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• THE MONTHLY REV EW Of Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CI TY M. L. McCLURE, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent A. M. McADAMS, Assistant Federal Reserve Agent and Secretary P. W. MoRGAN, Director of Research Vol. 15 KANSAS CITY, Mo., MAY r, No. 5 _1930 USI ESS in the Tenth District continued through March at approximately the daily rate recorded for February but somewhat below the daily rate recorded for March a year ago. Returns for the month indicated a slight seasonal increase over February in the distribution of merchandise by wholesalers and retailers, although the volume was below that for March last year. Industrial operations, while somewhat irregular with some lines forging ahead and others lagging behind, averaged about the same as in the preceding month, but were not up to the record of a year ago. Commercial loans at banks were smaller in March than in either the preceding month or the corresponding month last year. B ter of cattle was the largest for March in three years, the slaughter of sheep the ·largest for March of record, but fewer hogs were slaughtered in March than in February or in March a year ago. In the mineral industries, production of crude oil, in the daily average, was smaller than in the preceding month or the same month last year, the decrease reflecting compliance on the part of producers in the carrying out of conservation agreements. At the lead and zinc mines and also at the coal mines throughout the District, March production was at a low point of the year and materially lower than in March a year ago. v The slow seasonal expansion of business in March was attributed mainly to the long period of unusually dry weather and resultant uncertainty regarding this year's farm production. This situation, however, was greatly relieved at the middle of April by general rains over almost the entire agricultural area of this District, and reports in the third week of April indicate a marked improvement in the condition of winter wheat and growing crops, and a quickening of activity in practically all lines of business. THE SITUATION IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT An outstanding development of the month was a decided upturn in building activity. The value of contracts awarded in this District was 99 percent higher than in February and 57 percent higher than in March a year ago, with the accumulated total of awards for the first three months of 1930, 34 percent higher than for the corresponding period in I 929. The value of new building projects started in leading cities of the District during March, indicated by permits issued, also showed a large increase over February but was smaller for the month and first quarter than in March and the first quarter of last year. The contracts awarded in the District as a whole and the new work already under way in leading cities assure a good volume of construction in the early half of the year. By the middle of April the unemployment situation had been somewhat relieved. Heavy highway and general construction in this District is indicated by a large increase in production of cement in March, both over the preceding month and the corresponding month last year, total production for this year's first quarter showing a gain of 43.6 percent over the like period in 1929. While manufacturing plants in this District, as a rule, were operated with caution and their output as a whole was smaller than a year ago, substantial gains were made during March over the preceding month by a number of industries. March output of flour was 7 percent higher than in February, the slaugh- Percentage of Increase or Decrease (-) for March 1930 over February 1930 and March 1929, and for the first three months of 1930 over the like period in 1929 March 1930 3 Months 1930 Compared to Compared to Banki~g .. Feb. 1930 Mar. 1929 3 Months 1929 Debits, 30 c1t1es._....................................... - 1.4 - 7.5 - 4.1 Check collections, F. R. Ban....__ _ _ o.6 - 7.1 - 5.1 Loans, 57 member banks ........ _ _ _ o. 5 - o.8 Investments, 57 member banks.............. o.6 - 8.9 Demand deposits, 57 member banks...... - 6.o - 1.7 Time deposits, 57 member banks............ 0.9 - 0.5 Savings deposits, 52 selected banks........ 1.3 - 4.5 Trade Retail sales, 38 department stores ......... . 20.3 -u .7 - 7.3 Wholesale sales, 5 leading lines............... . 7.6 - 7.9 - 7.6 Lumber sales, 177 retail yards ............... . 1 7•5 -21.6 Grain Receipts, 5 markets Wheat.......................................................... -49.2 Corn ................................._ _ __ -4o.5 Oats _ _ __ 42.6 Livestock Receipts, 6 markets Cattle....................................... _ _ __ 21.0 13·4 17.4 Calves ............ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 14,6 13.2 13.7 Hogs .................- - - - - -10.0 -26.7 - 6.1 Sheep........................................................... . 12.3 33.3 31·3 Horses-Mules ......................................... . - 7.7 19·7 7-4 Production Flour..............................- - 6.8 - 8.8 - 4.9 Crude petroleum ....................................... . 9.6 - 4.8 - 7.2 Coal.. ................................ _ _ __ -22.3 -16.9 -l4.7 Cement ........................................................ 41.2 43.6 4 2•9 Zinc ore (shipped) .. _ _ _ _ _ _ __ - 3.9 -38.6 -3o.3 Lead ore (shipped) ................................... . -32.8 -67.5 -54.5 Meat Packing Cattle.... _............. _ _ _ _ _ __ I.I 15.2 7.3 Calves ............. - - - - - - - -4.9 7.3 - 5.9 Hogs .......................................... _ __ -16.7 -24.3 -34.9 24•3 23.1 43.8 co!~~;~~~ion Bu1·id·mg contracts award ed , va 1ue ......._ Building permits issued, 20 cities value This Copy Released For Publication In Morning Newspapers April 28 98.9 27.8 57.3 -17-5 - 34.I 8.4 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 2 Banking and Credit The easy money conditions of the past two months, evidenced by an abundance of loanable funds and low interest rates, thus far have resulted in no appreciable increase in the volume of credit outstanding at banks in this Federal Reserve District. Combined statements of fifty-seven reporting member banks in leading cities indicated an increase of $10,205,000 in security loans in the four weeks ending April 9, with the total of 146,6o7,ooo on that date the highest reported since September 12, 1928. On the other hand, the volume of commercial loans decreased $8,035,000 during the four weeks to a total of $294,391,000 on April 9, which was the lowest since September 19, 1928. !