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THE MONTHLY FEDERAL REVIEV✓ OJ AgricUttural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District RESERVE BANK OF KAN s ·A S CI TY M. L. McCLUR.E, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent A. M. McADAMS, Assistant Federal Reserve Agent and Secretary I Vol. 13 KANSAS CITY, Mo., Business in the Tenth District Statistics for October 1928 are Compared with those for September 1928 and October 1927 in Percen tages of Increase, or Decrease(- ). October 1 92 8 Compared wi th General Business and Banking September 1928 October 1927 t:~s ~e:~tJ}c~~~;;:6~·b·~~k;::::~~·.~·.·::::::::::::::: Investments, 64 banks·--·····-- - - -Net demand deposits, 64 banks........................ Time deposits, 64 banks.................................... Savings deposits, 58 banks ..... _ _ _ _ _ Savings accounts, 56 banks.............................. Trade Sales of wholesale firms_··············---Sales of department stores................................ Sales of retail lumber yards.............................. Market Receipts Wheat... -·~···············································-······· Corn...................................................................... Oats Catti~:.·.·.~~::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::···················· - !:! ~:; 1.1 1.9 - 14.6 2·3 1 3·6 0 •8 o5 0: 7.8 7.1 5 3.7 5·3 7.0 7 .9 4•3 8. 4 - u.6 -3o.9 - u.6 12 17. 2 13·9 - 38.0 .8 _ 8. 7 45.2 Calves·-·····························································•··· Hogs ........·-·········--················································ 5.0 4· 1 3o.9 _4!:~ .t:~~;··~~d.°it:~i~;·.~: : : : ::::::::::::::·····---- - ~ti Prod'uction Flour.·-················-- - - - - - -- ~=:~~·i·~k·.·.·--····--····--:------~----------:------····································· Petroleum............................................................ Refinery activity................................................ Zinc ore (shipments) ...·-·······-··························· M~ti:::i~~hipments) ........................... ,.............. 1 - Hogs ................................................ _ _ _ _ Shccp...... .............................................................. 3· 8 !:! 2.0 1 ;:; 5. 9 - 0.2 39•4 13.5 - 3-3-i 4.8 3.2 12· 8 23.0 - 18.5 --24.6 - 30.6 16,3 12 ·9 - 18.7 i.6 - 2· 6 - 50·5 Cattle.................................................................... Calves·- •································································ 10.7 - 8•4 1 3· 1 Coal..-·····························----·················· - 50·3 2 5·5 33.3 Construction Contracts awarded ............................................_ Building permits, 1 9 cities................................ Value of permits, 19 cities................................ PRODUCTION OF LEADING FARM CROPS IN THIS DISTRICT Nov. 1 , 1 92 8 Yield 1 92 7 236.454,000 Winter wheat, bus .... ............................ ·-··············· 325, 226,000 Spring wheat, bus·-····'···············'···························· 15,759,000 12,713,000 All wheat, bus·-··············································· 340,9 85,000 249 ,16 7,000 Corn, bus.................................................................. 512,243,000 612,497,000 138,4oo,ooo Oats, bus.................................................................. 164,988,ooo , ' !~;ie~~t~~·.·.·.~~~~~·.~~::· · · · · · ····································· 1 Grain sorghums, bus.............................................. White potatoes, bus................................................ Cotton, bale,"------·········································- :::h;r;t~~;:·---::::::::::::::::::::::::::::======= Sugar beets, tons.................................................... 5!:~t= :;;~~:= 2 74,279,000 43, 1 57,000 1, 137,000 9 u, ~::~ 3,8u,ooo 73,230,000 36,9 28,000 976,000 14 4 ' ~~:~ 4,241,000 DECEMBER 1, 1928 THE No. 12 forward surge in industry, trade and banking in the Tenth District that began with the opening of the Fall season gained momentum in October, carrying the volume of business to the high peak of the year, thus far attained, and considerably above the level of a year ago. November reports, while lacking in detail, indicated the devastating floods at the middle of the month temporarily retarded business in some sections of the District, and to an extent interrupted traffic. But it was apparent there were no general recessionary tendencies in the District as a whole, and business was moving toward the end of the year in record volume. The outstanding development of the month and season was d d r d d h d. D' ·b · b a strong eman 1or goo s an mere an 1se. 1stn ution y wholesalers was larger than in either September of this year or in October of last year. Trade at department stores and single line retail stores, located in cities, made substantial gains over the preceding month and the same month last year. It was observed that, for the first time in many months, all of the leading lines of wholesale and retail trade advanced at the same time • Improvement in the agricultural and livestock situation accounted mainly for the expansion of general business. With the crops practically all harvested it was apparent from the official November reports this year's farm production exceeds the production of last year, and is 7.5 percent above the average for the ten years preceding this one. Corn and hay crops in the District are not up to those of last year, but there are larger crops of wheat, oats, barley, potatoes, and cotton, as compared with a year ago. October brought a seasonal increase in movemen ts of livestock to the markets, and a considerable revival.of stock-feeding operations. The production and distribution of commodities in the District was seasonally heavy in October. The output of pork and mutton at meat packing plants was larger and of beef smaller than in the same month last year. The production of flour was the largest for a month since August 1926, and 10.7 percent above a year ago. Canning factories and beet sugar refineries continued their seasonally heavy operations . The production and shipment of cement and lead ore, and the activity of petroleum refineries, was greater than in the same month last year, while the output of crude oil, soft coal, and the shipment of zinc ore was not up to that of a year ago. Building permits issued in leading cities during October was the largest monthly total since August 1927, and the value of permits was the third largest of the year, though slightly less than in the same month last year. The value of contracts awarded for future construction, according to the Dodge reports, was smaller than in the same month last year. This Copy Released_For Publication In Morning Newspapers November 29. THE MONTHLY REVIEW' Bank Debits · Payments by check in thirty cities of this District, as shown by 'amounts debited by banks to accounts of individuals, firms and corporations, ~otaled $1,485,015,000 for the four weeks ending Otto.her 31, a decrease of $39,513,000 fr~m the total for the preceding four weeks ending O~tober 3. But, as comp'ared with the corresponding four weeks of last year, (twenty-nine cities reporting for both periods) there was an increase of $u9,340,ooo. Debits by banks in the twenty-nine cities during the first forty-four weeks of.the cur.r¢nt year, amounted to $1_4,920,077,000 against $13,976,331,000 for the corresponding forty-four weeks ending November 2, 1927. The increase for the year to October 31 was · $943,746,000 or 6. 