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MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Covering financial, industrial, and agricultural conditions in the Fourth Federal Reserve District Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Vol. 8 Cleveland, Ohio, October 1, 1926 With the opening of the fall season, financial, manu facturing1, and agricultural conditions in the Fourth Dis trict have all been favorable, this situation being un usually widespread. Credit conditions are thoroughly sound, the banks having ample resources to handle the usual seasonal requirements. In agriculture, improve ment has taken place in corn, the chief crop of the Dis trict, and the September crop report indicates that Ohio leads all other states in the yield per acre for the second successive year. The wheat, tobacco, and fruit crops are also good. In manufacturing industries, iron and steel operations continue at a high level; betterm ent has occurred in coal, rubber and tires, clothing, and shoes; and in paint and various miscellaneous lines, business is most ly normal or above. In distribution, retail trade as measured by department store sales made a 5 per cent gain in August over last year. Building still lags be hind 1925, but August permits declined only 8 per cent, as compared with 15 per cent for the first seven months. In most sections of the District, the supply of credit continues to be suf ficient for fall demands at moderate rates and with but little recourse to rediscounting at this bank. On September 15, discounts for member banks totaled only 44 millions, as compared with 69 millions a year ago. This is in sharp contrast to the country at large; the 12 Federal reserve banks com bined held 566 millions of discounted bills on September 15, as compared with 488 a year ago, or an increase of 16 per cent, as compared with a decrease of 36 per cent in the case of the Cleveland bank. In some of the agricultural sections of the District borrowing is reported to be heavy, but this is to be expected at this time of year. Interest rates in general have changed very little recently. Total loans, discounts and investments of 75 large city member banks in the Fourth District were $2,040,142>OM on September 15, an increase of 1.3 per cent for the month and of 5.9 per cent for the year. Most of the increase is due to the growth of loans se cured by stocks and bonds. Demand deposits on the same date were $1,084,000,000, and time deposits $821,000,000. Both of these items rose about 8 per cent from a year ago, but for the month demand deposits increased 2 per cent while time deposits remained practically un changed. Debits to individual accounts in 23 cities in the Dis trict for the four weeks ending September 15 increased 0.2 per cent over last year. Several cities gained sub stantially, among them Connellsville, Erie, Homestead, and Springfield. The largest declines were in Akron, Greensburg, Steubenville, Lima, and Lorain. Savings deposits of 70 large banks amounted to $908,991,749 on August 31, a gain of 1.2 per cent over July 31 and of 5.3 over last year. Commercial failures in the Fourth D istrict in Au gust numbered 138, as against 153 a year ago and 137 in July. Liabilities were $2,651,989 in August, 1926, and $4,871,170 in 1925. In the United States, there were 1,593 failures in August, 1,605 in July, and 1,513 a year ago. Financial Conditions No. 10 Gold reserves .................. Discounts ........................ Acceptances ....................... U. S. Securities ............ Total bills and securities Federal Reserve notes in circulation .................... Total deposits .................... Loans secured by stocks and bondB .................... All other ............................. Total loans ......................... Investments .................... Demand deposits .............. Time deposits .................... Iron and Steel Federal Reserve Bank Federal of Cleveland Reserve System (In Millions) {In Millions) Sept. Sept. Aug. Sept. Sept. Aug, 15, 16, 18, 15, 16, 18, 1926 1925 1926 1926 1925 1926 293 290 297 2,833 2,773 2,834 44 69 40 566 488 535 25 18 25 262 212 254 43 31 38 488 409 360 112 119 103 1,820 1,119 1,152 207 225 19S 1,724 1,677 1,686 193 180 196 2,417 2,230 2,272 Reporting Member Banks Fourth District United States (In Millions) (In Millions) Sept. Sept. Aujr. Sept. Sept. Aug. 15, 16, 18, 15, 16, 18, 1926 1925 1926 1926 1925 1926 572 492 558 5,582 5,124 5,459 815 792 815 8,735 8,474 8,606 1,387 1,284 1,873 14,816 18,598 14,066 654 642 642 5,655 6,464 5,620 1,084 1,009 1,064 13,274 12,965 12,845 821 752 822 5,684 5,185 5,788 The two most notable developments in the iron and steel industry during the past month have been the marked increase in the production of ingots and the growing firmness in the undertone of prices. Production has expanded as a result of maintained demand for steel from a multitude of miscellaneous consumers in ad dition to which has come quickened demand from a 2 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW number of important consumers. The approach of fall has stimulated buying from a variety of sources in cluding the automobile and farm implement industries. As a result of the upward turn in output of steel ingots in August, the summer of 1926 has now defi nitely scored as the most active summer in the his tory of the steel