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THE MONTHLY REVIEW QI Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District -FEDERAL , M RESERVE KANSAS C1TY, BANK Mo., ARKET prices · for agricultural products and for many other items of Tenth District production continue at abnormally low levels, and business activity · in the District failed to show any improvement in November and the forepart of Decem her. November grain prices were generally steady, with the exception of corn which moved into lower ground. Hay prices were steady, and cotton declined slightly. Lambs were 50 cents per hundredweight higher for the month, pork prices closed unchanged, but beef was lower. Prices of cattle and hogs declined further to mid-December, the former selling at the lowest levels in over twenty years, and the latter the lowest since 1879. Butter and egg prices advanced rapidly late in November. Turkey prices broke badly under heavy holiday offerings but other classes of poultry continued to sell at the same low levels. The December 1 summary of the Bureau of Agricultural Economics, United States Department of Agriculture, commenting on the agricultural situation, states as follows: OF JANUARY KANSAS r, 1933 CI TY No. r BUSINESS IN THE TENTH F_E DERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Banking and Credit Percentages of Increase, or Decrease (-), for November 1932 over October 1932 and November 1931 and for the first eleven months of 1932 over the like period in 1931. November 1932 1I Months 1932 Compared to Compared to Banking Oct. 1932 Nov. 1931 II Months 1931 -28.0 Payments by check, 29 cities.................. - 7.3 -28.8 Federal Reserve Bank clearings.............. - 7.4 -19.7 - 25,5 Loans, 54 member bank.;,....___ - 2.0 -25.7 Investments, 54 member banks.............. - 1 .o - 2.3 Net demand deposits, 54 member banks 1.3 -13.2 Time deposits, 54 member banks·--······· - 0.9 - 3.8 Savings deposits, 49 selected banks.-..... 0.3 - 8.3 Savings accounts, 49 selected banks...... - o.8 - 2.5 Distribution Wholesalers' sales, 5 lines combined...... - 9.6 -21.2 Retailers' sales, 34 department stores.... - 8.3 Lumber sales, 161 retail yards................ -26.0 Construction Building contracts awarded, value·---··· -44.4 Residential contracts awarded, value.... -14.1 Building permits in 17 cities, value........ 77.5 - 0.1 Production Flour_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ - 8.o -12.7 -4.4 Crude petroleuu1...._ _ _ _ _ __ -12.6 -24.7 - 3.1 Soft coa.1......_ _ _ __ _ _ _ __ -10.9 -0.3 7.8 -26.6 Zinc ore (shipped) Tristate District.... ,.. Even 41.9 Lead ore (shipped) Tristate District. ..... 2 9·3 -14.7 49-9 Cemen.____ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -20.3 -36.5 - 1.5 Grain receipts, 5 markets -40.3 Whea'------------43-4 Corn .. _ _ _ _ _ __ ........................ --64.6 0.5 -20.7 -30.8 Oats·----·-_ -_ -_ --_ -_Ry--_ __-_ __ 26.2 95.3 -51.2 -38.9 Barley·-··· Kafir _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 2.6 -']0.4 Livestock receipts, 6 markets Cattle _ _ __ __ -10.0 -27.2 -29.9 Calve,,__ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ -30.8 -28.4 - 8.9 Hogs.. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -11.8 -21.8 6.3 Sheep ...... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -12.1 -56.0 -43.o Horses and mules .. _ _ _ _ _ __ 19.2 -33.o - 1.5 Meat packing, 6 markets Cattle.............. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -26.0 -13.1 - 5.8 Calve_,__ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ -11.3 -38.7 -5-1 1 7·5 -14.8 Hogs ............- - - - - - - - - -13.2 Sheep ........,_ _ _ _ _ __ -10.6 -35.o -3 1 .5 Stocker and feeder shipments, 4 markets Catt!.___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -23.0 -24.4 C a l v e " - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 3.7 - 1 7.7 Hogs.. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 35.8 -67.9 Sheep ........ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -46.5 -37.I MEMBER BANK OPERATIONS: Reductions in borrowings at member banks continued, although less rapidly than in the earlier months of the year. Fifty-four reporting member banks in selected cities reported $246,387,000 in loans and discounts on December 14, reflecting reductions of 2 pe~cent since November 9 this year, 25'.7 percent since December 16, 1931, and 48.7 percent from the high of August 7, 1929. Liquidations during the five weeks ended December 14 were confined to "all other" loans, as loans secured by stocks and bonds increased slightly. In fifty-two weeks "all other" loans declined 29.9 percent and loans on securities 14.8 percent. '' Prices of farm products stand this fall at an index of 54 (pre-war average being considered as 100), prices paid by farmers for commodities bought 106, farm taxes about 250, farm wages 84. The general wholesale price level of all commodities stands at 94. [ Industrial wage rates are around 175." The ratio of prices received by the farmer to prices paid by him for commodities, is estimated at 51, as compared to a low ratio of 48 for June of this year. Sales at both wholesale and retail declined seasonally, the former by somewhat less than usual and the latter slightly more. Marketings of grain and livestock were extremely light, and the countryward movement of livestock for feeding purposes was substantially below normal. Production of flour, crude oil, and cement declined, both as compared to October this year and November, 1931. Coal production was the same as a month ago but exceeded last year's output. Building activity, especially residential construction, was quiet. Deposits in member banks show a tendency to increase, but loans and discounts show further reductions. Thi, Copy Released For Publication fo Morning Newspapers. December 30 2 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Declines in total investment holdings of these banks, amounting to I percent in five weeks and 2.3 percent in fifty-two weeks, were entirely attributable to reductions in holdings of bonds, stocks, and securities other than United States securities, as purchases of the latter were expanded. An improvement of 1.3 percent in net demand deposits and a seasonal decline in time deposits between November 9 and December 14 were reported, but net demand deposits as of the latter date were 13.2 percent and time deposits 3.8 percent less than one year earlier. The accompanying table shows the principal items contained in the condition statements of the fifty-four reporting member banks as of the three dates of comparison: Loans and investments-total... Loans and discounts-total........ Secured by stocks and bonds All other loans and discounts Investments---:tota..