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The Monthly Business Review Covering financial, industrial, and agricultural conditions in the Fourth Federal Reserve District VOL. 6 CLEVELAND, OHIO, NOVEMBER 1, 1924 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of CLEVELAND D. C. Wills. Chairman of the Board (COMPILED OCTOBER 22, 1924) NO. 11 2 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW Editorial H ILE business throughout the country is improving, the rapidity of improvement has not been as great as hoped for in various quarters, and as a result, the general feeling does not appear to be as buoyant as was the case two or three months ago. When, however, business developments during the past month in the whole country, including the Fourth District, are analyzed, it is apparent that the upward trend of the preceding months was continued throughout September. Furthermore, in the case of several important business barometers, the improvement during September cannot be attributed entirely to seasonal factors. Thus, car loadings caught up with last year after havinr run about 10 per cent behind for the preceding six months; automobile production increased over the previous month, in the face of a normal seasonal decline; building permits almost held their own with August, whereas for the preceding five years there was an average decline of 9 per cent; and coal production increased steadily since August 1, as against a declining tendency shown during September by three of the four years 1920 to 1923. Viewing the Fourth District separately, favorable factors also predominated during September. The iron and steel industry continued to show moderate improvement in spite of the uncer tainties caused by the new pricing system. 1 extile manufacturing showed a seasonal increase, while a gradual improvement was noted in several other lines of manufacture. The rubber industry slackened, owing to seasonal factors. Coal mines increased their operations with the approach of winter. Employment on the whole showed a slight increase. Department store sales registered a marked gain over August compared with what might normally be expected. Agricultural conditions in this District are not cs favorable on the whole as in some other sections of the country. While fair crops of wheat and oats have been harvested and satisfactory prices received, the corn crop is later than usual and even with the recent gccd weather, there is still considerable doubt as to whether the crop will mature. The tobacco situation is depressed on account of the large unsold stocks held over from last year. W THE M ONTH LY B U S I N E S S REVIEW Commercial Failures Lower Bills discounted by the Federal Rerserve Bank of Cleveland declined from 29l/> million on September 17 to \9 l/ 2 million on October 8, but rose to 26 million on October 15. The general level was slightly higher than for the preceding month. Government securities held showed an increase, amounting to $64,749,000 on October 15, as compared with $61,744,000 on Septem ber 17. Total earning assets stood at $104,316,000 on October 15, as compared with $99,334,000 a month previous. During the same period gold reserves in creased from $297,298,000 to $303,395,000; member bank deposits rose from $178,616,000 to $182,005,000, and notes in circulation increased from $206,761,000 to $212,582,000. Loans of reporting member banks in the Fourth District amounted to $1,155,723,000 on October 8, an increase of about $7,(XX),000, or 0.6 per cent, during the month. Investments amounted to $655,356,000, an increase of nearly $10,000,000 or 1.5 per cent. De mand deposits declined from $1,008,677,000 to $992,715,000, or 1.6 per cent, while time deposits rose from $691,464,000 to $692,814,000, or 0.2 per cent. The reserve ratio on October 15 for the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland stood at 77.1 per cent, as compared with 78.2 per cent on September 17. For the System, the reserve ratio declined during the month from 78.5 per cent to 77.1 per cent. On October 14, it was announced that the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis reduced its rediscount rate from 4 ^ to 4 per cent. The rates of the other banks remained unchanged during the month. Saving deposits of 66 banks in the Fourth District on September 30 amounted to $776,643,647, an in crease of 0.5 per cent over August 31, and an increase of 8.5 per cent over September 30, 1923. Commercial failures in the United States numbered 1,306 during September, according to R. C. Dun and Company. This was a decrease of 214 from August and was the lowest number for any month since September, 1923, when there were 1,226 failures. Since early in 1924, the trend in the number of failures has been downward. In September, liabilities amounted to $34,296,276, a decrease of 21 million from August, but an increase of 5j4 million over September of last year. In the Fourth District, there were 102 failures in September with liabilities of $3,259,688, a decrease from August of 56 in number and about $360,000 in liabilities. As compared with September, 1923, there was an increase of 7 in number and $518,003 in liabili ties. Im provem ent N oted in Steel Industry in Spite of New M ethod of Price Quoting Despite the confusion caused by the inauguration of new pricing methods on steel, market conditions in steel are maintaining some measure of improvement. That the situation should be moving forward, even though slightly, is accepted as reflecting the fundamental sound ness of conditions in the industry. The improvement that has come to the market in a steady, though unspec tacular way, since the upward turn was made in July, is set forth clearly by production records. Steel ingot output in September, when the country was producing at the rate of 33,670,000 tons annually, or 10.7 per cent above August, had risen 50.5 per cent over the low point of July. Production in Sep tember was running at 67 per cent of the high mark of the year in March. Pig iron production in Septem ber, as compiled by Iron Trade Review, showed a gain of 12.7 per cent on a daily average over August and was at the rate of 24,250,000 tons annually. The September production represented 61.2 per cent of the high point in March. The number of active fur naces at the end of September had increased by 24 over the preceding month. Another gauge of the recent improvement is supplied by the unfilled orders of the Steel Corporation, which on the first of October, were approximately 300,000 tons greater than two months previously. The gains in unshipped bookings by the leading producer in August and September followed six consecutive monthly losses. Not in many years has the steel industry faced such a process of readjustment of settled practices and trade alignments as that which it is now weathering as a result of the agreement of the Steel Corporation to comply with the cease-and-desist orders of the Federal Trade Commission to abandon the time honored system of quoting steel prices on a common Pittsburgh base. This position of compliance without carrying the con troversy into the courts, announced by the Steel Cor poration late in September, has been followed by the establishment by this producer of numerous price bases on various products at such points where production has been centered. This action has set a new basis of competition in various lines which independent com panies gradually are being forced to follow. This has brought much uncertainty and confusion and many com plications, and settled practice has not yet been fully re established. Under the new conditions, some consumers of steel are favored by reason of their location near new basing points. Others have been put at a competitive disadvantage because of this fact. Many independent producers of finished steel likewise feel that their posi tion has been rendered unfavorable by the tendency to ward localization of competition which the new condi tions tend to effect. All this uncertainty has made buyers feel their way, awaiting the stabilization of mar keting methods, and this has put some check upon the volume of new business. 