~vestments of the_ reporting banks, totaling $214,780,000 on April 9, showed an increase of $1,177,000 for the four weeks period but were $20,989,000 below the total reported on April 10, 1929. Net demand d eposits of $486,185,000 indicated a decrease of $2,950,000 in four weeks and a decrease of $8,252,000 as compared with a year ago. Time deposits of $177,627,000 showed a further increase of $1,658,000 for the four weeks period, but were $921,000 below the total on April 10, 1929. The weekly condition statement of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches at the close of business on April 9 indicated a decrea~e in bills rediscounted for member banks, both as compared with four weeks ago and one year ago, although this bank's purchases of acceptances were larger than four weeks earlier or one year ago. There was some increase in recent weeks in United States securities held by this bank, but the total held on April 9 was somewhat below that reported one year ago. Federal Reserve notes in circulation decreased 1,197,400 in four weeks, but increased $10,886,550 over a year. ago. Total deposits of 88,555,556 showed decreases of $1,111,412 for four weeks and $2,597,067 for the year. Principal assets and liabilities of the fifty-seven reporting mem~er banks, and of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, compiled from weekly statements as of the three dates mentioned, are shown in the following: FI FTY- S EVEN R E PORTIN G MEMB E R BANKS . Apr. 9, 1930 Mar. 12, 1930 Apr. 10, 1929 Loans and mvestments-totaL _......... $655,778,000 $652,431 ,000 $680,326,000 Loans and discounts- total.................. 440,998,000 438,828,000 444,557,000 Secured by stocks ~ bonds.............. 146,607,000 136,402,000 127,869,000 All other loans & discounts.............. 294,391,000 302,426,000 316,688,000 Investments-total................................ 214,780,000 213,6o3,ooo 235,769,000 U.S. Securi ties.................................. 94,604,000 94,355,000 n2,906,ooo Other bonds, stocks and securities._. 120,176,000 119,248,000 122,863,000 Reserve with F. R._ Bank...................... 54,789,000 56,762,000 56,517,000 N_et deman~ deposits............................ 486,185,000 489,135,000 494,437,000 Time deposit._,________ 177,627,000 175,969,000 178,548,000 Government deposits............................ 2,243,000 3,320,000 F E DE R AL R ESE RVE B ANK OF KAN SA S CITY Apr. 9, 1930 Mar. 12, 1930 Apr. 10, 1929 Total gold reserves ................................ $132,047,956 $135,070,761 1, 99,851,638 Reserves other than gold...................... 8,262,537 7,960,554 5,656,349 T?tal ~eserves·- -····································· 140,310,493 143,031,315 105,507,987 Bills discounted...................................... 12,307,563 14,721,716 36,048 520 Bills purch~s.ed·--··································· 11,263,786 10,316,419·1 8,635:735 U. S. Secur~t~es...................................... 5,924,500 3,063,000 9,793,400 Other securities ..................................... . 1,500,000 Total bills and securities...................... 29,495,849 28,101,135 55,977,655 207,96o,844 Total resources...................................... 212,466,677 217,880,306 F. R. Notes in circulation.................... 77,626,380 78,823,780 66,739,830 Total deposits........................................ 88,555,556 89,666,968 91,152,623 J Savings in Banks Deposi ts to savings accounts in fifty-two selected commercial and savings banks in cities of this District increased $1,514,240, or 1.3 percent, between M arch 1 and April 1, but the total as of the latter date stood $5,629,887, or 4.5 percent, below that reported by the identical banks as of April 1, 1929. Although there was but slight change in the number of savint)"s accounts during the month, the total reported by forty-nine banks as of April 1 showed a gain of 17,979 accounts, or 4.6 percent over the corresponding date in 1929. The totals follow: ' • April I March I April 1 Banks Reporting 1930 1930 1929 $119,893,288 $II8,379,048 $125,523,175 Savings deposits·--··········· 52 Savings accounts.............. 49 412,301 4u,855 394,332 Federal Reserve Bank Clearings Check collections through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City totaled $2,720,475,605 for the first thirteen weeks of the current year, ending April 2. This total indicates a decrease of $146,639,061, or 5.1 percent, from the $2,867,114,666 reported for the corresponding_ thirteen weeks of 1929. The number of items handled during the first quarter of this year was 17,696,957, an increase of 171,370 over the 17,525,587 items reported for the corresponding period in 1929. Clearings for the four weeks ending April 2 totaled $850,344,131, an increase of $5,180,595 over the preceding four weeks ending March 5, but a decrease of $65,434,177 from the total reported for the corresponding four weeks in 1929. Payments By Check Checks drawn by individuals, firms and corporations on their bank accounts in thirty cities of this District aggregated $1,356,194,000 for the four weeks ending April 2. This total reflected -a decrease of $18,717,000, or 1.4 percent, from that reported for the preceding four weeks ending March 5, and a decrease of $uo,507,ooo, or 7.5 percent, from that reported for the four weeks ending April 3, 1929. The record for the thirty cities covering the first thirteen weeks of 1930 shows total debits of $4,513,413,000, which is $192,988,000, or 4.1 percent, less than the amount reported for the corresponding thirteen weeks in 1929. BANK DEBITS IN THIRTY CITIES FouR WEEKS E NDING April 2, 1930 April 3, 1929 Albuquerque, N. M .............................. $ n,154,000 1, u,251,000 ::~~{;;;{n!ai~ i;=:.·.·.~:::::::::::: ::::::::::::: Casper, Wyo........................................ 2i:~:1:= 2~:~~~:= 6,145,000 5,780,000 14,551,000 165,400,000 12,484,000 3,910,000 2,826,000 3,242,000 13,083,000 9,419,000 10,597,000 17,683,000 381,198,000 4,855,000 34,210,000 10,278,000 120,231,000 6,010,000 204,646,000 2,553,000 4,897,000 18,339,000 9,922,000 43,399,000 18,583,000 137,337,000 56,573,000 6,239,000 5,648,000 15,491,000 200,067,000 13,584,000 4,654,000 3,114,000 3,452,000 14,535,000 n,484,000 17,282,000 17,840,000 421,385,000 4,841,000 33,496,000 11,313,000 108,650,000 7,803,000 214,947,000 3,058,000 6,004,000 20,690,000 11,964,000 53,591,000 17,342,000 140,o6o,ooo 59,133,000 Total 30 cities, 4 wks ........................ f,1,356,194,000 Total 30 cities, 13 wks........................ 4,513,413,000 S1,466,701,ooo 4,706,401,000 Cheyenne, Wyo.................................... Colorado Springs, Colo·- ····················· Denver, Colo........................................ Enid, Okla............................................ Fremont, Nebr·- ··································· Grand Junction, Colo.......................... Guthrie, Okla........................................ Hutchinson, Kans................................ Independence, Kans............................ Joplin, Mo.............. _ _ _ _ Kansas City, Kans.............................. Kansas City, Mo·-······························· Lawrence, Kans.................................... Lincoln, Nebr........................................ Mus.kogee, Okla.................................... Oklahoma City, Okla.......................... Okmulgee, Okla.................................... Omaha, Nebr........................................ Parsons, Kans.... .................................. Pittsburg, Kans.................................... Pueblo, Colo._....................................... Salina, Kans·-······································· St. Joseph, Mo._................................... Topeka, Kans- - - ······················ Tulsa, Okla·---····································· Wichita, Kans.. .................................... Percent Change -0.9 - 7.5 - 2.0 - 1.5 2.3 - 6.1 - 1 7.3 - 8.1 -16.0 - 9.2 - 6.1 -10.0 -18.0 -38.7 -0.9 - 9.5 0.3 2.1 - 9.1 10.7 -23.0 - 4.8 -16.5 -18.4 -II.4 -17.1 -19.0 7.2 - 1.9 - 4.3 - 7.5 4.1 • THE MONTHLY REVIEW RETAIL TRADE AT 38 DEPARTMENT STORES SALES STOCKS (RETAIL) Stores March 1930 3 Mo. 1930 March 31, 1930 Report- compared to compared to compared to ing Feb. 1930 3 Mo. 1929 Feb. 28, 1930 Mar. 31, 1929 Kansas City...... 4 - 15.4 - 9.6 4.7 - 2.5 Denver.............. 5 - 12.0 - 7.6 3.4 - 9.0 Oklahoma City.. 3 - 4.-2 - 3.6 1.9 4.0 Omaha·-············· 3 - 5.7 - 1.6 Lincoln.............. 2 -14.9 - 8.8 7.3 - 15.3 Topeka.............. 3 -11.6 - 4.0 9.4 - 3.1 Tulsa.................. 4 - 16.1 - 8.9 1.7 - 0.3 Wichita.............. 4 -14.5 -14.6 3.0 - 3.7 Other Cities...... 10 - 11.5 - 5.8 5.2 - 6.o IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT STOCK TURNOVER ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE March 3 Months March 31, 1930 compared to 1930 1929 1930 1929 Feb. 28, 1930 Mar. 31, 1929 .21 .24 .60 .65 - 4.7 - 6.1 .19 .20 .54 .56 - 3.8 - 4.9 .29 .31 .79 .85 .22 .22 .23 .22 .17 .22 .24 .28 .25 .18 .64 .48 .73 .60 - .50 - .84 - .47 .46 - 4.9 2.7 0.9 0.3 1.2 11.6 0.7 12.8 3.2 - 2.7 6.9 15.0 0.5 - 2.8 -II.I Total.................. 38 -11.7 - 7.3 3.8 - 5.0 .22 .23 .62 .63 0.1 0.9 OTE: Percentage of collections in March on accounts February 28, all stores reporting 40.6. Collections same month last year 41.5. Trade Wholesale distribution of merchandise in this District in March, as indicted by the combined dollar sales of firms in five lines reported to this Federal Reserve Bank, was in larger volume than in February but in smaller volume than in March last year. Increases in March sales over those for February were reported for groceries; hardware, furniture and drugs, with drygoods the only one of the five lines to report a decrease from the preceding month. Decreases from a year ago were general, with furniture as the only wholesale line to report an increase. The returns for the first three months of 1930 show sales in each of the five leading lines fell below those for the corresponding period in 1929. Department stores sales for March showed a seasonal increase over February but were considerably below those for the corresponding month a year ago, according to complete reports made to this Federal Reserve Bank by thirty-eight stores located in cities of this District. The decrease from a year ago reflected in part the fact that Easter this year (April 20th) was twenty days later than last year (March 31st). Reports of individual stores indicated that the decrease was general over the District, as only three stores reported a larger business for March than for the same month last year. Reports of other retail firms disclosed March sales of men's and women's apparel, shoes and furniture averaged lower than for the corresponding month last year. Stocks of merchandise on hand at department stores at the end of March averaged slightly higher than at the close of February, although they were somewhat lower than on March 31, 1929. Stocks of men's and women's apparel at the end of March were about IO percent higher than a year ago, while stocks of shoes were about 17 percent lower than a year ago, and stocks of furniture for all stores reporting averaged about 6 percent larger than a year ago. COLLECTIO S: Department stores, in their reports covering the month of March, indicated collections for the month totaled 40.6 percent of amounts outstanding at the close of February. This collections figure compares with 40 percent for the · preceding month and 41.5 percent for the corresponding month last year. Wholesale firms reported some seasonal improvement in collections during March, and but slight change in the COLLECTIONS March 1930 compared to Feb. 1930 Mar. 1929 2 -4 - 1 7.9 -16.4 0.4 - 4.0 7.8 - 10.0 1.2 - II.2 -13.0 - 11.3 4.0 10.7 - 1.3 - 5.6 - 4.7 Even 3.6 1.7 ratio of collections to outstandings as compared with the same period last year. Retail lumber yards reported their collections during the month were materially above those for the preceding month but a fractional part of one percent below the figure for the corresponding month last year. Business Failures Business failures in the Tenth District, reported by R. G. Dun & Company, were slightly more numerous in March and the first three months of the current year than in the corresponding month and first quarter of 1929. The record of failures and liabilities: NUMBER 1930 March.................................................. 124 Three months...................................... 402 1929 I 19 384 LIABILITIES 1930 $1,826,632 7,040,825 1929 $1,706,639 4,485,894 Lumber Sales oflumber at 177 retail yards in this district during March increased 17.5 percent over February, but were 21.6 percent below sales for March last year, while sales for the first quarter of 1930 were 14.1 percent below those for the first quarter of 1929. Lumber sales in board feet during March and the first quarter of the year, with last year's figures for comparison, follow: 1930 1929 Decrease Month of March.............................................. 5,189,000 6,622,000 1,433,000 Three Months.................................................. 