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FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK [ Circular No. 9568 ~| October 20, 1983 PRIVATE SECTOR ADJUSTMENT FACTOR Proposed Changes in Calculation of the PSAF for 1984 To All Depository Institutions in the Second Federal Reserve District, and Others Concerned: The following statement was issued by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: The Federal Reserve Board has requested comment on proposed revisions to its procedure for calculation of the pri vate sector adjustment factor (PSAF). As provided in the Monetary Control Act of 1980, the PSAF is an allowance for the taxes that would have been paid and a return on capital had the Federal Reserve’s priced services been furnished by a private sector firm. The Board requested comment by November 30, 1983. The proposed revisions to the procedure used in calculating the PSAF for 1984 include: • Use of data directly linking single-purpose assets to Federal Reserve services. • Expansion of the sample used to calculate the PSAF from 12 to the 25 largest bank holding companies. • Calculation of the Federal Reserve’s asset base to reflect the value of assets expected to be acquired and disposed of in 1984. • Removal of the financing costs of net adjustment float from the asset base. • Recovery of the estimated sales taxes that would have been paid on the purchases of certain goods and services if the Reserve Banks were subject to such taxes. • Recovery of expenses incurred by Board staff working directly on the development of priced services and inclusion of the portion of the Board’s assets employed in this specific activity in the PSAF asset base. In addition to these revisions, the Board is requesting comment on an alternative method of determining the income tax rate used in calculating the PSAF. Enclosed, for depository institutions in this District, is a copy of the Board’s official notice in this matter. It will be printed in the F e d e r a l R e g i s t e r and additional copies will be furnished upon request directed to our Circulars Division. Comments should be submitted by November 30, 1983, and may be sent to our Planning and Control Function. A nthony M . Solom on, P r e s id e n t. FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Docket No. R-0485] Private Sector Adjustment Factor AGENCY: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. ACTION: Request for comments. SUMMARY: The Board of Gove rnors is requesting p u blic comment on the m e t h o d o l o g y for calcu l a t i n g the Private Sector Adjustment Factor ("PSAF") for 1984. DATE: Comments must be received b y November 30, 1983. ADDRESS: Comments, which should refer to Docket No. R-0485, may be mailed to Mr. W i l l i a m W. Wiles, Secretary, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 20th Street and C o nstitution Avenue, N . W . , Washington, D.C. 20551, or d e l i v e r e d to Room B-2223 betw e e n 8:45 a.m. and 5:15 p.m. Comments received may be inspected at Room B-1122 b e t w e e n 8:45 a.m. and 5:15 p.m., except as provi d e d in § 261.6(a) of the Board's Rules Regarding the A v a i l a b i l i t y of Information, 12 CFR § 261.6(a). FOR F U R T H E R INFORMATION CONTACT: Earl Hamilton, Assistant Director (202/452-3874), D i v i s i o n of Federal Reserve Bank Operations; Gilbert T. Schwartz, Ass o c i a t e General Counsel (202/452-3625) or Robert G. Ballen (202/452-3265), Attorney, Legal Division, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. S U P P L E M E N T A RY INFORMATION: The M o n e t a r y Control Act of 1980 (Pub. L. 96-221) p rovides that over the long run, fees for the Federal Reserve's priced services are to be bas e d upon costs, including the "taxes that would h a v e b e e n paid and the return on capital that would have b e e n p r o v i d e d had the services been furnished b y a p r i v a t e busi n e s s firm." Accordingly, the PSAF should be thought of as a financial or a c c o u n t i n g y a r d stick that facilitates the imputation of capital costs and taxes to the Federal Reserve. Over time, however, the pricing process more g e n e r a l l y should seek to ensure that econ o m i c resources are a l located and p ayments services are p r o v i d e d in the most efficient ways possible. The Board has examined the issues relating to the current methodology that has been used in calculating the PSAF and requests comment on the following: [Enc. Cir. No. 9568] -2- a. Choice of M o d e l . Since Federal Reserve Banks unique organizations, it is not p o s s i b l e to find tota l l y comparable p r i v a t e sector firms to use as a model for imputing the cost of capital and taxes. In view of the u nique nature of the Federal Reserve, the PSAF could be c a l c u l a t e d b y a b a n d o n i n g reference to the actual ex p e r i e n c e of any p r i v a t e sector firm, and judgments could be made regarding the