The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
MONTHLY REVIEW OF B U S IN E S S C O N D IT IO N S F ederal R e se rv e A g e n t F e d e ra l R e se rv e B a n k o f San F rancisco V o l. X I X San F ra n cisco , C a liforn ia , M a rch 20, 1935 N o. 3 T W E L F T H F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D IS T R IC T C O N D IT IO N S T w e lfth D is tr ic t b u sin ess w a s m o re a ctiv e in F e b ru a r y than in J a n u a ry , c o n tin u in g th e im p ro v e m e n t o f th e tw o p r e c e d in g m on th s. S lig h tly m o re than th e usual sea son a l ga in s w ere rep o rte d in p riv a te e m p lo y m e n t in m o st parts o f the district. P ra c tic a lly all lin es o f m a n u fa ctu rin g fo r w h ich data are a v a ila b le e x p a n d e d d u rin g F e b ru ary , w ith a c tiv ity at a m a te ria lly h ig h e r le v e l than in F e b ru a ry 1934. T h e p rin cip a l e x p a n sio n fro m J a n u a ry ca m e in the lu m b e r in d u stry , in w h ich a co n s id e ra b le v o lu m e o f u n filled ord ers has a ccu m u la te d d u rin g re ce n t w e e k s. O u tp u t o f p e tro le u m w a s a b o u t th e sam e in F e b ru a ry as in Jan u a ry , b u t b o th p e tro le u m p r o d u c in g and refin in g w e re c o n s id e r a b ly m o re a ctiv e than in F e b ru a ry a y ea r a g o . F o llo w in g a d ecrea se in Ja n u a ry, ce m en t p r o d u c tio n in crea sed b y less than th e sea son a l a m o u n t in F eb ru a ry . M a n u fa ctu re o f iro n an d steel c o n tin u ed to in crea se m o d e ra te ly . C o n tra ct aw a rd s fo r n ew b u ild in g and c o n s tru ctio n w e re sm a ller than in the p re v io u s m o n th . R e n o v a tio n and rep a ir w o r k o n h o m e s co n tin u e d re la tiv e ly m o re a ctiv e than m o s t o th e r d iv isio n s o f b u ild in g . P rin cip a lly b e ca u se o f a sh arp in crea se in lu m b e r sh ip m en ts, fr e ig h t c a rlo a d in g s c o n tin u ed to e x p a n d d u rin g F e b ru a ry , the sea so n a lly a d ju ste d in d e x a d v a n c in g fr o m 70 p e r cen t o f th e 1923-1925 a v e ra g e in J a n u a ry to 74 in F e b ru a ry , th e h ig h e st p o in t in a n y m o n th sin ce m id-1931. D a ily a v e ra g e d ep a rtm en t sto re sales in cre a se d s lig h tly d u rin g F e b ru ary, and th e ir v a lu e w a s 7 p e rce n t h ig h e r than a y e a r a g o . A u t o m o b ile sales in crea sed sh a rp ly w h erea s th e y u su a lly d e clin e d u rin g F e b ru a ry . T h e tota l n u m b e r o f n e w cars so ld w a s la rg e r than in a n y F e b ru a ry sin ce 1930. R a in fa ll in the e a rly p a rt o f M a rch g a v e ad d ed assu ra n ce to earlier p re d ic tio n s th at irri g a tio n w a te r fo r th e c o m in g c ro p sea son w o u ld be su fficien t in m o s t parts o f th e d istrict. C o ld w e a th e r reta rd ed th e g r o w t h o f fru its, w h ile som e v e g e ta b le s w e re d a m a g e d b y fro sts. T h e o u tlo o k g e n e ra lly , h o w e v e r , is that cr o p g r o w th th is y e a r w ill b e so m e w h a t earlier th an in m o st sea son s, a lth o u g h it w ill b e later than in 1934. L iv e s to c k ra n g es im p r o v e d d u rin g F e b ru a ry and e a rly M a rch , an d ca ttle and la m b s are n o w re p o rte d to be in g o o d c o n d itio n in m o s t s e c tion s. C ro p m a rk e tin g d e clin e d so m e w h a t d u r in g F e b ru a ry , as is u su al in th at m on th . P rice s o f fa rm p ro d u cts in crea sed s lig h tly fu rth er fr o m m id -F e b r u a r y to m id -M a rch , a c c o r d in g to the U n ite d S ta tes D e p a rtm e n t o f A g r i cu ltu re, and are n o w h ig h e r in rela tion to the 1926 a v e ra g e than are p rice s o f n o n -a g ricu ltu ral c o m m o d itie s . T h e p rin cip a l c h a n g e b e tw e e n F e b ru a ry 20 an d M a rch 20 in th e su p p ly o f T w e lfth D is trict b a n k in g reserves ca m e d u rin g the last fe w days o f th at p erio d , w h e n a n u m b er o f n a tion a l ban k s used s o m e o f th eir e x ce ss reserv es to retire th eir n a tion a l b an k n ote lia b ility . T h is resu lted a lso in b u ild in g u p th e cash b a la n ce o f th e U n ite d S tates T re a su r y , w h ich assu m ed lia b ility fo r the n o te s w h e n the is s u in g ban ks d e p o s ite d the fu n d s fo r th eir fu ll red em p tion . A n o t h e r fa c t o r w h ic h h elp ed red u ce reserves o f m e m b e r ban k s w a s th e c o lle c tio n b y the T r e a s u r y o f th e first in sta llm en t o f in co m e taxes. T h e v o lu m e o f e x ce ss reserv es o f T w e lfth D is tric t ba n k s co n tin u e d su b sta n tial, h o w e v e r, n o tw ith s ta n d in g s o m e net tra n sfer o f fu n d s to o th e r d istricts in se ttle m e n t o f c o m m ercia l tra n sa ction s. L oa n s, in v e stm e n ts, and d e p o sits o f city ban k s in the T w e lfth D is tr ic t sh o w e d r e la tiv ely little net ch a n g e b e tw e e n F e b r u a r y 20 and M a rch 20. Agriculture A lth o u g h rain fall d u rin g F e b ru a ry w a s less th an n o rm a l th r o u g h o u t a la rg e p a rt o f th e d istrict, w id e s p re a d rain storm s d u rin g th e first h a lf o f M a rch w e re o f m aterial ben efit. P r e cip ita tio n fo r th e sea son to M a rch 1 a p p r o x i m a ted o r e x ce e d e d n o rm a l in m o st o f th e d is tr ic t e x c e p t in p arts o f N ev a d a , U ta h , eastern O r e g o n , and sou th ern Id a h o. S n o w p a ck s at the m id d le o f M a rch c o n firm e d earlier in d ica tion s 18 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS th at s to re d su p p lie s o f irrig a tio n w a te r are m o re fa v o r a b le th an a y e a r a g o and w ill be a d eq u a te d u r in g the 1935 g r o w in g season . F ro s ts d u rin g th e m o n th ca u se d co n sid e ra b le d a m a g e to w in te r v e g e ta b le s in s o m e lo ca litie s an d n e ce s sita te d th e u se o f h eaters in C a li fo rn ia citru s orch a rd s. M a r c h 1935 th is w in te r, and th e c r o p is n o w in g o o d c o n d i tion . T ra d e fa c to r s estim a te th at th ere are in th at area fr o m 10 to 15 m illio n b u sh e ls o f w h e a t a v a ila b le fo r m a rk et in e x ce ss o f th e a m o u n t w h ic h can b e m a rk e te d in th e u su al ch a n n els b e fo r e the b e g in n in g o f th e n e x t c r o p year. A c c o r d in g to a r e ce n t a n n o u n ce m e n t o f th e A g r ic u ltu r a l A d ju s tm e n t A d m in is tr a tio n , th e RAINFALL—Twelfth District N o rth P a c ific E m e r g e n c y E x p o r t C o r p o ra tio n ( i n in c h e s) is lik e ly to b e a u th o riz e d to sh ip s o m e o f this t-----February----- ^ r~ Season to March 1 —' NorNorw h e a t to th e A tla n tic se a b o a rd and to th e m id Arizona 1935 1934 mal 1935 1934 mal w e s te rn d r o u g h t areas w h e re it can b e u sed fo r Flagstaff .............. ....1.57 0.80 2.06 13.61 12.11 16.81 Phoenix ................ ... 3.21 0.99 .788.34 4.92 6.19 fe e d in g p u rp o se s, as w e ll as to fo r e ig n m ark ets. California U n d e r the p r o p o s e d plan , w h e a t fa rm ers w o u ld Eureka.................. ... 2.73 2.31 6.30 28.35 15.85 28.68 Fresno .................. ... 2.07 1.80 1.4111.57 4.35 6.34 Los A ngeles........ ... 2.23 2.04 2.97 14.13 14.13 10.88 be p aid m o re fo r th eir w h e a t th an it a ctu a lly Red Bluff.............. ... 4.02 2.97 3.89 19.31 13.75 17.83 s o ld fo r in the m a rk et, th e d iffe re n ce c o m in g Sacramento.......... ... 1.97 2.97 2.83 12.35 10.73 12.95 fr o m fu n d s c o lle c te d th r o u g h p r o c e s s in g ta x es. 1.9012.64 3.52 7.41 San Diego.............. ... 4.54 1.88 San Francisco___ __2.38 4.68 3.65 17.45 11.53 16.29 P e n d in g th e c lo s in g o f this a g re e m e n t, tra d in g Idaho has b een slack . 1.436.73 5.23 8.48 Boise .................... ... 0.96 1.59 T h e c o m m e r cia l a p p le c r o p w a s a b o u t 25 p e r Nevada R e n o ...................... ... 0.52 0.31 1.123.68 5.55 5.11 ce n t la rg e r in 1934 than in 1933 in th e P a cific Oregon N o r th w e st, w h ile in th e U n ite d S ta tes it w a s B a k er.................... ... 0.49 0.57 1.234.55 5.08 7.41 Portland .............. ... 3.17 1.40 5.36 34.90 35.83 31.76 a b o u t th e sam e in b o th y ea rs. D u r in g th e Roseburg.............. ... 2.84 1.20 4.49 24.75 13.58 24.43 cu rre n t m a rk e tin g se a so n to M a r c h 2, a p p le Utah Salt Lake C ity ... 0.68 2.24 1.479.31 5.79 9.34 g r o w e r s in th e P a c ific N o r th w e s t sh ip p e d a b ou t Washington 20 p e rce n t m o r e a p p les to d o m e s tic m ark ets, Seattle .................. ...1.92 1.29 3.66 29.63 35.21 25.18 ch ie fly in th e eastern p a rt o f th e U n ite d S tates, Spokane................ ... 0.48 0.27 1.75 10.59 12.77 11.48 than in the 1933-1934 sea son (33,220 ca rloa d s M a r k e tin g o f m o s t im p o rta n t d is tr ic t farm c o m p a re d w ith 27,639 c a r lo a d s ). D e s p ite this p ro d u cts w a s se a s o n a lly less a ctiv e in F e b ru a ry g a in in m a rk e tin g s, P a cific N o r th w e s t c o ld than in Ja n u a ry. F a rm p rice s, as m ea su red s to ra g e h o ld in g s o f a p p les w e re , o n M a rch 1, b y th e U n ite d S tates D e p a rtm e n t o f A g r ic u l a p p r o x im a te ly 23 p e rc e n t la r g e r th a n a y e a r tu re in d e x fo r th e U n ite d S ta tes as a w h o le , a g o . T h e in crea se in th e lo c a l c r o p w a s n o a d v a n ce d 4 p e r ce n t fr o m m id -J a n u a ry to m id d o u b t p a rtly re s p o n sib le fo r th e h e a v ie r sto ra g e F e b ru a ry w h e n th e in d e x re a ch e d 111 p e rce n t h o ld in g s , b u t a se v e re d e clin e in e x p o r ts a lm o st o f th e 1910-1914 base, and w a s 34 p e rce n t eq u a l t o th e in crea se in d o m e s tic sh ip m en ts h ig h e r than a y e a r earlier. T r u c k c ro p s , m eat w a s an e q u a lly im p o rta n t fa cto r. T h e e n fo r c e an im als, and d a iry p r o d u cts g r o u p s w e re ch iefly m en t o f ta riffs, q u o ta s, and o th e r re strictio n s re sp o n s ib le fo r th e J a n u a ry -F e b r u a r y ga in , a g a in st im p o rts o f a p p les o n th e p a rt o f n ation s w h ile p rice s in n e a rly all g ro u p s o f c o m m o d fo r m e r ly im p o r tin g la rg e q u a n tities o f T w e lft h ities w e re su b sta n tia lly h ig h e r than a y e a r a g o . D is tr ic t ap p les has b e e n an im p o rta n t fa c to r T h e r e has b een p r a c tic a lly n o w in te r k illin g r e d u c in g th e e x p o r t m a rk e t fo r th a t fru it. o f fa ll-s o w n w h e a t in th e P a cific N o r th w e s t P r ic e s re c e iv e d b y a p p le g r o w e r s d u rin g the m a rk e tin g y e a r to d ate h ave a v e ra g e d a b o u t th e sam e as last season . Agricultural Marketing Activity— f--------February--------\ t---- Season to Date---- > T h is se a so n ’s C a lifo rn ia N a v e l o ra n g e c ro p Carlot Shipments 1935 1934 1935 1934 is still e x p e c te d to b e u n u su a lly la rg e , estim ates Apples and Pears 4,312 3,115 50,275 43,193 p la c in g it a b o u t 40 p e r c e n t in e x ce s s o f last Citrus Fruits . . . 6,316 3,682 23,037 17,043 Vegetables .......... 8,787 8,766 85,330 85,139 y e a r ’s cro p . S h ip m e n ts are r u n n in g c o n s id e r Exports a b ly h e a v ie r than a y e a r a g o an d p rice s h av e Wheat (bu.) ___ 833 2,743,934 2,789,158 10,477,524 Barley (bu.)........ 165,291 450,458 3,549,661 4,056,100 b een h ig h e r th an la st y ea r, in d ic a tin g a su b Receipts* stan tial g a in in in c o m e o f o ra n g e g r o w e rs . Cattle .................. 70,515 73,765 167,848 159,185 Hogs .................... 155,868 229,305 332,092 527,674 T h e le m o n c r o p is a lso u n u su a lly la rg e th is Sheep.................... 182,510 144,050 414,837 365,329 sea son . A r e c o r d v o lu m e o f s h ip m e n ts d u rin g Eggs (cases)........ 156,219 148,203 315,157 308,751 Butter (lbs.)........ 4,641,399 5,418,278 9,366,359 10,996,145 re ce n t m on th s has b e e n a c c o m p a n ie d b y a Wheat (carlots).. 2,642 5,580 37,327 40,658 Barley (carlots) . . 475 489 6,549 4,485 m a rk ed d e clin e in p rice s , h o w e v e r , and cu rre n t Storage Holdings* ^----------- 1935----------- > ,• 1934----------- v g r o s s retu rn s to g r o w e r s p r o b a b ly d o n o t d iffe r (end of month) February January February January m a te ria lly fr o m th o s e o f la st y ea r. 2,913,000 3,953,000 5,962,000 5,927,000 Wheat (bu.)........ Beans (b a g s )___ 1,562,000 1,927,000 1,596,000 1,933,000 D e c id u o u s fru it orch a rd s in C a lifo rn ia ap p ear Butter (lbs.)........ 73,000 355,000 3,088,000 5,990,000 Eggs (cases)........ .......... .......... 