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THE MONTHLY REVIEW Of Agricultural, Industrial, Trade, and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL Vol. 22 RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS KANSAS CITY, M1ssouRI, MAY r, 1937 T HE agricultural situation in the Tenth District early this spring appears to be, on the whole, more favorable than in several years. Farmers have been encouraged by rising prices of farm products, grain and live stock prices reaching the highest general level in seven years or more. Despite relatively small marketings of grains and live stock, cash farm income from these sources, augmented by Government payments, was about 10 per cent greater in the first two months of 1937 than in the first two months of 1936. Moisture supplies, while still inadequate in those areas where drought conditions were most severe last summer and fall, have been above normal so far this year. Winter wheat was in fairly satisfactory condition in the principal producing areas of the District. Prospects for irrigation water are good. Unfavorable factors include low temperatures in March that retarded growth of winter wheat and pastures, thus further accentuating the severity of the feed grain shortage. Sharply fewer cattle than a year ago were on feed for market on April I this year and rapidly advancing feed grain prices have resulted in unfavorable live stock feeding ratios. Ranges and pastures show the cumulative effect of several years of drought and overgrazing although cattle pastures in the Blue Stem section of Kansas and the Osage section of Oklahoma were commanding the highest lease prices since 1931. Farm work was backward as a result of the cold weather. The delay in seeding oats may result in some increase in corn acreage. Business activity in the District showed considerable expansion in March as indicated by gains of 22 per cent in the volume of payments by check, of 20 per cent in wholesalers' sales, and of 30 per cent in department store sales. However, department store sales showed less than the usual seasonal increase in view of the early date of Easter this year. Value of construction contracts awarded declined but there was a substantial further increase in building permits in reporting cities, accompanied by an increase in retail sales of lumber. Production of bituminous coal declined but output of flour and crude petroleum continued to increase. Output of coal was the largest for March since 1927 while the production of flour and crude petroleum reached a new high level for March. Shipments of zinc and lead also increased. Operations at meat packing plants increased seasonally, the slaughter of cattle and calves exceeding the March ten-year average. CITY No. 5 BUSINESS IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT March 1937 3 Mos. 1937 compared with compared with Feb. 1937 Mar. 1936 3 Mos. 1936 Banking ~ c e n t increase or decrease) Payments by check, 30 cities.................... +21.6 +2.0.4 +15.4 Federal Reserve Bank check collections.. +28.3 +16.3 +7.7 Business failures, number.......................... +64.5 +8.5 -20.6 Business failures, liabilities........................ +72.1 -54.5 -38.2 Loans, 51 member banks·--······················· +3.2 +16.2 Investments, 51 member banks................ -3.6 +7.9 Adjusted dem. deps., 51 member banks.. -o.6 +10.4 Time deposits, 51 member banks·---······· +0.1 +0.7 Savings deposits, 45 selected banks·-······· +0.1 +3.7 Savings accounts, 45 selected banks........ -o.6 +x.3 Distribution Wholesalers' sales, 1 5 lines combined ..... . + 19.5 +10.7 +11.7 Retailers' sales, 37 department stores.-.. . +30.3 +11.1 +8.3 Lumber sales, 157 retail yards ................. . +28.9 -5.2 - 13.3 +1.0 Life insurance, written·--··························· + 27.3 +9.3 Construction -20.6 Building contracts awarded, value·-··-····· -6.9 +5.8 Residential contracts awarded, value ... .. . +51.7 +84.6 +50.6 Building permits in 18 cities, value·-······· +78.9 +69.8 +9.2 Production +26.1 +n.8 Flour ·-························································· +16.1 +20.9 + 1 9.3 Crude petroleum·-······································· +n.9 Bituminous coal.. ...................·---····· -6.6 +51.2. +15.1 Zinc ore (shipped) Tri-State district....... . +10.3 +7.8 +3.8 Lead ore (shipped) Tri-State district...... +14.4 +4 2·9 +55·2 Grain receipts, 5 markets Wheat._ ........................................................ . + 27.3 +3.6 +H Corn .............................................................. +s.6 -49. 1 -36.3 +6.o -l4.5 + 1 3.4 Oats·---···································----· Rye ............................................................... . +361.5 -48.2 -42.3 -65.7 -69.5 BarleY- - - - · · · · ·································· +n6.3 Kafir............................................... .............. . -10.9 -59.6 -39.8 Live stock receipts, 6 markets -1.3 -7.1 Ca t t l e . · - - - - - - · - - +34.5 Calves. __ ········ ........................... +30.0 + 23.9 +19.9 Hogs.................................. _ _ __ -15.0 -2.5 - 14.4 Sheep.......................................... _ __ +16.1 +o.8 -4.5 Stocker and feeder shipments, 4 markets Cattle.. ......................................................... . +71.2 -1.4 +0.9 +37.0 +39.3 Calves·--······················································· +87.5 Hogs ...................... ...................................... +91.6 -21.6 + 13.9 Sheep............... . -l9.7 + 1 9.4 + 25·3 Meat packing, 6 markets Cattle .......................................................... . + 1 7.5 -8.2 -1.4 +12.1 +18.9 Calves·--····················-·································· +16.8 Hogs........................................... .................. . -2..1 -8.6 -8.5 Sheep .......................... _ _ __ +22.6 +8.2 +5.2 Member Bank Operations Loans and investments of weekly reporting banks in the Tenth District declined further during the five weeks ended April 7, reflecting principally a further decrease in holdings of United States Government obligations. Holdings of direct obligations on April 7, although $13,353,000 larger than a year ago, showed a decrease of nearly that amount for the five weeks and had declined '$2 I ,304,000 since the middle of January. The rather active liquidation which was under way around the middle of March was apparently halted, however, early in April when holdings of Government securities showed a small increase. Volume of commercial loans continued to expand and on April 7 was above last year's high level reached on December 30. Security loans, which had shown little change in recent months, increased during March. Following the increase in reserve requirements effective March I, reserve balances of reporting banks reached a new high level of $164,014,000 on March 10. Since that date, reserves declined, dropping back to near the figure }or March '2 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 3. Demand and United States Government deposits decreased Bank Debits and there was a substantia] decline in bank balances. At the end of March, demand