Federal Reserve's cost of capital and taxes had it b e e n a p r i v a t e firm. However, in view of the fact that there would be no basis upon whi c h to deter m i n e the a ppropriat e ne s s of any judgments made among the infinite number of costs of capital and tax possibi l i t i es , the Board p roposes that those e n tities most c l o s e l y c o m p a r a b l e to the Federal Reserve with regard to its p riced services cont i n u e to be used as a model for p u r p o s e s of c a l c u l a t i n g the PSAF. In reaching this d e c i s i o n four a l t e r n a t i v e types of entities were analyzed: p u b l i c utilities, g o v e r n m e n t - s p o n s o r e d o r g anizations such as the Federal. National Mortgage Association, nonbank data p r o c e s s i n g companies, and bank hold i n g companies. Bank h o l d i n g companies are c u r r e n t l y used as the model for the PSAF. The Board rejected p u blic utilities as a model b e c a u s e services p rovided by these entities g e n e r a l l y do not r e semble those of the Federal Reserve. Moreover, their capital costs and structure are such as to result in a PSAF that p r o b a b l y would be lower than that deri v e d from a bank h o l d i n g c o m p a n y model. G o v e r n m e n t - sp o n s o r e d entities also were d e t e r m i n e d not to be a p p r opriate as a model be c a u s e their services g e n e r a l l y are not comparable to those of the Federal Reserve. The services prov i d e d by government-sponsored entities p r e d o m i n a n t l y relate to e x tensions of credit, rather than to p a y m e n t s - r e la t e d services of the Federal Reserve. In addition, the cost of capital of g o v e r n m e n t - s p o n s o r e d entities, in part because of their governm e n t sponsorship, w o u l d result in a lower cost of capital for the PSAF c a l c u l a t i o n than using the bank h o l d i n g company model. While use of nonbank data p r o c e s s i n g c o m panies as a model was c o nsidered and p r e v i o u s l y rejected, a more c o m p r e h e n s i ve review of the data p r o c e s s i n g c o m p a n y model was undertaken in view of the su g g e s t i o n that such c o m panies prov i d e the a p p r opriate model for the PSAF. The Board continues to b e l i e v e that data p r o c e s s i n g c o m p a n i e s do not p r o vide the a ppropriate model given the d i s s i m i l a r i t y b e t w e e n their services and those of the Federal Reserve. Although both the Federal Reserve and data p r o c e s s i n g com p a n i e s use computers, a detai l e d ana l y s i s of the serv i c e s of six d a t a are -3processing companies that others h a v e suggested be used as a model for the PSAF indicated that their service offerings are significantly different from the p r iced services activities of the Reserve Banks and that they are not the a p p r o p r i a t e model. First, the prospec t s of these data proces s o r s are tied to d e v e l opments in activities far removed from those of the Federal Reserve. Second, the different services p r o v i d e d by the Federal Reserve and these data p r o c e s s o r s necessi t a t e d different inputs into the p r o d u c t i o n process. For example, the data processors specified do not collect checks like the Federal Reserve and other d e p o s i t o r y institutions. Third, to the limited extent to which the activities of the data processors are at all compar a b l e to those of the Federal Reserve, the data processor s gen e r a l l y only p e r f o r m a po r t i o n only one step in the paym e n t s p r o c e s s — the recording and transfer of payments information. The Federal Reserve, in contrast, performs many, and in some cases all, of the steps that take place as payments are made. Finally, none of these six data proc e s s i n g companies that others h a v e suggested be used as a model included the Federal Reserve as a competitor in its discu s s i o n of competitors in its 1982 Form 10-K filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Further, only one of the six has commented on a single o c c a s i o n on the Federal Reserve's pricing proposals, and that comment was limited to a narrow point. It has been suggested that since large bank h o l d i n g companies engage in a number of activ i t i e s other than correspondent banking, their capital costs do not p r o vide an appropriate model for the Federal Reserve. Clearly, large bank i n g organizations engage in a wide range of a c t i v i t i e s - -m a n y of which are related to the activities of correspondent divisions. The fact that the correspondent banking d i v i s i o n does not raise capital on its own and interacts with the totality of the b a n k i n g organiz a t i o n gene r a l l y reinforces the logic of using the bank h o l d i n g company model. Thus, taking into account the services offered, and the obvious fact that large b a n k