7 . percent. . DEBITS BY BANKS IN TENTH DISTRICT CITIES , .,. . , .. Albuquerque, N. M ........................ Atchison, Kans.. _ _ _ _ _ Bartlesville, Okla...... _ _ _ _ Casper, Wyo ..................... :-:............. Cheyenne, Wyo............ - - - Colorado Springs, Colo.................. Denver, Colo_ _ _ _ _ Enid, Okl~ - - - - - - Fremont, Nebr_ _ _ _ _ _ _ Grand Junction, Colo.................... Guthrie, Okla ...... - - - Hutchinson, Kans.......................... Independence, Kans·-····················· Joplin, Mo...:.................................... Kansas City, Kan,.____ Kansas City, Mo ........ - - - Lawrence, Kans.............................. Lincoln, Nebr.................................. Muskogee, Okla.............................. Oklahoma City, Okla.................... Okmulgee, Okla.............................. Omaha, Nebr.................................. Parsons, Kans.............- - - Pittsburg, Kans ......... •.-•······:·········· Pueblo, Colo ......... - - - - Salina, Kans .... :...... '.... :.................... St: Joseph, Mo .................::............. Topeka, Kans.................................. Tulsa, Okla...................................... Wichita, Kans·-······························· Foua WEEKS ENDING . Nov. 2, 1927 Oct. 31, 1928 i 14,728,000 ' 13,616,000 . 6,243,000 6,023,000 I 5,498,000 18,41I,000 8,832,000 f 9,495,000 8,479,000 8,688,000 16,598,000 14,454,000 175,531,000 184,491,000 14, 190,000 14,026,000 3,871 1000 3,32-4,000 4,020,000 3,887,000 3,839,000 3,890,000 21,300,000 14,255,000 9,621,000 12,177,000 14,782,000 13,336,000 19,006,000 18,556,000 388,918,000 429,763,000 4,688,000 4,978,000 32,598,000 30,538,000 13,051,000 13,472,000 104,270,000 121,917,000 8,302,000 7, 259,000 206,435,000 203,585,000 2 ,953,000 3,36o,ooo 6,169,000 5,577,000 20,443,000 21,955,000 12,962,000 54,521,000 53,685,000 19,357,000 19,295,000 114,204,000 139,278,000 55,793,000 63,235,000 Percent Change 8.2 3.6 -15.8 7-5 2.5 14.8 5.1 - 1.2 16.5 3.4 1.3 . 49•4 26.6 - 9.8 2.4 10.5 6.2 6.7 3.2 16.9 14.4 1.4 13.8 - 9.6 7.4 1.6 -0.3 21 .9 1 3·3 Thirty cities 4 weeks ...................... f, 1,485,015,000 f, 1,352,713,000 • 8.8 Twenty-nine cities 44 weeks·-······· 14,920,077,000 13,976,331,000 6.7 *Percent of increase computed on returns of twenty-nine cities reporting for _both yeata. Total investments of the .reporting Member Banks, after \ attaining the highest level of record on October 24, declined slightly by No¥ember 7 and the aggregate of $242,890,000 on that date wa-s $2,766,000 higher than five weeks earlier and. $30,695,000 higher than November 9,,1927 . ., •·• _. . al l Between O~tober 3 and .November 7 dem~~d deposits of th~ sixty-four bank~ declined i9,444,ooo to a total of $499,325,000,: but this amoup. t was Jn,357,000 higher than -on·the corresponding date in 1927. Time deposits on October 31 totaled '$182,448,000, the highest of record for th,~ sixty-four banks. · While there was a small decline in the w'eek that followed the amount reported was $21,622,000 larger than one year earlier. The summary which follows shows amounts ·o,f the principal resource and liability items as reported by the sixty-four .banks as of three weekly dates: · Nov.7, 1928 Oct. 3, 1928 Nov. 9, 1927 Loans and i'?vestments-total... ...........$682,188,000 $678,322,000 $630,534,000 Loans, and d1scounts- total.. ........._•...... 439,298,000 438,198,000 418,339,000 Secured by stocks and bonds ............. 109,904,000 IIB,730,000 uS,608,000 All other loans and discounts ............ 326,098,000 316,265,000. 295,683,oco lnvestments- tot;il ............ _ _ __ 242,890,000 240,124,000 212,195,000 U.S. Government securities.............. 121,092,000 II7,419,ooo '. 94,858,000 Other bonds, stocks, and securities .... 121,798,000 122,705,000 117,337,000 Reserve with F. R. Bank...................... 56,838,000 57,867,000 54,685,000 Net demand deposits- - - · · · ········· 499,3:25,000 508,769,000 487,968,000 Time deposits .... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 180,546,000 179,103,000 15~,92-4,000 Government deposits.............................. 2,084,000 1,905,000 1,490,000 Bills discounted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and its three branches rose $17,193,564 in the five weeks between October 3 and November 7, and the total as of the last date stood at $41,190,786. This was $23,894,934 above the total on November 9, 1927, and the highest amount reported since January 9, 1924. Bills purchased, amounting to $26,407,779 on the first report date in November, showed an increase of $15,194,960 over the fifty-two week period and was the largest in th.ree years. Recent increases in rediscounts for member banks, and in holdings of acceptances, resulted mainly. fr~m ~ more active demand for loans for farm crop movements and livestock feeding operations. This Bank's holdings of United States securities were smaller on November 7 than on either of the two former report dates used for comparison. There was a decrease in gold reserves, and the ratio of reserves to deposits and note liabilities stood at 55 percent as against 58.4 percent one year earlier. The principal items are here shown for three dates: Gold reserves. _ __ _ _ _ _ _ Reserves other than gold...................... Total reserves.... _ _ _ _ _ _ Bills discounte.u .--- - Bills purchased .... _ _ _ __ __ U. S. securities........................................ Total bills and securities_ _ _ _ _ Total resources ......................·- ··········· F. R. Notes in circulation..•- '--- Total deposits · · · · · · - - - - - - - Nov. 7, 1928 81,678,654 5,629,521 87,308,175 41,190,786 26,407,779 12,482,300 80,080,865 211,954,187 64,197,565 94,518,217 J. Bank Credit Demand for bank credit in this regional District exhibited more than the customary Fall activity, reflecting heavy movements of farm products and livestock, expansion in distributive trade ·and a large! industrial output. The volume of loans continued at the high level of the year, 1 \ Oct. 3, 1928 Nov. 9, 1927 $ 99,553,665 $ 85,783,206 5,276,006 · 5,721,945 104,829,671 91,505,151 23,997,222 17,295,851 17,612,976 n,212,819 I 5,686,300 37,707,500 57,296,498 66,216,171 217,007,994 208,900,927 63,035,965 65,683,115 97,335,536 90,940,132 with small week-to-week changes, as seen by the returns from sixty-four reporting Member Banks. The total of $439,298,000 as of November 7 reflected a gain of $1,100,000 over the first report date in October and a gain of $20,959,000 over the first report date in November of last year. It was noted that commercial loans· increased $9,833,000 in five weeks and $30,415,000 in 'fifty-two weeks, while loans secured by stocks and bonds decreased $8,826,000 during the five weeks and were $8,704,000 less than on the fust report date in November 1927. COLLECTIONS: Department stores in cities reported their collections during October represented 43.8 percent of accounts outstanding on the last day of September. This fi_gure compares with 39. 5 percent for September and 41.6 percent for October, 1927. Wholesalers reports indicated collections were very satistory, generally running a little better than at this season last year. \. THE MoNTHLY REVIEW •. ·Reporting Stores .