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0-----------------------------------------a THE MONTHLY REVIEW Covering Conditions in the Tenth Federal R eserve District FEDERAL l{ESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY For the Information of Member Banks and Business Interests of this District ASA E. RAMSAY, Chafrmon Board Directors C. K. BOARDMAN, Assistant Ftderal Reserve Agent and FedM"ol R1serve Agent and Setret•ry a--------------------,----------------------a VoL. 6 No. 3 Kansas City, Mo., March URTHER improvement of conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District is reflected by the reports from which this Monthly Review for March is written. Some lines of trade and industry are slow to rally from the depression incident to readjustment. But, all in all, the reports are such as to encourage the belief that well sustained progress is making toward better, sounder and healthier conditions throughout the District ancl Nation. Following the mildest February of recorded weath~r history, the transition of winter into spring was so nearly imperceptible that early March took on much of the usual spring activity. This was a bit disappointing to sales of winter wear and fuel. On the other hand it was a stimulus to spring trade in many lines; it quickened to a considerable extent manufacturing activities, and it gave the farmers an opportunity to do their spring plowing and planting earlier than usual without employing so much hired help. The labor situation, however, is unsettled, due to efforts at readjustment. Some reductions have been accepted by employees, but those recently proposed by the railroads and meat packing plants are being resisted, the former appealing to the Railroad Board and the latter voting to strike, though not averse to arbitration. There have been ! recent reductions of forces by railroads, some of the manufacturing plants and business houses, but on the whole the early sprigg activities noted have absorbed a big part of the unemployed. FINANCIAL. Still furth€r progre s in the direction of a reduction of the volume of credits is reported in this Monthly Review, although accompanied by a decrease in the aggregate of reserves and deposits. But the demand for loanable funds in the Tenth Federal Reserve Dis. trict-in which agriculture, live stock, mining and petroleum are the principal industries-continues quite heavy and there is no apparent tendency toward a softening of rates. Bankers seem from their reports to have met the large March 1 farm settlements and . the income tax payments without great inconvenience. The early arrival of spring weather. which is brinp-·· ing increased activity in many lines of industry. is adding to the volume of cash and credit requirements for ~uch purposes. Commercial and market needs are F 21, 1921 THIS COPY RELEASED. FOR PUBLICATION IN MORNING PAPERS MAR. 28 fairly active although the lower prices on merchandise, grain and live stock call for less money than in months past when prices were much higher. Considerable interest is being awakened among bankers of the southwest in trade financing, with particular reference to promoting foreign trade for the products of this district. There are also some evidences of interest displayed by bankers in bankers' acceptances. But it is apparent that the heavy demands on this district for a large production and marketing of necessities are absorbing their available funds; and thus at present they are not in position to invest heavily in the acceptance market. The Federal Reserve Bank at this time has only comparatively small holdings of bills, due mainly to the fact that member banks' requirements are heavy. The Federal Reserve Bank Statement.-Total gold reserves of the Federal Reserve Bank at the close of business March 18 were $75,972,889, a decrease of $8,710,005 or 10.3% from the previous week and $4,012,889 or S % less than the total reported for the corresponding date last year. The ratio of total reserve:, to deposit and Federal Reserve notes liabilities combined was 43.1 %, which compares with 48.8% on March 11 and 44.2% on March 19, 1920. Federal Reserve notes in actual circulation as of March 18 were $96,977,325 which is $1,600,450 less than one week previous and $5,753,920 less than one year ago. Federal Reserve Bank notes in actual circulation were $11,747,000 as compared with $11,956,400 one week previous and $17,541 ,300 one year ago, the decrease of these notes for the year being 33%. The March 18 statement shows $35,178,789 ' of bills discounted which were secured by Government War obligations. howin!s an increase of $1,567,672 over the total of March 11, but $1,568,467 less than at the corresponding reporting date in 1920. Other bills discounted totaled $64,540,641 in the last report or $1,264,668 more than on March 11 but $1,310,622 less than one year ago. Total gross deposits were $86,308,140 as compared with 85,646,959 as of March 11. Member Banks Reports.-Eighty-two selected member banks, b their weekly statement to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City as of March 4, reported an aggregate of $559,451 ,000 of loans and discounts and investments, which was $3,368,000 or .59% less than t he total loans and discounts and investments (Compiled March!'21, 1921) 2 THE MONTHLY REVIEW reported by the same banks as of February 4. Loans secured by Government obligations decreased $1,318,000 and loans secured by stocks and bonds other than U. S. Bonds decreased $2,970,000, while there was an increase in the volume of all other loans which amounted to $2,730,000. Investments by these banks in U. S. Bonds increased $559,000 in the four weeks, while there was a decrease of $366,000 in the investment in U. S. Victory notes. Net demand deposits on which reserve is computed aggregated $401,671,000 which was an increase of $424,000 in the four weeks' period. For the same period time deposits were increased $600,000 and on March 4 totaled $101,132,000. Government deposits showed a reduction of $263,000. Member banks' collateral notes secured by Government obligations were $18,643,000 on March 4 or $758,000 less thap. one month previous. Bills discounted by member banks secured by Government obligations were $3,881 ,000 or $558,000 less than on February 4, while other bills discounted amounted to $37,723,000 which was $7,352,000 less than the amount reported for this item on February 4. Clearings.