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& v a flEDSftl Km FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK Vol. II, No. 10 Washington, D. C. JULY 1945 FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK Contents A N A L Y S I S OF S A V I N G S A N D L O A N TRENDS IN THE NEW YORK DISTRICT By Robert G. Clarkson, Vice President, FHL Bank of New York Vol.11 2 No. 10 P °S 27' C O N D I T I O N O F MEMBER ASSOCIATIONS An examination of changes in balance sheet items 28 THRIFT A N D REAL ESTATE OPERATIONS O F BANKS A study of trends during 1944 JULY 1945 The Federal Home Loan Bank Review is published monthly by the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration under the direction of a staff editorial committee. This committee is responsible for interpretations, opinions, summaries, and other text, except that which appears in the form of official statements and signed articles. Each issue is written for executives of thrift and home financing institutions, especially those whose organizations are insured by the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation and are members of the Federal Home Loan Bank System. Communications concerning 28 THE UPWARD TREND IN L O A N A M O U N T S A n analysis of the size of average mortgage recordings, 1939-1944 29 STATISTICAL D A T A New family-dwelling units Building costs Savings and loan lending Mortgage recordings Sales of U. S. war savings bonds F H A activity Federal Home Loan Banks Insured savings and loan associations 302-30 303-30 304-30 305-30 30 30 30 30 REGULAR DEPARTMENTS Home Front Monthly Survey Directory Changes of Member, Federal, and Insured Institutions Worth Repeating 29 29 30 30 material which has been printed or which is desired for publication should be sent to the Editor of the Review, Federal Home Loan Bank Building, Washington 25, Contents of this publication are not copyrighted and may be printed freely D. C • • • The Federal Home Loan Bank Administration assumes no responsibility for material obtained from sources other than itself or other instrumentalities of the Federal Government. 278 SUBSCRIPTION PRICE OF REVIEW.—A copy of the REVIEW is sent to each member and sured institution without charge. To others the annual subscription price, which covers the c( of paper and printing, is $1. Single copies will be sold at 10 cents. Outside of the United Stat Canada, Mexico and the insular possessions, subscription price is $1.60; single copies, 15 cen Subscriptions and orders for individual copies should be sent with remittances to the Superintend of Documents, Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. APPROVED BY THE BUREAU OF THE BUDGE Federal Home Loan Bank Re ANALYSIS OF SAVINGS AND LOAN TRENDS IN THE NEW YORK DISTRICT Trends in the operating statements and balance sheets of members in the New York Federal Home Loan Bank District are of general interest in that they reveal the effects of vigorous competition upon the savings and loan industry. The following analysis traces the more significant developments in operating ratios and balance sheet items. By R O B E R T G. CLARKSON, Vice President Federal Home Loan Bank oj New York • MOST annual reports of member savings a ad loan associations for 1943 and 1944 indicate a downward tendency in the ratio of gross operating income to average assets. Reports received so far in 1945 indicate that the operating income ratio can be expected to decline again this year. This trend prompted the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York to conduct a study of the last six years' operations of a representative group of its savings and loan association members. Findings are summarized in Chart A—" Consolidated Comparative Analysis of Operations." The study emphasizes an earning problem already recognized by competent managements. The problem apparently is of nationwide importance and the New York Bank's study may be useful as a guide to all associations in estimating their earning capacity under prevailing conditions. The Bank feels that the survey has produced an accurate cross section of some of the operating problems facing member institutions at this time, which problems may be expected to continue in greater or lesser intensity for some time to come. Method of Conducting Study The individual savings and loan association members and the New York Bank joined in the preparation of the statistics needed. As a first step, the New York Bank prepared a form, "Comparative Analysis of Operations," and mailed it in duplicate to members with a request that one completed copy be forwarded to the Bank and the suggestion that the other copy be submitted to the association's directors early in the current operating period. The form follows the layout of Chart A. All of the data for completing the form were readily obtained by the associations from their file copies of the standard annual report made to the Bank. July 1945 Responses were received by the Bank from 75 of its members having 41 percent of the total savings and loan member assets in the New York District. In sending the completed comparative analysis reports to the Bank, a number of the members stated that the extra copy of the form which was furnished for their files was being duplicated for distribution to their directors as a basis for considering future reserve and dividend policies. Some members considered the study so worthwhile that they recommended it be continued each annual period. The individual analyses were consolidated by the Bank and copies of the Consolidated Comparative Analysis—Chart A—were furnished to all interested associations together with consolidations by five different size groups of associations. The different size groups produced some slight variations in the percentage ratios, but the general trends in all groups are identical with those in the consolidated analysis. Analysis of Operating Trends The important and, in some instances, revolutionary changes within the last six years in the balance sheets of savings and loan association members of the New York Bank are set out in Chart B. The corresponding balance sheet items of the specific group of associations reported in Chart A are included in the total reported for all associations in Chart B. I t is fair to assume that the comparative ratios reported for all associations apply uniformly to the specific group. The earning ability of associations has been influenced by these changes and the experiences of the four years before 1943 are especially suitable for comparisons with trends since that time because the years 1939-1942 represent a period of more or less stabilization. To a considerable extent, the operations of those years reflect full recovery from the serious economic upset of the early 1930's. Also, these same years precede the period reflecting the serious influence of war conditions on operating income. 279 Between 1939 and 1942, the ratio of gross operating income to average assets remained around 4.5 percent for the group of associations reported in Chart A. The maximum variation in these four years was only 0.12 percent despite certain significant changes in the balance sheet structure which could be expected to affect income. The proportion of mortgage assets to total assets of all savings and loan association members of the New York Bank gained in each of the four years until they reached a peak of 78.1 percent in 1942. However, this did not result in a proportionate increase each year in revenue from mortgage investments. Such income in total remained fairly constant because most of the new mortgages were made at lower rates of interest than were received on mortgages repaid or matured during the same period. Also, income formerly received from premiums and other charges commonly associated with the origination of loans, gradually disappeared as the competition for mortgage business increased. The holdings of low-yield Government bonds increased rapidly in each of these four years, and during the same period real estate dropped to a point where, at the end of 1942, it no longer seriously influenced earnings. Thus, by coincidence, the asset shifts during these four years developed offsetting factors which resulted in a similar rate of income for all periods. However, as the changes in the balance sheet structure became more pronounced in 1943 and 1944, they finally started to seriously influence earnings. Construction of homes dropped off sharply after 1942 and other types of desirable mortgage invest- ments were not available in sufficient volume to absorb the ever increasing amounts of capital funds received by savings and loan associations from the general public. Employment in war industries at high wages encouraged borrowers to repay old mortgages in substantial volume in cooperation with the Government's express wish to have individuals reduce personal indebtedness as a brake on inflationary trends. Under such circumstances, the ratio of mortgage loans to total assets dropped from the peak of 78.1 percent in 1942 to 67.8 percent at the end of 1944. The ratios of net income to average assets and average capital follow the pattern of the gross operating income ratio for the four years ending in 1942 and reflect a reasonable degree of stability. Again, like the gross income ratio, the net income ratio moved downward rapidly in 1943 and 1944. The rapid expansion of assets, contraction in earning capacity, and increased operating costs have combined to create a serious problem in the proper distribution of reduced net income. By gradually adjusting dividend rates downward, many associations were able to increase the proportion of net income transferred to reserves and undivided profits in each of the four years before 1943. During this time it was expected that such transfers would result in higher reserve ratios and it is true that the average ratio of reserves and undivided profits to net assets increased from 5.04 percent in 1939 to a peak of 5.86 percent in 1942. This percentage increase is rather nominal and, to some extent, is accounted for by the unusually rapid growth in assets during the same period. Federal Home Loan Bank of New York Chart A—Consolidated comparative analysis of operations of a representative group of reporting member institutions 1943 Year N u m b e r of r e p o r t i n g i n s t i t u t i o n s 1942 1940 71 68 63 $287, 239, 447 269,141, 555 242, 086, 323 11,072,434 4.09 $244, 521,050 234, 813, 441 210,179, 041 10,035, 558 4.27 $220, 815, 404 214,172,135 193,058,106 9, 796. 237 4.57 $209, 437, 312 202,895, 572 181, 884, 583 $192,171,603 186, 767,008 168,875,169 8, 445, 383 4.52 $178, 877, 447 173, 412, 572 159,044,110 7, 829, 824 4.52 O p e r a t i n g expenses % Average assets % Gross o p e r a t i n g i n c o m e $3, 483,155 1.29 31.60 $3,032,038 1.27 30.30 $2, 843, 524 1.33 29.00 $2, 569, 079 1.27 28.50 $2, 297, 417 1.23 27.10 $2,069,511 1.19 26.30 N e t income % Average assets % Average c a p i t a l % Transferred t o reserves a n d u n d i v i d e d profits $7, 727,034 2.87 3.19 30.85 $7,072, 556 3.01 3.35 34.05 $6, 673,044 3.11 3.46 34.67 $6, 390, 877 3.16 3.52 31.98 $6,002,018 3.23 3.57 28.22 $5, 604, 262 3.24 3.53 23.15 2.33 $16, 518, 214 5.75 2.43 $14, 229, 019 5.82 2.57 $12, 927, 456 5.86 2.68 $10, 929, 581 5.22 2.79 $9, 902, 566 5.16 2.92 $8, 976,068 5.04 N e t assets—end of y e a r Average assets for y e a r Average c a p i t a l for y e a r Gross o p e r a t i n g i n c o m e % A v e r a g e assets D ividend rate Reserves a n d u n d i v i d e d profits % N e t assets 280 Federal Home Loan Bank Review A rather general reluctance to face squarely the dividend question precipitated by reduced income in the last two years has resulted in a lesser portion of net income being available for transfer to reserves and undivided profits. It is not surprising, therefore, to note that transfers have not been sufficient to maintain the rather modest average reserve ratio of 5.86 percent reached in 1942, and by 1944 this ratio had dropped to 5.75 percent. The reserve ratio takes on added importance for associations currently active in making mortgage loans. Due to accelerated repayment of the older and well seasoned loans, the mortgage portfolios in these instances develop an unusually high average ratio of unpaid balance of loans to original amount. In many cases it has been observed to be as high as 90 percent, while under normal circumstances it would be somewhere in the neighborhood of 75 percent. Considering also that loans are being made in an inflated real estate market and with evidence that association appraisals are to some extent following the market, the importance of building and maintaining strong reserves becomes paramount. There is clear evidence, in many cases, that current dividend rates cannot be maintained in face of existing trends without weakening the reserve structure. Future O u t l o o k Results of operations for the last two years are important guideposts and stimulate a full study of all factors affecting operating income and the general stability of associations, not only for the immediate future, but for some time ahead into the postwar period. Until reconversion trends are clearly defined, associations undoubtedly will continue to maintain the liquidity average of the present—approximately 30 percent of assets in cash and Government securities. In recent years, associations have generally accepted shareholder requests for withdrawal of funds on a demand basis. While associations have not promised to pay on demand, this practice has registered very deeply with the general public and is responsible to a considerable extent for the increasing flow of capital into associations. Thus, savings and loan associations face a greater need for a generally higher level of liquidity for operation during normal periods. Another situation immediately affecting earning capacity is revealed in the 1943 and 1944 figures. Although the dollar amounts of mortgage loans increased in each of these years, their percentages to total assets decreased. This trend can be expected to continue until a substantial volume of new construction is developed. Quality construction on a large scale depends upon an even flow of all essential materials into the housing market. Improvised materials and techniques, applied to overcome scarcities, not only slow up construction volume but tend to increase costs and limit the market for the resulting housing. Full-scale construction that will produce a first-class product can hardly be expected to get under way until late in 1946. In the meantime, associations should be content to expand their investments in Government securities rather than reach for marginal loans on existing old construction in an inflated real estate market. Federal H o m e L o a n Bank of N e w Y o r k Chart 8.—Selected b a l a n c e sheet items a n d ratios of a l l savings a n d loan association members Date D e c . 31, 1944 D e c . 31, 1943 D e c . 31, 1942 D e c . 31, 1941 D e c . 31, 1940 D e c . 31, 1939 401 N u m b e r of savings a n d loan m e m b e r s $673,186,991 .73, 339, 276 $520,920, 587 $485,100,000 $463,894,000 $449,542,000 41, 530,960 131,188, 526 25.6 41,526,923 65,576,211 18.7 30,808,528 20,186,874 9.8 29, 981,000 6,412,000 7.5 22, 517,000 3,168,000 5.5 20, 644,000 2,856,000 5.2 $456,140,593 67.8 $418, 273, 441 73.1 $406,077,064 78.1 $376, 959,000 77.5 $342, 564,000 74.0 $322, 487,000 71.8 Borrowed money % Borrowed m o n e y to assets $18, 660, 583 2.8 $18,619,978 3.2 $25,638, 530 4.9 $30,371,000 6.3 $24,990,000 5.4 $25,039,000 5.6 Reserves a n d u n d i v i d e d profits % Reserves a n d u n d i v i d e d profits to assets $41, 479,153 6.1 $40,466,836 7.1 $39, 506, 779 7.6 $34, 532,000 7.1 $38,037,000 8.2 $38,462,000 8.6 $8,937,051 1.3 $15, 651, 671 2.7 $29, 521, 572 5.7 $37,093,000 7.6 $62,625,000 13.5 $72,128,000 16.1 TOTAL ASSETS Cash G o v e r n m e n t securities % C a s h a n d G o v e r n m e n t s to assets M o r t g a g e loans % M o r t g a g e loans to assets R e a l estate o w n e d % R e a l estate to assets July 1945 281 The problem is further complicated by the unprecedented flow of share capital into associations, and until this abates or new construction resumes on a substantial basis, associations will probably continue to expand the ratio of Government securities and cash beyond the present average of approximately 30 percent. Some letup in the inflow of savings may be expected during the reconversion period. There is some evidence that the partial reconversion period we are now in may, in the near future, slow up the inflow of new money. Any breakdown or major dislocation of the rather finely balanced national machinery to stabilize the country's economy during the reconversion period could readily result in demands upon member institutions which probably would absorb present liquid assets quickly. Thus, earnings must continue to be sacrificed for liquidity. The increase in the operating expense ratio is of major importance to management and yet is one of the most difficult things to reduce in a financial institution. Legitimate overhead is necessary to maintain sound operations during periods of comparative inactivity and low productivity. To suggest reductions in personnel and in salaries is seldom a constructive approach and may indeed result in a completely penny-wise, poundfoolish operation. Some minor savings may be worked out in some of the expense items, but by and large the cost of doing business is dictated by features of the business which do not vary materially from year to year. Interest Rates The mortgage lending field has suffered a downward trend in interest rates on mortgage loans since the recovery period after the serious real estate upset in the early 1930's. Not only have interest rates been reduced, but all of the other frills, including premium charges, which resulted in additional income to mortgage lenders, have been pretty much eliminated by institutions active in today's competitive mortgage field. Keductions in interest rates are due to some extent to Government activities in the housing field. These activities are partly responsible for attracting large aggregations of capital into the mortgage market from institutions that previously had only a limited interest in mortgage investments. The resulting increase in the supply of mortgage money, plus Government influence, has continued to push interest rates downward. 