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FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK Vol. 12, No. I Washington, D. C. OCTOBER 1945 Because the costs of war go on long after the last gun is silent, to "Share the Care" becomes no less important than to "Back the Attack." The Victory Loan— our last public drive—is at once an opportunity and an obligation to show that the people of this country intend to follow through on the many responsibilities that remain. Members of the Federal Home Loan Bank System have made a wartime record of which they may well be proud. Their support of the previous war loan drives, as well as their interim bond activities, has been a real contribution to the Treasury's financing and anti-inflationary programs. This splendid record gives us every reason to look to them for one more successful campaign. Director, War Finance Division United States Treasury FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK Contents THE O U T L O O K FOR H O M E F I N A N C I N G Some possible effects of postwar conditions. Vol. 12 No. 1 OCTOBER 1945 The Federal Home Loan Bank Review is published monthly by the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration under the direction of a staff editorial committee. This committee is responsible for interpretations, opinions, summaries, and other text, except that which appears in the form of official statements and signed articles. Each issue is written for executives of thrift and home financing institutions, especially those whose organizations are insured by the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation and are members of the Federal Home Loan Bank System. Communications concerning POST-VJ D A Y M I G R A T I O N S Critiques, by the Housing Market Service, National Housing Agency, of recent population shift surveys. G R O W T H O F THE S A V I N G S A N D L O A N INDUSTRY IN A YEAR O F FULL PRODUCTION Annual analysis of combined balance sheets of all operating savings and loan associations. PROBABLE V O L U M E OF POSTWAR CONSTRUCTION. Based on a study prepared by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. OUTSTANDING H O M E M O R T G A G E DEBT VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED Survey of trends in mortgage debt on 1 - to 4-family homes. Page 3 4 5 9 12 STATISTICAL D A T A New family dwelling units Building costs Savings and loan lending Mortgage recordings Sales of U. S. war savings bonds FHA activity Federal Home Loan Banks Insured savings and loan associations 21 - 2 2 22-23 23-24 24-25 25 25 25 27 REGULAR DEPARTMENTS Monthly Survey 17 Directory Changes of Member, Federal and Insured Institutions News Notes 26 27 material which has been printed or which is desired for publication should be sent to the Editor of the Review, Federal Home Loan Bank Building, Washington 25, Contents of this publication are not copyrighted D. C. • • • The Federal Home Loan Bank Administration assumes no responsibility for material obtained from sources other than itself or other instrumentalities of the Federal Government. SUBSCRIPTION PRICE OF REVIEW.—A copy of the REVIEW is sent to each member and insured institution without charge. To others the annual subscription price, which covers the cost of paper and printing, is $1. Single copies will be sold at 10 cents. Outside of the United States, Canada, Mexico and the insular possessions, subscription price is $1.60; single copies, 15 cents. Subscriptions and orders for individual copies should be sent with remittances to the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. APPROVED BY THE BUREAU OF THE B U D G E T Federal Home Loan Bank Revie\ THE OUTLOOK FOR HOME FINANCING The lifting of wartime restrictions on construction, materials and the utilization of credit for home repairs, together with the extension of the period of notification of eviction under OPA regulations, holds important implications for home financing. Some possible effects of these changes are discussed in this article. • FOR almost three and one-half years the home building industry has operated within the confined scope allowed it under Order L - 4 1 . For four full years it has functioned under a system of materials priorities. With the war now over, these restraints upon residential construction have been abandoned. Builders everywhere are turning to meet the demand for new homes which has accumulated during the war years and to meet the added demand which has been given voice by generally higher income payments. As this transition to peacetime construction is occurring, mortgage lending institutions are taking stock of the present situtation—identifying sound markets, probing for danger points. With an unprecedented amount of liquid resources available for investment, lenders are anxious that the rising volume of postwar building be financed on a sound basis, that mistakes of the past not be repeated. Cost Considerations Of concern to all is the upward movement of home prices which has been particularly noticeable in overcrowded war production centers of the country. Not being subject to price control regulations, prices for existing houses rose abruptly in many localities during the war as the supply of rental units was absorbed by inmigrant workers. To what extent will this rising price trend for homes be carried over into the postwar period? Although not identical with the situation following the last war, there is sufficient similarity between that period and the present to give pertinence to an examination of trends of 27 to 25 years ago. Then, it will be recalled, the greatest general price inflation occurred after hostilities had ceased rather than during the war years of 1917 and 1918. So great was the rise in the cost of building materials that the decline which took place in the number of new homes placed under construction in 1920 resulted in only a leveling of construction expenditures. The record indicates that new nonfarm residential construction did not go into high gear until building costs returned to more realistic proportions. October 7945 If the forecasts of a record volume of postwar home building are to be realized, unwarranted increases in the prices of new homes must be avoided, for the earlier estimates have been predicated upon a construction program which will furnish new homes for as broad a market as can be reached. From both private and public sources have come warnings that inflated prices may kill housing markets or arrest their full development. The lending institution, by the nature of its business, is concerned with the outlook for sustained values, the prospect of spreading its risks over as broad a market as possible and the assurance of a sound and active future market. The greatest interest in construction and lending naturally centers upon the provision of new homes. However, there is also a pent-up demand for repair and reconditioning of existing residences, largely neglected during the war because of the limitations upon the use of manpower and materials, as well as credit restrictions under Regulation W. The lifting of the curbs on the use of credit for these purposes, the removal of priority regulations and the abandonment of Order L-41 will permit increased activity in these lines to improve the existing homes. The recent revision of eviction regulations by the OPA to require a six-month instead of a three-month period of notice may produce a slowdown in the turnover of existing homes. If this is the case, lending institutions will probably notice an increase in construction lending and in loans for the repair and modernization of homes, with some letdown in lending for home purchase. I t does not seem likely that the volume of new building expected next year will appreciably affect the demand for existing homes. However, there may be some reluctance to bid on this market in view of the definite assurance that new dwellings are again being built in volume and will be available in quantity in the foreseeable future* To the extent that this is true, reproduction costs will regain importance in value determination. Building costs, however, may be many months in settling to a realistic postwar level. The time involved may be expected to be influenced by the (Continued on p. 15) 3 POST-VJ DAY MIGRATION • T H E shifting tides of World War I I produced the greatest mass migration the United States has ever seen within such a short time. Between December 1941 and March 1945 more than 27,000,000 Americans, including those men and women who entered the armed forces, changed their places of residence. Jobs in the nation's unparalleled war activities motivated the moving of over 15,000,000 persons, with long distance migration tending to flow primarily westward toward the aircraft and shipbuilding centers on the Pacific Coast. The West experienced a net gain of about 1,200,000 in civilian population; the South showed a net loss of some 900,000, while the North lost approximately 300,000 civilians. Among the most significant problems of the reconversion period are (1) the permanence of wartime population shifts and (2) the volume and direction of probable migration in the next few months. Under the title, Migration After VJ Day, NHA has assembled and summarized several independent sample surveys which attempt to answer these questions for the country as a whole, for specific areas and for selected groups of the population. One difficulty in drawing conclusions from these surveys is that all were made before VJ Day and many before VE Day, when the individuals interviewed had not felt so acutely the necessity for personal postwar planning. This would probably affect materially the current validity of surveys, especially if the employment prospects had changed radically. Keeping in mind these limitations, however, it is possible to draw certain general conclusions from the available data. 4 Postwar migrations of important proportions seem likely to occur, despite the expressed intentions of a sizable group of civilian war-migrants to " s t a y put.'' This reshuffling of civilians will probably be about two-thirds as great as took place during the war period. Unless it occurs within a brief interval, however, it will have much less serious effects than did wartime shifts on the individual communities and on the economy as a whole. Existing community facilities and services can be reestablished to accommodate returning families much more readily than such services and facilities could be instituted during the war in areas unprepared for a sudden influx. Geographic Effects The South will probably see the greatest outmigration, resulting in a considerable net loss of population for the section as a whole. The Southern Atlantic Coast states anticipate the heaviest* drain, although the newer industrial centers throughout the South may retain a fairly high percentage of their population gains. The North may expect the largest net increase as inmigration into that area, estimated at twice the volume of the outmigration, will probably be concentrated in the Middle Atlantic and East North Central states. Very little net change is indicated for the West where, it is believed, departures will approximate arrivals. From the data available it seems likely that localities which grew most during the war will shrink most in the postwar exodus. Communities with relatively stable populations during the war will probably not lose many families through outmigration. The type of employment available is also expected to influence the rate and volume of population changes. One-industry areas, for example, will lose more people more rapidly than those with diversified occupations, especially when the latter can offer job opportunities in peacetime production. Outmigration will be most extensive from communities where war agencies and military installations are situated, and next in order are shipbuilding and aircraft centers. A survey made among Army enlisted men in the summer of 1944 revealed t h a t 80 percent of those interviewed expected, when discharged, to return to the state of their prewar residence. Only 9 percent planned to go to a different state, while 11 percent were undecided. Fzdzral Home Loon Bank Review GROWTH OF THE SAVINGS AND LOAN INDUSTRY IN A YEAR OF FULL PRODUCTION Although 1944 was a year of full production, there was little change in the size of the mortgage portfolio despite a record volume of lending. New funds were diverted principally to the purchase of Government securities. While the ratio of reserves to total resources declined slightly, additions to reserve and undivided profits accounts were the largest reported since the depression. • T H E continued rapid expansion of resources of all operating savings and loan associations throughout 1944 is attributable principally to the sustained high production level throughout the year. As income payments mounted to a new peak in annual volume, savings of individuals * invested in these institutions rose to the highest figure on record, standing about 0.1 percent above the previous high point established in 1930. The gain of almost 15 percent in private savings which occurred last year was the principal factor contributing to the 13-percent rise in total assets. As a result, by the end of 1944, the industry had attained a size 1 substantially equivalent to the pre-depression peak in resources. The war-induced forces which contributed to the rapid growth in private savings were also showing their influence on the asset side of the balance sheet. Larger incomes and restricted spending opportunities were increasing the amount of savable cash in the hands of individuals, and available data indicate that the flow of these funds was directed toward debt reduction as well as into savings accounts. Although the dollar amount of loans closed by savings and loan associations last year was greater than in any similar period since 1929, the high volume of repayments by borrowers restrained to 3.5 percent the growth in the outstanding balance of loans and contracts. Thus, an accelerated turnover of mortgage funds as well as the wartime curtailment of construction virtually precluded the investment of the bulk of new savings in home loans. In response