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MONTHL·Y· REVIEW Agricultural and Busi'ltess Conditions TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT VoL. 22, No. 7 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY JUNE 30, I 937 Business in the Tenth Federal Reserve District MAY 1937 COMPARED WITH MAY 1936 1 -------"--...: Denver• COLO. % INCREASE 10 20 30_ 40 ·--------KANSA :' . I --• • --•- % DECREASE 40 30 20 10 KANS . I ' ·--·-··-··--·-··--r-.!--- •· ■: ·_M~m. - Bk. Loans ___ '•. Trade _ Wholesale Sales .... ___ Retail Sales ___ I _Lumber Sales .. _. Marketings . ____ Wheat·-·-····· .Corn_ •-··----· -52 _____ oats.- --~••. ·---Cattle.... ......: ___ ,, ___ Calves...:...____ _ _ _ .Hogs ______ •• .-----Sheep ________ : ._ _ __Flour ______ Production .._Cattle Slaughter... •• ■ . • • __ Calf Slaughter___ .. ____ Ho:: Slaue-hter..... :.. .. Sheep Slaughter.... ... Crude Petroleum_ __ Bituminous CocL. Zinc Ore Shipments Lead Ore Shipmer.ts Con•truction _.Tctal Awards .. _ _____ Res. ·Awards ____ _,Value or Permits ___ M iscellaneou• ii _____ RainfalL...- .. -· •1 ■ •-·• • •• •• ._Dept. Store Sales_ . .·- •Cash Farm Income _.Employment___ ____ Pay Rolls ___ •For previous month .. ■ ·_Life Ins. Sales ..- .- I • _ Demand Deposit!I ... ,· lower with the exception of hogs which are about $1.50 per hundredweight higher. The amount of corn and hogs marketed continues abnormally small, but the number of cattle coming to the market is much above a year ago. Petroleum output continues very high. Flour production is 10 per cent, department store sales better than 7, and cash farm income 12 per cent above a year ago. Bank loans tend to increase and investments to decrease but at a slower rate than in recent months. Bank debits have decreased but demand deposits are a little higher. ■ __ )fem. Bk~Invest._ • • ~ 10 20 30 40 10 F. R. Bk. Clearings ■ : ---· -· % INCREASE % DECREASE ·40 30 20 Fin"(IJCcial .. __ Bank Debit!I---· I The outstanding recent development has been the breaking of the drought. A considerably better than normal wheat crop seems assured and the feed and range situation is improved. Rains have delayed corn, yet even here conditions are favorable. Wheat and corn prices are appreciably below those of early May. Live stock prices also are generally 5 MOS. 1937 COMPARED WITH 5 MOS. 1936 BUSINESS INDICATORS --• --·-• •• --• I ■ • ■ • • .. , . -- 2 REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL AND BUSINESS CONDITIONS a fractional decrease in Treasury notes being offset by an increase in bonds. Loans and investments of reporting member banks Principal items of condition of the Federal Reserve in the Tenth District declined further from May 5 to · Bank of Kansas City and branches: June 9, continued growth in loans to the largest volume Change from of the year being more than offset by further decreases May 5 June 10 June 9 1937 1936 1937 in investment holdings, principally of Government (In thousandsof dollars) securities. Total reserves ................................. . 293,247 +2,939 +59,112 discounted ...... ....................... . 235 -155 -19 The accompanying table shows for the first time a Bills Bills purchased.......................... ..... . 114 +28 +27 more complete breakdown of the loan item than was Industrial advances....................... . 655 -28 -337 Commit. to make in dust. adv ...... . 128 -6 -349 available formerly. Of the total, 60.4 per cent are . U. 124,128 +7,284 S. Government securities._-····· commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans, 8.0 per Total resources............................... . 456,563 +2,308 +69,498 R. notes in circulation .............. 162,030 +1,100 +18,671 cent purchases of open market paper, 1.7 per cent loans F. Member bank reserve deposits..... . 240,822 -783 +67,804 to brokers and dealers in securities, 5. 7 per cent other Dollar volume of check collections declined somewhat loans for purchasing or carrying securities, 7.6 per cent in May from the rather high level of the two preceding real estate loans, 0.5 per cent loans to...banks,""and 16.1 months. Nevertheless, dollar volume was 10 per cent per cent a residual of all other loans. greater than in May of last year. Demand deposits increased by nearly 4 per cent durCheck collections through this bank and branches: ing the five-week interval from May 5 to June 9 while ITEMS AMOUNT interbank deposits declined further to the lowest level 1937 1936 1937 1936 in more than a year. At the same time, balances of (In thousands) these reporting banks at other banks rose somewhat May ..................... . 5,886 5,768 $ 953,852 $ 868,002 .................. . 6,188 883,693 5,907 1,069,304 from the low point following the May 1 increase in re- ApriL 4,395,414 Five months ....... . 29,416 28,548 4,870,770 serve r~quirements. Reserve balances at this bank, after reaching a new high .level around the middle of Bank Debits May, have tended to decline. Debits to individual accounts by banks in reporting Principal items of condition of 51 reporting member centers declined slightly in May but showed an increase banks: of 15 per cent over May of last year, or approximately Change from the average rate of increase so far this year over 1936. June 9 May 5 June 10 Payments by check in thirty cities: 1937 1937 1936 Member Bank Operations Loans and investments-total... .. . Loans-total. .................................. . Coml., indust., agric.