12,345,000 14,366,000 2,021,000 Statistics for the month of March, compiled from the reports of the 177 retail lumber yards, are compared with those for February 1930 and March 1929 in the following: March 1930 Percent Change from Feb. 1930 Mar. 1929 Sales of lumber, board feet........ ............................................ 17.5 -21.6 Sales of all materials, dollars.-.. ················ · · · - - - 24.1 -12.7 Stocks of lumber, board feet....... ........................................... - 2.1 - 5.9 Outstandings, end of month.................................................. 6.1 - 3.8 Collections during month...................................................... 26.1 - o.8 Comparative figures of identical mills, reported to the ational Lumber Manufacturers Association, show lumber production in the United States totaled 3,782,607 M feet for the thirteen weeks ending March 29, I 930. This total compares with production of 4,223,669 M feet, for the first thirteen weeks of 1930, WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TE TH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES OuTSTA~DINGS COLLECTIONS Reporting Mar. 1930 compared with Mar. 31, 1930 compared with Mar. 1930 compared with Stores Feb. 1930 Mar. 1929 Feb. 28, 1930 Mar. 31, 1929 Feb. 1930 Mar. 1929 Dry Goods .................................... O.I - 10.5 - 9.6 16.~ - 6.4 - 7.3 5 Groceries........................................ -12.3 2.1 6.6 8.9 - 16.4 5 3.4 Hardware...................................... 20.l - 5.1 27·5 . 4.6 9.7 4.4 9 6 Furniture ...................................... 27.0 2 1.4 2.8 4.9 5.5 9•4 Drugs ............................................ 4.I 1.4 - 6.8 2.1 2.8 - 7.7 5 STOCKS Mar. 31, 1930 compared with Feb. 28, 1930 Mar. 31, 1929 - 1.5 - 16.5 - 0.4 - 11.8 4.6 - 6.o 6.o 0.9 +6 - 6.2 THE MONTHLY REVTEW 4 indicating a decrease of 441,062 M feet, or 10.4 percent. Shipments during this year's thirteen week period totaled 3,747,041 M feet, a decrease of 646,543 M feet or 14.7 percent. Orders received for this period totaled 3,743,490 M feet, a decrease of 927,913 M feet, or 20 percent. Cement The Portland cement industry in March 1930 produced 1,185,000 barrels and shipped 1,002,000 barrels of cement from the mills in this District, according to the United States Bureau of Mines, D epartment of Commerce. The March production showed an increase of 346,000 barrels over February and an increase of 508,000 barrels over March last year. Shipments during March showed an increase of 134,000 barrels over February, but a decrease of 47,000 barrels as compared with March last year. The record for the first three months of 1930 was a production of 2,725,000 barrels, an increase of 828,000 barrels over the first three months of 1929. Shipments for the first three months period, totaling 2,183,000 barrels, exceeded those for the corresponding period last year by 356,000 barrels. Producti on and shipments of Portland cement at the mills in this District, and for all reporting mills in the United States, for the fi.rst three months fo 1930 and 1929, are shown in the following. table: PRODUCTION 1930 1929 Barrels Barrels January....................................... . 701,000 664,000 February..................................... . 839,000 556,000 March .......................................... 1,185,000 677,000 SHIPMENTS 1930 1929 Barrels Barrels 410,000 313,000 868,ooo 368,000 1,002,000 1,049,000 Tenth District, 3 months.......... 2,725,000 1,897,000 2,183,000 1,827,000 United States, 3 months·--······· 27,885,000 '.!8,372,000 20,813,000 21,268,000 Stocks of finished cement at mills in this District on March 31 totaled 2,457,000 barrels, against 2,275,000 barrels on February 28, and 1,948,000 barrels on March 31, 1929. Stocks at all reporting mills in the United States on March 31 were 30,563,000 barrels, compared with 28,184,000 on February 28 and 29,724,000 barrels on March 31, I 929. Building Building activity in the Tenth District expanded seasonally in March and the returns for the month and first quarter indicated construction was considerably ahead of the correspor.ding month and first quarter of 1929. According to the reports of the F. W . Dodge Corporation, the value of contracts awarded for new building construction in the District during M arch was 98.9 percent higher than for February and 57.3 percent higher than for M arch last year, while the value of contracts for the first quarter of 1930 was 34.1 precent a bove the corresponding period in 1929. Figures showing the value of contracts awarded follow: 1930 January...................................................................... $14,921,775 February.................................................................... 18,071,222 March........................................................................ 35,973,650 Three months._ ............................................................. i68,966,647 1929 $I 5,667,726 12,873,882 22,853,655 $51,395,263 The number and value of building projects started in twenty cities of this District in March, as indicated by permits issued, showed a seasonal increase over February but fell below the total for March of the preceding year. The returns for the month show the number of permits issued was 33.1 percent greater than in February but 22.2 percent less than in March a year ago. The value of permits for March showed an increase of 27.8 percen t over February but a decrease of 17.5 percent from the total reported for the same month last year. BUILDING IN TENTH DISTRICT CITIES EsTIMATED CosT PERMITS 1929 1930 1930 1929 88 $ 267,175 '$ 230,837 Albuquerque, N. M..·-········· IOI 2 8 10,925 3,500 Casper, Wyo·- -····················· Cheyenne, Wyo .................... 46,635 27 25 37,934 142,014 Colorado Springs, Colo·-····· 51 47,374 74 Denver, Colo........................ 501 2,179,850 702,450 565 Hutchinson, Kans ................ 81,865 48 302,370 87 20 Joplin, Mo............................ 51,165 53,820 36 208,820 104,100 Kansas City, Kans .............. 104 76 Kansas City, Mo._ ............... 212 1,276,225 342 927,95° IOI 60,020 66 Lincoln, Nebr 188,u7 Muskogee, Okl 31,190 23 5,45° 7 1,74o,74o 2,104,280 Oklahoma City, Okla.......... 410 385 100 310,188 Omaha, Nebr.. 1,881,967 95 198,519 II9 58,594 Pueblo, Colo·-······················· IOI Salina, Kans.......................... 81,725 515,900 36 38 Shawnee, Okla ...................... 56 44,175 u7,055 33 66 St. Joseph, Mo 76,640 56 96,525 Topeka, Kans ...................... 213,320 127 106,425 70 260 Tulsa, Okla. 1,548,295 965,692 431 1,012,307 Wichita, Kans ...................... 