The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
THE MONTHLY REVIEW Of Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL Vol. I 8 RESERVE KANSAS CITY, BANK Mo., E XPERIENCING the first improvement in nearly four years, trade at both wholesale and retail featured the advance in Tenth District business conditions in May. The rise in agricultural commodity prices, which was so abrupt in April, although continuing in May, was less rapid. Returning confidence is-also indicated by increases in savings, net demand, and time deposits at banks during the month, and for the second consecutive month loans and discounts at fiftythree selected member banks increased. Business insolvencies were less numerous than for any May since 1923 and liabilities the smallest since 1929. Weather conditions the forepart of June have been ideal for harvest and haying but injurious to growing crops, ' and generous rains are needed immediately. Winter wheat production will be smaller than for any year since 1904, with the outlook for other spring grains poor. A fair hay crop is in prospect and corn, although late, has not been injured seriously as yet. OF JuLY I, 1933 KANSAS CITY No. 7 BUSINESS IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Percentages of Increase, or Decrease (-), for May 1933 over April 1933 and May 1932 and for the first five months of 1933 over the like period in 1932. May 1933 5 Mos. 1933 Compared to Compared to Banking Apr. 1933 May 1932 5 Mos. 1932 Payments by check ............................... . - 0,1 -10.3 -17.6 Federal Reserve Bank clearings............ 7.1 1.7 -11.4 Business failures, number.... - - - -24.0 -29.8 -28.8 Business failures, liabilitie..__ __ 7.8 -47.3 -55.9 1,0 -16.5 Loans, 53 member banks.--·················· Investments, 53 member banks ............ 2.3 7.9 Net demand deposits, 53 member banks 4.7 0.3 o.6 - 8.6 Time deposits, 53 member banks·-··-··· Savings deposits, 44 selected banks.-. o.6 -10.5 Savings accounts, 44 selected banks .... 0.03 - 5.3 Distribution Wholesalers' sales, 5 lines combined .... 1 9·5 -10.3 7.0 Retailers' sales, 32 department stores.. o.8 4.6 -14.7 2 3•7 Lumber sales, 157 retail yards .............. 6.9 43.7 Life insurance, writte,....__ _ _ __ 10.6 - 2,0 - 15.9 Construction 102.0 Building contracts awarded, value·---· -31.8 -41.8 Residential contracts awarded, value.. 19.6 -24.8 5.3 Building permits in 17 cities, value. ..... 18.4 -35.8 -43.9 Production Flour_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 10.7 - 7.7 5.4 -0.3 Even Crude petroleum·--·····----7.5 Soft coa.___ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 15·9 -10.7 4.5 Zinc ore (shipped) Tristate District, .._ -15.8 5.6 44.1 Lead ore (shipped) Tristate District..132.1 26.5 - 5.8 Cemen.___ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 29.6 11.5 1.3 Grain receipts, 5_ markets WheaL-. __ _ _ _ _ _ __ 112.5 -47.9 7-5 328.2 58.0 104.4 Corn ...._ -_ -_ -_ -_- - - - - Oat.._ 159.8 35-4 Ry.__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -9.6 288.4 312.4 9.7 Barley_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 11 7•5 150.6 -3o.7 Kafir_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -21.8 -42.6 -55.9 Livestock receipts, 6 markets Cattle.. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -4.4 13.5 Calves.................... _ _ _ _ _ __ 2 9·9 17.1 - 8.o -13.6 Hogs .. - - - - - - - - - - 2.8 - 13.9 Sheep ........ -----···················· -10.0 27•4 Horses and mules .................................. _ -28.2 1.3 Meat packing, 6 markets Cattle _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ J0,2 26.6 - 4.5 Calves _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ - 2.5 15.-4 ~-2 1 3·3 - 6.8 - 8.6 Hogs .......................................................... 1.0 -14.8 8.8 Sheep .....·-············································-·· May dollar sales of five representative wholesale lines combined were 19.5 per cent larger than in April, the first increase for the month in four years and the largest in fourteen years of record. They were also larger than a year ago, May being the first month in about four years to show an increase over the corresponding month of the preceding year. Total dollar sales of thirty-two reporting department stores were also larger in May than in April this year or May last year. The 4.6 per cent increase over April was the first since 1929 and the increase of o.8 per cent over May, 1932, was the first for any month since May, 1930. Prices of all species of livestock and most classes of grain were higher for the month. Of the several classes of livestock, cattle alone sold under a year ago. Wheat prices held their own, with producers receiving 60 cents per bushel for the new crop as aga,inst 2 5 and 30 cents a year ago. Flour closed the month unchanged and millfeeds were somewhat lower. Butterfat was steady but poultry and egg prices declined to the lowest levels of record. Wool and hides were active at higher levels. The Department of Agriculture's index of farm purchasing power advanced 9 points between April 15 and May I 5 to 62 per cent of pre-war, or 14 points above the low of February 15. Zinc ore and lead ore prices improved and are approximately double those in effect this time last year. Crude oil Stocker and feeder livestock were in good demand, supplies prices, which were reduced to a flat 25 cents per barrel the first liberal, and the countryward movement considerably heavier week in May, were re-established at the previous per gravity than that of May, 1932 . schedule ranging from 2 8 to 52 cents per barrel June 1 7• Output of flour at Tenth District mills was somewhat lighter Livestock and grain moved to market in more nearly normal than the heavy April volume but exceeded that of May, 1932. volume, with receipts of all species of livestock, except hogs, Shipments of zinc ore declined during the month and those of and all classes of grain, except kafir, at the principal market lead ore increased, with shipments of both classes running centers of the District somewhat heavier than a year ago. ahead of a year ago. Production of coal and cement was larger This Copy Released For Publication In Morning Newspapers, June 29. '.2 THE MONTHLY REVIEW than one month or one year earlier, and the flow of crude oil, although showing an increase for the month, was approximately the same as last year. Meat packing establishments were more active than a month ago and, excluding swine, packers purchased more meat animals than a year ago. Building activity was at but a fraction of its normal rate. Banking and Credit MEMBER BANK OPERATIONS: Duplicating the reverse tendency disclosed by their report of May 10 compared to April 12, fifty-three member banks in selected cities of the District increased their loans and discounts I per cent between May 10 and June 14. This increase was entirely in "all other" loans, as loans secured by stocks and bonds were virtually unchanged. Total loans as of June 14 