to our war-financing needs and in order to find employment for the expanding volume of private investment capital, savings and loan associations further expanded their holdings of U. S. Government securities, almost doubling this item during the single year, with the result that liquid assets mounted to an unprecedented proportion of total industry resources. Although this large accumula1 tion of liquid resources brought about a lower effective rate of earnings on the capital of the industry, this expansion has occurred at a time when dividend rates had, to a large extent, lost their old significance as a factor in the attraction of savings. This is witnessed by the rapid growth in new investments which took place uninterrupted by a rather general decline in the rate of return paid on these savings. The most important aspect of the large proportion of liquid resources, though, lies in the added strength which they have given to the industry. As the volume of new home building mounts during the postwar years, savings and loan associations will be in condition to assure a ready supply of funds to finance new home construction and purchase as well as the repair and reconditioning of existing properties. In addition, liquid funds should be ample to meet withdrawal demands of savers during the period of reconversion. Again, the rate of growth in the general reserves and undivided profits accounts was unable to pace the growth in assets. However, both the dollar gain during the year and the combined year-end balance shown in these accounts are the largest since the depression, possibly the largest in the history of the industry. Excluding pledged shares. October 1945 5 Source of- Gain Progress of Associations As in 16 of the past 17 years, there was a shrinkage in the number of operating savings and loan associations, a net decline of 219 being reported during 1944. At the end of that year, though, the 6,279 operating institutions had assets totaling $7,458,265,000, or almost 13 percent more than the total held by operating associations at the end of 1943. As a result of the contraction in the number of institutions (which resulted in large part from consolidation and merger) and the $854,000,000 gain in resources, the largest on record, the size of the average institution increased about 17 percent during 1944, standing at $1,188,000 at the end of the year. Adjusted to eliminate pledged shares, an item which has virtually disappeared from the savings and loan balance sheet with the abandonment of the shareaccount sinking fund loan, this average was $1,159,000 on December 31. Savings and loan association members of the Federal Home Loan Bank System accounted for more than 86 percent of the resources of the industry at the close of last year, their assets totaling $6,423,000,000. During the 12-month period, the resources of these Bank System members expanded by $884,162,000, or 16 percent, while nonmember assets declined by $29,966,000. These figures reflect in part the further absorption of industry assets by the System. A continuing gradual decline in the number of member associations resulted from the process of consolidation and merger referred to above. These changes produced an increase in the average size of member associations from $1,497,000 at the end of 1943 to $1,757,000 at the close of last year. 6 The gain of $854,196,000 in the assets of all operating institutions, as is indicated by its magnitude alone, resulted primarily from the continued growth in the volume of private savings which, as of December 31, 1944, was almost 15 percent, or $811,225,300, greater than reported 12 months earlier. Again, adjusting the data to eliminate a slight distortion arising through the inclusion of pledged shares, it will be seen that about 88.4 percent of industry growth last year resulted from increased investment (a rise of about 15 percent in private savings offset by a decline of almost 49 percent in investments by the Federal Government). Nonsavings liabilities, principally borrowed money, accounted for 7.5 percent, and net worth (deferred credits, guaranty stock, reserves and undivided profits) was responsible for 4.1 percent of the expansion. Thus, on the adjusted basis, the increase which occurred during 1944 in the assets of all operatingsavings and loan associations may be summarized as follows: Item group New investment (net) Non-savings liabilities N e t worth Increase $777, 428, 000 66, 009, 000 36,475,000 T o t a l gain (adjusted) Less: Decline in pledged shares T o t a l gain (unadjusted) 879, 912, 000 25, 716, 000 854, 196, 000 Federal Home Loan Bank Review What effects did this growth in resources produce upon the composition of assets? As was previously indicated, the foremost development of the year was the continued expansion of holdings of Government securities, up 96 percent from the end of 1943. Offsetting a drop of more than 11 percent in cash on hand and in banks, this rise in Government security holdings resulted in an increase of over 58 percent in liquid assets, the net addition in that category ($765,653,000) being more than four and one-half times as great as the expansion in the balance of loans and contracts outstanding ($167,933,000). Holdings of stock of the Federal Home Loan Banks increased by 11 percent ($6,227,000). Other investment securities held by these institutions showed a decline last year, dropping almost 8 percent below the 1943 year-end figure, while the book value of real estate owned was diminished by more than 48 percent. Also, decreases were shown in the book value of office premises, furniture and fixtures and other assets. As a result of these changes, there was a continuation of trends generally observable in the proportionate distribution of resources during recent years. Loans and contracts outstanding, which had represented about 76 percent of industry assets at the end of 1943, were but 69 percent of the total at the close of last year, while liquid resources, which had represented about 20 percent of resources on the earlier date, mounted to almost 28 percent by December 31, 1944. Fixed assets, including office premises, furniture and fixtures and other items, declined to less than 1 percent from slightly above that proportion at the end of 1943. Insured Associations Associations covered by Federal savings and loan insurance reported assets totaling $4,995,184,000 at the end of last year, about 20 percent above the figure shown at the close of 1943, and representing approximately 67 percent of all industry assets. Resources of Federals increased 21 percent, while the gain for state-chartered insured associations was 17 percent. Uninsured institutions showed a 1-percent rise in assets during the year. At the close of 1944, Federally chartered associations had the highest ratio of liquid resources, 30.9 percent, followed by insured state-chartered institutions with 28 percent and uninsured state-chartered associations with 24 percent. Following expectations, the ratio for loans and contracts was in inverse progression, uninsured state-chartered insti tutions October 1945 Estimated number and amount of assets held by all operating savings and loan associations, 1944 and 1943 [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Number Assets Federal H o m e Loan Bank District 1944 UNITED STATES No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. No. 6,279 1943 r 1944 1943 6,498 $7,458,265 '$6,604,069 1—Boston. 347 753, 302 347 820, 568 2—New York 777 797, 064 826 892, 862 1,080 1, 198 561, 145 3—Pittsburgh 513, 234 r r 884, 719 897 4—Winston-Salem__ 773, 964 911 808 5—Cincinnati 826 1, 333, 641 1, 193, 033 317 385, 490 6—Indianapolis 318 437, 967 749 614, 443 7—Chicago 758 687, 283 371 360, 201 380 417, 058 8—Des Moines _ 304 271, 258 307 295, 736 9—Little Rock 289 264, 280 286 292, 562 10—Topeka 154 241, 135 155 294, 360 11—Portland 186 436, 665 186 540, 365 12—Los Angeles f Revised. reporting 73 percent of resources, while insured state-chartered associations showed 69 percent and Federals indicated a ratio of 67 percent. Bank District Comparison As in the past, the Cincinnati District showed the greatest concentration of savings and loan assets with 18 percent of the industry's resources. New York ranked second with 12 percent and was followed by the Winston-Salem Bank District, with slightly less than 12 percent, and the Boston region, 11 percent. Five of the twelve Bank Districts showed ratios of loans and contracts greater than the national average, 69 percent. These were the Pittsburgh District, 78 percent; the Little Rock region, 76 percent; the Boston area, 74 percent; the Chicago Bank District, 73 percent, and the WinstonSalem region, 71 percent. Associations in the Portland Bank District, showing the lowest ratio of loans and contracts to resources, 55 percent, indicated the highest proportion of assets in cash and Government securities, 42 percent. Institutions in this area and in four other Districts showed ratios of liquid resources to total in excess of the national average of 28 percent, the four remaining regions being Indianapolis, 34 percent; Cincinnati, 34 percent; Des Moines, 29 percent; and Los Angeles, 29 percent. The lowest ratio of liquid items to total assets was reported in the Pittsburgh District which, as mentioned above, 7 indicated the highest regional ratio for loans and contracts. Conclusion The expansion of savings and loan resources which took place in 1944 was the direct result of the high level of income payments, supported in large part, if not in bulk, by Government expenditures for war. I n view of the problems of reconversion which now face the country, it is possible that developments in 1945 may show some slackening in the rate of asset growth. Certainly, in the years ahead, associations will find a return of competition in the attraction of savings, and an important part of their planning for the future will be directed toward the encouragement of systematic savings. The revival of mortgage lending opportunities and a possible lower rate of savings flowing into these institutions in the months ahead might mean that reserve ratios would show a sudden expansion in the next year. Large allocations to the reserve account, it will be recalled, were unable to match wartime growth in assets. Earlier, it was noted that resources, adjusted to eliminate pledged shares, now approximate the predepression peak. Although the assets of the industry are as great as they were in 1930, savings and loan associations today are immeasurably stronger than they were then—stronger in their own right by virtue of their unprecedented proportion of liquid assets and the virtual extinction of the owned real estate account; stronger also as a result of their line of credit provided by the Federal Home Loan Banks and the protection of accounts afforded by the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation. Comparative statement of condition for all operating savings and loan associations in the United States, 1 9 4 4 and 1 9 4 3 [Source: Annual reports of s t a t e savings a n d loan supervisors-—Summary of members' consolidated annual reports] [Dollar a m o u n t s are shown in thousands! All operating associations Ratio to total assets Increase or decrease Item 1944 1943 $4, 982, 556 19, 298 147, 965 60, 383 62, 251 1, 671, 115 31, 495 413, 065 52, 366 6,808 10, 963 $4, 793, 184 32, 826 181, 591 116,969 56, 024 853, 217 34, 125 465, 311 52, 594 6, 957 11, 271 7, 458, 265 6, 604, 069 1944 Percent change 1943 Amount Percent 66.81 0.26 1. 98 0. 81 0.83 22.41 0. 42 5. 54 0. 70 0. 09 0. 15 Percent 72.58 0. 50 2. 75 1.77 0. 85 12. 92 0. 52 7.04 0.79 0. 11 0.17 + $189,372 - 1 3 , 528 -33,626 - 5 6 , 586 + 6,227 + 817,898 -2,630 - 5 2 , 246 -228 -150 -308 + 4.0 -41.2 -18.5 -48. 4 + 11.1 + 95. 9 -7. 7 -11.2 -0.4 -2.1 -2.7 100. 00 100.0 + 854, 19 6 + 12.9 326 942 003 869 540 509 023 546 769 136 821 792 793 0.48 84. 54 2.46 1.70 0. 96 0. 51 0.47 0.39 0.41 0. 17 0. 24 5. 21 2. 46 1.05 83. 19 3. 17 1. 63 0.40 0. 60 0.47 0.45 0. 48 0. 24 0. 24 5.45 2.63 - 3 3 , 797 + 811,225 - 2 5 , 715 + 19,013 + 45,469 -1,646 + 3,833 -661 -1,389 -3,454 + 2,580 + 28,993 + 9,745 -48.8 + 14. 8 -12.3 + 17.6 + 71.3 -4.2 + 12. 4 -2.2 -4. 4 -21.4 + 16.3 + 8.1 + 5.6 6, 604, 069 100. 00 100.0 + 854, 196 + 12.9 ASSETS Mortgage loans Other loans Real estate sold on contract Real estate owned F H L B stock U . S. Government obligations Other investment securities Cash on h a n d a n d in b a n k s Office building F u r n i t u r e a n d fixtures Other assets , Total assets L I A B I L I T I E S AND C A P I T A L U. S. Government i n v e s t m e n t s P r i v a t e repurchasable c a p i t a l x Mortgage pledged shares Advances from Federal H o m e Loan B a n k s Other borrowed money Loans in process Advance p a y m e n t s by borrowers Other liabilities Permanent, reserve or g u a r a n t y stock Deferred credits Specific reserves General reserves Undivided profits Total liabilities a n d capital 1 35, . 305, 183, 126, 72, 37, 34, 28, 30, 12, 18, 388, 183, 529 167 288 882 009 863 856 885 380 682 401 785 538 7, 458, 265 69, , 493, 209, 107, 26, 39, 31, 29, 31, 16, 15, 359, 173, Includes deposits a n d investment certificates. 