industry. During the three months of June, July and August, output aggregated 11,406,291 gross tons, a total eclipsing those for the corresponding months of all other years. The form er record for these three months was in the war spurred year of 1918 when approximately 11,030,000 gross tons of steel were made. During the first eight months of 1926, ingot production amounted to 31,916,175 gross tons compared with 28,888,541 gross tons in the corresponding period of 1925. The gain this year was 10.5 per cent. Op erations of steel mills during this year have averaged 85.87 per cent of theoretical capacity. This compared with 80 per cent of capacity operations in the corre sponding period of 1925. In August, the rate of ingot production per day reached 154,022 gross tons, being the highest for any August in the history of the country. Operations averaged 85.78 per cent of ca pacity. For 1926 to equal the total ingot production of 1925, average operations during the next four months would not have to exceed 65.5 per cent. The precedence of good buying during recent weeks indicates that the industry actually has not made any wide departure from the extended practice of hand-tomouth buying and the preponderance of evidence is that steel production is still going promptly into consump tion with no endangering accumulation of surplus stocks. The lack of heavy future buying is seen in the drop of unfilled orders of the United States Steel Corporation in August by 60,000 tons. This was significant only in showing that shipments during the month exceeded new bookings. The decline in orders in August was the smallest recession reported for any month this year. One of the most interesting phases of the steel situa tion at the moment is that of prices. During Septem ber it seemed evident that producers would be able to hold prices for contracts placed for fourth quarter. Advances were made in automobile sheets of about $2 per ton and new differentials are in effect on black and galvanized sheets, making advances of from $1 to $3 per ton on light gages and a reduction of $1 to $7 per ton on heavy gages. Because of the acceptance by buyers of firmer quotations in the recent past and the continued inflow of large scale business, producers are more confident than in many months of being able to maintain quotations at a more profitable level. IRON TRADE REVIEW composite of fourteen leading iron and steel products reflects the firmness which has crept into the long, ragged price situation. As of September 15, the index stood at $37.78, compared with $37.61 one month ago and with $37.35 one year ago. During August, production of pig iron as compiled by IRON TRADE REVIEW was at the daily average rate of 103,249 tons compared with 104,021 tons in July and 87,328 tons in August 1925. Furnaces in blast at the end of August showed a loss of two, the total number on the active list being 215 against 217 one month previously and compared with a total number of serviceable furnaces in the country of 372. This represents 57.8 per cent of the total number of service able furnaces against 58.4 per cent one month ago and compared with a theoretical normal of 60 per cent. Coal Increasing exports of coal to England have been accompanied by advancing prices, the Coal Age composite price of bituminous standing at $2.07 on September 10, as compared with $2.04 the preceding week and $1.96 on August 13. Prices of soft coal are still somewhat be hind a year ago, but on some grades are higher than at any time since last February. For the four weeks ending September 4, soft coal production in the coun try showed only the usual seasonal rise, in spite of the improved tone of the market. As a result, indica tions are that industrial stocks are comparatively low. The latest report of the National Association of P u r chasing Agents (August 1) shows industrial stocks at a lower level than at any time during 1924 and 1925. In the Fourth District, warm w eather during th e first p art of September kept down w inter orders by householders, but, allowing for seasonal factors, dealers report satisfactory business and a somewhat better outlook. Rubber and Tires Tire manufacturers experienced a heavy volume of business in August. Production schedules were increased until Akron factories were operating at capacity, in response to a strong demand. Prelim inary figures indi cate a marked increase in the production of inner tubes during August as compared with July, accompanied by an even greater gain in shipments. This m eans a further reduction of stocks in m anufacturers' hands during August, probably greater than seasonal, and m arks the third successive monthly decline from the abnor mally high stocks at the end of May. A fter allowing for seasonal slackening, business has held up well during the first part of September. The comparative stability of crude rubber prices is a favor able factor in the present situation; a year ago erratic price fluctuations were frequent, while the existing price of about 40 cents a pound has continued for the last three months with but little variation. It should be added, however, that there is a possible element of future instability in that the present British law pro vides for a 20 per cent reduction of crude rubber ex ports if the average price is below 21 pence a pound in the quarter ending October 31. The Department of Commerce has recently prepared 1925 statistics on the rubber industry, and puts the total output of rubber tires and inner tubes in the United States at $925,000,000, as compared with $644 000,000 in 1923. Ohio was far in the lead, both in the number of wage earners and the value of products* in fact, 60 per cent of the entire country’s wage earners THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW in tire industry were in Ohio. Detailed statistics 3 Further weakening in woolen goods prices took place during the month, but raw wool changed very little. 