-The weekly reports of clearing houses during March to this date reflect decreases in the volume of transactions of banks in cities of this district. The clearings for the full month of February were 31 % less than the aggregate for February, 1920, for . clearing houses reporting for the month in both year$. Clearings for the year to date are 29.7% less than for the corresponding period last year. Following are the clearings for 31 cities for February: Pct. Feb., 1921 Feb. , 1920 Change Kansas City, Mo .. .... $ 587,387,959 $ 924,040,930 -36.4 Omaha, Nebr........ 141,090,564 222,901,976 -36.7 Denver. Colo........• 104,699,043 136,359,289 -23.2 Okla. City, Okla...... 91,667,468 50,891,663 80.1 St. Joseph, Mo ....... 43,901,870 71,645,481 -38.6 Tulsa, Okla. . . . ..... 33,731,540 53,086,074 -36.4 Wichita, Kans. . ..... 32,688,405 53,871,389 -39.3 Kansas City, Kans ... . 15,425,977 16,010,338 - 3.6 Muskogee. Okla...... 14,325,406 17,429,304 -17.7 13,469,192 21,860,030 -38.3 Lincoln, Nebr... ·--------· Topeka, Kans. . ...... 11,601,484 14,372,146 -19.2 Hutchinson. Kans. • .. 7,626,000 12,220,000 -37.6 Cheyenne, Wyo. . . . .• 5,944,334 6,622,722 -10.2 Grand Island, Nebr.... 4,613,859 Joplin, Mo .. ........ 7,821,000 -45.8 4,233,000 Colorado Spgs., Colo ... 4,832,409 -21.6 3,788,296 Bartlesville, Okla. . . . _ 3,602,031 4,408,080 -18.3 Pueblo, Colo. . . 3,446,831 3,622,744 - 4.9 Independence, Kans. . . 2,530,323 Pittsburg, Kans ...... 2,334,627 2,386,801 - 2.2 Atchison, Kans .. 2,125,908 3,243,379 - 3.4 1,983,819 McAlester, Okla. . . ... 3,~42,000 -439 1,933,118 3,099,899 -37.6 Hastings, Nebr....... 2,885,430 -39.2 Fremont, Nebr.. 1,752,881 1,557,650 2,212,418 -29.6 Guthrie, Okla. . ...... 1,681,719 -16.2 Parsons, Kans. . ..... 1,407,965 Lawrence, Kans. . .... 1,252,791 1,728,704 -27-5 Miami, Okla. . ....... 1,069,674 1,419,900 -25.9 1,053,900 Lawton, Okla. . . ..... 854,987 -17.9 701,67-3 Grand Junction, Colo.. 423,989 786,063 -46.1 Emporia, Kans .. . . . . Total February . .... $1,143,371,577 $1,645,736,880 -31.0* 3,647,004,369 -29.7* Total Year to date. . . 2,581,165,139 *Percentage computed on cities reporting for February of both years. Debits by Banks to Individual Accounts.-The weekly reports from sixteen reserve cities of the Tenth Federal Reserve District reflect a decrease of 24.9% in the aggregate of debits by banks to individual accounts for the four weeks ending February Q, 16, 23 and March 2, compared with debits for the corresponding weeks last year. The four weeks' total was $957,957,000 for 1921 and $1,275,686,000 for last year. The debits reported for the week ending March 9, 1921, and March 10, 1920, were as follows : March 9, 1921 Atchison ..•......•....•.... $ 1,500,000 Bartlesville • • . • . . . . . . . . . . . • 2,218,000 Cheyenne . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,073,000 Colorado Springs • • . . . • . • • . • :2,681,000 Denver • • . . . • . . . . . . • . . . . ..• 32,771,000 Joplin • . . • . . . • . . • . . . . . . . . ... 2,274,000 Kansas City, Kans........... 3,777,000 Kansas City, Mo............. 68,754,000 Muskogee . • • . . . . . . . • • • . • . . • 6,176,000 Oklahoma City . . • . . . . . • . . . . 26,664,000 Omaha . • . . . . • • . . . . . . . . . • . . 48,438,000 Pueblo • . . . . . . . . • • . • . • • • • . . . 3,969,000 St. Joseph • . . . . . . . • . • . . . . . . 18,634,000 Topeka • • • . . . . . . . . . • . . . • . . • 4,598,000 Tulsa . • . . . • . . . • . . • . • . . • . • . • 20,923,000 Wichita • • • • . . • • . . . . • • . • • . . . 9,969,000 Total sixteen cities .....•.... $244,419,000 March 10, 1920 $ 547,000 3,044,000 1,888,000 3,445,000 43,597,000 3,374,000 4,546,000 88,669,000 6,876,000 21,398,000 66,206,000 4,256,000 20,838,000 6,816,000 27,343,000 14,233,000 $316,075,000 Failures.-Insolvencies during the month of February in the Tenth Federal Reserve District numbered 85 as compared with 82 in January and 29 in February of last year. Several defaults of unusual size in February swelled the aggregate of liabilities for that month to $3,993,889. This total compares with $1,767,286 of liabilities in January of this year and $484,025 of liabilities in February, 1920, when commercial mortality was at an unusually low level. MERCANTILE. Wholesale trade continues to improve. In dry goods there has been a steady increase in the number of orders placed, but merchants are exercising caution by buying for immediate wants and not inclined to anticipate the future. February sales equal or slightly exceed sales in February, 1917, 1918 and 1919. In other words the trade is now reported about normal. Figures given as showing an increase of 50% in sales in February over January, and 50% less than in February last year, are confusing unless it is explaine<i that in the fall of 1919 many of the wholesale houses took heavy advance orders for shipment in the first quarter of 1920, whereas practically no advance orders for hipm~nt in the first quarter of 1921 were taken in the closino- months of 1920. This accounts for the big shrinkage in sales in the early part of 1921 as against the early part of 1920, and it also accounts for the fact that outstandings at the end of February, 1921, were about one-third less than they were at that time in 1920. The millinery trade is having a very good season. The tendency is for popular priced merchandise and buying- is noticeably conservative. The gain in sales for February over February of last year by dealers in thi district is attributed in part at least to the fact that many large retail dealers in this district who THE MONTHLY REVIEW visited the more distant markets in past seasons are now buying in small lots at their nearest home trade centers, and saving railroad fares and high freight anu express costs. There is some indication of increased activity' in the shoe trade and also in men's and women's furnishings. Groceries and produce are in fair request and sales are a shade higher than a year ago. Attention is called to the report of one of the largest wholesale grocery companies in this _district which shows the tonnage of sales for February, 1921, was 5% more than the tonnage of sales for February, 