282 Important nationwide influences concerned with social reform have been pressing and will continue to press for lower cost housing and lower monthly carrying charges. Interest costs have responded to such pressure. The GI Bill, with its provision for 4-percent mortgages, has set the stage for further reductions in interest rates on prime home lending risks. Refinements and safeguards, such as scientific appraisals, complete credit information on borrowers, definite term monthly direct reduction mortgages, inclusion of taxes in the monthly mortgage payment, improved loan servicing, insurance of mortgages by FHA, and life insurance in connection with mortgages, all have a tendency to reduce the potential risk in the mortgage business and make it possible for more and more capital to approach the field and work on a lower gross income. Long and Short Term Factors These many elements are of a permanent nature and will have a particular influence upon the longrange earning prospects of savings and loan associations. In addition, there are certain other elements currently affecting the yield from mortgage business which may continue for sometime into the future, at least until there is sufficient construction of new dwellings to absorb the excessive supply of mortgage money now available. These elements include the willingness of the associations to absorb loan charges, to pay brokerage fees for loans, and in instances where they purchase mortgages rather than originate them, the willingness to pay a premium for FHA insured loans and for uninsured loans which are considered prime risks. A completely realistic understanding of the limits upon earning capacity in the years immediately ahead is essential in the establishment of any sound dividend or reserve policy. A financial institution can be expected to survive a troublesome period in direct ratio to the strength of its reserves and its liquidity. A serious weakness in either can be fatal, and they are interrelated. The public cannot be expected to stand by and support savings and loans if mistakes of the 1920's and 1930's are duplicated. There is no valid reason why they need be duplicated if the trends, which are so clearly revealed, are used as a basis for establishing reserve, dividend and liquidity policies that will withstand not only sudden and momentary shocks, but the intensified and sustained shocks of a major depression. Federal Home Loan Bank Review CONDITION OF MEMBER ASSOCIATIONS The large inflow of new savings in 1944 resulted in the expansion of liquid assets to record proportions. Despite the high volume of lending, portfolios showed only a moderate dollar gain. • T H E changes which have occurred since the end of 1939 in the volume and composition of the combined resources of member savings and loan associations are illustrative of the interrelationship of all sectors of our national economy. From the year-end statements of member institutions of the Federal Home Loan Bank System there may be seen a story of mushroom-like growth in individual earnings which poured into new savings and accelerated debt retirement. These factors, coupled with curtailed building and increasing competition in the mortgage market, in turn contributed to the rapid growth in liquid assets which expanded to unprecedented proportions—from approximately one-sixteenth of Bank member resources in 1939 to more than one-fourth by the end of 1944. Thus, the period has witnessed an upward movement in invested savings which the mortgage portfolio was unable to pace despite the growing volume of lending throughout the past two years. The same forces which were generating the inflow of new money into savings accounts were likewise contributing to the more rapid repayment of loans already carried on the books. Managers might well inquire as to what extent these trends might be expected to be reversed when the war is over. When munitions production ceases and a number of war workers must live on their accumulated savings until they find peacetime jobs, will there be a significant shrinkage in thrift account balances? If associations are confronted with declining savings and increased mortgage lending opportunities, will their liquid assets be sufficient to meet, alike, repurchase requirements and the demand for mortgage money? Will they be able to retain a higher liquid ratio than before the war? For the present, answers to these questions are indefinite and qualified, since the final test must lie with the performance of the economy and the industry. However, the latest combined statement of condition for member associations will assist in placing such forecasting on an informed basis. Resources of member associations showed another marked rise in 1944, and amounted to $6,423,000,000 at the end of that year—16 percent above the total July 194S reported 12 months earlier and about 59 percent higher than at the end of 1939. This represents an increase in the size of the average member association from $1,497,000 at the end of 1943 to $1,757,000 at the close of last year. Since the end of 1939, total resources have shown a rise of $2,375,000,000. This expansion which has taken place during the period of preparation for and prosecution of the war is the result of a net gain of $2,266,000,000 in public and private investments and an increase of $168,000,000 in reserves, permanent capital, undivided profits and deferred items, offset by a net decline of $60,000,000 in non-savings liabilities ( i n c l u d i n g m o r t g a g e pledged shares). Throughout these years, Government shares have been retired at a rate well in advance of legal requirements, while the large inflow of private capital amply over-compensated such withdrawals. For the single year 1944, the gain in assets totaled $884,000,000 and was composed of increases in all three groups on the credit side of the sheet. Investments (public and private) showed a net rise of $778,000,000; other liability items, including mortgage pledged shares, were $56,000,000 higher than they had been at the end of 1943; and capital items grew by $49,000,000 during 1944. That the change in non-savings liabilities showed an increase for the year whereas the general trend in the two preceding 283 Combined statement of condition (or all savings and loan members NOTE: alance sheet item Number o f menbers Percentage figures show the r a t k Combined Pittsburgh Winston-Salem 3,656 ASStTS F i r s t mortgage l o a n s (include n , i n t e r e s t and a d v a n c e s ) O t h e r l o a n s ( i n c l u d i n g s h a r e loans) Heal e s t a t e s o l d on c o n t r a c t Ueal e s t a t e owned F e d e r a l Home Loan Pan'f S t o c ^ U»So Government o b l i g a t i o n s Other investments (including accrued i n t e r ^ s t ) - Cash on hand and i n banVs O f f i c e b i n l d i n , , , (net) F u r n i t u r e , f i x t u r e s , and equipment (net) Other assets Total assets- $4 ,273,720,534 66.54% : 501,806,748 72.78% $459,425,379 07.71% $292,974,935 75.54% $527,024,505 70.57% 12,001,853 0.19% 116,747,144 1.82TS 3G,82G,91G 0.57% G2,250,802 0.97% ,490,747,457 23.21% 22,975,090 0.3G% 347,347,932 5.41% 47,807,305 0.74% 4,890,599 0.08% 7,445,520 0oll% 2\ 2 6 2 , 0 5 8 0.33% 308,158 0.04% 2,913,778 0.42% 5,646,065 v 0.82% 133,975,924 19.43% 2,549,038 0.37% 34,193,890 4.96% 3,022,230 0o44% 520,504 0*07% 2,332,582 0.34% 1,405,069 0.21% 8,742,118 1.29% 9,550,019 1.41% 6,390,800 0.94% 142,327,219 20.97% 4,955,219 0.73% 39,508,510 5.82% 4,096,930 0.69% 809,851 0.12% 746,087 0.11% 1,818,108 0.46% 4,102,867 1.06% 2,702,160 0.70% 3,899,300 1.01% 56,662,507 14.61% 186,971 0.05% 22,214,805 5.73% 2,289,209 0.59% 307,976 0.09% 006,848 0.10% 1,500,112 0.20% 1,543,870 0.21% 1,313,797 0.17% 6,218,500 0.83% 169,650,103 22.72% 1,208,077 0.16% 33,174,063 4.44% 4,317,532 0.58% 423,659 0.00% 400,258 0.06% $6. 4 2 2 , 7 6 1 , 8 1 2 100.00% $089,591,581 100.00% $678,557,201 100.00% $ 387,825,686 100,00% $746,840,482 100.00% LIABILITIES ANC CAPITAL U . S . Government i n v e s t m e n t (sliares and d e p o s i t s ) — P r i v a t e repurchasable capital Mortgage-p] edged s l i a r e s Advances from Federal Home Loan P-anVs O t h e r borrowed money Loans i n p r o c e s s Advance payments by b o r r o w e r s Other l i a b i l i t i e s Permanent r e s e r v e o r g u a r a n t y stocV Deferred c r e d i t s to future operations Sped f l c Reserves General r e s e r v e s Undivided p r o f i t s — T o t a l l i a b i l i t i e s and c a p i t a l 284 35,528,850 0.55% ,500,971,987 85.05% 103,445,564 1.61% 126,882,373 1.97% 63,526,770 0.99% 35,134,189 0.55% 30,109,345 0.48% 22,109,587 0.34% 25,935,970 0.40% 10,311,012 0.10% 7,543,522 0.12% 313,609,698 4.88% 147,592,945 2.30% : 75,127 0.01% 166,680 0.03% 29,116,982 4.22% 18,600,001 2.70% 1,043,384 0.15% 952,313 0.14% 27,147,124 4.00% 17,404,768 2.57% 436,800 0.11% 323,219,091 83.34% 14,579,933 3.76% 12,930,629 3.34% 1,140,950 0.29% 1,023,661 0.42 2,550,213 0.66% 1,634,793 0.43% 46,183 0.01% 315,361 .0.08% 934,505 0.24% 22,884,447 5.90% 5,523,120 1.42% 1,422,701,812 100 0 00??, $689,591,581 100.00% $078,557,201 100.00% $387,825,680 100.00% 932,100 0.14% 570,35r,,314 83.58% 39,814,762 5.77% 6,298,195 0.91% 11,383,500 1.65% 1,089,279 0.16% 4,007,875 0.58% 1,751,760 0.25% $ 9,901,500 1.47% 579^039,092 85.33% 14,345,670 2.12% 12,020,406 1.77% 10,257,160 1.51% 1,504,375 0.22/o 3,129,014 0.46% 1,692,383 0.26% $ 2,278,800 0.31% 648,454,908 80.83% 11,102,108 1.49% 9,681,213 1.30% 13,394,050 1.79% 2,754,804 0.37% 2,088,309 0.28% 2,493,074 0.33% 7,317 0.00% 802,043 0.11% 804,997 0.11% 33,933,310 4.54$ 18,984,949 2.54% $746,840,482 100.00% Federal Home Loan Bank Reviev, of the Federal Home Loan Bank System, December 3 1 , 1944 of the items listed to total assets. Indianapolis Chicago 550 221 454 $740,687,000 61.39$ 744,507 0.06% 11,525,641 0.96% 8,102,023 0.G7% 10,628,900 0.88% 342,819,041 28.41% 4,272,141 0.36% 72,315,335 5.99% 14,279,791 1.18% 441,325 0.04% 719,007 0.06% $231,286,490 54.89% 717,179 0.17% 30,609,249 7.27°% 1,244,025 0.30% 7,007,000 1.66% 122,329,224 29.03% 741,591 0.18% 21,874,518 5.19% 4.^97,102 1.1G% 337,038 - 0.08% 284,305 0.07% $1,206,535,917 100.00% $ Cincinnati Des Moines 235 . L i t t l e Rock Topeka 269 207 Los Angeles Portland 166 127 $413,932,049 00.84% 1,004,792 0.10% 28,372,435 4.58% 5,184,460 0.84% 0,809,217 1.10% 120,040,368 19.39% 2,014,799 0.42% 37,417,580 0.04% 2,045,737 0.43% 576,042 0.09% 670,089 0.11% $233,021,877 00.35% 485,915 . 0.14% 5,478,758 1.50% 1,576,842 0.45% 4,282,700 1.22% 85,524,693 24.35% 1,251,206 0.30% 17,493,827 4.98 1,492,233 0.42% 202,213 0.06% 394,552 0.11% $218,303,450 75.39% 853,322 0.30% 1,607,870 0.56% 895,411 0.31% 2,532,100 0.87% 47,379,559 16.30% 1,737,020 0.60% 13,907,209 4.80% 1,627,630 0.56% 197,831 O.OTfo 523,611 0.18% $155,405,543 08.20% 245,997 0.11% 7,566,967 3.32% 1,607,753 0.71% 2,314,300 1.02% 47,495,945 20.84% 498,659 0.22% 9,741,727 4.27% 2,570,969 1.13% 270,794 0.12% 140,303 0.00% $138,120,331 49.00% 380,804 0.14% 14,240,329 5.11% 270,058 0.10% 1,800,480 0.07% 102,748,323 30.90% 2,232,580 0.80% 15,914,730 5.72% 2,200,108 0.81% 312,297 0.11% 120,120 0.04% $361,665,021 08.80%. 571,390 0.11% 2,048,870 0.50% 1,465,984 0.28% 4,001,500 0,89% 119,787,951 22.79% 727,777 0.14% 29,591,GOG 5.03% 3,707,774 0.70% 431,009 $421,327,781 100.00% $019,274,780 100.00% $351,204,810 100.00% $289,565,679 100.00% $227,859,017 100.00% $ 278,472,766 100.00% $525,700,100 100.00% 3,652,950 0.30% 1,056,265,581 87.55% 10,655,698 0.88% 7,766,963 0.04% 3,278,985 0.27% 3,938,114 0.33% 4,411,161 0.37% 2,996,491 0.25% 15,393,234 1.28% 2,645,627 0.22% 951,143 0.08% 00,984,054 5.05% 33,595,910 2.78% $ $ $ $ $ $1,200,535,917 100.00% $421,327,781 100.00% 1,270,000 0.30% 368,634,750 87.49% 992,810 0.24% 10,098,782 2.40% 1,547,551 0.37% 1,033,121 0.39% 1,197,953 0.28%. 1,085,984 0.20% 00,009 0.01% 1,059,015 0.39% 800,755 0.19% 20,858,130 4.95% 11,488,912 2.73% July 1945 R591Q1—d.R v 3,091,000 0.50% 520,200,312 84.00% 5,794,099 0.94% 19,542,893 3.10% 3,145,810 0.51% 8,845,592 * 1.43% 0,397,245 1.03% 3,292,330 0.53% 1,093,045 0.27% 581,021 0.09% 37,092,238 0.09% 8,998,595 1,45% $619,274,780 100.00% 502,400 0.16% 310,944,252 88.54% 2,153,986 0.61% 11,747,388 3.35% 3,050,500 1.04% 1,843,269 0.52% 852,759 0.24% 1,089,079 0.32% 17,100 0.00% 396,053 0.11% 454,503 0.13% 13,336,408 3.80% 4,157,119 1.18% $351,204,816 100.00% $ 1,413,200 0.49% 244,327,344 ' 84.38% 1,075,434 0,37% 5,790,131 2,00% 1,558,995 0.54% 1,837,608 0,63% 1,766,309 0.01% 2,568,725 0.88 675,700 0.23% 223,562 0,08% 398,556 0.14 21,500,880 7.45% 0,303,229 2.20%* $289,565,079 100.00% 953,300 0,42% 190,885,135 8G.41% 1,559,407 0,08% 1,492,325 0.65% 2,315,987 1.02% 1,816,957 0,80% 1,550,952 0.68% 904,344 0,40% 666,563 0.29% 394,406 0,17% 380,933 0.17% 14,153,752 6.21 4,784,950 2.10$ $227,859,017 100.00% 3,805,800 1.37% 245,850,446 88.28% 446,633 0,16% 3,420,024 1.23% 4,130,495 1.48% 2,085,248 0.75% 998,912 0.30% 1,395,166 0.50% 1,109,873 0.40 413,319 0,15% 341,749 0.12% 10,625,252 3.82% 3,849,849 1.38% . $278,472,766 100.00% 0.08% 440,498 0.08% I $ 7,170,400 t.30% 430,795,750 81.95% 805,012 0.17% 20,093,424 4.96% 7,722,781 1.47% G,IG2,101 1.17% 1,152,043 0.22% 1,205,452 0.24% 7,900,000 1.52% 049,470 0.12% 770,3G7 0.15% 21,311,109 4.05% 13,781,531 2.02% $525,70G,10G 100.00% 285 9 years had been downward is due primarily to increased borrowing to facilitate operations during the Sixth War Loan which closed at the end of 1944. The gain in borrowings last year ($63,000,000) was greater than the net increase in non-savings liabilities, declines in mortgage pledged shares and loans in process being the offsetting items in this group. Asset Trends in 1944 First mortgage loans held by member associations at the close of 1944 were reported at a combined outstanding balance of $4,274,000,000, about 6 percent above the balance reported at the end of the preceding year. The virtual extinction of the real estate account over recent years has progressively narrowed the base from which additions are usually made to contract sales. This, together with the increasing ease with which purchasers have been able to meet contractual payments on or in advance of schedule, resalted in a 17-percent drop in the amounts due en contracts which totaled $117,000,000 at the end of last December. Taken as a group, total loans and contracts accounted for but 68.6 percent of the resources of member associations at the close of the year, as compared with 75.9 percent at the end of 1943 and the postdepression peak for this ratio, 86.0 percent recorded in 1941. In 1939 the ratio of loans and contracts to resources was 81.4 percent. All Bank Districts reported increases in the volume of loans and contracts held by members, gains ranging from 11.2 percent and 9.2 percent in the Pittsburgh and Los Angeles regions, respectively, to 0.05 percent in Portland, while Indianapolis had an 0.90 ratio. The greatest advance in dollar amount was in the New York area where members showed loans and contracts $38,000,000, or 8.9 percent, in excess of the balance indicated at the end of 1943. Members of the Chicago Bank reported a gain of $33,000,000, the second largest for the country, placing balances Trends of selected balance sheet items in relation to total assets Item First mortgage loans Real estate owned Real estate contracts Cash a n d U. S. Government obligations GO* 1944 1943 Percent 66. 54 0. 57 h 82 Percent 73.08 1. 26 2. 55 28. 62 20. 33 1942 1941 Percent Percent 79. 