were 16.5 per cent below the total as of June I 5, 1932, with the decrease in loans on stocks and bonds amounting to 23.3 per cent and that of "all other" loans to 14.9 per cent. Improved confidence, accompanied by a return flow of currency to these banks, was also evidenced by increases of 4.7 per cent in net demand deposits and o.6 per cent in time deposits during the five weeks' period. Net demand deposits as of June 14 were 0.3 per cent larger than fifty-two weeks earlier, but time deposits were 8.6 per cent smaller. The banks disposed of one million dollars in United States Government securities during the five weeks ended June 14, but, owing to purchases of seven million dollars of other bonds, stocks, and securities, total investment holdings were enlarged 2.3 per cent. Since June 15, 1932, these banks have increased their total investment holdings 7.9 per cent, the decrease of 5.9 per cent in other bonds, stocks, and securities being more than offset by a 20.1 per cent increase in holdings of United States securities. The accompanying table shows the principal items contained in the condition statements of the fifty-three reporting member banks for the three dates of comparison: Loans and investments-total.. Loans and discounts-total._ __ . Secured by stocks and bonds All other loans and discounts Investments-tota U.S. securities ........................ Other securities Reserve with F. R. bank. __ ······· Net demand deposits.................. Time deposits .............................. Government deposits.................. June 14, 1933 May 10, 1933 June 15, 1932 $484,000,000 $476,000,000 $506,000,000 212,000,000 210,000,000 254,000,000 58,000,000 58,000,000 73,000,000 I 8 I ,000,000 I 52,000,000 I 54,000,000 266,000,000 252,000,000 272,000,000 162,000,000 161,000,000 134,000,000 u8,ooo,ooo I I I ,000,000 I 04,000,000 46,000,000 45,000,000 49,000,000 319,000,000 334,000,000 333,000, 000 160,000,000 175,000,000 I 59,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 9,000,000 RESERVE BANK OPERATIONS: Member banks have since March steadily reduced their borrowings from this bank and branches, and total holdings of bills rediscounted as of June 14 were 18.6 per cent smaller than five weeks earlier and the lowest of the year. Reductions since June 15, 1932, have amounted to $14,n9,510. Holdings of bills purchased also showed substantial declines for the five and fifty-two week periods. The bank made additional purchases of United States securities, and aggregate holdings as of June 14 were $3,338,000 larger than on May 10 and $10,748,500 larger than a year ago. Federal reserve note circulation declined $5,395,850 to $II 1,954,275 in five weeks, but issuance of the new Federal reserve bank~notes was expanded $428,500 to $870,000. A year ago there were no Federal reserve bank notes in circulation and Federal reserve note circulation totaled $81,347,725. Principal resource and liability items, contained in the weekly condition statements of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches, for the three dates of comparison: June 14, 1933 May 10, 1933 June 15, 1932 Gold reserve_,____ $121,075,748 $121,263,895 J 76,513,454 Other cash .. _ _ _ _ n,386,570 n,129,706 9,202,324 Bills discounte.u.-----~ n,149,o69 13,701,845 25,268,579 Bills purchased............................ 283,391 1,883,095 891,354 U. S. securities ...... - - - - 6o,558,100 57,220,100 49,809,600 Total bills and securities............ 71,990,560 72,805,040 75,969,533 Total resources.,_____ 230,677,623 229,640,048 188,837,505 F. R. notes in circulation.......... 111,954,275 117,350,125 81,347,725 F. R. bank notes in circulation 870,000 441,500 Member banks' reserve deposits 78,oo6,711 73,863,301 71,464,330 The discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, on all classes of paper and all maturities, remained unchanged at 3¼ per cent. Bank Debits The volume of debits to individual accounts for the four weeks ended May 31, as reported by banks in twenty-nine Tenth District cities, totaled $639,153,000 as against $639,599,000 for the four weeks ended May 3 this year and $712,399,000 for the four weeks ended June I last year. Payments by check for the five months of the current year totaled $3,449,813,000 or 17.6 per cent less than for the same period in 1932. The totals by cities follow: Albuquerque, N. M,.--··············· Atchison, Kans Bartlesville, Okla ......................... Casper, Wyo.·--···················--······ Cheyenne, Wyo ... Colorado Springs, Colo,.--.•······· Denver, Colo............................... Enid, Okla......... Fremont, Nebr Grand Junction, Colo ................. Guthrie, Okla. Hutchinson, Kans. Independence, Kans ................... Joplin, Mo ......... Kansas City, Kans ..................... Kansas City, Mo .. - ..................... Lawrence, Kans.·-······················· Lincoln, Nebr.. _._ Muskogee, Okla.·-······················· Oklahoma City, Okla ................. Okmulgee, Okla........................... Omaha, Nebr............................... Pittsburg, Kans........................... Pueblo, Colo . ... Salina, Kan St. Joseph, Mo Topeka, Kan Tulsa, Oki Wichita, Kans ............................. FouR. WEEKS ENDED May 31, 1933 June 1, 1932 7,191,000 $ 4,897,ooo $ 2,435,000 2,504,000 15,662,000 14,046,000 3,278,000 4,795,ooo 4,222,000 3,779,000 8,850,000 7,986,000 81,425,000 93,728,000 6,419,000 5,9 25,000 2,219,000 1,413,000 1,680,000 987,000 962,000 894,000 7,922,000 8,594,000 1,987,000 4,5 19,000 5,107,000 5,436,000 9,261,000 6,875,000 196,460,000 217,827,000 2,221,000 2,641,000 16,432,000 20,191,000 5,014,000 5,148,000 49,105,000 53,105,000 1,728,000 1,831,000 94,840,000 99,098,000 2,759,000 2,433,000 II,II8,ooo 9,043,000 5,310,000 5,267,000 20,406,000 19,851,000 8,819,000 9, 193,000 52,280,000 63,257,000 2 3,525,000 27,651,000 Per cent Change -3x.9 - 2.8 11.5 '-31.6 -10.5 - 9.8 -13.1 8.3 -36.3 -4 1.3 7.6 8.5 -56.0 Total 29 cities, 4 weeks............ Total 29 cities, 21 weeks............ f> 639,153,000 3,499,813,000 J 712,399,000 -10.3 -17.6 4,246,260,000 6.4 -25.8 - 9.8 -x5.9 -18.6 - ·2.6 -7-5 - 5.6 -4.3 -II.8 -18.7 - o.8 - 2.7 - 4.I - 17.4 -I4.9 Federal Reserve Bank Clearings Check collections through this bank and branches atOmaha, Denver, and Oklahoma City in May were 7 per cent larger, both as to number and the dollar amount of items handled than in April. Comparisons with May, 1932, reveal a decrease of 9 per cent in the number of items handled, whereas, the dollar amount was 1.7 per cent greater. Totals for May, April, and the five months: ITEMS May............ _... . April.. ................ Five months ...... 1933 4,213,096 3,936,101 18,650,471 1932 4,631,099 4,824,096 23,237,633 AMOUNT 1933 1932 ' 524,805,000 $ 516,134,000 490,067,000 544,079,000 2,384,584,000 2,691,829,000 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Stores Reporting Kansas City........ 4 Denver 4 Oklahoma City.... 3 Tulsa.................... 3 Wichita................ 