219 346 966,737 March, 20 citie .. 2,412 Three months, 20 cities .... _ 5,002 3,100 5,637 Percent Change 15-7 212.I -18.7 -66.6 -67.8 -'7 2·9 5-2 -50.1 37.5 -68.I -82.5 - 17.3 506.7 ,0.5 -84.2 ·-62.3 25•9 -50.1 -37.6 - 4.5 $ 8,589,918 f,10,408,952 - 17.5 18,506,368 20,199,313 - 8.4 Petroleum The petroleum industry, in the various fields of this District, produced 72,655,000 barrels of crude oil during the first three months of 1930, according to the weekly reports of the American Petroleum Institute. This output compares with 78,306,000 barrels produced during the first three months of 1929, indicating a decrease for this year's three months of 5,651,000 barrels, or 7.2 percent. The production in this District represented approximately 30 percent of the total United States production, estimated at 232,543,000 barrels for the first three months of the current year. The decline in production in this District, above noted, is attributed to extensions of conservation agreements among leading producers in an effort to solve the problem of over-production. The flow of crude oil from wells in this District during March was at a daily average of 801,000 barrels compared with 809,000 barrels for February and 841,200 barrels for March 1929. Because there were three more days in March the gross production for the month exceeded that for February, but was smaller than in March of last year. Figures showing the daily average and gross production in each of the five producing states follow: DAILY AVERAGE PRODUCTION *Mar. 1930 Feb. 1930 Mar. 1929 Barrels Barrels Barrels Oklahoma...................................................... 620,000 631,000 681,000 111,000 u5,ooo 99,6oo Kansas·--······················································· Wyoming..................................................... . 50,000 51,000 50,400 Colorado....................................................... . 6,6oo 5,000 5,000 II,000 11,000 New Mexico .................................................. 2,900 :fotal.._.......................................................... 801,000 GROSS PRODUCTION *Mar. 1930 Feb. 1930 Mar. 1929 Barrels Barries Barrels Oklahoma...................................................... 19,247,000 17,674,000 21,133,000 3,102,000 3,086,000 Kansas·-- ······················································· 3,573,000 Wyoming...... ................................................ 1,525,000 1,431,000 1,561,000 Colorado........................................................ 144,000 146,000 205,000 New Mexico.. ................................................ 339,000 304,000 91,000 Total.. ............................................................ 24,828,000 *Estimated, American Petroleum Institute. 22,657,000 26,076,000 ew wells completed during March, except for January, were more numerous than in any month since last N ovember and also 5 THE MoNTHLY REvTEW showed an increase over March last year. Daily new production from completed wells during March was 125,506 barrels in excess of the daily new production in February, and 276,992 barrels in excess of daily new production in March last year. Oklahoma's 285 new wells completed during the month furnished the bulk of new production reported. Development operations were slightly curtailed during the month and the number of wells drilling on April 1 was the smallest reported since July 1, 1928, and, with the exception of March 1928, the smallest for March on eleven years records. The field summary follows: Wells Barrels Daily Dry Gas Rigs-Wells Completed New Production Wells Wells Drilling Oklahoma............................ 28 5 372,423 89 31 885 310 Kansas·--·········---93 17,500 44 8 Wyoming............................ 3 1,664 o o 148 Colorado ...... ·-····················· 2 l 93 New Mexico........................ 11 1,451 5 5 93 March 1930........................ 394 February 1930.................... 242 March 1929........................ 347 3 Months 1930._................. 1,n1 3 M9nths 1929.____ 1,n2 394,038 168,531 n7,046 1,258,632 313,454 139 73 II4 365 388 41 32 31 121 107 1,520 1,681 1,554 A seasonal increase in operation of petroleum refineries m Oklahoma and Kansas is reflected by the report which follows: Plants Daily Runs Operating to Stills 304,150 April 1, 1930·--····································································· 57 March 1, 1930....................................................................... 57 193,550 April 1, 1929........................................................................ 55 290,700 Bituminous Coal The production of soft coal at the mines in the Tenth District in March and the first quarter of 1930 was the smallest in tonnage reported for the corresponding month and first three months in the ten years these monthly coal statistics have been ·compiled by this bank. Production by states for the month of March with comparisions follow: *Mar. 1930 Tons Colorado ................................................. . 600,000 Kansas ............. .................................... . 165,000 Missouri .... .............................................. . 269,000 New Mexico............................................. . 131,000 Oklahoma ................................................. . n6,ooo Wyoming.... ............................................. . 426,000 Total. ....................................................... . • Estimated. Feb. 1930 Tons 74.3,000 255,000 327,000 148,000 286,000 439,ooo Mar. 1929 Tons 693,000 196,000 270,000 205,000 200,000 490,000 2,198,000 This District's production for the first three months of 1930 totaled 7,310,000 tons as compared with 8,568,000 tons for the first three months of 1929, a decrease of 1,258,000 tons, or 14.7 percent. Production of soft coal in the United States during the 19291930 coal year to March 29, (approximately 306 working days), amounted to 515,851,000 net tons, as reported by the United States Bureau of Mines, Department of Commerce. For the corresponding period in 1928-29, production was 509,040,000 tons, and for 1927-28 it was 477,679,000 tons. Zinc and Lead Activity at the zinc and lead mines in the Tristate District showed further recession during the five weeks ending March 5. Ore prices continued low and, with producers refusing to sell any considerable portion of their product, deliveries during this period were in smaller tonnages than had been reported for a like period in several years. The average price paid for zinc ore for· the week ending April 5 was $35 per ton, as against $44 per ton paid during the corresponding week last year. Lead ore prices for that week averaged $65 per ton, against $100 per ton a year ago. Shipments of zinc and lead ore in tonnages and values are here shown: ZJNc ORE Tons Value Oklahoma.............................................. 