1925 Ohio Pennsylvania Total U. S. Cotton and cotton goods strengthened slightly after Number o f establishments ............ 44 11 126 50.350 3,065 81,670 Wage earners .................................... their previous decline, but remained m aterially below Wages ................................................. $76,491,597 $3,838,509 $120,614,081 last year. Silk rose from $5.92^ a pound on August Cost o f materials ........................ $330,554,798 $16,157,323 $559,939,811 Value of products ........................ $556,262,424 $25,784,062 $925,032,833 13 to $6.15 on September 10. Horsepower ......................................... 219,341 18,090 403,227 Sales of 17 reporting wholesale dry goods firms in the Fourth District in August ran behind last year, as Automobiles August production of passenger cars usual. The loss for the month was 3.8 per cent, and and trucks in the Unit d States showed for the first eight months was 5.6 per cent. Stocks a large increase over last year. The on August 31 were down 9.8 per cent from last year, figures for August a year ago, however, were unusually and open book accounts up 1.4 per cent. low, owing to curtailment of factory operations in con Sales in ready-made clothing departments of depart nection with new models. Cars produced during the ment stores in August were nearly all larger than a past month numbered 379,111, as against 216,087 a year ago. Men’s clothing gained 10.2 per cent, boys’ year ago, and trucks, 45,283 as compared with 36,364. wear 3.5, women’s dresses 8.9, furs 21.2, juniors’ and The total output was 424,394, the fourth month in 1926 to exceed the 400,000 mark, and the third highest girls’ ready-to-wear 6.7, misses’ ready-to-wear 2.2, hos iery 6.0, knit underwear 23.4, muslin and silk under month of the year to date, only March and April be wear 19.1, infants’ wear 4.8, petticoats 37.6, and aprons ing higher. Production of cars in the United States for the first and house dresses 26.2. Sweaters and waists and blouses eight months of 1926 amounted to 2,765,369, and that showed decreases of 15.1 and 17.4 per cent respectively. of trucks to 339,383. Last year’s figures were 2,431,202 and 305,503, respectively. Shoes Improvement continues in the shoe industry in this District. Both whole sale and retail sales in August were Paint R eports from a number of large paint manufacturers in the Fourth District ahead of last year by considerable margins. Factories indicates that business is normal or have been engaged in turning out new fall styles. Or ders have been maintained at a high level, although most better. In one case, activity has increased materially ly for immediate delivery, and one large firm reports during the summer months, with an absence of the usual the largest August shipments in years. Activity fell midsummer lull. In another, business is now better off slightly during the first week in September. than at any time of the year. All lines of paints and varnishes are sharing in this activity. The automobile Sales of reporting wholesale shoe firms in August lacquer trade continues excellent. Prices appear to were 12.3 per cent ahead of a year ago, and the first be fairly well stabilized, at least for the present. eight months of 1926 showed a gain of 8.5 per cent. Shoe sales in about 50 departm ent stores in the Dis The outlook for Fall is partly dependent upon the trict in August gained 5.8 per cent over 1925. The in amount of building to be done, and this in turn de crease in women’s and children’s shoes was 4.6 per pends somewhat upon weather conditions. W ith re cent, and in men’s and boys’, 7.3 per cent. spect to the latter, the outlook is better than last year, for the reason that in this District unusually heavy Prelim inary production figures for August indicate rains took place in September and early October a a gain of about 10 per cent over July in the Fourth year ago, followed by an early winter. These condi District. Final July figures wTere 7 per cent under tions interfered with outside painting. This year the last year. weather has been favorable for outside work during the first part of September. General Fall business is about normal in most M anufacturing lines of m anufacture in this District; Clothing Fall buying in various lines of cloth in others, it is better than normal. ing has been good, in many cases ex Only one or two trades report unsatisfactory conditions. ceeding that of last year. Customers Business of glass m anufacturers is stated to be some are still purchasing only for immediate needs, which what above normal owing to a strong demand. A gri has given rise to heavy orders for rush delivery in cultural implements are being sold at about the usual some lines. Manufacturers of men’s underwear report rate—in some cases a