Full text of Federal Reserve Bulletin : April 1977
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A P R IL 19 7 7 FEDERAL RESERVE R T I FTTN Tt U .S . I n te r n a tio n a l T r a n s a c tio n s in a R e c o v e r in g E c o n o m y T h e Im p le m e n ta tio n o f M o n e ta ry P o lic y in 1976 B a n k H o ld in g C o m p a n y F in a n c ia l D e v e lo p m e n ts in C h a n g e s in B a n k L e n d in g P r a c tic e s , 1976 1976 C h a n g e s in T im e a n d S a v in g s D e p o s its , J u ly - O c to b e r 1 9 7 6 copy of the Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n is sent to each member bank without charge; member banks desiring additional copies may secure them at a special $10.00 annual rate. The regular subscription price in the United States and its possessions, and in Bolivia, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Guatemala, Haiti, Republic of Honduras, M exico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, El Salvador, Uruguay, and Venezuela is $20.00 per annum or $2.00 per copy; elsewhere, $24.00 per annum or $2.50 per copy. Group subscriptions in the United States for 10 or more copies to one address, $1.75 per copy per month, or $18.00 for 12 months. The B u l l e t i n may be obtained from the Division of Administrative Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551, and remittance should be made payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in a form collectible at par in U .S . currency. (Stamps and coupons are not accepted.) A NUM BER 4 □ V O L U M E 63 □ A P R IL 1977 FEDERAL RESERVE BULLETIN B o a rd o f G o v e rn o rs o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e S y s te m W a s h in g to n , D .C . P U B L IC A T IO N S C O M M IT T E E Stephen H. Axilrod □ Joseph R. Coyne □ John M. Denkler □ Janet O. Hart John D. Hawke, Jr. □ James L. Kichline □ John E. Reynolds Richard H. Puckett, Staff Director The Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n is issued monthly under the direction of the staff publications committee. This committee is responsible for opinions expressed except in official statements and signed articles. Direction for the art work is provided by Mack R. Rowe. Editorial support is furnished by the Economic Editing Unit headed by Elizabeth B. Sette. Table of Contents 311 U.S. International Transactions a Recovering Economy The pattern of international transac tions was reversed in 1976 as economic recovery in the United States advanced more rapidly than economic recovery abroad. 323 The Implementation Policy in 1976 of lation to the growth rates established by the Federal Reserve for the monetary aggregates in testimony before the Com mittee on the Budget, U.S. Senate, March 22, 1977. in 362 Henry C. Wallich, Member of the Board of Governors, discusses interna tional lending by U.S. banks before the Subcommittee on Financial Institutions Supervision, Regulation, and Insurance of the Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs of the U.S. House of Representatives, March 23, 1977. 366 David M. Lilly, Member of the Board of Governors, reviews the economic im plications of Federal Government loan guarantees and the treatment of such guarantees in the budgetary process be fore the Subcommittee on Economic Stabilization of the Committee on Bank ing, Finance, and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, March 30, 1977. 370 J. Charles Partee, Member of the Board of Governors, evaluates the im plications of U.S. Treasury financing re quirements for monetary policy before the Subcommittee on Domestic Mone tary Policy of the Committee on Bank ing, Finance, and Urban Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, March 30, 1977. 375 Philip E. Coldwell, Member of the Board of Governors, presents a broadbased review of the expenditures and budgets of the Federal Reserve Banks and the Board of Governors before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate, April 7, 1977. M onetary Annual report on domestic operations of the Federal Open Market Committee. 337 B ank H olding Company F inancial D evelopments in 1976 B H C ’s experienced significant growth, improved liquidity, and in creased earnings last year. 341 Changes 1976 in B ank Lending Practices, Evidence from the lending practices surveys indicates that demand for busi ness loans at large commercial banks was weak through most of 1976 but began to pick up in the last quarter. 347 Changes in Time and S avings D epos its at Commercial B anks , July -O c tober 1976 Growth in time and savings deposits at insured commercial banks proceeded at a moderate pace for the 3 months ending October 28, 1976. S tatements 358 to Congress Arthur F. Burns, Chairman of the Board of Governors, reports on general economic and financial conditions in re 380 Record of Policy A ctions of the Federal Open M arket Committee Proposed amendment to Regulation H and proposed interpretation of Regula tion Z. At the meeting held on February 15, 1977, the FOMC reviewed the domestic policy directive and decided to continue to maintain about the current stance; approved a statement of policy regarding the Government in the Sunshine Act; amended its rules regarding availability of information; and revised the guide lines for System operations in Federal agency issues. Changes in Board staff. New President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Fair C redit Billing pamphlet. Changes in price of two Board publi cations. Four State banks admitted to Federal Reserve membership. 395 Law D epartment Amendment to Regulation Q and mis cellaneous guidelines, rulings, and orders. 432 Industrial Production Output rose 1.4 per cent in March, the largest increase in 19 months. 426 A nnouncements Regulation Q amended to create a new class of retirement savings deposits. (See Law Department for text of amendment.) Establishment of the Consumer Com pliance and Education Program of the Board of Governors. Regulation Z amended to require ad vance disclosure of any variable rate clause in a credit contract that may result in increased cost to the consumer; and to permit disclosures under the regula tion to be made in Spanish in Puerto Rico. Regulation H amended to conform with recent changes in the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973. Interpretations of Regulations Z and C. Nonadoption of proposed amendment to Regulation Q. Al Financial and B usiness S tatistics A3 Domestic Financial Statistics A46 Domestic Nonfinancial Statistics A54 International Statistics A69 Guide to Tabular Presentation and S tatistical Releases A70 B oard of Governors and S taff A72 Open M arket Committee and S taff ; Federal A dvisory Council A73 Federal Reserve B anks B ranches and A74 Federal R eserve B oard Publications A76 Index A78 M ap to of S tatistical Tables F ederal R eserve S ystem U.S. International Transactions in a Recovering Economy The relative strength and timing of economic recoveries in the United States and abroad led to a striking reversal in the pattern of U.S. international transactions last year. From the recession-induced record surplus in current-account transactions in 1975, the United States returned abruptly in 1976 to the near balance in such transactions that had prevailed in both 1973 and 1974. The greatest swing occurred in the merchan dise trade balance, which shifted from a $9 billion surplus in 1975 to a $9.2 billion deficit in 1976, primarily due to cyclical factors. In 1974 and 1975 with the United States undergo ing a more severe recession than the rest of the developed world, U.S. imports declined rela tively more in volume than exports. The situa tion has reversed during the recovery. Economic growth in the United States, as measured by the increase in real gross national product, was 6.1 per cent in 1976 compared with a weighted average of nearly 5 per cent in six other major industrial countries (Chart 1). Growth of indus trial production in the United States exceeded 10 per cent versus a weighted average of some what less than 8 per cent in six other major industrial countries. Hence, there was a strong pick-up in U.S. merchandise imports while ex ports rose only moderately. Several other factors accentuated the swing in the merchandise trade balance. For one, the 1974-75 recession had been accompanied by an 1. R ea l G N P a n d . . . in d u s tr ia l p r o d u c t io n This article was prepared by John M . Under wood of the U.S. International Transactions Section of the D ivision of International Finance. Ql 1973=100 United States Indexes of foreign real GNP and industrial production (1973 Q l = 100) are weighted averages for Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and, the United Kingdom. Foreign real GNP index weights are proportional to country share in 6-country total real GNP in 1973-76. Foreign industrial production index weights are proportional to U .S . exports to these respective countries in 1973. Data are from national sources. U .S. real GNP is based on Dept, of Commerce data; U .S. industrial production is the F.R. index. 312 1. Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 U.S. international transactions In billions of dollars 1976* Item 1975 1976 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 - 1 .3 27.0 28.3 2.7 (2.3) ( -.1 ) (.5) - 1 .0 - 1 .5 28.4 29.9 3 .0 (2.5) ( -.2 ) (.8) -.9 - 2 .8 29.6 32.4 3 .9 (2.8) (.3) (.9) - 1 .2 -3 .6 29.7 33.2 3 .7 (3.0) (.1) (.6) - 1 .0 CURRENT ACCOUNT 1. Merchandise trade balance .................................................. Exports ................................................................................... Imports ................................................................................... 2. M ilitary and service transactions, n et2 ............................ Investment income, net ..................................................... Military transactions, net2 .................................................. Other services, net ............................................................ 3. Unilateral transfers1* .............................................................. 2 9.0 107.1 98.1 7.0 (6.0) ( - 1 .2 ) (2.2) -4 .0 4. Balance on current account2 ............................................ 12.0 - 9 .2 114.7 123.9 13.3 (10.5) (.1) (2.7) - 4 .1 ♦ .3 .6 -.1 - .9 U .S. FUNDS (outflow/increase ( —» 3 5. Net change in positions of U .S. banking offices vis-a-vis banks abroad .......................................................... 6. Banks’ claims on foreign nonbanks .................................. 7. U .S. net purchases of foreign securities ........................... 8. U .S. direct investments abroad .......................................... 9. Other U .S. private claims on foreigners ......................... 10. U .S. Govt, capital, net of repayments (excl. reserve assets)* ......................................................................... 11. U.S. reserve assets ................................................................ Of which: Reserve position in the IMF .......................................... Convertible currencies and other ................................... 12. Total: lines 5-11 ................................................................... - 1 0 .9 - 3 .2 - 6 .2 - 6 .3 - 1 .5 7.4 5.1 - 8 .7 - 5 .0 - 1 .8 - 2 .2 - .2 - 2 .5 - 1 .8 - .8 - 1 .1 - 1 .5 - 1 .4 - .2 - 1 .0 - .8 - .5 - 2 .7 - 1 .4 .7 - 3 .2 - 2 .9 - 2 .1 - 1 .6 - .8 - 3 .5 - .6 -4 .3 - 2 .5 - .7 - .8 - 1 .0 - 1 .6 -1 .5 - .4 - 1 .2 .2 ( - .5 ) ( - .1 ) ( - 2 .2 ) ( - .3 ) ( -.2 ) ( -.5 ) ( -.8 ) ( -.8 ) ( -.7 ) (.3) ( -.5 ) (.7) - 3 2 .2 - 3 4 .8 -9 .0 - 7 .8 -6 .6 - 1 1 .6 FOREIGN FUNDS (inflow/increase (+ )) 13. OPEC official assets in the U .S ............................................ 14. Assets of other foreign official institutions2 ................... 15. A ssets of private nonbank foreigners ................................ O f which: Direct investments in U .S .................................................. U .S. securities incl. Treas. issues ................................ Claims on U .S. banking offices ..................................... Claims on nonbanks of unaffiliated foreigners ........... 7.1 - .5 9.0 9.5 8.0 6 .8 3.5 .4 .3 3.3 .8 1.1 1.7 .6 3.3 1.0 6.1 2.3 (2.4) (5.2) (1.2) (.2) (.6) (4.1) (2.7) (-6 ) ( -.7 ) (1.5) ( -.5 ) (*) (.4) ( - .5 ) (1.4) (-.2 ) (.7) (3.1) ( -.2 ) ( -.3 ) (.2) (*) (2.1) (*) 16. Total: lines 13-15 ................................................................. 15.6 24.3 4.2 5.2 5.6 9.4 17. Statistical discrepancy ............................................................ 4.6 10.5 4.3 1.9 1.2 3.1 pPreliminary. *Less than $50 million. in clu d es U .S. Government grants and pensions, and private remittances. 2Excludes special U .S. Government grants to Israel and associated export and capital-account entries. 3Includes inflow from foreign banks to U .S. banks. N o t e .— Current-account items are seasonally adjusted; sea sonal factors are no longer calculated for capital transactions; quarterly values of the statistical discrepancy include residuals due to incomplete seasonal adjustment. Data from U .S. Dept, of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. inventory liquidation that was much greater than in other recent downturns, so the rebuilding of inventories during the recovery stimulated both industrial production and the demand for im ports early in 1976. In addition to increased demand due to the recovery, higher prices for oil, reduced domestic oil production, and colder-than-average weather in the fourth quar ter of 1976 led to a sharply higher bill for imported oil. Furthermore, part of the swing in the trade balance may have resulted from some loss in U.S. price competitiveness associated with the appreciation of the dollar by 15 per cent against a weighted average of the currencies of the other Group of Ten countries plus Switzerland be tween March 1975 and January 1977. (The dollar exchange rate to which references are made throughout this article is this weighted average. Weights are calculated as the sum of U.S. International Transactions 2. 313 U .S. m erchandise trade International accounts basis; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1976 1975 1974 Item 1975 1976 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 B illions o f dollars 98.3 107.1 114.7 108.1 103.4 106.2 110.6 108.0 113.5 118.4 118.9 2 2 .4 7 5 .9 2 2 ,2 8 4 .8 2 3 ,4 9 1 .3 2 4 .2 8 3 .9 19.5 8 3 .9 22 .3 8 4 .0 2 3 .0 8 7 .7 2 1 .5 86 .5 23.1 9 0 .5 2 5 .3 93.1 2 3 .7 95 .2 Im port values ................ 103.7 98.1 123.9 102.3 90.3 97.9 101.7 113.3 119.7 129.5 133.2 Fuel ................................... N onfuel ........................... 2 7 .5 7 6 .2 2 8 .5 6 9 .5 37.1 8 6 .8 2 7 .8 7 4 .5 2 6 .7 6 3 .6 3 0 .0 6 7 .9 2 9 .5 7 2 .2 3 2 .5 8 0 .8 35 .3 8 4 .4 40.1 8 9 .5 4 0 .7 9 2 .5 - 5 .4 9.0 -9 .2 5.8 13.1 8.3 8.9 - 5 .3 -6 .1 - 1 1 .1 - 1 4 .3 Export values ................ Agricultural ..................... Nonagricultural ............ Balance ............................ 1974=100 Volumes Agricultural exports .. Nonagricultural exports Fuel imports .................. N onfuel imports .......... 1 00.0 100.0 1 00.0 100.0 101.5 9 6 .3 100.2 82 .5 113.5 9 7 .2 123.1 101.9 101.5 9 5 .7 9 7 .3 8 7 .6 89.5 9 4 .7 9 4 .2 7 3 .6 104.7 9 4 .8 107.1 82 .3 110.0 9 7 .4 102.8 8 8 .0 104.7 94.1 109.2 9 7 .5 113.1 9 7 .2 117.6 9 9 .6 121.6 9 9 .0 132.8 103.8 114.4 9 8 .4 132.5 106.6 100.0 10 0 .0 1 00.0 100.0 9 7 .7 116.1 103.5 110.6 9 2 .0 123.8 109.7 111.8 106.4 115.4 1 0 4.0 111.5 9 7 .4 116.7 103.1 113.4 9 4 .8 116.7 102.1 108.3 93.1 118.6 104.4 107.7 9 1 .6 121.0 108.2 108.8 9 1 .0 122.7 109.1 111.2 9 2 .8 1 23.9 109.7 113.1 9 2 .5 127.4 111.6 114.0 Unit values Agricultural exports .. Nonagricultural exports Fuel imports .................. N onfuel imports .......... N o t e . — D etails may not add to totals because o f rounding. Data from U .S . Dept, o f C om m erce, Bureau o f E conom ic A nalysis and Bureau o f the C ensus. each country’s exports and imports (f.o.b.) in 1972 divided by total 1972 trade of the other 10 countries.) While U.S. prices rose less than those of most of its trading partners, this relative price performance did not fully offset the ex change-rate rise. Last, the Organization of Pe troleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) appears to have come to the end of its period of rapid growth as a market for exports. The value of total OPEC imports is estimated to have in creased by only about $10 billion in 1976 com pared with $22 billion in 1975; U.S. exports to OPEC increased by just $1.8 billion in 1976, after increasing by $4.0 billion in 1975. Some of the decline in the merchandise trade balance was offset by a significant rise in the surplus on net military and service transactions. Larger inflows of net direct investment and interest income from abroad accounted for twothirds of the increase. The surplus on net mili tary transactions, continuing its upward trend, accounted for another 20 per cent of the in crease. The large shift in the U.S. current-account position, from a record surplus in 1975 to near balance in 1976, was by definition matched by a shift in capital flows from a large over-all net outflow to a small net inflow. Recorded data identify only part of the adjustment; a large part appears in the statistical discrepancy entry in Table 1. In spite of the shift to a net capital inflow, the United States continued to be a source of sizable amounts of funds to overseas borrowers through loans from U.S. banking offices and foreign bond issues in the United States. The swing from surplus to deficit in the current account in 1976 was accomplished without a large depreciation of the dollar. In fact, the dollar appreciated slightly on a tradeweighted basis although most of the rise oc curred early in the year. Factors contributing to the appreciation included the slower rise in 314 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 prices in the United States than the average for foreign countries, official dollar purchases, and a further accumulation of dollar-denominated assets by OPEC. 3. I m p o r ts a n d th e in v e n to r y c y c le Billions of 1972 dollars 40 Change in 1972=100 120 business inventories N O N F U E L I M P O R T S : A q u ic k r e b o u n d a s th e e c o n o m y r e c o v e r s The pace of the U.S. economic recovery that had begun in the second quarter of 1975 re mained rapid in the early part of 1976. Sub stantial rates of growth were recorded for both real GNP and industrial production, and import demand expanded along with economic activity. Most categories of nonfuel imports followed a similar pattern, showing especially strong growth in the first quarter of 1976 (Chart 2). During the recession the volume of nonfuel imports showed a proportionately greater de cline than either real GNP or industrial produc tion. Similarly, during the recovery such im ports have shown proportionately larger growth than either of these measures of U.S. economic activity. Real GNP grew by 6.1 per cent in 1976 and industrial production by more than 10 per cent, whereas the volume of nonfuel imports increased by 24 per cent. Imports of industrial supplies, autos, and other consumer goods grew the most rapidly of these groupings from their recession-reduced levels in 1975. 2. U .S . im p o r t s o f m a jo r n o n fu e l c o m m o d it y g r o u p in g s 1973 1974 1975 1976 Dept, o f C om m erce data. Shaded area marks the period of decline in the F.R . industrial production index. Imports of T nonfuel industrial supplies Dept. of C om m erce data for imports and inventory changes, with inventory changes at annual rates. F.R . industrial produc tion index. Percentage swings in import volumes during the most recent recession were larger than in other recessions since 1956, in part a reflection of the sensitivity of nonfuel imports to inventory behavior. Large stocks of both materials and products were built up during the period of rising prices preceding the recession. Just as the inventory liquidation that accompanied the downturn had contributed to the reduction in nonfuel imports, so too the build-up of invento ries early in 1976 not only helped to propel the recovery but also added to the demand for imports, especially of nonfuel industrial sup plies (Chart 3). The rate of accumulation of nonfarm business inventories, which had been negative throughout most of 1975, jumped sharply in the first quarter of 1976 and then remained relatively flat until late in the year. In contrast, imports of nonfuel industrial sup plies continued to grow rapidly in the second and third quarters before dropping off in the fourth quarter. The price of nonfuel imports, as measured by the unit-value index, averaged only about 1 per cent higher in 1976 than in 1975. Import unit values had declined during the second half of 1975, reflecting the rapid appreciation of the dollar and falling commodity prices, but rose at a fairly steady pace through 1976 as the trade-weighted appreciation of the dollar slowed and commodity prices rose again. Prices of imported primary commodities increased sharply during the rapid recovery of the econ U.S. International Transactions 3. 315 U.S. imports from selected countries or regions 1974 Country or region Canada ............................... W estern Europe .............. (Germ any) ................... (Other EEC) ................ Japan ................................... N on-oil exporting developing countries1 C om m unist countries .. N onfuel imports, total ___ 1975 1976 B illions o f dollars Per cent o f nonfuel imports B illions o f dollars Per cent o f nonfuel imports Percentage increase over 1974 B illions o f dollars Per cent o f nonfuel imports Percentage increase over 1975 17.3 2 2 .2 (6 .2 ) (1 1 .6 ) 12.3 2 2 .7 29.1 (8 .1 ) (1 5 .2 ) 16.1 16.9 2 0 .0 (5 .2 ) (1 0 .8 ) 11.2 2 4 .3 2 8 .8 (7 .5 ) (1 5 .5 ) 16.1 -2 .3 -9 .9 ( - 1 6 .1 ) ( - 6 .9 ) -8 .9 2 1 .5 2 1 .6 (5 .5 ) (1 1 .5 ) 15.5 2 4 .8 2 4 .9 (6 .3 ) (1 3 .2 ) 17.9 2 7 .2 8 .0 (5 .8 ) (6 .5 ) 3 8 .4 19.1 .8 25.1 1.0 17.8 .7 2 5 .6 1.0 -6 .8 -1 2 .5 2 3 .5 .9 27.1 1.0 3 2 .0 2 8 .6 7 6 .2 100.0 6 9 .5 100.0 -8 .8 86 .8 100.0 2 4 .9 in c lu d e s a sm all quantity o f fuel imports. N o t e . — Data from U .S . Dept, o f C om m erce, Bureau o f E conom ic A nalysis and Bureau o f the Census. omy in the first half of 1976, peaked in July, and then fell back before advancing again late in the year. Import unit values of coffee and cocoa— two commodities in short supply— rose at a fairly steady rate all year, and are still far below spot prices, mainly because of the long lags between orders and deliveries. Not all countries shared equally in the growth in U.S. nonfuel imports in 1976. Imports from developed countries— including some fuels— were up by $11 billion over 1975, led by a $4 billion increase in nonfuel imports from Japan (Table 3). However, the value of nonfuel im ports from the European Economic Community (EEC) increased by only 7 per cent— less than $1 billion— and was lower in 1976 than in 1974; imports from Germany accounted for over half of this decline. U.S. imports from non-oil de veloping countries increased almost twice as fast as imports from developed countries. Exports from these developing countries to the United States rose by $6 billion. Most of this increase was in manufactured goods from South Korea, Taiwan, and Hong Kong, countries whose ex ports to the United States had dropped off sharply in 1975. the quantity of imported oil accounted for about 70 per cent of the total rise in value. A higher average import unit value, $12.13 per barrel from $11.42 in 1975, associated with OPEC price increases, accounted for the remainder of the rise in the value of fuel imports. Nearly three-fourths of the growth in the quantity of imported oil represented a rise in demand that would normally be associated with the increase in real GNP that occurred during the year; declines in domestic production of oil and the cold weather during 1976 each contrib uted about equally to the remaining increase in the U.S. demand for imported oil. The fourth quarter of 1976 was almost 20 per cent colder than average, as measured in degree-days— the number of degrees per day by which the average temperature falls short of 65 degrees. The pat tern of fuel imports during the year was also influenced by the working off of inventories in the first quarter of 1976 that had been accumu lated in anticipation of the OPEC price increase of October 1975 and by a renewed accumulation in the second half of 1976 in anticipation of another price rise at the year-end. N O N A G R IC U L T U R A L E X P O R T S: F U E L IM P O R T S : In crea sed d em an d a n d d e c lin in g d o m e s t ic p r o d u c tio n U.S. imports of petroleum and its products rose to $34.6 billion during 1976, up about $7.6 billion from the previous year. An increase in S lu g g is h rea l g r o w th The value of nonagricultural exports was 7.5 per cent higher in 1976 than in 1975, but most of the change reflected price increases. In real terms, exports of nonagricultural goods grew by 316 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 only 0.7 per cent to an annual total still 3 per cent below the record 1974 volume. A combi nation of factors contributed to this slug gishness: the weakening of the economic re coveries in our major industrial trading partners as the year progressed; the marked slowing of the growth in exports to OPEC countries; and the measures taken by a number of countries— especially developing countries— to slow the rate of growth of their imports in response to balance of payments financing difficulties. Exports of all the major nonagricultural com modity groups shared in the pattern of slow real growth, as shown in Chart 4. The pattern of nonagricultural exports closely paralleled the behavior of industrial production of the major trading partners of the United States. A second striking feature shown by the chart is that the strong rise in the volume of capital goods exported during 1973 and 1974, years of sharply higher capital spending in most regions of the world, was only somewhat eroded in 1975 and 1976. The rise in U.S. exports of capital goods followed a significant improvement in the price competitiveness of the United States in response to both the net depreciation of the 4. U S . e x p o r ts o f m a jo r n o n a g r ic u ltu r a l c o m m o d it y g r o u p in g s t i r 1973_______ 1974_______1975_______ 1976 100 Dept, of Commerce data for exports. Foreign industrial production index, except for the change in base period, is as defined in the note to Chart 1. 4. Machinery export prices for the United States, Germany, and Japan1 Dollar-equivalent indexes, 1970= 100 U.S.2 Germany Japan 1970 ............ 1971 ............ 1972 ............ 100.0 101.0 101.6 100.0 113.0 128.7 100.0 104.4 112.1 1973 ............ 1974 ............ 1975 ............ 19763 ........... 105.8 119.0 143.1 151.0 162.9 184.3 212.6 213.8 130.4 150.2 150.9 151.5 ......... ......... ......... ......... 139.3 142.5 144.0 146.5 220.1 221.2 205.6 203.3 153.8 153.1 149.8 147.0 ......... ......... ......... ......... 149.3 150.8 152.8 155.8 210.1 213.8 217.4 148.6 151.1 154.8 155.0 Period 1975 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 1976 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 1Based on transactions price data, rather than export unit values. The U .S. index is constructed from Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The German and Japanese indexes are available from national sources in local currency units, converted into dollars at current exchange rates. 2U .S. data for 1970-74 are based on June prices, the only data available prior to 1974. 3January-September data. dollar since 1970 and the better performance of the United States, relative to its major competi tors, in holding down unit labor costs. Export prices for machinery, which in 1976 represented 82 per cent of U.S. exports of capital goods and 27 per cent of total U.S. exports, are shown in Table 4 for the United States, Germany, and Japan. These three coun tries accounted for more than half of the value of world exports of machinery in 1973. Between 1970 and 1973, prices of machinery exported from the United States rose substantially less than those for Germany and Japan, reflecting the sharp depreciation of the dollar versus the mark and yen during that period. Since 1973, U.S. price competitiveness has held fairly steady compared with Germany but has eroded against Japan. The impact of relative price changes on U.S. machinery exports is reflected in the changing U.S. share of the export volumes of the three countries combined (Table 5). Between 1970 and the first three quarters of 1976 the U.S. share rose from 43 to 48 per cent, while Ger many’s share fell from 40 to 33 per cent and Japan’s share increased from 17 to 19 per cent. U.S. International Transactions 5. 317 Machinery export volumes for the United States, Germany, and Japan Billions of 1970 dollars1 Percentage shares Year U .S. Germany Japan Total U .S. Germany Japan 1970 .. 1971 .. 1972 .. 11.37 11.46 13.04 10.57 10.69 11.33 4.39 5.12 6.08 26.33 27.27 30.45 43.2 42.0 42.8 40.1 39.2 37.2 16.7 18.8 20.0 1973 .. 1974 .. 1975 .. 19762 16.19 19.91 19.75 20.48 12.63 14.17 13.27 14.00 6.97 7.85 8.53 8.24 35.79 41.93 41.55 42.72 45.2 47.5 47.5 47.9 35.3 33.8 32.0 32.8 19.5 18.7 20.5 19.3 Constructed by deflating export value data (from national sources) by local-currency price indexes for machinery exports (from sources noted in Table 4). 2January to September data at annual rates (January to August for Japan). The total value of German and Japanese ex ports of all commodities to countries other than the “ big three” increased a little faster than U.S. exports to these areas in 1976. In terms of these countries, West Germany increased its exports by 13 per cent, to about $95 billion; Japanese exports rose by 12 per cent, to about $48 billion; and U.S. nonagricultural exports rose by 8 per cent, to about $81 billion. While the value of U.S. nonagricultural exports to all but the petroleum-exporting countries grew slowly in 1976, German and Japanese exports to certain areas increased rapidly, especially to other countries in Western Europe. For the last few years, OPEC has been a major source of growth in export demand for the United States, Germany, and Japan (Table 6). Exports to OPEC countries continued to increase in 1976, but the rate of increase was much slower than in 1975. Thus it appears that the period of rapid growth in total OPEC im ports is over. Such imports, which had increased more than 60 per cent in 1975, grew more slowly in 1976 and for the year are estimated to have risen 17 per cent to about $68 billion. Nine OPEC countries, four with intermediate absorptive capacities— Iraq, Iran, Libya, and Nigeria— and five with high absorptive capaci ties— Algeria, Ecuador, Gabon, Indonesia, and Venezuela, have accounted for this slowdown. These nine countries accounted for more than three-fourths of total OPEC imports in 1975; their share in U.S. exports to OPEC was nearly as large. In 1975 each of these countries had experienced a rapid reduction in its current-account surplus as development spending and im ports grew rapidly. If they had tried to continue this pattern of high import growth, financing constraints would likely have arisen. So, in 1976 they curbed their imports somewhat. Nevertheless, the low-absorbing OPEC coun tries— Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates— have continued to in crease their imports rapidly, but their persistent surpluses on current account reflect the restric tions on import growth imposed by limited resource bases (except for oil and gas reserves), 6. U .S .,1 German, and Japanese exports to OPEC Item 1974 1975 1976e Billions of dollars Germany ............................ Japan ................................... United States1 .................... Total OPEC imports 4.3 5.5 5.2 *36 7.1 8.4 9.3 *58 8.6 8.8 10.9 68 Percentage increase, year over year Germany .................................. Japan ......................................... United States1 ....................... Total OPEC imports 65.1 52.7 78.8 61.1 21.1 4.8 17.2 17.2 Nonagricultural exports. Estimated. Note.—Data from OECD, Statistics Division, and U .S. Dept, of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 318 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 a shortage of manpower, and small domestic markets. In addition, all of the countries with low absorptive capacities, except Kuwait, face severe port congestion, a condition that is ex pected to limit the growth of imports at least through 1977. A G R IC U L T U R A L E X P O R T S : S e n s i t i v i t y t o w o r ld s u p p l y Both the volume and the value of U.S. agricul tural exports rose to record levels in 1976 even though export prices fell to their lowest levels since 1973. Because of a crop failure in 1975, the Soviet Union bought large amounts of agri cultural goods, mainly corn, from the United States, and these purchases supported agricul tural exports in the first half of 1976. As these shipments dropped off in the second half of the year, agricultural exports to drought-stricken West European countries increased sharply. Record crops in the United States and in most of the rest of the world led to falling agricultural prices, especially in the last few months of 1976. Prices of wheat and corn dropped to levels not experienced since 1973. On the other hand, soybean and cotton prices rose during the year. The 1976 soybean crop was small; U.S. plant ings were reduced due to fears by farmers of increased palm oil imports and Brazilian com petition in export markets, while domestic and foreign demand for soybeans for livestock feed remained strong. Cotton prices rose because of increased demand and a reduction in the 1976 crop as the result of bad weather, a situation that was exacerbated by an already small carry over stock. The U .S.-Soviet grain agreement that be came effective in October 1976 appears to be achieving its goal of lessening the variation in the volume of Soviet grain purchases from the United States. Soviet purchases of U.S. grain, which have averaged 8.8 million metric tons (mmt.) over the last 5 years, have varied from a high of 14.3 mmt. in 1973 to a low of 3.4 mmt. in 1974. In spite of a record Soviet grain crop in 1976, the U.S.S.R . has already pur chased slightly more than the 6 mmt. minimum amount called for during the first 12 months of the grain agreement. NEW M IL IT A R Y A N D S E R V IC E T R A N S A C T I O N S : A n o ff s e t to th e m e r c h a n d i s e tr a d e d e f i c it Between 1975 and 1976, net receipts from mil itary and service transactions increased by $6.3 billion (Table 7). About two-thirds of the in crease resulted from larger net receipts on in vestments, and another $1.3 billion was in net military transactions. Amounting to $13.3 bil lion in 1976, the net inflow of funds from all military and service transactions more than off set the large deficit in the merchandise trade balance. Net investment income receipts increased by $4.5 billion to a total of $10.5 billion in 1976; most of the rise was in receipts as payments were little changed from 1975 levels. Returns on U.S. direct investments abroad— apart from undistributed profits— amounted to $12.5 billion in 1976, a one-third increase from levels of a year earlier. Much of the rise resulted from higher returns from foreign affiliates of U.S. petroleum companies as the demand for oil rose and as oil prices increased. Other private income receipts increased by nearly $1.5 billion, mostly returns on securities and bank loans. Payment of income on foreign investments in the United States declined slightly in 1976. Most of the decline was in payments other than on direct investments. There was a sizable addition to the stock of foreign funds in the United States, but domestic interest rates fell during the year. 7. Net military and service transactions In billions of dollars Item Net m ilitary and service transactions 1975 1976 Change 7.0 13.3 6.3 N et investment income . . . 6 .0 10.5 D irect investm ents, net Other, net ....................... N et military ......................... Sales ................................... Expenditures .................... Travel, net (incl. passenger fares) Transportation, net ............ Other services, net ............ 7 .3 - 1 .3 10.2 .3 4.5 2.9 - 1 .2 (3 .6 ) (4 .8 ) - 2 .9 .1 (4 .9 ) (4 .8 ) 1.6 1.3 (1 .3 ) ( . .. ) 4 .7 -2 .4 .2 4 .9 .4 -.1 .2 4 1 .0 3 4 .0 4 9 .2 3 5 .9 8 .2 1.9 .4 M em o: Total receipts .................. Total paym ents .............. N o t e . — Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Data from U .S. Dept, of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. International Transactions Foreign sales of U.S. military goods and services exceeded U.S. military expenditures abroad for the first time in 1976; net receipts were $0.1 billion in 1976 compared with net expenditures of $1.2 billion in 1975. Transfers under U.S. military agency sales contracts in creased strongly in 1976, with a sharp rise in deliveries of equipment to Iran and technical assistance to Saudi Arabia. Military sales of goods and services amounted to $4.9 billion in 1976. U.S. military expenditures abroad, at $4.8 billion, were little changed from a year earlier. Other service transactions showed a small net increase in 1976, in large part because receipts from foreign travelers in the United States in creased faster than U.S. payments for foreign travel and because fees and royalty receipts from foreign affiliates of U.S. firms continued to increase steadily. 319 5. W e ig h te d -a v e r a g e e x c h a n g e v a lu e s o f th e U .S . d o lla r M arch 1973=100 DEFLATED BY FOREIGN TO DOMESTIC Consumer price ratio W holesale ratio Index of weighted-average exchange value of the dollar against currencies of other Group of Ten countries plus Swit zerland divided by the ratios of weighted-average foreign to domestic wholesale and consumer price indexes. F.R. index of dollar exchange value. Foreign price data from national sources. Domestic price data from the U .S. Dept, of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. N ov.-D ec. WPI estimated for the Netherlands. C A P IT A L T R A N S A C T IO N S A N D E X C H A N G E -R A T E M O V E M E N T S The shift in the U.S. current-account position from a surplus of $12.0 billion in 1975 to near balance was, of course, matched by an equal and opposite shift of capital flows from a net outflow to a small inflow in 1976. Despite this swing the Federal Reserve’s trade-weighted measure of the exchange value of the dollar against 10 leading foreign currencies appreci ated 4.5 per cent during the year. The dollar was supported by prospects for a slower rise in prices in the United States compared with the average abroad, official intervention pur chases by Japan and several other countries, and a decided preference by OPEC for dollar-denominated assets. On a price-adjusted basis, the dollar showed little movement in 1976 after having risen sharply in the second half of 1975 (Chart 5). The two price-adjusted dollar exchange rates shown in the chart were calculated by dividing the trade-weighted average exchange value of the dollar by the ratio of foreign to domestic price indexes, both consumer and wholesale. Indeed, the net change in the dollar’s exchange value over the nearly 4 years of generalized floating has been quite consistent with move ments in U.S. prices relative to those in other countries, though there have been substantial short-run deviations from this relationship. Recorded net outflows of U.S. funds— including transactions between U.S. banking offices and banks abroad and net acquisitions of assets abroad by U.S. residents and the U.S. Government— increased by $2.6 billion in 1976, and recorded net inflows of foreign funds rose by $8.7 billion. This shift in net recorded capital inflows of $6.1 billion was equal to half of the $12 billion swing in the current account. Another large part of the financial adjustment— or perhaps some error in compiling the currentaccount data— remains concealed within the statistical discrepancy, which grew by $5.9 bil lion from 1975 to 1976. It is likely that the large change in the statis tical discrepancy reflected a net increase in unreported capital items rather than any sub stantial errors in recording merchandise or ser vice transactions. One important type of capital inflow that may have been underreported is an increase in accounts payable, particularly those related to petroleum imports. In addition, ex- 320 8. Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 New foreign bond issues in the United States In billions of dollars Period 1974 1975 1976 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 ....................................... ....................................... ....................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... ..................................... Total Canada 2.4 7.2 9.8 2.9 1.6 3.0 2.3 1.7 3.2 5.2 2.0 .9 1.3 1.0 Development finance institutions1 2.0 1.7 .3 European Community’s organizations2 .l .4 .6 .3 .9 .5 "3 Developed countries Developing countries .2 1.2 1.6 .5 .3 .4 .4 .4 .4 .7 .1 .l 3.4 .1 1Includes the Asian Development Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank, and the World Bank. 2Includes the European Coal and Steel Community, European Economic Community, and the European Investment Bank. 3Includes National Power Company of the Philippines issue guaranteed by the U .S. Export-Import Bank. N o t e . — Data from F.R. Bank of N e w York. pectations of sharp declines in the exchange values of some currencies— for example, the British pound, the Italian lira, the French franc, and the Mexican peso— coupled with political uncertainties in some countries, may have prompted some flight of capital to the United States that was not recorded. Although reduced from the 1975 total, the net outflow of bank-reported private capital in 1976 still amounted to almost $10 billion. This high level of net foreign lending by U.S. bank ing offices reflected a continued strong foreign demand for U.S. bank credit at a time when the domestic demand for bank credit was weak— owing to a combination of improved corporate cash flow, favorable access to capital markets for new equity and bond financing, and cautious revivals of capital spending and inven tory investment. A substantial part of the foreign demand was in the form of official borrowings for balance of payments purposes. In 1976, banking offices (including agencies and branches of foreign banks) supplied $7.4 bil lion, net, to foreign commercial banks (includ ing their own overseas branches). These funds supported lending in the Euro-currency market and provided liquidity that facilitated the issuing of a record volume of Euro-bonds. The decline in U.S. interest rates provided an incentive for the pronounced acceleration of the outflow in the fourth quarter of 1976. Much of the outflow occurred in December, when the demand for funds by European banks was aug mented by a desire to build up stocks of liquid domestic assets in order to “ window-dress” year-end balance sheets. The rise in private bank-reported flows in December was offset by additions by European central banks to their dollar holdings in the United States, accommo dating the demand for domestic liquidity on the part of the head offices of the European banks. The U.S. bond market was an important source of funds for borrowers from indus trialized countries and multinational develop ment institutions in 1976. New bond flotations by foreigners were at a rate of $9.8 billion in 1976. As in previous years, Canadians were the largest foreign borrowers in the United States. Their total new bond placements amounted to $5.2 billion, an increase of $2 billion over those of 1975. A major incentive for the increase in Canadian bond flotations was the unusually large differential that persisted until the end of the year between Canadian and U.S. long-term interest rates, a product of a relatively restrictive Canadian monetary policy. After the Quebec provincial election in N o vember, the interest rate premium on bond issues by Quebec in the United States increased sharply. Nevertheless, this rise did not have much effect on Canadian borrowings in 1976 because no large new bond issues by Quebec had been scheduled for the remainder of the year. The larger interest premium has, however, decreased, or at least delayed, some Canadian bond issues in the United States in 1977. Borrowers who had been subject to the inter est equalization tax (those from developed U.S. International Transactions countries, other than Canada, and the EC’s organizations) placed $2.2 billion in the U.S. bond market in 1976 compared with a negligible amount in 1975. Unlike borrowers from the developing countries, these issuers found that, owing to their preferred credit standing, a por tion of their balance of payments financing needs could be satisfied in the U.S. bond mar ket. France, Australia, and Norway were the three largest individual country borrowers among the issuers of so-called Yankee bonds. U.S. reserve assets increased by $2.5 billion in 1976. The increase was mostly the counter part of foreign countries’ drawings of dollars from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which automatically result in an increase in the U.S. reserve position in the IMF. The IMF credit facilities were utilized intensively during 1976 to provide the financing of balance of payments positions of various countries. The United Kingdom was the largest drawer on the IMF’s General Account facilities, while the liberalized Compensatory Financing Facility provided funds for more than 40 developing countries that are members of the IMF. The increase of $9.5 billion in OPEC official assets in the United States was only moderately above that of 1975, despite a larger rise in OPEC’s collective current-account position in 1976. However, as already noted, some of the unrecorded inflows may have been associated with accounts due to OPEC. Non-OPEC countries as a group increased their official assets in the United States by $8.0 billion— a capital inflow— after a reduction of $0.5 billion in 1975. The net swing was partly the result of a build-up by Japan of reserves held in the United States. Excluding Japan, developed countries reduced their reserve hold ings in the United States during 1976, while the developing countries added to their reserves held here. Developing countries also collec tively added to reserves held outside the United States. These reserve increases included some special cases, but they also reflected a desire on the part of a few developing countries to tap international sources of credit under the relatively favorable borrowing conditions of 1976. 321 RECENT DEVELO PM ENTS A N D OUTLOOK The U.S. merchandise trade deficit increased substantially in the first 2 months of 1977. Though some of the increase can be attributed to the unusually cold weather, the continuation of the pattern of more rapid growth in the United States than abroad that began in 1975 is likely to result in increasing U.S. merchandise trade and current-account deficits throughout 1977. However, the increase in these deficits between 1976 and 1977 will probably be smaller than the shifts between 1975 and 1976. Conse quently, further adjustments in the over-all U.S. capital account need not be so large. As U.S. imports of merchandise have risen with the relatively strong U.S. recovery, pro tests that various U.S. industries are being damaged by competing goods from abroad have increased. Although individual cases should be judged on their merits, it should also be recog nized that a rise in U.S. imports of goods relative to exports over the long term might be expected on the basis of the changing structure of U.S. international accounts. Part of such a shift would reflect the gradual industrialization of some developing countries, whose growth is dependent on finding markets in the high-income countries. In fact, imports of manufac tures from such countries rose from $10 billion in 1975 to $14 billion in 1976, about 32 per cent of the total rise in U.S. imports of manu factures. In recent years there has also been a very rapid rise in the net receipts in the service and military sectors of the U.S. international accounts, from $2.4 billion in 1973 to $13.3 billion in 1976. In addition, a move toward deficit in the merchandise trade balance will help contribute to a healthier pattern of world pay ments in light of continuing OPEC current-ac count surpluses. Changes in U.S. international transactions in the period ahead will be part of a larger pattern of international adjustment. The pace of recov ery in other industrial countries is expected to be slow on average. Many of these countries will seek to reduce their external deficits. Con sequently, the aggregate deficit of this group of countries might be somewhat lower than in 322 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 1976, which would offset some of the increase in the U.S. deficit. Barring a reduction in the cartel price of oil, the OPEC surplus is not likely to change significantly. Hence, the non-oilproducing, less-developed countries, after re ducing their aggregate deficit substantially dur ing 1976, may have difficulty reducing it further this year. This suggests that there may be a larger role in the future for official financing of balance of payments deficits. Such financing may be necessary to ease the strain on private markets. On balance, therefore, the problems asso ciated with considerable slack in the world economy, with continuing high inflation rates, and with large external deficits for many coun tries— exacerbated by the sharp rise in oil prices— are not likely to diminish quickly. In these circumstances, it is especially important to guard against a resurgence of measures to restrict trade and instead to emphasize the ben efits of achieving adjustment through a steady noninflationary expansion of the world econ omy. □ 323 The Implementation of Monetary Policy in 1976 This article is adapted from a report subm itted to the Federal Open M arket Committee by A lan R. H olm es, M anager of the System Open M a r ket A ccount and Executive Vice President o f the Federal R eserve Bank of N ew York, and by Peter D. Sternlight, D eputy M anager fo r D o mestic Operations of the System Open M arket Account and Senior Vice President of the N ew York Bank. John S. H ill, Senior Economist, and Christopher J. M cCurdy, Economist, were prim arily responsible fo r its preparation. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), in setting open market policy in 1976, sought to foster economic expansion following the 1974-75 recession and to achieve further mod eration in the rate of inflation. The dampening of inflationary expectations that emerged con tributed to a considerable decline in long-term interest rates, and over the course of the year, the credit markets financed another large Federal deficit more readily than had been generally anticipated. The Committee’s decisions were heavily in fluenced by its perception of the tempo of the economic recovery, which first speeded up and then slowed down. A surge in activity early in the year generated expectations of continued strong economic expansion that might necessi tate actions to restrain growth of the monetary aggregates. When the aggregates grew strongly in the spring, the Committee began limiting the extent to which it accommodated the demand for member bank reserves. As the summer pro gressed, however, the rate of economic expan sion moderated and growth of the labor force began to exceed growth of employment. The rate of monetary expansion also receded. Grad ually, the FOMC shifted emphasis to promote a step-up in the growth of the aggregates through a more accommodative approach to the provision of reserves. By the year-end the pace of economic advance seemed to be quickening once more. In formulating its broad policy approach, the Committee continued to focus on a 1-year time horizon for growth of the monetary and credit aggregates. It also adopted short-run instruc tions that prescribed a Trading Desk response, through open market operations, to indications of undesired strength or weakness in the mone tary aggregates. The Committee’s instructions to the Account Management were in essentially the same format as in recent years. In imple menting its instructions, the Trading Desk found market participants in 1976 acutely sensitive to movements in the monetary aggregates as well as to the conduct of open market operations. At the same time, recent changes in the Treas ury’s cash management policies increased the volatility of Treasury cash balances and thereby posed difficult operational challenges to the Desk. This report focuses on the Trading Desk’s implementation of the FOMC’s directives dur ing the year. After presenting an overview of the Committee’s policy decisions in 1976, it describes the procedures used by the Desk to bring reserve supplies into line with the Com mittee’s objectives. It discusses particularly in teresting periods in detail in order to illustrate how the Desk carried out operations against the background of the sensitive financial environ ment that prevailed over much of the year. M O N E T A R Y P O L IC Y A N D T H E F IN A N C IA L M A R K E T S Establishing Growth R anges In seeking both sustainable economic expansion and a reduction of price inflation, the Committee on balance lowered its ranges for annual growth 324 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Federal Open Market Committee’s annual growth ranges for monetary aggregates and adjusted bank credit proxy Seasonally adjusted annual percentage rates Period 1975 1975 1976 1976 1976 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 M onth established to to to to to 1976 1976 1977 1977 1977 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 O ctober 1975 January 1976 April 1976 July 1976 N ovem ber 1976 M-1 5 to to to to to AV2 4V2 4V2 4 y2 M -2 IV2 IY2 7 7 6^2 of the major monetary aggregates (see table). At its October 1975 meeting, the Committee had set a range of 5 to I V 2 per cent for growth of M-1— demand deposits plus currency in the hands of the public— over the four-quarter pe riod ended in the third quarter of 1976. In January 1976 it reduced the lower limit of this longer-run range by Vi of a percentage point. Later it narrowed the range through two reduc tions in the upper end of V of a percentage 2 point each. Thus, the range adopted for M-1 in November 1976 for the annual period ending in the third quarter of 1977 was 4V£ to 6 V per 2 cent.1 The annual range for M-2— M-1 plus time and savings deposits at commercial banks other than large negotiable certificates of deposit (CD’s)— had been set at IV2 to IOV2 per cent at the October 1975 FOMC meeting and the range was reduced, on balance, through subse quent modifications, to IV2 to 10 per cent for the annual period ending in the third quarter of 1977. At the October 1975 meeting the Com mittee had adopted a range of 9 to 12 per cent for M-3— M-2 plus deposits at thrift institutions. A range of 9 to IIV2 per cent was established about a year later in November 1976.2 JOne factor influencing the Committee’s decision to reduce the growth range in November was increasing efficiency in the use of cash balances. The growth of transactions balances held in the form of M-1 was curtailed by the growing use of overdraft facilities, negotiable orders of withdrawal accounts, savings ac counts that permit telephonic transfers to checking ac counts or settlement of monthly bills, and savings accounts by businesses and State and local governments. One study by John Paul us and Stephen H. Axilrod (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, “ Recent Regulatory Changes and Financial Innovations Affecting the Growth of the Monetary Aggregates” ) indicated that, without these developments, the growth of M-1 in the year ended in the third quarter of 1976 might have been roughly IV2 to 2 percentage points higher than actually occurred. 2This note appears in opposite column. IV2 IV2 IV2 7V2 7*/2 to to to to to M -3 WV2 10 V 2 10 9V2 10 9 9 9 9 9 to to to to to 12 12 12 11 11 % Credit proxy 6 to 9 6 to 9 6 to 9 5 to 8 5 to 8 The Committee, in assessing the growth of the monetary aggregates early in the year, ex pected the demand for money to pick up in view of projected gains in economic activity. There had been an unusually rapid increase in the income velocity of M-1 in the second half of 1975. However, there was uncertainty whether innovations in the management of cash would continue to depress the rate at which demand balances would grow, given the expected gains in income and prevailing interest rate levels After a slow start, growth in M-1 strengthened markedly during the spring and reached an average annual rate of 7 per cent, seasonally adjusted, over the first 5 months of the year. Its expansion moderated thereafter, and only in October did it again display significant strength. Measured from the fourth quarter of 1975 to the fourth quarter of 1976, M-1 increased 5Vz per cent. Commercial bank time and savings deposits other than large CD’s grew rapidly during the year, as the interest rates on passbook accounts proved attractive in comparison with market rates. Consequently, M-2 grew by 11 per cent. Im p l e m e n t a t io n o f t h e F O M C ’s P o l i c y O b j e c t i v e s Efforts of the Open Market Committee to achieve its longer-run objectives required con tinuing judgments on the extent to which open market operations should supply nonborrowed reserves in relation to the demand for them. After a brief move toward augmenting reserve 2The upper ends of the ranges for M-2 and M-3 were reduced around midyear, but they were raised slightly in November because time and savings deposit inflows appeared likely to remain heavy, given that market interest rates had declined relative to those paid by banks and thrift institutions. The Implementation of Monetary Policy in 1976 availability and lowering the Federal funds rate during the first 2 weeks in January, the Com mittee was content to see Federal funds continue to trade around 4 3 per cent through the winter. A Policy directives issued following the January and February meetings instructed the Account Management to maintain prevailing money market conditions unless the growth rates of the monetary aggregates appeared to be deviating significantly from the midpoints of their speci fied short-run ranges. Indications of strong growth of the aggregates at the end of February led to a very slight shift toward a less accom modative stance, but this was reversed soon afterward on the basis of further information. The Committee continued to hold to a steady course until mid-April. Then, rapid growth of the aggregates, especially in M -l, and evidence of a vigorous economic expansion prompted a shift toward a less accommodative stance that had been long expected in the financial markets. The System provided nonborrowed reserves less freely, and the Federal funds rate rose by 3 A of a percentage point over the next 6-week period to 5Vi per cent by the end of May. During the second half of the year, as evi dence developed that over-all economic growth had slowed, the thrust of open market operations was toward easier money market conditions. The initial approach of the Committee was rela tively cautious. At the June meeting it set a narrower-than-usual range for movements in the Federal funds rate, and at the August meeting it stressed the maintenance of stability in money market conditions. As concern about the eco nomic outlook increased, however, at its Sep tember meeting the Committee opted for a range for the Federal funds rate that provided more rdom for downward than for upward movement. Thereafter, the Committee acted to promote a more accommodative financial climate. The trading level for Federal funds declined in three stages from about 5 lh per cent at midyear to around 4% per cent at the year-end. B e h a v io r o f F in a n c ia l M a r k e t s Expectations of market participants were greatly responsible for the sharp rise in interest rates that developed during the spring. Even though 325 interest rates had declined substantially since the previous autumn, market participants generally anticipated a cyclical upturn in rates during the year. Their expectations were based on a pre sumption that expanded private credit demands would compete with heavy Federal borrowing in a period when the Federal Reserve was likely to be taking steps to restrain growth of the money stock. When reserve conditions did tighten briefly in late February, market interest rates rose sharply and returned to previous levels only gradually, even after the tightening in reserves proved to be temporary. When the Federal funds rate rose 75 basis points between mid-April and late May, other short-term rates advanced by as much as 80 to 100 basis points; long-term yields rose roughly 40 basis points. In the mar ket for Treasury securities these rate increases were larger than the declines that had developed earlier in the year. These expectations that interest rates would rise over the rest of the year proved wrong. Economic growth decelerated in the second half, while the Federal deficit turned out to be smaller than had been anticipated. Domestic corporations reduced their borrowings in the bond market in the second half as capital spending recovered slowly. This environment led investors— flush with cash and encouraged by the progress being made in dampening infla tionary forces— to push yields significantly lower over the final 7 months of the year. By December, rates on Treasury bills were as much as 125 basis points below the levels that had prevailed at the beginning of the year. Yields on long-term Treasury issues were down by about 75 basis points, while those on corporate and tax-exempt issues showed substantially larger declines. In some markets, long-term interest rates were at their lowest levels in about 3 years. During 1976 the Treasury raised $58 billion of new cash, second only to the record amount raised in 1975. It also extended the average maturity of its debt for the first year since 1964. It continued to regularize its debt offerings and to reduce uncertainty about prospective financ ings by keeping the market informed about its borrowing plans. The Treasury filled the re 326 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 maining maturities in its monthly 2-year note cycle and established quarterly 4- and 5-year note cycles. New Federal legislation aided the Treasury’s debt extension program by extending the maximum maturity of Treasury notes from 7 years to 10 years and by increasing from $10 billion to $17 billion the amount of long-term bonds that could be issued without regard to the 4 lA per cent interest rate ceiling. The Treasury took advantage of this added flexibility by offering an intermediate-term note and a long-term bond in each of its quarterly refundings as well as a short-term 2- or 3-year note. In the first three refundings the Treasury sold one 7-year and two 10-year notes, with fixed coupons and prices, through subscription. All other securities were sold on an auction basis. The subscription sales drew heavy de mand for the attractively priced notes, enabling the Treasury to increase the total size of the subscription issues to $18.5 billion, $7.5 billion more than the amounts initially offered. The volume of secondary market trading in U.S. Government securities expanded consid erably in 1976; flurries of speculative activity contributed to periods of unusual price volatil ity. The increase in trading activity stemmed partly from the large volume of Treasury fi nancing. But there was also a surge in the trading activity of portfolio managers who sought to outperform the rate of return provided by more conservative investment strategies. Traders necessarily sought to anticipate the fu ture course of rates by analyzing economic and monetary data as they appeared and by project ing the data yet to be published. In this envi ronment, participants were often quick to react, or to overreact, to new data that they thought might presage shifts in monetary policy and credit conditions. Most sectors of the economy added further to their liquidity, continuing the rebuilding process that had dominated credit markets in the previous year. Corporate borrowers flocked to the bond market during the first half, reducing their short-term debt and seeking to secure long-term funds before the expected rise in interest rates. At the same time, favorable cash flows generated by the rebound in corporate profits allowed businesses to finance a substan tial portion of their capital needs internally. As a result, the pick-up in short-term borrowing by businesses from banks and in the commercial paper market over the second half of the year fell short of participants’ anticipations. More over, the entire rebound in the aggregate of business loans at banks reflected acquisitions of bankers acceptances. Commercial banks, disappointed by the slack demands of their business customers, turned to buying intermediate-term Treasury coupon se curities in order to take advantage of the higher returns available toward the longer end of the upwardly sloping yield curve. Thrift institutions easily accommodated the rising demand for mortgages as their deposits continued to expand rapidly. In addition, they continued to rebuild their liquidity, although not by so much as in 1975. Long-term tax-exempt issues posted larger yield declines over the year than taxable securi ties. Investors largely overcame the acute fears that had been triggered by New York City’s financial problems in late 1975— although New York City itself did not regain access to the market for its own obligations. In addition, with an improved earnings position, fire and casualty insurance companies expanded their interest in tax-exempt securities, and commercial banks also showed some renewed interest in such issues as the year progressed. T E C H N IQ U E S O F P O L IC Y IM P L E M E N T A T IO N The FOMC’s instructions to the Manager of the System Open Market Account regarding the management of bank reserves provide— to a considerable extent— for the accommodation of the public’s demand for money in the short run, while at the same time prescribing a response when growth of money appears inconsistent with the Committee’s long-term objectives. At each meeting the Committee specifies conditions to be achieved for bank reserve availability as measured by the Federal funds rate. It also specifies a procedure for changing the Federal funds rate within designated limits if current projections of growth in the monetary aggre The Implementation of Monetary Policy in 1976 gates indicate significant weakness or strength relative to ranges specified by the Committee for the 2-month period covering the month of the latest meeting and the following month. In 1976, the Committee instructed the Desk to assign approximately equal weight to M-l and M -2 in evaluating the short-run behavior of the aggregates, rather than placing primary emphasis on M-l as it had in the past. The Committee continued to include in its directive an instruction that the Manager take account of developments in the domestic and international financial markets. Following each FOMC meeting, the Account Manager seeks to achieve the Committee’s cur rent objectives through operations in Treasury and Federal agency securities and bankers ac ceptances. Decisions about the size and type of operations and their timing are based partly on projections of reserve availability. The Manager also looks to the behavior of the Federal funds rate for additional information on factors affect ing the supply of, and demand for, bank re serves. But participants in the Federal funds market have become more reluctant to trade at rates that they perceive to be out of line with the System’s objective. Thus, the role of the funds rate as a short-run objective for open market operations tends to reduce its usefulness as a guide to reserve availability. Furthermore, the Manager, in shaping open market opera tions, has to take into account the sensitivity of market expectations to the behavior of the funds rate. In evaluating the prospective behavior of the Federal funds market, the Manager and his staff seek to appraise the demand for, and supply of, bank reserves over the statement week ending on Wednesday. Member banks must meet their reserve requirements on average each week, and in addition they hold some margin of excess reserves as the result of the rapid shift of bal ances within the banking system. Required re serves are determined by deposits on the banks’ books 2 weeks earlier and are thus known by each bank and the Federal Reserve at the start of the statement week. The Manager estimates the excess reserves that banks are likely to hold, taking into account seasonal deposit flows, the size and distribution of reserve excesses (or 327 deficiencies) carried over from the previous week, the presence of holidays or statementpublishing dates, and interest rate movements. The Manager then has in hand an estimate of the total reserves likely to be demanded by the banking system in the current week. With these demand considerations in mind, the Manager reviews projections of the supply of nonborrowed reserves in the banking system for the week. These projections estimate the impact on reserves of “ market factors,” such as Federal Reserve float, currency in circulation, and the Treasury’s balance at the Federal Re serve Banks. The Manager will then have an estimate of nonborrowed reserve levels stretch ing out 4 to 6 weeks into the future, based on the assumption that the Trading Desk takes no action to affect reserves. The Manager is thus able to compare the projected level of nonborrowed reserves over the week ahead with estimates of total reserves demanded. He can then determine the appro priate volume of reserves to be added or sub tracted on a daily-average basis if open market operations are to maintain the existing rate on Federal funds. In doing this, account is taken of the expected addition to reserves likely to arise from borrowings at the discount window. The Manager’s approach to operations each week is shaped partly with an eye on the extent to which nonborrowed reserves in subsequent weeks are expected to fall short of, or exceed, projected reserve requirements. If reserve defi cits extend into future weeks, the Desk is more likely to use outright purchases of securities to meet a reserve need. If the need is temporary, greater reliance on repurchase agreements is likely. Conversely, when reserve surpluses are projected over several weeks, outright sales and redemptions of maturing securities may be ap propriate. If there is only a temporary need to absorb reserves, matched sale-purchase transac tions are employed.3 3The System temporarily adds reserves through repurchase agreements and withdraws reserves through matched sale-purchase transactions. In making repur chase agreements, the Desk enters into a contract under which dealers sell U .S. Government securities, Federal agency issues, and bankers acceptances to the System and agree to buy them back at a specified time, usually 1 day to a week later, at the same price plus a competi- 328 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 The Manager also relies on the behavior of trading in Federal funds as a source of additional information on the supply and demand forces affecting the money market. The Desk may defer putting its program into effect until the trading level of Federal funds in the money market confirms the statistical estimates of re serve availability. Care is taken to avoid actions that might lead to misinterpretation of the Sys tem’s intentions by market participants. Thus, when a need to supply reserves is anticipated, the Manager may wait for the funds rate to edge up at least to or above the operational objective before entering the market. When an over abundance of reserves is projected, the Manager may wait for the funds rate to edge down at least to or below the objective before entering the market to absorb reserves. At times, the money market may not reflect the projected conditions of reserve abundance or scarcity. In this case the Manager may merely delay carrying out his plans to affect reserves. However, when reserves are estimated to be abundant (scarce) and the funds rate threatens to rise (fall) significantly above (below) the desired level, that situation calls into question the accuracy of the estimates of the supply of, and the demand for, reserves. The System’s absence from the market in that event could be misleading, and the Manager is likely to enter the market to counteract undesirably firm (easy) conditions. The value of the Federal funds rate as an indicator of the conditions of reserve availability probably has diminished in recent years. Large shifts in the Treasury’s balances at the Reserve tively determined rate of return. The Desk generally permits dealers to offer customer securities as well as the dealers’ own holdings. Repurchase agreements ei ther may allow dealers to buy securities back at a date earlier than specified initially or may not allow such early withdrawals— an alternative form introduced in 1976. The Manager’s decision on the amount of securi ties to be purchased is partly based on the statistical estimates of reserve supplies. The volume and aggres siveness of the dealers’ offerings provide additional information on the size of the reserve need. Under matched sale-purchase transactions the System sells Treasury bills to the market, and at the same time contracts to buy them back on a certain day, usually up to a week later. The rate at which bills are sold and repurchased is set through competitive bidding by the dealers. Matched sale-purchase transactions cannot be terminated before maturity. Banks have led to much greater day-to-day volatility in the level of nonborrowed reserves. Exposed to such volatility, money position managers at the banks are less likely to react to the immediate ebb and flow of funds because they expect the Federal Reserve to compensate for these massive surges. They appear to be willing to accumulate larger reserve deficits or surpluses before taking offsetting actions in the Federal funds market. Thus, the actual Federal funds rate tends to remain close to the market’s perception of the System’s objective for the rate until rather late in a statement week. The primary source of the large shifts in the Treasury’s balance has been the Treasury’s cash management policy of holding the bulk of its balances at the Federal Reserve Banks rather than in its tax and loan accounts at commercial banks. The Treasury’s balance at the Federal Reserve tends to fall early in the month as social security and other regular payments are made and then to rise later in the month when taxes and other revenues are received. The average weekly change in the Treasury’s balance at the Reserve Banks amounted to $2 billion in 1976, a 45 per cent increase from 1975 and a fourfold increase from 1974. In 14 weeks in 1976 the change exceeded $3 billion. As a result, the Trading Desk undertook substantially enlarged operations just to counteract short-run swings in bank reserves. Faced with shifts in reserves of this magni tude, the Manager often needs to enter the market very early in the week to take offsetting action. But the reserve estimates available at the start of a week are often in error— by about $490 million on average in 1976, a 55 per cent increase from the year before. Since Federal funds tend to trade close to the market’s per ception of the Desk’s objective, it is difficult to get confirmation from the money market of the magnitude of the reserve need or surplus before the calendar weekend. To deal with this situation the Manager may seek to compensate for a major part of the reserve swings by an nouncing, on Wednesday, intentions to supply or to absorb reserves on the first day of the forthcoming statement period.4 Even so, the 4This note appears on opposite page. The Implementation of Monetary Policy in 1976 scale of operations needed after the weekend often remained quite large. The Account Management often has the op tion of engaging directly in transactions with foreign accounts to carry out System reserve objectives rather than acting as agent to execute these foreign orders with dealers in the market. For example, when the Desk receives foreign orders to buy securities, it may elect to meet such orders by selling directly from the Sys tem’s own portfolio at prevailing market prices. Similarly, when the foreign order is to sell securities, the Desk may buy for the System Account. When the Desk arranges foreign transactions with the System Account in this way, the transactions have the same effect on bank reserves as System operations through dealers in the market. Foreign accounts often also have funds avail able for overnight investment. When this is the case, the Desk may arrange matched sale-pur chase transactions with the System Account to drain reserves overnight rather than to act as agent and place these funds in the market as repurchase agreements with dealers. When a reserve abundance is projected, System matched sale-purchase transactions made directly with foreign accounts can help to reduce the excess. Moreover, when the reserve levels are expected to be approximately satisfactory, or in some what short supply, and the Federal funds rate is below the desired level, transactions directly with foreign accounts can sometimes be used to encourage a firming of conditions in the money market. OPEN M ARK ET O P E R A T IO N S IN 1976 Ja n u a r y t o M i d - A p r il The FOMC’s view at the beginning of the year was that the economy was expanding in an orderly manner, as industrial production, retail sales, and employment all displayed good-sized 4 Reserve operations affecting an entire week have been employed with increasing frequency. The Manager arranged 6- or 7-day operations either to add or to absorb reserves during 28 weeks in 1976. Futhermore, nine of the week-long repurchase operations were annou need 329 gains. Although growth in the money stock was expected to rebound from the slow rate that had developed during the second half of 1975, there were significant uncertainties in the forecast. It was difficult to assess the impact on growth of M-l likely to result from continued techno logical change in business and household man agement of cash balances and from the further growth of savings accounts recently authorized for businesses. Moreover, seasonal adjustment of the money stock was problematical, with alternative adjustment techniques producing different results. Against this background, the Committee pre ferred not to allow modest deviations in the projected growth of the aggregates relative to the Committee’s short-run ranges to prompt changes in the Desk’s Federal funds rate objec tive. The directives issued after the January and February meetings instructed the Manager to maintain prevailing money market conditions unless growth of the aggregates deviated signif icantly from the midpoints of their specified ranges.5 Such a “ money market” directive places primary emphasis on maintaining pre scribed money market conditions. At the January 1976 meeting, the Committee specified ranges for the aggregates that were somewhat wider than usual. This specification reduced the likelihood that the Federal funds rate would change. The behavior of the money stock measures was divergent in the weeks that followed, but taken together the estimates for the 2 months ended in Feburary did not warrant a change in reserve conditions. M -l remained near the bottom of its range, while M-2 was at or above the top of its range. A money market directive was also adopted in February. But the aggregates showed strength shortly thereafter, with estimates of both M-l and M-2 moving well up in their ranges. Acto the dealers on Wednesday afternoon and executed on Thursday morning to allow the dealers additional time to round up securities from customers. Prean nouncing also diminished any significance that might be attached to the funds rate prevailing when the trans actions were completed the next day. 5 When significant weakness had developed in the aggregates during late December and early January, the Desk had lowered the Federal funds rate objective to 4 3 per cent. A 330 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 cordingly, the Trading Desk sought to hold back slightly on supplying nonborrowed reserves rel ative to the emerging demand by banks. On Friday, February 27, it began seeking conditions consistent with Federal funds edging up from 4% per cent to a 4 3 to 4% per cent range. A That afternoon, when Federal funds were trad ing at 4 1 /16 per cent, the Desk entered the market 3 as agent to arrange repurchase agreements for customer accounts. This was contrary to market expectations that the Desk would enter to pro vide reserves on behalf of the System when funds were trading at that level. It was inter preted by participants as indicating a change in the System’s previous stance. The funds rate moved swiftly to 4 1 /16 and 5 per cent that 5 afternoon, though this occurred when it was too late for the Desk to make any significant volume of repurchase transactions for its own account for payment that day. By Monday funds were trading at 5 per cent and above, and the Desk provided reserves in volume. The money market remained unduly tight until shortly before the end of the statement week even though the banking system held a substantial volume of excess reserves at the week’s end. The financial markets had expected interest rates to move higher in view of the improvement in the economy, but the late-February evidence of firming by the System occurred sooner than had been expected. Interest rates moved up sharply: the rate on 3-month Treasury bills rose by around 30 basis points over the week, while long-term bond yields moved about 15 basis points higher. During the following statement week, new data suggested that the aggregates were not, in fact, moving outside the Committee’s tolerance ranges, and the Desk returned to the 4 3 per A cent Federal funds rate objective. A surfeit of reserves was being provided by a declining Treasury balance, but the surfeit had to be reinforced by additional System reserve injec tions in order to put enough downward pressure on the funds rate to bring it close to 4 3 per A cent by the week’s end. Other markets were somewhat slower to settle back. Participants in these markets continued to view underlying ec onomic conditions as suggesting a rise in short term rates. At its March meeting the Committee favored essentially little change in conditions of reserve availability but expressed greater willingness at that point to resist any strengthening that might develop in the monetary aggregates. Conse quently, the Committee voted for an “ aggre gates” directive, the more common form of its operational instructions. Such a directive places primary emphasis on the behavior of the aggre gates, thereby establishing a somewhat greater likelihood that conditions of reserve availability will be altered between meetings. The aggre gates, in fact, behaved about as expected over the next month, and thus the Federal funds rate remained around 4 3 per cent through midA April. M i d - A p r il t h r o u g h M a y At the April and May meetings the recovery appeared to be proceeding at a vigorous pace, with preliminary estimates indicating that real gross national product (GNP) had expanded at a IV2 per cent rate in the first quarter. The outlook for economic growth appeared bright, with prospects of further inventory accumula tion and continued sizable advances in consumer spending. Also the underlying demand for money appeared to be strengthening. Growth in M -1 in February and March had averaged about 6 per cent at an annual rate, and the staff projected very rapid growth in April. Expansion in M-2 and M-3 was also quite fast. Most members preferred to restrain such strong growth of the aggregates and were willing to tolerate some firming in money market condi tions after both the April and the May meetings. At the April meeting the Committee directed the System Account Manager to seek reserve conditions consistent with Federal funds trading around 4% per cent— within a tolerance range of 4Vi to 5 lA per cent. In addition, the Commit tee’s directive allowed the Desk to respond further to indications of undesired strength in the money supply. Throughout the interval be tween the two meetings, expected growth in the aggregates was high relative to the Committee’s specified ranges, prompting the Account Man agement to continue to hold back on nonbor rowed reserves in relation to demand. By the The Implementation of Monetary Policy in 1976 time of the May meeting, Federal funds were trading at 5 X per cent, the top of the range. A The Committee called for an immediate increase in the Federal funds objective to around 5 3 per /s cent, and by the end of May the Federal funds objective had been raised to 5 x per cent under h an aggregates directive. At the time of the Committee meeting in April, interest rates on short- and long-term debt had fallen to the lowest levels reached thus far in the year. Three-month Treasury bills traded at rates as low as about 4.70 per cent in midApril, and long-term Government bond yields were down to around 7.80 per cent. Still, parti cipants in the markets were cautious about the interest rate outlook as they prepared to face a large volume of offerings during the ap proaching quarterly Treasury refunding. Indica tions of vigorous economic growth strengthened market expectations that the System might well resist the rapid growth of the monetary aggre gates that was emerging. During the 6 weeks from mid-April to late May, when the Desk pursued a less accommo dative policy toward provision of reserves, the yield curve for Treasury securities moved sub stantially higher and flattened out a bit. Rates on Treasury bills due in 3 and 6 months in creased by about 90 basis points; yields on coupon issues maturing in 3 to 7 years moved up by about 55 to 70 basis points; yields on long-term bonds advanced about 35 basis points. During this period bond quotations be came especially volatile, particularly on Thurs day afternoons following publication of the weekly money stock data, as participants sought to anticipate future System actions. About three-quarters of the over-all increase in yields on long-term Treasury bonds over the period was concentrated in market trading late on Thursdays and during the day on Fridays. One episode during this period provides an interesting setting for examining the methods that the Trading Desk uses to implement System policy as well as the market’s response to the Desk’s actions and other influences. Operations during the bank statement week running from Thursday, May 6, to Wednesday, May 12, posed a particularly difficult challenge: how to effect a change in the System’s posture while 331 contending with volatile reserve flows and sen sitive securities markets in the midst of a Treas ury refunding operation. Prior to the start of that statement week the System’s operations had already led to a rise in the Federal funds rate from about 4 3 per cent in mid-April to a 5 A per cent level in early May. On the first day, Thursday, May 6, reserve projections indicated that a fall in the Treasury’s balance at Federal Reserve Banks would release about $3 billion of reserves, on average, to the banking system during the statement week be ginning that day, although there would be some offsetting reserve absorption by other factors. These estimates thus pointed to an over abundance of about $1 billion of nonborrowed reserves that week. Federal funds were trading at 4 1 /16 per cent, only slightly on the comfort 5 able side of the 5 per cent level sought at that time. In these circumstances the Desk sought ini tially to absorb reserves unobtrusively, limiting its operations to transactions directly with foreign accounts. The System sold Treasury bills outright to these accounts and also arranged overnight matched sale-purchase transactions with them, thereby meeting overnight invest ment requirements of the foreign accounts. Since overnight customer orders were not placed in the market on Thursday, participants con cluded that the Desk was draining reserves to a certain extent. By early afternoon, however, the weight of the reserve excess began to tell in the money market, with funds threatening to trade at 4% per cent. The Desk then entered the market to drain reserves by arranging a moderate amount of 4-day matched sale-purchase transactions. These efforts did not affect the expectations of market participants because the Treasury balance typically declines near the start of each month and the need to drain re serves was widely expected. Through most of Thursday, prices of U.S. Government securities had been edging lower in quiet activity as the market adjusted to the previous rise in the Federal funds rate. There was also some nervousness because the market was still awaiting the results of the Treasury’s offering of 10-year 7% per cent notes— the centerpiece of the May refinancing— on which 332 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 subscriptions had been taken on the preceding day. In this atmosphere, the announcement of a large increase in the wholesale price index added to the market’s concern about renewed inflationary pressures. Then late in the day, the weekly money stock data were released, show ing a decline of $800 million in the level of M-l for the statement week ended April 28. However, this decline was smaller than some market participants had expected and did little to offset the substantial growth recorded in pre vious weeks. Consequently, market observers grew more concerned that the System might continue to press for a higher trading level of the Federal funds rate. In this uneasy market atmosphere, securities prices continued to de cline. Market weakness persisted on Friday morning after the Treasury announced that it would in crease the size of the 10-year note issue by $1.2 billion to $4.7 billion because of heavy sub scriptions from investors. While dealers and others subscribing for large amounts had been allotted 15 per cent of their subscriptions, some of these subscribers by that time were hoping to receive few, if any, of the new notes. Dealers felt uncomfortable with their awards, and there was further downward pressure on prices in advance of the final refunding auction that day of an additional $750 million of 77s per cent bonds, due February 15, 2000. From the time just prior to the release of the money stock data to the close of trading on Friday, Treasury bill rates rose about 5 to 12 basis points, while prices of intermediate-term Treasury issues fell about lA to % of a point. Prices of long-term bonds fell about lVs points, as the market grew less willing to take on additional bonds in the auction. On Friday morning the new projections of the monetary aggregates continued to show unde sirable strength. The data suggested that growth of M -l would be well above the range of 4V2 to 8 V per cent specified by the Committee for 2 the April-May interval, while M-2 was running well up in the 8 to 12 per cent range. This information indicated that it would be appro priate for the Desk to seek conditions of reserve availability consistent with the Federal funds rate moving up from about 5 per cent to around 5V per cent by Wednesday, the end of the s statement week. In view of the sensitive state of the securities markets in the midst of the Treasury’s refund ing, the Desk proceeded cautiously in seeking this adjustment. Reserve projections on Friday, May 7, suggested adequate reserve availability because of the System’s operations on the pre vious day and a substantial downward revision in the estimate of reserves likely to be released by a decline in the Treasury balance. Federal funds traded at 4 1 /16 per cent and then at 5 per 5 cent. In an effort to achieve a firmer money market by Wednesday, the Desk again drained reserves unobtrusively by selling Treasury bills outright and arranging over-the-weekend matched sale-purchase transactions, in both cases with foreign accounts. Given the sensitive state of the securities markets and the Treasury’s long bond auction that day, no overt action to drain reserves was taken in the market. By Monday, new estimates of reserve avail ability suggested the need to add about $1 billion to the weekly average, reflecting another large downward revision in the estimates of reserves expected to be provided by the decline in the Treasury balance and other factors. With Federal funds opening at 5 per cent, the Desk confined its initial action to a modest purchase of Treasury bills from foreign accounts. When the funds rate began to rise above 5 per cent, the Desk entered the market to fill a good portion of the projected reserve deficit by arranging 3-day repurchase agreements. The securities markets remained apprehen sive. The bonds sold in Friday’s auction had an average yield of 8.19 per cent, higher than many had anticipated. Treasury bill rates rose an additional 5 basis points or so during the day, while prices of longer-maturity coupon issues fell by nearly V point. The corporate 2 market also reflected supply pressures, as unsold issues piled up in dealers’ inventories and a heavy forward calendar grew even larger. On Tuesday, reserve estimates indicated ade quate availability for the week, due to the Desk’s injection of the previous day and an upward revision in the effect of market factors on reserves of about $350 million for the week. Federal funds traded predominantly at 5 Vie P^r The Implementation of Monetary Policy in 1976 cent during the day. The Desk took no action in the market to affect reserve supplies but did drain reserves through matched sale-purchase transactions with foreign accounts to establish conditions that would promote a slightly firmer money market on the following day. Federal funds traded at 5 Vs per cent on the morning of Wednesday, May 12, and reserve projections indicated a moderate need to add reserves for the statement week ended that day. With conditions in the money markets about as desired, the Desk arranged temporary invest ment orders from foreign accounts in the market and awaited further developments. Funds traded steadily at 5Vs per cent until the noon hour and then moved higher. The Desk entered the mar ket at this point to provide reserves through overnight repurchase agreements. The funds rate thereafter moved back to about 5 Vs per cent. The credit markets, still digesting the recent Treasury offerings, remained quite sensitive to the Desk’s toleration of higher trading levels in Federal funds. Treasury bill rates moved up about 5 to 12 basis points, and prices of coupon issues generally fell by Vs to % of a point. The Desk’s caution during the week stemmed from the fragile state of the securities markets. Until recent years, the System typically tried to avoid changes in its posture with regard to reserve management while the Treasury was formulating its offering and while underwriters were taking on and distributing Treasury se curities on a large scale. Such “ even keel” considerations have diminished considerably in the past few years. The use of the auction technique for selling coupon securities since 1970 has substantially increased the ability of underwriters to adjust their expectations of fu ture rate levels up to the time of the Treasury’s sale. The regularization of the Treasury’s debt offerings has also reduced uncertainty regarding the size and timing of the Treasury’s borrow ings. Furthermore, given the increased fre quency of the Treasury’s sales of coupon issues, the System could no longer maintain an even keel if it were to retain flexibility in pursuing an open market policy consistent with its long term objectives. Nonetheless, the sharp rise in interest rates during the May 1976 period had not been fully anticipated in the market, and 333 underwriters incurred significant losses on this occasion. Ju n e t o M i d - O c t o b e r In early June, with projections of the aggregates showing a somewhat more moderate growth than in late May, the Manager continued to seek a Federal funds rate of around 5 x per cent. h By the June FOMC meeting, economic growth appeared to be slowing from the rapid pace seen earlier in the year, and most members viewed this deceleration as a healthy develop ment. In addition, monetary growth appeared to be settling back to a more acceptable rate. Therefore, while awaiting further information on the economic situation, the Committee fa vored relative stability in money market condi tions, preferring to avoid both a significant eas ing, which might have to be reversed shortly, and also a significant firming. It adopted an aggregates directive but specified a relatively narrow Federal funds rate range of 5 lA to 5 3 A per cent, thus limiting the potential response to deviations in the aggregates. As it turned out, the estimates of M - 1 and M-2 weakened in early July, prompting the Manager to provide reserves more readily, and the Federal funds rate fell from around 5Vi per cent to about 5 lA per cent by mid-July. The Committee retained a steady posture with respect to reserve availability over the rest of the summer. While there were signs of hesita tion in the pace of the economy, data on con sumer and business spending at times suggested that the deceleration could be temporary and similar to those observed in the recovery phases of previous business cycles. At the July meet ing, the Committee selected a wider range for the Federal funds rate as part of the specifi cations for an aggregates directive, though sev eral members still favored keeping the range narrow in view of the uncertainties in the out look. These concerns were more widespread in August, and the Committee voted for a money market directive at that time. The aggregates remained well within the specified ranges after both meetings, and the thrust of open market operations was not altered. During the summer the financial markets 334 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 began a prolonged rally, which gained consid erable momentum in August. The short-term markets were buoyed by the moderation in the growth of the money supply and the over-all stability of Federal funds trading. Long-term markets were aided by growing confidence that inflationary pressures were waning and by a cutback in demand from corporate borrowers. From the beginning of June to mid-September, 3-month Treasury bill rates fell by about 50 basis points and long-term bond yields declined around 35 basis points. With commercial banks and others extending the maturities of their purchases of Treasury coupon securities, yields on intermediate-term issues registered the larg est declines— about 65 basis points. At the September meeting, FOMC members noted the significant interest rate declines that had been registered in the debt markets. While growth in M-l had slowed, M-2 was expanding at a relatively rapid pace. As the pause in economic growth persisted, however, more at tention was given to the possibility that future growth would fall below expectations. Against this background, the Committee in September voted for an aggregates directive, structuring the Federal funds rate range to permit greater room for easing than for firming. The range was established at 4 3 to 5Vi per cent with the focal A point at 5 lA per cent, thus allowing for the possibility of a 50-basis-point decline should growth in the aggregates turn out lower than expected at the time of the meeting. In the statement week that followed the meeting, the week ended September 29, the Federal funds objective remained at 5 lA per cent. However, the Account Management ex perienced considerable difficulty in achieving this objective, as the Treasury’s operations drained a larger-than-expected volume of re serves. Initially, the Desk faced a sizable esti mated reserve deficit of $3% billion to $4 billion (daily average), mainly due to the continuing build-up in the Treasury’s accounts at the Fed eral Reserve Banks after the September 15 tax date. On the first day of that week, the Desk arranged $3.8 billion of 7-day repurchase agreements, an operation that had been an nounced to the market on the previous after noon. Whereas the reserve injections that day about met the week’s need, the Manager ex pected that withdrawals from the repurchase agreements would necessitate further reserve injections late in the week. Indeed, early terminations of such contracts, which came to $1.3 billion on a daily-average basis, substantially eroded the net reserve injec tion. Furthermore, upward revisions in the esti mates of the Treasury’s balance, amounting to $1.1 billion on average, enlarged the reserve deficit. Consequently, the money market be came quite firm beginning on Monday, Sep tember 27, and the Desk arranged five additional rounds of repurchase agreements over the rest of the statement week. Despite taking virtually all propositions for repurchase agreements on the two final days, the Desk still was unable to depress the Federal funds rate from around 53 and 5 Vi per cent to the 5% per cent objec /s tive. On Wednesday night, holdings in the repurchase account, including bankers accept ances, reached a record $8.7 billion.6 The se curities markets seemed to show little reaction to the tight conditions after the weekend, partly because they could observe the Desk making every effort to counteract the money market firmness. To prevent a repetition of the money market strains and the uncertainties associated with sizable early terminations of repurchase agree ments, the Desk instituted an alternative form of repurchase contract in the week of October 6, one that did not permit termination before maturity. On the first day of the new statement period, the Desk arranged about $1.4 billion of such agreements in addition to $4.6 billion of 4-day contracts that carried the right of early termination. As expected, most of the securities involved in the nonterminable contracts came from the portfolios of banks and other institu tions while the dealers themselves, both bank and nonbank, exhibited a preference for the terminable contracts. In early October the projections of the mone tary aggregates began to indicate a substantial weakening, in the growth of demand deposits for the September-October interval, although growth in M-2 remained near the middle of its 6This record was eclipsed on December 29 when such holdings built up to $10.7 billion. The Implementation of Monetary Policy in 1976 range. In view of this, the Desk began to seek Federal funds trading in a range of 5 V to 5 X s A per cent instead of the previous 5 lA per cent objective. When subsequent projections con firmed this picture, the Desk became steadily more accommodative, and by the time of the October meeting funds were trading at around 5 per cent. M i d -O c t o b e r t o t h e Y e a r - e n d Most FOMC members favored a slight easing in money market conditions at the October meeting. The economy’s lackluster performance continued; the growth of real GNP had slowed a little further in the third quarter from the rather modest pace of the second quarter. Moreover, the risks of a shortfall from expectations had increased, since it appeared that the slow growth of personal income, the protracted sluggishness in consumer spending, and the decline in stock market prices could, if extended, dampen busi ness confidence and adversely affect investment plans. The Committee voted an aggregates direc tive and decided to seek a decline in the Federal funds rate from 5 to 47s per cent (the middle of a 4Vi to 5% per cent range) during the first full statement week after the meeting. A few days after the meeting, however, the outlook for the monetary aggregates displayed surprising strength, with both M-l and M-2 projected near the upper limits of their tolerance ranges. M orever, it was apparent that, unless later data contradicted this outlook, an easing move would only have to be reversed 1 week later. Accordingly, the Committee concurred in the Chairman’s recommendation that the Man ager should hold the System’s posture un changed. Data received in the following week continued to indicate unexpected strength, and the Manager again consulted with the Chairman who advised that any significant increase in the Federal funds rate objective would be inconsis tent with the Committee’s intent. The Desk continued to seek reserve conditions consistent with Federal funds trading at around 5 per cent until the November meeting. At its November meeting, the Committee concluded after its review of economic and financial developments that a decline in the 335 Federal funds rate to about 47s per cent would be appropriate within the first week after the meeting, followed by a further decline to around 4 3 per cent during the second week. The Fed A eral funds rate range was set at 4 V to 5 lA per 2 cent. Subsequent changes in the objective would depend on the outlook for the aggregates. This time the monetary growth rates remained closer to expectations, although growth in M -l was slowing. In these circumstances, the Desk held to the 4 3 per cent objective through early A December and then shifted to 4% per cent when it appeared that M -l was weakening further. The deliberations at the December meeting struck a more optimistic chord as most members agreed that the business situation had strength ened. Indications of strong gains in personal consumption and residential construction sug gested that, once the decline in inventory accu mulation had run its course, economic growth would soon accelerate. The Committee pre ferred to maintain the prevailing money market conditions in the weeks ahead. In part, this reflected the difficulties in assessing the signifi cance of monetary growth rates over the December-January period. Also, improvement in the economy and substantial interest rate de clines strengthened expectations for the future. The Committee voted a money market directive and the Desk continued aiming for conditions of reserve availability consistent with Federal funds trading at 4% per cent through the year’s end. The securities markets extended the summer time rally through the end of the year. Over the last 3 months, interest rates fell consid erably, with both short- and long-term Treasury securities posting declines of about 70 basis points. The economy’s sluggish advance through most of the fourth quarter had suggested that two of the markets’ major concerns— the possibility of heavy demands from borrowers and a rebound in inflationary pressures— would not prove troublesome for the time being. In addition, very sharp price gains were recorded in the markets during those intervals when the System had shifted toward a more accommo dative interest rate stance. In late November and December the markets’ perceptions of the Desk’s moves toward ease, in conjunction with 336 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 a reduction in the Federal Reserve discount rate from 5Vi per cent to 5 lA per cent, and a flow of news that emphasized the economy’s slow growth generated expectations in the markets of further accommodative steps. The markets also reacted bullishly to the Federal Reserve’s re duction in reserve requirements in December. Speculative enthusiasm was widespread among market participants, and dealers built up inven tories of Government securities to record levels in December. Against this background, the retreat in the securities markets that followed in the first few weeks of 1977 was especially pronounced. New economic data indicating a strengthening in business activity, the absence of further accom modative steps by the System, and participants’ attempts to capture profits all gave rise to heavy selling pressure. Moreover, there were anxieties over the inflationary pressures that might arise out of the severe winter conditions and the new administration’s proposed fiscal stimulus pro gram. By the end of January, the back-up in yields on Treasury issues had eliminated a sub stantial portion of the declines posted in the fourth quarter of 1976; the sell-off in the cor porate and tax-exempt sector was less pro nounced. □ 337 Bank Holding Company Financial Developments in 1976 The year 1976 was a period of recovery for the American banking system. Following signifi cant reversals in the two previous years, bank holding companies (BHC’s) in 1976 experi enced significant growth, improved liquidity, and increased earnings. Moreover, as the year progressed there was evidence of increasing public confidence in BHC’s as a group. This article reviews the major financial de velopments of BHC’s— both one-bank and multibank— during 1976 and is based largely on data recently released by these organizations. Since financial data for all BHC’s are not yet available, this review is limited to the 100 largest BHC’s. These 100 organizations, how ever, have the bulk of the assets held by all BHC’s, and their financial developments should depict developments of the entire group. BHC A SSET AND LO A N GROW TH Between year-end 1975 and year-end 1976 the consolidated total assets of the 100 largest BHC’s increased from $626.4 billion to $678.0 billion, or 8.2 per cent.1 This rise, in large part reflecting the growth of holding company banks, far outpaced the unusually slow 2.7 per cent increase in 1975. However, the growth in total assets in 1976 was somewhat less than the growth of gross national product as measured in current dollars. Net loans2 of the 100 largest BHC’s increased N o t e .— A n th on y C yrnak and S am u el T a lley o f the B o a rd ’s D iv isio n o f R esearch and S tatistics prepared this a rticle. *See T ab le 1 for the asset grow th o f the largest 10 and largest 25 B H C ’s. 2 N et loan s equal gross loan s m inus unearned in com e from loan s and reserves for loan lo ss e s. M ajor B H C ’s began reporting loan s on a net b asis in 1975. 1. Selected balance sheet items for major bank holding companies Amounts in billions of dollars BHC’s Year-end 1975 Year-end 1976 Percentage change Total assets Largest 10 ................ 25 ................ 100 .............. 322.5 449.9 626.4 354.4 488.5 678.0 9.9 8.6 8.2 Net loans Largest 10 ................ 2 5 .................. 100 .............. 183.3 251.2 342.2 197.0 269.0 364.3 7.5 7.1 6.5 Stockholders’ equity Largest 10 ................ 25 ................ 100 .............. 