____ _ __ U. S. securities ....................... . Other bonds, stks., and sec.. _. Reserve with F. R. bank._ ......... Net demand deposits _ _ __ Time deposits.. _. _ _ _ __ Government deposits_ _ __ Dec. 14, 1932 $507,631,000 246,387,000 78,581,000 I 67,806,000 261,244,000 145,641,000 I I 5,603,000 42,9n,ooo 341,256,000 179,639,000 5,181,000 Nov. 9, 1932 $515,182,000 251,383,000 77,876,000 173,5°7,000 263,799,ooo 144,146,000 n9,653,ooo 43,263,000 336,984,000 181,224,000 6,963,000 Dec. 16, 1931 $598,804,000 33 1,474,000 92,203,000 239,271,000 267,330,000 134,385,000 132,945,000 50,022,000 393, 158,ooo 186,786,000 4,364,000 RESERVE BANK OPERATIONS: Rediscounts for member banks held by this bank and branches declined $3,279,523 between November 9 and December 14, with total holdings, as of the latter date, $17,187,746 less than on December 16, 1931, and the smallest since September 16 of that year. Holdings of bills purchased in the open market also declined during the five weeks' period and showed a reduction of $15,118,581 in fifty-two weeks. These reductions, and an inconsequencial one of $400 in holdings of United States Government securities, resulted in a 4.4 percent decrease for the month in total earning assets. Total earning assets on December 16 were somewhat larger than a year earlier, increased holdings of Government securities having offset reductions in other items. Federal reserve note circulation expanded I percent in the five weeks ended December 14, at which time it was 10.9 percent larger than one year earlier. Member banks' reserve deposits declined o.6 percent in five weeks and 17.1 percent in fifty-two weeks. Principal items contained in weekly statements of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City as of the three dates of comparison: Dec. 14, 1932 Nov. 9, 1932 Dec. 16, 1931 Gold reserve.~ - - $ 83,599,870 '/, 84,016,532 '/, 94,474,774 Reserves other than gold._......... 6,842,670 5,297,100 7,524,587 Total reserves.............................. 90,442,540 89,313,632 101,999,361 Bills discounte'-'--- - 13,280,983 16,550,506 30,468,729 Bills purchased......... - - - 859,9II 889,100 15,978,442 U.S. securities............................ 57,252,100 57,252,500 18,959,100 Other securities._____ ...................... ...................... 400,000 Total bills and securities............ 71,392,994 74,692,106 65,806,271 Total resources.... - - - - 188,139,646 189,087,933 203,823,446 F. R. notes in circulation.......... 91,680,915 90,810,065 82,657,235 Member banks' reserve deposits 64,875,269 65,240,394 78,213,981 The discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City on all classes of paper and all maturities, remained unchanged at 3¼ percent. SAVINGS: A slight increase in savings deposits and a slight decrease in the number of savings accounts for the month of November were reported by forty-nine selected banks in leading cities of this District. Deposits as of December 1 this year showed a decline of 8.3 percent since December 1, 1931, whereas, the number of accounts declined only 2.5 percent. Savings accounts and savings deposits as reported by the forty-nine banks: Savings Accounts December 1, 1932·-························-········ 419,195 November 1, 1932·---·······-····················· 422,468 December 1, 1931.-................................. 430,026 Savings Deposits $II4,718,098 II4,333,o61 125,038,243 BANK DEBITS: The volume of debits to individual accounts, as reported by banks in twenty-nine Tenth District cities, declined 7.3 percent in the four weeks ended November 30, as compared to the total for the preceding four weeks ended November 2, and 28.8 percent as compared to the corresponding four weeks ended December 2, 1931. The total for the first eleven months of 1932 showed a loss of 28 percent as compared to a year ago. Check payments in 263 cities in the United States were 33.9 percent lighter in the four weeks ended November 30 this year than in the like period last year, with the eleven months' total 33.1 percent smaller. PAYMENTS BY CHECK FouR WEEKS Nov. 30, 1932 $ 6,864,000 '/, Albuquerque, N. M,·- - ··············· Atchison, Kans _ _ _ __ 2,073,000 Bartlesville, Oki _ _ _ __ 16,533,ooo Casper, Wyo.·--· · · · - - - - 4,47 1,000 Cheyenne, Wyo. _ _ __ 4,615,000 Colorado Springs, Colo .. - ........... 9,043,000 Denver, Colo ............................... 81,549,000 Enid, Okla ................................... 5,212,000 Fremont, Nebr.._........................ . 1,403,000 Grand Junction, Colo ................ . 1,516,000 Guthrie, Okla .............................. . 859,000 Hutchinson, Kans ... _ _ __ 6,291 ,000 Independence, Kans .................. . 2,970,000 Joplin, Mo .................................. 5,679,000 Kansas City, Kans ..................... 8,286,000 Kansas City, Mo ........................ . 189,352,000 Lawrence, Kans ........................... 2,412,000 Lincoln, Nebr .............................. . 16_,044,000 Muskogee, Okla .......................... . 6,064,000 Oklahoma City, Okla................ . 49,684,000 Okmulgee, Okla .......................... . 1,759,000 Omaha, Nebr............................... 86,574,000 Pittsburg, Kans ........................... 2,640,000 Pueblo, Colo ................................ . 17,058,000 Salina, Kans. _ _ _ __ 4,478,000 16,837,000 St. Joseph, Mo.·-························· Topeka, Kans _ _ _ _ __ 8,756,000 Tulsa, Okla _ _ __ 60,321,000 Wichita, Kans ............................. 24,137,000 ENDED Dec. 2, 1931 8,894,000 3,089,000 14,574,ooo 5,775,000 5,508,000 14,781,000 n5,595,ooo 7,840,000 2,483,000 2,463,000 1,384,000 9,759,000 4,860,000 6,256,000 II,514,000 271,586,000 3,249,000 22,341,000 6,674,000 66,980,000 2,351,000 125,958,000 3,498,000 34,552,000 8,180,000 26,268,000 II,686,ooo 71,990,000 33,801,000 Total 29 cities, 4 weeks.......... 'I, 643,480,000 $ 903,889,000 Total 29 cities, 48 weeks.......... 8,816,941 ,000 12,251,020,000 U.S. 26.3 cities, 4 weeks.......... 20,519,4.32,000 31,060,399,000 U. S. 263 cities, 48 weeks.......... 320,393,222,000 479,227,673,000 Percent Change -22.8 -3 2 .9 13.4 -22.6 -16.2 -38.8 - 2 9.5 -33.5 -43.5 -38.4 -37.9 -35.5 -38.9 - 9.2 -28.0 -30.3 -25.8 -28.2 - 9.1 -25.8 -25.2 -31.3 -24.5 -50.6 -45.3 -35.9 --25.1 -16.2 -28.6 --28.8 --28.0 -33.9 -33.1 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK CHECK COLLECTIONS: Check collections for banks through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches at Denver, Oklahoma City, and Omaha during November totaled 3,809,061 items representing $508,756,000. These totals show decreases of 7 percent in the number of items handled and 7.4 percent in the dollar amount as compared to October, and of 21.9 percent in items and 19.7 percent in amount as compared to November last year. Figures showing total col' ections.. .,. .for N ovem her and the eleven months, with comparisJns, follow: ITEM S .... 