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THE MONTHLY REVIEW Of Agricultural, I ndustri<il, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL Vol. 19 RESERVE K A NS A S BANK CITY, Mo., AuousT ROP prospects in all but a few local areas of this District C OF 1, KANSAS 1934 CITY No. 8 BUSI ESS IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Percentages of Increase, or Decrease (- ), for June 1934 over May 1934 and declined very rapidly during June as a result of extremely high temperatures and subnormal rainfall. The excessive June 1933 and for the first six months of 1934 over the like period in 1933. June 1934 6 Months 1934 heat and extreme drouth continued throughout the first three Compared to Compared to weeks of July, injuring crops severely and generally, par- Banking M ay 1934 J une 1933 6 Months 1933 ticularly corn which was in the critical stage of development. Payments by check, 29 cities----------···-···11.0 13.0 22.1 Federal Reserve Bank clearings·-·-·-----·--7. 5 28.9 46.7 Much corn is now burned beyond recovery, pastures are furnishBusiness failures, number·-··----··--··------··-25.0 - 63.0 - 58.9 ing little or no feed, and there is an acute shortage of water Business failures, liabilities .. •--·--·-----------·10. 0 8.1 - 59.3 for stock and irrigation purposes. June rains were too late Loans, 52 member banks----·--·--------··---·2.4 - 5.9 to benefit spring grains. The winter wheat crop, although Investments, 52 member banks.·------·-·--1.4 16.1 Net demand deposits, 52 member banks - 0.9 15.1 larger than last year, was otherwise the smallest in many years. Time deposits, 52 member banks·--·------- - I.I 2.6 Oats, rye, and barley were very poor, with many fields being Savings deposits, 44 selected banks._____ 1.1 11.8 pastured or cut for hay. H ay crops have been short and stocks Savings accounts, 44 selected banks --·o.8 4. 5 of old hay and feed are very low in many areas with feed sup- Distribution 26.8 6.1 Wholesalers' sales, 5 lines combined ..---- - 2.6 plies inadequate for fall needs. Forced marketings of livestock, 19.8 Retailers' sales, 30 department stores_. __ -1 8.3 due to the shortage of water and feed, are increasingly heavy. . 6.5 Lumber sales, 1 57 retail yards_·--·---·------· - 8.2 Trade at wholesale and retail declined by somewhat more 26.5 5.2 Life insurance, written -··-····-·-----·----···-·--· than the usual seasonal amount in June but was 6.1 per cent Construction Building contracts awarded, value._______ --22.3 and I0.8 per cent, respectively, better than a year ago. CumuII.I Residential contracts awarded, value..__ --29.2 lative sales during the six months' period of five representative 58.0 Building permits in 17 cities, value______ -42.3 wholesale lines were 26.8 and of thirty department stores 19.8 Production per cent larger than in the corresponding period of the pre- 7.5 Flour ·---·---·-------·----·--···-·-·------·--·---·-·-·---·----- - 6. 5 13.8 Crude petroleum ·--···--·---·---·---·····-·-·--·--·-·· - 3. 7 ceding year. Collections were better than a year ago and - 0.3 Soft coaL------------- · - · - - - 6.o month-end inventories somewhat heavier. Business failures 26.4 Zinc ore (shipped) Tri-State District ·-·· - 4.4 showed a slight increase for the month but the June and six 13.1 Lead ore (shipped) Tri-State District --·· months' totals were the smallest for any corresponding periods 41.1 II.I Cement----·-···--··--···-···---·····-··--··----------····---since 1920. Banks in twenty-nine cities reported payments Grain receipts - 3.1 55.8 Wheat.-------·---···-··--···-·---·-·-----····--·------··----633.9 by check as 13 per cent larger in June and 22..1 per cent larger - 33.5 46.7 Corn·-·----····-----·--·----·---··--·---·---····-·--·-·------··· for the year to July I than in the like month and six months - 5o.7 Oats.-- -··---···-------··-··---·-----·-·--·----·-·---·-·------- -68.9 Livestock receipts, 6 markets of 1933· 2 3·9 17.7 An unprecedentedly early harvest of spring grains was virtually Cattle ___ ····-----------·--·--···-----------·-------·-···------- - 6.4 Calves_.________ ._ ........ __ ._ .. ____ ... -... _____ .. __ ._.._.. ____ _ 32.6 1 9·5 70.2 completed by July 15. Wheat was marketed liberally, June - 2.1 - 16.5 Hogs--·------·--··--··-·····----··----····------·-------····---- -I5.5 arrivals at Tenth District markets being the largest of record. 4.6 0.3 Sheep.---------·-··----·--··-···--··-··----·-·-··----·-----·--· --25.7 Offerings of corn, oats, rye, barley, and kafir were light. Grain 51.6 0.7 Horses and mules--·---·---·····-----------···-·------- -37.9 and hay prices strengthened during the first three weeks of Stocker and feeder shipments, 4 markets - 12.0 - 8.9 - 15.8 Cattle·-----···-·-·-----·······-··--July as the effects of the drouth became more extensive and Calves.--..... _____ .___ .. _______ .. _... ______ .______ .___ ._.____ _ - 42.2 - 16.5 - 34.I acute. On July 21 all grains but barley closed well above a 17.1 - 1.3 28.5 Hogs----·-·--···----·-----------·--··---····----··--···-·-·-··-· year ago. I.0 - 5-3 SheeP----------·-------···-----·-------···-----·--·--·----·---- - 9.3 June marketings of cattle and calves, including Government Meat packing, 6 markets 20.0 29.6 Cattle ______ ·---····-----····-------···-···-----··--·-----·-·--· - 0.4 purchases in the drouth stricken areas, were heavy, hogs light, 86.2 18.9 65.3 Calves.--------·---·---····-----·----·---·-·--·----··--···--·-and sheep and lambs about normal. Good cattle were scarce Hogs ____ .. __ .___ ... _._____ .. __ ._____ .. ______ ._._. ____ ._____ ._ ... - 18.5 -22.8 - 6.o and prices advanced to close at the best levels since October, - 4.0 - 11.7 Sheep .. ------·-----·----··-·-··-··-·---··----·-···-··----·-··-- -21.0 1932, but poorer grades declined to the year's low. Hogs scored a sensational rise, establishing a new peak for the year. Production of crude oil, although smaller than in May, Sheep and lambs were sharply lower. exceeded Federal quotas and was 6.5 per cent larger than a Flour mills in the District produced 6. 5 per cent less flour year ago. Output of bituminous coal at mines in the District in J une than in the previous month, but grindings were about was abnormally low for the season but larger than in May equal to last year's volume. The slaughter of cattle and calves this year or June, 1933, as was that of cement. Shipments for the account of the Government necessitated increased of zinc ore and lead ore from the Tri-State mines were larger than last year. employment and operating time at packing houses. This C.Opy Released For Publicat ion In Afternoon Newspapers, July 28. THE MONTHLY REVIEW Banking and Credit Savings in Banks The volume of credit outstanding, at fifty-two reporting member banks in selected cities of the District on July I I, stood higher than on any weekly reporting date of the year, 2.4 per cent higher than four weeks earlier, and 0.9 per cent higher than on January 3. The total as of July II was, however, 5.9 per cent below that of July 12, 1933. Loans secured by stocks and bonds declined and those otherwise secured increased during the four weeks' period, whereas the former increased and "all other" loans declined during the fifty-two weeks. Investment holdings, which reached $357,278,000, the highest level of record on March 7, totaled $340,6o7,ooo on July II, or 1.4 per cent more than on June 13 and 16.1 per cent more than on July 12 last year. The increases for the month and the year were primarily in United States Government securities. Declines of 0.9 per cent in net demand deposits and I.I per cent in time deposits in four weeks, and increases of I 5.1 per cent in net demand deposits and 2.6 per cent in time deposits since July 12, 1933, were recorded. Government deposits in these banks were much higher on July I I than four weeks or one year earlier. The total of bills rediscounted for member banks at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches showed a further loss during the four weeks' period ended July II, dropping below $200,000 for the first time of record. Present holdings amount to $187,218 as compared with $8,250,426 shown by the weekly condition statements of July 12, 1933, and 1,119,193,652 on November 5, 1920, when they were the highest. Acceptances held by this bank have shown