31,000 3,000 at p re se n t to b e in g o o d c o n d itio n . W e a th e r has b een so m e w h a t c o ld e r th is w in te r th an it *A t principal district markets. M a rc h 1935 FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T A T SAN FRANCISCO w a s a y e a r a g o , and th e g r o w t h o f c ro p s p r o b a b ly w ill n o t a d v a n ce as ra p id ly th is y e a r as it did in 1934, a lth o u g h th e sea son is lik e ly to be earlier than in m o s t years. P re s e n t stu d ies and plans n o w b e in g fo rm u la te d b y g r o w e r s and p ro d u ce rs in d ica te th at m o re o f th is d is t r ic t’ s d e cid u o u s fru it c r o p s w ill b e m a rk eted u n d er A g r ic u ltu r a l A d ju s tm e n t A d m in istr a tio n o r state p ro ra te a g re e m e n ts th is y e a r than last. F a v o ra b le w e a th e r co n d itio n s in th e last h alf o f F e b ru a ry im p ro v e d th e co n d itio n o f m o s t C a liforn ia s p r in g tru ck cro p s. A lth o u g h re ce ip ts o f b u tte r at le a d in g P a cific C oa st m a rk ets w e re re la tiv e ly sm all d u rin g F e b ru a ry , p rice s d e clin e d c o n s id e r a b ly fr o m the p eak rea ch e d e a rly in th e m o n th . S h ip m en ts o f b u tter in crea sed d u r in g M a rch and p rices d eclin ed fu rth e r, re a ch in g 28 cen ts p er p o u n d fo r 92 sco re b u tte r at San F ra n c is co . A t that lev el th e q u o ta tio n is still 4 cen ts h ig h e r than a y ea r a g o . R e c e ip ts o f e g g s c o n tin u e d in large v o lu m e d u rin g F e b ru a ry . T h e sea son a l m o v e m en t o f e g g s in to s to ra g e , w h ic h is o rd in a rily lig h t d u rin g F e b ru a ry , w a s u n u su a lly sm all in a m o u n t this y e a r and sto re d s to ck s w e r e n e g lig ib le on M a rch 1. T h e u su al d e clin e in e g g p rices w a s re p o rte d d u r in g F e b r u a r y and the first h a lf o f M a rch . In San F r a n c is c o th e p rice o f U n ite d S tates N o . 1 E x tra s d e clin e d fr o m 24 cen ts p er d o z e n in ea rly F e b r u a r y to 21^4 cen ts p er d o z e n in m id -M a rch . L a s t M a rch the sam e g ra d e o f e g g s so ld in th at m a rk et fo r 15*^ cen ts p er d ozen . M o istu re d u rin g F e b r u a r y im p r o v e d ra n g e feed p ro sp e cts in a lm o st all parts o f th e d istrict. C a liforn ia and A r iz o n a ra n g es w e r e in e x ce lle n t c o n d itio n o n M a rch 1, w h ile ra n g e s v a rie d fro m fair to g o o d in o th e r states o f th e district. S h orta g es o f h a y and fe e d s are re p o rte d o n ly fro m eastern Id a h o , so u th e a ste rn O r e g o n , and p arts o f U ta h and N ev a d a . C attle o n d istrict ra n g es are in fa ir to e x ce lle n t co n d itio n . L o s s e s h a ve b een sm all b e cau se o f th e m ild w in te r w e a th e r w h ic h has a lso p erm itte d the u se o f o p e n ra n g es, w ith so m e s a v in g o f feed . G r o w e rs in g ra s s-b e e f se ctio n s o f C a lifo rn ia e x p e c t to finish and m a r k et th eir ca ttle earlier than usual. A lth o u g h th e v o lu m e o f th ese sh ip m en ts to lo c a l m ark ets is e x p e cte d to e x c e e d th e a v e ra g e o f th e past five years, the s u p p ly o f m a rk eta b le b e e f ca ttle a v a ila b le to T w e lfth D is tr ic t m a rk ets is n o t e x ce ssiv e . A v e r a g e p rice s p a id fo r ca ttle at d istrict fa rm s in m id -F e b ru a ry w e re 20 p e rce n t h ig h e r than a m o n th earlier, 50 p e rce n t h ig h er than in m id -D e c e m b e r, and 83 p e rce n t h ig h e r than a y e a r a g o . T h e ea rly s p r in g la m b cr o p in th e d istrict is s lig h tly la r g e r this y e a r than in 1934. W e a th e r c o n d itio n s d u r in g th e p ast w in te r w e re g e n e ra lly fa v o r a b le in all states and fe e d w a s am ple. In C a lifo rn ia , ea rly lam bs 19 d e v e lo p e d ra p id ly and first sh ip m en ts rea ch ed d istrict m a rk ets late in F e b ru a ry . P rice s p aid g r o w e r s w e re s lig h tly lo w e r than th o se in e ffe c t at th is tim e last year. In d u s tr y In d u stria l p r o d u c tio n in th e T w e lfth D is trict e x p a n d e d s o m e w h a t m o re than is usual d u rin g F e b ru a ry , c o n tin u in g the u ptu rn o f the p r e c e d in g m o n th . O p e ra tio n s in m o st in d u stries e x ce e d e d th o se in F e b r u a r y o f b o th o f th e tw o p r e c e d in g years. T h e n u m b er o f w o r k e rs e m p lo y e d b y r e p o rt in g in d u stria l e sta b lish m en ts in C a liforn ia , O r e g o n , and W a s h in g to n in crea sed s lig h tly m o re th an se a so n a lly d u rin g F e b ru a ry , w h ile a d e crea se in e m p lo y m e n t in m a n u fa ctu rin g c o n ce rn s in U ta h w a s sm a ller than in F e b ru a ry o f a n y o f th e p r e c e d in g th ree years. E m p lo y m en t in crea sed in p r a c tic a lly all lines fo r w h ich d ata are a v a ila b le, b o th in c o m p a ris o n w ith J a n u a ry o f th is y e a r and in rela tion to e m p lo y m en t in F e b ru a ry 1934. O n e o f the la rg est in crea ses in e m p lo y m e n t w a s re p o rte d b y the lu m b e r in d u stry , w h ile m a n u fa ctu rers o f iron , steel, and o th e r m etal p r o d u c ts a lso a d d ed c o n sid e ra b ly to w o r k in g fo rce s . M o tio n p ictu re p r o d u c e r s in C a lifo rn ia retain ed th e c o m p a ra tiv e ly h ig h sch e d u le s o f Jan uary. T h e r e w a s little ch a n g e in e m p lo y m e n t in th e fo o d m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u stry d u rin g F e b ru a ry , b u t a sea son a l in crea se in v e g e ta b le ca n n in g a c tiv ity w a s re p o rte d in M a rch . T o t a l w a g e p a y m e n ts b y th e in d u stries re p o r tin g e m p lo y m e n t data in C a liforn ia , O r e g o n , W a s h in g to n , and U ta h in crea sed d u rin g F e b ru ary. T h e in crea ses in p a y ro lls w e re la rg er Employment— -California-------- \ r ------ Oregon No. of No. of No. <— Employees —> No. >— Employees — » of Feb. of Feb. Feb. Feb. 1934 1934 Firms 1935 Industries Firms 1935 17,080 15,853 All Industries* . . . 1,002 131,011 125,533 116 (+7.7) (+4.4) Stone, Clay, and 109 45 5,085 Glass Products. 53 3 5,474 ( + 142.2) ( + 7.6) Lumber and Wood 8,882 7,893 Manufactures .. 94 10,722 10,075 40 ( + 12.5) (+ 6 .4 ) 1,604 10 1,312 1,283 7 1,733 ( + 8.0) (+ 2 .3 ) Clothing, Millinery, 185 198 and Laundering. 123 9,106 8,898 6$ (+7 .0 ) (+ 2 .3 ) Food, Beverages, 1,443 1,296 31 and Tobacco.. . 262 27,259 27,517 (+11.3) (— .9) Public Utilities. . . 