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MONTHLY REVIEW OF B U S IN E S S C O N D IT IO N S ISAAC B. NEWTON, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Vol. X San Francisco, California, September 20,1926 No. 9 S U M M A R Y O F N A T IO N A L C O N D IT IO N S Industrial activity and distribution of com modities were in large volume in August and were at higher levels than a year ago. The gen eral level of wholesale prices receded further in August, reflecting price declines for agricul tural commodities. Production. The index of production in basic industries, which is adjusted for the usual sea sonal variation, declined slightly in August, but this decline was accounted for by the fact that there were five Sundays in that month as against four in July. Textile mill activity and production of steel ingots, zinc and petroleum increased, while the output of pig iron, lumber, coal, copper, cement and sugar was smaller than during the previous month. Autom obile pro duction increased considerably in August and was larger than in any month since April. Fac tory employment and payrolls, after declining in July, increased in August, as is usual at this season of the year. Building activity, as meas ured by contract awards in thirty-seven states east of the R ocky Mountains, was in larger volume in August than in July or in any other previous month, with the exception of August, 1925. In Eastern and Southeastern States the volume of building was smaller in August than a year ago, while in the Middle W est contracts awarded were larger. Contracts for residential structures were smaller than last year, while those for industrial buildings, public works and public utilities were substantially larger. Crop conditions improved in August, accord ing to a statement by the Department of A gri culture. September forecasts of yields of corn, barley, hay, tobacco, and most fruit and vege table crops were above those made in August, while expected yields of oats and spring wheat were slightly less. A cotton crop of 15,810,000 bales was indicated on the basis of the condi tion of the crop at the middle of September. The crop, however, is later than last year and ginnings up to September 16th amounted to only 2,511,000 bales compared with 4,282,000 bales prior to September 16, 1925. Trade. Volum e of wholesale trade and of sales at department stores increased in August, and retail sales were larger than a year ago. Stocks of dry goods and shoes carried by whole sale firms were smaller at the end of August than one year ago, while those of groceries and hardware were larger. Inventories of depart ment stores increased in preparation for volume trade, but this increase was less than is usual at this season, and at the end of the month stocks were smaller than a year ago. Freight PER CENT 19 22 1923 1924 1925 19 26 P R O D U C T IO N IN B A S IC IN D U S T R IE S W H O L E S A L E PR ICE S Index of 22 basic commodities corrected for seasonal variation (1919=100). Latest figure, August, 116. Index of U . S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (1913 = 100, base adopted by Bureau). Latest figure, August, 149.2. 66 Septem ber, 1926 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS car loadings in August continued higher than in the corresponding months of previous years, and for the weeks of August 28th and Septem ber 4th exceeded all previous weekly records. Loadings of grain continued large, and ship ments of merchandise in less than car load lots, miscellaneous commodities, ore and coke were considerably larger than in the corresponding period of previous years. PER CENT BILLIONS OF DOLLARS « cy ROLILS / \ A "V i ^ ~ r S 1922 marketing of crops and Autumn trade, together with an increase in loans on securities, was re flected in a considerable growth, between the middle of August and the middle of September, in loans of member banks in leading cities. The banks' holdings of investments also increased, though there was a decrease in investments at banks in New York City, and total loans and investments on September 15th were larger E: m plo ym en 'T 1923 1924 1925 1926 F A C T O R Y EM P LO YM E N T A N D PAYROLLS Federal Reserve Board’ s indexes of factory employment and payrolls (1919 = 100). Latest figures, August, employment, 94.4; payrolls, 107.7. Prices. W holesale com m odity prices, accord ing to the index of the Bureau of Labor Statis tics, declined by over one per cent in August, reflecting largely price decreases for grains, live stock and meat products. Prices of clothing materials, fuel and metals increased during August, while prices of cotton, wool, sugar, building materials and rubber showed little change. In the first half of September, prices of grains, cattle, sugar, bituminous coal and coke advanced, while prices of raw cotton, silver and bricks declined. Bank Credit. Increased demand for bank credit in connection with the harvesting and R ESE R VE B A N K C R E D IT Monthly averages of daily figures for 12 Federal Reserve Banks. Latest figures are averages of first 23 days in September. than at any previous time. The volume of re serve bank credit increased by about $90,000,000 between August 18th and September 22nd, partly in response to seasonal demands for currency. Discounts for member banks rose in September to the highest figure for the year and acceptance holdings also increased, while holdings of United States securities declined by about $55,000,000. M oney rates continued to rise during the first three weeks of September. Rates on commercial paper advanced by onefourth of one per cent to 4 ^ -4 % per cent. Rates on security loans also averaged higher than in August. T W E L F T H F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D IS T R IC T C O N D IT IO N S Statistical Sum m ary — A i 926St* 1926* A i 925St' 1925* August, 192611 compared with A u g., July. 1925 1926 Bank Debits— 21 cities*............................ $2,865,710 $3,147,750 $2,693,729 $2,766,952 6.4 — 9.0 Bank Debits— Index Numbersf— 20 cities....... 166 1680 1500 147 10.7 — 1.2 Building Permits— 20 cities ....................... $29,025,541 $31,671,181 $35,482,926 $33,155,732 — 18.2 — 8.4 Retail Sales— 32 stores— Index Numbersf..... 158 157 148 150 6.8 0.6 7.2 — 0.1 Savings Deposits— 69 banks*§ ................... $1,203,457 $1,204,508 $1,122,5070 $1,118,5490 15.2 9.2 Lumber Production— 4 associations— board feet* 826,845 756,966 717,588 681,238 Petroleum Production^— California— barrels .. . 605,325 604,619 677,599 658,421 — 10.7 0.1 13.1 — 7.4 Flour Production— 16 companies— barrels..... 420,516 454,175 371,882 275,634 Reporting Member Bank Loans and Discounts*|| $1,218,658 $1,200,933 $1,137,922 $1,112,409 7.1 1.5 Reporting Member Bank Deposits*!!............ $1,654,922 $1,630,982 $1,580,341 $1,554,544 4.7 1.5 5.6 14.8 Federal Reserve Bank Discounts*!!............... $50,848 $44,292 $48,172 $41,802 Federal Reserve Bank Reserve Ratio||........... 70.2 71.8 72.3 74.7 — 2.9 — 2.2 *In thousands. fAdjusted for seasonal variations— 1919 monthly average=100. JDaily average production. §Not comparable with figures published in previous Reviews. ||September 15 and August 11, 1926, and September 16 and August 12, 1925. flPercentage increase or decrease (— ). QRevised. Septem ber, 1926 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO Agricultural Activities W eather conditions generally have been fa vorable during the present crop m oving season. The peak of grain and early deciduous fruit harvesting has now been passed and harvesting of field crops and grapes, which, particularly in California, have ripened earlier than usual, is progressing rapidly. Current harvesting returns indicate crop yields generally in excess of those anticipated earlier in the grow ing season, an important exception being grapes in California, which are reported to be returning slightly smaller yields than were forecasted in pre harvest estimates. P R O D U C T IO N O F C A L I F O R N I A H O R T I C U L T U R A L C R O P S (Except Apples) Five-Year Forecast Actual Average Sept. 1,1926 1925 (1919-1923) (tons) (tons) (tons) 14,000 7,500 7,650 Alm onds ............................... 160,000§ 150,000 148,000 Apricots ............................... Cherries ............................... 17,000§ 11,000 14,800 Figs ........................................ 9,120 9,500 10,880 Grapes ................................... 2,108,000 1,955,000 ... ■ W ine .................................. 408,000 395,000 392,600 Table .......................... 414,000 424,000* 270,000 Raisin ............................... 1,286,000 1,136,000* Olives ..................................... 11,200 14,000 10,400 Peaches.................................... 473,000 390,000 378,000 Pears ....................................... 219,500 181,000 117,200 Plums .................................... 72,000 51,000 47,200 Prunes ................................... 145,000 145,000 114,500 W alnu ts ................................ 20,000 30,500 24,120 Oranges ................................ 2 2,100,000f 2 0,800,000f 19,025,0001 5 ,800,000t 6,000,000t 4,527,0001Lem ons .................................. Apples— Commercial Crop Twelfth D istrict?.......... 45,447,000t 37,989,0 00f 34,435,000+ United States ...............126,153,000f 95,727,000t 88,721,OOOt 67 district yield of sugar beets, however, indicate that the 1926 output will be less than half that of 1925. Picking of cotton has commenced in Arizona and California, and yields generally indicate a crop slightly smaller than was har vested in 1925 (229,000 bales). In California, rice fields are being drained and harvesting of rice has commenced. The acreage to be harvested this year (150,000 acres) is 31.3 per cent larger than was harvested in 1925, and estimated pro duction (8,118,000 bushels, or 3,653,100 bags of 100 pounds each) is nearly double that of last year. Storage holdings of 1925 crop rice are reported to be small in amount. P R O D U C T IO N — P R I N C I P A L G R A I N A N D F I E L D C R O PS* Twelfth Federal Reserve District and United States Preliminary Estimate Forecast Five-Year September 1, August 1, Actual Average 1926 1926 1925 (1919-1923) W h ea t (bushels) Twelfth D istrict. . . 100,843 103,062 100,227 115,641 United States. . . . . 838,591 839,201 666,437 852,176 Barley (bushels) iT w elfth D istrict. . . 39,492 39,433 44,364 39,395 U nited States. . . . . 195,204 191,088 217,497 173,576 Rice (b u s h e ls )# §Tw elfth D istrict. 8,118 8,370 4,738 7,363 United S t a t e s ...,. . 39,267 40,500 34,300 40,856 Beans (bushels) ||Twelfth D istrict. 