1920, notwithstanding the money value of goods sold in February for that house was 22% less than the money value of goods sold in the same month of. 1920. Drug sales continue to fall below the sales for the same period last year, which is not surprising with lower prices prevailing this year. Wholesale furniture trade in February showed decided improvement over January but only in about one-half the volume of last year with sales expressed in dollars as a basis for comparison. The trade has apparently not yet come back to normal. Furniture and bedding are now priced approximately 40% under February, 1920, consequently wholesalers are obliged to handle more pieces to make up the volume. Stocks, however, are assuming more normal condition and deliveries from furniture factories are very prompt. The high freight rates are reported by some dealers as checking the buying by retailers. Hardware sales are improving materially as the season advances, but they are still considerably below last year. Retailers in the small cities and country towns are buying only limited quantities, owing to the light sales they are having with the farm trade. The mild weather in February caused a big increase in sales of paint by wholesalers to retailers for that month as compared with January, but in money value the sales for this year are decidedly below last year. Following is a summary of percentage of increase or decrease in sales by wholesalers for February, 1921, as compared with January, 1921, and February, 1920: Feb., 1921, compared with Jan., 1921 Feb., 1920 Dry Goods, 1 store . . . . . . . . . . . . 50.0% -50.0% Millinery, 2 store . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12.0% 36.9% Drugs, 2 stores •.......•...... - 3.8% -32.3% Hardware, 6 stores • • . . . . . . . . 27.0% -41.3% Paints, 1 store . . . • . . . . . . • . . . • 40.7% -34.9% Furniture, 3 stores • . . . . . . . . • . . 72.9% -52.8% Groceries, 6 stores ............. 1.61 % -21.5% The implement trade is reported quiet, though slightly improved as compared with the earlier weeks of the year. Retail Trade.-A gradual expansion of retail trade is reflected in the reports which come from many cities of this district. This improvement, however, is somewhat spotty since the slowing down of industries in some sections has a tendency to retrict the purchasing power of the people and country buying in other sections has not yet attained a high state of activity. The department store reports from principal cities indicate sales in February were better than in January, 3 and even with low prices the turn-over closely approximates that of the same period last year. The stores as a rule are better stocked at this time than they were a month ago, and though their purchases from the wholesalers are on small orders, they are in good condition to handle the spring trade. A fair idea of the extent of retail trade in this di3trict may be gained from the following summary of 17 department store reports to the Monthly Review covering February business: Percentage increase ( or decrease) of net sales during February, 1921, over net sales during same month last year ..•...............•.....•........ Inc. 4.1 % Percentage increase ( or decrease) of net sales from Jan. 1, 1921, to Feb. 28, 1921, over net sales during same period last year .................... Dec. 1.8% Percentage increase ( or decrease) of stocks at close of February, 1921, over stocks at close of same .month last year .........•.....•.•......... Dec. 18.1 % Percentage increase ·( or decrease) of stocks at close of February, 1921, over stocks at close of January, 1921 •...........•.•......••........ Inc. 10.0% Percentage of average stocks at close of each month this season (commencing with January, 1921) to average monthly net sales during the same period ...............•.....•......•..... 460.3% Percentage of outstanding orders (cost) at close of February, 1921, to total purchases (cost) during the calendar year, 1920....................... 11.8.% Percentage of collections during month of February, 1921, on amount of outstanding accounts on January 31, 1921................................. 47.3% Percentage of collections for same period last year. . 48.4% Lumber and Materials.-Sales of lumber and other building materials are reported as becoming more active with the opening of the building season and quite a few large bills are being figured with fair prospects of a goodly percent going through. Line yards are in fairly good shape but there is not a great deal of activity in rural districts. Prices of practically all building grades of lumber have shown further decline. There is a vast amount of building projected particularly in the larger cities but how much of this building will be done this season will depend largely upon the adjustment of wage scales and working conditions for which negotiations are now pending. Price Levels.-The current reports show further deflation in commodity prices but declines recorded are small and of less sensational character than those reported in the previous six months. Collections.-Scattered reports covering various lines of trade throughout the district show that there was some slight improvement in collections during the month of February and the sentiment among business men in this respect was one of hopefulness. AVERAGE CASH SALES OF GRAIN AT KANSAS CITY ON DATES MENTIONED IN CENTS PER BUSHEL Wheat Feb.18 Mar.4 Mar.18 No. 2 Dark hard winter ...••.. 172 170 160 No. 1 Hard winter ........... 167½ 165 154 No. 1 Red •. 181 176 157 Corn No. 3 White .. ............... 58¾ 60½ 68 No. 3 Yellow ••.•........•... 60 60 56½ No. 3 Mixed .• 68 69 66 Oats No. 3 White •• 44½ 46 41 ................ .............. .............. 