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Ê B - N O T T O B E R E L E A S E D F O R P U B L IC ^ A g r ic u l t u r a l *' ' v I f T<« a n d THE A F T E R N O O N O F J A N U A R Y 2 8 , 1 9 2 2 B u s in e s s C o n d it io n s IN T H E T W E L F T H F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D IS T R IC T M o n th ly R e p o rt to the F ed eral R eserv e B oa rd by JOHN PERRIN, Chairman of the Board and Federal Reserve Agent Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Vol. VI San Francisco, Caliibi:* a territory so largely dependent i\vr its I Nprosperity upon the condition oi gn culture and livestock as the Twelfth r i d nuary 16, 1922 No. 1 pvi: of farm products. As a measure of the pv: v [ asing power of the rural communities, LwV. _ver, they should be qualified by allowance for reductions which have occurred during the same period in the cost of living (20.4 per cent between July, 1920, and December, 1921) and particularly in the farmer's cost of production. In the latter item, wages of farm labor are one of the predominant elements and these are reported by the Department of Agriculture to have been $45.50 per month with board in 1921 as compared with $73.21 with board in 1920. Those industries of the District directly allied with agriculture are in appreciably better condition than they were at the beginning of 1921. Sixty-one reporting flour mills of the District are now operating at 56 per cent capacity comp^red^ with 26.7 per cent a year erai Reserve District, substantial and per manent recovery from the severe readjustment of the past year must await the results of the crops of 1922. There is already apparent, how ever, pronounced improvement T he Month in the credit situation when com pared with the beginning of 1921, as indicated both by the strong position of the banks generally throughout the District and by the availability and cost of bank credit for agriculture, industry and commerce. Total borrowings of member banks from this bank at the beginning of 1921 ($171,211,000) were more than twice the $71,271,000 borrowed at the beginning of 1922. Improvement in the condition of the 67 reporting member banks of the District is reflected in the reduction dur ing the year in the ratio of their total loans sewmi^ly** Embarrassed with ,*jstn .abnormally and discounts to total deposits, which was 81.3 kjkVy*#carry over of goods pro*dtfc#èÛ#£t high per cent at the beginning of 1921 and 75 per / has i>e3rt*^t!fe thu£*&sf£ £o dispt>s£ o£ this cent at the beginning of 1922. On January*. ’carryover fo l# : iKe *¿1921 pack*,*.Vhich that 23rd the discount rate of this bank will be /#er *••is reported to have been 70 per cent duced from 5 to Ay2 per cent. Prevailing in-*« of J^20.j «Market.4^«a*nd. .at the .end oi**l521 terest rates charged by the principal member was*rêfü*ted jançl pçrê$eji$: .^ im a te s are banks of the District have been reported to be that the* Trmf ancf vegetable* i5â<?k in the Dis easing slowly during the closing months of trict during the com ing year will be a large 1921, and it would appear that conservative one. From all parts of the District come re enterprise in general will not be hampered in ports of increase in and improvement of dairy its conduct during 1922 either by the lack of herds, as a result of reawakened appreciation in the farming communities of the stability available bank credit or by its cost. Customary yearly returns of the United and profitableness of dairying as a collateral States Department of Agriculture show that farm activity. the December 1st farm value of the 15 prin In industrial activity the most notable con cipal crops of the District was $513,000,000 trast with conditions prevailing a year ago compared with $730,000,000 in 1920, a decline appears in the lumber industry. December, of 30 per cent. These figures reflect the sub 1921, was more active than is customary. Pro stantial decreases which have occurred in duction of four associations of this District was T h o s e d e s i r i n g th is r e p o r t s e n t t h e m r e g u la r ly w ill r e c e i v e it w it h o u t c h a r g e u p o n a p p l ic a t io n Agricultural and Business Conditions 2 36 per cent greater than it was in December, Spokane, savings deposits generally through 1920; orders received were 179 per cent greater out the District do not show the decline which and shipments 55 per cent greater in amount; might have been anticipated, but instead, an unfilled orders reported by two associations increase of 4.5 per cent in amount during the were 190 per cent greater at the end of 1921 year ending December 15th. Savings deposits than they were at the end of 1920. Exports on that date were also 1.2 per cent greater of lumber to Japan during the first nine months than they were the month before. of 1921 were 174 per cent greater than during December sales of 28 reporting retail stores the first nine months of 1920, and recently a in the District were 2.4 per cent less in dollar slight revival in Australian demand has value than they were in December, 1920. Sales appeared. in San Francisco and Los Angeles were larger Building activity throughout the District in dollar value than in December, 1920. In continues at record figures, December returns view of the substantial decrease in the average being second only to those of last October. selling price of their merchandise (estimated The year 1921 shows an increase of 31.5 per by several stores to be 20 per cent or m ore), cent in number and 17.9 per cent in value of it is apparent that the holiday trade this year permits compared with the year 1920. In view was appreciably larger in physical volume than of the considerable reduction in cost of build it was last year. ing during the year, the physical volume of Figures are now available covering sales construction for 1921 was even larger in com during the years 1920 and 1921 of the reporting parison with 1920 than the foregoing figures firms in ten lines of wholesale trade in this of value would indicate. District. These figures are based upon a com In the field of business, failures continue to parison of dollar value of net sales and show a be heavy, those for December being the largest decrease in all reporting lines, varying from reported to this bank during the past three 11.7 per cent for drugs to 52.6 for agricultural years. They were greater by 41.5 per cent in implements. Excluding the latter, the average number and 13 per cent in total liability than decline for all lines would not be far from 20 failures in December, 1920. Bank clearings, of per cent. If corrections of dollar values were the 20 principal cities during December, of made to compensate for the price declines $1,627,956,000 were only 4.1 per cent less than which have occurred in all lines during the the clearings of December, 1920. This is the past two years, it is probable that the physical smallest percentage of decrease for any month volume of merchandise moved at wholesale of 1921, when compared with the correspond would show approximately the same as that ing month of 1920, a*nonjsidfcrably smaller moved in 1920. During the last two months percentage of fccS4a%e*titci}i cfcct/rredfin#whole- of 1921 in particular, comparisons of sales in sale and #i;ettfy-.*£Hc£s** "during the* :pefio(i.# It various lines with sales in the corresponding would ap£.<*V t«h*at the physical volume ©¿iitlsj- months of 1920 have shown diminution of the ness is #tf©.^*greatej-#i]ia$ it.jv#a$,a }jear ago;.**.. percentages of decline and certain instances of N o^j\Jistandii^ Seattle aty}*** •increase. In November three wholesale lines • • • • • • • • ••• • ••• ••• • *, (A) CropTwelfth Fedeidl'JfcGsjgrve district— •••*•• • • *—^V6ducft<fa *• ^—• ••—*— * • ••• • » f • Crop Unit 1921 W heat (bushels)...........122,045 Oats (bushels)............... 39,148 Barley (bu sh els)........... 34,343 Hay (to n s )................... 16,125 Cotton (p ou n d s)........... 54,453 Beans (bushels) .......... 3,902 Rice (bu sh els)............... 5,880 Potatoes (bushels)....... 35,371 Sugar Beets (to n s )...... 2,496 Hops (p ou n d s).............. 28,560 Apples (barrels)........... 11,761 Peaches (bushels)........ 14,781 Pears (bushels)............ 5,821 Oranges (b o x e s )........... 22,500 Lemons (b o x e s )........... 4,664 *(000 Omitted.) ( ## 1920 100,232 44,398 41,134 14,082 130,000 2,925 9,720 39,445 2,867 36,360 7,377 15,188 6,568 18,700 3,750 1919 100,563 38,711 40,205 13,127 58,000 5,120 9,300 32,222 2,711 27,759 10,769 22,273 6,897 15,075 4,663 _ . Farm Value on December 1st — Total*----1919 1921 1920 1919 $102,531 13,682 21,652 149,214 11,690 11,005 6,762 36,179 16,287 6,885 44,333 16,467 9,209 49,500 18,003 $1 38,156 31,724 40,540 233,791 39,000 9,713 11,761 42,361 36,340 12,821 27,193 29,912 14,229 51,425 11,475 $211,406 36,602 56,609 255,705 27,324 22,290 24,831 50,198 29,871 21,497 50,035 34,074 14,965 41 ,456 17,941 $513,399 $730,441 $894,804 f------------- Per Unit------------- N 1921 1920 $ .8 4 $ 1.37 $2.10 .39 .71 .94 .55 .98 1.40 9.24 13.79 19.47 .21 .30 .47 2.82 3.32 4.35 1.15 1.21 2.67 1.02 1.07 1.55 6.52 12.67 11.01 .24 .35 .77 3.76 3.68 4.64 1.11 1.96 1.52 1.58 2.16 1.75 2.20 2.75 2.75 3.86 3.06 3.64 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 3 (dry goods, furniture and automobile tires) reported larger dollar values of sales than in November, 1920, and in December two more lines (drugs and shoes) were added to the list. Figures compiled from the December crop production and price estimates of the United States Department of Agriculture show that the total farm value of 15 of the 1921 Crop principal crops of the Twelfth P roduction Federal Reserve District was and Values $513,399,000 in 1921 compared with a total value of $730,441,000 in 1920 and $894,804,000 in 1919. The decline in the purchasing power of the farming communities which these figures sug gest has been partly offset by declining prices for the things the farmer has to buy, including items entering into the cost of production of his product and items entering into the cost of living of himself and his family. It is estimated by the National Industrial Conference Board that the cost of living in the United States de clined 20.4 per cent from July, 1920, to De cember, 1921. The reduced cost of farm labor in 1921 as compared with 1920 and 1919 was the most important factor in lowering costs of produc tion of the crops of this District. Labor costs in the far western states are estimated by the United States Department of Agriculture as follow s : Farm Labor per month (with board) ............. Harvest Hands per day (with board) .............. Harvest Hands per day (without board) ........ 