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THE MONTHLY REVIEW OJ Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions zn the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY M. L. McCLURE, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent A M. McADAMS, Assistant Federal Reserve Agent and Secretary Vol. 12 KANSAS CITY, Mo., T HE accumulated dollar total of business in the Tenth Federal Reserve District for the first forty weeks of 1927, evidenced by debits by banks to individual accounts or payment by check, was nine-tenths of 1 percent above that for the first forty weeks of 1926. The high rate of industrial and trade activity, attained in August after a period of comparative midsummer quiet, continued through September and to the close of October. Although it was apparent there was considerable unevenness as between lines, in some instances as between branches of the same line, the combined reports of all lines showed business as a whole was moving toward the end of 1927 in about the same volume as in 1926. BUSINESS IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Statistics for September 19z7 compared with those for August 19z7 and September 19z6 in percentages of Increase or Decrease September 19z7 compared to August 19 z September 19 z6 7 General Business 2.0 - 0.3 Bank debits, z9 cities.................................... -9.0 0.005 Federal Reserve Bank Clearings.................. o.r -0.9 umber of items handled.............................. Business failures.............................................. -10.9 -5-7 -z5.z -4'l.0 Liabilities.......................................................... 13·4 - 0.7 Department st0 re sales.............................. - 3.0 - z.7 Wholesalers' sales, 6 lines.............................. -16.3 0.l Lumber sales, retail yards·-··························· Grain receipts, 5 markets 8.6 WheaL............................................................. -55.9 -38.0 - 9.3 Corn.................................................................. -II.I zo.9 Oats .... ............................................................. . Live Stock receipts, 6 markets -z5.3 Cattle................................................................ - z.7 -z7.o - 19.9 Calves.............................................................. -30.l - 1 3.9 Hogs.................................................................. - 15.9 Sheep ........................... -----··········· 55-5 Horses and Mules._......................................... - 4.7 53· 1 Industrial Output -9.z 7.z Flour._............................................................... - 8.6 43.6 Crude oil.. ........................................................ Soft Coal...... .................................................... 1.4 22.9 - 6.6 4.1 CemenL........................................................... 0.7 - 5.z Face Brick........................................................ - 1z.7 - 8.8 Zinc ore (shipped).......... ................................ -55.I Lead Ore (shipped) ..................................... . -49. 2 Meat packing, 6 centers Cattle................................................................ -11 .6 -2z.5 Calves................................................................ - 36 -5 - 3o. 7 Hogs -30.4 -rz.4 Sheep~:~~·.·.·.·::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: 3.7 -16.5 Construction 1 6 Building perm~ts, 1 8 cities•····· ······················· - 6 -4 z· Value of permits.........:·····:······························ z. 7 -z~·~ Contracts awarded, district.... ...................... 16.7 . NovEMBER 1, 1927 No. II S crops came to maturity and were ready for the harvest it became more of a certainty, from the monthly Government and State reports, farm production in this district in 1927 ~ould be greater, in both quantity and value, than in 1926. The composite figure of condition and yield of all crops in the district stood on October 1 at 3.5 points above their tenyear average as of that date, or 12.9 points higher than four months earlier and 3.7 points above the United States average. Forecasts of yields were raised month by month and on October 1 there was a promise that of fourteen important field crops nine would show larger yields than in 1926, while yields in five would be smaller. Statistical reports on the value of this year's crops were not available for all states or parts of states in this district. However, the estimated value of crops produced in Kansas, ebraska and Oklahoma as officially reported was $1 ,154,333,000 or 29.2 percent greater than the value oflast year's production in the three states. With large production and higher average prices the states of Colorado and Wyoming, the northern thirteen counties or about half of ew Mexico, and the western nineteen counties of Missouri, all included in the district area, were expected to h 1 r h. • s ow arger money returns 1or t 1s year s crops. The position of the livestock industry, next in importance to agriculture, showed further improvement, due to exceptionaliy fine condition of ranges and the feed supply, and higher average prices of meat animals. Market runs of all classes of livestock during September were smaller than is usual for that month and the slaughter at the meat packing plants was reduced. A Receipts of wheat at the primary markets were m smaller volume than during the earlier rush of new wheat to market, but the September receipts were heavier than in September 1926. Flour production increased, but the month's output was not quiet up to that of a year ago. The output of bituminous coal showed more ~han the usual seasonal increase and was larger than in September of last year. The production of crude oil was further reduced but was still greatly in excess of production at this time last year. The production and shipment of zinc and lead ores was smaller in September than in either the preceding month or the same month last year, largely the result of slow demand and weaker prices of ores. Distribution of merchandise by wholesalers to retailers was in very large volume, although not so large as in September of last year. Retail trade in some lines was checked by warm weather in the early part of the month, but improved later and in October fall trade was under way and in increasingly heavy volume. This Copy Released For Publication In Morning Newspaper October 29. THE MONTHLY REVIEW 2 BANK DEBITS 29 CITIES Financial Banking operations in this district thus far during the year closely followed the general trend of business during the same period last year. The demand for bank credit at the middle of October was seasonally heavy on account of the usual fall expansion of industry and trade. Yet, with a steady inflow of money from marketings of farm products and livestock, outstanding loans at banks were paid off with greater rapidity than new loans were made, with the result that the volume of loans at commercial banks declined slightly and was smaller than a year ago. On the other hand, larger amounts of money than at any previous time were employed in investments in government and municipal securities, in industrial stocks and bonds, and in farm mortgages. Due to this and to the heavy fall buying demand deposits were smaller than at the middle of September or a year ago, although time deposits and savings deposits increased. MEMBER BANK OPERATIONS: Sixty-five member banks of the Federal Reserve System in cities of this district reported total loans and discounts as of October 12 were 2.8 percent smaller than on September 14 apd 4.5 per cent smaller than on October 13, , 1926. I Investments of the reporting banks on October 'f 12, ~'were a(the high point ofrecord, 1.8 per centlarger than four weeks earlier and 10.2 percent larger than one year . earlier. The principal resource and liability items as reported on three separate dates are here given for purposes of comparison: Oct. 12, 1927 Total Loans and Discounts..·--·············'415,I06,ooo Secured by U. S. Obligations............ 3,923,000 t§. Secured by Other Bonds & Stocks._. 123,074,000 All Other .............................................. 288,109,000 Total Investments .................................. 214,423,000 U. S. Securities .................................... 100,889,000 Other bonds, Stocks & Securities·-··· I 13,534,000 Total loans, Discounts & Investments .. 629,529,000 Total Deposits ........................................ 654,162,000 Demand Deposit.,__ _ _ .............. 492,025 ,ooo Time Deposits._ ................................... 157,954,000 Government Deposits........................ 4,183,000 Reserve Balances with F. R. Bank...... 53,792,000 0 •· Sept. 14, 1927 Oct. 13, 1926 i426,849,ooo $434,539,000 3,877,000 4,022,000 134,194,000 113,292,000 288,778,000 317,225,000 210,615,000 194,500,000 98,633,000 101,597,000 l u,982,000 92,903,000 637,464,000 629,039,000 661,109,000 658,304,000 504, l 83,000 504,347,000 156,813,000 149,376,000 II3,ooo 4,581,000 54,946,000 54,939,000 RESERVE BANK OPERATIONS: The volume of credit extended by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches increased between September 14 and October 12, mainly the result of an upturn in the seasonal demand for commercial loans in connection with crop movements and livestock marketings. Bills rediscoun ted for mem her b~nks increased 31. 5 percent during the four-week period and the totals of October 12 stood 14.5 percent above that reported one year earlier. Holdings of acceptances based principally on commodities moving through market channels on October 5 reached the highest peak since May 11, but declined during the week ending October 12 with the total as of that date 27.4 percent above that for September 14 and 42.5 percent below that for October 13,1926. Principal resource and liabilities items contained in condition statements of the bank of the dates mentioned are here given: Oct. 12, 1927 Sept. 14, 1927 Oct. 13, 192 Gold Reserves .......................................... '/, 95,061,440 '/, 96,753,684 'I, 99,128,707 5,521,312 5,848,072 4,708,223 Reserves Other than Gold........ .. .......... Total Reserves ........................................ 100,582,752 102,601,756 103,836,930 10,936,880 Bills Discounted...................................... 12,515,796 9,520,682 7,706,743 17,072,967 Bills Purchased........................................ 9,822,310 United States Securities........................ 35,082,500 33,691,000 27,999,400 Total Bills and Securities...................... 57,420,606 50,918,425 56,009,247 Total Resources ...................................... 221,262,269 208,747,872 216,727,231 64,140,475 67,267,750 F. R. Notes in Circulation.. .................. 64,984,825 Total Deposits........................................ 98,329,855 89,513,581 91,833,224 6 Albuquerque, N. M.·- -··············· Atchison, Kans ........ Bartlesville, Okla ...... Casper, Wyo .............. Cheyenne, Wyo ............................ Colorado Springs, Colo ................ Denver, Colo.................................. Enid, Okla ...................................... Fremont, Nebr .............................. Grand Junction, Colo .................. Guthrie, Okla ................................ Hutchinson, Kans ..·-····················· Independence, Kans.-................... Joplin, Mo ..... Kansas City, Kan Kansas City, Mo ...... Lawrence, Kans ........ Lincoln, Nebr................................ Muskogee, Okla ............................ Oklahoma City, Okla.................... Okmulgee, Okla ............................ Omaha, Nebr·--··· Parsons, Kans ................................ Pittsburg, Kans ............................ Pueblo, Colo ................................ _ St. Joseph, Mo .............................. Topeka, Kans ................................ Tulsa, Okla .................................... Wichita, Kans ................................ Total Five Weeks.......................... Total Forty Weeks -----------------···· FIVE WEEKS Oct. 5, 1927 13,236,000 .,, 6,710,000 23,827,000 9,574,000 8,831,000 17,776,000 208,994,000 16,447,000 4,327,ooo 4,594,000 4,182,000 17,286,000 12,525,000 24,887,000 23,154,000 475,75 1,000 6,427,000 .,, 37,35°,000 12,740,000 l 16,221,000 9,169,000 2 39,337,000 3,7 29,000 7,151,000 21,956,000 64,717,000 23,037,000 140,201,000 68,500,000 .,, 1,622,636,000 12,659,620,000 ENDING Oct. 6, 1926 12,229,000 7,201,000 22,082,000 12,497,000 7,822,000 19,942,000 246,616,000 19,138,000 4,291,000 4,599,ooo 4,263,000 21,098,000 12,722,000 21,658,000 23,625,000 462,843,000 6,099,000 37,796,000 13,538,000 109,525,000 11,502,000 215,429,000 3,691,000 7,331,000 22,002,000 70,472,000 21,168,000 148,924,000 56,655,000 Per Cent Change 8.'.l - 6.8 7.9 -23.4 12.9 -10.9 - 15.3 -14.I o.8 - 0.1 - 1.9 -18.1 - 1.5 14.9 -'.2.0 2.8 - 5.4 l.'.l 5.9 6.1 -20.3 6.5 I.O - 2.5 -0.2 8.'.l 8.8 - 1, 1,626,758,000 12,552,n6,ooo 5.9 20.9 0.3 0.9 BANK DEBITS: Debits to individual accounts, representing payments by check at banks in twenty-nine cities in this district, aggregated'$1,622,636,ooo for twenty-nine banking days in the five weeks ending October 5. This figure indicates an increase of $31,546,000 or 2 percent over the total for the five weeks ending August 31, in which there were thirty banking days, and a decrease of $4,122,000 or three-tenths of I percent as compared with the total for twenty-nine days in the five weeks ending October 6, 1926. The summary of returns from the twenty-nine cities shows the volume of debits in twelve cities was larger and in seventeen cities smaller than for the corresponding five weeks in 1926. Debits reported by banks in the twenty-nine cities · aggregated $12,659,620,000 for the first forty weeks of 1927 as compared with $12,552,u6,ooo for the like period in 1926, increase of $107,504,000 or 0.9 percent. RESERVE BANK CLEARINGS: Clearings or check collections through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches, following the course of bank debits, showed a slight increase for September over August in amount as well as in the number of items handled. The September totals, as compared with those for the like month in 1926, showed decreases of 0.9 percent in items handled and 9.0 percent in amount. The volume for the first nine months of the current year was slightly below that for the first nine months of 1926. The totals: ITEMS 1927 1926 September ................ 5,756,209 5,807,275 August ...... ................ 5,747,325 5,734,274 Nine Months............ 51,420,225 52,260,526 AMOUNT 1927 1926 1, 933,031,000 $1,025,606,000 932,984,000 1,003,207,000 $8,503,560,000 8,596,994,000 During the month of September 3,391 banks in this district shared in this collection service of the Federal Reserve Bank. Of this number 974 were member banks and 2,417 non-member banks. { THE MONTHLY REVIEW . 3 WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES OuTSTANDtNOS (Mo. End) , COLLECTIONS Srocu (Mo. End.) Reporting Sept. 1927 Compared with Sept. 30, 1927 compared with Sept., 1927 compared with Sept. 30, I!J27 compared with Sept. 1926 Aug. 31, 1927 Sept. 30, 1926 August, 1927 September 1926 Aug. 31, 1927 Sept. 30, 1926 Stores Aug. 1927 Dry Goods .......·-···············---··· 7 -13.5 - 2.2 9.4 - 3.1 6.9 1.3 -8.6 13.0 Groceries.................................... 5 - 5.2 - 9.9 ~-9 - 6.5 -3.0 - 2.8 1.5 --1.7 Hardware.................................. 10 7.1 - 3.2 3.8 4.6 -1.8 "" ~.6 1.7 15.1 - 3.8 -4.4 - 9.0 0.5 -4.2 Furniture.................................... 4 3.7 - 4.3 Drugs_...................................... 8 4.4 13.5 6.2 8.7 5.6 9.6 ~9 1.2 -17.6 -51.9 ~-7 -57.7 38.0 -53.6 Millinery.... ................................ 4 SAVI GS: Reports of fifty-eight commercial banks and savings institutions in leading cities showed the volume of their savings deposits increased 1.9 percent between September 1 and October 1, and the total as of the later date stood 4.4 percent above that reported for October 1, 1926. The number of savings accounts in fifty-one banks increased 0.4 percent during the month and was 4.9 percent greater than a year ago. The reports in detail: Banks Oct. 1, 1927 Sept. 1, 1927 Oct. r, 1926 Denver, Colo................................ 6 '/, 48,535,4T2 $ 47,430,752 f, 48,655,358 2,783,964 2,752,320 2,715,418 Kansas City, Kan.,___ _ __.. 15,577,424 Kansas City, Mo........................ 9 16,901,971 16,657,968 Lincoln, Nebr..............................3 2,981,839 2,988,627 3,044,777 7,217,821 Oklahoma City, Okla·--·············6 7,878,807 7,859,1991 . 7,701,648 Omaha, Nebr.............................. 5 8,134,982 7,989,154 7,964,745 7,881,613 7,878,001 St. Joseph, Mo ............................6 13,825,001 Tulsa, Okla ..................................6 I 5,799,327 I 5,375,620 Wichita, Kans..............................9 5,638,681 5,468,648 l,4,923,191 Other Cities..................................4 1,084,673 1,n2,934 t 1,056,836 Total.......................................... 