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THE MONTHLY REVIEW Of .Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL Vol. I 8 RESERVE K AN S A S BANK CITY, Mo., AuGusT ROPS in this District deteriorated rapidly in June and C the forepart of July. Extreme temperatures and continued drouth have cut prospective yields of practically all crops to the lowest levels in recent years. In western and southern areas corn is virtually a complete failure, and in Nebraska, northeastern Kansas, and northern Missouri, where prospects are still good, the crop is in immediate need of generous rains. Harvest of the smallest crop in years of winter wheat and oats is virtually completed. Grain prices advanced rapidly between June 15 and July 18 then dropped perpendicularly July 19 and 20, with all classes dosing somewhat above June 1 quotations. The fluctuation in cotton prices was similar to that of grains. Livestock prices decreased slightly in June and improved somewhat the second and third weeks of July. Advances in wool and hide prices were more moderate in June than in the two preceding months. Butterfat and eggs advanced in June but poultry declined. Increases in potato prices were rapid and extensive. Trade at both wholesale and retail improved further in June. Wholesalers reported their sales increased somewhat more than usual as compared to May, whereas, department store sales declined at about the usual seasonal rate. June sales of five representative wholesale lines combined were 11.6 per cent larger, and sales of thirty-two department stores were 1.8 per cent larger than a year ago. June marketings of wheat, corn, oats, and rye were heavy. Production of flour and crude oil and shipments of zinc ore and lead ore were larger than a year ago, but the output of soft coal declined 6.4 per cent. Building activity continued quiet. Bank debits showed the first increase over the previous year since November, 1929, and Federal reserve bank clearings were 8.9 per cent larger than a year ago. Member banks increased their loans and discounts 3.8 per cent between June 14 and July 12 and their investments 7.7 per cent. Net demand deposits were 9.3 per cent and time deposits 1.3 per cent larger on July 12 than four weeks earlier. Savings deposits and the number of savings accounts, at forty-five selected banks, increased slightly between June 1 and July I. Banking and Credit OF I, KANSAS 1933 CITY No. 8 BUSINESS IN THE TE TH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Percentages of Increase, or Decrease (-), for June 1933 over May 1933 and June 1932 and for the first six months of 1933 over the like period in 1932. June 1933 6 Mos. 1933 Compared to Compared to Banking May 1933 June 1932 6 Mos. 1932 Payments by check.... _ _ _ _ __ 19.6 2.6 -14.6 Federal Reserve Bank clearings...........• 12.1 8.9 - 8.o Business failures, number.... _ _ __ 17.4 Even -25.0 Business failures, liabilities _ _ __ -13.7 -38.7 -39.o Loans, 53 member bank.,__ _ __ 3.8 -11.6 Investments, 53 member banks ............ 7.7 18.6 Net demand deposits, 53 member banks 9.3 9.6 1.3 - 8.o Time deposits, 53 member banks.---··· 0.1 - 8.1 Savings deposits, 45 selected banks·-··· Savings accounts, 45 selected banks .... 0.3 - 3.1 Distribution 11.6 -Wholesalers' sales, 5 lines combined .... - 6.5 4.5 1.8 -12.3 Retailers' sales, 32 department stores.. - 1 3.3 I ,I 13.2 Lumber sales, I 56 retail yards .............. 44.7 -14.9 Life insurance, writte~----- - 2.3 - 9.3 Production Flour_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -11.4 4,7 5.3 Crude petroleu .. .__ _ _ __ 6.8 1.7 11.7 Softcoa.,___ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -11.3 -10.8 - 8.5 48.0 Zinc ore (shipped) Tristate District.... . 68.5 77.0 14.I 210.3 Lead ore (shipped) Tristate District.... 94•9 Cemen...__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 0.9 10.8 -0.3 -43.0 Building permits in 17 cities, value..... . - 3.5 -38.7 Grain receipts, 5 markets WheaL ......... _ _ _ _ __ -33.I 45.9 69.5 Corn .... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 160.6 684.0 12.3 68.1 424.6 Oats·---·· · · · · · · - - - - - - - - 55-4 Livestock receipts, 6 markets Cattle _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ - 1.9 - 6.2 11.4 Calve.,___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 13.0 -17.8 -4.4 Hogs .. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -7.0 10.7 34.4 -14.0 -14.6 Sheep ................ - - - - - - - - -1.7.5 10.6 10.4 Horses and mules -4.9 Meat packing, 6 markets Cattle.. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ - 1.3 14.8 3.4 Calve_,___ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ -0.5 8.6 - 1.4 Hogs _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 0.7 64.6 14.1 -14.0 - 9.2 Sheep ........ - - - - - - - - - -22.5 Stocker and feeder shipments, 4 markets 27.8 -34.8 35· 1 Cattle --_ · ·_ · ·_ · ·_ ························· Calve.,_-_ _ _ _ __ 32.2 7o.5 -47.6 129.0 56.7 Hogs .............................. - - - - - -27.1 10.7 Sheep .................- - - - - - - - -35.5 59-4 MEMBER BANK OPERATIONS: The combined state- Government securities accounted for the increase in total ments of fifty-three reporting member banks in leading cities investments, as investments in other bonds, stocks, and securiof the District showed their total loans and discounts increased ties were reduced 2.7 per cent. 3.8 per cent, investments 7.7, net demand deposits 9.3, and Total loans and discounts of these banks as of July 12 were time deposits 1.3 per cent for the four weeks' period ended 11.6 per cent less than on July 13, 1932, loans on stocks and July 12. The increase in loans and discounts was in "all other" bonds having declined 17.1 per cent and "all other" loans 9.5 loans, as those secured by stocks and bonds showed no change. per cent. Investments in United States securities, which inAn increase of 14.9 per cent in investments in United States creased 38.1 per cent during the fifty-two weeks, more than This Copy Released For Publlcation:In Afternoon Newspapers, July 29. '2 THE MONTHLY REVIEW offset the decline of 4.4 per cent in investments in other bonds, stocks, and securities, resulting in total investments showing a gain of 18.6 per cent for the year. Net demand deposits as of July 12 were 9.6 per cent larger but time deposits were 8 per cent smaller than on July 13, 1932. Principal resource and liability items shown in the condition statements of the reporting member banks as of July 12 and June 14, 1933, and July 13, 1932: Loans and investments-total.. Loans and discounts-total_ __ . Secured by stocks and bonds All other loans and discounts Invcstmen ts-to ta U. S. securities ...... Other securitie Reserve with F. R. bank.