but slight change in recent weeks and are also low. Holdings of United States Government securities rose $1,600,000 in four weeks and on July II were $30,298,100, or 48 per cent larger than on July 12, 1933. Member banks' reserve deposits continued to increase, showing a gain of 1.9 per cent since June 13, carrying the total as of July II to $143,019,907, a new high, which is 48.3 per cent above a year ago. Federal reserve note circulation expanded 3.2 per cent in four weeks but declined 1.7 per cent in fifty-two weeks. Principal resource and liability items of the fifty-two reporting member banks and of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, as of three dates, follow: The combined reports of savings accounts and savings deposits in forty-four selected banks in cities of the Tenth District showed gains during June of o.8 per cent in the number of depositors and I. I per cent in the amount of deposits. Deposits as of July I this year were II.8 per cent higher than on the like date last year and accounts were 4.5 per cent more numerous. Savings accounts and savings deposits as reported by the forty-four banks for the three dates mentioned: REPORTING MEMBER BANKS Loans and investments-total.. Loans and discounts-totaL __ _ Secured by stocks and bonds All other loans and discounts lnvestments-tota.~- - U. S. securities ........................ Other bonds, stks., and sec .._. Reserve with F. R. Bank .......... Net demand deposits.................. Time deposits .............................. Government deposits.................. July 11, 1934 June 13, 1934 1,547,522,000 1,537,909,000 202,164,000 2o6,915,ooo 60,983,000 59,044,000 141,181,000 147,871,000 340,6o7,ooo 335,745,000 227,242,000 221,769,000 I 13,365,000 I 13,976,000 82,405,000 83,733,000 420,645,000 424,625,000 165,804,000 167,565,000 16,629,000 25,310,000 July 12, 1933 1,513,331,000 219,944,000 57,824,000 162,120,000 293,387,000 185,573,000 107,814,000 61,482,000 365,365,000 161,598,000 10,231,000 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK July II, 1934 June 13, 1934 July 12, 1933 Total reserves.............................. $168,536,363 1,162,759,243 $157,197,918 Bills discounted.--······················· 187,218 214,281 8,250,426 Bills purchased............................ 142,109 142,121 205,577 U. S. securities............................ 93,444,200 91,844,200 63,1.46,100 Total bills and securities............ 93,773,527 92,200,602 71,602,103 Total resources............................ 295,465,542 291,188,024 259,273,623 F. R. notes in circulation.......... 110,378,no 1o6,939,510 112/260,375 F. R. bank notes in cir.-net.... ...............•.... .................... 976,000 Member banks' reserve deposits 143,019,907 140,346,397 96,458,609 The discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, on all classes of paper and maturities, remains unchanged at 3 per cent. Savings Deposits 1,n1,002,o63 109,836,557 99, 251,5 29 Savings Accounts July 1, 1934-______ 381,285 June 1, 1934-----·------378,091 July 1, 1 9 3 . i - - - - - - - - 364,973 Bank Debits Debits to individual accounts, as reported by banks in twenty-nine leading cities of the District, for the five weeks ended July 4, aggregated $1,096,669,000, or II per cent above the total reported for the preceding five weeks and 13 per cent above that for the corresponding five weeks of 1933. Check payments during the first twenty-six weeks of 1934 aggregated $5,195,032,000, an increase of $940,512,000, or 22.1 per cent over the like period last year. PAYMENTS BY CHECK (In thousands of dollars-ooo omitted) FIVE WEEKS ENDED TWENTY-SIX WEEKS ENDED July 4, 1934 July 5, 1933 July 4, 1934 July 5, 1933 Albuquerque, N. M ..... ,, 10,182 ,, 6,537 ,, 48,701 $ 35,4 22 3,736 3,617 16,540 15,2o6 Atchison, Kans.·---····· Bartlesville, Okla.·--··· 23,516 23,503 125,356 105,79 1 4,652 4,692 21,834 2I,II4 Casper, Wyo.·--··········· Cheyenne, Wyo ........... 7,030 5,365 31,069 25,9o6 Colorado Springs, Colo. 12,162 u,289 63,531 56,01-4 Denver, Colo............... 142,631 II 8,II7 710,350 573,62I Enid, Okla................... 14,956 13,546 50,156 40,28 I Fremont, Nebr.._......... 2,467 2,136 13,oo6 9,495 Grand Junction, Colo. 2,037 1,340 10,407 6,507 Guthrie, Okla ............... 1,341 1,801 8,014 6,434 Hutchison, Kans ......... 21,143 15,599 62,444 52,42 1 Independence, Kans ... 5,077 2,989 25,768 14,150 8,496 7,850 42,3o6 39,i85 Joplin, Mo·-················ Kansas City, Kans ..... 12,461 u,689 59,580 56,205 Kansas City, Mo ..- ..... 314,033 312,896 1,480,o68 1,288,738 3,692 3,946 17,429 16,942 Lawrence, Kans.·-······· Lincoln, Nebr....- ......... 27,556 22,974 139,073 105,514 6,321 6,984 38,346 32,028 Muskogee, Okla.·-······· Oklahoma City, Okla. 93,154 77,929 430,439 333,oo6 2,834 2,768 14,610 I 1,386 Okmulgee, Okla•.......... Omaha, Nebr............... 148,495 130,899 7o6,387 578,9S7 18,425 Pittsburg, Kans........... 3,554 3,073 16,97o 18,529 II,640 79,301 57,6I2 Pueblo, Colo.·--··········· 11,341 10,375 43,o63 35, 108 Salina, Kans--········ 30,819 29,601 I 54,594 124,989 St. Joseph, Mo.·--······· 15,788 14,725 80,647 73,7o6 Topeka, Kans.·--········· Tulsa, Oki...__ __ 97,996 71,677 503,077 354,5°6 50,670 40,861 200,51 I 167,276 Wichita, Kans ............. Total 29 cities ............_ $ 1,096,669 $ 970,418 $ 5,195,032 $ 4,254,5 20 Federal Reserve Bank Clearings During the first six months of 1934 clearings through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and its branches at Omaha, Denver, and Oklahoma City totaled 31,094,435 items representing $4,360,409,000. There was an increase of 34·9 per cent in the number of items handled and an increase of 46.7 per cent in the aggregate amount as compared to the first six months of 1933. Clearings for the month of June showed increases over a year ago of 9.3 per cent in items and 28.9 per cent in amount. The clearings figures for June and the six months: ITEMS June ............ _.... May..........·-···· Six month~.._-, 1934 4,808,092 4,780,073 J1 1094,435 1933 4,400,107 4,213,096 23,050,578 AMOUNT 1934 $ 757,828,000 704,981,000 -4,360,409,000 1933 ,, 588,055,000 524,805,000 2,972,639,000 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 3 RETAIL TRADE AT 30 DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES STOCKS (RETAIL) AccouNTS RECEIVABLE Stores June 1934 Year 1934 June 30, 1934 Report- compared to compared to compared to ing June 1933 Year 1933 May JI, 1934 June 30, 1933 Kansas City........ 4 8.3 18.8 - 5.7 7.3 Denver._............... 4 6.6 16.7 - 5.7 IO.I Oklahoma City.... 3 21,2 25.3 - 5.6 2.I Tulsa .... _.............. 3 14.0 18.7 - 5.6 8.9 Wichita................ 3 19-3 25.0 2.0 28.7 Other cities .......... 13 I0.9 20.8 - 5.2 I0.6 STOCK Tua.NOYER. J unc Ycar 1934 1933 1934 1933 .18 .18 1.25 1.07 ,28 ,JO I.66 I,S4 ,JO ,26 2,09 I.72 .30 .30 2.26 2.44 -23 .24 1.59 1.47 ,22 ,22 I,46 I,J9 AMOUNTS CoLLECTBD June 30, 1934 June 1934 compared to compared to May JI, 1934 June 30, 1933 May 1934 June - 7.6 3.6 14.3 - 2.2 5.9 3.9 - 1,2 7.6 - I.6 - 3.8 5.9 9.3 - 3.7 9.'2 7.6 - 9.2 - 4,2 I 1.9 Tntal 30 10.8 19.8 - 5.3 9.0 .24 .24 1.56 1.42 - 4.8 3.4 NOTE: Percentage of collections in June on open accounts May 31, all stores reporting 44-I. Collections same month last year 38.5. Failures Commercial failures in this District and the United States during June and the half year were the smallest, both in the number of defaults and the amount of liabilities involved, for any like month or six months since 1920. The June totals for the District and the United States exceeded the May totals. Business insolvencies as reported by Dun and Bradstreet, Inc.: T ENTH DISTRICT Number J unc 19J+--························· 40 May 1934--··························· 32 June I933·--························· 108 Six months 1934.................. 253 Six months 1933.................. 