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MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Vol. VII San Francisco, California, September 17, 1923 Sum m ary o f National Conditions T h e volum e of m erchandise d istrib u ted d u r ing A u g ust, as indicated by railw ay traffic and w holesale and retail trade, w as large. P ro d u c tion of certain basic com m odities and indus trial em ploym ent show ed fu rth e r slig h t de creases d u rin g the m onth. Production. T h e F ederal R eserve B oard’s index of production in basic industries de clined 2 per cent d u rin g A ugust, and w as at th e low est point for this year. T h e A u g u st o u tp u t, how ever, w as 27 per cent larg er th an a y ear ago, and production in every m onth of th is year has been a t a higher level th a n in any m onth of th e previous five years. T h e low er production index in A u g u st reflected reduced o u tp u t, after a correction for the usual seasonal trend, of pig iron,w oolen goods, flour, and cem ent. C otton consum ption, su g ar m eltings, lum ber cut, and bitum inous coal production increased. T h e n um ber and value of new building p ro j ects, as m easured by perm its g ran ted in 168 leading cities, increased d u rin g A ugust, b u t ac tu al co n tract aw ards w ere sm aller th an in July. E m ploym ent at in d u strial establishm ents th ro u g h o u t th e U n ited S tates w as slightly sm aller in A ugust, w hile average w eekly earn ings advanced about 1 per cent. Increases in w ages am ounting to 10 per cent w ere g ran ted to an th racite coal m iners and re ad ju stm e n t of w ages and hours in the steel in d u stry con tinued, b u t w age advances d u rin g A u g u st w ere few er th an in any m onth since last w inter. T he principal changes in crop estim ates show n by th e S eptem ber 1st forecast of th e D ep artm en t of A g ricu ltu re w ere a large reduc tion in th e expected cotton crop, slight de creases in the probable yields of w heat, barley, and oats, and increases in the estim ated yields of corn, tobacco, and potatoes. Trade. R ailroad freig h t shipm ents w ere larg er in A u g u st th a n in any previous m onth on record. T his w as due to seasonal increases in shipm ents of coal, m erchandise and m iscel laneous freight, and agricultural products. W holesale trade, according to the index of th e F ederal R eserve B oard, increased 12 per cent in A ugust, w hich is m ore th an the usual MILLIONS Index of Production in Basic Industries Combination of 22 individual series corrected for seasonal variation (1919 average = 100 per cent) No. 9 OF D O L L A R S B I L L IO N S OF DO LLARS Prices Bank Credit Bank Credit Index numbers of wholesale prices. United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (1913 avera*e=100 per cent) All Federal Reserve Banks 800 member banks in 1cadine cities Those desiring this review sent them regularly will receive it without charge upon application. 130 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS seasonal increase, and sales w ere th e larg est of Sum mary o f District C onditions an y m o nth in th ree years. Sales of clothing, Seasonal increases in business activity n o r d ry goods, and shoes show ed su b stan tial gains as com pared w ith Ju ly and w ere larg e r th an a m ally m anifested d u rin g th e first days of y ear ago. R etail trad e also increased in A ugust, au tu m n w ere a ch aracteristic feature of th e and sales in all re p o rtin g lines w ere larg er th an business and industrial situ atio n in th is district in A u g u st, 1922. D e p artm en t store sales in all d u rin g A ugust. In som e cases, en terp risers ap sections of th e co u n try averaged 12 per cent pear to have aw aited th e m ore definite re tu rn s of }nelds of th e d istric t’s crops and th e prices above last y e a r’s level. to be received therefor, w hich becam e available P rices. T h e general level of w holesale prices, about the first of S eptem ber, before m aking according to th e index of th e B ureau of L abor the usual au tu m n com m itm ents, b u t in m ost statistics, rem ained relatively co n stan t in such cases business w as m erely retard ed , n ot A u g u st, th e change for th e m onth being a re curtailed. duction of less th a n 1 per cent, com pared w ith O n the whole, h arv est rep o rts from th e p rin declines of ab o u t 2 per cent in each of the th ree cipal farm ing areas have been favorable. R ec p receding m onths. P rices of building m ate ord yields of w h e at are being th resh e d in rials, house furnishings, and fuel w ere m ate W ash in g to n and Idaho, and th e to tal d istric t rially reduced, w hile prices of farm products crop is now placed a t 137,359,000 bushels, a and foods increased. P rices of certain raw yield alm ost 40 per cent g re a te r th a n th a t h a r m aterials, p artic u la rly cotton and silk, ad vested in 1922. E xcellent yields of o th er cereals, vanced su b stan tially d u rin g S eptem ber, w hile and of such field crops as potatoes, su g ar prices of petroleum and copper declined. beets, cotton, and beans are being harvested. B ank credit. A fter a decline d u rin g Ju ly and T h e deciduous fru it crops, excepting apples th e first p a rt of A ugust, th e volum e of bank and grapes, have practically all been picked, credit in use show ed a seasonal increase during and an unusually large m ovem ent of fresh fru it th e last w eek of A u g u st and the first tw o w eeks to eastern m arkets has been reported. T o tal of Septem ber. T o tal loans and dem and deposits shipm ents of deciduous fru its from C alifornia of m em ber banks in th e principal cities in up to S eptem ber 9th of the p ast tw o seasons creased d u rin g recen t weeks, rev ersin g the have been as fo llo w s: tren d of th e preceding tw o m onths. Loans 1923 1922 Increase 1923 (cars) (cars) over 1922 chiefly for com m ercial and ag ricu ltu ral p u r 25,596 17,703 44% poses increased by $122,000,000 and reached th e high point for th e year. In v e stm en t hold F ru it shipping equipm ent of th e railro ad s ings of these banks, on th e contrary, continued serving this te rrito ry has been taxed to capa to decline and on S eptem ber 12th w ere low er city, and although no serious sh o rtag e of cars th a n a t an y tim e since th e m iddle of O ctober has been rep o rted th u s far, the possibility of of last year. such a sh o rtag e will not disappear u ntil the B etw een A u g u st 22nd and S eptem ber 19th peak of the grape shipping season has been th e am o u n t of accom m odation extended to passed. C ontinued slow im provem ent has been m em ber banks by F ederal R eserve banks in in noted in the livestock industry, and w e ath er d u strial d istricts declined, w hile in agricul and range conditions have been generally tu ra l d istricts th e seasonal dem and for credit favorable. and currency resu lted in a considerable g row th P rices of farm products, w hich have been de of R eserve bank credit in use. clining d u rin g recent m onths, advanced d u rin g T h e dem and for currency arisin g ou t of crop A ugust. T he m ajo rity of th e principal agricu l m oving and fall trad e w as reflected in an in tu ral products of this d istrict, including barley, crease of $82,000,000 in m oney in circulation rice, cotton, sugar, cattle, sheep, lam bs, and betw een A u g u st 1st and S eptem ber 1st. Of hogs are now selling at prices w ell above those this am o u n t ab o u t $44,000,000 represented an of a y ear ago. W h e a t prices a t central m ark ets increase in F ederal R eserve note circulation. have fluctuated ab o u t $1.00 per bushel, b u t M oney rates w ere firm er d u rin g the first tw o have rem ained above low levels reached d u rin g w eeks of S eptem ber, b u t eased som ew hat after July. the 15th, p a rtly because governm ent disburse P ro d u ctio n in other basic in d u stries of th e m ents w ere tem p o rarily in excess of ta x col d istrict increased durin g A ugust. L u m b er m ills lections. reported capacity operations, p a rtly in response T h e T re a su ry issued on Septem ber 15th to cu rren t dem ands and p a rtly as a re su lt of $200,000,000 of six-m onths certificates b earing efforts to build up depleted stocks. T he supply 4% per cent interest, com pared w ith 4 per cent of logs available for mill use is below norm al borne by six-m onths certificates issued in June. for this season of the year, w hen accum ulation Agricultural Credit Facilities Under the Federal Reserve Act Issued by authority of the Federal Reserve Board (R ep rin ted fxom Federal Reserve B u l^ tin , August, 1923) W ashington, D. C. August 22, 1923 Washington Government Printing Office 1923 AGRICULTURAL CREDIT FACILITIES UNDER THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT. I n view of the interest attach in g to the added facilities fo r extend ing cred it to farm ers, established by the ag ricu ltu ral credits act of 1923 w ith th e am endm ents to the F ed eral reserve act w hich it con tained, there has been p re p are d the follow ing sum m ary in non technical language of th e wrays in which credit m ay be extended fo r a g ric u ltu ral purposes under the provisions of the am ended F ed eral reserve act and the regulations issued by the F ederal Reserve B oard. How Credits Are Extended. T h e operations of F ed eral reserve banks in extending credit to ag ric u ltu ral interests are regulated by the F ed eral reserve act w ith its various am endm ents. N either farm ers nor other individuals can obtain credit directly from the F ed eral reserve banks, but m ust apply fo r loans to th eir own local banks, w hich, if they are members of the F ed eral reserve system, m ay in tu rn rediscount w ith the F ed eral reserve bank the notes, d ra fts, or bills of exchange acquired from customers. T he F ed eral reserve act places certain lim itations on the ch aracter of p ap er that* the reserve banks m ay discount and places upon the F ed eral Reserve B o ard the duty of issuing regulations p u t tin g into effect the provisions of the law. F ollow ing is a b rief sum m ary of the provisions of the act and of the b o ard ’s regulations w ith special reference to the credit facilities offered to ag ric u ltu ral interests. General Character of Eligible Paper. T he ch aracter of the p ap e r w hich F ed eral reserve banks m ay dis count is generally defined in section 13 of the F ed eral reserve act. T h is provision of law authorizes F ed eral reserve banks to discount notes, d ra fts, and bills of exchange issued or draw n for ag ricu ltu ral, in d u strial, or com m ercial purposes, or the proceeds of w hich have been used or are to be used fo r such purposes. T he law does not p erm it the reserve abanks to discount p ap er the proceeds of which are (1) to be loaned to some other borrow er, or (2) to be used for perm an ent investm ent, or (3) fo r speculation. Exceptions to (1) in fav o r of certain kinds of ag ric u ltu ral loans are discussed later. 