---···· Net demand deposits Time deposits-.. Government deposits July 12, 1933 f,513,000,000 220,000,000 58,000,000 I 62,000,000 293,000,oco 185,000,000 108,000,000 61,000,000 365,000,000 I 62,000,000 10,000,000 June 14, 1933 f,484,000,000 212,000,000 58,000,000 I 54,000,000 272,000,000 161,000,000 I I I ,000,000 49,000,000 334,ooo,ooo 16o,ooo,ooo 1,000,000 July 13, 1932 f,496,000,000 249,000,000 70,000,000 179,000,000 247,000,000 134,000,000 I 13,000,000 42,000,000 333,000,000 176,000,000 4,000,000 RESERVE BANK OPERATIONS: Borrowings of mem her banks at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, as shown by the weekly condition statements of this bank and branches, declined from their 1933 peak of $30,882,661 on March 8 to $8,250,426 on July 12, on which date they were $14,695,022 less than on July 13, 1932, and the lowest since February 21, 1928. Holdings of bills purchased in the open market which stood at $9,598,964 on March I totaled but $205,577 on July l'.2, or $1,330,826 less than a year earlier. During the four weeks ended July 12 this bank purchased $2,588,000 of United States Government securities, bringing total holdings as of that date to $63,146,100, the highest of record, which compares with $56,366,100 held on July 13, 1932. Total holdings of bills and securities as of July 12 were, due to the heavy reductions in bills rediscounted for member banks, 0.5 per cent smaller than four weeks earlier and 11.4 per cent smaller than one year earlier. Both Federal reserve note and Federal reserve bank note circulation increased slightly during the four weeks' period, with circulation of the former on July 12, 23.5 per cent above that of a year ago. No Federal reserve bank notes were in circulation last year. Member banks' reserve deposits increased 23.7 per cent in four weeks and 42.3 per cent in fiftytwo weeks. Changes in the principal items of the weekly condition statement of this bank and branches, in four weeks and fiftytwo weeks, are shown below: July 12, 1933 June 14, 1933 Tuly 13, 1932 Gold reserve.,___ _ _ _ f,146,670,507 f,121,075,748 f, 79,097,965 Other cash .. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 10,527,411 11,386,570 6,995,923 Bills discounte.....__ _ _ _ _ 8,250,426 11,149,069 22,945,448 Bills purchased ......... _ _ _ _ 205,577 283,391 1,536,403 U. S. securities............................ 63,146,100 60,558 ,100 56,366,100 Total bills and securities............ 71,602,103 71,990,560 80,847,951 Total resources .... _ _ _ _ _ 259,273,623 230,677,623 193,310,677 F. R. notes in circulation.......... 112,260,375 111,954,275 90,865,565 F. R. bank notes in circulation.. 976,000 870,000 ................... . Member banks' reserve deposits 96,458,609 78,006,712 67,808,393 The discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, on all classes of paper and all maturities, remained unchanged at 3.½ per cent. SAVINGS: Forty-five banks in selected cities of the District reported a fractional increase during June in both the amount of their savings deposits and the number of savings accounts. Total savings deposits reported by these banks as of July 1 this year were 8.1 per cent less than on July I last year, and the number of depositors had declined 3.1 per cent. A summary of savings accounts and savings deposits at the forty-five banks follows: Savings Deposits f, 99,720,788 99,601,699 108,519,978 Savings Accounts 367,735 July I, 1 9 3 ~ - - - - - - - June I, I 933···--··································· July 1, 1932.......................................... 366,677 379,524 Bank Debits Banks in twenty-nine leading cities of this District reported amounts debited to individual accounts in the four weeks ended June 28, 1933, as 2.6 per cent larger than in the four weeks ended June 29, 1932. This increase over the corresponding period in the preceding year is the first reported since November, 1929, compared to November, 1928. The total also exceeded that of the four weeks ended May 31 by 19.6 per cent. Payments by check for the twenty-six weeks this year were 14.6 per cent less than for the like period last year. Totals by cities for the four weeks and twenty-six weeks this year, compared to the corresponding four and twenty-six weeks last year, follow: PAYMENTS BY CHECK (In thousands of dollars~ omitted) FOUR WEEKS ENDED TWENTY-SIX WEEKS ENDED June2~1933June29,1932 June28,1933June29,1932 Albuquerque, N. M .. _. f, 5,222 f, 7,267 f, 35,706 '/, 48,042 Atchison, Kans.·---····· 2,890 2,798 14,980 17,731 Bartlesville, Okla.·--··· 15,473 14,496 105,057 93,516 Casper, Wyo.·--··········· 3,401 3,994 20,980 27,041 Cheyenne, Wyo........... 4,410 4,544 26,004 28,696 Colorado Springs, Colo. 8,995 9,935 55,623 65,474 Denver, Colo............... 94,660 92,946 574,290 647,772 Enid, Okla................... 10,158 7,183 38,368 41,807 Fremont, Nebr.. _......... 1,608 2,111 9,450 14,712 Grand Junction, Colo. 1,034 1,623 6,652 11,731 Guthrie, Okla .. _........... 1,426 966 6,358 7,193 Hutchinson, Kas......... 12,188 9,828 50,593 57,847 Independence, Kans._. 2,325 2,870 14,388 31,702 Joplin, Mo................... 6,235 6,071 39,146 37,004 Kansas City, Kans..... 9,654 11,147 56,476 71,363 Kansas City, Mo......... 244,688 229,892 1,285,382 1,498,131 · Lawrence, Kans.·-······· 3,080 3,184 16,834 20,506 Lincoln, Nebr..-........... 18,199 19,983 105,423 137,882 Muskogee, Okla .. _....... 5,274 5,336 33,284 38,677 Oklahoma City, Okla. 60,610 56,094 332,193 365,783 Okmulgee, Okla........... 2,242 2,086 11,630 13,645 Omaha, Nebr............... 105,340 104,043 575,702 696,350 Pittsburg, Kans........... 2,481 2,775 17,192 20,'.ll6 Pueblo, Colo.·--·······-9,380 u,582 57,940 74,088 Salina, Kans................. 8,076 5,199 33,816 38,589 St. Joseph, Mo•.-......... 24,161 19,419 124,801 150,453 Topeka, Kans.·--········· 10,698 11,806 73,583 79,428 Tulsa, Oki...____ 58,455 67,285 376,173 451,585 Wichita, Kans............. 32,065 28,437 166,217 204,196 Total 29 cities ..........__ $ 764,428 $ 744,900 $4,264,241 $4,991,160 Federal Reserve Bank Clearings Check collections through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and branches at Denver, Omaha, and Oklahoma City during June were 4.4 per cent larger as to numbers and 12.1 per cent larger as to dollar amount than in May. Compared to June, 1932, there was a 4.6 per cent decline in the number of items handled, but the dollar amount was 8.9 per cent greater. Collections for the half year declined 17.2 per cent as to the number of items and 8 per cent as to amount compared to the like period in 1932. The figures for June and the six months follow: .AMOUNT June ................. . May.................. Six months·--··· 1933 4,400,107 4,213,096 23,050,578 1932 4,614,109 4,63x,o99 27,851,742 1933 f, 588,055,000 524,805,000 2,972,639,000 1932 f, 540,241,000 516,134,000 3,232,070,000 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Stores Reporting Kansas City________ 4 Denver_ _ _ 4 Oklahoma City____ 3 Tulsa____________________ 3 Wichita______ __________ 3 Other cities __________ I 5 RETAIL TRADE AT 32 DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALES STOCKS (RETAIL) ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE A.MOUNTS CoLLECTBD June 1933 6 Mos. 1933 June 30, 1933 STOCK TURNOVER June 30, 1933 June 1933i Compared to Compared to Compared to June 6 Months Compared to Compared to] June 1932 6 Mos. 1932 May31,1933 June30,1932 1933 1932 1933 1932 May31,1933 June30,1932 May 1933 June 1932 - 2.5 -11.6 - 1.3 -14.9 -IO.I -19.3 .19 .15 I.04 •99 - 6.5 - 4.0 II.2 - 7.6 - 1.9 -16.9 .30 .22 I.52 1.30 3.1 - I.4 0.2 - 1.3 6.5 -14.3 - I.2 -24.5 ,26 ,18 1.73 I.38 - 2.6 - 7.0 4.9 - 1.9 8.4 - 2.6 2.5 - 2.0 .30 .26 2.44 2.II - 2.4 2.5 -- 5-4 - 6.1 -15.6 -16.2 1.3 -38.8 .24 .18 1.47 1.16 - 2.9 -29.4 2.6 -15.5 - 3.2 -14.7 - o.6 -13.1 .22 .20 1.37 1.33 - 3.9 -10.5 6.5 - 7.1 Tota.