The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK Vol. 12, No. I t Wasliinston, D. C. SEPTEMBER 1946 IN THIS ISSUE G l Home Loan Program Gathers Momentum A Review of the Construction Outlook W h o Holds the Backlog of Savings? (Part III) FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK Contents Page No. 12 SEPTEMBER 1946 The Federal Home Loan Bank Review is published monthly by the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration under the direction of a staff editorial committee. This committee is responsible for interpretations, opinions, summaries, and other text, except that which appears in the form of official statements and signed articles. Communications concerning material which has been printed or which is desired for publication should be sent to the Editor of the Review, Federal Home Loan Bank Building, Washington 25, D. C. The Federal Home Loan Bank Administration assumes no responsibility for material obtained from sources other than itself or other instrumentalities of the Federal Government. Gl H O M E L O A N P R O G R A M GATHERS M O M E N T U M . . 357 A REVIEW O F THE CONSTRUCTION O U T L O O K 361 W H O HOLDS THE BACKLOG OF SAVINGS? (Part III).. 365 SECONDARY MARKET FOR Gl H O M E L O A N S 371 STATISTICAL D A T A New family dwelling units Building costs Savings and loan lending Mortgage recordings Gl lending F H A activity Federal Home Loan Banks Insured savings and loan associations Share investments and repurchases HOLC Bank System membership Insured mortgage holdings 378-379 379-380 380-381 381-382 382 382 382 383 383 384 384 384 REGULAR DEPARTMENTS News notes Worth repeating Bookshelf Directory changes of member, Federal and insured institutions Amendments to rules and regulations Monthly survey Index to Volume 12 356 364 364 369 370 373 385 Contents of this publication are not copyrighted N A T I O N A L HOUSING AGENCY Wilson W. Wyatt, Administrator FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK ADMINISTRATION John H. Fakey, Commissioner SUBSCRIPTION PRICE OF REVIEW.—A copy of the REVIEW is sent to each member and insured institution without charge. To others the annual subscription price, which covers the cost of paper and printing, is $1. Single copies will be sold at 10 cents. Outside of the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the insular possessions, subscription price is $1.60 ; single copies, 15 cents. Subscriptions and orders for individual copies should be sent with remittances to the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. APPROVED BY THE BUREAU OF THE BUDGET The mm- Brief GI home loan program gathers momentum B y t h e end of J u l y more t h a n 250,000 home loan applications h a d been acted upon by t h e Veterans Administration a n d approved for loan closing. T h e principal a m o u n t of these loans is estimated a t more t h a n $1.2 billion. I m p o r t a n t is t h e fact t h a t t h e program has only recently gotten into high gear. Almost half of t h e total applications made to d a t e were received during M a y , J u n e a n d July. Applications are presently running about 13,000 a week—an estimated $60 million in new loans. In t h e first state-by-state breakdown of d a t a on G I home loans, 22 states and t h e District of Columbia reported in excess of $10,000,000 a t t h e end of June. New York led t h e group with $92,000,000. Pennsylvania was next with almost $66 million, and Ohio, third, with $57 million. T h r o u g h t h e end of July, t h e principal a m o u n t of all GI home loans closed averaged $4,968. This m a y be compared with $4,678 at t h e end of March. During July, t h e average principal a m o u n t of t h e loans closed was just over t h e $5,500-mark. There has been considerable geographic variation in t h e size of loans made as indicated b y a m a p which shows t h e average size of loans closed in each state. [Page 357.} A review of the construction outlook While t h e building picture is not all rosy b y a n y means, a realistic review of reports on current building material production and of recent administrative actions to channel an increasing proportion of t h e o u t p u t into home building offers hope for contra-seasonal gains during t h e balance of t h e year. A further cut in non-housing authorizations a n d tighter controls on the distribution of critical items will shift t h e m a t e rials shortage squeeze from housing to non-housing construction. Single-family houses accounted for almost 90 percent of the 419,000 permits issued for privately financed dwelling units during t h e first seven months. July permits for privately financed units totaled 62,000, up 6 percent from J u n e , breaking t h e downward t r e n d which had prevailed since March. A table shows t h e n u m b e r of permits issued for privately financed 1-, 2- and 3-and-more family dwelling units during t h e first half of 1941 and 1946 in 79 cities t h r o u g h o u t t h e country. These statistics, especially prepared by t h e Bureau of Labor Statistics, a t t e s t t o t h e progress which has been made in m a n y areas in spite of t h e fact t h a t a t t h e beginning of t h e year material distribution pipelines were drained a n d stockpiles nonexistent. [Page 361.] July highlights Another new peak in real estate financing activity was registered as total mortgage recordings of $20,000 or less reached $981 million. Cumulative figures for the first seven months of this year exceeded the 12-month total for last year. New lending by all savings and loan associations was virtually u n changed from t h e J u n e total. Increases in loans for new construction a n d reconditioning were offset by declines in t h e other categories. NHA estimates of VEHP progress through the end of July showed 607,100 units started—over half of the 1946 goal. These totals include trailers, prefabs, conversions a n d re-use war housing, as well as conventional construction. T h e n u m ber of units completed reached 287,100. Building p e r m i t s for privately financed dwellings were u p 6 percent, reversing t h e t r e n d which has prevailed since t h e M a r c h peak. N e t inflow of private savings into all savings a n d loan associations a m o u n t e d to $85 million—a third larger t h a n in t h e same m o n t h last year. T h e July repurchase ratio was only slightly higher t h a n a year ago. The FRB index of industrial production advanced 3 more points to set another postwar high. Civilian e m p l o y m e n t figures stood a t 58,100,000—the highest on record. The " O P A holiday" in J u l y m a d e price trends of prime interest. T h e chart below, based on t h e wholesale prices of 900 commodities, shows t h a t building material prices went up less t h a n average. ^w •\mm. Wholesale prices since June (June 1946 = 100) Who holds the backlog of savings?—Part III T h e concluding article in the series on t h e national survey of savings reports on t h e plans for home ownership, home financing a n d prospective savings programs of the spending units studied. T h e fact t h a t "comparatively few" percentagewise were ready to go into t h e m a r k e t a n d b u y consumer goods belittles t h e economic importance of these contemplated purchases. Prospective buyers of homes were found in each classification. Neither low income nor absence of liquid assets was a complete barrier to plans for home ownership. T h e majority of potential customers h a d incomes of less t h a n $3,000 in 1945. B e t t e r t h a n one out of every six said t h e y could p a y t h e full price in cash. [Page 365.] September 1946 :;•*;; >'j#*y r.Htjili!! 355 aMEWSMOT Tighter controls for lumber A series of orders issued jointly by the Housing Expediter's Office and CPA late in August were designed to tag large additional amounts of construction lumber, hardwood flooring and millwork for the Veterans Emergency Housing Program As a result of these orders, distributors will get on an annual basis at least one-third more housing construction lumber from sawmills, or two carload lots per quarter, whichever is larger. Of these increased shipments, at least 80 percent must be held indefinitely for certified and rated orders. Military housing in this country has now been reduced to tbe level of civilian housing in the priority ratings. All military housing, both at home and overseas, will be subject to even tighter screening as to its geographical impact and timing. Millwork manufacturers or distributors must reserve indefinitely for certified or rated orders 85 percent of the millwork they produce or receive, unless specifically authorized to do otherwise. In the case of hardwood flooring, the set-aside ratio for rated orders was set at 100 percent of all residential hardwood flooring which is produced or received. British Homebuilding declined in June Despite an increase in the labor construction force, the number of permanent houses started in England and Wales during June fell almost 21 percent below the May total, the British government reported. Of the 14,770 dwellings begun in June, 4,534 were being erected by private builders and 10,236 by local (government) authorities. Completions during the month totaled 2,852 units—2,059 by private builders and 793 by local authorities. By June 30 the total number of 356 houses provided this year had reached 178,570. Including rebuilt war-destroyed houses, 12,002 permanent and 30,706 temporary dwellings had been completed. The remainder of the housing made available by the mid-year date consisted of temporary huts and requisitioned unoccupied houses. Surplus materials held for housing To direct surplus building materials and equipment into the Veterans Emergency Housing Program, on August 16 the Housing Expediter issued Housing Expediter Priorities Regulations 1 and 2. Regulation 1 grants the VEHP and the VA construction program preferential consideration in acquiring (from War Assets Administration) over 80 types of surplus building materials. HE PR 2 applies in similar fashion to surplus materials and equipment for utilities (water, gas, power or sewerage). Listed materials, supplies and equipment under both orders must be made available during a 15-day period to the VA and the FPHA. After such an interval, remaining goods will be offered to holders of HH priorities under the VEHP. Any unclaimed surplus stock will then be disposed of according to general disposal procedures of the War Assets Administration. Deferment for construction workers Certain skilled workmen, managerial and supervisory personnel working on VEHP construction, are now eligible for deferment from military service under a recent agreement between NHA and the Selective Service System. To qualify for such certification by NHA, such workers must have at least three years' training and experience in key building trades. In addition they must be employed in areas of established labor shortages and their prospective loss must constitute a threat to home construction under the VEHP. PROGRESS OF THE VEHP JULY 31, 1946 607,100 units started account for 51 percent of 1946 goal of 1,200,000 Units started Program component Total. _ _ _ _.._ _ _ __ New permanent _ _ _ .. Conventional Factory-built- __ Temporary re-use_ _ Conversions __ Trailers _ _ - __ -_ 3 5 __ _ 607, 100 i 401, 200 ___ __ _ Units completed 385, 200\ 4 16, 000/ 132, 000 55, 300 18, 600 6 7 287, 100 2 194, 200 n. a. 5 6 7 25, 500 48, 800 18, 600 i TJ. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Estimate for month of July is preliminary. Includes factorybuilt homes. 2 U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, preliminary estimates. 3 Total permanent units as reported by TJ. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, less estimated number of factory-built homes started. Includes 3,256 units in New York City Housing Authority projects. < National Housing Agency reports on factory shipments. «Federal Public Housing Authority. Includes family-equivalent units, Federally and nonFederally financed. A family-equivalent unit consists either of a 1-family unit or of 2 dormitory units. Actual living accommodations totaled 152,200 started and 27,900 completed. e Preliminary estimate. 7 TJ. S. Bureau of Census. Includes National Housing Agency preliminary estimate of July factory shipments. n. a. Not available. Federal Home Loan Bank Review GI HOME LOAN PROGRAM GATHERS MOMENTUM Statistics of the Veterans Administration indicate the increasing importance of the GI loan program in current home financing activity. Recently released data also tell the story of where the loans made during! the first 18 months of the program originated. • T H E G I home loan program has now been in operation for more than a year and a half. For the most part, however, this has been a period of organization, education and modification—all pointing toward one of the biggest Government operations in the field of insuring or guaranteeing the purchase of homes. New records are being set with almost every week's activity. These result primarily from the nev/ regulations which became effective in March, covering the increase in the loan guaranty amount authorized in the December 28, 1945 amendments to the Act, together with the demobilization of the armed forces and the acute shortage of rental housing. Statistics on the volume of GI home loans have, until recently, been quite meager; but through the cooperation of the Loan Guarantee Service Division of the Veterans Administration, it is now possible to present for the first time a comprehensive statistical summary of home loans made through the end of July. Of special interest, too, is a geographical breakdown of all loans completed through June 28, 1946. Unfortunately, from the point of view of students and economists in the field of home finance or of institutional managers in the operating end of the business, it is not yet possible to obtain data by type of lender. I t is generally agreed, however, that savings and loan associations—as the traditional source of home financing funds—were off to an early lead in this type of financing, and are now accounting for a major share of GI home loans. Loan volume passes $1,000,000,000 By the end of July more than a quarter of a million home loan applications had been acted upon by the Veterans Administration and approved for loan closing. The principal amount of these loans is estimated a t more than $1.2 billion. Loans actually closed and disbursed totaled 200,231 on July 26, having an aggregate principal amounting to almost a billion dollars. (See Table 10, p . 382.) September 1946 Important is the fact that the program has only recently gotten into high gear. Almost half of the total applications made by veterans in the 18 months the program has been in effect were received during May, June and July. Recently, new applications have been pouring in at the rate of better than 12,000 a week, reaching a peak of over 13,600 in the week ending August 30. I n terms of dollar volume, this involves potential new loans amounting to more than $60,000,000 per week, or over a quarter of a billion dollars a month. Loans actually closed and disbursed are keeping pace with the applications and the current rate is running well in excess of $50,000,000 a week, or more than $200,000,000 a month. Relating these figures to a series such as mortgage recordings, which measures the volume of all real estate financing of $20,000 or less, the conclusion may be drawn that GI home loans are accounting for possibly as much as one-fourth to one-third of all home financing being done today. As an indication of the increasing tempo of current activity, it can be noted that a year ago in July only between 700 and 800 applications for G I home loans were being submitted each AVERAGE WEEKLY VOLUME OF 6.1. HOME LOAN APPLICATIONS NOV. SOVftCm-VtHfOM Atmimstraiion OCC. JAM. FEB. * * * OPEMCftft* ANALYSIS B t y t f K M ntPcuAi -mm. cam 9*m:»ummliu 357 week. The weekly average in December was around 2,500; and in March, when the major changes in regulations took effect, the number of applications was approximately 7,600 a week. Since the middle of May, however, there has only been one week with less than 10,000 new applications. GI home loans as of June 28, 1946 V A b r a n c h office a n d s t a t e U N I T E D STATES B r a n c h Office #1 Average loan and commitment data Through the end of July, the principal amount of the GI home loans closed since the program started averaged $4,968. This may be compared with an average of $4,678 at the end of March when this type of statistics first became available. I t is likely that this figure will continue to rise, for the average of loans currently being closed is well above those already on the books. In the four reporting periods during July, for example, the average principal amount of the loans closed was just over the $5,500-mark. Guaranty or insurance commitments by the Veterans Administration on all GI home loans made through the end of July aggregated $455,000,000. This was equal to about 46 percent of the cumulative principal amount of these loans, and averaged $2,271 per loan. At the end of March, the average commitment was $2,027. Two factors have combined to bring about this substantial increase: first and most important was the increase in the amount which could be insured or guaranteed; and second was the larger average size of each loan made, as noted above. Where the loans have been made A geographical breakdown of activity through the end of June provides the first complete analysis of where the G I home loans have been made. The whole story is contained in the table on this page, which shows the total number of loan applications made, the number and amount of loans closed and disbursed and the average size of loan for each VA regional branch and the states within each branch. In some cases there are several local offices within a given state (New York and Pennsylvania, for example, each have three) and sometimes a local office territory will take in a few counties in a neighboring state (for example the Chicago office accepts applications from a few counties in northwestern Indiana). For these reasons, the data in the table for an individual state can only be considered as the approximate total. 