8 Federal Home Loan Bank Review PROBABLE VOLUME OF POSTWAR CONSTRUCTION Recent estimates by the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicate a rapid rise in the volume of residential building during the first five postwar years. Average construction costs are expected to drop as the highcost market is saturated and builders turn to less expensive houses. • R U N N I N G on the average about one-third of the anticipated total for all types of construction, private nonfarm residential building 1 is expected to climb steadily during the first five postwar years to an annual volume of $4,450,000,000, according to recent estimates of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This would place expenditures for this purpose during the fifth postwar year at the highest level since the late twenties. The average annual outlay over the five-year period, $3,950,000,000, would be greater than the amount spent by private sources in any year since 1929. In relation to more recent activity, such average expenditures would be onethird more than the post-depression peak of $2,973,000,000 estimated for 1941.2 Indications point to brisk sales of privately built "promotional" houses but private rental units seem likely to form a considerably smaller part of residential building than in the past. Rental quarters again will probably be concentrated in apartment buildings, although the volume of construction will lag considerably behind prewar peaks. It is estimated that an average of about 900,000 nonfarm dwellings will be started each year for the five years immediately after VJ Day. This figure includes approximately 50,000 publicly financed units. The first postwar year will probably see approximately 550,000 private nonfarm homes started, increasing each year to reach an anticipated total of 1,040,000 private dwelling units placed under construction during the fifth postwar year. Stated in terms of 1940 construction costs, the average cost of privately built dwellings is expected to be highest— $4,200—during the first year. I t seems probable that the annual average will range downward to $3,550 by the end of the five-year period. This assumes that simpler and cheaper houses will become a larger part of the increasing volume of residential construction. 1 Including additions, alterations and major repairs for which building permits are customarily issued. All estimates are in 1940 dollars. 2 Forecasts relate to work started; estimates for prior years relate to work performed. October 1945 667228—45 < Conditions revealed by the 1940 Census and accentuated by war-spawned influences have produced a huge potential demand for residential construction after the war. Since 1940, housing shortages, military service by family heads and economic pressures have caused families to " double u p " or share living quarters. Furthermore, according to the Census Bureau, the number of families has increased rapidly since 1940. This trend is expected to continue, reaching almost 7,300,000 by 1955. Many of the recently formed families have never been set up as households or have temporarily abandoned that status. The National Housing Agency predicts that 1,400,000 servicemen's households will be created or revived soon after the war. Effective Demand World War I I has produced tremendous migrations of people, reminiscent of the pioneer movements of the 19th century. This time, however, the flow has been toward the war production centers—for the most part a rural-to-urban drift which is likely to result in a permanent major shift of population to the industrial urban centers of the West and South. Total housing needs will probably be affected only slightly by these shifts but the effective demand will be increased since only in rare instances have these families been able to take along their living quarters. Geographically, then, the pattern of housing needs will be quite different from that recognized before the war. Even in areas of declining population there will seldom be any surplus of dwellings meeting reasonable standards of adequacy because usually there will be more substandard units than migrating families. Effective demand for residential construction will probably respond to home financing terms which are more favorable to prospective purchasers or builders than those available during previous periods of active building. Anticipating that FHA mortgage lending procedures will be continued with certain minor changes after the war, the Bureau of Labor Statistics 9 does not believe there will be any significant change in interest rate in the five immediate postwar years. "Although the long-range trend is unquestionably downward as risk is reduced with greater stability of neighborhoods and higher construction standards, this is not expected to be effective in the early postwar y e a r s / ' according to the BLS study. There must also be taken into consideration the stimulus provided by the GI Bill of Eights which will affect the market for houses selling as high as $10,000. Supply Despite wartime shortages of labor and materials, there have been additions to the 1940 housing inventory. Excluding the 313,000 temporary public units, during the 1940-1943 period 1,870,000 dwelling units were constructed. Many of these were built in areas where postwar reduction in employment is inevitable. Some were definitely of inferior types, accepted because of the financial circumstances of their occupants but not as a long-time housing asset. Others were converted units, only some of which are permanently useful. The net increase of permanent housing resources was, therefore, probably not more than 1,700,000 units between 1940 and 1943. Even at the time of the Census in 1940, the national vacancy rate for habitable units was only approximately 3 percent. While this was not alarming, in itself, it did not allow any surplus housing for future needs since a vacancy rate of 5 percent is generally accepted as a necessary "cushion." The several million substandard dwellings—estimated by the NHA at 7,000,000 in 1940—could in many cases only at prohibitive expense be brought up to reasonable standards for occupancy. By the end of the war, at least 500,000 more pre-1940 units will have deteriorated each year into substandard state. In addition, about 50,000 nonfarm dwellings will have been lost each year by fire or other disaster, demolition, abandonment or conversion to non-dwelling uses. However, counterbalancing conditions will partially offset potential demand. Noncorporate savings have reached an all-time high and wages in general may be higher after the war than in prewar years. Nonetheless many families will continue to have postwar incomes below $1,500. Few nonfarm families with such incomes will be able to rent or buy unsubsidized new units. Uncertainties regarding future employment or permanent residence, and preference for investments other than home ownership will also tend to retard home purchase or build10 ing. Common misconceptions concerning radical changes in postwar home construction or equipment may for a time hinder home purchases when experience demonstrates that early over-optimistic promises of postwar " dream houses" cannot be realized on a mass scale iu the near future. Composition of Building Activity Wartime experience will affect operations in the home building field. While there is always likely to be a place in the industry for builders of one or two houses at a time, the average size of projects will probably be larger than in the prewar era. An increasing volume of construction is forecast in projects ranging from 25 to 100 houses. The most promising major sphere for early expansion seems to lie in the moderately expensive market for houses priced from $7,500 to $10,000. Competition for this market is likely to be based primarily on design, finish and equipment rather than price. However, since relatively few prospective purchasers can afford to pay $7,500 or more for a home, this field cannot sustain its expanded volume for more than a few years. On the other hand, although operations at lower sales prices require more careful planning because of a lower gross profit per unit, they probably offer a larger long-range opportunity to the home building industry. As in the recent past, it seems probable that larger housing projects will be built in outlying sections of the community where large tracts of land are available at attractive prices. If utilities must be installed on raw land, however, it may prove cheaper to buy lots in sparsely built urban subdivisions and demolish existing shacks if necessary so that new houses can be interspersed on scattered vacant sites. In the early postwar years it does not appear likely that private apartment construction will much exceed 100,000 units a year, below both the prewar peak of 257,000 and their anticipated future importance. Current trends seem toward smaller apartments, averaging about three rooms or less, to house families without children or temporary households of employed men or women. On the whole, apartment construction is foreseen as motivated primarily by investment considerations. Projects are therefore apt to be larger than formerly to protect investments through development of areas large enough to establish stable neighborhood characteristics. Bigger projects would also permit reduced management and maintenance costs. Federal Home Loan Bank Review Apartments Apartments for average-income workers, close to places of employment, are mentioned by the BLS study as a relatively untouched field for development. Several difficult problems remain to be solved before this type of building would be practicable on a large scale. I t is closely related to the problem of salvaging blighted urban areas. The cost and complexity of rehabilitating such regions, however, preclude their use for housing developments in the near future on any extensive scale. The lower yield to owners and mortgage holders from low-rental apartment property calls for the utmost economy in construction costs. To achieve this, some sort of reorganization of the building industry is needed to bring about more direct procurement of materials and better integration between different kinds of site work. A uniform pattern of annual operation to cut seasonal unemployment of construction workers would probably also help reduce building costs. Numerous "village" type projects in the higher rental class are expected to be erected in outlying suburbs of larger cities. Like those in similar categories today, such units would be designed mainly for families with incomes considerably above the average, families without children, and temporary housekeeping groups. Prior to the war, there were some outstanding examples of direct investment by insurance companies in apartment projects. Plans are already well advanced for a number of similar projects to be built in the early postwar period. Though permissive legislation will be necessary in a number of states to October 1945 allow such use of fiduciary funds, it seems possible that housing will eventually become an accepted major field for institutional investment, the BLS reported. The accumulated backlog of maintenance and minor repairs needed by privately owned living quarters is expected to average about $1,360,000,000 annually during the five-year period. Deferred because of the war, this type of work awaits only the release of necessary materials and manpower to reach an estimated volume of $1,500,000,000 the first year after the war. Although a drop to $1,300,000,000 is anticipated by the third postwar year, that annual rate is expected to continue through the fifth year. Repairs and Alterations A different pattern is predicted for annual expenditures covering additions, alterations, modernization and major repairs to nonfarm residential structures. In the first postwar year, the amount to be spent for these purposes is estimated at $550,000,000, rising to $850,000,000 in the third year and dropping back to $750,000,000 during the fifth year after the war. Since such jobs ordinarily require so much more material than does maintenance work, the former can reasonably be expected to trail the latter at first. Construction volume of wartime public housing has been falling rapidly during the past two years. With the end of the war, however, local housing authorities are expected to begin construction of permanent slum clearance projects. Over the fiveyear period under discussion, it is thought that an average of 50,000 such dwelling units may be erected annually. The cost would rise from $95,000,000 in the first year to $190,000,000 by the end of the fifth year. This type of building is expected to continue on a moderate scale but the results achieved will probably be closely evaluated in light of the criticism of publicly financed housing. The right kind of slum clearance projects are slowly being recognized as civic assets, according to the BLS study. Not only do they add to the community's housing resources but they meet the acute need of those families unable to pay full commercial charges for decent used or new housing. Based on an estimated increase from $7,890,000,000 in the first year to $12,065,000,000 in the fifth year after final victory, the total volume of all types of construction financed by both public and private sources is expected to average $10,900,000,000 annu(Continued on p. 26) 11 OUTSTANDING HOME MORTGAGE DEBT VIRTUALLY UNCHANGED The downward trend in the outstanding debt on 1- to 4-family homes was halted last year. Repayments remained high but were almost matched by a large volume of new lending. • AT the end of 1944 the total debt outstanding on 1- to 4-family homes was substantially the same as it had been at the close of the preceding year, according to estimates by the Division of Operating Statistics of the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration. The 1944 figure of $19,528,000,000 represented a decline of $14,000,000, or less than 0.1 percent, during the year. The fractional decrease shown by the Division's study indicates that the increased volume of new lending on dwellings in this category has, for all practical purposes, matched the high aggregate of repayments in 1944. Thus the decline that has been noticed since 1941 in the outstanding debt on 1- to 4-family homes was brought to a virtual halt last year. A recent Census analysis 1 showing an increase of about 28 percent in home ownership in nonfarm areas since 1941, however, would indicate a probable shift within the over-all debt figure with a tendency toward increased debt on owner-occupied homes. These data, of course, show only the net increase in the number of owner-occupied units and do not estimate the total number of transfers. However, they do provide a partial indication of the rapid turn over in existing structures; to the extent that mortgage financing of such purchases represented cancelation of previous contracts, it constituted no addition to net mortgage debt. From the meager amount of new building which was possible under wartime restrictions, it is also apparent that the bulk of lending which added to the outstanding debt in 1944, as in the preceding year, was concentrated in loans for the purchase of existing properties and for their repair, maintenance and conversion. To a great extent, these loans replaced earlier loans for new construction which were being rapidly paid down as large wartime incomes permitted accelerated debt retirement. This has been bound to destroy the proportion as between the various kinds of mortgages held in a well balanced portfolio, and, in addition, has 1 Characteristics of Occupied Dwelling Units, for the United States. 