3 Other cities .......... 15 Tota NOTE: RETAIL TRADE AT 3'2 DEPARfMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT STOCKS (RETAIL) S.A LES AccouNTS RECEIVABLE .AMOUNTS COLLECTED STOCK TURNOVER. May 1933 5 Mos. 1933 May 31, 1933 May 31, 1933 May 1933 Compared to Compared to May Compared to 5 Months Compared to Compared to 1 1 May 193'2 May31,193'2 933 193'2 5 Mos. 193'2 Apr.30,1933 May31,193'2 Apr.1933 May 193:2 933 193'2 Apr.30,1933 -18.8 -'2.'2 .'20 .16 .83 3.'2 .85 -14.2 - 4.5 - 17.3 - 5.8 0.9 11.8 .'21 l.'2'2 -11.3 - 6.6 - 1.3 --20.5 .30 1.07 1'2.6 - 1.J 3-9 1 .'2'2 3.6 --29.8 .3'2 1.46 1.16 6.1 - 3.1 -11.9 - 7.3 5.0 -17.6 1'2.1 .'28 '2.08 -10.4 -4.4 5.6 .38 -'2.9 2.5 1.78 - 8.7 3.5 I.I .'21 l.'23 - 1.6 0.4 -16.3 .3'2 .98 --'27.8 -41.9 -16.4 0.9 '2.I -11.6 -4.6 -16.7 .'29 .'25 1.15 1.13 - 15.4 5.'2 -10.9 9.3 0.'2 --20.2 .'21 o.8 .... 3'2 .27 -l4.7 Percentage of collections in May on accounts April 30, all stores reporting 35.0. Savings An increase, the first since last November, of o.6 per cent in savings deposits and also an increase of 0.03 per cent in the number of savings accounts during May was reported by forty-four selected banks in leading cities of the Tenth District. Total savings deposits as of June I this year were, however, 10.5 per cent smaller and the number of depositors 5.3 per cent less than on June I, I 932. Savings deposits and savings accounts, as reported by the forty-four banks, for the three dates of comparison: June Ma y June 1, 1, I, 3 193->------1933·----··················-···············193'2·-··-··----- Savings Accounts 358,96'2 358,849 379,04 1 Savings Deposits 1, 97,457,472 96,847,34o 108,931,053 Business Failures A further improvement in business mortality was recorded in May. This District had 92 defaults, or 29 less than a month ago and 39 less than a year ago. This was the lowest number for any May in ten years and consisted of 10 manufacturing, 77 trading, and 5 other commercial failures. The amount of liabilities involved, although 7.8 per cent larger than in April and the largest since January, was the smallest May total since 1929 and equivalent to 71.9 per cent of the ten-year average for May. The number of insolvencies in the United States was the smallest for any month in four years, with liabilities the smallest since September, 1931, and for any May since 1929. Business failures as reported by Dun and Bradstreet, Inc.: TENTH Number May 1 933········- -- 9'2 April 1933.·-···121 May 193 131 Five months 1933................ 508 Five months 1932·-········-···· 713 DISTRICT Liabilities $ 1,595,439 1,479,485 3,027,577 7,832,737 17,750,02'2 UNITED STATES Number Liabilities 1,909 1, 47,97 1,573 1,921 51,097,384 2,788 83,763,521 11,075 292,245,839 14,745 460,352,836 Trade Reports from both wholesale and retail firms indicate a decided improvement in general trade conditions in this District during May. Dollar sales of all five reporting wholesale lines were substantially above the April volume, with the total for the five lines combined showing an increase of 19.5 per cent, the first increase in five years and the largest in fourteen years Reporting Stores Dry goods .... - - - 6 Groceries........................ 5 Hardware·--··················· 9 Furnitur 5 Drug 6 -10.0 1.13 1.04 3.9 Collections same month last year 33.7. - 7.4 9.8 of record. Compared to May, 1931, sales of dry goods increased 1.8, groceries 7.2, hardware 14.3, and furniture 25.7 per cent, with those of drugs showing a loss of but 0.7 per cent. Sales of the five lines combined were 7.0 per cent larger than a year ago, the first increase shown for any month over the corresponding month of the preceding year since September, 1929, compared to September, 1928, and the largest since April, 1929, compared to April, 1928. Wholesalers of dry goods and furniture reduced their inventories 5.9 and 3.0 per cent, respectively, in May and stocks of groceries were 0.9, furniture 3.0, and drugs 0.7 per cent larger on May 31 than on April 30. Stock reductions since May 31, 1932, ranging from 12.1 per cent for groceries to 27.1 per cent in furniture were reported by the various lines. For the first time since 1929 May sales of merchandise in dollars, at thirty-two reporting department stores in the District, exceeded the April volume, and not since May, 1930, have sales for any month shown an increase over the like month of the preceding year. May sales were 4.6 per cent larger than in April and o.8 per cent larger than in May, 1932. Cumulative sales for the year to June I were 14.7 per cent smaller than a year ago. Inventory changes for the month were slight but stocks on hand May 31 this year were 20.2 per cent lighter than on May 31, 1932. Collections in May totaled 35 per cent of amounts outstanding April 30 as compared to 34 per cent in April and 33.7 per cent in May, 1932. Grain Marketing Higher prices were an effective stimulant to the marketing of all classes of grain, except kafir, in May. The month's receipts of wheat, corn, oats, rye, and barley, at the five principal markets of this District, were considerably larger than the totals for April this year or May last year. Arrivals of wheat were the heaviest for any month since September and, excluding May, 1931, the largest for that month since 1921. Marketings of corn were the largest for any month since April, 1931, and of rye since October, 1930, with the May total for both the largest since I 922. Offerings of oats were lighter than a month ago but the heaviest for any May in three years. Kafir was in light supply, showing a decrease of 21.8 per cent as compared to April and 42.6 per cent as compared to May, 1932. WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT OUTSTANDI NGS SALES AMOUNTS COLLECTED May 31, 1933 compared to May 1933 compared to May 1933 compared to Apr.30,1933 May31,1932 Apr. 1933 May 1932 Apr. 1933 May 1932 25.0 1.8 1 5·5 0.3 -15.3 - 3.6 l 5.6 7.2 3•7 - I.I 15.5 19.2 2 ·7 5.6 -3-4 25.1 14.3 32 -5 2 5-7 7.5 -u.6 42.1 43.4 - 4.3 1.0 - 6.5 9.4 - 6.8 9.2 - 0.7 STOCKS May 31, 1933 compared to Apr.30,1933 May31,193'2 - 5.9 -16.8 -1'.2,I 1 5.4 --'J.7.1 -18.'.2 - THE MONTHLY REVIEW 4 Receipts of six classes of grain at the five markets: Wheat Corn Bushels Bushels Hutchinson .... _ 1,181,250 Kansas City·--· 5,660,800 2,167,500 Omaha ............_ 1,203,200 2,318,400 St. Joseph.____. 3o5,6oo 1,185,000 27,300 Wichita·---······· 1,440,000 May 1933·--····· April 1933.·-···· May 1932·-······· 5 Mos. 1933 ...... 