View original document

The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.

Prefatory Note

The attached document represents the most complete and accurate version available
based on original copies culled from the files of the FOMC Secretariat at the Board
of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. This electronic document was created
through a comprehensive digitization process which included identifying the bestpreserved paper copies, scanning those copies, 1 and then making the scanned
versions text-searchable. 2 Though a stringent quality assurance process was
employed, some imperfections may remain.
Please note that some material may have been redacted from this document if that
material was received on a confidential basis. Redacted material is indicated by
occasional gaps in the text or by gray boxes around non-text content. All redacted
passages are exempt from disclosure under applicable provisions of the Freedom of
Information Act.

1

In some cases, original copies needed to be photocopied before being scanned into electronic
format. All scanned images were deskewed (to remove the effects of printer- and scanner-introduced
tilting) and lightly cleaned (to remove dark spots caused by staple holes, hole punches, and other
blemishes caused after initial printing).

2

A two-step process was used. An advanced optical character recognition computer program (OCR)
first created electronic text from the document image. Where the OCR results were inconclusive,
staff checked and corrected the text as necessary. Please note that the numbers and text in charts and
tables were not reliably recognized by the OCR process and were not checked or corrected by staff.

Content last modified 6/05/2009.

July 14, 1967.

CONFIDENTIAL (FR)

MONEY MARKET AND RESERVE RELATIONSHIPS

Recent developments

The sharp rise in Treasury bill yields from the latter part
of June to early July was the most notable recent development in the
short-term market area since the last meeting of the Committee.

The

3-month bill rate rose to a peak (close of business) of 4.29 per cent
from the unusual low relative to other short-term market rates of
3.33 per cent to which it had fallen in the wake of reinvestment demand
from holders of the maturing June tax bills.
quoted 4.18 per cent.

Most recently it has been

Longer-term bill yields have shown similar move-

ment, with the 1-year bill rising to a peak of 4.92 per cent and most
recently quoted 4.85 per cent.

The upward movement in bill rates,

while partly seasonal in nature, was fueled by the Treasury financing
announcement in late June of $6.2 billion of cash borrowing in the
bill area.

Interest rates on other short-term market instruments--

such as on commercial and finance company paper and certificates of
deposit--have also moved up since the last meeting of the Committee,
but by considerably less than the rise in bill rates.
The rise in the short-term market rate structure was limited
by the ample availability of reserves to the banking system and the
continuation of relatively comfortable over-all money market conditions.
The effective rate on Federal funds has continued to average just below
4 per cent.

In consequence, borrowing costs have been relatively low

to dealers, although there was a slight rise in dealer loan rates at

FINANCIAL MARKET RELATIONSHIPS IN PERSPECTIVE
(Monthly averages and, where available, weekly averages of daily figures)
Money arket Indicators
I
Bond Yields
Flow of Reserves. Bank Credit and Money

Free

teserves

Period

(In

Borrowings

millions

Federal 3-month
Funds TreasRate

of dollars)

U.S.

ury

Gov't.

Bill

Corporate MuniciNew
pal
Issues

(20 yr.)

(Aaa)I/

Nonborrowed

(Aaa)

Total
Re-

serves

Reserves
(I

iion

Bank
Credit
Proxy
(In

Supply

billions

Deposits
2

of dollars)

(Seasonally Adjusted)

1966--June
July
Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.

