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• THE MO NT HLY REVIEW Of Agricultural, Industrial, Trade and Financial Conditions in the Tenth Federal Reserve District FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CI TY M . L. McCLURE, Chairman and Federal Reserve Agent A. M. McADAMS, Assistant Federal Reserve Agent and Secretary Vol. 12 KANSAS CITY, Mo., AucusT O DITIONS for farm production in the Tenth Federal Reserve District improved materially in recent weeks under seasonable summer temperatures, sunshine for the harvesting of small grains and rains for the growing crops. MidJuly reports indicated the Government's forecasts as of the condition on the first day of the month had been fully sustained and prospects were for large and well-balanced farm production for the District as a whole. With the major part of the winter wheat area already harvested, the July estimate for the District was for a crop of around 256 million bushels, about 26½ million bushels less than the bumper crop of 1926 and 104_½' million bushels greater than the crop harvested in 1925. The July corn prospect was for around 388 million bushels, or 79½ million bushels more corn than was produced in the District in 1926. There were promises of larger crops of spring wheat, oats, barley, rye, potatoes and hay than were harvested in 1926. With the cotton area greatly reduced a smaller crop was indicated. Crops of fruit generally were smaller than those of the preceding year. Ranges and pastures throughout the District showed the best summer condition for several years, and the position of the livestock industry improved. Cattle advanced in price to new high levels for recent years. Sheep prices were a little lower than a year ago, but on sound basis. Fat hogs, after touching the low point of the year, rose steadily and at the middle of July were firm at around J10 per hundred weight, but still below last year's J uly level. C HEAVY and sustained volume of business in the Tenth Federal Reserve District during June and the first six months of the current year was reflected by reports to the Monthly Review from the various branches of industry and lines of trade. Measured by payments by check at banks in twenty-nine cities, the June volume stood I. 1 per cent below that for the corresponding month last year, while the aggregate for the half-year was greater by 3.3 per cent than that.for the like period in 1926, which was considered the peak year for business in this District. Irregularities in · industrial and trade activity, pointed out in previous issues of this publication, still were present at the opening of the second half of the year, and conditions in some sections were less favorable than in others. Distribution of merchandise by wholesalers to retailers, and by retailers t o consumers, as indicated by their reports of sales in doll ars, was smaller in June but larger in the half-year than in the corresponding month and six months of 1926. The implement trade increased and the retail lumber trade decreased. A 1, 1927 No. 8 BUSINESS IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Percentages of Increase or Decrease. June, I927 June, 1927 6 Mos. 1927 Compared to Compared to Compared to May, I927 June, I926 6 Mos, I926 2.8 - I.I 3.3 Bank debits, 29 cities.............................. Reserve bank clearings, Amt................. 4. I I .7 3. 2 Itemshandled.. .................................... 3.4 -3.0 -I.3 Bus~ne~~ ~ailures, number...................... 19.4 48.2 15 .2. L1abtl1t1es.............. _ _ _ _ -17.2. 99 . 7 48.4 TradeDepartment store sale.,___ _ __ I. I - 2. .0 - 3.5 Wholesalers sales, 6 lines.................... - 0.3 0.4 0.9 Lumber sales, retail.. ...... _ _ __ -6.2. -2.2..5 -l9.9 Market receipts8.2. -34.2. Wheat........................- - - 37.4 Corn ...................................................... 50.2. - 9.8 69.4 -2I . I -46.6 Oats·--·······- - - -···················· - 2.9 Cattle ................ _ __ __ r.8 -10.3 -I9.9 Calves .................................................... 0.7 - 4.2 3-5 Hogs ...................................................... - 3.6 5.0 6.3 -2..7 - 6.2. Sheep..·-················································· - 5-5 - 0.1 -12 .7 Horses and mules ......- - - 25.7 ProductionI2..2 2.2.7 Flour ························ - - - - - - r.5 38.8 35 .5 Crude oiL_························- - - - - 2..5 Soft coal _ _ __ I.O 9.0 - 8.9 -12.3 4.0 Cement.................................................. - 1.6 6.8 Face brick. ___ ....................................... 10.6 8.3 -20.5 Zinc ore shipments .............................. -IO.I -44 .3 -13.8 -47 . 6 Lead ore shipments·--························· -4 1 . 5 Meat packing-10.6 - 1.4 Cattle .................................................... -IO.I - 6.3 - 0.7 6.9 Calves----································ 10.0 Hogs .............. _ _ _ __ 6 .o - 3 .3 - 6.1 5 .3 Sheep..·-················································· - 6 .4 Construction2.1 .0 - 1.6 -18.3 Building contracts, value, district .... - 2..2 20.5 4.2 Building permits, 19 cities·-··············· -10.5 Value of permits ................................. . 7.0 9 -4 Receipts of wheat at Tenth District markets made a new high record for the half-year period. Though the June market supply of meat animals, except hogs, was smaller than for the same month last year, market runs of cattle and hogs during the half-year were larger than for the like period in 1926. Production of crude petroleum again led all other industries in the District in percentage of increase. An output of 952,100 barrels per day during the thirty days of June, and 162,639,000 barrels gross production for the half-year, were peak records for a month and six months. The output of soft coal was larger in June than in May but smaller than a year ago, while the tonnage mined in the first six months of the year was larger than that for the first six months of 1926. The zinc and lead industry, This Copy Released For P \lPli~~tion In Morning Newspaper July 29. THE MONTHLY REVIEW BANK DEBITS IN TENTH DISTRICT CITIES FouR WEEKS ENDING TwENTY-Srx Per Cent June 29, June 30, June 29, Albuquerque, New Mexico.................. Atchison, Kansas .................................. Bartlesvi1ie, Oklahoma ........................ Casper, Wyoming ................................ Cheyenne, Wyoming............................ Colorado Springs, Colorado ................ Denver, Colorado.-··-··························· Enid, Oklahoma._................................. Fremont, Nebraska.............................. Grand Junction, Colorado .................. Guthrie, Oklahoma .............................. Hut::hinson, Kansas·----····················· Independence, Kansas·---··················· Joplin, Missouri .................................... Kansas City, Kansas.-......................... Kansas City, Missouri·--····················· Lawrence, Kansas ............................... . Lincoln, Nebraska ............................... . Muskogee, Oklahoma ......................... . Oklahoma City, Oklahoma .................. Okmulgee, Oklahoma ......................... . Omaha, Nebraska .. ............................. . Parsons, Kansas·-································· Pittsburg, Kansas_ .............................. Pueblo, Colorado. __ ····························· St. Joseph, Missouri .. .......................... Topeka, Kansas ................................... . Tulsa, Oklahoma ................................. . Wichita, Kansas .................................. 