4 THE MONTHLY REVIEW AGRICULTURE. The winter just closed was the mildest and without doubt the most pleasant that has been recorded for the states which comprise the Tenth Federal Reserve District. There was no zero weather in February and the percentage of precipitation was smaller than is usual for that month. At the end of the month the soil in many sections of the larger crop producing area was beginning to show the need of moisture, but this was supplied during the first half of March by rains of varying depth over sections where most needed. The open winter was favorable for plowing and pre: paring the soil for spring planting. vVeather conditions generally stimulated growth of vegetation and of crops in the ground, but as a result heavy insect infestation for the spring months was encouraged, and considerable uneasiness is felt in various sections of the district as well as in adjoining agricultural districts. The growing condition of winter wheat is generally fair to good all over the United States, according to the reports of the State Boards of Agriculture and the crop reporting service of the United States Department of Agriculture. In the principal wheat growing states of the Tenth Federal Reserve District conditions reported are such as to make the outlook especially promising. Winter wheat is well advanced and the acreage planted last fall runs but little below the large acreage harvested last year. An outbreak of green bugs is threatened in Oklahoma and Kansas, which .if not checked by rapid increase of parasitic enemies may cause damage comparable with that in 1907. In that year April was the month of greatest damage in Oklahoma, May in Kansas and July in the spring wheat regions of Minnesota and the Northwest. Some reports from Kansas and Missouri tell of the presence of the hessian fly, but this condition is not causing serious alarm at this time. There has been practically no winter killing of wheat reported. On the .whole the condition is very satisfactory. On account of the open winter and the low temperature there has been a larger seeding of oats than usual to this date. In Oklahoma and in the lower half of Missouri and Kansas seeding has been finished. Oats generally are doing well. On account of the heavy crop of corn last year and the large carry-over of corn in cribs on farms there are reports here and there of reductions in the acreage to be planted to corn this spring. However, the ve·r y favorable winter enabled the farmer to make good headway in preparing t~e soil during F_ebruary ~nd March to this date. It 1s too early to give anythmg like an accurate estimate of the 1921 corn acreage. In Oklahoma much of the cotton of last year is still in the fields and being plowed under. The reports indicate some reduction in cotton acreage this year, due to the low price and the- difficulty experienced by farmers in financing their crop activities. A large acreage of potatoes is forecast for the Kaw Valley potato region in Kansas. The ground has been in excellent condition and many fields were planted during the first two weeks of March. Fruit prospects are especially good at this time with practically no winter killing, but buds have been pressed forward so rapidly by the mild weather that there is still apprehension felt on account of possible freezing during April. Peach and plum buds have especially advanced not only in southern Missouri, Oklahoma and New Mexico, but throughout southern Kansas and up the Missouri Valley. The condition of fruit in this section is reported around 90%. The strawberry crop is beginning to move from the Gulf Coast sections and is making rapid growth in southern Missouri, Arkansas and Oklahoma, with an increased acreage reported. A Colorado report says that many apples will not be marketed this season from Mesa and other western slope counties, due partly to poor quality and largely to poor markets. Prices in such sections are quoted as around 60c per bushel. There is some interest being shown in additional apple orchards in Missouri with good crops for this year practically assured. Farm Reserves of Grain.-With every prospect favorable for a good crop year in 1921, the reports of the Department of Agriculture indicate that larger stocks of grain were held on the farms in the United States March 1 than on the same date in any year of history, with the possible exception of wheat in 1916, the year following the nation's billion bushel wheat crop. The percent of the 1920 crop of grain still in farmers' cribs and bins in the states of this district is even larger than the percent of carry-over for the entire nation. The reports from Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, Oklahoma and vVyoming, the great grain growing areas of this district, indicate that the farmers were holding 307,162,000 bushels of corn, or 56.1 % of their total 1920 crop. Their wheat holdings on March 1 totaled 81,737,475 bushels, or 28.9% of the 1920 crop. The carry-over of oats by farmers of these states totaled 116,974,120 bushels, which was 50.1 % PRODUCTION OF WHEAT, CORN AND OATS (BUSHELS) IN 1920 AND QUANTITY HELD ON FARMS MARCH 1 IN LEADING GRAIN STATES OF THE KANSAS CITY FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT. Wheat Corn Oats Production On Farms Production On Farms Production On Farms Colorado • . • . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22,821,000 6,390,000 17,450,000 9,423,000 8,058,000 *4,029,000 Kansas .•.......•.............. 137,056,000 41,117,000 137,535,000 74,269,000 68,799,000 33,024,000 Missouri 19 counties ............ 11,255,000 2,757,475 45,595,000 23,689,400 14,212,000 7,248,120 Nebraska .....•.....•...•...... 60,480,000 19,958,000 255,528,000 160,983,000 83,040,000 48,163,000 Oklahoma . . • . .•..•............ 46,240,000 10,635,000 89,320,000 38,408,000 48,000,000 18,240,000 Wyoming . . . . . • . . . . . . . . . . . . . • . . 5,081,000 1,880,000 1,560,090 390,000 ......... 6,270,000 81,737,475 546,988,000 307,162,400 District . . •.•..•............... 281,933,000 233,509,000 116,974,120 207,501,000 United States •....•............ 787,128,000 3,232,367,000 1,572,392,000 1,526,055,000 689,566,000 *Estimated. Percent of 1920 crop on farms in states of the Kansas City Federal Reserve District: Wheat, 28.9%; Corn, 56.1%; Oats, 50.1 %. Percent of 1920 crop on farms in United States: Wheat, 26.4%; Corn, 48.6%; Oats, 45.2%; Barley, 34.6%. 5 THE MONTHLY REVIEW of the entire crop of 1920. Compared with last year's holdover these figures show 127% more corn on farms in this district than at the same date last year, while the increase of wheat this year over the carry-over for 1920 was 27.9%. The h.eavy carry-over of wheat is attributed very largely to the effort on the part of very many farmers to so distribute their marketings as to maintain a higher level of prices. In regard to corn, however, it is noted that farmers generally are more or less indifferent about the immediate market. The huge crop of last year has given them an opportunity to store good reserve stocks. for the first time in five years and there is a disposition to hold on to the bulk of these res_erve stocks, at least until a good crop is assured for this year. The Grain Market Movement.