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EM PLO Y M EN T O U T LO O K FO R E N G IN E E R S U N IT E D STATES D E P A R T M E N T O F LABOR Maurice J. Tobin, Secretary OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK SERIES B UREAU O F LABO R STATISTICS Ewan Clague, Commissioner BULLETIN No. 968 Engineers discussing a problem in connection with construction activities at Grand Coulee Dam, Columbia Basin Project. [This report is based in part on information from a survey made by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in cooperation with the Engineers Joint Council and with the National Roster o f Scientific and Specialized Personnel, United States Employ ment Service.] Employment O u tlo o k (or ENGINEERS Employment Trends and Outlook Earnings Occupational Mobility Bulletin N o. 968 UNITED STATES DEPARTM ENT O F L A B O R Maurice J. Tobin, Secretary BUREAU O F L A B O R STATISTICS Ewan Clague, Commissioner For sale b y the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing O ffice Washington 25, D. C. - Price 50 cents LETTER O F T R A N S M IT T A L U nited States D epartment op L abor, B ureau of L abor Statistics, Washington, D. 67., M ay 12, 1949. The Secretary of L abor : I have the honor to transmit herewith a report on the employment outlook for engineers. This is one of a series of occupational studies prepared in the Bureau’s Occupational Outlook Branch for use in schools, colleges, local offices of the State em ployment services affiliated with the United States Employment Service, and other agencies engaged in vocational counseling of veterans, young people in schools, and others considering the choice of an occupation. The report was prepared under the supervision of Harold Goldstein. The three major sections— Employment Trends and Outlook, Earnings, and Occupational M obility—were prepared by Robert W . Cain, Cora E. Taylor, and Chester F. Schimmel, respectively. The 1946 Survey of the Economic Status of Engineers was made by the Bureau in cooperation with the Economic Survey Committee of the Engineers Joint Council, and with the National Roster of Scientific and Specialized Personnel, United States Employment Service. The Bureau wishes to acknowledge the cooperation of the 25,000 engineers who participated in the survey and the many members of the engineering profession, includ ing officials of engineering societies and of engineering colleges, and engineers in industry, who discussed trends in the profession with the Bureau’s representatives and commented upon a preliminary draft of the report. E wan C lague, Commissioner. Hon. M aurice J. T obin, Secretary oj Labor. n CO N TEN TS Page Introduction________________________________________________________________ . ______________ Summary of conclusions: Employment trends and outlook_________________ .... Earnings of engineers______________________________________________________________ . . . Occupational mobility_____________________________________________________________ . . . Employment trends and outlook: Employment trends____________________________________________________________________ . . . General trends in the profession_______________________________________________________ Growth of industries using engineers_________________________________________________ Increasing use of engineers___________________________________________________________ Summary— prospective demand for engineers_________________________________________ Civil engineers_________________________________________________________________________ Mechanical engineers----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Industrial engineers__________________________________________________________________ Electrical engineers-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Chemical engineers_____________________________________________________________________ Ceramic engineers____________________________________________________________________ Mining and metallurgical engineers_____________________________________________________ Trends in supply of engineers-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Trends in engineering education: Methods of training--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Numbers in training_________________________________________________________________ Entrance of nongraduates---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Losses to the profession________________________________________________________________ Death and retirement---------------------------Transfers out of the profession-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Summary____________________________________________________________________________ Conclusions— the employment outlook for engineers_______________________________________ The earnings of engineers_____________________________________________________________ l _____ Major factors which affect earnings: Years of experience__________________________________________________________________ Occupational status__________________________________________________________________ Educational level-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Industry_____________________________________________________________________________ Class of worker----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Employment location------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Income in addition to base monthly salary----------Trends in earnings----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Monthly salaries, 1929-46---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Annual income, 1929-43------------------------------------------------------------------Implications for guidance-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Occupational mobility of engineers__________________________________________________________ Relationship between education and employment_____________________________________ Transfers among fields of employment-----------------------------------------------------------------------Transfers among class-of-worker categories----------------------------------------------------------------Transfers among industry fields--------------------------------------------------------Changes in employment location_____________________________________________________ Summary______________________________________________________ Professional societies and organizations--------------------------------------------------------------------------------Registration and certification of engineers----------------------------------------------------------------------------Appendix A. Census data on engineers-------------------------------------------------------------------------------Appendix B. Analysis of changes in engineering profession, 1930-40__________________________ Appendix C. Scope and method of the 1946 Survey----------------------------------------------------------------Appendix D. Supplementary tables_________________________________________________________ Suggested reading list_______________________________________________________________________ Occupational outlook publications of the Bureau of Labor Statistics--------------------------------------- 1 3 4 5 7 7 7 10 12 13 17 21 22 27 29 30 33 33 37 41 42 42 43 44 45 49 50 53 55 58 59 60 60 62 63 67 67 69 69 71 74 76 78 79 82 84 85 87 89 98 116 117 m LIST O F CH ARTS Chart No. Page 7 Growth of the engineering profession, 1890-1948______________________________________ Growth of the engineering profession and major industries employing engineers, 1890-1948__________________ 8 Number of workers per engineer, 1890-1948________________________________________________________________ 11 Number of civil engineers, 1910-48_________________________________________________________________________ 16 Number of mechanical engineers, 1910-48_______________________________________ _________________________ 21 Employment in metalworking industries, 1899-1948________________________________________________________ 21 Number of electrical engineers, 1910-48____________________________________________________________________ 22 Number of engineering graduates, 1920-52_________________________________________________________________ 36 Greatest rise in e n g in e e r earnings occurs in the first 10 years of experience (Median base monthly salary rates, 1946)___________________________________________________________________________________________ 51 10. Salary differences within each field of engineering employment increase with years of experience (Percentile levels of base monthly salaries, 1946)__________________________________________________________________ 52 11. Relation of engineers1 earnings to education (Median base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment by level of engineering education and years of experience, 1946)___________________________ 56 12. How engineers’ salaries increased with years of experience under varying economic conditions (Median base monthly salary of engineers with bachelor’s degree, 1929, 1934, and 1946)__________________ ____________ 64-65 13. Engineers’ salaries over a 17-year period (Median base monthly salary rates at three experience levels)_______ 66 14. Engineers educated in one branch of engineering but employed in another___________________________________ 72 0 -1 . Comparison of mailing list and respondents in each field of engineering employment, by age group in 1946— 91 C -2. Comparison of 1940 Census survivors in 1946 and survey respondents for 1939 (Each field of engineering, by 94 age group)..................................................................... ............................................................ .................................. 1. 2. 3. 4. 6. 6. 7. 8. 9. LIST O F TEXT TABLES TabU No. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Percentage distribution of civil engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields, 1946_____________ Percentage distribution of mechanical engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields, 1946______ Percentage distribution of electrical engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields, 1946_______ Percentage distribution of chemical engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields, 1946_______ Percentage distribution of mining and metallurgical engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields, 1946____________________________________________________________________________________ - ____________ 6. Percentage distribution of engineers by educational level for each field of engineering employment, 1946_____ 7. Undergraduate enrollment in engineering schools in the United States, by field of engineering, 1931-49______ 8. Estimated number of engineering degrees awarded, by field of engineering, 1939-40 to 1948-49______________ 9. Median base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment, by years of experience, 1946____ 10. Median base monthly salary rates and median years of experience for each field of engineering employment, by occupational status, 1946__________________________________________________________________________ 11. Median base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment, by level of education and years of experience, 1946______________________________________________________________________________________ 12. Characteristics of engineers as related to occupational status, by field of engineering, 1946---------------------------13. Median base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment, by broad industry field, 1946----14. Percentage distribution of engineers by median years of experience, and median base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment, by class of worker, 1946______________________ __________________ 15. Comparison of median monthly salary rates excluding and including overtime for each field of engineering employment, by years of experience, 1943_____________________________________________________________ 16. Comparison of median total annual income and median computed annual earnings from salary and overtime, for each field of engineering employment, by years of experience, 1943-------------------------------------------------17. Comparison of median total annual income and median computed annual base salary (excluding overtime) for each field of engineering employment, by class of worker, 1943--------------------------------------------------------18. Comparison of median base monthly salary rates, by field of engineering employment for specified years_____ 19. Comparison of median annual income, by field of engineering employment, for specified years_____________ 20-A. Percentage distribution of engineers within 1946 employment fields, by field of education_________________ 20-B . Percentage distribution of engineers educated in each field, by 1946 employment_________________________ 21. Percentages of respondents who shifted or remained in same field of employment, 1939, 1943, and 1946_______ 22. Percentages of respondents who shifted or remained in same class-of-worker status, 1939, 1943, and 1946____ 23. Percentages of respondents who shifted or remained in same industry field, 1939, 1943, and 1946-----------------24. Percentage distribution of engineers, by State, 1939, 1943, and 1946------------------------------------------------------------IV 14 18 25 28 32 36 37 39 50 53 55 57 58 59 61 61 62 63 67 70 71 73 75 77 78 LIST O F A P P E N D IX TABLES JT W fC iVU. B -l. Changes in the engineering profession, 1930-40__ _______________________________________________________ C -l. Percentage comparison of mailing list and distribution of respondents in each field of engineering employment, by age group in 1946_______________________________________________________________________________ C -2. Comparison of mailing list and respondents in each field of engineering employment, by educational level___ C -3. Comparison of 1940 Census survivors and 1946 Survey respondents, by age in 1939, for each field of engineer ing employment, by age group______________________________________________________________________ D - l . Number of engineers in the United States, by field of engineering,1910-48________________________________ D -2 . Estimated changes in the engineering profession, 1940-48________________________________________________ D-^3. Number of engineering degrees awarded in the United States,1920-52____________________________________ D -4. Growth of the engineering profession and major industries employing engineers, and ratio of workers per engineer, 1890-1948______________________________________________________________ _______ : ________ D -5 . Median age and median years of experience, by educational level for each field of engineering employment, 1946_______________________________________________________________________________________________ D -6 . Percentage distribution, by educational level in each occupational status, for each field of engineering em ployment, 1946__________________________________________________________________________ D -7. Percentage distribution for each field of engineering employment, by class of worker for each occupational status, 1946________________________________________________________________________________________ D -8. Percentage distribution, by occupational status, for each field of engineering employment in 1939, 1943, and 1946___________________________________________________________________________________________ D -9. Percentage distribution of engineers, by industry field, for each field of engineering employment in 1939, 1943, and 1946________________ D -10. Percentage distribution of engineers, by employment location, for each field of engineering employment in 1939, 1943, and 1946________________________________________________ D - l l . Distribution of engineers in each field of employment, by base monthly salary bracket, 1946_____________ D -12. Comparison of percentile levels of base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment, by years of experience, 1946________________________________________________________________________ D -13. Median base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment, by years of experience, 1939, 1943, and 1946_____________________________________________________________________________________ D -14. Percentage distribution and median base monthly salary for each field of engineering employment, by em ployment location, 1946____________________________________________________________________________ D -15. Median base monthly salary of engineers with the bachelor’s degree, by field of engineering and by years of experience, 1929, 1932, 1934, and 1946______________________________________________________________ D - l 6. Median monthly salary, including overtime, for each field of engineering employment, by years of experience, 1939, 1943, and 1946_______________________________________________________________________________ D - l 7. Median base monthly salary rates for each field of engineering employment, by class of worker, 1939, 1943, and 1946_____________________________________________________________________________________ D - l 8. Comparison of median base monthly salaries for engineers in the same field of employment all 3 survey years, by years of experience, 1946_________________________________________________________________ D -19. Median annual income for each field of engineering employment, by years of experience, 1939 and 1943______ D -20. Median annual income, by occupational status, for each field of engineering employment, 1939 and 1943— D -21. Percentages of respondents who shifted or remained in same class-of-worker status, 1939,1943, and 1946_____ D -22. Percentages of respondents who shifted or remained in same industry field, 1939, 1943, and 1946_________ v 87 90 92 93 98 98 98 98 99 99 101 104 104 106 107 107 108 108 109 109 110 111 112 112 113 114 EM PLO YM ENT O UTLO O K F O R E N G IN E E R S Introduction Engineering is one o f our largest professional occupations, outranked in size only by teaching and nursing; fo r men it is the largest profession. Per haps more than any other occupation it is identi fied with our present-day technological civiliza tion. Engineers give technical leadership in in dustry; they develop new products, machines, or processes; they design many types o f structures; they devise the most efficient way to manufacture a product, lay out a system o f highways, arrange the work processes in a factory, or bring minerals out o f the depths o f the earth. The third o f a million engineers contribute greatly to planning the work of, and designing the machines and build ings used by, a major part o f the 60 m illion people employed in the United States. As a field o f employment, engineering has much to offer. Opportunities are numerous in this rap idly growing profession, and the employment outlook is good in the long run fo r those who suc ceed in entering the field, particularly for welltrained men. Engineering positions are to be found in every State, in small cities as well as large; and the profession often offers opportuni ties for travel and for employment overseas. W hile the incomes o f engineers vary widely, de pending on many factors, average earnings rise fairly sharply with increasing experience. More over, there are many opportunities fo r engineers to advance to administrative positions. W hile pri marily an occupation fo r men the profession also offers a limited number o f opportunities to wo men.1 Engineering work appeals to those who are interested in applied science and its methodology and who have a practical bent; it offers a chal lenge to the ingenuity, and often an opportunity to do creative thinking and to see the results emerge 1 Opportunities for women in engineering are discussed in the following publication: U. S. Department of Labor’s Women’s Bureau, The Outlook for Women in Architecture and Engineer ing, Bulletin No. 223-5, Superintendent of Documents, Washing ton 25, D. C., 1948. Price 25 cents. step by step from the drafting board to actuality. Those who are considering this field, however, must not forget that the engineering profession is a difficult discipline, requiring marked ability to think abstractly and in mathematical terms, to remember a mass o f details and visualize complex problems, to study and work with great persistence, and to continue studying and learning throughout their professional life. Moreover, the competition in entering the profession w ill probably be greater than in many other occupations in the years ahead. Engineering has been described as “the art o f applying the laws o f the natural sciences to the utilization o f the materials and forces o f nature for the benefit o f mankind and the art o f organ izing the human effort required in connection therewith.” 2 A n emphasis on efficiency, which is related to cost, is one o f the main factors dis tinguishing the work o f the engineer from that o f the research scientist. A chemist may create a new compound or a geologist may discover an oil field; it is the job o f the engineer to figure out how the compound can be manufactured or the oil extracted at a cost that w ill enable it to be sold on the market. In building a skyscraper it might be possible to ensure safety by making the walls o f solid masonry twenty feet thick, but it is much less expensive to hire an engineer who w ill closely calculate just how much weight the walls have to bear, what forces will affect them, and what factors o f safety to allow. The engineer must decide which building material would be the cheap est to use, considering the relative strength, the quantities o f materials needed, and the cost o f labor required. The mechanical engineer design ing a crankshaft or the electrical engineer laying out a circuit does the same kind o f job. The engineer, then, uses scientific principles in devising methods o f doing things most efficiently. * Stewart, Lowell O., Career in Engineering, Iowa State Col lege Press, Ames, Iowa, 1947. 1 2 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Engineers are employed in many different ways in addition to their function as designers. Their skill is used in administration and management, particularly in industries in which engineering methods are important. Many engineers super vise construction, or the operation o f plants or mines. Others are engaged in research and in the development o f products and methods o f manu facture on the basis o f research findings. Some, particularly younger engineers, do drafting or an alysis and testing, much o f which is routine work. A sizable number are employed as independent consultants, who advise their clients on engineering matters and prepare designs or plans. Many com panies employ engineers in selling their products, particularly when the buyer is a business firm, and when the salesman has to be able to discuss the product technically and advise engineers as to its installation and use. The teaching o f engineering in colleges and technical schools is also a field in which significant numbers o f engineers are em ployed. The profession has within it men o f widely vary ing levels o f ability and training. Educational attainments o f engineers range from the most ad vanced training o f the relatively few with the doc tor’s degree in engineering to very little form al education. The bachelor’s, or first professional degree, long considered the standard preparation fo r engineers, is held by a great m ajority o f those in the field. Levels o f ability range from that possessed by the creative genius doing outstanding research, design, or administration to that found on the borderline o f professional attainments, in which the work is merely routine computing, drafting, or testing. New entrants customarily enter in the more routine jobs and move up the scale to positions o f greater responsibility. Some, however, spend most o f their working lives in the entry positions. There are many varied fields o f specialization in the engineering profession. These divisions be came necessary over a period o f many years owing to the great expansion o f scientific knowledge. The engineering field is usually divided into the follow ing m ajor groups: civil, mechanical, elec trical, chemical, and mining and metallurgical. W ithin the several general fields many specialized areas o f activity are recognized in practice and in engineering school courses. Descriptive material on the profession o f engineering may be found in many publications.8 Generally speaking, despite these m ajor divi sions, engineering is one basic field. It is char acterized by a common approach to the solution o f practical problems on the basis o f scientific knowledge. Usually, the first 2 years o f all en gineering curricula contain the same core o f sub jects—mathematics, chemistry, physics, and basic engineering courses, as well as English, the human ities, and the social sciences. As a rule the cur ricula diverge only in the last 2 years as the par ticular professional specialties are developed. In actual practice many an engineer is required to use a knowledge o f more than one broad field in solv ing a particular problem. Moreover, persons educated or experienced in one branch frequently move into others. That many men did this in re cent years is shown in a later section o f this report. Transferability among fields is facilitated be cause engineers generally specialize in one or another o f the functions o f the profession such as research, design, development, or sales. Often an engineer who has performed one o f these func tions in a particular field may transfer and carry on the same function in another field. Persons interested in engineering as a career should also look into employment possibilities in related occupations. One source o f such inform a tion is the Occupational Outlook Handbook, is sued by the Bureau o f Labor Statistics in coopera tion with the Veterans Administration.3 4 This volume contains reports on the follow ing m ajor en gineering fields: civil, electrical, mechanical, chem ical, mining and metallurgical, industrial, and ceram ic; it also deals with related occupations such as chemist, architect, industrial designer, tool designer, draftsman, meteorologist, radio opera tor, foundry technician, and electronic and radar technician. The handbook covers a total o f 288 occupations and gives information on methods o f entry, training and qualifications required, earn ings, and employment outlook. 3 For example, U. S. Department of Labor’s U. S. Employment Service, Descriptions of Professions Series, Pamphlet Number 2, Washington 25, D. C., price 15 cen ts; Stewart, Lowell O., Career in Engineering, Iowa State College Press, Ames, Iowa, 1947; and Engineers Council for Professional Development, En gineering as a Career, New York, N. Y., 1942; also see suggested reading list, p. 116. 4 U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occu pational Outlook Handbook, Bulletin No. 940, Superintendent o f Documents, Washington 25, D. C., 1949. Price $1.75. SUMMARY OF CONCLUSIONS The present report consists o f three m ajor sec tions. In the first, the employment trends and outlook in the profession are analyzed, beginning with the trends in demand for engineers and then going on to the trends in the supply o f persons qualified for work in the profession. Comparison o f the prospective demand and probable future supply leads to a conclusion on the employment outlook for those who are now in engineering schools, and estimates o f future training needs. The second m ajor part o f the report describes the earnings o f engineers and the factors affecting 3 them, and traces the effect o f changing economic conditions upon earnings. In the third m ajor sec tion, the occupational m obility o f engineers is discussed. A large part o f the report is based on inform a tion from the 1946 Survey o f the Economic Status o f Engineers, made by the Bureau o f Labor Statis tics in cooperation with the Economic Survey Com mittee o f the Engineers Joint Council and with the National Boster o f Scientific and Specialized Per sonnel, United States Employment Service.5 Summary of Conclusions Employment Trends and Outlook Engineering is one o f the most rapidly growing professions in the United States; moreover it is expected to continue to grow substantially in the future, although at a slower rate than in the past. The number o f engineers in the United States in creased nearly tenfold between 1890 and 1940, ris ing from 27,000 to around 260,000. By early 1948, the number had risen to about 350,000—an increase o f almost 100,000. The report concludes that in the long run the demand for engineers w ill continue to grow. Upon the basis o f past trends and the growing use o f engineers by industry, it may be inferred that by 1960 the number o f engineers may well increase by another 100,000 to a total o f about 450,000. Such an increase would amount to about 8,000 jobs a year, on the average, between 1948 and 1960. (See pp. 7 to 13.) In addition, the demand for new engineers resulting from losses to the profes sions (deaths, retirements, and transfer to other occupations) is expected to increase from about 9.000 or 10,000 a year in 1948 to over 13,000 a year by 1960. (See pp. 42 to 45.) Thus the total de mand for new engineers fo r the next few years may be estimated at approximately 17,000 to 18,000 a year. By 1960 the demand may well rise to around 21.000 or 22,000 a year. Mechanical engineering is the largest branch and is growing rapidly. Elec trical engineering, after failing to grow in the thirties, is again expanding, as is chemical engi neering. Mining and metallurgical engineering have experienced a steady growth over the past several decades. Civil engineering, though a large field, is growing more slowly. (See pp. 13 to 33). The number graduated by the engineering schools has been increasing. The number o f men receiving the bachelor degree in engineering rose from an average o f 7,000 a year in the twenties to about 10,000 a year in the thirties. Total engineer ing graduations for the decade 1940 to 1950 can be estimated at over 190,000— an average o f 19,000 a year. The number o f persons in training is at record levels and the number o f graduates expected from these enrollments should more than supply the demands fo r engineers in the next several years. In the academic year 1947-48, some 32,000 engi neering students were graduated; in the year end ing June 1949, 44,000. It was estimated that on the basis o f 1948-49 enrollments about 47,000| w ill be graduated in the year 1949-50; about 36,000 in the year 1950-51; and nearly 29,000 in the year 1951-52. (See pp. 33 to 40.) Actually, gradua tions in these years may be somewhat higher for several reasons. (See p. 38.) It is o f course impossible to estimate graduations more than 4 years in advance. Nevertheless, it is o f interest to illustrate what the level o f engineer ing graduations may be, solely on the assumption that past trends w ill continue. These trends indi cate that the number o f engineering degrees awarded may decrease from the peak in 1949-50 to not less than 18,000 in 1956 and then rise gradu ally to at least 25,000 around 1964. (See p. 40.) A comparison o f the estimated supply o f and demand fo r engineering graduates, leads to sev eral conclusions. In the next few years the num-6 6 See appendix C, p. 89. 4 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS ber o f graduates w ill greatly exceed the demand fo r graduate engineers. A fter that, if the past trend in enrollments should continue, the annual demand for graduates and the supply o f new graduates would roughly be in balance. Although it is likely that during the next few years the total number o f engineering graduates w ill be greater than the number o f engineering positions available, the employment situation w ill vary greatly among types o f engineering positions and among the various fields o f engineering. Even when competition becomes stiffer, it is likely that a demand for men with special abilities or training in such work as research and design w ill still exist. Comparisons o f the estimated supply and demand in the various fields suggest that a surplus w ill occur earlier and be larger in some branches of engineering than in others. (See pp. 46 and 47.) The differences in employment outlook among the fields o f engineering are likely to be reduced to some extent by the ability o f some engineering graduates to obtain employment in engineering fields other than those in which they were trained. (See section on occupational m obility, pp. 69 to 8L) To the engineering student, it should be pointed out that the best training obtainable will help to meet the expected intense competition. For the high-school student who has to look ahead 4 or 5 years to opportunities in the profes sion when he graduates from college, the outlook is more difficult to evaluate. I f those graduates o f the next few years who cannot get jobs in en gineering find satisfactory employment in other types o f work, and if engineering enrollments re turn to levels suggested by past trends, oppor tunities for engineering graduates 5 or more years hence are likely to be better than for those in the immediate future. On the other hand, if many engineering graduates o f the next few years who do not get engineering employment continue to seek such work, opportunities for new graduates may be less promising. To the engineering schools, the estimates pre sented here may suggest that over the long run there will be a demand fo r roughly twice as many graduates as were turned out annually in the dec ade before the war and that facilities and instruc tional staff will have to be provided. The great interest in engineering also suggests that there is both the opportunity and the need for a careful selection o f students. Progress has been made along these lines I f the standards o f entry into engineering schools were raised and if more exact ing selection methods were used, it is evident that schools could admit even fewer students and still provide an adequate supply o f engineering per sonnel. In applying these conclusions to the guidance o f individuals, counselors in high schools, colleges, and other agencies w ill want to keep in mind that the increasingly competitive situation expected for the next few years should give pause to the mar ginal student, but should not be allowed to deter those with real aptitude and realistic interest in en gineering. Earnings of Engineers In choosing a career, expected monetary re turns are always o f interest and importance. Earnings in engineering, as in other professions, vary considerably and are affected by many fac tors. The section o f this report on earnings (see pp. 49 to 68) analyzes a survey o f engineers made by the Bureau o f Labor Statistics in 1946 and discusses some o f these factors, such as length o f experience, amount o f education, kind o f work done, type o f employer, and economic conditions. The conclusions in brief are given below. Length o f experience is one o f the most signifi cant factors affecting earnings. For most engi neers, earning capacity increases with added years o f experience. In general, the greatest rise in earnings occurs in the first 10 years o f experience; in 1946, the annual increase for each year o f ex perience averaged $120 to $240. A fter about 30 years o f experience average salaries tend to level off. (See pp. 50 to 53.) Entrance salaries in 1946 in all fields o f engineering were much the same, ranging from an average o f $226 to $247 a month. However, there were great differences by field in the amount o f increase in earnings with years o f experience. Median earnings o f chemical engineers showed an increase o f about $440 a month, or 185 percent during the working span; median earnings o f civil engineers increased by only 85 percent; other types o f engineers had in creases o f 140 percent to 165 percent. Earnings o f engineers, like those o f other work ers, vary with business conditions. During the SUMMARY OF CONCLUSIONS depression year 1934, engineers with 10 years o f experience received approximately $100 less per month than similarly experienced engineers in 1929—a drop o f 30 percent in average salaries. In most fields it was a decade or more before sal aries o f engineers having 10 years o f experience had returned to the 1929 average. Earnings in creased considerably during and after W orld W ar II, until by 1946 they averaged 50 percent higher than 7 years earlier. Further increases took place after 1946. (See pp. 63 to 67.) Top salaries in all the major fields o f engineering are earned by engineers in administration-manage ment jobs. These positions are usually attained only after many years o f experience. Earnings considered in relation to length o f experience show that jobs in research and sales, as well as adminis tration, generally pay more than such work as inspection, analysis and testing, operation, and college teaching. (See pp. 53 to 55.) By and large, earnings are highest for engineers with the greatest amount o f form al education. In most fields, holders o f the master’s degree average slightly more than those with the bachelor’s degree, and men with the doctor’s degree earn considerably more than those in either o f the other groups. ( See pp. 55 to 58.) Engineers employed by private firms and by the Federal Government have comparable average earnings when length o f experience is taken into account. Engineers employed by State and local governments generally have lower earnings. ( See pp. 59 and 60.) Income from fees, bonuses, and other sources is an important factor in engineers’ earnings, es pecially for older men. When overtime is paid, the least experienced engineers generally profit more than the older men. ( See pp. 60 to 62.) Historical information is useful in showing what the average person may expect by way o f remun eration in the engineering profession, but caution should be exercised in applying such findings to individual cases. Some engineers never advance beyond the earnings level o f the average factory worker or clerk. It is possible to gain an engineer ing degree without having the capacity to ad vance far up the professional ladder; moreover experience tends to increase earning capacity, but it does not do so for all people. The section o f this report which deals with earnings reveals that 5 the highest-paid 10 percent o f the engineers with 5 years’ experience or less had higher median earnings than the lowest 10 percent o f the group with 30 years or more o f experience. (See chart 10.) Young people considering engineering as a career should carefully weigh their own interests and abilities in relation to the competition in this field. F or those who can successfully meet com petition, the top o f the profession is so well re warded, both in remuneration and job satisfaction, that it is well worth sacrifice and struggle to attain. Occupational Mobility The extent to which engineers are able to change jobs interests young people entering the occupation, educators in the field, and those re sponsible for recruitment and employment o f technical personnel. How many move from one State to another ? From one industry to another ? Between private and Government employment? From one major branch o f engineering to another? How many are educated in one branch o f engineer ing but find employment in another branch ? The Bureau’s 1946 Survey o f the Engineering Profes sion provides some information on these points. (See pp. 69 to 81.) A greater proportion o f engineers—about 30 percent—changed their employment location from one State to another between 1939 and 1946, than were involved in any o f the other types o f change analyzed. The m ajority o f those who moved from their 1939 employment location did so by 1943. (See pp. 78 and 79.) A t least 25 percent o f the engineers changed their industry fields between 1939 and 1946; these changes appear to reflect the high wartime de mands for engineers in the “ heavy” or durablegoods industries. (See pp. 76 to 78.) Changes made by engineers among the m ajor types o f employment—approximately 22 percent made such changes—indicate to some extent the principal sources o f employment fo r engineers during the war and postwar years. Between 1939 and 1943, employment in private firms and in the Federal Government increased chiefly at the ex pense o f employment by State and local govern ments and self-employment. From 1943 to 1946, relatively more engineers transferred from public employment to private industry than vice versa. (See pp. 74 to 76.) 6 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS The close relationship among all the branches o f the profession, and the similarity o f basic engi neering training, make it possible for engineers to shift from one branch to another. From 8 to 14 percent o f the engineers who were in each o f the five major branches o f the profession in 1939 were in some other branch 7 years later. The greatest percentage o f those who shifted fields went into mechanical engineering; civil engineering lost the greatest proportion. (See pp. 71 to 74.) Close re lationship among engineering fields is also reflected in the fact that in 1946 more than 20 percent were employed in a branch o f engineering other than that in which they had been educated. ( See chart 14.) The proportion employed in each branch o f the profession whose education had been in an other branch ranged from 10 percent o f those em ployed in chemical engineering to 36 percent o f those employed in mining and metallurgical engi neering. (See pp. 69 and 70.) Thus it appears that the engineering profession is a flexible one, offering opportunities to transfer among fields o f specialization, industries, employ ers, and locations. In order to equip him self to adjust more easily to changing conditions or to advance his career, the young person contemplat ing entering the engineering profession may wish to acquire the broadest possible educational prep aration consistent with an adequate background fo r the specialty he intends to follow . A t the same time, however, he is faced with the conflicting trend toward a high degree o f specialization in each field, accompanied by the demand fo r more graduate education. Employment Trends and O u tlo o k Employment Trends In analyzing the employment outlook for en gineers it is necessary to evaluate the demand fo r engineers and engineering services, and to compare prospective demand with the supply o f trained engineers that is likely to be available. This first section reviews the past trends in employment o f engineers with a view to determining the m ajor factors which have created a demand for their services. Upon what appears to be reasonable assumptions as to how these factors may operate in the future, an approximation o f the prospective demand fo r engineers is then suggested. A review o f past trends is first presented for the profession as a w hole; then the trends in each major field o f engineering are discussed. G EN ER A L TREN DS IN THE PRO FESSIO N Engineering is one o f the most dynamic and rapidly growing professions. Its striking growth since 1890, when there were only about 27,000 en gineers in the United States, is shown on chart 1. The number o f engineers was 10 times greater in Chart 1.— Growth of the Engineering Profession, 1890-1948 1940 than in 1890 although the total number o f workers in all occupations only doubled in this 50-year period. Though the rate o f growth shows signs o f diminishing, the numerical increase has been large in recent decades. Even over the de pression decade o f the thirties, employment in engi neering expanded. There are few large occupa tions in the United States that can match this record o f rapid and persistent growth. The profession’s growth was the result o f two principal factors: the rapid expansion in this period o f the types o f industrial activity which use engineers; and the increasing degree o f utili zation o f engineers fo r many different functions within these industries. In assessing the prospec tive trends in the demand fo r engineers it is necessary to find out to what extent these factors have affected employment o f engineers in the past, and to judge what effect they may have in the future. Growth of Industries Using Engineers Prim arily a rural, agricultural country at the close o f the Civil W ar, the United States had be come a predominantly urban, industrial Nation by the beginning o f W orld W ar II. This transforma tion was reflected in a decline in employment in agriculture and a sharp increase in employment in the five basic commodity-producing and trans porting activities—manufacturing, mining, con struction, transportation, and public utilities. The 7 8 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOE ENGINEERS Chart 2.— Growth of the Engineering Profession and Major Industries Employing Engineers, 1890-1948 THOUSANDS OF WORKERS 500 RATIO SCALES THOUSANDS OF WORKERS 500 - E ngineers > 100 100 - — 50 10 10 - MILLIONS MILLIONS 30 10 NUMBER NUMBER 2000 1000 500 100 1880 1890 1900 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 I960 SOURCE: SEE APPENOIX TABLE 0 -4 * MANUFACTURING, MINING, CONSTRUCTION, TRANSPORTATION AND PUBLIC UTILITIES. EMPLOYMENT TRENDS AND OUTLOOK number o f workers attached to these industries almost tripled from 1890 to 1940, as compared to a tw ofold increase in the total number o f gainful workers in the United States, although the rate o f growth slowed down markedly after 1920, as shown in chart 2 and appendix table D -4. The war and postwar periods witnessed a large additional in crease in employment in these industries, and in the spring o f 1948 the number o f workers attached to them was 19 percent more than in 1940. They comprise the major sphere o f activity o f engineers, employing three out o f four members o f the profession. Furthermore, the work o f most o f the engineers employed in other industries is directly related to business activity in these five industries. F or example, large numbers of the civil engineers employed in Federal, State, or local governments are engaged in work connected with construction activity, including design and super vision o f public construction projects and approval o f plans fo r private construction; in the same way, large numbers o f the engineers employed in “ pro fessional and related services” in independent con sulting firms are engaged in consulting work fo r the five m ajor industry divisions listed above. Trends in business activity in these industries are therefore a major factor affecting the employment o f engineers. Future trends in business activity in these m ajor industries are, o f course, difficult to anticipate. Two m ajor areas o f uncertainty are the general level o f business activity—the “ business cycle”— and the international situation. In analyzing the outlook for engineers in this report, however, it is assumed that high levels o f general business activ ity w ill be maintained unless otherwise indicated. Exploration o f the implications o f such a situation for the engineering profession provides a bench mark by which the possible effects o f lower levels o f business activity may be judged. A second gen eral assumption which w ill be made is that the United States w ill not be engaged in a m ajor war within the next decade; if there should be a war, the need fo r engineers would, o f course, increase. The follow ing discussion w ill thus suggest an out look for the engineering profession that w ill be somewhere between the extremes o f the range o f possibilities. I f there is to be “ full employment” in the United States, the total number o f persons employed would 9 have to increase moderately over the next decade in view o f the expected growth o f population and consequently o f the labor force. The total labor force will increase by about 7% m illion in the pe riod 1948 to 1960, according to estimates made on the basis o f trends in the size o f the adult popula tion and trends in participation in the labor force on the part o f men and women, and older and younger persons. A fter allowing for a peacetime m ilitary establishment, a minimum amount o f “ frictional” unemployment (m ostly people tempo rarily unemployed while moving from one job to another), and an agricultural employment level in line with long-term trends, we may have an in crease in nonagricultural employment o f about 7 m illion over this period, or about 13 percent. The five m ajor industries using engineers are not likely to expand as rapidly as this, however. Since the end o f W orld W ar I, they have declined in relative position as a source o f employment among American industries. They included about 60 percent o f the total employed in nonag ricultural industries in 1920, about 55 percent in 1930, about 50 percent in 1940, and about 45 per cent in the spring o f 1948. Trade, services, and Government as a group have gained while the com modity-producing industries have declined in rela tive importance. In view o f this trend, it seems reasonable to expect that full employment would be achieved with a gain o f less than 13 percent in employment in the commodity-producing indus tries. Assuming a gain o f about 10 percent, total employment in these industries would amount to around 26y2 m illion by 1960. This general con clusion is supported by analysis o f the prospects for each o f the m ajor industries employing en gineers, which is presented in other publications in the Bureaus’ Occupational Outlook Series.1 In summary, then, a moderate expansion is likely in the long run in the types o f industrial activity which make the most use o f engineers’ services. The long-term growth o f employment in these industries w ill be slowing down—partly because o f the success o f engineers themselves in introducing new processes, machines, and produc tion methods which make it possible to increase the average output per worker. 1See pp. 116 to 118 for a list of these publications. 10 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Increasing Use of Engineers A much more significant factor affecting the growth o f the engineering profession has been the increasing degree o f utilization o f engineers for many different functions in industry. I f, in the five industries referred to previously, the services o f engineers were utilized to the same extent today as in 1890, their number would have increased at the same rate as total employment in these indus tries, or about threefold over the five decades. A c tually the number o f engineers increased tenfold from 1890 to 1940, or more than three times as much as would be accounted for by the growth o f these industries. This reflects the fact that engineers are being employed more widely and for an in creasing number o f functions. The advance o f scientific knowledge and its prac tical application in industrial operations has a f fected the demand for engineers in two ways: the new applications o f scientific findings required ad ditional engineers to put them into effect; and the growing complexity o f technology created the need for greater specialization, which resulted in the development first o f the major branches o f engi neering and then o f the specialties within these branches. New applications o f engineering methods are continually being developed. The value o f engi neering training for administrative jobs in pro duction has been recognized. Engineers are used in sales work where a technical knowledge o f the product and its uses is necessary. The expansion o f research work in industry has required many en gineers. The whole field o f production methods o f engineering, or industrial engineering, has devel oped. Quality control has also required trained engineers. A ll o f these developments underlie the extension o f industry’s use o f engineers. Also, there has been a great increase in the em ployment o f engineers by the Federal Government in research and development work connected with national defense and other Federal activities. In 1938, the Federal Government employed about 20,000 engineers; in July 1947, some 35,000 were em ployed, or about 75 percent more, according to rec ords o f the United States Civil Service Commis sion. This growth resulted largely from wartime and postwar conditions, and employment o f engi neers by the Federal Government w ill probably not continue to increase at this rate. Nevertheless, any substantial future increase in the employment o f engineers by the Federal Government would tend to increase the number o f engineers in the country relative to employment in the five indus tries listed. The use o f engineers in industrial research has been increasing rapidly as scientific advances open up new possibilities for commercial development. A comparison o f the data from the 1946 directory o f industrial research laboratories 2with that from the 1940 edition shows an increase in the employ ment o f engineers from 12,711 to 20,637 between 1940 and 1946 or about 62 percent. The increased use o f engineers may be illustrated by computing the ratio o f the number o f engineers in the United States to the number o f workers in the basic commodity-producing and transporting industries listed above over the past five decades. In 1890 there were 344 engineers in the United States for every 100,000 workers in these indus tries ; in 1940 there were 1,282 per 100,000— a four fold increase3 (chart 2 ). The ratio increased by an average o f a third in each decade, although there were wide variations around this average. Looking at the figure in another way, the number o f workers per engineer has, o f course, been de creasing over the same period (chart 3 ). This ratio dropped from about 290 workers per engineer in 1890 to 78 per engineer in 1940—a little over a fourth o f that in the form er period. The ratio has been decreasing more slowly in recent decades, however. 2 National Research Council, Industrial Research Laboratories o f the United States, Eighth edition, 1946, Washington, D. C. * The figures in chart 2 on engineers and on number of workers attached to the major industries using engineers are based on the number of gainful workers who reported that they were custo marily employed in these industries, rather than those actually so employed at the time of the census. This method made it possible to show the normal trend, rather than one influenced by a distorted ratio of engineers to the total number of workers in 1940, which was caused by the fact that in the depression many firms which had severely reduced their employment had retained a nucleus of skilled workers, foremen, managers, and engineers. As pointed out in the Compton report to the Society for the Promotion of Engineering Education (Journal of Engi neering Education, September 1946, pp. 25-49), this enabled in dustry to make tremendous advances in production and employ ment during the war without adding proportionately to their en gineering staffs. When the ratio of engineers employed to total number of workers actually employed in 1940 was plotted, it jumped far above the trend line. This suggests that the method adopted gives a more accurate representation of the underlying trend. EMPLOYMENT TRENDS AND OUTLOOK Chart 3.— Number of Workers Per Engineer, 1890—1948 During the war, when some 60,000 engineers were in m ilitary service, the ratio o f engineers to total employment in these industries dropped, and there were widespread shortages o f engineers. A fter the end o f the war the long-term trend in the use o f engineers was resinned, stimulated by the great wartime dependence on technology, by the expansion o f research activity in industry and in the Federal Government, and by the desire o f industry to make practical use o f recent techno logical developments. By the spring o f 1948, the engineering profession may have numbered around 350,000— an increase o f around 34 percent since 1940 (appendix table D -2 ). This increase was almost twice as great as the 19-percent rise in the total number o f workers attached to the five major industries. The ratio o f engineers to the total labor force o f these industries has therefore gained somewhat. A check on this tremendous growth o f about 100,000 engineers between 1940 and 1948 is made by examination o f a recent survey o f employment o f 852396°— 50------2 11 engineers made by the Engineers Joint Council.4 Though the sample was relatively small and the figures provide only a rough check, the data show an increase o f about the same proportions since 1940—the ratio in the spring o f 1948 being oneeighth above that in 1940. It is, however, not as high as would have been expected at this time on the basis o f past trends, perhaps partly because o f shortages o f engineers. On the other hand, the number o f workers per engineer declined from 78 to 1 in 1940 to 69 to 1 in 1948. Summarizing, there are several factors there fore which tend to keep the ratio o f engineers to total employment rising and to create an increas ing demand for engineers: the continually increas ing com plexity o f technology; the effect o f war time experiences which demonstrated the value o f engineering services; the increase in use o f en gineers by governmental agencies; the increased use o f research by industry; and the tendency for engineers to develop new processes and inventions which in turn often create demands fo r additional engineers and technicians. From these past trends, and from the rapid strides that are now being made in science, it seems probable that the use o f engineers in industry relative to other work ers w ill continue to increase. How rapidly this w ill take place is o f course a matter o f conjecture. On the other hand, there are several factors which suggest that the ratio o f engineers in the United States to total employment in these in dustries may not continue to increase as rapidly as in the past. Technical progress is cumulative, and the extension o f the frontiers o f scientific knowledge in its application to industrial prob lems could continue at a good rate—perhaps at an accelerating rate—even if the number o f engineers were to reach a plateau at some future time and re main constant. As scientific and engineering techniques improve, many o f the day-to-day en gineering problems in industry may be solved more readily. Moreover, there has been a great development o f the use o f larger numbers o f semiprofessional as sistants to engineers and other scientific workers, particularly during the war. A survey o f leading 4 19£9 Employment Programs for Engineering Graduates, a survey conducted by the General Survey Committee of the En gineers Joint Council, New York, N. Y. (Mimeographed.) 12 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS industrial research laboratories showed, for exam ple, that between 1940 and 1946 the ratio o f pro fessional workers (more than a third were engi neers) to total research personnel decreased from 53 percent to 40 percent.5 I f this trend continues, it w ill make possible the use o f fewer engineers than would otherwise be the case. W hile this de velopment resulted in part from the wartime short ages o f engineers, it also reflected a long-term trend toward the greater use o f semiprofessional workers. One factor underlying the growth o f the engi neering profession in the past has been the increas ing employment o f engineers in administrative positions. Over the past several decades, however, the number o f people receiving form al training fo r administrative and management positions in in dustry has been growing rapidly. This may be seen in enrollments in university schools o f busi ness administration, as well as in the growth o f inservice executive training programs in industry. From 1920 to 1940, while the number o f baccalau reate and first professional degrees awarded in en gineering increased from 4,716 to 14,348, the num ber awarded in business administration and commerce increased from 1,560 to 19,036, accord ing to reports o f the United States Office o f Educa tion. Engineers w ill no longer be almost the only persons in industry available for executive jobs who have had advanced training applicable to industry. Examination o f the trends in the use o f engineers in each industry, described in the sections o f this report dealing with the m ajor branches o f engi neering, confirms the judgment that the number o f engineers employed should continue to increase relative to other workers in industry. Even if the ratio o f engineers to other employees should rise more slowly in the future than in the past, it is likely to increase substantially in the remainder o f the 1940-50 decade and through the next decade. As mentioned above, the ratio has increased by about one-eighth in the 8 years since 1940. I f it continues to rise at this pace, the total increase over the entire decade may amount to about 15 per cent, or one-half the average increase in each o f the *U. S. Employment Service, National Roster o f Scientific and Specialized Personnel, Industrial Research Personnel in the United States, Washington, D. C., 1947. (Unpublished.) previous five decades. F or purposes o f illustra tion o f the future possibilities, perhaps an increase o f similar magnitude in the 1950-60 decade may be assumed; this would bring the ratio to about 1,700 engineers per 100,000 workers. Summary— Prospective Demand for Engineers The preceding section has traced the growth o f the engineering profession and has suggested that the two major factors underlying this growth will continue to operate in the future. A moderate further expansion o f the major types o f industrial activity which use engineers’ services is in prospect fo r at least the next decade, under the assumption o f full employment in the American economy. An increase o f about 10 percent would bring the total number o f workers engaged in these industries to some 26*4 m illion by 1960. The growing utilization o f engineers, caused by the advance o f science and its application to in dustry, is also likely to continue. I f the ratio o f engineers to the total number o f workers attached to these industries should increase as much in the next decade as in the present one, it would reach the figure o f approximately 1,700 per 100,000 work ers by 1960. Under these circumstances total engineering em ployment would amount to roughly 450,000 or some 100,000 more than in 1948. These figures are given, not as a forecast, but only to suggest in rough quantitative terms the implications o f the past trends for the future growth o f the profession. An increase in employment o f this magnitude would be very great in view o f the present size and recent growth o f the profession. Actually, it would mean that the number o f employed engi neers would have increased by over 80 percent in only two decades—a remarkable rise even for this occupation and much larger than the increase ex pected in most occupations o f comparable size. A survey o f the hiring plans o f a number o f large firms (see footnote 4, p. 11) employing engineers reveals that these firms did plan to hire a signifi cant number o f engineers in 1949 although some what fewer than in 1948. The method used in this study to estimate the possible future growth in employment o f engineers is o f course but one o f the approaches that might be used. F or several reasons the ratio o f engineers 13 CIVIL ENGINEERS to the number o f workers engaged in the five major industries using engineering services may not pre sent the entire picture. Several other approaches were used, but they did not prove as satisfactory as the one finally adopted. In some cases the data available did not show any definite trends, indicat ing a lack o f relationship; in others the data were not available for early years. One measure o f the ratio o f the growth o f the profession to a type o f economic activity was more fully explored— namely, the ratio o f the number o f engineers to the number o f horsepower-hours o f energy output in industry—which did show a definite relationship. When the trend in this ratio was projected to 1960, on the basis o f estimates o f future energy consump tion, the results obtained were fairly close to those obtained by the method used in this report. From the above review o f the past trends in the growth o f the engineering profession as a whole within the framework o f the industrial economy o f the United States this picture emerges: the oc cupation has grown rapidly in the past; there is an indication that the rate o f growth is diminish ing, but no indication that the pattern is being re versed ; and therefore, on the basis o f the general trends considered, there is every likelihood that the profession w ill continue to grow for some time. In the follow ing sections, the development o f each o f the m ajor fields o f engineering will be reviewed in order to determine whether some are growing more rapidly than others, to provide the detail underlying the general conclusions summarized above, and to give other information on each field. CIVIL E Civil engineering is the oldest o f the branches o f the broad field o f engineering; it is the main trunk from which nearly all other fields developed as technical knowledge expanded and industry became more complex. Form erly, there were only two main branches o f engineering—“ m ilitary” and “ civil.” Today, civil engineering is rec ognized as only one o f the specialized branches o f the profession. Civil engineers are concerned with the design and construction o f such facilities as roads, build ings, bridges, dams, tunnels, water-supply and sewerage systems, transportation projects, and many other structures for public, industrial, or commercial use. Such areas o f activity as struc tural, sanitary, architectural, hydraulic, and high way engineering are in this main field. About half the civil engineers work for a govern mental agency, either Federal, State, or local. About one-quarter are employed by the construc tion industry. Nearly 6 percent are employed in the transportation industries and slightly more than 4 percent in the utilities industries. The dis tribution o f civil engineers by industry fields may be seen in the accompanying tabulation. The reason so many civil engineers are employed by Federal, State, and local governments is partly the nature, cost, and size o f the projects with which civil engineers work. W hile the major part o f all construction work is privately built, a large proportion o f the projects requiring engineering work—the large projects— are built for the pub lic, such as highways, dams, sewerage systems, etc. In addition, civil engineers occupy such positions as administrators o f water and sanitary depart ments and street and highway divisions. Industry field Percentage distribution T o t a l _______________________________________ 100.0 C onstruction__________________ ______________ Manufacturing ______________________________ Petroleum and coal products_____________ Iron, steel, and nonferrous metals and their products_______________________________ Other manufacturing in d u stries________ T ransportation______________________________ Utilities ____________________________________ Governm ent_________________________________ Other industries_________________________ ;__ 26. 6 8.1 1.4 2.9 3. 8 5.8 4.1 50.8 4. 6 Generally speaking, a greater proportion o f civil engineers are in positions dealing directly with the administration or management o f an en terprise than is true in any other field o f engineer ing (appendix table D -8 ). On the other hand, a relatively small proportion o f civil engineers are found in either research, design, and develop ment positions or in such jobs as production, op eration, maintenance, inspection, and installation. 