5 Mos. 1932...... Oats Bushels Rye Bushels Barley Bushels 230,000 348,000 388,000 3,000 28,500 74,200 27,200 68,800 1,750 969,000 3,6o7,100 1,071,500 1,330,600 373,000 15,534,650 4,231,500 7,601,850 3,125,500 102,700 97,750 44,95o 39,000 247,850 9,790,850 5,698,200 4,608,450 9,1u,150 31,708,900 6o,808,500 93,6oo 24,900 317,700 81,800 Kafir Bushels 19,500 n6,200 135,700 173,500 236,400 680,300 357,650 1,542,400 Cash wheat at Kansas City opened and closed the month at 69 cents per bushel for number I hard and dark. Number '.2 mixed corn advanced 5, number '.2 oats 1, and number '.2 kafir 10 cents per bushel in May to close at 40½, '.25½ and 8'.2 cents per bushel, respectively. Rye and barley failed to improve their positions opening and closing at 49 and 31 cents per bushel. Adva~ces the first three weeks of June carried wheat to 83¼ cents, corn 44½, oats 36, rye 67, barley 40, and kafir f,1.03 cents per bushel at Kansas City on June '.24. The 1933 low on wheat was 41, corn 21, oats 17, rye 31½, barley 2'.2½, and kafir 4'.2 cents per bushe.1. W~th ~arketing costs practically stationary, any advance m gram prices goes to the producer and advances from the year's lows have increased farm prices of most grains 100 per cent or more, but they are still substantially below pre-war or post-war averages. In May wheat sold at the best level since January, ~93'.2, ~nd corn at the highest price since December, 1931. Closing prices in May, 193'.2, were: wheat 5'.2½; corn 30½; oats 23; rye 4'.2; barley 33; and kafir 55 cents per bush~l. . . . New wheat is now arriving at termmal markets m limited quantities and, as a considerable portion _is running high in protein, there is a tendency to lower premmms. Flour Milling The May output of flour at Tenth District mills was the heaviest for that month in three years and 10.7 per cent larger than a year ago. Compared to April production declined 7.7 per cent, whereas, it generally increases about 8 per cent. The unfavorable comparison was due primarily to the unusually heavy April volume. Grindings by these mills for the eleven months of the ~Id wheat year are estimated at '.22,046,89'.2 barrels compared with '.2'.2,615,956 barrels during the like part of the 1931-3'.2 wheat year. Output for the three periods of comparison as estimated from the weekly reports of southwestern mills to the Northwestern Miller: Atchison ............. _ _ _ __ Kansas City-----···················· Omaha ...... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ Salina.. _ _ __ _ _ _ _ __ Wichit...___ __ _ _ _ _ __ Outside..__ ____ _ _ __ May 1933 Barrels 134,135 583,564 IIl,830 125,169 165,991 951,866 April 1933 Barrels 139,323 56o,781 II 2,933 197,184 205,897 1,028,337 May 1932 Barrels 132,831 543,013 66,671 150,183 188,626 790,289 Total ______ 2,072,555 2,244,455 1,871,613 ltlJnited States.--- ····· - - - - - 5,802,085 6,on,894 5,224,780 •Represents about two-thirds of the total output in the United States. Flour business was much better than usual the first three weeks of May. Most bookings were for small lots for shipment well into the new crop year and demand was general, with all classes buying freely. With bakers and jobbers generally well supplied with flour for their immediate needs, and as a result of the recent heavy bookings, sales slumped naturally the closing week of the month. Mills experienced some difficulty in securing shipping instructions on old contracts. Export trade was inactive and the domestic market was offered a substantial quantity of resale flour toward the end of the month. Prices fluctuated narrowly throughout the month and closed practically unchanged. Crops Present weather conditions are ideal for the harvesting of winter wheat and other small grains and for haying, but growing crops in virtually all parts of the District are in immediate need of generous rains. Wheat, oats, pastures, potatoes, small fruits, and gardens have been damaged severelf by ~he .excessive temperatures and dry weather, and corn 1s begmnmg to suffer. Government estimates of winter wheat production underwent slight changes between May 1 and June 1 and the June l condition of 64 per cent for the nation, with abandonment the highest of record, continues to forecast the smal;est crop since 1904. Harvest which became general by the third week of June, is making rapid progress. . . . United States Department of Agriculture estimates of wmter wheat production, in Tenth District states and the United States: PER CENT CONDITION June I May I June I 1933 1933 1932 Colorado·--······· 37 40 42 Kansas.............. 50 55 50 Missouri............ 74 76 57 Nebraska.......... 74 70 51 New Mexico.__ 25 44 49 Oklahoma·---··· 51 55 54 Wyoming.......... 50 65 65 Seven states·-··· United States._. 57.8 64.0 70.8 66.7 57.8 64.7 ESTIMATED PROD U CTION June 1, 1933 May 1, 1933 Final 1932 Bushels Bushels Bushels 2,104,000 2,104,000 4,383,000 56,696,000 58,486,000 106,398,000 16,016,000 16,016,000 14,851,000 27,310,000 24,276,000 24,600,000 990,000 990,000 1,320,000 25,432,000 23,936,000 43,626,000 476,000 578,000 1,100,000 129,024,000 126,386,000 196,278,000 341,017,000 337,485,000 462,151,000 Hot, dry weather in June caught wheat in eastern and northern parts of the District in the milk, or critical stage of development, causing premature ripening and shrivelii:i,g, Oats, rye, and barley have also been adversely affected, with many fields being cut for hay or pastured. Corn planting, which was delayed somewhat in May by frequent rains and wet fields, is virtually completed and, although all areas are needing moisture, corn is holding up well despite the dry weather. Fields are, on the whole, well cultivated and clean. The first cutting of alfalfa is nearing completion, with that of clover and other grasses commencing. The condition of cotton in Oklahoma and New Mexico is fair and chopping is underway. Digging of potatoes in the Kaw Valley of Kansas is expected to begin about July 1, or a week later than last year. Production, based on the June I condition, is estimated at l '764,000 bushels, or 5'.20,000 bushels less ~han a rear ago. Acreage was reduced 18 per cent this year, with plantmg somewhat later than last year. Planting of potatoes in the higher sections of northwestern Colorado has commenced. A '.25 per cent increase is estimated in the sugar beet acreage of Colorado, Nebraska, Wyoming, Montana, and western Kansas, and the beets are now being thinned. The Ozark strawberry crop has been marketed at unsatisfactory prices. Regarding June 1 crop conditions in their respective states, the State Boards of Agriculture commented in part as follows: COLORADO: "Crop prospects improved materially during May, but June I condition was generally below average. Spring wheat, oats, barley, and apples show promise of larger production than last year, while the condi- 5 THE MONTHLY REVIEW tion of all other crops is below that of a year ago. Above normal precipitation during late April and May broke the long drouth in eastern Colorado and supplied ample soil moisture for seeding spring crops. The irrigation water supply in all areas is generally ample except in the Arkansas valley where a shortage of water is in prospect again this season. A severe wind storm May 22nd swept the entire state, causing considerable damage to crops particularly in eastern counties. Farm work continues from one to two weeks late and all plant growth has been delayed because of cool weather." KANSAS: "Soil moisture is inadequate