616 UNITED STATE S Liabilities $ 936,652 851,327 1,019,170 3,599,744 8,851,907 Number 1,033 977 I,648 6,577 12,723 Trade Liabilities $ 23,868,293 22,560,835 35,344,909 151,793,76o 327,590,748 1933 20.6 22.2 18,8 36.4 31.4 19.8 22-4 Implement dealers report sales volume the best in three years, with collections showing a substantial improvement over last year. Life Insurance Reports to the Life Insurance Research Bureau indicate sales of new ordinary paid-for life insurance, in the seven states of this District, were larger in June than in any previous month since December, 1931. June sales totaled $45,768,000 as compared to $43,374,000 in May and $32,946,000 in June, 1933. Sales for the first six months of 1934 aggregated $245,786,000, or 26.5 per cent more than for the first half of 1933. The sales totals by individual states are shown herewith: Colorado·---································· Kansas .... _ _ _ _ _ __ Missour... · _ _ _ _ _ __ Nebraska.................. _ _ _ _ New Mcxico·---··························· Oklahoma.-_ _ __ Wyoming_··-- - - - - - 'f, J une 1934 9,I'.26,000 6,260,000 17,953,000 4,766,000 745,000 5,996,ooo 922,000 May 1934 .,, 4,439,000 5,451,000 20,96o,ooo 5,104,000 593,000 5,937,000 890,000 June 1933 'f, 4,'.210,000 4,499,000 14,372,000 4,317,000 RETAIL: June sales of thirty department stores in Tenth 57'4-,000 District cities showed a decline of 18.3 per cent from the pre,f.,365,000 ceding month, or somewhat more than the customary rate, 009,000 but were 10.8 per cent larger than in June last year. Sales 'f, 45,768,000 'f, 43,374,000 .,, 32,946,000 statcs·--·····---for the first six months of 1934 stood 19.8 per cent above the Seven Unitcd Statl"S.___ __ 588,421,000 475,911,000 556,379,000 dollar volume reported for the first six months of 1933. Stocks Lumber of merchandise on hand at the close of June were 5.3 per cent smaller than a month earlier but 9.0 per cent larger than at The lumber trade in the Tenth District during June, as the end of last June. reported by 157 retail yards, was 8.2 per cent smaller in board Collections showed a slight improvement for the month, feet than in May and 17.8 per cent less than in June of last averaging 44.1 per cent of the amounts receivable on May 31 year. Dollar sales of all materials at these yards declined as compared with collection percentages of 42.1 per cent in 17.6 per cent for the month but were 28.8 per cent larger than May this year and 38.5 per cent in June, 1933. in June, 1933. WHOLESALE: Reports of wholesale firms, representing Inventories were unchanged for the month and on June 30 five leading lines, showed the combined dollar volume of their were on1y slightly smaller than one year earlier. Collections June sales was 2.6 per cent below that for May, the first de- were not as good as in the preceding month but were much crease reported since 1930. June sales were, however, 6.1 per better than a year ago. June collections averaged 32.7 per cent larger than a year ago and accumulative sales for the cent of amounts outstanding at the close of the previous month six months' period showed a gain of 26.8 per cent. Considered as compared to 35.1 per cent in May this year and 22.7 per by separate lines, sales of dry goods and furniture were smaller cent in June last year. in June than in either May this year or June last year and those A summary of the reports covering 1 57 retail yards follows: of groceries and drugs larger. Sales of hardware declined for June 1934 Compared to May 1934 June 1933 the month and increased for the year. Increases reported for of lumber, board feet................................ - 8.2 - 17.8 the half year were as follows: dry goods, 29 per cent; grocer- Sales Sales of all materials, dollars............................ - 17.6 28.8 ies, 5; hardware, 38; furniture, 51; and drugs, 39 per cent. Stocks of lumber, board fee ...____ - o.I 2.2 All lines reported a slight reduction in inventories the past Outstandings, end of month.............................. - 3.0 - 5.6 An increase of 29 per cent in national lumber production month but stocks on hand June 30 were somewhat larger for and decreases of 4 per cent in shipments and 8 per cent in each line, except groceries, than one year earlier. WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES Stores Reporting Dry goods ...................... 6 Groceries.... - - -- 5 Hardwar...__ _ _ _ 9 Furniture.- ·-·················· 4 Drug..____ _ 7 June 1934 compared to May 1934 June 1933 -17.3 -14.4 8.4 - 0.4 - 4·'48.6 - 14.2 - 5.6 1.6 32.4 0UTSTANDINGS June 30, 1934 compared to May 31, 1934 June 30, 1933 - 4.8 -II.7 - 0.7 -25.3 - 0.5 3.3 -10.7 -17.6 - 3.3 - 4.5 AMOUNTS COLLECTED STOClt.S June 30, 193,f. compared to June 1934 compared to May 1934 June 1933 May 31, 1934 June 30, 1933 - 4.8 14.2 - 3.8 30.1 18.6 20.5 - 3.1 -11.9 5.2 24.3 - 3.4 31.5 - 1.7 62.6 - 7.3 21.4 - 0.4 9.2 - 0.7 19.9 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 4 orders booked, during the twenty-six weeks of the year to July 1, as compared to the like period last year, is indicated by reports of identical mills to the National Lumber Manufacturers Association.. Shipments fell 9 per cent and orders 3 per cent below output for the same period. Gross stocks on hand at mills on June 30 were equivalent to 153 days average production as compared with 130 days on the like date in 1933. Carloadings of forest products, including lumber, in twenty-five weeks totaled 574,790 cars this year and 443,005 cars last year. Building Tenth District building operations slumped in June, the total value of contracts awarded throughout the District, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, being 22.3 per cent less than in May and 12.9 per cent less than in June, 1933. Residential construction shared in these declines, with losses of 29.2 and 60.7 per cent, respectively. Both total and residential awards established new lows for June. Construction during the half year was above the 1933 volume, all awards showing a gain of 75 per cent and residential awards a gain of 1 I. 1 per cent. Total and residential awards for the six months' period, although the heaviest in three years, were respectively equal to but 36 per cent and 22 per cent of the average expenditures for the past eight years. Building operations in the Tenth District and the United States as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation: TOTAL BUILDING CONTRACTS AWARDED TENTH DISTRICT UNITED STATES 1934 1933 1934 1933 June ............. . 1, 3,854,836 1, 4,428,226 f,127,131,200 f,102,980,100 May .............. 1 1 4,963,914 4,094,54 34,445,700 77, 171,700 Six months.-. 855,610,500 432,751 ,600 34,443,075 19,679,222 June.............. May.............. Six months.-. R ESIDENTIAL CO TRACTS AWARDED TENTH DISTRICT UNITED STATES 1934 1933 1933 1934 1, 529,486 $ 1,347,247 1, 26,580,200 1, 27,768,200 747,871 801,775 24,847,200 26,519,700 5,1 31,451 4,619,882 131,904,200 113,208,700 Building departments in seventeen reporting cities of the District issued 265 fewer permits in June than in May and 20 less perm.its than in June a year ago. Estimated construction costs showed a decline of 42.3 per cent for the month and a gain of 26.1 per cent for the year. Permits issued for the calender year to July 1 increased 7.9 per cent and expenditures increased 58 per cent over the like period of the preceding year. BUILDIN G PERMITS IN TENTH DISTRICT CITIES ESTIMATED CosT PERMITS 1934 1933 1933 1934 1, 134,710 1, 16,681 Albuquerque, N. M-·--··············· 58 47 Cheyenne, Wyo ........................... 26 20,960 13,282 45 28 Colorado Springs, Colo.·-··········· 19,986 14,585 37 Denver, Colo ............................... 226 229,792 215,135 393 Joplin, Mo ................................... IO 1,900 4,830 9 Kansas City, Kans ..................... 10,275 30 17,9 15 33 Kansas City, Mo ......................... 126 l 54,100 124,300 229 Lincoln, N ebr.·-·············· ............ 96 56,149 36,537 47 Oklahoma City, Okla ................. 68 50,164 76,o75 79 Omaha, Nebr ............................... 80 101,729 136,569 96 10,625 46 12,719 Pueblo, Colo.·-····························· 45 Salina, Kans ................................. 6 II 1,440 4,800 Shawnee, Okla ............................. 6 1,500 3,650 9 St. Joseph, Mo ..-......................... 20 12,125 28,270 27 26,060 20,365 Topeka, Kans.·--························· 37 53 62 162,579 31,145 Tulsa, Okla.·-······························· 49 Wichita, Kans ............................. 