44 42,178 42,845 (— 1.6) 29 4,715 4,830 Other Industriesf. 418 65,208 61,929 (— 2.4) (+ 5 .3 ) 42 11,930 10,746 Miscellaneous . . . . ( + 11.0) Wholesale and 213 34,083 31,270 (+ 9 .0 ) *Public utilities and wholesale and retail figures not included in this total, jlncludes the following industries: Metals, machinery, and conveyances; leather and rubber goods; oils and paints; printing and paper goods. {Laundering only. Figures in parentheses indicate percentage change from February 1934. r 20 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS than th e in crea ses in e m p lo y m e n t, s h o w in g a fu rth e r rise in a v e ra g e w e e k ly ea rn in g s per w o rk e r. C o n tra c t a w a rd s fo r p u b lic w o r k s c o n s tr u c tion w e re sm a lle r in F e b r u a r y th an in Jan uary, bu t th e a g g r e g a te fo r th e tw o m o n th s w a s a b o u t th e sa m e as in th e first t w o m o n th s o f 1934. W o r k o n p r e v io u s ly a w a rd e d co n tra cts co n tin u e d m o r e a ctiv e th an a y e a r earlier. C o n tra cts h a v e n o w b e e n let on m o s t o f th e p r o je c ts fo r w h ic h fu n d s h a v e b een a llo tte d b y the P u b lic W o r k s A d m in is tr a tio n . P la n s fo r a la rg e n u m b e r o f a d d itio n a l p r o je c ts , h o w e v e r , h ave b e e n s u b m itte d fo r co n s id e ra tio n u n d er a n ew p r o g r a m o f p u b lic w o r k s n o w p e n d in g b e fo r e C o n g re ss . P e rm its issu ed fo r in d u strial and co m m e r c ia l b u ild in g w e re in sm a ller v o l u m e in F e b ru a ry th an in th e p r e v io u s m on th . P e rm its fo r re sid e n tia l b u ild in g w e re th e sam e as in Ja n u a ry. A s in o th e r re ce n t m o n th s, w o r k on a ltera tio n s an d rep a irs w a s fa ir ly a ctiv e. L u m b e r p r o d u c tio n e x p a n d e d sh a rp ly , the sea so n a lly a d ju s te d in d e x risin g fr o m 53 p er ce n t o f th e 1923-1925 a v e ra g e in J a n u a ry to 62 p e rce n t in F e b r u a r y , a p o in t h ig h e r than in an y m on th , w ith th e e x c e p tio n o f last M a rch , sin ce M a y 1931. E x p a n s io n in o p e ra tio n s , th o u g h g en era l th r o u g h o u t th e d istrict, w a s p a rticu la rly p r o n o u n c e d in w e s te rn pin e re g io n s, w h e re lu m b e rin g h ad b een re la tiv e ly less a ctiv e in th e t w o p r e c e d in g m o n th s. N e w o rd e rs fo r lu m b e r co n tin u e d to a ccu m u la te m o re ra p id ly than th e y w e re filled , a d d in g to a v o lu m e o f u n sh ip p e d o rd e rs a lre a d y la rg e r than is usual fo r th is tim e o f y ea r. S h ip m en ts o f lu m b er, w h ich cu rre n tly e x c e e d th o se o f F e b r u a r y 1934 o r 1933, h a v e b e en ru n n in g ahead o f p r o d u ctio n . A c t iv it y in th e p e tro le u m in d u stry ch a n g e d little d u rin g F e b ru a ry . Industry — Indexes of daily average production, adjusted for seasonal variation (1923-1925 daily average=100) 1934-19'33— , -1935 .1934-------- N Feb. Jan. Dec. Nov. Feb. Jan. Dec. General 49 48 42 50 50 50 Carloadings— Industrial. 54 145 144 141 Electric Pwr. Production 15411 15411 149 149 Manufactures Lumber ........................... 62 53 47 46 61 56 53 Refined Mineral Oilsf. . 120 120 121 107 107 116 Flour .............................. 95 99 89 92 94 9Í1Í 102 87 Cement .......................... 81 85 85 53 56 75 132 Wool Consumptionf. . . . 94 87 113 107 95 Slaughter of Livestock. . 9711 101 118 118 111 113 106 Minerals Petroleum (California) f 691 76 73 72 68 69 72 64 64 67 Lead (United States)$ .. 60 55 Silver (United States) $. 35 29 36 37 53 Building and Construction# T otal................................ 33 37 42 53 45 39 33 Building Permits— Value Larger Cities.............. 17 10 9 11 13 14 13 Smaller Cities............ 19 20 20 20 14 11 11 Engineering Contracts Awarded— V alue T otal........................ 76 80 118 84 69 73 71 Excluding Buildings 167 207 150 125 145 127 125 fN ot adjusted for seasonal variation. {Prepared by Federal Re serve Board. #Indexes are for three months ending with the month indicated, flPreliminary. M a r c h 1935 T rade F r e ig h t ca rlo a d in g s e x p a n d e d c o n s id e r a b ly m o re than is u su al in F e b ru a ry , a fte r h a v in g b een m a in ta in ed at a h ig h e r le v e l th an is c u s to m a r ily e x p e c te d in th e th ree p r e c e d in g m on th s. T h e rise in th e s e a s o n a lly a d ju ste d in d e x d u rin g F e b r u a r y a m o u n te d to 4 p oin ts, b r in g in g it to 74 p e rce n t o f th e 1923-1925 a v e r age. In O c t o b e r 1934, th e in d e x s to o d at 62, th e lo w p o in t fo r th at y ea r. M o s t o f the rise in th e in d e x sin ce th at lo w p o in t w a s r e co rd e d has tak en p la ce in sh ip m en ts o f m e rch a n d ise and m isce lla n e o u s c o m m o d itie s in less than ca rlo a d lots, b u t m o re r e c e n tly b u lk traffic, p a rticu la rly fo r e s t p ro d u c ts , has co n tr ib u te d m a teria lly to the in crea se. T o t a l lo a d in g s w e re 12 p e rce n t la rg e r in F e b ru a r y th an a y e a r a go. RETAIL TRADE—Twelfth District Percentage changes in value of sales and stocks ,----------- 1935 compared with 1934----------- , STOCKS ,------- NET SALES------- , Jan. 1 to end of February February February Department Stores . . . 7.3 ( 73) 8.9 — 2.3 (54) Los Angeles............ 7.3 ( 6) 8.0 — 12.1 ( 6) Other So. California 17.8 ( 9) 14.6 0.3 ( 7) Oakland .................. 7.9 ( 5) 11.9 9.9 ( 5) San Francisco........ 4.3 ( 8) 5.5 — 1.8 ( 7) 5.5 ( 18) 7.5 1.1 (16) Bay Region............ Central California.. 16.2 ( 6) 18.4 1.6 ( 6) Portlandf................ 13.4 ( 8) 13.9 12.2 ( 7) Seattle .................... 6.6( 4) 11.7 12.9 ( 4) Spokane .................. 6.6( 5) 12.1 10.5 ( 5) Salt Lake City........ 3.6 ( 4) 5.4 — 1.5 ( 3) Apparel Stores .......... 14.0 ( 31) 13.4 — 5.6 (19) Furniture Stores........ 8.3 ( 32) 10.8 — 12.3 (24) All Stores.................... 