1944. Bureau of the Census. Series H-45, No. 2, July 21,1945. 12 tended to increase the dollar volume of lending since so many of these mortgages were for home purchases, a large number based on rising property prices. Estimates indicate that about $3,830,000,000 of new loans were closed by all types of lenders in 1944. A comparison of this figure with the net change in mortgage debt indicates more specifically the approximate equalization of debt reduction and new lending. For each $100 of new loans made, about $100.36 was received in repayments on outstanding debt balances. Although, as will be seen in the accompanying chart, 1944 was the third successive year in which repayments exceeded advances, last year showed a substantial drop from the 1943 ratio of $112 for each $100 of new loans. Holdings by Type of Mortgagee Last year miscellaneous lenders moved into the increase column along with savings and loan associations and life insurance companies which had been the only types of mortgagees to show a gain in the balance of mortgages outstanding on 1- to 4-family homes. As to the proportion of total loans made, the relative order of the various types of lenders remained substantially the same as in 1943—individuals and others first, followed by savings and loan associations October Federal Home Loan Bank Review Estimated balance of ouststanding mortgage loans on 1 - to 4-family nonfarm homes l [Dollar amounts are shown in millions! P e r c e n t of total debt T y p e of l e n d e r 1944 1943 1942 1941 1944 S a v i n g s a n d loan associations Life i n s u r a n c e c o m p a n i e s M u t u a l savings b a n k s - . __ Commercial banks . H o m e Owners' Loan Corporation __ __. . . . I n d i v i d u a l s a n d o t h e r s *_ _ . Total $4, 799 ' $4, 584 $4, 556 $4, 552 2,458 2,410 2, 255 1,976 2,660 2,700 2,730 2,570 2,450 2,480 2,470 2,410 1941 24.6 12.6 13.2 12.3 22.7 9.8 13.6 12.3 5.6 31.7 8.8 32.8 19, 528 ' 19, 542 19,908 20,095 100.0 100.0 1,091 6,200 1,338 6,100 1,567 6,350 1,777 6,590 T 1 Revised. For a detailed description of the source of these estimates see F H L B REVIEW, November 1939, p. 51; September 1940, p. 410; September 1941, p. 412. * Includes fiduciaries, trust departments of commercial banks, real estate bond companies, title and mortgage companies, philanthropic and educational institutions, fraternal organizations, construction companies, R F C Mortgage Company, etc. and mutual savings banks. However, a 2-percent rise in holdings of insurance companies brought these institutions into fourth place, while commercial banks, showing an estimated decline of 1.6 percent, dropped back to fifth position. The Home Owners' Loan Corporation, which has been in liquidation since 1936, again had the smallest proportion of total holdings of this type. In spite of a relatively small gain during 1944 (1.6 percent) the miscellaneous group of individuals and others continued to lead the field in their relative volume of outstanding nonfarm home mortgage debt. Following a rise of $100,000,000 to $6,200,000,000, they accounted for 31.7 percent of the balance compared with 31.2 percent the year before. Savings and loan associations showed the greatest gain in holdings on small-family homes both percentagewise and in dollar volume—up almost 5 percent to $4,799,000,000. This increased their proportion of total holdings to 24.6 percent; in 1943 it was 23.5 with a dollar volume of $4,584,000,000. Mutual savings banks reported a greater decline in 1944 than they had the year before—down 3.4 percent compared with 1.5 in 1943. At the end of last year their balance outstanding was $2,570,000,000, or 13.2 percent of the total for all types of lenders. I n 1943, the estimated $2,660,000,000 accounted for slightly more—13.6 percent. Life insurance companies reported a 2-percent increase in 1- to 4-family mortgage holdings, bringing their dollar volume to $2,458,000,000, or 12.6 percent of the over-all balance on 1- to 4-family properties. In 1943 they held $2,410,000,000—12.3 percent of the total. A drop of 1.6 percent in the October 1945 balance estimated for commercial banks brought the outstanding balance of these institutions down to $2,410,000,000, or 12.3 percent of the total. In 1943 these institutions accounted for 12.5 percent. The HOLC again showed the largest dollar decline during 1944—reporting a decrease of $247,000,000 compared with a net increase of $233,000,000 for all other types of lenders combined. A total of $1,091,000,000 was carried on the books of HOLC at the end of 1944, 18.5 percent less than the year before. The holdings of this corporation continued to represent a decreasing proportion of the total balance outstanding—5.6 percent compared with 6.9 in 1943 and 16.5 percent in 1935, the year before HOLC commenced liquidation. New Lending Operations Total new mortgage lending last year (exclusive of sales contracts) amounted to $3,830,000,000, an increase of 20 percent during the year compared with a gain of only 1 percent in 1943. In contrast to 1943 when only savings and loan associations, miscellaneous lenders and the HOLC (through sales of owned properties) increased the volume of lending on 1- to 4-family homes, 1944 figures showed that all types of lenders, except the HOLC, shared in the year's gain. Changes in proportionate participation, however, did not alter their relative positions. Savings and loan associations continued to account for the largest proportion of all new lending—38 percent compared with 37.2 in 1943. Their aggregate loans last year totaled $1,454,000,000, representing a 22.8 percent increase. Miscellaneous lenders (individuals and others), in spite of the fact that they showed the largest perVOLUME OF ESTIMATED OUTSTANDING MORTGAGE LOANS PRIVATE NONFARM l-TO 4-FAMILY HOMES 1 9 3 3 - 1 9 4 4 , BY TYPE OF LENDER F'OOLLARS 25 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1942 1943 1944 13 Estimated amounts l o a n e d on 1 - to 4 - f a m i l y nonfarm dwellings, 1 9 4 4 a n d 1 9 4 3 [Dollar amounts are shown in millions] Type of lender Savings and loan associations Life insurance companies Mutual savings banks Commercial banks and their trust departments Home Owners' Loan Corporation Individuals and others Total Loans Loans Dollar Percent made made change change from during during from 1944 1943 1943 1943 $1,454 300 140 $1,184 272 120 +$270 +28 +20 +22.8 +10.3 +16.7 601 31 1,304 515 54 1,038 +86 -23 +266 +16.7 -42.6 +25.6 3,830 3,183 +647 +20.3 centage increase during 1944, remained in second place in the volume of new loans made last year. A gain of 26 percent brought total loans for this group to $1,304,000,000, which represented 34 percent of the new lending of all types of mortgagees compared with 32.6 percent the year before. Increased lending activity in 1944, coupled with the growing participation of savings and loan associations and miscellaneous lenders, was reflected in the declining proportionate activity of other types of lenders, in spite of the fact that all, except HOLC, showed dollar increases. Commercial banks, although experiencing a 16.7 percent gain in the volume of loans written ($601,000,000 in 1944), accounted for the same relative volume of all activity as in the previous year—16 percent. Life insurance company lending rose 10.3 percent to $300,000,000, but represented only 7.8 percent of the 1944 loan volume whereas the year before the proportion had been 8.5 percent. Mutual savings banks came closer to maintaining their relative participation which amounted to 3.7 percent last year as against 3.8 in 1943. Loans amounting to $140,000,000 were written by these institutions last year—16.7 percent more than their 1943 volume. The HOLC, which did the smallest proportion of new lending (0.8 percent), reversed its 1943 increase (resulting from a larger volume of sales and greater advances during that year) and dropped 42.6 percent last year to $31,000,000. FHA Activity For the second successive year the annual volume of F H A mortgages insuring loans on 1- to 4-family homes declined—both in dollar volume and in proportion to the estimated amount of 1944 small-home mortgage lending. Small-home loans written under Title I I dropped from $244,000,000 in 1943 to $216,000,000 in 1944, while Title VI lending (again 14 reflecting the tapering off of war housing) declined to $491,000,000 from $518,000,000 in 1943. The 1944 total of $707,000,000—7 percent less than the volume of small-home loans insured under Titles I I and VI the year before—represented 18.5 percent of the estimated 1944 amount of mortgage lending on 1to 4-family houses. In 1943, small-home loans insured under Titles I I and VI amounted to $762,000,000, or 24 percent of the estimated amount of all small-home loans written in that year. Savings and loan associations and commercial banks were the only types of lenders to increase their insured lending activity during 1944. Commercial banks continued to be the heaviest participants in the insured lending program with a $293,000,000 volume of insured lending in 1944, representing 41.4 percent of the total amount of insured mortgages, and 48.8 percent of the mortgage lending done by these institutions in 1944. In 1943 insured loans taken by commercial banks amounted to $276,000,000, accounting for 36 percent of the total amount of insured mortgages for the year and 53.6 percent of commercial bank lending on small homes. Savings and loan associations were the only other type of private lending institution originating a larger proportion of insured mortgages on small homes in 1944 than in 1943 (15.3 percent last year compared with 12.3 percent in 1943), but the ratio of insured mortgages to the total lending of savings and loan associations declined again—from 7.9 percent in 1943 to 7.4 percent last year. Insured Debt Outstanding Despite the decline in F H A loans written during 1944, the balance of the insured debt outstanding at the end of 1944 showed a 3.7 percent increase to $4,146,000,000. This represented 21.2 percent of the total portfolio of all lending institutions compared with 20.5 in 1943 when insured loans totaled $3,998,000,000. Again, as in 1943, the proportion of insured mortgages to total holdings increased for all types of lenders, except the miscellaneous class. However, the rate of increase in the estimated unpaid balance of insured loans showed several variations from the previous year. Mutual savings banks, which were second in 1943, led in percentage increase last year— up 19.2 percent, while the holdings of life insurance companies, which had gained 20 percent in 1943, rose only 6.8 percent last year. The 7.8 percent increase shown by savings and loan associations was considerably diminished from the 15.8 percent gain Federal Home Loan Bank Review Estimated holdings of F H A home mortgages, by type of institution, 1944 and 1 9 4 3 1 [Titles II and VI, premium-paying; dollar amounts in millions] Type of institution Savings and loan associations Insurance companies 2 Mutual savings banks . ' Commercial banks. _ __ Others.-. ___ Total Amount 1944 _ .. _ ._ Percent of total home mortgage portfolio 1944 1943 $347 1,369 360 1,725 345 7.2 55.7 14.0 71.6 5.6 '7.0 53.2 11.4 70.9 5.8 4,146 21.5 20.5 »•1 Ee vised. No published data are available on the institutional distribution of Title I, Class 3 loans outstanding. 2 As reported by FHA, insurance company figures include a small percentage for insurance companies other than "life." the year before. Individuals and commercial banks recorded declines of 2.8 and 0.7 percent, respectively. Future Prospects It seems probable that 1944 has brought the low point in the balance of outstanding mortgage debt. With lending for purposes other than construction already at a high level in 1945, building done under the H - 2 program supplemented by the lifting of L-41 late in the year, will undoubtedly bring a spurt in the total volume of lending. Also, it seems reasonable to expect a tendency toward a more normal rate of repayment, at least during reconversion. Also it will probably be true that loans for repair and modernization will loom relatively large in next year's operations, both because of the tremendous pent-up demand and the probable short-range scarcity of materials for larger construction jobs. The combination of these factors indicates the probability of a more normal distribution of lending next year among the various loan purpose categories and an increase in the balance of outstanding home mortgage debt. G l Housing Hints • The Facts About Homes for Veterans, published last month by the National Housing Agency, aims to give the returning veteran an explanation of the severe housing shortage and to advise him on the best steps to take to find a home in an admittedly difficult situation. Following an explanation of that situation, the pamphlet points out the necessity of adequate housing services in all crowded communities and advises veterans on how to look for such services. October 1945 I t then deals with the advantages, processes and problems of home ownership. Chief emphasis is on the GI Bill, the gist of which is given in brief and specific form. Procedures are outlined for obtaining a loan to build or buy a home, together with amortization tables, and veterans are urged to take advantage of all possible safeguards. Questions on personal and financial considerations, and a checklist relating to the condition of the property, neighborhood and added costs give a realistic approach to the venture of home ownership. The pamphlet declares that many evidences of high purchase and building costs, while they do not mean that it is impossible to get a "good buy," make expert advice essential. I t adds: "No ethical lending institution should finance a home you do not seem able to pay for—it would not be doing you a favor if it did. You would only lose the home and much of your investment in the end." Copies of this pamphlet are available from the Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C , at 5^ apiece, or $3.75 per 100 copies and up. Home Financing Outlook (Continued from p. 3) restoration of the flow of the proper materials through the normal distributive outlets and the adjustment of inventories, to say nothing of the problems of reconverting mill and factory production. Also, there is the matter of regaining or replacing skilled labor lost during the war. If this process is complicated by labor-management disputes and strikes, it too may have a drastic effect upon building cost trends. In addition to increasing the cost of materials and labor rates, delays in construction resulting from slow deliveries or strikes may add considerably to overhead expenses. While in the case of homes in the "luxury" price brackets, increased overhead might be absorbed to some extent in the builder's profit, construction for sale or rental in the lower ranges probably will show a greater degree of sensitivity to changes in overhead items. Not only to guard against the contingency of a reversal in values but also to assure the broadest possible market sustained over a long period of time, it is to the interest of every mortgage lending institution to avert unnecessary increases in home prices. To do this, there must be a continual evaluation of loan policies, not only for their immediate internal effects but for the influence that they will exert upon the real estate market. 