___ _ _ 32 1.8 -12.3 - 3.7 -17.8 .24 .19 NOTE: Percentage of collections in June on accounts May 31, all stores reporting 34.3. Business Failures Dun and Bradstreet, Inc., reported 16 more business failures for the Tenth District in June than in May and the same number as a year ago. Liabilities involved were, however, the smallest for any month since November or for any June since 1929. In the six months of the current year the number of failures was the smallest for any like period since 1923, and liabilities the smallest since 1929. For the United States June and half year liabilities were lower than for the like month and six months of any year since 1929, June numbers the smallest since 1926, and half year numbers the smallest since 1929. The number of insolvencies in June was the smallest for any month since September, 1929, and the amount of liabilities the smallest since October of the same year. Failures for June and the six months with comparisons: TENTH Number June 1933_______ _ _ 108 t, May 1933------------------------·---92 June 1932_____________________________ 108 Six months 1933__________________ 616 Six months 1932__________________ 821 DISTRICT Liabilities 1,0I9,170 1,595,439 3,237,825 8,851,907 20,987,847 UNITED STATES Number Liabilities 1,648 t, 35,344,909 I,9o9 47,97I,573 2,688 76,931,452 12,723 327,590,748 17,433 537,284,288 Trade RETAIL: Thirty-two department stores, located in Tenth District cities, reported their June sales in dollars declined 13.3 per cent, or practically the usual seasonal amount. Total sales were 1.8 per cent larger than a year ago although retail prices averaged somewhat lower. This June increase was the first reported for that month in four years and compares with an increase of o.8 per cent for May this year over May last yea~, the first increase for any month over the previous year since May, 1930. For the fourth consecutive year, six months' sales were smaller than for the like period in the preceding year, declining 12.3 per cent. Inventory reductions were somewhat smaller than usual in June, amounting to 3.7 per cent with stocks on hand June 30, 17.8 per cent lighter than one year earlier. The stock index as of June 30 was, with the exception of January 31, the lowest for any month-end in over ten years. Collections in June amounted to 34.3 per cent of amounts outstanding at the close of May, compared to ratios of 35 per cent reported for May this year and 32.7 per cent for June last year. Reporting Stores Dry goods ______________________ 6 Groceries _ _ _ _ _ 5 Hardwar...__ _ _ _ 9 5 Drugs______ 6 Furnitu.r...._____ 3 1.37 1.23 - 1.9 - 7.1 Collections same month last year 32.7. - 6.o WHOLESALE: June dollar sales of all five reporting wholesale lines, except furniture, were larger than in May, with those of dry goods, hardware, and furniture showing substantial improvement over a year ago. Sales of drugs declined 6.9 per cent from June of last year and sales of groceries were unchanged. Increases for June over June a year ago of 25.7 per cent for dry goods, 27.7 per cent for hardware, and 65.7 per cent for furniture were the first reported in six years for the former and in four years for the other two, and the largest in recent years for either. The decrease in drug sales was the smallest in four years and grocery sales held their own after two successive declines. The June to May comparison for dry goods, hardware, and furniture was the best for several years. Wholesalers of groceries and furniture enlarged their inventories 5.4 and 12.8 per cent, respectively, m June, contrary to the usual seasonal tendency. Stocks of dry goods, hardware, and drugs were slightly smaller on June 30 than on May 31, but all reductions were less than usual. Compared to June 30, 1932, the following reductions in inventories are reported: dry goods, 10.2; groceries, 1.8; hardware, 12.7; furniture, 8.3; and drugs, 16.5 per cent. Grain Marketing Higher grain prices stimulated the marketing of all classes of grain except barley and kafir, according to the monthly reports of the five principal grain markets of this District. June marketings of wheat were the heaviest for that month in recent years, corn since 1927, oats since 1925, and rye since 1920. Receipts of barley, although 23.3 per cent larger than a year ago, were below average and those of kafir were the smallest for any June since 1923, equalling about 23 per cent of normal. Half year marketings of wheat, barley, and kafir were smaller than a year ago, but those of corn, oats, and rye were substantially larger. Rye was the only class of grain, the marketing of which exceeded the ten-year average for the six months' period. Receipts of wheat at these markets for the wheat year ended July 1, 1933, were the smallest since the wheat year of 19251926, totaling but 143,457,550 bushels as compared to 263,555,000 bushels received in the wheat year ended July 1, 1932. WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT OuTSTANDINGS AMOUNTS COLLECTED SALES June 30, 1933 compared to June 1933 compared to June 1933 compared to May 31, 1933 June30,1932 May 1933 June 1932 May 1933 June 1932 2 5·7 - 3.8 - 4.0 5.3 - 7.7 9·9 2.1 1.9 Even 5-4 16.7 -0.2 9.7 20.9 9·9 27.7 1.0 - 4.8 9.8 - 8.6 65.7 -10.0 o.8 - 6.9 2.7 - 1.3 STOCKS June 30, 1933 compared to May31,1933 June30,1932 - 1.3 -10.2 5-4 -1.8 -0.2 -12.7 12.4 - 8.3 -o.6 -16.5 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 4 Receipts of grain at the five markets: Hutchinson .....• Kansas City·--· Omaha.·--········ St. Joseph. ___ . Wichita._....... Corn Wheat Bushels Bushels 2,651,400 1,250 7,296,000 1,951,500 1,800,000 2,443,000 1,235,200 1,989,000 16,900 3,613,500 June 1933_____ 16,596,100 May 1933·- ····-· 9,790,850 June 1932·-······ u,374,200 6 Months 1933.. 48,305,000 6 Months 1932_ 72,182,700 Oats Bushels Rye Bushels Barley Bushels Kafir Bushels 124,000 906,000 474,000 4,500 II4,800 24,000 27,200 89,600 5,200 5,250 1,500 6,401,650 1,505,500 5,698,200 969,000 816,500 287,000 21,936,300 5,737,000 8,418,350 3,412,500 56,450 94,800 97,750 135,700 45,800 172,700 304,300 775,100 403,450 1,715,100 n9,300 102,700 8,800 437,000 90,6oo In 1932 the trend of grain prices from May 31 to July 15 was down, whereas, this year it has been sharply upward. Subnormal yields of winter wheat, oats, and rye and weather conditions that were unfavorable to corn, spring wheat, hay, and other growing crops have created an active demand for grains in recent weeks. The following table shows the principal changes in cash grain prices at Kansas City in cents per bushel, for the dates under review: No. No. No. No. No. No. July June 15 30 May 31 1933 1933 1933 1 Dark and hard wheat...... $1.07.½ $ .89.½ $ .69 $ 2 Mixed cor•. _ _ _ _ _ .59.½ •49 .40 2 White oat.,_____ .44,½ .42 .25 2 Rye.·-··· · - - - - - .96 .69 .48 2 Barley._______ -53 •44 .30.½ 2 Kafir...... - - - - - - 1.45 1.27 .82 July June 30 1932 1932 .41¼ $ .41¼ $ .31,½ .29 .19 ,21 15 •33 .35 .27.½ •57 •54 .29 May 31 1932 .52¼ .30.½ .23 ,42 .33 .55 FARM STOCKS OF GRAIN: On July I there were, according to estimates of the United States Department of Agriculture, 23,992,000 bushels less wheat, 1,266,000 bushels less oats, and 69,618,000 bushels more corn on farms in the seven states, whose areas or parts thereof comprise this District, than on July 1, 1932. Farm stocks of wheat in the United States were 11.8 per cent smaller and those of corn 18.5 per cent, and of oats 43.7 per cent larger than a year ago. Stocks of grain on farms July I this year and last year, in thousands of bushels, ooo omitted: Colorado.