and inter-bank deposits were at the lowest level of this year. The principal items of the consolidated weekly condition statements of fifty-one reporting member banks: Debits to individual accounts by banks in reporting centers increased by somewhat more than the usual seasonal amount in March, rising 20 per cent above the total for March of last year. Payments by check for the first quarter of 1937 showed an increase of about 15 per cent over the same period in 1936. Debits to individual accounts by banks in thirty Tenth District cities: Change from Mar. 3 Apr. 8 1937 1936 thousan~f dollars_)_ 693,553 -8,540 +67,416 Apr. 7 1937 On Loans and investments-totaL .................... Loans and discounts Secured by stocks a11d bonds .................... All other loans and discounts.................... Investments U. S. Government direct obligations·-- ··· Oblig. fully guaranteed by U. S. Govt... Other securitie~---- - Reserve with F. R. Bank .............................. Demand deposits-adjusted .... ...................... Time deposits ...... - - -- ······················· U.S. Government deposits ............................ Inter-bank deposits ........................................ 55, 2 4 2 197,648 257,982 44,76 1 137,920 156,179 477,143 145,846 5,389 372,280 -12,849 -3,oo3 +13,353 +2,341 +16,452 -535 +3,556 -3,065 +52,9 2 5 +45,106 +132 -1,420 -I'.2.,543 +1,031 - 13,053 +22,872 Reserve Bank Operations Principal changes from March 3 to April 7 in the weekly condition statements of this bank included a reduction in holdings of United States Government securities and further additions to member banks' reserve deposits. In the week ended April 7, holdings of Government securities were reduced by about 4 per cent, reflecting an adjustment in the amount of this bank's participation in the Government securities holdings of the Federal Reserve System. Holdings of Treasury notes declined $8,818,500 and Treasury bills $746,000, these decreases being offset in part by an increase of '$5,077,500 in holdings of Government bonds. Member bank reserve balances rose about 4 per cent during the five weeks although reserves on April 7 were slightly below the high level reached on March 10. The first half of the recent increase in reserve requirements went into effect on March I, the remaining half to become effective May 1. The principal items of the weekly condition statements of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches: Ch:1nge from Apr. 7 Mar. 3 Apr. 8 1937 1937 1936 thousan~f dollars_)_ Total reserves ................ _ _ _ _ _ 280,623 +10,320 +58,917 Bills discounted·----························· 190 -136 -190 Bills purchased................................................ 87 -46 Industrial advances.......... _ __ _ 714 -19 -450 Commitments to make industrial advances 139 -14 -5II U.S. Government securitie._ _ __ _ _ I22,II4 -4,487 +5,270 Total resources ... ·----······················ 441,645 +2,829 +68,434 F. R. notes in circulation ........ _ _ _ _ 160,354 -60 +15,426 Member banks' reserve deposits.................. 232,288 +8,231 +72,016 The discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, on all classes of paper and all maturities under Sections 13 and 13a of the Federal Reserve Act, remained unchanged at 2 per cent, this rate having been in effect since May 10, 1935. On Check collections through this bank and branches, following a less than seasonal decrease in February, showed a greater than seasonal increase during March. Dollar volume in March was about 16 per cent and in the first quarter of the year nearly 8 per cent greater than a year ago. Check collections through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches: hEMS ~ March._ ............ . February.......... Three months.. 6,700 5,220 17,34 2 AMOUNT 1936 1937 thousands_)_ 6,109 $1,069,392 5,05 1 833,489 16,873 2,847,6t 4 On 1936 $ 9 19,545 794,955 2,643,719 Change from Feb. 19.17 Mar. 1936 (In thousands of dollars) 13,943 +1,358 +3,485 3,716 +440 +773 31,205 +8,196 +8,453 5,180 +563 +444 8,938 +2,191 +2,009 20,301 +3,741 +5,489 191,091 +29,899 +.11,281 3,270 +466 +128 10,380 +2,600 +1,957 2,804 +728 -132 4,107 +986 +1,371 1,837 +3 +9 2 12,753 +876 + 2,737 . 2,898 +353 +580 n,346 + 2,237 +1,987 14,888 +2.010 +3,8{n 327,435 +51,708 +45,48l 3,883 +484 + 2 :3 30,720 +7,392 +3,727 8,255 +1,182 +258 II7,937 +27,5 17 +2 5, 2 35 3,578 +1,II4 +483 163,021 +25,520 +14,978 4,483 +845 +47 2 19,189 +3,064 +6,876 9,434 +898 +2,326 27,639 +3, 151 +559 17,359 + 1, 159 + 1,787 158,915 +37,620 +41,461 51,975 +9, 28° +9,074 Mar. 19.17 Albuquerque, N. M.·--··············· Atchison, Kans.·-- - ····················· Bartlesville, Okla.·--··················· Casper, Wyo.·-- ···········-··············· Cheyenne, Wyo ........................... Colorado Springs, Colo.·--········· Denver, Colo ............................... Emporia, Kans .._. ...................... . Enid, Okla .................. ·····-··········Fremon t, Nebr.._......................... Grand Junction, Colo ......... -....... Guthtie, Okla.·-···············-··········· Hutchinson, Kans ...................... Independence, Kans ... ................ Joplin, Mo ... ·-·-····· ··········-········-·· Kansas City, Kans ..................... Kansas City, Mo .............·-·········· Lawrence, Kans.·-············-·········· Lincoln, Nebr.·--························· Muskogee, Okla.·-·-······-··-··········· Oklahoma City, Okla ................. Okmulgee, Okla .......................... . Omaha, Nebr•···-···········-······-··-···· Pittsburg, Kans ......... ................. . Pueblo, Colo ..__············-·············· Salina, Kans.·-·············-·-············· St. Joseph, Mo .._.................. ..... . Topeka, Kans.·- - ········· .............. . Tu Isa, Okla.·-·-··-···········-········...... Wichita, Kans ............. ············-·· District, 30 cities ....................... . United States, 141 cities ............ 1,282,480 42,003,030 +227,581 +7,476,735 +217,541 +4,507,502 Trade DEPARTMENT STORE SALES: Department store sales in the Tenth District showed less than the usual seasonal increase from February to March when allowance is made for the early date of Easter. March weather was generally unfavorable for the movement of spring merchandise, the increase in dollar volume amounting to about 30 per cent as compared with an increase of 40 per cent in 1934 when Easter was also early. However, the general level of sales has increased considerably during the past three years and retail prices have advanced. March sales were about 11 per cent greater than a year ago and in most cities the month had one more business day this year than last. As a result of the large March gain over last year, total sales for the first three months of 1937 were about 8 per cent larger than in the same period in 1936. Retail prices, although tending to rise less than wholesale quotations, continued the uninterrupted advance which began on August I of last year, according to the Fairchild Retail Price Index. Prices gained almost one per cent from M::i.rch I to April I, at which time the index