1932 November....... . 3,809,061 4,097,060 October·- -········· Eleven months. 47,068,109 1931 4,878, no 5,370,096 59,018,584 AMOUNT 1932 '/, 508,756,000 549,265,000 5,8 17,477,ooo 1931 $ 633,278,000 7 12,979,000 7,812.,430,000 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 3 RETAIL TRADE AT 34 DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES STOCKS (RETAIL) ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE COLLECTIONS Stores Nov. 1932 II Months 1932 Nov. 30, 1932 STOCK TURNOVER. Nov. 30, 1932 Nov. 1932 Report- compared to compared to compared to November I I Months compared to compared to ing Nov. 1931 II Months 1931 Oct.31,1932 Nov.30,1931 1932 1931 1932 1931 Oct.31,1932 Nov.30,1931 Oct. 1932 Nov. 1931 Kansas City........ 4 -16.3 -24.2 J 0.9 -17.5 .18 .18 1.81 2.10 1.7 - 9.2 3.0 -13.7 Denver.................. 5 -24.6 -21.0 3.8 -22.9 .23 .23 2.50 2.62 - 2.9 -17.1 - 3.4 -17.7 Oklahoma City._. 3 -22.9 -21.5 3.5 -29.3 .27 .25 2.69 2.63 - 1.2 - 6.7 9.5 - 5.4 Topek---- 3 -21.5 -21.3 3.4 - 8.2 .20 .20 2.24 2.16 - 2.7 -22.1 - 2.0 -21.3 Tuls....____ 3 -11.1 -12.6 4.5 -25.9 .33 .27 4.10 3.51 - 4.7 -I2.9 40.6 - 2.I Wichita.....·-·-···· 3 -20.8 -19.9 - 0.1 -20.6 .20 .20 - 6.4 -22.2 5.0 -18.8 Other cities .......... 13 -23.7 -24.0 - 1.7 -20.2 .22 .23 2.37 2.47 1.2 -1'.l.8 I.I -18.7 Tota.___ _ _ 34 -21.2 -21.9 1.5 -21.5 .22 .22 2.33 2.51 - 1.3 -13.9 3.4 NOTE: Percentage of collections in November on accounts October 31, all stores reporting 35.2. Collections same month last year 36-4- Trade RETAIL: Dollar sales of thirty-four department stores located in Tenth District cities declined 8.3 percent in November. Not since 1927 have November sales exceeded October sales, but the decline this year was slightly larger than reported in any of the four preceding years. A decrease of 21.2 percent as compared to November, 1931, although not as favorable a comparison as shown for the months of September and October, was considerably better than reported for the months of June and July. Preliminary reports indicate that holiday sales, which have been retarded somewhat by the extremely cold weather, will fall considerably short of the normal volume. Stocks, as usual, showed little change between October 31 and November 30, but inventories, as of the latter date, were 21.5 percent lighter than on the like date last year, thus making the third consecutive substantial annual decline. Collections during November were at the rate of 35.2 percent of accounts outstanding at the close of the previous month as compared to 35 percent in October and 36.4 percent in November, 1931. WHOLESALE: November witnessed about the usual falling off in wholesale trade, all lines, with the exception of drugs which experienced a slight non-seasonal gain, reporting declines ranging from 9.6 percent for dry goods to 27.9 percent for furniture. Dollar sales substantially smaller than a year ago were reported by all lines, decreases being as follows: dry goods, 11.7; groceries, 17.1; hardware, 19.3; furniture, 36.6; and drugs, 3. 5 percent. All lines, furniture excepted, reduced their inventories during the month and stocks on hand November 30 were, without exception, substantially smaller than one year earlier. Flour Milling Operating at 63.4 percent of full-time capacity in November, as against 68.9 percent in October and 75.6 percent in November, 1931, southwestern mills produced 8 percent less flour during November than in the preceding month and 12.7 percent less than in the corresponding month last year. Produetion during the first five months of the new wheat year is estimated at I0,087,599 barrels as against 11,158,249 barrels for the corresponding period a year ago. Reporting Stores Dry goods ...................... 5 Groceries.... - - - - 5 Hardware.___ ................. 9 Furniture........................ 5 Drugs______ 6 Flour production in this District '. as -~·estimated from the weekly reports of southwestern mills to the Northwestern Miller: Atchison. ..... ·-········ · - - - -- - Kansas CitY·--················· · - - - Omaha ...... - - - - - - - - Salina .... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ St. Joseph_ __ Wichita. __ ··············------Outside. _ _ __ Nov. 1932 Barrels 139,21 I 574,143 114,128 159,338 48, 2 79 200,225 748,618 Oct. 1932 Barrels 137,815 612,528 II3,634 178,000 61,442 234, 153 818,886 Nov. 1931 Barrels 130,364 664,701 106,952 191,017 79,828 Total southwestern mill.,______ United States·---······· · · - - - - - 1,983,942 5,724,825 2,156,458 6,165,944 2,273,407 6,393,856 214,142 886,403 Flour trade was not active and, except for a few instances, sales were of small size, chiefly for 500 to I ,ooo barrels or mixed car lots for delivery within thirty, sixty, or ninety days. Record low prices the forepart of the month failed to attract much buying, and, as wheat and flour prices advanced, buyers were reluctant to enter the market. Prices were shaded somewhat at the close but still showing a net advance of approximately IO cents per barrel for the month. Strong cash wheat premiums and millfeed prices, that hardly more than covered costs of sacking, packing, and freight, necessitated a relative strengthening of flour prices. Shipping directions were slow and kept mill activity down. Stocks in both jobbers and bakers' hands and bookings are below normal but so is the demand for baked goods. Demand for millfeed was light and scattered. Supplies, although light, are adequate for the demand and, at present prices, sales beyond current output are not urged. Grain Marketing Only about two-thirds as much wheat, one-third as much corn, and a fourth as much oats, rye, barley, and kafir were received at the five principal grain markets of the Tenth District during November as normally. Compared to October, receipts of wheat, oats, and rye declined seasonally and marketings of corn and kafir failed to show the usual increase. Weather conditions, in contrast to a year ago, were quite favorable to the harvesting and marketing of corn, but receipts, despite a much larger crop, were only one-half of one percent larger than for November, 1931, reflecting the reluctance of producers to dispose of their grain at prevailing prices. WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT OUTSTANDINGS COLLECTIONS SALES Nov. 30, 1932 compared to Nov. 1932 compared to Nov. 1932 compared to Oct. 31, 1932 Nov. 30, 1931 Oct. 1932 Nov. 1931 Oct. 1932 Nov. 1931 - 2.9 -13.3 4.5 - 7.2 - 9.6 -11.7 -10.0 -17.1 - 6.9 -12.3 - 2.3 - 6.9 - 3.0 - 9.6 - 8.4 -19.2 -18.2 -19.3 -14.2 -31.4 - 5.9 -25.o -27.9 -36.6 2.3 - 6.3 - 1.9 - 9.0 2.3 - 3.5 STOCKS Nov. 30, 1932 compared to Oct. 31, 1932 Nov. 30, 1931 -13.6 - 3.9 - 4.7 -26.3 - 3.0 -11.3 I.I -28.6 - 2.9 -16.4 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 4 All grain prices moved within a narrow range in November with wheat, oats, rye, and barley closing the month fractionally higher and corn and kafir a cent a bushel lower. Number 1 hard and dark wheat at Kansas City closed at 41 cents, number 2 mixed corn at 22.