i n g o r g a n i z a t i o n s are the competitors of the Federal Reserve, the Board proposes that large bank h o l d i n g companies continue to be the appropriate model upon which to construct the PSAF. The Board is also c o n s i d e r i n g the risk that might be associated with the corres p o n d e nt opera t i o n s of the b a n king o r g a n i z a t i o n on a stand-alo n e basis and, in turn, what that might imply for the discount or pr e m i u m of the market price of its stock relative to book value. Unfortunately, there is -4 - virtually no reasonable bas i s for d e t e r m i n i n g whether, in fact, correspondent services would be p e r c e i v e d as more or less risky by the market than other b a n k i n g o p e r a t i o n s - - i n p a r t b e c a u s e the correspondent services are tied together w ith the entire bank. Moreover, even if that d e t e r m i n a t i o n could b e made, there is no way to anticipa t e ho w the market wou l d respond. The Board also co n s i d e r e d the issue of the se l e c t i on of the specific bank h o l d i n g companies to be i ncluded wi t h i n the PSAF model. Currently, the model is c o m p r i s e d of the 12 largest bank holding companies in the United States. These institutions were chosen p r i m a r i l y b e c a u s e of their size and their importance in the cor r e s p o n d e nt b a n k i n g business. It has been suggested that this sample is i n a p p r o p r i a te b e c a u s e it is, in general, too small and b e c a u s e the market value of the stock of these companies may be m a t e r i a l l y b e l o w b o o k value, w h i c h in turn lowers the cost of e q u i t y capital in the P SAF calculation. The Board b elieves that the s u g g e s t i o n to e xpand the size of the sample has merit. Such an e x p a n s i o n w o uld reduce the poten t i a l that overall results will be b i a s e d b y individual institutions, and provide greater g e o g r a p h i c repre s e n t a t io n . Accordingly, he Board p ropo s e s to expand the sample to include the 25 largest bank hold i n g companies. W i t h regard to the su g g e s t i o n that the m arket value of the stock of the bank h o l d i n g companies in the sample is too low relative to book value, the Board not e d that the stock of very few large bank h o l d i n g c o m p anies c u r r e n t l y is selling at or above book value. However, using the p r o p o s e d sample of 25 large bank h o l d i n g companies does raise the m a r k e t - t o - b o o k ratio of the sample. For example, as of mid-1983, the market - t o - b oo k ratio for the 25 companies was about 83 p e r c e n t versus about 75 percent for the smaller sample of 12 h o l d i n g companies. On balance, there is no basis for judging why these firms' stock sells b e l o w book, or for k n o w i n g w h e t h e r their c o r respon dent d ivisions on a s t a n d - a l o n e b a sis (to the extent they could be segregated from the rest of the company) could command a stock market val u a t i o n at or near book. Similarly, there is no b asis for judging h o w the mar k e t would value the Federal Reserve's p ayments services b u s iness. The Board believes that the m a r k e t - b o o k r e l a t i o n s h i p in the p r o p o s e d sample of the 25 largest h o l d i n g c o m panies would p r o v i d e a reasonable b a s i s for esti m a t i n g the cost of e q u i t y in the PSAF calculation. Accordingly, for p u r p o s e s of the PSAF model, the Board p r o p o s e s to use the cost of e q u i t y of the 25 largest b a n k h o l d i n g companies, w h ich are the major a l t e r n a t i v e suppliers of the p r i c e d services offered b y the Fed. -5- b. Long- T e r m A s s e t s . The Federal Reserve faces same judgments as other firms in apporti o n i n g the cost of shared assets (primarily l o n g-term assets such as property# buildings and equipment) among different operations. The Federal Reserve cur r e n t l y a p portions long-term assets on the basis of the ratio of o p e r a t i n g expenses for priced services to total o p e r a t i n g expenses. This expense ratio is a p p roximately 40 percent. While this expense ratio provides a reasonable p r o x y for the assets e m ployed in p riced services and is a d m i n i s t r a t i v e l y simple to implement# direct dete r m i n a t i on of the uses of assets b a s e d upon the Federal Reserve's Planning and Control System ("PACS") would more prec i s e l y identify the assets used in the p r o v i s i o n of pr i c e d services. Accordingly# the Board p roposes that the expense ratio method for asset d e t e r m i n a t i o n be r e placed b y the direct determ i n a t i on method. The proposed direct d e t e r m i n a t i on method would use the PACS accounting system# whi c h prov i d e s data that can d i r e c t l y link single-purpose assets to either p r iced or non-priced services. In addition# PACS