1920 1919 .$45.05 $73.21 $62.96 2.43 4.48 3.80 3.34 5.39 4.67 1921 Estimated production and value of 15 of the principal crops grown in the Twelfth Federal Reserve District are shown in table “ A .” (See opposite page.) A ccording to figures compiled from the D e cember report of the Bureau of Markets and Crop Estimates (presented in table “ B” ) the Twelfth Federal Reserve District W inter shows a slightly reduced acreage W heat sown to winter wheat during the fall of 1921 (3,573,000 acres) compared with the acreage sown in 1920 (3,586,000 acres). W eather conditions over a large part of the District were not favorable for fall seed ing operations, due to the absence of rains until late in the season. The condition of winter wheat in this Dis trict, as reported on December 1st, was con siderably below the 10 year average, or normal. Since that time copious rains have fallen in California, Oregon, Arizona, Nevada and Utah, and some improvement in the con dition of all fall sown grains has resulted. A light layer of snow covers many of the fields in Idaho and W ashington and although the condition of the crop may have improved since the earlier estimate, no definite statement is possible. Dull markets and preinventory reduction of stocks, caused a further decline in the output of flour mills during December as compared with the previous month, according M illing to leading millers of the District. Total production of 61 reporting mills was 55.9 per cent of capacity as compared with 58.9 per cent in November, and 26.7 per (B) Acreage and Condition o f Winter Wheat— f---------Area Sown Autumn, 1921 Arizona ....................................... ......................... California .................................... ........................ Idaho .......................................... ......................... Nevada ........................................ ........................ Oregon ....................................... ......................... Utah ............................................ ......................... Washington ............................... ......................... (Preliminary) 42,000 759,000 436,000 2,000 894,000 148,000 1,292,000 Twelfth District ...................... ......................... 3,573,000 Total U. S................................... ......................... 44,293,000 (C) Milling— Output No. Mills Reporting December November California ........ Idaho ................ Oregon ............ Washington 9 5 22 District ............. December 25 10 5 27 29 / , . .6 1 71 1 (Acres)-----(Revised) 44,000 774,000 436,000 3,000 813,000 156,000 1,360,000 3,586,000 44,847,000 — November (barrels) (barrels) 2 1 5 ,3 1 4 2 7 5 ,5 7 8 ' 5 ,9 9 1 1 7 1 ',5 5 3 M726 • 157^9633 8 6 ,1 3 6 F Î & 7 S ,Î 3 9 5 r Autumn, 1920 1921 Condition December 1st--------10 Year 1920 Average 95 90 81 85 92 80 79 93 95 95 90 97 97 97 95 90 92 91 93 92 89 76.0 87.9 89.0 Per Cent Mill Capacity in Operation December November December 1921 1921 1920 4 0 2 ,9 S ( 50.8 44.4 50.8 57.2 68.6 23.1 50.9 58.1 37.8 26.1 20.7 26.1 856,079 j 55.9 58.9 26.7 4 Agricultural and Business Conditions cent a year ago. Millers report that there is practically no export demand for flour, and that while inquiries in the domestic market have been frequent, few sales have been con summated. W heat prices are reported as steady with a few sales, in the Northwestern states, while in California a slight downward trend is noted. Millers did not increase their stocks of flour or wheat during December, reports of 15 large operators in the District showing that stocks of flour on hand January 1st, were 354,344 barrels compared with 374,587 barrels held on January 1, 1920. Stocks of wheat held by re porting millers on January 1st were 1,888,986 bushels as compared with 2,159,832 bushels held on the same date a year ago. Production of 61 reporting flour mills in this District during December and November, and the percentages of mill capacity in operation during those months and in December, 1920, are shown in table “ C.” (See preceding page.) Combined estimates for the five states which produce canned fruits and vegetables (shown in table “ D ” ) give a total pack of 14,626,139 cases for the Tw elfth FedCanned Fruits eral Reserve District during and Vegetables the 1921 season compared with 20,243,724 cases packed in 1920. The 1921 pack of canned fruits and vegetables in California (which produces the majority of the total pack of the District) was 11,127,798 cases compared with a 1920 pack of 16,632,809 cases. This is the smallest Cali (D) Fruit and Vegetable Pack—By States— (---------------- Fruits---------------- ^ f ----------- Vegetables------------\ t----------Combined Totals- 1921 1920 1921 1920 1921 1920 (eases) (cases) (cases) (cases) (cases) (cases) California* ................... Idaho* .......................... Oregon* ........................ Utah§ ............................ Washington* ............... 8 ,5 1 1 ,8 5 1 6 6 ,3 2 8 1 1 ,3 8 2 ,8 6 3 8 8 ,3 5 1 5 ,2 4 9 ,9 4 6 4 0 ,0 9 4 1 ,0 1 9 ,3 9 1 1 ,1 2 9 ,5 8 1 1 1 ,1 2 7 ,7 9 8 7 4 ,8 2 8 1 .3 5 8 .2 0 2 1 6 ,6 3 2 ,8 0 9 1 , 3 0 4 ,4 5 7 2 , 6 1 5 ,9 4 7 8 ,5 0 0 5 3 ,7 4 5 Twelfth D istrict... 1 1 ,2 5 8 ,6 9 9 6 8 ,5 1 5 1 ,3 0 7 ,5 4 8 1 2 8 ,4 4 5 1 , 1 0 8 ,0 1 4 5 8 5 ,5 9 3 8 8 ,6 2 3 1 1 7 ,5 0 2 1 0 3 ,6 5 5 1 2 3 ,4 3 7 6 5 4 ,1 0 8 1 .4 1 1 .2 0 3 1 ,2 4 7 ,0 8 3 1 ,0 0 3 ,9 3 6 1 4 ,6 2 4 ,1 2 2 3 ,3 6 7 ,4 4 0 5 ,6 1 9 ,6 0 2 1 4 ,6 2 6 ,1 3 9 2 0 ,2 4 3 ,7 2 4 1 , 1 2 7 ,3 7 3 *Estimated by Canners’ League of California. $By the American Can Company. §By Utah Canners’ Association. (E) Fruit and Vegetable Pack—By Varieties— r 1921 FRUIT ------- California*-^— 1920 (cases) (cases) t------- Oregon, Washington and Idaho!------- \ 1919 1921 1920 1919 (cases) (cases) (cases) (cases) 996,699 63 965,742 211,783 420,835 1,591 697,090 353,861 392^784 1,619 10,392 110,766 122,740 814,460 7,140 878,516 251,052 360 339,204 36,632 42,986 136,138 5,902 Apples ............................. Apricots ......................... B e rrie s............................. Cherries ......................... Grapes ............................ Pears .............................. Peaches ........................... Plums ............................. Prunes ............................. Other Fruits .................. 98,500 1,150,514 93,377 222,772 . 91,886 872,396 5,796,267 141,348 9,041 2,312,020 181,151 647,977 114,886 1,184,288 6,753,198 164,740 134,245 4,395,204 148,412 460,614 104,446 1,071,687 7,058,949 280,261 44,791 Ì5*562 42,584 375*303 83 10,045 100,982 17,633 Total Fruits .......... 8,511,851 11,382,863 13,696,403 2,678,333 2,111,678 2,512,390 887,030 97,815 86,074 434,068 357,092 495,101 258,767 1,024,813 99,269 366,679 685,228 1,858,822 833,019 382,116 1,031,269 154,278 191,564 476,866 3,809,979 885,906 501,657 35*422 140 8,496 3,714 ¿¿’025 400 6,736 45,683 577 78,256 5,067 1,040 53,415 1Ì8*Ì28 137,310 99*347 Total Vegetables .. 2,615,947 5,249,946 7,051,519 165,900 252,154 237,702 Combined Totals .. . 11,127,798 16,632,809 20,749,922 2,844,233 2,363,832 2,750,092 VEGETABLE Asparagus ...................... Beans (string) .............. Peas ................................. Spinach ........................... Tomatoes ....................... Tom ato Products ........ Other Vegetables ......... , . *Estimated by Canners’ League of California. $By the American Can Company. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco fornia pack since 1916, although the 1921 pack of fruit only, (8,511,851 cases compared with a 1920 pack of 11,382,863 cases) was approxi mately the same as the average pack during the five year period from 1914 to 1918 (see accompanying chart). The 1921 vegetable pack in California was 2,615,947 cases as com pared with a 1920 pack of 5,249,946 cases. A brief review of the canning year will ex plain the varying trends in the industry in the different states. Canners generally entered the year 1921 with the largest holdover stocks in the history of the business. In California, where the holdover is normally too small to be considered, there were approximately 3,066,871 cases of canned fruits and vegetables in the cannery warehouses of the state on February 1, 1921. In order to move their large holdings, C A S E S C IN M IL L IO N S ) 221-- C A S E S ( IN M IL L IO N S ) —i22 Pack of Canned Fruits and Vegetables in California, 1914-1921 canners reduced their prices from 30 to 45 per cent and it is reported that the financial strain on their resources resulting from this large reduction in inventory value of their stocks, coupled with the unfavorable preseason market outlook, caused them to plan for a greatly curtailed pack in 1921 compared with 1920. Reduced prices stimulated consumption and late in the 1921 packing season, both domestic and foreign demand had reached fairly large proportions. T o meet the rapidly reviving de mand, packs of the later varieties of fruits were greatly increased over early season estimates but despite this increase the pack in California, Idaho and Utah fell well below that of the pre vious year. Due to the late season in Oregon and W ashington, packers in these states were better able to increase their output in responsi to the fall demand and the pack in these state: was larger than in the previous year. A ccording to reports from various canning factors, conditions are favorable for a larg< pack of canned fruits and vegetables during the forthcom ing 1922 season. The increasing domestic demand for these products and ai unexpected export demand, are reported t( have reduced stocks in the hands of packerto a point where they are below normal fo: this time of the year. Forecasted requirement; of California canners lead the American Cai Company to estimate an increase of 40 to 5( per cent in takings of cans during the 192; season as compared with 1921. Present prices of refined beet sugar, f. o. b refinery, San Francisco (5 cents per pound oi January 16th) are the lowest prices since De cember, 1914. A year ago the price wa Beet 7.80 cents per pound, and on June 1 Sugar 1920, at the highest point, it was 26.1( cents per pound. It has been estimate< that the price of refined sugar is only 8 pe: cent higher than the 1909-1913 average price whereas the level of all commodities at whole sale, according to the United States Bureau o Labor statistics, is 51.4 per cent higher thai the prewar average level. Growers of sugar beets in Utah and Idaho under contracts entered into with the bee sugar factories last spring, are guarantee( minimum payments of $5.50 and $6.00 per toi for their beets, but growers in California gen erally will be paid according to the price thi refineries receive for sugar during the pres ent crop year. A typical California contrac states that if the company receives during th< year begun July 1, 1921, an average price o five cents per pound and the percentage o sugar in beets delivered to it is 17.6 per cen (the 1920 average for this state) it will pay th< grower $6.84 per ton, while if the average pric< received is 4 y2 cents, $6.16 per ton will be paid The average price received by growers for th< 1920 crop was $13.13 per ton in California $12.10 in Utah, and $12.03 in Idaho. The chief cause for the continuous fall it sugar prices is reported to be the decline ii the price of raw Cuban cane sugar in Nev\ York, in turn caused by a large new Cubar crop coming on a market in which there exist« an abnormally large holdover from the ole crop. In 1912-13 Cuba produced approximate^ 2,500,000 long tons of sugar and in the calendar year 1913 exported amounts equal to 87 pei cent of this crop to the United States and 1( Agricultural and Business Conditions 6 per cent to the United Kingdom. In 1920-21 the outturn was 3,900,000 long tons, of which, it has been estimated, 1,500,000 tons remained on the island on December 1st. The present crop is roughly estimated at 3,000,000 tons. The increase in the production up to 1921 had been largely consumed by European countries, whose beet sugar output had been curtailed by the effects of the war, but it is reported that Europe is regaining the position where her own crops and prewar sources of supply suffice for her demand. The production of refined beet sugar in the principal sugar beet grow ing states of this District and in the United States during 1920, and the estimated production during 1921, is as follow s . 1920-1921 1921-1922 California ................................ Utah .......................................... Idaho ........................................ United States........................... (long-tons) 150,000 145,000 51,000 973,000 (lone tons) 148,000 138,000 47,000 900,000 The production of refined beet sugar in the United States in 1913-14 was 655,000 long tons. A large reduction (787,950 bags of 100 pounds each) from the O ctober 1st estimate o f the 1921 crop of rice in California is shown in the December report of the DepartR ice ment of Agriculture. A ccording to the latest figures California rice growers produced 2,646,000 bags of rice of 100 pounds each (5,880,000 bushels) on 120,000 acres of land during the 1921 season. In 1920 a total of 4,374,000 bags (9,720,000 bushels) of rice were grown in California, approximately 20 per cent of which was damaged or destroyed by rains during the harvesting season. Commercial factors report that the local market for rice has been dull during the past month, with local millers and dealers buying only to fill orders already on hand. Three public auctions have been held by the Rice Growers Association of California, which con trols about 50 per cent of the California crop. On January 5th no sales were made. On January 11th, 20,000 bags of paddy (rough uncleaned rice) were sold at prices which would yield $2.80 per hundred pounds for rice milling 55 pounds of cleaned rice to 100 pounds of paddy. On January 18th, 8,700 bags of paddy were sold at prices which would yield $2.75 per hundred pounds on the above basis. Recent rains in California and southern A ri zona have improved the condition of livestock ranges in those states, and green feed is now grow ing rapidly. In the InterLivestock mountain states winter ranges are covered with a layer of snow, and cattle and sheep are reported in fair condition, in spite of some shrinkage from inclement weather. The condition of livestock ranges in Oregon is reported to be below normal, there having been practically no growth of grass during the past six weeks. In all sections where heavy snow on the ranges makes feed ing necessary, an abundance of low priced hay is reported available. Receipts of livestock at six of the principal markets of the District during December (table “ F” ) show large increases in shipments of hogs and sheep (102 and 78 per cent, respectively) (F) Receipts o f LivestockDec., 1921 Gattle Dec., 1920 Calves Dec., Dec., 1921 1920 Horses and Mules Dec., Dec., 1921 1920 Dec., 1920 Dec., 1921 Dec., 1920 8,831 10,947 3,091 12,450 3,690 3,624 30,480 20,458 30,776 12,400 3,458 3,501 21,783 7,054 14,930 7,957 5,471 1,351 298 72 17 23 *93 40 75 81 39,542 101,073 56,537 510 289 7,310 6,897 4,952 2,704 3,320 1,973 12,664 7,594 4,549 3,981 4,299 2,313 107 415 202 850 ’ 75 71 110 Ì89 133 411 27,660 15,349 8,035 17,541 4,139 7,344 T o t a l ............... 27,246 35,400 778 1,785 80,068 Ogden ............... Portland ............ Salt Lake C ity.... Seattle ............... Spokane ............ Tacoma ............. Sheep Hogs Dec., 1921 ( G) Range in Livestock Prices— Highest and Lowest Average Top Prices Per Hundredweight Received at Above Markets During December. Week of Fat Steers December 5.......... $5.50— 6.25 December 12.......... S.SO—6.75 December 19.......... 5.00— 7.25 December 26.......... 5.25— 7.50 Cows Calves Hogs $4.25— 4.75 4.00— 5.12 4.00— 5.50 4.00— 6.00 $5.00— 10.00 4.10— 10.00 5.50— 10.00 6.50— 9.50 $6.35— 8.25 6.35— 8.25 6.40— 8.25 6.50— 8.50 Lambs $5.50— 7.57 5.50— 8.25 5.00— 9.00 5.00— 9.00 7 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco compared with the corresponding month a year ago. Receipts of cattle show a sharp decline as compared with December, 1920, and with November, 1921. Receipts of Livestock at Six of the Principal Markets of the District 1920-1921. (Ogden, Portland, Salt Lake City, Seattle, Spokane and Tacoma included) The range in livestock prices at six markets of this District during December (as shown in table “ G,” see opposite page) indicates a rise in the prices of steers and cows during the m on th ; a decrease in the prices of hogs early in December, with an upward reaction later in the m onth; and a spread in the range of prices for lambs, indicating increases in some markets, and decreases in others. Cold storage holdings of butter at four prin cipal markets were reduced during Decem ber by net withdrawals of 112,991 pounds. Net withdrawals during November Dairy amounted to 74,123 pounds and in Products December, 1920, to 448,918 pounds. Cold storage holdings of butter at the same markets were reported on January 1st as 752,918 pounds, compared with 1,668,778 pounds in storage a year ago, a reduction of 915,860 pounds, or 54 per cent. A statement of the movement and holdings of cold storage butter is shown in table “ H .” Fairly heavy local production and large ar rivals of Australian butter have depressed the San Francisco market during the past six weeks. The price of 93 score fresh creamery butter declined from 4 2 cents on December 1st to 34% cents on January 14th. Further shipments of Australian butter are expected at San Francisco and Vancouver (British Col umbia) during the latter part of January. Eastern markets are reported to be well stocked and at present do not offer the usual outlet for surplus butter arriving at Pacific Coast markets. Prices received by milk producers in this District during December (presented in table “ I ” ) show that the average price per 100 pounds decreased 6 cents in the Mountain section and increased 2 cents in the Pacific section as compared with November, and de clined $0.82 and $1.19 in the Mountain and Pacific sections respectively, as compared with a year ago. Dairy factors report a slight increase in the production of milk and dairy products in Cali fornia, Utah and Idaho during 1921 as com pared with 1920. Production in other states remained approximately the same as the previous season. Increasing dairy herds and a general revival of the dairy industry are re ported from all states, the movement being attributed to attractive prices for dairy pro ducts compared with other farm products, and to greatly reduced costs of production. The extent of this reduction is illustrated by the follow ing comparative estimates for Cali fornia : 1921 1920 Value of hay per t o n ... $10.86 $20.00 W ages of milkers, per month (with b o a rd ). .