39 81. 68 2. 48 3.95 3. 23 3. 62 11. 86 7.38 held by these institutions 8 percent higher than the figure reported 12 months earlier. In proportion to total assets, the Pittsburgh District showed the highest ratio for loans and contracts, 77 percent, followed by the Little Rock area with 76 percent. The lowest ratio was in the Portland region, 55 percent. This compares with 1943 when members of the Pittsburgh Bank indicated a high of 81 and the Portland District had the lowest regional ratio, 68 percent. The downward movement of this ratio was common to all areas. Liquid assets (cash and IT. S. Government securities) continued to show the most marked change, with an increase of $712,000,000 during the year which advanced the total 63 percent to $1,838,000,000 on December 31. This placed the ratio of liquid items to total resources at 29 percent. The Cincinnati Bank members indicated the greatest gain, $142,000,000, while the Winston-Salem region showed the second largest dollar rise in liquid assets—$91,000,000. The proportionate rise was the most pronounced in the Los Angeles area—up 96 percent. This, however, is in part due to the fact that the largest proportionate gain in savings was concentrated on the West Coast. As in 1943, the Portland and Cincinnati Districts showed the highest and second highest ratio of liquid assets to resources, 43 and 34 percent, respectively. These compare with 29 percent and 26 percent reported 12 months earlier. Also, as in the preceding year, the Pittsburgh region indicated the lowest ratio of liquid to total assets, 20 percent in 1944 whereas it had been 15 percent at the end of 1943. The Government bond portfolio represented the overwhelming bulk of liquid assets, constituting 23 percent of total resources of members for the country as a whole. Members of the Portland Bank showed the largest ratio of U. S. security holdings to assets, 37 percent. Cash on hand and in banks, however, showed a decline, the $347,000,000 held at the end of 1944 being more than 10 percent less than the figure indicated at the close of the preceding year. In relation to total assets, this depressed the ratio from 7 percent to 5.4 percent. While the decline in this ratio was common to all Bank Districts except Boston, 10 regions reported smaller cash items, with dollar increases being shown only in the Boston and Los Angeles regions ($4,656,000 and $351,000, respectively). The decrease in the cash item was primarily due to association activity during the Sixth War Loan which took place at the end of 1944. h&ri&rnl rlr\m& I r\nn Rrtnlt P^i/i^u/ Private Savings On the credit side of the balance sheet the greatest change occurred in savings account liability which went up 17 percent from the figure shown at the end of the previous year. This gain of $812,000,000 in private repurchasable capital carried the total liability on savings to $5,500,000,000. The West Coast showed the greatest proportionate growth in private investments, with an increase of 25.2 percent in the Los Angeles area and a gain of 24.6 percent in the Portland region. Members of the Cincinnati Bank had the largest dollar increase in savings, a rise of $145,000,000 being recorded in that region. Members in the New York area ranked second with an increase of $105,000,000. The ratio of private savings to total resources has risen steadily since 1937 and at the end of last year stood at 86 percent. The Des Moines and Portland areas had the highest and second highest, respectively, 89 and 88 percent. The Los Angeles region had the lowest ratio, 82 percent. U. S. Government investments in member associations declined by almost one-half during the year. On December 31 they stood at $35,500,000. Borrowed Money The $63,000,000 net increase in borrowed money that occurred during 1944 resulted primarily from credit advanced from sources other than the Federal Home Loan Banks. Borrowings from the 12 Banks were $19,000,000 higher than at the end of the preceding year, while borrowings from other financial institutions were $44,000,000 above the figure shown 12 months earlier. Of the $190,000,000 outstanding, two-thirds represented advances from the Federal Home Loan Banks. I t will be recalled that money borrowed by member associations reached a peak of $239,000,000 in 1941 and that the balance owed to the Federal Home Loan Banks and other sources of credit declined by 47 percent during the two subsequent years. Increased borrowing during the past year, principally to finance the acquisition of Government securities, carried the balance owed to 80 percent of the 1941 figure. However, at the end of last year, the ratio of borrowed money to total resources was but 3 percent compared with 5 at the end of 1941. Reserve Position The phenomenal rate of asset growth in 1944 reversed the upward movement which had been noticeable during the two preceding years in the ratio of general reserves and undivided profits to July 194S Percentage distribution of balance sheet items for all savings and loan members of the Federal Home Loan Bank System, 1944 and 1943 Balance sheet item All savings a n d loan members N u m b e r of m e m b e r institutions Federal 1944 1943 Percent Percent 3, 701 Percent Percent Insured state Uninsured state 1944 ] 1943 1,466! Percent Percent Percent Percent ASSETS F i r s t mortgage loans Other loans (including share loans) Real e s t a t e sold on contract R e a l estate o w n e d Federal Home Loan Bank stock U . S. G o v e r n m e n t obligations O t h e r i n v e s t m e n t s (including accrued interest) C a s h on h a n d a n d in banks Office b u i l d i n g (net) F u r n i t u r e , fixtures a n d e q u i p m e n t (net) Other assets T o t a l assets 66. 54 73. 65.13| 73. 42| 66.14 71.16 70.1 0.19 0.26 1.82 0.5' 2. 551 1.40| 1.261 0.41 0.14 0.17! 0. 15| 0.26 2.00 2.38 0.62 3.30 1.40| 0.82 0.97; 1.01 0.93 1.03 0.99 22.51 13.29 14.34 .0.36 2.76 1.93 2.01 0.87 1. 08] 23.21 13.34 25.61 74. 60 0. 35] 0.43 0.91 M 11.48 0.89 18.79 0.451 0.10 0.65] 0.84 5.41 0.741 6.99| 0.85 0.13 5.271 7.02| 0.73 0.82 5.66 0.77 7.6'( 0.881 0.08| 0.11 0.09 0.12 0. 55; 0.08 0.11 6. 16 5.39! 0.85 0. 75] 0. 101 0.04 0.06 0.11 0. 19] 0.19 100. 00 100. 00 100. 00 100.001 100. 00 100. 00 o.io| 0.08 0.11 0.091 LIABILITIES AND CAPITAL IT. S. G o v e r n m e n t investment P r i v a t e repurchasable capital M o r t g a g e pledged s h a r e s . . A d v a n c e s from Federal Home Loan Bank Other borrowed m o n e y L o a n s i n process Advance payments by borrowers Other liabilities Permanent, reserve or g u a r a n t y stock Deferred credits to future operations Specific reserves General reserves U n d i v i d e d profits T o t a l liabilities a n d capital 0.55 85.65 84. 66 87.26 86. 39 85.08 84.24 82. 79] 81.84 1.61 2.02J 0.10| 0. 17| 1.17 1. 151 5.51 6.55 1.97 0.99 0.55 1.95 0.34 0.48! 0.341 0.40| 0.46 0.16 0.12 4.88 2.30 0.23 0. 141 4.94 2.461 «PI 0.681 2. 1.44| 0.59 2.84 0.46] 0.83 1.77' 0.55 0.71, 1.66 0. 35] 0.57 0.22 0.56] 0.26 0. 86] 0.23 0. 19 0.47 0.401 0.45 0.33 0.48| 0.38 0.51 0.46 0.52 0.49 0.47 0. 24 0.40 0.32 1.21] 1.381 0.27 0.30 0.14 0. 12 3.80 2.04 0.20] 0. 14 3.76] 2.27 0.18' 0.12 5.66 2.19 0.23] 0. 14 5. 821 2.33 0. 19] 0. 101 6.28 3.01 0.27 0. 12 6.20 2.98 100. 00 100.00 100.00 resources. Last December, it amounted to 7.18 percent of assets as compared with 7.40 percent at the end of 1943. However, despite wartime conditions in the mortgage market, allocations to these accounts have been steadily increasing. In 1944 the net growth in reserves and undivided profits amounted to $51,000^000, one-fifth more than the net transfer of $42,000,000 made in the preceding year. As a result, these items totaled $461,000,000 at the end of last December. Since 1939, general reserves and undivided profits have increased by $176,500,000, or 62 percent. In view of the possibility of a recession of private savings during the period of reconversion which would be met by the necessary contraction of liquid assets, it is likely that there may be a rise in the ratio of reserves to assets. 287 THRIFT AND REAL ESTATE OPERATIONS OF BANKS DURING THE PAST YEAR Annual reports of insured commercial and mutual savings banks showed that these types of institutions followed generally similar trends in their thrift and home financing operations last year. The pattern, for the most part, was similar to that of the previous year. M T H E greatly expanded wartime earnings of the general public and the abnormal real estate situation were reflected in the 1944 thrift and home financing operations of insured commercial and mutual savings banks. Savings entrusted to these institutions rose to unprecedented heights, increasing at an even more rapid rate than during the previous record year of 1943. A slackening occurred in the decline of residential mortgage holdings, based on number and volume of transactions involving existing properties. Finally, as further evidence of the critically tight housing situation, the amount of institutionally owned real estate declined to virtually insignificant proportions. Although the study is confined to insured commercial banks, based on annual reports of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, this group represents 94 percent of all operating commercial banks. The insured institutions have 97 percent of total industry assets and 98 percent of the time deposits of individuals, partnerships, and corporations. 1 Their real estate loans represent 98 percent of the total for all banks, while 80 percent of real e&tate owned, other than bank premises, is in the hands of insured commercials. showed the greatest percentage increase—35 percent. The fact that this area previously attained top rank on the basis of two annual gains of approximately 30 and 18 percent, respectively, shows the vastly expanded scale of savings activity last year. Another indication is that in 1944 and 1943, the smallest gain, recorded both times by banks in the Pittsburgh District, was 18 percent last year compared with 9 percent the year before. On a dollar volume basis, insured commercial banks in the Los Angeles region again led with an increase of $829,000,000 compared with $564,000,000 in 1943. Topeka remained last in the increase column—up $88,000,000 in 1944 and only $37,000,000 in 1943. Increased savings activity was characteristic of all states, with the exception of New Hampshire which alone reported less of an advance in 1944 than in PERCENTAGE CHANGE .IN RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE LOANS AND TIME DEPOSITS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS 1943 OVER 1942 AND 1944 OVER 1943 By Federal Home Loan Bonk District RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE LOANS PER -10 UNITED TIME DEPOSITS PERCENT CENT + 10 +20 STATES Savings in Commercial Banks During 1944, insured commercial banks reported a 26-percent gain in time deposits of individuals, partnerships and corporations, bringing the volume of savings to a new peak of $23,363,000,000. The dollar amount of this increase—$4,791,000,000—was well over one-and-a-half times as great as the 1943 record. In that year, an advance of $2,866,000,000 represented a gain of 18 percent over like deposits during the preceding 12 months. Insured commercial banks in all F H L B regions shared in last year's unprecedented volume of savings. For the third successive year, the Portland District 1 This classification is more comprehensive than the prewar breakdown of "savings evidenced by passbooks." However, it has been found that by far the greater part of this total represents individual savings. 288 Federal Home Loan Bank Review 1943. Florida remained the leader, percentagewise, with a 46-percent advance last year compared with 38 percent the year before. The smallest increase (13 percent) occurred in Delaware. Dollar gains ranged from $805,000,000 in California to $8,000,000 in New Hampshire. Oklahoma, the only state to show a decline in 1943, came back with a $14,000,000 advance last year. Residential mortgage holdings and time deposits of insured commercial banks, 1944 [Thousands of dollars] U N I T E D STATES Residential Mortgage Loans Building restrictions continued to affect mortgage lending operations of insured commercial banks during 1944. However, activity in other than new construction lending was sufficient to arrest the previous year's decline in total holdings. At the year-end they aggregated $3,157,000,000 after a decline of $47,000,000. Percentagewise, this decrease was practically the same as in 1943 but the dollar volume drop was considerably less than the $60,000000 decline of the previous year. Last year only five regions, in contrast to six the year before, were able to show improvement in their residential mortgage portfolios. Gains, which were again concentrated in the same middle western, western and southwestern Districts (except for the Indianapolis area) ranged from 0.5 percent in Chicago to 9 percent in Des Moines. The 1943 variation was between 0.6 in Little Rock and 29 percent in Topeka. In dollar volume, Des Moines again had the largest increase in 1944—up $19,000,000—while Topeka was last in the increase column. In 1943 the increase in Des Moines was $18,000,000 with Little Rock at the other end of the scale—up only $310,000. For the second consecutive year Los Angeles was the only area west of the Mississippi to report a decline—down $5,751,000, or 0.7 percent. California, predominant among the states of this District, recorded an infinitely smaller drop last year ($5,000,000) than was made in 1943 when mortgage lending activity in that state was down $31,000,000. No specific breakdown of residential property owned has been contained in the last three annual reports of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. However, during the last year the over-all figure for "real estate owned other than bank premises" dropped $59,000,000 and on December 31, 1944 stood at $64,000,000. There seems ample reason to believe that residential real estate owned by all insured commercial banks has dropped proportionately. July 1945 Residential mortgage loans Federal H o m e Loan Bank District and state _ __ N o . 1—Boston D e c . 31, 1944 __ __ $3,156,607 _ . 207, 984 . 1 Connecticut M a i n e , _. M a s s a c h u s e t t s . __ ___ . New Hampshire Rhode Island _. ___ ! Vermont __ _ _ - 56,552 12, 797 79, 548 ! 8,155 20,261 30, 671 T i m e deposits Change Dec. 31, d u r i n g 1944 1 1944 -$46,980 $23,362,909 -3,964 +35 +157 -5,221 +257 +70 +738 1 Increase during 1944 $4, 790, 503 1, 325, 386 228,429 284, 111 144, 464 587, 671 49,469 154, 456 105,215 46,089 22, 266 107, 071 7, 614 29,956 15, 433 N o . 2—New Y o r k 460,964 - 3 8 , 431 4,082, 554 717, 584 N e w Jersey _ _ N e w Y o r k __ 218, 510 242,454 - 1 5 , 4 1 5 1 1,397, 773 - 2 3 , 016 1 2,684, 781 273,959 443, 625 No. 3—Pittsburgh . 311,386 -16,810 2,235, 387 342, 216 10,883 270, 551 29, 952 +265 -17,126 +51 45,328 2,018,011 172,048 5,293 299, 595 37,328 207, 422 - 2 , 742 1, 707, 293 355, 586 13, 654 32, 315 13, 702 25, 560 37, 819 15, 093 6,106 63,173 -923 - 3 , 071 + 2 , 205 -1,149 +297 +481 -424 -158 176, 826 166, 946 188, 289 212, 645 316,130 205, 241 56, 824 384,392 37, 993 25, 860 59,126 51,753 53,863 50,993 13,179 62,819 285,862 - 4 , 301 2, 125, 870 470,167 __ 34,256 243, 863 17, 743 -209 - 4 , 416 +324 152, 681 1, 700,868 272, 321 26,179 382, 408 61, 580 __ 250, 712 -3,444 2, 015,146 495,172 __ 90, 769 159, 943 - 2 , 783 -661 555, 470 1, 459, 676 131,085 364, 087 216, 293 +977 2, 499, 713 562, 259 129,449 86, 844 -9 +986 1, 699, 868 799, 845 385, 232 177, 027 Delaware _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ P e n n s y l v a n i a __ _ _ _ _ _ _ W e s t Virginia _ __ __ N o . 4—Winston-Salem A l a b a m a . __ __ D i s t r i c t of C o l u m b i a F l o r i d a ___ _ _ _ _ _ ___ Georgia ___ __ ___ Maryland __.'_ __ N o r t h Carolina _ __ ___ S o u t h Carolina Virginia ._ _ N o . 5—Cincinnati Kentucky Ohio Tennessee N o . 6—Indianapolis Indiana Michigan _ __ N o . 7—Chicago Illinois _ Wisconsin 229, 023 +19, 453 1, 443, 214 304, 439 Iowa Minnesota Missouri North Dakota South D a k o t a 42, 598 63, 107 115, 807 3,147 4,364 +943 + 7 , 736 +10, 448 +439 -113 348, 959 535, 684 451, 940 58, 352 48, 279 69,042 117, 745 91, 791 15, 563 10, 298 N o . 9—Little R o c k 57, 778 +2,068 657, 443 145, 728 6,013 12,230 7,076 4,219 28,240 +409 -1,807 +73 -89 + 3 , 482 64,597 178,958 89,337 25,760 1 298,791 12, 525 43, 691 13, 929 5,940 69, 643 N o . 8—Des M o i n e s Arkansas Louisiana Mississippi N e w Mexico Texas __ N o . 10—Topeka Colorado _ K a n s a s __ Nebraska Oklahoma __ No. 11—Portland.. Idaho _ Montana Oregon Utah Washington, Wyoming _ __ _ __ __ N o . 