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THE MONTHLY REVIEW Of Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CI TY M. L. McCLURE, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent A. M. McADAMS, Assistant Federal Reserve Agent and Secretary Vol. 12 KANSAS CITY, Mo., M ARKED improvement in the condition and estimated yields of unharvested farm crops and slower and more orderly seasonal marketings of grain and livestock were among the important developments in the Tenth District during July. Production of flour and meat decreased and the output of minerals increased. Trade was smaller in volume than a year ago. Demand for loans at banks was about at the year's high level and there was an excess of money at low lending rates. On a whole, the volume of general business in July, measured by payments by check, was 4.8 per cent smaller than in July of last year. The Government's August crop report, issued on the tenth of the month, showed improvement in crop conditions during July in every one of the seven states whose areas or parts are included in the Tenth District. Corn gained 6o million bushels during the month and the August I estimate was for a crop of 447¾ million bushels or 139 million bushels more corn than farmers of this district raised in 1926. Other growing crops- notably hay, cotton and sugar beets-made good growth. Threshing returns indicated smaller per acre yields of winter wheat than those previously forecast, thus reducing this year's crop to 240,½' million bushels in the preliminary estimate as compared with a harvested crop of 283,½' million bushels in 1926. It was apparent from the August report that 1927 crops in this regional district would be better balanced than were those of 1926 and in spite of unfavorable weather and a late season this year production of farm crops would compare favorably with that of previous good years. Of the leading c·rops grown in this district those of corn, spring wheat, barley, rye, white potatoes and hay were expected to show larger yields than last year; and those of winter wheat, oats, cotton and sugar beets would be smaller. With the best pasturage in years for this late season, many cattlemen and sheepmen took advantage of the opportunity to add as much weight as possible to their livestock at small expense. The July run of cattle to primary markets was the smallest for tPat month since 1921, wrile the market movement of sheep during the month was the smallest of the year. The livestock industry was further improved by advances in prices of all classes of meat animals. The output of crude oil in this district was more than I million barrels per day and the gross production during the thirty-one days of July exceeded 31 million barrels, which was 40.8 per cent of the crude oil produced in the United States. Relief from excessive production of crude oil was promised by a movement No. 9 SEPTEMBER 1, 1927 TH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT July 1927 July 1927 compared to compared to June 1927 July 1926 General Business Bank debits, 29 Cities ...........................- - - 8.3 - 4.8 Reserve Bank Clearings, Amount .............................. ~-5 -10. 1 Items Handled .......· - - --······················· -4.4 -5.7 Business Failures, Number..........................................--1.9.2 --z2.3 Amount of Liabilities ..................................................-46.9 - I 5.1 Trade Retail, Department Stores .......................................... --z2.1 Wholesale, Six Lines .................................................... ~-7 Lumber Sales at Retai l Yards .................................... -5.6 Market Receipts . -36.0 Wheat ........ ---·················································· 351.5 Corn ................................................................................--67.8 --z8.7 Oats ...... - ........................................................................-z2.4 -50.0 Cattle..............................................................................-11.o - 1 7.5 Calves............................................................................ -4. 5 --z3.3 ~:e~p.~·.~::::::::::::::::.:.:..................................................... ~{·~ 5 Horses and Mules................ ........ .............................. II.4 Production · Flour ............ .................................................................. -1.3 Crude Oil........................................................................ 9.6 Soft Coal. .................................................... - - - - 4.8 Cement............ .............................................................. -4.7 Face Brick......................................................................-14.3 Zinc Ore Shiprr.ents...................................................... 43.8 Lead Ore Shipments.................................................... 18.1 Meat Packing Cattle......................... ····························------14.0 Calves ............................................................................ -8.9 ~;·i ~::esp.~·.·.·::::: ...................... ·••· ········································· Construction Building Permits, 19 Ci:ies ........................................-19.4 Value of Permits ........ ..............................................-19.2 Contracts awarded, Value, District ......................... -2.2 -18.8 51.9 -16.5 -12.8 ~-6 - 1 5.5 -12.8 --z8.o -4.5 -3.6 7.2 -5.4 -20.2 among producers to curtail development operations in the near future, particularly in Oklahoma's Seminole field . The production of soft coal in July was larger than in any month since April, but still below the output of last year. The production and shipment of zinc and lead ore, after touching the lowest point in three years, turned upward in July as a result of improved demand anj advances in prices, and in the early weeks of August both production and shipments were almost up to the best records of the year. In leading cities there was a decline in building activity during July compared with June, evidenced by the number and value of permits granted. July permits exceeded those in July 1926 in number, but their value was slightly less. Building and engineering contracts awarded in the district were smaller in value than a year ago. Thls Copy Released For Publication In Morning Newspaper August 29. 