15 RESIDENTIAL BUILDING ACTIVITY AND SELECTED INFLUENCING FACTORS /935-/939-/00 BY YEARS BY MONTHS INDEX 220 / I 111M 200 ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION PRIVATF CONSTRUCTION^. 1 8 2 FAMILY DWELL.UNITS ^ S \ {FED. HOME LOAN BANK A D M . ) . / U.S.C EPT DFLA a RECORD 3 180 ( / f r 160 \ 140 ^ f / / f V 120 .•**• 5S.£ LN. LEM D . ^ v*SV( l-LD. HOMJ E L N . BK.A I00\ / / / • \. IV i /l v / \ \ \. 60 f V^ t / V S V G S a LN LEND. / / v/ .PRIVATE CONSTRUCTION // 80 r _ J 1 a 2 FAMILY DWELL. UNITS /k \~ ..-' 40 ' NUNtAHM ^.-V^ -"• FORECLOSURES fNONFARM ( F - H HDMF 1 N RK ADMI 20 FFORECLOSURES 1 1 0 140 J - RF^TQ 120 1 1 H U . S. DEF>T OVIABOR) 100 ^ | V \ 80 I I 1 i i 1 1 [ r - r,T~r • 1 1 1 1 L 1 1 l 1 — 4 HtNlb I I (U.S. mhlfi DEPT MATERIA OF LAB DR) 1 i ^-BUILDING MAftKfAL KWJt/'fcS .^* I *" V o n i ,«•••' U-J^crd,_'..*—^ 1 I-HT 60 280 P — PR / P P -- Oe 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADJUSTED 1 ! i i i FOR SEASONAL 260 l 240 -»—>. ^ • • ^ • 1 ^ 1 i i i i i i i i i VARIATION 1 l 1 I l f INDUSTRIAL PRODi JCTION INDLISTRIAL PRODUC yr\0N-^ 220 FED. KL3C R V C BUMR D) \ r / j • ...»••—•••* + _.-"* /1 180 // /'/ /y 160 ^* <zZl „ . — * ^ / M com; PAYMEN7 s f / 200j ^•••••i \ \ -—":, "•••••*„ **... -*«^ MF6. EA!PLO\ 'MEN TS '*>..# i 140 / 120 *V> I00\ *r INCOME PAYMENTS ( U S . DEPT OF COMMERCE)^} >* 80 60 v" % > V /'"*./ Km .At \ / *s V ^V "^ "*\* j£ r^*' *MFG. EMPLOYMENT (U.S. DEPT OF LABOR) 1 1 1930 '31 '32 *33 '34 '35 '36 '37 '38 '39 4 0 41 42 43 4 4 INDEX DEPARTMENT STORE SALES 250 r 1935-1939 = 100 A ^ w J-/~ Aw^ 1 1 1 1943 1 THOUSNEW RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION 25 URBAN AREAS - NO. OF OWELL. UNITS /\A 'V 16 I i i i 1 1944 1 ^WHOLESALE 180 i i 1 1 1 1, 1 1 1 1 1945 COMMODITY PRICES 1935-1939 «100 - ^\r nl.,!n!,i 1 1 LUMBER^! BUILDING MATERIALS^ ! l/V , , 1 , •1 M 1 n Ml n l n l u . / I / / INDUSTRIAL: lUnilCTDIAl' ALL JVlrWiuMi,, MIMIMIMIMIML.IMI.•!•.!,,!., lllllllllll Federal Home Loan Bank Review « « « ONTHLY SURVEY » » » HIGHLIGHTS /. Savings and loan associations reported new mortgage loans of $173,663,000 in August—greatest monthly volume since the late twenties. A. New construction loans registered a sharp rise of two and three-quarters times the August 1944 volume and accounted for more than one-third of the increase in total lending. B. Lending for all purposes increased in August, with home purchase loans continuing to account for the largest portion. II A new August record of $489,389,000 was set for recordings of nonfarm mortgages of $20,000 or less—almost 14 percent over the August 1944 figure. A. All types of lenders shared in the 4-percent increase over July recordings. B. Again leading all other lenders, savings and loan associations recorded 37 percent of the total. III. Residential construction activity declined 19 percent during August but stood 48 percent above the same 1944 month. A. An increasing proportion of privately financed construction was apparent in August 1945 compared with ratios in July and in August 1944. B. The gain displayed in the January-August period of 1945 amounted to 3 percent over the like period last year. IV. Extending the recent gradual upward trend, the index of construction costs for the FHLBA standard house rose slightly to V. Repayments to FHL Banks, totaling $18,951,000, reached the second highest volume ever recorded during August. of advances outstanding fell to $112,451,000 by August 31. 135.8. The balance VI. At the lowest ebb since March 1942, August industrial production fell to 188 on the Federal Reserve Board's seasonally adjusted index. ft ft ft BUSINESS CONDITIONS—Production reflected war's end Cancelation of war contracts, which followed immediately after Japan's acceptance of peace terms, dropped industrial production for August to the lowest point since March 1942. As indicated by the Federal Reserve Board's seasonally adjusted index (1935-1939=100) it stood at 188, down 23 points from July. This decline was chiefly in the machine and transportation equipment industries. By September, however, steel output had begun to show the effects of conversion to peacetime production. The receipt of a large volume of orders from the automobile and other steel-consuming industries brought a noticeable rise. The first actual measure of net changes in total factory employment since the end of the war showed a decline of 1,600,000, or 11 percent, between July 31 and August 31. This survey, conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, indicated that seven-eighths of the cut occurred in the metalchemical-rubber industries which produced the bulk of munitions output. However, small decreases were noted during August in nearly all non-munitions industries. Total manufacturing employment declined from an estimated 13,900,000 to 12,300,000 during this period, compared with drops of 300,000 to 400,000 in the months immediately preceding VJ Day. October 194S Early effects of industrial reconversion were also evident in data released by the Bureau of Employment Security. Total claims for unemployment compensation (including waiting period and compensable claims) jumped from a weekly average of about 300,000 to almost 1,000,000 by August 25. Department store sales in August stood at 199 percent of the Federal Reserve Board's seasonally adjusted index, based on a 1935-1939 average. Although this was down 19 points from the July figure it was still well above the 187 shown in August 1944. Currency in circulation has continued to show weekly gains since hostilities ceased. For the week ending August 11, the U. S. Treasury reported a daily average of $27,277,000,000 which increased progressively to a daily average of $27,999,000,000 for the week ending September 15. This was considerably above the corresponding figures for last year—$22,921,000,000 and $23,516,000,000 respectively. [1935-1939=100] Type of index Home construction (private) Rental index (B LS) Building material prices Savings and loan lending i._. Industrial production i Manufacturing employment Income payments i r Revised> August July 1945 I 1945 79.8 79.1 108.3 108.3 131.5 131.2 236.6 224.7 188.0 '211.0 144.3 ' 150. 5 237.3 '243.4 Percent August Percent change 1944 change +0.9 0.0 +0.2 +5.3 -10.9 -4.1 -2.5 41.7 108.2 129.5 188.9 232.0 170.4 234.0 +91.4 +0.1 +1.5 +25.3 -19.0 -15.3 +1.4 i Adjusted for normal seasonal variation. 17 B U I L D I N G ACTIVITY—Long-term increase still apparent The increase in home building evident since early this year continued throughout August when the 12,903 new family dwelling units reported in that month represented a gain of approximately 48 percent over the same month last year. This was the result of a 75-percent increase in privately financed construction and a 90-percent drop in public building. All F H L B Districts shared in the 1945 gain. The upswing is further evident in a comparison of cumulative eight-month activity in the two years. During the January-August period of 1945, a gain of 3 percent was noted over the same 1944 period. Cumulative seven-month figures, on the other hand, showed a 2-percent decline between 1944 and 1945. Although above the level for the like 1944 month, activity during the month was lower than in July. August authorizations for the construction of new family dwellings slumped 19 percent to 12,903 from 15,911 the preceding month. This was almost entirely due to a decline of 2,813 in the number of publicly financed units which totaled only 144 in August and accounted for but 1 percent of all building. The decrease in private construction amounted to only about 1.5 percent. [TABLES 1 and 2.] upward from July, the composite index advancing fractionally to 131.5. During the year ending in August, the price index of all building materials increased 1.5 percent. [TABLES 3, 4 and 5.] M O R T G A G E LENDING—Post-depression peak reached in August New mortgage loans aggregating $173,663,000 were placed on the books of savings and loan associations in August, marking the greatest volume of lending in any month since the late twenties and exceeding by more than 25 percent the figure for the like month of last year. Although home purchase loans accounted for the largest portion of the $35,000,000 increase in lending over August 1944 (about 44 percent), the sharp gain in construction lending is the most significant feature of the month's activity. Construction loans, up to approximately two and three-quarters times the volume shown for the corresponding month of last year, accounted for more than one-third of the increase in total lending over the figure for that earlier month. Home purchase loans represented almost 69 percent of the month's activity, showing a substantial proportionate decline from the better than 76 percent TOTAL LOANS MADE BY ALL SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS B U I L D I N G COSTS—Gradual increase continued Construction costs for the F H L B A standard house, which have been moving up gradually for the past several years, rose again during August. The index of labor costs advanced fractionally to 140.9 and materials rose to 133.1, bringing the total index to 135.8. In July the total cost index stood at 135.6 percent of the 1935-1939 base period. Since August of last year advances of 2.6 percent in labor costs and 1.4 percent in the cost of building materials have raised the total index 1.9 percent. According to Department of Labor data, the wholesale prices of all building materials also moved UNITED STATES - BY TYPE OF ASSOCIATION Is BY MONTHS TOTAL Uu. o**$y FEDERALS*. J ^ ^. s& sA */ ^ , , , , TTl U V STATt• CHARTERED 1EMBEfS NC ,r f <s SERS^i ,,,, 1944 1945 UNITED STATES - BY PURPOSE OF LOAN J-HOME PURCHASE ! - CONSTRUCTION Construction costs for the standard house \ -REFINANCING l-RECONDITIONING |-OTHER [Average month of 1935-1939=100] Element of cost Material Labor Total___ p Percent August Percent 1944 change change August 1945 July 1945 133. 1 140.9 133. 0 140. 6 + 0. 1 + 0.2 131. 3 137.3 + 1.4 + 2.6 135. 8 135. 6 + 0.1 133.3 + 1.9 p Preliminary. 18 Federal Home Loan Bank Review N e w mortgage loans distributed b y purpose [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Purpose Construction H o m e purchase Refinancing Reconditioning Other purposes August 1945 $20, 120, 17, 3, 11, Julv 1945 730 $17, 658 + 17.4 $7, 589 + 6. 9 105, 050 557 112, 761 + 9. 8 14, 152 146 15, 622 971 3, 351 + 18. 5 3,067 + 2. 3 8, 816 259 11,007 173, 663 160, 399 Total PerPerAugust cent cent 1944 change change + 173. + 14. + 21. + 28. + 27. 2 8 2 5 7 + 8. 3 138, 674 + 2 5 . 2 reported during August 1944. On the other hand, construction lending accounted for about 12 percent of the total, whereas in the like month last year it had constituted only 5 percent. Loans for reconditioning, which were almost 30 percent greater in dollar volume than a year ago, gained slightly as a proportion of total August lending—2.3 percent in 1945 compared with 2.2 percent in 1944. By type of association, Federals loaned 47 percent of the total for the first eight months and statechartered member institutions accounted for 44 percent, placing activity by members of the Federal Home Loan Bank System for this period at over nine-tenths of all lending by savings and loan associations. nonfarm recordings of $20,000 or less during the month were greater than activity reported in July. The most substantial increase in this respect occurred in the Chicago region—up 12 percent from the preceding month. The largest decline—more than 8 percent—occurred in the Pittsburgh area, while recordings in the New York District were nearly 4 percent less than in July and in the Boston region the August volume was fractionally below that for the preceding month. Cumulative recordings through August of this year totaled $3,515,536,000, an advance of 16.5 percent over the $3,017,739,000 in the like period of 1944. In this comparison, life insurance companies were again the only type of lender that failed to show an increase over 1944. At the same time that their recordings declined 8.6 percent, increases shown by the remaining groups ranged from 2.1 percent for the miscellaneous class to 26.4 percent for individuals. [TABLES 8 and 9.] M o r t g a g e recordings b y t y p e of mortgagee [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] T y p e of lender [TABLES 6 and 7.] MORTGAGE RECORDINGS New monthly record established Reversing the slight declines of the two preceding months, nonfarm mortgages of $20,000 or less recorded during August rose to a new peak for the s e r i e s w h i c h w a s established in 1939. The $489,389,000 reported during August was more than 4 percent above July recordings, almost 14 percent greater than the August 1944 total, and 45 percent above the volume of mortgages recorded during that month of 1942—the first year of war. All types of lenders shared in the gain over July, the increases ranging from 0.9 percent for life insurance companies to 6.7 percent for savings and loan associations. These associations also led again in the relative proportion of total recordings, reaching a new high of 37 percent of the monthly volume. In all Bank Districts the dollar volume of mortgage recordings during August exceeded the figures reported for that month of last year, with gains varying from 4 percent in the Indianapolis area to 22 percent in the Topeka region. In nine Districts, October 1945 Savings and loan associations _ _ Insurance companies Banks, t r u s t companies. M u t u a l savings banks _ _ Individuals Others Total PerPerPercentCumulacent cent change tive refrom of Aug. cordings of total 1945 (8 months) recordJuly a m ount ings 1945 + + + + + + 6. 