29,988 . $1,101,174 Kansas .................................................. 14,644 538,132 Missouri ............................................... . 847 31,219 5 Wks. ending Apr. 5, 1930.............. 5 Wks. ending Mar. 1, 1930............ 5 Wks. ending Apr. 6, 1929.............. 14 Wks. ending Apr. 5, 1930.............. 45,479 47,326 74,016 130,836 14 Wks. ending Apr. 6, 1929.............. 187,792 LEAD ORE Tons 2,732 1,303 242 Value f, 182,219 92,792 15,856 f,1,670,525 4, 2 77 1,719,610 6,366 3,104,758 1 3, 1 55 4,721,220 13,490 7,683,331 29,652 f, 190,867 477,450 1,332,670 981,842 2,800,579 Grain Movements Reports from the five principal grain markets in this District show March receipts of wheat, corn, rye and kafir were considerably smaller than in either February of this year or March of last year. Receipts of oats during the month were larger than in the preceding month and the largest for March since 1924. Barley receipts were smaller than those recorded for February, but were the largest for any March since 1921. Reports for the first three months of 1930 show the flow of grain from farms and country elevators to the five markets was considerably smaller than for the first three months of 1929 for :111 classes of grain except oats and barley which showed material increases over a year ago. MARCH RECEIPTS OF GRAIN AT TENTH DISTRICT-MARKETS Hutchinson............ Kansas City .......... Omaha·-················· St. Joseph.............. Wichita.................. Wheat Corn Oats Rye Barley Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels 743,850 263,750 1,200 10,000 3,362,940 2,428,500 692,000 3,000 104,000 500,800 2,095,800 1,020,000 7,000 41,600 208,500 1,027,500 182,000 19,250 411,000 370,500 16,500 1,300 20,800 326,700 12,500 205,650 21,400 289,550 77,500 187,750 99,800 728,100 225,600 575,250 492,400 835,000 1,059,100 1,904,700 3,7n,200 - - -- ---- - - - - - - - - - March 1930·---····· 5,227,090 February 1930...... 10,293,360 March 1929.......... 9,886,230 3 Mos. 1930.......... 24,613,740 3 Mos. 1929 ..........35,550,900 6,186,050 1,910,500 10,404,450 1,339,500 8,540,950 1,402,000 26,790,550 4,170,000 28,196,950 3,365,000 Kafir Bushels 141,700 4,500 19,500 Flour Production Flour mills in this District were operated during March at 65.2 percent of capacity, compared with 66.1 percent in February and 67.6 percent in March last year. Because of a difference of three milling days, however, the March output exceeded that for February by 131,437 barrels, although it was 106,775 barrels below the production in March 1929. The number of barrels produced at the different milling centers compiled from reports to the Northwestern Miller, follows: Feb. 1930 Barrels 121,581 St. Joseph_............................................... . Wichita...·-·········································-····· Outside...·--·············································· Mar. 1930 Barrels 126,096 6o6,745 109,509 146,679 140,407 137,083 803,503 TotaL........................................................ 1,070,021 Atchison .................................................... Kansas City............................................. . Omah...__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ Salin..___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ Mar. 1929 Barrels 111,612 577,0 72 631,872 85,685 137,377 69,215 171,346 776,309 81,954 171,037 101,448 131,013 946,861 1,938,585 2,176,797 Reports of a reduced wheat crop, together with strengthening of wheat prices, stimulated activity at the mills in the latter part of the month. But new business was largely in small lot shipments, although shipping instructions on old contracts were more active than for several weeks. Foreign trade was reported as only fair, and millers were centering their efforts on domestic business. 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW The Crops Livestock Dry weather over the extensive farming area of the Tenth District and the Southwest, continuing through the first six weeks of the Spring season with practically no precipitation of moisture, was effectually broken by a series of rains which began falling at the middle of April. Winter wheat and other growing crops, and pastures, which had made little progress or had deteriorated somewhat during this period, responded immediately to the changed conditions of weather and soil. The planting of corn, cotton and other spring seeded crops, which had been interrupted in many sections by dry surface soil, was resumed. Reports from over this District in the third week of April indicated prospects for crop production in 1930 were materially improved as compared with the outlook at the opening of the month. Livestock on~farms and ranges in this District improved in condition during March and the official reports for April generally reflected a higher condition than either a month earlier or a year ago and fully up to the five year average. Due to the open weather, losses were light and feeding requirements were reduced. The condition of cattle in Colorado on April 1 was estimated at 95 percent of normal compared with 94 percent on March 1 and 90 percent on April 1, 1929. The condition of sheep on April 1 was estimated for that state at 96 percent of normal compared with 95 percent one month earlier and 89 percent one year ago. These percentage figures vary but slightly from those reported for other states in this District. Winter Wheat Reports of the United States Department of Agriculture and cooperating State Boards of Agriculture for the seven states whose areas or parts form the Tenth District, indicated winter wheat came to April 1 showing an average condition of 79 percent of normal, which is one point lower than the condition on on April 1 last year, and one point lower than the April 1 average for the preceding ten years. The April 1 condition indicated production for the seven states of 275,708,000 bushels on 24,334,000 acres sown last fall, compared with last year's yield of 270,848,000 bushels on 23,793,000 acres sown in the fall of 1928. However, the continued warm dry weather during the first two weeks of April, and considerable deterioration during that period, would indicate a probable reduction in the estimated production. WINTER WHEAT CONDITION, ACREAGE AND ESTIMATED PRODUCTION Compiled from April Reports of the United States and Cooperating State Departments of Agriculture., Condition Acres Sown Production April I Fall of Estimated Bushels 1930 1929 1929 1928 April, 1930 Final 1929 Colorado.......... 