358 Connecticut Maine Massachusetts _. New Hampshire R h o d e I s l a n d __ ___ Vermont _ - B r a n c h Office #2 L o a n s closed a n d disbursed Number of loan applications Number Principal amount1 257, 986 165, 737 $804, 907 24,352 16,410 94, 078 5,733 3,405 2,439 12, 693 2,553 1,994 1,268 2,299 2,226 7,610 1,824 1,493 958 14, 760 8,941 49, 558 8,551 7,840 4,428 6,420 4,017 6,512 4,688 5,251 4,622 Average size of loan $4,857 21, 738 16, 352 92,398 5,651 __ 21, 738 16, 352 92, 398 5,651 B r a n c h Office #3 31,872 20,063 92, 780 4,624 391 7,418 24, 063 260 4,818 14, 985 1,471 25, 436 65,873 5,659 5,279 4,396 19, 267 13, 680 67, 654 4,945 2,669 4,593 4,889 4,790 2,316 1,763 3.321 3,593 3,565 1,438 12, 437 17, 306 16, 212 16, 395 5,305 7,054 5,211 4,512 4,599 3,689 16,165 9,967 43,409 4,355 2,576 3,424 4,653 2,056 3,456 1,638 1,730 3,222 1,113 2,264 5,909 7,847 15,459 4,720 9,474 3,607 4,536 4 798 4,241 4,185 33, 021 20, 726 95,965 4,630 2,705 11,819 18,497 1,957 6,755 12, 014 7,965 30,842 57,158 4,070 4,566 4,758 28, 028 18, 590 87,630 4,714 15,088 8,852 4,088 9,028 6,799 2,763 45, 911 27,497 14, 222 5,085 4,044 5,147 14,810 9,294 40, 518 4,360 6,045 4,602 3,250 412 501 4,111 2,424 2,127 280 352 18,005 11,688 8,405 1,147 1,273 4,380 4,821 3,952 4,097 3,616 20, 868 14, 743 62, 005 4,206 1,928 4,596 9,427 4,917 1,328 3,642 6,287 3,486 4,322 14, 937 26,853 15,893 3,254 4,101 4,271 4,559 18, 220 9,367 46, 021 4,913 2,612 1,441 14,167 1,130 662 7, 575 5,154 3,213 37,653 4,562 4,853 4,971 10, 234 5,908 23, 539 3,984 855 796 3,177 5,402 4 13, 975 999 12, 666 171 139 356 508 1,940 3,102 2 1,481 2,002 8,099 11,952 5 67959" 472 6, 332 99 56 3,678 1,866 549 992 271 42, 807 1,618 40, 370 338 482 4,159 3,941 4,175 3,853 2,400 67T51 New York Delaware _ N e w Jersey Pennsylvania _.. __ ___ B r a n c h Office #4 D i s t r i c t of C o l u m b i a Maryland N o r t h Carolina Virginia W e s t Virginia _ __ __ _. _ __ B r a n c h Office #5 A l a b a m a __ F l o r i d a _. Georgia . S o u t h Carolina Tennessee _ - _ _ _ __ _ _ __ B r a n c h Office #6 Kentucky Michigan Ohio _ _ _ _ _ _ ________ B r a n c h Office #7 Illinois ._ __ Indiana Wisconsin _ _ __ B r a n c h Office #8 Iowa Nebraska _ North Dakota South Dakota _ __ B r a n c h Office #9 Arkansas __ Missouri Oklahoma _ _ _ _ B r a n c h Office #10 Louisiana Mississippi Texas __ _ __ __ B r a n c h Office #11 Idaho MontanaOregon W a s h i n g t o n _ __ ._ Alaska B r a n c h Office #12 Arizona California _ _ Nevada Hawaii __ __ B r a n c h Office #13 Colorado N e w Mexico Utah_ Wyoming.. __ _ __ __ _ __ .. M31T 2,964 760 1,378 344 16, 103 8,615 2,284 4,127 1, 077 3,427 6,376 3,409 8,604 47378 4,617 4,159 4,160 3,975 • Figures in this column are shown in thousands of dollars. Federal Home Loan Bank Review To recapitulate the status of loans on June 28, the total number of the reports and applications received for home loans was 257,986. The status of 34,592 had not yet been determined, leaving a net figure of 223,394. Of these, 14,387, or about one out of sixteen, had either been withdrawn by the applicant or approval had been denied, leaving a total of 209,007 which had been approved by the Veterans Administration for loan closing. Of the approved loans, 165,737 were reported as having been closed and disbursed, and the remaining 43,270 were in the final processes. In many cases these are for new construction where prior approval by VA has been obtained but the guaranty process cannot be completed until final disbursement has been made. In others, it is merely a question of completing all necessary papers. Because of space limitations, discussion of the loans on a state-by-state basis is limited to those loans reported closed and disbursed—the 165,737 mentioned in the preceding paragraph. In terms of the number of loans, it is natural that the volume would be greatest in those areas where there are the greatest number of veterans. Consequently, it is not surprising to find that New York, Pennsylvania and Ohio accounted for slightly more than one out of every four loans closed. Add to these the totals of the states of Massachusetts, Illinois, California, Texas, Michigan, and Indiana and you have more than half of the aggregate number of completed actions. In terms of dollar volume there were 22 states and the District of Columbia which reported loans in excess of $10,000,000. New York led the group with a total of $92,000,000, Pennsylvania was next with almost $66,000,000, and Ohio was third with $57,000,000. Nevada was the only area with less than $1,000,000. Average size of loan Of considerable interest to all lenders is the average size of loan made under the GI program. We have already noted that on a nationwide basis this average has been steadily rising, and on June 28, stood at $4,857. Comparing the various reporting areas, there were 10 states and the District of Columbia with averages above this figure {Continued on p. 376) AVERAGE SIZE OF G.I. HOME LOAN 1 1—Under $4,000 X//X— $4,000 - 4,499 j — 4,500-4,999 J— 5,000-5,499 I— 5,500 and over September 1946 OPERATING ANALYSIS DIVISION FE0ERAL HOME LOAN BANK ADMN. 359 RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION IN 1941 AND 1946 ^Public 15,000 — Number of Public and Privately Financed dwelling units provided ^Private during the first half of each year in selected U.S. cities &5Q~-Public 10,000 *- Private 5,000 —4 NORTHEAST 1941 1946 19411946 NEW YORK LOS ANGELES SOUTHEAST NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH CENTRAL WEST 1,000 1,000 HARTFORD TRENTON MIAMI RICHMOND DES MOINES FLINT NASHVILLE TULSA SALT LAKE CITY SPOKANE 3,000 • - 3,000 2,000 - 2,000 1,000 0 1,000 — ~ JERSEY CITY ROCHESTER ATLANTA COLUMBUS INDIANAPOLIS KANSAS CITY, MO. HOUSTON LOUISVILLE DENVER — SEATTLE 0 6,000 6,000 5,000 5,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 2,000 - 2,000 1,000 1,000 —\ BOSTON PHILADELPHIA PITTSBURGH SOURCE - U S Department of Labor 360 BALTIMORE WASHINGTON >.'* Less than 3 dwelling units CHICAGO CLEVELAND DETROIT NEW ORLEANS SAN FRANCISCO OPERATING ANALYSIS DIVISION FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK ADMINISTRATION Federal Home Loan Bank Review A REVIEW OF THE CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK Contra-seasonal gains in home construction during the last half of this year are presaged by encouraging production reports for some of the most critical building materials. New actions have been taken to channel this output into veterans1 housing. A special study of 79 individual cities during the first six months reveals some spectacular gains over prewar levels. • ONLY a confirmed optimist would be foolhardy enough to begin to talk about the troubles being oyer in the building picture—and yet only the perennial pessimist would be sour enough to discount some of the real progress that has been made during the past few months. A foundation has been laid for continued expansion in homebuilding during the rest of this year and next. I t is time to review realistically the gains which have been made and some of the problems which remain to be solved. The Veterans Emergency Housing Program has been in operation only a little more than six months if you count back to the date of the President's initial report to Congress on February 8. If you start with the passage by Congress of the Veterans Emergency Housing Act on May 22, it has been functioning for only four months. And programs of such magnitude do not get rolling over night. The picture is not all rosy by any means, and yet as each new problem crops up, positive action is being taken to meet the need. Despite the fact that the Department of Commerce composite production index for 16 selected building materials shows a gain of 70 percent from December through the end of June, the situation boils down to whether there is enough of every single material needed to finish a given house. All of us have seen houses under construction that have stood idle for several weeks or months. Maybe there weren't enough nails, cast iron soil pipe, hardwood flooring, mill work or plumbing fixtures. These seem to be the strategic items which at present are clouding the picture and hiding some of the real progress which has been made. Every one is under constant review and the record of administrative actions during the past few weeks indicates the comprehensive steps being taken to remedy the situation. In many ways the current status of the housing program is not too different from that point in our development of the war production program when we had tanks all set to roll, but no engines; September 1946 or planes all ready to fly, but no propellers. These problems were licked with the cooperation of labor, of business and of Government and we went on to win. We can and wiil achieve the same end in the battle for housing. Breaking the material bottlenecks Basically there was no reason why the production of building materials during the first half of this year should have been much different from that for other industrial commodities. Management-labor disputes, transportation difficulties and differences over pricing policies were common throughout the American economy in the early months of 1946. I t has been only recently that our industrial giant has been free enough from these arthritic kinks to begin to move forward toward the postwar peaks ahead. During June, July and August, the combined efforts of business, of labor and of Government were beginning to have some cumulative, beneficial effects. For the first time this year there was comparative peace and quiet on the labor front. Industry had been the recipient of innumerable price increases designed to stimulate production. In the field of building materials, premium payment plans were introduced for the most critical items and the initial effects of this incentive program were beginning to be evident in production totals. Indicative of the generally brightened picture are the latest figures on brick and lumber production—two basic commodities in the homebuilding industry. Estimates for June indicate a total production of approximately 3.2 billion board feet of lumber. This was the second successive month above the 3-billion-board-feet rate, and the first time in more than two years that an output of this proportion had been registered. The July volume will be below this level because of the vacation period in West Coast producing regions. In spite of this, predictions for the year's total have already been revised upward to 361 32 billion board feet by the Civilian Production Administration and there are good prospects that even this figure will be surpassed. The outlook for brick production is equally encouraging. Brick production jumped 11 percent in June and rose an additional 17 percent in July. The Civilian Production Administration's estimate of 457 million bricks made during July was more than twice the amount manufactured in August 1945 when the war ended. In fact, it was the first time since 1941 that more than 400 million bricks had been produced in a single month. The premium payment plan for this material was among the first to be put into effect (June 1). Barring unforeseen developments, the critical shortage of bricks should be greatly alleviated by the end of the year, although the question of distribution of the supply may still be a problem in some areas. Structural tile and clay sewer products continue in tight supply, but 36 more plants were operating in mid-July than a month before. July production of both structural tile and clay sewer pipe was 5 percent above June totals and at postwar peak levels. The premium payment plan for these items was announced early in June. For housing only To make certain that the stepped-up output of building materials would not be sidetracked into non-housing uses, the Housmg Expediter and the Civilian Production Administration have announced a number of new orders which will channel much greater percentages of critical materials into veterans' housing. The drastic measures were designed to make possible the completion of a great volume of houses and apartments before winter sets in. In the first place, 28 more materials in short supply were added to Schedule A of Priorities Regulation 33—making a total of 58—which now contains the principal materials necessary to construct and complete houses. For 44 of the 58 materials, dealers and distributors must accept priority rated orders which are offered to them up to 75 percent of their material receipts. Even larger proportions must be set aside and held for rated orders for the remaining 14 materials. In the case of millwork (the most critically short material in the whole program at the present time), for example, manufacturers and distributors must reserve indefinitely for rated orders 85 362 percent of the millwork they produce or receive. Every hardwood flooring manufacturer or distributor must now reserve 100 percent of his residential hardwood flooring for rated orders. The problem of cast iron soil pipe has been attacked on three fronts: At least 93 percent of a producer's output must be in sizes needed for housing; the use of this material beyond five feet from any building or for any purpose other than sewage disposal systems has been prohibited; and 80 percent of the quantity received by distributors or jobbers must be set aside for rated orders. Further cuts were agreed upon in the amount of non-housing construction which is to be permitted. A weekly volume of $35 million is now the goal in contrast to $48.8 million during the period from May through August. All of these actions add up to a concerted effort to shift the materials shortage squeeze from housing to non-housing channels. Private housing in 1946 The whole story of the progress of the Veterans Emergency Housing Program is shown in the table on page 356, prepared by the National Housing Agency. To bring the discussion closer to the operations of home financing institutions, however, let's look at the record thus far in 1946 for privately financed housing. The statistics used are based on building permits issued, as reported by the Department of Labor, because the data are available by type of structure and also on a comparable basis for the prewar year of 1941. In the first seven months of this year, permits were taken out in all nonfarm areas for almost 419,000 privately financed dwelling units. This was nearly 10 percent more than in 1941, and more than four times the volume in the same period of last year. One-family units accounted for 89 percent of the total; 2-family units, 4 percent; and multi-family units, 7 percent. Of the 382,000 permits issued in the same 1941 period, 85 percent were for single-family houses; 4 percent for 2-family units; and multi-family units made up 11 percent of the total. Because a higher proportion of current building consists of single-family dwellings, the gain in this type of construction over 1941 was almost 16 percent. Considering the fact that at the start of this year material distribution pipelines were virtually drained and stockpiles non-existent, the achievements during the first seven months take on even greater significance. Federal Home Loan Bank Review Permits issued for new privately financed dwelling units in 79 selected cities— First six months, 1941 and 1946 1941 1946 City and state 1-famiiy 2-fam- ny A k r o n , Ohio . „ Albany, N . Y Atlanta, Ga ___ _ Baltimore, M d B i r m i n g h a m , Ala . Boston, Mass _ __ Bridgeport, Conn Buffalo, N . Y Cambridge, Mass Camden, N . J 567 42 683 2,180 668 99 113 105 2 103 19 706 16 44 ]0 22 Chattanooga, Tenn Chicago, 111 _ C i n c i n n a t i , Ohio_. ._ . Cleveland, O h i o . . . C o l u m b u s , Ohio Dallas, Texas . D a y t o n , Ohio __ . D e n v e r , C o l o . . __ Des Moines, I o w a , . . . . Detroit, Mich _. 187 2,584 208 642 580 2,492 297 1,801 588 4,881 10 96 130 47 5 128 14 46 18 164 Erie, P a Fall River, M a s s . . . . . . Flint, Mich._ Fort Wayne, Ind _ Fort Worth, Texas G a r y , I n d _ ._ . ___ Grand Rapids, Mich_._ Hartford, Conn _ . Houston, Texas Indianapolis, I n d 216 32 434 296 2,127 323 378 37 1,891 520 10 398 50 Jacksonville, F l a Jersey City, N . J Kansas C i t y , K a n s a s . . . Kansas C i t y , M o . . . "Knoxville, T e n n _ L o n g B e a c h , Calif . Los Angeles, Calif Louisville, K y Memphis, Tenn Miami, Fla_. 621 1 140 433 420 824 7,427 671 1,107 791 40 4 10 60 2 165 969 2 140 316 Milwaukee, Wis Minneapolis, M i n n Nashville, T e n n Newark, N . J New Haven, Conn N e w Orleans, L a N e w York, N . Y Norfolk, V a . . . . O a k l a n d , Calif _ _ . . O k l a h o m a C i t y , Okla__ 885 755 286 13 128 254 1,810 115 534 741 Omaha, Nebr Paterson, N . J _ __ P h i l a d e l p h i a , P a __ . . . P i t t s b u r g h , P a _. . . ._ P o r t l a n d , Ore _ Providence, R. I Reading, P a . . . Richmond, Va ._ Rochester, N . Y St. L o u i s , M o 455 30 2,263 241 1,268 25 43 769 207 115 St. P a u l , M i n n Salt L a k e C i t y , U t a h . . . S a n A n t o n i o , Texas S a n Diego, Calif San Francisco, Calif S c r a n t o n , Pa_ _ _ . . . Seattle, W a s h Spokane, W a s h . . . _ Springfield, M a s s . Syracuse, N . Y 680 575 1,765 782 1,230 7 1,463 848 395 70 20 74 33 133 425 257 8 558 745 658 132 215 173 150 36 1 17 T o l e d o , Ohio T r e n t o n , N . J_ T u l s a , Okla Washington, D . C._. Wichita, Kansas... . . Wilmington, Del . . Worcester, M a s s Yonkers, N . Y . . . Youngstown, Ohio. September 1946 . . _ _ 3-and morefamily 1 72 4 29 12 42 1 4 391 292 50 92 98 72 471 7 73 3 5 52 7 6 17 7 55 130 1-famiiy 2-fam- 466 40 437 1,759 350 255 179 57 10 158 4 4 82 358 129 17 70 14 111 2,031 455 850 608 867 351 1,539 345 5,764 106 21 373 269 602 364 240 123 1,608 656 40 889 23 66 8 741 3,625 11 5 301 50 232 123 957 5,961 661 824 789 187 140 29 60 5 41 3 2 68 1,549 8 97 127 37 2,148 10 154 20 389 606 136 18 68 372 3,785 303 864 519 13 42 44 20 22 2 2 166 32 8 2 57 8 90 165 230 7 206 152 265 83 144 99 122 39 3 94 24 60 5 132 957 16 10 18 8 36 45 3 355 109 2,556 337 885 76 25 366 89 453 394 551 713 1,684 2,108 13 1,309 351 122 62 281 1 653 1,383 743 84 249 98 159 ny 3-and morefamily 37 45 229 11 56 132 70 95 136 162 25 52 123 12 110 3 272 79 615 176 254 19 67 83 27 4 6 8 8 5 46 4 18 114 121 12 219 78 42 2 4 152 4 36 3 89 506 7 450 119 312 3,338 8 20 152 230 46 23 44 8 18 205 1,786 22 93 53 40 9,812 138 114 4 18 10 2 4 39 30 54 6 46 12 42 58 290 223 2 14 4 12 54 133 4 223 149 41 40 234 37 26 5 2 6 54 25 30 2 6 3 4,555 89 4 91 187 4 July permits for privately financed construction in nonfarm areas totaled approximately 62,000 units. This was a gain of 6 percent over the June volume and reversed the downward trend which had prevailed since the March peak. While the gain is not unusually large, it may indicate that builders are beginning to see enough improvement in the materials picture to warrant undertaking additional projects. City data The Bureau of Labor Statistics has prepared a special summary of building permits issued in 79 individual cities during the first half of this year and the comparable period in 1941. The chart on page 360 shows the breakdown of public and private construction for the two years in selected cities in representative geographic areas. All figures are limited to city boundaries and do not include data for surrounding communities. Tax Incentive for Rental Housing • A recent ruling by the Commissioner of Internal Revenue allows builders and owners of multi-family rental projects to step up the rate of depreciation for tax purposes. This action is expected to provide an important new incentive to build rental housing projects for veterans. Owners of rental housing will no longer be restricted to the equal annual instalment method of charging off depreciation for tax purposes. Rental housing owners can use a method which will permit a property to be depreciated at a faster rate in the earlier years of its life. The text of the ruling is as follows: "The Bureau of Internal Revenue recognizes and approves the use of the declining balance method of accounting for depreciation with the condition that the applicable declining balance rate not exceed 150 percent of the normal straight line rate. For example, where the normal depreciation rate on a building is 2.5 percent the declining balance rate would be 3.75 percent. Under this method the amount of depreciation in the case of new property computed at the applicable rate for the first year is subtracted from the cost or other basis of the property and the declining balance rate would thereafter be applied to the resulting balances from year to year." Rental housing owners will have the option of choosing whichever method is more suited to their needs. In addition, an owner can apply for the right to use a higher depreciation rate if he believes special conditions prevail. 