·-··············· Open market paper...... ·-··········· To security brokers and dealers Other to purchase or carry secur. Real estate loans ....................... . Loans to banks........................... . All other loans ........................... . Investments-total.. ..................... . U. S. Govt. direct obligations.. Oblig. guar. by U. S. Govt ....... Other securities·--······················· Reserve with F. R. Bank. ............ . Balances with domestic banks ..... . Demand deposits-adjusted. ........ . Time deposits ................................. . U.S. Govt. deposits.----··············· Interbank deposits.......................... *Comparable figures not available. (In thousands of dollars) 686,993 -4,018 +28,991 254,844 +1,867 +28,272 153,874 • • 20,4]4 • • 4,243 -795 -537 14,612 • * 19,408 +355 +2,733 1,265 +167 -2,697 41,028 • • 432,149 -5,880 +719 250,703 -6,101 -3,745 46,635 +1,245 + 1,694 134,811 -1,024 +2,770 164,193 -760 +50,715 186,661 +4,084 -66,953 488,195 +17,032 +32,593 145,284 -287 +772 1,955 -1,692 -16,018 344,206 -15,674 - 8,108 Reserve Bank Operations Federal Reserve note circulation of this bank, which had fluctuated about a $160,000,000 level since the first of the year, rose during the first week in June to the highest level of this year. Circulation is about 13 per cent above that in June a year ago and almost equal to the record high level of the holiday season last December. Following an increase in April, total holdings of Government securities have remained unchanged, Albuquerque, N. Mex ...... . Atchison, Kans.................. . Bartlesville, Okla ................. Casper, Wyo .....................:. Cheyenne, Wyo .................. . Colorado Springs, Colo...... . Denver, Colo...................... . Emporia, Kans ... ............... . Enid, Okla.......................... . Fremont, Nebr.·---············· Grand Junction, Colo........ . Guthrie, Okla...................... . Hutchinson, Kans .............. . Independence, Kans .......... . Joplin, Mo .......................... . Kansas City, Kans ............ . Kansas City, Mo ..-............. Lawrence, Kans...·-············· Lincoln, Nebr.·---··············· Muskogee, Okla.... _............ . Oklahoma City, Okla........ . Okmulgee, Okla.·-··············· Omaha, Nebr.·-··················· Pittsburg, Kans.·-··············· Pueblo, Colo..---················· Salina, Kans.·--··················· St. Joseph, Mo.·-··-············· Topeka, Kans ..... .. ............. . Tulsa, OkJa,.---··················· Wichita, Kans ..................... Change from May 1937 Apr. 1937 May 1936 (In thousands of dollars) 14,748 +330 +3,641 3,357 -172 +370 29,929 5,535 8,508 13,714 169,657 3,463 10,022 2,621 3,875 1,669 12,766 2,658 9,926 15,016 325,615 3,483 28,635 7,634 108,012 2,790 142,397 3,704 16,446 8,662 24,410 15,843 159,194 46,267 +2,405 +88 -5 +202 -16,592 -19 -629 -45 - 74 - 104 -988 - 334 - 598 +79 - 9,629 -17 +452 -347 +296 +107 - 17,319 -265 - 5,502 -855 -3,228 -3,123 -2,474 - 3,958 +5,894 +507 +1,297 -191 +23,174 +201 +1,942 +38 +1,028 +328 +3,153 +493 +1,035 +2,540 +50,465 +526 +2,134 +234 +16,737 +71 - 3,105 +234 +3,597 +1,549 - 930 +358 +34,616 +6,145 District, 30 cities................ 1,200,556 United States, 141 cities.... 34,406,339 -62,318 - 2,726,995 + 158,081 +1,181,585 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY 3 first five months of the year were nearly 11 per cent greater. Sales of all lines except drugs increased, Dollar volume of sales at reporting department furniture showing relatively the largest gain as in other stores in the District showed an increase of 7½ per recent months. There was a decline of about 4 per cent over May a year ago. This is the average rate of cent in total sales from April to May, reflecting a deincrease for the first five months of the year. Gains crease of 3 per cent in drug sales, 6 per cent in dry goods were reported for nearly all cities, rather large increases and grocery sales, and 14 per cent in paper sales. Sales occurring in Wichita and Tulsa. Sales increased about of furniture were little changed from April to May and hardware sales increased about 5 per cent. 6 per cent from April to May. The general level of wholesale prices, according to Retail prices, according to the Fairchild Retail Price Index, continued to advance during May for the eleventh the Bureau of Labor Statistics index, was slightly lower consecutive month. Prices are now nearly 9 per cent in May -than in April but still was about 11 per cent above a year ago and are at the highest level since higher than in May of last year. Wholesale prices of early in the spring of 1931. The increase has been most chemicals and drugs are nearly 9, textile products 13, housefurnishing goods 10, foods 8, and metals and noticeable in prices of home furnishings. Stocks of merchandise declined about 4 per cent dur- metal products 11 per cent higher than a year ago. Wholesale sales and collections reported by the ing May but were still nearly 12 per cent heavier than a year ago. Collections on open accounts averaged Department of Commerce: 45.5 per cent of receivables in May, 46.7 per cent in SALES COLLECTIONS• May '37 5 Mos. '37 April, and 45.1 per cent in May of last year. Install• May Apr. May No. of comp. to comp. to ment collections averaged 14.2 per cent in May, 15.9 Firms May '36 5 Mos. '36 1937 1937 1936 (Per cent change) (Median percentages) per cent in April, and 15.6 per cent a year ago. 83.8 79.4 91.6 -0.6 +5.8 Drugs·········-·-···· 8 Department store sales and stocks in leading cities: Dry goods_ ....... 