55695°-—23 1 2 AGRICULTURAL. CREDITS UNDER FEDERAL. RESERVE ACT. A gricultural Paper in General. A g ric u ltu ra l p ap e r is given by the act an im p o rtan t advantage over com m ercial paper, since the la tte r can be discounted only fo r a period not exceeding 90 days, while p ap e r w hich is issued or d raw n fo r an ag ric u ltu ral purpose, or is based on live stock, m ay now be discounted by F ed eral reserve banks even th ough it has nine m onths to ru n from the date of discount. T he F ed eral Reserve B oard has m ade ap p ro p riate provision fo r th is in its new regulations in w hich the definition of ag ric u ltu ral p ap er has been clarified and broadened so as to incorporate the latest and m ost liberal principles adopted by the board in determ ining .w hat constitutes a g ric u ltu ral paper. N ine m onths’ p ap er w ill thus be eligible fo r discount if the proceeds have been or are to be used by a fa rm er in any one or m ore of the steps of p lan tin g , cultivating, harvesting, or m ark e tin g a crop, or of breeding, fatten in g , or m ark etin g live stock, and the F ed eral R e serve B oard has held th a t the m ark etin g of crops or live stock includes carry in g them fo r a reasonable tim e in ord er to m ark e t them in an orderly m anner, instead of dum ping large q uantities on the m arket at one tim e in order to get m oney w ith w hich to m eet cu rren t expenses. U nder th is provision of th e law , m em ber banks w hich have loaned money fo r nine m onths to w heat grow ers and other farm ers fo r the purpose of raising, carry in g , and m ark etin g th eir crops, w ill be able to rediscount the fa rm ers’ notes w ith the F ed eral reserve banks. Paper of Cooperative M arketing Associations. I n recent1years cooperative m ark etin g associations have been com ing m ore and m ore into prom inence as agencies th a t enable th e farm er to m arket his crops to b etter advantage. T he service w hich such associations can ren d er to ag ricu ltu re is clearly recognized and the F ed eral reserve act m akes special provisions fo r the extension of credit to such associations. U n d er the act, as am ended by the a g ri c u ltu ral credits act of M arch 4, 1923, cooperative m ark etin g associa tions can issue p ap er which is eligible for discount w ith m atu rities u p to 9 m onths, if the proceeds of the p ap e r are advanced to m em bers of the association for an a g ric u ltu ra l purpose, or are used to p ay m em bers fo r a g ric u ltu ral products delivered to the association, or finance the association in packing, p re p a rin g fo r m arket, or m a rk e t in g products grow n by it's members. P a p e r of cooperative m ark e tin g associations by w hich m oney is borrow ed to be in tu rn loaned to in d iv id u al m em bers of the association would o rd in arily be ineligible fo r discount, but it was felt th a t the ability to issue such p ap e r and have it available fo r discount w ould be of such assistance in th e cooperative m ark etin g m ovem ent th a t a special exception to the g en eral rule is m ade in the law. T he law also specifically defines as AGRICULTURAL CREDITS UKDER FEDERAL RESERVE ACT. 3 ag ric u ltu ra l certain classes of p a p e r of cooperative m ark etin g asso ciations w hich otherw ise w ould be construed as com m ercial paper. T h is provision m akes the p ap e r in question eligible fo r discount w ith F ed eral reserve banks fo r a m axim um period of 9 m onths, instead of 90 days. Sight and Demand Drafts. A n o th er featu re of the law w hich should prove of g reat assistance to the a g ric u ltu ra l interests is the new provision m aking sight and dem and d ra fts eligible fo r discount un d er certain circum stances. U n d e r the o riginal act such p ap e r w ould be ineligible fo r discount because it has no definite m atu rity . I t appears, however, th a t it is the custom of m any m em ber banks d u rin g crop-m oving periods to dis count large volumes of sig h t d ra fts secured by bills of lad in g covering the shipm ent of w heat, cotton, or other ag ric u ltu ral products. These d ra fts, although hav in g no definite m a tu rity , are usually p aid w ith g re at prom ptness, and actually constitute a liquid and desirable form of paper. A t the suggestion of the F ed eral Reserve B oard an am end m ent w^as m ade to the F ed eral reserve act by the a g ric u ltu ra l credits act of M arch 4, 1923, p erm ittin g F ed eral reserve banks to discount' sight or dem and d ra fts draw n to finance the dom estic shipm ent of nonperishable, readily m arketable staples and secured by bills of lad in g or sim ilar sh ip p in g docum ents conveying o r securing title to such staples. In order to assure the liquidity of the F ed eral reserve b an k s’ assets it is provided th a t such p ap e r m ust be presented fo r paym ent w ith reasonable prom ptness and th a t in no event m ay a F ed eral reserve bank hold such p ap e r longer th an 90 days. Factors’ Paper. T he law as recently am ended also provides th a t notes, d ra fts, and bills of exchange of factors issued fo r the purpose of m aking a d vances to producers of staple ag ric u ltu ral products in th e ir raw state shall be eligible for discount. U n d er norm al circum stances, p ap e r the proceeds of which are loaned to some other borrow er w ould be ineligible fo r discount, b u t th is kind of facto rs’ p ap e r m ay now be discounted w ith m atu rities up to 90 days. T his facility should prove of m uch assistance in financing ag ric u ltu ral production, because in ad d ition to borrow ing from th eir banks, farm ers can also borrow from th e ir factors who w ill be the m ore ready to lend on account of the privilege given them of m aking notes and d ra fts w hich m ay be discounted by F ed eral reserve banks. Bankers’ Acceptances. I n addition to the o rd in ary classes of credit instrum ents—th a t is, notes, d ra fts, and bills of exchange— a type of p ap e r known as b an k ers’ acceptances has recently been coming into m ore common 4 AGRICULTURAL CREDITS UNDER FEDERAL RESERVE ACT. use as a m eans of financing agricultui'al operations, both by in d i vid u al -farmers and more p a rtic u la rly by cooperative m ark e tin g as sociations. B an k ers’ acceptances are d ra fts or bills of exchange d raw n on and accepted by a bank or tru s t com pany or other b ankin g in stitu tio n , and the law authorizes F e d e ra l reserve banks to discount b ankers’ acceptances under certain conditions. F o r th is purpose such acceptances m ust be indorsed by a m em ber b ank and m ust be draw n to finance the im p o rtatio n or ex p o rtatio n of goods, th e dom estic shipm ent of goods, or th e storage of readily m arketab le staples. Acceptances w hich are draw n to finance th e dom estic ship m ent of goods or the storage of readily m arketable staples m ust also be secured by ship p in g docum ents or warehouse receipts conveying or securing title to the goods or staples in question. W ith re g a rd to bankers’ acceptances, th e law also discrim inates in fa v o r of those draw n to finance ag ric u ltu ral operations by m aking them eligible fo r discount w ith m atu rities u p to six m onths, provided they are secured by warehouse receipts conveying title to read ily m arketable staples, w hile bankers’ acceptances draw n fo r other purposes may. be discounted by F ed eral reserve banks w ith m atu rities up to 90 days only. T hus in d iv id u a l farm ers and cooperative m ark e tin g associations can obtain fu n d s to finance th e ir operations by d ra w in g on th e ir banks and discounting th e accepted d ra fts w ith other banks. T h is ad d itio n al m eans of g ettin g credit is a very valuable one, be cause bankers’ acceptances are norm ally th e best ty p e of credit in strum ent and c a n y the lowest ra te of interest. Admission of Small Banks to Membership. W ith a view to increasing th e availability of cred it th ro u g h th e F ed eral reserve banks, the a g ric u ltu ra l credits act of M arch 4, 1923, contained a provision designed to enable m any sm aller banks, w hich form erly h ad insufficient ca p ital to become m em ber banks, to join the F ed eral reserve system. U n d er this provision banks h av in g 60 p er cent of the cap ital norm ally required as a qualification fo r m em bership m ay join the system u n d er certain conditions re la tin g to the increase of th e ir cap ital w ith in a reasonable tim e, and it is hoped th a t m any o f the sm all country banks w ill take advantage of this provision and thereby p u t them selves in a position to offer th e ir custom ers the benefits of m em bership and the increased cred it facilities afforded by the rediscount privilege. Open Market Purchases of Paper. I n addition to the discount of a g ric u ltu ral p ap e r fo r m em ber banks, F ed eral reserve banks are also enabled to extend credit fa cili ties to the a g ric u ltu ra l interests W gsshns of p u rch asin g such p a p e r in the open m arket. U nder section 14 of th e F e d e ra l reserve act AGRICULTURAL CREDITS UNDER FEDERAL RESERVE ACT. O th e pow er is given to F ed eral reserve banks to purchase in the open m ark et bankers7 acceptances and bills of exchange of the kinds and m atu rities m ade eligible fo r discount. B y v irtu e of this provision F ed eral reserve banks m ay purchase, as well as discount, bills of exchange draw n fo r a g ric u ltu ra l purposes and having m aturities up to nine m onths, and secured bankers’ acceptances draw n to finance a g ric u ltu ral operations w ith m atu rities up to six m onths. Five-Year Loans on Farm Land. The F ed eral reserve act also m akes provision fo r long-tim e bo r row ing on real-estate security. Section 24 of th e act authorizes n atio n al banks to m ake loans fo r periods up to five years when secured by im proved and unencum bered fa rm land, and for periods up to one year when secured by im proved and unencum bered real estate. N atu rally , land thus used as security for loans m ust be located w ithin reasonable proxim ity to the lending bank—the exact lim its are prescribed in the law — and it is fu rth e r provided, as a m atter of sound banking, th a t these loans m ay not exceed 50 per cent of the actual value of the p ro p erty offered as security. T he law also places a reasonable lim itatio n on the aggregate am ount of fa rm land and real estate loans which n ational banks m ay have o u tstan d ing, for otherw ise they m ight tie up too m uch of th e ir fu n d s in long-tim e nonliquid loans and not be able to m eet the cu r re n t requirem ents of th e ir other borrow ers. Thus, farm ers who need long-tim e loans can borrow fo r five years from n ational banks in th eir locality on the security of th e ir farm lands, and the F ed eral R eserve B o ard has provided in its regulations th a t at m atu rity such loans m ay be renewed fo r other five-year periods, although a n atio n al bank m ust not obligate itself in advance to m ake a renewal. Other Credit Facilities. The above gives a b rief description of the m ore im p o rtan t p ro v i sions of the F ed eral reserve act which provide fo r the extension of cred it facilities to the a g ric u ltu ral interests. T here are also certain other provisions dealing w ith the relations between the F ed eral reserve banks and the new in term ediate credit in stitu tio n s w hich were set up by the ag ric u ltu ral credits act of 1923, and by v irtu e of which F ed eral reserve banks, th ro u g h discounting and open-m arket purchases, are enabled to extend certain additional credits to a g ri culture. Agricultural Loans by National Banks. A tten tio n should also be called to the provisions of section 5200 of th e Revised S tatutes. T his is not p a r t of the F ed eral reserve act and applies only to national banks, but it has an im p o rtan t bearing on the am ount of credit w hich farm ers and cooperative m arketing asso o AUIvJLUL.L/JLUJriiVLt JLC» Ui> LfJhlx JJ'JiiJLUljJtt AJj V AUI. ciations m ay obtain from n atio n al banks. Section 5200 of the R e vised S tatu tes contains the lim itatio n on the am ount of money w hich a n atio n al bank m ay lend to any one person. T h is is, in general, 10 per cent of the lending b an k ’s cap ital and surplus, w ith certain classes of p ap e r excluded as not being considered loans of money. A n ex ception is m ade, however, w ith respect to loans on read ily m arketable nonperishable staples, including live stock. Such loans m ay be m ade to any one person up to 25 p er cent of the lending b a n k ’s ca p ita l and surplus, provided th e loans over and above 10 p er cent are re p resented by notes, secured by ship p in g docum ents o r warehouse re ceipts covering staples or live stock. N ational banks m ay also d is count in unlim ited amount's certain kinds of p a p e r classified broadly as “ bills of exchange draw n in good fa ith ag ain st actually existing values.” Section 5200 of the Revised S tatutes includes in th is b road classification d ra fts secured by shipping docum ents conveying or securing title to goods shipped, dem and obligations w hen secured by docum ents covering com m odities in process of shipm ent, and b ank ers’ acceptances of the kinds described in section 13 of the F ed eral reserve act, so th a t national banks m ay extend credit on these classes of p ap er w ith o u t lim itation. These provisions, which were inserted on the recom m endation of the F ed eral Reserve B oard, give broad pow ers to national banks to extend accom m odation on the security of fa rm products and live stock and have proven of g re at value to farm ers and cattlem en in th e ir financing problem s. The Federal Reserve Board’s PartA discussion of the provisions of the law in th is connection w ould not be com plete w ithout reference to the functions of the F ed eral Reserve B oard, in construing and adm inistering the law. T here is not space here fo r a critical study of the b o ard ’s ru lin g s and reg u la tions w ith respect to a g ric u ltu ral credits, bu t it can be stated w ith em phasis th a t the board has so construed and adm inistered the law as to im prove in the highest possible degree the cred it stan d in g and economic position of the ag ric u ltu ral interests, placing at th eir dis posal, th ro u g h its discounts fo r m em ber banks and its open-m arket operations, the vast resources of the F ed eral reserve system to the fu llest extent p erm itted by the law and by the principles of sound banking. c F in a n c ia l C o n d it io n s in t h e T w e l f t h F e d e r a l R e s e r v e D ist r ic t by JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco San Francisco, California, September 17, 1923 S U R V E Y of financial conditions in th e T w elfth F ederal R eserve D istrict based upon reports of condition of all banks (S tate and N ational) as of Ju n e 30, 1923, is p resented herew ith, in com parison w ith a sim i lar survey m ade a year ago, on Ju n e 30, 1922. M aterial im provem ent in som e sections of O re gon, Idaho, and U tah , b u t little change in oth er p arts of the d istrict occurred d uring the year. C redit conditions in C alifornia, w estern O regon, w estern W ash in g to n , and N evada are generally good, and in only a few sections of eastern W ashington, n o rth ern O regon, Idaho, and U tah are they still poor.