, Tennessee (together, "Applicant"), bank holding companies within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956, as amended (12 U.S.C. § 1841 et seq.) ("Act"), have applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(5) of the Act to merge with Peoples Bancshares, Inc., Lebanon, Tennessee ("Company"), and thereby to acquire indirectly The Peoples Bank, Lebanon, Tennessee ("Bank"). Notice of the applications, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the Act (51 Federal Register 44,524 (1986)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the Act. Applicant is the second largest banking organization in Georgia, with total Georgia deposits of $5.2 billion,1 representing 15.3 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the state. Applicant is also the 1. All b a n k i n g data are as o f J u n e 30, 1986. second largest banking organization in Florida, controlling deposits in that state of $9.7 billion, representing 13.2 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in Florida. In addition, Applicant is the largest banking organization in Tennessee with total deposits of $4.2 billion, representing 14.4 percent of state deposits. Bank is the 94th largest commercial banking organization in Tennessee and controls deposits of $53.0 million, representing 0.2 percent of the deposits in commercial banks in Tennessee. Consummation of this proposal would have no significant effect on the concentration of banking resources in Tennessee, Florida, or Georgia. Section 3(d) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(d)), the Douglas Amendment, prohibits the Board from approving an application by a bank holding company to acquire a bank located outside the bank holding company's home state,2 unless the state where the bank to be acquired is located has specifically authorized the acquisition by language to that effect and not merely by implication. Applicant's home state is Florida. The Board has previously determined that Tennessee's interstate banking statute expressly authorizes a Florida bank holding company, such as Applicant, to acquire a Tennessee bank holding company, such as Company.3 Accordingly, approval of Applicant's proposal to acquire a bank holding company in Tennessee is not barred by the Douglas Amendment. Applicant and Bank compete directly in the Nashville banking market.4 Applicant is the largest of 17 commercial banking organizations operating in the market, with total deposits of $2.1 billion, representing 32.6 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Bank is the ninth largest commercial banking organization in the market, with total deposits of $53.0 million, representing 0.8 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Upon consummation of the proposal, Applicant's share of the deposits in commercial banks in the market would increase to 33.4 percent. The Nashville banking market is considered to be highly concentrated, with the four largest commercial banks controlling 84.4 percent of the deposits in commercial banks in the market. The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index ("HHI") for the market 2. A bank h o l d i n g c o m p a n y ' s h o m e s t a t e is that state in w h i c h the o p e r a t i o n s o f the b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n y ' s b a n k i n g subsidiaries w e r e principally c o n d u c t e d o n July 1, 1966, o r the d a t e o n w h i c h the c o m p a n y b e c a m e a b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n y , w h i c h e v e r is later. 3. SunTrust Banks Inc., 73 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 67 (1986). 4. T h e N a s h v i l l e b a n k i n g m a r k e t is a p p r o x i m a t e d b y D a v i d s o n , Rutherford, Williamson, Wilson, R o b i n s o n and S u m n e r Counties. Legal Developments is 2135 and would increase by 55 points to 2190 upon consummation of the proposal.5 Although consummation of the proposal would eliminate some existing competition between Applicant and Bank in the Nashville market, numerous other commercial banking organizations would remain as competitors in the market upon consummation. In addition, the presence of ten thrift institutions that control approximately 20.1 percent of the market's total deposits mitigates the anticompetitive effects of the transaction.6 Thrift institutions already exert a considerable competitive influence in the market as providers of commercial and industrial loans in addition to traditional thrift services. Based upon the above considerations, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal is not likely to substantially lessen competition in the Nashville banking market.7 The financial and managerial resources of Applicant, its subsidiary banks, and Bank are consistent with approval. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served are also consistent with approval. Based upon the foregoing and other facts of record, the Board has determined that consummation of the proposed transaction would be in the public interest and that the applications should be approved. On the basis of the record, the applications are approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta pursuant to delegated authority. 5. U n d e r the r e v i s e d D e p a r t m e n t o f J u s t i c e M e r g e r G u i d e l i n e s , 4 9 Federal Register 2 6 , 8 2 3 ( J u n e 29, 1984), a n y m a r k e t in w h i c h the p o s t - m e r g e r H H I is a b o v e 1800 is c o n s i d e r e d highly c o n c e n t r a t e d . T h e D e p a r t m e n t h a s i n f o r m e d t h e B o a r d that a b a n k m e r g e r o r a c q u i s i t i o n g e n e r a l l y will n o t b e c h a l l e n g e d (in the a b s e n c e o f o t h e r f a c t o r s indicating a n t i c o m p e t i t i v e e f f e c t s ) u n l e s s the p o s t - m e r g e r H H I is at least 1800 a n d t h e m e r g e r i n c r e a s e s the H H I b y at least 2 0 0 points. 6. T h e B o a r d h a s p r e v i o u s l y i n d i c a t e d that thrift institutions h a v e b e c o m e , or h a v e t h e p o t e n t i a l t o b e c o m e , m a j o r c o m p e t i t o r s o f c o m m e r c i a l b a n k s . National City Corporation, 7 0 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 7 4 3 (1984); NCNB Bancorporation, 7 0 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 225 (1984); General Bancshares Corporation, 69 Federal R e s e r v e B u l l e t i n 8 0 2 (1983); First Tennessee National Corporation, 69 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 2 9 8 (1983). 7. If 5 0 p e r c e n t o f d e p o s i t s h e l d b y thrift institutions in the N a s h v i l l e b a n k i n g m a r k e t w e r e i n c l u d e d in t h e c a l c u l a t i o n of market c o n c e n t r a t i o n , t h e share o f total d e p o s i t s h e l d b y the f o u r largest o r g a n i z a t i o n s in the m a r k e t w o u l d b e 7 4 . 8 p e r c e n t . A p p l i c a n t w o u l d c o n t r o l 2 8 . 9 p e r c e n t o f the m a r k e t ' s d e p o s i t s a n d B a n k w o u l d c o n t r o l 0.8 percent of the market's deposits. The H H I would increase by 40 p o i n t s t o 1750. 309 By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 10, 1987. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Seger, Angell, and Heller. Absent and not voting: Governor Johnson. JAMES MCAFEE [SEAL] Associate Secretary of the Board Orders Issued Under Section 4 of the Bank Holding Company Act United Virginia Bankshares, Inc. Richmond, Virginia Order Approving an Application to Purchase and Sell Precious Metals and Coins for the Account of Customers United Virginia Bankshares, Inc., Richmond, Virginia, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, 12 U.S.C. § 1841 et seq. ("BHC Act"), has applied pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act and section 225.23(a) of the Board's Regulation Y, 12 C.F.R. § 225.23(a), to engage de novo through its subsidiary, United Virginia Brokerage, Inc., Richmond, Virginia ("Company"), in the purchase and sale of gold and silver bullion and coins for the account of its customers. Notice of the application, affording interested persons an opportunity to submit comments, has been duly published (51 Federal Register 44,124 (1986)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the public interest factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the BHC Act. Company proposes to engage in the purchase and sale of silver and gold bullion and coins for the account of customers. Company will not engage in the purchase and sale of platinum and palladium,1 nor will it deal in gold or silver for its own account. In addition, Company does not propose to extend credit, and does not propose to offer investment advice to customers in connection with the proposed services. Applicant is a multibank holding company with three subsidiary banks in Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia, controlling total deposits of approximately $6.3 billion.2 Company has obtained 1. In Standard and Chartered Banking Group Ltd., 3 8 Federal Register 2 7 , 5 5 2 (1973), t h e B o a r d f o u n d that t h e a c t i v i t i e s o f dealing in platinum a n d p a l l a d i u m w e r e n o t a u t h o r i z e d f o r national b a n k s a n d were not closely related to banking. 2. D a t a are a s o f S e p t e m b e r 30, 1986. 310 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 approval to engage in discount securities brokerage activities permissible for bank holding companies under section 225.25(b)(15) of the Board's Regulation Y, 12 C.F.R. § 225.25(b)(15). The proposed activities of Company are essentially identical to activities previously approved by the Board.3 In addition, banks have traditionally engaged in the purchase and sale of gold and silver bullion.4 Thus, the Board concludes that Applicant's proposal to engage in the purchase and sale of bullion and coins for the account of customers is closely related to banking. In order to approve this application, the Board is also required to determine that the performance of the proposed activities by Applicant "can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public . . . that outweigh possible adverse effects . . . . " ( 1 2 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)). Consummation of Applicant's proposal will result in increased convenience to customers. In addition, the Board expects that the entry of Applicant into the market for these services will increase the level of competition among providers of these services. Accordingly, the Board concludes that the performance of the proposed activities by Applicant can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public. The Board has also considered the potential for adverse effects that may be associated with this proposal. There is no evidence in the record that consummation of the proposed transactions would result in any adverse effects such as decreased competition, undue concentration of resources, unfair competition, conflicts of interest, or unsound banking practices. Applicant's proposal to buy and sell gold and silver bullion and coins is a fee-generating, nonleveraged activity that the Board believes would not have an adverse effect on Applicant's financial resources. Accordingly, the financial and managerial resources of Applicant and its subsidiaries overall are consistent with approval of the application. Based upon a consideration of ail the facts of record, the Board concludes that the balance of the public interest factors that it is required to consider under section 4(c)(8) is favorable. Accordingly, the application is hereby approved. This determination is subject to all of the conditions set forth in the Board's Regulation Y, including those 3. Texas American Bancshares, Inc., 7 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 501 (1986); First Interstate Bancorp, 71 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 4 6 7 (1985). See also, The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corp., 7 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 345 (1986); Standard and Chartered Banking Group Ltd., 38 Federal Register 2 7 , 5 5 2 (1973). 4 . See, e.g., 12 U . S . C . § 24(7) (national b a n k s are e x p l i c i t l y permitt e d t o b u y a n d sell c o i n s a n d b u l l i o n ) . in sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b) (12 C.F.R. §§ 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)), and to the Board's authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with the provisions and purposes of the BHC Act and the Board's regulations and order issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. The activity shall be commenced not later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 9, 1987. Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Seger, Angell, and Heller. Absent and not voting: Governor Johnson. JAMES MCAFEE [SEAL] Associate Secretary of the Board ORDERS ISSUED UNDER SECTIONS 3 AND 4 OF THE BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT Maryland National Corporation Baltimore, Maryland Order Conditionally Approving the Acquisition of a Bank, a Bank Holding Company and its Nonbank Subsidiaries Maryland National Corporation, Baltimore, Maryland, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956, as amended ("BHC Act" or "Act") (12 U.S.C. § 1841 et seq.), has applied for the Board's approval under section 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to acquire American Security Corporation, Washington, D.C. ("ASC"), and thereby indirectly to acquire ASC's subsidiary bank, American Security Bank, Washington, D.C. ("Bank"). In order to effect the transaction, Applicant proposes to form an interim bank holding company subsidiary to be merged with ASC. ASC engages through two nonbanking subsidiaries in the provision of financial advice and discount brokerage services. ASC also engages directly and through one subsidiary in certain otherwise impermissible travel agency, general insurance, and real estate brokerage, leasing and property management activities on the basis of grandfather privileges provided in section 4(a)(2) of the Act, 12 U.S.C. § 1843(a)(2). Applicant has applied under section 4(c)(8) of the Act Legal Developments (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and sections 225.25(b)(4) and (b)(15) of Regulation Y (12 C.F.R. §§ 225.25(b)(4) and (b)(15)) to acquire the financial advisory and discount brokerage activities of ASC's nonbank subsidiaries. Applicant further has requested approval to retain ASC's grandfathered travel agency, general insurance, and real estate brokerage, leasing and property management activities following consummation of its proposal. Notice of the applications, affording an opportunity for interested persons to submit comments, has been given in accordance with sections 3 and 4 of the Act (51 Federal Register 37,493 (October 22, 1986)). The time for filing comments has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)) and the considerations specified in section 4(c)(8) of the Act. Applicant is the largest commercial banking organization in Maryland with 19.4 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in that state. Applicant's lead bank subsidiary operates 203 branch offices and controls total domestic deposits of $5.2 billion. ASC is the second largest commercial banking organization in the District of Columbia, with 24.7 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the District. ASC's sole bank subsidiary operates 31 branches and controls total domestic deposits of $2.5 billion.1 Section 3(d) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(d)), the Douglas Amendment, prohibits the Board from approving an application by a bank holding company to acquire control of any bank located outside of the holding company's home state,2 unless such acquisition is "specifically authorized by the statute laws of the state in which such bank is located, by language to that effect and not merely by implication." Applicant's home state is Maryland. The statute laws of the District of Columbia permit a bank holding company located within a defined region that includes Maryland to acquire an established District of Columbia bank or bank holding company, provided the acquiror's home state permits reciprocal acquisitions of banks in that state by bank holding companies located in the District.3 The Board has previously determined that the Maryland banking 1. S t a t e d e p o s i t d a t a are a s o f June 30, 1986. A p p l i c a n t a l s o o p e r a t e s a c r e d i t c a r d b a n k in D e l a w a r e . 2. A bank h o l d i n g c o m p a n y ' s h o m e state is that state in w h i c h t h e o p e r a t i o n s o f t h e b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n y ' s b a n k i n g subsidiaries w e r e principally c o n d u c t e d o n July 1, 1966, o r t h e date o n w h i c h t h e c o m p a n y b e c a m e a b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n y , w h i c h e v e r is later. 3. D . C . C o d e A n n . § 2 6 - 8 0 1 et seq. ( S u p p . 1986), a s a m e n d e d b y t h e D i s t r i c t o f C o l u m b i a R e g i o n a l Interstate B a n k i n g A c t o f 1985, D.C. Law 6-276. 311 code4 permits a District bank holding company to acquire a banking organization in that state,5 and by resolution dated October 7, 1986, the District of Columbia City Council has indicated that the statute laws of Maryland and the District are reciprocal and provide a basis for authorizing the proposed acquisition. The Board therefore concludes that approval of the proposed acquisition is not prohibited by the Douglas Amendment. Applicant's lead subsidiary bank competes with Bank in the District of Columbia banking market.6 Applicant is the seventh largest of 65 commercial banking organizations in the District of Columbia market. Applicant controls deposits of $1 billion, representing 4.5 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in that area. Bank is the fourth largest commercial banking organization in the market, controlling domestic deposits of $2.2 billion, representing 9.7 percent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Upon acquisition of Bank, Applicant would become the second largest commercial banking organization in the Washington, D.C. market and would control 14.2 percent of the $22.2 billion total deposits in commercial banks in that area.7 The Washington, D.C., banking market is unconcentrated, and would remain so after consummation of the proposed acquisition. The share of deposits held by the four largest commercial banking organizations in the market is 50.4 percent and the HerfindahlHirschman Index ("HHI") for the market is 816 points.8 An alternative definition of the District of Columbia product market to include 50 percent of the deposits held by thrift institutions would further mitigate any adverse competitive effects arising from Applicant's proposal.9 Shares of the expanded market held by Applicant and ASC would decline to 3.2 and 4. M d . Fin. Inst. C o d e A n n . § 5 - 1 0 0 1 et seq. ( S u p p . 1985). 5. James Madison, Ltd., 7 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 50 (1987). 6. T h e D i s t r i c t o f C o l u m b i a b a n k i n g m a r k e t is d e f i n e d as the W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . , R a n a l l y M e t r o p o l i t a n A r e a , w h i c h c o m p r i s e s the District o f C o l u m b i a ; all o f A r l i n g t o n , F a i r f a x a n d P r i n c e William Counties; and portions of Fauquier, L o u d o n and Stafford Counties; the cities of Alexandria, Fairfax, Falls Church, M a n a s s a s , and Manass a s Park in Virginia; a n d s u b s t a n t i a l l y all o f M o n t g o m e r y , Prince G e o r g e s , a n d C h a r l e s C o u n t i e s , p l u s small p o r t i o n s o f A n n e A r u n d e l , Calvert, Carroll, F r e d e r i c k , a n d H o w a r d C o u n t i e s in M a r y l a n d . 7. M a r k e t d e p o s i t d a t a are a s o f J u n e 30, 1985. 8. C o n s u m m a t i o n o f the p r o p o s e d t r a n s a c t i o n w o u l d i n c r e a s e t h e m a r k e t ' s H H I b y 87 t o 903 p o i n t s a n d i n c r e a s e the four-firm c o n c e n tration ratio b y 4 . 5 t o 5 4 . 9 p e r c e n t . T h e t r a n s a c t i o n , t h e r e f o r e , is unlikely to b e c h a l l e n g e d b y the D e p a r t m e n t o f J u s t i c e u n d e r its merger g u i d e l i n e s , 4 9 Federal Register 2 6 , 8 2 3 (1984). 9. T h e B o a r d h a s p r e v i o u s l y i n d i c a t e d that thrift institutions h a v e b e c o m e , or h a v e t h e potential t o b e c o m e , m a j o r c o m p e t i t o r s o f c o m m e r c i a l b a n k s . National City Corporation, 7 0 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 743 (1984); NCNB Corporation, 7 0 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 225 (1984); General Bancshares Corporation, 6 9 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 8 0 2 (1983); First Tennessee National Corporation, 6 9 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 298 (1983). 312 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 6.9 percent respectively, and the HHI would increase 44 points to 466. The Board notes that numerous large commercial banking organizations currently operate in the District of Columbia market and several others have undertaken plans to establish a presence there. On the basis of these and all other facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposed transaction would not have a significant adverse effect on existing or probable future competition in the District of Columbia market. The financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Applicant, ASC and their respective bank subsidiaries are consistent with approval of the application. Considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the communities to be served are also consistent with approval. The Board has also considered Applicant's proposed acquisition of ASC's subsidiaries engaged in financial advisory and discount brokerage activities under the proper incident to banking criteria of section 4(c)(8) of the Act. The market for these activities is nationwide and unconcentrated. Because Applicant does not currently provide financial advisory services and because Applicant's share of the discount brokerage market is de minimis, the proposed acquisition of ASC's two nonbanking subsidiaries would not eliminate any significant existing competition. In view of the great number of prospective providers of financial advisory and discount brokerage services, the proposed acquisition is unlikely to have a significant adverse effect on probable future competition. Furthermore, there is no evidence in the record to indicate that approval of this aspect of Applicant's proposal would result in undue concentration of resources, unfair competition, conflicts of interest, unsound banking practices or other adverse effects. The Board therefore concludes that the balance of public interest factors it must consider under section 4(c)(8) of the Act is favorable and consistent with approval of Applicant's request to engage in permissible financial advisory and discount brokerage activities. In addition to its applications under section 4(c)(8), Applicant seeks further approval from the Board to retain certain otherwise impermissible travel agency, general insurance, and real estate brokerage, leasing and property management activities conducted directly by ASC and one insurance subsidiary. ASC has conducted these activities on the basis of a grandfather provision in the Act for certain bank holding companies that, like ASC, were brought within the coverage of the Act as a result of enactment of the 1970 Amendments.10 10. See, B o a r d Order, d a t e d July 21, 1976, c o n c l u d i n g that A S C c o u l d retain t h e s e o t h e r w i s e i m p e r m i s s i b l e n o n b a n k i n g a c t i v i t i e s u n d e r t h e g r a n d f a t h e r p r o v i s i o n in s e c t i o n 4(a)(2) o f t h e A c t . Based on a careful analysis of section 4 of the BHC Act, its legislative history, and prior Board decisions, the Board concludes that grandfather privileges provided by section 4(a)(2) of the Act are proprietary to those companies which qualified for the grandfather privilege as of December 31, 1970, and that a company may not acquire such grandfather privileges by acquiring a company that previously qualified for such privileges. Section 4 of the BHC Act prohibits a bank holding company from acquiring direct or indirect ownership or control of any company (other than a bank) or engaging in activities other than banking or managing or controlling banks unless the acquisition or activity falls within one of the specifically enumerated exceptions in the Act to this general prohibition. 12 U.S.C. § 1841(a). While there is an exception to this prohibition for one-bank holding companies that were first brought under the Act by the 1970 Amendments,11 the exception does not by its terms apply to Applicant. The section of the Act upon which ASC relies for its grandfather privileges (section 4(a)(2)) pertains only to a "company covered in 1970." Under section 4(a)(2) of the Act, a "company covered in 1970" may engage in any nonbanking activity in which it was lawfully engaged on June 30, 1968, and continuously since that date. A "company covered in 1970" is defined to mean a company that became a bank holding company as a result of the 1970 Amendments and that would have been a bank holding company on June 30,1968, if those amendments had been in effect on that date. 12 U.S.C. § 1841(b). This grandfather right applies only to a company that: (1) involuntarily became a bank holding company by operation of law when the 1970 Amendments were passed, 12 and (2) would have been a bank holding company on June 30, 1968, had the Act applied to one-bank holding companies on that date.13 Applicant does not qualify as a "company covered in 1970" because it did not control a bank on the June 30, 1968, grandfather date.14 Further, there is no provision in the BHC Act for the transfer of grandfa11. Prior t o the 1970 A m e n d m e n t s ( e n a c t e d o n D e c e m b e r 31, 1970), the B H C A c t a p p l i e d o n l y t o c o m p a n i e s that c o n t r o l l e d t w o o r m o r e b a n k s . T h e 1970 A m e n d m e n t s e x t e n d e d the c o v e r a g e o f t h e A c t t o o n e - b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n i e s f o r t h e first t i m e . 12. See, Orwig and Company, Inc., 6 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 1 6 0 ( 1 9 7 5 ) . 13. A g r a n d f a t h e r e d c o m p a n y is n o t f r e e t o c o n d u c t a n y n o n b a n k ing a c t i v i t y it d e s i r e s . It m a y c o n t i n u e t o e n g a g e o n l y in t h o s e a c t i v i t i e s in w h i c h it h a d b e e n e n g a g e d c o n t i n u o u s l y s i n c e June 30, 1968 (as w e l l a s a n y a d d i t i o n a l a c t i v i t i e s that are g e n e r a l l y p e r m i s s i b l e f o r b a n k h o l d i n g c o m p a n i e s ) . A g r a n d f a t h e r e d c o m p a n y m a y not e x p a n d its g r a n d f a t h e r e d a c t i v i t i e s t h r o u g h t h e a c q u i s i t i o n o f a g o i n g c o n c e r n , b u t i n s t e a d is l i m i t e d t o t h e a c q u i s i t i o n of de novo c o m p a n i e s . 12 U . S . C . §§ 1843(a)(2) a n d ( c ) ( l l ) . 14. A p p l i c a n t w a s o r g a n i z e d o n D e c e m b e r 9, 1968, a n d o b t a i n e d c o n t r o l o f a b a n k o n April 30, 1969. Legal Developments ther rights from one bank holding company to another, unless, under a Board interpretation, the second company qualifies as the "successor" to the first company.15 A "successor" is defined in the Act as a company that acquires a bank from a bank holding company in such a manner that there is no substantial change in the control of the bank or the beneficial ownership of that bank.16 Here, because there is a complete change in the ownership of ASC's shares, Applicant is not a "successor" as that term is used in the BHC Act. Thus, under the terms of section 4 of the BHC Act, Applicant may not acquire control of a company engaged in the nonbanking activities in question. The fact that the proposed acquisition is to be made through the intermediary of a grandfathered bank holding company does not change this result, because Applicant must also independently qualify under the Act to acquire the company. Applicant contends that because ASC will continue to exist as a separate holding company after the acquisition, ASC should be entitled to retain its grandfather status and continue to engage in otherwise impermissible nonbanking activities. In other words, Applicant argues that ASC does not forego its status as a "grandfathered" bank holding company even though it becomes a subsidiary of Applicant, a non-grandfathered bank holding company. This argument incorrectly focuses on whether ASC may continue to engage in grandfathered activities, and ignores the more fundamental question whether Applicant may acquire a company engaged in such activities. While it is true that the BHC Act permits ASC to continue to engage in grandfathered activities, Applicant as an acquiring bank holding company must also comply with the nonbanking restrictions of the Act. As noted, there is a strict prohibition against a bank holding company acquiring directly or indirectly any company engaged in nonbanking activities unless they are closely related to banking (or qualify under one of the other limited exceptions in the Act). There is no provision in the Act excusing compliance by a bank holding company with this prohibition in the case of the acquisition of a company exercising grandfather 15. Hathdel, Inc., 38 Federal Register 2 1 , 2 2 0 (1973) See also, American Security Corp., supra. 16. 12 U . S . C . § 1841(e). 17. A p p l i c a n t c o n t e n d s that its c l a i m t o A S C ' s grandfather privil e g e s is s u p p o r t e d b y t h e B o a r d ' s BankAmerica/Seafirst decision, 69 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 5 6 8 (1983), in w h i c h t h e B o a r d permitted Seafirst t o c o n t i n u e t o sell credit-related p r o p e r t y a n d c a s u a l t y i n s u r a n c e (an a c t i v i t y w h i c h h a d b e e n a p p r o v e d b y the B o a r d ) f o l l o w i n g its a c q u i s i t i o n b y B a n k A m e r i c a , w h i c h h a d n e v e r s e c u r e d B o a r d a p p r o v a l t o sell s u c h i n s u r a n c e . R e l i a n c e o n this d e c i s i o n b y A p p l i c a n t is m i s p l a c e d . Seafirst c l a i m e d grandfather rights t o c o n t i n u e t o sell c r e d i t - r e l a t e d i n s u r a n c e u n d e r the G a r n - S t G e r m a i n D e p o s i t o r y I n s t i t u t i o n s A c t o f 1982, P u b l i c L a w 9 7 - 3 2 0 , rather than u n d e r t h e indefinite g r a n d f a t h e r p r o v i s i o n s o f s e c t i o n 4(a)(2) o f the A c t . 313 privileges under section 4(a)(2) of the Act.17 Further, the Board notes that interpreting the Act to permit the acquisition of a grandfathered company would open a substantial loophole in the Act by allowing a nongrandfathered holding company to engage in a wide variety of nonbanking activities by acquiring one or more of the numerous bank holding companies with existing grandfather rights. The legislative history of the 1970 Amendments also demonstrates that the grandfather provision in question was intended only for the select companies that qualified for the privilege in 1970, and that it was not a transferable right that could be passed from one bank holding company to another.18 Prior Board determinations have uniformly construed the grandfather provision in a narrow manner and have restricted the ability to transfer such rights. In Wyoming Bancorporation,19 the Board conditioned the acquisition of a bank holding company with grandfathered insurance agency activities on the cessation of those activities by the acquiring bank holding company, since "grandfather rights may not be transferred." Likewise, in Hathdel, Inc., supra., the Board permitted a company to acquire and retain the grandfathered rights of an existing one-bank holding company, but only because the succeeding company qualified as a "successor" to the existing holding company.20 The narrow interpretation given the grandfather provisions may also be illustrated by the decision of the Board in Orwig and Company, Inc.21 The Board determined that in order to be a "company covered in 1970" the company must have controlled the same bank on June 30, 1968, and December 31, 1970, and 18. See e.g., 115 C o n g . R e c . S 15,700 (daily e d . S e p t e m b e r 16, 1970) ( R e m a r k s o f S e n a t o r Hart): When any legislative body is asked to pass a grandfather clause, it is either engaged in the process of balancing equities or of conferring a benefit on a select group and denying the same to all others. The only group with any equities in this case are those one-bank holding companies formed in line with the historical purposes of the exemption. A c c o r d : 115 C o n g . R e c . S 1 5 , 7 0 1 - 2 (daily e d . S e p t e m b e r 16, 1970) ( R e m a r k s o f S e n a t o r P r o x m i r e ) ; 116 C o n g . R e c . S 15,691 (daily e d . S e p t e m b e r 16, 1970) ( R e m a r k s o f S e n a t o r W i l l i a m s ) relating t o a n a n a l o g o u s p r o p o s e d g r a n d f a t h e r p r o v i s i o n ; 116 C o n g . R e c . S 15,695 (daily e d . S e p t e m b e r 16, 1970) ( R e m a r k s o f S e n a t o r M o n d a l e ) ; 116 C o n g . R e c . H 11,792 (daily e d . D e c e m b e r 16, 1970), reprinting letter, d a t e d N o v e m b e r 17, 1970, f r o m D e p u t y A t t o r n e y G e n e r a l R i c h a r d G . Kleindeinst. 19. 5 9 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 180 (1973). 20. See, MorAmerica Financial Corp., 39 Federal Register 3 6 , 3 9 1 (1974), w h e r e t h e B o a r d d e n i e d " s u c c e s s o r " status t o a c o m p a n y seeking to merge with another bank holding c o m p a n y which had grandfather rights. In this d e c i s i o n , t h e B o a r d n o t e d that the legislative h i s t o r y o f the s t a t u t e i n d i c a t e s that t h e p u r p o s e o f the " s u c c e s s o r " p r o v i s i o n w a s t o c l o s e a l o o p h o l e in t h e A c t , a n d n o t t o e x p a n d the grandfather e x e m p t i o n s t o s e c t i o n 4. 21. 6 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 160 (1975). 314 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 continuously between those dates. The Board based this conclusion on the rationale that grandfather provisions were enacted because of a legislative concern about the disruption of holding company relationships that existed from at least June 30, 1968. The Board concluded that if a company controlled one bank on June 30, 1968, and voluntarily relinquished that control position prior to the enactment of the 1970 Amendments, it was not within the scope of the Congress' concern, even though it may have acquired control of a different bank prior to December 31, 1970. The Board also notes that its interpretation of the grandfather provisions of the Act is in accord with general principles of statutory construction. The grandfather provision in section 4(a)(2) is an exception to the general requirement of the Act requiring the divestiture of non-conforming nonbanking activities or divestiture of all subsidiary banks. Under the rules of statutory interpretation, an exception to a general rule is to be narrowly construed.22 The Board also notes that the statement by the House managers for the 1970 Amendments states that the Board should interpret exemptions in those amendments "as narrowly as possible in order that all bank holding companies which should be covered under the Act in order to protect the public interest will, in fact, be covered." 23 For the foregoing reasons, the Board has concluded that Applicant may not acquire ASC except on condition that ASC terminate or divest its impermissible nonbanking activities. In accordance with its policy,24 the Board believes it appropriate to provide Applicant with a period of time to divest or terminate ASC's impermissible nonbanking activities or to conform them to the Act. Accordingly, approval of this application is conditioned upon Applicant's divestiture or termination, within two years of consummation of the proposal, of ASC's impermissible nonbanking activities, unless within that time Applicant secures Board approval to retain any of the activities under section 4(c)(8) of the Act. Based on the foregoing and other facts of record and conditioned upon Applicant's divestiture of ASC's previously grandfathered travel agency, general insurance, and real estate brokerage, leasing and property management activities within two years from the date of consummation of the proposal, the Board has determined that the applications under sections 3(a)(3) and 4(c)(8) should be, and hereby are approved. The acquisition of ASC and Bank shall not be consummated before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or later than three months after the effective of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, acting pursuant to delegated authority. The determinations as to Applicant's nonbanking activities are subject to all of the conditions contained in Regulation Y, including those in sections 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3) (12 C.F.R. §§ 225.4(d) and 225.23(b)(3)), and to the Board's authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with the provisions and purposes of the Act and the Board's regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasions thereof. By order of the Board of Governors, effective February 13, 1987. 22. See e.g., Honeywell Inc. v. United States, 551 F . 2 d 182, 186 (Ct. CI. 1981) (grandfather c l a u s e s are t o b e n a r r o w l y c o n s t r u e d ) ; United States v. Allan Drug Corp., 357 F . 2 d 7134, 7 1 8 (10th Cir. 1966) (same). 23. H . R . R e p . N o . 1747, 9 1 s t C o n g . 2d S e s s . 23 (1970). 24. See, Security Pacific Corporation, 7 2 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN 800, 802, n . 1 2 (1986). Voting for this action: Chairman Volcker and Governors Johnson, Seger, and Angell. Absent and not voting: Governor Heller. WILLIAM W . WILES [SEAL] Secretary of the Board Legal Developments 315 ORDERS APPROVED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT By the Board of Governors Recent applications have been approved by the Board of Governors as listed below. Copies are available upon request to Publications Services, Division of Support Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Section 3 Applicant Oregon Pacific Financial, Inc., Portland, Oregon By Federal Reserve Effective ^^ Bank(s) Santiam Valley Bank, Aumsville, Oregon February 25, 1987 Banks Recent applications have been approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. Copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. Section 3 Applicant Cattlemen's Financial Services, Inc., Austin, Texas CCSB Corporation, Charlevoix, Michigan Central Wisconsin Bankshares, Inc., Wausau, Wisconsin Commerce Bancshares, Inc., Greenwood, Mississippi Commerce Union Corporation, Nashville, Tennessee Conover Bancorporation, Creston, Iowa CB&T Bancshares, Inc., Columbus, Georgia F & M National Corporation, Winchester, Virginia First of America Bank Corporation, Kalamazoo, Michigan Bank(s) Reserve Bank Effective date Cattlemen's State Bank, Austin, Texas Dallas February 5, 1987 Charlevoix County State Bank, Charlevoix, Michigan Bank of Plover, Plover, Wisconsin Chicago February 6, 1987 Chicago February 12, 1987 Bank of Commerce, Greenwood, Mississippi First National Bancorp of Lewisburg, Inc., Lewisburg, Tennessee The First National Bank in Creston, Creston, Iowa First Community Bancshares of Tifton, Inc., Tifton, Georgia The Middleburg National Bank, Middleburg, Virginia Lewiston State Bank, Lewiston, Michigan St. Louis February 9, 1987 Atlanta February 3, 1987 Chicago February 6, 1987 Atlanta February 11, 1987 Richmond February 17, 1987 Chicago February 20, 1987 316 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 Section 3—Continued . i• . Applicant First State Bancshares, Inc., Farmington, Missouri Founders Bancorp, Inc., Scottsdale, Arizona Hartland Bancshares, Inc., Hartland, Minnesota Hawaii National Bancshares, Inc., Honolulu, Hawaii Key Centurion Bancshares, Inc., Charleston, West Virginia Key Centurion Bancshares, Inc., Charleston, West Virginia NBD Bancorp, Inc., Detroit, Michigan NBD Valley Corporation, Detroit, Michigan Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Pacific National Bancshares, Inc., Chesterfield, Missouri Ranco Bancshares, Inc., Spur, Texas Southwest Bancshares, Inc., Hermitage, Missouri Turner Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Kansas r, , , . Bank(s) Reserve , Bank Effective , date Iron County Security Bank, Ironton, Missouri Founders Bank of Arizona, Scottsdale, Arizona Farmers State Bank of Hartland, Hartland, Minnesota Hawaii National Bank, Hololulu, Hawaii St. Louis February 11, 1987 San Francisco February 13, 1987 Minneapolis February 5, 1987 San Francisco January 14, 1987 Union Bancorp of West Virginia, Inc., Clarksburg, West Virginia Wayne Bancorp, Inc., Wayne, West Virginia Richmond February 11, 1987 Richmond February 11, 1987 USAmeribancs, Inc., Highland Park, Illinois Chicago January 27, 1987 Dial Bank, Sioux Falls, South Dakota Commerce Bank of Pacific, N.A., Pacific, Missouri Minneapolis February 23, 1987 St. Louis February 5, 1987 Sudan Bancshares, Inc., Sudan, Texas Buffalo Bank, Buffalo, Missouri First National Bank, Republic, Missouri Citizens State Bank of Polk County, Bolivar, Missouri Humansville Bank, Humansville, Missouri Kaw Valley Bancshares, Inc., Kansas City, Kansas Dallas February 4, 1987 Kansas City November 28, 1986 Kansas City January 22, 1987 Legal Developments 317 Section 4 Applicant Banc One Corporation, Columbus, Ohio Deposit Guaranty Corporation, Jackson, Mississippi First Commerce Corporation, New Orleans, Louisiana First Capital Corporation, Jackson, Mississippi Hibernia Corporation, New Orleans, Louisiana First National Financial Corporation, Vicksburg, Mississippi Eastman National Bankshares, Inc., Newkirk, Oklahoma Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota Norwest Corporation, Minneapolis, Minnesota San Diego Financial Corporation, San Diego, California Nonbanking Compan y/Acti vity Reserve Bank Effective date Cleveland January 22, 1987 Atlanta February 24, 1987 Eastman Company, Newkirk, Oklahoma Kansas City December 24, 1986 financing, credit-related insurance, and data processing home mortgage redemption insurance joint venture reinsurance of group credit insurance risk Minneapolis February 23, 1987 Minneapolis February 23, 1987 San Francisco February 5, 1987 American Fletcher Mortgage Company, Inc., Indianapolis, Indiana American Fletcher Financial Services, Inc., Marion, Indiana GulfNet, Inc., New Orleans, Louisiana Sections 3 and 4 . .. FNB Corp, Mount Clemens, Michigan Bank(s)/Nonbanking Company First National Bank in Mount Clemens, Mount Clemens, Michigan credit life and disability reinsurance directly related to extensions of credit Reserve Bank Chicago Effective date December 30, 1986 318 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 ORDERS APPROVED UNDER BANK MERGER ACT By Federal Reserve Banks Applicant M&I Marshall & Ilsley Bank, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Orrville Savings Bank, Orrville, Ohio Effective date Bank(s) M&I Bay View State Bank, Milwaukee, Wisconsin M&I Silver Spring Bank, Milwaukee, Wisconsin M&I Bank of Greenfield, Greenfield, Wisconsin Orrville Interim Bank, Orrville, Ohio Chicago January 30, 1987 Cleveland February 10, 1987 PENDING CASES INVOLVING THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS This list of pending cases does not include suits against the Federal Reserve Banks in which the Board of Governors is not named a party. Jones v. Volcker, No. 87-0427 (D.D.C., filed Feb. 19, 1987). Bankers Trust New York Corp. v. Board of Governors, No. 87-1035 (D.C. Cir., filed Jan. 23, 1987). Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, et al, No. 87-1030 (D.C.Cir., filed Jan. 20, 1987). Grimm v. Board of Governors, No. 87-4006 (2nd Cir., filed Jan. 16, 1987). Independent Insurance Agents of America, et al. v. Board of Governors, Nos. 86-1572, 1573, 1576 (D.C. Cir., filed Oct. 24, 1986). Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, No. 86-2768 (D.D.C., filed Oct. 7, 1986). Independent Community Bankers Association of South Dakota v. Board of Governors, No. 86-5373 (8th Cir., filed Oct. 3, 1986). Jenkins v. Board of Governors, No. 86-1419 (D.C. Cir., filed July 18, 1986). Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, No. 86-1412 (D.C. Cir., filed July 14, 1986). Adkins v. Board of Governors, No. 86-3853 (4th Cir., filed May 14, 1986). Optical Coating Laboratory, Inc. v. United States, No. 288-86C (U.S. Claims Ct., filed May 6, 1986). CBC, Inc. v. Board of Governors, No. 86-1001 (10th Cir., filed Jan. 2, 1986). Howe v. United States, et al., No. 86-889 (U.S. S.Ct. filed Dec. 6, 1985). Myers, et al. v. Federal Reserve Board, No. 85-1427 (D. Idaho, filed Nov. 18, 1985). Souser, et al. v. Volcker, et al., No. 85-C-2370, et al. (D. Colo., filed Nov. 1, 1985). Podolak v. Volcker, No. C85-0456, et al. (D. Wyo., filed Oct. 28, 1985). Kolb v. Wilkinson, et al., No. C85-4184 (N.D. Iowa, filed Oct. 22, 1985). Farmer v. Wilkinson, et al., No. 4-85-CIVIL-1448 (D. Minn., filed Oct. 21, 1985). Kurkowski v. Wilkinson, et al., No. CV-85-0-916 (D. Neb., filed Oct. 16, 1985). Alfson v. Wilkinson, et al., No. Al-85-267 (D. N.D., filed Oct. 8, 1985). Independent Community Bankers Associaton of South Dakota v. Board of Governors, No. 84-1496 (D.C. Cir., filed Aug. 7, 1985). Legal Developments Urwyler, et al. v. Internal Revenue Service, et al., No. 85-2877 (9th Cir., filed July 18, 1985). Wight, et al. v. Internal Revenue Service, et al., No. 85-2826 (9th Cir., filed July 12, 1985). Florida Bankers Association v. Board of Governors, No. 84-3883 and No. 84-3884 (11th Cir., filed Feb. 15, 1985). Florida Department of Banking v. Board of Governors, No. 84-3831 (11th Cir., filed Feb. 15, 1985), and No. 84-3832 (11th Cir., filed Feb. 15, 1985). Lewis v. Volcker, et al, No. 86-3210 (6th Cir., filed Jan. 14, 1985). 319 Brown v. United States Congress, et al., No. 84-28876(IG) (S.D. Cal., filed Dec. 7, 1984). Melcher v. Federal Open Market Committee, No. 841335 (D.D.C., filed Apr. 30, 1984). Florida Bankers Association, et al. v. Board of Governors, Nos. 84-3269, 84-3270 (11th Cir., filed April 20, 1984). Securities Industry Association v. Board of Governors, No. 86-5089, et al. (D.C. Cir., filed Oct. 24., 1980). 