5,829 6,219 6,154 5,147 United States. , . . . 17,253 19,100 19,500 12,068 Cotton (bales) Tw elfth District. 216 229 123 United States. . . . . 15,166 15,62 i 16,104 10,543 Potatoes (bushels) Tw elfth D istrict. ,. . 39,718 39,530 35,760 37,0820 United States. . . , 351,557 345,569 325,902 388,497 Sugar Beets (tons) HTwelfth D istrict. 826 945 2,010 2,144 United States. . . 6,525 6,654 6,652 7,423 H ops (pounds) Tw elfth D istrict. . . 26,984 25,631 28,500 26,733 * I t is estimated that about 100,000 tons of table and 38,000 tons of raisin grapes, not harvested, are included in the above estimates. fB o x es. {California, Idaho, Oregon, and W a s h ington. §A s of A u gust 1, 1926. *000 Enforcement of spray residue regulations of the United States Department of Agriculture, Bureau of Chemistry, affecting all fruits enter ing into interstate commerce, has this season presented new problems to growers and ship pers of fruits, particularly pears and apples. These regulations have necessitated special wiping of the fruit, thereby adding to costs of production, but the situation is now being met satisfactorily, with due regard for the public health interests involved. Satisfactory yields of most field crops have been obtained this year and prices generally have been well maintained. Estimates of the W ith the completion of the harvest, wheat and other grain crops have been m oving to market more rapidly than was the case last year. Export shipments of wheat from the Pa cific Northwest have been large in volume, and domestic demand has been active. The 1926 barley crop in California was slightly smaller in volume than the 1925 barley crop in that state. Both domestic and foreign markets for barley have continued sluggish during the past month. Agricultural marketing data are pre sented in Table “ A .” Seasonal rainfall during the first weeks of September improved the condition of ranges in omitted. fD o e s not include Arizona. ÎD o es :not include Arizona and W ashington. §California. |jCalifornia and Idaho. tICalifornia, Idaho, and Utah. # O n e bushel of paddy rice weighs 45 pounds. ORevised. (A ) A gricultural M arketing A ctivity ~~ t--------- E x p orts------------- ----------------Car Jot Shipments-------------- Livestock Receipts Cdd Storage Holdings! Wheat* Barley* Apples* Deciat Eight Markets in 12th District 12th District Portland and San 12th duous Orangest Lemonsf Cattle Buiter Eggs Puget Sound Francisco Dist. Fruits ! Calif. Calif. and (1000 (lOoO Monthly (in n n b u .) O o o o h u .) fe a rs) fea rs) (c a rs) (c a rs) Calves Hogs Sheep lb s . ) August, 1926.................................... 3,618 1,575 1,262 10,685 3,313 1,367 112,795 144,884 393,498 7,438 516 July, 1926.................................... 1,675 1,3150 1,650 9,151 4,627 1,914 89,486 139,858 310,820 7,754 A ugust, 5-year a v e r a g e ............ 2,461 2,187 926 7,578 2,501 826 90,713§ 129,225§ 275,136§ 6,271fî 542ÏÏ (1919-1923) Cumulative r---------------------------------Crop Y e a r ----------------------------------- > /------------- Calendar Year --------------- ^ T o Au gust 31, 1 926................... 5,293 2,890 2,912 25,029 43,930 12,216 806,387 1,321,564 2,193,404 (5 .3 ) (7 .3 ) (3 .4 ) (86.1) (81.4) T o Au gust 31, 1925.................... 4910 4,5410 1,084 19,814 34,938 10,333 807,617 1,545,073 2,070,209 (0 .7 ) (1 9 .9 ) (2 .5 ) (7 2 .8 ) (89.9) 5-year average to Au gust 31st. 4,027 3,458 1,586 15,240 38,323 9,344 701,689§ 1,319,405§ 1,940,746§ (1 9 19-1923) (3 .5 ) (8 .6 ) (3 .1 ) (8 0 .9 ) (82.6) Figures in parentheses indicate percentage of new crop only. *Season begins July 1st. fSeason begins November 1st. $At end of month. §1921-1925. ||California, excluding apples. Season begins April 1st. 111922-1926. ORevised. c a se s ) 542 68 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS most sections of the district, and livestock gen erally are in satisfactory condition. A ccording to the United States Department of A gricul ture, the number of range cattle available for marketing in the United States continues to decline, reflecting the heavy sales during 1925 and 1926 to date. Industrial Activity Productive activity in the district as a whole increased seasonally during August and in most industries was above the level of a year ago. Available evidence, both non-statistical and statistical, indicates that total volume of employment was seasonally greater during A u gust, 1926, than during July, 1926, and was slightly greater during the later month than in August, 1925. Detailed employment data of reporting industrial plants in California and O regon are shown in Table “ C.” Building continued active at high levels dur ing August. Value of building permits issued in 20 principal cities of the district again de clined, however, both as compared with the previous month and with the same month a year ago. A decrease of 8.4 per cent in the value of permits issued during August as com pared with July, 1926, compares with an aver age increase of 14.4 per cent from July to A u gust during the past seven years, 1919-1925, inclusive. In comparison with August, 1925, there was a decrease of 12.3 per cent in the number of permits and 18.2 per cent in the esti mated cost of construction involved. The cu mulative figures of permits issued during the year-to-date show a decline of 12.1 per cent in number and 13.5 per cent in value for 1926 as compared with 1925. Detailed figures by cities are shown in Table “ B.” The United States Bureau of Labor Statis tics’ index number of wholesale building ma terials prices increased slightly from 171.5 in July to 171.8 in August (1913 prices = 100). It stood at 172.4 in August, 1925. The Aberthaw index of total cost of building a reinforced con(B ) B uilding P erm its■ B erkeley ................. Boise ........................ Fresno ..................... L o n g B e a c h .......... L os A n g e l e s .......... . Oakland ................... O gden ...................... Pasadena ............... Phoenix ................. Portland ................. . . R eno ........................ Sacramento ............ Salt Lake C i t y . .. San D iego ............ San Francisco . . . San Jose ............... Seattle ..................... . . Spokane ................... Stockton ................. Tacom a .................... D istrict ............... August, 1926 N o. Value 305 $ 586,206 54 38,975 60 89,305 459,166 282 2,906 8,826,108 985 2,665,900 37 208,100 917,792 232 222,162 106 1,325 3,169,865 27 109,050 217 662,286 93 741,595 749 1,384,439 862 4,163,510 139 355,825 2,784,660 1,026 219 452,345 76 594,150 355 594,102 $29,025,541 August, 1925 N o. Value $ 929,956 458 65 42,675 137,330 96 6,026,029 341 3,493 10,221,257 3,246,419 1,238 22 101,550 230 676,426 119 178,792 1,377 3,544,110 133,889 18 266 655,454 539.190 143 704 1,254,099 939 3,840,076 109 221,615 1,111 2,083,895 245 533,944 94 220,360 398 895,860 11,466 $35,482,926 Septem ber, 1926 crete factory building, including labor and ma terials, stood on September 1st at 197 (1914 = 100), compared with 198 one month ago and 194 one year ago. Activity in the lumber industry of the dis trict was greater during August than in July and continued at higher levels than a year ago. Lumber production of mills reporting to four as sociations exceeded shipments and new orders received by 3.2 per cent and 9.1 per cent, respec tively, during August, and was 9.2 per cent larger than production during July. The volume of new orders received during August was less than shipments, and unfilled orders at the close of the month were less than at its beginning:. o o LU M B ER A C T IV IT Y * Aug., July, Aug., 1926 1926 1925 First Eight Months—■» 1926 1925 (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) (board feet) Production . . . . Shipments -----Orders ............... Unfilled O rdersf N o . of M ills R eporting? . . 826,845 801,024 757,952 545,068 756,966 741,408 772,849 586,442 184 177 717,588 678,035 688,786 497,824 (board feet) 5,852,862 5,858,709 5,884,684 ... 5,227,170 5,268,521 5,248,204 182 179 173 * A s reported by four associations, 000 omitted except in case of number of mills reporting, tReported by three associations. The figures are not strictly comparable with other figures appearing in the table. $Average. S ou rce: National Lum ber Manufacturers Association. Gasolene production at California refineries totaled 4,203.431 barrels during August, 1926, an increase of 7.8 per cent over July, 1926, and an increase of 14.39 per cent over the output of August, 1925. Stocks of gasolene, at 9,554,687 barrels on August 31, 1926, showed a de crease of 177,286 barrels since the end of July, 1926, and w^ere 5.3 per cent larger than one year ago. G A S O L E N E — California Aug., 1926 July, 1926 A u g., 1925 (barrels) Refinery O utput . 4,203,431 Stored Stocks* . . 9,554,687 July, 1925 (barrels) (barrels) (barrels) 3,899,264 9,731,973 3,674,599 9,077,569 3,464,653 t *E n d of month. tCom parable figures not available. Source : U nited States Bureau of M ines. (C) E m ploym ent— -Californi a---------\ r Oregon- ~ —N N o. of N o . of N o. /— Employees —> N o. Employees —'* of Aug., July, of A u g., July, Firms 1926 1926 Firms 1926 Industries 1926 A ll Industries.......... 699 163.584 158,356 90 18,257 17,584 (3.3) (3.8) Stone, Clay and Glass Products. 45 7,828 7,831 5 219 224 (0 .0 ) (— 2.2) Lum ber and W o o d 13,605 M anufactures . . 109 29,038 28,400 36 13,713 (2 .2 ) (— 0.8) 18 2,573 2,618 3 302 281 (— 1.7) (7 .5 ) C lothing, M illinery and Laundering. 60 6,955 6,834 8 550 536 (1 .8 ) (2 .6 ) F ood, Beverages and T o b a c c o .. . 141 38,379 34,782 29 2,988 2,257 (10.3) (3 2 .4 ) W a ter, Ligh t and Power ................... 5 8,905 9,174 (— 2.9) O ther Industries*. 307 67,588 66,500 (1 .6 ) M iscellaneous . . . . 2 ,2 1 7 14 2,318 9 593 573 (4 .6 ) (3 .5 ) ( *Includes the follow ing industries: m etals, m achinery and con vey a n ces; ^ leather and rubber g o o d s ; chemicals, oils and p a in ts; printing and paper goods. Figures in parentheses represent percentage changes from July. Septem ber, 1926 Average daily production of petroleum in California during August was slightly greater than during July, but was smaller in volume than in August, 1925. Indicated consumption was greater than production during the month. Stored stocks continued the decline which be gan in June and at the end of August, 1926, were slightly smaller than one year ago. P E T R O L E U M — California Indicated Average Stored Average Daily Stocks at Consumption End of Daily Month Production (Shipments) A u g ., July, A u g ., Sept., 1 9 2 6 .. 