* • A As in previous surveys, th e ratio of to tal loans and discounts to to tal deposits of all banks, S tate and N ational, in a given area w as used in determ in in g the financial condition of th a t area. W h ere th e to tal of loans and dis counts w as less th a n 80 per cent of to tal de posits, financial conditions w ere characterized as “good” (colored blue on accom panying m aps) ; w here the ratio w as betw een 80 per cent and 100 per cent, financial conditions w ere ch aracterized as “fa ir” (colored yellow on m a p s ) ; and w here the ra tio w as over 100 per cent, financial conditions w ere ch a rac te r ized as “p o o r” (colored green on m aps). T his study relates p rim arily to conditions in the ag ricultural regions of th e district, as have previous studies. T h e follow ing sum m ary, w hich excludes figures for the cities of B erke ley, Los Angeles, O akland, P o rtlan d , Salt Lake City, San Francisco, S eattle, and Spokane, * F ig u res fo r A rizona as of Ju n e 30, 1923, a re not y et available. A year ago cre d it conditions in A rizo n a w ere good. show s the continued im provem ent in condition since the end of 1921: P R O P O R T IO N O F T O T A L D E P O S IT S O F BA N K S IN C O L O R E D A R E A S T O T O T A L D E P O S IT S O F A L L CC RY BA N K S D ec. 31, 1V21 June 30, 1922 Dec. 29, 1922 June 30, 1923* !Good” areas. .. 80.3% ‘Fair” area s. .. 12.7% P o o r” a rea s. .. 7.0% 66.1% 27.2% 6.7% 89.0% 7.4% 3.6% 70.0% 25.8% 4.2% * F igures fo r A rizona no t included. D eposits of all banks in A ri zona on D ecem ber 29, 1922, w ere 3.7 p e r cent of deposits of all co u n try banks in the district. T o tal deposits of all banks included in the above sum m ary—the so-called country banks— were, on Ju n e 30, 1923, approxim ately 33 per cent of to tal bank deposits in the T w elfth F ed eral R eserve D istrict, and the ratio of th eir to tal loans and discounts to th eir to tal de posits was, on Ju n e 30, 1923, 73.0 per cent, com pared w ith 75.6 per cent on Ju n e 30, 1922. T h a t a sm aller percentage of co u n try banks fell w ithin the “good” class and a larg er p er centage w ithin the “fa ir” class on Ju n e 30, 1923, th an on D ecem ber 29, 1922, w as due p ri m arily to the usual increase of loans during the sum m er m onths. D eposits in the cities above m entioned equalled 67 per cent of to tal bank deposits in the district, and th e ratio of th eir com bined loans to deposits w as 69.6 per cent com pared w ith 65.2 per cent on Ju n e 30, 1922. T he above figures indicate th a t financial con ditions generally are “good” in the principal cities of the d istrict and in those agricultu ral areas in w hich approxim ately 70 per cent of th e banking resources of the agricultural sections are to be found. FINANCIAL CONDITIONS in the TWELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT As o f June 30, 1922 LEG EN D I I GOOD □ f a ir I I POOR R e d isc o u n t O p e r a t io n s in t h e T w e l f t h F e d e r a l R e se r v e D ist r ic t COMPARATIVE REDISCOUNT OPERATIONS, 1 9 2 0 -1 9 2 3 B orrow ings o f City and Country M ember B anks (A s o f the end o f each m onth) NOTE: City banks include all member banks in Berkeley, Los Angeles, Oakland, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle, and Spokane. Country banks include all other member banks. BORROWINGS FROM THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK AND WHOLESALE PRICES C ity Bank Borrowings Country Bank Borrowings $ 62,088,000 $21,978,000 $ 84,066,000 233 Date January 27, 1920.. Subsequent P eak . United States Bureau of Labor Wholesale Price Index (1913=100) A ll M em ber Bank Borrowings O ct. 5.1920 A ug. 23, 1921 O ct. 5,1920 M ay, 1920 $116,286,000 $68,985,000 $174,699,000 247 Jan. 2. 1923 Jan. 16.1923 Jan. 1922 L ater L ow P o in t. $ 8,264,000 $19,729,000 $ 35,576,000 138 A ugust 28, 1 9 2 3 ... $ 56,138,000 $32,698,000 $ 88,836,000 150 Aug. 8.1922 131 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO for th e w in ter m onths usually begins. T he de crease in mineral production first noted in Ju ly continued during- A ugust, although copper m ines of the d istrict rep o rt little or no cu rta il m en t of operations. T he m ark et for lead and zinc has stren g th en ed as production has de clined, w hile the m ark et for copper, ap p a r en tly confronted w ith an excess of production over consum ption, has w eakened. T h e flow of petroleum in the oil fields of C alifornia d u rin g A u g u st exceeded the previous record m onth of July, and continued the excess of production over consum ption w hich has carried stored stocks to th eir p resen t (S eptem ber 1st) record levels, 83,120,835 barrels. Gasolene prices w ere fu rth e r reduced d u rin g the m onth, and a t 14 cents per gallon, retail, in San F rancisco w ere low er th an at any tim e since July, 1915, w hen the price w as 11 cents per gallon. C essation of the steady decline in the value of building p er m its issued in 20 principal cities of th e d istrict, w hich has been in progress since last M arch, occurred in A ugust, w hen the value of build ing au thorized w as g re ater th a n in any previ ous m onth of w hich th ere is record. L abor in the d istrict continued fully em ployed, and no serious employment controversies w ere re ported. T h e volume of business tran sa cted in the dis trict, as reflected by debits to individual ac counts in banks in 21 clearing house centers, was sm aller during A u g u st th an in any previ ous m onth of this year, if seasonal variations be elim inated, although the actual am ount of such debits w as g re ater th a n in F ebruary, 1923. Trade a t retail, as reported by 35 de p a rtm e n t stores, w as seasonally active, and the value of sales d u rin g A ugust, 1923, exceeded those of A ugust, 1922, by 13.5 per cent. Each of th e 11 lines of wholesale trade for w hich this bank collects sales figures reported a larg er value of business done durin g A u g u st of this year th an d u rin g A u g u st a y ear ago. T h e cu stom ary seasonal increase in sales at w holesale w as also noted d u rin g the m onth. T h e num ber of business failures increased 9 p er cent d u rin g A u g u st as com pared w ith July, b u t liabilities involved w ere 7 per cent less th an in the previous m onth, and well below the figures in every o th er m onth of the past tw o years, excepting June, 1923. T h e dem and for additional bank credit n o r m ally felt d u rin g th e crop m oving season has not been so in sisten t th u s far this year as in previous years. L oans of 66 rep o rtin g m em ber banks in the principal cities of the d istrict de creased $3,000,000 d u rin g th e four weeks end ing Septem ber 5th, stan d in g a t $992,000,000 on th a t date. T he p resen t volum e of loans a t these banks, how ever, is 13.5 per cent g re ater th an one y ear ago. D eposits of rep o rtin g banks on Septem ber 5th w ere $1,000,000 g re ater th an on A u g u st 8th, b u t $10,000,000 less th an on Ju ly 11th, continuing th e dow nw ard tren d w hich has been ap p aren t since M ay, 1923. B orro w ings of all m em ber banks from the R eserve bank reached a cu rren t peak of $91,000,000 on S eptem ber 5th, and although th e y declined to $89,000,000 on S eptem ber 12th th ey w ere still 169.7 per cent g re ater th an on J a n u a ry 10, 1923. Increases in th e volum e of paper discounted for San F rancisco banks have been largely re sponsible for this m ovem ent. T h e am oun t of F ederal R eserve N otes in circulation increased from $211,000,000 on A u g u st 15th to $219,000,000 on Septem ber 12th. Interest rates charged custom ers by banks in the d istrict have re m ained steady at Sy2 to 6 per cent in California financial centers, and 7 per cent in other sec tions. Crop Conditions H a rv estin g of the m atu rin g crops of the dis tric t has continued under generally favorable conditions in all sections. T h re sh in g of wheat, already practically finished in C alifornia, is rapidly approaching com pletion in Pacific N o rth w estern states, w ith prospects of record yields in Idaho and W ashington. T he chief grain grow ing states of the d istrict also rep o rt th a t h arv estin g and th resh in g of barley and oats have confirm ed the early estim ates of large yields of these crops. Revised Septem ber 1st estim ates of the D ep artm en t of A gricu l ture, based upon m ore com plete th resh in g re tu rn s th an w ere previously available, show an im provem ent in the yield of w heat in th e P a cific N orthw est, b u t indicate a sm aller to tal yield in the U nited S tates th an w as reported on A u g u st 1, 1923. L a te st revised governm ent estim ates of the 1923 yield and the actual 1922 yield of w heat and barley in five states of th e T w elfth D istrict and in the U nited S tates are given in the follow ing ta b le : Estim ated Yield Sept. 1, 1923* All W heat Barley C a lifo r n ia ........... Idaho .................. O r e g o n ............... U tah .................... W ash in gton __ T otals ............. U nited S t a t e s ... (bushels) (bushels) 16,456 29,045 25,890 6,012 58,448 135,851 789,000 36,292 3,540 3,080 716 3,294 46,922 199,337 Actual Y ield—1922* All W heat Barley (bushels) (bushels) 15,308 24,275 19,744 5,682 32,444 97,453 862,000 36,864 2,890 2,160 630 1,813 44,357 186,118 *000 om itted. Small increases in export shipm ents of w heat d uring recent w eeks have caused a slight im provem ent in w heat m arkets of the district, after m ore th an a year of sluggish trad in g . W h eat shipped to foreign countries from P o rt land and P u g e t Sound ports totaled 1,549,218 bushels durin g A ugust, 1923, com pared w ith a m ovem ent of 1,437,193 bushels durin g A ugust, 132 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 1922, and 3,486,072 bushels in A ugust, 1921. C om m ercial factors state th a t dom estic sales of w h eat have been com paratively sm all in vol um e d u rin g the p a st m onth. T h ere is reported a tendency am ong farm ers of th e district, p a r ticu larly in th e Pacific N o rth w est, to defer selling th eir w h e at in th e hope of a later rise in price. M illing w h e at w as quoted a t $1.90 to $1.95 p er cental ($1.14 to $1.17 per bushel) in th e San F rancisco m ark e t on S eptem ber 4th, com pared w ith $1.75 to $1.85 per cental ($1.05 to $1.11 per bushel) both on A u g u st 14, 1923, and S eptem ber 14, 1922. G enerally favorable rep o rts of th e h arv estin g of early field crops and th e final g ro w th of late m atu rin g crops have been received d u rin g th e p a st m onth. In C alifornia h arv estin g of su g ar b ee ts h as com m enced in som e sections, and ex cellent yields are generally expected. Sim ilar conditions prevail in U tah and Idaho. P revious estim ates of the to ta l d istrict yield (1,882,000 to n s) have not been changed m aterially, and an o u tp u t in excess of th e 1,539,000 tons pro duced in 1922 is clearly in prospect. A s dig g in g proceeds, the yield of po tato es in som e sections of th e d istric t is p roving sm aller th an w as forecasted in estim ates published a m onth ago. T h e S eptem ber 1st crop re p o rt of