1 Financial and Business Statistics CONTENTS Domestic WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS Financial Statistics MONEY STOCK AND BANK CREDIT Reserves, money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A4 Reserves of depository institutions, Reserve Bank credit A5 Reserves and borrowings—Depository institutions A5 Selected borrowings in immediately available funds—Large member banks A19 A20 A21 A22 Assets and liabilities All reporting banks Banks in New York City Branches and agencies of foreign banks Gross demand deposits—individuals, partnerships, and corporations A3 POLICY INSTRUMENTS A6 A7 A8 A9 Federal Reserve Bank interest rates Reserve requirements of depository institutions Maximum interest rates payable on time and savings deposits at federally insured institutions Federal Reserve open market transactions FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS A10 Condition and Federal Reserve note statements A l l Maturity distribution of loan and security holdings MONETARY AND CREDIT AGGREGATES A12 Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base A13 Money stock, liquid assets, and debt measures A15 Bank debits and deposit turnover A16 Loans and securities—All commercial banks COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS A17 Major nondeposit funds A18 Assets and liabilities, last-Wednesday-of-month series FINANCIAL MARKETS A23 Commercial paper and bankers dollar acceptances outstanding A23 Prime rate charged by banks on short-term business loans A24 Interest rates—money and capital markets A25 Stock market—Selected statistics A26 Selected financial institutions—Selected assets and liabilities FEDERAL FINANCE A28 A29 A30 A30 Federal fiscal and financing operations U.S. budget receipts and outlays Federal debt subject to statutory limitation Gross public debt of U.S. Treasury—Types and ownership A31 U.S. government securities dealers— Transactions A32 U.S. government securities dealers—Positions and financing A33 Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies—Debt outstanding SECURITIES MARKETS AND CORPORATE FINANCE A34 New security issues—State and local governments and corporations A35 Open-end investment companies—Net sales and asset position A35 Corporate profits and their distribution 2 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 A36 Nonfinancial corporations—Assets and liabilities A36 Total nonfarm business expenditures on new plant and equipment A37 Domestic finance companies—Assets and liabilities and business credit A54 Foreign official assets held at Federal Reserve Banks A55 Foreign branches of U.S. banks—Balance sheet data A57 Selected U.S. liabilities to foreign official institutions REAL ESTATE REPORTED BY BANKS IN THE UNITED STATES A38 Mortgage markets A39 Mortgage debt outstanding A57 A58 A60 A61 CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT A40 Total outstanding and net change A41 Terms Liabilities to and claims on foreigners Liabilities to foreigners Banks' own claims on foreigners Banks' own and domestic customers' claims on foreigners A61 Banks' own claims on unaffiliated foreigners A62 Claims on foreign countries—Combined domestic offices and foreign branches REPORTED BY NONBANKING BUSINESS ENTERPRISES IN THE UNITED STATES FLOW OF FUNDS A42 Funds raised in U.S. credit markets A43 Direct and indirect sources of funds to credit markets A63 Liabilities to unaffiliated foreigners A64 Claims on unaffiliated foreigners Domestic SECURITIES HOLDINGS AND Nonfinancial Statistics SELECTED MEASURES A44 Nonfinancial business activity—Selected measures A45 Labor force, employment, and unemployment A46 Output, capacity, and capacity utilization A47 Industrial production—Indexes and gross value A49 Housing and construction A50 Consumer and producer prices A51 Gross national product and income A52 Personal income and saving International Statistics SUMMARY STATISTICS A53 U.S. international transactions—Summary A54 U.S. foreign trade A54 U.S. reserve assets TRANSACTIONS A65 Foreign transactions in securities A66 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes— Foreign transactions INTEREST AND EXCHANGE RATES A67 Discount rates of foreign central banks A67 Foreign short-term interest rates A68 Foreign exchange rates A69 Guide to Tabular Statistical Releases, Tables Presentation, and Special Money Stock and Bank Credit 1.10 A3 RESERVES, MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Monetary and credit aggregates (annual rates of change, seasonally adjusted in percent) 1 Item 1986' Q1 Q3 Q4 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. institutions2 1 2 3 4 Reserves of depository Total Required Nonborrowed Monetary base 3 5 6 7 8 9 Concepts of money, liquid assets, and debt4 Ml M2 M3 L Debt Nontransaction 10 In M25 11 In M3 only 6 Q2 1987 1986' 13.1 12.3 19.1 8.3 18.0 19.8 17.9 9.0 23.5 23.9 23.8 10.1 21.5 19.9 22.4 10.3 11.5 12.0 8.4 5.7 13.7 13.4 17.9 9.2 32.6 27.7 35.2 13.4 40.5 32.3 39.3 14.1 21.7 28.8 27.4 16.0 8.8 5.3 7.7 8.1 15.5 15.5 9.4 8.7 7.1 10.3 16.5 10.6 9.7 8.2 12.0 17.0 9.1 7.9 8.2 11.5 10.7 7.9 8.8 8.9 11.9 14.4 10.6 7.2 7.8 9.3 18.8 6.2 6.0 7.4 12.1 30.5 10.3 9.7 9.0 13.5 11.7 9.3 8.8 n.a. n.a. 4.2 17.3 7.4 6.1 8.6 6.4 6.4 3.4 6.9 12.7 9.3 -6.3 1.8 5.4 3.4 7.0 8.4 6.8 1.9 3.9 16.0 13.4 -2.5 -3.5 25.0 -7.5 -1.5 36.9 -10.7 .4 31.4 -9.2 -1.2 40.0 -13.2 -6.2 36.2 -13.3 7.1 34.4 -3.9 8.3 41.2 .0 15.2 5.9 4.8 6.6 16.0 .3 11.2 21.0 -3.4 2.8 23.0 -6.4 -7.3 18.9 -3.6 -4.5 25.8 -8.2 -9.8 21.7 -8.2 -12.2 19.6 -6.8 -5.4 29.5 -5.9 -10.1 17.0 15.0 12.7 11.6 9.8 4.1 14.5 11.2 10.6 12.6 11.1 9.1 11.4 12.0 13.0 9.8 9.2 2.2 16.0 10.9 8.8 18.6 11.9 17.4 n.a. n.a. 18.4 components Time and savings deposits Commercial banks Savings 7 Small-denomination time 8 Large-denomination time 9,10 Thrift institutions 15 Savings 7 16 Small-denomination time 17 Large-denomination time 9 12 13 14 Debt components4 18 Federal 19 Nonfederal 20 Total loans and securities at commercial banks" 1. Unless otherwise noted, rates of change are calculated from average amounts outstanding in preceding month or quarter. 2. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act and other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. To adjust for discontinuities due to changes in reserve requirements on reservable nondeposit liabilities, the sum of such required reserves is subtracted from the actual series. Similarly, in adjusting for discontinuities in the monetary base, required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float also are subtracted from the actual series. 3. The monetary base not adjusted for discontinuities consists of total reserves plus required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float at Federal Reserve Banks plus the currency component of the money stock less the amount of vault cash holdings of thrift institutions that is included in the currency component of the money stock plus, for institutions not having required reserve balances, the excess of current vault cash over the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. After the introduction of contemporaneous reserve requirements (CRR), currency and vault cash figures are measured over the weekly computation period ending Monday. Before CRR, all components of the monetary base other than excess reserves are seasonally adjusted as a whole, rather than by component, and excess reserves are added on a not seasonally adjusted basis. After CRR, the seasonally adjusted series consists of seasonally adjusted total reserves, which include excess reserves on a not seasonally adjusted basis, plus the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock plus the remaining items seasonally adjusted as a whole. 4. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: Ml: (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of commercial banks; (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to domestic banks, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) other checkable deposits (OCD) consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. The currency and demand deposit components exclude the estimated amount of vault cash and demand deposits respectively held by thrift institutions to service their OCD liabilities. M2: Ml plus overnight (and continuing contract) repurchase agreements (RPs) issued by all commercial banks and overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide, Money Market Deposit Accounts (MMDAs), savings and small-denomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Also excludes all balances held by U.S. commercial banks, money market funds (general purpose and broker/dealer), foreign governments and commercial banks, and the U.S. government. Also subtracted is a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of demand deposits and vault cash held by thrift institutions to service their time and savings deposits. M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits and term RP liabilities (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by commercial banks and thrift institutions, term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada, and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt, institution-only money market mutual funds. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Also subtracted is a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper and bankers acceptances, net of money market mutual fund holdings of these assets. Debt: Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. government, state and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors. Private debt consists of corporate bonds, mortgages, consumer credit (including bank loans), other bank loans, commercial paper, bankers acceptances, and other debt instruments. The source of data on domestic nonfinancial debt is the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts. Debt data are based on monthly averages. Growth rates for debt reflect adjustments for discontinuities over time in the levels of debt presented in other tables. 5. Sum of overnight RPs and Eurodollars, money market fund balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits less the estimated amount of demand deposits and vault cash held by thrift institutions to service their time and savings deposit liabilities. 6. Sum of large time deposits, term RPs, and Eurodollars of U.S. residents, money market fund balances (institution-only), less a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. 7. Excludes MMDAs. 8. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs—are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All IRA and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrifts are subtracted from small time deposits. 9. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 10. Large-denomination time deposits at commercial banks less those held by money market mutual funds, depository institutions, and foreign banks and official institutions. 11. Changes calculated from figures shown in table 1.23. A4 1.11 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS A N D RESERVE BANK CREDIT Millions of dollars Monthly averages of daily figures Factors Weekly averages of daily figures for week ending 1987 1986 1986 1987 Nov. Dec. 219,190 226,527 230,490 224,476 227,065 232,826 231,444 229,012 227,489 234,201 193,043 192,284 759 7,968 7,867 101 0 802 974 16,403 11,065 5,018 17,516 199,939 197,057 2,882 8,129 7,829 300 829 1,302 16,328 11,065 5,018 17,541 202,966 199,842 3,124 8,268 7,786 482 0 586 1,712 16,958 11,060 5,018 17,593 198,668 197,512 1,156 7,956 7,829 127 0 644 1,094 16,113 11,067 5,018 17,538 200,640 197,069 3,571 8,064 7,829 235 0 554 1,413 16,395 11,065 5,018 17,548 203,718 197,175 6,543 8,604 7,829 775 0 1,818 1,764 16,922 11,064 5,018 17,558 204,343 198,500 5,843 8,605 7,829 776 0 698 951 16,847 11,062 5,018 17,569 203,060 200,393 2,667 8,036 7,829 207 0 311 751 16,854 11,058 5,018 17,583 201,377 200,589 788 7,862 7,798 64 0 398 1,051 16,801 11,059 5,018 17,597 203,376 200,250 3,126 8,398 7,719 679 0 979 4,324 17,123 11,059 5,018 17,611 205,069 456 209,228 435 207,962 437 208,350 436 209,759 433 211,636 430 211,199 434 208,782 433 206,978 434 205,945 443 3,117 233 3,658 232 9,824 226 3,524 266 3,391 211 5,340 237 5,959 241 4,306 221 9,302 217 16,853 230 2,064 522 2,230 477 2,353 506 2,421 539 2,273 390 2,219 458 2,281 850 2,619 351 2,268 394 2,183 460 Jan. Dec. 17 Dec. 24 Dec. 31 Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 Jan. 28 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 1 Reserve Bank credit U.S. government securities 1 2 3 Bought outright 4 Held under repurchase agreements.... Federal agency obligations 5 6 Bought outright Held under repurchase agreements 7 8 Acceptances Loans 9 10 Float 11 Other Federal Reserve assets 12 Gold stock 2 13 Special drawing rights certificate a c c o u n t . . . . 14 Treasury currency outstanding ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 15 Currency in circulation 16 Treasury cash holdings 2 Deposits, other than reserve balances, with Federal Reserve Banks 17 Treasury 18 Foreign 19 Service-related balances and adjustments 20 Other 21 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 22 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 3 6,345 6,404 6,412 6,406 6,411 6,425 6,163 6,452 6,360 6,451 34,984 37,488 36,441 36,158 37,828 39,723 37,967 39,507 35,210 35,323 End-of-month figures 1986 Wednesday figures 1987 1986 1987 Nov. Dec. 221,673 241,760 230,331 230,336 228,775 241,760 229,514 230,747 231,483 234,730 196,293 194,876 1,417 8,177 7,829 348 0 557 748 15,898 211,316 197,625 13,691 10,143 7,829 2,314 0 1,565 1,261 17,475 202,486 199,318 3,168 8,576 7,719 857 0 513 716 18,040 200,631 197,418 3,213 8,234 7,829 405 0 1,965 2,974 16,532 200,491 196,742 3,749 8,127 7,829 298 0 468 2,619 17,070 211,316 197,625 13,691 10,143 7,829 2,314 0 1,565 1,261 17,475 202,484 198,625 3,859 8,404 7,829 575 0 334 1,510 16,782 204,608 198,183 6,425 8,206 7,829 377 0 325 333 17,275 204,438 202,032 2,406 7,922 7,719 203 0 382 1,823 16,918 204,412 201,565 2,847 8,442 7,719 723 0 3,923 756 17,197 11,070 5,018 17,517 11,064 5,018 17,567 11,062 5,018 17,623 11,068 5,018 17,547 11,064 5,018 17,557 11,064 5,018 17,567 11,058 5,018 17,581 11,056 5,018 17,595 11,059 5,018 17,609 11,059 5,018 17,623 206,878 445 211,995 427 205,374 446 208,754 437 211,051 430 211,995 427 210,248 433 207,867 431 206,646 434 205,643 443 2,529 225 7,588 287 15,746 226 4,536 345 3,681 177 7,588 287 4,070 184 5,549 226 15,742 240 17,744 236 1,802 425 1,812 917 1,786 453 1,805 471 1,812 375 1,812 917 1,813 300 1,814 359 1,804 330 1,804 517 Jan. Dec. 17 Dec. 24 Dec. 31 Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 Jan. 28 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 23 Reserve Bank credit 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 U.S. government securities 1 Bought outright Held under repurchase a g r e e m e n t s . . . . Federal agency obligations Bought outright Held under repurchase a g r e e m e n t s . . . . Acceptances Loans Float Other Federal Reserve assets 34 Gold stock 2 35 Special drawing rights certificate account 36 Treasury currency outstanding ... ABSORBING RESERVE F U N D S 37 Currency in circulation 38 Treasury cash holdings 2 Deposits, other than reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 39 Treasury 40 Foreign 41 Service-related balances and adjustments 42 Other 43 Other Federal Reserve liabilities and capital 44 Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks 3 6,480 6,088 7,201 6,257 6,415 6,088 6,275 6,298 6,157 6,303 36,494 46,295 32,802 41,364 38,473 46,295 39,848 41,872 33,816 35,740 1. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes any securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2. Revised for periods between October 1986 and February 1987. During this interval, outstanding gold certificates were inadvertently in excess of the gold stock. Revised data not included in this table are available from the Division of Research and Statistics, Banking Section. 3. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. NOTE. For amounts of currency and coin held as reserves, see table 1.12. Money Stock and Bank Credit 1.12 RESERVES AND BORROWINGS A5 Depository Institutions Millions of dollars Monthly averages 8 Reserve classification 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks' Total vault cash 2 Vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements 3 . Surplus vault cash 4 Total reserves 5 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks 6 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks Extended credit at Reserve Banks 7 1983 1984 1985 Dec. Dec. Dec. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 21,138 20,755 17,908 2,847 38,894 38,333 561 774 96 2 21,738 22,316 18,958 3,358 40,696 39,843 853 3,186 113 2,604 27,620 22,956 20,522 2,434 48,142 47,085 1,058 1,318 56 499 29,499 22,805 20,439 2,366 49,938 49,007 931 803 108 531 30,313 23,098 20,716 2,381 51,029 50,118 910 741 116 378 30,165 23,451 21,112 2,339 51,277 50,538 740 872 144 465 31,922 23,384 21,267 2,117 53,189 52,463 726 1,008 137 570 32,947 23,753 21,676 2,078 54,623 53,877 746 841 99 497 34,803 23,543 21,595 1,947 56,399 55,421 978 752 70 418 37,360 24,071 22,199 1,872 59,560 58,191 1,369 827 38 303 1986 Biweekly averages of daily figures for weeks ending 1986 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Reserve balances with Reserve Banks' Total vault cash 2 Vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements 3 . Surplus vault cash 4 Total reserves 5 Required reserves Excess reserve balances at Reserve Banks 6 Total borrowings at Reserve Banks Seasonal borrowings at Reserve Banks Extended credit at Reserve Banks 7 Oct. 22 Nov. 5 Nov. 19 Dec. 3 Dec. 17 Dec. 31 Jan. 14 Jan. 28 Feb. IIP Feb. 25p 33,007 23,955 21,914 2,041 54,921 54,170 751 771 88 488 33,557 23,208 21,204 2,004 54,921 53,947 814 899 93 476 34,945 23,405 21,570 1,835 56,515 55,599 916 811 68 437 35,189 23,871 21,806 2,065 56,995 55,865 1,130 610 63 368 36,527 23,485 21,725 1,733 58,251 57,511 740 514 34 310 38,659 24,729 22,758 1,971 61,417 59,369 2,048 1,186 37 282 38,710 24,583 22,815 1,768 61,525 60,680 845 505 28 215 35,228 25,028 23,012 2,017 58,239 57,033 1,206 689 36 227 33,026 27,327 24,680 2,647 57,705 56,208 1,497 425 56 265 33,704 25,237 22,834 2,403 56,538 55,513 1,025 680 81 299 1. Excludes required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float. 2. Dates refer to the maintenance periods in which the vault cash can be used to satisfy reserve requirements. Under contemporaneous reserve requirements, maintenance periods end 30 days after the lagged computation periods in which the balances are held. 3. Equal to all vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 4. Total vault cash at institutions having no required reserve balances less the amount of vault cash equal to their required reserves during the maintenance period. 5. Total reserves not adjusted for discontinuities consist of reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks, which exclude required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float, plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements. Such vault cash consists of all vault cash held during the lagged 1.13 1987 computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 6. Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements less required reserves. 7. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as there is with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market impact of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 8. Before February 1984, data are prorated monthly averages of weekly averages; beginning February 1984, data are prorated monthly averages of biweekly averages. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H.3 (502) release. For address, see inside front cover. SELECTED BORROWINGS IN IMMEDIATELY AVAILABLE F U N D S Large Member Banks' Averages of daily figures, in millions o f dollars 1986 and 1987 week ending Monday By maturity and source 1 2 3 4 Jan. 5 ' Jan. 12' Jan. 19' Jan. 2 6 Dec. 22 Dec. 29 80,932 7,790 78,638 9,148 91,167 8,287 84,218 7,915 81,469 8,788 78,809 8,331 78,255 8,052 80,428 8,229 76,752 8,773 34,382 6,126 31,199 7,026 33,292 5,951 37,498 6,646 35,447 7,236 32,459 7,220 38,995 6,175 39,005 5,920 38,912 6,599 Federal funds purchased, repurchase agreements, and other selected borrowing in immediately available funds From commercial banks in the United States For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities From other depository institutions, foreign banks and foreign official institutions, and United States government agencies For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities Feb. 2 Feb. 9 Feb. 16 Repurchase agreements on United States government and federal agency securities in immediately available funds Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities All other customers For one day or under continuing contract For all other maturities 9,798 9,099 9,972 R 7,613' 12,479 5,942 12,948 7,731 11,670 9,759 13,593 9,611 13,194 9,043 12,909 9,734 13,932 10,371 29,384 11,233 26,786 14,973' 29,064 11,565 30,806 10,247 29,307 10,097 28,291 10,719 28,016 10,690 27,793 10,431 26,707 10,630 MEMO: Federal funds loans and resale agreements in immediately available funds in maturities of one day or under continuing contract 9 To commercial banks in the United States 10 To all other specified customers 2 28,024 9,076 30,563 10,205 33,044 10,480 33,777 10,424 30,719 10,219 29,211 11,606 34,026 12,671 31,178 10,978 28,125 12,254 5 6 7 8 1. Banks with assets of $1 billion or more as of Dec. 31, 1977. 2. Brokers and nonbank dealers in securities; other depository institutions; foreign banks and official institutions; and United States government agencies. A6 1.14 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK INTEREST RATES Percent per annum Current and previous levels Extended credit 2 Short-term adjustment credit and seasonal credit 1 Federal Reserve Bank First 60 days of borrowing Next 90 days of borrowing Rate on 2/25/87 Effective date Previous rate Rate on 2/25/87 Previous rate Rate on 2/25/87 Previous rate Rate on 2/25/87 SVi 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/22/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 6 5Vi 6 6 '/> 7 71h Boston New York Philadelphia Cleveland Richmond Atlanta Chicago St. Louis Minneapolis Kansas City Dallas San F r a n c i s c o . . . 5^/2 8/21/86 8/22/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 6 6V2 6 5'/2 Range of rates in recent years Effective date In effect Dec. 31, 1973 1974— Apr. 25 30 Dec. 9 16 1975— Jan. 6 10 24 Feb. 5 7 Mar. 10 14 May 16 23 Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. lxh 7>/i-8 7'/> 8 3 7 /4-8 73/4 71/4-73/4 7'/4-73/4 IVA 6 3 /4-7'/4 6 3 /4 61/4—63/4 6V4 6-61/4 6 73/4 73/4 73/4 71/4 71/4 63/4 63/4 6'/4 61/4 6 6 19 23 Nov. 22 26 51/2-6 SV2 51/4-51/! 51/4 51/? 5'/. 51/4 51/4 1977— Aug. 30 31 Sept. 2 Oct. 26 51/4-53/4 51/4 1976— Jan. 1978— Jan. 9 20 May 11 12 July July After 150 days 3 10 5'/4-5 3 /4 53/4 53/4 6 53/4 6-61/> 6 '/> 6W-7 7 7-7'/t 61/! 6'/2 7 7 IVA 71/4 6 IVA Effective date Aug. 21 Sept. 22 Oct. 16 20 Nov. 1 3 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/22/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/22/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 8/21/86 IVi F.R. Bank of N.Y. 7 3 /4 8 m sl/2-m 8'/2 91/2 m 9>/i Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 1982— July 20 23 Aug. 2 3 16 27 30 Oct. 12 13 Nov. 22 26 Dec. 14 15 17 im-12 11 Vi ll-ll'/i 11 10 '/> 10-10'/2 10 9Vi-10 91/2 9-9 '/2 9 11 Vi 11 Vi 11 11 10'/! 10 10 9'/! 91/2 Effective date July 20 Aug. 17 20 Sept. 19 21 Oct. 8 10 10 10-10'/! 10'/> lO'/j-ll 11 11-12 12 Feb. 15 19 May 29 30 June 13 16 July 28 29 Sept. 26 Nov. 17 Dec. 5 8 12-13 13 12-13 12 11-12 13 13 13 12 11 1984— Apr. 9 13 Nov. 21 26 Dec. 24 8'/2-9 9 8'/>-9 8>/i 8 8>/2 m 8 10-11 10 11 12 12-13 13 10 10 11 12 13 13 1985— May 20 24 7Vi-8 7'/2 71/2 1986— Mar. i-m 1 6V1-I 13-14 14 13-14 13 12 14 14 13 13 12 May 5 Nov. 2 6 4 Dec. 1. After May 19, 1986, the highest rate within the structure of discount rates may be charged on adjustment credit loans of unusual size that result from a major operating problem at the borrower's facility. A temporary simplified seasonal program was established on Mar. 8, 1985, and the interest rate was a fixed rate xh percent above the rate on adjustment credit. The program was re-established on Feb. 18, 1986 and again on Jan. 28, 1987; the rate may be either the same as that for adjustment credit or a fixed rate xh percent higher. 2. Applicable to advances when exceptional circumstances or practices involve only a particular depository institution and to advances when an institution is under sustained liquidity pressures. As an alternative, for loans outstanding for more than 150 days, a Federal Reserve Bank may charge a flexible rate that takes into account rates on market sources of funds, but in no case will the rate charged be less than the basic rate plus one percentage point. Where credit provided to a particular depository institution is anticipated to be outstanding for an unusually prolonged period and in relatively large amounts, the time period in which each Previous rate 3 Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks 73/4 8 8 - 8 Vi 7 Effective date for current rates 10 W>/2 10'/! 11 11 12 12 7 10 Apr. 21 23 July 11 Aug. 21 22 In effect Feb. 25, 1987 8Vi-9 8'/2-9 8'/! 61/2 6 5'/2-6 9 9 9 8'/> 8>/2 9 9 lX/l 7 7 6V2 6'/2 6 5Vi 5'A 5>/2 5'Vi 5'/! rate under this structure is applied may be shortened. See section 201.3(b)(2) of Regulation A. 3. Rates for short-term adjustment credit. For description and earlier data see the following publications of the Board of Governors: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941, and 1941-1970; Annual Statistical Digest, 1970-1979, 1980, 1981, and 1982. In 1980 and 1981, the Federal Reserve applied a surcharge to short-term adjustment credit borrowings by institutions with deposits of $500 million or more that had borrowed in successive weeks or in more than 4 weeks in a calendar quarter. A 3 percent surcharge was in effect from Mar, 17, 1980, through May 7, 1980. There was no surcharge until Nov. 17,1980, when a 2 percent surcharge was adopted; the surcharge was subsequently raised to 3 percent on Dec. 5, 1980, and to 4 percent on May 5, 1981. The surcharge was reduced to 3 percent effective Sept. 22, 1981, and to 2 percent effective Oct. 12. As of Oct. 1, the formula for applying the surcharge was changed from a calendar quarter to a moving 13-week period. The surcharge was eliminated on Nov. 17, 1981. Policy Instruments Al 1.15 RESERVE REQUIREMENTS OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS' Percent of deposits Type of deposit, and deposit interval Member bank requirements before implementation of the Monetary Control Act Percent Net Time and savings2>3 Savings Time 4 $0 million-$5 million, by maturity 30-179 days 180 days to 4 years 4 years or more Over $5 million, by maturity 30-179 days 180 days to 4 years 4 years or more 11 3 /4 123/4 16'/4 3 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 3 12 12/30/86 12/30/86 Nonpersonal time deposits9 By original maturity Less than l'/i years 1 Vi years or more 3 0 10/6/83 10/6/83 Eurocurrency All types 1 3/16/67 1/8/76 10/30/75 6 IVi 1 12/12/74 1/8/76 10/30/75 3 2'/2 3 11/13/80 accounts1 3/16/67 1. For changes in reserve requirements beginning 1963, see Board's Annual Statistical Digest, 1971-1975, and for prior changes, see Board's Annual Report for 1976, table 13. Under provisions of the Monetary Control Act, depository institutions include commercial banks, mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, credit unions, agencies and branches of foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations. 2. Requirement schedules are graduated, and each deposit interval applies to that part of the deposits of each bank. Demand deposits subject to reserve requirements were gross demand deposits minus cash items in process of collection and demand balances due from domestic banks. The Federal Reserve Act as amended through 1978 specified different ranges of requirements for reserve city banks and for other banks. Reserve cities were designated under a criterion adopted effective Nov. 9, 1972, by which a bank having net demand deposits of more than $400 million was considered to have the character of business of a reserve city bank. The presence of the head office of such a bank constituted designation of that place as a reserve city. Cities in which there were Federal Reserve Banks or branches were also reserve cities. Any banks having net demand deposits of $400 million or less were considered to have the character of business of banks outside of reserve cities and were permitted to maintain reserves at ratios set for banks not in reserve cities. Effective Aug. 24, 1978, the Regulation M reserve requirements on net balances due from domestic banks to their foreign branches and on deposits that foreign branches lend to U.S. residents were reduced to zero from 4 percent and 1 percent respectively. The Regulation D reserve requirement of borrowings from unrelated banks abroad was also reduced to zero from 4 percent. Effective with the reserve computation period beginning Nov. 16, 1978, domestic deposits of Edge corporations were subject to the same reserve requirements as deposits of member banks. 3. Negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) accounts and time deposits such as Christmas and vacation club accounts were subject to the same requirements as savings deposits. The average reserve requirement on savings and other time deposits before implementation of the Monetary Control Act had to be at least 3 percent, the minimum specified by law. 4. Effective Nov. 2, 1978, a supplementary reserve requirement of 2 percent was imposed on large time deposits of $100,000 or more, obligations of affiliates, and ineligible acceptances. This supplementary requirement was eliminated with the maintenance period beginning July 24, 1980. Effective with the reserve maintenance period beginning Oct. 25, 1979, a marginal reserve requirement of 8 percent was added to managed liabilities in excess of a base amount. This marginal requirement was increased to 10 percent beginning Apr. 3, 1980, was decreased to 5 percent beginning June 12, 1980, and was eliminated beginning July 24, 1980. Managed liabilities are defined as large time deposits, Eurodollar borrowings, repurchase agreements against U.S. government and federal agency securities, federal funds borrowings from nonmember institutions, and certain other obligations. In general, the base for the marginal reserve requirement was originally the greater of (a) $100 million or (b) the average amount of the managed liabilities held by a member bank, Edge corporation, or family of U.S. branches and agencies of a foreign bank for the two reserve computation periods ending Sept. 26, 1979. For the computation period beginning Mar. 20, 1980, the base was lowered by (a) 7 percent or (b) the decrease in an institution's U.S. office gross loans to foreigners and gross balances due from foreign offices of other institutions between the base period (Sept. 13-26, 1979) and the week ending Mar. 12, 1980, whichever was greater. For the computation period beginning May 29, 1980, the base was increased by iVi percent above the base used to calculate the marginal reserve in the statement week of May 14-21, 1980. In addition, beginning Mar. 19, 1980, the base was reduced to the extent that foreign loans and balances declined. Effective date Net transaction 7 9>/z Depository institution requirements after implementation of the Monetary Control Act 6 Percent Effective date demand2 $10 million-$100 million $100 million-$400 million Over $400 million Type of deposit, and deposit interval 5 liabilities 5. The Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982 (Public Law 97320) provides that $2 million of reservable liabilities (transaction accounts, nonpersonal time deposits, and Eurocurrency liabilities) of each depository institution be subject to a zero percent reserve requirement. The Board is to adjust the amount of reservable liabilities subject to this zero percent reserve requirement each year for the next succeeding calendar year by 80 percent of the percentage increase in the total reservable liabilities of all depository institutions, measured on an annual basis as of June 30. No corresponding adjustment is to be made in the event of a decrease. Effective Dec. 9, 1982, the amount of the exemption was established at $2.1 million. Effective with the reserve maintenance period beginning Jan. 1,1985, the amount of the exemption was established at $2.4 million. Effective with the reserve computation period beginning Dec. 31, 1985, the amount of the exemption was established at $2.6 million. Effective Dec. 30, 1986, the amount of the exemption is $2.9 million. In determining the reserve requirements of a depository institution, the exemption shall apply in the following order: (1) nonpersonal money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) described in 12 CFR section 204.2 (d)(2); (2) net NOW accounts (NOW accounts less allowable deductions); (3) net other transaction accounts; and (4) nonpersonal time deposits or Eurocurrency liabilities starting with those with the highest reserve ratio. With respect to NOW accounts and other transaction accounts, the exemption applies only to such accounts that would be subject to a 3 percent reserve requirement. 6. For nonmember banks and thrift institutions that were not members of the Federal Reserve System on or after July 1, 1979, a phase-in period ends Sept. 3, 1987. For banks that were members on or after July 1, 1979, but withdrew on or before Mar. 31, 1980, the phase-in period established by Public Law 97-320 ends on Oct. 24, 1985. For existing member banks the phase-in period of about three years was completed on Feb. 2, 1984. All new institutions will have a two-year phase-in beginning with the date that they open for business, except for those institutions that have total reservable liabilities of $50 million or more. 7. Transaction accounts include all deposits on which the account holder is permitted to make withdrawals by negotiable or transferable instruments, payment orders of withdrawal, and telephone and preauthorized transfers (in excess of three per month) for the purpose of making payments to third persons or others. However, MMDAs and similar accounts offered by institutions not subject to the rules that permit no more than six preauthorized, automatic, or other transfers per month of which no more than three can be checks—are not transaction accounts (such accounts are savings deposits subject to time deposit reserve requirements.) 8. The Monetary Control Act of 1980 requires that the amount of transaction accounts against which the 3 percent reserve requirement applies be modified annually by 80 percent of the percentage increase in transaction accounts held by all depository institutions determined as of June 30 each year. Effective Dec. 31, 1981, the amount was increased accordingly from $25 million to $26 million; effective Dec. 30, 1982, to $26.3 million; effective Dec. 29, 1983, to $28.9 million; effective Jan. 1, 1985, to $29.8 million; and effective Dec. 31, 1985, to $31.7 million. Effective Dec. 30, 1986, the amount was increased to $36.7 million. 9. In general, nonpersonal time deposits are time deposits, including savings deposits, that are not transaction accounts and in which a beneficial interest is held by a depositor that is not a natural person. Also included are certain transferable time deposits held by natural persons, and certain obligations issued to depository institution offices located outside the United States. For details, see section 204.2 of Regulation D. NOTE. Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with Federal Reserve Banks or vault cash. Nonmembers may maintain reserve balances with a Federal Reserve Bank indirectly on a pass-through basis with certain approved institutions. A8 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 1.16 MAXIMUM INTEREST RATES PAYABLE on Time and Savings Deposits at Federally Insured Institutions1 Percent per annum Type of deposit Commercial banks Savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks (thrift institutions) 1 In effect Feb. 28, 1987 In effect Feb. 28, 1987 Percent 1 Savings 2 Negotiable order of withdrawal accounts 3 Money market deposit account (23) (4) () Time accounts 4 7-31 days (5) 1. Effective Oct. 1,1983, restrictions on the maximum rates of interest payable by commercial banks and thrift institutions on various categories of deposits were removed. For information regarding previous interest rate ceilings on all categories of accounts see earlier issues of the FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, the Federal Home Loan Bank Board Journal, and the Annual Report of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2. Effective Apr. 1, 1986, the interest rate ceiling on savings deposits was removed. Before Apr. 1, 1986, savings deposits were subject to an interest rate ceiling of 5l/i percent. 3. Before ]an. 1, 1986, NOW accounts with minimum denomination requirements of less than $1,000 were subject to an interest rate ceiling of 5'/t percent. NOW accounts with minimum required denominations of $1,000 or more and IRA/Keough (HR10) Plan accounts were not subject to interest rate ceilings. Effective Jan. 1, 1986, the minimum denomination requirement was removed. Effective date 4/1/86 1/1/86 12/14/82 1/1/86 10/1/83 Percent (2) (34) () (5) Effective date 4/1/86 1/1/86 12/14/82 1/1/86 10/1/83 4. Effective Dec. 14, 1982, depository institutions are authorized to offer a new account with a required initial balance of $2,500 and an average maintenance balance of $2,500 not subject to interest rate restrictions. Effective Jan. 1, 1985, the minimum denomination and average balance maintenance requirements was lowered to $1,000. Effective Jan. 1, 1986, the minimum denomination and average balance maintenance requirements were removed. No minimum maturity period is required for this account, but depository institutions must reserve the right to require seven days, notice before withdrawals. 5. Before Jan. 1, 1986, deposits of less than $1,000 were subject to an interest rate ceiling of 5Vi percent. Deposits of less than $1,000 issued to governmental units were subject to an interest rate ceiling of 8 percent. Effective Jan. 1, 1986, the minimum denomination requirement was removed. Policy Instruments 1.17 A9 FEDERAL RESERVE OPEN MARKET TRANSACTIONS Millions of dollars 1986 Type of transaction 1983 1985 1984 Aug. July June Oct. Sept. Nov. Dec. U . S . GOVERNMENT SECURITIES Outright transactions (excluding matched transactions) 1 2 3 4 Treasury bills Gross purchases Gross sales Exchange Redemptions 5 6 7 8 9 18,888 3,420 0 2,400 20,036 8,557 0 7,700 22,214 4,118 0 3,500 1,402 0 0 0 867 0 0 0 2,940 0 0 0 861 0 0 0 928 0 0 0 3,318 0 0 0 5,422 0 0 0 Others within 1 year Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange Redemptions 484 0 18,887 -16,553 87 1,126 0 16,354 -20,840 0 1,349 0 19,763 -17,717 0 0 0 1,152 -1,957 0 0 0 579 -1,253 0 0 0 1,715 -4,087 0 0 0 1,053 -1,892 0 0 0 974 -529 0 190 0 2,974 -1,810 0 0 0 1,280 -1,502 0 10 11 12 13 1 to 5 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 1,896 0 -15,533 11,641 1,638 0 -13,709 16,039 2,185 0 -17,459 13,853 0 0 -1,152 1,957 0 0 -386 1,253 0 0 -1,194 2,587 0 0 -1,053 1,892 0 0 -969 529 893 0 -2,414 1,510 0 0 -1,280 1,502 14 15 16 17 5 to 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 890 0 -2,450 2,950 536 300 -2,371 2,750 458 100 -1,857 2,184 0 0 0 0 0 0 -193 0 0 0 -520 1,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 0 236 0 -560 200 0 0 0 0 18 19 20 21 Over 10 years Gross purchases Gross sales Maturity shift Exchange 383 0 -904 1,962 441 0 -275 2,052 293 0 -447 1,679 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 158 0 0 100 0 0 0 0 22 23 24 All maturities Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions 22,540 3,420 2,487 23,776 8,857 7,700 26,499 4,218 3,500 1,402 0 0 867 0 0 2,940 0 0 861 0 0 928 0 0 4,795 0 0 5,422 0 0 578,591 576,908 808,986 810,432 866,175 865,968 80,219 80,674 70,928 69,659 60,460 60,011 73,179 70,817 77,262 81,892 60,146 60,232 91,404 88,730 105,971 108,291 127,933 127,690 134,253 132,351 5,640 5,640 18,657 18,657 0 0 14,717 8,403 5,670 11,984 16,888 15,471 44,303 32,028 12,631 8,908 20,477 1,857 -403 2,491 4,814 -756 6,298 15,023 0 0 292 0 0 256 0 0 162 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 0 0 * 0 0 93 0 0 125 0 0 0 8,833 9,213 11,509 11,328 22,183 20,877 1,691 1,691 4,984 4,984 0 0 2,678 869 952 2,761 1,622 1,274 5,488 3,522 -672 -76 1,144 0 * -90 1,809 -1,902 223 1,965 -1,062 -418 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,897 8,414 21,621 1,857 -403 2,401 6,623 -2,658 6,522 16,988 Matched transactions 26 27 28 Gross purchases Repurchase agreements Gross purchases Gross sales 29 Net change in U.S. government securities FEDERAL AGENCY OBLIGATIONS 30 31 32 Outright transactions Gross purchases Gross sales Redemptions 33 34 Repurchase agreements Gross purchases Gross sales 35 Net change in federal agency obligations BANKERS ACCEPTANCES 36 Repurchase agreements, net 37 Total net change in System Open Market Account NOTE. Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures increase such holdings. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. A10 1.18 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Condition and Federal Reserve Note Statements Millions of dollars End of month Wednesday Account 1986 1987 1986 Jan. 7 Dec. 31 Jan. 14 Jan. 28 Jan. 21 Nov. 1987 Jan. Dec. Consolidated condition statement ASSETS 11,084 5,018 485 11,084 5,018 490 11,084 5,018 508 11,084 5,018 530 11,075 5,018 545 11,084 5,018 507 11,084 5,018 485 11,075 5,018 553 1,565 0 334 0 325 0 382 0 3,923 0 557 0 1,565 0 513 0 1 Gold certificate account 2 Special drawing rights certificate account 3 Loans 4 To depository institutions 5 Other Acceptances—Bought outright 6 Held under repurchase agreements Federal agency obligations 7 Bought outright 8 Held under repurchase agreements U.S. government securities Bought outright 9 Bills 10 Notes 11 Bonds 12 Total bought outright 1 13 Held under repurchase agreements 14 Total U.S. government securities 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7,829 2,314 7,829 575 7,829 377 7,719 203 7,719 723 7,829 348 7,829 2,314 7,719 857 103,775 68,126 25,724 197,625 13,691 211,316 104,775 68,126 25,724 198,625 3,859 202,484 104,333 68,126 25,724 198,183 6,425 204,608 108,182 68,126 25,724 202,032 2,406 204,438 107,715 68,126 25,724 201,565 2,847 204,412 101,026 68,126 25,724 194,876 1,417 196,293 103,775 68,126 25,724 197,625 13,691 211,316 105,468 68,126 25,724 199,318 3,168 202,486 15 Total loans and securities 223,024 211,222 213,139 212,742 216,777 205,027 223,024 211,575 8,938 661 8,724 662 6,562 661 11,976 663 6,674 660 4,721 654 8,938 661 5,947 665 9,475 7,339 9,439 6,681 9,446 7,168 9,460 6,795 9,465 7,072 9,179 6,065 9,475 7,339 10,276 7,099 266,024 253,320 253,586 258,268 257,286 242,255 266,024 252,208 16 Items in process of collection 17 Bank premises Other assets 18 Denominated in foreign currencies 2 19 All other 3 20 Total assets LIABILITIES 195,360 193,616 191,239 190,026 189,024 190,327 195,360 188,763 22 23 24 25 48,107 7,588 287 917 41,661 4,070 184 300 43,686 5,549 226 359 35,620 15,742 240 330 37,544 17,744 236 517 38,296 2,529 225 425 48,107 7,588 287 917 34,588 15,746 226 453 26 Total deposits 56,899 46,215 49,820 51,932 56,041 41,475 56,899 51,013 7,677 2,340 7,214 2,203 6,229 2,249 10,153 2,105 5,918 2,252 3,973 2,242 7,677 2,340 5,231 2,268 262,276 249,248 249,537 254,216 253,235 238,017 262,276 247,275 1,874 1,874 0 1,875 1,873 324 1,874 1,873 302 1,876 1,873 303 1,877 1,874 300 1,860 1,781 597 1,874 1,874 0 1,877 1,873 1,183 33 Total liabilities and capital accounts 266,024 253,320 253,586 258,268 257,286 242,255 266,024 252,208 34 MEMO: Marketable U.S. government securities held in custody for foreign and international account 162,381 165,515 163,606 165,049 163,606 164,411 162,381 163,927 21 Federal Reserve notes Deposits To depository institutions U.S. Treasury—General account Foreign—Official accounts Other 77 Deferred credit items 28 Other liabilities and accrued dividends 4 29 Total liabilities CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 30 Capital paid in 31 32 Other capital accounts Federal Reserve note statement 35 Federal Reserve notes outstanding 36 LESS: Held by bank Federal Reserve notes, net 37 Collateral held against notes net: 38 Gold certificate account 39 Special drawing rights certificate account 40 Other eligible assets 41 U.S. government and agency securities 231,603 36,243 195,360 230,980 37,364 193,616 230,797 39,558 191,239 231,322 41,296 190,026 231,326 42,302 189,024 231,281 40,954 190,327 231,603 36,243 195,360 231,694 42,931 188,763 11,084 5,018 0 179,258 11,084 5,018 0 177,514 11,084 5,018 0 175,137 11,084 5,018 0 173,924 11,075 5,018 0 172,931 11,084 5,018 0 174,225 11,084 5,018 0 179,258 11,075 5,018 0 172,670 42 Total collateral 195,360 193,616 191,239 190,026 189,024 190,327 195,360 188,763 1. Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. government securities pledged with Federal Reserve Banks—and excludes (if any) securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2. Assets shown in this line are revalued monthly at market exchange rates. 