prov i d e s the same information for assets# such as buildings and cent r a l i z e d computers# that are used jointly in the p r o v i s i o n of p r i c e d and non-priced services. For example# dep r e c i a t i o n is a component of total o c c u p a n c y costs# which are r e d i s t r i b u t ed to all PACS activities. Since this de p r e c i a t i o n is linked dire c t l y to assets carried on the Federal Reserve's b a l a n c e sheet# the assets can be linked to the p r o d u c t i o n of p r i c e d and no n - p r i c e d services. The Board b eliev e s this p r o c e d u r e would result in a more precise dete r m i n a t i on of the asset b ase than the current method. As indicated in Tables 1 and 2, the total value of assets a t t r ibutable to p r i c e d services decl i n e s under the direct dete r m i n a t i on method. A l t h o u g h the value of furniture and equipment increases under the p r o p o s e d methodology# the increase is more than offset b y a d e c line in the value of buil d i n g s allocated to p r i c e d services. This occurs beca u s e the p e r c e n t a g e of b uilding space d i r e c t l y and indirectly used by priced services is, in fact# smaller than that which was estimated using the 40 pe r c e n t expense ratio for priced services. In part# this is b e c a u s e staff of the System's data collection activities in support of m o n e t a r y and economic p o l i c y and supervision and re g u l a t i o n functions# as well as bank e x a mination and other non-p r i c e d and central bank functions o c c u p y space a rr a n g e d in the tradi t i o n a l office setting. On the other hand# check p r o c e s s i n g and other p riced services functions predominantly occupy p r o d u c t i o n - ty p e facilities and make intensive use of space and other the - 6 - resources. In particular, check o p e r a t i o n s use less floor space per p e rson and use equipment and space 24 h o u r s a da y as compared with a normal eight h o u r da y in most n o n - p r i c e d areas. Further, fiscal ag e n c y and cash operations, w h i c h are non-priced services, occup y a s ignificant amount of space. c. The Tax Rate Used in the PSAF C a l c u l a t i o n . The tax rate c u rrently used for the PSAF c a l c u l a t i o n is bas e d on the ratio of current taxes to total taxable income of the hold i n g companies included in the sample. Defe r r e d taxes are excluded from this ratio. In addition, an a d j u s t m e n t is made to add the tax effect of t a x-free interest income from state and municipal securities. Deferred taxes are not factored into the ratio beca u s e they do not represent taxes p a i d d u r i n g the current year and are likely not to be paid until far into the future. The adjustment for tax-free income is m ade b e c a u s e it is b e l i e v e d that h o l d i n g such securities is related to he investment strategy of the organization. The Board prop o s e s that the current m ethod of c a l c u l a t i n g the tax ratio with an a d j u s t m e n t to eli m i n a t e e x t r a o r d i n a ry gains and losses, be used to c a l c u l a t e the 1984 PSAF. This method is inco r p o r a t e d into the c a l c u l a t i o n s shown in Table 2. W ith no changes in methodology, the 1984 tax rate for the original sample of 12 b ank h o l d i n g c o m p a n i e s would be 35.1 p e r c e n t - - d o w n from 38.1 pe r c e n t in 1983. For the p r o p o s e d larger sample, the 1984 tax rate would be 35.8 percent. The Board is also r e questing p u b l i c comment on an alternative tax rate c a l c u l a t i o n method. The a l t e r n a t i v e tax rate would be b ased upon the financial s t a t ement p r o v i s i o n for income taxes w hich takes into account d e f e r r e d taxes. It has been suggested that from an a c c o u n t i n g p e rspective, the inclusion of defer r e d taxes w o uld p r o v i d e a more useful rep r e s e n t a t io n of the overall tax lia b i l i t y of a firm. Under this method, the e ffectiv e tax rate for 1984 wou l d be a p p r o x i m a t e l y 40 percent and the p r e - t a x rate on eq u i t y would be a p p r o x i m a t e l y 23 percent, thus add i n g about $2 m i l l i o n to be recovered from the PSAF. d. Date for the Asset Base E s t i m a t e . The current m e t h o d o l o g y uses the average asset base for the p r e v i o u s year, altho u g h estimated expenses are bas e d on the year in w h ich the PSAF is to be applied (e.g. the 1983 c a l c u l a t i o n used assets as of September 29, 1982.) The Board p r o p o s e s that the asset b a s e for the year in w h i c h the PSAF would a p p l y be adju s t e d to reflect the value of assets e xpected to be acqu i r e d and disp o s e d of in that year. Since the a ssets of the Reserve - 7 - Banks are expected to be h i g h e r in 1984 than in 1983, this change would increase PSAF recoveries by a p p r o x i