th e D e p a rtm e n t of A g ric u ltu re places th e yield in C alifornia, Idaho, O regon, and W a sh in g to n at 33.664.000 bushels, com pared w ith the A u g u st 1st fo recast of 33,803,750 bushels, and a 1922 crop of 40,740,000 bushels. T h e to tal 1923 crop of p o tato es in th e U n ited S tates is now esti m ated a t 389,674,000 bushels, com pared w ith 451,000,000 bushels in 1922. T h e condition of co tto n in A rizona and C alifornia changed b u t little d u rin g A ugust. E stim a te s of th e 1923 crop, as rep o rted by th e D e p artm en t of A g ri cu ltu re on A u g u st 25th, indicate a to tal yield in th ese tw o states of 126,000 bales. A pproxi m ately 76,000 bales of cotton w ere produced in th e d istric t last year. W a rm w eath er durin g A u g u st and th e first w eeks of Septem ber g re a tly benefited g ro w in g rice in California, and th e reported condition of the crop on Sep tem b er 1st w as 83 per cent of norm al, an im p ro v em ent of tw o points as com pared w ith th e re p o rted condition on A u g u st 1, 1923. T he expected yield (5,665,000 bushels o r 2,549,250 cen tals) is considerably sm aller th a n la st y ear's p ro d u ction (8,260,000 bushels or 3,717,000 cen ta ls) p a rtly due to a reduction in acreage from 140.000 acres in 1922 to 105,000 acres in 1923, and p a rtly due to w e ath er conditions d u rin g th e early m onths of th e gro w in g season w hich retard ed th e g ro w th of the crop. O n S eptem b er 1, 1923, th e D e p artm en t of A g ricu ltu re estim ated th e to tal yield of rice in th e U nited S tates a t 32,617,000 bushels, com pared w ith 41.965.000 bushels produced in 1922. T h e re cent earth q u ak e d isaster in Jap an , and th e re su ltin g need for additional supplies of food in th a t country, has stim ulated dem and for C ali fornia rice, w hich is quite sim ilar to th a t grow n in Japan. A large pro p o rtio n of th e carryover of 1922 crop rice in C alifornia is reported eith er to be in p rep aratio n for shipm ent or to have been shipped to Jap a n for relief purposes. G row ers are rep o rted to have received $2.88 per cental for num ber one paddy rice d u rin g the first w eek of S eptem ber, com pared w ith $2.68 a m onth ago and $2.63 one y e a r ago. H a rv e stin g and th resh in g of beans is p ro g ress ing in the earlier ripening sections of C alifor nia. T he D e p artm en t of A g ric u ltu re now fo re casts a 1923 yield of 4,370,000 bushels. P ro duction in 1922 to taled 4,778,000 bushels. T h e g re a te r p a rt of th e deciduous fru it crops of th e district, excepting apples and grapes, has been harvested. P rev io u s estim ates of yields in C alifornia have been changed b u t little, as show n by the follow ing table : Forecasted Y ield Sept. 1. 1923 A a*. 1,1923 (tons) Apples* ................ A pricots ............... G rapesf ................ Peaches ................ P e a r s ..................... Prunes ................. 7,062,000* 210,000 1,558,000 384,000 112,000 80,000$ (tons) 7,069,000* 210,000 1,653,000 393,000 112,000 80,000 Actual Yield 1922 (tons) 7,656.000* 120,000 1,660,000 420,000 125,000 110,000 *T otal crop (com m ercial an d non-com m ercial in boxes), tln c lu d in g all v arieties (table, w ine, an d ra is in ). ^C om m ercial estim ate on Septem ber 10, 1923— 75,000 tons. O n S eptem ber 1st th e D e p artm en t of A g ri cu ltu re estim ated the 1923 com m ercial apple crop in Idaho, O regon, and W a sh in g to n at 36,111,000 boxes (bushels) and placed th e to tal yield in th e U n ited S tates a t 100,170,000 boxes (bushels). Pacific N o rth w e stern states p ro duced 28,017,000 boxes (bushels) in 1922, and production in th e U nited S tates to taled 93,270,000 boxes (bushels). E stim a te d 1923 p ro d u c tion of apples in Pacific N o rth w e stern sta te s and the actual 1922 yield, as rep o rted by th e D e p artm en t of A griculture, are given in the follow ing table : Foreca.ted Actual YicJd Sept. 1. 1923 (bushels)* Yield 1922 (bushel*)* Idaho .......................................... 4,047,000 O r e g o n ......................................... 5,076,000 W ash in gton ............................... 26,988,000 2,925,000 3,780,000 21,312,000 T o tals ...................................... 36,111,000 28,017,000 *One bushel equals one box o f apples. P rices obtainable for deciduous fru its in fresh fru it m arkets d u rin g th e p re sen t season, although generally low er th a n la st year, are reported to have been m ore satisfac to ry to grow ers in m any cases th a n re tu rn s for can nin g and d ry in g fruit. G row ers have therefo re shipped m ore fru it fresh th a n in previous years, the fresh fru it m ovem ent from th is d istrict 133 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO d u rin g th e p re sen t season to S eptem ber 9th h av in g been larg e r th a n rep o rted in any p re vious corresponding period. S hipm ents from C alifornia up to S eptem ber 9th of the p ast tw o seasons follow : 1923 Season 1922 Season to Sept. 9th to Sept. 9th (cars) (care) 682 612 9,102 3,605 6,216 5,239 140 193 502 6,125 2,247 5,086 3,478 72 T otals ........................................... 25,596 17,703 A pricots ........................................... Cherries ........................................... Grapes .............................................. Peaches ............................................ Pears ................................................. Plum s ............................................... M ixed ................................................ CARLOADS tion, will be approxim ately one-third sm aller th a n last y e a r’s record pack of 15,477,865 cases. T hese estim ates ten d to confirm previous re p o rts of a w idespread cu rtailm en t of can n ers’ operations d u rin g th e p resen t season, canners generally having m aintained th a t th e y w ould pack little m ore th an w as necessary to fill o r ders actually in hand. T h e g re a te st reductions appear to have been m ade in th e packs of canned apricots and freestone peaches, esti m ates of this season’s pack of the form er fru it placing th e 1923 o u tp u t a t approxim ately oneth ird of last y e a r’s pack of 3,569,918 cases, and of th e la tte r fru it a t approxim ately one-half of th e 1922 pack of 1,314,597 cases. E stim ates of the 1923 pack of canned v ege tables in C alifornia, as recently com piled by th e C anners L eague of C alifornia, show sm all increases for asp arag u s and spinach, b u t a de crease of m ore th a n 50 per cent for peas, w hen com pared w ith figures for last y e a r’s pack. F ig u res follow : 1923 1922 (cases) A sparagus ........................................ 1,519,756 P eas .................................................... 223,923 Spinach ............................................ 1,383,831 T o tal shipm ents of oranges and lem ons from C alifornia up to Septem ber 1st of the p ast tw o seasons have been as follows : N o v. 1st to Sept. 1st 1922-1923 1921-1922 (cars) (cars) O ranges .......................................... 45,417 7,612 L em ons ........................................... 27,005 9,135 No serious shortage of tran sp o rta tio n equip m ent in the fresh fru it shipping centers of this d istrict has been rep o rted up to the present tim e (S eptem ber 17th). Some congestion has occurred, how ever, in E a ste rn term inal m ar kets, and shipm ents of grapes to N ew Y ork have been tem porarily restricted by one im p o rta n t carrier. T he m ovem ent of grapes from C alifornia has not y et reached its peak, and al th o u g h th e prospective situ atio n is b etter than it w as last y ea r at this tim e, w hen a serious sh o rtage had already developed, well inform ed factors in the trad e believe th a t the danger of some shortage of cars as th e p resen t shipping season progresses has not been entirely averted. (cases) 1,239,839 473,260 1,180,525 A ccording to com m ercial reports, canners in the Pacific N o rth w e st are packing only enough fru it to fill orders received. P rese n t com m er cial estim ates of th e pack in th a t section indi cate th a t it will be m aterially sm aller th a n last year for m ost of th e im p o rtan t varieties of fruits canned. A lthough som e increase in dom estic dem and for canned fru its w as reported d u rin g A ugust, the export m ark et rem ained sluggish, and b u y ing generally has been sm aller in volum e th a n a t this period in previous years of norm al bu si ness activity. W holesalers and jobbers con tinued to refrain from buying for stock. C on firm ation of earlier rep o rts of a reduced pack of th e principal fru its th is year has resulted in an upw ard tren d of prices, how ever, and on Septem ber 18th the larg est factor in th e trad e advanced its 1923 opening prices for canned apricots, yellow peaches, and B a rtle tt pears, and w ith d rew from the m arket its offerings of some varieties of apricots, cherries, peaches, and plum s, particu larly fru its packed in larg e sized containers. R epresentative quotations are given in th e follow ing ta b le : 0peninS Reviied Choice Grade, N o . 2Va Cans Price 1923 Price (per case) (per case) A pricots ................................................. $2.15 Peaches, Y ellow ................................. 2.10 Pears, B artlett .................................... 2.65 $2.20 2.15 2.75 Canned Fruits and Vegetables Dried Fruits Com m ercial estim ates indicate th a t the 1923 pack of canned fru its in California, w here th e fru it canning season is now nearing com ple As m ore com plete d ata becam e available d u r ing A ugust, estim ates of 1923 dried fru it yields in C alifornia w ere generally revised dow nw ard. 134 MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS P re se n t com m ercial estim ates, those of one m onth ago, and D ep artm en t of A g ricu ltu re es tim ates of the actual yield in 1922 for dried apricots, figs, peaches, and prunes in C alifornia are given in the follow ing table : D ried Fruits A pricots .................. F igs .......................... P eaches ................... Prunes ..................... Sept. 1, 1923 Estimate (tons) Aug. 1, 1923 Forecast (tons) 17,500 , 10,475 . , 23,400 . . 80,000t 20,000 10,950 25,000 80,000t ^Com m ercial estim ate. fU n ite d S tates D e p artm e n t o f A g ric u ltu re estim ate. 10, 1923, com m ercial estim ate— 75,000 tons. Actual Yield 1922 (tonsj 10,250 10,950* 28,000 110,000 Septem ber No official estim ate of th e 1923 to n n ag e of raisin s has y et been published, as u n ce rtain ties re g ard in g the am ount of raisin grapes w hich will be shipped in the fresh state and re g ard in g th e e x ten t of th e dam age to th e crop by m ildew have m ade it exceedingly difficult to fo recast production. T h ere w ere 220,000 to n s of raisins produced in C alifornia in 1922. P revious estim ates, placing th e 1923 yield of p runes in th e Pacific N o rth w e st (O regon and W a sh in g to n ) a t 22,500 tons, have n o t been changed d u rin g th e p ast four weeks. P ro d u c tion in 1922 w as 36,000 tons. C om m ercial rep o rts sta te th a t bo th foreign and dom estic m ark ets for dried fru its have stren g th en e d d u rin g th e p ast m onth. O n Sep tem ber 10, 1923, the C alifornia P ru n e and A pri cot G row ers A ssociation, w hich controls ' the m ajo rity of dried apricots and prunes produced in C alifornia, announced th a t it w as still hold ing ap p roxim ately 12,500 tons of unsold 1922 crop prunes. E stim a te d unsold stocks held by o th er factors in C alifornia and the Pacific N o rth w e st am ounted to 10,000 ton s on Sep tem b er 1st, m aking a to tal unsold carryover of app ro x im ately 22,500 tons of old crop prunes a t the beginning of S eptem ber, approxim ately 15 per cent of th e 1922 crop. T h e sam e associa tion had, on S eptem ber 10th, unsold stocks of dried apricots am o u n tin g to 1,250 tons, or 12 p er cent of last y e a r’s output. T h e g ro w ers’ associations, w hich control the bulk of dried peach and raisin production in C alifornia, have recently announced 1923 open ing prices for these fruits. T h e new prices are slig h tly h ig h er th a n previous spot prices for old crop fru it, b u t are low er th a n 1922 opening prices. Q u o tatio n s are given in the follow ing ta ^ e 1 D ried Peaches— Choice u n peeled yellow— B ulk in 25-lb. boxes R aisins— No. 3 cr. Loose M us catels— B ulk in 25-lb. bo x es. R aisin s— T hom psons — B u lk in 25-lb. boxes ................................ *L a te r advanced to 7% cents. Percentage Decrease Spot Opening Prices 1923 Prices (cents per pound) Compared A ug. 15, 1923 1922 with 1922 1923 7^* 8'/2 1 1 3 6 . 1 7VÁ 10 12.5 8 10 15.0 8 M any of the so-called independent packers are reported to be q uoting prices slightly low er than those of the larg er factors. Livestock O pen ranges, fenced grazin g land, and farm p astures continued in b e tte r th an average con dition du rin g A ugust. Seasonal rains in the In term o u n tain states favored th e g ro w th of w in ter forage, and feed is now plentiful in all but a few sm all areas of n o rth ern A rizona and so uth ern U tah. L ittle rain has fallen in the Pacific C oast states, b u t dry p astu re is fu rn ish ing sufficient feed to keep livestock in excellent condition. A norm al seasonal increase in receipts of cattle, calves, and sheep, and a sm all decrease in hog receipts w as reported from th e eigh t principal livestock m arkets of th e d istrict d u r ing A ugust, 1923. T o tal receipts of all classes of livestock w ere larg er th an in A u gu st, 1922, as show n by th e follow ing table : Receipts ol Livestock at Eight Principal Markets Cattle Calves Hogs August, 1923......... 69,256 July, 1923......... 66,013 A ugust, 1922......... 60,401 23,918 22,189 19,619 170,161 170,721 105,876 Sheep 239,364 225,836 216,507 THOUSANDS Receipts of Livestock at Eight of the Principal Markets of the District 1922*1923. (Los Angeles. Ogden, Portland, Salt Lake C ity, San Francisco. Seattle, Spokane, and Tacoma included) P rices for b etter grades of beef cattle ad vanced during A ugust, in response to an active dem and, b u t it is repo rted th a t only a sm all proportion of the grass-fattened cattle reaching the m arkets of the d istrict d u ring th a t m onth could be classified as first grade stock. T he price of hogs also advanced d u rin g th e m onth, w hile sheep and lam b prices g enerally tended dow nw ard. T he stro n g dem and for feeder and stocker anim als noted d u rin g recen t m onths, p artic u larly in Pacific N o rth w estern m arkets, is re ported to have declined d u ring A ugust. FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO Prices R ev ersing the dow nw ard tren d of recent m onths, th e general level of prices for the principal ag ricu ltu ral products of this d istrict advanced d uring A ugust. W h eat, barley, rice, cotton, b u tter, eggs, cattle, sheep, lam bs, and hogs w ere am ong the products p articip atin g in th e advance, and on S eptem ber 1st all of these p roducts w ere selling a t prices su b stan tially above those of a year ago, as also w ere sugar and wool. T he price of w heat did not hold all of its A u g u st gain, how ever, and on S eptem ber 12th w heat for S eptem ber delivery w as quoted on th e Chicago m ark et a t 99% cents per bushel com pared w ith a price of $1.01 ^4 cents per bushel quoted on S eptem ber 16, 1922. M id dling upland cotton prices on th e N ew O rleans m ark et (spot) advanced from 22 cents per pound on A u g u st 3rd to 24^4 cents per pound on S eptem ber 7th and th en rose sharply to 28% cents per pound on S eptem ber 18th. B eet sugar, w hich has n o t been quoted on th e San F rancisco m arket for th e p ast tw o m onths, w as quoted again on S eptem ber 4th, the price 135 nam ed on th a t date being $8.00 per 100 pounds. T his quotation w as later revised upw ard and on Septem ber 13th beet sugar sold for $8.40 per 100 pounds. T h e average of 98 wool q u o t ations on the B oston m ark et w as 76.46 cents per pound on S eptem ber 7th, a drop of tw o ÍNDEX NUMBERS ________ Wholesale Prices and the Cost of Living, 1920-1923 United States Bureau of Labor Index of W holesale Prices (1 9 1 3 = 1 0 0 ) National Industrial Conference Board Index of the Cost of Living (July 1 914= 100) (A ) Com m odity Prices — Commodity T w en ty Basic C om m odities (F. R. B. of N. Y .) 1913=100. W holesale Prices (U . S. Bureau of Labor) 1913= 100 ........... Cost of Living (N ational Industrial Conference Board) July, 1914=1013.................................................................................. Cattle (N ative B e e f). . .W eek ly average price at C h ica g o .. S h e e p .................. L a m b s ................ .............W eek ly average price at C h icago.. H o g s ................... W h e a t ................. .C hicago contract price for Sept. W h eat. B a r l e y ................. .Shipping B arley f. o. b. San F r a n c isc o ... Rice ..................... .California F ancy Japan at San Francisco C otton ................ .M iddling U plands— W eek ly range of spot quotations at N ew O rlean s....................... W o o l ................... .A verage of 98 quotations at B o sto n ......... F l o u r ................... .F irst Grade Fam ily Patent f. o. b. Pacific Coast m ills.......................................... ............ Sugar .................. .B eet granulated f. o. b. San F r a n c is c o ... O ranges ............. .V alencias, Special Brands, L os A n g eles. L em ons .............. .Special Brands at L os A n g e le s................... Dried A pples C hoice in 50-lb. boxes f. o. b. California. Dried A p r ic o ts.. .Choice in 25-lb. b oxes f. o. b. California. Prunes ................ Size 40/50 in 25-lb. b oxes f. o. b. C a lif... R aisins ............... L oose M uscatel in 25-lb. b oxes f. o. b. California ........................................................ Canned A p ricots.C h oice, sliced 2i^s f. o. b. C alifornia......... Canned Peaches. .Cling, Choice, sliced 2 ^ s f. o. b. C alif... Canned P e a r s ... .B artlett, Standard 2% s f. o. b. California Raw M ilk ............ .Pacific Coast— A ugust avera g e................... Butter ................. .93 score at San F ra n cisco .............................. E g g s .................... .E xtras— San F ra n cisco ................................... C o p p e r ................ .E lectrolytic; N ew Y ork S p o t..................... L e a d .................... .N ew Y ork S p o t................................................. S ilv e r ................... .N ew Y ork F o r e ig n .......................................... Zinc ..................... .E ast St. L ouis S p o t........................................ Petroleum ........ .California 35° and a b o v e................................ D ouglas F ir ....... .2x4, 16-ft. N o. S1S1E f. o. b. S ea ttle ......... D ouglas F ir ....... .12x12 T im bers f. o. b. S e a ttle ..................... *1933. U nit Sept. 7. 1923 151.5 150.0 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. 100 lbs. bu. cental cental lb. lb. bbl. lb. box box lb. lb. lb. lb. doz. doz. doz. 100 lbs. lb. doz. lb. lb. oz. lb. bbl. M ft. M ft. 161.6 $10.40 7.15 12.95 8.45 1 .0 1 ^ -1 .0 3 # 1.50-1.70 5.75 One Month Ago 143.1 151.0 One Y ear Ago 140.6 155.0 161.9 154.5 $ 9.80 $ 9.75 5.90 6.40 12.55 12.40 8.00 6.95 .96rt-.97y4 1.005^-1.02^ 1.20-1.30 1.35-1.45 4.85 5.25 24.50-25.50* 22.00-23.00* 20.50-21.00* 78.47* 71.55* 76.46* 6.96 8.00* 3.50-4.00 7.75-8.25 *.07^-.07¿4 *.08^-.08¿4 *.09y2-.0 9 H .08 2.60 2.25 2.35 2.79 .49 .49 •133/4 7.00* .6334 6.55-6.60* 1.04 19.50 25.00 6.95 8.05* 3.75-4.00 7.50-8.00 .06^-.06¿4 .0954-09^2 .0 9 # -.0 9 ^ .08 2.60 2.25 2.35 2.76 •44¿4 .36 • 14^2 6.70* •625^ 6.15-6.20* 1.04 20.50 25.00 7.43 6.70* 10.00-10.50 7.25-7.50 .09-.09yA .2 2 ^ -2 3 .11¿4-.12 .10 3.25 2.60 2.85 2.34 .43*4 .44 .14 6.00* .69% 6.25-6.30* 1.95 18.50 18.00 136 M ONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS cents per pound since A u g u st 3rd. O ne year ago th is average stood a t 71.55 cents per pound. A s has been m entioned in p arag ra p h s on canned and dried fruits, the m ark et for these p ro d u cts has becom e m ore active d u rin g recent weeks, and prices of certain grades and v ari eties of canned fru its have been advanced. O p en in g prices on dried fru its cu rren tly an nounced have been uniform ly below those of a y ear ago. C ontinued stre n g th e n in g of lead and zinc prices, a fractional decline in copper prices, and a slig h t dow nw ard tendency in prices for cer tain sizes and g rad es of lum ber characterized th e price situ atio n am ong th e chief non-agricu ltu ra l p roducts of th e d istrict d u rin g A ugust. N orm al seasonal changes in o u tp u t of flour, stocks of flour, and stocks of w h eat m arked th e A u g u st re p o rts received by th is b ank from sixteen of the principal m illing com panies in th e d istrict. R eported production of 538,982 barrels of flour d u rin g A ugust, 1923, w as an advance of 37.0 per cent over production d u r in g Ju ly , 1923. Stocks of flour held by th e six- for w hich a continuous record is kept are given in th e follow ing table : Aug., 1923 July, 1923 A ug., 1922 538,982 393,330 503,216 O utput ................ (bbls.) Stocks of Flour* (bbls.) 397,391 452,435 381,127 Stocks of W heat* (bu.) 1,460,100 1,233,375 1,911,887 *As o f the first day of th e follow ing m onth. P ro d u ctio n of 44 flour m ills rep o rtin g th ro u g h sectional m illers’ associations of th is d istrict w as 40.6 p er cent g re a te r d u rin g A u g u st th a n d u rin g July, 1923. A decline of 38.6 per cent reported for flour m ills in O regon w as m ore th a n offset by th e large increases in o th er flour producing states, as show n by th e follow ing ta b le : N o . of M ills Reporting Aug., July, 1923 1923 C alifornia . 10 10 2 .. 3 O regon . . . . 15 15 W ashington. 16 17 D istric t . 44 44 Per Cent Increase or Decrease ( — ) A ug.. 1923 Ju ly, 1923 --------Output - — v Com p a ed Compared Aug.. 1923 July, 1923 with with (barrels) (barrels) July, 1923 June, 1923 372,653 210,860 — 0.7 76.7 12,212 7,469 6.3 63.5 22.2 82,558 134,471 — 38.6 33.4 343,426 223,733 53.4 810,849 S76yS33 40.6 16.9 Lumber G enerally increased activ ity characterized th e lum ber in d u stry of th e d istric t d u rin g A ugust. O p erato rs are rep o rted to be p ro d u c ing lum ber in excess of p re sen t req u irem en ts in o rd er to build up stocks, w hich have been below norm al for som e tim e past. T h e am o u n t of new business entered in the books of reMILLIONS OF BOARD FE E T TH O U S A N D BARRELS 9001 0 iTTTTTTTTmTTi TTT\ j rTT^T~T1TrT^TiriirD 1922 1923 M onthly Floor Output, and Stocks of Wheat and Flour at End of Month of 16 Reporting M illing Companies teen m ills w ere reduced from 452,435 barrels on A u g u st 1st to 397,391 b arrels on Septem ber 1, 1923, in d icatin g th a t the g re a te r p a rt of the increased production d u rin g A u g u st w as the re su lt of increased sales, ra th e r th an of m illing to replenish stocks. A u g u st o u tp u t and pres en t flour stocks are 7.1 per cent and 4.5 per cent, respectively, g re ater th a n the reported figures one year ago, probably reflecting a n o r m al g ro w th of activ ity in th e in d u stry corres po n d in g to th e g ro w th and developm ent of th e district. F ig u res for sixteen m illing com panies Lum ber Production, Orders Received, and Shipments in Twelfth Federal Reserve District as Reported by Four Lum ber Associations. 