3. Includes special investment account at Chicago of Treasury bills maturing within 90 days. 4. Includes exchange-translation account reflecting the monthly revaluation at market exchange rates of foreign-exchange commitments. NOTE: Some of these data also appear in the Board's H.4.1 (503) release. For address, see inside front cover. Federal Reserve Banks 1.19 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS All Maturity Distribution of Loan and Security Holdings Millions of dollars End of month Wednesday Type and maturity groupings 1987 1986 Jan. 30 557 545 12 0 1,565 1,553 12 0 513 508 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 204,438 16,494 53,048 59,915 36,484 15,431 23,066 204,412 13,726 53,124 62,581 36,484 15,431 23,066 196,293 7,625 54,077 59,068 37,006 15,451 23,066 211,316 20,480 53,611 62,239 36,469 15,451 23,066 202,486 8,522 57,100 61,883 36,484 15,431 23,066 7,922 366 862 1,318 3,718 1,300 358 8,442 907 801 1,338 3,733 1,305 358 8,177 653 851 1,376 3,730 1,193 374 10,143 2,704 809 1,224 3,854 1,178 374 8,576 1,041 801 1,338 3,733 1,305 358 Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 Jan. 28 1,565 1,553 12 0 334 333 0 325 322 3 0 382 374 8 0 3,923 3,920 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 U.S. government securities—Total 10 Within 15 days 1 11 16 days to 90 days 12 91 days to 1 year 13 Over 1 year to 5 years 14 Over 5 years to 10 years 15 Over 10 years 211,316 20,480 53,611 62,239 36,469 15,451 23,066 202,484 14,191 50,768 62,539 36,469 15,451 23,066 204,608 16,096 51,124 62,402 36,469 15,451 23,066 16 Federal agency obligations—Total 17 Within 15 days 1 18 16 days to 90 days 19 91 days to 1 year 20 Over 1 year to 5 years 21 Over 5 years to 10 years 22 Over 10 years 10,143 2,704 809 1,224 3,854 1,178 374 8,404 825 958 1,215 3,854 1,178 374 8,206 526 954 1,220 3,814 1,318 374 ; 5 Acceptances—Total 6 Within 15 days 7 16 days to 90 days 8 91 days to 1 year 1 Nov. 28 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 1 Loans—Total 2 Within 15 days 3 16 days to 90 days 4 91 days to 1 year 1987 1986 1. Holdings under repurchase agreements are classified as maturing within 15 days in accordance with maximum maturity of the agreements. A12 1.20 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 AGGREGATE RESERVES OF DEPOSITORY INSTITUTIONS AND MONETARY BASE Billions o f dollars, averages of daily Item figures 1983 Dec.' 1984 Dec/ 1985 Dec/ July' June' 2 3 4 5 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 3 Required reserves Monetary base 4 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 51.81 52.40 53.82 55.64 56.64 50.80 51.56 53.07 54.81 51.37 52.06 53.49 55.11 51.08 51.66' 52.85 54.27 231.69' 233.46' 236.07' 238.84' 56.06 56.29 55.58 242.04 Seasonally adjusted ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS' 1 Total reserves 2 1987 1986 1986 Dec. 36.16 39.48 45.52 55.64 49.35 50.48 51.32 35.38 35.38 35.59 185.38 36.29 38.90 38.66 199.15 44.20 44.70 44.55 216.70 54.81 55.11 54.27 238.84' 48.55 49.08 48.51 226.51 49.74 50.12 49.58 228.35 50.45 50.91 50.58 230.60' Not seasonally adjusted 6 Total reserves2 7 8 9 10 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 3 Required reserves Monetary base 4 49.11 50.31 50.62 51.55 52.34 54.11 57.17 58.25 45.43 45.93 45.78 220.26 56.34 56.64 55.80 243.04 48.30 48.83 48.27 226.91 49.57 49.95 49.41 230.01 49.75 50.22' 49.88 230.76 50.54 51.11 50.82 231.51 51.50 52.00 51.60 233.04 53.36 53.77 53.13 236.91 56.34 56.64 55.80 243.04 57.67 57.90 57.19 242.82 40.67 48.05 59.56 49.85 51.02 51.28 53.19 54.62 56.40 59.56 59.67 37.48 40.06 39.84 204.13 46.73 47.32 47.08 223.45 58.73 59.04 58.19 247.71 49.04 49.72 49.01 229.56 50.28 50.68 50.12 232.54 50.41 50.90 50.54 233.32 52.18 52.76 52.46 235.07 53.78 54.15 53.88 237.26 55.65 56.15 55.42 241.27 58.73 59.04 58.19 247.71 59.09 59.32 58.60 246.77 36.87 40.53 36.09 36.10 36.31 188.65 37.35 39.95 39.71 202.29 38.89 38.12 38.12 38.33 192.26 46.75 57.17' N O T ADJUSTED FOR CHANGES IN RESERVE REQUIREMENTS 5 11 Total reserves2 12 13 14 15 Nonborrowed reserves Nonborrowed reserves plus extended credit 3 Required reserves Monetary base 4 1. Figures incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with the implementation of the Monetary Control Act and other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. To adjust for discontinuities due to changes in reserve requirements on reservable nondeposit liabilities, the sum of such required reserves is subtracted from the actual series. Similarly, in adjusting for discontinuities in the monetary base, required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float also are subtracted from the actual series. 2. Total reserves not adjusted for discontinuities consist of reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks, which exclude required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float, plus vault cash used to satisfy reserve requirements. Such vault cash consists of all vault cash held during the lagged computation period by institutions having required reserve balances at Federal Reserve Banks plus the amount of vault cash equal to required reserves during the maintenance period at institutions having no required reserve balances. 3. Extended credit consists of borrowing at the discount window under the terms and conditions established for the extended credit program to help depository institutions deal with sustained liquidity pressures. Because there is not the same need to repay such borrowing promptly as there is with traditional short-term adjustment credit, the money market impact of extended credit is similar to that of nonborrowed reserves. 4. The monetary base not adjusted for discontinuities consists of total reserves plus required clearing balances and adjustments to compensate for float at Federal Reserve Banks and the currency component of the money stock less the amount of vault cash holdings of thrift institutions that is included in the currency component of the money stock plus, for institutions not having required reserve balances, the excess of current vault cash over the amount applied to satisfy current reserve requirements. After the introduction of contemporaneous reserve requirements (CRR), currency and vault cash figures are measured over the weekly computation period ending Monday. Before CRR, all components of the monetary base other than excess reserves are seasonally adjusted as a whole, rather than by component, and excess reserves are added on a not seasonally adjusted basis. After CRR, the seasonally adjusted series consists of seasonally adjusted total reserves, which include excess reserves on a not seasonally adjusted basis, plus the seasonally adjusted currency component of the money stock and the remaining items seasonally adjusted as a whole. 5. Reflects actual reserve requirements, including those on nondeposit liabilities, with no adjustments to eliminate the effects of discontinuities associated with implementation of the Monetary Control Act or other regulatory changes to reserve requirements. NOTE. Latest monthly and biweekly figures are available from the Board's H.3(502) statistical release. Historical data and estimates of the impact on required reserves of changes in reserve requirements are available from the Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.21 A13 MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Billions of dollars, averages o f daily figures 1987 1986 1983 Dec/ 1984 Dec/ 1985 Dec/ 1986 Dec/ Oct/ Nov/ Dec/ Jan. Seasonally adjusted 1 Ml 7 M2 M3 4 L 5 Debt 526.9 2,184.6 2,692.8 3,154.6 5,210.1 557.5 2,369.1 2,985.7 3,528.1 5,949.8 627.0 2,569.6 3,205.6 3,838.3 6,778.6 730.5 2,798.2 3,487.7 4,140.2 7,604.4 701.4 2,760.4 3,442.9 4,085.4 7,444.7 712.4 2,774.6 3,460.2 4,110.4 7,519.8 730.5 2,798.2 3,487.7 4,140.2 7,604.4 737.7 2,819.4 3,512.7 n.a. n.a. 148.3 4.9 242.3 131.4 158.5 5.2 248.3 145.5 170.6 5.9 272.2 178.3 183.5 6.4 308.3 232.3 181.2 6.4 293.4 220.4 182.4 6.4 297.8 225.9 183.5 6.4 308.3 232.3 186.0 6.5 305.1 240.1 1,657.7 508.2 1,811.6 616.6 1,942.6 636.1 2,067.7 689.5 2,059.0 682.5 2,062.1 685.6 2,067.7 689.5 2,081.8 693.2 7 8 9 Ml components Currency 2 Travelers checks 3 Demand deposits 4 Other checkable deposits 5 10 11 Nontransactions components In M26 In M3 only 7 1? 13 Savings deposits 9 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 133.2 173.0 122.2 166.6 124.6 179.0 154.5 211.7 145.8 204.6 150.2 208.3 154.5 211.7 159.7 216.9 14 15 Small denomination time deposits 9 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 350.9 432.9 386.6 498.6 383.9 500.3 364.7 488.5 370.0 494.7 365.9 491.3 364.7 488.5 364.7 486.1 16 17 Money market mutual funds General purpose and broker/dealer Institution-only 138.2 43.2 167.5 62.7 176.5 65.1 207.5 84.1 206.9 84.5 207.1 84.4 207.5 84.1 208.9 84.0 18 19 Large denomination time deposits 10 Commercial Banks 11 Thrift institutions 230.0 96.2 269.6 147.3 284.1 152.1 291.9 155.1 288.3 157.4 290.0 155.8 291.9 155.1 295.6 153.7 7.0 21 Debt components Federal debt Non-federal debt 1,172.8 4,037.3 1,367.6 4,582.2 1,587.0 5,191.6 1,806.9 5,797.6 1,755.9 5,688.8 1,779.3 5,740.5 1,806.9 5,797.6 n.a. n.a. Not seasonally adjusted 538.3 2,191.6 2,702.4 3,163.1 5,204.5 570.3 2,378.3 2,997.6 3,538.8 5,944.0 641.0 2,580.6 3,218.9 3,850.2 6,772.0 746.6 2,811.7 3,502.9 4,153.7 7,597.2 698.9 2,756.8 3,439.4 4,079.7 7,427.2 715.5 2,776.8 3,464.5 4,113.3 7,504.0 746.6 2,811.7 3,502.9 4,153.7 7,597.2 744.4 2,829.7 3,523.5 n.a. n.a. 150.6 4.6 251.0 132.2 160.8 4.9 257.2 147.4 173.1 5.5 282.0 180.4 186.2 6.0 319.5 235.0 180.9 6.5 293.0 218.5 183.2 6.1 300.1 226.0 186.2 6.0 319.5 235.0 184.6 6.0 311.0 242.8 1,653.3 510.8 1,808.1 619.2 1,939.6 638.3 2,065.1 691.2 2,057.9 682.6 2,061.3 687.7 2,065.1 691.2 2,085.3 693.8 Money market deposit accounts Commercial banks Thrift institutions 230.4 148.5 267.4 150.0 332.5 180.7 379.0 192.3 372.6 191.9 375.9 192.7 379.0 192.3 381.6 192.4 35 36 Savings deposits 8 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 132.2 172.4 121.4 166.2 123.9 178.8 153.8 211.7 146.4 204.8 150.3 209.0 153.8 211.7 159.1 217.2 37 38 Small denomination time deposits 9 Commercial Banks Thrift institutions 351.1 433.5 386.7 499.6 383.8 501.5 364.4 489.6 371.3 496.1 366.7 492.9 364.4 489.6 364.4 489.1 39 40 Money market mutual funds General purpose and broker/dealer Institution-only 138.2 43.2 167.5 62.7 176.5 65.1 207.5 84.1 206.9 84.5 207.1 84.4 207.5 84.1 208.9 84.0 41 42 Large denomination time deposits 10 Commercial Banks 11 Thrift institutions 231.6 96.3 271.2 147.3 285.6 151.9 293.3 154.7 289.5 157.8 290.8 156.0 293.3 154.7 296.8 154.1 43 44 Debt components Federal debt Non-federal debt 1,170.2 4,034.3 1,364.7 4,579.2 1,583.7 5,188.3 1,803.3 5,793.9 1,748.6 5,678.6 1,771.7 5,732.3 1,803.3 5,793.9 n.a. n.a. 22 23 24 25 26 Ml M2 M3 L Debt 27 78 79 30 Ml components Currency 2 Travelers checks 3 Demand deposits 4 Other checkable deposits 5 31 32 Nontransactions components M26 M3 only 7 33 34 For notes see following page. A14 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 NOTES TO TABLE 1.21 1. Composition of the money stock measures and debt is as follows: Ml: (1) currency outside the Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of commercial banks; (2) travelers checks of nonbank issuers; (3) demand deposits at all commercial banks other than those due to domestic banks, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (4) other checkable deposits (OCD) consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal (NOW) and automatic transfer service (ATS) accounts at depository institutions, credit union share draft accounts, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. The currency and demand deposit components exclude the estimated amount of vault cash and demand deposits respectively held by thrift institutions to service their OCD liabilities. M2: Ml plus overnight (and continuing contract) repurchase agreements (RPs) issued by all commercial banks and overnight Eurodollars issued to U.S. residents by foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide, MMDAs, savings and smalldenomination time deposits (time deposits—including retail RPs—in amounts of less than $100,000), and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt general purpose and broker/dealer money market mutual funds. Excludes individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh balances at depository institutions and money market funds. Also excludes all balances held by U.S. commercial banks, money market funds (general purpose and broker/dealer), foreign governments and commercial banks, and the U.S. government. Also subtracted is a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of demand deposits and vault cash held by thrift institutions to service their time and savings deposits. M3: M2 plus large-denomination time deposits and term RP liabilities (in amounts of $100,000 or more) issued by commercial banks and thrift institutions, term Eurodollars held by U.S. residents at foreign branches of U.S. banks worldwide and at all banking offices in the United Kingdom and Canada, and balances in both taxable and tax-exempt, institution-only money market mutual funds. Excludes amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, money market funds, and foreign banks and official institutions. Also subtracted is a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market mutual funds. L: M3 plus the nonbank public holdings of U.S. savings bonds, short-term Treasury securities, commercial paper and bankers acceptances, net of money market mutual fund holdings of these assets. Debt: Debt of domestic nonfinancial sectors consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. government, state and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors. Private debt consists of corporate bonds, mortgages, consumer credit (including bank loans), other bank loans, commercial paper, bankers acceptances, and other debt instruments. The source of data on domestic nonfinancial debt is the Federal Reserve Board's flow of funds accounts. Debt data are based on monthly averages. 2. Currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and vaults of commercial banks. Excludes the estimated amount of vault cash held by thrift institutions to service their OCD liabilities. 3. Outstanding amount of U.S. dollar-denominated travelers checks of nonbank issuers. Travelers checks issued by depository institutions are included in demand deposits. 4. Demand deposits at commercial banks and foreign-related institutions other than those due to domestic banks, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float. Excludes the estimated amount of demand deposits held at commercial banks by thrift institutions to service their OCD liabilities. 5. Consists of NOW and ATS balances at all depository institutions, credit union share draft balances, and demand deposits at thrift institutions. Other checkable deposits seasonally adjusted equals the difference between the seasonally adjusted sum of demand deposits plus OCD and seasonally adjusted demand deposits. Included are all ceiling free "Super NOWs," authorized by the Depository Institutions Deregulation committee to be offered beginning Jan. 5, 1983. 6. Sum of overnight RPs and overnight Eurodollars, money market fund balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits, less the consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of demand deposits and vault cash held by thrift institutions to service their time and savings deposits liabilities. 7. Sum of large time deposits, term RPs and term Eurodollars of U.S. residents, money market fund balances (institution-only), less a consolidation adjustment that represents the estimated amount of overnight RPs and Eurodollars held by institution-only money market funds. 8. Savings deposits exclude MMDAs. 9. Small-denomination time deposits—including retail RPs— are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000. All individual retirement accounts (IRA) and Keogh accounts at commercial banks and thrifts are subtracted from small time deposits. 10. Large-denomination time deposits are those issued in amounts of $100,000 or more, excluding those booked at international banking facilities. 11. Large-denomination time deposits at commercial banks less those held b> money market mutual funds, depository institutions, and foreign banks anc official institutions. NOTE: Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board's H.6 (508) release. Historical data are available from the Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Monetary and Credit Aggregates 1.22 A15 BANK DEBITS AND DEPOSIT TURNOVER Debits are s h o w n in billions of dollars, turnover as ratio of debits to deposits. Monthly data are at annual rates. Bank group, or type of customer 1983' 19841 19851 July Aug. Sept. Seasonally adjusted 2 Demand deposits 1 All insured banks Major New York City banks 2 3 Other banks 4 ATS-NOW accounts 3 5 Savings deposits 4 128,440.8 57,392.7 71,048.1 1,588.7 633.1 154,556.0 70,445.1 84,110.9 1,920.8 539.0 189,534.1 91,212.9 98,321.4 2,351.1 410.3 188,874.2 91,040.8 97,833.4 2,320.1 417.4 194,457.3 92,961.7 101,495.6 2,414.8 421.0 197,997.9 95,252.0 102,745.9 2,704.8 428.4 197,222.5 95,919.7 101,302.9 2,292.5 456.5 187,594.4 96,829.5 90,764.9 2,501.0 424.9 206,689.6 95,831.3 110,858.4 2,960.8 533.7 434.4 1,843.0 268.6 15.8 5.0 496.5 2,168.9 301.8 16.7 4.5 561.8 2,460.6 327.4 16.8 3.1 556.4 2,417.2 324.2 16.8 3.2 567.6 2,437.0 333.4 16.9 3.2 573.9 2,519.8 334.5 18.4 3.1 569.6 2,493.4 329.2 15.2 3.2 538.2 2,513.2 292.8 16.1 2.9 560.7 2,251.6 340.0 18.3 3.5 DEPOSIT TURNOVER Demand deposits 2 6 All insured banks Major New York City banks 7 8 Other banks 9 ATS-NOW accounts 3 10 Savings deposits 4 Not seasonally adjusted DEBITS TO 2 Demand deposits 11 All insured banks 12 Major New York City banks 13 Other banks 14 ATS-NOW accounts 3 15 MMDA 5 16 Savings deposits 4 128,059.1 57,282.4 70,776.9 1,579.5 848.8 632.9 154,108.4 70,400.9 83,707.8 1,903.4 1,179.0 538.7 189,443.3 91,294.4 98,149.0 2,338.4 1,599.3 404.3 198,657.9 96,686.1 101,971.8 2,240.4 1,575.9 419.9 186,892.9 88,807.6 98,085.3 2,140.8 1,530.6 413.7 198,433.5 96,489.1 101,944.4 2,524.1 1,612.9 414.2 204,618.4 98,837.9 105,780.4 2,231.9 1,607.4 449.2 167,465.5 85,849.7 81,615.8 2,255.1 1,434.0 382.7 226,263.1 106,935.2 119,327.9 2,841.5 2,058.2 503.6 433.5 1,838.6 267.9 15.7 3.5 5.0 497.4 2,191.1 301.6 16.6 3.8 4.5 564.0 2,494.3 327.9 16.8 4.5 3.1 587.8 2,620.6 338.7 16.3 4.4 3.2 554.7 2,421.9 326.6 15.1 4.2 3.1 577.6 2,603.6 332.6 17.3 4.4 3.0 593.5 2,656.9 343.9 14.9 4.4 3.2 476.4 2,225.4 260.8 14.6 3.8 2.6 600.3 2,483.2 357.4 17.4 5.5 3.3 DEPOSIT TURNOVER 17 18 19 20 21 22 Demand deposits 2 All insured banks Major New York City banks Other banks ATS-NOW accounts 3 MMDA 5 Savings deposits 4 1. Annual averages of monthly figures. 2. Represents accounts of individuals, partnerships, and corporations and of states and political subdivisions. 3. Accounts authorized for negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOW) and accounts authorized for automatic transfer to demand deposits (ATS). ATS data availability starts with December 1978. 4. Excludes ATS and NOW accounts, MMDA and special club accounts, such as Christmas and vacation clubs. 5. Money market deposit accounts. NOTE. Historical data for demand deposits are available back to 1970 estimated in part from the debits series for 233 SMSAs that were available through June 1977. Historical data for ATS-NOW and savings deposits are available back to July 1977. Back data are available on request from the Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. These data also appear on the Board's G.6 (406) release. For address, see inside front cover. A16 1.23 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 LOANS AND SECURITIES All Commercial Banks' Billions of dollars; averages of W e d n e s d a y figures 1986 1987 Category Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec/ Jan. Seasonally adjusted 1 Total loans and securities2 2 U.S. government securities 3 Other securities 4 Total loans and leases 2 Commercial and industrial 5 6 Bankers acceptances held 3 .. 7 Other commercial and industrial 8 U.S. addressees 4 9 Non-U.S. addressees 4 10 Real estate 11 Individual 12 Security 13 Nonbank financial institutions 14 Agricultural 15 State and political subdivisions 16 Foreign banks 17 Foreign official institutions . . . 18 Lease financing receivables... 19 All other loans 1,935.5 1,944.6 1,947.9 1,957.5 1,963.7 1,985.0 2,007.7 2,029.6 2,034.0 2,049.0 2,078.7 2,110.6 273.6 188.1 1,473.7 502.4 4.8 269.5 183.3 1,491.8 506.1 4.9 270.0 182.1 1,495.8 507.8 5.2 274.1 181.9 1,501.5 506.7 5.6 274.8 183.6 1,505.3 508.7 6.1 285.4 186.1 1,513.4 508.7 5.8 290.9 192.3 1,524.5 510.4 5.9 294.3 200.7 1,534.7 512.1 6.3 299.6 196.7 1,537.7 514.1 6.4 304.8 194.8 1,549.5 520.3 6.1 309.1 193.4 1,576.2 536.9 5.9 313.9 188.7 1,608.0 551.2 6.3 497.6 488.4 9.2 431.4 297.4 43.4 501.2 491.3 9.9 436.1 299.5 50.4 502.6 492.7 9.8 440.7 301.1 48.0 501.0 490.6 10.5 446.4 303.0 46.4 502.6 493.1 9.5 450.7 304.5 42.5 502.8 493.8 9.0 455.9 305.6 44.8 504.4 495.4 9.1 461.4 306.9 44.2 505.8 496.9 8.9 465.9 308.8 44.4 507.8 499.0 8.8 470.8 309.8 39.5 514.1 505.4 8.7 476.6 311.1 40.1 531.0 522.5 8.5 486.4 313.0 37.3 544.9 535.9 9.0 494.5 314.2 38.6 31.8 35.4 32.2 34.9 32.3 34.6 33.3 34.1 34.7 33.7 34.2 33.3 34.4 33.3 35.1 33.2 35.7 33.1 35.3 33.2 35.6 33.2 35.8 33.2 60.3 9.2 7.0 19.6 35.8 60.2 9.2 6.8 19.8 36.6 59.8 9.2 5.3 19.9 37.3 59.5 9.3 5.1 19.8 37.9 59.4 9.5 6.4 20.0 35.4 59.0 9.5 6.5 20.0 35.8r 59.4 9.3 6.5 20.2 38.5 59.4 9.4 6.4 20.4 39.7 58.5 9.1 6.4 20.4 40.3 57.8 9.0 6.2 21.0 38.9 57.0 9.6 6.2 21.7 39.3 57.1 9.8 6.3 21.7 45.6 Not seasonally adjusted 20 Total loans and securities2 1,932.4 1,944.1 1,950.5 1,956.7 1,965.4 1,981.4 1,999.8 2,027.3 2,029.2 2,048.6 2,092.6 2,116.2 21 U.S. government securities 22 Other securities 23 Total loans and leases 2 24 Commercial and industrial... 25 Bankers acceptances held 3 . 26 Other commercial and industrial 27 U.S. addressees 4 28 Non-U.S. addressees 4 ... 29 Real estate 30 Individual 31 Security 32 Nonbank financial institutions 33 Agricultural 34 State and political subdivisions 35 Foreign banks 36 Foreign official institutions . . 37 Lease financing receivables.. 38 All other loans 275.0 188.9 1,468.5 500.1 4.7 273.2 183.9 1,487.1 506.9 5.0 274.0 181.8 1,494.7 510.0 5.2 275.4 182.2 1,499.0 508.5 5.5 276.2 182.5 1,506.7 509.4 6.0 285.3 183.9 1,512.1 508.6 6.0 289.1 192.1 1,518.7 508.3 5.9 292.6 200.7 1,534.0 511.2 6.1 295.2 196.3 1,537.7 513.1 6.2 302.5 194.8 1,551.3 519.3 6.2 306.8 194.6 1,591.2 539.4 6.3 313.4 189.9 1,612.9 550.8 6.2 495.4 486.3 9.1 430.6 296.3 42.6 501.9 492.7 9.2 434.9 296.8 49.5 504.9 495.4 9.5 439.5 298.6 48.5 503.0 493.3 9.7 445.2 301.1 45.6 503.4 494.0 9.4 450.2 303.1 42.5 502.6 493.3 9.3 455.8 304.9 43.0 502.4 493.1 9.4 461.7 307.2 41.3 505.2 495.9 9.3 466.9 310.2 41.8 506.9 497.8r 9.2 472.2 311.4 38.7 513.0 503.8 9.2 478.1 312.4 41.3 533.2 524.4 8.8 487.4 316.5 42.2 544.5 535.6 8.9 494.7 316.7 41.0 31.2 34.5 31.6 34.0 32.2 33.9 33.1 34.1 34.6 34.2 34.3 34.1 34.6 34.1 35.3 33.9 35.5 33.6 35.4 33.2 36.6 32.9 36.1 32.6 60.3 9.3 7.0 19.8 36.6 60.2 9.1 6.8 19.8 37.5 59.8 9.0 5.3 19.9 38.1 59.5 9.1 5.1 19.9 37.9 59.4 9.2 6.4 20.0 37.7 59.0 9.4 6.5 20.0 36.5 59.4 9.1 6.5 20.1 36.3 59.4 9.4 6.4 20.3 39.1 58.5 9.3 6.4 20.3 38.9 57.8 9.3 6.2 20.9 37.4 57.0 10.1 6.2 21.7 41.3 57.1 10.0 6.3 21.9 45.8 1. Data are prorated averages of Wednesday estimates for domestically chartered insured banks, based on weekly sample reports and quarterly universe reports. For foreign-related institutions, data are averages of month-end estimates based on weekly reports from large U.S. agencies and branches and quarterly reports from all U.S. agencies and branches, New York investment companies majority owned by foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations owned by domestically chartered and foreign banks. 2. Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. 3. Includes nonfinancial commercial paper held. 4. United States includes the 50 states and the District of Columbia. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's G.7 (407) release. For address, see inside front cover. Commercial Banking Institutions A17 19862' 1987 1.24 MAJOR NONDEPOSIT FUNDS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS' Monthly averages, billions of dollars Source Feb. Total nondeposit funds Seasonally adjusted 3 Not seasonally adjusted Federal funds, RPs, and other borrowings from nonbanks 4 3 Seasonally adjusted 4 Not seasonally adjusted 5 Net balances due to foreign-related institutions, not seasonally adjusted 1 2 Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 132.3 134.8 142.1 144.3 135.3 135.6 137.4 138.5 134.3 132.1 136.0 132.9 137.8 137.7 142.4 141.7 140.0 139.1 143.2 144.7 143.4 143.5 152.2 151.7 152.9 155.3 160.8 163.0 160.8 161.0 158.8 159.9 158.0 155.7 165.5 162.3 167.3 167.2 166.7 166.0 167.3 166.4 165.0 166.5 162.4 162.5 167.3 166.8 -20.5 -18.7 -25.5 -21.3 -23.7 -29.5 -29.5 -24.3 -27.3 -21.8 -19.0 -15.1 -25.8 69.4 43.6 -26.5 71.7 45.2 -30.2 75.2 45.1 -29.3 72.9 43.6 -30.5 72.2 41.7 -33.8 73.9 40.1 -31.2 75.2 44.0 -29.2 74.0 44.8 -31.9 73.5 41.6 -28.7 70.8 42.1 -30.7 73.4 42.7 -25.6 70.8 45.2 5.2 60.0 65.2 7.8 60.6 68.4 4.7 62.5 67.2 8.0 60.0 67.9 6.8 62.8 69.6 4.3 64.2 68.6 1.7 66.3 67.9 4.9 67.9 72.7 4.7 68.3 72.9 6.9 68.7 75.7 11.7 70.8 82.5 10.5 74.6 85.1 89.7 92.2 90.0 92.1 90.1 90.4 89.9 91.0 90.2 87.9 95.1 92.0 95.8 95.7 95.7 95.0 96.5 95.6 95.9 97.4 95.4 95.5 97.5 97.0 20.1 24.2 16.2 15.7 17.0 17.8 19.1 21.8 17.7 16.1 15.4 16.8 14.5 11.1 16.5 18.2 17.1 15.3 23.2 15.3 21.2 19.2 21.3 27.5 349.5 350.9 346.5 348.5 346.3 343.6 341.9 340.5 341.8 339.2 341.1 338.3 344.3 344.0 344.2 345.5 342.7 343.8 343.3 344.1 345.7 347.1 350.2 351.4 MEMO 6 Domestically chartered banks' net positions with own foreign branches, not seasonally adjusted 5 7 Gross due from balances 8 Gross due to balances 9 Foreign-related institutions' net positions with directly related institutions, not seasonally adjusted 6 10 Gross due from balances 11 Gross due to balances Security RP borrowings 12 Seasonally adjusted' 13 Not seasonally adjusted U.S. Treasury demand balances 8 14 Seasonally adjusted 15 Not seasonally adjusted Time deposits, $100,000 or more 9 16 Seasonally adjusted 17 Not seasonally adjusted 1. Commercial banks are those in the 50 states and the District of Columbia with national or state charters plus agencies and branches of foreign banks, New York investment companies majority owned by foreign banks, and Edge Act corporations owned by domestically chartered and foreign banks. 2. Data for lines 1-4 and 12-17 have been revised in light of benchmarking and revised seasonal adjustment. 3. Includes seasonally adjusted federal funds, RPs, and other borrowings from nonbanks and not seasonally adjusted net Eurodollars. Includes averages of Wednesday data for domestically chartered banks and averages of current and previous month-end data for foreign-related institutions. 4. Other borrowings are borrowings on any instrument, such as a promissory note or due bill, given for the purpose of borrowing money for the banking business. This includes borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks and from foreign banks, term federal funds, overdrawn due from bank balances, loan RPs, and participations in pooled loans. 5. Averages of daily figures for member and nonmember banks. 6. Averages of daily data. 7. Based on daily average data reported by 122 large banks. 8. Includes U.S. Treasury demand deposits and Treasury tax-and-loan notes at commercial banks. Averages of daily data. 9. Averages of Wednesday figures. A18 1.25 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS Last-Wednesday-of-Month Series Billions of dollars 1986 1987 Account Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,091.4 427.2 253.7 173.5 30.1 1,634.2 146.0 1,488.1 508.5 435.9 296.9 246.9 2,113.4 429.5 255.8 173.6 27.8 1,656.1 155.7 1,500.4 510.5 441.7 300.4 247.8 2,101.3 430.9 257.7 173.2 27.0 1,643.5 146.2 1,497.2 506.2 446.4 301.1 243.6 2,105.5 432.6 259.6 173.0 27.4 1,645.5 139.2 1,506.3 512.3 451.4 304.0 238.7 2,134.0 445.7 269.6 176.1 28.7 1,659.6 148.6 1,511.0 507.3 457.6 305.6 240.5 2,154.4 455.1 272.2 183.0 29.3 1,670.0 149.4 1,520.6 510.1 463.2 308.4 238.8 2,171.1 464.6 275.9 188.7 27.9 1,678.5 145.3 1,533.2 512.1 467.7 310.5 242.9 2,173.2 467.4 281.8 185.6 26.0 1,679.9 146.8 1,533.1 512.6 473.5 311.8 235.2 2,218.1 470.4 286.2 184.3 28.1 1,719.5 161.0 1,558.6 520.2 479.3 312.8 246.3 2,303.7 474.8 291.7 183.1 27.8 1,801.1 173.4 1,627.7 563.5 494.8 319.6 249.9 2,276.4 477.3 295.3 182.0 26.4 1,772.7 166.0 1,606.7 546.9 496.9 316.0 246.9 198.1 29.1 21.8 68.8 209.9 25.5 22.3 80.7 221.0 30.2 23.9 84.6 196.0 27.9 23.0 67.3 206.2 28.2 23.3 72.1 205.8 27.9 23.7 73.5 196.6 27.8 22.9 66.3 200.4 31.2 23.5 66.2 223.9 31.7 22.2 86.5 270.7 40.8 25.7 111.2 211.2 32.9 23.6 74.4 31.1 47.4 34.7 46.7 36.8 45.5 32.0 45.8 33.8 48.7 33.6 47.1 32.3 47.4 32.6 46.9 37.7 45.8 42.7 50.4 33.4 46.7 Jan. ALL COMMERCIAL BANKING INSTITUTIONS 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Loans and securities Investment securities U.S. government securities Other Trading account assets Total loans Interbank loans Loans excluding interbank Commercial and industrial Real estate Individual All other Total cash assets Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks Cash in vault Cash items in process of collection . . . Demand balances at U.S. depository institutions 18 Other cash assets 13 14 IS 16 17 19 Other assets 195.3 207.0 195.9 196.6 196.6 196.2 200.8 198.2 201.9 225.3 199.9 20 Total assets/total liabilities and capital . . . 2,484.8 2,530.3 2,518.3 2,498.1 2,536.7 2,556.4 2,568.4 2,571.8 2,643.9 2,799.7 2,687.5 21 22 23 24 23 26 27 Deposits Transaction deposits Savings deposits Time deposits Borrowings Other liabilities Residual (assets less liabilities) 1,762.8 502.5 462.0 798.3 373.1 179.3 169.7 1,798.4 540.7 467.8 789.9 390.7 170.4 170.8 1,807.4 542.7 477.3 787.5 367.4 173.1 170.3 1,791.9 523.3 482.4 786.3 366.8 168.5 170.9 1,819.5 540.0 490.8 788.7 379.2 168.6 169.4 1,833.6 544.2 497.7 791.7 377.3 174.7 170.8 1,830.8 537.4 504.4 789.0 388.1 177.5 172.1 1,843.7 547.5 514.8 781.4 380.0 175.1 173.1 1,896.8 594.8 521.7 780.3 394.1 180.2 172.8 2,014.6 689.6 533.9 791.1 410.6 199.8 174.8 1,894.5 576.2 531.1 787.3 429.3 188.2 175.4 273.7 274.0 275.1 276.5 288.8 289.8 292.5 298.5 303.6 307.5 313.7 183.6 183.3 182.8 183.5 185.6 194.6 200.0 194.8 195.0 195.0 190.0 1,972.4 416.0 248.5 167.5 30.1 1,526.3 120.2 1,406.1 448.2 430.7 296.6 230.7 1,993.3 416.1 248.8 167.2 27.8 1,549.4 129.3 1,420.1 452.3 436.3 300.1 231.4 1,985.3 417.1 250.2 166.9 27.0 1,541.3 123.3 1,418.0 449.8 440.7 300.8 226.7 1,990.0 419.6 253.1 166.5 27.4 1,543.0 117.3 1,425.8 452.5 445.8 303.6 223.9 2,014.0 432.5 263.2 169.4 28.7 1,552.8 122.7 1,430.1 448.4 451.9 305.3 224.6 2,029.4 440.2 264.5 175.7 29.3 1,559.8 123.1 1,436.7 448.4 457.3 308.1 222.9 2,039.8 448.0 267.5 180.5 27.9 1,564.0 118.9 1,445.1 447.2 461.7 310.1 226.1 2,046.2 450.6 272.9 177.8 26.0 1,569.6 122.5 1,447.1 447.2 467.6 311.5 220.8 2,090.2 454.4 278.1 176.4 28.1 1,607.6 137.8 1,469.9 453.9 472.7 312.4 230.8 2,150.5 456.8 282.4 174.4 27.8 1,665.9 142.5 1,523.4 486.7 487.8 319.1 229.8 2,132.1 459.0 286.2 172.8 26.4 1,646.7 138.3 1,508.4 474.3 490.4 315.7 228.1 182.7 28.4 21.7 68.4 194.3 24.4 22.2 80.3 205.8 28.7 23.8 84.2 180.1 26.3 22.9 66.7 187.8 27.2 23.2 71.7 189.3 26.6 23.7 73.1 180.4 26.9 22.8 65.9 183.1 29.7 23.4 65.5 207.6 29.8 22.2 86.1 251.3 39.6 25.6 110.9 194.1 31.2 23.6 74.0 29.4 34.7 33.0 34.3 35.1 34.0 30.2 34.0 32.0 33.6 31.9 34.1 30.5 34.4 30.9 33.6 35.8 33.7 40.3 34.8 31.7 33.7 MEMO 28 29 U.S. government securities (including trading account) Other securities (including trading account) DOMESTICALLY CHARTERED COMMERCIAL BANKS 2 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Loans and securities Investment securities U.S. government securities Other Trading account assets Total loans Interbank loans Loans excluding interbank Commercial and industrial Real estate Individual All other Total cash assets Reserves with Federal Reserve Banks Cash in vault Cash items in process of collection . . . Demand balances at U.S. depository institutions 47 Other cash assets 42 43 44 45 46 48 Other assets 144.0 150.3 142.8 144.1 143.2 141.7 145.5 142.7 143.0 166.0 142.9 49 Total assets/total liabilities and capital . . . 2,299.1 2,337.9 2,334.0 2,314.1 2,345.0 2,360.3 2,365.7 2,372.1 2,440.8 2,567.7 2,469.1 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 Deposits Transaction deposits Savings deposits Time deposits Borrowings Other liabilities Residual (assets less liabilities) 1,713.1 495.0 460.1 758.1 304.8 114.6 166.5 1,749.1 533.1 465.8 750.1 309.1 112.0 167.7 1,758.7 535.3 475.2 748.1 294.2 113.9 167.2 1,741.4 515.5 480.3 745.6 293.5 111.5 167.8 1,768.0 532.1 488.7 747.2 300.5 110.3 166.2 1,779.9 536.1 495.5 748.2 295.5 117.3 167.7 1,775.2 529.3 502.1 743.8 305.2 116.4 168.9 1,788.6 539.7 512.5 736.5 299.3 114.2 169.9 1,840.5 586.8 519.2 734.5 312.6 118.0 169.6 1,952.8 680.8 531.4 740.6 321.6 121.7 171.6 1,836.3 567.9 528.6 739.7 340.3 120.2 172.3 1. Commercial banking institutions include insured domestically chartered commercial banks, branches and agencies of foreign banks, Edge Act and Agreement corporations, and New York State foreign investment corporations. 2. Insured domestically chartered commercial banks include all member banks and insured nonmember banks. NOTE. Figures are partly estimated. They include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries. Loan and securities data for domestically chartered commercial banks are estimates for the last Wednesday of the month based on a sample of weekly reporting banks and quarter-end condition report data. Data for other banking institutions are estimates made for the last Wednesday of the month based on a weekly reporting sample of foreign-related institutions and quarter-end condition reports. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks 1.26 ALL LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS with Domestic Assets of $1.4 Billion or More on December 31, 1982, Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, W e d n e s d a y figures 1987 1986 Dec. 3 1 Cash and balances due from depository institutions Total loans, leases and securities, net U.S. Treasury and government agency Trading account Investment account, by maturity One year or less Over one through five years Over five years Other securities Trading account Investment account States and political subdivisions, by maturity.. One year or less Over one year Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities . Other trading account assets Federal funds sold1 To commercial banks To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities To others Other loans and leases, gross 2 Other loans, gross 2 Commercial and industrial 2 Bankers acceptances and commercial paper . All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees Real estate loans 2 To individuals for personal expenditures To depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Nonbank depository and other financial institutions For purchasing and carrying securities To finance agricultural production To states and political subdivisions To foreign governments and official institutions . . . . AH other Lease financing receivables LESS: Unearned income Loan and lease reserve 2 Other loans and leases, net 2 All other assets Total assets Demand deposits Individuals, partnerships, and corporations States and political subdivisions U.S. government Depository institutions in United States Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions Certified and officers' checks 53 Transaction balances other than demand deposits 54 Nontransaction balances 55 Individuals, partnerships and corporations 56 States and political subdivisions 57 U.S. government 58 Depository institutions in the United States 59 Foreign governments, official institutions and banks . . . 60 Liabilities for borrowed money 61 Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks 62 Treasury tax-and-loan notes 63 All other liabilities for borrowed money 3 64 Other liabilities and subordinated note and debentures. 65 Total liabilities 66 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities)4 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 MEMO 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 A19 5 Total loans and leases (gross) and investments adjusted . Total loans and leases (gross) adjusted 2 - 5 Time deposits in amounts of $100,000 or more Loans sold outright to affiliates—total 6 Commercial and industrial Other Nontransaction savings deposits (including MMDAs) Dec. 17 Dec. 24 Dec. 31 Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 107,197' 105,565' 112,948' 134,935 107,814 108,955 112,965 996,381' 984,060' 995,980' 1,009,141' 1,019,096 1,020,976 1,015,867 1,013,577 118,357 25,356 93,001 115,870 23,497 92,373 17,626' 41,614 33,133' 71,037' 5,106 65,931' 56,128 8,960 47,167 9,803' 6,059 57,038 33,204 15,869 7,966 756,064 738,404 265,738' 2,452 263,286' 259,424' 3,861 204,797' 142,970 48,999' 16,975 5,447 26,576' 15,131 5,598 34,819 3,128 17,223' 17,661 5,007 17,001 734,055 127,172' 114,182 21,815 92,367 17,629' 41,690 33,048' 70,685r 5,395 65,29C 55,792 8,898' 46,894 9,497r 5,371 61,900 39,911 14,806 7,182 765,830 748,196 268,849' 2,582 266,267' 262,438' 3,830 206,324' 143,777 49,876 18,118 5,098 26,659 17,257 5,592 34,684 3,042 18,793 17,634 5,009 16,978 743,842 130,888' 113,806 19,896 93,909 17,816 42,293 33,800 72,190 7,227 64,963 54,659 8,140 46,519 10,304 5,179 51,363 31,372 13,858 6,133 798,314 780,374 289,127 2,426 286,701 282,922 3,779 209,814 145,397 56,176 20,502 6,696 28,978 14,368 5,784 34,525 3,347 21,836 17,939 5,031 16,725 776,558 141,936 114,702 18,975 95,727 18,939 42,501 34,287 69,464 4,496 64,968 54,159 7,572 46,587 10,810 4,337 61,039 40,056 13,435 7,548 793,731 775,738 286,811 2,357 284,454 280,724 3,730 213,475 145,013 53,627 20,503 5,744 27,380 14,163 5,616 34,717 3,130 19,185 17,993 5,056 17,242 771,432 130,977 114,806 19,447 95,359 18,693 41,957 34,709 68,454 3,716 64,738 53,967 7,470 46,497 10,771 3,766 63,779 41,060 14,781 7,938 787,424 769,455 283,242 2,381 280,861 277,165 3,696 214,203 144,401 52,733 20,572 5,470 26,692 14,093 5,503 34,920 3,210 17,149 17,970 5,069 17,293 765,062 126,522 115,483 20,966 94,518 18,422 41,511 34,585 68,150 3,539 64,611 53,798 7,515 46,283 10,812 4,751 58,961 36,185 15,364 7,412 788,569 770,514 281,315 2,539 278,776 274,921 3,855 214,584 143,885 54,594 20,979 6,952 26,663 14,158 5,375 34,845 3,368 18,388 18,056 5,063 17,275 766,232 124,014 1,295,966 1,259,766 1,251,343 1,250,555 289,619 222,598 6,975 1,815 33,985 7,767 887 15,592 60,137 509,133 470,730 25,813 762 10,792 1,035 261,730 233,105 182,577 5,557 3,158 25,290 5,860 743 9,920 60,227 516,675 478,055 26,250 783 10,520 1,067 270,484 0 18,993 251,491 83,974 241,012 183,217 6,071 4,218 28,468 8,331 891 9,816 58,796 516,674 478,443 26,152 671 10,349 1,058 262,372 5 19,629 242,738 84,432 1,163,287 17,70C 42,314 32,987' 71,458' 5,373 66,085r 56,301 8,920 47,381 9,784' 6,256 61,764 39,434 15,136 7,194 760,551 743,020 266,275' 2,725 263,550' 259,702' 3,847 203,786' 142,557 50,010 17,683 5,644 26,683 16,991 5,669 35,104 3,305 19,323 17,531 4,988 17,016 738,546 129,207' 1,232,785 242,311 183,584 5,425 3,919 27,979 6,825 914 13,664 55,286 500,998 463,08C 26,300' 794 9,683 1,140 263,922 373 7,355 256,194 85,435 1,147,951 84,834 961,268' 765,198 151,357 1,631 950 680 222,687 1. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 2. Levels of major loan items were affected by the Sept. 26, 1984, transaction between Continental Illinois National Bank and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. For details see the H.4.2 statistical release dated Oct. 5, 1984. 3. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase; for information on these liabilities at banks with assets of $1 billion or more on Dec. 31, 1977, see table 1.13. Dec. 10 1 , 2 1 6 , 7 9 8 ' 1,239,816 235,205' 181,457 5,702 2,425 27,049' 6,988 707 10,877 54,910 502,109 464,128' 26,261' 784 9,855 1,081 253,061 0 2,102 250,959 86,191 955,890' 762,924 151,902' 1,713 1,003 710 223,531 115,153 21,424 93,730 17,587' 42,116' 34,027' 71,774' 5,967 65,808' 55,922 8,707 47,216 9,885' 4,984 57,710 36,223 14,697 6,791 781,336 763,536 275,999' 2,464 273,535' 269,640' 3,895 207,306' 145,014 53,511 20,266 6,681 26,564 17,962 5,611 34,724 2,982 20,426 17,800 5,041 16,777 759,518 132,081' 1,249,191 244,491 187,437 6,138 1,491 28,735 5,714 758 14,218 55,829 501,358 463,460' 25,966' 752 10,090 1,090 265,774 1,439 15,253 249,082 251,829 191,677' 5,956 3,022 30,080' 7,298 948 12,848 56,954 504,161 466,169' 25,73C 754 10,45c 1,058 259,041 0 17,578 241,462 443 18,550 242,736 87,412 92,428 89,674 245,676 191,032 5,905 2,650 27,152 7,355 803 10,780 61,718 517,245 479,157 25,756 780 10,554 998 267,566 0 17,958 249,608 81,360 1,164,413 1,210,292 1,173,565 1,164,465 84,778 85,674 86,201 86,878 87,268 974,47C 988,977 797,803 154,365 1,598 1,013 585 227,984 982,714 794,211 154,891 1,623 1,053 570 232,253 976,598 789,572 155,666 1,748 1,182 566 231,245 978,751 790,366 156,149 1,764 1,190 574 231,024 1 , 1 3 1 , 4 7 6 ' 1,154,864 85,322 107,969' 84,952 959,939' 769,701 151,273' 1,756 1,004 752 223,718 782,557 153,832' 1,654' 1,088 566' 223,850 4. This is not a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. 5. Exclusive of loans and federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. 6. Loans sold are those sold outright to a bank's own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank affiliates of the bank, the bank's holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. A20 1.28 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING COMMERCIAL BANKS IN NEW YORK CITY Assets and Liabilities M i l l i o n s o f d o l l a r s , W e d n e s d a y figures e x c e p t as n o t e d 1986 1987 Account Dec. 3 1 Cash and balances due from depository institutions 2 Total loans, leases and securities, net 1 Securities 3 U.S. Treasury and government agency 2 4 Trading account 2 5 Investment account, by maturity 6 One year or less 7 Over one through five years 8 Over five years 9 Other securities 2 10 Trading account 2 Investment account 11 12 States and political subdivisions, by maturity 13 One year or less 14 Over one year 15 Other bonds, corporate stocks and securities 16 Other trading account assets 2 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Loans and leases Federal funds sold 3 To commercial banks To nonbank brokers and dealers in securities To others Other loans and leases, gross Other loans, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees Real estate loans To individuals for personal expenditures To depository and financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States Banks in foreign countries Nonbank depository and other financial institutions For purchasing and carrying securities T o finance agricultural production To states and political subdivisions To foreign governments and official institutions All other Lease financing receivables LESS: Unearned income Loan and lease reserve Other loans and leases, net All other assets 4 44 Total assets Deposits 45 Demand deposits 46 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 47 States and political subdivisions 48 U.S. government 49 Depository institutions in the United States 50 Banks in foreign countries Foreign governments and official institutions 51 Certified and officers' checks 52 53 Transaction balances other than demand deposits ATS, NOW, Super N O W , telephone transfers) 54 Nontransaction balances 55 Individuals, partnerships and corporations 56 States and political subdivisions 57 U.S. government 58 Depository institutions in the United States 59 Foreign governments, official institutions and banks 60 Liabilities for borrowed money Borrowings from Federal Reserve Banks 61 62 Treasury tax-and-loan notes 63 All other liabilities for borrowed money 5 64 Other liabilities and subordinated note and debentures 65 Total liabilities 66 Residual (total assets minus total liabilities) 6 Dec. 10 Dec. 17 Dec. 24 Dec. 31 Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 Jan. 28 26,092 28,839 30,069 25,957 32,884 23,241 29,606 26,664 32,952 216,340 212,332 216,971 219,590 219,526 220,193 220,232 220,952 224,049 0 0 14,172 1,503 5,689 6,980 0 0 16,213 14,174 1,793 12,381 2,039 0 0 0 13,809 1,437 5,355 7,016 0 0 16,167 14,162 1,781 12,380 2,006 0 0 0 13,580 1,415 5,404 6,761 0 0 15,879 14,176 1,809 12,368 1,703 0 0 0 13,500 1,419 5,395 6,686 0 0 16,447 14,648 1,787 12,862 1,799 0 0 0 13,529 1,423 5,330 6,775 0 0 16,484 14,616 1,696 12,920 1,868 0 0 0 13,748 1,850 4,916 6,982 0 0 16,230 14,050 1,448 12,602 2,180 0 0 0 13,182 1,569 4,637 6,976 0 0 16,097 13,981 1,425 12,556 2,116 0 0 0 13,179 1,583 4,631 6,965 0 0 16,093 13,960 1,597 12,363 2,133 0 0 0 13,335 1,357 4,440 7,538 0 0 16,154 13,940 1,587 12,353 2,214 0 25,740 12,308 7,549 5,883 166,675 162,378 62,287 956 61,331 60,978 352 35,406 19,996 18,787 9,225 2,724 6,839 9,203 310 8,664 990 6,734 4,297 1,551 4,909 160,215 71,372 25,711 11,183 8,034 6,494 163,109 158,833 61,764 680 61,084 60,708 375 35,727 20,116 18,033 8,848 2,679 6,505 8,177 297 8,410 839 5,469 4,276 1,553 4,912 156,644 69,144 27,740 14,556 7,459 5,725 166,228 161,936 62,323 742 61,582 61,214 368 35,994 20,208 18,891 9,778 2,462 6,650 9,221 325 8,381 771 5,822 4,292 1,565 4,892 159,771 71,900 24,440 11,797 7,267 5,376 171,608 167,307 63,980 548 63,432 63,044 388 36,557 20,483 20,479 10,716 3,076 6,686 9,501 334 8,429 722 6,822 4,302 1,569 4,837 165,203 71,241 20,477 10,054 5,858 4,565 175,324 171,026 67,561 544 67,016 66,585 432 37,504 20,750 21,610 11,321 3,061 7,229 6,091 346 8,413 1,072 7,679 4,298 1,562 4,728 169,035 79,865 21,706 9,450 6,184 6,072 175,035 170,734 67,488 615 66,873 66,438 436 38,244 20,989 22,025 12,451 2,982 6,591 6,430 260 8,535 908 5,856 4,300 1,578 4,948 168,509 66,894 25,000 12,162 6,759 6,079 172,491 168,205 65,647 590 65,056 64,598 459 38,454 20,829 21,368 12,076 2,823 6,468 6,750 236 8,769 989 5,162 4,286 1,582 4,957 165,952 63,178 24,095 10,773 7,640 5,682 174,112 169,805 64,796 779 64,017 63,490 527 38,540 20,803 23,200 12,395 4,202 6,603 6,540 231 8,760 1,136 5,799 4,307 1,582 4,943 167,586 62,208 26,680 10,076 8,583 8,022 174,402 170,081 65,909 768 65,141 64,686 455 38,541 20,695 21,460 12,204 2,979 6,277 6,980 240 8,749 1,062 6,446 4,321 1,583 4,940 167,879 61,762 313,805 310,314 318,940 316,789 332,275 310,328 313,016 309,825 318,762 63,939 42,231 713 850 7,101 5,560 764 6,720 63,874 44,555 704 466 6,951 5,663 568 4,967 66,194 45,484 614 215 7,370 4,500 608 7,404 66,372 45,521 728 587 7,900 5,814 795 5,028 78,411 55,129 1,106 245 9,213 6,453 681 5,583 61,673 44,102 705 380 5,747 6,023 641 4,074 59,464 43,072 719 561 5,918 4,560 610 4,025 64,512 44,768 821 627 6,313 7,011 734 4,239 65,564 43,905 686 439 7,285 5,848 617 6,783 6,800 95,480 86,122 6,442 64 2,240 611 83,625 0 1,532 82,094 36,388 6,808 95,238 86,027 6,392 62 2,167 589 80,213 0 440 79,772 36,270 7,097 95,920 87,009 6,118 59 2,145 588 83,973 800 3,652 79,521 37,919 7,434 96,345 87,482 6,008 56 2,221 579 80,317 0 4,392 75,925 39,087 7,742 97,844 88,643 6,064 50 2,524 563 80,216 0 4,609 75,608 39,978 7,907 98,981 89,943 5,940 50 2,540 508 80,801 0 4,506 76,295 33,037 7,753 98,629 89,513 6,093 50 2,441 531 82,980 0 4,610 78,370 36,140 7,584 99,180 90,124 6,177 37 2,322 520 74,184 0 4,825 69,359 36,341 7,449 98,517 89,336 6,165 38 2,448 530 81,178 2,990 4,824 73,364 38,053 286,232 282,402 291,104 289,555 304,191 282,398 284,965 281,802 290,760 27,573 27,912 27,836 27,234 28,084 27,930 28,050 28,024 28,002 201,268 170,882 34,390 198,766 168,789 34,229 199,094 169,634 34,093 203,482 173,535 34,743 204,440 174,427 35,176 204,818 174,840 35,727 202,532 173,252 35,491 204,311 175,039 36,057 208,292 178,802 35,885 MEMO 67 Total loans and leases (gross) and investments adjusted 1 ' 7 68 Total loans and leases (gross) adjusted 7 69 Time deposits in amounts of $100,000 or more 1. Excludes trading account securities. 2. Not available due to confidentiality. 3. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 4. Includes trading account securities. 5. Includes federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 6. Not a measure of equity capital for use in capital adequacy analysis or for other analytic uses. 7. Exclusive of loans and federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H.4.2 (504) release. For address, see inside front cover. Weekly Reporting Commercial Banks 1.30 LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING U.S. BRANCHES AND AGENCIES OF FOREIGN BANKS 1 Liabilities A21 Assets and Millions of dollars, W e d n e s d a y figures 1987 1986 Account Dec. 