$75.00-$90.00 $100.00-$125.00 W ages of dairy farm laborers, per month (with board) .............$50.00—$65.00 $ 75.00-$ 90.00 Marked improvement in the condition of the lumber industry as compared with one year ago is shown by a comparison of figures on production, sales, and shipments for Lum ber December, 1921, with similar figures for December, 1920. In the latter month the total of orders received by the four associations of the District stood at (H) Movement o f Stocks o f Cold Storage Butter— Dec., 1921 Dec., 1920 Jan. 1, Net Net 1922 Withdrawals Withdrawals Holdings City (pounds) Los Angeles . 155,008 Portland ....... 23,231 San Francisco 89,127* Seattle ............ 23,879 T o ta ls 112,991 Jan. 1, 1921 Holdings (pounds) 475,924 268,698 466,989 457,167 (pounds) 76,195 61,016 204,717 106,990 (pounds) 177,679 23,286 503,286 48,667 448,918 752,918 1,668,778 *Net addition. (I) Prices Received by Milk Producers*— Sectionf Dec., 1921 Range Mountain (5 M k ts.). .$1.73-$2.80 Pacific (10 M k t s .).... 1.85- 3.03 U. S. (101 M k ts.)....... 1.45- 6.78 Dec., 1921 Average Nov., 1921 Average Dec., 1920 Average $2.32 2.57 2.56 $2.38 2.55 2.56 $3.14 3.76 3.41 *A11 prices per hundredweight for milk testing 3.5 per cent butter fat. fMountain Section includes Idaho, Utah, Nevada and Arizona. Pacific Section includes Washington, Oregon and California. Agricultural and Business Conditions 8 the lowest point in the past tw o years, while the first nine months of 1920 to 208,332,770 feet production and shipments, which had declined in the first nine months of 1921, an increase steadily since the previous August, were at of 174 per cent. In the domestic market buy approximately the low point for the readjust ing for Atlantic Coast and California shipment ment period. N ot only did production, sales, continued heavy for this season of the year. Reports received from several logging and shipments in December, 1921, greatly exceed those of the same month a year ago, operators indicate that the production of logs but the month, which is usually a quiet one was less in December, 1921, than in N ovem in the industry, was marked by a moderately ber, 1921, but greater than in December, 1920. heavy demand for lumber for water shipment L ogging was greatly curtailed in all sections, (dom estic and foreign), a slight increase in due in part to unusually severe storms and in prices of upper grades of some woods, and re part to the usual holiday shutdown for re ports of small and incomplete stocks in the pairs. hands of mills and distributors. Prospects for Comparative figures of cut, orders, unfilled increased movement of lumber by rail also orders, and shipments as reported by four lum improved as a result of lowered freight rates ber associations during December, 1921, and to points in the northeastern quarter of the November, 1921, are shown in table “ J.” United States. Preliminary figures issued by the United Production of lumber in December, as re States Geological Survey show that the pro ported by four lumber associations, was 280,- duction of gold, silver, lead and copper in the 622.000 feet compared with 206,421,000 feet in states of this District during 1921 December, 1920, an increase of 35.9 per cent, M ining was less than in 1920. The largest and with 355,898,000 feet in November, 1921. decreases were in the production of Orders received by reporting mills totaled lead and copper, the production of gold having 302.866.000 feet, an increase of 179.3 per cent been practically the same and of silver only over December, 1920. Shipments from the slightly less than in the previous year. Figures same mills were 54.9 per cent greater than one in detail for gold, silver and lead are given in year ago, totaling 285,659,000 feet in Decem table “ K ” (see opposite page), and for copper ber, 1921, and 184,373,000 feet in December, in the succeeding paragraph. 1920. Orders and shipments both exceeded A notable increase in the production of silver production in December, 1921, the former by (105.9 per cent) and a slight increase in the 7.9 per cent and the latter by 1.7 per cent. production of gold (10.0 per cent) was reported In the tw o lumber associations for which for the state of California. figures are available, unfilled orders amounted Reports received by this bank from 13 large to 1,140,370,000 feet at the close of the year mining companies covering their operations compared with 1,077,032,000 feet on November during the month of November, 1921, show an 30, 1921, and 651,556,000 feet on December increased production of silver, copper and lead 31, 1920. and a decreased production of gold compared The December export market witnessed con with November, 1920. Compared with O cto tinued large purchases by Japan and a slight ber, 1921, increases in the production of silver revival in the Australian demand for Pacific and lead and decreases in the production of Coast lumber. Figures recently compiled by the gold and copper were reported. The situation Pacific Lumber Inspection Bureau show that in most of the metal mining areas remains un the Japanese export business from west changed, with curtailed operations and result coast mills increased from 76,081,351 feet in ing unemployment in the copper and silver- (J) Lumber- West Coast Lumbermen*s Association Average No. Nov. 26 Dec. 31 of Mills reporting . . . . 101 105 Cut* ................. 228,652 261,176 Shipments* . . . . 198,076 222,856 Orders* ............. 225,160 230,114 Unfilled Orders* 1,081,945 1,021,277 Western Pine Manufacturers' Association Dec. 31 Nov. 26 42 32,283 59,298 58,025 58,245 44 47,243 72,354 73,225 55,755 CaliforniaWhite and Sugar Pine Manufacturers’ Association California Redwood Association% —1921—Four Weeks Ending— Dec. 31 Nov. 26 Dec. 31 5 3,609 13,350 8,445 20 32,046 33,339 14,238 12 16,078 14,935 11,236 *In thousands of feet. ^Figures reported are for two-week periods ending December 17th and November 12th. Nov. 26 Dec. 31 Nov. 26 12 15,433 13,029 19,688 160 280,622 285,659 302,866 1,140,370 181 355,898 341,578 337,265 1,077,032 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 9 lead producing sections. In Arizona (Miami district), one of the three reverberators of the International Smelter was put in operation during the early part of December and for the first time in seven months copper bullion was poured. Comparative figures of the output of metal of 13 reporting mines in November, 1921, October, 1921, and November, 1920, are shown in the following table: Nov. 1921 Copper (lb s .).... 4,514,542 Lead (lb s .)..........10,502,167 Silver ( o z .) .......... 731,186 Gold ( o z .) ........... 31,644 Oct. 1921 Nov. 1920 5,083,323 9,950,041 651,403 32,339 4,493,993 10,148,683 599,002 32,520 The estimated production of the copper mines of this District in 1921 was Copper 226,930,105 pounds, compared with 745,250,381 pounds in 1920 and 679,560,104 pounds in 1913*. 1921 (pounds) Arizona ............. 163,087,000 California ........... 11,681,705 1,436,000 Idaho .................. Nevada ............... 15,515,000 Oregon .............. 274,400 Utah .................... 35,534,000 Washington ....... 402,000 Total District..226,930,105 1920 1913* f 745,250,381 679,560,104 (pounds) (pounds)! 558,256,302 404,278,809 12,626,272 32,492,265 2,538,396 8,711,490 50,559,763 85,209,536 2,355,276 77,812 116,931,238 148,057,450 1,983,134 732,742 Copper stocks in the United States on the first day of this year (1922) were over twice average prewar (1909-1913) stocks of 360,000,000 pounds, but considerably less than they were a year ago. Blister and Refined (pounds) January 1,1921. 659,000,000 January 1,1922. 496,000,000 Reduction .. 163,000,000 material in process of refining Total (pounds) 465,000,000 297,000,000 (pounds) 1,124,000,000 793,000,000 168,000,000 331,000,000 The average price of electrolytic copper in New Y ork as reported by “ Iron A g e” was 13.82 cents per pound in December compared with average prices of 13.26 cents in N ovem ber, 12 cents in August, 17.50 cents in 1920, 35.74 cents in March, 1917, and 14.11 cents during the five years 1909-1913. The year 1921 established a new record for petroleum production in California, 114,849,924 barrels being produced compared with 105,721,186 barrels in 1920, an inPetroleum crease of 9,128,738 barrels or 8.6 per cent. Seven hundred and four new wells were completed during 1921, and 47 wells abandoned, an increase of 657 pro ducing wells during the year. *Smelter output, closely comparable with mine production. O f the 15 principal mines (whose production in 1920 was 93 per cent of the production of this District and 51 per cent of the mine output of the United States) the two now operating report the follow ing output figures: 1921 (pounds) November ................................. 