½ cents, and white oats at 18 cents per bushel as against 48, 45, and 30 cents, respectively, a year ago. Recessions up to December 15 carried all grains to previous or new lows. Arrivals of grain at five Tenth District markets are shown m the following table: Hutchinson ...... Kansas City·--· Omaha---·····St. Joseph.___ Wichita.-···-···· Wheat Bushels 1,151,550 3,737,600 433,600 382,400 799,500 Corn Bushels Oats Rye Bushels Bushels 601,500 378,000 264,000 5,200 92,000 86,ooo 196,000 1,500 10,500 26,600 Barley Bushels 40,000 14,400 Kafir Bushels 19,500 105,000 1,300 - - - - - - ---- ---- Nov. 1932.___... 6,504,650 1,248,700 375,500 37,100 54,400 125,800 Oct. 1932.......... 8,508,050 2,012,6oo 680,000 64,100 47,500 200,400 Nov. 1931.___... u,488,800 1,242,750 542,500 19,000 89,100 425,100 II Mos. 1932._. 159,813,000 16,0:22,250 6,847,000 320,600 779,800 2,334,900 II Mos. 1931._. 267,617,950 45,272,250 8,629,600 254,100 1,597,050 2,275,300 Crops Revised estimates of the United States Department of Agriculture disclose that farmers in this District harvested a larger acreage of corn, oats, barley, grain sorghums, wild hay, white potatoes, and peanuts, and a smaller acreage of wheat, tame hay, cotton, broom corn, dry beans, rye, and flax in 1932 than in 1931. Production of wheat, dry beans, cotton, and sugar beets is sharply lower than a year ago. Higher average yields on a somewhat larger acreage have resulted in the largest corn crop in several years. Hay yielded more abundantly and the potato crop is somewhat larger. Adverse spring temperatures cut the harvest of apples, peaches, and pears over 50 percent but most other fruits bore satisfactorily. Weather has been excellent for the harvesting of corn and grain sorghums, and the picking and ginning of cotton. Fall plowing was retarded generally by dry soil. Sales of this year's tobacco crop at auction, commencing the forepart of December, are averaging better than a year ago, with a tendency for the market to strengthen from day to day. A million pounds of Tenth District tobacco, sold to December 15, averaged 1,13.17 per hundredweight. WINTER WHEAT: A 1933 national winter wheat harvest of less than 400,000,000 bushels, the smallest in the present century, is suggested by the Department of Agriculture's report of a 1.3 percent reduction in the fall sown acreage, and a December 1 condition of 68.9 percent. Area sown totaled 39,902,000 acres, the smallest since 1923, and marks the third consecutive year the acreage has been reduced. On the basis of past experience, the present condition of 68.9 percent, which is the lowest reported for December 1 in the sixty-nine years records have been compiled, indicates a probable abandonment by harvest time of over 20 percent of the area sown. Abandonment last year amounted to 16.7 percent and the average for the past ten years to 1 2.4 percent of the fall sown acreage. Acreage sown and December 1 condition of winter wheat in the states of this District are shown in the following: (Acreage in thousands~ ooo omitted). Colorado Kansas .... Missour Nebraska .................. New Mexico·---······· Oklahom Wyoming Seven states·-··········· United States._ ......... AREA SowN-FALL 1932 1931 1,218 877 11 ,477 11,711 1,473 1,311 2,890 3,042 360 379 4, 275 4,4°7 135 169 21,325 39,9° 2 22 ,399 40,420 CONDITION DECEMBER I 1932 1931 10-Yr.Av. 82 55 54 70 57 79 76 92 85 70 76 85 80 79 79 80 80 49 86 67 75 58.7 68.9 73.5 82 79-4 83.3 Reductions in the winter wheat acreage of this District totaled approximately 1,000,000 acres, largely in the drier areas of the southwest. Much late planted wheat is not up, particularly in the western third of the wheat belt where the moisture supply is most deficient. The crop has been damaged somewhat by soil blowing and is subject to extensive injury in the event of extremely low temperatures. Wheat in the eastern part of the District is more promising but the acreage is small. A moisture deficiency exists generally. The December report of the Kansas State Board of Agriculture places the condition of winter wheat in that state at 57 percent of normal, the lowest on record, as compared with 70 percent last December, and the ten-year average condition of 79.4 percent. Rye acreage has been reduced about IO percent, with the December 1 condition below normal. DECEMBER 1 ESTIMATES BY THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE OF 1932 AND 1931 HARVESTED ACREAGE AND PRODUCTION OF FIFTEEN IMPORTANT CROPS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE SEVEN STATES WHOSE AREAS OR PARTS THEREOF COMPRISE THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ACREAGE HARVESTED, in thousands PRODUCTION, in thousands of units SEVEN STATES UNITED STATES SEVEN STATES UNITED STATES 1932 1931 1932 1931 1932 1931 1932 1931 Winter wheat, bu ........ - - - - - - 17,411 23,596 33,656 41,357 196,278 424,382 462,151 787,393 Spring wheat, b..__ _ _ _ _ _ __ 572 418 21,521 13,987 6,340 4,504 264,680 II2,826 All wheat, b...__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 17,983 24,014 55,177 55,344 202,618 428,886 726,831 900,219 Corn,bu _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 29,835 28,429 107,729 105,301 676,625 531,480 2,908,045 2,567,306 Oats, bu ....... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 7,546 7,516 41,224 39,800 174,410 193,287 1,242,437 1,117,970 Barley, b...___ _ _ _ _ _ __ __ _ 2,358 2,090 13,213 11,419 39,702 34,528 299,950 198,389 Rye, b...___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 372 473 3,271 3,060 3,505 4,271 39,855 32,026 3,636 3,192 7,850 7,156 39,231 42,979 105,871 105,214 Grain sorghums, bu ..... - - - - - - Tame hay, ton...___ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 8,010 8,173 52,819 53,879 10,878 9,836 69,609 65,058 5,179 4,914 14,298 12,259 4,248 3,260 12,179 8,378 Wild hay, tons ...... - - - - - - - - 3,625 3,782 37,589 40,495 1,441 1,651 12,727 17,096 Cotton, bales·--········· · - - - - - -White potatoes, bu. _ _ _ _ _ __ 4 12 4 10 3,368 3,375 35,391 3o,93 1 356,589 375,310 Dry beans, bags.. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 380 563 1,348 1,883 1,016 1,952 10,095 12,662 Broom corn, tons _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 26 254 257 284 295 35 33 44 Peanuts, lbs. _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ __ 48 36 2,421 2,145 38,320 19,440 1,403,050 1,538,790 Flaxseed, b...