58 in7,672,817 '/,u5,479,933 '/,u2,664,021 The figures appearing in the foregoing are no( supposed to represent the total savings deposits and accounts of all banks in the cities. They are merely the totals for the bank reporting and are in tended to reflect the general trend- of savings. FAILURES: During_ September there were 82 business failures with liabilities aggregating $851,709 in the Tenth Federal Reserve District. This was the smallest number of failures in any month since September 1924, and the smallest monthly total of liabilities since ovember 1926. The reports further revealed September was the third consecutive month in 1927 in which the number of failures and amount of indebtedness fell below the totals for the corresponding month in 1926. The record of failures for this district for 1927 and 1926 by quarters follows: NUMBER LIABILITIES 1927 1926 •irst Quarter.................................. 385 318 Second Quarter................................ 350 320 Third Quarter.......·-·················-······ 261 296 1927 1926 f, 5,464,229 '/, 3,266,647 5,430,157 4,070,093 3,259,796 4,031,650 Three Quarters................................ 996 '/,14,154,182 '/,u,368,390 934 September failures in the United States, compiled by Federal Reserve Districts by R. G. Dun & Company, follow: DISTRICTS First, Boston ................................ Second, New York ...................... Third, Philadelphia...·-·············· Fourth, Cleveland ..................... . Fifth, Richmond.......................... Sixth, Atlanta .............................. Seventh, Chicago........................ Eighth, St. Louis ........................ inth, Minneapolis .................... TENTH, KA SAS CITY....... . Eleventh, Dallas·--·-·················· Twelfth, San Francisco .. _......... ." NUMBER 1927 1926 I 57 134 281 242 73 70 149 155 104 85 65 75 242 197 53 48 81 95 82 87 58 44 228 205 United States, Sept. ................ 1,573 United States, 9 month3 ............ 17,333 1,437 16,II I LIABILITIES 1927 1926 '/, 2,199,194 ~·f, 2,346,091 II,057,845 13,298,895 1,295,236 1,277,514 3,2n,596 1,888,576 3,740,473 1,6o4,500 1,319,183 931,909 3,251,574 2,905,412 184,9·10 548,162 535,829 1,106,200 851,709 1,139,741 1,0 53,7 15 43 1 ,900 4,083,861 2,510,917 '/, 32,786,125 t, 29,989,817 '/,396,654,570 '/,297,697,987 COLLECTIO S: The composite figure on collections by department stores during September, on amounts outstanding at the end of the preceding month, was 37.6 percent, which compares with 38.7 percent for August and 38.5 percent for September 1926. Reports on collections of other retail stores varied but slightly from those of the department stores. Wholesale firms reported collections throughout their trade territory were better than in the summer months, due to the returns from crops marketed. This improved condition was also evidenced by reports of the implement trade. Trade WHOLESALE: Distribution by wholesalers handling six lines of merchandise continued through September at about the level of August, though with two less days for business the dollar volume of sales was 2.7 percent under that for the preceding month. The reports by separate lines showed September sales of dry goods, groceries and millinery ,were smaller and sales of hardware, furniture and drugs were _larger than in August. Compared with a year ago sales of drugs showed a substantial increase while the other five lines reported decreases. Unseasonally warm weather during the first half of the month was said to have been responsible for reduced sales in some lines of trade. This was particularly the case with wholesalers of dry goods, as the hot weather kept retail merchants from buying articles for their fall and winter trade. Another reason advanced by wholesalers of dry goods was that, owing to a sharp advance in the price of cotton and in cotton goods, merchants hesitated to buy on a rising market. However, more seasonal weather in the closing days of the month stimulated trade activity in this aml other lines and orders for future delivery were reported in good volume. Hardware trade, which had been somewhat quiet during the summer, showed improvement during September, with a heavier demand from the farming sections, and for the holiday trade. The increase in sales of furniture and drugs was attributed largely to retailers stocking up for the holidays. Distributors of implement and farm machinery reported substantial increases for this time of the year in their fall business. RETAIL: Sales of retail firms reported in dollars to this bank were larger in September than in August in all lines except men's and women's clothing and furniture, these lines reporting decreases. All lines reported their September sales were smaller than in September of last year. September sales at retail stores are compared with sales for the preceding month and the same month last year in percentages 0f increase or decrease: September 1927 Compared to August 1927 Department Stores.............................................. 13.4 Retail Dry Goods................................................ 