stood at a level about 7 per cent above a year ago and about 36 per cent above the low point reached on May 1, 1933. However, present prices are yet 20 per cent below the level of November, 1929. Stocks of merchandise increased further during March and at the close of the month were about 14 per cent larger than on March 31, 1936. Inventories were the largest for the March· 31 date since 1932. Collections on open accounts averaged THE MONTHLY REVIEW 46.3 per cent of receivables in March, 43.8 per cent in February, and 44.0 per cent a year ago. Installment collections averaged 15.8 per cent in March as compared with 14.4 per cent in February and 16.5 per cent in March of last year. Department store sales and stocks in leading cities of the District: SALES STOCKS Number Mar. 1937 3 Mos. 1937 Mar. 31, 1937 of compared to compared t.o compared to Stores Mar. 1936 3 Mos. 1936 Feb.28,1937 Mar.31,1936 (Per cent increase or decrease) Denver______________ 4 +9.6 +10.3 +11.9 + 1 5.4 Kansas City ____ 4 +10.8 +1.8 + 17.7 + 13.7 OkJahoma City 3 +14.0 +4.6 +5.1 +4.4 Omaha ____ __________ -2.6 3 Tulsa. ______________ +2.2 +22.5 +12.7 +13.1 3 Wichita ___________ +13.2 +11.9 +4.6 +9.1 3 Other cities ...... 17 +14.8 +14.9 +4.6 +3.9 District.___________ 37 +II.I +s.3 +5.9 + 1 3.5 RETAIL SALES: Dollar volume of March sales of independent retail stores in the District, without adjustment for the extra business <lay this year, generally showed an increase over sales for March of last year. Increases were most noticeable at apparel, country general, department, and grocery stores, while sales of lumber and building material dealers and at drug stores generally showed only a small increase. In about half of the states in the District, retail hardware sales were less than in March a year ago. Sales of independent retail stores, by states, reported by the Department of Commerce: March 1937 per cent change from March 1936 Colo.-Wyo. Kans. Mo. Nebr. Okla AppareL________ + 29.0 +16.1 +20.3 -0.9 +8.1 Country general______________ +5.5 +8.9 +10.8 +9.2 +19.4 Department______________________ +0.2 +22.0 +16.7 +II.5 +14.9 Drug__________________________________ +0.4 +0.2 +0.5 -3.2 +0.7 Grocery_ _ _ _ _ +14.8 +10.6 +II.4 +6.4 +10.3 Hardware____ _____________________ +24.3 +1.6 -1.9 -6.o -18.6 Lumber and materials.... +18.7 +3.2 +2.1 +0.3 -9.1 Motor vehicle____ __ ____________ +14.2 +5.4 +14.4 -10.9 +4.0 , WHOLESALERS' SALES: Wholesale distribution in the District, as reflected by the combined dollar volume of sales for fifteen trade groups, increased by about 20 per cent from February to March and exceeded the volume of sales in March of last year by nearly 11 per cent. Of the major lines, furniture and house furnishings showed relatively the greatest increase in sales over a year ago. The increase in sales of paper and paper products, dry goods, and groceries and foods was about the same as the combined increase, while sales of drugs and drug sundries and hardware showed relatively the smallest percentage gain. Total sales for the first three months of this year were nearly 12 per cent larger than in the same period of 1936. Wholesalers' sales and collections, reported by the Department of Commerce: No. of Firms Drugs________________ Dry goods ________ Furniture__________ Groceries__________ Hardware________ Paper_______________ All other lines.. 9 4 4 12 6 5 17 SALES Mar. 1937 3 Mos. 1937 compared to compared to Mar. 1936 3 Mos. 1936 (Per cent change) +5.7 +9-4 +9.8 +20.9 +19.7 +19.4 +s.6 +5.0 +2.7 +11.7 +26.0 +9.0 +46.3 +20.0 *COLLECTIONS No. of Mar. Feb. Mar. Firms 1937 1937 1936 (Median p~tages*) 9 82.5 83.6 78.3 5 54.7 64.2 47.8 4 47.8 48.6 42.6 II 99.0 97•9 90.0 6 43.2 47.2 39.9 5 62.4 62.0 58.2 District__ __________ 57 +10.7 +II.7 *Amounts collected during month on receivables at beginning of month. 3 Percentages of collections on accounts receivable were generally slightly lower in March than in February, but all groups showed a much higher average collection percentage than in March of last year. It should be pointed out that the wide differences existing between the percentages for various kinds of business are due principally to variations in the terms of sale. Lumber After four successive monthly declines, retail - lumber ··sales increased in March as spring building operations got under way. Footage sales for March, however, fell about 13 per cent and for the first quarter of 1937 about 5 per cent below a year ago, when the seasonal expansion in lumber sales and the improvement over the preceding year were quite marked. Dollar sales of lumber and other materials also increased during March, exceeding by a slight margin the dollar volume in March of last year. Retail lumber prices have begun to reflect the rather sharp increases put into effect by wholesalers and manufacturers. Stocks of lumber at the close of March were only slightly larger than one month earlier but were nearly 15 per cent larger than one year earlier. Collections improved during March, averaging 41.9 per cent of outstandings at the opening of the month as compared with 35.4 per cent in February and 45.0 per cent in March, 1936. March business at 157 reporting retail yards in the District: March 1937 per cent change from February 1937 March 1936 Sales of lumber, board feet____________ + 28. 9 -13.3 Sales of all materials, dollars____________________________ +38.1 +2.3 Stocks of lumber, board feet, end of month.. +1.5 +14.6 Outstandings, dollars, end of month________________ +5.4 +17.8 Building The number and value of permits for new construction, alterations, and repairs in eighteen cities in the District showed a substantial further increase in March. About half of these centers reported fewer permits than a year ago but only two failed to show a rather heavy increase in estimated expenditures. Value of permits for the first quarter of 1937 was about 9 per cent larger than in the same period of last year despite the decreases recorded in January and February. Building permits reported by the eighteen cities: Albuquerque, . M. _________________ Cheyenne, Wyo. Colorado Springs, Colo. ____________ Denver, Colo ..... Hutchinson, Kans. Joplin, Mo. ________________ Kansas City, Kans. ____________________ Kansas City, Mo. _______________________ Lincoln, Nebr Oklahoma City, Okla, ________________ Omaha, Nebr. Pueblo, Colo Salina, Kans Shawnee, Okla... St. Joseph, Mo. ___ Topeka, Kans Tulsa, Okla .. __________ Wichita, Kans ... March___________ February_______ Three months __ PERMITS 1936 1937 ~ 87 67 43 67 37 540 375 II2 61 22 23 39 56 206 169 229 144 76 II 13 28 80 II0 193 250 214 232 123 54 21 16 23 IOI II8 215 2,194 1,238 4, 275 2,023 784 3,680 EsTIMATED CosT 1936 '/, 254,000 '$ 75, 000 319,000 73,000 66,ooo 18,000 1,145,000 647,000 42,000 145,000 81,000 20,000 000 44,000 57, 502,000 298,000 198,000 113,000 814,000 529,000 281,000 227,000 20,000 49,000 40,000 39,000 21,000 8,000 38,000 13,000 109,000 408,000 806,000 279,000 188,000 239,000 :211. $5,163,000 2,886,000 9,728,000 $3,042,000 3,440,000 9,091,000 The value of construction contracts awarded in the Districtduring March was slightly less than in February and about 21 per THE MONTHLY REVIEW 4 cent less than"'a year ago."f These decreases reflected a reduction in•. the volume 'of non-residential construction since awards for residential building were half again as large as in either the preceding· month or the corresponding month of last year. However, first quarter awards were at the highest level since 1931, total awards being about three times and residential awards more than five times as large as in the first three months of 1933. The value of construction contracts awarded, reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation: TENTH DISTRICT 37 EASTERN STATES Total Resident:al Total Residential (In thousands of dollars) 90,168 3,889 231,246 63,004 2,564 188,533 10,520 2,582 199,028 55, 2 7 1 27,010 9,939 662,6o6 231,578 2 5,5'29 123,886 5,383 545,871 March 1937.................. February 1937•--········· March 1936................. . Three months 1937._.