12.2 18.4 29.1 13.6 20.3 31.5 11.5 10.3 8.2 during 1976 from $342.2 billion to $364.3 bil lion, or 6.5 per cent. This growth, which was slightly less than the growth of total assets, stands in contrast to the unusual 1.3 per cent decline experienced the previous year. During 1976 consumer instalment and real estate loans proved to be the major areas of loan growth. In contrast, business loan demand was relatively weak, continuing the pattern of the previous year. During 1976 the liquidity of most major BHC’s improved significantly. This strengthen ing occurred on both sides of BHC balance sheets. On the asset side, for example, the ratio of net loans to total assets for the top 100 BHC’s fell from 54.6 per cent to 53.7 per cent. This decline was mainly offset by a continuation of the sharp rise in U.S. Government security holdings that had begun in 1975. On the liability side, BHC’s experienced a shift toward more 338 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 stable sources of funds with savings-type de posits displacing relatively volatile money mar ket instruments such as negotiable certificates of deposit. 3. Selected performance data for major bank holding companies Amounts in millions of dollars Item B H C C A P IT A L The stockholders’ equity of the 100 largest BHC’s increased from $29.1 billion to $31.5 billion, or 8.2 per cent, during 1976. However, because total assets of these organizations also increased 8.2 per cent, the ratio of stockholders’ equity to total assets remained unchanged from year-end 1975 to year-end 1976 at 4.65 per cent. This stability during 1976 contrasts both with a sharp deterioration in BHC equity capital ratios during the early 1970’s and with a signif icant increase in 1975. The 10 largest BHC’s recorded the greatest percentage gain in stockholders’ equity in 1976 (Table 1). However, these money center orga nizations, which are heavily involved in inter national banking, also experienced the largest percentage gains in total assets. Consequently, this group posted only a very slight increase in their equity capital ratio. 2. Selected balance sheet ratios for major bank holding companies In per cent BHC’s Year-end 1975 Year-end 1976 Change Net loans to total assets Largest 10 ................ 25 ................ 100 .............. 56.8 55.8 54.6 55.6 55.1 53.7 (1.2) ( -7) ( -9) Stockholders’ equity to total assets Largest 10 ................ 25 ................ 100 .............. 3.78 4.09 4.65 3.84 4.16 4.65 .06 .07 .00 B H C P R O F IT S Profits for the 100 largest BHC’s rose moder ately during 1976 after increasing very little during the previous year. Consolidated aggre 1975 1976 Percentage change Income before securities gains and losses (after tax) ....... Provisions for loan losses ... Net loan charge-offs .............. Reserves for loan losses ....... 3,267 2,815 2,359 3,734 3,437 2,624 2,492 3,874 5.2 (6.8) 5.6 3.7 Ratio of reserves for loan losses to year-end net loans ....... 1.09 1.06 gate income before securities gains and losses increased to $3,437 million— 5.2 per cent greater than the $3,267 million recorded in 1975 (Table 3). Although changes in profits at indi vidual BHC’s varied significantly, the increase in over-all profitability was generally broadbased with 70 of the 100 firms posting an increase. The continued existence of substantial interest rate spreads— the difference between the rates received on interest-bearing assets and the rates paid on interest-bearing liabilities— was an im portant factor contributing to 1976 BHC profits. Although these spreads were somewhat nar rower than the record levels during 1975, they combined with moderate asset growth to increase net interest revenues at many major BHC’s. Other factors that bolstered profits at many BHC’s included tight control over non-interest costs and an increase in revenues from both bond transactions and trust operations. A reduction in loan loss provisions also im proved BHC profits during 1976. The level of loan loss provisions for the 100 largest BHC’s declined 6.8 per cent from the previous year. This decline was in large part due to the as sumption that actual loan charge-offs during 1976 would not increase so dramatically as in 1975. As expected, aggregate net loan chargeoffs for the 100 largest BHC’s increased only 5.6 per cent during 1976— far below the sharp increase that had occurred in the previous year. Despite the decline in loan loss provisions, loan loss reserves rose from $3,734 million in 1975 to $3,874 million in 1976. Under current BHC accounting methods, loan loss provisions Bank Holding Company Financial Developments in 1976 increase the reserve for loan losses, while net loan charge-offs reduce the reserve. During 1976 loan loss provisions exceeded net chargeoffs by $132 million and were largely responsi ble for the 3.7 per cent increase in reserves. However, with net loans rising faster than re serves, the ratio of reserves to year-end net loans declined slightly during 1976 from 1.09 per cent to 1.06 per cent. Profits at the 10 largest BHC’s during 1976 rose at roughly one-half the rate of those at the remaining 90— 3.6 per cent compared with 6.8 per cent. One factor contributing to the slower profit growth for the 10 largest was that their provisions for loan losses fell only 4.8 per cent compared with 9 per cent for the remaining 90 BHC’s.3 Another factor was a slowdown in the growth of earnings from foreign activities, in which the 10 largest organizations are heavily engaged. Continued high volume but somewhat narrower interest rate spreads on foreign loans reduced the over-all contribution to profits from this important source at a majority of the 10 largest BHC’s. 339 4. Long-term debt and equity issues by bank holding companies Amounts in millions of dollars Year 1973 1974 1975 1976 ................ ................ ................ ................ Long-term debt 877 2,314 1,320 1,639 Common stock 48 10 38 340 Preferred stock 10 121 Total 925 2,334 1,479 1,979 volved common stock, unlike 1975 when more than three-fourths was preferred stock. There were several significant aspects of bond financing by BHC’s during 1976. First, bond financing was dominated by the 10 largest BHC’s, which accounted for about 53 per cent of the total for all BHC’s. Second, BHC’s resorted heavily to the private placement market in 1976, with 41 per cent of total BHC bond offerings being sold through this market. This widespread use of private placements in 1976 compares with only 10 per cent of BHC bonds being privately placed in 1975 and 2 per cent in 1974. B H C S E C U R IT Y IS S U E S BHC STO CK A N D B O N D TR EN D S During 1976 BHC’s issued nearly $2 billion of long-term debt and equity issues. This amount was up from almost $1.5 billion in 1975, but trailed the $2.3 billion issued in 1974 when BHC’s sold more than $1 billion of floating rate notes. About half of the financing in 1976 oc curred during the final quarter of the year. The composition of the securities issued in 1976 was quite different from recent years (Table 4). For example, during the 1973-75 period less than 5 per cent of BHC security financing was in the form of equity. In 1976, however, equity financing amounted to 17 per cent of the total. This increase in equity financ ing was apparently due to improved BHC stock prices and a desire by some BHC’s to boost their equity capital ratios, which in many cases had declined sharply during the early 1970’s. All of the equity financing done in 1976 in- Prices of BHC common stock, which were relatively low at the end of 1975, rose signifi cantly during 1976. However, there were con siderable differences in the price performance of various groups of BHC’s. For example, Standard and Poor’s stock price index for New York City banks rose about 13 per cent during 1976, whereas the index for banks outside New York City rose about 37 per cent.4 This was the second consecutive year that so-called re gional BHC stocks outpaced New York City BHC stocks. One likely reason for the relatively poor performance of the organizations in New York City is that several recorded poor earnings in 1976. Between year-end 1975 and year-end 1976 the yield to maturity of a representative group of long-term BHC bonds dropped from almost 3N et loan ch a rg e-offs o f the 10 largest B H C ’s fell 0 .3 per cent during 1976 but rose nearly 13 per cent for the rem aining 9 0 . -------------------4Standard and P o o r’s co m p o site 5 0 0 -sto ck in d ex rose about 19 per cen t during 1976. 340 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 IOV4 per cent to about 8 V per cent. This sharp 2 decline in part reflects the general downward trend in bond yields during 1976. However, it also seems to reflect increased investor confi dence in BHC’s as measured by the difference between the yields on long-term BHC bonds and on long-term U.S. Government bonds that are free from credit risk. Between year-end 1975 and year-end 1976 this risk premium dropped from about 2 x percentage points to slightly less h than IV2 percentage points. C O N C L U S IO N In retrospect, 1976 represented a period of con tinuing recovery for BHC’s from the problems encountered during the recent recession. During the year BHC assets and loans increased signif icantly, liquidity improved, earnings rose mod erately, and capital ratios remained constant. Moreover, there appeared to be an increase in public confidence in BHC’s, as suggested by sharply increasing BHC stock prices and a sig nificant decline in the risk premiums attached to BHC bonds. While BHC’s had a satisfactory year in 1976, they still face certain problems as they enter 1977. For example, some BHC’s still have a sizable amount of nonaccruing loans to real estate investment trusts on their books. In addi tion, some observers have become increasingly concerned over bank loans to the non-oilproducing, less-developed countries. Finally, there has been evidence in recent months of narrowing interest rate spreads in both domestic and foreign markets. As 1977 unfolds, these factors will undoubtedly warrant attention. □ 341 Changes in Bank Lending Practices, 1976 The Federal Reserve has conducted quarterly surveys of changes in bank lending practices at large commercial banks in February, May, Au gust, and November of each year since 1964. The surveys provide information about changes in recent and anticipated demand for business loans, in price and nonprice terms of lending, and in banks’ willingness to make various types of loans other than short-term business loans. This article continues the series of annual re views of the surveys and summarizes the re sponses of the 121 banks included in the 1976 sample. During most of 1976 the demand for business loans was weak, reflecting the modest recovery of business capital spending coupled with heavy long-term financing aimed at restructuring bal ance sheets to rebuild liquidity and reduce risk exposure. Despite a substantial recovery in cor porate profit margins during 1976, the typical cyclical resurgence of business spending for fixed capital and inventories did not materialize. With capital spending restrained and long-term financings large, corporations continued to re duce their indebtedness to banks for much of the year, as they had in 1975. In the last quarter of the year, business loans began to increase. Although some of the strength in late 1976 represented heavy acquisi tions of bankers acceptances, which are in cluded in business loans, other business loans still had a positive growth rate. The evidence from the lending practices surveys suggests that the recent growth in business loans reflects both N o t e .— John T . S cott o f the B oard ’s D iv isio n o f R esearch and S tatistics prepared this article. R ichard C . S te v en s o f the D iv isio n o f D ata P rocessin g provid ed the author w ith cu m u lative totals; in a cu m u lative total each bank is cou n ted o n ly o n c e , w h ereas the table data in clu d e the bank each tim e it reported in a particular categ o ry for each su rvey period. a moderate upturn in demand and somewhat easier lending terms at some banks. The behavior of the terms of lending at large commercial banks during 1976 can in part be explained by the same forces that weakened the demand for business loans. Businesses were reluctant to make commitments for new capital spending, despite favorable profit and liquidity positions, in view of reduced capacity utilization rates and a cautious attitude toward investment stemming from the turbulent economic environ ment of recent years. Bankers also displayed a cautious attitude throughout 1976 because of their experience during the recent years of in stability in the economy. The quarterly survey tables show that in the face of weak business loan demand, only a growing minority of large banks eased slightly some terms of lending to nonfinancial business during the year; over all, banks did not substantially ease their terms. In general, the banks’ policies toward interest rates and standards of creditworthiness illustrate their careful approach to terms of lending throughout 1976; their policies regarding compensating balance requirements and the maturity of term loans illustrate the moderate easing in policy that did occur at some banks. In the first survey of 1976 taken in February, almost half of the banks reported weaker de mand for business loans and less than one-tenth reported stronger demand. Half of the respond ents reported a moderately easier policy with regard to interest rates.1 About one-sixth of the in te rp reta tio n o f th ese resp on ses is com p licated b e cau se so m e banks h ave at tim es con sid ered a ch an ge in the prim e rate a ch a n g e in p o lic y , w h ile others h ave fo cu sed on the relation sh ip b etw een the prim e rate and open m arket rates. T h is com p lication is reflected in the February resp on se. D uring the 3 m onth s p reced in g the February su rvey, both the prim e rate and the rate on 90- to 119-day com m ercial paper fe ll, but the h istori ca lly h igh spread o f about 165 b asis p oin ts b etw een these rates ch an ged very little. 342 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 had not picked up by mid-May when the second survey of the year was taken. About one-fourth of the respondents reported moderately weaker demand for business loans, while demand was about the same as in mid-February for more than three-fifths of the banks. Most bankers reported that their policy on interest rates was un changed, and almost all of the other respondents reported moderately easier policy. Although the prime rate was unchanged at 6 3 per cent A throughout this survey period, the spread be- banks reported moderately easier policy on compensating balances, but other nonprice terms of lending were essentially unchanged. Almost one-third of the respondents were more willing to make consumer instalment loans and term loans to businesses, while a smaller num ber were more disposed to make other types of loans. This pattern of reported increasing will ingness to make various types of loans persisted throughout 1976. Demand for commercial and industrial loans QUARTERLY SURVEY—FEBRUARY 1976 Changes in bank lending practices at selected large banks: Policy on February 15, 1976, compared with policy 3 months earlier N u m b er o f b a n k s; figures in parentheses indicate percentage distribution o f total banks reporting Much stronger Item Strength of demand for commercial and in dustrial loans:1 Compared with 3 months earlier............. Anticipated in next 3 m onths................... Much firmer policy 121 121 121 121 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 121 121 121 1 21 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (.8) (.8) (.8) (.8) 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) Essentially unchanged Moderately weaker 9 42 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) Total Loans to nonfinancial businesses: Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Standards o f creditworthiness............... Maturity of term loans.......................... Moderately stronger 56 66 53 (7.4) (34.7) Moderately firmer policy (.8) (46.3) (54.6) Essentially unchanged (43.8) (9.9) (2.5) Moderately easier policy Much easier policy 12 (2.5) (2.5) (6.6) (.8) (.8) 58 99 110 108 (47.9) (81.8) (90.9) (89.3) 60 19 1 10 (2.5) (5.0) (2.5) (9.9) 103 94 107 95 (85.1) (77.7) (88.4) (78.6) 20 10 104 105 (86.0) 7 (86.7) 10 (5.8) (8.3) (2.5) (2.5) (3.3) (9.1) 98 117 115 101 (81.0) (96.7) (95.0) (83.4) 20 1 2 7 (.8) (16.5) (8.3) (10.7) (7.4) (5.0) ( 1 .7 ) Much weaker (49.6) (15.7) (.8) (8.3) (16.5) (.8) (1.7) (5.8) (.8) P ractice c o n c e rn in g rev iew o f cred it lin es or loan applications: Established customers............................ New customers......................................... Local service area customers................. Nonlocal service area customers......... Factors relating to applicant:2 Value as depositor or source o f collat eral business.......................................... Intended use of the loan........................ Loans to independent finance companies:3 Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Enforcement of balance requirements. Establishing new or larger credit lines. 121 121 121 121 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) Total Willingness to make other types of loans: Term loans to businesses........................... Consumer instalment loans....................... Single-family mortgage loans................... Multifamily mortgage loans...................... All other mortgage loans........................... Participation loans with correspondent banks...................................................... Loans to brokers.......................................... 121 120 120 120 120 121 121 ( 1 .7 ) Considerably less willing (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 1 After allowance for bank’s usual seasonal variation. 2 For these factors, firmer means the factors were considered to be more important in making decisions for approving credit requests, and easier means they were considered to be less important. 3 6 3 12 3 3 4 11 Moderately less willing Essentially unchanged 14 13 (11.6) Moderately more willing 4 3 1 7 3 (3.3) (2.5) (.8) (5.8) (2.5) 79 81 103 109 109 (65.3) (67.5) (85.9) (90.9) (90.9) 37 34 13 3 7 (30.6) (28.3) (10.8) (2.5) (5.8) 5 1 (.8) (.8) (.8) (4.1) (.8 ) 92 98 (76.1) (81.0) 24 21 (19.8) (17.4) Considerably more willing 1 2 2 (.8) (1.7) (1.7) (.8) 3 “Independent,” or “noncaptive,” finance companies are finance companies other than those organized by a parent company mainly for the purpose of financing dealer inventory and carrying instalment loans generated through the sale of the parent company’s products. Changes in Bank Lending Practices, 1976 tween the prime rate and the rate on 90- to 119-day prime commercial paper had decreased somewhat. One-fifth of the respondents reported some what easier policy on compensating balances in mid-May, bringing to more than one-fourth the proportion that had indicated easier require ments on balances on one or both of the first two surveys of 1976. There was no marked change of policy on other nonprice terms of lending in the May survey. The pattern of in 343 creased willingness to make certain types of loans continued. In May the responding bankers had reported a relatively optimistic projection of the upcom ing strength of business loan demand. However, the August survey showed that on balance de mand was essentially unchanged at responding banks, with three-fifths of the banks reporting unchanged demand and the rest equally divided between the moderately weaker and moderately stronger categories. Bankers reported some eas- QUARTERLY SURVEY—MAY 1976 Changes in bank lending practices at selected large banks: Policy on May 15, 1976, compared with policy 3 months earlier Number of banks; figures in parentheses indicate percentage distribution of total banks reporting Much stronger Item Strength of demand for commercial and in dustrial loans:1 Compared with 3 months earlier............... Anticipated in next 3 m onths..................... Moderately stronger Total Much firmer policy Moderately weaker Much weaker 17 64 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) Essentially unchanged 75 55 28 2 1 Moderately firmer policy Loans to nonfinancial businesses: Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Standards o f creditworthiness............... Maturity o f term loans.......................... 120 121 121 121 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) Practice concerning review o f credit lines or loan applications: Established customers............................ New customers......................................... Local service area customers................. Nonlocal service area customers......... 121 121 121 121 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) Factors relating to applicant:2 Value as depositor or source o f collat eral business.......................................... Intended use o f the lo a n ........................ 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) 9 3 121 121 121 121 Loans to independent finance companies:3 Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Enforcement o f balance requirements. Establishing new or larger credit lines. Willingness to make other types of loans: Term loans to businesses........................... Consumer instalment loans....................... Single-family mortgage loans................... Multifamily mortgage loans...................... All other mortgage loans........................... Participation loans with correspondent banks...................................................... Loans to brokers.......................................... (62.1) (45.4) Essentially unchanged 17 23 3 13 111 14 (7.4) (2.5) 103 115 (85.2) (95.0) 1 (.8) (2.5) (5.0) 117 116 110 102 (96.7) (95.9) (90.9) (84.2) 121 120 120 118 120 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 1 (-8) (.8) 1 2 2 (.8) (1.7) (1.7) (2.5) (1.7) 121 121 (100.0) (100.0) 1 1 (.8) (-8) (.8) Much easier policy (6.6) (H.6) (91.7) (85.9) (94.2) (88.5) Moderately less willing (-8) (14.2) (19.0) (2.5) (10.7) 3 6 Considerably less willing Moderately easier policy (84.1) (78.5) (91.7) (88.5) 104 114 107 (.8) (23.1) (1.7) 101 95 111 107 (.8) (.8) (1.7) (2.5) 1 After allowance for bank’s usual seasonal variation. 2 For these factors, firmer means the factors were considered to be more important in making decisions for approving credit requests, and easier means they were considered to be less important. (1.7) (1.7) (4.1) (.8) (.8) (1.7) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) Total (14.0) (52.9) Essentially unchanged 6 12 (5.0) (9.9) (7.4) (2.5) 3 5 8 11 (2.5) (4.1) (6.6) (9.1) (1.7) Moderately more willing Considerably more willing 88 80 97 111 103 (72.8) (66.6) (80.9) (94.1) (85.9) 31 32 18 3 13 (25.6) (26.7) (15.0) (2.5) (10.8) 8 1 1 (.8) 99 101 (81.8) (83.5) 18 17 (14.9) (14.0) 3 2 (2.5) (1.7) (6.7) (.8) 3 “Independent,” or “noncaptive,” finance companies are finance companies other than those organized by a parent company mainly for the purpose of financing dealer inventory and carrying instalment loans generated through the sale of the parent company’s products. 344 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 pensating balance requirements. As in midMay, about one-fourth of the responding banks reported an increased willingness to make term loans to businesses and consumer instalment loans. Despite the strong upturn in business loans during October— after allowance for usual sea sonal variation, bankers by and large remained skeptical that business loan demand had finally strengthened. It should be noted that a portion of the upturn in business loans in October had ing of interest rate policy between the May and August surveys; one-fifth reported moderately easier interest rate policy, with almost all of the remainder reporting unchanged policy.2 They also reported further easing of policy on com- 2This further illustrates the difficulty in interpreting the responses about interest rate policy. The spread between the prime rate and the 90- to 119-day commer cial paper rate had increased somewhat to about its February level. QUARTERLY SURVEY—AUGUST 1976 Changes in bank lending practices at selected large banks : Policy on August 15, 1976, compared with policy 3 months earlier Number of banks; figures in parentheses indicate percentage distribution of total banks reporting Item Total Strength of demand for commercial and in dustrial loans:1 Compared with 3 months earlier............. Anticipated in next 3 m onths................... Much stronger Moderately stronger Total Loans to nonfinancial businesses: Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Standards o f creditworthiness............... Maturity o f term loans.......................... 121 121 121 121 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) Practice concerning review o f credit lines or loan applications: Established customers............................ New customers......................................... Local service area customers................. Nonlocal service area customers......... 121 121 121 121 Factors relating to applicant:2 Value as depositor or source of collat eral business.......................................... Intended use of the loan........................ Much firmer policy Loans to independent finance companies:3 Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Enforcement of balance requirements. Establishing new or larger credit lines. 24 3 Moderately firmer policy (60.4) (44.6) Essentially unchanged Much weaker (19.8) (2.5) Moderately easier policy (2.5) (1.7) (2.5) (4.1) 93 107 117 104 (76.8) (88.4) (96.7) (86.0) 25 12 12 (9.9) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 2 6 3 5 (1.7) (5.0) (2.5) (4.1) 112 111 112 109 (92.5) (91.7) (92.5) (90.1) 7 4 6 7 (5.8) (3.3) (5.0) (5.8) 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) 10 (8.3) (3.3) 105 109 (86.7) (90.1) (5.0) (5.0) (2.5) (5.0) (5.0) 108 116 113 105 (89.2) (95.9) (93.4) (86.7) Much easier policy (20.7) (9.9) (4.1) 121 121 121 121 (.8) 4 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 121 120 120 119 120 121 121 (1.7) (.8) (.8) 0 .7 ) Considerably less willing (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 1 After allowance for bank’s usual seasonal variation. 2 For these factors, firmer means the factors were considered to be more important in making decisions for approving credit requests, and easier means they were considered to be less important. 73 54 (19.8) (52.9) 3 2 3 5 Total Willingness to make other types of loans: Term loans to businesses........................... Consumer instalment loans....................... Single-family mortgage loans................... Multifamily mortgage loans..................... All other mortgage loans........................... Participation loans with correspondent banks...................................................... Loans to brokers.......................................... Moderately weaker 24 64 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) Essentially unchanged Moderately less willing Essentially unchanged (.8) 114 108 (71.9) (70.9) (85.0) (95.8) (90.1) (2.5) 0 .7 ) 96 107 (79.3) (88.4) (4.1) (.8) 0 .7 ) 87 85 102 (6.6) (.8) (.8) (6.6) Moderately more willing 29 31 14 4 10 21 1 1 (24.0) (25.8) (11.7) (3.4) (8.3) (17.4) (9.1) Considerably more willing (2.5) (.8) (.8) (.8) 3 “Independent,” or “noncaptive,” finance companies are finance companies other than those organized by a parent company mainly for the purpose of financing dealer inventory and carrying instalment loans generated through the sale of the parent company’s products. Changes in Bank Lending Practices, 1976 been the result of large purchases of bankers acceptances included in the business loan cate gory. However, taken together, the mid-August and mid-November surveys suggest that about 30 per cent of the sample had experienced an unambiguous strengthening in demand over the 6-month period;3 the decline in the strength of 345 business loan demand during the first half of the year had clearly stopped.4 In mid-November, half of the respondents reported moderately easier policy on interest rates, with almost all of the rest reporting an unchanged policy. The trend toward easing un doubtedly reflected the fact that the prime rate had fallen from 7 per cent to 6 V per cent; but 2 3Unambiguous strength means that strengthening de mands were reported in either or both periods and that no weakening was reported. 4Subsequently the strengthening in business loan de mand has become more prevalent. QUARTERLY SURVEY—NOVEMBER 1976 Changes in bank lending practices at selected large banks: Policy on November 15, 1976, compared with policy 3 months earlier Number of banks; figures in parentheses indicate percentage distribution of total banks reporting Total Strength of demand for commercial and in dustrial loans:1 Compared with 3 months earlier............. Anticipated in next 3 m onths................... 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) Much stronger Moderately stronger Essentially unchanged Moderately weaker 1 23 43 81 69 15 9 (.8) Much firmer policy Loans to nonfinancial businesses: Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Standards o f creditworthiness............... Maturity o f term loans.......................... 121 121 121 121 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) Practice concerning review o f credit lines or loan applications: Established customers............................ New customers......................................... Local service area customers................. Nonlocal service area customers......... 121 1 21 1 21 121 (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) Factors relating to applicant:2 Value as depositor or source o f collat eral business.......................................... Intended use of the lo a n ........................ Loans to independent finance companies:3 Terms and conditions: Interest rates charged.............................. Compensating or supporting balances. Enforcement o f balance requirements. Establishing new or larger credit lines. Essentially unchanged (12.4) (7.4) Moderately easier policy 2 1 1 2 (1.7) (.8) (.8 ) (1.7) 57 90 117 100 (47.1) (74.4) (96.7) (82.6) 62 27 2 19 (51.2) (22.3) (1.7) (15.7) (-8) 2 3 2 5 (1.7) (2.5) (1.7) (4.1) 105 103 112 103 (86.7) (85.1) (92.5) (85.1) 14 14 7 11 121 (100.0) 121 (100.0) 10 1 (8.3) (.8) 98 108 (81.0) (89.3) 13 12 3 2 3 5 (2.5) (1.7) (2.5) (4.1) 95 115 114 98 (78.5) (95.0) (94.2) (81.0) 23 4 4 16 (-8) Much easier policy (10.7) (9.9) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 1 (11.6) (11.6) (5.8) (9.1) (19.0) (3.3) (3.3) (13.2) 1 21 11 2 121 121 1 (1.7) Considerably less willing (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) (100.0) 119 (100.0) 120 (100.0) 121 (100.0) 121 120 120 120 1 After allowance for bank’s usual seasonal variation. 2 For these factors, firmer means the factors were considered to be more important in making decisions for approving credit requests, and easier means they were considered to be less important. Moderately firmer policy (67.0) (57.1) (.8) Total Willingness to make other types of loans: Term loans to businesses............................ Consumer instalment loans....................... Single-family mortgage loans.................... Multifamily mortgage loans ...................... All other mortgage loans........................... Participation loans with correspondent banks....................................................... Loans to brokers.......................................... (19.0) (35.5) Much weaker Moderately less willing Essentially unchanged Moderately more willing (3.3) (1.7) (1.7) 73 90 98 117 108 (60.3) (75.0) (81.7) (97.5) (90.7) 44 26 16 (36.4) (21.7) (13.3) 9 (.8) 91 100 (75.8) (82.7) 26 16 (21.7) (13.2) (2.5) Considerably more willing 1 (-8) (7.6) (2.5) (.8) (.8) (.8) 3 1 (.8) 3 2 (2.5) (1.7) (1.7) (2.5) 3 “Independent,” or “noncaptive,” finance companies are finance companies other than those organized by a parent company mainly for the purpose of financing dealer inventory and carrying instalment loans generated through the sale of the parent company’s products. 346 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 the spread between the prime rate and open market rates had changed little. One-fourth of the respondents had eased policy on compen sating balances, bringing to almost one-half the proportion that had eased such policy at some time during the year. About one-sixth of the banks reported easier policy on the maturity of term loans to businesses, and willingness to make most of the specific types of loans covered in the survey again increased. The cumulative proportions of respondents that at some time during 1976 expressed greater willingness to make term loans to businesses and consumer instalment loans were greater than one-half. 347 Changes in Time and Savings Deposits at Commercial Banks, July-October 1976 This article describes the results of the survey of time and savings deposits that was conducted in October 1976 jointly by the Federal Reserve System and the Federal Deposit Insurance Cor poration. In addition, it shows revisions of data for the survey conducted in July and originally published in the December B u l l e t i n . 1 A s noted in December, the original July estimates reflected deposit relationships from the call re port for March. Now that such data for June are available, these initial figures have been re-estimated.2 The revisions also reflect some unusually large corrections of reported data, particularly among the categories of small de nomination time deposits issued to govern mental units. These items had not been collected before July, and the dearth of historical data made editing difficult. For the 3 months ending October 28, 1976, growth in time and savings deposits at insured commercial banks proceeded at a moderate pace, as the continuing absolute decline in large-denomination ($100,000 and over) time deposits offset only in part the fairly strong growth in savings and small-denomination (less than $100,000) time deposits. Total time and N o t e .— Jo h n R . W illia m s o f th e B o a r d ’s D iv is io n o f R e se a r c h a n d S ta tis tic s p r e p a red th is a r tic le . P u r v e y s o f tim e a n d s a v in g s d e p o s its ( S T S D ) at all m e m b e r b a n k s w e r e c o n d u c te d b y th e B o a rd o f G o v e r nors in la te 1 9 6 5 , in e a r ly 1 9 6 6 , a n d q u a rterly in 1 9 6 7 . In Ja n u a ry a n d J u ly 1 9 6 7 th e s u r v e y s a ls o in c lu d e d data fo r a ll in su r e d n o n m e m b e r b a n k s c o lle c t e d b y th e F e d eral D e p o s it In su ra n ce C o r p o r a tio n (F D I C ). S in c e th e b e g in n in g o f 1 9 6 8 th e B o a rd o f G o v e r n o r s an d th e F D IC h a v e jo in tly c o n d u c te d q u a rterly s u r v e y s to p r o v id e e stim a te s fo r a ll in su r e d c o m m e r c ia l b a n k s b a s e d on a p r o b a b ility s a m p le o f b a n k s. T h e r esu lts o f a ll ea rlier s u r v e y s h a v e a p p ea r e d in p r e v io u s B u l l e t i n s fr o m 1 9 6 6 to 1 9 7 6 , th e m o s t r ec e n t b e in g D e c e m b e r 1 9 7 6 . 2 D a ta fo r O c to b e r are b a s e d o n d e p o s it r e la tio n s h ip s fr o m th e S e p te m b e r c a ll rep ort. savings deposits increased during the period by $7.9 billion, or at a 6.8 per cent annual rate, not seasonally adjusted. With banks generally maintaining offering rates on consumer deposits at the Federally imposed maximum levels— even as Treasury yields fell below the ceilings on savings and most maturities of time depos its— savings and interest-bearing, small-denom ination time deposits expanded by $14.7 billion, or at an annual rate of nearly 18 per cent. In contrast, interest-bearing, large-denomination time deposits declined $6.6 billion, or at an annual rate of almost 20 per cent, as banks again allowed certificates of deposit to run off in view of still modest loan growth coupled with rapid inflows of other deposits. SAVINGS DEPOSITS Between July and October, yields on short-term market securities, such as Treasury bills, de clined from just above the maximum rate pay able on savings deposits to just below the ceil ing; therefore, savings deposits at commercial banks provided an attractive temporary invest ment alternative throughout the period. In reac tion, inflows to savings accounts totaled $7.4 billion, or 16 per cent at an annual rate, not seasonally adjusted. Among ownership classes of savings deposits, the portion held by individ uals and nonprofit organizations grew least rap idly, rising about 12 per cent on an annual basis. Higher growth rates prevailed for holdings of governmental units and businesses, reflecting the continued adaptation by such customers to the opportunity to substitute savings for demand deposits as well as portfolio adjustments in duced by low market rates. Profit-making orga nizations, which had become eligible to own 348 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 savings deposits in November 1975, increased deposit balances at about an 85 per cent annual rate, not seasonally adjusted, while domestic governmental units, eligible since November 1974, increased their balances at a rate of nearly 80 per cent. At the end of October, commercial banks in general were continuing to pay maximum al low able rates on savings accounts. The weighted-average rate paid on inflows to all savings deposits remained unchanged from July at 4.91 per cent. Moreover, the proportion of banks paying the ceiling rate for new deposits of individuals and nonprofit organizations fell only slightly, with the decline limited to banks with total deposits under $100 million. Indeed, the share of personal savings at banks that were paying the maximum rate remained steady at 86 per cent. Commercial banks apparently were still reluctant to cut offering rates on consumer deposits in view of expectations of generally higher interest rate levels in 1977 and stiff deposit competition with thrift institutions. SMALL-DENOMINATION TIME DEPOSITS Strong growth in interest-bearing, small-denom ination time deposits over the August-October period was entirely concentrated in holdings other than those of domestic governmental units. Such time deposits held by nongovern mental entities expanded by more than 20 per cent at an annual rate to a level of $148 billion. In contrast, small-denomination time deposits 1. Types of time and savings deposits held by insured commercial banks on survey date, July 28, and October 27, 1976 Deposits Number o f issuing banks In millions o f dollars Type o f deposit July 28 Oct. 27 July 28 Oct. 27 Percentage change July 28-Oct. 27, 1976 Total time and savings deposits................................. 14,365 14,384 469,811 477,722 1.7 Savings....................................................................... Issued to : Individuals and nonprofit organizations........ Partnerships and corporations operated for profit (other than commercial banks). .. Domestic governmental units........................... All other................................................................ 14,332 14,384 183,946 191,388 4.0 14,332 14,384 174,349 179,700 3.1 7,958 6,183 1,046 8,146 6,080 748 6,210 3,248 139 7,553 3,880 256 21.6 19.5 84.7 14,058 14,080 145,173 152,414 5.0 10,592 10,407 4,422 4,176 -5 .6 4,865 7,412 4,168 7,773 13,974 4,301 7,498 4,375 7,786 14,049 1,499 1,170 756 997 140,751 1,141 1,168 688 1,178 148,238 - 2 3 .9 -0 .2 -9 .0 18.2 5.3 6,153 11,574 8,697 13,195 12,056 11,762 7,992 6,324 11,464 8,951 13,553 12,204 11,773 8,168 7,855 27,064 4,854 33,008 18,690 41,372 7,909 7,319 29,844 4,414 33,919 18,445 44,921 9,377 -6 .8 10.3 -9 .1 2.8 -1 .3 8.6 18.6 11,154 11,186 133,733 127,158 -4 .9 1,609 1,315 628 1,667 1,415 683 4,802 1,556 3,246 4,876 1,588 3,288 1.5 2 .0 1.3 8,962 9,021 2,158 1,887 - 1 2 .6 Interest-bearing time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000....................................... Issued to : Domestic governmental units.............................. Accounts with original maturity o f: 30 up to 90 days.............................................. 90 up to 180 days............................................ 180 days up to 1 year..................................... 1 year and over................................................ Other than domestic governmental units.......... Accounts with original maturity o f: 30 up to 90 days.............................................. 90 up to 180 days............................................ 180 days up to 1 year..................................... 1 up to 2l/ i years............................................ 2 Vi up to 4 years............................................ 4 up to 6 years................................................. 6 years and over.............................................. Interest-bearing time deposits in denominations of $100,000 or more........................................ Non-interest-bearing time deposits in denomi nations o f.......................................................... Less than $100,000.............................................. Club accounts (Christmas savings, vacation, or similar club account)................................. N ote .— All banks that had either discontinued offering or never offered certain deposit types as o f the survey date are not counted as issuing banks. However, small amounts o f deposits held at banks that had discontinued issuing certain deposit types are included in the amounts outstanding. Figures may not add to totals because o f rounding. Changes in Time and Savings Deposits 2. 349 Small-denomination time and savings deposits held by insured commercial banks on July 28, and October 27, 1976, by type of deposit, by most common rate paid on new de posits in each category, and by size of bank Size o f bank (total deposits in millions of dollars) All banks Deposit group, and dis tribution o f deposits by most common rate Less than 100 Oct. 27 Size o f bank (total deposits in millions of dollars) All banks July 28 Oct. 27 July 28 100 and over Oct. 27 July 28 Less than 100 Oct. 27 Number o f banks, or percentage distribution 14,384 100 4 .7 10.3 85.0 14,332 100 3 .0 10.3 86.8 13,466 100 4 .6 10.5 84.9 13,440 100 2 .8 10.4 86.8 918 100 6.2 7.2 86.6 892 179,700 100 100 5.9 4 .0 8.0 9 .6 86. 1 86.5 86.0 86.3 Partnerships and cor porations Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.00 or less............. 4 .01-4.50................. 4.51-5.00................. 8,146 100 1.7 5.7 92.7 7,958 100 1.7 9 .0 89.3 7,248 100 1.6 5.7 92.7 7,082 100 i .6 9 .2 89.1 898 100 2.2 5.2 92.6 875 100 2.3 6.8 91.0 7.553 100 1.6 4.3 94.1 6,080 100 2.9 8.4 88.7 6,183 100 .6 9 .5 90.0 748 100 .3 .3 99.4 1,046 100 .2 14.0 85.8 4,301 100 1.7 73.5 19.9 5.0 Paying ceiling r a t e 1. .. Domestic governmental units Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.00 or less............. 4.01-4.50................. 4.51-5.00................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1... All other Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.00 or less............. 4.01-4.50................. 4.51-5.00................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1. .. 84.8 92.3 86.8 99.4 86.6 89.0 84.7 86.6 88.7 5,537 100 3.0 8.8 88.2 5,647 100 .5 9 .9 89.6 Oct. 27 July 28 110,202 100 4 .2 9.3 86.5 86.7 86.4 105,899 100 4. 1 10.6 85.3 2,266 100 2 .2 6.2 91.6 1,889 100 1.7 7.7 90.6 5,287 100 1.4 3.5 95.1 90.6 94.5 4,321 100 1.3 4.3 94.5 1,932 100 2,221 100 1.3 1.6 97.0 1,312 100 .6 2.5 96.9 79 99 100 1.0 .2 98.8 174,349 100 3.7 10.4 85.9 69,498 100 3.5 10.1 86.4 68,450 100 3.0 10.1 86.9 86.1 6,210 100 1.4 5.3 93.3 85.8 92.8 543 100 1.9 3.9 94.2 536 100 1.4 4.9 93.7 3,244 100 .3 4.1 95.7 1,659 100 1.0 7.6 91.4 87.6 93.9 93.5 3,880 100 1.2 4 .2 94.6 943 100 ( 2) 15.1 84.9 84.9 94.3 93.4 256 100 .3 ( 2) 99.7 134 100 .7 .2 99.1 100.0 80 100 3.1 2.5 94.3 103 100 2.3 4.3 93.4 85.8 668 100 ( 2) ( 2) 100.0 99.7 99.1 177 100 ( 2) ( 2) 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.1 4,865 100 1.3 69.3 24.5 4 .9 ( 2) 3,686 100 1.7 72.3 20.6 5.5 4,258 100 1.3 70.0 23.5 5.2 615 100 1.6 80.5 15.5 2.4 608 100 1.4 64.5 31.1 3.0 1,141 100 1.2 63.4 31.7 3.7 484 100 .9 75.2 15.2 8.7 804 100 .4 54.4 36.1 9.1 657 100 1.5 54.6 43.8 .1 ( 2) (2) (2) (2) (2) 1,498 100 .3 50.6 43.1 6 .0 ( 2) (2) (2) (2) 695 100 .3 46.1 51.1 2.4 ( 2) 94.2 95.2 91.6 85.2 93.6 86.2 92.5 July 28 90.9 88.2 92.3 86.5 Oct. 27 Amount of deposits (in millions of dollars), or percentage distribution Savings deposits Individuals and non profit organizations Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.00 or less............. 4.01-4.50................. 4 .51-5.00................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1... July 28 100 and over 91.0 (2) 5.2 94.8 94.5 35 100 ( 2) ( 2) 100.0 96.5 100 .9 ( 2) 99.1 93.7 96.2 98.8 Time deposits in denominanations of less than $100,000 Domestic governmental units: Maturing in— 30 up to 90 days Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.50 or less............. 4.51-5.00................. 5.01-5.50................. 5.51-7.75................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1... (2) 90 up to 180 days Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.50 or less............. 4.51-5.00................. 5.01-5.50................. 5.51-7.75................. 7,498 100 .7 8 .6 81.1 9 .6 6,858 100 .8 8.2 80.8 10.2 .5 6,815 100 .8 7 .7 87.2 4 .3 .5 640 100 ( 2) 13.4 83.7 2.9 ( 2) 596 100 .6 12.8 80.9 5.7 ( 2) 1,168 100 .5 10.7 81.8 7.0 1,169 100 .5 2.4 88.3 8.8 775 100 .8 10.3 82.5 6.4 867 100 .7 1.7 87.0 10.6 .4 7,412 100 .8 8.1 86.7 4 .4 .5 393 100 ( 2) 11.5 80.4 8.1 ( 2) 302 100 .1 4 .4 91.7 3.7 ( 2) 180 days up to 1 year Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.50 or less............. 4.51-5.00................. 5.01-5.50................. 5.51-7.75................. 4,375 100 ( 2) 8.3 70.0 21.8 3,871 100 ( 2) 8.4 69.2 22.4 3,692 100 ( 2) 8.4 74.2 17.4 429 100 ( 2) 4 .7 64.1 31.2 410 100 ( 2) 9 .2 52.8 37.9 .8 .9 .9 476 100 1.0 8.6 69.7 20.8 ( 2) 756 100 .1 9 .7 65.9 24.3 Paying ceiling r a t e 1... 504 100 ( 2) 6.8 76.0 17.2 ( 2) 688 100 ( 2) 8.4 69.3 22.2 .8 4,168 100 .1 8.4 73.7 17.8 .1 .1 .1 259 100 ( 2) 14.7 77.9 7.4 ( 2) 346 100 .1 10.3 81.5 8.1 ( 2) 1 year and over Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 5.00 or less............. 5.01-5.50................. 5.51-6.00................. 6.01-7.75........ .. 7,786 100 2 .8 5.5 65.9 25.9 7,773 100 4 .4 8.3 61.9 25.4 7,181 100 2 .6 5.0 66.2 26.2 7,186 100 4.2 8.4 61.9 25.5 606 100 4.3 11.1 62.4 22.2 587 100 6.0 6.3 62.9 24.8 1,177 100 .5 4.3 63.7 31.6 983 100 .3 3.9 60.4 35.3 822 100 1.1 9.8 61.3 27.8 194 100 1.3 6.1 80.2 12.5 174 100 2.1 3.0 74.2 20.7 .4 .5 .5 .5 .8 .1 995 100 1.3 8.6 63.5 26.6 .2 .1 .1 Paying ceiling r a t e 1... Paying ceiling r a t e 1... (2) .2 .1 .1 .3 .2 (2) .3 350 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 TABLE 2—Continued Size o f bank (total deposits in millions of dollars) Deposit group, and dis tribution o f deposits by most common rate All banks All banks Less than 100 Oct. 27 July 28 Oct. 27 July 28 100 and over Oct. 27 July 28 Number o f banks, or percentage distribution Time deposits in denomina tions of less than $100,000 (cont.) Other than domestic governmental units: Maturing in— 30 up to 90 days Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.50 or less............. 4.51-5.00................. Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars) Less than 100 Oct. 27 July 28 Oct. 27 July 28 100 and over Oct. 27 July 28 Amount of deposits (in millions of dollars), or percentage distribution 6,324 100 .2 99.8 94.2 6,153 100 2.9 97.1 96.9 5,529 100 ( 2) 100.0 94.4 5,379 100 3.2 96.8 96.8 796 100 1.4 98.6 92.8 774 100 1.1 98.9 97.6 7,319 100 1.2 98.8 92.1 7,854 100 .1 99.9 99.8 1,929 100 ( 2) 100.0 93.5 2,115 100 .2 99.8 99.8 5,390 100 1.6 98.4 91.6 5,739 100 .1 99.9 99.8 11,464 100 .5 12.7 86.8 86.1 11,432 100 .6 10.2 89.2 86.3 10,562 100 .5 13.3 86.1 85.6 10,558 100 .5 10.6 88.9 86.0 902 100 ( 2) 5.3 94.7 92.0 874 100 1.4 5.1 93.6 90.8 29,844 100 ( 2) 6.0 94.0 92.8 26,901 100 ( 2) 5.4 94.6 93.0 12,554 100 ( 2) 7.3 92.7 92.6 11,795 100 ( 2) 8.0 92.0 91.5 17,289 100 ( 2) 5.1 94.9 92.9 15,105 100 ( 2) 3.4 96.6 94.2 8,951 100 .4 5.3 94.3 91.7 8.697 100 .7 4 .2 95.1 92.6 8,159 100 .3 5.4 94.2 91.7 7.911 100 .7 4 .4 94.9 92.4 792 100 .4 4.5 95.1 91.4 786 100 .6 2.6 96.9 94.7 4,377 100 .1 2.2 97.7 91.2 4,811 100 .1 2 .7 97.2 95.6 2,745 100 ( 2) 2.6 97.4 94.1 2,805 100 ( 2) 3.5 96.4 96.1 1,631 100 .3 1.5 98.2 86.2 2,007 100 .2 1.5 98.3 95.0 13,553 100 ( 2) 1.8 98.2 96.4 13,195 100 ( 2) 2.9 97.1 96.1 12,650 100 ( 2) 1.8 98.2 96.4 12,318 100 ( 2) 3.1 96.9 96.0 903 100 .2 1.2 98.6 96.3 877 100 .3 .3 99.4 98.0 33,919 100 ( 2) 1.3 98.7 96.6 33,008 100 .2 3.2 96.7 91.9 22,117 100 ( 2) 1.8 98.2 97.4 21,145 100 ( 2) 5.0 95.0 94.1 11,802 100 ( 2) .5 99.5 95.1 11,863 100 .5 ( 2) 99.5 87.9 12,204 100 1.8 98.2 97.1 12,056 100 1.9 98. 1 97.6 11,323 100 1.9 98.1 97.0 11,209 100 1.9 98.1 97.6 881 100 .9 99.1 98.4 848 100 1.0 99.0 98.2 18,421 100 1.6 98.4 96.6 18.662 100 1.9 98.1 97.2 11,260 100 1.4 98.6 97.0 11,647 100 2.7 97.3 97.0 7,162 100 1.8 98.2 95.8 7,014 100 .5 99.5 97.7 4 up to 6 years Issuing banks............. 11,773 Distribution, total. . . 100 .9 6.50 or less............. 6.51-7.00................. 14.8 7.01-7.25................. 84.2 Paying ceiling rate 1... 84.2 11,762 100 .8 13.8 85.4 85.4 10,902 100 .8 15.5 83.7 83.7 10,909 100 .7 14.3 85.0 85.0 871 100 1.9 6.6 91.5 91.5 853 100 1.6 7.2 91.2 91.1 44,500 100 1.8 9.8 88.4 88.4 41,005 100 2.7 9.3 88.0 87.9 22,343 100 .6 13.1 86.4 86.4 20,100 100 .7 13.3 86.1 86.1 22,157 100 3.0 6.5 90.5 90.5 20,905 100 4 .6 5.5 89.9 89.7 Paying ceiling r a t e 1. .. 8,168 100 ( 2) 4.9 95.1 95.1 7.992 100 1.9 6.6 91.5 91.5 7,413 100 ( 2) 4.9 95.1 95.1 7.273 100 2 .0 6.8 91.3 91.3 755 100 ( 2) 4.9 95.1 95.1 719 100 1.7 4.4 93.9 93.8 9,243 100 ( 2) 6.9 93. 1 93.1 7,696 100 ( 2) 6.2 93.7 91.5 4,017 100 ( 2) 4 .2 95.8 95.8 3,247 100 ( 2) 3.5 96.5 96.5 5,226 100 ( 2) 9 .0 91.0 91.0 4,449 100 ( 2) 8.2 91.8 87.9 Club accounts Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 0.00........................... 0.01-4.00................. 4.01-4.50................. 4.51-5.50................. 9.021 100 55.6 13.5 7 .2 23.6 8,962 100 53.3 13.4 9.3 24. 1 8,384 100 57.8 13.4 7.0 21.8 8,266 100 54.7 13.5 9 .3 22.5 637 100 27.2 15.1 10.2 47.5 696 100 36.7 11.3 9.5 42.5 1,837 100 22.8 11.0 10.8 55.5 1,894 100 25.4 13.5 16.4 44.7 911 100 31.8 11.9 6.4 49.9 893 100 34.2 13.9 14.8 37.1 926 100 13.9 10.1 15.1 60.9 1.001 100 17.5 13.1 17.9 51.4 Paying ceiling r a t e 1. .. 90 up to 180 days Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.50 or less............. 4.51-5.00................. 5.01-5.50................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1. .. 180 days up to 1 year Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 4.50 or less............. 4.51-5.00................. 5.01-5.50................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1... 1 up to 2 Vi years Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 5.00 or less............. 5.01-5.50................. 5.51-6.00................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1... 2Vi up to 4 years Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 6.00 or less............. 6.01-6.50................. Paying ceiling r a t e 1... 6 years and over Issuing banks............. Distribution, total. . . 5.00 or less............. 5.01-7.25................. 7.26-7.50................. 1 See p. A -10 for maximum interest rates payable on time and savings deposits at the time o f each survey. The ceiling rate is included in the rate interval in the line above. 2 Less than .05 per cent. N ote .— All banks that either had discontinued offering or had never offered particular deposit types as o f the survey date are not counted as issuing banks. Moreover, the small amounts of deposits held at banks that had discontinued issuing deposits are not included in the amounts outstanding. Therefore, the deposit amounts shown in Table 1 may exceed the deposit amounts shown in this table. The most common interest rate for each instrument refers to the stated rate per annum (before compounding) that banks paid on the largest dollar volume o f deposit inflows during the 2-week period immediately preceding the survey date. Figures may not add to totals because o f rounding. Changes in Time and Savings Deposits held by domestic governmental units declined $4 billion, or at about a 20 per cent annual rate over the August-October period. Average de posit maturities in both ownership classes lengthened between July and October; growth in nongovernmental time deposits maturing in 4 years or more accounted for nearly 70 per 3. 351 cent of total small-denomination time deposit growth. Despite relatively low market yields through out the maturity structure and the resultant large deposit inflows, commercial banks seemed un willing to make any significant decrease in of fering rates between the July and October sur- Average of most common interest rates paid on various categories of time and savings deposits at insured commercial banks on July 28, and October 27, 1976 Bank size (total deposits in millions o f dollars) Type o f deposit All size groups Less than 20 20 up to 50 50 up to 100 100 up to 500 500 up to 1,000 1,000 and over October 27, 1976 Savings and small-denomination time deposits.................. 5.54 5.71 5.66 5.58 5.50 5.42 5.40 Savings, total............................................................................... Individuals and nonprofit organizations.......................... Partnerships and corporations............................................ Domestic governmental units............................................ All other.................................................................................. 4.91 4.91 4.96 4.97 4.99 4.93 4.93 5.00 4.96 5.00 4.88 4.88 4.90 4.98 5.00 4.94 4.94 4.97 4.90 5.00 4.91 4.91 4.96 4.98 4.88 4.86 4.85 4.96 5.00 4.93 4.93 4.98 4.97 5.00 Time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000, total Domestic governmental units, total.................................. Maturing in— 30 up to 90 days................................................................ 90 up to 180 days.............................................................. 180 days up to 1 year....................................................... 1 year and over.................................................................. 6.32 5.58 6.24 5.75 6.43 5.67 6.36 5.55 6.33 5.37 6.29 5.39 6.26 5.35 5.15 5.44 5.53 6.17 5.35 5.46 5.59 6.24 5.03 5.48 5.60 6.06 4.99 5.23 5.58 6.36 5.15 5.46 5.41 6.05 5.13 5.42 5.59 5.98 4.99 5.41 5.35 5.92 Other than domestic governmental units, total............... Maturing in— 30 up to 90 days................................................................ 90 up to 180 days.............................................................. 180 days up to 1 year....................................................... 1 up to 2Vi years............................................................... 2 Vi up to 4 years............................................................... 4 up to 6 years................................................................... Over 6 years........................................................................ 6.34 6.27 6.45 6.38 6.36 6.30 6.28 4.98 5.47 5.47 5.99 6.49 7.21 7.47 5.00 5.47 5.48 5.98 6.48 7.22 7.49 4.99 5.48 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.19 7.50 4.98 5.44 5.47 5.98 6.48 7.23 7.48 4.99 5.49 5.49 5.99 6.49 7.21 7.48 4.95 5.47 5.47 5.98 6.45 7.23 7.46 4.98 5.45 5.43 5.98 6.49 7.19 7.43 M emo: Club accounts.............................................................. 3.69 2.11 2.17 4.52 3.75 3.70 4.52 July 28, 1976 Savings and small-denomination time deposits.................. 5.52 5.66 5.64 5.56 5.49 5.41 5.39 Savings, total.............................................................................. Individuals and nonprofit organizations.......................... Partnerships and corporations............................................ Domestic governmental units............................................. All other.................................................................................. 4.91 4.91 4.96 4.98 4.98 4.95 4.95 4.99 5.00 5.00 4.89 4.89 4.92 4.98 5.00 4.93 4.93 4.96 4.89 5.00 4.91 4.91 4.96 4.99 4.88 4.85 4.84 4.97 5.00 4.93 4.92 4.97 4.96 5.00 Time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000, total Domestic governmental units, total.................................. Maturing in— 30 up to 90 days................................................................ 90 up to 180 days.............................................................. 180 days up to 1 year....................................................... 1 year and over.................................................................. 6.29 5.56 6.19 5.70 6.37 5.68 6.34 5.39 6.32 5.37 6.26 5.52 6.25 5.46 5.21 5.51 5.54 6.14 5.36 5.48 5.42 6.18 5.23 5.61 5.70 6.05 5.08 5.58 5.73 6.37 5.15 5.45 5.45 6.02 5.21 5.43 5.60 6.20 5.32 5.48 5.65 5.94 Other than domestic governmental units, total.............. Maturing in— 30 up to 90 days................................................................ 90 up to 180 days.............................................................. 180 days up to 1 year....................................................... 1 up to 2l 2 years............................................................... / 2 l/ i up to 4 years............................................................... 4 up to 6 years................................................................... Over 6 years........................................................................ 6.31 6.21 6.39 6.38 6.36 6.27 6.26 5.00 5.45 5.48 5.97 6.49 7.20 7.46 5.00 5.34 5.49 5.93 6.47 7.21 7.49 5.00 5.46 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.19 7.50 5.00 5.43 5.46 5.99 6.49 7.23 7.48 5.00 5.49 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.22 7.48 5.00 5.48 5.47 5.99 6.49 7.24 7.40 5.00 5.47 5.49 5.98 6.49 7.16 7.44 M emo: Club accounts.............................................................. 3.46 1.94 2.30 4.10 3.48 2.82 4.43 1 No deposits outstanding. 2 Club accounts are excluded from all of the above categories. N ote .— T h e average rates w ere ca lcu la ted b y w eigh tin g th e m o st c o m m o n rate rep orted o n e a ch typ e o f d e p o sit at e a ch b a n k by th e amount of that type o f deposit outstanding. All banks that had either discontinued offering or never offered particular deposit types as o f the survey date were excluded from the calculations for those specific deposit types. 352 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 OTHER TIME DEPOSITS veys. On government deposits with original maturities shorter than 1 year, banks cut rates modestly, but they raised rates slightly on such deposits maturing in 1 year or more. Because of the general lengthening of maturities, the aggregate weighted-average rate on government deposits increased. Similarly, banks made no significant changes in rates paid on time deposits issued to nongovernmental customers, but ex tremely rapid growth among deposits maturing in over 4 years produced an increase in the over-all average rate paid. Well over four-fifths of issuing banks still paid the maximum rate allowed by Federal banking regulatory authori ties on each nongovernmental time deposit cat egory. The remaining portion of time deposits is dis tributed among three deposit categories. Inter est-bearing, large-denomination time deposits continued the pattern begun in early 1975, fall ing by $6.6 billion during the August-October period. Since the end of 1974 such deposits have contracted by more than $40 billion. Non-inter est-bearing deposits (other than club accounts) grew to a level of about $4.9 billion in October; most deposits in this category are believed to consist of escrow accounts and compensating balances held against loans. Deposits out standing in club accounts declined seasonally to a level of about $1.9 billion in October. R evised appendix tables fo r the July survey are available on request from Publications S ervices , D ivision of Adm inistrative S ervices, B oard of G overnors of the Federal R eserve S ystem , Washington, D .C . 20551. A P P E N D IX A l. TABLES Savings deposits issued to individuals and nonprofit organizations Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 4.00 or less 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate* 4.00 or less NUMBER OF BANKS All banks.................................................................... 14,384 675 1,481 12,227 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20......................................................... 20-50...................................................................... 50-100.................................................................... 100-500................................................................. 500-1,000.............................................................. 1,000 and over..................................................... 8,888 3,493 1,085 731 103 84 497 66 55 45 8 4 878 498 39 41 16 9 7,513 2,928 991 645 79 71 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 12,198 179,700 7,122 19,142 29,253 21,103 38,488 18,237 53,477 556 903 996 2,095 1,514 1,057 7,485 2,928 991 645 78 71 17,199 155,379 155,063 1,257 4,998 750 2,488 2,482 5,224 17,329 23,352 19,357 33,905 14,241 47,195 17,164 23,352 19,357 33,905 14,091 47,195 NOTES TO APPENDIX TABLES 1-16: 1 See page A10 for maximum interest rates payable on time and saving deposits at the time o f each survey. The ceiling rate is included in the rate interval to the left. 2 Omitted to avoid individual bank disclosure. 3 Less than $500,000. N ote.—All banks that either had discontinued offering or had never offered particular deposit types as o f the survey date are not counted as issuing banks. Moreover, the small amounts o f deposits held at banks that had discontinued issuing deposits are not included in the amounts outstanding. Therefore, the deposit amounts shown in Table 1 may exceed the deposit amounts shown in these tables. The most common interest rate for each instrument refers to the stated rate per annum (before compounding) that banks paid on the largest dollar volume o f deposit inflows during the 2 week period immediately preceding the survey date. Figures may not add to totals because of rounding. Changes in Time and Savings Deposits A2. 353 Savings deposits issued to partnerships and corporations operated for profit Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Total 4.00 or less 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 4.00 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks......................................................... 8,146 135 461 7,549 7,520 7,553 121 326 7,106 7,072 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................... 20-50........................................................... 50-100......................................................... 100-500....................................................... 500-1,000................................................... 1,000 and over.......................................... 3,303 2,939 1,006 711 103 84 100 16 17 2 1 375 39 28 12 7 3,303 2,464 951 666 89 76 3,275 2,464 951 666 89 75 448 1,008 810 1,725 899 2,662 43 6 42 ( 2) ( 2) 108 33 59 ( 2) ( 2) 448 857 771 1,625 846 2,559 446 857 771 1,625 846 2,527 A3. Savings deposits issued to domestic governmental units Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 4.00 or less 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate 1 4.00 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 M em o: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 6,080 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20......................................................... 20-50...................................................................... 50-100.................................................................... 100-500.................................................................. 500-1,000.............................................................. 1,000 and over..................................................... A4. 175 511 5,395 5,280 3,880 46 162 3,672 3,654 3,430 1,617 491 406 75 62 164 113 338 39 10 6 5 3,153 1,279 451 391 67 54 3,040 1,279 451 391 67 52 556 645 459 801 402 1,018 17 6 26 95 12 ( 2) ( 2) 533 619 364 779 402 974 527 619 364 779 402 963 5 2 3 9 ( 2) ( 2) Savings deposits issued to all others Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total 4.00 or less 4.01 to 4.50 Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 NUMBER OF BANKS 748 744 744 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................... 20-50........................................................... 50-100......................................................... 100-500....................................................... 500-1,000................................................... 1,000 and over........................................... 300 328 39 64 300 328 39 62 300 328 39 62 14 14 14 For notes, see p. 352. 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks......................................................... 2 4.00 or less 256 (2) (2 ) 161 (2 ) 13 19 (2 ) 60 (2 ) (2 ) 255 255 161 (2) 13 ( 2) ( 2) 60 161 ( 2) 13 ( 2) ( 2) 60 354 A5. Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Government time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 30 up to 90 days Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Most common rate paid (per cent) Total Total 4.50 or less 4.51 to 5.00 5.01 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 5.51 to 7.75 4.50 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 5.51 to 7.75 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks............................... 4,301 3,231 854 216 1,141 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20..................... 20-50................................. 50-100............................... 100-500............................. 500-1,000.......................... 1 000 and over................. 2,160 1,198 328 460 91 64 1,354 1,108 265 390 62 53 638 57 64 55 29 11 168 33 251 100 134 452 85 120 A6. 5.01 to 5.50 15 737 1 361 43 150 92 127 241 28 99 60 6 7 210 56 21 40 2 1 Government time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 90 up to 180 days Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Most common rate paid (per cent) Total Total 4.50 or less 4.51 to 5.00 5.01 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 5.51 to 7.75 4.50 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 5.01 to 5.50 5.51 to 7.75 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks............................. 7,498 702 6,078 718 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20................... 20-50............................... 50-100............................. 100-500........................... 500-1,000........................ 1,000 and over............... 4,246 2,145 467 492 85 63 359 188 70 50 18 17 3,394 1,751 398 432 60 44 492 207 A7. 4.51 to 5.00 33 131 956 81 500 184 91 165 51 177 9 7 2 1,168 25 16 45 16 435 159 46 131 35 149 40 9 (2 ) (2 ) 17 (2 ) (2 ) Government time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 180 days up to 1 year Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total 4.50 or less 4.51 to 5.00 5.01 to 5.50 5.51 to 7.75 Most common rate paid (per cent) Memo: ceiling rate1 Total 4.50 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 4,375 361 3,062 952 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20................... 20-50............................... 50-100............................. 100-500............................ 500-1,000........................ 1,000 and over............... 2,185 1,414 272 373 74 57 304 1,518 1,005 155 279 53 51 363 409 94 68 13 5 For notes, see p. 352. 5.01 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 5.51 to 7.75 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks............................. . 23 25 8 1 4.51 to 5.00 33 688 58 477 153 195 213 18 33 132 132 46 81 7 21 180 22 56 12 (2) (2) 135 13 53 (2 ) (2 ) 8 Changes in Time and Savings Deposits A8. 355 Government time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 1 year or more Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Most common rate paid (per cent) Total Total Group 5.01 to 5.50 5.00 or less 5.51 to 6.00 6.01 to 7.75 Memo: ceiling rate1 5.01 to 5.50 5.51 to 6.00 6.01 to 7.75 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS NUMBER OF BANKS All banks............................. 7,786 214 425 5,128 2,018 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20................... 20-50................................ 50-100............................. 100-500........................... 500-1,000........................ 1,000 and over............... 4,136 2,459 586 479 75 51 139 33 16 20 4 2 164 155 39 39 17 11 2,291 2,124 336 305 42 31 1,542 147 195 115 12 7 A9. 5.00 or less 33 6 564 293 126 111 27 55 ( 3) 50 749 372 2 1 1,177 21 3 15 6 2 3 298 270 26 88 21 47 242 19 86 16 ( 2) ( 2) 2 ( 2) ( 2) Other time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 30 up to 90 days Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Total 4.50 or less 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 4.50 or less 11 6,324 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................... 20-50........................................................... 50-100......................................................... 100-500....................................................... 500-1,000.................................................... 1,000 and over.......................................... 2,986 1,770 773 621 98 77 A10. Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS NUMBER OF BANKS All banks......................................................... 4.51 to 5.00 6,313 5,959 2,986 1,770 773 616 93 76 2,850 1,630 741 595 80 64 86 608 360 961 1,502 1,402 2,486 7,233 6,741 (2 ) 73 (2 ) 7,319 608 360 961 ( 2) 1,329 ( 2) 584 348 873 1,444 1,221 2,272 Other time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 90 up to 180 days Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 4.50 or less 4.51 to 5.00 5.01 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 4.50 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 4.51 to 5.00 5.01 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks......................................................... 11,464 55 1,457 9,951 9,872 29,844 1,791 28,049 27,685 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................... 20-50........................................................... 50-100......................................................... 100-500....................................................... 500-1,000................................................... 1,000 and over.......................................... 6,510 3,037 1,014 719 99 84 55 967 309 133 26 14 8 5,488 2,728 881 693 85 76 5,433 2,728 881 680 79 71 3,655 5,192 3,707 7,124 2,731 7,434 200 238 474 146 153 579 3,451 4,954 3,232 6,977 2,578 6,855 3,442 4,954 3,232 6,929 2,518 6,610 For notes, see p. 352. . 356 A ll. Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Other time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 180 days up to 1 year Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 4.50 or less 4.51 to 5.00 5.01 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 4.50 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 4.51 to 5.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks......................................................... 8,951 32 479 8,440 8,204 4,377 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................... 20-50........................................................... 50-100......................................................... 100-500....................................................... 500-1,000................................................... 1,000 and over.......................................... 5,271 2,093 794 615 98 79 29 411 4,832 2,093 763 589 90 74 4,640 2,093 747 576 82 1,733 373 639 560 345 726 A12. 5.01 to 5.50 66 95 4,276 3,990 (3 ) 41 (2 ) (2 ) 30 2 ) 2 ) 13 1,693 373 610 548 340 714 1,610 373 602 546 329 530 Other time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 1 up to 2y2 years Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 5.00 or less 5.01 to 5.50 5.51 to 6.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 5.00 or less NUMBER OF BANKS All banks......................................................... Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................... 20-50........................................................... 50-100......................................................... 100-500....................................................... 500-1,000................................................... 1,000 and over.......................................... A 13. 240 13,311 13,059 33,919 8,112 164 33 32 8 1 2 7,947 3,436 1,037 711 97 82 7,756 3,413 1,021 696 95 78 10,551 8,021 3,545 4,848 1,839 5,116 100 84 5.51 to 6.00 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 13,553 3,469 1,069 719 5.01 to 5.50 ( 2) ( 2) 33,468 32,757 241 35 113 20 ( 2) ( 2) ( 2) 10,311 7,986 3,432 4,828 ( 2) ( 2) 10,119 7,986 3,430 4,687 1,736 4,798 Other time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 2y2 up to 4 years Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 6.00 or less 6.01 to 6.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 6.00 or less NUMBER OF BANKS All banks...................................................................... Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................................ 20-50........................................................................ 100-500.................................................................... 500-1,000................................................................. 1,000 and over....................................................... For notes, see p. 352. 12,204 224 6,910 3,422 991 707 96 79 193 11,980 6.01 to 6.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 11,856 18,421 294 18,128 17,786 6,717 6,688 4,464 100 3,422 3,356 4,825 23 50-100...................................................................... 63 968 945 1,971 704 3 702 2,730 ( 2) 5 91 89 1,144 87 1 78 77 3,288 ( 2) 4,364 4,825 1,908 ( 2) 1,058 ( 2) 4,248 4,767 1,908 2,665 1,021 3,178 Changes in Time and Savings Deposits A14. 357 Other time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 4 up to 6 years Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Total Group Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 6.50 or less 6.51 to 7.00 7.01 to 7.25 Memo: ceiling rate1 6.50 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 6.51 to 7.00 7.01 to 7.25 Memo: ceiling rate1 M ILLIONS OF DOLLARS Ml banks................................................................... 11,773 107 1,748 9,918 9,918 44,500 783 4,357 39,360 39,360 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20......................................................... 20-50...................................................................... 50-100.................................................................... 100-500................................................................. 500-1,000.............................................................. 1,000 and over..................................................... 6,794 3,118 991 694 98 79 57 33 942 639 110 46 6 6 5,795 2,445 881 641 88 68 5,795 2,445 881 641 88 68 6,547 10,015 5,781 9,301 4,086 8,770 8 122 774 1,795 348 799 259 383 5,765 8,099 5,433 8,341 3,796 7,927 5,765 8,099 5,433 8,341 3,796 7,927 A15. 8 4 5 161 32 461 Other time deposits in denominations of less than $100,000— Maturities of 6 years or more Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Total 5.00 or less 5.01 to 7.25 7.26 to 7.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 Most common rate paid (per cent) Total 5.00 or less NUMBER OF BANKS 5.01 to 7.25 7.26 to 7.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks......................................................... 8,168 402 7,765 7,765 9,243 638 8,606 8,606 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 20............................................... 20-50.......................................... ................ 50-100......................................................... 100-500....................................................... 500-1,000................................................... 1,000 and over.......................................... 4,244 2,287 882 592 87 77 191 80 94 20 9 8 4,052 2,206 788 572 78 69 4,052 2,206 788 572 78 69 699 1,832 1,486 1,940 936 2,351 15 25 127 67 121 282 684 1,806 1,359 1,873 815 2,068 684 1,806 1,359 1,873 815 2,068 A16. Club accounts—Christmas savings, vacation, or similar club accounts Most common interest rates paid by insured commercial banks on new deposits, October 27, 1976 Most common rate paid (per cent) Group Most common rate paid (per cent) Total Total .01 to 4.00 0.00 4.01 to 4 .50 4.51 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 0.00 NUMBER OF BANKS .01 to 4.00 4.01 to 4.50 4.51 to 5.50 Memo: ceiling rate1 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS All banks.............................. 9,021 5,015 1,219 654 2,133 180 1,837 418 201 198 1,019 209 Size of bank (total deposits in millions of dollars): Less than 2 0 ................... 2 0 -5 0 ................................ 50-100.............................. 100-500............................ 500-1,000......................... 1,000 and over............... 4,921 2,622 842 504 75 58 3,286 1,298 258 133 24 16 552 501 70 80 11 5 359 174 55 45 10 10 722 648 460 246 30 27 121 46 12 237 245 430 371 125 431 122 118 50 75 24 29 37 60 11 52 19 22 17 8 33 36 33 71 60 59 335 208 48 308 19 187 3 For notes, see p. 352. 358 Statements to Congress Statement by A rthur F. Burns , Chairman , B oard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System , before the Committee on the B udget , £/.S. Senate, M arch 22, 7977. It is a special pleasure for me, Mr. Chairman, to meet with this committee. The action taken by the Congress in 1974 to establish a formal legislative budget is one of the great events of our time. In my judgment, the work of this new committee and of your counterpart in the House has already amply demonstrated the wisdom of the Congressional Budget Act. In August of 1976, when I last communicated with this committee, there was a considerable concern in our country over the slowing in the pace of economic recovery. I then called atten tion to the fact that temporary pauses were not uncommon during business-cycle expansions and went on to suggest that reacceleration of economic growth would probably occur soon because improving conditions were discernible in key sectors of the economy. It is clear now that a quickening of the eco nomic tempo did occur in the latter months of 1976. Retail sales began to show improvement last autumn across a broad spectrum of mer chandise lines, and by Christmas it was evident that consumers generally were in a spending mood. Brisk consumer buying during the fourth quarter enabled business firms to work off excess inventories that had accumulated during previous months when retail demand was weaker. With sales and inventories coming into better balance, production and new orders began to quicken and the demand for labor increased. Employment rose strongly in the final 2 months of last year and again in the first 2 months of this year— with the cumulative rise over the 4 months amounting to 1lA million persons. These developments testify to the fact that as 1977 began, our Nation’s economy was al ready emerging from its phase of slowing. That fact would be better appreciated, I believe, were it not for preoccupation with gross national product (GNP) numbers as such. The figure for the fourth quarter of last year was obviously disappointing, showing as it did an annual rate of gain of only 2.6 per cent in constant-dollar terms. That outcome, however, reflected the inventory adjustment that was in progress. When inventory changes are removed from the GNP figure— in other words, when we focus on final sales of goods and services— we have a better indicator of the underlying trend of the economy. This magnitude showed a decidedly stronger rate of gain in last year’s final quar ter— an annual rate of growth of 5.7 per cent. Indeed, when one abstracts from the inventory changes that overlay broad economic trends during the course of 1976, the picture of steadily improving final sales is impressive. And it would have been even more impressive, I be lieve, had it not been for the distortions caused by strikes in the rubber and automobile indus tries. It is noteworthy that the annual rate of growth in final sales, measured in constant dol lars, rose in successive quarters of 1976, while the corresponding figures for GNP kept declin ing. For a brief period, the unusual weather of January and February tended to obscure the reacceleration under way in the Nation’s econ omy. January numbers, in particular, were badly distorted, and, of course, we still do not know how seriously agricultural production will be affected this year by the drought in parts of the West. Recent data, however, preponderantly confirm a smart snapback from the weatherrelated disturbances, and we may reasonably expect good gains in general economic activity during the remainder of 1977 and on into 1978. Statements to Congress The economy is now relatively free of the kind of speculation and imbalances that devel oped in the early 1970’s. Consumer purchasing power— badly hurt for some years by inflation’s heavy toll— is exhibiting a healthier trend. So too is business income. Material improvement has occurred in personal and corporate balance sheets. Inventories in general seem to be pru dently related to sales trends. The housing in dustry is steadily working out of the difficulties brought on by the overbuilding of the early 1970’s. Even business investment— while lag ging in its recovery pace relative to earlier business-cycle expansions— is gradually gaining strength. And, I might add, the financial envi ronment in our country is now conducive to economic expansion, as is evidenced both by the state of liquidity that generally prevails and by the truly striking fact that the level of interest rates is appreciably lower than at the beginning of the recovery. In view of this combination of circumstances, as I have indicated in other recent congressional testimony, it seems doubtful that any special governmental efforts are now needed to assure substantial gains in our economy this year. A few months ago, when plans aimed at bolstering aggregate demand first began to take shape, the case for supportive action had greater plausi bility. But some significant developments have since then occurred— particularly, of course, the demonstration that economic expansion is reaccelerating and that the reacceleration has ap parently survived the weather disturbance. Such reservations as I or others at the Federal Reserve have about the immediate need for new fiscal stimuli should not be interpreted to mean that the Federal Reserve will stop short of doing what it can to foster a satisfactory rate of eco nomic growth this year. On the contrary, as I have repeatedly stated, the President’s objec tives for 1977, with regard to both the growth of output and decline of unemployment, appear to be entirely reasonable. The growth ranges that we at the Federal Reserve have established for monetary expan sion this year, as reported to the House Banking Committee in February, are adequate in our judgment to permit a significantly faster rise in 359 physical output during 1977 than occurred dur ing 1976. For M-1, the narrowly defined money stock— which includes only currency and de mand deposits— the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has specified a growth range of 4 x per cent to 6 V per cent for the h 2 year ending with the fourth quarter of 1977. For M-2, a broader measure of money, which in cludes savings and consumer-type time deposits at commercial banks as well, the range is 7 to 10 per cent. For M-3, a still broader aggregate, which also includes the deposits of thrift insti tutions, the range is 8 V to IIV2 per cent. 2 It is highly important to recognize that the ability of these monetary aggregates to accom modate economic growth depends not just on their size but also on the intensity with which money balances are used— that is, on the turn over of money. The turnover of the narrowly defined money stock— or, if you prefer, its velocity— has been rising especially rapidly in recent years, reflecting numerous innovations in financial technology that have enabled individ uals and business firms to reduce reliance on demand deposits for handling their monetary transactions. Our judgment is that such econo mizing in the use of cash balances will continue, and— of necessity— we must take that consid eration into account in setting our monetary expansion ranges. The growth ranges that the FOMC has estab lished for monetary growth are, of course, not immutable. Large uncertainties always surround economic forecasts, and the relationships that exist between financial and real variables are complex and often loose. For these reasons we are very mindful at the Federal Reserve that constant reappraisal of the appropriateness of our monetary growth ranges is required. Should developments in the months ahead indicate that the ranges established for monetary expansion are inconsistent with the achievement of satis factory performance of our economy, the FOMC would alter them— either upward or downward, depending on what signals emerge. Indeed, a formal detailed review of our longerterm monetary growth ranges occurs every 3 months, with the next such review scheduled for the FOMC’s mid-April meeting. 360 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 The judgments that go into our process of reassessing monetary growth rates are literally continuous, and they are not made lightly. The members of the Federal Open Market Commit tee make the final decisions, but in doing so we rely heavily on the investigations and knowledge of our excellent staff. We also bene fit greatly from the knowledge and experience of the officers and directors of the Federal Re serve banks and branches across our country. I want to assure you, moreover, that commit tee meetings such as today’s are very helpful to us in clarifying congressional intent and pur pose. So, too, are the oversight hearings con ducted by the banking committees of the Con gress. The Federal Reserve does not operate in an ivory tower. We well understand the need for checking and expanding our knowledge, and we therefore supplement interchange of the kind we are having today with a great deal of infor mal contact with individual members of the Congress and with officials of the Treasury Department, the Council of Economic Advisers, the Office of Management and Budget, and other agencies. Such dialogue is, in fact, continuously occurring. The subject of money and banking can at times be difficult even for experts. I recall vi vidly the questions concerning monetary policy raised by some members of this committee soon after the disbursal of the tax-rebate and special Social Security checks in 1975. Since pending legislation before the Congress would involve another substantial rebate program this spring, it may be helpful to review the earlier episode and at the same time share with you our plans for adjusting monetary actions to this year’s proposed rebates. The objective of the Federal Reserve in 1975 was to accommodate as smoothly as possible the sudden large flow of funds through bank accounts occasioned by the rebate program. This involved action to supply bank reserves to the market in the period before the rebate checks were mailed, since the Treasury was then building up its balances at Federal Reserve banks in anticipation of making the dis bursements. Had we not acted supportively in the pre-rebate period, total bank reserves would have tended to fall— as would private holdings of money— and interest rates would have been subjected to upward pressure. For the rebate period itself, our intent was to allow the depos iting of rebate checks in bank accounts to go forward without any special effort on our part to influence the impact of such deposit activity on money growth. We recognized, of course, that the money supply would accelerate signifi cantly for a while, but we also anticipated that it would subsequently moderate as households and businesses disposed of deposits that had temporarily risen above accustomed levels. As events actually unfolded in May and June of 1975, the rise that took place in the money supply was much larger than the Federal Re serve staff had estimated would occur as a result of the rebate program. The inference we drew was that the demand for money was expanding rapidly quite apart from the rebate program. We therefore took mildly restrictive action toward the end of June to reassure the Nation that the Federal Reserve would not countenance mone tary expansion on a scale that might release a new wave of inflation. Differences of judgment existed then— and still do— as to the appro priateness of that mild tightening action. Let me say only that if we erred, the mistake was technical in origin— that is, it grew out of the difficulty in making good estimates of the taxrebate impact on deposit growth. In any event, monetary growth rates soon moderated, and we lost very little time in returning to an easier monetary stance. Fortunately, in judging the monetary effects of this year’s proposed rebate program, we have a better basis for making estimates because the 1975 experience is available for guidance. Whereas our 1975 estimates of how money supply growth would be affected were single point estimates, this time we will make a range of estimates in recognition of the uncertainties inherent in trying to gauge how much of their rebates people will elect to hold in money form and for what length of time. In short, I expect that our zone of tolerance in permitting mone tary expansion to run at high rates for a while will be somewhat wider this time. But if we then find that monetary growth does not soon Statements to Congress moderate in the expected degree, we may need to take action to absorb bank reserves tempo rarily. All in all, my belief is that we learned something in 1975 and that consequently a re bate program this year has a good chance of being handled relatively smoothly. A basic working premise of the Federal Re serve is that there is an urgent national need to create job opportunities for the millions of Americans who want to work but who never theless now find themselves idle. The solution to this problem, and especially amelioration of the difficulties that young people have in finding employment, is not to be found exclusively— or even mainly— in government programs aimed at enlarging aggregate demand. It is of crucial importance that our citizens understand better than they do that inflation is itself a prime source of much of our nationwide unemployment. There is no doubt in my mind, as I read the record of the early 1970’s, that inflationary distortions were the principal cause of the recent severe recession. Nor do I have much doubt that the expansion of employment now in process will be threatened if we fail to develop a strong anti-inflation policy. That is why monetary policy, while fully supportive of economic growth, has diligently sought to avoid the release of new inflationary forces. That is also why I have been so con cerned that the Congress recognize the powerful momentum that has been built into Federal spending by the “ entitlement” programs en acted in the 1960’s. We need to take great care in adding new permanent programs to the budget, lest they accentuate underlying budget pressures that will manifest themselves later on and create financial stresses that jeopardize eco nomic growth and employment. Fortunately, we have made considerable progress since 1974 in lowering the rate of inflation. Consumer prices rose about 5 per cent last year, down from 12 per cent 2 years earlier. But it is going to be difficult to achieve further significant reductions in the immediate future. Substantial amounts of idle capacity and man power provide little assurance that price pres sures will not mount as the economic growth rate speeds up. Indeed, the historical record of 361 business cycles in our country clearly demon strates that the average level of sensitive com modity prices tends to start rising at or close to the very beginnings of a business-cycle upswing and that the prices of final goods and services gather substantial upward momentum well before full utilization of resources is achieved. We are now witnessing in fact some disturb ing manifestations of price pressures in our economy. The prices of basic commodities in wholesale markets have been moving up at a rapid pace since last fall. The wholesale prices of industrial commodities at all stages of proc essing have increased at an annual rate of 8 per cent during the past half year. At the consumer level, even abstracting from the temporary im pact of weather on some food items, there has been a tendency recently for prices of many goods and services to rise at an increased rate. These developments suggest the need for great care in fashioning fiscal and monetary policies. Our official actions must not contribute to inflationary psychology. Not only that, but we need to convince both businessmen and consumers that a break with the past is under way— particularly, that our Nation’s finances will henceforth be handled with greater pru dence than they have in the past. The task of effecting a transition to a noninflationary environment is one to which the Fed eral Reserve must make a major contribution. The monetary growth ranges established during the past 2 years have been considerably higher than they should be over the long run. Ideally, the combination of increases in the money stock and increases in velocity should approximate the economy’s longer-term growth rate of physical output, which is about 3 l/i per cent. If we could come close to such an alignment, the trend of the general price level would tend to stabilize and inflation would be a thing of the past. We are, of course, a long way from that objective and, as a practical matter, we cannot move to it in one fell swoop. The shock of adjustment would be too abrupt in view of the need to keep the economy moving along a satisfactory path of expansion. But the diffi culties inherent in moving swiftly to appropriate 362 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 growth rates for money do not mean we should be acquiescent. Rather, a policy of gradual reduction in monetary growth rates toward levels consistent with reasonable price stability must be adhered to. The Federal Reserve has in fact been gradually lowering its projected growth ranges for the monetary aggregates. We know that we must do better in order to lay a foundation for lasting prosperity. I assure you that we will be striving in that direction. □ Statem ent by Henry C. W allich, M em ber, B oard of Governors of the Federal R eserve System , before the Subcommittee on Financial Institutions Supervision, R egulation, and In surance of the Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs of the U.S. House of R epre sentatives, M arch 23, 1977. tions that have increased the needs of these multinational corporations for international fi nancial services. Superimposed on these broad trends were two further developments that have greatly added to international credit demands from U.S. and other banks. The first of these developments was the substantially increased credit demands from a large number of countries, many of which had embarked on expansionary programs during the commodity price surge and worldwide inflation of the early 1970’s and subsequently found themselves with unsustainable rates of growth of imports. Borrowers in this position— not only the developing countries but also other primary producers and some highly industrialized coun tries— have obtained substantial amounts of loans from American banks and also from banks of other major industrial countries. The second major development was the sharp increase in oil prices and the special financing problems that resulted from the emergence of a current-account surplus for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which has aggregated close to $150 billion in the past 3 years. The rapid accumulation of debt appeared relatively manageable so long as it seemed probable that the OPEC surplus would diminish fairly rapidly. Developments that be came apparent in the course of 1976 indicate that the OPEC surpluses will be larger and persist longer than had been expected several years ago. This changed outlook makes more difficult the situation of the borrowing countries, calls for a more deliberate process of balance of payments adjustment on their part, and may also make it necessary to develop alternative financial arrangements. Growth in international lending by U.S. banks in the late 1960’s and early 1970’s was I appreciate the opportunity to appear before this subcommittee to discuss the important and timely topic of international lending by U.S. banks. In my statement this morning I will present a brief survey of: (1) the growth in scope of U.S. banks’ international lending, with em phasis on recent developments, (2) some prob lems and concerns that arise from the interna tional operations of U.S. banks, and (3) actions that the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has taken in the supervisory area as growth in international operations has proceeded. It seems appropriate to keep this review brief since this subcommittee, together with the House Committee on Banking, pub lished an extensive study of “ U.S. Banks Abroad,” only 9 months ago as part of the Financial Institutions and the Nation’s Economy (FINE) study. GROWTH OF U .S. B A N K S’ INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITIES The expansion of U.S. banks’ international ac tivities in the past decade has reflected a number of developments, in addition to the central role of the dollar in international finance. In part, the expansion was the consequence of the growth of international trade, which has more than quadrupled over this period, and the greatly expanded activities of multinational corpora Statements to Congress concentrated at foreign branches, since foreign credits extended by U.S. offices were subject to the Voluntary Foreign Credit Restraint (VFCR) program. Subsequently, foreign lend ing from U.S. offices expanded rapidly as the VFCR program was relaxed and terminated. By the end of 1976, total claims on foreigners by both domestic offices and foreign branches of U.S. banks amounted to $207 billion, most of which were held by foreign branches. In addition, majority-owned foreign subsidi aries of U.S. banks had total assets of $30 billion at the end of 1975, the latest date for which comprehensive data are available. The activities of these subsidiaries, which include both banks and other financial institutions, are in most cases similar to those conducted through overseas branches. A preference for subsidi aries, where it exists, reflects mainly reasons relating to corporate structure or to legal and regulatory requirements in particular foreign countries. Let me now turn to the geographic distri bution of foreign claims at head offices and foreign branches. At the end of 1976, U.S. banks held $45 billion of claims on non-oil less developed countries (LDC’s). Loans to Mexico and Brazil each accounted for about one-fourth of the total, and the remaining loans were mainly to a few major Latin American coun tries, and to Korea, the Philippines, and Taiwan. Thus lending by U.S. banks to coun tries classified as LDC’s has been concentrated in the upper-income LDC’s whose economies have been growing rapidly in recent years. Many of these countries have been traditional customers of U.S. banks because of longstand ing economic relations with the United States. U.S. bank lending to LDC’s with some of the more highly publicized problems has actually been relatively small. The largest share of the foreign assets of U.S. banks represents claims on the Group of Ten (G-10) countries and Switzerland, and claims on offshore banking centers such as the Ba hamas, Singapore, Panama, and Hong Kong. Altogether, these claims total about $125 bil lion. A large proportion of these claims, espe cially in the case of the United Kingdom and the offshore banking centers, are interbank 363 placements with offices of major international banks, including foreign branches of nonaffil iated U.S. banks. These placements typically have short maturities and frequently serve as secondary liquidity reserves in Euro-currency banking. These interbank placements result in some enlargement of reported U.S. bank claims on individual countries since the placements between different U.S. banks are not netted out. Apart from interbank transactions, the claims on G-10 countries include a wide variety of credits— longer-term credits to multinational companies, short-term trade finance, and equip ment leases as well as some loans to major public-sector borrowers. It should be emphasized that these aggregate figures on loans to individual countries cannot be used to measure the amount of exposure of our banks in these countries. Part of the aggre gate represents interbank placement where the exposure is generally regarded as small; part represents local-currency lending funded lo cally; and other portions may be externally guaranteed or possess different characteristics offering protection to the lending banks. PROBLEMS AND CONCERNS Rapid growth of international lending by U.S. banks has given rise to some problems. These problems are a subject of legitimate concern to bank supervisors and to the banks themselves. Before turning to some of these problems and concerns, perspective requires recognition of the benefits that have been derived from the expan sion of international lending by commercial banks. First of all, this lending has filled a traditional and important role in the financing of our foreign trade. It has also contributed to the efficient functioning of world credit and capital markets and to the financing of vital projects such as North Sea oil development. Another important benefit from international lending has been the contribution to the earnings of U.S. banks. In recent years, reported inter national earnings have accounted for as much as 60 to 70 per cent of total earnings for a few of the largest banks, and for close to half of 364 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 total earnings for a number of other large banks. Earnings from international operations have en abled the banks to add to their capital resources and have helped provide a cushion to absorb the effects of domestic loan losses. Nevertheless, the expansion of the banks’ international activities has necessarily been ac companied by greater risk exposure. The principal elements of this exposure are the tra ditional credit risks in international loan portfo lios, the separate risks arising out of lending in different sovereign jurisdictions (the “ country risk” problem), and the risks associated with the banks’ foreign exchange operations under floating exchange rates. Many of the credit risks in international lend ing are the same as in domestic lending, even though the banking practices and the legal and regulatory environments may differ. On the other hand, international lending is subject to special kinds of risk, usually subsumed under the heading of “ country risk.” This type of risk may be divided into two categories: 1. Balance of payments difficulties resulting from external or internal economic causes that can lead to devaluation, foreign exchange con trols, or some form of debt rescheduling or even default; 2. Risks arising from social or political up heavals. Concern about the country-risk element in international loans has, of course, been greatly enlarged by the effect of the oil crisis on the payments positions of many countries and the large payments deficits and growing volume of external indebtedness that have ensued. Despite these special risks in international lending, U.S. banks’ loan loss experience to date has been better internationally than domes tically. Over the 5 years from 1971 to 1975, the loss ratio on international loans of the seven largest U.S. banks was about one-third of the loss ratio on the total loan portfolio. Even in 1975 and 1976 when loan losses rose sharply on all types of loans, the loan/loss ratio on international loans remained substantially below that for domestic loans. So far, problem inter national loans seem to have been concentrated in real estate, as has been true of problem domestic loans. Nonetheless, it would be un wise to project automatically into the future the low international loan losses of the past. Besides these risks in international credits, the potential exposure of banks in their foreign exchange operations has been increased by the shift in the international monetary system to floating exchange rates and by the actual fluctu ations that have occurred in foreign currency values. The contribution of improper foreign exchange dealings to the failure of Franklin National Bank is well known, as are the losses incurred by some banks overseas. While U.S. banks appear to have adopted management pro cedures adequate to limit their exposure in their foreign exchange dealings, their success in con trolling that exposure must be a matter of con tinuing concern to regulatory authorities. In addition to these concerns about the expo sure of the banks, the view has sometimes been expressed that foreign lending by U.S. banks is occurring at the expense of lending to credit worthy domestic borrowers. On this subject, several points should be kept in mind. The great bulk of the international lending by American banks is financed by foreign-source funds. This statement applies not only to the loans made by the overseas branches of American banks but also to loans made from offices in this country. There is, of course, some cyclical variation in the extent to which foreign lending from U.S. offices is matched by foreign sources of funds to the banking system. In periods of relatively reduced domestic demand for bank loans, as occurred in 1975 and 1976, banks may rely more heavily on U.S.