0. 3. 2. 2. 3. 7 9 5 4 6 6 + 4. 3 FHLB SYSTEM-August 37. 0 $1, 4.2 19. 1 3. 8 24. 5 11. 4 230, 158, 663, 126, 910, 426, 610 095 707 225 760 139 35.0 4. 5 18. 9 3.6 25 9 12. 1 100. 0 3, 515, 536 100. 0 repayments approached record high F H L B financing activity, although at a higher level than earlier in the year, brought a decrease in the balance of outstanding advances in August. The total at the end of the month stood at $112,451,000— down 7.5 percent from the July figure of $121,608,000. All Banks but Winston-Salem and Portland reported lower balances in August than at the end of the previous month. The over-all balance for the month was $1,000,000 less than in August 1944. In August F H L Banks advanced a total of $9,794,000 to members. Although this represented a 31.6 percent increase over the total amount ad19 vanced in July, it still was only approximately oneninth of the year's record advances of $86,734,000 made in June during the Seventh War Loan. The August figure was over twice that reported for the same month of 1944 and represented the largest advance made during any August since 1941. Only four Banks—Boston, New York, Little Rock and Cincinnati—did not share in the over-all gain. Repayments of $18,951,000 to the 12 Banks during August this year approached the highest volume received in that month since the System was established in 1932, being exceeded only by the record $26,516,000 in August 1944. The August 1945 amount represented a gain of 8.3 percent over July repayments of $17,501,000 and was the largest monthly total since March 1945. The increase was concentrated in five Districts: Boston, Cincinnati, Chicago, Des Moines and Portland. [TABLE 12.] F L O W OF PRIVATE REPURCHASABLE CAPITAL During August new investments and withdrawals among all operating savings and loan associations were well above the levels of the corresponding month last year, although activity in these lines was considerably less than in July, when both new investments and repurchases reached record monthly volumes. Investment of private savings in these institutions during August was estimated at $196,241,000, or 23 percent greater than in the like month of 1944. This placed total new investments during the first eight months of the year at $1,532,027,000, 22 percent above those in the corresponding period last year. Showing a gain of about 21 percent over the like month of 1944, withdrawals for August were estimated at $104,265,000. The eight-month cumulative figure for 1945 reached $862,775,000 to stand 18 percent ahead of the 1944 total. I n the first eight months of the* current year $56.30 was withdrawn for each $100 of new savings received, while in the similar period a year ago the ratio stood at $58.40. INSURED ASSOCIATIONS—High mark reached in new lending At the close of August there were 2,475 insured savings and loan associations with total resources aggregating $5,666,000,000. New mortgage loans made during that month reached a new high of $131,200,000, an 8 percent gain over July and a 3.5 percent increase over the previous peak in June of this year. Private capital accounts increased nearly $74,000,000, or 1.5 percent during August, to a total of $4,913,900,000. [TABLE 13.] Share investments and repurchases, August 1945 FEDERAL SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] The 1,469 Federal savings and loan associations on August 31 represented a gain of two for the month—one newly chartered association and one converted from a state association. The total assets of Federals amounted to approximately $3,595,000,000 at the end of the month. These associations extended $82,200,000 for new loans, a 3-percent rise over the $79,600,000 loaned during June. Private capital accounts were increased by $48,000,000 to a total of $3,137,100,000. I t e m a n d period Share investments: l s t 8 m o s . 1945_ l s t 8 m o s . 1944_ Percent change August 1945 August 1944 Percent change._ _ All associations All insured associations Uninsured members Nonmembers $1, 532,027 $1,239,677 $182, 270 $110,080 U, 251,993 $975, 167 $167, 542 $109, 284 + 27 +9 4-22 +1 $196, 241 $156, 189 $23, 778 $16, 274 $159, 865 $126, 641 $19, 768 $13, 456 + 23 + 20 + 23 + 21 Repurchases: - l s t 8 m o s . 1945 _ $862, 775 $671, 769 $119, 458 $71, 548 l s t 8 m o s . 1944i $731, 119 $545, 745 $111,804 $73, 570 -3 +7 + 23 + 18 Percent change $104, 265 $83, 357 $12, 770 $8, 138 August 1945 $85, 921 $64, 619 $12, 736 $8, 566 August 1944___ -5 + 29 + 21 Percent change.__ (0 Repurchase ratio: (percent) l s t 8 m o s . 1945___ l s t 8 m o s . 1944. __ August 1945 August 1944 * 56. 3 58. 4 53. 1 53. 7 54.2 56.0 53. 4 51. 0 65.5 66. 7 53. 7 64. 4 65.0 67. 3 50. 0 63. 7 Progress in number and assets of Federals [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Number Class of association New Converted Total 1 Approximate assets August July 31, August 31, 1944 31, 1945 1945 633 836 1, 469 J u l y 31, 1944 632 $1, 239, 875 $1, 220, 423 835 2, 355, 212 2, 331, 731 1,467 3, 595, 087 3, 552, 154 Less than 1 % increase. 20 Federal Home Loan Bank Review Table 1 . — B U I L D I N G A C T I V I T Y — E s t i m a t e d number and valuation of new family dwelling units provided in all urban areas in August 1945, by Federal Home Loan Bank District and by State [Source: IT. S. Department of Labor] [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] All p r i v a t e 1- a n d 2-family s t r u c t u r e s All residential s t r u c t u r e s N u m b e r of family dwelling u n i t s Federal H o m e Loan B a n k District and State August 1945 U N I T E D STATES $27, 412 11,676 6,098 $49, 385 $19, 500 730 357 119 1,684 454 _ ___ _ _ __ _ _ _ ____.__._ _ . ___ _ ___ 56 19 199 •18 80 101 4 70 1 13 2 283 50 940 63 423 395 14 287 1 27 6 56 19 199 18 65 29 4 70 1 13 2 283 50 940 63 348 120 14 286 1 27 6 _ _ _ 587 84 2,768 314 395 84 2, 035 314 32 52 1, 659 i 1,109 136 178 184 211 | 32 '52 1 940 1,095 136 178 ___ _ _ . 372 i 215 ... _______ . . . . . . . . N o . 4—Winston-Salem _______ _. . . . Alabama _ . . _ D i s t r i c t of C o l u m b i a . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ._ _ _ Florida _ . ___ . . . _ _ . Georgia. Maryland N o r t h Carolina South Carolina . ._ Virginia. .__ . . . _ . _ _ _ ... _ N o . 5—Cincinnati. _ _ ... _. No. 6—Indianapolis-.. . . . Indiana. Michigan... _ _ ____ _ ______ 1 . ___ . . . _ _ . . . N o . 7—Chicago ... Illinois Wisconsin-.. . . . . _ _ N o . 8—Des M o i n e s I o w a .__ _ _ _ Minnesota Missouri... North Dakota S o u t h D a k o t a __ ___ _ . _ . _ ... _ _ _ _____ N o . 9—Little R o c k Arkansas ._ Louisiana.._ _ Mississippi.. N e w Mexico Texas... _ _ _ . . . _ _ . ___ _____ _ _ _ ___*_ _ _ __ _____ ... ... _ N o . 10—Topeka Colorado Kansas Nebraska.__ _ _ _ _ Oklahoma __ _.. ___ _____ N o . 11—Portland Idaho.._ . . . ... _ Montana . Oregon Utah Washington.. Wyoming _. N o . 12—Los Angeles Arizona.. California Nevada.. _____ October 1945 .... _ _ _ _ ___ _ August 1944 1,759 . ._ August 1945 August 1944 $53, 848 N o . 3—Pittsburgh Kentucky Ohio Tennessee August 1945 August 1944 191 __ _ _ _ _ ..... Delaware. Pennsylvania W e s t Virginia August 1945 8,738 . _._ _ _ _ _ N e w Jersey N e w York August 1944 Permit valuation 372 ... _ „ N o . 2—New Y o r k Permit valuation 12, 903 _ N o . 1—Boston _ _ Connecticut Maine Massachusetts . _ New Hampshire __. R h o d e Island.__ Vermont.,. N u m b e r of family dwelling u n i t s __ _ _ - 494 137 2,574 566 376 137 1,844 566 15 425 54 44 87 6 90 2,295 189 132 425 9 15 307 54 44 87 6 90 1, 565 189 132 425 9 1, 731 1,248 5,397 3, 732 1,521 809 4,817 2,189 287 221 402 244 40 244 61 232 157 288 372 75 7 32 12 305 508 788 1,379 622 169 808 106 1,017 196 846 1, 049 113 24 29 20 1, 455 287 89 362 220 40 240 61 222 149 1 98 297 75 7 32 12 139 508 397 1,210 616 169 804 106 1, 007 167 315 800 113 24 29 20 721 954 647 4,996 2, 235 918 616 4,856 2,147 51 652 251 14 506 127 146 1 4,034 816 26 2, 001 208 35 632 251 14 475 127 106 3, 934 816 26 1, 913 208 970~ 903 5,418 3, 499 954 484 5, 298 2,067 1, 233 4,065 693 1,374 246 724 196 707 1,233 4,185 713 2, 786 246 708 188 296 1,306 961 345 1,103- 6,696 4, 750 1,019 604 5,619 2,742 746 357 4,848 1,848 3,100 1,650 691 328 289 315 3,841 1,778 1,229 1,513 764 100 3,359 226 764 100 3,359 226 84 349 257 35 39 24 27 43 73 49 100 84 349 257 35. 39 24 27 43 6 296 1,860 928 143 132 73 49 100 6 296 1,860 928 143 132 1,826 1,458 3,964 2,987 1,751 1,151 3,695 2,245 148 128 134 21 1,395 45 399 146 47 821 274 208 197 116 3,169 23 1,084 108 134 1,638 148 128 129 21 1,325 45 151 138 47 770 274 208 196 116 2,901 23 464 104 134 1,520 480 233 1,742 473 468 207 1.702 406 160 123 77 120 36 16 57 124 654 373 349 366 82 16 233 142 148 123 77 120 14 12 57 124 614 373 349 366 21 10 233 142 651 500 2,655 1,761 599 492 2,522 1,734 67 72 215 104 176 17 10 9 138 135 207 1 322 197 698 556 821 61 67 68 167 104 176 17 10 9 135 130 207 1 322 189 573 556 821 61 11 26 362 522 811 2 2,768 2,134 12, 520 6,139 2,554 1,295 11,954 4,410 55 i 2,661 52 1 32 2,087 15 1 215 12, 244 61 90 6,034 15 l 55 2,447 52 32 1,257 6 215 1 11, 678 61 89 4,313 8 . 4 13 26 362 546 1 812 1 2 4 21 Table 2 . — B U I L D I N G A C T I V I T Y — E s t i m a t e d number and valuation of new family dwelling units provided in all urban areas of the United States [Source: U. S. Department of Labor] [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] N u m b e r of family dwelling u n i t s M o n t h l y totals T y p e of construction A u g u s t 1945 J u l y 1945 Private construction 1-family dwellings 2-family dwellings L . . 3-and-more-family dwellings Public construction 2 _ _. __ __ Total urban construction. _ Permit valuation M o n t h l y totals J a n u a r y - A u g u s t totals A u g u s t 1944 1944 1945 A u g u s t 1945 J u l y 1945 J a n u a r y - A u g u s t totals A u g u s t 1944 1945 1944 12, 759 12, 954 7,273 76, 769 68, 735 $53,310 $51, 675 $22,854 $280, 212 $216, 293 11,059 617 1,083 10, 464 780 1,710 5,443 655 1,175 63, 296 5,216 8,257 52, 214 7,418 9,103 47, 279 2,106 3,925 43, 519 2,701 5,455 17,073 2,427 3,354 238, 771 17, 446 23, 995 164, 608 25,119 26, 566 144 2,957 1,465 9,013 14, 333 538 8,149 4,558 18,899 36,486 12, 903 15, 911 8,738 85, 782 83,068 53,848 59,824 27,412 299, 111 252, 779 i Includes 1- and 2-family dwellings combined with stores. Includes multi-family dwellings combined with stores. 2 Table 3 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of building costs for the standard house in representative cities in specific months 1 [Average month of 1935-1939=100] 1944 1945 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. Sept. • Federal H o m e Loan Bank District and city Sept. N o . 1—Boston: Hartford, Conn Portland, M e Boston, Mass Manchester, N . H Providence, R. I N o . 4—Winston-Salem: B i r m i n g h a m , Ala Washington, D . C A t l a n t a , Ga-- _ _ Baltimore, M d . . . Richmond, Va _ ' _ - __ _ _ . _ ' . . . N o . 7—Chicago: Chicago, 111 _ _ Milwaukee, Wis N o . 10—Topeka: D e n v e r , Colo __. .__ W i c h i t a , K a n s -_ Omaha, Nebr _ _ O k l a h o m a C i t y , Okla_ . __ . June Mar. Dec. Sept. 137.3 152.5 133.6 127.1 142.2 136.8 152.5 133.6 127.1 141.9 136.8 152.5 133.4 127. 1 141.8 136.5 152.4 133.2 124.4 141.4 135.2 151.4 133. 2 124. 2 139.7 130.3 140.9 128.6 115.4 132.3 128.5 124.8 125.8 108.7 120.7 123.7 114.3 116.7 103. 7 116.1 103.2 99.2 104.5 98.1 106. 9 100.0 98.8 101.7 97.0 103.2 127.4 144. 5 148.3 152.7 133.8 127.4 144.5 145.7 150.5 133. 5 128.5 144.4 145.8 150.2 133. 5 128.5 143. 3 146.4 150.1 133.1 128.4 142.8 143.8 148.8 130.2 121.6 134.5 134.8 142.7 123.0 115.9 126.7 122.7 128.7 116.0 113.5 116.1 117.4 119.5 109.7 '98.6 105.2 100.0 * 106.5 96.8 97.1 104.4 94.9 100.0 98.9 115.7 145.8 113. 0 144.4 112.8 142.3 112.8 142.4 112.4 142.1 110.7 133.9 109.3 131.6 103.9 116.3 99.3 109.1 99.5 106.2 127.3 136. 8 137.3 151.5 128.2 136.7 137.3 151.4 128.0 135. 9 136.3 151.3 125.3 135.9 134.5 151.3 122.8 135.7 134.0 149.4 115.9 129.1 126.4 144. 3 113.4 126.5 126.5 131.8 109.2 117.3 117.7 125.9 96.8 ' 107. 2 105.6 «• 107.3 99.8 107.7 103.1 104.9 1 Indexes of September 1941 and thereafter have been revised in order to use retail material prices collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This index is designed to measure the changes in the costs of constructing a standard frame house and to provide a basis for the study of the trend of costs within an individual community or in different cities. The various units of materials and labor are selected in accordance with their contribution to the total cost of the completed dwelling. Material costs are based on prices for a limited bill of the more important items. Current prices are furnished by^the Bureau of Labor Statistics and are based on information from a group of dealers in each city who report on prices for material delivered to job site, in average quantities, for residential construction. Because of wartime conditions, some of the regular items are not available at times and, therefore, substitutions must be made of similar products which are being sold in the current market. Labor costs are based on prevailing rates for residential construction and reflect total earnings, including overtime and bonus pay. Either union or nonunion rates are used according to which prevails in the majority of cases within the community. Figures presented in this table include all revisions up to the present time. Revisions are unavoidable, however, as more complete information is obtained and becomes available for inclusion in this table. Cities in FHLB Districts 2, 6, 8, and 11 report in January, April, July, and October of each year; those in Districts 3, 5, 9 and 12 report in February, May, August and r November; and those in Districts 1, 4, 7 and 10 report in March, June, September and December. Revised. 