__ Three months 1936... _. Grain Marketing Marketings of grain increased somewhat during March, encouraged by higher market prices and more favorable weather conditions. While generally smaller than in March of last year and below the March average for the past ten years, marketings nevertheless were of fairly Ii beral proportions in view of diminishing country holdings. Receipts of wheat were 29, corn 56, barley 16, and kafir 85 per cent below the March average while receipts of oats and rye exceeded the average by 29 per cent. Receipts of grain at five markets in the District: Wheat Hutchinson ...................... Kansas CitY·---··············· Omaha.............................. St. Josep Wichita·---······················· March 1937...................... February 1937·-- ············· March 1936...................... Three months 1937·--····· Three months 1936·---··· Corn Oats Rye Barley (In tho~s of ~ e l s ) - - 819 3 2,635 893 961 224 8 220 948 220 2,089 1,923 4,104 6,318 9,917 1,391 1,312 1,627 4,005 629 1 57 59 1 4,831 3,795 4,674 12,534 12,098 5 5 55 42 42 9 3 3,531 Kafir 48 4 6o 13 104 86 166 93 43 271 193 633 57 64 141 218 362 Farm stocks of grain on April 1 were markedly lower than a year ago, particularly of corn. In comparison with average holdings on April I for the years 1928 to 1932, the reduction in grain stocks was even more striking, as evidenced by 64 per cent less wheat, 89 per cent less corn, and 40 per cent less oats remaining on farms in the District this spring than during those years. The extremely small corn supplies helped to explain the continued rather free movement of Argentine corn into most of the Kansas City trade territory. Grain stocks on farms on April I, reported by the Department of Agriculture: CORN OATS 1937 1936 1936 ~ (In th~nds of bushels) 1 ,575 1,176 2,061 2,6o7 2,919 j,736 5,765 6,759 9,794 924 2,180 i,080 7,466 14,375 8,799 5,801 5,57 2 43,7 29 9,9 15 33,444 862 6o 82 15 57 1 1,999 2,316 6,809 4,064 8,598 688 III 368 1,732 377 WHEAT ~ Colorado Kansas .... Missouri .................... Nebraska.................. New Mexico.----····· Oklahoma..·--··········· Wyoming 1,176 5,412 1,413 4,734 41 1,651 Seven states·--········· United States·----··· 14,648 71,723 221 1936 17,941 98,978 19,250 76,807 4II,980 816,058 31,540 62,791 287,745 493,787 Cash prices of nearly all grains advanced at the Kansas City market in March, corn gaining about 10 cents and wheat about 7 cents per bushel. There was a slight decline in wheat prices in the forepart of April, while corn prices advanced further. Cash grain prices at the Kansas City market: Apr. I 5 Mar. 31 Feb. 27 Apr. I 5 Mar. 31 Mar.30 1937 ~ :fil 1936 1936 1935 $1-;;;;-- $ .97;,i No. 1 hard, dk. wheat, b11. $1.37 .98¼ $1.41¼ $1.34 No. 2 mixed corn, bu ..... 1.36 .62½ .85 1.30½ 1.21 .64½ .26 No. 2 white oats, bu ....... .51½ .28 .53 .53½ .55 .68 I.IO No. 2 rye, bu ................... 1.07 1.04 .52½ .53 No. 2 barley, bu.·----····· .92 .90 .90 .45 .45 .74 1.02 I.II No. 2 white kafir, cwt ..-. 2.34 2.29 2.09 1.92 Farm Income February receipts from the sale of principal farm products and Governm ent payments in the seven states of the District, while about 16 per cent less than in January, were 14 percent larger than a year ago. Increased income from rental and benefit payments, which were temporarily suspended in February of last year, was the important factor in this gain since an increase in income from marketings of crops was not sufficient to overcome a decrease in income from marketings of live stock and live stock products. Farm income was larger than a year ago in all states in the District except Missouri and Nebraska, the increase being most pronounced in Kans as. Cash farm income from the sale of principal farm products and Government payments during February, estimated by the Department of Agriculture: Crops Colorado............................ l(ansas .............................. Missour· Nebraska.......................... New Mexico..·-·-··············· Oklahoma·--····················· Wyoming 2,993 6,186 1,916 3,387 506 1,520 433 Live stock Govt. payments and products (In thousands of dollars) 6,181 701 10,248 3,816 1,317 10,675 I 1,605 1,583 1,022 1,368 3,046 5,287 180 97 2 February 1937·- ··············· 16,941 46,336 January 1937•--······· ....... 20,136 60,065 February 1936._............... 9,983 55,720 Two months 1937............ 37,077 106,401 Two months 1936............ 27,492 121,181 *Negative payments represent credits due to returned cultural Adjustment Administration. Total 9,875 20,250 13,908 16,575 2,896 9,853 1,585 11,665 74,942 8,640 88,841 • -17 65,686 20,305 163,783 300 148,973 checks to the Agri- Crops The April 1 condition of winter wheat on the unusually large acreage sown last fall indicated a crop in the seven states of the District of about 320 million bushels as compared with 232 million bushels harvested last year and an average of 325 million bushels harvested during the years 1928 to 1932. If this year's crop should turn out according to present indica, tions, it would be by far the largest since the 437 million bushel crop of 1931. Grasshoppers constitute a threat to crops again this year unless spring rainfall is unusually heavy. Top growth of winter wheat was smaller than usual because of subnormal temperatures. The April I condition of winter wheat, rye, and pastures, reported by the Department of Agriculture: WINTER WHEAT RYE PASTURES Apr. I Apr.I 10-yr. Apr.I Apr.I 10-yr. Apr.I Apr.I 9-yr. 1937 1936 Aver. 1937 1936 Aver. 1937 1936 Aver. ~ per~ag~ I ~ normal) 84 Colorado·--··· 61 42 77 55 50 80 67 6o 82 Kansas ........... . 76 66 77 85 78 82 56 55 81 Missouri ......... . 75 70 79 8o 77 84 57 71 Nebraska.......• 63 68 82 64 70 87 51 70 85 New Mexico.. 75 64 75 58 71 79 Oklahoma.___ . 73 62 80 80 60 81 52 54 74 Wyoming ........ 