4 THE MONTHLY B U SIN E SS REVIEW Railroad demand remains the conspicuous feature of the steel market. Buying of equipment, rails and track material by the transportation systems has been going forward with little or no pause. During September, the railroads placed a total of 27,600 cars, which is the largest for any month, with two exceptions, in several years. In August, they bought 6,000 cars after having done little or nothing in May, June and July. In the nine months of the year to date, the rail roads have ordered approximately 108,000 cars, as compared with 103,000 cars for the entire calendar year of 1923. Locomotive orders have been better, although not heavy. Contracting for rails for 1925 re quirements has continued to be heavy, and probably 500,000 tons have been closed during the past thirty days. Requirements for building steel are keeping up well, with total fabricated awards in September of 174,003 tons, or 67 per cent of total shop capacity. In some lines the demand is the best it has been in some years. Requirements of the automobile industry have not ex panded appreciably but still are running on a large scale. S Prices, despite the recent uncertainties, have fluctuated within narrow limits. For the week of October 16 Iron Trade Review composite of fourten leading iron and steel products stood at $38.65. Four weeks previ ously it was $38.95. Shipments of pig iron to foundries and steel works are still growing gradually and are in excess of the in crease of production of merchant furnaces. As a re sult. some further tonnaged is coming off the unusually large stocks of iron in the hands of selling producers. Pig iron prices are well held but show no buoyancy due to the condition of stocks. Bitum inous Coal Situation Improves An improvement in bituminous coal markets has re cently been manifested, demand has stiffened, and price advances have occurred in many localities. According to Government estimates, stocks of soft coal in the hands of commercial consumers have been decreasing during the past few months, amounting to 47 million tons on September 1 as against 51 million tons on June 1 and 56 million tons on September 1, 1923. The daily average production of bituminous coal lias shown a steady increase since the first of August, according to figures furnished by the Geological Survey. In comparing this movement with last year, it is notice able that in 1923 production stood at practically the same level early in October as on August 1, there hav ing been an increase up to September 6 which was fol lowed by a decline. The result has been that on October 11, average daily production for 1924 had almost caught up with that of 1923, the two years being nearer together than at any time since March 1. Mine operations during September throughout the country continued to increase, with very few exceptions. The Pocahontas and Tug River regions of West Vir ginia, for example, were operating at about 75 per cent capacity on October 4, as compared with about 64 per cent on September 6. Mines in Iowa and Wash ington were operating at 77 per cent of capacity on October 4, the highest rate of any in the country, while southern Ohio mines continued to be the lowest in this respect, with 23 per cent of capacity. In the Fourth District, as in the country at large, conditions are less depressed than in recent months. Retailers and jobbers report the usual seasonal improve ment in business, and as the winter season approaches, mines in various sections of the District are increasing operations. This is particularly noticeable in the Pitts burgh district, where the rail mines increased from 43 to 53 per cent of capacity between September 6 and October 4, and the combined rail and river mines increased from 38 to 52 per cent. Central Kentucky mines were also operating on a considerably larger scale on October 4, the Hazard fields having risen from 60 to 70 per cent of capacity, and the Harlan fields from 56 to 70 per cent. The Panhandle region of West Virginia showed an increase of from 51 to 58 per cent while southern Ohio mines, though still operating at a very low rate of capacity, rose from 16 to 23 per cent during the month. Northern and central Ohio, as well as the Westmoreland fields in Pennsylvania, showed practically no change. Anthracite production, which had been hampered bv floods, showed an increase during the week ending October 11, although somewhat below the 1923 figure The total September output is estimated to be 7,601,000 tons, according to the Geological Survey. The same source estimates the production of beehive coke at 129 000 tons for the week ending October 11, a decline of 9,000 tons from the preceding week, but a gain of 18 000 tons over the week ending September 13. 70 r>e’Z cent of this coke was produced in Pennsylvania and Ohio. A statement issued by the Ore and Coal Exchange shows that during September a total of 3,375,450 net tons of bituminous coal were loaded into vessels at Great Lakes ports, as compared with 3,640,872 net tons in 1923. For the first nine months of 1924, the figure was 17,235,648 net tons, as compared with 23 268,635 net tons for the corresponding period in 1923 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVIEW Large Stocks are Depressing Factor in Oil Industry Although the country's crude output has been drop ping during the past few weeks, and is now about 90,000 barrels a day less than at the high mark for this year, which was reached the early part of August, this production, plus imported crude, is sufficient to meet consumptive needs, and excessive crude stocks are not being drawn upon. The National Petroleum News estimates that there are now 500 million barrels of crude and refined oil in storage, a figure of some 200 million barrels* in excess of what would probably constitute an ample supply. This over-production of both crude and refined products is responsible for re ductions within the past month in retail gasoline prices. According to the index number of the United States Labor Bureau, this commodity now stands at about the 1913 pre-war level for many localities and at slightly less for some districts in the country. On October 14, the announcement was made by the Prairie Oil and Gas Company that it would resume the buying of all the crude oil coming from its connections, in place of buying and storing half for the producers' account, as had been done for a few months. While superficially, at least, this would indicate a material improvement in the crude market, leaders within the industry have taken every occasion to wrarn against too optimistic a feeling and against active resumption of development work. For the first time in the last six years, automobile production during September showed an increase over August, as may be seen in the table given below. This bank's index of automobile production (1919-1923=100) stood at 139 in September as compared with 134 (revised) in August, a gain of 5 points. For the five years, 1919 to 1923, the index for September showed an average decline of 14 points from that of August. These figures demonstrate that at a time when a seasonal decline might be expected, production has actually in creased. In analyzing the curve of production for the last six years, it is found that with the exception of 1919, the peak