-source funds to finance foreign loans, while in periods of high credit demands in our economy, U.S. banking offices may become net users of foreign-source funds, as occurred in 1974. But, more broadly, it must be stressed that at times such as the present, when the United States has a deficit on its international transac tions in goods and services (current account), we are a net capital importer. If American banks lend additional amounts abroad, and if the foreign borrowers do not buy more of our goods and services but instead purchase goods and services from other coun tries, a company, bank, or official institution abroad will acquire additional financial assets Statements to Congress in the United States, such as U.S. Treasury bills or securities. ACTIONS TAKEN BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE This review of some of the current problems in international lending is necessarily abbre viated. While care needs to be taken not to exaggerate these problems, concern about them is legitimate and, as I indicated earlier, is shared in the banking industry as well. One indication of such concern is the steps that have been, and are being, taken within the banks to review and tighten their procedures and controls in the international area. Bank supervisors have also responded to changes in the international activities of U.S. banks. I should like therefore to turn to the measures that have been taken and are being taken within the Federal Reserve System in the exercise of its supervisory responsibilities in this area. First, however, I should emphasize that zerorisk banking is not an objective of bank super vision. Banks must make judgments and take reasonable risks. One way bank supervisors can strengthen the banking system is by ensuring that adequate information is available to the banks. An example is the current effort by the Federal Reserve System, in cooperation with the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and other central banks of the G-10 countries, to obtain data on the total amounts, maturity dis tribution, and guarantee status of bank credits to borrowers in individual countries other than those developed countries participating in this effort. The expanded coverage and the maturity information in this report will represent a marked improvement over data currently avail able to banks and bank supervisors. Moreover, for the first time, aggregate information will be available that includes the geographic distri bution of credits that are covered by guarantees external to the borrowing country. In addition, other reports received by the System are being reviewed and in some cases revamped to make them more useful from a supervisory point of view to the monitoring of 365 the banks’ international operations. In the same vein, the frequency of our overseas examina tions has been stepped up and the procedures by which examiners scrutinize bank manage ment systems and controls over their interna tional operations are under active review. Secondly, the banks have been encouraged to keep their international, as well as their domestic, expansion within prudent limits through the Board’s “ go-slow” policy. The Board has been unwilling to approve proposals for new expansionary ventures or investments when in the Board’s judgment management’s priority attention should be directed to im provement of the bank’s own condition and particularly to strengthening its capital structure. The Board has also cautioned the banks about their exposure in international joint ventures. In a policy statement issued early last year, the Board indicated that, in considering applications to make investments in foreign joint ventures, it would take into account the possibility that the applicant might for business reasons accept a degree of financial responsibility for the foreign joint venture well beyond that indicated by its investment. In the area of foreign exchange the Federal Reserve conducted a survey in late 1974 of bank practices regarding foreign exchange exposure and controls over their foreign exchange opera tions. That survey, the results of which were sent to the Congress in 1975, indicated that the banks surveyed set conservative limits on their foreign exchange positions and that the meas ures followed by them in controlling that expo sure through reporting practices, internal con trols, and auditing procedures were generally adequate. However, we are continuing to work with the banks and the Comptroller of the Cur rency to develop minimum standards for the internal control of banks’ foreign exchange operations. Among other efforts to improve our supervi sion of international lending, the Federal Re serve is currently conducting, through inter views, an informal survey of commercial bank practices in defining, monitoring, and control ling country risk. This survey, which covers about 25 large banks, reveals that U.S. banks engaged in international financial activities 366 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 typically have systems for measuring and con trolling country risk, although the content of these internal systems differs from bank to bank. The banks surveyed are aware of the complexity of measuring country exposure and are actively seeking to improve their internal systems. Finally, I should like to mention the initia tives that have been taken to improve interna tional cooperation in the supervision of interna tional activities. The Federal Reserve is an ac tive member of the BIS Committee on Bank Regulation and Supervisory Practices. That committee was established in early 1975 as a means of promoting exchanges of information and views about bank supervisory practices and bank supervisory problems. In addition to the educational value of such exchanges, the con tacts established and maintained through this committee have materially strengthened the ability of bank supervisors in the major coun tries to deal with individual problems as they emerge. Over the longer run, one of the benefits of these international cooperative efforts will be improved supervision of our banks’ operations overseas with the assistance of foreign banking authorities and from their point of view, im proved supervision of their banks’ activities in the United States with the assistance of Ameri can bank supervisors. One complication in development of close cooperation in banking supervision between na tional authorities is the fact that supervisory authority over the entry and activities of foreign banks in the United States is primarily the responsibility of the State banking authorities. The United States is unique in this respect. To improve this situation, and also because of the growing importance of foreign banks in the functioning of U.S. credit and money markets, the Board has been urging enactment of Federal legislation for the regulation of foreign banks in the United States. It is sincerely hoped that these proposals will be reviewed this year and that they will soon be incorporated into U.S. law. □ Statement by D avid M . L illy, M em ber, B oard of Governors of the Federal R eserve System , before the Subcomm ittee on Econom ic S tabili zation of the Committee on Banking , Finance , and Urban A ffairs, U.S. House of R ep re sentatives, M arch 30, 1977. existing guarantee programs or would involve the use of the Government’s guarantee of loans for a number of new purposes, particularly in the energy field. These developments clearly point to the need for the Congress to make a thorough assessment of the public policy impli cations of programs that utilize the Federal Government’s credit standing and to improve procedures for evaluating and accounting for such programs. As you noted in your letter, the character of the Government’s loan guarantee activities has been changing. Old, well-established programs generally have involved the provision of a guarantee on relatively small loans in the agri cultural, mortgage, or small business areas. Under these programs, risk has been spread among a large number of borrowers and over a wide geographical area, and default rates have proven to be low and fairly predictable. In the case of Federal Housing Administration (FHA) Section 203b insured mortgages, as an out standing example, premiums charged for this I appreciate the opportunity to appear before you this morning to discuss Federal Government loan guarantees. I would like to say at the outset that I am not an expert on the wide range of specific guarantee programs. I intend, therefore, to focus my remarks on the general question of the economic implications of loan guarantees and the treatment of such guarantees in the budgetary process. The volume of guaranteed loans has been rising rapidly in recent years, reflecting growth under longstanding programs as well as the introduction of additional programs established to foster a variety of new public policy objec tives. The Congress has also been deluged of late with proposals that would further expand Statements to Congress insurance have more than covered all losses to date. Most of these older programs were estab lished to remedy imperfections thought to exist in the private credit markets that resulted in a smaller flow of credit into certain uses than seemed warranted by underlying economic cir cumstances. Such imperfections were attributed to lenders’ inability to pool large amounts of risk, their lack of knowledge about the charac teristics of borrowers, and/or their reluctance to innovate new lending terms. It was, in part, to acquaint lenders with new opportunities that these programs were administered in ways that involved the private sector in the origination, servicing, and even coinsurance of loans. This strategy has often succeeded. In the home mortgage area, for example, an active and ex panding private sector has increasingly assumed the risk-taking functions originally performed by the Government. Many of the loan guarantee programs estab lished more recently have been quite different in nature. They have involved the use of the Government’s guarantee of loans to underwrite spending that has been judged to yield desirable social objectives, but which may offer only indifferent prospects of being financially suc cessful. Programs such as student loans and assistance for low- and moderate-income home buyers, for example, would appear to involve a sizable element of risk to the Government and subsidy to the recipients since the full repayment of these loans is recognized to be uncertain. Other newly proposed programs would in volve use of loan guarantees to aid in the fi nancing of projects, particularly in the energy area, whose exceptionally large size relative to the borrowing unit virtually precludes private lenders from providing funds on an unassisted basis. Also, in some cases, there is considerable uncertainty as to the feasibility of the technology to be used or as to whether the economic condi tions likely to prevail in the future will justify the undertaking. Thus, in these instances, the Government would incur a contingent liability whose size, while unknown, can be presumed to be quite large. Moreover, even though such programs are to be authorized in the form of loan guarantees, 367 private involvement in a large percentage of them is likely to be modest because the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) probably will originate, service, and hold the great bulk of these loans. As you know, since it began operating in 1974, the FFB has not only made direct loans to Government agencies but has also acquired a substantial volume of Government-guaranteed loans as well. There is, in any case, little substantive difference between a direct loan and a guaranteed loan held by a private borrower in which risk of failure to repay is assumed by the U.S. Government. The FFB’s acquisition of guaranteed loans further blurs this distinction, however, and in effect converts guaranteed loans into direct loans. There are, however, clear advantages gained when the FFB acquires guaranteed loans. Such acquisitions serve to consolidate and bring order to the process of issuing Government-guaran teed debt instruments. Potential disruptions to the functioning of securities markets that could be caused by numerous public sales of guaran teed security issues are thus avoided. In addi tion, the FFB loans funds that it has borrowed from the Treasury, and it is therefore able to hold the interest rates it charges to levels that are just above the rates the Treasury pays when it borrows in the market. Guaranteed loans, when placed in private hands, normally carry interest rates significantly higher than rates on Treasury securities of similar maturity because such loans lack the liquidity of direct Treasury issues. The savings realized by what, in effect, amounts to the substitution of direct Treasury debt for guaranteed loans can accrue either to the borrower through lower interest charges or to the taxpayer if a fee is levied on the guaran teed loan. Concerns have been expressed in some quar ters that the advantages offered by the FFB may be encouraging growth of guaranteed loans. In my view such concerns are perhaps misdirected. I would prefer to attribute the growth of such loans to the way they have been treated in the budgetary process. As you are well aware, the exclusion of loan guarantee programs from the regular appropriation process eases their initia tion and impedes their subsequent control. The amount of guaranteed loans does not appear in 368 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 functional categories of the budget, and some individual guarantee programs extend over many years, with little periodic zero-base re view or control other than over-all limits set by the Congress. Moreover, new loan guarantee programs have little or no impact on current budgets. There is no formal mechanism in many programs for establishing reserves when loan guarantees are made in order to cover defaults that might occur while the loans are outstanding. Instead, losses on guaranteed loans are reflected in the budget at the time they occur. Loan guarantee programs also impose other costs on the taxpayer. In some guarantee pro grams, such as guaranteed student loans, subsi dies are provided explicitly to those receiving guarantees. In addition, there are programs in which the cost of processing loan applications and servicing loans are borne by the Govern ment. Loan guarantees also tend to raise the amount of interest that must be paid on the national debt. This occurs because instruments bearing the full faith and credit guarantee of the Federal Government are viewed as close substi tutes for direct Government debt by many in vestors, and the competition from such instru ments might tend to increase the cost of the Treasury’s own debt financing operations. Loan guarantees also have other significant effects on the economy that are difficult to quantify and almost never find their way into budgetary discussions. These effects are the shifts in resource allocation patterns caused by the operation of loan guarantees. The principal reason for loan guarantees, of course, is to redistribute credit to favored sectors so as to stimulate production of particular types of goods or services. In the case of many programs, the credit provided finances activities that would not oth erwise have been undertaken. Many of the pro grams proposed for energy development, for example, are of this latter type. In the case of other programs, guaranteed loans may not pro duce an equivalent increase in spending in the area because funds might be shifted by the borrower from one use to another or because credits obtained under a guarantee may simply replace borrowing that would have otherwise occurred. But even in these latter cases, it seems quite likely that the reduced cost of financing induces some additional outlays. While loan guarantees generally result in a net increase in credit used to finance selected types of expenditures, it must be stressed that coincidentally the volume of funds available for loans to borrowers not favored by such pro grams tends to be diminished and the cost of these funds may be raised. As a result, the additional spending on projects backed by loan guarantees will be offset to some extent by reduced expenditures for other purposes. To sum up then, loan guarantees, as well as other forms of Federal credit assistance, make funds available to finance certain types of spending that have been deemed through the legislative process to be of high social value. These funds are not provided without cost, however. Defaults on guaranteed loans result in a direct drain on the Treasury’s tax revenues, and there are other types of attendant costs including the higher interest rates on Treasury debt caused by enlarging the supply of securities carrying the full faith and credit of the Federal Government. Recognition that loan guarantees are not costless or without side effects does not neces sarily lead to the conclusion that such programs should be eliminated. But it does highlight the need for careful evaluation of the relationship between their benefits and costs. I do not believe this is being done adequately at present since budgetary procedures do not establish for the Congress a suitable framework for making such assessments. While there is widespread agreement that reforms in the budget treatment of credit pro grams are desirable, there is little consensus on what a revised budget should contain. Some budget authorities have argued that all the credit activities of the Federal Government should be incorporated in the unified budget. Under this approach, outlays would include all loan con tracts guaranteed by the Government and its agencies as well as all direct loans. The budget would then measure the increase in the actual and potential financial liability of the Govern ment, thereby providing a comprehensive ac counting of the Government’s involvement in the credit markets. Statements to Congress An all-inclusive budget would also focus at tention on the total resource allocation effects of Government activity. Congressional commit tees responsible for various functional areas of the budget would be better able to consider Federal credit programs in tandem with taxation and expenditure programs. Thus, judgment on the advisability of adopting alternative ap proaches to achieving budgetary goals would be improved and a better understanding of the over-all impact of the Government on the econ omy would be obtained. An alternative approach to the budgetary treatment of credit activities would be one in which Federal credit extensions, whether in volving direct loans or guaranteed loans, would be excluded from the unified budget and kept track of in a separate set of accounts. This approach has been recommended by analysts who emphasize the difference between outlays that involve the acquisition of financial assets, on the one hand, and purchases of goods and services or transfers of income on the other. In the former case, the Government receives a claim on a borrower as an offset to its provision of funds; in the latter, it does not. By affording similar status to direct and guaranteed loans and carrying them in a separate loan account, this approach would also highlight the Federal Government’s impact on the credit allocation process. At the same time, the unified budget would conform more closely to a busi ness firm’s statement of income and expense. Loan transactions under this approach would not be reflected in the unified budget except to the extent that defaults and/or subsidies on these loans give rise to outlays. In a proper accounting scheme, of course, these types of costs should enter the budget on an accrual basis when the potential liability is incurred, rather than on a cash basis at the time of default. To implement this procedure, the Congress would have to estimate the potential for defaults on loans made in any year, and then appropriate sufficient funds to be held in a reserve account to cover the defaults as they occur. Requiring current estimates of eventual costs to taxpayers might well produce a more careful appraisal of various Federal credit proposals. But the difficulties that would be encountered 369 in making these estimates would be substantial, especially in the case of programs instituted or proposed more recently that involve large ele ments of unknown risk. Yet, it is clear that some estimates, however tenuous, would be prefera ble to current practice, which in general ignores possible future costs of such programs. The need to distinguish between Federal credit programs and other expenditures was recognized by the 1967 Presidential Commis sion on the Budget. Specifically, with respect to direct loans the Commission advised that while such transactions should be placed in the comprehensive budget, they should be set apart from other outlays. Such a different treatment was advised in order to permit the calculation of an expenditure account surplus or deficit and to facilitate analysis of the impact of direct loans. The Commission also recommended that subsidy elements in direct loans should be esti mated and reflected in expenditure accounts. With regard to the budgetary treatment of loan guarantees, the Commission offered no specific recommendations because it had not had time to study this question sufficiently. It indi cated, however, that coordinated surveillance of direct and guaranteed loans was desirable and that a summary should be prepared with the budget, setting forth amounts of guaranteed and insured loans outstanding and direct loans. In adopting the Unified Budget concept in 1968, the President accepted the Commission’s recommendation to include direct loans in the budget. The recommendation to delineate be tween loan disbursements and other outlays was also adopted initially, but this practice has been abandoned in recent budgets. Also, the recom mendation for estimating subsidy elements was introduced in only a very few instances. Over the years, greater attention has been brought to bear on loan guarantees, as they have been reviewed in some detail— along with direct loans— in a chapter of the Special Analysis document that accompanies the budget. This approach, however, is obviously no substitute for one that would require consideration of Federal credit programs in the formal budget process, and it was disappointing that the Bud get Control Act of 1974 did not mandate such treatment. 370 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 The problems of budgetary management of Federal credit programs under review by this Committee are obviously as complex as they are important. Careful study and deliberation will be required before a comprehensive budg etary system can be derived that will best serve the various needs of the Congress. I will not attempt to offer specific recommendations for a program that might best serve these objectives, but I would like to mention several points that I believe deserve careful consideration in your deliberations. First, if it is decided to continue including the direct loans of Government-owned agencies in the budget, it seems clear to me that all such loans should be so treated. In this regard, last year’s congressional decision to return the Ex port-Import Bank to the budget was a salutary development. Similar treatment, I believe, should be considered for other agencies, in cluding the FFB. There is no difference in substance between a direct Federal loan and a loan that is guaranteed by a Government agency and acquired by the FFB. If one type of loan is included, then so should the other. A problem that could very well arise from including the FFB in the budget, however, is that its lending and investing operations could become an easy target for those wanting to make pseudo cuts in the budget. In that case, the financing of loans guaranteed by Federal agen cies might tend to be shifted back to the piece meal and costly approach that prevailed prior to the initiation of the FFB. Accordingly, any changes in the budgetary status of the FFB would have to be accompanied by other meas ures that prevent the loss of the cost saving benefits that are provided by the FFB. Perhaps, legislation could be enacted that would require agencies to place certain types of loan guaran tees exclusively with the FFB. This point clearly would need detailed exploration. Second, should the decision be made to con tinue to keep privately held loan guarantees off the budget, it is imperative that steps be taken to achieve more effective congressional surveil lance and control of these programs. At a mini mum all such loans should be included on a separate line in the concurrent budget resolu tion. This highlighting of the total of Govern ment-loan guarantees will provide both the Congress and the public with a more complete picture of the Government’s involvement in the economy. The Congress should also establish rules re quiring reconsideration of each loan guarantee program on a yearly basis. In carrying out this task, I would further advise the initiation of zero-base budgeting; that is, the Congress should ask whether a program continues to be necessary before it decides to continue and expand it. Finally, the Congress should require the for mulation of estimates of the potential defaults on loans that have been guaranteed and should make provisions for these losses in the budget by setting up reserve accounts. Such reserves are not needed for direct loans or guaranteed loans held by Government agencies if they are already reflected as outlays in the budget. In concluding, I would like to say that we at the Board regard the passage of the Congres sional Budget Act, and its implementation in the past 2 years, as a major advance in the interests of sound budget management. The reforms in the treatment of Federal credit pro grams and loan guarantee programs that may result from the efforts of this committee would constitute an additional substantial step toward this important goal. □ Statement by J. Charles Partee, M em ber, B oard of G overnors o f the Federal R eserve System , before the Subcommittee on D om estic M onetary Policy of the Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban A ffairs, U.S. House of R ep re sentatives, M arch 30, 1977. I am happy to appear on behalf of the Board of Governors to discuss the implications of U.S. Treasury financing requirements for monetary policy. Your chairman has asked me to com ment, in particular, on whether the increased Federal deficit financing needs soon to be Statements to Congress created by the administration’s proposed fiscal package are likely to complicate the manage ment of monetary policy. At the outset, I should emphasize that under the institutional arrangements in the United States, decisions on monetary policy and Treas ury debt management are kept relatively inde pendent from one another. When the Treasury seeks to issue new debt, it generally does so in the securities market, paying rates that are competitive with those available on debt securi ties of other borrowers. This market-oriented approach permits the Treasury to cover its fi nancing requirements without special support from the central bank. The Federal Reserve is then left free to pursue its monetary policy objectives, which are set with reference to what we believe consistent with the emerging needs of the over-all economy. In some other countries, new public debt is financed initially at the central bank, often at rates below the cost of borrowing from market sources. When this approach is followed, the central bank in effect creates money to pay the government’s bills, at least until such time as it can successfully resell the securities to the private investment community. Monetary policy is thus subordinated to the immediate require ments of financing the public debt, and in the process the central bank may sometimes lose control of the nation’s supplies of money and credit. Sooner or later, this lack of control is likely to bring escalating rates of domestic in flation, along with the economic distortions and instabilities that rapid inflation breeds. The fact that our governmental structure sep arates responsibility for debt management from that for monetary policy, however, does not mean that the Federal Reserve is not vitally interested in successful Treasury debt manage ment. A failure by the Treasury to cover its financing requirements, in addition to precipi tating a crisis in public credit, would disrupt financial markets and create serious problems for other borrowers as well. Such a development would doubtless make it necessary for the Fed eral Reserve to divert open market operations for a time from more fundamental objectives to the task of coping with the immediate finan cial market difficulty. 371 To help minimize the possibility of Treasury financing failures, the Federal Reserve during the 1950’s and 1960’s followed the practice of maintaining an “ even-keel” posture in mone tary policy at the time of major debt manage ment operations. Basically, this commitment meant that during the critical days of important Treasury financings in the coupon market, the Federal Reserve would not take overt monetary actions— such as a change in the Federal Re serve discount rate or a significant shift in the thrust of open market operations— which might be construed by participants in the U.S. Gov ernment securities market as a basic adjustment in monetary policy. In more recent years there has been a gradual relaxation in the constraints on monetary actions imposed by this “ evenkeel” commitment. This relaxation has been possible mainly because the Treasury has intro duced debt management innovations that have made its financings less vulnerable to sudden variations in market interest rates. Perhaps the most significant of these innova tions has been the increased emphasis on the auctioning of new debt offerings. In the 1950’s and 1960’s when the Treasury sold new notes and bonds, it generally announced fixed interest rates on the new issues 5 or 6 days in advance of taking subscriptions. Under this procedure the financing could be jeopardized by any siz able, unexpected increase in market interest rates that developed between the announcement and actual offering of the new issues. When yields on outstanding market securities rose just before the offering date, the terms of the new issues naturally looked less attractive to inves tors. If this erosion of investor interest went too far, the Treasury ran the risk of failing to sell enough of its new debt and thus of being tem porarily embarrassed for lack of funds. Under the auction procedure now used this risk is reduced because the yields and prices of new issues are determined through bidding on the date of the financing itself, rather than some days before. A second innovation in debt management that has diminished the constraint of “ even-keel” considerations on the conduct of monetary pol icy has been the restructuring of much of the marketable debt into regularized cycles of debt 372 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 offerings that can be handled on a rather routine basis. Financings are split into moderate-sized auctions that occur on a definite schedule, which encourages investors to accumulate funds for regular placement in Treasury issues. It is fortunate that the Treasury has been able to channel much of its recent borrowing into these relatively routine debt offering cycles be cause the heavy Federal deficits of the past few years have greatly expanded both the aggregate volume of Government financing and the fre quency of new issues. Last year, for example, the Treasury sold in the market $93 billion in new notes and bonds to refund maturing debt and to raise new cash, far above the $25 billion average annual volume that had prevailed during the decade from 1965 to 1974. Moreover, last year’s financings included 30 separate issues of new marketable debt other than Treasury bills, compared with an average of 12 per year from 1965 to 1974. Against this background, if a rigorous “ even-keel” approach to Treasury financings were required, the greater frequency of opera tions could often delay needed Federal Reserve actions and to that extent reduce the flexibility of monetary policy. Of course, there is always a free and full exchange of information on such matters as financial market conditions and Fed eral financing requirements between the Treas ury and the Federal Reserve. But if we are to be successful in maintaining effective control over longer-run growth in the monetary aggre gates, sufficient leeway to make timely adjust ments in the supply of bank reserves is an essential prerequisite. This brings me to the more immediate ques tion of whether the administration’s proposed tax rebate and social security payment package is likely to create any special difficulties for Federal Reserve policy during the months just ahead. Two possible sources of difficulty have been identified. First, some analysts have speculated that the sheer weight on financial markets of Treasury borrowing to finance this package might inhibit the flexibility of Federal Reserve actions. I do not think that this is a realistic possibility. Although the $10 billion or so expected to be distributed as tax rebates and associated pay ments during the next few months is a very large sum, it is not likely to create a major financing problem for the Treasury. Not only will the bulk of the payments be occurring during a part of the year when regular income tax receipts would otherwise be creating a seasonal surplus, but the persistent shortfall in Federal spending below budget estimates thus far in the current fiscal year has held aggregate deficit financing re quirements somewhat below market expecta tions. In a broader sense, the addition of another $10 billion to the Treasury’s borrowing needs extends the period of exceptionally heavy deficit financing and increases the risk that adverse financial market effects could begin to accumu late. The Federal deficit in the current calendar year— including the deficits of off-budget agen cies— now seems likely to approach $80 billion, up $17 billion from last year and only moder ately less than in calendar year 1975. If these large deficit financing needs persist into the time when private credit demands are rising strongly in response to continued economic recovery, substantial pressures on both the cost and avail ability of credit might very well develop. But this is a longer-run and more generalized con cern. The second aspect of the fiscal package that poses a potential problem for the Federal Re serve is the likelihood that the rebates will produce temporary— but difficult to interpret— distortions in the monetary aggregates. To the extent that these temporary rebate effects dis guise the more fundamental influences on mon etary growth, it will be difficult for a time to determine the near-term course in money growth and interest rates that is most likely to be con sistent with the developing financial require ments of the economy. To help understand why the impact of the tax rebates on monetary growth is so difficult to predict, let me briefly discuss the relationship of U.S. Treasury cash balances to the money supply. First, it should be noted that although the Treasury holds its cash balances as demand deposits, partly with commercial banks and partly with Federal Reserve Banks, neither type of deposit is included in statistics on the money supply. Deposits held by other key types of Statements to Congress spending units— households, businesses, and State and local governments— do, of course, all appear in the monetary aggregates. The rationale for excluding Treasury deposits from the various measures of money has tradi tionally been that spending decisions by the Federal Government are not at all influenced by the size of its cash position. Federal spending programs are legislated by the Congress and supported by tax revenues or borrowed funds. Thus, the level of the Treasury’s bank balance at any given point simply reflects different flow patterns of outlays and receipts. The spending decisions of other economic units, on the other hand, do appear to be in fluenced significantly by the size of their liquid balances. Since this relationship is a critical link in understanding the probable impact of mone tary developments on aggregate spending in the economy, it is important to have statistics on the monetary aggregates that provide the most meaningful analytic measures of these variables. The exclusion of Treasury balances from the published money supply statistics, however, may occasionally present difficulties in inter preting short-run movements in these data. Whenever taxpayers or investors make net pay ments to the Federal government, their deposit balances tend to be drawn down and those of the Treasury rise. Similarly, when the Treasury spends more than it receives, its balances are drawn down and those of other units in the economy tend to rise. But most of these shifts in cash position between the public and the Treasury are regularly recurring events related, for example, to the timing of tax payment dates and periodic Treasury financings. Therefore, they tend to wash out in the seasonally adjusted measures of the money supply that are used as guides to monetary policy. Even after taking out the seasonal, our statis tical studies have not shown a predictable, con sistent relationship between variations in the Treasury’s balance and changes in money growth rates. This is probably because of the myriad of transactions that go through deposit accounts each day, and also because most large depositors typically adjust their demand bal ances promptly to desired levels. In the rebate case, however, the Treasury disbursements will 373 be especially large; they will be concentrated in timing and nonseasonal in character; and the payments will be made to families rather than to business units. There will probably be some delay as families deliberate on how to use the windfall, and, if so, there will be a sharp tem porary upsurge in their average cash balances and a resulting spurt in the growth of the mone tary aggregates. Later, as these balances are spent, there should be a reversal of the money bulge, and a concomitant slowing in monetary growth until the recipients have used the funds and cash balances have been reduced to normal working levels. This is the pattern of response that seemed to occur in the money growth numbers during the prior tax rebate episode in 1975. Looking to the months ahead, it is hard to judge with any precision how large the distor tions in money growth rates triggered by the 1977 fiscal package may be. We have only one prior experience to draw upon, and today’s economic setting differs in important respects from that of 2 years ago. Hence, the Federal Reserve is likely to have considerable difficulty as the period progresses in assessing the more fundamental developments in the underlying trend of money growth. Most analysts clearly recognize the compli cations in evaluating money growth rates during and immediately after the forthcoming rebate period. But the intriguing point to me is that different experts commenting on how the Fed eral Reserve should cope with this problem are offering us diametrically opposing advice. Some argue that because the data on the monetary aggregates can be expected to behave erratically, the Federal Reserve should disregard them in the period during and immediately after the rebate period. Instead they recommend that we focus on keeping money market condi tions— including the Federal funds rate— from tightening. Since the economy is operating at substantially below its optimum rate, they see little risk in adopting this policy approach. Others argue, on the other hand, that even temporary abandonment of the aggregates as a guide to policy would be risky, given the long lags with which monetary conditions affect the economy. If the expansion is now gaining mo 374 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 mentum, which seems probable, resorting to a stable interest rate policy might lead to a sub stantial overrun in growth of the aggregates— going well beyond the temporary rebate influ ence. If this were to happen, it is feared that the Federal Reserve would experience difficulty holding the longer-run growth rates of the ag gregates within the ranges that have been speci fied, with probably adverse future consequences for the rate of inflation. To avoid the threat of excessive longer-run monetary growth, this group recommends keeping a close control over the aggregates even during the rebate period. It seems clear that any rigorous effort to hold down monetary growth rates during the rebate period would bring substantial and potentially unsettling short-run interest rate movements— first upward, and then downward— as the ad justments in money balances are made. Such fluctuations would seem to serve little purpose and could be misleading and disadvantageous to both borrowers and lenders. A total lack of attention to the aggregates, on the other hand, could permit a sizable lasting expansion in money and credit to get under way, particularly if the economy continues to strengthen generally over the period ahead. In my view, there is a safer middle course between these two recommended policy ap proaches. This course would be to attempt to estimate, in advance, the deviations from other wise expected patterns of money growth that might develop due to the special Treasury pay ments. These estimates would allow both for an initial period of temporary acceleration in monetary growth and a succeeding period of temporary slowing. A need for possible Federal Reserve actions to counter unusual develop ments in the monetary aggregates would then be indicated only to the extent that actual growth rates moved well beyond the parameters estab lished by these allowances. While this was the general approach followed by the Federal Reserve during the tax rebate period of 1975, only a single point projection of the rebate effect was formulated and there was no prior experience on which to base the estimate. As it turned out, that point estimate was on the low side. Consequently, policy makers inferred that the monetary expansion actually observed in the spring of 1975 was greater than could be attributed to the rebate and hence greater than would be subsequently reversed. Looking back to that experience, both the rebate influence and the reversal appear to have been underestimated. This time around, I would expect greater recognition to be given to the uncertainties sur rounding estimates of what proportions of the rebates and other distributions will be retained in money form, and for how long. It may well be that a range of projections will prove more reliable than a single point estimate in order to bracket the various possibilities. Thus it is probable, as Chairman Burns stated at a Senate Budget Committee hearing last week, that our zone of tolerance in permitting monetary ex pansion to run at high rates for a while will be somewhat wider this time. But if we find that monetary growth does not subsequently moderate in the expected degree, we may then need to act to keep longer-run expansion of the monetary aggregates within our stated ranges. While it is clear that observed money growth rates are likely to show sizable fluctuations in the period to come, Federal Reserve policy will continue to seek longer-run growth rates appro priate to the requirements of the economy. At the same time, it is undesirable and unnecessary to expose the economy to the uncertainties and destabilizing effects of movements in interest rates if these are likely to be reversed shortly. Careful monitoring of emerging economic and financial developments during and after the re bate period should permit us to allow for any needed adjustments in money growth rates and interest rates on a reasonably timely basis. This is so since a major virtue of monetary policy as an instrument of demand management is its operational flexibility. □ Statements to Congress Statement by Philip E. C oldw ell , M em ber , B oard of G overnors of the Federal R eserve System , before the Committee on Banking , Housing , and Urban A ffairs, ( 7 .5 . Senate, A pril 7, 1977. My appearance before this committee today represents an opportunity to present and discuss the expenditures and budgets of the Federal Reserve Banks and Board of Governors. In this statement I shall supplement the statistical in formation already sent to the committee by providing a broad-based review of the amount and character of System expenditures and of the progress achieved in improving productivity, cost effectiveness, and quality of service. The Federal Reserve System serves the Na tion, its Government, the banks, and the general public, in a variety of ways. First, as the Na tion’s central bank, the Federal Reserve formu lates and implements national monetary and credit policy. Second, as the banker to the Government, the Federal Reserve issues, re deems, and exchanges Government securities, handles most of the Government cash balances, and provides processing capability for tax pay ments and food stamps. Third, as a service to the banking system and the general public, the Federal Reserve issues and redeems currency and coin, and clears and processes personal and business checks. Finally, as a part of the bank regulatory structure of the Nation, the Federal Reserve examines, regulates, and supervises bank holding companies, State-chartered mem ber banks, and all Edge Act Corporations. The Federal Reserve provides these various services through a network of 50 offices employing over 26,000 people. The System operating budget for 1977 amounts to $753.4 million1 or 7.6 per cent over 1976 expenditures. Of this current year’s bud get, the Board’s assessment accounts for $48.6 million or 6.5 per cent, while the Federal Re serve Bank expenses are expected to reach $704.8 million. System expenditures have in creased at an annual average growth rate of 11.5 per cent from 1970 to 1977 and at an 8.5 per 1N et 1977 operating expenses (after reimbursements and recoveries) are expected to be $698.6 million. 375 cent rate from 1974 to 1977. For comparison, it should be noted that expenditures of the Federal Government have risen at an annual average rate of 15.9 per cent in this recent 3-year period. While maintaining this relatively good costcontrol position, the System has undertaken new responsibilities assigned by the Congress, has met sharp increases in bank supervisory work and rising volumes of operational work at the Federal Reserve Banks, and has absorbed the impact of inflation upon wage, material, and service costs. Among the principal changes in System re sponsibilities resulting from congressional ac tion have been the new supervisory activities required by the 1970 Amendments to the Bank Holding Company Act. All one-bank holding companies formerly exempt from the provisions of the act were brought under the System’s jurisdiction by those amendments. Thus, in 1971 the System’s regulatory responsibility was increased to cover all 1,500 bank holding com panies contrasted with the 121 multibank hold ing companies supervised by the System at the end of 1970. Since then, the number of bank holding companies has increased to slightly more than 1,900, which control about two-thirds of the bank deposits of the Nation. This increase in the number of holding companies in con junction with the new requirement to apply for perm issible nonbank activities led to a mushrooming application load for the System. From May 1956, when the Bank Holding Com pany Act was first implemented, through De cember 1970, the System acted on 470 bank holding company applications, an average of 32 per year. From 1971 through 1976, the System acted on 5,079 applications, an average of 846 per year. In addition to the processing of holding com pany applications, the System was assigned ongoing supervisory responsibilities for bank holding companies. The Federal Reserve has had to monitor the activities of these firms, and to do this has increased its examination staff, expanded training for examiners, and has created an extensive financial reporting arrange ment to support a computer-based surveillance system. 376 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Turning to another bank supervisory area, there has been a dramatic growth in the interna tional activities of U.S. banks in the past few years. The total assets of foreign branches of U.S. banks increased from $52 billion in 1970 to over $180 billion by year-end 1976. U.S. banks were also expanding through foreign subsidiaries. By year-end 1975 these subsidi aries had total assets of $30 billion. Federal Reserve approval is needed for both the opening of foreign branches and the investment in foreign subsidiaries. The Federal Reserve also has ongoing supervisory responsibility over the operations of foreign subsidiaries and the foreign branches of State member banks. The Federal Reserve also has supervisory authority over State-chartered banks that are members of the Federal Reserve System. In the past 6 years, total assets held by State member banks have increased sharply, and the scope and complexity of their operations have increased as well. Such growth has placed a greater bur den on the System’s examination resources. Another major area of responsibility assigned by the Congress is the enlarged System role in the consumer credit field. The Board is the principal agency charged with writing regula tions to implement Federal legislation to protect consumers and prevent discrimination in exten sions of consumer credit. The Board first be came involved in writing consumer protection regulations with passage of the Federal Truth in Lending Act in 1968, and since 1969 there have been four major amendments to Truth in Lending, including the Fair Credit Billing Act of 1974 and the Consumer Leasing Act of 1976, all of which required extensive rule writing by the Board. In addition, the Board has the re sponsibility for drafting regulations implement ing five other consumer protection Acts: the Equal Credit Opportunity Act of 1974, the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act of 1974 (RESPA), the Federal Trade Commission Im provement Act of 1975, the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act of 1976, and the 1976 amend ments to the Equal Credit Opportunity Act. The System has experienced increases in vol ume in all functions, but especially in wire transfers of funds, currency distribution and destruction, and food stamp and check process ing. The volume of wire transfers handled by the Reserve Banks increased 182 per cent from 1970 to 1976. The wire transfer system, in conjunction with the Federal Reserve’s bookentry system, supports the trading of Govern ment securities by providing a convenient mechanism for transferring ownership of these securities. In addition, the wire system handles nearly 75,000 funds transfers each day, repre senting more than $150 billion in bank-to-bank transfers. This wire system provides the means by which the Nation’s financial system settles its business transactions each day in Federal funds and facilitates better cash management, thereby improving services to customers and to the general public. Currency processed rose 33 per cent in the period from 1970 to 1976. New innovative methods are under development to meet this increasing volume. For example, the System is currently developing new high-speed currency equipment that should result in further gains in productivity in handling currency volumes as well as yielding improvements in the currency verification and destruction process. In 1971 legislation extensively revising the Food Stamp program resulted in a 44.8 per cent increase in the volume of food stamps processed and destroyed by the Federal Reserve over 1970 levels. The 2.0 billion food stamps processed and destroyed in 1976 represent a 58.2 per cent increase over the 1970 level, requiring addi tional personnel, destruction equipment, and storage facilities. The System presently handles about 50 mil lion checks per day or 85 per cent more than in 1970. While computer processing has mate rially improved productivity, the problems of handling this increased volume have required additional personnel and raised costs since such operations remain labor-intensive. A concen trated search for new and better ways of dealing with this rising flood of paper has paid off in better service to the public and a slower rate of growth in expenses over the past few years. To improve the payments mechanism, the Sys tem has established 11 new regional checkprocessing facilities since 1970 and has adjusted operating schedules and transportation arrange ments to provide for more rapid clearing of Statements to Congress checks and a reduction of check-clearing float. Concurrent with these service improvements, the System undertook an extensive operations improvement program that has kept unit-cost increases for check processing below the rate of inflation. The Federal Reserve has taken positive steps to encourage conversion from costly paper checks to more efficient electronic payment. Together with the U.S. Treasury, the System has established a program of Direct Deposit of Recurring Federal Payments that allows recipi ents of Government payments to have their paychecks, benefit payments, and welfare pay ments deposited directly to their accounts at any financial institution through the use of the Fed eral R eserve data processing and com munications facilities. Approximately 5.5 mil lion Government payments are currently made this way each month, providing a high level of security, convenience, and reliability, while re ducing Government disbursement costs by ap proximately $7 million annually. As an alternative to making commercial pay ments by check, the System in conjunction with its member banks has implemented a program called the Automated Clearing House. This program, endorsed by the National Commission on Electronic Fund Transfers, allows payments to be made in electronic form rather than paper check. It is expected that substantial savings to the private sector as well as to the Federal Reserve will result as more payments are made by electronic means. Of course, a major cause of increased System expenditures since 1970 has been the very sharp run-up in prices that we have been forced to pay for our resources. Since 1970 the Consumer Price Index has advanced at a compounded annual rate in excess of 6 per cent and in the last 3 years the average rate has exceeded 7 per cent. Advancing wage rates, which stem in large part from inflationary trends, have a dramatic impact on System expenditures. Other costs for such items as machinery and equipment, office supplies, vehicles, and other business-related items have also increased rap idly in this decade. According to the Gross Business Product Fixed Weight Price Index, which is a good indicator of cost increases in 377 the business sector for such resources, these costs have increased by approximately 50 per cent since 1970, or at an average annual rate of more than 6 per cent. Let me now turn your attention to our expense categories, especially those for personnel; for postage and expressage; for original cost, ship ping, and redemption of Federal Reserve notes; for heat, light, power, water, and taxes; and for rental of furniture and operating equipment. These five categories account for about 86 per cent of the 1977 budgeted expenses of both the Reserve Banks and the Board. Personnel costs represent the largest object of expense in the System and account for 58 per cent of Reserve Bank costs and 81 per cent of Board operating expenses. Employment in the Federal Reserve System in 1977 is budgeted at 25,178 persons in the Federal Reserve Banks and 1,476 at the Board of Governors, for a total staffing of 26,654— 5 less than the 1976 level. From 1970 through 1977, the average annual growth rate in employment is estimated at 2.8 per cent for the System, but since 1974 em ployment at the Federal Reserve Banks has declined by 1,389 persons or 5.2 per cent. In terms of the 1977 budget for the System, per sonnel costs are expected to be about 8.8 per cent above comparable expenses for 1976. This increase reflects both the rising costs of retire ment funding and medical benefits, and allow ance for merit and promotional as well as costof-living increases. The postage and expressage costs of the Re serve Banks are expected to increase about 3.7 per cent from 1976 to 1977 and now represent about one-tenth of total costs. Although the System has made intensive efforts to hold down courier and carrier expenses, the impact of ris ing postal rates and of gasoline, wages, and security costs to the contract courier companies has led to some increases. The third major object of expense, the cost of Federal Reserve currency— representing about 7 per cent of the Reserve Banks’ ex penses— is one largely beyond the control of the System since the Bureau of Engraving and Printing sets the price for printing. Such costs are expected to advance about 8 per cent over 1976, with both a higher unit price from the 378 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Bureau and a larger demand for currency ac counting for the advance. Utilities and taxes paid by the Reserve Banks are also mainly beyond the control of the Sys tem. These expenditures have increased as a result of rising energy prices and sharply in creasing real estate taxes. Such expenses ac count for nearly 4 per cent of total Bank costs and are expected to advance about 10 per cent in 1977. Finally, rental of furniture and operating equipment, representing over 5 per cent of Sys tem expenses, is expected to decline slightly from 1976 to 1977. This reduction stems pri marily from the conversion of rented to pur chased equipment. While such capital purchases are separate from the operating budgets, the depreciation charge is reflected in the budget. It may be helpful to describe the budget and cost-control process that enables the System to plan for efficient use of resources in meeting its responsibilities. The Reserve Bank budget process begins with the development of the System-wide budget objective for the forth coming year. This percentage rate of increase is set after extensive discussions between the Board of Governors and Reserve Bank Presi dents. Factors considered are the specific goals and objectives for the coming budget year, expected inflationary impacts, the current and projected level of Federal Reserve operations, and the estimated productivity and cost per formance. Approval of the budget objective by the Board of Governors occurs before mid-year. With the help of a highly competent group of Directors, the Reserve Banks develop their budgets in light of the budget objective. In recent years, a competitive atmosphere on pro ductivity and cost reduction has pervaded the Reserve Banks’ budget efforts and has resulted in major savings in operating expenses. This budget process culminates in a careful review by the Boards of Directors of the Reserve Banks, who take an intense interest in the progress and relative performance rankings of the Banks. Receipt of budget information from the Re serve Banks begins in September with submis sion of revised current-year expenses and Budget Overviews depicting total budget pro jections by output service, object classification, and capital outlay. Information is also provided on personnel costs and budget-year and mul tiyear objectives. The budgets are analyzed by the Board staff and presented to the Board’s Committee on Federal Reserve Bank Activities, which is composed of three Board Members. The Committee meets with each Federal Re serve Bank President for intensive review, analysis, and redirection when necessary. Fol lowing the budget meetings and with the Com mittee’s guidance in hand, the final detailed budgets are prepared and submitted to the Board for final action in early December. The budgets of the Federal Reserve Banks include an assessment for the operating and construction expenses of the Board of Gover nors. These expenditures, which form the basis of the assessment, are subjected to a separate but similar budget process. Both the Reserve Bank and Board budget processes include an intensive screening of pro posed capital expenditures. Approval of the budgets, however, does not mean final approval of land, buildings, computers, or large equip ment purchases. Each of these must be sepa rately justified and specifically approved by the Board of Governors. An added feature of the System’s control over expenses is attributable to the sharing of the effort with the Federal Reserve Banks’ Boards of Directors. The Chairman of each Reserve Bank Board tneets personally each year with the Board’s Committee on Federal Reserve Bank Activities to review and appraise the operating efficiency of the Bank and the performance of its senior officers. These conferences permit frank exchanges about the strengths and weak nesses of each Bank and the relative position of each against the performance of others. Efforts to improve productivity and decrease costs are in the forefront in all of the budgeting and planning guidelines and procedures fol lowed by the Board and Reserve Banks, and we believe that these efforts have succeeded. As an indication of this improvement, actual output per manhour in our measurable output functions was estimated to have increased by almost 12 per cent in 1976 following an increase of 6 per cent in 1975. Statements to Congress In the conventional check-processing area, which accounts for more than 20 per cent of Reserve Bank employment, output per manhour increased by 20 per cent in 1976, and unit costs for check processing declined by more than 4 per cent in spite of higher prices for resources and higher charges for usage of automated equipment. Currency operations have also re flected sharp efficiency gains with unit costs in 1976 declining by more than 5 per cent. Some of the gains in output per manhour, of course, result directly from substitution of capital for labor. However, the unit costs reflect an amortization charge for the cost of capital, and the unit costs have been declining in many of our operating areas since 1974. The Board’s staff has made an estimate of the increase in total factor productivity in the measurable functions since 1971. This measure of productivity compares output to the sum of labor and capital inputs and thus weighs the increased cost of capital against the decrease in personnel costs as capital substitution takes place. The System estimate of total factor pro ductivity for 1971 through 1974 matches the estimates that leading economists have calcu lated for the private sector. Since 1974, how ever, the System’s total productivity has been considerably larger than that estimated for the private sector. 379 To improve the System’s performance, the Federal Reserve Banks have developed and im plemented a new expense monitoring and re porting system that will be used, in part, to assess the efficiency of the Banks. With the introduction of Planning and Control System (PACS) in January 1977, the Federal Reserve Banks greatly expanded the number of opera tional measurements available through their ex pense accounting system. In addition, for over a year, we have been in the process of testing and evaluating the feasibility of adopting zerobase budgeting in the Federal Reserve System. This budgeting approach entails a thorough re view and analysis of all spending decisions regardless of prior year commitments. Although it is too early to predict the outcome of our two pilot tests, we believe the information and anal ysis generated by using zero-base budgeting may develop alternatives with cost-saving im plications and afford decision-makers a wider choice of budget options. The Board believes that its review and budget processes have created a cost-consciousness throughout the System and that this has resulted in better productivity, cost efficiency, and serv ice to the public. Our developing technological improvements and new budgeting programs offer the possibilities of further progress in the years ahead. □ 380 Record o f Policy Actions o f the Federal Open Market Committee MEETING HELD ON FEBRUARY 15, 1977 1. Domestic Policy Directive Growth in real output of goods and services had slowed to an annual rate of 3.0 per cent in the fourth quarter of 1976— from 3.9 per cent in the third quarter and 4.5 per cent in the second— according to preliminary estimates of the Commerce Department. However, the pace of growth had accelerated as the quarter pro gressed. The information reviewed at this meeting suggested un derlying strength in economic activity, although activity in January and early February had been affected by the unusually severe weather. The index of industrial production had risen appreciably in November and December, to some extent in recovery from strikes. The index fell in January because of the severe winter weather and also, after midmonth, because of shortages of natural gas for industrial uses. Decreases in output were widespread among durable and nondurable manufacturing industries, and coal mining was curtailed sharply. However, electric and gas utilities expanded production to meet increased demand. Retail sales had expanded 1% per cent in November and about 4 per cent in December. In January, according to the advance report, sales declined 2 per cent, reflecting decreases for most types of stores apparently because of the weather. The number of new domestic automobiles sold in the first 20 days of January appeared to have held near the annual rate of 9% million recorded in December, when sales were stimulated to some extent by recovery from the strike that had limited output and sales earlier. However, sales fell sharply in the latter part of January, and for the month as a whole the annual rate was about 8% million. Labor market surveys completed by mid-January indicated that employment had continued to expand. In the survey of payroll employment in nonfarm establishments, gains were reported in Record of Policy Actions of FOMC two-thirds of the industries covered, and the total rose substantially for the third consecutive month. By the time of the survey, however, the severe weather had already induced a reduction in employment in construction and a shortening in the length of the average workweek in manufacturing. In the household survey, the unemployment rate was reported to have fallen from 7.8 per cent in December to 7.3 per cent in January. Much of the decline reflected a drop in the number of persons seeking work, which may have been caused in part by the weather. Personal income had expanded vigorously in the last 2 months of 1976; from the third quarter to the fourth it rose at an annual rate of about 11 per cent. This sizable gain reflected a rebound in manufacturing payrolls after termination of strikes, a recovery in farm income, an increase in Federal pay scales, and the dis bursement by corporations of unusually large year-end dividends. Indicators of residential construction activity had remained strong in the closing months of 1976. In December private housing starts rose sharply to an annual rate of more than 1.9 million units, the highest since the autumn of 1973. The rise was broadly based by region. For the fourth quarter as a whole starts were at an annual rate of about 1.8 million units, up 15 per cent from the third quarter. Starts of multifamily units gained more than 30 per cent from the third quarter to the fourth, reflecting not only a substantial increase in starts of units covered under Federally subsidized programs but also a large rise in units not so subsidized. Businesses were planning to spend 11.3 per cent more for plant and equipment in 1977 than in 1976, according to the Department of Commerce annual survey conducted in December. New orders for nondefense capital goods in December recovered a part of the sharp decline recorded in November. Contract awards for commer cial and industrial buildings— measured in terms of floor space— also had declined sharply in November and then in December recovered a part of the loss. The staff projections, like those of a month earlier, incorporated assumptions that rebates of Federal income taxes and one-time payments to recipients of social security would be disbursed in the second quarter; that both personal income taxes and corporate taxes would be reduced; and that Federal spending for job-creating programs would be expanded. The projections continued to suggest 381 382 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 that real GNP would grow at a substantially higher rate in the first half of 1977 than it had in the second half of 1976. As to the first quarter, it was still anticipated that growth in domestic final purchases of goods and services in real terms would be relatively well sustained, despite the severe winter weather, but the rebound in growth in real GNP was now expected to be considerably less than had been anticipated a month earlier. The projections now suggested that the rate of business inventory accumulation would decline further in the first quarter and that imports, specifically of fuels, would rise more than had been anticipated. It was expected that the weather-induced output losses of the first quarter would soon be made up; for the second quarter, the projections suggested that real final sales would grow at a rapid rate and that business inventory investment would increase. It was anticipated that real GNP would grow at a relatively good rate in the second half of 1977. The projections still suggested that the rate of increase in the fixed-weighted price index for gross business product would change relatively little during this year. Wage increases provided for in the first year of major collective bargaining agreements negotiated during 1976 were somewhat more moderate than those negotiated in 1975. Moreover, the index of average hourly earnings for private nonfarm production workers advanced 6 % per cent over the 12 months of 1976, compared with almost 8 per cent during the previous year. In January 1977 the index rose sharply; however, the sharpness of the rise reflected marked increases in the indexes for the construction and service sectors, where rates of change from month ,to month have been volatile. The wholesale price index for all commodities rose 0.5 per cent in January, almost the same as the average increase in the last 3 months of 1976. Average prices of industrial commodities rose a little more than in December but less than in the preceding 3 months. Increases were again widespread among industrial com modity groups; as in December, however, a decline was reported for the fuel and power group, reflecting some price reductions that actually had occurred a month or two earlier. Average prices of farm products and foods also rose, but the increase was relatively small. Record of Policy Actions of FOMC The consumer price index rose 0.4 per cent in December, resulting in an increase of 4.8 per cent over the 12 months of 1976; during 1975 the index had risen 7.0 per cent. Average retail prices of foods changed little during 1976, in contrast with a rise of 6.5 per cent over the previous year. Average prices of other commodities and of services rose about 5 and 7 per cent, respec tively, compared with increases of about 6 and 8 per cent in 1975. The average value of the dollar rose somewhat against leading foreign currencies between mid-January and mid-February, with most of the rise occurring in the early part of the period. The value of the dollar increased against most continental European currencies and against the Canadian dollar but declined against the Japanese yen. The pound sterling was subjected to strong upward pressure in reaction to the international agreements concluded in early January to provide the United Kingdom with substantial funds to finance possible future intervention in support of the sterling exchange rate. However, the pound did not rise against the dollar, mainly as a result of exchange market intervention by the Bank of England. The Mexican peso, which had been trading steadily at 5.0 U .S. cents since early December, fell abruptly on January 20 to 4.3 cents; later, it gradually recovered to 4.5 cents. The U .S. foreign trade deficit increased further in December, and the deficit on an international accounts basis was a little larger in the fourth quarter than in the third. For all of 1976 the trade balance was in deficit by almost $10 billion, whereas for 1975 it had been in surplus by $9 billion. Total credit at U .S. commercial banks increased considerably in January, following a small rise in December. Data for both months, however, were distorted by special influences— particularly a substantial increase in bank holdings of bankers acceptances late in 1976 that was largely reversed in January. Over the 2 months together, growth of total bank credit— although somewhat above the rather slow pace in the first half of 1976— was significantly below the rates in both the third quarter and the October-November period. Growth of business loans— excluding bankers accep tances— slowed sharply from the rate in the October-November period, and at the same time banks shifted from substantial acqui sition to moderate liquidation of securities other than U .S . Treasury issues. 383 384 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 In the December-January period the outstanding volume of commercial paper issued by nonfinancial corporations rose sharply, after having changed little over the preceding 2 months. Never theless, the combined total of nonfinancial commercial paper and business loans at banks (excluding bankers acceptances) grew somewhat less in the latter 2-month period than in the earlier one, when business needs for financing had apparently been augmented to some extent by involuntary accumulation of inventories. The narrowly defined money stock (M -l), which had grown at an annual rate of about 8 per cent in December, slowed to a rate of about 4% per cent in January. Although the month-to-month expansion in M -l recently had been erratic, the average annual rate of growth over the 6 months ending in January was about 5Vi per cent.1 Growth in M-2 and M-3 slowed appreciably in January from the rapid rates evident in December and in the fourth quarter. At banks and thrift institutions, inflows of the time and savings deposits included in the broader aggregates slowed somewhat, apparently because of reductions in interest rates paid on these deposits by some banks and thrift institutions and a rise in rates on competing market securities. At its January meeting, the Committee had agreed that early in the inter-meeting period the Manager of the System Open Market Account should aim for a Federal funds rate in the area of 4% to 4 3 per cent and that afterwards the weekly-average Federal A funds rate might be expected to vary in an orderly way within a range of 4 lA to 5 per cent. Throughout the inter-meeting period incoming data suggested that growth in both M -l and M-2 over the January-February period would be well within the ranges that had been specified by the Committee. Accordingly, the Manager continued to direct operations toward maintaining the Federal funds rate in the area of 4% to 4 3 per cent. A Market interest rates— which had risen abruptly after the turn of the year— rose somewhat further in the weeks just after the Revised measures of monetary aggregates, reflecting new benchmark data for deposits at nonmember banks and revised seasonal factors, were published on February 17, 1977. On the basis of the revised figures, the annual rate of growth in M-l in January and also over the 6 months ending in January was about 5% per cent. Record of Policy Actions of FOMC mid-January meeting of the Committee, partly in reaction to the Treasury’s announcement of the terms of its mid-February refund ing and of cash needs during the first quarter. Later, however, rates backed down to about their mid-January levels. At their levels in mid-Feburary, market interest rates in general were significantly above their December lows, but they were still a little lower than at mid-November. In the 4 weeks since the January FOMC meeting, the U .S. Treasury had raised $6.5 billion of new cash, including $3.8 billion raised in connection with the mid-February refinancing. New issues in the refinancing included $3.0 billion of 3-year notes, $2.0 billion of 7 -year notes, and $750 million of 30-year bonds. The over-all size of the offerings was near the upper limit of market expectations. However, investor interest in the new issues proved to be consid erable. In the market for new corporate bonds, the volume of publicly offered new issues in January was not quite so large as had been expected because increased interest rates had prompted the post ponement or cancellation of several issues. Nevertheless, the Jan uary volume was substantially above the monthly average in the fourth quarter of 1976. Offerings of new long-term securities by State and local governments rose sharply in January to $3.4 billion— a record for the month. About $500 million of this supply was attributable to the issuance of bonds in advance refundings, and about $700 million represented financing by municipal utilities. During January yields rose in secondary mortgage markets along with those in other markets, but interest rates on new commitments for conventional home loans edged off somewhat further. At the end of December outstanding mortgage commitments at savings and loan associations had reached another new high, even though mortgage takedowns during the month had remained substantial. At its January meeting the Committee had agreed that from the fourth quarter of 1976 to the fourth quarter of 1977, average rates of growth in the monetary aggregates within the following ranges appeared to be consistent with broad economic aims: M -1, 4V6 to 6 V per cent; M -2, 7 to 10 per cent; and M-3, 8 V to IIV 2 2 2 per cent. The associated range for growth in the bank credit proxy was 7 to 10 per cent. It was agreed that the longer-term ranges, as well as the particular aggregates for which such ranges were 385 386 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 specified, would be subject to review and modification at subsequent meetings. It also was understood that short-run factors might cause growth rates from month to month to fall outside the ranges contemplated for annual periods. In their discussion of recent economic developments and pros pects, members of the Committee agreed that the underlying situation was strong and that the losses in output, hours of work, and income resulting from the weather would soon be made up. Most members agreed in general with the staff projections suggest ing that growth in real GNP would accelerate to a rapid pace in the second quarter— reflecting not only the recovery from the weather-induced losses but also the disbursement of tax rebates and related payments— and then would continue at a relatively good rate throughout the second half of the year. However, one or two members expressed concern that the weather disturbance and the tax rebates might cause large swings in business inventory investment and therefore in total GNP. In this connection, it was suggested that more attention should be paid to the behavior of final sales than to that of total output. Despite the broad consensus on the outlook, several members called attention to actual and possible developments that might cause real GNP to deviate from the projected path. It was observed, for example, that severe weather— while having temporary effects on output, inventories, and incomes much like those of a major strike— would also transfer purchasing power from consumers to sellers of fuels, who most likely had a lower propensity to spend. Partly because of the high fuel bills, it was suggested, the tax rebates and related payments might have less impact on consumer spending than one might have expected on the basis of the 1975 experience with rebates. Looking to the latter part of 1977 and into 1978, some questions were raised about the adequacy of industrial capacity. In this connection, attention was called to the recent revisions in the Federal Reserve estimates of the rate of capacity utilization in manufacturing in the 1971-76 period. Concern was expressed that the margin of unused plant capacity that could be drawn into production might be low in relation to the amount of unemployed labor. It was also observed that rates of capacity utilization varied considerably among industries and that during business expansions Record of Policy Actions of FOMC bottlenecks begin to spread through the industrial system long before over-all measures of capacity utilization reach relatively high levels. It was suggested that the rise in prices might become more rapid as activity expanded during the period ahead. Historically, it was noted, average wholesale prices of industrial commodities had begun to rise at about the time that business activity had begun to recover, reflecting increases in prices of raw materials. In the current business expansion, that pattern had been superimposed upon the longer-run trend of inflation in the economy. With respect to the outlook for prices, it was noted also that the severe drought in the western part of the country may sharply reduce crops of fruits and vegetables. One or two members of the Committee suggested that— although economic prospects appeared to be good— businessmen seemed to have become somewhat more uneasy in recent weeks about the near-term effects of the adverse weather, about the longer-term energy problem, about the possibility of imposition of some form of price controls, about the Government’s fiscal policy, and about prospects for inflation. It was felt that this uneasy mood could inhibit decisions to make expenditures for plant and equipment. However, another member noted that some of the uncertainties that had worried businessmen only a few months ago— such as the “ pause” in growth of economic activity and the size of the prospective increase in prices of imported oil— had been resolved. In his opinion, businessmen would soon take a more favorable view of the climate for capital investment. Still another member expressed concern about the possibility that business capital invest ment would rise too strongly at a late stage in the business expansion. As to policy for the period immediately ahead, Committee members in general advocated continuation of about the current stance. They differed little in their preferences for ranges of growth in the monetary aggregates over the February-March period. For M -l, the members endorsed a range of 3 to 7 per cent, although one indicated a mild preference for a range of 3 V to IV 2 per cent. 2 For M -2, many members favored a range of 7 to 11 per cent. However, some advocated a slightly lower range— 6 to 10 per cent— because M-2 had grown over recent months at a rate that 387 388 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 was high relative to the Committee’s longer-run range for that aggregate. Almost all members favored directing operations initially toward the objective of maintaining the Federal funds rate in the area of 4% to 4 3 per cent. However, they differed somewhat in their A preferences for the upper and lower limits of the inter-meeting range. The largest number of members preferred to continue the range of 4 lA to 5 per cent that had been specified at the January meeting. Some favored ranges of 4 X to 5 lA per cent or AVi to A 5% per cent, because they believed that additional leeway for System operations should be provided in the event that growth in the aggregates over the February-March period appeared to be significantly faster than now expected. At the conclusion of the discussion the Committee decided that growth in M -1 and M-2 over the February-March period at annual rates within ranges of 3 to 7 per cent and 6 Vz to 10 Vi per cent, respectively, would be appropriate. It was understood that in assessing the behavior of the aggregates, the Manager should continue to give approximately equal weight to the behavior of M-1 and M-2. In the judgment of the Committee, such growth rates of the aggregates were likely to be associated with a weekly-average Federal funds rate in the area of 4% to 4 3 per cent. The Committee A agreed that if growth rates of the aggregates over the 2-month period appeared to be deviating significantly from the midpoints of the indicated ranges, the operational objective for the weekly-average Federal funds rate should be modified in an orderly fashion within a range of 4 V to 5 per cent. As customary, it was understood * that the Chairman might call upon the Committee to consider the need for supplementary instructions before the next scheduled meeting if significant inconsistencies appeared to be developing among the Committee’s various objectives. The following domestic policy directive was issued to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York: The information reviewed at this meeting suggests underlying strength in economic activity, although industrial production and retail sales were held down in January by the effects of unusually severe weather. Housing starts rose sharply in December, and labor Record of Policy Actions of FOMC market surveys completed by mid-January indicated a further rise in employment and a decline in the unemployment rate from 7.8 to 7.3 per cent. The wholesale price index for all commodities continued to rise, reflecting increases in the averages both for farm products and foods and for industrial commodities. The index of average wage rates rose sharply in January as a result of marked increases in the volatile construction and service sectors. The average value of the dollar against leading foreign currencies has risen somewhat over the past month. In December the U.S. foreign trade deficit increased further; in the fourth quarter as a whole the deficit was a little larger than in the third quarter. M -l, which had expanded appreciably in December, grew at a moderate pace in January. Growth in M-2 and M-3 also moderated. At banks and thrift institutions, inflows of time and savings deposits other than large-denomination C D ’s slowed somewhat. Interest rates have changed relatively little on balance since mid-January. In light of the foregoing developments, it is the policy of the Federal Open Market Committee to foster bank reserve and other financial conditions that will encourage continued economic expan sion, while resisting inflationary pressures and contributing to a sustainable pattern of international transactions. At its meeting on January 18, 1977, the Committee agreed that growth of M -l, M-2, and M-3 within ranges of 4 l/z to 6 V per 2 cent, 7 to 10 per cent, and 8 V to 1 W 2 per cent, respectively, from 2 the fourth quarter of 1976 to the fourth quarter of 1977 appears to be consistent with these objectives. These ranges are subject to reconsideration at any time as conditions warrant. The Committee seeks to encourage near-term rates of growth in M -l and M-2 on a path believed to be reasonably consistent with the longer-run ranges for monetary aggregates cited in the preceding paragraph. Specifically, at present, it expects the annual growth rates over the February-M arch period to be within the ranges of 3 to 7 per cent for M -l and 6 V to 10V2 per cent for M-2. In the judgment 2 of the Committee such growth rates are likely to be associated with a weekly average Federal funds rate of about 4% to 4 3 per cent. A If, giving approximately equal weight to M -l and M-2, it appears that growth rates over the 2-month period will deviate significantly from the midpoints of the indicated ranges, the operational objective for the Federal funds rate shall be modified in an orderly fashion within a range of 4 X to 5 per cent. A If it appears during the period before the next meeting that the operating constraints specified above are proving to be significantly 389 390 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 inconsistent, the Manager is promptly to notify the Chairman who will then decide whether the situation calls for supplementary instructions from the Committee. Votes for this action: Messrs. Burns, Volcker, Balles, Black, Coldwell, Gardner, Jackson, Kim brel, Lilly, Partee, Wallich, and Winn. Votes against this action: None. 2. Statement of Policy Regarding the Government in the Sunshine Act From time to time at recent meetings the Committee had discussed the applicability of the Government in the Sunshine Act to its meetings. At this meeting the Committee concurred in an opinion of counsel that the act would not apply because the Committee did not come within the definition of “ agency” contained in the act. The Committee further agreed that its present procedures and disclosure policy were already conducted in accordance with the intent and spirit of the act and that its current practices in that regard would be continued. After reaching these judgments, the Committee approved the following statement of policy: On September 13, 1976, there was enacted into law the Govern ment in the Sunshine Act, Pub. L. No. 94-409, 90 Stat. 1241 ( “ Sunshine A ct” ), established for the purpose of providing the public with the “ fullest practicable information regarding the deci sionmaking processes of the Federal Government . . . while pro tecting the rights of individuals and the ability of the Government to carry out its responsibilities.” 2 The Sunshine Act applies only to those Federal agencies that are defined in Section 552(e) of Title 5 of the United States Code and “ headed by a collegial body composed of two or more individual members, a majority of whom are appointed to such position by the President with the advice and consent of the Senate, and any subdivision thereof authorized to act on behalf of the agency.” 3 The Federal Open Market Committee ( “ FOM C” ) is a separate 2Government in the Sunshine Act, Public Law 94-409, §2, 90 Stat. 1241 (1976). 3 Ibid., §3(a), 1241. Record of Policy Actions of FOMC and independent statutory body within the Federal Reserve System. In no respect is it an agent or “ subdivision” of the Board. It was originally established by the Banking Act of 1933 and restructured in its present form by the Banking Act of 1935 and subsequent legislation in 1942 (generally see 12 U .S.C. §263(a)). The FO M C’s membership is composed of the seven members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ( “ Board of Governors” ) and five representatives of the Federal Reserve Banks who are selected annually in accordance with the procedures set forth in Section 12A of the Federal Reserve Act, 12 U .S.C . §263(a). Members of the Board of Governors serve in an ex officio capacity on the FOMC by reason of their appointment as Members of the Board of Governors, not as a result of an appointment “ to such position” (the FOMC) by the President. Representatives of the Reserve Banks serve on the FOMC not as a result of an appointment “ to such position” by the President, but rather by virtue of their positions with the Reserve Banks and their selection pursuant to Section 12A of the Federal Reserve Act. It is clear therefore that the FOMC does not fall within the scope of an “ agency” or “ subdivision” as defined in the Sunshine Act and consequently is not subject to the provisions of that Act. As explained below, the Act would not require the FOMC to hold its meetings in open session even if the FOMC were covered by the Act. However, despite the conclusion reached that the Sunshine Act does not apply to the FOMC, the FOMC has deter mined that its procedures and timing of public disclosure already are conducted in accordance with the spirit of the Sunshine Act, as that Act would apply to deliberations of the nature engaged in by the FOMC. In the foregoing regard, the FOMC has noted that while the Act calls generally for open meetings of multi-member Federal agencies, 10 specific exemptions from the open meeting requirement are provided to assure the ability of the Government to carry out its responsibilities. Among the exemptions provided is that which authorizes any agency operating under the Act to conduct closed meetings where the subject of a meeting involves information “ the premature disclosure of which would— in the case of an agency which regulates currencies, securities, commodities, or financial institutions, be likely to lead to significant financial speculation in currencies, securities, or com m odities.” 4 4 Ibid., 1242. 391 392 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 As to meetings closed under such exemption, the Act requires the maintenance of either a transcript, electronic recording or min utes and sets forth specified, detailed requirements as to the contents and timing of disclosure of certain portions or all of such minutes. The Act permits the withholding from the public of the minutes where disclosure would be likely to produce adverse consequences of the nature described in the relevant exemptions. The FOMC has reviewed the agenda of its monthly meetings for the past three years and has determined that all such meetings could have been closed pursuant to the exemption dealing with financial speculation or other exemptions set forth in the Sunshine Act. The FOMC has further determined that virtually all of its substantive deliberations could have been preserved pursuant to the A ct’s minutes requirements and that such minutes could similarly have been protected against premature disclosure under the provi sions of the Act. The FO M C’s deliberations are currently reported by means of a document entitled “ Record of Policy Actions” which is released to the public approximately one month after the meeting to which it relates. The Record of Policy Actions complies with the A ct’s minutes requirements in that it contains a full and accurate report of all matters of policy discussed and views presented, clearly sets forth all policy actions taken by the FOMC and the reasons therefor, and includes the votes by individual members on each policy action. The timing of release of the Record of Policy Actions is fully consistent with the A ct’s provisions assuring against premature release of any item of discussion in an agency’s minutes that contains information of a sensitive financial nature. In fact, by releasing the comprehensive Record of Policy Actions to the public approximately a month after each meeting, the FOMC exceeds the publication requirements that would be mandated by the letter of the Sunshine Act. Recognizing the congressional purpose underlying enactment of the Sunshine Act, the FOMC has determined to continue its current practice and timing of public disclosures in the conviction that its operations thus conducted are consistent with the intent and spirit of the Sunshine Act. Votes for this action: Messrs. Burns, Volcker, Balles, Black, Coldwell, Gardner, Jackson, Kim brel, Lilly, Partee, Wallich, and Winn. Votes against this action: None. Record of Policy Actions of FOMC 3. Amendment to Rules Regarding Availability of Information At this meeting, the Committee approved an amendment, effective March 12, 1977, to Section 271.6(a) of its rules regarding avail ability of information to implement an amendment to the Freedom of Information Act effected by the Government in the Sunshine Act. After incorporating this amendment the Section read as fol lows: §271.6 Information not Disclosed Except as may be authorized by the Committee, information of the Committee that is not available to the public through other sources will not be published or made available for inspection, examination, or copying by any person if such information (a) is specifically exempted from disclosure by statute (other than section 552b of Title 5 United States Code), provided that such statute (A) requires that the matters be withheld from the public in such a manner as to leave no discretion on the issue, or (B) establishes particular criteria for with holding or refers to particular types of matters to be withheld; or is specifically authorized under criteria established by an executive order to be kept secret in the interest of national defense or foreign policy and is in fact properly classified pursuant to such executive order. Votes for this action: Messrs. Burns, Volcker, Balles, Black, Coldwell, Gardner, Jackson, Kim brel, Lilly, Partee, Wallich, and Winn. Votes against this action: None. 4. Revision of Guidelines for Operations in Federal Agency Issues At this meeting the Committee amended number 4 of the guidelines for the conduct of System operations in Federal agency issues to take account of the operations of the Federal Financing Bank. The change, which was effective immediately, limits Federal Reserve purchases of Federal agency securities to issues of those agencies that are not eligible to borrow funds from the Federal Financing Bank, which began operations in m id-1974. Securities of the Bank itself are eligible for purchase by the System, although none is outstanding at present. Securities of Government-sponsored agen cies— such as the Federal home loan banks, the Federal National 393 394 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Mortgage Association, Federal land banks, Federal intermediate credit banks, and the banks for cooperatives— will continue to be eligible for System purchase under the new rules. As amended, guideline number 4 read as follows: Purchases will be limited to fully taxable issues, not eligible for purchase by the Federal Financing Bank, for which there is an active secondary market. Purchases will also be limited to issues outstand ing in amounts of $300 million or over in cases where the obligations have a maturity of five years or less at the time of issuance, and to issues outstanding in amounts of $200 million or over in cases where the securities have a maturity of more than five years at the time of issuance. Votes for this action: Messrs. Burns, Volcker, Balles, Black, Coldwell, Gardner, Jackson, Kim brel, Lilly, Partee, Wallich, and Winn. Votes against this action: None. Records of policy actions taken by the Federal Open Market Committee at each meeting, in the form in which they will appear in the Board’s Annual Report, are released about a month after the meeting and are subsequently published in the B u l l e t i n . 395 Law Department S ta tu te s , r e g u la tio n s , in te rp re ta tio n s , a n d d e c is io n s INTEREST ON DEPOSITS a time deposit contract that results in an increase in the rate of interest paid or in a change on the A mendments to R egulation Q maturity of the deposit constitutes a payment of The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve the time deposit before maturity. P rovided further, System has approved two amendments to section That Investment Certificates issued in negotiable 217.4(d) of Regulation Q (12 C .F.R . 217). The form by a member bank pursuant to subpart 3 of first amendment modifies the structure of the cur § 217.7(b) may not be paid before maturity. This rent paragraph of Regulation Q that states the provision does not prevent a member bank from arranging the sale or purchase of such a certificate Board’s early withdrawal penalty rule and excep on behalf of the holder or prospective purchaser tions to that rule by providing a listing of those of a certificate issued under that subpart. A mem exceptions. This modification, which is intended ber bank may not, however, repurchase such cer to improve the clarity of the B oard’s penalty rule, tificates for its own account. P rovided further, is a structural change only and is not intended to That a time deposit may be paid before maturity alter the substance of the Board’s penalty rule. without a reduction or forfeiture of interest as The second amendment provides an additional prescribed by this paragraph in the following cir exception to the Board’s early withdrawal penalty cumstances: rule. (1) where a member bank pays all or a portion Effective March 24, 1977, Regulation Q is of a time deposit upon the death of any person amended as follows: whose name appears on the time deposit passbook Section 217.4— P ayment of or certificate; Time D eposits B efore M aturity (2) where a member bank pays all or a portion of a time deposit representing funds contributed to an Individual Retirement Account or a Keogh (d) PENALTY FOR EARLY WITHDRAWALS. (H.R. 10) plan established pursuant to 26 U .S.C . Where a time deposit, or any portion thereof, is (I.R.C. 1954) §§ 408, 401 when the individual paid before maturity, a member bank may pay for whose benefit the account is maintained attains interest on the amount withdrawn at a rate not to age 59V2 or is disabled (as defined in 26 U .S.C . exceed that currently prescribed in § 217.7 for a (I.R.C. 1954) § 72(m)(7)) or thereafter; or savings deposit: P rovided , That the depositor shall (3) where a member bank pays that portion of forfeit three months of interest payable at such a time deposit on which Federal deposit insurance rate. If, however, the amount withdrawn has re has been lost as the result of the merger of two mained on deposit for three months or less, all or more Federally insured banks in which the interested shall be forfeited. Where necessary to depositor previously maintained separate time de comply with the requirements of this paragraph, posits, for a period of one year from the date of any interest already paid to or for the account of the merger. the depositor shall be deducted from the amount restrictions of § 2 1 7 .4 (d ) in effect prior to July 5, 1973, w hich requested to be w ithdraw n.11 Any amendment of 11 The provisions o f this paragraph apply to all time deposit contracts entered into after July 5 , 1973, and to all existing tim e deposit contracts that are extended or renewed (whether by automatic renew al or otherw ise) after such date, and to all time deposit contracts that are am e n d ed a fter such date so as to increase the rate of interest paid. A ll contracts not sub ject to the provisions of this paragraph shall be subject to the permitted paym ent of a tim e deposit before maturity only in an em ergency where necessary to prevent great hardship to the depositor, and w hich required the forfeiture of accrued and unpaid interest for a period of not less than 3 m onths on the amount withdrawn if an amount equal to the amount w ith drawn had been on deposit for 3 m onths or longer, and the forfeiture of all accrued and unpaid interest on the amount withdrawn if an amount equal to the amount withdrawn had been on deposit less than 3 m onths. 396 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Loan -to-Lender Programs The Board has reviewed the question of whether funds obtained by member banks on their notes issued to State and municipal housing authorities under “ Loan-to-Lender” agreements should be regarded as “ deposits” under the Board’s Regu lation D (§ 204.1(f)) and Regulation Q (§ 217.1(f)). “ Loan-to-Lender” programs usually involve the issuance by a State or municipal housing authority of tax-exempt bonds and the subsequent lending of the bond revenue funds to financial institutions under the requirement that these funds be used to make specified types of real estate loans (generally mortgage loans to low or moderate income home buyers). The funds advanced to financial institutions pursuant to a “ Loan-toLender” program are evidenced by a loan agree ment and a promissory note issued by the financial institution to the housing authority. These pro grams enable State and municipal authorities to channel funds obtained into housing programs through financial institutions possessing special ized expertise in real estate lending and con struction financing. At the present time such pro grams are in operation in 11 States. Thirteen other State legislatures have approved legislation authorizing such programs. On the basis of avail able information, “ Loan-to-Lender” programs currently represent approximately $800 million in funds lent for these purposes. By letter of August 6, 1975, the Board requested that the Federal Reserve Banks inform member banks in their districts that funds obtained by member banks on their notes issued to State or municipal housing authorities under “ Loan-toLender” programs are funds to be used in the banking business and, therefore, should be treated as deposits subject to Regulation D reserve re quirements and Regulation Q interest rate limita tions . On September 29, 1975, the Board announced that, in response to requests for such action, it would review the deposit status of funds received by member banks on their notes issued to State and municipal housing authorities under “ Loanto-Lender” type programs. In conjunction with that review, the Board suspended the effectiveness of its determination of August 6, 1975, and waived the maintenance of required reserves on “ Loanto-Lender ’ ’ obligations. The Board has conducted an extensive review of all known “ Loan-to-Lender” type programs. Based upon this review, the Board has determined to continue, for an indefinite period, the suspen sion of its August 6, 1975, determination regard ing the deposit status of “ Loan-to-Lender” funds. (This suspension was first announced on Sep tember 29, 1975). This action is based upon the Board’s belief that a determination on the deposit status of funds obtained by member banks under “ Loan-to-Lender” programs should be deferred pending the completion of broader based studies of possible statutory and regulatory reforms per taining to interest on deposits and reserves held by member banks. The continued suspension will also provide the Board with further opportunity to assess the potential impact of application of reserve requirements and interest rate limitations on funds obtained by member banks through par ticipation in “ Loan-to-Lender” programs. The Board recognizes that its decision to defer for an indefinite period a final determination re garding the deposit status of funds obtained by member banks under “ Loan-to-Lender” agree ments may result in some uncertainty among member banks presently participating in such pro grams or contemplating participation at a future date. Accordingly, in order to avoid any uncer tainty with respect to member bank participation in “ Loan-to-Lender” programs during the time this suspension is in effect, the Board has deter mined that any funds obtained by member banks as the result of “ Loan-to-Lender” agreements entered into during this suspension period will continue to be exempt from interest rate limitations and reserve requirem ents, regardless of any future decision of the Board to reinstate its determination of August 6, 1975. RULES REGARDING PUBLIC OBSERVATION OF MEETINGS The Board of Governors has added a new Part 261b to provide for the procedures under which the open meeting requirements of subsections (b) through (f) of the Government in the Sunshine Act will be met. Effective March 12, 1977 Part 261b is added to read as follows: Section 261b. 1— B asis and Scope This Part is issued by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (“ the Board” ) under section 552b of Title 5 of the United States Code, the Government in the Sunshine Act (“ the Law Department Act” ), to carry out the policy of the Act that the public is entitled to the fullest practicable infor mation regarding the decision making processes of the Board while at the same time preserving the rights of individuals and the ability of the Board to carry out its responsibilities. These regu lations fulfill the requirement of subsection (g) of the Act that each agency subject to the provisions of the Act shall promulgate regulations to imple ment the open meeting requirements of subsections (b) through (f) of the Act. S e c t io n 2 6 l b . 2 — D e f in it io n s For purposes of this Part, the following defini tions shall apply: (a) The term “ agency” means the Board and subdivisions thereof. (b) The term “ subdivision” means any group composed of two or more Board members that is authorized to act on behalf of the Board. (c) The term “ meeting” means the deliberations of at least the number of individual agency mem bers required to take action on behalf of the agency where such deliberations determine or result in the joint conduct or disposition of official Board busi ness, but does not include (1) deliberations re quired or permitted by subsection (d) or (e) of the Act, or (2) the conduct or disposition of official agency business by circulating written material to individual members. (d) The term “ number of individual agency members required to take action on behalf of the agency” means in the case of the Board, a major ity of its members except that (1) Board determi nation of the ratio of reserves against deposits under section 19(b) of the Federal Reserve Act requires the vote of four members, (2) Board action with respect to advances, discounts and rediscounts under sections 10(a), 11(b) and 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act requires the vote of five members and (3) Board action with respect to the percentage of individual member bank capi tal and surplus which may be represented by loans secured by stock and bond collateral under section 1 l(m) of the Federal Reserve Act requires the vote of six members. In the case of subdivisions of the Board, the term means the number of members constituting a quorum of the designated subdivi sion. (e) The term “ member” means a member of the Board appointed under Section 10 of the Fed eral Reserve Act. In the case of certain Board proceedings pursuant to 12 U .S.C . 1818(e), the Comptroller of the Currency is entitled to sit as 397 a member of the Board and for these proceedings he shall be deemed a “ member” for the purposes of this Part. In the case of any subdivision of the Board, the term “ member” means a member of the Board designated to serve on that subdivision. (f) The term “ public observation” means that the public shall have the right to listen and observe but not to record any of the meetings by means of cameras or electronic or other recording devices unless approval in advance is obtained from the Public Affairs Office of the Board and shall not have the right to participate in the meeting, unless participation is provided for in the Board’s Rules of Procedure. (g) The term “ Federal agency” means an “ agency” as defined in 5 U .S.C . 551(1). S e c t io n 2 6 1 b .3 — C o n d u c t o f A g e n c y B u s in e s s Members shall not jointly conduct or dispose of official agency business other than in accordance with this Part. S e c t io n 2 6 l b . 4— M e e t in g s O p e n to P u b l ic O b s e r v a t io n Except as provided in section 261b.5 of this Part, every portion of every meeting of the agency shall be open to public observation. S e c t io n 2 6 l b . 