4 47.0 45.8 47.0 +6.4 +16.8 Trade DEPARTMENT STORE~ STOCKS SALES May '37 5 Mos. '37 May 31, '37 No. of comp. to comp. to comp. to Stores May '36 5 Mos. '36 Apr.30,'37 May 31,'36 (Per cent increase or decrease) Denver.............. 4 +8.7 +10.7 -3.8 +13.6 Kansas City.... 4 +5.6 +6.4 -2.6 +9.1 Oklahoma City 3 +3.1 +3.4 +1.2 +9.9 Omaha.. _.... _._.... 3 -3.6 -0.9 -4.0 +7.6 Tulsa._.............. 4 +11.7 +11.1 -5.6 +11.3 +33.6 + 17.0 -6.0 +11.6 Wichita ... ·---·-·-· 3 Other cities ...... 23 +8.6 +6.5 -6.6 +16.0 District....·-······- 44 +7.6 +7.6 -3.8 +11.5 RETAIL SALES May sales of independent retail stores were above a year ago in all states of the District except Nebraska. Increases were general for nearly all kinds of business and were especially noticeable in sales of dealers handling furniture and household appliances, hardware, and lumber and building materials. Total sales showed a gain of about 8 per cent. Sales of independent retail stores reported by the Department of Commerce: May 1937 per cent change from May 1936 Colo.-Wyo. Kans. Mo. Nebr. Okla. AppareL._. __·-···················- +12.5 +4.9 +6.2 ~ · +8.9 Country general... ......._..... +2.6 +8.9 +7.2 +1.3 +18.2 Department·----··-····-·······- +11.2 +28.6 +9.0 -5.7 +4.6 Drug·-·--·-·-·-····--·-··--··-----·-·-· +6.5 +2.9 +5.3 -6.7 +3.0 Furniture and appliances +18.8 +40.5 +6.9 +2.9 • +4.0 Grocery __·-··-·--···---····-···--···· +11.3 +6.4 +5.9 +4.2 +6.8 Hardware·----············-···· --· +23.1 +18.3 +4.2 +0.7 +14.8 Lbr. and bldg. rntls·---····· +22.7 +7.3 +13.1 -2.2 +14.5 Motor vehicle·-······-·-········· +1.4 +34.2 +9.2 -1.5 +1.6 *Furniture sales only. I WHOLESALE SALES The value of May wholesale sales was about 8 per cent greater than a year ago while total sales .for the Furniture·-·····-· 4 Groceries .. ··-····· 12 Hardware·---··· 4 rif~fiier.iI;;;:: 1~ +19.6 +4.7 +1.4 +0.4 +20.2 +21.4 +7.4 +1.7 +8.4 +18.9 67.0 49.7 100.0 100.0 49.8 47.9 73.3 68.7 76.0 76.6 47.5 98.0 53.1 63.6 70.2 District·---······· 56 +7.9 +10.8 74.7 78.1 71.4 *Collections during month on receivables at beginning of month. Crops The last official estimate before harvest indicates a winter wheat crop in the District of about 291 million bushels, which is one.fourth larger than a year ago. While the recent rains have undoubtedly brought about some improvement since this estimate was made, large acreages in western Kansas and adjacent areas of other states were already beyond recovery. Hail and insect infestation have caused some damage to the crop in Oklahoma and Kansas, but any material damage from black stem rust, which has been observed in Kansas and Nebraska, will likely be confined to late wheat, most of the crop being sufficiently matured. Wheat harvest had begun in the southern part of the District late in May but was soon delayed by the rains. Wheat estimates of the Department of Agriculture: Colo.. ~.·-····-·· Kans_............. Mo.·--··········· Nebr ..........._. N.Mex ......... Okla.·---······· Wyo.·---······· Indicated Final Final June 1 Mayl 1936 1935 (In thousands of bushels) 9,664 9,664 5,915 2,380 142,264 162,588 120,198 63,947 43,624 42,066 31,290 25,662 42,620 42,620 45,639 35,620 2,460 2,460 1,156 750 48,939 51,164 27,620 33,080 1,080 1,080 513 1,250 't States........ 290,651 U.S.·-··········· ~8,597 311,642 654,295 231,725 619,013 162,994 466,319 Aver. '28-'32 13,051 177,054 20,343 54,169 3,766 55,145 1,608 325,136 623,220 REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL AND BUSINESS CONDITIONS 4 Heavy and extensive rains in the last week of May be better than usual, very little frost damage having and the first two weeks of June have materially im~ occurred this spring. proved prospects for pastures and for crops still grow- Grain Marketing ing and will promote the planting of late crops. · Up Marketings of grains were generally in small volume to the latter part of May there had been"considerable in May. Receipts of wheat represented but 39 and corn loss of winter wheat in the District, particularly in 32 per cent' of the ten-year average for that month, western Kansas, and early crops and pastures had a but oats exceeded the average by 14 per cent. First poor start. Growing conditions are excellent but field arrivals of new crop wheat from Oklahoma in the forework was interrupted. The outlook for irrigation part of June are generally of good quality except for water is now quite favorable. excessive moisture. , Rainfall as reported by the Weather Bureau: Receipts of grain at· 5 markets in the District: May 1937 Total Normal COLORADO ---un 2.21 5 Mos.1987 Total Normal inches-)4.45 6.24 7.38 7.66 4.28 3.09 2.42 5.71 1.87 1.87 3.26 3.67 . Wheat Wichita.·--·-········ 421 1,307 476 72 499 May 1937._ __ ···-· April 1937 ___ ·--·-·· May 1936·-----·· 6 Mos. 1937...___ 6 Mos. 1936____ 2,775 3,637 3,019 18,946 18,013 Hutchinson ........ Kansas City···--· Omaha ..... ·---·-···St. Joseph··-··--·-- Com Oats Rye Barley Kafir (In thousands o!bush~ 4 50 66 180 577 91 458 686 35 98, 28 3 66 7 4 Denver____ ··-------------· Leadville ......... __ . ___ . Pueblo........·-·········-· Lamar·--··-··----·--··---Garnett·------·------·---Sunbeam·-·---·---·--·--- 1.46 1.79 .70 .77 1.12 .73 Topeka·----··-···--·-··---· Iola. __·······-·--···-·-·-·---· Concord.ia_·------·-····-Salina·-·---·-·--·-·-----·---· Wichita·--·-------·--···-·· Hays. ___ ···-··--·----···-·-Dodge City___·---··-·-· Elkhart._ __ ·--··-·--··--·· Goodland __ ··-··--·-···-· 3.12 6.27 1.86 4.01 4.13 1.49 1.64 .90 .58 4.48 ·4 .74 4.18 3.72 4.46 3.46 2.89 2.08 2.60 9.36 16.10 6.57 7.95 9.77 3.63 4.59 2.03 3.86 11.81 14.03 9.26 9.28 11.15 7.88 6.9() 5.52 6.34 St. Joseph __ .___;_··-·-· .Kansas City______ __ ··-Joplin·-··--····-··-·-····-··· 3.93 3.63 4.37 4.70 4.65 6.36 10.65 12.10 . 16.47 13.32 13.26 17.10 Omaha·-------------··-··Lincoln·----·---·-----·---Norfolk_ ______ ·----·-··Grand Island ____·-·· McCook North Platte.. _.____.::: Bridgeport_________··-- .. Valentine·--------·---····NEW MEXICO Clayton. _________________ 2.46 1.89 2.48 6.27 2.27 .64 3.11 1.72 3.77 3.93 4.27 3.95 2.86 2.80 2.82 2.73 7.09 7.07 8.59 9.13 6.27 3.74 4.56 4.03 9.24 9.32 9.63 9.07 · 6.60 6.70 6.63 6.88 June 15 1937 No~ 1 hard, dark wheat, bu. $1-:IT"' No. 2 mixed com,. bu ....... -1.18 .49 N o. 2 white oats, bu.·-·····-.85 N o. 2 rye, bu.·-··-·-·-···········-· .68 No. 2 barley, bu,.·-···---··---No. 2 white kafi.r, cwt ......_ 2.60 4.68 3.97 .35 2.44 1.26 .41 5.70 6.52 3.15 5.64 4.48 3.05 Live Stock . 1.30 1.60 2.28 .67 1.15 KANSAS MISSOURI NEBRASKA Santa Fe·-----------·--·· Farmington ________ .. _ OKLAHOMA ~ Tulsa_____ _ McAlester__________ .____ Oklahoma City______ Pauls Valley_________ . __ Hobart Enid. _______ Woodward _________ . __ 2.30 7.32 1.82 2.84 3.30 3.60 2.58 5.23 5.97 4.88 5.20 4.64 4.34 3.51 12.66 20.18 6.96 11.52 7.33 7.19 6.48 1.19 2.29 2.23 2.39 2.43 2.47 2.26 2.65 5.61 7.44 6.82 7.78 15.96 18.71 12.45 14.27 11.04 11.44 9.11 WYOMING Cheyenne_____·----·--·-·Casper____ . :Lander-----------·-------Sherida 6.50 7.18 6.70 7.28 , Oats, which were planted late and under rather poor soil moisture conditions, and other small grains have improved since the rains. Early planted corn is up to a good stand and is being cultivated. Progress and condition of cotton in Oklahoma is fair to good although plants are late and considerable replanting has been nee~ in the western portion of the state. The first cutting of alfalfa gave only a moderate yield, reflecting drought and the late spring, but the rains will help the se~ond cutting. Prospects for fruit appear to 1,105 1,396 3,245 8,818 18,215 964 1,002 778 6,971 5,157 38 43 61 167 293 185 238 291 616 1,202 61 64 109 343 564 Cash prices of nearly all grains declined at the Kansas City market during May and the first two weeks of June, reflecting a downward adjustment to a new crop basis in the case of wheat and abundant supplies of green feeds in the case of corn . Cash grain prices at the Kansas City market: May29 1937 $1.24½ 1.34¼ .51 .96 .79 2.49 Apr. 30 1937 $1.33½ 1.38 .56 1.10 . •87 2.36 May29 1936 $ .88 .60½ .25½ .52 .45 1.10 :MARKETINGS Marketings· of cattle, calves, and sheep increased during May and were substantially heavier than a year ago but hog receipts declined sharply, reaching a new low level. Large numbers of southwestern lambs again were a factor in heavy sheep receipts. Marketings of cattl~ and sheep approximated the average volume for May during the past ten years while calf receipts continued much above the average. Marketings of hogs were ·only one-fourth of the average volume. Live stock receipts at 6 markets in the District: Denver·-······················Kansas City·-·············· Oklahoma City............ Omaha.-·--········-··-·····-··St. Joseph_·-················· Wichita.·--···-················· Cattle 46,075 109,375 48,598 82,117 24,435 28,211 338,811 May 1937._ __ ·····---··-···· 301,149 April 1937 ......·-·-·········· 276,356 May 1936·---··-··--·--····5 Mos. 1937._ ____-___ ·-··-· 1,675,915 5 Mos•.1936 1,604,596 Calves 4,642 23,959 10,880 10,290 8,563 6,245 Hogs 19,868 66,495 22,540 69,833 30,477 18,740 Sheep 150,072 217,942 31,418 131,937 76,990 39,130 64,679 217,943 I 647,489 642,580 58,435 315,465 46,962 360,911 574,470 319,500 1,767,368 3,000,246 265,792 2,190,395 2,905,088 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY 5 PRICES crops. Summer feed prospects are good in Oklahoma Hog prices advanced sharply at the Kansas City and on higher and mountain ranges generally. market in May, terminating a five-month period of Cattle and sheep on ranges a.re in good condition and unusually stable prices due largely to the accumulation showed fair to good gains during May in areas of better of storage stocks of pork and lard. Hogs reached feed. In drought sections, the condition was only fair $11.75 per hundredweight, the highest May level in and gains were limited in May by the slow growth of eleven years and 20 cents above the 1936 peak in last grass. New Mexico and Wyoming have good calf and August. The average price of stocker and feeder steers lamb crops. Shearing of wool is well under way in New Mexico, also rose to the year's high, showing a wide margin over May prices in other years since 1930. Fat cattle prices, with most of