-352
-359
-374
-390
-425
-235
-196

722
439
740
765
766
605
529

5.13
5.18
5.45
5.30
5.46
5.75
5.39

4.50
4.78
4.95
5.36
5.33
5.31
4.96

4.73
4.84
4.95
4.94
4.83
4.88
4.76

5.35
5.48
5.64
5.82
5.70
5.71**
5.73**

3.60
3.77
3.91
3.93
3.82
3.78
3.79

- 16*
+13b*
-302
+ 5
-134
+108
+ 21

+ 3*
+224*
-400
+129
-195
- 35
+ 21

+
+
+

0.9*
2.1*
0.7
0.1
0.7
1.1
0.9

+ 0.9
- 1.5
-+ 0.9
- 0.9
- 0.4
+ 1.1

+
+
+
+
+
+

1.5*
2.0*
1.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
1.2

1967--Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May

- 59
+ 42
+172
+199
+275

476
366
196
150
94

4.87
4.99
4.50
4.03
3.94

4.72
4.56
4.26
3.84
3.60

4.51
4.61
4.56
4.64
4.90

5.43**
5.18**
5.31**
5.38**
-5.62**

3.50
3.38
3.47
3.50
3.71

+492
+359
+541
+122
+102

+331
+272
+451
+ 31
- 29

+
+
+
+
+

3.3
3.1
3.2
2.9
0.4

+
+
+

+
+
+
+
+

2.5
2.6
2.1
2.0
2.1

+257

88

3.97

3.53

4.99

5.79**

3.80

+ 59

+155

+ 1.9

+ 1.9

+ 2.3

+324
+170
+279
+159
+597

43
91
141
353
69

4.00
3.97
4.05
3.78
3.98

3.51
3.56
3.51
4.07
4.19

4.93
5.04
5.09
5.06
4.97

5.74**
5.79**
5.92**
5.86**
5.81**

3.78
3.83
3.85
3.85
3.87

+
+
+
+

+
+
+

+
+
+
+
+

June p
1967--June

July

14
21
28
5
12

p
p
p
p
p

Averages
Year 1966
Second Half 1966
First Half 1967

-283
-338
+153

672
763
222

5.06
5.39
4.38

16

-346

732

ov. 16-Mar. 29
ar. 29-July 12

- 23
+262

397
123

1.1
1.0
1.3
0.6
0.7

0.7
0.8
2.4
0.7
2.0
0.2
0.5
0.3
1.0
--

0.9
0.1
0.2
0.7
0.3

Annual rates of increase 3/

4.85
5.12
4.09

4.77
4.87
4.70

5.41**
5.74**
5.45**

3.67
3.83
3.56

5.43

5.13

4.89

5.72**

3.85

5.01
3.98

4.70
3.72

4.64
4.86

5.36**
5.65**

3.57
3.70

+ 0.8*
- 1.5*
+14.8

+ 1.2*
- 2.2*
+10.4

+ 3.7*
+ 0.3*
+12.2

+ 1.9
- 0.9
+ 6.7

+ 8.4*
+ 6.1*
+17.1

- 3.1

- 3.0

+ 4.4

+13.6
+ 6.2

+ 7.4
+ 6.6

+15.8
+14.7

Recent variations
in growth
July

6-Nov.

1

11

11

Issues carry a 5-year call protection; ** inclu des issues carrying 5-year and 10-year call protection.
Time deposits adjusted at all commercial banks.
3/ Base is average for month preceding specified period or in case of weekly periods, the first week shown.
* - Changes have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective June 9, 1966.
p - Preliminary.
July 14, 1967.
I/
2/

CONFIDENTIAL (FR)

-2-

July 14, 1967.

New York City banks toward the end of June and in early July partly
in connection with midyear statement date window dressing by banks
and uncertainties about the flow of bank funds around the July 4th
holiday period.
The midyear bank statement date, which fell on a Friday, and
the holiday, which fell on a Tuesday of the same reserve settlement
week, contributed to a sharp rise in member bank borrowings (to $353
million) and in excess reserves (to a high $482 million) in the week
ending July 5. Borrowings dropped off sharply in the subsequent week
to a more representative $69 million.

Meanwhile, excess reserves rose

further to $666 million, an increase which was in line with the previous
seasonal movements at this time of year as country banks hold large
excess reserves in the week following the holiday period.
Over-all, during the four statement weeks ending July 12,
borrowings averaged about $165 million, excess reserves $460 million,
and free reserves $295 million.

In the previous four weeks borrowings

had averaged less, $68 million, while excess reserves were also lower,
$352 million; free reserves consequently averaged $284 million.

In the period since the last meeting of the Committee, the
Account Management has provided almost $1.7 billion of reserves through
outright gross purchases of Treasury securities.

With upward interest

rate pressures focused in the bill area, $1.5 billion of these transactions were in bills, about two-fifths representing purchases from
foreign accounts.

Most recently, the post-holiday return flow of

CONFIDENTIAL (FR)

-3-

July 14, 1967.

currency from circulation and the usual midmonth rise in float has
led to a need to absorb reserves and the System has redeemed maturing
bills and made outright bill sales totaling about $660 million.

Taking

account of another bill redemption late last month, System Open Market
operations have added $740 million of securities, net, to the portfolio
since the last meeting.
Purchases of coupon issues since the last meeting totaled about
$135 million, with $55 million maturing in over 5 years.

The availability

of coupon issues for purchase has been sharply reduced; dealers' positions
in coupon issues maturing in more than a year have declined by $370
million from their level at the time of the last meeting, and their
positions in securities maturing in more than 5 years have recently
hovered around zero.
The atmosphere in long-term markets has improved at least
partly because of shifting expectations regarding defense spending
and the likelihood of a tax increase, but markets continue to be more
than usually sensitive to any further changes in market psychology.
Recent corporate issues have generally been well received at declining
yields, although some aggressively priced issues have moved slowly.
In the municipal market, while inventories remain sizable, there has
been some

improvement in distribution at the somewhat higher yield

levels that have been reached.
Bank credit expansion in June (as measured by the daily
average bank credit proxy) averaged almost 9 per cent, slightly more
than previously estimated, as business loan increases around the tax

July 14, 1967.