--··········· Kansas ................Missouri. ...·-········· Nebraska .............• New Mexico_____. Oklahoma.___........ Wyoming.............. All Wheat 1932 1933 1,331 670 12,786 28,784 3,891 1,194 6,655 9,34° 114 557 4,363 5,994 219 34 2 Seven states.-....... United States. ___ 26,124 79,6o5 50,u6 90,284 1933 1,318 30,006 40,692 78,469 283 6,479 66 Corn 1932 1,687 18,861 27,121 32,658 739 6,558 71 shipping directions on old contracts, but the situation reversed itself rapidly the closing weeks of the month, mills having to work overtime and some even buying flour to meet directions. Early in the month both buyers and sellers were in doubt as to the effect of the impending processing tax of 30 cents per bushel on wheat which eventually went into effect at midnight of July 8. With bakers given a ninety day grace for payment of the flour tax, whereas, the tax applied to millers' stocks immediately, there was a rush of shipping directions on old contracts. Furthermore wheat prices advanced sharply, resulting in a few large orders and numerous round lot sales. Flour prices advanced approximately $1 per barrel in June and $1.6o to $1.75 the first week of July, with the large part of the latter advance due to the processing tax which amounts to $1.38 per barrel. Millfeed demand, which opened the month sluggish, improved as grain prices advanced and the heat and dry weather damaged pastures and crops. Prices advanced rapidly the latter half of the month as mill offerings were light despite heavy running time, and bran and shorts closed the month with a net gain of about $7 per ton. Flour production for June and the wheat year, with comparisons, in barrels: Oats 1932 1933 744 443 6,n9 4,494 8,057 3,781 14,096 5,962 28 103 2,401 6,481 178 533 157,3 13 620,903 Flour Milling Production of flour at Tenth District mills for the wheat year ending July 1, 1933, totaled, according to estimates based on the weekly reports of southwestern mills to the Northwestern Miller, 23,883,580 barrels as compared to 24,369,517 barrels milled in the preceding wheat year. Output from January I to July I totaled 11,859,949 barrels this year and 11,266,902 barrels last year. June output was 11.4 per cent below the May output but 4.7 per cent above that of June, 1932. Mills operated at 59.5 per cent of capacity in June, 64.6 per cent in May, and 56.6 per cent last June. Flour trade was extremely dull the forepart of June, mills reporting very little new business and complaining of poor Atchison.._............ Kansas CitY·-- ····· Omaha .................. Salina.................... Wichit _ _ __ Outsid...__ _ _ June 1933 130,235 481,716 110,403 121,276 162,236 830,822 MayJ 1933 134,135 583,564 n1,830 125,169 165,991 951,866 June Wheat Year Wheat Year 1932 1932-33 1931-32 102,287 1,558,750 1,448,289 525,355 6,852,383 7,391,148 66,557 1,239,166 988,508 146,601 1,867,9n 1,985,881 209,309 2,353,531 2,280,953 703,452 10,011,839 10,274,738 Tota.___ _ _ 1,836,688 2,072,555 1,753,561 23,883,580 24,369,517 *United States.--. 5,342,066 5,802,085 5,029,422 67,070,793 69,669,568 *Represents about two-thirds of the total output in the United States. Crops The Crop Reporting Board of the United States Department of Agriculture characterized the first six months of 1933 as the least favorable for crop production of any crop season in fifty years. The total wheat crop, even with average weather conditions the remainder of the season, will be the smallest since 1893. Corn production is likely to fall below 2,400,000,000 bushels for the fourth time in thirty-two years. Oats production will be the smallest since 1897 and hay production almost as low as that of 1930 and 1931. In the case of many crops nothing comparable has ever been reported and, in proportion to the numbers of livestock on farms, the production of grain is expected to be lower than in any year since 1901. Tenth District crops show a material reduction from a year ago, both as to yield and the acreage harvested or to be harvested. The acreage of tame hay, cotton, dry beans, sugar beets, and tobacco is larger than that of 1932, with ultimate production of spring wheat, beans, sugar beets, and apples forecast as above last year's yields. Tobacco is the only crop to show promise of exceeding the 1926-1930 average yield, with grapes equal to 100, sugar beets 95.9, corn 95.8, tame hay 84.1, wild hay 70.3, winter wheat 42, spring wheat 67.9, all wheat 43, oats 6'2.2, barley 65.5, rye 43.2, flaxseed 47.8, white potatoes 71, sweet potatoes 71.4, dry beans 72.2, apples 76.5, peaches 39.4, and pears 45.3 per cent of the five-year average. July I crop prospects in Colorado and Wyoming are described as the poorest of record, with Oklahoma experiencing one of the worst drouths in the history of that state and Kansas the THE MONTHLY REVIEW 5 ESTIMATED PRODUCTION OF LEADING FARM CROPS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT From Reports of the United States Department of Agriculture and State Boards of Agriculture (Figures are in thousands of units, ooo omitted) WINTER WHEAT SPRING WHEAT CORN OATS BARLEY POTATOES TAME HAY Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Bushels Tons Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. Yield July Est. 1933 1933 1933 1933 1933 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1932 1933 Colorado................ 1,904 6,804 2,805 II,000 2,316 19,090 2,176 1,830 7,642 4,383 13,363 3,384 I0,790 3,54 2 Kansas 6o 153 112,635 136,197 1,800 56,696 106,398 1,584 24,704 9,856 2,193 5,148 1,245 34,572 Missouri.-......... _ _ I 5,250 180 14,851 24,926 5,200 2,285 70 2,750 2,352 34,371 323 75 146,752 186,721 Nebraska................ 2,020 255,450 269,293 24,600 18,36o 7,200 23,264 24,486 2,926 74,190 2,517 8,775 3,3 15 9, 295 208 221 New Mexico.......... 1,320 2,520 722 920 250 3,267 560 510 322 322 79 2 434 Oklahoma .............. 28,848 24,012 2,418 43,626 22,323 19,692 3,108 65,760 1,725 520 746 747 Wyoming................ 1,100 2,628 2,610 2,024 1,320 2,961 2,176 1,650 2,413 1,040 1,342 476 3,300 969 Seven states·---····· Tenth District._..... United States........ 127,230 114,608 335,767 196,278 183,800 461,679 7,820 7,665 142,338 6,340 561,398 676,625 6,117 443,239 524,390 224,736 2,384,032 2,875,570 hottest and second driest June of record. Recent rains in New Mexico have improved crops and ranges in that state. In Missouri and Nebraska yields and prospects are below normal. June was an exceedingly dry, hot month throughout the entire Tenth District and all crops deteriorated somewhat. Showers, which fell the first half of July, were local in character and confined chiefly to the northeastern part of the District, restoring surface-soil moisture but not relieving the sub-soil deficiency. Drouth continues in western and southern Oklahoma, western Kansas, western Nebraska, eastern Colorado, and eastern New Mexico. Corn, oats, and barley in these areas are practically a complete failure and pastures are burning out. Nebraska reports corn as having a chance to make a good crop but requiring considerable moisture immediately as it is in or near the tassel stage. Corn prospects in northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas are also good and on the bottom lands of northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas they are fair. Chinch