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Authorized for public release by the FOMC Secretariat on 1/8/2021

BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
Date:

March 10, 2015

To:

Federal Open Market Committee

From:

Steven B. Kamin and Thomas Laubach

Subject: Recent Declines in Long-term Interest Rates: Causes and Possible Policy
Implications

Since the beginning of last year, 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yields have declined
more than 100 basis points, despite solid economic growth, improvement in labor
markets, and mounting anticipations of the normalization of monetary policy. The
attached memo by staff at the Board and at Reserve Banks, led by David Bowman and
Fabio Natalucci, explores the role that global economic developments have played in this
decline and briefly discusses the implications of these spillovers for the future trajectory
of monetary policy.

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