6,120,000 O c t o b e r ...................................... 6,621,000 11 Months .................................66,840,000 1920 (pounds) 7,175,000 8,032,000 86,316,000 The decrease in output of this District re flects the general situation of the copper in dustry. Smelter output in the United States, as estimated by the United States Geological Survey, was 461,000,000 pounds in 1921 com pared with 1,209,061,040 pounds in 1920. Petroleum Development Operations in California, 1920-1921 (K ) Output o f Metal in 1921 and 1920— ,----------- Gold 1921 ($)*-------- \ (---------- Silver (oz.)---------- \ t------------ Lead (lb.)-------------\ 1920 1921 1920 Arizona ................... ............. 3,046,000 California ............... ............. 15,744,910 497,000 Idaho ...................... ............. Nevada .................... ............. 3,340,000 775,194 Oregon ................. ............. Utah ........................ ............. 1,794,000 148,000 Washington .......... .......... 4,786,122 14,311,043 485,590 3,566,728 1,017,490 2,014,556 120,860 2,179,000 3,514,276 5,720,000 6,681,000 43,120 12,366,000 132,000 5,355,303 1,706,327 7,326,794 7,745,093 82,743 13,106,976 199,678 5,182,000 779,298 192,000,000 7,803,000 350 89,782,000 132,000 14,599,765 4,813,510 249,609,976 21,263,700 T o t a l ............... .............25,345,104 26,302,389 30,635,396 35,522,914 295,678,648 436,912,311 *An ounce of fine gold is worth $20.6718. 1921 1920 140,838,1 Í3 5,787,247 Agricultural and Business Conditions 10 The average daily production of petroleum in California during December was 325,478 barrels, an increase of 32,115 barrels per day compared with November and 545 barrels per day compared with December, 1920. Con sumption decreased during December, average daily shipments totaling 275,944 barrels com pared with 280,993 barrels in November and 335,967 barrels in December, 1920. The de crease in shipments coupled with the increase in production resulted in an increase of 1,535,562 barrels in stored stocks which on Decem ber 31, 1921, stood at 35,021,912 barrels com pared with 33,486,350 barrels on November 30, 1921, and 22,240,271 barrels on December 31, 1920. Forty-five new wells with an initial daily production of 16,160 barrels were completed during December and one well abandoned, a net increase of 44 producing wells during the month. Statistics on oilfield operations as furnished by the Standard Oil Company of California, are shown in table “ L .” Seasonal declines in the sales of electric energy for industrial purposes are reflected in the reports for November of eight principal power producing companies in CaliE lectric fornia. Total industrial sales were Energy 10.8 per cent less during November than during October, but showed an increase of 5.9 per cent over November, 1920. Compared with the previous month the greatest declines in consumption of industrial power were reported from the San Joaquin Valley and southern California, where a large proportion of the total power consumed is sold to agricultural industries. Segregated figures on industrial sales by seven companies, show that sales to agricul tural consumers declined from 61,205,243 K. W . H. in September to 36,598,774 K. W . H. in October, and 22,304,567 K. W . H. in N o vember, reflecting decreasing needs of farmers for power to pump irrigating water. Sales to the oil industry increased 33 per cent during November, due to the settlement of the oil workers’ strike and the resumption of opera tions in the oilfields of the San Joaquin V al ley. Sales to the mining industry, which have been increasing during preceding months, showed a slight decrease as compared with October, and in most cases where comparative figures are available, were reported as less than during November of the previous year. Statistics on the electric power industry in California, as reported by eight companies, are presented in table “ M ” (see opposite page). Seasonal increases in the number of unem ployed were reported from all sections during December, due to the cessation of practically all agricultural and outdoor construcLabor tion work. The influx of transient laborers from the rural districts to cities has swelled the number of unemployed in the principal centers of population. The majority of those out of employment are un skilled laborers. The demand for skilled laborers in the building trades continued dur ing the month. In California, Oregon and W ashington the increase in unemployment has been most no ticeable, reduced payrolls in the steel and metal, shipbuilding, lumbering, and fishing in dustries, adding to the number thrown out of employment in the agricultural areas. In the Intermountain states the problem is not so serious and in most sections there was no marked suffering from unemployment, al though the supply of labor was plentiful. Decreased industrial activity in December as compared with November is indicated by the monthly report of the United States Em ployment Service on manufacturing industries in four cities. Numerical increase or decrease (—) in employment during December compared with November Los A ngeles.. Portland ........ San Francisco Seattle ........... 1,060 — 557 — 385 — 278 Percentage increase or decrease (—) in employment during December compared with November 4.8 — 6.9 — 5.8 —12.0 W age reductions for both skilled and unskilled labor continue to be reported. U n skilled laborers in various industries are re ceiving from 10 per cent to 25 per cent less (L) Petroleum — December, 1921 Production (daily average)..................... 325,478 bbls. Shipments (daily average)...................... 275,944 bbls. Stored Stocks (end of m on th )............35,021,912 bbls. New Wells Opened................................. 45 With Daily P r o d u ctio n ....................... 16,160 bbls. W ells Abandoned ..................................... 1 November, 1921 293,323 280,993 33,486,350 38 9,755 1 bbls. bbls. bbls. bbls. December, 1920 324,933 335,967 22,240,271 58 16,625 9 bbls. bbls. bbls. bbls. 11 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco than one year ago. The majority of the mining companies in Utah announced a reduction in wages of 50 cents per shift, or approximately 10 per cent, effective January 16, 1922. In San Francisco important wage arbitration awards reduced the wages of practically all of the building trades crafts, skilled mechanics be ing reduced from the previous basis of $8.35 per day to $8.00 per day. Under the award the present wage scale will remain in effect until January 1, 1923. W ages of metal trades workers in the same city were also reduced 10 per cent during the month. Trade at retail during December, 1921, was only 2.4 per cent less in value than during December, 1920, according to reports received from 28 representative department Retail stores and mail order houses. Sales of T rade reporting stores in San Francisco and Los Angeles were actually greater in value in December, 1921, than in December, 1920. The percentage of decrease in the dis trict is the smallest percentage decline in the value of sales reported for any month in 1921 when compared with the corresponding month in 1920 and, when price declines during the year period are taken into consideration, indi cates that holiday buying was greater in volume than in the previous year. Further evidence leading to this conclusion is provided by reports received from nine stores showing that their individual sales transactions were 8.6 per cent greater in December, 1921, than in December, 1920. The usual seasonal in crease in value and volume of sales, as com pared with November, was noted by all stores and averaged 53.1 per cent in the district. Sales for the six months’ period ending De cember 31, 1921, were 7.5 per cent less in value than sales in the same period in 1920. The amount of the average sale (cash, charge, C. O. D.) reported by eight stores was $2.49 in December compared with $2.58 in November and $2.76 in December, 1920. F ol lowing is a statement of the average sale (cash, charge, C. O. D .) in Los Angeles, San Francisco and Seattle. Dec. 1921 Nov. 1921 Dec. 1920 $ 3.54 Los Angeles . San Francisco . . . . 2.67 1.83 $ 4.24 3.02 1.94 $ 3.91 $ 2.49 $ 2.58 $ 2.76 District .......... .. 1.91 The value (selling price) of stocks of reporting firms at the close of December was 16.2 per cent less than at close of November, 1921, and 13.8 per cent less than on December 31, 1920. Average stocks on hand at close of the six months’ period ending December 31, 1921, amounted to 411.7 per cent of the aver age monthly net sales during the same period. Net Sales of 22 Department Stores in Twelfth Federal Reserve District (in Millions of Dollars) (M) Electric Powert— (a) (b) (c) Plant Capacity K. V . A . Nov., Oct., Nov., Type of Plant 1921 1921 1920 HydroPower .................... 657,575 657,575 500,425 Steam .................................. 346,045 350,045 314,595 Purchased .............................................................................. 1,003,620 1,007,620 815,020 Peakload K. W .f Nov., Oct., Nov., 1921 1921 1920 401,995 405,993 359,490 199,160 188,970 173,886 56,411 50,307 43,975 Plant Output K. W . H. Nov., Oct., Nov., 1921 1921 1920 202,117,811 229,650,086 199,864,451 78,423,036 64,740,196 53,944,742 33,937,213* 33,533,606* 21,753,140* 703,076 280,540,847 689,860 617,301 294,390,282 253,809,193 Number of Industrial Consumers and Sales: Number of Industrial Consumers^ Nov., Oct., Nov., 1921 1921 1920 42,869 41,939 37,956 Connected Industrial Load H . P.