2. THE MONTHLY REVIEW Financial Developments in the financial situation during the summer season tended to further ease money conditions. The volume of bank credit in the form of loans, discounts and investments fluctuated narrowly around the high level for this year and was a little below the level of a year ago. Yet the demand for credit was not sufficient to absorb the large supply of money available at low lending rates. Deposits of all classes increased. Demand deposits early in August were the largest since March, time deposits were at their peak record, while savings deposits and the number of savings accounts were larger than at this time last year. REDISCOUNT RATE REDUCED: Effective July 2.9, the rediscount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City was reduced from 4 to 3,½ per cent. The lowering of the rediscount rate was intended to benefit agriculture and livestock by offering the fu]l facilities of this bank to the Tenth District as a means of making easier the supply of credit for the orderly movement of crops and livestock, and for general business. This action was followed by successive reduction by the Federal Reserve Banks of St. Louis, Dallas, Boston, Iew York, Cleveland, Richmond and Atlanta, from 4 per cent to 3,½ per cent. MEMBER BANK OPERATIO S: Condition statements of 65 member banks in leading cities of this <listrict which report weekly to the Federal Reserve system showed the aggregate of their loans at the close of business on August IO was the largest since October 13, 192.6, but was 5.1 per cent smaller than on August II, 1926. Loans secured by stocks, bonds and securities other than those of the United States Government were 13 per cent larger and other loans, principally commercial, were I 1.9 per cent smaller than a year ago. Investments of the reporting member banks declined slightly in the four weeks between July 13 and August 10, but were 4.8 per cent larger than on August II, 192.6. This increase was in other stocks, bonds and securities as investments in United States Government securities decreased .. Demand deposits ·increased during the four-week period and on August 10 were the largest since the year's peak in March, but '.2.4 per cent below the total on August II last year. Time deposits continued the steady increase recorded for the season and on the second reporting date in August were at a new high record and 5.1 per cent larger than a year ago. Principal resource and liability items of the reporting member banks as of the three dates mentioned, here presented, show the changes during four weeks and the fifty-two weeks: Aug. 10, 1927 July 13, 1927 Aug. II, 1926 Total Loans and Discounts ................ $428,381,ooo $427,254,000 $451,251,000 Secured by U.S. Obligations.......... 3,935,000 4,308,000 4,255,000 Secured by other bonds and stocks 130,198,000 135,842,000 113,188,000 All Other............................................ 294,248 ,ooo 287,104,000 333,808 ,ooo Total Investments ..........................~ ..... 204,134,000 205,189,000 194,747,000 United States Securities.................. 96,310,000 97,168,000 106,548,000 Other Bonds, Stocks and Securities ............................................ 107,824,000 108,021,000 88,199,000 Total Loans, Discounts and Jn vestmen ts.. ........................................ 632, 5l 5,000 632,443,000 645,998,000 Total Depm:its ...................................... 660,947,000 656,327,000 67c,6o4,ooo Demand Deposits............................ 504,736,000 501,044,000 518,436,000 Ti me Depo its.................................. 155,474,000 I 53,779,000 147,913,000 Government Depo~its...................... 737,000 1,504,000 4,255,000 Reserve Balances with F. R. Bank.... 55,920,coo 55,726,000 51,728,000 RESERVE BA TK OPERATIO S: Discount operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches declined between July 13 and August 10, and on the latter date bil.ls rediscounted for member banks were the smallest in amount since the week ending March 9 of this year, while bills purchased in the open market were the smallest in amount since the week end- • ing October I 5, 192.4. The total of bills and securities held on August 10 was the lowest of record dating from October 31, 1919. Principal items contained in the condition statement of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, including brancres, are shown for three dates in the following: Gold Reserves............................. . Reserves other than Gold ......... . Total Reserves .. .......................... Bills Discounted ......................... . Bills Purchased ........................... . United States Securities ........... . Total Bills and Securities .......... Total Resources .. ...... ................. . F. R. Notes in Circulation ....... . Total Deposits ........................... . Aug. 10, 1927 July 13, 1927 Aug. II, 1926 $103,594,937 $ 91,o53,859 $ 91,088,066 5,247,780 4,386,545 5,783,376 108,842,717 96,837,235 95,474,6 11 10,74 1,953 13,696,921 7,69 1,705 13,120,647 5,9 26,537 9,934,907 31,164,000 31,581,000 34,585,900 55,212,828 44,782,242 58,448,500 204,606,906 199,670,106 206,544,652 64,728,350 63,892,275 63,953,525 87,065,044 89,97o,977 89,983,34 2 SAVINGS: Deposits to savings accounts in fifty-six reporting banks in cities declined four-tenths of I per cent during July, partly as a result of withdrawals by vacationists, but the aggregate for these banks on August I was an amount 2.8 per cent greater than that for August I last year. The number of savings accounts reported by fifty-three banks was 343,027, an increase of 935 for the month and 19,720, or 6.1 per cent, for the year. Savings deposits follow: Banks Denver, Colo .......................... 6 Kansas City, Kans ................ 3 Kansas City, Mo .................. 10 Lincoln, Nebr ........................ 3 Oklahoma City, Okla............ 6 Omaha, Nebr........................ 5 St. Joseph, Mo ...... ................ 5 Tulsa, Okla ............................ 5 Wichita, Kans ...................... 10 Other Cities............................ 3 Aug. 1, 1927 July 1, 1927 Aug. 1, 1926 $ 46,515,745 $ 45,860,667 $ 46,749,o9o 2 , 0 39,355 2,164,615 2,028,745 17,175,027 17,084,448 15,923,761 3,024,191 J,01 7,563 3.04 2 ,7 2 9 7,776,638 7,987,084 8,343,II3 7,868,562 8,082,451 7,510,066 2 1 7,136,688 7,335,7 7 7,3°7, 44 13,000,474 14,431,II4 15,033,007 5,786,740 5,858,456 5,016,413. 821,820 816,471 852,897 Total... ................................... 56 'f,112,746,336 '/,113,166,211 'f,109,678,254 / RESERVE BANK CLEARINGS: Check collections through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches at Omaha, Denver and Oklahoma City in July were smaller in both amount and number of items handled than in either June 1927 or July 1926. The figures: Items July 1927.................................................................... 5,629,207 June 1927 ........ .......................................................... 5,888,266 July 1926 .................................................................... 5,971,298 Seven Months 1927 .................................................. 39,916,691 Seven Month$ 1926 .................................................. 