1 9 2 6 .. 1 9 2 5 .. 1923*. (barre ls) (barrels) 605,325 604,619 677,599 858,750 607,417 685,393 538,2040 f New W ells-N Daily Produc tion Number Opened (ba rre ls) (b a rre ls) 120,605,895 121,910,744 120,818,3100 t 68 18,067 27,582 98 93 139,960 55 68,202 *Peak of production. fCom parable figures not available. ORevised. Source : Am erican Petroleum Institute. Figures of national production of non-ferrous metals follow : N O N -F E R R O U S M E T A L S —National Production August, 1926 July, 1926 August, 1925 Copper (short tons) (mine production) ........................... Lead (short tons) (cru d e). Zinc (short tons) ( s l a b ) . . . Silver (o z.) (com m ercial bars) ......................................... 72,221 49,625 51,761 7 2 ,9 4 9 49,749 48,403 68,574 46,223 47,849 5,073,000 4,660,000 4,907,000 Production of 16 reporting flour milling companies in the Twelfth District decreased, and stocks of flour increased during August, both movements being contrary to the experi ence of the five years, 1921 to 1925. Stocks of wheat held by reporting millers were increased by more than 50 per cent during August, and, at the end of the month, exceeded the five-year average end of August figure by about the same amount. Figures follow : Ju ly ,1926 454,175 Aug., 1925 371,882 Five-Year Average August, 1921-1925 479,356 349,938 1,570,287 334,213 1,441,377 364,404 1,604,519 F L O U R M IL L IN G * O utput ( b b l s . ) . . . Stockst Flour ( b b l s .) ... W h ea t ( b u . ) .. . Aug., 1926 420,516 536,380 2,440,349 * A s reported by 16 companies. (D) B ank D ebits*— *000 omitted. August, 1926 17,846 13,407 33,695 43,786 . 817,286 153,313 21,102 32,306 21,889 . 193,043 9,167 30,077 65,059 58,761 . 983,851 24,421 . 214,752 51,602 24,349 43,818 12,180 . $2,865,710 .$ $ The peak of the 1926 fruit canning season in the Twelfth District was reached during the past month. Commercial factors estimate that the total canned fruit pack will exceed that of a year ago (20,206,276 cases in the principal pro ducing states). Canned fruit markets have been active, and prices have been relatively stable during the present marketing season. Fruit drying operations for the year are now drawing to a close with the drying and delivery to pack ing houses of prune and raisin crops. The amount of fruit dried or to be dried has not yet been officially estimated. The market during recent weeks has been moderately active. General Business and Trade General business activity continued at high levels during August, although seasonally cor rected figures of bank debits, a measure of INDEX NUMBERS 180r IT 0 180 150 140 130 120 1919-1 925 TREN DS / — 'TA ~ / J -— WITH SiIA S ON A L AC>JU STM £N T ------- W ITHOUT A D J U S T M E N T 110 . to o 1922 . Î9 23 I 1924 I I 1925 1926 B A N K D E B I T S - T W E L F T H D IS T R I C T Index for 20 principal cities, Phoenix, Arizona, not included,(daily averages, 1919 average = 1 0 0 ). Latest figures, August, with ______ adjustment, 166; without adjustment, 146. *B ased upon average month to month increase during the years 1919 to 1925 inclusive. t A t end of month. Trade factors report that both domestic and foreign flour markets have been relatively inac tive during recent weeks. B e r k e l e y ............ Boise .................... Fresno ............... L o n g Beach . . L os Angeles . . Oakland ............ Ogden ................. Pasadena .......... Phoenix ............ Portland ............ Reno ................... Sacramento . . . Salt Lake C ity. San D iego San Francisco . San Jose .......... Seattle ................. Spokane ............ Stockton ........... T a c o m a ............... Yakim a ............... District .......... 69 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO August, 1925 17,574 12,660 44,149 44,629 734,485 140,839 24,063 30,343 18,197 168,461 9,220 32,299 66,703 53,027 9 3 2 ,3 5 8 26,444 204,054 50,927 2 7 ,1 1 7 43,555 12,625 $ 2 ,6 9 3 ,7 2 9 ( --------Eight M onth s----------> 1926 1925 144,919 153,188 $ 103,812 93,116 247,593 276,737 407,514 377,437 6,232,627 6,959,992 1,347,883 1,091,999 156,542 182,419 283,811 300,801 201,877 180,117 1,272,911 1,431,000 72,030 67,408 253,340 291,842 558,729 535,312 518,967 429,390 8,502,692 7,416,340 203,535 192,653 1,680,332 1,560,675 442,708 401,181 212,372 199,270 3 6 7 ,7 9 2 347,693 101,244 92,713 $24,253,087 $21,641,426 $ total trade volume, declined slightly during the month. Detailed trade statistics, in general, confirm the evidence of the more comprehen sive indexes. The volume of debits against individual ac counts (bank debits), reported by clearing houses in 21 cities of the Twelfth District, de creased 9 per cent during August. The decrease was slightly greater than has been usual dur ing August of past years, and this bank’s index of daily average bank debits (1919 monthly average = 100) declined from 168 in July, the highest point reached by this index, to 166 in August. A s compared with August, 1925, an increase of 11 per cent was recorded. B A N K D E B IT S —Twelfth District Index for 20 Principal Cities* A ug., July, June, A u g., 1926 1926 1926 1925 W ith out Seasonal A d ju s tm e n t.. . 146 157147 134 W ith Seasonal A d ju stm en t............ 166 1680154 150 *Daily averages, 1919 average=100. ORevised. 