the 1937 clip already contracted for at which were slightly lower for the month, are still below prices above those of recent years. Prices in Colorado two years ago, reflecting principally the difference in range from 28 to 36 cents per pound. quality of offerings. Sheep and lamb prices· declined The spring movement of cattle to the Blue Stem seasonally but lambs were higher than in any other pastures of Kansas and Osage pastures of Oklahoma May since 1929. During the forepart of June, cattle was about 6 per cent larger than a year ago but smaller prices tended upward and hog and lamb prices down- than in past years. Pastures are fully stocked, due largely to the highest acreage guarantees of record. ward. Although the movement started somewhat later than Top prices for May at the Kansas City market: 1937 1936 1935 1934 usual, marketings are expected to be a little early be(In dollars per hundredweightj cause cattle are in good flesh and weedy pasture feeds 12.65 8.80 13.00 8.75 are likely to mature early. Beef steers................... . Stocker cattle............. . Feeder cattle............... . Calves·----··················· Hogs·- ··························· Sheep ........................... . Lambs ........ ................. . 9.25 11.00 9.50 11.75 7.75 13.25 8.00 8.26 9.50 10.10 8.00 12.25 9.10 10.25 9.50 9.80 6.16 9.65 6.10 7.40 6.50 3.45 8.00 11.76 STOCKERS AND FEEDERS Shipments of stocker and feeder cattle and calves from four markets in the District were substantially heavier in May than a year ago, cattle exceeding the May ten-year average by 15 per cent and calves approximating the average volume. Shipments of hogs and sheep were much lighter than in May of last year, hogs falling 66 and sheep 15 per cent below the average. Stocker and feeder shipments from 4 markets: Cattle 14,655 43,166 10,619 4,137 Calves Hogs Denver·-······················· Kansas City................ Omaha.......................... St. Joseph ................... ~ 4,286 2,693 465 142 1,970 695 . 848 Sheep 4,259 18,620 26,730 8,600 May 1937.---··············· April 1937 .................... May 1936·---··············· 5 Mos. 1937.__............. 5 Mos. 1936·--············· 72,577 60,874 42,618 302,188 275,793 8,342 7,205 7,249 40,595 33,000 3,666 3,642 4,787 16,238 19,654 68,209 40,138 100,558 228,970 248,nl RANGES AND PASTURES Ranges and pastures, which had made slow growth during May, are greatly improved by late May and early June rains. Except in Wyoming and New Mexico, range conditions on June 1 were considerably below either a year ago or the avera.ge condition for that date. Recent rains have broken the drought in western Nebraska and eastern Wyoming and have given much needed moisture to drought areas of western Kansas, eastern Colorado, western Oklahoma, and eastern New Mexico. Moisture was especially beneficial in .that it will permit the pla:nting __of intended acreages ..offeed Farm Income April receipts from the sale of.principal farm products were larger than a year ago in all states of the District except Oklahoma, the decrease for that state being accounted for largely by a smaller volume of cotton marketings. ihese increases reflected principally higher prices received for potatoes and wheat in Nebraska, Kansas, and Missouri and larger receipts from meat animals and dairy and poultry products in Wyoming, Colorado, and New Mexico. Including Government payments, total income this year is about 17 per cent greater than in either of the past two years. Income estimates of the Department of Agriculture: · ·· · Crops Colorado......... . Kansas .............. Missouri_......... Nebraska.......... New Mexico ... . Oklaaoma ....... . Wyoming......... . 2,554 5,449 2,140 4,794 187 1,243 316 April 1937........ March 193L... April 1936........ 4 Mos. 1937.___ 4 Mos. 1936.:.._~ 16,683 19,185 8,806 72,945 46,973 Live stock Govt. and products payments (In thousands of dollars) 9,529 1,002 13,500 3,314 Total 15,226 15,246 1,690 7,306 2,417 2,555 3,197 813 1,190 286 13,085 22,263 19,921 23,237 2,690 9,739 3,019 64,914 59,184 64,226 230,499 243,304 12,357 20,650 10,907 53,312 14,296 93,954 99,019 83,939 356,756 304,673 Since last January, farm prices have averaged slightly lower than prices paid by farmers, the ratio being 96 per cent at the middle of May. A year ago this ratio was 85 per cent. Meat Packing Packers' purchases of live stock during May indicated much heavier calf and sheep slaughter and substantially lighter hog sl~ughter than a year ago. Supplies of hogs being. exceedingly light,.slaughter was 72 per cent below REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL AND BUSINESS CONDITIONS 6 the ten-year average for May and was even lower than two years ago following the 1934 drought. Cattle slaughter was 13 and sheep 11 per cent below the average, but calf slaughter exceeded the average by 31 per cent. Packers' purchases at 6 markets in the District: Denver_____________ ________ __ ___ Kansas City __________ ______ Oklahoma City______ _____ _ Omaha __________ ·-···'·········· St . Joseph ··········-········Wichita _________ ______ ·----·--- Cattle 16,335 40,188 27,357 57,603 16,716 11,441 May 1937_______ ··----·----··-Apdl 1937.. .. ---·---·-·-----· May 1936________ ··-------- ··5 Mos. 193L_··--·--··-·-·· 5 Mos. 1936_·-···---·-·------ 169,640 164,969 168,669 882,610 952,074 Calves 3,560 18,820 4,981 6,701 7,968 6,683 Hogs 18,241 61,510 18,374 52,583 28,741 17,740 Sheep 19,083 132,184 19,800 84,459 65,138 30,848 48,713 19'(',189 351,512 47,242 285,432 357,808 34,245 312,247 258,305 251.,320 1,566,738 1,757,369 212,019 1,831,674 1,665,711 Cold Storage Holdings United States cold storage stocks of meats and poultry declined at a much faster rate than usual in May, but stocks of most commodities are still relatively large. As in April, stocks of lard declined contraseasonally. Eggs moved into storage at about the usual rate but accumulations of butter and cheese were smaller than usual. United States cold storage holdings: June l 1937 Beef, lbs.