1927 'f, 10,583,000 5,862,000 26,855,000 9,079,000 5,666,000 13,506,000 157,165,000 14,823,000 3,740,000 2,970,000 3,184,000 13,55'.2,ooo 9,343 ,ooo 13 ,687,000 18,359,000 343,982,000 4,784,000 29,737,000 10,381,000 100,145,000 8,659,000 181,986,000 3,526,000 5,434,ooo 18,829,000 52,341,000 16,61 6,000 II7,568,ooo 46,750,000 1926 'i, 9,872,000 6,169,000 19,077,000 10,561,000 5,43 2,000 14,518,000 159,686,000 17,544,000 3,733,000 3,111,000 3,164,000 15,629,000 II,255,000 15,834,000 19,715,oco 336,680,000 5,048,000 31,068,000 9,994,ooo 89,391,000 11,830,000 189,567,000 3,393,ooo 6,302,000 18,109,000 59, 147,000 16,734,000 II9,163,ooo 51,134,000 Change 7 .2 Total 29 Cities.............................. $1,249,n2,ooo $1,262,860,000 - depressed by low prices and a slow demand, reported ore shipments in June were the smallest of the year, while shipments for the six months were the smallest in tonnage and value for a similar period since the early half of 1924. Production of flour at Southwestern mills established a new high record, with the output for the half-year, in barrels, showing an increase of 22.7 per cent over that for the first half of 1926. The output for the wheat year ending June 30 was 28.6 per cent greater than that for the preceding wheat year ending June 30, 1926. Slaughtering operations at meat packing plants were smaller during the half-year period for all classes of livestock except hogs, which showed an increase of IO per cent over the half-year period in 1926. The production of lumber since January 1 showed a decline, while the manufacture of cement and face brick increased, as compared with the corresponding period last year. Building contracts awarded in the District as a whole were in value 21.0 per cent greater for the first half of the present year than for the same period last year. In actual construction in the leading cities, however, permits issued during this period were fewer by 2. 2 per cent, and their values smaller by 10.5 per cent, than for the like period last year. Financial Further easement in the money and credit situation was reflected by the mid-year condition statements of banks in this District. The inflow of new crop money, starting in June with early marketings of wheat, brought improvement to the agricultural sections and strengthened the position of country banks through increased deposits and the payment of loans. Instances were reported where loans were paid off before maturity and interest rebated. Deposits in banks increased seasonally during June and July but were not quite up to the totals at this time last year. Savings deposits increased and there were more savings depositors than a year ago. . - 5.0 40 . 8 -14 .0 4-3 - 7 .0 - 1.6 - 15.5 0 .2 - 4-5 o .6 - 13.3 -17 .0 -13 . 6 - 6.9 2.2 - 5.2 4 -3 3 -9 12 .0 -26 .9 - 4 .0 3 -9 -13.8 4 .0 - 11. 5 - 0 .7 - 1.3 - 8 .6 I.I WEEKS ENDING I I 0,967 ,ooo 816,016,000 306,329,000 June 30, 1926 $ 60,939,000 38,736,000 109,7 22,000 58,647,000 36,203,000 82,935,000 1,026,221,000 87,6c1,ooo 22,749,000 19,405,000 21,288,000 73 ,635,ooo 63 ,283,000 II2,903,ooo 11 9,43 2,000 2,15 9,635,000 30,885 ,000 201,84-1 ,000 7 1,5 57,000 559, 2 9°,000 73,955 ,ooo 1,1 92,7 17,000 19,830,000 38,479,ooo 105,687,000 371 ,004,000 105,II 7,ooo 73 1,499,000 275 ,III,ooo $8 ,l 26,450,000 '!,7,870,306,000 1927 '$ 68,862,000 37,099,000 160,21 9,000 54,790,000 34,93 1,000 86,251,000 1,05 7,625,000 88,228,000 23,988,000 19,329,000 22,221,000 93,850,000 68, 167,000 103,11 0,000 123,718,000 2,190,472,000 33 ,16 r,ooo 196,03 2,000 72,262,000 622,064,000 58,963 ,000 l ,I 62,8-1-3,000 18,826,000 38,673,000 11 7,697,000 339,757, 000 Per Cent Cha nge 13 .0 - 4 .2 46. 0 - 6 .6 - • 3-5 4.0 J .l 0 .7 5-4 - 0 .4 4-4 27-5 7-7 - 8. 7 3. 6 1. 4 7-4 I .O II . 2 -20.3 - 2.5 - 5.1 0. 5 ll.4 - 8.4 5.6 11. 6 11. 3 3-3 MEMBER BANK OPERATIONS: Bank credit at member banks in this District, as indicated by the volume of loans, discounts and investments of sixty-five reporting member banks. in leading cities, rose steadily during the year and on June 15 · reached the highest total since October 13, 1926. Subsequent weekly reports showed small declines and the total on July 1 3 stood 4.6 per cent above that for the first reporting date in January, but was 1.4 per cent below that reported July 14, 1926. The decrease in the total of member bank credit for the year was in loans, as investments on July 13 were close to the highest level of record and 5 per cent above the total on July 14, 1926. Loans secured by stocks and bonds were larger while all other loans, principally commercial, were smaller than on the corresponding date last year. Investments in Government securities were the lowest since January 5, but those secured by other stocks, bonds and securities were the highest of record. Total deposits of the reporting member banks on July 13 were the largest since March I 6, but were 1. 5 per cent smaller than a year earlier. The decrease was in demand deposits, as time deposits increased to the high point of record. Principal resource and liability items of reporting member banks as of three dates are here shown: July 14, July 13, June 15, 1926 1927 1927 $427,254,000 'f,4 29,773,ooo '$446,931,000 4,308,000 4,348,000 3,8o7,ooo 135,842,000 129,665,000 111,391,000 295,760,000 33 1,733,000 287,104,000 205,921,000 205,189,000 195,033,000 103,852,000 97,168,000 104,318,000 108,021,000 102,069,000 90,715,000 Total Loans and Discounts .............. Secured by U. S. Obligations........ Secured by other Bonds and Stocks All others--······· · · - - - - - Total Investments .... - - - United States Securities................ Other Bonds,Stocks and Securities Total Loans, Discounts and Investmen ts ........................................... . 632,443,000 Total Deposits ................................... . 656,327,000 Demand Deposits·-························· 501,044,000 Time Deposit,.__ _ __ I 53,779,000 Government Deposits .................... 1,504,000 Reserve balance with F. R. Bank .... 55,726,000 635,694,ooo 649, 134,ooo 494,854,ooo 151,574,000 2,706,000 53,884,000 641,964,000 665,815,000 515,II2, 145,839, 4,864,000 54,048,000 3 THE MONTHLY REVIEW RESERVE BANK OPERATIONS: Weekly condition statements of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kans_as City and branches showed only small changes in discount operations between June 15 and July 13. The statement as of the date last mentioned showed the totals of bills discounted for member banks, bills purchased in the open market, and also United States securities held were smaller than on July 14, 1926. Federal Reserve note circulation was larger than a year earlier. Total deposits were larger. Principal items appearing in the statements as of the dates mentioned follow: Gold Reserves...................................... Reserves other than Gold.................. Total Reserves.................................... Bills Discounted.................................. Bills Purchased.................................... United States Securities.................... Foreign Loans on Gold.... .................. Total Bills and Securities.. ................ Total Resources.................................. F. R. rotes in Circulation................ Total Deposits .. ··-······························ July 13, June 15, July 14, 1926 1927 1927 'f, 91 ,o 53,859 $ 85,737,858 1, 87,230,636 5,783,376 4,654,686 5,856,176 96,837,235 91,885,322 9 1,594, 034 13,696,921 16,046,764 15,599,081 9,934,907 11,014,781 9, 175,377 31,581 ,ooo 33,853,ooo 35, 11 7,900 ................... . 