70 September, 1926 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS Detailed dollar figures of bank debits in 21 principal clearing house centers are given in Table “ D .” The value of sales at 66 reporting retail stores in this district was seasonally larger dur ing August than during July and exceeded the reported value of sales for August, 1925, by 6.3 per cent. Total sales were 4.2 per cent greater in value during the eight months ended A ugust 31st than during the same period in 1925. Total stocks on hand at reporting stores were increased 3.9 per cent during August, but at the end of the month were 0.2 per cent smaller in value than one year ago. The indi cated rate of stock turnover, based upon re ports of 32 department stores, was higher in August, 1926 (3.1 times per year) than in A u gust, 1925 (3.0 times per year). During each of the past six months, including August, the value of total sales reported by 32 department stores whose figures are included in this bank’s in dexof department store sales has been greater than in the same month of any previous year during the period in which the record has been kept, 1919 to date. Index numbers of depart ment store sales, based upon value of sales of 32 representative department stores in this dis trict are given below. decline in August and averaged approximately 7 per cent lower than in August, 1925. W HOLESALE TRADE Agricultural Im plem ents. Autom obile Supplies Autom obile Tires .............. D ry G o o d s ............................. Electrical Supplies .......... Hardware ............................. Stationery ............................. N o. of Firms 15 13 17 7 15 9 14 20 17 12 23 Percentage increase or decrease(— ) -in V a lu e of SalesAug., 1926 A u g., 1926 July, 1926 compared compared compared with with with Aug., 1925 July. 1926 Ju ly,1925 — 40.2 — 14.8 — 3.6 — 2.4 — 4.6 — 8.5 31.8 28.3 — 15.6 3.8 — 0.9 1.0 — 1.5 36.6 — 8.8 12.7 24.9 - - 0.1 3.6 22.9 9.1 2.6 — 2.4 4.2 — 1.8 3.0 — C.9 6.9 44.2 19.2 6.2 26.8 3.4 INDEX N UM BER S D E P A R T M E N T S T O R E S A L E S — Index Numbers (1919 Monthly Average = 100) Los Angeles (6)* O ak land (5)* San Fran cisco (8)* Salt Lake City (4)* Seattle (5)* Spo kane (3)* D is trict (32)' 135 109 124 147 134 146 108 113 129 87 84 109 121 106 105 82 86 90 97 89 98 98 102 95 73 75 97 97 79 91 90 95 93 76 70 88 151 129 142 152 150 160 119 130 142 Without Seasonal Adjustment A u g ., 1926. . 232 1926. . 200 July, June, 1926. . 209 M ay, 1926. . 214 April, 1926. . 222 March, 1926... 247 Feb., 1926. . 180 Jan., 1926. . 210 A u g., 1925. . 210 145 128 142 152 144 148 112 124 138 D E P A R T M E N T S T O R E S A L E S —T W E L F T H D IS T R IC T Index of 32 Stores in 7 cities (1919 monthly average—100). Latest figures, August, with adjustment, 158; without adjustment, 151. On August 31, 1926, savings deposits in 69 banks in seven principal cities of the district were 7.2 per cent larger than on August 31, 1925, and 0.1 oer cent smaller than on July 31, 1926. S A V IN G S D E P O S IT S W ith Seasonal Adjustmentf A u g ., July, June, M ay, April, M arch, F eb., Jan., A u g ., 1 9 2 6 ... 1 9 2 6 .., 1 9 2 6 .., 1 9 2 6 .., 1 9 2 6 .., 1 9 2 6 .., 1 9 2 6 .., 1 9 2 6 .., 1 9 2 5 .., 216 233 226 233 237 255 223 221 195 161 161 141 163 149 158 149 145 153 142 141 149 133 139 147 142 128 135 112 105 106 105 113 115 114 104 115 103 97 98 100 108 102 113 99 102 111 101 90 90 98 110 110 97 101 158 157 154 147 155 164 156 148 148 *Figures in parentheses indicate number of stores. One store in cluded in district figures not included in cities shown above. f N o adjustment has been made for business days lost due to Saturday closing of stores during the summer months. W holesale trade was more active during Au gust than a year ago. Total value of sales re ported to this bank by 162 firms in eleven lines of business was 2.9 per cent larger in August, 1926, than in August, 1925. Seven of the eleven reporting lines showed increases over the year period. General wholesale prices continued to Number Aug. of 31, Banks 1926* Los Angeles . . 13 $421,024 102,367 O aklandf • . •. 7 55,771 Salt Lake City 8 33.263 San Francisco. 14 488,875 82,411 19,746 Total ............ July 31. 1926* $420,493 102,246 55,316 33,004 492,042 81,880 19,527 August 3 1 ,1926J compared with Aug. Aug. July 31. 31. 31. 1925* 1925 1926 $380,705 0.1 10.6 97,869 0.1 4.6 5.7 0.8 52,7760 30,243 10.0 0.8 4.8 — 0.6 466,5840 74,971 9.9 0.6 19,359 2.0 1.1 69 $1,203,457 $1,204,508 $1,122,5070 7.2 — 0.1 *000 omitted, tln clu d es one bank in Berkeley which was for merly a branch of an Oakland bank. IPercentage increase or decrease (— ) . ^Revised. Prices Further slight declines in com m odity prices during August, 1926, placed the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics’ wholesale price in dex (1913 prices = 100) at 149.2 for that month, compared with 150.7 in July, 1926, and Septem ber, 1926 71 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO 160.4 in August, 1925. The August, 1926, figure was lower than any reported since June, 1924, when the index stood at 147.1. The 1925 low, 155.2, was reported in May, 1925. Group index numbers of prices of farm products, foods, cloths and clothing, building materials, chemi cals