-4-

CONFIDENTIAL (FR)

period were larger and somewhat more persisting than expected.

The

privately held money supply expanded at a 13 per cent annual rate,
mainly reflecting the reduction in Treasury balances on average during
the month.

Time and savings deposits grew by 16 per cent.

In meeting

expanded loan demands, banks also increased borrowings from abroad by
an amount which would add almost 1 percentage to the daily average
credit proxy.
For the seven months ending in June--covering the period in
which monetary policy became relatively easy--bank credit has risen by
11 per cent (10 per cent after including a decline in borrowings abroad
through branches over the whole period), time deposits by 16 per cent,
the money supply by 7 per cent, total reserves 9 per cent, and nonborrowed reserves by 13 per cent.

Prospective developments
The July 11 payment date for the Treasury's $4 billion tax
bill financing (with payment by full tax and loan credit) was about a
week earlier than anticipated and is the principal factor contributing
to the rise in projected average bank credit expansion in July to a
13-15 per cent range.

Moreover, the yields on the tax bills were so

attractive relative to yields in the outstanding market, even discounting the full value of tax and loan credit, that banks have been
selling such bills off relatively slowly.

Bank credit expansion over

the balance of summer will be influenced by the timing of additional
Treasury borrowings for the sizable amounts of new cash that, at the
moment, appear to be required before late summer.

A mid-August refunding

CONFIDENTIAL (FR)

July 14, 1967.

of $3.6 billion of maturing coupon securities will be announced toward
the end of July.
If the Treasury does not raise significant amounts of new
cash until early September, the rate of bank credit expansion in August
is likely to be considerably slower than in July, perhaps only half as
rapid on the average.

It is expected that banks will continue to

invest in municipal securities, to show an interest in recent attractively
priced Federal Agency issues, and to continue seeking to invest in
Treasury securities for liquidity purposes since many banks are still
preparing for an expected stronger loan demand in the fall.

In August,

however, we expect business loans to show relatively little growth, as
the late June-early July primarily tax-related borrowings are repaid and
as inventory financing needs remain small.

The recent small pick-up

in real estate lending, primarily at weekly reporting banks, may
continue and perhaps become more widespread, although the magnitudes
involved are not likely to affect the bank credit total to any great
extent.
Insofar as can be judged at this time, theae short-run bank
credit projections appear broadly consistent with the 10 per cent bank
credit growth over the entire second half of 1967 contained in the
GNP and financial projections presented to the Committee at its last
meeting.

Our Blue Book projections suggest a 10-12 per cent annual

rate of increase for July and August together.

While credit growth is

projected to slacken during August, it is likely to begin to pick up

in September as the Treasury begins to meet its fall cash financing needs
and assuming no prolonged auto strike.

CONFIDENTIAL (FR)

-6-

July 14, 1967.

Money supply is expected to rise in a 5-7 per cent range
on average in July, though levelling off after early July and into
August as banks slowly reduce their holdings of the new tax bills and
as loan repayments liquidate some private demand deposits.

Time and

savings deposits in July may grow in a 14-16 per cent range, with some
fall-off from that pace expected in August as consumer spending rises
Some savings could also be diverted to Treasury issues,

further.

depending on the nature of and the terms offered in the mid-August
refunding.
All of the above projections assume no change in the prevailing
money market conditions.

Thus, they assume continuation of a Federal

funds rate averaging just below 4 per cent, new dealer loan rates in
New York in a 4-1/8 - 4-3/8 per cent range, and member bank borrowings
generally remaining below $100 million.

Excess reserves appear likely

to decline from the unusually high average levels of recent weeks,
moving free reserves down into a $200-$300 million range.

In particular,

excess reserves and free reserves are likely to drop very low in the week
of July 19, as country banks funnel into the money market some of the
large reserve excesses cumulated in the week of July 12.
Given such conditions, the annual rates of increase for the
various reserve aggregates in July are likely to be in a 15-18 per cent
range, since an increased share of reserves will be required against
the growth in private and Government demand deposits.

The growth rates

are likely to slacken markedly over the balance of summer mainly because
of the much slower demand deposit growth anticipated.

CONFIDENTIAL (FR)

-7-

July 14, 1967.

The projected reserve expansion may be sufficient to keep the
3-month Treasury bill rate in a 4.00-4.30 per cent range between
now and mid-August.