__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 56 79 2,087 2,416 346 387 II,841 11,798 Sugar beets, tons......- - - - - - - 3,II3 3,975 8,788 7,903 5 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Livestock MARKETINGS: November receipts of all classes of livestock at the six principal market centers of this District were extremely light. Arrivals of cattle, calves, hogs (not including shipments direct to packers' yards), and sheep were the lightest recorded for any November in over fourteen years. Horses and mules, although somewhat more numerous than in November, 1930, and 1931, were otherwise less numerous than in any November since 1920. Compared to the ten-year average November offerings, the following declines are noted: cattle, 35; calves, 26; hogs, 32.5; sheep, 24; and horses and mules, 40 percent. With direct shipments considered, the decline in receipts of hogs would not be nearly so impressive, but, even so, they were 21.8 percent lighte~ than in November a year ago. FEEDING OPERATIONS: Shipments of stocker and feeder cattle, calves, and sheep, from four Tenth District markets to the country, declined sharply as compared to October this year, November last year, and the ten-year average. More hogs moved to feedlots than in the previous month, but the November outgo was off 67.9 percent as compared to a year ago and 80 percent as compared to normal. The Department of Agriculture points out that the movement direct to feeders, particularly of cattle and hogs, being more pronounced this year than usual, shipments from stockyards are not as indicative of feeding operations as formerly. Commenting on the December 1 livestock feeding situation, the Department said in part: CATTLE: "Shipments of stocker and feeder cattle into the Corn Belt ~tates through stockyards in November were small. The estimated number, mspected through markets, was 23 percent smaller than in November, 1931, and the second smallest for the month in the fourteen years for which records are available. "The total inspected shipments for the five months, July to November this year were also the smallest for the period in fourteen years, being 9 percent below the total of 1931. The total into the states east of the Mississippi, however, was the largest in six year~, while the total into the states west of the Mississippi was much the smallest m fourteen years. The largest decreases this year were in the shipments into Nebraska and Kansas. Direct shipments to feeders, not going through stockyards, apparently were larger this year than last. '' Cattle feeding in the western states will be considerably less this year than last due to the marked reduction in Colorado." SHEEP: "While the estimated shipments of stocker and feeder lambs and sheep inspected through markets into the eleven Corn Belt states were considerably smaller in November this year than in November, 1931, they were not greatly different from the five-year (1926-1930) average November shipments. ''Total shipments inspected through markets into the Corn Belt states for the five months (July to November) this year were 40 percent smaller than in 1931 and about 17 percent smaller than in 1921, in which year they were the smallest from 1919 to 1931. Shipments of feeder lambs direct to feedlots in the Corn Belt states and not going through livestock markets during these five months this year were much smaller than last year, but probably larger than in most years before 1930. "The movement of feeder lambs into Colorado feeding areas in late October and November were relatively heavy and as a result the reduction in the number fed this season from that of last will be smaller than was indicated earlier. "Some increases in lamb feeding in Wyoming and a material increase in Montana are reported. Shipments into Nebraska and Kansas to December I are smaller than last year. Quality on the whole is above average." According to reports to the Bureau of Agricultural Economics, livestock on western ranges are in good condition, with supplies of range feed, hay, and grain generally ample for an average winter except in dry areas of eastern Colorado, western Kansas and Oklahoma, southeastern Wyoming, and northeastern New Mexico. A shortage of stock water in the drier areas was reported. Ranges were open in November and livestock gained in weight. The fall movement of range lambs and cattle is about completed, with shipments running somewhat below a year ago. The tendency is to hold livestock, particularly she-stuff, where feed and finances will permit. Few sales of breeding ewes have been made and shipments of old ewes have been limited. Inquiry for feeder lambs has been rather broad with scattered sales ranging from $4 to $4.50 per hundredweight. PRICES: Reduced supplies the forepart of November checked the decline in hog prices and a reaction carried Kansas City quotations of $3.00 per hundredweight at the opening to 'l,3.70 on November 10, from which figure they steadily declined to close at a top of $3.05. Values declined further the first. two weeks of December and on December 14 top hogs, sellmg at 1h.80 per hundredweight at Kansas City, were the lowest since I 879, in which year an all-time low for that market of $2.35 was established. Beef prices, with most fed steers selling from '/,4.50 to $6.oo per hundred pounds and all classes of cattle selling from 25 cents to '/,I lower for the month, reached .t he season's lowest level in over twenty years. Declines continue with mid-December yrices 25 to 50 cents per hundredweight below opening quotations. Sheep were the best performers, with slaughter lambs and yearlings 2 5 to 50 cents higher for the month and the only class of livestock selling at about the same level as a year ago. Poultry and Dairy Products Butter prices advanced 5 cents per pound and egg prices 6 cents per dozen the closing weeks of November but recessions the third week of December destroyed a large part of these gains. Heavy offerings of turkeys depressed that market but prices of other classes of poultry hold steady at low levels: Unfavorable weather conditions and less intensive care and feeding have contributed to a reduction in egg and milk production. Poultry flocks are smaller than a year ago but dairy herds are 4 percent larger. NOVEMBER MOVEMENT OF LIVESTOCK IN THE TENTH DISTRICT Kansas City ...................... Omaha St. Joseph .... Denver Oklahoma City Wichita ........ Cattle 123,297 103,865 27, 197 54,452 19,557 17,196 RECEIPTS Calves Hogs 35,765 *201,153 14,994 147,195 92,820 8,499 12,521 47,301 25,272 5,34 1 38,248 5,512 Sheep 78,800 140,131 62,714 167,788 7,670 6,316 STOCKERS AND FEEDERS Cattle Calves Hogs Sheep 19,221 60,833 2,047 13,975 481 38,461 46,788 8,377 133 10,788 7,483 3,39 1 29,33 1 1 10,251 148,028 59 82,632 November 193 463,419 144,435 345,564 55 1,989 11 9,4 29 625,768 1,053,829 191,019 October 193 49 2,9 27 812,463 115,448 705,806 November 1931 187,567 474,894 11 Months 1932................ 