and drugs, house furnishings, and miscel laneous commodities have declined throughout the present year. Index numbers of prices in the other groups, fuel and lighting and metals, making up the all-commodities index have been relatively unchanged during this period. The Department of A griculture’s farm price index (1909-1914 prices = 100) declined from 135 in July to 132 in August, 1926, and the Bu reau of Labor Statistics’ index of prices of nonagricultural commodities also declined from 147.3 to 143.6. The ratio between these two indexes (an indication of the purchasing power of farm products) declined from 84.8 to 82.4 during the month, the latter figure being the lowest since May, 1924, when the ratio was 82.0. In August, 1925, this ratio was 93. Livestock prices declined during early A u gust, as they had in July, but advanced slightly during the later weeks of the month and in early September. The weekly average prices at Chicago for cattle, lambs, and hogs, per 100 pounds, were 7.0 per cent, 1.1 per cent, and 1.7 per cent higher, respectively, for the week end ing September 3, 1926, than for the week end ing August 6, 1926, but were 11.9 per cent, 5.0 per cent, and 2.9 per cent lower, respectively, than the averages for the corresponding period a year ago. The average price for sheep declined 14.4 per cent during August and at the close of the month was 20.4 per cent under the average price for the week ending September 4, 1925. W heat prices declined during August but advanced slightly during the first weeks of Sep tember. Quotations for September contract wheat at Chicago, for the week ending Septem ber 3, 1926, ranged from $1.29^ to $1.30% per bushel, compared with a range of from $1.38 to $1.39^4 on August 6, 1926. On September 18, 1926, cash wheat sold for $1.33)4 to $1.34j4 per bushel at Chicago, compared with a price range of $1.51 to $1.53^ per bushel reported for Sep tember 18, 1925. W ith the exception of quota tions for a short period early in May, wheat prices thus far in 1926 have consistently been lower than in 1925. Cotton prices fluctuated within narrow limits during August and early September, with a general downward tendency. Spot quotations for middling uplands cotton at New Orleans for the week ending September 3, 1926, ranged from 17.83 to 18.12 cents per pound, a decrease of 2.2 per cent from their range one month ago, and a decline of 16.9 per cent since Septem ber 4, 1925, when the quotations ranged from 21.28 to 22.00 cents per pound. On Septem ber 16, 1926, the quotation was 16.37 cents per pound. An average of 98 wool quotations at Boston declined 0.9 per cent during the month, and on September 3, 1926, was 15.3 per cent lower than for the corresponding period a year ago. Refined beet sugar was quoted at $5.70 per 100 pounds, f. o. b. San Francisco, on Septem ber 3, 1926, a decline of ten cents since A u gust 6, 1926. A year ago the price was $5.65 per 100 pounds. California shipping point prices for grapes were generally lower during the first weeks of September, 1926, than in mid-September, 1925. A summary of prices paid f. o. b. at shipping points during mid-September of each of the past four years fo llo w s : T A B L E G R A P E S — Per Crate September Thompsons Malagas Tokays 1926 1925 1924 1923 $ 0.60-$0.65 6 5 - .75 6 5 - .75 7 5 - .85 $0.70-$0.75 .7 5 - 1.00 .7 5 - .90 .9 0 - 1.10 $ 0 .90-$1.00 1 .1 5 - 1.30 .9 0 - 1.35 1.50 ........................... J U IC E G R A P E S -P e r Ton Alicantes 1926 1925 1924 1923 ............. $62.50-$65 .00 95.0 0 -1 0 5 .0 0 100.00-120 .00 ........................... 9 0 .00-100.00 Zinfandels Muscats $ 6 0.00-$62 .50 7 0 .0 0 - 77.50 8 0 .0 0 - 85.00 6 5 .0 0 - 85.00 $ 30.00-$32 .50 3 2 .5 0 - 37.50 3 0 .0 0 - 37.50 3 5 .0 0 - 40.00 One Month Ago One Year Ago (E) Com m odity P rices Unit Commodity W holesale Prices (U . S. Bureau of Labor— 1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 ) ........................ Purchasing Power of Farm Products ( U . S. Dept, of A griculture)* Cattle (N ative B e e f). Wreekly average price at C hicago........................ L a m b s ............................... W eek ly average price at C hicago......................... H o g s ..................................W eek ly average price at C hicago.......................... W o o l ..................................Average of 98 quotations at B oston ........... ..................... O ranges. Prunes. . R aisins. . .Size 4 0 /5 0 in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. California............ .Thompson Seedless bulk in 25-lb. boxes f. o. b. Canned Peaches. B u tter.......... ..........92 score at San Francisco. Lum ber (S o ftw o o d ). .W e ek ly Index, U nited S ta tesf. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. bu. lb. box box lb. lb. doz. lb. September 3,1926 149.2 82.4 $10.00 14.25 11.65 1 .2 9 3 ^ -1 .3 0 ^ 6 6 .1 7 ^ 1.00-1.2 5 4.7 5 -5 .2 5 .0 7 ^ -.0 8 .0 7 y * 2 .2 0 .44 29.90 150.7 84.8 $9.35 14.10 11.45 1.38-1.3954 6 6 .7 6 0 7 8 .0 8 0 1.00-1.35 4 .50-5.2 5 .0 8 -0 3 ^ 2 .5 0 -3 .0 0 7.25-7.7 5 .0754 2.20 .42 2 9 .9 6 *Ratio of farm prices (August, 1909-JuIy, 1914=100) to wholesale prices of non-agricultural commodities (1910-1914= f As published by “ The Lumber Manufacturer and Dealer.” 