8.0(136) 9.6 — 4.0 (97) ■{•Includes five apparel stores which are not included in district department store total. Figures in parentheses indicate number of stores reporting. T h e v a lu e o f d a ily a v e ra g e d e p a rtm e n t store sales is o rd in a rily a b o u t th e sam e in F e b ru a ry as in J a n u a ry, b u t th is y e a r it in crea sed s o m e w h a t and th is b a n k ’s se a s o n a lly a d ju ste d in d e x ro se fr o m 79 to 80 p e rce n t o f th e 1923-1925 a v e ra g e . L a st y ea r in F e b ru a ry , th e in d e x w a s 74, and tw o y e a rs a g o it w a s 65. In cre a ses in sales fr o m J a n u a ry to F e b r u a r y th is y e a r w e re rath er g en era l th r o u g h o u t th e T w e lft h D istrict. A s c o m p a r e d w ith a y e a r earlier, th e la rg est e x p a n s io n in sales co n tin u e s to be re p o rte d fro m ru ral areas. In cre a s e d sales g e n e r a lly reflected la rg e r v o lu m e s o f g o o d s so ld ra th er than h ig h er p rice s. In v e n to r ie s o f d e p a rtm e n t sto re g o o d s w e re in crea sed a b o u t as m u ch as is u su al d u r in g F e b ru a ry . M a rk e d e x p a n sio n in sales o f n e w a u to m o b ile s d u rin g F e b r u a ry w a s in c o n tra st w ith th e u su al te n d e n c y d u r in g th a t m o n th , and the se a so n a lly a d ju ste d in d e x ro s e fr o m 69 to 103 p e rce n t o f th e 1923-1925 a v e ra g e . T h e in d e x fo r th e la ter m o n th is h ig h e r than at a n y tim e sin ce A p r il 1930. S ales o f b o th p a s se n g e r and c o m m e r c ia l cars in cre a se d sh a rp ly . T h e n u m b e r o f n e w cars so ld w a s tw ic e as la rg e as in F e b r u a ry 1934 and o v e r th ree tim es as la rg e as M a rc h 1935 FEDERAL RESERVE AG E N T A T SAN FRANCISCO the lo w fo r the d e p re ssio n rea ch ed in F e b ru a ry 1933. A d ecrea se o f 2 p e rce n t in a g g re g a te sales o f re p o rtin g w h o le sa le rs d u rin g F e b ru a ry w as sm aller than o rd in a rily takes p la ce at this seaWHOLESALE TRADE—Twelfth District Percentage changes in value of sales February 1935 ---- compared with---Jan. 1935 Feb. 1934 Agricultural Implements........ 39.7 30.0 4.6 Automobile Supplies................ ....... 2.1 Drugs ........................................ — 9.4 1.9 Dry Goods.................................. — 4.9 8.7 Electrical Supplies.................... 16.8 32.5 Furniture.................................. ....... 5.9 16.5 Groceries .................................. — 7.4 16.6 17.2 Hardware.................................. ....... 6.6 21.2 1.5 Shoes ........................................ Paper and Stationery.............. — 9.5 9.3 13.3 All Lines.................................... — 1.5 r la n tic to P a cific traffic in crea sed d u rin g the m on th . Iro n , steel, and tin p la te sh ip m en ts held up fa irly w e ll, and th e to n n a g e o f o th e r classes o f c a r g o in crea sed c o n s id e ra b ly . P r ic e s Cumulative 1935 compared with 1934 47.3 8.5 1.1 10.0 28.3 31.3 14.0 14.6 2.8 7.5 12.3 son . In crea ses in sales o f a g ricu ltu ra l im p le m en ts, e lectrica l su p p lies, fu rn itu re, and sh oes e x ce e d e d season al e x p e cta tio n s and ex p a n sion in sales o f h ard w are and a u to m o b ile su pplies w a s in co n tra st w ith the usual te n d e n cy d u rin g the m on th . D ecre a s e s rep orted in sales o f dru g, d ry g o o d s , and g r o c e r y w h ole sa le rs w ere no la rg er than is cu sto m a ry in F eb ru a ry . A s c o m pared w ith F e b ru a ry 1934, tota l sales in creased 13 p ercen t, o r b y a so m e w h a t la rger am ou n t than in the p re ce d in g m on th . W h o le s a le prices o f finished g o o d s rem ained p ra ctica lly u n ch a n g ed at 81 p ercen t o f the 1926 avera ge d u rin g the m on th , a c c o r d in g to figu res o f the U n ited States B ureau o f L a b o r. A yea r ag o, the in d ex w a s 77. V o lu m e o f in tercoa sta l w a te r-b o rn e c o m m erce d eclin ed b y an ad d ition a l 80,000 ton s in F e b ru a ry to 543,000 ton s, the sm allest v o lu m e o f ca rg o fo r a n y m on th sin ce A p r il 1933. T h e decrea se w a s con fin ed to ea stb ou n d traffic th rou g h the P an am a Canal. E a stb o u n d lu m b er sh ip m en ts w e re red u ced fro m the rela tiv ely h ig h lev el o f th e tw o p re ce d in g m on th s, and petro le u m c a r g o d eclin ed sh a rp ly fu rth er. A t - Distribution and Trade — ,--------- 1935-1934--------- N ,— 1934-1933— , Feb. Jan. Dec. Nov. Feb. Jan. Dec. Indexes adjusted for seasonal variation Carloadingst (1923-1925 average=100) 66 67 64 65 69 70 Total .......................... , 74 80 81 85 84 80 78 Merchandise ............ . 89 Intercoastal Trade 68 77 79 91 72 83 Total .......................... , . 65 71 73 69 79 81 87 Westbound................ . 81 69 76 99 89 77 63 Eastbound ................ . 61 Retail Trade Automobile Salesî 52 35 45 69 73 71 T o ta l...................... . 104 65 97 Passenger.............. 66 66 49 31 43 113 82 69 Commercial .......... . 229 128 142 124 Department Store 74 72 76 79 83 81 Sales$ .................... , 80 65 62 62 64 65 60 61 Stocks§ .................. A a H ia I 1 7 «fin flû C f. Collections# Regular............ 45.2 48.2 47.0 48.3 43.5 46.4 43. 18.7 17.3 18.0 16.6 17.9 15. Installment .. .. . 16.8 {Daily average. §At end of month. #Percent of collections dur ing month to amount outstanding at first of month. 21 W h o le s a le p rices, w h ic h had b een a d v a n cin g ste a d ily sin ce N o v e m b e r , did n o t ch a n g e m u ch on the a v e ra g e d u rin g late F e b ru a ry and e a rly M a rch , and so m e slig h t re ce ssio n w a s rep orted in th e se co n d and th ird w eek s o f M a rch . S u b sta n tia l in crea ses in w h o le sa le p rices o v e r th e p ast y e a r h ave b een a cco u n te d fo r en tire ly b y a d v a n ce s in the farm p r o d u c ts and fo o d g ro u p s. T h e in d e x o f all o th e r c o m m o d ities w a s lo w e r in m id -M a rch than at an y tim e sin ce J a n u a ry 1934, a lth o u g h su b sta n tia l a d v a n ce s in the p rice s o f m a n y c o m m o d itie s in this g en era l g r o u p had taken p la ce in 1933. B e tw e e n F e b ru a ry 1934 and F e b ru a ry 1935, h o w ever, a v era g e p rices o f farm p ro d u cts a d v a n ced 29 p e rce n t, w h ile p rice s o f fo o d s in crea sed 22 p ercen t. T h e a d v a n ce in p rices o f c o m m o d itie s in th ese g r o u p s o c c u r re d p rin cip a lly a fter the s e v e rity o f the d r o u g h t w a s rea lized in late su m m e r o f 1934, b u t th e c o n s cio u s p ro se cu tio n o f a n a tion a l p ro g ra m to esta b lish a b etter b a la n ce b e tw e e n fa rm and in d u stria l p rices w as a lso e ffe ctiv e . M e a su re d b y g r o u p a v era ges, th is o b je c t iv e o f th e a d m in istra tio n w a s at tained to a co n s id e ra b le d e g re e and in the 1934 Bank Debits* — First two months February February 1934 1935 1935 1934 Arizona Phoenix............ $ 25,623 $ 21,564 $ 56,588 $ 44,473 California 16,786 21,907 7,641 Bakersfield 9,788 44,173 29,061 20,326 Berkeley .......... 13,645 33,081 38,755 15,578 17,688 Fresno ............ 42,443 51,234 19,811 Long Beach . . . 24,400 1,186,892 1,052,159 506,600 Los Angeles . . . . 567,535 280,690 292,914 Oakland .......... 129,570 141,781 40,353 36,915 19,365 17,884 Pasadena ........ 148,771 63,293 76,241 35,247 Sacramento . . . 13,435 10,471 4,832 San Bernardino 6,078 58,692 67,492 33,219 27,027 San Diego........ 1,311,411 671,077 589,820 1,370,133 San Francisco . . 33,057 14,852 13,223 28,736 San Jose .......... 17,656 15,491 8,300 6,905 Santa Barbara . 2,535 Santa Rosa . . . . 2,967 6,437 5,700 27,410 12,416 11,428 24,878 Stockton .......... Idaho 11,384 9,129 26,520 20,632 Nevada 14,675 11,115 6,643 4,994 Oregon Eugene ............ 3,445 2,966 7,173 6,208 Portland .......... . 109,810 100,543 229,156 207,538 9,558 7,766 20,850 16,988 Utah 11,403 7,480 25,808 19,309 Salt Lake City. 45,297 37,595 101,275 84,147 Washington Bellingham . . . . 3,859 3,658 8,332 8,026 4,052 Everett ............ 4,603 9,744 8,841 . 123,095 109,809 258,903 239,277 Spokane .......... 21,002 60,488 45,891 27,885 Tacoma .......... 18,178 20,143 43,079 38,821 Walla W alla... 3,844 3,998 7,565 7,391 Yakima .......... 9,059 7,942 17,351 18,731 Total ........ .$2,022,792 *In thousands of dollars. $1,781,314 $4,222,170 $3,813,151 22 M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS m a rk e tin g se a son , th o se fa rm ers w ith c r o p s to h a rv est b e n e fite d m a te ria lly fr o m h ig h p rices. In recen t w e e k s, th e a d v a n ce in a g ricu ltu ra l p rices has b e e n ch e c k e d , and w h o le s a le fo o d p rices h a v e te n d e d to d e clin e sin ce th e w e e k e n d in g F e b r u a r y 23. R e ta il fo o d p rice s in th e U n ite d S tates w e re a p p r o x im a te ly 13 p e r c e n t h ig h e r in F e b ru a ry th an a y e a r a g o . In cre a se s o v e r th e y e a r -p e r io d in L o s A n g e le s and S a lt L a k e C ity w e r e 22 p e rce n t and 17 p e rce n t, r e s p e ctiv e ly , and th o se fo r P o rtla n d , S ea ttle, and San F r a n c is c o a p p ro x im a te d th e a v e ra g e o f 13 p e rce n t fo r the U n ite d S ta tes as a w h o le . A lth o u g h retail fo o d p rice s co n tin u e d to rise in the la st tw o w eek s o f F e b r u a ry , th e rate o f in crea se w a s s lo w e r than in th e t w o p r e c e d in g m on th s. M o s t d ried fr u it p rice s w e re slig h tly lo w e r in m id -M a r c h than a m o n th earlier. Q u o ta tio n s on ca n n ed a p rico ts and p ea ch es w e re re d u ce d on s o m e sizes and g ra d e s b u t the re d u ctio n s w ere n o t g en e ra l. D e s p ite la rg e s to ck s , ca n n ed pear p rices re m a in e d u n ch a n g e d . S p o t fo r e ig n s ilv e r p rice s a d v a n ce d to 5 9 ^ cen ts p e r o u n c e o n M a rch 15, th e h ig h e st q u o ta tion fo r refin ed s ilv e r sin ce A u g u s t 1928. Z in c p rice s te n d e d to im p r o v e , w h ile th o se fo r lead an d fo r c o p p e r in b o th th e d o m e s tic and fo r e ig n m a rk et s h o w e d little o r n o ch a n g e. T h e C r e d it S itu a tio n A lth o u g h s o m e r e la tiv e ly la rg e flu ctu a tion s w e re re c o r d e d in d em a n d d e p o sits , th e c o n d i tio n o f c it y ba n k s in th e T w e lft h D is tr ict sh o w e d little n et ch a n g e b e tw e e n F e b r u a r y 20 SOURCES OF FUNDS Reserve Bank Credit — .4 — 2.7 — .7 + 2.7 — 3.0 — 1.9 + 2.4 + *8 — 2.0 + 4.0 Commercial Treasury Operations Operations 1-11.9 — 1.2 - 6.9 — 14.2 - .1 — 16.2 - 4.3 + 11.4 - 9.0 + -1 - 8.5 — 17.1 - 1.9 — 1.8 - 8.4 + 6.1 - 5.1 + .8 -18.5 — 15.4 Total Supply + 10.3 — 10.0 — 16.8 + 18.4 + 6.1 — 10.5 + 2.5 +15.3 + 3.9 — 29.9 USES OF FUNDS Demand Week for Ending Currency 1935— January 16. . — 7.0 January 23. . — 4.9 January 30. . — 2.0 February 6. + 6 . 0 February 13. + 2.3 February 20. — .9 February 27. * March 6. . . + 5 .9 March 13 . . . — 2.0 March 2 0 ... + 1.4 ♦Change less than $50,000. Member Bank Reserve Deposits + 8.6 — 7.2 — 10.6 + 12.5 + 3.7 — 11.9 + 1.0 + 11.5 + 6.4 — 27.0 Other F.R.B. Accounts + 8.7 + 2.1 — 4.2 — .1 + .1 + 2.3 + 1.5 — 2.1 — .5 — 4.3 and M a rch 20. In v e stm e n ts in se cu ritie s oth e r th an th o se o f th e U n ite d S tates G o v e r n m e n t c o n tin u e d to in crea se m o d e ra te ly . C o n s id e rin g th e d istrict as a w h o le , th ere w a s a n et o u tw a rd m o v e m e n t o f fu n d s in p a y m e n t o f c o m m e rcia l and finan cial a cc o u n ts d u rin g th e fo u r w eek s u n d er re v ie w . T h e T w e lft h D is tr ic t p a id m o re in to th e U n ite d S tates T r e a s u r y than th e T r e a s u r y d isb u rse d in the T w e lft h D is tr ict, re fle c tin g p a rtly th e in flu en ce o f in c o m e ta x c o l le ctio n s as w e ll as d e p o s its o f fu n d s w ith th e T r e a s u r y b y sev era l n a tion a l ba n k s fo r re d e m p tio n o f th e ir c ir c u la tin g n o te s. A s a resu lt o f the co m m e r cia l tra n sfers o f fu n d s o u t o f the d is trict and th e T r e a s u r y ’s e x ce s s o f c o lle c tio n s o v e r d isb u rse m e n ts, m e m b e r b a n k rese rv e b a l a n ces and n o n m e m b e r b a n k d e p o s its at th e R e se rv e B an k w e re re d u ce d . O n M a rch 11, th e S e cre ta ry o f th e T r e a s u ry a n n o u n ce d p lan s fo r r e tir in g n a tion a l ban k n otes. T h e re tire m e n t is to b e e ffe c te d b y th e r e d e m p tio n o f all b o n d s b e a rin g th e c ir c u la tio n p r iv ile g e e x c e p t th o s e b o n d s w h ic h b e a r th at p r iv ile g e b y v irtu e o f s p e cia l p r o v is io n s w h ich e x p ire on J u ly 22, 1935. N o te s s e cu re d b y th o se la tte r b o n d s w ill o f n e c e s s ity b e re tire d in J u ly. A c tu a l w ith d ra w a l o f th e n o te s fr o m c ir c u la tio n w ill take co n s id e r a b le tim e, b u t th e lia b il ity fo r th e ir p a y m e n t is to be tra n sfe rre d fro m n a tion a l ban k s to th e U n ite d S ta tes T r e a s u r y b y A u g u s t 1 o f th is year. N a tio n a l b a n k s in th e T w e lfth D is tr ic t had a n o te lia b ility o f $121,337,000 o n D e c e m b e r 31, 1934. T h is to ta l w a s 18.5 p e rce n t o f th e n o te lia b ility o f all n a tio n a l ban k s in th e U n ite d S ta tes, a lth o u g h FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO (in millions of dollars) SOURCES AND USES OF BANKING RESERVES Twelfth District Changes in millions of dollars during the weeks indicated Week Ending -January 16.. January 23.. January 30.. February 6. February 13. February 20. February 27. March 6. .. March 1 3 ... March 20. . . M a r c h 1935 Total Demand +10.3 — 10.0 — 16.8 +18.4 + 6.1 — 10.5 + 2.5 +15.3 + 3.9 — 29.9 ■Condition* Mar. 20 Mar. 13 Feb. 20 Mar. 21 1935 . 