363 * * * WORTH REPEATING * * * ASSISTANCE: "Brokers, builders, appraisers, and lenders can assist the veteran by helping him to find a home at the most reasonable price available under present conditions, by helping to get new homes in low price ranges constructed, by giving sound advice and counsel to veterans with regard to real estate prices and values, and by making sure that the veteran embarks on a home ownership program within his earning capacity." Fred T. Greene, President, Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis, in Savings and Loans News, August 1946. JUDGMENT: "It does require knowledge, wisdom and judgment to distinguish the quality and safety of a mortgage investment and some measure of courage to be unyielding in the face of unwise competition for available loans. Remember that today is the yesterday of tomorrow and post mortems are not likely to produce convincing alibis.'' William J. Dwyer, President, The Franklin Society for Home Building and Savings, National Savings and Loan Journal, August 1946. TAXES AND BLIGHT: "We must decentralize our tax base, if we are to preserve our cities from blight, if we are to slow down the exodus to the suburbs, and if we are to maintain real estate as a sound medium of investment and sound security for credit. Taxation is inevitable, indispensable, but taxation must be sanely and fairly conceived and imposed." H. Walter Graves, President, Philadelphia Real Estate Board, Delaware County Magazine, July 1946. CHARACTER: " W i t h o u t s o u n d character, all the public relations tools and techniques in the book are ineffective and useless. "This character must be big enough to sacrifice short-range expediency for long-range stability. It will be expressed by the wisdom of fair-dealing and have no part of sharp practice. Companies planning for favorable public opinion will choose to be wise, rather than smart, they will consider people as well as 364 projects, the public interest as well as profits, and sound principles as well as politics. This basic character and enlightened philosophy are the foundations upon which a planned public relations program must rest." George F. Meredith, President, American P u b l i c Relations Association, The Constructor, July 1946. HEADACHES: "We look back upon the Thirties as a period of intense problems. Only within the past few years have our thrift institutions overcome the difficulties of defaulted mortgages and frozen real estate which developed in that period. But the rea] problems occurred much earlier, at a time when we thought we had no problems. The headaches and heartaches of the Thirties were the product of the mistakes of the boom times before. It was the loans we made when prices were high and everything was booming that caused the sleepless nights years later. Once again prices are high and booming. Once again we are drinking the wine of inflation which will surely give us some more headaches tomorrow." Elliot V. Bell, New York State Supervisor of Banks, Guide and Bulletin, July 1946. \§> HOUSING NEEDS AND THE HOUSING MARKET: By Ramsey Wood. 1946. Postwar Economic Studies, No. 6, Federal Reserve Board, Washington, D. C. "The operations of the Federal Home Loan Bank System should be continued substantially as they are," says Mr. Wood. "It would be desirable, particularly in view of the probability of a rising real estate market in early postwar years, to require that all members of the System use a uniform technique of appraisal." Such a technique, Mr. W^ood suggests, should be consistent with NHA standards and might be handled either by the present FHA valuation staff or by a similar FHLBS or FSLIC staff. In fact, except for minor changes, Mr. Wood would retain the current organization of all Federal housing activities. He believes a central agency similar to NHA is vital to integrate various individual programs but "serious consideration should be given to the [removal of] contradictions and inconsistencies . . ." Reduced interest rates and longer mortgages have been recommended by some builders as a means of stimulating home ownership, according to the report. However, the advocates of such a course recognize frankly that it would not actually reduce prices and costs but only reduce current charges per dollar of debt. Since this would make housing available to families more concerned with current charges than with ultimate price, it would immediately increase the size of the market for residential real estate at existing prices. But this suggestion is not a surefire prescription for a general and permanent improvement of housing conditions in this country, the report quickly points out. It is more likely to add fuel to the flames of inflation and lead to a four- or five-year period of boom building than a sustained large volume of construction necessary to achieve the goal of "an adequate supply of housing that meets recognized standards of health and decency . . . available at charges commensurate with family incomes." Our only hope of reaching the sustained production of housing we must have to provide for our long-term needs is to weld all remedial actions into an integrated housing program which takes due cognizance of "the important role played by capital values in regulating the amount and kind of new housing added to the [existing] supply." Federal Home Loan Bank Review WHO HOLDS THE BACKLOG OF SAVINGS? — PART III — Plans for home ownership, home financing and prospective savings programs of approximately 3,000 spending units receive detailed attention in Part III of the Federal Reserve Board's study. This concludes the series, previous summaries having appeared in the July and August issues of the REVIEW. • AT the turn of the year, with the war over and reconversion under way, what did people plan to do with their money? Did they expect wartime earnings to continue? Would they be willing and able to save at the recently prevalent rate? Was the "huge backlog of consumer d e m a n d / ' about which economists and laymen alike have talked so glibly, about to be translated into actual purchases or was it a product of wishful thinking? Part I I I of the survey, made for the Federal Reserve Board by the Division of Program Surveys, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, Department of Agriculture, 1 provides an analysis of answers to these questions. This study is based on a sample survey made during the first three months of 1946 when the heads of 3,000 "spending units'' (members of a family who live together and pool their major items of income and expense) were interviewed. Income expectations With regard to the economic outlook as a whole, people were equally divided between optimism and pessimism. However, judging from the results of this inquiry, they were generally more optimistic about their own income prospects than were the economists in calculating trends of production, profits and wages. About a third of the spending units (not including those on farms) estimated that their 1946 incomes would remain substantially the same as last year. A fourth expected less income this year; another fourth anticipated more; and a sixth could or would not make a commitment. In order to assess the effects of these antici National Survey of Liquid Asset Holdings, Spending, and Saving, Part Three: Prospective Spending and Saving, Division of Program Surveys, Bureau of Agricultural Economics, Department of Agriculture, Washington, D. C. This article presents the highlights of Part III of the report prepared by the Division of Program Surveys and summarized in the August issue of the Federal Reserve Bulletin. Szpfzmbzr 1946 ipated changes, it is necessary to know by what amounts people expected their incomes to change. This produced a slightly different story. According to personal income expectations, the amount of additional income anticipated was approximately equal to that of the expected decrease, so that the total of incomes in 1946 would be about the same as in, 1945. As an indication of soundness, it is to be noted that more estimates were based on changes already experienced than on mere anticipation. Apparently the size of community bore little or no relation to expected changes in income, but age, current income and occupation did make a difference. As might be expected, the younger the head of a spending unit the more likely he was to look for an increase; also the lowest income brackets in 1945 were more often in the " optimistic" category. Professional and business people and white-collar workers more frequently expected increases than decreases, while skilled workers anticipated the opposite trend. However, it is real income, not just cash in hand, that lays the groundwork for future savings and substantial purchases. What did people expect prices to do and how would that affect their personal expenses? Slightly more than half of those interviewed thought that prices wo aid go up this year, while only S percent of those who expressed any definite opinion looked for a decline. The most frequent, if not very realistic, answer given by the 21 percent who anticipated no rise in prices was, ''They can't go any higher." Indicating that price changes are not the only factor influencing people's expectations about their own expenses, 40 percent thought that they would spend more on day-to-day living this year; 37 percent believed an expenditure equal to last year's would see them through, while only 7 percent anticipated spending less than they had during 1945. 365 Table 2.—Cha racteristics Plans (or spending One thing is quite evident from this survey, namely, that no great number of people planned to rush into the market right away just because the war was over and the bars were down. How they may feel as ersatz goods are replaced by those of prewar quality and economic conditions are stabilized, is anybody's guess at this point. To the question: "Do you think 1946 will be a good time or a poor time to buy things like cars, refrigerators, radios, furniture and things like that?" over twothirds of the replies indicated that it would be a poor time, with the reasons about equally divided between high costs and poor quality. Sixteen percent thought that this would be a good buyers' year, while six percent did not answer the question but argued in terms of need—that is—if you must have certain goods and have the money, one time is as good as another to buy. Bearing out the current state of mind, Table 1, which appears on this page, shows that an overwhelming percentage of people did not intend to buy consumer durable goods or houses in 1946. Comparatively few did plan such purchases, in spite of poor market conditions, emphasizing the intensity of their demand for durable goods. To speak of the "comparatively few" is quite correct, percentagewise. However, it must be remembered that although they were a minority of the spending units interviewed, they constituted a substantial number of people whose total purchases could represent a sizable "shot-in-the-arm" to our national economy and indicated a demand likely to exceed the supply available this year. Part I of this survey projected consumer expenditures in 1946 as follows: $4-6 billion for cars; $3.2-4.4 billion for other consumer durables; and $13-17.5 billion for houses. fe y Table 1.—Intentions to purchase consumer d u r a b l e goods a n d houses in 1 9 4 6 P e r c e n t of s p e n d i n g u n i t s Other Automo- consumer Housing biles durable goods Intentions P l a n to b u y Will p r o b a b l y b u y , b u t m a y n o t Undecided, "it d e p e n d s " . . . Will n o t b u y _ __ I n t e n t i o n s n o t ascertained N u m b e r of cases 366 - _. 8 3 2 84 3 22 6 5 63 4 6 1 2 83 8 100 2,890 100 2,890 100 2,890 of p o t e n t i a l of nonfarm housing * Characteristic Place of residence M e t r o p o l i t a n areas , . _. O t h e r cities over 50,000 ... ... _ Cities from 2,500 t o 50,000 . Small t o w n s (under 2,500) ... O p e n c o u n t r y n o n f a r m people . . . 1945 a n n u a l income $1-999 1,000-1,999 2,000-2,999 3,000-4,999 5,000 a n d over Not ascertained. . _. . O c c u p a t i o n of h e a d of s p e n d i n g u n i t Professional a n d w h i t e - c o l l a r . . Businessmen, m a n a g e r s . . Skilled a n d unskilled workers R e t i r e d , u n e m p l o y e d , other N o t ascertained L i q u i d asset holdings None ... $1-499 500-999 1,000-2,999 3,000-4,999 5,000 a n d over ._ N o t ascertained _ _ .... . . ._ . . . _ . . Age of h e a d of s p e n d i n g u n i t 20-29 years 30-44 y e a r s . . _ ... _ _ . _ 45-60 y e a r s . . . . . . . . ... ._ _ . . . . . . Over 60 years _ .. _ _ _ _ . . . _ .. N u m b e r of cases ... _ __ bu yers Potential buyers 2 Nonbuyers Percent Percent 26 25 31 11 7 32 19 28 13 8 100 100 8 23 28 29 11 1 17 27 24 23 8 1 100 100 19 15 52 14 21 13 44 21 1 100 100 14 22 16 23 13 9 3 21 31 14 20 6 6 2 100 100 27 47 24 2 21 33 30 16 100 100 192 2,440 i This table excludes farm operators whose purchases of housing are usually incidental to their purchases of farm land. 2 Those who say they will build or buy and those who say they probably will. Neither place of residence nor occupation distinguished prospective buyers of durable goods (including cars but excluding housing). On the other hand, age was a different story. Younger people (under 45) were more heavily represented among prospective buyers than in the population at large: Almost two-thirds of the prospective buyers were under 45 and only 8 percent were over 60 years old. Low income was not a deterrent to prospective purchasing. One-third of the people who expected to buy cars or other durables had incomes of less than $2,000 in 1945. Only 11 percent had incomes as high as $5,000. However, on the average, spending units that expected to make these purchases had higher incomes than those who didn't plan to buy. t Interest in home ownership Recording a subject of particular interest to savings and loan executives, the statistical data which are presented in Tables 1 and 2 give a picture of people's expectations with respect to home Federal Home Loan Bank Review General Conclusions from the Survey of Savings ] 1. Current buying will be paid for primarily out of current income. Relatively small a m o u n t s of liquid assets are held by most individuals and, according to intentions expressed a t the beginning of 1946, these people do not intend to use their Government bonds or b a n k deposits for consumption expenditures.. However, t h e use of liquid assets by consumers who plan to use t h e m to purchase durable goods or housing, together with the use of liquid assets by consumers to meet other consumption outlays, could a m o u n t to a sizable fund relative to the available supplies of such goods. 2. T h e use of instalment credit, an indirect way of buying from current income, will be substantial during t h e year. Borrowings to finance the purchase of consumer durable goods a n d houses will greatly exceed t h e a m o u n t s of liquid assets people plan to use for these purchases. 3. Strong inflationary pressures will continue in the consumer goods markets. T h e present d e m a n d for consumer goods, largely m a d e possible by current income plus the additional purchasing power created by the availability of borrowing and by spending of liquid assets, will continue to exceed production, particularly in those industries not yet able t o operate a t t o p capacity. 4. T h e d e m a n d for consumer durable goods, in addition to t h e increase in prices of cost-of-living articles, will result in savings far below 1945 levels and in a large reduction in t h e r a t e of liquid asset ownership, which included buying and building. Part I I I of the survey elaborates on the conclusions published in Part I—that the average anticipated expenditure for houses (new and old) was just over $5,000. The breakdown shown in Table 2 confirms the fact that the widest home market is in the lower cost brackets. Less than 16 percent of prospective buyers expected to pay as much as $8,000, while one-third anticipated spending less than $4,000. Eliminating those buyers in the under-$2,000 class (many of whom planned to buy materials and do part or all of their own building), the average amount in prospect for home purchases would be about $6,000. Table 2 shows that some prospective buyers were to be found in each classification. Neither low income nor absence of liquid assets was a complete barrier to plans for home ownership. Although a somewhat greater proportion of the upper than of the lower income brackets were prospective buyers, the majority of potential customers had incomes of less than $3,000 in 1945. September 1946 accumulation. A greatly increased proportion of consumer income is currently being allocated to consumer expenditures a t t h e expense of saving. 