But behavior of bill rates will be strongly

influenced by Treasury financing decisions, the forthcoming new
budgetary projections for fiscal 1968, and by decisions with respect
to a tax increase.

Such decisions are likely to be even more influential

with respect to the long-term market, where a program introducing
fiscal restraint could lead to some further bond yield declines,
despite the large calendar of corporate and municipal issues and the
imminent Treasury refunding.

Table A-1
MARGINAL RESERVE MEASURES
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on period averages of daily figures)
_

_ _1

Excess
*

Period

a

a.6M

2r0r a
..o

As
*

__

Member banks
* ...

r evised

&a...w

Free

ap

to

_

_

_ _ _

r e serves
__

date
As
expected
at
conclusion
of each
week's
open
market
opeations

-_

Monthly (reserves
weeks ending in):

As first
published
each week

370
380
366
375
341
370
333

-352
-359
-374
-390
-425
-235
-196

417
408
368
349
364
345

-

+ 42
+172
+199
+270
+257

5
12
19
26

447
226
478
246

+267
+ 81
+300
+148

+339
+154
+312
+169

+300
+184
+305
+171

May

3
10
17
24
31

405
329
404
327
381

+271
+266
+281
+277
+279

+345
+260
+261
+288
+264

+343
+262
+291
+291
+264

June

7
14 p
21 p
28 p

331
367
261
420

+254
+324
+170
+279

+284
+325
+198
+304

+290
+339
+229
+292

482
666

+129
+597

+152
+597

+168
+604

1966--June

July
August
September
October
November
December
1967--January
February
March
April
May
June p

_I

59

Weekly:

1967--Apr.

July

5

p
12 p

p - Preliminary

TABLE A-2
AGGREGATE RESERVES AND RELATED MEASURES
Retrospective Changes, Seasonally Adjusted
(In per cent, annual rates based on monthly averages of daily figures)

Re s e rve
Total
Reee

Reserves

Ag

r e
ates
Required reserves

onborrowed
Nonborrowed
Reserves

Toa

Total

Resers

I

Against
DeaBank

Demand

Monet a rv Variab 1 es
Time
Money Supply

Total Member
an De
i
Deposits

Deposits

(credit) l/
(cr
)

Deposits
Dps

(comm.

banks)

Private

Total

Demand

_

Deposits

Annually:
1965

+ 5.3

+ 4.3

+ 5.3

+ 2.3

+ 9.1

+16.0

+ 4.7

+ 4.4

1966

+ 1.2

+ 0.8

+ 1.5

- 0.2

+ 3.7

+ 8.4

+ 1.9

+ 0.9

Monthly:
1966--January
February
March
April
May
June 2/
July 2/
August 2/
September 2/
October 2/
November 2/
December 2/

+ 6.7
+ 4.0
+ 2.9
+13.2
+ 0.3
+ 0.2
+11.4
-20.2
+ 6.6
-10.0
- 1.8
+ 1.1

+ 9.5
+ 3.1
- 4.6
+10.9
+ 0.1
- 0.8
+ 7.1
-15.8
- 0.3
- 7.1
+ 5.7
+ 1.1

+ 6.9
+ 2.9
+ 2.7
+11.9
+ 2.1
+ 1.6
+ 8.4
-14.8
- 0.2
- 1.1
- 7.6
+ 4.9

+11.3
+ 3.8
+ 4.0
+11.7
- 4.8
+ 1.3
+ 2.9
-17.3
- 3.2
- 2.0
- 8.2
- 1.6

+ 8.1
+ 3.5
+ 5.5
+15.5
+ 4.9
+ 4.4
+10.3
- 3.4
- 0.5
- 2.9
- 5.4
+ 3.9

+ 7.4
+ 5.7
+ 8.1
+15.3
+12.7
+11.8
+15.5
+10.0
+ 3.0
- 2.3
+ 0.8
+ 9.1

+ 5.7
+ 1.4
+ 7.8
+11.3
- 4.9
+ 6.3
-10.5
-+ 6.4
- 6.3
- 2.8
+ 7.8

+ 4.6
-+ 8.2
+12.7
- 7.2
+ 7.2
-16.2
- 0.9
+ 7.3
- 8.1
- 4.6
+ 8.2

1967--January 2/
February 2/
March 2/
April 2/
May 2/

+17.1
+13.8
+22.7
+ 1.5
- 1.4

+26.0
+18.6
+27.6
+ 6.1
+ 5.1

+13.5
+14.3
+15.3
+ 9.3
- 2.1

+12.7
+ 9.0
+17.0
+10.2
-11.4

+16.1
+15.0
+15.3
+13.7
+1.9

+18.1
+19.3
+15.3
+14.4
+15.0

- 4.9
+ 5.7
+16.9
- 4.9
+13.9

- 9.1
+ 5.5
+20.0
- 7.2
+16.2

+ 7.6

+ 2.9

+ 4.2

+ 1.0

+ 8.8

+16.2

+13.1

+15.1

June 2/

p

1/ Includes all deposits subject to reserve requirements.
movements in total member bank credit.