bugs have caused some damage in fields bordering wheat or oats. Grasshoppers have caused considerable damage in Nebraska where state funds are being used to fight them. Harvest of small grains is virtually completed and plowing for fall seeding of winter wheat has commenced where soil 101,372 174,410 80,222 145,4 27 698,941 1,238,231 21,832 21,600 169,951 39,702 39,500 299,95° 28,521 26,006 306,423 35,391 30,854 357.679 10,172 8,054 66,047 I0,878 8,809 69,794 moisture permits. Threshing returns indicate yields are, in some instances, exceeding expectations but that fields are very spotted, with much of the grain shriveled but most of it running high in protein. Oats, on the whole, were poor, the Nebraska crop the smallest in fifty years with heads generally poorly filled and the grain light. Potato digging, which commenced in the Kaw Valley of Kansas and the Orrick district of Missouri the forepart of June, is progressing rapidly. Prices, which started at $1.60 per hundredweight the forepart of the season, have advanced rapidly, with sales now ranging up to $2.50 and $2.6o. A year ago the low price was 20 cents per hundredweight. The Kaw Valley acreage is about two-thirds normal and the yield 40 to 50 per cent normal, and, although many potatoes are small, the crop is reported as of good quality. Potatoes in Wyoming are reported as in poor condition and the acreage reduced for the first time in several years. The Colorado acreage was reduced 17 per cent. Sweet potato prospects are below average in all states. Cotton has not been damaged seriously and is in bloom in New Mexico. Oklahoma, Missouri, and New Mexico had 4,689,000 acres of cotton in cultivation on July I this year and 3,695,000 acres last year. United States acreage is placed at 40,798,000 acres this year compared to 36,542,000 acres in THE ESTIMATED PRODUCTION AND ACREAGE OF CROPS REMAINING FOR HARVEST IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE SEVEN STATES OF THIS DISTRICT ON THE BASIS OF JULY I CONDITIONS, WITH COMPARISONS, AS REPORTED BY THE UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (In thousands of units, ooo omitted) PR.ODUCTJON AcREAGE FoR HARVEST UNITED STATES SEVEN STATES SEVEN STATES UNITED STATES Indicated Harvested 5-Yr.Av. Indicated Harvested 5-Yr.Av. July I Revised July I Revised July 1, 1933 1932 1926-1930 July 1, 1933 1932 1926-1930 1933 1932 1933 193 2 495,681 726,283 861,168 135,050 202,618 314,318 13,530 17,983 44,879 55, 152 All wheat, b ~ - - - - 127,230 196,278 302,796 335,767 461,679 589,733 Winter wheat, bu ..................... 12,675 17,4n 26,802 33,635 Spring wheat, b..__ _ __ 7,820 6,340 11,522 159,914 264,6o4 271,435 855 572 18,077 21,517 Corn,b.....__ _ _ _ _ __ 2,384,032 2,875,570 2,511,991 561,398 676,625 585,723 29,051 29,835 103,022 107,776 Oats, bu. ________ 698,941 1,238,231 1,189,693 101,372 174,410 162,994 6,940 7,546 37,023 41,193 Barley, bu _ _ _ _ _ __ 169,951 299,950 263,629 21,832 39,702 33,353 1,784 2,358 10,540 13,212 Rye, b....__ _ _ _ _ __ 1,946 25,336 40,409 41,564 282 372 2,716 3,326 3,5°5 4,500 Flaxseed, b..___ _ _ __ 9,185 11,787 20,011 185 346 387 35 56 1,755 2,081 Tame hay, ton..__ _ __ I0,172 10,878 12,091 66,047 69,794 72,678 8,6o4 8,010 54,8o6 52,974 Wild hay, tons...______ 8,872 12,187 11,489 14,3°5 13,845 3,058 4,248 4,349 5,15° 5,179 24,219 25,965 23,819 5,587 6,375 7,089 3,475 3,472 12,761 12,501 Alfalfa hay, toris·-···············-1,799 1,995 25,877 25,991 34,248 3,025 Clover and timothy, tons ........ 2,287 2,134 23,750 23,438 White potatoes, bu, _ __ 28,521 35,391 40,166 306,423 357,679 355,438 372 412 3,223 3,371 61,1 S2 78,484 62,483 2,100 3,204 2,941 Sweet potatoes, bu ................... 34 38 813 926 I0,154 10,164 n,107 1,715 1,085 2,376 Dry beans, 100 lb. bags. ____... 554 418 1,615 1,386 Sugar beets, tons ______ 9,682 9,070 7,718 4,140 3,16o 4,318 359 287 1,029 812 Tobacco, lb.,.__ _ _ __ 1,244,637 1,015,512 1,4n,697 6,37o 7, 175 4,6 25 9 7 1,741 1,422 Apples, bu. ________ 168,773 149,598 140,775 6,381 5,4o6 8,337 Peaches, b..___ _ _ _ __ 2,39 1 45,113 42,443 56,571 94 1 1,735 Pears, b...,__ _ _ _ _ __ 21,805 22,050 22,925 496 591 1,094 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 1932. ·•No official estimate of production has been made. Government agents are now canvassing cotton farmers in keeping with the Government's crop reduction program. The cotton report of the United States Department of Agriculture, released July 8, stated the Secretary of Agriculture has not yet determined to take cotton acreage out of cultivation and, that if acreage reduction is made, the amount thereof will be announced in the future. The hay crop will be small again this year. The acreage of sugar beets and dry beans has been increased considerably. Fruit prospects, with the exception of Missouri, are the poorest in years. and the June drop of apples was extremely heavy. Livestock Marketings of cattle at the six principal markets of the District were smaller in June than in May but larger than a year ago. Omaha reported the June run as the third largest of record for that market. Excessive heat, dry ranges and pastures, and a shortage of stock water forced many unfinished cattle to market. These cattle became difficult to move as the corn belt was not assured a corn crop and the demand for the grazing sections was virtually eliminated by dry weather. Also feeding margins narrowed further as grain prices advanced and livestock values declined. Arrivals of calves were 17.8 per cent lighter than one month and 4.4 per cent lighter than one year earlier. June receipts of cattle were equal to 92.1 per cent, and of calves 80.4 per cent of the ten-year average, with arrivals from January 1 to July 1 equal to 79.8 and 83.4 per cent of normal. Hogs, including those shipped direct to packers' yards, arrived in comparatively large numbers, with offerings containing a large percentage of unfinished hogs, resulting in lightweight hogs selling at a considerable discount. The June total, which exceeded the ten-year average, was 10.7 per cent larger than for the preceding month and 34.4 per cent larger than a year ago. Six months' receipts were 7 per cent smaller than for the like period last year. Arrivals of sheep and lambs at these markets declined 27.5 per cent as compared to May and 14.6 per cent as compared to June, but exceeded the average June volume by 7 .6 per cent. Receipts of horses and mules totaled 5,916 in June, 6,233 in May, and 1,906 in June, 1932. The July 1 condition of western ranges is reported by the Division of Crop and Livestock Estimates as the lowest for that date in the eleven years the reports have been issued. Ranges in western New Mexico are good but a serious drouth exists in western Kansas, western Oklahoma, southeastern Colorado, and northeastern New Mexico. Cattle are reported in fair to good flesh but beginning to show the effects of the drouth, Kansas City.............. Omaha.. St. Joseph-··········- ·- · Denver Oklahoma CitY·-······· Wichita .............