of production each year was reached in March, A pril, or May, and that thereafter a more or less marked decline took place until the end of the year. The upward curve in most cases was short and sharp, beginning about January and lasting three or four months. The first part of 1924 conformed to the gen- eral rule, the index rising rapidly from the low point of 146 in December to the peak of 184 in March. The downward swing which followed, however, was of shorter duration than was generally the case in the pre ceding years. July, with 127, has been the low point so far, and both August and September have shown a gain. The impetus for this gain lias doubtless been due in large measure to the general improvement in business and the working off of surplus stocks bv dealers; nevertheless, the question arises as to whether the pres ent upward movement will be continued throughout the rest of the year in spite of the usual tendency toward a seasonal decline. Truck manufacturers in the Fourth District report but little change during the month. In general there has been a slight improvement in orders, which, how ever, is not yet as great as was anticipated two or three months ago. Autom obile Production Shows Increase Autom obile Production 1923-1924 Figures Represent Practically Complete Production and Are Based Upon Reports Received by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in Cooperation with the National Autom obile Chamber of Commerce from Identical Firms Each M onth M onth O ctober.. . November. December, Total Passenger Cars 287,211 336,284 348,287 336,968 279,385 217,845 237,431 251,553 257,868 1924 Trucks 28,247 30,399 33,061 34,977 32,326 27,040 24,895 26,781 29,410 Total 315,458 366,683 381,348 371,945 311,711 244,885 262,326 278,334 287,278 Passenger Cars 223,653 259,383 319,527 343,793 350,073 337,048 297,173 313,972 298,600 334,244 284,758 275,287 3,637,511 1923 Trucks 18,913 21,411 34,063 36,786 42.373 39,945 29,712 29,882 27,841 29,638 27.374 27,275 365,213 Total 242,566 280,794 353,590 380,579 392,446 376,993 326,885 343,854 326,441 363,882 312,132 302,562 4,002,724 6 THE M ONTH LY B U S I N E S S REVIEW Seasonal Decline in Rubber Industry According to reports o f'tire manufacturers in the Fourth Federal Reserve District, August was in most cases the high point of the year in the tire industry. September business was good, although generally less than that of August, while the early part of Octo ber showed the usual seasonal decline, due to a slack ening of demand at the approach of Winter. Re ports indicate that there has recently been but little change in the number of men employed in Akron rubber plants. As compared with several months ago, however, there has been a material increase in employment, amounting to around 20 per cent in the case of some factories. According to the October report of the Rubber Association of America, giving information as of September 1, production of high pressure inner tubes during August amounted to 4,588,385 tubes, an in crease of about 30 per cent over July. Shipments aggregated 5,250,579, or 3 per cent in excess of July, while inventory stood at 5,006,578, a decrease of 16 per cent from July. An analysis of this report gives some interesting facts with regard to balloon tires. It is noticeable that since March, when figures were first compiled on balloon tires, production of balloon inner tubes has run consistently ahead of shipments, being over twice as great during the considerable portion of the period. This is true even though shipments showed a steady increase during the same period. F o r the six months, March to August inclusive, the actual excess of production amounted to 50 per cent, re sulting in the building up of a large inventory. A similar condition holds true in the case of balloon casings, although slightly less marked. Turning to th e high pressure inner tubes and cord casings, the situation is entirely reversed. Production in the case of the former for the six months ran 9 per cent under shipments and in the case of the latter was 10 per cent less. O f course, it must be remembered that the stocks of both high pressure tubes and casings were high at the beginning of March, and might naturally be expected to decline, wrhereas the stocks of balloon tires at that time were low. The fact remains, however, that at the present time stocks are much greater in relation to shipments in the case of balloon tires than in the case of the older style tires. It may also be noted that the inventory of balloon tires still shows an in creasing tendency, while that of inner tubes and casings has recently declined sharply. In view of the fact that the balloon tires are new comers on the market, it will be interesting in the future to note whether the large production schedules will be justified by a corresponding increase in shipments, and whether shipments will continue steadily upward during the winter months when a slackening may normally be expected. Increased Activity in Textile Lines After an extended period of dullness, the textile in dustry in the Fourth District showed definite improve ment in September, due to seasonal factors for the most part. There was a let-down in the early part of October, but manufacturers are practically unanimous in attributing this to the unusually warm weather, which has naturally held back the purchase of winter clothing. Manufacturers generally appear to be more optimistic than they were a month or two ago. The market for knit goods has been improving since August 1, and September was a very satisfactory month. In men's wear, orders have been good con sidering the warm weather, which would indicate that dealers’ stocks had been allowed to get too low. The recent advance in the price of wool has brought nu merous buyers into the market for woolen goods, and there has been more than a seasonal betterment in this line. Manufacturers of women's wear report an encouraging increase in orders. In the jobbing trade, sales of 18 wholesale dry goods firms reporting to this bank showed an increase of 23 per cent over August, and were only 10 per cent below the sales of September, 1923. This last per centage is closer to last year than for any month since April. This bank’s index of wholesale dry goods s a U in the Fourth District (1919-1923—100) stood at 106 in September, 1924, as compared with 86 in August an increase of 20 points. In 1923, on the other hand the September index was 118, as compared with 123 in August, a decrease of 5 points. The Harvard index of prices (1919-1921=100') shows an increase in wool of from 102 in August to 109 in September. Cotton dropped sharply from 107 to 90, while other textiles showed practically no change. Shoe Production Greater On the whole, the gradual improvement of recent months in the shoe manufacturing industry in the Fourth District was continued during September. Preliminary figures from the Census Bureau indicate that September exceeded August by over 5 per cent in the matter of production. Some manufacturers, however, report that orders have recently been showing a slackening tendency. Turning to the jobbers, Sern tember showed a marked improvement. Sales of wholesale shoe firms reporting to this bank showed an in THE MONTHLY B U S I NE S S REVIEW crease of 44 per cent over August whereas August had shown a slight decrease from July. According to the final figures for August, furnished bv the Census Bureau, shoe production in the United 7 States amounted to 25,261,762 pairs, as compared with 21,389,498 pairs in July, an increase^ of 18 per cent. August production in the Fourth District ran 5 per cent ahead of the previous month. M anufacturing Generally is S lightly B etter Conditions in manufacturing