40,718,977 Amount 1, 949,449,000 954,648,000 1 ,0 55,757,000 6,637,545,ooo 6,568,181,000 During July 3,423 banks shared in this service performed by the Federal Reserve Bank. Of this number, 975 were member banks and 2,448 were non-member banks on the par list. BANK DEBITS: Payments by check in twenty-nine cities in the Tenth District, indicated by amounts debited by banks to individual accounts during five weeks ending August 3, exhibited an increase of $128,101,000 or ~-3 per cent over amounts debited during the five weeks ending June 29. This gain over the preceeding five weeks was seasonal in character. However, the total of debits reported by banks in the twenty-nine cities during the five weeks eriding August 3 was $84,578,000 or 4.8 per cent less than the total for the corresponding- five weeks in I 926 although it exceeded the total for the corresponc.ing five weeks in 1925 by $109,521,000 or 7 per cent. Eleven cities reported increases in the amount of their debits over the five weeks last year, while eighteen cities showed decreases. For the first thirtyone weeks of 1927 the aggregate of debits in these cities wa $17r ,566,000 or 1.8 per cent larger than for the first thirty-on weeks of I 926. I THE MONTHLY REVIEW BANK DEBITS IN TWENTY-NINE CITIES Five Weeks Ending Per Cent Change Aug. 3, 1927 Aug.4, 1926 Albuquerque, N. M ...... .................... '$ 12,343,000 '$ 12,529,000 -1.5 7,264,000 7,838,000 Atchison, Kans .................................... -7.3 Bartlesville, Okla................................ 28,877,000 26,154,000 10.4 10,163,000 11,619,000 Casper, Wyo.. ...................................... - 12.5 Cheyenne, Wyo.................................... 7,550,000 7, 157 ,ooo 5.5 Colorado Springs, Colo........................ IS,032,000 17,996,000 0.2 220,569,000 Denver, Colo........................................ 192,388,000 - 12.8 25,510,000 33,026,000 Enid, Okla.. .... ...................................... -22.8 4,681,000 4,494,000 Fremont, Nebr... -................................. 4.'l Grand Junction, Colo.......................... 3,500,000 3,747,000 -6.6 4,514,000 4,056,000 Guthrie,Okla ...................................... 11.3 Hutchinson, Kans................................ 31,921,000 46,80~,ooo -31.8 Independence, Kans.. .......................... 13,209,000 13,690,000 -3.5 22,312,000 19,376,000 Joplin, Mo............................. ............. 15.2 24,764,000 24,888,000 Kansas City, Kans................ ....... .. --0.5 Kansas City Mo................................... 479,575,000 522,734,000 - 8.3 6,771,000 6,908,000 Lawrence, Kans .................. ............ ... --2.0 Lincoln, Nebr........................................ 41,153,000 38,532,000 6.8 - 1.8 13,010,000 13,250,000 Muskogee, Okla.................................... 108,107,000 Oklahoma City, Okla.......................... 122,088,000 12.9 9,484,000 12,497,000 Okmulgee, Okla.................................... -24.1 239,014,000 Omaha, Nebr........................................ 239,131,000 O.l 3,782,000 4,486,000 Parsons, Kans .... .................................. - 1 5.7 Pittsburg, Kans .................................. 6,913,000 7,413,000 -6.7 18.0 Pueblo, Colo.......................................... 24,713,000 20,962,000 65,867,000 72,919,000 St. Joseph, Mo...................................... - 9.7 13.0 24,400,000 21,605,000 Topeka, Kans ..·-··································· Tulsa, Okla............................................ 143,592,000 149,404,000 -3.2 Wichita, Kans .................................... 80,094,000 80,401,000 --0.4 29 Cities, 5 weeks ..............................$1,667,601,ooo 29 Cities, 31 Weeks ............................ 9,794,051,000 '$1,752,179,000 9,622,485,000 Failures A seasonal decline during July in the number of commercial failures in the United States, and in the Tenth District in particular, was reported by R. G. Dun & Company. The returns for this district showed fewer failures and a smaller total of liabilities than had been reported for a preceding month of the current year. July failures were also smaller than those reported for July oflast year by 22.3 per cent and 15.1 per cent in amount of liabilities. Failures in the United States by Federal Reserve Districts are here shown for the month of July 1927 and 1926: Number 1927 1926 Districts First, Boston ......................................... . 209 152 Second, New York .............................. 355 227 Third, Philadelphia............................. . 54 76 Fourth, Clevland ................................. . 140 137 Fifth,Richmond .. .... ............................ 114 105 Sixth, Atlanta ..................................... . 114 75 232 Seventh, Chicago·-········•··············••·•···· 259 Eighth, St. Louis................................. . 51 59 Ninth, Minneapolis............................. . 69 93 II 2 TENTH, KA SAS CITY..·-············· 87 Eleventh, Dallas ................................. . 27 72 Twelfth, San Francisco .... .... .. ............ 277 265 Liabilities 1926 1927 1, 4,150,388 t, 2,742,235 6,360,670 3,707,6 15 3,318,600 1,710,627 3,202,436 7,269,891 1,692,277 4,065,583 4,162,344 2,5o4,453 1,041,215 729,296 939,692 273,9 24 7,293,091 2,733,956 Total, United States ...... .................... 1,756 '$43,149,974 t,29,680,009 Dry Goods ............................... . Groceries .. .......... ....................... . Hardware .... .. ...... ..................... . Furniture................................... . Drugs ......................................... . Millinery .. :............................. - 1,605 5, 1 53, 2 53 5,555,849 1,124,720 1,020,053 1,107,829 969,986 3 Wholesale Trade Reports of wholesale firms handling six lines of merchandise showed their aggregate sales during July were 0.7 per cent smaller than in June and 4.5 per cent smaller than in July of last year. Considered by separate lines, sales of dry goods, groceries, drugs and millinery were larger and sales of hardware and furniture were smaller than in June. Wholesalers in all lines, except drugs, reported their July sales were smaller than in July of last year. Wholesalers of dry goods were making shipments on advance orders for July and August delivery, and their sales were considerably in excess of those for June of this year, although some dealers reported that current trade on fall goods had not responded as it should to the generally prosperous conditions resulting from the improvement in agriculture. However, wholesalers were not receiving as many cancellations of fall orders as were received at this time last year. This was attributed in part to the stronger market for cotton goods, and in part to the better general conditions than have prevailed in the past five years. The heavy trade in groceries reported by wholesalers during the season continued through July and into August, with the volume for July larger than in June of this year but smaller than in July of last year. The better agricultural situation was also reflected in a decided improvement in the wholesale hardware trade. While in July sa1es showed about the usual decline for the midsummer season, the volume of business for the month was generally satisfactory. J uly was an "off" month for the wholesale furniture trade, reports showing declines in sales both as compared with the preceding month and the corresponding