- Dry Goods_······-············- . Grocerics ...·-······················ Hardware_ .......... :-·······--' Furniture............................ ,,,._ 1 l' Drugs.............· ......................._. .......... . Millinery_ _ _ __ 8 7 9 7 5 3 WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT S:ALES 0UTSTANDINOS COLLECTIONS · Oct. 1928 compared with Oct. 1928 compared with Oct. 31, i:928 compared with Sept. 1928 Oct.1927 Sept. 1928 Oct. 1927 Sept. 30, 1928 Oct. 31, 1927 - 1.0 - I.I 4-1 - 1.7 3.4 3•4-1 II.I 8.9 13.0 1.4 4.6 3.0 11.8 1.6 14.8 7.2 1.7 3.3 0.6 1.0 18.1 7.0 9.2 3-9 U,0 - . 7;8 2.8 8.1 I.8 6.3 . -24 ..,t. -38.2 -11.8 -l4.7 53.8 -31.5 Savings· in Banks :·. Further ·increases in the amount of savings deposits and in the number of savings accounts in selected banks in leading cities in this District were reflected· by the figures reported on November 1, compared with one month earlier and one year earlier. DEPOSITS Banks Nov. 1, 1928 Oct. 1, 1928 Nov. 1, 1927 Denver, Colo..................... :.......... 7 '$ 54,855,157 '$ 55,617,839 '$ 51,739,974 Kansas City, Kans..........:........... 4 3,212,851 3,131;945' 2,741,053 Kansas City, Mo........................ 10 19,588,737 19,305,153 17,635,547 Lincoln, Nebr.............................. 4 3,246,654 3,226,441 3,404,241 Oklahoma City, Okla._::.............. 6 10,102,079 9,598,486 8,037,356 Omaha, Nebr........ ...................... 5 9,494,369 9,383,791 8,247,548 St. Joseph, Mo............................ 5 7,004,909 7,017,000 6,535,772 Tulsa, Okla ..........:~ ............:.......... 6 15,6oo,704 I 5,362,904 16,115,289 Wichita, Kans.:.. ::........................ 8 6,538,048 6,404,734 5,765,912 Other Cities.................................. 3 778,877 743,074 788,036 Total ·............ ·.....-- ...................... 58 $130,422,385 '$129,791,367 '$121,010,728 ACCOUNTS Banks Nov. 1, 1928 Oct. 1, 1928 Nov. 1, 1927 126,196 120,554 Denver, Colo................................ 7 126,345 Kansas City, Kans...................... 4 10,583 10,352 9,44o Kansas City, Mo........................ 10 99,904 99,354 93,53 1 16,461 Lincoln, Nebr.............................. 4 19,340 19,445 Oklahoma City, Okla.-............... 6 3~,141 29,056 3o,759 36,895 38,955 Omahl!-, Nebr .....·-·········............. 5 39,245 18,o61 St. Joseph, Mo............................ 5 18,377 18,445 26,394 Tulsa, Okla.................................. 5 30,811 3°,45 1 15,839 Wichita, Kans.............................. 7 16,871 16,748 2,681 2,848 Other Cities.................................. . 3 2,662 Total.. ............ - - - - 56 '$ 395,279 $ 393,386 rrade Distribution of merchandise by wholesalers to retailers and by retailers to consumers increased seasonally during October and the ·combined sales of all firms reporting to this Federal Reserve Bank was substantially larger than in either the preceding month or the same month last year. General conditions were described in the reports as highly favorable to trade, with Kansas City ................ Denver_ ........................ Oklahoma City............ Omaha .......................... Lincoln·-····· .. ··--............ Topeka.-....................... Tulsa ............................ Other Cities·--······..····· 3 STOCKS · Oct. 31, 1928 compared with Sept. 30, 1928 P<:t. JI, 1927 -8.7 -10.4 1. • ~~ ., ' 11.6 . . 5-5 Even . ·6.4 1.9 - 5.7 8.8 , 1,.7 -·- ~ ... the purchasing power of the people higher at this ·time than in recent years. · WHOLESALE: Reports of wholesale firms engaged in six leading lines, located at the principal centers within the District, showed their combined sales for October were 3.7 percent larger than in September and 5.3 percent larger than in October of last year. By individual lines the report showed sales of dry goods, groceries, hardware, furniture and drugs .were larger in October than in the corresponding month last year. Wholesalers of millinery reported the volume of sales for th~ month was smaller than in either of the two former periods. RETAIL: Dollar sales at retail stores located in Tenth ':bistrict cities mad~ further expansion during the month of October and were larger than in the same month last year for all retial lines reported. Combined sa!es of thirty-five department stores for October showed an increase of 7.o percent over Septem her and an increase of 4.3 percent over October 1927. Twenty-four stores reported their sales for the month were larger than for the same month last year, while eleven stores reported decreases. Accumulated sales of department stores from January I to Octo her 3 I, . inclusive, were larger by I. I · percent than in the corresponding perod in 1927. Sales at other retail stores exhibited a similar trend. Those handling men's and women's apparel reported their Oc~ober business was I 1.1 percent above that of a year ago. The furniture trade, as reflected by reports from leading stores, was 8.8 percent larger than in the same month in the preceding year. Chain stores handling foods reported their October sales were 2.1 percent smaller than in September, though they showed an increase of 22.5 percent over October 1927~ · Stocks of merchandise on hand at department stores and also at single line stores were larger at the end of October than one month earlier, though stocks of department stores were smaller than at the end of October of the previous year. RETAIL TRADE AT 35 DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT STOCK TURNOVER AccouNTS RECEIVABLE COLLECTIONS (RETAIL) STOCKS SALES October 10 Months October 31, 1928 October 1928 Oct. 31, 1928 Stores Oct. 1928 ro Months 1928 compared to compared to compared to Report- compared to compared to ing Oct. 1927 10 Months 1927 Sept. 30, 1928 Oct.31,1927 1928 1927 1928 1927 Sept. 30, 1928 Oct. 31, 1927 Sept. 1928 Oct. '1927 1.8 2.29 2.22 4.1 16.5 1.0 -5.8 .23 .22 1.3 8.3 3.3 4 Even 21.6 1.82 1.80 -10.3 .21 .19 -2.I 2.1 -8.7 3.2 2.4 5 14•7 14.2 6.2 17.1 12.6 10.7 .29 .29 4.0 43.5 3 12.6 2.24 2.24 14.0 3.1 o.8 10.4 .23 .23 4.1 4.7 . 5.7 4 23·7 0.2 25.0 2.09 1.98 11.4 .23 .22 2.4 2· 4.2 4.1 7.2 12,I .18 .17 18.4 -6.o 18.5 0.2 10.3 0.4 7.1 1.53 3 2-94 3.02 11.8 15·3 23.6 11.8 10.5 .32 .29 35-2 . 2.7 19.1 3 1.26 1.26 15•7 2.2 2.0 2.5 .17 .I 5 3o.3 II -1.7 -4.7 7.9 Total............................ 35 4.3 1.1 5.5 -2.7 .23 .22 2.06 2.04 · 6.5 2.2 24.I 7.0 ' NOTE: Percentage of collections in October on outstanding accounts September 30, all stores reporting, 43.8%. Collections same month last year 41.6%. 4 Failures OCTOBER BUILDING PERMITS IN TENTH DISTRICT CITIES Statistics compiled by R. G. Dun and Company show there were 81 failures in the Tenth District during October with an aggregate indebtedness of $963,129. ~ Although insolvencies were relatively small for the month the figures show failures were slightly more numerous and the amount of liabilities slightly larger than in either September of this year or October of last year. Dun's figures for the United States by Federal Reserve Districts: NUMBER LIABILJTIES Districts 1928 1928 t927 1927 First, Bosto 217 169 '$ 4,592,407 '/, 5,842,687 Second, New Yor 412 9,608,814 ·-~~ 9,509,984 297~ Third, Philadelphia ........................ 66 II3 2,713,365 .2,336,345 162 Fourth, Cleveland ........ 2,359,38o d . t ,3,7x 5,998 159, Fifth, Richmon 106 1,633,885 {t 2,700,752 II9 I III ,1 Sixth, Atlanta .. 