Movements in this aggregate correspond closely with

p - Preliminary.
2/
Changes in reserves, total deposits, and time deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits
effective June 9, 1966. Changes in reserves have been adjusted for increases in reserve requirements in July
and September 1966, and reduction in reserve requirements in March 1967.

Chart 1

MEMBER BANK RESERVES
MONTHLY AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
[
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

24.0
TOT AL

RESERVES

23.5

RESERVES

REQUIRED

*

23.0

22.5

NET

21.5

NON BORROWED

A

22.0

-

BORROWED

I
2

RESERVES

RESERVES

-

--

21.0

S
1965

D

M

J
1966

S

D

M
1967

J

Chart 2

MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS AND LIABILITIES TO OVERSEAS BRANCHES
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
260

I

256

252

248

244

240

236

LIABILITIES TO OVERSEAS BRANCHES
[WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS)
NOT SEAS

ADJ,

WEDNESDAYS

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

I

J

1966

1967

I

Chart 3

MONEY SUPPLY AND BANK DEPOSITS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED WEEKLY AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
180

175

MONEY

SUPPLY

170

165
TIME DEPOSITS ADJUSTED
(All Commercial Banks)-

160

155

150

145

-

140

135

130

125
NEGOTIABLE

CD'S

(Unadjusted)

20

115
I

I

I I I
S

1965

I
D

I I

I
M

I

I
J

1966

S

I

I
D

I

I
M

10

I
J

1967
*CHANGE

IN SERIES

Chart 4

DEMAND DEPOSITS

AND CURRENCY

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED WEEKLY

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

45

40

35

30

140

135

130

125

120

15

U.S.

GOVT. DEMAND
(Member

DEPOSITS

Banks)

10

5

II

l l ll

Il

l ll

l ll^l

0
1965

1966

1967

Table B-1
MAJOR SOURCES AND USES OF RESERVES
Retrospective and Prospective
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Factors affecting supply of reserves
Period

Federal Reserve
credit (excl.
float) 1/

Gold

Currency
outside
banks

stock

=

Technical
factors
net 2/

Change

=

Bank use of reserves

in
total
reserves

Required
reserves
3/

+1,089
+1,085

+1,188
+1,111

-

99
26

Excess
s
reserves

ACTUAL
Year:

1965 (12/30/64 - 12/29/65)
1966 (12/29/65 - 12/28/66)

+4,035
+3,149

-1,602
- 627

-2,143
-2,243

+
+

Year-to-date:
(12/29/65 - 7/13/66)
(12/28/66 - 7/12/67)

+2,124
+2,708

-

-

810
582

- 794
-2,232

+
-

172
155

-

89
384

+
+

261
229

+
+

445
106
72
170

+
+
+
-

334
565
370
782

+
+
+
-

117
39
548
222

+
+
+
-

167
3
654
381

+
+

50
36
106
159

--

-

469
372

+

266
395

+
+

356
133

+
-

294
71

+
+

62
184

Weekly:
1967--June

July

7
14 p
21 p
28 p

+
+
+

5 p
12 p

+1,090
+
88

228
420
105
391

351
49

--

1
---

+

2

798
805

PROJECTED j/
1967--July
Aug.

For
For
For
See

19

-

220

--

+

290

+

240

+

310

+

310

26

-

115

--

+

205

-

170

-

80

-

80

2

+

275

--

-

20

-

365

-

110

-

110

9

+

495

--

-495

-

85

-

85

-

16
23

-

470
280

---

+
+

115
65

+
+

205
35

-

150
180

-

30

+

50

--

+

155

-

280

-

75

-

retrospective details, see Table B-4.
factors included, see Table B-3.
required reserves by type of deposits, see Table B-2
reverse side for explanation of projections.

p - Preliminary.