14 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS In the construction industry itself—one o f the major employers— almost half the civil engineers are engaged in administrative, management or supervisory positions. (See table 1.) These positions range from that o f an official o f a large construction firm to that o f site supervisor o f a construction gang. Slightly more than a quarter are employed in the general field o f design, devel opment, and drafting. The job o f designing a bridge, for example, involves the planning and se lection o f a type o f structure and estimating o f costs o f the various parts, such as the superstruc ture, piers, or abutments. Civil engineers also are responsible for many individual jobs on the con struction project itself. The equipment must be selected and the flow o f materials and supplies must be ensured. Other engineers are also found in many varied positions including the estimating o f costs o f new projects or the inspection and main tenance o f highways and bridges. T 1.— Percentage distribution o f civil engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields , 19 46 able Occupational status All in Con Trans dustries i struction portation 100.0 100.0 Administration-management....................... Administration-management, nontechni cal......................................... ............... Administration-management, technical. Construction supervision..... .................... 47.5 51.5 42.6 2.4 27.2 17.9 2.2 26.6 22.7 1.2 29.1 12.3 Consulting................................................... Consulting, independent.......................... Consulting, as employee of private firm__ 8.4 5.2 3.2 8.9 6.2 2.7 2.7 .8 1.9 Operation and maintenance......................... Inspection.............................................. . Installation................................... ........... Maintenance............................................. Operation.................................................. Production.......................-............ —....... Safety engineering....................- ............... 7.6 2.1 .2 3.4 1.2 .4 .3 5.8 2.4 .2 2.4 .4 .1 .3 25.3 1.2 Design, development, and research...... ....... Design....................................................... Development.....................—.................... Analysis and testing.-------------------------Drafting........................................... -....... Research and basic science-------------------Research, applied...................................... Estimating-------- ------------------- ----------- 29.6 19.9 2.0 1.0 2.4 .3 1.3 2.7 30.7 21.9 2.0 .9 2.5 .1 .7 2.6 26.2 17.3 .8 Total........................................................... 100.0 20.7 2.3 .4 .8 3.1 .8 4.2 Sales. 1.2 .3 .4 Other...................................................... Editing and writing............................ Retired................................................ Student.......................................... — Teaching, college or university--------Any occupational status not specified. 5.7 .7 .1 .1 2.3 2.5 2.8 .5 .1 .1 .2 1.9 2.7 .4 .4 1.9 i See appendix table D-9 for list. Many civil engineers employed in industries other than construction are actually engaged in work connected with new construction or the repair o f old structures. Some civil engineers work for building materials manufacturers or in private consulting firms which advise on technical prob lems. In the transportation industries, there is a slightly wider distribution o f functions than in construction. Here, about two-fifths o f the civil engineers are in administrative or management jobs, such as executive in a railroad company or section supervisor o f a surveying crew. About one-quarter find employment as division engineers in charge o f maintenance o f the tracks, yards, and structures, or in the construction office estimating maintenance costs fo r equipment and tracks. Others are found in such jobs as design engineer planning the location and construction o f road beds, tunnels, grade separations, etc., or drafting foreman in a divisional office. The functional distribution in the utilities in dustries is somewhat similar to that in the con struction industry. Nearly half are in some type o f administrative or supervisory work such as engineer in charge o f construction. Another sizable group is found in such positions as head o f the drafting department, or planning or design engineer responsible fo r location o f power plants and distribution lines. The development o f the profession is closely re lated to the history o f the construction industry. As long as houses and other relatively small build ings were the principal types o f structures built, there was no great need for engineers to design them and supervise their construction. Tradi tional building methods were used—methods de veloped after centuries o f experience—and car penters, masons, and other building craftsmen were able to put them up without an engineer’s design or supervision. This is still the way most private homes, farm buildings, and other small structures are built. Although several experimental (horse-drawn) railroads were in use earlier, the industry did not really begin to develop until after 1830; at about this time the profession o f civil engineer also be gan to expand. The railroad industry grew slowly until the end o f the Civil W ar; then it expanded rapidly, extending into the West and South. Rail road construction (miles o f track) reached its peak in the 1880’s when the civil engineers were still few in numbers—the Census o f 1890 showed fewer than 27,000 in all fields. CIVIL ENGINEERS The civil engineer was now branching out in many directions. In addition to construction needed fo r the expanding railroad industry, the need fo r better roads and bridges was felt. Civil engineers were also active in the building o f water ways, harbors, and canals to keep pace with the Na tion’s growing trade and commerce. W ater sup p ly and sewer systems were built extensively in the large cities and even in small towns. In addition, a more intensive use o f engineers was made in types o f construction work which before had been planned by craftsmen as they went along. New materials and ways o f building were introduced such as all-steel frame construction and fireproofing. Larger buildings called for engi neering design. Another factor affecting employ ment o f engineers was the development o f local laws to protect the public against unsafe construc tion in buildings. Most o f these regulations re quired approval o f building plans by qualified engineers. The development o f the automobile next opened a great vista o f opportunity fo r the civil engineer. Although the first internal combustion motor car was built as early as 1885, the automobile did not gain real public acceptance until the First W orld W ar. Then, during the twenties and on into the thirties many thousands o f miles o f highways were built fo r motor vehicles. The number o f miles o f improved roads, including such projects as grade crossing eliminations and super highways, has con tinued to expand after the period o f rapid devel opment, and increasing traffic w ill call fo r con tinued expansion and improvement in the future. The decade o f the twenties also witnessed a boom in new construction activity, reaching a peak in physical volume in 1927. Construction o f com mercial buildings, public utility facilities, public buildings, and houses as well as highways hit a new high during this decade. The profession grew from between 45,000 and 50,000 in 1910 to nearly 60,000 in 1920 and then increased by almost 50 per cent to a total o f about 88,000 by 1930. (See Appendix table D -l.) The decade o f the thirties witnessed no increase for the civil engineering branch o f the profession. Employment in the profession is greatly affected by changes in the general level o f business activity. 15 The private construction industry, particularly with respect to residential, commercial, and indus trial building, varies greatly in its volume o f activ ity with severe curtailment during depression pe riods. In fact, the volume o f new construction activity in 1933 was only 29 percent o f that in 1929.6 Public construction, including reclamation projects, public buildings, and transportation facil ities (m ainly highw ays), has held up better dur ing depressions, and some types o f public works have been emphasized in the past when private construction was lagging. The effects o f the business depression on civil engineers are illustrated by unemployment figures for this branch o f engineering. In 1932, many civil engineers were unemployed or were working in subprofessional jobs. In addition, civil engi neering was about the only field which had not recovered somewhat by 1934, and in that year had the highest unemployment rate o f all fields. O f the new graduates, entering the field between 1930 and 1934, between 55 and 60 percent had periods o f unemployment at some time during that period. Furthermore, civil engineers in the higher age groups as well showed the greatest unemployment rate among all fields o f engineering.7 C ivil engineering recovered somewhat from the effects o f the depression as new construction activ ity more than doubled from 1933 to 1940. Never theless, in 1940, nearly 10 percent o f the civil engi neers were still unemployed and in the allied occu pation o f surveying almost 20 percent were unem ployed. Large numbers o f civil engineers left the profes sion during the 1930 to 1940 decade. The numbers in the field showed almost no increase in this pe riod in contrast to the rapid growth o f the twen ties. The growth o f this branch o f the profession is shown in chart 4. • U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Probable Volume of Postwar Construction, Bulletin No. 825, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D. C., 1945. Price 10 cents. See also Employment Outlook in the Building Trades, Bulletin No. 967, Superintendent o f Documents** Washington 25, D. C., 1949. Price 50 cents. *U. S. Department o f Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Employment and Earnings in the Engineering Profession, 1929 to 198}. Bulletin No. 682, Superintendent o f Documents, Wash ington 25, D. O., 1941. Price 25 cents. 16 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Chart 4.— Number of Civil Engineers, 1910-48. W ith the advent o f the war in Europe, the de fense program provided many opportunities for civil engineers. The volume o f new construction reached a peak in 1942— even higher than the 1927 record. New army training camps and other de fense facilities were built, but most types o f non m ilitary construction decreased during the war pe riod. Even military construction reached its peak early in the war and then decreased very rapidly. Many civil engineers entered the armed forces and many transferred to other fields o f engineering, such as mechanical, in which personnel were in great demand. (The extent o f these movements is discussed in greater detail in the section on oc cupational m obility; see pp. 69 to 81.) The country entered the postwar period with a backlog o f residential, commercial, and highway construction needs created not only by a decade o f depression but also by the war. Construction volume had already started to expand in the first postwar year, 1946. In 1947, it climbed even higher and toward the end o f 1948 it appeared that near record levels were to be reached. A great deal o f emphasis is being placed on residential con struction, a field in which comparatively few civil engineers are engaged in proportion to the total dollar volume o f construction. Some types o f construction programs have yet to get under way. Many State governments have embarked on high way expansion programs and they may be expected to emphasize these programs fo r a number o f years. In 1946, about 17 percent o f all civil engineers were employed in highway construction, and an addi tional 6 percent in bridge construction. A recent survey o f engineering schools8 showed that many State highway departments are having great d if ficulty in recruiting civil engineering graduates. This is due in part to the comparatively low salaries paid in these positions. The 1946 survey o f the engineering profession revealed this same condi tion. (See table 14.) Expansion o f the public works program o f con servation and development has in general lagged behind that o f most other types o f construction, but currently is proceeding at a rate at least com parable with those o f earlier periods o f high ac tivity. Short-range changes in the level o f ac tivity are controlled by governmental appropria tions, and are not easily predictable; but greatly increased public consciousness o f the importance o f this work makes a long-range increase seem likely. Despite the failure to increase in numbers to any degree in the last two decades, there has been a moderate upward trend in the ratio o f civil en gineers to total construction employment and to total construction volume. It is likely that this trend will continue in the future. W hile there are signs that some types o f con struction expansion may not continue without in terruption, the long-range potentiality o f a very large construction market seems to be at present beyond any question. This market includes the types o f construction to which engineers are most essential. Demand fo r civil engineers w ill there fore probably continue at a high level for several years and then ease off somewhat. In the long run a slow additional expansion seems likely; per haps this branch o f engineering w ill number around 105,000 by 1960, which means an average o f over 1,200 additional jobs each year. It must be remembered, however, that the construction in dustry and therefore civil engineering is extremely sensitive to the level o f general business activity and any serious decline would probably lead to un employment in this branch o f the profession. This would be mitigated to the extent that civil engi neers were needed for expanded public works programs. 8 J. A. Anderson, Shortage of Highway Engineers Starts in College, American Highways, April 1948, pp. 6-7. 17 MECHANICAL ENGINEERS Geographical Location , , . . , „ Civil engineers may be found m nearly all parts o f our Nation, both in or near large cities or m remote rural areas. They are more evenly distributed geographically than the members o f any other field o f engineering as may be seen by appendix table D -10. A great many civil engineers are required to move from one construction project to another although working for the same em- ployei; Many large consulting firms and contracting firms have offices in several States, and advise *; ies ^ severai arts o f the country. ^ engineer employed by one o f the consulting or contracting firms may be required to move, for example, from a bridge project in Salt Lake City to a gra(ie crossing project in Los Angeles. The largest proportion o f the profession is concentrated in dense population centers, where the bulk o f industrial and commercial activity is located. M E C H A N IC A L EN G IN EER S Mechanical engineers are responsible fo r de signing, testing, construction, and operation o f machinery that produces power, transmits power, consumes power, or utilizes heat energy. These engineers also design machinery, tools, and equip ment, and plants or mills which require special construction to accommodate power-producing or transmitting machinery. Mechanical engineering covers several distinct areas o f work, among which are: aeronautical; marine engineering and naval architecture; automotive; railroad equipment, heating, ventilating, and air conditioning; and general power production. Industrial engineer ing is frequently regarded as a branch o f me chanical. Mechanical engineering began to emerge as a separate field follow ing the expansion in the use o f power machinery in the eighteenth and partic ularly in the nineteenth centuries. The evolution o f power machinery and the profession o f mechan ical engineering are closely associated. Mechanical engineers have developed new machines for power utilization and this new equipment in turn has provided opportunities for other engineers. This particular branch o f engineering is related to all types o f industrial operation. Though deal ing prim arily with power and machinery, it in cludes activities ranging from instrument making to the design and construction o f equipment for huge power plants. Employment trends in the profession can best be understood in the light o f the past trends and the outlook for the metalworking industries. Even though mechanical engineers are employed in many industries, as may be seen by the follow ing tabulation o f their distribution in 1946, about half are found in the follow ing manufacturing industry groups: Machinery (including electrical), trans portation equipment, and basic metals and their products (including iron and steel and nonferrous m etals). Industry field Percentage distribution T o t a l _______________________________________ 100. 0 Construction _______________________________ M anufacturing___________________ ___________ Food and textiles_______________________ Lumber, furniture, and paper____________ Chemicals and allied products___________ Petroleum and coal produ cts____________ Rubber, and stone, clay, and glass________ Iron, steel, and nonferrous metals and their products ______________________ _______ Machinery ______________________________ Transportation equipment_______________ Other manufacturing in d u stries________ Transportation______________________________ Communication______________________________ Utilities ------------------------------------------------------Government_________________________________ Other industries_____________________________ 2.5 67.6 2. 5 2.1 3.2 2.9 1.9 8.7 19.5 20.4 6.4 1.7 1.5 3. 5 10. 5 12.7 Manufacture of Basic Metals and Their Products The iron and steel industry grew rapidly when a cheap form o f steel was made possible after the Civil W ar by the introduction o f the Bessemer process, combined with the exploitation o f the rich ore deposits o f the Great Lakes region and a good supply o f coal. The industry received tremen dous impetus from W orld W ar I and grew steadily in the twenties. A fter a sharp contraction during the depression, production rose to record heights during W orld W ar II. In the postwar period, activity has remained very high and, with heavy demand for construction and durable goods, and because o f the foreign aid program and m ilitary 18 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS needs, w ill probably continue high fo r several years. The long-term trend is slowly upward. In 1946, about 1 out o f every 14 mechanical engineers was employed in making iron and steel and their products. In general, engineering em ployment in this industry has been comparatively static in recent years compared to the growth in other industries, although engineers were respon sible fo r many o f the technological changes in the past. It is not likely that employment o f mechan ical engineers in basic metals production w ill rise very much because the industry itself w ill probably tend to remain near present levels. Mechanical engineers have contributed greatly to the development o f the nonferrous metals indus tries which include copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, tin, tungsten, nickel, and others. These industries expanded greatly as a result o f the First W orld W ar and the general growth o f the economy dur ing the twenties. A fter the depression during the thirties, the advent o f W orld W ar I I brought about a tremendous demand fo r all types o f metals. The aluminum industry in particular increased produc tion to record peaks because o f the demand for the metal in aircraft manufacturing. Production has been high in the postwar period, and w ill probably remain this way for several years, owing to the backlog o f demand fo r civilian uses as well as the m ilitary aircraft production program. The number o f mechanical engineers employed in all metal industries, although increasing con siderably over early periods, has not expanded as rapidly as in either the machinery or transporta tion equipment manufacturing industries. Nearly half o f the mechanical engineers in basic metals industries are found in administration, management, or similar functions (see table 2 ), either in top positions such as vice president in charge o f production or engineering, or as heads o f separate departments or sections within a firm. About 28 percent are engaged in research, design, or development. In these positions, the engineer may be working at a variety o f tasks such as re search on methods to be used in the production o f the basic metal. The design o f a blast furnace is the result o f long hours o f planning and develop ment by many engineers. Around 8 percent o f the mechanical engineers are in sales work while the rest are in other jobs such as consulting, produc tion, operation, and maintenance. The small pro portion o f mechanical engineers in research, de sign, and developmental fields in these industries probably has resulted from the fact that some o f these functions are perform ed by metallurgists or metallurgical engineers. T 2 . — Percentage distribution o f mechanical engineers , by occupational status in selected industry fields , 1 9 40 able Occupational status Iron, steel, Trans and non- Ma portation chin ferrous All equip ery metals indus and ment their (manu (manu tries! products fac factur (manu turing) ing) factur ing) Total................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Administration and management___ Administration-management, non technical...................................... Administration-management, tech nical............................................. Construction supervision...... ......... Personnel-labor problems________ 34.3 47.6 35.7 27.7 2.5 4.0 2.8 1.5 29.5 1.9 .4 40.7 1.6 1.3 31.6 1.1 25.4 .7 .1 Consulting....................................... Consulting, independent................ Consulting, as employee of private firm............................................. 5.7 2.0 3.9 1.6 5.0 1.8 2.2 3.7 2.3 3.2 1.8 Manufacturing and production. Estimating...... .................. Inspection______ _________ Installation______ ________ Maintenance____ _________ Operation.............................. Production............................ Safety engineering_________ 10.2 1.1 1.0 .8 2.2 1.8 3.0 .3 12.3 1.4 .9 .4 3.1 2.2 4.3 9.3 1.7 1.0 1.4 .5 .5 4.1 .1 6.1 .7 Design, development, and research.. Design__________ ____ _________ Development............. ............... . Analysis and testing....................... Drafting.______________________ Patents.......................................... Research in basic science...______ Research, applied_______________ 39.0 19.1 7.7 3.3 27.9 16.9 5.4 .9 2.3 36.9 21.9 8.7 .5 Other___. . . . . . . _________________ Editing and writing........................ Library and information service__ Retired........................................... Student.......................................... Teaching, college or university___ Teaching, other______ __________ Occupational status not specified__ 1.8 .4 .9 5.8 .2 1.6 .2 .4 1.0 .5 .9 .7 2.2 .1 58.9 23.8 11.2 10.0 2.5 .4 1.2 9.8 2.0 3.7 5.7 7.6 2.8 5.1 .4 .1 .7 iai ao .6 .3 .4 .1 1.0 .1 .3 2.6 .1 1.5 .7 .7 .1 .1 .1 1.4 2.3 .4 .1 1 See appendix table D-9 for list of industries. Machinery Manufacturing The textile machinery industry was perhaps one o f the first branches o f machinery manufacturing to develop. ’ The growth in the production o f agri cultural machinery came somewhat later. The use o f other types o f machinery, including machine tools and their accessories, pump and pumping equipment, electrical machinery, engines and tur bines, business machines, domestic machines (sew ing machines, washing machines, refrigerators, MECHNICAL ENGINEERS 19 The earliest transportation equipment manufac turing industries, although originally responsible for much o f the growth o f mechanical engineering, are not now the m ajor employers. During the early years in the shipbuilding industry, before the steam engine was used and before the use o f metal for ship construction, mechanical engineers as we know them today were not used to any great extent. Later, after the Civil W ar, the function o f mechanical engineering in the ship- and boat building industry began to expand. Peaks o f pro duction have, as might be expected, occurred dur ing both W orld Wars. In W orld W ar II , activity reached an unprecedented peak—close to 2 m illion persons were employed in 1943 and thousands o f units were built. A fter YJ-day, the industry com pleted the downward trend in production started late in the war. In the spring o f 1949, total em ployment in the industry, although higher than prewar levels, was considerably below the wartime peak and the m ajority o f activity was directed towards repair work rather than new construction. A fter original development several decades earlier, the railroad industry began to expand rap idly after the Civil W ar. Engineers began to be needed in ever increasing numbers fo r techno logical improvements in railway equipment. New types o f locomotives, freight and passenger cars, and other equipment were devised. Since the start o f the First W orld W ar the locom otive- and car building industry has developed at a somewhat slower rate. During both the depression period o f the thirties and the recent war, the railroad industry was unable to replace equipment as it deteriorated or became obsolete. As a result rail roads today are faced with a problem o f obtain ing new rolling stock o f all types (particularly freigh t). The demand fo r engineering services w ill probably remain at a high level for some time with the continuing need fo r modernization and upkeep o f structures, roadways, and stock. The trend toward Diesel power is also expected to con tinue. A ll these factors point to a high level o f activity in railway equipment building, lasting for a number o f years.10 The beginning o f the twentieth century saw the start o f two industries, which were to challenge the railroads’ leadership in transportation—first*3 0 8 U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Employment Outlook in Machine Shop Occupations, Bulletin No. 895, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D. C., 1947. Price 20 cents. 10TJ. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Em ployment Outlook in Railroad Occupations, Bulletin No. 961, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D. C. 1949. Price 30 cents. etc.), and general machinery and machine shop products, has grown rapidly in the last 80 years. The machinery manufacturing industry has o f course grown as the general level o f industrial pro duction has risen. Both W orld Wars have created an enormous demand for all types o f machinery. During W orld W ar II, the machinery manufac turing industry reached unprecedented heights o f production and employment. Most o f the activity was directed towards war needs. Consequently de mand was created fo r machinery products such as agricultural equipment, food products, textiles, paper, printing, and many others not directly con nected with the war effort. Now the machinery industry is engaged in satisfying this backlog o f demand. However, even after this has been ac complished, activity is expected to remain high owing to the long-run trend toward greater mech anization o f industry and other factors.9 Around a fifth o f all mechanical engineers were found in the machinery manufacturing industry in 1946— a slightly smaller proportion than in 1940. However, the actual number o f mechanical engineers so employed increased during this period by about 18 percent. In this field about a third o f the mechanical en gineers occupy administrative, management, or similar positions. Slightly more are engaged in research, design, and development—working, for example, on the design and development o f a ma chine, im proving its efficiency or lowering its cost o f production. The evolution o f one particular m illing machine or drill press is the result o f many hours o f work by trained design or development engineers. About 10 percent o f the mechanical engineers in the machinery industry are in sales positions; less than 10 percent in jobs relating to production, operation, installation, and similar functions. Therefore, a direct expansion or de pression in activity or production w ill not neces sarily bring about a corresponding change in em ployment o f mechanical engineers. Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 20 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS the automobile industry and later the aviation in dustry. From 1900 to 1910 the number o f cars and trucks produced annually had risen from about 4,000 to around 187,000. By 1916, annual produc tion was nearly a m illion; mass production o f auto mobiles had arrived. Several factors have con tributed toward this mass production—including the large market for automobiles, the continued creation o f demand by improvement o f models, and such industry practices as the division o f labor, standardization o f parts, and finally the system o f moving assembly lines. Engineering research and development contributed greatly to the progress made along these lines. The Society o f Automo tive Engineers, formed in 1904, has been largely responsible for effecting standardization o f parts, measurements, and materials in the automobile industry. As everyone knows, the automobile industry stopped production o f civilian passenger cars and trucks during the recent war. Consequently an immense backlog o f demand fo r motor vehicles was built up. In addition, with a greatly increased population and a higher level o f income, the de mand fo r both cars and trucks is expected to re main high. Also, as the industry is highly com petitive, research, design, and development ac tivities w ill probably continue at a high rate. In 1946, only 4 percent o f all mechanical engineers were employed in automobile manufacture; how ever, the prospects are for continued growth in their use by this industry. Although the aircraft manufacturing industry was the last o f the transportation group to develop, it is now the largest single employer o f mechanical engineers. Its greatest impetus has been as the result o f war needs. Although the airplane was invented much earlier, industrial production and commercial utilization did not reach a rapid rate o f increase until the First W orld W ar. W ith the end o f the war came the cancellation o f war orders and serious deflation nearly wrecked the industry. There was some expansion in the twenties and a serious setback in the thirties. W ith the advent o f the war in Europe in 1939, the industry again received stimulus from war needs. The number o f engineers required by the industry was far greater than ever before, because o f the need to develop revolutionary types o f aircraft fo r war purposes. A fter VE-day, production fell off greatly, reaching a low point with the end o f the war in September 1945. The immediate postwar period was one o f great readjustment for the air craft industry. W ith increased defense appropri ations, production o f aircraft has increased a great deal and w ill expand even more during the next few years. In addition, aeronautical research, par ticularly in the m ilitary field, will probably con tinue to be emphasized for some time. In 1946, about 1 out o f every 6 mechanical en gineers (including aeronautical engineers) was employed in the aircraft and parts manufacturing industry compared with about 1 in every 20 in 1940. The aeronautical engineers work mainly on the aeronautical and mechanical design o f the structure o f the aircraft (although for advanced research many mathematicians and physicists are em ployed); other types o f mechanical engineers work on the engines, other mechanical parts, and on production problems; electrical engineers are increasingly being used in connection with elec trical and electronic installations. Among all mechanical engineers employed in the transportation equipment manufacturing in dustry in 1946, very few (6 percent) were engaged in direct manufacturing or production jobs, such as department supervisors or shift superintend ents. Owing to the constantly changing tech nology o f the industry and intense competition, particularly in aircraft and automobiles, over half o f the mechanical engineers were in research, de sign, or development functions. In an aircraft plant, for example, research and design engineers are constantly experimenting with new models, testing various parts, such as the wing assembly, for resistance to stress and for aerodynamic effi ciency. The field o f aerodynamics is still com paratively young, and new and improved tech niques are being devised all the time. The new fields o f guided missiles and supersonic aircraft demand a large research and design staff. In the automobile industry, engineers work continually on the improvement o f the total product and parts are constantly being improved. Improvement o f this industry’s mass production system was worked out by planning engineers. Mechanical engineers are also employed in sales, consulting, or other jobs. INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERS Industrial Engineers Another field o f engineering—industrial—has developed prim arily out o f mechanical engineer ing. Today, this branch cuts across all fields o f engineering and all industries in which engineers are found. Separate curricula for industrial en gineering have been established in many schools but many persons trained in mechanical, electri cal, chemical, and other fields of engineering enter the field. The industrial engineer is concerned pri marily with the efficient use o f labor, machines, and materials in industry. He designs factory lay out so that the work flows efficiently from one step in the process to the next step; he designs machines so that the worker’s efficiency in using them is im proved; he devises records and controls so that the plant manager w ill have all the information he needs at his fingertips. From the first techniques developed by Frederick W . Taylor, this field o f en gineering has developed into a very specialized branch. Necessity for the establishment o f this field was recognized as a result o f the increasing complexity o f industrial production. Trained personnel are needed to deal with the factors which affect cost, quantity, and quality o f output. In 1940, the Census Bureau reported nearly 10,000 in 21 the field with about 5 percent unemployed. Since that time, owing prim arily to war needs for greater production, the field has grown considerably. Scientific management and industrial engineering will become more important, with emphasis on higher productivity, greater mechanization, and better cost control. Summary Thus, the profession o f mechanical engineering and all its subdivisions has expanded along with the general growth o f the industries in which the m ajority o f its members are concentrated. The greatest expansion has taken place in this century, when employment rose from about 15,000 in 1910 to over 95,000 in 1940 (including industrial engi neers) and somewhere near 130,000 in 1948. (See appendix table D -l.) The growth o f the profes sion and employment in metalworking industries in this period are shown on charts 5 and 6. Chart 6.— Employment in Metalworking Industries, 1899-1948 Chart 5.— Number of Mechanical Engineers, 1910-48 Over the past several decades, there has been an upward trend in the ratio o f mechanical engi neers to employment in the metalworking indus tries, which should continue in the future. It is now the largest single branch o f the whole engi neering profession and, even with the tremendous growth in the past several decades, stands on the threshold o f still further development and prog ress. The growth in the future w ill be based largely on advances in the m ajor industries in 22 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS which mechanical engineers are now concentrated. In addition, recent developments in such fields as atomic energy and jet propulsion, plus the expected expansion in research by both private industry and government agencies should add to the demand lo r technical personnel and provide jobs for addi tional mechanical engineers. Therefore, the field o f mechanical engineering is expected to grow, both over the next several years and over the long run, but the rate o f increase w ill probably decline to some extent after a number o f years. The trends discussed above point to the pos sibility that the mechanical engineering profession w ill have grown to around 175,000 by 1960— an average growth o f over 3,700 jobs a year follow ing 1948. Geographical Location Mechanical engineers are employed in all States. However, owing to the concentration o f the indus tries where most are employed, about 70 percent are found in the follow ing eight States: New York, Ohio, California, Pennsylvania, Illinois, New Jer sey, Indiana, and Massachusetts. A more detailed tabulation o f geographical distribution is shown in appendix table D-10. ELECTRICAL EN G IN EER S Electrical engineers deal with the generation, transmission, and utilization o f electricity. There are several broad areas o f work, including power, illumination, wire communication, electronics (in cluding radio, television, and other applications), transportation, and electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing. W hile the presence o f electrical energy was known centuries before Benjamin Franklin’s fa mous experiment, fo r the most part the commercial use o f electricity has developed within the last 100 years. In 1831, Faraday demonstrated the first dynamo by which electricity could be gener ated by mechanical power instead o f the chemical means used up to that time. Many developments follow ed, including Edison’s carbon filament lamp and the inventions o f George Westinghouse. The first central station for power generation was put into operation in New York City in 1882. Many new applications and uses o f electrical energy fo l lowed, including new means o f generation, differ ent type o f motors, converters, transformers, and radio. Nearly all o f the early inventions and develop ments concerning electrical energy were made not by men who had the conventional academic train ing o f electrical engineer, but by inventors, me chanics, and other technical people. Furthermore, most o f the progress in the beginning came as the result o f isolated discoveries. Gradually, a store o f information and engineering techniques was built up and specialized knowledge became neces sary for work in the field. Thus, the separate field o f electrical engineering began to emerge toward the end o f the nineteenth century. Unlike some o f the other fields o f engi neering—such as civil or mechanical—the profes sion o f electrical engineering grew up at the same time as the industries it serves. Engineering and research are responsible fo r much o f the phenome nal growth o f electrical industries. In 1884, when the American Institute o f Electri cal Engineers was formed, there were probably not more than a thousand or so men in the field, since the census fo r 1880 reported fewer than 7,000 engineers in all fields. The profession then ex panded rapidly until there were about 15,000 in 1910. The number in the field rose to nearly 27,000 in 1920 and then more than doubled to over 57,000 in 1930. (See chart 7.) Chart 7.— Number of Electrical Engineers, 1910-48 ELECTRICAL ENGINEERS Over the decade o f the thirties the growth o f the profession was interrupted. The number o f electrical engineers showed no increase for this pe riod (the census, which was not exactly compara ble from 1930 to 1940, actually reports a decrease, from over 57,000 to 55,700 in 1940, o f whom about 2,700 were unem ployed). Many left the profes sion in this decade, as shown by the fact that, in addition, at least 3,000 persons employed in some other occupations reported that their usual oc cupation was electrical engineer.11 Many o f those graduated during the depression period were un able to find jobs; for the most part openings oc curred only because o f death and retirement. Kesearch and development programs were drastically reduced in the thirties and many employers were unwilling to keep up the overhead* costs o f en gineering research personnel. In fact, in 1932, about 10 percent o f all electrical engineers were unemployed; even though unemployment dropped to around 7.5 percent in 1934, many were still on work re lie f.1 12 Altogether, approximately 12 per cent o f the men in the profession were on work re lief at some time between 1930 and 1934. The pro fession did recover substantially from the effects o f the depression after 1934; even so, the advent o f W orld W ar I I saw many trained electrical en gineers not active in their chosen field. Industry field Percentage distribution in 1946 T o t a l _______________________________________ 100.0 Construction-------------------------------------------------2.5 Manufacturing ______________________________ 36.7 Chemicals and allied products____________ 1.1 Iron, steel, and nonferrous metals and their products__________________________ 1.6 Machinery (including electrical ma chinery) ______________________________ 26.5 Transportation equipm ent______________ 2.6 Other manufacturing industries__________ 4.9 Transportation_____________________________ 1. 5 Communication______________________________ 19.7 Utilities _________________________________ 16.7 Government_________________________________ 14.3 Other industry fields------------------------------------8.6 11U. S. Bureau of the Census, Sixteenth Census of the United States, 1940: Population, The Labor Force, Usual Occupation. 12 U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment and Earnings in the Engineering Profession, 1929 to 1984, Bulletin No. 682, Superintendent of Documents, Washing ton 25, D. C., 1941. Price 25 cents. 23 The outlook for electrical engineers is largely dependent on the growth o f the three m ajor in dustries in which electrical engineers are used— electrical machinery and equipment manufactur ing, electric light and power, and communications. Electrical engineers are employed in many varied industries as shown in the preceding tabulation o f their distribution in 1946. Electrical Machinery and Equipment Manufacturing The electrical machinery and equipment manu facturing industry, while a very large one today, has developed only within the past 50 years. The industry in the beginning concentrated on lighting equipment and industrial electrical apparatus. The three m ajor divisions now are the plants mak ing electrical equipment, communications equip ment, and radio and television sets and phono graphs. Though there were many small com panies at first, today the m ajority o f the business is in the hands o f a few large corporations who employ a large number o f engineers fo r research and development projects and for selling. Never theless, there are thousands o f small manufac turers, many o f whom employ engineers. The tremendous expansion o f the electric light and power industry during the twenties with its demands on the electrical machinery and equip ment manufacturing industry parallels the growth o f the electrical engineering profession in this period. Great strides were made in the extension o f use o f industrial electrical equipment. Even in the thirties, when practically all industry was hit by the depression, the use o f electrical energy did not decline in the same proportion. Its use in metallurgical processes such as steel making and aluminum refining was expanding. Industry in general was also using more electrically powered machinery and control equipment. Beginning in the twenties, public demand fo r domestic electrical equipment such as toasters, irons, radios, washing machines, and refrigerators increased rapidly. From this time and on into the thirties, the increase in the production o f do mestic appliances was phenomenal, creating a great demand fo r fractional horsepower motors. But like most other manufacturing industries, the entire electrical machinery and equipment industry experienced a sharp decline in the depression pe 24 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS ing is in research, design o f products, and devel riod (despite the increasing production o f do opment o f research findings into practical uses. mestic appliances), follow ed by a gradual recovery. Over 40 percent were in this type o f work in 1946, The failure o f the electrical engineering profession one quarter were in administration, management, to expand during the 1930’s is related in part to or similar functions, which range from an execu the effect o f the depression upon this industry. tive position in a manufacturing company to chief During the war employment in the industry engineer in charge o f maintenance; and only about increased sharply. The production o f motor gen 6 percent were in jobs more closely related to fac erators, fractional horsepower motors, welding tory operations such as production engineer super equipment, and other products expanded. Also vising the manufacture o f a particular product. the war stimulated the development o f new appli Nearly IT percent o f the electrical engineers in cations o f electronics in such devices as radar and electrical machinery and equipment manufactur industrial control equipment. ing were in sales positions— a much higher propor In the postwar period, employment in the indus tion than o f the engineers in communications or try has been somewhat lower than at the wartime electric light and power. These sales engineers peak, but more than twice as high as in 1939. The work closely with the firms purchasing electrical long-term prospects fo r the electrical machinery machinery and equipment and with design engi and equipment manufacturing industries are neers o f their own firms in developing equipment good. Electric power is being more widely used, to meet the needs o f the users. and a large expansion is foreseen in consumption and generating capacity; 13this means not only that Electric Light and Power Industry more generating and distributing equipment w ill In the period since 1900 another industry—elec be purchased by utilities, but also that there w ill tric light and power—has had a very great effect be more consumers and that they w ill purchase on the growth o f electrical engineering. Installed more electrical equipment per capita. There w ill capacity o f electric utility generating plants rose doubtless be continued research and development from about 2 m illion kilowatts in 1902 to over 56 o f new products, including air-conditioning equip m illion in 1948. A large share o f the improve ment, radios, television, radar and similar devices, ments and technological changes which have taken place during the industry’s development was and industrial measuring instruments. Much pi made possible only through the skill and knowl oneer research work is going on in the electronics edge o f electrical engineers. field. In the manufacture o f equipment for power Follow ing the great boom o f the twenties, when generation and distribution, there appears to be a capacity and production more than doubled, this prospect for moderate growth in research and de industry, like most others, was hit by the depres velopment, and in the need for engineers. The sion o f the thirties. Output o f current declined electrical manufacturing companies are still oc very little, but generating capacity increased very cupied with the backlog o f demand for industrial electric equipment. A fter this demand for prod slowly until the late 1930’s. Capacity then in ucts has been satisfied to some degree, activity will creased tremendously during W orld W ar I I when tend to level off somewhat. However, employ demand expanded rapidly. During the war, the ment o f electrical engineers should continue at a production o f electric current increased at a much high level, as most o f them are found in activities faster rate than did capacity, forcing the industry not directly involved in production but rather in to improve existing operating procedures and de those dealing with research, design, or develop vise new ones. A fter a sharp drop in consumption ment, although the trend has been toward the use o f energy with the end o f the war, output then in o f more engineers in production. creased above the wartime peak to a new high o f As would be expected, the m ajor use o f engineers over 282 billion kilowatt-hours in 1948. in electrical machinery and equipment manufactur-1 8 Conservative estimates o f future power require ments point to a substantial increase in the total 18 U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Outlook in Electric Light and Poioer Occupations, electrical energy that must be produced. Several Bulletin No. 944, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, studies made by different industry groups support D. C., 1949. Price 30 cents. ELECTRICAL ENGINEERS this conclusion. Nearly all major users o f electri cal power w ill increase their power demands—in cluding industrial and commercial as well as farm and home users. I f present trends continue it is likely that within 10 years utility generation o f current w ill reach between 360 and 400 billion kilo watt-hours. Generating capacity consequently will have to be increased in order to meet this de mand.14 T 3 . — Percentage distribution o f electrical engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields , 1 9 46 able Occupational status Ma chinery Com All indus (manu muni tries 1 factur cations ing) Utili ties Total....... ....... .................. ..................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Administration and management_____ Administration-management, non technical. Administration-management, tech nical. Construction supervision - __.......... . Personnel-labor problems_________ 31.9 2.0 26.1 2.3 36.3 2.2 43.9 2.6 26.4 22.7 32.0 34.6 3.4 .1 1.1 1.9 .2 6.4 .3 Consulting_____________ ___________ Consulting, independent__________ Consulting, as employee of private firm______________________ ____ 5.7 1.4 6.2 .9 3.8 1.2 5.8 .9 4.3 5.3 2.6 4.9 Design, development, and research_____ Design_________________________ Development_____ ____-............... Analysis and testing______________ Patents __ _ ____________ _ Research in basic science................... Research, applied.............................. Drafting..... ..................... ................ 38.3 16.4 11.0 2.7 .5 .6 6.2 42.4 21.3 13.3 2.8 .3 .3 4.0 .4 41.3 10.2 18.7 2.3 .6 .8 8.4 .3 24.7 16.4 2.3 3.7 Operations............................................... Estimating- ...................................... Inspection.......................................... Installation..... .................................. M aintenance.... .......................... —_Operation......... ................................ Production. ____________________ 12.2 1.5 1.2 1.4 3.3 3.7 6.2 13.2 1.6 1.2 1.7 3.3 4.7 .7 20.1 2.9 1.2 .8 4.6 10.2 .9 .9 .1 1.1 1.1 .2 1.0 1.2 1.0 .2 1.8 .1 Sales..................................................... 6.3 16.8 1.5 3.0 Other.....................................I ................. Editing and writing__________ ____ 5.6 .8 (2) (*) .3 2.7 .3 1.5 2.3 .5 .1 3.9 1.4 2.5 .2 Safety engineering Library and information service Retired _ _ ________ _______ Student___________________ ____ _ Teaching, college and university Teaching, other Occupational status not specified___ .9 .4 .1 1.2 .1 .5 .5 .4 1.0 .4 .1 2.2 i See appendix table D-9 for list of industries. * Less than 0.05 percent. Employment o f electrical engineers in utility systems is expected to expand somewhat, but much less than production and capacity. Many o f the additional engineers w ill be needed in the plan ning and construction o f the new facilities and in the expansion o f certain engineering activities, 14 U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Outlook in Electric Light and Power Occupations, Bulletin No. 944, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D. C., 1948. Price 30 cents. 25 such as sales development. Most systems w ill, however, be able to construct and operate their additional capacity without a proportionate in crease in their electrical engineering staffs. The average age o f electrical engineers in utilities is high however, and many openings w ill arise both in engineering and administrative positions in the next decade to replace older men who w ill die or retire. Electrical engineers in utilities (both privately and publicly owned) are engaged primarily in ad ministrative, management, and similar positions, such as chief system development engineer or en gineer in charge o f industrial sales department. (See table 3.) A lesser number are in such jobs as general operating superintendent or test en gineer. Nearly one quarter are found in research, design, development, and allied positions. Here, for example, electrical engineers work in an en gineering department, designing new substations and new distribution lines or improving techniques o f power distribution. Other electrical engineers in utilities are engaged in the service department as customer consultants or in other positions. Communication Industries The communication industries today consist o f three major subdivisions—telephone, telegraph* and radio. The telegraph industry was the first to develop, reaching its peak rate o f expansion o f facilities before 1900. It has continued to grow and many improvements have been added, includ ing the multiplex system, which permits the send ing o f many messages at the same tim e; the tele printer; automatic relaying; and finally automatic telegraphy. The telegraph industry is still very important, as it carries a large share o f today’s communication traffic. Comparatively few elec trical engineers are employed in this industry— and those mainly on research and development projects and to some extent in maintenance. The telephone industry developed rapidly be tween 1890 and 1900 and has grown greatly since that time. This growth is characterized by many technological improvements, largely developed by the electrical engineering profession. Again in this industry we find that engineers are not used to a great extent in the operation o f the system itself. Generally, their major functions are re search and development and, to a lesser extent, the 26 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOB ENGINEERS solving o f problems concerning expansion o f facilities. The industry w ill undoubtedly expand in the future, both in growth and improvement o f present facilities and in the extension o f new lines to new users, including commercial, industrial, farm, and home. The number o f telephones operated under the Bell System, for example, increased from about 230,000 in 1890 to well over 16 m illion in 1940 and to about 32 m illion in the spring o f 1949. It seems likely this increase w ill continue, although at a slower rate. The introduction o f improved fa cilities, such as the coaxial cable and others, w ill contribute greatly to the growth o f the industry. Research and development work w ill grow to some extent, though employment o f engineers is not expanding as much as in several other industries. Wireless telegraphy, the forerunner o f modem radio, was introduced around 1900. Although ex periments were made several years earlier, Mar coni first demonstrated practical radio communica tion in 1896 and then further developed it over the next several years. About this same time, a num ber o f scientists in the United States also began to experiment with and develop radio. In 1920, broadcast transmission service was introduced, and shortly afterward this part o f the radio industry began to expand very rapidly. The number o f electrical engineers in radio broadcasting more than tripled between 1930 and 1940 and more than doubled from 1940 to 1948. Innovations such as television and frequency modulation were intro duced. Engineers were responsible for much o f the improvement in radio communication and the industry looks to them fo r further progress. Radio broadcasting is now in the midst o f a sub stantial expansion. Many new stations are being added—both AM , FM , and television. W hile a large part o f the development o f new equipment is being done by engineers employed in communi cations laboratories and in the electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industry, a number o f engineers are now engaged in the broadcasting end o f the field and some expansion may be ex pected, particularly in television. In 1948 alone, the number o f television sets in use multiplied sev eral times. Many new stations are authorized and equipment is im proving rapidly. A notably high proportion—perhaps 40 per cent— of the electrical engineers employed in the communications industry group are engaged in re search, design, development, analysis and testing, and similar functions. ( See table 3.) In the tele phone industry, for example, these positions cover a wide range, from that o f an engineer who is de veloping a new piece o f equipment to that o f an engineer making a critical study o f a telephone plant to obtain cost data. About a third o f the electrical engineers in these industries are in ad ministrative or management positions, such as manager or official o f a telephone company. Other electrical engineers are employed in work dealing with the regular operations o f a company, such as inspection or maintenance. Considering all three parts o f the communica tions industry, employment o f electrical engineers is expected to increase. Though the long-run trend o f employment has been upward in the tele phone and telegraph industries, the rate o f increase has been slowing down, particularly in the tele graph industry. The number o f telephones in use is expected to increase considerably in the fu ture, because o f trends toward greater per capita use o f the service plus the general increase in pop ulation. However, this expansion w ill probably not be accompanied by a proportionate increase in employment o f engineers. An increase in the use o f engineers is also expected because o f the further development o f television; that field is small, how ever, compared to other form s o f communication. Other Industries The employment o f electrical engineers is also expanding to some extent in other industries using electrical and electronic equipment. (See appen dix table D -9 .) Greater use is being made o f engi neers in these industries and employers w ill prob ably need men, particularly in research and devel opment work. In addition, because o f greater em phasis placed on research activities by the Federal Government, additional electrical engineers w ill be needed in Government agencies. As o f July 1947, over 7,000 electrical engineers were employed by the Federal Government. Electrical engineers have been doing much in the various experimental fields such as atomic energy, radar, guided missiles, and others. W ork along these lines is expected to continue at an accelerated rate. W hile many of the engineers engaged in this research are em ployed by industrial firms which have contracts CHEMICAL ENGINEERS with Government agencies, the number o f research engineers employed in Government is also increas ing over the long run. Summary: Outlook for Electrical Engineers It seems evident that the total demand for elec trical engineers w ill continue to grow. However, the phenomenal increase during the decade o f the twenties o f the major industries in which they are used—associated with the simultaneous develop ment o f radio broadcasting, doubling o f electric power generating capacity, and the rapid growth in the manufacture o f industrial electrical equip ment and electrical household equipment—may not be repeated in future decades. But a review o f the prospects in each major industry suggests a continued expansion in the use o f electrical en gineers, particularly in electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing and in television. From the more than 55,000 employed in 1940 the 27 profession expanded to between 70,000 and 75,000 in early 1948 (see appendix table D -2 ); the num ber employed could well increase to around 95,000 by 1960—an average growth o f over 1,800 jobs an nually. Employment may continue to rise there after, but the rate o f growth w ill probably tend to level off. Geographical Location Employment o f electrical engineers is heavily concentrated in the industrial centers where elec trical equipment manufacturing is carried on— over 65 percent are found in the States o f New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts, and California. There are also jobs with electric light and power companies, tele phone companies, and some radio stations in every State and in cities throughout the country. A de tailed tabulation o f the geographical distribution is shown in appendix table D-10. C H E M IC A L EN G IN EER S W hile it is one o f the oldest sciences, chemistry has made its greatest gains since it was developed as a systematic science in the nineteenth century. The industrial uses o f chemical knowledge have also developed most rapidly in the last few decades. A leading place in this development has been taken by chemists, and only in relatively recent years has the separate profession o f chemical en gineer emerged to specialize in the industrial ap plication o f chemical knowledge. Chemical en gineering is perhaps the youngest o f the m ajor fields o f engineering. The first college curricula in this branch were set up in the nineties. Chemical engineers are concerned with the ap plication o f chemistry and other basic sciences, and o f engineering principles to the design, construc tion, operation, control, and improvement o f equip ment for the utilization o f chemical processes on an industrial scale. These processes are usually separated into individual operations or processes known as “unit operations.5’ The work o f the chemical engineer involves the application o f a series o f these “ unit operations” to the manufacture o f a product. Ceramic and petroleum engineers are discussed in this section, although those con cerned with the extraction o f minerals or petro852396°— 50----- 3 leum are considered to be in the field o f mining engineering. The typical pattern o f the working relationship between the two professions has been that the chemist first makes a discovery or works out a process in the laboratory, and the chemical engi neer plans and directs the carrying on o f this process on a commercial scale; but the exceptions to this rule are numerous. Today the dividing line between the chemist and chemical engineer is still somewhat hard to determine, and many men trained in either o f these fields find employ ment in the other. Another important characteristic o f chemical engineering is the high technical requirements in the field, illustrated by the relatively large pro portion o f persons with advanced degrees. (See table 6.) The chemical engineer may specialize indus trially (as for example in petroleum, plastics, rub ber, food, or industrial chem icals), by type o f op eration (as fo r example in absorption and adsorption, heat transfer, disintegration, or dis tillation), and functionally (as fo r example in management, research, design, or operation). Four out o f every five chemical engineers are 28 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS employed in manufacturing industries. Over a third are found in the chemical and chemical process industries, while about a fifth work in the petroleum and coal products industries. The trends and outlook in these industries tell much o f the story o f the growth o f the profession. Chemi cal engineers are also found in many other indus tries, as may be seen in the follow ing tabulation o f the distribution in 1946. Industry field Percentage distribution Total________________________________________ 100.0 1- 4 M ining---------------------------------------------------------Construction-------------------------------------------------2. 0 Manufacturing----------------------------------------------- 82. 6 Food and textiles------------------------------------5.2 Lumber, furniture, and paper-------------------4.0 Printing and publishing---------------------------1.3 Chemicals and allied products------------------ 34.8 Petroleum and coal products-------------------- 20.7 Rubber, and stone, clay, and glass-------------6.3 Iron, steel, and nonferrous metals and 3 .4 their products. _________________________ Machinery (including electrical machin e ry )----------------------------------------------------2.6 Transportation equipment-----------------------1.0 Other manufacturing industries--------------3.3 Utilities_____________________________________ 1.0 Government__________________________________ 5.7 Other industries______________________________ 7.3 Chemical Industries The chemical industry, it has been said, dates chemically from Le Blanc’s discovery o f his sodaash process in 1791 and industrially from W orld W ar I. Through the nineteenth century many discoveries were made, but until the period between 1885 and 1900 the industry as a whole did not begin to crystallize and develop. The industry received its first major impetus as a result o f W orld W ar I, when the demand for explosives and allied prod ucts created a great need for new plants and proc esses. The synthetic dye industry also was ex panded as a result o f the stoppage o f imports from Europe. Great new industries grew up in the pe riod after the war and others expanded rapidly. The chemical industry in general declined some what less than the durable goods industries during the depression years and recovered more rapidly than most others in the economy. W ith the advent o f W orld W ar II , the industry and the profession were expanding. The war itself added impetus to this trend— on a much greater scale than the First W orld W ar. Several new products and processes came into use, such as synthetic rubber, new drugs (sulfas, penicillin), new types o f plastics, and many others. Research and development expendi tures in the chemical industry today are at an alltime high and w ill probably continue to increase. Today almost 45 percent o f all chemical engi neers in the chemical industry are working in de sign, development, research, and similar functions. (See table 4.) Only about 18 percent are in such jobs as production or operations supervisor or engi neer in charge o f installation. Fewer than onethird o f the chemical engineers are found in ad ministrative or management positions. Other chemical engineers work as consultants or in sales. T 4 . — Percentage distribution o f chemical engineers, by occupational status in selected industry fields , 19 46 able Occupational status Chemi Petro cals and leum All indus allied and coal tries i products products (manufac (manufac turing) turing) Total________________________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 Administration and management._. Administration-management, nontech nical........................................ .......... Administration-management, technical. Construction supervision..................... Personnel-labor problems...................... 30.0 29.8 29.0 2.0 27.1 .8 .1 2.4 26.9 .4 .1 1.6 27.0 .4 Consulting___________________________ Consulting, independent....................... Consulting as employee of private firm.. 3.3 1.1 2.2 2.8 1.2 1.6 2.3 .7 1.6 Manufacturing and production .... ____ Estimating............................ ............... Inspection.............................................. Installation_______ ________________ Maintenance........................................ Operation........................................... Production.................................. ......... Safety engineering................................. 14.6 .4 .6 .2 .7 4.2 8.2 .4 17.9 .5 .1 .5 .6 3.9 11.9 .4 15.9 .2 1.3 Design, development, and research........... Design....... .......................................... Development...... .............................. Analysis and testing.............................. Drafting........ .................................... Patents.................................................. Research in basic science....... ............... Research applied................................... 