·- ······ Cattle 93,929 129,914 3 1,99 2 18,172 24,875 14,506 with some forced shipments reported from the drier areas. The condition of sheep is also the lowest for any July 1 of record. The lamb crop has been cut short by heavy losses of lambs and old ewes. PRICES: Hot weather in June worked against higher meat prices, and all classes of livestock closed lower for the month, with lambs the only class to sell higher than a year ago. Eastern demand for dressed meat was dull the greater part of the month. Cattle closed the month 25 cents to $1, hogs 25 to 50 cents, and sheep 25 cents per hundredweight lower. Demand for stocker and feeder cattle was seasonally dull, and the excessive heat and drouth was a depressing influence on the market. Prices were weak to lower, especially toward the close. The demand for feeder lambs was also weak. The month's top for cattle at Kansas City was $6.80, hogs $4.75, and lambs $8.10 per hundredweight. The 1932 June top for cattle was $8, hogs $4.70, and lambs $6.50. On July 17 both hogs and lambs were selling higher than a year ago, but cattle prices continued to lag although making a new high for the year on that date. From January I to June 30 cattle have advanced 25 to 50 cents per hundredweight, lambs $1.50, and hogs 54 per cent, or from an average price of $2.88 in December to $4.35 per hundredweight in June. JUNE PIG SURVEY: The June I pig crop report of the United States Department of Agriculture estimates an increase of 3 per cent in the spring pig crop of 1933 over that of 1932, and a prospective increase of 8 per cent in the number of sows to farrow this fall compared to last. The increase in the spring pig crop was attributed equally to an increase in the number of sows farrowed and an increase in the number of pigs saved. If estimates of the number of sows to farrow this fall materialize, fall farrowings will be the largest since 1923 and 20 per cent above the five-year average. Estimates of the number of pigs saved and sows farrowed, or to be farrowed, are shown for the United States and the seven states of the District in the following table: PIGS SAVED Spring 1932 1933 386,000 274,000 Colorado.--······· Kansas .............. 2,333,000 2,330,000 Missouri ............ 3,231,000 3,134,000 Nebraska.. ........ 4,631,000 4,406,000 New Mexico.__ . 42,000 52,000 769,000 Oklahoma.---··· 799,ooo Wyoming.......... 43,000 57,000 Seven states...... n,353,000 n,134,000 1,987,000 1,966,000 1,251,000 1,154,000 United States._. 51,030,000 49,597,000 8,702,000 8,582,000 5,240,000 4,855,000 JUNE MOVEMENT OF LIVESTOCK IN THE TENTH DISTRICT RECEIPTS STOCKERS AND FEEDERS Calves Hogs Sheep Cattle Calves Hogs Sheep 166,820 17,106 *361,541 23,874 3,243 23,797 5,774 11 9,273 2,222 268,695 9,882 13,010 S,053 4 27 80,682 6,514 162,347 830 964 4, 153 5,7°5 1,445 3,812 3,169 128,893 69,97o 4,825 700 53,021 14,619 5,663 62,351 3,019 13,109 313,388 40,524 June 193 52 3,396 977,9 25 883,uo 334,162 49,3o8 May 1933·--- -·· ........ 7 21 ,577 281,232 727,696 612,599 June 193 42,375 2 51,977 4,94o,679 3,861,115 6 Months 1933··-······ 1,755,610 6 Months 1932.. _ ...... 1,790,400 222,942 5,314,417 4,488,163 *Includes 196,139 hogs shipped direct to packers' yards. 4 2,734 65,498 31,621 322,902 252,683 Sows FARROWED Fall Spring Actual Intended 1932 1932 1933 1933 50,000 71,000 37,000 45,000 405,000 401,000 323,000 288,000 544,000 518,000 460,000 438,000 833,000 825,000 294,000 245,000 10,000 8,000 7,000 5,000 139,000 131,000 128,000 125,000 10,000 6,000 8,000 4,000 5,945 n,348 4,496 55,no 3 2,314 9,66o 13,250 4,218 47, 13° 30,082 46,3 24 7i,857 29,0 57 321,302 290,368 PURCHASED FoR SLAUGHTER Cattle Calves Hogs Sheep 114,480 14,491 *343,554 53,458 105,744 4,626 249, 294 85,772 26,165 158,165 5,624 73, 289 10,090 1,864 8,716 54, 11 4 10,903 14,709 49,316 4,985 6,842 II,036 1,849 58,794 197,036 r90,6o4 171,613 1,012,932 1,026,149 324,168 913,237 33,439 800,035 418,152 33,900 30,779 554,859 356,831 170,216 4,410,683 2,167,647 170,998 4,381,SII 2,520,892 THE MONTHLY REVIEW ANIMAL AND POULTRY PRODUCTS: Butterfat advanced 3 cents per pound and eggs 2 cents per dozen in June, but poultry prices declined I to 2 cents per pound, establishing a new low. Advances in wool and hides were more moderate in June than in the preceding two months. Sales of Wyoming wool averaged 21 cents per pound on June 15 compared to 19 cents on May 15 and 7 cents on June 15, 1932. MEAT PACKING: Packers purchased more cattle and hogs, including hogs shipped direct to packers' yards, and a smaller number of calves and sheep in June at the six market centers of the District than they did in May. June purchases of cattle, calves, and hogs exceeded those of June, 1932, by 14.8, 8.6, and 64.6 per cent, respectively, but purchases of sheep and lambs declined 9.2 per cent. Purchases of cattle and calves for the half year were slightly smaller and those of hogs slightly larger than during the first half of 1932. Sheep numbers declined 14 per cent. The June and six months' slaughter of all classes except hogs fell short of the ten-year average. Cold Storage Holdings United States cold storage holdings of all commodities, except lamb and mutton which normally increase, were substantially larger on July I than on June 1. The net intostorage movement of beef, pork, poultry, and miscellaneous meats of 15.8, 13.8, 11.2, and 27.5 per cent, respectively, during June was contrary to the normal seasonal tendency for inventories of these commodities to decline. The seasonal in-movement of lard, eggs, creamery butter, and cheese was somewhat heavier than a year ago or the five-year average increase. Holdings of lamb and mutton declined 2.3 per cent as against a five-year average increase of 15 per cent. July I holdings of all commodities were heavier than a year ago and those of poultry were 4.8, lard 26.2, creamery butter 20.5, cased eggs 3.8, and frozen eggs 4.9 per cent in excess of the five-year average for that date. Stocks of beef were 22.4, pork 3.5, lamb and mutton 33.4, miscellaneous meats 10.9, and cheese, all varieties combined, 0.3 per cent short of the July I five-year average. July I cold storage holdings in the United States, with comparisons, as reported by the Department of Agriculture: *July I *June I July I July I 1933 1932 5-Yr.Av. 1933 29,909 Beef, lbs.·---····· 35, 169 30,373 45,3 27 Pork, lbs ....... 759,858 667,955 724,271 787,088 Lamb and mutton, lbs ....................._ 1,801 1,010 1,843 2,705 Poultry, lbs 36,661 40,782 38,096 42,756 **Turkeys, lbs ....... 6,450 7,301 7,809 7,285 Miscellaneous meats, lb 72,653 50,798 64,769 54,745 Lard, lbs ....... 196,941 110,381 130,363 156,085 Eggs, cases 9,020 8,047 9,366 6,339 Eggs, frozen (case equivalent) .......... 2,947 2,410 2,871 2,809 Butter, creamery, lbs 84,269 106,405 88,335 34,555 Cheese, all varieties, lbs..................48,458 66,531 78,7o5 78,944 *Subject to revision. **Included in Poultry. (ooo omitted). Lumber Reports covering 156 retail lumber yards thoughout this District showed June sales of lumber in board feet were 1.1 per cent larger than in May and 44.7 per cent larger than in June last year. Dollar sales of all materials, although 12.1 per cent smaller than in May, were 20.9 per cent larger than in June, 1932. Stocks of lumber increased slightly between May 31 and June 30, but on the latter date they were 11.3 per cent lighter than one year earlier. Collections in June amounted to 22.7 per cent of amounts outstanding at the close 7 of the previous month. This ratio is the same as reported for May and somewhat better than that of 18.1 per cent reported for June, 1932. Percentage changes in the retail lumber trade in June, compared to May this year and June last year, are shown in the following table: Sales of lumber, board f e e L - - - - - - Sales of all materials, dollars ......