little better. Orders have been that advance orders for spring have been disappoint somewhat greater than last year in the paper trade. ing, but that fall business has been very good. Busi Business in machine tools is good, and is moderately ness in men's clothing, particularly the well-estab ahead of 1925, which wTas also a good year. Stove manufacturers in Cleveland are operating on a normal lished lines, compares favorably with last year. Orders for knit goods have been coming in above normal, all scale, with general conditions satisfactory. Inquiries for for immediate shipment. In women’s dresses, book electrical supplies are becoming more numerous, collec ings exceed those of a year ago, and the outlook is tions are good, and business running ahead of last satisfactory. Business in the worsted lines is reported year. Low prices and overproduction have hampered to be fair. the boxboard trade, conditions during the last few the are as follows: 4 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW months have been unsatisfactory, although a recent in crease in the price of raw materials was a favorable de velopment. Agriculture Potatoes show an increase of 27.2 per cent over last year's crop, but the acreage was 8 Yz per cent greater than a year ago. The condition of the crop is consider ably lower than the 10-year average. Ohio —According to the September forecasts of the State Department of Agriculture, Ohio will again lead the country in the yield of corn, the prospects having in creased by ten million bushels in the past month. Pres ent indications are for a total crop of some 138,000,000 bushels. The continued growing weather has permitted the late planting to m ature and in the southern portion of the state considerable cutting has already been done, and in other sections all danger from early frosts is past. Probabilities are, however, that there will be more than the usual amount of soft corn, owing to the late plant ing in many parts of the state. Oats —Threshing has been greatly retarded in central and southwestern Ohio by excessive rainfall, p art of the crop being lost. The estimates of the Department of Agriculture show a decrease of about 25 per cent from last year. Potatoes —Potato prospects have improved considerably in the past month, the present estimate for the state standing at 10,822,000 bushels. The estimate for the country at large shows an increase of 25,000,000 bushels, but is still 45,000,000 below an average crop. Pennsylvania Corn —The rains of the latter p art of August greatly improved the condition of the crop, but the official es tim ate of 61,600,000 bushels is still 6 per cent below the average for the past five years. In the northern part of the state the crop will not be properly dried before the end of September, and the sappy condition is proving quite a problem. Oats—Prospects for a bumper crop of oats were com pletely upset by the wet weather which seriously inter fered with harvesting and threshing. Total production is about 3 per cent below the 5-year average. Potatoes —Total estimated yield in the state is given as 23,801,000 bushels, or 5.5 per cent below the 5-year av erage. Blight and rot played havoc with many fields, the early planting showing the greatest loss. Kentucky Condition of all crops throughout the state is very sat isfactory. Estim ates of the Department of Agriculture show an increase of 19.2 per cent in the corn crop, 52.6 per cent in oats, and 30 per cent in Irish potatoes, over last year’s yield. The estimates on these three crops for the entire United States are as follows: corn 7.1 per cent decrease, oats, 16.4 per cent decrease, and Irish potatoes 7.9 per cent increase. W est Virginia Com prospects have improved somewhat in the past month, but the total estimated yield in the state is still some 20 per cent below last year. Oats shows a decrease of slightly more than 3 per cent in total yield, notwithstanding an increase of 12.8 per cent in acreage. Here as elsewhere in the District the loss was caused by continuous rains during the harvest and threshing season. Corn Tobacco The Kentucky burley crop was dam aged by rust to some extent in A u gust and early September, and exces sive rains were also experienced during this period. The crop as a whole, however, is still in good con dition; the quality and yield at present appear to be above the average, and the latest Government crop re port (September 1) indicates a probable output of 318 000,000 pounds, as compared with 274,530,000 a year ago. This report puts burley acreage at practically the same figure as last year, so that the 1926 yield per acre has shown m aterial improvement. Estim ated prob able production of all types of tobacco in Kentucky in 1926 is 381,866,000 pounds, compared with the fiveyear average of 411,890,000 in 1921-1925. Building For the fifth successive month, the value of building perm its in the U nited States during August was less than for the corresponding month in the preceding year. P e r mits in 181 cities reporting to B radstreet’s totaled $314. 