44.4 7.7 17.4 3.7 .4 .5 .9 13.8 44.6 7.6 20.7 1.6 .5 .6 .8 12.8 49.6 14.2 15.1 4.6 Sales___ ___ ________________________ 3.0 3.4 1.1 Other........................................................... Editing and writing............. ................ Library and information service............ Retired......................................... ......... Student__________ ______ _________ Teaching, college or university_______ Occupational status not specified.......... 4.7 .3 .1 .1 .9 2.5 .8 1.5 .1 .2 .1 .6 2.1 .2 .2 .5 1.5 .5 8.2 5.3 .4 .9 .2 14.6 .2 1 See appendix table D--9 for list of industries. Manufacture of Products of Petroleum and Coal Although coal was first discovered and mined early in the history o f the United States it was not until after the middle o f the nineteenth century CERAMIC ENGINEERS that the manufacture o f byproducts from coal was commercially feasible. In 1882, coal-tar distilla tion was started in this country on a commercial basis by H. W . Jayne in Philadelphia. Today hundreds o f byproducts are derived from the sev eral types o f coa l; they include the gases (fuel and illum inating), ammonia products, light oils (ben zene, varnish, naphtha), tar acids (phenols, cresols), heavy tar oils, pitch, refined tar, and coke products. The production o f petroleum in the United States from wells specificially drilled for that pur pose began in 1859 with a well at Titusville, Pa., and spread rapidly as oil was discovered in many other States. The first petroleum refinery was also constructed at Titusville in 1861. The pri mary products o f petroleum refineries at first were kerosene and lubricating oil. Even in the early days, however, refiners developed byproducts such as vaseline and special lubricants. The development o f the automobile and other machinery using internal combustion engines brought about great change in the petroleum in dustry. Gasoline, form erly a waste product, now became the primary product o f the whole industry as the demand for it increased enormously. The refiners were faced with many problems, as many o f the oil pools then being exploited did not yield a very large percentage o f the new fuel. A fter much research and years o f intense development work, the catalytic cracking process (the conver sion o f heavier oils into lighter ones by distillation under heat and pressure with the help o f a cata lyst) was developed. Other means o f refining petroleum have also been developed in recent years such as hydrogenation and polymerization which have added immensely to the efficiency o f the in dustry. The products o f the petroleum industry invade almost every niche o f our economy. In addition to the first two major uses o f petroleum (as a source o f fuels and lubricants) it began to be used as a source o f new chemical byproducts. Among those available today are: Carbon black, used in tires and in k ; petroleum ethers; solvents such as special alcohols, and paint thinners; heavy distillates and paraffin; medicinal oils and ointments; waxes, and heavy oils for asphalt shingles, roofing, and pave ments. The industry has received great impetus from both W orld W ars, especially W orld W ar II . 29 Its growth has been, on the whole, steadily up ward, because o f the diffusion in the use o f by products and the increase in demand for regular petroleum products. Today, the demand is even higher than during the war. Eesearch and development for new or improved products and processes is at a very high level today. Petroleum refining demands a great deal in the way o f engineering service because for either new or enlarged facilities specific units have to be de signed and constructed and each one presents a special engineering problem. Faced with the pos sibility o f a dwindling supply o f petroleum compared with the growing demands o f the econ omy for fuel and other products, chemical engi neers are concerned with such problems as making liquid fuels out o f natural gas or coal on a commer cial basis. The employment o f chemical engineers by this industry should continue to increase. Nearly half o f the chemical engineers in the petroleum and coal products industry are engaged in design, development, and research functions. ( See table 4.) About 45 percent are in administra tive or management positions and in manufactur ing or production j obs. Smaller numbers of chem ical engineers may be found in consulting or sales. Ceramic Engineers Another field o f engineering—ceramic—is very closely allied to chemical engineering.15 Ceramic engineers (sometimes called “ ceramic technolo gists” ) are concerned with the mining and process ing o f clay, silicates, and other nonmetallic min erals and the manufacture o f products from these raw materials; also with the construction and de sign o f plant equipment and structures. They may also work in research or sales. Specialization is usually by type o f product—for example, struc tural* materials (such as brick, tile, and terra cotta), pottery, glass, enameled metals, abrasives, refractories (fire and heat-resistant materials, such as fire brick), limes and plasters, cements, and many others. More ceramic engineers are em ployed in the stone, clay, and glass industries than in any other group o f industries. Some find em ployment in automobile and machinery plants and other industries which use ceramic products. 15 U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Economic Status of Ceramic Engineers, 19S9 to 1947, July 1948. Available free in mimeographed form from issuing Office, Wash ington 25, D. C. 30 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS It is estimated that over 3,000 ceramic engineers are employed. Many technological improvements are expected in the ceramic industries in the next few years; additional engineers w ill be needed to bring about these improvements. Other factors which w ill tend to increase the number employed are the new uses to which nonmetallic minerals are being put and the trend toward ex pansion in industries using these materials. An expanding use o f glass, enameled metals, abrasives, and other ceramic products w ill require research and development in connection with the adapta tion o f products to various uses and thus w ill con tribute to the increasing demand for engineers. Future Developments As we have seen, the chemical engineering pro fession is very young compared to other branches o f engineering—half o f these engineers had less than 8.8 years o f experience in 1946— (see appen dix table D -13) and is furthermore concentrated in several dynamic and rapidly growing industries. Since the industries in which most chemical en gineers are found, namely chemicals, petroleum and coal products, and industries closely allied to these, are probably now only at the beginning o f great future development, the profession should continue to grow over the long run. Several de velopments w ill probably add greatly to the prog ress and growth o f chemical engineering. The en tirely new field o f atomic fission may open large vistas o f research and development. The syn thetic fuel research program could eventually create a whole new industry. Not only w ill the chemical industry itself continue to expand but chemical engineering methods w ill further pene trate other industries. Nearly every phase o f the chemical field—foods, drugs, plastics, paints, oils and soaps, synthetic fibers, and others—w ill prob ably be characterized in the future years by dis coveries and developments entirely unforeseen at present. Chemical engineers numbered between 35,000 and 40,000 in early 1948, double the number in 1940. (See appendix table D -l.) T o some extent, the rate o f growth may be slowing down, although not as much as in other fields o f engineering. A very substantial gain in employment o f chemical engi neers is expected within the next decade or so ; per haps it w ill reach 55,000 by 1960—an average growth o f about 1,500 jobs annually. (There may o f course be short-run fluctuations in the employ ment situation for chemical engineers. In the spring o f 1949 there were reports that some large firms were laying off experienced chemical engi neers.) Geographical Location Chemical engineers to some extent are employed in all States, both in or around large industrial cities. Over three-quarters o f all chemical engi neers in 1946 were employed in the follow ing 11 States: New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Texas, California, Massachusetts, Michigan, Delaware, and Indiana. Over 40 per cent at that time were found in the first 4 States. Concentration o f chemical engineers by industry varies somewhat. In the largest industry, chemi cals and allied products manufacturing, over half o f all chemical engineers are employed in 5 States: New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Delaware, and Ohio. In petroleum refining, fo r example, over three-fifths are located in 4 States: Texas, New Jersey, California, and Pennsylvania, while in other products o f petroleum and coal about half are found in 3 States: Texas, New Jersey, and Oklahoma. A detailed geographical distribution o f chemical engineers is presented in appendix table D -10. M IN IN G A N D M ETALLU RG ICAL EN G IN E E R S M ining and metallurgical engineering are sepa rate but traditionally related fields. Their re lationship arises out o f the fact that both types o f engineers are engaged in work connected with the mining, refining, and industrial use o f metals. A l together there were about 9,800 mining and metal lurgical engineers in the United States in 1940. The mining engineers are believed to have outnum bered the metallurgical engineers. Although these two fields are combined as far as most sta tistics are concerned, a clearer picture can be given if they are examined separately. M INING AND METALLURGICAL ENGINEERS Mining Engineers Mining engineers are responsible for locating and extracting coal, petroleum, metallic ores, and nonmetallic materials; planning the construction o f mine shafts, slopes, and tunnels; devising the means o f extracting the minerals, the methods to be used in transporting them to the surface, and in separating them from worthless or relatively un important earth, rock, or other minerals. In many cases, they deal with the processing (usually smelting) o f the ore to extract the metal. They usually are concerned with the design, construc tion, and installation o f water supply, ventilation equipment, and electric light and power facilities at the mine, and are responsible for mine safety. Petroleum and ceramic engineers who are con cerned with the extraction o f minerals or petro leum are considered to be in this branch. M ining is one o f the w orld’s oldest industries, but until relatively recently most mining was ac complished by hand methods, using small tools fo r digging. The industrial revolution, with its de mands fo r metals and coal, provided great im petus fo r the development and progress o f this industry. A t one time, the functions o f mining engineers were discharged by mechanics and mine super visors who did not have form al training. As the industry expanded, the need fo r a specialized store o f knowledge to cope with technical problems was recognized. Courses in mining technology were offered in the few engineering schools then in ex istence; gradually an entire curriculum was estab lished for the education and training o f mining engineers. The American Institute o f M ining and Metallurgical Engineers was formed in 1871. Today, the greatest number o f mining engineers are employed in metal mining—most o f these in the nonferrous metal mining industry. A sizable number are found in coal mining and crude petro leum and natural gas production. Others are em ployed in quarrying and nonmetallic mining. The exhaustion o f easily mined deposits and the growing industrial needs fo r metals place mining engineers at the forefront o f a constant battlerdevising ways o f mining poorer deposits, or those which are more difficult to work, at a competitive cost. They have advanced the technology o f lo cating and extracting ore, removing worthless 31 earth or rock, and o f the refining processes. Frequently, new alloys are developed and new uses o f metals discovered which create a greatly increased demand for a little-known ore. E x perience during the recent war stressed the fact that this country does not have readily accessible deposits o f some o f the most important metal ores. Thus, the constant search for and development o f new mineral deposits and improved ways o f ex ploiting known deposits w ill continue. The progress recently made in atomic fission has led to a growing activity in the search for the ores used in this type o f work, such as uranium. Even though it is the geologist who is prim arily con cerned with the location o f such ores, the mining engineer is needed fo r the development o f these deposits. Another group o f mining engineers is concerned prim arily with the production o f crude petroleum and natural gas. This branch has developed more recently than either metal or coal mining. Today several thousand engineers are employed in this field. The petroleum industry, as we have seen from the section on chemical engineers, has been a rapidly expanding industry and one which w ill probably continue to grow fo r some time. A l though the United States is the leading producer o f petroleum, the undeveloped reserves are not un limited. So far, as in most mining industries, we have been working only the richer and more acces sible fields. Petroleum engineers and geologists are today constantly searching for new fields, both in the United States and in other countries. Tak ing these factors into account, it seems reasonable to expect continued growth in the relatively small field o f mining engineering. Geographical location.—Mining engineers are in most cases employed at the location o f mineral deposits. Because o f this, unlike other types o f engineers whose jobs are located at centers o f in dustry and population, mining engineers often work in out-of-the-way places—in mountains or deserts. The m ajority are employed in Pennsyl vania, Texas, California, New York, Illinois, Ohio, West Virginia, Oklahoma, and Colorado. Metallurgical Engineers Metallurgical engineers direct the industrial processing o f ores and the treatment and alloying o f metals. They may also analyze ore, or design 32 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS processes which w ill eliminate worthless or rela tively unimportant minerals before the ore goes to the smelter. Metallurgy is usually divided into two main branches— chemical or process metal lurgy, and physical metallurgy or metallography. Generally speaking the terms metallurgist and metallurgical engineer are used interchangeably. Some o f those working in metallurgy have ob tained their basic training in chemical engineering. Most metals used by early civilizations were either natural or synthetic alloys. The worker simply smelted a certain ore and recovered what he called “ copper” ; actually it might have con tained some tin, zinc, lead, iron, or various other metals. Gradually some rule-of-thumb knowledge was developed as to what type o f ore (usually des ignated by color) would produce a metal for a particular purpose. For many years, metalsmiths and alchemists continued to experiment with vari ous forms o f metals and tended to keep their discoveries closely guarded secrets. Advances were made over these empirical meth ods when the science o f chemistry made great con tributions through analysis o f ores and metals and development o f chemical means o f treating ores, and alloying metals. Finally, the science o f metal lurgy began to emerge as a specialization in the fields o f chemistry and physics. The development o f microscopic analysis and X -ray examination at last broke through the wall o f mystery surround ing the study o f metals. That metals are com posed o f crystals was shown by microscopic study; X -ray analysis then explained how the crystals themselves were constructed, enabling scientists to study the effects o f heat or force on various metals. Metallurgical engineering or metallurgy as a dis tinct field o f study thus began to develop rapidly. The demand for better, cheaper, and lighter metals rose very fast. The development o f aluminum and magnesium are illustrative o f this trend; one o f the early landmarks was the invention o f the aluminum reduction process by Charles Martin H all in 1866, which in modified form is still used today. Magnesium has also been developed over a similar period. Today metallurgical engineers are to be found in many industries, but mostly in those dealing with metals and metal products. About half are employed in the making o f iron and steel and their products, and about 15 percent in the manufacture o f nonferrous metals and their products. Metal lurgical engineers are also employed in the ma chinery and transportation equipment industries, and in the mining industry. Functionally, metallurgical engineers are dis tributed approximately as follow s: Over two-fifths are engaged in administrative or management po sitions ; about one-third are in research, design, or development w ork; one out o f every seven is em ployed in manufacturing, operation, or production jobs; and others are engaged in sales, teaching, consulting, or other positions. (See table 5.) T 5 . — Percentage distribution o f mining and metallurgi cal engineers , by occupational status in selected industry fields , 1946 able Occupational status Total. Administration-management................... Administration-management, non technical...................................... . Administration-management, tech nical.................... ........................... Construction supervision................... Consulting................................................ Consulting, independent................. Consulting, as employee of private firm................................................. All in dustries i Mining Iron, steel, and nonferrous metals and their products (manufac turing) 100.0 100.0 100.0 42.4 48.1 42.9 2.8 5.2 1.4 38.8 .8 41.4 1.5 41.5 7.1 3.1 10.3 6.6 5.0 .8 4.0 3.7 4.2 Operation and production.............. Estimating............................... Inspection................................. Mamt nance............................. Operation................................ . Production................ ............. . Safety engineering................... . 15.1 .5 1.3 .5 5.7 6.3 .8 20.8 .8 2.3 .8 7.7 7.5 1.7 15.1 .6 .8 .6 6.2 6.7 .2 Design, development, and research.. Design..................................... . Development............................ Analysis and testing................ . Drafting........... ........... .......... . Research in basic science_____ Research, applied.................... . 28.0 .8 5.9 3.4 .1 2.0 15.8 15.8 1.2 3.9 2.3 .2 1.4 6.8 33.6 .2 6.7 3.2 2.3 1.5 1.8 5.1 .5 .1 .2 2.6 .1 1.6 3.5 .6 .2 .2 .6 1.6 .2 1.9 1.0 Other......................................................... Editing and writing........................... Library and information service......... Student............................. ....... ......... Teaching, college or university........... Teaching, other................................. Any occupational status not specified. 1.4 22.1 .4 * See appendix D-9 for list of industries. It is generally agreed in the field o f metallurgy that we have only scratched the surface o f the potential use of metals. There is demand in the industry fo r metal products which are not only stronger but lighter than those in use today. One disadvantage o f the light metals such as aluminum or magnesium is their lack o f strength and elas TRENDS IN SUPPLY OF ENGINEERS ticity. Metallurgists are attempting to overcome this disadvantage by developing methods o f alloy ing and treatment. Research in “ fatigue” o f metals is also a rapidly growing field. Another line o f development be ing undertaken by metallurgical engineers is the study o f those metals which have a pronounced effect on the properties o f other metals even when combined with them in very small quantities. Among these metals are beryllium, tantalum, tungsten, zirconium, and titanium. Some o f them have been used for a number o f years for specialized jobs. Developments o f W orld W ar I I contributed greatly to the advancement o f metallurgy. More important are the prospects for future discoveries made possible by these developments. Research in the atomic energy field has opened the door to 33 a whole new field o f study o f metals and their uses. Many metal problems are currently being inves tigated, such as the development o f metals capable o f withstanding extreme heat, for use in jet pro pulsion engines. The field o f metallurgy therefore w ill probably expand in the future. However, this field is not large and openings are likely to remain few com pared to those in other major fields o f engineering. Geographical location.—Metallurgical engineers are located particularly near large metalwork ing centers o f the country such as the Middle A t lantic States, New York, New Jersey, and Pennsyl vania, and the East North Central region partic ularly in Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan. However, some metallurgical engineers are em ployed in the extractive industries and therefore are sometimes found near the mineral deposits. Trends in Supply o f Engineers Against the foregoing evaluation o f the pro spective demand for engineers may be set an ap praisal o f the supply o f trained men likely to be available. This section briefly reviews engineer ing education, first in terms o f its development and methods, and then in terms o f trends in the num bers o f persons being trained. The inflow o f men without engineering degrees into the profession is also pointed out. Offsetting these additions to the supply o f engineers are certain drains upon this supply: the death and retirement o f older members o f the profession, and the transfer o f engineers to other occupations. TREN DS IN E N G IN E E R IN G E D U C A T IO N Methods of Training The engineers o f early years were for the most part a self-taught group o f practical builders o f machinery and instruments; surveyors; and con structors o f bridges, roads, and canals. In gen eral, men became engineers by taking some in form al education and entering on-the-job training with a person already in the field. Gradually, as science progressed and knowledge o f engineering became more complex, the need fo r formal prepara tion became more and more evident. In 1747 in France, Perronnet established what is considered to be one o f the first form al engineer ing schools. As an engineer he was directed to undertake the repair o f the economic structure o f France under Louis X Y . His first act was to es tablish a school which at first consisted only o f several specialized classes for engineers and work men. During the next quarter century, a system o f engineering schools was started in France, which was to become the model o f professional engineer ing education for many years. In the United States, before the nineteenth cen tury, engineers prepared for their profession by entering a training period with an established engi neer or by obtaining employment in a factory or shop. When the United States M ilitary Academy was opened in 1812, courses in science and engineer ing were offered. The first civilian engineering schools were founded shortly afterward. The number o f engineering schools and schools o f ap plied science were few until 1862, when the M orrill A ct was passed, granting Federal aid to the States for the founding o f colleges o f agriculture and 34 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS mechanic arts. The number o f engineering col leges began to increase rapidly, from 17 in 1870 to 85 in 1880 and 110 in 1896. Engineering schools were called upon to furnish technical graduates to aid in the development o f the railroads, manufac turing, and electric utilities. Around the beginning o f the twentieth century, the rate o f increase in the number o f engineering schools slowed down owing in part to the emphasis on agricultural and business education. W orld W ar I again added impetus to engineering educa tion. The engineer’s contribution to the war e f fort served to direct attention to the profession. Since that time, many schools have been founded, until today over 170 schools confer engineering de grees and in addition several hundred other schools offer some courses in engineering. That the high quality o f American engineering educa tion has been recognized throughout the world is evidenced by the numbers o f foreign students who have come to this country for training, as well as by the demand for American engineers in foreign countries. The rapid growth in engineering schools has been accompanied by a change in educational methods, particularly since 1870. Prior to this time, emphasis was placed on practical knowledge combined with occasional scientific demonstrations o f new discoveries and techniques. Traditional engineering education fostered a distrust o f theory and placed an emphasis on utilitarian training. Around 1870, leaders in the engineering profes sion, both in education and in industry, began to realize that preparation for the field was far be hind accumulated knowledge. The rise in elec trical engineering, follow ed by chemical engineer ing, just before the end o f the nineteenth century added emphasis to this point. Gradually, a new type o f engineering training began to evolve. Laboratories and the laboratory method o f inves tigation became o f great importance. Over a long period o f evolution, engineering colleges have been left with more freedom to devote their energy to the basic scientific foundations necessary for the progress o f the field. The task o f practical train ing and the teaching o f individual industry tech niques has been assumed in many cases by the in dustry employing the young graduate engineer. Today, many industrial concerns have special testing and training programs in operation for re cent engineering graduates. For the most part persons in the profession realize that a student has not been completely prepared for a fully profes sional engineering job merely by finishing an un dergraduate course. Also, many companies prefer to teach specific industry techniques in their own manner. A recent report prepared by the Com mittee on the Economic Status o f the Engineer o f the Engineers Joint C ouncil16 indicates that about a third o f the industrial concerns surveyed have form al training programs for graduate en gineers. A m ajority o f the reporting concerns shift new engineers from one job to another to provide broader training and many either have specific technical education programs or encourage additional outside training. Several large com panies and some government agencies have special academic postgraduate training programs operat ing in conjunction with engineering colleges, where the engineers employed by the firm or agency can earn advanced degrees and at the same time receive practical training with the company. Many graduates find it necessary to obtain subpro fessional engineering employment such as draft ing or surveying to gain the practical experience necessary for professional advancement or because there are no vacancies among the usual starting positions for new graduates. Moreover, in sev eral large metropolitan centers, employed en gineers may take postgraduate courses in late afternoon or evening at neighboring engineering colleges. Although there is demand in industry fo r men trained to several different levels o f competency o f technical work, the emphasis on our educational system has largely been on one level—the 4-year undergraduate curriculum. Whereas many lead ers in industry have said that they need several technicians at the semiprofessional level to every graduate engineer, the ratio o f the number trained in each field is almost the complete opposite. As a result, many semiprofessional jobs are filled by men who drop out o f engineering colleges as well as by men trained in technical institutes, junior col leges, or other institutions specifically designed to prepare students for such positions, and even by some engineering graduates who have a low pro fessional ceiling. A t the same time, a need has 16 National Society o f Professional Engineers, American Engi neer, May 1947, p. 10, W ashington, D. C. TRENDS IN SUPPLY OP ENGINEERS been recognized for engineers able to perform at a very high scientific level. University training be yond the bachelor’s degree is the accepted method o f preparation fo r the increasing number o f such positions. In the earlier periods, the content o f under graduate curricula, as mentioned above, consisted chiefly o f practical subjects and field exercises. Next came the trend toward a more scientific type o f training. More recently leaders in the profes sion have been concerned with the lack o f non technical and general knowledge on the part o f large numbers o f engineers. Therefore, there is a trend toward the reemphasis o f nonengineering courses in college curricula.17 These courses are o f two types: those which may help in the work o f an engineer and aid him in understanding the prob lems o f his company—such as business adminis tration, industrial psychology, economics, statis tics, labor relations, and accounting—and those, such as English, political science, and the humani ties which are designed to make him a wellrounded person and citizen. One model undergraduate engineering course suggested by educators consists o f four major di visions : mathematics and science, nontechnical and social-humanistic studies, basic engineering, and professional specialization. The introduction o f more nontechnical courses, plus the retention o f the fu ll program o f technical subjects, has resulted, in the opinion o f some engi neering educators, in overcrowding o f the under graduate’s schedule, with the result that the stu dent is striving to cover 5 or 6 years work in 4. A number o f prominent engineering schools have already adopted 5-year courses and still others are contemplating the same step at the present time. O wing to the stress placed on a diversified rather than a specialized curriculum, some educators have suggested that the extra fifth or sixth year be devoted to specialization and that the main under graduate period be spent in gaining an all-inclusive engineering education. Along with these specific trends affecting engi neering education is one which affects the entire method o f training—the recent emphasis on prob lems o f selection. Under the laws setting up land17 Engineering Education A fter the War , Journal o f Engi neering Education, M ay 1 9 4 4 ; Aims and Scope of Engineering Curricula, Journal o f Engineering Education, M arch 1940. 35 grant colleges, fo r example, any person is free to enter engineering training as long as he has the prescribed minimum qualifications—usually indi cated by the fact that he has been graduated from an accredited high school in the State. Therefore, over a long period o f time engineering schools, like other institutions o f higher education, have ex perienced a very high drop-out rate. Some edu cators have estimated that only about 4 out o f every 10 persons entering engineering schools actu ally receive a degree; many need more than 4 years to graduate. W hile some may have dropped out because they were financially unable to continue, a great many did so because their aptitudes, abili ties, or interests were better adapted to some other field. In addition, a number o f engineering grad uates, even in periods o f high business activity, fail to obtain engineering jobs. The practice o f in dustry—particularly firms having large engineer ing staffs—has long been to “ skim the cream” from the top o f each graduating class; how fa r down into the “milk” they have dipped has depended on economic conditions and the relation o f the size o f each graduating class to industry’s current needs for engineers. As a result o f these factors, a large proportion o f those who began engineering training never entered the profession. Because o f this experi ence, leaders in the profession have given much thought to developing means fo r the proper selec tion o f engineering freshmen, including aptitude testing and personality evaluation techniques. Engineering education is not static—it is con stantly changing and improving. Progressive schools are leading the way, with new and more efficient means o f teaching and research. The American Society fo r Engineering Education, (originally the Society fo r the Prom otion o f Engi neering Education) has been very active in promot ing better education and preparation for the pro fession. Standards o f entrance qualifications have been raised, and a better integration o f edu cation and training with practical knowledge de manded by employers has come about. Gradually the educational level o f the entire pro fession has been rising. A m ajor proportion now have a college education, and many have advanced degrees as well. In 1946, fo r example, over 80 per cent o f all engineers reporting to the Bureau’s survey o f the profession were engineering college 36 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS graduates, compared to about 75 percent reporting to a similar survey 12 years earlier. In 1934, only 6 percent had a master’s or doctor’s degree com pared to nearly 15 percent in 1946. In addition, the educational level o f engineers varies by field o f engineering as may be seen in table 6. The trend toward postgraduate training w ill probably be accelerated in the next few years when (as sug gested in a later section o f this report) many engi neering graduates w ill be unable to get engineering jobs. The educational level o f engineers also differs by occupational status. For some positions, such as research or teaching, the proportion o f engineers with advanced degrees (master’s or doctor’s) is much higher than in other positions. On the other hand, in administrative, management, or super visory jobs the level o f education does not appear to be a requisite for success. In these positions, T a b l e 6.— Percentage distribution o f engineers by educar tional level fo r 1946 Field of engineering employment fJhfiminal Civil ........................ Electrical...................... Mechanical__________ Mining and metallurgi cal_________ ______ Other............................ each field o f engineering em ploym ent , Incom No col Total Doctor Master Bache plete lor college lege 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.7 1.2 2.1 1.8 18.5 9.8 11.8 10.9 69.1 65.8 68.7 67.9 5.8 19.4 13.9 15.9 0.9 3.8 3.5 3.5 100.0 100.0 5.2 2.3 17.9 11.2 62.4 60.7 12.2 21.0 2.3 4.8 other factors such as leadership or organizing ability probably have more importance. A large number o f engineers who presently occupy such positions entered many years ago when form al en gineering training was not considered as essential as it is today. It is expected that in the future a greater proportion o f these jobs w ill be filled by men who possess at least a bachelor’s degree in en gineering. Many junior executives and graduate Chart 8.— Number of Engineering Graduates, 1920-52 Annual Number Of Baccalaureate And First Professional Degrees Granted Thousands of Graduates 1920 Thousands of Graduates 1925 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 SOURC£: SEE APPENDIX TABLE D-3 37 TRENDS IN SUPPLY OF ENGINEERS engineers in industry are taking postgraduate training in industrial engineering. Despite the growth o f engineering colleges and their acceptance as the standard method o f train ing engineers, some men have been able to enter the profession without having completed their form al training, and some even without any en gineering college training at all. Some o f the latter have had technical institute training, or college training in related sciences, such as chem istry, physics, or mathematics. Others have had no education beyond secondary school, and have picked up their engineering knowledge by selfstudy and on the job. Some o f the leading en gineers entered in this way in past years. Never theless, the proportion entering the profession without completing engineering college training has been growing smaller. The difficulty o f en tering in this way has also become greater. It is important fo r prospective engineering stu dents to select a properly accredited school o f en gineering since persons trained at such schools generally have the best employment opportunities. Lists o f accredited curricula are presented in the annual reports o f the Engineers’ Council for P ro fessional Development dated September o f each year. Reprints o f the accredited lists as well as the complete reports are available from that or ganization which is located at 25-33 West 39th Street, New York 18, N. Y. T a ble 7.— Numbers in Training The growth o f the engineering profession has been made possible by a steady expansion in the numbers o f students trained by the engineering schools. In addition to supplying the engineers needed in American industry the engineering schools o f the United States have to a small ex tent provided engineers for many foreign coun tries. The number graduated increased from about 5,000 a year in 1920 to about 44,000 in the academic year ending June 1949. However, graduations did not rise continuously each year during this period, as may be seen in chart 8. Because o f the number o f years required to train an engineer, the supply o f graduates is not readily adjusted to the current demand. For example, owing to the high enrollments toward the end o f the 1920-29 decade, annual graduations reached new peaks during the early depression years, when many experienced engineers were unemployed. Graduations dropped slightly for 2 or 3 years thereafter, and then resumed the upward trend, reaching a new high o f over 15,000 with the advent o f W orld W ar II. The trend in enrollments in engineering schools has in general moved along the same lines as graduations. (See tables 7 and 8.) W orld W ar I I created an enormous demand for engineers both in war production industries and in the military forces. Leaders in the war effort, edu- Undergraduate enrollment in engineering schools 1 in the United States , by field o f engineering, 1981—4 9 Academic year ending June 1931................................................. 1932................................................. 1933................................................. 1934................................................. 1935................................................. 1936................................................. 1937................................................. 1938................................................. 1939................................................. 1940.................................... ............ 1941................................................. 1942............................................... 1943................................................. 1944................................................ 1945................................................. 1946................................................. 1947.............. .................................. 1948.................................... ............ 1949................................................ Civil* 13,813 00 13,531 00 00 9,683 9,459 11,194 12,374 12,956 13,135 12,724 13,598 5,468 4,336 8,422 34,505 37,763 40,676 Electrical Mechanical8 Chemical4 Mining and metal lurgical 10,673 00 9,293 00 00 9,919 10,727 13,108 12,924 15,923 16,907 19,466 19,130 8,752 5,648 8,216 24,289 29,250 26,771 2,771 00 2,237 0s) 00 2,452 2,374 3,307 3,536 4,525 4,570 3,985 3,990 1,244 696 1,282 4,584 5,836 5,541 18,565 00 14,525 («) 00 11,117 10,678 13,424 13,135 15,680 15,505 14,426 14,671 7,599 5,934 11,094 36,129 52,292 49,907 15,053 00 14,995 00 00 16,157 16,073 22,249 23,926 30,228 34,774 35,833 37,368 15,143 9,570 18,007 55,094 70,285 66,650 Other8 12,53! 00 8,538 00 00 14,809 18,204 21,265 18,206 26,590 25,727 24,152 21,785 11,181 12,284 22,126 44,255 842,490 843,690 Total, United States and Canada 773,386 (8) 763,119 00 00 764,137 767,515 784,547 84,101 105,902 110,618 110,586 7110,542 49,387 38,468 69,147 7198,856 237,916 234,190 Total, Canada only Total, United States only CO 00 (7) (6) y) in v) (7) 1,417 3,013 1,707 2,495 (7) 4,032 3,577 6,083 (7) 7,736 8,073 1Includes only’those schools reporting in issues of the Journal of Engineering 5Includes general, other, and unclassified. Education. Each field includes Canadian students except where indicated. 8Not available. 2Includes agricultural, architectural, and sanitary. 7Each field for this year includes United States students only. 2Includes aeronautical, industrial, and naval architectural and marine. 8Includes enrollments in extension centers. 8Includes ceramic and petroleum. Source: Journal of Engineering Education, issues from April 1933 to February 1949. 73,386 00 63,119 00 00 64,137 67,515 84,547 82,683 102,889 108,911 108,091 110,542 45,355 34,892 63,064 198,856 230,180 226,117 38 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK. FOR ENGINEERS cators, and engineers themselves endorsed emer gency measures for increasing the supply o f engi neering personnel. Plans were drawn for finan cial aid for students, improved selection o f engi neering freshmen to alleviate the drop-out rate, and fo r the recruitment o f high school graduates for training. The Engineering, Science and Man agement W ar Training Program 18 offered re fresher courses to help engineers, including those who had left the profession, to prepare for work in connection with war production. In response to such appeals, engineering enroll ment rose rapidly. In the academic year 1942-43, the number o f freshmen reached a new high o f over 45,000 and total enrollment was more than 110,000 in accredited schools only. Annual gradu ations also continued their upward trend, reaching a peak o f about 16,000 in the academic year 1941-42. Engineering enrollments dropped dur ing the later war years. From 1942 to 1945, the number o f graduates decreased, owing to the change in Selective Service policy, which discon tinued deferments for some college students; in 1945 a low o f around 8,500 was reached—a smaller number o f graduates than in any year since 1937. Nevertheless, engineering graduations for the first 5 years o f the present decade totaled more than in any previous 5-year period—nearly 85,000 between 1940 and 1945 compared with the previous high o f slightly over 70,000 between 1934 and 1939. Thus engineering education as a whole fared much better during the war than most nontechnical fields. Enrollments in education, commerce, law, agriculture, and architecture were affected quickly by the withdrawal o f students because o f the draft. Only such fields as medicine and dentistry were able to maintain the prewar level o f graduations over the entire war period. In the first postwar year, engineering education began to resume its prewar trend in growth. Data from the Journal o f Engineering Education (the official publication o f the American Society fo r En gineering Education) show that, for those schools reporting, enrollment was about twice as high in the academic year 1946-47 as in any prewar year. Former students who had been drafted during the 18 Federal Security Agency, U. S. Office o f E ducation, B ulletin 1946, No. 9, Engineering, Science, and Management War Training— Final Report, Superintendent o f Documents, W ashington 25, D. C., 1946. P rice 35 cents. war years, veterans who became interested in the field, and high school graduates impressed by the wartime drive for trained engineers flocked into engineering schools. In the academic year ending June 1948 engineering enrollments again increased. Estimates o f the number o f undergraduate stu dents in all engineering schools showed an all-time high o f nearly 250,000 in colleges and universities and around 75,000 in junior colleges, or about 14 percent o f total college enrollment.19*3 9 Enrollments were only slightly lower in the academic year end ing June 1949. Engineering graduations also in creased from the low o f the later war years, num bering about 11,500 in 1946, over 20,000 in 1947, about 32,000 in the year ending June 1948, and nearly 44,000 in 1949. Considering engineering college enrollments in the academic year 1948-49, and assuming that drop-out rates w ill be as high as the prewar experience, future engineering gradua tions may be estimated at 47,000 in 1950, 36,000 in 1951, and nearly 29,000 in 1952. (See appendix table D -2 .) These estimates may be nominal if drop-out rates should be lower than prewar— and there is some scattered evidence to this effect—and i f any substantial number o f junior college stu dents enter engineering schools. A study o f engineering enrollment by field shows some shifting in interest among fields during the war years; these shifts have in general follow ed the developments occurring within the various fields. ( See table 7.) Enrollments in mechanical, chemical, and mining and metallurgical engineer ing rose to peak levels during the first war years. On the other hand, though they increased from prewar levels, enrollments in both civil and elec trical engineering failed to reach the high levels o f the early thirties. A fter decreasing in the later war years, enrollinent in all fields o f engineering rose to new peaks in the postwar period, though some expanded more than others. Civil, electrical, and mechanical en gineering show the greatest increase from the war time highs—the first two fields more than tripled from 1943 to 1948, while mechanical nearly dou bled. Though both chemical, and mining and metallurgical did reach record levels in 1948, they did not increase as much as the other three fields o f engineering. 39 M. M. Boring, Report o f the Committee on Manpower, Journal Of Engineering Education, October 1947, p. 110. TRENDS IN SUPPLY OF ENGINEERS Graduations by field o f engineering have in gen eral been moving along the same lines as have enrollments by field. Table 8 shows the estimated number o f graduations by m ajor field between 1940 and 1949. . 8 — E stim a ted n u m ber o f engineering degrees aw arded , b y field o f engineering, 1 9 8 9 -4 0 to 1 9 4 8 -4 9 1 T able Academic year Total Civil Other (in Mechanical cludes chem Electrical (includes in ical, mining, metallurgical dustrial) and other) 1939-40______ 1940-41______ 1941-42............ 1942-43............ 1943-44............ 1944-45............ 1945-46........... 1946-47............ 1947-48........... 1948-49............ 15,100 15,200 16,000 15,300 13.500 8,500 11.500 21,000 32.000 44.000 2,420 2,050 2,160 2,080 1,930 1,260 2,400 3,250 4,410 6,350 2,880 2,860 2,830 2,500 2,470 1,540 2,110 3,990 6,720 11,200 4,770 5,320 5.920 5.920 4,960 3,010 3,910 8,590 10,780 14,350 5,030 4,970 5,090 4,800 4,140 2,690 3,080 5,170 10,090 12,100 Total__ 192,100 28,310 39,100 68,530 57,160 i See tabulation below for estimates of engineering graduates by field for 1950. Source: Journal of Engineering Education, issues from December 1941 to February 1949. Data adjusted by Bureau of Labor Statistics to include graduates of all engineering schools. Future graduations by field o f engineering are almost impossible to estimate because many stu dents do not choose a specialty before their third year. Examination o f enrollment data by class and by field for the academic year 1948-49 makes it possible to estimate graduations for at least the next year, as shown in the follow ing tabulation. (Prewar drop-out rates were used in these esti m ates.)20 Field Academic year 1949-50 T o t a l______________________________________ 47,000 C iv il_______________________________________ 7,700 E lectrical___________________________________ 12,500 Mechanical_________________________________ 16, 000 Chemical___________________________________ 5,200 Mining and metallurgical___________________ 1,500 O ther______________________________________ 4,100 The peak enrollments o f the postwar years are o f course temporary, since they represent in large part both those who would normally have attended school during the war and the college attendance 39 o f veterans who would not have been able to fi nance a college education without the aid o f bene fits under the Servicemen’s Readjustment A ct o f 1944 and subsequent legislation. That the peak is already past is evidenced by the drops in the freshman classes o f the academic years 1947-48 and 1948-49. Engineering enrollments fo r the year 1948-49 as reported in the February 1949 issue o f the Journal o f Engineering Education show the follow ing percentages o f veterans by class: Seniors, 82.5 percent; juniors, 78 percent; sopho mores, 58.2 percent; and freshmen, 36.6 percent; indicating that the high veteran enrollments are passing and that from now on classes w ill be com posed almost entirely o f regular high school grad uates. Furthermore, freshman engineering enrollments may well continue to decrease for a number o f years if the trend follow s that o f total freshman enrollments in college. The Bureau o f the Census estimates that the number o f persons 17 years o f age w ill decrease until 1951 and then slowly in crease up to 1964 on the basis o f recent births.21 Starting with these estimates, the Bureau o f the Census has estimated senior year enrollments in secondary schools.22 On the basis o f past trends in the proportion o f high school seniors who were graduated—rising toward 95 percent in recent years23— estimates o f the future number o f high school graduates may be made. During the late thirties, the proportion o f high school graduates who entered college ranged around 35 percent.24 Many persons feel that this ratio w ill rise in the future.25* It may be assumed that, unless there should be a serious depression, at least 35 percent o f all high school graduates in the 1950’s would enter college. W hile the initial effect o f a depres sion would be a reduction in nonveteran enroll ments, after a few years such enrollments might increase again (as happened in the early th irties); 21 The estimates up to 1955 were published in Forecasts of Population and School Enrollment in the United States: 1948 to 1960, Series P -25, No. 18, Feb. 14, 1949. U. S. Department o f Commerce, Bureau o f the Census, W ashington 25, D. C. 22 Ibid, table 5, p. 16. 23 Federal Security Agency, Office o f Education, Statistical 20 Armsby, Henry H., A Reexamination of the Compton Report Summary of Education, 194$~44, table 27, p. 31. W ashington 25, in the Light of Enrollment in Engineering Curricula, Fall of D. C., 1947. Price 15 cents. 1946, Journal o f Engineering Education, May 1947, pp. 681 and 24 Ibid, table 26, p. 31. 682. Prewar survival rates were estimated as follow s: Fresh 25 President’s Commission on H igher Education, Higher Edu men, 53.8 percent; sophomores, 64.7 percent; juniors, 71.8 per cation for American Democracy, Vol. I, W ashington 25, D. C., cent ; and seniors, 83 percent. 1947, Superintendent of Documents. Price 40 cents. 40 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS moreover any initial decrease in nonveteran en rollments would tend to be offset by an increase in veteran enrollments. Under the above assump tions, college freshman enrollments w ill probably decrease until the academic year 1952-53 and then increase slowly through the decade and for several more years reaching its present levels after 1960. W ill the general increase in college enrollments be paralleled by an increase in enrollments in engi neering schools? This depends on the trends in occupational interests o f students, and on the poli cies o f engineering schools with respect to the selec tion and admission o f students. The policies o f schools are now under study in the American So ciety fo r Engineering Education. Individual en gineering educators have also been studying enroll ment trends, attempting to determine future levels.26 The interest o f students may change, and they may be influenced in such change by the eco nomic situation and by proper vocational guidance. Based on past trends, however, it may be said that the interest in engineering as a career is grow ing rather than diminishing. The ratio o f engi neering enrollment to total college enrollment rose very slowly from the early thirties—from about 6 percent in 1934 to about 7 percent in 1940. Dur ing the war, owing to the comparatively rapid increase in importance o f the engineering field and the drafting o f college students from other fields, the ratio increased to about 13 percent in 1944. The ratio in 1948-49 (about 10 percent), though lower than the war peak, was still somewhat above the average which prevailed during the prewar decade, owing to the intense interest in engineer ing. The proportion o f college freshmen who were in engineering was slightly lower than this— about 9 percent. I f the interest in engineering continues to in crease as it has in the past, it is likely that the ratio o f students who wish to enroll in engineering to the total number o f college students w ill remain above the average prewar ratio. I f it should be 8 percent, for example, freshman enrollment in en gineering schools would decrease from the peak in 1946-47 o f about 93,000 to a low o f around 33,600 in 1952-53. Thereafter, freshman enrollment would increase through the decade, reaching over 45.000 in 1960 and even more in the next few years. It should be emphasized that these estimates are probably minimal because the assumptions on which they are based do not allow fo r such possibil ities as rising survival rates in high schools and increasing percentages o f high school graduates who enter college. It is also possible to estimate roughly the number o f engineering degrees awarded from freshman en gineering enrollments. Using prewar survival rates o f freshman engineering classes to gradua tion, it may be estimated that the number o f de grees awarded would decrease from the high o f 47.000 in the year ending June 1950 to slightly over 18.000 in the year ending June 1956. Graduations would then increase over the remainder o f the dec ade and past 1960, reaching about 25,000 around 1964. The increase in high-school graduations ex pected after 1960 would result in a further increase in engineering graduations through the decade up to 1970. Again it should be emphasized that these estimates could well increase over the levels as sumed ; there is evidence o f a rising trend in col lege attendance and interest in engineering as a career. Also, owing to better selection o f students, survival rates o f engineering students could be raised. Several other developments could also tend to increase college enrollment in general and there fore engineering enrollment. The President’s Commission on Higher Education 27*estimated, on the basis o f anticipated population growth and the trend for an increasing proportion o f young peo ple to go to college, that total college enrollment would rise from about 2,400,000 in the academic year ending in June 1949 to 2,900,000 in 1960. Fur thermore, the Commission felt that these numbers could very well be increased by removing economic and other barriers which prevent a number o f qual ified persons from attending an institution o f higher learning. The Commission suggested a goal o f 4,600,000 enrollees in institutions o f higher education in 1960. “ H ollister, S. C., Postwar Engineering Enrollment Rapidly Adjusting to Near Pre-War Level, Journal o f Engineering Edu cation, March 1949, pp. 355-359. 27 President’s Commission on Higher Education, Higher Educa tion for American Democracy, Vol. I, Superintendent o f Docu ments, W ashington 25, D. C., 1947. Price 40 cents. TRENDS IN SUPPLY OF ENGINEERS 41 EN T R A N C E OF N O N G R A D U A T E S Not all engineers are college or university grad uates, although there is a trend toward requiring at least a bachelor’s degree. As pointed out above, some men who had not completed engineering school have always been able to enter the field. F or example, during the decade 1920 to 1930 about 75,000 engineers received degrees (see appendix table D -3 ) and during the same period the pro fession grew by about 85,000 (see appendix table D -4 ). I f we consider, in addition, the number needed for the replacement o f older engineers who died or retired (estimated at about 25,000—see p. 42), it appears that no fewer than 35,000 persons without an engineering degree must have entered during the twenties. This makes no allowance for engineers or engineering graduates who may have left the profession for other occupations; if such allowance were made, the estimates o f the number o f nongraduates who entered would be correspond ingly greater than 35,000. Even during the depression decade o f the thir ties, when many engineers lost their jobs and had to seek other employment, and when many gradu ates were unable to find engineering jobs, a large number o f nongraduates came into the field. It may be shown that in the age groups up to 35 at least 50,000 men (including graduates who may not have held an engineering job) left the profession for other fields o f work during the decade. Yet in the age group 35 to 60 there was an excess o f 26,000 entrants (probably mostly nongraduates) over the number leaving. (See appendix table B -l.) The utilization by industry o f sources o f supply other than the graduates o f engineering schools is reflected also in the fact that the 1940 Census showed that almost two out o f every five employed engineers had completed less than 4 years o f college. In this tabulation the Bureau o f the Census did not classify as an engineer any person under 35 years o f age who reported having had less than 4 years o f college. It was estimated that as many as 12,000 persons were excluded from the engineering classification by this procedure.28 Men who were not engineering graduates con 38 Comparative Occupation Statistics for the United States, 1870 to 1940, p. 24, U. S. Department o f Commerce, Bureau o f th e Census, W ashington 25, D. C., 1943. tinued to enter the field during the war. The de mand for additional engineers at the initial stage o f the defense program could be met by the mo bilization o f a great part o f the 23,000 or more reserves available in 1940 (7,000 men employed in other occupations who reported to the Census that their usual occupation was engineering, and 16,000 engineers who were unemployed). Soon, with the further increase in industrial activity and the en trance into the armed forces o f many engineers, (at least 60,000 were in the service according to data made available by the armed forces) leaders in the profession, in industry, and in government began to realize the necessity for additional en gineers. Steps were taken to secure the services o f men who had dropped out o f school before com pleting the engineering course, persons holding degrees in related fields, and experienced semipro fessional technical personnel who could be up graded with intensive training. Many were pre pared for some phase o f engineering work in con nection with war production by the Engineering, Science and Management W ar Training Program (E SM W T) mentioned above, which gave instruc tion at college level, but by shorter and more intensive courses. The remarkable achievements o f the profession, industry, and the schools in meeting the wartime shortage o f engineers contributed greatly to the unprecedented production o f munitions and to technical improvements at a time when a number equal to nearly a fourth o f the engineers available in 1940 were serving in the armed forces. As one writer pointed out, “ Industry, hard pressed for more technically trained men than the colleges can supply, has doubtless solved its problem in part at least by the employment o f men with less than 4 years o f collegiate training. These men may consider themselves engineers by profession, and by basic definition and in the minds o f the public they are perfectly justified in doing so.” 3 8 *29 Thus, many thousands o f men with less than 4 years o f college entered the profession through intensive training on college level as well as through upgrading to positions in which they 29 L. M. Grain, Engineering— a Profession, in Journal o f Engi neering Education, October 1944, p. 117. 42 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS gained professional experience. Inform ation gathered from employers in 1946 indicates that considerable numbers o f men holding engineering jobs were upgraded during the war from semipro fessional positions. Also, for appointments to some Federal Government positions, completion o f ESM W T courses was accepted fo r at least partial satisfaction o f the requirements. No data are available by which the number o f nongraduates who entered since 1940 can be ac curately estimated. Conditions prevailing during the war may be compared to those during the 192030 decade when, as pointed out above, the rapidly increasing demand was greater than could be taken care o f by engineering college graduations, and at least 35,000 nongraduates entered the profession. There was certainly more opportunity fo r non graduates to enter during the war than in the de pression decade o f the thirties, when at least 26,000 nongraduates entered. In the absence o f exact data, it seems reasonable to assume that as many persons without engineering degrees entered the profession between 1940 and 1948 as did between 1920 and 1930 under less pressing peacetime cir cumstances. As mentioned above, the ratio o f nongraduate engineers to the total in the profession is steadily decreasing. It is likely, then, that a smaller num ber w ill enter in the future, especially when engi neering graduations are high in relation to the de mand. In addition, if the level o f business activity should decline or even remain stable for some time, the prospects for employment o f nongraduates w ill not be promising. It w ill still be possible, how ever, though increasingly difficult, for the able man who has not completed form al training to advance to an engineering position. LOSSES TO THE PROFESSION In engineering as in other fields o f work, many employment openings in the engineering profes sion result from vacancies arising from death, re tirement, or transfer o f engineers to other occupa tions. In the past, because o f the rapid growth o f the profession more openings have been provided by an increase in jobs than by replacements. This w ill not necessarily be true in the future. Death and Retirement In order to aid in estimating losses to various occupations the United States Department o f Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics has developed a set o f tables o f working life expectancy30 reflect ing the death and retirement experience o f work ers in the United States. These tables show the average working life expectancy for persons o f a given age, and make it possible to estimate the average annual losses arising from both death and retirement in any occupation in which the age composition o f the members is known. Because o f the growth o f the engineering profes sion, losses owing to death and retirement have been increasing steadily. They amounted to about 25.000 in the decade 1920 to 1930 and more than 40.000 in the decade 1930 to 1940, according to esti-8 0 80 A report including these tables w ill be released in the near future. mates based on the tables o f working life expect ancy. This means that during the twenties an av erage o f about 2,500 persons were needed annually to replace those dying or retiring, and during the thirties about 4,000 were needed each year. In the present decade, replacement needs have continued to rise. By applying the separation rates from the tables described above, it may be estimated that the number needed for replacement has risen from about 5,000 a year in 1940 to around 6.000 or 7,000 a year at the present time. Thus, between 1940 and early 1948, some 43,000 engineers were lost to the profession (appendix table D -2 ). Over the entire 1940 to 1950 decade, losses to the engineering profession arising solely from death and retirement w ill number between 55,000 and 60 000. It is expected these losses w ill continue to in crease. In the first several years o f the next dec ade, it is likely that these losses w ill run between 7.000 and 8,000 per year, and they w ill increase to almost 9,000 a year around 1960. Over the dec ade 1950 to 1960 these losses to the profession w ill probably total about 80,000. When the losses in each individual field o f en gineering are estimated on the basis o f the labor force life tables, striking differences are noted in the impact o f death and retirement. These d if TRENDS IN SUPPLY OF ENGINEERS ferences result from the age composition in each field; for example, 2.7 percent o f all civil engineers are estimated to die or retire annually at the pres ent time as compared to 1.8 percent o f electrical engineers, 2 percent o f mechanical, and only 1.1 percent o f all other engineers (chemical, mining, and m etallurgical). In terms o f actual numbers, annual losses are estimated as follow s: Civil, 2,400; mechanical (including industrial), 2,600; electri cal, 1,400; all other engineers (includes chemical, mining, and m etallurgical), 600. By the end o f the 1950 to 1960 decade these annual losses may rise to the follow ing levels: Civil, 2,900; mechani cal, 3,300; electrical, 1,900; all other engineers, 800. Since the losses occur almost entirely among the older groups, the estimates for the end o f the next decade are prim arily related to the number o f engineers who entered prior to 1940, and they are not significantly affected by differing assump tions which may be made as to the future growth o f the profession or the numbers o f new graduates who may enter. Transfers Out of the Profession A second replacement factor which must be taken into consideration is the transfer o f engi neers to other occupations—both those engineer ing graduates who do not enter the field after graduation and those engineers who enter other occupations after once having started their engi neering career. There is always a certain amount o f movement o f individuals among occupational fields and any evaluation o f the number o f engi neers who have to be trained must make some al lowance for this normal amount o f movement out o f the profession. Transfers are affected by many varied factors, including general business conditions within a particular period, the balance between the supply and demand in the profession itself, and the level o f compensation o f engineers, particularly as com pared to other occupations. Inform ation on the employment experience o f engineers during the 1930 to 1940 decade indicates that established per sons, as well as inexperienced graduates, transfer to other occupations. The advancement o f engi neers to administrative positions, which is fre quent, probably should not be considered to con stitute a loss to the engineering profession. (See appendix A .) 