-Marketing of wheat in this district in the month of February was on a larger scale than in any previous February, the receipts at the four principal markets being 9,463,050 bushels as compared with 5,850,050 bu hels in February, 1920, an increase of 62.7%. The increase was shared by all markets in about the same percent. Receipts of com at the same markets were 4,645,000 bushels against 5,038,850 bushels a year ago, a decrease ·of 393,850 bushels or 7.8%. The receipts of oats also showed a very large falling off, the decrease being 1,748,000 bushels or 64% for the four markets. The active marketing of wheat in February was a continuation of the disposition of producers to unload a large portion of their surplus for which they had anticipated higher prices. ·Hard wheat had a liberal price range during the month. Flour and Milling.-Considerable strength developed in milling situation in the southwest during the latter part of February and while there were no large bookings, the flour trade showed signs of healthy improvement during that week and in March. The flour output at reporting mills in this district in February totaled 1,192,730 barrels as compared with 1,535,078 barrels in the corresponding month last year. Kansas City mills, with a total of 301,380 barrels to their credit in February, made an increase of 6.4% over the output of one year ago. Mills at Omaha and at 82 interior points in Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma and Nebraska showed a slight falling off in the activity as compared with a year ago. The following shows the output of flour, barrels, at mills reporting to the Northwestern Miller tor four weeks ending February 26: 1921 Kansas City . . . . . . . . . . . . 301,380 Omaha . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49,457 82 Outside Mills. . . . . . . . . . 841,893 1920 Pct. Change 283,100 6.4% 75,605 -34.6% 1,176,373 -28.4% Total Barrels ............ 1,192,730 1,535,078 -22.3% Flour receipts in February at Kansas City were 48,100 barrels and shipments 250,250 barrels. In February, 1920, receipts were 68,900 barrels and shipments 243,750 barrels. LIVE STOCK. The reports from the farms' and ranges over the Tenth Federal ~eserve District say that all classes of live stock are generally in good healthy condition due to the mild open winter and a plentiful supply of feed. Cattle are doing exceptionally well although in New . Mexico at the end of February they were beginning to show the effect of scanty pasture resulting from dry weather conditions. Losses from disease have been light. On account of the highly favorable weather conditions the spring calf crop is expected to be · high. Very few cases of cholera are reported among hogs and there is noticeably less vaccination of hogs than usual in some places. Conditions have been favorable for a good lambing season. Active demand from eastern shippers at the leading western markets, and Pacific Coast shippers in the same markets, combined to lessen to a considerable extent the supply of hogs available at those market centers for local slaughter. On March 7 the top price of hogs at Kansas City was $10.60, showing an average price of $9.86 and an average weight of 236 pound~. At Omaha the top price on the same day was $10.25, average price $9.80 and average weight 254 pounds. The tendency to put heavy weight on hogs as a resuit of the abundant supply of corn has put a premium on lighter weights. Following sharp advances during the latter part of February lamb prices received a setback in the opening week of March with increased receipts and slow eastern dressed meat trade. Matured sheep showed a relatively smaller decline than lambs. Choice lambs at Kansas City sold for $8 .. 25 to $9.85 and at Omaha for $8.75 to $9.75. RECEIPTS AND SHIPMENTS OF GRAIN (BUSHELS) AT AND FROM FOUR PRINCIPAL MARKETS IN THE TENTH DISTRICT FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY, 1921 AND 1920. Receipts Kansas City St. Joseph Four Markets Omaha Wichita Feb., 1921 Feb., 1920 Feb., 1921 Feb., 1920 Feb.,1921 Feb.,1920 Feb.,1921 Feb.,1920 Feb.,1921 Feb.,1920 Wheat . . . .. 6,556,950 4.213,350 526,500 448,500 9,463,050 5,815,050 999,600 720,000 1,380,000 433,200 Corn . . .... 1,630,000 1,723,750 583,500 586,500 4,645,300 5,033,850 2,329,600 102,200 135,000 2,588,600 Oats .•.... 428,400 1,033,600 108,000 172,000 971,400 2,719,600 420,000 15,000 140,000 1,374,000 Rye ....... 30,800 1,400 81,700 183,600 67,100 49,500 126,500 Barley ..... 117,000 157,500 214,950 209,100 61,200 21,000 36,750 30.600 Kaffir ....• 463,100 721,600 19,500 497,600 721,600 15,opo Shipments Wheat . . ... 5,354,100 3,821,850 981,600 750,000 125,~00 207,000 144,000 7,292,700 4,867,850 776,400 Corn . . . . . . 416,250 646,250 1,481,200 391,500 235,500 2,376,950 2,808,150 1,888,600 88,000 37,800 Oats .•.... 504,000 712,500 610,000 72,000 34,000 1,201,000 2,236,500 1,380,000 15,000 110,000 Rye .. ..... 28,600 107,800 50,600 2,800 79,200 82,000 187,000 Barley ..... 75,400 84,500 70,200 18,000 5,250 21,600 150,850 124,100 Kaffir ••••• 211,000 285,000 15,000 226,000 285,000 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 6 Live Stock Markets.-The supply of cattle and calve~ continues to fall below last year's receipts at the market~ in this district although a greater number of hogs was marketed in February than in January and also in February a year ago. The run of sheep at the markets has been heavy for this season and but slightly below the supply of last year. The receipts of ~attle, calves, hogs, sheep, horse:; and mules at each market for the month of February, with the totals for January, 1921, and February, 1920, were as follows : Cattle Kansas City . . ... 110,044 Omaha • . . . . . . . . 93,395 St. Joseph ....... 39,035 Denver • . . . . . . . • 18,824 Oklahoma City . . 17,277 Wichita . . ....... 10,132 February, 1921 •. 288,707 January, 1921 .•. 406,904 February, 1920 . . 