138,749 in August, as compared with $341,704,658 a year ago and $300,000,000 in July. The decrease from last year was 8 per cent, and for the first eight m onths 1926 ran 5 per cent behind 1925. In the Fourth District, August perm its in 27 cities aggregated $25,622,070, a loss of 7.8 per cent from August, 1925. Large gains occurred in Canton, Cleve land, Covington, Lexington, Newark, and Pittsburgh, while m aterial declines were shown by Akron Cin cinnati, Columbus, Dayton, Erie, Lima, Springfield, W heel ing, and Youngstown. For the first eight months, the District decreased 14.2 per cent. The only cities show ing gains were Akron, Ashtabula, and Youngstown. Building Operations August, 1926 (Valuation of Permit#) August % change Jan.-Aug. 1926 from 1925 1926 A kron........................... $1,083,684 — 32.5 $11,159 936 A shtabula................... 49,395 + 5.5 846 497 B arberton................... 84,937 — 14.0 581 381 445,298 + 17 .3 3,904 707 C anton......................... C incinnati................... 2,080,045 — 21.1 19,568*330 Cleveland proper. . . 5,633,875 + 1 4 .0 47,353,725 “ suburbs: Cleveland Heights 546,830 — 23.8 4,854 317 East Cleveland.. . 78,858 — 63.7 835*961 Euclid...................... 178,367 + 5 1 ,4 1,207*158 Garfield H eights.. 210,300 — 19.3 1,657 050 Lakewood................ 259,035 — 47.0 3 027 239 Parm a...................... 190,360 — 7.4 1 207 718 Rocky R iver......... 40,615 + 3.4 *563 535 Shaker H eights. . . 1,326,800 + 4 3 .8 5 224*205 Columbus.................... 3,645,100 — 31.6 18,’356*200 Covington, K y......... 632,300 + 534.2 1,700*900 D ayton........................ 1,746,033 — 24.6 6,392’,860 Erie, P a....................... 604,275 - 4 1 . 6 3,787,975 Lexington, Ky.......... 105,655 + 3 8 .0 1 397 213 Lima .......................... 36,605 — 73.7 1,027* 111 M an sfie ld ................. 222,925 + 10 5 .6 2 I P 011 N ew ark....................... 34,045 + 2 3 .8 ’312 500 P ittsburgh, P a ......... 4,506,070 + 3 5 .0 28,106 466 Springfield.................. 78,555 — 33.6 998 784 T o le d o ...................... 1,162,518 — 12.1 9,630 190 Wheeling, W. V a.. . 54,450 — 50.7 1,110^65 Young«town.............. 585,140 — 46.9 7!l07,692 T otal......................... 25,622,070 7.8— 184,062,526 .% change * 10,972559,84f8Om+ 1915 3 .7 670,397 679,502 6,297,460 22,332,825 47,902,750 7,194,500 3,001,153 1,287,365 2,490,650 4,986,140 1,251,750 629,162 7,148,255 21,097,400 1,921,150 10,079,868 6,116,102 1,556,789 1,067,271 2.617,895 430,935 29,854,482 1,136,923 12,777,398 2,717,440 6,437,595 214,448,005 + 2 6 .3 — 14.4 — 38.0 — 12.4 — 1.1 — 32.5 — 72.1 6.2 — 33.5 — 39.3 — 3.5 — 10.4 — 26.9 — 13.0 — 11.5 — 36.6 — 38.1 — 10.3 — 3.8 — 18.2 —27.5 5.9 “—-12.2 — 24.6 —’5 9,1 — +10.4 — U.2 5 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW The lumber trade in the Fourth District is about normal or a little below. Business is less than last year, but this is natural in view of the tremendous amount of build ing done during the last half of 1925. Some over production in hardwoods during 1926 has been an ad verse factor, but recent improvement in the hardwood trade is reported. Retail yards in the Pittsburgh sec tion have been buying lightly and carrying small stocks. Cement production in August for Ohio, W estern Penn sylvania and West Virginia totaled 1,757,000 barrels, as compared with 1,810,000 a year ago. The Aberthaw index of industrial building costs de clined one point during August, standing at 197 on September 1. This was the second successive monthly decrease of one point and was caused by lower prices of cement and some falling-off in lumber. Building Materials ing losses of more than 15 per cent were woolen dress goods, 27.7 per cent; women's suits, 68.3; skirts, 19.7; waists and blouses, 17.4; sweaters, 15.1; musical instru ments, 34.7. August in this District is the biggest month in the year for fur sales, accounting for almost 20 per cent of the year's business. The gain over last year in this departm ent of 21.2 per cent is therefore particularly noteworthy. A ugust is also the second largest month for furniture sales, which gained 5.2 per cent over last year. Sales of wholesale hardware, drugs, and shoes in August increased over Au gust, 1925, but those of groceries and dry goods declined. There was a particularly large gain in the case of shoes—12.3 per cent. For the first eight months, drugs and shoes increased and the others de Retail Sales of 68 departm ent stores in Au- creased. Trade gust gained 4.9 per cent over August, This bank's index number of sales of 101 wholesale 1925. For the first eight months, the firms in the Fourth District combined (1919-1923-100) increase was 0.4 per cent. All reporting cities except stood at 87 in August, as compared with 86 a year Akron, New Castle and Wheeling shared in the former gain, particularly large increases occurring in Cin ago, 87 in 1924, 103 in 1923, and 93 in 1922. cinnati and Dayton. For the eight months, Dayton showed the largest gain, followed by Cincinnati, Columbus and Mineral Resources According to the Bureau of Mines, the Youngstown. Both Cleveland and Pittsburgh gained for states in the Fourth District rank high the month, but were slightly behind 1925 for the eight of the Fourth D istrict in mineral production. Pennsylvania months' period. An unusually large number of separate departments in 1924 produced 21.64 per cent of the principal mineral had greater August sales than a year ago, only 20 out products of the United States, and ranked first. W est of 52 showing declines. Nearly all of the ready-to-wear Virginia ranked fourth, with 6.57 per cent; Ohio sixth, clothing lines were higher, in many cases having very with 5.33 per cent; and Kentucky eighth, with 2.58 per substantial increases. Miscellaneous lines, such as do cent. mestics, jewelry, unbrellas and parasols, and books and The following table shows the value in 1924 of the stationery, also experienced sizeable increases. D epart principal mineral products for the United States and the ments with gains of more than 15 per cent were as four states which fall entirely or partly in the Fourth follows: umbrellas, 23.6; furs, 21.2; knit underwear, 23.4; muslin underwear, 18.2; silk underwear, 19.2; petti District: (Products not shown separately are included coats, 37.6; aprons and house dresses, 26.2. Those show in “Total.”) Kentucky 2,386,557 $* 2,386,557 ............... 