128,400 55,212,828 58,627,458 62,304,245 206,544,652 2II ,284,344 204,257,429 63,953,525 63,320,650 63,484,975 88,367,692 89,970,977 89,752,334 PAYMENTS BY CHECK: Clearing House Associations in twenty-nine cities of the Tenth District reported amounts debited to individual accounts by banks ran at a weekly average of $312,555,769 during the first twenty-six weeks of 1927, and the total for this period was $8,126,450,000. For the corresponding twenty-six weeks of 1926 the average per week was $302,704,077, and the total for that period was $7,870,306,000. The increase over the first half of 1926 was $256,144,000 or 3.3 per cent, and over the first half of 1925 it was $553,306,000 or 7.3 per cent. The reports showed a larger volume of debits in nineteen cities and a smaller volume in ten cities than in the first six months of 1926. Amounts debited in the twenty-nine cities during the four weeks ending June 29 increased 2.8 per cent over the preceding four weeks ended June 1, but there was a decrease of 1. 1 per cent as compared with the total for the four weeks ended June 30, 1926. RESERVE BANK CLEARINGS: During the first six months of the current year check collections through the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and its branches at Omaha, Denver and Oklahoma City showed increases of 3.2 per cent over the total for the corresponding first six months of 1926, although the number of items handled during the six-months period was 1.3 per cent less than during the like period in the preceding year. Amounts collected during the month of June were larger by 4.1 per cent than in May, but smaller hy 1.7 per cent than in June 1926. The totals for June and the first six months of 1927 and 1926 follow: AMOUNT ITEMS 1927 1926 1927 1926 May.............................. 5,696,261 5,647,274 $ 916,730,000 '$ 878,270,000 June.............................. 5,888,266 6,067,283 954,648,000 971,u5,ooo Six Months ....________ 34,287,484 34,747,679 $5,688,096,000 $5,}12,424,000 During the month of June 972 member banks and 2,461 nonmember banks on the par list, a total of 3,433 banks, shared in this service. SAVINGS IN BANKS: Between June 1 and July I savings deposits in 57 reporting banks in cities of the Tenth District increased 0.7 per cent, and the total as of the latter date was 2.5 per cent larger than that reported for July 1, 1926. The number of savings accounts in 49 reporting banks increased 0.7 per cent during the month and the total for July 1 was 4.2 per cent larger than on July 1, 1926. Savings deposits and accounts are here shown: Denver, Colorado.................. Kansas City, Kansas ............ Kansas City, Missouri .......... Lincoln, ebraska ................ Oklahoma Ci ty, Oklahoma.. Omaha, Nebraska..·-············· St. Joseph, Missouri .............. Tulsa, Oklahoma .................. Wichita, Kansas .................... Other Ci ties._ ......................... 4 Deposits July 1, 1927 '$ 45,860,667 r,933,7.~5 15,512,!)48 3,43 2,775 7,987,084 8,082,451 7,335,7 27 15,891,290 5,95o,o94 1,099,765 June 1, July 1, 1926 1927 '$ 45,85o,544 '/, 46,453,618 1,882,681 1,922,916 15,339,53 1 14,433,01 4 3,490,101 3,416,144 7,748, 165 8,697,15+ 7,983,853 . 7,585,832 7,292,180 7,37o,479 13,962,658 15,690,053 6,055,408 5,347,39° 1,088,564 1,065,376 57 $113,086,546 $I 12,347,123 Banks 6 3 7 4 6 TotaL·-··························· 5 5 6 II Banks 6 Denver, Colorado.................. 2 Kansas City, Kansas ............ 6 Kansas City, Missouri .......... Lincoln, Nebraska ................ 3 6 Oklahoma City, Oklahoma .. Omaha, ebraska ..·-············· 5 St. J oseph·, Missouri .............. 5 Tu lsa, Oklahoma .................. 5 Wi chita, Kansas .................... 7 Other Cities ............................ 4 Total.. ............................. 49 Accounts July 1, 1927 1, 102,358 6,327 77,39 2 14,851 27,850 37,o38 17,5u 25,796 17,089 4,262 'I, i 33o,474 $ '1,110,328,538 June 1, 1927 102,447 'I, 6,669 77,186 14,920 25,343 37,o37 17,475 25,698 17, 170 4, 299 July 1, 328,244 316,967 1926 100,473 6,667 75,57° 14,880 2 3, 294 37,38o 16,091 22,611 I 5,768 4, 233 Failures Returns for the month of June and the first half of the current year reflected increases in the number of commercial failures in the Tenth District over the corresponding month and six months of last year. The amount of liabilities involved in June failures was smaller than for the preceding month, but was larger for the six months than for the like period last year. Business failures in the United States showed increases for the month and six-months period, both in number and amount of liabilities, over the corresponding ~onth and six months of 1926. The number of failures and amount of liabilities are shown in the following summary compiled by R. G. Dun & Company. LIABILITIES NUMBER Federal Reserve District First, Boston ............................. Second, New York .................... Third, Philadelphia .................. Fourth, Cleveland .................... Fifth, Richmond....................... . Sixth, Atlanta ............................ Seventh, Chicago ...................... Eighth, St. Louis ...................... Ninth, Minneapolis .................. TENTH, KANSAS CITY..... . Eleventh, Dallas........................ Twelfth, San Francisco ........... . 1927 171 260 41 164 142 174 253 98 1926 222 286 87 144 96 72 268 114 69 83 39 261 123 59 234 Total United States, June........ 1,833 Total United States, 6 months 12,296 Total Tenth District,6months 735 81 1927 1926 'f, 2,476,055 '$ 3,438,lJJ 4,733,218 6,260,II9 5,610,200 2,303,980 3,57 2 ,9°3 3,o78,r35 2,255,430 1,719,126 2,347, 238 839,3 27 4,000,364 6,255,014 1,897,022 882,180 1,397,II2 505,003 1,767,937 885, 249 1,555,26o 1,034,020 2,852,426 2,207,259 'f, 34,465, 165 28 I ,522,5 I 8 10,894,386 '/, 29,4°7,5 23 209,898,501 7,336,740 THE MONTHLY REVIEW 4 RETAIL TRADE AT 37 DEPARTMENT STORES IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SALE s ST o c Ks (Retail) OuTSTANDINO ORDERS AccouNTS RECEIVABLE Co LL E c TI o N s June, HJ27 6 Mos., 1927 June 30, 1927, compared to June 30, 1927, compared to June 30, 1927,compared to June, 1927, compared to Stores compared to compared to May 31, June 30, May 31, June 30, May 31, June 30, May, 1927 June 1926 1927 1926 1927 1926 1927 1926 Reporting June, 1926 6 Mos., 1926 Kansas City ..... - 6.8 - 4.2 -10 . 7 - 5.3 40 .3 1 .4 - 7.6 - 6.2 3 - 9.4 3.3 Denver .. ............ 5 - 4.5 o.6 - 5.2 - 4.9 24.2 19.4 1.3 - 0.5 - 4.5 \ 'ichita............. . 2 1.9 5.7 9.8 -II.I 2.7 5.9 3 3.3 Oklahoma Ci ty 1 5 -7 3 IO . I II.7 - 4.I 2.9 7.6 -23.4 - 0.8 23.6 - 2.0 1 2 1 Omaha.---········· 3 -7 - 2. - 3.7 3Lincoln ............. . - 6.6 - 3.8 - 1.3 3 - 6.8 - 4.7 3.7 Tu lsa................. . 3 7 .5 l2 . 9 8 .7 II.6 4.8 Ot her Cities ..... . 14 2.2 - 1.8 - 4 .9 - 7 .3 - 4.5 - 4.4 Total.................. 37 - 2 .0 1. 1 - 6. 4 - 2.4 27.6 6 .6 - I.4 2.5 0 .3 0.3 N oTE : P ercentage of collec tions in June on outstanding accounts May 31, all stores reporting, 40.4%. Collections same month last year 42.0%, Trade The dollar volume of retail trade in this District, as reported by department stores in cities, was smaller in June than in either the preceding month or the corresponding month last year. Of thirty-seven stores reporting, sales at twenty-one were larger and at sixteen smaller than in June, 1926. Retail sales for the first half-year, as shown in the department store summary, exceeded those for the like period last year by 1. 