32.0 AppareL·--····-············································ -14.0 11.1 Shocs ______ ······························-··········· Furniture_·················-·········-······························ -35.7 September 1927 Compared to September 1926 ~.9 -1.5 -4.0 ~.o -4.8 September sales of department stores for the first nine months of 1927 exceeded those for the first nine months of 1926 by 2.1 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 4 RETAIL TRADE AT 37 DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES STOCKS (RETAIL) OUTSTANDING ORD ERS ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE COLLECTIONS Sept. 1927 9 Months 1927 Sept. 30, 1927 compared to Sept.30, 1927 compared to Sept.30, 1927 compared to Sept. 1927 compared to Stores compared to compared to Aug.31, Sept.30, Aug. 31, Sept.30, Aug.31 , Sept.30, Aug. Sept. 1927 1926 1927 1926 1927 1926 1927 1926 Reporting Sept. 1926 9 Months 1926 Kansas CitY··-·············· 4 4.7 -3.6 5.4 2.5 - 8.9 --20.9 12.2 -1.8 -6.6 -3.8 Denver.·-······-······-······ 5 --2.4 o.8 4.8 0.5 - 16.7 --20.3 5.2 1.2 2.8 -0.1 Wichita ........ - - - - 3 2.6 8.4 3.3 10.5 -32.0 - 31.0 16.2 23.0 5.3 8.2 Oklahoma CitY·-··········· 3 14.1 13.2 u.8 15.9 -37.1 -14.2 12.8 32.7 --o.8 16.1 Omaha........- - - - 4 6.5 --2.9 16.9 II.I -3.3 -1.3 -4.9 12.5 Lincoln .......·-··-············ 3 --2.4 1.8 5.3 -6.6 -16.9 --23.5 13.8 0.2 Even 0.5 Tulsa ............ _ _ _ J 6.2 12.0 14.0 8.3 -18.3 17.3 19.0 6.6 7.3 17.5 Other Cities .•.....·-········ 12 -8.o -2.7 9.2 -4.3 5.3 -5.1 4,5 1.6 Total... ........................... 37 -0.7 2.1 7.5 2.8 - 16.2 -17.5 7.1 3.9 0.3 3.6 NOTE: Percentage of collections in September on outstanding accounts August 31, all stores reporting, 37.6% . Collections same month last year 38.5%. percent. The volume of sales for the month was larger at thirteen stores and smaller at twenty-four stores than in the same month last year. During the early part of Septem her retail!'trade was affected adversely by unseason ally warm weather. This was noticeable in the smaller sales of heavier clothing and house furnishings for the winter. With the return of cooler weather in the last half of the month there was a noticeable increase in retail trade activity. Stocks of merchandise carried by department stores and shoe stores increased during the month and were larger than at the close of September 1926. Stocks at men's and women's apparel stores increased but were smaller than a year ago. At retail furniture stores there was a noticeable reduction in stocks during the month and the total at its close was smaller than a year ago. The Crops The crop reporting board of the United States Department of Agriculture, in its review of crop conditions as of October 1, placed the composite of the condition or yields of all farm crops at 103.5 per cent of the ten-year average on that date for the seven states whose areas or parts form the Tenth District. The percentages in the table which follows indicate a marked change from the very unpromising crop prospect of the early summer. For growing crops the base of 100 percent is the ten-year average condition, while for harvested crops the base is the ten-year average yield per acre: June 1 Colorado .............. _ __ 84.9 Kansas............................................. . 86.1 Missouri ............................................ 99.8 · rebras 1·a.. ....................................... . 109.5 New Mexico................................... . 66.2 Oklahoma ....................................... . 76.7 Wyoming ......................................... . 96.0 Seven States.................................... United StateS-............'.................... 90.9 96.2 July I 93.8 96.6 85.8 103·3 84.2 89.6 99.8 93.5 96.5 98.7 88.6 110,2 86.I 97.6 Sept. I 102.6 108.5 91.8 1'21.0 lOI.4 94.5 10 5·9 107.5 105.9 98.1 99.0 103.6 98.1 103.5 99.8 Aug. l 95· 2 Oct. I 102.6 107.8 95.4 I 19.2 99.o 9 2 ·9 PRODUCTION AND VALUE: The government and State crop reports as of October I forecast yields of nine leading crops grown in this district would be larger than in 1926, while smaller yields in five crops were indicated. Estimates for Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma indicated the value of this year's crops would be greater than in 1926. The total value for the three states on :field crops, exclusive of horticultural products and livestock and products, was $1,154,333,000 as compared with $892,944,000 for 1926, an increase of $261,389,000 or 29.2 percent. The Secretary of the Kansas State Board of Agriculture estimated the money value of this year's field and orchard crops, livestock sold and slaughtered on farms, dairy and poultry products would aggregate $542,155,718, as compared with $496,488,858 for last year. With the exception of the three war years, 191~, 1919, and 1920, the aggregate money...:,returns to t Kansas producers was never so~high as this year. The preliminary estimate by the State and Federa(Division of Agricµltural Statistics for Nebraska showed 1927 was the best all around crop year in that state's history. Yields of all leading crops were larger than those of last year, with the exception of a decrease of 16,000 bushels in the estimated crop of spring wheat. With this exceptionally large production, the value of the state's crops, exclusive of livestock, poultry, dairy and horticultural products, was estimated at $436,153,000, an increase of $166,987000 or 62 per cent over the value of 1926 crops. Oklahoma's cotton crop, as officialy estimated, is much smaller than that of last year, although in the production of other crops the state has made a very fine showing. The combined value of fourteen field crops was placed at $324,724,000, an increase of $21,981,ooo or 7.2 per cent over the value of 1926 crops. Missouri crops made substantial improvement during August and September and the October showing was far better for the entire state than was believed possible last June, and the final outturn is expected