3,805,787 606,085 8,543,796 8,271,115 95 1,833 II Months 1931.. .............. 4, 22 7,559 665,452 8,039,263 9,408,267 1,106,212 *Includes u2,775 hogs shipped direct to packers' yards. 41,240 47,761 50,136 168,591 166,532 PURCHASED FOR SLAUGHTER Cattle Calves Hogs 10,570 *178,121 51,895 41,921 6,617 122,338 18,039 3,732 74,992 2 1,680 27,520 9,73 12,619 4,622 21,776 1,6o3 7,035 35,53° 211,252 141,241 3,252 2,394 190,968 395, 100 10,142 162,551 335,628 47,478 1,338,781 1,880,094 104,340 2,453,822 1,995,53° 28,824 47,047 32,498 46o, 277 Sheep 63,005 92,885 51,344 14,486 6,830 4,681 233,231 340,663 358,871 539,987 35°,59 2 7,0 95,97 2 4,116,902 369,5o7 6,037,718 4,6o6,577 53°,575 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Cold Storage Holdings Occasioned by the enormous increase in storage holdings of turkeys during November, poultry was the only commodity of which the December 1 holdings exceeded the five-year average for that date, and poultry and beef were the only commodities to register an increase for the month. December 1 holdings of all meats, except those classified as miscellaneous, were som·e what heavier than a year ago, but holdings of lard, eggs, creamery butter, and cheese were decidedly smaller. Holdings of pork, lamb and mutton, and miscellaneous meats failed to increase as usual, but all other commodities showed their normal tendencies, although the net increase in stocks of beef was only one-third of the five-year average, with that of poultry 35 percent greater. The net out-of-storage movement of eggs, although slightly smaller than a year ago or the five-year average, was, gross holdings considered, proportionately larger and stocks as of December 1 were the lowest recorded for that date in many years. Withdrawals of butter exceeded the N ovember, 1931, total and the five-year average, whereas, the declines in holdings of lard and cheese, although greater than a year ago, were considerably lighter than usual. Cold storage holdings in the United States as reported by the Bureau of Agricultural Economics, United States Department of Agriculture: *Dec. I 1932 41,180 407,169 2,9II 90,988 II,925 Nov. I 1932 Beef, lbs .._____ ........................................ 36,036 Pork, lbs ........ 433,548 2,974 Lamb and mutton, lbs ....................... Poultry, lbs 54,989 **Turkeys, lbs ....... I,033 Miscellaneous meats; lbs 35,606 37,04 1 Lard, lbs ....... --·--------------·· 29,186 34,4 10 1,201 Eggs, cases 3,225 2,123 Eggs, frozen (case equivalent) .......... 1,833 66,828 37,2.08 Butter, creamery, lbs .. ---··················· Cheese, all varieties, lbs ..................... 78, 274 73,9 16 **Included in Poultry. (ooo *Subject to revision. Dec. 1 Dec. 1 1931 5 Yr. Av. 39,158 7°, 194 396,563 435,897 1,985 4,214 89,97 1 9o,595 5,I23 5,516 50,664 62,369 34,824 49,667 3,447 3,346 2,038 2,469 42,242 79,223 84,o35 86,740 omitted.) Meat Packing In keeping with reduced supplies, operations of meat packing plants in the District, as measured by packers' purchases of livestock at the six principal markets, including hogs shipped direct to packers' yards, were somewhat lighter in all departments in November than one month or one year earlier. Declines in purchases were not as pronounced as the declines in market receipts of meat animals. Purchases of cattle and calves were only in about 60 percent of normal numbers, but purchases of sheep and hogs were only slightly off. On the basis of numbers of livestock slaughtered under Federal meat inspection in the United States, packers killed 2.1 and 5.9 percent more cattle and calves, and 10.4 and 7.8 percent fewer hogs and sheep in November than a year ago. Eleven months' slaughter of cattle was 4.9 and of calves 3.7 percent smaller, with that of sheep and lambs 0.9 and swine 3.2 percent larger than for the same period in 1931. Building With the approach of cold weather there was a seasonal let-up in building activity in ovember. Fewer permits were issued by the building departments of seven teen reporting cities of the District during the month than in any month, January this year excepted, in over thirteen years. Construction costs of buildings for which permits were issued, although exceeding the October total, were the smallest reported for BUILDING PERMITS IN TENTH DISTRICT CITIES PERMITS EsTIMATED 1932 1931 1932 Albuquerque, .M. '/, 17,630 '/, 41 39 Colorado Springs, Colo ..-........... 24 31 7,73° Denver, Colo ............................... 166,030 264 3o4 Hutchinson, Kans ....................... 18 2,485 9 6 Joplin, Mo ......... 12. 2,635 Kansas City, Kans ..................... 77,610 17 29 II2 Kansas City, Mo 12.7,000 52 Lincoln, Nebr 28 27,240 29 1 97, 1 55 Oklahoma City, Okla ................. 85 74 Omaha, Nebr. 6o 595,715 47 26 Pueblo, Colo 5,001 31 Salina, Kans II 6 8,285 Shawnee, Okla ... 6 380 4 II 28 St. Joseph, Mo 10,025 21 Topeka, Kan 47 9,55° 108 Tulsa, Okla.·--········· 52 25,558 Wichita, Kans ....... 3 2, 245 49 59 Total 17 cities, Nov ............. - .... 736 1,004 Eleven months ................·--········ II,417 16,517 '/, 1,312,274 12,797,0 58 CosT 1931 52,883 20,985 342,115 4,105 6,525 21,876 190,900 32,360 257,000 II8,747 8,695 12,450 1,020 18,705 3 1 ,585 12.8,378 65,212. 1, 1,313,541 43,955,979 any November in recent years and equal to but 21.8 percent of the ten-year average. Construction activity throughout the District, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, declined 44.4 percent as compared to October, was 30.9 percent greater than a year ago, but equal to only 48.6 percent of normal. Residential construction, as compared to r·e cent years, suffered somewhat more than other types, declining 46.7 percent as compared to November, 1931, and 83 percent as compared to normal. r-. Building contracts awarded in the Tenth Federal Reserve District as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation: TOTAL BUILDING CONTRACTS A WARDED TENTH DISTRICT UNITED STATES 1932 1931 1932 1931 November....... . '/, 5,772,258 '/, 4,4n,246 '/, 105,302,300 '/, ISI,195,900 10,380,3I3 4,822,421 107,473,900 242,094,200 October·--·-······11 Months__ ...... 68,422,294 129,263,140 1,270,139,400 2,972,730,000 RESIDENTIAL CONTRACTS AWARDED TENTH DISTRICT UNITED STATES 1931 1932 1931 193 2 ovember........ '/, 683,708 '/, 1,283,896 'f, 19,245,300 'f, 45,290,400 October. _________ _ 796,393 1,440,018 21,855,600 6o,540,100 11 Months ........ 