22 Fee/era/ Home toon Bank Review Table 4 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of building costs (or the standard house [Average m o n t h of 1935-1939=100] p Aug. 1945 J u l y 1945 Junel945 E l e m e n t of cost Material Labor _ _. Total M a y 1945 A p r . 1945 M a r . 1945 F e b . 1945 J a n . 1945 D e c . 1944 N o v . 1944 Oct. 1944 Sept. 1944 A u g . 1944 133.1 140.9 133.0 140.6 132.7 140.5 132.5 ' 140. 4 132.4 140.5 132.3 140.4 131.9 140.1 131.7 140.1 131.5 140.0 131.5 139.9 131.3 139.1 131.2 138.5 131.3 137.3 135.8 135.6 136.3 ' 135.1 135.1 135.0 134.7 134.5 134.4 134.4 133.9 133.7 133.3 - Revised. p Preliminary. Table 5 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of wholesale prices of building materials in the United States [Source: U . S. D e p a r t m e n t of Labor] [1935-1939=100; converted from 1926 b a s e All b u i l d i n g materials Period Brick a n d tile Cement Paint and paint materials Lumber Plumbing and heating Structural steel Other 1943: A u g u s t 125.3 109.0 102.7 r 161. 5 126.4 118.! 103.5 109.: 1944: A u g u s t September October November December 129.5 129.5 129.9 130.0 130.0 110.8 111.7 115.3 115.6 115.9 105.8 106.3 107.0 107.2 107.0 171.9 171.5 171.3 171.3 171.3 129.7 129.7 130.3 130.7 130.7 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 111.6 111.7 111.7 111.7 111.7 1945: J a n u a r y February March April May June July August 130.4 130.6 130.8 130.8 131.0 131.1 131.2 131.5 121.5 121.6 121.8 121.7 121.8 122.1 122.9 122.8 106.9 108.7 109.1 109.1 109.1 109.1 109.1 109.1 171.3 171.4 171.3 171.4 171.9 172.5 172.7 172.9 130.7 130.8 130.7 130.7 130.8 130.7 130.4 131.9 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.7 121.7 122.7 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 111.9 112.0 112.3 112.3 112.6 112.8 112.8 112.8 Percent change: A u g u s t 1945-July 1945—. A u g u s t 1945-August 1944 +0.2 +1.5 -0.1 +10.8 0.0 +3.1 +0.1 +0.6 +1.2 +1.7 +0.8 +1.1 0.0 0.0 +1.1 r 0.0 Revised. Table 6 . — M O R T G A G E LENDING—Estimated volume of new home mortgage loans by all savings and loan associations, by purpose and class of association [ T h o u s a n d s of dollars] P u r p o s e of loans Class of association Period 1943 January-August August __ __ __ _ _ _ . - __ _ __ _ . _ 1944 January-AugustAugust.. September._ October N o v e m b e r __ December.. _ _ _ _ __ _______ _ _ _ _ __ __ ____ ___ _____ _ _ __ __ ___ 1945 January-August January . _ February _ March April.- _ M a v - _, _ June July August _ October 194S _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ ___ _. __ . _ _ _ _ __ __ _ ._ _ Refinancing Reconditioning L o a n s for all other purposes Total loans Nonmembers Construction Home purchase, $106, 497 $802, 371 $167, 254 $30,441 $77,398 $1,183,961 $511, 757 $539, 299 $132, 905 68,002 10, 616 495, 387 82,894 114,113 14, 600 19, 410 2,809 48, 298 6,470 745, 210 117, 389 318, 630 51,172 340, 286 53, 497 86, 294 12, 720 95, 243 1,064,017 163,813 30, 751 100, 228 1, 454, 052 669, 433 648, 670 135, 949 73, 346 688, 982 107, 245 20, 258 65, 026 954,857 437,415 426, 401 91,041 7,589 5,923 6,095 4,635 5,244 105, 050 101, 884 101,461 90,182 81, 508 14,152 14,495 15, 253 13, 265 13,555 3,067 3,160 2,699 2,507 2,127 8,816 8,993 9,720 7,785 8,704 674 455 228 374 138 64, 400 63, 489 61, 965 54, 978 51, 586 61, 377 59,162 60,945 52, 241 49, 921 12,897 11,804 12,318 11,155 9,631 92, 787 843, 986 123, 215 23, 454 84, 555 1,167, 997 550, 906 513, 718 103, 373 3,772 3,081 7,406 9,541 13, 032 17, 567 17, 658 20, 730 76, 495 78,140 105, 307 113,684 120, 244 116, 798 112, 761 120, 557 12,167 12, 524 15,922 16,800 15,887 17,147 15, 622 17,146 1,868 1,994 2,559 2,951 3,396 3,364 3,351 3,971 7,999 10, 270 10, 287 10, 778 10, 520 12, 435 11, 007 11, 259 102, 301 106, 009 141, 481 153, 754 163, 079 167,311 160, 399 173,663 46, 439 49, 900 69,430 71, 375 75, 607 79, 603 76, 355 82,197 46,452 46, 575 60, 688 67, 955 71,921 74, 219 70, 264 75, 644 9,410 9,534 11, 363 14, 424 15, 551 13, 489 13, 780 15,822 Federals 138, 134, 135, 118, 111, State members 23 Table 7.—LENDING—Estimated volume of new loans by savings and loan associations Table 8.—RECORDINGS—Estimated nonfarm mortgage recordings, $20,000 and under AUGUST 1945 [Thousands of dollars] [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] C u m u l a t i v e n e w loans (8 m o n t h s ) N e w loans Federal H o m e Loan B a n k District and class of association August 1945 Julv 1945 August 1944 1945 1944 Federal H o m e Loan B a n k District and State Percent change U N I T E D STATES UNITED $173,663 $160, 399 $138, 674 $1,167,997 $954,857 STATES Boston.. . _ Federal__ State member Nonmember... . _ _• New York 82,197 75, 644 15,822 76, 355 70, 264 13, 780 64,400 61,377 12,897 11,461 10, 868 10,353 4,760 5,081 1,620 4,381 4,687 1,800 4,045 5,176 1,132 17,143 Federal . State member Nonmember - __ Pittsburgh _. 6,181 8,266 2,696 15, 889 5,483 7,773 2, 633 ' 550,906 437,415 513,718 426,401 103,373 91,041 +25.9 +20.5 +13.5 78, 770 69,397 +13.5 32,437 36, 598 9,735 25,410 35,099 8,888 +27.7 +4.3 +9.5 13,032 114,069 81, 645 +39.7 4,359 6,620 2,053 40,188 54, 766 19,115 24,941 42, 387 14,317 +61.1 +29.2 +33.5 13, 881 12,094 11,866 97,009 79, 380 +22.2 6,734 4,430 2, 717 6,258 4,036 1,800 5,129 3,830 2,907 45, 973 33,467 17,569 36, 047 26, 796 16, 537 +27.5 +24.9 +6.2 22,668 19,449 15,338 144, 513 113,277 +27.6 59, 846 46, 512 6,919 +28.1 +27. 5 +23.7 194,214 164,192 +18.3 _. .- Connecticut Maine _. ._ M a s s a c h u s e t t s - - __ New Hampshire R h o d e Island.___-_ . Vermont New York, .. . . . N e w Jersey New York Pittsburgh-. Delaware-. _ Pennsylvania W e s t Virginia Winston-Salem Federal State m e m b e r Nonmember. Winston-Salem Federal State member Nonmember Cincinnati .__ Federal _._ . _ , __ State m e m b e r . . . Nonmember Indianapolis . Federal State member Nonmember. Chicago Federal-.. . _ State member _ Nonmember ._ . Des Moines Federal. State, m e m b e r Nonmember.. Little Rock Federal State member Nonmember _. Topeka Federal.- . . . . State member Nonmember Portland Federal State member Nonmember . . . Los Angeles Federal . . . State member Nonmember— 24 . ._ 11,581 9,476 1,611 10,314 7,923 1, 212 7, 673 6, 651 1,014 28,442 27,836 25, 344 76, 643 59,311 8, 559 11,596 14, 329 1,911 11,345 12, 228 1,771 83,389 97,173 13, 652 68,187 82,368 13,637 +22. 3 +18.0 +0.1 9,133 8,618 8,271 64, 672 53,329 +21.3 5,038 3,757 338 4,646 .3, 711 261 4,071 3,777 423 34, 706 27,059 2,907 26, 001 24, 807 2,521 +33.5 +9.1 +15.3 132,649 107, 938 +22.9 44,736 54,244 8,958 +25. 7 +22.3 +12.3 69,867 59, 260 +17.9 35, 851 24,819 9,197 30, 501 21,224 7,535 +17. 5 +16.9 +22.1 6,049 55, 303 51,473 +7.4 2,768 3,199 82 27, 376 27,186 741 21,345 29, 552 576 +28.3 -8.0 +28.6 17,487 15, 300 8,227 10,018 1,300 7,221 9,073 1,193 6,817 7,288 1,195 56, 223 66, 365 10,061 11,303 9,572 9,396 5,980 3,983 1,340 4,933 3,409 1, 230 5,247 3,304 845 7,746 7,607 3,665 3,985 96 3,871 3,609 127 Alabama D i s t r i c t of C o l u m b i a Florida .-Georgia __ _ __ Maryland N o r t h Carolina South Carolina .. Virginia Cincinnati 12,363 13, 601 2,478 19,545 Kentucky Ohio Tennessee Indianapolis. Indiana Michigan Chicago _ -. Illinois . Wisconsin. . _ Des Moines Minnesota . . . MissouriNorth Dakota South Dakota Little Rock Arkansas - Lousiana. . Mississippi _ N e w Mexico Texas. ._. Topeka Colorado . K a n s a s __ _ .. Nebraska . _ O k l a h o m a _. . 8,523 8, 315 6,927 59,140 46, 355 +27.6 4,657 2,346 1,520 4,677 2,280 1,358 3,732 1,997 1,198 32,053 17,095 9,992 24,135 13,003 9,217 +32.8 +31.5 +8.4 5,485 ' 5,178 4,528 40,007 30, 690 +30.4 3,475 1,948 62 3,399 1,629 150 2,855 1,550 123 24,419 14,454 1,134 20, 349 9,126 1,215 +20.0 +58. 4 -6.7 18, 333 17,486 12, 270 117,784 97,921 +20.3 Los Angeles. 9, 576 7,805 105 6,359 5,757 154 61,648 55, 425 711 55,917 41,283 721 +10.2 +34.3 -1.4 Arizona _ California Nevada 9. 536 8, 753 44 Individuals Other mortgagees Total $181,156 $20, 359 $93, 358 $18,488 $120, 015 $56, 013 $489, 389 +22.3 Boston.. F e d e r a l . . _. _. State member _ . _ Nonmember. - Savings Insur- B a n k s M u and tual and ance loan savcom- t r u s t associa- p a n i e s comings panies banks tions Portland . . ___ Idaho. . . . _. Montana Oregon. _. __ Utah Washington... Wyoming 14,098 364 4,377 9,623 6,577 2,642 37,681 1,643 653 10,115 415 1,062 210 221 13 119 11 1,890 281 1,343 192 587 84 1,904 724 5, 569 715 373 338 1,938 517 3,027 305 552 238 902 55 1,293 38 340 14 8,498 2,243 21,466 1,676 2, 914 884 14,836 1,665 7,689 6,762 16, 571 5,821 53, 344 4,346 10,490 663 1,002 3,398 4,291 888 5,874 4,634 11, 937 2,256 3,565 16,185 37,159 13, 590 1,689 7,951 536 6, 960 2,762 33, 488 248 12, 253 1,089 143 1,318 228 185 6,248 1,518 90 446 308 5,919 733 84 2,508 170 1,058 28, 692 3, 738 17, 489 2,812 6,368 178 15, 930 4,861 47, 638 674 2,920 2,019 1,866 4,560 2,392 418 2,640 227 463 668 239 143 545 210 317 430 646 1, 033 1,294 882 439 464 1,180 178 1,020 1,875 5,749 1,418 1,654 1,310 731 2,173 351 569 1,356 590 209 618 324 844 2, 702 6,473 10, 825 5,407 7,626 5,304 2,147 7,154 36,026 1,717 11,910 490 6,757 4,730 61, 630 3,343 31,624 1,059 388 713 616 1,055 9,532 1,323 490 390 5,813 554 198 1,700 2,832 5,374 49,872 6,384 10, 614 1, 938 9,161 23 4,098 1,787 27,621 6,865 3,749 859 1,079 3,688 5,473 23 1,199 2,899 795 992 13, 429 14,192 21, 589 1,342 7,351 34 8,325 9,773 48,414 16,837 4,752 907 435 4,305 3,046 34 5,009 3,316 9,105 668 36,163 12, 251 10,810 1,964 7,873 316 5,602 4,716 31, 281 2,887 4,235 3,063 419 206 170 346 1,387 37 24 1,661 2,089 3,719 158 246 958 1,436 2,887 148 173 349 1,406 2,901 44 16 6,025 9,828 13,957 806 665 9,216 2,377 2,368 8,488 2,633 25,082 828 2,319 504 169 5, 396 138 270 123 7 1,839 451 128 296 166 1,327 601 1,836 544 338 5,169 61 519 138 13 1,902 2,079 5,072 1,605 693 15, 633 9,341 843 2,944 6,353 1,757 21, 238 1,531 2,909 1,253 3,648 101 178 279 285 . 629 742 483 1,090 3,371 718 589 1,675 599 303 165 690 6,231 4,850 2,769 7,388 5, 335 689 4,807 526 4,289 2,029 17, 675 461 367 1,467 442 2,319 279 55 17 416 133 68 207 220 659 685 2,681 355 99 308 437 1,764 311 1,138 331 75 29 352 131 1,398 44 1,106 1,070 4,757 1,702 8,031 1,009 2,959 20,559 30,065 12, 502 84,297 80 607 2,859 19,804 148 20 198 1,101 28, 695 12, 265 269 39 2,264 81,475 558 18,212 . 278 17,852 82 316 427 Federal Home Loan Bank Review Tabic 9 . — M O R T G A G E RECORDINGS—Estimated volume of nonfarm mortgages recorded [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Savings a n d loan associations Banks and trust companies Insurance companies M u t u a l savings banks O t h e r mortgagees Individuals All mortgagees Period Total Percent Total Total Percent Percent Total Total Total Percent Percent Total Percent $1,563,678 33.9 $256,173 5.6 $877, 762 19.0 $165, 054 3.6 $1,134,054 24.6 $613, 908 13.3 $4, 610, 629 100.0 1, 014, 469 149, 835 146,151 . 148,131 134,359 120, 568 33.6 34.8 35.1 35.0 34.1 33.5 173,031 22, 646 22, 432 20, 985 20, 543 19,182 5.7 5.2 5.4 5.0 5.2 5.3 588, 022 83, 094 77, 000 76,181 71, 752 64, 807 19.5 19.3 18.5 18.0 18.2 18.0 104, 217 15, 920 15, 447 16, 552 15,176 13, 662 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.8 720, 727 104, 215 104, 479 109, 767 103, 513 95, 568 23.9 24.2 25.1 26.0 26.3 26.5 417, 273 55, 066 50, 676 51, 223 48, 296 46, 440 13.8 12.8 12.2 12.1 12.3 12.9 3, 017, 739 430, 776 416,185 422, 839 393, 639 360, 227 100. 0 100.0 100. 0 100. 0 100.0 100. 0 1, 230, 610 111,480 111,176 151,361 157,181 172, 421 176, 051 . 169, 784 181,156 35.0 31.4 32.8 34.9 34.5 35.4 36.1 36.2 37.0 158,095 17, 882 16, 034 20, 669 19, 718 21, 459 21, 801 20,173 20, 359 4.5 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.3 4.2 663, 707 65,109 63, 933 80. 000 88, 749 91, 023 91, 336 90,199 93, 358 18.9 18.4 18.9 18.5 19.5 18.7 18.8 19.2 19.1 126, 225 12, 500 10, 343 13,599 15, 680 18,981 18,572 18, 062 18, 488 3.6 3.5 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.8 910, 760 99, 200 93, 248 114,971 118,713 125, 849 121, 800 116,964 120, 015 25.9 28.0 27.5 26.5 26.1 25.8 25.0 24.9 24.5 426,139 48, 407 43, 963 52, 737 55, 749 57, 702 57, 481 54, 087 56, 013 12.1 13.7 13.0 12.2 12.2 11.8 11.8 11.5 11.4 3, 515, 536 354, 578 338, 697 433, 337 455, 790 487, 435 487, 041 469, 269 489, 389 100. 0 100.0 100. 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100. 0 100.0 100.0 1944 January-August A u g u s t . . . . _ _ -. September . ... October.._ _ . . . . . November .... December Percent 1945 January-August January February March. April _ Mav June... . . . . Julv August . Table 1 0 — S A V I N G S — S a l e s of war bonds 1 Table 11.—FH A — H o m e mortgages insured 1 [Thousands of dollars] [Premiuir l p a y i n g ; t h o u s a n d s of dollars] Period Series G Series F Series E Total Redemptions Title I I Title V I (603) Period Existing New 1944 $12, 379,891 499,357 _ 590, 827 598, 570 . 806, 817 1, 855, 300 $772,767 8C3, 819 653, 222 712,133 684,424 1,194, 712 1,467, 673 1,031,778 571, 286 42,034 30, 695 26, 487 23,112 62, 940 178,003 47,409 21,629 A u g u s t __ September... October November December 1945 January ._ February March April May June July August 17, 807 15, 953 13, 653 42, 680 124, 669 $2, 891, 427 $16,044, 085 85, 272. 