131 1,965,866 :~ ~ 1,788,026 Seventh, Chicago .. 285 224 6,113,449 3,246,073 Eighth, St. Louis ........ 1,074,59 1 1,009,897 85 93 Ninth, Minneapolis........................ 677,804 67 405,656 74 81 TENTH, KANSAS CITY............ 838,906 71 963,129 Eleventh, Dalla 41 857,123 65 533,137 226 Twelfth, San Francisco 284 2,430,661 2,029,225 t! Total, United States.......... ·-········· 2,023 1,635 $34,990,474 $33,956,686 The record for the Tenth District covering the first ten months of 1928 was 1,003 failures and $12,674,712 of liabilities, against totals for the like period in 1927 of 1,067 failures and 'l,14,993,088 of liabil:ties, indicating a decrease for this year of 64 failures and 'l,2,318,376 in the amount of liabilities. Failures in the United States in ten months of this year were 20,061 and liabilities $408,184,029. During the first ten months of last year there were 18,968 failures and $430,616,256 of liabilities. PERMITS 1928 Albuquerque, N. M ............ 68 Casper, Wyo.... 14 Cheyenne, Wyo 24 Colorado Springs, Colo ...... 83 Denver, Colo ........................ 774 Hutchinson, Kans·--··········· 58 Joplin, Mo 43 Kansas City, Kans.............. 107 Kansas City, Mo ................ 261 Lincoln, Nebr...................... II9 Muskogee, Okla .................. 32 Oklahoma City, Okla.-....... 331 Omaha, Nebr...................... 148 Pueblo, Colo........................ 134 Salina, Kans ........................ 34 St. Joseph, Mo .................... 55 Topeka, Kans ...................... 146 Tulsa, Okla.... 364 239 Wichita, Kan 1927 99 9 32 71 723 40 41 III 343 . 1 35 22 221 108 160 30 64 129 416 232 ---- October................................ 3,034 2,986 Ten Months ........................ 25,578 26,805 ESTIMATED CosT Percent 1927 Change. '/, 165,970 '/, 236,852 --29.9 8,6oo 13,no ~.34.4 24.9 97,150 77,775 29,201 10.4 59,580 1,212,300 3.6 1,255,500 21.J 106,501 87,957 142,65p - 19.5 II4,775 60.2 182,577 ~13,997 1,402,000 -37. 2 879,800 1,183,565 -8<:>.6 229,743 \ II8,570 -5 2.4_ 56,430 \ 3,117,086 ~31.2 2,144,436 783,487 3 19,03° 145.6 160,162 10.0 145,598 99, 26a 48,o95 107.2 l 1,248,815 57.675 2 ,o65.3 150,637 108.8 3 14,535 1,240,644 34.o 925,962 546,262 570,876 -4.3 1928 \ '/, 9,694, 22 7 f, 9,95 2,936 -1.6 '' 13·3 83, 253,895 73,436,621 Building contra,cts awarded in the District during October represented a value of $15,699,019, compared with 'l,22,610,874 in September, and $19,316,507 in October of last year according to the F. W. Dodge Corporation. These figures indicate the value of October contracrs were $6,911,855 less than in the preceding month and $3,617,488 less than in the corresponding month last year. The value of building contracts awarded in the ten months of 1928, as shown by the Dodge figures, was '1,217,504,302 against $183,575,294 for the same period in _1927, indicating an increase for this year of $33,929,008 or 18.4 percent. j ., 1 ·1 Building Building and general construction activity was speeded up during October under generally favorable weather conditions and an urge to complete, as nearly as possible, projects under way before winter comes. More building permits were· issued in leading cities during the month than in any previous month since August 1927. The month's total of 3,034 permits in nineteen cities was an increase of 425 over September, and 48 more than in October of last year. In point of the building investment the October total of $9,694,227 combined for the nineteen cities was the third highest monthly tot~l of the year, having been exceeded only in May and June. It was 'l,1,107,121 or 12.9 percent above the September total but was $258,709 or 2.6 percent under the total for October 1927. The returns in detail show the value of permits issued in October was larger in eleven cities and smaller in eight cities than in October of last year. Oklahoma City again led in the value of permits, although its October total of $2,144,436 was $972,650 less than that reported tor October 1927 which was that city's banner month for building permit values. ~ A summary of the reports on building operations in the nineteen cities covering the first ten months of 1928 shows 25,578 permits issued for buildings estimated to cost $83,253,895. These figures, compared with those the first ten months of 1927, show a decrease of 1,227 permits but an increase of '$9,817,274 in the value of permits. The aggregate value of permits for the ten months of 1928 is the largest for any like period since 1925 when the total stood at '1,107,829,175. Lumber Statistics compiled for the National Lumber Trade Barometer from weekly reports of manufacturers in the United States reflected small changes in lumber movement in recent weeks . .The report covering the week ending November 3 showed shipments from mills of eight softwood associations and two hardwood associations were greater than production, while new business as represented by orders was less than shipments, and also less than production. An analysis of the lumber supply_and demand in percentage figures, covering the current week and forty-four weeks of the year ending November 3, with comparisions, indicates the tread of the lumber movement: Current Forty-four Weeks Softwoods Week 1928 1927 1926 Shipments greater, or less, than Production .5 4.8 .3 .8 Orders greater, or less, than Shipments ........ - 5.1 .3 - .9 - 1.5 Production greater, or less, than Orders...... 4.9 -4.9 .6 .7 Hardwoods Shipments greater, or less, than Production 16.8 5. 7 -8.3 .-10.3 Orders greater, or less, than Shipment~ ........ - 14.6 2.0 •4 2.3 8.5 . 8.9 Production greater, or less, than Orders·-··· .3 -7-2 ' RETAIL LUMBER: Sales at 183 retail lumber yards in \ the Tenth District increased during October, the volume in board \ feet exceeding that for September by 7.9 percent and that fo the same month last year by 8.4 percent. Sales of all materials, in d,ollars, were larger in October than in either the preceding 5 THE MONTHLY REVIEW month or the s.ime month last year. The figures in percentages of increase or decrease follow: O~tpber 19:28 compared to Sept. 1928 Sales of lumber, boar4 feet ... ,.......... __~ -- - Sales of all materials, dollars ............ _ _ _ __ Stocks of lumber, end of month.-................................. Outstanpings, end of montp .........., ... . . - - ~ - -Collections during month..--····- - - - - - - 7·9 12.4 Oct. 1927 8.4 1.7 --0.3 5· 2 1.8 19.1 0..2 1.9 Cement ) The production of Portland cement at the mills in this District in October showed a decline of 8.7 percent from September but an increase of 7.'l percent: over October of last year. Shipments for the month showed increases of 3.6 ·percent over- the precedi'ng month and 12 percent over the same month last year. Statistics for October for the United States reflected a small decrease in the preduction as compared wit-h that for September, but a small increase over October of last year. Statistics showing production, shipments and stocks of Portland cement in this District and the United States are here_shown, as compiled from the reports of the Bureau of Mines, United States Department of Commerce.: Oct. 1928 Barrels 1,389,000 1,643,000 1,2.96,000 Sept. 1928 Barrehi 1,p2,009 1,586,000 1,551,000 Oct. 1927 Barrels 1,2.96,000 1,466,000 1,r16,ooo United States Production ...