8,356,686 21,740,478 267,110,400 775,225,200 Lumber RETAIL: Sales of lumber at retail, as indicated by the reports of 161 yards located throughout this District, declined 26 percent in November and were 31.4 percent lighter than reported for November, 1931. Dollar sales of all materials were off 27.1 percent as compared to October and 39 percent as compared to November last year. Lumber stocks showed a slight reduction for the month and on November 30 were 18.4 percent lighter than one year earlier. Collections during the month were equal to 21 percent of the amounts outstanding on October 31. October collections totaled 23.1 percent and November, 1931, collections 24.2 percent of accounts receivable. November is herewith compared to that of October this year and November last year in percentages of increase or decrease: November 1932 Compared to October 1932 November 1931 Sales of lumber, board feet .... _ _ _ __ -26.0 -31.4 Sales of all materials, dollars ........ _ _ __ -27. 1 -39.0 Stocks of lumber, board fee _ _ _ _ __ - 1.3 -18.4 Outstandings, end of month ...·-·-- - - 4.6 -25.2 7 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Lumber production in the United States continues at about one-fifth normal, with the total for the year to December 3 reported by the National Lumber Manufacturers Association at 22 percent of normal. Cumulative production of hardwoods and softwoods, combined, for the forty-eight weeks of the current year, were reported at 58 percent, shipments 67 percent, and orders received 68 percent of the volume reported for the _like period last year. Cement There was a sharp decline, as usual, in production and shipments of finished Portland cement at mills in this District and the United States in November. Output exceeded shipments resulting in an enlargement of stocks. Figures based on the United States Bureau of Mines report follow: TENTH DISTRICT Nov. 1932.____ . Oct. 1932.......... Nov. 1931.__..... II Mos. 1932.... II Mos. 1931.... Production Shipments 653 457 819 775 663 560 6,759 6,521 10,639 n,208 UNITED STATES Stocks Production Shipments Stocks 2,278 6,462 4,782 18,764 2,082 17,084 7,939 8,743 1,796 8,161 7,156 22,219 72,261 77,744 II8,596 122,323 Petroleum No change from the preceding month is noted in the daily average flow of crude oil from wells in this District during November, but the estimated November output was 24.7 percent short of that reported by the Bureau of Mines for November, 1931. United States production continues in about the same volume as reported for each of the other nine months this year, averaging · 2,114,000 barrels per day, approximately 50,000 barrels short of the estimated daily domestic demand. Crude oil production in the United States and the five oil producing states of this District as reported by the Bureau of Mines or estimated from the weekly figures of the American Petroleum Institute: GROSS PRODUCTION *Nov. 1932 Barrels Il,502,000 Oklahoma. __ ······················· Kansas.... 2,920,000 Wyoming.. 1,042,000 ·----·-··-···---···········Colorado 83,000 948,000 New Mexico ----····································· Total, five states.-.... 16,495,000 Total, United State 63,442,000 *Estimated, American Petroleum Institute. Oct. 1932 Barrels 12,014,000 2,909,000 1,044,000 89,000 959,000 Nov. 1931 Barrels 16,257,000 3,063,000 1,148,000 115,000 1,324,000 17,015,000 65,219,000 21,907,000 72,851,000 Much confusion exists at the present time in mid-continent crude oil prices. Effective October 15, numerous purchasing companies advanced crude oil quotations 12 cents a barrel but all producers did not meet this price which carried top grades to $I. 12 per barrel, and on Decem her 15 the various companies announced cuts ranging from 4 to 35 cents per barrel, with top prices varying from 77 cents to $1 per barrel. Demand for refined gasoline is reported as weak with prices lower, but natural gasoline, kerosene, and furnace oils are firm. Runs of crude oil to refinery stills in the mid-continent area on December 1, although slightly larger than thirty or sixty days earlier, are considerably under those of one, two, or three years ago. Field activity slowed down seasonally in November and, although showing some increase over last year, is ·nevertheless comparatively quiet. Completions and new operations are summarized m the following table: Wells Barrels Daily Completed New Production Oklahom III 38,93 2 Kansas .... 10,006 54 Wyoming.................. 268 8 Colorado_ _ _ _ . 0 0 36,545 New Mexico·--- ······· 7 180 November 1932.-..... October 1932............ 208 100 November 1931._..... II Months 1932 ...... 1,662 11 Months 1931._..... 1,596 85,75 1 81,843 48,593 922,666 2,081,930 Dry Wells 34 21 Gas Rigs-Wells Drilling Wells 12 465 2 145 5 94 0 0 0 60 71 16 6 15 II9 306 34 566 535 &4 73 861 863 646 Bituminous Coal About the same amount of soft coal was mined in the six coal producing states of this District in November as in October, but, for the first time since 1929, the November output exceeded that for November of the previous year. According to reports of the United States Bureau of Mines, Department of Commerce, national production, which declined about two million tons for the month, slightly exceeded the November, 1931, output. Retailers have, according to the reports, kept their inventories low, with stocks of bituminous coal in the United States as of October 1 showing a reduction of 23.9 percent as compared to October 1, 1931. United States and Tenth District production of soft coal during November with comparisons: Colorado.--- ······ - - - Kansas ......................................... . Missouri ....................................... . New Mexico.--- ··························· Oklahoma. ___ ·······- -- Wyoming..................................... . *Nov. 1932 Tons 581,000 288,000 420,000 124,000 230,000 455,000 *Oct. 1932 Tons 642,000 242,000 360,000 124,000 250,000 487,000 Nov. 1931 Tons 627,000 215,000 320,000 130,000 160,000 495,000 Total, six states·---····················· 2,098,000 2,105,000 1,947,000 Total, United States·---············· 30,634,000 32,677,000 30,IIo,000 *Estimated from the weekly reports of the United States Bureau of Mines. Zinc and Lead Shipments of both zinc ore and lead ore from the Tri-state district during the four weeks' period ended December 3 exceeded production. Zinc ore shipments were practically identical to those for the preceding four weeks ended November 5, wheras, lead ore shipments increased 29.3 percent. Compared to the like period last year, shipments of zinc ore increased 41.9 percent and of lead ore 49.9 percent. Zinc and lead shipments from mines in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri: Oklahoma ·-····································· Kansas .... _ _ _ _ _ _ __ Missouri ................ _ _ __ _ _ 4 Wks. ended Dec. 4 Wks. ended Nov. 4 Wks. ended Dec. 49 Wks. ended Dec. 49 Wks. ended Dec. Zrnc ORE Tons Value 15,III '/, 270,264 6,309 II 3,8 II 130 2,350 3, 1932.