in the western two-thirds of the state and barely sufficient for current needs in the eastern third. The condition of spring sown small grains is below average and yield prospects have declined from the effect of high early June temperatures. Rye production will be small. Hay crops, both tame and wild, are rated below average. All crops of tree fruits will be short again this year, but the apple crop will be larger than the very short crop of 1932. Improvement in winter wheat, resulting from May rains, was offset by the adverse effect of excessive early June temperatures. Abandonment may exceed earlier expectations in central, southcentral, and some western counties because of dry weather, high temperatures, and hail damage." MISSOURI: "During June, Missouri wheat lost in appearance consistently everywhere. Chinch bugs are more prevalent than in recent years. Hay of all kinds is the most promising since 1929 and shows the effects of rain shortage in the early spring for the northwestern counties, and moisture excesses of the southern sections. Pastures during May improved 13 points, rising 75 per cent to 88 per cent for June, which is the best pasture prospect tor any month since July, 1929. Grazing is good in all sections of the state. Fruit prospects are much better than in 1932 but below average." NEBRASKA: "The general crop outlook in Nebraska is not good. Much of the wheat has already been lost. Moisture conditions in the western twothirds of the state have been excellent but the eastern third of the state has been in need of additional moisture for two months. Corn and most of the small grain crops got off to a slow start and weather conditions since June first, especially in the eastern half of the state have been extremely unfavorable. Small grains in the eastern third of the state have suffered considerable injury and the final outcome will depend to a large extent on weather in the immediate future. "The condition of fruit crops are as follows: apples 69 per cent, peaches 5 per cent, pears 50 per cent, and cherries 50 per cent. In general, fruits suffered injury from extremely low temperatures late in the winter which followed a period of relatively warm weather. "Grass is excellent in western and southwestern Nebraska. It is very good throughout central sections but poor in eastern counties, particularly the northeastern section. Stands of alfalfa were thinned by winterkill in western Nebraska and drouth has reduced the condition in northeastern counties, Wild hay is generally very promising in all sections except east central and northeastern sections." NEW MEXICO: "The June 1st condition of New Mexico crops is the lowest in many years. The weather all spring up to the middle of May was below normal temperatures but the latter half of May almost record maximum temperatures have been reached and lack of rainfall and winds have left the soil too dry for the proper preparation for crops. Lack of moisture and high winds have been destructive to this year's wheat crop. All hay crops are beginning this year's crop year in below the average condition and the first cutting of alfalfa hay has been short due to late cool spring. Fruit prospects are the poorest in years. With few exceptions, about all fruit producing localities report almost a failure for apples, pears, and peaches." OKLAHOMA: "High winds in May rapidly depleted soil moisture and sand storms blew out and covered up many acres of crops. Since June I weather has been hot and dry and practically all areas of the state are urgently in need of rain. Dry weather and sand storms during May were detrimental to tame hay in the western third of the state. The first cutting of alfalfa was unusually light in those areas but good in other sections. Dry weather during May greatly lowered prospects for summer grass, particularly in the western and northwestern counties; grass is excellent in the eastern counties. Severe winter weather resulted in a near failure of all fruits except grapes, apples, and cherries." WYOMING: "Crops on June I were generally not up to normal. Early dry conditions and cool, wet weather immediately following delayed planting and the early sown crops are from one to two weeks late. The abundant supply of moisture and warm weather the last week in May, however, resulted in rapid growth and present growing conditions are very promising. The tame hay crops in Wyoming are generally in a below normal condition because of the cool, late spring and the damage from the adverse winter conditions which resulted in heavy winterkill. The abnormal supply of moisture through all localities promises a good supply of wild hay." Grasshoppers are reported hatching out in menacing numbers in scattered sections of northcentral Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma, with few farmers financially able or willing to purchase poison bait to combat them. State funds are being employed in Nebraska to fight the pest. To supply feed for the drouth stricken areas of western Kansas, sudan grass, feterita, and early maturing varieties of sweet sorghum and kafir are being recommended by agronomists. These crops may be planted as late as July, provided moisture is received in the meantime. Livestock Higher livestock values, delayed marketing, and a less favorable feeding ratio, due to a more rapid rise in grain prices, were the chief incentives to heavier marketings of livestock in May. Arrivals of cattle and calves at the six principal market centers of the District were the largest for any May since 1929 and about equal to the ten-year average numbers. Receipts of sheep declined IO per cent as compared to April, but, excluding May, 1931, the May run was the heaviest in years. Swine, including hogs shipped direct to packers' yards, were in about normal supply although marketings were 8 per cent lighter than a year ago. Receipts of horses and mules totaled 6,223 head in May, 8,669 in April, and 4,883 head in May, 1932. Disregarding more liberal supplies, the demand for livestock improved in May and prices of all classes advanced. Cattle sold off somewhat at the close but advanced 25 to 75 cents per hundredweight, and hogs were '/,I and sheep and lambs 50 cents to '$1 higher for the month. The Kansas City top of 'lq for cattle was 60 cents under a year ago and the highest since November. Best hogs reached '/,4.90, or within 10 cents of the 1932 top made in July and selling '/,1.45 above the May, 1932, price. At 'l,7.65 spring lambs were the highest since April, 1932, and 6o cents higher than in May last year. The demand for feeder lambs and stocker and feeder cattle was brisk at higher prices. Supplies of the former were moderate and of the latter liberal, and offerings were readily absorbed. Countryward shipments of calves from four markets were the largest since January and for any May in recent years, and those of cattle and sheep the largest since December. RANGES AND PASTURES: The June 1 condition of cattle and calves