m a t e l y $1.6 million. e. Sales T a x e s . The current m e t h o d o l o g y does include an imputation for the sales taxes that would have b e e n paid by the Reserve Banks if they were like other private firms. The Board proposes that the e s t imated sales taxes that would have been paid were it not for the Reserve Banks' statutory exemption be recovered as part of the PSAF for 1984. This amount is tentatively estimated at a p p r o x i m a t e ly $4.9 million. f. Board of Governors Assets and Expenses. Currently, Board staff expenses are not subject to recovery and Board assets are not included in the PSAF asset base. The Board proposes that the expenses incurred by Board staff working dire c t l y on the development of prices be subject to recovery. Similarly, the Board p r oposes that the assets e mployed in this specific a c t i v i t y be included in the PSAF asset base. It is estimated that in 1984, about $1.9 m i l lion in o p erating expenses at the Board of G o v ernors would be included in expenses subject to recovery and that the asset base would be raised by about $0.5 million to take account of fixed assets of the Board of Governors used for this purpose. g. Shipping E x p e n s e s . Shipping expenses c u r r ently are excluded from the PSAF c a l c u l a t i o n b e c a u s e the assets employed in the production of shipping services are not Federal Reserve assets, but rather are owned b y the various carriers with whom the Reserve Banks deal. It has b een suggested that this treatment is inappropriate, but the c r iticisms of this treatment has been in the context of PSAF m e t h o d o l o g y in which the PSAF asset base is dete r m i n e d on an expense ratio method. W hen priced service assets are determ i n e d d i r e c t l y as the Board is p r o p o s i n g instead of on an expense ratio basis, the removal of shipping expenses from the calcu l a t i o n has no effect on total recoveries. Including shipping e x penses in the PSAF d enominator w ould result in a lower PSAF bei n g applied to a higher expense base with the p r o duct of the two remaining unchanged. As a result, the Board has d e t e r m i n e d that the original basis for excludi n g shipping e xpenses from the c a l c ulatio n remains correct, and proposes no change in this area. h. Leased A s s e t s . Currently, leases for space and equipment b y the Federal Reserve Banks are not capitalized and the value of such leases are not included in the asset base used to calculate the PSAF. not -8 - Specific criteri a h a v e b e e n e s t a b l i s h e d b y the Financial A c c ounting Standards Board (F A S B ) in its Rule 13 for d e t e rmining w h ich leases should be capitalized. The Federal Reserve c urrently does not make a c a s e - b y - c a s e d e t e r m i n a t i o n as to which of its leases meet FASB Rule 13. However, in view of the rule, it has b e e n suggested that the Federal Reserve capitalize its leases for p u r p o s e s of d e t e r m i n i n g the PSAF. Accordingly, the Board proposes that all leases that be c o m e effective on or after Jan u a r y 1, 1984, that meet FASB Rule 13 be capitalized. In addition, the Board p r o p o s e s that current leases be examined to d e t e r m i n e if any a d j u s t m e n t s are needed. However, as indicated below, even if some such leases would be capitalized, it is very u n l i k e l y that this w o u l d h a v e an effect on the dollars to be recovered via the PSAF. Lease payments c u r r e n t l y made b y the R e s erve Banks include the implicit financing costs that are incurred by the lessors for a c quiring the assets. If the value of leases were capitalized and included in the PSAF, the f i n a ncing costs wou l d be d o u b l e - c o u n t e d — once in expenses to be r e c o v e r e d and o nce in the cost of capital asso c i a t e d with the asset base. Thus, to avoid such double-counting , these leases should not be in the asset b ase even if they meet FASB Rule 13. As a result, c a p i t alizing leases would h a v e no effect on the PSAF. The p a t t e r n of expenses, however, might be affected, to a l i m ited extent, over the term of the leases b e c a u s e the p r o p o r t i o n of interest to p r incipal included in the amount a m o r t i z e d is higher in the early years and lower in the later years of the lease. i . Book Value of Physical A s s e t s . Currently, for purposes of calculating the PSAF, the Federal Reserve uses b o o k value--as opposed to some estimate of market v a l u e - - f o r Federal Reserve physi c a l assets such as b u i l d i n g s and equipment. The Board p r o p o s e s to continue to use the b o o k value of fixed assets in the calcu l a t i o n of the PSAF. The use of book values is universal in p r i v a t e business. Furthermore, it is the actual h i s t o r i c a l cost of a c q u i r i n g assets that must be financed--not their value at some later