74 83 1,565,000 1,304,000 13,800,000 n,994,000 Kansas·--········· 78 77 12,687,000 12,083,000 144,500,000 137,712,000 Missouri .......... 75 86 1,613,000 1,792,000 18,200,000 17,200,000 Nebraska·--····· 90 83 . 3,686,000 3,686,000 • 55,320,000 53,664,000 New Mexico.... 77 82 345,000 329,000 2,900,000 4,734,000 Oklahoma........ 73 79 4,326,000 4,506,000 39,700,000 44,478,000 Wyoming·---··· 90 87 I 12,000 93,000 • 1,288,000 1,o66,ooo Seven States._. 79 United States.. 77.4 •Estimated. 80 82.7 24,334,000 23,793,000 275,708,000 270,848,000 43,690,000 42,820,000 550,300,000 578,336,000 PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS: The April reports on the condition of ranges and pastures were somewhat spotted. The Colorado office of the United States Division of Crop and Livestock Estimates placed the condition of ranges on April 1 at 94 percent, compared with 90 percent on March I and 87 percent on April 1, 1929, and 84 percent as the five year average. High percentages of conditions were also reported for the ranges in Wyoming and New Mexico. However, many sections of the Missouri Valley and the Great Plains areas of this District reported that cool weather in March and lack of surface moisture retarded the growth of grass on pastures and as a whole the condition of pastures on April 1 was lower than a year ago. The Kansas report placed the April I pasture condition at 76 percent of normal, compared with 85 percent for April 1929 and a five year average of 83 percent. The April 1 condition of pastures in the Blue Stem or Flint Hills region of Kansas was reported as 91 percent as compared with 98 p~rcent last Spring and the five-year average of 95 percent. For the Osage Country of Oklahoma the condition was placed at 87 percent, compared with 97 percent last year and 85 percent the average for the first five years. According to the joint report issued by the Kansas bureau of the United States Department of Agriculture and the Kansas State Board of Agriculture, 82 percent of the Blue Stem pastures had been contracted as against 89 percent a year ago, with lease prices a little lower than last year. In the Osage Country it was reported 85 percent of the available pastures had been leased, as compared with 94 percent at the corresponding date last year, with no material change in leasing prices. The annual spring movement of cattle to these pastures was about at its peak by the middle of April. MARKET MOVEMENTS: The month of March witnessed a somewhat larger movement of cattle, calves and sheep and a somewhat smaller movement of hogs to the six markets of this MARCH MOVEMENT OF LIVESTOCK IN THE TENTH DISTRICT RECEIPTS Kansas City...................................... Omaha·-········•···································· St. Joseph.......................................... Denver............................................. . Oklahoma City ................................ Wichita .............................................. Cattle 141,106 128,843 35,484 31,046 20,674 27,021 March 1930, ........ ........................... 384,174 February 1930, ................................ 327,128 March 1929, .................................... 317,428 3 Months 1930.................................. I,II8,628 3 Months 1929.................................. 986,297 •Includes 82,138 hogs direc t to packer's yards Calves Hogs 19,817 • 242,327 7,379 273,467 6,798 101,919 4,548 46,072 8,230 37,453 9,090 47,7 28 55,862 48,765 49,363 I 57,769 138,767 SROCKERS AND FEEDERS Sheep 215,108 336,872 179,095 198,012 3,445 17,437 Cattle 42,446 20,646 5,407 9,654 748,966 949,969 1,022,048 723,551 832,566 712,691 2,93°,7 19 2,300,879 3,121,226 2,048,828 78, 153 78,474 56,627 263,301 192,913 Calves Hogs 4,565 10,573 3,130 1,102 766 1,192 1,279 1,601 9,74° 10,535 6,091 31,617 21,945 14,468 18,930 28,002 41,449 59, 2 52 Sheep 14,524 21,616 21,245 6,31;2 63,697 61,228 82,257 192,586 285,429 PURCHASED FOil SLAUGHTER Cattle 6o,327 76,234 21,503 10,626 12,598 6,298 187,586 162,842 Ij4,814 550,748 556,654 Calves Hogs 14,794 • 134,896 4,193 159,9'17 5,616 52,207 2,135 37,072 6,590 30,140 1,737 42,206 35,065 32,679 36,874 99,3 11 105,53 1 Sheep 166,703 2o6,956 135,233 26,106 2,570 15,284 456,448 552,852 701,295 444,837 602,854 384,520 2,018,051 1,415,481 2,42.1,614- 1,150,045 7 THE MONTHLY REVIEW District than in February of this year or March of last year. The combined returns show the month's receipts of cattle were the largest for March since I 927 and of calves the largest for March since 1926, while receipts of sheep and lambs were the largest for March on records covering the past twelve years. On the other hand, the number of hogs received at these markets during March was the smallest of record for that month in twelve years. The returns for the first three months of 1930 show receipts of cattle increased 132,331 head, or 13.4 percent, over the receipts for the like period in 1929. By the same comparison, this year's three months receipts of calves increased 19,002, or 13.7 percent, and receipts of sheep increased 252,051, or 12.3 percent. This year's three months hog receipts showed a decrease of 190,507, or 6.1 percent, as compared with the first three months of 1929. During March the receipts of horses and mules at the six markets totaled 19,903 head, a decrease of 1,667, or 7. 7 percent, from the February total, but an increase of 1,377 head, or 7.4 percent, over March 1929. Receipts for the first three months of 1930, totaling 61,836 head, exceeded those for the first three months of last year by 10,173 head, or 19.7 percent. Meat Packing Packers at the six leading centers in this District killed and dressed 552,852 sheep and lambs during March, as indicated by their purchases at the livestock markets. This was the largest sheep and lamb slaughter for a single month in the twelve years these records have been maintained. The March slaughter exceeded that for February by 108,015 and that for March last year by 168,332. The heavy March slaughter brought the total for the first three months of 1930 to 1,415,481, which was 265,436 head, or 23.1 percent, above the total for the first three months of 1929. There was also a substantial increase in the number of cattle killed and dressed during the month, due to the more liberal market supplies of good killing stock. The month's slaughter of cattle was 187,586 head, 24,744 above the February