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ECONOMIC UPDATE: EL PASO
El Paso non-farm employment
increased in December at a 3.2
percent annualized rate. El Paso’s
labor market rose by 2,800 jobs in
2006, representing a 1.1 percent
increase. During December,
employment gains took place in the
service providing sectors, namely,

professional and business services,
government, leisure and hospitality
and trade, transportation and utilities.
Manufacturing was the only sector
that posted job losses, while the rest
of the sectors remained unchanged.
As a result of the recent job gains, the
unemployment rate decreased in

December to 6.4 from 6.9 percent in
November. In December, retail sales
tax rebates decreased by 2.3 percent.
Furthermore, the El Paso Businesscycle Index increased at a 4.9 percent
annualized rate in December,
suggesting that the El Paso economy
is expanding.

El Paso Employment Growth
Month-over-Month Annualized Growth Rates
Nonfarm Employment
Goods Producing
Construction, Mining & Natural Resources
Manufacturing
Services Providing
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business Services
Educational & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government

Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06
-8.6
5.1
2.3
9.9
-0.9
3.2
3.4
-9.5
-18.3
7.0
0.0
0.0
9.2
9.1
-8.4
19.0
0.0
9.0
0.0
-19.3
-23.9
0.0
0.0
-5.4
-10.4
7.6
5.9
10.3
-1.0
3.7
-4.1
4.2
6.4
6.4
-2.0
2.1
-40.7
-23.6
31.0
-23.6
31.0
0.0
-10.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
11.7
0.0
0.0
27.5
4.1
-24.7
-4.0
8.5
-13.7
7.6
-16.9
11.8
0.0
0.0
-4.5
-4.6
9.7
4.7
0.0
4.7
0.0
-27.7
17.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
-19.6
17.2
17.0
46.7
-3.7
5.8
7.2
7.0
6.9
7.1
6.9
6.4

Unemployment Rate
Notes: Seasonally adjusted data
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas with data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

El Paso Sales Tax Rebates
Month-overMonth Percent
Index
Change
(1994=100)
-2.3
117.9
Dec-06
-0.4
120.7
Nov-06
3.5
121.2
Oct-06
2.5
117.1
Sep-06
-2.1
114.3
Aug-06
9.4
116.8
Jul-06
-8.9
106.8
Jun-06
-3.8
117.2
May-06
8.8
121.8
Apr-06
-3.5
111.9
Mar-06
2.5
116.0
Feb-06
-0.5
113.2
Jan-06
0.6
113.7
Dec-05
Notes: Seasonally and inflation adjusted data
Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

El Paso Business-cycle Index
Index Jan-95=100
124
120
116
112
108
104
100
96
1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, El Paso Branch

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Research Department
El Paso Branch
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
February 27, 2007

ECONOMIC UPDATE: CD. JUAREZ
Juarez employment increased in
December at a 2.6 percent annualized
rate. In 2006, total payroll rose by
almost 18,600 jobs, a 5.1 percent
growth rate. The job gains in
December were widespread among
sectors with the only exception being
construction, which registered a 12.5
percent decline. In December, retail
sales slightly decreased by 0.2

percent as compared to the previous
month. Maquiladora employment in
Juarez decreased in November at an
8.2 percent annualized rate. Through
November in 2006, the maquiladora
industry in Juarez generated almost
11,000 jobs, comprising 43 percent of
the new jobs nationwide. The pause
in the expansion of the maquiladora
industry is related to the recent

weakness in U.S. industrial
production. The latest data show that
the industrial production index
declined in January at a 5.7 percent
annualized rate after demonstrating
growth in December of last year.
Such a decline should carry over into
the maquiladora industry in the next
couple of months.

Cd. Juarez Employment Growth

Cd. Juarez Retail Sales

Month-over-Month Annualized Rates
Jul-06

Aug-06

Sep-06

Oct-06

Nov-06

Dec-06

Total

18.0

0.3

-0.3

-3.2

1.4

2.6

Goods Producing

20.2

-4.5

-1.8

-11.2

-1.0

3.0

Agriculture & Mining

-13.2

-4.4

3.1

8.1

17.3

17.4

Manufacturing

19.5

-6.6

-3.8

-11.0

-2.3

4.2

Construction

32.9

29.1

29.5

-14.9

17.3

-12.5

10.9

7.1

8.5

15.8

6.0

7.4

Transportation and Public Utilities

23.7

4.6

1.4

35.4

51.8

23.5

Trade

15.7

4.6

0.8

6.6

2.9

2.1

5.6

9.2

15.3

18.7

1.0

8.0

Service Providing

Services

Note: Seasonally adjusted data
Source: Banco de Mexico, Sucursal Ciudad Juarez with data from Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social

Dec-06
Nov-06
Oct-06
Sep-06
Aug-06
Jul-06
Jun-06
May-06
Apr-06
Mar-06
Feb-06
Jan-06
Dec-05

Month-overMonth Percent
Change
-0.2
-3.1
0.7
3.0
-0.5
1.5
2.2
-2.1
3.4
-5.1
6.4
-1.5
0.9

Index
(2003=100)
120.3
120.5
124.3
123.5
119.9
120.5
118.7
116.2
118.7
114.8
121.0
113.7
115.4

Notes: Seasonally and inflation adjusted data
Source: INEGI

Cd. Juarez Maquiladora Employment Growth
Year-over-Year
Percent

20
15

Maquiladora Employment

U.S. Industrial Production Index

10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20

2000

2001

2002

Notes: Seasonally adjusted data
Source: INEGI & Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

2003

2004

2005

2006

Research Department
El Paso Branch
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
February 27, 2007