5— E x e m p t io n s (a) Except in a case where the agency finds that the public interest requires otherwise, the agency may close a meeting or a portion or portions of a meeting under the procedures specified in section 26lb .7 or 2 6 lb .8 of this Part, and withhold infor mation under the provisions of section 2 6 lb .6, 261b.7, 261b.8, or 261b. 11 of this Part, where the agency properly determines that such meeting or portion or portions of its meeting or the disclo sure of such information is likely to: (1) disclose matters that are (A) specifically authorized under criteria established by an Execu tive order to be kept secret in the interests of national defense or foreign policy, and (B) in fact properly classified pursuant to such Executive order; (2) relate solely to internal personnel rules and practices; (3) disclose matters specifically exempted from disclosure by statute (other than section 552 of Title 5 of the United States Code), provided that such statute (A) requires that the matters be with held from the public in such a manner as to leave 398 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 no discretion on the issue, or (B) establishes par ticular criteria for withholding or refers to particu lar types of matters to be withheld; (4) disclose trade secrets and commercial or financial information obtained from a person and privileged or confidential; (5) involve accusing any person of a crime, or formally censuring any person; (6) disclose information of a personal nature where disclosure would constitute a clearly un warranted invasion of personal privacy; (7) disclose investigatory records compiled for law enforcement purposes, or information which if written would be contained in such records, but only to the extent that the production of such records or information would (A) interfere with enforcement proceedings, (B) deprive a person of a right to a fair trial or an impartial adjudication, (C) constitute an unwarranted invasion of personal privacy, (D) disclose the identity of a confidential source and, in the case of a record compiled by a criminal law enforcement authority in the course of a criminal investigation, or by a Federal agency conducting a lawful national security intelligence investigation, confidential information furnished only by the confidential source, (E) disclose in vestigative techniques and procedures, or (F) en danger the life or physical safety of law enforce ment personnel; (8) disclose information contained in or related to examination, operating, or condition reports prepared by, on behalf of, or for the use of the Board or other Federal agency responsible for the regulation or supervision of financial institutions; (9) disclose information the premature disclo sure of which would— (A) be likely to (i) lead to significant specu lation in currencies, securities, or commodities, or (ii) significantly endanger the stability of any financial institution; or (B) be likely to significantly frustrate imple mentation of a proposed action, except that subparagraph (B) shall not apply in any instance where the Board has already disclosed to the public the content or nature of its proposed action, or where the Board is required by law to make such disclosure on its own initiative prior to taking final action on such proposal; or (10) specifically concern the issuance of a sub poena, participation in a civil action or proceeding, an action in a foreign court or international tribu nal, or an arbitration, or the initiation, conduct, or disposition of a particular case of formal agency adjudication pursuant to the procedures in section 554 of Title 5 of the United States Code or otherwise involving a determination on the record after opportunity for a hearing. S e c tio n 26lb .6— P u b lic A n n o u n c e m e n ts o f M e e tin g s (a) Except as otherwise provided by the Act, public announcements of meetings open to public observation and meetings to be partially or com pletely closed to public observation pursuant to section 2 6 lb .8 of this Part will be made at least one week in advance of the meeting. Except to the extent such information is determined to be exempt from disclosure under section 2 6 lb .5 of this Part, each such public announcement will state the time, place and subject matter of the meeting, whether it is to be open or closed to the public, and the name and phone number of the official designated to respond to requests for information about the meeting. (b) If a majority of the members of the agency determines by a recorded vote that agency business requires that a meeting covered by subsection (a) of this section be called at a date earlier than that specified in subsection (a), the agency will make a public announcement of the information speci fied in subparagraph (a) of the earliest practicable time. (c) Changes in the subject matter of a publicly announced meeting, or in the determination to open or close a publicly announced meeting or any portion of a publicly announced meeting to public observation, or in the time or place of a publicly announced meeting made in accordance with the procedures specified in section 26lb .9 of this Part will be publicly announced at the earliest practicable time. (d) Public announcements required by this sec tion will be posted at the Board’s Public Affairs Office and Freedom of Information Office and may be made available by other means or at other locations as may be desirable. (e) Immediately following each public an nouncement required by this section, notice of the time, place and subject matter of a meeting, whether the meeting is open or closed, any change in one of the preceding announcements, and the name and telephone number of the official desig nated by the Board to respond to requests about the meeting, shall also be submitted for publication in the Federal Register. Law Department 399 corded vote of a majority of the members of the agency when it is determined that the meeting or the portion of the meeting or the withholding of information qualifies for exemption under section (a) Since the Board qualifies for the use of ex 26lb .5 of this Part. Votes by proxy are not al pedited procedures under subsection (d)(4) of the lowed. Act, meetings or portions thereof exempt under (b) Except as provided in subsection (c) of this paragraph (4), (8), (9)(A) or (10) of section section, a separate vote of the members of the 26lb .5 of this Part, will be closed to public obser agency will be taken with respect to the closing vation under the expedited procedures of this sec or the withholding of information as to each meet tion. Following are examples of types of items ing or portion thereof which is proposed to be that, absent compelling contrary circumstances, closed to public observation or with respect to will qualify for these exemptions: matters relating which information is proposed to be withheld pur to a specific bank or bank holding company, such suant to this section. as bank branches or mergers, bank holding com (c) A single vote may be taken with respect to pany formations, or acquisition of an additional a series of meetings, a portion or portions of bank or acquisition or de novo undertaking of a which are proposed to be closed to public obser permissible nonbanking activity; bank regulatory vation or with respect to any information concern matters, such as applications for membership, is ing such series of meetings proposed to be with suance of capital notes and investment in bank held, so long as each meeting or portion thereof premises; foreign banking matters; bank supervi in such series involves the same particular matters sory and enforcement matters, such as cease-andand is scheduled to be held no more than thirty desist and officer removal proceedings; monetary days after the initial meeting in such series. policy matters, such as discount rates, use of the (d) Whenever any person’s interests may be di discount window, changes in the limitations on rectly affected by a portion of a meeting for any payment of interest on time and savings accounts, of the reasons referred to in exemption (5), (6) and changes in reserve requirements or margin or (7) of section 2 6 lb .5 of this Part, such person regulations. may request in writing to the Secretary of the (b) At the beginning of each meeting, a portion Board such portion of the meeting be closed to or portions of which is closed to public observa public observation. The Secretary, or in his or her tion under expedited procedures pursuant to this absence, the Acting Secretary of the Board, will section, a recorded vote of the members present transmit the request to the members and upon the will be taken to determine whether a majority of request of any one of them a recorded vote will the members of the agency votes to close such be taken whether to close such meeting to public meeting or portions of such meeting to public ob observation. servation. (e) Within one day of any vote taken pursuant (c) A copy of the vote, reflecting the vote of to subparagraphs (a) through (d) of this section, each member, and except to the extent such infor the agency will make publicly available at the mation is determined to be exempt from disclo Board’s Public Affairs Office and Freedom of In sure under section 2 6 lb .5 of this Part, a public formation Office a written copy of such vote re announcement of the time, place and subject mat flecting the vote of each member on the question. ter of the meeting or each closed portion thereof, If a meeting or a portion of a meeting is to be will be made available at the earliest practicable closed to public observation, the agency, within time at the Board’s Public Affairs Office and Free one day of the vote taken pursuant to subpara dom of Information Office. graphs (a) through (d) of this section, will make publicly available at the Board’s Public Affairs Office and Freedom of Information Office a full, S e c t io n 2 6 l b . 8— M e e t in g s written explanation of its action closing the meet C l o s e d to P u b l ic O b s e r v a t io n ing or portion of the meeting together with a list U n d er R eg ular Procedures of all persons expected to attend the meeting and (a) A meeting or a portion of a meeting will their affiliation, except to the extent such infor be closed to public observation under regular pro mation is determined by the agency to be exempt cedures, or information as to such meeting or por from disclosure under subsection (c) of the Act tion of a meeting will be withheld, only by re and section 261b.5 of this Part. S e c t io n 2 6 1 b .7 — M e e t in g s C l o s e d to P u b l ic O b s e r v a t io n U n d e r E x p e d it e d P r o c e d u r e s 400 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 S e c t io n 2 6 1 b . 9 — C h a n g e s W it h R esp e c t to P u b l ic l y A n n o u n c e d M e e t in g The subject matter of a meeting or the determi nation to open or close a meeting or a portion of a meeting to public observation may be changed following public announcement under section 2 6 lb .6 only if a majority of the members of the agency determines by a recorded vote that agency business so requires and that no earlier an nouncement of the change was possible. Public announcement of such change and the vote of each member upon such change will be made pur suant to section 2 6 lb.6(c). Changes in time, in cluding postponement and cancellations of a pub licly announced meeting or portion of a meeting or changes in the place of a publicly announced meeting will be publicly announced pursuant to section 2 6 lb.6(c) by the Secretary of the Board or, in the Secretary’s absence, the Acting Secre tary of the Board. S e c t io n 2 6 1 b . 10— C e r t if ic a t io n o f G e n e r a l C o u n s e l Before every meeting or portion of a meeting closed to public observation under section 2 6 lb .7 or 2 6 lb .8 of this Part, the General Counsel, or in the General Counsel’s absence, the Acting General Counsel, shall publicly certify whether or not in his or her opinion the meeting may be closed to public observation and shall state each relevant exemptive provision. A copy of such cer tification, together with a statement from the pre siding officer of the meeting setting forth the time and place of the meeting and the persons present, will be retained for the time prescribed in section 261b. 11(d). S e c t io n 2 6 1 b . 1 1 — T r a n s c r ip t s , R e c o r d in g s , a n d M in u t e s (a) The agency will maintain a complete tran script or electronic recording or transcriptions thereof adequate to record fully the proceedings of each meeting or portion of a meeting closed to public observation pursuant to exemption (1), (2), (3), (4), (5), (6), (7) or (9)(B) of section 261b.5 of this Part. Transcriptions of recordings will disclose the identity of each speaker. (b) The agency will maintain either such a tran script recording or transcription thereof, or a set of minutes that will fully and clearly describe all matters discussed and provide a full and accurate summary of any actions taken and the reasons therefor, including a description of each of the views expressed on any item and the record of any roll call vote (reflecting the vote of each member on the question), for meetings or portions of meetings closed to public observation pursuant to exemption (8), (9)(A) or (10) of section 2 6 lb .5 of this Part. The minutes will identify all docu ments considered in connection with any action taken. (c) Transcripts, recordings or transcriptions thereof, or minutes will promptly be made avail able to the public in the Freedom of Information Office except for such item or items of such dis cussion or testimony as may be determined to contain information that may be withheld under subsection (c) of the Act and section 2 6 lb .5 of this Part. (d) A complete verbatim copy of the transcript, a complete copy of the minutes, or a complete electronic recording or verbatim copy of a tran scription thereof of each meeting or portion of a meeting closed to public observation will be maintained for a period of at least two years or one year after the conclusion of any agency pro ceeding with respect to which the meeting or por tion thereof was held, whichever occurs later. S e c t io n 2 6 1 b . 1 2 — P r o c e d u r e s I n s p e c t io n a n d O b t a in in g for C o pies o f T r a n s c r ip t io n s a n d M i n u t e s (a) Any person may inspect or copy a tran script, a recording or transcription of a recording, or minutes described in section 261b. 11(c) of this Part. (b) Requests for copies of transcripts, record ings or transcriptions of recordings, or minutes described in section 261b. 11(c) of this Part shall specify the meeting or the portion of meeting de sired and shall be submitted in writing to the Sec retary of the Board, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Copies of documents identified in minutes may be made available to the public upon request under the provision of 12 C.F.R. 261 (Rules Re garding Availability of Information). S e c t io n 2 6 1 b . 1 3 — F e e s (a) Copies of transcripts, recordings or tran scriptions of recordings, or minutes requested pursuant to section 261b. 12(b) of this Part will be provided at a cost of 100 per standard page Law Department for photocopying or at a cost not to exceed the actual cost of printing, typing, or otherwise preparing such copies. 401 (b) Documents may be furnished without charge where total charges are less than $2. * * * * * BANK HOLDING COMPANY AND BANK MERGER ORDERS ISSUED BY THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS Audubon Investment Company, Audubon, Iowa, has applied for the Board’s approval under § 3(a)(1) of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(1)) of formation of a bank holding company through acquisition of 97.83 per cent (or more) of the voting shares of Audubon State Bank (formerly First State Bank), Audubon, Iowa (“ Bank” ). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant, a nonoperating corporation with no subsidiaries, was organized for the purpose of becoming a bank holding company through the acquisition of Bank. Bank, with deposits of $21.4 million,1 is the largest of three banks in the rele vant market2 and controls approximately 53 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. Upon acquisition of Bank, Applicant would control the 141st largest banking organi zation in Iowa holding . 18 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the State. The proposed transaction is merely a restructuring of present ownership into corporate form. Applicant presently has no subsidiaries and does not engage in any activities. Principals of Applicant are asso ciated with three other one-bank holding compa nies and two other banks in Iowa. None of the five banks involved is located in the relevant market and the amount of actual competition be tween any of them and Bank appears slight. It does not appear probable that such competition would increase in the foreseeable future. Consum mation of the proposal would neither eliminate significant existing or potential competition nor increase the concentration of banking resources in any relevant market. Accordingly, competitive considerations are consistent with approval of the applications. The Board applies multi-bank holding company standards in assessing the managerial and financial resources of an applicant seeking to become a one-bank holding company where the principals of the applicant are engaged in establishing a series or chain of one-bank holding companies.3 The three other one-bank holding companies and their respective subsidiary banks with which Appli cant’s principals are associated appear to be in satisfactory condition, which suggests that Appli cant’s principals would conduct the operations of the proposed holding company and of Bank in a satisfactory manner. In addition, Applicant has committed to inject new capital into Bank if such action becomes necessary to maintain a satis factory ratio of capital to assets. Although Appli cant will incur some debt in connection with this proposal, it appears that income from Bank will provide sufficient revenue to service the debt ade quately without adversely affecting the financial resources or condition of either Applicant or Bank. Accordingly, considerations relating to the finan cial and managerial resources and future prospects of Applicant and Bank are consistent with and lend some weight in favor of approval. Although consummation of the transaction would have no immediate effect on area banking needs, considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served are consistent with approval of the application. It is the Board’s judgment that consummation of the ! A11 banking data are as of December 31, 1975. 2The relevant market is approxim ated by the northern ninetenths of Audubon County. 3See the B oard’s Order of June 14, 1976 denying the application of Nebraska Banco, Inc., Ord, Nebraska (62 Fed. Res. B u l l e t i n 638 (1976)). O rd er s U n d e r S e c t io n 3 of B a n k H o l d in g C o m p a n y A ct Audubon Investment Company, Audubon, Iowa O rd e r A p p ro v in g F orm ation o f B ank H o ld in g C om pan y 402 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 proposed transaction would be consistent with the public interest and that the application should be approved. On the basis of the record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be made (a) before the thir tieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order or (b) later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board, or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 23, 1977. V o tin g for this action: Chairm an Burns and G o v er nors G ardner, C o ld w e ll, Jack son , and Partee. A b sent and not voting: G overn ors W allich and L illy. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, D e p u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B o a rd . Bancorporation of Montana, Great Falls, Montana O rd e r D en yin g A c q u isitio n o f B ank Bancorporation of Montana, Great Falls, Mon tana, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval under § 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to acquire 100 per cent of the voting shares (less directors’ qualifying shares) of Bank of Montana, Helena, Montana ( “ Bank” ). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant, the third largest banking organization in Montana, controls thirteen banks with aggregate deposits of $171 million, representing approxi mately 5.9 per cent of the total commercial bank deposits in Montana.1 Acquisition of Bank would increase Applicant’s share of State deposits by only 0.4 per cent and its ranking Statewide would remain unchanged. Bank ($11.1 million in deposits) is the fourth *A11 banking data are as of December 31, 1975, but reflect structural changes through January 12, 1976. largest of six banks in the Helena banking market and controls 7.6 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market.2 Both of the two largest banks in the relevant market are subsidi aries of bank holding companies and hold, respec tively, 38.5 and 37.6 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market. There are no subsidiary banks of Applicant presently competing in the relevant market, and Applicant’s subsidiary bank closest to Bank is located approximately 63 miles from the Helena banking market. Thus, consummation of this proposal would not result in the elimination of a significant amount of exist ing competition and, in view of the distance in volved, would not appear to foreclose the devel opment of a significant amount of competition in the future. Accordingly, competitive consid erations are consistent with approval of the appli cation. The Board has indicated on previous occasions that it believes a bank holding company should constitute a source of both financial and managerial strength to its subsidiary bank(s). Accordingly, in acting upon any application under the Act, the Board will closely examine the financial condition, managerial resources, and future prospects of an applicant and its subsidiary bank(s) with these factors in mind. Based upon an evaluation of such factors with respect to this application, the Board has determined that denial of this application is warranted. With respect to the financial and managerial resources and future prospects associated with this application, it appears that, while Applicant’s managerial resources are regarded as satisfactory and consistent with approval of the application, Applicant’s overall financial condition will not permit it to serve as a source of financial strength to Bank. Rather, based upon an examination of all the facts of record, the Board concludes that consummation of this proposal with the attendant assumption of acquisition debt would increase Applicant’s debt to equity ratio from a level al ready regarded as high to a point considerably higher than that which the Board regards as ac ceptable for a multi-bank holding company the size of Applicant. Consequently, it appears that Appli cant’s proposal, if consummated, would result in 2 The Helena banking market is the relevant banking market and is approximated by the southern half of Lewis and Clark county, the northern half of Jefferson County, and the northern half of Broadwater County. Law Department substantial added financial burden to Applicant and that for several years following consummation, it may become necessary for Applicant to draw ex cessive dividends from its subsidiary banks in order to service the debt associated with the ac quisition of Bank. Based on the above and other facts of record, the Board concludes that the banking factors weigh against approval of this application and that Applicant’s funds could be better utilized in support of its existing subsidi aries. While there is no evidence in the record to indicate that the banking needs of the Helena community are not being met, Applicant states that following consummation of this proposal, it would make available to Bank such services as loan review, automated accounting services, invest ment consulting, and personnel advice. While considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served are consistent with approval of the application, they are not sufficient, in the Board’s judgment, to outweigh the aforementioned adverse banking factors re flected in the record. Accordingly, it is the Board’s judgment that approval of the application would not be in the public interest and that the application should be denied. On the basis of the record, the application is denied for the reasons summarized above. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 2, 1977. V o tin g for this action: G overnors W a llich , C o ld w e ll, Jack son , and L illy . A b sen t and not voting: Chairm an Burns and G overn ors G ardner and Partee. (Signed) [se a l] G L. G arw ood, Du Sce r oth Bad e ty ertay f e or. p r if f it h The Jacobus Company, Inland Heritage Corporation, and Inland Beloit Corporation, Wauwatosa, Wisconsin O rd e r A p p ro v in g F orm ation o f a B an k H o ld in g C o m p a n y and A c q u isitio n o f T w o B a n k H o ld in g C om p a n ies The Jacobus Company, Wauwatosa, Wisconsin, and its 45.4 per cent owned subsidiary, Inland Heritage Corporation, Wauwatosa, Wisconsin (hereinafter jointly referred to as “ Applicant” ), both of which are bank holding companies within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, have applied for the Board’s approval under § 3 of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842) to acquire all of the voting shares of 403 Financial Network Corporation ( “ FNC” ), a onebank holding company that owns 95.4 per cent of the voting shares of The Beloit State Bank (“ Beloit Bank” ), and to acquire all the voting shares of Community Holding Corporation (“ CHC” ), a one-bank holding company that owns 75.3 per cent of the voting shares of Community Bank of Beloit (“ Community Bank” ), all of which are located in Beloit, Wisconsin. The pro posed acquisition of FNC and CHC would be effected through the formation of a new holding company to be named Inland Beloit Corporation, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, a corporation that is to be wholly owned by Inland Heritage Corporation and for which a § 3(a)(1) application has been filed with the Board. The proposed acquisitions would involve the merger of FNC and CHC into Inland Beloit Corporation, giving Inland Beloit Corpora tion direct ownership of FNC and CHC. As the parent companies of Inland Beloit Corporation, The Jacobus Company and Inland Heritage Cor poration would thereby gain indirect ownership of FNC and CHC. FNC and CHC serve no purpose other than to hold the stock of their respective banks in corporate form, and Inland Beloit Cor poration serves no purpose other than to facilitate the acquisition of FNC and CHC. Accordingly, the proposed acquisition of FNC and CHC by Inland Beloit Corporation is treated herein as the proposed acquisition of Beloit Bank and Commu nity Bank by Applicant. Notice of the applications, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the applications and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). By Order dated February 7, 1977, the Board denied Applicant’s previous applications to ac quire Beloit Bank and Community Bank.1 Appli cant’s current applications differ from its earlier applications only with respect to their financial aspects. Applicant presently controls four banks with aggregate deposits of $146.8 million.2 Applicant’s acquisition of Beloit Bank and Community Bank (aggregate deposits of $85.6 million) would rep l 42 F ederal R eg iste r 9059. 2 All banking data are as of December 31, 1975, unless otherwise indicated. 404 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 resent Applicant’s initial entry into the Janes villeBeloit banking market, and would result in Appli cant controlling approximately 21.9 per cent of the deposits therein.3 For reasons cited in the Board’s earlier Order, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposed acquisitions would not have any significant adverse effects on existing or potential competition. While competitive considerations were found to be consistent with approval of the proposed acqui sitions, the Board was concerned with the financial aspects of Applicant’s earlier proposal and con cluded that the adverse financial considerations involved warranted denial of those applications. In its February 7th Order, the Board noted that the proposed acquisitions would result in a sub stantial addition ($3.6 million) to Applicant’s al ready high level of long-term debt, and stated that it was concerned that Applicant would not be able to meet the increased debt servicing requirements and also maintain and strengthen the capital of its existing subsidiary banks. The Board concluded that Applicant should direct its financial resources toward strengthening its existing subsidiaries be fore seeking further expansion of its banking in terests. In the context of Applicant’s current proposal, the Board regards the financial and managerial resources and future prospects of Applicant, its subsidiaries, and the banks to be acquired, as generally satisfactory and consistent with approval of the applications. Applicant’s current applica tions contain a substantially stronger financial pro posal than that previously considered, and the Board is of the view that it would enable Applicant to meet the increased debt servicing requirements without placing additional funding requirements on its existing subsidiary banks. Pursuant to its revised financial plan, Applicant intends to promptly reduce the acquisition debt from $4.8 million to $1.3 million, and to bolster the capital positions of two of its existing subsidiary banks and of Beloit Bank by amounts totaling $1.25 million. Applicant'would also maintain approxi mately $0.7 million as a reserve for future capital contributions to subsidiary banks which would be made as the need arose.4 Accordingly, in view 3The Janesville-Beloit banking m arket is approxim ated by Rock County. 4In order to effect these actions, Applicant, in addition to using existing funds, has com m itted to issue and has received subscriptions for $2.0 million in convertible debentures, and has committed to sell $1.5 million in additional common stock of Inland Heritage Corporation. of the substantially revised financial aspects of the proposal, the Board concludes that banking factors are consistent with approval of the applications. In its earlier Order, the Board noted that con siderations relating to the convenience and needs of the community to be served were not sufficient to outweigh the adverse financial factors involved with the proposal. In view of the improved finan cial considerations reflected herein, it now appears that the proposed affiliation of the two Beloit banks with Applicant would enhance their operations and thereby benefit the residents of the area served by the two banks. Accordingly, convenience and needs considerations are consistent with approval of the applications. It is the Board’s judgment that the proposed acquisitions would be in the public interest and that the applications should be ap proved. On the basis of the record, the applications are approved for the reasons summarized above. The transactions shall not be made (a) before the thir tieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order, or (b) later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 25, 1977. V otin g for this action: Chairm an Burns and G o v er nors G ardner, W a llich , C o ld w e ll, and Partee. A b sent and not voting: G overn ors Jackson and L illy. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood , D e p u ty S ec re ta ry o f the B o a rd . King Ranch, Inc., Kingsville, Texas O rd e r A p p ro v in g R eten tio n o f S h a res o f B an k King Ranch, Inc., Kingsville, Texas, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act ( “ Act” ), has applied for the Board’s approval under § 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to retain 1.5 per cent of the outstanding voting shares of State Bank of Kingsville, Texas (“ Bank” ). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of Law Department the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant,1 a one-bank holding company by virtue of its ownership of approximately 35.6 per cent of the outstanding voting shares of Kleberg First National Bank of Kingsville, Kingsville, Texas (“ Kleberg Bank” ), seeks Board approval to retain 337 shares of Bank (1.5 per cent) acquired without the Board’s prior approval as a result of Applicant’s p ro rata participation as of right in a 1973 increase in the number of outstanding shares of Bank’s common stock.2 Both prior to the offering and after its purchase, Applicant owned 16.02 per cent of the total outstanding voting shares of Bank. Bank ($18.9 million in deposits) is among the smaller banks in the State of Texas, and controls less than one tenth of one per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the State.3 Kleberg Bank and Bank are both located in Kingsville, Texas, and rank first and second, re spectively, among the three banks located in the Kleberg County banking market (the relevant market). Applicant does not control Bank’s poli cies or activities nor does Applicant have any officers or directors in common with Bank. More over, it appears that Applicant’s retention of 1.5 per cent of Bank’s outstanding voting shares will not increase its ability to direct Bank’s operations as Applicant’s proportionate stock interest will remain unchanged. Retention of Bank’s shares 405 would involve neither an expansion of Applicant nor an increase in the banking resources controlled by it. It is the Board’s judgment that retention of this stock would eliminate neither existing nor potential competition nor increase the concentra tion of banking resources in any relevant area. Thus, competitive considerations are consistent with approval of the application. The financial and managerial resources and fu ture prospects of Applicant are satisfactory, while such considerations in the case of Bank are gener ally satisfactory. Overall, banking factors are con sistent with approval. There is no indication in the record that the convenience and needs of the community to be served are not currently being met; however, such considerations are consistent with approval. Therefore, it is the Board’s judg ment that the retention of the shares of Bank would be in the public interest and that the application should be approved. On the basis of the record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 21, 1977. V otin g for this action: Chairm an Burns and G o v er nors G ardner, W a llich , C o ld w e ll, and Partee. P resent and A b stain in g: G overn or Jack son . A b sen t and not voting: G overn or L illy . (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood , D e p u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B o a rd . Lincoln National Company, Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania a p p lic a n t is engaged in a variety of nonbanking activities including a worldwide cattle ranching operation. Applicant also holds various oil and mineral interests on its properties. These nonbanking activities are exem pt from the prohibitions of section 4 of the Act by virtue of section 4(c)(ii) of the Act (12 U .S .C . § 1843(c)(ii)). 2117050 of the B oard’s Interpretations (12 C .F .R . § 225.103), which has been effective since 1957, states in part: . . . [I]t is the B oard’s opinion that receipt of bank stock by means of a stock dividend or stock split, assuming no change in class of stock, does not require the B oard’s prior approval under the Act, but that purchase of bank stock by a bank holding com pany through the exercise of rights does require the B oard’s prior approval, unless one of the exceptions set forth in section 3(a) is applicable. It appears from the facts of record that the acquisition of the shares of Bank was based on a misunderstanding of the applicable statutes and regulations relating to the acquisition of the voting stock of banks by bank holding com panies. In accord with the B oard’s position with respect to violations of the Act, the Board has scrutinized the underlying facts sur rounding the acquisition of the shares of Bank. Upon its examination of all the facts of record, including A pplicant’s undertaking to guard against violations in the future, the Board is of the view that the facts surrounding the violation are not such as would call for denial of the application. 3All banking data are as of December 31, 1975. O rd e r A p p ro v in g A cq u isitio n o f S h a res o f B an k Lincoln National Company, Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval under section 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U .S.C . § 1842(a)(3)) to ac quire, indirectly, 9.9 per cent of the voting shares of The Bryn Mawr Trust Company, Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania ( “ Bank” ). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with section 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in section 3(c) of the Act (12 U .S.C. § 1842 (c)). Applicant, a one-bank holding company, owns 406 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 all of the voting shares (less directors’ qualifying shares) of Lincoln Bank, Bala Cynwyd, Pennsyl vania,1 with deposits of $94.6 million, repre senting 0.2 per cent of the total deposits in com mercial banks in Pennsylvania.2 Applicant also has one nonbanking subsidiary, Lincoln National Leasing Co., Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania, which is engaged in the leasing of personal property and equipment on a full payout basis. Applicant’s indirect acquisition of shares of Bank would have no appreciable effect on the concentration of banking resources in Pennsylvania. Applicant’s subsidiary bank, Lincoln Bank, a State-chartered insured bank that is not a member of the Federal Reserve System, proposes to acquire for cash 9.9 per cent of the voting shares of Bank pursuant to Title 7 Pennsylvania Statutes, section 311 (d)(ii)(B), which authorizes Pennsylvania banks to acquire and hold up to 10 per cent of the shares of another Pennsylvania bank or trust company.3 The instant shares of Bank were pre viously held by Centennial Bank, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, a bank that was ordered closed by the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Department of Banking on October 19, 1976. In subsequent liquidation proceedings by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Lincoln Bank purchased certain assets and assumed certain deposit liabili ties of Centennial Bank and, in addition, Lincoln Bank obtained an option to purchase the subject shares of Bank from the FDIC, as receiver. Bank (deposits of $56.7 million) is the 25th largest banking organization in the Philadelphia-Camden banking market4 and holds 0.4 per cent of total market deposits.5 Lincoln Bank, through its twelve offices, also competes in the Philadelphia-Camden banking market and ranks as the 18th largest banking organization therein, with 0.7 per cent of total deposits in the market. Al though Lincoln Bank and Bank compete in the 1A pplicant became a bank holding company with respect to Lincoln Bank on December 31, 1970 as a result of enactm ent of the 1970 Amendments to the Bank Holding Company Act. 2Unless otherwise noted, all banking data are as of June 30, 1976. 3The Secretary of Banking of the Commonwealth of Penn sylvania, by letter dated February 15, 1977, has recommended approval of the subject application. 4The Philadelphia-Cam den banking market is approximated by all of Philadelphia and Delaware Counties, portions of Chester, M ontgom ery and Bucks Counties in Pennsylvania, plus Camden, and portions of Burlington and Gloucester Counties in New Jersey. 5All market data are as of June 30, 1975. same banking market, it does not appear that consummation of this proposal would have signif icant adverse effects on competition. The com bined market share of Lincoln Bank and Bank would represent only 1.1 per cent of total deposits in the Philadelphia-Camden market. Accordingly, the Board concludes that consummation of the proposal would not have significant adverse effects on existing or potential competition; thus, com petitive considerations are consistent with approval of the subject application. The Board notes that neither Applicant nor Lincoln Bank will incur any debt in connection with the acquisition of shares of Bank. The finan cial and managerial resources and future prospects of Applicant, Lincoln Bank, and Bank are consid ered to be generally satisfactory. Accordingly, banking factors are consistent with approval of the application. There is no indication that the con venience and needs of the community to be served are not currently being met. Although there will be no immediate increase in the services offered by Bank, convenience and needs considerations are consistent with approval of the application. This application presents the Board with a situ ation in which rather than acquiring control, Ap plicant, through its subsidiary bank, is making a relatively small investment in Bank. This invest ment would not appear to have any adverse effects on Applicant or Lincoln Bank. An acquisition of less than a 25 per cent interest is not a normal acquisition for a bank holding company. However, the Bank Holding Company Act authorizes in vestments of up to 5 per cent without Board approval, and, by requiring prior Board approval for the acquisition of more than 5 per cent of the voting shares of a bank, clearly contemplates in vestments between 5 and 25 per cent.6 It is the Board’s judgment that the proposed transaction would be in the public interest and that the application should be approved. On the basis of record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be made (a) before the thirtieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order or (b) later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good 6See the B oard’s Order of May 16, 1973 approving the application of First Piedmont Corporation, G reenville, South Carolina, to acquire shares of First Palmetto State Bank and Trust Com pany, Colum bia, South Carolina, 38 F ederal R e g is ter 14204 (1973), 59 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 456 (1973). Law Department cause by the Board, or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia pursuant to delegated au thority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 11, 1977. V o tin g for this action: V ic e Chairm an G ardner and G overnors W a llich , Jack son , P artee, and L illy . A b sent and not voting: Chairm an Burns and G overnor C old w ell. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, D e p u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B o a rd . OLD CANAL BANKSHARES, INC., Lockport, Illinois O rd e r D en yin g F orm ation o f B ank H o ldin g C om pan y OLD CANAL BANKSHARES, INC., Lock port, Illinois, has applied for the Board’s approval under § 3(a)(1) of the Bank Holding Company Act (12 U .S.C . § 1842(a)(1)) of formation of a bank holding company through acquisition of 80 per cent or more of the voting shares of Heritage First Na tional Bank of Lockport, Lockport, Illinois (“ Bank” ). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the application and all comments received have been considered in light of the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant is a recently chartered, nonoperating corporation organized under the law s of D elaw are for the purpose of becoming a bank holding com pany by acquiring Bank ($50.2 million in depos its).1 Upon acquisition of Bank, Applicant would control the 186th largest commercial banking or ganization in the State of Illinois and would control approximately 0.08 per cent of total deposits in commercial banks in the State. Bank, located in Lockport, Illinois, approxi mately 30 miles southwest of Chicago, is the fourth largest of 22 commercial banks in the rele vant banking market2 and holds approximately 7.9 per cent of the total commercial bank deposits in d e p o s i t data as of December 31, 1975. 2The relevant banking market is approximated by Will County, Illinois. 407 the market. The proposed transaction involves the transfer of ownership of Bank from individuals to a corporation owned by the same individuals. Since the subject proposal is essentially a corporate reorganization and Applicant has no subsidiaries, it appears unlikely that consummation of the pro posal would have any adverse effect upon existing or potential competition or increase the concentra tion of banking resources, or have any adverse competitive effect. Thus, the Board concludes that competitive effects of the instant proposal are not adverse. The Board had indicated on previous occasions that a bank holding company should constitute a source of financial and managerial strength to its subsidiary bank(s), and that the Board will closely examine the condition of an applicant with this consideration in mind. With respect to the subject application, it appears that the financial and mana gerial resources and future prospects of Applicant are entirely dependent upon Bank. The managerial resources of Applicant and Bank are regarded as generally satisfactory. However, as part of this proposal, Applicant would assume certain debt that its principals incurred in acquiring Bank’s shares. Thus, Applicant proposes to initially incur approximately $2.1 million in acquisition debt which it proposes to service over a twelve-year period through distributed earnings of Bank. The projected earnings for Bank, in the Board’s view, would not provide Applicant with the necessary financial resources to meet its annual debt servic ing requirements as well as any unexpected prob lems that might arise at Bank. Under the instant proposal, it does not appear that Bank would maintain an adequate level of capital throughout the debt retirement period.3 It does not appear that Bank’s management proposes any significant changes in Bank’s opera tions that might provide the necessary Bank earn ings. In conclusion, the proposal would not pro vide Applicant the necessary financial flexibility to service its debt while maintaining adequate capital in Bank, and therefore Applicant’s and Bank’s financial resources and future prospects weigh against approval of the application. 3 W ithin 180 days of approval of the subject proposal Appli cant proposes to reduce the debt it would incur by $100,000. This would result from the issuance by Bank of $500,000 in 9 per cent preferred stock that would be funded through the sale of additional comm on stock in Applicant, which will be purchased by its principals for $600,000. 408 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 No significant changes in Bank’s operations or in the services offered to customers of Bank are anticipated to follow from consummation of the proposed acquisition. Consequently, convenience and needs factors lend no weight toward approval. On the basis of the circumstances concerning the instant application to become a bank holding company, the Board concludes that the banking considerations involved in this proposal present adverse factors bearing upon the financial re sources and future prospects of both Applicant and Bank. Such adverse factors are not outweighed by any procompetitive effects, the managerial re sources of Applicant or Bank, or benefits that would better satisfy the convenience and needs of the community to be served. Accordingly, it is the Board’s judgment that approval of the applica tion to become a bank holding company would not be in the public interest and that the application should be denied. On the basis of the facts of record, the applica tion to become a bank holding company is denied for the reasons summarized above. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 9, 1977. V o tin g for this action: V ic e Chairm an Gardner and G overnors W a llich , Jack son , and L illy . A b sent and not voting: Chairm an Burns and G overnors C o ld w ell and Partee. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, D e p u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B o a rd . Republic of Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas O rd e r A p p ro v in g A c q u isitio n o f B ank Republic of Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval under § 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to acquire all of the voting shares, less directors’ qualifying shares, of the successor by merger to Dallas National Bank in Dallas, Dallas, Texas ( “ Bank” ). The bank into which Bank is to be merged has no significance except as a means to facilitate the acquisition of the voting shares of Bank. Accordingly, the pro posed acquisition of shares of the successor orga nization is treated herein as the proposed acquisi tion of the shares of Bank. Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant, the fourth largest banking organi zation in Texas, controls eight banks with aggre gate deposits of approximately $3.1 billion, which represents 6.5 per cent of total commercial bank deposits in Texas.1 Acquisition of Bank ($32.0 mil lion in deposits) would increase Applicant’s share of Statewide commercial bank desposits by less than 0.1 per cent and would have no appreciable effect upon the concentration of banking resources in Texas. By Order dated October 25, 1973, the Board approved the application of Applicant to become a bank holding company through the direct acqui sition of Republic National Bank of Dallas, Dallas, Texas (“ Republic Bank” ), and the indirect acqui sition of 29.9 per cent of the voting shares of Oak Cliff Bank & Trust Company, Dallas, Texas (“ Oak Cliff Bank” ). At that time, Republic Bank owned indirectly between 5 and 24.9 per cent interests in twenty-one non-subsidiary banks, eighteen of which were in the Dallas banking market.2 Applicant represented to the Board that it would file separate applications for prior ap proval by the Board for acquisition of additional shares in each of certain of those banks, and would divest completely its interest in others. The Board in its Order stated that each such application filed by Applicant would be considered on its own merit in light of the statutory standards set forth in § 3 of the Act. Since that time Applicant has divested its interests in seven of the Dallas-area banks. This is Applicant’s second application to acquire addi tional shares in one of the Dallas-area banks.3 Bank is the 37th largest of 132 banks in the Dallas banking market and controls 0.4 per cent of the total deposits of commercial banks in the market. Applicant presently has two subsidiary banks in the Dallas banking market.4 Republic *A11 banking data are as of December 31, 1975, and reflect bank holding company form ations and acquisitions approved through February 28, 1977. 2The relevant banking market is approximated by the Dallas RMA. 3By separate action of this date, the Board approved Appli cant’s acquisition of First National Bank in Garland, Garland, Texas ( “ Garland B ank” ). 4Upon acquiring Garland Bank, Applicant will control a third subsidiary bank in the Dallas market and will thereby control an additional 0.7 per cent of market deposits. Law Department Bank is the largest bank in that market with 25.5 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market, and Oak Cliff Bank & Trust Com pany is the eighth largest bank in the market with 1.2 per cent of market deposits. The eleven non subsidiary banks in the Dallas market (including Bank and Garland Bank) in which Applicant pres ently holds minority interests have aggregate de posits of $505.0 million, representing 5.4 per cent of market deposits. While consummation of the proposal would appear to eliminate some existing competition since Applicant and Bank operate in the same market, the Board notes that Applicant, or its predecessor in interest, Republic Bank, has con trolled 20 per cent or more of the shares of Bank since 1947, that officers and directors of Republic Bank were instrumental in the formation of Bank, and that the duration and nature of this relationship is such that little, if any, meaningful competition presently exists between Bank and Applicant’s subsidiary banks in the Dallas market. Absent the history of the long established relationship be tween Applicant and Bank, the effects on existing competition would be regarded as more serious; however, in light of that relationship, the effects are considered as only slight. Moreover, while Applicant is the largest organization in the banking market, in view of all the facts of record, the Board does not regard the slight increase in concentration of market deposits as significant. Accordingly, the Board concludes that the proposed acquisition of Bank by Applicant would not have significant adverse effects on competition. The financial and managerial resources and fu ture prospects of Applicant, its subsidiaries, and Bank are regarded as satisfactory and consistent with approval of the application. Following con summation of the transaction, Applicant intends to improve and expand the services presently of fered to customers of Bank. Applicant also has indicated that it would support and encourage Bank’s efforts to aid the community it serves, by having Bank continue to engage in community development activities, which include programs for loans to minority businesses and home-improvement loans to low-income families. These considerations relating to convenience and needs of the community to be served lend weight toward approval of the application and, in the Board’s view, outweigh any slightly adverse competitive effects that might result from consummation of the proposal. Accordingly, it is the Board’s judgment that the proposed acquisition would be in the 409 public interest and that the application should be approved. On the basis of the record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be made (a) before the thir tieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order or (b) later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board, or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 23, 1977. V otin g for this action: Chairm an Burns and G o v er nors G ardner, W allich , C o ld w e ll, Jack son , P artee, and L illy. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood , D eputy Secretary of the Board. Republic of Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas O rder A pprovin g A cquisition of Bank Republic of Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval under § 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to acquire all of the voting shares (less directors’ qualifying shares) of the successor by merger to First National Bank in Garland, Garland, Texas (“ Bank” ). The bank into which Bank is to be merged has no significance except as a means to facilitate the acquisition of the voting shares of Bank. Accordingly, the proposed acquisition of shares of the successor organization is treated herein as the proposed acquisition of the shares of Bank. Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U .S .C. § 1842(c)). Applicant, the fourth largest banking organi zation in the State of Texas, controls eight bank subsidiaries with aggregate deposits of $3.1 bil lion, representing 6.5 per cent of commercial bank deposits in the State.1 Acquisition of Bank would JA11 banking data are as of December 31, 1975 unless otherwise stated. 410 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 increase Applicant’s share of commercial bank deposits in Texas by 0.14 per cent but would not alter Applicant’s State-wide ranking. By Order dated October 25, 1973, the Board approved the application of Applicant to become a bank holding company through the direct acqui sition of Republic National Bank of Dallas (“ Republic Bank” ), and the indirect acquisition of 29.9 per cent of the voting shares of Oak Cliff Bank and Trust Company, Dallas, Texas ( “ Oak Cliff Bank” ). At that time Republic Bank owned indirectly between 5 and 24.99 per cent interest in twenty-one non-subsidiary banks, eighteen of which were in the Dallas banking market.2 Appli cant represented to the Board that it would file separate applications for prior approval by the Board for acquisition of additional shares in each of certain of those banks, and would divest com pletely its interests in others. The Board in its Order stated that each such application filed by Applicant would be considered on its own merits in light of the statutory standards set forth in § 3 of the Act. Since that time Applicant had di vested its interests in seven of the Dallas-area banks. This is Applicant’s first application to ac quire additional shares in one of the Dallas-area banks.3 Bank is the 16th largest of 132 banks in the Dallas banking market and holds deposits of $66.4 million, representing 0.7 per cent of the total deposits of commercial banks in the market. Ap plicant presently has two subsidiary banks in the Dallas banking market. Republic Bank is the larg est bank in that market with 25.5 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the market, and Oak Cliff Bank is the eighth largest bank in the market with 1.2 per cent of market deposits. The eleven non-subsidiary banks in the Dallas market (including Bank) in which Applicant pres ently holds minority interests have aggregate de posits of $505.0 million, representing 5.4 per cent of market deposits. While consummation of the proposal would appear to eliminate some existing competition in asmuch as Applicant and Bank operate in the same market, the Board notes that Applicant, or its predecessor in interest, Republic Bank, has held 20 per cent or more of the shares of Bank for 30 years, and that the duration and nature of this relationship are such that little, if any, meaningful competition presently exists between Bank and Applicant’s subsidiary banks in the Dallas market. But for the history of the long established rela tionship between Applicant and Bank, the effects on existing competition would be viewed as more serious, but viewed in light of that relationship the effects are only slight. Moreover, while Ap plicant is the largest organization in the banking market, in view of the facts presented in the record of this application, the Board does not regard the slight increase in concentration of market deposits as significant. Accordingly, the Board concludes that the proposed acquisition of Bank by Applicant would not have significant adverse effects on competition. The financial and managerial resources of Ap plicant, its subsidiaries, and Bank are regarded as satisfactory and consistent with approval of the application. Considerations relating to banking factors are also consistent with approval of the application. Following consummation of the transaction, Applicant intends to improve and ex pand services presently offered to customers of Bank. These considerations relating to conven ience and needs of the community to be served do not appear to be substantial but they do lend some weight toward approval of the application, and in the Board’s view, outweigh any slightly adverse effects on competition that might result from consummation of this proposal. Accordingly, it is the Board’s judgment that the proposed ac quisition would be in the public interest and that the application should be approved. On the basis of the record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be made (a) before the thir tieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order or (b) later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board, or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 23, 1977. V otin g for this action: Chairm an Burns and G o v er nors G ardner, W a llich , C o ld w e ll, Jack son , Partee, and L illy. 2The relevant banking market is approxim ated by the Dallas RMA. 3By separate action of this date, the Board approved Appli can t’s acquisition of Dallas National Bank (formerly Fair Park National Bank), Dallas, Texas. (Signed) Griffith L. Garwood, [seal] D e p u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B oa rd. Law Department The Sumitomo Bank, Limited, Osaka, Japan O rder A pprovin g A cquisition of A dditional Shares of Bank The Sumitomo Bank, Limited, Osaka, Japan, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval under § 3(a)(3) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1842(a)(3)) to exercise preemptive rights to acquire additional voting shares of Central Pacific Bank, Honolulu, Hawaii (“ Bank” ). As a result of the exercise of these rights, Applicant would continue to hold 13.7 per cent of the voting shares of Bank. Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views, has been given in accordance with § 3(b) of the Act. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the factors set forth in § 3(c) of the Act (12 U .S.C. § 1842(c)). Applicant presently owns 13.7 per cent of the voting shares of Bank. With deposits of approxi mately $240 million, Bank controls 8.5 per cent of the total deposits held by commercial banks in Hawaii and is the third largest bank in the State.1 Applicant proposes to acquire 6,867 additional voting shares of Bank through the exercise of its preemptive rights in connection with a new issue of Bank’s voting shares. If all of Bank’s new shares are purchased, Applicant’s percentage ownership of shares of Bank will not increase as a result of the proposal. Consummation of the proposal would not have any adverse effect on existing or potential competition, nor would it increase the concentration of banking resources or have any adverse effect on other banks in the area. Thus, competitive considerations are consistent with approval of the application. The financial condition and managerial re sources of Applicant and Bank are considered satisfactory and the future prospects for each ap pear favorable. Thus, the banking factors are con sistent with approval of the application. Although there will be no immediate change or increase in the services offered by Bank as a result of the proposed transaction, the considerations relating to the convenience and needs of the community 'A ll banking data are as of December 31, 1975. 411 to be served are consistent with approval of the application. It is the Board’s judgment that the proposed transaction would be consistent with the public interest and that the application should be approved. Under section 3(d) of the Bank Holding Com pany Act [12 U.S.C. 1842(d)] the Board may not approve an application by a bank holding company under section 3 of the Act to acquire shares of any “ additional bank” located outside of the State in which the operations of the bank holding com pany’s banking subsidiaries were principally con ducted as of July 1, 1966, or the date on which it became a bank holding company, whichever is later, unless such acquisition is specifically au thorized by the statute laws of the State in which the bank whose shares are to be acquired is lo cated. Applicant became a bank holding company on December 31, 1970, by virtue of its ownership of a majority of the voting shares of The Sumitomo Bank of California, San Francisco, California, and thus, California is the State of Applicant’s principal banking operations. The statute laws of the State of Hawaii do not specifically authorize the acquisition of shares or assets of a State bank by an out-of-State bank holding company. Thus, the Board may only approve the subject applica tion if Bank is not considered an “ additional bank” for purposes of section 3(d). Applicant’s investment in Bank originated in 1954, prior to the enactment of the Bank Holding Company Act. Since section 3(d) is prospective in its application, that investment was effectively grandfathered at the time Applicant became a bank holding company in 1970. Consummation of the proposed transaction would enable Applicant to maintain its present interest in Bank. The Board has considered the legislative history of section 3(d), particuarly the intent of that sec tion to prevent the interstate expansion of the commercial banking operations of bank holding companies, and has determined that, based on the particular facts and circumstances of this case, Bank should not be considered an “ additional bank” for purposes of that section. Approval of this application would not permit Applicant either to acquire control of an additional bank or to expand its grandfathered interest in Bank. How ever, in keeping with the policy of section 3(d), this approval is granted subject to the condition that, in the event all of Bank’s newly issued shares are not subscribed, Applicant will only acquire and hold such shares as are necessary in order to maintain its present interest in Bank. 412 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 In a letter of this date to Applicant, the Board has issued a preliminary determination, based upon the rebuttable presumptions of control in section 225.2(b)(1) of Regulation Y [12 CRF § 225.2(b)(1)], that Applicant exercises a controlling influence over the management or policies of Bank. The Board’s decision to approve the subject application was made independent of that prelim inary determination of control, and does not sig nify a Board decision on any further action that may result from such preliminary determination. On the basis of the record, the application is approved for the reasons summarized above. The transaction shall not be made (a) before the thir tieth calendar day following the effective date of this Order or (b) later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board, or by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco pursuant to delegated authority. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 29, 1977. V o tin g for this action: Chairm an Burns and G o v er nors C o ld w e ll, Jack son , Partee, and L illy . A b sen t and not voting: G overn ors Gardner and W a llich . (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, D e p u ty S e cre ta ry o f the B o a rd . O r d er s U n d e r S e c t io n 4 ( c)(8 ) of B a n k H o l d in g C o m p a n y A ct D. H. Baldwin Company, Cincinnati, Ohio O rd e r A p p ro v in g A c q u isitio n o f L o u isville M o rtg a g e S e rv ic e C om pan y D. H. Baldwin Company, Cincinnati, Ohio, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval, under § 4(c)(8) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and § 225.4(b)(2) of the Board’s Regulation Y (12 CFR § 225.4(b)(2)), to acquire Louisville Mortgage Service Company, Louisville, Kentucky (“ Service” ), a company that engages in the activities of mortgage banking, including originating and servicing, for its own account and the account of others, conventional and guaranteed residential mortgage loans. Service also acts as insurance agent for the sale of insur ance that is directly related to extensions of credit by Service, including mortgage cancellation in surance and credit accident and health insurance.1 Such activities have been determined by the Board to be closely related to banking (12 CFR § 225.4(a)(1), (3), and (9)). Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views on the public interest factors, has been duly published (41 F ed era l R e g iste r 50031 (1976)). The time for filing comments and views has ex pired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in light of the public interest factors set forth in § 4(c)(8) of the Act (12 U .S.C . § 1843(c)(8)). Applicant, the fourth largest banking organi zation in Colorado, controls twelve subsidiary banks in that State, with aggregate deposits of $582 million, representing approximately 7.7 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in Colorado. Applicant also engages through subsid iaries in a variety of nonbanking activities, in cluding savings and loan, mortgage banking, per sonal and real property leasing, consumer finance, and insurance agency and insurance underwriting. Applicant also engages in the manufacture and sale of musical instruments pursuant to indefinite grandfather benefits under section 4(a)(2) of the Act.2 Service operates a single office in Louisville, Kentucky. As of June 30, 1975, Service, with a real estate mortgage servicing portfolio of $176.0 million,3 ranked 170th among all mortgage com panies in the United States. Service engages principally in the origination and servicing of loans on 1-4 family residential properties in the Louis 1 Applicant originally proposed to continue Service’s sale of property damage and casualty insurance. On January 10, 1977, the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit ruled, in A la b a m a A sso c ia tio n o f Insurance A g en ts v. B o a rd of G overn ors, 544 F.2d 1245 (1977), that the sale of property damage and casualty insurance in connection with extensions of credit by a nonbank subsidiary of a bank holding company is not closely related to banking and, therefore, is not a permissible activity. In a letter to the Board dated January 20, 1977, Applicant com m itted itself to halt the sale of property damage and casualty insurance upon consummation of the acquisition of Service. A p p lic a n t’s nonbank activities are described in detail in a Board determination dated June 14, 1973, relating to A ppli cant’s grandfather benefits (59 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 536 (1973)). 3A m erican B anker of October 21, 1975. Service was not listed in the A m erican B an ker of October 25, 1976, as among the 300 largest mortgage com panies as of June 30, 1976. Applicant indicates that Service had a servicing portfolio of $181.5 million as of May 31, 1976, which would rank Service 176th among all mortgage banking com panies as of mid-year 1976. Law Department ville market,4 and in 1975 originated approxi mately only 3 per cent (in dollar value) of the mortgage loans in that area. Service competes with at least 20 other mortgage banking companies (including six of the nation’s largest), six banks, and twelve savings and loan associations. Appli cant is currently engaged in mortgage banking through its wholly-owned subsidiary, C. C. Fletcher Mortgage Company, Cincinnati, Ohio (“ FMC” ).5 While Service primarily originates 1-4 fam ily residential m ortgage loans, FM C ’s principal business is originating commercial and industrial mortgage loans. Accordingly, it appears that there is no significant existing competition between Service and FMC. In addition, though Applicant’s banking and savings and loan subsidi aries engage in mortgage lending, their activities are concentrated in Colorado and the western United States. Accordingly, it appears that there is not significant competition between Service and these subsidiaries. Thus approval of the proposed acquisition should have no adverse effect on exist ing competition. The facts of record indicate that Service’s mar ket share has declined in recent years. It is antici pated that Service’s affiliation with Applicant will provide Service with access to Applicant’s exper tise, substantial financial resources, and wide spread investor relationships and thereby enable Service to strengthen and revitalize itself as a viable and aggressive competitor in the mortgage banking business. On balance, the Board con cludes that the benefits to the public that can reasonably be expected to result upon consumma tion of this proposal outweigh any possible adverse effects on the public interest that might result from the proposed acquisition. There is no evidence in the record indicating that consummation of the proposed acquisition would result in undue concentration of resources, conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices, or other adverse effects. Service’s wholly-owned subsidiary, General Realty Corporation of Kentucky, Inc., Louisville, Kentucky (“ General” ), is engaged primarily in holding real property for sale, which is an acitivty 4The Louisville mortgage banking market is approxim ated by the Louisville SMSA (which includes Jefferson, Oldham , and Bullitt counties in Kentucky, and Floyd and Clark counties in Indiana), plus Fayette County, Kentucky. 5As of June 30, 1976, FMC had a mortgage servicing portfolio of $35.9 million. 413 the Board has not determined to be permissible for bank holding companies. Therefore, Service must dispose of all the real estate holdings of General no later than two years from the effective date of this Order.6 Based upon the foregoing and other consid erations reflected in the record, the Board has determined that the balance of the public interest factors the Board is required to consider under § 4(c)(8) is favorable. Accordingly, the application is hereby approved subject to the conditions that Service dispose of the real estate holdings of General no later than two years from the effective date of this Order and reduce its interest in Heart to no more than 5 per cent of Heart’s outstanding voting shares upon consummation of this proposal. This determination is subject to the conditions set forth in § 225.4(c) of Regulation Y and to the Board’s authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds neces sary to assure compliance with the provisions and purposes of the Act and the Board’s regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. The transaction shall be made not later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 24, 1977. V otin g for this action: Chairm an Burns and G over-. n o rs G a rd n e r, C o ld w e ll, Ja c k s o n , a n d P a rte e . A b s e n t and not voting: G overn ors W allich and L illy . (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, D ep u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B o a rd . 6In accom plishing a divestiture of such property, Applicant has agreed to transfer irrevocably the real estate held by General to an independent trustee who shall have the duty of divesting the property within the applicable time period. Service also holds in excess of 5 per cent of the voting stock of Heart of Louisville, Inc., Louisville, Kentucky (“ H eart” ), which engages in real property leasing that is not in compliance with the requirem ents of § 225.4(a)(6)(b) of Regulation Y (12 CFR § 225.4(a)(6)(b)). Applicant has stated it will reduce Service’s interest in Heart to no more than 5 per cent upon consum mation of the subject proposal. 414 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Republic of Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas O rd e r A p p ro v in g R eten tio n o f R ep u b lic C om m erce C o m p a n y, R e p u b lic M o n ey O rd e rs, In c ., a n d R e p u b lic M o n ey O rd ers o f C a lifo rn ia , In c ., a ll o f D a lla s, T exas Republic of Texas Corporation, Dallas, Texas, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval, under section 4(c)(8) of the Act [12 U.S.C. 1843(c)(8)] and § 225.4(b)(2) of the Board’s Regulation Y [12 CFR 225.4(b)(2)], to retain ownership of the voting shares of Repub lic Commerce Company, Dallas, Texas (“ Com pany” ), and indirect ownership of the voting shares of Republic Money Orders, Inc. ( “ RMO” ), and Republic Money Orders of California, Inc. (“ RMO of California” ), both of Dallas, Texas. Company engages in no activities directly but merely serves as owner of record of all shares of RMO. RMO engages in the activity of issuing money orders and travelers checks to third party agents who, in turn, sell the instruments at the retail level.1 RMO of California is a wholly-owned subsidiary of RMO which, until 1972, also issued money orders and travelers checks. RMO of Cali fornia is inactive and will be liquidated in 1985 when any money orders that remain unclaimed at that time escheat to the State of California. The Board has previously invited comment on a proposal to amend its Regulation Y to add the activity of issuing and selling payment instru ments, such as money orders, to the list of activi ties permissible pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the Act [41 F edera l R e g is te r 14902]. In addition, notice of the instant application, affording oppor tunity for interested persons to submit comments and views on the public interest factors, has been duly published [40 F e d era l R e g iste r 44634 and 41 F ederal R e g iste r 14902]. The time for filing comments and views has expired, and the Board has considered the entire record of this proposal, including all comments received, and has deter mined that the activity of issuing and selling money order-like payment instruments is closely related to banking. However, the Board has de cided that it will leave the rulemaking proceeding open and that it will not at present amend Regula *By Order of June 25, 1976, the Board approved the subject application as it related to the issuance and sale of travelers checks [62 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 630]. tion Y to include this activity among those gener ally permissible for bank holding companies. Rather, it will consider applications for permission to engage in the activity on a case-by-case basis, applying the public benefits test of § 4(c)(8) to the facts in each case. The Board also has deter mined that the application of Republic of Texas Corporation should be approved. By Order dated October 25, 1973, the Board approved the application of Applicant to become a bank holding company through the acquisition of Republic National Bank of Dallas (“ Republic Bank” ) and 29.99 per cent of the voting shares of Oak Cliff Bank and Trust Company, Dallas, Texas. Applicant became a bank holding company on May 9, 1974. At the time that Applicant became a bank holding company, it also acquired, from Republic Bank, direct ownership of Com pany. Republic Bank was itself a bank holding company by virtue of the 1970 Amendemnts to the Act and owned various bank and nonbank interests. RMO and its subsidiary, RMO of Cali fornia, were established as d e n ovo subsidiaries of the profit sharing plan of Republic Bank. Pur suant to the provisions of § 4(a)(2) of the Act, Applicant had two years, subject to the possibility of three one-year extensions, from the date on which it became a bank holding company to divest its nonbank activities or, in the alternative, to apply to the Board for approval to retain them. In this proposal Applicant has applied to retain its money order activities. The Board regards the standards under § 4(c)(8) of the Act for retention of shares of a company to be the same as the standards for a proposed acquisition. In order to authorize a bank holding company to engage in a nonbanking activity pursuant to § 4(c)(8) of the Bank Holding Company Act (“ Act” ), the Board must first determine whether the activity is closely related to banking or man aging or controlling banks. The Board finds that banks historically have been in the business of issuing money orders and similar payment instru ments, such as cashier’s checks and certified checks. Such instruments evolved from the need for a safe method of transmitting funds over long distances and the need for a method of assuring payments. They are a functional equivalent of cash when used to effect payments, and are of particular usefulness to persons of limited resources who do not or cannot practically maintain checking ac counts. The instruments that are the subject of this proposal extend, on an economical and convenient basis, the efficient payments mechanism of the La w Departm ent commercial banking system to persons other than demand deposit customers of banks. Since the proposed activity is comparable to certain func tions of banks, involves financial skills generally possessed by banks, and is a service that banks traditionally have performed, the Board concludes that the proposed activity is closely related to banking. In order to approve the subject application, the Board must also find that the performance of the proposed activity by an affiliate of Applicant “ can reasonably be expected to produce benefits to the public, such as greater convenience, increased competition, or gains in efficiency, that outweigh possible adverse effects, such as undue concentra tion of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking prac tices.” This balancing test necessitates a positive showing of public benefits, outweighing possible adverse effects of any proposal, before an applica tion may be approved. An applicant seeking ap proval to engage in a nonbanking activity under this section must bear the burden of showing the public benefits that would flow from its proposal. Applicant, the fourth largest banking organi zation in Texas, controls eight banks with total domestic deposits of approximately $3 billion, representing about 6.5 per cent of the total deposits in commercial banks in the State.2 In addition, Applicant engages indirectly through a group of corporations, referred to collectively as The How ard Corporation, in various nonbanking activities that are described in a Board determination dated September 10, 1973, relating to the grandfather benefits of Republic Bank [59 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 768 (1973)]. The Board has previously ruled that Applicant would not be a successor to the grandfather privileges of Republic Bank, and Applicant has committed, and is required, to dispose of the impermissible activities within the two-year statutory period prescribed in § 4(a)(2) of the Act.3 RMO was established de novo by Republic Bank in 1959. It sells money orders and travelers checks through outlets located in all 50 States and some foreign countries. In 1976 it had total money 2Unless otherwise noted, all banking data are as of D e cember 31, 1975, and reflect bank holding company formations and acquisitions approved through December 31, 1976. •*The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, acting pursuant to delegated authority, has extended the period within which Applicant must dispose of its impermissible activities for one year to May 9, 1977, as perm itted under § 4(a)(2) of the Act. 415 order issues of approximately $1 billion.4 In view of the highly concentrated nature of the money order industry and the fact that RMO was estab lished de novo , as a subsidiary of Applicant’s lead bank, the Board concludes that Applicant’s reten tion of RMO would not result in any adverse effects on competition in any relevant area. Fur thermore, there is no evidence in the record to indicate that the proposed retention of RMO by Applicant would lead to an undue concentration of resources, unfair competition, conflicts of in terests, or unsound banking practices. The Board notes that the wholesale aspect of the money order business in the United States is presently dominated by a few nonfinancial compa nies that are not subject to the Federal Reserve System’s reserve requirements. The Board be lieves that the development of new competition in this business on a national scale may not be forthcoming under the present statutory framework unless a degree of competitive equity can be es tablished between the nonfinancial institutions al ready in the business and potential bank holding company entrants. Such equity cannot be achieved if some competitiors are subject to reserve re quirements while others are not. In such unique circumstances, the Board finds that there are public benefits associated with enabling bank holding companies to compete with the dominant organi zations in this business on an equal basis by permitting what is essentially a consumer-oriented demand deposit business to be conducted by non bank affiliates of member banks.5 Unlike other issuers of money orders, RMO does not set a schedule of commissions that its agents must charge. As a result, RMO’s agents have greater flexibility in dealing with retail cus 4A11 of the money orders Applicant now issues have a maximum face value of $200, and this limit is specified on the instrument. The Board regards A pplicant’s m oney orders as being essentially a consum er-oriented type of paym ent instrument, and believes that in no event should the instruments have a face value greater than $1,000, in order to assure that they are intended primarily for use by consumers. 5It should be noted, however, that the B oard’s decision with respect to money orders under the particular circum stances present in this proposal does not signify any change in the Board’s opinion that there is a need for universal reserve requirements on dem and deposits of nonmem ber banks, as well as member banks. As the Board stated in its Order of June 14, 1973, authorizing BankAm erica Corporation, San Fran cisco, California, to engage in the business of issuing traveler’s checks [38 F ederal R eg iste r 16280 (1973)], it continues to believe that all institutions engaged in deposit banking should be subject to com mon reserve requirem ents. 416 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 tomers and, in certain circumstances, may reduce retail prices. In addition to possible lower rates, continued affiliation of Applicant and RMO should increase the possibilities that RMO will expand the number of retail outlets that handle its money orders. Money orders are of particular usefulness to persons of limited resources who do not or cannot practically maintain checking accounts, and approval of this proposal will assure the continued availability to such persons of these instruments, which are issued by a large financial organization and enjoy ready acceptability. Accordingly, it is the Board’s view that approval of the subject application would result in continued benefits to the public and is, therefore, in the public interest.6 Based upon the foregoing and other consid erations reflected in the record, the Board has determined, in accordance with the provisions of § 4(c)(8) of the Act, that consummation of this proposal can reasonably be expected to result in benefits to the public that outweigh possible ad verse effects. Accordingly, the application is hereby approved. This determination is subject to the conditions set forth in § 225.4(c) of Regulation Y and to the Board’s authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with the provisions and purposes of the Act and the Board’s regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 11, 1977. V o tin g for this action: V ic e Chairm an G ardner and G overnors W a llich , Jack son , Partee, and L illy . A b sen t and not voting: Chairm an Burns and G overnor C old w ell. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, D e p u ty S e cre ta ry o f the B o a rd . 6The Board is concerned that because purchasers of money orders may view this instrument as a close equivalent to a personal check, such persons may misapprehend their right to stop paym ent on such instrum ents. Indeed, whether such a right exists may turn upon technicalities in the form of such instruments. So that purchasers are not misled, the Board urges that the issuer disclose on the instruments whether or not such a right exists and, if so, how it may be exercised. W hile the Board is not at this time requiring such a disclosure as a condition of engaging in the activity, it notes that, if experience should indicate that consum ers are in fact being misled in this regard, the subject may be an appropriate one to be dealt with by the Federal Trade Com mission or the Board under their respective jurisdictions to define unfair or deceptive practices. Citicorp, New York, New York O rd e r A p p ro v in g E n gagin g in N on b a n k A c tiv ity Citicorp, New York, New York, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s ap proval, under § 4(c)(8) of the Act (12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)) and § 225.4(b)(2) of the Board’s Reg ulation Y (12 C.F.R. 225.4(b)(2)), to engage to d e n o vo , through a new nonbank subsidiary, Citi corp Services, Inc. (“ Services” ), in the activity of issuing and offering on a consignment basis general purpose variable denominated payment instruments. Notice of the application, and of proposed rulemaking to amend the Board’s Regulation Y to add the activity of issuing and selling money order-like payment instruments to the list of activities per missible pursuant to § 4(c)(8) of the Act, was duly published (41 F ed era l R e g iste r 14902 (1976)) in order to afford opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views on the public interest factors with respect to the application, and on the question of whether the proposed activity is so closely related to banking or managing or controlling banks as to be a proper incident thereto. The Board has considered the entire record of this proposal, including all comments received, and has determined that the activity is closely re lated to banking. However, the Board has decided that it will leave the rulemaking proceeding open and that it will not at present amend Regulation Y to include this activity among those generally permissible for bank holding companies. Rather, it will consider applications for permission to engage in the activity on a case-by-case basis, applying the public benefits test of § 4(c)(8) to the facts in each case. The Board also has deter mined that the application of Citicorp should be approved to the extent that it involves the issuance and marketing of payment instruments of a sort that would primarily be of use to consumers. In order to authorize a bank holding company to engage in a nonbanking activity pursuant to § 4(c)(8) of the Bank Holding Company Act (“ Act” ), the Board must first determine whether the activity is closely related to banking or man aging or controlling banks. The Board finds that banks historically have been in the business of issuing money orders and similar payment instru ments, such as cashier’s checks and certified Law Department checks. Such instruments evolved from the need for a safe method of transmitting funds over long distances and the need for a method of assuring payments. They are a functional equivalent of cash when used to effect payments, and are of particular usefulness to persons of limited resources who do not or cannot practically maintain checking ac counts for effecting payment transactions. The instruments that are the subject of this proposal would extend, on an economical and convenient basis, the efficient payments mechanism of the commercial banking system to persons other than the typical demand deposit customers of banks. Since the proposed activity is comparable to cer tain functions of banks, involves financial skills generally possessed by banks, and is a type of service that banks traditionally have performed, the Board concludes that the proposed activity is closely related to banking. In order to approve the subject application, the Board must also find that the performance of the proposed activity by a nonbank affiliate of Appli cant “ can reasonably be expected to produce ben efits to the public such as greater convenience, increased competition, or gains in efficiency, that outweigh possible adverse effects, such as undue concentration of resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices.” This balancing test necessi tates a positive showing of public benefits out weighing the possible adverse effects of any pro posed acquisition before an application may be approved. An applicant seeking approval to en gage in a nonbanking activity under this section must bear the burden of showing the public bene fits that would flow from its proposal. Applicant, the largest banking organization in New York State and the second largest banking organization in the United States, controls two subsidiary banks,1 which together operate banking offices throughout New York State and control combined deposits of approximately $19.5 billion, representing about 14.4 per cent of the total de posits in commercial banks in New York State.2 E ffectiv e January 1, 1976, four of A pplicant’s up-State banking subsidiaries were merged to form Citibank (New York State), N .A ., Buffalo, New York. The two remaining banking subsidiaries were merged into A pplicant’s lead bank, Citibank, N .A ., New York, New York (formerly First National City Bank). 2Deposit data are as of December 31, 1975. 417 Applicant engages in a variety of permissible non bank activities through some 85 direct and indirect domestic nonbank subsidiaries. Applicant’s non bank activities include mortgage banking,3 leas ing, consumer and sales financing, and insurance agency activities for insurance which is directly related to extensions of credit by Applicant’s sub sidiaries. Applicant proposes to issue and offer on a consignment basis general purpose, variable de nominated payment instruments to vendors or agents who would then sell such instruments to the general public. The purchasers would specify the denomination of the instrument. Applicant proposes to engage in this activity de novo through its wholly owned subsidiary, Citicorp Services, Inc., which will act as the distributing and mar keting agent in connection with offering the in struments. Applicant’s payment instruments are intended to serve as substitutes or replacements for money orders, cashier’s checks, teller’s checks, dollar drafts, certified checks, and similar types of payment instruments. The instruments that Citicorp proposes to issue will be of two types: one will have a $1,000 limit on its face value and will be similar to the traditional personal money order ; the second type will be unlimited in face value. The facts of record on this proposal indicate that consumer-type payment instruments, such as tra ditional money orders, are marketed nationally on the wholesale level by a few large organizations and locally on a retail level by a wide variety of financial and nonfinancial institutions. On the na tional scale, the market is highly concentrated, being dominated by only a few large organi zations.4 Entry into this business on a national scale involves overcoming significant barriers 3Applicant engages in mortgage banking activities through Advance M ortgage Com pany ( “ A dvance” ), Southfield, M ich igan, a nonbank subsidiary which Applicant acquired on June 15, 1970. Under the provisions of § 4(a)(2) of the Act, Applicant may not retain the shares of Advance beyond De cember 31, 1980, without Board approval. By Order dated December 26, 1973, the Board denied A pplicant’s application to retain Advance pursuant to § 4(c)(8) of the Act. [60 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 50]. 4The Board notes that traditional m oney orders generally have a maximum face value printed on the instrum ent, that this ceiling is usually relatively low, perhaps $200 or $500, and that money orders are primarily used to transmit money by members of the consumer public who do not or cannot maintain checking accounts. The Board regards paym ent in struments of this type as being clearly “ consum er-type pay ment instrum ents,” and believes that the imposition of a $1,000 limitation on the face value of each instrument will assure that it is intended primarily for use by consum ers. 418 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 since a potential entrant must possess the capabil ity for managing the extensive sales and servicing operation necessary for handling a low unit price, high volume product. Such capabilities frequently are associated with banking organizations of sig nificant size. Applicant already has an established organization of this type, and is one of a limited number of companies with such a capability so as to be regarded as a potential entrant. Appli cant’s entry into this market would result in in creased competition in this industry and may be expected ultimately to result in increased prospects for some deconcentration of the industry in the future. Accordingly, the Board views Applicant’s proposal as procompetitive and in the public inter est insofar as it relates to the issuance of instru ments that are intended primarily for use by con sumers. The Board notes that the wholesale aspect of the money order business in the United States is presently dominated by nonfinancial companies that are not subject to the Federal Reserve Sys tem’s reserve requirements. The Board believes that the development of new competition in this business on a national scale may not be forth coming under the present statutory framework unless a degree of competitive equity can be es tablished between the nonfinancial institutions al ready in the business and potential bank holding company entrants. Such equity cannot be achieved if some competitors are subject to reserve require ments while others are not. In such unique cir cumstances, the Board finds that there are public benefits associated with enabling a bank holding company to compete with the dominant organi zations in this business on an equal basis by permitting the issuance of a consumer-oriented instrument by a nonbank affiliate of a member bank.5 However, the Board is unconvinced at this time that the public interest would be best served by permitting the issuance and marketing of such instruments without the imposition of a specific limitation on their denomination because of the 5It should be noted that the B oard’s decision under the particular circum stances present in this proposal does not signify any change in the B oard’s opinion that there is a need for universal reserve requirements on demand deposits of nonm em ber banks, as well as m ember banks. As the Board stated in its Order of June 14, 1973, authorizing BankAm erica Corporation, San Francisco, California, to engage in the busi ness of issuing traveler’s checks (38 F ederal R eg iste r 16280 (1973)), it continues to believe that all institutions engaged in deposit banking should be subject to com mon reserve requirements. potential for adverse effects on the reserve base that could result from such action. Reserve re quirements serve as an essential tool of monetary policy and, in the Board’s view, any action that would have the effect of diminishing the reserve base should be taken only if there are compelling reasons for doing so. The Board is concerned that approval of this proposal without any restrictions on the size of the instruments to be issued would result in an erosion of the reservable deposits of the banking system in an unquantifiable magni tude. There is nothing in the record of this proposal that would support a finding that a sufficiently compelling reason from a public interest stand point exists to justify such action. Indeed, the public benefits that are likely to flow from Appli cant’s proposal are directly associated with the consumer-oriented instruments that may be is sued. Accordingly, in order to provide such bene fits but at the same time to limit the adverse impact on the reserve base that the issuance of such instruments by a nonbanking affiliate of a member bank may have, the Board finds that the imposition of a $1,000 maximum face value on the proposed instruments would be in the public interest. In addition to increased competition, Applicant proposes to provide a benefit to the public through reduced costs and increased convenience to the purchaser.8 Toward this end, Applicant states that lost or stolen instruments will be reissued at no charge to the customer and, in cases where a stop-payment cannot be made because an instru ment has already been paid, photocopies of the instrument will be provided without charge. The Board believes that this would benefit the pur chasers of these instruments as it appears to repre sent a cost savings when compared to the policies of other companies in the industry. In summary, the Board finds that consumeroriented payment instruments are of particular usefulness to persons of limited resources who do not or cannot practically maintain checking ac counts; that approval of this proposal will increase the availability to such persons of these instru ments, which will be issued by a large financial organization and will enjoy ready acceptability; and that certain of the proposed features of Appli 6 Applicant proposes that one means of providing a benefit to the public through reduced costs to the purchaser will be by offering its instruments to the selling agents at a price that Applicant believes to be lower than the fees charged for com peting instruments. Law Department cant’s instruments will offer greater convenience and benefits to the public and foster increased competition in the industry.7 The Board further finds that the record of this proposal does not support a conclusion that the issuance by a non bank subsidiary of a bank holding company of a payment instrument in a denomination in excess of $1,000 would offer sufficient public benefits to support approval. Based upon the foregoing and other consid erations reflected in the record, the Board has determined that the balance of the public interest factors the Board is required to consider under § 4(c)(8) is favorable with respect to the activity of issuing consumer-oriented payment instruments having a maximum face value of $1,000. This determination is subject to the considerations set forth in § 225.4(c) of Regulation Y and to the Board’s authority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds neces sary to assure compliance with the provisions and purposes of the Act and the Board’s regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. The activities approved hereby shall be com menced not later than three months after the ef fective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 11, 1977. V o tin g for this action: V ic e Chairm an Gardner and G overnors W a llich , Jack son , P artee, and L illy . A b sent and not voting: Chairm an Burns and G overn or C oldw ell. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, Trust Company of Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia O rd e r A p p ro v in g A cq u isitio n o f A d a ir M o r tg a g e C om pan y Trust Company of Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval, under section 4(c)(8) of the Act [12 U.S.C . § 1843(c)(8)] and section 225.4(b)(2) of the Board’s Regulation Y [12 CFR § 225.4(b)(2) (1976)], to acquire direct ownership of 100 per cent of the voting shares of Adair Mortgage Company, Atlanta, Georgia ( “ Adair” ), from Trust Company of Georgia Associates, At lanta, Georgia ( “ Associates” ), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Applicant’s lead bank.1 Adair en gages in the general activities of a mortgage bank ing company. Applicant has also applied to engage de novo through Adair, in the activities of a mortgage banking company at an office to be located in College Park, Georgia, and to relocate the main office of Adair from Atlanta to Cobb County, Georgia.2 Each of the aforementioned activities has been determined by the Board to be closely related to banking [12 CFR § 225.4(a)(1) and (3) (1976)]. Notice of the applications, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views on the public interest factors, has been duly published [41 F edera l R e g iste r 54542 (1976)]. The time for filing comments and views has ex pired, and the Board has considered the applica tions and all comments received in the light of the public interest factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the Act [12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)]. Applicant, the third largest banking organization in Georgia, directly controls Trust Company Bank, D ep u ty S e cre ta ry o f the B o a rd . 7The Board is concerned that because purchasers of these instruments may view them as a close equivalent to a personal check, such persons may misapprehend their right to stop payment on such instruments. Indeed, whether such a right exists may turn upon technicalities in the form of such instru ments. So that purchasers are not misled, the Board urges that the issuer disclose on the instruments whether or not such a right exists and, if so, how it may be exercised. While the Board is not at this time requiring such a disclosure as a condition of engaging in the activity, it notes that, if experience should indicate that consum ers are in fact being misled in this regard, the subject may be an appropriate one to be dealt with by the Federal Trade Com mission or the Board under their respective jurisdictions to define unfair or deceptive practices. 419 1 Adair, and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Adair Mortgage Company of Florida, were acquired by Associates on January 29, 1971, pursuant to section 4(c)(5) of the Act [12 U .S.C . § 1843(c)(5)]. Section 4(c)(5) of the Act generally permits a bank holding com pany to acquire, without Board approval, shares that are of the kinds and amounts explicitly eligible by statute for investm ent by national banking associations under the provisions of section 5136 of the Revised Statutes. Applicant’s subject proposal contemplates its acquisition of Adair from Associates pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the Act as an internal corporate reorganization to simplify A pplicant’s structure. 2In a related m atter, the Board today approved A pplicant’s application filed pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the Act and section 225.4(b)(2) of Regulation Y, to acquire, through Adair, loan servicing contracts and certain other assets (primarily shares of Federal National Mortgage Association) of Georgia Loan and Trust Com pany, M acon, Georgia. 420 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Atlanta, Georgia (“ Atlanta Bank” ) (deposits of $796 million), and, through Associates, indirectly controls five other banks (aggregate deposits of $400 million).3 The aggregate deposits of Appli cant’s six subsidiary banks represent approxi mately 10 per cent of the total deposits in com mercial banks in the State. Through its banking subsidiaries, Applicant engages in real estate mort gage lending as a part of its commercial banking business. Through Adair, Applicant also engages in mortgage banking activities including: origina tion of permanent mortgages secured by both oneto-four family and multi-unit residential proper ties; origination of permanent mortgages secured by commercial properties; origination of con struction and development loans to facilitate Adair’s permanent origination business; servicing of permanent loans; and origination of second mortgage loans.4 Applicant indirectly acquired Adair in 1971 pursuant to section 4(c)(5) of the Act and, through this application, seeks permission to operate Adair pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the Act. The Board regards the standards of section 4(c)(8) for the retention of shares in a nonbanking company, previously operated by a bank holding company pursuant to section 4(c)(5), to be the same as the standards for a proposed acquisition under section 4(c)(8). Accordingly, the Board must find that neither the operation of the nonbanking company under section 4(c)(5) nor the Board’s approval of the section 4(c)(8) application would result in an undue concentration resources, decreased or unfair competition, conflicts of interests, or unsound banking practices. Prior to its acquisition of Adair in 1971, Atlanta Bank competed with Adair in a regional market with respect to construction, commercial, and multi-family residential loans. Nevertheless, the Atlanta banking market5 was, and remains, the principal geographic area in which both Adair and Atlanta Bank originate permanent mortgages se cured by one-to-four unit residential property. In 1969, $637 million in all types of mortgages were recorded in the Atlanta area by the numerous competitors therein6 with Adair accounting for $6.6 million and Atlanta Bank for $20.8 million. With respect to total originations of one-to-four family residential mortgages in the market, Atlanta Bank accounted for approximately 2 per cent and Adair for approximately 1.2 per cent of that total. By contrast, in 1975, the numerous organizations7 competing in the Atlanta area recorded $ 1,050 million in all types of mortgages in that area with Adair accounting for $7.9 million and Atlanta Bank for $6.4 million, both representing less than 1 per cent of the total. With respect to total recordings of one-to-four family residential mort gages in the market, Adair accounted for approxi mately 1 per cent and Atlanta Bank for approxi mately two-tenths of 1 per cent of that total. While it appears that acquisition of Adair by Applicant did eliminate some direct competition in originations of mortgage loans, it appears that the effect of such elimination in the relevant mar ket was not significantly adverse due to the large number of other competitors therein and the fact that neither Atlanta Bank nor Adair held substan tial shares of the mortgage markets that are subject to definitive measurement prior to the time of acquisition. Therefore, it appears that the amount of existing competition that was eliminated was not substantial nor was any significant amount of competition foreclosed through Applicant’s acqui sition of Adair. The Board concludes that inas much as Applicant has continuously owned Adair since 1971 with limited adverse effects upon com petition in the relevant market, Applicant’s con tinued retention of Adair would not have any 3 All banking data are as of December 31, 1975, unless otherwise indicated. In addition to its six subsidiary banks, Applicant received the B oard’s approval, on December 7, 1976, to acquire Security National Bank, Smyrna, Georgia (deposits of $17.4 million). [See 41 F ederal R eg iste r 54541 (1976); 1977 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 77 (January).] Also, on January 3, 1977, A pplicant received the B oard’s approval to acquire, through merger, Central Bankshares Corporation, Jonesboro, G eorgia, that firm’s sole subsidiary bank (deposits of $13.7 m illion), and its two non-banking activities. [See 42 F ederal R eg iste r 2354 (1977); 1977 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 161 (February).] 4A dair’s wholly-owned subsidiary in Florida engages in the origination of com mercial loans; however, its business did not and does not overlap with Applicant or its subsidiaries. 5The Atlanta banking m arket is approxim ated by Clayton, Cobb, DeKalb, Douglas, Fulton, G winett, Henry, and Rock dale Counties. 6These included 41 mortgage com panies, 20 savings and loan associations, nine banking organizations, all with offices in the Atlanta Standard M etropolitan Statistical Area ( “ SM SA ” ), as well as 42 other lenders outside the SMSA. The nation’s fourth, eighth, and ninth largest mortgage com panies had offices in the market. 7In 1975, there were 36 mortgage com panies, eight banking organizations, 20 savings and loan associations, nine insurance com panies, all with offices in the m arket, as well as 76 other lenders with offices outside the market. The N ation’s first, second, fourth through seventh, and ninth largest mortgage com panies had offices in the m arket. Law Department significant adverse effects upon either actual or potential competition. To the contrary, Adair’s affiliation with Applicant has enabled the latter to provide funds to Adair, which financial assistance has maintained Adair’s ability to both operate as a viable competitor and make construction and development and second mortgage loans. Accord ingly, the Board regards these considerations as being in the public interest. Applicant has also proposed, in connection with this application, that it engage d e n o vo , in the southern portion of metropolitan Atlanta, through Adair, in the following activities pursuant to sec tion 4(c)(8) of the Act: making permanent resi dential and commercial mortgages for resale to investors; making loans for acquisition and devel opment of real estate; making construction loans; servicing mortgages and acting as broker in plac ing permanent mortgages. Finally, Applicant has also proposed to relocate Adair’s main office from its current location to an area wherein it will continue to serve the northern portion of metro politan Atlanta. In that these latter two proposals are a part of Applicant’s internal corporate re structuring, it does not appear that there would be any significant adverse effect upon either existing or potential competition as a result of Applicant’s consummation of these two transactions. It is the Board’s judgment that the benefits that can reasonably be expected to result from each of these proposals are consistent with approval of the applications. There is no evidence in the record indicating that consummation of the proposed transactions would result in any undue concentra tion of resources, unfair competition, conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices or other ad verse effects upon the public interest. Based upon the foregoing and other consid erations reflected in the record, the Board has determined that the balance of the public interest factors the Board is required to consider under section 4(c)(8) is favorable. Accordingly, the ap plications are hereby approved. This determination is subject to the conditions set forth in section 225.4(c) of Regulation Y and to the Board’s au thority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with the provisions and purposes of the Act and the Board’s regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. The transactions shall be made not later than three months after the effective date of this Order, 421 unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, pursuant to authority hereby delegated. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 4, 1977. V otin g for this action: G overn ors W allich , C o ld w e ll, Jack son , and L illy . A b sen t and not voting: Chairm an Burns and G overn ors G ardner and P artee. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood, D ep u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B o a rd . Trust Company of Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia O rd e r A p p ro v in g A c q u isitio n o f G eo rg ia L o a n a n d T ru st C om pan y Trust Company of Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia, a bank holding company within the meaning of the Bank Holding Company Act, has applied for the Board’s approval, under section 4(c)(8) of the Act [12 U.S.C. § 1843(c)(8)] and section 225.4(b)(2) of the Board’s Regulation Y [12 CFR § 225.4(b)(2) (1976)], to acquire through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Adair Mortgage Com pany, Atlanta, Georgia ( “ Adair” ) ,1 loan servicing contracts and certain other assets (primarily shares of Federal National Mortgage Association) of Georgia Loan and Trust Company, Macon, Geor gia ( “ GL&T” ), a company that engages in the general business of mortgage banking.2 Such ac tivity has been determined by the Board to be closely related to banking [12 CFR § 225.4(a)(3) (1976)]. Notice of the application, affording opportunity for interested persons to submit comments and views on the public interest factors, has been duly published [41 F ed era l R e g iste r 54542 (1976)]. The time for filing comments and views has ex pired, and the Board has considered the application and all comments received in the light of the public interest factors set forth in section 4(c)(8) of the Act [12 U .S.C. § 1843(c)(8)]. Applicant, the third largest banking organization *In a related m atter, the Board today approved A pplicant’s application filed pursuant to section 4(c)(8) of the Act to acquire direct ownership of Adair from a wholly-owned subsidiary of A pplicant’s lead bank; to engage de novo, through Adair in mortgage banking activities in College Park, Georgia; and to relocate A dair’s main office from Atlanta to Cobb County, Georgia. 2It is G L & T ’s intention to sell all of its m arketable assets and to cease its operations as a m ortgage company. However, GL&T will continue its insurance agency activities. 