industries in the Fourth District on the whole are but little different from a month ago. Where there were any noticeable changes, however, they were usually of a favorable nature, reports from a considerable number of lines indicating that about 50 per cent showed very little, if any, change; about 33 per cent showed improvement of varying degree; while the remainder reported a slump in business. Probably the most noticeable betterment has occurred in the paint industry. September business is reported as running far ahead of last year, and the same is true of the early part of October. The gains appear to be distributed over all classes of customers. The paper industry also reports an improving tendency, with orders coming in in larger volume. A hardware manufacturer reports that the upward swing which began in July still continues. Some improvement is also reported by manufacturers of glass and of storage batteries. On the other hand, some machinery manu facturers report a let-up during recent weeks, and a slackening has also been experienced in boxboard and lead manufacturing. The electrical supply and stove manufacturing lines, as well as various others, report that no real change has occurred during the month. Buying still appears to be on a conservative basis on the part of nearly all customers. Conditions a L ittle Better in Agricultural Im plem ent Industry Reports from agricultural implement m anufac turers in this District give a somewhat conflicting picture of the situation in this industry. In gen eral, it appears that conditions have improved slightly during the month, but not to the extent anticipated. The poor corn crop in this District has had a depressing effect upon orders. One man ufacturer reports a slightly more liberal buying tendency along some lines, and there is a general disposition among manufacturers to look for im provement in this regard because of the extremely conservative buying of recent months. The confi dence expressed two or three months ago, how ever, has diminished. As pointed out in last month's Review, this is due to the fact that the increased price of farm commodities has not yet been reflected in any noticeable increase in the purchase of farm implements by the farmers in this District. Agricultural Conditions Latest available forecasts issued by the United States Department of Agriculture show still fur ther declines in the prospects for the corn crop, viewed from a country-wide standpoint. In the com belt of the Middle W est, it is now practically certain that much of the crop will not mature be fore killing frosts, and that a greatly increased acreage will be cut for fodder this year. All re ports indicate that silos are being filled to capacity. Potatoes, in the country at large, have shown a marked improvement over their condition a month ago, and the crop forecast in the United States is now approximately 3 per cent greater than the crop of last year. Post-harvest reports from practically all hay pro ducing sections show that the early forecasts of an abundant crop have been fully verified, except for a few areas in the South and West. Plowing and wheat sowing is reported as some what belated, due to the lateness of this year's harvest, and to some extent, unfavorable weather conditions. OHIO CORN The weather has been favorable for the corn crop, during September and early October, but most of the acreage had received too late a start to profit by it The State forecast is now placed at 90,650,000 bushels, as compared with 159,860,000 bushels last year, a decrease of about 43 per cent. The decrease in the country at large is estimated at about 30 per cent from that of 1923. The shortage of the corn crop has had a some what demoralizing effect on the cattle market, and many farmers are reported as sending grass-fed cattle to market at very unsatisfactory prices, on account of not having com to feed them. POTATOES During the month there has been a slight falling off in the outlook for potatoes. Latest estimates from the State Department of Agriculture is for a total crop of 9,800,000 bushels, which is a decrease of 2 per cent from last year. 8 THE M ONTH LY B U S I N E S S REVIEW A t this writing, digging has been in progress for some time in certain areas, and the quality gen erally is reported good. FR U IT S The fruit crop has not kept up to the estimates made earlier in the year—apples, peaches and pears being generally estimated at about half a crop or less, with the quality falling far below normal. Peaches are very late, but the fine weather of the past four weeks has had the effect of m aterially increasing the quality. Grapes are reported some w hat better than conditions of a month ago indi cated, the fine weather of the first half of October having come at a very opportune time. PEN N SY LV A N IA CORN A further decline in the prospects for the corn crop is reported, due in a large measure, to severe frost on September 24, which was general through out the State. The present estimate of the State D epartm ent of A griculture is for about 79 per cent of last year’s crop. PO T A T O E S The October forecast of potato production indi cates a crop of som ething more than 26 million bushels, which is virtually the same as the har vest of last year. Conditions improved in practi cally all sections of the State during the last month. Shipments of Pennsylvania potatoes up to Oc tober 4 totaled 458 cars, nearly double the number shipped up to the same date last year. A P PL E S Prospects have declined during the month, pres ent indications pointing to a decrease to about 60 per cent of last year’s yield. K EN TU C K Y CORN W ith the growing season practically ended, pres ent indications point to a total production of about 71.306.000 bushels, as compared w ith 87,866,000 bushels produced in 1923, a decrease of about 19 per cent. Owing to the im m aturity of m uch of the crop, large areas are being utilized for fodder, and silos are being filled to a greater extent th an ever before PO T A TO E S The weather of the past few weeks has been fa vorable to this crop, present estim ate of 5,676,000 bushels being an increase of 15 per cent over last year. The quality is reported as being good. Sweet potatoes, which constitute an im portant crop in this State, will show a decrease in pro duction of more than 10 per cent from last year, present indications placing the total yield at 1 824.000 bushels. O T H E R CROPS O ther crop estimates show the following increases over 1923: Oats, 5,536,000 bushels— 17 per cent Buckwheat, 164,000 bushels— 1.2 per cent. Hay, 1,465,000 tons—23.5 per cent. Apples, 5,958,000 bushels— 127 per cent CANNING W ith the bulk of the crops harvested and canned the actual shortage of corn and tom atoes antici pated by the canning interests is show n to be greater than was expected a month ago. The jobbers, having failed to place sufficient or ders for future deliveries, will, in the opinion of the canners, be able to get only pro rata deliveries on these orders. This condition makes for a very active m arket on these commodities. The pack of peas this season was approxim ately 40 per cent greater than that of any previous year • notw ithstanding this fact, the m arket rem ains firm and it is the consensus of opinion th at prices will hold and the entire pack be disposed of in an or derly manner. Tobacco Crop Less than Last Year During the past month, weather conditions in the Burley tobacco regions of Kentucky have been largely favorable, and most of the crop has been cut and housed. It is now estimated that the total K entucky crop will be about 26 per cent less than that of 1923, and about 18 per cent under the fiveyear average from 1918 to 1922 inclusive. As