·-·-·----·---·----·----·-Pork, lbs.·--·-··-----·--···-······· Lamb and mutton, lbs... Poultry, lbs ..... .........._._ .. Miscellaneous meats, lbs. Lard, lbs.·-········-·-·······--···· Eggs, shell, cases............ Eggs, frozen (case equiv.) Butter, creamery, lbs..... Cheese, all varieties, lbs. 86,113 663,963 2,948 82,448 83,473 195,077 7,292 3, 792 22,797 84,930 May 1 June 1 June 1 1937 1936 5-Yr.Av. (In thousands ofunits) 111,663 61,134 44,679 756,354 440,618 610,404 4,574 1,282 1,665 94,888 41,926 42,391 99,431 57,435 56,577 209,444 99,656 122,176 4,405 5,707 6,667 2,520 2,686 2,588 6,406 21,167 29,147 83,096 70,783 59,923 Flour Milling Southwestern flour production during May declined sharply from the rather high level of April, operations being reduced from 73 to 66 per cent of capacity because of decreased shipping directions and a somewhat more than seasonally dull period of flour sales. However, output still was about 10 per cent greater than in May of last year and showed an increase of better than 15 per cent for the first five months of the year. Flour production reported by the Northwestern Miller: May 1937 Atchison·--·······-·--··-·--····-·---· Kansas City·····-·-··------·------· Salina................. ·-···-··-·······--· Wichita ........·-··-····-··········-··· Other cities ..................·-···-·· 109,000 677,000 173,000 178,000 934,000 Change from April 1937 May 1936 (In barrels) -24,000 -7,000 -65,000 +100,000 -13,000 +20,000 -50,000 +26,000 - 133,000 +39,000 Southwest ........... _................ 1,971,000 - 285,000 + 178,000 United States*.. .................. 5,021,000 - 293,000 -58,000 •R~presents about 60 per cent of total output in United,States. · Although lagging behind a year ago, sales contracts for new crop flour became more general toward the close of the month and picked up considerably early in June as flour prices declined. Mills are reluctant to quote new crop prices at a discount in view of the comparatively high price of millfeeds. Millfeed prices were bolstered by Government purchases around the middle of May for use in grasshopper control, but prices later declined, reflecting growth of pastures and new feed crops. Petroleum Daily average production of crude petroleum in the District receded in May from the near-record level of April and latest reports indicate some further decline in June. Only in July, 1927, when output reached 1,048,000 barrels daily, has the April figure been exceeded. Current production is about 20 per cent above a year ago and 29 per cent over the average for the past ten years, reflecting general field activity. The high level of production is resulting in efforts to curtail output in order to avoid a market situation dominated by excess inventories. Oil production reported by the American Petroleum Institute and the Bureau of Mines: MAY 1937 Gross D. Av. Colo..-... Kans..... N. Mex. Okla....-. Wyo .. __. 122 6,093 3,481 20,264 1,637 APRIL 1937 MAY 1936 Gross D. Av. Gross D. Av. (In thousands of barrels) 4.0 136 4.5 142 4.6 196.5 6,026 200.9 4,823 155.6 112.3 3,147 104.9 2,331 75.2 653.7 20,416 680.6 17,842 675.6 52.8 1,537 51.3 1,101 35.5 5 States 31,597 1,019.3 U.S.·-··· 105,323 3,397.5 31,262 1,042.2 104,979 3,499.3 26,239 846.5 93,739 3,023.8 Stocks of crude petroleum in Oklahoma and Kansas rose further from 122,454,000 barrels on May 1 to 126,054,000 barrels on June 5, while stocks in the Rocky Mountain area declined from 25,632,000 barrels to 25,158,000 barrels in the same period. Mid-continent refinery operations are expected to reach a record high in June. Coal Following a substantial decline in production in April occasioned by an accumulation of stocks, output of bituminous coal in the District increased in May. Production in May was 4 per cent greater and during the first five months of the year 9 per cent greater than in the same periods of last year. Coal output estimated from Bureau of Mines reports: May 1937 Colorado.................. _..... ·-···· Kansas and Missouri...·--··· New Mexico............·-··-····-·· Oklahoma.. ................. _......_. Wyoming···················-·········· 382,000 319,000 120,000 26,000 267,000 Six states..................-............ 1,114,000 United States.... ...-............... 