to exceed in money value that of last year. In the nineteen counties along the western border of that state, which are a part of this Federal Reserve District, this year's yields are reported as generally good. Colorado and Wyoming reported 1927 the "banner" year for farm production, with both yields and values running ahead of last year. In the thirteen counties of New Mexico, constituting the northern half of that state, yields average up to those of the preceding year. CORN: The reports based on the October condition indicated an increase during September of 19,382,000 bushels in the production of corn in this district, carrying the estimated total to FARM PRODUCTION IN THE TENTH DISTRICT Estimated Yields in Fourteen Important Crops on October I Compared with Final Totals for Last Year. Forecast Final October Est. 1926 Corn, bushels ................................ _ __ 588,877,000 308,674,000 Winter wheat, bushels ..............................- .... 240,616,000 283,469,000 Spring wheat, bushels................................... . 1'2,929,000 10,050,000 2 93,5 1 9,000 All wheat, bushels ......................................... . 2 53,545,000 Oats, bushels .................................................... I 40,323,000 143,132,000 Barley, bushels ............................................... . 30,516,000 20,687,000 Rye, bushels ................................................... . 7,082,000 5,430,000 26,452,000 35,105,000 White potatoes, bus hels.--····························· Sweet potatoes, bushels................................. . 3,219,coo 3,344,000 Grain sorghums, bushels ............................... . 82,444,000 53,831,000 Cotton, bales ................................................... . 922,000 1,689,000 3,286,000 3,182,000 Tobacco, pounds·-··········································· Sugar beets, tons ........................................... . 4,264,000 3,625,000 Broom corn, tons ........................................... . 2 5, 1 55 33,500 Tame hay, tons.-............................................ . 1 4,393,000 11,894,000 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 588,877,000 bushels as compared with 570,200,000 bushels forecast on September 1, and 308,674,000 bushels as the final estim ate for 1926. There were substantial gains during September in Nebraska and Missouri and a small gain in Wyoming, with small losses in Colorado, Kansas and Oklahom a. Estimated yields for October, together with those a month earlier and a year ago follow: October I 1927 23,886,000 171,234,000 161,441,000 281,952,000 3,587,000 75,534,000 3,940,000 September I 1927 24,852,000 171,693,000 I 53,055,000 '.261,446,000 3,587,000 78,200,000 3,768,000 Final 1926 10,472,000 59, 299,000 176,ou,ooo 139,407,000 4,420,000 61,178,000 3,940,000 Seven States .......... - - ~ - 721,574,000 Tenth DistricL ......... _ _ _ 588,877,000 United States .............................. 2,603,437,000 •October Mid-Month Estimate 696,601,000 570,200,000 2,456,561,000 454,727,000 308,674,000 2,646,853,000 Colorado ............................... ,..... . Kansas ......................................... . Missouri ........................................ Nebraska ......................................* New Mexico ............................... . Oklahoma ............ _ __ Wyoming..................................... . The unusually hot weather in the early half of September was beneficial to corn, although in many sections it caused premature ripening. This to a great extent was checked by_ rains and cooler weather in the latter part of the month, and with the advent of the first frosts in October the reports indicated there would be a much smaller percent of soft corn than growers two to four weeks earlier had reason to expect. 1 • HAY A ~n PASTURES: Reports generally agree that this year's crop of tame hay is one of the largest ever harvested in this district, October estimates indicating the probable production would be around 14,500,000 tons as compared with II,894,000 tons harvested last year. In addition to this large hay crop grass on ranges and pastures has been the best in years, and with prospects of excellent grazing and an abundance of food to carry livestock through the winter. OTHER LA TE CROPS: Reports from Colorado, ebraska and Wyoming indicated total production of 3,625,000 tons of sugar beets, as compared wi th 4,264,000 tons produced in 1926. Yields per acre generally were reported higher than last year. Oklahoma and Kansas, the two principal broom corn states, reported an estimated production of 25,155 tons, as compared with 33,500 tons produced last year. This smaller production was also the result of a reduction in the acreage planted. The crop of grain sorghums in the states of Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska and Oklahoma was estimated at 82,444,000 bushels, probably the largest crop ever grown in these states, and comparing with 53,831,000 bushels produced last year. COTTO : The October I forecast was for a United States cotton crop of 12,678,000 bales, 14,000 bales below the forecast of a month ago, or approximately 5,300,000 bales below production last year. The condition of the crop as of October 1 was 54.2 percent as compared with the ten-year average of 53.7 percent. During September prospects for cotton improved substantially in Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Arkansas, where warm and fairly dry weather prevailed duriri.g most of September, but improved prospects in t hese states are more than offset by losses from insects and rai·ns in Oklahoma and Texas and by heavy damage