month last year, although t here were evidences of some improvement at the end of the month. Sales of drugs and chemicals showed no appreciable improvement during July as compared with June but on the whole were larger than a year ago. Some activity in drug sundries and soda fountain supplies was indicated. Conditions during July were more favorable for the wholesale miilinery trade and sales were greatly in excess of those for June but were much smaller than in July of last year. Distributors of implements and farm machinery reported their sales during July were about IO per cent above those of a year ago. Sales in some lines, however, were disappointing as in many sections there were so much moisture that it kept threshers from work and farmers were not able to get their plowing started. One of the largest distributing firms reported their sales for 1927 would be the largest of record- larger than in 1920- which was the firm's banner year. Wholesale trade in automobile tires and accessories, which in recent years has ·greatly expanded with the increased number of of cars in use, was heavy in July, but buying activity by consumers was slightly below that of last year at this season. Dealers' stocks were about even or slightly below last year's average. Due to a general demand on the part of automobile users for low priced merchandise some less expensive lines of goods were added by several companies. WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES OUTSTANDINGS (Mo. End.) COLLECTIONS Reporting July 1927 compared with July 31, 1927 compared with July 1927 compared with Stores June 1927 July 1926 June 30, 1927 July 31,1926 June 1927 July 1926 17.7 , .8 4.3 -5.8 3.7 -6.7 7 I.I -3.8 -0.4 -8.2 - 8.6 - I.I 7 -0.8 0.4 8.o -J.9 I.O 8 1 .7 -30.8 -14.5 -10.3 - 4.2 - lJ.4 -6, 2 5 4.6 7.9 -0.3 - I.0 --'l.7 - I. 2 6 38.7 -59.7 -10.7 -50.6 -23.2 -34.6 4 STOCKS (Mo. End) July 31, 1927 compared with June 30, 1927 July 31, 1926 19• 7 9.o -6.8 - 10.6 - 4.9 -6.9 '2.1 - 4.8 0.2 2. 1 THE MoNTHLY REvrnw 4 RETAIL TRADE AT 34 DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Sales (Retail) Stocks Outstanding Orders Accounts Receivable Collections [Stores July 1927 Seven Months 1927 July 31, 1927 July 31 1927 July 31, 1927 July 1927 compared to Compared to Compared to compared to compared to compared to Reporting July1926 SevenMonths1926 June30,1927 July31,1926 June30,1927 July31,1926 June30,1927 July31,1926 June1927 July1926 Kansas City...... _.. 3 -5.3 -4.4 4.7 -3.4 11.2 -10.5 -13.1 -3.2 -3. 2 -5.3 -'2.8 -8.2 -4.0 0.2 -4.5 -6.1 72.9 12.8 -II.2 -0.2 Denver·--········-····· 4 Wichita................ _ 3 1.6 13.2 2.6 9.0 ~-4 10.0 -12.7 21.5 -15.0 6.2 ll.4 -10.3 2.4 -8.1 2.9 8.7 Oklahoma City·- ··· 3 Omaha.. _ _ _ 2 -'7,6 -'7.8 -10.0 -5.4 Lincoln. ____··········· 3 - 14.3 -'21.8 Tulsa...................... 3 -12.0 1.0 -14.4 16.8 13.1 -6.8 -6.9 -3.8 Other Cities·---·····13 -5.7 Total... ...................34 -3.6 o.8 - 4.1 -2.9 64.7 12.4 - 10.4 2.2 -6.6 Note: Percentage of collections in July on outstanding accounts June 30, all stores reporting, 40.1%. Collections same month last year 42.1%. Retail Trade Trade at reporting department stores in this district was 3.6 per cent smaller in July of this year than in July oflast year, due in part to the fact that five Sundays in July of this year resulted in one less business day than in July last year. On the basis of daily averages~the value of sales during the month was about the same as a,. year ago. The reports showed July sales were 22.1 per cent smaller than in June, indicating a little more than the customary mid-summer decline. During the first seven months of 1927 the value of sales of reporting department stores was o.8 per cent larger than for the like period in 1926. Sales of special line stores handling men's and womens' apparel, in their dollar value, were 31.6 per cent smaller than in June and 0.7 per cent smaller than in July a year ago. A number of general merchandise stores and retail furniture stores reported similar declines from the preceding month, and the volume smaller than that of a year ago. COLLECTIONS: Most of the wholesale reports reflected slight improvement in collections during July, while the composite figure on collections for reporting departmerit stores was 40.1 per cent for July, as compared with 40.4 per cent for June and 42.1 for July 1926. Collections reported by implement firms were generally good though in some sections where threshing and marketing of wheat were retarded by rain, collections were slow and disappointing. Dealers in automobile tires and accessories reported collections improved from month to month. The Crops A marked improvement in crop conditions and prospects in the Tenth Federal Reserve District, and in the country as a whole, occurred during July chiefly as a result of an evenly distributed rainfall and moderate temperatures, according to the August reports of the United States Department of Agriculture and cooperating State Boards of Agriculture. This improvement continued through August and fall crops and pasturage were showing the best growth in years for this late season, although at the middle of the month rains were excessive in some localities and considerable damage to wheat in the shock and to corn and ot1'er fall crops was reported. COMPOSITE CONDITIONS: Better conditions were reflected by the composite condition of cultivated crops in this district, which on August 1 stood at 98.1 per cent of their IO-year average on that date, indicating a gain of 4.6 percent during July, wliereas the composite condition for the United States on August 1 was 99 per cent of t1'e 10-year average, and 2.5 per cent better than on July I. The reports showed important gains during the month for all states whose areas or parts form the Tenth District, Oklahoma leading with Nebraska and Wyoming • -3.2 second and third in percentage of gain. The composite figures for these states and the increase for the month follow: August 1 Colorado ..................................................... . Kansas ......................................................... . Missouri ....................................................... . Nebraska ..................................................... . New Mexico·-·····························--Oklahoma ............ - - - - - Wy"™ing..................................................... . 95-'l 98.7 88.6 110.2 86.1 97.6 105.9 Seven States ............................................... . United States .............................................. July I 93.8 96.6 85.8 103.3 84.2 89.4 99.8 Change I.4 2.I 2.8 6.9 1.9 8.2 6.1 93.5 4.6 96.5 2.5 ESTIMATED YIELDS: Official forecasts, or estimates on yields, indicated all growing crops in this district made substantial gains between July 1 and August I. It was apparent that this year's crops of corn, spring wheat, barley, rye, potatoes and hay would, under favorable conditions up to the time of their harvest, exceed the yields of 1926. On the other hand, this year's • crops of winter wheat, oats, sugar beets, broom corn and cotton were expected to be smaller than those for the preceding year. Estimated production of the leading farm crops in the Tenth District, compiled from the official reports as of August 1 are here presented with the estimates of July 1, 1927, and August 1, 1926, for comparison: August I 1927 Corn, bushels ...............