17,848 16,968 49 43 Total 17 cities, June.................... Total 17 cities, May·- -··············· Total 17 cities, 6 months·--······· 1,103 1,368 6,104 1,123 1,289 5,657 1, 995,833 1,7 25,935 6,332,169 1, 789,935 818,428 4,oo6,454 Flour Production Tenth District mills, reporting weekly to the Northwestern Miller, were operated at 58.6 per cent of full-time capacity during June as compared with 6o.4 per cent in May and 59.5 per cent in June, 1933. Output of flour totaled 1,8n,213 barrels this month, 1,937,262 barrels last month, and 1,836,688 barrels a year ago. Production for the wheat year ended June 30 totaled 21,391,779 barrels, or 10.4 per cent less than in the preceding wheat year. Tentative estimates indicate a decline of 8.8 per cent in the production ·o f flour in the United States for the crop year ended June 30 as compared to the previous crop year. Grindings for eleven months, as reported by the Department of Commerce, totaled 397,056,000 bushels of wheat and an output of 86,666,000 barrels of flour as against 434,922,000 bushels of wheat and 94,886,000 barrels of flour for the like period last year. The decline in output is attributed to an increase in custom grinding by nonreporting mills, a reduction in consumers' stocks, and slight additional declines in domestic consumption and exports. Flour production in this District during June and the wheat year, as estimated from the weekly reports of southwestern mills to the Northwestern Miller, with comparisons: Atchison ................ Kansas City.. ·-····· Omaha................. . Salina .................... Wichita·--············· Outside................. . June 1934 112,415 496,936 I I 1,344 1 4 1 ,397 121,634 827,487 M ay 1934 129,220 522,076 I I 1,458 146,461 166,997 861,050 June Wheat Year Wheat Year 1933 1933-34 1932-33 130, 235 1,344,938 1,558,75o 481,716 5,765,276 6,852,383 110,403 1,230,238 1,239,166 121,276 1,663,891 1,867,9II 162,236 1,872,798 2,353,531 830,822 9,514,638 10,ou,839 TotaL................... 1,811,213 1,937,262 1,836,688 21,391,779 23,883,580 *United S'tates..._. 5,049,871 5,370,405 5,459,270 61,880,522 68,272,704 *Represents about two-thirds of the total output in the United States. Wheat and flour prices having advanced rapidly in May, the flour trade was hesitant the forepart of June, but as values weakened inquiry improved and several large and round lots were sold the closing weeks of the month. Many bakers were reported lightly covered as to July requirements and most sales were for immediate or near-by shipment. Bookings being limited to ninety days under the millers code, which became effective June 21, bakers purchased requirements only until September instead of December as heretofore. Contracts are well cleared up due to good shipping directions and the cancellation of old orders by many plants. Flour closed about 25 cents per barrel lower for the month. Demand for millfeed for immediate delivery was active the greater part of June and prices advanced, but as rains relieved the feed situation, demand contracted and prices declined at the close for a net gain of about $2. 50 per ton. Grain Marketing With harvest two to three weeks earlier than usual, June receipts of wheat at the five principal market centers of the District were unprecedentedly large, exceeding the previous record movement of last year by 55.8 per cent. Arrivals were the heaviest for any month since July, 1932, and carried the totals for the six markets this year within 8 per cent of normal. For the crop year beginning July 1, 1933, and ending June 30, 1934, receipts of wheat at these markets were the lightest in many years, totaling 94,598,050 bushels this year as compared to 143,457,550 bushels last year and 263,555,050 bushels for the year ended June 30, 1932, the all-time high. The 1934 wheat crop will be substantially short of domestic requirements, necessitating heavy additional reductions in the carryover estimated at 250,000,000 bushels. THE MONTHLY REVIEW Although prices advanced, marketings of corn were light, being 58 per cent below the ten-year average for June and the smallest for the month of record, June, 1932, excepted. Oats were in only 23 per cent of normal supply, with receipts lighter than for any month in fifteen years of record. June receipts of barley were the smallest since 1927 and 52 per cent below normal. Offerings of kafir increased both as compared to May this year and June last year but were 47 per cent short of the average. In June, 1933, marketings of wheat, corn, oats, and rye, stimulated by sharply higher prices, were extremely heavy. Receipts of grain at the five markets in June and six months this year with comparisons: Hutchinson ...... Kansas City... _. Omaha.............. St. Joseph·---··· Wichita._ ........... June 1934.......... May 1934.......... June 1933 .......... 6 Months 1934.. 6 Months 1933.. Wheat Bushels 6,629,850 8,948,800 2,473,6oo 534,400 7,263,000 25,849,650 3,522,300 16,596,100 46,8n,300 48,305,000 Corn Bushels 3,75° 796,5 00 518,000 454,500 113,100 Oats Bushels Rye Bushels Barley Bushels 106,000 30,000 102,000 1,500 10,500 15,400 14,400 17,600 3,500 2,600 - - - 1,885,850 239,500 1,285,150 770,000 6,401,650 1,505,500 14,591,450 2,829,000 21,936,300 5,737,000 Kafir Bushels 61,100 159,600 2,600 ---- ---- - - - 25,900 14,400 u9,300 244,800 437,000 38,100 30,400 56,45o 2 75,55° 3o4,3oo 223,300 181,200 94,800 959,000 775, 100 Mid-July grain prices, although somewhat below the speculative peaks of a year ago, are more truly reflective of the actual supply and demand situation and crop prospects. Wheat prices, which moved up rapidly in May, reacted somewhat in June with a net loss of about 6 cents per bushel which was recovered in July following the Government's forecast reducing crop estimates unexpectedly. Receipts of new crop winter wheat are of superior quality and cash grain is selling at a good premium over futures. Corn, oats, and barley prices registered slight increases in June, whereas quotations for rye and kafir declined. As the drouth continued in July, anxiety over the corn crop increased and prices stengthened. Offerings of hay were light and readily absorbed at advancing prices. Cash grain prices at Kansas City in cents per bushel as of the dates indicated: No. No. No. No. No. No. 1 dark wheat............ 2 mixed corn ............ 2 white oats .............. 2 rye .......................... 2 barley·---··············· 2 kafir........................ July 16 June 30 May 31 July 15 June 30 May 31 1933 1933 1933 1934 1934 1934 $1.07½ $ .89½ $ .69 $ .97½ $ .87½ $ .95 .61 ¾ .40½ .58 .59½ .55 •49 .41 .42 .25 .47 .43 •44½ .48 .67 .72 .96 .69 .77 .62 .30½ .58 .55 .53 •44 .82 1.18 I.00 1.27 I.OJ 1.45 Production and disposition of all wheat the past five years, al estimated by the Department of Agriculture, is shown in the following table in thousands of bushels: I 929···--····· 1930·----··· l9JL-- ····· 1932.- - -··· 1933·----·-- Production 822,180 889,702 932,221 744,076 527,413 Used for Seed 83,930 81,o60 80,098 82,922 76, 181 Fed to Livestock 59, 152 157,5 17 171,258 122,529 70,912 Ground for Home use 6,973 10,538 14,9 17 15,724 15,94 1 Sold or for Sale 672,81 l 641,329 668,754 524,0 47 368,192 STOCKS OF GRAIN ON FARMS JULY 1: Farm stocks of wheat, in the seven states of this District, which on July 1, 1932, totaled 51,799,000 bushels, were reduced to 28,313,000 on July I last year and to 23,539,000 bushels on July I this year. Farm stocks of oats have declined from 27,835,000 bushels to 14,791,000 during the two year period. Holdings of corn, although about 53,000,000 less than a year ago are 18,108,000 bushels larger than two years ago. 5 Stocks of wheat, corn, and oats, on farms in the seven states July 1, as reported by the United States Department of Agriculture: Colorado.__ ··········· Kansas .................. Missouri ................ Nebraska .............. New Mexico·---··· Oklahoma._ ........... Wyoming .............. Seven states·-······· United States ...