on western ranges was reported by the Federal Division of Crop and Livestock Estimates at 84 per cent of normal, compared with 81 per cent on May I and a ten-year average of 89.5 per cent. Sheep and lambs are in only fair condition, with a June I condition of 83 per cent of normal, the lowest in the eleven years of record compared with a tenyear average of 92.7 per cent. Range feed is late but fairly good. Winter and spring losses of cattle and calves have been light except in a few localities and a fair to good calf crop is in prospect. Losses of sheep and lambs have been heavy, particularly in the northern areas. Trading in both cattle and sheep has been limited. The Secretary of Agriculture recently announced reductions from the I 93 I schedules of grazing fees on public lands in eleven western states, of 54 per cent for sheep and lambs and 37.6 per cent for cattle. This reduction compares with a flat 50 per cent for both sheep and cattle that was in effect last year. Hereafter fees will be on a sliding scale depending on livestock values. Shearing is well advanced and wool prices increased further in May with the bulk of sales reported at 19 to 20 cents per pound, or II cents above last year's average price. Wool 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW buyers are active. Hide prices also made additional gains in May with country run green salted hides now quoted at 5½ to 7½ cents per pound as against the 1932 low of 2¼ cents. According to the Department of Agriculture the spring movement of cattle into the Blue Stem pastures of Kansas and the Osage pastures of Oklahoma was about 7 per cent larger than last spring and 5 per cent larger than two years ago. Receipts from January 1 to June 1 totaled about 31 5,ooo head as against a five-year average of 356,000 head. The early movement was light and the May movement heavy. Pastures are reported as excellent with cattle making good gains and in good flesh. Livestock owners in southwestern Kansas are, due to the long drouth, confronted with an acute shortage of water and feed for livestock at present. Packers purchased more cattle, calves, and sheep, at the six markets, in May than in April this year or May last year. Compared to a year ago the gains were: cattle 10.2; calves 15.4; and sheep 1 per cent. Purchases of hogs, including those shipped direct to packers' yards, were 13.3 per cent greater for the month but 6.8 per cent under the total for May, 1932. In numbers, cattle were equal to 90.5, calves 89.5, swine 105, and sheep and lambs no.9 per cent of the May average for the years 1923 to 1932, inclusive. May slaughter of cattle was the largest since 1928, calves since 1929, swine, disregarding 1932, since 1928, with sheep showing little change the past five years. Cold Storage Holdings A net seasonal into-storage movement of lard, eggs, and butter in the United States substantially larger than last year or the five-year average was reported for May by the Bureau of Agricultural Economics, United States Department of Agriculture. The in-movement of cheese was larger than a year ago but below normal, and, contrary to seasonal tendencies, holdings of pork and miscellaneous meats increased sharply and inventories of lamb and mutton moderately. Stocks of beef and poultry declined by considerably less than the usual amount. June 1 holdings of all commodities except eggs and creamery butter were smaller than one year earlier or the five-year average for that date. Cold storage holdings of eggs (cased and frozen combined) were 4.3 per cent and creamery butter 8.7 per cent in excess of the five-year average, whereas, stocks of beef were 39.5, pork 18.3 lamb and mutton 21.7, poultry 16, miscellaneous meats 31.2, lard 23, and cheese 19.3 per cent below norm al. Kansas City .............. Omah St. Joseph.................. Denver Oklahoma City.-....... Wichita...................... 112,383 123,593 29,935 29,848 19,787 18,616 *June I 1933 30,373 667,955 1,843 38,096 7,809 50,798 110,381 8,047 2,410 34,555 48,458 Beef, lbs. - --............................ Pork, lbs................... _ _ _ _ Lamb and mutton, lbs....................... Poultry, lbs.·-···---**Turkeys,lbs..................... _ _ _ _ Miscellaneous meats, lbs..____............. Lard, lbs ....... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Eggs, cases_________ Eggs, frozen {case equivalent).......... Butter, creamery, l b _ _ _ _ _ Cheese, all varieties, lbs..................... *Subject to revision. ••Included in Poultry. •338,127 219,119 119,712 5,5 25 73,526 4,670 4,042 64,449 68,177 June I 1933 30,658 630,360 1,773 45,824 9,179 44,9o3 71,895 4,857 1,798 9,398 43,626 June I 1 1932 5-Yr.Av. 50,238 35,655 795,866 817,787 2,353 1,018 44,829 45,3T2 8,271 7,546 59,625 73,885 128,103 143,26o 5,380 7,464 2,560 2,714 31,803 29,160 52,118 6o,073 (ooo omitted). According to estimates based on the weekly reports of the American Petroleum Institute, the daily average flow of crude oil from wells in Oklahoma, Kansas, Wyoming, New Mexico, and Colorado totaled 610,000 barrels in May. This figure reflects an increase of 3.9 per cent in the daily average production and 7.5 per cent in gross production for the month over the official estimate of the Bureau of Mines for April. Output during May and the first five months of the year were relatively the same as a year ago. Increased production in the east Texas area resulted in an estimated gross production for the United States of 83,u2,ooo barrels in May against 65,313,000 barrels in April and 68,523,000 barrels in May, 1932. Gross production of crude oil for the five states and the United States: Oklahom Kansas .... Wyoming... Colorado New Mexico ··-···········--··-· Total five states ...... Total United States.................... 196,479 20 5,355 109,654 183,840 12,129 14,120 May 1933.___ ............. 883,110 334,162 49,308 7 21 ,577 April 1933.................. 802,068 277,064 41,119 773,248 May 1932. ___ ............. 294,347 702,152 959,823 37,949 5 Months 1933 .......... 1,442,222 211 ,453 3,96 2,754 3,337,719 180,567 4,586,721 3,875,554 5 Months 1932 -··----· 1,509,168 •Includes 187,468 hogs shipped direct to packers' yards. 