85

150
180
75

Table B-2
CHANGES IN REQUIRED RESERVE COMPONENTS
Retrospective and Prospective Seasonal and Nonseasonal Changes
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Total

required

Period

reeres

reserves

Supporting
U. S. Gov't.
U. S. G
demand

deposits

Supporting private deposits
_

Seasonal changes

Total

_seasonal

___

Time

Demand

Other than
Oe
han
changes
Tm
Da

Time

Demand

ACTUAL
Year:
1965 (12/30/64 1966 (12/29/65 -

12/29/65)
12/28/66)

Year-to-date:
(1L/29/65 - 7/13/66)
(12/28/66 - 7/12/67)
Weekly:
1967--June

July

+1,188
+1,111

- 89
- 87

+1,277
+1,194

+

115

-

14

-

487
304

-

878
937

+
+
+

244
205
236

-

402

+

139

-

4
4

+499
- 5

+ 677
+1,221 1/

+ 81
+ 85

+ 65
+760

+

245

-

212

- 89
384

+398

-

7
14
21
28

+
+
+
-

167
3
654
381

-214
-138
+337
+ 59

+
+

381
141

-

317
440

5
12

+
-

294
71

- 14
- 50

+

308

-

21

19
26

+
-

310
80

+195
+115

+
-

115
195

+
-

150
155

+

2
9
16
23
30

-

110
85
150
180
75

-170
--215
5
-100

+
+
+

60
85
65
175
25

+
+
+

75
135
45
190
15

-

- 80

+111
- 86

+

4
4

-

19

- 23

5

- 50
- 60

+
+

20
20

5
--5

- 30
+ 30
---

+
+
+
+
+

20
20
20
15
15

+ 88
- 48

+139

PROJECTED
.967--July
Aug.

1/ Reflects reserve requirements changes in July and September 1966.
2/ Reflects reserve requirements changes in March 1967.
p - Preliminary.

--

Table B-3
TECHNICAL FACTORS AFFECTING RESERVES
Retrospective and Prospective Changes
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Foreign
deposits
and gold
loans
(Sign indicates effect on reserves)

Technical
factors
(net)

Period

Other
nonmember
deposits and
F. R. accounts

Treasury
operations

Float

798
805

+294
+673

-171
+ 64

794

-197
-696

-283
-1,073

+ 10
- 6
- 33

+152

+

6

-

-

5

ACTUAL

Year:
1965 (12/30/64 - 12/29/65)
1966 (12/29/65 - 12/28/66)

+598
+ 98

+ 77
- 30

Year-to-date:
(12/29/65 - 7/13/66)
(12/28/66 - 7/12/67)
Weekly:
1967--June

July

-

-2,232

7
14
21
28

+
+
+

334
565
370

+137
+271

-

782

-431

+171
+ 59
+328
-300

-208
+ 2

-177
+473

- 35
+115

+175
-280

-

266

+

395

19
26

+

240

-

170

2

-

365
85

-365

+
+

205
35

-

280

+160
+150
-280

5
12

Aug.

9
16
23
30

h

- 1
+235
+ 84

+ 27

- 45
86

1

1

PROJECTED
1967--July

- 52

-280
-477

- 34

+ 14

-

h

+100

85

+ 45
-115

A

.1.

Table B-4
SOURCE OF FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT
Retrospective Changes
(Dollar amounts in millions of dollars, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Total Federal
Reserve credit

Period

float)
(Excl.______Bills

U.S. Government securities
Total
Repurchase
Other

holdings

agreements

'ear:
1965 (12/30/64 - 12/29/65)
1966 (12/29/65 - 12/28/66)

+4,035
+3,149

+3,916
+3,069

+3,145
+2,158

+916
+474

-145
+437

Year-to-date:
(12/29/65 - 7/13/66)
(2/28/66 - 7/12/67)

+2,124
+2,708

+1,804
+3,232

+1,583
+3,062

+439
+776

-218
-606

+253
+163
-157
-300
+ 69

Weekly:
1967--May

June

July

3
10
17
24
31

+
+
+

533
256
368
106
221

450
337
383
13
196

197
174
226
185
34

+102
+ 93

7
14
21
28

+
+
+

228
420
105
391

227
357
58*
286*

125
315
65
223

+ 87
+ 42
+ 44
+126

+ 15

5
12

+1,090
+
88

866
347

766
346

+ 65

+ 35
+ 1

-

84

Federal
Agency
Securities

-

21

Bankers'
acceptances

Member banks
borr
ngs
borrowings

+ 77
+ 52

+ 42
+ 2

+ 48
- 24

+272
-479

+
+
+

36
71
60
73
52
25
34
48
50

+
-

2
2

+
+

+
+

3
2

+212
-284

+ 67
- 51

* - Includes effect of change in special certificates of +$12 million of the week of
of the week of June 28, 1967.