--. All Wheat 1934 1933 7 14 7°9 9,201 14,421 1,664 1,259 6,990 7,009 132 45 4,633 4,363 278 434 23,539 6o,995 28,313 82,187 Corn 1934 1933 1,6'82 2,568 30,006 I 5,978 22,273 43,020 78,469 64,376 312 283 1,460 6,479 103 63 107,070 16o,002 47o,355 627,998 Oats 1934 1933 702 822 3,637 3,916 4,207 92 1,718 519 4,494 4, 0 53 14,096 28 2,401 624 14,79 1 107,580 26,518 204,384 Crops June rains were inadequate for crop needs and the benefits only temporary. Abnormally high temperatures the final week of June and the first three weeks of July, a continued shortage of both surface and subsoil moisture, and insect injury resulted in serious crop deterioration. Acreages harvested or remaining for harvest in the District on July I of winter wheat, flaxseed, white potatoes, dry beans, and alfalfa hay are somewhat larger this year than last but smaller for all other crops. The total crop acreage is somewhat less than last year due to reductions under A. A. A. pr0grams and the heavy abandonment of small grains. Production of winter wheat, flaxseed, peaches, and pears is forecast as above a year ago. Only two crops, tobacco and peaches, are expected to exceed the five-year average production. Moisture supplies were too late to benefit wheat materially and Government estimates for the Tenth District showed little change between June I and July I. A winter wheat crop about 20,000,000 bushels greater and a spring wheat crop 4,000,000 bushels less than the short yields of last year is indicated for the District by the July I estimates of the United States Department of Agriculture. Production of winter wheat is tentatively placed at 143,317,000 bushels, or 48 per cent of the 1927 to 1931 average yields and of spring wheat at 4,490,000 bushels, or 43 per cent of the average. Harvest, which is virtually completed, was early, grain ripening prematurely under excessive temperatures but quality was good and the protein content high. June marketings were Ii beral. Corn prospects, which on July I promised a crop of 3o6,735,ooo bushels for the District as compared to 389,334,000 bushels harvested last year, have been reduced tremendously the past three weeks. Dry subsoil retarded root development and the intense heat during the tasseling or critical period resulted in a stunted growth and firing, with many fields now burned beyond recovery. The Kansas State Board of Agriculture reported the outlook in that state reduced from 66 per cent of normal on July I to 36 per cent on July 16. Early corn suffered the greatest injury and late corn, which in scattered areas holds fair promise, is seriously in need of immediate rains and a return to normal temperatures. On July I corn was reported good in northeastern Nebraska, fair to good in north central Colorado, eastern Kansas and Wyoming, but only fair to very poor elsewhere, being a near failure in Oklahoma. Grain sorghums have withstood the drouth somewhat better than corn and a larger acreage than usual is being planted in an attempt to alleviate a shortage of other feeds. Some corn fields are being plowed and planted to sorghum. Planting has been delayed in dry areas where much late planted seed has not germinated. The unprecedented low condition of hay and pastures declined further in recent weeks. Harvesting of the second cut- 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW IBE ESTIMATEU PRODUCTION AND ACREAGE, HARVESTED OR REMAINING FOR HARVEST, OF CROPS IN THE UNITED STATES AND mE SEVEN STATES OF THIS DISTRICT, AS ESTIMATED BY THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, JULY 1 (In thousands of units, ooo omitted) PRODUCTION ACREAGE FoR. HAR.VEST UNITED STATES SEVEN STATES SEVEN STATES UNITED STATES Indicated Harvested 5-Yr.Av. Indicated Harvested 5-Yr.Av. July I Revised July I Revised 1933 1927-1931 July I, 1934 1933 1927-1931 July 1, 1934 1934 1933 1934 1933 All wheat, bu _ _ _ _ __ 483,662 527,978 886,359 16,827 14,662 43,996 47,518 163,371 145,979 342,688 Winter wheat, bu ..................... 137,47 1 I 58,881 394,268 351,6o8 632,o61 16,212 13,792 32,485 28,446 332,227 82,9II 160,261 192,838 8,508 10,461 615 870 10,450 16,762 4,49o Spring wheat, bu··-··················· Corn, bu .......... _ _ _ _ __ 2,113,137 2,343,883 2,516,307 410,500 22,447 28,503 92,526 102,397 503,516 602,743 Oats, bu ..................................... 72,661 111,674 171,730 567,839 731,524 1,186,956 5,8 22 7,03o 33,348 36,704 Barley, bu _ _ _ _ _ __ 1,172 1,833 8,712 10,108 125,155 156,988 270,444 10,384 21,421 36,948 2, 203 17,194 21,236 40,950 265 287 2,260 2,358 1,323 4,547 Rye, bu.·--································· Flaxseed, bu •. _ _ _ _ __ 60 42 1,133 1,286 251 462 5,599 6,806 18,664 34 1 8,187 10,972 11,829 52,020 65,983 72,250 8,538 8,631 53,15 2 53,947 Tame hay, tons·----················· Wild hay, tons ......................... . 3,261 4,286 4,505 4,911 10,865 • 12,315 1,936 5,455 8,633 11,368 Alfalfa hay, tons _ __ 19,927 24,907 23,61 I 3,631 3,559 12,249 12,780 6,273 6,749 4,95o Clover and timothy, tons........ 2,002 3,021 2,130 2,396 22,040 23,869 1,054 17,647 25,070 33,6o3 White potatoes, bu ................... 30,721 33,050 4o,477 348,09 2 320,353 365,556 414 373 3,383 3,197 Sweet potatoes, bu •.................. 2;644 64,924 65,073 62,386 2,515 2,839 33 33 770 761 2,211 2,465 10,429 12,280 II,594 Dry beans, 100 lb. bags·--······· 610 579 1,742 1,671 1,571 Sugar beets, short tons ............ 4,288 4,269 7,902 II,030 7,854 334 364 960 1,036 3,3 2 4 Tobacco, lbs..-........................... 5,610 7,412 7 8 1,365 1,770 5,185 1,039,517 1,385,107 1,470,556 ApJ?les, bu ................................. I I 2,0II 142,98'1 I 56,303 6,784 7,072 7,7°3 Peaches, bu ......... _ _ __ 921 3,178 48,7 20 44,942 57,9 19 6o2 1,092 22,431 21,192 22,540 Pears, b u ~ - - - - - - ting of alfalfa, which as the first was light, is almost completed, with rains needed to insure the start of growth for a third crop. Cutting of wild hay has commenced and although yields are light, quality is good and the crop is free from weeds. Pastures in the Blue Stem area of Kansas and northeastern Nebraska are fair to good but are furnishing little or no feed in other sections of the District. Yields of oats, rye, and barley were short and many fields were pastured or cut for hay. Although much of the land seeded to hay crops last spring has been abandoned, there is a good demand at higher prices for the short crop of alfalfa seed for late summer sowing. Garden truck, potatoes, and fruit were seriously impaired by the drouth. The Kaw Valley potato acreage was increased 12 per cent this year but yields are about equivalent to the low ones of last year. Oklahoma reports the early commercial crop as much better than last year and prospects in the commercial areas of Nebraska and Colorado are also better. Final returns for Wyoming will depend on July and August weather conditions. Hot weather reduced the size and quality of peaches in Oklahoma where prospects were good. Apples are reported unusually free from insect injury and, although the June drop was normal, the fall is now becoming excessive. Grapes have withstood the drouth well. Grasshoppers and chinch bugs have damaged cr~ps generally and Government control measures to combat these pests have been extensive. Supplies of irrigation water are becoming short. Production of cotton is not yet officially estimated but the acreage under cultivatibn in the United States on July I shows a reduction, under the Government's cotton acreage control program, of 31.4 per cent from a year ago. Present acreage is the smallest since 1905. The acreage of cotton in cultivation on July I: Oklahoma..·-····· Missouri............ New Mexico... -. United States._. Area in Cultivation July I July I 1934 1933 2,645,000 4,133,000 289,000 473,000 97,000 129,000 28,024,000 40,852,000 Per cent of 1933 64 61 75 68.6 10 Yr. Aver. Abandonment 1924-1933 3.1 3.0 6.2 2.4 The progress and condition of cotton in this District is reported fairly good with fields clean but needing moisture. The planted acreage in Oklahoma was reduced 36 per cent, Missouri 39 per cent, and New Mexico 25 per cent from that of 1933. A brief summary of the national outlook for crops on July 1, as reported by the Department of Agriculture, follows: WINTER WHEAT: Excepting 1930, the smallest crop since 1902. SPRING WHEAT: The smallest crop in fifty-four years. ALL WHEAT: Smallest quantity produced since 1896. CORN: Excepting 1930, smallest prospective yield since 1goo. OATS: The smallest acreage since 1905 and crop since 1890. RYE: Acreage the smallest in twenty-two years and the yield the lowest of record, with 44 per cent of the crop required for seed. BARLEY: Acreage remaining for harvest the smallest since 1926 and the per acre yield the lowest on record. ESTIMATED PRODUCTION OF LEADING FARM CROPS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT From Reports of the United States Department of Agriculture and State Boards of Agriculture, in thousands of units, ooo omitted TAME HAY . WINTER. WHEAT · SPRING WHEAT CoR.N OATS BAR.LEY PoTAToE's Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Tons July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield 1934 1933 1934 1933 1934 1933 1934 1933 1934 1933 1934 1933 1934 1933 Colorado ................ 