1922-1923 p o rtin g mills, although less th a n production, w as considerably in excess of one m onth ago or one y ear ago. F igures show ing th e activ ity of approxim ately 200 re p o rtin g m ills follow : (000 om itted.) Production ..................... S h ip m e n ts ....................... Orders .............................. U nfilled O r d e r s ............. A ug., 1923 (board feet) July, 1923 (board feet) A ug., 1922 (board feet) 664,864 551,355 533,327 400,964 604,376 528,350 495,277 429,558 561,710 471,861 475,519 438,138 137 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO T h e dem and for Pacific C oast lum ber on the A tlan tic seaboard im proved. T ra n s it stocks at E a ste rn seaports, w hich had previously exer cised a re ta rd in g influence on th e m arket, w ere larg ely disposed of d u rin g July, and th is condi tio n w as reflected in an increase of lum ber ship m en ts to A tlan tic C oast te rrito ry d u rin g A u g u st. Some slight im provem ent in dem and a t M iddle W e ste rn d istrib u tin g points has re su lted in increased shipm ents to th a t section of th e country. In C alifornia, th e th ird g re at dom estic m ark et for Pacific C oast lum ber, con tinued record building operations in and about L os A ngeles have stim u lated th e dem and for lum ber, and th e large stocks previously held on th e w harves of south coast p o rts have been g re atly reduced. G reater activ ity in th e export m ark et also w as noted d u rin g A ugust. B ook ing of orders, w hich w as discontinued d u rin g Ju ly , due to th e inability of th e m ills to m ake p ro m p t shipm ent, w as resum ed, and shipm ents increased by approxim ately 25 per cent, ac cording to a re p o rt of th e D ouglas F ir E x p lo itatio n and E x p o rt Com pany. Japan, A u s tralia, and th e w est coast of S outh A m erica have continued as th e principal foreign p u r chasers of lum ber from th is district. Some in crease in dem and from the first nam ed country is expected as a re su lt of th e recent enorm ous d estru ctio n of buildings in m any of th e cities and tow ns of th a t nation. P rices for lum ber, in bo th th e dom estic and ex p o rt m arket, have rem ained steady th ro u g h o u t the m onth, although som e increases and som e decreases have been reported for certain sizes a t various mills. D espite continued capacity operation of log g in g cam ps, little has been accom plished in th e w ay of accum ulating a w in ter reserve of logs to supply m ills w hen th e loggers are no longer able to w ork, because m ills a t th e p resen t tim e are consum ing practically all of th e logs cur re n tly produced. M ining P ro d u cers of lead and zinc, both in th is dis tric t and in the co untry as a whole, report th a t th ey m ined less m etal d u rin g A u g u st th an d u rin g th e earlier m onths of th is year, continu ing th e slight decrease in production first noted in July. P ro d u ctio n of copper, despite some cu rtailm en t in scattered m ining properties, continued at a relatively high level, and it is reported th a t o u tp u t exceeded dem and d u rin g Ju ly and possibly d u rin g A ugust. R eduction in th e o u tp u t of lead is largely involuntary, being due in g re at p a rt to th e destruction by fire of one of the principal lead m ining plants in the state of Idaho. F ig u res of national production of copper, silver, and zinc for July, 1923, June, 1923, and July, 1922, are given in th e follow ing ta b le : Copper (lb s.) July. 1923 Jo n «, 1923 July. 1922 (m ine production) 125,249,347 125,433,000 90,998,646 Silver (oz.) (com m ercial bars) 5,406,000 5,100,840 4,340,574 Zinc (ton s) (slab) .................... 43,065 42,840 28,547 F ig u res for lead are no t available. T h e im proved m arket for lead and zinc, w hich follow ed the reduced production and in creased dem and of late Ju ly and early A ugust, continued th ro u g h o u t th e latte r m onth and into Septem ber. T h e m ark et for copper, on th e contrary, w eakened as th e probability of a tem p o rary excess of production over sales grew stronger, the price falling to new low levels for th e p resen t m ovem ent. O n S eptem ber 17th electrolytic copper on th e N ew Y o rk m ark et w as quoted a t 13*H$ to 13^4 cents p er pound. Silver prices have fluctuated u n stead ily d u rin g the m onth. A verage prices paid for copper, lead, silver, and zinc d u rin g A ugust, 1923, July, 1923, and A ugust, 1922, follow : „ /1t . Aog., 1923 Copper (lb.) (cents) N ew York E lectr o ly tic .. 13.59 Lead (lb.) N ew Y o r k ......................... 6.56 Silver (oz.) N ew York F o r e ig n ......... 62.81 Zinc (lb.) St. L o u i s ............................ 6.32 Joly, 1923 A o g .,1922 (cents) (cents) 14.32 13.97 6.24 5.82 63.015 69.41 6.09 6.21 P etroleum D espite continued efforts of C alifornia oper ators to curtail production of petroleum , daily average o u tp u t in A ugust reached th e record figure of 852,903 barrels, an increase of 4.7 per cent over average daily production in July, 1923 (814,906 b arrels), and of 123.1 per cent over average daily production for A ugust, 1922 (382,221 b arrels). T h ere w ere 61 new w ells b ro u g h t in d u rin g the m onth w ith an initial daily production of 118,433 barrels. T h ere w ere 16 wells abandoned. C onsum ption of petroleum produced in Cali fornia averaged 708,767 barrels per day d urin g A ugust, 1923, an increase of 14.2 per cent over July, 1923, and of 137 per cent over A ugust, 1922. A verage daily consum ption, however, is still less th an production, and stored stocks rose to 83,123,835 barrels on Septem ber 1, 1923, an am ount 5.7 per cent g reater than the 78,655, 604 barrels stored on A u gu st 1, 1923. S tored stocks on Septem ber 1, 1922, am ounted to 54,272,194 barrels. H eavy shipm ents of crude oil to the east coast of the U nited S tates con tinued, receipts of C alifornia oil at A tlantic 13$ MONTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS and Gulf coast ports advancing from a daily averag e of 168,129 barrels for the m onth of Ju ly to a daily average of 211,741 barrels for A u g u st. A s is norm al a t this season of the year, con su m p tion of gasolene, th e principal derivative of crude petroleum , continues to exceed pro duction, w ith a consequent decrease in stored stocks. Stocks held in C alifornia declined from 142,859,892 gallons on Ju ly 1, 1923, to 136,585,654 gallons on A u g u st 1, 1923, the sm allest am o u n t rep o rted in storage since M arch 1, 1923. Stocks w ere 7.2 per cent less on A u g u st 1, 1923, th a n on Ju n e 1, 1923, and 225.8 per cfent g re a te r th an on A u g u st 1, 1922. M IL L IO N S 200 Electric Energy S uggestion of a slig h t slackening in in d u s trial activity d u rin g Ju ly is afforded by figures of sales of electric energy for industrial p u r poses received from 20 of th e principal pow er com panies of the district. Sales d u rin g July, 1923, w ere b u t 16.5 per cent g re a te r th a n du rin g July, 1922, w hereas d u rin g each of the previous six m onths of this y ear sales had been 20 per cent or m ore g re ater th a n in th e correspon d in g m onth of 1922. T he g re a te r p a rt of th e gain recorded in July, 1923, as com pared w ith July, 1922, w as in sales of electric energy for general m an u factu rin g purposes, alth o u g h th e m ining in d u stry and th e petroleum in d u stry used pow er in excess of th eir purchases a y ear ago. P ercen tag e com parisons of sales of 20 of th e principal pow er com panies by certain in d u s tries and by sections of th e d istrict are p re sented in th e follow ing ta b le : Percentage Increase or Decrease ( — ) July, 1923, compared with July, 1922 Tota^ A gricul M a n u Industrial ture M ining facturing Sales 8.3 California ................... Pacific N orth w est . . . — 14.6 Interm om itain States ■ — 6.4 T w elfth D istrict . . . . 6.8 C A L IF O R N IA Production. Shipments, and Stored Stocks of Petroleum, and Refinery Stored Stocks of Gasolene. 1922-1923 G asolene prices have recently declined to the low est levels since 1915. O n A u g u st 22, 1923, a reduction of 1 cent per gallon w as announced in N o rth e rn C alifornia, N evada, W ashington, O regon, and A laska, and of 2 cents per gallon in S o u thern C alifornia. A fu rth e r reduction of one cent per gallon w as announced on Sep tem b er 6th. H ig h and low points of retail g as olene prices a t San F rancisco d u rin g recent y ears are show n in th e follow ing ta b le : Cents per Gallon May, July, A ugust, Septem ber, 1914............................................................ 1915............................................................ 1920............................................................ 1923............................................................ 14# 11 27 14 P rices for crude oil m entioned in th e M o n th ly R eview for A u g u st, 1923, now effective th ro u g h o u t th e en tire S ta te of C alifornia, w ere unchanged d u rin g th e m onth. 0.6 2.2 84.8 9.9 29.5 46.7 2.9 32.2 18.0 11.5 16.7 16.5 F ig u re- of to tal sales for July, 1923, show ed an increase of 2.7 per cent over Ju n e, 1923, al m ost w holly due to increasing needs of a g ri cultural consum ers w ho used 5.7 per cent m ore pow er d u rin g July. C onsum ption of electric energy a t m ines, oil fields, and lum ber m ills declined d u rin g Ju ly as com pared w ith June. T he decrease in sales to th e lum ber indu stry , w hich am ounted to 16.7 per cent, w as chiefly due to the usual seasonal closing of the m ills d u rin g the first tw o w eeks of July. F ig u res show ing the num ber of in d u strial consum ers and industrial sales of re p o rtin g com panies durin g July, 1923, and 1922, follow : Num ber of Industrial Consumers July, July. 1923 1922 C alifornia .................. 72,014 Pacific N orth w est . . 12,293 In te rm o u n ta in States 5,419* T w e lfth D istric t . . . . 89,726 52,299 10,860 10,342* 73,501 Industrial Sales K .W . H . July, July. 1923 1922 264,813,222 74,055,388 65,360,054 404,228,664 224,411,649 66,416,285 55,989.458 346,817,392 *D ue to a change in the statistic a l m ethod of one re p o rtin g com pany these figures are no t com parable. Retail Trade Sales of 35 d ep artm en t stores in seven cities of th e d istrict w ere 13.5 p er cent g re a te r in value d u rin g A ugust, 1923, th a n d u rin g A u g u st, 1922. T h is increase as com pared w ith th e co r responding m onth a year ago, alth o u g h less th an th e increases rep o rted for th e tw o p re ceding m onths, is g re a te r th a n th a t rep o rted for A pril or M ay, 1923. T h ere w as a norm al FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO seasonal increase in sales d uring A ugust, 1923, as com pared w ith July, 1923, am ounting to 16.9 per cent. Stocks of goods held by re p o rtin g stores in creased 6.5 per cent in value durin g A ugust, as goods purchased for the fall and w in ter trad e w ere received and placed in stock. T he value of stocks (selling price) held on Septem ber 1, 1923, w as 13.9 per cent g re ater than the value of stocks held by these stores a y ear ago. T h e average annual ra te of stock tu rn o v er in dicated by the figures of sales and stocks for A ugust, 1923, w as 2.88, com pared w ith a ra te of 2.92 for A ugust, 1922. 139 during A ugust, 1923, com pared w ith July, 1923, the exceptions being ag ricu ltu ral im plem ents and groceries. All re p o rtin g lines show ed in creases in the value of sales d u rin g A ugust, 1923, as com pared w ith A ugust, 1922. Sales of ag ricu ltu ral im plem ents and autom obile tires, w hich w ere less in value in July, 1923, th a n in July, 1922, show ed increases of 14.9 per cent and 3.2 per cent, respectively, d u rin g A ugust. P ercen tag e increases or decreases (— ) in th e value of A u g u st sales of all rep o rtin g firm s in each line of business are presented in th e follow ing tab le: E igh, M „ n«h . Ending Aug., 31, Aug., 1923. 1923, com* compared with pared with Aug., July, same period 1922 1923 in 1922 Number of Firm s MILLIONS OF DOLLARS A gricultural Im plem ents 24 A utom obile S u p p lie s.... 17 A utom obile T ir e s............ 18 10 D ry Goods ....................... 15 E lectrical E quipm ent. .. 6 Furniture ........................... 17 Groceries ........................... 29 Hardware ......................... 20 12 S ta t io n e r y ......................... 28 14.9 17.1 3.2 12.4 6.7 10.9 11.5 9.8 12.1 5.4 7.3 — 13.3 2.9 34.7 7.1 34.8 .1 16.5 — 5.0 5.1 28.2 24.6 10.0 22.7 12.5 13.2 18.5 35.4 30.2 12.7 25.8 15.3 18.6 AUGUST PRICES 1922 = 1009*= AUGUST 1922 SALES U.S.BUREAU OF LABOR INDEX NO. WHOLESALE PRICES AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENTS AUT0M08ILE SUPPLIES AUTOMOBILE TIRES Net Sales of 31 Department Stores in Twelfth Federal Reserve District (in Millions of Dollars) DRUGS A detailed statem en t of th e percentage changes in the value of sales and stocks of re p o rtin g d ep artm en t stores in th is d istrict follo w s : Percentage increase or decrease (— ) in value of sales A ug., 1923, compared with N o. of A ug., July, 1922 1923 Stores Percentage increase or decrease (— ) in value of stocks Aug., 1923, compared with Aug., July, 1923 1922 6 Los A n g e le s. . 4 Oakland . . . . . Salt Lake Gitv . . . 4 San Francisco. ...1 0 5 Seattle ............ 5 Spokane ........ 20.4 7.2 13.2 9.6 8.3 3.2 18.0 18.1 - - 1.9 22.6 10.1 8.3 23.7 7.6 — 2.1 14.9 6.3 6.3 2.8 5.0 8.1 7.5 13.7 4.1 35 13.5 16.9 13.9 6.5 D istrict51 . . . *Figures fo r one store included in d istric t figures, but not ineluded in figures fo r cities shown above. D RY GOODS FURNITURE GROCERIES HARDWARE SHOES S TA TIO N E R Y 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 180 Dollar Value of Sales of Representative Wholesale Firm s and General Wholesale Prices in August, 1923, compared with August, 1922 C ollections d u rin g the p ast th ree m onths have been reported as follow s: Number of Firm s Reporting Collections as Excellent Good Fair Poor June, 1923......................... 