422 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 in Georgia, directly controls Trust Company Bank, Atlanta, Georgia (deposits of $796 million), and, through that bank’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Trust Company of Georgia Associates, Atlanta, Georgia, indirectly controls five other banks (ag gregate deposits of $400 million).3 The aggregate deposits of Applicant’s six subsidiary banks rep resent approximately 10 per cent of the total de posits in commercial banks in the State. Through its banking subsidiaries, Applicant engages in res idential mortgage lending as a part of its commer cial banking business. Applicant, through Adair, also engages in mortgage banking activities. GL&T engages in the general business of mort gage banking, including originating, warehousing, servicing, and selling mortgage loans.4 GL&T currently operates in Macon from its only office5 and competes with Applicant in a regional market for the servicing of mortgage loans. As of August 31, 1976, GL&T was servicing 5,025 loans with outstanding principal balances totalling approxi mately $64 million. As of the same date, Applicant was servicing mortgage loans with outstanding principal balances totalling approximately $281 million.6 Although GL&T and Adair compete in the regional market for mortgage servicing busi ness, Adair’s total servicing portfolio is a very small fraction of that area’s mortgage servicing while GL&T’s total servicing portfolio is an even smaller fraction. Therefore, it does not appear that any significant existing competition would be eliminated as a result of the consummation of this proposal. The possibility of competition developing in the future between Adair and GL&T would be elimi nated by consummation of this proposal. How ever, such adverse competitive effects are miti gated by the large number of competitors in the relevant regional market, which includes nu merous mortgage banking companies, savings and loan associations, and commercial banking orga nizations. In addition, GL&T has recently experi enced financial adversities and would not be likely to continue as a competitor in the field of mortgage servicing. Therefore, the Board concludes that consummation of this proposal would not have significant adverse effects upon future competition. It is the Board’s judgment that the benefits that can reasonably be expected to result from this proposal lend some weight toward approval of the application. There is no evidence in the record indicating that consummation of the proposed transaction would result in any undue concentra tion of resources, unfair competition, conflicts of interests, unsound banking practices, or material adverse effects upon the public interest. Based upon the foregoing and other consid erations reflected in the record, the Board has determined that the balance of the public interest factors the Board is required to consider under section 4(c)(8) is favorable. Accordingly, the ap plication is hereby approved. The determination is subject to the conditions set forth in section 225.4(c) of Regulation Y and to the Board’s au thority to require such modification or termination of the activities of a bank holding company or any of its subsidiaries as the Board finds necessary to assure compliance with the provisions and pur poses of the Act and the Board’s regulations and orders issued thereunder, or to prevent evasion thereof. The transaction shall be made not later than three months after the effective date of this Order, unless such period is extended for good cause by the Board or by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, pursuant to authority hereby delegated. By order of the Board of Governors, effective March 4, 1977. V otin g for this action: G overn ors W a llich , C o ld w e ll, and L illy . V otin g against this action: G overnor Jackson. A b sent and not voting: Chairm an Burns and G overnors Gardner and Partee. (Signed) [s e a l ] G r if f it h L. G arw ood , D e p u ty S e c re ta ry o f the B o a rd . 3All banking data are as of December 31, 1975, unless otherwise indicated. In addition to its six subsidiary banks, Applicant received the B oard’s approval on December 7, 1976, to acquire Security National Bank, Sm yrna, Georgia (deposits of $17.4 million). [See 41 F ederal R eg iste r 54541 (1976); 1977 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 77 (January).] Also, on Jan uary 3, 1977, Applicant received the B oard’s approval to acquire, through m erger, Central Bankshares Corporation, Jonesboro, Georgia, that firm’s sole subsidiary bank (deposits of $13.7 m illion), and two non-banking activities. [See 42 F ederal R eg iste r 2354 (1977); 1977 Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n 161 (February).] 4GL&T also operates a property and casualty insurance agency; however, GL&T intends to retain this portion of its activities. 5A second office, located in Atlanta, engaged in originations of mortgage loans; however, it has been closed because of financial considerations. 6Adair accounted for $262 million. Law Department 423 ORDERS APPROVED UNDER BANK HOLDING COMPANY ACT By the B oard of G overnors During March 1977, the Board of Governors approved the applications listed below. The orders have been published in the Federal Register, and copies are available upon request to Publications Services, Division of Administration Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Section 3 B a n k (s) A p p lic a n t Cresco National Bank, Cresco, Iowa East Dallas Bank, Dallas, Texas Associated Bank Corporation, Mason City, Iowa First City Bancorpor ation of Texas, Inc., Houston, Texas Page Bank Holding Company, Page, North Dakota Texas Commerce Banc shares, Inc., Houston, Texas Page State Bank, Page, North Dakota Southern Bank and Trust Company, Garland, Texas B o a rd action (effective d a te ) F ed era l R e g iste r citation 3/21/77 42 F.R. 16479 3/28/77 3/7/77 42 F.R. 13865 3/14/77 3/2/77 42 F.R. 13155 3/9/77 3/31/77 42 F.R. 18450 4/7/77 Sections 3 and 4 B a n k (s) A p p lic a n t Kruse Insurance Agency, Inc., Mineola, Iowa B y F ederal R eserve Mineola State Bank, Mineola, Iowa N on ban kin g com pan y (o r a ctivity) Credit life and accident insurance B o a rd action (effective d a te ) 3/18/77 F ed era l R e g iste r citation 42 F.R. 15967 3/24/77 B anks During February and March 1977, applications were approved by the Federal Reserve Banks as listed below. The orders were published in the Federal Register, and copies are available upon request to the Reserve Banks. 424 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 Section 3 A pplican t TNB Financial Corporation, Springfield, Massachusetts Trust Company of Georgia, Atlanta, Georgia Bancorporation of Wisconsin, West Allis, Wisconsin Marshall & Ilsley Corpora tion, Milwaukee, Wisconsin Spencer Financial Corporation, Spencer, Iowa Farmers Bancshares, Inc., Hardinsburg, Kentucky Fort Sam Houston Bankshares, Inc., San Antonio, Texas Bank(s) First Nation al Bank of Athol, Athol, Massachusetts The First Na tional Bank of Albany, Albany, Georgia West Allis State Bank, West Allis, Wisconsin, and South west Bank, New Berlin, Wisconsin Fox Heights State Bank, Green Bay, Wisconsin Spencer Nation al Bank, Spencer, Iowa The Farmers Bank, Hardins burg, Kentucky Northern Hills Bank of San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas Federal R egister citation R eserve Bank Effective date Boston 2/2/71 42 F.R. 8708 2/11/77 Atlanta 3/16/77 42 F.R. 16673 3/29/77 Chicago 2/24/77 42 F.R. 13354 3/10/77 Chicago 3/11/77 42 F.R. 15466 3/22/77 Chicago 3/7/77 42 F.R. 14921 3/17/77 St. Louis 3/2/77 42 F.R. 14170 3/13/77 Dallas 2/2/77 42 F.R. 8708 2/11/77 PENDING CASES INVOLVING THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS* First Security Corporation v. B oard of G over nors , filed March 1977, U.S.C.A. for the Tenth Circuit. Farmers State Bank of Crosby v. B oard of G overnors , filed January 1977, U.S.C.A. for the Eighth Circuit. N ational A utom obile D ealers A ssociation, Inc. v. B oard of G overnors, filed November 1976, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia. First Security C orporation v. B oard of G over nors , filed August 1976, U.S.C.A. for the Tenth Circuit. First State Bank of Clute, Texas , e ta l. v. Board of Governors, filed July 1976, U.S.C.A. for the Fifth Circuit. North Lawndale Econom ic D evelopm ent C or poration v. B oard of G overnors , filed June 1976, U.S.C.A. for the Seventh Circuit. Central W isconsin Bankshares , Inc. v. B oard of G overnors, filed June 1976, U.S.C.A. for *This list of pending cases does not include suits against the Federal Reserve Banks in which the Board of Governors is not named a party. the Seventh Circuit. N ational Urban League, et al. v. Office of the C om ptroller of the Currency, et a l., filed Law Department April 1976, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia Circuit. Farmers & M erchants Bank of L as Cruces, N ew M exico v. B oard of G overnors, filed April 1976, U.S.C.A. for the District of Columbia Circuit. G randview Bank & Trust Com pany v. B oard of G overnors , filed March 1976, U.S.C.A. for the Eighth Circuit. A ssociation of Bank Travel B ureaus, Inc. v. B oard of G overnors, filed February 1976, U.S.C.A. for the Seventh Circuit. M em phis Trust Com pany v. B oard of G over nors, filed February 1976, U.S.D.C. for the Western District of Tennessee. First Lincolnw ood Corporation v. B oard of G overnors , filed February 1976, U.S.C.A. for the Seventh Circuit. R oberts Farms, Inc. v. C om ptroller of the Cur rency , et a l., filed November 1975, U.S.D.C. for the Southern District of California. N ational Com puter A n alysts, Inc. v. Decimus C orporation, ef a/., filed November 1975, U.S.D.C. for the District of New Jersey. Florida A ssociation of Insurance A gen ts, Inc. v. B oard of G overnors, and N ational A sso ciation of Insurance A gen ts, Inc. v. B oard of G overnors , filed August 1975, actions 425 consolidated in U.S.C.A. for the Fifth Cir cuit. t tD a v id R . M errill , era/, v. Federal Open M arket Com mittee of the Federal R eserve System, filed May 1975, U.S.D.C. for the District of Columbia, appeal pending, U.S.D.A. for the District of Columbia. L ouis J. R oussel v. B oard of G overnors, filed April 1975, U.S.D.C. for the Eastern District of Louisiana. G eorgia A ssociation of Insurance A gents, et al. v. B oard of G overnors, filed October 1974, U.S.C.A. for the Fifth Circuit. A labam a A ssociation of Insurance A g en ts , et al. v. B oard o f G overnors, filed July 1974, U.S.C.A. for the Fifth Circuit, t Consumers Union of the United States, Inc., et al. v. B oard of G overnors, filed September 1973, U.S.D.C. for the Distruct of Columbia. Bankers Trust o f N ew York C orporation v. B oard of G overnors , filed May 1973, U.S.C.A. for the Second Circuit. tD ecisions have been handed down in these cases, subject to appeals noted. $The Board of Governors is not nam ed as a party in this action. 426 Announcements REGULATION Q: Amendment The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System announced on April 7, 1977, that it was establishing a new category of time deposit ac counts to benefit individuals saving for their re tirement. The Board’s action amended Regulation Q (In terest on Deposits) to create a category of deposits under which member banks could pay maximum interest rates for consumer-type time deposits to savers in individual retirement accounts1 and Keogh plan2 retirement accounts. The main features of the new class of retirement savings deposits are as follows: 1. It will become effective after 90 days (July 6, 1977). 2. Member banks may pay interest on IRA and Keogh plan time deposits at a rate of interest equal to the highest rate permissible under Regulation Q, for time deposits of any maturity or denomi nation under $100,000, by a Federally insured commercial bank, mutual savings bank, or savings and loan association. The rate is presently 7.75 per cent. 3. No minimum denomination will be required for this class of deposit. 4. A maturity of 3 years or more will be re quired. 5. However, as with other types of IRA or Keogh accounts, withdrawals may be made before maturity without penalty for early withdrawal if the depositor reaches age 5 9 ^ , or is disabled. 6. Member banks may modify existing IRA or Keogh plan agreements to permit retirement savers to take advantage of this new rule. xT h e E m p lo y ee R etirem en t In com e S ecu rity A ct of 1974 (E R ISA ) perm its in d ivid u als not co v ered b y a retirem ent plan to d ep osit in in d ivid u al retirem ent a c cou n ts (IR A ’s) for retirem ent p u rp oses, tax-deferred contributions up to $ 1 ,5 0 0 a year, or 15 per cent of gross in co m e, w h ich ev er is le s s. 2K eo g h (H .R . 10) plan accou n ts w ere authorized under the S elf-E m p lo y ed In d ivid u als T ax R etirem ent A ct o f 19 6 2 . T h e act currently perm its a se lf-em p lo y ed person to d ep o sit in a K eo g h plan accou n t tax-deferred con trib ution s up to $ 7 ,5 0 0 a year, or 15 per cen t of gross in c o m e , w h ich ev er is le ss. Retirement savers may elect to use other types of time deposits for their IRA or Keogh plan funds, such as ordinary savings accounts or time deposits with maturities of less than 3 years. In such cases, the accounts will be subject to the existing ceiling rates of interest prescribed by Regulation Q. In taking its action the Board noted a congres sional report indicating that about half of all em ployees in private employment are not covered by retirement plans. The Board estimated that for retirement savers contributing the maximum yearly amount under a Keogh plan at a member bank for 30 years, the higher interest allowable under the new category could increase retirement savings by up to $50,000 and that the increase for participants under IRA’s could be up to $10,000. At present, Regulation Q permits thrift institutions to pay lA of a per cent more interest on such deposits than commercial banks may pay. “ Such a penalty for choosing deposits at a particular type of institution is clearly inconsistent with the objectives of maximizing the total amount of earnings on retirement savings that the Congress sought to encourage through establishment of IRA and Keogh programs,” according to the Board’s announcement. The announcement noted that issues relating to the creation of a new deposit category for IRA or Keogh funds have been the subject of substan tial public comment for nearly 2 years. In June 1975 the Board requested public com ment on a number of questions relating to IRA’s, including the questions whether the existing schedule of interest rate ceilings that can be paid on IRA deposits should be increased and whether member banks should be permitted to pay interest on IRA deposits at rates equal to those that may be paid by savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks. In July 1976 the Board announced that it was of the view that IRA parti cipants should be permitted to obtain the highest rate of interest permissible on their retirement savings regardless of where the funds are main tained. It was anticipated that further action by the Board to permit member banks to offer IRA’s on a fully competitive basis would be appropriate Announcements in early 1977. “ Accordingly,” the Board said, “ the public has had ample opportunity to comment on the issues relevant to the Board’s action estab lishing a special category of deposit for IRA’s and Keogh’s .” By adopting a final rule at this time, the Board said, public uncertainty about IRA and Keogh accounts will be removed and retirement savers may begin immediately to plan their retirement programs. The 90-day deferral of the effective date gives member banks time to make operational and other changes and will give them opportunity to compete for IRA and Keogh deposits on an equal basis. The Board’s announcement pointed out that preferred tax treatment was given to IRA’s to encourage savings for retirement, and not to ex tend a competitive advantage for a particular class of financial institution. A survey conducted by the Board indicated that as of December 31, 1976, commercial banks had obtained only 35 per cent of the IRA market while accounting for 47 per cent of the total household time and savings deposit market. The Board’s action was taken at this time be cause of a number of other reasons that it found compelling, including the following: 1. A large number of people eligible to estab lish IRA or Keogh accounts still have not done so, owing in part, the Board believes, to lack of advertising of such accounts by commercial banks due to their noncompetitive position. 2. Making retirement savings accounts of equal value at all depositories early in the year may avoid substantially diminishing the number of people who start retirement savings this year. 3. Banks and other financial institutions offer ing IRA and Keogh plan accounts will require a substantial amount of lead time to develop mar keting plans that can be put into effect sufficiently in advance of year-end to be useful. By previous action the Board had made IRA and Keogh plan deposits subject to the same rules under Regulation Q. CONSUMER COMPLIANCE AND EDUCATION PROGRAM The Board of Governors on March 30, 1977, announced the establishment of a Systemwide program designed to improve compliance by member banks with consumer credit protection laws and regulations. The program entitled “ Consumer Compliance 427 and Education Program of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System” has two main parts: 1. A program designed to educate all member banks, both State and national, in the requirements of consumer credit protection laws. 2. A companion program to conduct special examinations of State member banks to assess compliance with consumer laws by examiners especially trained for that purpose. The following procedures will be followed at State member banks: Examiners who find what they regard as evi dence of discrimination in credit transactions will report all findings to the appropriate Reserve Bank. The Reserve Bank, in consultation with the Board’s Division of Consumer Affairs, will deter mine whether additional investigation is needed, and what if any corrective measures are appro priate . In the event of overcharges, the bank will gen erally be required to reimburse customers for the amount of the overcharge. Customers will be given an explanation of the overcharge for which resti tution is required. In other cases of violations, State member banks will be instructed to make prompt correction of their policies, practices, procedures, or forms to avoid similar future violations. In all cases of violations, the examiner’s find ings will be made known to the bank’s board of directors. The special examinations will assess compliance with the following laws and regulations for which the Board has enforcement responsibilities with respect to State member banks: Fair Credit Reporting Act Fair Housing Act Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act Regulation B (Equal Credit Opportunity Act) Regulation C (Home Mortgage Disclosure Act) Regulation Z (Truth in Lending, Fair Credit Billing, and Consumer Leasing acts) Regulation A A (Unfair or Deceptive Acts or Practices by banks, and handling of consumer complaints) Regulation H (Provisions related to national flood insurance) Regulation Q (Interest on Deposits) Any new consumer laws or regulations affecting State member banks for which the Board is given enforcement authority will be incorporated into the special consumer affairs compliance examinations. The special examinations are to be uniform among all Federal Reserve Banks. 428 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 T h e E d u c a t io n P r o g r a m The Board has directed each Federal Reserve Bank to establish an educational and advisory service for all member banks (including national banks). To carry out this program, each Reserve Bank will be prepared to send a specialist to any member bank that requests such a service. The purpose of the visits is to assist member bankers to develop appropriate policies, proce dures, and forms in the consumer credit protection area, and to answer questions of bank personnel regarding the consumer credit protection laws and regulations, and compliance with them. These specialists, in most cases, will receive special training through attendance at consumer affairs schools at the Federal Reserve Board. T h e S p e c ia l E x a m in a t io n P r o g r a m Aspects of this program not already cited are as follows: 1. The program will begin with a test period running through the end of 1978, after which the results will be evaluated and any indicated changes will be made. 2. Each Federal Reserve Bank will conduct a special examination of every State member bank in its district once within the next 12 months (through the end of March 1978). Additional ex aminations will be made in the remaining 9 months of the test period if the results of the first special examination indicate that a follow-up examination is needed. 3. Whenever possible, compliance examiners will be selected from the System’s commercial bank examination force. They will be given special training, including attendance at consumer affairs schools conducted at the Board to educate exam iners in consumer credit protection law require ments. Special compliance examiners not drawn from the commercial examiner force will have training also in commercial examination. 4. Generally, compliance examinations will be conducted concurrently with commercial exami nations, but the Reserve Banks may make excep tions in certain circumstances. 5. Manuals explaining the laws and regulations cited above have been developed and will be used by the compliance examiners. 6. Compliance examiners will be provided with special checklists to help make their examinations efficient and comprehensive. 7. The compliance examiners will make use of special instructions in connection with sampling of loan files, reporting of violations and correction of violations, reimbursement of overcharges, and rating of banks for compliance with the consumer credit protection laws and regulations listed above. These instructions include directions for actions to be taken in the various types of violations noted above (violations involving overcharges, discrim inations, and other types of violations). 8. A special examination report to incorporate compliance examiners’ findings has been devel oped, including pages for each consumer law and regulation covered by the compliance examination program. A copy of this report is to be transmitted to the board of directors of the State member bank examined, with a copy to the Federal Reserve Board’s Division of Consumer Affairs. A report summary form has also been developed to be sent to the Board’s Division of Consumer Affairs. REGULATION Z: Amendments The Board of Governors on April 12, 1977, amended its Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) to require advance disclosure of any variable rate clause in a credit contract that may result in an increase in the cost of the credit to the customer. The new rule will become effective October 10, 1977. The amendment adopted was substantially sim ilar to a proposal issued by the Board for public comment last October. The main requirements of the new rule include disclosure of the following: 1. The fact that the annual percentage rate on the transaction is subject to increase. (The October proposal would have applied to all situations in which the annual percentage rate was subject either to an increase or decrease.) 2. The conditions under which the rate may increase, including identification of any index to which the rate is tied, and any limitation on the increase. 3. The manner in which an increase may be effected, including an increase in payment amounts, a change in the number of scheduled payments, or an increase in the amount due at maturity. 4. Numerical examples— in the case of home mortgage transactions only— based on a hypo thetical immediate increase of lA of a percentage Announcements point in the annual percentage rate, effected through a change in the number of scheduled payments, or an increase in the amount of those payments. The requirement for numerical examples for residential mortgages applies to transactions in which a security interest is taken in real property used or expected to be used as the customer’s dwelling and need not be made in transactions primarily for agricultural purposes. The Board of Governors has also amended Regulation Z to permit— but not require— disclo sures called for by the Truth in Lending Act and Regulation Z to be made in Spanish in Puerto Rico. At the customer’s request disclosures must be provided in English. REGULATION H: Amendments The Board of Governors on April 13, 1977, an nounced adoption of four technical amendments to the flood insurance provisions of its Regulation H (Membership of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System) to make the regula tion conform to recent changes in the Flood Dis aster Protection Act of 1973 (“ Flood Act” ). Regulation H now provides, pursuant to the Flood Act, that State member banks may not make, increase, extend, or renew loans on prop erty located in areas identified by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) as a flood-hazard area, unless the property is covered by Federally subsidized flood insurance. The technical amendments to Regulation H adopted by the Board exempt from the flood in surance requirements of the regulation the follow ing: 1. Loans secured by a dwelling occupied as a residence before March 1, 1976. 2. Loans on an office or other building of a small business occupied before January 1, 1976, up to a dollar limit to be established by the Secretary of HUD. The Secretary has proposed a $100,000 ceiling. 3. Improvement or rehabilitation loans on resi dences occupied before January 1, 1976, when such loans do not exceed $5,000. 4. Loans to finance nonresidential additions or improvements on a farm, up to a dollar limit to be established by the Secretary of HUD. The Secretary has proposed a $25,000 ceiling. 429 INTERPRETATIONS The Board of Governors on March 31, 1977, adopted three interpretations intended to clarify certain aspects of its consumer credit protection regulations. The Board adopted an interpretation of Regula tion Z (Truth in Lending) stating that the amount of a dealer’s participation in the finance charge on the credit purchase of an automobile or other durable goods need not be disclosed as a separate part of the finance charge. At the same time, the Board withdrew a proposal that would have re quired disclosure of the fact but not the amount of a dealer’s participation. The Board took these actions because it did not feel that disclosure of a dealer participation in a finance charge would significantly benefit consumers in shopping for credit. At the same time, the Board adopted two tech nical interpretations of its Regulation C (Home Mortgage Disclosure). The Home Mortgage Dis closure Act and Regulation C require depositary institutions with offices in metropolitan areas to disclose publicly the geographic area where they are making their residential mortgage loans. The first technical interpretation permits a de positary institution subject to the act that is major ity owned by another depository to disclose its mortgage loan data separately from that of the parent. The second technical interpretation of Regula tion C clarifies the disclosures that must be made by depositories that were exempt from the provi sions of the act, but lose their exemption. A depository is exempt if (1) it does not have an office in a standard metropolitan statistical area (SMSA), (2) it does not have assets on the last day of its fiscal year of $10 million or more, or (3) it is a State-chartered institution subject to a State disclosure law that the Board has determined imposes disclosure requirements substantially similar to those of the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act. The Board’s interpretation makes it clear that previously exempt institutions that become subject to the act (by extension of an SMSA to cover one or more of its offices or by growth of its assets) may report on their mortgage lending during their last full fiscal year by Postal ZIP code areas and thereafter by Census Bureau census tracts. This is the same treatment accorded depositories in the first year after Regulation C became effective (June 28, 1976). 430 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 REGULATION Q: Proposed Amendment Not Adopted The Board of Governors on April 1, 1977, an nounced that it had determined not to adopt at this time a regulatory proposal to prohibit member banks from paying interest on pooled time deposits of $100,000 or more at a rate above Regulation Q ceilings. In deciding not to adopt the proposed amend ment— issued by the Board in March 1976— the Board noted that in February the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation limited the amount of Fed eral deposit insurance coverage for certain pooled deposits to $40,000 in any one bank. The Board said it believed the FDIC action may minimize the potential for disruptive shifts of funds among depositary institutions as a result of pooling. PROPOSED AMENDMENT AND INTERPRETATION The Board of Governors proposed on April 13, 1977, an amendment to Regulation H (Member ship of State Banking Institutions in the Federal Reserve System) that generally would prohibit State member banks from purchasing loans on improved real estate or mobile homes located in a flood-hazard area if the property is not covered by flood insurance. The Board will receive com ment through May 20, 1977. The Board of Governors also on April 13, 1977, proposed an interpretation of Regulation Z (Truth in Lending) affecting credit-card issuers that bill customers in full on a transaction-by-transaction basis and impose no finance charges. The Board will receive comment through May 16, 1977. search Division Officer, in the Division of Re search and Statistics, effective March 27, 1977. Robert A. Eisenbeis has been appointed Asso ciate Research Division Officer in the Division of Research and Statistics, effective March 27, 1977. Mr. Eisenbeis joined the Board’s staff first in 1967, went to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation in 1968, and returned to the Board in July 1976. He holds an A.B. from Brown University, and M.A. and Ph.D. degrees from the University of Wisconsin. Joseph S. Sims, Washington Information Man ager for the U.S. League of Savings Associations, has been appointed Special Assistant to the Board, effective April 18, 1977. Prior to his association with the U .S. League of Savings Associations, Mr. Sims served as a free-lance writer in Brazil, Deputy Director of Public Affairs for the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, and Manager, Public Relations, for Pan American World Airways in Brazil. He holds an A.B. from Indiana University. The Board has also announced the retirement of Brenton C. Leavitt, Director of the Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation, on March 31, 1977. NEW BANK PRESIDENT The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis has announced that Mark H. Willes has been appointed as President of the Bank to succeed Bruce MacLaury, who resigned in February. Mr. Willes, formerly First Vice President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, began his service at Minneapolis on April 16, 1977. NEW PAMPHLET: Fair Credit Billing CHANGES IN BOARD STAFF The Board of Governors has announced the fol lowing official staff actions: Charles J. Siegman has been promoted from Associate International Division Officer to Senior International Division Officer, in the Division of International Finance, effective March 27, 1977. James R. Wetzel has been promoted from As sociate Research Division Officer to Senior Re The Board of Governors has issued a consumer pamphlet on Fair C redit Billing. It explains how a billing dispute may be resolved in a way that protects an individual’s credit rating. For copies of the pamphlet, or for answers to questions about Fair Credit Billing, write to any Federal Reserve Bank or to the Board of Gover nors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Announcements 431 BOARD PUBLICATIONS: Two Price Changes SYSTEM MEMBERSHIP: Admission of State Banks The Board of Governors has approved distribution of the System book— The F ed era l R e se rv e S ystem : P u rp o ses and F unctions— as a free publication. On April 12, 1977, the Board removed the $1.00 charge that has applied to the book’s sixth edition since it was first issued in September 1974. Also approved was an increase from $2.50 to $7.50 in the charge for P u b lish ed In terp reta tio n s The following State banks were admitted to mem bership in the Federal Reserve System during the period between March 16, 1977, through April 15, 1977: o f the B o a rd o f G o vern o rs o f the F ed era l R e se rv e S y ste m , effective May 1, 1977. This, the first price change since the compilation was originally pub lished in 1961, represents increases in production and mailing costs. C aliforn ia San Rafael ...................... Independent Bankers Trust Company C o lo ra d o Colorado Springs.......Garden of the Gods Bank South C a ro lin a Marion ...................... Colonial State Bank Inc. W yom in g Edgerton ............................Citizens State Bank 432 Industrial Production steel rose sharply; among nondurable goods mate rials, large gains occurred for textiles and paper. R e le a se d fo r p u b lic a tio n A p r il 14 Industrial production in March increased by an estimated 1.4 per cent to 135.1 per cent of the 1967 average, following the 1.0 per cent gain in February. In March, gains in output were wide spread among consumer goods, business equip ment, construction supplies, and materials; but production by utilities declined appreciably. About one-third of the advance in total output reflected a stepped-up pace of motor vehicle production. March output of factories, mines, and utilities was 20.9 per cent above the recession low 2 years earlier and about 2.5 per cent above the pre-reces sion high in June 1974. Output of durable consumer goods increased 5.7 per cent in March, with auto assemblies up 21 per cent to an annual rate of 9.9 million units. Announced schedules for auto assemblies indicate an annual rate for April of 9.4 million units. Output of nondurable consumer goods rose slightly. Production of business equipment in creased 1.5 per cent. Output of materials in March rose by 1.1 per cent. Production gains were widespread in both durable goods and nondurable goods materials. Among durable goods materials, output of iron and Seasonally adjusted, ratio scale, 1967=100 F.R. indexes, seasonally adjusted. Latest figures: M arch. *A uto sales and stocks include imports. Seasonally adjusted, 1967 = 100 Per cent changes from— Industrial production 1977 1976 Dec. Jan. F eb . p Mar. e Month ago .................................... 133.1 132.0 133.3 135.1 Products, total ............................ Final products ......................... Consumer goods ................ Durable goods .............. Nondurable goods ....... Business equipm ent ......... Interm ediate products ........... Construction supplies ....... Materials ....................................... 133.8 132.1 142.0 151.2 138.4 143.2 139.8 135.5 131.9 133.0 130.8 140.1 145.1 138.1 142.0 141.3 135.4 130.5 133.7 131.5 140.9 145.5 139.0 142.9 141.9 135.6 132.5 135.7 133.7 143.4 153.8 139.2 145.1 142.8 137.2 134.0 T o tal P relim in ary . ^Estimated. Year ago Q4 to Q l 1.4 5.5 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 5.7 .1 1.5 .6 1.2 1.1 5.9 5.8 5.4 9.5 3.6 8.3 5.9 6.6 4.5 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.3 1.2 2.5 2.2 .7 .4 A 1 Financial and Business Statistics CONTENTS DOMESTIC FINANCIAL STATISTICS A3 A4 A5 A6 M o n eta ry a g g r eg a te s and in terest rates F actors a ffec tin g m em b er ban k r eser v es R e se r v e s and b o r r o w in g s o f m em b er b an k s F ed eral fu n d s tran saction s o f m o n e y m arket ban ks W eek ly A 20 A 21 A 22 A 23 A 24 A 25 P o l ic y I n s t r u m e n t s A8 F ed eral R e se r v e B an k in terest rates A9 M em b er bank reserv e req u irem en ts A 10 M a x im u m in terest rates p a y a b le on tim e and sa v in g s d e p o s its at F ed er a lly in su red in stitu tio n s A 11 F ed eral R e se r v e o p e n m arket tran saction s A 25 A 26 A 26 A 27 C o n d itio n and F .R . n o te sta tem en ts M aturity d istrib u tion o f lo a n and secu rity h o ld in g s A 28 A 29 M onetary and C r e d it A g g r e g a t e s A 13 A s se ts and L ia b ilitie s o f — A ll rep ortin g b an k s B a n k s in N e w Y ork C ity B a n k s o u tsid e N e w Y ork C ity B a la n c e sh e e t m em oran d a C o m m e rc ia l and ind ustrial lo a n s G ro ss d em a n d d e p o s its o f in d iv id u a ls , p artn ersh ip s, and co rp o ra tio n s F in a n c ia l M a rk ets F ed er a l R eserv e B a n k s A 12 A 13 R e p o r t in g C o m m e r c ia l B a n k s C o m m e rc ia l pap er and b an kers a c c e p ta n c e s ou tsta n d in g P rim e rate c h a rg ed b y b an k s on sh ort-term b u sin e ss lo a n s In terest rates c h a r g ed b y b an k s o n b u sin e ss lo a n s In terest rates in m o n e y and cap ital m arkets S to c k m arket— S e le c te d sta tistic s S a v in g s in stitu tio n s— S e le c te d a sse ts and lia b ilitie s D e m a n d d e p o s it a c c o u n ts— D e b its and rate or turnover A 14 M o n e y sto c k m e a su r es and c o m p o n e n ts A 1 5 A g g r e g a te r eser v es and d e p o s its o f m e m b er b an k s A 1 5 L o a n s and in v e stm e n ts o f all c o m m e r c ia l b an k s A 30 A 31 A 32 F ed eral fiscal and fin a n cin g o p era tio n s U.S. B u d g e t r ec eip ts and o u tla y s F ed eral d eb t su b ject to statu tory lim ita tio n A 32 C o m m e r c ia l B a n k A sse t s A 33 G ro ss p u b lic d eb t o f U.S. T reasu ry— T y p e s and o w n e r sh ip U.S. G o v er n m e n t m ark etab le se c u r itie s— O w n e r sh ip , b y m aturity U.S. G o v er n m e n t se c u r itie s d e a ler s— T r a n sa c tio n s, p o s itio n s , and fin a n cin g and L ia b il it ie s A 16 L a st-W e d n e s d a y -o f-m o n th se ries A 17 C a ll-d a te se r ie s A 1 8 D e ta ile d b a la n ce sh e e t, June 3 0 , 1 9 7 6 F e d e r a l F in a n c e A 34 A 35 F ed eral and F ed er a lly sp o n so re d cred it a g e n c ie s — D e b t ou tsta n d in g A2 Federal Reserve Bulletin □ April 1977 S e c u r it ie s M arkets a n d C orpo rate F in a n c e A36 New security issues— State and local government and corporate A37 Corporate securities—Net change in amounts outstanding A37 Open-end investment companies—Net sales and asset position A3 8 Corporate profits and their distribution A3 8 Nonfinancial corporations—Assets and liabilities A39 Business expenditures on new plant and equipment R eal E state A40 Mortgage markets A41 Mortgage debt outstanding INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS A54 U.S. international transactions— Summary A55 U.S. foreign trade A55 U.S. reserve assets A56 Selected U.S. liabilities to foreigners and to foreign official institutions R eported A57 A59 A60 A61 by B Short-term Long-term Short-term Long-term a n k s in A42 Total outstanding and net change A43 Extensions and liquidations Flow of Funds A44 Funds raised in U.S. credit markets A45 Direct and indirect sources of funds to credit markets DOMESTIC NONFINANCIAL STATISTICS A46 Nonfinancial business activity— Selected measures A47 Output, capacity, and capacity utilization A47 Labor force, employment, and unemployment A48 Industrial production A50 Housing and construction A51 Consumer and wholesale prices A52 Gross national product and income A53 Personal income and saving U n it e d Sta tes: liabilities to foreigners liabilities to foreigners claims on foreigners claims on foreigners A62 Foreign branches of U.S. banks— Balance sheet data S e c u r it ie s H o l d in g s C o n s u m e r In s t a l m e n t C r e d it the and T r a n s a c t io n s A64 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes—Foreign holdings and transactions A64 Foreign official accounts A65 Foreign transactions in securities R epo rted the by N o n b a n k in g Concerns in U n it e d S t a t e s : A66 Short-term liabilities to and claims on foreigners A67 Long-term liabilities to and claims on foreigners In t e r e s t and E x c h a n g e R ates A68 Discount rates of foreign central banks A68 Foreign short-term interest rates A68 Foreign exchange rates A69 Guide to Tabular Presentation and Statistical Releases Domestic Financial Statistics A3 1.10 MONETARY AGGREGATES AND INTEREST RATES 1977 1976 Item Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql 1976 Nov. 1977 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Monetary and credit aggregates (annual rates of change, seasonally adjusted in per cent)1 Member bank reserves 0.6 1.1 0.4 2.7 2.4 2.6 4.4 4.0 4.8 11.8 10.5 12.6 4.9 4.3 5.6 10.9 11.3 10.4 -13.1 -10.9 -13.3 8.2 10.5 11.8 4.2 9.2 11.4 6.3 12.3 14.3 0.0 10.1 12.3 8.1 12.6 13.0 5.4 9.2 M l.3 0.8 6.8 8.6 Commercial banks: T otal........................................................................... Other than large C D ’s ............................................ Thrift institutions 2 ..................................................... 5.4 12.4 13.7 7.3 13.0 14.8 11.8 16.8 17.3 15.3 17.6 15.6 16.1 15.6 M3.9 10.0 12.4 r 14.0 10.2 11.1 11.4 10 Total loans and investments at commercial banks 3 5.4 6.0 8.7 1 2 3 T otal............................................................................... Required........................................................................ Nonborrowed............................................................... Concepts of money 1 4 5 6 M - l................................................................................. M -2................................................................................. M -3................................................................................. Time and savings deposits 7 8 9 Interest rates (levels, per cent per annum) 11 12 13 14 Short-term rates Federal funds 4................................................................... Treasury bills (3-month market yield) 5........................... Commercial paper (90- to 119-day) 6............................... Federal Reserve discount 7................................................ 5.19 5.16 5.45 5.50 5.28 5.15 5.41 5.50 4.88 4.67 4.91 5.39 4.66 4.63 4.74 5.25 4.95 4.75 4.98 5.43 4.65 4.35 4.66 5.25 4.61 4.62 4.72 5.25 4.68 4.67 4.76 5.25 4.69 4.60 4.75 5.25 15 16 17 Long-term rates Bonds: U.S. Govt. 8.................................................................... Aaa utility (new issue) 9................................................ State and local government 10...................................... 8.01 8.69 6.78 7.90 8.48 6.64 7.54 8.15 6.18 7.62 8.17 5.88 7.64 8.17 6.29 7.30 7.94 5.94 7.48 8.08 5.87 7.64 8.22 5.89 7.74 8.25 5.89 18 Conventional mortgages **............................................... 8.98 9.03 8.95 8.95 8.90 8.80 8.80 8.85 1 M-l equals currency plus private demand deposits adjusted. M-2 equals M-l plus bank time and savings deposits other than large CD’s. M-3 equals M-2 plus deposits at mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, and credit union shares. 2 Savings and loan associations, mutual savings banks, and credit unions. 3 Quarterly changes calculated from figures shown in Table 1.23. 4 Seven-day averages of daily effective rates (average of the rates on a given date weighted by the volume of transactions at those rates). 5 Quoted on a bank-discount rate basis. 6 Most representative offering rate quoted by five dealers. 7 Rate for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. 8 Market yields adjusted to a 20-year maturity by the U.S. Treasury. 9 Weighted averages of new publicly offered bonds rated Aaa, Aa, and A by Moody’s Investors Service and adjusted to an Aaa basis. Federal Reserve compilations. 10 Bond Buyer series for 20 issues of mixed quality. 11 Average rates on new commitments for conventional first mortgages on new homes in primary markets, unweighted and rounded to nearest 5 basis points, from Dept, of Housing and Urban Development. 12 Unless otherwise noted, rates of change are calculated from average amounts outstanding in preceding month or quarter. A4 1.11 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 F A C T O R S A F F E C T IN G M E M B E R B A N K R E S E R V E S Millions of dollars Monthly averages of daily figures 1977 1976 Factor End-of-month figures 1977 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.p Jan. Feb. Mar.P 105,880 107,270 106,522 107,632 108,700 109,021 108,101 107,253 108,413 108,728 93,412 94,513 95,843 95,310 94.134 95,837 95,987 94,905 95,547 SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 1 Reserve Bank credit outstanding.. . . 0 3 4 91,966 93,535 92,659 91,031 92,905 94,674 1,608 1,169 997 6,846 6,782 Bought outright......................... Held under repurchase agree- 89,926 Federal agency securities,............. 6,831 68 82 44 111 92 59 32 Other Federal Reserve assets. . . . 447 75 2,880 3,681 323 66 2,763 3,744 326 84 3,094 3,511 457 62 3,536 3,249 413 61 3,514 3,315 330 79 2,899 3,024 11,598 11,598 11,598 11,598 11,638 703 10,737 1,123 10,778 1,200 10,826 1,200 10,865 1,200 10,897 89,863 442 90,312 482 91,988 458 93,730 464 Foreign........................................... Other.............................................. 8,270 249 1,071 9,199 266 1,012 6,709 259 947 6,138 306 974 20 Other F.R. liabilities and capital. . . . 21 Member bank reserves with F.R. Banks............................................. 3,315 3,372 3,326 3,253 3,223 3,224 3,206 3,475 3,630 3,457 25,708 26,127 26,458 26,430 27,229 25,725 25,865 23,411 22,916 27,074 5 6 7 Bought outright......................... Held under repurchase agree- 8 9 10 11 12 Gold stock......................................... 13 Special Drawing Rights certificate 14 Treasury currency outstanding........ 2,040 6,763 91,886 91,527 1,649 1,132 2,381 6,839 6,848 6,916 6,757 6,804 6,805 94,313 94.134 932 440 6.790 6,844 6,785 77 54 289 111 2,848 2,761 191 47 2,482 3,609 322 24 2,595 2,791 280 270 2,547 2,859 11,658 11,646 11,658 11,650 11,636 1,200 10,930 1,200 10,966 1,200 10,865 1,200 10,884 1,200 10,990 92,582 461 91,753 499 92,831 494 91,164 502 91,697 506 93,415 471 7,850 269 820 10,698 294 616 8,577 271 669 11,397 383 642 12,179 362 856 7,150 349 637 6,884 6,792 6,787 6,750 6.790 6,767 6,731 ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 15 16 Deposits, other than member bank reserves with F.R. Banks: 17 18 19 Weekly averages of daily figures for weeks ending— Wednesday figures 1977 1977 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23*> Mar. 30*> Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23*> Mar. 30p SUPPLYING RESERVE FUNDS 109,068 22 Reserve Bank credit outstanding. . . . 110,353 106,909 105,067 110,049 109,386 110,136 105,929 103,964 115,106 23 24 25 U.S. Govt, securities *..................... 96,930 92.611 96,387 94,976 95,455 92.669 90.359 92.611 96,996 92.669 94.193 96,758 99,864 95,124 94.193 90.359 94,855 96,112 26 27 28 Federal agency securities ................ 1,806 6,882 6,770 6.767 6.767 6.744 6.744 1,893 6,778 6,744 2,020 6,815 6,744 932 6,844 6,767 6.767 6.767 6,744 6,744 5,009 6,903 6,744 6.744 6.744 34 71 77 29 30 31 32 Acceptances................................... Loans............................................. Float.............................................. Other Federal Reserve assets. . . . 111 2 , 111 20 3,098 2,653 174 24 2,816 2,698 341 339 3,035 2,798 444 58 2,191 2,883 326 41 3,861 2,677 174 33 3,598 2,688 171 29 3,858 2,803 460 2,196 2,762 2,921 155 149 2,937 2,971 11,655 11,651 11,651 11,647 11,636 11,651 11,651 11,651 11,636 11,636 1,200 10,931 1,200 10,953 1,200 10,962 1,200 10,969 1,200 10,986 1,200 10,939 1,200 10,957 1,200 10,962 1,200 10,979 1,200 10,990 91,814 505 92,273 509 93,084 504 93,086 492 93,013 470 92,125 500 92,975 508 93,382 493 93,219 491 93,469 471 11,588 283 833 8,696 256 703 5,803 301 676 9,800 251 649 9,182 259 592 11,614 277 735 7,082 249 707 4,274 243 781 10,764 261 525 7,769 288 563 Bought outright........................ Held under repurchase agree- Bought outright......................... Held under repurchase agree ment ................................. 33 Gold stock........................................ 34 Special Drawing Rights certificate account ........................................ 35 Treasury currency outstanding........ 112 462 30 3,331 94,865 96,112 159 ABSORBING RESERVE FUNDS 36 Currency in circulation.................... 37 Treasury cash holdings..................... Deposits, other than member bank reserves with F.R. Banks: Treasury......................................... 38 Foreign.......................................... 39 Other.............................................. 40 41 Other F.R. liabilities and capital. .. 42 Member bank reserves with F.R. Banks............................................. 3,390 2,998 3,131 3,273 3,375 3,030 3,071 3,191 3,346 3,426 25,725 25,278 25,381 26,312 26,316 25,645 25,145 25,413 30,315 26,907 1 Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. Govt, securities N o t e .—For amounts of currency and coin held as reserves, see Table pledged with F.R. Banks—and excludes (if any) securities sold and sched1.12. uled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. Member Banks A5 1.12 RESERVES AND BORROWINGS Member Banks Millions o f dollars Monthly averages of daily figures Reserve classification 1975 Dec. All member banks Reserves: At F.R. Banks................... Currency and coin............ Total held 1......................... Required......................... Excess1........................... Borrowings at F.R. Banks:2 Total................................... Seasonal............................. 8 9 10 11 Large banks in New York City Reserves held .......................... Required............................. Excess................................. Borrowings2........................... 12 13 14 15 Large banks in Chicago Reserves held .............. Required................. Excess..................... Borrowings2............... 16 17 18 19 Other large banks Reserves held. .. Required....... Excess............ Borrowings2___ 20 21 22 23 All other banks Reserves held. Required... Excess........ Borrowings2.. 1976 July Aug. Sept. 1977 Oct. Nov. 27,215 7,773 25,933 8,064 26,001 7,989 25,708 8,113 26,127 8,025 34,989 34,146 34,141 33,979 26,458 8,180 34,305 34,797 34,727 262 127 13 6,812 34,076 70 13,061 127 38 27,229 8,913 25,725 8,326 34,199 34,149 61 8 79 12 111 13 6,310 34,964 172 66 32 84 21 6,507 6,559 6,372 6,374 6,589 35,796 494 62 12 6,520 1,672 13,188 34,433 364 1,690 -1 8 13 12,633 12,660 -2 7 11 13,334 13,178 156 62 6,501 58 28 1,684 1,625 59 6 12,610 12,549 61 20 13,288 13,169 119 50 6,308 64 22 1,615 1,617 -2 3 12,584 12,521 63 3 13,408 13,246 162 47 6,346 28 6,485 104 36 1,648 1,621 1,635 13 3 12,704 12,706 -2 17 13,579 13,429 150 46 1,602 19 12,889 12,802 87 7 13,698 13,544 154 41 Mar.? 36,290 75 31 1,740 13,160 89 26 34,116 189 Feb. 26,430 8,548 104 28 6,i48 -4 1 37 13,249 33,692 287 Jan. 35,136 123 24 6,748 64 63 1,758 -1 8 33,844 297 Dec. 34,234 -3 5 25,865 8,138 33,879 270 7,076 6,442 6,602 -8 2 15 6,948 128 6 6,537 -9 5 47 1,632 1,731 1.624 1,609 1,698 33 2 1.624 1,613 -4 3 13,117 13,556 13,427 129 25 12,683 12,645 13,053 64 14 13,867 13,927 13,450 13,415 Mar. 23^ Mar. 30^ 1,641 —9 4 13,668 199 29 13,723 204 28 12,765 -8 2 4 13,308 142 28 6,259 51 44 12,700 -5 5 30 13,307 108 34 Weekly averages of daily figures for weeks ending1977 Jan. 26 All member banks Reserves: At F.R. Banks................... Currency and coin............ Total held 1......................... Required......................... Excess1........................... Borrowings at F.R. Banks:2 Total................................... Seasonal............................. 31 32 33 34 Large banks in New York City Reserves held ......................... Required............................. Excess................................. Borrowings2........................... 35 36 37 38 Large banks in Chicago Reserves held .............. Required................. Excess..................... Borrowings2............... 39 40 41 42 Other large banks Reserves held . . . Required....... Excess............ Borrowings 2. . . . 43 44 45 46 Feb. 2 Feb. 9 Feb. 16 27,233 8,812 26,328 8,797 25,684 8,763 36,193 25,837 8,568 26,416 7,594 35,275 34,595 34,553 34,157 35,769 424 35,145 130 34,339 256 34,389 164 Feb. 23 33,928 229 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 25,725 8,212 25,278 8,181 25,381 8,500 33,607 34,029 26,312 7,498 26,316 8,299 34,083 33,955 34,759 33,933 150 33,334 273 33,861 168 33,843 112 34,440 319 89 8 86 11 75 12 129 13 36 11 30 12 20 11 24 11 339 13 58 14 7,010 6,623 6,621 6,706 6,439 6,326 5,993 6,385 6,164 6,501 1,628 1,621 1,643 1,552 1,669 12,699 12,686 12,623 12,642 -1 9 1 12,579 12,903 12,549 137 1 12,653 -74 117 12,940 -3 7 11 13,430 13,307 13,378 13,463 13,566 6,915 95 6,663 -40 41 6,596 25 43 6,714 -8 98 6,391 48 7 1,632 1,662 1,632 1,670 1,596 13,542 13,119 12,857 12,765 12,709 12,809 -4 4 3 12,618 91 13,871 13,485 13,412 13,413 1,616 16 13,385 157 58 1,666 -4 13,155 -3 6 19 1,605 27 12,782 75 7 1,654 16 1,621 -2 5 6,362 -3 6 1,593 35 12,730 -3 1 1 5,988 5 1,616 5 6,380 5 1,631 12 6,234 -7 0 167 1,575 -2 3 6,401 100 1,638 31 14 All other banks Reserves held. Required... Excess........ Borrowings2.. 14,009 13,853 156 31 13,661 210 26 13,356 129 25 13,212 200 28 13,298 115 29 13,248 182 29 13,181 126 19 13,208 170 23 13,381 82 55 13,461 105 33 1 Adjusted to include waivers of penalties for reserve deficiencies in nonmember bank joins the Federal Reserve System. For weeks for which accordance with Board policy, effective Nov. 19, 1975, of permitting figures are preliminary, figures by class of bank do not add to total transitional relief on a graduated basis over a 24-month period when a because adjusted data by class are not available. nonmember bank merges into an existing member bank, or when a 2 Based on closing figures. A6 1.13 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 F E D E R A L F U N D S T R A N S A C T IO N S o f M on ey M arket Banks M illions o f dollars, except as noted 1977, week ending— Type Feb. 2 Feb. 9 Feb. 16 Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 Total, 46 banks Basic reserve position Excess reserves1.................................... L ess : 2 Borrowings at F.R . B an k s............ 3 N et interbank Federal funds transactions............................... E quals : N et surplus, or deficit ( —): 4 A m ou n t................................................ 5 Per cent o f average required 1 13 73 9 95 37 46 91 7 14,175 18,004 17,687 16,755 15,664 18,027 79 124 49 19 147 241 14 18,488 16,396 14,363 - 1 4 ,1 9 9 - 1 7 ,9 7 7 -1 7 ,7 7 0 - 1 6 ,6 6 6 - 1 5 ,5 8 5 - 1 7 ,9 0 3 - 1 8 ,4 3 9 - 1 6 ,6 1 8 - 1 4 ,2 3 1 reserves .................................. 92.8 119.9 116.9 113.5 106.3 125.7 125.3 114.5 95.5 Interbank Federal funds transactions Gross transactions: 6 P u rchases............................................ 7 Sales...................................................... 8 T w o-way transactions2 ....................... N et transactions: 9 Purchases o f net buying b a n k s... 10 Sales o f net selling b a n k s.............. 21,637 7 ,4 6 2 5 ,5 6 4 24,143 6 ,139 5,041 23,795 6,1 0 8 4 ,7 5 6 23,441 22,763 7 ,0 9 9 5 ,3 5 8 2 4 ,4 7 8 6,451 4 ,8 6 4 25,141 6 ,6 5 3 4 ,6 2 0 23,263 5 ,2 0 0 6,868 4 ,5 7 4 2 2 ,8 1 9 8,4 5 7 5,3 3 8 16,073 1,898 19,102 1,098 19,039 1,352 18,241 1,487 17,405 1,741 19,614 1,588 20,521 2 ,0 3 4 18,689 2 ,2 9 3 17,481 3 ,1 1 8 3,0 6 0 1,864 1,196 2,541 1,513 1,028 2 ,7 4 8 1,380 1,369 2 ,437 1,775 662 2 ,5 6 0 2 ,0 0 8 553 3,489 1,829 1,660 4 ,4 9 6 1,671 2,8 2 5 2,8 1 9 1,892 927 2 ,4 6 9 1,895 574 -1 8 -2 4 51 11 12 13 R elated transactions with U .S . Govt, securities dealers Loans to dealers3.................................. Borrowing from dealers4 ................... N et loan s........... ...................................... 6,686 8 banks in N ew Basic reserve position Excess reserves1.................................... L ess : 15 Borrowings at F R Banks 16 N et interbank Federal funds transactions............................... E quals : N et surplus, or deficit ( —): 17 A m ou n t................................................ 18 Per cent o f average required 14 reserves .................................. 22 23 Interbank Federal funds transactions Gross transactions: Purchases............................................. S ales...................................................... Two-way transactions2 ....................... N et transactions: Purchases o f net buying b ank s. . . Sales o f net selling b a n k s.............. 24 25 26 Related transactions with U .S. Govt, securities dealers Loans to dealers3.................................. Borrowing from dealers4 ................... N et loan s................................................. 19 20 21 York City -2 3 -11 -8 29 37 32 89 7 4,233 5 ,6 2 6 6,191 5,611 4 ,7 0 9 6 ,3 5 3 6 ,8 9 4 4,901 4 ,9 8 4 - 4 ,2 9 3 - 5 ,6 8 0 - 6 ,2 8 8 -5 ,5 8 9 -4 ,7 1 6 -6 ,3 5 3 -6 ,9 1 2 -5 ,0 7 9 - 4 ,9 3 3 70.9 94.5 102.6 96.4 81.6 117.1 118.7 89.5 84.6 5 ,557 1,324 1,324 6 ,623 997 997 6 ,9 3 2 742 742 6 ,6 0 4 994 994 5 ,8 0 7 1,098 1,097 7 ,2 7 5 922 922 6 ,5 0 3 609 609 5 ,9 3 6 1,035 1,035 6 ,1 7 2 1,188 1,187 4,2 3 3 5,6 2 6 6,191 5,611 4 ,7 1 0 6 ,3 5 3 6 ,8 9 4 4,901 4 ,9 8 4 1,671 765 906 1,516 680 836 1,809 621 1,187 1,602 648 954 1,611 795 816 2 ,0 4 0 822 1,218 2 ,4 8 0 788 1,702 1,593 871 722 1,353 804 549 67 43 75 -7 153 38 banks outside N ew York City Basic reserve position Excess reserves1.................................... L ess : 28 Borrowings at F R Banks 29 N et interbank Federal funds transactions............................... E quals : N et surplus, or deficit ( —): 30 A m ou n t............................................... 31 Per cent o f average required 27 reserves.................................. 35 36 Interbank Federal funds transactions Gross transactions: Purchases............................................ Sales...................................................... Two-way transactions2 ....................... N et transactions: Purchases o f net buying b an k s. . . Sales o f net selling b a n k s.............. 37 38 39 R elated transactions with U .S . Govt, securities dealers Loans to dealers3.................................. Borrowing from dealers4.................... N et loan s.................................................. 32 33 34 For notes see end o f table. 36 84 17 3 3 9 ,9 4 2 12,378 11,496 11,144 10,955 11,674 11,594 11,495 9 ,3 7 9 - 9 ,9 0 5 - 1 2 ,2 9 7 - 1 1 ,4 8 2 - 1 1 ,0 7 7 - 1 0 ,8 6 9 - 1 1 ,5 5 0 - 1 1 ,5 2 7 - 1 1 ,5 3 9 - 9 ,3 1 8 107.1 136.9 126.5 124.7 122.4 131.0 129.7 130.5 102.5 16,080 6 ,1 3 8 4 ,2 4 0 17,520 5 ,1 4 2 4,0 4 3 16,862 5 ,3 6 6 4 ,0 1 4 16,837 5,6 9 3 4,207 16,956 4 ,2 6 0 17,203 5,5 2 9 3 ,942 17,638 6 ,0 4 4 4,011 17,328 5,833 3,539 16,648 7 ,2 6 9 4,151 11,840 1,898 13,476 1,098 12,848 1 ,3 5 2 12,630 1,487 12,696 1,741 13,262 1,588 13,627 2 ,0 3 4 13,788 2 ,2 9 3 12,497 3 ,1 1 8 1,390 1,025 833 192 940 758 181 835 1,127 -2 9 2 950 1,213 -2 6 4 1,449 1,007 442 2 ,0 1 6 893 1,123 1,226 1,117 1,091 25 1,100 290 67 85 124 88 6,001 1,022 205 14 Federal Funds Al 1.13 Continued 1977, week ending— Type Feb. 2 Feb. 9 Feb. 16 Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 5 banks in City of Chicago 40 Basic reserve position Excess reserves1......................... 13 26 42 24 44 17 L ess: 41 42 Borrowings at F.R. Banks. .. Net interbank Federal funds transactions..................... 14 5,506 5,994 : Net surplus, or deficit ( — ): Amount................................. -5,494 -5,968 -5,623 Per cent o f average required reserves .......................... 352.6 398.3 363.2 6,280 774 743 6,839 844 828 5,537 31 333 257 75 5,972 6,182 6,105 -5,747 -5,941 -6,158 -6,061 -6,143 -5 ,6 1 5 378.7 399.3 408.0 401.6 419.1 367.4 6,473 807 807 6,784 1,032 1,035 6,893 921 921 6,8 706 707 6,850 745 745 6,794 658 658 6,575 958 958 6,011 17 5,665 5,749 7 5,972 6,182 6,105 6,136 5,617 298 235 62 254 402 -148 174 488 -314 205 525 -320 413 412 1 460 393 67 310 493 -183 226 481 -255 79 5,617 E q ua ls 43 44 48 49 Interbank Federal funds transactions Gross transactions: Purchases.................................... Sales............................................ Two-way transactions2................. Net transactions: Purchases of net buying banks.. Sales of net selling banks.......... 50 51 52 Related transactions with U.S. Govt, securities dealers Loans to dealers 3................. Borrowing from dealers4. . . Net loans............................... 45 46 47 33 other banks 53 Basic reserve position Excess reserves1......................... 58 Borrowings at F.R. Banks. .. Net interbank Federal funds transactions..................... -2 5 50 3 L ess: 54 55 3 88 4,436 6,384 5,841 5,402 4,982 5,492 5,489 5,359 3,762 Net surplus, or deficit ( — ): Amount................................. -4,412 -6,329 -5,859 -5,330 -4,928 -5,392 -5 ,4 6 6 -5,396 -3,683 Per cent o f average required reserves.......................... 57.4 84.5 77.8 72.4 6 6 .7 73.8 74.1 73.2 48.9 9,800 5,364 3,497 10,681 4,298 3,216 10,390 4,559 3,207 10,053 4,651 3,172 10,063 5,080 3,339 10,315 4,823 3,235 10,788 5,299 3,266 10,533 5,175 2,882 10,073 6,311 3,193 6,303 1,868 7,465 1,082 7,183 1,352 6,881 1,480 6,723 1,741 7,080 1,588 7,522 2,034 7,652 2,293 6,880 3,118 1,057 842 215 727 598 130 685 356 329 661 639 22 744 688 57 1,036 595 441 1,555 500 1.056 916 528 388 891 611 280 E qua ls : 56 57 52 Interbank Federal funds transactions Gross transactions: Purchases.................................... Sales............................................ Two-way transactions2 ................. . Net transactions: Purchases of net buying banks... Sales of net selling banks........... 53 54 Related transactions with U.S. Govt, securities dealers Loans to dealers3................. Borrowing from dealers4. . . 58 59 60 61 55 N e t l o a n s ___________________ 1 Based on reserve balances, including adjustments to include waivers of penalties for reserve deficiencies in accordance with changes in Board policy effective Nov. 19, 1975. 2 Derived from averages for individual banks for entire week. Figure for each bank indicates extent to which the bank’s average purchases and sales are offsetting. 3 Federal funds loaned, net funds supplied to each dealer by clearing banks, repurchase agreements (purchases from dealers subject to resale), or other lending arrangements. 4 Federal funds borrowed, net funds acquired from each dealer by clearing banks, reverse repurchase agreements (sales of securities to dealers subject to repurchase), resale agreements, and borrowings secured by U.S. Govt, or other securities. N o t e . — Weekly averages of daily figures. For description of series, see Federal Reserve B u l l e t i n for August 1964, pp. 944-53. Back data for 46 banks appear in the Board’s Annual Statistical Digest, 1971-1975, Table 3. A8 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 1.14 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK INTEREST RATES Per cent per annum Current and recent levels Loans to member banks— Federal Reserve Bank Loans to all others under last par. Sec. 134 Under Sec. 10(b)2 Under Secs. 13 and 13a1 Special rate3 Regular rate Boston.................. New Y ork............ Philadelphia.......... Cleveland............. Richmond............ Atlanta................. Chicago................ St. Louis............... Minneapolis.......... Kansas City.......... Dallas................... San Francisco. . . . 5% 5Va 5V4 5V4 5V4 5V4 51/4 5V4 5V4 5V4 51/4 5 lA Effective date Previous rate Rate on 3/31/77 Effective date Previous rate Rate on 3/31/77 Effective date3 Previous rate 11/22/76 Rate on 3/31/77 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/26/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6lA 6V 4 6lA 6V 4 6Va 6Va 6 lA 6V 4 6V 4 6V 4 6V4 6V 4 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/26/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/26/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 5V4 sy 4 5V4 53/4 sy 4 534 534 sy 4 534 5*A 534 Rate on 3/31/77 Effective date Previous rate 81/4 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11 /22/76 11/26/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 11/22/76 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 714-734 71/4- 73/4 714 634-714 634 6V4-634 614 734 714 714 634 634 8i/4 81/4 8i/4 81/4 81/4 Wa 81/4 81/4 814 8i/& 8V 4 Range of rates in recent years5 Effective date In effect Dec. 31, 1970....... 1971—Jan. Feb. July Nov. Dec. 8................... 15................... 19................... 22................... 29................... 13................... 19................... 16................... 23................... 11................... 19................... 13................... 17................... 24................... Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 5% 5% 514-5 % 51/4 5 -514 5 -514 5 434-5 434 434-5 5 434-5 434 4%-43/4 4%-434 4% 514 514 51/4 5 5 5 434 5 5 5 434 434 4% 4% Effective date Range (or level)— All F.R. Banks F.R. Bank of N.Y. 1973—Jan. 15................. Feb. 26.................. Mar. 2.................. Apr. 23................. May 4.................. 11.................. 18.................. June 11.................. 15.................. July 2................. Aug. 14................. 23................. 5 5-5% 5% 5% - 5% 5% 5%-6 6 6-6% 6% 7 7-7% 7% 5 5% 5% 5% 1974—Apr. 25................. 30................. Dec. 9................. 16................. 7%-8 8 7%-8 8 8 7% 1 Discounts of eligible paper and advances secured by such paper or by U.S. Govt, obligations or any other obligations eligible for F.R. Bank purchase. 2 Advances secured to the satisfaction of the F.R. Bank. Advances secured by mortgages on 1- to 4-family residential property are made at the Section 13 rate. 3 Applicable to special advances described in Section 201.2(e)(2) of Regulation A. m S* 6 6% 6% 7 7% 7% m Effective date 1975—Jan. 6.................. 10.................. 24.................. Feb. 5................. 7................. Mar. 10................. 14................. May 16................. 23................. 1976—Jan. 19................. 23.................. Nov. 22................. 26................. In effect Mar. 31, 1977. .. 6-614 6 614 614 6 6 5%-6 5% 5% 5%' 51/4-5% 514 514 514 514 5Y4 4 Advances to individuals, partnerships, or corporations other than member banks secured by direct obligations of, or obligations fully guaranteed as to principal and interest by, the U.S. Govt, or any agency thereof. 5 Rates under Secs. 13 and 13a (as described above). For description and earlier data, see the following publications of the Board of Governors: Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1914-1941, Banking and Monetary Statistics, 1941-1970, and Annual Statistical Digest, 1971-75. Policy Instruments A9 1.15 MEMBER BANK RESERVE REQUIREMENTS1 Per cent o f deposits Type of deposit, and deposit interval in millions of dollars Requirements in effect Mar. 31, 1977 Previous requirements Per cent Effective date Per cent Effective date 7 9% 11 % m 161/4 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 12/30/76 10 12 13 16Vt 2/13/75 2/13/75 2/13/75 2/13/75 2/13/75 3 3/16/67 3% 3/2/67 3 4 2% 41 3/16/67 1/8/76 10/30/75 3% 3 3 3/2/67 3/16/67 3/16/67 6 4 2% 41 12/12/74 1/8/76 10/30/75 5 3 3 Net demand:2 10-100............................................................................................ 100-400.......................................................................................... Over 400......................................................................................... Time:2,3 Savings............................................................................................ Other time: 0-5, maturing in— 180 days to 4 years................................................................ Over 5, maturing in— nyA 10/1/70 12/12/74 12/12/74 Legal limits, Mar. 31, 1977 Minimum Net demand: Reserve city banks......................................................................... Other banks................................................................................... 10 7 3 Maximum 22 14 10 (c) Member banks are required under the Board’s Regulation M to maintain reserves against foreign branch deposits computed on the basis of net balances due from domestic offices to their foreign branches and 2 (a) Requirement schedules are graduated, and each deposit interval against foreign branch loans to U.S. residents. Loans aggregating $100,000 applies to that part of the deposits of each bank. Demand deposits or less to any U.S. resident are excluded from computations, as are total subject to reserve requirements are gross demand deposits minus cash loans of a bank to U.S. residents if not exceeding $1 million. Regulation D items in process of collection and demand balances due from domestic imposes a similar reserve requirement on borrowings from foreign banks banks. by domestic offices of a member bank. A reserve of 4 per cent is required (b) The Federal Reserve Act specifies different ranges of requirements for each of these classifications. for reserve city banks and for other banks. Reserve cities are designated 3 Negotiable orders of withdrawal (NOW) accounts and time deposits under a criterion adopted effective Nov. 9, 1972, by which a bank having such as Christmas and vacation club accounts are subject to the same net demand deposits of more than $400 million is considered to have the requirements as savings deposits. character of business of a reserve city bank. The presence of the head 4 The average of reserves on savings and other time deposits must be office of such a bank constitutes designation of that place as a reserve at least 3 per cent, the minimum specified by law. city. Cities in which there are F.R. Banks or branches are also reserve cities. Any banks having net demand deposits of $400 million or less N o t e .—Required reserves must be held in the form of deposits with are considered to have the character of business of banks outside of F.R. Banks or vault cash. reserve cities and are permitted to maintain reserves at ratios set for banks not in reserve cities. For details, see the Board’s Regulation D. 1 For changes in reserve requirements beginning 1963, see Board’s Annual Statistical Digest, 1971-1975 and for prior changes, see Board’s Annual Report for 1975, Table 13. A 10 1.16 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 M A X IM U M IN T E R E S T R A T E S P A Y A B L E on T im e and Savings D ep o sits a t F ed erally Insured In stitu tion s Per cent per annum Commercial banks In effect Mar. 31, 1977 Type and maturity of deposit Per cent Time (multiple- and single-maturity unless otherwise indicated):2 30-89 days: 3 Multiple-maturity........................... 4 Single-maturity................................ 5 6 90 days to 1 year: Multiple-maturity........................... Single-maturity................................ 7 8 9 1 to 2 years3 ......................................... 2 to 2Yi years3..................................... 2 Yz to 4 years...................................... 10 11 4 to 6 years.......................................... 6 years or more................................... 12 Governmental units (all maturities). Previous maximum Effective date 5 Per cent 1/1/74 7/1/73 / 5 } 5Vi 6 61/2 7/1/73 7/1/73 71/4 71/2 11/1/73 12/23/74 7% / \ 12/23/74 5% Per cent 5 (4) Effective date 1/1/74 ( 5) 1/21/70 9/26/66 } 7/20/66 9/26/66 } 2534 (4) 5Yz 53/4 53/4 1/21/70 1/21/70 1/21/70 } 6i/2 6% (4) (4) C) 7Y4 11/1/73 71/2 m 11/1/73 12/23/74 71/2 11/1/73 7Yz 11/27/74 i iA 12/23/74 71/2 11/27/74 41/2 5 5 I \ Previous maximum Effective date 5 7/1/73 } 1/21/70 41/2 1 For authorized States only. Federally insured commercial banks, savings and loan associations, cooperative banks, and mutual savings banks were first permitted to offer NOW accounts on Jan. 1, 1974. Authorization to issue NOW accounts was extended to similar institu tions throughout New England on Feb. 27, 1976. 2 For exceptions with respect to certain foreign time deposits see the Federal Reserve B u l l e t in for October 1962 (p. 1279), August 1965 (p. 1094), and February 1968 (p. 167). 3 A minimum of $1,000 is required for savings and loan associations, except in areas where mutual savings banks permit lower minimum de nominations. This restriction was removed for deposits maturing in less than 1 year, effective Nov. 1, 1973. 4 July 1, 1973, for mutual savings banks; July 6, 1973, for savings and loan associations. 5 Oct. 1, 1966, for mutual savings banks; Jan. 21, 1970, for savings and loan associations. 6 No separate account category. 7 Between July 1, 1973, and Oct. 31, 1973, there was no ceiling for certificates maturing in 4 years or more with minimum denominations of $1,000; however, the amount of such certificates that an institution could issue was limited to 5 per cent of its total time and savings deposits. Sales in excess of that amount, as well as certificates of less than $1,000, In effect Mar. 31, 1977 Effective date Per cent 7/1/73 5 1 Savings......................................................... 2 Negotiable order o f withdrawal (NOW) accounts1....................................... Savings and loan associations and mutual savings banks { (6) (6) 51/4 / \ 1/21/70 53/4 1/21/70 1/21/70 1/21/70 6 6 (7) were limited to the 6 Yi per cent ceiling on time deposits maturing in 2 Yi years or more. Effective Nov. 1, 1973, the present ceilings were imposed on certificates maturing in 4 years or more with minimum denominations of $1,000. There is no limitation on the amount of these certificates that banks can issue. In December 1975, the Federal regulatory agencies removed the minimum-denomination requirement on time deposits representing funds contributed to an individual retirement account (IRA) established pursuant to the Internal Revenue Code. Similar action was taken for Keogh (H.R. 10) plans in November 1976. N o t e — Maximum rates that can be paid by Federally insured commer cial banks, mutual savings banks, and savings and loan associations are established by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the Board of Directors of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Federal Home Loan Bank Board under the provisions of 12 CFR 217, 329, and 526, respectively. The maximum rates on time de posits in denominations of $100,000 or more were suspended in mid1973. For information regarding previous interest rate ceilings on all types of accounts, see earlier issues of the Federal Reserve B u l l e t in , the Federal Home Loan Bank Board Journal, and the Annual R eport of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. A ll Policy Instruments 1.17 FEDERAL RESERVE OPEN M ARKET TRANSACTIONS M illions o f dollars 1976 Type of transaction 1974 1975 1976 11,660 5,830 4,550 11,562 5,599 26,431 Aug. Sept. 14,343 8,462 2 5,017 1,100 1,125 171 Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 2,535 313 110 801 U.S. GOVT. SECURITIES Outright transactions (excl. matched salepurchase transactions) 1 9 4 5 6 7 8 q 10 Treasury bills: Others within 1 year: 1 1 to 5 years: 450 3,886 472 42 -4 3,549 792 -1,5 2 5 -285 797 2 3,284 346 480 600 975 1,546 18 59 45 107 66 1,047 7 252 63 113 681 475 348 -6 6 430 —7 -2 5 2 -8 8 0 62 170 128 129 -1 ,1 8 3 131 618 200 -697 2 3,202 177 3,854 -2 ,5 8 8 301 580 -7 9 285 272 11 12 13 5 to 10 years: Gross purchases....................................... Gross sales................................................ Exchange or maturity shift 434 1,510 1,048 72 1,675 -4 ,6 9 7 1,572 1,354 14 15 16 Over 10 years: Gross purchases....................................... Gross sales................................................ Exchange or maturity shift ............... 196 1,070 642 65 205 848 225 250 17 18 19 All maturities:1 Gross purchases....................................... Gross sales............................................... Redemptions............................................ 13,537 5,830 4,682 221,313 5,599 29,980 19,707 8,639 25,017 1,579 20 21 Matched sale-purchase transactions Gross sales.................................................... Gross purchases........................................... 64,229 62,801 151,205 196,078 152,132 196,579 16,389 16,180 22 23 Repurchase agreements Gross purchases........................................... Gross sales.................................................... 71,333 70,947 140,311 232,891 139,538 230,355 24 Net change in U.S. Govt, securities............... 1,984 -1 ,1 6 7 73 95 119 48 -3 1 0 2,202 171 151 517 81 300 200 612 480 600 2,004 1,546 3,229 313 797 801 19,828 19,563 23,289 24,501 22,675 21,525 23,193 24,343 24,595 22,544 22,674 23,447 26,641 24,655 24,108 23,477 16,603 18,821 17,612 20,173 30,872 27,119 23,820 27,573 13,853 12,921 3,357 2,397 -588 -4 ,1 7 9 5,361 -2 ,8 8 7 1,702 618 7,434 9,087 1,616 891 246 169 27 22 14 63 4 24 15,179 15,566 10,520 10,360 769 674 1,071 889 705 949 897 976 1,380 1,102 930 1,208 689 612 -5 5 85 -9 -4 9 2 -9 -1 4 0 8 795 -5 -795 -1 8 149 2,587 -1 ,3 3 2 -4 ,3 0 7 6,379 -3 ,9 6 9 1,886 FEDERAL AGENCY OBLIGATIONS 25 26 27 28 29 Outright transactions: Gross purchases ..................................... 3,087 Gross sales.................................................... 322 Redemptions................................................ Repurchase agreements: Gross purchases........................................... 23,204 Gross sales.................................................... 22,735 115 BANKERS ACCEPTANCES 30 31 Outright transactions, n et............................... Repurchase agreements, n et........................... 511 420 163 -3 5 -545 410 -6 8 220 32 Net change in total System Account........ 6,149 8,539 9,833 3,577 1 Both gross purchases and redemptions include special certificates created when the Treasury borrows directly from the Federal Reserve, as follows (millions of dollars): 1973, 1,187; 1974, 131; and 1975, 3,549. 2 In 1975, the System obtained $421 million of 2-year Treasury notes in exchange for maturing bills. In 1976 there was a similar transaction amounting to $189 million. Acquisition of these notes is treated as a purchase; the run-off of bills, as a redemption. N o t e .— Sales, redemptions, and negative figures reduce holdings of the System Open Market Account; all other figures increase such holdings. Details may not add to totals because of rounding. A 12 1.18 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 F E D E R A L R ESER VE B A N K S Millions of dollars C on d ition and F .R . N o te S tatem en ts 1977 Account Mar. 2 Mar. 9 1977 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 v Mar. 30^ Jan. Feb. Mar.p Consolidated condition statement ASSETS 1 Gold certificate account................................ 2 Special Drawing Rights certificate account. 11,651 1,200 11,651 1,200 11,651 1,200 11,636 1,200 11,636 1,200 11,658 1,200 11,651 1,200 3 Cash................................................................ 377 374 372 370 359 395 388 41 33 29 2,196 149 47 24 270 177 149 174 171 161 299 155 191 173 149 154 126 6,767 77 6,767 6,744 6,744 159 6,744 6,790 6,767 77 6,731 54 39,376 36,590 34,280 38,478 39,735 38,742 38,826 39,170 48,920 7,159 95,455 932 48,920 7,159 92,669 48,920 7,159 90,359 49,181 7,196 94,855 5,009 49,181 7,196 96,112 48,619 6,773 94,134 48,920 7,159 94,905 932 49,181 7,196 95,547 440 8 9 Loans: Member bank borrowings............... Other.................................................. Acceptances: Bought outright................................. Held under repurchase agreements. Federal agency obligations: Bought outright................................ Held under repurchase agreements. 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 U.S. Govt, securities Bought outright: Bills................................................ Certificates—Special................... O ther....................... Notes............................................ Bonds............................................ Total i ............................................... Held under repurchase agreements. 4 5 6 7 11,636 1,200 17 Total U.S. Govt, securities. 96,387 92,669 90,359 99,864 96,112 94,134 95,837 95,987 18 Total loans and securities.. 103,598 99,643 97,303 109,423 103,160 101,162 103,027 103,322 10,013 370 8,997 372 10,401 373 8,147 374 8,543 373 5,995 366 6,378 371 7,306 372 44 2,263 44 2,272 50 2,380 51 2,496 58 2,540 222 3,021 62 2,358 61 2,426 129,516 124,553 123,730 133,697 127,869 124,019 125,435 126,683 19 Cash items in process of collection... 20 Bank premises...................................... 21 Operating equipment........................... Other assets: 22 Denominated in foreign currencies. 23 All other............................................ 24 Total assets. LIABILITIES 25 F.R. notes.......................................... Deposits: 26 Member bank reserves................. 27 U.S. Treasury—General account. 28 Foreign.......................................... 29 Other 2............................................ 82,063 82,900 83,285 83,101 83,310 81,198 81,709 83,257 25,645 11,614 277 735 25,145 7,082 249 707 25,413 4,274 243 781 30,315 10,764 261 525 26,907 7,769 288 563 23,411 11,397 383 642 22,916 12,179 362 856 27,074 7,150 349 637 30 Total deposits. 38,271 33,183 30,711 41,865 35,527 35,833 36,313 35,210 6,152 1,019 5,399 946 6,543 953 5,385 996 5,606 998 3,513 980 3,783 1,193 4,759 1,016 127,505 122,428 121,492 131,347 125,441 121,524 122,998 124,242 34 Capital paid in....................................................... 35 Surplus................................................................... 36 Other capital accounts...................................... i . 989 983 39 989 983 153 990 983 265 991 983 376 990 983 455 986 983 526 989 983 465 991 983 467 37 Total liabilities and capital accounts..................... 129,516 124,553 123,730 133,697 127,869 124,019 125,435 126,683 54,290 54,987 55,922 56,190 56,409 52,271 53,991 56,623 31 Deferred availability cash items........... 32 Other liabilities and accrued dividends. 33 Total liabilities................................... CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 38 Marketable U.S. Govt, securities held in custody for foreign and inti, account............. M em o: Federal Reserve note statement 88,185 88,223 88,494 88,589 88,563 88,603 88,205 88,664 11,645 643 11,646 643 11,646 643 11,634 643 11,634 643 11,656 643 11,645 643 11,633 643 40 41 42 43 39 F.R. notes outstanding (issued to Bank)............. Collateral held against notes outstanding: Gold certificate account..................................... Special Drawing Rights certificate account.... Acceptances........................................................ U.S. Govt, securities.......................................... 78,030 78,030 78,130 78,130 78,130 78,100 78,030 78,130 44 Total collateral. 90,318 90,319 90,419 90,407 90,407 90,399 90,318 90,406 1 Includes securities loaned—fully guaranteed by U.S. Govt, securities pledged with F.R. Banks—and excludes (if any) securities sold and scheduled to be bought back under matched sale-purchase transactions. 2 Includes certain deposits of domestic nonmember banks and foreignowned banking institutions voluntarily held with member banks and redeposited in full with F.R. Banks. A13 Reserve Banks 1.19 FEDERAL RESERVE BANKS Maturity Distribution of Loan and Security Holdings Millions of dollars Wednesday 1977 Type and maturity End of month 1977 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 34 27 7 30 30 2,196 2,192 4 149 145 4 46 44 2 24 19 5 270 267 3 326 167 106 53 174 171 19 155 22 50 460 320 93 47 90 43 191 39 95 57 322 169 106 47 280 147 90 43 16 days to 90 days............................................... 91 days to 1 year.................................................. Over 1 year to 5 years......................................... Over 5 years to 10 years...................................... Over 10 years....................................................... 96,387 5,132 20,996 24,640 30,401 9,841 5,377 92,669 1,913 19,703 25,434 30,401 9,841 5,377 90,359 2,565 16,832 25,343 30,401 9,841 5,377 99,864 9,177 19,562 25,248 30,575 9,888 5,414 96,112 5,595 20,422 24,218 30,575 9,888 5,414 94,134 3,957 18,096 26,979 30,933 9,173 4,996 95,837 3,994 20,962 25,362 30,401 9,841 5,377 95,987 3,494 20,422 25,928 30,841 9,888 5,414 16 Federal agency obligations....................................... 17 Within 15 days 1 ................................................... 18 16 days to 90 days............................................... 19 91 days to 1 year.................................................. Over 1 year to 5 years......................................... 20 21 Over 5 years to 10 years...................................... 22 Over 10 years........................................................ 6,844 199 171 1,139 3,358 1,217 760 6,767 6,744 13 296 1,169 3,300 1,206 760 6,903 6,744 41 268 1,178 3,291 1,206 760 6,790 40 330 1,037 3,361 1,281 741 6,844 247 171 1,091 3,358 1,217 760 6,785 82 268 1,178 3,291 1,206 760 Mar. 9 Mar. 2 1 ?, 3 A Within 15 days..................................................... 16 days to 90 days ....................... Ql 1 6 7 8 91 days to 1 year.................................................. 9 U.S. Govt, securities................................................ 10 11 12 13 14 15 43 37 6 22 98 54 122 239 1,071 3,358 1,217 760 102 200 268 1,178 3,291 1,206 760 Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 1 Holdings under repurchase agreements are classified as maturing within 15 days in accordance with maximum maturity of the agreements. 1.20 D E M A N D D E P O S IT A C C O U N T S Seasonally adjusted annual rates D eb its and R ate o f T urnover 1977 1976 Standard metropolitan statistical area 1973 1974 1975 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 30,143.3 Debits (billions of dollars ) 2 1 All 233 SMSA’s....................................................... 18,641.3 22,192.2 23,565.1 27,406.2 28,061.4 28,914.6 '29,286.7 2 New York City........................................................ 8,097.7 9,931.8 10,970.9 13,522.0 13,495.5 13,835.0 14,411.8 14,898.0 3 232 SM SA’s ............................................................. 4 6 leading SMSA’s other than N.Y.C . 1 .............. 5 226 others.............................................................. 10,543.6 12,260.6 12,594.2 13,884.2 14,565.9 15,079.7 r14,874.9 15,245.3 4,462.8 6,080.8 5,152.7 7,107.9 4,937.5 7,661.8 5,447.9 8,436.3 5,693.2 8,872.7 5,917.1 9,162.6 5,864.3 r9,010 . 6 5,887.1 9,358.1 Turnover of deposits (annual rate) 110.2 128.0 131.0 146.4 147.2 153.3 154.3 153.3 7 New York City........................................................ 269.8 312.8 351.8 416.2 395.1 419.8 443.5 437.3 8 232 SM SA’s .............................................................. 9 6 leading SMSA’s other than N.Y.C . 1 .............. 10 226 others.............................................................. 115.0 60.6 6 All 233 SMSA’s ....................................................... 75.8 86.6 131.8 69.3 1 Boston, Philadelphia, Chicago, Detroit, San Francisco-Oakland, and Los Angeles-Long Beach. 2 Excludes interbank and U.S. Govt, demand deposit accounts. 84.7 118.4 71.6 89.8 126.6 75.6 93.1 131.7 78.3 r96.9 136.9 r81.5 r9 4 .5 r 133.9 r79.4 93.8 129.9 79.8 N o t e .—Total SMSA’s includes some cities and counties not designated as SMSA’s. A 14 1.21 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 M O N E Y STO C K M E A SU R E S A N D C O M PO N EN T S Billions of dollars; averages of daily figures Item 1973 Dec. 1974 Dec. 1975 Dec. 1976 1977 J Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Seasonally adjusted MEASURES i 1 2 3 4 5 M -l...................................................... M -2...................................................... M -3...................................................... M -4...................................................... M -5...................................................... 270.5 571.4 919.6 634.4 982.5 283.1 612.4 981.5 701.4 1,070.5 294.8 664.3 1,092.9 746.5 1,175.1 306.3 710.5 1,181.4 775.5 1,246.3 306.6 716.5 1,194.5 779.5 1,257.6 310.1 725.9 1.211.2 788.2 1,273.6 310.1 732.0 1,223.6 794.3 1,285.8 312.2 313.6 739.7 745.4 1,236.9 rl ,248.5 r802.9 808.4 1,300.2 1,311.5 313.8 749.6 1,257.4 812.8 1,320.7 COMPONENTS 6 Currency.............................................. Commercial bank deposits: 7 Dem and........................................... 8 Time and savings ............................. 9 Negotiable CD’s2........................ 10 Other............................................ 61.5 67.8 73.7 78.6 79.2 79.9 80.3 80.7 81.3 82.0 209.0 215.3 221.0 227.7 230.3 469.1 231.6 418.3 451.7 229.8 363.9 221A 472.9 232.3 490.7 494.8 231.8 11 Nonbank thrift institutions3.............. 348.1 63.0 300.9 89.0 329.3 82.1 369.6 369.1 428.6 65.0 404.1 63.1 409.9 470.9 478.0 478.1 62.3 415.8 485.3 484.2 62.2 421.9 491.6 63.3 427.4 499.0 63.1 431.8 63.3 435.8 503.1 507.9 321.1 319.5 744.7 750.3 1,237.7 1,250.9 809.0 813.4 1,302.0 ' I , 314.0 309.7 746.1 1,252.3 807.4 1,313.6 497.3 Not seasonally adjusted MEASURES i 12 13 14 15 16 M -l...................................................... M-2...................................................... M-3...................................................... M -4...................................................... M -5...................................................... 278.3 576.5 921.8 640.5 985.8 291.3 617.5 983.8 708.0 1,074.3 303.2 669.3 1,094.6 752.8 1,178.1 303.3 707.3 1,178.6 773.6 1,244.9 304.6 712.8 1,189.2 778.1 1,254.5 309.0 723.0 1,205.5 787.1 1,269.7 312.1 729.7 1,216.5 792.6 1,279.4 COMPONENTS 17 Currency............................................. Commercial bank deposits: 18 Demand ........................................... 19 Member....................................... 20 Domestic nonmember................ 21 Time and savings ............................. 22 Negotiable CD’s2 ....................... 23 Other........................................... 24 Nonbank thrift institutions3.............. 25 U.S. Govt, deposits (all commercial banks).......................................... 62.7 69.0 75.1 78.9 79.0 79.7 80.8 82.2 80.7 81.0 215.7 222.2 228.1 224.4 225.6 229.3 231.2 228.8 416.7 449.6 470.3 473.5 162.6 r65 .4 238.8 362.2 161.7 r64.4 239.0 478.2 480.5 487.8 493.9 497.6 345.3 366.3 6.3 4.9 156.5 56.3 64.0 298.2 159.7 58.5 90.5 326.3 162.1 62.6 83.5 366.2 158.4 r62.6 159.0 r63.5 168.5 r66.9 168.2 r6 7 .1 161.1 64.2 66.3 404.0 65.3 408.2 64.2 414.0 425.3 471.3 476.4 482.6 486.8 493.1 500.6 506.2 4.1 3.7 4.9 3.9 4.0 4.4 3.8 4.1 1 Composition of the money stock measures is as follows: M - l: Averages of daily figures for (1) demand deposits of commercial banks other than domestic interbank and U.S. Govt., less cash items in process of collection and F.R. float; (2) foreign demand balances at F.R. Banks; and (3) currency outside the Treasury, F.R. Banks, and vaults of commercial banks. M-2: M-l plus savings deposits, time deposits open account, and time certificates of deposits (CD’s) other than negotiable CD’s of $100,000 or more of large weekly reporting banks. M -3: M-2 plus the average of the beginning and end-of-month deposits of mutual savings banks, savings and loan shares, and credit union shares (nonbank thrift). 62.9 417.6 64.3 423.5 63.1 430.7 61.3 436.4 M-4: M-2 plus large negotiable CD’s. M-5: M-3 plus large negotiable CD’s. For a description of the latest revisions in the money stock measures’ see “ Money Stock Measures Revisions” on pp. 305-306 of the March 1977 B u l l e t i n . Latest monthly and weekly figures are available from the Board’s H.6 release. Back data are available from the Banking Section, Division of Research and Statistics. 2 Negotiable time CD’s issued in denominations of $100,000 or more by large weekly reporting commercial banks. 3 Average of the beginning- and end-of-month figures for deposits of mutual savings banks, for savings capital at savings and loan associations, and for credit union shares. NOTES TO TABLE 1.23: 1 Adjusted to exclude domestic commercial interbank loans. 2 Loans sold are those sold outright to banks’ own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank affiliates of the bank, the banks’ holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. Prior to Aug. 28, 1974, the institutions included had been defined somewhat differently, and the reporting panel of banks was also different. On the new basis, both “Total loans” and “Com mercial and industrial loans” were reduced by about $100 million. 3 Reclassification of loans reduced these loans by about $1.2 billion as of Mar. 31, 1976. 4 Data beginning June 30, 1974, include one large mutual savings bank that merged with a nonmember commercial bank. As of that date there were increases of about $500 million in loans, $100 million in “Other securities,” and $600 million in “Total loans and investments.” As of Oct. 31, 1974, “Total loans and investments” of all commercial banks were reduced by $1.5 billion in connection with the liquidation of one large bank. Reductions in other items were: “Total loans,” $1.0 billion (of which $0.6 billion was in “Commercial and industrial loans” ), and “Other securities,” $0.5 billion. In late November “Commercial and industrial loans” were increased by $0.1 billion as a result of loan re classifications at another large bank. 5 Data revised beginning Jan. 1976 to conform with June 1976 call report benchmarks. Complete revisions will be published in the Annual Statistical Digest, 1972-1976. N o t e .— Data are for last Wednesday of month except for June 30 and Dec. 31; data are partly or wholly estimated except when June 30 and Dec. 31 are call dates. A15 M onetary Aggregates 1.22 AGGREGATE RESERVES AND DEPOSITS Member Banks Billions o f dollars; averages o f daily figures 1973 Dec. Item 1974 Dec. 1975 Dec. 1976 July Aug. Sept. 1977 Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan. Feb. Seasonally adjusted 1 Reserves 1................................................................... 2 Nonborrowed......................................................... 3 Required................................................................. 4 Deposits subject to reserve requirements 2................ 5 Time and savings................................................... Demand: Private.................................................................. 6 U.S. Govt............................................................ 7 34.94 33.64 34.64 442.3 ''279.2 33.60 34.73 35.87 34.60 36.34 r34.46 486.2 505.4 322.1 337.9 34.34 34.21 34.11 514.1 343.5 34.51 34.41 34.31 514.2 341.7 34.34 34.27 34.14 515.6 343.3 34.51 34.41 34.29 520.0 346.2 34.85 34.78 34.59 524.9 350.2 34.95 34.90 34.68 529.6 355.0 34.78 34.71 34.51 532.5 357.3 34.40 34.33 34.20 532.0 360.1 158.1 5.0 160.6 3.5 164.5 3.0 167.9 2.7 168.6 3.9 168.7 3.6 170.4 3.4 170.7 4.0 171.4 3.2 172.5 2.7 169.5 2.5 8 Deposits plus nondeposit items 3............................... 448.9 495.6 513.8 *•522.8 '523.1 '523.8 '529.0 '534.0 '538.8 '540.8 539.5 Not seasonally adjusted 9 Deposits subject to reserve requirements 2................ 447.5 10 Time and savings.................................................... 278.5 Demand: 11 Private................................................................. 164.0 5.0 12 U.S. Govt............................................................ 491.8 321.7 510.9 337.2 513.9 343.7 511.3 342.7 514.9 344.1 518.9 346.7 522.5 347.6 534.8 353.6 537.7 357.0 528.7 358.4 166.6 r3.4 170.7 3.1 167.7 2.5 165.9 2.7 167.2 3.6 169.5 '2.8 171.9 '3 .0 177.9 3.3 177.8 2.9 167.2 3.1 454.0 500.1 519.3 r522.7 r520.2 '523.1 '527.9 '531.5 '544.0 546.0 '536.2 13 Deposits plus nondeposit items 3............................... 1 Series reflects actual reserve requirement percentages with no adjust ment to eliminate the effect of changes in Regulations D and M. There are breaks in series because of changes in reserve requirements effective Dec. 12, 1974; Feb. 13, May 22, and Oct. 30, 1975; and Jan. 8, 1976. In addition, effective Jan. 1, 1976, statewide branching in New York was instituted. The subsequent merger of a number of banks raised required reserves because of higher reserve requirements on aggregate deposits at these banks. 2 Includes total time and savings deposits and net demand deposits as defined by Regulation D. Private demand deposits include all demand 1.23 deposits except those due to the U.S. Govt., less cash items in process of collection and demand balances due from domestic commercial banks. 3 “Total member bank deposits” subject to reserve requirements, plus Euro-dollar borrowings, loans sold to bank-related institutions, and certain other nondeposit items. This series for deposits is referred to as “the adjusted bank credit proxy.” N o te .— Back data and estimates of the impact on required reserves and changes in reserve requirements are shown in Table 14 of the Board’s Annual S tatistical D igest, 1971-1975. L O A N S A N D IN V E S T M E N T S A ll C om m ercial Banks Billions of dollars; last Wednesday of month except for June 30 and Dec. 31 Category 1973 1974 4 1975 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 1976 5 1977 Sept. 29 Oct. 27 Nov. 24 Dec. 31 p V V P Jan. 26 p Feb. 23 Mar. 30 p p Seasonally adjusted 1 Loans and investments1........................................ 2 Including loans sold outright2.......................... 633.4 637.7 690.4 695.2 721.1 725.5 759.8 763.7 767.6 771.4 773.8 777.6 774.9 778.7 780.5 784.5 790.1 794.0 797.1 801.1 3 4 5 6 Loans: Total.................................................................... Including loans sold outright2...................... Commercial and industrial3............................. Including loans sold outright2,3................... 449.0 453.3 156.4 159.0 500.2 505.0 183.3 186.0 496.9 501.3 176.0 178.5 517.9 521.8 174.4 176.9 525.8 529.6 177.2 179.6 528.4 532.2 179.3 181.7 528.1 531.9 178.8 181.2 535.0 539.0 179.9 182.5 539.3 543.2 181.4 184.0 545.3 549.3 183.0 185.7 7 8 Investments: U.S. Treasury..................................................... O ther................................................................... 54.5 129.9 50.4 139.8 79.4 144.8 94.4 147.5 93.8 148.0 94.7 150.7 96.9 149.9 96.1 149.4 100.7 150.1 102.7 149.1 Not seasonally adjusted 9 Loans and investments1......................................... 10 Including loans sold outright............................ 647.3 651.6 705.6 710.4 737.0 741.4 760.2 764.1 765.9 769.7 773.5 777.3 792.0 795.8 778.8 782.8 783.8 787.7 795.2 799.2 11 12 13 14 Loans: Total1.................................................................. Including loans sold outright2...................... Commercial and industrial3.............................. Including loans sold outright2,3................... 458.5 462.8 159.4 162.0 510.7 515.5 186.8 189.5 507.4 511.8 179.3 181.8 519.9 523.8 174.9 177.4 524.7 528.5 176.6 179.0 527.2 531.0 178.6 181.0 539.2 543.0 182.2 184.6 530.1 534.1 177.9 180.5 532.9 536.8 179.6 182.2 542.0 546.0 182.9 185.6 15 16 Investments: U.S. Treasury..................................................... O ther................................................................... 58.3 130.6 54.5 140.5 84.1 145.5 93.0 147.3 93.8 147.4 97.3 149.1 102.1 150.7 100.2 148.5 101.7 149.2 103.8 149.4 For notes see bottom o f opposite page. A16 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 1.24 C O M M E R C IA L B A N K A S S E T S A N D L IA B IL IT IE S Billions of dollars, except for number of banks 19763 1975 Account Dec. 31 L ast-W ed n esd ay-of-M on th Series June July? Aug.P Sept.2 3 1977 Oct.** N ov . p Dec.?3 Jan.P Feb.? Mar.P All commercial 1 Loans and investments............. 2 Loans, gross......................... Investments: 3 U.S. Treasury securities . . 4 Other................................. 775.8 546.2 789.4 552.1 780.6 544.8 790.0 551.6 798.4 558.1 804.9 563.7 813.9 567.6 834.7 583.5 819.7 571.0 827.0 576.1 836.1 582.9 84.1 145.5 91.4 146.0 89.9 146.0 92.2 146.2 93.0 147.3 93.8 147.4 97.3 149.1 101.6 149.7 100.2 148.5 101.7 149.2 103.8 149.4 5 Cash assets............................... 6 Currency and coin............... 7 Reserves with F.R. Banks.. 8 Balances with banks............ 9 Cash items in process of collection.. 133.6 12.3 26.8 47.3 47.3 128.4 12.0 28.2 42.7 45.5 110.8 12.2 28.0 33.7 36.8 108.6 12.0 25.4 35.5 35.7 118.0 12.3 29.8 35.3 40.7 114.5 12.6 26.4 35.9 39.6 123.8 11.8 29.1 39.5 43.4 128.0 13.9 29.9 38.7 45.2 117.0 12.6 28.6 36.3 39.5 123.5 12.3 28.6 37.9 44.3 119.3 12.8 26.9 38.7 40.9 964.9 10 Total assets/total liabilities capital i ................................. and 11 Deposits.................................... Demand: 12 Interbank.......................... 13 U.S. Govt.......................... 14 Other................................. Time: 15 16 Other................................... 17 Borrowings................................. 18 Total capital accounts2............. 19 M em o: Number of banks......... 963.6 939.5 945.8 965.4 967.9 988.4 1,016.2 988.6 1,003.1 1,010.1 786.3 788.5 765.2 763.5 777.3 892.0 793.4 816.4 796.6 804.8 812.9 41.8 3.1 278.7 38.5 4.6 268.2 32.8 3.5 251.8 33.1 3.6 248.8 34.9 5.7 254.3 34.4 3.6 259.5 39.6 3.2 262.3 38.8 3.3 277.1 35.4 3.8 258.6 36.6 3.6 262.4 37.6 2.9 261.1 12.0 450.6 10.7 466.4 10.2 466.9 9.7 468.3 9.6 473.0 9.2 475.2 9.1 479.2 9.2 487.9 8.9 490.0 8.7 493.5 9.0 502.1 60.2 69.1 67.2 74.6 66.7 72.5 72.2 72.9 77.4 73.5 75.9 74.0 83.5 74.4 87.9 75.4 81.1 75.9 86.0 76.3 83.1 76.7 14,633 14,643 14,636 14,650 14,656 14,660 14,674 14,671 14,667 14,688 14,688 Member 20 Loans and investments............... 21 Loans, gross........................... Investments: 22 U.S. Treasury securities. .. 23 Other................................... 578.6 416.4 580.8 414.4 572.3 407.5 580.3 412.9 585.7 417.2 590.7 421.6 597.6 424.1 614.9 437.5 600.9 426.3 605.9 429.9 611.8 434.6 61.5 100.7 66.0 100.3 64.5 100.3 66.7 100.7 67.0 101.5 67.7 101.4 70.8 102.7 74.3 103.1 72.6 102.0 73.7 102.3 74.9 102.3 24 Cash assets, total....................... 25 Currency and coin................. 26 Reserves with F.R. Banks. . . 27 28 Cash items in process of collection.. 108.5 9.2 26.8 26.9 45.5 105.9 9.0 28.2 24.8 43.9 92.3 9.2 28.0 19.6 35.5 89.4 9.0 25.4 20.5 34.4 98.9 9.2 29.8 20.6 39.3 94.9 9.5 26.4 20.9 38.2 103.0 8.9 29.1 23.3 41.8 107.6 10.5 29.9 23.5 43.7 97.7 9.5 28.6 21.5 38.1 102.8 9.3 28.6 22.2 42.7 100.0 9.6 26.9 24.0 39.5 29 Total assets/total liabilities and capital i ....................... . ......... 733.6 728.3 706.3 710.7 726.8 727.6 744.8 769.1 744.6 755.1 759.7 30 Deposits...................................... Demand: 31 32 U.S. Govt........................... 33 Other................................... Time: 34 Other.................................. 35 590.8 586.2 565.2 562.3 573.9 576.1 584.8 604.6 587.0 592.0 598.1 38.6 3.2 210.8 36.2 3.7 202.0 30.7 2.7 188.7 30.9 2.8 185.9 32.7 4.3 191.0 32.2 2.9 194.7 37.2 2.4 196.0 36.4 2.5 208.6 33.1 3.0 193.7 34.1 2.7 196.6 35.3 2.1 195.9 10.0 329.1 8.6 335.6 8.2 334.9 7.6 335.1 7.5 338.4 7.1 339.2 7.0 342.1 7.2 349.9 6.8 350.3 6.6 351.9 6.9 357.9 36 Borrowings................................. 37 53.6 52.1 60.5 56.2 60.3 55.1 65.9 55.4 70.6 55.7 69.1 56.2 76.4 56.6 80.4 57.3 73.6 57.7 78.0 57.9 75.3 58.1 Number of banks....... 5,788 5,777 5,768 5,772 5,774 5,769 5,767 5,759 5,739 5,740 5,740 38 M em o: 1 Includes items not shown separately. Effective Mar. 31, 1976, some of the item “reserve for loan losses” and all of the item “unearned income on loans” are no longer reported as liabilities. As of that date the “valuation” portion of “reserve for loan losses” and the “unearned income on loans” have been netted against “ other assets,” and against “total assets” as well. Total liabilities continue to include the deferred income tax portion of “reserve for loan losses.” 2 Effective Mar. 31, 1976, includes “reserves for securities” and the contingency portion (which is small) of “reserve for loan losses.” 3 Figures partly estimated except on call dates. N o t e .—Figures include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other sig nificant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries. Commercial banks: All such banks in the United States, including member and nonmember banks, stock savings banks, nondeposit trust companies, and U.S. branches of foreign banks, but excluding one na tional bank in Puerto Rico and one in the Virgin Islands. Member banks: The following numbers of noninsured trust companies that are members of the Federal Reserve System are excluded from mem ber banks in Tables 1.24 and 1.25 and are included with noninsured banks in Table 1.25: 1974—June, 2; December, 3; 1975—June and December, 4; 1976 (beginning month shown)—July, 5, December, 7; 1977-January 8. Commercial Banks A17 1.25 CO M M ERCIAL BANK ASSETS AND LIABILITIES Call-Date Series M illions o f dollars except for number o f banks Account 1974 1976 1975 June 30 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 1974 June 30 Dec. 31 Total insured 1976 1975 June 30 Dec. 31 June 30 National (all insured) 1 Loans and investments, Gross............................... Loans: Gross............................................................... Net................................................................... Investments: 4 U.S. Treasury securities................................. 5 O ther............................................................... 6 Cash assets.............................................................. 734,516 736,164 762,400 773,696 428,433 428,167 441,135 443,955 541,111 (2) 526,272 (2) 535,170 (2) 539,017 520,970 321,466 (2) 312,229 (2) 315,738 (2) 315,624 305,275 54,132 139,272 125,375 67,833 142,060 125,181 83,629 143,602 128,256 87.413 147,266 124,072 29,075 77,892 76,523 37,606 78,331 75,686 46,799 78,598 78,026 47,409 80,922 75,488 7 Total assets/total liabilities1.................................. 906,325 914,781 944,654 942,511 534,207 536,836 553,285 548,698 8 Deposits.................................................................. Demand: 9 U.S. G ovt....................................................... 10 Interbank........................................................ 11 Other.............................................................. Time: 12 Interbank........................................................ 13 Other............................................................... 741,665 746,348 775,209 776,957 431,039 431,646 447,590 444,251 4,799 42,587 265,444 3,106 41,244 261,903 3,108 40,259 276,384 4,622 37,503 265,670 2,437 23,497 154,397 1,723 21,096 152,576 1,788 22,305 159,840 2,858 20,329 152,382 10,693 418,142 10,252 429,844 10,733 444,725 9,407 459,753 6,750 243,959 6,804 249,446 7,302 256,355 5,532 263,148 14 Borrowings............................................................. 15 Total capital accounts............................................ 55,988 63,039 59,310 65,986 56,775 68,474 63,824 68,990 39,603 35,815 41,954 37,483 40,875 38,969 45,184 39,504 16 14,216 14,320 14,372 14,373 4,706 4,730 4,741 4,747 2 3 M em o: Number of banks..................................... State member (all insured) 17 Loans and investments, Gross............................... Loans: 18 Gross............................................................... 19 Net................................................................... Investments: 20 U.S. Treasury securities................................. 21 Other............................................................... 22 Cash assets.............................................................. Insured nonmember 140,373 134,759 137,620 136,915 165,709 173,238 183,645 192,825 108.346 (2) 100,968 (2) 100,823 (2) 98,889 96,036 111,300 (2) 113,074 (2) 118,609 (2) 124,503 119,658 9,846 22,181 30,473 12,004 21,787 31,466 14,720 22,077 30,451 15,096 22,929 30,422 15,211 39,199 18,380 18,223 41,942 18,029 22,109 42,927 19,778 24,907 43,414 18,161 23 Total assets/total liabilities.................................... 181,683 179,787 180,495 179,644 190,435 198,157 210,874 214,167 24 Deposits.................................................................. Demand: 25 U.S. G ovt....................................................... 26 Interbank......................................................... 27 Other............................................................... Time: 28 Interbank........................................................ 29 Other............................................................... 144,799 141,995 143,409 142,061 165,827 172,707 184,210 190,644 746 17,565 49,807 443 18,751 48,621 467 16,265 50,984 869 15,834 49,658 1,616 1,525 61,240 940 1,397 60,706 853 1,689 65,560 894 1,339 63,629 3,301 73,380 2,771 71,409 2,712 72,981 3,074 72,624 . 642 100,804 676 108,989 719 115,389 799 123,980 30 Borrowings.............................................................. 31 Total capital accounts............................................. 13,247 12,425 14,380 12,773 12,771 13,105 15,300 12,790 3,138 14,799 2,976 15,730 3,128 16,400 3,339 16,696 1,074 1,064 1,046 1,029 8,436 8,526 8,585 8,597 32 M em o: Number of banks..................................... Noninsured nonmember 33 Loans and investments, Gross............................... Loans: Gross............................................................... Net................................................................... Investments: 36 U.S. Treasury securities................................. 37 Other................................................................ 38 Cash assets.............................................................. 34 35 Total nonmember 9,981 11,725 13,674 15,905 175,690 184,963 197,319 208,730 8,461 (2) 9,559 (2) 11,283 (2) 13,209 13,092 119,761 (2) 122,633 (2) 129,892 (2) 137,712 132,751 319 1,201 2,667 358 1,808 3,534 490 1,902 5,359 472 2,223 4,362 15,530 40,400 21,047 18,581 43,750 21,563 22,599 44,829 25,137 25,379 45,637 22,524 39 Total assets/total liabilities..................................... 13,616 16,277 20,544 21,271 204,051 214,434 231,418 235,439 40 Deposits.................................................................. Demand: 41 U.S. Govt........................................................ 42 Interbank........................................................ 43 Time: 44 Interbank........................................................ Other................................................................ 45 6,627 8,314 11,323 11,735 172,454 181,021 195,533 202,380 8 897 2,062 11 1,338 2,124 6 1,552 2,308 4 1,006 2,555 1,624 2,422 63,302 951 2,735 62,830 859 3,241 67,868 899 2,346 66,184 803 2,857 957 3,883 1,291 6,167 1,292 6,876 1,445 103,661 1,633 112,872 2,010 121,556 2,092 130,857 46 Borrowings.............................................................. 47 Total capital accounts............................................ 2,382 611 3,110 570 3,449 651 3,372 663 5,520 15,410 6,086 16,300 6,577 17,051 6,711 17,359 249 253 261 270 8,685 8,779 8,846 8,867 48 M em o: Number of banks..................................... 