from the boll weevil in the Carolinas. In Oklahoma ther<.: was a reduction of 35,000 bales from the estimate of 1,025,000 bales a month earlier, which brought the total for this year to 990,000 bales as compared with 1,772,784 bales produced in 1926. In New Mexico the estimate was for 70,000 bales as compared with 75,000 bales last year and Missouri's prospect was for 100,000 bales against 218,000 bales produced in 1926. Grain.. Movements The early rush of new wheat to primary markets during July and August had subsided to an:extent by 'the openeing of September and arrivals during the month were smaller, with the price range somewhat above that for the corresponding month last year. Reports from five primary markets in this district showed September receipts of wheat were 55.9 percent less th :m in August, but 8.6 percent greater than in September 1926. Receipts of corn at these markets were smaller in Septem her than in either August of this year of September of last year. Receipts of oats for the month fell below those for August, but exceeded the total for September 1926 by 20.9 percent, while receipts of both rye and barley showed increases over both months with which comparison is made. The returns from five markets follow: Hutchinson .. Kansas City Omaha .......... St. Joseph·-··· Wichita·--····· Corn Wheat Bushels Bushels ~ .,6,250 1,084,050 756,000 7,483,000 3,969,600 1,227,800 977,200 57 1 ,500 22,800 1,479,600 ept. 1927••···· 14,993,45° Aug. 1927...... 34,031,600 Sept. 1926. __ . 13,799,800 9 Mo. 1927.... 141,977,850 9 Mo. 1926 .... 147,424,900 2,584,35° 4,169,250 2,850,600 35,186,650 38,578,500 Oats Bushels 1,500 504,000 858,000 166,000 24,000 Barley Kafir Rye Bushels Bushels B..ishels 1,200 ................ 26,000 51 ,000 310,~oo 79,200 324,800 512,000 ················ 1,500 3,500 ···········•···· 1,200 1,200 1,200 - - - - - - -- - 1,553,5 00 379,700 827,100 106,400 1,746,500 345,400 617,750 332,6oo 1,285,500 266,800 86,050 149,000 8,967,500 1,308,900 1,736,650 3,839,800 II,307,000 1,255,500 601,700 3,174,900 Flour Production During the month of September flour mills in this district were operated at an average rate of 73 .7 percent of their full time capacity, compared with 67.2 percent in August and 82.8 percent in September 1926. The September figure indicated a higher rate of operation than in any previous month since November 1926, when the mills were operated at 78 percent of their full time capacity. The output of flour from these mills during the month was larger by I 54,271 barrels or 7.2 percent than in August, but 234,065 barrels or 9.2 percent smaller than for Septem ber 1926. Production of flour at leading milling centers in the district, as compiled from weekly reports to the orthwesten Miller, is here shown for September with totals for the preceding month and the same month last year for comparison: Atchison ................................................... . Kansas City........................................... . Omaha ..................................................... . Salina ....................................................... . St. Joseph ............................................... . Wichita ................................................... . Out ide ................................................... . Sept. 1927 Barrels 125,089 67 2 ,797 103,9 1 9 185,768 171,603 183,488 868,548 Aug. 1917 Barrels 123,277 577,398 106,754 157,416 144,141 175,443 872,512 Sept. 1916 Barrels 114,598 630,33 z 102,q7 135,153 172,786 21 9,559 1,170,702 TotaL ....................................................... 2,311,212 2,156,941 2,545,277 The returns of reporting mills for the first nine months fo 1927 disclosed that mon th by month production was more uniform than in any previous year ince 1920. The total output for the nine months of the calendar year was 18,814,271 barrels, 951,522 barrels or 5.4 percent more flour than the same mills produced in 1926. An important feature of the milling situation was an increase in the weekly capacity of Kansas City mills to 9'11 ,500 barrels, early in October, with the output for the week en:iing October 15 totaling 174,333 barrels, the largest weekly total of record for this city. 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Live Stock Meat Packing October reports indicated livestock in the Tenth District and all through the great producing regions west of the Mississippi River were in average condition for the fall season. Prospects were good for winter pastures and for plenty of feed. Prices of hogs showed further gains. With such favorable conditions stockmen generally were reported as somewhat optimistic. r The cattle industry was reported as in a more satisfactory position than at any other time since the two years immediately following the World War. It appeared from the reports fewer cattle were on pastures and ranges than a year ago. There was a tendency to restock herds with resultant strong demand for good breeding stock. The sheep industry was regarded as in favorable position. Some losses were sustained as a result of May storms in the mountain regions, though lambs marketed during the fall were quite heavy, due to excellent summer ranges. There was a good demand for breeding stock, and young breeding ewes in the mountain sections were bringing as high as $13. The hog situation showed some improvement in recent weeks. With market prices firm and a very large corn crop in sight there was added encouragement to this branch of the livestock industry. Due to smaller market supplies during September, purchases by packers of cattle and calves for slaughter were