date. The p r a c t i c e of using book value for buildings, equipment, and p r o p e r t y is consistent with b a n k i n g industry p r a c t i c e s and consi s t e n t with g e nerally a c c e p t e d acco u n t i n g p r i n ciples. D e t e r m i n i n g a normal rate of return on the basis of h i s t o r i c a l cost is the p r e v a i l i n g p r a c t i c e throughout the p r i v a t e sector. In particular, the assets of the large b ank h o l d i n g c o m panies used as the source of the cost of capital are r e p o r t e d at b ook value. A decision to value assets at market would essentially require using a market value accounting system since it would be necessary to take into account the income created by -9 increases in asset values. Such an ac c o u n t i n g system does not now exist. If such an acco u n t i n g system were developed, the capital a s s ociated with increases in asset values would be generated automatically. In this event it would not be n ecessary to raise new funds to support the hig h e r asset values. Judging the relat i o n s h i p b e t w e e n market and book values is not easy. However, in consi d e r i n g the Federal Reserve's equipment (which is a p p r o x i m a t e l y $75 m i l lion or almost 30 percent of total long-term assets), it seems reasonable to conclude that market value is not likely to exceed book value and, in fact, book values might exceed market values. This would follow from the fact that such equipment is p r e d o m i n a n t l y proc e s s i n g equipment where d e c l i n i n g prices for new equipment and technolog i c al changes may reduce the market value of e xisting equipment at a faster rate than is prov i d e d for in the relevant d e p r e c i a t i o n schedules. With regard to bu i l d i n g assets, there is little ques t i o n that, in the aggregate, the market value of Federal Reserve buildings is great e r than adju s t e d book value. However, when c o n s idering the value of the space used b y the Reserve Banks for priced service activities, it is important to recognize that the porti o n s of the b u i l d i n g s used for p r i c e d services are not considered p r e m i u m space. Therefore, the test of whether the book value of space devoted to Federal Reserve priced services is s i g n i f i c a n t l y at odds with market value cannot be judged b y looking at the book v a lue/market value relationship for the b u i l d i n g as a whole, but rather should be judged b y looking at the market value of the specific space used for priced services versus its a djusted b ook value. Even this more limited compa r i s o n is not easy to make. However, in looking at the p r e v a i l i n g rents charged by some of the Reserve Banks to outside tenants in r e l a t i o n s h i p to the PACS charges for space devoted to priced services, it appears that such PACS charges are, on average, in line w ith this p r o x y for the market value of such space. On this basis, it would appear that market values of space in Federal Reserve b u i l d i n g s d e v oted to p r i c e d service activities are a p p r o x i m a t e l y in line with the adjusted book values of such space. However, even if they were out of line, it is not c l e a r — even from the p e r s p e c t i v e of overall economic e f f iciency as opposed to a c c o u n t i n g n o r m s - - t h a t market values should be used in c a l c ulati n g the cost of capital for Federal Reserve p r i c e d services. That is, if the Federal Reserve used market values and its c o m p e t i t o r s did not (assuming the market value of the competitors' assets also exce e d e d book value), all other things b e i n g equal, this could p r o d u c e a less efficient a l l o c a t i o n of societal resources. -10- It is because neither economics nor a c c o u n t i n g can provide perfect guidance on these issues that the a p p r o a c h taken with regard to the a c q u i s i t i o n of new a ssets takes on special importance. That is, decisions to a c q u i r e or not to acquire a p a r t i c u l a r asset must be u n d e r t a k e n w i t h i n the context of rigorous capital b u d g e t i n g procedures. The Federal Reserve has had such p r o c e d u r e s in p l a c e for a n umber of years. However, in view of their increased i m portance in the proceed service environmen t and to ensure that such p r o c e d u r e s are consistent with the PSAF calculation, it has been d e termined to undertake a review of all such p r o c e d u r e s to ensure that the methods used are a p p r o p r i a t e and are cons i s t e n t l y applied in all cases. j. Short-Term A s s e t s . For 1982 and 1983, the largest component (about $60 million) of short term assets was net adjustment float, which was included in the PSAF c a l c u l a t i o n as a proxy for liquid assets that the R e s erve Banks wou l d use for priced services. Since the value of all Federal