5. Transfers of liquid assets to other forms of investment could exert considerable inflationary pressure in t h e real estate m a r k e t and t h e m a r k e t s for securities other t h a n Government, a n d have i m p o r t a n t secondary effects in other markets. 6. T h e sum of 10 t o 15 billion dollars, t h e estim a t e d volume of liquid assets t h a t might be used for various purposes in 1946, is of significant inflationary magnitude. Some allowance must be made, however, for the non-inflationary character of consumer savings t h a t will be invested during 1946 in liquid assets. E v e n when allowance is made for the offsetting effects of such savings, it would appear t h a t the likely use of individual liquid asset holdings during this year constitutes a serious current inflationary pressure. And in assessing its full inflationary force, account must be t a k e n of additions to consumer purchasing power through the mechanism of borrowing. 7. The liquid assets held by t h e majority of people can not be considered to constitute a reserve fund large enough for carrying on regular expenditures in t h e event of drastic changes in income. T o t a l asset holdings of three-fourths of t h e people a m o u n t e d to less t h a n one-fifth of their annual income. 1 "A National Survey of Liqu'd Assets," Federal Reserve Bulletin, August 1946, page 854. The same pattern was true with regard to liquid asset holdings. On the average, those who were planning to buy homes had more cash reserves than those who were not. However, many who said they definitely or probably would build or buy, had small holdings and 14 percent had none. All occupational groups were in the market for homes, with skilled and unskilled workers showing the greatest proportionate interest. I t is not surprising to note that youth was again an important factor in prospective home ownership. In addition to the information shown in the table, it was found that people planning to buy tended to be quite a bit younger, on the average, than the rest of the population. Financing purchases Savings and loan managers will also have a more-than-ordinary interest in the expressed intentions regarding the financing of these home purchases. Amazingly enough, better than one out of every six of the prospective purchasers 367 said they would be in a position to pay the full price in cash. Nearly three-fourths planned to borrow at least some of the money, with part of them counting on borrowing the entire amount under the GI Bill or through some other means. When it is considered that rough estimates indicate aggregate borrowing of over one-half the entire amount that prospective home buyers are planning to spend ($13-17.5 billion), the magnitude of potential home financing becomes evident. Additional plans for payment included drawing about one-fourth of the total cost from liquid assets, leaving a relatively small part to be met from income or from the sale of non-liquid assets. Slightly over half of the spending units who expected to buy a car or other durable goods counted on paying for them fully in cash. As to sources of funds to be used, rough estimates indicated that, in the aggregate, a fourth of the total cost was to be financed through borrowing or the use of instalment plans with another fourth of the cost to be met by using present holdings of liquid assets. The remaining half of the cost would come from current income and trade-in values. Although instalment buyers tended to be concentrated in the middle income group, a sizable group was found in the upper income brackets. Several conclusions may be drawn from these facts. One is the widespread reluctance to use liquid assets. (Half of the prospective borrowers holding such assets expected to finance their purchases in other ways.) I t was apparent that the majority of people considered these holdings, particularly bonds, as permanent assets not suitable for use in purchasing consumer durable goods. The fact that many prospective buyers were Table 3.—Relation between income expectations and savings expectations Income expectations Savings expectations Decrease by Same Increase by Within 25 per- 5 to 25 5 to 25 25 peror 5 per- cent or percent percent cent more cent more Increase by 5 percent or more No change (within 5 percent) No savings in 1945, don't expect to save in 1946 Decrease by 5 percent or more--. Depends, don't know Not ascertained _ Number of cases 368 10 13 15 39 IG 7 11 8 18 54 5 4 14 33 60 9 39 19 17 15 10 11 9 9 10 3 8 9 16 9 100 100 100 100 100 373 230 905 258 391 willing to borrow for substantial purchases may be due in part to their having become debt-free during the war, the report points out. In summary, it should be noted that this whole question of prospective buying and financing is a rather "iffy" one. If there are substantial changes in price levels, people's plans about buying may be altered, or if the amount of money available (savings and income) won't go so far, they may have to revise their borrowing programs. Based entirely on first quarter predictions, it appears that current income will be augmented by $2 billion each from liquid assets and borrowing to finance cars and other durable goods, and at least $3 billion out of liquid assets and $7 billion by borrowing for the purchase of housing. Prospective savins And what about saving—was the wartime spurt just that or do people think that they now have neither the desire nor the ability to continue? As far as the desire is concerned they still have it, but their expectations as to the performance are less substantial. As stated in more detail in Part I of this survey, the American people as a whole expect to save less this year than last. This is based on the fact that the spending units with high incomes and large asset holdings expected to reduce their annual savings. This would not be compensated for in the lower income groups. Although a smaller proportion felt it would be necessary to reduce their savings, many had put aside nothing last year and didn't expect to do so in 1946. Table 3 shows clearly what people expected the cost-of-living "squeeze" plus the possibility of making long-deferred, essential purchases to do to savings. What has happened to the savings motive since the end of the war? When asked whether they would rather go on saving at the wartime rate or felt they might as well spend more, only 8 percent of those interviewed favored the spending. Almost 60 percent wanted to save at least as much as they had been, while nearly a fifth said they couldn't save. The cost of living and the economic uncertainty can easily be seen to have taken their toll of wartime savers. In summing up, the report states that the relation of consumer expenditures and savings is a complex problem, by no means dependent solely on the amount of disposable income in the hands {Continued on p. 377) Federal Home Loan Bank Review vv Held For Veterans • A new red, white and blue "Held for Veterans'' placard wras announced late in August by NHA Administrator Wilson W. Wyatt. The sign must be posted conspicuously on all housing being built under the Veterans Emergency Housing Program. The posters are being distributed by state and district FHA offices. Used to earmark homes and apartments being constructed for veterans, the tri-colored placard carries the FHA-approved sales or rental price. Sales prices shown are the authorized V E H P ceilings, not necessarily the appraisal values of the properties for loan purposes. Posted sales prices are subject to changes resulting from conditions beyond builders' control, NHA pointed out. Under the current regulations all houses for sale, whose construction was authorized on or after August 6, must be held for veterans' purchase at least 60 days after completion. Although required to hold their sale housing only 30 days after completion, builders who received their priorities before August 6 are asked to hold such housing voluntarily the full 60-day period. There has been no change in the ruling that all rental housing must be held 30 days for veterans. tt% DIRECTORY f CHANGES July 1 - J u l y 31, 1946 Key to changes * Admission to membership in Bank System. ** Termination of membership in Bank System. 0 Insurance certificate granted. BOSTON DISTRICT MASSACHUSETTS: Fall River: *0First Federal Savings and Loan Association of Fall River, 27 North Main Street. NEW YORK DISTRICT N E W JERSEY: Barnegat: **Bay Shore Building and Loan Association, 11 South Main Street. N E W YORK: Rockville Centre: *0Rockville Centre Savings and Loan Association, 203 Sunrise Highway. PITTSBURGH DISTRICT PENNSYLVANIA: Beaver: *Dollar Building and Loan Association, 489 Third Street. WINSTON-SALEM DISTRICT FLORIDA: Quincy: *0Quincy Federal Savings and Loan Association, 211 Masonic Building. CINCINNATI DISTRICT KENTUCKY: Newport: *United Building Association, 702 Monmouth Street. OHIO: Wellsville: *Perpetual Savings and Loan Company, Fifth and Main Streets. INDIANAPOLIS DISTRICT MICHIGAN: Sault Ste. Marie: **Sault Ste. Marie Federal Savings and Loan Association, 511 Central Savings Bank Building. CHICAGO DISTRICT ILLINOIS: Chicago: **Commonwealth Edison Savings and Loan Association, 72 West Adams Street. L I T T L E ROCK DISTRICT TEXAS: Littlefield: 0Littlefield Federal Savings and Loan Association, 429 Phelps Avenue. TOPEKA DISTRICT OKLAHOMA: Cushing: *Cushing Savings and Loan Association, 208 East Broadway. SAN FRANCISCO DISTRICT Posting the first "Held for Veterans" sign. From left to right: Clark Daniels, representing the builders of these homes at Riverdale, Md.; Wilson W. Wyatt, NHA Administrator; Raymond Foley, FHA Commissioner; and L. R. Legendre, Ass't. National Adjutant, American Legion. September 1946 712368—46 3 CALIFORNIA: El Monte: *0 Valley Savings and Loan Association of El Monte, 318 West Valley Boulevard. 369 Amendments to Rules and Regulations FHLBA Bulletin No. 67 AMENDMENT TO RULES AND REGULATIONS FOR THE FEDERAL SAVINGS AND LOAN SYSTEM RELATING TO THE AVAILABILITY OF OPINIONS, ORDERS, RULES AND REGULATIONS FOR PUBLIC INSPECTION. (Adopted August 27, 1946; effective September 5, 1946.) A new Section 201.4 has been added to the Rules and Regulations for the Federal Savings and Loan System which outlines the provisions for making available for public inspection final opinions or orders in the adjudication of cases, and all Rules and Regulations for the Federal Home Loan Bank System. The only exceptions are those final opinions and orders classed as confidential by the F H L B Commissioner or by persons designated by him for that purpose. 201.4 AVAILABILITY OF OPINIONS, ORDERS, RULES AND RECxULATIONS FOR PUBLIC INSPECTION—(a) AVAILABILITY FOR INSPECTION. Notwithstanding any provision of the rules and regulations of the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration, all final opinions or orders in the adjudication of cases, and all rules and regulations for the Federal Home Loan Bank System now or hereafter in force and effect except such final opinions and orders as are required for good cause to be held confidential and not cited as precedents, shall be made available for public inspection at the Office of the Secretary, Federal Home Loan Bank Administration, Federal Home Loan Bank Board Building, 101 Indiana Avenue, N . W., Washington, D. C (b) CLASSIFICATION AS CONFIDENTIAL. The classification of final opinions or orders in the adjudication of cases as final opinions and orders which are required to be held confidential and not cited as precedents shall be made only by the Federal Home Loan Bank Commissioner or such person or persons as he may designate for that purpose and shall be in writing. Any change in such classification may be made only by the Federal Home Loan Bank Commissioner or such person or persons as he may designate for that purpose and shall be in writing. (c) BEQUESTS TO I N S P E C T RECORDS. All requests to inspect official records shall be in writing and delivered to the Office of the Secretary, Federal Home Loan Bank Administration, Federal Home Bank Board Building, 101 Indiana Avenue, N . W., Washington, D. C , with a statement of the name or names of the party or parties making such request and the concern of said party or parties in the matter. This amendment, deemed to be of a procedural character,, became effective on September 5, 1946. I t had been filed with The Federal Register on August 28, 1946. FHLBA Bulletin No. 68 AMENDMENT TO RULES AND REGULATIONS FOR THE FEDERAL SAVINGS AND LOAN SYSTEM RELATING TO THE PROVISIONS FOR THE SALE OF LOANS BY FEDERAL SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS. (Adopted and effective August 28, 1946.) The third sentence of paragraph (a) of Section 203.13 of the Rules and Regulations for the Fed370 eral Savings and Loan System has been amended to read as shown below. The new text eliminates the provision that in selling mortgages Federal associations make and collect an initial service charge sufficient to reimburse them for the expenses incurred in originating such business. The sentence now reads: Any mortgages so sold shall be sold without recourse, and if under a contract to service the same, then on a basis to provide sufficient compensation to the Federal association to reimburse it for expenses incurred under its service contract. This amendment was deemed to be of a minor character and became effective upon filing- with The Federal Register on August 28, 1946. FSLIC Bulletin No. 29 AMENDMENT TO THE RULES AND REGULATIONS FOR INSURANCE OF ACCOUNTS RELATING TO THE AVAILABILITY OF OPINIONS, ORDERS, RULES AND REGU- LATIONS FOR PUBLIC INSPECTION. (Adopted Au- gust 27, 1946; effective September 5, 1946.) The provisions of the Rules and Regulations for Insurance of Accounts for making available for public inspection the official records and all final opinions or orders in the adjudication of cases, and all Rules and Regulations for Insurance of Accounts have been amended by adding the following new sentence at the beginning of paragraph (c) of Section 301.20: All requests to inspect official records shall be in writing and delivered to the Office of the Secretary, Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board Building, 101 Indiana Avenue, N. W., Washington, D. C , with a statement of the name or names of the party or parties making such request and the concern of said party or parties in the matter. A new Section 301.25 relating to the same subject has also been added as follows: 301.25 AVAILABILITY OF OPINIONS, ORDERS, RULES AND REGULATIONS FOR PUBLIC INSPECTION—(a) AVAILABILITY FOR INSPECTION. Notwithstanding any provision of Section 301.20 of these rules and regulations, all final opinions or orders in the adjudication of cases, and all rules and regulations for insurance of accounts now or hereafter in force and effect except such final opinions and orders as are required for good cause to be held confidential and not cited as precedents, shall be made available for public inspection at the Office of the Secretary, Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board Building, 101 Indiana Avenue, N. W., Washington, D. C. (b) CLASSIFICATION AS CONFIDENTIAL. The classification of final opinions or orders in the adjudication of cases as final opinions and orders which are required to be held confidential and not cited as precedents shall be made only by the Federal Home Loan Bank Commissioner or such person or persons as he may designate for that purpose and shall be in writing. Any change in such classification may be made only by the Federal Home Loan Bank Commissioner or such person or persons as he may designate for that purpose and shall be in writing. Federal Home Loan Bank Review These amendments were deemed to be of a procedural character and became effective on September 5, 1946. They were filed with The Federal Register on August 27, 1946. FSLIC Bulletin No. 30 AMENDMENT INSURANCE VISIONS TO RULES O F ACCOUNTS FOR T H E SALE AND R E G U L A T I O N S RELATING OF LOANS FOR TO T H E P R O BY INSURED August 28, 1946.) The third sentence of Section 301.18 of the Rules and Regulations for the Insurance of Accounts has been amended to read as shown below. The new text eliminates the provision that in selling mortgages insured associations make and collect an initial service charge sufficient to reimburse them for the expenses incurred in originating such business. The sentence now reads: ASSOCIATIONS. (Adopted and effective Any mortgages so sold shall be sold without recourse, and if under a contract to service the same, then on a basis to provide sufficient compensation to the insured institution to reimburse it for expenses incurred under its service contract. This amendment was deemed to be of a minor character and became effective upon filing with The Federal Register on August 28, 1946. Secondary M a r k e t Established for G l Home Loans EARLY this month, the Reconstruction Finance Corporation announced that it had established a market for veterans 7 home loans that have been guaranteed or insured by the Veterans Administration. The loans will be purchased by the R F C Mortgage Company, an affiliate of the RFC, only from the original lenders, at par plus accrued interest, and the loans must conform to certain general requirements. This action was taken, the R F C said, "because many private financial institutions have indicated that in order to continue making loans to veterans for the purchase or construction of homes they must have a dependable market, where, if necessary, they can sell the loans." The following are some of the principal requirements of the R F C Mortgage Company with respect to the purchase of such loans: (1) The loan shall not exceed $10,000, must bear interest at the rate of 4 percent, must be secured by a first mortgage, and must be guaranteed by the Veterans Administration to the extent of $4,000, or 50 percent of the face amount, whichever is less, or must be insured to the extent of 15 percent of the face amount under the provisions of Section 508 (a) of the Servicemen's Readjustment Act of 1944, as amended. (2) The note and mortgage must be on standardized forms which will be supplied by the Veterans Administration as soon as printing is completed. (3) The loan must not be delinquent. (4) The seller must continue to service the loan, for which it will be paid a service fee of }{ of 1 percent per annum on the unpaid balance. (5) The property securing the loan must be situated within a radius of 200 miles from an office of the seller. In the case of a secondary loan guaranteed under Section 505 of the Act, both the secondary loan guaranteed by the Veterans Administration and the primary loan insured by F H A must be tendered to the Company for purchase, unless the R F C already owns the primary loan. The R F C Mortgage Company is reserving the right to discontinue purchases whenever such action is deemed appropriate. Circular No. 4 of the R F C Mortgage Company sets forth in detail the requirements under which these loans will be purchased by the R F C Mortgage Company. Copies of this circular are now available and will be mailed to interested lending institutions upon request to the Company at 811 Vermont Avenue, Washington 25, D . C , or to a regional office of the R F C . • September 1946 Lights, Action, Camera! • MAYORS' Emergency Housing Committees are now in action in more than 570 communities—and in the movies. To show a typical example of how some communities have already mobilized to tackle the housing problem, the N H A has produced for these groups, a 25-minute sound film. I t shows the story of a returning veteran, his house hunting troubles and what his back-home neighbors are doing to make more homes available. Copies of this movie are now on hand in many communities—ready for use by local groups, such as civic clubs, trade unions, veterans' organizations, etc. NHA/ Housing Representatives have the names of distributors with whom the film has been deposited and from whom it can be obtained for a nominal handling fee. 371 RESIDENTIAL BUILDING ACTIVITY AND SELECTED INFLUENCING FACTORS INDEX 1935-1939= 100 BY YEARS 550 INDEX BY MONTHS I 1 I 1 1 1 ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL 550 l VARIATION 500 500 450 rJ n j / 450 7 400 400 350 350 H 300 300 / 250 F>RIV.CONSl 7?U OTIC)N* i 8 2 F"AMILX DVVELL . UNITS 200 ) ^ FED HOM E LIS .BK. ADM (U.S . DE 3 T 0 F LA BOR-) \ 150 / /GS.a V * ! ENL w •. i L( F.H. L B . * 50 V'T" tv % 1 1 1 200 ^SVGS.SLN LEND j 150 .