^j Nov., Oct., Nov., 1921 1921 1920 1,290,824 1,301,467 1,210,816 $8 Companies reporting. fUnsegregated figures for 1 company included in totals. *Not included in total plant output. §7 Companies reporting. If6 Companies reporting. Industrial Sales K. W . H . Nov., Oct., Nov., 1921 1921 1920 167,671,665 188,042,276 157,633,233 Agricultural and Business Conditions 12 Collections were characterized by reporting firms as fo llo w s : Number of Firms Excellent Good 1 8 Fair Poor 0 Statements of increases or decreases in the value of net sales of 28 representative depart ment stores and mail order houses during December, 1921, compared with November, 1921, and December, 1920, and the six months’ period ending December 31, 1921, compared with the same period in 1920 are shown in table “ N .” Detailed reports received from 181 whole sale firms in ten lines of business in this dis trict indicate that the value of net sales during December was greater than the W holesale value of December, 1920, sales in T rade drugs, dry goods, furniture and shoes, percentage increases rang ing from 7.8 per cent in drugs to 30.6 per cent in furniture. Compared with November, 1921, decreases were reported in the value of sales in all lines except automobile tires, drugs and stationery. The average net increases or decreases (— ) in the value of sales of each reporting line were as fo llo w s: December, 1921 compared with Dec., 1920 Nov., 1921 Agricultural Implements .. ... — 51.2 Automotive Supplies— 4.8 Automobile Tires. — 8.7 7.8 Drugs .................... 11.2 Dry Goods ........... 30.6 Furniture ............. Groceries .............. — 13.2 Hardware ............. — 14.0 26.7 Shoes .................... Stationery ............ — 18.9 — 11.8 — 8.5 98.3 1.0 —26.3 — 17.4 — 15.2 — 8.9 — 10.3 26.1 Year 1921 compared with Year 1920 — 52.6 — 19.2 — 19.7 — 11.7 — 26.7 — 20.3 — 24.3 — 28.9 — 19.9 — 24.2 If due allowance be made for price declines at wholesale during the year 1921 (the United States Department of Labor index number of wholesale prices declined 21.1 per cent from December, 1920, to December, 1921, and aver aged 37.0 per cent lower in 1921 than in 1920) it appears that the volume of sales in D ecem ber, 1921, and in the year 1921 was generally greater than in December, 1920, and in the year 1920, respectively. The one exception to this general statement is in the sales of agri cultural implements which were less both in value and in volume in 1921 than in 1920. Collections were reported excellent by nine firms, good by 43, fair by 73 and poor by 17. One hundred and eleven wholesale firms gave the percentage of their collections during D e cember, 1921, to the total amount due from customers (outstanding) on December 1, 1921, 1920Prices - ioos*»*December 1920Sales December U.S.BUREAU OF LABOR INDEX NO. WHOLESALE PRICES AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENTS AUTOMOBILE SUPPLIES . n . . J AUTOMOBILE TIRES DRUGS DRY GOODS FURNITURE: «ROC&RlfcS HARDWARE SHOES STATIONERY 20 40 60 8 0 100 120 140 160 Dollar Value of Sales of Representative Wholesale Houses and General Wholesale Prices in December, 1921, Compared with December, 1920 (N) Retail Trade Activity— CONDITION OF RETAIL TRADE DURING DECEMBER, 1921 In Federal Reserve District No. 12 (28 Stores Reporting) L 08 Angeles Percentage increase or decrease (—) of net sales during Decem ber, 1921, compared with net sales during same month last year .................................................... Percentage increase or decrease (— ) of net sales during Decem ber, 1921, compared with net sales during November, 1921.......... Percentage increase or decrease (— ) of net sales from July 1, 1921, to December 31, 1921, in clusive, compared with net sales during same period last year.......... Oakland Sacramento Salt Lake City San Francisco Seattle Spokane District 2.6 9.1 -15.3 — 16.0 1.6 1.2 -14.5 — 2.4 54.0 71.9 37.0 46.9 60.4 73.2 39.9 53.1 .9 — 9.4 — 13.8 — 16.5 6.3 7.4 -10.9 — 7.5 13 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco and 1920 as fo llo w s : (The November figures are inserted for comparative purposes). Number of Firms Agricultural Implements. Automotive Supplies......... Automobile Tires ............. Drugs ................................ Dry Goods ....................... Furniture ........................... Groceries ............................ Hardware . . . . ................... Shoes ................................... Stationery ......................... 9 15 11 4 7 10 17 16 10 12 Dec., 1921 Nov., 1921 25.8 53.7 49.8 82.4 40.6 51.0 59.6 48.6 44.2 58.2 27.1 55.0 62.7 84.0 41.2 54.9 64.1 45.5 42.0 62.3 Dec., 1920 40.6 59.0 57.8 69.2 45.3 54.1 61.7 49.6 46.8 71.3 Statements of increases or decreases (— ) in net sales of reporting wholesale firms during December, 1921, compared with December, 1920, and the 12 months of 1921, compared with the same period of 1920 are shown in table “ O .” Building activity during December as shown by the number and value of building permits issued in 20 principal cities reached the second highest point ever touched in this District, being exceeded only by the building returns for October, 1921. Building permits issued in December numbered 7,672 with an estimated valuation of $21,004,120 compared with 5,364 permits with a valuation of $13,877,021, issued during December, 1920, an in crease of 2,308, or 43.1 per cent, in Building number and of $7,127,099, or 51.3 Activity per cent, in value. Compared with November, 1921, December per mits were 24.5 per cent less in number and 7.2 per cent greater in value. Increases oc curred in 15 reporting cities during December, 1921, compared with December, 1920. During the year 1921 there were 106,177 permits with an estimated valuation of $208,968,615 issued in the 20 reporting cities com pared with 81,047 permits with a valuation of $177,137,048 issued in 1920. These figures rep resent an increase of 25,130, or 31.5 per cent, in number, and of $31,831,567, or 17.9 per cent, in value of building permits issued in 1921 compared with 1920. If allowance is made for declines in the cost of building materials and labor during the year, the increase in the physical volume of construction compared with 1920 is even greater than the above fig ures indicate. The accompanying chart shows the number, total valuation and average value of building permits issued in this District since January, ( 0 ) W h o le sa le T ra d e (la) Percentage of increase or decrease (— ) in net sales for December, 1921, over December, 1920 Agricultural Number of re Implements porting firms .. 21 Los Angeles .. . .— 37.5 Portland ......... — 49.4 Sacramento . . Salt Lake City !1— 46.3 San Francisco . . — 58.6 Seattle ............. Spokane .......... — 47.6 T a c o m a ........... District ........... — 51.2 (lb) 20 6.2 — 1.8 — 16.9 — 2.0 — 15.3 — 20.1 — 4.8 Drugs 12 — 4.9 49.2 — 5.2 — 30.7 4.6 7 Dry Goods 12 Furniture 15 30.0 22.0 78.7 31 — 12.0 — 12.3 — 14.2 — 31.2 — 2.1 41.6 30.6 —26.5 — 11.6 — 13.2 — Î2.0 14.3 Groceries 27.8 '7.8 — ’ ¿.7 ii.2 Hardware Shoes 22 10.6 — 32.2 17.1 — 22 9 — 20.7 — 15.4 — 12.5 — 14.2 — 14.0 14 53.8 Stationery 27 — 3.0 — 2.3 21.5 45.1 — 27.0 — 36.6 — 25.8 — 7.4 26.7 — is.9 Percentage of increase or decrease (— ) in net sales for January 1 to December 31, 1921, over same period last year Agricultural Number of re Implements porting firms . . 21 Los Angeles .. . . — 51.6 Portland ......... — 55.1 Sacramento . .. Salt Lake City . — 49.1 San Francisco.. . . . — 60.9 Seattle ........... Spokane ......... — 42.0 Tacoma .......... District ........... , — 52.6 Auto Supplies Auto Tires Auto Supplies Auto Tires 20 — 8.8 — 25.6 — 16.7 — 26.9 — 23.3 — 33.4 — i9.2 Drugs 12 — 7.7 — 32.5 — 26.5 7 12 Furniture 15 — 14.5 — 16 7 — 26.1 Groceries — 24.6 31 — 11.4 — 29.4 — 20.4 — 32.0 — 24.9 — 26.5 — 20.3 3Ô.3 25.9 —24.3 — 24.0 — 34.6 — 15.5 — 32.5 — 19.7 Dry Goods — ii.7 —26.7 — — Hardware Shoes 22 19.9 32.1 18.1 36.2 14 — — — — — 28.9 — 35.4 — 25.5 — 14.6 —28.9 — 29.2 Stationery 27 — 16.1 — 24.8 — 29.6 — Ï5.9 —28.4 — 31.1 — 20.4 — 18.7 — Î9.9 —24.2 Agricultural and Business Conditions 14 1920. Comparative figures of the number and value of building permits issued in 20 report ing cities during December, 1921, November, 1921, and December, 1920, are shown in table «p a there were 1851 failures reported with liabili ties amounting to $34,280,351. These latter figures show an increase of 55.9 per cent in the number of failures and of 20.6 per cent in the amount of liabilities in the year 1921 com pared with 1920. Liabilities of the average failure in the District during 1921 were $18,411 compared with $23,932 in 1920. R. G. Dun and Company’s comparative figures of Building Permits Issued in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1920-1921 Business failures (exclusive of bank fail ures) during December were the largest re ported to this bank in the past three years, both in number and in amount of Business liabilities. There were 201 failures Failures reported in December with liabili ties of $5,093,420 compared with 142 failures with liabilities of $4,330,343 in December, 1920, an increase of 59, or 41.5 per cent, in number and of $763,077, or 13.0 per cent, in liabilities involved. Compared with November, 1921, when 178 failures with lia bilities of $3,623,247 were reported, there was an increase of 23, or 12.8 per cent, in number and of $1,470,173, or 40.5 per cent, in liabili ties. In the year ending December 31, 1921, Business Failures, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1920-1921 Note—The great increase in liabilities in June, 1920, was due to the failure of one concern in Seattle. Washington. the number and liabilities of business failures in the states of this District during N ovember and December, 1921, are shown in the follow ing table: December, 1921 No. Liabilities Arizona .................. C a liforn ia ................ Idaho ..................... Nevada ................... Oregon ................... Utah ....................... W ashington .......... 6 79 9 3 41 12 51 D is t r ic t ................... 201 November, 1921 No. Liabilities $ 112,0006 $ 109,700 1,459,55569 1,202,954 631,342 12 719,509 24,787 1 600 1,769,43234 1,026,859 220,448 9 53,259 875,856 47 510,366 $5,093,420 178 (P ) B u i l d i n g P e r m it s — No. December, 1921 Value Berkeley .......... ............ 130 43 Boise ................ ............ Fresno ............ ............. 203 Long Beach .. ............ 270 Los Angeles . . . ............3,364 Oakland ........... ............ 500 20 Ogden .............. ............ Pasadena ........ ............. 209 Phoenix ........... ............ 52 P o rtla n d .......... ............. 731 15 Reno ................ ............ Sacramento . . . ............ 224 Salt Lake City ............ 117 San Diego ............ 265 San Francisco . ............ 568 San Jose .......... ............ 59 Seattle ............. ............ 518 Spokane .......... ............ 115 Stockton .......... ............ 68 Tacoma ............ ............ 201 Total ........ ............7,672 No. November, 1921 Value 294,955 20,389 500,539 1,392,700 9,168,851 2,149,756 93,800 396,278 77,930 854,055 36,730 420,266 404,595 1,775,711 2,007,705 121,370 494,835 88,225 163,133 542,297 208 56 253 390 4,242 646 36 362 50 1,082 7 288 157 409 613 89 735 183 93 263 $21,004,120 10,162 $ $ No. December, 1920 Value $3,623,247 Per Cent Increase or Decrease (—) in Value Dec., 1921 compared with Dec., 1920 438,942 57,676 405,988 1,254,500 8,685,775 1,235,174 65,222 701,998 86,903 1,374,615 3,600 496,235 385,876 846,995 2,244,606 238,100 593,800 118,205 165,130 180,652 76 40 200 219 1,913 324 21 175 108 594 5 106 29 249 376 48 577 69 42 193 $ 102,099 22,075 2,234,944 442,170 3,803,838 629,779 46,950 238,889 127,352 632,605 12,400 231,200 316,250 1,220,463 1,749,330 57,884 1,676,765 116,550 73,368 142,110 189.2 — 9.0 — 77.6 214.9 141.0 241.2 102.1 65.6 — 38.5 34.9 208.3 81.8 27.8 45.5 14.8 108.6 — 70.4 — 24.1 123.2 281.6 $19,579,992 5,364 $13,877,021 51.3 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 15 Total bank clearings in 20 principal cities during December were $1,627,956,000, a de crease of $70,441,000, or 4.1 per cent, com pared with December, 1920, when Bank clearings of $1,698,397,000 were Clearings reported. This is the smallest de crease reported for any month in 1921 when compared with the corresponding month in 1920, and, as in the 11 previous months, is less than the percentage of decline in com m odity prices at wholesale and retail during the same period. This is an indication that the physical volume of business trans acted in 1921 exceeded that transacted in 1920. In the 12 months’ period ending December 31, 1921, bank clearings in reporting cities totaled $17,500,787,000 compared with $20,415,927,000 in the corresponding period of 1920, a decrease of 14.2 per cent. Bank Clearings in 20 Principal Cities, Twelfth Federal Reserve District, 1920-1921. (in Millions of Dollars) Comparative figures of clearings for the 20 reporting cities of the district during Decem ber, 1921, November, 1921, and December, 1920, are shown in table “ Q .” Continued although irregular easing of in terest rates is noticeable in this District. Open market rates on prime commercial paper de clined Yz per cent in Portland and Interest Seattle and were generally %. per Rales cent lower in San Francisco. No change was reported from Los A n geles or Salt Lake City on this class of paper. On other classes of paper, rates remained practically the same as one month ago, al though customers’ prime commercial paper tended toward lower rates in San Francisco. A statement of interest rates charged on prime commercial paper by banks in Federal Reserve Bank and Branch cities for the thirtyday periods ending January 5, 1922, and De cember 5, 1921, follow s: Prime Commercial Paper of Customers Jan. 5 Dec. 5 Los Angeles . . . P o rtla n d .........., Salt Lake City., San Francisco,. Seattle .............. Spokane ............... 7 7 8 6 7 7 7 7 8 6 -6 ^ 7 7 Commercial Paper Bought Through Brokers Dec. 5 Jan. 5 5^ 5 5/2 5^ sk 5^4-5^ 6 s yA On January 23rd the rediscount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco was reduced from 5 to 4 y2 per cent on all classes and maturities of paper. The rediscount rate is now 4 y> per cent at the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Philadelphia and San Francisco. The course of the acceptance market during the period December 15th to January 15th was uneven. During the latter part of D e cember, when most of the banks Acceptance were conserving their holdings Market of cash, the demand fell off ma terially, resulting in a slight easing of selling rates around the end of the month. After the first of the year, however, large amounts of idle money sought invest ment in the call money market and in bankers’ acceptances. In consequence, call money rates fell as low as 3 per cent in New York, which made acceptances at the then prevailing rate of per cent an attractive investment as short time securities. The demand for bills of this character became so great that within the space of a few days after the first of Janu ary the rate for prime bills fell from 4 % per cent to per cent, at which point it stands today (January 15th). The bulk of this de mand came from large city banks. Many coun try banks have found the rate too low to be attractive. Coincident with the large demand for prime bills was a shortage of supply which brought about the necessary condition of a rapidly weakening market. (Q) Bank Clearings*— Dec., 1921 Bakersfield . ,$ Berkeley .......... Long Beach , , Los Angeles , , Oakland ............ Pasadena .......... Portland ............ . . Sacramento Salt Lake City . San Diego ........ San Francisco .. ... San Jose ........... Seattle ................. Spokane ............. StocktonJ ........ Tacoma ............ 4,483 15,706 4,755 21,587 17,382 407,624 54,877 9,004 15,123 130,244 2,449 27,953 69,572 14,110 613,500 9,183 142,149 45,878 9,335 13,042 . .$1,627,956 Nov., 1921 $ 4,361 14,218 4,604 28,828 16,249 376,010 50,671 9,355 13,876 128,828 2,855 29,901 62,568 11,195 573,700 9,585 128,739 45,026 10,879 13,106 $1,534,554 *(000 Omitted.) IDecember, 1920, clearings for Stockton omitted. Dec., 1920 $ 5,860 13,280 6,995 23,000 16,346 380,189 48,030 16,153 15,207 150,605 3,839 27,896 88,117 14,859 664,100 8,456 145,711 50,751 19*003 $1,698,397 Agricultural and Business Conditions 16 A rough classification of bills marketed as reported by the principal dealer on the Coast shows that short term bills and 120-day bills have gained greatly in favor. The approxi-. mate percentages of each class to the total sales of all classes follow s: Dec. 15 t« Jan. 15 30 60 90 120 150 day .................................. 22.5% day .................................. 33.3% day .................................. 24.4% day .................................. 19.8% d a y ........................................ Nov. 15 to Dec. 15 6.5% 33.0% 56.3% 3.6% 0.6% Inactivity in the market during December is reflected in the reports to this bank of 36 of the principal accepting banks of the Dis trict. The total purchases during December of $6,085,368 were $5,266,917 less than pur chases in November ($11,352,285) the de crease being almost entirely in purchases of bills originating outside of the District. Wheat, sugar, rice and cotton were the principal com modities on which acceptances executed dur ing the month were based. Purchases and holdings of acceptances of reporting banks ap pear in table “ R .” The total amount in all savings accounts against which pass books are issued, as re ported by 78 banks in seven principal cities, increased 1.22 per cent during the Savings month ending December 15th, beDeposils ing on that date $749,005,000, com pared with $738,000,000 on Novem ber 15th. The most noteworthy increases were reported in Los Angeles and San Francisco. (R) Acceptances f— /____________ Amount Accepted Dec. Nov. Created in Twelfth District Dec. Nov. During the year ending December 15th there was an increase of 4.5 per cent in savings deposits, although Seattle and Spokane were decided exceptions to the general trend. The changes in the savings deposits in each city are shown in the accompanying table “ S.” The decrease of one in the number of reporting banks in Los Angeles and the re vision of that city’s November total are due to a consolidation. Loans and discounts of reporting member banks on January 4, 1922, at $880,604,000 were $30,771,000, or 3.4 per cent, less than they were four weeks previously on Banking December 7, 1921. Investments at Situation $316,580,000 were approximately $5,000,000 higher. Total deposits of $1,173,788,000 were $7,605,000 less and cash holdings of $33,670,000 were over $2,660,000 larger. Borrowings from the reserve bank in- Federal Reserve Note Circulation, Bills Discounted and Bills Bought in the Open Market, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (la Millions of Dollars) -------Amount Bought------------------------------------------^ All Other Dec. Nov. Total Dec. Nov. Amount held at close of month Dec. Nov. Pacific Northwest ___ $ 320,421 $1,451,433 $ 438,109 $ 225,982 $ 353,934 $1,957,511 $ 792,043 $ 2,183,493 $ 5,625,686 $ 6,679,742 Northern California . . 