·----·········447,785,000 Winter wheat, bushels ................................ 240,616,ooo Spring Wheat, bushel.,__ _ _ _ _ ... u,652,000 All wheat, bushels ...................................... 252,268,ooo Oats, bushels................................................ 139,135,ooo Barley, bushels .. -----················· 30,453,000 Rye, bushels........................................... .... 7,082,000 Potatoes, bushels ........................................ 32,377,000 Tame Hay, tons ............... _ _ _ _ _ 13,669,000 July I Final 1926 1927 387,941,000 308,674,000 '256,030,000 283,469,000 u,236,000 10,050,000 267,266,000 2 93,5 1 9,000 149,577,000 143,132,000 30,379,000 20,687,000 7,295,000 5,430,000 31,423,000 26,452,000 13,566,000 11,894,000 COR : ·The foregoing summary shows a gain during the month of 59,844,000 bushels in the estimated crop of corn in this district with the August 1 forecast of 447,785,000 bushels showing an increase of 139,1 II ,ooo bushels over the crop of 1926. All Tenth District states shared in this increase with the larger gains in Missouri, Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma. While improvement in the condition of corn was general, much of the crop had so late a start that only unusually late and warm fall would prevent serious frost damage. WHEAT: The preliminary estimate of winter wheat production in the district, totaling 240,616,000 bushels, showed a decline in July of 15,414,000 bushels, threshing returns showing smaller per acre yields than were forecast early in the harvest season. Much of the wheat was still in the shock in late August and reports showed it was damaged in some sections by heavy rains and floods. The spring wheat estimate on August I was • 5 THE MONTHLY REVIEW for n,652,000 bushels, a slight gain for the month and an increase of 1,602,000 bushels over the crop of 1926. COTTON: A condition of 69. 5 per cent of normal, and an indicated production of 13,492,000 bales in the United States, was shown by the report of the Department of Agriculture, as of August I. The condi t ion of cotton on August 1 last year was. 69.8 per cent, and the ten-year average for that date was 67.3 per cent. While growing conditions of the crop in the producing sections of this district on August 1 was but slightly below the condition on the corresponding date last year, this year's reduced acreages would indicate a much smaller crop than the bumper crop of 1926. The outstanding feature in the situation this year is the boll weevil menace, which is reported as the greatest since 1923 in the older cotton producing states and which is August was becoming serious in parts of Oklahoma. Thus prospects for the cotton crop may be expected to improve or decline accordingly as the weather is less or more favorable for the weevil propagation during the remainder of the season. Last year's production of cotton in Oklahoma was 1,950,000 bales, in Missouri 255,000 bales and in New Mexico 72,000 bales. Grain Movements Returns from five important primary m arkets in the Tenth District show movements of wheat from farms during July were 36 per cent below those in the corresponding month last year, although the official preliminary estimates indicate that the 1927 crop of wheat in this district is only about 9.0 per cent smaller than the harvested crop of 1926. However, the month's receipts of wheat at these markets were- with the exception of those for the same month last year- the largest for any July on record, and adequate for domestic and export requirements. Receipts of corn, oats and rye during J uly were smaller than a year ago, while receipts of barley and kafir exceeded those of a year ago. Receipts of six classes of grain during July at the five markets follows: Wheat Bushels Corn Bushels Hutchinson ............ 5,169,150 Kansas City............ 19,538,400 Omaha .................... 8,774,400 St. Joseph .............. 1,737,400 Wichita ·-··············· 5,767,200 Oats Bushels 6,250 762,000 931,000 567,000 15,000 1,500 192,000 276,000 40,000 18,000 Kafir Barley Rye Bushels Bushels Bushels 16,500 64,400 1,500 - -- - - - July 1927................40,986, 550 2,281,250 52 7,5 00 82,400 679,500 64,700 June 1927 .........•.... 9,077,95° 7,080,500 July 1926..............-64,028,500 3,198,250 1,055,500 I'.22,700 36,400 41,600 248,600 16,000 1,500 1,750 2,400 59;350 288,900 37,900 331,600 36,450 169,500 Flour Production During July, the first month of the 1927-28 wheat year, mills in the Tenth District which report their output to the North western Miller were operated at an average of 65.7 per cent of their full-time capacity and the month's output of fl.our was 2,014,024 barrels. During the corresponding first month of the Cattle Kansas CitY·--··········· Omaha ........................ St. Joseph .................. Denver........................ Oklahoma City .......... Wichita ...................... 136,767 82,770 39,232 15, 194 20,429 16,829 1926-27 wheat year the mills were operated at 80.5 percent of capacity and production of flour for that month was 2,481,363 barrels. The July output at the leading milling centers is here compared to that for the preceding month and the corresponding month last year: J uly 1927 Barrels Atchison............................................................ I 19,853 Kansas City............ ....................................... 522,984 Omaha.... .......................................................... 82,797 Salina................................................................ I 40,167 St. Joseph...... .................................................. 170,852 Wichita ...... .. .................................................. I 17,684 Outside.............................................................. 859,687 J une 1927 Barrels July 1926 Barrels ro7,261 593, 233 !02,489 II7,015 12 8,957 53 2 ,90 1 94,852 132,864 221,868 186,850 1,183,071 Total. ......... ...................................................... 