Reserve check f l oat--including net adjus t m e n t float--will be rec o v e r e d t hough service fees in 1984, the Board p r o p o s e s to remove the financing costs of net ad j u s t m e n t float from the asset b a s e that is used to calculate the PSAF. It should be c l e a r l y emphasized that the effect of this change is e s s e n t i a l l y a shift from one class of re covery to another, whi c h has o n l y a small effect on the total dollars to be recovered. As in past years, Federal Reserve s h o r t - t e r m assets will include receivables, supplies, and d e f e r r e d charges. In 1984 these items aggregate to about $27 m i l l i o n as o p p osed to about $20 million in 1983. Under the propo s e d methodology, c l e a r i n g b a l a n c e s that d e p o s i t o r y institutions m a i n t a i n at the Rese r v e Banks to p a y for services would be c o n s i d e r e d a short term asset. During the past year, the amount of clea r i n g b a l a n c e s has g r own considerably. Total clear i n g b a l a n c e s a v e r a g e d $978 m i l l i o n b e t w e e n July 20 and August 10, 1983. The g r o w t h in c l e a r i ng b a l a n c e s can be a t t ribute d to two factors. First, more d e p o s i t o r y institutions are finding c l e a r i n g b a l a n c e s a convenient way of c o m p e n s a t i n g for services and i n t e r t e r r i t or y check float. Second, the n umber of small d e p o s i t o r y institutions using Federal Reserve services has increased and many of them p r efer to c o m p e n s a t e for s e rvices w i t h c learing balances. Because of the significant g r o w t h in clea r i n g balances, the financing aspe c t s of c l e a r i n g b a l a n c e s and the m e t h o d o l o g y used to calcu l a t e earnings c r e dits on clea r i n g balances were reevaluated. In general, the income earned by -li the assets a ttributable to clearing bala n c e s should be at least equal the earnings credits pro v i d e d on these balances. Using the average three-month U. S. T r easury bill rate over the first half of 1983 and assuming clearing bal a n c e s in 1984 average $1 billion, the total income earned for 1984 would be $82.5 million. Under current p o l i c y the Reserve Banks app l y earnings credits o n l y to the required clearing b a l a n c e level, not the actual level. The earnings credits are ca l c u l a t e d at the federal funds rate. For 1984, it is est i m a t e d that about $800 m illion of the a p p r o x i m a t e ly $1 b i l l i o n in c l earing balances would be required balances. Excess bala n c e s arise in part b ecause of sharp short run swings and seasonal peaks in the use of Federal Reserve services. Using the aver a g e federal funds rate for the first half of 1983 and a s s u m i n g $800 m i l lion in required clearing balances in 1984, the cost of such bala n c e s to the Federal Reserve would be $69.3 million. Thus, the System income on clearing b a l a n c e s is a n t i c i p a t e d to exceed expenses by $13.2 million ($82.5 m i l lion - $69.3 million). The Board also studied the m e t h o d o l o g y used by c orrespondent banks to calculate the rate of return they p rov i d e on c o r respondent balances, w h i c h are a n a l y t i c a l l y similar to clearing balances. If a c o r r e s p o n d e nt b a l a n c e is maintained at a c o r respondent bank, the corre s p o n d e nt would be required to m aintain reserves on the b a l a n c e s held. In most cases, the correspondent would be at a marg i n a l reserve requirement rate of 12 percent. Generally, the c o r r e spondent bank takes this factor into c o n s i d e r a t i on w hen it calculates the rate paid on the balance. Because c o r r e s p o n d e nt banks g ener a l l y adjust the earnings rate b y the m a rginal reserve requirement, maint a i n i n g clea r i n g b a lances at a Reserve Bank m ay be more attr a c t i v e to a r e spondent bank. However, when m a i n t a i n i n g a bala n c e at a c o r r e s p o n d e nt bank, the respondent bank is p e r m i t t e d to deduct the ba l a n c e from its reservable liabilities. Therefore, the di f f e r e n c e b e t w e e n the rate the Reserve Banks a pply is not the 12 p e r c e n t m a rginal reserve r equirement rate but rather the d i f f e r e n c e b e t w e e n this 12 p ercent rate and the respo n d e n t banks ' mar g i n a l reserve r equirement rate, which is a "due from" d e d u c t i o n for the respondent. It has b e e n e s t i m a t e d that the e a rnings rate a pplied by Reserve Banks should be reduced by about 7 percent on average for it to be co m p a r a b l e to the value g e n e r a l l y received b y respondent banks on clearing balances. Had this adjustment b e e n made, the earnings credit rate would h a v e b e e n reduced a p p r o x i m a t e l y 7 perc e n t on average. This reduction would result in revenues b e i n g $5 m i l l i o n less