• PRIV. CONSTRUCTION^/ LA/. 100 'J FOl | 50 AO JFAI .OS URE (Ft ED. H OME LIU. t 3K. A 0 300 L /••i-H' / 4 *" 250 .-A-^' K / f 100 / 1 /* J J J NONFARM FORECLOSURES ^ 1 LLZ n i i 11 i i IT i 11 i n i n i'ICE ZEE JJ_ J_L ri i i i i i i i i 300 r ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION pINC. &AYMTS. 250 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION- 200 (FED. RESERVE BOARD) INDUS'L. 200 PRODIS >w-M 150 fINCOME PAYMENTS ( U. S. DEPT. OF COMMERCE) 150 EMPLOY.*" (U.S. DEPT. OF LABOR) 100 1 1 I 1 I I I I I I I I I M I I 1 II 1930*31 '32 '33 '34 '35 *36 '37 '38 *39 *40 *4I '42 '43 *44 '45 *46 MILLIONS MORTGAGE $12001 ALL RECORDINGS t. 800 600 400] N 1944 P « INDEX OF BUILDING COSTS I60r LENDERS 1000 /'' 150 LABOR 140 130 120 ."• .•*••"""" „ II Ii il n I n n l n l w i n 1943 1944. 372 iilnlnln J 945 lllllllll too 11 M i i 11 1945 1946 50 INDEX WHOLESALE COMMODITY PRICES 220 1935-19 39=100 1935-1939*100 200 ••"' 180 zz^Z- 160 zzz?\ MATERIAL 140 "BUILDING MATERIAL" i2or...«~.r..— 110 200 0 MFG. V.MFG. EMPLOY. 100 50 250 MIMIIIIM iilnlnln iilnlnln nlninliL 1943 1944 1945 1946 100 • • I . . I . . I I 1943 r£ ALL INDUSTRIAL • IMIMI, 1944 111 • 11 tt j I I It 1111111111 1945 1946 Federal Home Loan Bank Review ff CC « ONTHLY BUSINESS CONDITIONS—Production index up 3 points The industrial production index of the Federal Reserve Board advanced three more points during July to reach a new postwar high of 174 percent of the 1935-1939 average. This reflected another month of comparatively uninterrupted production in contrast to the erratic performance during the first few months of the year. The Civilian Production Administration, in its report on July production, pointed out that the output of industrial materials neared capacity levels. The time was approaching, it said, when industry would again be able to draw on full pipelines. Third quarter operations may come within 5 percent of the all-time peak reached in the second quarter of last year. Production of durable goods and of minerals generally increased during July while the output of nondurable manufacturers as a group showed little change. More than 300,000 automobiles were turned out, of which 220,000 were passenger cars—an increase of 56 percent over the June totals. Production at steel mills was the highest so far this year, with the output of ingots reaching about 90 percent of capacity. Lumber production showed a decline, as was expected owing to the vacation period for lumber workers on the West Coast. However, the total output was believed to have been near the 3billion-board-feet mark. A primary problem during the rest of the year will be the serious shortage of freight cars. The Office of Defense Transportation predicts that by October we will face a more difficult transport situation than existed at any time during the war. Record farm crops and peak levels of industrial production are creating a backlog of Index [1935-1939=100] Home construction (private) 1 . Rental index (BLS) Building material prices.- . . . Savings and loan lending i____ Industrial production i Manufacturing employment 1 Income payments 1 r 1 July 1946 232. 5 108. 5 147. 5 456.7 174.0 145.6 251.1 Revised. Adjusted for normal seasonal variation; September 1946 June 1946 Percent change '219.0 108.5 145.1 426.0 '171.0 * 143.8 r 240. 9 +6.2 0.0 +1.7 +7.2 +1.8 +1.3 + 4.2 July 1945 79.1 108.3 131.2 224.7 210.0 157. 2 243.4 Percent change +193.9 +0.2 +12. 4 +103. 2 -17.1 -7.4 +3.2 SURVEY » » » freight traffic which will not be cleared up until next year. Restoration of price control on many items has slowed down the rate of rising prices. Commodity prices advanced rapidly during July and at a more moderate pace during August. In the eight-week period following the lapse of over-all price control at the end of June, the composite index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics based on wholesale prices of about 900 commodities rose 10 percent. Of the various components making up the index, food prices jumped 31 percent; farm products, 15 percent; and all commodities other than farm products and foods, 3 percent. Wholesale prices of building materials were reported to have advanced only 2 percent during the period. Civilian employment reached an unprecedented 58,100,000 in July. This was 4,000,000 more than the wartime level of a year ago. Unemployment fell to about 2,300,000, the year's low to date. BUILDING ACTIVITY-July for private building up 6 percent permits The gradual decline in new permits for private residential construction in all nonfarm areas which had been observed since JVlarch was reversed during the month of July as construction financed by private funds advanced an estimated 6 percent to 61,900 dwelling units. Preliminary estimates of the total volume of building permits issued, including publicly and privately financed projects, however, continued the decline for the fourth consecutive month. The 6-percent decline in total number of permits issued resulted from the sharp reduction in the public construction figure during the month. Public construction volume for July—1,947 dwellings—was made up largely of housing projects in the city of New York which were financed by municipal funds. Reports on Federal construction activity in the veterans temporary re-use housing program were not received in time for this release, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and were, therefore, not reflected in this preliminary figure. During the first seven months of this year, building permits were issued in all nonfarm areas 373 «Q1 \^ALL PUBLIC 1 t 1 1 t 1 1 t\ PRIVAT • IS2 FAMILY^/> J^ \yV ^^SL^/ T A PRIVATE J \j\ MULTI-FAMrfsJ?^}.' La£uuLuJ ,i.r fPtftgWlt ANALYSIS (HVtSIOK for over 418,900 privately financed dwellings. This comprised 90 percent of the total number of dwelling units for which permits were taken out during January-July, 463,100 dwellings. [TABLES 1 and 2.] B U I L D I N G COSTS—Upward continued during J u l y trend The cost of constructing the standard six-room frame house continued its upward surge during July. The combined index of material and labor was up 2 points during the month, to stand at 148 percent of the 1935-1939 average. Of the two components, materials showed the higher gain of 1.5 percent, advancing the index to 144, while labor costs rose 1.2 percent, bringing the index to 156 for July. All cities in this cycle, for which reports were available, participated in this increase. Editor's Note: Beginning with the figures for July, the building cost index will be prepared each month by the Statistics and Control Branch of the Office of the Administrator, National Housing Agency. All basic records have been transferred so that the data will be comparable to previous figures in the series. Further improvements and refinements in the index are planned, and its coverage will be broadened as rapidly as conditions permit.] Despite the fact that OPA controls were off during July, wholesale building materials prices as measured by the Department of Labor index, advanced slightly less than 2 percent. This compared with a gain of approximately 3 percent for all industrial commodities, and 10 percent for the composite index based on about 900 items. Paint and paint materials were up almost 6 percent during the month; brick and tile, cement, lumber and the miscellaneous classification all advanced about 1 percent; while the plumbing and heating and structural steel components were unchanged. [TABLES 3, 4 and 5J MORTGAGE L E N D I N G — N o change from June totals The volume of new mortgage loans made by all savings and loan associations was virtually unchanged from the June total, amounting to approximately $326,000,000. This was about 10 percent below the all-time monthly high reached in May of this year. New mortgage loans distributed b y purpose [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Purpose Construction Home purchase. Refinancing Reconditioning__ Other purposes._ Total July 1946 June 1946 $59, 708 $56, 216, 369 218, 21, 388 22, 7,327 6, 21, 256 22, 297 575 402 625 098 326, 048 325, 997 Percent change July 1945 + 6. 1 $17, - 1 . 0 112, - 4 . 5 15, + 10. 6 3, - 3 . 8 11, 658 761 622 351 007 Percent change + 238. 1 + 91. 9 + 36.9 + 118. 7 + 93. 1 0 . 0 160, 399 + 103.3 Construction costs for the standard house [Average month of 1935-1939=100] Element of cost Material Labor _ _ Total r Revised. 374 Julv 1946 PerJune cent 1946 change Julv 1945 Percent change 143. 7 141. 6 + 1.5 133.8 + 7.5 155. 6 r 153. 8 + 1.2 r 144. 1 + 8. 0 147. 7 r 145. 7 + 1.4 r 137. 2 + 7.6 Among the various loan purpose categories, changes from June ranged from an increase of 11 percent in reconditioning loans to a decline of 5 percent in refinancing loans. Loans on new construction reached almost $60,000,000, up 6 percent in contrast to a 1-percent decline in home purchase loans. Cumulatively, new mortgage lending proceeded at substantially more than twice the level reported during the first seven months of last year. The Federal Home Loan Bank Review TOTAL LOANS MAOt BY ALL SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS FEDERALS* k^ '^"^JJ' S~" NONMEMBERS^ T'H"T+TTrT~ ^J.iL«L:k Jf ^r by more than $100 million. While all lenders showed considerable increases, mutual savings and commercial banks continued to report the heaviest gains, enhancing their relative positions within the total financing picture. Although individual lenders increased their activity 48 percent over last year, this was the smallest rise registered among the various mortgagees. The average mortgage recorded during July climbed to $4,332 compared with $3,408 for July 1945. While this increase in average size was due to a great extent to higher real estate prices, it also reflected the tendency toward higher average loan-to-value ratios of today, caused by the influx of GI loans, a proportion of which are financed at or near 100 percent of sales prices. [TABLES 8 and 9.] Mortgage recordings by type of mortgagee [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] most rapid rise occurred in construction lending, the volume of which was more than four and onehalf times as great as that reported during the corresponding period last year, and approximately one-third larger than in the same 1941 months. Financing the purchase of existing homes continues to dominate the lending activity of savings and loan associations. Loans for this purpose comprised 68 percent of all loans made during the first seven months of this year, while home construction loans accounted for an additional 16 percent. During the January-July period of last year, however, home purchase lending accounted for 73 percent of the total and home construction loans, only 7 percent. [TABLES 6 and 7.] MORTGAGE RECORDINGS—Another new peak—$981 million in July Following a slight decline in real estate financing during June, the effects of today's housing needs and of the current construction program were reflected in another upswing in mortgage recording activity for July. The 7-percent gain over the previous month resulted in an estimated $981,000,000 of nonfarm mortgages of $20,000 or less recorded in July, topping the previous peak— May—by 2 percent. The total for the seven months of 1946 consequently advanced to $5,769,000,000, or 91 percent above the activity reported during the same months of a year ago. In fact, the January-July totaljexceeded the total for the whole of last year Sepf ember 1946 July T y p e of lender 1946 amount Savings and loan associations Insurance companies, _ Banks, trust companies. M u t u a l savings b a n k s _ Individuals Others _ _ __ Total $314, 779 48, 101 263, 669 58, 020 178, 128 118,490 Percent change from 1945 Cumulative 1946 (7 months) + 8 5 . 4 $1,987,117 + 138.4 244,945 + 192.3 1,425,173 + 221. 2 288,137 + 5 2 . 3 1,169,710 + 119. 1 654,076 Percent of total 34. 4 4. 3 24. 7 5. 0 20.3 11.3 981, 187 + 109. 1 5,769,158 100. 0 F H L B SYSTEM—Advances stayed above $200-million mark The balance of outstanding Federal Home Loan Bank advances declined slightly over $1 million during July, but the total remained above the $200,000,000-mark for the second successive month. The balance of $202,027,000 established a new high for this period of the year. The amount of advances outstanding continued to climb throughout August, and in view of the current high volume of mortgage lending activity, it is likely that the previous peak of Bank advances set in December 1941 will be passed during September. New advances exceeded repayments in seven of the 11 Bank Districts. However, the reverse conditions in the Indianapolis, Chicago, Des 375 Moines and San Francisco Districts were more than enough to offset the gains in the other regions. New advances for the month totaled $18,247,000 and repayments amounted to $19,516,000. The total assets of all Federal Home Loan Bank System members were estimated at $9,443000,000 on June 30, 1946. This was a gain of more than $800,000,000 in the first half of the year. At the end of June the membership consisted of 3,660 savings and loan associations, 25 mutual savings banks and 14 insurance companies, for a total of 3,699. The last six months saw 18 admissions and 16 terminations, resulting in a net gain of two members. [TABLE 12.] INSURED ASSOCIATIONS—10-percent increase reported in reserves Activity of insured savings and loan associations continued at a high level during July, an estimated $255,000,000 of new mortgage loans being closed during the month. Although less than the volume of loans made during any of the three preceding months, mortgage lending in July was more than double that reported for the same month of last year. As is usual in the months immediately following semi-annual dividend dates, both new share investments and withdrawals increased substantially during the month. The net inflow of new savings, however, was well over one-third greater than in July 1945 and boosted the privately owned share capital of these institutions to $5,800,000,000. Share capital owned by the HOLC and the U. S. Treasury was reduced 13 percent during the month to $16,832,000. By way of comparison, these agencies had invested close to $270,000,000 in shares of these institutions as a recovery measure during the middle 1930's, of which more than $196,000,000 was outstanding at the beginning of World War I I . At the close of July, all insured savings and loan associations had built up $424,700,000 in general reserves and undivided profits, or 6.2 percent of total assets. Although this was a gain of nearly 10 percent over the $386,400,000 in these accounts on January 31, the ratio to assets was the same, 6.2 percent. A net increase of three in July raised the number of insured savings and loan associations to 2,493 which, at month-end, held aggregate resources of $6,811,000,000. 