4,824 2,412 1,960 3,500 9,616 22,044 2,486 4,131 3,096 6,880 10,010 13,050 1,546 1,993 Kansas ................... . 1,367 1,608 80,266 57,452 72 52 73,444 80,431 20,6oo 25,976 2,445 3,264 2,475 2,436 19,008 16,6oo 33 39 129,188 141,446 16,489 32,634 165 204 2,750 2,808 1,643 2,547 Missouri--············· Nebraska................ 16,024 25,894 1,345 3,312 179,613 234,698 10,852 23,373 2,600 8,390 9,072 8,625 1,938 2,858 New Mexico.......... 495 1,210 176 275 2,140 3,332 504 836 168 234 585 640 334 352 Oklahoma.. - .. - ...... 37,674 33,095 15,274 19,485 19,794 21,478 860 720 2,769 2,484 546 59 1 Wyoming_............. 813 1,023 590 808 904 1,330 1,225 2,080 1,936 3,246 1,050 1,729 3,o6o 3,007 Seven 1tate•·----··· Tenth DistricL--. .United StatC1.·-··- I 58,881 143,317 394,268 137,471 123,614 351,6o8 4,490 4,397 82,911 8,508 410,500 503,516 8,376 3o6,735 389,334 160,261 2,n3,137 2,343,883 72,661 58,324 567,839 111,674 84,234 731,524 10,384 10,250 125,155 21,421 21,200 156,988 30,721 28,168 348,092 33,050 30,473 320,353 8,187 6,635 52,020 10,972 8,675 65,983 7 THE MONTHLY REVIEW HAY: Production expected to be 'l'l per cent lower than in any previous season in the fifteen years of comparable estimates. As stocks of old hay arc small, the fall supply will be the lowest in many years. PASTURES: The July I condition of 48.9 per cent of normal is the lowest in fifty years and compares with 60.5 in 1933, 67.2 in 19n, and 69.9 in 1883, other years of low condition. WHITE POTATOES: Acreage for harvest nearly 6 per cent larger than last year, with production nearly 9 per cent larger but 5 per cent below the average. C~~ON: Planted acreage the smallest since 1905, and the acreage under cult1vat1on July I was 31.4 per cent less than a year ago. Prospective yields 13 per cent below the average of the past thirteen years. FIELD CROPS: The harvested acreage will probably be the smallest in twenty-five years. · Livestock G?vernment purchases of cattle in emergency d routh areas, commg to market for processing or reshipment, and forced marketings, due to a shortage of feed and water, swelled market receipts of cattle and calves at central markets in June and the forepart of July. The six principal markets of the District received more cattle in June, 1934, than in any like month since 1926 and calf receipts were the largest since 1925. June marketings of cattle were 10.5 and calves 35.3 per cent above the average for the past ten years. Arrivals during the first six months of the current year were also much larger than a year ago and somewhat in excess of normal. Fat cattle were scarce and butcher classes advanced about 25 cents per hundredweight during the month to close at a tdp of '/,9 at Kansas City, the best price since October, 1932, and 'l,2.20 over the June, 1933, top. Choice light yearlings and heavy cows were also strong to higher. Unprecedented runs of range stock and heavy marketings of plain and thin kinds carried values in those classes to the year's low levels. Drouth conditions resulted in a slackened demand for stockers and feeders and the outgo of cattle from four markets was 28 per cent below normal and that of calves 20 per cent less. Thin cows and calves dominate Government purchases in drouth stricken areas. These cattle are not offered for sale. The effects of the Government's pig buying program of last fall and unfavorable feeding ratios in recent months, when farmers found it more profitable to sell their hogs than feed them corn, were apparent in the light marketings in June. Receipts at the six markets were the third smallest for the month in fifteen years of record and the cumulative total for the year to July 1 established a new low for the period. Offerings for June and the six months' period were approximately 20 per cent below the ten-year average. Short feed supplies and poor crop prospects resulted in the marketing of many unfinished hogs, and the average weight and general quality of offerings was lowered. A sensational rise in prices, which reached their peak the third week of the month, carried values to the highest levels since last October and closing prices above a year ago. The Kansas City opening top was 'l,3.40 per hundred- weight, the closing top '$4.70, and the month's best price '$4.85 on June 21. A year ago hogs opened at '/,4.65 and closed at '$4.30. Total arrivals of sheep and lambs at the six markets were about normal for June but for the six months' period were the smallest since 1927. Omaha reported June receipts as the lightest in seventeen years. Prices worked steadily downward due to a slackened demand for dressed meat and a dull wool market. Fed lambs closed '1,1 to 'l,1.50 per hundredweight lower and as the demand for feeders was stagnant, that class closed 'l,1.50 to 'l,2.00 lower for the month. Supplies of horses and mules were liberal, June receipts totaling 5,959 head as compared to 9,598 in May and 5,916 in June, 1933. The June total exceeded that of all other years since 1920 and was 50 per cent larger than the average. RANGES AND PASTURES: The condition of western ranges is described by the Department of Agriculture as the poorest in the twelve years reports have been issued as is also that of cattle and sheep in those areas. The immediate feed situation is bad and fall and winter feed prospects very poor, with supplies inadequate for present livestock numbers. All livestock shows considerable shrink, with some losses reported from the drier localities. Calves and lambs, crops of which were generally good, arc not making the usual growth. Early, forced shipments of livestock from these areas are anticipated. Pastures generally have deteriorated rapidly in recent weeks and most sections report a serious shortage of stock water and some loss of livestock. Many counties have been designated as emergency relief counties or secondary relief counties, giving them priority in Government relief measures or reduced rates in the shipment of feed and livestock. Pastures in the southern portion of the Blue Stem area of Kansas are still furnishing fair to good feed. JUNE PIG SURVEY: According to the June 1 survey of the United States Department of Agriculture there was a decrease of 28 per cent in the nation's spring pig crop of 1934, from that of 1933, and a prospective decrease of 38 per cent in the number of sows to farrow in the fall season of 1934, from the number farrowed last fall. The number of pigs saved in the spring of 1934 was estimated at 37,427,000 head, or 14,595,000 head less than in the preceding spring. The corn belt showed a reduction of 28 per cent in the spring pig crop and a prospective reduction of 42 per cent in fall farrowings. These estimates indicate a reduction of 31.3 per cent in the 1934 hog crop to the lowest total in at least twenty years. POULTRY AND DAIRY PRODUCTS: Eggs and poultry are slightly higher than a year ago and butterfat fractionally lower. Except for a seasonal decline in broiler prices, quotations of the foregoing products have shown little change in recent weeks. Egg production has fallen off and current receipts are lighter than a year ago, and due to the heat, show heavy spoilage. Milk production is sharply below last year. JUNE MOVEMENT OF LIVESTOCK IN THE TENTH DISTRICT RECEIPTS Calves 30,402 17,470 u,522 2,927 3,858 z,783 Hogs •302,383 z52,390 143,183 66,073 23,709 29,z67 PuACHASED FoA SLAUGHTE& STOCKERS AND FEEDERS Sheep 101,807 111,635 86,223 207,360 8,899 9,220 Cattle 13,888 16,759 3,665 3,307 June 1934----············· 368,724 68,962 817,005 525,144 May 193__ _ _ 393,743 57,707 966,416 706,633 June 1933-----············· 313,388 40,524 977,9 2 5 523,396 Six months 1934........ 2,175,732 334,057 4,836,233 3,683,891 Six months 1933........ 1,755,610 z51,977 4,940,679 3,861,115 *Includes 189,536 hogs shipped direct to packers' yards. 