than the $13.2 million net interest revenue from clea r i n g b a l a n c e s (see -1 2- Table 4). Acco r d i n g l y , the B o a r d p r o p o s e s that the rate the Reserve Banks a p p l y to c l e a r i n g b a l a n c e s be a d j u s t e d to r e f l e c t the net v a l u e of the b a l a n c e s to the resp o n d e n t , w h i c h takes into a c c o u n t the c o r r e s p o n d e n t ' s m a r g i n a l r e s e r v e r e q u i r e m e n t and the r e s p o n d e n t ' s due from ded u c t i o n . The a m o u n t of excess c l e a r i n g b a l a n c e s are e x p e c t e d to be re d u c e d in 1984 b e c a u s e of ne w p r o c e d u r e s b e i n g a d o p t e d b y the R e s e r v e Banks. R e s erve Banks are in the p r o c e s s of developing a new se r v i c e that will allow depository i n s t i t u t i o n s to trans f e r their e x cess b a l a n c e s m o r e r e a d i l y to other institutions, w h i c h c o u l d then invest t h e m in the federal funds market. If the exce s s b a l a n c e s are r e d u c e d to the p o i n t that the S y s t e m income on such b a l a n c e s w ill b e less than expenses, the rate p aid on such b a l a n c e s m a y be a d j u s t e d . One a d j u s t m e n t u n der c o n s i d e r a t i o n in that e v e n t w o u l d be to c a l c u l a t e the e a r n i n g s c r edit at the U. S. T r e a s u r y b i l l rate r a ther than at the federal funds rate. In a n y event, c l e a r i n g b a l a n c e s and their c o r r e s p o n d i n g a s s e t s c o u l d be m a n a g e d such that the total income to the Federal R e s e r v e at least e q u a l s the cost of such b a l a n c e s to the Fe d e r a l Reserve. Net E f fect of P r o p o s e d C h a r g e s . The net e f f e c t of the a b o v e p r o p o s e d c h a n g e s on the e s t i m a t e d d o l l a r s w h i c h mus t be r e c o v e r e d via the P SAF is modest. As i n d i c a t e d in T a b l e 2, if the 1984 c a l c u l a t i o n s w e r e m a d e u s i n g the p r e s e n t m e t h o d o l o g y , the p e r c e n t a g e of these costs to c a p i t a l w o u l d be 15.9 percent, the d o l l a r s to be r e c o v e r e d via the PSA F w o u l d be $ 5 9.4 m i l l i o n and the r a tio of the d o l l a r s to be r e c o v e r e d to e s t i m a t e d expenses w o u l d be 15.34 p e r cent. Using the proposed m e t h o d o l o g y , these m a g n i t u d e s are 18.86 percent, $56.2 million, and 14.51, p e r c e n t r e s p e c t i v e l y . By o r der of the B o a r d of Governors, (Signed) October 12, 1983. W i l l i a m W. W i l e s W i l l i a m W. W i l e s S e c r e t a r y of the Board [SEAL] TA B L E 1 Pro Forma Balance Sheet Priced Services 1984 (in millions) Current Method Proposed Method Assets Current Assets Recei vables Adjustments, Net Suppli es Deferred Charges Government Securities $ 23.6 45.5 3.9 2.0 $ 75.0 $ $ 23.6 — 1.9 1.6 27.1 — 1,000.0 $220.5 78.2 $298.7 $ 183.2* 87.7 $ 270.9 Long-Term Assets Bank Premises Equipment and Furniture Total Assets $373.7 $1,298.0 Liabilities and Equities Liabi1ities Clearing Balances Short-Term Debt Long-Term Debt Total Liabilities Equity Total Liabilities and Equities * % 75.0 101.9 $1,000.0 27.1 79.1 $176.9 $1,106.2 196.8 191.8 $373.7 $1,298.0 Includes an allocation of space for the Board building TABLE 2 Private Sector Adjustment Factor 1983 1984 Estimated Current Proposed $ 80.3 $288.5 $ 75.0 $298.7 $ 27.1 $270.9 Assets to be Financed (mil lion) I. * II. Current Long-Term Cost of Capital Short-Term Debt Rate Long-Term Debt Rate Pre-Tax Equity Rate Weighted Average Cost of Capital 13.06% 10.63% 20.53% 9.63% 10.33% 21.17% 9.48% 10.01% 21.25% 16.35% 15.90% 17.20% III. Tax Rate 38.1 % 35.1 % 35.8 % IV. Capital Structure 21.8 % 25.8 % 52.4 % 20.0 % 27.3 % 52.7 % 9.1 % 26.5 % 64.4 % Short-Term Debt Long-Term Debt Equity PSAF Recovery (millions) As Percent of Capital As Percent of Expenses $60.3 16.35 16.01 $ 59.4 15.90 15.34 $ 56.2 18.86 14.51 TABLE 3 PSAF and Other Recoveries Calendar Year 1984 (mil lions) I. PSAF Recoveries 1984 Current Total PSAF Recoveries Proposed $ 59.4 Changes Due To: - Explicit Pricing of Adjustments, Net Direct Determination of Assets Changes in the Sample Use of Prospective Assets Sales Taxes Allocation of Board Assets -4.4 6. 8 +1.4 +1.6 +4.9 - + .1 Net Changes -3.2 Total PSAF Recoveries II. $56.2 Other Recoveries - Estimated Expenses - Board of Governors Expenses - Transportation Expenses $387.3 78.8 Total Other Revenues III. $387.3 1.9 78.8 $466.1 $468.0 Float Recovery - Value of "Residual Float" - Value of Adjustments, Net Total Float Recoveries Grand Total of Recoveries $39.3 $ 39.3 4.0 $39.3 $43.3 $564.8 $567.5 TA B L E 4 Clearing Balance Revenue and Expense (millions) 1984 Total Clearing Balance Income $82.5 Total Clearing Balance Credits Used -69.3 Net Revenue from Clearing Balances 13.2 Adjustments for Reserve Requirements -5.0 Net Clearing Balance Income $8.2