376 [TABLE 13.] S H A R E C A P I T A L — J u l y gain one-third higher than last year Despite the sharp rise registered this year in expenditures for consumer goods, savings and loan associations have continued to attract an increasing volume of savings funds. During the first seven months of 1946, individuals increased their investments in savings and loan accounts by approximately $679,000,000, or 18 percent more than during the same months of last year. The greater net inflow of savings funds this year has been accompanied by quite substantial increases in both new investments and withdrawals, the former, of course, showing the larger dollar rise. Compared with the January-July 1945 period, total new share investments during the same months of this year were up 44 percent to approximately $1,920,000,000 and withdrawals up 64 percent to $1,241,000,000. I t is to be noted, however, that these repurchases were equal to 65 percent of new investments, whereas during the first seven months of 1945 the repurchase ratio was only 57 percent. During the month of July, both new investments and repurchases were approximately 50 percent higher than a year ago. The repurchase ratio for the month (76 percent) was up seasonally from June and only 2 points higher than in the same 1945 month. The net inflow of savings funds during the month ($85,000,000) was, however, a third more than in July 1945. [TABLE 14.] G l Home Loans (Continued from p. 359) and 38 states below the national mean. This indicates that a larger volume in the states with the higher averages has been "pulling u p " the over-all figures. The District of Columbia reported the highest average loan—$7,054—more than $500 above Massachusetts, which was next in line with an average loan of $6,512. At the other end of the scale, Arkansas had the smallest average loan, $3,254. The map on page 359 shows the geographic distribution of the average size of loan. Although there is not too definite a pattern, the highest average loans were in the Middle Atlantic states, Illinois, Wisconsin, Mississippi, Texas, and California. Sixteen of the twenty-four states with averages below the mid-point were located west of the Mississippi River. Federal Home Loan Bank Review W h o Holds the Backlog of Savings? {Continued from p. 368) of individuals. The need to spend more money for daily expenses, the relative importance of maintaining an established standard of living, reluctance to use liquid asset holdings and the psychological factors involved in feelings of security or insecurity are important in influencing people's decisions. These and many other factors need further study in order to yield a reliable basis for prediction. Investment of liquid assets Another matter of prime importance to thrift institutions is the intentions of these spending units regarding the transfer of their liquid assets to non-liquid investments. This is particularly significant, since both the attitudes and plans were determined only for spending units whose liquid assets exceeded $1,000. (These were only onethird of the number of units but they controlled nine-tenths of all asset holdings.) Roughly two-thirds of these holders were partial to fixed-value assets, chiefly Government bonds, because they considered them safer. They rejected non-Government securities or real estate on the grounds of their being too high in price more frequently than for lack of safety. On the other hand, those who preferred the latter forms of investment did so because they were more profitable. Most of these people stated a preference for real estate as something tangible—at least a home in case of a depression. The value of real estate as a hedge against inflation was seldom mentioned. Table 4.—Plans to transfer Government bonds or bank deposits to non-liquid investments during 1946 Percent of substantial holders 1 Plans Definitely plan to transfer some liquid assets Undecided, "depends" _Do not plan to transfer any liquid assets Not ascertained _ . .-. _ Securities Any of Business the three kinds Real estate 2 2 2 3 3 4 6 7 83 13 76 19 73 20 66 21 100 100 100 100 i Spending units holding $1,000 or more in liquid ass ets; numht>r of cases: 1,184. September 1946 Type of community, occupation and price expectations were of no particular significance in relation to people's expressed preference for owning this type of investment. The proportion of people who preferred real estate or securities was also similar in the low and medium income groups. However, among those with incomes of $7,500 or more, twice as many preferred non-liquid assets. Although this preference was not a majority in any income group nor any group by size of holdings, it did show up more often in the higher than in the lower income brackets. People's actual plans about transfer of assets were found to be only slightly different from their expressed preferences. Table 4 shows that a total of 13 percent of the spending units were considering making the change, while 19 percent had said only that they considered it wiser to hold nonliquid assets b u t for various reasons were at the time in no position to shift to that type of investment. In naming definite amounts of money involved in these prospective transactions, many people were a little vague or indefinite. Most who mentioned exact amounts quoted sums between $2,000 and $5,000, with as many going under that figure as exceeding it. Therefore, assuming the average to be $3,000, if only those with definite plans are considered, transfers would amount to about $3 billion. This is more than the amount people planned to spend on cars or consumer durable goods ($2-2.7 billion). If the plans of those who were undecided should materialize, the total transferred to real estate and other investments would be in excess of $6 billion. Interpretation This information must, of course, be related to data on liquid asset holdings (see July R E V I E W , page 296) and to the willingness of over a third of the spending units to use their bonds for housing or investments during the next five years or so. Also, it must be recalled that this survey was conducted during the first quarter of this year. At that time, the report points out, "the fear of large-scale inflation was very rare and the opinion was widespread that real estate and securities had already reached rather high prices. Then the conclusion is warranted that the transfer of liquid assets to non-liquid forms of investment may easily cause disturbances of considerable dimensions in the national economv." 377 Tabic 1 . — B U I L D I N G A C T I V I T Y — E s t i m a t e d number of new family dwelling units provided in all urban areas in July 1946, by Federal Home Loan Bank District and by state [Source: U . S . D e p a r t m e n t of L a b o r ] T o t a l u r b a n residential construction P r i v a t e residential construction Federal Home Loan Bank District and state 1- a n d 2-family dwellings July 1946 P U N I T E D STATES Boston __. Connecticut Maine _ Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont New York . J Pennsylvania - Winston-Salem Alabama __ . . D i s t r i c t of C o l u m b i a . . Florida Georgia _ Maryland N o r t h Carolina S o u t h Carolina Virginia _ __ _ -_ Kentucky... _ Ohio- _ Tennessee . . Indianapolis . . . Indiana Chicago __ -- Illinois Wisconsin __ Des Moines Iowa Minnesota Missouri.. __ _ South Dakota __ Little Rock __ ^ Arkansas . _ _. I Texas. __ Topeka Colorado Kansas _ . Oklahoma S a n Francisco ArizonaCalifornia. . Idaho _ Oregon _ Utah . Washington _. _. . _ _ _ . . 39,391 43,833 15,913 1,431 1,546 270 - 322 1 June 1946 r j July 1945 33,059 33,516 11,246 1,406 1,358 270 25 | 53 20 145 4 48 25 218 106 912 13 136 21 | July 1946 p June 1946 * 1,310 1, 710 6,077 749 2,125 2,756 585 1 602 3,290 j 1,856 4,221 | 352 1 397 | 595 1,530 849 1,907 268 317 | 1,553 2,137 387 1,506 1,781 206 450 1 47 1 60 1,263 230 j 60 1, 680 397 j 349 37 60 1, 246 200 60 1,539 182 1 168 37 4,558 5,513 1,936 1 4,133 4,585 648 331 1,139 591 445 672 264 468 537 149 1,411 783 885 657 213 878 208 461 562 212 21 233 75 164 618 186 991 560 435 664 243 436 526 47 1,114 749 857 558 195 539 3,395 3,271 1,137 2,871 431 2,359 j 605 592 2,086 593 35 837 265 2,592 2,732 949 1,643 939 1,793 2,765 1,953 812 J une 1946 ' 7,173 I July 1945 2,957 129 59 3,892 30 1 223 ! 70 1 694 1 177 194 July 1946 P July 1945 3,144 5, 022 53 20 145 4 48 99 47 12 30 1 457 1 345 1 164 56 84 80 60 181 17 30 51 181 1,399 425 640 208 56 448 201 21 233 68 164 30 145 148 31 10 102 181 8 8 4 71 21 32 263 2,268 1,000 524 309 407 1,883 581 330 1,348 590 35 718 247 24 476 24 925 2,542 2,316 925 50 7 299 3 8 304 621 945 1,597 879 1,437 304 621 4 46 3 5 3,138 1,184 2,582 2,589 673 183 130 89 419 422 2,279 859 850 334 1,837 745 1,832 757 374 299 116 67 117 13 54 35 330 89 422 2,592 2,922 450 2,369 2,376 440 223 279 10 267 632 882 719 167 192 738 1,005 1,006 90 83 69 232 97 20 32 632 872 569 167 129 580 943 696 74 83 69 232 93 20 26 10 150 63 14 202 4 95 48 108 16 5,477 4,474 2,141 4,647 4,339 1,798 830 115 108 20 291 601 366 272 3, 947 227 404 304 51 3,488 191 95 103 320 1,432 291 562 349 272 3,173 223 404 299 51 3,362 191 95 103 75 1,334 39 17 5 774 106 10 98 20 1, 758 1,860 628 1,643 1,471 428 115 203 20 186 180 621 390 190 557 724 531 250 355 118 279 57 174 538 358 190 557 118 83 53 174 83 32 192 16 4 186 180 9,378 10,163 6,106 7,235 7,677 3, 522 2,143 996 464 1,490 2,120 81 3,604 22 55 66 266 88 1,912 12 111 5,188 | 195 100 106 447 369 654 65 74 5,539 203 232 202 459 257 672 39 73 2, 753 22 55 66 168 72 301 12 4 1,906 6 5 3 926 4 8 415 8 1,338 436 132 7 83 19 18 18 16 7 115 7,094 201 105 106 579 1 376 737 65 85 7,803 207 232 1 314 478 275 730 39 1 1 p Preliminary. 378 July 1946 P 3- a n d more-family dwellings 70 741 177 206 21 1 ' Cincinnati July 1945 243 i 106 912 13 136 . i New York _ Pittsburgh June 1946 ' { P u b l i c residential construction 532 345 i 242 352 7 289 1 288 1 116 26 24 28 18 76 7 63 951 1 2,025 1 90 405 114 11 Il9 18 1,310 1 206 1 537 1 137 2,976 296 9 1 n 1,310 1 694 255 439 408 57 351 6 235 4 8 3 235 112 1 26 80 32 1,604 * Revised. Federal Home Loan Bank Review Table 2 . — B U I L D I N G ACTIVITY—Estimated number and valuation of new family dwelling units Source: U S. D e p a r t m e n t of Labor. Dollar a m o u n t s are s h o w n in t h o u s a n d s ] Permit valuation N u m b e r of family dwelling u n i t s p r o v i d e d Private construction Private construction Period Total construction 3-and morefamily Public construction Total construction 3-and morefamily Public construction 1-family 2-family $1,339,973 $1,184,377 $42,120 $113,466 243,474 216, 561 6,592 20,321 23, 630 356,609 313,365 276,190 15,076 22,099 43,244 79,991 74,903 80,094 124, 532 129,195 127,065 70,881 74,162 80,094 124,294 129,195 127,065 62, 511 67,887 72,280 111,861 117,642 112,467 2,811 2,244 3,306 3,779 4,379 4,912 5,559 4,031 4,508 8,654 7,174 9,686 9,110 741 1,815,300 1, 648,192 67,028 100, 080 136,472 5,222 6,969 12,098 10,991 13,754 9,531 8,463 9,282 9,043 23,934 13,419 17,063 14,317 13,022 20, 612 20,658 14,810 24,670 11,097 30,716 13,909 727, 585 35,811 105, 716 139,915 129, 578 5,372 19,105 17, 250 232, 727 197,103 14,433 21,191 26, 790 51, 682 54,262 60,133 91,114 93,953 95,040 43,520 48,199 52,537 79,194 82,944 80,639 2,707 2,138 3,197 3,551 4,134 4,275 5,455 3,925 4,399 8,369 6,875 10,126 8,148 538 1, 294, 278 1,133,948 64, 607 95,723 111,061 4,947 6,659 11,749 10,688 13,304 9,172 8,088 8,941 8,659 23,400 12,755 16,109 13,617 12,242 20, 612 19,592 13, 596 21, 557 9,336 18, 538 7,830 Total 1-family 2-family 442,797 381,754 323, 574 17,492 40, 688 61,043 $1,537,370 74,610 68,122 58,315 2,685 7,122 6,488 267,104 113,000 96,928 84, 522 4,909 7,497 16,072 23,300 20,400 21,800 29,800 31,400 29,100 19,948 20,154 21,800 29,775 31,400 29,100 17, 377 18,364 19,665 26,696 28, 229 25,116 823 668 888 929 1,146 1,426 1,748 1,122 1,247 2,150 2,025 2,558 3,352 246 463,100 418, 932 373, 939 16,494 28,499 44,168 1, 951,772 43,900 48, 500 83,600 81,000 74,300 68,000 63,800 39,093 43,379 76,949 70,461 68,826 58,371 61,853 34, 764 38,726 68,408 64,165 60, 617 52,781 54,478 1,395 1,889 2,783 2,671 3,417 2,226 2,113 2,934 2,764 5,758 3,625 4,792 3,364 5,262 4,807 5,121 6,651 10, 539 5,474 9,629 1,947 182,916 205,706 367,766 335, 517 307, 235 286,502 266,130 162,304 185,048 352,956 310,847 296,138 255, 786 252,221 147, 800 169,036 316,924 286,437 265,321 231,938 230,736 276, 719 233, 491 182, 506 14,090 36,895 43, 228 1,009,027 869,112 45, 025 40,474 31,887 2,061 6,526 4,551 171,305 154,054 73, 953 64, 009 52,225 4,610 7,174 9,944 259, 517 15,913 13,059 14,619 19,496 20,417 19,256 12,956 12,915 14,619 19,496 20,417 19, 256 10,464 11,206 12, 567 16, 582 17,421 15,494 782 626 845 857 1,069 1,241 1,710 1,083 1,207 2,057 1,927 2,521 2,957 144 59,830 54,800 60,133 91,114 93,953 95,040 305, 506 267,807 224,910 15, 754 27,143 37, 699 1,405,339 30,725 33,479 56,002 53,860 48,216 43,833 39,391 25,918 28,503 50,066 44,996 43, 583 36,660 38,081 21,786 24,072 41,785 39,000 35,824 31,372 31,071 1,309 1,792 2,683 2,571 3,267 2,144 1,988 2,823 2,639 5,598 3,425 4,492 3,144 5,022 4,807 4,976 5,936 8,864 4,633 7,173 1,310 139,598 151,478 266,133 240,969 220,656 201,281 185,224 Total Nonfarm 1941: J a n u a r v - J u l y - July 1945: J a n u a r y - J u l y July August September _ October. _ _ November DeC3mber _ _ _ _ 1946: J a n u a r y - J u l y January. February March _ April May June r J u l y P . _. _ _ .- 25 $197,397 238 Urban 1941: J a n u a r y - J u l y __ July 1945: J a n u a r y - J u l y July August. September _ October November December . .. ... 1946: J a n u a r y - J u l y . January February March April May June1Julys... . . .__ . . . . ._ .._ ._ r 118,986 131,886 252,537 219,412 211,320 182,743 177,394 105,098 116,568 217,388 195,969 181,907 159,954 157,064 P Preliminary. Revised. Table 3 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of wholesale prices of building materials [Source: U. S. Department of Labor. 1935-1939=100; converted from 1926 base] Period 1944: July 1945: July August.. September October... November December. _-.. _. _. 1946: January February... March April.. May June July Percent change: July 1946-June 1946. July 1946-July 1945. All b u i l d i n g materials Brick a n d tile Cement Lumber Paint and paint materials Plumbing and heating Structural steel Other 129.4 110.8 105.8 171.7 129.7 121.4 103.5 111.5 131.2 131.5 131.8 132.1 132.5 133.4 122.9 122.8 123.7 126.8 128.4 128.4 109.1 109.1 109.3 109.6 109.9 110.3 172.7 172.9 172.6 172.8 173.2 175.7 130.4 131.9 132.3 132.3 132.4 132.5 121.7 122.7 124.8 124.8 124.8 124.8 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 112.8 112.8 113.0 113.1 114.0 114.5 134.0 135.0 139.5 141.3 142.7 145.1 147.5 128.7 128.7 129.2 132.0 132.6 133. 5 134.8 111.0 111.4 112.3 112.4 112.6 112.6 114.1 176.5 178.3 186.6 190.9 192.1 196.0 197.4 132.5 132.5 132.5 132.8 133.0 133. 5 141.3 124.8 124.9 124.9 132.4 132.4 139.3 139.3 103.5 109.7 115.9 115.9 115.9 115.9 115.9 115.3 115.9 121.4 122.0 125.1 128.0 129.7 +1.7 +12.4 +1.0 +9.7 +1.3 +4.6 +0.7 +14.3 +5.8 +8.4 0.0 +14.5 0.0 +12.0 +1.3 +15.0 Table 4 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of building costs for the standard house [Source: National Housing Agency. Average month of 1935-1939=100] 1946 1945 E l e m e n t of cost July M a t e r i a l __ L a b o r . _ ___ Total March April June May 143.7 155.6 141.6 '153.8 r 139. 2 152. 5 138.0 r 150. 6 147.7 r 145. 7 ' 143.6 142.1 February January 137.1 ' 148. 9 136.3 ' 148. 5 135.5 ' 147.9 141.0 140.3 r 139. 7 December November October September 135. 2 r 147. 5 135.0 r 147. 3 134.6 M46.3 134.1 ' 146. 0 133.9 r 144.5 133.8 « 144.1 «• 139. 3 ' 139.1 ' 138. 5 138.0 137.4 137.2 August July • Revised. Table 5 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of building costs in representative cities [Source: National Housing Agency- Average month of 1935-1939=100] 1945 1946 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 Aug. Aug. Aug. Aug. Aug. F e d e r a l H o m e L o a n B a n k D i s t r i c t a n d city Aug. Pittsburgh: Wilmington, Delaware . Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania Charleston, West Virginia..Cincinnati: Louisville, K e n t u c k y . Cincinnati, Ohio . _. C l e v e l a n d , Ohio _ __ M e m p h i s , Tennessee .. ._ .. - - - _. - . . . - - . - __ __ . ... _ - __ _ ._.___ Little Rock: Little Rock, Arkansas N e w Orleans, L o u i s i a n a - . __ . Jackson, Mississippi. . Albuquerque, New Mexico.. Houston, Texas . _ ... May Feb. Nov. 143.1 176. 5 146.9 157. 4 141.6 172.9 ' 140.9 150.5 138.5 170.0 * 139. 6 136.3 137.9 161.1 ' 138. 9 136.1 150.7 146.1 159.6 147. 3 146.0 141.0 147.0 141. 6 142.9 140.1 145.9 141.3 154. 9 155.2 148.6 148.6 138.1 145.4 150. 2 141. 7 137. 6 135.5 142.3 143.1 141.6 133.9 132.3 Aug. 137. 0 158.3 136. 4 135.4 134.9 149.7 134. 2 133.4 130.0 115. 7 131.9 121.3 129.7 138.5 126.1 121.3 115.9 120.1 118. 7 108. 0 93.9 110.0 100.1 100.7 138.4 138. 2 149.2 139. 9 135. 7 138.3 148.1 137.7 134.3 142.6 135.3 122.0 124.2 138.5 121.7 116. 4 114.3 127.3 118.6 108.6 103.4 121. 3 108.8 104.4 97.4 108.4 102.8 140.9 142.7 141.1 132.5 128.6 138.8 141.9 139.2 132. 3 126.8 138.1 141.2 137.2 130.9 126.7 135. 0 131.4 123. 9 118.7 116.5 135.0 131.9 122.7 117.7 115. 9 113.9 123. 9 118.9 110. 3 108.9 104.5 102. 5 106.3 103.8 96.8 r i For complete explanation of these data, see Statistical Supplement to April 1946 REVIEW. ' Revised. Table 6 . — M O R T G A G E LENDING—Estimated volume of new home mortgage loans by all savings and loan associations, by purpose and class of association [Thousands of dollars] Purpose of loans Class of association Period Construction 1944 January-July July _ 1945 January-July . . . July August September October November December _. __ January-July.. January February. March ApriL_ May _ 1946 __ _•_ __ _ _ J u n e . . _. July 380 — H o m e purchase Refinancing Reconditioning Loans for all other purposes Total loans Federals State members Nonmembers $95,243 $1,064,017 $163,813 $30,751 $100,228 $1,454,052 $669,433 $648,670 $135,949 65, 757 583,932 93,093 17,191 56,210 816,183 375,015 365,024 78,144 7,078 93,232 13,871 2,841 8,014 125,038 57,164 56, 539 11,333 180,550 1,357, 555 196,011 40,736 137,826 1,912, 678 911, 671 836,874 164,133 72,057 723,429 106,069 19,483 73, 296 994,334 468,709 438, 074 87,551 17,658 20,730 16,375 23,985 24,481 22,922 112,761 120, 557 113,103 135,224 135,685 129, 557 15,622 17,146 16,786 18,751 19,411 17,848 3,351 3,971 3,980 4,857 4,487 3,958 11,007 11,259 12,189 13, 562 14,095 13,425 160,399 173,663 162,433 196,379 198,159 187, 710 76,355 82,197 77,321 95,815 96, 709 90,920 70, 264 75,644 70,642 84,819 85,804 81,891 13,780 15,822 14,470 15,745 15,646 14,899 338,460 1,416,835 158, 540 41,920 143, 111 2, 098, 866 1, 070, 366 879,890 148,610 30,807 30,866 45,391 53,202 62.189 56, 2^7 69,708 145,342 154, 219 202,995 235,877 243,458 218.575 216,369 21,372 19,801 24,244 24,882 24,451 22,402 21,388 3,803 4,217 6,198 6,796 6,954 6.6?5 7,327 15, 518 16,416 21,335 22, 242 24,246 22, 098 21,256 216,842 225,519 300,163 342,999 361,298 325. 997 326,048 109,146 111, 927 155,960 174,468 186,282 167. 552 165,031 92,103 97,305 123,945 143,114 150,161 136,296 136,966 15, 593 16,287 20, 258 25.417 24,855 22,149 24; 051 Federal Home Loan Bank Review Tabic 7.—LENDING—Estimated volume of new loans by savings and loan associations Table 8.—RECORDINGS—Estimated nonfarm mortgage recordings, $20,000 and under [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] JULY 1946 [Thousands of dollars] Federal H o m e Loan Bank District and class of association UNITED STATES.. C u m u l a t i v e n e w loans (7 m o n t h s ) N e w loans July 1946 June 1946 July 1945 1946 1945 $326,048 $325,997 $160,399 $2,098,866 $994,334 Percent change Federal H o m e Loan Bank District a n d state UNITED 167,552 136, 296 22,149 23,858 23,057 10, 868 136, 770 67, 309 +103.2 9,897 11,418 2,543 9,662 10, 995 2,400 4,381 4,687 1,800 60, 923 62,886 12, 961 27,677 31,517 8,115 +120.1 +99.5 +59.7 38,061 35, 547 15, 889 214,907 96, 926 +121.7 17,628 15, 526 4,907 16,472 15, 295 3,780 5,483 7,773 2,633 91,765 93,787 29,355 34,007 46,500 16, 419 +169.8 +101.7 +78.8 Boston ._ . Federal State member . Nonmember... 