37,6 19 44,683 4z,734 294,282 322,902 Kansas City ............. . Omaha ....................... . St. Joseph .................. Denver........................ Oklahoma City.......... Wichita ...................... Cattle 112,158 156,196 44,717 '11,460 .23,566 10,627 Calves 1,910 1,125 497 388 3,920 6,784 5,945 45,998 55,no Hogs 5,057 4,261 1,807 185 11,310 8,799 9,660 46,5 13 47, 1 3° Sheep 11,6'10 I'l,150 6,448 15,624 45,842 50,533 46,324 304,363 321,302 Cattle 75,8z5 92,602 36,430 i2,893 12,572 6,164 z36,486 z37,486 197,036 1,312,783 1,012,932 Calves 29,145 14,466 10,777 2,263 3,337 2,271 Hogs *286,034 194,4-t,5 131,565 44,774 20,441 z8,033 Sheep 87,186 98,396 77,034 8,762 6,154 8,805 286,337 705,292 36z,322 865,574 324,168 913,'137 33,439 281,320 4, 143,896 2,081,448 170,216 4,410,683 2,167,647 62,259 52 ,35'1 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Petroleum Meat Packing Forces at meat packing establishments have been increased to take care of Government purchases of drouth cattle being slaughtered for relief distribution. Packers' purchases of cattle at the six markets were abou: the same in June as in May but 20 per cent larger than last year. Calf slaughter showed an increase of 18.9 per cent for the month and 86.2 per cent for the year, being the heaviest for any June in fifteen years of record. Purchases of hogs, including shipments direct to packers' yards, were substantially smaller than in either the preceding month this year or the corresponding month last year, and the third smallest of record. The slaughter of sheep and lambs was the lighte·s t for the month since 1925, 21 per cent short of the May volume and 11.7 per cent under the June, 1933, total. Slaughter of cattle and calves under Federal meat inspecti~n showed the fourteenth successive increase over a year ag~ m June, whereas the slaughter of hogs and sheep showed _their fifth successive monthly decrease. The June total established a new all-time record for calf slaughter. Cattle slaughter was the largest for any month since November, 1926. Government purchases of about 100,000 head, of which 20 per cent were calves, largely accounted for the heavy increase in beef. Hog slaughter was the largest for the month since 1928, June, 1932, excepted. The June slaughter of sheep and lambs was the smallest since 1929. Federally inspected slaughter of meat anim als during June and the first six months of 1934 with comparison~·: June 1934·-··················· May 1934·-··················· June 1933·-··················· Six months 1934.......... Six months 1933.......... Cattle 932,000 864,000 751,000 4,880,000 3,883,000 Calves 601 ,000 600,000 441,000 3,1 70,000 2,403,000 H ogs 3,763,ooo 4,21 8,000 4,626,000 23,256,000 24,708,000 Sheep 1,259,000 1,244,000 1,490,000 7,475,000 8,399,0:,0 Cold Storage Holdings July I United States cold storage holdings of beef, frozen eggs, and cheese were larger than a year ago, and those of lard, cased and frozen eggs, and cheese above the five-year average for that date. Stocks of all commodities except pork, which declined 2 per cent, or about the usual seasonal amount, showed increases during June. Last year inventories of pork showed a gain of 13.4 per cent for the month. The net in-movement of beef and poultry, although contrary to seasonal trends, was much smaller than last year. Government holdings of beef, derived from the slaughter of cattle from the drouth areas and held for relief distribution, accounted in part for the increase in stocks of that commodity. Accumulations of lard and butter were substantially less in June than a year ago and somewhat below normal. The input of frozen eggs exceeded the June, 1933, and customary volume, whereas that of cased eggs was not so great. Gai !:S in stocks of miscellaneous meats and cheese, although less than a year ago, were above the average. *July 1 1934 45,014 June I 1934 42,546 641 ,568 1,363 39,790 9,493 July I July 1 1933 5-Yr.Av. Beef, Jhc: •.................................•............ 35,136 45,908 Pork, lbs............................................... 627,965 76o,730 756,163 Lamb and mutton, lbs....................... 1,450 2,677 1,8o7 Poultry, lbs.......................................... 40,581 42,705 4 1 , 2 35 •~urkeys, lbs......................................... 8,387 6,460 7,260 72,832 Miscellaneous meats, lbs.·-················· 6o;z97 52 ,599 64,836 Lard, lbs............................................... 195,973 182,240 186,250 150,439 Eggs, cases............................................ 8,963 8,893 7,819 9,364 2,954 F.ggs, frozen (case equivalent).......... 3,325 2,684 2,943 27,161 106,378 95,651 Butter, creamery, lbs...·-····················· 70,249 Cheese, all varieties, lbs..................... 96,473 80,416 71,469 78,715 *Subject to revision. ••Included in Poultry. (ooo omitted). The production of crude petroleum in the states of Oklahoma Kansas, New Mexico, Wyoming, and Colorado, as estim;ted from the weekly reports of the American Petroleum Institute, totaled 22,461,000 barrels in June. This represents a daily average of 748,700 barrels, which is 0.5 per cent below the daily average for May, 6. 5 per cent above the Bureau of Mines' figure for June, 1933, and 2.6 per cent above Federal allowables effective June 1. Production in these states for the six months' period is estimated at 129,682,000 barrels this year and 114,003,000 barrels last year. On July I the Federal quota for the District was reduced from 729,500 barrels per day to 706,800 barrels and that of the United States increased 2,000 barrels to 2,530,300 barrels. Allotments were cut in all states of this District except Kansas where allowables were increased 4,200 barrels per day. Production figures for the five oil producing states of the District and the United States during June and the half year with comparisons: *June 1934 Barrels Oklahoma.__ . 16,ou,000 Kansas.......... 3,877,000 Wyoming...... 1,052,000 Colorado........ 86,ooo New Mexico 1,435,000 May 1934 Barrels 16,474,000 4, 173,000 1,152,000 98,000 1,426,000 June 1933 *6 Mos. 1934 6 Mos. 1933 Barrels Barrels Barrels 15,507,000 92,346,000 81,747,000 3,486,000 22,769,000 19,693,000 973,000 5,938,ooo 5,639,ooo 77,000 521,000 . 481,000 1,051,000 8,108,000 6,443,000 TotaL ........... 22,461,000 23,323,000 21,094,000 129,682,000 114,003,000 U. S............... 77,531,000 79,870,000 82,841,000 446,171,000 433,230,000 *June estimated, American Pertoleum Institute. Crude oil prices remained unchanged despite the continued heavy production of "hot" oil and a weakened market for refined products. Mid-continent crude prices ranged from 76 cents to $1.08 per barrel per gravity test as against a range of 20 to 52 cents per barrel last June. Natural gasoline prices were cut in half during the month and all refined products were weak to lower at the close. With companies apparently anxious to establish additio~al crude oil reserves, field operations continued active, resulting in some important completions and discoveries. Stocks of domestic and foreign crude oil in the United States, as reported to the Secretary of the Interior, totaled 343,121 ,ooo barrels on June 2 and 343,707 ,ooo barrels on June 30. Bituminous Coal Coal production, although in a seasonal slump, is unusually low for this time of the year. June output of soft coal at mines in the six coal producing states of the District, as estimated from the weekly reports of the Bureau of Mines, totaled but 865,000 tons which was, with the exception of last year, the lowest for the month in many years. Output showed a 6 per cent gain over May an<l a 4.7 per cent gain over June, 1933. District production for the first six months of the current year totaled 7,487,000 tons, 21,000 less than in the like period last year. Production for the United States totaled 182,685,000 tons during the first half of 1934 as against 145,210,000 tons in the first six months of 1933. Soft coal production in the six states and the United States as indicated by the reports of the Bureau of Mines: Color'.' do·-····································· Kansas and Missouri .................. New Mexico..·-····························· Oklahoma. __ ································· Wyoming ..................................... . *June 1934 213,000 304,000 68,ooo 37,000 243,000 May 1934 248,000 210,000 80,000 28,000 June 1933 188,000 279,000 77,000 250,000 227,000 55,000 Six states...................................... 