-..................,.................... 17,533,000 Shipments............................................ 19,836,000 Stocks ................................................ ·. 14,495,000 17,8$6,900 20,462,000 16,799,000 17,174,000 18,105,000 13,141,000 Tenth Di!ltrict Production............................................ Shipments ............................................ Stocks, month-end .......................... - .. The Crops According to the report of the Bureau of Agricultural Economics, United States Department of Agrietdture,- there was a decline in October of two-tenths of one percent m crop prospects in the seven states whose areas or parts form the Tenth District. The November- 1 composite of crop yields was reported as 107.5 percent, indicating crops in the seven states are 7.5 percent above the average for the preceding ten years. The composite of crop yields by states is shown in the following table for November I and October 1, 1928, and also as reported for November I, 1927: Percentage of ten-year average yeilds Nov. 1, 1928 Oct. 1, 19'28 Nov. 1, 1927 Colorado.................................................. 100.4 99.2 104.0 Kansas ...............· -- - 130.1 128.7 113.2 Missouri- - - - - ························ 104.9 105.8 98.Q Nebraska ......- - - - - ·················· 9a. 1 98.8 126.1 New Mexico.................. ,......................... 94.5 96,6 95.4 Oklahoma................................................ 98.3 99·5 96.0 Wyoming ................... _ _ _ _ _ 97.2 98.3 109.9 Seven States ................................,.......... . United States ......................................... . 107.7 103.1 Combining the November estimates of the principal crops in proportiqn to their ten-year average, it would appear that production of farm crops in the Tenth District wou\d, as ~ whole, slightly exceed that for 1927. ,The est:imates as of November I, officially reported, indicate that of fifteen field crops for which this. year's {i_guJeS are })OW available, eight show larger yields, and seven sm~ller yielcls than were rec;orded :;ls the final estima~cs· for 1927. · Decreases of 100,254,000 bushels of corn, 2,450,000 tons of .tame \lay .and 430,QOO tons of s\,lgar beets in the ])istrict were offset by increases of 91,818,000 bushels in the combined yields of winter and spring wheat, 26,588,000 bushels of oats, 23,248,000 bushels of barley, 6,229,000 bushels -o f white potatoes and 159,000 bales of cotton. Yields of grain sorghums and broom corn also were larger in 1928 than in- 1927, while some of the minor crops s~ch as rye, sweet potatoes, beans and tobacco were smaller than in the preceding year'. Of the fruit crops those of apples, peaches and pears showed decreases although there was an increase of 1,881,000 tons of grapes over the 1927 production. CORN: Reports from all sections of the District stated that the month of October was generally favorable to the drying out and harvesting of the corn crop. Little damage from frost was reported and the percent of merchantable corn was above that of last year. The Novem ber I estimate on pr~duction compared with the estimate of a month earlier and the fi nal for 1927, follows; P reliminary 1928 Bushels :22,358,000 181,521,000 193,372,000 194,888,000 3,58'2,000 70,886,000 3,520,000 Final 1927 Bushels zz,8 16,000 176,910,000 172,637,000 '291,446,000 2,490,000 84,190,000 3,696,000 Seven St ates............................................................ 670,1'27,000 District 10................................................................ 51:2,'243,000 United States.......................................................... 2,895,449,000 754,185,000 61:2,497,000 z,773,708,000 Colorado................................................................. . Kansas ..................................................................... . Missouri.................................................................... . Nebraska .................................................................. New Mexico ........................................................... . Oklahoma..·-····························································· Wyo ming.. ............................................................... . COTTON : Production of cotton in the United States was estimated at 14,133,000 bales as of November 1, according to crop reporting board of the United St ates Departmen t of Agriculture. This figure indicated a gain of 140,000 bales over the October estimate, and a larger crop by 1,178,000 bales than that of 1927. The estimates for the eight states embraced in the southwestern cotton belt show a gain of 196,000 bales over the October estimate, placing this year's production in these states at 8,677,000 bales, or 373,000 bales above last year's production. The estimates for the st ates: Est. Nov. 1 Est. Oc t. Bales Bales I 5,150,000 5,050,000 1,180,000 1,175,000 660,000 158,000 149,000 1 33,QOO 72,000 1,210,000 1,130,000 580,000 157,000 147,000 130,000 77,000 Eight S. W. States ................................. . 8,677,000 United States......................................... . 14,133,000 8,481,000 13,993,000 Texas ........ ............................................... . Oklahoma ............................................... . Arkansas ................................................. . Louisiana .................. _ _ _ __ Missouri ................................................... . California................................................. . Arizona.-.................................................. . New Mexico........................................... . Final 1927 Bales 4,352,000 1,037,000 1,000,000 548,000 I l 5,000 91,000 91,000 70,000 7,3o4,ooo 12,95 5,000 The late estimates, based on reports from individual states, indicate that with better than the average weather conditions the crop was turning out better than anticipated in Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana and Missouri, while in Oklahoma yields were not quite up to the expect ations of a month earlier. SUGAR BE ETS: Estimated yields of sugar beets in the three states of the District which produce ap°r:>roximately 55 percent of the Nation's crop, indicate this year's production would be smaller than that of 1927 by 426,000 tons or IO percent. Tonnage reported for the three states: · Nov. 1, 1928 Tons z,262,000 Colorado ............ - - - - - -························· Nebraska .................................................................. 1,058,000 Wyoming................................................................. . 495,000 Production, 3 states - - -- ····························· 3,81 5,000 Yeild in 1927 Tons z,774,000 1,036,000 431,000 6 Grain Movements Arrivals of wheat at five markets in the District during October. amounted to 17,121,420 bushels, a decrease of 2,238,8qo bushels as compared with September, but an increase of 2,514,020 over October 1927. Market receipts of this year's wheat crop .fro~ July I to October 31 were 152,839,700 bushels, an increase of 48,2201700 bushels or 46 percent over the corresponding four months in 1927. Arrivals of corn during October at the five markets were smaller than in the preceding month but larger than in the same month last year. Arrivals of oats and rye in October wer~ in smaller quantities than in either the preceding month or the same month last year. Octoberrreceipts of six classes of grain are here shown for each of the reporting markets with totals for September of this year and October of last year for comparison: Wheat Bus. Hutchinson.... :....... Kansas CitY·--······· Omaha.................... St. Joseph .............. Wichit ......._ _ _ 2,501,550 Corn Bus 13,750 7,842,120 1,437,000 3,902,400 1,076,600 1,167,6oo 466,500 1,707,750 58,800 Oats Bus. Rye Bus. 1,200 3,000 512,000 16,500 504,000 196,000 140,000 60,000 3,6oo Barley Kafir Bus. Bus. 70,000 106,600 411,200 236,500 332,800 12,250 84,000 3,600 - -- - - - - - - - - - ---- - - - October 1928.......... 