37,694 13,724 3,735 10,345 65,498 59,026 35,317 280,168 221,062 *May 1933 Barrels April 1933 Barrels May 1932 Barrels 13,349,000 3,457,000 913,000 79,ooo 1,118,000 11,960,000 3,564,000 902,000 71,000 1,092,000 13,654,000 2,935,000 1,158,000 103,000 1,129,000 18,916,000 83,112,000 17,589,000 65,313,000 18,979,000 68,523,000 The first week in May practically all purchasing companies posted a flat price of 25 cents per barrel for mid-continent oil, regardless of grade, as against a previous price range of 28 to 52 cents per barrel per gravity basis but returned to the old schedule June 17. Development operations were somewhat less active, both for the District and the United States, in May than in the preceding month or the like month last year. MAY MOVEMENT OF LIVESTOCK IN THE TENTH DISTRICT STOCKERS AND FEEDERS RECEIPTS Hogs Sheep Calves Calves Cattle Hogs Sheep 21,920 6,803 6,348 May 1 Petroleum Meat Packing Cattle Cold storage holdings m the United States as of June with comparisons: 5,263 2,108 534 3,443 11,348 8,897 4,853 49,165 27,818 9,818 1,865 808 759 13,250 7,701 6,209 37,470 25,864 PURCHASED FoR SLAUGHTER Cattle Calves Hogs Sheep 21,559 3 1,7 29 8,794 9,775 52,665 85,880 21,914 10,706 12,317 7,122 71,857 59,3° 1 41,942 274,978 261,311 190,6o4 150,578 172,964 815,896 854,536 16,277 4,695 5,455 1,971 4,054 1,454 •306,524 196,675 114,238 56,526 6o,433 65,639 125,608 159,99 2 93,797 15,416 11,049 12,290 800,035 418,152 33,906 27,296 7o6,124 384,211 29,37 1 858,632 414,189 136,777 3,497,446 1,843,479 140,219 3,826,952 2,164,o61 7 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Bituminous Coal Output of bituminous coal at mines in the six coal producing states of the District, as estimated from the weekly reports of the United States Bureau of Mines, totaled 991,000 tons in May, an increase ·of 4.5 per cent as compared to April and 15.9 per cent as compared to May, 1932. United States production as reported by the Bureau of Mines totaled 22,346,000 tons in May, 19,523,000 tons in April, and 18,384,000 tons in May, 1932. Production of soft coal in the United States and the six states is shown in the following table: Colorado. __··- ·· · · · · · - - - - Kansas. ____ ··-······ · · - - - - Missour._·_ __ _ ___ _ New Mexico.---··························· Oklahorn..__ __ __ Wyoming........ _ _ _ _ __ *May 1933 Tons 332,000 91,000 185,000 78,000 *April 1933 Tons 311,000 109,000 187,000 65,000 May 1932 Tons 206,000 90,000 193,000 77,000 45,000 30,000 246,000 33,000 256,000 260,000 Total six states ...... _ _ _ _ 991,000 948,000 855,000 Total United States .. ·-··············· 22,346,000 19,523,000 18,384,000 *Estimated from the weekly reports of the United States Bureau of Mines. Zinc and Lead Shipments of zinc ore from mines in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri during the five weeks ended June 3 were 5.6 per cent heavier than in the corresponding five weeks last year, but, due in part to several of the larger producers being shut down, 15.8 per cent lighter than in the preceding five weeks. Lead ore shipments, although held down somewhat by restricted production and limited supplies, were 26.5 per cent larger than for the five weeks' period ended April 29 and 132.1 per cent in excess of the total reported for the five weeks ended June 4, 1932. The tonnage and value of zinc and lead ore, shipped from the Tri-state district during the periods of comparison: Oklahoma. __ ··························-········ Kansas .... ·-···············--- - Missouri............................................ 5 Weeks ended June 3, 1933.... 5 Weeks ended April 29, 1933.... 5 Weeks ended June 4, 1932.._ ZINC ORE Tons Value n,709 $ 304,175 4,504 II 5,314 475 12,114 16,688 19,830 15,803 22 Weeks ended June 3, 1933.... 100,631 22 Weeks ended June 4, 1932.... 69,819 $ 431,6o3 390,108 241,104 1,931,767 1,179,836 LEAD ORE Tons Value 2,362 $ 98,914 722 30,980 145 6,080 3,229 2,552 1,391 11,881 12,618 $135,974 91,266 34,775 427,052 463,736 Zinc ore advanced $5 and lead ore '$10 per ton during May, closing at t,30 and '$50 per ton, respectively. In May, 1932, zinc ore sold at the record low price of $14 and lead ore at '$25 per ton. This year's low for zinc ore was 'l,16 in February and that of lead ore '$32. 50 per ton the first nine weeks of the year. Prices of zinc ore are now the highest since October, 1930, and of lead ore the highest since September, 1931. Cement Production and shipments of finished Portland cement at mills in this District exceeded that of April this year and May last year, whereas, United States production and shipments, although larger than in the preceding month, were somewhat smaller than a year ago. Tenth District production, which was the largest since November, and shipments, the largest since October, approximated 50 per cent of the 1922-31 May average volume. National and District stocks of cement were reduced during May and at the close of the month the former were the lowest since November 30 and the latter the lowest since June 30, 1932. Production, shipments, and stocks of Portland cement as reported by the United States Bureau of Mines, in thousands of barrels: TENTH DISTRICT Production Shipments Stocks May 1933·-·····648 771 1,761 April 1933...... _ 500 682 1,784 May 1932·-··-·· 581 739 1,722 UNITED STATES Production Shipments 6,266 6,748 4,183 4,949 6,913 8,020 Stocks 20,060 20,542 25,394 Lumber The volume of business at 157 reporting retail lumber yards in cities and towns throughout the Tenth District showed a decided improvement during May, both as compared to April this year and May last year. Sales of lumber in board feet were 23.7 per cent and dollar sales of all materials 12.7 per cent larger for the month, and 43.7 and 18.4 per cent, respectively, ·larger than in May, 1932. Collections improved slightly totaling 22.7 per cent of amounts outstanding at the close of the previous month as compared to 20.7 per cent reported for April and 21.5 per cent for May, 1932. Lumber inventories were practically unchanged during the month but stocks on hand M ay 31 were 13.3 per cent smaller than a year earlier. Changes in the volume of business at the reporting yards are indicated by the following percentages of increase or decrease: M ay 1933 compared to Sales of lumber, board feet ............................... . Sales of all materials, dollars ........................... . Stocks of lumber, board feet·--························· Outstandings, end of month .............................. April 1933 23.7 12.7 0.1 3.1 May 1932 43.7 18.4 - 13.3 -1 8.9 Building New construction operations failed to show any material improvement in May, there being little change in the number and estimated cost of construction of buildings, alterations, and repairs for which permits were issued by the building departments of seventeen cities of this District. The report by cities follows: Albuquerque, N. M.·-- ··············· Cheyenne, Wyo. Colorado Springs, Colo ..-........... Denver, Colo ............................... Joplin, Mo ......... Kansas City, Kans ..................... Kansas City, Mo ......................... Lincoln, Nebr Oklahoma City, Okla ................. Omaha, Nebr............................... Pueblo, Colo.·-····························· Salina, Kans ................................. Shawnee, Okla............................. St. Joseph, Mo. Topeka, Kans.·--························· Tulsa, Okla ..