1 per cent. Sales at retail at single line stores varied somewhat from those at department stores. Stores handling men's and women's apparel reported a decrease for June of IO. 2 per cent from sales in May, but an increase of 0.4 per cent over . sales in June, 1926. Retailers of shoes reported their June sales were 0.5 per cent less than a year ago. Retail furniture stores reported their June sales was 27 per cent below those for May and 20per cent below those for June, 1926. unfavorable weather. Demand ofretail merchants for seasonable summer goods was delayed until the latter part of the month, and at that time trade in these lines became quite active with both wholesalers and retailers. While buying of fall goods was not up to the best former records, merchants were reported as placing fall orders with more confidence than for the past three years. Cotton goods were purchased in fair quantities for current use and no price concessions were made by manufacturers or wholesalers. A substantial business was done in overalls and work shirts for the harvest season. Further expansion of the wholesale grocery trade was reported. The hardware trade in June was the heaviest of the year, but not up to that of a year ago. Wholesale trade in furniture exhibited a little more than the usual mid-summer decline. Sales of drugs by wholesalers showed substantial gains over the earlier months and were larger than at this time last year. Stocks at department stores, at stores handling men's and women's apparel, and shoes, were reduced about 6 per cent between May 31 and June 30. On the latter date stocks at department stores were smaller by 2.4 per cent than a year earlier, while stocks at apparel stores were 11.6 per cent larger, of shoes 4.8 per cent smaller, and of retail furniture stores 4.3 per cent smaller. Deliveries of harvest machinery and farm implements during June were reported by distributors in this territory as very satisfactory, and on the average about 20 per cent greater than in June, 1926. Cash received on sales was considerably more than last year, one large distributing firm reporting an increase of about 25 per cent. WHOLESALE: The June volume of business reported by wholesale firms in six leading lines was 0.4 per cent larger than in May, but 0.3 per cent smaller than in June, 19~6. The wholesale trade summary shows sales of dry goods, furniture and millinery were smaller than in the preceding month or the corresponding month last year. Sales of groceri'es showed increases for the month over both periods with which comparison is made. Total sales of hardware and drugs in June showed increases over the preceding month but were smaller than a year earlier. COLLECTIONS: The department store figure on collections during June was 40.4 per cent of their outstanding accounts on May 31. This compared with 42 per cent for May and 41.2 per cent for June, 1926. The composite collections figure for apparel stores was 51.6 per cent for June compared to 52.6 p er cent for June 1926, and this percentage applied to collections reported by retailers of shoes. Retail furniture stores, many of them carrying installment accounts, reported June collection as 17.4 per cent of outstandings against 19.6 per cent in June, 1926. Wholesale reports indicated collections generally satisfactory, as retailers were buying in small lots and were able to meet their bills promptly. Implement dealers reported fair collections. Wholesalers of dry goods attributed the decline in this year's June sales, as compared with those for June, 1926, to distinctively Reporting Stores 6 Dry Goods ...................... Grocerie 3 Hardware 8 Furniture ...... 4 6 Drugs .... - ........................ 4 Millinery·-- ·················-·· WHOLESALE TRADE IN THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT SAL p; s OuTSTANDINGS (Mo. end) COLLECTIONS June, 1927, Compared With June 30, 1927, Compared With June, 1927, Compared With June, 1926 May, 1927 May 31, 1927 June 30, 1926 June, 1926 May, 1927 - 7.0 - 2 .7 - 3.6 - 7.0 - 5.2 - 1.7 12 .0 -0.4 3 .1 8.9 0.4 24.8 6.8 3 .6 5.8 0 .7 0.3 - 1.7 - 8.1 - 2.3 - 3 .0 - 4.4 1.3 - 9.4 6.o I.8 1.6 - 0.9 2.5 - 3.7 -10.0 -24.I -40 .0 -44.8 -37. 2 - 23 .3 STOCKS (Mo. end) June 30, 1927, Compared With May 31, 1927 June 30, 1926 - 8.8 - 2.7 -18 .6 3.6 4 .3 3 .9 2 .7 - 8.9 1.5 - 0.7 • • THE MONTHLY REVIEW The Crops The composite condition of farm crops in the .states comprising the Tenth District rose from 90.9 per cent on June I to 93.5 per cent on July I, according to a late report of the United States Department of Agriculture through its Bureau of Agricultural Economics. This means that on July 1 crops in this area still were 6.5 per cent below their ten-year average condition as of that date. For the entire United States the composite figure stood at 3. 5 per cent below the ten-year average. The reports in detail presented in the summary show the composite figures on the condition of crops and indicate the changes in one month and one year: CONDITION Colorado.............................................. Kansas.... ............................................ Missouri.............................................. ebraska .. .·-······································ ew Mexico·-·-····························· Oklahom..__ _ _ ························ Wyoming.·---···································· Seven States.. ·-·····················-····:...... . United S t a t e ~ - - - - Per Cent of 10-Year Average July 1, 1927 June 1, 1927 July 1, 1926 93.8 84. 9 103 .3 96.6 86. I 91. 8 85.8 99 . 8 93 . 8 103.3 109. 5 86. I 84. 2 66. 2 I I I .o 89.4 99.8 76. 7 96. o 107. 6 97. 2 95 .4 93.6 While returns from the summer's harvest, now coming in, tell with a fair degree of accuracy the size of this year's crops of small grains, early fruits and vegetables, it is too early to forecast accurately the production of late planted crops. However, the improved condition during June, as here indicated, and further improvement in July, suggest much larger yields of most crops than were forecast earlier in the year Winter wheat made strong recovery from the low condition reported on June I, and with the harvest well under way, the July I forecast was for a yield of 256,030,000 bushels for this District, a gain of 26,697,000 bushels over the June I estimate, 27,439,000 bushels less than the harvested crop of 1926, but 104,542,000 bushels more than the harvested crop of 1925. There were notable gains during June in the winter wheat prospect in Kansas and Nebraska, the figures for Nebraska indicating 8,122,000 bushels or 12.3 per cent more winter wheat than the previous highest annual crop. Colorado, with an increase of 4,464,000 bushels in the estimate, has a "bumper" crop for that state. Winter wheat also improved in Wyoming and ew Mexico. Oklahoma and Missouri reports reflected smaller yields than were promised by earlier forecasts, due to the failure of winter wheat to recover from injury caused by excessive rains in May and early June. This year's spring wheat area in this District is slightly larger than that of a year ago and there was a promise of u,236,000 bushels as compared with 10,050,000 bushels in 1926. 