12—Los Angeles Arizona. California Nevada Possessions 44,154 +373 428,854 87, 577 12,600 11,283 7,060 13,211 +1,077 +770 +911 -2,385 150,899 101,947 96,160 79,848 31,163 21, 679 20,495 14, 240 84,078 +5,460 966,763 248,177 8,448 1 3,610 11,419 23,681 32,554 4,366 -137 +214 +2,430 +2,155 +855 -57 61,814 61,880 280,292 125,216 406,637 30,925 16,256 14, 766 74, 102 27,212 109, 200 6,641 -5,751 3,859,761 828, 591 60,332 1 3,765,863 33,566 | 15, 730* 805, 354 7, 507" 15,525 1 4 578' 799,894 __ 1 10,940 1 783,110 5,844 1,057 1 -843 1 -4,589 -319 +132 1 289 Mutual Savings Banks Mutual savings banks set new records during 1944 in the volume of deposits received, the number of accounts, and total assets. An unparalled gain of $1,625,000,000 in savings brought the year-end total to $13,323,000,000—an increase of 14 percent compared with a 10-percent rise in 1943. Again, over half of this rise occurred in the July-December period. There are only 17 states in which mutual savings banks operate, chiefly concentrated in the East. All of them participated in the growing volume of savings. New York and Massachusetts, which already led in dollar deposits, again showed the most sizable increases—$948,700,000 and $224,800,000, respectively. Oregon, the least active " m u t u a l " state, recorded the smallest advance— $1,700,000. Not only was more money saved last year than ever before, but more people were participating in this expression of thrift. Last year brought a net increase of 609,000 accounts in mutual savings banks, raising the total to 16,321,229. All states except Minnesota reported gains, most of them exceeding those of the previous year. New York and Massachusetts showed the largest increases in this respect. The combined growth in volume of savings and number of depositors resulted in an increase of $72 in the average account. At the close of 1944 the average mutual savings bank account was $817 compared with $745 the year before. tively. At the close of 1944, this account totaled $99,440,000 and represented only 0.7 percent of assets. At the same date the year before, mutual savings banks showed $212,000,000 in the owned real estate account—1.7 percent of the assets of these associations. I t would seem that the question of whether or not there is an irreducible minimum in the real estate owned account is largely academic. Mutual savings banks in Oregon and Delaware reported no institutionally owned property on the books at the close of 1944. Even in those states where previous lack of marketing opportunities had been most apparent, real estate owned dropped to the equivalent of less than 1 percent of assets. The only state in which this account represented more than that was Vermont, which reported a fractional rise from 2.61 percent in 1943 to 2.62 percent last year. Investment Portfolio The rise in assets of mutual savings banks in 1944 reflected in large part the unparalleled increase in deposits. Mounting to a new high of $14,813,000,000, the gain in resources totaled $1,770,000,000, {Continued on p. 301) DISTRIBUTION OF MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS* ASSETS 1940-1944 GOVERI MMENT BOAJDS Real Estate Activity Again during the past year, real estate mortgage loans of mutual savings banks declined. The rate of drop, which had increased from 3 percent in 1942 to 4 percent in 1943, was stabilized at the latter rate last year. Loans secured by real estate totaled $4,298,000,000 after a dollar decrease of $137,000,000 which was considerably less than the $207,000,000 decline in 1943. Last year this account represented 29.2 percent of total assets compared with 34.6 percent in 1943. This decline was general throughout the 17 " m u t u a l " states. At the year-end, Maryland banks reported only 6.7 percent of total assets represented by real estate mortgage loans while, at the other end of the scale, Oregon showed an amount equal to 43.0 percent. The disposition of real estate owned proceeded at an accelerated pace in 1944. The 53-percent drop last year far outstripped the recent declines of 36 and 25 percent registered in 1943 and 1942, respec290 20 STATE S MUNICIPAL BONDS RAILROAD AND PUBLIC UTILITY BONDS 1940 '41 *42 '43 '44 1940 *4I '42 SOURCE: Nat'l. Ass'n. of. Mutual Savings Banks. Federal Home Loan Bank Review THE UPWARD TREND IN LOAN AMOUNTS The size of the average mortgage recorded has been expanding rapidly. The following article analyzes this movement by type of lender and by Federal Home Loan Bank District.1 • FOR more than two years lenders in the mortgage finance field have been calling attention to an inflationary trend in real estate prices which has been brought about partly by an unparalleled rise in income and, in a great many areas, by a complete dislocation of the factors of supply and demand. In particular, an effort has been made to keep the spotlight on those dangers to the future health and stability of mortgage financing institutions and to the economy as a whole which are inherent in accepting for lending purposes, those increases in property values which sound judgment and experience indicate cannot be expected to be maintained after "normal" functioning of the market has been restored. Inflationary Potentials Rises in the market value of residential property, which constitutes the security for the great majority of total mortgage loans, have been extremely large and obviously inflationary in many areas. Increases as great as 75 to 100 percent in the price of homes have been reported in a number of localities, and in some war crowded centers prices are well in excess of reproduction costs, which for the country as a whole have risen almost one-third since 1939. Many pressures are being brought to bear on lenders to continue liberal prewar lending policies in the current market. These include a plethora of investment funds, keen competition for the limited amount of mortgage business, a high rate of mortgage repayments, and the fact that despite the vast amount of savings accumulated by individuals, a great many buyers in today's market are pressing for high percentage loans which are based on presentday values. In view of these circumstances, which are "ideal" for the making of an inflationary boom, it is obvious that some lenders of all types have been yielding to the pressures for larger loans based on these inflated property values. Almost every lender in the country can recite from recent memory dozens of instances in which loans have been made on properties in excess of their market value of only a few years ago. i Prepared by Oscar H. Smith, and John W. Neumann of the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration. July 1945 These instances are none the less only the most flagrant cases and do not provide a suitable yardstick against which to measure the performance of all types of lenders. Such a measure, however, is available in the mortgage recording statistics which have been compiled monthly since 1939 by the Federal Home Loan Bank Administration. The first chart shows the average size mortgage recorded by all types of lenders from 1939 through March 1945, by quarters. Throughout this period, the average mortgage loan has increased almost steadily in size, moving from $2,679 in the opening months of 1939 to $3,338 in the first quarter of this year, a rise of almost one-fourth. Since 1943 the average size loan has risen sharply and the trend is still upward. A few explanatory remarks regarding these data will give them added meaning. Averages are computed from estimates of the total number and amount of all recorded nonfarm mortgages of $20,000 or less. The exclusion of recordings in excess of $20,000 automatically eliminates distortions arising from the inclusion of large mortgages on commercial properties or huge residential projects. Too, most of these loans (about 1,500,000 mortgages were recorded last year) are being made on the same housing stock that existed in the prewar years, except that these properties have grown older and in many cases are now in need of extensive repair. AVERAGE SIZE OF ALL NONFARM MORTGAGES RECORDED DOLLARS 3,5001 UNITED STATES 1 1 1939 TO 1945, BY QUARTERS 1 1 1 1 1 3,000 2,500 2,000 NOTE:- EXCLUDES MORTGAGES IN EXCESS OF $20,000 291 The continual upward movement in the size of the average mortgage recorded represents a composite of the activities of all lenders, those whose lending policies have been relatively conservative as well as those who have followed the rise of the market. This movement also reflects activities in those areas of the country in which increases in property values have been relatively small, as well as in those regions where property values rose rapidly during the defense preparation and war years. Excepting those held by insurance companies, the average size of mortgages recorded by each of the types of lenders has tended upward. As is shown in the table on page 293, the average size of mortgage loans made by individual lenders, whose operations are not limited by law, has shown the greatest rise during recent years. Averages for these lenders rose from $1,851 in 1939 to $2,537 in 1944, a 37-percent jump, and in the first quarter of 1945 amounted to $2,761, or 49 percent more than in 1939. Savings and loan associations were second in increase of average size recordings over this period, the $3,146 for 1944 representing a rise of 28 percent, and the $3,311 for the first quarter of this year, a rise of 34 percent. In the table it will be noted that even though these two types of lenders have shown the greatest gains in average size recordings, such averages are still below those of the remaining types of mortgagees. The average size of mortgages recorded by insurance companies, which since these data were first compiled by the FHLBA has been considerably higher than that of any other type of lender, has shown very little change during recent years. Insurance company recordings during the first quarter of this year averaged $5,257, or 4 percent more than in 1939, wThile the average size of recordings during 1944 was 1 percent less than in the base year. Lenders in the "other," or miscellaneous, category increased their average size mortgage 18 percent from 1939 to 1944; however, the average for the first quarter of this year, $4,033, was 25 percent higher than in 1939. I n these comparisons, banks and trust companies and mutual savings banks show almost parallel trends in the average size of recordings, the 1944 averages for the two types of mortgagees being 10 and 8 percent, respectively, above the level shown in 1939. PERCENT CHANGE IN AVERAGE SIZE MORTGAGES RECORDED - 1939 TO 1944 BY FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK DISTRICTS AND TYPE OF LENDER 292 Federal Home Loan Bank Review A glance at the map will show wide variations in lending trends among the various regions and among types of lenders. Gains from 1939 through 1944 in the average size of all recorded nonfarm mortgages of $20,000 or less vary from 4 percent in New York and 8 percent in the Pittsburgh region to 28 and 31, respectively, in the Winston-Salem and Portland regions. Among the classes of lenders, changes ranged from increases of 49 and 53 percent, respectively, in the average size of mortgage loans made by individuals in these latter regions to decreases of 21 percent in the average size of mutual savings bank recordings in the Winston-Salem District and 9 percent in insurance company mortgages in the Pittsburgh, Winston-Salem, and Little Rock areas. I t will be noted that in every District except Chicago and Des Moines the average size of mortgages recorded by individuals has shown the greatest percentage rise. In those two regions, savings and loan associations showed the greatest percentage increase. In six of the Bank Districts, savings and loan associations evidenced increases second only to those of individuals; in two regions, "other" lenders reported the second largest percentage rise; and in one District, banks and trust companies reported the second largest increase. In seven Districts, the average size of mortgages recorded during 1944 by insurance companies was lower than in 1939 and in all but one of the remaining, percentage increases in the size of insurance company mortgages were relatively small. In the Los Angeles District, insurance company recordings increased 25 percent over this period as compared with a rise of 18 percent in the average size of total nonfarm mortgages. With few regional exceptions, percentage increases in the average size of mortgages recorded by banks and trust companies and mutual savings banks were relatively low. Dollar Amounts Up Dollar increases in the average size of mortgages recorded by some types of lenders have been extraordinary in several regions. The largest advance in the average size of all mortgages was in the Portland District, $715, followed by the WinstonSalem, Los Angeles and Chicago areas with gains of $638, $586, and $544, respectively. By type of lender, increases in the size of average recordings have ranged as high as $1,516 for "other" lender recordings in the Portland District and $1,530 in insurance company mortgages in the Los Angeles region. The largest dollar rise for savings and loan July 1945 Average amount of nonfarm mortgages recorded—United States, by type of lender 1 Average size mortgage Percent change 1939 to— Type of lender quarYear 1939 Year 1944 1st ter 1945 Savings and loan associationsInsurance companies. _ _ _ _ Banks, trust companies Mutual savings banks Individuals.. _._ - . . Others .__ Total 1944 1st quarter 1945 $2,467 5,076 3,201 3,622 1,851 3,231 $3,146 5,033 3,525 3,927 2,537 3, 823 $3, 311 5,257 3,605 4,134 2,761 4,033 28 —1 10 8 37 18 34 4 13 14 49 25 2,722 3,187 3,338 17 23 i Based on mortgages of $20,000 or under. associations, $944, was reported in Winston-Salem. The average recording by mutual savings banks in the Cincinnati District was $1,329 larger in 1944 than in 1939. The steepest dollar rise in the average size of mortgage loans reported by individual lenders was the $935 increase reported in the WinstonSalem region, while the maximum bank and trust company increase, $889, occurred in the Los Angeles area. This discussion indicates that all types of lenders have, to greater or lesser degree, been " following" the rise in property values. I t also supports the contention of many that there are mortgagees of all types who have been and are continuing to recognize, for lending purposes, increases in values which have been created under artificial circumstances and which, if we can accept past experience as a guide, will disappear in part upon the restoration of a balance between supply and demand factors. The future health and prosperity of mortgage financing institutions which let short run exigencies and demands dim their long-term prospective may well be seriously damaged should these trends continue. The upward movement in average mortgage recordings may represent water already on the books. Many mortgagees are attempting to compensate for increased loan valuations through an acceleration in the amortization of their loans. However, as was learned from the last depression, loans placed on the books increased in hazard with the downward swing in values and in individual income payments. Correspondingly, lenders today must take into account the contingency of a drop in economic activity. As the time approaches when the level of individual incomes must begin to diminish, so shortens the time in which they may realistically expect accelerated amortization to cover added risk from inflated increment to loan values. 