865,000 816,000 826,000 United States·-··-························· 26,430,000 28,100,000 25,320,000 *Estimated from the weekly reports of the United States Bureau of Mines. SUPPLEMENT To THE MoNTHLY REVIEW, AuausT 1, 1934 Cement Portland cement mills in the Tenth District produced I 1.1 per cent more cement in June than in May and 19.5 per cent more than in June last year. Output for the first six months totaled 3,782,000 barrels this year as compared to 2,681,000 barrels in 1933. June production exceeded shipments but, for the half year, the latter exceeded the former. Production and shipments for the six months' period were the largest since 1931. Production, shipments, and stocks of finished Portland cement, in thousands of barrels, as reported by the United States Bureau of Mines: UNITED STATES TENTH DISTRICT June 1934·-· May 1934.-. June 1933._. 6 Mos. 1934 6 Mos. 1933 Production Shipments 858 705 772 965 718 701 3,782 3,941 2,681 3,195 Shipments of zinc ore during the four weeks ended June 30, although 22.5 per cent larger than a year ago, declined 4.4 per cent as compared to the preceding four weeks as operators were unwilling to part with concentrates at bid prices. Lead ore shipments showed substantial increases over the preceding four weeks' period this year and the corresponding four weeks' period last year. Practically all of the mines and tailing mills are now closed for the annual July shut down which is expected to continue throughout the month. The tonnage and value of zinc ore and lead ore shipped from mines in Missouri, Kansas, and Oklahoma during the periods of comparisons: Stocks Production Shipments 1,791 8,786 8,539 1,739 8,554 8,784 1,789 7,804 7,979 37,088 35,163 27,668 27,927 Stocks 21,547 21,301 19,936 Zinc and Lead Mines in the Tri-State district shipped 32,342 tons more zinc ore and 2,08 I tons more lead ore in the first six months of 1934 than in the same period last year, and the combined value of the deliveries showed an increase of '1,1 ,946,000, or 60 per cent. Oklahon1a.__ ····································· Kansas .............................................. Missouri ........................................... . 4 4 4 26 26 Wks. ended June 30, Wks. ended June 2, Wks. ended July 1, Wks. ended June 30, Wks. ended July 1, Zrnc ORE Tons Value 21,436 1, 563,898 4,033 106,174 1,280 33,558 I 934 ........ 26,749 $ 703,630 1934....... . 27,987 809,530 1933........ 21,839 655,170 1934....... . 154,812 4,377,759 1933 ....... . 122,470 2,586,937 O,u:: Value 3,719 $ 158,119 540 22,990 203 8,679 LEAD Tons 4,462 '$ 189,788 158,733 3,594 198,450 3,969 1 7,93 1 780,991 625,502 15,850 Zinc ore advanced '1,1.00 and lead ore declined f,5.00 per ton the final week of June to close at '1,28.00 and '$37.50 per ton, respectively, or '1,2.00 and '1,12.50 per ton lower than a year ago. Business Conditions in the United States By the Federal Reserve Board PfACCNT 1'0 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 1)0 110 110 100 90 e o - ~ - - + - - - - - . . - ~ . + - - - 1 - - - 1 - - 1- -1,,.<...- - 1 80 70 i - - - - ; - - - - - ~ - - - + - - t - -- t - - - ----1 70 60 1,9 3 1, so Index number of industrial production, adjusted for seasonal v ariation. Latest figure: June, 84 . P(R([l,H 120 PCIC[lff 1 20 fACTOR'!' EMPLOYMENT 110 110 100 .....-"\ I00 ~ 90 " ''\.. \.~ I ea 90 ,_ ('If 10 60 60 so 1929 1930 1931 1932 1933 PRODUCTION AND EMPLOYMENT: Volume of industrial output, as measured by the Board's seasonally adjusted index, decreased from 86 per cent of the 1923-25 average in May to 84 per cent in June, reflecting chiefly a sharp reduction in activity at cotton textile mills. Production at lumber mills and at coal mines also showed a decline. In the steel and automobile industries, activity decreased in June by an amount somewhat smaller than is usual at this season. Maintenance of activity at steel mills in June reflected in part the accumulation of stocks by consumers, according to trade reports, and at the beginning of July, output of steel showed a sharp decline. Employment at factories decreased somewhat between the middle of May and the middle of June, reflecting reductions in working forces in industries producing textile fabrics, wearing apparel, leather products, automobiles, and lumber, offset in part by increases in employment at steel mills and at meat packing establishments. Value of construction contracts awarded, which had shown little change during May and June, showed an increase in the first half of July, according to the F. W. Dodge Corporation. 60 70 50 Industrial production, which had increased during each of the six months from December to May, declined in June by somewhat more than the usual seasonal amount. Factory employment and payrolls also showed decreases which were partly of a seasonal nature. The general level of wholesale commodity prices advanced during June and showed little change during the first three weeks of July. 193'- Fe:deral Reserve Board's index of factory employment, ad.ius ted for seasonal variation. (1923-25 average=100.) Latest figure: June, 81.4. Department of Agriculture estimates, based on July I conditions, indicated a wheat crop of 484,000,000 bushels compared with an average of 886,000,000 bushels for the five years 1927-1931, and a corn crop of 2,113,000,000 bushels, compared with the fiveyear average of 2,516,000,000 bushels. Crops of other grains, hay, and tobacco were also estimated to be considerably smaller than usual. The acreage of cotton under cultivation was estimated at 28,000,000 acres, about 2,000,000 less than the acreage harvested last season. In the first three weeks of July, drought conditions prevailed over wide areas, particularly in the southwest. (Continued on reverse side) SUPPLEMENT PCA Cf NT PCAC[NT 120 120 WHOLESAL E PRICES ~',,~ '10 -- ' 10 \r.----, ..... 60 l'l30 r-,.....,.1"°"' " ' food, 11.... 1'129 /" --. Othe, CC>ff'll"ll0d1trts ....,. raunProduct$ 40 1'132 1931 ~) ...... ~ \l ~,.. 60 70 GO •,./ 1'133 Indexes of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. By months 1929 to 1931; by weeks 1932 to date. (1926=100.) Latest figures, J uly 14: farm products, 64.5; foods, 70.8; other commodities, 78.3. OllLJONS 7 · ) or a1ut0Hsorcau.u1s 7 Dou.MU, . --·- ·----· 1932 MoNTHLY REvrnw, AuousT 1, 1934 DISTRIBUTION: The number of freight cars loaded per working day showed a further slight increase in June followed by a decline in the first half of July. Sales by department stores decreased in June by more than the estimated seasonal amount. 'lO ~ 60 To THE l9)J Wednesday figures for reporting member banks in 90 leading cities. Latest figures arc for July 18. WHOLESALE COMMODITY PRICES: Wholesale prices of farm products and foods generally advanced during June while other commodities as a group showed a slight decline. Hog prices increased considerably in the middle of the month while wheat declined throughout the month. In the middle of July, wheat prices advanced rapidly to levels above those reached at the end of May, and there was a considerable advance in cotton, while lumber prices declined and finished steel prices were reduced somewhat from the advanced quotations previously announced. BANK CREDIT: Between June 13 and July 18, member bank reserves increased to a new high level of nearly $4,000,000,000, about $1,850,000,000 in excess of legal requirements. The growth reflected chiefly a further increase in the monetary gold stock. A seasonal increase in demand for currency over the July 4th holiday period was followed by an approximately equal seasonal return flow during the succeeding two weeks. The volume of reserve bank credit outstanding showed little change. At reporting member banks there was a growth of United _S tates Government deposits during the five-week period, reflecting chiefly the purchase in June of new issues of Government securities by the banks. Bankers' balances also increased but deposits of individuals, firms, and corporations have shown little change. Loans declined somewhat, reflecting a decrease in loans to customers, while loans to brokers showed an mcrease. Money rates remained practically unchanged at the low levels prevailing in June.