852396°— 50----- 4 43 Losses among new graduates may be high. However, analysis o f past conditions indicates that some men attend engineering school with no idea o f entering the profession. It is widely rec ognized that an engineering background is o f great value in many occupations. Many graduates have entered other types o f positions in the business world, and have thus successfully utilized their training without ever having been employed as engineers. Annual losses arising from transfers from the occupation are much more difficult to estimate that losses arising from death and retirement, and little statistical information is available with re gard to them. Data from the 1946 Survey o f the Engineering Profession provide some indication o f the approxi mate magnitude o f replacement needs arising from movements out o f the profession. These data in dicate that about 3 percent o f the men reporting engineering employment in 1939 had transferred to nonengineering work by 1946, or something like one-half o f 1 percent a year. (See section on oc cupational m obility o f engineers, p. 69.) A pply ing this percentage to those actually in the field as reported by the 1940 census, an estimate o f 8,000 transfers o f engineers out o f the profession is ob tained. This is probably a minimal estimate, since many engineers who left the profession between 1940 and 1946 were not on the m ailing list for the survey, or, if they received questionnaires, may have been less prone to fill them out and return them than were those who maintained an active interest in their profession. A llow ing fo r this, the number o f those transferring out in this period may therefore be estimated as at least 9,000. Data from the 1946 survey also indicate that ap proximately 3y2 percent o f those graduating be tween 1939 and 1946 were engaged in nonengineer ing work in 1946. A pplied to the total number o f graduates from 1940 to 1946, this rate o f one-half o f 1 percent a year would indicate that close to 4,000 engineering graduates were lost to the pro fession in this period. The same survey bias de scribed above also applied to this case, perhaps even to a greater degree. The number o f gradu ates lost to the profession in the 7-year period is probably closer to 6,000. Several follow -up sur veys o f engineering graduates have provided meas ures o f the number leaving the profession. An 44 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS employment survey o f Stanford University en gineering graduates o f the school year 1947-4831 reveals that 6.7 percent o f all graduates were in nonengineering work as o f December 1948. A study o f the employment histories o f engineering graduates o f the University o f California o f the years 1920 to 1942 32 shows that about Sy2 percent o f all positions held by the graduates during the first 5 years o f employment were in nonengineer ing work. Still another study o f engineering graduates o f the class o f 1947 made by New York University, although showing no tabulations, re veals that a number o f graduates do not enter the field even in times o f good employment opportuni ties. From these and similar studies and from other information, it may be reasonable to assume that during “ normal” times a number o f engineer ing graduates (perhaps as many as 5 percent) do not enter the profession. Taking into considera tion the losses o f both experienced engineers and new graduates, one may conclude that between 1940 and 1946 at least 15,000 engineers (or about 1 percent per year) transferred out o f the profession. In this war period engineers were in great demand; in time o f peace the proportion transferring out might well be larger. The total loss to the profession from transfers during the present decade, then, at the rate of onehalf o f 1 percent per year for older engineers and 5 percent per year for new graduates w ill prob ably be in the neighborhood o f 80,000. In the next decade from 1950 to 1960, assuming continued high employment levels, the minimum losses aris ing from persons transferring out o f the field should rise somewhat owing to the larger engineer ing labor force expected. A t least 4,000 engineers per year, or 40,000 in the decade, may either leave the occupation or never enter after graduation. This compares with a loss o f at least 50,000 en gineers under the age o f 35 during the depression decade o f the thirties—mostly graduates who could not find engineering employment. (See appendix table B -l.) Losses from each major field o f engineering are even more difficult to esti 91 Stanford University, An Employment Survey of Stanford Uni versity Engineering Graduates Who Received Degrees During the School Year June 1947 to June 19Jfe, Stanford University, Calif., Dec. 17, 1948. (Mimeographed.) 33 Howe, E. D., Employment Histories of Engineering Grad uates, Journal of Engineering Education, March 1947, pp. 513519. mate. In view o f the lack o f data, it may be help ful, for illustrative purposes, to assume that the losses are distributed according to the number in each field. These figures should serve merely as a possible bench mark. W e have seen above that this trans fer-out loss is dependent upon several factors which are extremely variable. Possible over crowding in the engineering profession or poor general business conditions could easily force many additional people to leave the field. Summary Rough estimates o f present and possible future losses to the profession, arising from all factors including death, retirement, and transfers to other occupations, may be made, but they are subject to a considerable error. First, from the age com position o f the profession it is possible to esti mate with a fair degree o f accuracy the annual losses arising from death and retirement. A t the present time this loss is about 6,000 or 7,000 per year, or nearly 2 percent o f the employment in the profession, and by the end o f the next decade, it may rise to around 9,000 per year. Next, it has been suggested that at the present time losses from transfers to other occupations are occuring at the rate o f about one-half o f 1 percent o f the number in the field each year plus 5 percent o f the new graduates or a little more than 3,000 per year. In the 1950 to 1960 decade this number could rise to at least 4,000 per year. Losses from all factors are therefore around 9,000 or 10,000 a year at the present time, or about 3 percent o f the membership o f the pro fession.33 Total annual replacement needs oc curring at the present time may be roughly dis tributed as follow s: Civil, 2,900; mechanical, 3,500; electrical, 1,900; all other engineers (in cludes chemical, mining and m etallurgical), 1,000. These needs could rise during the next decade until, by 1960, losses to the profession from all factors could amount to at least 13,000 a year, dis tributed approximately as follow s: Civil, 3,900; mechanical, 5,000; electrical, 2,900; all other en gineers, 1,400. Again, it must be emphasized that *» It w ill be noted that a sim ilar figure as to the rate of loss was arrived at by the Compton committee in its report referred to above in footnote 3, p. 10. c o n c l u s io n s : em ploym ent there are many factors which affect replacement needs and that the figures given above are only approximations. Because replacement needs are an important consideration in any analysis o f the future de mand for engineers and because present data on these needs are fragmentary and are subject to a outlook 45 wide margin o f error, there is a pressing need for additional information on the subject. Engineer ing colleges could make a real contribution by conducting follow -up surveys o f engineering graduates such as those conducted by Stanford University, University o f California, and New Y ork University. Conclusions: The Employment O u tlo o k for Engineers From the above discussion it may be seen that engineering is one o f the most dynamic and rapid ly growing professions; its expansi6n over the past several decades, particularly during the pres ent one, has been striking. Moreover, the pro fession is expected to grow substantially in the future. It is estimated that about 350,000 engi neers were employed in the United States in the spring o f 1948—an increase o f more than 100,000 since 1940. Upon the basis o f past trends in the use o f engineers by industry, it would appear that employment o f engineers could well increase by some 100,000 more by 1960 to a total o f about 450,000, if generally high employment levels pre vail in the United States. This would mean an expansion o f about 8,000 jobs a year on the average from 1948 to 1960, although the increase w ill vary from year to year. In addition, engineers w ill have to be trained to replace losses to the p ro fession (ow ing to death, retirement, and transfer) which are estimated to be occurring at the rate o f around 9,000-10,000 per year at the present time and which may rise to over 13,000 per year by 1960. The demand fo r engineering graduates in the United States fo r the next few years may be esti mated, then, at approximately 17,000 or 18,000 per year. Toward the end o f the 1950 to 1960 decade, when death and retirement losses are expected to increase, the yearly demand may well rise to around 21,000 or 22,000. This points to an an nual need fo r engineering graduates roughly twice as great as the average number turned out by schools in the decade before the war. These estimates may be high, since they are based on the assumption that the general economic situation w ill be favorable. On the other hand, they as sume only peacetime needs. A review o f the trends in supply o f graduate engineers shows that engineering schools have trained increasing numbers o f students. In line with the general increase in college graduations, the number o f men receiving engineering degrees rose from an average o f 7,000 per year in the twenties to about 10,000 in the thirties. Gradusutions increased rapidly in the early years o f W orld W ar I I and then dropped a great deal in the later years. W ith the tremendous expansion in engi neering enrollments after the war, the number o f graduates has reached unprecedented heights. In the academic year 1947-48, some 32,000 engineer ing students were graduated and in 1948-49, 44,000— an all-time peak. On the basis o f enroll ments in the fall term o f 1948, it may be estimated that about 47,000 students w ill be graduated in 1950, about 36,000 in 1951, and nearly 29,000 in 1952. Actually, graduations in these years may be higher, owing to transfer o f students from junior colleges to engineering schools and to the possibility that drop-out rates may actually be lower than the prewar rates used in the estimates. It is o f course impossible to estimate gradua tions more than 4 years in advance. Enrollments in engineering courses may be influenced by eco nomic and social conditions, changing occupa tional interests o f young people, and vocational guidance buttressed by informational materials such as this report. Nevertheless, it is o f interest to illustrate what the level o f engineering gradua tions may be, solely on the assumption that past trends w ill continue. These estimates may pro vide a benchmark by which the effects o f possible alternate conditions may be appraised by educa tors and other leaders in the profession. The es timates presented here suggest, on the basis o f past trends in college enrollment, the proportions o f 46 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS college students entering engineering training, the survival rates o f students, and future trends in population that the number o f engineering degrees awarded may fall to not less thorn 18,000 in 1956 and then rise gradually to at least 25,000 in 1965. A comparison o f the estimated supply o f and demand for engineering graduates leads to several conclusions. In the next fern years, approxi m ately 191$ to 1952, the number o f graduates w ill greatly exceed the demcmd fo r graduate engineers. A fter that, if past trends affecting enrollments should continue, the annual demand fo r graduates and the supply o f new graduates would roughly be in balance. The conclusion concerning the immediate out look is substantially in line with that o f the Man power Committee o f the American Society for Engineering Education, which said in a report prepared in the early summer o f 1948:34 Under conditions o f normally increasing industrial operations, it is believed that present trends in en gineering enrollment will produce a reasonable bal ance between supply and demand a fte r 1951 . I n th e n e x t 2 y ea rs th e transient condition created by v e t eran en rollm en t w ill create a su pply in e x cess o f that w h ich should n orm a lly be absorbed in str ic tly en gi n eerin g occupations . T h e m a xim u m is proba bly n o t m o re than about 1 y e a r ’s su pply , although it is possible that little or no surplus will be noticeable as engineer ing education has long been recognized as having great value as general education and as a good foun dation for work in almost any profession. Enrollment figures fo r the fa ll term o f 1948 and other information not available at the time the Manpower Committee’s report was prepared sug gest that the condition they foresaw might be con tinued through 1952. It should be noted that the above appraisal o f the outlook is based upon the assumption o f a high level o f general economic activity. The d if ficulties which face the graduates would be inten sified by a drop in general business conditions. A t the time this report was being written (spring 1949) employers were beginning to be more cau tious in hiring. The foregoing evaluation is based solely on a comparison o f the prospective demand with the expected supply o f engineering graduates and does not take into account the fact that some en 84Annual Report of Manpower Committee o f A8EE, Journal o f Engineering Education, September 1948, pp. 36-38. gineering jobs w ill be filled, as in the past, by men without engineering degrees. In view o f the long-run trend toward requiring form al engineer ing training, and the ample supply o f graduates, it seems likely that nongraduates w ill have greater difficulty in getting jobs than in recent years. T o the extent that they may succeed, however, oppor tunities fo r graduate engineers would o f course be reduced. The above appraisal o f the employment outlook fo r engineers is somewhat affected by the fact that American engineering schools are a source o f sup ply o f engineers for many foreign countries. Some o f the engineers who w ill work overseas are foreign students; others are American students who find engineering employment abroad.8 4 85 A t the time this report was being written plans were under discussion to provide technical assistance to foreign countries, follow ing a recommendation by the President in his 1949 inaugural address. A small additional allowance has to be made in the estimate o f the number to be trained to provide for this element o f demand. T o some extent this is offset by the supply o f engineers trained in fo r eign schools (particularly Canadian) who find employment in the United States. Although it is likely that in the next 4 years the total number o f engineering graduates w ill be greater than the number o f engineering positions available, the employment situation w ill vary greatly as between engineering positions at d if ferent levels and among the various fields o f engi neering. A t almost any time during the growth o f the profession, even in times o f depressed in dustrial activity, the engineer who is at or near the top in ability has had little trouble in obtain ing or keeping a job. Even when com petition becomes stiffer, as expected, it is likely that a de mand for men with special abilities or training in such work as research and design w ill still prevail. Also, though there is expected to be an excess o f trained personnel over available positions in all fields, the surplus w ill occur earlier and be larger in some branches o f engineering than in others. Comparison o f the estimated supply and demand in the various fields suggests that the oversupply “ The survey o f members o f six engineering societies in 1946 showed that 2.2 percent were in residence abroad as civilian engineers. Engineering Profession in Transition. Engineers Joint Council, New York, N. Y., 1947, p. 64. c o n c l u s io n s : em ploym ent o f new graduates w ill be largest in electrical engi neering. W ithin the field o f mechanical engineer ing, some specialties are likely to have an oversupply before others. On the other hand, an im balance between the supply o f and demand for engineers in the civil and mining and metallurgi cal fields is not expected to occur as soon or to as great a degree as in the other branches mentioned above. Somewhat similar conclusions were reached by the Committee on Manpower o f the American Society for Engineering Education in their report to the Society in June 1947.36 Engineers unable to get a beginning job in the field for which they were trained w ill be able in many cases to start in another engineering field. Examination o f data on occupational m obility shows that graduates sometimes obtain employ ment in a field o f engineering other than that in which they studied. I f competition becomes stiff in electrical engineering, fo r example, some per sons trained in this field may be able to switch to civil, mining and metallurgical, or some special ties o f mechanical engineering. Such transfers w ill tend to reduce the differences in employment outlook among the various fields o f engineering. Thus an oversupply o f applicants for employment in all major* fields o f engineering is in prospect within the next several years. T o students in engineering schools and to the individual interested in engineering as a career, it should be pointed out that intense competition fo r nearly all types o f beginning engineering jobs w ill be experienced within the next few years. This w ill be true even i f general business conditions are good. The competition would be intensified i f there should be a recession. Students now in school would be well advised to get the best pos sible training. The minimum ^educational re quirements are being raised gradually and the pro portion o f engineers with advanced degrees, though small, is increasing. The engineering student o f the future may be required to meet higher standards for entrance into and progress in the engineering curriculum, and may have to complete more than the traditional 4 years o f edu cation in order to succeed in his chosen profession. The would-be engineer should endeavor also to make the best possible record o f achievement in his studies and to broaden his training as much as8 0 80Journal o f E ngineering Education, O ctober 1947, pp. 11 9 -1 1 3 . outlook 47 possible. Furthermore, many employees empha size the extra-curricular college record o f prospec tive employees. Those engineering graduates o f the next few years who are unable to get engineering jobs may attempt to adjust to the situation in several ways. Some will find that their education has qualified them in the eyes o f employers for other jobs in industry, such as administration, sales, or tech nical jobs. Others, who have a particular interest and aptitude in engineering, may decide to remain in school and obtain a postgraduate degree in en gineering to improve their chances for employ ment. Some may find that with additional train ing built upon the foundation o f their engineer ing education, they w ill be able to find employment in other professions or occupations which are ex pected to have a continued need for new workers.37 Those who w ill seek immediate employment in nonengineering occupations w ill find that their opportunities are improved by the growing belief on the part o f employers that engineering educa tion is a good background for many nonengineer ing jobs. The fact that employers are using en gineering graduates in administration and other jobs has been recognized by engineering educators and is being reflected in attempts to adapt the training along those lines (footnote 17, p. 35). On the other hand, their chances o f finding other employment w ill be limited by intensified competition for entrance jobs in many fields over the next several years resulting from the postwar boom in college enrollments. Compared to a pre war peak o f 1.5 m illion in 1939-40, enrollments were at a new high o f 2.4 m illion in the fall term o f 1948. These students have now begun to grad uate. As a result o f these high enrollments there w ill be more graduates in some professional and administrative fields than can be absorbed by in dustry; on the other hand, shortages o f workers are expected in other occupations. The high-school boy with a real interest in and aptitude fo r engineering should not necessarily be discouraged by the outlook for jobs in the next 87 U. S. Department o f Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, Bulletin 940, Superintendent o f Documents, W ashington 25, D. C., 1949. $1.75. The Handbook contains employment inform ation on 288 major occupations fo r use in vocational guidance, including the professions, skilled trades, clerical, sales, and service occupations, and m ajor types o f farm ing. 48 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS few years. It is quite possible that enrollments in engineering may return to a lower level and that by about 1953 the number o f graduates may be more in line with current demand. Under these circumstances opportunities for new gradu ates w ill depend in part upon whether or not many future engineering graduates who do not get en gineering jobs immediately w ill still seek to enter the profession. It is difficult to say what these men may do. I f business conditions are generally unfavorable, if many engineering graduates are unable to find satisfactory employment in other occupations, or if large numbers should continue in engineering schools for postgraduate work, it is possible that many graduates o f the next few years would continue to seek engineering jobs. On the other hand, if there should be moder ately good business conditions and if the great bulk o f the graduates o f this period are successful in obtaining satisfactory employment in engineer ing or other occupations, relatively few may still be actively seeking jobs in engineering. Under these conditions, there w ill continue to be oppor tunities fo r new graduates in this expanding pro fession. To the engineering schools, the estimates pre sented here may suggest that over the long run there w ill be a demand fo r roughly twice as many graduates as were turned out annually in the dec ade before the war and that facilities and in structional staff w ill have to be provided. The great interest in engineering also suggests that there is both the opportunity and the need fo r a careful selection o f students. Many persons in the profession have for some time felt that the rate o f survival o f engineering students was too low. Some o f the drop-outs are caused by scholastic de ficiencies, some by financial difficulties, and others by lack o f interest. Progress has been made in the improvement o f standards o f entry and in se lection techniques. Educators have devised en gineering aptitude tests for applicants. I f the standards o f entry into engineering schools were raised and if more precise selection methods were used, it is evident that schools could admit even fewer students and still provide an adequate sup ply o f engineering personnel. To counselors in high schools, colleges, and other agencies providing vocational guidance, the im plications o f these conclusions need not be labored. The increasingly competitive situation expected for the next few years—in an occupation which, in any case, makes great demands on the student’s ability and perseverance—may give pause to the marginal student, but should not be allowed to deter those with the aptitude for and realistic in terest in this fascinating and rapidly growing pro fession. The Earnings of Engineers The person considering a career in engineering is interested in knowing what he can expect in the way o f income from this profession. Do earn ings, as in many other professions, increase with experience? I f so, at what rate does this occur? T o what extent does a man’s educational back ground affect his earning capacity? What fields o f engineering and what types o f work within a field seem to offer the best income possibilities? Do earnings differ from one industry or location to another ? How do engineers fare under chang ing economic conditions? This section discusses the factors affecting the earnings o f engineers, and throws some light on the foregoing questions. Earnings in a profession like engineering are undoubtedly influenced by many intangible fac tors, including the ability and personality o f the individual and his importance to the particular company, the supply and demand situation in each field, and even the wage and salary structure which has been established fo r other workers in the industry. Many o f these factors are too com plex to be amenable to measurement in statistical studies such as the Bureau o f Labor Statistics’ 19351 and 19461 2 surveys on which this chapter is based. Only a few relatively simple factors could be measured in these surveys—the length o f each engineer’s professional experience, his educational attainments (in terms o f degrees earned), the type o f work he is doing, and the industry in which he is employed. In this section, the effect o f these latter factors on earnings o f engineers w ill be shown, but the fact that there are a host o f signifi cant factors which could not be taken into account in the figures must be borne in mind. The 1946 survey from which most o f the statis tical data in this chapter are taken was made by the Bureau in cooperation with professional en 1 U. S. Department o f Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Em ployment and Earnings in the Engineering Profession, 1929 to 1934, Bulletin No. 682, Superintendent of Documents, Washing ton 25, D. C., 1941. 25 cents. 2 See Scope and Method o f the 1946 Survey o f the Engineering Profession in appendix C o f this report. gineering societies in 1946, and included reports from nearly 25,000 engineers—including both members o f professional societies and nonmem bers. (A separate report was issued by the so cieties on their members.)3 Inform ation was reported for 3 widely differing years— 1939, 1943, and 1946. Some data are presented, for compara tive purposes, from the similar survey conducted by the Bureau in 1935. Because o f the many requests to the Bureau for earnings information for the engineering profes sion as a whole and fo r each major field o f en gineering, over-all median salaries are presented. However, it should be understood that such figures are not considered meaningful in themselves. W ithin this section is a discussion o f several o f the factors affecting earnings o f engineers which should convince the reader that over-all figures have only lim ited value. The distribution o f en gineers included in the survey by general field o f employment and the median monthly salaries in each field in 1946 are shown in the follow ing tabu lation: General field o f employment Percentage distrir bution Median base monthly salary 1946 AU engineers reporting____________ 100.0 $392 Chemical__________________________ 12.5 Civil______________________________ 20. 0 Electrical--------------------------------------- 21. 7 Mechanical andindustrial_________ 29.3 Mining and metallurgical_________ 5.9 O ther-------------------------------------------- 10.6 363 368 393 409 417 410 In order to emphasize the limited significance o f earnings information for these broad fields, it may be mentioned that chemical engineers, who as a group had the lowest median salary, are found to be actually the highest paid o f all the m ajor types o f engineers when allowance is made fo r length o f professional experience. 8 The Engineering Profession in Transition, Engineers Joint Council, 33 West 39th St., New York, N. Y., 1947. 49 50 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS M a jo r Factors W hich Affect Earnings Years of Experience One o f the most significant o f all the factors affecting earnings o f engineers is length o f experi ence. This fact is, o f course, widely recognized and has been amply demonstrated by surveys o f various professions.4 The fact is well recognized that the form al education preparatory fo r a pro fession—just as the apprenticeship which pre pares one for a skilled trade—merely brings the worker up to a level o f competence sufficient to enable him to begin practicing his profession. The major part o f his learning and development in the profession begins with his working career, and throughout his working life he continues to increase his competence by experience. It should be emphasized, however, that the data do not per mit o f definite statements as to the progression o f salaries o f individuals. W hat is shown is a cross section at one time, o f the salaries o f persons em ployed in the field with varying amounts o f ex perience. In each field o f engineering, the rise in average earnings with length o f experience is persistent and amounts to a considerable increase over the span o f an engineer’s working life (table 9 and chart 9 ). The first 10 years show the greatest rise in earnings; in 1946 the increase for each year’s experience up to 10 averaged $10 to $20 (or $120 to $240 annual salary) depending on field o f engi neering. A fter about 30 years o f experience (at which time the average age o f engineers is over 50 years) there tends to be a leveling off o f aver age salaries. 4U. S. Department o f Labor's Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Factors Affecting Earnings in Chemistry and Chemical Engi neering, Bulletin No. 881, Superintendent o f Documents, Wash ington 25, D. C., 1946. Price 10 cents. The Engineering Profession in Transition, Engineers Joint Council, 33 W est 39th St., New York, N. Y., 1947. U. S. Department o f Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment and Earnings in the Engineering Profession, 1929 to 1894, Bulletin No. 682, Superintendent o f Documents, Wash ington 25, D. C., 1941. Price 25 cents. U. S. Department o f Commerce, Bureau o f Foreign and Do mestic Commerce, Incomes in Selected Professions, Comparison o f Incomes in Nine Independent Professions, in Survey of Current Business, May 1944, p. 15. U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Eco nomic Status of Ceramic Engineers, 1989 to 1947, July 1948. Available free in mimeographed form from issuing office, Wash ington 25, D. C. That the amount o f increase in monthly earn ings with years o f experience varies greatly among engineering specialties is evident from table 9 and chart 9. Entrance salaries in all fields in 1946 were very close together, ranging from $226 to $247 per month. Yet median earnings o f chemi cal engineers show an increase o f about $440 or 185 percent during the working span while earn ings o f civil engineers increased by only about $200 or 85 percent. Increases in the median earn ings o f other types o f engineers over a period o f 35 or 40 years’ experience were approximately as follow s: electrical—$315 (140 percent); mechani cal—$310 (140 percent); mining and metallurgi cal—$405 (165 percent); and other engineers— $350 (150 percent). These differences in salaries by type o f engineering are explained in part in the follow ing analyses o f some o f the other fac tors affecting earnings. However, part o f the ex planation undoubtedly lies in the history o f each field as discussed in the first part o f this report, particularly as related to supply and demand. For example, the relatively high earnings in chemical engineering may reflect the fact that in a period o f rapid expansion in the chemical in dustry there was a scarcity o f men with such training and promotions came early in their careers. Similarly, the relatively low earnings T 9 .— M e d ia n base m o n th ly sa la ry rates f o r each field o f en gin eerin g e m p lo ym en t, b y yea rs o f exp erien ce, 1 9 \ 6 able Years of experience Chem ical Civil Elec trical Me Mining and chan metal Other ical lurgical All engineers reporting.. $363 $368 $393 $409 $417 $410 Less than 1 year............ 1 yea r.......................... 2 years... ....................... 3 years.......................... 4 yea rs........................ 5 years_________ _____ 6 years.......................... 242 241 255 278 310 327 344 247 240 247 263 278 297 307 228 237 249 277 303 315 325 226 225 264 285 308 342 360 247 (9 0) 272 290 313 327 231 0) 283 290 311 310 330 7-8 years.. ................... 9-11 years...................... 12-14 years...... ............. 15-19 years.... ............... 20-24 years. .................. 25-29 years.... .......... 30-34 years................ . 35-39 years___________ 40 years and over_____ 375 399 452 474 552 598 655 640 680 327 345 356 369 382 407 427 428 438 347 366 409 418 454 502 513 545 509 380 408 442 455 492 518 514 534 520 337 404 417 478 516 570 608 592 650 356 370 396 443 445 501 528 539 580 Median years of experi ence........................... 8.8 21.6 15.9 12.8 13.8 17.3 i Insufficient reports to compute median salary. 51 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS Chart 9.— Greatest Rise in Engineers’ Earnings Occurs in the First 10 Years of Experience o o llars Median Base Monthly Salary Rates, 1946 do llars UNITED STA TES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS reported by civil engineers may reflect the fact that many o f them are employed by government agencies in which salary scales are less flexible in response to the supply and demand situation than those in industry. Average monthly earnings o f men with less than 5 years o f experience do not vary greatly among the m ajor fields o f engineering. Chart 9 shows a difference o f less than $30 in 1946 between the highest and the lowest medians in the 6 engineer ing fields fo r men with 3 years o f experience, but the difference fo r those with 30-34 years’ experi ence is more than $200. This pattern o f widening differences in salary with length o f experience prevails in all 3 years covered by the survey—1939, 1943, and 1946. (See appendix table D -13.) This condition suggests that factors other than length o f experience affect salaries o f engineers, and that these factors come into play later in the engineer’s working life. This point is even more clearly brought out when the distribution o f engineers’ earnings at different points in their work history is examined. In chart 10 and appendix table D -12 the 10th, 25th, 75th, and 90th percentiles o f this distribu tion are shown, as well as the median. It is evi dent from these data that mere increase in length o f experience does not insure a substantial rise in earnings. The lowest 10 percent o f engineers in most fields earned, when they had 20 to 29 years o f experience, relatively little more than did the lowest 10 percent o f those who had less than 6 52 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Chart 10.— Salary Differences Within Each Field of Engineering Employment Increase With Years of Experience PERCENTILE LEV ELS OF BASE MONTHLY SA LAR IES, 1946 MONTHLY SALARY * * $1000 — ----- MONTHLY SALARY Chemical 800 ~ 600 - 400 200 -J__________ L- $1000 Mechanical 800 - 600 - 400 200 $1000 Other 80 0 600 400 200 _L_ 10 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OP LABOR BUREAU OP LABOR STATISTICS Years of Experience 15 20 25 * Over $1000 30 and Over 53 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS years’ experience. The earnings o f the highest 10 percent rose much more rapidly, and the difference between the earnings o f the better-paid and the lowest-paid engineers widens sharply with experi ence. This brings out the point that the figures on median earnings, discussed throughout this report, actually conceal a wide spread in earnings, particularly for the more experienced engineers. The exact means by which the cumulation o f professional experience results in increases in earnings was not fully brought out by the survey. Possibly the most common method is the promo tion or advancement o f the engineer to positions o f greater responsibility or difficulty; the effect o f this is discussed in the follow ing paragraphs. Many o f the salary increases take place without promotions, however. It is common practice in industry to recognize that a man’s value to his company increases with experience, and to com pensate him for this by salary raises. This prac T able tice is manifest either in form al arrangements for periodic salary increases, such as are found in some firms and in government agencies, or in a more inform al manner. Occupational Status The type o f work perform ed by an engineer apparently has much to do with the amount o f money he is able to earn. Since it has been shown that length o f experience directly affects earning capacity, it is important to examine earnings by occupation in relation to years o f experience. For this reason, the median length o f experience o f each group is given with the median salary in the follow ing discussion. Top salaries in 1946 in all the m ajor fields o f engineering went to engineers employed in non technical administration-management jobs (table 10). It is evident that these jobs are attained only after many years o f experience. There are rela tively few engineers in nontechnical administrative 1 0 . — M edian base monthly salary rates and median years o f experience fo r each field o f engineering employment , by occupational status, 19^6 Civil Chemical Occupational status Electrical Mechanical Mining and Metallurgical Other Median Median Median Median Median Median Median Median Median Median Median years years Median years years years years base base base base base base of of of of of of monthly experi monthly experi monthly experi monthly experi monthly experi monthly experi salary salary salary salary salary salary ence ence ence ence ence ence All engineers reporting.............................. $363 8.8 $368 21.6 $393 15.9 $409 12.8 $417 13.8 $410 17.3 Administration-management, nontechni cal........................ .................................. Administration-management, technical— Analysis and testing.................................. Construction supervision.......................... Consulting, independent........ ................ - 750 479 270 370 20.0 13.7 7.2 10.5 493 448 330 351 407 23.4 24.5 13.8 21.7 26.0 513 493 310 362 407 21.9 20.3 12.0 18.6 22.0 576 516 343 409 502 17.4 17.5 6.3 15.5 25.5 570 501 306 23.3 18.1 8.4 508 496 327 387 460 19.3 20.1 9.0 19.8 30.0 393 342 345 270 381 22.4 19.0 20.8 9.8 15.4 421 353 369 273 375 18.6 12.9 8.9 7.7 15.8 458 365 391 275 345 18.1 11.0 10.1 7.3 13.0 496 361 381 295 17.5 14.6 9.4 12.0 379 310 23.2 20.2 329 318 330 326 359 15.8 16.0 9.6 15.1 18.1 342 318 313 364 392 10.7 10.9 7.3 14.1 10.4 18.3 487 405 336 355 363 24.2 5.7 9.0 5.5 7.0 Consulting, as employee of private A rm Design..........i ............................1.............. Development- ............................. ............. Drafting..................................................... Editing and writing—................................ Estimating__________________________ Inspection.................................................. Installation ......_llir ri Maintenance.................................... ......... Operation.................................................. Patents _ _ _______________ Personnol-lahftr problems .......... Production....... ......................................... Research in basic science........................... Research, applied...................................... Safety engineering..................................... Sales.......................................................... Teaching, college....................................... Any occupational status not specified above_____________ ____ ____________ i Insufficient reports to compute median. <9 400 359 327 <9 13.9 6.8 11.9 (9 w (9 <9 hS fl) (l) m h) fl) (1) 357 (i) (1) 339 314 324 0) 408 324 320 12.0 0) 362 319 (9 23.8 19.8 (9 0) 6.5 5.8 6.6 (9 (9 (9 (9 <9 „ (9 (9 11.6 8.5 8.0 378 364 356 306 16.8 20.3 20.0 17.5 460 (i) 324 359 393 <9 407 348 336 (9 7.0 10.2 8.1 (9 17.4 17.9 10.0 (9 409 342 395 (9 14.7 14.5 11.1 (9 420 475 (9 35.0 19.6 (9 (9 (9 (9 (9 (9 (9 (9 (9 (9 324 6.8 (9 333 330 (9 (9 364 (9 14.1 327 403 574 312 349 361 (9 405 427 433 8.5 7.0 9.2 (9 18.8 20.6 (9 9.0 18.9 18.3 (9 (9 (9 (9 348 368 10.4 11.3 (9 12.0 22.1 366 399 344 17.0 15.7 18.9 17.5 369 19.8 54 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS jobs 5 as compared with technical administrationmanagement work, where more than a quarter o f the engineers in each o f the m ajor fields were em ployed in 1946. Earnings and length o f experi ence o f engineers engaged in administrative-man agement work were both well above the median fo r all engineers in each field o f specialization. Although there were considerable differences, among the different fields o f engineering, in me dian salaries earned in administrative work, it is obvious that these jobs represent the top o f the financial ladder in every field. Consulting engineers who were employees o f private firms had relatively high monthly earn ings, with median salaries from $25 to $86 higher than the medians for all engineers in their respec tive fields o f engineering; however, their median years o f experience were also higher. (Inde pendent consulting work actually yielded the highest income o f all the types o f work, but only a part o f the total income o f men engaged in such work is reported as base monthly salary; therefore only annual income—which includes fees and bonuses—is meaningful for this category. See the part o f this section on annual income, p. 67.) College or university teaching yielded median monthly earnings in 1946 which varied from $824 fo r chemical engineers with a median o f 8.5 years o f experience to $427 for mining and metallurgical engineers with 22 years o f experience. It should be borne in mind that base monthly salary o f teachers probably represents only the pay received during the regular school term and does not in clude any income which may have been received from publications, special research work, consult ing practice, or vacation employment.6 Teaching •Exam ination o f the reports from engineers reporting their field o f employm ent as “ nonengineering” indicates that a con siderable number who were engaged in nontechnical adm inistra tion-management classified their w ork as outside the engineering field, even though it may have been their trainin g and experience as engineers w hich had qualified them fo r these top-flight admin istrative positions. The net result is th at the proportion o f non technical adm inistration-m anagem ent jobs fo r each field o f engi neering is probably u nderstated; also the accom panying high salaries paid on this type o f w ork were n ot included in the medians fo r the fields o f engineering from w hich these executives came. •R ecognition o f the fa c t th at facu lty members often have opportunities fo r additional incom e is made in reports such as th at o f the Minimum Salary Committee o f the Georgia Society o f P rofessional Engineers, A tlanta, Ga., 1948, in w hich the com m it tee suggests th at salaries o f facu lty members should be % o f the norm al minimum provided fo r 12 m onths continuous employ ment. apparently offers important compensations other than monetary considerations. An interview in quiry conducted for the President’s Commission on Higher Education in 29 institutions revealed that faculty members felt secure in their positions, were reasonably certain o f old-age security, were well pleased with the results they were achieving, and frankly recognized the high prestige value o f the profession.7 Nevertheless a report o f a survey made in 1947 o f 143 engineering schools has this to say concerning salaries o f faculty m em bers:8 It is rather serious that the over-aU median o f average salaries o f associate professors in all types o f institutions is less than $4,000, o f assistant pro fessors is less than $3,400, and o f instructors is less than $2,600. These can hardly be considered as satis factory base incomes (even though for the academic year only) for professional men with the experience and competency required for the specific ranks. Design work employs a sizable proportion o f engineers in all the m ajor fields o f engineering except mining and metallurgical. In each field o f engineering, earnings in design work are some what below the average, but median years o f ex perience are also 2 or 3 years under the median fo r the field. The highest salaries for design work are paid in the mechanical engineering field; onefifth o f all mechanical engineers are so employed. Some types o f work are especially important in a particular branch o f engineering. F or ex ample, nearly 18 percent o f the civil engineers were engaged in construction supervision in 1946; the median salary o f this group was about $350 per month, their median experience 22 years. About 17 percent o f the chemical engineers were in development w ork; their median salary was $327, their median experience 12 years. About 16 percent o f the mining and metallurgical en gineers were engaged in applied research and aver aged $361 per month (median experience, 9 yea rs); chemical engineers, o f whom 14 percent were in applied research, earned a median o f $324 in this type o f work (median experience about 7 years). * President's Commission on H igher E ducation, Staffing Higher Education , V ol. IV , p. 49, December 1947, Superintendent o f Documents, W ashington 25, D. C. P rice 25 cents. 8 Report on Present-Day Salaries of Members o f the Instruction Staffs of Engineering Schools in United States and Canada, Journal o f E ngineering Education, September 1947, p. 39. 55 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS It is clear that there is great variance in salaries o f engineers by type o f work performed. W hile a part o f this is due to differences in length o f ex perience, examination o f the reports o f engineers having approximately the same amount o f experi ence shows a wide range o f earnings, depending upon the occupational status. As table 10 shows, mechanical engineers engaged in administration, personnel work, and research earned relatively more, considering length o f experience, than those engaged in drafting, college teaching, operation, inspection, and installation. Chemical engineers engaged in administration, sales, and design earned relatively more than those in analysis and testing, operation, and teaching. In civil engi neering, administration and sales work paid more, considering experience, than inspection, opera tion, development, construction supervision, and maintenance work. Electrical engineers had relatively higher earnings in administration, con sulting, sales, patents, research, and development than in inspection, maintenance, teaching, esti mating, operation, and construction supervision. In mining and metallurgical engineering, those engaged in administration, sales, and research had higher earnings relative to their experience than those in operation, production, analysis and testing, and teaching. In summary then, it is apparent that type o f work perform ed has great influence on the earn ings received in engineering. Length o f experi ence is evidently an important factor in attain ing certain types o f jobs, while others are open to young engineers. Considering earnings in re lation to experience, some variations are found among the fields o f engineering, but, in general, administration-management, research, and sales jobs pay relatively better than such work as in spection, analysis and testing, operation, and col lege teaching. Educational Level That there are wide differences in the educa tional attainment o f engineers among the major fields o f engineering and also within a field has been shown in the earlier part o f this report in table 6, page 36. In this section earnings are examined in relation to educational level, experi ence, and occupational status. Table 11 and chart 11 show that, by and large, earnings are higher for those with advanced degrees. In most fields differentials in earnings between holders o f the master’s degree and holders o f the doctor’s de gree are considerably greater than between those with the bachelor’s and master’s degree. Because o f the small numbers with advanced degrees in some fields, it is impossible to show salaries at all experience levels. Table 11.— M edian base monthly salary rates fo r each field o f engineering employments by level o f education and years o f experiences 1946 Years of experience Mas Bach Incom Doc elor’s plete tor’s ter’s no degree degree degree and college CHEMICAL All engineers reporting........... ................ Less than 9 years............................... 9-14 years—........................................ 15-24 years......................................... 25 years and over............................... $472 409 477 570 783 $384 341 421 539 635 $345 302 408 501 625 $396 280 403 444 612 Median years of experience..................... 13.1 8.8 7.7 15.0 All engineers reporting............................. $414 $429 Less than 9 years. ............................. l oon / 312 9-14 years........ _....................... ......... / ooU \ 364 15-24 years...............-......................... \ 4gg / 416 25 years and over............................... l 480 $367 290 353 386 446 $354 314 314 343 381 Median years of experience...................... 19.7 25. T CIVIL 24.0 22.1 ELECTRICAL All engineers reporting............................. Less than 9 years.............................. 9-14 years........................................... 15-24 years.............................-.......... 25 years and over............................... $500 420 513 505 665 $425 355 430 475 490 $382 302 375 436 529 $395 323 360 409 471 Median years of experience...................... 17.8 16.1 14.4 20.0 MECHANICAL $448 All engineers reporting............................. $524 Less than 9 years.............................. \ 1QQ / 370 9-14 years—........................................ f TOU l 448 15-24 years......................................... l KAA / 508 25 years and over....... ...................... / DO^fc \ 526 $394 321 416 483 551 $432 331 414 445 494 15.4 11.0 20.7 Median years of experience...................... 19.0 MINING AND METALLURGICAL AH engineers reporting............................. Less than 9 years.............................. 9-14 years.......................................... 15-24 years......................................... 25 years and over............................... 1? 1? Median years of experience...................... $448 $533 1 A / 319 SA OU \ 440 511 7U 410 /\ 537 $391 302 392 500 595 $423 283 407 427 538 15.4 12.0 19.2 16.3 OTHER All engineers reporting............................ Less than 9 years.............................. 9-14 years.......................................... 15-24 years........................................ 25 years and over.............................. Median years of experience..................... 1/ 1r $469 $464 ilA / 349 ?xU \ 394 RU ftft O U /\ 518 576 $407 315 383 454 551 $397 314 366 406 449 16.4 15.7 20.9 18.3 56 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Chart 11.— Relation of Engineers’ Earnings to Education MEDIAN BASE MONTHLY SALARY RATES BY LEVEL OF EDUCATION AND YEARS OF EXPERIENCE. 1946 MONTHLY SALARY MONTHLY SALARY $800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Years of Experience 57 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS T a b l e 12.— Characteristics o f engineers as related to occupational status, by field o f engineering, 19 46 Occupational status Per Per cent cent with Me Me with Per dian dian ad no cent years vanced degree base age of month degrees in distri ly bution experi engi engi salary ence neer neer ing ing Occupational status Per cent with Me Per dian ad cent years vanced age of degrees distri in bution experi engi ence neer ing 100.0 8.8 24.2 6.7 $363 Administration-management, nontechnical............................. Administration-management, technical................................... Analysis and testing..................... Consulting, employee.—............. Design.......................................... Development ...................... — 2.0 20.0 20.4 14.8 750 27.0 3.7 2.2 7.7 17.4 13.7 7.2 13.9 6.8 11.9 24.3 9.3 20.7 33.5 23.0 7.8 9.2 10.3 4.9 5.0 479 270 400 359 327 Operation........................ ........... Production........................... ....... Research in basic science.............. Research, applied. ............... — Sales.................................. .......... Teaching, college.......................... Retired, student, unemployed___ All other occupational statuses. __ 4.1 8.2 .9 13.9 3.0 2.5 3.3 4.1 12.0 6.5 5.8 6.6 11.6 8.5 10.0 16.0 43.5 27.7 19.8 67.2 6.4 4.6 357 339 314 324 408 324 4.7 8.6 CIVIL All engineers reporting............... . 100.0 21.6 Administration-management, nontechnical________________ Administration-management, technical_______ ___________ Analysis and testing................. Construction supervision............. Consulting, independent.........— Consulting, employee.................. 2.5 27.4 1.1 17.6 4.1 3.3 Design.......................................... Development............................... Drafting.............................. ........ Editing and writing..................... Estimating................................... Inspection.................................... Maintenance................................ Operation.-.............................. . Research, applied............ .......... Sales.......... ....... .......................... Teaching, college______________ Retired, student, unemployed___ All other occupational statuses. __ 11.0 23.2 $369 23.4 9.3 27.8 493 24.5 13.8 21.7 26.0 22.4 10.3 10.9 6.0 14.9 18.8 23.8 17.4 32.5 22.5 18.8 448 330 351 407 393 20.4 2.0 2.4 .7 2.7 2.0 19.0 20.8 9.8 15.4 23.2 20.2 10.4 9.1 2.8 22.6 6.8 7.8 18.9 22.7 19.8 3.2 22.2 26.7 342 345 270 381 379 310 3.5 1.2 1.3 1.3 2.4 .3 3.8 23.8 19.8 16.8 20.3 20.0 3.3 4.0 36.2 9.4 58.2 30.4 24.0 10.3 7.5 1.0 362 319 378 364 356 All engineers reporting................ Administration-m anagem ent, nontechnical......................... . Administration-m an a ge m en t , technical.. ................................ Analysis and testing............ ....... Construction supervision............. Consulting, independent............ Consulting, employee. ................ Design....... ....... ............. ........... Development............................... Drafting....................................... Estimating................................... Inspection.................................... Installation.................................. Maintenance................................ Operation..................................... Production................................... Research in basic science.... ......... Research, applied ........................ Sales. ............................. .............. Teaching, college..................... . Retired, student, unemployed__ All other occupational statuses. __ 100.0 12.8 100.0 15.9 13.9 month- engi neer ing salary Jy 17.4 12.7 19.4 $409 2.5 17.4 7.7 27.4 576 29.5 3.3 1.9 1.4 3.8 19.4 7.8 1.8 1.1 1.0 .8 2.2 1.8 3.0 17.5 6.3 15.5 25.5 18.1 11.0 10.1 7.3 10.7 10.9 7.3 14.1 10.4 9.0 5.5 7.0 14.7 14.5 13.0 8.6 12.4 19.2 16.6 8.4 12.1 3.6 7.2 4.8 5.9 7.0 7.1 7.6 24.6 21.3 6.4 56.7 22.3 6.7 24.8 27.2 17.9 22.5 16.9 21.3 25.7 31.8 9.8 19.0 17.7 24.0 3.2 9.1 16.0 3.0 516 343 409 502 458 365 391 275 342 318 313 364 392 336 355 363 409 342 1.0 5.9 5.5 2.7 .8 2.8 MINING AND METALLURGICAL All engineers reporting................ Administration- m anagem ent, nontechnical................ ............. Administration -management, technical______________ _____ Analysis and testing.................... Consulting, independent. ............ Consulting, employee. ................ Development............................... Operation..................................... Production.......... ........................ Research, basic science............... Research, applied_____________ Sales___________ ___________ _______ Teaching, college................ ......... Retired, student, unemployed.._ All other occupational statuses... 100.0 13.8 2.7 38.8 3.7 2.0 3.9 5.9 5.6 6.4 2.0 16.3 2.3 2.6 .6 7.2 23.1 14.5 $417 23.3 17.7 17.6 570 18.1 8.4 35.0 19.6 6.8 14.1 8.5 7.0 9.2 12.0 22.1 23.3 15.5 25.6 34.7 19.0 8.2 10.0 23.1 33.7 3.3 66.7 15.8 ‘22.2 28.2 12.2 5.4 20.5 15.0 7.6 9.0 13.3 3.0 501 306 420 475 324 364 312 349 361 405 427 25.8 $410 ELECTRICAL All engineers reporting.... .......... . Me dian negree MECHANICAL CHEMICAL All engineers reporting. ............... Per cent with no OTHER $393 All engineers reporting. ............... 100.0 5.2 19.3 7.7 26.5 508 33.1 1.9 4.1 1.6 20.1 9.0 19.8 30.0 15.0 2.4 5.4 16.7 26.3 9.8 31.9 36.6 496 327 387 460 496 361 381 295 338 17.3 13.5 Administration- m a n a g em en t, nontechnical________________ Administration-m a n a g e m e n t , technical................................... Analysis and testing.................... Construction supervision............. Consulting, independent.... ......... 2.0 21.9 6.4 26.6 513 26.3 2.8 3.3 1.2 20.3 12.0 18.6 22.0 14.3 5.5 5.1 21.5 20.2 18.0 24.8 27.7 493 310 362 407 Administration-management, nontechnical......................... . Administration-management, technical___________________ Analysis and testing..................... Construction supervision............. Consulting, independent............. Consulting, employee.............. Design.. ................................. . Development................. .......... . Drafting...................................... Editing and writing............. ....... 4.3 16.5 11.1 .9 .8 18.6 12.9 8.9 7.7 15.8 18.7 10.6 15.4 421 353 309 273 375 Consulting, employee.................. Design.......................................... Development...... ......................... Drafting.................................. . Estimating................................... 3.3 5.6 3.5 1.0 1.8 17.5 14.6 9.4 12.0 18.8 13.3 7.8 13.1 8.1 15.1 15.3 11.5 22.5 29.7 7.2 24.0 31.2 14.5 33.3 35.7 Estimating................................... Inspection.................................... Installation.................................. Maintenance................................ Operation..................................... 1.5 1.2 1.4 3.2 3.7 15.8 16.0 9.6 15.1 18.1 2.8 6.9 9.5 4.6 4.1 11.3 20.7 15.9 31.6 28.7 329 318 330 326 359 Inspection.................................... Maintenance............................... Operation.................................... Patents........................................ Production................................... 2.4 1.8 2.5 1.0 3.8 20.6 9.0 18.9 18.3 10.4 1.9 5.0 5.3 8.7 3.6 50.9 22.5 26.3 8.7 13.1 330 327 403 574 348 Production................................... Research, applied.................... Sales________________________ Teaching, college................. ....... Retired, student, unemployed___ All other occupational statuses. __ .9 6.3 6.2 2.8 .7 2.9 7.0 8.1 17.4 17.9 24.8 6.5 70.7 14.6 11.7 13.1 .8 324 393 407 348 Research, applied......................... Safety engineering_____________ Sales.. ........ ................................ Teaching, college.......................... Retired, student, unemployed___ All other occupational statuses... 5.4 5.4 7.0 2.9 .4 6.3 11.3 17.0 15.7 18.9 35.1 4.0 7.2 66.2 12.8 48.0 22.2 4.6 368 366 399 344 58 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Examination o f salaries for men with compa rable amounts o f experience shows that, in most cases, those with degrees earn considerably more in the long run than do those who did not com plete college. Only in the lowest experience bracket do engineers with the least form al educa tion have salaries comparable to graduates in the same field. The relatively high over-all median salary fo r those who did not complete college is obviously the result o f the age composition o f the group; it should be noted (table 11) that in every field the median years o f experience, and therefore the age, is highest fo r those without de grees. In chemical engineering—a field in which a rela tively large number hold advanced degrees— those with the doctor’s degree had a median base monthly salary about $100 above those with the bachelor’s degree through the first 10 years o f ex perience, and after 25 years in the profession the differential was about $160 a month. C ivil engineers had less spread in earnings than engineers in most other fields, but the fact that those with the master’s and the bachelor’s degree ultimately earned $100 and $65 more, respectively, than those with incomplete or no college educa tion, is good evidence that academic training is an asset. Holders o f doctor’s degrees employed in electrical engineering had consistently higher salaries than those at other educational levels. Highest salaries in mechanical and mining and metallurgical engineering were also earned by those with doctors’ degrees. The factors discussed so fa r which appear to affect earnings—experience, type o f work, and education—are brought together in summary fashion in table 12. The engineering student, in particular, w ill be interested in knowing in what types o f work the most engineers are employed within an engineering specialty, and in which jobs it is most necessary to have an advanced de gree. A n appraisal o f the average salary for va rious jobs, as related to both education and ex perience, can also be made from table 12. Industry The distribution o f engineers by industry differs greatly by field o f engineering as was seen earlier in the section o f this report on employment trends. (See also table D -9 in the appendix.) Salaries also vary considerably for each field o f engineer ing within an industry. The data available from the 1946 survey (table 13) show no industry which consistently pays either exceptionally high or ex ceptionally low salaries, to all types o f engineers. The range o f median earnings by industry is wide for all engineering specialties—particularly fo r “ other,” chemical, and civil engineering. T a b l e 13.— M edian base monthly salary rates fo r each field o f engineering employment, by broad industry field, 19 4 6 Industry field Chem Civil ical Min ing Me Elec chani and Other trical metal cal lurgi cal Agriculture and forestry........ Mining................................... Construction.......................... 0) $420 380 $344 380 362 0) $390 389 0) $445 411 0) $429 (0 $351 405 388 Manufacturing....................... Food and textiles............. Lumber and paper.......... Printing and publishing.. Chemicals........................ Petroleum and coal.......... 368 381 357 0) 377 357 402 0) 0) <*) 389 400 390 0) 0) 0) 385 348 412 454 410 0) 416 415 413 0) 0) 0) 8 422 460 500 0) 400 419 343 440 366 388 0) 368 390 379 450 355 408 374 340 0) 395 391 397 382 413 414 410 399 422 352 395 (0 415 432 439 423 0) 0) 317 312 340 378 0) 392 369 395 364 436 367 368 386 410 410 395 395 401 80) 420 484 419 392 411 Rubber, stone, clay, and glass products..... .......... Iron, steel, and nonferrous metals........................... Machinery...................... Transportation equipment. Other manufacturing....... Transportation....................... Communications.................... Utilities..................... _........... Other specified industry fields. Industry fields not specified— 428 343 i Insufficient reports to compute median. Chemical engineers are employed chiefly in the chemical and petroleum industries. In 1946, these two industries paid median salaries o f $377 and $357, respectively. Highest earnings were in other industries, in which relatively few o f these en gineers find employment. The construction industry, which furnishes em ployment for the great m ajority o f civil engineers, showed median monthly earnings o f $362 in 1946, or slightly below the median for all civil en gineers. The few civil engineers in some manu facturing industries had the highest median salaries. Highest median salary in the electrical engineer ing field ($436) was in the communications indus try which includes telephone, telegraph, and the relatively new field o f radio broadcasting and tele vision. The other large industry fo r electrical engineers—machinery manufacturing—paid a median salary slightly below that o f the entire group. 59 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS The branch o f the profession in which there was least variation by industry was in mechanical en gineering. The range was only from $388 to $454, with median salaries o f $414 in the machinery manufacturing industry and $413 in the iron and steel industry, which together employed about a fourth o f the mechanical engineers. In two industries which employed most mining and metallurgical engineers—mining and the pro cessing o f iron, steel, and nonferrous metals— median salaries were $429 and $422 respectively. The group o f “ other” engineers seemed to be less concentrated in one or two industries than were the members o f any o f the m ajor fields. The median salaries in industries employing the largest numbers were lower than in several o f the indus tries where only a few engineers were employed. Altogether, on the basis o f the evidence available in this survey, differentials in salary by industry seem to lack significance—industry in itself does not appear to be a determining factor in the amount o f money an engineer earns. The effect o f other factors upon earnings, such as length o f experience, type o f work done, and level o f edu cation, is so great that it is difficult to determine whether differences in earnings among industries are significant in themselves or can be ascribed to differences in the experience or education o f the engineers employed in the industries, or in the types o f work they do. The sample was not large enough to make it possible to examine earnings o f comparable engineers in the various industries. Class of Worker Most engineers find employment with private firms, organizations or institutions. However, public employment is o f special importance to civil engineers, one-half o f whom were so employed in 1946. The field in which public employment was least important was chemical engineering; only about 5 percent o f these engineers were employed by public agencies. Earnings vary considerably between private and public employment, as shown in table 14. In private employment, besides the employee group, are the engineers in business fo r them selves—the employer and the independent consult ant. W hile these men may allow themselves a specified amount as monthly salary, or may actu ally draw a salary from another employer, it is obvious that base monthly salary is no indication o f their total income. A discussion o f the income o f self-employed engineers w ill be found under the section on annual income. (See p. 62.) A comparison o f monthly earnings o f employees o f private firms with those o f government em ployees is interesting. (See table 14 and appen dix table D -17.) Since it is known that length T a b l e 14.— Percentage distribution o f engineers by median years o f experience , and median base monthly salary rates fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by class o f worker, 1946 Field of engineering Chemical: Percentage distribution............... ...... Experience (years)2_______________ Salary__________________________ Civil: Percentage distribution...................... Experience (years)2_______________ Salary__________________________ Electrical: Percentage distribution...................... Experience (years)2_______________ Salary_________________________ Mechanical: Percentage distribution...................... Experience (years)2- ______________ Salary_________________________ Mining and metallurgical: Percentage distribution Experience (years)2_______________ Salary - ________________________ Other: Percentage distribution...................... Experience (years)2_______________ Salary__________________________ 1 Includes students, retired, etc. « Rounded to the nearest full year. 852396°— 50------ 5 Total Employers eesof private firms Independ ent con sultants Government employees Other1 Federal State 100.0 9 $363 3.5 14 $427 86.9 8 $365 1.3 27 $500 2.8 8 $363 1.8 9 $314 100.0 22 $368 7.0 23 $496 38.6 20 $382 4.0 25 $406 19.7 19 $399 15.1 22 $319 100.0 16 $393 3.8 20 $465 79.2 15 $395 1.5 20 $350 9.8 11 $406 1.6 19 $358 100.0 13 $409 6.6 20 $574 80.0 12 $407 2.8 19 $496 7.0 9 $400 1.5 19 $339 100.0 14 $417 4.7 22 $495 80.0 12 $415 3.4 35 $440 7.7 16 $415 2.1 21 $378 100.0 17 $410 10.0 19 $558 65.1 16 $413 3.6 26 $495 11.0 16 $410 5.3 20 $349 County Municipal 0.1 (8) 0.6 (8) (8) ( 3) Other 0.2 2.8 (8) (8) 3.5 25 $316 10.0 24 $345 1.2 26 $400 0.9 0.1 <3) (8) 1.8 20 $343 0.9 16 $343 1.3 (4) (8) (8) 0.7 24 $373 0.3 20 $370 1.1 0.1 0.2 1.8 1.2 22 $413 1.5 (8) (8) 0.4 (8) (8) 8Insufficient reports to compute median. * Less than 0.05 percent. 