293 rum Annual wage spurs home ownership The annual wage and profit-sharing plan of Hormel & Co. has made Austin, Minnesota, a city of home owners, according to a recent report carried in the Detroit (Michigan) Free Press. Of the 4,275 homes in Austin, 3,125 come under the Minnesota Homestead Tax Exemption Act, which means that they are owner occupied. "Seventy-five percent, at least, of the members of our union own their own homes. Families bought or built houses since the annual wage came who couldn't have purchased them otherwise . . . " stated the president of the United Packinghouse Workers of America Local. Although the annual wage is not guaranteed, the company expects to be able to continue on the same basis that it has for 15 years. Postwar plans for new business include the expectation of providing yearround jobs for 1,643 employees now in the armed forces. Future building calls for more trained workers Prompt expansion of vocational programs to train new workers for the building trades will sharply reduce the time required to meet the most urgent civilian construction needs after the war, recently predicted James W. Follin, Managing Director of the Producers' Council. The Council is a national organization of manufacturers of building materials and equipment. Failure to set up such training programs may mean that building products may become plentiful before there are enough skilled workmen to assemble them. While the total supply of construction labor will undoubtedly be adequate, certain types of trained and experienced craftsmen needed for quality construction will not be available until thousands of new workers are taught. Except for men who have acquired building skills as part of their experience in the armed services, very few apprentices have entered the 294 v III Fill construction industry in the past five years. During the last two decades, the labor supply in some lines has shrunk at an alarming rate because the rate of replacements has not equaled the loss of craftsmen through death, retirement or military service. The decline of construction activity during the depression accentuated the downward trends which have been evident in these fields. Consumer credit control modified In a further effort to curb inflation, the Federal Reserve Board last moifth issued Amendment 16 to consumer credit Regulation W. This amendment repeals the previous exemption of extensions of credit secured by first liens on improved real estate. In addition, effective June 11, it prescribes a maximum maturity of 18 months for loans of not more than $1500 for financing the purchase of certain materials, articles and services in connection with repair or improvement of residential property. This limitation applies, as well, if such a loan is added to the unpaid balance of a previously existing mortgage loan and the two total $1500 or less, regardless of how they were merged or consolidated. Regulation W does not cover extensions of credit to finance or refinance the construction or purchase of an entire structure. The new amendment also makes some changes in the classification of listed articles, downpayment and maturity limitations, and contains provisions relating to "summer plans" for fuel conservation items and to exemptions for "disaster credits". Postwar capital equipment need set at $28 billion annually If the need for nonfarm housing during the period 1946-1960 is to be met, an average of $5,065,000,000 must be spent yearly for this purpose, according to preliminary estimates released in May by the Twentieth Century Fund. Nonfarm housing is one of the major items included in the Fund's estimate that an average of about $28,000,000,000 annually would be necessary during the 15-year period to fill all requirements for new capital equipment—the country's relatively permanent physical assets. Stated in terms of 1940 price levels, the preliminary report covers 24 specific fields grouped into four major categories: urban development, commercial and industrial, transportation and rural development. Capital outlays in fields not included in the detailed estimates, it is assumed, would maintain their past ratios to the other groups. These estimated capital needs, plus the postwar demand for consumer goods and services, would be more than enough to keep our economic system operating at high productive levels. Along with the estimates of maximum outlays needed for capital equipment if our economic system does operate at high levels, the report outlines a "minimum" program. This program covers only capital outlays necessary to care for normal growth in population, to replace capital goods actually worn out or used up, and to provide for essential expansion of capital facilities. Even such a "minimum" program in the 24 fields being studied would require an annual average expenditure of $8,000,000,000. States liberalize worker benefits Unemployment benefits and "second injury" compensation have been the subject of legislative action in a number of states this year, the Council of State Governments reports. Unemployment compensation laws have been revised in a score of states to increase weekly benefits for longer periods, thus assuring workers and their families an adequate standard of living and minimizing the depressive effects of unemployment during a reasonable period of reconversion from war production. The "second injury" legislation is expected to encourage the hiring of disabled war veterans, Federal Home Loan Bank Review ispecially in industries already covered by these laws. So far, a t o t a l of 21 states has >rovided m a x i m u m weekly benefits of it least $20 for unemployed covered workers. In most states, m i n i m u m benefits were raised along with t h e ncrease in m a x i m u m benefits. The -ange between the two limits in t h e najority of states is about $10. In some cases, t h e period between appli3ation a n d granting of benefits was shortened. Under "second i n j u r y " legislation now in force in 25 states, should further or permanent disability befall a previously disabled employee, t h e employer becomes legally responsible only for t h e second injury. I n a d d i tion to the employer's compensation, the employee will be paid out of t h e second injury fund t h e remainder of compensation due for permanent t o t a l disability. The public looks at postwar housing Houses built after t h e war will be substantially different from prewar dwellings in b o t h design and appearance, in t h e belief of 56 percent of t h e n a t i o n ' s family heads. A survey conducted by t h e Curtis Publishing Co. further reveals t h a t 44 percent of these family heads will postpone either building or buying a home until they can get t h e housing features t h e y want. Most people, t h e s t u d y indicates, a r e primarily concerned with developm e n t s in t h e housing field which are b o t h practicable and structurally possible for t h e building industry t o acchieve. Gadgets and p u s h b u t t o n miracles still in t h e blueprint stages or untried by actual use don't interest t h e majority of potential home owners who were questioned. T h e reaction to prefabricated housing was varied: 17 percent of t h e people interviewed would consider prefab houses for fulltime homes while 58 percent would be interested in ready-made vacation homes. T h e prospects for economy a n d speed in erecting such houses appeal to prospective buyers b u t t h e s t u d y points o u t t h a t "continuous p r o d u c t improvem e n t " will be necessary t o spur and m a i n t a i n high sales volume for t h e manufacturer who plans to participate in the p e r m a n e n t dwelling market. July 1945 When asked to name t h e building development in which they were most interested, 19 percent of those interviewed chose new types of wall and floor construction; 18 percent, glass for structural purposes; 16 percent, modern kitchens; a n d 13 percent, plastics. As to style of architecture, opinion was fairly evenly distributed. Early American colonial was preferred by 19 percent; " b u n g a l o w " style by 17 percent, a n d " m o d e r n " by 12 percent. Lowell bank assists local veterans Embracing all its customers in t h e a r m e d forces, t h e Middlesex Cooperative Bank of Lowell, Massachusetts, has extended t h e 4-percent interest r a t e set b y t h e GI Bill of Rights t o all existing mortgage loans held by borrowers who now are or have been in service any t i m e during t h e present war. This b a n k is reported t o be t h e first lending institution in t h e country t o t a k e such a step. Lowrell veterans can find out about their rights and benefits under t h e GI Bill at a forum sponsored by t h e bank. Joining forces several nights a m o n t h in space provided by t h e Middlesex Bank, American Legion a n d b a n k officials meet w r ith veterans t o assist t h e m with financial a n d other readj u s t m e n t problems. New priorities assistance for home building Additional priorities assistance in t h e acquisition of a wider range of materials for housing construction has •recently been provided by t h e N H A a n d W P B . T h e action was m a d e effective b y an a m e n d m e n t to t h e War Housing Critical List—Schedule I of Preference R a t i n g Order P - 5 5 - c . T h e shortened a n d simplified schedule is based on t h e present critical position of materials a n d equipment essential to residential building. I t will be revised when changes in t h e supply situation w a r r a n t . Applications are to be m a d e to F H A field offices and approval will constit u t e authorization to begin construction under Order L - 4 1 . T h e new action permits t h e use of t h e A A - 3 rating a n d allotment symbols H - l , H - 2 or H - 3 assigned by t h e order for materials to be used in N H A approved projects, except as specifically prohibited or restricted by Schedules I and I I of t h e order. FOR THE FUTURE In the midst of war, many towns and communities are making their plans "For the Future" in order to have healthier, more attractive cities, and to provide employment for the returning servicemen and workers. From time to time, as information becomes available, the R E V I E W will publish accounts of some of these. St. Louis gets a new building code After seven years of work St. Louis has a new building code. T h e m a y o r recently signed t h e new code p u t t i n g into effect what is said to be one of t h e most up-to-date set of regulations in t h e country. More t h a n 200 members of t h e building a n d associated industries have contributed t o t h e finished product. Providing for t h e use of modern materials a n d more flexible building regulations, t h e 1945 code is expected to stimulate postwar construction in St. Louis. One special feature of t h e new charter is t h a t it does not n a m e specific materials to be used b u t instead sets fire resistance s t a n d a r d s for materials as recommended b y t h e National Board of Fire Underwriters, American S t a n d a r d s Association a n d similar national organizations. Springfield looks ahead I n t h e course of the p a s t year, t h e Greater Springfield a n d Clark County Association, a civic public participation group, organized a t o t a l of 23 separate s t u d y projects, each under t h e auspices of a committee, to arrive a t practical solutions of some of t h e city problems of Springfield, Ohio. F r o m membership dues of $1 a year and s u b stantial contributions by p r i v a t e industry, t h e association reports t h a t it has h a d no difficulty in financing its undertakings and, as of J u n e 1, 1945, could show a n unobligated balance of $15,000 in its treasury. N o t only has the committee been able t o furnish detailed reports on water projects, sewerage, traffic congestion a n d other studies, some of wThich now show tangible results, b u t it has also organized a Demobilized Veterans' Service. I n this l a t t e r p r o j ect, all groups in Springfield are p a r ticipating wdth t h e Association t o provide t h e veteran with free legal, medical, a n d insurance advice as well as vocational training a n d help. 295 RESIDENTIAL BUILDING ACTIVITY AND SELECTED INFLUENCING FACTORS 1935-1939=100 BY MONTHS BY YEARS INDEX 220 ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL VARIATION / k . / PRIVATE 200 1 8 2 FAMILY DWELL.UNITS j (FED. HOME LOAN BANK A D M . ) X U.S. C EPT DFLA B. RE CORD*3 180 i CONSTRUCTION^ ( / / .AI 160 / / 140 IV \ / 120 .*^« 5S.6 LN LEN D. V*sv< FED. HOM ELN. BK.A 100 80 / I A i ifVl" *..'*"x / / V 8 LN. LEWD. / —/ f /r \ V 60 >../* / /VsVGS. I /y / .* .J .PRIVATE CONSTRUCTION r_j i a e FAMILY DWELL.UNITS ./ \ N.^ ..«•'* -^ 40 [ ivu/vr«fTiw -^ 1 \ ^ FORECLOSURES 1 20 fNONFARM F'ORECLOSURES (FFD wniuiF i M R K AnM^ 1 0 140 - 1201- ¥r l\yS. tool V ^ • i f " ILDI M A 1 1 I 1 I i i i - r.trrr T- T- \AAT\ ~ P / / - I 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 r+r ,-»••' PFWT.q DEPT OF LABOR) • ^ 5 80\ 1 ^ - O U / L D H V G IWMJ err/ML r r r i i / c o *^ ~" 1 1 1 h M — RENTS ^ — 1 L PP l ^ f -. Oe (U. 5. DEF>T. OF LAB( DR) 1 1 60 280 1 I I 1 1 1 l 1 1 1 1 l ADJUSTED FOR SEASONAL 1 1 i 260 240 INDLISTRIAL PRODUC ;T/ON-*S 220 KFED. rttat KVt BUMfC 3) r l 1 1 VARIATION 1 fINDUSTRIAL !• 1 l 1*RODlJCTK)N ^•*"N. p».——s ^ -*"" *> *Nfcj . ,,— < f " 1 y "V/M COME; PAYMENl S i 200| / j > 180 / /J 160] I00\ — "*"••%. ••"••,.., MF6. EIVIPLO^fMEN TS / INCOME PAYMENTS v/ *r (U.S. DEPT OF C O M M E R C E ) ^ >;-.. 80 60 '* t 140] 120 •••••••., •••**" "... "•\; ...•••• (&*' ^ j£ v _ V ^\ -MFG. EMPLOYMENT (US. DEPT OF LABOR) 11 1 1 I WAR SAVINGS BONDS , N D EXWHOLESALE 1 1 1 1 I i i i 1 1944 1943 1930 '31 '32 *33 *34 '35 '36 '37 *38 *39 '40 '41 '42 '43 '44 l ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1945 DEPARTMENT STORE SALES COMMODITY PRICES 180 1935-1939 = 100 A \ ^ BUILDING MATERIALS-^ . 1< J - / " As^ ^ A < 'I ^^r ALL INDUSTRIAL' IIIIIMIMIMIIIII 296 III l l l l M l M l III., l i l t . . nl.ilnlii ,,!,:!,,:, ILli-JuJU- Federal Home Loan Bank Review « « « MONTHLY S U R V E Y » > > HIGHLIGHTS /. Cutbacks resulted in a 4-point decline in the industrial production index which in May dropped to 227 percent of the average, 1935-1939 II. Total building activity showed no change from April, on the basis of an 18-percent increase in private construction offset by a decline in publicly financed building. II. New loans of approximately $163,000,000 were made by all savings and loan associations during May—6 percent more than April and 23 percent above May 1944. A. Home purchase loans continued to account for three-fourths of total savings and loan activity. B. Construction lending increased 37 percent above the April volume and was 78 percent more than in May 1944. V. During May, nonfarm mortgage recordings of $20,000 or less reached a new peak of $487,435,000. percent above the April volume and 20 percent more than the total in May of last year. V. Repayments of $7,423,000 and advances of $6,307,000 the end of May to $50,924,000. in This represented a gain of 7 dropped the total of Federal Home Loan Bank advances outstanding at VI. Assets of all insured associations rose 2 percent to $5,292,000,000 at the end of May. ft ft ft BUSINESS CONDITIONS—Seventh War Loan exceeds goal Despite optimism generated by VE Day and increasingly favorable news from the Pacific war zones, sales in the Seventh War Loan had soared to $26,313,000,000, or 88 percent above the goal of $14,000,000,000, when the drive ended July 9. Although individuals invested a total of $8,681,000,000 (preliminary figure), or 24 percent over their original quota, E bond sales lagged at $3,976,000,000—only 99 percent of the goal set for these purchasers. During May the nation's expenditures for war increased to $8,159,000,000 from the April figure of $7,139,000,000. This was considerably more than the $7,879,000,000 spent in May 1944, just before our forces invaded Europe. Industrial activity continued to decline slightly in May, dropping to 227 percent of the 1935-1939 average shown by the Federal Reserve Board's seasonally adjusted index, as compared with 231 percent in April. Manufactures fell 5 points from the April figure of 247 percent. The change was confined to durable goods, including war production, where the range was from 336 in April to 327 in May. Nondurable manufactures during May remained stationary at 174 percent of the 19351939 average output. The production of minerals also slackened, dropping from 140 percent in April to 138 percent in May. Most of the decrease in industrial production reflected cutbacks in procurement of military supplies. July 1945 Toward the end of June, WPB announced it had approved 754 applications for preference ratings for reconversion equipment and construction. Nearly one-fourth of the approvals went to the automotive industry, followed in order by manufacturers of domestic mechanical refrigerators, furniture and finished lumber products. In May the Federal Reserve Board's seasonally adjusted index of department store sales rose to 187 percent of the 1935-1939 base, after a drop to 181 in April. The trend in early June continued upward as the index climbed from 169 for the week ending June 2 to 196 in the week of June 9. Although the size of the labor force in the United States increased by 100,000 in May, the Bureau of the Census reported that the 52,030,000 workers potentially available during that month represented a drop of 810,000 from May 1944. Non-agricultural occupations in May claimed 43,350,000 workers, a decrease of 60,000 from April. Unemployment slid from a total of 770,000 in April to 730,000 persons in May. [1935-1939=100] May 1945 65.1 108.3 131.0 215.7 227. 0 156.3 242.8 April 1945 Percent change 48.9 + 3 3 . 1 108.3 0.0 130.8 +0.2 208.5 +3.5 231.0 -1.7 r 158. 2 -1.2 ' 242. 3} + 0 . 2 May 1944 49.5 108.1 129.2 175.3 236.0 171.6 232.1 Percent change +31.5 +0.2 +1.4 +23.0 -3.8 -8.9 +4.6 r Revised. Adjusted for normal seasonal variation. 