1934 1935 1935 170 167 167 168 Total Bills and Securities.......... 1 1 Bills Discounted...................... 3 Bills Bought............................ 166 166 166 166 United States Securities.......... 359 341 267 Total Reserves.............................. 343 290 209 306 Total Deposits.............................. 294 Federal Reserve Notes in 201 199 196 Circulation................................ 202 Ratio of Total Reserves to De posit and Federal Reserve Note 69.2 70.8 69.6 Liabilities Combined................ 65.8 REPORTING MEMBER BANKS-—Twelfth District (in millions of dollars) Condition " ^ r Mar. 20 Mar. 13 Feb. 20 Mar. 21 1935 1934 1935 1935 1,952 1,780 1,942 Loans and Investments— Total.. 1,955 881 878 876 Loans— Total .......................... 878 204 218 On Securities........................ 205 203 663 672 673 All Other................................ 675 899 1,076 1,064 1,077 Investments— Total ................ 570 689 663 673 United States Securities . .. 329 387 404 401 Other Securities.................... 109 161 154 176 Reserve with Reserve Bank........ 605 729 737 737 Net Demand Deposits.................. 970 966 901 969 Time Deposits................................ 201 202 211 173 Due from Banks............................ 209 213 206 171 Due to Banks................................ 1 Borrowings at Reserve Bank. . . . M a rc h 1935 FEDERAL RESERVE AG EN T A T SAN FRANCISCO n a tion a l ban k s in the T w e lft h D is tr ic t h ad o n ly 12.7 p ercen t o f to ta l a ssets o f all n a tion a l ban k s. In this d istrict, th e n et e ffe c t o f th e final re tirem en t o f n a tion a l b a n k n o te s w ill b e to release to th e n a tion a l ba n k s a p p ro x im a te ly $6,000,000 n o w b e in g h eld in th e 5 p e rce n t red e m p tio n fu n d b y the T re a s u r y , thus in cre a s in g m e m b e r ban k reserv es b y th at a m ou n t. In su b sta n ce, the n a tion a l ba n k s tu rn in to the U n ite d States T r e a s u r y th e b o n d s h eld as se cu rity a g a in st th e ir n a tion a l b a n k n o te lia b ilities, and in turn the lia b ility fo r th ese n o te s is a s su m ed b y th e T r e a s u r y .* T h e la tter a lso re fu n d s to th e ban k s th e 5 p e rce n t re d e m p tio n fu n d w h ich n a tion a l ba n k s are re q u ire d b y la w to m ain tain a g a in st n o te lia b ilities. A s the n ation al b a n k n otes are a ctu a lly taken o u t o f circu la tio n and red e e m e d b y th e T r e a s u ry , T r e a s u r y cash and d e p o sits w ill be d ra w n d o w n , th e to ta l a m o u n t u ltim a te ly b e in g equ al to th e su m o f th e fa c e v a lu e o f th e n otes fo r w h ich lia b ility has b een a ssu m ed . In th e lo n g run, F ed e ra l reserv e n o te c ir cu la tio n w ill in crease, as a resu lt o f the tra n sa ctio n s , b y an a m o u n t a p p r o x im a te ly eq u iv a le n t to the retired n a tion a l ban k o b lig a tio n s . M o r e im m ed ia te ly , th e e ffe ct o f th e m o v e to retire th e n ote s b y re d e e m in g th e b o n d s se c u rin g th e issues w ill be to red u ce reserv e b a la n ces o f d is trict n ation al * Som e national bank notes are secured by bonds w hich have not been called, but w hich w ill not be eligible as collateral for note issues after July 22, 1935. D ifferent handling of the relatively small am ount of notes secured b y these bonds m akes no material difference in the general effects of retiring the notes under the plan announced. 23 ban k s to th e e x te n t th a t th o se ba n k s e le ct to d e p o sit fu n d s w ith the T r e a s u r y to liq u id a te th e ir n o te lia b ility in a d v a n ce o f th e actu a l re d e m p tio n date fo r b o n d s h a v in g th e circu la tion p riv ile g e . In fo r m a tio n o n th e co n d itio n o f all T w e lfth D is tr ic t c ity ban k s s h o w s th at th ere w a s bu t little ch a n g e in th e v o lu m e o f th e ir tota l loan s d u rin g the first e le v e n w e e k s o f 1935. L o a n s on secu rities and o n real estate d eclin e d s lig h tly , d ecrea ses b e in g re p o rte d fro m m o s t cities. C o m m e rcia l loa n s on th e o th e r hand, e x p a n d ed m o d e ra te ly , a lm o st th e en tire in crea se ta k in g p la ce at San F r a n cis c o banks. H o ld in g s o f G o v ern m en t secu rities ch a n g e d little b u t th ere w a s so m e in crea se in h o ld in g s o f secu rities w h ich are g u a ra n teed as to in te re st and p rin cip a l b y the U n ite d States G o v e rn m e n t. In v e stm e n ts in all o th e r secu rities rem a in ed su b sta n tia lly u n ch a n g e d . D e m a n d d e p o sits o f ban k s in crea sed slig h tly d u rin g th is p e rio d , and tim e d e p o sits in crea sed co n sid e ra b ly . F o r th e m o s t part, th ese ch a n g e s d u rin g the first elev en w e e k s o f 1935 w e re in k e e p in g w ith ch a n g e s in co n d itio n o f all T w e lfth D is trict m e m b e r ban ks b e tw e e n O c t o b e r 17, 1934 and D e c e m b e r 31, 1934, fo r w h ich call date c o m p lete fig u res h a ve r e ce n tly b e co m e available. B e tw e e n th o se ca ll r e p o rt dates, d e p o sits in cre a se d 181 m illio n d olla rs, th e in crea se b e in g a b o u t e q u a lly d iv id e d b e tw e e n d em an d d e p o sits o f g o v e r n m e n ta l a g e n cie s and sa v in g s d ep osits. A n in crea se o f 121 m illio n d olla rs in to ta l loan s and in v e stm e n ts re p resen ted e n tire ly g r o w t h in s e cu rity h o ld in g s sin ce o n ly a sm all ch a n g e w a s re c o r d e d in to ta l loan s. S U M M A R Y O F N A T IO N A L C O N D IT IO N S Prepared by the Federal Reserve Board In F e b ru a ry , in d u stria l p r o d u c tio n in crea sed b y less than th e usual sea son a l a m o u n t, f o llo w in g sh arp a d v a n ces in D e c e m b e r and Jan uary. W h o le s a le p rice s o f m a n y le a d in g c o m m o d itie s s