-....... 21,550 '/, 386,425 5, 1932.-....... 21,545 382,304 5, 1931.__····· 15,189 280,701 3, 1932..._..... 161,991 2,877,643 5, 193L....... 220,585 5,053,314 LEAD ORE Tons 1,412 '/, 628 144 Value 46,656 21,052 4,756 2,184 '/, 72,464 1,689 54,754 1,457 56,585 22,013 769,696 25,793 1,156,269 Zinc ore prices, which advanced $1 per ton the opening week of the month, remained unchanged thereafter, closing at $18 per ton or '$1 per ton less than a year ago. Lead ore advanced $2.50 per ton the second week of the month but slipped off a like amount the following week, closing at '$32.50 per ton as against '$37.50 in November, 1931. 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Business Conditions in the United States By the Federal Reserve Board ...,.Cll!T Pl!IC!NT l"O lkCUSTnlAL Pi\OOUCTION llO 130 llO l10 ... tOO , -- A.. 120 \ / 110 ""'\ 100 90 '-V"\. eo '\. 70 ' r 60 ~ 1921 1910 ,5 1~.,1 Index number of industrial production, adjusted for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 average=100.) Latest figure, November, 65. l'IICZNT P[ ltC.! W'I' "° 160 BUILD ING CONTRACTS AWARDED Indexes based on three month moving averages of F. W. Dodge data for 37 Eastern States, adjusted for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 average= 100.) Latest figures November, total 28, residential I 1. PlRC(Mt P'tflC.!"l('J 120 120 WHOLESALE PRICES 110 IOO go 110 .- co 1 -~-... 90 '""'- ao 'JO eo ....._..__ 60 JO 60 50 19Zl 1928 ~29 1930 19:31 1932 Index ot United States Bureau ot Labor Statistics ( 1926= 100). Latest figure, November, 63.9. Mlu.lQIII • Dtu.A ....uo.a • eo,uQ l,00 l\[SEIM: l!>J!K CftrDlT MO fACT~ 111 tl!AIIGU 6SCO MXIO>---- + - - - + - - _ _ . __ __,..___ _ __, '380 f----l----+----l-------<f----,'f""'-.,I-~ ~l=:=7"-"t--:,ot----,d------lf---,:,,A-+---i ~ f--- .A--.,,,...,,.~..,---:::;A----=~f---++=-----J 1000~-=-+---+---+.---i'-....,;--1----~,ooo Monthly averages of daily figures. Latest figures are averages of first 20 days in December. Industrial activity declined in November by somewhat more than the usual seasonal amount. Changes in factory employment and payrolls, reported for the middle of the month, were largely seasonal in character. Prices in wholesale commodity markets were somewhat lower, on the average, in November than in October, and declined further during the first three weeks of December. PRODUCTION AND EMPLOYMENT: Volume of industrial production, as measured by the Board's seasonally adjusted index, declined from 66 percent of the 1923-25 average in October to 65 percent in November, compared with a low level of 58 percent in July. Output at woolen mills, silk mills, and shoe factories declined in November from the relatively high levels of the autumn, while cotton mills continued active. Lumber production declined by considerably more than the usual seasonal amount. Steel production decreased during November and the first three weeks of December, while automobile output increased considerably in connection with the introduction of new models. The number employed at factories declined somewhat from October to November reflecting in large part developments of a seasonal character. Working forces in the woolen, silk, shoe, and canning industries were reduced, while at car building shops and at factories producing automobiles and agricultural implements there were increases in employment. Construction contracts awarded up to December I 5, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, indicate for the last three months of the year a decline from the third quarter of somewhat more than the usual seasonal amount, following a non-seasonal increase from the second to the third quarter. Estimates of the Department of Agriculture, based on December I reports, indicate a cotton crop of 12,727,000 bales, about 800,000 bales larger than the estimate a month earlier, but 4,400,000 bales smaller than last year's unusually large crop. Wheat, tobacco, flaxseed, and other leading cash crops are also considerably smaller than a year ago, while feed crops are substantially larger. Acreage of winter wheat planted this fall was slightly smaller than a year ago and condition of the crop on December I was unusually poor, according to the Department of Agriculture. DISTRIBUTION: Distribution of commodities by rail decreased seasonally from October to November, while the dollar volume of department store sales, which ordinarily expands at this season, showed a decline. WHOLESALE PRICES: During early November the general level of wholesale commodity prices advanced somewhat, reflecting chiefly increases in prices of domestic agricultural products. In the latter part of the month, however, prices of livestock, cotton, and grains declined considerably, and, during the first three weeks of December, further declines in livestock prices were reported. By the third week of December prices of textiles, copper, and silver, as well as of livestock, were substantially lower than in the middle of November and the average of wholesale prices was at a level slightly below that prevailing before the advance that occurred last summer. BANK CREDIT: During the four weeks ended December 14 there was an addition of $85,000,000 to the country's stock of monetary gold. The funds derived from this source were utilized in meeting an increase in the demand for currency, which was smaller than usual at this season, in further reducing by $23,000,000 the indebtedness of member banks to the reserve banks, and in increasing by $25,000,000 the volume of member bank reserve balances. On December 15 there was a further increase of $95,500,000 in the stock of monetary gold in connection with the current payment by Great Britain on the war debt. This amount of gold was earmarked in London for account of the Federal Reserve Bank of New Yorkland an equivalent credit was given by that bank to the United States Treasury. This transaction, together with other fiscal operations on December 15, resulted in a temporary addition of $100,000,000 to the reserves of member banks, which were subsequently: reduced by Christmas currency demands and an increase in treasury deposits with the reserve banks. Loans and investments of reporting member banks declined by more than 1,100,000,000 between November 16 and December 14, reflecting reductions in the banks' holdings of United States Government securities, and in loans other than security loans. Loans on securities increased, both at New York City and at other reporting member banks. Money rates in the open market declined further, rates on 90-day bankers' acceptances declined from ½ of 1 percent to ~/g of 1 percent, and rates on prime commercial paper from a range of 1½ to 1¾ percent to a range of 1¼ to 1½ percent.