5 The corn acreage for the District is about IO pe,r cent less than the acreage harvested last year, but the July prospect was for a crop of 387,941,000 bushels, or 79,649,000 bushels more than the crop harvested in 1926. Mid-July reports indicated corn was making fine progress over the major portion of the District, although the lateness in planting and unfavorable weather and soil conditions in the spring resulted in low yields and in low condition in parts of Kansas and in the states of Missouri and Oklahoma. The estimates as of July I condition, presented in the production table, also forecast larger yields of oats, barley, rye and potatoes than were indicated by the final estimates on 1926 production. On the other hand yields of sweet potatoes, sugar beets, grain sorghums and broom corn were reported as smaller than those of last year. Tame hay, according to reports, furnished one of the outstanding features of the crop outlook. The .a rea in this District has been increased more than one-third million acres and yields are reported as running ahead of those for last year. Indications point to a short crop of fruit in most of the large fruit producing sections. The apple crop in the District was estimated at 6,047,000 bushels as compared with 8,563,000 bushels last year. Peaches were estimated at 1,719,000 bushels against 1,665,000 bushels, and pears at 897,000 bushels against 986,000 bushels. COTTON: The area of cotton under cultivation in the United States on July 1 was estimated by the Crop Reporting Board of the Department of Agriculture as 42,683,000 acres, a reduction of 6,047,000 acres or 12.2 per cent from the area under cultivation on June 25, 1926. The returns show reductions in all producing states as compared with last year's high record cotton acreage. The heaviest losses in acreages were in the states lying west of the Mississippi River but on the whole these states had 62.9 per cent of all cotton acreage in the United States under cultivation on July I. The following shows this year's acreage under cultivation as compared with a year ago and the decreases for the several states: July 1, 1927 June 25 1 1926 Acres Texas ..... ...................... .. ........................ Oklahoma .... ...... ................................... Arkansas ................................ .............. . Louisiana ................ ............................... Missouri .............. ................................. . New Mexico .......................................... Arizona.................................................... California............................................... . 17,035,000 4,168,000 3,287,000 1,656,000 307,000 106,000 140,000 Acres 19,140,000 5,083,000 3,867,000 2,019,000 472,000 125,000 168,000 Decrease Acrea 2,105,000 915,000 580,000 363 000 128,000 167,000 165,000 19,000 28,000 39,ooo Eight Southwestern States.................. 26,827,000 Eight Southeastern States·-················· I 5,856,000 Total United States.............................. 42,683,000 31,041,000 17,689,000 48,730,000 4,214,000 1,833,000 6,047,cxx, ESTIMATED PRODUCTION OF FARM CROPS IN SEVEN STATES OF THE TENTH FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT Forecast of the United States Department of Agriculture as of July 1, Condition and Compared with the Final Estimates for 1926 (In thousands of units-ooo Omitted.) Potatoes Winter Wheat Corn Barley Rye Tame Hay Oats 1926 1926 1926 1926 1926 1926 1926 1927 1927 1927 1927 1927 1927 1927 Colorado__ 1,024 14,280 n,760 4,680 2 ,905 18,632 12,540 6,672 19,665 14,484 10,472 5,276 2,389 957 4,162 2,707 Kansas ........ _ 123,339 35,122 480 3,032 6,895 150,057 92,382 674 35,364 3,697 3,9 13 57, 299 216 18,010 21,282 6,480 Missouri........ 204 360 310 5,187 41,540 130,458 174,189 36,941 3,56g 4,657 6,622 2,6o6 Nebraska ...... 198,221 4,650 7,207 52,516 4,271 3,283 37,,65 4,699 139,407 74,565 5,3 29 74,74° 208 6 18 133 180 166 New Mexico_ 1,512 2,883 4,420 150 4,876 398 435 595 Oklahoma __ 2 2 2,640 2,910 2,838 61,178 'J,{,7 887 851 38,304 558 3,389 4,75 47,765 73,745 33,75° Wyoming __.. 1 2,002 1 1 1,722 1,308 1,326 1,456 1,015 4,690 700 ,353 4,353 7 4 756 3,57 3,94° Seven States. 10th District. United States 270,669 256,030 579,4l6 180,483 178,364 45o,9o5 493,9 12 308,292 142,748 283,469 387,941 149,577 626,929 2,274,424 2,645,031 1,349,026 1,z53,739 302,365 30,803 30,379 242,730 20,932 20,687 191,182 7,614 7, 295 61,820 5,710 35,881 31,94 2 17,607 5,43° 31,423 26,452 13,566 40,024 392,943 356,360 101,035 15,076 11,894 86,378 6 THE MONTHLY REVIEW Kansas City.-................................. Omaha ........................................... . St. Joseph·--··································· Denver........................................... . Oklahoma City ............................. . Wichita. __ ······································· MOVEME TS OF LIVE STOCK FOR JUNE AND SIX MONTHS STOCKERS-FEEDERS RECEIPTS Cattle Calves Calves Hogs Sheep Hogs Sheep Cattle 122,220 25,569 25,7 29 131,671 14,038 226,475 2,897 7, 145 1,250 36,108 120,725 175,206 6,077 5,804 286,352 157,957 41,016 2,296 292 7,684 n,297 89,092 4,817 23,746 1,056 1,501 20,154 38,312 83,770 4, 135 3°,33 2 23,494 2,061 6,825 24,936 12,030 2,698 15,136 53,76 1 June, I 927 .... ················-················ 349,817 May, 1927 .. .. ··················-·······-····· 436,897 June, 1926...................................... 390,035 Six Months, 1927 .......................... 2,307,825 Six Months, 1926 .......................... 2,266,694 52,7 15 496,936 56,777 787,793 817,528 525,69 1 77,01 7 510,630 741,065 52,34 1 52,769 307,121 4,562,111 3,156,978 441,535 320,537 4,343,743 3,364,616 4 16,937 5°,95 1 Flour Production During the month of June mills in the Tenth District produced 2,039,797 barrels of flour. This was the largest June production of record, exceeding that for June 1926 by 12.2 per cent. During the first six months of 1927 flour production reached a total of 12,332,094 barrels, which was 22.7 per cent larger than the total production for the corresponding six months of 1926. Statistics on production for the wheat year ended June 30 showed an aggregate output of 27,294,06o barrels of flour. This was the peak total for any wheat year of record and indicated an increase of 6,076,972 barrels or 28.6 per cent over the t otal for the preceding wheat year ending June 30, 1926. Production figures follow: Atchison·-··-··············· Kansas City .... .......... Omaha ........................ Salina·-······················· St. Joseph .................. Wichita ...................... Outside........................ June, 1927 Barrels 107,261 593, 233 102,489 n7,015 175,5 1 3 178,532 765,754 TotaL_··-··········· 2,039,797 May, 1927 Barrels II2,265 586,128 97,538 120,715 l43,985 172,181 837, 239 6 Months, 6 Months, June, 1926 1926 1927 Barrels Barrels Barrels 108,529 664,333 59 1,939 2,477,355 37 1,578 3,529, 146 427,769 554,5 26 83,39 1 108,913 608,998 627,299 160,896 888,328 834,129 149,97 1 1,026,757 775,339 834,523 5,060,006 4,314,980 2,070,05 1 1,817,801 12,332,094 10,048,810 Grain Movement Movements of the 1927 crop of winter wheat to primary markets in the Tenth District were markedly smaller in June than in the corresponding month last year, due to reduced yields in early harvested areas of the Southwest, and to some extent to this year's harvest coming a few days later than usual. By the end of the month, with the harvest general over the entire territory, marketings of wheat were assuming large proportions, but not such as to cause the great strain on the handling capacity which featured the situation at that time last year. Market receipts of corn during June showed a substantial increase over the preceding month and a year ago, while receipts of oats were smaller than in May and also smaller than in June of last year. Receipts of six classes of grain for June and the first six months of 1927 are here shown with figures for the corresponding month and six months in 1926 for comparison: Wheat Bushels Hutchinson 1,802,250 Kansas City. 3,600,800 Omaha.......... 949,200 St. Joseph .... 390,200 Wichita ........ June, 1927._ May, 1927._. June, 1926_. 6 mos., 1927. 6 mos., 1926. 