h o w e d little ch a n g e in F e b r u a r y and d e clin e d in th e ea rly p a rt o f M a rch . P r ic e s o f liv e s to ck and m eats, h o w e v e r, a d v a n ce d fu rth e r in F e b ru a ry and c o n tin u e d at r e la tiv e ly h ig h lev els d u rin g the first th ree w e e k s o f M a rch . P r o d u c t io n and E m p lo y m e n t. D a ily a v era g e ou tp u t o f b a sic in d u stria l co m m o d itie s in crea sed in F e b ru a r y b y an a m o u n t sm a ller than is usual at th is sea son and th e F e d e ra l R e s e r v e B o a r d ’ s in d e x , w h ic h m akes a llo w a n c e fo r sea son a l v a ri a tion s, d e clin e d fro m 91 p e rce n t o f th e 19231925 a v era g e in J a n u a ry to 89 p e rce n t in F e b ru ary. A t steel m ills, a c tiv ity in cre a se d fu rth er d u rin g th e ea rly p a rt o f F e b r u a r y ; later in the m on th and in the first th ree w e e k s o f M a rch , h o w e v e r, a ctiv ity d e clin e d , c o n tra r y to season al te n d e n cy . In th e a u to m o b ile in d u stry p r o d u c tion co n tin u e d to in crea se and the o u tp u t in d i ca te d fo r th e first q u a rte r is la rg e r than in th e c o r r e s p o n d in g p e r io d o f a n y o th e r y e a r sin ce 1929. L u m b e r p r o d u c tio n rem a in ed at a lo w lev el. A t te x tile m ills, a c tiv ity in F e b ru a r y d e clin e d so m e w h a t fr o m th e re la tiv e ly h ig h rate o f the p r e c e d in g m o n th . In th e m ea t p a ck in g in d u stry o u tp u t c o n tin u e d to d eclin e. F a c to r y e m p lo y m e n t in crea sed b e tw e e n the m id d le o f J a n u a ry and th e m id d le o f F e b ru a ry b y m o re than th e u su al season al a m ou n t, re fle ctin g su b sta n tia l in crea ses in w o r k in g fo r c e s in the a u to m o b ile , m a ch in e ry , iron and steel, and w e a rin g ap p a rel in d u stries and sm a ller in crea ses in m a n y o th e r lines. A t m ea t p a ck in g esta b lish m en ts, e m p lo y m e n t co n tin u e d to d e clin e an d at t o b a c c o fa cto rie s it s h o w e d less than the usual sea son a l g r o w th . P a y ro lls at m a n u fa ctu rin g esta b lish m en ts a lso in creased M O N T H L Y REVIEW OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS 24 co n s id e r a b ly in F e b ru a ry . In n o n -m a n u fa c tu r in g in d u stries e m p lo y m e n t and p a y ro lls sh o w e d little ch a n g e . T o t a l v a lu e o f c o n s tr u c tio n c o n tra cts a w a rd ed in th e p e rio d fr o m J a n u a ry 1 to M a rch 15, as rep o rte d b y the F. W . D o d g e C o rp o ra tio n , w a s sm aller than in th e c o r r e s p o n d in g p e rio d last year, re fle ctin g a re d u c tio n in th e v o lu m e o f p u b lic p r o je c ts . T h e v a lu e o f c o n tra cts a w a rd ed M a r c h 1935 tin w e re c o n s id e r a b ly lo w e r than at th e b e g in n in g o f F e b ru a ry , w h ile p rice s o f liv e s to ck , m eats, and su g a r w e re h igh er. B a n k C redit. D u r in g the fo u r w e e k s en d ed M a rch 20 m e m b e r b an k reserv e b a la n ces d e clin e d b y $280,000,000, p rin cip a lly in c o n s e q u e n ce o f an in crea se in T r e a s u r y d e p o sits w ith F e d e ra l reserv e ban k s b u ilt up in c o n n e c tio n w ith M a rch 15 fiscal o p e ra tio n s. E x c e s s reMILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERCENT INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS AWARDED Index of industrial production, adjusted for seasonal varia* tion (1923-1925 average=100). Three-month moving averages of F. W. Dodge data for 37 Eastern states, adjusted for seasonal variation. Latest figures based on data for January and February and estimate for March. fo r resid en tia l b u ild in g d u rin g th is p e rio d sh o w e d a s lig h t in cre a se o v e r the lo w lev el o f a y ea r a g o . D is trib u tio n . D a ily a v e ra g e v o lu m e o f r e v en ue fr e ig h t c a r lo a d in g s s h o w e d a sea son a l in crease in F e b r u a r y an d little ch a n g e in th e first h alf o f M a rch . D e p a r tm e n t sto re sales in crea sed in F e b ru a ry , a m o n th w h e n th ere is u su a lly little ch a n g e, and th e c o m b in e d to ta l fo r th e first tw o m on th s o f th e y e a r w a s la rg e r than a y e a r a g o b y 5 p ercen t. serv es o f m e m b e r b a n k s d e clin e d to a b o u t $1,950,000,000. D e m a n d d e p o s its (n e t) o f w e e k ly re p o r tin g m e m b e r ban k s in le a d in g citie s in cre a se d fu r th er b y $380,000,000 d u rin g th e fo u r w eek s en d ed M a rch 13. T h e b a la n ces o f o th e r ban k s w ith r e p o r tin g ban k s in cre a se d b y $100,000,000 w h ile G o v e rn m e n t d e p o sits d e clin e d , re fle ctin g th e w ith d ra w a l o f fu n d s fr o m d e p o s ito r y ban k s. L o a n s and in v e stm e n ts o f re p o rtin g ban ks in cre a se d b y $275,000,000. T h e r e w a s a fu rth er BILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERCENT U.S. GOV'T SECUR s v " ALL OTHER 1S Ì ® - * - ANS ON S E C U R .T I E S ^ ^ > e ^ 1932 FACTORY EMPLOYMENT OTHER SECURITIES 1 1933 1934 1935 MEMBER BANK CREDIT Index of factory employment, adjusted for seasonal vari ation (1923-1925 average=100). Wednesday figures for reporting member banks in 91 leading cities. Latest figures are for March 13. W h o le s a le C o m m o d it y P rice s . D u r in g th e p e rio d fr o m th e b e g in n in g o f F e b ru a ry to the m id d le o f M a rch th ere w e re w id e m o v e m e n ts in p rices o f m a n y in d iv id u a l c o m m o d itie s , w h ile the g en era l le v e l o f w h o le s a le p rice s, as m ea su red b y th e B u rea u o f L a b o r S ta tis tic s’ in d ex , s h o w e d little ch a n g e . In th e th ird w e e k o f M a rch , p rices o f c o tt o n an d o th e r te x tile s, g ra in s o th e r than w h ea t, c o ffe e , r u b b e r an d tires, scra p steel, and g r o w t h o f $85,000,000 in h o ld in g s o f d ire ct o b li g a tio n s o f the U n ite d S tates G o v e r n m e n t and a sm a ller in crea se in o b lig a tio n s g u a ra n te e d b y the G o v e rn m e n t. L o a n s to b r o k e rs an d d ealers in secu rities in crea sed b y $130,000,000, w h ile o th e r loa n s s h o w e d little ch a n g e . Y ie ld s on U n ite d S tates G o v e r n m e n t o b lig a tio n s d e clin e d s lig h tly fu rth e r, and o p e n -m a rk e t m o n e y rates c o n tin u e d at a lo w lev el.