1,070,366 879,890 148, 610 468,709 438, 074 87, 551 +128.4 +100.9 +69.7 STATES.. Boston Connecticut... Maine.. . _ . Massachusetts. New Hampshire _ _ . Phode Island.. Vermont N e w York New York Federal __ State m e m b e r . Nonmember... Pittsburgh Federal S t a t e member_ Nonmember... 23,415 24,831 12, 094 160, 257 83,128 +92.8 11,338 7,395 4,682 12, 885 8,012 3,934 6,258 4,036 1,800 82, 616 49, 985 27, 656 39, 239 29,037 14,852 +110.5 +72.1 +86.2 Winston-Salem.. 45, 679 47,729 19,449 297, 055 121, 845 +143.8 Federal State m e m b e r . Nonmember.... 26, 333 15, 929 3,417 26,745 17,799 3,185 10, 314 7,923 1,212 168,444 107, 923 20,688 65,062 49,835 6,948 +168.9 +116.6 +197.8 50, 603 49,133 27,836 332,009 165, 772 +100.3 Cincinnati Federal State m e m b e r . Nonmember.— 23, 023 25, 257 2,323 22,150 24,441 2,542 11, 596 14,329 1,911 151,460 165, 036 15,513 71, 026 83, 572 11,174 +113.2 +97.5 +38.8 18, 912 19,318 8,618 126,353 55, 539 +127. 5 11,224 7,318 370 11,846 7,020 452 4,646 3,711 261 73,498 49, 809 3,046 29,668 23, 302 2,569 +147.7 +113.8 +18.6 32, 531 34,636 17,487 216,796 113,104 +91.7 N e w Jersey New York Federal State m e m b e r . Nonmember... Chicago _. Des Moines _ Federal S t a t e member_ Nonmember... Little Rock Federal ... State m e m b e r . Nonmember.._ Topeka . Federal State member. Nonmember... San Francisco Federal State m e m b e r . Nonmember... 15,118 ' 17,691 15, 643 16,021 1,392 1,302 7,221 9,073 1,193 100, 267 106, 704 9,825 47, 996 56,347 8,761 +108.9 +89.4 +12.1 19, 920 21, 623 9,572 129,126 58, 564 +120. 5 11,133 6,385 2,402 12,138 6,805 2,680 4,933 3,409 1,230 72,149 42, 052 14, 925 29,871 20, 836 7,857 +141.5 +101.8 +90.0 18, 928 16, 512 7,607 110,890 47, 557 +133. 2 7,983 10, 802 143 7,609 8,765 138 3,871 3,609 127 52, 790 57,024 1,076 23,711 23,201 645 +122. 6 +145.8 •• + 6 6 . 8 14,495 15,453 8,315 105,921 50,617 +109.3 8,157 4,661 1,677 9,327 4,623 1,503 4,677 2,280 1,358 61, 356 32, 777 11, 788 27, 396 14,749 8,472 +124. 0 +122. 2 +39.1 39,646 38,158 22, 664 268,782 133, 973 +100.6 23,197 16, 254 195 21, 027 16,898 233 12, 975 9,434 255 155,098 111,907 1,777 73, 056 59,178 1, 739 +112.3 +89.1 +2.2 September 1946 Other mortgagees Total $314,779 $48,101 $263, 669 $58,020 '$178,128 $118, 490 [$981,187 29, 057 921 12,137 25,425 10, 310 5,381 83, 231 3,599 875 21, 751 575 25 298 4, 529 4,333 528 1, 228 5, 277 17,285 3,489 624 4,670 1,766 87 2,986 18. 291 3, 367 52, 267 565 1,950 317 8 15 1.072 '955 552 529 728 270 55 452 35 2, 489 5, 445 1, 372 28, 991 2,629 24, 334 27,153 25, 243 6,074 22,917 1,003 6, 880 1,556 1,626 1 17,454 25, 597 5,729 19, 514 3. 258 7,660 | 24, 500 94,768 260 1, 345 198 10, 918 119,268 24, 398 3,206 25,185 1,591 10, 330 7,796 72, 506 354 22, 433 1, 611 173 2,588 445 352 21,838 2, 995 147 1,444 372 9,060 898 138 7,345 313 1, 536 64,708 6, 262 W i n s t o n - S a l e m _. 28, 537 6,026 12,430 560 21, 336 9,183 78, 072 Alabama . D i s t r i c t of Columbia Florida Georgia Maryland N o r t h Carolina S o u t h Carolina. Virginia .. 1,326 616 1,184 1,287 1,451 5,864 4,685 5,339 3,457 7,419 2,280 609 3,422 575 2,305 315 282 842 310 781 1,114 2,073 2,319 2,290 765 826 1,859 560 2.566 7,413 1, 899 2,093 1,407 886 3,785 1, 227 1,860 1,872 475 783 468 1,047 10,167 18, 990 9,862 13,119 6, 077 3, 099 10, 894 57, 243 3,647 27, 023 1,259 11, 373 5,542 50, 055 1,646 732 1,782 1,133 2,176 21,844 3.003 1,259 751 9,087 1,535 21, 098 4,726 25, 421 15 11, 850 9,248 1, 765 2,961 9,008 16, 413 15 Cincinnati Kentucky Ohio Tennessee .. Indiana... Michigan Chicago Illinois .. Wisconsin . Des Moines Federal.._ . . . S t a t e member_ Nonmember... Mutual Indisav- viduals ings banks Delaware Pennsylvania.. West Virginia.. Pittsburgh Indianapolis.. Indianapolis Banks and trust companies +111.1 165,031 Federal S t a t e m e m b e r . 136, 966 24,051 Nonmember... 76,355 70, 264 13, 780 SavInsurings and ance loan comassoci- panies ations Iowa . . Minnesota . . . Missouri, North Dakota. South D a k o t a . . Little Rock Arkansas L o u i s i a n a . ___ Mississippi N e w M e x i c o . __ Texas . _ Topeka Colorado Kansas Nebraska. Oklahoma ... San Francisco Arizona. __ . . . California Idaho Montana Nevada Oregon Utah Washington Wyoming 9, 727 110,272 325 3,995 5,407 9. 526 88, 022 12, 724 5,889 7,282 64,431 2,205 3, 684 2,436 4,846 27, 279 37,152 36, 947 2,022 • 15,613 37 11,719 15, 904 82, 242 28,176 8,771 1,352 670 9,552 6.061 37 7,145 4, 574 14,569 1,335 60,794 21, 448 19,076 6,718 17,353 554 8,566 10, 344 59, 511 4, 520 7, 686 5,626 831 413 467 1,084 1,956 84 27 4,552 4,725 7,502 278 296 1,608 2,361 4,170 181 246 875 3,343 6,038 71 17 12,022 19, 753 25, 292 1,445 999 18, 958 6,792 5,808 12, 706 10, 527 54, 791 1,320 6,997 888 336 9, 417 365 1,594 329 23 4,481 870 587 690 139 3,322 618 3,325 640 435 7,688 93 1,778 393 28 8,235 3,266 14. 281 2,940 961 33, 343 14, 796 2,051 6,579 9,241 6,142 38,809 2,556 5,449 1,539 5,252 336 383 647 685 1, 590 2,361 652 1,976| 4, 758 1,251 702 2, 530 1,785 1,197 166 2,996 11,023 10. 641 3,706 13,439 35, 678 12, 463 91, 786 234 980 22,215 10, 936 76 1,008 68 614 57 239 420 2, 638 223 978 431 6,496 18 510 1,413 77, 797 470 588 345 1,988 1, 480 7, 222 483 554 1,426 176 1,250 51,415 25, 286 218, 054 2, 277 42, 216 732 579 556 2,085 335 2, 262 373 5, 284 380 19, 699 172,863 2,458 172 1,861 12 1,290 93 8,605 1,298 3, 233 217 3,368 21,029 1,431 47 381 Table 9 . — M O R T G A G E RECORDINGS—Estimated volume oF nonfarm mortgages recorded [Dollar a m o u n t s are s h o w n in t h o u s a n d s ] Savings a n d loan associations Banks and trust companies Insurance companies M u t u a l savings banks Individuals O t h e r mortgagees All mortgagees Period Total 1945 Jan uary-July July August September October . ._ November December Percent Total Percent Total Total Percent Percent Total Percent Total Total Percent Percent $2,009,707 35.7 $244,432 4.4 $1,091,021 19.4 $216,982 3.9 $1,402,103 24.9 $658,945 11.7 $5,623,190 100.0 1,049,454 169,784 181,156 172, 551 _ 207.006 205,100 194,440 34.7 36.2 37.0 37.2 37.2 36.6 36.9 137,736 20,173 20,359 18.935 22,229 23,061 22,112 4.6 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.0 4.1 4.2 570, 349 90,199 93,358 91.661 110.429 114,636 110, 588 18.8 19.2 19.1 19.7 19.9 20.5 21.0 107,737 18,062 18,488 18,472 23,711 23,310 25, 264 3.6 3.9 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.1 4.8 790, 745 116,964 120,015 111,384 131,590 130,986 117,383 26.1 24.9 24.5 24.0 23.7 23.4 22.2 370,126 54,087 56,013 51,154 60,928 63,087 57,637 12.2 11.5 11.4 11.0 10.9 11.3 10.9 3, 026,147 469. 269 489.389 464,157 555,893 560,180 527,424 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1,987,117 2?0.420 217,621 .._ 277,408 315, 471 333.192 308, 226 314,779 34.4 34.8 35.2 36.2 35.6 34.6 33.6 32.1 244,945 26.936 26,099 31,083 33,974 38.862 39,890 48,101 4 . 3 1,425,173 4.2 139,126 4.2 140.890 4.1 180,656 3.8 213,878 4.0 241,330 4.3 245,624 4.9 263, 669 24.7 21.9 22.8 23.6 24.1 25.0 26.8 26.9 288,137 24,401 24, 973 33,914 44,855 51,851 50,123 58, 020 5.0 1,169,710 3.9 151,601 4.0 140,477 4.4 162,986 5.1 180,318 5.4 187,311 5.5 168,889 5.9 178,128 20.3 23.9 22.7 21.3 20.3 19.4 18.4 18.1 654, 076 71,633 68,703 79,926 98, 770 111,892 104,662 118,490 11.3 11.3 11.1 10.4 11.1 11.6 11.4 12.1 5, 769,158 634,117 618,763 765,973 887,266 964,438 917,414 981,187 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1946 Jan uary-July January February March April May June. July Tabic 1 0 . — G l L E N D I N G — H o m e loans 1 Table 1 1 . — F H A — H o m e mortgages insured * [Dollar a m o u n t s are s h o w n in t h o u s a n d s ] [ P r e m i u m p a y i n g ; t h o u s a n d s of dollars] T o t a l loans reported closed and disbursed2 N u m b e r of applications a n d reports Cumulative through June 2 1 . . . June 2 8 . . . July 5 July 12.... July 19.... July 26.... A u g u s t 2_. A u g u s t 9.. A u g u s t 16 A u g u s t 23. 246,201 257,986 267,110 279, 600 291,571 305,503 318,905 331, 763 344,561 357, 510 Number 157, 165, 172, 180, 190, 200, 209, 220, 233, 245, A m o u n t of guaranty a n d insurance $341,997 364,514 383,027 403,971 429,938 454,709 480, 241 510,554 543,883 575,664 Title I I 2 Title VI (603) Period Principal a m o u n t of loan New $756,782 804,907 843,303 887, 713 941,379 994, 778 1,046,197 1,107,674 1,169,751 1,246,274 1945: J u l y August September. October... November. December. $347 666 968 1,228 1,777 1,965 1946: J a n u a r y . . . February.. March April May June July 3,095 3,728 3,760 3,570 4,406 5, 573 6.374 i R e c o r d s of V e t e r a n s A d m i n i s t r a t i o n . 2 T o t a l s d o n o t include 59,066 loans acted u p o n a n d a p p r o v e d for loan closing. T h e i r dollar volume, e s t i m a t e d at $300,000,000, b r o u g h t t h e aggregate principal of G I h o m e loans to a b o u t $1,546,000,000 on A u g u s t 23. Existing $18, 207 17, 286 15,165 18, 606 18,887 18, 051 24, 275 20,006 24, 346 24,160 26, 389 31, 551 26,956 T o t a l insured at e n d of period $19,056 14. 992 12, 634 15, 253 10, 779 11, 383 11, 293 7,508 6, 273 7,853 9,700 4,690 4,471 $6, 339, 263 6, 372, 207 6,400,974 6, 436,061 6, 467, 504 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 6, 537, 566 568,808 603,187 638, 770 679, 265 721,079 758, 880 1 F i g u r e s r e p r e s e n t gross i n s u r a n c e w r i t t e n d u r i n g t h e period a n d do n o t t a k e a c c o u n t of principal r e p a y m e n t s o n p r e v i o u s l y i n s u r e d loans. Table 1 2 . — F H L B A N K S — L e n d i n g operations and principal assets and liabilities [ T h o u s a n d s of dollars] L e n d i n g operations, J u l y 1946 P r i n c i p a l assets, J u l j 31, 1946 C a p i t a l a n d p r i n c i p a l liabilities, J u l y 31, 1940 Federal H o m e Loan B a n k Advances Repayments Advances outstanding Cashi Governm e n t securities Capital 2 Debentures Member deposits Total assets, J u l y 31, 1946 1 $1,822 1,675 1,733 3,578 1,492 913 1,983 1,108 1,117 1,532 1, 294 $636 917 1,167 2,682 945 1, 264 3,454 1,985 955 326 5,185 $14,788 13, 340 21,185 20. 602 20,069 12,712 39,233 15, 843 10, 657 8,308 25, 290 $1, 505 852 3,316 2,061 1,632 2,627 3, 657 685 1,000 1,339 7,718 $7,483 30,771 9,448 4,121 25, 647 14,442 9,393 10,450 9,121 8,044 24,087 $20,892 29, 330 18, 374 20. 230 29,063 15,801 25, 475 15,108 13,173 11,356 27,516 $2,000 14,000 6,500 5,000 8,000 22, 500 11,000 7,500 4,000 21, 500 $961 15,826 1,644 131 13, 539 6,072 4,400 938 178 1,405 8,184 $23, 859 45,179 34,066 26,877 47,636 29,903 52,424 27,076 20. 867 17, 769 57,246 J u l y 1946 (combined total) 18, 247 19,516 202,027 26,392 153,007 226,318 102,000 53,278 382,902 J u n e 1946 44, 519 13, 892 203, 296 31, 379 122,511 225,165 67,000 54, 795 358,065 7,444 17,501 121, 608 18, 505 154,936 214,339 32,000 43, 642 296. 601 Boston New York. Pittsburgh Winston-Salem Cincinnati Indianapolis Chicago Des Moines Little Rock Topeka _ S a n Francisco __ , _ _ _ J u l y 1945 1 382 _ _ _ I n c l u d e s i n t e r b a n k deposits. * C a p i t a l stock, s u r p l u s , a n d u n d i v i d e d profits. Federal Home Loan Bank Review Table 1 3 — I N S U R E D A S S O C I A T I O N S — P r o g r e s s of institutions insured by the FSLIC [Dollar a m o u n t s are s h o w n in thousands] Number of associations Period a n d class of association ALL Total assets GovernP r i v a t e rem e n t bond purchasable holdings capital N e t first mortgages held Cash $3, 572. 964 $303,195 $1,607,844 3, 763,128 307,712 1,839,008 4,051, 583 279,543 1, 792,418 4, 519, 248 347, 362 1, 641, 628 2,255, 283 178,411 1,067,837 2,382,101 194, 678 1,213,609 2, 571,919 169,884 1,175,285 2,886, 641 221,431 1,067, 943 1, 317, 681 124, 784 540,007 1,381,027 113,034 625,399 1,479, 664 109,659 617,133 1, 632, 607 125, 931 573, 685 Government share capital Operations Federal Home Loan N e w priNew Private B a n k ad- m o r t g a g e vate inrepurvestvances chases loans ments Repurchase ratio INSURED November December 2,473 2,475 2,476 2,476 2,474 2,475 $5,594,461 5, 666, 351 5, 725. f 62 5, 797, 238 5,878,098 6,148,230 1946: J a n u a r y February March April _ _ _ . M a y __ . _ June July 2,477 2,481 2,485 2,486 2,488 2,490 2,493 6,204,954 6, 274,832 6, 359,998 6, 462,376 6, 592, 552 6,743,121 6,810, 626 1945: J u l y August-. September October November December 1,467 1,469 1,467 1,466 1,466 1,467 3, 552,154 3, 595,087 3, 632,197 3,676,401 3,732,4£0 3,923, 501 1946: J a n u a r y February March April May June July 1,467 1,468 1,469 1,469 1,471 1,472 1,473 3,955, 391 3, 999,837 4,050, 719 4,118,076 4, 204,057 4, 311, 747 4,344,421 1,006 1,006 1,009 1,010 1,008 1,008 2,042, 307 2,071,264 2,093, 765 2,120,837 2,145, 608 2,224, 729 1,010 1,013 1,016 1,017 1,017 1,018 1,020 2,249,563 2,274,995 2,309,279 2, 344,300 2,388, 495 2,431, 374 2,466, 205 1945: J u l y . Aucust _ September. $4,840,292 4,913,879 4,C81,869 5,055,073 5,109,101 5,219,910 $23,499 23,378 23, 367 23, 367 23,366 23,366 $114,469 105, 344 92, 618 79,497 88, 304 185,210 $121,572 131,239 122,098 150,000 151, 335 144,664 $196,944 156,189 146,2f0 163,628 147,022 180,352 $144,932 83,357 77,855 91, 668 92,650 71, 777 73.6 53.4 53.2 56.0 63.0 39.8 5,299, 668 5,361,314 5,432,080 5, 507, £23 5, 589, 795 5, 724, 893 5, 798,380 20,165 19, 374 19,373 19, 373 19, 358 19, 358 16,832 163,559 154,835 144,111 145, 744 159, 546 189,908 187, 401 169,107 174, 954 238,268 268, 705 285,613 257,175 254,858 283,487 182,679 198,176 198,896 196,973 219,825 296, 710 205, 537 122,099 129,573 123,265 116, 370 86,017 224, 686 72.5 66.8 65.4 62.0 59.1 39.1 75.7 3,089,026 3,137,136 3,182,465 3,231,187 3,271, 317 3, 348, 567 18,138 18,069 18,058 18,058 18,058 18,058 90,017 81,805 71, 252 58,694 62,153 137,839 76,355 82,197 77, 321 95,815 96, 709 SO, 920 129,958 102,190 96,180 108,252 97, 373 120,195 100, 301 55,016 51,428 59,925 59,023 44, 352 77.2 53.8 53.5 55.4 60.6 36.9 3,395,108 3,435,482 3,481, 382 3,532,406 3, 586, 501 3, 677,643 3,716,445 15,250 14, 540 14, 539 14, 539 14, 539 14,539 12,380 124,242 118, 501 109, 213 106, 599 115,009 137, 605 134, 376 109,146 111,927 155,960 174,467 186, 282 167, 552 165, 031 190, 748 122,452 132,145 132,092 130, 551 144,470 194,872 144,388 82,173 86,471 81,241 78,013 55,038 156, 734 75.7 67.1 65.4 61.5 59.8 38.1 80.4 1, 751,266 1, 776,743 1, 799,404 1,823,886 1,837,784 1,871,343 5,361 5,309 5,309 5,309 5,308 5,308 24,452 23, 539 21,366 20,803 26,151 47,371 45,217 49,042 44, 777 54,185 54, 626 53,744 66,986 53,999 50,110 55, 376 49, 649 60,157 44,631 28,341 26,427 31, 743 33,627 27,425 66.6 52.5 52.7 57.3 67.7 45.6 1, S04, 560 1,925,832 1,950, 698 1,975,517 2, 003, 294 2, 047, 250 2, 081,935 4,915 4,834 4,834 4,834 4,819 4,819 4,452 39, 317 36,334 34,898 39,145 44, 537 52, 303 53,025 59,961 63,027 82, 308 94, 238 99, 331 89, 623 89,827 92,739 60,227 66,031 66,804 66,422 75, 355 101,838 61.149 39,926 43,102 42,024 38,357 30,979 67,952 65.9 66.3 65.3 62.9 57.7 41.1 66.7 FEDERAL _ STATE 1945: J u l y August... _ September October November December February March.... April. May... June July _ Table 1 4 . — S A V I N G S — S a v i n g s and loan share investments and repurchases, July 1946 [Dollar a m o u n t s are s h o w n in t h o u s a n d s ] All associations Period 1945: J a n u a r y - J u l y July August September October November December 1946: J a n u a r y - J u l y . JanuaryFebruary March April May June July I n s u r e d associations Repurchases Net inflow $1,335,786 $758, 510 $577, 276 179,183 104, 265 100, 506 119,821 118,881 94,970 64,178 91,976 94,317 82,956 65,165 128. 915 73.6 53.1 51.6 59.1 64.6 42.4 679,469 64.6 1, 576, 746 1, 007, 547 90,342 69,813 84, 736 92,622 99, 038 157, 550 85, 368 73.0 68.3 65.2 62.7 59.9 41.6 76.1 243, 361 196, 241 194,823 202,777 184,046 223, 885 1,920, 213 1, 240, 744 334,961 220,469 243,363 248,077 246, 713 269, 694 356,936 244,619 150, 656 158, 627 155,455 147, 675 112,144 271, 568 Repurchase ratio New investments New investments 56.8 $1,083,488 196,944 156,189 146, 290 163, 628 147, 022 180,352 283,487 182,679 198,176 198,896 196, 973 219,825 296,710 Repurchases Net inflow U n i n s u r e d associations Repurchase ratio New investments Repurchases Net inflow $170,098 Repur* chase ratio ;8,412 $495, 076 54.3 $252, 298 $82, 200 67.4 144, 932 83, 357 77,855 91,668 92,650 71, 777 52, 012 72,832 68,435 71,960 54,372 108, 575 73.6 53.4 53.2 56.0 63.0 39.8 46,417 40, 052 48, 533 39,149 37,024 43, 533 34, 251 20,908 22, 651 28,153 26, 231 23,193 12,166 19,144 25,882 10,996 10, 793 20, 340 73.8 52.2 46.7 71.9 70.8 53.3 569,199 63.9 343,467 233,197 110, 270 67." 77,950 60,580 68,603 75,631 80,603 133,808 72,024 72.5 66.8 65.4 62.0 59.1 39.1 75.7 51, 474 37, 790 45,187 49,181 49, 740 49,869 60, 226 39,082 28, 557 29, 054 32,190 31, 305 26,127 46, 882 12,392 9,233 16,133 16,991 18,435 23,742 13,344 75.9 75.6 64.3 65.5 62.9 52.4 77.8 205, 537 122,099 129, 573 123,265 116, 370 86, 017 224,686 Table 16.—HOLC—Mortgase loans outstanding and properties on hand Table 1 7 — G O V E R N M E N T SHARESinvestments in member associations 1 [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Due on original loans Month Due on property sold [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Properties owned Book value H o m e O w n e r s ' L o a n Corporation Treasury T y p e of operation Number i F e d e r a l s 2 Federals 1941: July.. $1, 502, 710 $351, 868 ;, 165 1942: July.. 1,293,416 363, 578 250,126 1943: July.. 1, 059,151 359, 394 179,103 23, 728 1944: July.. 828, 977 370,059 28, 771 4,232 1945: July August September. October November. December __ 632, 598 618,121 605, 742 590, 747 577, 748 565, 923 312, 329 306, 9821 302, 233 296, 4051 291, 2081 286,! 3,522 2, 966 J 2,524 2,001 1,594 1,367 613 512 435 357 296 249 1946: January.._ February.. March April May June July 550, 745 538, 3301 524, 751 510, 5981 496,662 484, 4161 470, 553 279, 977 274, 666 268,894 262, 752 256,498 250, 888 244, 905 1,133 1,004 935 769 736 685 212 186 175 147 136 127 122 October 1935-June 1946: Applications: Number Amount __ _. . . . Investments: Number.. . . . Amount Repurchases.. . . . .... N e t o u t s t a n d i n g i n v e s t m e n t s . _. Second q u a r t e r 1946: Applications: Number _ . . . . Amount _ . Investments: Number.. _...._.__ Amount . . . ._ Repurchases . . . State members Total 1,862 $50, 401 4,710 $213, 701 995 $66,495 5, 705 $280,196 1,831 $49,300 $47,889 $1,411 4,243 $178,401 $160, 373 $18, 028 738 $45, 456 $39,831 $5, 626 4.981 $223,857 $200, 204 $23, 653 $15 $15 . 