stat ed in last m onth’s Review, the large stocks of un sold tobacco on hand have had a depressing in fluence on the whole tobacco situation in the B ur ley regions, and growers during the month have continued to hold m eetings to discuss the advisa bility of either materially reducing the 1925 acreage or cutting out the crop altogether next year. The October Government crop report places the 1924 K entucky tobacco crop of all types at 364126.000 pounds. The estimate of production by types is not yet available, but the estim ate for the crop as a whole shows a decline of 7,070,000 pounds or 2 per cent, from the preceding m onth's figure' The 1923 crop amounted to 494,190,000 pounds, and the five-year average, 1918-1922 inclusive, was 446072.000 pounds. The entire United States tobacco THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVIEW 9 crop for 1924 is estim ated at 1,181,620,000 pounds, a 5 per cent greater loss than that of the United States, a decrease of 21 per cent from 1923 and 13 per cent both from the 1923 and the five-year average. Last from the 1918-1922 average. year K entucky produced 34 per cent of the total It will be noted th at the Kentucky crop shows tobacco crop of the country. Lum ber Trade Slowly Im proving September showed a slow improvement in the m anufacturing of lum ber in the Fourth District. Better conditions have been manifested in the South ern Pine trade in the shape of increased demand and price advances. R eports indicate that furni ture factories are experiencing a considerable in crease in orders. Buying in general throughout the industry, although well sustained, is still on a handto-m outh basis, due, at least in part, to the ex cellent transportation situation. Reports from about 375 mills in the U nited States, which furnish weekly figures to the N a tional Lum ber M anufacturers' Association, show that for the four weeks ending October 4, produc tion am ounted to 1,019,223,000 feet, shipments were 978.732.000 feet, and orders were 928,927,000 feet. For the preceding four weeks, production was 961,303.000 feet, shipm ents were 948,693,000 feet, and orders were 961,298,000 feet. Car Loadings for 1924 attain the 1923 Level Car loading figures for the past month give an encouraging picture of business activity. For the five weeks ending October 4, car loadings for 1924 were equal to those of 1923, whereas from April 1 to September 1, loadings for 1924 consistently ran about 10 per cent behind last year. Loadings exceeded the million m ark during each of the four weeks ending October 4, the total for all classes of commodities aggregating 4,302,430 cars, as compared with 3,876,454 cars for the preceding four weeks. Grain loadings have been running far ahead of 1923, and the week ending October 4 exceeded all previous records in the number of cars loaded with grain and grain products. Miscellaneous car loadings are also considerably greater than those of last year. Merchandise L. C. L. loadings were the largest in history for the week ending October 4. On the other hand, ore loadings for the four weeks were only about two-thirds as great as in 1923, and loadings of coke, forest products, and livestock were also less than a year ago. Coal loadings during the four weeks were about the same as in 1923, but showed a 20 per cent in crease over the preceding four weeks of this year. Decline in Building Perm its During Septem ber Less than Usual The value of building permits in the United States during September showed a very slight de crease of 1.9 per cent from August, according to a report of B radstreet’s covering 163 identical cities. As compared w ith Septem ber of last year, there was an increase of 9 per cent, and the first nine months of 1924 showed an increase of 6 per cent over the corresponding period in 1923. It is note worthy that the usual September decrease, as com pared with August, was noticeably less this year than for any of the previous five years. In 1920, September showed a decrease of 16 per cent from August, and the average decline for 1919-1923 was about 9 per cent. W hen it is remembered that August of this year showed up unusually well as compared w ith July, it will be seen that the build ing industry is making a good recovery after the lengthy slump of the spring months. In the Fourth Federal Reserve District, the trend in building perm its was similar to that in the coun try as a whole. The value of perm its issued dur ing September in thirteen centers was $18,050,000, as compared w ith $18,367,000 in August, or a de crease of 1.7 per cent. There was a substantial increase of 15 per cent over Septem ber of last year. The largest percentage gains were made by Cin cinnati, Dayton, Lexington, W heeling, and Y oungs to w n ; while Akron, Columbus, and Springfield showed the greatest decreases. The first nine months of 1924 showed a gain of 0.8 per cent over the same period of 1923. For the nine months, the largest percentage increases were shown by Youngstown, W heeling and Erie, with 67, 44 and 41 per cent, respectively; while Columbus, w ith 30 per cent, showed the greatest percentage decline. Cleveland and Pittsburgh both ran slightly ahead of 1923, but the reverse was true of Cincinnati. The A berthaw index of factory building costs (1914-100) declined one point in September, stand ing at 195. The advances early in the m onth noted in some lines were insufficient to change the general downward trend, which has now continued for five months. D uring this period, A ugust was the only month not showing a decline from the previous month. T hat there has not been any great change, however, is seen from the fact that the index stood in March and April at 202, only 7 points higher than in September. A study of the cost of build- THE M O NTH LY B U S IN E S S REVIEW 10 ing materials in the Fourth D istrict on September 1 as compared with July 1 shows the same steadi ness. In eight cities in this District, according to a report of the D epartm ent of Commerce, declines during the two m onths predominated over ad vances at a ratio of about 4 to 3, but by greater num ber of materials showed no There was a general tendency to advance, various lumber products. Steel products, other hand, showed some weakness. far the change. am ong on the There has been some tendency toward im prove ment in the building brick industry during the past month. Conditions of the trade in the agricultural sections of the country continue to be favorable, and there has been some betterm ent in New York City. Reports indicate that throughout the coun try the volume of business is normal. A report of the Common Brick M anufacturers' Association as of September 1 from 92 firms shows that orders at that time amounted to $256,017,000, as compared with $314,588,000 on A ugust 1. Inform ation as to orders on October 1 is not yet available. There was a slight decline in activity in th e pav ing brick industry during September, according to the report of the National Paving Brick M anufac turers’ Association. Shipments of No. 1 brick final ly showed a cecline, after an upw ard m ovem ent which began with March. Production and unfilled orders also registered decreases. These decreases were small, however, and it may be added th at similar declines took place during Septem ber a year ago as compared with August. Shipm ents are still running ahead of production, and Septem ber ship ments were about 7 per cent ahead of a year ago. Cement production in Ohio, W est Virginia, and western Pennsylvania during September, accord ing to the Geological Survey, amounted to 1,628,000 barrels, or about 11 per cent of that in the United States. Total United States production was 14,519,000 barrels, a decrease of 4 per cent