2 ,335,500 Corn Bushels Oats Bushels 25,000 2,668,500 3,312,400 1,029,000 45,6oo 176,000 372,000 II8,ooo 13,500 Barley Rye Bushels Bushels 7,5 00 27,200 25,500 3,200 39,200 7,080,500 64,700 679,5oo 52,200 8,391,400 4,180,450 699,5oo 13,806,100 4,712,600 1,273,700 72,300 51,966,250 26,151,800 5,140,000 501,400 37,809,150 z8,999,5oo 6,518,500 501,000 9,0 77,95° Kafir Bushels 71,500 240,900 19,200 331,600 37,900 337,900 33,450 8,250 769,9oo 232,450 3,1n,900 252,650 2,760,300 4,690 6,659 3,838 29,5 14 21 ,549 85,189 II,747 I4,'.2Jl 73,534 22,539 9 2,333 99,o67 5o6,547 88,140 365,556 Cattle 73,754 90,609 32,010 10,265 16,873 5,838 229,349 255,083 256,694 1,372,088 1,39 1,489 FoR SLAUGHTER Calves Hogs 182,238 22,655 5,596 [223,26o 7,086 llJI,053 2,614 ~28,871 6,038 22,191 2,197 52 ,393 46,186 640,oo6 661,961 43,209 46,526 603,636 258,141 3,559,717 275,443 3,234,748 Sheep 108,361 128,096 77, 169 (13,794 1,537 6,455 335,4 12 358,488 318,581 1,995,8 13 2,124,610 During the 1926-1927 wheat year, which closed on June 30, a total of 197,544,850 bushels of wheat were received at the six markets. This compares with 105,923,800 bushels received during the preceding wheat year ending June 30, 1926. These totals indicate a gain for the wheat year just closed of 91,6'.21,050 bushels or 86. 5 per cent. Live Stock The month of June brought a slowing down in the movement of livestock: to markets in this District. Receipts of cattle and sheep were in smaller numbers than in the preceding month and the corresponding month last year. Receipts of calves increased over both months with which comparison is made. Market runs of hogs in June were lighter than in May but continued heavier than a year ago. The record of six markets for the half-year showed receipts of cattle increased 41,151 head or 1.8 per cent over the first half of 1926. Receipts of calves decreased 13,416 head, and receipts of sheep decreased 207,638 head; while receipts of hogs, including shipments direct to packers, . were 218,368 head greater than in the first six months of last year. Records of four markets covering the first half of 1927 showed countryward shipments of all classes of stock and feeding livestock were larger than for the same p_eriod in 1926. Increases were: Cattle 5.9 per cent, calves 37 per cent, hogs 12.4 per cent, and sheep 38.6 per cent. Reports from over the district indicated that ranges and pastures were in excellent condition except in a small area of the Southwest where more moisture was needed. They also indicated a high condition for all classes of livestock. Arriv als of horses and mules at the six markets totaled 4,214 for the month of June as compared with 5,675 in May and 4,829 in June, 1926. The total for the first half of 1927 was 55,579, against 55,659 for the like period in 1926. IEAT PACKI G: Slaughtering operations at meat packing plants in this District declined during June from the rate of activity in May and in June of last year, mainly the result of smaller supplies of livestock at the markets. The record for the month, when compared with that for June a year ago showed decreases in the number of cattle and calves and increases in the number of hogs and sheep purchased for slaughter. Based on packers' purchases at the six leading markets, and including hogs shipped direct to packer yards, the meat packing record for the first six months of 1927 showed a decrease of 1.4 per cent in cattle, a decrease of 6.3 per cent in calves, an increase of 6.1 per cent in sheep and an increase of IO per cent in hogs, as compared with purchases of animals for slaughter in the first half of 1926. I THE MONTHLY REVIEW lvlineral Production PETROLEUM : The flow of crude oil from wells in the Tenth District, mounting higher and higher each month of the current year, rose to an average of 952,100 barrels per day for the thirty days of June. This figure, the highest average for any month of record, stood 7,400 barrels per day above the average for the thirty-one days of of May, and 266,314 barrels per day above the average for June, 1926, a thirty-day month. The production during June, which was in excess of consumptive requirements, brought the gross output for the first half of 1927 to 162,639,000 barrels. This was 42,590,000 barrels greater than the gross output for the first half of 1926, and the largest total for any six months of record. Oklahoma, whose output increased from month to month during the current year, contributed the entire June increase, as the daily averages for Kansas, \Vyoming, Colorado and ew Mexico were smaller than in the preceding month and in the corresponding month last year. Figures showing the daily average and gross production for June and the half year, by states, follow: AVERAGE PRODUCTION *June, 1927 May, 1927 Barrels Barrels 756,800 Oklahoma ____ ........................................ 768,600 112,'.200 Kansa~ ............................................... . 114,900 62,000 60,900 Wyoming..·-··········································· Colorado ............................................... . 7,800 7,300 New Mexico .................: ....................... . 3,100 3,200 DAILY Total............................................. . Oklahoma ........ Kansas.............. \¥yoming·-······· Colordao.. ........ Tew l.\-1exico.... 952,100 June, 1926 Barrels 482,753 120,733 69,667 8,400 4, 2 33 944,700 GROSS PRODUCTION *6 Months *June, May, June, 1927 1927 1926 1927 Barrels Barrels Barrels Barrels 23,058,000 23,462,000 14,483,000 I 28,639,000 3,366,000 3,563,000 3,622,000 20,958,000 1,827,000 1,923,000 2,090,000 10,837 000 219,000 243,000 252,000 1,458,000 93,000 100,000 127,000 747,000 6 Months, 1926 Barrels 84,986,oco 19,907,000 13,212,000 1,210,000 734,ooo Total.. ...... 28,563,000 29,291,000 20,574,000 16'.2,639,000 *Jun e estimated, American Petroleum Institute. 120,049,000 Reports covering field operations during June showed some reduction in the number of wells completed and in the number of barrels daily new production from completed wells, while at the end of the month fewer" rigs were on the ground and fewer wells drilling than for several months. The record of field operation follows: Wells Barrels Daily New Compl'd Production Oklahoma .............................. 201,450 362 II2 5,689 Kansas -······························· 6,647 32 Wyoming.---························· Colorado ...................... _........ 12 410 120 New Mexico .......................... 4 June,1927 ..................................... 522 May, 1927.............................. 53 2 June, 1926.............................. 747 Six Months, 1927·--············· 3,422 Six Months, 1926.---··········· 4,II9 214,316 254,104 91,495 1,147,572 55 2 ,751 Dry Wells Gas Wells 108 33 56 9 2 8 0 3 0 177 188 212 1,136 1,275 43 I 56 50 RigsWells Drilling 1,259 260 267 102 137 2,025 2,186 2,568 294 334 BITUMI OUS COAL: Reports of the United States Bureau of Mines covering soft coal mining operations in the various fields in the Tenth District indicated production during 7 the first six months of 1927 amounted to 13,396,000 tons as compared with 13,268,000 ton s mined during the first half of 1926. \Vhile the Bureau's reports showed tonnages mined since April I were considerably below those for the corresponding months last year, the heavier operations during the first quarter of this year accounted for the increase. June reports indicated a higher rate of activity than in May, with an increase of 9 per cent in the tonnage mined, but a decrease of 8.9 per cent as compared with June, 1926. Production figures for the six coal states in this district follow: May, 1927 Tons 581,000 72,000 *June, 1927 Tons 642,000 81,000 86,ooo 210,000 206,000 380,000 235,000 184,000 32 · ,000 *6 Months, 6 Months June, 1926 1926 1927 Tons Tons Tons 592,000 4,961,000 4,638,000 272,000 1,566,000 1,970,000 1,183,000 159,000 1,060,000 215,000 1,448,000 1,369,000 146,000 1,215,000 1,047,000 378,000 3,146,000 3,o61,ooo Total.. ................ 1,605,000 1,472,oco 1,762,000 13,396,oco 13,268,000 Colorado .... ................ Kansas........... ,............ Missouri ..................... New Mexico .............. Oklahoma .............. ... Wyoming.-................. 75, 000 *June estimated, United States Bureau of Mines. Production of bituminous coal in the United States for the calendar year to July 2 totaled 278,601,000 tons, compared with 270,047,000 tons for the corresponding period in 1926. ZINC AND LEAD: Shipments of zinc and lead ores from the mines in the Missouri, Kansas and Oklahoma district during the first half of 1927 were smaller in tonnage and value than for the first half of 1926 and 1925, and at approximately the low level of the first half of 1924. Reports for the month of June showed a smaller output of both lead and zinc ores than had been recorded for a month in recent years. The summary which follows shows tonnages of ores shipped and their sales value for each of the three states: Z1 NC ORE Tons Value 20,196 .,, 816,141 12,037 485,590 1,776 7 1,953 LEAD ORE Tons Value 2,568 .,, 200,304 129,012 1,654 147 11,466 Four weeks ending July 2, 1927._. 34,009 '/, 1,373,684 Four weeks ending June 4, 19'}-7,.. 37,8 24 1,449,697 Four weeks ending July 3, 1926. __ 61,073 2,878,968 27 weeks ending July 2, 1927 ....... . 342,261 'f,14,625,340 27 weeks ending July 3,1926 ........ 430,269 21,207,736 4,369 1, 34o,782. 615,783 7,47 2 805,940 8,334 54,812 'f,5,022,926 53,6 1 9 6,734,57o Oklahoma ..................................... . Kansas ........................................... . Missouri ......................................... . Lumber and Materials A survey of the lumber situation at the middle of July indicated hardwooci' prices were stationary, although manufacturers reported orders were more available than in the earlier weeks of the season. The starting up of hardwood mills in the overflow district was delayed much longer than anticipated, recent estimates indicating the total enforced curtailment of hardwood production would average about seventy-five days with daily production of 8,000,000 feet. Retail buying of softwood lumber continued light and dealers' stocks were further reduced. Curtailment of production continued in the ·w est and there was less activity in the South. Prices of Southern Pine at the middle of July were weaker but Fir prices were holding their own. The National Lumber Manufacturers' Association, on reports received from the various associations, reported a seasonal 8 THE MONTHLY REVIEW decline in softwood movements during June. The cut of softwoods for the four weeks ending July 2 was o.6 per cent less than in the preceding four weeks ending June 4. In the same time shipments declined 5.9 per cent and orders declined 8.6 per cent. The Association reports for the current year to July 2 are here compared with those for the like period in 1926: Cut Feet Softwoods26 Weeks, 26 Weeks, Hardwoods26 Weeks, 26 Weeks, Shipments Feet Orders Feet 1927 ...................... 5,433,6i4,o6o 5,738,961,920 5,780,549,369 1926 ...................... 7,011,652,536 7,176,198,799 7,125,526,651 1927 ...................... 1926 ...................... 720,272,000 746,402,208 796,649,000 701,704,884 The number of barrels of Portland cement produced and shipped in the Tenth District during June and the six months period follows: Production·-·····'. .......... . Shipments .................... SI x 1 M'o N"T H s 1 9 26 5,480,000 5,617,000 5,457,000 5,878,000 1921 Building 800,422,000 June, 1927, Compared to May, 1927 June, 1926 - 6.2 -22.5 -21.l - 14 . 4 - 1.3 - 5. 5 -17.6 - 1.7 - 21.0 1.7 JUNE 1927 1926 l ,262,000 l ,440,000 1,209,000 1,394,000 Face brick production at 64 plants in thirteen states during June exceeded that for May by 10.6 per cent and that for June, 1926, by 8.3 per cent. Shipments also were larger than in the preceding month and a year ago by 6.7 per cent and 2.5 per cent respectively. Figures for the first half year showed increases over last year of 6.8 per cent on production and 0.02 per cent on shipments. 7 24, 254,545 Sales of lumber at retail yards in the Tenth District, reported to the Monthly Review, were 6.2 per cent smaller in June than in May and 22.5 per cent smaller than in June a year ago. The consolidated monthly figures for all reporting yards showed sales for the six months of 1927 were 19.9 per cent below sales for the like period in 1926. Percentages of increase or decrease for June over May, 1927, and June, 1926, on the various items follow: Sales of lumber, board feet ................................... . Sales of all materials, dollars.--····························· Stocks of lumber, end of month ............................ Outstandings, end of month ................................. . Collections during month ..·-··································· of 1927 showed increases of 4 and 5 per cent respectively over the corresponding period in 1926. h· · The division of mineral statistics, United States Bureau of Mines, reported shipments of Portland cement in the United States during June amounted to 19,716,000 barrels, the greatest for any month in history, and production of 17,078,000 barrels during the month was slightly under the second only to that of July, 1926. Production and shipments during the first half The value of building contracts awarded in the Tenth District was 21.0 per cent greater during the first half of 1927 than in the first half of 1926 and the high record for a six-month period, according to statistics reported by the F. W . Dodge Corporation. On the other hand, the value of building permits issued in cities of the District, as reported to the Monthly Review, showed a decline of 10.5 per cent for the first half of 1927 as compared with the record for the like period in 1926. A summary of building returns for June and the first half of 1927, compared with those for the like period in 1926, follows: MONTH OF JUN!'! Six MoNTHS 1927 f1926 1927 1926 Contract values, District '/,17,598,000 '/,17,893,000 '/,105,745,000 '/,87,385,000 Permit values, 17 cities.. 9,335,268 8,535,308 43,094,020 48, 133,399 Permits number, 17:cities 3,177 2,638 15,202 15,537 While there was a seasonal decline during June in the value of contracts awarded in the District, the number of building permits issued in the reporting cities was the largest for any month since March 1926 and their value the largest for any month since August of last year. A notable feature in the June reports from cities was the showing made by Tulsa where permits for a large office building and for new school buildings increased the value of construction to the highest figure of record for that city. However, the appended table shows that of the seventeen cities reporting their statistics to the Monthly Review only five reported the value of this year's permits exceeded last year's value for the same period. • I BUILDING FOR JUNE AND THE HALF YEAR IN TENTH DISTRICT CITIES Albrequerque, N. M ................. Casper, Wyoming Cheyenne, Wyoming.·-···-··········· Colorado Springs, Colorado_ ...... Denver, Colorado._....................... Hutchinson, Kansas.--················· Joplin, Missouri.. .......................... Kansas City, Kansas·-················· Kansas City, MissourL_ ............. Lincoln, Nebraska ........................ Muskogee, Oklahoma .................. Oklahoma City, Oklahoma·-······· Okmulgee, Okla .......... ............. Omaha, Nebrask Pueblo, Colorado .......................... St. Joseph, MissourL..- ............... Topeka, Kansas ............................ Tulsa, Oklahoma .......................... Wichita, Kansas............................ Total..._ ........................,.......... MONTH Permits 1926 1927 6o 74 20 15 26 37 63 79 948 54° 46 29 34 55 237 124 600 463 IOI 96 20 16 144 199 II 8 134 115 156 109 92 63 124 129 206 257 195 190 3, 177 2,638 OF JUN l'! Value 1926 1927 1, 137,200 '/, 78,200 28,800 4,900 57,020 41,025 26,190 40,090 1,043,250 1,037,600 28,630 75,69o 105,954 101,225 24°,795 322,990 1,629,550 2,259,510 347,538 349,965 27,860 119,380 l,I49,899 I,488,595 121,280 333,200 880,871 49 2, 003 193,544 106,336 38,020 102,785 134,9 17 328,855 3,028,161 633,510 401,604 333,634 Per Cent Change -44.3 82.0 -63.0 -59.o 378.0 20 .4 'f,8,535,3o8 9.4 $9,335,268 75-4 -83.0 39.o -34.7 o.6 164.4 - 4.5 34. I - 27.9 0.7 -76.7 -22.8 MONTHS Value 1926 1927 '/, 625,000 1, 770,100 166,II4 68,079 332,195 457, 11 4 296,991 467,490 8,159,800 6,887,750 414,418 328,536 821,306 693,585 1,49 1,943 1,020,378 8,912,400 12,913,285 2,018,535 2,953,898 181,047 275,025 6,275,864 4,759,63° Six Permits 1926 1927 277 399 68 II2 145 165 4 19 47 1 3,408 3,809 226 227 184 291 638 1,097 2,637 2,715 669 489 131 130 l,II2 988 -63.6 512 95 1 743 3 23 553 __ ,. __ ............... .. 1,579 1,129 402 716 1,231 1,134 2,324,268 900,273 329,619 1,213,912 7,109•621 3,3°5,948 15,202 15,537 '/,43,094,020 659 ---------------- Per Cent Change 23.2 -59.o 37.6 -36.7 -15.6 -20.7 -15.6 -31.6 -31.0 -3 1 .7 -34. 2 31.8 5,7o8,753 -59.3 7°9,4 23 53 1,397 2,194,720 3,406,031 2,202,971 26.9 -37.9 -44.7 108 .7 '/,48, 133,399 -10.5 50. I • SUPPLEMENT TO THE MONTHLY REVIEW August 1, 1927 Business Conditions in the United States The output of industry declined substantially in June to a level close to that of a year ago, reflecting reduced activity both in mines and in factories. The value of building contracts awarded was the largest for any month on record. The general level of prices remained practically unchanged. Production Production of iron and steel and automobiles declined considerably in June and curtailment in these industries continued during the early part of July. There were also decreases in June in silk deliveries, sugar refining and production of lumber, copper and anthracite coal. Cotton and woolen mills continued active for this season of the year and consumption of raw cotton was larger than in any previous June on record. Meat packing, shoe production and the manufacture of building material showed increases. Production of manufactures, as a group, was slightly larger in June than in the same month of 1926, but output of minerals, owing largely to decreased production of coal, was in smaller volume than a year ago. The value of building contracts awarded in June was larger than in any previous month on record, owing chiefly to the steady increase within recent months of contracts for public works and public utilities. Awards were particularly large, as compared with previous months of this year and with June of last year. In the New York and Chicago Federal Reserve districts, contracts were awarded during the first half of July in practically the same volume as in the corresponding period of last year. , On the basis of conditions on July I forecasts of the Department of Agriculture indicate increases as compared with the 1926 harvested production in the output of wheat, oats, barley, rye, hay and potatoes, and decreases in corn, tobacco, and the principal fruit crops. Cotton, for which no production estimate was given, shows a decrease of 12 per cent in acreage planted, while the total area planted to all crops shows a reduction of 2 per cent. A reduction of 371,000,000 bushels in the estimated production of corn, compared with 1926, indicates the smallest crop since 1901. Trade Wholesale trade in most lines increased slightly between May and June, while retail trade showed less than the customary seasonal decline. Sales of departmen t stores were in about the same volume as a year ago while those of mail order houses and chain stores were larger. Sales of meat, drygoods and hardware at wholesale were smaller than in June of last year, while sales of groceries, shoes and drugs were about the same in volume. Inventories of department stores declined further to a level about 3 per cent below that of June, 1926. Stocks carried by wholesale firms showed no change for the month and were smaller than a year ago. Daily average freight car loadings failed to show the customary seasonal increase between May and June and were in smaller volume from early in May to the middle of July than during the corresponding period of last year. Shipments of almost all groups of commodities have been smaller than a year ago. The largest decline occurred in the shipments of coal and coke. PEIIC!Hf PERCENT 150 200 PERCENT 200 100 t - - - - - + - - - - t - - ----t-----r----1100 5(11------+----+-----+----+-----t so 1 - - - - - + - - -- + - - - - + - - ---!-------i so or PRODUCTION MANUFACTURES AHO MINERALS WHOLESALE PRICES ·o......--~----'----...._-:-:-.......--:--O 1923 192'+ 1925 1926 1927· Index numbers on Production of Manufacturers and Minerals1 adjusted for seasonal vari·a tions, (1923-25 average, 100). Latest figures for June: Manufactures 108, Minerals 103. O'----'----_.___ __.__ _ __.__ ___, O 1923 1924 1925 1326 1927 Index of United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, (1913-100). Latest figures Jun e. All commodities 143.7. Prices Bank Credit than 200 million dollars lower than a month before. The decline was principally in the banks investment holdings and in loans secured by stocks and bonds. Loans for commercial, agricultural and industrial purposes decreased by about 45 million dollars. Demand for reserve bank credit in connection with settlements at the end of the fiscal year and increased currency requirements over the holiday period carried total discounts for member banks on July 6 to the highest level since the first of the year. Thereafter, largely in consequence of the return flow of currency from circulation, there was a decreased demand for member bank accommodation· and on July 20 total discounts were in somewhat smaller volume than four weeks earlier. Holdings of United States securities showed a slight increase during July. The demand for member banks credit decreased from the latter part of June to the middle of July and on July 20 the loans and investments of member banks in leading cities were more Conditions in the money market after seasonal firmness at the end of June were easier in July. The general level of wholesale commodities prices, according to t'he Bureau. of Labor statistics 'index, continued practically the same in June as in the two preceding months. The prices of agricultural commodities as a group declined slightly while the average for the non-agricultural group remained practically unchanged. There were declines between May and June in the prices of silk, iron and steel, nonferrous metals, building materials and rubber, and advances in grains, cotton, hides, and skins, and anthracite coal. During the first three weeks of July prices of wheat, bituminous coal, iron and steel, and rubber declined while those of livestock, cotton, wool, copper, and hides advanced. . . 10 10 200 200 e!U!ON!, or DOLLARS: !)ILUONS or DOlLAP.S . PERCENT PER CENT 50 - - - - - - - - - - f . . -- ---1-- --+- - --1 50 BUILDING CONTRACTS AWARDED - 1923 W,/h Seusonu/ Acliuslment Wti'hout Acl/vstment 1924 1925 MEMBER BANK CREDIT 1926 1927 Federal Reserve Board's indexes of value of Building Contracts awarded as reported by the F. W. Dodge Corporation, (1923-25 average mo). Latest figures June. Adjusted index 144, unadjusted I 54. , I. 0 1923 192(,. 1925 . 1926 . 1927 - 0 Monthly average of weekly figures for Banks in IOI leading Cities. Latest figures are averages for the first three weekly report dates in July . .