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Cash and due from depository institutions. Total loans and securities U.S. Treasury and govt, agency securities Other securities Federal funds sold 2 To commercial banks in the United States To others Other loans, gross Commercial and industrial Bankers acceptances and commercial paper All other U.S. addressees Non-U.S. addressees To financial institutions Commercial banks in the United States. Banks in foreign countries Nonbank financial institutions To foreign govts, and official institutions .. For purchasing and carrying securities . . All other Other assets (claims on nonrelated parties).. Net due from related institutions Total assets Deposits or credit balances due to other than directly related institutions Transaction accounts and credit balances3 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Other Nontransaction accounts 4 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Other Borrowings from other than directly related institutions Federal funds purchased 5 From commercial banks in the United States From others Other liabilities for borrowed money To commercial banks in the United States To others Other liabilities to nonrelated parties Net due to related institutions Total liabilities Dec. 1C Dec. 17 Dec. 24 Dec. 31' Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 Jan. 28 10,195 77,993 5,985 5,463 5,502 4,589 913 61,042 37,74C 9,625 77,381 6,231 5,626 5,002 4,028 973 60,523 37,246 9,616 81,849 6,100 5,678 5,664 4,717 947 64,407 38,570 9,651 87,080 6,066 5,846 5,137 4,218 918 70,032 41,090 11,946 91,699 6,508 6,102 6,671 5,675 9% 72,418 43,214 9,997 85,084 6,715 6,118 4,612 3,308 1,303 67,639 40,951 9,790 84,204 6,460 6,158 5,513 3,864 1,648 66,073 40,183 9,990 86,466 6,630 6,256 7,463 5,856 1,606 66,116 40,530 10,191 86,081 6,430 6,453 6,645 4,880 1,765 66,553 40,767 3,033 34,707' 32,459' 2,248 15,056 11,749 1,031 2,276 510 2,363 5,373' 22,878 12,410 123,476 3,111 34,135 31,987 2,147 15,021 11,573 1,048 2,401 512 2,655 5,089 22,608 13,419 123,034 2,999 35,571 33,354 2,217 16,034 12,360 1,099 2,575 518 3,635 5,649 23,286 14,281 129,032 3,031 38,058 35,620 2,438 17,378 13,388 1,038 2,952 505 4,852 6,207 22,894 16,498 136,122 3,170 40,044 37,989 2,054 17,310 12,770 1,249 3,290 548 5,105 6,242 23,673 14,427 141,745 3,039 37,912 35,764 2,149 16,059 11,916 1,092 3,051 525 3,900 6,204 22,378 15,988 133,448 2,893 37,290 35,085 2,205 15,974 11,981 1,092 2,900 527 3,496 5,892 22,723 16,615 133,332 2,988 37,542 35,324 2,218 15,546 11,785 990 2,772 556 3,602 5,883 22,756 14,980 134,191 2,987 37,781 35,364 2,416 15,798 12,044 1,048 2,706 576 3,610 5,802 22,913 13,701 132,886 37,383 3,600 37,425 3,502 38,849 3,960 40,348 3,578 42,414 3,975 38,694 3,191 39,572 3,576 39,745 3,809 39,225 3,488 2,006 1,593 33,784 1,987 1,515 33,923 2,082 1,878 34,889 2,180 1,398 36,770 1,888 2,086 38,440 1,884 1,308 35,502 1,843 1,733 35,9% 1,969 1,840 35,936 1,859 1,629 35,737 27,270 6,514 27,418 6,505 28,367 6,522 30,112 6,658 31,525 6,915 28,774 6,728 29,114 6,882 29,275 6,661 28,868 6,869 47,890 24,298 45,776 23,176 48,447 24,656 53,087 23,552 50,791 21,822 55,698 31,088 53,770 28,147 54,113 28,405 51,234 26,191 16,445 7,853 23,591 15,112 8,064 22,600 15,092 9,564 23,790 14,516 9,036 29,535 12,046 9,776 28,968 20,112 10,976 24,610 18,361 9,786 25,623 17,123 11,282 25,707 16,001 10,190 25,042 20,606 2,985 24,735 13,468 123,476 19,506 3,094 24,746 15,086 123,034 20,556 3,234 25,433 16,303 129,032 25,540 3,996 25,296 17,391 136,122 24,628 4,341 25,119 23,421 141,745 21,691 2,919 24,077 14,979 133,448 22,580 3,042 24,519 15,472 133,332 22,133 3,574 24,517 15,817 134,191 21,864 3,178 24,967 17,460 132,886 61,655 50,206 61,780 49,923 64,772 52,993 69,473 57,562 73,254 60,644 69,859 57,026 68,359 55,741 68,824 55,938 69,157 56,275 MEMO 41 Total loans (gross) and securities adjusted 6 42 Total loans (gross) adjusted 6 1. Effective Jan. 1, 1986, the reporting panel includes 65 U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks that include those branches and agencies with assets of $750 million or more on June 30, 1980, plus those branches and agencies that had reached the $750 million asset level on Dec. 31, 1984. 2. Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 3. Includes credit balances, demand deposits, and other checkable deposits. 4. Includes savings deposits, money market deposit accounts, and time deposits. 5. Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 6. Exclusive of loans to and federal funds sold to commercial banks in the United States. A22 1.31 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 GROSS DEMAND DEPOSITS Individuals, Partnerships, and Corporations' Billions of dollars, estimated daily-average balances, not seasonally adjusted Commercial banks Type of holder 1981 Dec. 1982 Dec. 1983 Dec. 1985 1984 Dec. June 34 Sept. 1986 Dec. Mar. June' Sept. 1 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 288.9 291.8 293.5 302.7 298.4 299.3 321.0 307.4 322.4 333.6 2 3 4 5 6 28.0 154.8 86.6 2.9 16.7 35.4 150.5 85.9 3.0 17.0 32.8 161.1 78.5 3.3 17.8 31.7 166.3 81.5 3.6 19.7 27.9 164.5 82.8 3.7 19.5 28.1 167.2 82.0 3.5 18.5 32.3 178.5 85.5 3.5 21.2 31.8 166.6 84.0 3.4 21.6 32.3 180.0 86.4 3.0 20.7 35.9 185.9 86.3 3.3 22.2 Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other Weekly reporting banks 1981 Dec. 1982 Dec. 1983 Dec. June3-4 7 All holders—Individuals, partnerships, and corporations 8 9 10 11 12 Financial business Nonfinancial business Consumer Foreign Other Sept. Dec. Mar. June1, Sept.P 137.5 144.2 146.2 157.1 151.2 153.6 168.6 159.7 168.5 174.7 21.0 75.2 30.4 2.8 8.0 26.7 74.3 31.9 2.9 8.4 24.2 79.8 29.7 3.1 9.3 25.3 87.1 30.5 3.4 10.9 22.1 83.7 31.0 3.5 10.9 22.7 85.5 31.6 3.3 10.5 25.9 94.5 33.2 3.1 12.0 25.5 86.8 32.6 3.3 11.5 25.7 93.1 34.9 2.9 11.9 28.9 94.8 35.0 3.2 12.8 1. Figures include cash items in process of collection. Estimates of gross deposits are based on reports supplied by a sample of commercial banks. Types of depositors in each category are described in the June 1971 BULLETIN, p. 466. Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. 2. Beginning in March 1984, these data reflect a change in the panel of weekly reporting banks, and are not comparable to earlier data. Estimates in billions of dollars for December 1983 based on the new weekly reporting panel are: financial business, 24.4; nonfinancial business, 80.9; consumer, 30.1; foreign, 3.1; other, 9.5. 3. Beginning March 1985, financial business deposits and, by implication, total gross demand deposits have been redefined to exclude demand deposits due to 1986 1985 1984 Dec. 2 thrift institutions. Historical data have not been revised. The estimated volume of such deposits for December 1984 is $5.0 billion at all insured commercial banks and $3.0 billion at weekly reporting banks. 4. Historical data back to March 1985 have been revised to account for corrections of bank reporting errors. Historical data before March 1985 have not been revised, and may contain reporting errors. Data for all commercial banks for March 1985 were revised as follows (in billions of dollars): all holders, - . 3 ; financial business, - . 8 ; nonfinancial business, - . 4 ; consumer, .9; foreign, .1; other, - . 1 . Data for weekly reporting banks for March 1985 were revised as follows (in billions of dollars): all holders, - .1; financial business, - . 7 ; nonfinancial business, - . 5 ; consumer, 1.1; foreign, .1; other, - . 2 . Financial Markets 1.32 A23 COMMERCIAL PAPER AND BANKERS DOLLAR ACCEPTANCES OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 Instrument Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Commercial paper (seasonally adjusted unless noted otherwise) 1 A11 issuers 2 3 4 5 6 Financial companies 3 Dealer-placed paper4 Total Bank-related (not seasonally adjusted) Directly placed paper5 Total Bank-related (not seasonally adjusted) Nonfinancial companies 6 166,436 187,658 237,586 300,899 332,330 311,435 326,601 326,567 329,516 321,907 332,330 34,605 44,455 56,485 78,443 100,942 90,038 94,084 97,994 99,688 93,548 100,942 2,516 2,441 2,035 1,602 2,265 1,772 1,799 1,980 2,172 2,031 2,265 84,393 97,042 110,543 135,504 152,159 142,121 149,200 147,497 147,163 146,434 152,159 32,034 47,437 35,566 46,161 42,105 70,558 44,778 86,952 40,860 79,229 39,067 79,276 40,415 83,317 37,455 81,076 38,957 82,665 39,205 81,925 40,860 79,229 Bankers dollar acceptances (not seasonally adjusted) 7 7 Total Holder Accepting banks Own bills Bills bought Federal Reserve Banks Own account Foreign correspondents Others Basis 14 Imports into United States 15 Exports from United States 16 All other 8 9 10 11 12 13 79,543 78,309 78,364' 68,4iy 64,974' 66,437 64,480 67,009 65,920 64,952 64,974 10,910 9,471 1,439 9,355 8,125 1,230 9,811 8,621 1,191 11,197' 9,471' 1,726 13,423' 11,707' 1,716 11,577 9,257 2,320 12,127 9,794 2,333 13,101 11,001 2,101 12,569 10,178 2,391 12,787 10,951 1,835 13,423 11,707 1,716 1,480 949 66,204 418 729 67,807 0 671 67,881' 0 937 56,279' 0 1,317 50,234' 0 931 53,929 0 897 51,456 0 924 52,984 0 1,131 52,220 0 1,052 51,113 0 1,317 50,234 17,683 16,328 45,531 15,649 16,880 45,781 17,845' 16,305' 44,214' 15,147 13,204 40,062' 14,67c 12,94c 37,364' 15,601 13,781 37,056 15,796 12,948 35,736 16,612 12,693 37,704 15,980 12,612 37,327' 15,354' 12,699' 36,899 14,670 12,940 37,364 1. Effective Dec. 1, 1982, there was a break in the commercial paper series. The key changes in the content of the data involved additions to the reporting panel, the exclusion of broker or dealer placed borrowings under any master note agreements from the reported data, and the reclassification of a large portion of bank-related paper from dealer-placed to directly placed. 2. Correction of a previous misclassification of paper by a reporter has created a break in the series beginning December 1983. The correction adds some paper to nonfinancial and to dealer-placed financial paper. 3. Institutions engaged primarily in activities such as, but not limited to, commercial, savings, and mortgage banking; sales, personal, and mortgage financing; factoring, finance leasing, and other business lending; insurance underwriting; and other investment activities. 1.33 4. Includes all financial company paper sold by dealers in the open market. 5. As reported by financial companies that place their paper directly with investors. 6. Includes public utilities and firms engaged primarily in such activities as communications, construction, manufacturing, mining, wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and services. 7. Beginning October 1984, the number of respondents in the bankers acceptance survey were reduced from 340 to 160 institutions—those with $50 million or more in total acceptances. The new reporting group accounts for over 95 percent of total acceptances activity. PRIME RATE CHARGED BY BANKS on Short-Term Business Loans Percent per annum Average rate Effective Date 11.50 12.00 12.50 13.00 12.75 12.50 12.00 11.75 11.25 10.75 1985—Jan. 15 May 20 June 18 10.50 10.00 9.50 1986—Mar. 7 Apr. 21 July 11 Aug. 26 9.00 8.50 8.00 7.50 NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H.15 (519) release. For address, see inside front cover. 1984—Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept Oct. Nov. Dec. 1985—Jan.. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. June July. 11.00 11.00 11.21 11.93 12.39 12.60 13.00 13.00 12.97 12.58 11.77 11.06 10.61 10.50 10.50 10.50 10.31 9.78 9.50 1985—Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1986—Jan.. Feb., Mar. Apr., May, June, July. Aug. Sept. Oct., Nov. Dec. 1987—Jan. . A24 1.35 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 INTEREST RATES Money and Capital Markets A v e r a g e s , percent per annum; w e e k l y and monthly figures are averages of business day data unless otherwise noted. 1987 1986 Instrument 1984 1985 1987, week ending 1986 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Jan. 2 Jan. 9 Jan. 16 Jan. 23 Jan. 30 MONEY MARKET RATES 1 Federal funds 1 - 2 2 Discount window borrowing 1 ' 2,3 Commercial paper 4 ' 5 3 1-month 4 3-month i 6-month Finance paper, directly placed 4 ' 5 6 1-month 7 3-month 8 6-month Bankers acceptances 5 - 6 9 3-month 10 6-month Certificates of deposit, secondary market 7 11 1-month 12 3-month 13 6-month 14 Eurodollar deposits, 3-month 8 U.S. Treasury bills5 Secondary market 9 15 3-month 16 6-month 17 1-year Auction average 10 18 3-month 19 6-month 20 1-year 10.22 8.80 8.10 7.69 6.80 6.33 5.85 5.50 6.04 5.50 6.91 5.50 6.43 5.50 9.20 5.50 7.62 5.50 6.01 5.50 6.01 5.50 6.13 5.50 10.05 10.10 10.16 7.94 7.95 8.01 6.62 6.49 6.39 5.74 5.68 5.61 5.84 5.76 5.69 6.63 6.10 5.88 5.95 5.84 5.76 7.31 6.32 6.00 6.01 5.87 5.77 5.90 5.80 5.73 5.87 5.79 5.71 5.94 5.87 5.78 9.97 9.73 9.65 7.91 7.77 7.75 6.58 6.38 6.31 5.74 5.56 5.50 5.79 5.67 5.58 6.32 5.81 5.74 5.86 5.59 5.60 6.89 6.05 6.03 5.83 5.57 5.76 5.79 5.57 5.54 5.75 5.44 5.41 5.86 5.61 5.55 10.14 10.19 7.92 7.96 6.39 6.29 5.58 5.52 5.67 5.59 5.96 5.78 5.74 5.65 6.08 5.86 5.72 5.64 5.71 5.63 5.69 5.60 5.81 5.71 10.17 10.37 10.68 10.73 7.97 8.05 8.25 8.28 6.61 6.52 6.51 6.71 5.71 5.69 5.70 5.88 5.80 5.76 5.76 5.96 6.66 6.04 5.95 6.23 5.94 5.87 5.85 6.10 7.32 6.22 6.06 6.16 6.00 5.90 5.86 6.06 5.91 5.85 5.84 6.08 5.85 5.82 5.80 6.10 5.92 5.88 5.87 6.14 9.52 9.76 9.92 7.48 7.65 7.81 5.98 6.03 6.08 5.18 5.26 5.41 5.35 5.41 5.48 5.53 5.55 5.55 5.43 5.44 5.46 5.65 5.64 5.64 5.46 5.49 5.49 5.35 5.41 5.45 5.35 5.33 5.38 5.51 5.47 5.50 9.57 9.80 9.91 7.47 7.64 7.76 5.96 6.03 6.07 5.18 5.26 5.44 5.35 5.42 5.45 5.49 5.53 5.60 5.45 5.47 5.44 5.53 5.55 n.a. 5.38 5.43 n.a. 5.23 5.27 n.a. 5.44 5.43 5.44 5.58 5.59 n.a. 10.89 11.65 11.89 12.24 12.40 12.44 12.48 12.39 8.43 9.27 9.64 10.13 10.51 10.62 10.97 10.79 6.46 6.87 7.06 7.31 7.55 7.68 7.85 7.80 5.72 6.28 6.56 6.83 7.24 7.43 7.61 7.70 5.80 6.28 6.46 6.76 7.08 7.25 7.42 7.52 5.87 6.27 6.43 6.67 6.97 7.11 7.28 7.37 5.78 6.23 6.41 6.64 6.92 7.08 n.a. 7.39 5.97 6.36 6.54 6.79 7.07 7.20 7.36 7.45 5.80 6.22 6.38 6.63 6.91 7.05 n.a. 7.33 5.76 6.22 6.39 6.63 6.92 7.07 n.a. 7.37 5.69 6.18 6.37 6.58 6.86 7.03 n.a. 7.33 5.82 6.26 6.46 6.66 6.96 7.15 n.a. 7.47 11.99 10.75 8.14 8.04 7.81 7.67 7.60 7.74 7.57 7.58 7.54 7.67 9.61 10.38 10.10 8.60 9.58 9.11 6.95 7.76r 7.32 6.44 7.23 7.08 6.19 7.13 6.85 6.29 7.25 6.86 6.12 6.93 6.61 6.25 7.20 6.85 6.15 6.35 6.70 6.10 7.05 6.65 6.05 7.00 6.54 6.05 7.05 6.56 13.49 12.71 13.31 13.74 14.19 12.05 11.37 11.82 12.28 12.72 9.71 9.02 9.47 9.95 10.39 9.54 8.86 9.33 9.72 10.24 9.37 8.68 9.20 9.51 10.07 9.23 8.49 9.02 9.41 9.97 9.04 8.36 8.86 9.23 9.72 9.22 8.49 9.01 9.41 9.97 9.12 8.40 8.93 9.32 9.82 9.03 8.33 8.83 9.26 9.70 8.98 8.31 8.81 9.15 9.65 9.01 8.37 8.83 9.16 9.68 13.81 12.06 9.61 9.48 9.31 9.08 8.92 9.14 8.92 8.88 8.84 8.81 11.59 4.64 10.49 4.25 8.76 3.48 8.17 3.49 8.07 3.40 8.18 3.38 7.91 3.17 8.21 3.47 7.99 3.28 7.91 3.20 7.86 3.14 7.89 3.07 CAPITAL MARKET RATES 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 U.S. Treasury notes and bonds 11 Constant maturities 12 1-year 2-year 3-year 5-year 7-year 10-year 20-year 30-year Composite 13 Over 10 years (long-term) State and local notes and bonds Moody's series 14 Aaa Baa Bond Buyer series 15 Corporate bonds Seasoned issues 16 All industries Aaa Aa A Baa A-rated, recently-offered utility bonds 17 MEMO: Dividend/price ratio 18 39 Preferred stocks 40 Common stocks 1. Weekly and monthly figures are averages of all calendar days, where the rate for a weekend or holiday is taken to be the rate prevailing on the preceding business day. The daily rate is the average of the rates on a given day weighted by the volume of transactions at these rates. 2. Weekly figures are averages for statement week ending Wednesday. 3. Rate for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. 4. Unweighted average of offering rates quoted by at least five dealers (in the case of commercial paper), or finance companies (in the case of finance paper). Before November 1979, maturities for data shown are 30-59 days, 90—119 days, and 120-179 days for commercial paper; and 30-59 days, 90—119 days, and 150— 179 days for finance paper. 5. Yields are quoted on a bank-discount basis, rather than an investment yield basis (which would give a higher figure). 6. Dealer closing offered rates for top-rated banks. Most representative rate (which may be, but need not be, the average of the rates quoted by the dealers). 7. Unweighted average of offered rates quoted by at least five dealers early in the day. 8. Calendar week average. For indication purposes only. 9. Unweighted average of closing bid rates quoted by at least five dealers. 10. Rates are recorded in the week in which bills are issued. Beginning with the Treasury bill auction held on Apr. 18, 1983, bidders were required to state the percentage yield (on a bank discount basis) that they would accept to two decimal places. Thus, average issuing rates in bill auctions will be reported using two rather than three decimal places. 11. Yields are based on closing bid prices quoted by at least five dealers. 12. Yields adjusted to constant maturities by the U.S. Treasury. That is, yields are read from a yield curve at fixed maturities. Based on only recently issued, actively traded securities. 13. Averages (to maturity or call) for all outstanding bonds neither due nor callable in less than 10 years, including one very low yielding "flower" bond. 14. General obligations based on Thursday figures; Moody's Investors Service. 15. General obligations only, with 20 years to maturity, issued by 20 state and local governmental units of mixed quality. Based on figures for Thursday. 16. Daily figures from Moody's Investors Service. Based on yields to maturity on selected long-term bonds. 17. Compilation of the Federal Reserve. This series is an estimate of the yield on recently-offered, A-rated utility bonds with a 30-year maturity and 5 years of call protection. Weekly data are based on Friday quotations. 18. Standard and Poor's corporate series. Preferred stock ratio based on a sample of ten issues: four public utilities, four industrials, one financial, and one transportation. Common stock ratios on the 500 stocks in the price index. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's H.15 (519) and G. 13 (415) releases. For address, see inside front cover. Financial Markets 1.36 STOCK MARKET A25 Selected Statistics 1986 Indicator 1984 1985 1987 1986 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Prices and trading (averages of daily figures) Common stock prices 1 New York Stock Exchange (Dec. 31, 1965 = 50) 2 Industrial 3 Transportation 4 Utility 5 Finance 6 Standard & Poor's Corporation (1941-43 = 10)1 . . . 7 American Stock Exchange 2 (Aug. 31, 1973 = 50) 92.46 108.01 85.63 46.44 89.28 160.50 108.09 123.79 104.11 56.75 114.21 186.84 136.00 155.85 119.85 71.35 147.18 236.34 137.37 158.59 122.21 68.65 151.28 238.46 140.82 163.15 120.65 70.69 151.73 245.30 138.32 158.06 112.03 74.20 150.23 240.18 140.91 160.10 111.24 77.84 152.90 245.00 137.06 156.52 114.06 74.56 145.56 238.27 136.74 156.56 120.04 73.38 143.89 237.36 140.84 162.10 122.27 75.77 142.97 245.09 142.12 163.85 121.26 76.07 144.29 248.61 151.17 175.60 126.61 78.54 153.32 264.51 207.96 229.10 264.38 274.22 281.18 269.93 268.55 264.30 257.82 265.14 264.65 289.02 Volume of trading (thousands of shares) 8 New York Stock Exchange 9 American Stock Exchange 91,084 109,191 141,306 127,624 126,151 137,709 128,661 150,831 9,885 10,853 6,107 8,355 11,846 11,870 12,795 10,320 131,155 8,930 154,770 10,513 148,228 12,272 192,419 14,755 Customer financing (end-of-period balances, in millions of dollars) 10 Margin credit at broker-dealers 3 Free credit balances at brokers4 11 Margin-account 5 12 Cash-account 22,470 28,390 36,840 32,370 32,480 33,170 34,550 34,580 36,310 37,090 36,840 34,960 1,755 10,215 2,715 12,840 4,880 19,000 2,405 12,970 2,585 13,570 2,570 14,600 3,035 14,210 3,395 14,060 3,805 14,445 3,765 15,045 4,880 19,000 5,060 17,395 Margin-account debt at brokers (percentage distribution, end of period) 6 13 Total 14 15 16 17 18 19 By equity class (in percentf Under 40 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80 or more 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 18.0 18.0 16.0 9.0 5.0 6.0 34.0 20.0 19.0 30.0 19.0 22.0 12.0 8.0 9.0 31.0 20.0 20.0 13.0 8.0 8.0 11.0 8.0 8.0 Special miscellaneous-account balances at brokers (end of period) 6 20 Total balances (millions of dollars) Distribution by equity status 21 Net credit status Debt status, equity of 22 60 percent or more 23 Less than 60 percent 8 109,620 75,840 99,310 112,401 59.0 58.0 58.0 59.0 29.0 31.0 33.0 9.0 32.0 9.0 (percent) 11.0 11.0 Margin requirements (percent of market value and effective date) 9 24 Margin stocks 25 Convertible bonds 26 Short sales Mar. 11, 1968 June 8, 1968 May 6, 1970 Dec. 6, 1971 Nov. 24, 1972 Jan. 3, 1974 70 50 70 80 60 80 65 50 65 55 50 55 65 50 65 50 50 50 1. Effective July 1976, includes a new financial group, banks and insurance companies. With this change the index includes 400 industrial stocks (formerly 425), 20 transportation (formerly 15 rail), 40 public utility (formerly 60), and 40 financial. 2. Beginning July 5, 1983, the American Stock Exchange rebased its index effectively cutting previous readings in half. 3. Beginning July 1983, under the revised Regulation T, margin credit at broker-dealers includes credit extended against stocks, convertible bonds, stocks acquired through exercise of subscription rights, corporate bonds, and government securities. Separate reporting of data for margin stocks, convertible bonds, and subscription issues was discontinued in April 1984, and margin credit at broker-dealers became the total that is distributed by equity class and shown on lines 17-22. 4. Free credit balances are in accounts with no unfulfilled commitments to the brokers and are subject to withdrawal by customers on demand. 5. New series beginning June 1984. 6. In July 1986, the New York Stock Exchange stopped reporting certain data items that were previously obtained in a monthly survey of a sample of brokers and dealers. Data items that are no longer reported include distributions of margin debt by equity status of the account and special miscellaneous-account balances. 7. Each customer's equity in his collateral (market value of collateral less net debit balance) is expressed as a percentage of current collateral values. 8. Balances that may be used by customers as the margin deposit required for additional purchases. Balances may arise as transfers based on loan values of other collateral in the customer's margin account or deposits of cash (usually sales proceeds) occur. 9. Regulations G, T, and U of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, prescribed in accordance with the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit to purchase and carry margin stocks that may be extended on securities as collateral by prescribing a maximum loan value, which is a specified percentage of the market value of the collateral at the time the credit is extended. Margin requirements are the difference between the market value (100 percent) and the maximum loan value. The term "margin stocks" is defined in the corresponding regulation. A26 1.37 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 SELECTED FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS Selected Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, end o f period 1986 Account 1983 1984 Feb. Mar. May Apr. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Savings and loan associations 1 Assets 773,417 903,488 943,029 947,302 954,869 963,274 954,226' 7 Mortgages 494,789 555,277 4 Cash and investment securities1 . 5 Other 104,274 174,354 124,801 223,396 576,608 98,482 127,028 239,394 574,732 99,332 131,464 241,104 575,177 103,415 132,351' 247,339 574,992 108,324 134,881 253,400' 565,037' 565,353' 113,158' 113,099' 130,877 132,791' 258,31C 259,806' 6 Liabilities and net worth 7 Savings capital 8 Borrowed money 9 FHLBB 10 Other 11 Other 12 Net worth 2 957,952' 965,035' 957,303' 961,939' 964,198' 566,438' 113,619 138,864' 259,731' 557,137' 117,675' 138,552' 261,613' 557,303' 121,238' 138,532' 266,101' 963,163 556,780' 122,420' 141,504' 265,914' 553,552 122,847 142,841 266,769 773,417 903,488 943,029 947,302 954,869 963,274 954,226' 957,952' 965,035' 957,303' 961,939' 964,198' 963,163 634,455 92,127 52,626 39,501 15,968 725,045 125,666 64,207 61,459 17,944 747,016 131,671 71,214 60,457 23,125 752,056 133,407 70,464 62,943 20,078 750,299 140,427 73,815 66,612 21,978 751,138 145,032 73,520 71,512 24,722 744,026 148,054' 73,553 74,501' 20,792 747,020 749,020 743,517' 742,682' 740,095' 146,578' 148,535 155,735' 152,626' 156,896' 80,364 75,594 75,295 75,626' 75,058 71,520' 72,941 75,371' 77,331' 81,270' 22,782' 24,703' 15,463' 23,264' 24,097' 740,920 156,814 80,129 76,685 20,557 30,867 34,833 41,217 41,760 42,163 42,382 41,353' 41,571' 42,776' 42,588' 43,365' 43,110' 42,871 54,113 61,305 52,542 54,366 55,818 57,997 57,200 55,687 53,180 51,163' 49,887' 48,222' 41,650 MEMO N Mortgage loan commitments outstanding 3 FSLlC-insured federal savings banks 14 Assets 64,969 98,559 146,508 152,823 155,686 164,129 180,124 183,317' 186,810' 196,228' 202,106' 204,927' 211,368 15 Mortgages 16 Mortgage-backed securities.... 17 Other 38,698 7,172 6,595 57,429 9,949 10,971 81,641 16,367 13,759 85,028 17,851 13,923 86,598 18,661 14,590 89,108 19,829 15,083 99,758 21,598 16,774 101,759 23,247 17,025 103,020 24,097 17,056 108,217' 110,830' 112,138' 26,440' 27,516' 28,326' 18,492 18,693' 19,265' 113,403 29,825 19,784 18 Liabilities and net worth 64,969 98,559 146,508 152,823 155,686 164,129 180,124 183,317' 186,810' 196,228' 202,106' 204,927' 211,368 19 20 71 ?? 73 24 53,227 7,477 4,640 2,837 1,157 3,108 79,572 12,798 7,515 5,283 1,903 4,286 114,743 21,254 11,283 9,971 3,397 7,114 119,434 22,747 12,064 10,683 3,291 7,349 121,133 23,1% 12,476 10,720 3,758 7,599 126,123 25,686 12,830 12,856 4,338 7,982 138,168 28,502 15,301 13,201 4,279 9,175 140,610 28,722 15,866 12,856 4,564' 9,422' 142,858 29,390 16,123 13,267 4,914' 9,647 154,447' 33,937' 17,863' 16,074' 5,652' 10,891' 157,600 37,079 19,897 17,182 5,749 10,939 2,151 3,234 7,718 8,330 8,287 8,762 9,410 10,134 9,770 9,957' 8,687 Savings capital Borrowed money FHLBB Other Other Net worth 149,074' 152,834 32,319 33,430 16,853 17,382 15,466 16,048 4,671' 5,324' 10,163' 10,522 MEMO 25 Mortgage loan commitments outstanding 3 10,221' 9,356' Savings banks 26 Assets 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Loans Mortgage Other Securities U.S. government Mortgage-backed securities... State and local government... Corporate and other Cash Other assets 35 Liabilities 36 Deposits 37 Regular 4 38 Ordinary savings 39 Time 40 Other 41 Other liabilities 42 General reserve accounts 193,535 203,898 218,119 221,256 222,542 226,495 223,367 224,569 227,011 228,854 230,919 232,577 97,356 19,129 102,895 24,954 109,702 32,501 110,271 34,873 111,813 34,591 112,417 35,500 110,958 36,692 111,971 36,421 113,265 37,350 114,188 37,298 116,648 36,130 117,612 36,149 15,360 18,205 2,177 25,375 6,263 9,670 14,643 19,215 2,077 23,747 4,954 11,413 12,474 21,525 2,297 20,707 5,646 13,267 12,313 21,593 2,306 20,403 5,845 13,652 12,013 21,885 2,372 20,439 5,570 13,859 13,210 22,546 2,343 20,260 6,225 13,994 12,115 22,413 2,281 2,036 5,301 13,244 12,297 22,954 2,309 20,862 4,651 13,104 12,043 21,161 2,400 20,602 5,018 13,172 12,357 23,216 2,407 20,902 4,811 13,675 12,585 23,437 2,347 21,156 5,195 13,421 13,037 24,051 2,290 20,749 5,052 13,637 193,535 203,898 218,119 221,256 222,542 226,495 223,367 224,569 227,011 228,854 230,919 232,577 188,960 184,704 33,021 105,562 4,256 18,412 13,548 189,025 184,580 33,057 105,550 4,445 19,074 14,114 190,310 185,716 33,577 105,146 4,594 21,384 14,519 189,109 183,970 34,008 103,083 5,139 19,226 14,731 188,615 183,433 34,166 102,374 5,182 20,641 15,084 189,937 184,764 34,530 102,668 5,173 21,360 15,427 190,210 185,002 35,227 102,191 5,208 21,947 16,319 190,334 185,254 36,165 101,125 5,080 23,319 16,8% 190,858 185,958 36,739 102,240 4,900 24,254 17,146 172,665 170,135 38,554 95,129 2,530 10,154 10,368 180,616 177,418 33,739 104,732 3,198 12,504 10,510 186,777 182,890 32,693 104,588 3,887 17,793 13,211 n.a. Financial Markets All 1.37—Continued 1986 Account 1983 1984 Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Credit unions 5 43 Total assets/liabilities and capital . 81,961 93,036 122,623 126,653 128,229 132,415 134,703 137,901 139,233 140,496 143,662 145,653 44 45 54,482 27,479 63,205 29,831 80,024 42,599 82,275 44,378 83,543 44,686 86,289 46,126 87,579 47,124 89,539 48,362 90,367 48,866 91,981 48,515 93,257 50,405 94,638 51,015 50,083 32,930 17,153 74,739 49,889 24,850 62,561 42,337 20,224 84,348 57,539 26,809 74,207 48,059 26,148 110,541 73,227 37,314 75,300 48,633 26,667 114,579 75,698 38,881 76,385 49,756 26,629 116,703 77,112 39,591 76,774 49,950 26,824 120,331 79,479 40,852 77,847 50,613 27,234 122,952 80,975 41,977 79,647 51,331 28,316 125,331 82,596 42,735 80,656 52,007 28,649 126,268 83,132 43,136 81,820 53,042 28,778 128,125 84,607 43,518 83,388 53,434 29,954 130,483 86,158 44,325 84,635 53,877 30,758 131,778 87,009 44,769 n.a. n.a. n.a. Federal State 46 Loans outstanding 47 Federal 48 State 49 Savings 50 Federal 51 State Life insurance companies 52 Assets 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 Securities Government United States 6 State and local Foreign 7 Business Bonds Stocks Mortgages Real estate Policy loans Other assets 654,948 722,979 839,856 848,535 855,605 863,610 872,359 877,919 887,255 892,304 910,691 50,752 63,899 28,636 42,204 9,986 8,713 12,130 12,982 322,854 359,333 257,986 295,998 64,868 63,335 150,999 156,699 22,234 25,767 54,063 54,505 54,046 63,776 76,761 53,264 9,588 13,909 435,758 354,911 80,847 172,997 29,356 54,267 57,351 77,965 54,289 9,674 14,002 440,963 357,196 83,767 174,823 29,804 54,273 57,753 78,494 54,705 9,869 13,920 445,573 361,306 84,267 175,951 30,059 54,272 57,492 79,051 55,120 9,930 14,001 450,279 364,122 86,157 177,554 30,025 54,351 57,802 78,284 54,197 10,114 13,973 455,119 367,966 87,153 180,041 30,350 57,342 58,290 78,722 54,321 10,350 14,051 455,013 369,704 85,309 182,542 31,151 54,249 58,792 79,188 54,487 10,472 14,229 463,135 374,670 88,465 183,943 31,844 54,247 57,905 81,636 56,698 10,606 14,332 462,540 378,267 84,273 185,268 31,725 54,273 58,086 84,858 59,802 10,712 14,344 473,860 386,293 87,567 189,460 32,184 54,152 58,006 1. Holdings of stock of the Federal Home Loan Banks are in "other assets." 2. Includes net undistributed income accrued by most associations. 3. As of July 1985, data include loans in process. 4. Excludes checking, club, and school accounts. 5. Data include all federally insured credit unions, both federal and state chartered, serving natural persons. 6. Direct and guaranteed obligations. Excludes federal agency issues not guaranteed, which are shown in the table under "Business" securities. 7. Issues of foreign governments and their subdivisions and bonds of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. NOTE. Savings and loan associations: Estimates by the FHLBB for all associations in the United States based on annual benchmarks for non-FSLICinsured associations and the experience of FSLIC-insured associations. FSLIC-insured federal savings banks: Estimates by the FHLBB for federal savings banks insured by the FSLIC and based on monthly reports of federally insured institutions. Savings banks: Estimates by the National Council of Savings Institutions for all savings banks in the United States and for FDIC-insured savings banks that have converted to federal savings banks. Credit unions: Estimates by the National Credit Union Administration for federally chartered and federally insured state-chartered credit unions serving natural persons. Life insurance companies: Estimates of the American Council of Life Insurance for all life insurance companies in the United States. Annual figures are annualstatement asset values, with bonds carried on an amortized basis and stocks at year-end market value. Adjustments for interest due and accrued and for differences between market and book values are not made on each item separately but are included, in toted, in "other assets." A28 1.38 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 FEDERAL FISCAL AND FINANCING OPERATIONS Millions of dollars Calendar year Type of account or operation Fiscal year 1984 Fiscal year 1985 Fiscal year 1986 1986 Aug. U.S. budget1 1 Receipts, total 2 On-budget 3 Off-budget 4 Outlays, total 5 On-budget 6 Off-budget 7 Surplus, or deficit ( - ) , total 8 On-budget Off-budget 9 Source of financing (total) Borrowing from the public Cash and monetary assets (decrease, or increase ( - ) ) 2 12 Other 3 10 11 666,457 n.a. n.a. 851,796 n.a. n.a. -185,339 n.a. n.a. 734,057 547,886 186,170 945,987 769,180 176,807 -211,931 -221,294 9,363 170,817 5,636 8,885 22,345 3,791 18,553 Sept. 1987 Oct. Nov. Dec. 59,012 43,865 15,147 84,267 68,780 15,486 -25,255 -24,915 -340 52,967 38,158 14,809 79,973 63,639 16,334 -27,006 -25,481 -1,524 78,035 60,694 17,341 90,112 75,623 14,489 -12,077 -14,930 2,853 Jan. 769,091 568,862 200,228 989,789 806,291 183,498 -220,698 -237,428 16,371 56,523 41,404 15,119 84,434 68,112 16,322 -27,911 -26,708 -1,203 197,269 235,745 20,278 22,188 5,936 40,352 22,824 4,353 10,673 3,989 -18,044 2,997 10,298 -2,665 -21,313 2,862 18,131 1,188 -2,721 -10,625 -14,751 4,004 -9,564 7,381 17,060 4,174 12,886 31,384 7,514 23,870 10,428 1,106 9,322 31,384 7,514 23,870 13,616 2,491 11,126 17,007 2,529 14,478 30,945 7,588 23,357 41,307 15,746 25,561 78,013 59,978 18,035 81,750 65,614 16,136 -3,737 -5,636 1,898 81,771 62,981 18,790 83,942 68,176 15,766 -2,170 -5,195 3,024 MEMO 13 Treasury operating balance (level, end of period) 14 Federal Reserve Banks 15 Tax and loan accounts 1. In accordance with the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, all former off-budget entries are now presented on-budget. The Federal Financing Bank (FFB) activities are now shown as separate accounts under the agencies that use the FFB to finance their programs. The act has also moved two social security trust funds (Federal old-age survivors insurance and Federal disability insurance trust funds) off-budget. 2. Includes U.S. Treasury operating cash accounts; SDRs; reserve position on the U.S. quota in the IMF; loans to International Monetary Fund; and other cash and monetary assets. 3. Includes accrued interest payable to the public; allocations of special drawing rights; deposit funds; miscellaneous liability (including checks outstanding) and asset accounts; seigniorage; increment on gold; net gain/loss for U.S. currency valuation adjustment; net gain/loss for IMF valuation adjustment; and profit on the sale of gold. SOURCE. "Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government," and the "Daily Treasury Statement." Federal Finance 1.39 A29 U.S. BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS Millions of dollars Calendar year Source or type Fiscal year 1985 Fiscal year 1986 1985 HI 1986 H2 1986 HI H2 Nov. 1987 Dec. Jan. RECEIPTS 1 All sources 2 Individual income taxes, net 3 Withheld Presidential Election Campaign Fund . . . 4 5 Nonwithheld 6 Refunds Corporation income taxes 7 Gross receipts 8 Refunds 9 Social insurance taxes and contributions, net 10 Employment taxes and contributions 1 Self-employment taxes and 11 contributions 2 12 Unemployment insurance 13 Other net receipts 3 734,057 769,091 380,618 364,790 394,345 387,524 52,967 78,035 81,771 334,531r 298,941 35 101,328 65,743 348,959 314,838' 36 105,994 71,873 166,783 149,288 29 76,155 58,684 169,987 155,725 6 22,295 8,038 169,444 153,919 31 78,981 63,488 183,156 164,071 4 27,733 8,652 24,122 24,242 0 1,143 1,263 33,584 30,733 0 3,585 734 46,466 26,375 0 20,254 163 77,413 16,082 80,442 17,298 42,193 8,370 36,528 7,751 41,946 9,557 42,108 8,230 2,716 968 16,531 839 4,332 872 265,163 283,901 144,598 128,017 156,714 134,006 21,751 22,267 25,664 234,646 255,062 126,038 116,276 139,706 122,246 19,015 21,625 24,266 10,468 25,758 4,759 11,840 24,098 4,742' 9,482 16,213 2,350 985 9,281 2,458 10,581 14,674 2,333 1,338 9,328 2,429 223 2,377 360 0 196 446 795 1,024 375 35,992 12,079 6,422 18,539' 32,919 13,323 6,958 19,887 17,259 5,807 3,204 9,144 18,470 6,354 3,323 9,861 15,944 6,369 3,487 10,002 15,947 7,282 3,649 9,605 2,488 1,090 488 1,279 3,003 1,098 695 1,696 2,840 1,135 652 1,554 18 All types 946,223 989,789 463,842 487,188 486,037 505,739 79,973 90,112 83,942 19 20 21 22 23 24 National defense International affairs General science, space, and technology... Energy Natural resources and environment Agriculture 252,748 16,176 8,627 5,685 13,357 25,565 273,369 14,471 9,017 4,792 13,508 31,169 124,186 6,675 4,230 680 5,892 11,705 134,675 8,367 4,727 3,305 7,553 15,412 135,367 5,384 12,519 2,484 6,245 14,482 138,544 8,876' 4,594 2,735 7,141 16,160 20,907 1,986 708 553 973 3,162 24,401 1.14C 843 485 1,253 3,751 22,057 358 562 390 1,003 4,063 25 26 27 28 Commerce and housing credit Transportation Community and regional development . . . . Education, training, employment, social services 4,229 25,838 7,680 4,258 28,058 7,510 -260 11,440 3,408 644 15,360 3,901 860 12,658 3,169 3,647 14,745 3,494 182 2,399 478 -314 2,409 548 717 1,870 477 14 15 16 17 Excise taxes Customs deposits Estate and gift taxes Miscellaneous receipts 4 OUTLAYS 29,342 29,662 14,149 14,481 14,712 15,268 2,504 2,8% 2,358 7.9 Health 30 Social security and medicare 31 Income security 33,542 254,446 128,200 35,936 190,850 120,686 16,945 128,351 65,246 17,237 129,037 59,457 17,872 135,214 60,786 19,814 138,2% 59,628 3,153 22,182 9,130 3,032 23,378 11,625 3,148 22,640 11,301 32 33 34 35 36 37 26,352 6,277 5,228 6,353 129,436 -32,759 26,614 6,555 6,796 6,430 135,284 -33,244 11,956 3,016 2,857 2,659 65,143 -14,436 14,527 3,212 3,634 3,391 67,448 -17,953 12,193 3,352 3,566 2,179 68,054 -17,193 14,497 3,360 2,786 2,767 65,816' -17,426 797 505 371 -2 12,441 -2,455 3,641 684 895 226 10,958' -2,694 2,227 482 166 -21 12,583 -2,440 Veterans benefits and services Administration of justice General government General-purpose fiscal assistance Net interest 5 Undistributed offsetting receipts 6 1. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance, and railroad retirement accounts. 2. Old-age, disability, and hospital insurance. 3. Federal employee retirement contributions and civil service retirement and disability fund. 4. Deposits of earnings by Federal Reserve Banks and other miscellaneous receipts. 5. Net interest function includes interest received by trust funds. 6. Consists of rents and royalties on the outer continental shelf and U.S. government contributions for employee retirement. SOURCE. "Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government," and the Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 1988. A30 1.40 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 FEDERAL DEBT SUBJECT TO STATUTORY LIMITATION Billions of dollars 1985 1984 1986 Item Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 Mar. 31 June 30 1 Federal debt outstanding 1,576.7 1,667.4 1,715.1 1,779.0 1,827.5 1,950.3 1,991.1 2,063.6 2,129.5 2 Public debt securities Held by public 3 4 Held by agencies 1,572.3 1,309.2 263.1 1,663.0 1,373.4 289.6 1,710.7 1,415.2 295.5 1,774.6 1,460.5 314.2 1,823.1 1,506.6 316.5 1,945.9 1,597.1 348.9 1,986.8 1,634.3 352.6 2,059.3 1,684.9 374.4 2,125.3 1,742.4 382.9 4.5 3.4 1.1 4.5 3.4 1.1 4.4 3.3 1.1 4.4 3.3 1.1 4.4 3.3 1.1 4.4 3.3 1.1 4.3 3.2 1.1 4.3 3.2 1.1 4.2 3.2 1.1 1,573.0 1,663.7 1,711.4 1,775.3 1,823.8 1,932.4 1,973.3 2,060.0 2,111.0 1,931.1 1.3 1,972.0 1.3 2,058.7 1.3 2,109.7 1.3 2,078.7 2,078.7 2,078.7 2,111.0 5 Agency securities 6 Held by public 7 Held by agencies 8 Debt subject to statutory limit 9 Public debt securities 10 Other debt 1 1,571.7 1.3 1,662.4 1.3 1,710.1 1.3 1,774.0 1.3 1,822.5 1.3 11 MEMO: Statutory debt limit 1,573.0 1,823.8 1,823.8 1,823.8 1,823.8 1. Includes guaranteed debt of government agencies, specified participation certificates, notes to international lending organizations, and District of Columbia stadium bonds. 1.41 GROSS PUBLIC DEBT OF U.S. TREASURY Sept. 30 NOTE. Data from Treasury Bulletin and Daily Treasury Statement Treasury Department), (U.S. Types and Ownership Billions of dollars, end o f period 1985 Type and holder 1982 1983 1984 Q4 1 Total gross public debt 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 in u 12 13 By type Interest-bearing debt Marketable Bills Notes Bonds Nonmarketable 1 State and local2 government series Foreign issues Government Public Savings bonds and notes Government account series 3 14 Non-interest-bearing debt 15 16 17 18 19 70 21 22 23 74 75 26 By holder4 U.S. government agencies and trust funds Federal Reserve Banks Private investors Commercial banks Money market funds Insurance companies Other companies State and local governments Individuals Savings bonds Other securities Foreign and international 5 Other miscellaneous investors 6 Q2 Ql Q3 1,197.1 1,410.7 1,663.0 1,945.9 1,945.9 1,986.8 2,059.3 2,125.3 1,195.5 881.5 311.8 465.0 104.6 314.0 25.7 14.7 13.0 1.7 68.0 205.4 1,400.9 1,050.9 343.8 573.4 133.7 350.0 36.7 10.4 10.4 .0 70.7 231.9 1,660.6 1,247.4 374.4 705.1 167.9 413.2 44.4 9.1 9.1 .0 73.1 286.2 1,943.4 1,437.7 399.9 812.5 211.1 505.7 87.5 7.5 7.5 .0 78.1 332.2 1,943.4 1,437.7 399.9 812.5 211.1 505.7 87.5 7.5 7.5 .0 78.1 332.2 1,984.2 1,472.8 393.2 842.5 223.0 511.4 88.5 6.7 6.7 .0 79.8 336.0 2,056.7 1,498.2 396.9 869.3 232.3 558.5 98.2 5.3 5.3 .0 82.3 372.3 2,122.7 1,564.3 410.7 896.9 241.7 558.4 102.4 4.1 4.1 .0 85.6 365.9 1.6 9.8 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 .4 209.4 139.3 848.4 131.4 42.6 39.1 24.5 127.8 236.3 151.9 1,022.6 188.8 22.8 56.7 39.7 155.1 289.6 160.9 1,212.5 183.4 25.9 76.4 50.1 179.4 348.9 181.3 1,417.2 192.2 25.1 93.2 59.0 n.a. 348.9 181.3 1,417.2 192.2 25.1 93.2 59.0 n.a. 352.6 184.8 1,473.1 195.1 29.9 95.8 59.6 n.a. 374.4 183.8 1,502.7 197.2 22.8 n.a. 59.8 n.a. 382.9 190.8 1,553.3 212.5 24.9 n.a. 67.0 n.a. 68.3 48.2 149.5 217.0 71.5 61.9 166.3 259.8 74.5 69.3 192.9 360.6 79.8 75.0 214.6 n.a. 79.8 75.0 214.6 n.a. 81.4 76.2 225.4 n.a. 83.8 73.9 239.8 n.a. 87.1 69.0 256.3 n.a. 1. Includes (not shown separately): Securities issued to the Rural Electrification Administration; depository bonds, retirement plan bonds, and individual retirement bonds. 2. Nonmarketable dollar-denominated and foreign currency-denominated series held by foreigners. 3. Held almost entirely by U.S. government agencies and trust funds. 4. Data for Federal Reserve Banks and U.S. government agencies and trust funds are actual holdings; data for other groups are Treasury estimates. 1986 1985 5. Consists of investments of foreign and international accounts. Excludes noninterest-bearing notes issued to the International Monetary Fund. 6. Includes savings and loan associations, nonprofit institutions, credit unions, mutual savings banks, corporate pension trust funds, dealers and brokers, certain U.S. government deposit accounts, and U.S. government-sponsored agencies. SOURCES. Data by type of security, U.S. Treasury Department, Monthly Statement of the Public Debt of the United States; data by holder. Treasury Bulletin. Federal Finance 1.42 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS A31 Transactions1 Par value; averages of daily figures, in millions o f dollars 1986 Item 1984 1985 1987 1986 1987 Jan. Dec. 24' Dec. 31' 1986 Nov/ Dec/ Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 Jan. 28 1 Immediate delivery 2 U.S. government securities 52,778 75,331 95,422 96,369 88,650 112,337 76,468 64,589 101,187 120,451 117,570 107,280 7. 3 4 5 6 By maturity Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years 26,035 1,305 11,733 7,606 6,099 32,900 1,811 18,361 12,703 9,556 34,249 2,116 24,664 20,435 13,959 32,166 2,119 25,811 20,756 15,517 33,166 2,353 22,022 19,383 11,726 45,148 3,013 24,697 23,967 15,512 30,688 2,734 21,559 12,095 9,393 31,053 2,125 13,916 11,959 5,536 44,163 3,695 20,922 20,239 12,168 49,549 3,141 25,062 25,887 16,812 49,542 2,588 27,596 22,851 14,992 38,226 2,484 24,063 25,443 17,065 2,919 3,336 3,646 3,801 3,269 3,452 2,480 2,1% 3,464 2,910 4,490 2,991 25,580 24,278 7,846 4,947 3,243 10,018 36,222 35,773 11,640 4,016 3,242 12,717 49,355 42,205 16,726 4,352 3,273 16,645 50,091 41,960 19,909 3,859 2,852 16,550 44,050 40,783 20,159 3,676 2,529 16,516 59,844 48,343 21,410 6,103 3,390 19,339 36,977 37,010 19,164 3,829 2,141 18,133 29,754 32,638 11,561 2,739 1,791 14,278 53,338 44,385 15,489 5,399 3,866 22,515 65,387 52,153 18,820 5,867 3,494 17,908 61,034 52,045 26,100 5,999 3,366 20,212 59,714 44,574 26,124 6,934 2,795 17,173 6,947 4,503 262 5,561 6,069 240 3,311 7,170 12 2,801 6,374 21 1,909 5,519 0 2,879 7,025 0 940 3,434 1,260 3,020 1 2,162 6,025 * 2,785 8,018 0 2,851 6,982 0 3,070 7,324 * 1,364 2,843 1,283 3,857 1,873 7,823 2,419 10,257 2,066 9,933 2,053 10,698 3,061 9,7% 1,313 4,299 1,103 7,331 2,087 11,837 2,857 15,903 1,927 9,8% 7 8 9 10 11 12 n 14 15 16 17 18 By type of customer U.S. government securities dealers U.S. government securities brokers All others 3 Federal agency securities Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Futures transactions 4 Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities Forward transactions 5 U.S. government securities Federal agency securities 1. Transactions are market purchases and sales of securities as reported to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Averages for transactions are based on the number of trading days in the period. The figures exclude allotments of, and exchanges for, new U.S. government securities, redemptions of called or matured securities, purchases or sales of securities under repurchase agreement, reverse repurchase (resale), or similar contracts. 2. Data for immediate transactions do not include forward transactions. 3. Includes, among others, all other dealers and brokers in commodities and * securities, nondealer departments of commercial banks, foreign banking agencies, and the Federal Reserve System. 4. Futures contracts are standardized agreements arranged on an organized exchange in which parties commit to purchase or sell securities for delivery at a future date. 5. Forward transactions are agreements arranged in the over-the-counter market in which securities are purchased (sold) for delivery after 5 business days from the date of the transaction for government securities (Treasury bills, notes, and bonds) or after 30 days for mortgage-backed agency issues. NOTE. Data for the period May 1 to Sept. 30, 1986, are partially estimated. A32 1.43 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES DEALERS Positions and Financing1 A v e r a g e s o f daily figures, in millions o f dollars 1986 Nov. Dec.' 1987 1986 Jan. Dec. 31' 1987 Jan. 7 Jan. 14 Jan. 21 Jan. 28 Positions 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Net immediate 2 U.S. government securities Bills Other within 1 year 1-5 years 5-10 years Over 10 years Federal agency securities Certificates of deposit Bankers acceptances Commercial paper Futures positions Treasury bills Treasury coupons Federal agency securities Forward positions U.S. government securities Federal agency securities 5,429 5,500 63 2,159 -1,119 -1,174 15,294 7,369 3,874 3,788 7,391 10,075 1,050 5,154 -6,202 -2,686 22,860 9,192 4,586 5,570 13,049 12,726 3,698 9,297 -9,504 -3,169 33,075 10,533 5,533 8,087 14,367' 14,967 2,030 8,419 -8,131 -2,916 30,258' 9,954' 5,244 9,630 10,219 10,979 2,969 6,815 -6,977 -3,567 34,694 10,049 5,072 9,789 13,172 13,396 3,463 9,185 -7,175 -5,696 31,258 9,439 4,756 9,973 8,919 9,760 3,034 8,291 -7,712 -4,453 34,543 9,442 4,703 10,065 10,384 10,895 3,346 7,819 -6,824 -4,852 29,543 9,187 4,508 8,716 12,240 13,205 3,062 7,857 -6,543 -5,341 30,909 8,610 3,930 8,726 17,083 17,702 3,424 8,388 -7,116 -5,315 33,432 9,814 4,928 10,769 15,400 13,895 3,803 11,940 -7,983 -6,255 31,730 9,795 5,370 10,906 -4,525 1,794 233 -7,322 4,465 -722 -18,063 3,493 -153 -15,972 4,022 -82 -16,170 3,359 -89 -15,293 5,230 -92 -14,305 4,247 -90 -15,233 4,144 -92 -15,641 4,801 -92 -16,578 4,330 -92 -14,340 6,393 -93 -1,643 -9,205 -911 -9,420 -2,303 -11,920 -781 -14,634' -2,101 -17,058 183 -16,649 -2,775 -14,446 -1,315 -13,678 -1,539 -18,489 416 -19,093 2,434 -16,036 Financing 3 Reverse repurchase agreements 4 Overnight and continuing Term agreements Repurchase agreements 5 18 Overnight and continuing 19 Term agreements 16 17 44,078 68,357 68,035 80,509 98,954 108,693 108,790 117,299 109,241 123,297 n.a. n.a. 101,861 130,498 129,183 115,555 130,627 128,658 128,525 125,274 n.a. n.a. 75,717 57,047 101,410 70,076 141,735 102,640 146,960 115,968 149,315 120,500 n.a. n.a. 138,766 133,497 163,641 111,563 175,674 115,342 177,665 114,066 n.a. n.a. 1. Data for dealer positions and sources of financing are obtained from reports submitted to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by the U.S. government securities dealers on its published list of primary dealers. Data for positions are averages of daily figures, in terms of par value, based on the number of trading days in the period. Positions are net amounts and are shown on a commitment basis. Data for financing are in terms of actual amounts borrowed or lent and are based on Wednesday figures. 