from Au gust, but an increase of 10 per cent over September a year ago. Shipments during September aggre gated 16,827,000 barrels, a decline of 0.2 p er cent from August, but a gain of 23 per cent over last year. Stocks at the end of Septem ber w^ere 8 358,000 barrels, as compared with 10,666,000 a t the end of A ugust and 5,533,000 at the end of Sep tember, 1923. Stocks have now declined steadily for six months, a condition which w as also trn** in 1923. Em ploym ent in the Fourth D istrict increased to a slight extent during September, due partly to an increase in the num ber of men employed and partly to an increase in working time. In analyzing reports from a large number of manufacturers, it is found that approximately 54 per cent stated that employment conditions had shown no change, 32 per cent reported increases, mostly slight, and 14 per cent reported small decreases. In some sec tions, a good demand for skilled workers is re ported, while there is a surplus of common labor. Several m anufacturers state that the number of men on the payroll remains the same as during the previous m onth, but that working time has been increased. The various reports on the situa tion are borne out by figures furnished by the Cham bers of Commerce of Cleveland and Cincinnati, the former city showing an increase of 2.5 p er cent during September for 100 large concerns, while the latter shows a gain of 1.1 per cent for 19 rep_ resentative firms. These figures do not take ac count of any increases in working hours. Turning to the various industries in the D is trict, the rubber factories generally report practi cally no change from a month ago. An im prove m ent is evident in the textile lines as well as in some lines of machinery m anufacturing. T he in crease in the paint business has been accompanied by some increase in employment. Paper m anu facturers report a slight gain. In m ost other cases the change either way was negligible. * September departm ent store sales in the Fourth D istrict showed a considerably greater increase over August than m ight normally be expected. This bank’s index num ber of departm ent store sales in the District jumped from 86.7 in August to 101.0 in September, and even after correcting the figures for normal seasonal variations, September sales still show an increase of about 7 per cent over those of August. Another point of interest is that Septem ber sales were less than 1 per cent under those of 1923, being the best month, as compared with last year, since April. Sales in a num ber of cities exceeded those of last year, the largest gains being shown by D ay ton, with 6.7 per cent, and Akron, with 4.6 per cent For the third quarter of the year, the D istrict ran Building Brick Slightly Better; Paving Brick Slackens Cement Production Declines Em ploym ent Shows a Sm all Gain D epartm ent Store Sales Show Good Gain in Septem ber THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S 4.6 per cent behind last year, Akron and Dayton being the only cities to show increases. Every city reported an increase in stocks on hand over August, which is natural at this time of year. Stocks were also 1.2 per cent greater than last year. Eight cities reported decreases, while only four re ported increases; am ong the latter, however, were Pittsburgh and Cleveland. REVIEW 11 Septem ber sales of 55 departm ent stores in this D istrict have been exceeded twice in the last six years, in 1920 and 1923. Taking the five-year av erage m o n t h ly sales, 1919-1923, as a base, th e index num bers for Septem ber of each year are as fol low s: 1919, 82; 1920, 102; 1921, 77; 1922, 92; 1923, 102; 1924, 101. Departm ent Store Sales Percentage of Increase or Decrease Comparison of Net Sales 1A IB September, 1924 July 1 to Sept. compared with 30, 1924, comSeptember, 1923 p a r e d w i t h same period in 1923 Percentage o f Percentage of average stocks o u t s t a n d i n g at end of each orders at end of month from July >t., 1924, to 2B 2A Sept., 1924 com Sept. 1924 1 to Sept. 30 to al purchases pared with Sept. c o m p a r e d average monthly ing calendar 1923 with August, sales in same year 1923 1924 period Comparison of Stocks at End of Month No. ot Reports 4 — 2.5 4.6 Akron.............. 4 .6 2.5 426.8 1.2 3 C anton............ 6.9 — 3.9 — 1.1 880.5 — 9.8 7 C incinnati.... - 0.7 12.8 3.9 481.7 0.4 6 9.7 Cleveland. . . . — 6.6 — 1.7 404.7 — 5.0 5 16.9 Columbus. . . . — 0.9 2.0 384.0 5 — 3.4 6.7 D ayton........... 6.7 0.1 434.8 3 — 3.9 6.8 New Castle.. . - 5.8 — 7.8 718.0 8.6 7 Pittsburgh. . . 10.6 — 4.7 — 1.5 462.1 5 — 1.0 Toledo............. 6.2 — 11.7 — 5.9 569.6 5 Wheeling........ — 8.1 18.1 — 7.5 — 7.7 484.8 3 Youngstow n.. 2.1 — 2.4 — 2.3 14.1 340.9 7 Other Cities*. 2.9 — 4.7 13.3 — 7.0 646.5 60 1.2 D istrict........... — 0.6 10.3 — 4.6 451.7 — 1.7 8.6 U.S. Average. 5.1 —0.03 453.9 ^Includes reports from Erie, Portsmouth, Springfield, and Lima. **Includes reports from Erie, Portsmouth, Akron, Springfield, Lima and Day ton. 8 .y 5.9 9.8 8.3 5.7 7.0 6.8 9 j ** 7'. 8 8.4 Index Numbers of Sales of 55 D epartm ent Stores Fourth Federal Reserve D istrict (Average Monthly Sales for the Five-Year Period 1919-1923 Inclusive— 100) 1923 Akron Canton* Cincin- Cleve- Colnm- Dayton _New Pitts- Toledo Wheel- Youngs- Other Castle burgh ing town Cities** nati land bus A pr. . . . 106 107 108 109 117 110 104 111 108 117 112 98 M ay... . 112 129 122 111 118 118 114 124 117 129 113 118 Ju n e.. . . 118 121 119 126 115 112 116 115 117 128 123 114 92 79 80 92 J u ly .... 89 76 82 95 90 89 79 81 A ug----96 94 90 92 105 84 104 97 96 91 80 113 S e p t... . 90 88 99 101 105 94 111 106 112 81 87 96 Oct........ 136 130 113 154 128 126 127 149 113 141 127 128 Nov. . .. 102 120 120 125 134 131 113 120 120 127 121 105 D ec. . . . 194 156 168 183 187 212 169 199 219 206 187 194 1924 Jan ........ 78 98 94 92 91 102 101 102 91 84 74 F eb . . . . 88 97 98 87 103 90 94 92 81 77 87 120 M a r.. .. 95 115 103 104 100 100 114 124 93 107 118 91 Apr. . . . 112 128 114 133 124 131 127 122 117 128 124 112 M ay.. . . 124 106 118 110 116 121 109 118 100 118 117 109 June---93 107 99 102 117 109 115 100 98 115 111 104 84 J u ly .... 83 80 78 87 86 79 83 95 89 79 78 Aug. . . . 88 92 78 91 92 93 84 85 83 76 105 75 Sept. . . . 92 89 96 109 108 118 76 97 96 95 98 89 *Based on 3-year average (1921-1922-1923). **Includes Springfield, Portsmouth, and Erie. Dis trict 111 119 119 82 97 102 130 122 176 94 96 104 124 114 108 80 87 101 12 THE M O N T H L Y B U S IN E S S REVIEW Septem ber Wholesale Sales Greater than August All wholesale lines showed an increase in sales dur Sales during the first nine months of 1924 were less ing September, as compared with August, but with than for 1923 in the case of all lines. D ry goods the exception of hardware, sales ran below those of showed the largest decrease, 16.4 per cent, while drugs, September, 1923. The largest increase over August was shown by wholesale dry goods, with 23.2 per cent. with 2.8 per cent, had the smallest decrease. Wholesale Trade Sales Number of Percentage change in Firms Reporting net sales during Sept., 1924, compared with Aug., 1924. Percentage change in net sales during Sept., 1924, compared with Sept., 1923. Percentage change in n et sales from Jan. I, 1924 to Sept. 30,1924, compared with same period last year. Groceries-— Cincinnati......................................... 3 18.2 44.5 2 .3 Cleveland......................................... Jn — 3.2 9.5 0 .7 Columbus......................................... 3 — 5.7 17.6 — 5 .4 E rie.................................................... 4 — 7.3 8.5 4 .9 Lexington......................................... 3 — 9.8 11.2 — 6 .2 Pittsburgh........................................ 