7,519,239 ............... 84,733,000 84,733,000 Wholesale Trade Ohio V ennsylvania West Virginia Asphalt.......................................................... 9,064 $ ................ $$ 9,064 C e m e n t....................................................... 7,836,325 69,693,517 ........... 7,836,325 Clay Products............................................ 97,831,641 52,167,366 15,625 0” 97,831,641 Coal— A nthracite....................................... ............... ........ 477,230,852 ’ 62,011,000 Coal—Bituminous................................... 62,011,000 295*164*000 185 y'OOO Ferroalloys................................................ .............. 1,769,077 24,618,060 1,769,077 Gypsum...................................................... "— 5,620,099 Lime............................................................. 9,511,270 58,228 1,884,682 Natural G as................................................ __ } __ ^___ 45,634,806 ^68,000,000 wu 3,432,000 24,203,000 45.546.000 769,000 1,148,000 Natural-gas Gasoline......................'i^ 4 8 ’o00 *2)266,000 ^ 1 5 4 000 2,266,000 7,154,000 Petroleum..................... '14,592,000 ‘ ............ 17,165,000 27.025.000 20,840,000 Sait.................................... ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; 3,641,585 ................ 258,089 Sand and Gravel.................................. 7,441,659 1,629,973 10,927,752 2,888,833 Stone.............................................. 2,786,249 11,280,865 17,966,836 3,040,154 Total, eliminating duplications and $120,510,775 $249,049,648 $1,011,630,879 United States % Cols. 1-4 to Col. 5 $18,263,346 266,053,267 415,779,378 4 i "6 477,230,852 100.0 1,062,626,000 59.0 43,249,948 42,724,507 39,596,423 '43*2 253,856,000 55.6 82,233,000 13.8 1,022,683,000 7.8 25,747,048 97,013,115 23.6 161,870,113 21.7 $5,305,800,000 6 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Retail and Wholesale Trade Percentage Increase or Decrease SALES SALES Aug. 1926 Jan.-Aug. 1926 No. of compared with compared with Aug. 1925 Jan.-Aug. 1925 Reports D E PA R T M E N T STORES — 4 .4 1.3 A kron...................................................... ........ 5 + 9 .7 3.1 C anton............................................................ 3 + 13.1 C incinnati.............. ....................................... 7 + 5.9 + 2.0 Cleveland....................................................... 6 1.1 + 7.6 + 1.4 Columbus....................................................... 7 + 18.0 + 1 2 .7 D ayton................................................... ........3 — 5.0 New C astle................................................... 3 — 10.9 + 5.6 P ittsb u rg h ............................................. ........ 7 — 1.0 + 0.5 T oledo............................................................. 5 — 1.4 — 7.8 — 4.2 W heeling........................................................ 5 + 8.8 Y oungstow n.................................................. 3 + 1.1 + 8.7 Other C ities......................................... ........ 14 + 4.9 D istrict........................................................... 68 + 4.9 + 0 .4 W EA RIN G A PPA REL + 9.7 C incinnati...................................................... 6 + 4.7 + 23 .5 Cleveland....................................................... 4 + 7,6 Other C ities......................................... ........ 9 + 9.1 + 1.6 D istrict........................................................... 19 + 15.2 + 4.8 F U R N IT U R E — 16.0 C anton............................................................ 3 — 2.9 C incinnati...................................................... 11 — 10.7 C leveland.............................................. ........ 9 — 1.8 C olum bus.............................................. ........ 16 D ay to n ........................................................... 5 + 7.8 T oledo............................................................. 6 — 13.3 Other C ities......................................... ........ 9 — 7.6 D istrict........................................................... 59 — 5.9 CH A IN STORES* Drugs— D is tric t......................................... 3 + 0.2 + 4.1 Groceries— D istrict.................................... 5 + 6.8 + 0.2 W HOLESALE G RO CERIES — 9.8 — 5.2 A kron...............................................................3 C leveland.............................................. ........ 4 — 1.7 — 5.0 — 7.3 — 1.5 E rie.................................................................. 4 P ittsb u rg h ......................................................10 — 9.8 — 6.9 T oledo.................................................... .........3 — — 0.3 8.1 Youngstow n......................................... ........ 