1 297 BUILDING ACTIVITY—Continued increase in private construction Total residential construction activity in urban areas of the United States continued in May at the same level as in April. According to data compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, permits were issued or Federal contracts awarded during May for the construction of 12,490 family dwelling units, only one more than in the preceding month. Privately financed construction, however, continued its recovery from the low level of less than 5,000 units reached in December 1944, permits being issued during May for 11,207 units compared with 9,530 in April—an increase of 18 percent. This gain was offset by a drop from 2,959 in April to 1,283 during May in the number of publicly financed units placed under contract. During the first five months of this year a total of 43,400 dwelling units were provided in all urban areas: 39,100 by private funds and 4,300 by public money. In total, this represented a drop of about 9,550 units, or 18 percent, from the 52,940 provided in the same months of 1944. More than half of this decline occurred in public construction. [TABLES 1 and 2.] RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION THOUSNEW and labor contributing to this increase with gains o 1.5 and 2.3 percent, respectively. Of the 16 cities for which construction costs wer< reported in June, 10 have increased, 4 showed n( change, and 2 indicated slight declines from the las reporting period. According to Department of Labor data, wholesale prices of building materials moved fractionally upward during May to 131.0 percent (1935-1939=100; after a standstill in April. During the past 1^ months, the index has risen 1.4 percent, reflecting the advance in all components except plumbing anc heating and structural steel items which remainec at the May 1944 level. [TABLES 3, 4, and 5.] Construction costs for the standard house [Average month of 1935-1939=100] Element of cost Material Labor Total r May 1945 April 1945 Percent change Mav 1944 Perceni change 132. 3 140. 5 r 132. 1 140. 6 + 0. 2 -0. 1 130. 3 137. 3 + 1. 1 + 2. 3 135. 0 '135. 0 0.0 132. 7 + 1.7 Revised. MORTGAGE LENDING—Volume continued upward URBAN AREAS - NO. OF DWELL. UNITS 1942 19*3 1944 1945 BUILDING COSTS—Total unchanged in M a y During May, the index of total construction costs for the FHLBA standard house remained unchanged from the revised April level of 135.0 (1935-1939 = 100). A small advance to 132.3 in material prices, offset by a fractional decrease to 140.5 in labor costs, accounted for this stability. I n comparison with May 1944, total costs rose 1.7 percent, both materials 298 May was the third consecutive month in which the dollar volume of new mortgage loans made by the savings and loan industry has exceeded that made in any other month since the twenties. On the basis of monthly reports received, it is estimated that all operating associations made about $163,000,000 of new loans, an increase of 6 percent over the April total of $154,000,000 and a gain of 23 percent above the May 1944 volume. The largest amount of new loans made by these institutions in any 1941 month was $134,000,000. The increase in May 1945 was almost universal, only the Chicago District reporting a smaller volume of new loans than in April. In the remaining areas, gains ranged from as much as 17 percent in New York to 2 percent in Cincinnati. The increase in savings and loan lending from a year ago was general in all parts of the country. Advances varied from as high as 48 percent in the New York District to as low as 7 percent in the Des Moines region. The gradual rise in privately financed residential construction activity from the extremely low levels of last winter was reflected in a moderate increase in Federal Home Loan Bank Review N e w mortgage loans distributed b y purpose [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Construction. H o m e purchase Refinancing Reconditioning Other purposes $13, 120, 15, 3, 10, Percent change April 1945 May 1945 Purpose 032 244 887 396 520 $9, 541 + 36. 6 $7, 338 + 77. 6 + 5. 8 98, 872 + 21. 6 113,684 - 5 . 4 14, 415 + 10.2 16, 800 2, 951 + 15. 1 2,967 + 14. 5 - 2 . 4 8,931 + 17. 8 10, 778 + 6. 1 132, 523 + 23. 1 163, 079 153, 754 Total Percent change Mav 1944 MORTGAGE RECORDINGS-May the dollar volume of construction loans by savings and loan associations. The $13,000,000 of such loans made during May, although representing only 8 percent of total new loans during the month, exceeded the April volume of construction loans by 37 percent and was 78 percent above the May 1944 volume. However, loans for the purchase of existing homes, which amounted to approximately $120,000,000 in May, continued to account for about threefourths of total savings and loan lending. TOTAL LOANS MADE BY ALL SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS M _ UNITED STATES-BY TYPE OF ASSOCIATION | 1rOTAL (ALL »SSOCIAT ONS)X uFEDERALS . j * s& ~S*** "\TE CHARTER• ^ MEMl 1ERS s / V r NONMEMBB7?S-^ , , 1 1 DEC. MAR. JUN. I SEP. 1943 1 | DEC. 1 MAR. In the first five months of this year new loans aggregating about $667,000,000 were made by all associations, an increase of 21 percent over the estimated $550,000,000 reported in the like period of 1944. With the exception of construction loans, which dropped 25 percent in this cumulative comparison, all types of loans contributed to the rise. "Other" purpose loans gained 30 percent; home purchase, 27 percent; refinancing, 14 percent; and reconditioning, 12 percent. [TABLES 6 and 7.] activity set new high for series Nonfarm mortgages of $20,000 or less recorded during May totaled $487,435,000. Thus, for the second consecutive month, the dollar volume of these recordings continued its rise to new heights for the series (started in 1939). Recordings in May were about 7 percent greater than those reported in April and 20 percent above the total indicated for May of last year. Cumulative through the first five months of 1945, more than $2,000,000,000 of mortgages were recorded by all lenders, a sum 18 percent greater than that noted for the like period of 1944. The average size of such mortgages recorded during the current year was $3,360. For the month of May, the average was $3,398, about 7 percent above the average of $3,187 recorded in May 1944. Again, all types of lenders with the exception of life insurance companies recorded a greater volume of mortgages during May 1945 than in the corresponding month of the previous year. Proportionately, the largest percentage increase was shown by M o r t g a g e recordings b y t y p e of mortgagee 1 1 1 1 JUN. 1 SEP. 1 DEC. 1 i 1 MAR. 1944 1 1 1 JUN. 1945 SEP. DEC [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] UNITED STATES-BY PURPOSE OF LOAN BY MONTHS T y p e of, lender PerPerCumucent cent lative of change recordM a y from ings (5 April 1945 months) 1945 a m o u n t Savings a n d loan associations + 9. 7 + 8. 8 Banks, t r u s t companies. _ + 2. 6 M u t u a l savings banks + 21. 1 Individuals + 6.0 Others + 3. 5 Total July 1945 + 6. 9 Percent of total recordings 3 5 . 4 $703, 619 4. 4 95, 762 18.7 388, 814 71, 103 3.9 25. 8 551, 981 1 1 . 8 258, 558 34. 0 4. 6 18. 8 3.4 26. 7 12. 5 100.0 2,069,837 100. 0 299 individuals with recordings 31 percent higher than May 1944. Mutual savings banks experienced the second largest rise, up 28 percent. Recordings by savings and loan associations were 23 percent higher than in May of last year. [TABLES 8 and 9.] FHLB SYSTEM—Advances doubled, repayments dropped Reaching the lowest point since June 1933, the total balance of advances outstanding for all F H L Banks at the close of May was $50,924,000. This represented a drop of $1,116,000 from the April balance of $52,040,000, shared in by 9 of the 12 Banks. Only Des Moines, Winston-Salem and Boston carried larger outstanding balances than they had in April. The May balance fell 29 percent, or $20,682,000, below that for the same month the year before. Current advances for the entire Bank System rose to $6,307,000 in May, more than twice those of $3,061,000 in April of this year, and 60 percent over the $3,939,000 advanced in May 1944. Only three Banks reported smaller advances during May than in the preceding month. Portland made none at all in May as compared with $130,000 in April, while Topeka experienced an 82-percent drop to $20,000 from $113,000 in April. The Chicago advances fell to $1,173,000 in May, or 17 percent beneath the April total of $1,417,000. For the fifth consecutive month, repayments declined during May to $7,423,000, or 39 percent below those made by all Banks in April. The May figure was slightly less than one-half as large as the May 1944 total of $14,978,000. Only 2 of the 12 Banks in the System ran counter to the general trend of smaller repayments during the month. Member institutions in the Cincinnati District repaid $877,000 in May, a 47-percent increase over the April total of $595,000, while the Topeka Bank received over five times the April repayments— going from $86,000 to $441,000. [TABLE 12.] F L O W OF PRIVATE REPTJRCHASABLE CAPITAL During May, gross receipts of private savings by all operating savings and loan associations approximated $162,000,000 and withdrawals, about $82,000,000. The resulting excess of savings receipts over withdrawals by investors added about $80,000,000 to the private repurchasable capital of these institutions, compared with a net addition of about $75,000,000 during the preceding month. The greater net 300 inflow of savings during May came not from an increase in gross receipts, which were only slightly less than in April, but from a $5,000,000 decline in withdrawals. The net inflow of private savings during May—$80,000,000—was $3,000,000 greater than in the same month of last year. During the first five months of this year, approximately $888,000,000 of private savings was invested in savings and loan associations, about 21 percent more than in the same months of 1944. Withdrawals through May of this year amounted to an estimated $500,000,000, resulting in a net increase of $388,000,000 in the amount of private savings held by these institutions. During the first five months of 1944, savings receipts exceeded withdrawals by approximately $306,000,000. Share investments and repurchases, May 1945 [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] All insured associations All associations I t e m and period Uninsured members Share investments: 1st 5 mos. 1945_ __ $887, 982 $723, 388 $103, 1st 5 mos. 1944 732, 932 565, 363 100, Percent change + 21 + 28 162, 084 130, 182 20, M a y 1945 141, 024 109, 049 Mav 1944 19, Percent change + 19 + 15 Repurchases: 1st 5 mos. 1945 1st 5 mos. 1944 Percent change May 1945 M a y 1944 Percent change Nonmembers 769 $60, 825 029 67, 540 -10 +4 925 10, 977 623 12, 352 -11 +7 $500, 459 $387, 201 $69, 603 $43, 655 426, 517 314, 217 65, 920 46, 380 + 23 + 17 +6 -6 82, 091 62, 980 12, 883 6,228 _ 63, 676 44, 403 10, 881 8,392 + 42 + 29 + 18 -26 Repurchase ratio (percent) : 1st 5 mos. 1945 1st 5 mos. 1944 Mav 1945_ Mav 1944 56. 58. 50. 45. 4 2 6 2 53. 55. 48. 40. 5 6 4 7 67. 65. 61. 55. 1 9 6 5 71. 8 68.7 56. 7 67.9 INSURED ASSOCIATIONS—Total resources showed moderate gain The 2,469 insured savings and loan associations had $5,292,000,000 in assets at the close of May. Federals, numbering 1,466, held about $3,338,000,000 while the 1,003 insured state chartered associations had approximately $1,954,000,000 in total resources. The over-all increase for the month amounted to $87,500,000. For the third consecutive month the private capital balance of insured associations went up approxiFederal Home Loan Bank Review mately $70,000,000. Since the beginning of the year private capital accounts have increased $345,000,000, or 8 percent, bringing the balance at the end of M a y to $4,678,000,000. On M a y 31,1945, private repurchasable capital made up over 88 percent of total resources while a year before 86 percent of the total represented private accounts. Insured associations made new loans of $121,800,000 during the month, a 25-percent increase over M a y 1944 when credit amounting to $97,500,000 was extended for first mortgage loans. [TABLE 13.] FEDERAL SAVINGS AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS At the end of May, Federally chartered associations had $2,988,000,000 on their books in private capital accounts, a $227,500,000 increase (or 8 percent) since the beginning of the year. These accounts made up 89.5 percent of total resources compared with 87.5 percent a year ago. Federals extended $75,600,000 for new loans during May, while a year ago $59,200,000 of new money was loaned. Progress in number and assets of Federals [Dollar a m o u n t s are shown in thousands] Number Approximate assets Class of association M a y 31, April 30, 1945 1945 632 834 New Converted T o t a L _ _ __ 1,466 May 31, 1945 April 30, 1945 632 $1, 134, 934 $1, 113,484 833 2, 202, 714 2, 167, 022 1,465 3, 337, 648 3, 280, 506 Banks {Continued from p. 290) or 14 percent, compared with a 9-percent advance in 1943 and about 1 percent the prior year. Of the $1,770,000,000 increase shown in 1944, approximately $145,000,000 was not offset by gains in deposit liability. Mutual savings banks, like savings and loan associations, have shown an increasing emphasis on their Government bond account. Last year the proportion of these obligations increased from 46 to 56 percent of total assets on the basis of a $2,400,000,000 gain which brought the total to $8,303,000,000. According to the National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, "besides direct distribution to the public, mutual savings banks have diverted about 55 percent of deposits to standard Government issues/' July 194S Again following the pattern that has been characteristic of savings and loan associations, the cash account of mutual savings banks declined in 1944 after remaining relatively stable from 1942 to 1943. At last year-end the percentage of cash to assets was down to 3.9 from 5.8 percent. The surplus and undivided profits account increased $114,000,000 during 1944 and amounted to $1,368,000,000 on December 31. However, the large increase in assets meant that this account represented fractionally less of total assets—9.3 percent in 1944 compared with 9.8 the year before. Membership of Advisory Council • T H E Federal Home Loan Bank Administration has recently announced the election and appointment of members of the Federal Savings and Loan Advisory Council. These members will serve for the period ending M a y 27, 1946. Elected: Boston: R a y m o n d P. Harold, Worcester Federal Savings a n d Loan Association, Worcester, Massachusetts (re-elected). New York: J. Alston Adams, Westfield Federal Savings a n d Loan Association, Westfield, N e w Jersey (re-elected). Pittsburgh: J a m e s J. O'Malley, First Federal Savings a n d Loan Association of Wilkes-Barre, Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania (re-elected). Winston-Salem: F r a n k Muller, Jr., Liberty Federal Savings a n d Loan Association, Baltimore, Maryland. Cincinnati: W m . Megrue Brock, T h e Gem City Building a n d Loan Association, D a y t o n , Ohio (re-elected). Indianapolis: Walter Gehrke, First Federal Savings a n d Loan Association, Detroit, Michigan (re-elected). Chicago: Earl S. Larson, First Federal Savings a n d Loan Association, Moline, Illinois. Des Moines: J o h n F . Scott, Minnesota Federal Savings a n d Loan Association, St. Paul, Minnesota. Little Rock: J. J. Miranne, Security Building a n d Loan Association, N e w Orleans, Louisiana (re-elected). Topeka: R a y H . Babbitt, H o m e Building a n d Loan Association of Lawton, Lawton, Oklahoma (re-elected). Portland: S. S. Selak, Prudential Savings a n d Loan Association, Seattle, Washington. Los Angeles: Douglas H . Driggs, Western Savings a n d Loan Association, Phoenix, Arizona. Appointed: Horace S. H a w o r t h , Roberson, H a w o r t h & Reese, High Point, N o r t h Carolina. H a r r y S. Kissell, Kissell Companies, Springfield, Ohio. H e n r y G. Zander, Jr., H e n r y G. Zander & Company, Chicago, Illinois. Robert E. Lee Hill, Missouri Bankers Association, Sedalia, Missouri. Ben A. Perham, P e r h a m F r u i t Company, Yakima, Washington. 301 Table 1 - B U I L D I N G A C T I V I T Y — E s t i m a t e d number and valuation of new family dwelling units provided in all urban areas in M a y 1945, by Federal Home Loan Bank District and by State [Source: C. S. Department of Labor] [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] All p r i v a t e 1- a n d 2-family s t r u c t u r e s All residential s t r u c t u n?s N u m b e r of family dwelling u n i t s Federal Home Loan B a n k District and State Permit valuation N u m b e r of family dwelling u n i t s Permit valuation May 1945 May 1944 10, 923 $46,313 $33,301 10,436 176 1,237 500 320 124 J 90 22 60 2 2 170 13 222 6 826 302 48 145 1 4 35 6 74 3 202 46 j 14 60 2 i 2 370 59 1, 557 190 285 39 1,333 140 94 276 42 17 383 1,174 130 1 90 195 22 17 378 955 80 60 N o . 3—Pittsburgh 123 457 352 1,473 1 97 445 303 1,458 Delaware Pennsylvania W e s t Virginia 2 85 36 16 424 17 3 288 61 481,414 2 59 36 16 412 17 3 239 61 48 1,399 11 1,289 1,379 3,580 89 165 1,149 800 65 22 1,843 1,282 103 59 509 145 8 154 49 149 818 82 23 256 261 18 40 18 120 3,779 86 58 424 348 22 40 18 383 4,156 146 328 1,783 422 21 497 92 867 1,176 107 83 540 161 8 162 49 179 137 268 1,673 376 21 481 92 731 78 95 630 522 56 22 8 432 1,149 52 826 271 £08 45 611 252 5,332 122 4,478 732 3,533 75 2,677 781 797 44 490 263 802 41 509 252 3, 951 96 3,146 709 3,130 63 2,286 781 1,085 253 832 1,109 266 843 6,309 1,139 5,170 4,202 1,014 3,188 1,025 229 796 753 266 487 6,214 1,094 5,120 3,279 1,014 2,265 N o . 