2. Immediate positions are net amounts (in terms of par values) of securities owned by nonbank dealer firms and dealer departments of commercial banks on a commitment, that is, trade-date basis, including any such securities that have been sold under agreements to repurchase (RPs). The maturities of some repurchase agreements are sufficiently long, however, to suggest that the securities involved are not available for trading purposes. Immediate positions include reverses to maturity, which are securities that were sold after having been obtained under reverse repurchase agreements that mature on the same day as the securities. Data for immediate positions do not include forward positions. 3. Figures cover financing involving U.S. government and federal agency securities, negotiable CDs, bankers acceptances, and commercial paper. 4. Includes all reverse repurchase agreements, including those that have been arranged to make delivery on short sales and those for which the securities obtained have been used as collateral on borrowings, that is, matched agreements. 5. Includes both repurchase agreements undertaken to finance positions and "matched book" repurchase agreements. NOTE. Data on positions for the period May 1 to Sept. 30, 1986, are partially estimated. Federal Finance 1.44 FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY SPONSORED CREDIT AGENCIES A33 Debt Outstanding Millions of dollars, end o f period 1986 1983 Agency 1 Federal and federally sponsored agencies 2 Federal agencies 3 Defense Department 1 Export-Import Bank 2 ' 3 4 5 Federal Housing Administration 4 6 Government National Mortgage Association participation certificates' 7 Postal Service 6 8 Tennessee Valley Authority United States Railway Association 6 9 10 Federally sponsored agencies 7 11 Federal Home Loan Banks 12 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 13 Federal National Mortgage Association 14 Farm Credit Banks 15 Student Loan Marketing Association 8 MEMO 16 Federal Financing Bank debt Lending to federal and federally 17 18 19 20 21 1985 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 240,068 271,220 293,905 298,361 299,211 302,411 305,011 33,940 243 14,853 194 35,145 142 15,882 133 36,390 71 15,678 115 35,768 45 14,953 115 36,132 40 14,953 115 36,473 37 14,274 117 36,716 36 14,274 123 36,952 35 14,274 124 2,165 1,404 14,970 111 2,165 1,337 15,435 51 2,165 1,940 16,347 74 2,165 1,854 16,562 74 2,165 1,854 16,931 74 2,165 3,104 16,702 74 2,165 3,104 16,940 74 2,165 3,104 17,176 74 206,128 48,930 6,793 74,594 72,816 3,402 236,075 65,085 10,270 83,720 71,193 5,745 257,515 74,447 11,926 93,896 68,851 8,395 262,593 83,081 12,818 93,417 62,857 10,420 263,079 85,997 12,801 92,286 61,575 10,420 265,938 87,133 13,548 91,629 63,073 10,555 268,295 87,146 14,007 93,272 63,079 10,791 n.a. 86,891 n.a. 93,477 62,693 11,102 135,791 145,217 153,373 155,526 156,132 156,873 157,371 157,452 14,789 1,154 5,000 13,245 111 15,852 1,087 5,000 13,710 51 15,670 1,690 5,000 14,622 74 14,947 1,604 5,000 14,937 74 14,947 1,604 5,000 15,306 74 14,268 2,854 4,970 15,077 74 14,268 2,854 4,970 15,515 74 14,268 2,854 4,970 15,751 74 55,266 19,766 26,460 58,971 20,693 29,853 64,234 20,654 31,429 65,174 21,321 32,469 65,274 21,398 32,529 65,374 21,460 32,796 65,374 21,506 32,810 65,374 21,531 32,630 Dec. n.a. n.a. n a. 88, /52 n.a. 93,563 62,328 11,795 sponsored Export-Import Bank 3 Postal Service 6 Student Loan Marketing Association Tennessee Valley Authority United States Railway Association 6 Other Lending10 22 Farmers Home Administration 23 Rural Electrification Administration 24 Other 1. Consists of mortgages assumed by the Defense Department between 1957 and 1963 under family housing and homeowners assistance programs. 2. Includes participation certificates reclassified as debt beginning Oct. 1, 1976. 3. Off-budget Aug. 17, 1974, through Sept. 30, 1976; on-budget thereafter. 4. Consists of debentures issued in payment of Federal Housing Administration insurance claims. Once issued, these securities may be sold privately on the securities market. 5. Certificates of participation issued before fiscal 1969 by the Government National Mortgage Association acting as trustee for the Farmers Home Administration; Department of Health, Education, and Welfare; Department of Housing and Urban Development; Small Business Administration; and the Veterans Administration. 6. Off-budget. 1984 n a. 7. Includes outstanding noncontingent liabilities: Notes, bonds, and debentures. Some data are estimated. 8. Before late 1981, the Association obtained financing through the Federal Financing Bank. 9. The FFB, which began operations in 1974, is authorized to purchase or sell obligations issued, sold, or guaranteed by other federal agencies. Since FFB incurs debt solely for the purpose of lending to other agencies, its debt is not included in the main portion of the table in order to avoid double counting. 10. Includes FFB purchases of agency assets and guaranteed loans; the latter contain loans guaranteed by numerous agencies with the guarantees of any particular agency being generally small. The Farmers Home Administration item consists exclusively of agency assets, while the Rural Electrification Administration entry contains both agency assets and guaranteed loans. A34 1.45 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 NEW SECURITY ISSUES Tax-Exempt State and Local Governments Millions of dollars 1986 Type of issue or issuer, or use 1984 1 A1I issues, new and refunding 1 1985 1986 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 106,641 214,189 134,606 13,215 12,611 19,833 25,965 4,532 8,825 10,085 14,082 Type of issue 2 General obligation 3 Revenue 26,485 80,156 52,622 161,567 44,801 89,806 7,115 6,100 6,326 6,285 6,531 13,302 5,931 20,034 1,267 3,265 2,104 6,721 1,427 8,658 4,254 9,828 Type of issuer 4 State 5 Special district and statutory authority 2 6 Municipalities, counties, townships 9,129 63,550 33,962 13,004 134,363 66,822 14,935 79,291 40,374 2,825 6,427 3,962 1,705 6,351 4,554 2,879 10,589 6,365 2,121 15,714 8,125 9 3,275 1,248 697 5,757 2,371 111 7,761 2,213 %1 9,414 3,707 7 Issues for new capital, total 94,050 156,050 79,195 7,155 8,178 13,165 17,810 2,558 3,789 4,085 8,831 Use of proceeds Education Transportation Utilities and conservation Social welfare Industrial aid Other purposes 7,553 7,552 17,844 29,928 15,415 15,758 16,658 12,070 26,852 63,181 12,892 24,398 16,948 11,666 35,383 17,332 5,594 47,433 1,827 273 3,450 1,424 264 5,978 1,694 947 1,583 1,518 255 6,614 2,800 3,164 4,425 1,186 975 7,281 2,926 1,460 6,292 2,554 489 12,245 558 827 1,365 812 138 832 928 1,195 2,3% 2,098 499 1,708 1,486 976 3,239 2,635 331 1,418 1,588 588 2,330 3,944 2,159 3,473 8 9 10 11 12 13 1. Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2. Includes school districts beginning April 1986. SOURCES. Securities Data Company beginning April 1986. Public Securities Association for earlier data. This new data source began with the November BULLETIN. 1.46 NEW SECURITY ISSUES Corporations Millions of dollars Type of issue or issuer, or use 1 All issues1 1986 1984 1985 1986 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 132,531 201,269 294,218 19,564 25,776 21,093 24,245 16,093 28,582 28,867 25,041 109,903 165,754 232,395 13,050 20,756 16,766 18,481 12,830 23,476 22,268 18,800 73,579 36,324 119,559 46,195 232,395 n.a. 13,050 n.a. 20,756 n.a. 16,766 n.a. 18,481 n.a. 12,830 n.a. 23,476 n.a. 22,268 n.a. 18,800 n.a. 24,607 13,726 4,694 10,679 2,997 53,199 52,228 15,140 5,743 12,957 10,456 69,232 52,872 19,220 4,262 25,535 13,430 117,080 3,939 1,776 427 1,709 712 4,487 5,368 2,056 250 1,948 810 10,324 2,535 3,409 497 1,470 465 8,390 4,536 1,045 550 2,098 1,615 8,638 2,345 1,405 375 1,915 417 6,373 2,055 1,067 170 2,537 1,255 16,392 3,378 1,213 0 2,587 1,158 13,933 3,300 2,066 70 2,448 776 10,140 11 Stocks3 22,628 35,515 61,823 6,514 5,020 4,327 5,764 3,263 5,106 6,599 6,241 Type 12 Preferred 13 Common 4,118 18,510 6,505 29,010 11,514 50,309 856 5,658 1,284 3,736 726 3,601 1,290 4,474 402 2,861 817 4,289 1,390 5,209 1,293 4,948 4,054 6,277 589 1,624 419 9,665 5,700 9,149 1,544 1,966 978 16,178 14,206 9,234 2,395 3,788 1,509 30,691 1,827 953 372 346 74 2,942 1,132 421 154 406 140 2,767 746 917 179 305 107 2,073 982 803 57 208 379 3,335 250 1,009 28 174 0 1,802 570 1,271 511 410 59 2,285 2,565 535 15 218 104 3,162 1,753 691 186 870 106 2,635 2 Bonds 2 Type of offering 3 Public 4 Private placement 5 6 7 8 9 10 14 15 16 17 18 19 Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial Industry group Manufacturing Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation Public utility Communication Real estate and financial 1. Figures, which represent gross proceeds of issues maturing in more than one year, sold for cash in the United States, are principal amount or number of units multiplied by offering price. Excludes offerings of less than $100,000, secondary offerings, undefined or exempted issues as defined in the Securities Act of 1933, employee stock plans, investment companies other than closed-end, intracorporate transactions, and sales to foreigners. 2. Monthly data include only public offerings. 3. Beginning in August 1981, gross stock offerings include new equity volume from swaps of debt for equity. SOURCES. IDD Information Services, Inc., Securities and Exchange Commission and the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Securities Market and Corporate Finance 1.47 O P E N - E N D INVESTMENT COMPANIES A35 Net Sales and Asset Position Millions of dollars 1986 Item 1985 1986 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec. INVESTMENT COMPANIES 1 1 Sales of own shares 2 2 Redemptions of own shares 3 3 Net sales 222,670 132,440 90,230 411,747 239,340 172,407 31,251 16,706 14,545 30,619 18,921 11,698 35,684 21,508 14,176 32,636 20,102 12,534 34,690 21,338 13,352 37,150 20,782 16,368 33,672 20,724 12,948 44,670 34,779 9,891 4 Assets 4 5 Cash position5 6 Other 251,695 20,607 231,088 424,088 30,783 393,305 343,926 28,184 315,742 356,040 28,083 327,957 360,050 28,080 331,970 387,547 28,682 358,865 381,872 29,540 352,332 402,644 30,826 371,818 416,939 29,579 387,360 424,088 30,783 393,305 5. Also includes all U.S. government securities and other short-term debt securities. 1. Excluding money market funds. 2. Includes reinvestment of investment income dividends. Excludes reinvestment of capital gains distributions and share issue of conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 3. Excludes share redemption resulting from conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 4. Market value at end of period, less current liabilities. 1.48 NOTE. Investment Company Institute data based on reports of members, which comprise substantially all open-end investment companies registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Data reflect newly formed companies after their initial offering of securities. CORPORATE PROFITS AND THEIR DISTRIBUTION Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1984 Account 1983 1984 1985 1986 1985 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2 3 4 5 6 1 Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustment Profits before tax Profits tax liability Profits after tax Dividends Undistributed profits 213.7 207.6 77.2 130.4 71.5 58.8 264.7 235.7 95.4 140.3 78.3 62.0 280.6 223.1 91.8 131.4 81.6 49.8 265.0 221.9 87.8 134.1 80.1 54.0 266.4 213.8 87.8 126.0 80.9 45.1 274.3 213.8 87.1 126.7 81.4 45.3 296.3 229.2 95.8 133.4 81.6 51.8 285.6 235.8 96.4 139.4 82.5 57.0 296.4 222.5 95.7 126.9 85.2 41.7 293.1 227.7 99.0 128.8 87.5 41.2 302.0 240.4 104.4 135.9 88.8 47.2 7 Inventory valuation 8 Capital consumption adjustment -10.9 17.0 -5.5 34.5 -.6 58.1 -1.6 44.7 -.5 53.2 1.6 58.9 6.1 61.0 -9.4 59.2 16.5 57.3 10.6 54.8 6.1 55.5 SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A36 1.49 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS Assets and Liabilities Billions of dollars, e x c e p t for ratio 1985 Account 1980 1 Current assets 2 3 4 5 6 Cash U.S. government securities Notes and accounts receivable Inventories Other 1981 1982 1983 1986 1984 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql 1,328.3 1,419.6 1,437.1 1,575.9 1,703.0 1,722.7 1,734.6 1,763.0 1,784.6 1,795.7 127.0 18.7 507.5 543.0 132.1 135.6 17.7 532.5 584.0 149.7 147.8 23.0 517.4 579.0 169.8 171.8 31.0 583.0 603.4 186.7 173.6 36.2 633.1 656.9 203.2 167.5 35.7 650.3 665.7 203.5 167.1 35.4 654.1 666.7 211.2 176.3 32.6 661.0 675.0 218.0 189.2 33.0 671.5 666.0 224.9 195.3 31.0 663.4 679.6 226.3 7 Current liabilities 890.6 971.3 986.0 1,059.6 1,163.6 1,174.1 1,182.9 1,211.9 1,233.6 1,222.3 8 Notes and accounts payable 9 Other 514.4 376.2 547.1 424.1 550.7 435.3 595.7 463.9 647.8 515.8 636.9 537.1 651.7 531.2 670.4 541.5 682.7 550.9 668.4 553.9 10 Net working capital 437.8 448.3 451.1 516.3 539.5 548.6 551.7 551.1 551.0 573.4 11 MEMO: Current ratio 1 1.492 1.462 1.458 1.487 1.464 1.467 1.466 1.455 1.447 1.469 Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. SOURCE. Federal Trade Commission and Bureau of the Census. 1. Ratio of total current assets to total current liabilities. NOTE. For a description of this series, see "Working Capital of Nonfinancial C o r p o r a t i o n s " i n t h e J u l y 1978 BULLETIN, p p . 5 3 3 - 3 7 . All data in this table reflect the most current benchmarks. Complete data are available upon request from the Flow of Funds Section, Division of Research and 1.50 TOTAL NONFARM BUSINESS EXPENDITURES on New Plant and Equipment • Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1985 Industry 1 Total nonfarm business Manufacturing 2 Durable goods industries 3 Nondurable goods industries Nonmanufacturing 4 Mining Transportation 5 Railroad 6 Air 7 Other Public utilities 8 Electric 9 Gas and other 10 Commercial and other 2 1984 1985 1987 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q41 Ql> 354.44 387.13 380.69 387.86 389.23 397.88 377.94 375.92 374.55 394.34 386.82 66.24 72.58 73.27 80.21 69.96 74.81 74.34 79.91 72.99 81.48 75.47 82.79 68.01 76.02 68.33 73.35 69.31 69.89 74.17 80.00 67.86 73.36 16.86 15.88 11.24 16.56 15.89 15.25 12.99 11.22 10.15 10.62 10.36 6.79 3.56 6.17 7.08 4.79 6.15 6.72 6.04 5.87 7.38 3.71 6.35 7.79 5.17 5.85 6.74 6.07 6.34 6.22 6.58 5.42 6.77 5.77 5.74 7.31 5.69 6.03 6.60 6.12 6.30 6.37 7.22 6.26 37.03 10.44 134.75 36.11 12.71 150.93 33.96 12.57 159.50 36.00 12.61 150.99 35.58 12.86 151.62 36.38 13.41 155.42 34.21 12.82 155.67 33.81 12.74 158.18 33.91 11.99 160.25 33.91 12.72 163.91 33.34 12.97 169.08 • T r a d e and services are no longer being reported separately. They are included in Commercial and other, line 10. 1. Anticipated by business. 1986 19861 2. "Other" consists of construction; wholesale and retail trade; finance and insurance; personal and business services; and communication. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). Securities Markets and Corporate Finance 1.51 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES A37 Assets and Liabilities Billions of dollars, end of period 1985 Account 1982 1983 1986 1984 Q2 Q3 Ql Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 ASSETS 1 2 3 4 Accounts receivable, gross Consumer Business Real estate Total 5 6 Less: Reserves for unearned income Reserves for losses 7 8 9 78.1 101.4 20.2 199.7 87.4 113.4 22.5 223.4 96.7 135.2 26.3 258.3 106.0 144.6 28.4 279.0 116.4 141.4 29.0 286.5 120.8 152.8 30.4 304.0 125.5 159.7 31.5 316.7 134.7 160.3 32.4 327.5 146.7 152.7 33.8 333.2 146.1 165.0 35.2 346.3 31.9 3.5 33.0 4.0 36.5 4.4 38.6 4.8 41.0 4.9 40.9 5.0 41.3 5.1 41.8 5.2 43.6 5.5 42.5 6.0 Accounts receivable, net All other 164.3 30.7 186.4 34.0 217.3 35.4 235.6 39.5 240.6 46.3 258.1 46.8 270.3 50.6 280.4 52.1 284.1 63.1 297.8 61.7 Total assets 195.0 220.4 252.7 275.2 286.9 304.9 321.0 332.5 347.2 359.6 18.3 51.1 18.7 59.7 21.3 72.5 18.5 82.6 18.2 93.6 21.0 96.9 20.4 102.0 22.9 106.4 25.3 110.6 30.6 115.2 12.7 64.4 21.2 27.4 13.9 68.1 30.1 29.8 16.2 77.2 33.1 32.3 16.6 85.7 36.9 34.8 16.6 86.4 36.6 35.7 17.2 93.0 39.6 37.1 18.5 100.0 41.4 38.8 20.9 101.8 40.4 40.2 21.6 105.3 43.2 41.3 23.1 106.0 43.6 41.1 195.0 220.4 252.7 275.2 286.9 304.9 321.0 332.5 347.2 359.6 LIABILITIES 12 13 14 15 Bank loans Commercial paper Debt Other short-term Long-term All other liabilities Capital, surplus, and undivided profits 16 Total liabilities and capital 10 11 NOTE. Components may not add to totals due to rounding. These data also appear in the Board's G.20 (422) release. For address, see inside front cover. 1.52 DOMESTIC FINANCE COMPANIES Business Credit Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted except as noted Type Changes in accounts receivable Extensions Repayments 1986 1986 1986 Accounts receivable outstanding Dec. 3 1 , 1986' Oct. 1 Total 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Retail financing of installment sales Automotive (commercial vehicles) Business, industrial, and farm equipment Wholesale financing Automotive Equipment All other Leasing Automotive Equipment Loans on commercial accounts receivable and factored commercial accounts receivable All other business credit 1. Not seasonally adjusted. Nov. Dec. Oct. Nov. Dec. Oct. Nov. Dec. 164,989 5,751 1,197 1,736 32,469 26,641 30,872 26,718 25,444 29,136 17,429 20,210 281 11 -422 168 -418 177 1,359 965 651 1,195 720 1,611 1,078 954 1,073 1,027 1,138 1,434 22,078 5,017 7,778 4,592 134 149 1,194 149 315 -1,021 93 58 13,818 715 2,043 9,895 883 1,857 9,973 945 2,141 9,226 581 1,893 8,701 734 1,542 10,994 852 2,083 18,610 43,151 248 -10 -90 -237 1,497 1,244 1,018 1,770 766 1,290 1,733 1,985 770 1,780 856 1,527 236 741 16,185 14,531 -267 613 -125 245 -681 786 9,201 1,580 8,806 1,298 9,170 2,593 9,468 966 8,931 1,053 9,851 1,808 NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's G.20 (422) release. For address, see inside front cover. A38 1.53 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 MORTGAGE MARKETS Millions of dollars; exceptions noted. 1986 Item 1984 1985 1987 1986 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Terms and yields in primary and secondary markets PRIMARY MARKETS 1 2 3 4 5 6 Conventional mortgages on new homes Terms1 Purchase price (thousands of dollars) Amount of loan (thousands of dollars) Loan/price ratio (percent) Maturity (years) Fees and charges (percent of loan amount) 2 Contract rate (percent per annum) Yield (percent per annum) 7 FHLBB series5 8 HUD series4 96.8 73.7 78.7 27.8 2.64 11.87 104.1 77.4 77.1 26.9 2.53 11.12 118. fr 86.2 75.2 26.6 2.48 9.82 115.7 83.4 73.9 26.2 2.35 9.89 117.9 84.8 74.5 26.5 2.40 9.84 124.0 90.4 75.2 27.1 2.49 9.74 127.5 93.9 75.6 27.9 2.66 9.57 124.2 92.5 76.2 27.3 2.64 9.45 124.8r 93.2' 76.4 27.4' 2.46' 9.28 133.4 98.1 75.6 27.8 2.28 9.17 12.37 13.80 11.58 12.28 10.25' 10.07 10.30 10.28 10.26 9.88 10.17 9.96 10.02 9.89 9.91 9.47 9.69' 9.33 9.55 9.09 13.81 13.13 12.24 11.61 9.91 9.30 10.01 9.31 9.80 9.11 9.90 9.17 9.80 9.06 9.26 8.83 9.21 8.62 8.79 8.46 SECONDARY MARKETS Yield (percent per annum) 9 FHA mortgages (HUD series)5. 10 GNMA securities6 Activity in secondary markets FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION Mortgage holdings (end of period) 11 Total 12 FHA/VA-insured 13 Conventional 83,339 35,148 48,191 94,574 34,244 60,331 98,048 29,683 68,365 97,255 30,766 66,489 96,675 28,451 68,224 97,717 26,658 71,059 98,402 25,435 72,967 98,210 24,300 73,910 97,895 23,121 74,774 96,382 22,155 74,227 Mortgage transactions (during period) 14 Purchases 15 Sales 16,721 978 21,510 1,301 30,826 n.a. 3,343 n.a. 3,800 n.a. 4,649 n.a. 3,784 n.a. 2,549 n.a. 2,336 n.a. 1,364 n.a. 21,007 6,384 20,155 3,402 32,987 3,386 3,270 7,706 3,840 7,671 4,248 7,252 2,375 5,740 1,811 4,625 1,272 3,386 948 2,258 9,283 910 8,373 12,399 841 11,558 13,795 692 13,103 14,010 739 13,271 13,359 729 12,630 12,905 722 12,183 12,315 707 11,607 Mortgage transactions (during period) 21 Purchases 22 Sales 21,886 18,506 44,012 38,905 8,518 8,113 10,458 10,132 12,486 13,072 11,566 11,417 9,862 10,510 n.a. n.a. Mortgage commitments9 23 Contracted (during period) 24 Outstanding (end of period) 32,603 13,318 48,989 16,613 7,863 n.a. 13,707 n.a. 10,658 n.a. 9,356 n.a. 11,233 n.a. 1 Mortgage commitments 16 Contracted (during period) 17 Outstanding (end of period) FEDERAL H O M E LOAN MORTGAGE CORPORATION Mortgage holdings (end of period)8 18 Total 19 FHA/VA 20 Conventional 1. Weighted averages based on sample surveys of mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups; compiled by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 2. Includes all fees, commissions, discounts, and "points" paid (by the borrower or the seller) to obtain a loan. 3. Average effective interest rates on loans closed, assuming prepayment at the end of 10 years. 4. Average contract rates on new commitments for conventional first mortgages; from Department of Housing and Urban Development. 5. Average gross yields on 30-year, minimum-downpayment, Federal Housing Administration-insured first mortgages for immediate delivery in the private secondary market. Based on transactions on first day of subsequent month. Large monthly movements in average yields may reflect market adjustments to changes in maximum permissable contract rates. n.a. 6. Average net yields to investors on Government National Mortgage Association guaranteed, mortgage-backed, fully modified pass-through securities, assuming prepayment in 12 years on pools of 30-year FHA/VA mortgages carrying the prevailing ceiling rate. Monthly figures are averages of Friday figures from the Wall Street Journal. 7. Includes some multifamily and nonprofit hospital loan commitments in addition to 1- to 4-family loan commitments accepted in FNMA's free market auction system, and through the FNMA-GNMA tandem plans. 8. Includes participation as well as whole loans. 9. Includes conventional and government-underwritten loans. FHLMC's mortgage commitments and mortgage transactions include activity under mortgage/ securities swap programs, while the corresponding data for FNMA exclude swap activity. Real Estate 1.54 A39 MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 1985 1984 Type of holder, and type of property 1985 1986 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 1 All holders 2,036,158 2,268,423' 2,556,620 2,268,423' 2,317,641' 2,385,417' 2,466,597' 2,556,620 7 1- to 4-family 3 Multifamily 4 Commercial 5 1,320,444 185,414 418,300 112,000 1,468,273' 213,816' 480,719' 105,615 1,668,285 244,122 545,185 99,028 1,468,273' 213,816' 480,719' 105,615 1,4%,282' 221,587' 495,879' 103,893 1,545,311' 229,186' 509,337' 101,583' 1,605,598' 236,595' 524,235' 100,169' 1,668,285 244,122 545,185 99,028 1,272,206 379,498 196,163 20,264 152,894 10,177 154,441 107,302 19,817 27,291 31 1,391,894' 429,196' 213,434' 23,373' 181,032' 11,357 177,263 121,879 23,329 31,973 82 1,504,721 500,163 240,378 30,010 216,771 13,004 224,901 155,229 30,291 39,277 104 1,391,894' 429,196' 213,434' 23,373' 181,032' 11,357 177,263 121,879 23,329 31,973 82 1,410,344' 441,0%' 216,290' 25,389' 187,620' 11,797 188,154 131,381 23,980 32,707 86 1,436,865' 455 ,%5' 221,644' 26,840' 195,247' 12,234' 203,398' 142,174' 26,543' 34,577' 104 1,465,757' 474,542' 229,340' 28,250' 204,480' 12,472 215,036' 149,786' 28,400' 36,762' 88' 1,504,721 500,163 240,378 30,010 216,771 13,004 224,901 155,229 30,291 39,277 104 555,277 421,489 55,750 77,605 433 156,699 14,120 18,938 111,175 12,466 26,291 583,236 432,422 66,410 83,798 606 171,797 12,381 19,894 127,670 11,852 30,402 553,552 404,034 67,282 81,734 502 190,869 13,027 20,709 145,863 11,270 35,236 583,236 432,422 66,410 83,798 606 171,797 12,381 19,894 127,670 11,852 30,402 574,732 420,073 67,140 86,860 659 174,823 12,605 20,009 130,569 11,640 31,539 565,037' 413,865' 66,020' 84,618' 534' 180,041 12,608 20,181 135,924 11,328 32,424 557,139' 408,152' 65,827' 82,644' 5W 185,269 12,927 20,709 140,213 11,420 33,771 553,552 404,034 67,282 81,734 502 190,869 13,027 20,709 145,863 11,270 35,236 158,993 2,301 585 1,716 1,276 213 119 497 447 166,928 1,473 539 934 733 183 113 159 278 157,049 897 47 850 480 140 50 120 170 166,928 1,473 539 934 733 183 113 159 278 165,041 1,533 527 1,006 704 217 33 217 237 161,398 876 49 827 570 146 66 111 247 159,505 887 48 839 457 132 57 115 153 157,049 897 47 850 480 140 50 120 170 4,816 2,048 2,768 87,940 82,175 5,765 52,261 3,074 49,187 10,399 9,654 745 4,920 2,254 2,666 98,282 91,966 6,316 47,498 2,798 44,700 14,022 11,881 2,141 4,899 2,303 2,5% 97,895 90,718 7,177 40,719 2,3% 38,323 12,159 10,927 1,232 4,920 2,254 2,666 98,282 91,966 6,316 47,498 2,798 44,700 14,022 11,881 2,141 4,964 2,309 2,655 98,795 92,315 6,480 45,422 2,673 42,749 13,623 12,231 1,392 5,094 2,449 2,645 97,295 90,460 6,835 43,369 2,552 40,817 14,194 11,890 2,304 4,966 2,331 2,635 97,717 90,508 7,209 42,119 2,478 39,641 13,359 11,127 2,232 4,899 2,303 2,5% 97,895 90,718 7,177 40,719 2,3% 38,323 12,159 10,927 1,232 49 Mortgage pools or trusts 3 50 Government National Mortgage Association 51 1- to 4-family 57 Multifamily 53 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 1- to 4-family 54 55 Multifamily 56 Federal National Mortgage Association 57 1- to 4-family 58 Multifamily 59 Farmers Home Administration 60 1- to 4-family 61 Multifamily 6? Commercial 63 Farm 332,057 179,981 175,589 4,392 70,822 70,253 569 36,215 35,965 250 45,039 21,813 5,841 7,559 9,826 415,042 212,145 207,198 4,947 100,387 99,515 872 54,987 54,036 951 47,523 22,186 6,675 8,190 10,472 575,301 259,373 253,388 5,985 170,393 165,856 4,537 97,174 95,791 1,383 48,361 21,682 7,453 8,459 10,767 415,042 212,145 207,198 4,947 100,387 99,515 872 54,987 54,036 951 47,523 22,186 6,675 8,190 10,472 440,701 220,348 215,148 5,200 110,337 108,020 2,317 62,310 61,117 1,193 47,706 22,082 6,943 8,150 10,531 475,615 229,204 223,838 5,366 125,903 123,676 2,227 72,377 71,153 1,224 48,131 21,987 7,170 8,347 10,627 522,721 241,230 235,664 5,566 146,871 143,734 3,137 86,359 85,171 1,188 48,261 21,782 7,353 8,409 10,717 575,301 259,373 253,388 5,985 170,393 165,856 4,537 97,174 95,791 1,383 48,361 21,682 7,453 8,459 10,767 64 Individuals and others 4 65 1- to 4-family 66 Multifamily 67 Commercial 68 Farm 272,902 153,710 48,480 41,279 29,433 294,559 165,199 55,195 47,897 26,268 319,549 177,133 64,567 52,961 24,888 294,559 165,199 55,195 47,897 26,268 301,555 167,755 57,850 49,756 26,194 311,539 174,3% 60,938 50,513 25,692 318,614 178,647 63,193 51,612 25,162 319,549 177,133 64,567 52,961 24,888 6 Selected financial institutions 7 Commercial banks1 8 1- to 4-family 9 Multifamily 10 Commercial 11 Farm 1? Savings banks 13 1- to 4-family 14 Multifamily 15 Commercial 16 Farm 17 18 19 70 71 7.7 ?3 74 75 76 27 Savings and loan associations 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm Life insurance companies 1- to 4-family Multifamily Commercial Farm Finance companies 2 78 Federal and related agencies 29 Government National Mortgage Association 30 1- to 4-family 31 Multifamily 32 Fanners Home Administration 33 1- to 4-family Multifamily 34 35 Commercial 36 Farm 37 38 39 40 41 4? 43 44 45 46 47 48 Federal Housing and Veterans Administration 1- to 4-family Multifamily Federal National Mortgage Association 1- to 4-family Multifamily Federal Land Banks 1- to 4-family Farm Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 1- to 4-family Multifamily : 1. Includes loans held by nondeposit trust companies but not bank trust departments. 2. Assumed to be entirely 1- to 4-family loans. 3. Outstanding principal balances of mortgage pools backing securities insured or guaranteed by the agency indicated. 4. Other holders include mortgage companies, real estate investment trusts, state and local credit agencies, state and local retirement funds, noninsured pension funds, credit unions, and other U.S. agencies. NOTE. Based on data from various institutional and governmental sources, with some quarters estimated in part by the Federal Reserve. Multifamily debt refers to loans on structures of five or more units. A40 1.55 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT 14 Total Outstanding, and Net Change, seasonally adjusted Millions of dollars 1986 nuiuer, ana type oi creuu 1985 1986 Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov/ Dec. Amounts outstanding (end of period) 1 Total 535,098 594,929 555,810 562,267 567,653 573,216 576,609 584,334 591,542 594,824 594,929 By major holder Commercial banks 2 Finance companies Credit unions Retailers 3 Savings institutions Gasoline companies 240,7% 120,095 75,127 39,187 55,555 4,337 257,653 145,378 83,998 40,907 63,641 3,352 247,498 128,728 77,957 39,826 58,024 3,777 248,681 131,172 78,474 40,139 60,247 3,554 249,753 134,933 79,095 40,076 60,352 3,445 251,197 137,197 80,130 40,251 61,051 3,389 251,908 138,938 80,622 40,351 61,421 3,368 253,329 144,559 81,374 40,445 61,331 3,295 255,805 146,862 82,500 40,641 62,414 3,320 258,678 146,218 83,104 40,716 62,832 3,277 257,653 145,378 83,998 40,907 63,641 3,352 By major type of credit 8 Automobile 9 Commercial banks 10 Credit unions 11 Finance companies 12 Savings institutions 206,482 92,764 30,577 73,391 9,750 241,800 98,695 34,187 97,762 11,157 215,814 93,013 31,728 80,685 10,386 218,965 93,157 31,939 83,221 10,648 222,606 93,261 32,191 86,520 10,634 226,234 94,014 32,613 88,862 10,745 228,814 94,686 32,813 90,578 10,736 236,280 95,842 33,119 %,598 10,721 240,548 97,359 33,577 98,695 10,916 241,095 98,259 33,823 98,016 10,9% 241,800 98,695 34,187 97,762 11,157 13 Revolving 14 Commercial banks 15 Retailers 16 Gasoline companies 17 Savings institutions 118,2% 73,893 34,560 4,337 5,506 127,914 81,213 36,052 3,352 7,297 123,442 78,421 35,170 3,777 6,075 124,545 79,151 35,449 3,554 6,392 124,720 79,397 35,390 3,445 6,488 125,577 79,998 35,542 3,389 6,649 125,915 80,133 35,639 3,368 6,775 126,012 80,160 35,688 3,295 6,869 126,514 80,273 35,861 3,320 7,059 128,095 81,706 35,918 3,277 7,194 127,914 81,213 36,052 3,352 7,297 18 Mobile home 19 Commercial banks 20 Finance companies 21 Savings institutions 25,461 9,578 9,116 6,767 25,069 9,090 8,612 7,367 25,513 9,264 9,286 6,%3 25,560 9,215 9,115 7,230 25,479 9,1% 9,077 7,206 25,398 9,156 8,989 7,253 25,215 9,086 8,882 7,248 24,958 9,071 8,681 7,206 24,995 9,075 8,611 7,309 25,025 9,094 8,598 7,333 25,069 9,090 8,612 7,367 22 Other 23 Commercial banks 24 Finance companies 25 Credit unions 26 Retailers 27 Savings institutions 184,859 64,561 37,588 44,550 4,627 33,533 200,145 68,655 39,005 49,811 4,855 37,820 191,041 66,800 38,757 46,228 4,656 34,600 193,197 67,158 38,836 46,535 4,690 35,977 194,847 67,898 39,336 46,903 4,686 36,024 1%,007 68,030 39,345 47,517 4,710 36,405 1%,665 68,003 39,479 47,809 4,712 36,662 197,084 68,256 39,281 48,255 4,758 36,535 199,485 69,098 39,556 48,922 4,780 37,130 200,610 69,618 39,604 49,280 4,798 37,309 200,145 68,655 39,005 49,811 4,855 37,820 2 3 4 5 6 / Net change (during period) 28 Total 81,518 59,831 4,871 6,457 5,386 5,563 3,393 7,725 7,208 3,282 105 By major holder Commercial banks Finance companies 2 Credit unions Retailers3 Savings institutions Gasoline companies 31,638 23,%9 8,583 2,126 15,225 -24 16,857 25,283 8,871 1,720 8,086 -985 2,326 1,306 1,004 -18 451 -198 1,183 2,444 517 313 2,223 -223 1,072 3,761 621 -63 105 -109 1,444 2,264 1,035 175 699 -56 711 1,741 492 100 370 -21 1,421 5,621 752 94 -90 -73 2,476 2,303 1,126 196 1,083 25 2,873 -644 604 75 418 -43 -1,025 -840 894 191 809 75 By major type of credit 35 Automobile 3b Commercial banks 37 Credit unions 38 Finance companies 39 Savings institutions 33,360 8,864 1,963 18,728 3,805 35,318 5,931 3,610 24,371 1,407 1,453 -364 408 1,269 138 3,151 144 211 2,536 262 3,641 104 252 3,299 -14 3,628 753 422 2,342 111 2,580 672 200 1,716 -9 7,466 1,156 306 6,020 -15 4,268 1,517 458 2,097 195 547 900 246 -679 80 705 436 364 -254 161 40 Revolving 41 Commercial banks 42 Retailers 43 Gasoline companies 44 Savings institutions 19,782 15,748 1,4% -24 2,562 9,618 7,320 1,492 -985 1,791 1,311 1,400 -18 -198 128 1,103 730 279 -223 317 175 246 -59 -109 % 857 601 152 -56 161 338 135 97 -21 126 97 27 49 -73 94 502 113 173 25 190 1,581 1,433 57 -43 135 -181 -493 134 75 103 45 Mobile home 46 Commercial banks 47 Finance companies 48 Savings institutions 1,277 -45 -45 1,367 -392 -488 -504 600 -71 -84 -41 54 47 -49 -171 267 -81 -19 -38 -24 -81 -40 -88 47 -183 -70 -107 -5 -257 -15 -201 -42 37 4 -70 103 30 19 -13 24 44 -4 14 34 49 Other 50 Commercial banks 51 Finance companies 52 Credit unions 53 Retailers 54 Savings institutions 27,099 7,071 5,286 6,620 630 7,492 15,286 4,094 1,417 5,261 228 4,287 2,178 1,373 79 595 0 131 2,156 358 79 307 34 1,377 1,650 740 500 368 -4 47 1,160 132 9 614 24 381 658 -27 134 292 2 257 419 253 -198 446 46 -127 2,401 842 275 667 22 595 1,125 520 48 358 18 179 -465 -%3 -599 531 57 511 29 30 31 32 33 34 1. The Board's series cover most short- and intermediate-term credit extended to individuals that is scheduled to be repaid (or has the option of repayment) in two or more installments. 2. More detail for finance companies is available in the G.20 statistical release, 3. Excludes 30-day charge credit held by travel and entertainment companies, 4. All data have been revised. Consumer Installment Credit A41 1.56 TERMS OF CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT Percent unless noted otherwise 1986 Item 1984 1985 1986 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. INTEREST RATES Commercial banks' 1 48-month new car 2 2 24-month personal 120-month mobile home 2 3 4 Credit card Auto finance companies New car 6 Used car 13.71 16.47 15.58 18.77 12.91 15.94 14.96 18.69 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 14.70 13.95 18.15 11.00 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 10.58 14.19 13.49 18.09 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 14.62 17.85 11.98 17.59 9.44 15.95 9.35 16.06 9.31 15.83 9.29 15.56 5.40 15.23 6.12 15.17 11.83 15.20 11.71 15.12 48.3 39.7 51.5 41.4 50.0 42.6 49.5 42.7 49.9 42.8 50.4 42.9 44.5 42.5 45.3 42.2 53.4 42.6 53.3 42.7 88 92 91 94 91 97 89 97 89 97 90 97 92 98 92 97 93 97 93 98 9,333 5,691 9,915 6,089 10,665 6,555 10,608 6,611 10,748 6,614 10,756 6,569 11,162 6,763 11,340 6,746 11,160 6,946 10,835 7,168 OTHER TERMS 3 7 8 9 10 11 12 Maturity (months) New car Used car Loan-to-value ratio New car Used car Amount financed (dollars) New car Used car 1. Data for midmonth of quarter only. 2. Before 1983 the maturity for new car loans was 36 months, and for mobile home loans was 84 months. 3. At auto finance companies. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's G.19 (421) release. For address, see inside front cover. A42 1.57 DomesticNonfinancialStatistics • April 1987 FUNDS RAISED IN U.S. CREDIT MARKETS Billions of dollars; half-yearly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1984 HI 1985 H2 HI 1986 H2 HI' H2 Nonfinancial sectors 375.8 387.4 548.8 756.3 869.3 827.7 727.8 784.8 732.6 1,006.1 705.2 950.7 87.4 87.8 -.5 161.3 162.1 -.9 186.6 186.7 -.1 198.8 199.0 -.2 223.6 223.7 -.1 214.3 214.7 -.3 181.3 181.5 -.2 216.3 216.4 -.1 201.8 201.9 -.1 245.5 245.5 -.1 211.3 211.4 -.1 217.5 218.0 -.5 5 Private domestic nonfinancial sectors 6 Debt capital instruments 7 Tax-exempt obligations 8 Corporate bonds 9 Mortgages 10 Home mortgages 11 Multifamily residential 12 Commercial 13 Farm 288.5 155.5 23.4 22.8 109.3 72.2 4.8 22.2 10.0 226.2 148.3 44.2 18.7 85.4 50.5 5.4 25.2 4.2 362.2 252.8 53.7 16.0 183.0 117.1 14.1 49.0 2.8 557.5 314.0 50.4 46.1 217.5 129.9 25.1 63.3 -.8 645.7 461.7 152.4 73.9 235.4 150.3 29.2 62.4 -6.4 613.3 447.0 48.5 109.2 289.4 200.6 30.4 64.4 -6.0 546.5 298.4 42.8 31.2 224.5 135.2 27.5 62.9 -1.1 568.5 329.6 58.0 61.1 210.5 124.7 22.7 63.7 -.5 530.8 355.4 67.5 72.7 215.2 133.1 24.6 60.3 -2.8 760.6 568.0 237.3 75.1 255.7 167.5 33.7 64.4 -10.0 494.0 384.3 15.9 129.2 239.2 156.4 30.9 59.3 -7.4 733.2 509.7 81.1 89.1 339.5 244.7 29.9 69.5 -4.6 14 15 16 17 18 Other debt instruments Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other 133.0 22.6 57.0 14.7 38.7 77.9 17.7 52.9 -6.1 13.4 109.5 56.8 25.8 -.8 27.7 243.5 95.0 80.1 21.7 46.6 184.0 96.6 41.3 14.6 31.4 166.3 67.9 80.2 -9.3 27.4 248.1 98.7 91.9 24.8 32.7 238.9 91.3 68.4 18.7 60.5 175.4 97.3 24.9 12.3 40.9 192.6 95.9 57.7 16.9 22.0 109.6 75.3 22.0 -15.7 28.1 223.5 61.2 138.4 -2.9 26.8 19 20 21 22 23 24 By borrowing sector State and local governments Households Farm Nonfarm noncorporate Corporate 288.5 6.8 121.4 16.6 38.5 105.2 226.2 21.5 88.4 6.8 40.2 69.2 362.2 34.0 188.0 4.3 76.6 59.3 557.5 27.4 239.5 .1 97.1 193.4 645.7 107.8 295.0 -13.6 92.8 163.7 613.3 60.0 291.2 -11.7 100.7 173.2 546.5 25.2 232.8 -.4 101.4 187.4 568.5 29.6 246.2 .5 92.7 199.5 530.8 56.8 253.6 -5.9 85.6 140.7 760.6 158.7 336.4 -21.3 99.9 186.8 494.0 35.7 231.8 -15.2 95.7 145.9 733.2 84.2 351.1 -8.3 105.7 200.5 25 Foreign net borrowing in United States 26 Bonds 27 Bank loans n.e.c 28 Open market paper 29 U.S. government loans 23.5 5.4 3.0 3.9 11.1 16.0 6.7 -5.5 1.9 13.0 17.4 3.1 3.6 6.5 4.1 6.1 1.3 -6.6 6.2 5.3 1.7 4.0 -2.8 6.2 -5.7 14.4 5.2 -2.1 11.5 -.2 35.5 1.1 -2.2 18.0 18.7 -23.3 1.5 -11.1 -5.6 -8.1 -4.1 5.5 -6.1 4.2 -7.8 7.5 2.6 .4 8.2 -3.6 24.3 7.1 1.4 20.6 -4.8 4.4 3.3 -5.6 2.4 4.4 399.3 403.4 566.2 762.4 871.0 842.0 763.3 761.5 728.4 1,013.5 729.5 955.1 1 Total net borrowing by domestic nonfinancial sectors . . . . By sector and instrument 2 U.S. government 3 Treasury securities 4 Agency issues and mortgages 30 Total domestic plus foreign Financial sectors 31 Total net borrowing by financial sectors By instrument 32 U.S. government related 33 Sponsored credit agency securities 34 Mortgage pool securities 35 36 Private financial sectors 37 Corporate bonds 38 Mortgages 39 Bank loans n.e.c 40 Open market paper 41 Loans from Federal Home Loan Banks By sector 42 Sponsored credit agencies 43 Mortgage pools 44 Private financial sectors 45 Commercial banks 46 Bank affiliates 47 Savings and loan associations 48 Finance companies 49 REITs 101.9 90.1 94.0 139.0 186.9 242.0 134.2 143.8 154.8 218.9 189.0 295.0 47.4 30.5 15.0 1.9 54.5 4.4 64.9 14.9 49.5 .4 25.2 12.5 .1 1.9 9.9 .8 67.8 1.4 66.4 74.9 30.4 44.4 80.0 31.8 48.2 92.9 25.3 67.6 64.4 17.3 .4 -.1 31.1 15.7 63.8 29.3 .4 1.4 17.0 15.7 61.9 35.3 -.1 21.3 -7.0 64.1 23.3 .4 .7 24.1 15.7 171.1 12.4 159.0 -.4 71.0 22.3 .1 3.6 25.2 19.8 69.8 29.1 40.7 26.2 12.1 101.5 20.6 79.9 1.1 85.3 36.5 .1 2.6 32.0 14.2 .9 13.9 11.7 110.2 15.9 92.1 2.2 108.8 37.7 .1 4.2 50.1 16.7 129.5 4.4 124.3 .8 59.6 28.7 .6 2.4 14.4 13.5 212.7 20.5 193.7 -1 5 82.4 15.9 -.5 4.7 36.1 26.2 1.4 66.4 26.2 5.0 12.1 -2.1 11.4 -.2 30.4 44.4 64.1 7.3 15.6 22.7 17.8 .8 21.7 79.9 85.3 -4.9 14.5 22.3 52.8 .5 12.1 159.0 71.0 -2.2 4.5 31.3 36.9 .5 29.1 40.7 64.4 15.4 23.7 20.2 4.3 .8 31.8 48.2 63.8 -.9 7.5 25.1 31.3 .8 25.3 67.6 61.9 -9.2 13.7 12.1 44.8 .5 18.1 92.1 108.8 -.6 15.3 32.6 60.9 .5 5.2 124.3 59.6 -6.7 1.7 23.1 40.6 .9 18.9 193.7 82.4 2.3 7.2 39.5 33.2 .1 * 1.2 32.7 16.2 32.4 15.0 54.5 11.6 9.2 15.5 18.5 -.2 15.3 49.5 25.2 11.7 6.8 2.5 4.3 * * * All sectors 50 Total net borrowing 501.3 493.5 660.2 901.4 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 133.0 23.4 32.6 109.2 22.6 61.2 51.3 68.0 225.9 44.2 37.8 85.4 17.7 49.3 5.7 27.6 254.4 53.7 31.2 183.0 56.8 29.3 26.9 24.8 273.8 50.4 70.7 217.8 95.0 74.2 52.0 67.6 U.S. government securities State and local obligations Corporate and foreign bonds Mortgages Consumer credit Bank loans n.e.c Open market paper Other loans 1057.8 1084.1 324.2 152.4 114.4 235.4 96.6 41.0 52.8 41.0 385.8 48.5 136.6 289.4 67.9 81.7 27.4 46.7 897.5 905.3 833.3 1,232.4 918.6 1250.1 251.2 42.8 49.6 224.8 98.7 89.6 73.8 67.1 296.4 58.0 91.9 210.8 91.3 58.8 30.1 68.1 294.8 67.5 113.5 215.2 97.3 19.8 30.4 44.8 340.0 15.9 165.0 239.7 75.3 25.9 19.3 37.5 431.7 81.1 108.3 339.0 61.2 137.5 35.5 55.8 353.5 237.3 115.3 255.7 95.9 62.3 75.2 37.3 External corporate equity funds raised in United States 59 Total new share issues 60 61 62 63 64 Mutual funds All other Nonfinancial corporations Financial corporations Foreign shares purchased in United States -3.3 33.6 67.0 -31.1 37.5 115.3 -40.1 -22.2 33.3 41.6 149.6 81.1 6.0 -9.3 -11.5 1.9 .3 16.8 16.8 11.4 4.0 1.5 32.1 34.9 28.3 2.7 3.9 38.0 -69.1 -77.0 6.7 1.2 103.4 -65.9 -81.6 11.7 4.0 187.6 -72.3 -80.8 6.7 1.8 39.3 -79.4 -84.5 5.9 -.7 36.6 -58.8 -69.4 7.6 3.0 93.6 -60.4 -75.7 113.1 -71.5 -87.5 12.4 3.6 201.5 -52.0 -68.7 8.3 8.5 173.6 -92.6 -92.7 5.1 -4.9 11.0 4.3 Flow of Funds 1.58 A43 DIRECT AND INDIRECT SOURCES OF FUNDS TO CREDIT MARKETS Billions of dollars, except as noted; half-yearly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1985 1984 Transaction category, or sector 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1986 HI H2 HI H2 HI' H2 1 Total funds advanced in credit markets to domestic nonfinancial sectors 375.8 387.4 548.8 756.3 869.3 827.7 727.8 784.8 732.6 1,006.1 705.2 950.7 By public agencies and foreign ? Total net advances 3 U.S. government securities 4 Residential mortgages 5 FHLB advances to savings and loans 6 Other loans and securities 104.4 17.1 23.5 16.2 47.7 115.4 22.7 61.0 .8 30.8 115.3 27.6 76.1 -7.0 18.6 154.6 36.0 56.5 15.7 46.5 203.3 47.2 94.6 14.2 47.3 313.0 85.5 156.5 19.8 51.2 132.5 26.8 52.7 15.7 37.5 176.6 45.2 60.2 15.7 55.5 201.8 53.1 85.6 11.7 51.4 204.9 41.3 103.7 16.7 43.2 261.3 77.4 121.0 13.5 49.4 364.6 93.5 191.9 26.2 53.0 7 8 9 10 Total advanced, by sector U.S. government Sponsored credit agencies Monetary authorities Foreign 24.0 48.2 9.2 23.0 15.9 65.5 9.8 24.1 9.7 69.8 10.9 24.9 17.4 73.3 8.4 55.5 17.8 101.5 21.6 62.4 14.2 170.6 30.2 98.0 9.0 74.0 8.8 40.7 25.7 72.5 8.0 70.4 28.8 98.2 23.7 51.0 6.7 104.9 19.5 73.8 14.6 127.3 9.8 109.7 13.8 214.0 50.6 86.2 11 12 Agency and foreign borrowing not in line 1 Sponsored credit agencies and mortgage pools Foreign 47.4 23.5 64.9 16.0 67.8 17.4 74.9 6.1 101.5 1.7 171.1 14.4 69.8 35.5 80.0 -23.3 92.9 -4.1 110.2 7.5 129.5 24.3 212.7 4.4 342.3 115.9 23.4 19.8 53.5 145.9 16.2 352.9 203.1 44.2 14.8 -5.3 96.9 .8 518.7 226.9 53.7 14.6 55.0 161.5 -7.0 682.7 237.8 50.4 32.6 98.5 279.1 15.7 769.2 277.0 152.4 41.2 84.8 228.1 14.2 700.1 300.3 48.5 75.3 74.5 221.3 19.8 700.5 224.4 42.8 25.6 109.9 313.6 15.7 664.9 251.2 58.0 39.6 87.0 244.7 15.7 619.6 241.7 67.5 49.7 72.0 200.4 11.7 918.8 312.2 237.3 32.7 97.5 255.9 16.7 597.7 262.5 15.9 96.4 66.2 170.1 13.5 803.2 338.2 81.1 54.3 82.7 273.0 26.2 Private financial intermediation 70 Credit market funds advanced by private financial institutions 71 Commercial banking 77 Savings institutions 73 Insurance and pension funds 24 Other finance 320.2 106.5 26.2 93.5 94.0 261.9 110.2 21.8 86.2 43.7 391.9 144.3 135.6 97.8 14.1 550.5 168.9 149.2 124.0 108.3 554.4 186.3 83.4 141.0 143.6 659.2 203.2 109.6 137.3 209.1 581.8 184.2 173.5 144.5 79.5 519.1 153.5 124.9 103.5 137.2 471.3 133.8 63.0 121.8 152.7 637.4 238.8 103.9 160.1 134.5 572.5 106.9 101.4 124.6 239.6 746.6 299.8 117.8 150.1 178.8 75 Sources of funds 76 Private domestic deposits and RPs 27 Credit market borrowing 320.2 214.5 54.5 261.9 195.2 25.2 391.9 212.2 26.2 550.5 317.6 64.1 554.4 204.8 85.3 659.2 253.3 71.0 581.8 300.2 64.4 519.1 334.9 63.8 471.3 203.0 61.9 637.4 206.6 108.8 572.5 224.5 59.6 746.6 282.3 82.4 78 79 30 31 32 51.2 -23.7 -1.1 89.6 -13.6 41.5 -31.4 6.1 92.5 -25.7 153.4 16.3 -5.3 110.6 31.8 168.8 5.4 4.0 112.5 46.8 264.2 17.7 10.3 107.0 129.2 334.9 14.7 1.9 120.2 198.1 217.2 3.0 -.1 146.5 67.8 120.4 7.8 8.2 78.5 25.9 206.5 11.2 14.4 97.4 83.5 322.0 24.3 116.6 175.0 288.4 .9 -5.5 104.5 188.5 381.9 28.6 9.4 135.9 208.1 Private domestic nonfinancial investors 33 Direct lending in credit markets 34 U.S. government securities 35 State and local obligations 36 Corporate and foreign bonds 37 Open market paper 38 Other 76.6 37.1 11.1 -4.0 1.4 31.0 116.3 69.9 25.0 2.0 -1.3 20.6 153.0 95.5 39.0 -12.7 15.1 16.2 196.4 132.9 29.6 -3.4 8.9 28.3 300.2 150.9 59.2 13.2 51.8 25.1 111.9 65.7 6.4 11.5 7.0 21.3 183.1 142.2 25.0 -26.8 15.7 26.9 209.6 123.6 34.3 19.9 2.2 29.7 210.2 130.8 20.5 25.4 7.3 26.3 390.2 171.0 98.0 1.0 96.3 24.0 84.8 53.4 -24.5 44.6 -13.0 24.3 139.0 78.2 37.3 -21.6 27.1 18.0 39 Deposits and currency 40 Currency 41 Checkable deposits 47 Small time and savings accounts 43 Money market fund shares 44 Large time deposits 45 Security RPs 46 Deposits in foreign countries 222.4 9.5 18.5 47.3 107.5 36.0 5.2 -1.7 204.5 9.7 18.6 135.7 24.7 5.2 11.1 -.4 229.7 14.3 28.8 215.3 -44.1 -6.3 18.5 3.1 321.1 8.6 27.8 150.7 47.2 84.9 7.0 -5.1 215.1 12.4 42.0 137.5 -2.2 14.0 13.4 -2.1 274.9 14.4 99.2 117.9 20.8 1.6 13.7 7.1 311.3 13.1 29.4 136.4 30.2 93.4 10.8 -2.0 330.9 4.1 26.3 164.9 64.2 76.5 3.1 -8.2 215.9 15.8 18.2 167.1 4.2 -.8 14.3 -2.9 214.3 9.0 65.8 108.0 -8.6 28.9 12.5 -1.3 241.6 10.9 83.9 117.5 29.0 2.0 -7.9 6.2 308.3 18.0 114.6 118.3 12.7 1.3 35.3 8.1 47 Total of credit market instruments, deposits and currency 299.0 320.7 382.7 517.4 515.3 386.7 494.4 540.5 426.0 604.5 326.4 447.3 26.2 93.6 -.7 28.6 74.2 -7.3 20.4 75.5 41.3 20.3 80.6 60.9 23.3 72.1 80.1 37.2 94.2 112.7 17.4 83.1 43.7 23.2 78.1 78.2 27.7 76.1 62.2 20.2 69.4 98.1 35.8 95.8 110.5 38.2 93.0 114.8 -3.3 33.6 67.0 -31.1 37.5 115.3 -40.1 -22.2 33.3 41.6 149.6 81.1 6.0 -9.3 19.9 -23.2 16.8 16.8 27.6 6.0 32.1 34.9 46.8 20.2 38.0 -69.1 8.2 -39.4 103.4 -65.9 33.3 4.1 187.6 -72.3 27.8 87.5 39.3 -79.4 -4.1 -36.0 36.6 -58.8 20.6 -42.7 93.6 -60.4 54.0 -20.7 113.1 -71.5 12.6 29.0 201.5 -52.0 35.4 114.2 173.6 -92.6 20.3 60.7 Private domestic funds advanced Total net advances U.S. government securities State and local obligations Corporate and foreign bonds Residential mortgages Other mortgages and loans LESS: Federal Home Loan Bank advances N 14 15 16 17 18 19 Other sources Foreign funds Treasury balances Insurance and pension reserves Other, net 48 49 50 Public holdings as percent of total Private financial intermediation (in percent) Total foreign funds MEMO: Corporate equities not included above 51 Total net issues 57 Mutual fund shares 53 Other equities 54 Acquisitions by financial institutions 55 Other net purchases NOTES BY LINE NUMBER. 1. 2. 6. 11. 13. 18. 26. 27. 29. 30. Line 1 of table 1.57. Sum of lines 3-6 or 7-10. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. Credit market funds raised by federally sponsored credit agencies, and net issues of federally related mortgage pool securities. Line 1 less line 2 plus line 11 and 12. Also line 20 less line 27 plus line 33. Also sum of lines 28 and 47 less lines 40 and 46. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. Line 39 less lines 40 and 46. Excludes equity issues and investment company shares. Includes line 19. Foreign deposits at commercial banks, bank borrowings from foreign branches, and liabilities of foreign banking agencies to foreign affiliates, less claims on foreign affiliates and deposits by banking in foreign banks. Demand deposits and note balances at commercial banks. 6.1 31. Excludes net investment of these reserves in corporate equities. 32. Mainly retained earnings and net miscellaneous liabilities. 33. Line 13 less line 20 plus line 27. 34-38. Lines 14-18 less amounts acquired by private finance plus amounts borrowed by private finance. Line 38 includes mortgages. 40. Mainly an offset to line 9. 47. Lines 33 plus 39, or line 13 less line 28 plus 40 and 46. 48. Line 2/line 1. 49. Line 20fline 13. 50. Sum of lines 10 and 29. 51. 53. Includes issues by financial institutions. NOTE. Full statements for sectors and transaction types in flows and in amounts outstanding may be obtained from Flow of Funds Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. A44 2.10 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1987 NONFINANCIAL BUSINESS ACTIVITY Selected Measures' 1977 = 100; monthly and quarterly data are seasonally adjusted. E x c e p t i o n s noted. 1986 Measure 1984 1985 1987 1986 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.' Jan. 1 Industrial production 121.8 124.5 126.2 124.2 124.2 124.9 125.1 124.9 125.3 126.0 126.4 126.9 2 3 4 5 6 7 Market groupings Products, total Final, total Consumer goods Equipment Intermediate Materials 127.1 127.8 118.2 140.5 124.9 114.6 131.7 132.0 120.7 147.1 130.6 114.7 134.0 133.9 123.8 147.5 134.2 115.5 132.4 131.6 124.3 141.2 135.1 113.0 132.4 131.1 124.4 140.0 137.0 113.1 133.2 132.0 125.2 141.0 137.3 113.6 133.8 132.6 125.1 142.5 137.8 113.2 133.3 132.2 124.2 142.8 137.0 113.5 134.0 132.7 124.7' 143.3' 138.7' 113.3 134.5 133.4 125.4' 143.4' 139.3' 114.4' 135.2 134.2 127.1 143.0 139.6 114.4 135.9 134.6 127.8 143.7 140.3 114.6 8 Industry groupings Manufacturing 123.9 127.1 129.4 128.2 128.3 129.2 129.5 129.5 129.9 130.4' 131.0 131.8 80.5 82.0 80.1 80.2 79.8 79.4 78.1 79.3 78.0 79.7 78.3 79.7 77.9 79.6 78.1 79.(f 79.8' 78.4' 80.1 78.4 80.3 78.4 Capacity utilization (percent) 2 9 Manufacturing Industrial materials industries 10 3 77.8' 11 Construction contracts (1982 = 100) 135.0' 148.0' 155.(K 153.CK 159.0' 157.0' 155^ 155.0- 151.0' 156.0' 155.0 150.0 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Nonagricultural employment, total 4 Goods-producing, total Manufacturing, total Manufacturing, production-worker . . . Service-producing Personal income, total Wages and salary disbursements Manufacturing Disposable personal income 5 Retail sales (1977 = 100)6 114.5 101.6 98.6 94.1 120.0 193.5 184.8 164.6 193.6 179.0 118.5 102.9 98.7 93.5 125.0 206.2 197.8 172.5 205.0 190.6 121.5 102.5 97.5 92.1 129.4 216.9 208.6 176.7 215.5 199.9 121.2 102.6 97.5 92.1 129.0 216.6 207.1 176.1 215.9 197.0 121.1 102.1 97.2 91.8 129.0 216.6 207.6 175.4 215.5 197.5 121.4 102.2 97.1 91.7 129.4 217.2 208.5 175.5 215.8 198.9 121.6 102.2 97.1 91.7 129.7 217.6 209.6 176.6 215.9 201.7 121.9 102.1 97.0 91.7 130.2 218.2 210.1 176.5 216.4 213.0 122.3 102.1 97.1 91.8 130.7 218.8' 211.5 179.0 216.7' 201.9 122.6 102.3 97.3 92.1 131.0 219.2' 212.5 177.8' 216.8' 200.9' 122.8 102.4 97.4 92.3 131.4 220.6 212.8 178.0 217.8 210.1 123.4 102.9 97.5 92.4 131.9 220.7 214.0 178.7 219.4 198.0 22 23 Prices 7 Consumer Producer finished goods 311.1 291.1 322.2 293.7 328.4 289.6 326.3 288.9 327.9 289.3 328.0 287.6 328.6 288.1 330.2 287.3' 330.5 290.5 330.8 290.7 331.1 289.9 333.1 291.7 1. A major revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in July 1985. See "A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production" and accompanying tables that contain revised indexes ( 1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) t h r o u g h D e c e m b e r 1984 in t h e FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, v o l . 71 (July 1985), pp. 487-501. The revised indexes for January through June 1985 were shown in the September BULLETIN. 2. Ratios of indexes of production to indexes of capacity. Based on data from Federal Reserve, McGraw-Hill Economics Department, Department of Commerce, and other sources. 3. Index of dollar value of total construction contracts, including residential, nonresidential and heavy engineering, from McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. 4. Based on data in Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). Series covers employees only, excluding personnel in the Armed Forces. 5. Based on data in Survey of Current Business (U.S. Department of Commerce). 6. Based on Bureau of Census data published in Survey of Current Business. 1. Data without seasonal adjustment, as published in Monthly Labor Review. Seasonally adjusted data for changes in the price indexes may be obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. NOTE. Basic data (not index numbers) for series mentioned in notes 4, 5, and 6, and indexes for series mentioned in notes 3 and 7 may also be found in the Survey of Current Business. Figures for industrial production for the last two months are preliminary and estimated, respectively. Selected Measures 2.11 A45 LABOR FORCE, EMPLOYMENT, AND UNEMPLOYMENT T h o u s a n d s o f persons; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. Exceptions noted. 1987 1986 Category 1984 1985 1986 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.' Jan. HOUSEHOLD SURVEY DATA 1 Noninstitutional population 1 178,602 180,440 182,822 182,732 182,906 183,074 183,261 183,450 183,628 183,815 184,092 2 Labor force (including Armed Forces) 1 3 Civilian labor force Employment 4 Nonagricultural industries 2 5 Agriculture Unemployment 6 Number 7 Rate (percent of civilian labor force) . . . 8 Not in labor force 115,763 113,544 117,695 115,461 120,078 117,834 120,234 118,005 120,341 118,117 120,370 118,124 120,536 118,272 120,678 118,414 120,940 118,675 120,854 118,586 121,299 119,034 101,685 3,321 103,971 3,179 106,434 3,163 106,449 3,164 106,763 3,124 107,010 3,057 106,845 3,142 107,030 3,162 107,217 3,215 107,476 3,161 107,866 3,145 8,539 7.5 62,839 8,312 7.2 62,745 8,237 7.0 62,744 8,392 7.1 62,498 8,230 7.0 62,565 8,057 6.8 62,704 8,285 7.0 62,725 8,222 6.9 62,772 8,243 6.9 62,688 7,949 6.7 62,961 8,023 6.7 62,793 9 Nonagricultural payroll employment 3 94,461 97,698 100,168 99,843 100,105 100,283 100,560 100,826 101,068' 101,293 101,741 Manufacturing Mining Contract construction Transportation and public utilities Trade Finance Service Government 19,412 974 4,345 5,171 22,134 5,682 20,761 15,984 19,426 969 4,661 5,300 23,195 5,924 21,929 16,295 19,187 792 4,961 5,285 23,829 6,304 23,073 16,738 19,135 772 4,947 5,167 23,773 6,295 23,072 16,682 19,121 768 4,980 5,288 23,841 6,334 23,176 16,597 19,123 753 5,012 5,255 23,893 6,364 23,255 16,628 19,105 743 5,010 5,316 23,924 6,388 23,300 16,774 19,118 746 5,001 5,316 24,007 6,409 23,359 16,870 19,156' 742' 4,993 5,351' 24,056' 6,429' 23,451' 16,890' 19,183 740 4,997 5,359 24,053 6,469 23,567 16,925 19,186 729 5,139 5,363 24,238 6,491 23,684 16,911 ESTABLISHMENT SURVEY DATA 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1. Persons 16 years of age and over. Monthly figures, which are based on sample data, relate to the calendar week that contains the 12th day; annual data are averages of monthly figures. By definition, seasonality does not exist in population figures. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). 2. Includes self-employed, unpaid family, and domestic service workers. 3. Data include all full- and part-time employees who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that includes the 12th day of the month, and exclude proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, unpaid family workers, and members of the Armed Forces. Data are adjusted to the March 1984 benchmark and only seasonally adjusted data are available at this time. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Department of Labor). A46 2.12 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1987 OUTPUT, CAPACITY, AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Seasonally adjusted 1986 Q2 Ql 1986 1986 Q3 Q4' Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Capacity (percent of 1977 output) Output (1977 = 100) Q2 Ql Q3 Q4' Utilization rate (percent) 1 Total industry 125.0 124.4 125.0 125.9 156.3 157.1 157.9 158.7 80.0 79.2 79.1 79.3 2 Mining 3 Utilities 105.4 110.5 99.9 108.9 96.6 108.8 95.9 110.6 132.4 136.3 132.1 136.9 131.9 137.5 131.7 138.1 79.6 81.1 75.6 79.5 73.2 79.1 72.8 80.1 4 Manufacturing 128.4 128.4 129.4 130.4 160.5 161.4 162.4 163.4 80.0 79.5 79.7 79.8 5 Primary processing . . . 6 Advanced processing . 111.5 138.5 111.1 138.9 112.1 139.7 113.9 140.4 133.6 176.7 134.0 177.9 134.6 179.1 135.1 180.4 83.5 78.4 82.9 78.0 83.3 78.0 84.3 77.8 7 Materials 114.5 113.3 113.4 114.0 144.2 144.7 145.3 145.8 79.4 78.3 78.1 78.2 8 Durable goods 9 Metal materials . . . . 10 Nondurable goods 11 Textile, paper, and chemical.. 12 Paper Chemical 13 120.9 79.0 115.7 116.2 128.8 115.3 118.8 75.1 116.9 117.0 130.1 115.4 118.8 73.1 119.7 120.4 135.1 117.7 120.0 75.9 120.7 121.6 135.0 119.5 159.9 115.0 139.0 138.4 137.3 144.0 160.7 114.5 139.5 138.8 138.1 144.3 161.5 114.0 139.9 139.2 138.9 144.7 162.2 113.4 140.4 139.6 139.7r 145.CK 75.6 68.7 83.2 83.9 93.8 80.1 73.9 65.6 83.8 84.3 94.2 80.0 73.6 64.2 85.6 86.5 97.3 81.4 74.0 66.9 86.0 87.1 96.7 82.4 14 Energy materials 102.2 100.6 98.6 97.8 121.1 121.3 121.4 121.6 84.4 82.9 81.2 80.4 Previous cycle1 High Low Latest cycle2 High Low 1986 Jan. 1986 May June July Aug. Sept. Oct/ Nov/ Dec/ Jan. Capacity utilization rate (percent) 15 Total industry 88.6 72.1 86.9 69.5 80.9 79.1 79.0 79.2 79.2 79.0 79.0 79.4 79.5 79.7 16 Mining 17 Utilities 92.8 95.6 87.8 82.9 95.2 88.5 76.9 78.0 81.6 82.7 75.5 79.3 74.9 79.2 73.5 79.9 73.1 78.8 72.9 78.7 72.5 79.3 73.4 80.5 72.5 80.4 72.7 80.2 80.3 18 Manufacturing 87.7 69.9 86.5 68.0 80.8 79.4 79.3 79.7 79.7 79.6 79.6 79.8 80.1 19 Primary processing . . . 20 Advanced processing . 91.9 86.0 68.3 71.1 89.1 85.1 65.1 69.5 84.4 79.2 82.9 78.0 82.7 77.7 82.9 78.4 83.2 78.0 83.7 77.6 83.8 77.8 84.4 77.7 84.7 77.9 21 Materials 92.0 70.5 89.1 68.4 80.1 78.1 78.0 78.3 77.9 78.1 77.8 78.4 78.4 78.4 22 Durable goods 23 Metal materials 91.8 99.2 64.4 67.1 89.8 93.6 60.9 45.7 76.5 71.0 73.7 65.2 73.2 63.2 73.7 63.8 73.5 63.8 73.5 64.8 73.6 65.2 74.2 65.4 74.1 67.1 74.3 67.0 24 Nondurable goods . . . . 25 Textile, paper, and chemical ">6 77 91.1 66.7 88.1 70.6 83.7 83.5 84.3 85.0 85.5 86.1 85.8 85.6 86.5 87.1 92.8 98.4 92.5 64.8 70.6 64.4 89.4 97.3 87.9 68.6 79.9 63.3 84.3 94.6 80.8 84.2 93.1 80.2 85.1 95.9 80.4 85.6 97.8 80.2 86.5 97.9 81.2 87.4 96.1 82.6 87.0 95.7 82.5 86.7 96.0 81.7 87.7 98.2 82.9 88.4 28 Energy materials 94.6 86.9 94.0 82.2 85.1 82.9 83.1 82.3 80.6 80.7 79.7 81.2 80.4 79.4 1. Monthly high 1973; monthly low 1975. 2. Monthly highs 1978 through 1980; monthly lows 1982. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's G.3 (402) release. For address, see inside front cover. Selected Measures 2.13 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value A47 • Monthly data are seasonally adjusted Grouping 1977 proportion 1986 1985 avg. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1987 July Aug. Sept. Oct/ Nov. Dec." Jan. e Index (1977 = 100) MAJOR MARKET 100.00 123.8 126.2 125.3 123.6 124.7 124.2 124.2 124.9 125.1 124.9 125.3 126.0 126.4 126.9 2 Products 3 Final products Consumer goods 4 5 Equipment 57.72 44.77 25.52 19.25 130.8 131.1 120.2 145.4 134.0 133.9 123.8 147.5 132.9 132.8 123.3 145.4 131.2 130.6 121.8 142.3 132.7 132.1 124.5 142.3 132.4 131.6 124.3 141.2 132.4 131.1 124.4 140.0 133.2 132.0 125.2 141.0 133.8 132.6 125.1 142.5 133.3 132.2 124.2 142.8 134.0 132.7 124.7 143.3 134.5 133.1 125.4 143.4 135.2 133.9 127.1 143.0 135.9 134.6 127.8 143.7 6 Intermediate products 7 Materials 12.94 42.28 130.0 114.2 134.2 115.5 133.4 114.8 133.3 113.3 134.5 113.8 135.1 113.0 137.0 113.1 137.3 113.6 137.8 113.2 137.0 113.5 138.7 113.3 139.3 114.4 139.6 114.4 140.3 114.6 6.89 2.98 1.79 1.16 .63 1.19 3.91 1.24 1.19 .96 1.71 112.9 114.0 112.0 98.9 136.3 116.9 112.2 131.0 131.8 119.8 94.3 116.0 116.2 118.2 105.5 141.7 113.3 115.8 133.2 135.7 125.1 98.0 116.6 117.6 119.4 107.1 142.1 114.9 115.8 135.1 137.6 124.4 97.0 112.4 110.4 106.3 93.7 129.6 116.6 113.9 133.7 136.0 121.2 95.5 115.9 116.4 115.1 100.8 141.5 118.4 115.5 138.8 140.6 121.8 95.0 113.8 113.2 110.3 94.8 139.1 117.4 114.3 133.9 135.8 123.3 95.0 114.3 113.7 112.2 99.3 136.1 116.1 114.8 137.5 139.1 122.5 94.1 116.3 116.4 114.5 95.3 150.3 119.1 116.3 138.9 141.6 126.6 94.1 115.7 114.5 110.4 87.8 152.4 120.7 116.7 139.4 142.5 125.8 95.1 117.4 117.0 116.8 96.2 155.1 117.3 117.7 141.2 143.5 126.2 96.0 116.3 112.7 107.7 91.9 137.1 120.1 119.0 142.6 144.3 128.8 96.5 117.8 114.2 107.6 92.3 136.0 124.2 120.6 146.2 147.9 131.1 96.3 121.1 118.1 115.6 99.5 145.6 121.8 123.4 152.6 154.5 132.6 97.2 121.3 120.4 119.1 95.2 19 Nondurable consumer goods 20 Consumer staples 21 Consumer foods and tobacco 22 Nonfood staples 23 Consumer chemical products .. 24 Consumer paper products 25 Consumer energy 26 Consumer fuel 27 Residential utilities 18.63 15.29 7.80 7.49 2.75 1.88 2.86 1.44 1.42 122.9 129.0 128.8 129.2 149.1 141.9 101.8 88.6 115.3 126.6 132.8 130.1 135.6 156.3 148.9 107.0 94.1 120.1 125.8 132.3 131.1 133.5 158.3 143.4 103.2 92.0 114.5 125.3 131.6 130.3 133.0 156.4 143.1 104.0 92.2 116.1 127.7 134.3 131.9 136.7 163.1 145.1 106.0 93.7 118.4 128.1 135.0 132.4 137.7 162.4 148.6 106.8 96.4 117.5 128.1 135.1 133.3 137.0 163.6 147.1 104.8 91.8 118.1 128.4 135.3 132.2 138.5 166.4 146.4 106.6 91.2 122.3 128.6 135.5 133.2 137.9 163.4 147.7 107.1 94.9 119.6 126.7 133.6 131.0 136.3 161.1 145.7 106.3 92.0 120.9 127.8 134.4 131.6 137.2 161.7 150.3 105.2 90.8 119.8 128.2 134.9 132.6 137.4 161.0 151.6 105.5 91.7 119.6 129.3 136.0 134.1 137.9 161.3 151.8 106.3 93.5 130.1 136.8 Equipment 28 Business and defense equipment 29 Business equipment 30 Construction, mining, and farm .. 31 Manufacturing 32 Power 33 Commercial 34 Transit 35 Defense and space equipment 18.01 146.0 14.34 139.6 2.08 64.3 3.27 110.7 1.27 83.5 5.22 217.9 2.49 105.4 3.67 170.6 149.1 141.5 65.3 113.0 82.9 217.8 112.7 178.7 147.8 140.5 63.0 112.9 82.3 216.8 111.7 176.3 145.5 137.7 59.5 112.4 82.0 214.3 104.3 176.2 146.6 138.6 58.6 111.9 83.0 213.4 112.1 178.0 146.0 137.9 60.9 111.9 82.9 212.9 107.3 178.0 145.1 136.6 61.9 111.7 83.5 208.2 108.8 178.4 146.4 137.9 60.6 112.6 81.7 214.5 103.9 179.5 147.8 139.3 58.3 113.3 81.7 217.5 106.9 181.0 148.0 139.3 58.1 113.0 80.3 215.1 113.3 182.0 148.4 139.1 58.0 112.7 80.5 215.4 111.8 184.6 148.3 138.9 56.6 110.9 79.5 217.3 110.7 184.9 147.9 138.3 56.3 111.2 80.7 216.0 109.1 185.3 148.6 138.9 1 Total index Consumer goods 8 Durable consumer goods 9 Automotive products 10 Autos and trucks 11 Autos, consumer 12 Trucks, consumer 13 Auto parts and allied goods 14 Home goods 15 Appliances, A/C and TV 16 Appliances and TV 17 Carpeting and furniture 18 Miscellaneous home goods Intermediate products 36 Construction supplies 37 Business supplies 38 General business supplies 39 Commercial energy products 122.3 122.1 145.9 138.8 111.3 81.0 217.1 109.7 186.7 5.95 6.99 5.67 1.31 118.3 140.0 143.9 122.9 124.0 142.9 147.2 124.4 122.6 142.6 146.7 124.9 122.6 142.5 146.4 125.6 123.6 143.8 148.0 125.8 123.5 145.0 148.3 130.7 124.1 147.9 151.6 131.9 124.0 148.6 153.3 128.3 125.4 148.4 152.5 130.6 125.9 146.4 151.2 125.8 126.3 149.3 154.1 128.8 127.1 149.7 153.7 132.4 126.9 150.3 154.2 133.7 127.9 20.50 4.92 5.94 9.64 4.64 121.4 100.3 158.0 109.7 84.8 122.2 103.5 153.8 112.2 85.2 121.3 103.2 153.0 111.0 83.0 119.3 99.9 153.7 108.0 79.6 120.2 99.3 154.8 109.4 82.9 118.4 96.4 152.3 108.8 78.9 117.8 96.3 151.8 107.9 76.7 118.8 96.7 154.3 108.2 77.4 118.8 95.2 155.6 108.1 76.9 118.9 95.3 154.8 108.8 78.4 119.2 97.0 153.5 109.4 78.8 120.4 98.0 154.5 110.8 82.1 120.4 98.8 154.1 110.7 81.0 121.0 99.4 155.0 111.1 45 Nondurable goods materials 46 Textile, paper, and chemical materials 47 Textile materials 48 Pulp and paper materials 49 Chemical materials 50 Miscellaneous nondurable materials 10.09 112.2 116.2 116.1 114.8 116.5 116.5 117.7 118.9 119.7 120.6 120.3 120.1 121.6 122.6 7.53 1.52 1.55 4.46 2.57 112.2 98.7 124.1 112.7 112.1 116.5 104.1 129.7 116.2 115.4 116.5 107.5 128.8 115.4 115.0 115.5 105.7 128.0 114.5 112.8 115.9 106.7 129.0 114.5 118.2 116.9 108.4 128.6 115.7 115.3 118.2 109.5 132.7 116.1 116.4 119.0 111.2 135.6 115.9 118.3 120.5 113.4 136.0 117.5 117.2 121.8 116.0 133.7 119.7 117.1 121.3 114.3 133.5 119.5 117.5 121.0 115.0 134.2 118.5 117.6 122.6 113.9 137.4 120.4 118.7 123.8 51 Energy materials 52 Primary energy 53 Converted fuel materials 11.69 7.57 4.12 103.4 107.2 96.4 103.0 106.9 95.8 102.1 106.7 93.6 101.4 107.4 90.5 100.4 106.2 89.7 100.5 106.7 89.2 100.8 106.5 90.4 99.9 104.8 90.9 97.9 103.7 87.3 98.0 103.8 87.4 96.9 102.7 86.2 98.7 104.8 87.5 97.7 102.9 88.2 96.6 Materials 40 Durable goods materials 41 Durable consumer parts 42 Equipment parts 43 Durable materials n.e.c 44 Basic metal materials A48 2.13 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1987 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Indexes and Gross Value—Continued Grouping SIC code 1977 proportion 1986 1985 avg. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June 1987 July Aug. Sept. Oct/ Nov. Dec.P Jan. Index (1977 = 100) MAJOR INDUSTRY 15.79 9.83 5.96 84.21 35.11 49.10 110.0 108.8 111.9 126.4 125.1 127.3 109.8 108.1 112.5 129.4 129.3 129.5 106.8 105.1 109.7 128.7 128.7 128.7 105.4 103.0 109.3 127.2 127.7 126.8 104.2 101.0 109.4 128.7 129.6 128.1 103.1 99.8 108.5 128.2 129.9 127.0 102.6 98.9 108.6 128.3 131.2 126.2 101.8 97.1 109.7 129.2 131.7 127.4 100.9 96.4 108.3 129.5 132.2 127.5 100.8 96.2 108.3 129.5 131.4 128.1 100.7 95.6 109.3 129.9 132.3 128.1 102.1 96.7 111.2 130.4 132.8 128.6 101.4 95.4 111.2 131.0 133.5 129.3 10 11.12 13 14 .50 1.60 7.07 .66 75.0 126.8 106.2 118.3 73.5 130.8 104.9 113.5 77.2 126.5 101.1 116.8 75.9 124.7 99.2 111.6 76.0 124.4 96.2 115.0 72.0 124.0 95.1 112.4 65.9 127.3 93.3 114.5 69.2 120.2 92.4 111.8 70.9 122.2 90.7 114.8 70.7 120.8 91.0 111.7 68.5 117.6 90.5 116.4 130.1 89.4 115.2 124.8 88.8 114.8 1 Mining and utilities 2 Mining 3 Utilities 4 Manufacturing 5 Nondurable 6 Durable 101.4 95.6 111.0 131.8 134.5 129.8 7 8 9 10 Mining Metal Coal Oil and gas extraction Stone and earth minerals 11 12 13 14 15 Nondurable manufactures Foods Tobacco products Textile mill products Apparel products Paper and products 20 21 22 23 26 7.96 .62 2.29 2.79 3.15 130.2 100.2 103.2 100.9 127.6 132.0 93.8 107.9 105.5 133.6 132.9 97.0 109.9 102.8 132.6 132.2 93.6 108.0 102.8 132.4 133.1 100.3 111.4 103.1 134.1 133.7 101.6 111.3 102.6 133.2 134.6 97.6 112.6 101.7 137.2 134.3 97.9 113.4 102.5 138.1 135.1 97.1 114.7 102.5 138.6 134.3 89.8 116.0 102.7 136.9 133.7 100.1 116.1 104.2 137.8 134.1 99.7 117.9 105.1 139.5 117.7 106.1 141.4 16 17 18 19 20 Printing and publishing Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastic products Leather and products 27 28 29 30 31 4.54 8.05 2.40 2.80 .53 153.9 127.1 86.8 146.9 68.5 160.9 131.7 94.7 150.2 65.4 156.7 132.0 90.1 151.1 64.8 157.8 130.2 88.6 147.8 62.7 161.6 132.8 91.3 146.8 61.5 161.9 131.5 95.7 150.1 59.5 164.0 134.2 91.8 152.2 57.9 165.4 134.1 90.6 155.5 61.9 164.6 134.4 94.0 155.5 62.0 163.0 133.9 93.3 154.9 59.4 167.8 133.9 91.1 157.6 60.2 168.5 132.9 91.5 159.0 61.3 168.5 133.5 92.5 160.0 61.1 24 25 32 2.30 1.27 2.72 113.4 139.7 115.5 120.5 141.2 120.0 120.3 143.2 119.3 120.7 142.9 120.0 121.3 145.9 121.6 121.6 146.2 120.2 120.9 147.1 120.8 120.8 149.5 119.6 122.5 148.3 119.7 125.0 147.7 121.6 125.9 149.2 118.1 129.3 148.6 120.6 150.4 121.6 33 331.2 34 35 36 5.33 3.49 6.46 9.54 7.15 80.5 70.4 107.3 145.3 168.4 82.4 72.2 109.2 144.9 166.1 80.3 69.5 108.5 143.9 164.8 76.3 64.3 107.6 141.7 165.2 78.1 65.6 108.2 140.8 166.8 74.8 60.2 106.5 141.3 166.0 71.4 58.3 106.6 140.4 163.2 73.6 61.7 105.7 142.6 166.8 73.4 60.8 105.9 142.6 167.2 74.1 61.1 107.3 140.9 166.9 74.2 62.2 108.3 142.2 167.7 76.8 64.8 107.1 141.6 168.2 74.7 62.0 108.4 140.7 169.9 109.4 141.7 170.0 37 371 9.13 5.25 121.4 111.5 128.2 116.5 127.5 116.4 122.6 108.1 126.2 112.6 124.1 108.7 125.1 110.6 125.6 111.2 125.1 108.2 127.7 112.2 125.2 107.1 125.6 107.9 127.5 111.5 127.9 112.2 372-6.9 38 39 3.87 2.66 1.46 134.9 139.1 96.1 143.9 141.5 100.9 142.6 141.9 100.9 142.4 142.0 99.0 144.8 142.4 99.2 145.0 140.3 101.0 144.7 139.9 98.3 145.2 141.7 97.5 148.0 142.0 98.3 148.7 141.7 97.7 149.7 140.3 99.0 149.6 141.1 98.9 149.3 142.2 100.6 149.1 142.5 4.17 119.7 119.7 119.5 119.8 121.6 121.7 123.1 125.4 122.4 122.8 123.8 125.2 125.5 Durable manufactures 21 Lumber and products 22 Furniture and fixtures 23 Clay, glass, stone products 24 25 26 27 28 Primary metals Iron and steel Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery 29 Transportation equipment 30 Motor vehicles and parts. 31 Aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment 32 Instruments 33 Miscellaneous m a n u f a c t u r e s . . . Utilities 34 Electric 88.7 134.9 170.0 93.5 74.2 Gross value (billions of 1978 dollars, annual rates) MAJOR MARKET 35 Products, total 5 1 7 . 5 1 , 6 5 0 . 9 1.702.1 1 , 6 8 6 . 5 1,660.8 1 , 6 8 6 . 3 1 , 6 8 7 . 6 1 , 6 7 6 . 7 1 , 6 6 9 . 9 1 , 6 8 1 . 3 1 , 6 7 7 . 8 1 , 6 8 3 . 9 1 , 6 9 0 . 8 1 , 7 0 3 . 9 1 . 7 1 6 . 2 36 Final 37 Consumer goods 38 Equipment 39 Intermediate 405.7 1,282.3 1.321.2 1,310.3 1,282.5 1,307.0 1,301.1 1,289.5 1,282.7 1,292.6 1,292.3 1,292.5 1,297.3 1,309.3 1.323.3 272.7 820.7 850.7 845.3 832.0 852.3 852.4 843.8 842.3 846.9 839.8 839.3 846.2 861.4 869.1 133.0 461.7 470.5 465.1 450.4 454.7 448.7 445.7 440.4 445.7 452.5 453.2 451.1 447.9 454.1 111.9 368.6 380.8 376.2 378.3 379.3 386.4 387.2 387.1 388.7 385.5 391.4 393.4 394.6 393.0 • A major revision of the industrial production index and the capacity utilization rates was released in July 1985. See " A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production" and accompanying tables that contain revised indexes ( 1 9 7 7 = 1 0 0 ) t h r o u g h D e c e m b e r 1984 in t h e FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN, v o l . 71 (July 1985), pp. 487-501. The revised indexes for January through June 1985 were shown in the September BULLETIN. NOTE. These data also appear in the Board's G.12.3 (414) release. For address, see inside front cover. Selected Measures 2.14 A49 HOUSING AND CONSTRUCTION Monthly figures are at seasonally adjusted annual rates except as noted. 1986 Item 1984 1985 1986 Apr. Mar. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Private residential real estate activity (thousands of units) N E W UNITS 1 Permits authorized 7 1-family 3 2-or-more-family 1,682 922 759 1,733 957 777 1,750 1,071 679 1,834 1,043 791 1,885 1,139 746 1,788 1,092 696 1,792 1,121 671 1,759 1,093 666 1,673 1,039 634 1,603 1,047 556 1,565 1,006 559 1,613 991 622 1,910 1,168 742 4 Started 5 1-family 6 2-or-more-family 1,749 1,084 665 1,742 1,072 669 1,806' 1,179 626 1,887' 1,195' 692' 1,945' 1,220' 725' 1,848' 1,219 629 1,842' 1,212' 630' 1,786' 1,147' 639' 1,800' 1,18c 62C 1,689' 1,123' 56V 1,657' 1,114' 543 1,637' 1,129' 508' 1,808 1,225 583 7 Under construction, end of period1 8 1-family 9 2-or-more-family 1,051 556 494 1,063 539 524 1,085 590 495 1,099 574 526 1,135 586 549 1,132 597 534 1,151 612 539 1,157 623 533 1,164 630 533 1,154 626 527 1,142' 625 517' 1,123' 507' 1,111 615 497 1,652 1,025 627 1,703 1,072 631 1,754 1,118 637 1,806 1,153 653 1,693 1,127 566 1,829 1,140 689 1,620 1,060 560 1,761 1,067 694 1,763 1,128 635 1,743 1,110 633 1,732' 1,168' 564' 1,771' 1,174' 597' 1,883 1,158 725 13 Mobile homes shipped 296 284 244 241' 251' 239 232' 238' 231' 243' 241' 237' 251 Merchant builder activity in 1-family units 14 Number sold 15 Number for sale, end of period1 639 358 688 350 748 366 924 338 880 336 787 336 722 340 698 349 618 352 745' 355' 678' 357' 685' 354' 772 362 10 Completed 11 1-family 12 2-or-more-family Price (thousands of dollars)2 Median Units sold 80.0 84.3 92.3 88.7 92.5 92.1 91.2 94.1 91.5 95.C 96.C 95.C 95.5 97.5 101.0 112.5 108.0 110.3 114.6 110.9 116.8 113.2 114.C 114.9' 114.6' 122.6 2,868 3,217 3,566 3,200 3,570 3,450 3,390 3,470 3,610 3,770 3,810 3,910 4,060 72.3 85.9 75.4 90.6 80.2 98.2 79.8 96.8 80.2 98.1 83.2 101.7 82.6 102.1 79.9 99.2 82.0 100.3 79.4 96.8 79.4 97.3 80.4 99.1 80.8 100.6 21 Total put in place 327,209 555,570 $76,856 368,027 373,904 374,483 375,397 380,722 382,603 382,581 384,317 378,444 374,903 V 73 74 271,973 292,792 305,700 298,868 303,320 302,573 304,567 309,003 310,155 155,148 158,818 174,551 165,645 170,520 172,491 174,478 178,821 178,761 116,825 133,974 131,149 133,223 132,800 130,082 130,089 130,182 131,394 303,751 178,623 125,128 16 17 Units sold EXISTING UNITS ( 1 - f a m i l y ) 18 Number sold Price of units sold (thousands of dollars)2 19 Median 20 Average Value of new construction3 (millions of dollars) CONSTRUCTION 75 76 77 28 Residential Nonresidential, total Buildings Industrial Commercial Other Public utilities and other 79 Public 30 Military 31 Highway 37 Conservation and development 33 Other 13,746 48,100 12,547 42,432 15,769 59,626 12,619 45,960 13,611 51,901 13,436 52,201 13,354 60,716 13,131 46,022 14,557 59,763 13,006 45,474 13,658 57,368 13,131 45,925 13,027 57,443 13,263 46,356 12,866 58,132 13,277 45,907 12,543 60,054 13,315 45,482 13,180 58,001 14,001 44,955 12,948 56,273 14,341 45,284 13,428 54,834 13,956 44,237 12,739 54,253 13,833 44,303 55,232 2,839 16,343 4,654 31,396 62,777 3,283 19,998 4,952 34,544 71,154 3,847 21,383 4,919 41,005 69,159 3,673 22,673 4,598 38,215 70,583 3,725 23,155 4,947 38,756 71,910 3,637 23,240 4,729 40,304 70,830 3,761 22,001 4,657 40,411 71,719 3,553 21,603 4,415 42,148 72,448 4,132 21,607 4,294 42,415 73,964 5,050 20,552 4,841 43,521 73,613 3,695 20,465 6,425 43,028 69,836 3,722 18,371 4,635 43,108 71,152 3,847 18,932 5,159 43,214 1. Not at annual rates. 2. Not seasonally adjusted. 3. Value of new construction data in recent periods may not be strictly comparable with data in prior periods because of changes by the Bureau of the Census in its estimating techniques. For a description of these changes see Construction Reports (C-30-76-5), issued by the Bureau in July 1976. 308,617 310,704 308,609 178,480 181,858 182,154 130,137 128,846 126,455 NOTE. Census Bureau estimates for all series except (a) mobile homes, which are private, domestic shipments as reported by the Manufactured Housing Institute and seasonally adjusted by the Census Bureau, and (b) sales and prices of existing units, which are published by the National Association of Realtors. All back and current figures are available from originating agency. Permit authorizations are those reported to the Census Bureau from 16,000 jurisdictions beginning with 1978. A50 2.15 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1987 CONSUMER AND PRODUCER PRICES Percentage changes based on seasonally adjusted data, except as noted Change from 12 months earlier Change from 3 months earlier (at annual rate) Change from 1 month earlier Index level Jan. Item 1986' 1986 1987 Jan. Jan. Mar. June 1986' Sept. Dec. Sept. Oct. 1987 (1967 = 100)' 1987 Nov. Dec. Jan. CONSUMER PRICES 2 1 All items Food 3 Energy items 4 All items less food and energy 5 Commodities 6 Services 2 3.9 1.4 -1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 .3 .2 .2 .2 .7 333.1 2.7 2.5 4.4 2.1 5.9 4.2 -17.1 3.7 1.4 5.1 -.9 -32.3 4.4 1.2 6.5 3.9 -12.6 3.3 .3 4.9 8.4 -21.0 3.7 2.6 4.3 4.1 -9.9 3.7 1.4 5.1 .4 .4 .3 .1 .3 .4 -1.9 .4 .1 .6 .4 -.5 .3 .1 .4 .2 -.2 .2 .1 .3 .4 3.0 .5 .6 .5 328.9 352.2 333.6 265.5 407.5 1.3 .5 -1.5 2.4 2.2 -1.5 1.8 -31.7 3.0 2.4 -10.5 -7.6 -62.9 4.1 1.1 .7 8.2 -20.7 .9 2.4 -.4 11.2 -42.7 2.3 2.0 1.1 1.1 -18.4 4.1 3.3 .3 -.1 1.8 .2 .3 .3 .6 -3.1 .6 .4 .1 .0 -1.1 .3 .3 -.1 -.4 -.9 .1 .1 .6 -1.8 9.9 .5 .2 291.7 280.0 478.5 263.2 311.2 -.6 -.3 -3.3 .6 -9.8 -.7 -5.1 -1.2 -1.5 1.5 -1.2 1.1 .4 .2 -.3 .2 .0 .1 .0 .0 1.0 .4 312.9 306.2 -7.6 -3.3 -3.4 -2.0 -22.0 2.1 -22.6 -51.3 25.9 5.9 -29.1 6.6 18.1 -19.6 -24.1 -3.8 -10.4 8.0 -1.0 2.6 -.5 1.5 1.0 1.1 -1.3 -.7 .7 -1.2 -3.0 .1 -3.0 10.0 .5 227.1 571.6 251.0 PRODUCER PRICES Finished goods Consumer foods 9 Consumer energy 10 Other consumer goods 11 Capital equipment 7 8 12 13 Intermediate materials3 Excluding energy 14 15 16 Crude materials Foods Energy Other 1. Not seasonally adjusted. 2. Figures for consumer prices are those for all urban consumers and reflect a rental equivalence measure of homeownership after 1982. 3. Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. SOURCE. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Selected Measures 2.16 A51 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT AND INCOME Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1986 1985 Account 1984 1985 1986 R Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4' GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1? 13 By source Personal consumption expenditures Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Producers' durable equipment Residential structures Change in business inventories Nonfarm 3,765.0 3,998.1 4,206.5 4,087.7 4,149.2 4,175.6 4,240.7 4,260.6 2,428.2 331.2 870.1 1,227.0 2,600.5 359.3 905.1 1,336.1 2,763.1 388.4 932.7 1,442.0 2,667.9 362.0 922.6 1,383.2 2,697.9 360.8 929.7 1,407.4 2,732.0 373.9 928.4 1,429.8 2,799.8 414.5 932.8 1,452.4 2,822.5 404.3 939.7 1,478.5 662.1 598.0 416.5 139.3 277.3 181.4 661.1 650.0 458.2 154.8 303.4 191.8 684.1 676.3 459.3 143.1 316.2 217.0 669.5 672.6 474.0 157.2 316.8 198.6 708.3 664.4 459.2 154.6 304.6 205.3 687.3 672.8 457.5 141.5 316.0 215.3 675.8 680.3 459.0 139.5 319.5 221.3 665.3 687.8 461.4 136.8 324.6 226.3 64.1 56.6 11.1 12.2 7.8 8.3 -3.1 16.7 43.8 41.2 14.5 10.5 -4.5 -10.3 -22.5 -8.3 14 15 16 Net exports of goods and services Exports Imports -58.7 382.7 441.4 -78.9 369.8 448.6 -105.2 372.3 477.5 -105.3 368.2 473.6 -93.7 374.8 468.5 -104.5 363.0 467.5 -108.9 370.8 479.7 -113.6 380.7 494.3 17 18 19 Government purchases of goods and services 733.4 311.3 422.2 815.4 354.1 461.3 864.5 366.6 497.9 855.6 380.9 474.7 836.7 355.7 480.9 860.8 367.6 493.3 874.0 369.3 504.7 886.5 374.0 512.5 3,700.9 1,576.7 675.0 901.7 1,813.1 375.1 3,987.0 1,630.2 700.2 930.0 1,959.8 408.1 4,198.7 1,671.4 716.8 954.6 2,105.4 429.8 4,090.8 1,644.1 709.1 935.0 2,025.5 418.1 4,105.4 1,669.0 710.6 958.4 2,057.7 422.6 4,161.2 1,661.6 703.1 958.5 2,087.4 426.7 4,245.2 1,680.2 730.1 950.1 2,125.2 435.3 4,283.1 1,674.7 723.4 951.3 2,151.2 434.7 64.1 39.2 24.9 11.1 6.6 4.5 7.8 -.7 8.6 -3.1 9.5 -12.7 43.8 28.6 15.3 14.5 -.1 14.6 -4.5 -15.6 11.1 -22.5 -15.8 -6.7 3,489.9 3,585.2 3,675.5 3,622.3 3,655.9 3,661.4 3,686.4 3,698.3 State and local By major type of product 70 ?1 77 73 74 25 76 77 28 Durable Nondurable Structures Change in business inventories Durable goods Nondurable goods 2 9 MEMO: T o t a l G N P i n 1 9 8 2 d o l l a r s NATIONAL INCOME 30 3,032.0 3,222.3 3,385.1 3,287.3 3,340.7 3,376.4 3,396.1 n.a. 2,214.7 1,837.0 346.2 1,490.6 377.7 193.1 184.5 2,368.2 1,965.8 372.2 1,593.9 402.4 205.5 196.9 2,498.0 2,073.5 395.7 1,677.8 424.5 215.7 208.8 2,423.6 2,012.8 381.6 1,631.1 410.9 209.1 201.7 2,461.5 2,044.1 387.2 1,656.8 417.4 212.9 204.5 2,480.2 2,058.8 392.5 1,666.3 421.3 214.1 207.3 2,507.4 2,081.1 398.4 1,682.7 426.3 215.9 210.4 2,542.8 2,109.8 404.4 1,705.4 433.0 220.1 213.0 236.9 205.3 31.5 254.4 225.2 29.2 279.2 252.7 26.5 262.1 232.7 29.4 265.3 240.9 24.4 289.1 249.6 39.5 277.5 258.0 19.6 284.9 262.2 22.7 31 37 33 34 35 36 37 Compensation of employees Wages and salaries Government and government enterprises Other Supplement to wages and salaries Employer contributions for social insurance Other labor income 38 39 40 Proprietors' income1 Business and professional1 Farm 1 41 Rental income of persons 2 8.3 7.6 15.0 8.3 12.8 16.3 16.2 42 43 44 45 Corporate profits1 Profits before tax 3 Inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption adjustment 264.7 235.7 -5.5 34.5 280.7 223.2 -.6 58.1 299.7 235.4 6.5 56.8 285.6 235.8 -9.4 59.2 296.4 222.5 16.5 57.3 293.1 227.7 10.6 54.8 302.0 240.4 6.1 55.5 n.a. n.a. 46 Net interest 307.4 311.4 294.2 307.6 304.9 297.7 292.9 281.5 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. 3. For after-tax profits, dividends, and the like, see table 1.48. SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). 14.8 -7.2 59.4 A52 2.17 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics • April 1987 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING Billions of current dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. Exceptions noted. 1985 1984 1985 Q4 Q2 Q1 Q3 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING 1 Total personal income 3,110.2 3,314.5 3,486.1 3,382.9 3,432.6 3,483.3 3,498.8 2 Wage and salary disbursements 3 Commodity-producing industries Manufacturing 4 5 Distributive industries 6 Service industries 7 Government and government enterprises 1.836.8 577.8 439.1 442.2 470.6 346.2 1,966.1 607.7 460.1 469.8 516.4 372.2 2,073.5 623.2 471.2 487.9 566.7 395.7 2,012.8 2,044.1 2,081.1 617.7 467.5 478.9 534.6 381.6 622.0 2,058.8 620.8 468.8 484.3 561.3 392.5 184.5 236.9 205.3 31.5 8.3 74.7 446.9 455.6 235.7 196.9 254.4 225.2 29.2 7.6 76.4 476.2 487.1 253.4 208.8 201.7 262.1 232.7 29.4 8.3 76.7 480.6 493.6 256.8 204.5 265.3 240.9 24.4 12.8 207.3 289.1 249.6 39.5 16.3 210.4 277.5 258.0 19.6 16.2 79.1 480.8 504.7 263.2 81.1 82.0 480.1 510.1 264.1 473.8 518.5 269.6 133.5 150.2 160.3 152.9 158.6 159.5 160.8 3,110.2 3,314.5 3,486.1 3,382.9 3,432.6 3,483.3 3.498.8 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Other labor income Proprietors' income1 Business and professional1 Farm 1 Rental income of persons 2 Dividends Personal interest income Transfer payments Old-age survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits LESS: Personal contributions for social insurance 18 EQUALS: Personal income 279.2 252.7 26.5 15.0 81.2 475.0 513.7 266.8 470.5 485.2 549.6 387.2 621.8 470.0 488.3 572.6 398.4 439.6 486.5 514.1 500.7 497.5 504.8 519.0 20 EQUALS: Disposable personal income 2,670.6 2,828.0 2,972.0 2,882.2 2,935.1 2,978.5 2.979.9 21 LESS: Personal outlays 2.501.9 2,684.7 2,858.0 2,756.4 2,789.4 2,825.5 2,895.8 22 EQUALS: Personal saving 168.7 143.3 116.3 125.8 145.6 153.1 84.1 14,721.1 9,475.4 10,421.0 6.3 14,982.0 9,713.7 10,563.0 5.1 15,219.4 10,016.9 10,774.0 3.8 15,079.9 9,790.3 10,577.0 4.4 15,188.0 9,857.1 10,723.0 5.0 15,178.9 9,984.4 10,886.0 5.1 15,245.6 10,124.0 10,776.0 27 Gross saving 573.3 551.5 536.1 524.1 583.2 539.7 517.2 28 29 30 31 674.8 168.7 91.0 687.8 143.3 107.3 679.2 125.8 650.5 84.1 108.8 -.6 -9.4 708.3 145.6 115.5 16.5 713.0 153.1 106.6 -5.5 677.9 116.3 108.6 6.5 10.6 6.1 253.9 268.2 280.2 273.3 173.4 275.3 171.8 .0 278.9 174.4 .0 281.6 176.0 .0 -125.1 -195.0 69.9 -173.3 -232.2 58.9 -133.3 -197.4 64.0 19 LESS: Personal tax and nontax payments MEMO Per capita (1982 dollars) 23 Gross national product 24 Personal consumption expenditures 25 Disposable personal income 26 Saving rate (percent) 2.8 GROSS SAVING Gross private saving Personal saving Undistributed corporate profits1 Corporate inventory valuation adjustment Capital consumption allowances 32 Corporate 33 Noncorporate 34 Wage accruals less disbursements 35 Government surplus, or deficit ( - ) , national income and product accounts 36 Federal 37 State and local 280.2 175.0 .0 268.2 169.0 -101.5 -170.0 68.5 .0 .0 -198.0 61.7 -204.9 63.1 161.2 106.8 .0 -155.1 -217.6 62.5 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 39 Gross investment 571.4 545.9 541.5 525.7 579.6 544.3 527.5 40 Gross private domestic 41 Net foreign 662.1 -90.7 661.1 -115.2 684.1 -142.7 669.5 -143.8 708.3 -128.6 687.3 -143.0 675.8 -148.3 4.6 10.3 38 Capital grants received by the United States, net 42 Statistical discrepancy 1. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2. With capital consumption adjustment. 5.4 SOURCE. Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). Summary Statistics 3.10 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS A53 Summary Millions of dollars; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted except as noted. 1 1986 1985 1984 1983 Item credits or debits 1985 Q3 1 Balance Q2 Ql Q4 Q3 P on current account -46,605 -106,466 -117,677 -28,455 -32,275 -33,695 -31,510 -34,038 -31,020 -34,413 -35,458 -36,280 -40,206 Merchandise trade balance 2 Merchandise exports Merchandise imports Military transactions, net Investment income, net 3 Other service transactions, net -67,080 201,820 -268,900 -370 24,841 5,484 -112,522 219,900 -332,422 -1,827 18,751 1,288 -124,439 214,424 -338,863 -2,917 25,188 -525 -31,675 52,498 -84,173 -619 8,262 -422 -37,352 52,727 -90,079 -1,322 9,255 -32 -36,459 53,661 -90,120 -1,066 6,517 -7 -35,669 55,149 -90,818 -695 5,325 705 -37,669 55,318 -92,987 -624 5,509 681 -3,194 -6,286 -3,621 -8,536 -3,787 -11,196 -914 -3,087 -937 -3,307 -954 -2,069 -834 -3,245 -789 -3,388 11 Change in U.S. government assets, other than official reserve assets, net (increase, - ) -5,005 -5,523 -2,824 -422 -540 -250 -209 -1,346 12 Change in U.S. official reserve assets (increase, - ) 13 Gold 14 Special drawing rights (SDRs) 15 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 16 Foreign currencies -1,196 0 -66 -4,434 3,304 -3,130 0 -979 -995 -1,156 -3,858 0 -897 908 -3,869 -121 0 -264 388 -245 -3,148 0 -189 168 -3,126 -115 0 -274 344 -185 16 0 -104 366 -246 280 0 163 508 -391 17 Change in U.S. private assets abroad (increase, - ) 3 18 Bank-reported claims 19 Nonbank-reported claims 20 U.S. purchase of foreign securities, net 21 U.S. direct investments abroad, net 3 -43,821 -29,928 -6,513 -7,007 -373 -14,987 -11,127 5,081 -5,082 -3,859 -25,754 -691 1,665 -7,977 -18,752 -5,324 4,009 -1,517 -1,664 -6,152 -19,579 -8,485 418 -1,411 -10,101 -12,533 6,333 -2,842 -6,133 -9,891 -25,357 -14,387 -1,220 -1,664 -8,806 -28,016 -20,507 n.a. 163 -7,672 7.3 24 25 26 27 22 Change in foreign official assets in the United States (increase, +) U.S. Treasury securities Other U.S. government obligations Other U.S. government liabilities4 Other U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks Other foreign official assets 5 5,968 6,972 -476 725 545 -1,798 3,037 4,690 13 436 555 -2,657 -1,324 -546 -295 483 522 -1,488 2,577 -81 46 58 2,932 -378 -1,322 -1,976 -171 263 722 -160 2,469 3,256 -177 288 -1,261 363 14,704 14,538 -644 679 662 -531 15,839 12,262 -276 954 3,201 -302 28 Change in foreign private assets in the United States (increase, +) 3 U.S. bank-reported liabilities U.S. nonbank-reported liabilities Foreign private purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, net Foreign purchases of other U.S. securities, net Foreign direct investments in the United States, net 3 79,528 50,342 -118 8,721 8,636 11,947 99,730 33,849 4,704 23,059 12,759 25,359 128,430 40,387 -1,172 20,500 50,859 17,856 33,088 7,276 589 7,484 11,628 6,111 53,158 20,427 2,232 5,676 22,441 2,382 34,151 8,434 -2,057 7,666 18,686 1,422 32,822 3,553 -1,644 3,807 23,018 4,088 53,294 32,187 n.a. 597 17,078 3,432 0 11,130 0 27,338 0 23,006 0 -1,343 -3,687 0 5,125 3,771 0 10,316 1,216 0 12,437 -1,505 0 -3,771 -3,993 11,130 27,338 23,006 2,344 1,354 9,100 13,942 222 -1,196 -3,130 -3,858 -121 -3,148 -115 16 280 5,243 2,601 -1,807 2,519 -1,585 2,181 14,025 14,885 -8,283 -4,304 -6,599 -1,831 -1,002 1,421 -1,938 -2,828 194 190 64 15 28 22 12 15 •> 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Remittances, pensions, and other transfers U.S. government grants (excluding military) 29 30 31 32 33 34 Allocation of SDRs 35 Discrepancy 36 37 Statistical discrepancy in recorded data before seasonal adjustment MEMO Changes in official assets U.S. official reserve assets (increase, - ) Foreign official assets in the United States (increase, +) 40 Change in Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries official assets in the United States (part of line 22 above) 41 Transfers under military grant programs (excluded from lines 4, 6, and 10 above) 38 39 1. Seasonal factors are not calculated for lines 38-41. 2. Data are on an international accounts (IA) basis data, shown in table 3.11, for reasons of exports are excluded from merchandise data and 3. Includes reinvested earnings. 6, 10, 12-16, 18-20, 22-34, and basis. Differs from the Census coverage and timing; military are included in line 6. 4. Primarily associated with military sales contracts and other transactions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. 5. Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securities of private corporations and state and local governments. NOTE. Data are from Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of Current Business (Department of Commerce). A54 International Statistics • April 1987 3.11 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE Millions of dollars; monthly data are not seasonally adjusted. 1986 Item 1984 1983 1985 June 1 EXPORTS of domestic and foreign merchandise excluding grant-aid shipments 213,146 Aug. July 17,604 Nov. Dec. 200,486 217,865 258,048 325,726 345,276 31,764 34,121 29,476 28,695 30,018 36,187 27,795 3 Trade balance -57,562 107,861 -132,129 -12,694 -16,414 -11,871 -11,177 -10,688 -17,592 -9,364 3.12 17,707 Oct. 2 GENERAL IMPORTS including merchandise for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses NOTE. The data through 1981 in this table are reported by the Bureau of Census data of a free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) value basis—that is, value at the port of export. Beginning in 1981, foreign trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands is included in the Census basis trade data; this adjustment has been made for all data shown in the table. Beginning with 1982 data, the value of imports are on a customs valuation basis. The Census basis data differ from merchandise trade data shown in table 3.10, U.S. International Transactions Summary, for reasons of coverage and timing. On 19,070 Sept. 17,518 19,33(K 18,595 18,431 the export side, the largest adjustments are: (1) the addition of exports to Canada not covered in Census statistics, and (2) the exclusion of military sales (which are combined with other military transactions and reported separately in the "service account" in table 3.10, line 6). On the import side, additions are made for gold, ship purchases, imports of electricity from Canada, and other transactions; military payments are excluded and shown separately as indicated above. SOURCE. FT900 "Summary of U.S. Export and Import Merchandise Trade" (Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census). U.S. RESERVE ASSETS Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 Type 1984 1983 1987 1985 July Sept. Aug. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 1 Total 33,747 34,934 43,191 47,430 48,161 48,086 47,089 47,824 48,427 49,348 2 Gold stock, including Exchange Stabilization Fund 1 11,121 11,096 11,090 11,084 11,084 11,084 11,066 11,070 11,064 11,062 5,025 5,641 7,293 8,085 8,250 8,295 8,090 8,310 8,395 8,470 11,312 11,541 11,952 12,114 12,017 11,922 11,575 11,659 11,730 11,834 6,289 6,656 12,856 16,147 16,810 16,785 16,358 16,785 17,238 17,982 3 Special drawing rights 2,3 4 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund 2 5 Foreign currencies 4 1. Gold held under earmark at Federal Reserve Banks for foreign and international accounts is not included in the gold stock of the United States; see table 3.13. Gold stock is valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce. 2. Beginning July 1974, the IMF adopted a technique for valuing the SDR based on a weighted average of exchange rates for the currencies of member countries. From July 1974 through December 1980, 16 currencies were used; from January 1981, 5 currencies have been used. The U.S. SDR holdings and reserve position in the IMF also are valued on this basis beginning July 1974. 3.13 3. Includes allocations by the International Monetary Fund of SDRs as follows: $867 million on Jan. 1, 1970; $717 million on Jan. 1, 1971; $710 million on Jan. 1, 1972; $1,139 million on Jan. 1, 1979; $1,152 million on Jan. 1, 1980; and $1,093 million on Jan. 1, 1981; plus transactions in SDRs. 4. Valued at current market exchange rates. FOREIGN OFFICIAL ASSETS HELD AT FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 Assets 1984 1983 July 1 Deposits Assets held in custody 2 U.S. Treasury securities1 3 Earmarked gold2 Sept. Aug. Nov. Oct. Jan .p Dec. 190 267 480 233 227 342 303 224 287 226 117,670 14,414 118,000 14,242 121,004 14,245 144,527 14,131 148,263 14,120 152,275 14,115 156,076 14,110 156,919 14,057 155,835 14,048 159,597 14,041 1. Marketable U.S. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds; and nonmarketable U.S. Treasury securities payable in dollars and in foreign currencies. 2. Earmarked gold is valued at $42.22 per fine troy ounce. 