June 21, 1967 and -$12 million

Chart Reference Table C-1
TOTAL, NONBORROWED AND REQUIRED RESERVES
Seasonally Adjusted
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on monthly averages of daily figures)'

Period

Total
reere
reserves

Nonborrowed
r
reserves

Total

Required reserves
Against private deposits
D
T
Total

Demand

1965--January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

21,960
22,157
22,279
22,449
22,436
22,612
22,682
22,689
22,667
22,737
22,748
23,010

21,625
21,771
21,814
21,953
21,994
22,082
22,158
22,186
22,114
22,248
22,341
22,523

21,563
21,713
21,868
22,036
22,109
22,243
22,332
22,299
22,259
22,439
22,402
22,657

20,702
20,765
20,881
20,985
20,962
21,138
21,247
21,331
21,553
21,720
21,803
21,970

15,730
15,717
15,789
15,831
15,750
15,877
15,912
15,916
16,071
16,151
16,168
16,285

1966--January
February
March
April
May
June 1/
July 1/
August 1/
September 1/
October 1/
November 1/
December 1/

23,139
23,217
23,274
23,530
23,536
23,539
23,763
23,363
23,492
23,297
23,262
23,283

22,701
22,759
22,671
22,877
22,878
22,862
22,997
22,695
22,700
22,566
22,674
22,695

22,788
22,844
22,896
23,123
23,163
23,193
23,355
23,067
23,064
23,042
22,896
22,990

22,075
22,084
22,269
22,477
22,453
22,582
22,515
22,517
22,597
22,430
22,383
22,522

16,364
16,356
16,510
16,625
16,534
16,626
16,472
16,428
16,497
16,352
16,321
16,411

1967--January 1/
February 1/
March 1/
April 1/
May 1/
June 1/p

23,614
23,886
24,337
24,368
24,339
24,494

23,187
23,546
24,087
24,209
24,311
24,370

23,248
23,526
23,825
24,009
23,966
24,049

22,525
22,733
23,069
23,059
23,304
23,658

16,317
16,421
16,682
16,585
16,757
17,025

p - Preliminary.

1/ Reserves have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective June 9, 1966.

Table C-2
DEPOSITS SUPPORTED BY REQUIRED RESERVES AT ALL MEMBER BANKS
Seasonally adjusted
(Dollar amounts in

billions, based on monthly averages of daily figures)

Total member
bank deposits
(credit) 1/ 2/

Monthly

Time

is

Private
demand
deposits

3/

U.S. Gov't.
demand
deposits

1965--January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

218.4
220.4
222.5
224.6
225.8
227.7
229.1
230.4
231.1
233.5
234.5
236.4

106.0
107.6
108.6
109.9
111.1
112.2
113.8
115.5
116.9
118.7
120.2
121.2

107.4
107.3
107.8
108.1
107.5
108.4
108.6
108.6
109.7
110.2
110.4
111.2

5.0
5.5
6.1
6.7
7.2
7.1
6.7
6.3
4.6
4.5
4.0
4.0

1966--January
February
March
April
May
June 3/
July 3/
August 3/
Sept. 3/
Oct. 3/
Nov. 3/
Dec. 3/

238.0
238.7
239.8
242.9
243.9
244.8
246.9
246.2
246.1
245.5
244.4
245.2

121.8
122.1
122.8
124.8
126.2
127.0
128.9
129.8
130.1
129.6
129.3
130.3

111.7
111.6
112.7
113.5
112.9
113.5
112.4
112.1
112.6
111.6
111.4
112.0

4.5
5.0
4.3
4.7
4.8
4.3
5.6
4.2
3.5
4.3
3.7
2.9

1967--Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.

248.5
251.6
254.8
257.7
258.1
260.0

132.4
134.6
136.2
138.0
139.6
141.4

111.4
112.1
113.9
113.2
114.4
116.2

4.8
4.9
4.8
6.4
4.1
2.4

3/
3/
3/
3/

May 3/
June 3/

1/

2/
3/

p

Includes all deposits subject to reserve requirements--i.e., the total
of time, private demand, and U.S. Government demand deposits. Movements
in this aggregate correspond closely with movements in total member
bank credit.
Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective
June 9, 1966.
Private demand deposits include demand deposits of individuals, partner-

ships and corporations and net interbank balances.
p - Preliminary.

TABLE C-2a
DEPOSITS SUPPORTED BY REQUIRED RESERVES AT ALL MEMBER BANKS
Seasonally adjusted
(Dollar amounts in billions

Week ending:

1967--Mar.

based on weekly averages of daily figures)

Total member
bank deposits

Time
deposits

(credit 1/ 2/

2/

Private
demand

U. S. Gov't.
demand

deposits 3 /

deposits

252.0
252.5
254.0
256.2
256.5

134.9
135.5
136.2
136.5
136.8

112.6
112.9
113.9
113.9
114.2

4.5
4.1
3.9
5.8
5.6

Apr.