the smallest for any September since 1921. Purchases of hogs for slaughter were the smallest for September .on records dating back to 1918. The slaughter of sheep during the month, as indicated by packers' purchases, was the largest since September 1926. The returns on packers' purchases during the first nine months of 1927 show decreases from the previous year's record of 5.5 percent in cattle, 10.3 percent in calves, 6.9 percent in sheep, and an increase of 6.4 percent in hogs. Packers reported a distinct improvement during September in the pork division of the wholesale meat trade, while the market for dressed beef and mutton was steady to a little higher on the better grades throughout the month. Stocks of pork and lard in store at Kansas City at the close of business September 30 were 32,732,300 pounds, as compared to 39,820,200 pounds on August 31 and 24,567,300 pounds on September 30, 1926. MARKET MOVEMENTS:] September receipts of all classes of livestock, except sheep, were markedly smaller than those for August and the month's receipts of all classes were smaller than those for September, 1926. The combined reports from the six leading markets in the district showed September runs of cattle and calves were the smallest for any September on record since 1918, while fewer hogs came to these markets during the month than in any previous September since 1920. Arrivals of sheep during the month were in larger numbers than in any preceding month since October, 1926. Reports from the six markets showed receipts of 12,107 horses and mules for September as compared with 12,705 in September 1926. STOCKER AND FEEDER SHIPMENTS: Reports from four markets showed an active demand for stock and feeding livestock during September and October. It was noted that a v.ery large proportion of the fall run of cattle was purchased as feeders and shipped to the western Corn Belt states. Shipments of sheep to the country from these markets was 125.7 percent larger than in August and 0.1 percent larger than a year ago. During the nine months of 1927, for which returns are complete shipments of stocker and feeder cattle to the country were 8.8 percent smaller than for the like period in 1926, but countryward shipments of calves were 23.6 percent larger, of sheep 8.1 percent larger and of hog(o.9 percent larger than for the ninemonth period in 1926. Cattle ·Kansas City.............................. 209,543 Omaha............... ·-······················ 124,809 St. Joseph .................................. 48,694 Denver._ ..................................... 36,749 Oklahoma City ........................ 30,264 Wichita ...................................... 23,834 September 1927........................ 473,893 August 1927.............................. 486,825 September 1926........................ 634,757 SEPTEMBER MOVEMENT OF RECEIPTS Calves Hogs Sheep 13 1,439 43,51:2 219,691 138,097 9,223 429,328 7,825 78,007 121,546 26,476 248,212 4,397 21 ,557 7,891 2,370 5,181 20,432 34,857 -----78,029 97,38 1 106,873 430,433 616,215 499,762 1, 0 4 1,579 669,713 1,239,040 inc Months 1927....................3,579,764 532,875 Nine Months 1926.................... 3,760,802 596,874 6,192,691 5,292,465 6,052,652 5,788,621 Soft Coal Operations at the bituminous coal mines in this district increased during September and, notwithstanding there were two less working days during the month, the output exceeded that for August by nearly one-half million tons, or 22.9 percent. For the nine months of the year the output was 19,729,000 tons, a decrease of 320,000 tons or 1.6 percent as compared with the total for the first nine months of 1926. The output in each of the six producing states for September, together with that for-the preceding month and September 1926, follows. Colorado ................... _ _ __ Kansas ..................................................... . Missouri.. .................................................. New Mexico ..................... _ __ Oklahoma ............................................... . Wyoming......................... ·-····················· Total........................................................ *Estimated. *Sept. 1927 Tons 1,061,000 219,000 199,000 264,000 299,000 630,000 Aug. 1927 Tons 86o,ooo 180,000 163,000 247,000 246,000 479,000 Sept. 1926 Tons 941,000 2,672,000 2,175,000 2,635,000 390,ooo 228,000 233,000 Estimated United States bituminous coal production, including beehive coal coked, totaled 403,514,000 tons for the calander year to October 8, against 420,494,000 tons for the like period in 1926. Zinc and Lead Weekly reports from the zinc and lead mines in Missouri, Kansas and Oklahoma indicated less activity in September than in either the preceding month or the corresponding month last year. While a part of the decline in ore shipments from August undoubtedly was due to the loss of one working day by the observ- LIVE STOCK IN THE TENTH DISTRICT STOCKERS AND FEEDERS Cattle Calves Hogs Sheep Cattle 8,257 85,559 101,559 4,79 2 73,53 1 50,101 881 272,744 67,303 13,472 1,261 1,457 32,475 42,555 17,94 1 1,326 1,124 169,587 10,574 20,635 --- --- --- --167,073 107,079 241,849 10,844 7, 249 11,462 14,827 557,6 17 758,651 831,816 51,474 41,656 121,462 120,345 1,409,155 1,303,622 8,254 7,05 2 558,4 17 247,447 8,339 240,885 272,490 310,650 PACKERS PURCHASES Calves Hogs 23, 175 97,159 6,247 97,497 5,97 2 55,65 1 2,740 16,713 16,725 31,162 6,750 2,576 -----47,460 74,74° 68,463 2,082,732 422,411 2,203,508 471,173 Sheep 130,550 142,96o 76,673 18,912 894 2,465 314,907 452,468 372,454 359,392 446,084 359,250 4,778,765 3,020,706 4,490,576 3,246,748