3 — 6.8 — 12.1 O ther C ities................................................. 27 + 3.1 + 1.2 D istrict................................................... ........ 54 — 2.5 — 2. 6 W HOLESALE DRY G O O D S ... 17 — 3.8 — 5.6 W HOLESALE D R U G S .............................16 + 6.7 + 1.3 W HOLESALE H A R D W A R E................. 16 — 1.8 + 5.9 + 12.3 W HOLESALE SH O ES............................... 6 + 8.5 *Sales per individual unit operated. Index Numbers of Trade in the Fourth Federal Reserve District (Average Monthly Salee for the Five-Year Period 1919-1923 inclusive—100) * Augu8t August August Aueust 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 Department Stores (52)* 80 97 86 89 93 Wholesale Drugs (15)* ................ 96 109 102 109 111 Wholesale Dry Goods (16)*....... 100 123 86 84 80 Wholesale Groceries (49)* .......... 89 95 85 84 82 .W holesale Hardware (15)* ....... 96 108 96 93 99 Wholesale Shoes (6)* ................ 73 76 52 62 77 Wholesale— All (101)* ................ 93 103 87 86 87 Chain Drugs (3)*t ........................ 95 107 103 106 106 ^Number of firms. |P er individual unit operated. Debits to Individual Accounts (In thousand* of dollars) 4 weeks 1926 to 1925 to date date Sept. 15 (Dec. 31- (Dec. % 311926 change Sept. 15) Sept. 16) 76,234 — 15.1 796,844 738,852 9,392 + 2.9 94,509 92,767 40,811 — 2.1 414,877 409,812 286,344 — 0 .4 3,139,270 2,940,091 609,600 + O.S 6,293,928 5,839,878 133,744 + 2.1 1,360,465 1,220,308 Connellsville, P a .... 5,265 + 29 .1 45,959 39,359 * 77,389 749,953 666,759 34,485 + 13.0 301.916 288,835 Greensburg, Pa........ 18,098 — 10.3 176,368 171,749 Hom estead, Pa......... 4,291 + 11.1 39,655 39,203 Lexington, K y.......... 16,608 + 1.6 204,036 202,377 14,259 — 9.6 139,944 158,460 6,060 — 9.1 52,693 58,509 Oil City, Pa.............. 12,745 — 4.9 121,377 128,572 Pittsburgh, Pa.......... 754,548 — 0 .9 7,980,388 7,803,469 Springfield.................. 23,185 + 16.2 208,414 185,312 Steubenville............... 9,820 — 21.6 94,512 101,801 T oledo.......................... 191,988 + 9.7 1,885,580 1,745,540 W arren......................... 12,994 — 3.8 113,974 115,547 Wheeling, W. V a.. . 38,023 + 2.6 398.917 377,593 Y oungstow n.............. 63,324 + 3.0 591,998 575,780 Zanesville.................... 10,680 — 0.1 108,365 104,628 T otal............... 2,449,887 + 0.2 25,313,942 24,005,201 *No change. Fourth District Business Statistics (All figures are for Fourth D istrict unle#8 otherwise specified.) August August ■% change 1926 1925 Bank Debits (23 cities) 2,808 2,684 + 4.6 Millions of dollars Savings Deposits (end of month) 626,827 Ohio (43 banks) + 6.7 668,992 Thous. of dollars “ “ “ 236,616 W estern Pennsylvania (27 banks) 239,999 + 1.4 “ “ “ 863,443 + 5.3 T otal (70 banks) 908,991 153 — 9.8 138 Commercial Failures— Num ber A ctual Num ber 4,871 —45.6 2,652 Thous. of dollars “ “ — Liabilities “ “ “ 2,488 + 8.2 Postal Receipts—9 cities 2,691 “ “ “ 86,018 + 2.1 87,808 Sales— Life Insurance— Ohio and Pa. “ “ “ 19,457 20,295 + 4.3 “ — Dept. Stores— (54 firms) “ “ “ — 2.7 7,044 7,241 “ — Wholesale Grocery (49 firms) 11 “ “ 3,493 — 3.8 3,359 “ — “ Dry Goods — (17 “ ) “ “ “ 2,032 1,919 + 5.9 “ — “ H ardware — (16 " ) “(< t“< << 1,771 1,749 + 1.3 “ — “ Drugs — (16 “ ) 27,802 25,622 — 7.8 Building Perm its, V aluation— 27 cities 3,196 2,704 + 18 .2 Thous. of Tons Production — Pig Iron, U. S. “ “ “ 4,005 3,424 + 17.0 “ — Steel Ingots, U. S. “ — Automobiles, U. S. 394,111 221,739 + 7 7 .7 Actual Passenger Cars <1 Num««ber 47,683 36,696 + 2 9 .9 Trucks 19,118 17,530 + 9.1 Thous. of Tons “ — Bituminous Coal, 4th Diat. 1,757 1,810 — 2.9 “ “ barrels “ — Cement: Ohio, W. Va.( Wn. Pa. 1,971* 1,914s + 3.0* “ — Petroleum, Ohio, Pa., Ky. * * — 6 .8 a “ “ pairs “ -— Shoes, 4th Dist. 3,746’ 4,266a “ “ casings — 12.2* — Tires, U. S. 4,093 4,203 — 2.6 “ “ tons Bituminous Coal Shipm ents (from Lake Erie ports) 7,655 6,228 + 2 2 .9 Iron Ore Receipts (at Lake Erie ports) m onths’ average 1 July Jan.-July t - ' Confidential 4l iFigures Jan.-Aug. 1926 23,772 655,014* 237,287* 892,3011 1,420 29,998 23,436 764,021 175,901 54,065 23,671 16,467 14,721 184,063 26,266 31,916 2,893,058 359,554 149,552 9,997 12,961 * 4 27,080* 18,710 24,640 Jinm T 22,577 610,463* 230,3131 840,776* 1,303 31,595 21,631 746,311 176,178 55,665 25,073 16,773 13,800 214,448 24,350 28,898 2,514,863 307,975 134,561 10,047 12,889* 4 28,0133 16,371 24,660 . % change + 7.8 + 1.9 1.2 +++ 6.8 7.8 + 11.5 + 16.8 + 12.5 + 4.5 + 2.7 + 1.2 + 0.8 — 11.7 — 9 .9 — 5.6 + 2.3 + 12.5 — 7.2 + 8.0 — 1.4 4- 5.6 + 2.8 + 3.6 TT7 % change + S3 + 7.3* + + + — 3 . Ox 6 . 1* 9 .0 5.1 + 8.3 + 2.4 — 0.2 — 2.9 — 5.6 — 1. 8 + 6.7 — 14.2 + 7.9 +10.4 + 15.0 +16.7 +11.1 — 0.5 + 0 .6* —■ 1.5* — 3 .3 ’ + 1 4 .3 — 0. 