29,980,000 Change from Apr. 1937 May 1936 (In tons) +81,000 +98,000 +104,000 -15,000 -7,000 +21,000 - 9,000 +7,000 -20,000 -50,000 +165,000 + 3.,970,000 +45,000 +1,296,000 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY 7 in April but continued to show a substantial increase Zinc and lead shipments from the Tri-State district over last year. For the first five months of the year, declined further in May. Output also tended to decline, permits were 21 per cent greater in number and 32 per the number of active mills being reduced from 73 in cent greater in value than a year ago. Building permits reported by eighteen cities: the third week of the month to 67 in the first week of PERMITS ESTIMATED CosT June. Demand continued slack for zinc concentrates 1936 1937 1936 1937 but held fairly steady for lead, shipments of which were Albuquerque, N. Mex ... 105 ~ $ 179,000 $ 368,000 144,000 86 74,000 61 substantially above a year ago. Cheyenne, Wyo.·-··········· Colorado Springs, Colo... 42 104,000 42,000 86 Shipments estimated from Joplin News Herald reports: Denver, Colo................... 565 414 1,015,000 485,000 Zinc and Lead ZINC ORE Kansas ............. . Missouri. .......... Oklahoma ....... . Tons Value 11,897 $ 489,738 3,581 147,437 21,042 866,112 May 1937._ __ ··· April 1937........ May 1936·-······· 5 Mos. 193L... 5 Mos. 1936.__. 36,520 $1,503,287 41,839 1,830,042 34,519 1,104,641 199,589 8,204,706 188,184 6,020,288 LEAD Tons 1,724 $ 529 3,148 ORE Value 117,693 36,120 214,970 5,401 $ 368,783 5,798 418,168 3,800 190,000 27,134 2,041,073 21,191 1,038,625 Following rather sharp declines in April, ore prices were unchanged in May and the first two weeks of June at $45 per ton for zinc and $70 per ton for lead. Comparable quotations a year ago were $32 and $50, respectively. Employment and Pay Rolls Employment and pay rolls in the District as a whole tended to increase from the middle of April to the middle of May. So far this year employment is about 7 per cent larger and pay rolls nearly 10 per cent larger than a year ago. Preliminary figures of the Department of Labor: Colorado ..................... ............................ . Kansas..................................................... . Missouri................................................... . Nebraska ................................................ . New Mexico ............................................ Oklahoma ....... ......................................... Wyoming ............................ ·-··················· May 1937 per cent change from April 1937 Employment Pay Rolls +1.4 +8.6 +2.4 +1.8 -1.1 -2.4 +0.7 +2.2 - 0.1 -1.4 +2.0 +3.1 - 0.2 - 0.6 Hutchinson, Kans ........... Joplin, Mo .................. ..... Kansas City, Kans ........ Kansas City, Mo ............. Lincoln, Nebr ................... Oklahoma Cil-y, Okla ..... Omaha, Nebr ................... Pueblo, Colo.......... .......... Salina, Kans.·- ················· Shawnee, Okla ................. St. Joseph, Mo ................. Topeka, Kans ............ .... Tulsa, Okla.·--················· Wichita, Kans ................. 137 23 60 299 165 230 191 83 15 14 24 120 127 258 89 18 44 231 179 192 147 54 20 20 55 87 83 193 ---- May.................................. 2,663 2,015 April_............................... 2,827 2,300 Five months .................... 9,665 7,995 148,000 40,000 67,000 423,000 423,000 690,000 269,000 31,000 36,000 14,000 21,000 186,000 438,000 301,000 83,000 23,000 80,000 229,000 83,000 277,000 232,000 24,000 48,000 21,000 31,000 185,000 214,000 203,000 $ 4,459,000 $ 2,772,000 5,939,000 3,418,000 20,127,000 15,281,000 Lumber Board feet sales of lumber at reporting retail yards increased further. in May, rising 19 per cent above sales in May of last year. . As a result of this large increase, total sales so far this year are now up to the level of a year ago. · May collections averaged 37.4 per cent of outstandings at the beginning of the month as compared with 43.1 per cent in the preceding month and in May of last year. Lumber trade at 156 retail yards in the District: Sales of lumber, board feet....................... . Sales of all materials, dollars .......... :........ . Stocks of lumber, board feet ................... . Out.standings, dollars._ .............................. . May 1937 per cent change from April 1937 May 1986 +5.6 +19.1 +4.4 +24.3 +0.7 +12.0 +13.1 +28.4 Building Life Insurance Following a substantial increase in April, awards for non-residential construction in the District declined sharply in May, falling a third short of a year ago. Nevertheless, total awards are still about 12 per cent greater so far this year because of the consistent improvement in residential building. Construction figures of the F. W. Dodge Corporation: May sales of new paid-for ordinary life insurance in the seven states, all or parts of which comprise this District, showed a gain of only 2 per cent over a year ago while total sales this year have increased about 5 per cent. The Life Insurance Sales Research Bureau report : 37 EASTERN STATES Total Residential Total Residential (In thousands of dollars) 3,298 244,113 8,816 83,937 4,237 269,934 17,237 108,013 10,889 2,734 216,071 70,253 53,062 17,474 1,176,653 423,528 10,578 996,748 47,358 261,290 Colorado......................... . Kansas ............................. . Missouri.......................... . Nebraska......................... . New Mexico ................... . Oklahoma........................ Wyoming._ ...................... . Change from May 1937 April 1937 May 1936 (In thousands of dollars) 6,139 -814 +993 7,724 - 1,040 +256 19,498 - 2,156 +588 6,440 +70 - 1,551 1,068 - 237 -105 9,208 - 234 +739 1,064 - 225 +43 Seven states._ .................. United States.................. 