160.4 93.0 $11.35 15.00 12.00 1.5154-1.54J4 .Q 9 -.0 9 Ÿ 2 N o t Quoted 2.20 .50*4 30.37 :1 0 0 ). 72 Septem ber, 1926 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS The general trend of silver prices has been downward since June, 1920. The monthly av erage price of silver at New Y ork for August, 1926 (62.380 cents per ounce) was the lowest reached since August, 1921, when the average was 61.597 cents per ounce. M onthly average prices of non-ferrous metals, with the percent age increase or decrease from one month ago and from one year ago, are shown in the fol low ing ta b le: N O N -F E R R O U S M E T A L S P R IC E S (C en ts per pound) August, July, August, 1926 1926 1925 Copper, N ew Y o r k ____ 14.174 13.924 14.490 Lead, N ew Y o r k ............ 8.908 8.499 9.192 Silver,* N ew Y o r k ____ 62.380 64.793 70.240 Zinc, St. L o u is ............... 7.376 7.411 7.576 Percentage increase or decrease(— ) from One One M o . Ago Y r . Ago 1.8 — 2.2 4.8 — 3.1 — 3.7 — 11.2 — 0.5 — 2.6 *C ents per ounce. A national index of lumber prices, published by “ The Lumber Manufacturer and Dealer,” declined from 29.96 to 29.90 during August, 1926. A year ago the index stood at 30.37. Trade reports indicate that lumber prices at Pacific Northwestern producing centers have tended to become firmer during recent weeks. Banking and Credit Situation Commercial demand for credit changed little during the summer months. W ith the approach of the peak of the harvest season, however, MILLIONS OF D O L L A R S M E M B E R B A N K C R E D I T — T W E L F T H D IS T R I C T Figures for about 65 member banks in leading cities, a s of last Wednesday of each month. Latest figures, August 25. demands for funds for crop m oving and other agricultural purposes were evidenced in an increase of loans reported by member banks, and in some sections in an increase in dis counts at the Federal Reserve Bank. Adequate supplies of funds continued available at moder ate rates of interest. During August, city member banks reported that their total loans and investments, which had declined during June and July, had ad vanced to levels approximating the high point of the previous May ($1,680,000,000). By midSeptember, the peak of the harvest season, their total loans and investments had advanced to a new all-time high of over $1,691,000,000. Commercial loans of these banks were nearly constant in volume during the mid-summer months but rose from $899,000,000 on A u gust 4th to $924,000,000 on September 15th, the latter figure approximating the 1925 preChristmas peak. Loans made on securities as collateral stood at $295,000,000 on Septem ber 15th, compared with the May 12th figure of $297,000,000. Total deposits, which have fluc tuated but little during the past few months, were slightly larger on September 15th than in May. R E P O R T IN G M E M B E R B A N K S * — Twelfth District (In m illio n s of d ollars, percentage ch anges in p a ren th ese s.) Condition Sept. 15, 1926 Total Loans ........................ Commercial Loans .......... L oans on Securities Investm ents ........................ Total Loans and Invest ments ................................. N et Dem and D e p o s i t s ... Tim e D eposits ................... Borrow ings from Federal Reserve B a n k ................. . 1,219 . 924 . 295 . 473 /-----------Changes from -------------- \ One Month One Year Ago Ago / + = increase \ V — = decrease / + 18 ( 1.5) + 8 1 ( 7.1) + 2 1 ( 2.3) + 3 9 ( 4.5) — 3 ( 1.0) + 4 1 (16 .3 ) + 8 ( 1.8) + 9 ( 1.9) . 1,691 . 793 . 836 + 2 6 ( 1.6) + 19 ( 2.5) — 8 ( 1.0) + 8 9 ( 5.6) + 14 ( 1.8) + 58 ( 7.5) 42 + 10 (29 .4 ) + *T o ta l resources of reporting banks are approxim ately cent of total resources of all banks, and 71 per cent resources of all m em ber banks in Tw elfth Federal D istrict. Reporting banks embrace m em ber banks A n geles, San Francisco, Oakland, Portland, Tacom a, Spokane, O gden, and Salt Lake City. 5 (12.4) 50 per of total Reserve in Los Seattle, Total earning assets of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco declined from May to June, recovered to the May level during July and August, advanced sharply during the first week in September, and then decreased so that by mid-September the total of bills and secu rities held was approximately equal in volume to May holdings. Federal reserve note circu lation has been at higher levels during the past summer than during the spring months of 1926, reflecting increased currency demands on the part of member banks. On September 15th the volume of Federal reserve notes in circulation was 7 per cent less than one year ago. F E D E R A L R ESER VE B A N K O F S A N F R A N C IS C O (In m illion s o f dollars, percentage changes in p aren th eses.) C on dition t-------------- Changes from--------------- v Sept. 15, One Year One Month Ago Ago 1926 increase \ Total Bills and Securities. Bills Discounted ................. U nited States S e cu ritie s.. Bills B ought ........................ Total Reserves ................... Total Deposits .................... Federal Reserve N ote Circulation ........................ 122 51 43 28 259 177 + + — + + + f + == V— = decrease / 6 ( 5.5) + 9 ( 8.4) 7 (1 4 .8 ) + 3 ( 5.6) 6 (11 .7 ) + 0 ( 0.6) + 7 (33 .9 ) 6 (24.9) 2 ( 0.6) — 9 ( 3.3) + 13 ( 8.2) 7 ( 4.0) 192 + 4 ( 2.0) — 15 ( 7.2)