17,1 21,420 3,052,650 1,219,000 217,300 910,250 346,700 Sept. 1928 .............. 19,360,220 4,416,800 1,378,500 313,600 1,117,550 66,300 October 1927.......... 14,607,400 2,680,700 1,965,500 312,200 503,700 171,700 Flour Production The October output of flour at Southwestern mills was the largest for a month since August 1926, and the month's ·operations at 80.8 percent of full-time capacity was the largest since Septtember 1926. The October production of 2,652,227 barrels was 307,414 barrels or 13.1 percent higher than in, September and 255,500 barrels or 10.7 percent higher than in October 1927. The production of flour for the four months of the wheat y~arJuly I to October 31- amounted to 9,538,318 barrels as compared with 8,878,904 barrels for the corresponding first four months in the preceding wheat year, an increase of 659,414 barrels or 7.4 percent. Production of flour at the leading centers compiled from weekly reports to the Northwestern Miller is shown in the following: Oct. 1928 Barrels x39,859 722,541 120,349 183,933 Atchiso......- - - ·································· Kansas City............................................ Omaha ...................................................... Salina........................................................ St. Joseph ................................................ 193,556 Wichita .................................................... 198,386 Outsid---····································· 1,o93,6o3 Total.. ...................................................... 2,652,227 Sept. 1928 Barrels IIo,396 649,402 106,670 169,956 148,528 984,846 Oct. 1927 Barrels 132,627 742,790 107,697 185,051 190,010 193,135 845,4 17 2,344,813 2,396,727 175,015 Reports from representative mills over the District indicated new business was light in the closing period of the month. Yet, ;ith a r~cord' ~9fuhi~··pf ~!d~rs ~-n their'.·b~oks~ many millers were, less con·cerii~4 -~bout selling flour tlian _they 'Yere in obtaining shipping_ clir~ctioJ1s . on . flour alr_e aqy_·;pld·. · Export flour trade. w~s dis<\~P<>!!l~in,g,: with le$s _th~.~. ~he ~~ua; .<J_u ~ntity ,going, to Con~menta~ E,~~ope.,anq ,the Latin Am~r1~a business small • ... ·,._:,.,. Livestock .··_ . . · ··. Conditions during the Fall season were favorable for the livestock industry... Nf,)ve_m ber reports received · at the offices of the United States Division· of Livestock· Esti'mat~ in. the states of this District indic~ted all clas;es-ofli;e~t<>ck ier~ in good health and flesh to .en~r-, the, ~.inter. . Favorab\e weat,h~r during the Fall cured the grass and cr9ps wer.e harvested i9 good shape. Mild storms with rain and snow :near. the middle of October, and ·also in the closing days of that month, generally relieved drought conditions, which were becoming serious in parts of the upper Great Plains and the Rocky Mountain region. Much needed supplies of stock water were r.eplenished. In most sections of the range countrr grass.. was go_od ip Nov~mber. ~upplies_o~ winter feed were termed .rs ample, save m the desert sheep ranges in western Colorado and in parts of western Wyoming and northwestern New Mexico, where feed crops were short and prices of hay were high. MARKET MOVEMENTS: The feature of the situation in: October was an increase in the, marketward movement of livestock from farms and ranges to the six leading markets in the District. Cattle, calves and sheep arrived during the month in larger numbers than in any previous month of the present year, and the number of hogs received exceeded that for September. The peak of the fall market runs of cattle came in October when receipts at the six leading markets rose to a total of 662,897 head, 75,226 more than in September but 63,238 less than in October of the preceding year. The October receipts carried the total for the ten months of 1928 now passed to 4,205,461 head, which was 100,438 head or 2.3 percent less than the total received in the same period in 1927. Reports from over the range country indicated that many cattlemen took advantage of the favorable prices to clean up their financial obligations, with the result that c·a ttle were sold close, with little tendency to hold heifers and heifer calves for the building up ·of breeding herds. The marketward movement of calves was the largest for any month since the year 1924. Receipts of 130,464 head at the six markets were 40,6o1 more than those for September and 6,172 more than those for October of last year. During the ten months of 1928 calves received at these markets totaled 653,692 head, which w.as a decrease of 3,475 or one-half of one percent below receipts for the like period in 1927. Arrivals of sheep in October also were the largest of the year and the largest for any month in all years sin~e 1923. The October total was 1,441,520 head, which was 193,159 more than MOVEMENTS OF LIVE STOCK IN OCTOBER AND TEN MONTHS, TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT RECEIPTS STOCltEllS AND FEEDEllS Cattle 244,922 178,541 60,102 II2,7IJ 27,397 39,222 Calves 61,o62 17,928 10,449 17,937 u,675 II,413 Hogs • 280,847 125,636 143,486 33,uo 59,281 Sheep 237,876 345,434 I 55,250 669,149 1,840 31,971 October 1928.~....................... 662,897 September 1928 .................... 587,671 October 1927.-....................... 726,135 Ten Months 1928·-··············· 4,205,461 Ten Months 1927·-··············· 4,305,899 *Includes direct shipments to packers. 130,464 89,863 124,292 680,145 653,279 519,649 8,950,249 7,086,297 1,441,520 1,248,361 1,325,647 7,755,541 6,618,II2 Kansas City.......................... Omaha.................................... St. Joseph .............................. Denver .................................. . Oklahoma City_ _ __ Wichita.................................. 653,692 657,167 37,785 Cattle 149,998 90,193 20,449 73,3p. PACltEJtS PURCHASES Calves 19,437 9,730 3,214 Hogs 12,636 3,331 4,628 Sheep 66,915 175,159 51,1;20 n,503 1,083 505,323 Cattle 82,441 75,546 JJ,2S7 11,758 15,653 43,884 252,087 15,933 304,305 23,468 1,237,825 126,517 1,o61,956 74,942 333,992 11,678 18,926 17,714 167,265 139,176 Calves Hogs 21,6o7 • 217,207 7,002 ¢,ooo 5,055 102,853 2,771 23,764 8,996 30,627 8,800 1,434 118,456 117,973 280,486 48,865 55,451 Sheep 152,490 ·ISJ,JII 101,108 34,458 1,176 3,474 515,901 2,233,475 64,856 1,019,469 412,923 446,n7 436,077 334,668 6,915,081 3,869,469 2,259,073 2,363,218 487,267 5,571,756 3,355,374 798,617 581,886 849,918 5o,479 466,180 4 1 9,0 34 , I THE _MoNTHLY ,REvrnw ...,,. ~ 7 - in.the preceding month and 115,873.more than in the same month last year . . 'fhe -~ umber ··of sheep' rec~ivecl d~r~ng : this year's ten months :pe.riod was 7.,75·5,541, an incre~s~. of' 1,137,429 'or 17_.2 percen~ ov~t )h~·· tike · period in 19~7.:'. )_{~p<?,rts from: the pr1_nc1pal pr_o4u~1~g_ ~rea_s :were to t~e effe.