5
12
19
26

256.4
257.6
257.6
258.3

137.1
137.7
138.0
138.3

114.7
114.0
113.0
111.8

4.6
5.8
6.5
8.2

May

3
10
17
24
31

258.4
258.5
258.4
257.4
258.0

138.6
139.1
139.5
139.8
140.4

112.9
112.9
114.5
114.9
115.8

6.9
6.5
4.4
2.7
1.8

June

7
14 p
21 p
28 p

269.1
260.2
261.2
259.8

140.8

141.6

116.6
116.0
116.2
116.1

1.7
2.8
3.5
2.1

5 p
12 p

260.4
261.1

142.3
142.8

116.8
116.6

1.4
1.8

July

141.4
141.5

p - Preliminary.
1/ Includes all deposits subject to reserve requirements--i.e., the total
of time, private demand, and U.S. Government demand deposits. Movements
in this aggregate correspond closely with movements in total member
bank credit.
2/ Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective
June 9, 1966.
3/ Private demand deposits include demand deposits on individuals, partnerships and corporations and net interbank balances.

TABLE C-3
MONEY SUPPLY AND TIME DEPOSITS AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
Seasonally adjusted
(Dollar amounts in billions, based
on monthly averages of daily figures)

Monthly

Money Supply

Currency 1/

Private

Time Deposits

Demand
Deposits

/

Adjusted

1965--January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December

159.7
159.8
160.3
161.0
160.7
161.7
162.4
163.0
164.1
165.2
165.6
167.2

34.5
34.6
34.7
34.8
34.9
35.0
35.3
35.5
35.7
36.0
36.1
36.3

125.3
125.2
125.6
126.2
125.8
126.7
127.2
127.5
128.5
129.3
129.5
130.9

128.7
130.7
132.0
133.3
134.6
136.2
137.9
140.0
141.6
143.7
145.5
146.9

1966--January
February
March
April
May
June 3/
July 3/
August 3/
September3
October 3/
November 3)
December 3

168.0
168.2
169.3
170.9
170.2
171.1
169.6
169.6
170.5
169.6
169.2
170.3

36.6
36.8
36.9
37.2
37.3
37.4
37.7
37.8
37.9
38.0
38.0
38.3

131.4
133.7
132.3
133.7
132.9
133.7
131.9
131.8
132.6
131.7
131.2
132.1

147.8
148.5
149.5
151.4
153.0
154.5
156.5
157.8
158.2
157.9
158.0
159.2

1967--January 3/
February 3)
March 3/
April 3/
May 3/
June 3/ p

169.6
170.4
172.8
172.1
174.1
176.0

38.5
38.7
38.9
39.0
39.2
39.4

131.1
131.7
133.9
133.1
134.9
136.6

161.7
164.3
166.4
168.4
170.5
172.8

3/

Includes currency outside the Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and the vaults of all
commercial banks.
2/ Includes (1) demand deposits at all commercial banks, other than those due to
domestic commercial banks and the U.S. Government, less cash items in process of
collection and Federal Reserve float; and (2) foreign demand balances at Federal
Reserve Banks.
3/ Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective June 9, 1966.
p - Preliminary.

1/

TABLE C-3a
MONEY SUPPLY

TIME DEPOSITS AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
Seasonally Adjusted

(Dollar amounts in billions, based
on weekly averages of daily figures)

1967--Mar.

1
8
15
22
29

171.0
172.0
173.1
172.6
173.6

38.7
38.9
39.0
39.0
39.1

132.3
133.0
134.1
133.6
134.5

165.0
165.5
166.3
166.7
167.1

Apr.

5
12
19
26

173.4
173.0
171.6
170.8

38.9
39.1
39.1
39.0

134.6
134.0
132.6
131.8

167.6
168.2
168.6
168.8

May

3
10
17
24
31

172.2
172.6
174.7
174.7
175.0

39.1
39.2
39.1
39.2
39.2

133.2
133.4
135.6
135.5
135.8

169.2
169.8
170.4
170.7
171.4

June

7
14 p
21 p
28 p

175.5
175.7
176.2
175.9

39.3
39.4
39.4
39.4

136.3
136.3
136.8
136.6

172.0
172.9
173.0
173.2

July

5 p
12 p

176.9
176.9

39.3
39.5

137.6
137.4

173.9
174.2

1/
2/

3/

Includes currency outside the Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and the vaults of all
commercial banks.
Includes (1) demand deposits at all commercial banks, other than those due to
domestic commercial banks and the U.S. Government, less cash items in process of
collection and Federal Reserve float; and (2) foreign demand balances of Federal
Reserve Banks.
Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective June 9, 1966.

p - Preliminary.