55 61 86 61 64 87 62 81 87 United States 73.8 68.5 78.9 71.4 72.4 82.3 66.o 74.6 80.8 On THE MONTHLY REVIEW f March weather in the District was abnormally cold and wet, precipitation ranging from 2 per cent above normal in Oklahoma to 69 per cent above in New Mexico. Total precipitation for the first three months of this year was above normal in every state in the District except Oklahoma and there the deficiency amounted to only 3 per cent. A comparison with rainfall for the first three months of last year is rather striking. Moisture supplies since January 1 were 97 per cent of normal this year as against 26 per cent last year in Oklahoma, 120 per cent as against 35 per cent in Kansas, and 127 per cent as against 52 per cent in Missouri. However, it must be remembered that in a rather large area, extending from northeastern Wyoming and western Nebraska southward, moisture reserves are still inadequate because of drought conditions last summer and fall. In much of this area and in northern Missouri, abandonment of winter grains has been heavy, not only because of extreme drought but also because of winter killing and recent high winds. Elsewhere in the District winter grain crops were in fairly satisfactory condition. The outlook for irrigation water in Colorado and Wyoming this year was, on the whole, quite favorable. Rainfall as reported by the United States Weather Bureau: COLORADO Denver..................................... . Leadville·-································· Pueblo·----······························· Lamar·--··································· Garnett._··-······························· Sunbeam·----··························· March 1937 3 Months 1937 Total Normal Total Normal - - -(In inch~ 1.04 1.56 1.97 1.66 4.68 4.3o 1.37 .59 1.55 1.66 .80 .99 .71 .39 .54 .62 1.99 1.47 KANSAS Topeka..................................... . Iola ........................................... . Concordia·---··························· Salina ....................................... . Wichita. __ ................................ Hays ......................................... . Dodge City............................. . Elkhart·----······················ Goodland................................. . 2.05 4.35 4.55 5.39 2.72 3.o9 3.78 2.08 2.07 1.69 1.68 2.18 1.17 2.80 .43 I.II MISSOURI St. Joseph·---··························· Kansas City·---······················· Joplin ....................................... . 1.23 I.73 2.39 NEBRASKA Omaha ..................................... . Lincoln·--································· orfolk.- .................................. . Grand Island._........................ . 1\1cCook................................... . North Platte........................... . Bridgeport............................... . Valentine................................. . 1.60 2.38 2.43 1.53 1.37 1.27 1.20 1.32 .88 .83 .82 4.01 2 -77 3.39 2.0I .86 1.25 5 together with high corn prices, may result in an increase in corn acreage over that which farmers intended on March I. Very little spring wheat had been seeded up to April 1 although seeding usually is general by that date as far north as the Kansas-Nebraska line. With a rise in temperatures around the middle of April, the seeding of oats and barley, the planting of potatoes, and the preparation of ground for corn and sorghums made further progress. The largest sugar beet acreage in recent years is expected in Colorado, Wyoming, and Nebraska. Live Stock MARKETINGS: Receipts of all classes of live stock except hogs increased in March as is usual in that month. Marketings of calves, the only class to show an increase over a year ago, continued in large volume, exceeding the March ten-year average by 42 per cent. Hog receipts were 15 per cent less than in March oflast year and were less than half of normal, approaching the low level of two years ago. Light receipts resulting from successive corn crop failures have been ac;ompanied by heavy marketing of lightweight hogs because of high feed prices. Cattle marketings were slightly above the March average but marketings of sheep were 17 per cent below the average volume. Live stock receipts at six markets in the District: Cattle Calves Denver.............................. Kansas CitY·--····-···········Oklahoma City .........·--···· Omaha_··········--················· St. Joseph----······-··········-Wichita·----·········-···-·-·····- 37,436 103,639 44,554 9 1,975 26,751 32,009 4,933 24,870 12,705 II,866 8,818 March l 937--···--············-·February 1937---··········--· March 1936 __ Three months 1937•---·-· Three months 1936·-·-···-· 336,364 250,173 340,895 68,908 53,02 3 935,955 196,486 163,863 1,007,362 .78 .80 .70 .80 2.06 2.74 2.22 2.00 OKLAHOMA T u l s · - - - - -·················· McAlester_ _ _ __ Oklahoma City....................... . Pauls Valley·---······················· Hobart.. _ _ _ _ __ Enid ................... _ _ __ Woodward ............................... . 3.14 3.77 1.15 4.56 1.47 .99 2.10 1.58 1.6o 1.43 2.22 1.02 1.24 1.19 1.16 2.83 3.29 2.01 4.15 3.11 WYOMING Cheyenn_____ _ _ Casper·----·---Lander...................................... Sheridan................................... 2.09 1.20 1.29 2.51 2.08 2.75 2.38 2.71 In addition to retarding growth of winter grains, alfalfa, and pastures and damaging early peaches, the cold weather of March also delayed spring farm work. The delayed seeding of oats, 55,6o3 Sheep 209,023 129,657 374,933 384,605 441,133 1,233,960 1,442,292 615,040 12,IIO 136,047 II8,161 10,042 529,554 643,734 1,710,177 r,697, 249 PRICES: Cattle and lamb prices advanced at the Kansas City market in March, reflecting the scarcity of better grades of beef cattle and a recovery in wool prices. Cattle prices reached the highest level for March since 1930 and lambs the highest March level since I 929. Demand for stocker and feeder cattle increased seasonally in March but at the close of the month it was narrow for stockers and only fair for feeders. Hog prices fluctuated narrowly, showing only a fractional gain for the month. While slightly lower than a year ago, hog prices were higher than in any other March since 1930. Comparative top prices paid for full loads of live stock at the Kansas City market: NEW MEXICO Clayton·---······························· I: Santa Fe_ _ __ ~ Farmington ............................. . 5,7I6 Hogs 39,111 124,725 30,710 103,784 51,768 24,835 Beef steers __ ··-·-············--·--·-······················ Stocker cattle ___ ·······--········-··--········-···---·Feeder cattle_···---····················----·---·······-Calve.~ - - - Hogs .. ·-·----··-············-·-·--·----F ed lambs ........ --·········-···--·-·-··············----N ew crop spring lambs--· · · - - - -Sheep.. - - · - · · · · - · · · - - - - - - - - Mar. 1937 Feb. 1937 Mar. 1936 (In dollars per hundredweight) 14.50 13.00 10.40 9.25 8.35 8.60 10.00 9.00 8.50 I0.00 Io.50 9.50 10.35 10.25 10.60 12.75 10.75 10.40 13.75 II.00 11.50 9.25 8.85 STOCKERS AND FEEDERS: Shipments of stocker and feeder cattle and calves to the country increased seasonally during March, cattle exceeding the March ten-year average by 5 per cent and calves by 30 per cent. Hog shipments also increased but fell 66 per cent short of the average, while sheep were 44 per cent below the average volume. The countryward movement of all classes of live stock was somewhat larger than in March of last year. 6 111 THE MoMTHLY REVIEW Stocker and feeder live stock shipments from four markets the District: Denver .............................. Kansas CitY·---··············· Omaha........ ·-··················· St. Joseph.----················· March 1937...................... February 1937·-- ············· March 1936...................... Three months 1937. ___ .. Three months 1936·-- ····· Cattle Calves Hogs 7, 1 77 1,171 38,620 12,748 3,703 5,330 2,087 72 7 434 1,6o8 75° 1,007 62,248 36,350 61,706 168,737 171,198 9,3 1 5 4,969 6,800 25,048 17,985 3,799 1,983 3,336 8,941 II,409 Sheep 7,400 7, 2 44 10,856 6,928 32,428 40,382 27,163 130,623 104,251 According to the Bureau of Agricultural Economics; the number of cattle on feed in the Corn Belt on April I was about 33 per cent smaller than a year ago. Reductions were largest in western Corn Belt states, where the effects of the 1936 drought were most serious, the decrease amounting to 45 per cent in Missouri, 55 per cent in Nebraska, and 30 per cent in Kansas. Sharp advances in prices of feed grains and concentrate feeds have tended to speed up the marketing of cattle. In view of this and the present intention of feeders to market a larger proportion than usual of their cattle in April, May, and June, the indicated supply of fed cattle for market after July I is relatively much smaller than the supply during the first half of the year. There were 380,000 lambs left in feed lots of the important Northern Colorado, Arkansas Valley, and Scottsbluff feeding areas on April 3 compared with 420,000 a year ago and 480,000 two years ago. Since January I, shipments from these areas totaled 4,008 cars of lambs compared with 5,324 cars in the same period last year and 4,465 cars two years ago. RANGES AND PASTURES: Range and feed supplies on April I were very short over northeastern Wyoming, parts of western Nebraska and Kansas, western Oklahoma, southeastern Colorado, and northeastern New Mexico. Much of this area was still short of moisture although spring range prospects were improved by precipitation in March. Cattle and sheep on ranges have wintered well in sections with ample feed but are thin in the 1936 drought areas, where calf crop prospects are only fair. Except in Colorado, Kansas, and Oklahoma, the condition of both ranges and pastures was markedly lower than a year ago, and in all states in the District the condition was generally substantially below normal. This low condition is due principally to drought last year and the retarding effect of cold weather late in March. The delayed development of pastures will accentuate the abnormally short feed situation in those areas where pastures were expected to furnish considerable early feed. Native grass not being available, considerable grazing of winter wheat in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri continued into April despite possible injury which would affect grain yields. Many farmers were reported to have set aside a definite acreage of their wheat for pasture, not attempting to harvest it for grain. As a prelude to the spring movement of cattle from the southwest, pasture leasing has been active in the Osage section of Oklahoma and the Blue Stem section of Kansas. About 70 per cent of the Blue Stem pastures were leased by April I as compared with 72 per cent a year ago, while about 87 per cent of the Osage pastures had been leased as compared with only 65 per cent at that time last year. Lease prices, ranging from 50 to 60 cents per head higher than last year in the Blue Stem area and about 25 cents per head higher in the Osage country, are the highest since 1931. Acreage guarantees are the largest in fourteen years of record, reflecting thin and weedy grass as a result of droughts and heavy grazing in recent years. The condition of pastures in these areas, while below average, is much better than in these states as a whole. Moisture supplies are favorable, but cold weather has delayed pasture feed and in-shipments of cattle were expected to be later than usual. Pastures were expected to be well stocked, mostly by in-shipments as fewer cattle have been wintered than a year ago and local pasture owners are leasing instead of putting in cattle. It was estimated by the Department of Agriculture that the spring movement from the southwest, about a third of which goes onto Oklahoma and Kansas grass, would be 10 per cent larger than last spring and about the same as in the spring of 1935, when 861,000 head of cattle were shipped from Texas, New Mexico, and Arizona between March I and June 30. Meat Packing Operations at meat packing plants, as reflected by packers' purchases at the six principal live stock markets in the District, increased seasonally during March. Cattle slaughter, while slightly smaller than a year ago, was 4 per cent above the March ten-year average and calf slaughter, which increased 19 per cent as compared with March of last year, exceeded the average by 41 per cent. Although not as low as two years ago, hog slaughter was about 9 per cent less than in March of last year and fell 45 per cent below the ten-year average volume. Sheep slaughter was 8 per cent larger than in March of last year but about 3 per cent below the average. Packers' purchases of live stock at six markets in the District: Cattle 17,95 2 51,448 23,420 64,090 19,962 11,822 Calves Denver.............................. Kansas City Oklahoma City ................ Omaha ...... St. Joseph·-- --················· Wichita. ___······················· 3,7°4 18,948 6,129 9,494 7,809 5,961 Hogs 33,640 113,839 23,980 86,950 48,663 23,086 37,069 IIo,755 10,637 108,714 104,66o 10,821 March 1937.. _ _ __ February 1937·-·······-·•···· March 1936...................... Three months 1937•-······· Three months 1936·---··· 188,694 16o,628 191,284 548,001 597,008 52,045 44,551 43,765 155,365 138,655 330,158 337,256 360,787 1,083,u7 1,1 85,6o7 312,201 353,547 1,043,039 995,861 Sheep Cold Stor age Holdings With the exception of butter, United States cold storage holdings continued at a rather high level during March despite sharply greater than seasonal declines in stocks of beef, lamb, and poultry. Heavy withdrawals of butter reduced stocks of that commodity on April I to a level about 24 per cent below the average for that date during the past five years. Stocks of pork showed less than the usual seasonal decrease while stocks of lard increased at a substantially higher than seasonal rate. Cased eggs moved into storage at about the normal rate for this time of the year but frozen eggs showed a comparatively large increase for the month. United States cold storage holdings, reported by the Bureau of Agricultural Economics: Apr. I 1937 Beef, lbs........................................... Pork, lbs ................... _ _ _ _ Lamb and mutton, lbs................... Poultry, lbs.·--································· Miscellaneous meats, lbs............... Lard, lbs ... _ _ ___ _ __ Eggs, case_,______ __ _ Eggs, frozen (case equivalent)...... Butter, creamery, lbs ... _................ Cheese, all varieties, lbs................. Mar. I Apr. I Apr. 1 1937 1936 5-Yr.Av. (In thousands of units)_ __ 142,685 167,438 79,509 62,806 756,095 775,688 450,149 627,430 7,176 9,807 2,334 2,123 I 20,420 157,858 69,494 73,869 u6,679 126,233 66,604 61,695 217,569 202,476 76,814 104,566 1,406 322 807 1,2II 1,519 983 1,310 1,361 6,741 20,678 5,346 8,877 85,223 93,u4 73,952 60,356 Flour Milling Operations at southwestern flour mills were stepped up from 66.5 per cent of capacity in February to 68.6 per cent in March 7 THE MONTHLY REVIEW although usually there is a decline in act1v1ty. This increase reflected not only a steady flow of shipping directions on old contracts and an increase in flour sales in the latter part of the month but also an unusually heavy eastern demand for millfeeds. Output of flour in March was 16 per cent greater than in the shorter month of February and was 26 per cent greater than in March of last year, when operations averaged only 56.3 per cent of capacity . Production for the first three months of 1937 was nearly 12 per cent ahead of that for the first three months of 1936. Mar. 1g37 n8,ooo 643,000 192,000 211,000 1,038,000 Atchison_··································-···· ~,'~~::s. Ci tY--·-•-·-·•··-··--··------·-···--\\'i chi ta·----·-··-····························0 t her cities ....... ·-················-··-····· Change from Feb. 1937 Mar. 1936 (In barrels) +n,ooo +124,000 +27,000 +45, 000 +98,000 +20,000 +151,000 +52,000 + 82,000 +150,000 T ot: t L . · - - --·-·····-······-····· 2,202,000 +305,000 +455,000 *United States· - - - · · · - - - 5,410,000 +566,000 +3,000 -Represents about 60 per cent of the total output in the United States. Notwithstanding several large round lot orders and numerous moderate sized bookings in the latter part of March, flour sales in the southwest were generally considered slow. Reselling by jobbers and bakers at a discount affected sales to some extent. As the wheat market rose, flour prices advanced but the advance was held down by the sharp increase in millfeed prices which reached an eight-year peak at the Kansas City market. In addition to the heavy demand from eastern areas normally served by Minnesota and Buffalo mills, delayed pastures and wintry weather toward the close of March necessitated liberal dry feeding in local areas. Petroleum Daily average output of crude petroleum in the District continued to increase in March and gross production gained about 12 per cent in comparison with the shorter month of February. Output in March and the first three months of this year was around 20 per cent ahead of a year ago, March production exceeding the average for that month during the past ten years by 27 per cent. Crude oil producti :..m, estimated from American Petroleum Institute data for March and officially reported by the Bureau of Mines for comparative months: MARCH 1937 MARCH 1936 FEBRUARY 1937 Gross D. Av. Gross D.Av. Gross D . Av. --(In th~ds~els) Colorado. __ ··-···-··-····· Kansas·--····---······--···New Mexico..·--··--·-Oklahoma·---··········\Vyoming.... ·-·····-······ 140 5,789 1,169 19,461 1,608 Five states·-·············- 30,167 United States·----··· 105,248 4·5 186.7 102.2 627.8 51.9 973.1 3,395.1 120 5,282 2,767 17,406 1,392 4.3 188.7 98.8 621.7 49.7 26,967 963.2 93,173 3,327.6 135 4,815 2,148 16,989 1,200 Zinc and Lead Zinc and lead shipments increased further in March. Demand for ore was less strong in the latter half of the month, but purchasers generally took all supplies available. Output at mines and tailing mills also increased, reaching the highest level since April of last year for zinc and since May, 1930, for lead. At the close of March, there were 71 mills in operation, the largest number in about seven years and twice the number operating in recent depression years. Zinc and lead shipments from the Tri-State district, estimated from weekly reports of the Joplin News Herald: ZINC ORE Tons V a lue LEAD ORE Tons Value 27,708 1, 641,335 1 49,5°7 1,238,285 2,310 480 4,922 45,484 43,837 42,207 122,789 II 1,314 '$2,029,127 1,734,619 1,350,080 4,921,842 3,56r ,4-93 7,712 5,398 4,969 16,251 14,204 Kansas·-·-·····················-···· Missouri ..·-···············-········ Oklahoma·---··················- 14,426 March 1937--···-·-·············· February 1937·-······-···-···· March l 936·-··•-·-·•···-·--····Three months 1937•---···Three months 1936·--····· 3,350 1, ~ 6 40,685 417,II9 .,, 650,980 407,438 248,500 1,276,009 689,029 Zinc concentrates advanced i5.oo per ton at the Joplin market during March, closing at i49. 50, the highest price since September, 1926, and $17.50 per ton higher than a year ago. Lead ore prices, after reaching $95.00, the highest price since April, 1929, dropped back to $84.00 as a result of declines in pig lead prices in London. This price was $1 .oo per ton lower than at the close of February but was $34.00 per ton higher than at the close of M arch last year. Early in April zinc declined $2.00 per ton and lead an additional $14.00 per ton. Coal Output of bituminous coal in the District, at the highest March level since 1927, was more than half again as large as a year ago. Production for the first three months of this year totaled better than 8 million tons as compared with slightly less than 7 million tons in the first quarter of 1936. Bituminous coal production, estimated from reports of the Bureau of Mines: Mar. 1937 Change from Mar. 1936 Feb. 1937 (In tons) -101,000 Colorado.--···· ······························· Kansas and Missouri ... •·····-········ New Mexico..·--··············-·······-···Oklahoma____··-···-··-····-················ Wyoming ........ ·-···········-················ 720,000 852,000 190,000 130,000 566,000 -61,000 -78,000 Six states·-·-·····-·······················- ···U ni ted States .. ·-·············-···-····-·-- 2,458,000 50,720,000 -175,000 +8,610,000 +65,000 +230,000 +324,000 +80,000 +47,000 +151,000 4.4 1 55·3 69.3 548.1 38.7 25,287 815.8 90,568 2,921.5 Stocks of crude petroleum increased from 114 million barrels to around 120 million barrels in the "other" Mid-Continent area of Oklahoma and Kansas between February 27 and April 3 but showed little change at a level slightly below 26 million barrels in the Rocky Mountain area. This increase was largely offset by declines in fuel oil and gas oil stocks but it was thought that the high level of producing and refining operations was preventing further strengthening of the crude price structure. By early April, demand had begun to improve for gasoline, stocks of which are unusually large as a result of the increase in refinery operations to meet the heavy demand for fuel oils in recent months. Prices of kerosene and tractor fuels were stronger. +832,000 +19,193,000 Employment and Pay Rolls Preliminary figures of the Department of Labor showed a gain in employment in all states of the District from the middle of February to the middle of March. In four states there was an increase in aggregate weekly pay rolls, while in three states there was a decrease. Employment and pay rolls, by states: March 1937 per cent change from February 1937 E mpl oym ent P~ R olls Colorado.