<;,t,.~~a~ .~we lam~s generally were held to build up breed1)1g flocks, 1n some localities more than .the usual number of qne-year breeders having been retained in· the farm flocks. . . · . ' · · ,,. '.-, · · The October ma:rketin·g 'of hogs totaled.. '680,145 head at the six markets, including ·hogs shipped d~rect ·to packers' yards. This was 26,86'6 :, above· ·t he 'September'· receipts·= and 16o,496' above the receipts in ·_October 1927. · Hog's_·· rec'eived at· these markets 'fo ten ·months were ·s,950,24g· head,: as com.pared witlf 7,086,297 in ten months of ·1ast· year, showing an increase of 1,863,952 or 26.3 percent. · Marketings of horses and mules declined during October. The receipts for the month were 9,904 head, 1,~44 less than in September and 8,289 less than in October 1927. The ten months receipts were 102,430 head, an increase of.3,948 or 4 percent over the same p~riod last year. FEEDING OPERATIONS: During the month there was a general revival of feeding operations throughout the corn belt states, where feed is abundant. Countryward shipments. of stock and feeding cattle from four markets for the month totaled 333,992 head, an increase of 81,905 over September, and an increase of 29,687 over Octol?er of last year. The month's outgo of stock and feeding cattle .brought the total . for the first ten months of the year to 1,237,825, wh.ich was an increase of 174,869 or 16.4 percent over the first ten. months of 1927. Stock and feeding calves .were shipped to the country to the number of 43,884 head, this total being 175.4 percent larger than for September and 87 percent larger than that for October of last year. The four markets reported October shipments of 798,617 sheep to the country for feeding. This total was 216,731 greater than in September, but was 51,301 less than in the same month lsat year. Between January I and November 1, shipments of sheep from the four markets to the country totaled 2,233,475 head compared with 2,259,073 head shipped in the corresponding period in 1927, indicating a decreclse of 25,598 or 1.1 percent. The movement of stock and feeding hogs from the four markets was larger in October than either the preceding month or the corresponding month last year. MEAT PACKING: Measured by the number of livestock .E.~r~~ ~s~~ ~_y p~fker:s at__pJant.s. l~ca~~d in ~ix cities of the Tenth _D1str1ct, there was greater activity m all departments of meat packing in October than in September. Compared with the same month last year, slaughtering operations during the month in t~c cattle department showed a decrease, while operations in the sheep and hog departments showed substanital increases. Purchases of 228,456 cattle by packers during the month was the largest monthly total of the present year, although it was 52,030 head less than the number purchased in October a year ago. Purchases of 48,865 calves during the month was smaller than in the preceding month and the s.ame month last year. The slaughter of sheep, totaling 446,117 for October, was 10,040 more than in Sep tern her and 111,449 more than in the same month last year. The October slaughter of hogs, as evidenced by combined purchases at public stockyards and hogs shipped direct to packers yards, was 525,902 head, an increase of 59,722 over September and 106,868 more than in October 1927. Returns from the six markets sh~wing purchases of animals for slaughter during the first ten months of 1928 as compared with the same period in 1927, were; Cattle 2,019,469, ~ecrease 343,749 or 15.3 percent; Calves 412,923, decrease 74,344 or 15.3 percent; Sheep 3,869,469, increase 514,095 or 15.3 percent; Hogs 6,915,081 , increase 1,343,3 25 or 24.1 percent. Packers reported declines in the wholesale prices of all pork cuts and further declines in the prices of hogs as featuring the livestock and meat trade during the month of October. Prices decline were the result of continued heavy receipts of hogs, acc:ordin'g 'fo the reports. Demand for dressed beef was unsatisfactory during the month and prices declined steadily, although the market was somewhat firmer at the close. The export trade both in pork and lard was quiet throughout the month with the exception of a few days when there was a good demand on the European Continent from stocks previously landed. Stocks of pork and lard at Kansas City amounting to 34,119,000 pounds on October 31 were 5,441,000 pounds less than on September 30, but were 8,410,800 pounds greater than on October 31, 1927. P etroleum . The production of crude oil in the various fields in th.~,Tenth District averaged 911,200 barrels per day during October, as compared with 923,000 barrels per day in September and 968,300 barrels per day in October 1927. With one more day in October the gross output of 28,248,000 barrels for the month was 559,000 greater than in the preceding month, but was 1,769,000 barrels less than in the same month last year. Oklahoma and Kansas repor ted smaller daily average production during the month than in the same month last year, while there were increases in the daily average in Wyoming, Colorado and New Mexico. Total barrels and gross production during October, with comparisons, is shown for each of the five producing states in the following: *Oct. 1928 Barrels 22,981,000 3,036,000 1,923,000 226,000 82,000 Sept. 1928 Barrels 2z,775,ooo z,828,000 1,8u,ooo 208,000 67,000 Oct. 1927 Barrels 24,8 10,000 3,3 13,000 1,613,000 '2 17,000 64,000 Total. ..............................- - - - - z8,z48,ooo *Estimatr.d American Petroleum Institute. 27,689,000 30,017,000 Oklahoma .......... - ................................... . Kansas ..................................................... . Wyoming................................................. . Colorado ................................................. . New Mexico.-.......................................... . A summary of field operations in the five statesshowed the largest number of completions in October for any month since July, though fewer wells were completed than in October a year ago. Daily average new production from the wells completed in October' was the largest with the exception of September's total since October 1927. According to the reports more wells were drilling or making ready for drilling on November I than at any time since September 1927. The field summary: Wells Barrels Daily Dry Gas Rigs-Wells Completed New Production Wells Wells Drilling Oklahoma.......................... 370 140,718 107 38 944 Kansas.............................. 100 5,z73 45 13 3° 3 187 Wyoming.......................... 20 3,444 6 3 Colorado.......................... 18 2,616 8 o 99 102 N cw Mexico.................... 3 2 50 October 1928_ _ _ _ 5u September 1928................ 404 October 1927.................... 543 10 Months 1928.............. 4,479 10 Months 1927.............. 5,497 152,301 227,732 178,661 996,348 2,034,512 167 122 170 1,588 1,873 55 39 58 558 502 Reports from Oklahoma and Kansas showed operations at refineries continued well above those of a year ago. The figures follow: November 1, 1928.............................................. October 1, 1928.................................................. November 1, 1927.............................................. Plants Operating 62 58 58 Dai ly Runs 3o9,goo . 