8 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 7 Summary of National Business Conditions Index of 22 basic commodities, adjusted for seasonal variation (1919—100). Latest figure, August—116. PtftCtNT PERCENT (By the Federal Reserve Board) Industrial activity and distribution of commodities continued in large volume in August at a level higher than a year ago. The general level of wholesale prices receded further in August, reflecting price declines for agricultural commodities. Production The index of production in basic industries, which is adjusted for the usual seasonal variations, declined slightly in August but this decline was accounted for by the fact that there were five Sundays in August as against four in July. Textile mill activity and production of steel ingots, zinc, and petroleum increased, while the output of pig iron, lumber, coal, copper, cement, and sugar was smaller than the month before. Automobile pro duction increased considerably in August and was larger than in any month since April. Factory employment and pay rolls, after declining in July, increased in August, as is usual at this season of the year. Building activity, as measured by contract awards in 37 states east of the Rocky Mountains, was in larger volume in August than in July or in any other previous month with the exception of August, 1925. In eastern and southeastern states the volume of building was smaller in August than a year ago, while in the middle west contracts awarded were larger. Contracts for residential struc tures were smaller than last year, while those for industrial buildings and for public works and public utilities were substantially larger. Trade Index of U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (1913— 100, base adopted by Bureau). Latest figure, August—149.2. Or------ — Payroll p\ "N . V jlw'ploym tjTi’ 0 FACT<DRY ElSdPLOYMENT PAYROLL Af40 1 ol---- -----1___ i _ .... 1922 1925 i 1926 Federal Reserve Board’s indexes of factory employment and payrolls (1919— 100). Latest figures* August—employment 94.4, pay rolls 107.7. Monthly averages of daily figures for the 12 Federal Reserve Banks. Latest figures are averages of first 23 days in September. Volume of wholesale trade and of sales at departm ent stores increased in August and retail sales were larger than a year ago. Stocks of dry goods and shoes carried by wholesale firms were smaller at the end of August than last year, while those of groceries and hardware were larger. Inventories of departm ent stores increased in preparation for autumn trade, but this increase was less than is usual at this season and at the end of the month stocks were smaller than a year ago. Freight car loadings in August continued higher than in the corresponding months of previous years and for the weeks of August 28 and September 4 exceeded all previous weekly records. Loadings of grain continued large and shipments of mer chandise in less-than-car-load lots, miscellaneous commodities, ore, and coke were considerably larger than in the corresponding period of previous years. Prices Wholesale commodity prices, according to the index of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, declined by over 1 per cent in August, reflecting largely price decreases for grains, livestock, and meat products. Prices of clothing materials, fuels, and metals increased between July and August, while prices of cotton, wool, sugar, building m aterials, and rubber showed little change. In the first half of September prices of grains, cattle, sugar, bituminous coal, and coke advanced while prices of raw cotton, silver, and bricks declined. Bank Credit Increased demand for bank credit in connection with the harvesting and m arketing of crops and autumn trade, together with an increase in loans on securities, was reflected in a considerable growth between the middle of August and the middle of September in loans of member banks in leading cities. The banks’ holdings of investments also increased, though there was a decrease in investments at banks in New York City, and total loans and investments on September 15 were larger than at any previous time. The volume of reserve bank credit increased by about $90,000,000 be tween August 18 and September 22, partly in response to seasonal demands for currency. Discounts for member banks rose in September to the high est figure for the year, and acceptance holdings also increased, while United States securities declined by about $55,000,000. Money rates continued to rise in September. Rates on commercial paper advanced by one-fourth per cent to 4%-4% per cent, and rates on security loans also averaged higher than in August. Index of National Business Conditions The base (100) for all the charts except the first is the monthly average for the 5 years 1919-1923 inclusive. For the first chart, the base is the monthly average for the three years 1921-1923. VOLUME OF CHECK PAYMENTS percent. 200 200 ISO 150 yv 100 v v w ' too SO 50 O 1921 1922 1924 192S 1926 0 COMMERCIAL FAILURES .... PERCENT PtRCENT. 200 J 150 too 1VV ft 200 fl V 'V. 100 | jt kw/ 50 50 O 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 o EXPORTS PERcent >921 COAL 1922 OF — 9 i3 M E R C H A N D ISE -ESasem 1954 > 925 PRODUCTION J tv\ ^V/-\Vf V I/w 1921 1922 1923 (92* 1925 1926 LATEST FIGURES 1. Member Bank Credit: Loans, August—122. Investments, August 138. 2. Member Bank Deposits: Demand, August—119. Time, August—192. 3. Check Payments, except New York, July—133. 4. Commercial Failures, August—124. 5. Retail Trade, July—88. 6. Wholesale Trade, July—92. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Building Permits, August— 189. Car Loadings, August—131. Exports of Merchandise, August__81 Bituminous Coal Production, A ugust^-ll* Pig Iron Production, August—128 Automobile Production, August—204. 1926