7 3.6 19.9 — 3 .0 Portsm outh...................................... 3 — 3.4 7.1 — 3 .5 Toledo............................................... 3 — 11.3 11.8 — 6 .3 Youngstown..................................... 3 — 0.2 25.8 — 4.1 Other Cities*................................... 17 — 7.0 14.6 — 9 .2 D IS T R IC T ................................... 49 — 3.6 15.1 — 3 .9 Dry Goods— D istrict............................. 18 — 9.7 23.2 — 16.4 Drugs— D istrict...................................... 16 - 4.0 0.7 — 2 .8 Hardware— D istrict............................... 18 1.8 14.9 — 7 .8 *Includes Akron, Canton, Dayton, Dover, Ironton, Lima, Mansfield, Massillon, Springfield and Steuben ville, Wheeling and Xenia. Sum m ary of Business and Credit Conditions in the United S ta tes By The Federal Reserve Board Production of basic commodities, factory employment and distribution of merchandise increased in September. During September and early in October there was a considerable in crease in the volume of borrowing for commercial purposes. Wcprr. P R O D U C T IO N JlA v \J / AT \ > 90 1919 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 Index of 22 basic commodities corrected for seasonal variations (1919—100). Latest figure— September, 102. The Federal Reserve Board’s index of production in basic industries, adjusted to allow for seasonal variations, rose 9 per cent in September, the first advance since last January. In. creased activity was reported in many lines of industry, includ ing textiles, iron and steel, and coal. Factory employment in creased 2 per cent during September, reflecting larger working forces in nearly all reporting industries. Average weekly earn ings of industrial workers increased slightly, owing to a de crease in the extent of part time employment. Building con tracts awarded showed a small seasonal decline in September but were considerably larger than a year ago. Crop conditions, as reported by the Department of Agri culture, showed a further slight improvement during Septem ber, and the estimates of production for spring 'wheat, oats, bar ley, and white potatoes on October 1 were larger than the THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVIEW FACTORY EMPLOYMENT —--------------------t--------------------- ------------------------------------ 150 0 PC* CENT. o 1924 I9ZZ 1923 Index for 33 m anufacturing industries (1919 — 100). Latest figure, September, 90 1920 v 1919 m WHOLESALE PRICES 1 m c u rr. PCHCEHT. 200 ?00 100 100 • 1919 tno 1921 1922 1923 o 19H Index of U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (1913— 100, base adopted by B ureau). Latest figure— September, 149 W eekly figures for Member B an k s in 101 leading cities. Latest figures— October IS. 13 month before. Estim ates of the yields of corn, tobacco, and cotton, however, were reduced. Marketing of wheat was ex ceptionally heavy in September and exports of wheat and cot ton were larger than for the same month of any recent year. TRADE Distribution of commodities, as reflected in railroad ship ments, increased during September and was greater than last year, owing to larger loadings of miscellaneous merchandise, grain and coal. W holesale trade 'was 11 per cent larger than in A ugust as a result of increased business in almost all reporting lines. Sales of groceries and drugs were larger than a year ago, while sales of meat and shoes were smaller. Retail trade showed more than the usual seasonal increase in September and sales of department stores and mail order houses were considerably larger than last year. Merchandise stocks ot department stores increased more than usual during September, but continued to be slightly smaller than a year ago. PRICES Wholesale prices of farm products, clothing, fuel and metals declined somewhat in September, while prices of food products, building materials, and chemicals advanced. The general level of prices as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ index was slightly lower in September than in August. During the first half of October, quotations on wheat, flour, cattle, hogs, wool, and rubber increased, while prices of cotton, lumber and gasoline declined. BANK CREDIT During the five weeks ending October 15, loans and invest ments of reporting member banks in leading cities increased by more than $600,000,000. Credit demand for financing the mar keting of crops and the fall activity of trade were reflected in increased commercial loans throughout the country, and the total volume of these loans rose to a level considerably above the peak of October, 1923. Member bank investment securities continued to increase and loans on stocks and bonds also ad vanced. A further growth of demand deposits carried their total to the highest figure on record. At the Federal Reserve Banks, discounts changed but little in September and declined in the first three weeks of October while holdings of acceptances increased considerably. There was also some increase in the United States securities as a consequence. Total earning assets were larger than at any time since early in the year. Larger currency requirements, partly seasonal in character, were reflected between August 1 and October 1, an increase of $140,000,000 in the total volume of money in circulation. Money rates in the New York market remained relatively constant in the latter part of September and the early part of October. On October 15, the discount rate of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis was reduced from 4 y 2 to 4 per cent. 14 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVIEW Comparative Statem ent of Selected Member Banks in the Fourth D istrict Loans and Discounts secured by U. S. Govern ment obligations................................................. Loans and Discounts secured by other stocks and bon:’s ............................................................... Loans and Discounts, all other................................ U. S. Pre-War Bonds.................................................. U. S. Liberty Bonds.................................................... U. S. Treasury Bonds.................................................. U. S. Treasury Notes.................................................. U. S. Certificates of Indebtedness........................... Other Bonds, Stocks and Securities........................ Total Loans, Discounts and Investm ents............. Reserve with Federal Reserve B ank...................... Cash in V ault................................................................ Net Demand Deposits................................................ Time Deposits............................................................... Government D posits................................................. Total Resources on date of this report.................. Oct. 8 , 1924 (77 Banks) $ 18,790,000 422.195.000 714.738.000 45.664.000 195.857.000 2,065,000 53.944.000 20.977.000 336.849.000 1.811.079.000 117.554.000 32.334.000 992.715.000 692.814.000 29.857.000 2.295.366.000 Sept. 10, 1924 (78 Banks) $ 19,629,000 416.619.000 712.513.000 45.661.000 197.302.000 2.040.000 55.812.000 5.805.000 338.934.000 1.794.315.000 126.066.000 30.599.000 1.008.677.000 691,464,000 10 021.000 2.285.555.000 . Increase Decrease $ .................. $ 839,000 5.576.000 2.225.000 3,000 1.445.000 ’ " ’ 25,000 1. 868.000 15.172.000 2,085,000 16.764.000 8,512,666 ’ 1,735,000 15,962,000 ' 1,350,000 19.836.000 9.811.000 Building Operaii ons for Month of Septem ber, 1924-1923 Valuation Permits issued New Construction Alteration: New Construction Increase or Deere.-, Alterations 1924 1923 1924 1923 1924 1924 923 1923 Amount Per Cent 132,590 $ 28,985 3— 194,061 — 21.5 70 58 $ 577,308 $ 874,974 350 271 Akron. . . . C anton. . . 