310,650 273,025 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW ============================================= Bituminous Coal Productive activity at the soft coal mines over the Tenth District increased seasonally during October with the winter season drawing near. The output for the month showed an increase of 13.8 percent over that for September, but fell short of that for October 192.7 by 8.4 percent. The monthly output: *Oct. 1928 Tons Colorado ____---- -------·--··-···--··-----·---------------937,000 Kansas---··--------------·------------------------- ·-------· 232,000 358,000 Missouri ________ -·-------·-------------------------------· 255,000 New Mexico--------------------------------------··---· 331,000 Oklahoma _______ ·-·-----------------------------·-------· 705,000 Wyoming-----------------------------------------·------·· Sept. 1928 Tons 895,000 152,000 Total_ _________________________ *Estimated 2,477,000 2,818,000 305,000 225,000 280,000 620,000 Oct. 1927 Tons 921 ,ooo 347,000 348,000 274,000 422,000 764,000 Production in this District during the calendar year to the close of October was reported at 2.1,9p,ooo tons, against 23 1816,000 tons during the ten months of 1927, the decrease amounting to 1,864,000 tons or 7.8 percent. Zinc and Lead The production and shipment of zinc and lead ore in the Tristate mining district exhibited substantial increases during October, mainly the result of an i~proved marke_t demand and better prices than were paid producers at this season last year. Shipment of zinc ore during four weeks ending November 3 showed an increase of 39.4 percent over the preceding four weeks but were 33.1 percent smaller than in the corresponding four weeks in 1927. Lead ore shipments during the four weeks under review showed an increase of 50.5 percent over the pteceding four weeks and were 50.3 percent a.hove those for the four weeks ending November 5, 1927. Shipments by states follow: ZoNc ORE LEAD ORE Tons Oklahom--- ----···-----·-······· 26,004 Kansas...... ________ 16,123 Missouri·--·····-···-············-············· 1,510 Value $ 1,040,16o 644,920 6o,400 Tons 7,046 3,693 148 4 Weeks ending 4 Weeks ending 4 Weeks ending 44 Weeks ending 44 Weeks ending t> 1,7-45,480 1,233,040 2,463,096 18,6o8,437 24,318,334 10,887 7,232 7,2 43 81,270 82,971 Nov. 3, '28-.. Oct. 6, '28.. ___. Nov. 5, '27_ ... Nov. 3, '28 .... Nov. 5, '27---· 43,637 31,303 · 65,214 480,290 58t,792 Value J 598t910 313,905 12,580 ' 925,395 6o6,747 579,440 6,607,478 . 7,288,583 During the four weeks ending November 3 prices paid for zinc ore remained steady at $40 per ton. Last year's price was $38 per ton for three weeks and $37 per ~ton for the last week. Lead ore prices were steady at $85 per ton, the highest figure of the year, against $80 per ton during the corresponding weeks in 1927. Business Conditions in the United States Industry continued active in October and the distribution of commodities was in large volume. Wholesale commodity prices declined sharply owing chiefly to decreases in the prices of farm products. Member Bank _credit in use increased in October and ovember, while Reserve Bank credit outstanding showed little change. Conditions in the money market were somewhat easier. PRODUCTIO : Industrial production continued in October at the high level of September and considerably above the level of a year ago. Output of minerals increased over September, while the production of manufacturers declined slightly. Factory employment and payrolls increased to the highest level since early in 1927. The production of pig iron was particularly large in October and the first half of ovember, and the output of steel continued in record volume. Automobile production declined considerably in October after exceptional activity in September and showed further reduction in ovember. As is usual at the season activity increased in October in meat-packing and-in the textile industries, with the exception of silk. Copper mining and smelting continue at a high level, and the output of coal and petroleum increased by more than the usual seasonal amount, while the production of zinc declined. There was also a decline in the output of lumber and building materials. Building contracts awarded continued to increase in October and were larger than in that month of any previous year, b_u t declined sharply during the first two weeks of ovember. The increase in October was due principally to large contracts for engineering and industrial projects. The November cotton crop estimate of the department of agriculture was slightly larger than the October estimate and indicated a yield of 14,133,000 bales, 1,178,000 more than the production of 1927. Ginnings of the current crop prior to November 14 totalled II,3 20,302 bales, compared with 10,894,912 in the similar period of a year ago. Indicated yields of wheat, corn, oats, potatoes, and tobacco were larger than the 1927 crops, while estimates of hay, rye, and fl ax seed were smaller. TRADE: Department store sales in October were in about the same volume as in the same period in the preceeding year, but showed somewhat less than· the seasonal increase from the high level of September. Inventories of these stores increased during the month, but continued smaller than a year ago. The volume of distribution at wholesale was larger than in September and showed a substantial gain over October, 1927. Freight car loadings continued larger in October and November than a year ago, reflecting chiefly large loadings of miscellaneous freight. PRICES: Wholesale commodity prices declined in October after a continuous increase for three months, and the bureau of labor statistics index for October, at 97.8 per cent of the 1926 average, was over 2 per cent below that for September. This decline reflected chiefly large decrease in prices of farm and food products and hides and leather. Prices of industrial commodities increased slightly, with small gains recorded in metals, bui'lding materials, and chemicals and· drugs. The principal increases occurred in prices of iron and steel, copper and raw silk; during the first three weeks of November prices of cotton, pig iron, copper and petroleum increased, and prices of most farm and food products, except corn, pork, and sugar, recovered somewhat after the October decline. BANK CREDIT: Between October 24 and Nov. 21 there was a considerable increase in loans· and investments of Member Banks in leading cities, but at the end of this period the total was still below the large volume outstanding at the middle of the year. Loans chiefly for commercial purposes remained at a high level during the period and loans ·on securities showed further growth, reflecting a marked increase in the volume of loans to brokers and dea:lers in securities. Investments showed further decline. During die four weeks ending November 21 there was little change in the volume of Reserve Bank credit in use. Reserve Bank holdings of acceptances increased further and discounts fot Member Banks declined. During the last week of October and the first three weeks of November conditions in the money market were somewhat easier. The rate on four to six months commercial paper declined from a level of 5½ per cent to a range of from 5¼ to 5¾ per cent, and rates on call and time loans in• the open market also declined slightly.