1987 1985 NOTE. Excludes deposits and U.S. Treasury securities held for international and regional organizations. Earmarked gold is gold held for foreign and international accounts and is not included in the gold stock of the United States. Summary Statistics 3.14 FOREIGN BRANCHES OF U.S. BANKS A55 Balance Sheet Data1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 Asset account June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.'' All foreign countries 1 Total, all currencies 7. Claims on United States Parent bank 4 Other banks in United States 2 5 Nonbanks 2 6 Claims on foreigners 7 Other branches of parent bank 8 Banks 9 Public borrowers 10 Nonbank foreigners 1 477,090 453,656 458,012 467,565 454,886 461,440 474,567 446,581 446,555 456,627 115,542 82,026 , 113,393 78,109 13,664 21,620 320,162 95,184 100,397 23,343 101,238 119,713 87,201 13,057 19,455 315,680 91,399 102,960 23,478 97,843 117,812 82,565 14,039 21,208 324,216 98,406 105,648 23,279 96,883 113,474 79,387 13,527 20,560 314,354 92,641 103,095 23,578 95,040 117,661 83,779 13,072 20,810 315,583 93,435 102,849 23,720 95,579 116,392' 82,302 13,624 20,466' 328,553' 103,278 107,503 23,505 94,267r 112,078' 79,999 11,659 20,420' 305,562' 90,412 100,707 24,215 90,228' 108,363 76,205 11,904 20,254 308,393 91,570 103,292 23,357 90,174 113,133 81,984 13,685 17,464 314,384 97,788 105,281 23,520 87,795 342,689 96,004 117,668 24,517 107,785 18,859 20,101 22,619 25,537 27,058 28,196 29,622 28,941 29,799 29,110 12 Total payable in U.S. dollars 371,508 350,636 336,288 327,639 313,703 318,375 330,597 309,087 306,633 317,485 H Claims on United States 14 Parent bank 15 Other banks in United States 2 16 Nonbanks 2 17 Claims on foreigners 18 Other branches of parent bank 19 Banks 70 Public borrowers 21 Nonbank foreigners 113,436 80,909 247,406 78,431 93,332 17,890 60,977 111,426 77,229 13,500 20,697 228,600 78,746 76,940 17,626 55,288 116,645 85,971 12,454 18,220 209,905 72,689 71,748 17,252 48,216 113,519 81,073 12,907 19,539 203,934 75,883 66,751 16,498 44,802 109,263 78,025 12,373 18,865 194,102 69,135 65,033 16,684 43,250 113,636 82,261 12,180 19,195 194,643 68,604 64,940 16,788 44,311 112,133 80,753 12,802 18,578 207,701 78,400 68,596 16,521 44,184 107,612 78,335 10,544 18,733 190,030 67,835 62,836 17,455 41,904 104,224 74,705 10,986 18,533 190,663 67,835 64,919 16,821 41,088 109,190 80,574 12,830 15,786 196,491 73,704 66,464 16,586 39,737 10,666 10,610 9,738 10,186 10,338 10,096 10,763 11,445 11,746 11,804 11 Other assets 22 Other assets United Kingdom 23 Total, all currencies 74 Claims on United States 75 Parent bank 76 Other banks in United States 2 77 Nonbanks 2 78 Claims on foreigners 79 Other branches of parent bank 30 Banks 31 Public borrowers 32 Nonbank foreigners 144,385 148,599 151,593 145,448 145,619 151,596 142,398 143,800 140,917 34,433 29,111 27,675 21,862 1,429 4,384 111,828 37,953 37,443 5,334 31,098 33,157 26,970 1,106 5,081 110,217 31,576 39,250 5,644 33,747 31,364 25,106 1,365 4,893 113,739 34,670 39,430 5,236 34,403 30,223 24,252 1,369 4,602 108,156 31,613 38,393 5,229 32,921 29,839 23,466 1,448 4,925 109,024 31,828 38,048 5,336 33,812 30,879 24,291 2,092 4,4% 113,368 34,678 40,204 5,086 33,400 30,747 24,800 1,314 4,633 105,534 31,268 37,836 5,157 31,273 28,940 22,671 1,534 4,735 108,147 29,%0 41,145 5,038 32,004 24,599 19,085 1,612 3,902 109,508 33,422 39,468 4,990 31,628 -> 119,280 36,565 43,352 5,898 33,465 33 Other assets 34 Total payable in U.S. dollars 35 Claims on United States 36 Parent bank 37 Other banks in United States 2 38 Nonbanks 2 39 Claims on foreigners 40 Other branches of parent bank 41 Banks 47 Public borrowers 43 Nonbank foreigners 158,732 5,019 4,882 5,225 6,490 7,069 6,756 7,349 6,117 6,713 6,810 126,012 112,809 108,626 104,013 97,641 97,771 103,228 97,295 97,119 95,028 33,756 28,756 88,917 31,838 32,188 4,194 20,697 26,868 21,495 1,363 4,010 82,945 33,607 26,805 4,030 18,503 32,092 26,568 1,005 4,519 73,475 26,011 26,139 3,999 17,326 29,944 24,693 1,102 4,149 70,697 27,559 22,825 3,777 16,536 28,848 23,888 1,131 3,829 65,472 24,258 21,938 3,793 15,483 28,446 22,972 1,194 4,280 66,465 24,657 21,636 3,838 16,334 29,512 23,826 1,848 3,838 70,325 27,151 22,917 3,778 16,479 29,312 24,323 1,110 3,879 64,873 24,632 21,011 3,859 15,371 27,564 22,106 1,364 4,094 66,298 23,223 24,020 3,811 15,244 23,193 18,526 1,475 3,192 68,138 26,361 23,251 3,677 14,849 3,339 2,996 3,059 3,372 3,321 2,860 3,391 3,110 3,257 3,697 143,082 134,060 131,306 142,592 68,624' 44,476 9,557 14,591' 59,612' 16,985 26,205 7,263 9,159' 66,021 42,166 9,628 14,227 59,436 18,139 25,743 6,697 8,857 76,620 53,068 11,156 12,396 61,433 18,803 27,519 6,929 8,182 1 44 Other assets Bahamas and Caymans 45 Total, all currencies 46 Claims on United States 47 Parent bank 48 Other banks in United States 2 49 Nonbanks 2 50 Claims on foreigners 51 Other branches of parent bank 57 Banks 53 Public borrowers 54 Nonbank foreigners 55 Other assets 56 Total payable in U.S. dollars 1 152,083 146,811 142,055 138,944 134,238 137,526 75,309 48,720 "li coo 77,296 49,449 11,544 16,303 65,598 17,661 30,246 6,089 11,602 74,864 50,553 11,204 13,107 63,882 19,042 28,192 6,458 10,190 70,883 44,183 11,730 14,970 64,043 20,585 27,078 6,405 9,975 69,812 43,867 11,201 14,744 60,363 16,682 27,160 6,551 9,970 73,047 47,694 10,813 14,540 60,167 16,539 27,065 6,675 9,888 72,868 20,626 36,842 6,093 12,592 3,906 3,917 3,309 4,018 4,063 4,312 4,544 5,824 5,849 4,539 145,641 141,562 136,794 132,353 127,910 130,723 136,615 127,361 t24,744 136,813 1. Beginning with June 1984 data, reported claims held by foreign branches have been reduced by an increase in the reporting threshold for "shell" branches from $50 million to $150 million equivalent in total assets, the threshold now applicable to all reporting branches. 71,918 46,635 10,641 14,652'" 66,610' 22,763 27,779 6,434 9,634' 2. Data for assets vis-a-vis other banks in the United States and vis-a-vis nonbanks are combined for dates before June 1984. A56 3.14 International Statistics • April 1987 Continued 1986 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.? All foreign countries 57 Total, all currencies 477,090 453,656 458,012 467,565 454,886 461,440 474,567 446,581 446,555 456,627 58 Negotiable CDs 3 59 To United States 60 Parent bank Other banks in United States 61 62 Nonbanks n.a. 188,070 81,261 29,453 77,356 37,725 147,583 78,739 18,409 50,435 34,607 155,538 83,914 16,894 54,730 34,683 149,848 85,126 16,118 48,604 32,656 141,599 81,299 14,191 46,109 31,475 145,488 79,564 15,151 50,773 33,642 151,281 87,927 14,153 49,201 32,444 141,126 75,777 14,791 50,558 32,926 137,101 75,087 14,661 47,353 31,642 151,639 82,510 15,599 53,530 63 To foreigners 64 Other branches of parent bank Banks 65 Official institutions 66 67 Nonbank foreigners 68 Other liabilities 269,685 90,615 92,889 18,896 68,845 19,335 247,907 93,909 78,203 20,281 55,514 20,441 245,942 89,529 76,814 19,523 60,076 21,925 262,329 97,717 81,008 20,480 63,124 20,705 259,133 91,144 82,854 20,608 64,527 21,498 262,978 91,307 85,239 20,637 65,795 21,499' 269,322 102,245 81,953 20,109 65,015 20,322 253,202 87,883 80,709 19,436 65,174 19,809' 256,476 87,853 83,655 18,831 66,137 20,052 253,729 95,146 77,789 17,835 62,959 19,617 69 Total payable in U.S. dollars 388,291 367,145 353,470 346,428 330,183 333,581 349,259 323,699 319,885 336,406 70 Negotiable CDs 3 71 To United States 72 Parent bank 73 Other banks in United States 74 Nonbanks n.a. 184,305 79,035 28,936 76,334 35,227 143,571 76,254 17,935 49,382 31,063 150,161 80,888 16,264 53,009 31,076 142,730 81,066 15,323 46,341 28,970 133,908 77,048 13,507 43,353 28,091 137,805 75,391 14,364 48,050 30,560 143,627 83,790 13,173 46,664 29,206 133,301 71,858 13,768 47,675 29,752 129,2% 71,042 13,808 44,446 28,467 143,654 78,435 14,545 50,674 75 To foreigners Other branches of parent bank 76 Banks 77 78 Official institutions 79 Nonbank foreigners 80 Other liabilities 194,139 73,522 57,022 13,855 51,260 9,847 178,260 77,770 45,123 15,773 39,594 10,087 163,361 70,943 37,323 14,354 40,741 8,885 163,943 75,805 33,745 13,772 40,621 8,679 158,314 68,065 34,827 14,091 41,331 8,991 158,931 66,878 36,460 14,125 41,468 8,754 167,356 77,464 35,358 13,697 40,837 7,716 153,536 65,077 33,802 13,320 41,337 7,656 153,437 63,638 35,177 13,139 41,483 7,400 156,777 71,181 33,847 12,371 39,378 7,508 United Kingdom 158,732 144,385 148,599 151,593 145,448 145,619 151,596 142,398 143,800 140,917 82 Negotiable CDs 3 83 To United States 84 Parent bank Other banks in United States 85 86 Nonbanks n.a. 55,799 14,021 11,328 30,450 34,413 25,250 14,651 3,125 7,474 31,260 29,422 19,330 2,974 7,118 31,396 26,270 15,892 1,997 8,381 29,295 22,671 13,300 1,999 7,372 28,279 22,831 14,188 2,148 6,495 30,352 26,540 17,399 2,062 7,079 28,847 24,610 14,014 2,382 8,214 28,984 22,714 13,811 2,313 6,590 27,781 24,703 14,469 2,666 7,568 87 To foreigners 88 Other branches of parent bank 89 Banks Official institutions 90 Nonbank foreigners 91 92 Other liabilities 95,847 19,038 41,624 10,151 25,034 7,086 77,424 21,631 30,436 10,154 15,203 7,298 78,525 23,389 28,581 9,676 16,879 9,392 84,362 27,029 30,505 9,543 17,285 9,565 83,707 25,106 31,678 9,074 17,849 9,775 84,880 24,962 32,250 9,330 18,338 9,629 85,554 28,272 31,190 8,652 17,440 9,150 80,252 24,194 31,001 8,068 16,989 8,689 83,320 23,733 34,192 7,875 17,520 8,782 79,452 25,036 30,860 6,836 16,720 8,981 81 Total, all currencies 131,167 117,497 112,697 108,375 101,095 101,397 108,249 99,820 99,321 99,707 94 Negotiable CDs 3 95 To United States Parent bank % Other banks in United States 97 98 Nonbanks n.a. 54,691 13,839 11,044 29,808 33,070 24,105 14,339 2,980 6,786 29,337 27,756 18,956 2,826 5,974 29,135 24,214 15,331 1,817 7,066 27,015 20,065 12,648 1,738 5,679 26,114 20,403 13,707 1,879 4,817 28,490 24,039 16,984 1,735 5,320 26,927 21,960 13,591 2,108 6,261 27,166 20,184 13,438 2,009 4,737 26,169 22,104 14,021 2,325 5,758 99 To foreigners 100 Other branches of parent bank Banks 101 102 Official institutions 103 Nonbank foreigners 104 Other liabilities 73,279 15,403 29,320 8,279 20,277 3,197 56,923 18,294 18,356 8,871 11,402 3,399 51,980 18,493 14,344 7,661 11,482 3,624 51,056 20,455 13,073 6,914 10,614 3,970 49,932 17,868 14,251 6,658 11,155 4,083 50,855 17,790 15,056 6,724 11,285 4,025 52,645 21,305 14,491 6,015 10,834 3,075 47,491 17,289 14,123 5,685 10,394 3,442 48,921 16,689 15,855 5,655 10,722 3,050 48,109 17,951 15,203 4,934 10,021 3,325 93 Total payable in U.S. dollars Bahamas and Caymans 105 Total, all currencies 152,083 146,811 142,055 138,944 134,238 137,526 143,082 134,060 131,306 142,592 106 Negotiable CDs 3 107 To United States 108 Parent bank 109 Other banks in United States 110 Nonbanks n.a. 111,299 50,980 16,057 44,262 615 102,955 47,162 13,938 41,855 610 103,813 44,811 12,778 46,224 567 98,897 47,014 12,868 39,015 565 96,636 47,862 11,131 37,643 470 99,585 44,417 11,952 43,216 527 102,012 49,981 10,986 41,045 683 95,840' 43,470 11,144 41,226 784 94,436 43,597 11,131 39,708 847 105,229 48,622 11,646 44,961 111 To foreigners 112 Other branches of parent bank 113 Banks 114 Official institutions 115 Nonbank foreigners 116 Other liabilities 38,445 14,936 11,876 1,919 11,274 2,339 40,320 16,782 12,405 2,054 9,079 2,921 35,053 14,075 10,669 1,776 8,533 2,579 37,340 15,882 9,991 2,427 9,040 2,140 34,827 13,561 9,636 2,468 9,162 2,210 35,216 13,368 10,216 2,386 9,246 2,255 38,447 15,918 10,158 2,834 9,537 2,0% 35,427 13,574 8,964 2,665 10,224 2,110 33,841 12,527 8,545 2,577 10,192 2,245 34,400 12,631 8,614 2,719 10,436 2,116 148,278 143,582 138,322 134,606 130,075 133,256 138,733 130,084 127,252 138,774 117 Total payable in U.S. dollars 3. Before June J984, liabilities on negotiable CDs were included in liabilities to the United States or liabilities to foreigners, according to the address of the initial purchaser. Summary Statistics 3.15 A57 SELECTED U.S. LIABILITIES TO FOREIGN OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS Millions o f dollars, end of period 1986 Item 1 Total 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 9 10 11 12 1 By type Liabilities reported by banks in the United States 2 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 3 U.S. Treasury bonds and notes Marketable Nonmarketable 4 U.S. securities other than U.S. Treasury securities 5 By area Western Europe 1 Canada Latin America and Caribbean Asia Africa Other countries 6 1984 1985 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.? 180,552 178,356 194,562 198,784 203,364 209,608 211,053 210,966 211,125 26,089 59,976 26,734 53,252 26,142 65,790 25,143 70,721 25,482 74,766 29,544 75,095 27,188 75,457 27,743 75,132 26,994 75,674 69,019 5,800 19,668 77,108 3,550 17,712 84,113 1,800 16,717 85,561 1,300 16,059 85,622 1,300 16,194 87,546 1,300 16,123 91,052 1,300 16,056 91,104 1,300 15,687 91,506 1,300 15,651 69,776 1,528 8,561 93,954 1,264 5,469 74,418 1,314 11,141 86,459 1,824 3,200 79,641 1,529 11,046 97,359 1,717 3,270 81,524 1,627 11,242 100,070 1,525 2,796 83,874 1,535 10,801 102,362 1,958 2,834 87,261 1,626 10,353 105,598 1,864 2,906 88,590 1,699 10,047 105,336 1,715 3,666 87,707 1,891 9,111 105,418 1,544 5,295 87,774 2,004 8,381 106,013 1,464 5,489 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. 2. Principally demand deposits, time deposits, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, negotiable time certificates of deposit, and borrowings under repurchase agreements. 3. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness (including those payable in foreign currencies through 1974) and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 4. Excludes notes issued to foreign official nonreserve agencies. Includes bonds and notes payable in foreign currencies. 3.16 June 5. Debt securities of U.S. government corporations and federally sponsored agencies, and U.S. corporate stocks and bonds. 6. Includes countries in Oceania and Eastern Europe. NOTE. Based on Treasury Department data and on data reported to the Treasury Department by banks (including Federal Reserve Banks) and securities dealers in the United States. LIABILITIES TO AND CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in Foreign Currencies Millions of dollars, end o f period 1985 Item 1982 1983 Dec. 1 Banks' own liabilities 2 Banks' own claims 3 Deposits 4 Other claims 5 Claims of banks' domestic customers 1 1. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the accounts of their domestic customers. 4,844 7,707 4,251 3,456 676 5,219 7,231 2,731 4,501 1,059 1986 1984 8,586 11,984 4,998 6,986 569 15,368 16,294' 8,437' 7,857 580 Mar.' 21,336 19,800 11,383 8,417 1,426 June' 24,088 21,138 11,465 9,673 1,385 Sept. 29,227 24,516 13,818 10,698 1,660 NOTE. Data on claims exclude foreign currencies held by U.S. monetary authorities, A58 3.17 International Statistics • April 1987 LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Payable in U.S. dollars Reported by Banks in the United States Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 Holder and type of liability 1983 1984 1985 June July' Aug/ Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.f 1 All foreigners 369,607 407,306 435,726 457,879' 470,842 487,452 505,464 497,018' 511,947 537,456 2 Banks' own liabilities 3 Demand deposits 4 Time deposits1 5 Other 2 6 Own foreign offices3 279,087 17,470 90,632 25,874 145,111 306,898 19,571 110,413 26,268 150,646 341,070 21,107 117,278 29,305 173,381 346,192' 21,66c 115,163' 32,012' 177,357' 342,515 19,693 117,010 30,894 174,917 355,941 20,246 122,286 33,779 179,630 372,368 21,388 125,840 36,834 188,307 362,309' 21,730 123,503' 36,303' 180,773 377,707 24,772 125,651 35,567 191,718 404,073 23,530 131,191 40,325 209,027 90,520 68,669 100,408 76,368 94,656 69,133 111,687 82,701 128,327 86,789 131,511 89,586 133,095 90,467 134,710 91,305 134,240 90,351 133,383 90,271 17,467 4,385 18,747 5,293 17,964 7,558 14,729 14,257 14,702 26,836 14,507 27,417 14,430 28,198 15,085 28,319 14,360 29,529 15,451 27,661 11 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations7 5,957 4,454 5,821 3,441 3,974 5,253 3,038 3,902 4,315 4,826 12 Banks' own liabilities 13 Demand deposits 14 Time deposits1 15 Other2 4,632 297 3,584 750 2,014 254 1,267 493 2,621 85 2,067 469 891 79 551 262 1,857 156 1,209 492 4,090 165 3,233 691 1,721 180 1,243 299 2,426 175 1,939 312 2,944 135 2,299 511 2,977 199 2,166 611 16 Banks' custody liabilities4 17 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 18 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments6 19 Other 1,325 463 2,440 916 3,200 1,736 2,550 1,619 2,118 991 1,163 129 1,317 218 1,476 308 1,371 262 1,849 259 862 0 1,524 0 1,464 0 918 13 1,126 0 1,033 1 1,099 0 1,162 6 1,104 5 1,590 0 20 Official institutions8 79,876 86,065 79,985 92,402' 96,467 101,371 104,640 102,645 102,875 102,668 21 Banks' own liabilities 22 Demand deposits 23 Time deposits1 24 Other 2 19,427 1,837 7,318 10,272 19,039 1,823 9,374 7,842 20,835 2,077 10,949 7,809 23,399' 2,131 10,55c 10,718' 22,647 1,608 10,475 10,564 23,834 1,582 10,257 11,995 26,821 1,895 10,918 14,008 24,064 1,840 10,389 11,835 25,165 2,188 11,286 11,691 24,526 2,121 10,447 11,957 25 Banks' custody liabilities4 26 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 3 27 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 6 28 Other 60,448 54,341 67,026 59,976 59,150 53,252 69,004 65,790 73,820 70,721 77,538 74,766 77,819 75,095 78,581 75,457 77,710 75,132 78,142 75,674 6,082 25 6,966 84 5,824 75 2,996 218 2,892 207 2,624 148 2,524 199 2,920 204 2,446 132 2,323 145 29 Banks9 226,887 248,893 275,589 284,335' 292,554 301,879 318,552 310,650 324,734 349,533 30 Banks' own liabilities 31 Unaffiliated foreign banks 32 Demand deposits 33 Time deposits1 34 Other2 35 Own foreign offices3 205,347 60,236 8,759 37,439 14,038 145,111 225,368 74,722 10,556 47,095 17,071 150,646 252,723 79,341 10,271 49,510 19,561 173,381 255,37C 78,013' 10,273' 48,196' 19,544 177,357' 251,300 76,383 9,142 49,059 18,181 174,917 260,794 81,165 9,304 52,411 19,451 179,630 276,496 88,188 9,295 58,006 20,887 188,307 268,436 87,663 9,714 55,63C 22,319' 180,773 282,484 90,766 11,626 57,533 21,608 191,718 309,721 100,694 10,234 64,420 26,040 209,027 21,540 10,178 23,525 11,448 22,866 9,832 28,964 10,688 41,254 10,934 41,084 10,543 42,057 10,635 42,214 10,601 42,250 10,491 39,812 9,962 7,485 3,877 7,236 4,841 6,040 6,994 5,448 12,828 5,585 24,735 5,526 25,016 5,538 25,883 5,532 26,081 5,468 26,291 5,366 24,484 7 Banks' custody liabilities4 8 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates' 9 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments 6 10 Other 36 Banks' custody liabilities4 37 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 38 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments6 39 Other 40 Other foreigners 56,887 67,894 74,331 77,701' 77,847 78,949 79,233 79,822' 80,022 80,430 41 Banks' own liabilities 42 Demand deposits 43 Time 2deposits Other 44 49,680 6,577 42,290 813 60,477 6,938 52,678 861 64,892 8,673 54,752 66,711 8,786 56,267 1,657 67,223 9,196 56,386 1,642 67,331 10,018 55,673 1,640 67,383' 10,000 55,546' 1,838 67,114 10,824 54,533 1,757 66,850 10,975 54,158 1,467 66,531' 9,177' 55,866' 1,488' 7,207 3,686 7,417 4,029 9,439 4,314 11,169 4,604 11,136 4,143 11,726 4,149 11,903 4,519 12,439 4,939 12,908 4,465 13,580 4,377 3,038 483 3,021 367 4,636 489 5,367 1,198 5,099 1,894 5,325 2,253 5,268 2,115 5,472 2,028 5,342 3,100 6,172 3,032 10,346 10,476 9,845 6,419 6,492 6,569 6,554 6,759 6,609 7,343 Banks' custody liabilities4 46 U.S. Treasury bills and certificates 47 Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments6 48 Other 45 49 MEMO: Negotiable time certificates of deposit in custody for foreigners 1. Excludes negotiable time certificates of deposit, which are included in "Other negotiable and readily transferable instruments." 2. Includes borrowing under repurchase agreements. 3. U.S. banks: includes amounts due to own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due to head office or parent foreign bank, and foreign branches, agencies or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or parent foreign bank. 4. Financial claims on residents of the United States, other than long-term securities, held by or through reporting banks. 1,717 5. Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 6. Principally bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 7. Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and the Inter-American and Asian Development Banks. 8. Foreign central banks and foreign central governments, and the Bank for International Settlements. 9. Excludes central banks, which are included in "Official institutions." Nonbank-Reported 3.17 Data Continued 1986 Area and country 1983 1984 1985 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.P 1 Total 369,607 407,306 435,726 457,879'' 470,842' 487,452' 505,464 497,018' 511,947 537,456 2 Foreign countries 363,649 402,852 429,905 454,438' 466,867' 482,199' 502,426 493,116' 507,632 532,631 138,072 585 2,709 466 531 9,441 3,599 520 8,462 4,290 1,673 373 1,603 1,799 32,246 467 60,683 562 7,403 65 596 153,145 615 4,114 438 418 12,701 3,358 699 10,762 4,731 1,548 597 2,082 1,676 31,740 584 68,671 602 7,192 79 537 164,114 693 5,243 513 496 15,541 4,835 666 9,667 4,212 948 652 2,114 1,422 29,020 429 76,728 673 9,635 105 523 166,918' 1,013 5,224 519 49C 19,862 5,14c 657 8,917' 4,224 710 795 2,069 1,118 27,843' 586 82,313' 661 3,997 89 690 163,337' 988 5,343 560 449 20,171' 6,001' 604 8,746' 4,682 497 711 1,894 1,267 28,455 310 78,20C 542 3,366 48 506 166,939' 1,035 5,114 643 365 21,469 6,062' 570 9,269 4,495 542 791 1,979 944 29,064 285 79,954' 482 3,292' 32 553 173,930 1,073 6,165 483 406 21,339 5,559 623 8,836 4,952 576 758 2,082 1,293 29,207 448 86,215 562 2,724 84 545 173,485' 1,018 6,024' 478 606 21,242' 6,624 646 8,807' 4,826' 654 738 2,297 1,016' 29,848' 401 84,297' 515 2,938 25 484' 175,791 1,197 6,836 604 448 21,641 5,856 755 9,304 4,410 512 685 2,197 1,301 30,406 1,263 84,058 544 3,308 16 452 180,343 1,180 6,890 480 557 22,846 5,386 706 10,865 5,558 719 700 2,348 920 31,235 454 85,431 630 2,706 23 710 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark Finland 7 8 France 9 Germany in Greece Italy ii 17 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 1*5 Spain 16 Sweden 17 Switzerland 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 70 Yugoslavia Other Western Europe 1 71 77 U.S.S.R Other Eastern Europe 2 23 16,026 16,059 17,427 22,926 22,359 23,933 24,150 24,340 25,753 26,256 140,088 4,038 55,818 2,266 3,168 34,545 1,842 1,689 8 1,047 788 109 10,392 3,879 5,924 1,166 1,244 8,632 3,535 153,381 4,394 56,897 2,370 5,275 36,773 2,001 2,514 10 1,092 896 183 12,303 4,220 6,951 1,266 1,394 10,545 4,297 167,856 6,032 57,657 2,765 5,373 42,674 2,049 3,104 11 1,239 1,071 122 14,060 4,875 7,514 1,167 1,552 11,922 4,668 169,644' 6,229 60,082' 2,513 5,185 43,271' 2,270 3,419 8 1,262 1,108 185 13,633 4,358 6,687' 1,254 1,664 11,733' 4,783 182,617' 6,336 60,764 2,201 5,134 56,432' 2,227 3,334 7 1,196 1,123 184 12,985 4,382 6,640' 1,158 1,687 12,058 4,770 187,924' 6,096 67,044' 2,248' 5,168' 55,928' 2,139 3,315 8 1,232 1,140 177 13,609 4,383 6,392' 1,149 1,636 196,704 6,069 69,123 2,199 5,359 61,635 2,426 3,373 7 1,260 1,129 187 13,137 4,775 6,415 1,256 1,589 11,709 5,056 187,968' 5,748 64,106 1,918 5,361 58,713' 2,398' 3,775 6 1,216 1,126 151 13,197' 4,645 6,522' 1,167 1,608 11,392 4,917 189,383 5,202 62,613 2,549 4,684 61,465 2,325 3,873 6 1,199 1,129 153 13,488 4,706 6,729 1,145 1,610 11,670 4,835 207,902 4,723 72,300 2,964 4,360 70,872 2,051 4,280 7 1,235 1,122 181 13,586 4,846 6,858 1,162 1,532 10,450 5,373 58,570 71,187 72,280 86,976' 91,669 96,021 100,058 99,325' 107,025 108,959 249 4,051 6,657 464 997 1,722 18,079 1,648 1,234 747 12,976 9,748 1,153 4,990 6,581 507 1,033 1,268 21,640 1,730 1,383 1,257 16,804 12,841 1,607 7,786 8,067 712 1,466 1,601 23,077 1,665 1,140 1,358 14,523 9,276 1,469 13,683 8,656 695 1,416 1,725 31,325 1,414 1,306 1,068 14,581 9,638 1,795 14,331 8,934 562 1,572 1,731 36,286 1,392 1,363 1,104 12,739 9,861 1,185 15,608 9,026 685 1,474 1,686 38,221 1,251 1,458 1,080 13,227 11,121 1,938 16,129 9,349 651 1,611 2,109 39,951 1,282 1,400 1,100 13,056 11,481 1,585 16,528' 8,662' 755 1,530 1,986 41,311 1,446 1,707 1,115 12,045 10,654 1,450 17,540 9,347 701 1,528 2,380 46,155 1,128 1,720 1,083 13,010 10,984 1,476 18,980 9,189 674 1,553 1,890 47,658 1,147 1,870 1,104 12,369 11,051 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco South Africa 60 61 Zaire Oil-exporting countries 4 62 Other Africa 63 2,827 671 84 449 87 620 917 3,396 647 118 328 153 1,189 961 4,883 1,363 163 388 163 1,494 1,312 4,291 1,079 87 414 92 1,463 1,156 3,962' 820 93 530' 65 1,368 1,086 4,227 1,088 82 438 60 1,371 1,189 4,158 843 91 318 80 1,625 1,203 3,973 640 86 347 79 1,623 1,199 4,018 710 84 264 96 1,593 1,272 3,985 703 92 278 74 1,518 1,319 64 Other countries 65 Australia All other 66 8,067 7,857 210 5,684 5,300 384 3,347 2,779 568 3,682 2,943 739 2,924 2,173 751 3,155 2,459 696 3,425 2,785 640 4,026 2,943 1,083 5,662 4,286 1,376 5,186 4,262 924 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations International Latin American regional Other regional 5 5,957 5,273 419 265 4,454 3,747 587 120 5,821 4,806 894 121 3,441 2,471 845 126 3,974 2,714 922 338 5,253 4,147 916 190 3,038 1,759 972 307 3,902 2,748 957 197 4,315 3,232 927 157 4,826 3,575 969 281 24 Canada 75 Latin America and Caribbean 76 Argentina 77 Bahamas 78 Bermuda 79 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile Colombia 37 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 35 Guatemala 36 Jamaica Mexico 37 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru Uruguay 41 Venezuela 47 Other Latin America and Caribbean 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 57 53 54 55 56 China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Middle-East oil-exporting countries 3 Other Asia 68 69 70 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Beginning April 1978, also includes Eastern European countries not listed in line 23. 2. Beginning April 1978 comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 11,56c 4,701' 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 5. Asian, African, Middle Eastern, and European regional organizations, except the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." A59 A60 3.18 International Statistics • April 1987 BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 Area and country 1983 1984 1985 June 1 Total 391,312 400,162 401,608 2 Foreign countries 391,148 399,363 400,577 91,927 401 5,639 1,275 1,044 8,766 1,284 476 9,018 1,267 690 1,114 3,573 3,358 1,863 812 47,364 1,718 477 192 1,598 99,014 433 4,794 648 898 9,157 1,306 817 9,119 1,356 675 1,243 2,884 2,230 2,123 1,130 56,185 1,886 596 142 1,389 106,413 598 5,772 706 823 9,124 1,267 991 8,848 1,258 706 1,058 1,908 2,219 3,171 1,200 62,566 1,964 998 130 1,107 3 Europe 4 Austria 5 Belgium-Luxembourg 6 Denmark 7 Finland 8 France 9 Germany 10 Greece 11 Italy 12 Netherlands 13 Norway 14 Portugal 13 Spain 16 Sweden 17 Switzerland 18 Turkey 19 United Kingdom 20 Yugoslavia 21 Other Western Europe 1 22 U.S.S.R 23 Other Eastern Europe 2 24 Canada July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec." 403,952' 403,491' 403,760' 416,577 406,286' 417,502 444,382 403,496' 402,999' 403,340' 416,376 405,9IY 417,331 441,399 104,505' 609 7,243 750 983 9,455 1,095 629 7,474 1,407 905 776 2,001 2,478 3,553 1,856 58,283' 2,005 1,258' 568 1,176 100,319' 619 6,113 856 1,041 9,583 1,426 622 7,266 1,427 614 789 1,863 2,906 2,617 1,709 56,247' 1,902 1,102 504 1,112 100,323 694 6,990 783 964' 9,483 1,181 660 5,981 1,254 698 757 1,757' 2,396' 3,306 1,649 57,856' 1,852 508' 528 1,026 106,735 654 6,574 807 1,085 10,209 1,599 706 6,797 2,039 732 734 1,995 2,487 2,665 1,586 61,997 1,871 791 405 1,002 103,622' 619 7,689 796 1,111 9,514' 1,320 626 7,681' 2,114 711 699 1,922 2,375 2,661 1,612 58,094' 1,886 799 296 1,097 106,348 748 8,149 764 1,176 9,499 1,654 792 8,323 2,424 712 682 1,722 2,343 3,574 3,527 56,610 1,897 600 225 927 106,401 739 7,491 688 1,128 11,156 1,317 628 8,942 2,363 633 706 1,459 1,943 3,047 1,534 58,206 1,833 556 634 1,3% 16,341 16,109 16,482 18,270 18,303 19,401 18,112 19,532 20,338 20,892 205,491 11,749 59,633 566 24,667 35,527 6,072 3,745 0 2,307 129 215 34,802 1,154 7,848 2,536 977 11,287 2,277 207,862 11,050 58,009 592 26,315 38,205 6,839 3,499 0 2,420 158 252 34,885 1,350 7,707 2,384 1,088 11,017 2,091 202,674 11,462 58,258 499 25,283 38,881 6,603 3,249 0 2,390 194 224 31,799 1,340 6,645 1,947 960 10,871 2,067 200,739' 12,077' 57,076' 274 24,855 40,050' 6,507 2,789 0 2,397 136 244 31,399 1,086 5,860 1,738 931 11,304 2,015 202,203' 12,282 56,250 432 24,915 41,923 6,513' 2,776 0 2,366 113 209 31,168 996 6,280 1,703 927 11,363' 1,985 197,879' 12,009 55,465' 373 24,762 39,836 6,449 2,642 0 2,375 127 209 30,839 1,060 5,862 1,677 936 11,289 1,969 205,579 12,119 61,705 320 24,856 40,360 6,489 2,633 0 2,387 135 224 31,037 1,133 6,377 1,600 1,051 11,177 1,977 196,413 12,243 53,557 452 24,738 39,535 6,514 2,674 0' 2,42(K 122 209' 31,061' 972 6,094 1,625 930 11,180 2,086 196,512 12,017 53,%7 447 25,880 39,248 6,526 2,665 1 2,395 138 216 30,659 911 5,354 1,618 943 11,014 2,513 210,344 12,075 58,694 1,379 25,435 45,789 6,540 2,818 0 2,431 140 198 30,477 1,038 5,423 1,637 1,045 12,802 2,423 67,837 66,316 66,212 72,072' 74,253 77,811' 78,073 78,558 86,209 95,838 292 1,908 8,489 330 805 1,832 30,354 9,943 2,107 1,219 4,954 5,603 710 1,849 7,293 425 724 2,088 29,066 9,285 2,555 1,125 5,044 6,152 639 1,535 6,796 450 698 1,991 31,249 9,226 2,224 845 4,298 6,260 567 1,238 7,526 440 675 1,772 38,524 9,016' 2,393 706 3,680 5,535 779 1,089 8,445 372 720 1,567 40,902 8,900 2,168 711 2,919 5,680 526 1,637 8,632 375 729 1,541 43,327 8,495' 2,128 736 2,764 6,921 758 1,903 8,883 355 689 1,622 42,751 7,846 2,148 636 3,724 6,758 758 1,528 8,337 316 694 1,630 45,167 7,023 2,071 611 3,3% 7,027 793 1,812 7,598 327 722 1,615 53,265 6,569 1,972 595 3,778 7,162 787 2,675 8,300 321 718 1,648 59,482 7,162 2,202 576 4,115 7,854 57 Africa 58 Egypt 59 Morocco 60 South Africa 61 Zaire 62 Oil-exporting countries 5 63 Other 6,654 747 440 2,634 33 1,073 1,727 6,615 728 583 2,795 18 842 1,649 5,407 721 575 1,942 20 630 1,520 4,971 740 642 1,705 17 415 1,452 4,817 701 615 1,661 17 413 1,410 4,693 633 617 1,683 21 445 1,294 4,651 593 636 1,607 33 511 1,271 4,531 577 621 1,549 35 545 1,203 4,737 560 621 1,586 27 690 1,253 4,621 567 598 1,531 27 688 1,209 64 Other countries 65 Australia 66 All other 2,898 2,256 642 3,447 2,769 678 3,390 2,413 978 2,939 2,023 916 3,103 2,159 945 3,232 2,293 940 3,225 2,221 1,004 3,259 2,143 1,115 3,187 1,985 1,202 3,303 1,952 1,350 164 800 1,030 456 493 420 200 372 171 2,983 25 Latin America and Caribbean 26 Argentina 27 Bahamas 28 Bermuda 29 Brazil 30 British West Indies 31 Chile 32 Colombia 33 Cuba 34 Ecuador 35 Guatemala3 36 Jamaica 3 37 Mexico 38 Netherlands Antilles 39 Panama 40 Peru 41 Uruguay 42 Venezuela 43 Other Latin America and Caribbean 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 China Mainland Taiwan Hong Kong India Indonesia Israel Japan Korea Philippines Thailand Middle East oil-exporting countries 4 Other Asia 67 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations6 1. Includes the Bank for International Settlements. Beginning April 1978, also includes Eastern European countries not listed in line 23. 2. Beginning April 1978 comprises Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the German Democratic Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Romania. 3. Included in "Other Latin America and Caribbean" through March 1978. 4. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 5. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 6. Excludes the Bank for International Settlements, which is included in "Other Western Europe." Nonbank-Reported 3.19 Data BANKS' OWN AND DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS' CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1986 Type of claim 1983 1984 1985 June' July Aug/ 403,491 60,667 181,590 114,099 49,324 64,775 47,136 403,760 60,046 182,170 115,922 52,410 63,512 45,621 Sept. 1 Total 426,215 433,078 430,489 432,762 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 391,312 57,569 146,393 123,837 47,126 76,711 63,514 400,162 62,237 156,216 124,932 49,226 75,706 56,777 401,608 60,507 174,261 116,654 48,372 68,282 50,185 403,952 60,639 181,906 113,045 47,093 65,951 48,363 34,903 2,969 32,916 3,380 28,881 3,335 28,810 3,475 31,849 3,743 26,064 23,805 19,332 20,620 22,337 5,870 5,732 6,214 4,715 5,769 37,715 37,103 28,487 28,328 27,172 46,337 40,714 37,78C 46,200 Banks' own claims on foreigners Foreign public borrowers Own foreign offices' Unaffiliated foreign banks Deposits Other All other foreigners 9 Claims of banks' domestic customers2 .. 11 Negotiable and readily transferable 12 Outstanding collections and other 13 MEMO: Customer liability on Dollar deposits in banks abroad, reported by nonbanking business enterprises in the United States 4 . . . . 1. U.S. banks: includes amounts due from own foreign branches and foreign subsidiaries consolidated in "Consolidated Report of Condition" filed with bank regulatory agencies. Agencies, branches, and majority-owned subsidiaries of foreign banks: principally amounts due from head office or parent foreign bank, and foreign branches, agencies, or wholly owned subsidiaries of head office or parent foreign bank. 2. Assets owned by customers of the reporting bank located in the United States that represent claims on foreigners held by reporting banks for the account of their domestic customers. 3.20 Oct/ Nov. Dec.'' 406,286 60,745 182,548 117,392 53,074 64,319 45,601 417,502 60,668 189,093 120,266 52,834 67,431 47,475 444,382 64,877 210,326 122,936 56,381 66,555 46,243 43,690 44,903 n.a. 444,382 448,426 47,464 416,577 60,603 193,355 116,808 52,178 64,630 45,811 44,515 48,575 3. Principally negotiable time certificates of deposit and bankers acceptances. 4. Includes demand and time deposits and negotiable and nonnegotiable certificates of deposit denominated in U.S. dollars issued by banks abroad. For description of changes in data reported by nonbanks, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. NOTE. Beginning April 1978, data for banks' own claims are given on a monthly basis, but the data for claims of banks' own domestic customers are available on a quarterly basis only. BANKS' OWN CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States Payable in U.S. Dollars Millions of dollars, end of period 1985 Maturity; by borrower and area 1 7 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 By borrower Maturity of 1 year or less' Foreign public borrowers All other foreigners Maturity of over 1 year 1 Foreign public borrowers All other foreigners By area Maturity of 1 year or less' Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean 11 Africa All other 2 Maturity of over 1 year 1 14 Europe 15 Canada 16 Latin America and Caribbean 17 18 Africa 19 All other 2 12 13 1. Remaining time to maturity. 1982 1983 1986 1984 Dec. Mar. June Sept. 228,150 243,715 243,952 227,903 221,172' 222,559' 224,317 173,917 21,256 152,661 54,233 23,137 31,095 176,158 24,039 152,120 67,557 32,521 35,036 167,858 23,912 143,947 76,094 38,695 37,399 160,824 26,302 134,522 67,078 34,512 32,567 152,666' 23,845 128,821' 68,50& 36,681 31,825' 152,551' 23,164' 129,388' 70,008 37,177 32,830 154,731 22,392 132,339 69,586 38,115 31,471 50,500 7,642 73,291 37,578 3,680 1,226 56,117 6,211 73,660 34,403 4,199 1,569 58,498 6,028 62,791 33,504 4,442 2,593 56,585 6,401 63,328 27,966 3,753 2,791 53,435' 5,899 59,537' 28,032' 3,331 2,433 57,927' 6,078' 57,399' 25,777' 3,297 2,072' 59,331 5,968 57,814 26,713 3,038 1,866 11,636 1,931 35,247 3,185 1,494 740 13,576 1,857 43,888 4,850 2,286 1,101 9,605 1,882 56,144 5,323 2,033 1,107 7,634 1,805 50,674 4,502 1,538 926 7,809' 1,925 52,165 4,251 1,634 722 7,934 2,256 53,572 4,034 1,497 714 7,285 1,861 54,147 3,990 1,479 824 2. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A61 A62 International Statistics • April 1987 CLAIMS ON FOREIGN COUNTRIES Held by U.S. Offices and Foreign Branches of U.S.-Chartered Banks1-2 3.21 Billions of dollars, end of period 1984 Area or country 1 Total 1982 1985 1986 1983 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept.P 436.1 433.9 406.4 405.7 405.5 396.8 394.9 391.9 394.3 390.9 391.4 179.6 13.1 17.1 12.7 10.3 3.6 5.0 5.0 72.1 10.4 30.2 167.8 12.4 16.2 11.3 11.4 3.5 5.1 4.3 65.3 8.3 29.9 147.5 9.8 14.3 10.0 9.7 3.4 3.5 3.9 57.1 8.1 27.7 148.1 8.7 14.1 9.0 10.1 3.9 3.2 3.9 60.3 7.9 27.1 153.0 9.3 14.5 8.9 10.0 3.8 3.1 4.2 65.4 9.1 24.7 146.7 8.9 13.5 9.6 8.6 3.7 2.9 4.0 65.7 8.1 21.7 152.0 9.5 14.8 9.8 8.4 3.4 3.1 4.1 67.1 7.6 24.3 148.5 9.3 12.3 10.5 9.8 3.7 2.8 4.4 64.6 7.0 24.2 156.4 8.3 13.8 11.2 8.5 3.5 2.9 5.4 68.5 6.2 28.1 159.8 9.0 15.1 11.5 9.3 3.4 2.9 5.6 68.9 6.8 27.4 158.6 8.5 14.6 12.5 8.1 3.9 2.7 4.8 70.1 6.1 27.4 13 Other developed countries 14 Austria 15 Denmark 16 Finland 17 Greece 18 Norway 19 Portugal 20 21 Turkey 22 Other Western Europe 23 South Africa 24 Australia 33.5 1.9 2.4 2.2 3.0 3.3 1.5 7.5 1.4 2.3 3.7 4.3 36.0 1.9 3.4 2.4 2.8 3.3 1.5 7.1 1.7 1.8 4.7 5.4 36.2 1.8 2.9 1.9 3.2 3.2 1.6 6.9 2.0 1.7 5.0 6.1 33.6 1.6 2.2 1.9 2.9 3.0 1.4 6.5 1.9 1.7 4.5 6.0 32.8 1.6 2.1 1.8 2.9 2.9 1.4 6.4 1.9 1.7 4.2 6.1 32.3 1.6 1.9 1.8 2.9 2.9 1.3 5.9 2.0 1.8 3.9 6.2 32.0 1.7 2.1 1.8 2.8 3.4 1.4 6.1 2.1 1.7 3.3 5.6 30.4 1.6 2.4 1.6 2.6 2.9 1.3 5.8 1.9 2.0 3.2 5.0 31.6 1.6 2.5 1.9 2.5 2.7 1.1 6.4 2.3 2.4 3.2 4.9 30.6 1.7 2.4 1.6 2.6 3.0 1.0 6.4 2.5 2.1 3.1 4.2 29.4 1.7 2.3 1.7 2.3 2.7 1.0 6.7 2.1 1.6 3.1 4.2 25 OPEC countries3 26 Ecuador 27 Venezuela 28 Indonesia 29 Middle East countries 30 African countries 26.9 2.2 10.5 2.9 8.5 2.8 28.4 2.2 9.9 3.4 9.8 3.0 24.4 2.1 9.2 3.2 7.3 2.5 24.9 2.2 9.3 3.3 7.9 2.3 24.5 2.2 9.3 3.3 7.4 2.3 22.8 2.2 9.3 3.1 6.1 2.2 22.7 2.2 9.0 3.1 6.2 2.3 21.6 2.1 8.9 3.0 5.5 2.0 20.7 2.2 8.7 3.3 4.8 1.8 20.6 2.1 8.8 3.0 5.0 1.7 20.0 2.1 8.7 2.8 4.7 1.7 106.5 110.8 111.6 111.8 110.8 110.0 107.8 105.1 103.5 101.4 99.6 8.9 22.9 6.3 3.1 24.2 2.6 4.0 9.5 23.1 6.4 3.2 25.8 2.4 4.2 9.1 26.3 7.1 2.9 26.0 2.2 3.9 8.7 26.3 7.0 2.9 25.7 2.2 3.9 8.6 26.4 7.0 2.8 25.5 2.2 3.8 8.6 26.6 6.9 2.7 25.3 2.1 3.7 8.9 25.5 6.6 2.6 24.4 1.9 3.5 8.9 25.6 7.0 2.7 24.2 1.8 3.4 8.9 25.7 7.0 2.3 24.0 1.7 3.3 9.2 25.3 7.1 2.2 23.8 1.6 3.3 9.3 25.2 7.1 2.0 23.8 1.5 3.4 .3 5.2 .9 1.9 11.2 2.8 6.1 2.2 1.0 .5 5.1 1.0 1.7 10.3 2.9 5.9 1.8 .9 .7 5.1 .9 1.8 10.6 2.7 6.0 1.8 1.1 .7 5.3 .9 1.7 10.4 2.7 6.1 1.7 1.1 .3 5.5 .9 2.3 10.0 2.8 6.0 1.6 .9 1.1 5.1 1.1 1.5 10.4 2.7 6.0 1.6 .9 .5 4.5 1.2 1.6 9.4 2.4 5.7 1.4 1.0 .6 4.3 1.2 1.3 9.5 2.2 5.6 1.3 .9 .6 3.7 1.3 1.6 8.6 2.0 5.7 1.1 .8 .6 4.3 1.3 1.4 7.3 2.1 5.4 1.0 .7 2 G-10 countries and Switzerland 3 Belgium-Luxembourg 4 France 5 Germany 6 Italy 7 Netherlands 8 Sweden 9 Switzerland 10 United Kingdom 11 Canada 12 Japan 31 Non-OPEC developing countries 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Other Latin America Asia China Mainland Taiwan India 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Korea (South) Malaysia Philippines Thailand Other Asia .2 5.3 .5 2.3 10.7 2.1 6.3 1.6 1.1 48 49 50 51 Africa Egypt Morocco Zaire Other Africa 4 1.2 .7 .1 2.4 1.5 .8 .1 2.3 1.2 .8 .1 1.9 1.2 .8 .1 2.1 1.1 .8 .1 2.2 1.0 .8 .1 2.0 1.0 .9 .1 2.0 1.0 .9 .1 1.9 .9 .9 .1 1.9 .9 .9 .1 1.7 .7 .9 .1 1.6 52 Eastern Europe 53 U.S.S.R 54 Yugoslavia 55 Other 6.2 .3 2.2 3.7 5.3 .2 2.4 2.8 4.5 .2 2.3 2.1 4.4 .1 2.3 2.0 4.3 .2 2.2 1.9 4.3 .3 2.2 1.8 4.6 .2 2.4 1.9 4.2 .1 2.2 1.8 4.0 .3 2.0 1.7 4.0 .3 2.0 1.7 3.3 .1 1.9 1.4 56 Offshore banking centers 57 Bahamas 58 Bermuda 59 Cayman Islands and other British West Indies 60 Netherlands Antilles 61 Panama5 62 Lebanon 63 Hong Kong 64 Singapore 65 Others 6 66.0 19.0 .9 12.8 3.3 7.5 .1 13.3 9.1 .0 68.9 21.7 .9 12.2 4.2 5.8 .1 13.8 10.3 .0 65.1 23.3 1.0 11.1 3.1 5.6 .1 11.6 9.4 .0 65.6 21.5 .9 11.8 3.4 6.7 .1 11.4 9.8 .0 63.2 20.1 .7 12.3 3.3 5.5 .1 11.4 9.9 .0 63.9 21.1 .9 12.1 3.2 5.4 .1 11.4 9.7 .0 58.8 16.6 .8 12.3 2.3 6.1 .0 11.4 9.4 .0 65.4 21.4 .7 13.4 2.3 6.0 .1 11.5 9.9 .0 61.5 21.5 .7 11.3 2.3 5.9 .1 11.4 8.4 .0 57.2 17.3 .4 12.8 2.3 5.5 .1 9.4 9.3 .0 62.6 20.0 .5 13.2 1.9 6.8 .1 10.4 9.7 .0 66 Miscellaneous and unallocated7 17.5 16.8 17.1 17.3 16.9 16.9 17.3 16.9 16.7 17.2 17.8 1. The banking offices covered by these data are the U.S. offices and foreign branches of U.S.-owned banks and of U.S. subsidiaries of foreign-owned banks. Offices not covered include (1) U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks, and (2) foreign subsidiaries of U.S. banks. To minimize duplication, the data are adjusted to exclude the claims on foreign branches held by a U.S. office or another foreign branch of the same banking institution. The data in this table combine foreign branch claims in table 3.14 (the sum of lines 7 through 10) with the claims of U.S. offices in table 3.18 (excluding those held by agencies and branches of foreign banks and those constituting claims on own foreign branches). 2. Beginning with June 1984 data, reported claims held by foreign branches have been reduced by an increase in the reporting threshold for "shell" branches from $50 million to $150 million equivalent in total assets, the threshold now applicable to all reporting branches. 3. Besides the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries shown individually, this group includes other members of OPEC (Algeria, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates) as well as Bahrain and Oman (not formally members of OPEC). 4. Excludes Liberia. 5. Includes Canal Zone beginning December 1979. 6. Foreign branch claims only. 7. Includes New Zealand, Liberia, and international and regional organizations. Nonbank-Reported Data 3.22 A63 LIABILITIES TO UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the United States1 Millions of dollars, end of period 1985 Type, and area or country 1982 1986 1984 1983 Dec. Sept. Mar. June Sept.? 1 Total 27,512 25,346 29,357 25,533' 27,662' 25,635 24,222 24,380 2 Payable in dollars 3 Payable in foreign currencies 24,280 3,232 22,233 3,113 26,389 2,968 22,634' 2,899' 24,352' 3,310' 22,022 3,613 20,692 3,530 20,633 3,747 By type 4 Financial liabilities 5 Payable in dollars 6 Payable in foreign currencies 11,066 8,858 2,208 10,572 8,700 1,872 14,509 12,553 1,955 12,092' 10,05c 2,041' 13,437' 11,313' 2,123' 12,328 10,205 2,123 11,117 9,177 1,940 11,620 9,418 2,201 7 Commercial liabilities 8 Trade payables 9 Advance receipts and other liabilities 16,446 9,438 7,008 14,774 7,765 7,009 14,849 7,005 7,843 13,441 5,694 7,747 14,225 6,685 7,540 13,307 5,598 7,710 13,105 5,503 7,602 12,760 5,592 7,168 15,423 1,023 13,533 1,241 13,836 1,013 12,584 857 13,039 1,186 11,817 1,490 11,516 1,590 11,214 1,546 6,501 505 783 467 711 792 3,102 5,742 302 843 502 621 486 2,839 6,728 471 995 489 590 569 3,297 6,971 338 851 371 630 702 3,736 6,705 288 701 262 651 561 3,960 7,254 322 501 289 708 692 4,272 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies By area or country Financial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 6,816' 367 849 509' 624 593 3,584' 7,616' 329 857 434' 745 676 4,254' 19 Canada 746 764 863 826 760 753 287 282 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 2,751 904 14 28 1,027 121 114 2,596 751 13 32 1,041 213 124 5,086 1,926 13 35 2,103 367 137 2,619 1,145 4 23 1,234 28 3 3,184' 1,123' 4 29 1,843' 15 3 2,788 954 13 26 1,610 20 4 2,404 859 14 27 1,362 30 3 2,269 863 4 28 1,256 18 5 27 28 29 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 2 1,039 715 169 1,424 991 170 1,777 1,209 155 1,767 1,136 82 1,815' 1,198' 82 1,799 1,192 78 1,660 1,189 43 1,790 1,354 3 30 31 Africa Oil-exporting countries 3 17 0 19 0 14 0 14 0 12 0 12 0 12 0 4 2 32 All other 4 12 27 41 50' 5C 4 49 21 3,831 52 598 468 346 367 1.027 3,245 62 437 427 268 241 732 4,001 48 438 622 245 257 1,095 3,897 56 431 601 386 289 858 4,074 62 453 607 364 379 976 3,915 66 382 546 545 251 957 3,761 58 357 512 587 283 861 4,337 75 369 628 613 360 1,086 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Commercial liabilities Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 40 Canada 1,495 1,841 1,975 1,383 1,449 1,442 1,351 1,240 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 1,570 16 117 60 32 436 642 1,473 1 67 44 6 585 432 1,871 7 114 124 32 586 636 1,262 2 105 120 15 415 311 1,088 12 77 58 44 430 212 1,097 26 210 64 7 256 364 1,304 10 294 107 35 235 488 843 37 172 43 38 196 207 48 49 50 Asia Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries2-5 8,144 1,226 5,503 6,741 1,247 4,178 5,285 1,256 2,372 5,353 1,567 2,109 6,046 1,799 2,829 5,384 2,039 2,171 5,068 2,095 1,731 4,781 2,114 1,528 51 52 Africa Oil-exporting countries 3 753 277 553 167 588 233 572 235 587 238 486 148 569 215 578 176 53 All other 4 651 921 1,128 975 982 983 1,053 980 1. For a description of the changes in the International Statistics tables, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 2. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 4. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. 5. Revisions include a reclassification of transactions, which also affects the totals for Asia and the grand totals. A64 International Statistics • April 1987 3.23 CLAIMS ON UNAFFILIATED FOREIGNERS United States' Reported by Nonbanking Business Enterprises in the Millions of dollars, end of period 1985 Type, and area or country 1982 1986 1984 1983 Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept.P 1 Total 28,725 34,911 29,901 28,626' 28,437' 30,927 32,519 32,262 2 3 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 26,085 2,640 31,815 3,0% 27,304 2,597 25.76C 2,866 26,135' 2,302 28,740 2,187 30,337 2,182 29,787 2,475 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 By type Financial claims Deposits Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies Other financial claims Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies 17,684 13,058 12,628 430 4,626 2,979 1,647 23,780 18,4% 17,993 503 5,284 3,328 1,956 19,254 14,621 14,202 420 4,633 3,190 1,442 19,22C 15,331' 14,627' 704 3,889 2,351 1,538 18,451' 15,204' 14,589' 615 3,248 2,213 1,035 21,540 18,146 17,689 457 3,394 2,301 1,093 23,324 20,034 19,479 555 3,290 2,269 1,021 23,165 18,554 18,066 488 4,611 3,392 1,220 11 12 13 Commercial claims Trade receivables Advance payments and other claims 11,041 9,994 1,047 11,131 9,721 1,410 10,646 9,177 1,470 9,406 7,932 1,475 9,986 8,6% 1,290 9,387 8,086 1,301 9,195 7,858 1,337 9,097 7,925 1,172 10,478 563 10,494 637 9,912 735 8,782 624 9,333 652 8,750 637 8,589 606 8,329 767 4,873 15 134 178 97 107 4,064 6,488 37 150 163 71 38 5,817 5,762 15 126 224 66 66 4,864 6,463 12 132 158 127 53 5,736 6,53c 10 184 223 61 74 5,725' 6,859 10 217 172 61 166 5,986 8,877 11 257 148 9,338 67 418 129 44 138 8,315 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Payable in dollars Payable in foreign currencies By area or country Financial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom hi 177 8,051 23 Canada 4,377 5,989 3,988 4,038' 3.26C 4,024 4,464 3,690 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 7,546 3,279 32 62 3,255 274 139 10,234 4,771 102 53 4,206 293 134 8,216 3,306 6 100 4,043 215 125 7,619' 2,321' 5 92 4,642' 201 73 7,841' 2,698' 6 78 4,571' 180 48 9,934 3,500 2 77 5,904 178 43 9,151 3,251 17 75 5,359 176 42 9,300 2,912 19 101 5,871 173 40 698 153 15 764 297 4 %1 353 13 %9 725 6 696 475 4 621 350 2 111 499 2 673 387 2 158 48 147 55 210 85 104 31 103 29 87 27 89 25 84 18 31 159 117 26 21 14 20 81 3,826 151 474 357 350 360 811 3,670 135 459 349 334 317 809 3,801 165 440 374 335 271 1,063 3,235 158 360 336 286 208 779 3,533 175 426 346 284 284 898 3,387 148 384 3,304 131 390 414 237 221 668 3,345 123 412 397 183 232 830 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 2 Africa Oil-exporting countries 3 All other 4 Commercial claims Europe Belgium-Luxembourg France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom 44 Canada 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 Latin America and Caribbean Bahamas Bermuda Brazil British West Indies Mexico Venezuela 52 53 54 Japan Middle East oil-exporting countries 2 633 829 1,021 1,100 1,023 1,060 970 929 2,526 21 261 258 12 775 351 2,695 8 190 493 7 884 272 2,052 8 115 214 7 583 206 1,660 18 62 211 7 416 149 1,753 13 93 206 6 510 157 1,599 27 82 231 7 388 172 1,590 24 148 194 24 320 180 1,665 29 132 206 23 299 190 3,050 1,047 751 3,063 1,114 737 3,073 1,191 668 2,712 884 541 2,982 1,016 638 2,606 801 630 2,649 846 691 2,471 788 597 470 134 434 131 437 130 491 167 447 171 456 168 229 264 257 244 235 231 55 56 Africa Oil-exporting countries3 588 140 588 139 57 All other 4 417 286 1. For a description of the changes in the International Statistics tables, see July 1979 BULLETIN, p. 550. 2. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 3% 221 248 793 3. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 4. Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. Securities Holdings and Transactions 3.24 A65 FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS IN SECURITIES Millions of dollars 1986 Transactions, and area or country 1984 1986 1985 Jan.Dec. June Aug. July Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec." U.S. corporate securities STOCKS 1 Foreign purchases 2 Foreign sales 59,834 62,814 81,995 77,054 147,919 129,855 11,176 10,832 13,275' 11,261' 12,045 10,615 12,206 10,948 10,979' 12,300' 12,034 12,085 13,923 12,784 3 Net purchases, or sales (—) -2,980 4,941 18,064 344 2,014' 1,430 1,258 -1,322' -52 1,139 4 Foreign countries -3,109 4,857 18,272 464 2,079' 1,470 1,303 -1,179' -18 1,059 -3,077 -405 -50 -357 -1,542 -677 1,691 495 -1,992 -378 -22 175 2,057 -438 730 -123 -75 1,665 356 1,718 238 296 24 168 9,436 462 339 936 1,559 4,702 795 2,535 977 3,859 298 373 192 219 -174 97 -134 38 131 60 -236 288 -3 32 577' 182 -130 52 -198 482' 214 271' 181 830 30 -23 824 105 -42 50 44 521 97 108 78 376 -1 -13 587 30 9 36 70 462 93 145 58 346 -13 86 -1,124' -92 -104 -19 -405 -481 -115' 154 -51 16 39 -97 -485 -69 -3 -50 -236 -114 42 367 -92 80 23 48 416 113 22 14 47 225 101 -272 268 445 17 84 129 84 -208 -121 -65 -40 -45 -143 -34 80 39,296 26,399 86,587 42,455' 122,659 71,840 8,964 5,686 8,937 5,679 9,420 5,348 10,160 5,585 9,712 5,527 9,232 6,032 11,977 7,863 4,114 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East 1 Other Asia Africa Other countries 17 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations BONDS 2 18 Foreign purchases 19 Foreign sales 20 Net purchases, or sales ( - ) 12,897 44,132' 50,819 3,278 3,259 4,072 4,575 4,185 3,200 21 Foreign countries 12,600 44,227' 50,161 2,798 3,197 4,077 4,871 4,457 2,881 4,377 11,697 207 1,724 100 643 8,429 -62 376 -1,230 1,817 1 0 40,047 210 2,001 222 3,987 32,762 190 498 -2,648' 6,091 11 38 39,266 388 -251 387 4,530 33,855 548 1,483 -2,951 11,684 17 114 2,763 -6 -3 -37 490 2,214 55 63 -632 480 3 66 2,395 6 -91 -39 180 2,213 85 250 -718 1,177 -3 11 2,484 20 -81 98 564 1,917 110 160 -40 1,329 5 29 3,386 -29 26 51 30 3,414 2 64 -169 1,586 6 -4 3,475 0 82 -55 265 3,177 88 101 -33 819 -3 11 2,102 328 -108 113 204 1,416 154 67 -355 926 3 -15 3,064 32 -19 52 -117 2,760 153 116 -258 1,297 4 3 657 480 61 -4 -296 -273 319 -263 22 73 24 75 76 77 78 79 30 31 32 33 Europe France Germany Netherlands Switzerland United Kingdom Canada Latin America and Caribbean Middle East 1 Other Asia Africa Other countries 34 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 297 -95 Foreign securities 35 Stocks, net purchases, or sales ( - ) 36 Foreign purchases 37 Foreign sales -1,101 14,816 15,917 -3,892' 20,861' 24,754' -1,492 49,880 51,372 -238 3,775 4,013 404 4,310 3,907 -83 4,610 4,694 676 5,091 4,415 1,256' 6,324' 5,068' 390 4,149 3,758 27 4,597 4,570 38 Bonds, net purchases, or sales ( - ) 39 Foreign purchases 40 Foreign sales -3,930 56,017 59,948 -3,999' 81,21Gr 85,214' -3,162 165,591 168,753 1,540 15,632 14,091 359 13,559 13,200 1,232 14,086 12,854 -2,231 15,182 17,412 2,151 16,249' 14,098' -680 12,599 13,278 -455 16,128 16,583 -428 41 Net purchases, or sales (—), of stocks and bonds . . . . -5,031 -7,891 -4,653 1,302 762 1,149 -1,555 3,407' -289 42 Foreign countries -4,642 -8,954 -5,781 1,122 438 1,090 -1,492 3,078' -292 -876 43 44 45 46 47 48 -8,655 542 2,460 1,356 -108 -238 -9,887 -1,686' 1,846' 659' 75' 38 -17,650 -884 3,420 11,180 55 -1,903 -1,332 16 742 1,639 3 55 -683 245 278 659 9 -70 -714 263 127 1,337 1 75 -3,379 111 351 1,852 3 -430 -647' 88 502' 3,194' -1 -58 -984 -109 16 802 4 -21 -1,372 -263 158 1,482 6 -886 -389 1,063 1,128 180 324 59 -63 330 3 448 Europe Canada Latin America and Caribbean Africa Other countries 49 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations 1. Comprises oil-exporting countries as follows: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2. Includes state and local government securities, and securities of U.S. government agencies and corporations. Also includes issues of new debt securi- ties sold abroad by U.S. corporations organized to finance direct investments abroad. A66 3.25 International Statistics • April 1987 MARKETABLE U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES Foreign Transactions Millions of dollars 1986 Country or area 1984 1986 1985' Jan.Dec. June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.? -1,254 Transactions, net purchases or sales ( - ) during period1 1 Estimated total2 21,501 29,208 24,307 3,112 -279' 754' 4,993 3,093 -2,298 2 Foreign countries 2 16,496 28,768 25,455 2,230 2,705 2,217' 3,997 2,778 -340 -227 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Europe 2 Belgium-Luxembourg Germany 2 Netherlands Sweden Switzerland2 United Kingdom Other Western Europe Eastern Europe Canada 11,014 287 2,929 449 40 656 5,188 1,466 0 1,586 4,303 476 1,917 269 976 773 -1,810 1,701 0 -188 17,327 343 7,805 1,312 132 415 4,725 2,5% 0 874 2,562 82 357 -64 16 349 698 1,125 0 -302 2,544 -46 818 1,756 42 -278 610 -358 0 67 2,442 180 1,050 -64 -25 52 1,207 43 0 105 -685 239 1,133 -313 85 -53 -1,970 195 0 -198 3,135 4 2,560 112 -6 449 153 -136 0 -230 -668 -53 716 38 -70 -499 -285 -515 0 19 1,301 75 -347 -29 -236 -322 1,072 1,089 0 297 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Latin America and Caribbean Venezuela Other Latin America and Caribbean Netherlands Antilles Asia Japan 4,315 248 2,336 1,731 19,919 17,909 112 308 901 -69 1,131 -161 5,178 3,800 -54 1,229 -460 -170 -290 0 515 223 -5 -80 28 -72 96 5 -137 273 6 198 -37 -294 255 2 -132' 683 All other 1,418 14 536 869 2,431 6,289 -67 114 -160 220 266 32 -78 4,848 4,395 11 -200 -219 69 -314 26 -58 -453 -13 163 74 -139 5 208 -250 88 2 482 97 29 97 -30 -2,079 -2,104 -14 171 21 22 23 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations International Latin American regional 5,009 4,612 0 442 -436 18 -1,148 -1,474 157 882 899 5 -2,984' -2,829' 0 -1,462 -1,511 0 996 890 39 314 365 -5 -1,958 -2,010 0 -1,481 -1,414 0 24 25 26 Foreign countries 2 Official institutions Other foreign2 16,496 505 15,992 28,768 8,135 20,631 25,455 14,351 11,106 2,230 1,612 619 2,705 1,448 1,257 2,217' 61 2,156' 3,997 1,877 2,119 2,778 3,506 -727 -340 52 -393 -227 401 -628 27 28 Oil-exporting countries Middle East 3 Africa 4 -6,270 -101 -1,547 7 -1494 5 -290 0 14 2 -239 -1 -205 2 -377 -1 -1,016 1 -14 0 -1 MEMO 1. Estimated official and private transactions in marketable U.S. Treasury securities with an original maturity of more than 1 year. Data are based on monthly transactions reports. Excludes nonmarketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by official institutions of foreign countries. 2. Includes U.S. Treasury notes publicly issued to private foreign residents denominated in foreign currencies. 3. Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4. Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. Interest and Exchange Rates 3.26 A67 DISCOUNT RATES OF FOREIGN CENTRAL BANKS Percent per annum Rate on Jan. 31, 1987 Austria.. Belgium . Brazil... Canada.. Denmark Percent Month effective 3.5 8.5 49.0 7.74 7.0 Jan. 1987 Jan. 1987 Mar. 1981 Jan. 1987 Oct. 1983 Country France 1 Germany, Fed. Rep. of Italy Japan Netherlands 1. As of the end of February 1981, the rate is that at which the Bank of France discounts Treasury bills for 7 to 10 days. 2. Minimum lending rate suspended as of Aug. 20, 1981. NOTE. Rates shown are mainly those at which the central bank either discounts 3.27 Rate on Jan. 31, 1987 Rate on Jan. 31, 1987 Country Country Percent Month effective 7.25 3.5 12.0 3.0 4.5 Dec. 1986 Mar. 1986 May 1986 Oct. 1986 Mar. 1986 Percent Norway Switzerland United Kingdom2. Venezuela Month effective June 1983 Jan. 1987 8.0 3.5 Oct. 1985 or makes advances against eligible commercial paper and/or government commercial banks or brokers. For countries with more than one rate applicable to such discounts or advances, the rate shown is the one at which it is understood the central bank transacts the largest proportion of its credit operations. FOREIGN SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES Percent per annum, averages of daily figures 1987 1986 Country, or type 1 ? 3 4 5 7 8 9 10 1984 1985 1986 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Eurodollars United Kingdom Canada Germany Switzerland 10.75 9.91 11.29 5.96 4.35 8.27 12.16 9.64 5.40 4.92 6.70 10.87 9.18 4.58 4.19 6.54 9.91 8.45 4.61 4.80 6.06 9.79 8.50 4.56 4.30 5.88 10.05 8.38 4.48 4.13 5.88 11.08 8.45 4.56 3.96 5.96 11.12 8.39 4.67 3.88 6.23 11.30 8.34 4.80 4.08 6.10 10.98 7.95 4.45 3.63 Netherlands France Italy Belgium Japan 6.08 11.66 17.08 11.41 6.32 6.29 9.91 14.86 9.60 6.47 5.56 7.68 12.60 8.04 4.96 5.69 7.13 11.70 7.25 4.62 5.28 7.09 11.18 7.25 4.68 5.17 7.07 10.84 7.25 4.71 5.32 7.38 10.85 7.29 4.75 5.48 7.51 11.05 7.38 4.39 6.03 7.92 11.40 7.39 4.40 5.58 8.49 11.39 7.88 4.23 NOTE. Rates are for 3-month interbank loans except for Canada, finance company paper; Belgium, 3-month Treasury bills; and Japan, Gensaki rate. A68 3.28 International Statistics • April 1987 FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES Currency units per dollar 1987 1986 Country/currency 1984 1985 1986 Aug. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Australia/dollar1 Austria/schilling Belgium/franc Brazil/cruzeiro Canada/dollar China, P.R./yuan Denmark/krone 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Finland/markka France/franc Germany/deutsche mark Greece/drachma Hong Kong/dollar India/rupee Ireland/pound1 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Italy/lira Japan/yen Malaysia/ringgit Netherlands/guilder New Zealand/dollar1 Norway/krone Portugal/escudo 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Singapore/dollar South Africa/rand1 South Korea/won Spain/peseta Sri Lanka/rupee Sweden/krona Switzerland/franc Taiwan/dollar Thailand/baht United Kingdom/pound1 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 87.937 20.005 57.749 1841.50 1.2953 2.3308 10.354 70.026 20.676 59.336 6205.10 1.3658 2.9434 10.598 67.093 15.260 44.662 13.051 1.3896 3.4615 8.0954 61.23 14.502 42.701 13.84 1.3885 3.7129 7.7657 62.21 14.349 42.315 13.84 1.3872 3.7150 7.7278 63.83 14.111 41.635 13.98 1.3885 3.7257 7.5607 64.45 14.251 42.069 14.10 1.3863 3.7314 7.6444 65.95 13.996 41.381 14.54 1.3801 3.7314 7.5235 66.09 13.087 38.616 15.58 1.3605 3.7314 7.0591 6.0007 8.7355 2.8454 112.73 7.8188 11.348 108.64 6.1971 8.9799 2.9419 138.40 7.7911 12.332 106.62 5.0721 6.9256 2.1704 139.93 7.8037 12.597 134.14 4.9377 6.7215 2.0621 134.68 7.8003 12.567 134.67 4.9190 6.6835 2.0415 135.07 7.8026 12.676 134.53 4.8684 6.5628 2.0054 135.44 7.7999 12.848 135.89 4.9576 6.6206 2.0243 139.12 7.7974 13.076 134.64 4.8980 6.5296 1.9880 140.13 7.7931 13.149 136.78 4.6419 6.2007 1.8596 134.80 7.7698 13.029 143.90 1756.10 237.45 2.3448 3.2083 57.837 8.1596 147.70 1908.90 238.47 2.4806 3.3184 49.752 8.5933 172.07 1491.16 168.35 2.5830 2.4484 52.456 7.3984 149.80 1420.33 154.18 2.6121 2.3242 50.068 7.3534 146.17 1410.23 154.73 2.6174 2.3050 47.950 7.3429 146.83 1387.67 156.47 2.6245 2.2663 50.392 7.3611 147.24 1401.08 162.85 2.6131 2.2870 51.382 7.5401 149.54 1379.44 162.05 2.5966 2.2470 51.339 7.5294 148.61 1317.17 154.83 2.5701 2.0978 53.605 7.1731 142.90 2.1325 69.534 807.91 160.78 25.428 8.2706 2.3500 39.633 23.582 133.66 2.2008 45.57 861.89 169.98 27.187 8.6031 2.4551 39.889 27.193 129.74 2.1782 43.952 884.61 140.04 27.933 7.1272 1.7979 37.837 26.314 146.77 2.1601 38.39 886.45 134.11 28.187 6.9365 1.6616 37.422 26.093 148.61 2.1680 43.36 883.06 134.10 28.297 6.9191 1.6537 36.885 26.120 146.98 2.1777 44.42 879.22 133.43 28.407 6.8901 1.6433 36.647 26.129 142.64 2.1922 44.37 873.54 136.10 28.471 6.9683 1.6858 36.438 26.278 142.38 2.1900 44.94 868.43 134.49 28.532 6.9081 1.6647 36.001 26.239 143.93 2.1510 47.70 862.86 129.54 28.578 6.6188 1.5616 35.304 26.037 150.54 138.19 143.01 112.22 107.50 107.15 106.58 107.90 106.54 101.13 MEMO 32 United States/dollar2 1. Value in U.S. cents. 2. Index of weighted-average exchange value of U.S. dollar against currencies of other G-10 countries plus Switzerland. March 1973 = 100. Weights are 1972-76 global trade of each of the 10 countries. Series revised as of August 1978. For description and back data, see "Index of the Weighted-Average Exchange Value of the U.S. Dollar: Revision" on p. 700 of the August 1978 BULLETIN. 3. Currency reform. NOTE. Averages of certified noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers. Data in this table also appear in the Board's G.5 (405) release. For address, see inside front cover. 69 Guide to Tabular Presentation, Statistical Releases, and Special Tables GUIDE TO TABULAR Symbols and c e p r * PRESENTATION Abbreviations Corrected Estimated Preliminary Revised (Notation appears on column heading when about half of the figures in that column are changed.) Amounts insignificant in terms of the last decimal place shown in the table (for example, less than 500,000 when the smallest unit given is millions) General 0 n.a. n.e.c. IPCs REITs RPs SMSAs .... Calculated to be zero Not available Not elsewhere classified Individuals, partnerships, and corporations Real estate investment trusts Repurchase agreements Standard metropolitan statistical areas Cell not applicable Information Minus signs are used to indicate (1) a decrease, (2) a negative figure, or (3) an outflow. "U.S. government securities" may include guaranteed issues of U.S. government agencies (the flow of funds figures also include not fully guaranteed issues) as well as direct STATISTICAL obligations of the Treasury. "State and local government" also includes municipalities, special districts, and other political subdivisions. In some of the tables details do not add to totals because of rounding. RELEASES List Published Semiannually, with Latest Bulletin Reference Anticipated schedule of release dates for periodic releases Issue December 1986 Page A87 August December March January September November December March May July December February A70 A68 A68 A70 A70 A70 A76 A70 A70 A70 A70 A70 SPECIAL TABLES Published Irregularly, with Latest Bulletin Reference Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, March 31, 1983 Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, June 30, 1983 Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, September 30, 1983 Assets and liabilities of commercial banks, December 31, 1985 Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, Assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks, Terms of lending at commercial banks, February 1986 Terms of lending at commercial banks, May 1986 Terms of lending at commercial banks, August 1986 Terms of lending at commercial banks, November 1986 December 31, 1985 March 31, 1986 June 30, 1986 September 30, 1986 1983 1983 1984 1987 1986 1986 1986 1987 1986 1986 1986 1987 70 Federal Reserve Board of Governors PAUL A . VOLCKER, Chairman MANUEL H . JOHNSON, Vice Chairman MARTHA R . SEGER WAYNE D . ANGELL OFFICE OF BOARD OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR MONETARY AND FINANCIAL MEMBERS JOSEPH R. COYNE, Assistant DONALD J. WINN, Assistant to the to the Board Board DONALD L . K O H N , Assistant to the Chairman BOB S. MOORE, Special Assistant to the Board STEVEN M . ROBERTS, Deputy Staff Director NORMAND R.V. BERNARD, Special Assistant DIVISION LEGAL FOR POLICY OF RESEARCH AND to the STATISTICS DIVISION MICHAEL BRADFIELD, General J. VIRGIL MATTINGLY, JR., Counsel Deputy General Counsel RICHARD M. ASHTON, Associate General Counsel OLIVER IRELAND, Associate General Counsel RICKI R. TIGERT, Assistant General Counsel MARYELLEN A. BROWN, Assistant to the General Counsel JAMES L . KICHLINE, Director EDWARD C . ETTIN, Deputy Director MICHAEL J. PRELL, Deputy Director JARED J. ENZLER, Associate Director D A V I D E . LINDSEY, Associate Director ELEANOR J. STOCKWELL, Associate Director MARTHA BETHEA, Deputy Associate Director THOMAS D . SIMPSON, Deputy Associate Director LAWRENCE SLIFMAN, Deputy OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WILLIAM W. WILES, Secretary BARBARA R. LOWREY, Associate JAMES MCAFEE, Associate Secretary Secretary Associate Director PETER A . TINSLEY, Deputy Associate Director SUSAN J. LEPPER, Assistant Director RICHARD D . PORTER, Assistant Director MARTHA S . SCANLON, Assistant Director JOYCE K . ZICKLER, Assistant Director LEVON H . GARABEDIAN, Assistant Director (Administration) DIVISION OF CONSUMER AND COMMUNITY AFFAIRS DIVISION GRIFFITH L . GARWOOD, OF INTERNATIONAL GLENN E . LONEY, Assistant Director ELLEN M A L A N D , Assistant Director DOLORES S . SMITH, Assistant Director E D W I N M . TRUMAN, Director LARRY J. PROMISEL, Senior Associate CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Senior Associate D A V I D H . HOWARD, Deputy Associate ROBERT F. GEMMILL, Staff DIVISION OF BANKING SUPERVISION AND REGULATION WILLIAM TAYLOR, Director FRANKLIN D . DREYER, Deputy Director' D O N E . KLINE, Associate Director FREDERICK M . STRUBLE, Associate Director WILLIAM A . RYBACK, Deputy Associate Director STEPHEN C . SCHEMERING, Deputy Associate Director RICHARD SPILLENKOTHEN, Deputy Associate Director HERBERT A . BIERN, Assistant Director JOE M. CLEAVER, Assistant Director ANTHONY CORNYN, Assistant Director JAMES I. GARNER, Assistant Director JAMES D . GOETZINGER, Assistant Director MICHAEL G . MARTINSON, Assistant Director ROBERT S . PLOTKIN, Assistant Director SIDNEY M . SUSSAN, Assistant Director LAURA M . HOMER, Securities Credit Officer 1. On loan from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. FINANCE Director Director Director Director Adviser DONALD B . A D A M S , Assistant Director PETER HOOPER I I I , Assistant Director KAREN H . JOHNSON, Assistant Director RALPH W . SMITH, JR., Assistant Director Board 71 and Official Staff H . ROBERT HELLER OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR OFFICE OF STAFF DIRECTOR FOR FEDERAL RESERVE BANK ACTIVITIES MANAGEMENT S . D A V I D FROST, Staff Director E D W A R D T . M U L R E N I N , Assistant Staff Director CHARLES L . H A M P T O N , Senior Technical Adviser PORTIA W . THOMPSON, Equal Employment Opportunity Programs Officer DIVISION OF CONTROLLER OF SUPPORT SERVICES ROBERT E . FRAZIER, Director GEORGE M . LOPEZ, Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE EXECUTIVE INFORMATION RESOURCES DIRECTOR FOR MANAGEMENT A L L E N E . B E U T E L , Executive Director STEPHEN R . M A L P H R U S , Associate Director DIVISION SYSTEMS OF HARDWARE AND SOFTWARE BRUCE M . BEARDSLEY, Director THOMAS C . J U D D , Assistant Director ELIZABETH B . RIGGS, Assistant Director ROBERT J. Z E M E L , Assistant Director DIVISION OF APPLICATIONS STATISTICAL SERVICES WILLIAM R . JONES, Director D A Y W . R A D E B A U G H , Assistant RICHARD C . S T E V E N S , Assistant PATRICIA A . W E L C H , Assistant RESERVE JOHN H. PARRISH, Assistant Director FLORENCE M. YOUNG, Adviser GEORGE E . LIVINGSTON, Controller B R E N T L . B O W E N , Assistant Controller DIVISION DIVISION OF FEDERAL BANK OPERATIONS Director C L Y D E H . FARNSWORTH, J R . , Director ELLIOTT C . M C E N T E E , Associate Director D A V I D L . ROBINSON, Associate Director C . WILLIAM SCHLEICHER, J R . , Associate Director CHARLES W . B E N N E T T , Assistant Director A N N E M . D E B E E R , Assistant Director JACK D E N N I S , J R . , Assistant Director EARL G . H A M I L T O N , Assistant Director PERSONNEL D A V I D L . S H A N N O N , Director JOHN R . W E I S , Assistant Director CHARLES W . W O O D , Assistant Director OFFICE OF THE THEODORE E. ALLISON, Staff DEVELOPMENT Director Director Director AND 72 Federal Reserve Bulletin • April 1987 Federal Open Market Committee FEDERAL OPEN MARKET PAUL A . VOLCKER, COMMITTEE Chairman E . GERALD CORRIGAN, NORMAND R . V . BERNARD, Assistant Secretary MICHAEL BRADFIELD, General Counsel JAMES H . O L T M A N , Deputy General Counsel JAMES L . KICHLINE, EDWIN M . TRUMAN, MARTHA R . SEGER H . ROBERT HELLER M A N U E L H . JOHNSON SILAS K E E H N W A Y N E D . ANGELL E D W A R D G . BOEHNE ROBERT H . BOYKIN Economist Economist (International) PETER FOUSEK, Associate Economist DONALD L. KOHN, Associate Economist PETER D . STERNLIGHT, Manager S A M Y . CROSS, Manager for FEDERAL ADVISORY GARY H . STERN RICHARD W. LANG, Associate Economist DAVID E. LINDSEY, Associate Economist MICHAEL J. PRELL, Associate Economist ARTHUR J. ROLNICK, Associate Economist HARVEY ROSENBLUM, Associate Economist KARL A . SCHELD, Associate Economist CHARLES J. SIEGMAN, Associate Economist for Domestic Operations, System Open Market Account Foreign Operations, System Open Market Account COUNCIL JOHN G . MEDLIN JR., President JULIEN L . M C C A L L , Vice President JOHN F . M C G I L L I C U D D Y , D E W A L T H . A N K E N Y , JR., A N D F . PHILLIPS GILTNER, JOHN P . L A W A R E , First District JOHN F. M C G I L L I C U D D Y , Second District SAMUEL A . M C C U L L O U G H , Third District JULIEN L . M C C A L L , Fourth District JOHN G . M E D L I N , JR., Fifth District B E N N E T T A . B R O W N , Sixth District Vice Chairman Directors CHARLES T. FISHER III, Seventh District D O N A L D N. B R A N D I N , Eighth District D E W A L T H . A N K E N Y , JR., Ninth District F . PHILLIPS GILTNER, Tenth District GERALD W . FRONTERHOUSE, Eleventh District JOHN D. MANGELS, Twelfth District HERBERT V . PROCHNOW, SECRETARY WILLIAM J. KORSVIK, ASSOCIATE SECRETARY 73 and Advisory Councils CONSUMER ADVISORY COUNCIL E D W A R D N . LANGE, Seattle, Washington, STEVEN W . H A M M , Columbia, South Carolina, E D W I N B . BROOKS, JR., Richmond, Virginia JONATHAN A . B R O W N , W a s h i n g t o n , D . C . JUDITH N. B R O W N , Edina, Minnesota MICHAEL S. CASSIDY, New York, New York THERESA FAITH CUMMINGS, Springfield, Illinois RICHARD B. DOBY, Denver, Colorado RICHARD H . F I N K , Washington, D.C. NEIL J. FOGARTY, Jersey City, N e w Jersey STEPHEN GARDNER, Dallas, Texas KENNETH A. H A L L , Jackson, Mississippi ELENA G . HANGGI, Little Rock, Arkansas ROBERT J. HOBBS, Boston, Massachusetts RAMON E. JOHNSON, Salt Lake City, Utah ROBERT W. JOHNSON, West Lafayette, Indiana THRIFT INSTITUTIONS ADVISORY JOHN M. Chairman Vice Chairman KOLESAR, Cleveland, Ohio ALAN B. LERNER, Dallas, Texas FRED S. MCCHESNEY, Chicago, Illinois RICHARD L. D. MORSE, Manhattan, Kansas HELEN E . NELSON, Mill Valley,California SANDRA R. PARKER, Richmond, Virginia JOSEPH L. PERKOWSKI, Centerville, Minnesota BRENDA L. SCHNEIDER, Detroit, Michigan JANE SHULL, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania TED L. SPURLOCK, Dallas, Texas MEL R. STILLER, Boston, Massachusetts CHRISTOPHER J. SUMNER, Salt Lake City, Utah E D W A R D J. WILLIAMS, Chicago, Illinois MICHAEL ZOROYA, St. Louis, Missouri COUNCIL MICHAEL R. WISE, Denver, Colorado, President JAMIE J. JACKSON, Houston, Texas, Vice President GERALD M. CZARNECKI, Mobile, Alabama JOHN C. DICUS, Topeka, Kansas BETTY GREGG, Phoenix, Arizona THOMAS A. KINST, Hoffman Estates, Illinois RAY MARTIN, Los Angeles, California DONALD F. MCCORMICK, Livingston, N e w Jersey JANET M. PAVLISKA, Arlington, Massachusetts HERSCHEL ROSENTHAL, Miami, Florida WILLIAM G . SCHUETT, Milwaukee, Wisconsin GARY L. SIRMON, Walla Walla, Washington 74 Federal Reserve Board Publications Copies are available from PUBLICATIONS SERVICES, Mail Stop 138, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. When a charge is indicated, remittance should accompany request and be made payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Remittance from foreign residents should be drawn on a U.S. bank. Stamps and coupons are not accepted. THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM—PURPOSES AND F U N C TIONS. 1984. 120 p p . A N N U A L REPORT. A N N U A L REPORT: BUDGET REVIEW, 1 9 8 5 - 8 6 . FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN. Monthly. $ 2 0 . 0 0 per year or $ 2 . 0 0 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of same issue to one address, $ 1 8 . 0 0 per year or $ 1 . 7 5 each. Elsewhere, $ 2 4 . 0 0 per year or $ 2 . 5 0 each. BANKING AND MONETARY STATISTICS. 1 9 1 4 - 1 9 4 1 . (Reprint of Part I only) 1976. 682 pp. $5.00. BANKING AND MONETARY STATISTICS. 1941-1970. 1976. 1,168 pp. $15.00. A N N U A L STATISTICAL DIGEST 1974-78. 1981. 1982. 1983. 1984. 1980. 305 pp. $10.00 per copy. 1982. 239 pp. $ 6.50 per copy. 1983. 266 pp. $ 7.50 per copy. 1984. 264 pp. $11.50 per copy. 1985. 254 pp. $12.50 per copy. 1985. 1986. 2 3 1 pp. $ 1 5 . 0 0 per copy. HISTORICAL CHART BOOK. Issued annually in Sept. $ 1 . 2 5 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more to one address, $1.00 each. Elsewhere, $1.50 each. SELECTED INTEREST A N D EXCHANGE RATES—WEEKLY SERIES OF CHARTS. Weekly. $21.00 per year or $.50 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of same issue to one address, $19.50 per year or $.45 each. Elsewhere, $26.00 per year or $.60 each. THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT, and other statutory provisions affecting the Federal Reserve System, as amended through April 20, 1983, with Supplements covering amendments through August 1986. 576 pp. $7.00. REGULATIONS OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE F E D ERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. A N N U A L PERCENTAGE RATE TABLES (Truth in Lending— Regulation Z) Vol. I (Regular Transactions). 1969. 100 pp. Vol. II (Irregular Transactions). 1969. 116 pp. Each volume $2.25; 10 or more of same volume to one address, $2.00 each. FEDERAL RESERVE MEASURES OF CAPACITY AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION. 1978. 40 pp. $1.75 each; 10 or more to one address, $1.50 each. THE BANK HOLDING COMPANY MOVEMENT TO 1978: A COMPENDIUM. 1978. 289 pp. $2.50 each; 10 or more to one address, $2.25 each. 1980. 68 pp. $1.50 each; 10 or more to one address, $1.25 each. INTRODUCTION TO FLOW OF F U N D S . PUBLIC POLICY AND CAPITAL FORMATION. 1981. 3 2 6 p p . $13.50 each. Looseleaf; updated at least monthly. (Requests must be prepaid.) Consumer and Community Affairs Handbook. $75.00 per year. Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirements Handbook. $75.00 per year. Securities Credit Transactions Handbook. $75.00 per year. Federal Reserve Regulatory Service. 3 vols. (Contains all three Handbooks plus substantial additional material.) $200.00 per year. Rates for subscribers outside the United States are as follows and include additional air mail costs: Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, $250.00 per year. Each Handbook, $90.00 per year. FEDERAL RESERVE REGULATORY SERVICE. THE U . S . ECONOMY IN AN INTERDEPENDENT WORLD: A MULTICOUNTRY MODEL, May 1984. 590 pp. $14.50 each. WELCOME TO THE FEDERAL RESERVE. PROCESSING A N APPLICATION THROUGH THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. A u g u s t 1 9 8 5 . 3 0 p p . WRITING IN STYLE AT THE FEDERAL RESERVE. A u g u s t 1 9 8 4 . 93 pp. $2.50 each. INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—1986 EDITION. December 1986. 440 pp. $9.00 each. FINANCIAL FUTURES AND OPTIONS IN THE U . S . ECONOMY. December 1986. 264 pp. $10.00 each. CONSUMER EDUCATION PAMPHLETS Short pamphlets suitable for classroom use. Multiple copies are available without charge. Alice in Debitland Consumer Handbook on Adjustable Rate Mortgages Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws Fair Credit Billing Federal Reserve Glossary A Guide to Business Credit and the Equal Credit Opportunity Act Guide to Federal Reserve Regulations How to File A Consumer Credit Complaint If You Borrow To Buy Stock If You Use A Credit Card Series on the Structure of the Federal Reserve System The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System The Federal Open Market Committee Federal Reserve Bank Board of Directors Federal Reserve Banks Organization and Advisory Committees What Truth in Lending Means to You 75 PAMPHLETS FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS Short pamphlets on regulatory compliance, primarily suitablefor banks, bank holding companies and creditors. Limit of 50 copies REVIEW OF THE TECHNIQUES A N D LITERATURE, b y Kenneth Rogoff. October 1983. 15 pp. 133. RELATIONSHIPS AMONG EXCHANGE RATES, INTERVENTION, A N D INTEREST RATES: A N EMPIRICAL IN- VESTIGATION, by Bonnie E. Loopesko. November 1983. Out of print. 134. SMALL EMPIRICAL MODELS OF EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, b y The Board of Directors' Opportunities in Community Reinvestment The Board of Directors' Role in Consumer Law Compliance Combined Construction/Permanent Loan Disclosure and Regulation Z Community Development Corporations and the Federal Reserve Construction Loan Disclosures and Regulation Z Finance Charges Under Regulation Z How to Determine the Credit Needs of Your Community Regulation Z: The Right of Rescission The Right to Financial Privacy Act Signature Rules in Community Property States: Regulation B Signature Rules: Regulation B Timing Requirements for Adverse Action Notices: Regulation B What An Adverse Action Notice Must Contain: Regulation B Understanding Prepaid Finance Charges: Regulation Z Ralph W. Tryon. October 1983. 14 pp. Out of print. 135. SMALL EMPIRICAL MODELS OF EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: APPLICATIONS TO C A N A D A , GERMA- NY, AND JAPAN, by Deborah J. Danker, Richard A. Haas, Dale W. Henderson, Steven A. Symansky, and Ralph W. Tryon. April 1985. 27 pp. Out of print. 136. THE EFFECTS OF FISCAL POLICY ON THE U . S . ECONO- MY, by Darrell Cohen and Peter B. Clark. January 1984. 16 pp. Out of print. 137. THE IMPLICATIONS FOR B A N K MERGER POLICY OF FINANCIAL DEREGULATION, INTERSTATE BANKING, AND FINANCIAL SUPERMARKETS, by Stephen A. Rhoades. February 1984. Out of print. 138. ANTITRUST L A W S , JUSTICE DEPARTMENT GUIDELINES, A N D THE LIMITS OF CONCENTRATION IN LOCAL BANKING MARKETS, by James Burke. June 1984. 14 pp. Out of print. 139. SOME IMPLICATIONS OF FINANCIAL INNOVATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES, by Thomas D. Simpson and Patrick M. Parkinson. August 1984. 20 pp. 140. GEOGRAPHIC MARKET DELINEATION: A REVIEW OF STAFF STUDIES: Summaries Only Printed in the Bulletin THE LITERATURE, by John D. Wolken. November 1984. 38 pp. Out of print. Studies and papers on economic and financial subjects that are of general interest. Requests to obtain single copies of the full text or to be added to the mailing list for the series may be sent to Publications Services. 141. A COMPARISON OF DIRECT DEPOSIT A N D CHECK PAYMENT COSTS, by William Dudley. November 1984. 15 pp. Out of print. 142. MERGERS AND BANKS, 1 9 6 0 - 8 3 , ACQUISITIONS A. by Stephen 1984. 30 pp. Out of print. Staff Studies 115-125 are out of print. 114. MULTIBANK HOLDING COMPANIES: RECENT EVIDENCE ON COMPETITION AND PERFORMANCE IN BANKING MARKETS, by Timothy J. Curry and John T. Rose. Jan. 1982. 9 pp. 126. DEFINITION A N D MEASUREMENT OF EXCHANGE MAR- KET INTERVENTION, by Donald B. Adams and Dale W. Henderson. August 1983. 5 pp. Out of print. 127. U . S . EXPERIENCE WITH EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: JANUARY-MARCH 1 9 7 5 , by Margaret L . Greene. August 1984. 16 pp. Out of print. 128. U . S . EXPERIENCE WITH EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: SEPTEMBER 1977-DECEMBER 1 9 7 9 , b y M a r - garet L. Greene. October 1984. 40 pp. Out of print. 129. U . S . EXPERIENCE WITH EXCHANGE MARKET INTERVENTION: OCTOBER I98O-OCTOBER 1 9 8 1 , by Margaret L. Greene. August 1984. 36 pp. 130. EFFECTS OF EXCHANGE RATE VARIABILITY ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE A N D OTHER ECONOMIC VARIABLES: A REVIEW OF THE LITERATURE, by Victoria S . Farrell with Dean A. DeRosa and T. Ashby McCown. January 1984. Out of print. 131. CALCULATIONS OF PROFITABILITY FOR U . S . DOLLARDEUTSCHE MARK INTERVENTION, by Laurence R . Jacobson. October 1983. 8 pp. 132. TIME-SERIES STUDIES OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXCHANGE RATES AND INTERVENTION: A BY COMMERCIAL Rhoades. December 143. COMPLIANCE COSTS A N D CONSUMER BENEFITS OF THE ELECTRONIC F U N D TRANSFER ACT: RECENT SURVEY EVIDENCE, by Frederick J. Schroeder. April 1985. 23 pp. Out of print. 144. SCALE ECONOMIES IN COMPLIANCE COSTS FOR CONSUMER CREDIT REGULATIONS: T H E TRUTH IN L E N D ING AND EQUAL CREDIT OPPORTUNITY L A W S , b y Gregory E. Elliehausen and Robert D. Kurtz. May 1985. 10 pp. 145. SERVICE CHARGES AS A SOURCE OF BANK INCOME AND THEIR IMPACT ON CONSUMERS, by Glenn B . Canner and Robert D. Kurtz. August 1985. 31 pp. Out of print. 146. THE ROLE OF THE PRIME RATE IN THE PRICING OF BUSINESS LOANS BY COMMERCIAL BANKS, 1977-84, by Thomas F. Brady. November 1985. 25 pp. 147. REVISIONS IN THE MONETARY SERVICES (DIVISIA) INDEXES OF THE MONETARY AGGREGATES, by Helen T. Farr and Deborah Johnson. December 1985. 42 pp. 148. THE MACROECONOMIC A N D SECTORAL EFFECTS OF THE ECONOMIC RECOVERY TAX ACT: SOME SIMULA- TION RESULTS, by Flint Brayton and Peter B. Clark. December 1985. 17 pp. 149. THE OPERATING PERFORMANCE OF ACQUIRED FIRMS IN BANKING BEFORE A N D AFTER ACQUISITION, b y Stephen A. Rhoades. April 1986. 32 pp. 150. STATISTICAL COST ACCOUNTING MODELS IN BANKING: A REEXAMINATION A N D AN APPLICATION, b y John T. Rose and John D. Wolken. May 1986. 13 pp. 76 1 5 1 . RESPONSES TO DEREGULATION: RETAIL DEPOSIT PRICING FROM 1 9 8 3 THROUGH 1 9 8 5 , b y P a t r i c k I. Mahoney, Alice P. White, Paul F. O'Brien, and Mary M. McLaughlin. January 1987. 30 pp. REPRINTS OF BULLETIN ARTICLES Survey of Consumer Finances, 1983: A Second Report. 12/84. Union Settlements and Aggregate Wage Behavior in the 1980s. 12/84. The Thrift Industry in Transition. 3/85. A Revision of the Index of Industrial Production. 7/85. Financial Innovation and Deregulation in Foreign Industrial Countries. 10/85. Recent Developments in the Bankers Acceptance Market. 1/86. Most of the articles reprinted do not exceed 12 pages. Limit of 10 copies Foreign Experience with Targets for Money Growth. 10/83. Intervention in Foreign Exchange Markets: A Summary of Ten Staff Studies. 11/83. A Financial Perspective on Agriculture. 1/84. Survey of Consumer Finances, 1983. 9/84. Bank Lending to Developing Countries. 10/84. The Use of Cash and Transaction Accounts by American Families. 2/86. Financial Characteristics of High-Income Families. 3/86. U. S. International Transactions in 1985. 5/86. Prices, Profit Margins, and Exchange Rates. 6/86. Agricultural Banks under Stress. 7/86. Foreign Lending by Banks: A Guide to International and U.S. Statistics. 10/86. Recent Developments in Corporate Finance. 11/86. 77 Index to Statistical Tables References are to pages A3-A68 although the prefix "A" is omitted in this index ACCEPTANCES, bankers (See Bankers acceptances) Agricultural loans, commercial banks, 19, 20 Assets and liabilities {See also Foreigners) Banks, by classes, 18-20 Domestic finance companies, 37 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Financial institutions, 26 Foreign banks, U.S. branches and agencies, 21 Nonfinancial corporations, 36 Automobiles Consumer installment credit, 40, 41 Production, 47, 48 BANKERS acceptances, 9, 23, 24 Bankers balances, 18-20 (See also Foreigners) Bonds (See also U.S. government securities) New issues, 34 Rates, 24 Branch banks, 21, 55 Business activity, nonfinancial, 44 Business expenditures on new plant and equipment, 36 Business loans (See Commercial and industrial loans) CAPACITY utilization, 46 Capital accounts Banks, by classes, 18 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 Central banks, discount rates, 67 Certificates of deposit, 24 Commercial and industrial loans Commercial banks, 16, 19 Weekly reporting banks, 19-21 Commercial banks Assets and liabilities, 18-20 Commercial and industrial loans, 16, 18, 19, 20, 21 Consumer loans held, by type, and terms, 40, 41 Loans sold outright, 19 Nondeposit funds, 17 Real estate mortgages held, by holder and property, 39 Time and savings deposits, 3 Commercial paper, 23, 24, 37 Condition statements (See Assets and liabilities) Construction, 44, 49 Consumer installment credit, 40, 41 Consumer prices, 44, 50 Consumption expenditures, 51, 52 Corporations Nonfinancial, assets and liabilities, 36 Profits and their distribution, 35 Security issues, 34, 65 Cost of living (See Consumer prices) Credit unions, 26, 40 (See also Thrift institutions) Currency and coin, 18 Currency in circulation, 4, 13 Customer credit, stock market, 25 DEBITS to deposit accounts, 15 Debt (See specific types of debt or securities) Demand deposits Banks, by classes, 18-21 Demand deposits—Continued Ownership by individuals, partnerships, and corporations, 22 Turnover, 15 Depository institutions Reserve requirements, 7 Reserves and related items, 3, 4, 5, 12 Deposits (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 3, 18-20, 21 Federal Reserve Banks, 4, io Turnover, 15 Discount rates at Reserve Banks and at foreign central banks and foreign countries (See Interest rates) Discounts and advances by Reserve Banks (See Loans) Dividends, corporate, 35 EMPLOYMENT, 45 Eurodollars, 24 FARM mortgage loans, 39 Federal agency obligations, 4, 9, 10, 11, 31, 32 Federal credit agencies, 33 Federal finance Debt subject to statutory limitation, and types and ownership of gross debt, 30 Receipts and outlays, 28, 29 Treasury financing of surplus, or deficit, 28 Treasury operating balance, 28 Federal Financing Bank, 28, 33 Federal funds, 5, 17, 19, 20, 21, 24, 28 Federal Home Loan Banks, 33 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, 33, 38, 39 Federal Housing Administration, 33, 38, 39 Federal Land Banks, 39 Federal National Mortgage Association, 33, 38, 39 Federal Reserve Banks Condition statement, 10 Discount rates (See Interest rates) U.S. government securities held, 4, 10, 11, 30 Federal Reserve credit, 4, 5, 10, 11 Federal Reserve notes, 10 Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation insured institutions, 26 Federally sponsored credit agencies, 33 Finance companies Assets and liabilities, 37 Business credit, 37 Loans, 40, 41 Paper, 23, 24 Financial institutions Loans to, 19, 20, 21 Selected assets and liabilities, 26 Float, 4 Flow of funds, 42, 43 Foreign banks, assets and liabilities of U.S. branches and agencies, 21 Foreign currency operations, 10 Foreign deposits in U.S. banks, 4, 10, 19, 20 Foreign exchange rates, 68 Foreign trade, 54 Foreigners Claims on, 55, 57, 60, 61, 62, 64 Liabilities to, 20, 54, 55, 57, 58, 63, 65, 66 78 GOLD Certificate account, 10 Stock, 4, 54 Government National Mortgage Association, 33, 38, 39 Gross national product, 51 HOUSING, new and existing units, 49 INCOME, personal and national, 44, 51, 52 Industrial production, 44, 47 Installment loans, 40, 41 Insurance companies, 26, 30, 39 Interest rates Bonds, 24 Consumer installment credit, 41 Federal Reserve Banks, 6 Foreign central banks and foreign countries, 67 Money and capital markets, 24 Mortgages, 38 Prime rate, 23 Time and savings deposits, 8 International capital transactions of United States, 53-67 International organizations, 57, 58, 60, 63, 64 Inventories, 51 Investment companies, issues and assets, 35 Investments (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 18, 19, 20, 21, 26 Commercial banks, 3, 16, 18-20, 39 Federal Reserve Banks, 10, 11 Financial institutions, 26, 39 LABOR force, 45 Life insurance companies (See Insurance companies) Loans (See also specific types) Banks, by classes, 18-20 Commercial banks, 3, 16, 18-20 Federal Reserve Banks, 4, 5, 6, 10, 11 Financial institutions, 26, 39 Insured or guaranteed by United States, 38, 39 MANUFACTURING Capacity utilization, 46 Production, 46, 48 Margin requirements, 25 Member banks (See also Depository institutions) Federal funds and repurchase agreements, 5 Reserve requirements, 7 Mining production, 48 Mobile homes shipped, 49 Monetary and credit aggregates, 3, 12 Money and capital market rates, 24 Money stock measures and components, 3, 13 Mortgages (See Real estate loans) Mutual funds, 35 Mutual savings banks, 8 (See also Thrift institutions) NATIONAL defense outlays, 29 National income, 51 OPEN market transactions, 9 PERSONAL income, 52 Prices Consumer and producer, 44, 50 Stock market, 25 Prime rate, 23 Producer prices, 44, 50 Production, 44, 47 Profits, corporate, 35 REAL estate loans Banks, by classes, 16, 19, 20, 39 Financial institutions, 26 Terms, yields, and activity, 38 Type of holder and property mortgaged, 39 Repurchase agreements, 5, 17, 19, 20, 21 Reserve requirements, 7 Reserves Commercial banks, 18 Depository institutions, 3, 4, 5, 12 Federal Reserve Banks, 10 U.S. reserve assets, 54 Residential mortgage loans, 38 Retail credit and retail sales, 40, 41, 44 SAVING Flow of funds, 42, 43 National income accounts, 51 Savings and loan associations, 8, 26, 39, 40, 42 (See also Thrift institutions) Savings banks, 26, 39, 40 Savings deposits (See Time and savings deposits) Securities (See specific types) Federal and federally sponsored credit agencies, 33 Foreign transactions, 65 New issues, 34 Prices, 25 Special drawing rights, 4, 10, 53, 54 State and local governments Deposits, 19, 20 Holdings of U.S. government securities, 30 New security issues, 34 Ownership of securities issued by, 19, 20, 26 Rates on securities, 24 Stock market, selected statistics, 25 Stocks (See also Securities) New issues, 34 Prices, 25 Student Loan Marketing Association, 33 TAX receipts, federal, 29 Thrift institutions, 3 (See also Credit unions, Mutual savings banks, and Savings and loan associations) Time and savings deposits, 3, 8, 13, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21 Trade,foreign, 54 Treasury cash, Treasury currency, 4 Treasury deposits, 4, 10, 28 Treasury operating balance, 28 UNEMPLOYMENT, 45 U.S. government balances Commercial bank holdings, 18, 19, 20 Treasury deposits at Reserve Banks, 4, 10, 28 U.S. government securities Bank holdings, 18-20, 21, 30 Dealer transactions, positions, and financing, 32 Federal Reserve Bank holdings, 4, 10, 11, 30 Foreign and international holdings and transactions, 10, 30, 66 Open market transactions, 9 Outstanding, by type and holder, 26, 30 Rates, 24 U.S. international transactions, 53-67 Utilities, production, 48 VETERANS Administration, 38, 39 WEEKLY reporting banks, 19-21 Wholesale (producer) prices, 44, 50 YIELDS (See Interest rates) 79 Federal Reserve Banks, Branches, and Offices FEDERAL RESERVE BANK, Chairman Deputy Chairman branch, or facility Zip President First Vice President BOSTON* 02106 Joseph A. Baute George N. Hatsopoulos Frank E. Morris Robert W. Eisenmenger NEW YORK* 10045 John R. Opel Virginia A. Dwyer Mary Ann Lambertsen E. Gerald Corrigan Thomas M. Timlen 19105 Nevius M. Curtis George E. Bartol III Edward G. Boehne 44101 Charles W. Parry E. Mandell de Windt Owen B. Butler James E. Haas Karen N. Horn William H. Hendricks Leroy T. Canoles, Jr. Robert A. Georgine Gloria L. Johnson Wallace J. Jorgenson Robert P. Black Jimmie R. Monhollon Bradley Currey, Jr. Larry L. Prince Margaret E. M. Tolbert Andrew A. Robinson Robert D. Apelgren C. Warren Neel Caroline K. Theus Robert P. Forrestal Jack Guynn Robert J. Day Marcus Alexis Robert E. Brewer Silas Keehn Daniel M. Doyle W.L. Hadley Griffin Robert L. Virgil, Jr. James R. Rodgers Raymond M. Burse Katherine H. Smythe Thomas C. Melzer Joseph P. Garbarini John B. Davis, Jr. Michael W. Wright Warren H. Ross Gary H. Stern Thomas E. Gainor Irvine O. Hockaday, Jr. Robert G. Lueder James E. Nielson Patience S. Latting Kenneth L. Morrison Roger Guffey Henry R. Czerwinski Bobby R. Inman Hugh G. Robinson Mary Carmen Saucedo Walter M. Mischer, Jr. Robert F. McDermott Robert H. Boykin William H. Wallace Fred W. Andrew Robert F. Erburu Richard C. Seaver Paul E. Bragdon Don M. Wheeler John W. Ellis Robert T. Parry Carl E. Powell Buffalo PHILADELPHIA CLEVELAND* 14240 Cincinnati Pittsburgh 45201 15230 RICHMOND* 23219 Baltimore 21203 Charlotte 28230 Culpeper Communications and Records Center 22701 ATLANTA Birmingham Jacksonville Miami Nashville New Orleans 30303 35283 32231 33152 37203 70161 CHICAGO* 60690 Detroit 48231 ST. LOUIS 63166 Little Rock Louisville 72203 40232 Memphis 38101 MINNEAPOLIS Helena KANSAS CITY 55480 59601 64198 Denver Oklahoma City 80217 73125 Omaha 68102 DALLAS 75222 El Paso Houston 79999 77252 San Antonio 78295 SAN FRANCISCO 94120 Los Angeles Portland Salt Lake City Seattle 90051 97208 84125 98124 Vice President in charge of branch John T. Keane Charles A. Cerino Harold J. Swart Robert D. McTeer, Jr. Albert D. Tinkelenberg John G. Stoides Delmar Harrison Fred R. HenJames D. Hawkins Patrick K. Barron Jeffrey J. Wells Henry H. Bourgaux Roby L. Sloan John F. Breen James E. Conrad Paul I. Black, Jr. Robert F. McNellis Wayne W. Martin William G. Evans Robert D. Hamilton James L. Stull Sammie C. Clay J. Z. Rowe Thomas H. Robertson Thomas C. Warren Angelo S. Carella E. Ronald Liggett Gerald R. Kelly *Additional offices of these Banks are located at L e w i s t o n , Maine 04240; Windsor L o c k s , Connecticut 06096; Cranford, N e w Jersey 07016; Jericho, N e w York 11753; U t i c a at Oriskany, N e w York 13424; Columbus, Ohio 43216; Columbia, South Carolina 29210; Charleston, W e s t Virginia 25311; D e s M o i n e s , I o w a 50306; Indianapolis, Indiana 46204; and Milwaukee, Wisconsin 53202. 80 The Federal Reserve System Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts and Their Branch Territories April 1984 LEGEND Boundaries of Federal Reserve Districts ® Federal Reserve Bank Cities Boundaries of Federal Reserve Branch Territories • Federal Reserve Branch Cities Federal Reserve Bank Facility Q Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Publications of Interest FEDERAL RESERVE REGULATORY SERVICE To promote public understanding of its regulatory functions, the Board publishes the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service, a three-volume looseleaf service containing all Board regulations and related statutes, interpretations, policy statements, rulings, and staff opinions. For those with a more specialized interest in the Board's regulations, parts of this service are published separately as handbooks pertaining to monetary policy, securities credit, and consumer affairs. These publications are designed to help those who must frequently refer to the Board's regulatory materials. They are updated at least monthly, and each contains conversion tables, citation indexes, and a subject index. The Monetary Policy and Reserve Requirements Handbook contains Regulations A, D, and Q plus related materials. For convenient reference, it also contains the rules of the Depository Institutions Deregulation Committee. The Securities Credit Transactions Handbook contains Regulations G, T, U, and X, dealing with extensions of credit for the purchase of securities, together with all related statutes, Board interpretations, rulings, and staff opinions. Also included is the Board's list of OTC margin stocks. The Consumer and Community Affairs Handbook contains Regulations B, C, E, M, Z, AA, and BB and associated materials. For domestic subscribers, the annual rate is $200 for the Federal Reserve Regulatory Service and $75 for each handbook. For subscribers outside the United States, the price including additional air mail costs is $250 for the Service and $90 for each Handbook. All subscription requests must be accompanied by a check or money order payable to Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Orders should be addressed to Publications Services, Mail Stop 138, Federal Reserve Board, 20th Street and Constitution Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20551. Publications of Interest FEDERAL RESERVE CONSUMER CREDIT PUBLICATIONS The Federal Reserve Board publishes a series of pamphlets covering individual credit laws and topics, as pictured below. The series includes such subjects as how the Equal Credit Opportunity Act protects women against discrimination in their credit dealings, how to use a credit card, and how to use Truth in Lending information to compare credit costs. The Board also publishes the Consumer Handbook to Credit Protection Laws, a complete guide to con- sumer credit protections. This 44-page booklet explains how to use the credit laws to shop for credit, apply for it, keep up credit ratings, and complain about an unfair deal. Protections offered by the Electronic Fund Transfer Act are explained in Alice in Debitland. This booklet offers tips for those using the new "paperless" systems for transferring money. Copies of consumer publications are available free of charge from Publications Services, Mail Stop 138, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Multiple copies for classroom use are also available free of charge. Pair Credit Billing What Thithln Lending Means To You