2,014,024 2, 0 39,797 3,735 6,476 2,850 6,699 3,805 150,540 249,605 105,830 28,101 16,593 33,263 101,207 183,905 84,337 47,746 1,363 28,629 Livestock Recent developments favorably affecting the livestock industry of the Tenth District included: Gains in the condition of all classes of livestock; improvement or ranges and pastures; a remarkable decrease in the receipts of meat animals at primary markets, and generally higher levels of prices of livestock. With grass still growing and the best in years for this season there is an incentive to cattlemen to leave their cattle on the range later than usual in order to have them as fat as possible for marketing at the least expense. July receipts of cattle at the six leading markets of the District were the smallest for any montr since December 1921 and the smallest July receipts since 1921. Advance in the price of cattle to the year's high level, in June, was maintained through July and August, and prices of all classes were steady and above those in August a year ago. Sheep throughout the Rocky Mountain and Great Plains areas made slow recovery from the setback caused by the severe storms in the spring. The August reports showed lambs were fat and a little larger than usual, though this year's crop is a little smaller than that oflast year. There was also a tendency to hold lambs on the ranges, and the July movement was the smallest for any month since December. The outlook for hogs at the middle of August was brighter than at any time during the spring and summer, the market reports showing a considerable advance in average prices from the year's low point in June. According to the United States Department 2,760 4,041 33° 777 1,322 5 19 5,306 3,829 5,200 178,532 765,754 The decrease of 18.8 per cent in this year's July output, from that recorded for the same month last year, was due to an abnormally slow demand for the season. According to the reports the sluggish demand for fl.our was attributed to lack of incentive to buy for deferred shipment and in part to buyers apparently having determined to await a lower price level. Domestic sales of fl.our were well distributed, but reports indicated bakers and dealers were not anticipating their current or near future needs to any extent, and few export sales were made. THE JULY MOVEMENT OF LIVESTOCK IN THE TE TH DISTRICT STOCKERS-FEEDERS RECEIPTS Sheep Hogs Calves Cattle Sheep Calves Hogs 26,779 175,5 13 1,207 15,326 49,824 13,46o 18,134 ·5,637 Cattle 72,639 63,723 30,696 8,230 14,806 7, 175 FOR SLAUGHTER Hogs Calves Sheep 82,254 21,804 III,319 3,735 187,875 83,6o8 127,310 22,819 14,481 9,57° 663 6026, 2,051 5,921 2 ,533 3 1,57 1 69,023 4,369 i - 311 ,221 July 1927.................... June 1927.................. 349,8 17 July 1926.................... 377 ,353 7 Months 1927.. ........ 2,619,046 7. Months 1926.......... 2,644,o47 424, 195 583,93 2 496,936 787,793 608,167 463,760 65.637 357,465 5,1 46,043 3,581,173 386,174 4,95 1,9IO 3,828,376 5o,344 52,7 15 4 2,964 56,777 61,912 484,499 478,849 3,867 4,690 3,265 33,381 24,814 7,089 96,744 85,189 II,747 l 106,648 8,570 603,291 106,156 472,204 96,710 197,269 22 9,349 237,838 1,569,357 1,629,327 42,070 293,189 451,673 640,006 48,186 335,4 12 0 304,236 58,444 473, 3° 300,2Il 4,0II,390 2,289,002 333,887 3,7o7,778 2,428,846 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW of Agriculture survey the supply of hogs for fall and winter would show but little change from that reported a year ago. MOVEME TS: Receipts of meat animals at the six leading markets in the Tenth District during July were I ,3 69,692 head, a decrease of 145,255 head from the receipts in July 1926. The statistical summary shows receipts of cattle, calves, hogs and sheep during July were smaller than in the preceding month and also smaller than in July a year ago. Receipts of horses and mules at the six markets during July totaled 4,696 head, 482 more than in June and 62 less than a year ago. The countryward movement of stock and feeding livestock from the four reporting markets in this district was smaller in July than in the preceding month for all cl asses except sheep which showed a small increase. Compared with the same month last year the outgo of all classes was smaller except for a slight increase in calves. However, the returns show the countryward movement of cattle, calves, hogs and sheep was larger during the first seven months of the current year than in the corresponding period last year. MEAT PACKING: Operations at the meat packing plants slowed down during July and the slaughter of cattle, calves, hogs and sheep was smaller than in June of this year and July of last year. The slaughter of cattle for the month, as indicated by purchases by packers, was the smallest for any month since February 1924. Petroleum Production of crude oil in the fields of the Tenth District during July was at a daily rate of 1,026,300 barrels and gross production for the 31-day month was 31,812,000 barrels. This was another high daily and monthly record. It was the first month in the history of the industry in which the daily average equaled or exceeded one million barrels and a monthly total reached or passed 30 million barrels. The major part of this enormous increase was in the Seminole fields of Oklahoma, which early in August was authorized to reduce the output to 450,000 barrels per day as rapidly as it is physically possible to do so. The production record for July: *July 1927 Barrels Oklahoma ...................................................... 26,258,ooo Kansas .. .......................................................... 3,341,000 Wyoming.... .................................................. 1,883,000 Colorado........................................................ 240,000 New Mexico.................................................. 90,000 June 1927 Barrels 23,519,000 3,432,000 1,769,000 217,000 90,000 July 1926 Barrels 14,749,000 Total.. ............................................................ 31,812,ooo *Estimated American Petroleum Institute. 29,027,000 20,941,000 3,735,000 2,028,000 296,000 133,000 The summary of field operations during July shows increases over June in the number of completions and in d.iily average new production. A comparison of the July record with that of July 1926 shows that while there was a decrease of 349 wells completed during the month the daily new production was I 80,306 barrels or 149 per cent in excess of that reported a year ago from the greater number of new wells. The July fields summary: Wells Completed Oklahoma ............................ 4 2 3 Kansas .......... ...................... 163 Wyoming.---······················· 37 Colorado .............................. 4 New Mexico ........................ 6 July 1927.-........................... 633 June 1927 .. ..........!........... 522 July 1926... __··················,···· 982 7 Months 1927 ..