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NEWS
RELEASE
••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••

■

The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
St. Louis

Little Rock

Louisville

Memphis

WANT CENTRAL BANKERS TO "DO THE RIGHT THING"?
TRY A PERFORMANCE CONTRACT

FOR MORE INFORMATION, CONTACT:
Charles B. Henderson at (314) 444-8311

95-117

FOR RELEASE DECEMBER 14. 1995

ST. LOUIS -

One of the biggest challenges confronting monetary policymakers is to

stabilize the economy without increasing inflation. But what's the best incentive to get them
to do that?

In the current issue of Review, the bimonthly research journal of the Federal Reserve Bank
of St. Louis, economist Christopher J. Waller examines a new proposal:

performance

contracts, which would provide the proper financial incentives for the central bank to pursue
price stability.

Considering several types of performance contracts, Waller notes New Zealand's recent
restructuring of its central bank and that country's success with an explicit target range for
inflation.

Although Waller emphasizes the benefits of insulating the central bank from

political influence, he concedes that political infeasibility may be a stumbling block to


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PERFORMANCE CONTRACT/2
establishing performance contracts. Nevertheless, he believes that performance contracts
"could well turn out to be the foundation for the design of central banks in the 21st
century."

Other articles in this issue of Review are:
• "Capacity Utilization and Prices Within Industries," by economist Peter S. Yoo. The
capacity utilization rate is a commonly used indicator of future price changes, and studies
often find that the total industry capacity utilization rate and inflation are related.

Yoo

examines capacity utilization rate data and price data for 23 industrial sectors to see if the
two variables show significant correlations within industries.
•

"Deflation and Real Economic Activity under the Gold Standard," by economists

Christopher L. Neely and Geoffrey E. Wood. With inflation rates around the globe at their
lowest in years, concerns have been raised about falling prices. Neely and Wood examine
the facts surrounding the temporary periods of deflation (a fall in the general price level) that
occurred under the gold standard from 1870 to 1913.

The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis serves the Eighth Federal Reserve District, which
includes all of Arkansas, eastern Missouri, southern Indiana and southern Illinois, western
Kentucky and western Tennessee, and northern Mississippi.

The Bank has branches in

Louisville, Memphis and Little Rock. In addition to serving as a bank for depository


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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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PERFORMANCE CONTRACT/3
institutions and the U.S. government, each Reserve Bank supervises state-chartered banks
and bank holding companies, monitors economic conditions in the District and participates
in formulating monetary policy.


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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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