--···································-·--·-·····-······--········ I(ansas.· --·····························································- ···· l\1issow·i ...-············································-·-- ···········-···N ebraska.. ·-····························-············-··-· ....... ······-· New Mexico.............. ···-······-······-·····-··-····-················ Oklahoma.......... ·-·····-···············-·· ····················-········· Wyon1ing·-·······-·--···-····-·· ·········-·-·-·······-·····-·············- +1.6 +0.9 + 2.6 +2.0 +1.2 +2.5 +0.7 -0.7 +3.7 +5.6 +4.0 -o.8 +4.7 - 4.5 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW NATIONAL SUMMARY OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS By the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION PERCENT PERCENT 140 140 130 130 I\. 120 \ ~ 1"'\ 110 100 90 r /~ A 80 \ ~ 70 120 )v 110 100 I\ 1' ·v I \ 'V \~ 90 80 70 \ r,J 60 60 V 50 50 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 Index of fhysical volume of production, adjusted for seasona variation, 1923-1925 average= JOO. By months, January 1929 through March 1937. FACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS PER CE HT PEA CENT - 120 110 120 . ,.._ "" "\ 100 90 80 Employment \/'\\. 70 \ 60 110 100 /if Q v Po~rolls _;, '\ , 50 \/\ 40 90 /'V .r.!'I I'' - t l .J I....'v..~ , '• ! •.: I\ A. 80 70 60 50 I I 40 w 30 30 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 In March industrial activity continued to increase and pay rolls at factories and mines showed a substantial rise. Prices of basic commodities after advancing rapidly in March declined in the first half of April. 1937 Indexes of number employed and pay rolls, without adjustment for seasonal variation, 1923-1925 average= 100. By months, January 1929 through March 1937. Indexes compiled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND EMPLOYMENT Industrial production increased from Februa ry to March and the Board's seasonally adjusted index advanced from 116 per cent of the 1923-1925 average to I 18 per cent. The rise reflected a sharp increase in output of minerals, chiefly coal, and an increase of somewhat more than the usual seasonal amount in manufacturing. The larger output of coal in March was due in part to stocking by consumers in anticipation of a possible strike at bituminous coal mines on April 1 when the agreement between mine operators and the miners' union expired. A new agreement was reached on April 2 but, owing partly to the previous accumulation of stocks, production in the first ten days of April showed a sharp decline. During March activity at steel mills increased seasonally and in the first three weeks of April was over 90 per cent of capacity. In the automobile industry output showed about the usual seasonal increase in March and the first three weeks of April, considerable fluctuations during this period being largely in response to developments in the labor situation. Lumber production expanded considerably in March, and there was a sharp rise in output of nonferrous metals. Cotton consumption, which has been at an unusually high level in recent months, increased further in March and in actual amount was larger than in any previous month . Production at woolen. mills and shoe factories continued in large volume. Value of construction contracts awarded in March, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, was at about the same level as in February and substantially higher than a year ago. Privately-financed work increased, while the amount of publicly-financed work continued to decline. The increase in privately-financed projects reflected a larger volume of residential building and of factory and commercial construction. Employment and pay rolls increased by considerably more than the usual seasonal amount between the middle of February and the middle of March. The expansion in pay rolls was larger than in employment, reflecting in part a further rise in wage rates. In manufacturing, the principal increases in employment were in industries producing durable goods, particularly steel, machinery, and lumber. The number employed in the production of nondurable manufactures showed slightly more than the usual seasonal rise. DISTRIBUTION WHOLESALE PRICES PER CE rlT 11 0 . - - - . . - - - ~ - - ~ - - ~ - - ~ - - - - =F'ER-·CENT 110 100 /----+---+---+---+---+-- - -I 100 90 Distribution of commodities to consumers showed about the usual seasonal increase from February to March. Mail-order sales expanded considerably but the rise in department store sales was less than seasonal, considering the early date of Easter this year. 80 COMMODITY PRICES 70 Prices of nonferrous metals, steel scrap, rubber, cotton, and wheat, which had advanced rapidly in March, declined considerably in the first half of April. Since the middle of March prices of coke, tin plate, and rayon have advanced and there have been smaller increases in a wide variety of other industrial products. Dairy products have declined, reflecting in part seasonal developments. 60 50 40 30 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 BANK CREDIT Indexes compiled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1926= JOO. By weeks, 1932 to date. Latest figure is for week__ending~April 17, 1937. MEMBER BANK CREDIT BILLIONS OF t)OLLAAS 17 16 15 14 13 12 II BILLIONS I _ Demand - o.1pcs;t,. AdJuste :I ~ ./ "'"\.. Total Loons - o nd lnvestmet•; ....t T • I I /',,. I '-:; _ ~ Obligations - - {Dir«1.1::::rr ~~ .- -~ ~ _., 21 f'-.\.. J ..,.,-...r~ .; I Qtt,rSecuffies 19 36 23 22 Tolol Loons 11 10 I 0epogi11 ~ 1935 \I'\. 20 d~s.Govt I I '34 24 ~ 1 Balonccis of Bank.sin U. S. u.sGov'I DOLLARS ,_,,.,. 1 ~ ~ I In the four-week period from March 24 to April 21 excess reserves of member banks increased from $1,270,000,000 to $1,590,000,000, reflecting principally disbursements by the Treasury from balances with Federal Reserve banks and purchases of U. S. Government obligations by the Federal Reserve System. The bulk of the increase in excess reserves was at banks in New York City and Chicago. Total loans and investments of reporting member banks, which had declined sharply in March, reflecting sales of U. S. · Government obligations, showed little change in the two weeks ending April 14. Loans to brokers and dealers in securi-ties declined from the middle of March to the middle of April, while other loans, which include loans for commercial, industrial, and agricultural purposes, showed a substantial increase. These loans have increased almost continuously over the past year. Demand deposits, after declining in March, increased somewhat in the first half of April, and there was an increase in foreign bank balances, reflecting an inward movement of short-term funds from abroad . "'1937 MONEY RATES '34 1935 1936 Wednesday figures for reporting m ember banks in 101 leading cities. September 5, 1934, through April -, 14,~1937. The rate on prime commercial paper advanced from ¾ per cent to 1 per cent in the latter part of March. Bond yields, which had advanced sharply in March, showed no pronounced change in the first three weeks of April.