·-··············-4,055 7 Months 1926....................5,101 Bbls. Daily New Prod'n 289,333 3,612 7,974 39° 5 301,314 214,316 121,008 1,448,886 673,759 Dry Wells 136 91 3 0 5 235 177 Gas Wells Rigs-Wells Drilling 50 1,242 6 245 262 85 122 I 0 0 57 333 43 63 1,371 1,608 397 35 1 1,956 2,025 2,551 Indications of a reduction in new development work are refl ected by the reports which show that at the end of July the number of wells drilling was 595 less than the number reported at the corresponding date last year. Reports showed daily runs of crude oil to the stills of Oklahoma and Kansas refineries in operation on August I were 285,775 barrels. This was I 9,625 barrels per day above the daily run to 67 refineries on August 1, 1926. Zinc and Lead The position of the zinc and lead industry in the Missouri, Kansas and Oklahoma Tristate district improved substantially at the close of July as a result of a better demand for ores and a strengthening of ore prices. Shipments of both classes of ores, after touching the lowest point in three years at the end of June, increased during July but were considerably smaller than tonnages shipped last year. Productior. increased with the improved market dem and for ores and several of the mines that had been shut down for several weeks were resuming operations at the beginr ing of August. The record of shipments of zinc and lead ores follows: Zinc Ore Tons Value 29,114 '$ 1,239,516 17,389 739,59 1 2,392 101,530 Lead Ore Tons Value 3,850 t, 293,986 1,155 88,905 153 11,700 1927........ 48,895 '$2,080,637 1927.... .... 34,009 1,373,684 1926........ 57,898 2,873,150 1927 ........ 391,156 '$16,705,977 1926 ........ 488,167 24,080,886 5,158 '$ 394,591 4,369 340,782 8,772 899,622 59,970 '$5,417,51 7 72,391 7,634,192 Oklahom a............................................ K ansas...... .... ...................................... Missouri................................................ 4 4 4 31 31 Weeks Weeks Weeks Weeks Weeks ending July 30, ending July 2, ending July 31, ending July 30, ending July 31, The average price paid producers for zinc ores during the week ending July 31 was $43 per ton, up $3 per ton in five weeks, $5 above the year's lowest price in the latter part of June, but $7 per ton below the price paid in the weekendingJuly31, 1926. Leadore prices advanced to 'l,8 2. 50 per ton in the week ending August 6, which compared with I I 2. 50 per ton paid during the correspondir.g week last year. There was a further advance in the price of lead ore in the first week in August. Bituminous Coal The output of soft coal at mines in six states during July was 4.8 per cent larger than in June but was 16.5 percent smaller than a year ago, as reported by the Bureau of Mines, United States Department of Commerce. Tonnages produced during the month are compared with those for the preceding month and July of last year: June 1927 Tons Colorado................................................. . Kansas...................................................... Missouri...... ................... ....................... . New l\,fexico ........................................... . Oklahoma ................................................ Wyoming ................................................. . July 1927 Tons 651,000 122,000 111,000 182,000 210,000 371,000 105,000 96,000 215,000 184,000 379,000 July 1926 Tons 666,ooo 316,000 180,000 214,000 169,000 428,000 TotaL....................................................... 1,647,000 1,571,000 1,973,000 592000, ' During the calendar year to August 6 production of soft coal in the United States was 318,778,000 tons as compared with 319,309,000 tons for the like period in 1926. Building The number and value of building permits issued in reporting cities in this district was smaller in July than in June, and something more than the usual recession in building operations at midsummer. Most of this decrease was attributed to the fact that many building projects delayed by rains and wet weather in April and May were started in June, thus making June the best building month of the year. The July building record for the re- • • THE Mo THLY porting cities compared favorably with that for the same mont h last year, showing an increase of 7.2 per cent in the number and a decrease of 5.4 per cent in the value of permits issued. Eight cities reported increases and eleven reported decreases. The reports m detail: Estimated Cost Per cent Permits Change 1927 1926 1927 1926 Albuquerque, N. M. .. .................. 69 53 $ 87,600 1, 239,300 --63.4 18 6,775 33.5 9,043 Casper, Wyo..·-······························· 12 20 12,410 Cheyenne, Wyo.. ............................ 21 34,5 10 -64.0 Colorado Springs, Colo................ . 50 50,412 69.0 85,190 52 Denver, Colo.................................. 668 46.7 506 1,511,000 1,029,850 Hutchinson, Kans.......................... 30 27,582 774.I 236,450 34 82 Joplin Mo. ...................................... 33 286,779 -67 .4 93,3 2 5 Kansas City, Kans.. ...................... 96 II8,510 151 180,353 -34.3 Kansas City, Mo............................ 491 1,690,020 -48.9 863,450 393 110 Lincoln, Nebr................................ 91 922,678 ,5.3 228,790 19,94° Muskogee, Okla.............................. I 9 5.6 18,875 15 1 33 1,459,345 Oklahoma City, Okla .................... 167 146.4 509,216 Okmulgee, Okla.............................. 6 7,000 35,500 -80.3 4 Omaha, Nebr.................................. 84 848,330 -39.I 517,000 134 1.8 106,150 104,305 91 Pueblo, Colo·- - ······························· 114 103, 135 -5o.7 St. Joseph, Mo.............................. 49 50,850 67 Topeka, Kans.................................. 108 277,088 333,015 -16.8 144 206 Tulsa, Okla...................................... 264 130.5 660,991 1,527,763 903,124 -62.7 177 335,842 Wichita, Kans ···--························· 191 Total, July ......................................2,563 2,390 '$7,546,746 $7,984,750 -5.4 Contracts awarded for building and engineering constructior. work in the Tenth District in July called for an expenditure of 17,203,236, as compared with 17,598,000 in the month of June, 21,559,000 in July 1926 and $10,688,000 in July 1925. These figures, reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, showed the United States total of contracts awarded in July was $534,389,900 as against $632,478,000 in June, $518,932,000 in July 1926 and $547,107,000 in July 1925. Lumber and Materials Reports of the ational Lumber Manufacturer's Association, covering the four weeks ending July 30, showed some expansion in the lumber movement over the preceding four weeks ending July 2, although the movement for this period was smaller than in the corresponding four weeks oflast year ending July 31. During the four week period there was an inportant increase in production, shipments and orders in the Southern Pine Association territory, indicating partial recovery in flooded areas. The lumber movement in the United States during the first thirty weeks of 1927 compared with that for the corresponding thirty, weeks in 1926, as reported by the National Lumber Manufacturer's Association for all associations, follows: Softwoods: Cut ................................................... . Shipment ........................................ . Orders .. ...................................... . Hardwoods: Cut ..... . Shipmen s ................................... . Orders ....................................... . Thirty Weeks 1927 Thirty Weeks 1926 Feet Feet 6,500,254,680 7,938,496,486 6,724,140,387 8,140,327,388 6,762,989,097 8,085,089,283 835,3 15,000 913,653,000 909,784,000 875,372,272 828,288,125 849,998,943 Sales of lumber at 187 retail yards scattered over the Tenth District were seasonally smaller in August than in the preceding month and considerably smaller than in the corresponding month last year. A comparison of the July business at these yards with that for June 1927 and July 1926 follows: July 1927 Compared to June 1927 July 1926 Sales of Lumber, board feet............................................. -5.6 -30.1 Sales of Lu mber, all mate ials, dollars............................ 1.4 -24.1 Stocks of Lumber, end of month ...................................... -2.2 -6.o g~l~::~ft!:g;~~~: ~~o:;;.~~::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::·.:::::::·.::·.·.::: -~:: ~~:: REvrnw 7 PORTLA TD CEME .. IT: The output of Portland cement at mills in the Tenth District in July was 1,203,000 barrels as against 1,262,000 barrels in June and 1,379,000 barrels in July 1926. Shipments in July were 1,289,000 barrels against 1,209,000 barrels in June and 1,429,000 barrels in July 1926. Stocks of cement at mills at the close of July were 2,197,000 barrels, compared to 2,284,000 barrels one month earlier and 1,775,000 barrels one year earlier. FACE BRICK: Production of face brick at sixty-seven plants in fifteen states, including those of the Tenth District, averaged 776 thousand brick per plant during July, while shipments averaged 78 5 thousand and unfilled orders were for 1,026 thousand. These figures indicate decreases of 4.6 per cent in shipments and 10.5 per cent in unfilled orders as compared with a year ago. Business Conditions in the United States Ind ustrial production declined in July to a level below that of a year ago, while the department of labor's indeY of wholes ale prices advanced for the first time since last autumn. Demand for bank credit showed a seasonal increase, but easy conditions prevailed in the money market. PRODUCTIO : Output of manufactures declined in July and was in practically the same volume as a year ago, and the production of minerals which was further reduced during the month was a t the lowest level since early in 1926, when the anthracite strike was iri progress. Iron and steel production in July was in the smalles t volume since 1925, and continued at practically the same Je el during the first three weeks of August. Automobile output for July and the early weeks of Augus t was considerably below that uf the corresponding month of last year. Production of rubber tires, nonferrous metals and foo<l products and activity of woolen rni1ls was smaller than in June, but continued unusually large for this season of the year. Production of leather, shoes and lumber increased in July as compared with June. Factory employment and pay rolls showed seasonal decreases in July and were smaller than in any month since 1924. Employment in coal mining has been reduced in recent months and reports indicate some unemployment in certain of the building trades owing to the decline in construction of houses. Building contract awards in July and in the first three weeks of August continued larger than a year ago, the increase reflecting chiefly a growth in awards for engineering projects. · The August I cotton report of the department of agriculture indicated a production of 13,429,000 bales, or 25 percent less than the record yield of last year. The indicated production of corn , though considerably larger than the expectation in July, was 262,000,000 bushels lower than the harvested crop of 1926. The August estimate of 851,000,000 bushels of wheat indicated an increase of 18,000,000 bushels over the 1926 crop yield. TRADE: Distribution of merchandise at wholesale and ret ail showed about the us ml seasonal decline in July. Compared with a year ago sales of wl olesale firms and department stores were slightly smaller, owing largely to the fact that there was one less business day in July of this year than in July, 1926. Sales of mail order houses and chain stores were somewhat larger than a year ago. Inventories of department stores continued to decline in July and at the end of the month were slightly smaller than a year ago; and wholesale stocks also continued smaller than last year. Shipments of commodities by freight decreased contrary to the usual seasonal trend, and were smaller in July and in the first two weeks of August than in the same period of last year. 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW PRICES: The bureau of labor statistics index of wholesale prices advanced slightly in July, reflecting chiefly increases in the prices of corn, livestock, cotton, and leather, while prices of wheat, silk, metals, and building materials declined. Since the latter part of July prices of corn, cotton, and cattle have continued upward and those of wheat, nonferrous metals and rubber have also advanced while hogs, lumber and hides have declined. BA K CREDIT: There has been an increase in the volume of commercial loans at member banks in leading cities between July 20 and August 17, as is usual at the beginning of the crop moving season. Loans on securities, as well as commercial loans increased, while investment holdings declined, a~d total loans and investments were about $60,000,000 larger than a month earlier. T otal borrowings of member banks at the reserve banks increased slightly between July 20 and August 24. There was a growth of discounts at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, partly offset by declines in other districts. There was little change in the system's holdings of acceptances and a growth in the portfolio of United States securities. Money rates on all classes of p aper in the open market declined sharply in August, and were at a lower leyel than a year ago. Discount rates at eight Federal Reserve :_banks were reduced from 4 to 3,½' percent. PEACEMT PEACENf 150 150 .501----~---+---......f---+----i PRODUCTION or MANUFACTURES AND MINERALS FACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAY ROLLS o.________.___~---~--~O 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 Index numbers.._of production of manufactures~and minerals, adjusted for seasonal variations (1923-25 average equal 100). Latest figures, July; manufactures ro7, minerals 97. PUICtNr HIICUT 200 1001-----+-----+-----1----t-------1100 50t-----t-----t-----t----t-------l50 1923 1925 192.6 19Z'T Federal Reserve Board's indexes of factory employment and payrolls (1919 equals 100). Latest figures, July; Employment 90.7, payrolls IOI.I. PERCENT !)Eflr.EHT 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 MONEY RATES WHOLESALE PRlaS o.____._____._____,___.....____,o 1925 0'-----''----~-------'----'----~O 1921 1927 Index of United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (1913 equals 100, ·base adopted by~Bureau.) Latest figures, July; All commodities, 144.6. .,,..... Commercial Po~ r Role -- N.>:Rt?serve &nit Discov11.~Rote --- Acceptance li'ute 923 t92't 1925 0 1926 1927 WeeklylR ates in New York money-market; Commrecial paper rate on 4 to 6 months paper and acceptance rate on 90 day paper •