-............................... Wichita, Kans ............................. Total 17 cities, May·--··············· Five month"-------- PERMITS 1933 1932 24 79 20 58 46 23 422 49 2 12 19 40 30 162 148 36 49 78 71 103 73 43 44 7 9 6 8 34 37 6o 55 56 70 62 85 1,264 4,509 ESTIMATED CoST 1933 1932 $ 38,007 $ 11,915 13,813 9,44° 20,307 5,084 474,085 194,838 33,450 3,300 25,920 16,090 159,900 153,700 29, 2 95 26,715 161,547 85,739 140,633 I 52,245 14,170 6,167 2,000 2,050 11,520 2,750 13>435 25,47° 47,885 3 1,900 38,067 23,787 83,230 35,53° 1,297 $ 818,428 1,1,275,556 5,~69 3,216,519 5,734,956 Total and residential construction for the District as a whole, reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, although somewhat larger than the April totals, were but a fraction of normal. Total construction awards in this District and the United States as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation: TENTH May ................ April... ............. Five months._. ' 4,094,541 2,026,945 15,250,9¢ DISTRICT $ 6,004,524 5,767,5o5 26,201,650 UNITED STATES $146,221,200 121,704,700 554,00 4,700 $ 77,171,700 56,573,000 3 29,77 1,500 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Business Conditions in the United States By the Federal Reserve Board P(ftClNT 10,0 INDUSTRlAL PRODUCTION 130 I]() 1'20 \10 100 ,A. - /- 120 \ '"'\ ,0 IO 110 100 90 ~~ 80 '\... 10 I '\.,..,r- ✓ '° so 19211 70 60 so 192'1 Index number of industrial production, adjusted for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 average 100.) Latest figure, May, 76. = PUCUT PUIC[NT 110 120 FACTORY EMPLOYMENT >JlO PAYROLIS e - - -- / ~ ,~ -~ ~ 110 I I __:..,-\\ 'iA 'IO 80 90 ~ ~-'••-•n1 POI/fats\ ~ 70 ~ t50 00 .. '- •,_•"\ 50 " - 70 60 '~ '\A ... V JO 19211 1930 1929 1931 193. JO 1933 Indexes of factory employment and payrolls, without adjustment for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 average 100.) Latest figures, May, employment, 60; payrolls, 42. = PtltCC•T 1.. 120 100 100 80 IO 60 ... "° 20 20 Indexes based on three month moving averages of F. W. Dodge data for 37 Eastern States, adjusted for seasonal variation. (1923 1925 average 100.) Latest figures May, total 17, residential 11. = PtRCrNT PCR CLHT 120 Wt10L[SAL E: PRICES 110 1--,\__,., 100 qo '":/ I 1 120 110 ~.. --'\./~"~·f~mProdu.:rs 100 F=====t==::?.ro=""=--•-7'1~=-+--+---+---I ,.:' ~o 60 t-----i't,,,.;=c=!~=d•= t1e.:-.;-~ · - ~ -+--- -+-- - - t &o ,o t - - - + - --4--__µ...\_.,;;::,, ~~ _ _ _ _- - t ,o 601---+ - - - + - - - + - ' ~ • ~ ' -- ~ ~ - - - r - ! 60 ~o i - - - + - - - t - - - + - - ~-,~,,,-,-1,--,..i---t ~o 401----+---+----+--+----+'j~ ·--; 40 Indexes of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (1926 100). Latest figures, May, farm products, 50.2; foods, 59.4; other commodities, 66.5. = Industrial activity increased rapidly in May and the early part of June, and there was an advance in the general level of commodity prices. Prices of raw materials traded in on organized exchanges showed wide fluctuations, and a general rapid upward movement, while prices of other commodities, as a group, showed relatively little increase. PRODUCTION AND EMPLOYMENT: Volume of industrial production, as measured by the Board's seasonally adjusted index, increased from 67 per cent of the 1923-1925 average in April to 76 per cent in May, as compared with 60 per cent in March, 1933. Operations at steel mills continued to increase in May and the early part of June, contrary to seasonal tendency, and in the week ending June 24 activity is reported at about 50 per cent of capacity. Output of the automobile industry was larger in May than in April and, according to trade reports, has increased further in June, although a decline is usual at this season. Lumber output in May showed a considerable increase from previous low levels. Activity at textile mills increased sharply to a higher level for the season than in any other month since November, 1929; and output of shoe factories in May was larger than in May of any previous year. Employment in manufacturing industries increased considerably between the middle of April and the middle of M ay, and the Board's index, which is adjusted to allow for seasonal variations, advanced from 58 per cent of the 1923-1925 average to 61 per cent. Factory payrolls increased by a larger percentage to about 42 per cent of the 19231925 average. Value of construction contracts awarded during May and the first half of June, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation showed a non-seasonal increase from the extreme low levels prevailing earlier in the year . DISTRIBUTION: Freight traffic increased from April to May by more than the seasonal amount, reflecting chiefly larger shipments of miscellaneous freight and merchandise. Department store sales, which had increased substantially from March to April, showed little change in May. Wholesale commodity prices, as measured by the weekly index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, advanced from 60.3 per cent of the 1926 average in the week ending April 15 to 64.5 per cent in the week ending June 17. This increase reflected a rapid rise in the prices of commodities traded in on organized exchanges, including wheat, cotton, wool, hides, lard, sugar, silk, rubber, and nonferrous metals, and also in the prices of flour, textiles, and leather; while prices of petroleum were reduced and most other prices showed relatively little change. FOREIGN EXCHANGE: The value of the dollar in the exchange market declined by 18 per cent between the middle of April and June 21. On the latter date the noon buying rate on cable transfers for the French franc was 4.81 cents, as compared with a gold par of 3.92 cents, and the English pound was quoted at $4.16 as compared with a rate of $3.41 on April 12. BANK CREDIT: A return flow of 1,156,000,000 of currency from circulation and purchase of $II8,ooo,ooo of United States Government securities by the reserve banks placed a considerable volume of reserve funds at the disposal of mem her banks during the five weeks ending June 21. These funds were used in part to reduce further the mem her banks' indebtedness to the reserve banks and the reserve banks' holdings of acceptances, and in part were added to the member banks reserve accounts. Loans and investments of member banks in 90 leading cities increased by $175,000,000 in the four weeks ending June 14, representing chiefly a growth of security loans and other loans at New York City banks. Loans to brokers and dealers in securities made by New York City banks increased by $160,000,000 during the period, while security loans to other customers declined. Net demand deposits at the reporting banks increased by over $500,000,000, reflecting in part a further growth of bankers' balances, principally in New York City. Money rates in the open market continued to decline during the period and in the middle of June were only slightly above the lowest levels of recent years. On May 26 the discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York was reduced from 3 to 2½ per cent and in the following three weeks rates were lowered from 3½ to 3 per cent at the Federal reserve banks of Chicago, Boston, San Francisco, Philadelphia, St. Louis, and Cleveland. At the other Federal reserve banks a rate of 3½ per cent prevails.