7—Chicago Illinois Wisconsin 717 405 312 751 692 59 3,218 1,847 1,371 3,217 2,966 251 542 743 688 55 2, 558 1,624 934 3,190 358 184 N o . 8—Des M o i n e s Iowa... Minnesota. . . . Missouri North Dakota South Dakota 412 25 266 62 23 36 87 18 21 32 6 10 1,716 90 1,297 152 102 145 32 45 57 8 3 396 25 250 62 23 36 67 18 21 12 6 10 1,673 90 1,254 152 75 102 94 32 43 8 8 3 2,202 2,686 34 971 121 22 1,538 5,012 137 1,661 159 84 2,971 5,976 44 2,867 53 8 3,004 2,155 1,405 34 239 121 22 989 4,905 88 618 128 56 1,265 137 1,661 158 84 2.865 2,382 44 575 53 8 1,702 751 415 137 53 146 367 78 68 63 158 2,402 1, 434 292 222 454 1, 052 229 210 262 351 687 351 137 53 146 343 62 68 55 158 2,220 1,252 292 222 454 998 195 210 242 351 734 599 3,177 2,143 706 47 25 151 161 214 1 241 149 811 147 1, 731 98 140 119 506 590 787 1 60 38 198 51 340 19 557 47~ 25 139 131 214 1 3,108 241 132 811 145 1,691 88 1,955 60 50 198 55 348 23 2, 345 30 1 2, 312 | 3 11, 845 476 I 11,235 134 7, 290 62 7, 218 10 2,250 117 2,100 33 9,483 439 1 8,910 134 6,126 62 6,054 10 U N I T E D STATES N o . 1—Boston Connecticut, Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire R h o d e Island Vermont .. N o . 2—New r Y o r k N e w Jersey New York ... -.. . N o . 4—Winston-Salem Alabama D i s t r i c t of C o l u m b i a Florida Georgia Maryland I N o r t h Carolina S o u t h Carolina Virginia N o . 5—Cincinnati Kentucky Ohio Tennessee .. N o . 6—Indianapolis Indiana, Michigan .. _ ... ._ . . ... . . _ .... N o . 9—Little R o c k Arkansas Louisiana M i s s i s s i p p i . __ . N e w Mexico . . . . Texas ._.___._ N o . 10—Topeka Colorado Kansas Nebraska Oklahoma N o . 11—Portland Idaho Montana Oregon Utah Washington Wyoming N o . 12—Los Angeles Arizona ... California Nevada 302 May 1945 May 1944 12,490 338 35 6 86 3 208 88 618 132 56 1,308 . .. _ .. . . . . . . . . . ... . ... _ . . . ... ... 3,320 132 3,155 33 60 1 11 1 8 May 1945 May 1944 May 1945 7,937 1,841 30 1,808 i 3 $40,731 1,204 170 13 214 I 6 801 May 1944 $24, 953 358 193 16 144 1 4 2,948 242 140 119 447 460 788 1 Federal Home Loan Bank Review Table 2 . — B U I L D I N G A C T I V I T Y — E s t i m a t e d number and valuation of new family dwelling units provided in all urban areas of the United States [Source: U. S, Department of Labor] [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] N u m b e r ot family d w elling u n i t s April 1945 May 1945 P r i v a t e construction . .. 1-family dwellings 2-family d w e l l i n g s ' ... 3- a n d more-familv dwellings 1 1945 1944 May 1945 April 1945 May 1944 1945 1944 11, 207 9,530 9,743 39, 074 43, 375 $42, 920 $32, 722 $29.791 $127, 066 $136,930 7,062 864 1,604 6,981 956 1,806 31, 336 3,275 4,463 32, 680 4,510 6,185 37, 583 3,148 2,189 25, 767 2,546 4,409 21, 801 3,152 4,838 104, 422 10, 724 11,920 103, 669 15, 272 17,989 _ .... . . . 1,283 2,959 1,180 4,314 9,567 3,393 7,080 3, 510 5,789 22, 344 ._ _ 12, 490 12, 489 10,923 43. 388 52, 942 46, 313 39, 802 33, 301 132, 855 159, 274 Public construction. _ 2 May 1944 January-May totals M o n t h l y totals 9, 503 933 771 2 Total urban construction. January-May totals M o n t h l y tot lis T y p e of construction Permit valuation Includes 1- and 2-family dwellings combined with stores. Includes multi-family dwellings combined with stores. Table 3 , — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of building costs for the standard house in representative cities in specific months 1 [Average month of 1935-1939=100] 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 June June June June June F e d e r a l H o m e Loan B a n k District a n d c i t y June N o . 1—Boston: Hartford, Conn.*... P o r t l a n d , M a i n e *.. B o s t o n , Mass.* M a n c h e s t e r , X . H.* . . _. . . . . . N o . 4—Winston-Salem: B i r m i n g h a m , Ala.* . . . __ . . Washington, D . C * .. A t l a n t a , Ga.* . Baltimore, Md.* ... ... R i c h m o n d , Va.* .. _ N o . 7—Chicago: Chicago, 111.* M i l w a u k e e , Wis.* N o . 10—Topeka: D e n v e r , Colo.* W i c h i t a , Kans.* O m a h a , Nebr.* O k l a h o m a C i t y , Okla.* . . . ... . .. ._ _ ... . . . . . . . _ . _ _ . _. _ . __ __. Mar. Dec. Sept. June 136.8 152.5 133.6 127.1 141.9 136.8 152.5 133.4 127.1 141.8 136.5 152.4 133.2 124.4 141.4 135.2 151.4 133.2 124. 2 139.7 135.1 148.2 132.8 120.0 138.6 128.2 134.7 126.9 114.3 128.7 128. 6 122.9 123.9 108.4 120.7 114.4 109v4 112.4 101.5 111.8 103.1 98.9 104.0 98.1 105.2 100.1 99.6 100.9 98.8 104.0 128.6 153.7 145.7 150.5 133.5 128.5 153.9 145.8 150.2 133.5 128.5 153.6 146.4 150.1 133.1 128.4 153.6 143.8 148.8 130.2 126.5 152.2 142.5 148.8 130.2 118.8 143.3 130.1 141.3 120.7 115.8 136.5 122.7 128.7 115.1 107.1 119.4 113.9 114.5 106.5 r 98.1 104.3 96.5 '103.9 95.7 r 98.1 102.9 95.5 r 100.8 98.0 113.0 144.4 112.8 142.3 112.8 142.4 112.4 142.1 112.4 142.3 109.9 131.5 107.1 124.4 100.3 114.3 99.6 108.4 100.6 107.0 128.2 136.7 137.3 151.4 128.0 135. 9 136.3 151.3 125.3 135.9 134. 5 151. 3 122.8 135.7 134.0 149.4 122.5 134.4 133.3 149.4 112.9 129.0 126.3 133.3 112.2 125.5 125.5 127.7 103.5 114.7 111.8 119.4 96.8 105.9 106.4 108.8 101.4 108.0 100.3 104.3 r *Indexes of June 1941 and thereafter have been revised in order to use retail material prices collected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Revised. This index is designed to measure the changes in the costs of constructing a standard frame house and to provide a basis for the study of the trend of costs within an individual community or in different cities. The various units of materials and labor are selected in accordance with their contribution to the total cost of the completed dwelling. Material costs are based on prices for a limited bill of the more important items. Current prices are furnished by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and are based on information from a group of dealers in each city who report on prices for material delivered to job site, in average quantities, for residential construction. Because of wartime conditions, some of the regular items are not available at times and, therefore, substitutions must be made of similar products which are being sold in the current market. Labor costs are based on prevailing rates for residential construction and reflect total earnings, including overtime and bonus pay. Either union or nonunion rates are used according to which prevails in the majority of cases within the community. Figures presented in this table include all revisions up to the present time. Revisions are unavoidable, however, as more complete information is obtained and becomes available for inclusion in this table. Cities in FHLB Districts 2, 6, 8, and 11 report in January, April, July, and October of each year; those in Districts 3, 5, 9 and 12 report in February, May, August and November; and those in Districts 1, 4, 7 and 10 report in March, June, September and December. r 1 July 1945 303 Table 4 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of building costs (or the standard house [Average month of 1935-1939=100] M a y 1945 A p r . 1945 M a r . 1945 Feb.1945 J a n . 1945 D e c . 1944 N o v . 1944 E l e m e n t of cost Material Labor __ Total p Oct. 1944 Sept. 1944 A u g . 1944 J u l y 1944 J u n e 1944 M a y 1944 132.3 140. 5 132.1 ' 140. 6 r 132. 1 ' 140.3 131.9 140.1 131.7 140.1 131.5 140.0 131.5 139.9 131.3 139.1 131.2 138.5 131.3 137.3 131.0 137.3 130.7 137.5 lc0.3 137.3 135.0 ' 135.9 134.8 ' 134.7 134.5 134.4 134.4 133.9 133.7 133.3 133.1 133.0 132.7 Revised. Table 5 . — B U I L D I N G COSTS—Index of wholesale prices of building materials in the United States [Source: U. S. Department of Labor] [1935-1939=100; converted from 1926 base] All b u i l d i n g materials Period 1943: M a y 1944: M a y June July August September October November December.. .._ _ __ _ 1945: J a n u a r y February March April May .__ . __. _ . _ . . Percent chance: M a y 1945-April 1945 M a y 1945-May 1944 r __ _ ._.. . Brick a n d tile Paint and paint materials Lumber Cement Plumbing and heating Structural steel Other 123.4 108.8 103.1 ' 153.8 125.7 118.8 103.5 109.7 129.2 129.4 129.4 129.5 129.5 129.9 130.0 130.0 110.6 110.7 110.8 110.8 111.7 115.3 115.6 115.9 105.8 105.8 105.8 105.8 106.3 107.0 107.2 107.0 171.5 171.5 171.7 171.9 171.5 171.3 171.3 171.3 128.7 130.0 129.7 129.7 129.7 130.3 130.7 130.7 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 103.5 111.4 111.4 111.5 111.6 111.7 111.7 111.7 111.7 130.4 130.6 130.8 130.8 131.0 121.5 121.6 121.8 121.7 121.8 106.9 108.7 109.1 109.1 109.1 171.3 171.4 171.3 171.4 171.9 130.7 130.8 130.7 130.7 130.8 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 121.4 103.5 103.5 103.5 103. 5 103.5 111.9 112.0 112.3 112.3 112.6 +0.2 +1.4 +0.1 +10.1 0.0 +3.1 +0.3 +0.2 +0.1 +1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 +0.3 +1.1 Revised. Table 6 . — M O R T G A G E LENDING—Estimated volume of new home mortgage loans by all savings and loan associations, by purpose and class of association [Thousands of dollars] P u r p o s e of loans Class of association Period 1943 Home purchase Refinancing $106,497 $802,371 $167,254 $30,441 $77,398 $1,183,961 $511,757 $539,299 $132,905 39,231 260,053 68,675 11,087 28,544 407, 590 172, 358 185,959 49, 273 9,039 67,826 14, 843 2,606 6,176 100, 490 41, 835 47, 818 10,837 95,243 1,064,017 163,813 30,751 100,228 1,454,052 669,433 648,670 135,949 49,016 387, 424 64, 259 11, 393 38, 346 550,438 251, 377 244,634 54,427 . 7,338 9,663 7,078 7,589 5,923 6,095 4,635 5,244 98,872 103, 276 93,232 105,050 101,884 101,461 90,182 81,508 14,415 14,963 13,871 14,152 14,495 15,253 13,265 13,555 2,967 2,957 2,841 3,067 3,160 2,699 2,507 2,127 8,931 9,850 8,014 8,816 8,993 9,720 7,785 8,704 132,523 140,709 125,036 138,674 134,455 135,228 118,374 111,138 59,229 64,474 57,164 64,400 63,489 61,965 54,978 51,586 60,141 63,851 56,639 61,377 59,162 60,945 52,241 49,921 13,153 12,384 11,333 12,897 11,804 12,318 11,155 9,631 .._ 36,832 493,870 73,300 12,768 49, 854 666,624 312, 751 293, 591 60, 282 3,772 3,081 ,7,406 '9,541 13,032 76,495 78,140 105,307 113,684 120, 244 12,167 12,524 15,922 16,800 15,887 1,868 1,994 2,559 2,951 3,396 7,999 10,270 10,287 10, 778 10, 520 102,301 106,009 141,481 153, 754 163,079 46,439 49,900 69,430 71,375 75, 607 46,452 46,575 60,688 67,955 71,921 9,410 9,534 11,363 14,424 15,551 : May .- - 1944 . . _. January-May May. June July.. August September October November December... _ _ __ _ _ ___ _ 1945 J a n u a r y - M a y . .._ . January February March April May 304 ._ _ _ L o a n s for all o t h e r purposes Construction _ January-May _ Reconditioning Total loans Federals State members Nonmembers Federal Home Loan Bank Review Table 7.—LENDING—Estimated volume of new loans by savings and loan associations Table 8.—RECORDINGS—Estimated nonfarm mortgage recordings, $20,000 and under MAY 1945 [Thousands of dollars! [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] C u m u l a t i v e n e w loans (5 m o n t h s ) N e w loans Federal H o m e Loan B a n k District and class of association May 1945 fed Federal State m e m b e r . . Nonmember Boston Federal-. State m e m b e r Nonmember __ New York Federal State m e m b e r . . . Nonmember Pittsburgh.. Federal State member Nonmember Winston-Salem Federal State member Nonmember Cincinnati Federal . State member Nonmember.. . __ __ Federal State member Nonmember Chicago Federal.. State member Nonmember.. . Federal.. . State m e m b e r . . Nonmember.Little Rock F e d e r a l . . __ . . . State member Nonmember ... ._ _ Topeka Federal-. State m e m b e r Nonmember.. Portland May 1944 1945 Percent change 1944 +21.1 $163,079 $153, 754 $132, 523 $666, 624 $550,438 U N I T E D STATES Indianapolis. April 1945 . . Federal . State m e m b e r . _ _ Nonmember ___ Los Angeles F e d e r a l __ . _. _ __ State member. _ _ July 194S 75, 607 71, 921 15,551 71, 375 67,955 14, 424 59,229 312, 751 251, 377 60,141 293, 591 244, 634 13,153 60, 282 54, 427 +24.4 +20.0 +10.8 11,782 11, 384 10, 439 43. 434 36,880 +17.8 4,940 5,242 1,600 4,118 5,791 1,475 3,757 5,431 1, 251 17, 746 20, 524 5,164 12, 807 19,050 5,023 +38.6 +7.7 +2.8 17, 680 15, 062 11,964 63, 811 43, 490 +46.7 6,263 7,990 3,427 5, 491 6,913 2,658 3,551 6,115 2,298 22, 334 30,141 11, 336 12,134 23,292 8,064 +84.1 +29.4 +40.6 14, 989 13, 674 10, 534 56, 773 46, 290 +22.6 6,655 5,272 3,062 6,271 4,757 2,646 4,915 3,557 2,062 26,124 19, 911 10, 738 21, 253 15, 096 9,941 +22.9 +31.9 +8.0 19, 868 18, 721 14, 904 83, 227 66, 979 +24.3 10, 433 8,366 1,069 9,800 7,840 1,081 7,965 6,026 913 44, 450 34, 206 4,571 36, 348 26, 694 3,937 +22.3 +28.1 +16.1 27, 445 27, 011 24, 806 110, 245 93, 719 +17. 6 11, 963 13, 673 1,809 11, 576 13, 419 2,016 9,990 12, 520 2,296 47, 829 54,849 7,567 37, 723 47, 452 8,544 +26.8 +15.6 -11.4 9,475 8,530 7,387 38,116 30, 362 +25.5 5,149 3,860 466 4,553 3,478 499 3,509 3,496 382 20, 010 16,150 1,956 14, 559 14, 358 1,445 +37.4 +12.5 +35.4 17, 982 18, 555 15, 550 75, 474 61, 648 +22.4 7,555 9,124 1,303 7,949 8,984 1,622 6,315 7,922 1,313 31, 787 37, 535 6,152 25, 456 30, 595 5,597 +24.9 +22.7 +9.9 9,157 8,835 8,553 39,116 32, 923 +18.8 4,951 3,151 1,055 4,661 3,239 935 4,449 2,960 1,144 19, 784 14,183 5,149 16,156 12,162 4,605 +22. 5 +16.6 +11.8 7,276 6, 267 6,476 33,184 32, 203 +3.0 3,405 3,751 120 3,193 2,994 80 3,134 3,275 67 16,311 16, 423 450 12, 981 18, 862 360 +25.7 -12.9 +25.0 7,682 7,165 6,364 34,916 26, 787 +30. 3 4,050 2,257 1, 375 3,790 2,187 1,188 3,369 1,796 1,199 18, 543 10, 380 5, 993 13, 646 7,355 5,786 +35. 9 +41.1 +3.6 5,805 5,054 4,264 23, 761 17, 203 +38.1 2,987 2,648 170 3,077 1,857 120 2,805 1,309 150 14, 394 8,602 765 11, 781 4,740 682 +22. 2 +81. 5 +12. 2 13, 938 13, 496 11, 282 64, 567 61, 954 +4.2 i 7,256 6,587 95 6,896 6,496 104 5,470 5,734 78 33, 439 30, 687 441 36, 533 24,978 443 -8.5 +22.9 -0.5 Savings I n s u r - B a n k s M u tual and Federal H o m e Loan and ance trust savBank District loan comings and State associa- panies companies b a n k s tions Individuals Other mortgagees Total $172,421 $21, 459 $91,023 $18, 981 $125, 849 $57, 702 $487, 435 U N I T E D STATES Boston Connecticut. Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire Rhode Island Vermont New York New Jersey. N e w York Pittsburgh— 14, 593 575 4,474 10, 074 7,125 2,832 39, 673 1,726 698 10,174 394 1,337 264 401 26 132 16 1,880 273 1,579 173 478 91 1,748 810 5,976 686 458 396 2,184 591 3,055 346 675 274 868 72 1,386 54 420 32 8,807 2,470 22, 302 1,669 3,368 1,057 15,113 1,958 7,731 6,478 19, 279 6,212 56, 771 4,262 10, 851 782 1,176 3,484 4,247 857 5,621 4,761 14, 518 2,120 4,092 16, 266 40, 505 14, 832 2,133 8,310 631 7,398 3,500 36,804 Delaware Pennsylvania W e s t Virginia 214 13, 524 1,094 142 1,799 192 175 6,710 1,425 31 600 252 6,360 786 91 3,233 176 905 32, 226 3,673 W i n s t o n - S a l e m _. 16, 694 2,883 5,746 120 17, 989 4,435 47,867 650 2,774 2,200 1,898 4,277 2,438 459 1,998 251 349 627 245 178 564 217 452 395 551 933 1,171 707 503 449 1,037 1,006 2,563 6,702 1,407 1,927 1,311 728 2,345 369 462 1,027 651 206 670 354 696 2,671 6,699 11, 489 5,372 7,415 5, 486 2,207 6,528 Alabama D i s t r i c t of C o l u m b i a Florida - _. ._- . Georgia Maryland N o r t h Carolina ~ - S o u t h Carolina Virginia _ 120 Cincinnati-. 34, 420 627 7,294 5,072 61, 319 Kentucky Ohio Tennessee 3,189 30, 369 862 383 914 899 1,131 9,397 1,182 627 421 6,225 648 152 1,793 3,127 5,276 49, 325 6,718 Indianapolis 10,114 2,095 8,445 42 4,144 1,719 26, 559 Indiana. Michigan. 6,353 3,761 810 1, 285 3, 231 5,214 42 1,491 2,653 777 942 12, 704 13,855 19,823 950 6, 616 14 8,263 9,434 45,100 15, 429 4, 394 697 253 4,052 2,564 14 4,944 3,319 8,792 642 33, 914 11,186 10,172 2,051 7,912 241 6,250 5,189 31,815 2, 530 3,628 3, 500 302 212 221 386 1,421 18 5 1,878 1,827 3,931 71 205 991 1,563 3,363 173 160 327 1,393 3,400 58 11 5, 947 9,038 15, 615 622 593 8,874 2,595 2,261 8,176 3,228 25,134 681 2,452 447 163 5,131 120 253 125 12 2,085 347 200 249 129 1,336 472 1,714 496 284 5, 210 68 435 147 11 2,567 1,688 5,054 1,464 599 16, 329 8,205 934 2,365 5, 869 2,408 19, 781 1,310 2,193 1,386 3,316 117 120 389 308 489 913 240 723 2,850 632 624 1,763 1,377 254 116 661 6 143 4,112 2,755 6, 771 5,214 562 3,914 4, 363 2,163 16, 970 395 329 1,257 513 2,596 124 60 21 291 123 66 1 254 97 419 609 2,272 263 490 358 1,637 358 1,211 309 83 20 219 153 1,673 15 1,282 825 3,851 1 756 8,544 712 Chicago _Illinois Wisconsin. Des M o i n e s _ Iowa. Minnesota | North Dakota South D a k o t a Little R o c k A r k a n s a s . __ __ Louisiana ._ Mississippi _ __ __ N e w Mexico Texas. _ Topeka. Colorado Kansas N e b r a s k a ___ . O k l a h o m a _ . . . ___ Portland Idaho _Montana Oregon Utah Washington Wyoming Los Angeles Arizona __ California N e v a d a ._ _ _. _ 2,196 11, 710 241 754 28 726 14, 367 2,527 21, 539 29, 699 11, 510 79, 642 509 13, 754 104 668 9 2,516 20, 715 156 2 1,379 48 27, 983 11, 450 337 12 2,613 76, 418 611 305 Table 9 — M O R T G A G E R E C O R D I N G S - E s t i m a t e d volume of nonfarm mortgages recorded [Dollar amounts are shown in thousands] Savings a n d loan associations Banks and trust companies Insurance companies M u t u a l savings banks Indivi iuals O t h e r mortgagees All mortgagees Period Total 1944 yanuary-May May.._ June July August September October November December Percent Percent Total Total Percent Total Percent Total Percent Total Percent Total Percent $1,563,678 33.9 $256,173 5.6 $877, 762 19.0 $165,054 3.6 $1,134,054 24.6 $613,908 13.3 $4,610,629 100 0 579,979 139, 748 145,893 138, 762 149, 835 146,151 148,131 134, 359 120, 568 33.1 34.5 34.6 33.7 34.8 35.1 35.0 34.1 33.5 103,463 21, 794 22. 