total and 12,772 above the March 1929 total, and the largest March slaughter since 1927. The number of calves killed and dressed during the month was greater than that for the preceding month, but less than that for March last year. The total for the first three months of the current year, however, showed slight decreases in numbers of both cattle and calves from those reported for the like period in 1929. Operations in hog killing departments of the p acking plants were reduced somewhat during March on account of the marked decrease in market supplies of hogs. The record for the month was a slaughter of 456,448 hogs, 244,847 less than in February and 146,406 less than in March of the preceding year. The total slaughter of 2,018,051 head for three months of 1930 showed a decrease of 403,563, or 16.7 percent, as compared with that for the first three months of 1929. Business Conditions in the United States By the Federal Reserve Board Industrial production declined in March while factory employment and payrolls showed little change, and wholesale prices continued to decline. There was an increase in construction, as is usual at this season. Interest rates continued to decline in the first three weeks of March, but later became somewhat firmer. PRODUCTION: Production in basic industries declined in March, contrary to the usual seasonal trend. Average daily output of steel, coal, and copper decreased substantially, while output of cotton and wool textiles declined at about the usual seasonal rate. Production of automobiles and lumber increased. For the first quarter of the_year, taken as a whole, the output of PERCENT tit() PER Cll:NT 140 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 80r------+-- - -+ - - -- PER CENT 120 PERC£NT "' 120 + - -- 120 f ACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND Pl,YROLLS 110 I 120 basic industries was considerably smaller than in the unusually active first quarter of 1929, and smaller than in any other first quarter since 1925. In the steel and automobile industries the output for the first three months, though smaller than in 1929, was about the same as in the corresponding months in 1928, while in most of the other major industries it was smaller than in either of the two preceding years. Building contracts awarded increased substantially in March as is usual at this season, according to reports of the F. W. Dodge corporation. In comparison with a year ago a large increase in contracts for public works and utilities was more than offset by a decrease in residential building. Average daily awards in the first half ~ 110 - + -----180 601--- - +----+-- - - - + - - - - r -- - ----t-- ~80 60 """'---...I....--- --L------'---- --'-----<Nw.J60 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 Index of production of manufactures and minerals combined, adjusted for s easonal variations, (1923-1925 average 100). Latest figure, March, 105. 701Nv---,--_J__ _ 1925 _J_ _ _ _...1....-_ ____.__ 1926 1~27 1928 _ - - - ' -~ ~ 192-9 70 1930 Index numbers of factory employment and payrolls, without adjustment for seasonal variations, (1923-1925 average 100). Latest figures, March, employment 92.7, payrolls 98. 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW BILLIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 OF DOLLARS 10 MEMBER BANK CREDIT 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 PER CENT 7 PER CENT 7 MONEY RATES 1M NEW YOR•< 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 - Commerdol Poper /?ole Reserve Bonk IJ/scounl R,.../e w•• Acceplance Rafe 2 5 5 1926 1927 1928 1929 1930 1926 1927 1928 19:i9 1930 Monthly averages of weekly £gures for reporting member banks in leading cities. Latest £gures are averages of £rst three weeks in April. Monthly rates in the open market in New York. Commercial rate on 4 to 6 month paper. Acceptance rate on 9(>-day bankers acceptances. Latest figures are averages of first 20 days in April. of April were somewhat larger than in March, but continued smaller than a year ago. while the price of steel declined. On April 15, the price of copper was sharply reduced, and in the same week prices of a number of other important commodities also declined. · EMPLOYMENT: Factory employment and payrolls, which usually increase during March, changed little from February and continued to be considerably smaller than in other recent years. The number of workers employed in the automobile industry increased somewhat less than is usual at this season an<l reductions in employment and in earnings were reported in the iron and steel, machinery, and car building industries. DISTRIBUTIO : Freight carloadings, which have been at low levels in recent months, di<l not show the usual seasonal increase during March. Department store sales continued in smaller volume than a year ago. WHOLESALE PRICES: Wholesale prices, which began to decline last summer, continued to move downward in March to the lowest level since 1916, the decline reflecting chiefly sharp decreases in prices of agricultural products. Prices of imported raw materials such as sugar, coffee, and silk, fluctuated around the low levels reached in February. The price of silver advanced slightly from the low point reached in early March. In the last week in March and the first week in April there were advances in prices of agricultural products, especially grains and cotton, BANK CREDIT: At member banks in leading cities total loans and investments increased in the four week period ending April 16, reflecting a growth of$ I 84,000,000 in loans on securities and of $80,000,000 in investments, offset in part by a further decrease of $186,000,000 in "All other" loans. Member bank indebtedness at the reserve banks and total reserve bank credit declined further between the weeks ending March 15 and April 12 reflecting primarily additional imports of gold from the Orient. In the third week of March money rates in the open mar\{et reached the lowest levels since 1924, but in the next three weeks were somewhat firmer. Rates on commercial paper declined to a range of 3¼-4 percent on March 24 and remained steady at that level. Rates on 60-90 day bankers acceptances were reduced to 2½ percent on March 20, but later advanced to 3 percent. Bond yeilds, after declining during most of March, increased gradually in the first half of April. During April the rediscount rates of the Federal Reserve Banks of Richmond, Atlanta, St. Louis, Minneapolis, and Dallas, were reduced to 4 percent, the rate prevailing at all of the reserve banks except New York where the rate is J½ precent.