359,825 Horses & Sheep Mule8 Hogs Calves 3,180 -14,668 244,298 _ 142,989 670 4,407 326,486 184,639 82,450 1,567 4,979 178,250 94,857 950 39,259 1,825 784 129 29,710 1,706 363 898 29,606 1,685 29,270 36,599 33,151 847,609 777,551 648,939 506,082 509,252 520,918 7,394 5,997 29,099 Slightly higher prices were reported in the second week of March for most classes of cattle and hogs. Kansas City reported a beef steer top at $10.25, and Omaha at $10.00. More Colorado pulpfed cattle are being shipped to the Missouri River markets and some of these reached $9.75 at Kansas City. Stockers and feeders were in' v~ry active demand and prices approached levels which were close up to fed cattle, farmers paying up to $9.00 at Kansas City for be3t feeder steers. · Meat ·Packing Operations.-Purchases in Feoruary of meat animals for slaughter by packers at the six packing house · centers totaled 157,480 cattle, 22,574 calves, 641,193 hogs and 333,147 sheep. Compared with packers' purchases in January these totals show decreased purchases of 31.4% of cattle, 21.7% of calves, 10.3% of sheep and an increase of 4% of hog',. Compared with February of a year ago the purchases for the month this year were 14.7% less of cattle and 22.4% less of calves, while purchases of hogs increased 34% and of sheep 13.6%. Figures on packers' pUI"chases for February follow: Kansas City . . . . . . . . . . . . Omaha .. .............. St. Joseph . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Denver ................. Oklahoma City ......... Wichita ................ Cattle 58,746 56,490 22,221 8,115 11,653 255 January, 1921 ........... 157,480 January, 1921 ........... 229,778 February, 1920 . . ........ 184,930 Sheep Calves Hogs 13,721 183,132 119,958 1,916 243,608 129,384 4,509 148,435 66,217 1,067 35,740 16,795 1,072 26,484 781 289 3,794 12 22,574 28,846 29,102 641,193 616,444 478,476 333,147 371,332 293,357 PETROLEUM. The second week of March brought a marked improvement in the situation in the mid-continent fielq., with every oil purchasing company in Oklahoma and Kansas, with one exception, buying crude oil on a lOOo/o basis. It is also noted that in the face of a slowing down of new development operations pending ·r eadjustment in the petroleum industry, production of crude oil from wells in Kansas and Oklahoma has been steadily increasing since the low point of production at the first of the year. The output of crude oil in the two states was approximately 353,000 barrels daily during the first ten weeks of 1921. While this average- is about 13% below the daily average of last November, which was the month of peak production in 1920, it is considered exceptionally high for the season. The ten weeks daily average compares with 326,850 barrels as the daily average for the first ten weeks of 1920 and 288,790 barrels as the daily average for the first ten weeks of 1919. All districts in the two states during the period under review show a high average, even with fewer wells than former1y. The average number of barrels (42 gallons) of crude oil produced daily during each reporting week this year, and also for the corresponding weeks in the two previous years, is shown in the following: 1921 Barrels Daily Average Week Ending January 7 ................. 344,000 January 14 ............... 347,000 January 21 .......•..•.... 349,000 January 28 • • .....•.•..•.. 352,000 February 4 • . ..•.•......... 352,500 February 11 ............... 350,500 February 18 • . •••.......... 354,500 February 25 • • ••........... 359,500 March 4 • . ..••............ 364,500 March 11 • . ...•............ 366,500 1920 Barrels 1919 Barrels 327,000 321,500 323,500 324,000 325,000 324,500 332,500 330,500 329,500 330,500 277,000 268,500 277,000 279,500 287,000 296,000 301,000 302,000 300,700 299,200 Daily average first 10 weeks .. 353,000 326,850 288,790 ' The foregoing figures indicate a total production of crude oil in the two states for the first seventy day5 of 1921 of 24,710,000 barrels, compared with 22,879,500 barrels for the same period last year, and 20,223,000 barrels for the same period two years ago. Production in the Rock Mountain fields, according to current reports, is but slightly under the high daily ,average of last autumn and is considerably ahead of the production at this time last year. The output in January of 1,551,000 barrels was maintained through February. The current reports show that in the month of February, immediately following the big break in oil prices, there was a noticeable falling off in the number of wells completed and daily new production as compared with the record of development operations in January. The following shows the number of well3 completed and the total barrels of daily new produc- RANGE OF PRICES AT KANSAS CITY OF CERTAIN GRADES OF LIVE STOCK Beef Steers Butcher Cattle Feeder Steers Stocker Cattle Hogs Good-Choice Com.-Choice Com.-Choice Com.-Choice Bulk Sales February 15 ; ............ $8.25@ 9.40 $4.50@7.65 $6.50@8.15 $3.75@7.00 $8.75@ 9.50 February 21 •............ 8.40@ 9.60 4.50@8.00 . 6.75@8.35 3.75@8.00 8.75@ 9.25 March 1 .•....•........ 9.15@10.40 5.00@8.65 7.50@9.25 4.00@8.75 9.15@ 9.80 March 8 ............... 8.85@10.25 4.75@8.25 7.00@9.25 4.00@8.85 9.75@10.50 March 15 ••.•..........• 8.50@10.00 4.65@8.25 7.25@9.10 4.50@8.85 9,70@10.50 Lambs Med.-Choice $5.85@ 8.10 6.75@ 9.25 8.00@10.75 7.00@ 9.85 7.50@10.00 THE MONTHLY REVIEW tion for the months of January and February tn the stat~s of Kansas, Oklahoma and Wyoming, and also for the corresponding two months in 1920 and 1919: Wells Completed Bbls. Daily New Production January&February January&February 1921 1920 1919 1921 1920 1919 Kansas . . . . . . . 341 366 477 23,313 32,066 18,706 Oklahoma . . • .1,414 1,021 1,137 112,206 71,843 80,161 Wyoming . . . . 63 34 34 6,438 2,914 3,255 Two months . .1,818 1,421 1,618 141,957 106,823 102,122 At the end of February rigs and wells drilling in the three states numbered 2,624, which was 261 wells less than reported at the end of January. Kansas reported a loss of 23 and Oklahoma a loss of 262, while Wyoming reported an increase of 24. The figure .:; for the three states on wells drilling at the end of February and also at the end of January for the years 1921, 1920 and 1919 are given: 1921 Kansas .. ..................... 376 Oklahoma . . . ................ . 1,616 Wyoming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 632 1920 484 1,952 570 1,427 274 Three States February . . .................. 2,624 Three States January . . ...........•........ 2,885 3,006 2,195 2,980 2,352 1919 494 The noticeable falling off of drilling operations in February as compared with drilling operations in January is attributed largely to many operators pursuing a policy of confining development operations almost entirely to offsets pending the readjustment which is taking place in the oil industry. The reports indicate that the drilling of many new wells has bee:i stopped at top of sand and even at depths far above sand levels, while noticeably fewer new wells are reported as being started. This condition was described by operators as being merely temporary, in view of the fact that the extremely mild weather of the ' past sixty days is bringing improvement in the market situation. Mid-continent crude oil in the first half of March held steady at $1.75 per barrel, which figure was reached February 9 after a series of drops from the high price of $3.50 per barrel which started January 24. The price of crude oil in the various fields of Wyoming ,which was quoted at $2.60 down to $1.80 per barrel January 5, dropped an average of 85c per barrel and quoted March 11 at $1.75 down to $1.40 for the products of all fields except Mule Creek and Lander. which were quoted at 95c and 90c per barrel. MINING. Coal.-The rate of production of soft coal at the mines of this district which slumped considerably during January showed further declines through February and to this date in March. The reports indicate an average of capacity operation during February of 55.3% in Colorado and Wyoming, 50.7% in Kansas, 65.3% in Missouri and 56% in Oklahoma, with an average of 56.8% of capacity operation for the four states. The statement of the United States Geological Survey, Department of the Interior, as of March 5, shows that the weekly production of soft coal was lower than at any time during the past four years except duringthe coal strike of 1919. Production of bituminous coal 1 during the first 279 days of the past four coal years was given in net tons as follows : 1917-18 ............................ 499,655,000 1918-19 ............................ 515~364,000 1919-20 ........................... .437,596,000 1920-21 ............................ 490,512,000 Taking the reports from the coal states of this district, it will be seen that the losses in production from capacity operation have been largely a matter of "no market," while strikes were an important factor in bringing the capacity operation in Kansas below that of other states. In the mountain states, particularly in the Routt County field of Colorado, serious losses wer~ due to transportation disability which appears to have been caused by heavy snows and adverse weather conditions. The various causes for the loss in capacity operation are here shown for the four states, based on reports for weeks ending February 5, 12 and 19: Colo. Kans. Mo. Okla. Transportation Disability .. 13.6% .2% 1.0% 1.6% Labor Shortage . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.0% 1.6% 2.6% Strikes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16.1 % 1.2% Mine ·Disability .......... 1.7% 6.0% 4.2% .9% No Market ............. . 29.3% 22.9% 26.9% 39.2% Dist. Ave. 4.1 % 2.0% 4.3% 3.2% 27.1 % There has been little demand for domestic coal on account of the warm weather prevailing, while at the same time the demand for coal for steam plants was below normal and had much to do with the slowing down of operation because of "no market." Lead and Zinc.-The month of February represented the lowest ebb reached by the zinc industry in a period reckoned by decades. The average price paid for zinc all during the month for all grades was $22.78 as compared with $51.21 one year ago. Shipments of zinc ores dropped to 23,476 tons for the month, an average of 5,869 tons per week. This compares with 12,614 tons per week one year ago, a decline in shipments of more than 50% and a price decline of ap:::. proximately 60%. Thirty-eight mills were in operation in February as compared with 200 in operation one year ago, while labor employed dropped from 10,000 one year ago to 2,000 in February. Wages have declined 30% to 50%. There is no parallel in the history of the industry with which to compare present conditions, yet in the face of all these facts there has been an optimistic attitude and the spirit of industry remains undaunted. In the bins of the producers there now is 55,000 tons of zinc ore which on the basis of the pre ent prices for selling is approximately 50% below a normal price over a period of many years. As a result of these low prices there is considerable buying of zinc ores by the speculative class. This is relieving some of the mine companies to a very great extent and re•· moving the carry ch9.rges from the industry to the hands of the speculators, but so far as can be _seen at present this has not the effect of strengthening the market for zinc ores. The lead ore market, following the trend of pig lead, dropped to $32.00 the last week of February, a cut of $13.00 per ton from the opening market at the beginning of the month and establishing a new low level for lead ores. This was a blow to the mining industry, especially among that class of mines which produce 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW considerable tonnage of lead ores as a by-product. The higher prices paid have been a saving factor for that class of properties and this cut in prices is reducing the operation of mines of this character.. There was also an increase in the amount of surplus stock on hand among this class of ores, the amount rising to 600 ions of lead ores at the end of the month. The shipment of lead ores for the month aggregated 5,295 tons, a weekly average of 1,224 tons at an average price of $41.30. The Ontario Smelting Company announced the reopening of its plant on a daily schedule of four days per week and announced to its workmen that it would continue operations on that scale until its surplus stocks of ores had been turned to pig lead, at which time there would be further announcement as to the activity of the concern. Statement of C,onclition FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY Including Branches RESOURCES At Close of Business March 18, 1921 Gold Coin and Certificates ................... $ 2,502,321.22 Gold Settlement Fund F. R. Board............ 