2,870,742 3,461,612 2,142,686 2,291,734 1,953,168 2,571,826 4,095,854 4,863,560 3,919,022 2,916,197 Southern California* .. 358,873 651,006 33,639 206,971 1,163,832 4,098,261 1,197,471 4,305,232 5,178,955 5,513,946 Other Districts ............ -0 -0 -0 -0 -0-0-0-0-0-0Total ...................... $3,550,036 $5,564,051 $2,614,434 $2,724,687 $3,470,934 $8,627,598 $6,085,368 $11,352,285 $14,723,663 $15,109,885 f36 Banks reporting. *November totals changed due to revised figures received fr om one bank. (S) Savings D ep osits*Los Angeles . . . Oakland ............ Portland .......... Salt Lake City . San Francisco . Seattle ............. Spokane ............ Total ......... , *In thousands of dollars. Number of Banks Dec. 15,1921 Nov. 15,1921 Dec. 15,1920 Dec. 15, 1921 over Dec. 15, 1920 13 7 10 10 17 15 6 $244,460 74,434 37,456 21,642 329,466 29,689 11,858 $238,514 74,267 36,913 21,868 324,937 29,668 11,833 $217,260 72,307 38,117 21,195 316,990 37,897 13,303 12.5 2.9 — 1.7 2.1 3.9 —21.7 — 10.8 78 $749,005 $738,000 $717,069 4.5 . . , Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 17 creased $5,158,000, or 18.1 per cent, to $33,670,000, an expansion not unusual at the turn of the year. The increase in borrowings of city banks during the past month was practically offset by the decline in country bank borrowings, so that the total of bills discounted held by the Federal Reserve Bank on January 10 ($65,348,000), was only $1,298,000 more than the sum held on December 14, 1921. Acceptance holdings declined from $22,223,000 to $12,447,000 but investments in United States Gov ^IN C IP A L RESOURCE AN D ernment securities increased 50 per cent to $12,515,000. The net decline in earning assets for the period was $4,052,000, leaving the total $90,310,000 on January 11, 1922. Federal Reserve notes in circulation on that date amounted to $230,970,000, practically un changed from December 14, 1921. During this period, however, the amount in circulation had increased to a maximum of $244,252,000 on December 28th, in response to demands of the public, through their banks, for currency to facilitate the holiday and year end payments. L IA B ILITY ITEM S OF REP O RTIN G M E M B ER B A N K S IN RESERVE CITIES IN T W E L F T H FEDERAL RESERVE D ISTR IC T jr o f R ep o r tin g B a n k s ...................................................... Jan. 4, 1922 Dec. 7,1921 Jan. 7,1921 6 7 6 4 6 6 as and Discounts.............................................................................. $ 880,604,000 $ 914,375,000 $ 925,760,000 stments ................. .......................................................................... 316,580,000 311,626,000 289,757,000 in Vault and with Federal Reserve Bank............................... 105,835,000 103,175,000 104,747,000 >tai Deposits ...................................................... ,................................. 1,173,788,000 1,181,393,000 1,137,629,000 Payable and Rediscounts with Federal Reserve B a n k .......... 33,670,000 28,512,000 115,503,000 C O M PARATIVE STA TEM E N T OF CONDITION OF FED ER A L RESERVE B A N K OF SA N FRANCISCO A T CLOSE OF BUSINESS, J A N U A R Y 11, 1922 RESOURCES Jan. 11,1922 •<-al Reserves .........................................................................................$285,422,000 Is Discounted ..................................................................................... 65,348,000 s Bought in Open Market................................................ ............... 12,447,000 ted States Government Securities.................................................. 12,515,000 Dec. 14, 1921 Jan. 14,1921 $284,116,000 64,050,000 22,223,000 8,089,000 $194,777,000 159,065,000 33,509,000 14,074,000 Total Earning Assets ..................................................................... $ 90,310,000 ill Other Resources* .......................................................................... 49,337,000 $ 94,362,000 50,423,000 $206,648,000 46,450,000 Total R e so u r c e s ............................................................................... $425,069,000 $428,901,000 $447,875,000 Capital and Surplus ...............................................................................$ 22,579,000 >tpl Deposits ...................................................................................... 129,943,000 :al Reserve Notes in Actual C ircu lation ................................. 230,970,000 Jther Liabilities*)*............-................. ............................................. 41,577,000 $ 22,578,000 127,050,000 231,268,000 48,005,000 $ 21,143,000 122,646,000 260,068,000 44,018,000 .............................................................................$425,069,000 $428,901,000 $447,875,000 42,831,000 38,785,000 44,903,000 33,980,000 L IA B IL IT IE S Total Liabilities Includes “ Uncollected Items,, ......................................................... •¡•Includes “ Deferred Availability Items,, ........................................ 41,949,000 35,585,000 REDISCOUNT OPERATIONS IN THE TW ELFTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT The course of rediscounting by the member banks of this bank during the years 1919, 1920 and 1921 is graphically illustrated in the ac companying chart, in which city and country bank borrowings have been segregated. Such a segregation, however, is at best but a rough indication of the extent to which the country or agricultural interests have used the credit resources of the Federal Reserve Bank, as compared with the city or industrial and com mercial interests. It tends considerably to un- I i 3 4 5 6 7 8 0 10 II 12 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 IO II l î I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 II 1919 »920 ______ 192» Comparative Rediscount Operations, 1919-1921 City banks include all member banks in Los Angeles, Oakland and Berkeley, Portland, Salt Lake City, San Francisco, Seattle and Spokane. Country banks include all other member banks. N o t e : derstate the fact because much of the credit extended to “ city banks” during the years 1920 and 1921 was for the purpose of enabling them to assist correspondent banks and cus tomers in country districts. The exact or ap proximate amount of borrowings by city banks for this purpose is not definitely ascer tainable, but it is known to have been large. W ithout, however, attempting to make the adjustment which these considerations would justify, and having reference only to the fig ures reflected in the chart above, it is note worthy that borrowings of country member banks increased rapidly from the spring of 1920. This date marked the beginning of the long price decline which ushered in the diffi cult business readjustment of the past year and a half. From a total of $27,524,000 on April 20, 1920, their borrowings increased without interruption to a peak of $63,231,000 on August 31, of that year. The liquidation of borrow ings from proceeds of crop sales, which is cus tomary after this date, resulted in a decline to November 30, 1920, of only 12.7 per cent in borrowings, after which date increases oc curred until on Decem ber 14, 1920, they stood at $57,357,000 or 108.4 per cent above the April, 1920, figure. During the corresponding period borrowings of city banks follow ed more nearly their seasonal course, increasing from $93,214,000 on April 20, 1920, to $108,512,000 on June 8th, declining approximately 20 per cent from the latter amount during the sum mer, and rising to a peak on December 7th of $115,756,000, an increase of 24 per cent from the April figure, compared with the increase of 108.4 per cent above mentioned for country banks. Reduction of city bank borrowings follow ing the peak reached on December 7, 1920, was interrupted by the spring demands of 1921, but since May 15th of that year has been steady and substantial, until on December 27th last such borrowings at $32,867,000 were 65 per cent less than the $93,214,000 borrowed on April 20, 1920. Borrowings of country banks follow ing the December, 1920, peak fluctuated slightly up and down until the end of April, 1921, when they increased in five weeks from $58,228,000 to $67,321,000 at ap proximately which level they remained during the rest of the summer, reaching a peak of $68,985,000 on August 23, or 150.6 per cent above the April 20, 1920, figure of $27,524,000. Since August, 1921, when returns from the marketing of crops of that year began to come in, the country banks have rapidly reduced their borrowings to a total of $39,193,000 on December 27, 1921, a figure 42.4 per cent above the $27,524,000 borrowed in April, 1920, while, as was seen above, city bank borrowings in December 27, 1921, were 65 per cent below their April, 1920, figure. These figures are summarized in the follow ing table: Borrowings from Federal Reserve Bank City Banks April, 1920 ................... $ 93,214,000 c l j. T> l S (Dec. 7. 1920) Subsequent Peak . . . { 115,756,000 Percentage Increase.. 24% December 27, 1 9 2 1 ....$ 32,867,000 Percentage Decrease from April, 1920___ 65% Country Banks $27,524,000 ( (Avis. 23, 1921) I 68,985,000 150.6% $39,193,000 in c r e a s e 42.4% These facts are interesting refutation of the charge sometimes advanced by the misin formed that, during the period of falling prices after the spring of 1920, credit to country mem ber banks was curtailed by Federal Reserve Banks. The figures show that the opposite was the case.