602, 436 692,066 85, 286 695,094 82, 871 173,858 1,023,355 405, 880 2, 385,849 $3, 263,168 272,125 277,445 394,846 376, 053 358, 572 1, 074,180 847,990 889, 076 837, 636 1, 540,089 2,178,055 1, 294,475 699, 74C 333, 443 317,083 437,892 381,198 404, 209 382, 536 406,103 515,161 228, 327 164,073 150,456 130,100 282,437 532, 379 215, 288 106, 825 1944: A u g u s t September October November December 1945: J a n u a r y February March April May June July August 1 U. S. Treasury War Savings Staff. Actual deposits made to the credit of the U. S. Treasury. __ ... Total insured at end of period $90 79 40 54 31 $20, 256 19,967 21,941 21,646 18, 269 $48,166 42, 592 43, 354 38, 053 36, 573 $5, 781, 961 5, 844, 599 5,909, 934 5,969,687 6, 024, 560 67 27 37 63 80 374 347 666 19,006 14,085 16, 480 14, 813 22,272 18, 841 18, 207 17, 286 38, 640 31,417 29,886 26,885 23, 707 20,413 19,056 14, 992 6,082, 273 6,127,802 6,174, 205 6, 215, 906 6, 262,025 6, 301, 653 6, 339, 263 6, 372, 207 * Figures represent gross insurance written during the period and do not take account of principal repayments on previously insured loans. Table 1 2 . — F H L B A N K S — L e n d i n g operations and principal assets and liabilities [Thousands of dollars] P r i n c i p a l assets L e n d i n g operations Federal H o m e Loan Bank Advances Repayments Advances outstanding Cash* C a p i t a l a n d p r i n c i p a l liabilities Government securities Capital2 Debentures Member deposits Total assets i $226 440 816 2,589 263 957 1,658 650 312 163 785 935 $523 .834 1,579 1,128 2,511 1,016 4,633 1,813 472 235 550 3,657 $9,195 6,191 9,137 12, 666 8,956 7,424 21,680 7,111 4,040 3,113 2,390 20, 548 $807 5,782 2,655 971 2,162 1,470 1,552 660 693 1,116 547 1,246 $11,028 27, 445 11,370 7,134 30, 548 16,625 10, 574 10, 442 8,636 8,220 9,856 11, 649 $20, 256 28,241 17,231 18, 438 28,491 15, 466 23, 984 13,838 12, 705 10,825 8,760 16,893 0 0 $4,000 0 2,500 4,000 5,000 3,500 500 1,000 1,000 10, 500 A u g u s t 1945 (combined total) 9,794 18, 951 112,451 19, 661 163, 527 215,128 32,000 46,235 297, 524 J u l y 1945 7,444 17, 501 121,608 18, 505 154,936 214, 339 32,000 43, 642 296,601 A u g u s t 1944 4,072 26, 516 113, 674 25, 974 132, 691 204, 524 44,000 22, 744 273, 903 Boston New York Pittsburgh . _ _ Winston-Salem Cincinnati. Indianapolis Chicago Des Moines Little Rock Topeka.. Portland Los Angeles 1 _ _ _ _ __ "..__ __ . _ _ Includes interbank deposits. October 1945 . _ ___ . . __ _ . 2 $901 11,429 2,030 421 11,072 6,231 4,950 967 252 716 1,100 6,166 $21,158 39,690 23, 275 20,863 42,107 25, 716 33, 951 18, 311 13,460 12, 545 12 864 33, 584 Capital stock, surplus, and undivided profits. 25 Table 13.—INSURED A S S O C I A T I O N S Progress of institutions insured by the FSLIC [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Operations Number of associations P e r i o d a n d class of association ALL Total assets New New mortgage p r i v a t e investloans ments Private repurchases 667,060 $104,008 $126, 641 713, 815 101, 658 122, 016 774,160 100, 642 129, 938 88, 227 115, 008 867,068 83. 408 142,291 012, 662 $64, 619 56,102 54, 719 52, 378 45, 985 51.0 46.0 42.1 45.5 32.3 76, 215 79,479 110, 287 113, 296 121,808 126, 824 121, 572 131, 239 195, 077 125, 769 138, 709 133, 651 130,182 163,156 196,944 156,189 123, 943 63, 089 71,488 65, 701 62,980 56, 279 144, 932 83, 357 63.5 50.2 51.5 49.2 48 4 34 5 73 6 53 4 Repurchase ratio prolonged period this time. I t is also recognized that the figures presented here would have to be revised considerably should postwar public policy provide for extensive construction primarily to stimulate employment or should public building be drastically curtailed. Either course of action would be reflected in the volume of private construction as well as in the amount of public building itself. INSURED 1944: A u g u s t September October... November December . ,. __ '._. 1945: J a n u a r y February March April May J u n e . . -_ July August,.. . 2,461 2,460 2,462 2,462 2,466 $4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 2,466 2,463 2,465 2,469 2,469 2,471 2,473 2,475 5, 035, 626 5,076, 554 5,136, 903 5,204,641 5, 292,169 5, 549, 563 5, 594, 461 5, 666, 351 1,465 1,464 1,465 1, 464 1,464 2. 934, 647 2, 961, 860 3,000, 365 3. 059, 556 3,168, 731 64, 63, 61, 54, 51, 400 489 965 978 586 82,105 79,126 85, 297 75, 372 93,400 w 40, 825 35, 570 33, 746 32, 665 26,049 49.7 45.0 39.6 43.3 27.9 1,464 1,464 1,465 1,465 1,466 1,465 1,467 1,469 3,178,132 3, 200, 324 3. 237, 942 3, 280, 506 3, 337, 648 3, 528,027 3, 552,154 3, 595,087 46, 439 49, 900 69, 430 71, 375 75, 607 79, 603 76, 355 82,197 129, 640 82, 862 91, 627 88, 356 85, 977 106, 770 129, 958 102,190 84, 624 41,374 46, 574 41, 856 40,063 33, 601 100, 301 55,016 65.3 49.9 50.8 47 4 46 6 31.5 77.2 53.8 FEDERAL 1944: A u g u s t September October November December 1945: J a n u a r y February.. March April May.. June. July August ... .- 1945: J a n u a r y . . February March April May.. . June July August DIRECTORY m£gp CHANGES A U G U S T 1 6 - S E P T E M B E R 15, 1945 Key to Changes * Admission to Membership in Bank System ** Termination of Membership in Bank System # Federal Charter Granted ## Federal Charter Canceled 0 Insurance Certificate Granted 00 Insurance Certificate Canceled DISTRICT N O . 2 N E W JERSEY: Red Bank: # Mainstay Federal Savings and Loan Association, 21 Monmouth Street, South Orange: # South Mountain Federal Savings and Loan Association, 8 South Orange Street. N E W YORK: Peekskill: *0 People's Savings and Loan Association, 910 Main Street. DISTRICT N O . 3 PENNSYLVANIA: STATE 1944: A u g u s t September October November December dtHfc tt 996 996 997 998 1,002 1,002 999 1,000 1,004 1,003 1,006 1,006 1,006 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 732, 752, 773, 807; 843, 413 015 795 512 931 1, 857,494 1,876,230 1, 898,961 1, 924,135 1, 954, 521 2,021, 536 2, 042, 307 2,071, 264 39, 608 38,169 38, 677 33, 249 31, 822 29, 776 29, 579 40, 857 41,921 46, 201 47, 221 45, 217 49,042 44, 536 42, 890 44,641 39, 636 48, 891 23, 20, 20, 19, 19, 794 532 973 713 936 65,437 42, 907 47, 082 45, 295 44, 205 56, 386 66,986 53,999 39, 319 21,715 24,914 23, 845 22, 917 22, 678 44, 631 28, 341 53.4 47.9 47.0 49.7 40.8 60.1 50.6 52.9 52.6 51.8 40.2 66.6 52.5 Postwar Construction (Continued from p. 11) Imperial: 00 Montour Valley Savings, Building and Loan Association, Sauers Building, Main Street. DISTRICT N O . 4 FLORIDA: Melbourne: 0 First Federal Savings and Loan Association of Brevard County, Arcade Building. MARYLAND: Baltimore: **##00 Acadia Federal Savings and Loan Association, 404 North Howard Street. NORTH CAROLINA: Greensboro: ** Gate City Life Insurance Company, 301 South Elm Street. DISTRICT N O . 5 OHIO: Mt. Vernon: # Citizens Building, Loan and Savings Association, 6-8-10 East Vine Street. DISTRICT N O . 9 ally. Of this average, $7,896,000,000 would be spent for privately financed building while $3,028,000,000 would be absorbed by public construction of all kinds. About 50 percent of annual private construction expenditures will probably go for private nonfarm residences; 30 percent for nonresidential structures; 14 percent is expected to be absorbed by utility construction; and 6 percent of the total will be devoted to the erection of various farm buildings and homes. Severe industrial conflict or " turbulent economic conditions" such as followed the last war might change this forecast substantially but it is believed that such conditions are unlikely to prevail for a 26 TEXAS: Alice: **Alice Federal Savings and Loan Association, 59 North Wright Street. *0 Alice Savings and Loan Association, 59 North Wright Street. El Paso: 00 First Federal Savings and Loan Association of El Paso, 315 Texas Street. **Pecos Federal Savings and Loan Association,' City Hall. DISTRICT N O . 10 NEBRASKA: Lincoln: **Home Savings and Loan Association, 1208 N Street. NATIONAL HOUSING AGENCY John B. Blandford, Jr., Administrator FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK ADMINISTRATION John H. Fahey, Commissioner Federal Home Loan Bank Review lOTflSl^ff[ Savings and loan money orders T h e public in New York S t a t e can now purchase savings a n d loan money orders from associations which are members of the State Savings a n d Loan Bank. Printed forms were recently distributed to t h e associations under a law passed by the 1945 session of the New York Legislature. Although t h e orders will be cleared through t h e Federal Reserve Bank, each form will bear the imprint of t h e issuing association. T h e necessary information a b o u t each order can be entered on duplicate stubs a t t a c h e d to every form, one serving as t h e customer's receipt and t h e other as t h e association's record of t h e transaction. Fee schedules are to be determined by t h e individual associations. Russia turns to prefab homes Prefabricated houses are being used widely in Russia to replace dwellings destroyed in former war zones, according to t h e U. S. S. R. Embassy Bulletin. T h e most popular model a t present is a native product, t h e Pavlov home, although American-built prefab units are arousing considerable interest. Pavlov houses are being erected by t h e hundreds in such war-devastated areas as Stalingrad, Kiev, Smolensk a n d Moscow. Built mainly of wood, t h e three-room house covers an area of a b o u t 969 square feet. Cost runs a b o u t $5 a square foot, or approximately $5,000 per house, when t h e value of t h e ruble is 20^. After t h e ground was broken in one city, it took 40 men 30 hours to assemble t h e house and make it ready for occupancy. regular savings can be applied toward war bond purchases a n d a constantly increasing b a n k balance. At t h e same time, a portion m a y be allocated to life insurance, issued by t h e B a n k ' s life insurance d e p a r t m e n t . For example, regular weekly p a y m e n t s of $3 m a d e for 10 years from age 25, would give the saver $1000 face value of savings bonds, $620 cash in t h e bank, a n d a $1000 life policy during t h e period. T h e plan is entirely flexible and savings can be concentrated on any one or more features. T h e life insurance policy m a y , a t t h e end of t h e period, be continued, t u r n e d in for cash value or changed into paid up insurance. Military insurance in World W a r II Although more t h a n half t h e men discharged from military service express a desire to keep their National Service Life Insurance, less t h a n 20 percent actually do so, t h e I n s t i t u t e of Life Insurance recently reported. Often policies are allowed to lapse because veterans d o n ' t know w h a t to do to retain them. T h e services, t h e Veterans' Administration and p r i v a t e life insurance companies are now trying to m a k e available to every veteran simple, understandable directions on t h e subject. Already over $2,000,000,000 in d e a t h claims have been approved for p a y m e n t to families of deceased military personnel. Between 1940, when National Service Life Insurance was started, and J u l y 1, 1945, over 14,500,000 m e n a n d women in t h e armed forces h a d b o u g h t policies worth more t h a n $137,000,000,000. Per capita income rises during war From 1940 through 1944, per capita income in t h e United States almost doubled, a D e p a r t m e n t of Commerce survey of income p a y m e n t s to individuals revealed. I n this four-year interval such civilian income jumped 94.3 percent from $575 to $1,117. An acceleration of t h e trend in geographical distribution of per capita income was noted between 1940 and 1944. War activities and shifts in population caused t h e per capita income to rise more in t h e so-called low income states t h a n in those with high incomes. PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING FARM- MORTGAGE DEBT, JAN. 1, 1940-JAN. 1,1944 ^M^^^^S^B9m7r Z -ft* -6.0 -8> "PERCENT DECREASE B8824.0 and over ^ ^ P ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ?sfij%ffi§. "Package Savings" plan inaugurated A " p a c k a g e savings" plan, designed to provide three-way protection h a s recently been instituted by t h e Bowery Savings B a n k of New York City. Under this copyrighted plan, small October 1945 ^^^^^ UNITED STATES -14.4 PERCENT 1 ^^^^ll!®! ^§$if ^5a WmmA n 5 **^^^ \&& 12316.0-23.9 I H 8.0-15.9 W% 0.0- 7.9 INCREASE [ M l 0 . 8 and over Bureau of Agricultural Economics 27 TIME FOR TEAMWORK With the lifting of all wartime controls over housing construction, the housing industry faces the challenge of gearing its operations to meeting a broad and urgent need without precedent in the history of this country. Serious housing shortages exist today in practically every city in the country. In many areas, these shortages will become more acute during coming months as millions of veterans return to civilian life. If the housing industry will set its target at meeting the demand for new houses on a broad front, it will open up the path to a sustained volume of peak construction which will produce big outlets for jobs, production and investment during the reconversion and postwar years. The main hazard to attaining this objective is the possibility of inflationary price increases, made possible by a demand greatly in excess of the available supply which has already caused a sharp rise in the prices of existing houses in crowded areas. Unless a majority of the new houses which are produced in the next few years are within the means of average American families, there is the very real danger of a short-lived boom in home building, followed by an abrupt decline such as occurred in 1920 after the First World War. W e believe that housing is potentially an industry providing opportunities for an annual investment of $6,000,000,000 to $7,000,000,000 and providing 4,000,000 to 4,500,000 jobs. However, it must be realized [that to attain these objectives, hundreds of thousands of homes must be built for the great "middle market" never adequately provided with new housing in the past. The present vast potential market for housing, which offers a major contribution to a full employment economy in the years ahead, makes it all the more important that a full effort be made now to gear home construction to the requirements of long-term housfng development. A short-lived inflationary boom now, marked by excessive prices for individual houses and an undue concentration on the luxury market, might set us back years. This is a time for teamwork and ingenuity to offset higher costs by increased efficiency. John B. Blandford, Jr. Administrator National Housing Agency U . S . GOVERNMENT PRINTING O F F I C E : 1 9 4 5