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Not available. For N o te see Table 1.24. A18 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 1.26 C O M M E R C IA L B A N K A S S E T S A N D L IA B IL IT IE S Asset and liability items are shown in millions of dollars. D eta iled B alan ce Sh eet, June 30, 1976 M ember banksi i < Asset account Insured All commercial commercial banks banks Large banks Total New York City City of Chicago Other large All other Nonmember banks 1 1 Cash bank balances, items in process..................... 2 Currency and coin............................................... 3 4 Demand balances with banks in United S tates.. 5 Other balances with banks in United States___ 6 Balances with banks in foreign countries.......... 7 Cash items in process of collection.................... 128,435 11,984 28,212 30,921 6,833 4 r948 45,537 124,072 11,972 28,212 28,765 6,041 3,623 45,459 105,911 8,987 28,212 17,838 3,818 3,179 43,877 26,914 686 4,956 6,562 93 327 14,290 4,699 184 2,174 286 7 33 2,016 41,097 3,054 11,508 3,351 1,478 1,767 19,939 33,20i 5,063 9,575 7,639 2,240 1,052 7,633 22,524 2,997 8 Total securities held—Book value........................... 9 U.S. Treasury....................................................... 10 Other U.S. Govt, agencies.................................. 11 States and political subdivisions......................... 12 All other securities.............................................. n 235,836 91,420 34,264 102,994 6,995 162 233,184 90,948 33,729 102,694 5,701 113 165,113 66,013 20,706 74,465 3,849 80 18,349 9,209 996 7,718 425 7,553 3,766 348 3,225 214 53,364 22,163 5,880 24,322 970 30 85,847 30,875 13,482 39,201 2,239 50 70,723 25,408 13,558 28,529 3,146 83 261 141 13,083 3,015 1,769 1,660 14 15 16 17 18 19 Trading-account securities.................................... 5,795 5,745 5,654 2,612 678 2,103 U.S. Treasury................................................... Other U.S. Govt, agencies............................... States and political subdivisions..................... All other trading acct. securities..................... 3,535 665 1,043 391 162 3,535 665 1,043 391 113 3,507 659 1,025 383 80 1,950 244 316 103 494 44 80 60 970 342 557 204 30 93 28 73 17 50 20 21 22 23 24 Bank investment portfolios ................................... 230,041 227,439 159,460 15,737 6,875 51,261 85,586 70,582 87,413 33,064 101,651 5,310 62,506 20,047 73,440 3,466 7,260 752 7,403 323 3,272 304 3,145 155 21,193 5,538 23,764 766 30,782 13,454 39,128 2,223 25,380 13,552 28,512 3,138 U.S. Treasury................................................... Other U.S. Govt, agencies............................... States and political subdivisions..................... All other portfolio securities........................... 87,886 33,600 101,952 6,604 28 6 17 8 83 25 F.R. stock and corporate stock............................. 1,539 1,495 1,244 248 78 470 448 295 26 Federal funds sold and securities resale agreement.. 27 Commercial banks................................................ 28 Brokers and dealers............................................. 29 Others................................................................... 36,120 30,954 2,658 2,507 34,262 29,471 2,459 2,333 26,819 22,170 2,376 2,273 1,929 1,094 180 655 1,150 1,016 108 26 14,110 10,937 1,703 1,470 9,630 9,124 384 123 9,300 8,784 283 234 30 Other loans, gross.................................................... 31 L e s s : Unearned income on loans....................... 32 Reserves for loan loss............................... 33 Other loans, net.................................................... 516,107 12,000 6,163 497,944 504,755 11,941 6,105 486,709 387,695 8,286 4,916 374,493 67,105 471 1,112 65,522 20,802 81 331 20,390 147,088 2,824 1,830 142,434 152,699 4,910 1,642 146,148 128,412 3,714 1,248 123,451 141,964 141,737 100,545 8,693 1,988 36,933 52,930 41,419 75,826 75,692 54,450 3,563 821 52 20,034 30,032 21,376 101 1,134 99 1,531 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 Other loans, gross, by category Real estate loans .................................................. Construction and land development.............. Secured by farmland........................................ Secured by residential...................................... 1- to 4-family residences ............................... FHA-insured or VA-guaranteed............. Conventional............................................ Multifamily residences.................................. FHA-insured............................................ Conventional............................................ Secured by other properties............................. Loans to financial institutions .............................. 16,568 6,355 80,203 16,562 6,344 80,062 8,297 67,529 8,262 67,429 412 3,965 38,839 411 3,960 38,769 321 2,859 26,612 41,609 36,645 34,684 4,377 4,371 13,586 2,717 57,630 7,150 47,300 3,180 To REIT’s and mortgage companies.............. To domestic commercial banks....................... To banks in foreign countries......................... To other depositary institutions..................... To other financial institutions......................... Loans to security brokers and dealers............... Other loans to purch./carry securities................ Loans to farmers—except real estate................. Commercial and industrial loans....................... Loans to individuals............................................ 10,556 5,182 8,625 1,637 15,608 7,743 4,032 22,174 174,384 110,393 10,510 3,201 6,076 1,572 15,285 7,521 4,018 22,149 169,345 110,031 10,172 2,527 5,907 1,424 14,652 7,390 3,373 12,380 140,087 77,597 Instalment loans.................................................... 87,465 87,141 Passenger automobiles................................. Residential-repair/modernize....................... Credit cards and related plans.................... Charge-account credit cards.................... Check and revolving credit plans............ Other retail consumer goods....................... Mobile homes........................................... Other.......................................................... Other instalment loans................................. Single-payment loans to individuals............... All other loans...................................................... 36,951 6,107 12,196 9,517 2,680 15,536 8,720 6,815 16,675 22,927 13,807 36,685 6,106 12,193 9,516 2,677 15,526 8,719 6,807 16,630 22,891 13,309 68 Total loans and securities, net................................. 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 3,119 2 3,976 533 3,030 532 14 922 6,352 288 21,168 3,584 2,413 31,563 2,981 3,638 22,573 769 3,958 16,076 2,607 27,425 121 293 1,596 25 76 521 1,035 9,125 77 1,455 15,370 90 1,107 12,227 12,206 4,548 14,980 2,949 6,925 413 1,147 20,229 1,197 3,753 806 2,297 185 5,165 4,535 428 77 33,896 4,680 1,457 138 324 25 2,605 987 314 135 10,435 1,627 4,193 1,215 2,873 1,064 5,635 1,734 1,720 2,988 55,517 27,854 769 369 413 151 1,248 134 911 9,179 40,239 43,435 384 2,655 2,718 212 956 353 659 9,795 34,297 32,796 61,238 3,322 916 22,383 34,617 26,227 24,065 4,320 10,746 8,540 2,206 10,730 6,238 4,493 11,376 16,358 11,639 510 263 1,127 817 310 203 112 91 1,219 1,358 2,589 150 37 534 504 30 86 33 52 109 711 766 7,291 1,747 6,112 4,987 1,125 3,884 2,300 1,584 3,350 5,471 5,362 16,114 2,274 2,973 2,232 741 6,557 3,792 2,765 6,698 8,818 2,922 12,886 1,787 1,450 977 473 4,805 2,483 2,323 5,299 6,569 2,168 771,439 755,650 567,670 86,047 29,171 210,378 242,074 203,769 Direct lease financing.............................................. Fixed assets—Buildings, furniture, real estate. . . . Investment in unconsolidated subsidiaries............ Customer acceptances outstanding......................... Other assets.............................................................. 4,675 18,585 2,107 10,682 27,861 4,675 18,484 2,104 10,316 27,210 4,455 13,902 2,063 9,990 24,353 983 1,626 827 5,278 9,081 128 611 160 517 1,627 2,714 5,605 1,005 3,924 9,775 630 6,060 70 271 3,871 221 4,683 44 692 3,507 74 Total assets............................................................... 963,783 942,511 728,344 130,756 36,912 274,499 286,177 235,440 69 70 71 72 73 For notes see opposite page. Commercial Banks A19 1.26 Continued Member banks 1 Liability or capital account 75 Demand deposits...................................................... 76 Mutual savings banks.......................................... 77 Other individuals, partnerships, and corporations........................................ ........ 78 U.S. Govt.............................................................. 79 States and political subdivisions......................... 80 Foreign governments, central banks, etc............ 81 Commercial banks in United States................... 82 Banks in foreign countries.................................. 83 Certified and officers’ checks, etc........................ All Insured commercial commercial banks banks Large banks Total New York City City of Chicago Other large All other Non member banks 1 311,363 1,299 307,796 1,113 241,932 1,014 54,110 491 9,807 2 87,697 229 90,318 291 69,431 286 236,614 4,627 17,336 1,757 30,870 6,341 12,520 235,547 4,623 17,216 1,295 30,573 5,817 11,612 179,037 3,728 12,278 1,250 29,454 5,697 9,477 29,740 474 620 981 13,524 4,240 4,038 7,268 154 155 21 1,781 148 278 67,579 1,604 3,732 230 10,589 1,192 2,542 74,449 1,496 7,770 17 3,560 117 2,619 57,577 900 5,058 507 1,416 644 3,043 84 Time deposits........................................................... 85 Accumulated for personal loan payments.......... 86 Mutual savings banks......................................... 87 Other individuals, partnerships, and corporations.................................................. 88 U.S. Govt............................................................. 89 States and political subdivisions......................... 90 Foreign governments, central banks, etc............ 91 Commercial banks in United States................... 92 Banks in foreign countries.................................. 293,204 171 481 285,431 171 458 212,740 136 445 32,483 13,165 266 7 77,746 13 135 89,347 123 36 80,464 35 36 227,578 678 43,942 10,143 8,082 2,129 222,500 678 43,653 9,029 7,522 1,419 163,935 550 30,739 8,778 6,797 1,360 22,766 77 803 5,255 2,613 702 9,494 1 1,106 1,295 1,162 100 58,633 251 13,711 2,187 2,337 478 73,042 220 15,121 41 685 80 63,643 128 13,203 1,366 1,285 769 93 Savings deposits........................................................ 94 Individuals and nonprofit organizations............ 95 Corporations and other profit organizations. . . 96 U.S. Govt.............................................................. 97 All other................................................................ 184,126 175,381 6,049 2,648 47 183,730 174,995 6,043 2,645 47 131,640 125,270 4,521 1,805 44 8,752 8,332 262 130 28 2,715 2,611 95 9 48,362 45,993 1,982 376 11 71,811 68,334 2.182 i;290 4 52,486 50,111 1,529 843 4 98 Total deposits........................................................... 788,693 776,957 586,312 95,345 25,687 213,805 251,476 202,381 99 Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase............................... 100 Commercial banks............................................. 101 Brokers and dealers........................................... 102 Others................................................................. 103 Other liabilities for borrowed money................... 104 Mortgage indebtedness.......................................... 105 Bank acceptances outstanding.............................. 106 Other liabilities...................................................... 60,719 35,182 8,053 17,484 6,478 789 11,287 21,262 58,944 33,936 7,976 17,031 4,881 787 10,917 16,198 55,906 32,667 7,512 15,727 4,579 577 10,591 14,148 11,224 6,445 735 4,045 2,243 53 5,854 4,736 7,215 4,883 1,073 1,259 80 16 525 892 29,308 17,374 4,903 7,032 1,806 316 3,938 5,575 8,158 3,965 801 3,392 450 192 274 2,945 4,813 2,514 542 1,757 1,899 212 696 7,114 107 Total liabilities........................................................ 889,228 868,684 672,114 119,456 34,415 254,749 263,495 217,114 108 Subordinated notes and debentures..................... 4,901 4,837 3,935 1,099 83 1,752 1,001 966 109 Equity capital......................................................... 110 Preferred stock................................................... Ill Common stock................................................... 112 Surplus................................................................ 113 Undivided profits............................................... 114 Other capital reserves........................................ 69,655 81 15,963 27,903 23,842 1,867 68,991 75 15,843 27,648 23,630 1,794 52,295 34 11,723 20,676 18,566 1,296 10,201 2,414 2,264 3,966 3,858 114 570 1,155 645 44 17,998 10 3,894 7,509 6,154 431 21,681 24 4,995 8,047 7,909 706 17,360 47 4,239 7,226 5,276 571 115 Total liabilities and equity capital......................... 963,783 942,511 728,344 130,756 36,912 274,499 286,177 235,440 116 Demand deposits adjusted 2..................... Average for last 15 or 30 days: Cash and due from bank................................... Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell......................... Total loans.......................................................... Time deposits of $100,000 or m ore.................. Total deposits..................................................... Federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase................ Other liabilities for borrowed money................ 230,329 227,142 164,874 25,822 5,857 55,566 77,629 65,455 123,703 119,246 102,291 26,314 4,360 39,625 31,992 21,412 38,280 502,155 146,166 775,140 35,632 490,759 140,300 763,837 27,149 377,741 115,892 574,789 2,253 66,363 29,258 89,888 1,341 20,569 10,747 25,003 13,353 143,388 48,444 209,900 10,202 147,421 27,443 249,999 11,131 124,414 30,275 200,350 64,655 6,485 62,022 4,782 58,970 4,474 14,334 2,064 7,184 87 29,212 1,957 8,240 367 5,695 2,011 124 Standby letters of credit outstanding................... 125 Time deposits of $100,000 or m ore...................... 126 Certificates of deposit........................................ 127 Other time deposits............................................ 10,950 146,783 122,071 24,712 10,535 141,105 118,464 22,641 9,927 117,342 97,455 19,887 5,289 28,910 24,503 4,407 954 11,159 8,937 2,221 3,043 49,561 39,866 9,696 641 27,712 24,149 3,563 1,023 29,441 24,616 4,825 128 Number of banks.................................................. 14,643 14,373 5,776 11 9 155 5,601 8,867 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 M em o: 1 Member banks exclude and nonmember banks include 5 noninsured trust companies that are members of the Federal Reserve System, and member banks exclude 2 national banks outside the continental United States. 2 Demand deposits adjusted are demand deposits other than domestic commercial interbank and U.S. Govt., less cash items reported as in process of collection. N o t e .— Data include consolidated reports, including figures for all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned do mestic subsidiaries. Securities are reported on a gross basis before deduc tions of valuation reserves. Holdings by type of security will be reported as soon as they become available. Back data in lesser detail were shown in previous B u l l e t in s . Details may not add to totals because of rounding. A20 1.27 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 A L L L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T IN G C O M M E R C IA L B A N K S Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures A ssets and L iab ilities 1977 Account Feb. 9 1 Total loans and investments..................................... 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Loans: Federal funds sold 1.............................................. Feb. 16 Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 404,696 408,189 406,996 409,782 412,780 416,040 409,678 410,064 20,082 21,317 21,281 21,703 23,990 23,769 20,589 21,648 To commercial banks...................................... To brokers and dealers involving— U.S. Treasury securities............................... Other securities............................................ 15,906 16,862 2,223 827 1,126 2,536 911 1,008 2,089 1,076 999 2,507 1,080 1,182 3,163 1,170 1,320 3,884 1,036 1,927 2,488 451 1,534 2,757 662 1,953 Other, gross .......................................................... 284,798 285,987 115,035 4,174 285,368 287,263 286,819 289,683 287,931 288,131 For purchasing or carrying securities: To brokers and dealers: U.S. Treasury securities........................... Other securities......................................... To others: U.S. Treasury securities........................... 114,851 4,187 1,417 7,832 1,257 8,474 1,283 7,575 1,317 7,728 1,596 7,656 2,520 7,892 1,125 7,513 1,362 7,719 75 2,540 77 2,520 75 2,512 71 2,510 70 2,514 71 2,528 69 2,518 72 2,527 7,071 16,128 64,136 7,001 16,006 64,381 6,972 15,837 64,463 7,102 15,861 64,496 7,132 15,907 64,503 7,263 15,910 64,824 7,293 15,767 64,930 7,248 15,784 64,948 1,761 5,591 39,382 1,897 17,930 1,813 5,845 39,457 1,888 18,059 1,843 5,828 39,472 1,861 18,031 1,982 5,894 39,545 1,828 18,540 1,956 5,668 39,492 1,768 18,009 2,082 5,684 39,516 1,757 18,331 2,064 5,492 39,591 1,828 18,391 2,062 5,450 39,755 1,859 18,303 Commercial and industrial............................. To nonbank financial institutions: Personal and sales finance cos., etc............. Real estate........................................................ To commercial banks: Foreign.......................................................... Consumer instalment....................................... Foreign governments, official institutions, etc.. All other loans.................................................. L ess : L o a n lo ss re s e rv e a n d u n e a rn e d in c o m e o n l o a n s ............................................................... Other loans, n et .................................................... 17,117 115,451 4,165 16,934 116,198 4,191 18,337 116,325 4,223 16,922 117,060 4,245 16,116 117,099 4,251 16,276 116,774 4,268 8,613 8,674 8,687 8,685 8,734 8,773 8,783 277,313 8,679 276,185 276,681 278,578 278,085 280,910 279,148 279,452 48,147 49,238 10,534 48,752 49,645 10,189 10,216 50,651 50,691 49,872 10,993 10,859 10,442 48,890 7,654 25,512 3,988 7,694 26,913 4,097 7,805 26,810 3,948 8,060 27,594 3,775 8,054 28,090 3,757 8,046 27,901 3,885 8,101 27,690 3,639 7,923 27,431 3,746 60,282 59,856 60,054 60,670 60,069 60,074 Investments: U.S. Treasury securities ....................................... Bills.................................................................... Notes and bonds, by maturity: Within 1 year................................................ 1 to 5 years.................................................... After 5 years................................................. Other securities..................................................... Obligations of States and political subdivisions: Tax warrants, short-term notes, and bills........................................................ 10,750 9,790 60,282 60,321 6,485 40,114 6,297 40,177 6,227 40,319 6,190 40,088 6,234 40,185 6,607 40,538 6,365 40,287 6,190 40,456 2,218 11,465 2,182 11,665 2,147 11,589 2,154 11,424 2,206 11,429 2,214 11,311 2,276 11,141 2,297 11,131 37 Balances with domestic banks................................. 38 Investments in subsidiaries not consolidated........ 39 Other assets.............................................................. 31,676 23,029 5,265 10,922 2,535 51,819 35,372 20,987 5,447 12,063 2,515 49,773 38,696 22,129 5,656 12,279 2,507 50,534 38,300 19,670 5,343 13,479 2,506 51,375 32,126 18,934 5,283 12,665 2,522 50,421 37,776 19,418 5,582 12,620 2,579 51,181 35,642 23,786 5,735 12,126 2,543 51,485 35,947 21,399 5,863 14,375 2,530 51,878 40 Total assets/total liabilities...................................... 529,942 534,346 538,797 540,455 534,731 545,196 540,995 542,056 162,147 167,657 121,973 6,161 1,983 169,719 173,207 164,326 178,073 167,195 120,055 6,046 1,255 170,095 21,229 796 23,787 802 24,854 789 25,902 860 23,813 821 24,610 842 23,552 722 26,193 754 869 5,624 6,273 793 5,773 6,385 1,116 5,925 6,346 1,302 5,847 6,939 1,160 5,684 5,829 868 5,721 6,484 1,019 5,484 7,271 1,146 5,848 6,619 30 31 32 33 Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities: Certificates of participation2....................... All other, including corporate stocks......... 34 Cash items in process of collection........................ 35 Reserves with F.R. Banks....................................... 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 Deposits: Demand deposits ................................................... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations.. States and political subdivisions..................... U.S. Govt.......................................................... Domestic interbank: Mutual savings.............................................. Foreign: Governments, official institutions, etc......... Certified and officers’ checks........................... 122,817 6,199 1,673 124,820 6,223 1,314 120,164 5,603 1,252 126,723 5,969 6,856 121,706 6,315 1,126 122,736 5,739 1,060 231,523 230,765 230,274 230,610 231,890 231,912 233,261 234,313 States and political subdivisions..................... 92,038 105,476 19,991 5,410 7,293 92,101 104,748 20,076 5,323 7,179 92,387 104,239 20,068 5,169 7,058 92,716 104,539 19,930 5,097 6,939 93,337 104,974 20,038 5,183 6,948 93,723 104,568 19,908 5,352 6,950 94,119 105,507 20,038 5,311 6,876 94,628 105,976 20,055 5,420 6,837 67,003 51 52 53 54 55 Time and savings deposits 3................................... 65,721 69,062 66,331 68,637 64,690 67,909 61,211 58 3,995 23,344 705 4,093 23,659 50 4,177 23,785 10 3,696 24,743 7 3,693 24,223 5 3,804 24,842 2,081 3,945 24,722 109 3,925 24,512 41,782 41,746 41,730 41,858 41,955 41,870 41,882 41,825 Individuals, partnerships, and corporations: Foreign governments, official institutions, etc. Borrowings from : 57 F.R. Banks........................................................... 58 59 Other liabilities, etc.5.............................................. 60 Total equity capital and subordinated notes/debentures6............................................. 1 Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 2 Federal agencies only. 3 Includes U.S. Govt, and foreign bank deposits not shown separately. 4 Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 5 Includes minority interest in consolidated subsidiaries and deferred tax portion of reserves for loans. 6 Includes reserves for securities and contingency portion of reserves for loans. Weekly Reporting Banks A21 1.28 LARGE WEEKLY REPORTING CO M M ERCIAL BANKS IN NEW YO RK CITY Assets and Liabilities Millions o f dollars, Wednesday figures 1977 Account Feb. 9 1 Total loans and investments........................................ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Loans: Federal funds sold 1.............................................. To commercial banks....................................... To brokers and dealers involving— U.S. Treasury securities............................... Other securities............................................. To others.......................................................... Other, gross .......................................................... Commercial and industrial.............................. Agricultural...................................................... For purchasing or carrying securities: To brokers and dealers: U.S. Treasury securities........................... Other securities........................................ To others: U.S. Treasury securities........................... Other securities......................................... To nonbank financial institutions: Personal and sales finance cos., etc............. Other.............................................................. Real estate........................................................ To commercial banks: Domestic....................................................... Foreign.......................................................... Consumer instalment....................................... Foreign governments, official institutions, etc. All other loans.................................................. L ess : Loan loss reserve and unearned income on loans..................................................... Other loans, net .................................................... Feb. 16 Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 88,562 89,235 88,435 89,938 88,967 90,432 90,398 91,896 2,608 3,125 2,852 3,141 2,899 3,393 2,026 2,000 2,221 302 388 254 568 369 263 308 346 504 615 503 386 725 554 142 717 413 237 494 0 641 641 145 1,036 67,433 68,031 67,437 68,159 69,410 33,641 113 34,045 113 67,868 33,577 115 66,839 67,206 1,192 4,435 1,071 4,912 1,097 4,291 1,427 4,206 2,158 A,211 A,611 896 4,080 1,154 4,210 13 382 13 378 13 374 12 374 12 374 12 373 11 371 11 372 2,357 5,354 8,923 2,315 5,317 8,991 2,314 5,262 8,990 2,396 5,240 8,955 2,422 5,255 8,953 2,508 5,231 8,979 2,433 5,174 8,991 2,492 5,129 8,924 471 2,429 4,034 470 3,609 553 2,629 4,037 474 3,649 602 2,670 4,040 459 3,571 646 2,768 4,045 405 3,738 726 2,603 4,045 374 3,374 718 2,583 4,018 403 3,460 628 2,416 3,998 366 3,457 628 2,397 3,977 426 3,426 1,664 33,642 122 1,925 1,694 1,637 1,145 1,478 33,982 115 34,170 120 3,135 33,897 121 4,043 33,939 121 1,685 1,687 1,706 1,720 1,720 1,697 65,773 66,346 65,750 66,453 66,148 67,690 65,142 65,588 11,494 11,836 2,917 11,798 12,315 3,128 742 6,783 841 639 7,273 1,007 8,560 1,660 Investments: 1,618 12,775 3,549 12,232 11,877 3,081 3,064 11,230 2,602 657 7,309 847 817 7,622 795 831 7,677 718 868 7,266 819 889 7,227 697 868 7,078 682 8,631 8,567 8,523 8,576 8,581 8,408 8,374 926 5,967 929 6,019 6,040 909 893 5,954 869 5,974 939 6,063 995 5,936 843 5,975 235 1,432 221 1,462 222 1,396 220 1,456 220 1,513 220 1,359 220 1,257 220 1,336 Cash items in process of collection........................ Reserves with F.R. Banks....................................... Currency and coin................................................... Balances with domestic banks................................. Investments in subsidiaries not consolidated........ Other assets.................................................................... 11,210 7,556 775 4,760 1,166 19,019 11,725 6,373 784 5,528 1,167 17,450 12,475 6,080 803 5,267 1,173 17,262 11,854 5,353 763 6,603 1,184 17,820 10,316 6,081 815 5,869 1,157 17,012 12,355 5,128 892 5,473 1,190 17,424 13,398 6,048 913 5,739 1,191 17,901 13,596 5,386 921 6,757 1,165 40 Total assets/total liabilities.......................................... 132,921 132,965 132,027 134,009 131,648 134,358 133,752 134,605 47,879 49,478 46,048 51,125 48,958 49,793 21,621 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 U.S. Treasury securities....................................... Bills................................................................... Notes and bonds, by maturity: Within 1 year................................................ 1 to 5 years................................................... After 5 years................................................. Other securities..................................................... Obligations of States and political subdivisions: Tax warrants, short-term notes, and bills.. All other........................................................ Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities: Certificates of participation2....................... All other, including corporate stocks......... Deposits: Demand deposits ................................................... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations.. States and political subdivisions..................... U.S. Govt.......................................................... Domestic interbank: Commercial.................................................. Mutual savings............................................. Foreign: Governments, official institutions, etc......... Commercial banks....................................... Certified and officers’ checks........................... Time and savings deposits3................................... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations: Savings.......................................................... O ther............................................................. States and political subdivisions..................... Domestic interbank.......................................... Foreign governments, official institutions, etc. 56 Federal funds purchased, etc.4............................... Borrowings from: 57 F.R. Banks............................................................ 58 Others.................................................. ................ 59 Other liabilities, etc.5.............................................. 60 Total equity capital and subordinated notes/debentures 6............................................. 46,228 47,074 27,671 733 158 17,545 28,880 657 1,994 11,743 419 11,069 419 11,102 436 10,841 347 12,494 381 870 4,599 3,018 1,057 4,498 3,209 925 4,385 2,647 657 4,337 3,062 800 4,192 4,216 912 4,510 3,267 42,371 41,955 41,881 41,875 41,609 41,748 42,163 10,602 23,410 1,208 2,306 4,105 10,609 23,090 1,220 2,227 4,065 10,701 23,143 1,176 2,096 4,003 10,739 23,065 1,193 2,091 4,025 10,767 22,753 1,219 2,109 3,997 10,773 23,083 1,219 2,003 3,910 10,920 23,190 1,333 2,099 3,861 19,373 18,070 17,502 18,121 19,619 16,978 17,275 18,018 0 2,125 10,472 685 2,184 10,683 50 2,178 10,559 0 1,846 10,778 0 1,791 10,401 0 1,650 11,087 1,107 1,729 11,015 0 1,861 10,841 11,879 11,898 11,904 11,905 11,914 11,909 11,920 11,929 26,960 629 294 27,325 620 180 9,450 426 10,636 406 10,866 401 635 4,231 3,113 579 4,517 3,053 42,844 10,548 23,877 1,127 2,390 4,153 27,903 543 106 3,279 26,011 511 81 27,566 676 131 1 Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 2 Federal agencies only. 3 Includes U.S. Govt, and foreign bank deposits not shown sepaately. 4 Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 2,985 500 102 5 Includes minority interest in consolidated subsidiaries and deferred tax portion of reserves for loans. 6 Includes reserves for securities and contingency portion of reserves for loans. A22 1.29 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T IN G C O M M E R C IA L B A N K S O U T S ID E N E W Y O R K C IT Y A ssets and L iab ilities Millions of dollars, Wednesday figures 1977 Account Feb. 9 1 Total loans and investments..................................... 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Loans: To commercial banks....................................... To brokers and dealers involving— U.S. Treasury securities............................... Other securities............................................. To others.......................................................... Other, gross .......................................................... Commercial and industrial.............................. Agricultural...................................................... For purchasing or carrying securities: To brokers and dealers: U.S. Treasury securities........................... Other securities......................................... To others: U.S. Treasury securities........................... Other securities......................................... To nonbank financial institutions: Personal and sales finance cos., etc............. O ther............................................................. Real estate........................................................ To commercial banks: Domestic....................................................... Consumer instalment....................................... Foreign governments, official institutions, etc. All other loans.................................................. Less : Loan reserve and unearned income on loans.................................................... Investments: U.S. Treasury securities........................................ Feb. 16 Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 316,261 318,251 318,029 319,350 322,382 324,144 321,116 320,829 17,474 18,192 18,429 18,562 21,091 20,376 17,454 17,605 14,242 14,937 15,423 15,297 16,859 14,896 14,116 14,055 1,921 439 872 1,968 542 745 1,781 730 495 1,892 577 796 2,438 616 1,178 3,167 623 1,690 1,994 451 893 2,116 517 917 217,365 217,956 217,931 219,104 218,951 220,273 221,092 220,925 81,209 4,065 81,458 4,059 81,810 4,052 82,153 4,078 82,343 4,108 82,890 4,125 83,202 4,130 82,835 4,147 225 3,397 186 3,562 186 3,284 172 3,451 169 3,450 362 3,215 229 3,433 208 3,509 62 2,158 64 2,142 62 2,138 59 2,136 58 2,140 59 2,155 58 2,147 61 2,155 4,714 10,774 55,213 4,686 10,689 55,390 4,658 10,575 55,473 4,706 10,621 55,541 4,710 10,652 55,550 4,755 10,679 55,845 4,860 10,593 55,939 4,756 10,655 56,024 1,290 3,162 35,348 1,427 14,321 1,260 3,216 35,420 1,414 14,410 1,241 3,158 35,432 1,402 14,460 1,336 3,126 35,500 1,423 14,802 1,230 3,065 35,447 1,394 14,635 1,364 3,101 35,498 1,354 14,871 1,436 3,076 35,593 1,462 14,934 1,434 3,053 35,778 1,433 14,877 6,953 210,412 6,989 7,000 7,014 210,931 6,979 7,053 7,086 210,967 212,125 211,937 213,220 214,006 213,864 36,653 37,402 36,954 37,330 37,876 38,459 37,995 37,660 7,178 20,635 3,066 7,212 20,463 2,942 7,055 20,353 3,064 7,865 7,617 7,204 7,135 7,201 7,580 7,061 32 33 Bills.................................................................... Notes and bonds, by maturity: Within 1 year................................................ 1 to 5 years.................................................... After 5 years................................................. Other securities ..................................................... Obligations of States and political subdivisions: Tax warrants, short-term notes, and bills.. All other........................................................ Other bonds, corporate stocks, and securities: Certificates of participation2....................... All other, including corporate stocks......... 34 35 36 37 38 39 Cash items in process of collection......................... Reserves with F. R. Banks...................................... Currency and coin.................................................... Balances with domestic banks................................. Investments in subsidiaries not consolidated........ Other assets.............................................................. 20,466 15,473 4,490 6,162 1,369 32,800 23,647 14,614 4,663 6,535 1,348 32,323 26,221 16,049 4,853 7,012 1,334 33,272 26,446 14,317 4,580 6,876 1,322 33,555 21,810 12,853 4,468 6,796 1,365 33,409 25,421 14,290 4,690 7,147 1,389 33,757 22,244 17,738 4,822 6,387 1,352 33,584 22,351 16,013 4,942 7,618 1,365 34,333 40 Total assets/total liabilities....................................... 397,021 401,381 406,770 406,446 403,083 410,838 407,243 407,451 115,919 120,583 121,840 123,729 118,278 126,948 118,237 120,302 26 27 28 29 30 31 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 Deposits: Demand deposits.................................................... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations.. States and political subdivisions..................... U.S. Govt.......................................................... Domestic interbank: Commercial.................................................. Mutual savings............................................. Foreign: Governments, official institutions, etc......... Commercial banks....................................... Certified and officers’ checks........................... Individuals, partnerships, and corporations: Savings.......................................................... States and political subdivisions..................... Domestic interbank.......................................... Foreign governments, official institutions, etc. 56 Federal funds purchased, etc.4............................... Borrowings from : 57 F. R. Banks.......................................................... 58 Others.................................................................... 59 Other liabilities, etc. 5.............................................. 60 Total equity capital and subordinated notes/debentures 6............................................. 6,912 18,729 3,147 7,188 51,722 7,055 19,640 3,090 7,148 19,501 3,101 7,243 19,972 2,980 7,223 20,413 3,039 51,690 51,715 51,333 51,478 52,089 51,661 51,700 5,559 34,147 5,368 34,158 5,318 34,279 5,297 34,134 5,365 34,211 5,668 34,475 5,370 34,351 5,347 34,481 1,983 10,033 1,961 10,203 1,925 10,193 1,934 9,968 1,986 9,916 1,994 9,952 2,056 9,884 2,077 9,795 92,489 5,370 1,124 95,013 5,532 1,689 95,492 5,579 1,493 96,917 5,680 1,208 94,153 5,092 1,171 97,843 5,312 4,862 94,035 5,582 968 95,109 5,239 958 11,779 370 13,151 396 13,988 388 14,159 441 12,744 402 13,508 406 12,711 375 13,699 373 234 1,393 3,160 214 1,256 3,332 246 1,326 3,328 245 1,349 3,730 235 1,299 3,182 188,679 188,394 188,319 211 1,384 3,422 219 1,292 3,055 234 1,338 3,352 188,729 190,015 190,303 191,513 192,150 81,490 81,599 18,864 3,020 3,140 81,499 81,338 18,868 3,017 3,074 81,778 81,149 18,848 2,942 2,993 82,015 81,396 18,754 3,001 2,936 82,598 81,909 18,845 3,092 2,923 82,956 81,815 18,689 3,243 2,923 83,346 82,424 18,819 3,308 2,966 83,708 82,786 18,722 3,321 2,976 47,630 47,651 51,560 48,210 49,018 47,712 50,634 49,259 58 1,870 12,872 20 1,909 12,976 0 1,999 13,226 10 1,850 13,965 7 1,902 13,822 5 2,154 13,755 974 2,216 13,707 109 2,064 13,671 29,993 29,848 29,826 29,953 30,041 29,961 29,962 29,896 1 Includes securities purchased under agreements to resell. 2 Federal agencies only. 3 Includes U.S. Govt, and foreign bank deposits not shown sepa rately. 4 Includes securities sold under agreements to repurchase. 7,378 5 Includes minority interest in consolidated subsidiaries and deferred tax portion of reserves for loans. 6 Includes reserves for securities and contingency portion of reserves for loans. Weekly Reporting Banks A23 1.30 LARGE W EEKLY REPORTING CO M M ERCIAL BANKS Balance Sheet Memoranda M illions o f dollars, W ednesday figures 1977 Account and bank group Feb. 9 1 2 3 Total loans (gross) and investments, adjusted1 Large banks ...................................................... New York City banks................................. Banks outside New York City.................... A 5 6 Total loans (gross), adjusted Large banks ...................................................... New York City banks................................. Banks outside New York City.................... 7 8 9 Demand deposits, adjusted2 Large banks ...................................................... New York City banks................................. Banks outside New York City.................... 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Large negotiable time CD’s included in time and savings deposits3 Total: Large banks.......................................................... New York City............................................ Banks outside New York City.................... Issued to IPC’s : Large banks ...................................................... New York City Banks................................. Banks outside New York City.................... Issued to others: Large banks ...................................................... New York City banks................................. Banks outside New York City.................... All other large time deposits4 Total: 19 Large banks................................... ...................... 20 New York City banks................................. 21 Banks outside New York City.................... Issued to IPC’s : 22 Large banks ...................................................... 23 New York City banks................................. 24 Banks outside New York City.................... Issued to others: 25 Large banks ...................................................... 26 New York City banks................................. 27 Banks outside New York City.................... 37 38 39 Savings deposits, by ownership category Individuals and nonprofit organizations: Large banks ...................................................... New York City banks................................. Banks outside New York City.................... Partnerships and corporations for profit:5 Large banks ...................................................... New York City banks................................. Banks outside New York City.................... Domestic governmental units: Large banks ...................................................... New York City banks................................. Banks outside New York C ity.................... All other:6 Large banks ........................................................ New York City banks................................... Banks outside New York City..................... 40 41 42 Gross liabilities of banks to their foreign branches Large banks ........................................................ New York City banks................................... Banks outside New York City..................... 43 44 45 Loans sold outright to selected institutions by all large banks7 Commercial and industrial............................... Real estate......................................................... All other............................................................. 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 Feb. 16 Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 395,642 398,188 396,723 399,551 401,221 405,809 400,281 400,405 87,960 307,682 89,145 309,043 287,213 288,629 67,906 219,307 68,678 219,951 107,987 106,515 25,437 82,550 62,148 22,155 39,993 40,737 287,689 67,993 219,696 104,496 89,855 309,696 290,050 107,691 107,135 61,225 21,639 39,586 60,374 21,184 39,190 60,206 20,916 39,290 39,912 39,350 39,375 14,706 25,206 21,411 21,313 14,384 24,966 21,024 6,800 14,224 290,516 68,563 221,953 24,358 80,138 15,170 25,567 89,914 311,307 69,017 221,033 24,419 82,096 25,775 81,916 24,582 82,553 60,774 20,941 39,833 39, 733 90,872 314,937 294,448 70,059 224,389 108,831 25,674 83,157 60,277 20,472 39,805 39,141 87,631 312,650 290,340 291,441 106,875 106,895 67,346 222,994 24,561 82,314 68,400 223,041 23,601 83,294 61,253 20,642 40,611 61,768 20,858 40,910 40,113 40,473 14,282 25,093 14,265 25,468 13,829 25,312 14,205 25,908 20,831 21,041 21,136 21,140 14,251 26,222 21,295 6,933 14,380 26,101 5,289 20,812 26,076 5,247 20,829 26,141 5,287 20,854 26,091 5,303 20,788 25,990 5,200 20,790 25,928 5,303 20,625 25,778 5,247 20,531 25,723 5,252 20,471 14,239 14,224 14,253 14,303 14,221 14,224 14,065 14,113 3,898 10,341 3,876 10,348 11,862 11,852 1,391 10,471 84,600 1,371 10,481 84,656 3,888 10,365 11,888 1,399 10,489 84,891 515 4,218 524 4,276 2,565 2,607 2,613 110 26 78 27 2,671 3,036 2,545 212 1,137 2,553 211 1,096 1,722 949 2,009 1,027 85,209 4,810 4,733 509 4,228 105 1,352 10,436 4,800 4,737 136 11,788 9,628 75,581 9,567 75,089 442 2,165 3,951 10,352 9,587 75,304 9,511 75,089 418 2,147 6,634 14,197 88,004 312,401 6,985 14,426 1 Exclusive of loans and Federal funds transactions with domestic commercial banks. . 2 All demand deposits except U.S. Govt, and domestic commercial banks, less cash items in process of collection. 3 Certificates of deposit (CD’s) issued in denominations of $100,000 or more. 4 All other time deposits issued in denominations of $100,000 or more (not included in large negotiable CD’s). 88,358 308,365 6,676 14,365 3,862 10,359 11,769 1,338 10,431 85,728 6,437 14,703 3,842 10,223 11,713 1,405 10,308 86,572 6,607 14,688 3,861 10,252 11,610 1,391 10,219 87,031 9,745 76,827 9,816 77,215 533 4,333 533 4,398 4,931 4,978 2,600 2,570 2,521 452 2,148 446 2,124 422 2,099 2,510 A ll 103 92 95 83 59 96 24 74 22 3,831 3,515 2,644 205 1,106 86,195 4,866 471 2,130 2,612 212 1,118 1,401 10,303 4,906 2,601 2,486 1,029 11,704 9,716 76,479 531 4,375 2,930 901 3,902 10,322 9,675 76,053 528 4,282 439 2,174 6,643 14,493 81 22 72 20 73 22 3,158 4,785 3,682 2,359 799 2,667 211 1,073 3,827 958 2,674 173 1,078 2,643 1,039 2,718 213 1,067 544 4,434 2,038 109 88 21 3,789 3,027 762 2,721 216 1,105 5 Other than commercial banks. 6 Domestic and foreign commercial banks, and official international organizations. 7 To bank’s own foreign branches, nonconsolidated nonbank af filiates of the bank, the bank’s holding company (if not a bank), and nonconsolidated nonbank subsidiaries of the holding company. A24 1.31 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 L A R G E W E E K L Y R E P O R T IN G C O M M E R C IA L B A N K S Millions of dollars C om m ercial and Industrial L oan s Outstanding Industry group Net change during— 1977 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 1976 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 Q4 1977 Jan. Ql Feb. | Mar. Total loans classified2 1 Total.................................................... 95,735 95,739 96,240 96,148 95,946 4,037 -7 6 0 -2 ,1 9 6 664 I ll 2 3 4 5 6 Durable goods manufacturing: Primary metals............................... Machinery....................................... Transportation equipment............. Other fabricated metal products... Other durable goods...................... 2,579 4,704 2,190 1,778 3,231 2,621 4,711 2,171 1,829 3,275 2,626 4,866 2,296 1,889 3,365 2,619 4,790 2,310 1,888 3,350 2,577 4,762 2.294 1,886 3,358 138 41 -1 8 0 22 -249 377 104 64 176 104 189 -7 2 -2 0 -1 2 -1 4 7 148 44 -1 3 77 81 40 132 97 111 170 7 8 9 10 11 Nondurable goods manufacturing: Food, liquor, and tobacco............. Textiles, apparel, and leather........ Petroleum refining.......................... Chemicals and rubber.................... Other nondurable goods................ 3,310 3,318 2,489 2,616 1,972 3,345 3,397 2,446 2,661 1,995 3,377 3,414 2,352 2,714 2,020 3,378 3.408 2,340 2,726 2,018 3,366 3,375 2,348 2,690 2,037 128 -5 0 4 120 18 14 -1 3 4 379 -293 132 140 -8 8 121 -2 -1 3 2 -4 3 128 -1 1 7 31 61 -3 130 -1 7 4 114 77 12 Mining, including crude petroleum and natural gas........................... Trade: 13 Commodity dealers......................... 14 Other wholesale.............................. 15 Retail............................................... 16 Transportation.................................... 17 Communication.................................. 18 Other public utilities........................... 19 Construction....................................... 20 Services................................................ 21 All other domestic loans................... 22 Bankers acceptances........................... 23 Foreign commercial and industrial loans............................................ M 7,422 7,451 7,477 7,443 7,436 361 115 84 12 19 2,158 6,488 6,374 5,216 1,588 5,648 3,935 10,854 2,142 6,610 6,405 5,174 1,475 5,604 3,932 10,909 2,187 6,693 6,452 5,203 1,512 5,619 3,903 10,913 2,134 6,695 6,546 5,196 1,443 5,591 3,968 10,919 2,140 6,730 6,532 5,178 1,349 5,556 3,974 10,965 377 211 -268 81 -131 -101 -203 129 207 470 434 -1 2 7 -9 -4 5 65 410 -2 1 -5 2 3 -263 53 12 -4 8 243 197 165 100 135 183 92 67 62 31 357 331 1 -245 -149 46 105 7,542 4,378 7,451 4,201 7,512 3,972 7,679 3,870 7,656 3,903 576 3,285 -263 -2 ,9 7 0 -415 -1,811 -1 0 6 -631 258 -528 5,945 5,934 5,878 5,837 5,834 172 -9 6 61 -9 -1 4 8 320 241 -248 -1 9 2 -4 2 -1 4 116,774 4,264 191 -2 ,1 4 5 1,013 1,323 em o: 24 Commercial paper included in total classified loans1................. 25 Total commercial and industrial loans of all large weekly reporting banks........................... 116,198 116,325 117,060 1977 1976 Nov. 24 117,099 Dec. 29 Jan. 26 Feb. 23 1976 Mar. 30 1977 Q4 Ql 1977 Jan. Feb. Mar. “Term” loans classified3 26 Total.................................................... r44,812 45,211 45,291 45,735 45,838 r450 627 80 444 103 27 28 29 30 31 Durable goods manufacturing: Primary metals................................ Machinery....................................... Transportation equipment............. Other fabricated metal products... Other durable goods....................... 1,253 2,637 1,303 777 1,655 1,317 2,585 1,352 776 1,625 1,449 2,587 1,365 767 1,549 1,481 2,551 1,298 815 1,585 1,521 2,552 1,339 820 1,625 103 -9 0 -2 9 20 r- l l l 204 -3 3 -1 3 44 132 2 13 -9 -7 5 32 -3 6 -6 7 48 36 40 1 41 5 40 32 33 34 35 36 Nondurable goods manufacturing: Food, liquor, and tobacco............. Textiles, apparel, and leather........ Petroleum refining.......................... Chemicals and rubber.................... Other nondurable goods................ 1,392 1,118 1,864 1,449 950 1,398 1,098 1,972 1,444 954 1,449 1,033 1,925 1,456 975 1,447 1,036 1,901 1,522 987 1,412 1,071 1,770 1,547 1,032 -3 7 -4 6 r64 -2 0 r 19 14 -2 7 -202 103 78 51 -6 5 -4 6 12 20 -2 3 -2 4 66 12 -3 5 35 -131 25 45 5,517 5,683 5,793 5,761 5,856 341 173 110 -3 2 95 r219 1,474 2,249 3,809 913 3,549 rl ,665 5,151 2,567 200 1,463 2,045 3,937 847 3,664 1,629 4,998 2,600 227 1,483 2,085 3,720 810 3,762 1,638 5,212 2,383 219 1,478 '2,212 r3,830 829 3,869 1,683 5,216 2,352 199 1,478 2,273 3,773 779 3,907 1,661 5,111 2,426 -9 69 -8 9 27 20 40 -218 -3 7 98 9 214 -217 -8 -5 -2 0 -5 6 60 r —62 31 181 -1 15 228 -1 6 4 -6 8 243 32 113 -1 7 4 r3,301 3,624 3,623 3,663 3,686 '108 62 37 Mining, including crude petroleum and natural gas........................... Trade: 38 Commodity dealers......................... 39 Other wholesale.............................. 40 Retail............................................... 41 Transportation................................... 42 Communication.................................. 43 Other public utilities........................... 44 Construction....................................... 45 Services................................................ 46 All other domestic loans................... 47 Foreign commercial and industrial loans............................................ 1 Reported for the last Wednesday of each month. 2 Includes “term” loans, shown below. 3 Outstanding loans with an original maturity of more than 1 year and r3 -1 '110 19 107 45 4 40 61 -5 7 -5 0 38 -2 2 -105 74 -3 1 23 m i all outstanding loans granted under a formal agreement—revolving credit or standby—on which the original maturity of the commitment was in excess of 1 year. A25 Deposits and Commercial Paper 1.32 G R O S S D E M A N D D E P O S IT S o f In d ivid u als, Partnerships, and C orp oration s Billions of dollars; estimated daily-average balances All commercial banks Type of holder 1972 Dec. 1973 Dec. 1974 Dec. 1975 1976 June Sept. Dec. Mar. June Sept. Dec. 1 All holders, IP C ..................................................... 208.0 220.1 225.0 222.2 227.0 236.9 227.9 234.2 236.1 250.1 2 Financial business.................................................. 3 Nonfinancial business............................................ 18.9 109.9 65.4 1.5 12.3 19.1 116.2 70.1 2.4 12.4 19..0 118.8 73.3 2.3 11.7 19.4 115.1 74.8 2.3 10.6 19.0 118.7 76.5 2.2 10.6 20.1 125.1 78.0 2.4 11.3 19.9 116.9 77.2 2.4 11.4 20.3 121.2 78.8 2.5 11.4 19.7 122.6 80.0 2.3 11.5 22.3 130.2 82.6 2.7 12.4 5 Foreign.................................................................... 6 Other....................................................................... All weekly reporting banks 1973 Dec. 1974 Dec. 1975 Dec. 7 All holders, IP C ..................................................... 118.1 119.7 8 Financial business.................................................. 9 Nonfinancial business............................................ 14.9 66.2 28.0 2.2 6.8 14.8 66.9 29.0 2.2 6.8 11 Foreign.................................................................... 12 Other....................................................................... N o t e .— Figures include cash items in process of collection. Estimates of gross deposits are based on reports supplied by a sample of commercial 1.33 Instrument 1 Commercial paper, all issuers............................... 49,144 Financial companies: 1 Dealer-placed paper:2 Total................................................................ Bank-related.................................................... Directly-placed paper:3 Total................................................................ Bank-related.................................................... 4,611 1,814 4 5 1977 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 124.4 112.9 121.4 123.8 124.3 128.5 127.4 123.0 15.6 69.9 29.9 2.3 6.6 15.0 61.4 29.2 1.8 5.6 15.4 66.6 30.7 2.2 6.6 16.8 68.4 29.6 2.4 6.6 16.2 68.7 30.4 2.5 6.6 17.5 69.7 31.7 2.6 7.1 16.7 69.5 32.0 2.2 7.1 15.6 67.4 31.1 2.4 6.5 banks. Types of depositors in each category are described in the June 1971 B u l l e t in , p. 466. C O M M E R C IA L P A P E R A N D B A N K E R S A C C E P T A N C E S O U T S T A N D IN G Millions of dollars, end of period 1974 Dec. 2 3 1976 31,839 6,518 1975 Dec. 1976 Dec. 47,690 r52,041 6,239 1,762 7,294 ’•1,900 1977 1976 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. r50,100 r49,852 r51,370 r53,116 r52,041 r53,905 6,243 rl ,612 6,347 *•1,644 6,674 rl ,703 7,294 *■1,900 Feb. 54,216 7,347 *•1,895 7,291 1,929 31,276 *•32,416 r31.537 r31,476 r31,880 *•32,691 *32,416 *■32,753 6,892 r5,959 r5,916 r6 ,250 *•5,864 *•5,944 *•5,959 *•5,637 32,176 5,502 7,113 *•1,825 12,694 10,175 12,331 12,320 12,029 12,816 13,312 12,331 13,805 14,749 18,484 6 Nonfinancial companies4...................................... 18,727 22,523 19,383 19,599 20,312 20,678 22,523 22,362 22,187 6,798 9,031 10,442 Held by: 7,333 5,899 1,435 10,442 8,769 1,673 6,107 3,685 542 Foreign correspondents................................. 999 1,109 1,126 293 991 375 808 442 Others.................................................................. 12,150 9,975 Based on: 14 Imports into United States............................... 15 16 All other.............................................................. 4,023 4,067 10,394 3,726 4,001 11,000 8 9 10 11 12 13 Accepting banks.................................................. F.R. Banks: 4,226 1 Institutions engaged primarily in activities such as, but not limited to, commercial, savings, and mortgage banking; sales, personal, and mortgage financing; factoring, finance leasing, and other business lending; insurance underwriting; and other investment activities. 2 Includes all financial company paper sold by dealers in the open market. 5,449 658 4,530 4,355 10,498 7,991 7,011 1,172 6,654 1,337 991 375 191 374 322 440 11,629 *•11,111 *•10,715 *•13,615 13,434 4,992 5,137 12,233 5,138 5,074 11,974 7,706 1,325 838 417 337 387 188 349 4,498 4,420 10,680 8,183 8,769 1,673 6,789 1,170 13,447 r 12,026 *•11,545 4,992 4,818 12,713 7,959 5,865 933 4,737 4,715 10,860 4,667 4,628 11,383 4,992 4,818 12,713 3 As reported by financial companies that place their paper directly with investors. 4 Includes public utilities and firms engaged primarily in activities such as communications, construction, manufacturing, mining, wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and services, A26 Domestic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 1.34 PRIM E RATE CHARGED BY BANKS on Short-term Business Loans Per cent per annum Rate Effective date 1975—Jan. Feb. 9 15 20 28 Month 1975—Aug. 12 1014 10 3 10 18 24 Effective date 9Va 9 9% Oct. 27 5 m Dec. 2 iv a 83/4 81/2 m 1976—Jan. 12 21 7 6V4 m m June May 20 1 7 7 7V4 m June Aug. 2 7 7 Oct. 4 Nov. 1 6V 4 6V2 6V 4 8 9 July 18 28 7% m Dec. 13 7.00 6.75 6.75 6.75 6.75 7.20 7.25 7.01 7.00 6.78 6.50 6.35 1977—Jan.. Feb. Mar. m Nov. 7.66 7.88 7.96 7.53 7.26 1976—Jan.. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July. Aug. Sept. O ct., Nov. Dec. 8 5 10 18 24 Mar. 1.35 1975—Aug. Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec. 7% Sept. 15 9V4 Average rate 6.25 6.25 6.25 IN T E R E S T R A T E S C H A R G E D B Y B A N K S on B usiness L oan s Per cent per annum Size of loan (in thousands of dollars) All sizes Center 10-99 1--9 1976 Nov. 1976 Aug. 1976 Nov. 1976 Aug. 1976 Nov. 100-499 1976 Aug. 1976 Nov. 1976 Aug. 500-999 1976 Nov. 1,000 and over 1976 Aug. 1976 Nov. 1976 Aug. Short-term rates 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7.28 New York C ity................. 7 Other Northeast............ 8 North Central................ 8 Southwest....................... 4 West Coast..................... 7.80 8.83 9.06 8.18 8.58 7.66 7.99 7.31 7.84 7.02 7.61 6.88 7.62 7.28 7.51 7.33 7.52 7.48 8.18 7.70 7.95 7.75 8.15 8.56 9.22 8.45 9.13 8.51 8.69 8.85 9.41 8.65 9.33 8.83 9.26 7.94 8.34 8.12 8.48 7.82 8.46 8.40 8.84 8.50 8.76 8.24 8.79 7.43 7.88 7.69 7.71 7.39 7.88 7.91 8.25 7.85 8.00 7.80 8.28 7.24 7.49 7.36 7.04 7.21 7.44 7.77 8.16 7.71 7.85 7.61 8.06 6.74 7.34 7.03 7.07 7.12 7.34 7.36 7.98 7.55 7.54 7.55 8.05 Revolving credit rates 8 All 35 centers........................ 9 10 11 12 13 14 New York City................. 7 Other N ortheast............ 8 North Central................ 7 Southeast........................ 4 West Coast..................... 7.19 7.87 7.18 6.92 7.54 7.05 7.45 7.11 8.14 7.59 7.96 7.48 7.81 7.73 8.37 8.70 8.14 8.33 7.60 8.02 7.41 7.80 7.12 7.88 7.23 8.15 8.52 8.31 8.19 8.77 7.25 8.00 8.94 8.75 8.74 9.10 7.86 8.20 8.95 8.09 7.96 7.85 8.26 8.22 9.03 8.40 8.09 8.08 7.21 7.26 8.05 7.56 7.74 7.58 7.70 7.67 8.50 8.16 8.20 7.95 6.97 7.56 7.75 8.36 7.74 7.88 6.77 7.24 " '7 A 7 7.91 7.45 7.19 6.75 7.39 6.83 7.39 7.01 8.19 7.47 7.90 7.13 7.80 7.68 Long-term rates 15 All 35 centers........................ 7.48 8.45 9.39 16 17 18 19 20 21 7.36 6.64 7.66 7.59 7.73 8.04 8.52 8.62 8.05 8.88 8.42 8.67 7.19 9.22 9.20 9.87 10.54 8.70 New York City................. 7 Other Northeast............. 8 North Central................ 7 Southeast........................ 8 Southwest....................... 4 West Coast..................... 9.61 8.88 9.02 8.14 8.55 8.13 8.60 7.24 8.40 9.40 8.83 9.60 10.85 9.28 8.55 8.84 9.03 9.35 9.05 8.54 8.27 9.43 9.07 9.08 9.04 8.58 7.93 7.95 8.35 7.93 8.28 8.31 8.05 8.93 8.26 9.88 8.23 8.81 8.06 7.92 8.99 4.00 8.44 7.78 8.44 7.50 8.36 8.18 8.69 10.00 7.26 5.73 7.32 7.79 7.20 8.03 8.56 8.70 7.92 8.06 8.30 8.46 N o t e .—Weighted-average rates based on sample of loans made during first 7 days of the survey month. Securities M a r k e ts A 27 1.36 INTEREST RATES Money and Capital Markets Averages, per cent per annum Instrument 1974 1975 1976 1977 1976 Dec. Feb. Jan. 1977, week ending— Mar. Mar. 5 Mar. 12 Mar. 19 Mar. 26 Apr. 2 Money market rates 1 2 Prime commercial paper 1 90- to 119-day............... 4- to 6-month................ 10.05 9.87 6.26 6.33 5.24 5.35 4.66 4.70 4.72 4.74 4.76 4.82 4.75 4.87 4.75 4.85 4.75 4.85 4.75 4.88 4.75 4.88 4.75 4.88 4.85 3 Finance company paper, directly placed, 3- to 6- month 2................................. 8.62 6.16 5.22 4.56 4.64 4.75 4.77 4.75 4.75 4.75 4.85 4 Prime bankers acceptances, 90-day 3. 9.92 6.30 5.19 4.62 4.81 4.83 4.80 4.83 4.84 4.81 4.79 4.76 5 Federal funds 4................................... 10.51 5.82 5.05 4.65 4.61 4.68 4.69 4.68 4.63 4.62 4.77 4.74 10.27 6.43 5.26 5.15 4.67 4.44 4.82 4.68 4.65 4.69 4.83 4.74 4.88 4.75 4.87 4.75 4.83 4.75 4.80 4.71 4.81 4.75 10.96 6.97 5.57 5.01 5.14 5.08 5.13 5.15 5.09 5.10 7.84 7.95 7.71 5.80 6.11 6.30 4.98 5.26 5.52 4.35 4.51 4.64 4.62 4.83 5.00 4.67 4.90 5.16 4.60 4.88 5.19 4.66 4.93 5.23 4.63 4.92 5.22 4.59 4.87 5.18 4.57 4.85 5.17 4.57 4.81 5.15 7.886 7.926 5.838 6.122 4.989 5.266 4.354 4.513 4.597 4.783 4.662 4.896 4.613 4.883 4.708 4.943 4.652 4.965 4.545 4.813 4.553 4.826 4.609 4.870 6 7 Large negotiable certificates of deposit 3-month, secondary market 5............ 3-month, primary market ............... 8 Euro-dollar deposits, 3-month ?. 9 10 11 12 13 U.S. Govt, securities Bills: 8 Market yields: 3-month................ 6-month................ 1-year............. Rates on new issue: 3-month................ 6-month................ 5.24 14 15 Notes and bonds maturing in— 9 9 to 12 m onths......................... 3 to 5 years............................... 8.25 7.81 6.70 7.55 5.84 6.94 4.92 5.96 5.34 6.49 5.50 6.69 5.50 6.73 5.55 6.76 5.54 6.77 5.50 6.71 5.46 6.68 5.45 6.70 16 17 18 19 Constant maturities: 10 1-yea r 2-yea r 3-yea r 5-year......................... 8.18 6.76 7.82 7.80 7.49 7.77 5.88 6.31 6.77 7.18 4.89 5.38 5.68 6.10 5.29 5.90 6.22 6.58 5.47 6.09 6.44 6.83 5.50 6.09 6.47 6.93 5.55 6.11 6.49 6.96 5.52 6.12 6.50 6.96 5.49 6.08 6.46 6.90 5.49 6.06 6.44 6.89 5.45 6.05 6.45 6.94 7.22 7.46 7.75 7.81 7.21 7.23 7.49 7.76 7.82 7.22 7.17 7.45 7.72 7.78 7.20 7.18 7.45 7.71 7.77 7.18 7.22 7.45 7.73 7.79 7.19 Capital market rates 20 21 22 23 24 Government notes and bonds U.S. Treasury: Constant maturities:10 7-year................................................ 10-year........................... .................. 20-year.............................................. 30-year.............................................. Long-term 9.......................................... 25 26 27 State and local: 11 Moody’s series: A aa.................................................... B aa.................................................... Bond Buyer series 12............................ 7.71 7.56 8.05 7.90 7.99 8.19 7.42 7.61 7.86 6.37 6.87 7.30 6.92 7.21 7.48 7.16 7.39 7.64 6.99 6.98 6.78 6.39 6.68 7.15 7.20 7.46 7.73 7.80 7.20 5.89 6.53 6.17 6.42 7.62 7.05 5.66 7.49 6.64 5.07 6.73 5.94 5.10 6.58 5.87 5.17 6.50 5.89 5.21 6.41 5.89 5.20 6.47 5.92 5.23 6.43 5.92 5.20 6.40 5.90 5.20 6.40 5.88 5.20 6.35 5.85 9.03 9.57 9.01 8.47 8.41 8.48 8.51 8.51 8.52 8.50 8.51 8.53 29 30 31 32 Corporate bonds Seasoned issues 13 All industries........................................ By rating groups: A aa.................................................... A a...................................................... A ........................................................ Baa.................................................... 8.57 8.84 9.20 9.50 8.83 9.17 9.65 10.61 8.43 8.75 9.09 9.75 7.98 8.24 8.53 9.12 7.96 8.16 8.45 9.08 8.04 8.26 8.49 9.12 8.10 8.28 8.55 9.12 8.10 8.27 8.52 9.16 8.12 8.26 8.53 9.15 8.09 8.28 8.54 9.10 8.09 8.29 8.56 9.09 8.10 8.31 8.59 9.11 33 34 Aaa utility bonds:14 New issue.............................................. Recently offered issues......................... 9.33 9.34 9.40 9.41 8.48 8.49 7.94 7.93 8.08 8.09 8.22 8.19 8.25 8.29 8.27 8.30 8.32 8.23 8.27 8.22 8.29 8.25 8.26 35 36 Common stocks Dividend/price ratio: Preferred stocks.................................... Common stocks................................... 8.23 4.47 8.38 4.31 7.97 3.77 7.70 3.99 7.54 3.99 7.55 4.21 7.56 4.37 4.35 7.51 4.37 7.61 4.29 7.51 4.38 7.56 4.47 7.60 28 1 Averages of the most representative daily offering rate quoted by dealers. 2 Averages of the most representative daily offering rates published by finance companies for varying maturities in this range. 3 Beginning Aug. 15, 1974, the rate is the average of the midpoint of the range of daily dealer closing rates offered for domestic issues; prior data are averages of the most representative daily offering rate quoted by dealers. 4 Weekly figures are 7-day averages of daily effective rates for the week ending Wednesday; the daily effective rate is an average of the rates on a given day weighted by the volume of transactions at these rates. 5 Averages of the daily midpoints as determined from the range of offering rates in the secondary market. 6 Posted rates, which are the annual interest rates most often quoted on new offerings of negotiable CD’s in denominations of $100,000 or more. Rates prior to 1976 not available. Weekly figures are for Wednes day dates. 7 Averages of daily quotations for the week ending Wednesday. 8 Except for new bill issues, yields are computed from daily closing bid prices. Yields for all bills are quoted on a bank-discount basis. 9 Unweighted averages for all outstanding notes and bonds in maturity ranges shown, based on daily closing bid prices. “Long-term” includes all bonds neither due nor callable in less than 10 years. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the U.S. Treasury, based on daily closing bid prices. 11 General obligations only, based on figures for Thursday, from Moody’s Investors Service. 12 Twenty issues of mixed quality. 13 Averages of daily figures from Moody’s Investors Service. 14 Compilation of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Issues included are long-term (20 years or more). New-issue yields are based on quotations on date of offering; those on recently offered issues (included only for first 4 weeks after termination of underwriter price restrictions), on Friday close-of-business quotations. A 28 D om estic Financial Statistics □ A pril 1977 1.37 STOCK MARKET Selected Statistics 1976 Indicator 1974 1975 1976 Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Prices and trading (averages of daily figures) Common stock prices 1 New York Stock Exchange (Dec. 31,1965 = 50). = 2 Industrial................................................ 3 Transportation....................................... 4 Utility...................................................... 5 Finance.................................................... 43.84 48.08 31.89 29.82 49.67 45.73 51.88 30.73 31.45 46.62 54.45 60.44 39.57 36.97 52.94 56.30 62.34 40.36 38.77 54.51 54.43 60.07 38.37 38.33 52.74 54.17 59.45 39.28 38.85 53.25 56.34 61.54 41.77 40.61 57.45 56.28 61.26 41.93 41.13 57.86 54.93 59.65 40.59 40.86 55.65 54.67 59.56 40.52 40.18 54.84 6 Standard and Poor’s Corporation (1941-43 = 10)1 82.85 85.17 102.01 105.45 101.89 101.19 104.66 103.81 100.96 100.57 7 American Stock Exchange (Aug. 31,1973 = 100). 79.97 83.15 101.63 102.92 98.99 99.20 104.06 111.04 112.17 111.77 13,883 1,908 18,568 2,150 21,189 2,565 18,892 1,902 17,397 1,700 19,370 2,211 23,621 3,095 23,562 3,268 19,310 2,830 17,814 2,580 Volume of trading (thousands of shares)2 8 New York Stock Exchange................... 9 American Stock Exchange.................... Customer financing (end-of-period balances, in millions of dollars) 10 Regulated margin credit at brokers/dealers and banks3............................................ 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Brokers, total..................................................... Margin stock4.......................................... Convertible bonds.................................... Subscription issues................................... Banks, total....................................................... Margin stocks........................................... Convertible bonds.................................... Subscription issues................................... 4,836 6,500 r8,995 3,980 5,540 8,166 3,840 137 3 856 5,390 147 3 960 909 815 30 11 r8,788 7,707 7,960 204 2 r829 r786 7,704 '8,640 8,995 8,166 7,790 7,530 168 6 r1,081 7,610 178 2 1,068 r850 r29 r 14 36 15 8,772 7,530 174 3 '1,032 f34 r 15 1,019 34 15 7,960 204 2 829 '801 35 14 '786 '29 14 9,289 8,469 8,270 196 3 8,679 8,480 197 2 820 lie 27 17 19 Unregulated nonmargin stock credit at banks3 2,064 2,281 "3,684 '2,651 2,774 '3,737 '3,684 3,693 M emo: Free credit balances at brokers6 20 Margin-account............................................ 21 Cash-account................................................ 410 1,425 475 1,525 585 1,855 555 1,710 611 1,580 615 1,740 585 1,855 645 1,930 605 1,815 Margin-account debt at brokers (percentage distribution, end of period) 22 Total...................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 By equity class (in per cent): Under 40............................ 40-49.................................. 50-59.................................. 60-69.................................. 70-79.................................. 80 or m o r e ................................ 45.4 23.0 13.9 8.8 4.6 4.3 25.0 28.8 22.3 11.6 6.9 5.3 13.0 22.0 35.0 15.0 8.7 6.0 12.2 29.9 29.6 14.1 8.0 6.3 15.0 34.0 25.6 12.7 7.2 5.7 14.0 32.0 27.0 13.0 8.0 6.0 13.0 22.0 35.0 15.0 8.7 6.0 15.0 23.0 35.0 13.0 8.0 6.0 23 24 25 26 27 28 Margin requirements® (per cent of market value) effective— Mar. 11, 1968 29 Margin stocks........................................................ 30 Convertible bonds.................................................. 31 Short sales.............................................................. June 8, 1968 70 50 70 1 Effective July 1976 includes a new financial group, banks and in surance companies. With this change the index includes 400 industrial stocks (formerly 425), 20 transportation (formerly 15 rail), 40 public utility (formerly 60), and 40 financial. 2 Based on trading for a 5 Vi-hour day. 3 Margin credit includes all credit extended to purchase or carry stocks or related equity instruments and secured at least in part by stock. Credit extended by brokers is end-of-month data for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange; June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks are estimates for all commercial banks based on data from a sample of reporting banks. In addition to assigning a current loan value to margin stock generally, Regulations T and U permit special loan values for convertible bonds and stock acquired through exercise of subscription rights. 4 A distribution of this total by equity class is shown below. 5 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities ex change and not included on the Federal Reserve System’s list of over-the- 80 60 80 May 6, 1970 65 50 65 Dec. 6, 1971 55 50 55 Nov. 24, 1972 65 50 65 Jan. 3, 1974 50 50 50 counter margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no loan value. 6 Free credit balances are in accounts with no unfulfilled commitments to the brokers and are subject to withdrawal by customers on demand. 7 Each customer’s equity in his collateral (market value of collateral less net debit balance) is expressed as a percentage of current collateral values. 8 Regulations G, T, and U, prescribed in accordance with the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, limit the amount of credit to purchase and carry margin stocks that may be extended on securities as collateral by pre scribing a maximum loan value, which is a specified percentage of the market value of the collateral at the time the credit is extended. Margin requirements are the difference between the market value (100 per cent) and the maximum loan value. The term “margin stocks” is defined in the corresponding regulation. Regulation G and special margin requirements for bonds convertible into stocks were adopted by the Board of Governors effective Mar. 11, 1968. T h r ift I n s titu tio n s A 29 1.38 SAVINGS INSTITUTIONS Selected Assets and Liabilities Millions of dollars, end of period 1974 1975 1976 1976 June Account July Aug. 1977 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Savings and loan associations 1 Assets..................................... 295,545 338,233 391,999 366,425 371,770 376,188 379,747 385,013 389,173 391,999 398,299 403,597 2 Mortgages............................. 249,301 278,590 323,130 299,296 303,527 307,766 311,847 315,742 319,273 323,130 326,056 329,104 3 Cash and investment 23,251 30,853 35,660 35,258 35,968 35,815 35,209 36,442 36,605 35,660 38,252 39,503 4 Other...................................... 22,993 28,790 33,209 31,871 32,275 32,607 32,691 32,829 33,295 33,209 33,991 34,990 5 Liabilities and net worth........ 295,545 338,233 391,999 366,425 371,770 376,188 379,747 385,013 389,173 391,999 398,299 403,597 242,974 285,743 336,030 312,904 316,072 318,227 323,800 327,252 329,833 336,030 341,211 344,603 7 Borrowed money .................... 24,780 8 FHLBB............................... 21,508 3,272 3,244 10 Loans in process................... 6,105 11 Other...................................... 20,634 19,087 18,173 17,524 3,110 5,128 6,949 15,708 3,379 6,836 8,015 15,016 3,157 6,397 8,176 15,139 3,221 6,572 9,756 18,442 19,779 22,031 20,775 21,010 7,454 10,673 14,828 16,610 16,301 12 Net worth2............................. M emo: 13 Mortgage loan commitments outstanding 3................. 18,360 18,856 19,083 18,810 15,832 3,251 6,688 8,779 15,636 3,174 6,735 10,531 21,280 21,398 21,685 21,954 22,031 22,248 22,520 15,773 15,449 15,319 15,467 14,828 15,079 16,914 15,495 3,361 6,628 11,197 18,715 15,571 3,144 6,753 11,918 19,087 15,708 3,379 6,836 8,015 18,455 15,029 3,426 6,718 9,667 18,271 14,661 3,610 6,785 11,418 Mutual savings banks 14 Assets..................................... 109,550 121,056 134,702 128,436 129,826 130,571 131,413 132,455 133,361 134,702 135,827 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Loans: Mortgage........................... 74,891 3,812 Other.................................. Securities: 2,555 U.S. Govt........................... 930 State and local government. Corporate and other4....... 22,550 Cash....................................... 2,167 2,645 Other assets........................... 77,221 4,023 81,554 5,192 78,803 5,137 79,398 5,341 79,781 5,210 80,145 5,478 80,543 5,549 80,884 5,801 81,554 5,192 81,771 5,964 4,740 1,545 27,992 2,330 3,205 5,911 2.420 33;676 2,374 3,574 5,635 2,337 31,493 1,558 3,470 5,640 2,376 32,028 1,538 3,505 5,733 2,339 32,319 1,552 3,576 5,851 2,359 32,432 1,581 3,567 5,796 2,429 32,793 1,695 3,649 5,836 2,466 33,074 1,668 3,632 5,911 2,420 33,676 2,374 3,574 5,991 2,298 34,359 1,814 3,629 109,550 121,056 134,702 128,436 129,826 130,571 131,413 132,455 133,361 134,702 135,827 23 Deposits ................................. 24 Regular:5........................... 25 Ordinary savings............ 26 Time and other.............. 27 Other.................................. 28 Other liabilities..................... 29 General reserve accounts.. . . M emo: 30 Mortgage loan commitments outstanding 6................. 98,701 109,873 122,802 116,876 117,883 118,225 119,590 120,360 120,971 122,802 123,773 98,221 109,291 121,874 115,985 116,895 117,203 118,510 119,346 120,125 121,874 122,815 64,286 69,653 74,483 72,763 73,223 72,872 73,484 73,610 73,857 74,483 74,591 33,935 39,639 47,391 43,223 43,662 44,331 45,027 45,736 46,268 47,391 48,224 1,022 582 890 988 1,080 1,014 928 480 846 928 958 2,841 3,161 3,490 2,898 2,755 2,853 3,140 3,376 2,853 2,952 2,888 8,719 8,855 8,428 8,781 8,925 8,955 9,015 9,047 7,961 9,047 9,101 2,040 1,803 2,439 2,402 2,433 2,459 2,671 2,548 2,553 2,439 2,584 Life insurance companies 31 Assets..................... 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 Securities: Government........ United States7, State and local Foreign 8.......... Business .............. Bonds.............. Stocks.............. Mortgages.............. Real estate.............. Policy loans............ Other assets............ 263,349 289,304 320,555 304,728 307,005 309,295 312,044 313,960 316,505 320,555 322,489 10,900 3,372 3,667 3,861 13,758 4,736 4,508 4,514 17,270 5,156 5,551 6,563 15,947 4,863 5,196 5,888 16,672 5,150 5,263 6,259 16,902 5,922 5,324 6,286 16,862 5,150 5,364 6,348 17,329 5,448 5,446 6,435 17,565 5,606 5,467 6,492 17,270 5,156 5,551 6,563 17.549 5,291 5,614 6,644 119,637 135,317 157,625 147,193 148,617 150,303 152,125 153,298 154,502 157,625 159,464 97,717 107,256 123,149 114,583 116,101 117,806 118,706 120,358 121,659 123,149 125,892 21,920 28,061 34,476 32,610 32,516 32,497 33,419 32,940 32,843 34,476 33,572 86,234 8,331 22,862 15,385 89,167 9,621 24,467 16,971 91,581 10,526 25,849 17,704 89,691 10,004 25,142 16,751 89,753 10,050 25,257 16,656 89,891 10,146 25,383 16,670 90,217 10,175 25,505 17,160 90,323 10,285 25,607 17,118 90,808 10,310 25,710 17,610 91,581 10,526 25,849 17,704 91,615 10.550 25,921 17,390 Credit unions 43 Total assets/liabilities and capital............................. 44 Federal............................... 45 State................................... 31,948 16,715 15,233 38,037 20,209 17,828 44,897 24,164 20,733 41,884 22,520 19,364 41,729 22,385 19,344 42,266 22,698 19,658 43,079 23,198 19,881 43,415 23,283 20,132 44,089 23,668 20,421 44,835 24,164 20,671 44,906 24,188 20,718 45,798 24,756 21,042 46 Loans outstanding................. 24,432 34,293 34,188 34,549 28,169 34,033 31,089 31,555 32,300 33,093 33,275 33,732 12,730 11,702 14,869 13,300 18,022 16,011 16,421 14,668 16,614 14,941 17,065 15,235 17,458 15,635 17,522 15,753 17,786 15,946 49 Savings ................................... 27,518 50 Federal (shares)................. 14,370 51 State (shares and deposits). 13,148 33,013 39,264 36,675 36,615 36,752 37,436 19,663 16,952 19,783 16,969 20,167 17,269 37,854 38,281 48 State................................... For notes see bottom of page A30. 17,530 15,483 21,149 18,115 19,696 16,979 20,358 17,496 20,597 17,684 18,202 16,091 38,968 20,980 17,988 18,081 16,107 39,344 21,165 18,179 18,275 16,274 39,981 21,559 18,422 A 30 D om estic Financial Statistics □ A pril 1977 1.39 FEDERAL FISCAL AND FINANCING OPERATIONS Millions of dollars Fiscal year Type of account or operation 1 2 3 4 5 U.S. Budget Receipts........................................ Outlays 1,2 ................................... Surplus, or deficit ( — .............. ) Trust funds............................... Federal funds 3 ......................... 6 7 Off-budget entities surplus, or deficit ( — ) Federal Financing Bank outlays. Other 1 / ....................................... U.S. Budget plus off-budget, in cluding Federal Financing Bank Surplus, or deficit ( — ................... ) Financed by: 9 Borrowing from the public 2. . . 10 Cash and monetary assets (de crease, or increase ( — ))___ 11 O th ers........................................ 8 M emo: 12 Treasury operating balance (level, end of period).................................... 13 F.R. Banks..................................... 14 Tax and loan accounts.................. 15 Other demand accounts 6.............. 1975 1976 Transition quarter (JulySept. 1976) 1976 1977 HI H2 160,552 181,369 -20,816 5,503 -26,320 157,961 193,719 29,472 31,891 29,977 32,640 -1 ,9 5 2 -11,021 139,455 185,097 -45,642 -3,125 -42,517 - 3 5 ,7 5 8 - 2 ,4 1 9 -2 ,6 6 4 280,997 326,105 300,005 366,466 81,773 94,746 -6 6 ,4 6 1 -12,973 2,409 -68,870 1975 H2 - 4 5 ,1 0 8 7,419 -52,526 Calendar year -4,621 -31,137 Jan. 1,737 -4 ,1 5 6 -2 ,3 4 4 -321 24,327 30,880 - 6 ,5 5 4 1,099 -7 ,6 5 4 -6 ,3 8 9 -1 ,6 5 2 -5,915 -1,355 -2,575 793 -2,6 9 3 -236 -3 ,2 2 2 -1 ,1 1 9 -5 ,1 7 6 3,809 -1,598 48 -1 ,0 0 9 -1,881 -460 9 -53,149 -7 3 ,7 3 1 -14,755 -48,571 -25,158 -37,125 -3 ,9 6 9 -5 ,5 5 4 -7 ,0 0 5 50,867 82,922 18,027 49,361 33,561 35,457 6,306 3,157 9,118 -320 2,602 -7 ,7 9 6 -1 ,3 9 6 -2 ,8 9 9 -373 -2 ,0 4 6 1,256 -7 ,9 0 9 -495 2,153 -485 -3,527 1,189 -1,5 8 3 3,980 -1 ,1 9 4 -9 2 0 7,591 5,773 1,475 343 14,836 11,975 2,854 7 17,418 13,299 4,119 8,452 7,286 1,159 7 14,836 11,975 2,854 7 11,670 10,393 1,277 11,670 10,393 1,277 12,688 11,397 1,292 14,599 12,179 2,420 1 Outlay totals reflect the reclassification of the Export-Import Bank from off-budget status to unified budget status. 2 Export-Import Bank certificates of beneficial interest (effective July 1, 1975) and loans to Pefco are treated as debt rather than asset sales. 3 Half years calculated as a residual of total surplus/deficit and trust fund surplus/deficit. 4 Includes Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., Postal Service Fund, Rural Electrification and Telephone Revolving Fund, Rural Telephone Bank, and Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped Fund. 5 Includes: Public debt accrued interest payable to the public; deposit funds; miscellaneous liability (including checks outstanding) and asset accounts; seignorage; increment on gold; net gain/loss for U.S. currency valuation adjustment; net gain/loss for IMF valuation adjustment. 6 Excludes the gold balance but includes deposits in certain commercial depositories that have been converted from a time deposit to a demand deposit basis to permit greater flexibility in Treasury cash management. Source.—“Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government”, Treasury Bulletin, and U.S. Budget, Fiscal Year 1978. NOTES TO TABLE 1.38 1 Stock of the Federal Home Loan Bank Board (FHLBB) is included in “other assets.” 2 Includes net undistributed income, which is accrued by most, but not all, associations. 3 Excludes figures for loans in process, which are shown as a liability. 4 Includes securities of foreign governments and international organiza tions and nonguaranteed issues of U.S. Govt, agencies. 5 Excludes checking, club, and school accounts. 6 Commitments outstanding (including loans in process) of banks in New York State as reported to the Savings Banks Assn. of the State of New York. 7 Direct and guaranteed obligations. Excludes Federal agency issues not guaranteed, which are shown in this table under “business” securities. 8 Issues of foreign governments and their subdivisions and bonds of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Note. —Savings and loan associations: Estimates by the FHLBB for all associations in the United States. Data are based on monthly reports of Federally insured associations and annual reports of other associations. Even when revised, data for current and preceding year are subject to further revision. Mutual savings banks: Estimates of National Association of Mutual Savings Banks for all savings banks in the United States. Data are re ported on a gross-of-valuation-reserves basis. Life insurance companies: Estimates of the Institute of Life Insurance for all life insurance companies in the United States. Annual figures are annual-statement asset values, with bonds carried on an amortized basis and stocks at year-end market value. Adjustments for interest due and accrued and for differences between market and book values are not made on each item separately but are included, in total, in “ other assets.” Credit unions: Estimates by the National Credit Union Administration for a group of Federal and State-chartered credit unions that account for about 30 per cent of credit union assets. Figures are preliminary and revised annually to incorporate recent benchmark data. F ederal Finance A31 1.40 U.S. BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS Millions of dollars Fiscal year Source or type 1975 1976 Transition quarter (JulySept. 1976) Calendar year 1975 H2 1977 1976 HI H2 Dec. Jan. Feb. 24,327 Receipts 1 All sources........................................... 280,997 300,005 81,773 139,455 160,552 157,961 29,472 29,977 2 Individual income taxes, n et .............. 3 Withheld......................................... 4 Presidential Election Campaign 122,386 131,603 38,801 65,835 65,767 75,094 12,663 18,108 123,408 32,949 59,549 63,859 68,023 32 34,296 34,013 34 35,528 27,367 1 6,809 958 7,649 1,362 33 27,879 26,004 9,808 1,348 18,810 2,735 27,973 2,639 122,071 8,515 12,179 11,979 11,398 1 8,426 1,356 678 194 1 6,141 13 8 1,154 4,045 20,706 2,886 7,838 205 2,007 313 1,311 363 5 Non withheld................................... 6 Refunds.......................................... 7 Corporation income taxes: 8 Gross receipts................................. 9 Refunds.......................................... 10 Social insurance taxes and contribu tions, n et ..................................... 11 Payroll employment taxes and contributions 1....................... 12 Self-employment taxes and contributions 1....................... 13 Unemployment insurance.............. 14 Other net receipts 2....................... 45,747 5,125 46,783 5,374 86,441 92,714 25,760 40,886 51,828 47,596 6,207 7,320 10,764 71,789 76,391 21,534 35,443 40,947 40,427 5,809 6,271 9,110 3,417 6,771 4,466 3,518 8,054 A,152 269 2,698 1,259 268 2,861 2,314 3,250 5,193 2,438 286 4,379 2,504 17 -2 6 407 240 347 462 247 997 410 15 16 17 18 16,551 3,676 4,611 6,711 16,963 4,074 5,216 8,026 4,473 1,212 1,455 1,612 8,761 1,927 2,573 3,397 8,204 2,147 2,643 4,630 8,910 2,361 2,943 3,236 1,513 412 502 542 1,447 381 504 521 1,294 347 1,890 568 Excise taxes........................................ Customs.............................................. Estate and gift................................... Miscellaneous receipts 3.................... Outlays 19 AH types 4 .......................................... 326,105 366,466 94,746 185,097 181,369 193,719 31,891 32,640 30,880 20 National defense................................ 21 International affairs 4 ....................... 22 General science, space, and technology................................... 23 Natural resources, environment, and energy.................................. 24 Agriculture......................................... 86,585 5,862 89,996 5,067 22,518 1,997 46,214 2,574 44,052 2,668 45,002 3,028 7,575 472 7,082 349 8,131 381 3,989 4,370 1,161 2,415 1,708 2,377 418 304 333 9,537 1,660 11,282 2,502 3,324 584 5,018 1,489 6,900 417 7,206 2,019 1,217 507 1,042 582 895 350 25 Commerce and transportation.......... 26 Community and regional development............................... 27 Education, training, employment, and social services...................... 28 Health................................................. 29 Income security................................. 16,010 17,248 4,700 11,496 5,766 9,643 995 681 -323 4,431 5,300 1,530 2,548 2,411 3,192 506 397 480 15,248 27,647 108,605 18,167 33,448 127,406 5,013 8,720 32,796 8,423 16,681 61,655 9,116 17,008 65,336 9,083 19,329 65,456 1,563 4,071 10,533 1,541 2,961 11,652 1,585 3,064 11,719 Veterans benefits and services.......... 16,597 Law enforcement and justice............ 2,942 General government.......................... 3,089 Revenue sharing and general purpose fiscal assistance............ 7,005 34 Interest5.............................................. 30,974 35 Undistributed offsetting receipts 5, 6 -14,075 18,432 3,320 2,927 3,962 859 878 9,010 1,589 1,929 9,450 1,784 870 8,542' 1,839 1,734 1,467 297 326 1,630 340 93 1,606 244 285 7,119 34,589 -14,704 2,024 7,246 -2,567 3,528 15,180 -4 ,6 5 2 3,664 18,560 -8 ,3 4 0 4,729 18,409 -7 ,8 6 9 127 6,025 -4 ,2 0 7 2,062 2,382 -4 6 0 44 2,674 -5 8 8 30 31 32 33 1 Old-age, disability and hospital insurance, and Railroad Retirement accounts. 2 Supplementary medical insurance premiums, Federal employee re tirement contributions and Civil Service retirement 'and disability fund. 3 Deposits of earnings by F.R. Banks and other miscellaneous receipts. 4 Outlay totals reflect the reclassification of the Export-Import Bank from off-budget status to unified budget status. Export-Import Bank certificates of beneficial interest (effective July 1, 1975) and loans to Pefco are treated as debt rather than asset sales. 1 5 Effective September 1976, “Interest” and “ Undistributed Offsetting Receipts” reflect the accounting conversion for the interest on special issues for U.S. Govt, accounts from an accrual basis to a cash basis. 6 Consists of interest received by trust funds, rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf, anc} U.S. Govt, contributions for em ployee retirement. A 32 1.41 D om estic Financial Statistics □ A pril 1977 F E D E R A L D E B T S U B JE C T T O S T A T U T O R Y L IM IT Billions of dollars 1974 1973 1975 1976 Item June 30 Dec. 31 June 30 Dec. 31 June 30 Dec. 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31 1 Federal debt outstanding..................... 468.4 480.7 486.2 504.0 544.1 587.6 631.9 2646.4 665.5 2 Public debt securities ........................... 3 Held by public................................. 4 Held by agencies............................. 457.3 469.1 474.2 533.7 333.9 123.4 339.4 129.6 336.0 138.2 492.7 351.5 141.2 387.9 145.3 576.6 620.4 437.3 139.3 470.8 149.6 634.7 653.5 5 Agency securities .................................. 6 Held by public................................. 7 Held by agencies.............. ............... 11.1 11.6 12.0 11.3 10.9 10.9 11.5 9.1 2.0 10.0 2.0 9.6 2.0 9.3 2.0 9.0 1.9 8.9 2.0 9.5 2.0 488.6 146.1 11.6 29.7 1.9 506.4 147.1 12.0 10.0 1.9 8 Debt subject to statutory lim it............ 459.1 470.8 476.0 493.0 534.2 577.8 621.6 635.8 654.7 9 Public debt securities........................... 10 Other debt i .......................................... 456.7 2.4 468.4 2.4 473.6 2.4 490.5 2.4 532.6 1.6 576.0 1.7 619.8 1.7 634.1 1.7 652.9 1.7 11 M emo: Statutory debt limit............... 465.0 475.7 495.0 495.0 577.0 595.0 636.0 636.0 682.0 1 Includes guaranteed debt of Govt, agencies, specified participation certificates, notes to international lending organizations, and District of Columbia stadium bonds. 2 Gross Federal debt and Agency debt held by the public increased 1.42 G R O S S P U B L IC D E B T O F U .S . T R E A S U R Y Billions of dollars, end of period Type and holder 1973 $0.5 billion due to a retroactive reclassification of the Export-Import Bank certificates of beneficial interest from loan asset sales to debt, effective July 1, 1975. Source.—U.S. Treasury Bulletin. T y p e s a n d O w n e rsh ip 1974 1976 1975 1977 Oct. 1 Total gross public debt1...................... Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 663.3 669.2 668.2 469.9 492.7 576.6 637.6 644.6 653.5 653.9 '467.8 '491.6 '575.7 270.2 363.2 '635.1 282.9 '643.6 '652.5 '653.0 662.3 421.3 424.0 431.6 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 By type: Interest-bearing debt............................ M arketable ....................................... Bills............................................... N otes............................................ Bonds............................................ Nonmarketable2 ............................... Convertible bonds3..................... Foreign issues4............................. Savings bonds and notes............. Govt, account series5.................. 12 13 By holder:6 U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds F.R. Banks....................................... 129.6 78.5 141.2 80.5 139.3 87.9 144.6 95.7 14 15 16 17 18 19 Private investors............................... Commercial banks....................... Mutual savings banks................. Insurance companies................... Other corporations...................... State and local governments. . . . 261.7 60.3 2.9 6.4 10.9 29.2 271.0 55.6 2.5 6.1 11.0 29.2 349.4 85.1 4.5 9.3 20.2 33.8 20 21 Individuals: Savings bonds........................... Other securities......................... 60.3 16.9 63.4 21.5 22 23 Foreign and international7.......... Other miscellaneous investors8. . 55.5 19.3 58.4 23.2 107.8 124.6 37.8 197.6 2.3 26.0 60.8 108.0 119.7 129.8 33.4 208.7 2.3 22.8 63.8 119.1 1 Includes $1.0 billion of non-interest-bearing debt (of which $612 million on Mar. 31, 1977, was not subject to statutory debt limitations). 2 Includes (not shown separately): Securities issued to the Rural Electrification Administration and to State and local governments, de positary bonds, retirement plan bonds, and individual retirement bonds. 3 These nonmarketable bonds, also known as Investment Series B Bonds, may be exchanged (or converted) at the owner’s option for 1% per cent, 5-year marketable Treasury notes. Convertible bonds that have been so exchanged are removed from this category and recorded in the notes category above. 4 Nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness, notes, and bonds in the Treasury foreign series and foreign-currency series. 5 Held only by U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds. 157.5 167.1 38.6 212.5 408.6 161.5 207.3 39.8 226.5 415.4 161.7 213.0 40.7 228.2 164.0 216.7 40.6 164.0 219.5 40.5 2.3 22.3 72.3 129.7 2.3 22.2 72.6 126.8 231.2 229.0 144.9 91.7 147.1 97.0 408.1 99.8 5.3 12.2 24.2 42.1 409.5 102.5 5.5 12.3 25.5 41.6 71.3 28.8 71.6 29.0 72.0 28.8 75.2 43.6 76.0 47.7 78.1 43.2 232.8 72.4 28.6 66.5 38.6 230.7 415.8 101.0 5.6 12.2 27.8 44.4 67.3 24.0 164.3 229.6 41.5 144.0 94.1 397.3 94.8 5.3 12.1 24.7 41.5 435.4 164.2 225.9 41.6 80.3 43.4 2.3 21.6 67.9 119.4 2.3 22.3 71.5 127.2 2.3 22.5 71.9 127.4 2.3 '22.1 73.0 127.8 2.2 22.1 73.4 128.2 6 Data for F.R. Banks and U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds are actual holdings; data for other groups are Treasury estimates. 7 Consists of the investments of foreign balances and international accounts in the United States. Beginning with 1974, the figures exclude non-interest-bearing notes issued to the International Monetary Fund. 8 Includes savings and loan associations, nonprofit institutions, cor porate pension trust funds, dealers and brokers, certain Govt, deposit accounts, and Govt.-sponsored agencies. N ote.—Gross public debt excludes guaranteed agency securities and, beginning in July 1974, includes Federal Financing Bank security issues. Source.—For data by type of security, Monthly Statement o f the Public Debt o f the United States , U.S. Treasury Department; for data by holder, Treasury Bulletin. F ederal Finance A 33 1.43 U.S. GOVERNMENT MARKETABLE SECURITIES Ownership, by maturity Par value; millions of dollars; end of period Type of holder 1975 1977 1976 Jan. 1975 1977 1976 Feb. Jan. All maturities Feb. 1 to 5 years 1 All holders................................................................................ 363,191 421,276 423,995 431,607 112,270 141,132 138,727 143,927 19,347 87,934 16,485 96,971 16,214 94,134 15,788 95,837 7,058 30,518 6,141 31,249 6,143 30,933 6,167 31,076 4 Private investors ....................................................................... 255,860 5 Commercial banks.............................................................. 64,398 6 Mutual savings banks......................................................... 3,300 7 Insurance companies........................................................... 7,565 8 Nonfinancial corporations.................................................. 9,365 9 Savings and loan associations............................................ 2,793 10 9,285 11 All others............................................................................. 159,154 307,820 313,647 319,982 78,262 4,072 10,284 14,193 4,576 12,252 184,182 78,077 4,169 10,070 15,330 4,808 14,836 186,357 79,706 4,304 10,121 16,367 5,138 12,883 191,463 74,694 103,742 101,651 106,684 2 U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds..................................... 3 29,629 1,524 2,359 1,967 1,558 1,761 35,894 Total, within 1 year 40,005 2,010 3,885 2,618 2,360 2,543 50,321 40,110 1,941 3,706 2,981 2,310 2,620 47,984 42,533 2,114 3,765 3,884 2,475 2,746 49,168 5 to 10 years 12 All holders................................................................................ 199,692 211,035 213,558 217,404 26,436 43,045 45,731 43,223 13 U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds................ ..................... 14 F. R. Banks.............................................................................. 2,769 46,845 2,012 51,569 1,767 49,033 1,934 49,528 3,283 6,463 2,879 9,148 2,870 9,173 2,163 9,856 15 Private investors ....................................................................... 16 Commercial banks.............................................................. 17 Mutual savings banks......................................................... 18 Insurance companies........................................................... 19 Nonfinancial corporations.................................................. 20 Savings and loan associations................... ........................ 21 State and local governments.............................................. 22 All others............................................................................. 150,078 157,454 162,758 165,942 16,690 31,018 33,688 31,204 6,278 567 2,546 370 155 1,465 19,637 7,466 716 2,589 359 313 1,488 20,756 29,875 983 2,024 7,105 914 5,288 103,889 31,213 1,214 2,191 11,009 1,984 6,622 103,220 29,805 1,238 2,173 11,751 2,115 9,083 106,592 30,035 1,262 1,998 11,942 2,404 6,997 111,305 4,071 448 1,592 175 216 782 9,405 Bills, within 1 year 23 All holders................................................................................ 157,483 163,992 10 to 20 years 164,005 164,175 14,264 11,865 11,814 11,764 4,233 1,507 3,102 1,363 3,102 1,370 3,102 1,371 8,524 7,400 7,342 7,291 24 U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds..................................... 25 F. R. Banks........................................................................... 207 38,018 449 41,279 239 38,743 269 38,865 26 Private investors ....................................................................... 27 Commercial banks.............................................................. 28 Mutual savings banks......................................................... 29 Insurance companies........................................................... 30 Nonfinancial corporations.................................................. 31 Savings and loan associations............................................ 32 33 All others............................................................................. 119,258 122,264 125,023 125,041 17,481 554 1,513 5,829 518 4,566 88,797 17,303 454 1,463 9,939 1,266 5,556 86,282 6,367 649 2,500 295 188 1,466 19,740 15,136 429 1,416 10,504 1,341 8,057 88,137 14,314 426 1,128 10,628 1,445 5,689 91,410 552 232 1,154 61 82 896 5,546 Other, within 1 year 339 139 1,114 142 64 718 4,884 343 132 1,074 181 55 713 4,842 322 136 1,339 169 58 700 4,567 Over 20 years 42,209 47,043 49,553 53,229 10,530 14,200 14,165 15,288 35 U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds..................................... 36 F. R. Banks............................................................................. 2,562 8,827 1,563 10,290 1,528 10,290 1,665 10,663 2,053 2,601 2,350 3,642 2,331 3,626 2,421 4,006 37 Private investors ....................................................................... 38 Commercial banks. ............................................................ 39 Mutual savings banks......................................................... 40 Insurance companies........................................................... 41 42 43 State and local governments.............................................. 44 30,820 35,190 37,735 40,901 5,876 8,208 8,208 8,861 12,394 429 511 1,276 396 722 15,092 Note.—Direct public issues only. Based on Treasury Survey of Owner ship from Treasury Bulletin (U.S. Treasury Dept.). Data complete for U.S. Govt, agencies and trust funds and F.R. Banks, but data for other groups include only holdings of those institutions that report. The following figures show, for each category, the number and proportion reporting as of February 28, 1977; (1) 5,499 commercial 13,910 760 728 1,070 718 1,066 16,938 14,669 809 757 1,247 774 1,026 18,455 15,721 836 870 1,314 959 1,308 19,895 271 112 436 57 22 558 4,420 427 143 548 55 13 904 6,120 353 141 527 58 14 931 6,184 449 143 519 77 14 975 6,684 banks, 468 mutual savings banks, and 727 insurance companies, each about 90 per cent; (2) 447 nonfinancial corporations and 486 savings and loan assns., each about 50 per cent; and (3) 500 State and local govts., about 40 per cent. “All others,” a residual, includes holdings of all those not reporting in the Treasury Survey, including investor groups not listed separately. A 34 1.44 D om estic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 U .S . G O V E R N M E N T S E C U R I T I E S D E A L E R S Par value; averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars Transactions 1976 Item 1974 1977 1977 1975 Week ending Wednesday Dec. Jan. Feb. Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Mar. 9 Mar. 16 Mar. 23 Mar. 30 1 U.S. Govt, securities............................. 3,579 6,027 13,059 12,502 12,871 '10,933 13,334 11,340 10,049 10,517 10,738 2 3 4 5 6 By maturity: Bills.................................................... Other within 1 year........................... 1-5 years............................................ 5-10 years.......................................... Over 10 years..................................... 2,550 250 465 256 58 3,889 223 1,414 363 138 7,511 172 3,355 1,653 368 7,630 156 2,805 1,604 307 7,593 283 3,262 1,388 346 '6,355 192 '2,899 '1,184 '303 7,842 333 3,946 941 272 7,564 221 2,527 803 224 7,003 263 2,025 588 140 7,048 235 2,351 697 187 7,094 245 2,088 1,122 189 7 8 9 10 By type of customer: U.S. Govt, securities dealers............ U.S. Govt, securities brokers........... Commercial banks............................. All others i ......................................... 652 965 998 964 885 1,750 1,451 1,941 1,650 4,444 2.999 3,966 1,641 4,586 2,884 3,392 1,537 4,428 3,013 3,893 '1,475 '3,613 '2,486 '3,359 1,652 4,241 3,337 4,105 1,399 3,411 2,679 3,851 1,433 2,661 2,271 3,683 1,553 2,869 2,503 3,592 1,456 3,441 2,194 3,647 11 Federal agency securities...................... 965 1,043 2,025 1,764 1,579 '1,648 1,623 1,299 1,366 1,984 1,586 Transactions are market purchases and sales of U.S. Govt, securities 1 Includes—among others—all other dealers and brokers in commodi dealers reporting to the F.R. Bank of New York. The figures exclude ties and securities, foreign banking agencies, and the F.R. System. allotments of, and exchanges for, new U.S. Govt, securities, redemptions of called or matured securities, or purchases or sales of securities under N ote.—Averages for transactions are based on number of trading days repurchase, reverse repurchase (resale), or similar contracts. in the period. 1.45 U .S . G O V E R N M E N T S E C U R I T I E S D E A L E R S Par value; averages of daily figures, in millions of dollars P o sitio n s a n d S o u rc e s o f F in a n c in g Item 1974 1975 Dec. 1977 1977 1976 Jan. Week ending Wednesday Feb. Jan. 26 Feb. 2 Feb. 9 Feb. 16 Feb. 23 Mar. 2 Positions2 1 U.S. Govt, securities.............................. 2,580 5,884 10,840 8,914 6,251 8,426 5,582 6,937 6,365 6,295 5,431 2 3 4 5 6 Bills.................................................... Other within 1 year........................... 1-5 years........................................... 5-10 years.......................................... Over 10 years..................................... 1,932 -6 265 302 88 4,297 265 886 300 136 8,394 155 1,336 596 359 6,596 138 1,270 532 379 4,646 193 587 417 407 6,181 151 1,348 436 310 3.888 196 857 348 292 4,552 209 923 745 508 4,751 137 460 501 516 5,325 211 247 178 334 4,511 221 347 126 226 7 Federal agency securities...................... 1,212 943 1,435 923 466 891 423 501 491 482 421 Sources of financing3 3,977 9 10 11 12 Commercial banks: New York City................................. Outside New York City................... Corporations1....................................... A llo th er................................................ 6,666 14,032 11,938 9,017 11,371 8,922 8,108 8,903 10,049 9,433 1,032 1,064 459 1,423 1,621 1,466 842 2,738 2,567 2,839 2,437 6,188 2,362 2,353 2,141 5,082 1,360 1,727 2,038 3,892 1,904 1,872 2,213 5,381 1,430 1,666 2,068 3,759 1,372 1,574 1,847 3,315 1,314 1.780 2; 044 3,764 1,383 1,832 2,187 4,648 1,451 1,771 2,173 4,038 1A business corporations except commercial banks and insurance 11 companies. 2 Net amounts (in terms of par values) of securities owned by nonbank dealer firms and dealer departments of commercial banks on a commit ment, that is, trade-date basis, including any such securities that have been sold under agreements to repurchase. The maturities of some repurchase agreements are sufficiently long, however, to suggest that the securities involved are not available for trading purposes. Securities owned, and hence dealer positions, do not include securities purchased under agree ments to resell. 3 Total amounts outstanding of funds borrowed by nonbank dealer firms and dealer departments of commercial banks against U.S. Govt, and Federal agency securities (through both collateral loans and sales under agreements to repurchase), plus internal funds used by bank dealer departments to finance positions in such securities. Borrowings against securities held under agreement to resell are excluded where the borrowing contract and the agreement to resell are equal in amount and maturity, that is, a matched agreement. N ote.—Averages for positions are based on number of trading days in the period; those for financing, on the number of calendar days in the period. Federal Finance 1.46 F E D E R A L A N D F E D E R A L L Y S P O N S O R E D C R E D IT A G E N C IE S Millions of dollars; end of period Agency 1973 1974 A 35 D e b t O u ts ta n d in g 1976 1975 1977 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. 1 Federal and Federally sponsored agencies........... 71,594 89,381 97,680 101,724 102,456 103,865 103,415 103,308 103,487 2 Federal agencies .................................................... 3 Defense Department1....................................... 4 Export-Import Bank2,3.................................... 5 Federal Housing Administration4................... 6 Government National Mortgage Association Participation Certificates5......................... 7 Postal Service6.................................................. 8 Tennessee Valley Authority............................. 9 United States Railway Association6............... 11,554 12,719 19,046 21,453 22,676 1,312 2,893 440 1,220 7,188 564 1,152 7,945 582 21,895 22,645 22,419 22,168 4,390 250 2,435 4,280 721 3,070 3 4,200 1,750 3,915 209 4,145 2,998 4,535 96 4,145 3,498 4,713 97 4,145 3,498 4,865 98 4,145 3,498 4,865 99 4,120 2,998 4,935 104 3,845 2,998 4,985 109 10 Federally sponsored agencies................................. 11 Federal home loan banks................................. 12 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation.. 13 Federal National Mortgage Association........ 14 Federal land banks........................................... 15 Federal intermediate credit banks................... 16 Banks for cooperatives..................................... 17 Student Loan Marketing Association7............ 18 Other .................................................................. 60,040 76,662 78,634 80,271 80,561 81,189 80,889 81,321 18,900 1,550 29,963 15,000 9,254 3,655 310 17,113 1,150 30,429 16,566 10,687 3,919 405 17,061 1,150 30,685 16,566 10,791 3,901 405 17,122 1,150 30,656 17,124 10,712 4,023 400 80,770 21,890 1,551 28,167 12,653 8,589 3,589 220 16,807 1,150 30,413 17,127 10,669 4,207 r395 16,811 1,150 30,565 17,127 10,494 4,330 410 16,805 1,350 30,394 17,304 10,631 4,425 410 2 2 2 2 M emo: 19 Federal Financing Bank debt6, 8........................... Lending to Federal and Federally sponsored agencies: 20 Export-Import Bank3....................................... 21 Postal Service6.................................................. 22 Student Loan Marketing Association7........... 23 Tennessee Valley Authority............................. 24 United States Railway Association6............... 25 26 27 Other lending:9 Farmers Home Administration....................... Rural Electrification Administration.............. Others................................................................ 1,439 2,625 415 15,362 1,784 23,002 10,062 6,932 2,695 200 3 1,113 8,574 575 1,095 8,557 579 4,474 17,154 25,052 25,888 26,636 27,028 28,711 29,848 500 220 895 3 4,595 1,500 310 1,840 209 4,985 2,748 405 2,560 96 4,768 3,248 405 2,738 97 4,768 3,248 400 2,810 98 4,768 3,248 395 2,890 99 5,208 2,748 410 3,110 104 5,208 2,748 410 3,160 109 7,000 566 1,134 9,650 1,215 3,393 9,650 1,514 3,468 10,250 1,573 3,489 10,250 1,674 3,704 10,750 1,768 4,613 11,450 1,509 5,254 1 Consists of mortgages assumed by the Defense Department between 1957 and 1963 under family housing and homeowners assistance programs. 2 Includes participation certificates reclassified as debt beginning Oct. 1, 1976. 3 Off-budget Aug. 17,1974 through Sept. 30,1976 on-budget thereafter. 4 Consists of debentures issued in payment of Federal Housing Ad ministration insurance claims. Once issued, these securities may be sold privately on the securities market. 5 Certificates of participation issued prior to fiscal 1969 by the Govern ment National Mortgage Association acting as trustee for the Farmers Home Administration; Department of Health, Education, and Welfare; Department of Housing and Urban Development; Small Business Ad ministration; and the Veterans Administration. 6 Off-budget. 1,117 8,336 585 2 356 2 1,128 8,353 589 3 2,500 2 1,136 7,728 578 7 Unlike other Federally sponsored agencies, the Student Loan Marketing Association may borrow from the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) since its obligations are guaranteed by the Department of Health, Education, and Welfare. 8 The FFB, which began operations in 1974, is authorized to purchase or sell obligations issued, sold, or guaranteed by other Federal agencies. Since FFB incurs debt solely for the purpose of lending to other agencies, its debt is not included in the main portion of the table in order to avoid double counting. 9 Includes FFB purchases of agency assets and guaranteed loans; the latter contain loans guaranteed by numerous agencies with the guarantees of any particular agency being generally small. The Farmers Home Administration item consists exclusively of agency assets, while the Rural Electrification Administration entry contains both agency assets and guaranteed loans. A 36 1.47 D om estic Financial Statistics □ A pril 1977 N E W S E C U R I T Y IS S U E S Millions of dollars S ta te a n d L o c a l G o v e rn m e n t a n d C o r p o r a te Type of issue or issuer, or use 1974 1975 1976 1976 July Aug. Sept.r Oct. Nov. Dec. State and local government 1 All issues, new and refunding 1...................................... 24,315 30,607 2,691 2,765 2,808 By type of issue: General obligation...................................................... Revenue....................................................................... Housing Assistance Administration 2....................... U.S. Govt, loans........................................................ 13,563 10,212 461 79 16,020 14,511 1,186 1,496 1,269 1,488 1,265 1,538 76 9 8 5 By type of issuer: 6 State............................................................................. 7 Special district and statutory authority.................... 8 Municipalities, counties, townships, school districts 4,784 8.638 10^17 7,438 12,441 10,660 308 1,261 1,118 669 1,162 930 470 1,229 1,104 9 Issues for new capital, total........................................... 23,508 29,495 2,470 2,504 2,590 10 11 12 13 14 15 By use of proceeds: Education................................................................... Transportation........................................................... Utilities and conservation.......................................... Social welfare............................................................. Industrial aid.............................................................. Other purposes........................................................... 4,730 1,712 5,634 3,820 494 7,118 4,689 2,208 7,209 4,392 445 10,552 309 36 1,000 488 66 571 373 166 784 694 24 463 356 251 747 767 30 439 2 3 4 5 Corporate '38,313 '53,619 53,608 3,216 3,365 4,832 4,427 3,458 6,334 32,066 42,756 42,515 2,587 2,687 4,278 3,479 2,768 5,414 By type of offering: 18 Public........................................ 19 Private placement..................... 25,903 6,160 32.583 10,172 26,853 15,662 1,239 1,348 1,565 1,122 2,100 2,178 2,729 750 1,656 1,112 2,568 2,846 By industry group: Manufacturing......................... Commercial and miscellaneous Transportation......................... Public utility............................. Communication....................... Real estate and financial......... 