51,141 630,690 TENTH DISTRICT May 1937..._. April 1937.... May 1936·--· 5 Mos.1937.. 5 Mos. 1936.. Permits for new construction, alterations, and repairs in eighteen cities of the District were less in May than -4,636 - 61,372 + 963 + 36,893 REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL AND BUSINESS-CONDITIONS 8 NATIONAL SUMMARY -OF BUSINESS CONDITIONS By the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION PERCENT P[OCENf 140 140 130 1:,0 -\ A 120 110 "'\ 'ii\ I\A "~\rvI \ 100 ~ ~ ro ~ V r /i'I pr 120 110 ~ ~ V I ro ~ • ~ ~ lnlt 1190 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 Index of physical volume of production, adjusted for sea sonal variation , 1923-1925 average 100. By months, January, 1929, through May, 1937. = FACTORY EMPLOYMENT AND PAYROLLS PUIC£NT 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 so 40 :,0 1929 1930 1931 1932 1937 1933 Indexes of number employed and pay rolls, without adjustment for seasonal variation, 19231925 average 100. By months, January, 1929, through May, 1937. Indexes compiled by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. = 100 80 Value of construction contracts awarded in May was smaller than in April, according to figures of the F. W. Dodge Corporation. There were declines in awards f<;>r residential and ·other privat-e projects, -while contracts for public projects increased. In the first half of June awards for both private and public work were at a somewhat higher rate than in May. Factory employment, which usually declines at this season, showed little change from April to May and the Board's adjusted index advanced somewhat further. Employment in the durable goods industries continued to increase while employment in other lines declined· seasonally. Factory pay rolls remained at the _April level, following sharp increases in earlier months. P[R C£NT ~ 110 L - j - - - - + - - - - - - - + - - - - + - - -+------1 100 ! __ , _c~om;;;;m;;,;o;;;;;di;,;,;;1'e. _s~!¢il~~~#-4"---1 eo I 1· L_ l_ ~r-.· 3ol_ -~ Foods ~ ,:._ "'./- - - + - - -+ - ----t 70 ,_.. •. µ .: ·so _:.._,)F~•~~-~--"-:-rod_u_c1-s -+-------+---+----1 so :lO :\·,.,,_,,··.,:•, 40 40 1932 1933 COMMODITY PRICES 90 Other 10 .. 60 In May the Board's seasonally adjusted index of industrial production remained unchanged at 118 per cent of the 1923-1925 average. Output of iron, steel, automobiles, and lumber increased further . . At cotton and woolen mills and at shoe factories activity continued at a high level, while at silk 'mills, meatpacking establishments, and sugar refineries there were considerabie decreases. Crude petroleum_ production continued to rise and output of bituminous coal increased somewhat, following a sharp decline in April. Shipments of iron ore in May were larger than in the corresponding month of any previous year. In the first three weeks of June automobile production declined seasonally and, largely owing to labor disturbances, steel output was reduced to 77 per cent of capacity as compared with 90 per cent in May. . Distribution of commodities to consumers continued in May at the level of other recent months. Sales at department stores and at variety stores showed a seasonal .rise and mail-order sales were maintained. WHOLESALE PRICES rFRCf.NT 110 , - PRODUCTION, EMPLOYMENT, AND TRADE 100 V " Volume of industrial production in May continued at the level of the two preceding months. Commodity prices declined slightly in May and the first three weeks of June. Between the middle of May and the third week of June, prices of grains, except spring wheat, declined considerably and there were smaller declines in ,cotton, cotto~ ·goods, wool, rubber, and steel scrap, while prices of most other commodities ·showed little ch_ange. BANK CREDIT 30 1934 1935 1937 1936 . Exc~s reserves of member banks, which . had been about $900,000,000 after the lY-fay 1 increase in reserve requirements, declined by about $180,000,000 during the week ending June -16, in connection with Treasury operations, but increased in subsequent days an.d on June 23 were at a level of $810,000,000. Indexes compiled by the Uriited States Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1926 100. By weeks, 1932 ·to date. Latest figu re is for week · ending June 19, 1937. = MEMBER 13ANK RESERVE BALANCES liLLIOHS OF DOLLARS BIL\.J ONS Of'. DOLLAfllS 8 8 At reporting member banks in leading cities holdings of United States Government obligations, after several weeks of little change, increased sharply during the week ending June 16, reflecting purchases of the new issues of Treasury notes. Commercial _loans at member banks continued to increase in the four weeks ending June 16. This increase was largely at banks in New York City, which also showed ·a growth in loans to other New York banks and to brokers and dealers in secudties. MONEY RATES 1932 1934 1935 1937 Wednesday figures of total member bank reserve balances at Federal Reserve banks, with estimates of required reserves, January 6, 1932, throuirh June 23, 1937. The open-market rate on 90-day bankers' acceptances, which had been reduced from 9/16 to 1/2 of 1 per cent on May 7, was further reduced to 7/16 of 1 per cent on June 22. Other money rates have shown little change in recent weeks.