1.9 20 $335 8 60 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS o f experience affects earnings, it is important to take this factor into consideration when analyz ing any aspect o f earnings. Engineers employed by the Federal Government had median years o f experience comparable to private firm employees for most fields, and, likewise, salaries were gen erally comparable. In civil and electrical engi neering, however, median salaries in the Federal Government were a little higher than those in private employment despite the fact that median years o f experience were less by 1 to 4 years. Engineers employed by State governments had median monthly earnings averaging nearly $60 less than Federal employees, although on the aver age, they reported a greater amount o f experience. Only in civil engineering were the numbers em ployed by county and municipal governments o f any consequence. These employees had lower than average earnings. The large proportion o f civil engineers in State and local employment may explain, in part, the comparatively low over-all salaries in this field o f engineering. Employment Location Table D -14, in the appendix, shows the median salaries and the distribution o f engineers for the principal States where engineers were employed in 1946. The three Middle Atlantic States (New York, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania) furnished employment for a fourth or more o f all engineers, with New Y ork State having the largest number in all fields except mining and metallurgical engi neering. The average salary in New Y ork was higher in each field o f engineering than the aver age for the entire group. This is probably due in large part to the high proportion o f administra tion-management jobs in central offices located in New York. Highest salaries were reported by engineers lo cated in the District o f Columbia. This may be a result o f the many administrative positions held by engineer employees in the Federal Government. Because the District o f Columbia is an entirely urban area, earnings o f engineers employed there cannot be compared with States which include rural areas and small towns with diversified in dustries and relatively low living costs. It was not possible to determine whether d if ferences in salaries by States are significant in themselves, or whether they merely reflect d if ferences in types o f engineering positions, and in the length o f experience o f the engineers employed. Income in Addition to Base M o n th ly Salary Am ong the factors affecting the total income o f engineers is the amount o f money which they re ceive in addition to their regular base salaries, from such sources as overtime, fees, bonuses, and other services in both engineering and nonengi neering work. In addition to their base monthly salary rates, engineers were asked in the 1946 sur vey to report two other types o f data on their earnings: 1. Monthly salary rates inclusive o f overtime payments, but exclusive o f fees and bo nuses. 2. Annual income from salaries or personal services in both engineering and nonengi neering work, including fees and bonuses. Overtime was o f little significance in 1939 and 1946, but in 1943, a year o f heavy war production, the overtime paid to engineers was considerable. Table 15 shows that the younger groups profited the most from overtime payments, with median monthly salaries being increased by as much as $45 to $50 in some fields at the 1-, 2-, and 3-year experience levels. There were wide differences in the effect o f over time on earnings in the various fields o f engineer ing. The increase in median monthly earnings ranged from $15 fo r civil engineers to $30 fo r mechanical engineers. The nature o f the work performed and its relation to war production were no doubt important factors in the amount o f over time required in 1943. Since younger men were in the jobs in which overtime payments were im portant, the age composition o f the men in a field o f engineering also affected the average amount o f overtime paid. Certain sources o f income, such as fees, bonuses* and other extra payments fo r engineering or non engineering services, were not included in the re ports on monthly salary. However, the engineers 61 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS T able 15.— Comparison o f median monthly salary rales excluding and including overtime fo r each field o f engineering em ploym ent, by years o f experience, 1943 Median monthly salary and overtime, by field of engineering employment Years of experience Civil Chemical Mining and metal lurgical Mechanical Electrical Other Exclud Includ Exclud Includ Exclud Includ Exclud Includ Exclud Includ Exclud Includ ing ing ing ing ing ing ing ing ing ing ing ing overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime overtime $278 $303 $313 $328 $313 $336 $326 $366 $332 $348 $331 $351 Less than 1 year-______ . . . . . . 1 year________ ________ . . . . 2 years___________ ______ — 3 years___________ -_____ — 4 years______ ___ -_____ —— 5 years________________ —— 177 208 222 244 264 266 214 237 252 270 282 300 183 198 220 231 241 246 204 243 269 264 269 263 186 204 219 240 247 266 214 238 268 275 277 305 179 211 235 259 272 281 219 252 285 305 308 315 203 198 216 233 261 295 219 213 236 265 262 302 193 213 239 256 255 273 218 234 271 284 265 312 6 years______ . . . . . . . . . __ ___ 7-3 years_________-__ -__ — 9-11 years_________________ 12-14 years________________ 16-19 years________________ 279 307 346 382 406 301 324 361 397 428 302 269 272 296 307 313 275 302 314 321 269 284 307 320 352 307 308 332 337 374 291 314 344 355 400 326 343 369 388 426 267 314 338 386 414 287 327 368 417 429 273 294 320 336 360 304 310 338 349 373 29-24 years________________ 25-29 years..____ __________ 30-34 years______ __________ 36-39 years.............................. 40 years and over___________ 466 681 696 607 660 483 577 620 558 666 333 355 372 390 408 347 367 378 394 423 399 450 482 497 494 419 471 490 508 512 429 429 466 477 601 452 458 479 488 614 430 520 526 583 520 440 520 520 595 533 390 471 477 490 475 403 475 496 504 487 All engineers______________ were asked to include such income, as well as sal ary and overtime payments, in their reports on annual income. Annual income was reported for 1939 and 1943. (Since the survey took place dur ing the year 1946, it was not possible to collect an nual income data for that year.) The extent o f income received from sources other than regular salary and overtime pay may be appraised by com paring the average annual income reported with the figure computed by m ultiplying monthly sal ary rates (including overtime) by 12—what might be called “ annual earnings from salary and over time.” This comparison is shown in table 16. Engineers in all fields and at virtually all levels o f experience had an average annual income in ex cess o f their annual earnings as thus computed. Income from fees, bonuses, and so forth, is there fore a significant factor in the earnings o f engi neers. The fact that annual income fo r some o f the younger engineers is less than 12 times the T able 16.— Comparison o f median total annual incom e 1 and median computed annual earnings from salary and overtime,2 f o r each field o f en gin eerin g em p lo ym en t, b y yea rs o f exp erien ce, 1 9 4 3 Chemical Years of experience Civil Electrical Mechanical Mining and metal lurgical Other Earnings3 Earnings3 Earnings3 Earnings3 Earnings3 Earnings3 (salary Total (salary Total (salary Total (salary Total (salary (salary Total Total income1 and over income1 and over income1 and over income1 and over income1 and over income1 and over time) time) time) time) time) time) All engineers........................... $3,673 $3,636 $4,087 $3,936 $4,196 $4,020 $4,485 $4,272 $4,480 $4,176 $4,501 $4,212 Less than 1 year...................... 1 year...................................... 2 years.................................... 3 years.................................... 4 years......................... .......... 5 years.................................... 2,509 2,800 2,984 3,260 3,378 3,578 2,568 2,844 3,024 3,240 3,384 3,600 2,467 2,825 3,031 3,133 3,300 3,200 2,448 2,916 3,108 3,048 3,108 3,156 2,523 2,869 3,203 3,280 3,438 3,541 2,568 2.856 3,216 3,300 3,324 3,660 2,580 3,023 3,400 3,667 3,737 3,933 2,628 .3,024 3,420 3,660 3,696 3,780 2,667 2,733 3,000 3,111 3,350 3,525 2,628 2,.556 2,832 3,060 3,144 3,624 2,522 2,883 3,350 3,467 3,473 3,760 2,616 2,808 3,252 3,408 3,180 3,744 6 years___________________ 7-8 years.............................. — 9-11 years............................ — 12-14 years........ .................— 15-19 years------------------------- 3,624 3,932 4,660 4,871 5,247 3,612 3,888 4,332 4,764 5,136 3,800 3,324 3,770 3,816 3,951 3,756 3,300 3,614 3,768 3,852 3,748 3,838 4,189 4,259 4,681 3,684 3,696 3,984 4,044 4,488 3,937 4,309 4,637 4,854 5,229 3,900 4,116 4,428 4,656 5,112 3,564 4,104 4,314 5,000 5,256 3,444 3,924 4,296 5,004 5,148 3,564 3,800 4,146 4,557 4,732 3,648 3,720 4,056 4,188 4,476 20-24 years------------------------25-29 years------------------------30-34 years.............................. 35-39 years.............................. 40 years and over.... ............... 6,107 7,800 7,850 6,360 8,100 5,796 6,924 7,440 6,696 7,980 4,314 4,713 4,703 4,984 5,220 4,164 4,404 4,536 4,728 5,076 5,156 5,756 6,075 6,600 6,240 5,028 5,652 5,880 6,096 6,144 5,808 5,869 6,325 6,500 7,629 5,436 5,496 5,748 5,856 7,368 5,775 7,950 7,350 7,650 7,125 5,280 6,240 6,240 7,140 6,396 5,400 5,963 6,390 6,300 6,525 4,836 5,700 5,952 6,048 5,844 1Includes income received from salaries, overtime, personal services, fees, and bonuses, both engineering and nonengineering work. 3 Computed by multiplying median monthly salary, including overtime, by 12 (excludes fees, bonuses, and any income from nonengineering work). 62 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS monthly salary indicates that some engineers did not work the full 12 months. Income from fees and bonuses appears to in crease with additional experience. A fter about 5 years o f experience engineers reported a notice able amount o f extra income, and in most cases it attained greatest importance for engineers who had about 25 to 35 years o f experience. There is great variation among engineering fields in the amount received above salary. For example at the 25-29 year experience level the difference be tween median annual income as reported and me dian annual earnings including overtime as com puted, ranges from about $100 for electrical engineers to $1,700 for mining and metallurgical engineers. Such differences may reflect the num bers engaged in consulting or other independent work in which fees and bonuses are significant. It is interesting to see in what type o f employ ment engineers earn the greatest amounts beyond their base salaries. Table 17 shows median an nual income as reported for 1943 compared to base annual salary (computed without overtime) for engineers in private and those in public employ ment. A s might be expected, those in private employment had somewhat more income from sources other than salary than did engineers in public employment. However, it is the employers and independent consultants who had the really significant additional income. Since men in these positions are known to be concentrated in the higher experience brackets, and therefore receive only a small amount o f overtime pay (see table 15), it can be assumed that their additional income is derived largely from such sources as fees and bonuses. On page 59 o f this report, it is pointed out that monthly salary fo r employers and con sultants lacked significance. The annual incomes shown in table 17 are a more accurate reflection o f the earnings o f these engineers. T a b l e 17.— Comparison o f median total annual incom e 1 and median computed annual base salary 2 {excluding overtime) fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by class o f worker, 1948 Median annual income and median annual base salary Civil Chemical Field of employment (class of worker) Electrical Mechanical Mining and metallurgical Other Total Total Total Base Base Base Total Total Base Base Total Base income1 salary* income1 salary* income1 salary * income1 salary * income1 salary* income1 salary * Total......................................................... $3,673 $3,336 $4,087 $3,756 $4,196 $3,756 $4,485 $3,912 $4,480 $3,984 $4,501 $3,972 Private employment................................. Employer........................................... Employee of a private firm. - ............. Independent consultant...................... 3,706 6,000 3,667 00 3.372 4,860 3.372 ft 4,701 10,088 4,548 5,438 4,152 6,204 4,080 4,500 4,377 7,950 4,333 5,500 3,876 6,264 3,840 4,716 4,642 10,200 4,542 9,100 4,020 7,440 3.960 6,240 4,528 7,500 4,388 9,700 4,008 5,360 3,960 3,840 4,721 8,550 4,535 6,960 4,152 7,092 4,056 5,196 Public employment................................... Employee of Federal Government----Employee of State government - ......... Employee of county government-....... Employee of municipal government__ Employee of other public authority—. 3,433 3,556 3,150 3,132 3,108 3,096 ft 3,760 3,795 3,889 ft 3,611 3,633 3.336 3.336 3,456 ft 3,348 3,288 3,348 3,300 3,756 ft 3.960 (3) 4,308 4,400 3,960 3,864 3,888 3,804 3,958 4,044 3,633 8 3,480 3,552 3,312 3,288 3,612 4,212 3,791 3,690 4,120 1 3,721 3,899 3,414 3,486 3,819 4,240 (3) (3) 8 3,667 5,150 3,600 3,624 3,492 (3) 3,480 4,920 1Includes income received from salaries, overtime, personal services, fees, and bonuses in both engineering and nonengineering work. * Computed by multiplying base monthly salary by 12 (excludes overtime, ft 4,250 <*> ft fees, bonuses, and any income from nonengineering work), 3Insufficient reports to compute median. Trends in Earnings The influence o f general economic conditions on engineers’ earnings is o f interest to members o f the profession and prospective students. Keports on remuneration and other pertinent data were collected for 1939 and 1943 as well as 1946 in the most recent survey made by the Bureau, and for 1929,1932, and 1934 in the previous survey.9 Thus ®U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Employment and Earnings in the Engineering Profession 1929 to 19Sit, Bulletin No. 682, Superintendent o f Documents, Wash ington 25, D. C., 1941. Price 25 cents. the information available covers a period in which there were significant changes in the National econ omy—1929, a year in which earnings were high and there was little unemployment in any o f the professions; 1932 and 1934, severe depression years with attendant low salaries, unemployment, and work relief; 1939, a year in which the country was recovering from the depression; 1943, a war year; and 1946, a postwar year with full employment and continuing shortages o f technical manpower. 63 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS M O N T H L Y SALARIES, 1 9 2 9 -4 6 Since the earnings range o f engineers is so wide, and so great a variety o f factors affect those earn ings, figures for fields o f engineering employment are o f limited significance. However, it is o f in terest to examine table 18 and note the general effect o f economic conditions on average monthly salaries. From 1929 to 1934 engineers in all fields suffered decreases in median salaries ranging from $60 to $123 a month or about 22 to 38 percent, de pending upon field o f specialization. Engineers who were most dependent on manufacturing in dustries apparently had the greatest decreases. From 1934 to 1939 there was an upswing in earn ings, but increases were not sufficient to bring average salaries back to 1929 levels. As a matter o f fact, over the decade from 1929 to 1939 earnings decreased by from 8 percent to nearly 33 percent, depending on field o f engineering. Earnings advanced further after 1939 as first the defense production period and then the war boosted the demand fo r engineers. By 1943, aver age monthly salaries had advanced beyond the 1929 level fo r all but chemical and mining and metallurgical engineers. By 1946, earnings had advanced further in all fields. From 1939 to 1946 they advanced by $125 to $150, or over 50 percent in every field. Over the entire 17-year period (1929-46) median monthly earnings increased by 11.3 percent for chemical engineers, 24.9 percent for mining and metallurgical engineers, 32.9 percent fo r civil en gineers, 31.5 percent fo r mechanical engineers, and 42.9 percent for electrical engineers. There is considerable evidence that earnings o f engineers have increased since 1946. A survey o f members o f the Institute o f Ceramic Engineers showed an increase from 1946 to 1947 o f 6.3 per cent in median base monthly salaries for that T able group.101 Scattered reports from schools o f engi neering indicated that graduates in 1948 were re ceiving monthly salaries from $10 to $75 higher than those offered graduates in 1947. A survey made o f business and industrial concerns in late 1948 regarding the employment o f college and university graduates revealed that 121 companies paid an average monthly salary o f $261 for start ing engineers. A similar survey a year earlier indicated an average starting salary o f approxi mately $235 per month.11 Reports from a survey o f Stanford University engineering graduates, who received degrees during the school year June 1947 to June 1948, showed average starting sal aries o f $261 a month for engineers with the bache lor’s degree and $297 for those with the master’s degree.121 3 Most beginning engineers employed by the Federal Government received a salary increase from about $225 to $250 a month in 1948. Eighty-six companies, employing large num bers o f engineers, indicated that the percentage increase in salary that had occurred between August 1946 and the end o f 1948 was 20 percent. It was believed that salaries o f younger engineers increased by a greater percent than those o f more experienced engineers.18 10 Economic Status of Ceramic Engineers, 19S9 to 1947. Mimeographed report available on request to the U. S. Depart ment o f Labor's Bureau o f Labor Statistics, W ashington 25, D. C. 11 Trends in the Employment of College and University Grad uates in Business and Industry, School and College Placement, March 1949, p. 57. 12 Stanford University, An Employment Survey of Stanford University Engineering Graduates Who Received Degrees During the School Year June 1947 to June 1948, Stanford University, Calif., December 1948. Mimeographed. 12 pp. 13 American Society o f Engineering Education, A Survey of Teachers* Salaries in Engineering Schools and a Comparison of These With Salaries Paid to Engineers in Nonteaching Employ ment, June 1949, p. 81. 18. — Comparison o f median base monthly salary rates, by field o f engineering employm ent fo r specified years Median monthly earnings Field of engineering employment 1929 Chemical................ ............. ............. Civil .................................................. Electrical........................................... Mechanical................. ....................... Mining and metallurgical........ ........... $326 277 275 311 334 1932 1934 1939 1943 $251 $203 $220 $278 229 205 244 313 232 215 253 313 246 215 258 326 274 241 267 332 Amount of increase or decrease Percentage increase or decrease 1934- 1939- 1929- 1934- 1929- 1929- 1934- 1939- 1929- 1934- 19291946 192934 39 46 39 46 34 39 46 39 46 46 46 $363 -$123 368 -72 393 -60 409 -96 417 -93 $17 $143 -$106 39 124 -33 38 140 -22 43 151 -53 26 150 -67 $160 163 178 194 176 $37 -37.7 91 -26.0 118 -21.8 98 -30.9 83 -27.8 8.4 19.0 17.7 20.0 10.8 65.0 -32.5 50.8 -11.9 55.3 -8 .0 58.5 -17.0 56.21-20.1 1 78.8 79.5 82.8 90.2 73.0 11.3 32.9 42.9 31.5 24.9 64 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Chart 12.— How Engineers’ Salaries increased With Years o f Experience Under Varying Economic Conditions 0 5 10 UNITEO ST A T E S D E P A RTM E N T OF LA BO R BUREAU OF LA BO R S T A T IS T IC S 15 20 25 30 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE 35 40 * 45 50 ond over INSUFFICIENT REPORTS TO COMPUTE MEDIAN THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS 65 Chart 12.— How Engineers’ Salaries Increased With Years o f Experience Under Varying Economic Conditions— Continued A more recent survey o f industrial companies and governmental agencies concerning their 1949 employment programs fo r engineering graduates revealed the follow ing median monthly starting rates, depending on field o f engineering; bache lor’s degree—$250 to $275, master’s degree—$275 to $315, doctor’s degree—$295 to $400. The same survey showed that engineering graduates who had been out o f school fo r 10 years in late 1948 were receiving 20 percent higher salaries than graduates with similar experience in 1946.14 It has been mentioned earlier in this report 14 See footnote 4, p. 11. that the educational level o f engineers has risen noticeably in the last 15 or 20 years. In order to eliminate the possible bias in earnings data caused by differences in education, chart 12 (see also appendix table D -6 ) presents median base monthly salary for 1929,1934, and 1946 fo r those engineers with the bachelor’s degrees, the most common educational preparation among engineers. Because o f the high proportion o f engineers at this level o f education, average salaries o f those with the bachelor’s degree differ very little from average salaries when engineers at all edu cational levels are combined. The manner in which earnings o f engineers at 66 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOB ENGINEERS Chart 13.— Engineers’ Salaries Over a 17-Year Period MEDIAN BASE MONTHLY SALARY RATES AT 3 EXPERIENCE LEVELS* Monthly Salary Monthly Salary EXPERIENCE ■ 25 Years ------------ 10 Years o-oo-o-o-o-o Less Than I Year UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABO R BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS *D A T A FOR 1929, 1932 AND 1934 A RE FOR THOSE W ITH BACHELOR DEGREE ONLY. 67 THE EARNINGS OF ENGINEERS the different experience levels were affected by economic conditions is best demonstrated by chart 13. In all fields o f engineering, beginner’s sal aries were cut less from 1929 to 1934, both in dol lars and percentagewise (about $35 or 26 percent) than were those o f more experienced engineers. Entrance salaries were also the first to regain their predepression level, and rose, from 1934 to 1946, by approximately $130 or over 100 percent. Engineers at the 10-year experience level re ceived, in 1934, approximately $100 or 30 percent less than similarly experienced engineers in 1929. In most fields it was a decade or more before sal aries o f engineers with 10 years o f experience had risen to the 1929 average. A N N U A L INC The trend in annual income over the 14-year period beginning in 1929 can be clearly seen in table 19. From 1929 to 1934 income decreased considerably in all major fields. Chemical engi neers experienced the greatest decrease in median incomes (46 percent). Income o f civil engineers declined least, both in dollar amount and percent agewise (30 percent). Annual incomes, particu larly in the years 1932 and 1934, were affected considerably by periods o f unemployment. B y 1939, incomes had risen substantially in all fields T able 19.— C om pa rison Field of engineering employment Chemical.......................... Civil................................ Electrical........................ Mechanical...................... Mining and metallurgical. VIE, 1929-43 but the averages were still less than they had been a decade earlier. In the next 4-year period (193943) increases o f approximately $900 to $1,200 brought them above the 1929 medians, except for the chemical engineering field where the influx o f young engineers kept the average income figure low in relation to other fields. It is evident that over the entire period covered by the two surveys, economic conditions caused earnings in all fields o f engineering to move in the same general direction. o f m ed ia n annual in com e, b y field o f en gin eerin g em p loym en t, fo r specified y ea rs Median annual income 1929 Economic conditions appear to have affected older engineers—those with 25 years o f experi ence—in about the same manner as those at the 10-year level, although the percentage decrease in earnings from 1929 to 1934 was somewhat less in most fields fo r the more experienced group. It should be pointed out that this discussion is limited to the effect o f economic conditions on actual reported earnings at different experience levels. Unemployment imposed hardships on these groups in differing degrees. It is known that many graduates were not able to enter the profession during the thirties, thus salary data tell only a part o f the depression story for the beginning group o f engineers.15 1932 Amount of increase or decrease 1934 1939 1943 $3,803 $2,625 $2,047 3,291 2,545 2,297 3,277 2,509 2,214 3,699 2,681 2,324 4,010 3,061 2,626 $2,756 3,089 3,214 3,269 3,450 $3,673 4,087 4,19% 4,485 4,480 Percentage increase or decrease 1929-34 1934-39 1939-43 1929-39 1934-43 1929-43 1929-34 1934-39 1939-43 1929-39 1934r-43 1929-43 -$1,756 - 994 -1,059 -1,375 -1,384 $709 $917 -$1,047 $1,626 -$130 -46.2 792 998 -202 1,790 796 -30.2 982 996 -63 1,978 919 -32.3 945 1,216 -430 2,161 786 -37.2 824 1,030 -560 1,854 470 -34.5 34.6 34.5 44.9 40.7 31.4 33.3 -27.5 32.3 -6 .1 30.6 -1 .9 37.2 -11.6 29.9 -14.0 79.4 77.9 89.2 93.0 70.6 -3 .4 24.2 28.0 21.2 11.7 Implications for Guidance The extent to which a prospective student is influenced in choosing a field o f work by the mone tary returns which he expects is not known, but there has always been a demand fo r this informa tion from persons seeking vocational guidance. Certainly greater weight should be given to other more important considerations—such as general interest and ability—but a young person does want to know what he may expect in the way o f a be ginning salary and opportunities fo r advance ment. Similarly, older engineers want informa tion about prevailing rates fo r jobs at higher 15 u. s. Department o f Labor’s Bureau o f Labor Statistics, Employment and Earnings in the Engineering Profession, 1929 to 19$b, Bulletin 682,, pp. 92-119, Superintendent o f Documents, W ashington 25, D. C., 1941. Price 25 cents. 68 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS levels, and such information sometimes is an im portant factor in job changes. The section o f this report which discusses earn ings shows what has happened to the average in come o f engineers over a period o f 17 years under varying economic conditions. It also demon strates that earnings are affected by such factors as length o f experience, education, kind o f work done, type o f employer, and that they vary sharply with general economic conditions. W hile statistical surveys, such as those made in 1935 and 1946, are useful in showing what the average person may expect by way o f remunera tion in the engineering profession, caution should be exercised in applying such findings to individ ual cases. The salary range is great. Many en gineers never aJvan^beyoiTd the earnings level o f the average clerical or factory worker; in 1946, as many as one-fourth o f the engineers with 6 to 11 years o f experience averaged less than $330 monthly. On the other hand the highest paid 10 percent o f the engineers with 5 years5 ©r less ex perience had higher median earnings than the lowest 10 percent o f the group with 30 years’ or more experience. _So it- isjevident that, while ex perience does increase earning capacity, it does not do so for everyone. It is perfectly possible for a man with a degree iougngineeiAng to remain in low salaried jobs. Young people who are spending their time and money to attain a college education should know that they can gain an engineering degree without having the capacity to advance far up the profes sional ladder. I f they give up the chance to be top-notch artisans, good foremen, or able sales men merely to become mediocre engineers, they are paying a high price for their status as profes sional workers. Nor is it merely a matter o f ab solute incompetence. There are successive ceiling levels, and fairly considerable numbers who are capable o f perform ing jobs at a higher level are bound to find themselves remaining in routine as signments. On the other hand, the top o f the profession is so well rewarded both in terms o f remuneration and job content that it is well worth sacrifice and struggle to attain it. Furthermore it is still possible, although increasingly difficult, for a man not trained in college to supply himself with a background o f knowledge sufficient to gain a foothold and to advance in engineering. In this report, little emphasis has been placed on the differences in earnings among the various fields o f engineering. Many o f these differences may be explained by the age distribution, educa tional level, or type o f work done by engineers in each field. However, the supply and demand situation in the various fields has no doubt in fluenced earnings to a great extent. The rapid ex pansion o f industries using certain types o f en gineers may create scarcities o f experienced men and result in high salaries being paid by employ ers who are competing for the services o f these men. So it must not be concluded that the pattern o f differences in earnings among fields o f en gineering, as shown in the 1946 survey, w ill neces sarily continue in the future. O ccupational M o b ility of Engineers W hat is the extent o f occupational flexibility in engineering? A re engineers able to obtain em ployment in fields other than those in which they received their form al education? Do engineers shift among the different fields o f specialization within engineering, as well as to and from occu pations outside the field ? T o what extent do they move among industries and from one State to another ? Finally, how often do they change func tions within a field and what are the patterns o f such shifts, if any? These questions are o f practical interest. The young man who is thinking o f entering the pro fession may be interested in his ability to get a job in another branch o f engineering if he should be unable to find employment in the branch in which he majors in college. Educators in the field may be concerned with the flexibility o f the engineering force o f the Nation—its ability to adapt to changing economic or m ilitary needs, and the implications, if any, for engineering education. T o those responsible for recruitment and employ ment o f technical personnel, information on the movement o f engineers among industries may be o f interest. The 1946 Survey o f the Engineering Profession provides some information on the occupational m obility o f individuals between 1939 and the other two survey years, 1943 and 1946. From the point o f view o f assessing the m obility o f engineers, these years are well chosen. The first was a year in which the Nation’s economy had not yet recovered from a depression; the second, one o f full m obili zation for w ar; the third, a postwar year o f high employment levels. The over-all demand for en gineers greatly increased during the intervening 7 years, and the character o f the demand shifted, with changing emphasis on the various types o f engineering work. Follow ing a peak in construc tion activity in 1942, needs fo r civil engineers dropped, to recover somewhat in 1946. The con version o f metalworking industries to production o f munitions in late 1941 and early 1942 called for mechanical and electrical engineers—particularly the form er—to do the required plant lay-out, de sign, and development work. The operation o f new shipyards, and plants making aircraft, mu nitions, explosives, synthetic rubber, aviation gaso line, and many other products created many new jobs for mechanical, electrical, chemical, and met allurgical engineers, while the need to expand output o f metals by the working o f less profitable ores made for increased demand for mining en gineers. Research on products such as weapons and drugs needed during the war called for highly trained engineers in certain specialties, as well as physicists, chemists, and other scientists. These changing industrial needs resulted in shifts o f men among engineering fields. As activ ity increased in certain industries and declined in others, and as plants and research centers were built in new locations— often far from prewar centers o f manufacturing activity—the need arose for engineers to move from one industry or State to another. Relationship Between Education and Employment One o f the more significant aspects o f occupa tional m obility among engineers is the ability o f some members o f the profession to find employ ment in a branch o f engineering other than the one in which they received their education. Dur ing their working lives, more than 20 percent had changed to a field o f engineering employment other than that in which they were educated. These changes are made possible by the fact that the core o f basic engineering training is common to all fields. The educational background o f the men em ployed in each field in 1946 is shown in table 20-A . As would be expected, the m ajority o f those em ployed in each specific field were educated in that field. However, between 10 and 36 percent o f the engineers employed in each field had received their education in some other field. A greater proportion o f those educated in min ing or metallurgical engineering changed to some other employment field than did those educated in any other field. These changes appear to have been made easier by the fact that mining engineer69 70 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS T a b l e 2 0 -A .— Percentage distribution o f engineers within 1946 em ploym ent fields, by field o f education Field of engineering employment Field of education Total Chemical Total reporting................................................................. Chemical......................................................................... C iv il.............................................................................. Electrical.......................................................................... Mechanical....................................................................... Mining and metallurgical................................................ Other engineering................................................... ........ Nonengineering1.................. .......................................... Civil Mining Electrical Mechanical and metal lurgical Other Nonengi neering em ployment 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 14.5 21.7 22.9 24.1 5.3 7.1 4.4 90.5 2.0 .8 2.3 1.1 1.0 2.3 1.4 86.4 2.0 2.7 1.8 1.5 4.2 .9 2.4 5.6 7.1 70.3 1.3 9.1 4.2 16.7 4.4 2.6 4.7 64.2 3.3 4.1 8.7 18.0 14.2 16.8 4.6 30.9 6.8 17.8 18.2 21.6 18.9 6.4 9.9 7.2 1.3 87.3 4.0 .2 2.0 4.3 i Includes respondents who indicated no college training in engineering but who may have had such training in a nonengineering field. ing training and experience is so varied that it gives some men an opportunity to qualify for mechanical and civil engineering. There was considerable movement out o f chem ical engineering but relatively less movement into that field. More than 26 percent o f the respond ents educated in chemical engineering were em ployed in other fields in 1946, principally in min ing and metallurgical, “ other”, and mechanical engineering. In contrast, only 10 percent o f the men employed in chemical engineering were edu cated in other fields. This may be explained in part by the fact that there were more graduates in chemical engineering than in any other single field, except mechanical, from 1941 to 1944. Per haps another factor was the more comprehensive content o f the chemical engineering curriculum, as compared to the relatively little background in chemical engineering given in the curricula for other fields. The proportion o f men with training in the same branch o f engineering in which they were employed in 1946 was highest in chemical (90.5 percent), electrical (87.3 percent), and civil engi neering (86.4 percent). Mechanical and mining and metallurgical engineering had relatively fewer men with training in their respective employment fields. Only 70 percent o f the engineers employed in mechanical engineering had been educated in that field—the remainder having been drawn chiefly from among those educated in electrical, civil, or “ other” engineering. This is explained in part by the great wartime and postwar demand for mechanical engineers and in part by the fact that industrial engineers were asked to report their field o f employment as mechanical, while many such men who had received degrees in industrial engineering reported this under “ other fields o f education.” Only 64 percent o f those employed in mining and metallurgical engineering had been trained in these fields; nearly 17 percent had ma jored in chemical engineering. A clear-cut analysis o f the movements to and from “ other” engineering and nonengineering fields o f employment cannot be made because the manner in which the individual respondents classified themselves, if engaged in a specialized field o f engineering, is not known. F or example, a sanitary engineer may have regarded his field o f employment either as civil engineering or as “ other” engineering, making it difficult to estab lish the relationship between education and em» ployment fields fo r this group. Likewise, it was found that some few engineers who had advanced to administration-management jobs classified themselves as in nonengineering employment, thus losing the relationship to their field o f engineering education. Schools o f engineering may ask the question in another w ay: T o what fields o f engineering em ployment did the graduates o f each course go? This is answered in table 20-B. Between 19 and 31 percent o f the men trained in each field o f en gineering were employed in some other field in 1946. The smallest proportion o f transfers from a field o f basic education to some other field o f employ ment occurred among mechanical engineering ma jors, probably because o f the great wartime de mand in this field. Narrowing the discussion to the five m ajor fields, chart 14 on page 72 shows the flow o f engineers from the branch in which trained to other fields o f employment. 71 OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY OP ENGINEERS T a b l e 20-B.— Percentage distribution o f engineers educated in each field , b y 1 9 4 6 em ploym ent Total Field of education Total reporting__ „ OhAmical _ _ . Civil Electrical Mechanical Mining and metallurgical Other engineering.. Norioogineering l _ _ _ _ _______________ _ _ ___ __ _ _ _ . . __ Chemical Oivil Electrical Meehan* ical Mining and metal* lurgical Other Non engineer ing 100.0 11.8 19.3 20.4 27.8 5.7 10.2 4.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 73.5 1.1 .4 1.1 2.6 1.7 6.1 1.9 76.7 1.7 2.2 6.4 4.1 18.3 1.3 1.2 77.8 3.4 .7 5.6 20.2 4.7 7.3 8.6 81.3 6.7 35.3 26.5 6.5 1.2 .6 1.1 68.9 2.6 5.3 6.2 8.4 6.3 7.1 8.9 44.0 15.7 5.9 4.1 4.6 3.8 5.8 6.7 7.9 * Includes respondents who indicated no college training in engineering but who may have had such training in a nonengineering field. Transfers Among Fields of Employment Movement o f the respondents from one field o f engineering to another and between nonengineer ing and some engineering field reflects both the changing character o f the demand for engineers and the extent to which the basic engineering ed ucation and actual experience in one field enable an engineer to carry on the work in another branch o f the profession. Only those reports with a general field o f em ployment indicated fo r all three survey years were used for the analysis o f movements between fields o f employment, therefore all engineers with less than 7 years o f experience were excluded. Re ports from respondents who were in the armed forces or outside the continental United States were also excluded. The shifts that are shown to have taken place were notable in view o f these ex clusions, for it is likely that the younger engineers who were omitted were among the most mobile members o f the profession. The follow ing tabulation indicates the net effect o f the shifts that took place, by showing the per centage distribution o f the engineers by field o f employment in each o f the 3 years. 1946 Percent 1989 Percent 1943 Percent Chemical_______ ___ Civil------------------------Electrical___________ Mechanical________ Mining and metaUurg ic a l-------------------Other engineering— Nonengineering--------- 9.0 23.0 20.5 25.7 9.0 21.4 20.9 28.1 8.9 21.5 20.6 27.0 5.8 10.9 5.1 5.7 10.9 4.0 5.6 11.1 5.3 Total reporting____ 100.0 100.0 100.0 16,765 16,765 16,765 Field of employment Total number re porting — Employment in mechanical engineering gained the most between 1939, before preparation for na tional defense began, and 1943 when war produc tion really began to roll. The field o f electrical engineering also showed a slight net increase in employment by 1943. Civil engineering de creased considerably by 1943, by which time war construction had passed the peak and government controls had curtailed construction activities. The number employed in mining and metallurgi cal engineering also declined, and some respond ents who had been in nonengineering work in 1939 had entered engineering employment by 1943. From the war to the postwar period (1943-46) the net changes in employment field were not great. The mechanical engineering field showed some decrease, but the number leaving did not off set the increase between 1939 and 1943. The chemical, electrical, and mining and metallurgi cal fields o f employment also showed slight net decreases from 1943 to 1946. Percent of respondents in 1989 who were in— Same field Same field 1989 Different all survey and 1946, but field each survey years— 1989, different year Field of employment 1948,1946 field 1943 Total------------------- __ 86.5 2.1 0.9 Chemical _______ — 88.2 Civil ______ . _ 86.2 E lectrical----------- __ 91.6 Mechanical______ __ 92.1 Mining and metallurgical-------------- - - 85.8 Other engineering.__ 80.7 Nonengineering — 50.0 1.5 3.1 1.3 .9 1.1 .9 .4 .5 1.5 2.7 6.2 1.1 1.3 3.9 A summary o f the shifts made by individuals is given in the preceding tabulation which shows the percent o f those employed in 1939 who were in the same field in all three survey years, the percent 72 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Chart 14.— Engineers Educated in One Branch of Engineering But Employed in Another M IN IN G Educated In A METALLURGICAL Engineering Educated In CHEMICAL) Engineering Educated in ELECTRICAL. Engineering Educated in M e c h a n ic a l KEY Englnwrlng Other Engineering Employed fat* Mechanical Electrical Civil Chemical V Mining and Metallurgical Employment as o f 1946 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OP LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 73 OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY OF ENGINEERS who moved to another field during the war but returned to their original field by 1946, and the percent who indicated three different employment fields. W hile the great m ajority o f the engineers re mained in their prewar field o f employment throughout the period, from 8 to 14 percent o f those in each o f the five m ajor branches o f engi neering in 1939 transferred in one o f the subse quent years. Am ong these only a small fraction— between 1 and 3 percent—returned to their prewar fields by 1946. The balance o f those who shifted during the war remained in the fields to which they had transferred, except a small group who shifted among three or more different branches in the 7-year period. The greatest degree o f stabil ity was shown by those employed in mechanical and electrical engineering. These are the fields in which there was greatest expansion o f the need for engineers during the w ar; those employed in them tended to remain there. The changes in employment field are shown in greater detail in table 21. O f those who changed their field o f employment between 1939 and 1943, the greatest percentage went into mechanical en gineering, and the fewest left this branch. Very significant is the fact that there were some shifts made among all fields. Some o f the changes in field o f employment between 1943 and 1946, as shown in the second section o f table 21 represent what we can assume to be a return to an original field after the war, as presented in column 2 o f the tabulation on page 71. Probably the most significant shifts were those into mechanical engineering. Despite the fact that the exodus from mechanical engineer ing (7.5 percent) was greater than that from any other o f the five major fields, more o f those who transferred out o f other branches entered mechan ical engineering than any other field o f engineer ing. The greatest percent o f those changing field T a b l e 21.— Percentages o f respondents 1 who shifted or remained in same field o f employm ent, 1989, 1948, and 1946 Engineering Field of employment Total re porting Chemical Civil Electrical Mining Mechani and metal cal lurgical Other Nonengi neering Field of employment in 1946 in im Total reporting_______________ ____________________ 100.0 9.0 21.4 20.9 28.1 5.7 10.9 4.0 Chemical................... ................................... .................. Civil................................................................................. Electrical—____ __________________________________ Mechanical................................................. ..................... Mining and metallurgical................................................ Other engineering............................................................. N onengineering.......................................... ..................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 91.8 .4 .2 .5 1.3 .8 6.7 .2 89.6 .3 .4 1.2 2.5 5.3 .4 1.1 94.5 1.5 .5 2.9 11.0 2.8 5.2 2.8 95.5 3.4 5.7 13.3 1.4 .3 .1 .1 90.5 .7 2.4 1.6 2.1 1.2 1.2 2.0 85.2 6.8 1.8 1.3 .9 .8 1.1 2.2 54.5 Field of employment in 1946 In 1946 Total reporting____ ______________________________ 100.0 8.9 21.5 20.6 27.0 5.6 11.1 5.3 Chemical___________________ ________ _______ _____ Civil_____________ __________________ ________ ___ EWf.rir»ftl Mechanical................................. .... .......... ........... ......... Mining and metallurgical................................................. Other engineering............................................................. Nonengineering................................................................ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 94.7 (*) .1 .4 .6 .7 2.3 .2 95.3 .3 1.9 .7 2.3 3.8 .4 .3 95.4 1.3 .1 1.0 2.3 1.1 1.2 1.5 92.5 1.5 1.6 3.0 .3 .3 .9 1.3 1.0 1.6 1.6 90.5 3.9 2.4 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.1 3.5 83.9 .3 93.4 .4 .8 Field of employment in 1946 In 19S9 Total reporting................................................................. 100.0 8.9 21.5 20.6 27.0 5.6 11.1 5.3 Chemical.......................................................................... Civil....................................... ...................... ................ Electrical.......................................................................... Mechanical.................................... .............................. . Mining and metallurgical................................................. Other engineering............................................................. Nonengineering................................................................ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 89.7 .5 .2 .5 1.8 .9 6.4 .4 89.2 .3 .6 1.6 2.9 5.3 .5 1.2 92.9 1.6 .5 3.0 10.6 2.6 4.1 2.7 93.0 3.2 5.2 11.8 1.4 .3 .1 .3 87.3 .8 2.5 2.3 2.3 1.5 1.8 2.8 83.4 7.2 3.1 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.8 3.8 56.2 1Percentages based on 16,543 respondents who were employed in all 3 survey years. 2 Less than 0.05 percent. 74 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS between 1943 and 1946 went to nonengineering em ployment. Shifts made by individuals from their 1939 field o f employment to their 1946 field o f employ ment are shown in the third section o f table 21. It appears that around 5 to 10 percent o f those in each o f the m ajor engineering branches in 1939 had changed to one o f the other engineering fields o f employment by 1946, and that the changes made were similar to the changes made from field o f basic engineering education to field o f employ ment, but in smaller proportions. O f those who changed from their 1939 employment field by 1946, the greatest percent from most fields trans ferred to mechanical engineering. About 2 to 3 percent from each field o f engineering went into nonengineering work over the period. In summary, several points stand out in the analysis o f shifts among fields o f engineering em ployment : 1. It was possible for at least a few engineers to shift from each field to every other field. There is some transferability o f basic en gineering knowledge among all major fields. 2. O f those in each o f the five m ajor fields in 1939, between 8 and 14 percent had made a transfer by 1943 or 1946. Few o f the en gineers who shifted during the war had returned to their original field by 1946. 3. Mechanical engineering was the benefici ary o f more o f the shifting, both during and after the war, than any other major engineering field. Civil engineering lost the greatest proportion during the war, and by 1946 had gained few, aside from men who had been civil engineers in 1939. Transfers Among Class-of-Worker Categories The engineering profession, though originally composed largely o f those in private practice, now consists mainly o f salaried employees o f private firms. Government employment o f engineers has also assumed considerable importance. Movement o f engineers from 1939 to 1946 is dis cussed in this section on the basis o f their reports on class-of-worker status. The percentage distri bution o f the respondents by class o f worker for each survey year, showing the net result o f the changes made by individuals, is as follow s: me 1939 Percent 194$ Percent Percent Private industry_____________ Employers_________________ Employees of private firms. _ Independent consultants___ Public employment__________ Federal Government_______ State government__________ County government_______ Municipal government Other public authority_____ N onengineering______________ Student______________________ Retired______________________ Unemployed_________________ 73.5 4 .9 66.5 2. 1 21. 7 8 .9 6 .7 1. 1 4 .0 1.0 3 .7 .8 .1 .2 74.5 4 .8 68.0 1. 7 22. 5 12.7 5. 1 .7 3 .2 .8 2 .9 (2) .1 (2) 75.6 6 .6 66. 1 2 .9 20. 1 9 .9 5 .2 .9 3 .3 .8 3 .7 (2) .3 .3 Total reporting__________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 Total number reporting_ 16, 667 16, 667 16, 667 Class of w orker1 1 Excludes those respondents having less than 7 years’ experience, those in military service, and those who were off-continent. 1 Less than 0.05 percent. The proportion o f engineers who were em ployees o f private firms and o f the Federal Govern ment increased between 1939 and 1943, while in all other class-of-worker categories there were de creases. From war to postwar, 1943 to 1946, the proportion engaged as employers and independent consultants increased, while the employees o f priv ate firms decreased to slightly below the 1939 level. The proportion in public employment also decreased somewhat during the period, to a point below the 1939 level. The follow ing tabulation shows the much larger amount o f transferring by individual engineers from one class-of-worker status to another which underlay the net changes just discussed. From the first column it is evident that pro portionately fewer engineers who were employed in private industry in 1939 changed from one class o f worker to another during the years covered by the survey than did the engineers in public employ ment. Only 15 percent o f the privately employed made changes, but as many as 37 percent o f the public employees did so. Among engineers in pri vate industry in 1939, the group classified as em ployees showed a greater degree o f stability than the self-employed group. It is notable that, al though employment o f engineers in the Federal service increased during the war, as many as 33 percent o f the engineers in this field in 1939 were 75 OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY OF ENGINEERS out o f it in one of the subsequent years, and only 1.6 percent had returned by 1946 after having been out o f Federal service in 1943. Over 40 percent o f the engineers on State and county engineering staffs in 1939 left for other employment, and only 4 to 6 percent o f them had returned by 1946. This turn over undoubtedly was associated with salary levels (see appendix table D -1 7), as well as the falling off o f construction activity during the war. Class of worker Percent of engineers surveyed in 1989 who were in— Same cate gory 1989 Same cate and 1946 A different gory in but differ category each sur 1989, 1948, ent cate and 1946 gory 1948 vey year Total reporting--------------- ____ 78. 3 3 .2 portions from other local government agencies) than it did upon the engineering staffs o f private firms, only 5 percent o f whom shifted to Federal employment. However, these percentages do not reveal the actual magnitude o f movement o f en gineers between government and private industry. More than twice as many engineers in the sample moved from private industry to Federal Govern ment as moved in the opposite direction (645 com pared with 294), though in proportion to the total number o f engineers employed in 1939, the Gov ernment’s losses were much greater than those o f private industry (20 percent and 5 percent, re spectively) . 2 .5 T Private industry_____________ Employers_______________ E m p loy ees o f p riv a te firms__________________ Independent consultants. 85.3 75.4 3 .0 6.4 1. 1 3 .5 86.8 59.7 2 .5 11.0 .8 7 .2 Public e m p lo y m e n t.________ Federal Government_____ State government_______ County government_____ Municipal government___ Other public authority___ 62.8 67.4 58.4 55. 9 64. 2 53.2 3 .6 1. 6 6.2 4 .0 3 .6 2 .3 6.1 4 .2 6 .7 9 .6 7 .5 9 .9 Nonengineering_____________ S tu d e n t____________________ Retired. ___________________ Unemployed-------------------------- 54.0 _ 55. 6 -- 6 .4 2. 2 11. 1 10. 5 5 .5 13.2 11. 1 10. 5 The second column indicates that 3 percent o f the engineers changed their class-of-worker status during the war but returned to their prewar status by 1946. The proportions who did this were larg est among independent consultants, employers, and Stafce government employees. The shifts from one class o f worker to another made by individual engineers between 1939 and 1943,1943 and 1946, and 1939 and 1946 are shown in table 22 (abridged from appendix table D -2 1). O f the engineers in each category o f public em ployment in 1939 about one out o f five went into private industry during the war, principally as employees o f private firms. Relatively, the Fed eral Government made fa r greater inroads between 1939 and 1943 upon the engineering staffs o f State and local government agencies (taking 13 percent o f State government employees and similar pro 852396°— 50------6 2 2 . — Percentages o f respondents who shifted or remained in same class-of-worker status, 1939, 194$, and 1946 able [Abridged from appendix table D-21] Private in dustry Total1 Source of employment report (class of worker) ing Total i In 1989 Private industry........... Employees of pri vate firms______ Public employment___ Federal Govern ment__________ State government - _ Fed State eral Gov govern ern ment ment 100.0 92.9 84.6 6.4 5.3 0.6. 100.0 100.0 93.3 19.7 92.0 18.7 6.0 79.6 4.9 38.6 .6 21.0 100.0 100.0 19.8 18.9 18.9 18.4 79.4 80.4 77.0 13.0 1.2 65.0 Class of worker in 1946 100.0 96.0 84.4 2.3 1.0 0.7 100.0 100.0 96.0 16.7 92.1 13.1 2.3 81.5 1.0 40.4 .7 20.9* 100.0 100.0 22.9 9.6 18.5 7.0 74.9 89.5 70.8 1.6 2.4 86.0 In 1989 Private industry........... Employees of pri vate firms............ Public employment___ Federal Govern ment____ ____ State government. _ Em ployees of pri Total i vate firms Class of worker in 1948 In 1948 Private industry........... Employees of pri vate firms______ Public employment___ Federal Govern ment__________ State government.. Public employment Class of worker in 1946 100.0 93.3 81.8 4.6 3.4 0.7 100.0 100.0 93.6 23.1 89.3 19.3 4.4 74.9 3.1 32.8 .6 21.3 100.0 100.0 24.6 20.9 21.1 17.8 73.2 76.9 69.0 8.3 1.0 64.7 i The selected items do not add to totals. See table D-21 for all components. From 1943 to 1946 (second section o f table 22), approximately 23 percent o f the engineers in the Federal Government and from 6 to 10 percent o f those in municipal, county, and State agencies went into private industry, mainly as employees. 76 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS In contrast, only about 2 percent o f the engineers who were in private industry during the war changed to public employment after the war. The changes made by engineers from 1939 to 1946 are shown in the third section o f table 22. The engineers who were employees o f private firms in 1939 were the most stable group over the 7-year period: nearly 90 percent o f them were in this same category in 1946. One-fourth o f the engi neers in public employment in 1939 had moved to some other type o f employment by 1946, princi pally becoming employees in private firms. W hile 69 percent o f the engineers in the Federal Gov ernment in 1939 were also employed there in 1946, one out o f five had become employees o f private firms in 1946. This pattern o f movement among engineers in the other categories o f public em ployment was similar except that from 6 to 10 percent (8 percent fo r employees o f State govern ments) had moved to Federal employment by 1946. Transfers Among Industry Fields The ability o f engineers to move from one in dustry to another is o f interest to those consider ing entering the profession who may want to know how widespread their employment oppor tunities are, and to what extent their future op portunities are limited by the prospects within a particular industry. It is also o f interest in eval uating the ability o f the engineering manpower o f the country to adapt to changing industrial de mands—particularly in a crisis such as war. Distribution o f engineers by industry o f course varies from one branch o f the profession to an other, as indicated earlier in the report. (A lso see appendix table D -9.) The wide dispersion o f engineering employment makes possible the shifts among industries discussed in this section. As a result o f expanding war needs, the manu facturing industries claimed a greater proportion o f the engineers in each field in 1943 than in 1939. A ircraft and parts manufacturing drew large numbers o f mechanical engineers. The propor tion o f chemical engineers increased the most in the manufacturing o f chemicals and allied prod ucts, and the proportion o f electrical engineers in creased the most in machinery manufacturing. A t the same time there were decreases in the pro portion o f engineers in a number o f other industry fields, notably mining, construction, utilities, and such manufacturing industries as food products and paper and allied products. By 1946, as civilian production was being re sumed, the proportion o f engineers in manufac turing industries had declined somewhat from the 1943 level. However, with the exception o f chemi cal engineers, the proportion o f engineers in each branch o f the profession engaged in manufactur ing industries was greater in 1946 than in 1939. The follow ing tabulation, covering 16,453 en gineers who reported employment in industry fo r 1939,1943, and 1946, shows the proportion o f the 1939 respondents who indicated the same industry all three survey years, those who changed to a different industry in 1943 but returned to their 1939 industry by 1946, and those who changed to Industry field* Percent of respondents in 1989 who were in— Same Same industry industry 1989 and Different in 1989, 1946, differ- industry 1948, arid ent industry each survey 19 46 194 S year Total reporting--------------- 75.5 3 .6 4 .3 Agriculture, forestry_____ Mining__________________ Construction------------------- 61. 5 80.4 75. 6 2.2 1.4 4 .6 8.9 3 .4 3 .4 Manufacturing---------------Food, textiles_______ Lumber, paper products______________ Printing and publishing----------------------Chemicals and allied products__________ Petroleum and coal products__________ 76.9 65.0 3.1 3 .8 4. 1 7 .0 7 0.9 5 .3 6. 6 55.1 41 12.2 78.7 40 2 .5 72.7 R3 5 .9 76.0 a2 3 .8 77.8 80.5 2 .4 3 .2 4 .6 3 .3 78.7 1.7 2 .5 72.6 3 .9 5 .2 82.5 88.9 74.4 64.9 69.9 1.7 2 .4 2 .8 6 .4 3 .6 3 .9 1.7 5. 1 6 .5 5 .6 Rubber, stone, clay, and glass products. Iron, steel, nonferrous metal products____ Machinery__________ Transportation equipment_____________ Other manufacturing industries_________ Transportation__________ Communication_________ Utilities_________________ Service industries________ Other industry fields_____ 1Excludes those respondents having less than 7 years' experience, those in military service, and those who were off-con tinent. 77 OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY OF ENGINEERS another industry by 1943 and to a third industry by 1946. More than three-fourths o f these engineers were employed in the same industry group in all three survey years. The greatest degree o f stability was found in the communication industry which held 90 percent o f its engineers throughout the 7-year period. Machinery, chemicals, transporta tion, and mining held more than 80 percent o f their engineers throughout the period. On the other hand, such industries as food and textiles, printing and publishing, and service industries (such as ventilating and air conditioning installa tion firms) lost more than a third o f the engineers working for them in 1939. A s would be expected, the amount o f movement among industries was greater than among fields o f engineering employment or class-of-worker categories. One-fourth o f the engineers here con sidered made at least one industry change and 4 percent were employed in a different industry in each o f the three survey years. A small propor tion o f those who had left their prewar industry by 1943 had returned to it by 1946. T able 2 3 .— Movement o f individual engineers from one in dustry to another between the survey years is shown in table 23 (abridged from appendix table D -2 2 ). It can be seen that as employment in manufacturing industries increased during the war, engineers were drawn from all m ajor indus try fields. As many as 10 percent o f the engi neers in construction and utilities and nearly 20 percent o f those in service industries in 1939 went into manufacturing industries by 1943. The manufacturing industries which expanded—the metalworking industries and chemicals—drew en gineers not only from nonmanufacturing indus tries but from other manufacturing industries such as food and textiles, lumber and paper prod ucts, and coal and petroleum products. A t the same time, however, there was some small shift in the opposite direction, from such industries as ma chinery and transportation equipment manufac turing to food, lumber, and service industries. In the transition from war to postwar the shifts from one industry to another were not as numer ous as during the period between 1939 and the war year 1943. However, a large number who Percentages o f respondents who shifted or remained in same industry field, 1989, 1948, and 1946 [Abridged from appendix table D-22] Manufacturing Industry field Total i reporting Total i Service Chemicals Petroleum Transpor industries and allied and coal Machinery tation products equipment products In 1939 Manufacturing..................................................................................... Chemical and allied products........................................................ Petroleum and coal products......................................................... Machinery..................................................................................... Transportation equipment............................................................ Service industries................................................................................. Industry field in 1943 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 94.3 94.6 93.4 93.8 96.7 19.7 10.6 84.7 4.7 .5 .2 1.8 In 1943 <rh 1 !I Manufacturing..................................................................................... Chemicals and allied products....................................................... Petroleum and coal products......................................................... Machinery..................................................................................... Service industries................................................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 16.1 .7 2.4 4.7 89.7 6.6 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.5 .6 70.0 91.6 94.3 93.0 93.9 83.0 6.7 10.5 86.3 1.7 .3 1.0 .8 7.9 1.2 87.5 .5 .6 .1 26.1 1.5 1.4 89.4 4.6 2.3 14.0 .4 .6 .8 69.2 .8 2.7 2.7 1.6 2.0 5.6 88.8 13.3 .4 1.6 2.8 80.2 3.7 2.8 1.8 3.2 3.3 2.4 71.2 Industry field in 1946 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1 The selected items do not add to totals. See table £>-22 for all components. 26.3 2.1 1.6 85.6 3.7 4.9 Industry field in 1946 In 19S9 Manufacturing..................................................................................... Chemicals and allied products....................................................... Petroleum and coal products......................................................... Machinery..................................................................................... Transportation equipment.—....................................................... Service industries..........................................— ....... -........................ 8.4 1.0 80.3 .4 .2 .6 91.4 93.9 88.7 91.4 90.6 18.6 10.5 82.6 5.6 .6 .4 1.8 8.2 1.1 76.0 .3 .4 .6 26.3 2.6 2.0 83.8 4.7 6.1 78 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS had been in transportation equipment manufac turing in 1943 had transferred to other manufac turing industries, construction, and service in dustries by 1946. When the shifts made by the individual engi neers are considered, it appears that about 20 percent o f the respondents were in different in dustries in 1946 than in 1939. W hile there is no single pattern in these shifts, there was a tendency to move into durable-goods manufacturing indus tries. In 1946, the metalworking industries— machinery, iron and steel and nonferrous metal products, and transportation equipment—had a considerable number o f engineers who had been in another industry in 1939. Engineers appear to have changed their indus try more readily than their general field o f em ployment or their class-of-worker status. Most o f the changes appeared to be in response to the shifting industrial demands o f the war and post war periods. A t the same time there was some small movement o f individual engineers away from the expanding industries to those which were, on the whole, losing engineers. T able 24.— Changes in Employment Location The war years were marked by great movements o f population in response to the growth o f de fense industries and military establishments. These population movements follow ed long-term trends in migration. Like other workers, engineers moved a great deal during this period in response to changing economic opportunities. Data on distribution o f engineers by State for each branch o f the pro fession in each o f the three survey years are shown in appendix table D-10. The net changes in the distribution o f engineers among the States are shown in table 24. A s may be expected, there was expansion in the Pacific and South Atlantic re gions (particularly in the District o f Colum bia), moderate decrease in the Great Plains States, particularly those in the W est North Central re gion which also lost in general population. The great industrial region o f the Middle Atlantic and East North Central States retained about the same number o f these experienced engineers over the period. Percentage distribution o f engineers, by State, 1939, 1943, and 1 9 4 6 1 [Includes only those who indicated an employment location all three survey years] Engineers employed in— Engineers employed in— Employment location Employment location 1943 1939 1939 1946 16,365 16,365 16,365 100.0 100.0 100.0 Middle Atlantic..................................... New York _ . ____ _ 32.1 16.8 10.1 5.2 31.2 15.7 9.8 5.7 32.0 16.7 9.8 5.5 East North Central Ohio____ _ ____ _ _ Illinois............................................ Michigan______________________ Indiana.......................................... . Wisconsin_____________________ 23.8 7.7 6.9 4.3 23.2 8.1 6.4 4.0 23.2 8.0 6.5 2.7 2.2 2.7 2.0 4.1 2.5 2.1 Pacific......................... ......................... California_____________________ Washington________________ Oregon............................................. 9.1 7.1 1.3 .7 9.7 7.4 1.6 .7 10.3 7.9 1.6 .8 South Atlantic. __ ____ District of C olum bia__ 8.7 2.2 1.6 1.3 1.1 10.5 3.3 1.7 1.6 1.0 .8 .6 .6 .6 10.0 2.9 1.7 1.5 .3 .3 7.7 7 .8 4 .8 2.0 Total reporting—number....... - ............. Total reporting—percent Pennsylvania N ew Jersey M ar viand Virginia. W est Virginia Georgia North Carolina Florida Delaware........ ................................ South Carolina New England Massachusetts _ Connecticut . . .. Rhode Island................................... .7 .6 .5 .4 .3 8.1 5.0 1.8 .5 4.7 2.0 .4 .9 .9 .6 .6 .6 .4 1943 New England—Continued Maine..................... ....................... New Hampshire________________ Vermont 0.4 .2 .2 0.3 .2 .1 0.3 .2 .1 West North Central__ _____________ Missouri____ _________________ Minnesota_____________________ Iowa............................................... Kansas________________________ Nebraska_____________________ South Dakota______ _____ ______ North Dakota................................. 6.4 2.2 1.5 1.0 .8 .5 .2 5.7 2.0 1.4 .7 .9 .5 .1 .2 .1 5.6 2.0 1.5 .8 .7 .4 .1 .1 West South Central........ ..................... Texas........ ..................................... Oklahoma____ _______________ Louisiana_____________________ 6.0 3.7 1.2 .'8 .3 6.1 3 .8 1.1 .9 .3 3 .8 1 .0 .8 .3 Mountain.............................................. Colorado. _____________________ Montana__ ___________________ Utah.............................................. Arizona.____ _________________ New Mexico___________________ Idaho_________________________ Wyoming_______ ______ —.......... Nevada______ ______ __________ 3.0 1.0 .4 .4 .4 2.8 .9 .3 .5 .3 1 .0 .3 .4 .3 Arkansas _ _. _ _ East South Central „ 2.8 Tennessee....................................... Kentucky Alabama Mississippi _ _ ... .3 .2 .2 .1 . ....... 1.0 .8 .7 .3 1Excludes those with less than 7 years in the profession, those in military service, and those outside the continental United States. 1946 .3 .2 .1 .2 3.1 ( 1.3 .8 .7 .3 5.9 2.7 .3 .2 .1 .1 2.5 1.0 .8 .5 .2 OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY OF ENGINEERS Engineers changed their employment location even more frequently than they changed the in dustries in which they were employed. A pproxi mately 70 percent o f these respondents reported themselves employed in the same State in all three survey years; the remaining 30 percent made one or more changes over the period. The proportion o f those employed in a given State in 1939 who were in that State in 1943 and 1946 appears to have a direct relationship to the number o f re spondents employed in a State; i. e., in States where a relatively large number o f engineers were employed, the proportion o f engineers who stayed in the same State through 1946 was large, while in States where a relatively few engineers were employed in 1939 only one-half or less stayed in the same State through 1946. The changes made by the 30 percent o f the en gineers who shifted employment location follow ed several patterns. Some 13.5 percent o f all engi neers moved to another State between 1939 and 1943 and remained there through 1946, while 5.9 percent o f the engineers were in the same State in 1939 and 1943, but moved to a different State by 1946. About the same number (5.9 percent) were in a different State in each o f the three sur vey years, and an additional 4.6 percent indicated a change in employment location between 1939 and 1943—possibly a war production job—but re turned to their 1939 employment location by 1946. The amount o f shifting which lies behind the small net changes in the number o f engineers in a State, as shown in table 24, may be illustrated by the movement o f engineers into and out o f Ohio between 1939 and 1943. The net increase o f 66 engineers in the sample was brought about by the transfer o f 280 engineers from 34 other States into Ohio, while 214 engineers transferred from Ohio to 32 other States. The m ajority o f these changes were between Ohio and other States in the East North Central region and the neighbor ing Middle Atlantic region. Summary M obility among members o f the engineering profession is o f many types; these occupational shifts are made in response to changing economic conditions, demands o f employers, the engineers’ personal wishes or needs, and other factors. Data 79 on five types o f movement o f engineers have been presented in this report; namely, changes o f em ployment location, industry, class o f worker, field o f employment, and from a specialized field o f education to a different field o f employment. A greater proportion o f engineers— about 30 per cent—moved from one employment location (State) to another, during the 7-year period cov ered by the 1946 survey, than were involved in any o f the other changes analyzed. About 25 percent o f the engineers changed industry field, 22 percent changed from one class-of-worker cate gory to another, and about 14 percent transferred from one branch o f engineering to another during the 7-year period. More than 20 percent o f all respondents had made a change at some time dur ing their working life to a field o f employment other than the field in which they received their basic education. Nearly a third o f the engineers changed their employment location from one State to another between 1939 and 1946. More than twice as many engineers changed employment location in the 4year period, 1939 to 1943, as moved during the 3year period, 1943 to 1946. These movements were proportionately more numerous among those en gineers located in States where a relatively smaller number o f engineers had been employed in 1939, and conversely, the engineers in those States with a relatively large engineer population were less prone to change the State o f their employment. The amount o f shifting o f employment location within a State is not known but may have been considerable in those States which furnish em ployment fo r large numbers o f engineers. The changes made by engineers among industry fields appear to reflect the high wartime demands and employment opportunities for engineers in the “ heavy” or durable goods industries. Between 1939 and 1943 about a fifth o f the engineers in the service industries shifted to manufacturing in dustries in response to curtailment o f civilian goods production and the emphasis on war pro duction. Between 1943 and 1946 the most signifi cant movement was from transportation equip ment manufacturing to service industries in re sponse to the conversion to peacetime pursuits. Comparison o f the prewar and postwar industry fields o f individual engineers indicated that a fifth were in a different industry in 1946 from that re 80 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS ported fo r 1939. Transfers to machinery, iron, steel, and nonferrous metals products manufactur ing were fairly numerous. About 30 percent o f the engineers in the service industries in 1939 had transferred out by 1943, but almost all o f them were replaced by engineers from other industries by 1946. Changes made by engineers among the class-ofworker categories during the period covered by the survey indicate to some extent the principal sources o f employment for engineers during the war and postwar years. Between 1939 and 1943 the proportion o f engineers who were em ployees o f private firms and o f the Federal Gov ernment increased at the expense o f local govern ment and other class-of-worker categories. About a fifth o f the engineers in each category o f public employment in 1939 had gone into private indus try by 1943. On the other hand, only 5 percent o f the engineers who had been in private industry in 1939 moved to Federal Government job s; from 10 to 15 percent o f those who had been in other types o f public employment shifted to Federal Government jobs. However, while in percentage terms private industry made greater inroads upon Federal Government engineering staffs than vice versa, the actual number o f engineers who shifted from private to Federal employment was twice as great as the number o f Federal employees who went to private jobs. As the war drew to a close and peacetime pat terns were reestablished, about 23 percent o f the engineers in Federal employment and from 6 to 10 percent o f those in municipal, county, and State agencies in 1943 moved to private industry by 1946. In contrast, only about 2 percent o f the engineers in private industry during the war shifted to pub lic employment by 1946. Over the entire period, 1939 to 1946, employees o f private firms were the most stable group; nearly 90 percent o f them reported no change in their status. About 30 percent o f the engineers in Fed eral employment in 1939 had moved to some other class-of-worker status by 1946; 20 percent became employees o f private firms. Engineers in the other categories o f public employment follow ed a similar pattern, except that from 6 to 10 percent had moved to Federal employment by 1946. There was some shifting o f engineers among all the basic fields o f engineering employment during the period 1939 to 1946. Between 8 and 14 per cent o f the members o f each o f the major fields o f engineering in 1939 left their fields, and few had returned to their original fields by 1946. The greatest proportion o f those who shifted from their 1939 employment field went into mechanical en gineering by 1946. Civil engineering lost the greatest proportion during the war and regained few by the end o f the survey period. The ability o f members o f the profession to change from one field o f engineering to another is also reflected in the fact that during their work ing lives as many as one out o f five engineers had changed to a field o f engineering employment other than that in which they were educated. As would be expected, the m ajority o f those in each employ ment field were educated in that field. However, there were a number employed in each branch o f engineering whose education had been in another field—ranging from 10 percent o f those employed in chemical engineering to as high as 36 percent o f those employed in mining and metallurgical en gineering. Electrical and civil engineering em ployment included comparatively few (13 and 14 percent, respectively) whose education was in some other field. About 30 percent o f those employed in mechanical engineering were educated in other fields—mainly electrical, civil, or “ other” en gineering. Among those educated in each field, from 19 to 31 percent were employed in some other field in 1946. The greatest proportionate change was among the mining and metallurgical engineering majors who transferred mainly to civil, mechani cal, or “ other” engineering employment. More than 26 percent o f those educated in chemical en gineering had taken jobs in other fields, principally mining and metallurgical, mechanical, and “ other” engineering. The smallest proportion o f trans fers to some other employment field was among those educated in mechanical engineering, possibly because o f the wartime demand in this field. W hile it is not known at what time the survey respondents made the change from their basic field o f education to a different field o f employment, there is evidence that this condition is not neces sarily one brought about during a period o f short ages o f engineers. A survey o f members o f en gineering societies showed as many as 15 percent OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY OF ENGINEERS who had made such a change during their work ing lives up to 1939.1 Thus it appears that the engineering profession is a flexible one, offering opportunities to transfer from one field o f specialization to another, from one industry and employer to another, and to various locations o f employment. The signifi cance o f the movement which occurred during the 7-year period cannot be evaluated because there are no data on m obility in other periods which might provide norms for the engineering profes sion. Surveys o f other occupations or future sur veys o f the engineering profession may provide some basis for evaluation o f the volume and types o f movement made by the respondents to the 1946 survey. Exploration o f additional factors associ ated with m obility, such as age, years o f experi ence, and educational level, in relation to the five types o f occupational shifting considered in this report would help in understanding the m obility o f engineers. Such information would be o f value to engineers themselves, as well as to those interested in manpower utilization, training, and career guidance. 1 The Engineering Profession in Transition, Engineers Joint Council, 33 West 39th St., New York, N. Y., 1947, p. 14. 81 It is obvious that there are certain advantages in follow ing an occupation in which there are opportunities for some movement. The individ ual may be able to satisfy his desires concerning the location o f his employment and may be better able to adjust to changing economic conditions. There may also be adverse considerations in these changes, such as having to leave a community in which the engineer has become advantageously situated, or in having his home life and his chil dren’s schooling interrupted. The young person contemplating entering the engineering profession should be aware o f the amount and kind o f movement possible. In order to equip himself to adjust more easily to chang ing conditions or to advance his career he may wish to acquire the broadest possible educational preparation consistent with an adequate back ground fo r the specialty he intends to follow . A t the same time, however, he is faced with the con flicting trend toward a high degree o f specializa tion in each field, accompanied by the demand for more graduate education. This presents an indi vidual with a dilemma which he must try to re solve in terms o f his own interests in a particular field and his desire for employment flexibility. Professional Societies and O rgan izatio n s1 Many organizations have been formed over the past century which have as a basis a common interest in scientific and technical subjects or pro fessional problems. Today it is estimated that more than 60 national and more than TO independ ent State, regional, and local engineering organi zations are functioning in the United States. Some are purely technical in nature; others are interested prim arily in the economic, educational, or social aspects o f engineering. In addition, there are many engineering clubs and various joint organizations o f the council type. Some o f the major branches o f engineering are represented by several national bodies, termed the “ Founder Societies” . Their names and dates o f organization are as follow s: American Society o f Civil Engineers, 1852; American Institute o f Min ing and Metallurgical Engineers, 1871; American Society o f Mechanical Engineers, 1880; and Amer ican Institute o f Electrical Engineers, 1884.1 2 In addition, an organization, representing another major branch o f engineering, was founded in 1908; the American Institute o f Chemical E ngi neers.3 These 5 engineering societies are repre sented in another organization, The Engineers Joint Council, which was form ed several years ago. The Society for the Promotion o f Engineering Education, now called the American Society for Engineering Education, was founded in 1893. This society, composed o f teachers and represent atives o f engineering schools and industries, is interested mainly in the advancement o f the stand ards and methods o f professional training. Another organization, the National Council o f State Boards o f Engineering Examiners, founded 1 Detailed descriptions and discussions o f engineering organi zations are found in the following publications: Esther Lucille Brown, The Professional Engineer, Russell Sage Foundation, 1936; Organizations of Engineers in the United States of Amer ica, a paper presented before International Technical Congress in Paris, France, September 1946 (C. E. Davies, Secretary, American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 29 West 39th St., New York, N. Y.) 2 All of these organizations are located at 25-33 West 39th St., New York, N. Y. * Located at 50 East 41st St., New York, N. Y. 82 in 1920, is a limited membership council, con cerned with the certification and registration o f engineers. Together these seven bodies form ed the Engi neers’ Council for Professional Development in 1932, which deals with professional problems o f all branches o f engineering and is interested in such questions as standards and ethics o f the pro fession, student selection and guidance, and ac creditation o f engineering curricula and the stimu lation o f recent graduates to continue and expand their training.4* The Engineering Institute o f Canada is also a member o f this organization. The membership o f the National Society o f P ro fessional Engineers (founded 1934) 5 is limited to those who are legally registered or licensed en gineers. Emphasis in this organization is placed on the advancement o f the professional status as well as the social and economic welfare o f the engineer. There are listed below some o f the other national organizations to which many engineers belong, with their dates o f organization; most o f these con sist o f specialists in a particular industry or phase o f engineering. They are active in advancing the science and techniques in their fields, and some have made notable contributions by establishing standards generally accepted in their industries. The list below is by no means complete but was selected to show the diversity o f engineering in terest, American Chemical Society (1876). American Water Works Association (1881). National Association o f Power Engineers (1882). American Railway Bridge and Building Association (1891). Society o f Naval Architects and Marine Engineers (1893). American Society of Heating and Ventilating En gineers (1894). American Public Works Association (1894). American Society for Testing Materials (1898). American Railway Engineering Association (1899). 4 This organization is located at 29 West 39th St., New York, N. Y. * Located at 1121 15th St. NW., Washington, D. C. SOCIETIES AND ORGANIZATIONS Society of Automotive Engineers (1904). American Society of Refrigerating Engineers (1904). American Concrete Institute (1905). Illuminating Engineering Society (1906). American Society of Agricultural Engineers (1907). Association of Iron and Steel Engineers (1907). American Society o f Sanitary Engineering (1908). American Institute o f Consulting Engineers (1910). The Institute of Radio Engineers (1912). American Association of Engineers (1915). Society o f Motion Picture Engineers (1916). American Welding Society (1919). American Society o f Metals (1920). American Society o f Safety Engineers (1921). Association o f Consulting Management Engineers, Inc. (1929). Institute of Traffic Engineers (1930). American Society of Tool Engineers (1932). 83 Institute of Aeronautical Sciencies, Inc. (1932). American Society of Photogrammetry (1934). Society for the Advancement of Management (1936). Institute o f Ceramic Engineers (1938). Society o f Experimental Stress Analysis (1942). National Association of Corrosion Engineers (1943). American Society o f Lubrication Engineers (1944). American Society of Body Engineers, Inc. (1945). American Institute o f Industrial Engineers (1946). Some engineers are members o f unions, such as the International Federation o f Technical En gineers, Architects and Draftsmen’s Unions, A F L , and the United Office and Professional Workers o f America, CIO. Also some are members o f in dependent professional collective bargaining or ganizations. Registration and Certification of Engineers1 T o do some but not all kinds o f engineering work a person must be a “ registered engineer.” There are laws providing fo r registration or li censing o f engineers in all 48 States and five Terri tories (but not in the District o f Colum bia). In general, the purpose o f the laws is to ensure that engineering work which involves the safeguard ing o f life, health, or property shall be done by registered engineers. Most o f the laws provide fo r the registration o f those qualified to practice engineering and forbid any other persons from practicing engineering or using any title or de scription tending to give the impression that they are “ professional” engineers. The various laws differ as to just who is re quired to be registered. In some States only civil or structural engineers are required to register. In others, only the engineer who approves or draws up the plans for the construction o f a bridge or an electric light and power station is re quired to register. Subordinate engineers who work under the approving engineers and whose name would not be affixed to the plan or approval would not be required to register. A t the present time, well over 100,000 engineers are registered by various boards—approximately a third o f all en gineers in the United States. Most o f those reg istered now are civil engineers but registration o f others is growing and in some States registration is virtually a requirement fo r public employment. A general definition o f “ professional engineer” found in most State laws is, “ a person who by rea son o f his special knowledge o f the mathematical and physical sciences and the principles and methods o f engineering analysis and design, ac 1 Much o f this section is based on the publication Organization o f Engineers in the United States o f America, a paper presented before the International Technical Congress, Paris, France, Sep tember 1946. (C. E. Davies, Secretary, American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 29 West 39th St., New York, N. Y .) 84 quired by professional education and practical ex perience, is qualified to practice engineering, as attested by his legal registration as professional engineer.” Professional education is obtained through graduation from an accredited curricu lum or the equivalent. The amount o f practical experience required varies by State, but usually is 4 years. The term “ practice o f engineering” is usually defined as “ any professional service or creative work requiring education, training, and experi ence and the application o f special knowledge in the mathematical, physical, and engineering sci ences to such professional services or creative work as consultation, investigation, evaluation, planning, design, and supervision o f construction fo r the purpose o f assuring compliance with speci fications and design in connection with any public or private utilities, structures, buildings, ma chines, equipment, processes, works, or projects.” The registration laws are under constant change and improvement; the major engineering societies have from time to time attempted to set up “model” laws and definitions. The National Council o f State Boards o f Engineering Examiners was or ganized to assist the individual State boards which are established to administer the laws. This or ganization has established a National Bureau o f Engineering Registration which facilitates inter state registration. Detailed information on various registration laws, addresses o f boards o f examiners and other information may be obtained from either the Na tional Council o f State Boards o f Engineering Examiners, Carolina L ife Building, Colum bia, S. C .; the National Society o f Professional Engineers, 1121 Fifteenth Street NW., Washing ton, D. C .; or individual State boards o f engi neering examiners. A p p e n d ix A . Census D a ta on Engineers Throughout this report basic data on engineers as reported by the Bureau o f the Census have been used. This source is the only one which gives numbers in the profession over a period o f years, and also includes characteristics such as age and education. Most agencies, including the Engi neers Joint Council,1 have accepted the Census figures on engineers. However, the question has been raised whether the Census figures, which are based on the individual’s report (or a relative’s report) as to his occupation, are completely accu rate. W ith respect to engineers, for example, it becomes important to evaluate whether there was any significant inaccuracy resulting from the natural tendency fo r people to overrate their status. Every effort has been made by the Bureau o f the Census to lim it the technical engineer cate gory to those engaged in or seeking work at the professional level. Enumerators were instructed in 1930 to “ distinguish carefully the different kinds o f engineers by stating the full descriptive titles, as civil engineer, electrical engineer, loco motive engineer, mechanical engineer, mining en gineer, stationary engineer, etc.” 1 2 Separate codes o f classifications were assigned to these occupa tional returns so that it was possible to eliminate locomotive engineers, stationary engineers, and the like, from the group o f technical engineers. A comparison o f Census figures with those from the Interstate Commerce Commission on railroad em ployment fo r 1940, makes it apparent that loco motive engineers were not included in the profes sional engineer classification o f the Census. In 1940, a further attempt was made to lim it the group to professional workers by excluding all persons under 35 years old returned as technical 1 The Engineering Profession in Transition, Engineers Joint Council, 33 West 33th St., New York, N. Y., 1947, pp. 57-60. 3 General Report on Occupations. Fifteenth Census of the United States: 1930, U. S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Washington 25, D. C., p. 30. engineers unless they had at least 4 years o f col lege education. The Bureau bf the Census recognizes that it loses a considerable number o f men who are trained professional engineers and who are doing engineering work, but are classified on the Census schedules as vice presidents, executives, managers, superintendents, builders, contractors, etc.3• This same circumstance also affects many other profes sional occupations. Persons in the engineering profession usually view administrative and man agement positions as the highest possible attain ment o f an engineer, and do not consider that one who has advanced to such a position has left the profession. The reports o f engineers to the 1946 survey substantiate this; approximately a third o f all engineers employed in that year stated that they were in administrative positions. Since such men consider themselves to be engineers, a great many must have reported themselves as such to the Census also, and therefore are included in the basic data on employment trends and death and retirement rates as discussed in this report. Nevertheless, there is probably some loss to the en gineering profession—as the profession is meas ured by Census data—resulting from advancement o f men to administrative positions. An allow ance for this loss, as well as other transfers out, is made in the section o f this report on losses to the profession. W hile Census material represents the only com prehensive data in the field o f occupations, users o f these data should realize their limitations, as indicated in the text and footnotes o f the various Census publications. In comparing statistics o f different census years, there are two important considerations which complicate the use o f sta tistics on “experienced workers.” These m ajor factors are: (1) Differences between the “ gainful • Comparative Occupation Statistics, 1870-1940, U. S. De partment of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, p. 24, Washing ton 25, D. C., 1943. 85 86 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS worker” concept o f 1930 and previous censuses, and the “ labor force” concept o f the 1940 Census,4 and (2) differences in classification o f occupations. The change in concept from “ gainful workers” to “ labor force” leads to a considerable difference in the treatment o f seasonal workers, retired workers, new workers, and institutionalized per sons. The net effect o f these differences is that the “ gainful worker” figures o f the earlier cen suses must be reduced by a relatively small amount and the “labor force” figures o f 1940 raised slightly to make them comparable in concept. The Bureau o f the Census has done this fo r the 1930 male and female labor force as a whole, but 4 The principal difference between the concept of “ gainful worker” and “labor force” is that “ gainful workers” include all persons who were reported as usually following a gainful occu pation, regardless of whether working or seeking work at the time of the Census; whereas “ labor force” includes only persons working or seeking work as of a particular week to which the Census refers. not by occupation. (F or a detailed discussion o f these adjustments, see Sixteenth Census o f the United States: 1940, Population, Comparative Occupation Statistics fo r the TJrdted States, 1870 to 19Jfi, pp. 11-16.) W hile occupational classifications differed in relatively minor aspects in the earlier Censuses, the classification adopted fo r 1940 differed con siderably fo r some occupations. Although ad justments have been made by the Bureau o f the Census to take care o f differences in classification insofar as possible, certain limitations neverthe less exist. One o f these limitations, the exclusion o f some engineers in administrative jobs, is dis cussed above. Another change in classification— that o f excluding surveyors from the civil engi neering group in 1940—was adjusted by the Bu reau o f Labor Statistics in the 1930 and earlier figures as explained in appendix B o f this report. A p p e n d ix B. A n a ly s is of Changes in the Engineering Profession, 1930—4 0 Appendix table B -l presents an analysis o f the movements both into and out o f the engineering profession during the decade, 1930-40. Column 1 is based on data from the 1930 Census o f Population. The 1930 Census figures on engi neers include surveyors; therefore the original number reported was adjusted to reduce the total to one comparable with 1940. This was accom plished by applying the 1940 ratio o f surveyors to civil engineers to the 1930 civil engineer total. The number o f losses over the decade, owing to death and retirement (column 2 ), was then calculated by applying separation rates from the Bureau o f Labor Statistics preliminary “ tables o f working life expectancy” to the 1930 age com position o f the engineers. The separation rates used are those fo r all urban white males in the United States. It should be pointed out, how ever, that loss rates in the engineering profession, particularly those resulting from retirement, may be lower than those for the total urban white male population. The survivors in 1940, in their prop er age brackets for that year, are shown in column 3 (column 1 minus column 2 ). The total number o f engineering graduates in the decade (see appendix table D -3 ), less those who died or retired, were then added to the engineers surviving to 1940 (column 4 ). Median age at graduation was assumed to be 23 years. The computed labor force o f engineers in 1940 (column 5, the sums o f columns 3 and 4) can be compared to the actual labor force (including those employed and those unemployed) as shown by the 1940 Census. The last column o f the table presents the differences between the computed and the actual labor force in 1940 at various age levels. The plus figures represent net transfers into the profession o f persons other than graduates in the decade, and the minus figures, net transfers out o f the profession. It should be emphasized that these are net differences; actually the number o f transfers out in the age groups below 35 was some what higher than the 51,000 shown because some persons in these age groups probably transferred in at the same time. This also applies to the d if ferences shown in the age groups above 35; the 26,000 shown represents a minimvm o f transfers between 1930 and 1940 in these age groups. The last column suggests that at least 50,000 engineers and engineering graduates o f the 193040 decade left the profession by 1940, and that at least 26,000 persons who were not engineers in 1930, and who were not graduated from engineer ing schools during the decade entered the profes- T a b l e B - l .— Changes in the engineering profession, 1980-40 1 Age (in years) Total ___ ___ _ 9 0 -2 4 9 R -9 Q an-su 3 K -3 Q A O -4 4 F O -F A 5 5 -5 9 fiO -fU 7 0 -7 4 75 and over_________________________ ITnirnown Number of engineers in 1930 (gainful workers)8 Deaths and retirements to 1940 of 1930 engineers Survivors in 1940 of 1930 engineers (by age in 1940) (1) (2) (3) 215,386 23,744 38,424 34,508 31,452 28,499 22,734 15,226 9,226 6,109 3,133 1,410 | 741 180 35,777 Computed8 labor force in 1940 Actual labor force in 1940 * Difference (actual minus computed) (5) (6) (7) 108,410 288,019 261,687 -26,332 13,260 57,350 37,800 13,260 57,350 60,618 36,618 31,989 28,244 24,481 18,096 10,430 13,189 32,343 34,348 45,503 39,071 34,195 28,730 18,054 9,550 -71 -25,007 -26,270 +8,885 +7,082 +5,951 +4,249 -42 —880 6,704 926 1,806 2,519 3,208 4,018 4,638 4,796 4,842 4,313 22,818 36,618 31,989 28,244 24,481 18,096 10,430 4,682 6,782 6,782 29 151 151 1Sources of data and description of the table are presented in the accom panying text. 8 See footnote 4, p. 86. 179,609 Graduates 1930-40 (less those who died or retired) (by age in 1940) (4) -78 -151 8 Sum of columns 3 and 4. * U. S. Department of Commerce, U. S. Bureau of the Census, Sixteenth Census of the United States, 1940, Population, vol. Ill, pt. 1, table 65. 87 88 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS sion by 1940. Inspection o f the data on gradu ations and on the growth o f the profession during the 1920’s strongly suggests that the m ajor part o f the 26,000 or more entrants were persons who had not been graduated from engineering schools. Several factors help to explain both types o f movements. First, in the age groups below 35, the transfers out were in most cases the result o f poor employment conditions existing during a great part o f the thirties. The incidence o f un employment among young engineers was described in the section on civil engineers (see p. 15). Most o f those transferring in were probably men who were employed in subprofessional jobs in 1930, such as draftsmen, surveyors, and others who advanced to engineering positions by 1940. A smaller number o f persons who held administra tive or other professional positions in 1930, may also have entered the engineering profession by 1940. Other types o f transfers in the older age groups were the immigration o f foreign-born engineers (examination o f immigration data shows this to be a small factor) and the return of American en gineers to the United States from foreign employ ment. There are several technical factors which m ight affect the accuracy o f these computations. First is the fact that the “gainful workers” concept o f the 1930 census probably included some persons which the labor force concept o f the 1940 census ex cluded—particularly older persons (appendix A ). An adjustment fo r this difference would have the effect o f increasing the “ plus” figures slightly fo r some o f the age groups over 35, in the last column. Secondly, the death and retirement rates for all white urban males may be slightly higher than those for engineers, as pointed out above. Any reasonable adjustment which might be made in these rates to make them applicable to engineers would have the effect o f reducing the “ plus” figures slightly fo r some o f the age groups over 35, in the last column. These small differences would tend to offset each other. A p p e n d ix C. Scope and M e th o d of the 1946 Survey Most o f the statistical data on earnings and the economic status o f engineers presented in this re port are based on two surveys o f the engineering profession made by the Bureau o f Labor Statis tics. The first, made in 1935 at the request o f the American Engineering Council, covered the years 1929, 1932, and 1934.1 This report described the economic status o f engineers over a period in which general economic prosperity was follow ed by a serious depression. The second survey was made in 1946 in cooperation with the Engineers Joint Council, representing six leading engineer ing societies, and the National Roster o f Scientific and Specialized Personnel. It covered the years 1939,1943, and 1946; a period in which the economy o f the country experienced first a recovery from the depression, then the war, and finally a postwar period o f high employment levels. Thus infor mation is available on the impact o f a wide variety o f economic conditions upon the status o f the en gineering profession. This section describes the scope and method o f the 1946 survey. The questionnaire for the survey was designed by the three cooperating agencies, drawing upon the experience o f the previous survey as well as that gained in two surveys o f the chemical profes sion in 1941 and 1943.1 2 The questionnaire called fo r information on experience, earnings, employ ment status, and education (see facsim ile o f ques tionnaire, pp. 96 and 97). It was completely precoded to make it easy for the respondent to fill it out and to minimize clerical work in handling the completed questionnaires. In order to encourage the broadest response, the questionnaire was com 1U. S. Department o f Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics, Em ployment and Earnings in the Engineering Profession, 1929 to 1934, Bulletin No. 682, Superintendent of Documents, Washing ton 25, D. C., 1941. Price 25 cents. 2 The Economic Status of the Members of the American Chemi cal Society, 1942, by Andrew Fraser, Jr. (available in Chemical and Engineering News, issues of October 25, November 25, Decem ber 10, and December 25, 1942, or in reprint form from the Mack Printing Co., Easton, Pa. U. S. Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Factors Affecting Earnings in Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, Bulle tin No. 881, Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D. C., 1946. (Reprinted from Monthly Labor Review, June 1946, with additional data.) Price 10 cents. pletely anonymous, with no way o f identifying the respondent. In order to obtain a representative cross section o f the approximately 300,000 engineers in the United States in 1946, the files o f the National Roster were used to provide a mailing list. The National Roster had approximately 200,000 per sons registered as engineers. Their names had originally been obtained from the professional so cieties, State boards o f engineering examiners, schools o f engineering, and from the occupational questionnaires which were filled out in connection with Selective Service registration by all civilian men aged 18 to 64. A ll persons whose names had been obtained as being engineers or engineering graduates were sent National Roster registration forms, which called fo r information on education and professional experience. When these form s had been returned to the National Roster they were screened in order to make sure that every registrant was qualified as an engineer, fo r the purpose o f establishing an active file o f all persons who might be capable o f doing professional work in connection with the war effort. (A s it later developed when results o f the survey were ana lyzed, some o f these registrants were not employed in engineering; these were separately tabulated in the survey). The 200,000 registrants in the Roster files were grouped for the purpose o f the survey according to educational level, age, and engineering spe cialty, and 20 percent o f the names in each cell were used as a mailing list for the survey. The Engineers Joint Council wished to obtain in for mation on the economic status o f all members o f its six constituent societies and so the question naire was sent to its own mailing list o f 86,900 society members. In order to avoid sending two questionnaires to the same person the sample se lected from the National Roster files was matched against the Engineers Joint Council mailing list. Names found on both lists were eliminated from the National Roster mailing, but the questionnaires sent to these engineers were identified as being in the Roster sample, and, after their returns were 89 90 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Comparison of Returns With National Mailing List tabulated for the purposes o f the Engineers Joint Council, they were included in the tabulations o f the National Roster sample. Altogether, approximately 42,000 question naires were mailed in September 1946 to persons registered with the National Roster. A total o f 24,695 questionnaires were returned, representing a 58.8 percent response. A return as high as this to a voluntary questionnaire testifies to the inter est o f the members o f the profession in such a survey and their willingness to cooperate. A sim ilarly good response was obtained from the en tire membership o f the constituent societies o f the Engineers Joint Council. The data on this group were published in a report by the Engineers Joint Council.3 The data from the precoded schedules were transferred to punch cards and all basic tabulations were made by machine. Re spondents who were in the armed forces, who were outside the continental United States, or who were engaged in nonengineering work fo r the year be ing tabulated were excluded except where indi cated. In order to determine how well the returns represented the entire engineering profession, two types o f comparisons were m ade: The returns were compared with the National Roster m ailing list, which was selected on a representative basis from the 200,000 registrants, to see if there was any bias in response to the survey; they were also com pared with the data on engineers reported to the 1940 Census o f Population, to determine how well they represent the entire profession.9 The distribution o f the returns compared very closely with that o f the mailing list with respect to general engineering field, as shown in the fo l lowing tabulation. General engineering field: O -l .— Mailing list ____ Chemical__________ C iv il___________ _ — . ____ Electrical_________ M echanical___ _ — . Mining and metallurgical___ Other______________________ Total p e rce n t---- --------- Total number_________ - __ Returns 1 1 .8 1 2 .4 2 3 .8 2 0 .3 1 9 .9 2 1 .4 2 7 .1 29.3 6 .8 5 .9 1 0 .6 1 0 .7 1 0 0 .0 1 0 0 .0 4 2 ,0 0 0 1 2 2 ,0 2 4 1 Excludes 1,107 returns with field not reported, 1,118 reporting employment in nonengineering field, 215 in the armed services, and 231 off-continent. The returns appear to have a small underrepre sentation o f civil and mining and metallurgical engineers and overrepresentation o f mechanical and electrical engineers. However, inform ation from the survey itself showed that there was some shifting o f engineers from the civil and mining and metallurgical engineering fields into mechani cal and electrical engineering during the period 1939-46, table 21. It is, therefore, to be ex pected that some men who were classified in the form er fields at the time o f registration with Na tional Roster had shifted to mechanical and elec trical engineering employment by 1946. A comparison o f the distributions by age group fo r each general field o f engineering employment (table 0 —1 and chart C -l) also shows close cor respondence between the returns and the mailing list. Proportionately, the number o f returns from 9 The Engineering Profession in Transition, prepared by An drew Fraser, Jr., for the Engineers Joint Council, 1947. This report may be obtained from the Engineering Joint Council, 33 W est 39th St., New York, N. Y. T a ble Roster Percentage com parison o f m ailing list and distribution o f respondents in each field o f engineering em ploym ent, by age group in 1946 Chemical Total Civil Electrical Mechanical Mining and metallurgical Other Age group Mailing Sample Mailing Sample Mailing Sample Mailing Sample Mailing Sample Mailing Sample Mailing Sample returns list returns list returns list list returns list returns list returns list returns Total................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 29 years and under............................ 30-39 years......................................... 40-49 years......................................... 50-59 years............ ............................ 60 years and over............................. 19.2 30.4 29.3 13.6 7.5 20.1 32.0 26.7 14.1 7.1 45.1 34.0 13.5 5.6 1.8 40.2 35.7 15.3 6.3 2.5 7.9 23.1 35.9 19.7 13.4 9.3 24.2 34.1 20.4 12.0 16.8 31.3 35.2 11.6 5.1 19.2 33.2 31.0 12.4 4.2 22.8 32.0 26.0 12.7 6.5 24.4 35.5 22.2 12.4 5.5 17.4 34.1 24.1 14.1 10.3 20.6 35.5 21.3 15.2 7.4 11.8 34.7 32.7 14.5 6.3 11.8 34.3 32.6 16.0 5.3 91 SCOPE AND METHOD Chart C—1.— Comparison of M ailin g List and Respondents, by A ge Group in 1946 Percent Percent Percent Percent and under ond over 29 and under 30-39 40-49 Age Group UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 852396* 50-59 60 29 ond and over under 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 and over 92 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOE ENGINEERS Table C-2.— Percentage com parison o f m ailing list and respondents in each field o f engineering em ploym ent, by educational level Engineering educational level Civil Chemical Total Electrical Mail ing list Re spond ents Matt ing list Re spond ents Mail ing list Re spond ents Total................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Doctor’s or master’s degree............... Bachelor’s degree.............................. Incomplete and no college................. 8.6 66.8 24.6 14.6 66.7 18.7 16.4 71.2 13.4 24.2 69.1 6.7 iT 64.3 29.6 11.0 65.7 23.3 8jT 69.7 21.7 younger engineers in the civil, electrical, mechani cal, and mining and metallurgical fields was slightly greater than their representation in the mailing list; whereas the number o f returns from the older group o f chemical and “ other” engineers was the greater. The greatest deviation between proportions in the returns and in the mailing list was 4.9 percent in the 29-years-and-under age group for chemical engineers. Comparison o f the distribution by level o f edu cation for each o f the fields (table C -2) shows the proportion o f respondents with the bachelor’s degree to be in agreement with the proportion o f those showing the bachelor’s degree on the mail ing list. However, the returns from engineers with advanced degrees (doctor and master) were considerably higher than their representation in the mailing list, the excesses ranging from 4.6 per cent fo r “ other” engineers to 10.1 percent fo r min ing and metallurgical engineers. The propor tions o f returns from those with incomplete or no college education were below the proportions in the mailing list by about the same amounts as the doctor and master returns were above the proportions in the m ailing list. The fact that the response to the survey repre sents a group with a higher proportion o f ad vanced degrees than was shown in the m ailing list may be accounted for, in part, by the method by which the Roster set up its registry. Many o f the registrations were from college seniors who had not yet received their degrees. Although these registrants were recircularized by the Roster and requested to report any changes in status, such as additional education, it is possible that many did not respond and, therefore, continued to appear on the Roster files in the incomplete college group. When they returned their ques- Mail Re ing spond list ents Mechanical Mining and metallurgical Other Matt ing list Re spond ents Mail ing list Re spond ents Mail ing list Re spond ents 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 13.9 68.8 17.3 6.4 66.3 27.3 12.7 67.9 19.4 13.0 68.3 18.7 23.1 62.4 14.5 89 62.5 28.6 13.5 60.6 25.9 tionnaries fo r the survey, however, they indicated that they had a bachelor’s or higher degree. Like wise, persons who registered before they received their advanced degrees may not have reported this change in educational level to the Roster. It may also be that those engineers with the greatest amount o f training tend to have greater interest in the profession as a whole and respond better to surveys o f the type made by the Bureau. The bias introduced by the overreporting o f engineers with advanced degrees and the underreporting o f those without degrees was not considered o f suffi cient magnitude to warrant weighting o f the returns. Comparison of Returns With Census Data The 1940 Census o f Population gives inform a tion on engineers which makes possible some com parisons with the data concerning their status in 1939 which was reported by engineers in the 1946 Survey o f the Engineering Profession. A pproxi mately 260,000 persons were classified by the cen sus as engineers in 1940, and were grouped in 6 general engineering fields: Chemical, civil, elec trical, mechanical, industrial, and mining and metallurgical. A fter eliminating from the cen sus report those who would have been lost to the profession through death and retirem ent4 from 1940 to 1946 (and would therefore not have re ported in 1946), the comparison o f the census dis tribution o f engineers by field with that o f the respondents to the 1946 Survey o f the Engineer ing Profession (based on their reports as to their status in 1939) is as follow s: 4 Estim ates o f deaths and retirements based on preliminary tables of working life expectancy for urban white males prepared by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 93 SCOPE AND METHOD Field o f engineering 1940 Census survivors in 1946 Percent all “ government” engineers (unless otherwise specified) were classified as civil engineers; ce ramic engineers were classified as chemists. The results o f the analysis o f the survey data cannot be much affected by the number o f re spondents in each field so long as each field is con sidered separately. However, presentation o f data for the engineering profession as a whole may give a distorted picture if the component fields are not in proper proportion. Another comparison which can be made be tween Census data and 1946 Survey data is that o f age composition. Table C-3 and chart C-2 show the age distribution o f the survey sample to be younger than the census distribution in all fields. The fact that the ages o f engineers in the Census are as o f A pril 1,1940 and those o f the survey as o f about October 1939 would result in a slightly younger age distribution in the survey (in both cases, age at last birthday was requested). A n other factor which may have tended to produce a bias toward older engineers in the Census is ex plained in the follow ing excerpt from a Census publication: 5 1946 Survey {1989 reports) Percent 4.6 Chemical ______________ _ 33.6 Civil______________ ___ E lectrical------------------------— 21.6 36.3 Mechanical and industrial.3.9 Mining and metaUurgical.Other___________ ______ — 9.5 24.9 21.5 26.3 6.3 11.5 All engineers--------- — 100.0 100.0 The chief reason fo r the differences in the above distributions is believed to lie in the methods used in classifying the engineers. In the 1946 Survey each respondent classified him self as being in one o f the 5 fields shown above or in the broad category o f “other” engineering, or in nonengi neering. A s many as 11.5 percent o f the respond ents classified themselves as “ other” engineers, with no indication as to the type o f engineering work done. F or example, an agricultural, re frigerating, or automotive engineer may have classified himself among “ other” engineers. In the census, each engineer reported his specialty in his own terms to the enumerator. When the enumerators’ records were reviewed in the Bu reau o f the Census, classification o f persons re ported as engineers was done uniform ly by clerks with specific rules in this regard. F or example, all agricultural, refrigerating, and automotive en gineers were classified as mechanical engineers; At the returned technical years o f 1940 Census, persons under 35 years old, as technical engineers, were not coded as engineers unless they had had at least 4 college education. An examination o f a* * Comparative Occupation S tatistics fo r the United States, 1870 to 1940, p. 24, U. S. Department o f Commerce, Bureau o f the Census, Washington 25, D. C., 1943. T a b l e C-3.— Percentage comparison of 1940 Census survivors 1 and 1946 Survey respondents, by age in 1989, for each field o f engineering employment by age group Percentage in field of engineering employment Age groups Civil Total Electrical Mechanical Other 1940 Census 1946 Survey 1940 Census 1946 Survey 1940 Census 1946 Survey 1940 Census 1946 Survey 1940 Census 1946 Survey (1939 (1939 survivors survivors survivors (1939 survivors (1939 survivors (1939 in 1946 reports) in 1946 in 1946 reports) reports) reports) in 1946 in 1946 reports) Total--------------- ------------------ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 20-24 years 8------------------------25-29 years................................ 30-34 years................................ 35-39 years..................... ........... 40-44 years................................ 45-49 years................................ 50-54 years................................ 55-59 years................................ 60-64 years................................ 65 years and over...................... 5.8 14.0 14.7 19.0 15.8 13.0 9.8 4.8 2.0 1.1 10.1 19.0 18.0 18.2 12.8 8.6 6.9 4.2 1.4 .6 3.8 12.1 14.9 19.3 15.0 13.6 11.2 6.1 2.4 1.6 5.7 13.8 16.7 19.9 13.5 10.9 10.4 6.2 1.9 1.0 5.8 11.7 16.9 22.0 16.9 11.2 9.6 3.7 1.6 .6 8.9 17.5 21.6 21.3 13.2 7.9 5.5 2.6 1.0 .5 6.2 14.6 13.1 17.2 16.7 14.5 9.7 4.7 2.2 1.1 13.4 20.6 16.9 16.7 12.9 7.7 6.1 3.9 1.3 .5 11.7 25.0 14.2 17.3 11.6 9.5 5.0 3.6 1.1 1.0 12.6 23.4 17.4 15.8 11.6 8.1 5.6 3.8 1.3 .4 i 1940 Census figures minus the number of deaths and retirements to 1946 based on preliminary tables of working-life expectancy for urban white males, prepared by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. * Those under 20 years of age were included in this age group, which added less than 0.5 percent to any one field. 94 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOE ENGINEERS Chart C—2.-—Comparison of 1940 Census Survivors in 1946 and Survey Respondents for 1939 Percent EACH FIELD OF ENGINEERING BY AGE GROUP Percent Age Group UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS SCOPE AND METHOD small sample o f the coded schedules showed that the operation of this rule resulted in a considerable num ber—possibly as many as 12,000—of the persons who were returned as technical engineers not being coded as technical engineers. College education o f engineers was reported to the Census in two categories—those having 1 to 3 years o f education and those with 4 or more years. Therefore, it is not possible to make strict com parisons with Survey educational data, which show highest degree received. The fact that amount o f education was reported in the Survey as o f 1946 also makes comparison with census material diffi cult. However, it is significant that only 62 per cent o f the engineers reporting to the census in 1940 had 4 or more years o f college, while as many as 81 percent o f the engineers included in the 1946 Sur vey reported degrees in engineering in 1946. The proportion o f engineers with degrees did increase substantially from 1940 to 1946; some 95,000 engi neers were graduated in this period and, allowing fo r deaths and retirements o f older engineers, it may be estimated that at least 70 percent o f the engineers in 1946 were graduates. One reason for the survey showing higher edu cational attainment lies in the age composition, as discussed above. Since it is known that a higher portion o f young engineers hold college degrees than do older engineers, it follow s that a sample with an overrepresentation o f those in the younger age groups also shows higher educational attain ment. 95 Summary In order to evaluate the accuracy o f the survey as a measure o f the economic status o f engineers, comparison has been made o f the responses with both the National Roster mailing list and Bureau o f the Census data. It was found that the re spondents in the survey include a slightly higher proportion o f younger engineers than does the profession as a whole and a higher proportion o f those with advanced degrees. It was also found that the respondents by field o f engineering did not fully correspond to the Census and National Roster data. However, the methods employed in presenting the results o f the survey completely eliminate the effect o f the bias in the distribution by age and field o f engineering—since most tables show each field o f engineering separately and, in nearly every case, the data on earnings are tabulated separately for engineers with different lengths o f experience. Some o f the earnings tab ulations are affected to a very small extent by the overrepresentation o f graduate engineers. The effect o f this bias upon earnings may be judged by table 11 which presents earnings by education. It is not likely that a presentation o f earnings dis regarding experience and education would be dis torted to any extent, because the high proportion o f younger and hence lower-paid engineers would probably be offset by the too-high proportion o f graduate engineers who earn, on the average, more than those with less education. 96 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS THE 1946 SURVEY OF THE ENGINEERING PROFESSION Committee on the Economic Status of the Engineer ENGINEERS JOINT COUNCIL in Cooperation With the Budget Approval No. 44—4626 Approval Expires 11/30/46 Bureau of Labor Statistics U. S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Washington 25, D. C. N ote 1.—Questions 2 to 6 inclusive require merely that you circle one and only one of the code numbers. 1. Age last birthday (in years): 2. Sex: Male........... ........................... ...................................... Female....... . . ............................................................ . (Circle one and only one of these two code numbers) 3. Year of entering profession: Indicate below the year in which you drew your first salary in your professional field. 1899 (or before)— 04 06 08 09 02 05 19—00 01 03 07 11 14 16 19 10 12 13 15 17 18 29 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 20 32 33 34 35 36 38 39 30 31 37 41 44 45 46 40 42 43 (Circle one and only one of these forty-eight code numbers) 1 2 4. Formal education in a nonengineering field: If you received educa tion in a nonengineering field indicate below the highest educational level reached by you (excluding honorary degrees). Doctor.........._............ ......... 1 I Master........... . . ....... ................ 2 Bachelor...................... ....... 3 I Incomplete college. ................... (Circle one and only one of these four code numbers) 4 5. Formal education in a basic engineering field: Indicate below the highest educational level reached by you in a basic engineering field (excluding honor ary degrees). Educational level Incomplete college No college Doctor Master Basic engineering field Bachelor training training Chemical engineering................................................................................................... — 11 12 13 14 15 21 Civil engineering............................................................................................................... 22 23 24 25 Electrical engineering........................................................................................................ 31 32 33 34 35 41 Mechanical engineering..................................................................................................... 42 43 44 45 Mining and metallurgical engineering................ ............................................................. 51 52 53 54 55 Any other engineering field............................................................................................... 61 62 63 64 65 (Circle one and only one of these thirty code numbers) 6. Veteran status: Are you a veteran of World War II? Yes.......................................................................... 1 No__......................................................... (Circle one and only one of these two code numbers) 2 N ote 2.—In answering questions 7 to 10 inclusive, do not insert any code numbers for years prior to the one when you drew your first salary in your pro fessional field which y ou circled in question 3. 7. Employment location: Insert in box for the appropriate year or years one and only one code number corresponding to the location in which you were employed for the major part of that year. 1946 | | 1939 □ 1943 State Alabama................... Arizona..................... Arkansas_____________ California.................. Colorado................... Connecticut.............. Delaware.................. District of Columbia. Florida..................... Georgia..................... Idaho........................ Illinois.—................. Indiana..................... Code No. .. 73 96 .. 61 .. 43 .. 94 .. 36 21 89 .. 28 .. 27 .. 92 .. 13 12 (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2) Code Code No. State State No. Iowa................................ ............ 52 Nevada............................ ............ 98 32 Kansas ............ 57 New Hampshire_______ Kentucky........................ ............ 71 New Jersey..................... ........... 02 Louisiana........................ ............ 62 New Mexico.................... ............ 95 Maine............................. ............ 31 New York....................... ............ 01 Maryland........................ ............ 22 North Carolina________ ............ 25 TWassao.bnsftt.t.s . M ic h ig a n 34 14 North D a k o ta .. ___ Ohio Minnesota....................... ........... Mississippi........ ............. ............ Missouri.......................... ............ Montana...................... ............ Nebraska......... ............... ............ 51 74 53 91 56 Oklahoma........................ ............ Oregon............................. ............ Pennsylvania.................. ............ Rhode Island.................. ............ South Carolina................ ............ K4 ..... 11 63 42 03 35 26 Code State No. South Dakota.............................. 55 snnessee..................................... 72 Texas.................... 64 Utah............................................ 97 Vermont...................................... 33 Virginia________________ 23 Washington............................. 41 West Virginia.............................. 24 Wisconsin.................................... 15 Wyoming..................................... 93 U. S. Territories and Possessions. X6 Foreign Countries..........................R7 8. Annual income: (Respondents who circled one of the years 44 to 46 inclusive in question 3 will please omit question 8.) For the years 1939 and 1943 in sert in box for the appropriate year or years the code number of the income bracket that contains your annual income from salaries or personal services in both engineering and nonengineering work, including fees and bonuses. 1943 I— I 1939 I I (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2) Code Income bracket No. Under $1,200............................... 01 $1,200 and under $1,400................ 02 $1,400 and under $1,600................ 03 $1,600 and under $1,800................ 04 $1,800 and under $2,000................ 05 $2,000 and under $2,200................ 06 $2,200 and under $2,400................ 07 $2,400 and under $2,600................ 08 Code Income bracket No. $2,600 and under $3,000................. 09 $3,000 and under $3,400................ 10 $3,400 and under $3,800................ 11 $3,800 and under $4,200................ 12 $4,200 and under $4,600................ 13 $4,600 and under $5,000................ 14 $5,000 and under $5,400................ 15 $5,400 and under $6,000....... 16 Code Income bracket No. $6,000 and under $6,600................ 17 $6,600 and under $7,200................ 18 $7,200 and under 7,800.................. 19 $7,800 and under $8,400................ 20 $8,400 and under $9,000................ 21 $9,000 and under $9,600................ 22 $9,600 and under $10,200 .............. 23 $10,200 and under $12,000............. 24 Code Income bracket No. $12,000 and under $13,800.............. 25 $13,800 and under $15,600............. 26 $15,600 and under $17,400............. 27 $17,400 and under $19,200. ............ 28 $19,200 and over........................... 29 9. Rate of earnings (monthly salary rates): Insert in box for the appropriate year or years one and only one code number of the salary bracket that contains your monthly salary rate for the time actually employed in engineering work, (a) Exclusive of fees, bonuses, and overtime payment; and (b) exclusive of fees and bonuses, but inclusive of overtime payment. Important: Repeat codes in ( d) if (b) happens to be the same as (a). (a) Exclusive of fees, bonuses, and overtime payment. (b) Exclusive of fees and bonuses, but inclusive of overtime payment. 1946 1 1 1943 1 1 1939 1 1 (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2) Code Code Salary bracket Salary bracket No. No. $170 and under $180___ . . . . 09 Under $100......... ................. ........ 01 $100 and under $110.............. ........ 02 $180 and under $190___ . . . . 10 $110 and under $120.............. ........ 03 $190 and under $200___ . . . . 11 $120 and under $130.............. ........ 04 $200 and under $220___ . . . . 12 $130 and under $140.............. ........ 05 $220 and under $240___ . . . . 13 $140 and under $150............. ......... 06 $240 and under $260___ . . . . 14 $150 and under $160.............. ........ 07 $260 and under $280___ . . . . 15 $160 and under $170________------- 08 $280 and under $300— . — 16 1946 1943 □ 1939 (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2) Code Code Salary bracket No. Salary bracket No. $300 and under $320___ . . . . 17 $570 and under $620........... 25 $320 and under $340___ .. . . 18 $620 and under $680........... 26 $340 and under $370___ . . . . 19 $680 and under $750___ — . 27 $370 and under $400___ . . . . 20 $750 and under $850___ .... 28 $400 and under $440___ . . . . 21 $850 and under $1,000__ — . 29 $440 and under $480___ . . . . 22 $1,000 and over.................. 30 $480 and under $520___ . . . . 23 $520 and under $570----- . . . . 24 (OVER) 97 SCOPE AND METHOD 10. Employment status: Insert in box for the appropriate year or years one and only one code number corresponding to your major activity during the year with respect to your (1) general field of employment; (2) class of worker; (3) industry field in which employed; and (4) occupational status. (1) General field of employment: (If unemployed in any of these years insert the code number for the field in which seeking work): 1946 1 | 1943 |______| 1939 | | (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2). General field of employment Code No. 1 2 3 4 Chemical engineering... .......................................... Civil engineering..................................................................................... Electrical engineering (include radio)...................................................... Mechanicrl engineering (include aeronautical and industrial)................ (2) General field of employment Mining and metallurgical engineering..................................................... Any other engineering field...................................... Nonengineering field................................... Class of worker: 1946 [ 1 1943 | | 1939 j | (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2.) Class of worker Class of worker Engaged in engineering as: ■‘VoEmployer.......................................................................................... 01 Employee of a private firm, organization or institution (exclude private consulting work)................................................................ 11 Independent consultant.................................................................... 12 Employee of Federal Government.................................................... 21 Employee of State government......................................................... 22 Employee of county government- .................................................... 23 (3) Code No. 6 6 7 Engaged in engineering as—Continued Employee of municipal government................ Employee of other public authority................. Member of the armed forces............................. In nonengineering work as member of armed forces In nonengineering work as civilian......................... Student....... ............... ............................. ............. Retired.................................................................... Unemployed........................................................... Code No. 24 25 26 27 31 41 51 61 . . . . . . . . Industry field in which employed: 1943 | 1946 | 1939 [ | (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2.) Code Industry field in which employed No. Agriculture and forestry.............................................. 100 Mining: Coal.................... 201 Crude petroleum and natural gas.......................... 202 Ferrous............... 203 Nonferrous metals............. ........... ................... ....... _..................... 204 Other mining industries not specified................................................. 205 Construction: Bridges................................................................................................301 Buildings.............................................................................................302 Highways...................................................................................... - 303 Sewerage................................ - ......................................................... 304 Surveying............................................................................................305 Waterways.................................. 306 Waterworks................................................................. 307 Other construction not specified.................................. 308 Manufacturing: Food and kindred products... ............................................................. 401 Textile mill products, excluding rayon and allied products. .................402 Lumber, furniture, and lumber products............................................ 410 Paper and allied products....................................................................411 Printing and publishing....................................................................420 Chemicals and allied products, including rayon and allied products.. 430 Petroleum and coal products: Petroleum refining................... 440 Other petroleum and coal products industries not specified____ 441 Rubber products...........................................................................450 Stone, clay, and glass products. ................................................... 451 Iron and steel and their products: Blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills................... —....... 460 Other iron and steel industries not specified................................. 461 Nonferrous metals and their products............................. 4624 Industry field in which employed Manufacturing—Continued Code Machinery: Electrical machinery and equipment.............. 470 Other machinery industries not specified.................. 471 Transportation equipment: Aircraft and parts.........................................................................480 Automobiles and automobile equipment.....................................481 Other transportation equipment industries not specified............. 482 Other manufacturing industries not specified.....................................490 Transportation: Railroads, including railroad repair shops.......................................... 501 Other transportation industries not specified......................................502 Communication: Telephone (wire and radio).................................................................601 Radio broadcasting and television...................................................... 602 Telegraph (wire and radio)................................................................. 603 Utilities: Electric light and power................................................................... 701 Water and sanitary services.............................................................. 702 Gas works and steam plants............................................................... 703 Other industry fields: Refrigerating, heating, and ventilating............................................... 801 Wholesale and retail trade.................................................................. 802 Insurance and appraisal......................................................................803 Finance, taxation, and real estate....................................................... 804 Education....................... 805 Legal.. Professional and trade organization.................................................... 807 Other service industries not specified................................. 808 Any industry field not specified- ..............................................................900 Unemployed.................................... 001 (4) Occupational status: 1943 Occupational status Administration-management, nontechnical-.. Administration-management, technical.......... Analysis and testing....................................... Construction, supervision............................... Consulting, independent-............................... Consulting, as employee of private firm.......... Design. .......................................................... Development....................................... .......... Drafting.......................................................... Editing and writing........................................ Estimating— ............................................... Inspection....................................................... Installation..................................................... Library and information service..................... Maintenance.....................................-............ Operation........................................................ (Before inserting code numbers please refer to note 2.) Code No. . 01 . . . . . 03 04 05 06 07 . 02 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Occupational status Patents............................ Personnel-labor problems. Production...................... Research in basic science. Research, applied............ Retired............................ Safety engineering........... Student.............................................. Teaching, college or university........... Teaching, other.................................. Unemployed...................................... Any occupational status not specified. Code No. . 17 . 18 . 19 . 20 21 . 22 . . . . . . . 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 (LS 47-582) A p p e n d ix D. Supplementary Tables Table D—1.— Num ber o f engineers in the United States by field o f engineering, 1 9 1 0 -4 8 Year Total 1910............. 1920............. 1930............. 1940............. 1948 3........... 84,177 129,939 215,386 261,428 350,000 Civil Electrical Mechani cal 1 15,125 26,806 57,259 55,667 73,647 15,385 39,950 57,617 95,346 130,436 46,737 56,488 88,540 89,042 90,092 , 6,930 6,695 11,970 21,373 56,843 D - 3 . — Number o f engineering degrees awarded in the United States, 1920-52 ( Baccalaureate and first pro fessional degree) able Academic year ending June 30 1920................................. 1921.................................. 1922--............................... 1923................................. 1924................................. 1925.................................. 1926__.............................. 1927.................................. 1928................................. 1929.................................. 1930................................. 1931.................................. 1932................................. 1933................................. 1934................................. 1935................................. 1936................................ 1937................................ 1938............................... 1939................................ 1940. ................................ 1941................................ 1942__.............................. 1943.................................. 1944................................. 1945................................. 1946................................. 1947................................. 1948................................. 1949................................. 1950. ................................ 1951. ................................ 1952................................. U. S. Office of Education1 4,716 5,855 7,268 7,496 7,731 7,558 7,389 7,510 7,633 7,513 7,395 8,885 10,374 10,897 11,419 11,024 10,629 10,834 11,039 12,694 13,808 14,318 14,847 14,450 12,785 (*) (•) (*) *31,096 •43,604 (*) <*) <*) Journal of Engineering Education 1 2*4 (*) (*) (*) (*) (*) V7 f*i i*S (*) (*) (*) v) ft (*) 8,847 7,881 8,245 8,697 12,408 11,358 12,709 14,987 14,145 12,118 7,645 10,440 18,592 28,763 (*) (*) (*) (* Estimated total * 5,000 6,100 7,500 7,700 8,000 7,800 7,600 7,800 7,900 7,800 7,700 9,200 10,700 11,300 12,000 11,600 11,200 11,400 11,600 13,300 15,100 15,200 16,000 15,300 13,500 8,500 11,500 21,000 32,000 44,000 1 *47,000 *36,000 *29,000 1From Biennial Surveys of Education in the United States, Statistics of Higher Education, U. S. Office of Education; data for uneven years estimated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on the basis of a method used by the U. S. Office of Education. 2 Journal of Engineering Education, annual statistics on engineering enroll ments and graduates, Dec. 1935 to Feb. 1949. 8 Graduates estimated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics with adjustment (approximately 5 percent) for schools not reporting each year. 4 Estimates by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on the basis of enrollments reported in the Journal of Engineering Education, Feb. 1949, for the academic year 1948-49. 8 Federal Security Agency, U. S. Office of Education, Earned Degrees Con ferred by Higher Educational Institutions, 1947-48, Cir. No. 247, Nov. 1948, Washington 25, D. C. •Federal Security Agency, U. S. Office of Education, Higher Education, Oct. 15, 1949. ♦Not available. 98 able D -2 .— Estimated changes in the engineering pro fession, 1940-48 Other 2 1Includes industrial and aeronautical engineers. 2Includes chemical, mining and metallurgical engineers. *Estimates by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (see appendix table D-2). Total rounded. Source: U. S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Civil en gineers; data 1910 to 1930. Adjusted by Bureau of Labor Statistics to exclude surveyors. T T Item Number of engineers, April 1940 *....................................... Deduction for deaths and retirements, 1940-482........ Graduations, 1940-488. ........ Excess of number of entrants without engineering de grees over number of engi neers or engineering grad uates leaving profession for other employment4___ Estimated number of engineers, April 1948 *.............................. Percent increase, 1940-48___ Total Civil 261,428 89,042 Me chan ical (includ ing Elec trical indus trial and aero naut ical) 55,667 95,346 Other (includ ing chem ical, mining and metal lurgi cal) 21,373 -43,000 -16,200 -7,700 -15,600 -2,500 116,100 17,550 21,180 42,400 34,970 15,500 -1,300 350,000 33.9 90,092 1.1 9,300 3,000 73,647 130,436 32.3 36.7 4,500 56,843 165.9 * Includes those employed, those seeking work and those on public emer gency work. Source: Bureau of the Census. 2 Calculated by Bureau of Labor Statistics from 1940 age composition (Census) by means of preliminary tables of working life expectancy for white males in urban communities. 8 Table D-3, and table 8 on p. 39. 8 Rough estimate on the basis of examination of data on occupational mobility of engineers from the 1946 survey of the engineering profession and other information at hand. 6Total rounded; the break-down by field of engineering which represents estimates only is shown to the last digit for the convenience of the reader in following the table. T D —4 . — Growth o f the engineering profession and major industries employing engineers, and ratio of workers per engineer, 1890-1948 able Year 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 ___________ 1948................................. Engineers Number of Manpower in selected per 100,000 engineers1 industries2 workers 26,833 41,087 84,177 129,939 215,386 261,428 350,000 7,800,000 10.459.000 14.461.000 18.075.000 19.949.000 20.399.000 24.300.000 344 393 582 719 1,080 1,282 1,440 Workers per engineer 290 255 172 139 93 78 69 i Gainful workers, 1890 to 1930 (adjusted for surveyors, see appendix B) labor force in 1940 (including 245,288 employed and 16,140 unemployed based on decennial census data; labor force in 1948 estimated by Bureau of Labor Statistics (see appendix table D-2). * Manufacturing, mining, construction, transportation, and public utili ties. All figures except 1948 based on decennial census data. Includes gainful workers, 1890 to 1930; labor force in 1940. Includes unemployed and self-employed as well as employees. Source for 1890 to 1940: Industrial Com)sition of Manpower in the United States, 1870-1940. Source for 1948: ureau of Labor Statistics (adjusted to same basis as 1940). g 99 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES T a b l e D -5 . — M ed ia n age and m edian years o f experience, by educational level fo r each field o f engineering em ploym ent, 1 9 48 Field of engineering employment Educational level Chemical Age Doctor........ .............................................. M aster................................................ . Bachelor.................................................... Incomplete college.................................... No college............................................. Not reported............................................. 36 31 31 35 41 39 Civil Experi ence 13.2 8.8 7.7 14.8 22.5 18.1 Age 48 45 42 47 51 56 Experi ence Age 41 39 38 42 44 36 25.0 22.6 19.8 25.4 28.1 32.5 Mining and metallurgical Mechanical Electrical Experi ence 18.1 16.5 14.5 19.8 20.2 14.4 Age 41 39 34 43 47 37 Experi ence 19.2 15.8 11.4 20.0 24.9 15.0 Age 40 40 36 41 48 43 Other Experi ence Age 16.5 15.9 12.3 18.1 26.1 18.9 38 42 39 45 44 42 Experi ence 15.9 18.8 15.7 21.4 19.1 16.1 T a b l e D -6. — Percentage distribution, by educational level in each occupational status, for each field o f engineering employ ment, 1946 Occupational status Total percent Doctor Master Bachelor Incom plete college No col Total percent lege CHEMICAL ENGINEERS Doctor Master Bachelor Incom plete college No col lege CIVIL ENGINEERS Total........................................................ 100.0 5.7 18.5 69.1 5.8 0.9 100.0 1.2 9.8 65.8 19.4 3.8 Administration-management, nontech nical............ ............... .......................... Administration-management, technical—. Analysis and testing_________________ Construction supervision Consulting, independent.......................... Consulting, as employee of private firm .. Design....... .............................................. Development_______________________ Drafting Fruiting and writing 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.6 6.5 3.1 9.1 10.0 6.9 4.4 4.6 14.8 17.8 6.2 22.7 20.0 13.8 29.1 18.4 64.8 67.9 81.5 50.0 46.6 69.0 61.6 72.0 100.0 83.3 11.1 6.2 8.2 18.2 16.7 8.6 4.4 4.3 3.7 1.6 1.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.9 .8 .7 1.7 2.1 .8 7.4 9.5 10.9 5.3 13.2 16.7 9.6 9.1 2.8 22.6 62.9 65.9 71.7 61.5 62.6 62.4 70.7 68.2 77.4 74.2 24.1 20.6 8.7 25.8 17.0 13.9 16.3 19.3 16.0 3.2 3.7 3.2 8.7 6.7 5.5 4.9 2.6 3.4 3.8 Estimating_________________________ Inspection__________________________ Installation_________________________ library and information service _ _ . _ Maintenance _ ... . _. Operation Patents____________________________ Personnel-labor problems Production.. _______________________ Research in basic science______________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10.0 10.0 14.3 10.0 5.1 7.8 71.0 65.5 70.0 20.5 25.6 30.0 L7 1.1 11.1 5.5 .9 100.0 100.0 1.3 15.4 33.3 5.6 10.0 30.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.7 33.3 2.0 4.0 66.3 72.0 25.0 18.0 5.4 6.0 .9 8.7 15.1 34.8 70.0 85.7 100.0 33.4 83.3 83.6 53.8 100.0 79.4 56.5 4.1 .5 100.0 100.0 7.7 12.5 15.4 62.5 76.9 25.0 Research, applied..................................... Retired _ _ ...... Safety engineering___________________ Sales..-____________________________ Student____________________________ Teaching, college or university_________ Teaching, other______________________ Unemployed Any occupational status not specified above____________________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.4 22.3 4.1 40.0 20.0 8.6 18.2 32.8 1.9 18.2 7.5 53.5 80.0 45.4 83.1 66.7 40.8 8.6 20.0 27.3 7.5 33.3 1.0 100.0 6.3 87.5 6.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 3.4 6.2 2.3 38.8 67.6 60.0 70.0 71.6 50.0 32.8 .6 10.0 13.6 29.5 28.4 66.7 8.3 100.0 100.0 25.0 6.7 1.7 .5 .7 16.7 13.6 44.6 100.0 9.1 8.9 1.7 9.1 72.7 9.1 9.1 65.2 22.3 3.6 100 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS T a b l e D —6.— Percentage distribution, by educational level in each occupational status, for each field o f engineering employ ment, 1946 — Continued Occupational status Total percent Doctor Master Bachelor Incom plete college No col Total lege percent Doctor ELECTRICAL ENGINEERS Total........................................................ 100.0 Administration-management, nontechnical............ -..................... ............. ..... Administration-management, technical... Analysis and testing__________________ Construction supervision......................... Consulting, independent.......................... Consulting, as employee of private firm .. Design...................................................... Development-....................................... . Drafting ___ _ . . . . . . . _ r_ _ Editing”and writing _ ______ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Estimating.. . _ r ______ _ . Inspection. .................. .......................... Installation . . . _ ____ Library and information service________ Maintenance. _ ___ _ _. _ Operation................................................. Patents............ ............................. - ......... Personnel-labor problems_____________ Production___ I______ ______________ Research in basic science.......................... 100.0 100.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Research, applied_____ ______________ Retired.________ ___________________ Safety engineering Sales. Student............................... .......... ......... Teaching, college or university _ . . . Teaching, other........................ —............ Unemployed. _ __ _ _ Any occupational status not specified above................................ - .................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 11.8 68.7 13.9 3.5 100.0 1.8 1.1 6.3 12.4 6.5 3.8 16.9 17.7 9.9 14.2 67.0 65.5 76.5 70.1 50.8 10.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.3 1.9 74.1 73.1 77.5 62.2 16.0 17.2 14.1 17.2 18.5 13.1 12.9 9.9 12.5 24.3 85.9 72.4 74.6 8.5 19.0 12.7 1.7 3.2 63.8 67.2 77.3 60.0 85.4 46.6 23.7 19.3 4.5 7.9 9.4 16.7 2.4 3.3 9.3 2.4 41.7 63.5 60.0 77.8 80.4 72.0 28.5 53.3 50.0 4.4 80.9 1.3 4.6 1.0 .7 1.2 8 .1 1.7 .6 2.8 5.2 9.5 4.6 3.5 18.2 20.0 16.7 16.7 6.2 18.6 40.0 23.1 11 .1 6.6 8.0 47.6 20.0 100.0 66.2 100.0 20.0 12.2 11 .1 9.6 20.0 3.0 3.9 7.6 9.2 2.0 2.4 1.6 10.0 5.4 2.8 3.5 .8 20.0 6.7 10.3 4.4 8.3 Total...................... .................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 6.2 17.9 1.4 20.5 24.6 30.0 17.6 64.7 60.9 62.3 70.0 46.2 53.1 30.0 75.6 28.6 42.8 28.6 6.9 2.2 6 .1 10.2 17.7 17.4 13.3 10.0 Estimating ___.. . „ _ . ... __ _ Inspection ....... Installation......... .................... ................ Library and information service.............. Maintenance________________________ Operation__________ ________________ Patents.................................................... Personnel-labor problems_____________ Production........ .................. ................... Research in basic science.......................... 100.0 100.0 5.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 28.6 100.0 100.0 23.1 Research, applied..................................... Retired........................ ............ ............... Safety engineering.................................... Sales Student..................................................... Teaching, college or university....... ......... Teaching, other............... ........................ Unemployed............................................. Any occupational status not specified above__ ______ ___________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 62.4 8.2 10.0 10.6 18.2 23.1 100.0 70.5 100.0 57.1 71.3 75.0 69.3 57.3 20.0 8.8 2.9 4.4 28.2 12.2 40.0 5.4 100.0 3.5 6.4 21.7 18.9 9.9 16.0 14.0 7.7 11.5 2.7 18.5 64.9 64.7 84.7 62.8 53.6 65.5 69.1 71.0 75.1 59.3 11 .1 5.7 3.4 .5 2.5 7.2 4.3 4.6 2.5 2.7 3.7 1.6 4.3 3.2 5.9 67.1 63.4 84.3 24 3 28*. 6 5.9 14 3.2 3.9 1.4 .9 4.3 6.2 17.4 5.4 16.4 14 1 12.4 8.7 4.3 20.7 4.9 5.3 4.3 2.2 8.2 74.0 75.2 65.3 95.7 68.4 72.2 1.6 1.6 3.2 18.1 16.7 69.6 6.7 16.7 23.5 14*0 13! 6 2.4 2.6 .7 .6 .9 7.4 11.1 8.6 2.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.9 .5 11.7 5.6 1.1 22.3 20.0 13.6 17.9 14.4 18.6 100.0 66.6 3.3 9.4 64.7 77.6 72.8 40.3 40.0 59.3 40.0 18.8 12.5 14.1 67.4 10.9 6.5 21.0 4.8 ~ 5.1 3.9 5.9 13.6 45.0 20.0 100.0 62 1.8 5.9 2.0 1.2 OTHER ENGINEERS 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 = 2.3 = .9 2.9 11 .2 6.8 12 .1 2.6 2.4 4.3 15.0 13.3 7.8 10.5 6.7 33.3 1.1 1.7 2.4 1.9 60.7 " 4.8 ===== 65.8 58.7 87.8 62.7 46.7 62.7 61.0 72.4 66.7 46.7 21.4 22.4 9.8 25.5 28.3 17.3 23.4 13.2 33" 3 13.3 57.1 47 2 50.0 26.2 39.6 12! 5 50.0 17.5 6.4 8.3 6.7 7.8 1.3 3.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 28.6 1.2 2.4 28.6 8.6 26.5 52.1 11 .1 1.7 4.0 37.0 16.8 11.0 4.6 28.6 ll! 1 21.4 11.8 11.8 14.3 16.4 4.1 15.0 3.8 15.9 2.5 25.0 50.0 2.5 5.3 8.7 72.5 68.4 82! 6 80.0 83.3 42.8 8.0 1.0 100.0 30.0 13.3 12.5 10.0 12.3 87.5 12.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 14.3 53.9 14.3 11 .1 48.0 70.6 71.4 29.2 57.1 77.8 75.0 10.0 100.0 1.0 11 .2 61.3 100.0 15.0 8.8 12.9 17.8 2.3 ===== 67.9 60.0 83.4 62.5 30.3 100.0 3.3 25.0 48.5 12.2 No col lege 10.9 2.5 3.2 MINING AND METALLURGICAL ENGINEERS Administration-management, nontech nical____ _________________________ Administration-management, technical. _. Analysis and testing................................ Construction supervision . .____ . _ Consulting, independent.......................... Consulting, as employee of private firm ... Design...................................................... Development___________________ ____ Drafting.................... ................. .............. Editing and writing. „ _. __ _ ... Incom plete college MECHANICAL ENGINEERS 2 .1 1.9 Master Bachelor 3.0 .6 6.6 9.5 11 3 12! 5 50 22.8 8.'5 10.0 10.0 1.2 8.7 11.9 5.4 1A 3 5.1 101 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES T a b l e D - 7 . — Percentage distribution fo r each field o f engineering em ploym ent, by class o f worker fo r each occupational status, 1946 P riv ate in d u stry O ccu p ation al status T o ta l p u b lic and p rivate T o ta l P u b lic em ployees E m p lo y E m p lo y ers and ees o f in d ep en d p rivate e n t co n firm s sultants T o ta l F ederal State C ou n ty M u n ic i pal O ther C H E M IC A L E N G IN E E R S A ll ch em ical engineers.......................................................... 100.0 94.3 5.2 89.1 5.7 2.9 1.9 0.1 0 .6 0 .2 A riminiRtratton-manftgftment, n on tech n ica l_________ A dministrqtinn-mftTiftgftmfinf.' tech n ical............ ........... A nalysis and testin g ___ _1___ ___________________ ;_ O n nstm ctinn supervision ........ C on su ltin g, in d ep en d en t_____________________________ C on su ltin g! as em p loy ee o f priva te firm ____________ D esign ____________ ~ __ ______________________ D ev elopm a n t . ___ ____ _ _ ____________________ ■Drafting . E d itiu g ftn d w r itin g _ _ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.0 94.9 91.3 95.0 100.0 100.0 99.0 97.2 100.0 83.3 12.3 7.7 2 .2 5.0 100.0 5.7 1.6 1.7 85.7 87.2 89.1 90.0 2 .0 5.1 8 .7 5 .0 2 .0 2 .9 2 .2 5.0 .6 4 .3 .1 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.0 2 .8 2 .4 .2 16.7 16.7 E stim a tin g _ _ _ _ In sp ection " In sta llation ___________________________________________ L ib r a r y and inform ation service_____________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 91.7 100.0 100.0 78.6 98.1 83.3 50.0 97.5 76.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 90.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 56.7 100.0 85.7 P aten ts ___________________ - ______________________ P ersonnel-labor p rob lem s _ __ P ro d u ctio n ___________________________________________ R esearch in b asic sc-i^noe R esearch, applied _ __ ____ ______ Safety engineering____________________________________ Sales - ______________________________________________ S tu den t _____________________________________________ T ea ch in g , college o r u n iv ersity T ea ch in g , oth er____________________________________ _ A n y occupational status n o t specified a b o v e 2 .8 .5 2.9 8 .3 1.7 94.3 97.4 95.5 100.0 83.3 100.0 91.7 100.0 100.0 78.6 95.3 83.3 50.0 97.0 76.2 .5 8.3 .5 .2 8.3 21.4 1.9 16.7 50.0 2.5 23.8 14.3 1.0 16.7 2.5 19.0 4 .8 9 .2 6 .2 2 .4 7.1 .9 50.0 87.9 100.0 91.7 100.0 55.0 43.3 41.7 85.7 I i.3 14.3 .3 .3 1 .6 C IV IL E N G IN E E R S A ll c iv il engineers................................................................... 100.0 ; 49.2 11.0 38.2 50.8 19.7 15.7 3 .8 10.3 1.3 A d m inistration-m anagem ent, n on tech n ica l................. A dm in istration -m an agem en t, tech n ical........................ A n a ly sis and testing C on stru ction , s u p ervision __________ ______ __________ C onsu ltin g, independent. C onsu ltin g, as e m p loy ee o f p riva te fir m ____________ D e s ig n ............. ........................................................................... D e v e lo p m e n t......................................................................... D r a ftin g . .................................. ............. ................................. E d itin g a n d w ritin g__________________________________ 100.0 m o 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 55.1 40.3 19.0 49.2 98.0 96.2 47.6 32.0 60.4 37.5 21.4 10.4 33.7 29.9 19.0 41.4 1 .5 91.2 45.9 26.9 54.9 33.3 44.9 59.7 81.0 50.8 2 .0 1 .8 52.4 68.0 39.6 62.5 14.3 24.2 52.4 13.0 13.3 13.6 16.7 21.4 .5 .9 16.0 10.3 16.5 4.1 5.4 11.2 14.8 11.9 10.0 .5 2 .0 1.7 3 .5 5.1 3 .3 11.3 5.1 9 .9 4 .2 .9 1.3 3 .3 E stim a tin g _____________________________________ In sp ection ................................................................................. Installation _ _ __ _____________________ L ib ra ry a n d in form a tion service_____________________ M a in t e n a n c e ________________________________________ O peration .................................................................................. P aten ts __________________________________________ Personnel-labor p r ob lem s ____________________________ P ro d u ctio n __________ _____________________________ R esearch in b asic science_____________________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 62.3 17.1 44.4 60.4 15.8 44.4 37.7 82.9 55.6 26.4 27.6 22.3 7.6 34.2 11.1 .9 4 .0 11.1 2 .8 14.5 11.1 2 .6 100.0 100.0 47.5 47.6 47.5 47.6 52.5 52.4 12.4 28.5 29.2 2 .4 2 .2 4 .8 8 .5 14.3 .7 2 .4 100.0 100.0 75.0 8 .3 75.0 8 .3 25.0 91.7 25.0 75.0 16.7 18.6 81.4 100.0 2 .4 62.8 18.2 14.0 54.5 4 .6 27.3 40.0 3 .4 3.3 12.8 1.1 R esearch , a p p lied __________________________________ S afety engineering____________________________________ Sales ______________________________________________ Student. _____________________________ _______ T ea ch in g , college o r u n iv e rs ity ______________________ T ea ch in g , other __ _______________________ A n y occu p ation a l status n o t specified a b o v e ............... 18.6 7.8 96.5 7.0 1.7 5.1 5 .5 4 .2 1.9 1 .3 , 100.0 100.0 100.0 97.6 4 .8 92.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 53.3 100.0 25.5 2 .2 51.1 100.0 21.3 4 .2 .9 20.7 46.2 6 .6 58.3 1.2 .5 2 .4 46.7 74.5 5 .2 .5 37.2 20.2 3 .2 102 T able EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS D—7.— Percentage distribution fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by class o f worker fo r each occupational status, 1946 — Continued Private industry Occupational status Total public and private Total Public employees Employ Employ ers and ees of independ private ent con firms sultants Total Federal State County Munici pal Other ELECTRICAL ENGINEERS All electrical engineers............................................. 100.0 85.7 5.4 80.3 14.3 9.7 Administration-management, nontechnical_______ Administration-management, technical................... Analysis and testing_________ ________ ________ Construction supervision—...................................... Consulting, independent________ _____________ Consulting, as employee of private firm__________ D esign...—.........—_I....... —................................... Development____ ___________________________ Drafting.............................................................. . Editing and writing-................... ........................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 91.9 85.9 84.1 79.7 100.0 98.9 85.1 89.1 87.9 85.7 15.1 6.6 1.8 7.7 96.7 3.7 1.3 .6 3.0 76.8 79.3 82.3 72.0 3.3 95.2 83.8 88.5 84.9 85.7 8.1 14.1 15.9 20.3 3.5 10.5 11.5 10.5 i .l 14.9 10.9 12.1 14.3 10.7 10.3 3.0 11.4 2.9 Estimating........ ...................................................... Inspection___________________________________ Installation__________________________________ Library and information service—........................... Maintenance—......................................................... Operation................................................................ Patents.................................................................... Personnel-labor problems........................................ Production—............................................................ Research in basic science........................................ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 94.7 59.6 83.1 100.0 84.9 83.1 73.7 100.0 95.1 68.0 1.7 93.0 59.6 76.3 100.0 79.9 79.2 57.9 100.0 92.7 640 5.3 40.4 16.9 3.5 36.6 13.5 1.9 1.7 15.1 16.9 26.3 5.8 6.5 21.0 5.3 4.9 32.0 4.8 24.0 8.0 Research, applied____________________________ Safety engineering___ ____________________ ____ Sales______________________ ______ __________ Student_____________ _______________________ Teaching, college or university........................ ....... Teaching, other______ _____ _______ __________ Any occupational status not specified above........... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.6 88.9 98.9 100.0 61.7 66.7 75.4 23.4 11.1 1.1 21.5 11.1 1.9 13.3 21.1 34.2 6.7 3.5 6.8 5.0 3.9 15.8 2.4 4.0 1.9 6.9 5.2 74 7 88.9 92.0 100.0 61.7 66.7 70.2 38.3 33.3 24.6 0.1 1.9 0.9 .5 .1 1.4 .7 3.5 1.8 .9 5.6 1.1 1.2 3.5 2.1 .5 .7 .2 1.7 2.9 .2 9.1 1.8 1.7 1.4 5.0 7.1 .6 .4 .4 1.9 2.9 3*3 .7 .4 2.5 13.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 .6 .6 iTi MECHANICAL ENGINEERS All mechanical engineers......................................... 100.0 89.5 8.8 80.7 10.5 7.8 Ad mini strati on-management, nontechnical Administration-management, technical____ _____ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 96.8 93.3 85.2 93.3 99.2 98.2 91.0 93.0 97.1 95.7 23.2 12.8 2.0 10.5 95.1 4.4 2.7 2.2 1.9 4.4 73.6 80.5 83.2 82.8 4.1 93.8 88.3 90.8 95.2 91.3 3.2 6.7 14 8 6.7 .8 1.8 9.0 7.0 2.9 43 SuT 96.7 68.4 89.1 75.0 88.4 90.3 75.0 95.2 99.4 24.1 1.6 1.7 4.3 Operation........ ......................... ........ ....... ............ Patents........................... ........................................ Personnel-labor problems......................................... Production.................... .......................................... Research in basic science......................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 95.1 66.7 84.8 75.0 83.7 88.4 70.0 95.2 96.3 24.1 3.3 31.6 10.9 25.0 11.6 9.7 25.0 48 .6 75.9 3.3 29.8 6.5 25.0 8.5 1.0 20.0 5.0 .6 72.4 3.5 Research, applied.................................................... Safety engineering.................................................... Sales----------- ----------- ------------------- ----------------Student______ _____- ..................... ....................... Teaching, college or university................................ Teaching, other....................................................... Any occupational status not specified above........... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 69.3 78.6 99.4 100.0 50.3 60.0 78.4 66.2 78.6 89.0 100.0 49.1 40.0 71.6 30.7 21.4 .6 28.1 143 .6 1.1 7.1 .3 .3 .9 49.7 40.0 21.6 .6 42.8 20 0 4.5 .6 1.9 17.1 3.8 20.0 Analysis and testing_________ _________ ___ ____ Construction supervision................... ..................... Consulting, independent...............—. ..................... Consulting, as employee of private firm.................. Design____________________ _________________ Development______________ ____________ _____ Drafting______________________________ _____ Editing and writing............ ................................... Estimating............................................................... Inspection______________ ____ ________________ Installation_________________________________ Library and information service............................. M aintenancft_________________________________________ 47 1.9 5.0 3.1 3.1 10.4 1.2 20.0 6.8 5.6 14 3 48 1.8 7.4 6.8 1.0 43 1.6 0.1 .5 .5 1.9 .8 .2 1.2 1.9 1.8 .8 .2 I2 2.2 2.2 15 sl 8 . OQ 2.9 48 103 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES T a b l e D -7.— Percentage distribution fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by d oss o f workers fo r each occupational status, 1946 — Continued Private industry Total public and private Occupational status Total Public employees Employ Employ ers and ees of independ private ent con firms sultants Total Federal State County Munici pal Other MINING AND METALLURGICAL ENGINEERS AH mining and metallurgical engineers.................... 100.0 87.9 10.8 Administration-management, nonteehnieal Admimst.rat.iftn-mftnagp.mp.ntj teehnieal Analysis and testing ~ fJnnstrnetfnn, supervision Consulting, independent Consulting! as employee of private firm Design . _ _ . DAveiopmant ..... Drafting ___ 15ditingwand yrriting . . _ . 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 80.0 85.2 94.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 85.7 80.0 16.5 2.9 12.5 94.3 12.8 100.0 63.5 100.0 62.5 100.0 100.0 97.0 16.7 7.6 100.0 83.3 89.4 Personnel-labor problems ... . ....... _ Production _ ____ _________ Research in basic scionaa ......... _ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 52.4 2.8 97.2 52.4 Research, applied ... Rnfofy AnginParing ... ___________________ Rales __________________________________ Student - __________ -______________________ Teaching college or university _ __ Teaching, other _ __ ____________ Any occupational Status not speeified above_ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 84.5 55.6 100.0 100.0 46.4 1.5 83.0 55.6 100.0 100.0 42.9 . __ Estimating ___________________________ Tnsppp.tinn"", , __ _ _. _ _ Tnstallation . . . . . . . ................. . Library and information service . __ .. Maintenanne ................. Operation __ _ 1.6 3.5 77.1 68.7 91.4 87.5 5.7 87.2 100.0 98.4 100.0 85.7 78.6 78.6 12.1 9.3 2.5 20.0 14.8 5.7 20.0 13.2 5.7 1.2 14.3 14.3 37.5 18.8 3.0 3.0 47.6 47.6 15.5 44.4 13.9 44.4 53.6 100.0 21.4 21.4 0.1 0.2 .4 18.7 1.6 50.0 100.0 3.6 OTHER ENGINEERS A11 other engineers------------------------------------------ 100.0 80.4 12.6 67.8 19.6 10.9 5.3 Administration-management, nontechnical Administration-management, technical................... Analysis aod tasting __________ Construction, supervision........................................ Consulting, independent ______ . Consulting, as employee of private firm _ _ _ _ Design ______________ ________________ Development __________ _ ________ _____ Drafting __^ _ _ _ Editing and writing. __ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 88.8 81.5 63.2 78.3 100.0 94.0 76.8 84.7 85.0 78.6 26.7 15.5 62.1 66.0 63.2 66.3 5.5 82.1 68.7 80.5 85.0 78.6 11.2 18.5 36.8 21.7 6.0 11.4 26.3 14.5 .9 3.3 7.9 3.6 6.0 23.2 15.3 15.0 21.4 1.5 17.8 15.3 10.0 21.4 1.5 2.7 Estimating ______ ______________ Inspection _______________________________ Installation _____________________ ___ Library and information serviea ............ .... Maintenance ______ _______________ Operation ________________________ Patents _____________ _________________ Personnel-labor problems Production __________________________ Research in basic science 100.0 74.4 74.4 25.6 10.2 12.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 55.3 100.0 55.3 87.5 44.7 14.9 12.8 100.0 17.6 11.1 26.1 50.0 6.8 5.6 17.4 8 .7 5.3 57.1 5.3 28.5 28.6 Research, applied___ ______ -_________________ Rafety engineering ... _ __ Rales - - ___________ ________ ___ Student _ _________ Teaching college or university _ _ Teaching other - ____ Any occupational status not specified above........... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 72.6 84.4 98.7 100.0 36.7 50.0 52.7 27.4 15.6 1.3 17.7 10.7 1.3 63.3 50.0 47.3 25.8 82.4 89.9 73.9 100.0 94.7 42.9 12.0 94.5 11.9 8.1 4.2 12.5 17.4 9 .3 1.8 4.9 12.0 6.5 82.4 88.9 56.5 100.0 85.4 42.9 70.8 79.5 86.7 100.0 36.7 50.0 46.2 0.5 1.8 1.1 .7 3.4 2.0 2.6 1.2 .9 1.1 1.2 2.7 1.2 3.0 5.0 2.6 4.2 12.8 50.0 5.9 3 .7 .9 8.8 4.1 50.0 25.0 16.1 5.9 1.8 .8 13.3 2 .2 25.0 3 .2 104 T able EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOB ENGINEEBS D -8.— Percentage distribution, by occupational status, fo r each field o f engineering em ploym ent in 1939, 1943, and 1943 Percentage in field of engineering employment Occupational status Chemical Civil 1943 1946 1939 1943 1939 Electrical 1946 1939 1943 Mining and metallurgical Mechanical Other 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 Total................................................... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Administration-management, non technical................... ....................... 1.1 Administration-management, tech nical.................................................. 19.5 Analysis and testing.......................... 12.8 Construction supervision.................. .6 Consulting, independent..................... 1.2 Consulting as employee of private 1.6 firm________ __________________ 5.7 Development._____ ________ _____ 13.4 Drafting.............................................. .6 Editing and writing............................ .1 Estim ating........................................ Inspection........................................... Installation.......................................... Library and information service_____ Maintenance..................................... Operation............................................ Patents................................................ Personnel-labor problems.................... Production....................... ....... ......... Research in basic science..................... .5 .7 7.5 .5 9.3 .5 Research, applied................................ 16.0 .1 Retired---- ----------------------------------.3 Safety engineering............................... 2.1 Student............................................... 1.2 Teaching, college or university........... 3.2 .2 Teaching, other.................................. .4 Unemployed....................................... Any occupational status not specified .9 above............................................... 1946 100.0 1.3 2.0 1.4 2.0 2.5 1.6 1.5 2.0 1.6 1.8 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.7 4.2 4.6 5.2 21.9 5.8 1.2 .7 27.0 3.7 .8 .7 19.8 1.3 25.3 3.4 25.6 1.0 21.9 3.0 27.4 1.1 17.6 4.1 19.2 4.9 4.6 1.0 21.9 3.9 4.2 .5 26.3 2.8 3.3 1.2 20.3 3.6 2.5 1.4 24.5 4.9 2.5 .8 29.5 3.3 1.9 1.4 27.7 8.1 1.7 4.1 34.2 5.5 1.3 2.5 38.8 3.7 .8 2.0 22.4 2.6 4.8 2.4 28.2 2.6 4.4 1.7 33.1 1.9 4.1 1.6 1.6 6.4 16.9 .4 .2 2.2 7.7 17.3 .4 .3 1.9 17.9 1.8 4.7 .4 2.5 19.0 1.8 3.2 .4 3.3 20.4 2.0 2.4 .7 3.3 15.7 9.3 2.7 .5 3.3 17.6 11.1 1.4 .8 4.2 16.5 11.1 .8 .8 3.1 21.0 6.9 7.2 .3 3.0 21.0 7.8 2.7 .4 3.8 19.4 7.8 1.8 .4 2.4 1.5 5.0 1.0 .7 3.3 .5 5.8 .2 .7 3.9 .7 5.9 .1 .6 2.8 6.9 2.9 2.5 .5 3.0 7.8 3.7 1.1 .6 3.3 5.6 3.5 1.0 .7 .3 .9 .2 (i) 1.0 7.7 .4 .1 11.8 .5 .4 .5 .3 .1 .7 4.1 .5 .1 8.2 .9 2.6 5.6 .4 2.5 3.0 .3 2.7 2.0 .2 3.5 1.2 1.1 .9 .8 .1 2.2 1.7 .4 .4 3.0 .9 .1 .6 5.6 .4 .3 1.4 1.9 1.1 .1 3.2 2.5 .3 .3 5.0 .7 .5 6.8 (i) .4 .3 1.6 1.3 1.0 0) 3.8 3.2 .4 .1 4.2 .5 .2 2.7 .1 .1 .6 10.0 .3 .3 1.6 1.2 1.4 0) 3.2 3.7 .4 .1 .9 .6 .6 1.3 3.8 1.4 1.5 2.6 1.5 (i) 3.8 4.3 .3 .1 2.0 .3 .3 3.2 .1 3.3 1.1 2.6 2.2 1.6 (i) 5.6 7.5 .4 (i) 1.1 .3 7.1 1.0 7.4 1.3 6.1 2.0 2.7 3.9 .9 .1 1.7 4.7 .9 .3 3.7 .6 1.9 3.2 .5 .1 1.6 3.8 .7 .3 4.4 .4 1.8 2.4 .3 i 1.8 2.5 1.0 .4 3.8 .3 15.3 .1 .3 1.3 .5 2.2 .1 (l) 13.8 .2 .4 3.0 1.2 2.5 1.3 (l) .3 1.1 .1 2.5 .1 1.3 .1 .3 1.3 .1 2.4 0) .1 3.5 0) .3 6.7 .5 3.0 .3 .2 6.7 0) .3 4.8 .2 3.3 .7 (i) 6.3 .1 .2 6.2 .4 2.8 .3 .2 3.2 (i) .3 6.6 .8 3.2 .3 .1 5.2 0) .3 3.8 .2 2.8 .3 (i) 5.9 .1 .3 5.5 .3 2.7 .1 .3 13.3 .1 .7 2.5 .8 3.7 .1 .2 16.8 .1 .8 1.7 .2 2.5 16.3 4.2 4.9 5.4 .2 1.2 (9 .3 1.1 .3 2.1 .1 .3 .8 2.3 .3 2.5 .1 .3 6.6 02 8.4 5.8 .2 3.3 ~ i T .4 .3 .1 5.4 7.0 .3 2.8 .3 .1 .9 .8 3.1 2.5 2.6 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.2 1.8 1.6 5.7 5.3 4.3 i Less than 0.05 percent. T a b l e D -9 .— Percentage distribution o f engineers, by industry field , fo r each field o f engineering em ploym ent in 1989, 1948, and 1946 Percentage in field of engineering employment Chemical Industry field 1939 1943 Electrical Civil 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 Mining and metal lurgical Mechanical 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 1946 Other 1939 1943 Total___________________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Agriculture and forestry...................... .3 .3 .3 1.3 .9 1.3 .1 Mining................................................ Coal................................................. Crude petroleum and natural gas.. . Ferrous _ _____________________ Nonferrous metals............................ Other mining industries not sped- 2.5 .3 1.3 1.2 .7 1.6 .1 .8 .8 .1 .5 .8 .2 .4 .7 .3 .3 .4 .1 .2 .1 1.0 .2 .4 .1 .1 .5 .4 .5 .1 .2 .1 'Pigh'virfl.ys _ . _ _ __ Sewerage_______________________ 2.7 .1 .5 1.0 .1 2.2 .1 .3 .4 2.9 .2 .4 .4 .1 W At.fvrwa.ys.......... _ _ Waterworks____________________ Other construction not specified___ .1 .1 .8 71.4 8.2 14.6 23.5 3.4 5.6 4.9 3.5 7.7 66.2 5.4 18.9 16.5 3.1 4.3 3.3 2.5 12.2 66.7 6.5 18.9 17.4 3.7 4.2 4.0 2.6 9.4 6 Ad Construction....................................... Bridges Buildings ____ Purveying t Less than 0.05 percent ___ (9 (9 (9 .2 1.2 .1 .2 1.5 (9 (9 .1 (9 .1 (9 .6 .3 .2 (9 .1 (9 4.3 .1 L7 .1 (9 .3 .1 2.0 (9 .6 .3 .2 (9 .1 (9 4.6 .1 1.8 3.9 .1 1.7 (9 (9 (9 .1 .1 2.5 .1 .1 1.9 .1 .1 .1 1.0 .2 .3 .1 .3 .9 .2 .2 .1 .3 .7 .1 .3 .1 .1 4.7 (9 1.8 .1 .1 .1 .3 .3 2.0 1946 100.0 .1 3.0 2.5 2.5 37.4 7.8 7.4 4.4 13.7 40.4 8.2 8.9 3.9 14.5 6.1 .2 5.4 .1 .2 5.8 .3 5.0 6.4 .2 5.7 .2 44.2 9.7 8.6 4.0 17.7 .3 .3 .1 4.2 4.1 4.9 .2 ,1 .2 3.8 3.9 .2 .3 (9 <9 (9 (9 14.1 .8 6.9 1.6 .1 .2 .2 .8 3.5 13.1 .4 5.4 1.2 .1 ,1 .1 .5 5.3 12.4 (9 .6 .1 1.4 .1 .2 .2 1.9 (9 1.5 .1 .1 .3 .2 L7 .1 .4 .2 .3 .6 6.2 1.2 .2 .2 .2 .4 3.5 105 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES T able D -9 .— Percentage distribution o f engineers, by industry field , fo r each field o f engineering employment in 1939, 1943, and 1946—Continued Percentage in field of engineering employment Manufacturing.................................... Food and kindred products_______ Textile mill products (excluding rayon and allied products)............ Lumber, furniture, and lumber products Paper and allied products................ Printing and publishing................... Chemicals and allied products (in cluding rayon and allied products). Petroleum and coal products........... Petroleum refining........................ Other petroleum and coal products industries not specified_______ Rubber products.............................. Stone, clay, and glass products........ Iron and steel and their products__ Blast furnaces, steel works and rolling mills................................ Other iron and steel industries not specified............................... Nonferrous metals and their prod ucts................................ -•............ Machinery....................................... Electrical machinery and equip ment.......................................... Other machinery industries not specified................................ — Transportation equipment.............. Aircraft and parts......................... Automobiles and automobile equipment................................. Other transportation equipment industries not specified............ . Other manufacturing industries not specified........................................ Civil Chemical Industry field Other 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 1946 32.6 .1 37.4 .1 37.0 .2 67.9 2.1 72.8 1.3 70.0 1.8 48.3 54.6 50.5 .1 31.7 1.0 37.4 1.1 35.9 1.2 .1 .1 .1 .8 .5 .8 ___ ___ .1 .9 .8 .8 (9 .2 .1 .7 1.6 .4 .4 1.1 .2 .6 1.5 .3 ...... ____ ____ .4 .8 .3 .3 1.0 .4 .5 .8 .5 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 83.9 6.2 86.7 4.0 83.3 4.6 6.1 .2 8.7 .1 .7 .8 .9 .2 4.6 .3 .2 2.9 .2 .2 3.8 .2 .3 .1 .1 .3 .1 .1 .2 .2 .1 33.1 22.6 18.4 39.1 21.2 16.9 36.3 20.5 16.4 .3 1.2 .7 .6 1.5 1.1 4.2 3.8 1.9 2.4 4.3 5.4 1.3 1.7 4.1 5.2 1.2 1.4 .5 (9 .3 2.5 ___ ___ Mining and metal lurgical Mechanical Electrical 8.0 .2 (9 (9 .2 .1 .i .1 .8 1.4 .8 .6 .5 .4 1.0 .4 .3 1.1 .6 .5 3.0 3.7 2.5 2.8 2.8 1.9 3.2 3.0 2.1 .8 .7 .2 .4 .7 .3 .5 .5 .1 1.5 4.8 2.5 2.7 4.4 2.4 2.8 4.7 2.5 .4 .2 .4 2.8 .6 .1 .5 2.6 .1 .2 .2 1.4 .1 .3 .2 1.4 .1 .4 .2 1.0 1.2 1.3 .6 8.1 .9 1.3 .6 7.2 .9 1.3 .7 6.8 .5 .1 .6 26.1 .4 .2 .3 26.9 .4 .1 .5 24.5 2.3 .4 4.6 3.8 2.0 .7 4.6 4.0 2.2 .7 4.4 3.9 ___ ___ 1.1 .7 .5 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.0 .8 .6 3.1 2.7 2.4 17.4 16.2 14.4 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.3 1.0 .9 1.5 1.6 1.4 .4 .6 .4 5.0 4.5 4.4 8.7 10.7 10.1 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.0 1.8 2.8 2.0 2.0 2.8 .2 .2 .3 .6 .3 .7 .6 24.6 .7 26.6 .5 26.6 1.7 21.7 2.0 18.6 1.9 20.1 12.6 3.2 15.1 4.4 14.7 4.1 1.0 5.0 1.3 6.1 1.4 6.0 .6 .7 1.0 .1 .2 .1 23.9 25.9 25.6 4.4 4.6 4.6 1.2 2.2 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.2 1.2 1.0 .1 1.3 1.5 .9 L8 .9 .2 .1 .4 .1 .4 1.3 .7 .6 .5 .2 .7 2.0 .7 .7 3.6 2.3 1.0 3.1 1.9 17.3 17.0 9.6 14.0 28.4 23.0 15.5 21.5 15.4 2.0 3.1 .9 2.2 5.3 3.5 2.2 3.9 1.4 2.5 4.0 .8 3.1 6.1 2.9 2.8 4.7 1.8 .8 .5 .6 .1 .1 .1 .6 .5 .5 5.2 2.8 4.0 1.8 1.3 2.0 1.5 .8 1.2 .1 .1 .1 .2 .5 .2 .7 .8 .7 2.2 2.6 2.1 .4 .5 .5 1.7 2.4 1.7 3.3 3.6 3.3 .3 .4 .4 2.0 2.8 2.9 5.2 5.6 6.5 1.1 1.3 1.5 3.2 3.9 3.5 Transportation.................................... Railroads, including railroad repair shops............................................. Other transportation industries not specified........................................ .5 .4 .5 6.0 6.5 6.0 2.0 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.1 .2 .4 .3 2.7 3.2 3.1 .4 .3 .3 5.1 5.5 5.1 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.0 .8 .8 ___ .2 .2 1.3 1.1 1.1 .1 .1 .2 .9 1.0 .9 .5 .8 .7 1.1 1.4 L3 .2 .2 .1 1.4 2.1 2.0 Communication.................................. Telephone (wire and radio).............. Radio broadcasting and television__ TVIpgraph (wira and radio) .2 .1 .1 .2 .1 .1 .2 .2 ____ .2 .2 ___ .3 .3 (9 21.7 14.4 5.8 1.5 21.7 22.4 14.6 14.5 5.8 6.6 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 .1 .1 1.6 1.3 .3 ___ .5 .4 .1 .6 .5 .1 5.2 4.7 .4 .1 4.7 4.4 .3 (9 1.5 1.1 .3 .1 .5 .5 <9 4.5 4.2 .2 .1 Utilities.............................................. Electric light and power....... ........... Water and sanitary services............. wmlrs and st.Aftm plants _ 2.3 .5 .3 1.5 1.2 .1 .2 .9 1.3 .2 .2 .9 6.7 2.4 4.0 .3 7.2 2.6 4.1 .5 7.3 2.7 4.0 .6 29.9 29.6 .2 .1 21.1 21.0 .1 21.4 21.1 .2 .1 5.9 3.6 .3 2.0 3.5 2.1 .2 1.2 4.1 2.5 .3 1.3 .1 ___ .2 .1 .1 .3 .1 .1 .1 .1 ___ 7.4 3.5 1.4 2.5 6.1 2.7 1.6 1.8 5.7 2.4 1.6 1.7 Other industry fields........ .................. Refrigerating, heating and ventilat ing _________ _________________ Wholesale and retail trade________ Insurance and appraisal Finance, taxation, and real estate Education........................................ TiP.gal _ ____ Professional and trade organization. Other service industries not speci fied................................................ 4.5 3.6 5.0 4.1 4.5 5.0 5.8 5.9 6.4 13.1 9.4 11.6 4.6 3.8 4.9 20.1 16.3 18.6 .5 .2 C) .3 .2 .1 (9 .1 .8 .3 .3 .4 .3 .4 .7 .2 .1 3.2 .4 3.6 .3 2.5 (9 (9 5.9 .5 .3 .1 3.1 .1 .6 .1 .2 2.4 4.2 .3 .3 .1 3.3 .1 .4 .1 .1 3.2 .1 .1 .3 .4 2.2 .4 .3 .3 2.9 .1 .5 4.6 1.2 6.4 .7 3.5 .4 .7 3.4 .6 4.7 .6 3.3 .1 1.0 4.1 1.4 4.7 .6 3.4 .3 1.4 Any industry field not specified.......... i Less than 0.05 percent. .3 .3 (9 .1 .3 .4 2.4 .1 .9 3.5 .1 .2 3.8 .1 .2 3.6 .1 .3 7.0 .6 .4 .1 3.8 .1 .4 .3 .4 .5 .1 .3 .4 2.4 .1 .5 .5 .6 .7 .5 .7 .8 .8 .8 1.1 .7 .7 1.0 .1 .5 .8 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.1 4.2 4.8 3.4 4.8 4.6 2.9 6.9 6.5 3.9 5.7 6.0 1.4 2.8 2.8 9.7 10.9 10.0 .5 106 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS T able D -10 .— Percentage distribution o f engineers, by employment location , fo r each field o f engineering employment in 1989» 1948 , and 1946 Percentage in field of engineering employment Employment location Cherniad 1939 Civil 1943 1946 1939 1943 Electrical 1946 1939 1943 Mining and metallurgical Mechanical 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 Other 1946 1939 1943 United States____________________ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 New England_____ __________ _____ Maine.................. ........................ New Hampshire........................... Vermont_____ __ __ Massachusetts............. ................ Rhode Island................................ Connecticut.................................. 6.4 .4 .1 .2 4.3 .3 1.1 5.5 .2 0) (i) 3.6 .3 1.4 6.0 .2 .1 0) 4.3 .2 1.2 6.1 .6 .3 .2 3.5 .5 5.6 .5 .2 .1 3.2 .6 1.0 5.6 .5 .3 .1 3.3 .4 1.0 9.2 .4 .1 .2 6.4 .4 1.7 10.2 .3 .1 .1 7.5 .3 1.9 8.8 .3 .1 .2 6.2 .2 1.8 9.1 .2 .1 .1 5.4 .5 2.8 Middle Atlantic.................................. New York..................................... New Jersey____________ ______ Pennsylvania-............................... 34.4 13.9 10.0 10.5 32.8 12.2 11.0 9.6 34.7 13.7 11.1 9.9 25.2 14.3 2.5 8.4 24.0 13.2 2.9 7.9 24.4 14.6 2.7 7.1 39.5 23.3 5.4 10.8 40.7 21.6 7.9 11.2 40.9 22.9 7.6 10.4 East North Central........................ .... 24.5 Ohio.............................................. 8.3 3.3 Indiana................ ..................... . Illinois........................................... 7.0 Michigan____________ ________ 4.7 Wisconsin...........—....................... 1.2 22.5 7.5 3.0 6.1 4.1 1.8 22.4 8.0 2.9 6.1 3.8 1.6 20.9 7.0 2.4 6.1 2.8 2.6 20.3 7.5 2.3 5.8 2.9 1.8 20.9 7.4 2.2 6.2 2.8 2.3 21.2 6.2 2.8 6.7 3.5 2.0 18.8 6.0 2.7 5.4 3.0 1.7 4.1 .5 .7 1.3 .1 .1 .1 1.3 3.6 .9 .3 1.4 (0 0) .1 .9 3.6 .9 .5 1.3 .1 (0 .1 .7 9.4 2.4 1.6 2.8 .3 .2 1.1 1.0 8.7 2.1 1.2 2.5 .3 .2 1.2 1.2 8.7 2.3 1.3 2.7 .2 .3 1.0 .9 5.4 1.1 .5 2.1 .1 .1 .6 .9 South Atlantic.................................... 10.4 Delaware_____________________ 2.5 Maryland_______ ______ ______ 1.3 Virginia......... ............................... 1.8 West Virginia............................... 3.0 .5 North Carolina............................. South Carolina............................ .1 Georgia__ ___ .2 Florida.......................................... .5 .5 District of Columbia______ _____ 11.6 2.5 2.2 1.9 2.6 .4 .2 .4 .4 1.0 10.8 2.9 1.5 1.7 2.4 .3 .1 .5 .5 .9 10.2 .2 1.6 1.2 1.2 .8 .6 .9 .8 2.9 12.4 .4 1.6 1.9 1.1 .7 .7 1.1 1.2 3.7 11.6 .3 1.6 1.7 1.0 .9 .6 1.0 1.0 3.5 East South Central............— ............ Kentucky.............................. ....... Tennessee................. .................... Alabama........................................ Mississippi.............. ............... ...... 2.5 .9 .7 .8 .1 5.1 1.9 1.4 1.6 .2 3.7 1.2 1.8 .6 .1 4.4 1.3 1.7 .8 .6 4.6 1.1 2.2 .8 .5 West South Central............................ Arkansas....................................... Louisiana...................................... Oklahoma____________________ Texas_________________ ______ 9.0 .5 1.5 2.0 5.0 10.8 .6 2.1 1.8 6.3 10.1 .2 1.9 1.8 6.2 7.8 .7 .9 1.0 5.2 Mountain........... ................................ Montana................. ..................... Idaho.......... .................................. Wyoming _ _ __ Colorado...... ......... ....................... New M exico................................ Arizona......................................... Utah................ ............................. Nevada________________ ______ 1.4 1.3 1.6 5.2 .7 .5 .3 1.5 Pacific................................................. Washington___________ _______ Oregon.......................................... California...................................... 7.3 West North Central............................ Minnesota_____ ______________ Iowa_____________ __________ Missouri.......... ......... .................... North Dakota............................... South Dakota............................... Nebraska_______________ _____ Kansas.............. ........................... 1 Less than 0.05 percent. .2 .1 .1 . 1 ____ ____ .1 .2 .2 .6 .5 .6 .1 .4 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .2 .1 1. 0 .1 6.2 6.8 .7 .1 6.0 7.1 .9 .3 5.9 1.0 .8 .7 .6 .1 10.8 1.6 1.1 8.1 8.6 .2 .1 .1 4.4 .5 3.3 8.9 .2 .1 .1 4.9 .4 3.2 4.8 33.7 17.4 6.0 10.3 19.6 6.2 2.5 6.2 2.8 1.9 4.6 1.3 .3 1.9 (i) .1 .3 .7 8.2 .1 1.4 1.0 .7 .6 .5 1.0 .6 2.3 3.5 1.0 1.5 .6 .4 7.6 .6 1.0 1.0 5.0 1946 100.0 5.2 .1 5.3 2.5 .3 1.9 3 2.8 .2 1.8 2 3! 1 .4 1.6 2.6 2.4 32.1 33.3 16.0 17.4 6.6 6.3 9.5 9.6 30.0 7.8 4.9 17.3 30.8 7.9 5.9 17.0 30.6 8.5 5.7 16.4 28.2 15.5 4.6 8.1 27.5 13.4 4.8 9.3 27.7 14.3 5.0 8.4 29.5 9.3 3.1 8.4 5.9 2.8 28.1 10.7 3.1 6.6 5.4 2.3 22.5 8.7 2.6 4.8 4.6 1.8 26.0 10.2 2.9 5.3 5.6 2.0 25.0 9.4 2.6 5.4 5.4 2.2 21.5 6.8 2.3 6.8 4.2 1.4 20.2 6.8 2.4 6.1 3.3 1.6 20.5 6.2 2.8 6.3 3.6 1.6 4.1 1.1 .4 1.5 .1 .1 .3 .6 4.8 1.4 .7 1.8 .1 .1 .2 .5 4.6 1.3 .5 1.7 (i) 3.7 5.1 1.2 2.2 .5 .2 1.4 1.4 (i) (i) .5 .1 .5 "‘ ”.T 5.2 2.2 .2 1.7 4.6 2.0 .2 1.6 7.4 1.5 1.5 2.7 .1 .2 .5 .9 6.7 1.3 1.2 2.2 .1 .3 .6 1.0 6.8 1.4 1.4 2.5 10.0 .2 1.9 1.1 .5 .4 .4 1.0 .6 3.9 10.3 .2 2.0 1.1 .6 .6 .3 1.0 .5 4.0 7.4 .2 1.9 1.4 .6 .5 .1 .6 .2 1.9 8.5 .3 2.0 2.0 .5 .4 .1 .5 .3 2.4 8.6 .4 2.1 2.0 .4 .5 .1 .6 .3 2.2 7.1 .1 1.8 .9 2.3 .1 .1 7.9 .2 1.5 .7 1.9 8.9 .2 1.5 .9 2.1 .2 .1 9.7 .2 1.5 1.8 .7 .8 12.6 .2 1.6 .2 3.4 .2 3.6 .9 .5 2.9 1.2 .*7 4.2 11.3 .3 1.9 1.8 .7 .9 .3 1X. 1X .6 3.7 2.5 .5 1.0 .7 .3 2.7 .5 1.4 .6 .2 2.1 .5 1.1 .4 .1 1.6 .6 .5 .4 .1 1.8 .5 .7 .4 .2 1.5 .4 .6 .3 .2 3.2 1.0 .6 1.5 .1 2.0 .6 .3 1.1 2.0 .6 .4 1.0 3.5 .7 1.3 .8 #7 3.4 .8 1.4 .7 .5 3.1 .6 1.6 .5 7.4 .6 .7 .8 5.3 4.5 .3 .4 .9 2.9 3.7 .3 .4 .6 2.4 3.6 .2 .3 .7 2.4 3.4 0) .6 .7 2.1 3.5 .1 .6 .7 2.1 3.2 0) .4 .5 2.3 7.0 .7 .8 1.8 3.7 7.2 .6 .7 1.6 4.3 6.6 .2 1.1 1.4 3.9 10.1 .5 1.5 2.4 5.7 9.9 .5 1.5 2.0 5.9 10.1 .3 1.7 2.2 5.9 4.6 .3 .4 4.7 .3 2.5 .3 .4 1.7 2.2 .1 .2 .8 .1 1.0 .1 1.1 .1 0) 11.5 1.8 9.4 1.4 .6 i 10.3 1.4 2.3 .4 1.7 .3 2.3 3 1.3 .7 .7 .9 1.5 .7 .7 2.2 1.8 .6 1.6 2.1 1.2 2.5 .9 1.5 1.9 .3 .3 6.3 6.7 .6 .2 ,1 .6 .1 .1 1.0 .2 .2 .2 .1 12 .2 13.2 7.0 1.0 8.8 1.5 9.5 .2 2.4 2.2 1.1 .7 5.2 .1 .1 (l) .7 1.1 .1 .1 .2 .1 7.6 1.4 .9 5.3 .3 .1 .3 (!) (l) .4 0) 0) .1 .2 .1 8.4 9.7 1.6 .9 5.9 1.2 .5 8.0 .3 .8 (i) .5 (i) .1 .2 .1 11 .8 1.8 .4 9.6 27.8 10.6 2.6 6.6 5.4 2.6 h)t \ .7 .1 .1 .1 .7 .3 2. 4 .4 2.5 (l) 1.2 11.9 1.4 .3 8.8 1.0 10.2 .4 7.4 .2 .3 .1 .8 '" " Y 1.0 .3 5.0 .8 .2 1.1 1.0 .4 5.3 8.0 .3 .2 1 A8 .6 2.0 .4 .1 0 •& .8 .2 .2 9.3 1.5 .7 7.1 8.5 .2 .2 *1 5.0 .4 .4 1.9 1.9 1.0 .9 .4 7.8 .2 *1 4! 6 .4 *2 .5 .7 .2 ,1 •"1I .7 .2 .1 .1 .1 1.0 9.5 1.5 .5 7.5 10.4 1.4 .8 .3 .2 .3 8.2 107 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES T a b l e D - l l .— D istribution o f engineers in each field o f employm ent, by base monthly salary bracket, 1946 Number in field of engineering employment Salary bracket Me Mining and chani metal Other cal lurgical Chem ical Civil Elec trical All engineers reporting.. 2,659 4,273 4,615 6,247 1,257 2,252 Under $100.................... $100 and under $110___ $110 and under $120___ $120 and under $130___ $130 and under $140....... 35 7 3 4 1 52 9 4 6 3 52 7 5 6 5 68 13 7 10 7 18 3 1 27 7 3 2 2 $140 and under $160___ $160 and under $160....... $160 and under $170....... $170 and under $180----$180 and under $190___ 3 4 7 14 8 4 8 8 13 9 8 12 12 8 18 5 12 14 21 10 2 5 2 4 4 4 5 2 6 $190 and under $200....... $200 and under $220....... $220 and under $240....... $240 and under $260....... $260 and under $280___ 9 67 104 144 146 20 101 106 206 185 26 94 89 199 204 36 103 163 231 246 8 21 30 48 52 7 37 51 61 76 $280 and under $300....... $300 and under $320....... $320 and under $340___ $340 and under $370....... $370 and under $400___ 143 238 194 263 210 238 404 300 487 355 217 343 270 472 339 237 363 358 586 483 68 95 55 97 74 88 189 103 211 179 $400 and under $440....... $440 and under $480....... $480 and under $620.___ $620 and under $570....... $670 and under $620....... 265 168 138 99 77 609 254 291 172 138 560 323 333 229 199 779 443 466 316 284 133 73 109 69 59 257 144 163 116 110 $620 and under $680____ $680 and under $760....... $760 and under $850___ $860 and under $1,000... $1,000 and over............. 64 47 59 37 111 90 73 79 27 122 168 95 108 77 148 229 129 179 115 354 43 36 48 26 88 70 55 86 45 143 T a b l e D - 12.— Comparison o f percentile levels o f base monthly salary rates fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by years o f experience, 1946 Reported years of experi ence 90 per cent made more than— 75 per cent made more than— 50 per cent made more than— 25 per cent made more than— 10 per cent made more than— 90 per cent made more than— CHEMICAL All engineers....................... Under 6 years________ 6-11 years..................... 12-19 years.................... 20-29 years.................... 30 years and over-------- $240 213 286 314 332 <*> $294 245 326 379 417 435 $363 288 379 461 566 653 $248 206 246 256 268 257 $304 234 290 309 318 325 $368 270 333 366 392 431 $471 329 436 573 792 986 $666 368 501 755 (2) <*> $255 212 282 309 318 302 $322 246 329 376 400 388 $252 203 254 287 302 307 $311 246 318 344 372 409 i Insufficient reports to compute median. 852396°— 50------ 8 $393 290 354 415 466 518 25 per cent made more than— 10 per cent made more than— $409 294 390 450 500 521 $527 349 460 584 672 796 $880 406 545 795 (?) (?) MINING AND METALLURGICAL $468 310 385 432 486 570 $607 350 439 523 610 806 $253 209 250 303 331 355 $313 246 306 367 423 481 ELECTRICAL All engineers------------------Under 6 years............... 6-11 years..................... 12-19 years— ............... 20-29 years.................... 30 years and over......... 50 per cent made more than— MECHANICAL CIVIL All engineers____________ Under 6 years............... 6-11 years..................... 12-19 years................... 20-29 years.................... 30 years and over-------- 1 75 per cent made more than— $417 285 364 437 529 607 $560 320 442 547 708 910 $826 364 536 729 (?) (2) $547 347 440 551 620 818 $807 405 554 744 896 (*) OTHER $503 339 424 506 596 771 $633 404 503 631 883 (?) $262 208 266 289 304 283 $319 240 309 347 368 395 * Over $1,000. $410 297 361 425 462 538 108 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS T able D -13 .— M edian base monthly salary rates fo r each field o f engineering employment, by years o f experience, 1939, 1943, and 1946 Chemical Civil Electrical Mechanical Mining and metallurgical 1943 1943 Years of experience 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 All engineers—..................................... $220 $278 $363 $244 $313 $368 $253 $313 1946 1939 $393 1946 1939 1946 Other 1939 1943 $253 $326 $409 $267 $332 $417 $259 1946 $331 $410 242 241 255 278 310 144 155 158 167 177 183 198 220 231 241 247 240 247 263 278 127 153 159 174 177 186 204 219 240 247 228 237 249 277 303 129 154 163 184 200 179 211 235 259 272 226 225 264 285 308 134 156 175 196 211 203 198 216 233 251 247 ft (9 272 290 141 168 182 190 203 193 213 239 256 255 231 (9 283 290 311 Less than 1 year.................................. 1 year—................................................ 2 years................................................. 3 years................................................. 4 years................... ............................. 130 154 165 180 191 177 208 222 244 254 5 years............... .................................. 6 years....... .......................................... 7-8 years.................. ........................... 9-11 years................... ........................ 12-14 years........................................... 221 227 263 299 310 265 279 307 346 382 327 344 375 399 452 183 189 207 218 235 246 302 259 272 296 297 307 327 345 356 207 206 215 240 279 265 269 284 307 320 315 325 347 366 409 208 220 235 261 291 281 291 314 344 355 342 360 380 408 442 227 205 256 284 316 295 267 314 338 385 313 327 337 404 417 209 214 243 251 271 273 273 294 320 336 310 330 356 370 396 15-19 years....... ..................... ............. 20-24 years________ ______ ________ 25-29 years........................... —............ 30-34 years........................................... 35-39 years......................................... 40 years and over............................... . 374 438 491 545 <9 ft 406 456 581 595 507 650 474 552 598 655 640 680 271 302 316 337 387 370 307 333 355 372 390 408 369 382 407 427 428 438 318 367 421 423 520 513 352 399 450 482 497 494 418 454 502 513 545 509 320 381 401 423 500 ft 400 429 429 456 477 601 455 492 518 514 534 520 335 440 483 488 440 ft 414 430 520 526 583 520 478 516 570 608 592 650 315 366 404 423 (9 (9 360 390 471 477 490 475 443 445 501 528 539 580 Median years of experience................. 5.9 6.6 8.8 15.2 19.7 21.6 12.4 14.1 15.9 11.1 10.9 12.8 10.7 11.7 13.8 12.5 15.1 17.3 i Insufficient reports to compute median salary. T a b l e D -1 4 .— Percentage distribution and median base monthly salary fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by em ploy ment location , 1946 Civil Chemical Employment location Electrical Mechanical Mining and metallurgical Other Median Median Median Median Median Median base base Percent base Percent base base base Percent monthly Percent monthly monthly monthly Percent monthly Percent monthly salary salary salary salary salary salary Total.......................................................... 100.0 $363 100.0 $368 100.0 $393 100.0 $409 100.0 $417 100.0 $410 New York................................................. New Jersey............. ....................- ............ Pennsylvania..... .................. .................... 13.7 11.1 9.9 396 356 361 14.6 2.7 7.1 385 376 402 22.9 7.6 10.4 424 407 389 17.4 6.3 9.6 426 403 409 8.5 5.7 16.5 504 430 442 14.3 5.0 8.4 461 439 418 Ohio........................................................... Illinois....................................................... Indiana...................................................... Michigan................................................... Wisconsin.................................................. 8.0 6.1 2.9 3.8 1.6 350 379 357 387 325 7.4 6.2 2.2 2.8 2.3 347 377 345 397 321 6.2 6.2 2.5 2.8 1.9 382 412 364 409 365 10.6 6.6 2.6 5.4 2.6 406 422 404 425 391 9.4 5.4 2.6 5.4 2.2 400 388 338 413 340 6.2 6.3 2.8 3.6 1.6 409 436 393 423 407 District of Columbia................................. Maryland.... ............................................. Virginia.... ................................................ West Virginia............................................ North Carolina.......................................... Georgia...................................................... .9 1.5 1.7 2.4 .3 .5 430 377 402 368 3.5 1.6 1.7 1.0 .9 1.0 483 377 405 361 353 400 4.0 2.0 1.1 .6 .6 1.0 431 347 364 370 348 355 2.2 2.1 2.0 .4 .5 .6 438 430 365 400 385 420 3.6 1.5 .9 2.1 .2 .1 510 3.7 1.9 1.8 .7 .9 1.1 480 395 393 Massachusetts........................................... Connecticut............................................... 4.3 1.2 375 381 3.3 1.0 341 330 6.2 1.8 375 374 4.9 3.2 370 386 3.1 1.6 California.................................................. Washington............................................... 5.9 .9 369 317 9.5 2.2 399 372 5.9 1.6 386 374 10.2 1.4 420 395 5.3 1.0 Minnesota................................................. Missouri.................................................... .9 1.3 290 330 2.3 2.7 328 387 1.1 1.5 383 405 1.2 1.4 373 402 2.0 1.6 Louisiana................................................... Oklahoma............... ................................. Texas......................................................... 1.9 1.8 6.2 312 374 349 .7 .8 5.3 350 347 342 .3 .7 2.4 332 379 .4 .5 2.3 389 350 402 1.1 1.4 3.9 Kentucky.................................................. Tennessee.................................................. 1.2 1.8 316 347 1.0 1.5 340 383 .5 1.1 348 358 .4 .6 363 385 .6 .4 Colorado.................................................... .6 1.5 373 1.1 365 .7 358 2.5 All other States.................. ........ ............. 7.6 *Insufficient reports to compute median. <9 (9 (9 13.2 6.0 (9 3.9 11.4 (9 (9 429 (9 (9 (9 318 390 385 500 4.6 2.4 379 465 407 8.2 1.4 428 400 1.4 2.5 340 385 (9 (9 1.7 2.2 5.9 340 379 387 ft .6 1.6 (9 370 440 448 <9 318 1.0 8.2 (9 385 349 109 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES T able D—15.— M edian base monthly salary o f engineers with the bachelor’s degree, by field o f engineering and by years o f experience, 1929, 1982, 1984, and> 1946 Years of experience Chemi Civil cal Elec trical Me Mining and chani metal cal lurgical Chemi Civil cal Years of experience U nder 1 year 1-2 years'___ ___ ____________ 13-1fi*years__ _ _ _ _________ 17— 24 years___ __ __ ___________ 25-32 years___________________ 33-40 years 41 yean? and over $155 187 220 260 305 328 358 407 424 408 $150 179 236 295 395 487 523 493 510 <9 $137 167 213 264 338 368 428 438 484 (9 $141 180 224 285 337 405 440 483 506 410 $156 183 235 284 370 405 458 437 493 440 Under 1 year_______________________________ 1 year............................ .................. 2 years................. .......................................... 3 years..................... .. ................................................ 