- - - Stocks of lumber, board feeL-_ _ _ __ Outstandings, end of mont,1.-_ __ _ June 1933 Compared to May 1933 June 1932 I.I 44•7 -12.1 I.I - 0.1 According to reports to the National Lumber Manufacturers Association, production and shipments of lumber in the United States for the week ended July I were, with the exception of the preceding week, the heaviest for any week since September, 1931, and 82 and 79 per cent, respectively, heavier than a year ago. Orders received, although slightly less than for the preceding six weeks, were otherwise the heaviest since April, 1931, and the volume of unfilled orders on July I was the largest since May, 1929, and 99 per cent above that of July 1, 1932. Shipmen ts for the week were 20 per cent and orders received 30 per cent in excess of production. Production for the first twenty-six weeks of the year was 5, shipments 4, and orders 20 per cent larger than in the first half of 1932. Shipments exceeded production by 26 per cent and orders exceeded production by 40 per cent. Building Building act1V1ty in Tenth District c1t1es continues quiet with operations confined largely to alterations and repairs. The following table shows the number of permits issued in June, by building departments of seventeen cities, and the estimated cost of construction: Albuquerque, N. M. Cheyenne, Wyo. Colorado Springs, Colo•. -........... Denver, Colo..... Joplin, Mo•.................................. Kan1as City, Kans..................... Kansas City, Mo Lincoln, Nebr Oklahoma City, Okla. ______........ Omaha, Nebr... Pueblo, Colo Salina, Kans Shawnee, Okla... St. Joseph, Mo Topeka, Kans.·--·· Tulsa, Okl Wichita, Kans ....... Total 17 cities, Jun Total 17 cities, May Total 17 cities, 6 months·--······· PERMITS 1933 1932 50 47 24 45 30 37 321 393 IO 6 28 33 126 103 32 47 81 68 80 71 31 45 II 13 3 9 27 30 36 53 89 49 48 43 1,123 1,-264 996 1,297 5,632 6,565 EsTIMATED CosT 1933 1932 $ 43,574 $ 16,681 8,810 20,96o 19,986 10,925 210,975 229,792 2,825 4,830 17,9I5 10 ,545 282,600 124,300 52,410 56,149 207,561 76,o75 101,729 278,229 10,625 15,110 4,800 3,815 3,650 440 28,270 21,275 26,060 22,5I3 91,056 31,145 2 16,968 5,565 $789,935 818,428 4,006,354 $1,28 8,228 1 ,275,556 7,023,184 Cement Output of finished Portland cement at mills in the District during June and the first six months of I 933 was approximately the same as that for the like month and six months of 1932. June production exceeded shipments and month-end stocks, although 6.2 per cent larger than a year ago, were otherwise the lightest for tha.t date in recent years. United States production for June and the half year was somewhatJess than a year ago. 8 . THE MONTHLY REVIEW Tenth District and United States production of finished Portland cement, as reported by the Bureau of Mines, in thousands of barrels: TENTH DISTRICT UNITED STATES Production Shipments June 1933·-······· 718 701 May 1933.......... 648 771 June 1932.-....... 720 76 5 6 Months 1933 2,581 3,195 6 Months 1932 2,559 2,999 Stocks 1,780 1,761 1,676 Production Shipments Stocks 19,942 7,804 7,979 6,262 6,709 20,n7 7,921 9,264 24,043 27,668 27,927 34,156 34,304 Bituminous Coal Production of soft coal at mines in this District declined 10.8 per cent in June, or about the usual seasonal rate. June output, which is frequently the smallest for any month of the year, was 8.5 per cent below that of 1932 and the lightest for that month in recent years. Output for the six months' period is estimated at 7,300,000 tons against 8,249,000 tons for the first half of 1932. Output of bituminous coal in this District and the United States: Colorado. __ ···········----Kansas .... ----···················· Missouri.. .............................. New Mexico·-··-··························· Oklahom..___ _ _ _ _ __ Wyoming.............. _ _ _ __ •June 1933 Tons 188,000 q2,ooo 187,000 77,000 56,000 227,000 •May 1933 Tons 290,000 90,000 182,000 76,000 40,000 250,000 June 1932 Tons 209,000 92,000 236,000 78,000 43,000 246,000 Six states...................................... 827,000 928,000 904,000 United States..·--···················-···· 24,870,000 22,488,000 17,749,000 *Estimated from the weekly reports of the United States Bureau of Mines. Petroleum An estimated gain of 1,341,000 barrels in the gross production of crude oil in Oklahoma for June resulted in an increase of 6.8 per cent for this District as compared to May. However, production in the United States dropped off over 100,000 barrels per day from that of May, reported by the Bureau of Mines as the highest since October, 1929. Compared to June, 1932., Tenth District production increased 11.7 per cent and United States production about 20 per cent. Six months' production was 1.7 per cent larger for the District and approximately 8 per cent larger for the United States than a year ago. The production figures for the United States and the five oil producing states of the District follow: •June 1933 Barrels Oklahoma. __ . 14,630,000 Kansas .......... 3, 273,000 Wyoming...... 894,000 Colorado·-··-· 73,000 New Mexico 1,080,000 May 1933 Barrels 13,289,000 3,3o7,ooo 906,000 84,000 1,098,000 June 1932 •6 Mos. 1933 6 Mos. 1932 Barrels Barrels Barrels 12,905,000 80,870,000 79,615,000 2,736,000 19,480,000 17,122,000 1,057,000 5,560,000 6,897,000 98,000 477,000 643,000 1,066,000 6,472,000 6,718,000 TotaL........... 19,950,000 18,684,000 17,862,000 112,859,000 IIo,995,000 u. s............... 78,483,000 84,747,ooo 64,835,000 428,872,000 397,63 2,000 •June estimated, American Petroleum Institute. On June 17 mid-continent crude oil prices of 25 cents per barrel, which had been in effect since the first week in May, were re-established on a gravity basis of 20 cents per barrel for oil testing below 25 degrees gravity, with a 2 cent differential for each additional degree gravity up to 52 cents for oil testing 40 degrees and over. These quotations remained in effect until July 6 and 7 when the numerous purchasing companies failed to agree and two separate price schedules were posted, one of which was IO cents higher than the other, with prices ranging from 61 cents to 85 cents per barrel. At one time there were four sets of prices for the same grade of crude. Prices of all refined products, notably refinery and natural gasoline, advanced in June. Mid-continent refinery operations have been stepped up monthly this year and the estimated daily average run of crude oil to refinery stills on July 1 was 25 per cent larger than a year earlier, but otherwise the smallest for that date in recent years. Field activity continues quiet with comparatively few wells completed and rigs up and wells drilling at the close of June. Zinc and Lead Mines in the Tri-state district shipped 48 per cent more zinc ore and 14.1 per cent more lead ore in the twenty-six weeks ended July 1 this year than in the like period of 1932. Shipments of zinc ore during the four weeks ended July I were 77 per cent and of lead ore 94.9 per cent larger than in the preceding four weeks ended June 3, and 68.5 and 210.3 per cent, respectively, heavier than in the four weeks' period ended July 2., 1932.. The tonnage and value of zinc ore and lead ore shipments from mines in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri: SHIPMENTS IN FOUR WEEKS ZINC ORE LEAD ORE Oklahoma ·-·············---Kansas ........... _ _ _ _ _ __ Missouri ........................ _ _ __ Tons 13,814 4,9 25 3,100 Value $414,420 147,75° 93,000 Tons 3,410 454 105 Value $170,500 22,700 5,250 4 Weeks ended July 1, 193J·-····· 4 Weeks ended June 3, I 933·-····· 4 Weeks ended July 2, 1932.-..... 21,839 12 ,339 12 ,957 $655,170 3,969 2,036 1,279 $198,450 88,254 34,973 327,227 2 55,339 SHIPMENTS IN TWENTY-SIX WEEKS ZINC ORE LEAD ORE Tons Value 78,182 $1,656,809 39,4o5 Soo,437 4,883 129,691 Tons II,888 3,292 670 Value $476,158 124,184 25,16o 26 Weeks ended July 1, 1933·-····· 122,470 $2,586,937 26 Weeks ended July 2, 1932·--··· 82,776 1,435,175 15,850 13,897 $625,502 Oklahom...___ _ _ _ _ __ Kansas .. _ _ _ __ Missouri _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __ 498,709 Prices of zinc ore and lead ore were steady during June at $30 and $50 per ton, respectively, with smelters taking all concentrates available at these quotations. Zinc ore advanced 1,5 and lead ore $2.50 per ton the first two weeks of July. The 1933 low price for zinc ore was $20 in February and that of lead ore 'l,27.50 per ton the first two months of the year. SUPPLEMENT To THE MoNTHLY REVIEW, AuousT 1, 1933 Business Conditions in the United States By the Federal Reserve Board PUtCUT :':0':r -"''-----r--lN-0-US-TR-,--IA-LP =-::-R-:-: OD- U-:-:::CT-ION---r--""",' '"° 130 t - - - - - + - - - - + - - - - + - - - - t - - + - - ~ 130 120 110 100 90 eo 70 r----+----+----+---i--+--,>----i 70 '° t-----+---t----'-----+-~+-"---j 60 so so,.___,~_.__,=m,._...J_~-30----L-1-n1----'---"----' 19JZ 1933 Index number of industrial production, adjusted for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 average= 100.) Latest figure, June, 89. ID t---+----t-----t---\-,---"'c,l""'l;;;.r---j IO 1-----+----+------i---+-->,----+----t 401---+-- - + - - - - - t - - - - t - ~ . _ . , .......,...---'1 30 ...__..,..,_....__,..,.-,-_.__~~-==-~~__.__--c==--' Indexes of factory employment and payrolls, without adjustment for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 average=100.) Latest figures, June, employment, 64.1; payrolls, 45.9. PUl([IIT 160 120 110 100 100 80 ao 60 "O 10 Indexes based on three month moving averages of F. W. Dodge data tor 37 eastern states, adjusted for seasonal variation. (1923-1925 average-=100.) Latest figures May, total 19, residential 14. Oat CC"T 1~0 110 110 •oo 100 '10 '10 00 eo 70 70 60 60 !>O !>O 40 30 Indexes of the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (1926=100). Latest figures, June, farm products, 53.2; foods, 61.2; other commodities, 68.9. In June, as in the two preceding months, industrial activity increased rapidly and in the first half of July there was some further advance. Factory employment and payrolls showed a considerable increase. Wholesale commodity prices rose rapidly until the third week of July when prices of leading raw materials showed a sharp decline. PRODUCTION AND EMPLOYMENT: Volume of industrial production, as measured by the Board's seasonally adjusted index, advanced from 77 per cent of the 1923-1925 average in May to 89 per cent in June, as compared with 60 per cent in March. Activity in the steel industry continued to increase during June and, according to trade reports, during the first two weeks of July. In the third week of the month it showed little change. Demand for steel from the railroads and the construction industry continued at a low level. Output of automobiles, which usually declines at this season, increased in June and showed little change in July. Consumption of cotton by domestic mills was larger in June than in any previous month and continued at a high rate during the first half of July. At woolen mills and shoe factories activity increased further in June to unusually high levels. Working forces at factories increased substantially between May and June and the Board's seasonally adjusted index of factory employment advanced from 61 per cent of the 1923-1925 average to 65 per cent. Factory payrolls also increased by a reasonable amount to 46 per cent of the 1923-1925 averages. Value of construction contracts awarded, as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, showed an increase in May and June, contrary to the usual seasonal movement. Department of Agriculture estimates as of July 1 indicated a wheat crop of about 500,000,000 bushels, 350,000,000 bushels below the average of 1926-1930, reflecting chiefly adverse weather conditions. Feed crops have also been seriously damaged. Cotton acreage on July 1 was estimated at about 41,000,000 acres, an increase of 4,000,000 acres over last year, but it is proposed as a part of the program of the agricultural adjustment administration to reduce the area by about 10,000,000 acres. DISTRIBUTION: Freight traffic continued to increase during June, reflecting in large part heavier shipments of coal, miscellaneous freight, and lumber products. Distribution of commodities through department stores showed about the usual seasonal decline in June. WHOLESALE PRICES: Wholesale prices of commodities advanced from 64 per cent of the 1926 average in the first week of June to 69 per cent in the middle of July, according to the index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This marked upward movement reflected large increases in the prices of most basic raw materials, including grains, cotton, hides, nonferrous metals, steel scrap, petroleum, and rubber. Most of these commodities are traded in on organized exchanges and enter into world trade. The prices of many manufactured products, particularly textiles, leather, and gasoline, also advanced substantially. On July 19, 20, and 21, following rapid advances in the preceding period, prices of leading raw materials declined. sharply. FOREIGN EXCHA GES: In the exchange market the value of the dollar in terms of the French franc declined to 69 per cent of its gold parity on July 18 and then advanced to 72 per cent on July 2I. BANK CREDIT: During the four weeks following the enactment on June 16 of the banking act of 1933, which prohibits the payment of interest on demand deposits, net demand deposits of weekly reporting member banks in 90 cities declined by $500,000,000, reflecting the withdrawal of $300,000,000 in bankers' balances from banks in New York City and elsewhere, and the transfer of funds from demand to time accounts. Time deposits increased by $260,000,000. The banks' holdings of United States Government securities increased during the four weeks ending July 12, and there was a further rapid growth in open market brokers' loans, while loans to customers declined. Return flow of currency amounted to $90,000,000 during the five weeks ending July 19. During the same period the Federal reserve banks purchased. $85,000,000 of United States Government obligations and member banks reduced their indebtedness to the reserve banks by f,90,000,000. The withdrawal of bankers' balances from New York City reduced excess reserves of member banks in that city, while surplus reserves of member banks outside New York increased substantially. Money rates in the open market generally continued at low levels, although recently slight increases have occurred in acceptance rates, time money against stock exchange collateral, and yields on short term United States Government securities.