92 70 227 231 489,314 82,665 489,389 82,665 — 075 0.01 327,705 226,215 Cincinnati. 359 368 214 229 2,183,885 1,411,220 874,155 53.4 827,840 706,615 638 602 1,206 1,205 5,635,940 4,910,386 Cleveland* 846,779 15.1 242,825 230,370 — 524,100 — 26.0 509 509 144 132 1,245,975 1,782,530 Columbus. 86,271 205,324 284 220 780,170 129 124 D ayton. .. 377,255 283,862 48.7 162,016 35 311,696 338,722 148 115 50,530 67 Erie........... 84,460 21.7 16,895 51 45 48 147,500 32 Lexington. 87,165 1.8,742 58,488 176,099 264,457 200 1,809,135 1,549,926 544 372 119 Pittsburgh. 170,851 55.2 9 .4 10,040 102 93 21 140,090 15,800 — 63,930 —-41.0 39 81,920 Springfield. 162,906 249,289 — 107,435 — 8.9 522 415 207 196 963,423 942,371 T oledo.... 215,894 41,748 96 92 40 26 832,880 35,326 Wheeling.. 623,408 248.2 Youngstown 234 173 443,125 55,350 4141 687,490 18,725 280,990 60.8 T otal............. 4,064 3,506 2,451 2,334 $15,725,584 $13,584,099 $2,324,950 *2,133,043 $2,333,392 14 . 8 *Includes- figures for Siiaker Heights, East Cleveland and Lakewood. — Building Operations for Nine Months Ended Septem ber 30, 1924 Permits Issued Valuation New Construction Alterations New Construction Alt; orations Increase or Decrea.se 1924 1923 1924 1923 1924 1923 1924 1923 Amount Per C ent 873,915 $— 136,251 Akron. . . . 2,254 2,328 1,026 568 4,929,907 $ 5.010.704 $ 818,461 2 .3 495,643 833,064 C anton. . . 1,785 1,771 674 636 6,112,470 4,849,119 925,930 16.3 16,697,600 16,769,280 2,730,435 3,176,725 — 517,970 Cincinnati. 3,024 3,472 2,073 2,243 2.6 Cleveland* 5,469 5,75210,081 9,697 54,073,920 52,122,720 8,512,512 9,224,302 1,239,410 2.0 11,746,025 17,339,205 1,654,075 1,862,095 —5,801,200 -3 0 .2 Columbus. 3,541 4,370 1,307 1,171 937,713 1,154,592 — 1,148,074 -1 3 .3 D ayton. . . 1,930 2,230 1,081 1,160 6,543,287 7,474,482 717,584 1,280,258 40.8 E rie........... 1,172 1,009 512 481 3,309,431 2.420.705 1,109,116 218,697 244,364 — 114,092 - 7 .4 Lexington. 390 403 283 330 1,212,423 1,300,848 Pittsburgh 4,373 4,298 2,082 1,181 22,833,532 23,686,659 2,980,802 1,933,196 194,479 0.8 171,575 135,970 — 132,017 - 10.0 740 793 247 232 1,022,693 1,190,315 Springfield 1,681 12,053,415 10,168,914 1,701,506 2,152,750 1,433,257 11.6 T oledo.... 3,961 3,306 1,885 W heeling.. 787 694 399 397 3,711,663 2,518,342 523,388 432,695 1,284,014 43.5 Youngstown 1,990 1,465 298 306 6,812,170 3,951,290 287,185 300,250 2,847,815 67.0 T otal........... 31,41631,891 21,744 20,287 $151,058,536 $148,802,583 $22,141,108 $23,041,502 $ 1,355,559 "0^8 *Includes figures for Shaker Heights, East Cleveland, and Lakewood. - THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVIEW 15 Debits to Individual Accounts (In thousands of dollars) 3 4 5 1 % In cr. % Incr. % Incr. 1923 or Deer, 4 Weeks 4 Weeks 4 Weeks or Deer, or Deer. 1924 Ending Col. 1 Col. 1 to date Ending Ending to date Col. 6 over Oct. 15, Sept. 17, Oct. 17, over over (Jan. 2— (Jan. 4— 1924 1923 Col. 2 Col. 3 Oct. 15) Oct. 17) Col. 7 1924 7.9 A kron.......................................... $ 69,769 $ 64,648 $ 9.7 $ 682,174 $ 692,232 — 1.5 2.7 — 9.7 9,603 Butler, P a.................................. 13,548 12,239 110,438 — 7.5 102,169 C anton........................................ 39,538 40,199 — 1.2 — 2.8 39,067 421,401 — 0.8 418,118 Cincinnati................................... 284,893 259,038 298,048 10.0 — 4.4 2,903,177 3,114,005 — 6.8 Cleveland................................... 593,323 511,816 612,826 15.9 — 3.2 5,875,859 6,092,494 — 3.6 Colum bus................................... 126,879 119,275 134,046 6 .4 — 5.3 1,248,725 1,441,275 — 13.4 4,105 Connellsville.............................. 5,446 3.8 —21.7 4,263 55,745 — 19.6 44,841 D ayton............................ ........... 57,801 61,293 4 .4 — 1.5 60,344 661,361 — 2.9 642,249 E rie.............................................. 26,962 32,108 16.1 — 2.5 31,311 295,607 303,525 — 2.6 7.2 — 5.7 19,093 Greensburg................................. 21,715 20,475 209,581 202,110 3.7 3,678 4,371 13.5 — 4.5 Hom estead................................. 4,175 40,383 36,064 12.0 14,350 Lexington, K v........................... 16,972 10.2 — 6.8 15,815 208,145 235,342 11.6 L im a............................................ 16,512 15,922 2.4 6.2 16,913 173,564 163,215 6.3 L orain.......................................... 6,639 6,362 — 2.4 1.9 6,481 58,672 58,624 0.1 Middletov. n ............................... 9,082 — 0.1 — 12.3 7,971 7,963 85,583 93,348 8.3 Oil C ity....................................... 10,632 11,509 14.7 6.0 125.475 12,199 126,421 — 0.7 Pittsburgh.................................. 757,070 686,900 777,765 10.2 — 2.7 7,830,000 7,906,954 — 1.0 16,945 Springfield.................................. 18,541 2.5 — 6.3 17,372 184,620 200,508 7.9 Toledo......................................... 186,204 149,174 158,883 24.8 17.2 1,697,255 1,659,932 2.2 W arren, O .................................. 12,618 12,013 — 1.0 4.0 12,497 128,521 127,155 1.1 Wheeling..................................... 36,016 41,965 14.1 — 2.1 41,079 425,974 432,501 — 1.5 49,952 Youngstown............................... 63,703 23.1 — 3.5 61,492 575.476 586,126 — 1 11,135 8.4 Zanesville........................ ........... 11,547 4.5 12,066 124,319 121,309 2.5 T otal...............................22,393,889 $2,134,401 $2,431,440 — 1.5 $24,080,487 $24,842,085 — 3.1 E xplan ation o f C h arts on Follow ing P age All charts are monthly. All charts have a relative scale, i.e., the actual 5year average in figures has been called 100. Sources of information are as follows: 1. Member Bank Credit. Figures for the last week in the month from about 800 banks report ing weekly to the Federal Reserve Board. 2. Member Bank Deposits. Same as preceding. 3. Volume of Payments by Check. Debits to in dividual accounts at 140 cities, reporting to the Federal Reserve Board (not including New York). 4. Commercial Failures. Number of commercial failures as reported by R. G. Dun & Company. 5. Retail Trade. The index number of the Fed eral Reserve Board with 1919 equaling 100, is re computed with the monthly average, 1919-1923, as a base. The index covers sales of about 350 department stores in the country. 6. Wholesale Trade. The Federal Reserve Board's Index Number has been recomputed, as in the pre ceding chart. This index covers sales of a large number of wholesale lines. 7. Building Permits. Report: from about 170 cities as ^bown by Bradstreet’s. 8. Car Loadings. Figures reported weekly by the American Railway Association converted into a monthly basis. 9. Exports of Merchandise. Figures reported by the Bureau of Foreign and Domestic Commerce, U. S. Department of Commerce. 10. Bituminous Coal Production. Figures from the Geological Survey, Department of the Interior. 11. Pig Iron Production. From the IRON AGE. 12. Automobile Production (both passenger cars and trucks). National Automobile Chamber of Com merce. Last figures for each chart: ( 1) a. Loans September, 110 b. Investments September, 131 (2) a. Demand Deposits September, 117 b. Time Deposits September, 157 Check Payments (3) August, 101 Commercial Failures (4 ) September, 101 (5) Retail Trade September, 106 Wholesale Trade (6 ) August, 93 Building Permits (7) September, 141 Car Loadings (8) September, 122 (9) Exports' September, 90 ( 10) Bituminous Coal Production, September, 102 Pig Iron Production ( 11) September, 80 ( 12) Automobile Production September, 139 Indexes of National Business Conditions The base (100) for all the charts except the first is the monthly average for the five years 1919*1923 inclusive . For the first chart the base is the m onthly average for the three years 1921-1923. For further explanations, see preceding page . EXPORTS Or MERCHANpise