4-5 years_______ _________________ 6-7 years________ ________________ 8-11 years__________ ______________ 12-15 years___ _______ ___________ 16-19 years_____________ ____________________ 20-27 years............. ........................................ .. 28-35 years.................................... 36-43 years.............................................................. 44 years and over______________ __________ $116 124 144 149 185 223 273 324 418 443 420 (9 <9 $103 134 149 164 187 208 232 262 289 307 334 367 336 1934 Uud«** 1 year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... 1 year. , .... 2 years _ _ ________________________________ 3 years 4 years 5 years _ 6-7 years. . R-0 years 10-13 years ____ __________________ ___ ___ __________________ ______________________________ ___________________________ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 14-17 years 13-21 years . , . . . . . . 22-29 years___________________ 30-37 years 38-45 years__ ____________________________ 46 years and over______________ $116 126 131 143 150 163 179 198 218 244 263 285 296 331 306 $107 114 122 134 153 170 198 228 287 340 350 425 426 (0 (i) $106 109 114 127 145 162 180 205 240 300 333 349 379 408 (9 Me Mining and chani metal cal lurgical 1932 1929 S-d years____ ___ __ _____________ f i - f l y e a r s ____ __ _______________________ ^-197years___ ___ ___ ___________ Elec trical $106 118 136 152 178 202 243 309 330 353 420 415 $97 120 137 152 175 211 250 301 327 351 390 416 420 (9 $143 114 143 149 162 206 239 300 314 374 356 420 (9 1946 $106 110 118 132 149 165 180 207 239 283 303 333 346 370 330 $113 118 120 143 143 153 183 207 237 311 302 347 340 400 0) Under 1 year 1 year.................................. .. ..................................... 2 years _ _ __ _ . __ 3 years ... ...... 4 years ... _____ ___ 5 years . _ . ____ .. . 6 years _ __ _ _ __ ___ ____ _ 7-8 years __ 9-11 years. j__________________ $242 $246 240 240 257 240 277 263 309 278 323 297 336 306 368 324 393 348 12-14 years. 361 437 15-19 years.................................... 379 481 20-24 years. .................... .. ............ 395 540 25-29 years....................... .. .......... .. 613 435 30-34 years __ __ 640 453 35-39 years............ ...................... } 620 / 444 40 years and over.......................... { 427 $229 236 247 276 298 308 327 339 365 400 415 458 518 520 551 620 $226 222 262 281 310 340 359 377 403 435 464 496 565 543 555 507 } $244 230 214 270 290 315 318 334 385 404 483 526 507 608 620 i Insufficient reports to compute median. T able D -16 .— M edian monthly salary, including overtime, fo r each field o f engineering employment, by years o f experience, 1989, 1948, and 1946 Civil Chemical Electrical Mechanical Years of experience 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 Total................................................... $218 $303 $364 $244 1946 1939 $328 $377 $253 1943 1946 Mining and metal lurgical Other 1943 1939 1943 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 $335 $400 $254 1946 $356 $415 $262 $348 $418 Less than 1 year............. ................... 1 year.................................................. 2 years................................................. 3 years................................................. 4 years................................................. 5 years................................................. 6 years................................................. 7-8 years.............................................. 132 155 166 180 189 219 226 258 214 237 252 270 282 300 301 324 245 245 261 284 313 329 349 376 146 154 158 169 178 181 188 207 204 243 259 254 259 263 313 275 260 253 260 267 285 305 311 338 129 154 161 174 177 208 205 218 214 238 268 275 277 305 307 308 238 242 254 281 308 320 336 356 133 155 165 189 203 209 222 236 219 252 285 305 308 315 325 343 233 232 268 301 340 349 369 387 135 157 181 194 211 229 213 265 219 1 213 \ 247 236 1 255 274 262 297 302 313 287 327 327 345 146 167 181 188 203 210 220 248 218 ) 234 > 236 271 J 284 322 265 314 312 312 304 351 310 360 9-11 years............................................ 12-14 years........................................... 15-19 years........................................... 20-24 years........................................... 25-29 years........................ .................. 30-34 years...................... ................... 35-39 years.......................................... 40 years and over....... ......................... 299 313 381 440 504 505 850 361 397 428 483 477 620 558 665 401 452 481 554 604 660 650 698 218 238 272 304 316 336 404 370 302 314 321 347 367 378 394 423 352 362 375 390 412 437 428 452 242 279 304 371 426 424 525 513 332 337 374 419 471 490 508 512 375 415 424 459 506 518 548 516 262 306 320 381 409 428 500 369 388 426 453 458 479 488 614 413 449 469 495 532 526 549 523 281 314 345 433 489 493 410 358 417 429 440 520 520 595 533 412 422 483 519 576 601 599 640 251 276 316 361 409 436 <9 338 349 373 403 475 496 504 487 Insufficient (9 reports to compute median. <9 (9 $259 $351 (9 $413 375 395 451 447 512 518 576 585 110 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS T a b l e D -17 .— M edian base monthly salary rates fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by class o f worker, 1989,1948, and 1946 Chemical Civil Electrical Mechanical Class of worker 1939 1948 1946 1939 1943 1946 1939 Total private and public..................... $220 $278 $363 $244 $313 $368 $253 1943 1946 1939 1943 Mining and metal lurgical 1946 1939 1943 Other 1946 1939 1943 $313 $393 $253 $326 $409 $267 $332 $417 $259 $331 1946 $410 Total private.................. ............ ....... Employer......................................... Employee of a private firm.............. Independent consultant................... 225 378 222 355 281 405 281 490 367 427 365 500 275 496 264 322 346 517 340 375 390 496 382 406 258 355 256 263 323 517 320 392 396 465 395 350 255 495 251 333 335 620 330 520 413 574 407 496 268 413 261 310 334 480 330 320 418 495 415 440 266 404 257 348 346 591 338 433 420 558 413 495 Total public........................................ Federal Government employee........ State government employee............. County government employee_____ Municipal government employee.. . Other public authority employee__ 189 177 190 0) 0 0 281 259 258 0) 0 0 348 363 314 0 0 0 230 224 218 228 261 258 290 2*6 276 274 301 351 356 399 319 316 345 400 218 215 240 0 218 220 278 278 288 0 279 274 387 406 358 0 343 343 240 213 267 0 287 0 279 275 313 l1) 330 0 384 400 339 0 373 370 264 273 260 322 324 317 409 415 378 (0 0 0 0 0 0 243 243 237 0 249 290 300 302 291 0 290 410 375 410 349 0 * Insufficient reports to compute median. 413 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES 111 T a b l e D - 1 8 .— Comparison o f median base monthly salaries fo r engineers in the same field o f employment all S survey years, by years o f experience, 1946 Median base monthly salary Dollar amount of increase in median Percentage increase in median base monthly salary base monthly salary 1939 1939to 1946 1939 to 1943 1943 to 1946 1939 to 1946 1939 to 1943 1943 to 1946 Years of experience in 1946 1943 1946 CHEMICAL 7-8 years....................................................... $-11 years..................................................... 12-14 years.................................................... 15-19 years........................................... ....... 20-24 years.................................................... 25-29 years.................................................... 30-34 years................................................... 35-39 years.................................................... 40 years and over , - $143 178 230 303 345 424 480 513 650 $263 297 347 388 440 493 583 595 650 $385 409 459 488 554 599 650 692 733 $242 231 229 185 209 175 170 179 83 $120 119 117 85 95 69 103 82 $122 112 112 100 114 106 67 97 83 169.2 129.8 99.6 61.1 60.6 41.3 35.4 34.9 12.8 83.9 66.9 50.9 28.1 27.5 16.3 21.5 16.0 46.4 37.7 32.3 25.8 25.9 21.5 11.5 16.3 12.8 $90 87 88 69 70 65 70 53 41 119.5 109.5 97.8 69.3 51.6 40.4 39.5 29.7 22.0 61.0 57.7 49.2 37.6 24.0 17.8 16.8 13.8 10.7 36.3 32.8 32.6 23.0 22.2 19.2 19.4 14.0 10.2 $102 94 105 96 86 78 51 56 50 151.4 117.5 99.5 76.8 50.2 42.3 27.7 27.3 16.3 79.6 62.6 48.8 36.9 22.0 20.4 15.2 14.4 5.8 40.0 33.8 34.1 29.1 23.1 18.1 10.9 11.3 9.8 $118 106 108 90 88 80 71 46 50 187.6 130.4 109.7 77.9 61.4 47.8 32.7 29.7 20.3 101.5 71.8 59.9 43.7 32.8 26.0 14.9 18.7 9.6 42.8 34.1 31.1 23.8 21.5 17.4 15.6 9.3 9.7 $92 103 89 107 83 92 99 34 162 156.2 107.0 82.6 66.6 54.5 50.9 30.6 18.2 52.1 89.1 55.7 44.7 29.7 29.6 26.6 10.5 11.5 17.7 35.5 32.9 26.2 28.5 19.2 19.2 18.2 6.0 29.3 $102 90 84 97 77 77 60 64 21 131.8 94.3 85.0 77.5 50.7 46.1 35.5 28.8 16.9 66.9 47.9 45.8 39.9 24.1 23.2 21.3 14.2 12.9 38.9 31.4 26.9 26.9 21.4 18.6 11.7 12.8 3.6 CIVIL 7-8 years-...................................................... 9-11 years...........................................- ......... 12-14 years.................................................... 15-19 years.................................................... 20-24 years......................... ......................... 25-29 years.................................................... 30-34 years.................................................... 35-39 years.................................................... 40 years and over______________________ $154 168 181 218 254 287 309 333 363 $248 265 270 300 315 338 361 379 402 $338 352 358 369 385 403 431 432 443 $184 184 177 151 131 116 122 99 80 $94 97 89 82 61 51 52 46 39 ELECTRICAL 7-8 years________________________ . . . . __ $-11 years.................................... ................. 12-14 years.................................................... 15-19 years................................- __________ 20-24 years.................................................... 25-29 years.................................................... 30-34 years.................................................... 35-39 years.................................................... 40 years and over______________ . . . . . . ___ $142 171 207 241 305 357 408 432 480 $255 278 308 330 372 430 470 494 508 $357 372 413 426 458 508 521 550 558 $215 201 206 185 153 151 113 118 78 $113 107 101 89 67 73 62 62 28 MECHANICAL 7-8 years_______________ . . . . __ ____ ____ 9-11 years........................... .......................... 12-14 years.................................................... 15-19 years.................................................... 20-24 years.................................................... 25-29 years.................................................... 30-34 years____________________________ 35-39 years.................................................... 40 years and over___________ ___ ________ $137 181 217 263 308 366 397 417 468 $276 311 347 378 409 461 456 495 513 $394 417 455 468 497 541 527 541 563 $257 236 238 205 189 175 130 124 95 $139 130 130 115 101 95 59 78 45 MINING AND METALLURGICAL 7-8 years_______________ _______ -_____ 9-11 years____________________________ 12-14 years............................... ....... ............ 15-19 years.................................................... 20-24 years......................................... ........... 25-29 years............................................... 30-34 years......................................... .......... 35-39 years.................................................... 40 years and over----------------------------------- $137 201 235 290 334 379 493 511 470 $259 313 340 376 433 480 545 570 553 $351 416 429 483 516 572 644 604 715 $214 215 194 193 182 193 151 93 245 $122 112 105 86 99 101 52 59 83 OTHER 7-8 years______________. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . — $-11 years............................................. ....... 12-14 years.................................................... 15-19 years.................................................... 20-24 years.................................................... 25-29 years.................................................... 30-34 years.................................................... 35-39 years.................................................... 40 years and over.......................................... $157 194 214 258 290 336 423 438 520 $262 287 312 361 360 414 513 500 587 $364 377 396 458 437 491 573 564 608 $207 183 182 200 147 155 150 126 88 $105 93 98 103 70 78 90 62 67 112 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOB ENGINEERS T a b l e D -19 .— M edian annual incom e fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, by years o f experience, 1989 and 1948 Chemical Civil Electrical Mining and metallurgical Mechanical Years of experience Other 1939 1943 1939 1943 1939 1943 1939 1943 1939 1943 1939 1943 Total......................................................... $2,756 $3,673 $3,089 $4,087 $3,214 $4,196 $3,269 $4,485 $3,450 $4,480 $3,339 $4,501 Less than 1 year........................................ 1 year......................................................... 2 years...................................................... 3 years........... ........................................... 4 years....................................................... 1,608 1,879 1,991 2,176 2,400 2,509 2,800 2,984 3,260 3,378 1,718 1,910 1,957 2,075 2,171 2,467 2,825 3,031 3,133 3,300 1,585 1,894 1,997 2,189 2,197 2,523 2,869 3,203 3,280 3,438 1,642 1,936 2,040 2,330 2,510 2,580 3,023 3,400 3,667 3,737 1,700 1,909 2,120 2,360 2,558 2,667 2,733 3,000 3, 111 3,350 1,822 2,088 2,229 2,240 2,495 2,522 2,883 3,350 3,467 3,473 5 years....................................................... 6 years......................................... ............. 7-8 years................................................ . 9-11 years......................................... ........ 12-14 years................................................. 2,813 2,765 3,325 3,538 3,646 3,578 3,624 3,932 4,660 4,871 2,225 2,341 2,564 2,742 2,970 3,200 3,800 3,324 3,770 3,816 2,545 2,485 2,595 3,071 3,469 3,541 3,748 3,838 4,189 4,259 2,600 2,800 3,111 3,291 3,667 3,933 3,937 4,309 4,637 4,854 3,000 2,600 3,514 3,400 3,943 3,525 3,564 4,104 4,314 5,000 2,583 2,716 3,125 3,211 3,475 3,760 3,564 3,800 4,146 4,557 16-19 years................................................. 20-24 years................................................. 25-29 years................................................. 30-34 years................................................ 35-39 years............................................... 40 years and over....................................... 4,700 6,050 6,514 7.500 0 0 5,247 6,107 7,800 7,850 6,360 8,100 3,345 3,776 3,996 4,238 4,838 5,167 3,951 4,314 4,713 4,703 4,984 5,220 3,925 4,733 5,176 5,367 6,450 5,800 4,681 5,156 5,756 6,075 6,600 6,240 4,181 4,909 5,206 5,387 6,386 0 5,229 5,808 5,869 6,325 6,500 7,629 4,540 6,050 6,150 5,914 6,500 0 5,256 5,775 7,950 7,350 7,650 7,125 4,040 4,615 5,057 5,120 (l) 0 4,732 5,400 5,963 6,390 6,300 6,525 1Insufficient reports to compute median. T a b l e D -2 0 .— M edian annual incom e, by occupational status, fo r each field o f engineering employm ent, 1989 and 1943 Civil Chemical Electrical Mechanical Mining and metallurgical 1939 1939 1943 1939 $7,800 5,217 2,467 0 6,600 $8,100 5,316 3,300 0 9,600 $5,400 4,545 2,450 3,231 6,600 $5,957 5,412 3,236 4,460 8,400 Occupational status 1939 Administration-management, nontechnical................. $4,500 Administration-management, technical-..................... 4,867 Analysis and testing....... ............................................. 1,972 Construction supervision............................................. 0 Consulting, independent.............................................. (0 Consulting, as employee of private firm....................... 3,600 Design.......................................................................... 3,000 Development............................................................... 2,529 Drafting....................................................................... 0 Estimating________ _____ __ _________ __________ Inspection.................................................................... (0 1943 1939 $6,000 $5,067 5,088 4,231 2 946 2,267 2,987 0 4,900 CO 4,600 3,880 3,838 3,034 3,235 2,580 2,179 (0 3,137 0) 2,405 0 1943 1939 1943 $5,775 4,959 3,086 3,981 6,300 $5,000 4,746 2,411 3,178 5,333 $5,550 5,397 3,530 4,219 6,000 5,167 3,839 3,378 3,043 3,950 3,240 4,050 3,113 3,272 2,069 2,734 2,320 $071 3,980 4,091 3,046 3,800 3,384 4,425 3,012 3,109 2,057 2,800 2,350 5,525 4,097 4,331 3,216 3,787 3,693 4,800 0 3,025 0 0 2,133 5,400 0 3,675 0 0 3,567 4,075 3,171 3,171 2,300 2,756 2,618 5,467 4,400 3,886 3,350 3,667 3,547 3,675 3,567 3,714 0) 3,720 0 3,073 2,971 3,306 5,400 2,810 2,600 3,686 3,883 4,238 4,800 4,236 3,500 (i) 0 3,075 0 0 3,711 2,785 0 4,000 0 0 2,514 3,164 0 2,450 0 0 3,900 4,089 0 3,914 0 3,869 0 4,730 4,213 3,467 3,011 0 4,012 3,296 3,140 3,823 0 5,645 4,286 4,092 3,341 0 3,900 3,960 3,050 3,809 0 5,700 5,600 4,150 2,975 3,056 3,667 3,150 3,111 4,029 3,741 5,500 4,440 3,900 Maintenance........................................ ....................... Operation..................................................................... Patents........................... ............................................ Production................................................................... Research in basic science.............................................. (0 2,562 (0 2,536 (0 (0 0) 3,376 0) 3,451 (0 0) 3,215 2,525 (l) 3,713 3,343 0) (0 0 (0 2,867 2,542 2,693 (i) 2,525 <0 Research, applied......................................................... Safety engineering........................................................ 2,486 0 4,700 3,360 0 3,289 0 5,800 3,920 <0 3,334 0 4,400 3,711 2,174 3,720 (0 5,080 4,400 3,362 3,627 0 3,650 3,575 2,700 Installation Teaching, college or university..................................... Any occupational status not specified above...... ......... *Insufficient reports to compute median. Other 1943 $4,800 $7,450 5,225 6,015 2,171 3,564 3,660 4,867 5,520 9,000 1943 113 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES T able D-21 .— Percentages o f respondents who shifted or rem ained in same class-of-worker status, 1989, 1948, and 1946 Engineering employment Private industry Class of worker All re ports All engi neer ing Public employment Nonengi neer Em Inde Mu Fed Coun Other ing pend nici pub work Em ploy eral State ty gov gov of ent Total Gov pal lic au Total ploy ees ern ern pri con gov thori ern ers vate sult ern ment ment ment ment ty firms ants In 1939 Stu dent Un Re em tired ployed Class of worker in 1943 All reports....................................... 100.0 97.0 74.5 4.8 68.0 1.7 22.5 12.7 5.1 0.7 3.2 0.8 2.9 (9 0.1 <9 All engineering................................ Private industry______________ Employers...'______________ Employees of private firms....... Independent consultants_____ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.3 99.3 99.5 99.3 99.7 76.2 92.9 91.0 93.3 83.9 5.0 6.2 78.5 1.0 1.5 69.5 84.6 11.6 92.0 19.3 1.7 2.1 .9 .3 63.1 23.1 6.4 8.5 6.0 15.8 12.9 5.3 7.2 4.9 13.6 5.3 .6 .5 .6 •5 .8 (9 3.3 .3 .4 .3 .8 .8 .2 .4 .2 .6 .7 .7 .5 .7 .3 (9 (i) 0) (9 (9 (9 (9 Public employment___________ Federal Government................ State government _ . . _______ Hminty government Municipal government............. Other public authority_______ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.2 99.2 99.3 98.3 98.8 99.4 19.7 19.8 18.9 21.5 19.0 22.9 .7 .6 .2 1.7 1.1 1.8 18.7 18.9 18 4 19.8 17.6 19.9 .3 .3 .3 79.5 79.4 80.4 76.8 79.8 76.5 38.6 77.0 13.0 11.3 10.0 14.6 21.0 1.2 65.0 2.3 1.2 1.1 13.6 .9 1.3 2.2 68.4 .6 3.0 .1 .2 .5 .1 60.2 .8 .7 .6 1.7 .9 .6 Nonengineering work___________ Student ■Retired ___ Unemployed 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 41.3 91.9 44.4 97.4 31.4 80.3 33.3 57.9 1.6 4.5 29.3 75.8 22.2 52.6 9.9 11.6 11.1 39.5 8.0 8.0 11.1 36.9 .7 2.9 .7 .5 .7 58.7 3.7 2.6 2.6 0.8 3.7 (9 0.3 0.3 3.4 .8 .3 .1 .3 _ .3 .1 .8 .......... 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 .4 (9 0.1 .3 .3 .4 .2 1.4 .3 .3 .5 .3 .4 3.0 .2 .1 1.2 1.6 .9 (9 (9 .2 (9 .1 .4 .6 .2 79.6 .6 .7 .4 .7 .2 .2 .2 5.3 .3 1.2 .5 11.1 In 1943 0) .3 3.3 .2 .9 60.5 .1 (9 (9 .1 ’ "“ 611 .3 4.4 55.6 Class of worker in 1946 All reports....................................... 100.0 95.7 75.6 6.6 66.1 2.9 20.1 9.9 5.2 0.9 All engineering-------------------------Private engineering- ................... Employers.............................. Employees of private firms___ Independent consultants.......... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.2 98.3 97.8 98.3 97.8 77.6 96.0 96.7 96.0 95.0 6.8 8.3 93.7 2.4 2.9 67.8 84.4 2.2 92.1 4.8 3.0 3.3 .8 1.5 87.3 20.6 2.3 1.1 2.3 2.8 10.1 1.0 .3 1.0 1.0 5.4 .7 .4 .7 3-0 .9 .2 .1 .2 Public employment..................... Federal Government............. . State government..................... County government_________ Municpal government...........— Other pnblio authority 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.2 97.8 99.0 100.0 98.8 98.6 16.7 22.9 9.5 6.4 5.9 16.2 1.8 2.4 1.2 .8 .6 1.5 13.1 18.5 8.0 4.8 3.8 11.7 1.8 2.0 1.3 .8 1.5 3.0 81.5 74.9 89.5 93.6 92.9 82.4 40.4 70.8 1.6 .8 .2 2.1 20.9 2.4 86.0 1.6 .7 3.5 .5 .8 90.4 .4 .7 13.7 1.0 1.0 .8 91.4 NonengmAftring work 100.0 Student 100.0 Retired ___ ______________ 100.0 TTnAmplnyed 100.0 12.5 100.0 8.3 10.7 42.9 8.3 .6 9.0 42.9 8.3 1.1 1.8 57.1 .6 28.5 .6 14.3 .2 .4 3.3 14.3 86.9 .2 91.7 166.6 In 1989 Class of worker in 1946 All reports....................................... 100.0 95.7 75.6 6.6 66.1 2.9 20.1 9.9 5.2 0.9 3.3 0.8 3.7 <9 0.3 0.3 All engineering................................ 100.0 Private industry.......................... 100.0 Employers_________________ 100.0 Employees of private firms....... 100.0 Independent eonsnltants . .. 100.0 97.9 97.9 98.6 98.0 97.8 77.3 93.3 92.3 93.6 88.8 6.8 8.1 81.7 2.8 4.1 67.5 81.8 8.7 89.3 14.1 3.0 3.4 1.9 1.5 70.6 20.6 4.6 6.3 4.4 9.0 10.0 3.4 5.2 3.1 6.3 5.4 .7 .4 .6 1.5 .9 .1 .1 .1 .5 3.4 .3 .4 .3 .7 .9 .1 .2 .3 1.5 1.5 .7 1.6 1.2 <9 (9 .3 .3 .1 .2 .7 .3 .3 .6 .2 .3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 98.0 97.8 97.8 99.5 98.2 97.1 23.1 24.6 20.9 24.3 21.6 28.0 2.1 2.5 1.5 3.3 2.1 2.9 19.3 21.1 17.8 19.8 17.0 21.0 1.7 1.0 1.6 1.2 2.5 4.1 74.9 73.2 76.9 75.2 76.6 69.1 32.8 69.0 8.3 6.4 6.4 10.0 21.3 1.9 64.7 4.6 1.1 1.8 3.9 .6 2.1 59.6 .4 .6 14.0 1.6 1.6 4.1 67.9 1.1 2.9 .1 .2 .5 .8 55.6 1.5 1.7 1.6 .5 1.1 2.3 ___ . . . 0) 0.1 .2 .1 .2 .3 .3 .4 ....... .4 .6 .3 100.0 100.0 100.0 Unemployed- __________________ 100.0 38.9 93.4 33.3 84.2 31.6 78.7 33.3 57.9 1.8 7.3 28.7 71.4 33.3 52.7 1.1 7.3 14.7 4.9 6.6 1.3 5.8 .9 .2 2.3 60.3 3.6 2.1 .3 .5 .8 26.3 23.6 2.7 2.6 Public employment..................... Federal Government................ State government..................... County government_________ Murdeipal government. Other public authority............. Nonengineering -work ................... Student. ____ Retired ______________ __ Less than 0.05 percent. 5.2 66.7 2.6 10.6 T a b l e D -2 2 .— Percentages o f respondents who shifted or remained in same industry field , 1 9 8 9 , 19 48 , and 1 9 4 6 Manufacturing Industry field Agri cul All reports ture, for estry Chem Con Lum Print Min struc ing icals ber, ing and and tion Total Food, tex paper allied tiles prod pub lish prod ucts ing ucts In 19S9 18.4 45.5 1.6 1.2 .7 84.5 .6 16.3 3.0 81.6 11.2 9.8 10.1 .7 .4 .1 .7 .3 .2 Manufacturing—.......................................... Food, textiles............................................ Lumber, paper products........................... Printing and publishing ___ _ Chemicals and allied products—............... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 (*) .2 .6 1.3 3.5 3.5 2.0 1.0 94.3 91.5 90.8 89.8 94.6 3.6 70.4 .9 2.7 .6 75.3 .8 .4 Petroleum and coal products.................... Rubber, stone, clay, and glass products... Iron, steel, nonferrous metals products... Machinery................................................. Transportation equipment....................... Other manufacturing industries....... ........ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.2 1.0 2.1 .8 .5 .9 93.4 97.6 93.8 93.8 96.7 94.4 .6 .1 .3 .2 .2 .1 .2 4.3 5.1 4.1 10. 7 19.7 12.8 49.4 .1 .3 .1 .6 — ... .3 .4 .1 .2 0) .2 100.0 100.0 .1 100.0 100.0 0) 100.0 .1 100.0 — .2 .5 .4 4.2 4.3 2.5 3.9 14.1 3.9 18.2 43.9 1.9 90.8 .5 2.1 2.5 89.5 3.2 2.9 3.7 1.1 .3 .3 .3 .3 2.2 .7 1.4 3.9 88.3 .5 2.9 .7 89.6 1.6 .8 .2 .3 .7 .1 .9 .4 .3 .4 .3 1.4 .1 .1 .1 2.8 5.0 .1 1.5 1.8 .8 .5 .3 59.2 .1 .1 (0 .6* .6 2.0 7.4 12.3 8.8 3.2 3.0 6.0 9.0 8.1 5.3 -g.5 2.3 2.0 1.8 2.3 11.0 1.5 2.3 2.5 3.6 .7 .6 .9 .7 .1 1.0 .7 3.7 .6 1.6 .7 .6 2.0 2.3 1.4 2.5 15.5 2.6 1.8 2.0 2.7 26.3 2.5 .4 6.2 2.1 16.1 4.5 4.4 14.3 .7 6.3 3.2 1.8 2.0 1.1 .4 .6 .9 .6 .6 .4 1.3 .4 .8 .4 1.2 .6 2.2 2.0 1.0 1.6 1.3 2.2 6.2 1.9 .5 --- .6 .5 .3 .7 .5 .3 .4 1.2 .3 .2 .i .7 .1 .4 1.2 .3 1.4 1.5 .6 1.1 1.9 .6 1.5 1.6 1.0 2.3 .4 0.1 .1 10.6 4.8 4.9 4.1 84.7 8.4 1.6 .4 1.0 4.3 1.0 .9 2.0 1.0 4.7 3.8 1.4 .5 .2 .9 80.3 1.3 .2 .4 .2 .7 2.2 80.1 .4 .2 .1 .5 1.0 3.5 83.6 1.2 .8 L4 1.6 2.6 2.6 85.6 3.7 2.3 2.4 3.8 3.9 4.7 89.7 8.2 .5 1.9 1.1 .6 1.8 80.0 .1 .5 .6 .6 4.2 .5 .1 1.6 2.7 1.8 8.5 1.1 2.1 3.1 4.9 2.0 9.9 3.0 1.1 24 6.6 4.9 11.3 .6 9 2.0 1.0 5.7 86.4 .2 .6 .7 1.0 2.8 .2 92.0 1.4 1.8 1.7 2.8 .6 .1 78.8 L3 .8 2.8 1.7 1.0 1.9 7o! o 3.1 12.7 1.5 2.6 1.9 3.4 76.2 4.2 7.6 12.6 6.6 3.2 3.0 6.0 9.0 9.4 5.4 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.9 .6 1.4 .8 .5 1.5 1.5 .4 .5 .1 ___ 3.8 1.3 1.8 1.4 2.8 .5 .6 .7 2.8 0) .1 .2 .1 Industry field in 1946 100.0 0.7 Agriculture, forestry.................................... 100.0 Mining_____ _______ __________________ 100.0 Construction—............................................. 100.0 93.7 .1 .3 Manufacturing............................................. Food, textiles________________________ Lumber, paper products______________ Printing and publishing______________ Chemicals and allied products.................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 .1 .8 .5 .2 .1 .2 1.1 91.6 95.8 96.1 91.9 94.3 Petroleum and coal products.................... Rubber, stone, clay, and glass products_ Iron, steel, nonferrous metals products.. . Machinery................................................ Transportation equipment....................... Other manufacturing industries............... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 .2 1.0 1.6 1.5 1.8 1.2 5.3 2.9 93.0 94.6 93.8 93.9 83.0 89.4 .6 1.2 .5 .8 .6 1.1 Transportation________________________ Communication........................................... Utilities........................................................ Service industries......................................... Other industry fields.................................... Unemployed................................................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 3.0 .1 1.7 1.5 4.0 8.3 4.4 3.2 2.5 5.7 10.0 8.3 .2 .1 .3 .2 .1 ....... .1 .1 ..... ..... ... .1 .1 .6 .3 .2 .2 1.4 0.3 1.1 5.1 3.7 2.0 7.1 .1 1.0 .6 .6 .8 .9 4.3 1.5 .5 14.9 .4 .5 26.1 1.9 2.0 .1 .7 .5 0) 10.5 2.6 2.0 2.7 86.3 7.9 .5 86.5 .2 1.2 .5 1.1 1.5 2.7 .4 .1 0) .1 .4 1.7 2.1 1.6 .3 1.0 1.9 87.5 2.1 .4 .5 .6 .6 .5 85.0 .7 .2 .5 .6 .3 .9 86.3 .9 1.8 .8 1.4 1.8 2.2 89.4 4.6 3.6 .2 .1 .2 ” " . T .8 .4 .4 .8 1.0 .1 .2 .2 .7 .4 .1 .3 1.0 1.4 8.3 1.4 1.6 .9 2.3 3.1 ..... .5 :r .i .7 .3 .4 .3 .9 .1 .1 .5 1.2 6.6 .4 .5 .2 .4 .7 .4 .5 .7 .1 ..... .6 .6 1.0 .8 69.2 2.1 .2 .6 .3 .9 3.7 77.9 .2 .1 (9 .6 .2 1.0 .4 .1 .8 1.1 .4 .5 .1 .4 .8 87.5 .1 .1 .5 .5 .4 14.0 .1 2.7 .8 1.0 2.7 2.7 5.4 1.0 .4 .1 .6 .7 .7 .6 .6 .7 .7 .9 .7 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 5.6 3.0 .8 .9 .9 1.1 2.9 2.5 1.0 .6 .4 .2 .8 .6 .6 93.1 .1 .6 1.1 1.2 .5 92.3 .7 .9 1.9 1.9 1.7 88.8 3.7 .6 1.0 .9 1.6 78.8 16.7 .2 .1 .3 .3 .7 66.7 .5 E N G IN E E R S ___ 0.2 In 1948 Serv Other ice indus Unem indus try ployed tries fields OUTLOOK FOR 4.0 64.4 i Less than 0.Q5 percent. Iron, steel, Other Trans Com Util Trans manu and porta muni ities Ma porta factur non- chin tion cation tion ing ferrous ery equip metals indus ment tries prod ucts EM PLOYM ENT 0.6 Agriculture, forestry_________ 100.0 Mining......................................................... 100.0 Construction—..................... ....................... 100.0 All reports................................................... Rub ber, stone, clay, and glass prod ucts Industry field in 1948 All reports.................................................... 100.0 Transportation _ . Communication....... ......... ......................... Utilities___ Service industries....................................... Other industry fields.................................... Unemployed................................................. Petro leum and coal prod ucts T a ble D -2 2 .— Percentages o f respondents who shifted or remained in same industry field , 1 9 8 9 , 1 9 4 8 , and 1 9 46 Continued Manufacturing Industry field Agri cul All reports ture, for estry Con Chem Min struc Lum Print ing icals ing ber, tion Total Food, and and tex paper pub allied tiles prod lish prod ucts ing ucts In 19S9 Rub ber, stone, ciay and glass prod ucts Iron, steel, Other Trans Com Util Trans manu and porta muni ities Ma porta factur non- chin tion cation tion ferrous ery equip ing metals indus ment tries prod ucts Serv Other ice indus Unem indus try ployed tries fields Industry field in 1946 100 0 0.7 3.9 18.2 43.9 1.9 Agriculture, forestry.................... Mining................. ....................... Construction................................ 100.0 100.0 100.0 63.7 .1 .3 .8 81.8 .8 13.3 3.6 80.2 13.3 9.2 8.9 2.2 .6 .4 Manufacturing™.......................................... Food, textiles. .......................................... Lumber, paper products........................... Printing and publishing........ ................... Chemicals and allied products................. 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 .2 .6 ________ .2 .6 .4 1.3 2.6 1.8 1.0 4.0 68.8 1.3 2.0 2.2 3.0 .6 76.2 .1 91.4 89.2 92.0 91.8 93.9 Petroleum and coal products.................... Rubber, stone, clay, and glass products... Iron, steel, nonferrous metals products__ Machinery.................................. .............. Transportation equipment....................... Other manufacturing industries............... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 .7 1.6 .9 2.2 .7 1.8 .9 88.7 95.8 91.1 91.4 90.6 91.6 .9 1.9 .6 .6 .3 .9 .3 .6 .6 .3 .5 .2 Transportation............................................. Communication.......................................... Utilities..... ................................................... Service industries.................... ................. Other industry fields................................... Unemployed................................................ 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 4.0 .1 3.9 2.9 5.1 11.3 5.9 4.4 11.0 18.6 12.9 39.4 .4 .3 .1 .2 ..... — .3 .1 .1 .4 .1 .1 . 1 1.4 .1 .6 .4 4.2 .1 5. .4 .6 1.4 1.4 0.3 5.1 .4 .5 .8 .1 .1 2.2 1.4 1.3 .5 1.0 .3 .3 .1 1.4 3.7 7.1 12.6 6.6 3.2 .7 .6 .6 .3 1.5 2.0 1.6 2.2 1.3 1.7 3.7 1.7 1.7 .7 .4 .7 10.5 5.7 4.8 8.2 1.9 1.3 82.6 1.1 4.3 1.0 1.3 2.0 .4 14.9 1.9 1.8 6.1 2.2 26.3 3.5 1.3 4.1 2.6 13.3 2.9 1.8 14.3 .4 .3 .1 .1 .1 5.6 2.5 1.6 .6 .4 1.3 76.0 1.6 .4 .3 .4 1.3 1.3 79.8 .7 .3 .5 1.3 .6 2.5 80.3 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.0 2.2 3.7 83.8 4.7 4.5 1.6 1.9 1.5 2.8 80.2 3.8 .2 .2 .7 .3 1.4 1.8 1.5 5.6 .1 .5 .8 1.1 2.8 .4 1 1.5 2.7 2.1 7.1 1.8 2.1 4.0 6.1 3.3 7.1 2.4 .6 l! 2 3.7 3.0 5.6 .4 59.2 .3 __________ 1.4 .5 .6 .7 1.4 3.0 6.0 9.0 9.4 5.4 0.5 .4 1.3 1.5 .3 .4 2.2 !7 2.1 3.0 1.0 3.0 2.2 2.0 2.5 .9 .5 6.4 2.9 1.8 4.1 1.0 .4 .3 1.8 .7 1.0 .6 1.0 .5 2.1 2.2 L3 .6 1.6 2.8 2.5 1.8 8.2 l! 8 1 X. A O •4A .4 2.5 1.6 1.2 2.4 76.3 .3 .3 .4 .3 .5 .2 .3 .3 .4 1.1 1.0 .7 #4 01 9 Vx. o 1.1 1.3 1.4 2.8 1.2 .3 .3 .8 3.2 1.2 3.3 3.3 2.4 2.7 o4* 5 A 2.7 .6 1.7 2.0 3.0 3.2 .9 .3 .3 .2 .4 .2 1.5 1 1 2.6 3.0 73.5 8.4 •Z 1 . 1 85.6 i. l ] j i ! i !s .7 .7 4.2 2.0 .6 5.6 .5 A* O Q O • 77.2 1.1 1.4 1.4 1 A A« 0 3.2 71.2 3.7 14.2 9. Z .3 .4 9 .3 .6 .8 12.7 TABLES 2.0 SUPPLEM ENTARY All reports.................................. . Petro leum and coal prod ucts Or Suggested Reading List American Chemical Society, Vocational Guidance in Chem istry and Chemical E ngineering. 1155 16th St. N W ., Wash ington 6, D . C., 1944. 19 pp. 10 cents. American Institute of Electrical Engineers, The Electrical Engineer— some facts concerning electrical engineering as a career. 33 W est 39th St., New York 18, N. Y . 21 pp. 10 cents. American Society of C ivil Engineers, B rief Bibliography on Engineering as a Career. 33 West 39th St., New York 18, N. Y ., 1947. 3 pp. Mimeographed. Free. American Society for Engineering Education, Journal o f Engineering Education . (Periodical.) Northwestern Uni versity, Evanston, 111. Brown, Esther Lucile, The Professional Engineer. Russell Sage Foundation, New York, N. Y ., 1936. Carlisle, Norman V ., Your Career in Engineering. E. P. Dutton and C o., Inc., New York, N. Y ., 1942. Clyne, R . W ., Engineering Opportunities, Appleton-Century Book Co., New York, N. Y ., 1939. ---------- A Survey o f Teachers’ Salaries in Engineering Schools and a Comparison o f These with Salaries Paid to Engineers in N on-Teaching Em ploym ent and with Teachers1 Salaries in Other P rofessional Schools. American Society for Engineer ing Education, Northwestern University, Evanston, 111., 1949. Engineers Council for Professional Developm ent, Engineering as a Career. 29 W est 39th St., New York 18, N . Y ., 1942. 36 pp. 10 cents. Engineers Council for Professional Developm ent, Annual Reports. 29 W est 39th St., New York 18, N. Y . Engineers Joint Council, The E ngineering P rofession in Transition. 33 W est 39th St., New York 18, N. Y ., 1947. $1. . Engineers Joint Council, General Survey Committee, 1949 Em ploym ent Program s fo r E ngineering Graduates. 33 West 39th St., New York 18, N. Y . Mimeographed. Finch, James K ., Trends in E ngineering Education , Columbia University Press, New York, N . Y ., 1948. H oover, Theodore J., and Fish, John C. L., The Engineering P rofession , Stanford University Press, Palo A lto, Calif., 1941. Inter-Professional Conference on Education, Education fo r P rofessional R esponsibility , Carnegie Press, Pittsburgh, Pa., 1948. M ills, John, The Engineer in Society , D . Van Nostrand Co., In c., New York, N . Y ., 1946. National Society o f Professional Engineers, A m erican Engineer. (Periodical.) 112115th St. N W ., W ashington 5, D . C. Read, Thomas T ., Careers in the M ineral Industries. American Institute of Mining and M etallurgical Engineers, 29 W est 39th St., New York 18, N. Y ., 1941. Stewart, Lowell O., Career in Engineering. Iow a State College Press, Ames, Iowa, 1947. U. S. Department of Labor, W om ens Bureau, The Outlook fo r W om en in A rchitecture and E ngineering. Bulletin No. 223-5. Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D . C., 1948. 88 pp. 25 cents. U. S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Em ploym ent and Earnings in the Engineering P rofession , 1929 to 1984. Bulletin N o. 682. Superintendent o f Documents, Washington 25, D . C., 1941. 235 pp. 25 cents. ---------- Factors A ffecting Earnings in Chemistry and Chemical Engineering. Bulletin N o. 881. Superintendent of Docu ments, W ashington 25, D . C., 1946. 22 pp. 10 cents. ---------- Econom ic Status o f Ceramic Engineers 1989 to 1947., U. S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Washington 25, D . C., 1948. Mimeographed. 26 pp. Free. National Roster of Scientific and Specialized Personnel, Handbook o f D escriptions o f Specialized Fields in Chemistry and Chemical Engineering. Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D . C., 1944. 103 pp. 30 cents. ---------- Handbook o f D escriptions o f Specialized Fields in Civil Engineering. Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D . C., 1946. 22 pp. 10 cents. ---------- Handbook o f D escriptions o f Specialized Fields in Ceramic Technology and Engineering. Superintendent of Docu ments, Washington 25, D . C., 1944. 9 pp. 5 cents. ---------- Handbook o f D escriptions o f Specialized Fields in M ining E ngineering, Petroleum Engineering, and M etallurgy or M etallurgical Engineering. Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D. C., 1946. 17 pp. 10 cents. ---------- Handbook o f D escriptions o f Specialized Fields in Industrial Engineering and Business M anagem ent. Superin tendent of Documents, Washington 25, D . C., 1945. 14 pp. 10 cents. ---------- Engineering Sciences. Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D . C ., 1947. 51 pp. 15 cents. Williams, C. C., B uilding an Engineering Career. M cGraw-Hill Book C o., New York, N. Y ., 1946. 116 Occupational Outlook Publications of the Bureau of Labor Statistics Studies of employment trends and opportunities in the various occupations and professions are made by the Occupational Outlook Service of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Reports are prepared for use in the vocational guidance of veterans, young people in schools, and others considering the choice of an occupation. Schools concerned with vocational training and employers and trade unions interested in on-the-job training have also found the reports helpful in planning programs in line with prospective employment opportunities. Two types of reports are issued, in addition to the Occupational Outlook Handbook: Occupational outlook bulletins describe the long-run outlook for employment in each occupation and give information on earnings, working conditions, and the training required. Special reports are issued from time to time on such subjects as the general employ ment outlook, trends in the various States, and occupational m obility. The reports are issued as bulletins of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and may be purchased from the Superintendent of Documents, Washington 25, D. C. Occupational Outlook Handbook Includes brief reports on each of 288 occupations of interest in vocational guidance, including professions; skilled trades; clerical, sales, and service occupations; and the m ajor types of farming. Each report describes the employment trends and outlook, the training qualifications required, earnings, and working conditions. Introductory sections summarize the major trends in population and employment, and in the broad industrial and occupational groups, as background for an understanding of the indi vidual occupations. The Handbook is designed for use in counseling, in classes or units on occupations, in the training of counselors, and as a general reference. It is illustrated with 79 photo graphs and 47 charts. Occupational Outlook Handbook— Employment Information on Major Occupations for Use in Guidance. Bulletin 940 (1948). Price $1.75. Illus. Occupational Outlook Bulletins Employment Opportunities for Diesel-Engine Mechanics. Bulletin 813 (1945). Price 5 cents. Employment Opportunities in Aviation Occupations, Part I— Postwar Employment Outlook. Bulletin 837-1 (1945). (Edition sold out; copies are on file in many libraries). Employment Opportunities in Aviation Occupations, Part II— Duties, Qualifications, Earnings, and Working Conditions. Bulletin 837-2 (1946). Price 25 cents. Illus. 117 EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS Employment Outlook (or Automobile Mechanics. Bulletin 842 (1945). Price 10 cents. Employment Opportunities (or Welders. Bulletin 844 (1945). Price 10 cents. Postwar Outlook for Physicians. Bulletin 863 (1946). Price 10 cents. Employment Outlook in Foundry Occupations. Bulletin 880 (1946). Price 15 cents. Ulus. Employment Outlook (or Business-Machine Servicemen. Bulletin 892 (1947). Price 15 cents. Ulus. Employment Outlook in Machine-Shop Occupations. Bulletin 895 (1947). Price 20 cents. Ulus. Employment Outlook in Printing Occupations. Bulletin 902 (1947). Price 20 cents. Illus. Employment Outlook in Hotel Occupations. Bulletin 905 (1947). Price 10 cents. Illus. Employment Outlook in the Plastics Products Industry. Bulletin 929 (1948). Price 15 cents. Illus. Employment Outlook in Electric Light and Power Occupations. Bulletin 944 (1949). Price 30 cents. Illus. Employment Outlook in Radio and Television Broadcasting Occupations. Bulletin 958 (1949). Price 30 cents. Illus. Employment Outlook in the Building Trades. Bulletin 967 (1949). Price 50 cents. Ulus. Employment Outlook in Railroad Occupafions. Bulletin 961 (1949). Price 30 cents. Ulus. Employment Outlook for Elementary and Secondary School Teachers. Bulletin 972 (1949). Price 35 cents. Illus. Employment Outlook in Petroleum Production and Refining. In press. 119 OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK PUBLICATIONS Special Reports Occupational Data for Counselors. in Guidance. A Handbook of Census Information Selected for Use Bulletin 817 (1945). 15 cents (prepared jointly with the Occupational Infor mation and Guidance Service, U. S. Office of Education). Factors Affecting Earnings in Chemistry and Chemical Engineering. Bulletin 881 (1946). 10 cents. Economic Status of Ceramic Engineers, 1939 to 1947. Mimeographed. Free; order directly from Bureau of Labor Statistics. Occupational Outlook M ailing List Schools, vocational guidance agencies, and others who wish to receive brief sum maries of each new Occupational Outlook report may be placed on a mailing list kept for this purpose. Bequests should be addressed to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, U. S. Department of Labor, Washington 25, D . C., specifying the Occupational Outlook Mailing List. Please give your postal zone number. O . S . GOVERNMENT PRINTING OPPICE: 1 9 5 0 EFFECT OF DEFENSE PROGRAM O N Employment Outlook in Engineering August 1951 Supplement to Bulletin 968, EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK FOR ENGINEERS UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Maurice J. Tobin - Secretary BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Ewan Clague - Commissioner Letter o f Transmittal United States Department o f Labor, Bureau o f Labor S ta tis t!o s , Washington, D. C ., August 15, 1951 The Secretary o f Labor* I hare the honor t o transmit herewith a report on the e ffe c t o f the defense program on the employment outlook fo r engineers. This i s one o f a series o f reports made available through the Bureau*s Occupational Outlook Servioe fo r use in vocational counseling o f young people in school, veterans, and others in terested in the ohoioe o f an occupation. The report supplements and brings up to date the disoussion o f employment trends and outlook in Bureau o f Labor Sta t i s t i c s B u lletin No. 968, Employment Outlook fo r Engineers, which was w ritten in 1949, The report was prepared by Helen Wood and Bobert W. Cain o f the Branch o f Occupational Studies, D ivision o f Manpower and Employment S t a t is t ic s , The Bureau wishes to acknowledge the generous assistance received from numbers o f the engineering profession , including o f f i c ia ls o f engineering s o cie tie s and engineering c o lle g e s , and engineers in industry and government. Ewan Clague, Commissioner. Hon, Maurice J . Tobin, Secretary o f Labor. Contents Pago Growth o f the Profession 2 F ields o f Employment 2 Estimated Yearly Demand 4 Estimated Supply 8 Charts 1* Growth o f the P rofession; 1890-1980 3 2* Number o f Workers Per Engineer, 1890-1950 7 3. Annual Number o f Engineering Graduates, 1930-1954 9 Tables 1* Percentage D istribution o f Engineers in Selected Fields o f Engineering, by Major Industry, 1946 5 EFFECT OF DEFENSE PROGRAM ON EMPLOYMENT OUTLOOK IN ENGINEERING The tremendous contribution engineers make to the national security and welfare has been underlined by the defense program* In th is m obili zation period, the country r e lie s on i t s engineers to develop the new and improved equipment and produets required fo r the national defense, as w ell as fo r further economic progress* Engineers are counted on also to devise the most e ffic ie n t methods o f manufacturing these produots and to give technical leadership throughout the production process* Further more, large numbers o f persons with engineering training are needed by the Armed Forces to handle the increasing amounts o f highly complex equip ment which are being put in to use* This report discusses the general e ffe o t o f the defense program, as planned in the early summer o f 1951, on the demand fo r engineering person n e l. Another subject considered i s : how many young engineers are lik e ly to complete training in the near future and how w ill the expeoted supply o f new graduates compare with the anticipated demand? In addition, some information is given on past trends and major ch a ra cteristics of this pro fession which are important in interpreting the ourrent and prospective employment situation* The report supplements and brings up to date the chapter on engineers in the Occupational Outlook Handbook, as well as the sections on employment trends and outlook in the Bureau's B ulletin No* 968, "Employment Outlook fo r Engineers"• Highlights o f the ourrent employment situation and outlook in the p rofession are, b r ie fly , as follows* A serious shortage o f engineers has developed since mid-1950, owing prim arily to the increased demand fo r per sonnel generated by the defense program* Opportunities both fo r new graduates and fo r experienced men w ill be excellen t in the near future* Over the long run, the profession w ill probably continue t o expand sub s ta n tia lly , under conditions eith er o f peacetime f u ll employment or o f continuing m obilization* Boys with aptitude and in tere st in engineering should have good em ployment opportunities when they oomplete th eir training* Though there are now extremely few women engineers, opportunities fo r women in the profession are b etter than at any time since World War II and w ill prob ably eontinue to be so fo r a number o f years* ij B ulletin No. 968, which was published in 1949, oontains chapters on engineers* earnings and on occupational m obility in the profession , as well as a much more detailed disoussion o f the d iffe r e n t fie ld s o f engineering and o f employment trends and outlook than could be included in the present, b r ie f supplement* Growth of the Profession Engineering, by fu r tho largos t tech nical p rofession , is ono o f the M otion's fastost-grow ing fie ld s o f work* I t i s estimated that over 400,000 engineers are now employed in the country. There has been a ten fo ld expansion in the profession ewer the la s t h a lf century (see chart 1 ). During the past deoade alone, the number o f engineers employed i s estimated to have increased by about two-thirds (from £46,000 in 1940), Industry* s need fo r technical personnel grew rapidly during World War I I , as a re su lt o f the changeover to war production and the great increase in in du strial a c t iv it y . I t rose also during the postwar period o f recon version and expansion in o itilia n -g o o d s in d u stries. Then, in la te 1949 and early 1950, the dsuand fo r engineers slackened) a survey o f leading employers in January 1950 showed that they expected to h ire fewer engineers that year than in 1949. This slew-up o f the p rofession ' s growth was o f short duration, however. The h irin g o f engineers rose sharply immediately a fte r the Korean c r is is began and a new m obilisation program was announced. The increase in demand was so great that, by the end o f the year, many employers reported a need fo r additional personnel, though the engineering schools* 1950 gradu ating class was the largest in h isto ry . A ll major branches o f engineering have shared in the p ro fe ssio n 's growth but the expansion has been more rapid in some branches than others. Mechanical engineering i s now the largest branch, with nearly 40 percent o f the profession*s members. C iv il engineering, which was the la rg e st branch p rior to World War I I , has dropped to seoond p la ce , with about 26 peroent o f a l l engineers. The proportions employed in the other major branohes o f the p rofession are estimated to be as follow s* e le e t r io a l, 20 peroent) chemical, 10 peroent) and mining and m etallu rgical, about 5 percent. Fields o f Employment Engineers are essen tial to the operation o f a l l o f the Xation*s major in dustries, both defense and nondefense. Large numbers work in the general areas o f design, development, and research. Many use th e ir engineering knowledge in administration and management, p a rticu la rly in industries in which engineering methods are important. A siseable group supervise con struction or the operation o f plants or mines. Some, p a rticu la rly younger engineers, do drafting or analysis and testin g, muoh o f whioh i s routine work. S t i l l others are employed as independent consultants, who advise th eir olien ts on engineering matters and prepare designs or plans. Many companies employ engineers in s e llin g th e ir products, p a rticu la rly when the buyer i s a business firm , and when the salesman must be able to discuss the produot tech n ica lly and advise engineers as to i t s in s ta lla tio n and u se. The teaohing o f engineering in co lle g e s or tech nical schools i s another a e tiv ity in which s ig n ifica n t numbers o f engineers are employed. A ltogether, about three-quarters o f a ll engineers (300,000) are now employed in private industry. Some 90,000 work fo r Government agencies. CHART 1. GROWTH OF ENGINEERING PROFESSION, 1890 -1 9 5 0 THO USANDS OF EN G IN EE R S 1890 1900 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 - 4 - Federal, State, and lo c a l. About 10,000 are in educational in s titu tio n s . The industries in which engineers are concentrated vary from one branch o f the profession t o another. Table 1 shows the industry d is t r i bution of personnel in the four largest branches o f the profession . Estimated Yearly Demand How many new engineers w ill be needed yearly in the near future to meet the needs for personnel in a ll s p e cia ltie s and with a ll types o f employers? Precise answers to th is question are not available, but some information on the subject can be given. Part of the demand fo r engineers arises from the need to replace those dying or r e tir in g . I t is estimated that approximately 7,500 young engineers w ill be required yearly in the near future to f i l l vacancies arising from deaths and retirements. Toward the end o f the decade, these losses are lik e ly to r is e to about 9,000 annually. 2 / A number o f men w ill also be required to replace those leaving the profession for other fie ld s o f work. A certain amount of occupational s h ift ing always takes p la ce. Even at times when industry* s demand for engineers is intense, some men choose to leave the p rofession . A survey o f the em ployment status o f 1950 engineering graduates made in the spring of 1951 showed that about 10 percent o f those with c iv ilia n jobs were employed in nonengineering work. 3 / Some experienced members o f the profession also leave for other lines~of work each year. On the other hand, a good many men, including some with backgrounds in other s c ie n t ific fie ld s such as chemistry or physics, obtain engineering jobs without having completed fo r mal engineering school education. Not enough information on occupational sh iftin g i s available to make i t possible to estimate the net annual gain or loss to the profession from th is source. Besides the engineers required as replacements, large numbers w ill be needed for growth o f the profession . Continued expansion is lik e ly in the types o f in du strial a c t iv it y which make the most use o f engineers* services manufacturing, mining, construction, transportation and public u t i l i t i e s . The increasing u tiliz a t io n o f engineers fo r many d iffe re n t functions in in dustry w ill also be an important fa ctor in the expansion o f the p rofession . Engineers w ill be needed not only to s t a ff newly created p osition s but to f i l l jobs previously held by men with other backgrounds, where profession al engineering s k ill has come to be required. During the past half century, employment of engineers has grown much more rapidly than tota l employment in the basic commodity-producing and 2/ ” 3/ “* These estimates are derived from data on the age d istrib u tion of members o f the p rofession , by the use o f death and retirement rates fo r d iffe r e n t age groups. See *3. S. Department o f Labor, Bureau o f Labor S ta tis t ic s , B ulletin No. 1001, Tables o f Working L ife , table 15, p. 48. American S ociety for Engineering Education and Engineers Joint Council, "Employment Status o f 1950 Engineering Graduates." (Report presented at 59th Annual Meeting o f American Society for Engineering Education, East Lansing, Michigan, June 28, 1951). Table 1 .— Percentage D istribution o f Engineers in Seleoted Field.* o f Engineering, by Major Industry, 1946 t t Industry j Chemical engineers t t t t C iv il engineers Mining .......................... t | 1 .4 j y Construction ............ . * 2.0 | 26.6 M anufacturing............ ‘ 82.6 J Transportation .......... * y y Conmunication ............ u tilitie s .................... E le c tr ic a l t Mechanical engineers t engineers y 2 .5 ! j 2.6 8.1 36.7 | 67.6 : 6.8 1.6 ; 1.7 y 19.7 ‘ 1.5 1.0 : j 4.1 16,7 J 3 .5 | 10.6 \ 12.7 Government.................... * 5.7 j 50.8 14.3 Other in d u s tr ie s ........ * 7.3 | 4.6 8.6 T otal. . . . . . . . . . . * 100.6 | 166.6 lb o .d t y 100.0 a^/ Included e ith “ Other in d u strie s." Sourest U. 3 . Department o f Labor, Bureau o f Labor S t a t is t ic s , B ulletin No* 968, pp. 13, 17, 23, and 28. - 6 - transporting industries ju st mentioned. In 1900. there were 393 engineers in the United States for every 100.000 workers in these in du stries; by 1950. the number had increased fo u rfo ld . Looking at the figu res in another way, the r a tio between the to ta l number o f workers and the number of engineers has, o f oourse, dropped sharply — from about 255 workers per engineer in 1900 to about a fourth as many in 1950 (see chart 2 ). This r a t io has decreased more slowly in reoent years than e a r lie r in the century. Nevertheless, the trend toward greater u t iliz a t io n o f engineers is expected to continue fo r some time. A study of past trends and prospective in dustrial developments suggested that, under s t r ic t ly peacetime conditions, the to ta l annual demand fo r engineering graduates would probably have averaged around 20,000 during th is decade. 4 / This demand figure allowed fo r a growth o f about 100,000 in the profession over a 12-year period, as well as fo r estimated replacement needs. Under present m obilization conditions, the number o f new engineers needed w ill undoubtedly be much higher. The m obilization program has created a great, added need fo r engineering personnel in defense indus tr ie s and those converting to defense production and in the development o f new defense-related products. Though an exact estimate o f the number o f new graduates required to meet both defense and c iv ilia n needs cannot be made on the basis o f the available information, the average annual demand during a prolonged p a rtia l m obilization would probably be at lea st 30,000. In addition to replacing men who die or r e tir e , th is number o f graduates would provide 21,000 to 22,000 engineers annually to f i l l new jobs and make up fo r any transfers out of engineering not o ffs e t by trans fe rs in to i t from other f i e ld s . I t would make p ossib le a f a ir ly rapid growth in the p rofession , both in absolute numbers and r ela tiv e to the to ta l number o f engineers now employed in the oountry (estimated at over 400,000). Although 30,000 new engineers per year might be enough to meet the demand over a long period o f p a rtia l m obilization, the number o f new graduates needed is expeoted to be much greater s t i l l in the immediate future, while defense production and development work are s t i l l in the i n i t i a l build-up stage. In June 1951, the Engineering Manpower Commission o f the Engineers Joint Council made a survey to find out how many new graduates employers needed. Replies were reoeived from companies and government agencies employing a to ta l o f 128,000 graduate engineers, or nearly a third o f the engineers in the country. These employers alone reported a need fo r 22,000 new engineering graduates. This fa c t suggests a to ta l Nation-wide need fo r many more than 30,000 graduates immediately, in the tooling-up and development stage o f the defense program. The em ployers in the survey had obtained acceptances o f job o ffe rs from only about 10,000 members o f the 1951 graduating cla ss. 4/ *" U. S. Department o f Labor, Bureau o f Labor S t a t is t ic s , B ulletin No. 968, p. 3. CHART 2. NUMBER OF WORKERS PER ENGINEER, 1 8 9 0 -1 9 5 0 Gainful workers in manufacturing, mining, construction, transportation,and public utilities compared to number of engineers W O R K E R S P E R E N G IN E E R 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1890 1900 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 •8. These estimates a l l assume that the eountry w ill have only p a rtia l m obilisation, at about the le v e l planned in mid-1951. I f the in ter national situ ation should at any time make i t necessary to have f u l l m obilisation, the demand fo r engineers would be greatly increased* Estimated Supply Airing the next few years the supply o f new engineers is lik e ly to be fa r le s s than the demand* Engineering graduations w ill decline sharply from the peak figu re o f 52,000 reaohed in 1950, when the greatest number o f veterans completed th e ir training (see chart 3)* Previous reoord olasses o f 21,000, 32,000 and 45,000 were graduated in 1947, 1948, and 1949, resp ectively— also r e fle c tin g the postwar in flu x o f veterans in to the o o lle g e s. Freshman enrollments have dropped sharply since 1946 in engineering and other s p e c ia ltie s which are predominantly men's fie ld s , as the number o f vet erans entering c o lle g e has declined* In the f a l l o f 1950, the fir s t-y e a r engineering cla ss was once more made up almost exclu sively o f non-veterans, and the engineering sohools got about th e ir prewar proportion o f high school graduates* On the basis o f 1950 enrollments and assuming prewar drop-out rates (fo r example, 50 percent between entranee and graduation), the numbers o f engineering graduates in 1951 and the follow in g three years may be estimated as follow s* 1951, 38,000) 1952, 26,000) 1953, 20,000) and 1954, 17,000* The figu re o f 17,000 graduates fo r 1954 is below even the average peacetime demand and is fa r below the number needed under m obilisation conditions. These estimates o f graduations make no s p e c ifio allowance fo r with drawals o f students for m ilitary servioe* However, in view o f the re cently announced p olioy with respect to college-student deferments, the proportion o f present students leaving fo r a l l reasons may not greatly exoeed the drop-out rate o f previous years (which includes those leaving beoause o f fin a n cia l d i f f i c u l t i e s , i l l health and the lik e , as w ell as poor scholarship)* Hot a ll o f the students graduating from engineering sohools in the next few years w ill be available fo r c iv ilia n employment inaediately* A number o f them w ill be d e fin ite ly ooonitted t o m ilita ry servioe upon graduation) included are those in ROTC and sim ilar programs who are ca lle d to duty, those in reserve status oalled to aotive duty, and those who volu ntarily enter the Armed Foroes* For some other students, l i a b i l i t y fo r m ilitary servioe may not have been determined by the time o f graduation) among the men in th is situation are those in the d r a ft -e lig ib le age groups who have not been c la s s ifie d by th e ir S elective Servioe Board, and those in the reserve who have not yet been o a lle d to aotive duty* However, a third group o f students w ill be s p e c ific a lly exempted or deferred from CHART 3. ANNUAL NUMBER OF ENGINEERING GRADUATES, 1 9 3 0 -1 9 5 4 THOUSANDS OF GRADUATES 5 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1930 1935 UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR BUREAU OF LABOR STAT ISTIC S 1940 1945 1950 1955 * Estimates moke no allowances for withdrawals for military service 10 m ilita ry service at time o f graduation) included in th is group are veterans with no reserve status, those c la s s ifie d as 4-F*s, and several other s p e c ific a lly deferred classes* This la st group i s the only one which employers can r e ly on as being d e fin ite ly available fo r employ ment upon graduation from engineering sohool* In view o f the large numbers o f veterans in the 1951 graduating c la s s , employers were probably able to obtain the services o f at le a st h a lf o f th is olass* In 1952 and subsequent years, most graduates w ill be lia b le fo r m ilita ry serviee. I t i s p ossib le that the number o f new graduates available fo r c iv ilia n employment w ill reach a postwar low in 1952* Thereafter, men returning a fte r completion o f a period o f m ilitary service w ill probably augment the flo w o f new entrants in to the profession* The number o f young men graduating from high school and p oten tia lly available fo r co lle g e entrance each year w ill soon begin to rise* A fter the middle o f the decade, the increase in high sohool graduations is expected t o be sharp. But during the next few years, the gain w ill be very s lig h t and any e ff e c t i t might have on oollege enrollments w ill, in a ll p rob a b ility , be more than o ffs e t ty the increasing proportions o f oollege-age youth serving in the Armed Forces* Obviously, there w ill not be enough engineering graduates to meet expected defense and c iv ilia n needs, at le a st un til the mid-1950's and probably fo r some time th ereafter. Both the m obilization program and the long-term growth o f the profession point to a continuing high demand fo r engineers. This oan be met only i f the proportion o f high school graduates who decide to prepare fo r the profession is much larger in the next few years than in 1950 and than before the war* Boys in terested in engineering, who have the aptitudes necessary for suocess in the f i e l d , should have favorable employment prospects when they graduate from engineering school* The number o f women engineers i s s t i l l very small in a ll branches o f the profession , but the opportunities fo r g ir ls to obtain oollege training in engineering are much better than during the la te 1940*s, when the colleges were crowded with veterans* Opportunities fo r th eir employment in the profession are also better than at any time since World War II and are expected to remain r e la tiv e ly favorable fo r a number o f years* OCCUPATIONAL OUTLOOK PUBLICATIONS OF THE BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS Studies o f employment treads and opportunities in the various occu pations and professions are made available by the Occupational Outlook Service o f the Bureau o f Labor S t a t is t ic s . These reports are fo r use in the vocational guidance o f veterans* in assistin g defense planners, in counseling young people in schools* and in guiding ethers considering the ohoiee o f an occupation* Schools concerned with vocational training and employers and trade-unions in ter ested in on -th e-job training have also found the reports helpful in planning programs in lin e with prospective employment opportunities* Two types o f reports are issued* in addition to the Occupational Outlook Handbook* Occupational outlook b u lletin s describe the long-run outlook fo r employment in each occupation and give information on earnings* working conditions* and the training required. Special reports are issued from time to time on such subjects as the general employment outlook* trends in the various States* and occupa tion a l m ob ility . The reports are issued as b u lletin s o f the Bureau of Labor S ta tis tic s * and may be purchased from the Superintendent o f Documents* Washington 25* D. C. Occupational Outlook Handbook Baployment Information on Major Occupations fo r use in Guidanoe B ulletin 998 (1951 Revised e d itio n ). |3.00. I llu s . Includes b r ie f reports on more than 400 occupations o f in te re st in vocational guidanoe* including profession s) s k ille d trades) c le r ic a l* sales* and serv ice occupations) and the major types o f farming. Each report describes the employment trends and outlook* the training q u a lifi cations required* earnings* and working conditions. Introductory sections summarise the major trends in population and employment* and in the broad in dustrial and occupational groups* as background f o r an understanding o f Idle individual occupations* The Handbook is designed f o r use in counseling* in olasses or units on occupations* in the training o f counselors* and as a general reference. I t s 600 pages are illu s tra te d with 103 photographs and 85 oharts. Occupational Outlook Bulletins Employment Opportunities in Aviation Occupations, Part II -*• Duties, Q u alification s, Earnings, and Working Conditions B ulletin 837*2 (1946), 25 cents*• U lus* Employment Outlook in Foundry Oooupations B ulletin 880 (1946), 15 cents* Illu s* Employment Outlook fo r Business Maohine Servicemen B ulletin 892 (1947), 15 cents* Illu s* Employment Outlook in Machine Shop Oooupations B ulletin 895 (1947)* 20 cents. Illu s* Employment Outlook in Printing Oooupations B ulletin 902 (1947). 20 cents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in the P lasties Products Industry B ulletin 929 (1948). 20 oents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in E le ctric Light and Power Oooupations B ulletin 944 (1948). 30 cents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in Radio and Television Broadcasting Occupations B ulletin 958 (1949). 30 oents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in Railroad Occupations B ulletin 961 (1949). 30 cents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in the Building Trades B ulletin 967 (1949). 50 oents. I llu s . Employment Outlook fo r Engineers B ulletin 968 (1949). 50 cents. I llu s . Employment Outlook fo r Elementary and Secondary School Teachers B ulletin 972 (1949). 35 oents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in Petroleum Production and Refining B ulletin 994 (1950). 30 cents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in Men's Tailored Clothing Industry B ulletin 1010 (1951). 25 oents. I llu s . Employment Outlook in Department Stores B ulletin 1020 (1951). 20 cents. I llu s . Occupational Outlook Supplements E ffect o f Defense Program on E m p lo y m e n t situ a tion in Elementary and Secondary Sohool Teaching (Supplement t o B ulletin 972, Employment Outlook fo r Elementary and Secondary Sohool Teaching) (1951). (In press)* Special Beports Occupational Data fo r Counselors* A Handbook o f Census Information Selected fo r Use in Guidanoe B ulletin 817 (1945)* 15 cents (prepared jo in t ly with the Occupational Information and Guidanoe Service, U* S. O ffic e o f Education)* Factors A ffectin g Earnings in Chemistry and Cheadoal Engineering B ulletin 881 (1946)* 10 cents* Occupational Outlook Information Series (By States) VA Pamphlet 7-2 (1947)* 10 cents each* (When ordering, sp ecify State er States desired)* E m p lo y m e n t , Education, and Earnings o f American Men o f Science (1961)* (In press)* Occupational Outlook Mailing L ist Sohools, vocational guidanoe agencies, and others mho wish to receive b r ie f summaries o f each new Oooupational Outlook report, usually accompanied by a wall chart, may be placed on a m ailing l i s t kept fo r th is purpose* Requests should be addressed to the Bureau o f Labor S ta tis t ic s , U* S* Department o f Labor, Washington 25, D* C ., specifying the Occupational Outlook Mailing List* Please give your postal zone number* U. S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1951 O - 964962