30,865,293.25 Gold with Federal Reserve Agent. . . . . . . . . . . . 38,156,390.00 Gold Redemption Fund . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,448,884.75 Legal Tender Notes, Silver, etc............... 3,200,942.70 Bills Discounted: Secured by Govt. Obligations .. ......... . 35,178,789.28 All Other ................. . ........ .. . 64,540,641.24 239,300.00 Bills Bought in Open Market ........... .... . 8,867,850.00 U. S. Govt. Bonds . ..................... ... . U. S. Cert. of Indebtedness ................. . 10,672,500.00 Bank Premises . . . .......................... 1,742,383.24 . 5% Redemption Fund Against F. R. Bank 915,590.00 Notes ............................... . 158,400.00 Gold Abroad in Custody or in Transit ....... . Uncollected Items . . . ..................... . 53,111,853.71 524,721.65 All Other Resources . . ..... .. ........... .. . Total Resources . . ........................ $255,125,861.04 LIABILITIES Capital Paid In ............................. $ 4,487,950.00 Surplus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9,158,814.24 Government Deposits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12,245,226.40 Due to Members, Reserve Account........... 72,765 .007.93 Other Deposits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,297,906.51 F. R. Notes in Actual Circulation............ 96,977,325.00 F. R. Bank Notes in Actual Circulation...... 11,747,000.00 Deferred Availability Items . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44,112,647.12 All Other Liabilities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,333,983.84 Total Liabilities . . ........................ $255,125,861.04 OTHER TOTALS Total Gold Reserves . ...... ................. $ 75,972,889.22 Total Earning Assets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119,499,080 52 Total Deposits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86,308,140.84 Ratio of Total Reserves to Deposit and F~deral Reserve Notes Liabilities Combined. . 43.1 % Ratio of Gold Reserve to Federal Reserve Notes fa Actual Circulation after setting aside 35% against Depogjt Liabilities.... 50.4% CLEARINGS Total Clearings for Week ................ .. . $219 .398,428.61 Total Number of Items Handled. . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,356,938.00 Note-In order to reveal more truly the position of the Reserve Banks the statement has been sU ghtly recast in form, the main chang-e occ 1rring in the deposit block. Instead of total gross deposits the statement shows total deposits which are made up of the following items: Government deposits, due to memb r~, reserve account and other deposits, including- fo eis;m government credits. R~serve ratios have been calculated in the same manner as heretofore except that instead of net deposits total deposits as described above have been used in the calculation. Colorado Metal Mines.-Metal mining in Colorado continues very quiet on account of the low prices oi base metals and high mining cost. The curtailment of operations in the base metal camps has, however, caused some little improvement in conditions at Cripple Creek, which is strictly a goldproducing district. At a hearing held by the Industrial Commission regarding the reduction in wages in the metal mines il was brought out that the number of men now employed in the mines is approximately 4,000 as against 10,000, which is considered a normal figure. BUILDING. The February building returns to the Monthly Review from the principal cities of the Tenth Federal Reserve District denote some improvement in activity. The number of permits granted in that month iu 16 cities of this district was 1,352, which is 526 more than the number of building permits granted in January of this year and 78 less than the number of buiiding permits granted in February, 1920. While the estimated cost of buildfogs indicated by the February reports is 17.4% below the estimated cost in January for the same cities and 56.3 below the estimated cost in February,, 1920, there is indicated by the larger number of permits issued in February a greater contemplated activity at this time. It is observed that the February reports show an average of $2,050 as the estimated cost of the buildings authorized to be construced, which is taken as evidence that more attention was given to the building of residences and that fewer permits were issued for large buildings, business houses and additions to manufacturing plants. It is noted that four of the sixteen cities reported increase in the estimated cost of buildings for February over the same month last year, these four being Leavenworth, Joplin, Pueblo and Kansas City, Kansas. The reports for these cities on permits issued in February follow: Permits Estimated Value Tulsa, Okla. . .......... . Kansas City, Mo......... . Denver, Colo. . . ........ . Wichita, Kans .......... . Okmulgee, Okla••....... Omaha, Nebr. . . ........ . Kansas Cjty, Kans ....... . Pueblo, Colo. . ......... . St. Joseph, Mo .. ........ . Topeka, Kans. . ....... . Lincoln, Nebr.......... .. Colorado Springs, Colo ... . Joplin, Mo............. . Leavenworth, Kans. . . .. . Muskogee, Okla........ . Cheyenne, Wyo. . ...... . 171 311 274 159 $ 644,160 11 8 598,850 506,250 262,340 219,850 179,620 89,505 66,593 44,300 40,367 28,325 26,013 27,185 17,000 15,310 5,900 Total Feb., 1921. ......•. 1,352 Total Feb., 1920 ........ 1,430 $2,771,558 6,339,545 44 67 55 77 46 43 23 46 14 3 Change Pct. -72.1 -6.4 -38.9 -52.6 -24.8 -83.6 .02 153.8 -13.6 -27.5 -77.3 -74.7 230.6 240.0 -87.6 -61.2 -56.3 While the foregoing figures show encouraging symptoms of increasing activity in the erection of homes, it is to be seen that even greater activity i~ sorely needed, and that there is apparently no limit t0 the amount of building of that class actually required for the present and the immediate future. There are apparent evidences of substantial recesses in prices of materials which are an encouragement to the larger activity in building, although the wages of the building trades have not come down materially.