1 Refers to number of separate investments, not to number of associations in which investments are made. 2 Investments in Federals by the Treasury were made between December 1933 and November 1935. i Includes re-acquisitions of properties previously sold. Table 18.—FHLBS—Membership in the Federal Home Loan Bank System [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] 1945 1941 June June 1946 Assets No. All m e m b e r s ... . . . . . . . _ ._ . . . . . . . M u t u a l savings b a n k s . Insurance companies .. . . . . . _ . . ._ Assets No. No. Assets $9,443, 242 3,699 $8, 847,878 3,696 $7,969,978 3,714 3,660 8, 358, 532 3,660 7, 870, 518 3,656 7,013,906 3,671 5, 962,319 1,472 1,014 1,174 4, 311, 747 2, 424,109 1, 622, 676 1, 469 1,012 1,179 4,050, 719 2,302, 336 1, 517,463 1,465 1,002 1,189 3, 528,027 2,015.142 1,470, 737 1, 465 992 1, 214 2,881, 276 1,696,352 1, 384, 691 . _ _. . _ . _ . . - . _ _ _ _ . . . . _. . Assets No. 3,699 S a v i n g s a n d loan associations Federal . . Insured state _ Uninsured state March June T y p e of i n s t i t u t i o n $6,840, 241 . . . 25 630, 039 25 591, 546 25 566, 553 22 463, 580 . . 14 454, 671 14 385,814 15 389, 519 21 414. 342 Table 19.—FHA—Insured home mortgages (Titles II and V I ) held, by class of institution 1 [Thousands of dollars] 1941: J u n e December . _ . _ . . . . . . . . ... 1942: J u n e ... .. December.. 1943: J u n e .. December . 1944: J u n e December 1945: J u n e . December 1946: June . . _ .. . • . .. . Commercial banks M u t u a l savings b a n k s Savings a n d loan associations $2, 754, 725 3,115,616 $1,300,734 1,447,101 $174, 706 205, 748 $237,056 255, 296 $668, 069 791,617 3, 551, 421 3, 795, 519 1,614,392 1,694,963 242,619 263,825 277, 704 288,611 4,153, 657 4, 308,362 1,819,942 1,894,913 301, 058 328,041 4, 514,290 4,555,672 1,929, 054 1, 919, 999 4,677,345 4, 563, 797 4,503, 254 Total C u m u l a t i v e t h r o u g h e n d of m o n t h . Insurance companies Federal agencies 2 Others s $220,400 233,628 $153, 760 182, 226 966,441 1, 095, 276 245,206 251,871 205, 059 200,973 319,147 345, 938 1,231,638 1, 374, 570 259,495 116,330 222, 377 248, 570 371,071 392,643 371, 947 379,482 1, 465, 561 1, 495, 245 133,042 134, 551 243, 615 233, 752 1, 982, 879 1, 954, 736 416, 254 418, 505 407, 994 404,391 1, 550, 409 1, 557,603 99, 362 40, 584 220,447 187,978 1,955,922 388, 742 397,054 1, 534,770 19,627 207,139 ' 1 Original face amount of mortgages held; does nat include terminated mortgages and cases in transit to or being audited at the Federal Housing AdministraQ. tion. 2 The R F C Mortgage Company, the Federal National Mortgage Association and the United States Housing Corporation. 3 Includes mortgage companies, finance companies, industrial banks, endowed institutions, private and state benefit funds, etc. 384 Federal Home Loan Bank Review INDEX OF VOLUME 12 FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK REVIEW • FOR the convenience of readers in finding references, the pagination of each issue of Volume 12 is listed below. The titles of all articles appear in italics. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. Volume 12 1—October 2—November 3—December 4—January.. 5—February 6—March 7—April 8—May 9—June 10—July 11—August 12—September Pages 1-28 29-60 61-88 89-120 121-156 157-188 189-220 221-248 249-280 281-316 317-352 ____ 353-387 A Active Market Brings Recording Peak-.. All associations: mortgage holdings of, (1941-44) mortgage lending by, (1945) mortgage lending by, in selected states savings invested in trends in real estate owned by (1944) All operating associations: combined statement of condition mortgage recording trends of progress during 1944 progress during 1945 . Asset accounts. (See Balance sheets.) Pages 95 12 133 169 34 102 8 95,130,325 5 132 B Balance sheets: all operating savings and loan associations 5 FHLBanks._ 146,342 FSLIC, annual summary (1945) 149 insured savings and loan associations (1941-45) 66 member associations 289 Bookshelf (listings published each month): reviews 46,364 Building codes 87 Building costs (analysis and index tables published in each issue): estimates of average postwar 9 index of, revised (1935-45) 165 Building materials: premium payment plans 162, 253,328 priorities on 69,141 regulations under VEHP 202,284,356 " wartime research and developments in 40,41, 99 Building societies, British: mortgage interest rate of 4 percent adopted 87 trends in selected balance sheet items (1944-45) 213 Bulletins. (See FS&L System, Rules and Regulations and Insurance of Accounts.) Business conditions (analysis of, published in each issue): forecast for 1946 . , 137 post-World War I . . 63 summary of 1945 123 September 1946 C Census: housing standards and rental values, prewar marriage data Characteristics of New Housing Before the War Closing the Books on Wartime Operations of Insured Associations Commercial banks: licensing rules changed mortgage loans made and held by mortgage recording trends in real estate owned by (1943-44) savings invested in Construction (see also Residential construction): college courses in employment in estimates of postwar (BLS) summary of (1945) Construction costs (See Building costs). Consumers' Price Index, explanation oL._ Cross-Currents in Real Estate, by William H. Husband... Current Boom, in Marriages Pages 43 200,264 43 66 m 12,298 95,130,325 102,298 34,298 105 280 9,87 125 53 225 264 D Directors, FHLB, appointment, designation and election of_. 118,175,196,302 Directory of member, Federal and insured institutions (published in each issue). Disposition of Temporary War Housing Offers Advance Materials Supply. 42 Divers, William K., A Program of Action for Veterans' Housing 160 Dividends: table of, declared by F H L Banks . 148,343 F Fahey, John H., excerpt of letter by 252 Farewell Message to the Bank System, by James Twohy 91 Federal Home Loan Bank System (see also Federal Home Loan Banks): balance sheet (combined) of all member associations 292 operating ratios of all member associations 321 summary of trends of member associations.. 132,292 Federal Home Loan Banks (summary and table of lending and balance sheet items published in each issue; combined consolidated statements of condition, dividends, interest rates, published in February and August): directors of 118,175,196,302 merger of Portland and Los Angeles Federal Home Loan Banks into San Francisco Bank 199 summary of trends (1945; 6 months 1946) 146,342 Federal Housing Administration (tables on Titles H a n d VIinsurance operations published each month; holdings by type of institution, published in March and September): appraisal service extended 141 "country" homes covered 320 firm commitments on loans to builders 69 insured mortgage loans made and held by selected financial institutions 14 summary of activity (1945) 129 Title I, Class 3 loans resumed 219 Title II, Section 203 extended 284 Title VI revised under Patman Act 255 urban redevelopment unit 200 Federal Reserve Board: analysis of demand deposits 141 analysis of individual savings, spending and liquid asset holdings.. 295, 333,365 Federal savings and loan associations (analysis and tables of operations and lending activity published in each issue). Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (analysis and tables on progress of insured associations published in each issue): amendments to Rules and Regulations of. (See Insurance of accounts.) 385 Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation—Continued Pages study of selected real estate sales in District of Columbia by 227 summary of operations of (1945) 149 summary of trends in associations insured by (1945) 134 Federal Savings and Loan System, Rules and Regulations, amendments to: additional lending powers for Charter K associations on GI loans- - 140 authority of Bank Administration officers in a conservatorship... 271 delegation by conservator of his authority 270 disposition of an association operating under a conservator 73 limitations on Federals in sales of loans 271,370 moving a Federal or establishing a branch office 140, 206 participation in group mortgages or deeds of trust 271 procedures at FHLBA hearings 309 public availability of opinions, orders, rules and regulations 370 Financial Requirements of the Veterans Emergency Housing Program^. 285 "Financing American Prosperity," symposium published by Twentieth Century Fund (book review) 46 Ford, David, resignation as Assistant Governor, FHLB System 175 Forecast for 1946: summary of prospects in residential construction, home finance and related fields 137 Foreclosures, nonfarm (analysis and table published December, March, May, August): summary of trends (1945) 131 From the Commissioner 252 Full Employment Brings Record Gain in Savings of Individuals... 34 G GI Bill. (Sse Servicemen's Readjustment Act.) GI Home Loan Program Gathers Momentum Grebler, Leo, Postwar Housing Problem in Perspective Growth of Savings and Loan Industry in a Year of Full Production Guaranteed markets under VEHP 357 63 5 163,254 H Heisler, Kenneth G., named General Counsel, FHLBA 202 Home Owners' Loan Corporation (table on operations and investments published quarterly from March): mortgage loans made and held by 12 real estate owned by 102,131 "Housing Needs and the Housing Market" (book review) 364 Housing (see also specific subjects): characteristics of prewar construction 43 converted homes returned to owners 87 history of, shortage 201 ownership trends during war 261 problems in, after World War I 63 research projects 40, 41,224,284 vacancy ratio 284 wartime experience in design and construction 99 Housing Gets the Green Light From Congress 253 Husband, William H., Cross-Currents in Real Estate 225 Insured associations—Continued operating ratios for, (1944-45) progress during 1944 study of trends of, (1941-45) turnover and repurchase data for, (1939-45) Interest rates: tables of F H L B , on advances and deposits Pages 322 5 66 203 148, 343 J Jacoby, Robert B., named Deputy Governor, F H L B System Jensen, Otto K., Indianapolis Finds Its Answer to Urban Blight 231 329 L Lanham Act: amended to authorize additional funds Lee, Harold, appointed Governor of F H L B System Life insurance companies: mortgage loans made and held by mortgage recording trends of private savings invested in (1920-45) real estate owned by (1943-44) Liquid Assets at an All-time High Lumber: production expedited . Regulations on use of under VEHP 200 158 12 95,130,325 34,135 102 ___ 229 224,280,284,320 356 M Marriages, Census Bureau data o n . . . _ _ 200,264 Mayor's Committee Goes to Work 257 Mortgage debt, farm, change in (1940-44) 27 Mortgage debt, nonfarm residential: held by selected financial institutions 12,131 Mortgage insurance (see FHA). Mortgage lending (analysis and tables of lending activity published in each issue): effect on, of lifting building restrictions 3 life insurance company 12 mutual savings bank__ 12, 298 payment of commissions for 31 requirements for, under V E H P 285 savings and loan (1945) 132 savings and loan, in selected states (1944-45) 169 trends in, by type of lender (1944) 12 Mortgage Lending in Selected Areas 169 Mortgage recordings (analysis and tables of estimated volume published in each issue): special studies of trends in. 95,325 summary of, by type of mortgagee (1945) 130 Mutual savings banks: mortgage loans made and held by _ 12,298 mortgage recording trends of 95,130,325 private savings invested in 34,298 real estate owned by, (1943-44) 102,298 N I Improvements in the Building Cost Index 165 Income: Federal Reserve Board's analysis of, related to saving, spending and holdings 295,333,365 per capita (1940^4) 27 wage rate trends (1944-45) 105 Indianapolis Finds Its Answer To Urban Blight, by Otto K. Jensen... 329 Inflation, real estate: trends in 225,232 Inflation in Real Estate—How Far Has It Gone? 232 Insurance companies (see Life insurance companies). Insurance of Accounts, Rules and Regulations, amendments to: control of records by the Corporation 206 declarations of dividends when losses are charged to Federal Insurance Reserve 103 geographical limits for lending or investing 279 limitations on sale of loans 279,371 public availability of opinions, orders, rules and regulations 370 Insured associations: balance sheet items for, percentage distribution of (1944-45) 293 combined statement of condition (1944-45) 293 liquid assets of, (1940-45).. . 229 386 National Economy in a Year of Transition National Housing Agency: study of housing after World Wars study of inflation in home sites. __ New Residential Growth in Urban Areas New "Stop-Construction" Order News Notes (published in each issue; indexed by subject). Neighborhood Conservation 123 63 232 70 197 171 O Operating Ratios of Member Savings and Loan Associations Outlook for Home Financing Outlook for 1946 Outstanding Home Mortgage Debt Virtually Unchanged.. 321 3 137 12 P Population: probable postwar trends._ wartime trends (1940-44). Postivar Housing Problems in Perspective, by Leo Grebler Premium payment plans 4 38 63 162,253,328 Federal Home Loan Bank Review Pages Prefabrication: priorities assistance for 200 Priorities: building materials, for residential construction . 69,141 construction, under V E H P 224,280,301 prefabrication 200 Probable Volume of Postwar Construction 9 Program of Action for Veterans' Housing, by William K. Divers 160 R Raising the Curtain on Postwar Housing 127 Real estate owned: by all savings and loan associations 102 byHOLC 102,131 by insured commercial and mutual savings banks 102,298 by life insurance companies-.. 102 by member savings and loan associations 289 trends in, by selected financial institutions 102 Recent Shifts in Share Capital Trends 203 Record Year for Savings and Loan Associations 132 Rents: analysis of trends in (1929-44) 303 Repurchase ratios (data for all savings and loan associations published each month): summary of trends of, in all operating associations (1945) 134 summary of trends of, in all insured associations 203 Residential construction: comparative analysis of, after World Wars I and II 63 estimates of postwar 9 financial requirements for 1946 and 1947 285 history of housing shortage 201 permits issued in 79 cities (1941,1946) 363 postwar, in Britain 356 priorities for, under V E H P . 200,224,280,301 priorities on materials for 69,141,356 rent ceilings on V E H P , increased 324 ''Stop-Construction'' order reinstituted 197 "Stop-Construction" order rescinded 3 summary of, (1945) 128 wartime research and developments in 99,224 Review of the Construction Outlook 361 Review of 1945: trends in regional and national vital statistics of the savings and loan industry, and general business conditions. (Entire February issue is a year-end survey number.) .- 123 Revised GI Loan Regulations 193 Richards, Ralph H.: appointed Acting Governor of FHLB System 91 Should Commissions Be Paid To Secure Mortgage Loans'? _ 31 Rock Bottom in Real Estate Overhang? 102 Pages 325 Six-Month Summary of Mortgage Financing A ctivity Statement of condition. (See Balance sheets.) Statement of operations: member savings and loan associations (1944-45) summary of, F H L Banks (1945) Statistical Supplement (published with April issue). 321 146 T Tax incentives for rental housing Taxation: real estate and alternative forms "The City is the People," by Henry S. Churchill (book review) Thrift and Mortgage Financing Operations of Banks "Tomorrow's House," by George Nelson and Henry Wright (book review).. _ __ Trend of Member Association Assets During The War Twohy, James: resignation as Governor (FHLB System) and farewell statement 363 92 47 298 46 289 91 U Urban planning Urban redevelopment: FHAunit Indianapolis program legislation 70,99,171,329 200 329 41,104 S V Vacancy ratio _-.. 284 Veterans Administration (table of lending activity published in each issue from July ): guaranteed lending by 41,280.357 Veterans Emergency Housing Act, 1946 253 Veterans Emergency Housing Program: building materials channeled to 202,284,356 community action reports 302 construction priorities 224,280 financial requirements of 285 guaranteed markets under 163, 254 Lanham Act amended as aid to 200 manpower aids,.. 200 minimum property standards tightened 301 outline of 160 Patman Act provisions 253 prefabrication priorities_._ 200 premium payment plans 162,253,328 progress of, (tables) 285,320,356rent ceilings increased 320 "Stop-Construction" order issued 197 tax incentives for rental housing 363 Worcester, Massachusetts program 257 Veterans' legislation (state) _ 104 Savings in the Last War Year 135 Savings (table of United States war and savings bonds published October-June, August; selected private long-term savings published quarterly from February): E bond sales and holdings 231,280 Federal Reserve Board's analysis of individual 295,333, 365 "package savings" plan 27 peacetime bond sales program 85,141 SEC report on private, (1941-46) 328 trends in, invested in insured commercial and mutual savings banks 298 trends in private, (1945) _. _ 135 trends in private, held by selected institutions (1920-44) 34 Secondary markets for GI loans 1 371 Servicemen's Readjustment Act (table of home loans processed by Veterans Administration published each month since July): amendments to.. 98,193 secondary market for loans under 371 VA home loans under 41,280,357 A Share capital, private (table on trends in, and repurchases by class of association published each month): summary of trends in, of all operating associations 5,134 repurchase and turnover data for, of insured associations (1939-45). 203 Sharing the Local Tax Burden, by H. O. Walther 92 Should Commissions be Paid to Secure Mortgige Loans'? by Ralph H. Richards 31 Walther, H. O., Sharing the Local Tax Burden 92 War bonds (table of sales and redemptions of series E, F and G, published in each issue through June, and in August): E bond holdings 231,280 E bond sales (1941-45) 280 sales and redemptions (1944-45) 87 savings invested in, (1945) 135 Victory Loan report.. 98 War housing: disposition of temporary, for re-use 42 summary of 127 War Telescopes Experience in Housing Design and Construction 99 Wartime Increases in Home Ownership 261 Washington, D. C , study of real estate activity in 227 Who Holds the Backlog of Savings? Parti 295 Part II 333 Part III 365 Why the Housing Shortage? 201 Worcester, Massachusetts, Mayor's housing committee in 257 Wyatt, Wilson: Housing Expediter, appointment as 69 NHA Administrator, appointment as 139 W September 1946 387 U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1 9 4 6