9,867 1,845 1,550 8,873 3,710 6,218 16,980 2,750 3,439 9,658 3,464 6,469 13,161 4,321 4,350 8,287 2,801 9,601 1,090 171 118 621 20 568 749 319 48 663 218 692 687 543 1,205 1,118 147 577 1,261 75 240 803 155 946 512 376 193 795 163 728 2,196 661 564 550 194 1,250 26 Stocks........................................... 6,247 10,863 11,093 629 678 554 948 690 920 By type: 27 Preferred................................... 28 Common................................... 2,253 3,994 3,458 7,405 2,788 8,305 89 540 214 464 136 418 275 673 282 408 308 612 By industry group: Manufacturing. ....................... Commercial and miscellaneous T ransportation......................... Public utility............................. Communication....................... Real estate and financial......... 544 940 22 3,964 217 562 1,670 1,470 1 6,235 1,002 488 2,236 1,183 24 6,101 776 771 108 164 282 69 13 257 3 54 83 33 7 347 87 73 9 34 110 198 611 177 532 27 88 596 84 16 All issues 3.................................... 17 Bonds............................................ 20 21 22 23 24 25 29 30 31 32 33 34 1 Par amounts of long-term issues based on date of sale. 2 Only bonds sold pursuant to the 1949 Housing Act, which are secured by contract requiring the Housing Assistance Administration to make annual contributions to the local authority. 3 Figures, which represent gross proceeds of issues maturing in more than 1 year, sold for cash in the United States, are principal amount or number of units multiplied by offering price. Excludes offerings of less 311 6 40 15 than $100,000, secondary offerings, undefined or exempted issues as defined in the Securities Act of 1933, employee stock plans, investment companies other than closed-end, intracorporate transactions, and sales to foreigners. Sources.—State and local government securities, Securities Industry Association; corporate securities, Securities and Exchange Commission. C orporate Finance A 37 1.48 CORPORATE SECURITIES Net Change in Amounts Outstanding Millions of dollars 1975 Source of change, or industry 1973 1974 1975 1976 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 All issues1 33,559 2 Retirements............................................................ 11,804 3 Net change.............................................................. 21,754 39,344 9,935 29,399 53,255 10,991 42,263 15,211 2,088 13,123 15,602 3,211 12,390 9,079 2,576 6,503 13,363 3,116 10,247 13,671 2,315 11,356 14,229 3,668 10,561 11,385 2,478 8,907 Bonds and notes 4 New issues.............................................................. 21,501 8,810 5 Retirements............................................................ 6 Net change: Total.................................................. 12,691 31,354 6,255 25,098 40,468 8,583 31,886 12,759 1,587 11,172 11,460 2,336 9,124 6,654 2,111 4,543 9,595 2,549 7,047 9,404 1,403 8,001 10,244 3,159 7,084 8,701 1,826 6,875 By industry: Manufacturing................................................ Commercial and other2................................. Transportation, including railroad............... Public utility................................................... Communication.............................................. Real estate and financial............................... 801 -109 1,044 4,265 3,165 3,523 7,404 1,116 341 7,308 3,499 5,428 13,219 1,605 2,165 7,236 2,980 4,682 5,134 373 1 2,653 1,269 1,742 4,574 483 429 1,977 810 852 1,442 221 147 1,395 472 866 2,069 528 1,588 1,211 429 1,222 2,966 203 985 1,820 498 1,530 1,529 726 488 1,260 953 2,128 1,551 610 1,092 2,109 335 1,178 Common and preferred stock 13 New issues............................................................. 14 Retirements............................................................ 15 Net change: Total.................................................. 12,057 2,993 9,064 7,980 3,678 4,302 12,787 2,408 10,377 2,452 501 1,951 4,142 875 3,266 2,425 465 1,960 3,768 567 3,200 4,267 912 3,355 3,985 509 3,477 2,684 652 2,032 658 1,411 -9 3 4,509 1,399 1,181 17 -1 3 5 -2 0 3,834 398 207 1,607 1,137 65 6,015 1,084 468 262 77 1 1,569 24 18 500 490 7 1,866 359 43 412 108 53 1,043 97 247 433 462 4 1,537 604 160 838 88 5 2,174 47 203 1,120 318 25 1,300 735 -2 1 744 117 17 932 19 203 7 8 9 10 11 12 16 17 18 19 By industry: Manufacturing................................................ Commercial and other2................................. Transportation, including railroad............... Public utility................................................... 21 Real estate and financial............................... 1 Excludes issues of investment companies. 2 Extractive and commercial and miscellaneous companies. N ote.—Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of cash trans actions only, as published in the Commission’s Statistical Bulletin. 1.49 O P E N -E N D IN V E S T M E N T C O M P A N IE S Millions of dollars New issues and retirements exclude foreign sales and include sales of securities held by affiliated companies, special offerings to employees, new stock issues and cash proceeds connected with conversions of bonds into stocks. Retirements, defined in the same way, include securities retired with internal funds or with proceeds of issues for that purpose. N e t S ales a n d A sse t P o sitio n 1977 1976 Item 1975 1976 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. INVESTMENT COMPANIES Excluding money market funds: 1 2 3 Redemptions of own shares2.......................... Net sales............................................................ 3,302 3,686 -384 4,226 6,802 2,496 256 536 -2 8 0 338 573 -235 378 450 -7 2 446 419 27 661 628 33 655 628 141 423 463 -4 0 4 Assets3.............................................................. 42,179 47,537 45,457 46,138 44,858 45,369 47,537 45,760 44,948 Other............................................................. 3,748 38,431 2,747 44,790 2,561 42,896 2,507 43,631 2,434 42,424 2,635 42,734 2,747 44,790 2,958' 42,802' 3,276 41,672 5 6 1 Includes reinvestment of investment income dividends. Excludes reinvestment of capital gains distributions and share issue of conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 2 Excludes share redemption resulting from conversions from one fund to another in the same group. 3 Market value at end of period, less current liabilities. 4 Also includes all U.S. Govt, securities and other short-term debt securities. N ote.—Investment Company Institute data based on reports of mem bers, which comprise substantially all open-end investment companies registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Data reflect newly formed companies after their initial offering of securities. A 38 1.50 D om estic Financial Statistics □ April 1977 C O R P O R A T E P R O F IT S A N D T H E IR D IS T R IB U T IO N Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. Account 1974 1975 1975 1976 1976 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 1 Profits before ta x ..................................................... 127.6 114.5 148.0 105.8 126.9 131.3 141.1 146.2 150.2 154.5 2 Profits tax liability................................................... 3 Profits after tax........................................................ 52.4 75.2 49.2 65.3 64.4 83.6 44.8 61.0 54.8 72.1 57.2 74.2 61.4 79.7 63.5 82.7 65.1 85.1 67.5 86.9 4 Dividends................................................................. 5 Undistributed profits.............................................. 30.8 44.4 32.1 33.2 35.2 48.4 31.9 29.1 32.6 39.5 32.2 42.0 33.1 46.6 34.4 48.3 35.4 49.7 37.7 49.2 6 Capital consumption allowances with capital con sumption adjustment....................................... 7 Net cash flow........................................................... 81.6 126.0 89.4 122.6 97.3 145.7 87.9 117.0 90.5 130.0 92.9 134,9 94.3 140.9 96.2 144.5 98.2 147.9 100.5 149.7 Source.—U.S. Dept, of Commerce, Survey o f Current Business, 1.51 N O N F I N A N C I A L C O R P O R A T IO N S Billions of dollars, end of period Account C u rre n t A ssets a n d L ia b ilitie s 1971 1972 1973 1975 1974 1976 Q2 1 Current assets......................................................... 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Cash.................................................................... U.S. Govt, securities......................................... Notes and accounts receivable ........................... U.S. Govt.1.................................................... Other............................................................... Inventories.......................................................... Other................................................................... 9 Current liabilities.................................................... Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 791.8 529.4 574.4 643.2 712.2 703.2 716.5 731.6 753.5 775.4 53.3 11.0 57.5 10.2 61.6 11.0 62.7 11.7 65.6 14.3 68.1 19.4 71.1 23.9 221.1 243.4 269.6 288.1 298.0 298.2 68.4 21.7 70.8 23.3 293.2 63.7 12.7 3.6 294.6 285.8 60.0 321.8 328.5 3.3 294.7 279.6 59.0 310.9 3.5 217.6 200.4 43.8 3.4 240.0 215.2 48.1 3.5 266.1 246.7 54.4 3.5 289.7 288.0 56.6 3.3 284.8 281.4 57.3 3.6 307.3 288.8 63.6 3.7 318.1 295.6 63.9 4.3 324.2 302.1 66.3 326.0 352.2 401.0 450.6 434.2 444.7 457.5 465.9 475.9 484.1 Notes and accounts payable ............................... 220.5 4.9 215.6 13.1 92.4 234.4 4.0 230.4 15.1 102.6 265.9 4.3 261.6 18.1 117.0 292.7 5.2 287.5 23.2 134.8 275.9 5.8 270.1 17.7 140.6 279.6 288.0 286.9 293.8 6.8 287.0 22.0 160.1 291.7 7.0 284.7 24.9 167.5 15 Net working capital............................................... 203.6 221.3 242.3 261.5 269.0 271.8 274.1 287.6 299.5 307.7 10 11 12 13 14 U.S. Govt.1.................................................... Other............................................................... Accrued Federal income taxes......................... Other.................................................................. 1 Receivables from, and payables to, the U.S. Govt, exclude amounts offset against each other on corporations’ books. 6.2 273.4 19.4 145.6 6.4 281.6 20.7 148.8 6.4 280.5 23.9 155.0 Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission estimates published in the Commission’s Statistical Bulletin. Corporate Finance 1.52 A 39 B U S IN E S S E X P E N D I T U R E S o n N ew P la n t a n d E q u ip m e n t Billions of dollars; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1976 1975 Industry 1975 1976 1977 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Ql 2 r Q22 1 All industries.......................................................... 112.75 120.82 112.16 111.80 114.72 118.12 122.55 125.22 129.19 132.71 Manufacturing 2 Durable goods industries................................... 3 Nondurable goods industries............................ 21.88 26.13 23.50 29.22 21.01 26.38 21.07 25.75 21.63 27.58 22.54 28.09 24.59 30.20 25.50 28.93 25.33 30.84 26.77 31.13 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Nonmanufacturing Mining................................................................ Transportation: Railroad.......................................................... Air................................................................... Other............................................................... Public utilities: Electric............................................................ Gas and other................................................ Communication................................................. Commercial and other1..................................... 3.80 3.98 3.82 3.82 3.83 3.83 4.21 4.13 4.26 4.16 2.56 1.87 3.03 2.35 1.31 3,56 2.75 2.12 2.99 2.39 1.65 3.56 2.08 1.18 3.29 2.64 1.44 4.16 2.69 1.12 3.44 2.63 1.41 3.49 2.37 1.76 2.87 2.68 1.45 2.45 16.99 3.14 12.76 20.61 18.90 3.47 12.93 20.87 16.58 3.21 12.95 20.34 17.92 3.00 12.22 20.44 18.56 3.36 12.54 20.68 18.82 3.03 12.62 20.94 18.22 3.45 13.64 20.99 19.49 3.96 14.30 21.36 20.44 4.08 | J /• / j 21.96 4.24 1 Includes trade, service, construction, finance, and insurance. 2 Anticipated by business. d I^o I N ote.—Estimates for corporate and noncorporate business, excluding agriculture; real estate operators; medical, legal, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. Source.—U.S. Dept, of Commerce, Survey o f Current Business. A 40 1.53 D om estic Financial Statistics □ A pril 1977 M O RTG A G E M ARKETS Millions of dollars, except as noted 1976 Item 1974 1975 1976 Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Terms and yields in primary and secondary markets PRIMARY MARKETS 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Conventional mortgages on new homes Terms: 1 Purchase price (thous. dollars)..................... Amount of loan (thous. dollars)................. Loan/price ratio (per cent)........................... Maturity (years)............................................ Fees and charges (per cent of loan amount)2. Contract rate (per cent per annum)............ Yield (per cent per annum): FHLBB series 3.............................................. HUD series4.................................................. 40.1 29.8 74.3 26.3 1.30 8.71 44.6 33.3 74.7 26.8 1.54 8.75 48.4 35.9 74.2 27.2 1.44 8.76 50.6 37.4 75.6 27.7 1.42 8.85 49.0 36.2 75.3 28.0 1.38 8.85 48.6 36.0 75.6 27.0 1.36 8.83 51.0 37.1 74.7 27.7 1.38 8.87 '52.5 '39.0 '76.3 28.2 '1.38 '8.82 51.8 38.6 76.1 27.7 1.29 8.77 8.92 9.22 9.01 9.10 8.99 8.99 9.08 9.00 9.07 9.00 9.05 8.95 9.10 8.90 9.05 8.80 8.98 8.80 9.55 8.72 9.19 8.52 8.82 8.17 8.82 8.10 8.55 7.98 8.45 7.93 8.25 7.59 8.40 7.85 8.50 7.98 9.53 9.70 9.31 9.36 8.92 9.12 8.88 9.11 8.75 9.05 8.66 9.00 8.45 8.84 8.48 8.82 8.55 8.86 SECONDARY MARKETS 9 10 11 12 Yields (per cent per annum) on— FHA mortgages (HUD series)5................... GNMA securities6........................................ FNMA auctions:7 Government-underwritten loans.............. Conventional loans................................... Activity in secondary markets FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION 13 14 15 16 Mortgage holdings at end of period: Total................................................................... FHA-insured.................................................. VA-guaranteed.............................................. Conventional................................................. 29,578 19,189 8,310 2,080 31,824 19,732 9,573 2,519 32,904 18,916 9,212 4,776 32,062 19,133 9,366 3,563 32,019 19,077 9,314 3,628 32,929 18,986 9,264 4,679 32,904 18,916 9,212 4,776 32,848 18,854 9,162 4,833 32,792 18,771 9,115 4,906 17 18 Mortgage transactions during period: Purchases........................................................... S a le s............................................................... 6,953 4 4,263 2 3,606 86 199 162 1,131 8 191 141 150 19 20 Mortgage commitments:8 Contracted during period................................ Outstanding at end of period........................... 10,765 7,960 6,106 4,126 6,247 3,398 463 3,983 480 3,672 615 3,649 290 3,398 1,180 4,142 968 4,707 Auction of 4-month commitments to buy— Government-underwritten loans: Offered9......................................................... Accepted........................................................ Conventional loans: 23 Offered9......................................................... 24 Accepted........................................................ 5,492.7 2,371.4 7,042.8 3,848.3 4,929.8 2,787.2 221.0 117.9 235.5 107.1 494.1 221.1 56.9 41.5 747.4 549.1 868.4 484.7 1,206.8 656.4 1,401.1 765.2 2,595.7 1,879.3 321.7 225.4 297.5 215.8 353.3 296.9 150.2 135.4 326.8 238.3 300.0 235.8 4,586 1,904 2,682 4,987 1,824 3,163 4,269 1,618 2,651 4,269 1,679 2,590 4,190 1,660 2,530 4,162 1,638 2,523 4,269 1,618 2,651 3,896 1,594 2,302 3,672 1,580 2,092 98 290 21 22 FEDERAL HOME LOAN MORTGAGE CORPORATION 25 26 Mortgage holdings at end of period: 1o Total.................................................................. FHA/VA........................................................ 28 29 Mortgage transactions during period: Purchases........................................................... Sales................................................................... 2,191 52 1,716 1,020 1,175 1,396 88 93 78 116 101 91 208 60 16 51 30 31 Mortgage commitments: 11 Contracted during period. ......................... Outstanding at end of period........................... 4,553 2,390 982 111 1,477 333 163 243 171 326 245 452 105 333 250 462 1 Weighted averages based on sample surveys of mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups. Compiled by the Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with the Federal Deposit Insurance Cor poration. 2 Includes all fees, commissions, discounts, and “points” paid (by the borrower or the seller) in order to obtain a loan. 3 Average effective interest rates on loans closed, assuming prepayment at the end of 10 years. 4 Average contract rates on new commitments for conventional first mortgages, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points; from Dept, of Housing and Urban Development. 5 Average gross yields on 30-year, minimum-downpayment, Federal Housing Administration-insured first mortgages for immediate delivery in the private secondary market. Any gaps in data are due to periods of adjustment to changes in maximum permissible contract rates. 6 Average net yields to investors on Government National Mortgage Association-guaranteed, mortgage-backed, fully-modified pass-through securities, assuming prepayment in 12 years on pools of 30-year FHA/VA mortgages carrying the prevailing ceiling rate. Monthly figures are unweighted averages of Monday quotations for the month. 7 Average gross yields (before deduction of 38 basis points for mortgage servicing) on accepted bids in Federal National Mortgage Association’s auctions of 4-month commitments to purchase home mortgages, assuming prepayment in 12 years for 30-year mortgages. No adjustments are made for FNMA commitment fees or stock related requirements. Monthly figures are unweighted averages for auctions conducted within the month. 8 Includes some multifamily and nonprofit hospital loan commitments in addition to 1- to 4-family loan commitments accepted in FNMA’s free market auction system, and through the FNMA-GNMA Tandem plans. 9 Mortgage amounts offered by bidders are total bids received. 10 Includes participations as well as whole loans. 11 Includes conventional and Government-underwritten loans. R e a l E sta te D eb t 1.54 A41 M O R T G A G E D E B T O U T S T A N D IN G Millions of dollars End of quarter End of year Type of holder, and type of property 1976 1972 1973 1974 1975 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 1 All holders.................................................. 7 1- to 4-family........................................ 3 Multifamily............................................ 4 Commercial........................................... 5 F arm ...................................................... 603,417 372,793 82,572 112,294 35,758 682,321 416,883 92,877 131,308 41,253 742,504 449,937 99,851 146,428 46,288 801,546 491,678 100,348 158,644 50,876 817,278 503,402 100,487 161,024 52,365 '838,761 519,437 '100,548 164,527 54,249 '862,229 '537,321 '100,755 168,144 56,009 '883,843 '552,994 '101,131 171,978 57,740 6 Maior financial institutions....................... 7 Commercial banks 1............................... 8 1- to 4-family..................................... 9 Multifamily........................................ 10 Commercial....................................... Farm .................................................. 11 450,000 505,400 542,552 592,061 609,086 626,487 642,851 119,068 132,105 581,296 99,314 77,018 5,915 46,882 6,371 78,218 5,515 47,812 6,441 57,004 5,778 31,751 4,781 67,998 6,932 38,696 5,442 74,758 7,619 43,679 6,049 136,186 137,986 141,086 80,218 5,115 49,112 6,641 12 13 14 15 16 Mutual savings banks ............................ 67,556 73,230 46,229 10,910 10,355 62 48,811 12,343 12,012 64 49,213 12,923 12,722 62 50,025 13,792 13,373 59 50,344 13,876 13,456 62 50,989 14,030 13,653 63 17 18 19 20 Savings and loan associations................ 206,182 231,733 249,293 278,693 286,556 299,574 21 22 23 24 25 Life insurance companies...................... 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ Commercial....................................... Farm .................................................. 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ Commercial....................................... 167,049 20,783 18,350 76,948 187,750 22,524 21,459 81,369 74,920 201,553 23,683 24,057 86,234 77,249 224,710 25,417 28,566 89,168 77, 738 231 ,337 25,847 29,372 89,781 78,735 241,996 26,722 30,856 89,691 143,986 81,928 5,040 50,251 6,767 80,145 146,586 83,402 5,072 51,233 6,879 81,554 51,902 14,282 13,897 64 52,814 14,534 14,141 65 312,139 323,130 252,521 27,468 32,150 90,217 261,732 28,116 33,282 91,581 1- to 4-family.................................... Multifamily........................................ Commercial....................................... Farm .................................................. 22,315 17,347 31,608 5,678 20,426 18,451 36,496 5,996 19,026 19,625 41,256 6,327 17,590 19,629 45,196 6,753 17,321 19,726 45,907 6,827 16,861 19,374 46,456 7,000 16,458 19,256 47,322 7,181 16,058 19,276 48,766 7,481 26 Federal and related agencies.................... 27 Government National Mortgage Assn.. 1- to 4-family..................................... 28 Multifamily........................................ 29 40,157 46,721 58,320 '66,033 4,846 66,891 67,350 4,029 7,619 5,557 '67,314 '66,755 5,113 7,438 2,513 2,600 1,455 2,574 2,248 2,598 4,728 2,710 4,886 2,733 1,019 1,366 1,432 1,109 650 30 31 32 33 34 Farmers Home Admin ........................... 35 36 37 Federal Housing and Veterans Admin. .. 38 39 40 Federal National Mortgage Assn.......... 41 42 43 Federal land banks................................. 1- to 4-family..................................... F arm .................................................. 13 9,094 123 10,948 44 45 46 Federal Home Loan Mortgage C orp.... 1,789 2,604 2,446 158 4,217 369 4,588 399 4,247 355 47 Mortgage pools or trusts2......................... 48 Government National Mortgage Assn. .. 49 1- to 4-family..................................... 50 Multifamily........................................ 14,404 18,040 23,799 34,138 37,684 7,890 11,769 18,257 20,479 1- to 4-family.................................... Multifamily........................................ Commercial....................................... Farm .................................................. 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ 51 52 53 Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp... 54 55 56 57 58 Farmers Home Admin ........................... 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ 279 29 320 391 743 29 218 376 3,338 3,476 759 167 156 350 4,015 208 215 190 496 4,970 2,199 1,139 2,013 1,463 2,009 2,006 1,990 2,980 19,791 24,175 29,578 31,824 17,697 2,094 9,107 1,754 35 5,504 5,353 151 441 331 110 20,370 3,805 11,071 7,561 329 766 23,778 5,800 13,863 406 13,457 4,586 11,249 520 757 617 149 608 149 25,813 6,011 16,563 549 16,014 4,987 17,538 719 1,598 1,349 249 3,165 2,392 830 5,068 2,486 2,582 1,355 4,241 1,970 2,271 1,064 97 23 96 434 228 46 151 405 5,033 1 ,908 3,125 '5,777 1,781 '3,330 r5,092 '1,716 '3,376 '5,750 '1,676 '3,474 32,182 32,028 32,962 32,904 26,262 5,920 17,264 563 16,701 4,602 26,112 5,916 27,030 5,932 17,978 18,568 575 17,403 4,529 4,166 363 41,225 23,634 19,693 786 22,821 813 1,999 2,153 1,698 301 754 143 133 325 586 17,982 454 218 72 320 26,934 5,970 19,127 603 18,524 4,269 4,269 3,917 352 3,889 380 44,960 49,801 26,725 30,572 25,841 884 29,583 989 1,831 322 2,506 2,671 2,141 365 2,282 389 16,558 5,017 131 867 2,444 9,384 5,458 138 1,124 2,664 11,273 14,283 15,206 15,438 15,729 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ Commercial....................................... Farm .................................................. 9,670 541 2,104 3,123 9,587 535 2,291 3,316 10,219 532 2,440 3,367 59 Individuals and others3............................. 60 1- to 4-family..................................... Multifamily........................................ 61 62 Commercial....................................... 63 Farm .................................................. 98,856 45,040 21,465 19,043 13,308 112,160 51 ,112 23,982 21,303 15,763 117,833 53,331 24,276 23,085 17,141 119,221 56,378 22,017 22,489 18,337 120,183 c122,417 59,024 c21,584 22,195 19,614 123,468 60,454 20,540 22,100 20,374 124,436 61,378 19,910 22,044 21,104 8,459 1 Includes loans held by nondeposit trust companies but not bank trust departments. 2 Outstanding principal balances of mortgages backing securities in sured or guaranteed by the agency indicated. 3 Other holders include mortgage companies, real estate investment trusts, State and local credit agencies, State and local retirement funds, noninsured pension funds, credit unions, and U.S. agencies for which amounts are small or separate data are not readily available. 6,782 116 1,473 2,902 9,194 295 1,948 2,846 9,516 542 2,122 3,026 57,312 21,738 22,259 18,874 N ote.—Based on data from various institutional and Govt, sources, with some quarters estimated in part by Federal Reserve in conjunction with the Federal Home Loan Bank Board and the Dept, of Commerce. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, if not re ported directly, and interpolations and extrapolations where required, are estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. Multifamily debt refers to loans on structures of 5 or more units. A 42 D om estic Financial Statistics □ A pril 1977 1.55 CONSUMER INSTALMENT CREDIT Total Outstanding, and Net Change Millions of dollars 1977 1976 Holder, and type of credit 1974 1975 1976 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Amounts outstanding (end of period) 1 Total.................................................... 155,384 162,237 178,775 171,160 172,918 173,930 175,333 178,775 177,975 178,252 2 3 4 5 6 By holder: Commercial banks.......................... Finance companies......................... Credit unions................................... Retailers1......................................... Others2............................................. 75,846 36,208 22,116 17,933 3,281 78,703 36,695 25,354 18,002 3,483 85,379 39,642 30,546 19,178 4,030 82,961 38,398 28,956 16,911 3,934 83,714 38,575 29,600 17,012 4,017 84,152 38,809 29,711 17,205 4,053 84,278 39,129 30,053 17,726 4,147 85,379 39,642 30,546 19,178 4,030 85,051 39,665 30,410 18,693 4,156 85,005 39,831 30,701 18,322 4,393 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 By type of credit: Automobile ....................................... Commercial banks...................... Indirect.................................... Direct....................................... Finance companies..................... Credit unions............................... Others........................................... 50,392 53,028 60,498 58,665 59,270 59,717 60,002 35,095 19,575 15,520 12,957 11,442 508 60,498 60,349 35,009 19,611 15,398 12,901 11,311 496 35,313 19,642 15,671 13,059 11,633 493 35,284 19,566 15,719 12,973 11,579 513 60,774 8,294 3,309 8,254 3,295 8,233 3,277 8,146 3,248 8,726 8,790 8,773 14 15 16 17 Mobile homes: Commercial banks...................... Finance companies..................... Home improvement......................... Commercial banks...................... Revolving credit: 18 19 Bank credit cards........................ Bank check credit....................... 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 All other ........................................... Commercial banks, total............ Personal loans......................... Finance companies, total............ Personal loans......................... Credit unions............................... Retailers....................................... Others........................................... 30,994 18,687 12,306 10,618 8,414 366 8,972 3,524 7,754 31,534 18,353 13,181 11,439 9,653 402 35,313 19,642 15,671 13,059 11,633 493 34,414 19,404 15,010 12,748 11,024 479 8,704 3,451 8,233 3,277 8,379 3,323 8,340 3,319 8,004 8,773 8,562 8,665 4,694 4,965 5,381 5,263 8,281 2,797 9,501 2,810 11,075 3,010 73,664 20,108 13,771 21,717 16,961 13,037 17,933 869 34,701 19,495 15,206 12,808 11,270 491 76,738 21,188 14,629 21,655 17,681 14,937 18,002 956 83,910 22,368 15,606 23,178 19,043 17.993 19,178 1,193 5,318 10,153 2,922 10,232 2,933 79,438 80,249 80,719 22,112 15,308 22,192 18,275 17,060 16,911 1,163 22,280 15,450 22,316 18,371 17,438 17,012 '1,203 22,325 15,534 22,469 18,509 17,505 17,205 1,215 8,094 3,207 8,750 5,381 5,340 5,307 10,329 2,935 11,075 3,010 10,996 3,031 10,820 3,039 81,728 22,277 83,910 83,469 83,568 5,359 9,924 2,870 8,736 35,492 19,640 15,852 13,042 11,690 550 5,388 15,517 22,748 18,773 17,706 17,726 1,271 22,368 15,606 23,178 19,043 17,993 19,178 1,193 22,254 15,569 23,319 19,002 17,915 18,693 1,288 22,253 15,590 23,454 18,998 18,086 18,322 1,453 Net change (during period)3 28 T otal.................................................... 8,952 6,843 16,539 1,403 1,481 1,564 1,243 1,823 1,918 2,022 29 30 31 32 33 By holder: Commercial banks.......................... Finance companies......................... Credit unions................................... Retailers.......................................... Others.............................................. 3,975 806 2,507 1,538 126 2,851 483 3,238 69 202 6,678 2,946 5,192 1,176 547 518 169 386 183 148 697 233 483 24 45 671 317 280 263 33 381 245 395 98 124 913 364 537 64 -5 5 565 481 416 249 207 829 442 540 118 93 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 By type of credit: Automobile ....................................... Commercial banks...................... Indirect..................................... Direct....................................... Finance companies..................... Credit unions............................... Other............................................ 327 2,631 535 -340 875 821 1,239 36 7,470 3,779 1,289 2,490 1,620 1,980 91 621 -508 -310 -198 -1 0 0 958 -2 3 605 528 477 1,013 Commercial banks...................... Finance companies..................... 632 168 -268 -7 3 -471 -174 Home improvement......................... 804 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Mobile homes: 377 159 218 62 136 46 376 125 251 28 172 28 350 117 233 77 105 -4 221 70 151 98 144 14 -3 5 -1 6 -5 3 -1 6 -5 6 -1 6 -4 3 -1 6 39 65 73 103 248 768 611 271 416 25 Bank credit cards........................ Bank check credit....................... 1,443 543 1,220 14 1,576 199 A ll other ........................................... 5,036 3,072 7,172 1,080 858 -6 4 717 1,900 69 87 1,180 977 1,523 1,362 3,056 1,176 237 Commercial banks...................... Revolving credit: Commercial banks, total............ Personal loans......................... Finance companies, total........... Personal loans......................... Credit unions............................... Retailers....................................... Others........................................... 1,255 898 803 479 1,473 1,538 -3 3 1 Excludes 30-day charge credit held by retailers, oil and gas companies, and travel and entertainment companies. 2 Mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, and auto dealers. 3 Net change equals extensions minus liquidations (repayments, chargeoffs, and other credits); figures for all months are seasonally adjusted. 43 44 86 -6 166 17 714 698 71 46 126 106 240 183 96 148 108 223 198 297 24 5 504 239 265 161 213 6 32 -1 6 -4 3 -1 8 -2 6 -4 3 73 130 73 54 123 27 71 6 884 645 72 47 163 161 239 98 73 884 418 160 258 99 174 66 55 183 161 258 237 166 263 15 758 652 330 322 146 207 8 36 14 -3 3 7 28 41 170 32 747 1,023 931 199 148 236 113 313 64 -6 6 85 101 401 178 227 249 60 134 114 320 129 312 118 48 Note.—Total consumer noninstalment credit outstanding—credit scheduled to be repaid in a lump sum, including single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit—amounted to $39.0 billion at the end of 1976, $35.0 billion at the end of 1975, and $33.4 billion at the end of 1974. Comparable data for Dec. 31, 1977, will be published in the Bulletin for February 1978. C onsum er D eb t A 43 1.56 CONSUMER INSTALMENT CREDIT Extensions and Liquidations Millions of dollars Holder, and type of credit 1974 1975 1977 1976 1976 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Extensions1 1 Total.................................................... 160,008 163,483 186,221 15,685 15,775 16,055 15,763 16,702 16,870 17,186 By holder: 2 Commercial b a n k s......................... 3 Finance companies......................... 4 Credit unions.................................. 5 6 Others3............................................ 72,605 35,644 22,403 27,034 2,322 77,131 32,582 24,151 27,049 2,570 88,666 35,956 28,829 29,569 3,201 7,487 2,965 2,313 2,548 372 7,546 3,072 2,424 2,463 271 7,618 3,148 2,350 2,673 266 7,486 3,059 2,395 2,467 356 8,182 3,157 2,688 2,480 194 7,546 3,431 2,683 2,775 436 8,055 3,437 2,743 2,603 347 43,209 48,103 55,807 4,712 2,762 4,769 4,587 2,691 1,426 1,265 927 957 57 5,263 2,846 1,511 1,335 891 963 69 2,770 1,479 1,291 904 875 37 4,632 1,480 1,282 937 928 84 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 By type of credit: Automobile ..................... ................ Commercial banks...................... Indirect..................................... Direct....................................... Finance companies..................... Credit unions.............................. Others.......................................... Mobile homes: 26,406 15,576 10,830 8,630 7,788 385 Commercial banks...................... Finance companies..................... 3,486 1,413 Home improvement......................... 4,571 28,333 15,761 12,572 9,598 9,702 470 32,687 17,600 15,087 11,210 11,336 574 3,170 1,723 1,446 992 1,051 51 2,892 1,544 1,349 964 974 110 4,940 5,205 3,075 1,641 1,435 999 1,075 55 2,681 771 2,449 690 186 54 200 53 178 59 207 54 267 53 195 50 207 52 400 463 Revolving credit: Bank credit cards........................ Bank check credit....................... Commercial banks, total............ Personal loans....................... . Finance companies, total............ Personal loans......................... Credit unions............................... Retailers....................................... Others........................................... 2,789 2,722 4,398 5,034 3,036 242 434 266 282 464 276 461 288 494 262 251 17,098 4,227 20,428 4,024 25,481 4,832 2,183 413 2,165 375 2,198 413 2,181 410 2,217 426 2,117 462 2,332 448 86,004 Commercial banks...................... 83,079 91,928 7,737 7,779 8,158 7,815 8,015 8,612 8,484 18,599 13,176 25,316 16,691 14,228 27,034 827 18,944 13,386 22,135 17,333 13,992 27,049 959 20,182 14,463 24,014 19,610 16,911 29,569 1,253 1,702 1,197 1,970 1,607 1,338 2,548 180 1,693 1,193 2,125 1,745 1,410 2,463 87 1,777 1,286 2,182 1,776 1,426 2,673 100 457 1,721 1,238 2,072 1,696 1,389 2,467 166 1,815 1,317 2,108 1,688 1,582 2,480 30 1,618 1,213 2,413 1,787 1,656 2,775 151 1,742 1,281 2,379 1,843 1,612 2,603 149 Liquidations1 28 Total.................................................... 151,056 156,640 169,682 14,282 14,294 14,491 14,520 14,879 14,952 15,164 29 3Q 31 32 33 By holder: Commercial banks.......................... Finance companies......................... Credit unions................................... Retailers2........................................ Others3............................................ 68,630 34,838 19,896 25,496 2,196 74,280 32,099 20,913 26,980 2,368 81,988 33,010 23,637 28,393 2,654 6,970 2,796 1,927 2,365 224 6,849 2,839 1,941 2,439 226 6,947 2,831 2,070 2,410 233 7,105 2,814 2,000 2,369 232 7,269 2,793 2,151 2,416 249 6,981 2,949 2,267 2,526 228 7,227 2,995 2,203 2,485 254 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 By type of credit: Automobile ....................................... Commercial banks...................... Indirect..................................... Direct....................................... Finance companies..................... Credit unions............................... Others........................................... 42,883 45,472 48,337 4,090 4,165 4,059 4,155 4,250 4,183 2,517 1,393 1,124 846 843 43 2,474 1,384 1,090 866 800 43 4,320 233 74 250 70 234 70 238 67 233 96 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Mobile homes: Commercial banks...................... Finance companies..................... Commercial banks...................... Revolving credit: 26,915 15,886 11,029 8,730 6,830 408 27,798 16,101 11,697 8,777 8,463 434 28,908 16,311 12,597 9,590 9,356 483 2,385 1,321 1,064 874 792 39 2,470 1,386 1,084 862 791 42 2,854 1,245 2,949 844 2,921 864 222 70 253 69 3,767 4,150 4,266 2,620 361 2,451 369 2,178 216 2,420 1,363 1,058 827 770 42 2,470 1,356 1,114 829 813 43 2,571 1,402 1,169 838 862 49 390 234 364 227 385 239 360 388 223 221 237 Bank credit cards........................ Bank check credit....................... 15,655 3,684 19,208 4,010 23,905 4,632 2,097 419 2,000 358 2,074 386 2,110 404 2,250 419 2,089 421 2,161 416 All other ........................................... 80,969 80,007 84,757 7,023 1,631 1,151 1,844 1,501 1,098 2,365 85 7,081 7,274 7,170 7,268 7,590 7,553 Commercial banks, to tal............ Personal loans......................... Finance companies, total........... Personal loans......................... Credit unions............................... Retailers....................................... Others........................................... 17,345 12,278 24,513 16,212 12,755 25,496 860 17,864 12,528 22,199 16,616 12,092 26,980 872 19,002 13,486 22,491 18,248 13,855 28,393 1,016 1 Monthly figures are seasonally adjusted. 2 Excludes 30-day charge credit held by retailers, oil and gas companies, and travel and entertainment companies. 1,545 1,085 1,902 1,547 1,113 2,439 82 1,594 1,125 1,924 1,539 1,260 2,410 86 1,649 1,191 1,909 1,535 1,150 2,369 93 1,615 1,169 1,872 1,575 1,268 2,416 96 1,533 1,111 2,012 1,608 1,429 2,526 90 1,608 1,167 2,059 1,714 1,300 2,485 101 3 Mutual savings banks, savings and loan associations, and auto dealers. A 44 D om estic Financial Statistics □ A pril 1977 1.57 FUNDS RAISED IN U.S. CREDIT MARKETS Billions of dollars; half-year data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. i Transaction category, or sector 1 NONFINANCIAL SECTORS......................... 2 Excluding equities ........................................... 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 By sector and instrument: U.S. Govt........................................................ Public debt securities................................. Agency issues and mortgages................... All other nonfinancial sectors......................... Corporate equities..................................... Debt instruments....................................... Private domestic nonfinancial sectors........ Corporate equities.................................. Debt instruments ..................................... Debt capital instruments ..................... State and local obligations............ Corporate bonds............................. Mortgages: Hom e........................................... Multifamily residential............... Commercial................................. Farm ............................................ Other debt instruments ....................... Consumer credit............................. Bank loans n.e.c.............................. Open market paper......................... O ther............................................... By borrowing sector ................................... State and local governments............. Households......................................... Farm .................................................... Nonfarm noncorporate...................... Corporate............................................ 1971 151.0 1972 1973 1974 188.8 210.4 200.3 257.7 184.2 247.3 236.5 173.8 238.3 277.2 226.9 224.7 269.9 24.7 26.0 - 1 .3 126.3 11.5 114.8 121.1 11.4 15.2 14.3 1.0 161.7 10.5 151.2 157.7 10.9 8.3 7.9 .4 189.4 7.7 181.7 183.1 7.9 12.0 12.0 * 176.8 3.8 173.0 161.6 4.1 85.2 85.8 - .6 125.2 10.0 115.1 112.2 9.9 68.9 69.1 - .2 188.8 10.5 178.3 168.5 10.1 80.8 82.0 - 1 .2 103.4 10.5 93.0 94.9 10.3 89.6 89.7 - .1 146.9 9.6 137.3 129.4 9.5 102.3 101.3 158.4 122.0 84.6 97.5 16.2 71.7 71.8 - .1 166.6 13.6 153.0 151.1 13.3 119.9 105.1 33.4 18.4 21.0 137.8 110.6 66.2 66.5 - .4 211.0 7.3 203.7 185.8 6.9 33.5 * 8.7 5.6 48.1 - .2 13.1 4.8 109.7 86.8 17.5 18.8 146.8 102.8 15.4 12.2 175.3 106.7 16.3 9.2 157.5 101.2 19.6 19.7 28.6 9.7 9.8 2.4 42.6 12.7 16.4 3.6 46.4 10.4 18.9 5.5 34.6 7.0 15.1 5.1 22.8 4 4.0 68 .6 56.3 11.6 6.5 - .4 5.1 121.1 17.8 42.1 4.5 10.3 46.4 5.2 * 18.6 18.1 .8 6.5 157.7 15.2 64.8 5.8 13.1 58.8 21.7 34.8 2.5 9.6 183.1 14.8 73.5 9.7 12.3 72.9 168.5 94.9 129.4 151.1 185.8 24 25 26 27 28 29 25.2 .4 13.0 .1 20.3 .4 12.8 20.0 56.7 16.3 3.6 3 6.8 2.3 10.3 .9 2.4 15.2 - .2 2.3 - 3 .9 2.8 - 4 .0 5.7 2.0 - 3 .9 9.3 - 2 .0 15.3 30.5 28.3 40 14.0 13.1 18.0 .4 2.1 1.2 1.0 12.4 41 .9 42 16.2 43 —.3 44 11.4 45 1.1 46 10.3 47 4.3 48 2.8 49 - 4 .9 50 9.9 51 - 1 .7 52 17.3 5.8 3.2 10.3 19.9 1.3 1.1 3.9 14.2 * .3 12.1 1 .2 1.2 2.2 15.2 2.5 11.5 4.0 9.2 3.9 14.2 11.9 .4 5.1 .9 -.9 2.1 12.4 11.9 24.8 16.9 - 7 .8 .9 - .8 - 1 .6 1.5 2.6 - 2 .3 - .3 .2 3.6 1.0 2.1 - 2 .2 .1 * - 1 .3 - 1 .5 - .7 1.0 6.6 - 1 .7 - 1 .1 - .7 .7 53 16.2 54 55 6.8 56 - . 3 57 .5 58 .8 59 1.0 60 4.3 61 - 1 .0 62 - . 7 63 .2 64 287.1 198.6 251.8 268.7 305.5 65 - .9 12.1 1.5 10.2 - 1 .1 15.1 275.9 .1 10.7 - .7 9.1 187.0 241.0 254.8 297.1 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 - 1 .1 3.5 2.9 6.3 .9 4.5 1.1 - .5 2.4 .3 - .3 - 2 .1 .9 .7 - 1 .9 .8 1.3 9.3 - .8 -.5 * 1.0 5.4 -1 .4 - .9 - .3 65 ALL SECTORS, by instrument....................... 168.1 206.0 254.3 231.8 225.2 Investment company shares.......................... Other corporate equities............................... Debt instruments ............................................ U.S. Govt, securities................................. State and local obligations....................... Corporate and foreign bonds................... Mortgages................................................... Consumer credit......................................... Bank loans n.e.c......................................... Open market paper and Rp’s ................... Other loans................................................. 1.3 13.7 - .5 - 1 .2 10.4 - .5 5.4 .8 10.4 245.2 227.0 214.0 98.0 17.3 36.3 59.0 8.5 - 1 4 .4 .5 8.7 1.2 -.8 2.5 1.2 -4 .1 1 .6 3.3 9.2 .6 - 2 .8 8.7 - 2 .3 8.1 2.2 5.1 6.0 .5 9.4 6.5 - 1 .2 34.5 19.6 23.9 60.5 9.8 38.4 17.8 22.5 1.4 11.5 1.1 - 7 .3 .8 2.0 .5 6.2 6.3 - .5 14.4 6.7 7.4 1.0 2.2 5.2 3.3 3.4 - 3 .2 - 1 .9 - .6 2.4 - .4 1.6 -.1 .6 2.7 2.9 1.3 N ote.—Full statements for sectors and transaction types quarterly, and annually for flows and for amounts outstanding, may be obtained from 38 39 11.9 .1 11.2 1.0 2.1 - 1 .3 7.5 3.9 6.7 28.3 16.3 13.6 79.9 21.7 51.6 15.2 18.5 282.6 71.6 1.3 1.2 .1 2.9 19.9 18.9 23.7 15.4 18.4 76.8 18.6 27.8 4.1 8.0 227.2 60.6 17.4 35.3 n .s 192.8 231.3 84.4 13.5 36.8 30.7 17.5 23.5 52.5 11.6 12.1 .9 4.2 10.3 6.1 4.2 4.2 -5 .4 23.1 18.0 153.1 7.3 3.8 .8 3.2 11.1 29.4 16.6 5.8 .7 19.3 88.5 13.5 5.7 58.8 30 31 32 33 23 35 36 37 14.8 2 0 .7 .1 15.1 43.0 7 .6 4.8 15.4 .3 17.3 183.7 80.3 11.1 3.5 4.9 17.4 .1 254.9 66.1 19.9 16.2 71.9 11.9 3.8 47.3 8.5 .1 207.5 82.3 8 .4 15.9 60.4 9.4 3.2 40.6 8 .4 5.7 .6 - 1 .2 3.3 .5 3.5 4.9 20 .7 6.2 4.0 -.1 2.8 2.9 13.9 39.0 9.4 - .8 33.5 8.8 5.0 2.5 3.7 2.8 1.1 4.8 11.1 17.7 80.2 12.7 4.7 53.1 15.5 29.1 1.1 4.8 14.9 49.7 9.4 1.2 37.1 15.3 - .2 3.5 - 1 .2 14.0 11.8 7.2 45.5 112.2 18.6 45.2 7.9 6.7 83.1 6 .4 5.1 1.7 6.8 4.4 * 27.2 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 161.6 6.2 - .2 1.5 64.8 1.9 13.7 7.8 21.6 8.6 - 1 .3 16.5 4 .4 2.8 14.8 53.5 .7 11.9 6.0 19.4 -1 2 .9 8.2 12.6 4.0 - .4 16.3 3.6 -1 2 .8 18.6 26.7 16.0 - 5 .5 - 4 .2 8.5 17.0 3.8 2.1 3.5 .9 - 2 .7 36 .4 178.9 133.4 1.1 -2 3 .5 - .2 9.7 40 FINANCIAL SECTORS................................. 3.5 1.0 59.1 1.3 12.8 6.9 17.9 20.7 20.5 - 2 .2 3.5 14.6 193.4 16.6 5 .9 40.8 - .1 10.9 5.2 18.2 23.7 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 8.5 -1 4 .5 - 2 .2 9.1 199.3 9.9 5 .2 17.3 27.2 1 2 9.8 26.2 6.8 13.5 177.2 15.5 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 H2 185.0 147.8 21.6 By sector: Sponsored credit agencies............................. Mortgage pools.............................................. Private financial sectors ................................. Commercial banks..................................... Bank affiliates............................................. Foreign banking agencies.......................... Savings and loan associations................... Other insurance companies....................... Finance companies..................................... REIT’s ........................................................ Open-end investment companies.............. Money market funds................................. HI 190.0 2.1 4.7 7.1 1.6 - 4 .6 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 H2 197.6 1.0 2.8 .9 1.7 - 1 .7 Sponsored credit agencies......................... Mortgage pool securities........................... Loans from U.S. Govt............................... Private financial sectors ................................. Corporate equities..................................... Debt instruments ......................................... Corporate bonds..................................... Mortgages............................................... Bank loans n.e.c...................................... Open market paper and Rp’s ............... Loans from FHLB’s............................... HI 1976 176.9 1.0 3.0 - 1 .0 1.5 - .3 U.S. Govt, related ........................................... 1975 166.4 .9 2.1 .3 1.8 3.2 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1976 139.6 Foreign........................................................ 30 Corporate equities................................. 31 32 Debt instruments ..................................... Bonds.................................................. 33 34 Bank loans n.e.c.................................. Open market paper............................ 35 U.S. Govt, loans................................. 36 37 M emo: U.S. Govt, cash balance..................... Totals net of changes in U.S. Govt, cash balance: 38 Total funds raised.......................................... By U.S. Govt.............................................. 39 By instrument: 1975 86.6 18.2 38.2 82.0 20.5 - 1 .1 15.3 16.1 93.6 16.2 41.6 49.1 1.1 - 2 7 .6 6.2 6.8 102.4 18.4 31.0 69.0 16.0 - 1 .2 - 5 .1 10.7 89.9 17.9 35.2 73.2 19.4 -1 1 .9 17.7 13.5 11.4 83.4 18.6 41.3 90.8 21.6 9.8 12.8 18.8 Flow of Funds Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Flow o f Funds 1.58 D IR E C T A N D IN D IR E C T S O U R C E S O F F U N D S T O C R E D IT M A R K E T S Billions of dollars, except as noted; half-year data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1975 Transaction category or sector 1 Total funds advanced in credit markets to nonfinancial sectors.................................... 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 By public agencies and foreign: Total net advances.............................................. U.S. Govt, securities....................................... . Residential mortgages................................... FHLB advances to S&L’s ............................. Other loans and securities............................. Totals advanced, by sector U.S. Govt........................................................ Sponsored credit agencies............................. Monetary authorities..................................... Foreign............................................................ Agency borrowing not included in line 1........ Private domestic funds advanced 12 Total net advances .............................................. 13 U.S. Govt, securities..................................... 14 State and local obligations........................... 15 Corporate and foreign bonds....................... 16 Residential mortgages................................... 17 Other mortgages and loans........................... 18 L ess: FHLB advances................................... Private financial intermediation 19 Credit market funds advanced by private financial institutions.................................... 20 Commercial banks......................................... 21 Savings institutions.................................... 22 Insurance and pension funds.................... 23 Other finance........... ..................................... 24 Sources o f funds ................................................. 25 Private domestic deposits............................. 26 Credit market borrowing.............................. 27 28 29 30 31 Other sources .................................................. 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 HI 200.3 247.3 173.8 226.9 224.7 269.9 1 4 3 .4 19.8 34.2 5 2 .7 4 4 .2 5 4 .5 2 5.6 12.7 5 1 .9 3 6 .6 5 0 .8 26.6 34.4 7.0 - 2 .7 4.6 7.6 7.0 * 5.1 9.6 8.2 7.2 9.2 11.9 14.7 6.7 19.5 22.5 16.2 -4 .0 9.5 - 2 .0 18.1 32.6 15.9 - 7 .3 10.6 12.4 16.5 - .6 8.3 58.3 11.1 - 2 .3 15.4 24.7 14.4 - 1 .7 20.9 2 3 4 5 6 2.8 5.2 8.9 26.4 5.9 1.8 9.2 .3 8.4 8.4 2.8 21.4 9.2 .7 19.9 9.8 25.6 6.2 11.2 23.1 15.1 14.5 8.5 6.1 13.5 10.7 20.3 9.8 13.8 17.4 14.9 15.9 7.0 14.2 14.0 15.2 13.2 10.1 -2 .0 13.1 5.9 20.0 13.6 11.4 18.0 15.5 20.6 6.1 16.1 16.9 7 8 9 10 11 102.1 155.0 175.7 155.3 22.6 169.6 75.5 17.3 32.8 24.4 15.7 - 4 .0 210.2 135.9 203.4 191.9 228.4 19.6 20.9 26.9 71.9 6.7 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 126.2 116.0 195.1 19 20 21 22 23 195.1 24 25 26 - 3 .7 17.5 19.5 31.2 35.0 - 2 .7 109.7 50.6 39.1 14.2 5.9 109.7 89.4 7.6 16.1 15.4 13.1 48.1 62.3 * 149.4 70.5 47.2 17.8 13.8 149.4 100.9 18.0 18.7 16.3 10.0 48.5 89.3 7.2 163.8 86.5 36.0 23.8 17.4 163.8 86.4 35.3 126.2 69.4 18.9 -1 .0 18.4 17.8 14.5 - 5 .1 26.0 2.4 Private domestic nonfinancial investors 32 Direct lending in credit markets ........................ 33 U.S. Govt, securities..................................... 34 State and local obligations........................... 35 Corporate and foreign bonds....................... 36 Commercial paper......................................... 37 Other.............................................................. * - 1 0 .8 .5 8.3 - 1 .1 3.2 2 3 .6 47.2 40.8 38 Deposits and currency........................................ 39 Time and saving accounts ............................... 40 Large negotiable CD’s ............................... 41 Other at commercial banks....................... 42 At savings institutions............................... 92.8 79.1 105.3 8 3 .7 43 44 45 13.7 7.7 31.8 39.6 42.1 6.9 64.6 27.0 30.1 4.5 5.3 .7 11.6 12.8 4.2 3.1 4.2 3.0 9.1 19.4 7.5 .9 12.5 6.9 90.3 76.2 8.7 29.7 45.4 18.4 29.4 28.4 21 .6 14.1 10.4 3.4 17.2 4.4 3 7.8 17.9 12.2 5.3 4.6 8.1 75.7 67.4 27.6 51.0 39.3 - 1 .8 116.0 90.5 .1 25 .4 - .4 - 1 .7 29.9 -2 .4 53 .7 23.0 9.9 10.4 3.1 7.3 9 6 .7 84.8 61.0 18.2 31.5 47.6 49.9 - 2 .0 168.2 42.6 72.3 46.5 6.7 168.2 108.1 11.2 4 8 .9 61.0 16.2 38.9 17.7 - 5 .2 - 7 .3 9 7 .7 13.5 49.8 36.4 - 1 .9 9 7 .7 90.3 - .8 8 .2 4.9 - .2 35.6 8.6 -1 0 .1 53.1 37 .4 22.4 6.5 5.9 6.3 12.0 115.8 105.6 - 5 .7 - 3 .5 27 A 90.0 18.4 26.7 31.1 36.5 - .6 134.3 41.7 52.2 42.3 - 1 .8 134.3 90.6 1.0 4 2 .7 5.0 .1 32.5 5.2 70.1 5.0 10.3 12.9 3.5 5.6 41.0 9.6 7.9 2.7 8.9 9 5 .7 75.0 9 7 .7 9 4 .7 2.9 63.3 17.9 27.0 43.1 38.4 - 2 .3 141.3 20.8 71.1 44.3 5.1 141.3 88.8 12.1 64.5 73.5 48.8 8.3 127.3 10.3 - 4 .1 37.6 16.4 57.5 7 .6 27 28 29 30 31 6 2 .7 43 .7 32 33 34 35 36 37 93.0 85.1 138.5 126.0 38 39 40 41 42 28.3 7.1 6.4 9.4 11.6 16.5 5.9 5.4 3.2 12.6 23.6 21.4 22.4 - 9 .7 35.4 59.2 -1 5 .1 51.5 69.2 -2 2 .3 34.4 63.0 8.3 11.9 10.2 2.5 2 0 .7 15.3 5.4 - 4 .0 7.1 7.9 3.7 4.1 12.5 7.7 1.3 11.2 43 44 45 182.1 46 10.2 3.9 2.0 6.3 5.7 6.2 36.4 55.4 3 .0 - 2 3 .0 42.1 66.0 92.9 129.0 137.5 123.7 150.4 168.9 133.1 167.8 155.7 31.1 107.4 22.5 11.9 96.4 13.7 18.0 93.2 7.6 28.5 81.2 25.7 22.1 68.4 5.7 22.0 80.0 18.6 29.9 71.9 8.5 16.1 66.0 3.0 22.6 73.6 13.5 M emo : Corporate equities not included above 50 Total net issues................................................... 51 Mutual fund shares....................................... 52 Other equities................................................. 53 Acquisitions by financial institutions............... 54 Other net purchases........................................... 15.0 1.3 13.7 17.8 - 2 .9 13.3 - .5 13.8 15.3 - 2 .1 9.2 - 1 .2 10.4 13.3 - 4 .1 4.9 - .5 5.4 5.5 - .7 11.2 .8 10.4 8.3 2.9 11.2 - .9 12.1 10.4 .8 11.7 1.5 10.2 9.2 2.4 10.8 .1 10.7 7.4 3.4 14.0 - 1 .1 15.1 11.8 2.2 N otes by line no. 1. Line 2 of p. A-44. 2. Sum of lines 3-6 or 7-10. 6. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 11. Credit market funds raised by Federally sponsored credit agencies. Included below in lines 13 and 33. Includes all GNMA-guaranteed security issues backed by mortgage pools. 12. Line 1 less line 2 plus line 11. Also line 19 less line 26 plus line 32. Also sum of lines 27, 32, 39, and 44. 17. Includes farm and commercial mortgages. 25. Lines 39 plus 44. 26. Excludes equity issues and investment company shares. Includes line 18. 28. Foreign deposits at commercial banks, bank borrowings from foreign branches, and liabilities of foreign banking agencies to foreign af filiates. 58.8 18.6 35.9 52.1 61.4 - 1 .7 2.1 3.8 33.6 .9 40 .4 Public support rate (in per cent)................... Private financial intermediation (in per cent) Total foreign funds........................................ H2 185.0 30 .5 46 Total of credit market instruments, deposits and currency................................................ H2 190.0 12.6 Demand deposits....................................... Currency..................................................... HI 166.4 - 3 .9 2.2 8.6 5.7 Money .............................................................. 1976 139.6 Foreign funds............................................. Treasury balances...................................... Insurance and pension reserves................ Other, net.................................................... 47 48 49 A 45 - 7 .4 60.9 72.4 21.6 47 85.4 48 23.8 49 8.4 - .7 9.1 9.1 - .6 50 51 52 53 54 29. Demand deposits at commercial banks. 30. Excludes net investment of these reserves in corporate equities. 31. Mainly retained earnings and net miscellaneous liabilities. 32. Line 12 less line 19 plus line 26. 33-37. Lines 13-17 less amounts acquired by private finance. Line 37 includes mortgages. 45. Mainly an offset to line 9. 46. Lines 32 plus 38 or line 12 less line 27 plus line 45. 47. Line 2/line 1. 48. Line 19/line 12. 49. Lines 10 plus 28. 50. 52. Includes issues by financial institutions. A 46 2.1 0 D om estic N onfinancial Statistics □ A pril 1977 S E L E C T E D M E A S U R E S O F N O N F I N A N C I A L B U S IN E S S A C T IV IT Y 1967 = 100 except as noted; monthly and quarterly data are seasonally adjusted 1976 Measure 1974 1975 1977 1976 Aug. 1 Industrial production.................................................. 2 3 4 5 6 7 Market groupings: Products, total .................................................... Final, total...................................................... Consumer goods......................................... Equipment.................................................. Intermediate.................................................... Materials............................................................. 8 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 129.3 117.8 129.8 131.3 130.8 130.4 131.8 133.1 132.0 133.3 135.1 129.3 119.3 129.3 130.3 129.7 129.6 131.7 133.8 133.0 133.7 135.7 127.3 136.8 114.3 136.8 130.5 128.3 137.5 115.7 137.8 133.0 116.3 129.4 131.6 130.7 129.9 131.9 132.8 131.1 132.6 135.0 73.6 73.6 80.1 80.3 81.1 81.6 80.4 81.0 79.7 80.3 80.8 80.3 81.2 80.1 80.0 79.0 80.7 80.1 82.0 80.8 125.1 128.9 120.0 135.3 132.4 118.2 124.0 110.2 123.1 115.5 Industry groupings: Manufacturing.................................................... 129.4 Capacity utilization (per cent)1 in : 9 Manufacturing........................................................ 10 Industrial materials industries............................... 84.2 87.7 127.4 136.2 115.2 138.7 132.5 127.4 136.9 114.4 138.3 131.6 129.8 139.1 116.9 138.8 131.9 132.1 142.0 118.6 139.8 131.9 130.8 140.1 117.9 141.3 130.5 131.5 140.9 118.7 141.9 132.5 133.7 143.4 120.5 142.8 134.0 11 Construction contracts2............................................ 173.9 162.3 190.2 186.0 182.0 237.0 186.0 183.0 203.0 207.0 12 Nonagricultural employment, total3.......................... 13 Goods-producing, total.......................................... 14 Manufacturing, total.......................................... 15 Manufacturing, production-worker.................. 16 Service-producing................................................... 119.1 106.2 103.1 102.1 126.1 116.9 96.9 94.3 91.3 127.8 120.6 100.3 97.5 95.2 131.7 120.9 100.2 97.6 95.2 132.2 121.4 100.8 98.2 96.1 132.6 121.2 100.2 97.4 94.9 132.7 121.6 100.9 98.0 95.6 132.9 122.0 101.0 98.2 95.7 133.5 122.3 101.3 98.8 96.5 133.8 122.7 *■123.5 '101.8 *103.0 98.8 *99.7 '96.4 *97.8 134.2 *134.7 17 Personal income, total4.............................................. 18 Wages and salary disbursements........................... 19 Manufacturing........................................................ 184.1 178.9 157.6 199.4 188.7 157.9 219.1 208.3 176.7 221.1 208.8 178.1 222.1 209.9 178.9 224.9 211.3 179.1 226.8 213.2 182.4 229.7 '230.0 217.6 '218.4 184.1 '185.0 '233.2 *237.1 '221.5 *224.4 '187.8 P191.5 20 Disnosahle nersonal income...................................... 180.5 198.5 217.0 217.0 21 Retail sales5................................................................ 171.2 186.0 206.6 208.8 206.7 208.8 212.3 221.2 216.5 222.2 227.6 Prices:6 22 Consumer............................................................... 23 Wholesale................................................................ 147.7 160.1 161.2 174.1 170.5 182.9 171.9 183.7 172.6 184.7 173.3 185.2 173.8 185.6 174.3 187.1 175.3 188.0 177.1 190.0 191.9 1 Ratios of indexes of production to indexes of capacity. Based on data trom Federal Reserve, McGraw-Hill Economics Department, and De partment of Commerce. 2 Index of dollar value of total construction contracts, including residential, nonresidential, and heavy engineering, from McGraw-Hill Informations Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. 3 Based on data in Employment and Earnings (U.S. Dept, of Labor). Series covers employees only, excluding personnel in the Armed Forces. 4 Based on data in Survey o f Current Business (U.S. Dept, of Com merce). Series for disposable income is quarterly. 218.1 234.1 5 Based on Bureau of Census data published in Survey o f Current Business (U.S. Dept, of Commerce). 6 Data without seasonal adjustment, as published in Monthly Labor Review (U.S. Dept, of Labor). Seasonally adjusted data for changes in the price indexes may be obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Dept, of Labor. N ote.—Basic data (not index numbers) for series mentioned in notes 3, 4, and 5, and indexes for series mentioned in notes 2 and 6 may also be found in the Survey o f Current Business (U.S. Dept, of Commerce). C apacity a nd M anpow er 2.11 A 47 OUTPUT, CAPACITY, AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Seasonally adjusted 1976 Series Q2 Q3 1977 1976 Q2 Ql* Q4 Output (1967 = 100) 1977 Q3 Ql* Q4 Capacity (per cent of 1967 output) 1976 Q2 1977 Q4 Q3 Ql* Utilization rate (per cent) 1 Manufacturing.............................................. 129.4 131.1 131.5 132.9 161.3 162.3 163.2 164.3 80.2 80.8 80.6 80.9 Primary processing................................... Advanced processing............................... 136.6 125.2 139.3 126.3 138.9 127.5 138.7 129.9 167.5 158.0 168.8 158.8 170.1 159.6 171.4 160.6 81.5 79.3 82.5 79.6 81.7 79.9 80.9 80.9 4 M aterials...................................................... 130.3 132.6 131.8 132.3 161.7 163.1 164.3 165.5 80.6 81.3 80.2 80.0 Durable goods.......................................... Basic m etal........................................... Nondurable goods................................... Textile, paper, and chemical............... Textile............................................... Paper................................................. Chemical........................................... Energy...................................................... 126.1 110.8 146.9 151.6 115.5 132.5 175.3 120.0 130.7 117.1 146.6 151.2 114.4 131.9 175.1 119.9 128.4 107.7 147.0 151.5 111.7 130.2 177.6 121.5 128.5 105.8 147.5 152.2 112.0 131.7 178.3 122. 8 165.5 143.1 171.0 178.3 139.0 145.7 208.7 141.5 166.7 143.7 172.5 180.1 139.8 146.7 211.2 142.7 167.8 144.4 174.1 182.0 140.6 147.9 213.7 143.9 169.0 144.8 175.6 183.6 141.4 148.9 216.2 144.3 76.2 77.4 85.9 85.0 83.1 90.9 84.0 84.8 78.4 81.5 85.0 84.0 81.8 89.9 82.9 84.0 76.5 74.6 84.4 83.2 79.4 88. 1 83.1 84.4 76.0 2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2.12 84.0 82.9 85.1 LABOR FO RCE, EM PLO Y M EN T, A N D U N EM PLO Y M EN T Thousands of persons; monthly data are seasonally adjusted; except as noted. Category 1974 1975 1976 1976 Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. 1 | Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.* Household survey data 1 Noninstitutional population1.............. 2 Labor force (including Armed Forces)1....................................... 3 Civilian labor force............................. Employment: 4 Nonagricultural industries2........ 5 Agriculture................................... Unemployment: 6 Num ber....................................... 7 Rate (,per cent o f civilian labor force ) .................................... 8 Not in labor force............................... 150,827 153,449 156,048 156,595 156,788 157,006 157,176 157,381 157,584 157,782 93,240 91,011 94,793 92,613 96,917 94,773 97,387 95,242 97,449 95,302 98,020 95,871 98,106 95,960 97,649 95,516 98,282 96,145 98,677 96,539 82,443 3,492 81,403 3,380 84,188 3,297 84,516 3,278 84,428 3,310 84,972 3,248 85,184 3,257 85,468 3,090 85,872 3,090 86,359 3,116 5,076 7,830 7,288 7,448 7,564 7,651 7,517 6,958 7,183 7,064 5 .6 8 .5 7.7 7.8 7.9 8 .0 7.8 7.3 7.5 7.3 57,587 58,655 59,130 59,208 59,339 58,986 59,071 59,732 59,302 59,104 80,344 19,095 808 3,605 4,553 17,898 4,403 14,936 15,046 '80,561 '19,211 '817 '3,561 '4,549 '17,981 '4,423 '15,010 '15,009 '80,816 '19,217 '827 '3,636 '4,555 '18,086 '4,438 '15,068 '14,989 81,304 19,383 841 3,731 4,579 18,177 4,458 15,124 15,011 Establishment survey data 9 Nonagricultural payroll employment3 10 Manufacturing................................ 11 Mining............................................. 12 Contract construction..................... 13 Transportation and public utilities. 14 Trade................................................ 15 Finance............................................ 16 Service.............................................. 17 Government.................................... 78,413 20,046 694 3,957 4,696 17,017 4,208 13,617 14,177 77,050 18,347 745 3,515 4,499 16,997 4,222 14,008 14,773 79,443 18,958 783 3,593 4,508 17,694 4,315 14,645 14,947 1 Persons 16 years of age and over. Monthly figures, which are based on sample data, relate to the calendar week that contains the 12th day; annual data are averages of monthly figures. By definition, seasonality does not exist in population figures. Based on data from Employment and Earnings (U.S. Dept, of Labor). 2 Includes self-employed, unpaid family, and domestic service workers. 79,918 19,100 798 3,565 4,528 17,839 4,338 14,798 14,952 79,819 18,941 800 3,582 4,506 17,824 4,359 14,819 14,988 80,106 19,065 805 3,619 4,519 17,808 4,381 14,873 15,036 3 Data include all full- and part-time employees who worked during, or received pay for, the pay period that includes the 12th day of the month, and exclude proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, unpaid family workers, and members of the Armed Forces. Data are adjusted to the February 1977 benchmark. Based on data from Employ ment and Earnings (U.S. Dept, of Labor). A 48 2.13 D om estic N onfinancial Statistics o A pril 1977 IN D U S T R IA L P R O D U C T IO N Unless otherwise noted, figures are indexes (1967 = 100) except as noted; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. Grouping 1967 pro por tion 1975 1976p aver age 1976 Dec. Jan. 1976 Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Major market groupings 1 Total index......................................... 100.00 129.8 124.4 125.7 130.8 130.4 131.8 133.1 132.0 133.3 135.1 2 Products............................................. 3 Final products ................................. 4 Consumer goods....................... 5 Equipment.................................. 6 Intermediate products................... 7 Materials............................................ 60.71 129.3 124.9 126.0 129.7 127.4 133.0 127.4 129.8 132.1 130.8 131.5 135.7 27.68 20.14 12.89 39.29 132.3 111.5 129.9 123.3 123.9 133.8 136.8 114.3 136.8 130.5 123.5 131.7 133.7 127.3 129.6 134.0 139.4 143.7 151.2 161.6 154.6 139.1 179.3 180.4 180.1 159.8 181.7 145.1 145.5 148.8 137.9 121.5 176.6 Consumer goods 47.82 2.83 2.03 1.90 .80 7.89 141.5 Automotive products................ Autos and utility vehicles___ Autos.................................. Auto parts and allied goods... 13 14 15 16 17 Home goods............................... Appliances, A/C, and T V .... Appliances and T V ............ Carpeting and furniture........ Misc. home goods................. 5.06 1.40 1.33 1.07 2.59 134.1 115.8 118.6 144.1 139.9 18 19 20 21 Nondurable consumer goods .......... 19.79 Clothing...................................... Consumer staples....................... Consumer foods and tobacco 4.29 15.50 8.33 134.9 22 23 24 25 26 Nonfood staples......................... Consumer chemical products. Consumer paper products.. . Consumer energy products. . Residential utilities............ 7.17 2.63 1.92 2.62 1.45 144.6 166.6 113.3 145.4 Business equipment......................... 12.63 6.77 1.44 3.85 1.47 136.1 Industrial equipment................. Building and mining equip... Manufacturing equipment. .. Power equipment................... 32 33 34 35 Commercial transit, farm equip, Commercial equipment......... Transit equipment................. Farm equipment.................... 36 8 9 10 11 12 27 28 29 30 31 Durable consumer goods ................ Equipment 154.8 149.9 132.0 167.2 126.9 137.2 130.8 147.7 140.0 122.8 167.0 133.1 111.2 133.6 125.3 136.2 115.2 138.7 132.5 134.7 138.4 136.9 114.4 138.3 131.6 139.1 116.9 138.8 131.9 142.0 118.6 139.8 131.9 140.1 117.9 141.3 130.5 140.9 118.7 141.9 132.5 133.7 143.4 120.5 142.8 134.0 153.8 142.8 133.4 118.9 167.4 147.4 139.1 120.9 168.6 126.4 101.1 104.4 142.0 133.6 130.3 107.8 110.6 144.8 136.6 133.3 111.4 115.1 146.3 139.8 134.1 115.8 118.6 147.0 138.6 133.8 115.3 117.6 143.6 139.9 134.9 111.7 113.8 144.7 143.6 135.0 113.4 116.0 141.3 144.1 137.0 117.4 120.0 144.5 144.4 145.0 131.5 132.5 135.3 135.8 137.1 138.4 138.1 139.0 139.2 143.0 133.3 142.7 127.4 133.9 128.5 123.0 138.7 133.0 141.0 159.7 113.4 142.8 152.0 140.2 157.3 113.3 142.4 154.5 131.6 131.0 123.9 133.6 127.2 126.4 141.7 132.8 163.4 156.6 136.9 180.7 160.5 154.3 132.8 176.3 181.9 182.6 159.8 179.8 137.9 119.0 125.9 138.5 133.2 126.4 140.0 132.5 145.4 169.2 111.9 145.9 154.3 144.8 168.3 109.9 146.9 154.4 149.0 174.4 113.8 149.0 151.8 177.9 117.7 150.9 152.9 177.8 117.0 154.5 154.3 178.6 117.8 156.4 152.8 137.5 135.9 140.2 131.3 181.5 109.9 138.0 143.2 142.0 142.9 145.1 129.9 180.9 107.9 137.8 124.2 141.9 132.4 127.9 177.4 106.4 135.3 124.5 172.9 101.3 137.6 5.86 3.26 1.93 .67 145.5 173.2 103.8 130.6 139.7 164.4 102.9 125.6 139.7 165.0 100.2 131.5 146.1 176.8 99.3 131.4 142.7 177.5 98.3 102.0 150.5 179.7 107.6 132.2 154.4 185.3 109.1 134.8 153.9 185.2 107.0 137.0 154.5 185.7 107.3 138.4 156.4 187.0 110.7 Defense and space equipment........ 7.51 77.9 77.7 78.0 77.7 78.5 77.9 77.4 77.4 78.1 79.1 Intermediate products 37 Construction supplies................... 38 Business supplies........................... 39 Commercial energy products... 6.42 6.47 1.14 132.0 141.5 156.5 124.1 135.9 147.9 126.8 140.3 158.1 134.3 143.0 156.4 134.0 142.5 154.0 135.7 141.7 155.4 135.5 144.2 156.7 135.4 147.2 162.0 135.6 148.3 162.1 137.2 Durable goods materials ................ 20.35 4.58 5.44 10.34 5.57 126.6 115.5 Durable consumer parts............ Equipment parts........................ Durable materials n.e.c............. Basic metal materials............ 118.3 130.0 128.5 128.5 128.3 126.6 128.5 130.3 45 46 47 48 49 Nondurable goods materials .......... 10.47 7.62 1.85 1.62 4.15 147.5 147.2 Textile, paper, and chem. m at.. Textile materials.................... Paper materials...................... Chemical materials................ 152.5 112.6 132.1 178.2 151.3 108.8 131.0 178.3 146.2 144.2 148.5 149.9 50 51 52 53 54 Containers, nondurable............ Nondurable materials n.e.c....... Energy materials........................... Primary energy........................... Converted fuel materials.......... 123.5 55 56 57 58 Supplementary groups Home goods and clothing............ Energy, total.................................. Products..................................... Materials.................................... 40 41 42 43 44 Materials For Note see opposite page. 123.5 171.4 101.2 134.6 129.8 180.4 108.6 135.6 133.5 187.4 110.7 140.0 131.5 187.9 107.9 137.7 132.8 189.3 109.0 139.7 121.6 133.9 125.0 109.8 111.6 123.9 112.9 96.1 146.4 142.6 151.2 114.4 131.1 175.5 147.9 118.9 125.9 169.5 1.70 1.14 8.48 4.65 3.82 142.6 120.0 120.3 107.0 136.4 136.1 116.7 118.7 107.3 132.3 139.0 118.3 120.6 107.7 136.3 143.5 122.8 119.6 108.4 133.2 141.7 122.4 119.6 109.0 132.7 145.9 122.2 121.7 107.1 139.5 143.8 119.7 123.1 106.6 143.2 137.6 122.5 122.7 104.2 145.2 146.9 120.6 122.2 102.4 146.4 9.35 12.23 3.76 8.48 130.8 129.0 148.8 120.3 125.2 126.6 144.5 118.7 129.9 128.8 147.2 120.6 128.7 128.6 149.1 119.6 130.3 128.6 149.1 119.6 130.4 130.7 150.9 121.7 131.0 132.2 152.7 123.1 130.1 133.1 156.7 122.7 131.0 133.2 158.1 122.2 111.7 125.7 117.4 101.9 142.9 147.5 117.8 126.5 168.9 123.5 138.3 128.4 113.9 147.8 152.6 113.6 131.0 178.2 119.4 138.0 127.5 112.0 126.2 137.2 124.9 106.3 124.7 138.8 124.2 104.7 150.6 113.6 127.6 176.3 120.6 135.1 124.6 104.7 148.9 110.6 127.6 174.4 123.0 138.8 125.3 105.6 153.1 111.5 132.4 177.9 135.3 194.9 110.5 142.3 127.6 139.6 126.7 154.7 132.6 132.9 O u tp u t A 49 2.13 Continued Grouping SIC code 1967 pro por tion 1976 aver age 1975 1976 1976 Sept. 1977 Jan. Nov. Feb. Mar. Gross value of products in market structure (annual rates, in billions of 1972 dollars) 5 426.2 528.4 531.9 ^221.4 1156.3 165.3 302.9 123.5 292.0 118.9 292.3 119.1 300.7 121.7 164.9 1 - 2 Products, total. ........ Final products 3 Consumer goods. 4 Equipment.......... 124.3 117.9 120.8 126.6 . 1286.3 Intermediate products. 550.6 410.6 410.9 548.8 422.2 549.4 423.6 558.3 432.2 302.2 121.4 307.4 125.0 126.0 126.2 570.6 443.9 315.7 128.2 563.4 435.8 308.9 126.9 569.1 440.0 312.5 127.6 580.0 450.2 319.1 131.1 126.5 127.3 129.0 129.9 136.0 136.5 136.9 Major industry groupings 6 Mining and utilities. 7 Mining................ 8 Utilities............... . 9 Electric............. 12.05 Mining Metal mining................... C oal................................... Oil and gas extraction Stone and earth minerals. 17 18 19 20 21 Nondurable manufactures Foods........................... Tobacco products........ Textile mill products. . Apparel products........ Paper and products. .. 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Printing and publishing.. . . Chemicals and products.... Petroleum products............ Rubber & plastic products. Leather and products.......... Durable manufactures Ordnance, pvt. & govt.. Lumber and products.. Furniture and fixtures.. Clay, glass, stone prod. 31 32 33 34 35 Primary metals................ Iron and steel.............. Fabricated metal prod. . . Nonelectrical machinery. Electrical machinery........ 36 37 38 39 40 Transportation equip.......... Motor vehicles & p ts___ Aerospace & misc. tr. eq ., Instrument........................... Miscellaneous m frs.. . . . . . . 114.1 151.7 87.95 10 Manufacturing. 11 Nondurable. 12 D u ra b le .... 13 14 15 16 131.9 6.36 5.69 3.88 129.4 35.97 51.98 112.9 147.2 162.3 123.6 141.0 121.4 136.9 114.4 131.8 131.9 113.6 152.0 167.4 115.7 150.1 167.8 125.2 130.7 138.4 115.8 142.6 122.4 134.1 116.2 154.0 134.8 116.7 151.2 168.8 129.9 133.1 116.2 155.5 114.3 160.2 115.2 160.5 119.5 156.3 131.9 143.5 123.8 132.8 131.1 132.6 135.0 142.2 121.5 123.9 117.0 143.7 125.2 143.1 122.9 145.1 124.0 146.3 127.3 10 11, 12 13 14 .51 .69 4.40 .75 122.8 116.9 112.0 118.3 117.9 109.9 113.1 111.5 122.2 111.2 112.5 117.1 123.6 121.3 113.3 119.2 127.4 132.3 112.5 120.0 128.1 125.1 112.4 121.4 130.4 125.9 112.8 117.9 136.6 95.3 113.5 121.6 136.3 100.8 114.1 120.2 20 21 22 23 26 8.75 .67 2.68 3.31 3.21 132.0 117.2 135.9 126.1 133.1 128.5 116.0 139.0 121.2 129.5 129.2 117.3 137.6 123.8 130.3 135.7 115.4 135.7 122.5 132.1 134.7 118.3 134.2 126.4 132.3 134.7 119.7 132.2 125.9 132.5 134.3 119.1 133.3 128.0 131.8 134.6 115.0 131.8 123.6 130.6 136.0 134.9 135.9 27 28 29 30 31 4.72 7.74 1.79 2.24 .86 120.7 169.4 132.7 199.8 82.0 118.4 163.3 126.3 185.3 83.2 120.0 162.9 125.7 188.4 86.0 120.6 170.5 134.1 212.4 77.9 119.2 170.6 130.2 211.1 77.2 119.3 174.2 135.8 215.7 75.8 123.1 173.5 138.9 212.3 73.4 124.7 172.0 141.3 211.9 74.8 124.5 174.6 145.1 214.7 75.2 125.1 19,91 24 25 32 3.64 1.64 1.37 2.74 71.7 125.1 132.8 135.8 70.1 116.4 130.3 129.4 69.9 123.5 132.7 128.6 73.2 128.7 133.0 138.4 73.3 130.7 134.5 138.4 72.2 129.0 134.0 142.2 71.8 127.5 135.7 142.0 71.4 132.7 134.1 137.2 71.0 132.2 134.8 140.1 72.2 33 6.57 4.21 5.93 9.15 8.05 108.0 104.4 123.3 134.7 131.7 92.6 89.1 117.3 128.6 122.7 98.1 92.9 116.6 129.0 124.7 114.1 110.3 126.6 136.8 133.7 109.9 105.1 123.5 134.1 135.0 107.3 103.1 126.7 137.5 135.8 102.7 95.6 128.2 141.2 135.6 99.2 89.8 125.3 139.6 134.0 100.4 91.7 125.5 139.5 138.6 102.8 95.0 127.9 140.9 140.2 9.27 4.50 4.77 2.11 1.51 110.6 140.7 82.2 148.2 143.5 106.7 130.1 84.7 140.9 137.3 105.8 126.7 86.1 142.0 139.5 104.4 130.2 80.1 148.7 143.8 104.7 129.3 81.4 150.3 142.2 112.7 145.8 81.6 150.3 143.7 118.2 156.4 82.4 155.7 146.8 113.5 145.4 83.4 153.7 146.4 113.7 144.8 84.6 156.8 149.6 124.1 164.5 85.9 156.8 149.8 24 35 36 37 i 1972 dollars. N ote.—Published groupings include some series and subtotals not shown separately. For summary description and historical data, see Bulletin for June 1976, pp. 470-79. Availability of detailed descriptive and historical data will be announced in a forthcoming Bulletin. 129.2 133.7 145.6 A 50 2 .14 D om estic N onfinancial Statistics □ April 1977 H O U S IN G A N D C O N S T R U C T IO N Monthly figures at annual rates except as noted 1 Item 1974 1975 1976 1976' Aug.' Sept.' O ct.' 1977 N ov.' D ec.' Ja n .' F eb.' Private residential real estate activity (thousands of units; monthly figures, seasonally adjusted; exceptions noted) NEW UNITS 1 Permits authorized.............................. 2 1-family............................................ 3 2-or-more-family............................. 1,074 927 1,281 895 386 644 431 669 278 1,338 1,160 1,540 892 268 1,163 377 7 Under construction, end o f period 8 1-family........................................... 9 2-or-more-family............................. 1,189 1,003 10 Completed............................................ 11 1-family........................................... 12 2-or-more-family............................ 1,692 13 Mobile homes shipped....................... 329 6 14 15 16 17 18 2-or-more-family............................. Merchant builder activity in 1-family units: Number sold....................................... Number for sale end of period.......... Price (thous. of dollars)1 Median: Units sold.................................... Units for sale............................... Average: Units sold.................................... 888 450 1,296 874 422 1,530 1,172 358 1,504 1,492 926 578 998 494 1,768 1,715 1,254 514 1,269 446 1,157 1,107 1,140 662 495 1,074 A ll 641 466 662 478 1,297 1,354 1,401 1,094 307 1,387 1,326 1,021 333 213 250 252 255 501 407 544 383 635 656 410 35.9 36.2 39.3 38.9 44.2 41.6 38.9 '42.5 2,272 32.0 35.8 516 673 931 760 531 622 452 1,590 1,072 518 1,514 1,053 461 1,307 '927 '380 1,706 1,889 1,192 1,214 1,399 1,075 439 1,386 1,168 1,514 1,236 470 671 497 1,324 565 687 506 1,010 376 701 514 1,435 1,074 361 1,373 1,068 331 111 251 252 258 714 415 728 420 688 430 785 433 765 436 44.2 40.8 44.7 41.0 45.3 41.0 45.7 41.2 46.1 41.6 45.2 41.9 48.1 48.5 48.2 50.4 50.0 50.9 51.0 53.1 2,452 3,002 3,070 3,250 3,230 3,300 3,470 3,190 3,080 35.3 39.0 38.1 42.2 39.4 43.4 38.7 AU 38.5 42.4 38.8 42.9 39.0 43.3 39.6 44.0 40.7 45.1 866 430 1,017 370 989 337 1,060 313 EXISTING UNITS (1-family) 19 Number sold....................................... Price of units sold (thous. of dollars): 1 20 Median................................................ 21 Average............................................... Value of new construction 2 (millions of dollars; monthly figures, seasonally adjusted) CONSTRUCTION 22 Total put in place............................... 138,526 132,043 144,821 141,887 146,631 148,475 152,819 152,185 137,076 150,511 23 Private ................................................. 24 Residential...................................... 25 Nonresidential, to tal...................... Buildings: 26 Industrial................................. 27 Commercial............................. 28 Other........................................ 29 Public utilities and other............ 100,179 93,034 108,424 104,538 109,000 114,503 118,752 118,918 107,153 117,714 30 Public .................................................. 31 Military............................................ 32 Highway.......................................... 33 Conservation and development. . . 34 Other................................................ 46,476 46,558 7,902 15,945 5,797 20,157 8,017 12,804 5,585 20,152 6,910 12,586 6,252 22,728 6,902 12,984 6,689 22,718 6,894 12,786 6,669 23,521 6,407 12,560 6,489 23,642 6,461 12,522 6,677 23,911 6,453 12,859 6,497 23,158 6,088 12,178 5,978 19,505 6,613 12,813 6,190 22,633 38,347 39,009 36,397 37,349 37,631 33,972 34,067 33,267 29,923 32,797 1,188 12,069 2,741 22,349 1,391 10,345 3,227 24,046 59,948 48,476 1,479 9,112 3,659 22,147 1 Not seasonally adjusted. 2 Value of new construction data in recent periods may not be strictly comparable with data in prior periods due to changes by the Bureau of the Census in its estimating techniques. For a description of these changes see Construction Reports (C-30-76-5), issued by the Bureau in July 1976. 55,245 49,293 63,404 43,749 50,378 49,801 1,450 9,596 3,618 22,685 59,130 49,870 1,352 8,856 4,281 23,142 65,405 49,098 1,467 8,738 2,949 20,818 69,181 49,571 1,622 7,843 A,011 20,525 69,951 48,967 1,567 7,508 3,856 20,336 1,509 6,112 3,435 18,867 69,465 48,249 1,597 N ote.—Census Bureau estimates for all series except (a) mobile homes, which are private, domestic shipments as reported by the Manu factured Housing Institute and seasonally adjusted by the Census Bureau and (b) sales and prices of existing units, which are published by the National Association of Realtors. All back and current figures are avail able from originating agency. Permit authorizations are for 14,000 jurisdictions reporting to the Census Bureau. P rices 2.15 A51 C O N S U M E R A N D W H O L E S A L E P R IC E S Percentage changes based on seasonally adjusted data, except as noted. 12 months to— 1976 Feb. 1977 Feb. 3 months (at annual rate) to— 1 month to— 1976 Mar. June 1976 Sept. Dec. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Index level Feb. 1977 (1967 = 100)1 Consumer prices 1 All items........................................................ 3 4 5 6 Food.......................................................... Commodities less food...................... . Durable................................................. Nondurable........................................... 6.3 6.0 3.9 6.1 5.3 4.2 .3 .3 .4 .8 1.0 177.1 5.1 5 .3 .2 - 5 .4 4.0 7.2 1.8 6 .0 6.2 3 .9 3 .4 .3 .2 .4 .8 170.9 5.6 6.5 5.0 1.2 2 .0 .1 .9 6 .5 4.9 5.4 6.4 4.8 4.3 5.8 7.0 4.7 8 .3 10.6 5.3 3.0 1.9 8 9 R ent.......................................................... Services less rent....................................... 5.2 8.8 7.2 5.7 7.4 10 11 12 Other groupings: All items less food1................................. All items less shelter1.............................. Homeownership1...................................... 6.8 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.1 5.0 6.1 11.2 1.6 5.5 5.0 6.0 0.0 5.7 6.0 5.4 .2 .4 .3 .4 - .3 .4 .4 .4 .1 .6 .7 .4 .9 .7 .9 .5 5.4 6.7 7.5 5.4 7.7 5.1 5.3 5.4 .4 .4 .5 .4 .4 .5 .6 .3 .7 188.7 .4 .9 r .8 .9 7.0 6.9 4.3 7.4 5.6 8.0 5.3 4.3 1.2 .5 .4 .2 .5 .4 0.0 .3 .3 .1 .4 .5 .9 .6 1.1 .7 174.0 173.1 196.7 .6 .6 .5 .9 190.0 .4 .4 1.5 187.7 161.6 159.7 175.0 150.2 195.6 Wholesale prices 1.6 6.4 3.3 —9 .5 12 J - 1 2 .2 1.0 -.1 - .5 - .6 - .5 .5 .1 2.1 2.6 1.8 .5 1.1 - .2 2.0 2.2 1.8 188.4 16.5 -1 2 .1 10.3 - 1 2 .2 6 .7 5.1 4.5 8 .2 .8 .9 .7 .3 .5 .6 189.9 4.9 5.1 18.1 6.3 5.2 5.8 16.8 3.5 10.8 8.1 - .5 .9 3.7 .8 3.5 .5 - 2 .2 .5 - 1 .2 .5 4.0 .6 273.7 196.6 .4 .2 .7 .4 .3 .1 .3 .7 1.0 .7 1.1 .4 .3 .5 .2 .5 168.1 149.2 180.7 180.2 2.0 180.5 4.7 4.7 1.4 9.4 - 3 .4 3 .5 4.2 3.1 - 1 2 .2 - 7 .7 5 .7 13 All commodities............................................ 14 Farm products, and processed foods and .7 .3 .5 -.6 15 16 Farm products......................................... Processed foods and feeds....................... 18 19 Materials, supplies, and components of which: Crude materials2.................................. Intermediate materials 3....................... Finished goods, excluding foods: 21 22 23 Durable............................................. Nondurable....................................... P ro d u c e r............................................ 6.4 4.8 7.2 7.3 5.5 4.4 6.2 6.1 3.1 4.0 2.4 7.1 3.0 2.8 3.1 4.5 8.2 5.1 9.9 5.0 .9 .6 .9 .6 .5 .5 .6 1.1 M emo : 24 Consumer foods.......................................... 2.7 2.7 -1 3 .7 13.2 —13.8 0.0 - .5 1 Not seasonally adjusted. 2 Excludes crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs, plant and animal fibers, oilseeds, and leaf tobacco. - .3 2.8 - .1 199.0 181.9 3 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds. Source.—Bureau of Labor Statistics. A 52 2 .1 6 D om estic N onfinancial Statistics □ A pril 1977 G R O S S N A T IO N A L P R O D U C T A N D IN C O M E Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. 1975 Account 1974 1975 1976 1976 Q3 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 Gross national product 1,413.2 1 By source: 1,516.3 '1,691.6 973.2 1,0 7 9 .7 1,548.7 1,588.2 1,636.2 1,675.2 1,708.9 '1,745.1 987.3 1,012.0 1 ,043.6 1,06 4 .7 1,088.5 1,1 2 2 .0 Personal consumption expenditures................... 887.5 Durable goods.. . ........................................ Nondurable goods........................................ Services.......................................................... 121.6 376.2 389.6 131.7 409.1 432.4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Gross private domestic investment.................... 215.0 204.3 183.7 239.6 197.7 239.2 205.7 229.6 214.7 223.2 247.0 242.8 149.2 198.6 201.4 Fixed investment........................................... Nonresiden tial ............................................ Structures............................................... Producers’ durable equipment.............. Residential structures............................... N onfarm ................................................ 147.1 160.0 146.1 148.7 153.4 157.9 163.0 56.0 107.0 68.9 66.3 165.6 54.9 103.0 65.3 62.9 13 14 Change in business inventories.................... Nonfarm.................................................... 10.7 12.2 -1 4 .6 -1 7 .6 11.9 11.9 - 2 .0 - 4 .2 - 4 .3 - 9 .5 14.8 12.7 16.0 17.3 15.1 15.6 1.7 2.2 15 16 17 Net exports o f goods and services..................... Exports.......................................................... Imports.......................................................... 144.4 136.9 148.1 127.6 162.7 '156.0 148.2 126.8 153.7 132.7 18 19 20 Govt, purchases o f goods and services .............. 303.3 339.0 365.6 343.2 353.8 130.4 223.4 129.2 225.5 1,531.0 '1,679.7 1,550.6 1,592.5 2 3 4 5 Federal........................................................... State and local.............................................. 54.1 95.1 55.1 52.7 7.5 111.6 191.6 21 22 23 24 25 26 By major type of product: Final sales, total................................................ Goods.............................................................. Durable goods........................................... Nondurable................................................ Services.......................................................... Structures...................................................... 27 28 29 Change in business inventories........................ Durable goods............................................... Nondurable goods........................................ 10.7 7.1 3.6 M emo : 30 Total GNP in 1972 dollars................................. 1,214.0 1,402.5 639.7 247.2 392.4 626.6 146.9 198.3 52.0 95.1 51.2 49.0 20.5 124.4 214.5 681.7 156.5 440.4 482.8 227.7 55.3 104.7 67.7 65.1 r6 .6 133.4 232.2 760.2 136.0 414.6 436.7 51.8 94.2 52.6 50.2 21.4 124.6 218.6 703.5 141.8 421.6 448.6 151.4 429.1 463.2 52.1 96.6 57.0 54.2 53.2 100.2 61.3 58.6 8 .4 21.0 155.0 434.8 474.9 9 .3 157.6 441.8 489.1 231.9 4 .7 162.0 456.0 504.0 241.0 57.0 108.6 75.5 72.7 r4 .2 154.1 145.7 160.3 151.0 167.7 163.0 '168.5 '164.3 354.7 362.0 369.6 376.2 1,621.4 1,659.2 1,694.7 719.7 742.3 131.2 230.9 758.4 134.5 235.0 766.1 138.9 237.4 '1,743.4 774.3 254.4 427.3 692.5 142.1 300.5 459.8 '772.0 159.3 265.0 438.4 700.2 145.0 270.0 449.7 719.5 149.1 282.7 459.6 742.6 151.3 301.2 457.1 759.6 157.3 308.2 457.9 781.5 162.2 309.8 464.5 '804.4 166.5 -1 4 .6 -1 2 .1 - 2 .6 11.9 2.7 9.2 - 2 .0 - 7 .0 5.0 - 4 .3 -1 0 .6 6.3 14.8 -3 .6 18.5 16.0 5.4 10.6 15.1 6.8 8.3 1.7 2.0 - .3 1,191.7 '1,264.7 1,209.3 1,219.2 1,246.3 1,260.0 1,272.2 '1,280.4 National income 1,135.7 1,207.6 '1,348.5 1,233.4 1,264.6 1,304.7 1,337.4 1,362.5 1,389.5 32 Compensation of employees................................ 33 Wages and salaries............................................ 34 Government and Government enterprises.. 35 Other............................................................ 36 Supplement to wages and salaries..................... 37 Employer contributions for social insurance................................................ Other labor income....................................... 38 875.8 928.8 1,028.4 935.2 963.1 994.4 1,017.2 1,037.5 1,064.5 806.7 890.4 811.7 836.4 31 764.5 160.4 604.1 861.5 634.4 185.4 676.1 881.1 897.8 182.2 654.1 123.5 126.7 139.6 60.2 63.3 61.6 65.2 95.5 97.2 921.0 188.7 692.4 197.0 '723.9 132.9 136.2 191.7 706.1 65.9 67.1 67.1 69.0 68.6 71.1 70.2 73.3 93.2 100.3 175.8 630.8 111.3 122.1 190.7 699.7 55.8 55.5 59.7 62.5 67.9 70.1 39 Proprietors' income1.............................................. 40 Business and professional1............................... Farm 1................................................................ 41 8 6.9 90.2 96 .7 42 Rental income of persons2................................... 21.0 22.4 23.5 22.1 22.9 23.3 23.1 23.4 24.3 43 Corporate profits1................................................ 44 Profits before tax3............................................ 45 Inventory valuation adjustment....................... 46 Capital consumption adjustment..................... 84.8 127.6 -3 9 .8 - 3 .0 91.6 114.5 -1 1 .4 -1 1 .5 '117.9 '148.0 -1 4 .6 -1 5 .5 105.3 126.9 - 9 .0 -1 2 .6 105.6 131.3 -1 2 .3 -1 3 .5 115.1 141.1 -1 1 .5 -1 4 .5 116.4 146.2 -1 4 .4 -1 5 .4 122.0 150.2 - 1 2 .6 -1 5 .7 118.1 154.5 - 2 0 .0 -1 6 .4 47 Net interest............................................................ 67.1 74.6 82.0 74.9 75.8 78.6 80.3 83.5 85.6 61.1 25.8 65.3 24.9 1 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2 With capital consumption adjustments. 138.0 73.8 22.8 111.3 66.3 29.2 69.0 28.3 71.4 21.9 72.8 27.5 143.5 96.1 97.1 74.4 21.7 76.8 20.3 3 For after-tax profits, dividends, etc., see Table 1.50. Source.—Survey of Current Business (U.S. Dept, of Commerce). A 53 N a tio n a l I n c o m e A c c o u n ts 2.17 PERSONAL INCOME AND SAVING Billions of current dollars except as noted; quarterly data are at seasonally adjusted annual rates. Account 1974 1975 1975 1976 Q3 1976 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 1,421.7 Personal income and saving 1 Total personal income........................................... 1,153.3 1,249 7 1,375.3 1,265.5 1,299.7 1,331.3 1,362.0 1,386.0 2 Wage and salary disbursements ............................. 3 Commodity-producing industries.................... 4 Manufacturing.............................................. 5 Distributive industries...................................... 6 Service industries.............................................. 7 Government and government enterprises....... 765.0 273.9 211.4 184.4 145.9 160.9 806.7 275.3 211.7 195.6 159.9 175.8 890.4 811.7 836.4 961.5 881.1 897.8 304.8 237.0 214.9 180.0 190.7 272.2 212.5 196.8 161.3 177.3 285.8 220.3 202.3 166.1 182.2 295.3 229.6 208.3 172.4 185.4 302.9 235.6 212.8 176.7 188.7 307.0 238.9 216.5 182.7 191.7 921.0 314.0 r243.9 221.9 188.1 197.0 8 Other labor income.............................................. 55.5 62.5 70.1 63.3 65.2 67.1 69.0 71.1 73.3 9 Proprietors’ income 1.............................................. 10 Business and professional1............................... 11 Farm 1................................................................ 86.9 90.2 73.8 22.8 95.5 97.2 93.2 100.3 96.1 97.1 61.1 25.8 65.3 24.9 96 .7 12 Rental income of persons2................................... 21.0 22.4 23.5 13 Dividends.............................................................. 30.8 32.1 35.1 14 Personal interest income....................................... 101.4 110.7 15 Transfer payments................................................ 16 Old-age survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits...................................... 140.3 70.1 17 66.3 29.2 69.0 28.3 71.4 21.9 22.4 22.9 23.3 32.6 32.2 33.1 123.0 111.0 114.4 175.2 191.3 179.1 81.4 93.0 84.7 72.8 27.5 74.4 21.7 76.8 20.3 23.1 23.4 24.3 34.4 35.4 37.7 118.0 120.7 125.0 128.4 182.5 188.6 187.6 192.4 196.6 86.3 88.1 89.5 95.8 98.5 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance.................................................... 47.6 50.0 54.9 50.1 51.0 53.4 54.3 55.2 56.6 18 Equals: Personal income................................... 1,153.3 1,249.7 1,375.3 1,265.5 1,299.7 1,331.3 1,362.0 1,386.0 1,421.7 19 L ess : Personal tax and nontax payments. . . . 170.4 168.8 193.6 174.0 197.8 183.8 189.5 195.8 205.3 20 Equals : Disposable personal income................ 982.9 1,080.9 1,181.7 1,091.5 1,119.9 1,147.6 1,172.5 1,190.2 1,216.5 21 Less: Personal outlays..................................... 910.7 996.9 1,105.2 1,011.1 1,036.2 1,068.0 1,089.6 1,114.3 1,148.6 22 E quals: Personal saving..................................... 72.2 84.0 r76.5 80.5 83.7 79.5 82.9 75.8 67.8 M emo: Per capita (1972 dollars): 23 Gross national product..................................... 3,968.0 24 Personal consumption expenditures................ 887.5 25 Disposable personal income............................. 840.8 26 Saving rate (per cent)........................................... 7.3 4,007.0 973.2 855.5 7.8 4,140.0 1,079.7 890.5 6.5 4,009.0 987.3 857.1 7.4 4,049.0 1,012.0 867.5 7.5 4,103.0 1,043.6 880.4 6.9 4,143.0 1,064.7 890.5 7.1 4,142.0 1,088.5 892.0 6.4 4,168.0 1,122.0 899.6 5.6 Gross saving 27 Gross private saving.............................................. 211.6 255.6 r274.7 262.7 269.4 273.8 279.1 278.9 266.8 28 29 30 Personal saving.................................................. Undistributed corporate profits1..................... _ Corporate inventory valuation adjustment_ 72.2 1.7 -3 9 .8 84.0 10.3 - 1 1 .4 76.5 r 18.4 —14.6 80.5 17.9 - 9 .0 83.7 16.2 -1 2 .3 79.5 20.6 -1 1 .5 82.9 18.5 -1 4 .4 75.8 21.5 - 1 2 .6 67.8 12.8 - 2 0 .0 31 32 33 Capital consumption allowances: Corporate...................................................... Noncorporate................................................ Waee accruals less disbursements................... 84.6 53.1 100.9 60.4 112.8 67.0 103.1 61.3 106.4 63.2 108.8 64.8 111.6 66.1 113.9 67.7 116.9 69.3 - 5 8 .1 -6 1 .5 34 Government surplus, or deficit ( — national ), income and product accounts ......................... 35 Federal.............................................................. 36 State and local.................................................. 37 Capital grants received by the United States, n e t.................................................................. —4 .2 -1 1 .5 7.3 - 6 4 .4 -7 1 .2 6.9 - 6 6 .0 7.9 *237.7 209.8 -5 1 .6 —44.9 -6 9 .4 7.9 -6 3 .8 12.2 -5 4 .1 9.2 214.0 229.4 240.0 -4 4 .7 - 3 7 .3 -5 7 .4 12.7 -5 9 .2 21.9 242.9 r238.4 - 2 .0 38 Investment.............................................................. 39 Gross private domestic.................................... 40 Net foreign........................................................ 211.9 41 Statistical discrepancy.......................................... 6.8 215.0 - 3 .0 195.6 183.7 11.9 239.6 r —2.0 4.4 n .i 1 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. 2 With capital consumption adjustment. * - 4 4 .6 r— 58.6 14.0 196.7 13.1 201.4 12.6 5.1 6.1 229.6 - .2 7.2 239.2 .8 247.0 - 4 .1 5.8 8.7 242.8 r —4.3 Source.—Survey o f Current Business (U.S. Dept, of Commerce). 8.9 A 54 3.10 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 U .S . I N T E R N A T IO N A L T R A N S A C T I O N S S u m m a ry Millions of dollars; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted except as noted.1 1975 Item credits or debits 1974 1975 1976 1976 Q4 Ql Q2 Q3 Q4 98,310 103,679 -5 ,3 6 9 107,088 98,058 9,030 114,692 123,916 -9 ,2 2 4 27,657 25,437 2,220 26,997 28,324 -1 ,3 2 7 28,378 29,914 -1 ,5 3 6 29,600 32,387 -2,787 29,717 33,291 -3 ,5 7 4 -2,083 10,227 812 1 Merchandise exports............................................................... 2 Merchandise im ports.............................................................. 3 Merchandise trade balance2............................................... -883 6,007 2,163 391 10,538 2,696 12 1,670 455 -1 5 2,286 475 -155 2,468 781 339 2,784 860 223 3,000 578 3,586 16,316 4,401 4,357 1,419 1,558 1,196 227 Remittances, pensions, and other transfers....................... U.S. Govt, grants (excluding military).............................. -1 ,7 1 0 -5,475 -1,7 2 7 -2 ,8 9 3 -1 ,8 6 6 -3 ,1 3 9 -433 -818 -483 -635 -4 5 2 -468 -446 -1 ,4 7 9 -487 -557 10 Balance on current account...................................................... 11 Not seasonally adjusted ........................................................ -3 ,5 9 8 11,697 -6 0 4 3,106 301 638 4,305 1,449 742 -729 -8 1 7 - 3 ,6 7 7 883 -1 ,1 5 3 7 Balance on goods and services3.............................................. 8 9 12 Change in U.S. Govt, assets, other than official reserve assets, net (increase, — .................................................. ) 365 -3 ,4 6 3 -4,295 -9 5 2 -6 8 4 -1 ,0 0 9 -1 ,4 5 0 13 Change in U.S. official reserve assets ( increase, — .............. ) -1 ,4 3 4 -6 0 7 - 2 ,5 3 0 89 —773 - 1 ,5 7 8 -4 0 7 14 15 G old..................................................................................... SDR’s ................................................................................... 228 Foreign currencies............................................................... -6 6 -4 6 6 -7 5 -7 8 -2 ,2 1 2 -240 -2 1 -5 7 167 -4 5 -237 -491 14 17 —172 -1,265 3 -798 -794 -1 8 -716 327 -2 9 -461 718 18 Change in U.S. private assets abroad (increase, — ............... -32,323 ) -27,523 -36,195 -10,375 -8 ,5 5 0 -7 ,2 8 8 -6 ,8 2 4 -13,534 19 20 Bank-reported claims............................................................ -1 9 ,4 9 4 -2 0 ,7 4 2 -5 ,3 4 8 - 3 ,5 8 2 -4 ,7 6 7 -3 ,3 5 5 Long-term......................................................................... -1,183 -18,311 -1 3 ,4 8 7 22 Nonbank-reported claims..................................................... -3 ,2 2 1 -1 ,5 2 2 25 26 U.S. purchase of foreign securities, net............................. U.S. direct investments abroad, net................................... 27 Change in foreign official assets in the United States (in crease, + ) ......................................................................... 28 U.S. Treasury securities...................................................... 29 Other U.S. Govt, obligations............................................. 31 32 Other U.S. liabilities reported by U.S. banks................... Other foreign official assets5.............................................. 33 Change in foreign private assets in the United States (in 34 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 U.S. bank-reported liabilities ............................................... Short-term........................................................................ U.S. nonbank-reported liabilities ......................................... Long-term....................................................................... Short-term........................................................................ Foreign private purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, n et. Foreign purchases of other U.S. securities, n e t................ Foreign direct investments in the United States, net........ 43 Allocations of SDR’s .............................................................. 44 Discrepancy .............................................................................. 45 Owing to seasonal adjustments.......................................... 46 Statistical discrepancy in recorded data before seasonal adjustment.................................................................... M emo: Changes in official assets: 47 U.S. official reserve assets (increase,— )............................. 48 Foreign official assets in the U.S. (increase,+ ) ................. 49 Changes in OPEC official assets in the U.S. (part of line 27 above)............................................................................... 50 Transfers under military grant programs (excluded from lines 1, 4, and 9 above)................................................... -2 ,0 9 8 -18,644 -1 ,7 7 2 -943 -4,4 0 5 -9 7 2 -2 5 0 -3 ,3 3 2 -7 5 1 -474 -2,7 4 7 -1 ,8 5 4 -7,7 5 3 -441 -1,081 -6 ,2 0 6 -6 ,3 0 7 -1 4 -1 ,7 5 8 -8 ,6 8 2 -5 ,0 0 0 -379 -593 -2,361 -1 ,6 9 4 —187 -5 6 4 -2 ,4 6 0 -1 ,7 5 7 10,981 6,899 18,107 2,771 3,942 721 -7 8 0 146 -1 ,1 0 8 -1 ,3 5 7 -202 53 668 -2 ,7 4 3 -1 ,4 4 7 4,105 2,999 15,022 3,103 1,454 3,225 5,248 5,095 647 10,974 172 10,802 691 146 545 675 3,518 1,766 5,015 171 -5 8 8 -6 8 24 -2 4 8 -3 2 4 -2 5 3,543 1,261 66 1,746 -598 524 7,061 8,427 -9 1 766 2,166 316 797 135 691 -2 6 -7 5 4 -2 ,1 2 3 -1 ,5 9 3 16,017 -3 0 0 947 1,998 68 1,482 -275 669 -4 7 0 -8 ,5 6 8 21,452 1,615 1,069 307 499 134 762 -9 6 2 -9 ,0 3 8 -993 -2 ,3 6 2 4,338 891 1,732 -2 ,1 5 8 2,095 9 16,008 9,301 566 5,013 1,012 2,215 -385 -4 ,3 8 2 3,282 902 724 5,818 254 67 1,699 -212 1,827 697 378 2,745 345 -174 2,667 2,505 2,437 -1,017 429 2,825 1,250 561 10 -7 8 213 1,038 1,229 -332 356 453 1,030 -728 4,557 4,570 10,495 2,258 4,310 1,907 958 73 -2 ,8 0 0 1,275 -188 -6 0 -598 131 422 3,876 116 988 1,750 331 221 4,794 -4 0 -285 -3 9 3,026 68 712 -2 1 2 172 -5 6 21 155 1,163 3,120 1,773 4,557 4,570 10,495 983 3,352 1,834 3,963 1,347 -1 ,4 3 4 10,257 -607 5,166 -2 ,5 3 0 13,094 89 2,272 -773 2,460 -1,578 3,308 -407 1,253 228 6,073 10,841 7,108 9,517 1,996 3,491 3,339 1,687 1,000 1,817 2,232 400 177 50 99 156 95 1 Seasonal factors are no longer calculated for capital transactions— lines 13 through 50. 2 Data are on an international accounts (IA) basis. Differs from the Census basis primarily because the IA basis includes imports into the U.S. Virgin Islands, and it excludes military exports, which are part of Line 4. 3 Differs from the definition of “net exports of goods and services” in the national income and product (GNP) account. The GNP definition -2 ,3 7 3 -11,114 excludes certain military sales to Israel from exports and excludes U.S. Government interest payments from imports. 4 Primarily associated with military sales contracts and other transac tions arranged with or through foreign official agencies. 5 Consists of investments in U.S. corporate stocks and in debt securi ties of private corporations and state and local governments. Note.— Data are from Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of Cur rent Business (U.S. Department of Commerce). A 55 T ra d e a n d R e s e rv e A s s e ts 3.11 U.S. FOREIGN TRADE Millions of dollars; monthly data are seasonally adjusted. 1977 1976 Item 1974 1975 1976 1 EXPORTS of domestic and foreign merchandise excluding grant-aid shipments................. *..................... 97,908 107,130 2 GENERAL IMPORTS including merchandise for immediate con sumption plus entries into bonded warehouses...................................... 100,252 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 114,807 9,737 9,788 9,699 9,589 10,410 9,599 9,808 96,115 120,677 10,477 10,651 10,555 10,623 11,020 11,269 11,674 -2 ,3 4 4 +11,014 -5 ,8 7 0 -7 4 0 -863 —857 -1 ,0 3 4 -6 1 0 —1,670 -1,866 Note.—Bureau of Census data reported on a free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) value basis. Before 1974 imports were reported on a customs import value basis. For calendar year 1974 the f.a.s. import value was $100.3 billion, about 0.7 per cent less than the corresponding customs import value. The international-accounts-basis data shown in Table 3.10 adjust the Census basis data for reasons of coverage and timing. On the export side , the largest adjustments are: (a) the addition of exports to Canada not covered in Census statistics, and (b) the exclusion of military 3.12 exports (which are combined with other military transactions and are reported separately in the “service account”). On the import side, the largest single adjustment is the addition of imports into the Virgin Islands (largely oil for a refinery on St. Croix), which are not included in Census statistics. Source.—U.S. Dept, of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Summary of U.S. Export and Import Merchandise Trade (FT 900). U .S . R E S E R V E A S S E T S Millions of dollars, end of period 1976 Type 1973 1974 1975 1977 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 4 19,120 1 Total.................................................... 314,378 15,883 16,226 18,945 19,013 19,416 18,747 19,087 19,122 2 Gold stock, including Exchange Stabilization Fund1„...................... 3 11,652 11,652 11,599 11,598 11,598 11,598 11,598 11,658 11,658 11,658 3 Special Drawing Rights2................... 32,166 2,374 2,335 2,357 2,352 2,365 2,395 2,375 2,383 4 2,389 4 Reserve position in International Monetary Fund............................... 3 552 1,852 2,212 3,952 3,997 4,307 4,434 4,682 4,819 4 4,812 5 Convertible foreign currencies.......... 8 5 80 1,038 1,066 1,146 320 372 262 261 1 Gold held under earmark at F.R. Banks for foreign and international accounts is not included in the gold stock of the United States; see Table 3.24. 2 Includes allocations by the International Monetary Fund of SDR’s as follows: $867 million on Jan. 1, 1970; $717 million on Jan. 1, 1971; and $710 million on Jan. 1, 1972; plus net transactions in SDR’s. 3 Change in par value of U.S. dollar on Oct. 18, 1973 increased total reserve assets by $1,436 million, gold stock by $1,165 million, SDR’s by $217 million, and reserve position in IM F by $54 million. 4 Beginning July 1974, the IMF adopted a technique for valuing the SDR based on a weighted average of exchange rates for the currencies of 16 member countries. The U.S. SDR holdings and reserve position in the IMF also are valued on this basis beginning July 1974. At valuation used prior to July 1974 (SDR1 ** $1.20635) total U.S. reserve assets at end of March amounted to $19,304; SDR holdings, $2,487; and reserve position in IMF, $4,898. A 56 3.13 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 S E L E C T E D U .S . L IA B IL IT IE S T O F O R E IG N E R S Millions of dollars, end of period 1974 Holder, and type of liability 1976 1975 1973 Dec. 9 1977 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 1 Total.................................................... 92,490 119,240 119,164 126,552 140,834 143,728 144,643 151,329 147,775 149,253 2 Foreign countries................................. 90,487 115,918 115,842 120,929 133,072 136,093 136,411 142,846 139,831 157,276 3 Official institutions 1............................ 4 Short-term, reported by banks in the United States.2................. U.S. Treasury bonds and notes: 5 Marketable3................................ 6 Nonmarketable4 ......................... 7 Other readily marketable liabilities5............................. 66,861 76,801 76,823 80,695 86,085 86,827 87,745 91,850 92,996 93,835 43,923 53,057 53,079 49,513 49,654 49,017 49,273 53,478 54,465 54,784 5,701 15,564 5,059 16,339 5,059 16,339 6,671 19,976 10,800 19,803 11,027 20,876 11,367 21,131 11,788 20,648 2,017 20,622 12,725 20,496 1,673 2,346 2,346 4,535 5,828 5,907 5,974 5,936 5,892 5,830 17,694 30,314 30,106 29,516 34,641 36,940 35,384 37,429 33,359 33,283 5,932 8,803 8,913 10,718 12,346 12,326 13,282 13,567 13,476 14,112 5,502 8,305 8,415 10,017 11,475 11,399 12,312 12,591 12,479 13,092 430 498 498 701 871 927 970 976 997 1,020 2,003 3,322 3,322 5,623 7,762 7,635 8,232 8,483 7,944 8,023 1,955 3,171 3,171 5,292 5,966 5,102 5,506 5,450 4,650 3,956 48 151 151 331 1,796 2,533 2,726 3,033 3,294 4,067 Commercial banks abroad: 8 Short-term reported by banks in the United States2,6............... 9 Other foreigners .................................. 10 Short-term, reported by banks in the United States2.................. 11 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds 12 Nonmonetary international and re gional organization8.................... 13 Short-term, reported by banks in the United States2.......... 14 Marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes3................ 1 Includes Bank for International Settlements. 2 Includes Treasury bills as shown in Table 3.15. 3 Derived by applying reported transactions to benchmark data. 4 Excludes notes issued to foreign official nonreserve agencies. 5 Includes long-term liabilities reported by banks in the United States and debt securities of U.S. Federally sponsored agencies and U.S. cor porations. 6 Includes short-term liabilities payable in foreign currencies to com mercial banks abroad and to other foreigners. 7 Includes marketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by com mercial banks abroad and other foreigners. 8 Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Develop ment and the Inter-American and Asian Development Banks. 3.14 9 Data in the two columns shown for this date differ because of changes in reporting coverage. Figures in the first column are comparable in cover age with those for the preceding date; figures in the second column are comparable with those shown for the following date. N ote.—Based on Treasury Dept, data and on data reported to the Treasury Dept, by banks (including Federal Reserve banks) and brokers in the United States. Data exclude the holdings of dollars of the Inter national Monetary Fund derived from payments of the U.S. subscription, and from the exchange transactions and other operations of the IMF. Data also exclude U.S. Treasury letters of credit and nonnegotiable, noninterest-bearing special U.S. notes held by nonmonetary international and regional organizations. S E L E C T E D U .S . L IA B IL IT IE S T O F O R E IG N O F F IC IA L IN S T IT U T IO N S Millions of dollars, end of period Area 1973 1974 1976 1976 Dec.3 Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. 1 Total.................................................... 66,861 76,801 76,823 80,695 86,085 86,827 87,745 91,850 92,996 93,835 3 4 5 Canada............................................ Latin American republics.............. Asia.................................................. 7 Other countries 2............................ 45,764 3,853 2,544 10,887 788 3,025 44,328 3,662 4,419 18,604 3,161 2,627 44,328 3,662 4,419 18,626 3,161 2,627 45,685 3,132 4,450 22,550 2,984 1,894 41,565 3,417 4,287 32,434 2,759 1,623 41,933 3,389 4,086 33,438 2,415 1,566 44,075 2,406 4,087 33,906 1,925 1,346 45,855 3,406 4,853 34,112 1,843 1,781 45,927 3,197 4,541 35,561 1,707 2,603 46,114 2,844 4,546 36,458 1,721 2,152 1 Includes Bank for International Settlements. 2 Includes countries in Oceania and Eastern Europe, and Western European dependencies in Latin America. 3 See Note 9 to Table 3.13. N ote.—Data represent breakdown by area of line 3, Table 3.13. B a n k-rep o rted D a ta 3.15 S H O R T - T E R M L IA B IL IT I E S T O F O R E I G N E R S A 57 R e p o rte d b y B a n k s in th e U n ite d S tates B y H o ld e r a n d b y T y p e o f L ia b ility Millions of dollars, end of period Holder, and type of liability 1974 1973 1976 1975 Dec. 8 Sept. 1977 Nov. Oct. Dec. Jan.p Feb.p 1 All foreigners, excluding the International Monetary Fund............................................... 69,074 94,847 94,771 94,338 101,736 102,458 102,474 108,949 104,953 105,115 2 68,477 94,081 94,004 93,780 101,034 101,692 101,693 108,225 104,227 104,316 Payable in dollars ............................................... 3 4 5 6 Deposits: Dem and...................................................... Time1.......................................................... U.S. Treasury bills and certificates2............. Other short-term liabilities 3.......................... 11,310 6,882 31,886 18,399 14,068 10,106 35,662 34,246 14,051 9,932 35,662 34,359 13,564 10,348 37,414 32,466 14,793 10,644 40,119 35,478 14,658 10,546 38,934 37,552 15,811 10,757 38,643 36,484 16,803 11,546 40,744 39,133 15,314 11,430 41,275 36,207 16,098 11,236 42,760 34,222 7 558 702 766 781 724 726 799 Payable in foreign currencies............................. 597 766 766 8 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations4................................................. 