215 24,707 22,646 22,432 20,985 20, 543 19,182 5.9 5.4 5.3 6.0 5.2 5.4 5.0 5.2 5.3 344,617 79,083 79, 453 80, 858 83, 094 77,000 76,181 71, 752 64, 807 19.6 19.. 5 18.8 19.7 19.3 18.5 18.0 18.2 18.0 57,500 14, 882 15, 536 15, 261 15, 920 15, 447 16, 552 15,176 13,662 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.8 419,178 95, 730 99,140 98,194 104,215 104,479 109, 767 103,513 95, 568 23.9 23.6 23.5 23.9 24.2 25.1 26.0 26.3 26.5 249,459 53,858 59, 394 53,354 55, 066 50, 676 51, 223 48,296 46, 440 14.2 13.3 14.1 13.0 12.8 12.2 12.1 12.3 12.9 1, 754,196 405, 095 421, 631 411,136 430, 776 416,185 422, 839 393, 639 360, 227 100 0 100.0 100.0 100. 0 100.0 100 0 100 0 100.0 100.0 703,619 111,480 111, 176 151,361 157,181 172,421 34.0 31.4 32.8 34.9 34.5 35.4 95,762 17,882 16, 034 20, 669 19,718 21, 459 4.6 5.0 4.7 4.8 4.3 4.4 388,814 65,109 63, 933 80, 000 88, 749 91,023 18.8 18.4 18.9 18.5 19.5 18.7 71,103 12, 500 10, 343 13, 599 15,680 18, 981 3.4 3.5 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.9 551,981 99, 200 93, 248 114,971 118, 713 125, 849 26.7 28.0 27.5 26.5 26.1 25.8 258,558 48,407 43,963 52, 737 55, 749 57, 702 12.5 13.7 13.0 12.2 12.2 11.8 2,069,837 354, 578 338,697 433, 337 455, 790 487, 435 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1945 J a n u a r y - M a y _. January February March April ._ _ May -_ Table 1 0 — S A V I N G S — S a l e s of war bonds 1 Table 1 1 . — F H A — H o m e mortgages insured [Thousands of dollars] Series E Period [Premium paying; thousands of dollars] Series G Series F Total Redemptions Title I I Title V I (603) Period 1944 May June July August September October _November December 1945 January... February March April May - . $2,891,427 $16,044,085 New $13, 263,168 $12,379,891 $772,767 624,253 1, 349,794 1,686, 509 499,357 590, 827 598, 570 806,817 1, 855,300 15,287 115,119 101,082 17, 807 15,953 13,653 42,680 124,669 111, 088 377,284 337,459 85, 272 85, 286 82, 871 173, 858 405,880 750,628 1, 842,197 2,125,050 602, 436 692,066 695,094 1,023,355 2,385,849 271,597 241, 278 220,145 272,125 277,445 394, 846 376, 053 358, 572 803,819 653, 222 712,133 684,424 1,194, 712 42,034 30,695 26,487 23,112 62,940 228,327 164,073 150, 456 130,100 282, 437 1,074,180 847,990 889,076 837,636 1,540,089 333,443 317,083 437,892 381,198 404, 209 i U. S. Treasury War Savings Staff. the TJ. S. Treasury. l Actual deposits made to the credit of 1944: May June J u l y . . . .... August September October--. November. December. $81 81 82 90 79 40 54 31 1945: J a n u a r y . . . February.. March April May Existing Total insured at end of period $18,319 17,768 18,322 20, 256 19, 967 21, 941 21, 646 18, 269 $37, 739 34, 238 42,322 48,166 42, 592 43,354 38,053 36, 573 $5,600,636 5, 652, 723 5, 713,449 5,781,961 5, 844, 599 5, 909, 934 5, 969, 687 6, 024, 560 19,006 14,085 16,480 14,813 22,272 38, 640 31,417 29,886 26,885 23,707 6,082, 273 6,127, 802 6,174,205 6,215,966 6,262,025 i Figures represent gross insurance written during the period and do not take account of principal repayments on previously insured loans. Table 1 2 . — F H L B A N K S — L e n d i n g operations and principal assets and liabilities [Thousands of dollars] L e n d i n g operations, M a y 1945 Federal H o m e Loan Bank Advances Boston .. Pittsburgh Winston-Salem Little Rock Portland - $653 180 659 988 249 290 1,173 775 160 20 0 1,160 Repayments P r i n c i p a l assets, M a y 31, 1945 Advances outstanding Cash i Governm e n t securities C a p i t a l a n d p r i n c i p a l liabilities. M a y 31, 1945 Capital 2 Debentures Member deposits Total assets, M a y 31, 1945 1 $43 437 848 642 877 526 1,318 252 306 441 95 1,638 $7,029 3,168 6,253 3,587 1,936 4,473 9,357 2,178 3,051 2,481 10 7,401 $783 784 3,264 1,111 3,260 1,179 2,472 748 2,066 1,834 861 5,113 $16,035 54, 202 16, 875 14, 217 46, 806 22, 394 23,938 22, 855 10, 218 8,222 11, 462 24, 705 $20,294 28, 070 17, 076 18,069 27,240 14, 917 23,399 13, 540 12, 609 10,957 8,702 16, 430 $2, 000 5,000 5,500 0 2,500 5,000 6,000 8,500 2.000 1,000 2,000 10, 500 $1,609 25, 245 3,893 926 22, 576 8,281 6, 513 3,813 802 634 1,695 10, 372 $23, 947 58, 367 26, 504 18, 998 52,355 28, 223 35, 936 25, 885 15, 420 12, 595 12,405 37, 359 M a y 1945 (combined t o t a l ) . 6,307 7,423 50, 924 23, 475 271,929 211, 303 50,000 86, 359 347, 994 A p r i l 1945 M a y 1944 3,061 3,939 12,079 14, 978 52, 040 71, 606 18, 543 31,997 264,198 194, 845 210, 295 203, 214 50,000 64, 300 75, 465 29, 270 336,036 299, 623 i Includes interbank deposits. 306 ! Capital stock, surplus, and undivided profits. Federal Home Loan Bank Review Table 13.—INSURED ASSOCIATIONS- Progress of institutions insured by the FSLIC [Dollar a m o u n t s are s h o w n in t h o u s a n d s ] Opera tions Number of associations P e r i o d a n d class of association Total assets New New private m o r t g a g e investloans ments Private repurchases $97,454 $109,049 105, 245 127,945 93,305 , 155, 218 104, 008 126,641 101,658 122,016 100,642 129,938 88, 227 115,008 83, 408 142,291 $44,403 46, 560 120, 349 64,619 56,102 54, 719 52,378 45,985 40.7 36.4 77.5 51.0 46.0 42.1 45.5 32.3 Repurchase ratio 75 percent of all non-agricultural employment other than Government and railroads). However, the end of the war is expected to bring a reversal of the trend over this period, largely because a number of small businesses (largely distributive) which disappeared after Pearl Harbor are planning to reopen. k DIRECTORY P CHANGES ALL INSURED 1944: M a y J u n e _. July August _ September October November. December. _ 2,459 2,461 2,463 2,461 2,460 2,462 2,462 2,466 $4,442,608 4, 583, 568 4,619, 867 4, 667, 060 4, 713,815 4, 774,160 4,867,068 5,012,662 1945: J a n u a r y February March April May 2,466 2,463 2,465 2,469 2,469 5,035, 626 5, 076, 554 5,136,903 5, 204, 641 5,292,169 76, 215 79,479 110, 287 113, 296 121, 808 195,077 125,769 138, 709 133,651 130,182 123,943 63,089 71,488 65, 701 62, 980 63.5 50.2 51.5 49.2 48.4 1,466 1,465 1,466 1,465 1,464 1,465 1,464 1,464 2,775,665 2,881,276 2,907,974 2,934, 647 2,961,860 3,000, 365 3, 059, 556 3,168, 731 59, 229 64,474 57,164 64,400 63,489 61, 965 54,978 51, 586 72,413 83,856 101, 500 82,105 79,126 85, 297 75,372 93,400 27, 676 25,969 79, 735 40, 825 35, 570 33, 746 32, 665 26,049 38.2 31.0 78.6 49.7 45.0 39.6 43.3 27.9 MAY 16—JUNE 15, 1945 K e y to C h a n g e s *Admission to M e m b e r s h i p in B a n k S y s t e m * t e r m i n a t i o n of M e m b e r s h i p in B a n k System #Federal C h a r t e r G r a n t e d ##Federal C h a r t e r Canceled 01nsurance Certificate G r a n t e d 001nsurance Certificate Canceled FEDERAL 1944: M a y June July August September October November December 1945: J a n u a r y February March April May _ -. 1,464 1,464 1,465 1,465 1,466 3,178,132 3,200,324 3.237.942 3, 280, 506 3,337,648 46,439 49,900 69,430 71,375 75,607 129, 640 82, 862 91, 627 88,356 85,977 84,624 41, 374 46, 574 41, 856 40,063 65.3 49.9 50.8 47.4 46.6 1945: J a n u a r y . . February March.. April. May Ware: *Ware Savings B a n k , B a n k Street. DISTRICT N O . 2 N E W JERSEY: Camden: #Union F e d e r a l Savings a n d L o a n Association, 107 N o r t h 6th S t r e e t . Elizabeth: **Security B u i l d i n g a n d L o a n Association of E l i z a b e t h , 715 E l i z a b e t h Avenue. NEW YORK: Ilion: *Ilion Savings a n d L o a n Association, 10 E a s t M a i n Street. STATE 1944: M a y June July August-. September October November December DISTRICT N O . 1 MASSACHUSETTS: _. _ _. 993 996 997 996 996 997 998 1,002 1.666.943 1,617,971 1, 711,893 1,732,413 1, 752,015 1, 773, 795 1, 807, 512 1,843,931 38, 225 33,280 36,141 39, 608 38,169 38, 677 33, 249 31,822 36,636 36,218 53, 718 44, 536 42,890 44, 641 39,636 48, 891 16, 727 20, 511 40, 614 23, 794 20, 532 20,973 19, 713 19,936 45.7 56.6 75.6 53.4 47.9 47.0 49.7 40.8 1,002 999 1,000 1,004 1,003 1,857,494 1, 876, 230 1, 898, 961 1,924,135 1,954, 521 29, 776 29, 579 40, 857 41, 921 46,201 65,437 42, 907 47, 082 45, 295 44,205 39, 319 21, 715 24, 914 23, 845 22,917 60.1 50.6 52.9 52.6 51.8 DISTRICT N O . 3 PENNSYLVANIA: Philadelphia: * * G e r m a n t o w n Building a n d L o a n Association, 5606 G e r m a n t o w n A v e n u e . Pittsburgh: **Kordecki B u i l d i n g a n d L o a n Association, 3101 B r e r e t o n A v e n u e . *0Pennsylvania Savings a n d L o a n Association of P i t t s b u r g h , 860 Spring Garden Avenue. DISTRICT N O . 4 FLORIDA: Melbourne: # F i r s t F e d e r a l Savings a n d L o a n Association of B r e v a r d C o u n t y . DISTRICT N O . 6 INDIANA: Terre H a u t e : 00 T w e l v e P o i n t s Savings a n d L o a n Association, 1279 M a p l e A v e n u e . Small Business and Employment DISTRICT N O . 7 ILLINOIS: • I N 1939, the year war broke out in Europe, small business—here arbitrarily set as those establishments employing less than 50 people—accounted for the employment of approximately 8,000,000 persons and the livelihood of 2,000,000 business men, according to the Department of Commerce. In other words, they accounted for about one-third of all wage and salary earners in all industries other than agriculture, Government and the railroads. Firms employing from one to three persons accounted for 7 percent of that figure. Studies conducted by the Department show that the war brought with it a shift in the concentration of employment by business size group (large firms percent in 1939 gained to July 1945 E a s t St. L o u i s : ##00 St. Clair Federal Savings a n d L o a n Association, 517 Missouri A v e n u e . DISTRICT N O . 9 TEXAS: Corpus Christi: **First F e d e r a l Savings a n d L o a n Association of C o r p u s C h r i s t i , M e s q u i t e at Peoples Streets. Corpus Christi: *0 F i r s t Savings a n d L o a n Association of C o r p u s C h r i s t i , M e s q u i t e a t Peoples Streets. DISTRICT N O . 12 CALIFORNIA: Richmond: i n d u s t r i a l Savings a n d L o a n Association, 1301 M a c D o n a l d A v e n u e . NATIONAL HOUSING AGENCY John B. Blandford, Jr., Administrator FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK ADMINISTRATION, John H. Fahey, Commissioner 307 • CONSTRUCTION AND * INCOME: "Construction is dependent for its markets on the incomes which go with a high level of productive employment. This can be strikingly illustrated in housing. There were more nonfarm households in 1940 than in 1930 and total consumer income was slightly smaller so that the average income per family was substantially less. There were many more families in lower income groups who could afford to pay less for housing. The result was a large increase in the families living in houses with a rental value of $40 or less and large decreases in those occupying a dwelling at more than $40 a month. This downward shift in the effective demand was a dominant influence limiting new residential construction between 1930 and 1940. " Given somewhere near the present family income after the war, or the income which might be associated with full employment, there would be an €ven greater shift in the opposite direction. The increased demand for houses having a rental value of over $40 per month would support a high rate of new construction for some years. At the same time the shrinkage in demand for dwellings with a rental value of less than $30 would force the retirement of many undesirable dwellings because they would have no market." Henry A. Wallace, Secretary of Commerce, before Senate Special Committee on Small Business, POTENTIAL SPENDING POWER: "The first ten-year period of FHA operations was one of gradually building up from a depressed market, starting at a time when the timidity of investment capital caused mortgage funds to be even more scarce than the product they financed. "The coming period, on the other hand—the one immediately f a c i n g us—while low on available properties will be characterized by an abundance of funds seeking investment—funds in the coffers of financial institutions, funds represented by war bonds, funds in the pockets of individuals, funds in the form of Government-guaranteed loans to discharged veterans. "This generous supply of capital— of potential spending power—and the 308 * Worth Repeating * scantiness of purchasable real estate creates an entirely new set of circumstances in the market to be faced by the FHA and the financial institutions operating under the program. Unless* recognized and met wisely now, they may presage another and worse depression which could aggravate and uselessly complicate the FHA's ability to carry out the mandate of Congress to stabilize the mortgage and real estate markets." Abner H. Ferguson in summary of FHA operations for 1944. RESEARCH: "The best promise of better housing at less cost lies in largescale operation and in a coordinated and imaginative job of research—not jigsaw-puzzle research, but integrated research that goes across the board. "That is a big job, not a piecemeal job. It is such a big job that it can be done only if we all work together on it. But it will have to be done if we are to contribute the most we can to postwar prosperity for everybody and to a better way of life in postwar America.'' Senator Harley M. Kilgore, Housing Progress, First Quarter 1945. RESERVES: "In addition to the pursuance of realistic appraisal policies and the making of all mortgage loans within safe percentages of sound, stabilized values, we should also be thinking in terms of greatly strengthened reserves. In this connection, it is recognized there has been a definite trend toward reduction in the rate of dividends paid by associations during the past few years. However, due to the growth of associations generally such reductions have but little more than kept pace with the declining earning power of association assets and increased operating costs, with the result that reserve structures have not been materially enhanced in relation to acquisition of assets bearing the element of loss risk." Ralph H. Richards, Third District Quarterly, First Quarter 1945. RESPONSIVE TAX SYSTEM: "Ease of administration and compliance is a vital consideration in devising postwar taxes. Simple and uniform laws are the best bulwark against expensive administration and costly and irritating compliance * • burdens. Much progress has been made in the direction of simplification, but much remains to be done. In attempting simplification, however, one is forcibly reminded that the demands of equity in the tax system set a limit beyond which simplification cannot go. Thus, one criterion of a well-designed tax system may clash with another, and the tax designer is charged with the task of reconciling the two. "Stability in the postwar tax system is another widely desired end. But it is important to distinguish between stability in structure and stability in rates. The tax system should be responsive to changes in economic conditions. Taxation is an instrument designed to serve organized society. If it is to be of maximum service, it must be adapted to the changing economic and social needs of that society." Roy Blough, before the Buffalo Chamber of Commerce, Buffalo, New York, May 18, 1945. POSTWAR BOOKSHELF Although inclusion of title does not necessarily mean recommendation by the REVIEW, the following recent publications will be of interest. THE AMERICAN LEGION PROGRAM FOR MAXIMUM EMPLOYMENT: Available from The National Employment Committee, The American Legion, 1608 K Street, N. W., Washington, D. C. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY COOPERATION: By George N. Halm. Available at $4 from University of North Carolina Press, Chapel Hill, N. C. PLANNING: No. 230: Government Information Services. Available at 250 from The New Republic, 40 East 49th Street, New York, 17 N. Y. ORGANIZATION AND P R 0 GRAMS FOR CITIZEN PLANNING GROUPS: Bibliography issued by the American Society of Planning Officials, 1313 East 60th Street, Chicago, 111. Available at 10c. TOMORROW'S BUSINESS: By Beardsley Ruml. Available at $2.50 from Farrar and Rinehart, 232 Madison Avenue, New York 16, N. Y. U. S . GOVERNMENT PRINTING O F F I C E : 1 9 4 5