3 July, 1923......................... 5 A ugust, 1923......................... 5 56 43 48 72 75 79 8 8 7 W holesale Trade N orm al seasonal increases in trad e at w hole sale, resu ltin g from re ta ile rs’ purchases of fall and w in ter stocks, have been reflected in re p o rts received by this bank d u rin g the p ast m onth from approxim ately 200 firms in eleven lines of business. Of the eleven lines nine re ported an increase in the value of th eir sales Em ploym ent T h ere has been little change in em ploym ent conditions in this d istrict during the p ast m onth. As a rule h arv est hands, w hile n o t overabundant, have been sufficiently num erous for h arv estin g th e d istric t’s crops. F rom th e W illam ette V alley of O regon, how ever, have 140 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS com e re p o rts of a serious sh o rtag e of hop pick ers and w ages for th is w ork have risen to the h ig h est level ever recorded (70 cents per picked b ask e t). F arm w ages in general have in creased rapidly d u rin g 1923, according to re p o rts of th e U n ited S tates D e p artm en t of A g ri culture. T h e p rev ailin g farm w age ra te in this d istrict on Ju ly 1,1923, w as 24.7 p er cent higher th a n on J a n u a ry 1, 1923, and 17.1 per cent h ig h er th a n th e average w age paid d u rin g 1922. W ag es paid farm help in th is d istric t range from 12 p er cent to 118 per cent higher th a n w ages in o th e r p a rts of th e U n ited States. F ig u res show ing farm w age rates in the W e st ern S tates and in th e U nited S tates on Ja n u a ry 1, 1923, Ju ly 1, 1923, and in previous years f° ll0 W : Per M onth with Board 1 9 1 0 ................................................. 1915 ................................................. 1920 1921 1922 January 1, 1923............................ July 1, 1923.................................. United States $19.21 21.26 46.89 30.14 29.17 27.81 34.38 Western States $32.69 33.50 73.21 47.29 45.57 42.78 53.35 R ecent gains in building activ ity in this dis tric t have increased th e dem and for skilled b u ild in g trad e s craftsm en, and a slig h t scarcity of b ricklayers, p lasterers, and tile setters has been rep o rted in several sections. E m ploy m en t in th e m etal trad e s has declined slightly d u rin g th e p a st m onth. R ep o rted cu rta ilm en t of production in the m in in g in d u stry has n o t seriously altered the em ploym ent situ atio n in th e m ining districts, and o p erato rs still com plain of a sh o rtag e of skilled m iners. W ag es for both skilled and u n skilled m iners have advanced $1 and $1.25 per day d u rin g th e p a st y ear as show n by th e fol low ing table w hich p resen ts th e average fig ures reported from several m ining d is tric ts : Skilled Unskilled Sept. 1, 1922-Oct. 1, 1922........... $4.75-6.00 $4.00-4.50 Oct. 1, 1922-March 15, 1 9 2 3 .... 5.25-6.50 4.50-5.00 March 15, 1923-Sept. 1, 1 9 2 3 ... 5.75-7.00 5.00-5.50 T h e num ber of m en em ployed in th e lum ber cam ps of th e Pacific N o rth w est, although re m ain in g larg e r th a n in 1922, declined slightly d u rin g A u g u st, approxim ately 83,000 m en b eing re p o rted on payrolls on S eptem ber 1, 1923, as com pared w ith 90,000 on A u g u st 1, 1923, and 81,500 on S eptem ber 1, 1922. In creased shipping activ ity d u rin g th e cu rren t y ea r is reflected in increased em ploym ent of longshorem en a t Pacific C oast ports. A verage w eekly earnings of longshorem en based on identical h o u r rates have increased 18.5 per cen t d u rin g the year. T h e follow ing figures based on the reports of 40 large firm s usually em ploying 501 or m ore m en give a com parison of em ploym ent conditions in m an u factu rin g industries d u rin g A ugust, 1923, and 1922. pe rce n t Num ber Increase Aug., of Num ber of M en on Payroll* 1923, over Firm s A ug.. 1923 A ug.. 1922 A ug.. 1922 Los A n g e le s.......... Portland ............... San F r a n c isc o .. . . Seattle .................. 16 8 10 6 33,946 9,324 7,746 2,357 28,753 6,439 6,735 2,343 18.1 44.8 15.0 0.6 *These figures do n o t re p re sen t th e to tal num ber o f m en engaged in m a n u fa c tu rin g a ctivities in these cities, bu t only th e payroll figures of a selected num ber o f firms. A utom obile R egistrations P u rch ases of new autom obiles in th is d is trict, as indicated by th e n u m ber of new cars registered d u rin g July, continue to exceed those of a y ear ago. In four states for w hich com parative d ata are available th ere w ere 54.9 per cent m ore new passenger cars and 21.3 p er cent m ore new com m ercial cars reg istered d u r ing July, 1923, th an d u rin g July, 1922. D u rin g the first seven m onths of 1923, as com pared w ith th e sam e period in 1922, th ere w as an in crease of 77.7 per cent in re g istra tio n s of new passenger cars, and re g istra tio n s of new tru c k s increased by 29.6 per cent. F ig u res sho w in g reg istratio n of new autom obiles in th e sta te s of this d istrict (except N evada, for w hich fig ures are no t available) for th e first seven m onths of 1923 and 1922 are presen ted in th e follow ing tab le: Tota, Tota| N e w Passenger Ca rs Registered Jan. 1 to A ug. 1 1923 1922 N e w Commercial Cars Registered Jan. 1 to A ug. 1 1923 1922 6,058 A rizona ................ C a lifo r n ia ............. 134,294 Idaho ............. 5,403 O r e g o n ................. 21,873 U tah ...................... 7,286 W ash in gton . . . . 30,006 2,474 79,357 2,624 9,879 * 10,195 513 13,966 346 877 711 3,002 T otal (4 states) 167,628 94,334 15,402 135 9,859 249 871 * * 11,114 *N ot available. T o tal re g istratio n s of old and new au to m o biles in six states of th e d istric t (figures for N evada are not available) to S eptem ber 1, 1923, num bered 1,521,031, an increase of 28.1 per cent over the 1,187,404 cars reg istered in th e sam e period in 1922. T h e expected seasonal decline in produ ctio n of autom obiles d u rin g Ju ly w as confirm ed by figures rep resen tin g about 90 per cent of th e in d u stry com piled by th e F ederal R eserve B ank a t Chicago. O u tp u t of p assen g er cars decreased 11.8 per cent and of tru c k s 25.6 per cent d u rin g Ju ly as com pared w ith June. P re lim inary figures for A u g u st show an increase over Ju ly of 8.5 per cent in the n um ber of p as senger cars and of 1.0 per cent in th e num ber of tru ck s produced. T o tal production for A u g u st w as approxim ately 20 per cent g re ater 141 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO th an for th e sam e m onth of 1922. T h e figures fo llo w : Aug 1923* JuJy 1923* Aug 1922 P assen ger C a r s ........... 296,753 T rucks ............................ 28,780 T otal ........................... 325,533 274,638 28,502 303,140 248,044 24,093 272,137 of building m aterials stood a t 186 in A ugust. T his is 2.1 per cent less th an one m onth ago, 8.1 per cent higher th an one year ago, and 8.8 per cent below th e recent peak of A pril, 1923. ^ P relim in ary figures. Savings Accounts B uild in g Activity T h e am ount of all savings deposits in 75 banks in seven principal cities of th e d istrict increased from $936,123,000 on Ju ly 31, 1923, to $936,938,000 on A u g u st 31, 1923, a gain of 0.08 per cent. T w o cities, San F rancisco and Seattle, reported decreases during th e m onth, C ontinuance of p resen t building activ ity is forecasted by the record of building perm its issued in the d istrict d u rin g A ugust. R evers in g the dow nw ard tren d w hich has persisted, w ith seasonal checks, since last M arch, th e p ast m onth w itnessed th e au th o rizatio n of a g re ater MILLIONS am ount of building th an in any previous m onth 1000 of w hich there is record. T h e value of perm its OF DOLLARS to ta l 500 400 40 300 36 200 32 H 28 100 24 OAKLAND Ar- O U N T (IF PERN ILLION5 OF DO 20 r6 50 40 12 30 8 20 MBER 0 F PERM T S IN THO JSA N D S SP O K A NE 4 Q 1I 1 . 1. 1__ |___ULi__ I 1922 i l l __ t i l l LT L A K E C ITY i ill I___L_i_i___1___Li—I___I___L 1923 Building Permits Issued in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922*1923 issued d u rin g A u g u st exceeded the previous record m onth of M arch, 1923, by 0.6 per cent, and th e num ber of perm its issued w as 1.4 per cent less th an the num ber issued in th a t m onth. A s com pared w ith July, 1923, th e num ber of perm its issued d u rin g A u g u st, 1923, show ed an increase of 20.4 per cent, w ith an increase in value of 26.6 per cent. Percentage Increase in the Num ber and Value of Building Permits issued in 20 Cities A ug., 1923. compared with A ug.. 1922 July, 1923 N um ber of Perm its Issu e d .............. 13.6% Value of P erm its Issu e d .................. 37.4% 20.4% 26.6% T h e relatively g re a te r increase in th e value of co n struction authorized th a n in th e num ber of perm its issued, as com pared w ith one y ear ago, indicates, in addition to th e actual increase in th e physical volum e of construction, th a t new construction th is y ear is increasingly ta k ing th e form of factories, office buildings, a p a rt m en t houses, etc., buildings w hose individual value is relatively high. T h e U nited S tates D e p artm en t of L abor index num ber of the cost 1922 1923 Savings Accounts in Banks in Seven Principal Cities of the Twelfth Federal Reserve District. 1922-1923 (B ) B u il d in g P e r m its — August, 1923 No. Value B erkeley ....... L on g B e a c h ... L os A n g e le s.. Oakland ......... O gden ............ Pasadena . . . . P h o e n ix .......... Portland ........ Sacram ento .. Salt Lake City San D ie g o .. . . San F rancisco San J o s e . . . . . S e a t t le ............. Spokane ......... Stockton ....... T acom a .......... 229 61 142 404 5,932 1,120 30 381 51 1,443 19 339 96 421 787 94 854 218 117 439 D i s t r i c t ___ 13,177 $ August, 1922 No. Value 620,435 67,529 286,413 1,566,817 22,249,262 2,118,416 67,200 765,629 68,805 2,818,355 56,908 2,514,560 559,730 651,598 3,915,300 187,885 1,281,130 199,146 251,375 223,416 229 85 176 287 4,294 852 65 337 43 1,644 26 264 142 386 690 72 1,006 333 151 514 $40,469,909 11,596 $ 556,300 112,524 407,398 856,988 11,523,891 1,681,201 167,600 925,358 109,985 1,941,380 46,500 868,046 421,075 1,082,216 6,214,082 187,586 1,200,740 391,136 385,100 369,027 $29,448,133 142 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS th a t of San F rancisco, how ever, being less th an on e-ten th of 1 per cent. C om pared w ith A ugust, 1922, the d istrict figures for A ugust, 1923, show an increase of 16.0 per cent. Los A ngeles and S eattle continue to re p o rt th e larg est percent age increases for the year period, am o u n tin g to 23 p er cent for th e form er city and 20 per cent for the latter. D etailed changes in the am ount of savings deposits since one m onth ago an$ one y ear ago as reported by 75 banks in seven cities follow : PerCent Num ber of Reporting Banks L os A n g e le s........... Oakland* ............... P ortland ................ Salt Lake C it y .. . . San F r a n c is c o .... S eattle .................... Spokane ................. . 13 7 9 8 16 16 6 T o t a l ................... .......... 75 men in m any sections of th e district. C om pared w ith A ugust, 1922, bank debits for A ugust, 1923, show an increase of 15.6 per cent, the sm allest increase over th e corresponding m onth a year ago rep o rted since D ecem ber, 1922. As noted in previous review s, this inM 1LLIONS OF DOLLARS Increase or Decrease (— ) A ug., 1923. compared with A ug.. 1922 July, 1923 23.2 15.9 16.9 12.5 10.3 20.3 13.2 .2 .4 .06 .9 — .09 — .4 .7 16.0 .08 * In clu d es one bank in B erkeley w hich was fo rm erly a branch of an O akland bank. Bank D ebits F ig u res of debits to individual accounts a t banks in21 clearing house centers d u rin g A ugust, 1923, show a decline as com pared w ith July, 1923, w hich w as slightly in excess of th e n o r m al seasonal m ovem ent. T h is is th e second consecutive m onth d u rin g w hich such a de cline has occurred and, m aking allow ance for seasonal variations, debits to individual ac counts w ere less d u rin g A u g u st th a n during any previous m onth this year, reflecting the caution a t p re sen t prevailing am ong business (C) Bank Debits *— Four weeks ending A ug. 29. 1923 B e r k e le y .........................................