1,955 3,171 3,171 5,293 5,966 5,102 5,506 5,450 4,650 3,957 9 1,955 3,171 3,171 5,284 5,692 5,098 5,502 5,445 4,646 3,951 101 83 296 1,474 139 111 497 2,424 139 111 497 2,424 139 148 2,554 2,443 331 151 4,031 1,449 256 164 3,196 1,482 287 199 3,604 1,412 290 208 2,701 2,247 166 230 2,890 1,360 209 239 2,824 678 8 4 4 4 5 4 6 15 Official institutions, banks, and other foreigners.. 67,119 91,676 91,600 89,046 95,770 97,356 96,969 103,499 100,303 101,159 16 66,522 90,910 90,834 88,497 95,073 96,594 96,193 102,780 99,581 100,365 11,209 6,799 31,590 16,925 13,928 9,995 35,165 31,822 13,912 9,821 35,165 31,935 13,426 10,200 34,860 30,023 14,462 10,493 36,086 34,029 14,402 10,383 35,736 36,070 15,524 10,558 35,039 35,072 15,148 11,201 38,386 34,847 15,888 10,997 39,935 33,544 Payable in dollars ............................................... 10 11 12 13 Deposits: Demand...................................................... Time1.......................................................... U.S. Treasury bills and certificates.............. Other short-term liabilities5.......................... 14 Payable in foreign currencies............................. Payable in dollars ............................................... 17 18 19 20 Deposits: Demand...................................................... Time1.......................................................... U.S. Treasury bills and certificates2............ Other short-term liabilities 3.......................... 21 16,513 11,338 38,042 36,886 Payable in foreign currencies............................. 597 766 766 549 697 762 776 719 722 794 22 Official institutions6............................................... 43,923 53,057 53,079 49,513 49,654 49,017 49,273 53,478 54,465 54,784 23 43,795 52,930 52,952 49,513 49,654 49,017 49,273 53,478 54,465 54,784 2,125 3,911 31,511 6,248 2,951 4,257 34,656 11,066 2,951 4,167 34,656 11,178 2,644 3,423 34,182 9,264 2,544 2,144 35,651 9,314 2,706 2,127 35,241 8,943 2,685 2,149 34,656 9,783 3,394 2,335 37,675 10,075 2,931 2,456 38.031 11,047 2,411 2,376 39,555 10,443 24 25 26 27 28 Payable in dollars .............. ............................... Deposits: Dem and...................................................... Time1.......................................................... U.S. Treasury bills and certificates2............. Other short-term liabilities 5.......................... Pnvnhle in fnrpicm rurrenripc 127 127 127 29 Banks and other foreigners.................................... 23,196 38,619 38,520 39,533 46,115 48,339 47,696 50,021 45,838 46,374 30 31 22,727 37,980 37,881 38,984 45,418 47,577 46,920 49,302 45,116 45,580 32 33 34 35 Payable in dollars ............................................... Banks7 ............................................................ Deposits: Dem and.................................................. Time1...................................................... U.S. Treasury bills and certificates........... Other short-term liabilities3...................... 17,224 29,676 29,467 28,966 33,944 6,941 529 11 8,248 1,942 232 19,254 8,231 1,910 232 19,094 7,534 1,942 335 19,155 8,233 2,578 176 22,956 8,361 2,291 223 25,303 8,897 1,949 174 23,589 9,104 2,479 169 24,957 8.474 2;071 172 21,920 9,387 1,773 152 21,177 9,743 36,178 34,608 36,710 32,637 32,489 5,502 8,304 8,414 10,017 11,475 11,399 12,312 12,592 12,479 13,091 37 38 39 40 Other foreigners............................................. Deposits: Demand.................................................. Time1...................................................... U.S. Treasury bills and certificates........... Other short-term liabilities 5...................... 2,143 2,359 68 933 2,729 3,796 277 1,502 2,730 3,744 277 1,664 3,248 4,823 342 1,605 3,686 5,771 259 1,759 3,335 5,965 274 1,824 3,943 6,461 209 1,700 4,015 6,524 198 1,854 3,743 6,673 183 1,880 4,091 6,848 229 1,924 41 Payable in foreign currencies............................. 469 639 639 549 697 762 776 719 722 794 36 1 Excludes negotiable time certificates of deposit, which are included in “ Other short-term liabilities.” 2 Includes nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness and Treasury bills issued to official institutions of foreign countries. 3 Includes liabilities of U.S. banks to their foreign branches, liabilities of U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks to their head offices and foreign branches of their head offices, bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 4 Principally the International Bank for Reconstruction and Develop ment, and the Inter-American and Asian Development Banks. 5 Principally bankers acceptances, commercial paper, and negotiable time certificates of deposit. 6 Foreign central banks and foreign central governments and their agencies, and Bank for International Settlements. 7 Excludes central banks, which are included in “ Official institutions.” 8 Data in the two columns shown for this date differ because of changes in reporting coverage. Figures in the first column are comparable with those for the preceding date; figures in the second column are comparable with those shown for the following date. N ote.—“Short-term obligations” are those payable on demand, or having an original maturity of 1 year or less. A 58 3 .16 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 S H O R T - T E R M L IA B IL IT IE S T O F O R E IG N E R S R e p o rte d b y B a n k s in th e U n ite d S ta te s B y C o u n try Millions o f dollars, end o f period Area and country 1973 1974 1976 1975 Dec. 7 Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan.p Feb.p 1 69,074 94,847 94,771 2 Foreign countries......................................................... 67,119 91,676 91,600 89,046 95,770 97,356 96,969 103,499 100,303 101,159 40,742 48,667 48,813 43,988 40,177 39,967 42,480 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Austria.................................................................. Belgium-Luxembourg........................................ Denmark.............................................................. Finland................................................................. France.................................................................. Germany............................................................... Greece................................................................... Italy....................................................................... Netherlands......................................................... N orway................................................................ Portugal................................................................ Spain..................................................................... Sweden................................................................. Switzerland.......................................................... Turkey.................................................................. United Kingdom................................................ Yugoslavia........................................................... Other Western Europe1.................................... U.S.S.R................................................................. Other Eastern Europe....................................... 161 1,483 659 165 3,483 13,227 389 1,404 2,886 965 534 305 1,885 3.377 98 6,148 86 3,352 22 110 607 2,506 369 266 4,287 9,420 248 2,617 3,234 1,040 310 382 1,138 9,986 152 7,559 183 4,073 82 206 607 2,506 369 266 4,287 9,429 248 2.577 3,234 1,040 310 382 1,138 10,139 152 7,584 183 4,073 82 206 94,338 101,736 102,458 102,475 108,949 104,953 105,115 754 2,898 332 391 7,733 4,357 284 1,072 3,411 996 195 426 2,286 8,514 118 6,886 126 2,970 40 200 335 1,946 317 415 4,363 5,964 336 1,574 2,566 789 193 540 1,979 9,016 65 7,296 128 2,103 70 182 334 1,879 372 407 4,409 6,532 405 1,583 2,534 690 177 506 1,295 8,331 74 7,953 131 2,089 80 184 332 2,085 416 378 4,642 5,418 378 2,884 2,694 740 206 478 1,420 8,846 88 8,401 147 2,639 84 203 46,925 348 2,268 363 419 4,875 5,965 403 3,206 3,007 785 239 565 1,693 9,453 166 10,001 188 2,672 51 255 43,614 373 2,376 419 389 4,701 5,304 421 2,858 2,832 566 172 492 1,613 9,571 85 8.844 113 2,263 47 172 43,581 401 2,411 419 367 4,596 5,487 346 2,703 2,786 823 228 546 1,593 9,661 82 8,711 121 2,092 45 162 24 Canada ................................................................ 3,627 3,517 3,520 3,076 4,796 4,033 3,944 4,784 4,519 4,900 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Latin America .................................................... Argentina............................................................. Bahamas............................................................... Brazil.................................................................... C hile...................................................................... Colombia............................................................. Cuba...................................................................... M exico.................................................................. Panama................................................................. Peru....................................................................... Uruguay............................................................... Venezuela............................................................. Other Latin American republics..................... Netherlands Antilles2........................................ Other Latin America......................................... 7,664 12,038 11,754 14,942 886 1,054 1,034 276 305 7 1,770 510 272 165 3,413 1,316 158 589 1,147 1,827 1,227 317 417 6 2,066 1,099 244 172 3,289 1,494 129 1,507 19,065 17,684 19,010 17,836 18,665 886 1,448 1,034 276 305 7 1,770 488 272 147 3,413 1.316 158 519 17,490 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Asia ..................................................................... China, People’s Republic o f (Mainland)___ China, Republic o f (Taiwan).......................... 10,839 21,073 21,130 28,406 29,745 28,982 i ,202 50 818 530 261 1,221 389 10,931 384 747 333 4,623 844 21,539 50 818 530 261 1,221 386 10,897 384 747 333 4,633 813 48 1,182 887 1,048 1,154 310 14,663 366 582 223 7,741 1,539 59 1,092 859 910 314 325 14,736 324 606 244 8,124 1,388 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 A frica .................................................................. Egypt.................................................................... M orocco............................................................... South Africa........................................................ Zaire..................................................................... Oil-exporting countries5 ................................... Other4 ................................................................... 1,056 3,551 3,551 3,373 3,076 2,782 60 61 62 Other countries................................................... Australia.............................................................. All other............................................................... 3,190 Hong K ong.................................................... India...................................................................... Indonesia............................................................. Israel...................................................................... Japan.................................................................... Korea.................................................................... Philippines........................................................... Thailand............................................................... Middle East oil-exporting countries3............ Other4................................................................... 924 852 860 158 247 7 1,296 282 135 120 1,468 884 71 359 38 757 372 85 133 327 6,967 195 515 247 35 11 114 87 808 3,131 59 63 Nonmonetary international and regional 103 38 130 84 2,814 383 103 38 130 84 2,814 383 123 1,025 623 126 369 386 10,218 390 698 252 6,461 867 343 68 169 63 2,239 491 1,437 2,628 1,132 325 767 6 2,348 912 236 244 3,208 1,750 147 2,348 45 1,122 874 985 995 300 14,424 350 622 215 7,198 1,276 186 80 165 37 2,075 532 1,374 4,817 1,323 298 804 6 2,475 866 247 233 2,644 1,676 160 2,142 213 85 183 45 1,732 524 2,742 89 2,128 2,742 89 2,014 114 1,824 1,711 114 1,763 1,645 119 2,831 2,831 1,293 2,654 1,168 315 922 6 2,860 1,188 243 238 3,009 1,740 157 1,890 1,538 2,789 1,432 335 1,017 6 2,848 1,140 257 245 3,060 2,064 140 2,139 1,648 1,979 1,292 325 1,090 6 2,710 909 244 250 2,986 2,033 151 2,212 28,461 29, 789 47 985 892 648 340 385 14,380 437 627 275 8,073 1,373 47 1,058 941 510 695 430 14,481 448 602 301 9,029 1,245 2,281 2,300 2,207 2,406 1,598 1,486 112 2,019 171 72 132 64 1,321 521 333 88 143 35 1,116 585 1,911 108 209 97 211 48 1,033 609 1,820 2,553 1,272 302 1,152 6 2,782 1,002 228 239 2,921 2,235 157 1,995 29,258 47 1,158 1,039 559 546 547 13,358 483 554 313 9,276 1,378 244 105 155 41 1,125 735 2,339 2,348 2,224 116 2,231 118 organizations............................................................ 64 65 66 1,955 3,171 3,171 5,293 5,966 5,102 5,506 5,450 4,650 3,957 International............................................................ Latin American regional...................................... Other regional6....................................................... 1,627 272 57 2,900 202 69 2,900 202 69 5,064 187 42 5,613 154 199 4,717 182 203 5,109 160 237 5,091 136 223 4,300 160 189 3,599 177 181 For notes see bottom of p. A59. B a n k-rep o rted D a ta A 59 3.17 SHORT-TERM LIABILITIES TO FOREIGNERS Reported by Banks in the United States Supplemental “Other” Countries 1 Millions of dollars, end of period Area and country 1974 Dec. Other Western Europe: Other Eastern Europe: 38 43 39 69 40 13 11 18 11 42 14 19 32 17 13 66 44 13 10 3 10 65 28 93 120 214 157 144 255 34 92 62 125 38 110 124 169 120 171 260 38 99 41 133 43 131 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 133 141 275 319 178 397 47 137 35 119 49 31 104 69 149 150 128 177 33 69 49 89 43 12 44 116 449 19 77 19 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 167 170 197 177 100 627 1,311 2,284 1,874 49 1 Represents a partial breakdown of the amounts shown in the “Other” categories on Table 3.16. 3.18 L O N G - T E R M L IA B IL IT I E S T O F O R E I G N E R S Millions of dollars, end of period Holder, and area or country 1974 1973 1975 1976 Dec. 34 21 107 Bolivia................................... Costa Rica............................. Dominican Republic............ Ecuador................................. El Salvador............................ Guatemala............................. H aiti....................................... Honduras............................... Jamaica.................................. Nicaragua.............................. Paraguay............................... Surinam2............................... Trinidad and Tobago........... Bermuda.................. British West Indies.. Dec. 96 118 128 122 129 219 35 88 69 127 46 Other Latin American republics: Other Latin America: Apr. 36 34 36 14 55 25 Bulgaria................................... Czechoslovakia....................... German Democratic Republic Hungary................................... Poland..................................... Rumania................................. 23 24 Dec. 6 33 75 Apr. 7 21 29 Cyprus........................ Iceland....................... Ireland, Republic o f.. 1974 Area and country Ethiopia (incl. Eritrea) Ghana.......................... Ivory Coast................. Kenya........................... Liberia......................... Southern Rhodesia.. . . Sudan........................... Tanzania...................... Tunisia......................... Uganda........................ Zambia......................... All Other: New Zealand............... Dec. 19 50 49 4 30 5 180 92 22 118 215 13 70 41 54 31 4 39 2 117 77 28 74 256 13 62 54 41 34 3 20 2 132 105 34 89 34 9 33 57 76 13 11 32 33 3 14 21 23 38 18 60 23 62 19 53 1 12 30 29 22 78 70 45 76 37 63 1 17 18 33 50 14 41 27 10 46 77 1 22 47 Other Africa: Apr. 95 18 7 31 39 2 4 11 19 13 22 Afghanistan............... . Bangladesh.................. Burma.......................... Cambodia.................... Jordan.......................... Laos............................. Lebanon....................... Malaysia...................... Nepal........................... Pakistan....................... Singapore..................... Sri Lanka (Ceylon).... Vietnam....................... Dec. 18 21 65 4 22 3 126 63 25 91 245 14 126 Other Asia: Apr. 36 42 29 45 13 4 37 1 140 396 33 189 280 23 66 20 43 2 Surinam included with Netherlands Antilles until January 1976. R e p o rte d b y B a n k s in th e U n ite d S ta te s 1977 1976 1975 Aug. 1 Total....................................................................... 2 Nonmonetary international and regional 3 Foreign countries.................................................... 4 Official institutions, including central banks. .. 5 Banks, excluding central banks........................ 6 Other foreigners................................................. Area or country: 7 Europe................................................................ 1,462 1,285 1,812 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.* Feb.* 2,242 2,206 2,315 2,310 2,393 2,353 2,245 761 822 415 246 214 333 308 261 264 259 700 310 291 100 464 124 261 79 1,397 931 364 100 1,996 1,402 445 149 1,991 1,386 446 159 1,983 1,314 499 170 2,003 1,313 524 165 2,132 1,352 585 194 2,090 1,262 604 224 1,987 1,180 577 230 470 159 66 226 146 59 330 214 66 457 311 88 458 312 87 489 310 99 507 309 125 525 313 132 555 313 144 529 245 131 19 115 23 140 26 122 26 125 26 151 26 152 29 230 31 244 29 255 894 8 * 1 * 1,369 19 * 1 1,340 41 * 1 1,286 27 * 1 1,239 77 * 1 1,251 96 * 1 1,186 68 * 2 1,104 67 * 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 10 11 Canada................................................................ Latin America................................................ 8 132 12 13 Middle East oil-exporting countries1............... Other Asia2.................................................... 82 14 15 African oil-exporting countries3....................... Other Africa4...................................................... 1 94 7 * 1 16 All other countries............................................ 7 * 4 Includes African oil-exporting countries until December 1974. 1 Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2 Includes Middle East oil-exporting countries until December 1974. 3 Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. N ote.—Long-term obligations are those having an original maturity of more than 1 year. NOTES TO TABLE 3.16: 1 Includes Bank for International Settlements. 2 Surinam included with Netherlands Antilles until January 1976. 3 Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 4 Includes oil-exporting countries until December 1974. 5 Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 6 Asian, African, and European regional organizations, except BIS, which is included in “ Other Western Europe.” 7 Data in the two columns shown for this date differ because of changes in reporting coverage. Figures in the first column are comparable with those shown for the preceding date; figures in the second column are comparable with those shown for the following date. A 60 3.19 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 S H O R T - T E R M C L A IM S O N F O R E IG N E R S R e p o rte d by B a n k s in th e U n ite d S ta te s B y C o u n try Millions of dollars, end of period Area and country 1973 1974 1977 1976 1975 Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.p Feb.* 1 20,723 39,056 50,231 58,014 60,317 60,986 63,890 69,011 63,650 63,289 2 Foreign countries.................................................... 20,723 39,055 50,229 58,002 60,305 60,981 63,884 69,005 63,643 63,284 3,970 6,255 8,987 9,479 9,436 10,435 42 10,797 12,072 44 10,415 10,642 42 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Europe................................................................. Austria............................................................ Belgium-Luxembourg.................................... Denmark........................................................ Finland............................................................ France............................................................. Germany......................................................... Greece............................................................. Italy................. ............................................... Netherlands.................................................... Norway........................................................... Portugal.......................................................... Spain............................................................... Sweden ............................................................ Switzerland..................................................... Turkey............................................................ United Kingdom............................................ Yugoslavia...................................................... Other Western Europe.................................. U.S.S.R........................................................... Other Eastern Europe.................................... 11 147 48 108 621 311 35 316 133 72 23 222 153 176 10 1,459 10 25 46 44 21 384 46 122 673 589 64 345 348 119 20 196 180 335 15 2,580 22 22 46 131 15 352 49 128 1,471 436 49 370 300 71 16 249 167 237 86 4,718 38 27 103 108 24 465 50 176 929 412 68 617 268 78 57 239 143 442 77 5,167 40 50 53 125 47 437 57 129 1,169 498 117 648 256 68 55 265 106 417 80 4,844 28 56 52 107 504 64 137 1,096 585 88 733 399 79 46 264 101 499 125 5,376 37 54 83 123 54 501 129 136 1,098 577 76 877 240 85 53 304 93 511 140 5,591 38 58 103 134 662 85 141 1,448 562 79 929 304 98 65 429 177 472 183 6,068 45 52 99 130 41 554 72 137 1,246 511 81 875 246 124 80 362 112 539 199 4,864 60 53 82 177 609 64 133 1,371 666 85 805 510 127 90 385 85 530 207 4,538 64 60 95 175 24 Canada ................................................................ 1,955 2,776 2,817 3,050 3,169 3,129 3,136 3,100 2,944 3,510 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 Latin America .................................................... 5,900 499 12,377 27,607 30,042 29,275 31,580 34,034 31,476 937 31,418 883 900 151 397 12 1,373 274 178 55 518 493 13 154 720 3,405 1,418 290 713 14 1,972 505 518 63 704 852 62 1,142 20,532 13,899 3,456 370 593 13 3,356 770 737 41 1,296 1,127 45 4,838 867 14,079 3,149 379 598 13 3,332 862 748 39 1,261 1,120 41 4,932 8,224 16,226 4 17,765 3 987 16,672 4 15,466 361 41 76 554 10,992 1,722 559 422 1,312 735 1,028 229 28 54 352 10,581 1,710 592 421 981 690 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 Argentina........................................................ Bahamas......................................................... Brazil............................................................... Chile............................................................... Colombia........................................................ Cuba............................................................... Mexico............................................................ Panama........................................................... Peru................................................................. Uruguay.......................................................... Venezuela........................................................ Other Latin American republics................... Netherlands Antilles1.................................... Other Latin America..................................... 1,203 7,570 2,221 360 689 13 2,802 1,052 583 51 1,086 967 49 1,885 1,149 11,519 2,772 352 501 13 3,559 778 666 31 1,503 978 29 3,759 961 14,192 2,891 343 459 13 3,457 809 694 28 1,305 1,112 42 3,737 16,057 22 15,832 4 939 15,695 4 251 36 108 257 10,116 1,551 459 437 836 838 981 252 33 119 313 10,220 1,594 472 434 721 553 5 991 208 64 117 320 10,534 1,555 478 415 765 647 1,382 1,394 1,486 1,519 132 13 763 29 257 292 151 19 798 16 238 298 661 612 549 618 China, People’s Republic of (Mainland). . . China, Republic of (Taiwan)........................ Hong K ong.................................................... India............................................................... Indonesia........................................................ Israel............................................................... Japan............................................................... K orea.............................................................. Philippines...................................................... Thailand.......................................................... Middle East oil-exporting countries2........... Other3............................................................. 31 140 147 16 88 155 6,398 403 181 273 392 500 223 14 157 255 12,518 955 372 458 330 441 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 A frica .................................................................. 388 855 1,228 1,395 1,332 158 111 18 329 98 115 185 60 61 62 Other countries................................................... 286 565 609 638 631 63 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations...................................................... 1 Egypt............................................................... Morocco......................................................... South Africa................................................... Zaire............................................................... Oil-exporting countries4. .............................. Other3............................................................. Australia......................................................... All other......................................................... 35 5 129 61 243 43 466 99 * 1 Includes Surinam until January 1976. 2 Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 736 258 21 102 491 10,776 1,561 384 499 524 684 101 9 545 34 231 308 535 73 1 115 15 695 24 268 278 553 85 12 114 17 691 23 176 312 521 110 12 902 12,587 3,125 350 517 13 3,211 1,119 638 28 1,338 1,037 41 4,369 16,099 106 8 772 14 215 267 858 14,594 3,259 358 523 14 3,285 781 629 35 1,512 1,068 43 4,620 16,365 3 1,099 267 48 120 330 10,428 1,577 495 414 1,082 503 109 14 748 25 213 284 558 103 502 110 5 6 962 15,340 3,383 396 575 13 3,414 1,021 690 38 1,553 1,140 40 5,469 30 1,089 265 23 55 337 9,474 1,576 479 446 1,036 658 1,518 126 13 838 U 249 282 729 450 99 512 105 605 125 5 7 5 3 Includes oil-exporting countries until December 1974. 4 Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria, B a n k-rep o rted D a ta 3.20 S H O R T - T E R M C L A IM S O N F O R E I G N E R S A61 R e p o rte d b y B a n k s in th e U n ite d S ta te s B y T y p e o f C la im Millions of dollars, end of period Type 1973 1974 1976 1975 Aug. Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan.* Feb.* 1 Total....................................................................... 20,723 39,056 50,231 58,014 60,317 60,986 63,890 69,011 63,650 63,289 2 Payable in dollars .................................................. 20,061 37,859 48,902 59,556 58,661 59,330 62,085 67,365 61,907 61,258 7,660 11,291 13,205 15,270 14,914 16,221 16,191 18,347 16,094 16,350 3 4 5 6 Loans, to ta l ........................................................ Official institutions, including central banks. Banks, excluding central banks..................... All other, including nonmonetary interna tional and regional organizations............. 2,838 3,579 4,926 5,202 5,130 5,151 5,282 5,815 5,503 5,576 7 8 9 Collections oustanding...................................... Acceptances made for accounts of foreigners... Other claims1..................................................... 4,307 4,160 3,935 5,637 11,237 9,689 5,467 11,147 19,082 5,495 11,144 24,562 5,746 11,213 26,789 5,586 11,461 26,015 5,628 11,422 28,843 5,846 12,367 30,805 5,834 12,018 27,962 5,866 11,963 27,078 10 Payable in foreign currencies................................. 662 1,196 1,329 1,542 1,656 1,704 1,805 1,645 1,743 2,031 Deposits with foreigners.................................... Foreign government securities, commercial and finance paper.......................................... Other claims....................................................... 428 669 656 903 1,029 1,052 1,084 1,063 1,137 1,089 119 115 289 238 301 372 143 496 120 507 102 550 85 635 84 498 145 460 272 671 11 12 13 284 4,538 381 7,332 613 7,665 1,009 9,060 781 9,003 1,055 10,015 1,269 9,639 1,452 11,081 1,250 9,341 935 9,839 1 Includes claims of U.S. banks on their foreign branches and claims made to, and acceptances made for, foreigners; drafts drawn against of U.S. agencies and branches of foreign banks on their head offices and foreigners, where collection is being made by banks and bankers for their own account or for account of their customers in the United States; foreign branches of their head offices. and foreign currency balances held abroad by banks and bankers and N ote.—Short-term claims are principally the following items payable their customers in the United States. Excludes foreign currencies held by U.S. monetary authorities. on demand or with a contractual maturity of not more than 1 year: loans 3.21 L O N G -T E R M C L A IM S O N F O R E IG N E R S Millions of dollars, end of period Type, and area or country 1973 R e p o rte d b y B a n k s in th e U n ite d S ta te s 1974 1976 1975 1977 Aug. 1 5,996 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.* Feb.* 7,179 9,540 10,955 11,205 11,345 11,612 11,687 11,711 11,870 By type: 2 Payable in dollars................................................... 5,924 7,099 9,423 10,822 11,063 11,206 11,465 11,539 11,561 11,693 3 4 5 6 Loans, total ........................................................ 5,446 6,490 8,316 9,551 9,670 9,837 1,324 929 1,350 1,567 9,357 9,933 1,420 2,212 9,950 1,404 2,202 10,128 3,698 4,237 7 Other long-term claims................................. 478 609 8 Payable in foreign currencies................................. 72 By area or country: 9 Europe................................................................ 10 Canada................................................................ 11 Latin America.................................................... Official institutions, including central banks Banks, excluding central banks..................... All other, including nonmonetary interna tional and regional organizations............. 12 13 14 15 Asia ..................................................................... 16 17 18 A frica .................................................................. 19 All other countries5........................................... Japan............................................................... Middle East oil-exporting countries1........... Other Asia2 .................................................... Oil-exporting countries 3................................ Other4............................................................. 1,338 1,979 1,312 2,039 1,323 2,115 1,364 2,164 5,399 6,040 6,201 6,232 6,308 6,298 6,344 6,376 1,107 1,465 1,512 1,536 1,628 1,606 1,611 1,564 80 116 133 142 139 147 148 150 177 1,271 490 2,116 1,908 501 2,614 2,708 555 3,468 3,093 592 4,382 3,133 623 4,519 3,191 570 4,565 3,285 590 4,694 3,246 586 4,806 3,325 520 4,878 3,377 538 4,948 1,582 1,619 1,795 1,835 1,856 1,901 1,885 1,886 1,839 1,846 771 800 839 888 269 1,156 591 251 1,331 355 355 181 258 384 977 366 62 747 355 187 1,667 305 151 596 226 545 171 267 282 1 Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2 Includes Middle East oil-exporting countries until December 1974. 296 220 1,279 370 171 1,315 381 171 1,349 236 564 259 580 274 281 368 141 1,376 391 146 1,349 883 387 117 1,335 1,532 2,220 367 123 1,357 852 876 619 264 619 201 651 201 675 270 280 296 284 3 Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. 4 Includes oil-exporting countries until December 1974. 5 Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A 62 3.22 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 F O R E I G N B R A N C H E S O F U .S . B A N K S Millions of dollars; end of period Asset account 1973 1974 B a la n ce S h eet D a ta 1976 1975 July Aug. Sept. 1977 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.* All foreign countries 121,866 151,905 176,493 196,865 196,174 199,843 206,383 207,372 219,811 213,030 5,091 6,743 8,709 6,628 9 ,939 7,557 6,834 3,105 4,280 3,276 4,390 3,519 6,514 3,665 3,078 3,248 3,381 7,909 Parent bank................................. Other............................................ 5,575 3,134 6,980 1,886 3,205 6,900 5 6 7 8 9 Claims on foreigners ....................... 111,974 138,712 163,391 181,323 182,499 186,192 189,317 192,609 204,861 198,908 19,177 56,368 2,693 33,736 27,559 60,283 4,077 46,793 10 Other assets..................................... 1 Total, all currencies............................ ?, 3 4 Other branches of parent bank Other banks................................. Official institutions..................... Nonbank foreigners................... 4,464 2,435 34,508 69,206 5,792 53,886 41,738 71,762 8,444 59,379 3,934 3,046 41,000 71,802 8,766 60,932 41,174 74,796 9,208 61,015 41,812 76,152 9,205 62,148 42,729 77,179 9,540 63,162 46,582 83,546 10,598 64,135 2,935 3,579 47,135 77,094 10,825 63,855 12 13 14 Claims on United States ................. Parent bank................................. Other............................................ 4,802 6,294 6,359 6,834 6,695 7,022 7,128 7,206 7,041 7,608 79,445 105,969 132,901 149,124 147,245 150,434 156,031 156,364 168,222 163,791 6,603 6,408 8,440 6 ,666 6,269 9,595 7,615 6,235 4,599 1,848 2,751 4,428 2,175 3,628 2,780 5,530 2,910 15 16 17 18 19 73,018 12,799 39,527 1,777 18,915 96,209 123,496 137,293 Other branches of parent bank.. Other banks................................. Official institutions..................... Nonbank foreigners................... 28,478 55,319 4,864 34,835 33,843 56,597 7,148 39,705 20 Other assets..................................... 1,828 3,157 2,997 3,392 19,688 45,067 3,289 28,164 2 , 111 3,184 3,085 137,374 140,919 3,895 7,214 6,790 2,805 4,218 2,996 4,330 3,285 143,083 145,837 157,405 34,382 60,246 8,289 42,920 38,537 66,227 9,007 43,634 2,896 3,338 153,646 33,009 56,422 7,606 40,337 33,358 58,877 7,906 A0,119 34,051 59,316 7,885 41,831 3,206 3,246 3,353 3,314 3,202 3,910 39,412 60,618 9,457 44,159 United Kingdom 61,732 69,804 74,883 73,494 73,229 73,589 76,854 77,249 81,466 76,482 22 23 24 Claims on United S tates ................. 1,789 2,392 1,862 1,758 2,036 3,256 3,4 2 6 3,354 2,262 738 1,051 3,248 2, A ll lie 2,376 978 1,357 905 25 26 27 28 29 Claims o f foreigners ........................ 57,761 64,111 69,217 75,859 71,995 30 Other assets.................................... 2,183 2,445 2,159 2,273 2,173 2,335 2,436 2,345 2,253 2,225 31 Total payable in U.S. dollars............. 40,323 49,211 57,361 54,871 54,522 54,547 57,161 57,699 61,587 57,758 1,642 3,146 2,273 1,780 1,445 828 997 783 1,658 54,121 52,250 21 Total, all currencies............................ Parent bank................................. Other............................................ Other branches of parent bank.. Other banks................................. Official institutions..................... Nonbank foreigners................... 32 33 34 Claims on United States ................. 35 36 37 38 39 Claims on foreigners ....................... 40 Other assets.................................... Parent bank................................. Other............................................ Other branches of parent bank.. Other banks................................. Official institutions..................... Nonbank foreigners................... 8,773 34,442 735 13,811 730 912 37,817 12,724 32,701 788 17,898 2,468 678 44,694 1,449 943 1,002 860 938 821 70,331 69,359 69,298 17,557 35,904 881 15,990 6,509 23,389 510 7,409 10,265 23,716 610 10,102 15,645 28,224 648 9,604 865 1,372 967 18,843 33,589 909 16,018 16,204 25,370 659 10,018 841 18,044 34,135 1,007 16,112 1,081 955 17,745 34,405 1,138 15,929 2,413 843 2,538 888 71,162 71,477 18,358 35,336 1,211 16,257 17,949 35,846 1,168 16,514 19,753 38,089 1,274 16,743 19,483 34,827 1,377 16,309 1,902 3,313 2,185 2,406 719 2,523 789 3,275 1,064 838 3,124 934 724 52,006 51,782 53,112 53,541 15,405 27,008 817 10,311 57,488 54,735 15,829 26,421 912 9,950 858 863 925 845 824 838 15,401 25,826 799 9,980 15,195 25,866 862 9,859 2,374 902 17,249 28,983 846 10,410 1,352 833 17,183 26,184 1,110 10,258 Bahamas and Caymans 41 Total, all currencies............................ 42 43 44 Claims on United States ................. 45 46 47 48 49 Claims on foreigners ........................ 50 Other assets.................................... Parent bank................................. Other............................................ Other branches of parent bank.. Other banks................................. Official institutions..................... Nonbank foreigners................... 51 23,771 31,733 45,203 59,913 57,677 60,753 63,508 61,758 67,398 67,393 2,210 2,464 3,229 5,835 3,554 3,330 5,464 2,892 3,420 3,148 1,641 1,913 1,257 2,072 3,490 1,973 766 2,126 1,095 2,325 767 2,381 52,898 52,933 56,255 56,806 57,634 62,498 6,791 20,217 5,929 19,995 7,250 22,447 6,059 20,498 7,296 22,136 6,040 21,334 7,389 22,438 6,485 21,322 62,760 7,149 20,669 5,699 19,381 317 1,893 21,041 1,928 9,895 1,151 8,068 1,081 1,383 28,453 3,478 11,354 2,022 11,599 1,477 1,752 41,040 5,411 16,298 3,576 15,756 3,864 1,971 8,853 25,324 7,101 21,483 9,521 23,748 7,004 22,225 520 815 933 1,180 1,190 1,169 1,239 1,232 1,217 1,747 21,937 28,726 41,887 56,076 53,520 56,600 59,219 57,672 63,329 63,180 O verseas Branches A 63 3.22 Continued Liability account 1973 1974 1976 1975 July Aug. Sept. 1977 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.p All foreign countries 121,866 151,905 176,493 196,865 196,174 199,843 206,383 207,372 219,811 213,030 53 54 55 To United States ......................... 5,610 11,982 28,616 29,978 29,457 30,757 5,809 6,173 12,165 8,057 15,947 12,669 27,118 1,642 3,968 20,221 31,559 30,343 56 57 58 59 60 To foreigners ............................... 111,615 132,990 149,815 161,637 181,421 175,816 61 Other liabilities........................... . 4,641 6,933 6,456 6,612 6,346 6,547 6,844 6,753 6,831 6,871 62 Total payable in U.S. dollars........... 80,374 107,890 135,907 153,221 151,788 155,149 160,440 160,824 173,594 168,330 5,027 11,437 19,503 27,848 26,348 15,691 12,157 16,254 10,094 29,088 28,683 29,866 11,939 7,564 30,771 29,402 52 Total, all currencies......................... Parent bank............................. Other........................................ Other branches of parent bank Other banks............................. Official institutions................. Nonbank foreigners................ 18,213 65,389 10,330 17,683 26,941 65,675 20,185 20,189 34,111 72,259 22,773 20,672 41,064 74,211 22,279 24,084 16,495 10,623 162,711 40,071 74,367 23,428 24,844 63 64 65 To United States ......................... . 66 67 68 69 70 To foreigners ............................... . Other branches of parent bank, Other banks.............................. Official institutions................. . Nonbank foreigners................. 12,554 43,641 7,491 9,502 19,330 43,656 17,444 12,072 92,503 112,879 121,997 122,187 71 Other liabilities............................. 2,158 3,951 3,526 3,377 3,252 Parent bank.............................. Other........................................ . 1,477 3,550 73,189 5,641 5,795 28,217 51,583 19,982 13,097 33,852 53,573 19,625 14,947 32,690 53,298 20,620 15,579 18,957 11,020 163,318 40,119 75,054 23,731 24,414 18,624 10,464 17,869 11,588 170,083 41,044 78,912 25,019 25,107 17,633 11,049 19,058 11,699 169,862 41,650 77,810 23,967 26,436 18,821 11,046 18,192 13,367 46,458 83,410 25,828 25,725 17,979 12,793 18,673 11,670 45,444 79,439 25,480 25,453 18,419 10,982 122,677 128,358 127,535 139,208 135,171 3,383 3,400 3,422 3,614 3,758 32,921 53,505 20,787 15,465 33,850 56,302 21,910 16,296 33,951 55,464 20,924 17,196 39,189 60,270 22,877 16,872 38,836 56,867 22,747 16,720 United Kingdom 72 Total, all currencies........................ 61,732 69,804 74,883 73,494 73,229 73,589 76,854 77,249 81,466 76,482 2,431 3,978 5,646 5,628 5,266 5,379 5,310 5,520 1,468 3,842 1,459 4,061 5,997 5,101 66,026 69,151 69,368 73 74 75 To United S tates ......................... Parent bank............................. O th e r...................................... 136 2,295 76 77 78 79 80 To foreigners ............................... 57,311 81 Other liabilities........................... . 1,990 2,418 1,997 2,272 2,080 2,184 2,394 2,360 2,241 2,179 82 Total payable in U.S. dollars........... 39,689 49,666 57,820 55,978 55,701 55,625 58,031 58,757 63,174 59,009 2,173 3,744 5,415 5,443 5,093 5,183 5,152 5,330 1,447 3,883 1,182 4,666 5,849 4,876 Other branches of parent bank, Other banks............................. Official institutions.................. Nonbank foreigners................. 3,944 34,979 8,140 10,248 510 3,468 63,409 4,762 32,040 15,258 11,349 2,122 3,523 67,240 6,494 32,964 16,553 11,229 1,727 3,901 65,594 6,927 31,487 15,462 11,718 1,520 3,746 65,883 6,668 30,834 16,147 12,234 1,442 3,938 6,788 31,015 16,389 11,834 6,826 32,488 17,567 12,270 6,783 33,690 16,181 12,713 1,198 4,798 73,228 7,092 36,259 17,273 12,605 1,211 3,889 69,202 7,663 32,627 16,684 12,228 83 84 85 To United States ........................... 86 87 88 89 90 To foreigners ................................. 36,646 44,594 51,447 5,442 23,330 14,498 8,176 49,691 49,746 5,604 20,910 14,296 8,936 49,579 5,790 20,526 14,418 8,846 52,017 52,503 56,372 5,878 21,765 13,604 8,444 53,230 91 Other liabilities............................. 870 1,328 959 844 862 862 862 924 953 903 Parent bank............................... Other.......................................... Other branches of parent bank. Other banks............................... Official institutions................... Nonbank foreigners................. 113 2,060 2,519 22,051 5,923 6,152 484 3,261 3,256 20,526 13,225 7,587 2,083 3,332 1,703 3,740 1,498 3,595 1,404 3,779 1,448 3,704 5,742 21,493 15,550 9,233 5,520 23,040 14,283 9,660 5,874 25,527 15,423 9,547 1,195 3,681 6,573 22,428 14,893 9,336 EBahamas and Caymans 92 Total, all currencies........................ 23,771 31,733 45,203 307 1,266 4,815 2,636 2,180 11,147 21,747 26,140 32,949 59,913 57,677 60,753 63,508 61,758 67,398 67,392 19,370 18,237 21,218 20,640 21,144 21,446 21,617 41,815 39,515 93 94 95 To United States ......................... 96 97 98 99 100 To foreigners ............................... 101 Other liabilities........................... 451 778 1,106 1,131 1,059 1,125 1,053 1,099 1,154 1,412 102 Total payable in U.S. dollars......... 22,328 28,840 42,197 56,636 54,154 57,232 59,972 58,244 64,046 63,770 Parent bank............................. Other........................................ Other branches of parent bank, Other banks............................. Official institutions................. Nonbank foreigners................ 1,573 5,508 14,071 492 1,676 7,702 14,050 2,377 2,011 7,628 3,520 10,569 16,825 3,308 2,248 11,611 7,759 39,411 13,317 20,350 2,811 2,933 12,311 5,927 38,380 12,416 20,125 2,857 2,982 15,243 5,975 38,411 11,854 20,621 2,712 3,224 14,000 6,640 13,381 22,240 2,784 3,409 14,797 6,347 12,931 19,525 3,198 3,861 14,462 6,984 44,798 16,085 21,515 3,573 3,626 15,136 6,481 44,363 14,665 22,236 3,607 3,856 A 64 3.23 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 MARKETABLE U.S. TREASURY BONDS AND NOTES Foreign Holdings and Transactions Millions of dollars Country or area 1974 1975 1976 1976 Aug. Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan.* Feb.* Holdings, end of period 4 1 Estimated total... 5,708 7,703 12,153 13,467 14,487 15,063 15,798 16,307 17,813 2 Foreign countries. 5,557 7,372 10,746 11,671 11,954 12,337 12,765 13,014 13,746 885 1,085 1,733 9 2,024 9 2,064 2,293 2,330 14 764 2,300 2,504 288 191 261 485 323 4 14 764 287 191 271 476 293 4 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Europe .............................. Belgium-Luxembourg.. Germany....................... Netherlands................. Sweden......................... Switzerland................... United Kingdom......... Other Western Europe. Eastern Europe............ 10 9 6 251 30 493 81 5 13 215 16 276 55 363 143 4 324 283 275 171 383 284 4 518 282 240 268 396 307 4 13 535 283 242 267 403 317 4 14 746 288 192 291 433 325 4 14 789 367 188 324 529 289 4 12 Canada. 713 395 337 386 390 250 256 256 261 13 14 15 16 Latin America............................... Venezuela................................... Other Latin America republics. Netherlands Antilles 1.............. 100 4 3 83 200 4 29 161 271 4 38 222 178 4 26 138 160 4 32 113 302 149 28 115 312 149 35 118 314 149 31 125 293 149 31 121 17 18 Asia....... Japan. 3,709 3,498 5,370 3,271 7,883 2,952 8,552 3,052 8,808 3,093 8,950 2,587 9,323 2,687 9,637 2,682 10,330 2,806 19 Africa........ 20 All other. 151 * 321 * 521 * 531 * 531 * 543 * 543 * 506 * 356 * 151 331 1,406 1,796 2,533 2,726 3,033 3,294 4,068 97 53 322 9 1,388 18 1,768 28 2*504 28 2,655 71 2,905 128 3,180 114 3,948 119 21 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations..................................... 22 23 International.................... Latin American regional. Transactions, net purchases, or sales ( — during period ), 24 Total..................... -4 7 2 1,994 8,095 729 1,315 1,019 577 735 510 1,505 25 Foreign countries. -5 7 3 1,814 5,393 396 925 283 383 428 254 731 26 27 -6 4 2 69 1,612 202 5,116 276 316 80 964 -3 9 227 56 340 43 421 6 229 21 709 23 101 180 2,702 333 390 736 193 307 261 773 1,797 170 3,886 221 228 20 315 10 98 630 11 140 254 -3 7 505 150 Official institutions. Other foreign.......... 28 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations..................................... M emo: Oil-exporting countries 29 Middle East 2.......................... 30 Africa 3.................................... 1 Includes Surinam until January 1976. 2 Comprises Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). Data not available until 1975. 3 Comprises Algeria, Gabon, Libya, and Nigeria. Data not available until 1975. 3.24 4 Estimated official and private holdings of marketable U.S. Treasury securities with an original maturity of more than 1 year. Data are based on a benchmark survey of holdings as of Jan. 31, 1971, and monthly transactions reports. Excludes nonmarketable U.S. Treasury bonds and notes held by official institutions of foreign countries. F O R E IG N O F F IC IA L A SSET S H E L D A T F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B A N K S Millions of dollars, end of period Assets 1973 1974 1976 1975 Sept. Oct. 1977 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 1 Deposits.................................................................. 251 418 352 393 362 305 352 383 361 349 Assets held in custody: 2 U.S. Treasury securities1................................... 3 Earmarked gold2............................................... 52,070 17,068 55,600 16,838 60,019 16,745 64,215 16,590 64,942 63,962 16,457 66,532 16,414 66,992 16,343 68,653 16,304 71,435 16,271 1 Marketable U.S. Treasury bills, certificates of indebtedness, notes, and bonds; and nonmarketable U.S. Treasury securities payable in dollars and in foreign currencies. 2 The value of earmarked gold increased because of the changes in par value of the U.S. dollar in May 1972 and in October 1973. 16,505 N ote.—Excludes deposits and U.S. Treasury securities held for inter national and regional organizations. Earmarked gold is gold held for foreign and international accounts and is not included in the gold stock of the United States. In ve stm en t transactions A 65 3.25 FOREIGN TRANSACTIONS IN SECURITIES Millions of dollars Transactions, and area or country 1975 1976 1977 Jan.Feb.* 1976 Aug. Sept. 1977 Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.* Feb.* 1,562 1,287 1,425 1,137 1,162 1,035 U.S. corporate securities 1 2 Stocks Foreign purchases.............................................. Foreign sales...................................................... 15,347 10,678 18,227 15,474 2,587 2,172 1,062 971 1,124 1,116 1,226 1,321 977 1,025 3 Net purchases, or sales ( — ............................... ) 4,669 2,752 415 91 9 -9 5 -4 9 274 288 127 4 Foreign countries................................................ 4,651 2,740 415 87 7 -9 8 -5 0 281 290 125 5 6 7 8 9 10 Europe............................................................ France.......................................................... Germany..................................................... Netherlands................................................ Switzerland.................................................. United Kingdom........................................ 2,491 262 251 359 899 594 336 256 68 -199 -1 0 0 340 177 17 -6 19 62 75 -1 5 28 -1 3 -2 1 6 13 -6 0 23 -6 -2 6 -5 5 29 -251 -1 2 -1 6 -3 7 -9 5 -7 2 -118 -2 5 -1 3 -2 9 -4 4 -5 111 37 24 -3 5 -7 84 130 27 1 24 39 39 47 -1 0 -7 -5 23 36 11 12 13 14 15 16 Canada............................................................ Latin America................................................ Middle East1.................................................. Other Asia2.................................................... Africa.............................................................. Other countries.............................................. 361 -7 1,640 142 10 15 325 155 1,803 117 7 -4 38 18 150 29 1 3 35 -2 6 92 -2 -3 2 5 10 60 -4 -4 * 18 -1 7 126 28 -3 1 1 25 64 -2 3 1 * 60 1 115 9 2 -17 8 4 100 46 * 2 30 14 50 -1 7 1 1 17 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations............................................... 18 12 3 2 4 2 -6 -2 1 Bonds3 18 Foreign purchases.............................................. 19 Foreign sales...................................................... 5,408 4,642 5,529 4,322 411 237 361 375 625 386 355 364 533 524 400 322 534 214 -1 934 536 20 Net purchases, or sales ( —) ............................... 766 1,207 398 174 -1 4 239 -9 9 78 320 21 Foreign countries................................................ 1,795 1,248 402 173 -9 203 110 6 73 329 22 23 24 25 26 27 Europe............................................................ France.......................................................... Germany..................................................... Netherlands................................................ Switzerland................................................. United Kingdom........................................ 113 82 -6 -8 117 -5 2 92 49 -5 0 -2 9 158 23 289 -8 * * 47 233 29 4 -3 -3 16 23 -1 6 -1 * * -7 7 -1 0 -1 5 -5 -2 * 24 5 4 3 -3 15 53 7 1 -2 0 13 54 8 -5 -4 2 15 8 281 -3 4 -2 32 225 28 29 30 31 32 33 Canada............................................................ Latin America................................................ Middle East1.................................................. Other Asia?.................................................... Africa.............................................................. Other countries.............................................. 128 31 1,553 -3 5 5 1 96 94 1,179 -165 -2 5 -2 1 66 3 52 -7 * * 9 9 121 5 * * 18 5 18 -1 5 -1 9 * -1 29 156 3 -2 * 16 6 74 -8 -2 * 7 27 -2 1 -4 3 -1 4 -2 11 -5 59 1 * * 55 8 -7 -8 * * Nonmonetary international and regional organizations............................................... -1 ,0 3 0 -4 1 -5 -4 64 -119 3 4 -1 167 168 4 217 213 -1 8 181 199 -1 0 9 130 239 -4 0 0 -1 ,2 9 8 455 670 855 1,968 -3 0 818 848 -359 588 947 34 * -9 Foreign securities 35 Stocks, net purchases, or sales ( — ...................... ) 36 Foreign purchases.............................................. 37 Foreign sales...................................................... -3 2 2 1,937 2,259 -127 311 438 -1 1 123 134 -2 7 126 153 -1 132 133 38 Bonds, net purchases, or sales ( —)....................... -6 ,3 2 4 -8 ,5 4 7 39 Foreign purchases.............................................. 2,383 4,932 40 Foreign sales...................................................... 8,707 13,479 -389 1,406 1,795 -478 333 811 -4 2 7 363 790 -3 6 7 452 819 -189 1,541 1,730 -8 ,8 7 0 -518 -489 -4 5 4 -369 -4 0 2 -1 ,2 9 4 -4 9 -469 42 Foreign countries.................................................... -4 ,3 2 3 -6 ,9 7 2 43 Europe................................................................ -5 3 -836 44 Canada................................................................ -3 ,2 0 2 -5 ,1 2 9 45 Latin America.................................................... -3 0 6 1 46 Asia..................................................................... -6 2 2 -6 4 0 47 Africa.................................................................. 15 48 48 Other countries.................................................. -155 -416 -812 -213 -563 67 -1 1 4 -4 2 3 -6 0 -9 8 47 -3 1 7 1 3 -471 -145 -331 20 -1 6 * 2 -2 8 2 -3 7 -301 13 34 1 9 -2 7 0 -1 0 -2 6 -2 8 -1 0 * -1 9 7 -7 6 5 -1 4 0 -643 37 -2 4 2 3 -338 -2 1 -298 25 -5 3 -1 9 -4 7 4 -1 9 2 -265 42 -6 1 1 1 -8 7 -1 3 2 -529 290 5 41 Net purchases, or sales ( — of stocks and bonds. . -6 ,5 1 4 ) 49 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations................................................... -2 ,1 9 2 -1 ,8 9 8 1 Comprises oil-exporting countries as follows: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and United Arab Emirates (Trucial States). 2 Includes Middle East oil-exporting countries until 1975. 10 295 -6 6 17 3 Includes State and local government securities, and securities of U.S. Govt, agencies and corporations. Also includes issues of new debt securities sold abroad by U.S. corporations organized to finance direct investment abroad. A 66 3.26 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 S H O R T - T E R M L IA B IL IT IE S T O A N D C L A IM S O N F O R E IG N E R S in th e U n ite d S ta te s Millions of dollars; end of period 1974 1975 Dec. Type, and area or country Dec. 1976 Mar. June R e p o rte d b y N o n b a n k in g C o n c e rn s 1974 Sept.* 1975 Dec. Dec. Liabilities to foreigners 3 4 June Mar. Sept.* Claims on foreigners 5,927 6,010 6,326 6,301 6,335 11,266 12,172 12,733 13,889 13,220 Payable in dollars ............................................... 5,017 5,393 5,659 5,663 5,696 10,241 11,025 11,688 12,895 12,173 Payable in foreign currencies............................. 910 617 667 638 639 1,024 1,146 1,045 994 1,048 473 551 565 581 483 562 501 493 505 543 11,265 12,171 1 2 1976 By type: Deposits with banks abroad in reporter’s 5 By area or country: 6 Foreign countries.................................................... 7 Europe................................................................. 8 Belgium-Luxembourg.................................... 9 10 Denmark........................................................ 11 Finland............................................................ 12 France............................................................. Germany......................................................... 13 14 Greece............................................................. Italy................................................................. 15 16 Netherlands.................................................... 17 Portugal.......................................................... 18 19 20 Sweden............................................................ 21 22 23 24 Other Western Europe................................... 25 26 U.S.S.R........................................................... Other Eastern Europe................................... 27 5,769 3,016 20 524 24 16 202 313 39 124 117 9 19 56 41 138 8 1,256 40 5 48 16 5,734 2,338 14 299 9 14 149 149 19 172 114 20 4 81 29 130 25 996 76 8 20 11 6,108 2,342 6 296 12 10 205 152 25 124 162 22 3 68 25 159 14 928 91 6 23 10 6,056 2,284 13 233 12 7 159 228 29 115 170 22 3 51 24 213 20 845 108 7 10 !6 6,149 2,282 16 181 13 21 185 256 28 126 141 24 5 36 35 239 16 806 113 8 19 14 4,450 26 128 42 120 428 335 65 395 143 36 81 367 89 136 26 1,847 22 21 91 50 12,732 13,888 13,220 4,504 4,946 5,344 5,162 16 133 39 91 293 355 33 380 167 41 44 407 62 242 27 1,905 36 14 150 70 17 116 35 36 358 305 41 406 176 58 45 516 80 207 26 2,289 30 18 106 80 17 193 30 138 365 360 47 335 147 52 22 432 84 270 31 2,609 28 14 96 75 21 195 26 139 418 489 56 357 141 43 28 335 62 254 23 2,370 30 17 81 79 28 Canada ................................................................ 307 295 316 373 332 1,613 2,109 2,244 2,211 2,224 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Latin America .................................................... 929 914 1,177 1,073 1,007 2,336 2,369 2,564 3,055 48 883 475 27 47 1 331 86 37 4 156 171 7 292 43 1,150 462 46 57 1 332 103 39 4 186 185 10 437 2,814 1,749 2,024 2,326 2,634 65 2,418 164 110 39 143 54 1,130 263 96 22 549 35 100 66 60 158 42 1,161 105 106 20 640 2,729 7 129 33 11 146 26 275 83 28 23 1,263 17 138 62 37 92 44 1,230 201 97 24 384 2,493 8 124 28 10 133 28 290 62 18 11 1,038 532 22 437 25 374 414 22 351 22 391 422 36 9 79 33 267 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 Argentina........................................................ Brazil.............................................................. Chile............................................................... Colombia........................................................ Cuba............................................................... Panama........................................................... Peru................................................................. Uruguay.......................................................... Other Latin American republics................... Netherlands Antilles 1................................... Other Latin America..................................... China, People’s Republic of (Mainland)---China, Republic of (Taiwan)........................ Hong Kong.................................................... India............................................................... Indonesia........................................................ Israel............................................................... Japan.............................................................. K orea............................................................. 38 374 118 22 14 * 60 28 14 2 49 83 26 101 36 277 96 14 17 * 82 24 23 3 100 71 35 138 41 376 91 11 16 * 92 17 24 2 163 71 58 214 1,237 1,719 1,699 Thailand.......................................................... Other Asia...................................................... 17 92 19 7 60 50 348 75 25 10 536 56 57 58 59 60 61 Africa .................................................................. 193 395 508 Other Africa................................................... 3 14 43 18 115 37 8 100 6 245 30 7 113 7 351 62 63 64 Other countries................................................... 86 73 65 Australia......................................................... All other......................................................... 56 30 55 17 47 18 65 Nonmonetary international and regional organizations.................................................. 158 276 219 Egypt.............................................................. South Africa................................................... 6 97 17 7 137 29 295 69 14 18 1,031 1 Includes Surinam until 1976. N ote.—Reported by exporters, importers, and industrial and com- 5 110 23 9 137 23 307 53 18 18 995 42 330 90 15 19 * 72 14 26 3 184 95 54 130 41 251 53 16 11 * 74 11 28 3 222 100 68 129 67 594 468 106 54 1 308 132 44 5 193 199 20 147 42 65 24 281 15 7 101 24 227 43 67 246 186 32 88 12 377 32 12 50 18 58 667 409 36 49 1 362 92 41 4 178 160 12 301 23 215 104 51 166 53 1.169 127 114 19 691 39 924 417 26 66 1 352 84 35 22 215 180 9 445 11 136 83 53 196 48 1,008 143 93 22 625 10 93 28 261 10 78 28 213 28 12 86 30 235 165 141 133 157 116 49 102 39 97 36 101 56 180 113 67 * 1 1 1 1 mercial concerns and other nonbanking institutions in the United States. Data exclude claims held through U.S. banks and intercompany accounts between U.S. companies and their affiliates. N o n b a n k-rep o rted D a ta A 67 3.27 SHORT-TERM CLAIMS ON FOREIGNERS Reported by Large Nonbanking Concerns in the United States Millions of dollars, end of period 1977 1976 Type and country 1973 1974 1975 1 Total....................................................................... 3,164 3,357 3,791 Payable in dollars ............................................... 2,625 2,588 37 2,660 Deposits.......................................................... Short-term investments 1............................... Payable in foreign currencies............................. 540 697 429 268 510 246 1,118 765 589 306 386 1,350 967 390 398 252 2 3 4 By type: 5 6 7 Deposits.......................................................... Short-term investments 1............................... By country: 10 11 12 Bahamas............................................................. Japan................................................................... All other............................................................. 435 105 2,591 69 i Negotiable and other readily transferable foreign obligations payable on demand or having a contractural maturity of not more than 1 year from the date On which the obligation was incurred by the foreigner. 3.28 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan.P 5,185 5,142 4,750 4,869 5,133 5,402 5,358 3,035 4,552 4,284 4,774 4,742 4,192 360 4,538 4,075 2,703 332 4,119 419 3,705 370 3,893 391 4,210 387 4,401 373 4,375 367 756 634 604 675 586 535 628 616 1,304 1,153 546 343 445 2,068 1,415 918 139 645 2,082 1,397 823 137 703 1,712 1,356 810 146 726 1,641 1,400 1,059 116 653 1,691 1,563 1,059 135 685 1,891 1,551 1,228 128 676 1,762 1,290 1.312 127 867 431 203 377 227 1974 1975 Dec. Dec* 344 242 308 227 328 300 308 308 N ote.—Data represent the assets abroad of large nonbanking concerns in the United States. They are a portion of the total claims on foreigners reported by nonbanking concerns in the United States and are included in the figures shown in Table 3.26. L O N G -T E R M L IA B IL IT IE S T O A N D C L A IM S O N F O R E IG N E R S in th e U n ite d S ta te s Millions of dollars, end of period Area and country 447 228 4,597 R e p o rte d b y N o n b a n k in g C o n c e rn s 1976 Mar. Junep 1974 Sept p 1975 Dec. Dec. Liabilities to foreigners 1976 Mar. JuneP Sept.* Claims on foreigners 1 Total....................................................................... 3,889 4,277 4,092 3,960 3,705 4,544 4,959 5,152 5,008 4,958 2 Europe.................................................................... 3 Germany............................................................ 4 Netherlands....................................................... 5 Switzerland......................................................... 3,033 474 218 572 1,256 3,280 506 202 505 1,629 3,128 446 214 466 1,601 3,007 425 214 448 1,520 2,790 406 270 308 1,441 1,007 23 280 44 364 1,002 41 217 55 396 949 38 219 52 349 959 39 211 52 365 925 77 211 50 290 7 Canada................................................................... 110 164 153 175 121 1,290 1,426 1,473 1,516 1,510 8 Latin America........................................................ 9 Bahamas............................................................. 269 210 4 1 3 248 184 5 1 6 222 157 5 1 6 230 132 5 1 7 1,384 19 187 435 153 1,633 8 171 315 216 1,770 7 182 312 209 1,602 37 164 306 187 1,547 37 171 244 219 496 397 496 394 489 388 498 402 681 112 669 90 685 91 709 85 736 80 11 12 Chile................................................................... Mexico................................................................ 216 177 3 1 3 14 Japan.................................................................. 460 367 15 Africa..................................................................... 6 2 2 2 2 127 168 214 163 181 16 All other 1.............................................................. 65 66 65 64 64 54 60 62 59 58 1 Includes nonmonetary international and regional organizations. A 68 3.29 International Statistics □ A pril 1977 D IS C O U N T R A T E S O F F O R E IG N C E N T R A L B A N K S Per cent per annum Rate on Mar. 31, 1977 Country Month effective Per cent Argentina........................ Austria............................. Belgium........................... Brazil............................... Canada............................ Denmark......................... Rate on Mar. 31, 1977 Country Feb. June Feb. May Feb. Mar. 18.0 4.0 7.0 28.0 8.0 9.0 1972 1976 1977 1976 1977 1977 Per cent Netherlands.................. N ote.—Rates shown are mainly those at which the central bank either discounts or makes advances against eligible commercial paper and/or government securities for commercial banks or brokers. For countries with 3.30 10.5 3.5 15.0 6.0 4.5 5.0 Germany, Fed. Rep. of. Rate on Mar. 31, 1977 Country Month effective Sept. Sept. Oct. Mar. June Jan. 1976 1975 1976 1977 1942 1977 Per cent 6.0 8.0 2.0 9.5 5.0 United Kingdom.......... 1976 1976 1976 1977 1970 more than one rate applicable to such discounts or advances, the rate shown is the one at which it is understood the central bank transacts the largest proportion of its credit operations. | 1974 1976 1976 1975 1977 Oct. 1 Euro-dollars.......................................................... 2 United Kingdom.................................................. 3 Canada.................................................................. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 11.01 13.34 10.47 7.02 10.63 8.00 5.58 11.35 9.39 5.46 14.57 9.34 5.29 14.75 9.08 5.01 14.27 8.51 5.14 13.53 8.24 5.08 11.56 7.78 5.13 10.31 7.63 9.80 4.87 3.01 5. 17 7.91 4.19 1.45 7.02 8.65 4.76 1.80 10.23 10.39 4.61 2.12 8.22 10.41 4.82 1.98 6.51 10.55 4.70 1.24 6.18 10.02 4.64 1.68 6.04 9.81 4.70 2.88 5.73 9.87 10.37 6.63 11.64 16.32 10.25 7.70 18.61 13.94 7.50 17.76 12.48 8.00 17.13 10.73 8.00 15.68 8.49 7.50 15.86 7.59 7.50 16.57 7.07 7.20 Germany............................................................... Switzerland............................................................ Netherlands........................................................... France................................................................... 8 Italy....................................................................... 9 Belgium................................................................. 10 Japan..................................................................... N ote.—Rates are for 3-month interbank loans except for—Canada, finance company paper; Belgium, time deposits of 20 million francs and 3.31 Sept. Oct. June Mar. Oct. F O R E I G N S H O R T - T E R M IN T E R E S T R A T E S Per cent per annum; averages of daily figures Country, or type 4 5 6 7 Month effective over; and Japan, loans and discounts that can be called after being held over a minimum of two month-ends. F O R E IG N E X C H A N G E R A T E S Cents per unit of foreign currency Country/currency 1974 1975 1976 1976 1977 Oct. 1 2 3 4 5 Australia/dollar.................. Austria/shilling................... Belgium/franc..................... Canada/dollar..................... Denmark/krone................. 143.89 5.3564 2.5713 102.26 16.442 6 7 8 9 10 Finland/markka................. France/franc....................... Germany/deutsche m ark... India/rupee......................... Ireland/pound..................... 26.565 11 12 13 14 15 Italy/lira.............................. Japan/yen........................... Malaysia/ringgit................. Mexico/peso....................... Netherlands/guilder............ 16 17 18 19 20 New Zealand/dollar........... Norway/krone.................... Portugal/escudo................. South Africa/rand.............. Spain/peseta....................... 21 22 23 24 Sri Lanka/rupee................. 14.978 Sweden/krona..................... 22.563 Switzerland/franc............... 33.688 United Kingdom/pound.. . 234.03 M emo: 25 United States/dollar 1........ 20.805 38.723 12.460 234.03 .15372 .34302 41.682 8.0000 37.267 140.02 18.119 3.9506 146.98 1.7337 84. 11 Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. 130.77 5.7467 2.7253 98.30 17.437 122.15 5.5744 2.5921 101.41 16.546 123.40 5.7960 2.6822 102.81 16.968 120.66 5.8332 2.7047 101.46 16.934 105.29 5.9061 2.7483 98.204 17.145 108.53 5.8852 2.7249 98.985 16.967 109.04 5.8453 2.7114 97.295 16.891 109.94 5.8822 2.7258 95.125 17.038 27.285 23.354 40.729 11.926 222.16 25.938 20.942 39.737 11.148 180.48 25.938 20.072 41.165 11.243 163.77 26.073 20.042 41.443 11.155 163.81 26.315 20.055 41.965 11.296 167.84 26.313 20.108 41.792 11.231 171.24 26.169 20.083 41.582 11.285 171.03 26.296 20.075 41.812 11.313 171.74 .15328 .33705 41.753 8.0000 39.632 .11684 .34344 39.575 4.8535 39.265 .12044 .33741 39.340 6.9161 37.846 .11554 .33879 39.513 4.0200 39.678 .11521 .33933 39.550 4.8626 40.240 .11372 .34359 39.718 4.8114 39.953 .11327 .35087 40.011 4.4084 39.813 .11276 .35687 40.152 4.3978 40.079 121.16 19.180 3.9286 136.47 1.7424 99.115 18.327 3.3159 114.85 1.4958 98.484 18.812 3.1920 114.85 1.4675 95.392 18.954 3.1742 114.88 1.4626 92.179 19.193 3.1674 114.95 1.4634 94.839 18.946 3.1276 114.94 1.4577 95.192 18.904 3.0717 115.00 1.4475 95.689 19.035 2.5778 115.00 1.4530 14.385 24.141 38.743 222.16 11.908 22.957 40.013 180.48 11.453 23.511 40.876 163.77 11.479 23.699 40.958 163.81 11.246 24.051 40.823 167.84 11.421 23.734 40.127 171.24 11.442 23.543 39.669 171.03 12.820 23.726 39.209 171.74 82.20 89.68 90.88 91.06 90.55 90.35 90.55 90.45 1 Index of weighted-average exchange value of U.S. dollar against currencies of other G-10 countries plus Switzerland. May 1970 parities = 100. Weights are 1972 global trade of each of the 10 countries. Nov. N ote.—Averages of certified noon buying rates in New York for cable transfers. A 69 G u id e to T a b u la r P re s e n ta tio n an d S ta tis tic a l R eleases G U ID E T O T A B U L A R P R E S E N T A T IO N S ym bols p r rp e c n .e .c . R p ’s I P C ’s G and A b b r e v ia t io n s P re lim in a ry R e v is e d R e v is e d p re lim in a ry E s tim a te d C o rre c te d N o t e ls e w h e re classified R e p u rc h a s e a g re e m e n ts In d iv id u a ls , p a r tn e rs h ip s , an d c o rp o ra tio n s eneral In fo rm S M S A ’s R E I T ’s * S ta n d a rd m e tro p o lita n s ta tis tic a l a re a s R e a l e s ta te in v e s tm e n t tru sts A m o u n ts in sig n ific a n t in te rm s o f th e p a r tic u la r u n it ( e .g ., le s s th a n 5 0 0 ,0 0 0 w h e n th e u n it is m illio n s ) (1) Z e ro , (2 ) n o fig u re to b e e x p e c te d , o r (3) fig u re d e la y e d o r, (4) n o c h a n g e (w h e n fig u res are e x p e c te d in p e rc e n ta g e s ). a t io n M in u s sig n s are u se d to in d ic a te (1) a d e c re a s e , (2) a n e g a tiv e fig u re , o r (3) a n o u tflo w . “ U .S . G o v t, s e c u ritie s ” m a y in c lu d e g u a ra n te e d iss u e s o f U .S . G o v t, a g e n c ie s (th e flow o f fu n d s fig u res a ls o in c lu d e n o t fu lly g u a ra n te e d iss u e s) as w ell as d ire c t o b lig a tio n s o f th e T re a s u ry . “ S ta te a n d lo c a l g o v t .” also in c lu d e s m u n ic ip a litie s , sp e c ia l d is tr ic ts , a n d o th e r p o litic a l s u b d iv is io n s. In s o m e o f th e ta b le s d e ta ils d o n o t a d d to to ta ls b e c a u s e o f ro u n d in g . S T A T IS T IC A L R E L E A S E S L is t P u b l is h e d S e m ia n n u a l l y , w it h L a test B u l l e t in R eferen ce Issue A n tic ip a te d sc h e d u le o f re le a se d a te s fo r in d iv id u a l re le a se s ............................... P age D e c . 1976 A -8 2 A 70 B o a rd o f G o v e rn o rs o f th e F ed eral R eserve System A r t h u r F . B u r n s , C h a ir m a n H enry C. W S t e p h e n S . G a r d n e r , V ic e C h a ir m a n P h il ip E . C o l d w a l l ic h P h il ip C . J a c k s o n , J r . O F F IC E O F S T A F F D IR E C T O R F O R M A N A G E M E N T D J. C h a rles P a r tee O F F IC E O F B O A R D M E M B E R S a v id ell M . L il l y O F F IC E O F S T A F F D IR E C T O R F O R M O N E T A R Y P O L IC Y T h o m a s J . O ’C o n n e l l , C o u n s e l t o t h e J o h n M . D e n k l e r , S ta ff D ir e c to r R o b e r t J. L a w r e n c e , D e p u ty S ta ff C h a ir m a n D ir e c to r G o rd o n B . G r im w o o d , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r an d P rogram D ir e c to r f o r C o n tin g e n c y P la n n in g W illia m C h a ir m a n M i l t o n W . H u d s o n , A s s i s t a n t to th e W . L a y t o n , D ir e c to r o f E q u a l E m p lo y m e n t O p p o r tu n ity J o s e p h R . C o y n e , A s s is ta n t to th e B o a r d K e n n e t h A . G u e n t h e r , A s s i s t a n t to th e B o a r d J a y P a u l B r e n n e m a n , S p e c ia l A s s i s t a n t to th e B o a rd B o a rd B o a rd L E G A L D IV IS IO N J o h n D . H a w k e , J r ., G en era l C ou n sel B a ld w in B . T u t t l e , D e p u ty G e n e r a l C ou n sel R o b e r t E . M a n n io n , A s s is ta n t G e n e ra l W illia m H . W a l l a c e , D ir e c to r A l b e r t R . H a m i l t o n , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r C l y d e H . F a r n s w o r t h , J r . , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r J o h n F . H o o v e r , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r P . D . R in g , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r th e B o a r d F r a n k O ’B r i e n , J r . , S p e c i a l A s s i s t a n t t o t h e J o s e p h S . S im s , S p e c i a l A s s i s t a n t t o t h e B o a r d D o n a l d J . W i n n , S p e c i a l A s s i s t a n t to th e D IV IS IO N O F F E D E R A L R E S E R V E B A N K E X A M IN A T IO N S A N D B U D G E T S S t e p h e n H . A x i l r o d , S ta ff D ir e c to r A r t h u r L . B r o i d a , D e p u ty S ta ff D ir e c to r M u r r a y A l t m a n n , A s s i s t a n t to th e B o a r d P e t e r M . K e i r , A s s i s t a n t to th e B o a r d S t a n l e y J . S i g e l , A s s i s t a n t to th e B o a r d N o r m a n d R . V . B e r n a r d , S p e c i a l A s s i s t a n t to C ou n sel A l l e n L. R a ik e n , A s s is ta n t G e n e ra l C o u n se l G a r y M . W e ls h , A s s is ta n t G e n e ra l C o u n se l C h a r l e s R . M c N e i l l , A s s i s t a n t t o th e G en era l C o u n sel D IV IS IO N O F R E S E A R C H A N D S T A T IS T IC S Ja m e s L . K ic h lin e , D ir e c to r J o s e p h S . Z e is e l, D e p u ty D ir e c to r E d w a r d C . E t t i n , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r J o h n H . K a l c h b r e n n e r , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r J a m e s B . E c k e r t , S e n io r R e s e a r c h D iv is io n O ffic e r E l e a n o r J. S t o c k w e l l , S e n io r R e s e a r c h D iv is io n O ffic e r J a m e s R . W e t z e l , S e n io r R e s e a r c h D iv is io n O ffic e r R o b e r t A . E is e n b e is , A s s o c ia te R e s e a r c h D iv is io n O ffic e r tJ o H N J . M i n g o , A s s o c ia te R e s e a r c h D iv is io n O ffic e r J. C o r t l a n d G . P e r e t , A s s o c ia te R e se a rc h D iv is io n O ffic e r DIVISION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BA N K OPERATIONS Ja m e s R . K u d lin s k i, D ir e c to r W a l t e r A . A l t h a u s e n , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r B r i a n M . C a r e y , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r H a r r y A . G u i n t e r , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r D IV IS IO N O F C O N S U M E R A F F A IR S H e l m u t F . W e n d e l, A s s o c ia te R e se a rc h J a n e t O . H a r t , D ir e c to r N a t h a n i e l E . B u t l e r , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r J e r a u l d C . K lu c k m a n , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r Ja m e s M . B r u n d y , A s s is ta n t R e se a rc h D iv is io n O ffic e r O ffic e r R o b e r t M . F is h e r , A s s is ta n t R e se a rc h O F F IC E O F T H E S E C R E T A R Y D IV IS IO N O F D A T A P R O C E S S IN G C B U G R h a r l e s L . H a m p to n , D ir e c to r r u c e M . B e a r d s l e y , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r y le s s D . B l a c k , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r l e n n L . C u m m in s , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r o b e r t J. Z e m e l, A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r D IV IS IO N O F P E R S O N N E L D a v id L . S h a n n o n , D ir e c to r C h a r l e s W . W o o d , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r O F F IC E O F T H E C O N T R O L L E R J o h n K a k a l e c , C o n tr o lle r T y l e r E . W i l l i a m s , J r . , A s s is ta n t C o n tr o lle r D iv is io n O ffic e r J a r e d J. E n z l e r , A s s is ta n t R e s e a r c h D iv is io n D iv is io n O ffic e r R ic h a r d H . P u c k e t t , A s s is ta n t R e se a rc h T h e o e m d re E . A l l i s o n , S e c r e ta r y G r i f f i t h L . G a r w o o d , D e p u ty S e c r e ta r y * R u t h A . R e is t e r , A s s is ta n t S e c r e ta r y D iv is io n O ffic e r S te p h e n P . T a y l o r , A s s is ta n t R e se a rc h D iv is io n O ffic e r L e v o n H . G a r a b e d i a n , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r D IV IS IO N O F B A N K IN G S U P E R V IS IO N A N D R E G U L A T IO N J o h n E . R y a n , A c tin g D ir e c to r W illia m W . W ile s , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r P e t e r E . B a r n a , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r F r e d e r ic k R . D a h l , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r J a c k M . E g e r t s o n , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r J o h n T . M c C l i n t o c k , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r T h o m a s E . M e a d , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r R o b e r t S. P l o t k i n , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r T h o m a s A . S id m a n , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r D IV IS IO N O F IN T E R N A T IO N A L F IN A N C E J o h n E . R e y n o ld s , A c tin g D ir e c to r E d w in M . T r u m a n , A s s o c ia te D ir e c to r R o b e r t F . G e m m ill, S e n io r I n te r n a tio n a l D iv is io n O ffic e r G e o r g e B . H e n r y , S e n io r I n te r n a tio n a l D iv is io n O ffic e r R e e d J. I r v i n e , S e n io r I n te r n a tio n a l D iv is io n O ffic e r S a m u e l P i z e r , S e n io r I n te r n a tio n a l D iv is io n O ffic e r D IV IS IO N O F A D M IN IS T R A T IV E S E R V IC E S C h a r l e s J. S ie g m a n , S e n io r I n te r n a tio n a l D iv is io n O ffic e r W a l t e r W . K r e im a n n , D ir e c to r D o n a l d E . A n d e r s o n , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r J o h n D . S m ith , A s s is ta n t D ir e c to r *O n loan from the Federal Reserve Bank of M inneapolis. tO n leave of absence. A 72 F ed eral O p en M a rk e t C o m m itte e A rth u r F. B u rn s, Ph E. C il ip R G oger P u ffey a v id R ardner h il ip D oldw ell Steph en S. G P a u l A . V o lc k e r, C h a ir m a n obert V ic e C h a ir m a n C . Jackson, Jr . J. C M. L L aw rence H enry il l y P. M Frank E. M ayo harles P a rtee K. R C. W oos a l l ic h o r r is A r t h u r L . B r o i d a , S e c r e ta r y A n a t o l B a l b a c h , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t M u r r a y A l t m a n n , D e p u ty S e c r e ta r y R i c h a r d G . D a v is , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t N o r m a n d R . V . B e r n a r d , A s s is ta n t T h o m a s D a v is , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t R o b e r t E is e n m e n g e r , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t S e c r e ta r y T h o m a s J . O ’C o n n e l l , G e n e r a l C o u n s e l E d w a r d C . E t t i n , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t E d w a r d G . G u y , D e p u ty G e n e ra l C o u n se l J a m e s L . K i c h l i n e , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t B a ld w in B . T u t t l e , A s s is ta n t G e n e ra l J o h n E . R e y n o ld s , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t K a r l S c h e l d , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t C ou n sel S t e p h e n H . A x i l r o d , E c o n o m is t E d w in M . T r u m a n , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t J o s e p h S . Z e i s e l , A s s o c ia te E c o n o m is t A l a n R . H o lm e s , M a n a g e r , S y s te m O p e n M a r k e t A c c o u n t P e t e r D . S t e r n l i g h t , D e p u ty M a n a g e r f o r D o m e s tic O p e r a tio n s S c o t t E . P a r d e e , D e p u ty M a n a g e r f o r F o r e ig n O p e r a tio n s Federal A d v is o ry C o u n c il R i c h a r d D . H i l l , f i r s t f e d e r a l r e s e r v e d i s t r i c t , P r e s id e n t G ilb e r t F. B ra d le y , t w e lf th W alter B. W reserve r is t o n , seco n d fed era l fe d e ra l re se rv e d is tric t, E dw ard B reserve d is t r ic t R oger S. H il l a s , t h ir d federal M . B rock W e ir , fourth fed era l r e s e r v e d is t r ic t John H . L u m p k in , f if t h fed era l m e r , s ix t h federal seventh e ig h t h federal federal aughan , n in t h fed era l d is t r ic t , tenth fed era l d is t r ic t B en F. L o v e , eleventh d is t r ic t H e r b e r t V . P r o c h n o w , S e c r e ta r y W illia m , d is t r ic t cL ea n reserve V ic e P r e s id e n t it h d is t r ic t R ic h a r d H . V J. W . M Sm E . L a sa ter, reserve r e s e r v e d is t r ic t onald reserve r e s e r v e d is t r ic t Frank A. Plum D reserve r e s e r v e d is t r ic t yron J. K o r s v ik , A s s o c ia te S e c r e ta r y fed era l A 73 F ed eral R eserve B anks, B ranches, and O ffices FED ERAL RESERVE BAN K, branch, o r fa c ility Zip BO STO N * .................. Chairman Deputy Chairm an President First V ice President 02106 Louis W. Cabot Robert M. Solow Frank E. M orris James A. M cIntosh NEW Y O R K * ............. 10045 Frank R. M illiken Robert H. Knight Paul A. Miller Vice President in charge of branch Paul A. Volcker Thomas M. Tim len Buffalo ..................... 14240 John T. Keane PH ILA DELPHIA 19105 John W . Eckm an W erner C. Brown David P. Eastburn Vacant CLEV ELA N D * 44101 Horace A. Shepard Robert E. Kirby Lawrence H. Rogers, II G. Jackson Tankersley W illis J. W inn W alter H. M acDonald E. Angus Powell E. Craig W all, Sr. James G. Harlow Robert C. Edwards Robert P. Black George C. Rankin Cincinnati ................ 45201 Pittsburgh ................ 15230 RICHM OND* .............. 23261 Baltim ore ....................21203 Charlotte ....................28230 Robert E. Showalter Robert D. Duggan Jim m ie R. M onhollon Stuart P. Fishburne C u lp ep er C om m unications an d R ec o rd s C e n te r.. 22 7 0 1 ATLANTA .................. 30303 Birm ingham ............. Jacksonville ............ M iami ....................... Nashville .................. New Orleans ........... C H ICA G O * 35202 32203 33152 37203 70161 ................ 60690 Detroit ....................... 48231 ST. LOUIS .................. 63166 Little Rock .............. 72203 Louisville ................ 40201 M em phis .................. 38101 M INNEAPOLIS 55480 Helena ....................... 59601 KANSAS CITY 64198 Denver ..................... 80217 Oklahom a City ....... 73125 O m aha ..................... 68102 DALLAS ..................... 75222 El Paso ..................... 79999 Houston .................... 77001 San Antonio ............ 78295 SAN FRA NCISCO ... .94120 Los Angeles ............. Portland .................... Salt Lake City ....... Seattle ....................... 90051 97208 84110 98124 Albert D. Tinkelenberg H. G. Pattillo Clifford M. Kirtland, Jr. W illiam H. M artin, III Gert H. W. Schmidt David G. Robinson John C. Bolinger George C. Cortright, Jr. M onroe Kimbrel Kyle K. Fossum Peter B. Clark Robert H. Strotz Jordan B. Tatter Robert P. Mayo Daniel M. Doyle Edward J. Schnuck W illiam B. W alton Ronald W . Bailey Jam es C. Hendershot Frank A. Jones, Jr. Lawrence K. Roos Eugene A. Leonard Jam es P. M cFarland Stephen F. Keating Patricia P. Douglas M ark H. W illes Clem ent A. Van Nice Harold W. Andersen Joseph H. W illiams A. L. Feldman James G. Harlow, Jr. Durward B. Varner Roger Guffey Henry R. Czerwinski Irving A. Mathews Charles T. Beaird Gage Holland Alvin I. Thomas Marshall Boykin, III Ernest T. Baughman Robert H. Boykin Joseph F. Alibrandi Cornell C. Maier Joseph R. Vaughan L oran L. Stewart Sam Bennion Lloyd E. Cooney John J. Balles John B. W illiam s Hiram J. Honea Edward C. Rainey W. M. Davis Jeffrey J. W ells George C. G uynn W illiam C. Conrad John F. Breen D onald L. Henry L. Terry Britt John D. Johnson W ayne W . M artin W illiam G. Evans Robert D. H am ilton Fredric W. Reed J. Z. Rowe Carl H. M oore Richard C. Dunn Angelo S. Carella A. Grant H olm an Jam es J. Curran * A dditional offices of these Banks are located at L ew iston , M aine 04240; W indsor L ock s, C onnecticut 06096; Cranford, N ew Jersey 070 1 6 ; Jericho, N ew York 11753; C olum bus, O hio 43216; C olum bia, South Carolina 29210; D es M oines, Iow a 50306 ; Indianapolis, Indiana 462 0 4 ; and M ilw aukee, W iscon sin 53202. A 74 Federal R eserve B o ard P u b licatio n s A v a i l a b l e f r o m P u b lic a tio n s S e r v i c e s , D iv is i o n o f A d r e q u e s t a n d b e m a d e p a y a b l e to th e o r d e r o f th e B o a r d m in is tr a tiv e S e r v ic e s , B o a r d o f G o v e r n o r s o f th e F e d o f G o v e r n o r s o f th e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e S y s te m in a f o r m e r a l R e s e r v e S y s t e m , W a s h in g to n , D .C . 2 0 5 5 1 . W h e r e c o lle c ti b le a ch arge The is in d i c a t e d , r e m itta n c e s h o u ld a c c o m p a n y F ed e r a l R eser v e S ystem — P u rpo ses F u n c t i o n s . 1974. 125 p p . and A n n u a l R eport F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B u l l e t i n . M o n th ly . $ 2 0 .0 0 p er y e a r o r $ 2 .0 0 e a c h in th e U n ite d S ta te s , its p o s s e s s io n s , C a n a d a , a n d M e x ic o ; 10 o r m o re o f sa m e issu e to o n e a d d re s s , $ 1 8 .0 0 p e r y e a r o r $ 1 .7 5 e a c h . E ls e w h e r e , $ 2 4 .0 0 p e r y e a r o r $ 2 .5 0 e a c h . B a n k in g a n d M o n e t a r y S t a t is t ic s , 1 9 1 4 -1 9 4 1 . (R e p rin t o f P a rt 1 o n ly ) 1976. 6 8 2 p p . $ 5 .0 0 . B a n k in g a n d M o n e t a r y S t a t is t ic s , 1 9 4 1 -1 9 7 0 . 1976. 1 ,1 6 8 p p . $ 1 5 .0 0 . A n n u a l S t a t i s t i c a l D i g e s t , 1 9 7 0 -7 5 . 1976. 3 3 9 p p . $ 4 .0 0 p e r c o p y fo r e a c h p a id su b s c rip tio n to F e d eral R e s e rv e B u lle tin . A ll o th e rs , $ 5 .0 0 e a c h . F e d e r a l R e s e r v e M o n t h l y C h a r t B o o k . S u b s c r ip tio n in c lu d e s o n e iss u e o f H isto ric a l C h a rt B o o k . $ 1 2 .0 0 p e r y e a r o r $ 1 .2 5 e a c h in th e U n ite d S ta te s, its p o s s e s s io n s , C a n a d a , an d M e x ic o ; 10 o r m o re o f sa m e issu e to o n e a d d re s s , $ 1 .0 0 e a c h . E ls e w h e re , $ 1 5 .0 0 p e r y e a r o r $ 1 .5 0 e a c h . H i s t o r i c a l C h a r t B o o k . Iss u e d a n n u a lly in S ep t. S u b sc rip tio n to M o n th ly C h a rt B o o k in c lu d e s o n e iss u e . $ 1 .2 5 e a c h in th e U n ite d S ta te s , its p o s s e s s io n s , C a n a d a , a n d M e x ic o ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ 1 .0 0 e a c h . E ls e w h e re , $ 1 .5 0 e a c h . C a p i t a l M a r k e t D e v e l o p m e n t s . W e e k ly . $ 1 5 .0 0 p e r y e a r o r $ .4 0 e a c h in th e U n ite d S ta te s, its p o s s e s sio n s , C a n a d a , a n d M e x ic o ; 10 o r m o re o f sa m e issu e to o n e a d d re s s , $ 1 3 .5 0 p e r y e a r o r $ .3 5 e a c h . E ls e w h e re , $ 2 0 .0 0 p e r y e a r o r $ .5 0 e a c h . S e le c te d I n t e r e s t a n d E x c h a n g e R a te s — W e e k ly S e r i e s o f C h a r t s . W e e k ly . $ 1 5 .0 0 p e r y e a r or $ .4 0 e a c h in th e U n ite d S ta te s, its p o s s e s s io n s , C a n a d a , a n d M e x ic o ; 10 o r m o re o f sa m e issu e to o n e a d d re s s , $ 1 3 .5 0 p e r y ear o r $ .3 5 e a c h . E ls e w h e re , $ 2 0 .0 0 p e r y e a r o r $ .5 0 e a c h . T h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e A c t , as a m e n d e d th ro u g h D e c e m b e r 1 9 7 1 , w ith an a p p e n d ix c o n ta in in g p r o v i sio n s o f c e rta in o th e r sta tu te s a ffe c tin g th e F e d e ra l R e se rv e S y ste m . 2 5 2 p p . $ 1 .2 5 . R e g u l a t io n s o f t h e B o a r d o f G o v e r n o r s o f t h e F e d e r a l R e s er v e S y stem P u b l is h e d I n t e r p r e t a t io n s o f t h e B o a r d o f G o v e r n o r s , as o f J u n e 3 0 , 1976. $ 7 .5 0 . T r a d in g in F e d e r a l F u n d s . 1965. 116 p p . $ 1 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ .8 5 e a c h . I n d u s t r ia l P r o d u c t io n — 1971 E d i t i o n . 1972. 383 p p . $ 4 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ 3 .5 0 each. at par in U .S . cu rren cy. ( S ta m p s and c o u p o n s a r e n o t a c c e p t e d .) T h e P e r f o r m a n c e o f B a n k H o l d in g C o m p a n ie s . 1967. 2 9 p p . $ .2 5 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re ss , $ .2 0 e a c h . B a n k C r e d it -C a r d a n d C h e c k -C r e d it P l a n s . 1968. 102 p p . $ 1 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re ss , $ .8 5 e a c h . S u r v e y o f F i n a n c ia l C h a r a c t e r is t ic s o f C o n s u m e r s . 1966. 166 p p . $ 1 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ .8 5 e a c h . S u r v e y o f C h a n g e s in F a m il y F i n a n c e s . 1968. 321 p p . $ 1 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ .8 5 each. R e p o r t o f t h e J o in t T r e a s u r y -F e d e r a l R e s e r v e S t u d y o f t h e U .S . G o v e r n m e n t S e c u r it ie s M a r k e t . 1969. 4 8 p p . $ .2 5 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ .2 0 e a c h . J o in t T r e a s u r y - F e d e r a l R e s e r v e S t u d y o f t h e G o v e r n m e n t S e c u r it ie s M a r k e t : S t a f f S t u d ie s — P a r t 1. 1970. 86 p p . $ .5 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ .4 0 e a c h . P a r t 2. 1971. 153 p p . a n d P a r t 3. 1973. 131 p p . E a c h v o lu m e $ 1 .0 0 ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ .8 5 e a c h . O p e n M a r k e t P o l ic ie s a n d O p e r a t in g P r o c e d u r e s — S t a f f S t u d i e s . 1971. 2 1 8 p p . $ 2 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d r e s s , $ 1 .7 5 e a c h . R e a p p r a is a l o f t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e D is c o u n t M e c h a n is m . V o l. 1. 1971. 2 7 6 p p . V o l. 2 . 1971. 173 p p . V o l. 3 . 1972. 2 2 0 p p . E a c h v o lu m e $ 3 .0 0 ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ 2 .5 0 e a c h . T h e E c o n o m e t r ic s o f P r ic e D e t e r m in a t io n C o n f e r e n c e , O c to b e r 3 0 -3 1 , 1 9 7 0 , W a s h in g to n , D .C . 1972. 397 p p . C lo th e d . $ 5 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 or m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ 4 .5 0 e a c h . P a p e r e d . $ 4 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ 3 .6 0 e a c h . F e d e r a l R eser v e S t a f f S t u d y : W ays to M o d er a te F l u c t u a t io n s in H o u s in g C o n s t r u c t io n . 1972. 4 8 7 p p . $ 4 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 or m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ 3 .6 0 e a c h . L e n d in g F u n c t io n s o f t h e F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B a n k s . 1973. 271 p p . $ 3 .5 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ 3 .0 0 e a c h . I n t r o d u c t io n t o F l o w o f F u n d s . 1975. 6 4 p p . $ .5 0 e a c h ; 10 o r m o re to o n e a d d re ss , $ .4 0 e a c h . I m p r o v in g t h e M o n e t a r y A g g r e g a t e s (R e p o rt o f th e A d v is o ry C o m m itte e o n M o n e ta ry S ta tistic s ). 1976. 43 p p . $ 1 .0 0 e a c h ; 10 or m o re to o n e a d d re s s , $ .8 5 e a c h . A n n u a l P e r c e n t a g e R a t e T a b l e s (T ru th in L e n d in g — R e g u la tio n Z ) V o l. I (R e g u la r T ra n s a c tio n s ). 1969. 100 p p . V o l. I I (Irre g u la r T ra n s a c tio n s ). 1969. 116 p p . E a c h v o lu m e $ 1 .0 0 . 10 or m o re o f sa m e v o lu m e to o n e a d d re s s , $ .8 5 e a c h . F ed e ra l R e s e r v e B o a r d P u b lic a tio n s C O N S U M E R E D U C A T IO N P A M P H L E T S ( S h o r t p a m p h l e ts s u ita b le f o r c la s s r o o m u s e . M u ltip le c o p ie s a v a ila b le w ith o u t c h a r g e .) F a ir C r e d it B il l in g If Y o u B orro w T o B u y Sto ck U .S . C u r r e n c y W h a t T r u t h in L e n d in g M e a n s to Y ou S T A F F E C O N O M IC S T U D IE S S tu d ie s a n d p a p e r s o n e c o n o m ic a n d f in a n c ia l s u b je c ts th a t a r e o f g e n e r a l in t e r e s t in th e f ie ld o f e c o n o m ic resea rch . S u m m a r ie s O n l y P r in t e d in t h e B u l l e t in ( L im ite d s u p p ly o f m im e o g r a p h e d c o p ie s o f fu ll te x t a v a ila b le u p o n r e q u e s t f o r s in g le c o p i e s . ) T h e G r o w t h o f M u l t i b a n k H o l d i n g C o m p a n ie s : 1 9 5 6 -7 3 , b y G re g o ry E . B o c z a r. A p r. 1976. 27 pp. E x t e n d i n g M e r g e r A n a l y s is B e y o n d t h e S in g l e M a r k e t F r a m e w o r k , b y S te p h e n A . R h o a d e s. M a y 19 7 6 . 25 p p . S e a s o n a l A d ju s t m e n t o f M i— C u r r e n t l y P u b l is h e d a n d A l t e r n a t iv e M e t h o d s , b y E d w a rd R . F ry . M a y 1976. 22 p p . E f f e c t s o f N O W A c c o u n t s o n C o st s a n d E a r n in g s o f C o m m e r c ia l B a n k s in 1 9 7 4 -7 5 , b y J o h n D . P a u lu s. S e p t. 1976. 4 9 p p . P r in t e d in Full in t h e B u l l e t in S ta f f E c o n o m ic S tu d ie s s h o w n in lis t b e lo w . R E P R IN T S (E x c e p t f o r S ta f f P a p e r s , S ta f f E c o n o m ic S tu d ie s , a n d s o m e le a d in g a r t i c l e s , m o s t o f th e a r tic le s r e p r in te d d o n o t e x c e e d 12 p a g e s .) S e a s o n a l F a c t o r s A f f e c t in g B a n k R e s e r v e s . 2 /5 8 . M e a s u r e s o f M e m b e r B a n k R e s e r v e s . 7 /6 3 . R e s e a r c h o n B a n k in g S t r u c t u r e a n d P e r f o r m a n c e , S ta f f E c o n o m ic S tu d y b y T y n a n S m ith . 4 /6 6 . A R e v is e d I n d e x o f M a n u f a c t u r in g C a p a c it y , S ta f f E c o n o m ic S t u d y b y F ra n k d e L e e u w w ith F ra n k E . H o p k in s a n d M ic h a e l D . S h e rm a n . 1 1 /6 6 . U .S . I n t e r n a t io n a l T r a n s a c t io n s : T r e n d s in 1 9 6 0 - 6 7 . 4 /6 8 . M e a s u r e s o f S e c u r it y C r e d i t . 1 2 /7 0 . R e v is e d M e a s u r e s o f M a n u f a c t u r in g C a p a c it y U t i l i z a t i o n . 1 0 /7 1 . A 75 R e v is io n o f B a n k C r e d it S e r ie s . 1 2 /7 1 . A ss e t s a n d L ia b il it ie s o f F o r e ig n B r a n c h e s o f U .S . B a n k s . 2 /7 2 . B a n k D e b it s , D e p o s it s , a n d D e p o s it T u r n o v e r — R e v is e d S e r ie s . 7 /7 2 . Y ie l d s o n N e w l y I s s u e d C o r p o r a t e B o n d s . 9 /7 2 . R e c e n t A c t iv it ie s o f F o r e ig n B r a n c h e s o f U .S . B a n k s . 1 0 /7 2 . R e v is io n o f C o n s u m e r C r e d it S t a t is t ic s . 1 0 /7 2 . O n e -B a n k H o l d in g C o m p a n ie s B e f o r e t h e 197 0 A m e n d m e n t s . 1 2 /7 2 . Y ie l d s o n R e c e n t l y O f f e r e d C o r p o r a t e B o n d s . 5 /7 3 . C r e d it -C a r d a n d C h e c k -C r e d it P l a n s a t C o m m e r c ia l B a n k s . 9 /7 3 . R a t e s o n C o n s u m e r I n s t a l m e n t L o a n s . 9 /7 3 . N e w S e r ie s fo r L a r g e M a n u f a c t u r in g C o r p o r a t i o n s . 1 0 /7 3 . U .S . E n e r g y S u p p l ie s a n d U s e s , S ta f f E c o n o m ic S tu d y b y C la y to n G e h m a n . 1 2 /7 3 . I n f l a t io n a n d S t a g n a t io n in M a jo r F o r e ig n I n d u s t r ia l C o u n t r i e s . 1 0 /7 4 . T h e S t r u c t u r e o f M a r g in C r e d i t . 4 /7 5 . N e w S t a t is t ic a l S e r ie s o n L o a n C o m m it m e n t s a t S e l e c t e d L a r g e C o m m e r c ia l B a n k s . 4 /7 5 . R e c e n t T r e n d s in F e d e r a l B u d g e t P o l i c y . 7 /7 5 . R e c e n t D e v e l o p m e n t s in I n t e r n a t io n a l F in a n c ia l M a r k e t s . 1 0 /7 5 . M IN N IE : A S m all V e r s io n of th e M I T - P E N N - S S R C E c o n o m e t r ic M o d e l , S ta ff E c o n o m ic S tu d y b y D o u g la s B a tte n b e rg , J a re d J. E n z le r, an d A rth u r M . H a v e n n e r. 1 1 /7 5 . A n A s s e s s m e n t o f B a n k H o l d in g C o m p a n ie s , S ta f f E c o n o m ic S t u d y b y R o b e rt J. L a w re n c e a n d S a m u e l H . T a lle y , 1 /7 6 . I n d u s t r ia l E l e c t r ic P o w e r U s e . 1 /7 6 . R e v is io n o f M o n e y S t o c k M e a s u r e s . 2 /7 6 . S u r v e y o f F in a n c e C o m p a n ie s , 19 7 5 . 3 /7 6 . R e v is e d S e r ie s f o r M e m b e r B a n k D e p o s it s a n d A g g r e g a t e R e s e r v e s . 4 /7 6 . I n d u s t r ia l P r o d u c t io n — 1976 R e v is io n . 6 /7 6 . F e d e r a l R e s e r v e O p e r a t io n s in P a y m e n t M e c h a n is m s : A S u m m a r y . 6 /7 6 . R e c e n t G r o w t h in A c t iv it ie s o f U .S . O f f ic e s o f F o r e ig n B a n k s . 1 0 /7 6 . N e w E s t im a t e s o f C a p a c it y U t i l i z a t i o n : M a n u f a c t u r in g a n d M a t e r i a l s . 1 1 /7 6 . U .S . I n t e r n a t io n a l T r a n s a c t io n s in a R e c o v e r in g E c o n o m y . 4 /7 7 . B a n k H o l d in g C o m p a n y F in a n c ia l D e v e l o p m e n t s in 1976. 4 /7 7 . C h a n g e s in B a n k L e n d in g P r a c t ic e s , 1 976. 4 /7 7 . C h a n g e s in T im e a n d S a v in g s D e p o s it s a t C o m m e r c ia l B a n k s , J u ly - O c t. 1 976. 4 /7 7 . A 76 Federal R eserve B ulletin □ April 1977 In d e x to S ta tis tic a l T ab les R e f e r e n c e s a r e t o p a g e s A -3 t h r o u g h A -6 8 a lt h o u g h t h e p r e f ix “ A ” is o m i tt e d in t h i s in d e x A C C E P T A N C E S , b a n k e rs , 11, 2 5 , 27 A g ric u ltu ra l lo a n s o f c o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 18, 2 0 - 2 2 A s se ts an d lia b ilitie s ( S e e a ls o F o re ig n e rs ): B a n k s, b y c la s s e s , 16, 17, 18, 2 0 - 2 3 , 2 9 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s, 12 N o n fin an cial c o rp o ra tio n s , c u rre n t, 38 A u to m o b ile s: C o n s u m e r in sta lm e n t c re d it, 4 2 , 43 P ro d u c tio n , 4 8 , 4 9 B A N K c re d it p ro x y , 15 B a n k e rs b a la n c e s , 16, 18, 2 0 , 2 1 , 22 { S e e a ls o F o re ig n e rs ) B a n k s fo r c o o p e ra tiv e s , 35 B o n d s ( S e e a ls o U .S . G o v t, se c u ritie s ): N e w is s u e s , 3 6 , 37 Y ie ld s , 3 B ra n c h b a n k s: A s se ts a n d lia b ilitie s o f fo re ig n b ra n c h e s o f U .S . banks, 62 L ia b ilitie s o f U .S . b a n k s to th e ir fo re ig n b ra n c h e s , 23 B u s in e ss a c tiv ity , 4 6 B u s in e ss e x p e n d itu re s o n n e w p la n t a n d e q u ip m e n t, 39 B u s in e ss lo a n s ( S e e C o m m e rc ia l a n d in d u stria l lo an s) C A P A C IT Y u tiliz a tio n , 4 6 , 4 7 C a p ita l a c c o u n ts : B a n k s, b y c la s s e s , 16, 17, 19, 2 0 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s, 12 C e n tra l b a n k s , 6 8 C e rtific ates o f d e p o s it, 2 3 , 27 C o m m e rc ia l a n d in d u stria l lo an s: C o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 15, 18, 2 3 , 26 W e e k ly re p o rtin g b a n k s , 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 2 3 , 2 4 C o m m e rc ia l b a n k s: A s se ts a n d lia b ilitie s , 3 , 1 5 - 1 8 , 2 0 - 2 3 B u s in e ss lo a n s , 2 6 C o m m e rc ia l an d in d u stria l lo a n s , 2 4 C o n s u m e r lo a n s h e ld , b y ty p e , 4 2 , 43 L o a n s so ld o u trig h t, 23 N u m b e r, b y c la s s e s , 16, 17 R e al e s ta te m o rtg a g e s h e ld , b y ty p e o f h o ld e r an d p ro p e rty , 41 C o m m e rc ia l p a p e r, 3 , 2 4 , 2 5 , 27 C o n d itio n s ta te m e n ts ( S e e A s se ts a n d lia b ilitie s) C o n s tru c tio n , 4 6 , 5 0 C o n s u m e r in s ta lm e n t c r e d it, 4 2 , 43 C o n s u m e r p ric e s , 4 6 , 51 C o n s u m p tio n e x p e n d itu re s , 5 2 , 53 C o rp o ra tio n s : P ro fits, ta x e s , an d d iv id e n d s , 38 S e c u rity iss u e s, 3 6 , 3 7 , 65 C o s t o f liv in g ( S e e C o n s u m e r p ric e s) C re d it u n io n s , 2 9 , 4 2 , 43 C u rre n c y a n d c o in , 5 , 16, 18 C u rre n c y in c irc u la tio n , 4 , 14 C u s to m e r c re d it, sto c k m a rk e t, 28 D E B IT S to d e p o s it a c c o u n ts , 13 D e b t ( S e e s p e c if ic ty p e s o f d e b t o r s e c u r itie s ) D e m a n d d e p o s its : A d ju s te d , c o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 13, 15, 19 D e m a n d d e p o s its — C o n tin u e d B a n k s, by c la s s e s , 16, 17, 19, 2 0 - 2 3 O w n e rsh ip b y in d iv id u a ls , p a rtn e rs h ip s , an d c o rp o ra tio n s , 25 S u b je c t to re se rv e re q u ire m e n ts , 15 T u rn o v e r, 13 D e p o s its ( S e e a ls o s p e c if ic ty p e s o f d e p o s it s ): B a n k s, b y c la s s e s , 3 , 16, 17, 19, 2 0 - 2 3 , 29 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s , 4 , 12 S u b je c t to re se rv e r e q u ire m e n ts , 15 D isc o u n t ra te s at F .R . B a n k s ( S e e In te re s t ra te s) D isc o u n ts a n d a d v a n c e s b y F .R . B a n k s ( S e e L o a n s) D iv id e n d s , c o rp o ra te , 38 EM PLO Y M E N T, 46, 47 E u ro -d o lla rs , 15, 27 F A R M m o rtg a g e lo a n s , 41 F a rm e rs H o m e A d m in is tra tio n , 41 F e d e ra l a g e n c y o b lig a tio n s , 4 , 11, 12, 13, 34 F e d e ra l an d F e d e ra lly s p o n s o re d c re d it a g e n c ie s , 35 F e d e ra l finance: D e b t su b je c t to s ta tu to ry lim ita tio n an d ty p e s a n d o w n e rs h ip o f g ro ss d e b t, 32 R e c e ip ts a n d o u tla y s , 3 0 , 31 T re a s u ry o p e ra tin g b a la n c e , 30 F e d e ra l F in a n c in g B a n k , 35 F e d e ra l fu n d s , 3 , 6 , 18, 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 2 7 , 30 F e d e ra l h o m e lo a n b a n k s , 35 F e d e ra l H o m e L o a n M o rtg a g e C o r p ., 3 5 , 4 0 , 41 F e d e ra l H o u s in g A d m in is tra tio n , 3 5 , 4 0 , 41 F e d e ra l in te rm e d ia te c re d it b a n k s , 35 F e d e ra l lan d b a n k s , 3 5 , 41 F e d e ra l N a tio n a l M o rtg a g e A s s n ., 3 5 , 4 0 , 41 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s: C o n d itio n s ta te m e n t, 12 D isc o u n t ra te s ( S e e In te re s t ra te s) U .S . G o v t, s e c u ritie s h e ld , 4 , 12, 13, 3 2 , 33 F e d e ra l R e se rv e c re d it, 4 , 5 , 12, 13 F e d e ra l R e se rv e n o te s , 12 F e d e ra lly sp o n s o re d c re d it a g e n c ie s , 35 F in a n c e c o m p a n ie s : L o a n s , 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 4 2 , 43 P a p e r, 2 5 , 27 F in a n c ia l in s titu tio n s, lo a n s to , 18, 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 23 F lo a t, 4 F lo w o f fu n d s , 4 4 , 45 F o re ig n : C u rre n c y o p e ra tio n s , 12 D e p o s its in U .S . b a n k s , 4 , 12, 19, 2 0 , 2 1 , 22 E x c h a n g e ra te s , 68 T ra d e , 55 F o re ig n e rs : C la im s o n , 6 0 , 6 1 , 6 6 , 67 L ia b ilitie s to , 2 3 , 5 6 - 5 9 , 6 4 - 6 7 GOLD. C e rtific a te s, 12 S to c k , 4 , 55 G o v e rn m e n t N a tio n a l M o rtg a g e A s s n ., 3 5 , 4 0 , 41 G ro ss n a tio n a l p ro d u c t, 5 2 , 53 H O U S IN G , n e w a n d e x is tin g u n its , 50 A ll I N C O M E , p e rso n a l a n d n a tio n a l, 4 6 , 5 2 , 53 In d u stria l p ro d u c tio n , 4 6 , 48 In sta lm e n t lo a n s , 4 2 , 43 In su ra n c e c o m p a n ie s , 2 9 , 3 2 , 3 3 , 41 In su re d c o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 17, 18 In te rb a n k d e p o s its , 16, 17, 2 0 , 2 1 , 22 In te re s t rates: B onds, 3 B u s in e ss lo a n s o f b a n k s , 26 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s, 3 , 8 F o re ig n c o u n trie s , 68 M o n e y an d c a p ita l m a rk e t ra te s, 3, 27 M o rtg a g e s , 3, 4 0 P rim e ra te , c o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 2 6 T im e an d sa v in g s d e p o s its , m a x im u m ra te s , 10 In te rn a tio n a l c a p ita l tra n sa c tio n s o f th e U n ite d S ta te s, 5 6 - 6 7 In te rn a tio n a l o r g a n iz a tio n s , 5 6 - 6 1 , 6 5 - 6 7 In v e n to rie s , 52 In v e s tm e n t c o m p a n ie s , issu es a n d a s se ts , 37 In v e stm e n ts ( S e e a ls o s p e c if ic ty p e s o f in v e s tm e n ts ): B a n k s, b y c la s se s , 16, 17, 18, 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 29 C o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 3 , 15, 16, 17 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s, 12, 13 L ife in su ra n c e c o m p a n ie s , 29 S a v in g s an d lo an a s s n s ., 29 L A B O R fo rc e , 4 7 L ife in su ra n c e c o m p a n ie s ( S e e In su ra n c e c o m p a n ie s ) L o a n s ( S e e a ls o s p e c if ic ty p e s o f lo a n s ): B a n k s, b y c la s s e s , 16, 17, 18, 2 0 - 2 3 , 2 9 C o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 3 , 1 5 - 1 8 , 2 Q -2 3 , 2 4 , 26 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s, 3 , 4 , 5 , 8 , 12, 13 In s u ra n c e c o m p a n ie s , 2 9 , 41 In su re d o r g u a ra n te e d b y U .S ., 4 0 , 41 S a v in g s an d lo an a s s n s ., 29 M ANUFACTURERS: C a p a c ity u tiliz a tio n , 4 6 , 47 P ro d u c tio n , 4 6 , 4 9 M a rg in r e q u ire m e n ts , 28 M em ber banks: A s se ts an d lia b ilitie s , b y c la s s e s , 16, 17, 18 B o rro w in g s at F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s, 5 , 12 N u m b e r, b y c la s s e s , 16, 17 R e se rv e p o s itio n , b a s ic , 6 R e se rv e re q u ire m e n ts , 9 R e se rv e s an d re la te d ite m s, 3 , 4 , 5 , 15 M in in g p ro d u c tio n , 4 9 M o b ile h o m e s h ip m e n ts , 50 M o n e ta ry a g g re g a te s , 3 , 15 M o n e y an d c a p ita l m a rk e t ra te s ( S e e In te re s t ra te s) M o n e y sto c k m e a s u re s a n d c o m p o n e n ts , 3, 14 M o rtg a g e s ( S e e R e al e s ta te lo a n s) M u tu a l fu n d s ( S e e In v e stm e n t c o m p a n ie s ) M u tu a l sa v in g s b a n k s , 3 , 10, 2 0 - 2 2 , 2 9 , 3 2 , 3 3 , 41 N A T IO N A L b a n k s , 17 N a tio n a l d e fe n se o u tla y s , 31 N a tio n a l in c o m e , 52 N o n m e m b e r b a n k s , 17, 18 O P E N m a rk e t tra n s a c tio n s , 11 P E R S O N A L in c o m e , 53 P r ic e s : C o n s u m e r an d w h o le s a le , 4 6 , 51 S to c k m a rk e t, 28 P rim e ra te , c o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 2 6 P ro d u c tio n , 4 6 , 4 8 P ro fits, c o rp o ra te , 38 R E A L e s ta te lo an s: B a n k s, by c la s s e s , 18, 2 0 - 2 3 , 2 9 , 41 L ife in su ra n c e c o m p a n ie s , 2 9 M o rtg a g e te rm s, y ie ld s, an d a c tiv ity , 3 , 4 0 T y p e o f h o ld e r a n d p ro p e rty m o rtg a g e d , 41 R e se rv e p o s itio n , b a s ic , m e m b e r b a n k s , 6 R e se rv e re q u ire m e n ts , m e m b e r b a n k s , 9 R e se rv e s: C o m m e rc ia l b a n k s , 16, 17, 2 0 , 2 1 , 22 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k s , 12 M e m b e r b a n k s , 3 , 4 , 5 , 15, 16 U .S . re se rv e a s se ts , 55 R e sid e n tia l m o rtg a g e lo a n s , 4 0 R e ta il c re d it an d re ta il sa le s, 4 2 , 4 3 , 4 6 S A V IN G : F lo w o f fu n d s , 4 4 , 45 N a tio n a l in c o m e a c c o u n ts , 53 S a v in g s a n d lo an a s s n s ., 3 , 10, 2 9 , 3 3 , 4 1 , 4 4 S a v in g s d e p o s its ( S e e T im e d e p o s its ) S a v in g s in s titu tio n s, se le c te d a s s e ts , 29 S e c u ritie s ( S e e a ls o U .S . G o v t, se c u ritie s): F e d e ra l an d F e d e ra lly sp o n s o re d a g e n c ie s , 35 F o re ig n tra n sa c tio n s , 65 N e w iss u e s, 3 6 , 37 P ric e s , 28 S p e c ia l D ra w in g R ig h ts , 4 , 12, 5 4 , 55 S tate an d lo cal g o v ts .: D e p o s its, 19, 2 0 , 2 1 , 22 H o ld in g s o f U .S . G o v t, s e c u ritie s , 3 2 , 33 N e w se c u rity iss u e s, 36 O w n e rsh ip o f se c u ritie s o f, 18, 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 29 Y ie ld s o f s e c u ritie s , 3 S tate m e m b e r b a n k s , 17 S to ck m a rk e t , 28 S to c k s ( S e e a ls o S e c u ritie s): N e w iss u e s, 3 6 , 37 P ric e s, 28 T A X r e c e ip ts, F e d e ra l, 31 T im e d e p o s its , 3, 10, 15, 16, 17, 19, 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 23 T ra d e , fo re ig n , 55 T re a s u ry c u rre n c y , T re a s u ry c a s h , 4 T re a s u ry d e p o s its , 4 , 12, 30 T re a s u ry o p e ra tin g b a la n c e , 30 U N E M P L O Y M E N T , 47 U .S . b a la n c e o f p a y m e n ts , 54 U .S . G o v t, b a la n c e s: C o m m e rc ia l b a n k h o ld in g s , 19, 2 0 , 2 1 , 22 M e m b e r b an k h o ld in g s , 15 T re a s u ry d e p o s its at R e se rv e B a n k s, 4 , 12, 30 U .S . G o v t, se c u ritie s: B a n k h o ld in g s, 16, 17, 18, 2 0 , 2 1 , 2 2 , 2 9 , 3 2 , 33 D e a le r tra n s a c tio n s , p o s itio n s , an d fin a n c in g , 34 F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k h o ld in g s , 4 , 12, 13, 3 2 , 33 F o re ig n an d in te rn a tio n a l h o ld in g s an d tra n sa c tio n s , 12, 3 2 , 6 4 O p e n m a rk e t tra n s a c tio n s , 11 O u ts ta n d in g , b y ty p e o f se c u rity , 3 2 , 33 O w n e rs h ip , 3 2 , 33 R a te s in m o n e y a n d c a p ita l m a rk e ts , 27 Y ie ld s , 3 U tilitie s, p ro d u c tio n , 4 9 V E T E R A N S A d m in is tra tio n , 4 0 , 41 W E E K L Y re p o rtin g b a n k s , 2 0 - 2 4 W h o le s a le p ric e s, 4 6 Y IE L D S ( S e e In te re s t ra te s) A 78 T h e F ed eral R eserve System B o u n d a rie s o f F e d e ral R e se rv e D is tric ts an d T h e ir B ra n c h T e rrito rie s LE G E N D — B o u n d a rie s o f F e d e ra l R e s e rv e D is tric ts ------- B o u n d a r i e s o f F e d e r a l R e s e r v e B r a n c h ® • F e d e ra l R e s e r v e B a n k C itie s F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B r a n c h C itie s T e rrito rie s F e d e ra l R e s e rv e B a n k F a c ility Q B o a rd o f G o v e rn o rs o f th e F e d e ra l R e s e rv e S y s te m