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The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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411 Locust Street

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St. Louis, MO 63102

(314) 444-8444

Media Advisory (4/24/96)

> Will smart cards make consumers part with hard cash?
> A report on the auto industry in the Eighth District
> Measuring investment risk with duration
Contact: Charles B. Henderson (314) 444-8311

The April 1996 edition of The Regional Economist, the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
Louis' quarterly review of business and economic conditions in the Eighth Federal
Reserve District, features the following articles:

• "Will That Be Cash, Check, Charge or Smart Card?" Using "money" stored
electronically on a microchip embedded in an ATM-like card is supposed to change
the .way consumers and merchants conduct business. Economist Adam M. Zaretsky
explores both the opportunities and risks posed by so-called smart cards. He finds
that proponents will have to overcome several obstacles to make the new technology a
viable addition to current payment methods.


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Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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St. Louis Media Advisory/2
• •District Automotive Sector Flourishing." Michigan and Ohio still dominate the

automobile industry in the United States, but five states in the Federal Reserve's
Eighth District are capturing a growing share of the nation's car and truck production:
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri and Tennessee. Economist Kevin L. Kliesen
surveys motor vehicle production in the Eighth District and concludes that several
factors contradict the industry's analysts who declared in the early 1980s that the
automotive industry was in the throes of a long-term decline.

• •investment Improvement: Adding Duration to the Toolbox." Individual

investors often use credit ratings and maturity to measure the risks and rewards of
fixed-income securities. Economist Michelle Clark Neely looks at an alternative to
these more traditional measures: duration. Used for decades to varying degrees by
financial institutions and other institutional investors to measure and hedge interest
rate risk, duration is calculated as the weighted average time to maturity of a bond,
using the relative present values of cash flows from the bond as weights. Using
duration, an investor can compare the interest rate risk and, therefore, the potential
price swings associated with bonds of different maturities, coupon rates and payment
periods. Although duration is far from perfect, Neely concludes that an individual
investor would be wise to add it to his investment toolbox.


https://fraser.stlouisfed.org
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

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