$14,702 $ B oise ............................................... 10,291 F resno ............................................ 45,444 L o n g B ea ch .................................. 55,216 L os A n g e le s .................................. 595,651 Oakland ........................................ 99,495 O gden ............................................ 22,554 Pasadena ...................................... 24,947 P h oen ix ......................................... 15,232 P o r t la n d ......................................... 137,044 R eno ............................................... 8,751 Sacram ento ................................. 33,997 Salt Lake C ity .............................. 50,500 San D ie g o ...................................... 37,567 San F ra n cisc o .............................. 649,108 San J o s e .......................................... 19,217 Seattle ............................................ 149,929 Spokane ......................................... 42,825 Stockton ........................................ 21,985 Tacom a .......................................... 33,698 Y a k im a ........................................... 7,548 T otal ...........................................$2,075,701 *000 omitted. Four weeks ending A ug. 30.1922 13,369 9,954 36,542 31,705 431,387 78,080 16,603 20,155 12,794 124,962 8,911 58,731 50,442 31,914 612,503 20,666 137,504 36,695 19,119 34,028 8,038 $1,794,102 Debits to Individual Accounts in 20 Principal Cities, Tw elfth Federal Reserve District. 1922-1923 crease, accom panied as it has been by a slig h t decline in com m odity prices over th e y ea r p e r iod, indicates a g re a te r degree of activ ity now th an in 1922, even after allow ance is m ade for the norm al g ro w th and developm ent of the district. C onsidered geographically, bank debits for A ugust, 1923, increased, as com pared w ith A ugust, 1922, in 16 of th e re p o rtin g cities, the exceptions being Reno, San Jose, T acom a, and Y akim a. T h e figures for S acram ento, w hich show a decline of 42.1 per cent for th e y ear period, m u st again be disregarded. A s w as explained in the A u g u st num ber of th e R eview , one of th e larg est banks in th a t city has changed its m ethod of re p o rtin g bank debits, and th u s tem p o rarily destroyed th e value, for com parative purposes, of th e figures of th a t city. Business Failures B usiness failures in th is d istrict d u rin g A ugust, 1923, num bered 155, an increase of 9.1 per cent over the num ber of failures for Ju ly , 1923. L iabilities involved, how ever, declined 7.4 per cent, as com pared w ith the previous m onth, and w ere well below th e figures re ported in each m onth of th e p a st tw o y ears excepting June, 1923. C om pared w ith A ugust, 1922, the num ber and liabilities of business failures durin g A ugust, 1923, declined 15.3 per cent and 18.6 per cent, respectively. T h e aver- 143 FEDERAL RESERVE AGENT AT SAN FRANCISCO age liabilities of business failures in this dis tric t d u rin g A ugust, 1923, am ounted to $11,379, com pared w ith $13,415 in July, 1923, and $11, 844 in A u gust, 1922. NO. OF FAILU R ES LIA BILITIES IN M ILLIONS 10 8 250 A NO. i ’ OF ■ A ILU R E s A * 0 % ' ~ y ' i #/»* V \ A V] y i 1 --1 - i V \* A \ r*» \ / ' w * ' V L IA B i i 1 1 1 1.. _J__ L. 1 1 M IL L IO N S OF D O LLARS 150 100 sK il it ie s 200 A w hich began in Jan u a ry oi this year, b u t w hich w as in terru p ted d u rin g the four w eeks ended A u g ust 15th, has continued. T o tal discounts on Septem ber 5th w ere $91,0" ,000, the largest figure reported since N ovem ber 2, 1921, $58,000,000 g re ater th an on Jan u ary 10, 1923, and m ore th an half as large as the peak figure of % ^ 1 1 .1 .1 1922 50 — 1 1 I ..1 1923 Business Failures, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1922*1923 R.G. D un and C om pany’s figures of the num ber and liabilities of business failures in the states of th is d istrict d u ring A ugust, 1923, and July, 1923, follow : August, 1923 No. Liabilities 2 62 4 2 25 14 46 133,833 685,078 25,739 17,897 135,043 233,119 533,073 D is t r ic t ............. 155 $1,763,782 A rizona ................ California ............ Idaho .................... N evada ................. O r e g o n ................. U tah ....................... W ashington ........ No. July, 1923 Liabilities 2 £ 27 84,500 1,074,872 122,071 3,800 217,914 128,112 273,664 142 $1,904,933 77 5 1 22 8 100 1922 1923 B anking and Credit Situation Total Deposits, Loans and Discounts, Investments, and Bills Payable and Rediscounts of Reporting Member Banks T o tal loans of 66 re p o rtin g m em ber banks in th e principal cities of th e d istrict decreased $3,000,000 d u rin g the four w eeks ended Sep tem b er 5th, stan d in g at $992,000,000 on th a t d ate as com pared w ith $873,500,000 one year ago. T h is decrease in loans d u rin g recent w eeks, w hich m ay be com pared w ith a gain of $16,000,000 d u rin g th e previous four w eeks period, is the first decline w hich has occurred d u rin g any four w eek period of the present year. T h a t it w as n o t due to any usual seasonal influence is suggested by the fact th a t d u rin g A u g u st in previous years loans have increased. In v estm en ts of re p o rtin g banks de clined $3,000,000 d uring th e four w eeks ended S eptem ber 5th, continuing th e dow nw ard m ovem ent w hich began in th e m iddle of May. T o tal deposits on S eptem ber 5th w ere $1,000,000 larg e r th an on A u g u st 8th, b u t $10,000,000 less th an on Ju ly 11th. A significant feature of the ban king situ atio n in th is d istrict during recent m onths has been th a t deposits of the rep o rtin g m em ber banks, w hich had been steadily increasing since early in F ebruary, 1922, ceased to rise in M ay of th is year, and since th a t tim e have been fluctuating w ith a dow nw ard trend. T h e u pw ard m ovem ent of to tal discounts of th e F ederal R eserve B ank of San Francisco $176,000,000 reported on D ecem ber 10, 1920. D u rin g th e w eek ended Septem ber 12, 1923, th ere w as a slight decline in total discounts to $89,000,000. T h e n et increase of $16,000,000 d u rin g the four w eeks ended Septem ber 12th w as due principally to increased borrow ing by m em ber banks in San F rancisco, and the in crease of $46,000,000 in to tal discounts of th e R eserve bank d u rin g the p ast year has been due chiefly, although no t entirely, to increased borrow ing by m em ber banks at the sam e city. In v estm en ts of th e R eserve bank declined $3,000,000 d u rin g the four w eeks ended Sep tem ber 12th and at $21,000,000 on th a t date w ere $66,000,000 less th a n on J a n u a ry 10, 1923. F ederal R eserve notes in circulation in creased $8,000,000 d u rin g the four w eeks ended Septem ber 12th and a t $219,000,000 on th a t date w ere $22,000,000 g re ater th an on A pril 25th, w hen th ey began to increase from th e sm allest am o u n t reported in recent years. T he h ardening of in tere st rates at N ew Y ork, w hich w as noticeable d u rin g the first 10 days of A ugust, and w hich is a norm al seasonal oc currence at this season, continued th ro u g h o u t th a t m onth and th e first half of Septem ber, th e rate on tim e m oney advancing from 5% to 5^2 per cent, and an increasing proportion of prim e com m ercial paper being sold for 5 J/ 2 per cent 144 M O NTHLY REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS as ag ain st th e ra te of 5% per cent w hich p re vailed up to th e m iddle of A ugust. T h e average ra te charged by large San F rancisco banks on loans to custom er borrow ers continued during A u g u st a t Sy2 per cent, although a tendency for th e ra te on 4-6 m onths paper to advance to 6 p er cent w as apparent. O n S eptem ber 10, 1923, th e T re a su ry D e p a rtm e n t announced an offering of T re a su ry C ertificates of Indebtedness, designated as Series TM 2-1924, dated S eptem ber 15, 1923, and m atu rin g M arch 15, 1924. T h e notes b ear in tere st a t th e ra te of 4^4 per cent p er annum , w hich is an increase of o n e-q u arter of 1 per cent over th e last issue of six m onths T re a su ry C ertificates issued in June, 1923. T o tal su b scriptions received in th e co u n try as a w hole am ounted to $553,678,500 of w hich $249,750,500 w ere allotted. In th is d istric t to ta l su b scrip tions am ounted to $49,154,000 of w hich $18,638,000 w ere allotted. T h e acceptance m ark et in th is d istric t d u rin g recent w eeks has been quiet. R ep o rts received by this bank from 35 of th e principal accep tin g banks of th e d istrict show th e follow ing changes in th e am o u n t of bills purchased and accepted d u rin g A ugust, 1923, com pared w ith July, 1923, and A ugust, 1922: August, 1923, compared with July, 1923 A ug., 1922 Total Reserves. Federal Reserve Note Circulation. Bills Discounted, and Investments, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco A m ount of bills accepted . . . . — 13.0% A m ount of bills bought .......... +17.9% A m ount o f bills held at close of m o n t h ....................................... +13.0% — 7.4% — 50.7% — 51.8% PRINCIPAL RESOURCE AND LIABILITY ITEMS OF REPORTING MEMBER BANKS IN RESERVE CITIES IN TWELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT September 5, 1923 Number o f Reporting Banks ............................................................. 66* Loans and D iscou n ts (including r ed isco u n ts)...................................... $ 992,315,000 I n v e s tm e n ts ........................................................................................................ 346,191,000 Cash in V ault and w ith Federal R eserve B an k .................................... 122,111,000 T otal D e p o sits.................................................................................................... 1,276,789,000 B ills Payable and R ediscounts with Federal Reserve B an k ........... 61,638,000 August 8, 1923 September 6,1922 66* 68* $ 995,684,000 349,073,000 118,108,000 1,275,900,000 45,293,000 $ 873,517,000 333,627,000 101,831,000 1,196,793,000 13,025,000 *Du6 to changes in th e com position of the list of rep o rtin g banks, c u rre n t figures are not exactly com parable w ith those o f a y ear ago. COMPARATIVE STATEMENT OF CONDITION OF FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN AT CLOSE OF BUSINESS, SEPTEMBER 12, 1923 FRANCISCO RESO UR CES August 15. 1923 September 13. 1922 T otal R e serv es................................................................................................... $277,464,000 B ills D isco u n ted ............................................................................................... 89,440,000 B ills B ou gh t in O pen M a r k e t.................................................................. 12,012,000 U n ited S tates G overnm ent S ecu rities..................................................... 9,185,000 September 12.1923 $277,821,000 73,440,000 14,895,000 9,185,000 $242,000,000 43,352,000 33,831,000 52,977,000 T otal E arning A s s e ts ..................................................................................... $110,637,000 A ll O ther R esou rces*..................................................................................... 61,175,000 $ 97,520,000 56,692,000 $130,160,000 55,671,000 Total Resources.............................................................................................$449,276,000 $432,033,000 $427,831,000 Capital and S u rp lu s......................................................................................... $ 23,034,000 T o ta l D e p o s it s ................................................................................................... 160,003,000 Federal R eserve N o te s in A ctual C irculation...................................... 218,676,000 A ll O ther L ia b ilitie sf..................................................................................... 47,563,000 $ 22,992,000 154,628,000 210,860,000 43,553,000 $ 22,811,000 138,866,000 221,327,000 44,827,000 Total Liabilities.............................................................................................$449,276,000 $432,033,000 $427,831,000 42,746,000 41,690,000 48,612,000 41,080,000 L IA B IL IT IE S ^Includes “U n collected Item s” .................................................................. fln c lu d e s “D eferred A vailability Item s” ............................................... 47,719,000 45,554,000