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The Monthly BUSINESS REVIEW Cbiteriig business andindustrial conditions m the Ixm&i JtderedRuerw lX strict FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of CLEVELAND D.C.Wills, diairman of ihe Board (COMPILED APRIL 20, 1922) VOL. 4 CLEVELAND, OHIO, MAY 1, 1922 USINESS is still moving in the right direc tion despite recent developments of an un favorable nature. Spring naturally brings a brighter outlook. Seasonal activity is helping. In addition to this, people believe business is growing better, and though the coal strike and other disor ders throughout the country have slowed up some of our basic industries, they have not permitted this to dim their long-range vision. This confidence is another vital cornerstone in the foundation of busi ness prosperity. The coal strike, unprecedented in its magnitude as well as potentially disastrous to business, be came effective throughout the country when more than a half million miners ceased work on the last day of March, (iovernment reports show that nearly two-thirds of the bituminous tonnage of the country has been closed by the strike. Whether this great walk-out will seriously retard or actually arrest the apparent movement toward business re covery is still problematical. It is estimated by government statisticians that, at the prevailing rate of consumption, consumers’ stocks of soft coal on hand should last approximately two months. If the strike should be prolonged beyond that period, the nation would inevitably experience a fuel famine. For this district, perhaps the most reliable indicia of business prosperity are the monthly tonnage fig ures for pig iron and steel ingot production. The output of both pig iron and steel ingots was sub stantially greater in March than in February, the in crease being due mainly to the heavy orders of certain railroads for new cars and other equipment. It is estimated that the railroads alone take, in normal times, almost one-fourth of the total steel tonnage. Several steel companies in this District have recently received large orders from the rail roads. The United States Steel Corporation’s March statement of unfilled orders shows the largest monthly increase recorded since April, 1920. Late reports from the Pittsburgh and Youngs town districts indicate that iron and steel plants are even now beginning to feel the effects of an actual or anticipated fuel shortage. A number of B No. S blast furnaces have been banked and some mills are curtailing or suspending operations in the in terest of fuel conservation. Owing to stocks of coal 011 hand, however, the industry is still able to operate at about 75 per cent of capacity. According to reliable trade sources, practically all of the large manufacturers of passenger cars and trucks turned out more vehicles during March than in any other month since August, 1920. Passenger car and truck output for the first quarter of this year far exceeded that for the corresponding period of 1921. One large producer of motor trucks in this District reported that March orders were consider ably larger than in any month since May, 1920, and that deliveries exceeded those recorded for any month since September, 1920. It is confidently pre dicted that automobile and auto parts manufac turers will have a much larger volume of business this year than they had in 1921. As would naturally be expected, the rubber tire industry is sharing with the automotive industry the increasing prosperity of the latter. Tire fac tories in Akron, Ohio, are reported to be operating at about 85 per cent of capacity. A recent advance in the price of crude rubber on the New York mar ket is attributed, in part, to increased buying on the part of tire manufacturers. While an increase in building operations in spring is, of course, a seasonal phenomenon, there is no doubt but that the country is now experi encing a real boom in this field. 'The valuation of building contracts awarded during March in the northeastern states increased 65 per cent over the Februnry figure. The valuation of building permits issued by the principal cities in the Fourth Fed eral Reserve District during March was nearly double that reported for February, and about onefourth more than the valuation of such permits issued in March, 1921. That the payrolls of some business establish ments in this District are growing is indicated by an expansion in the note circulation of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Debits to individual accounts, as reported by clearing house banks, also ON PAGE 12 APPEARS A STORY OF THE FISCAL AGENCY DEPARTMENT OF OUR BANK* THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S 2 show that the volume of business transactions is increasing at a moderate rate. The liabilities of commercial and manufacturing firms failing in this District were somewhat less in March than in February, continuing the downward trend observable since January. The liabilities of such firms for the first quarter of this year are much greater in amount than they were for the corresponding quarter of 1921. An analysis of the bankrupt firm shows that the failures predominated in the wholesale and retail trade group embracing wearing apparel, dry goods, boots and shoes, and similar lines. A monthly survey of industrial employment made by the United States Employment Service shows that during March payrolls increased in all industries except food, textiles, and leather, and their products. Such 'basic industries as iron, steel, and other metal products, vehicles, railroad repair shops, paper, printing, and stone, clay and glass products, made substantial gains during March. Public employment offices located in the largest cities of Ohio reported a large increase in the num ber of persons actually placed during March, as compared with February. There is a marked improvement in the condition of the agricultural industry, according to the direc REVIEW tor of the War Finance Corporation. Bank de posits have increased in many agricultural com munities and the country banks are generally in a stronger position than they have been for a long time. Up to March 31, the War Finance Corpora tion had approved over three hundred million dol lars in loans for agricultural purposes. Late official estimates indicate that the prospective yield o f winter wheat will be about two million bushels less than the average annual yield for the past ten years. Cheering news for the farmer is the general downward trend in the prices of farm im plements, tractors, and other agricultural supplies reported by the United States Department of Agriculture. While the business outlook is growing better almost daily, we must remember that it must nec essarily proceed at a slow pace. We can again begin to look forward with confidence to a com plete restoration of normal industrial activity; but we must not permit ourselves to relax the atten tion to the task in hand. If we can continue to improve gradually, we will find the foundation o f recovery so substantial that we will be better pre pared to enjoy that longer and continued indus trial activity which we hope to be not so very far ahead. Loans to City Banks Increase Slightly; Little Change in Demand From Country Banks; Acceptance Market Dull There has been no change of outstanding im portance in the banking situation since last month. Loans and rediscount demands on us by our mem ber banks, however, and particularly those in the cities, have been on the increase, indicating to some extent the improvement of business in general. From March 20 to April 1 the loans to country banks increased approximately $1,000,000, but on April 20 the demand had again fallen off to near the March 20 point. This slight fluctuation is at tributable to the customary spring demand. The demand for accommodations from city banks has shown a greater fluctuation. There was a steady increase in the demand from March 20 to April 18 to the amount of slightly more than $12,000,000. April 20. however, brought a marked de cline and loans to city banks are now about $2,000.000 higher than they were a month ago. With drawals of state, county and other public funds have been partially responsible for this fluctuation. The month ending April 20 brought a slight de crease in the reserve ratio of the Federal Reserve System and also of this bank. On March 20 the System’s reserve ratio was 79 per cent and on April 20, 77.7 per cent, a drop for the month of 1.3 per cent. The reserve ratio of this bank on March 20 was 78.7 per cent and on April 20, 76.3 per cent, or a decrease of 2.4 per cent for the month. Combined reports from 18 large savings banks and trust companies in the Fourth Federal Reserve District show a decrease in saving deposits of 5 1 per cent for March, 1922, over the corresponding month for last year. Deposits for the same num ber of banks on March 31 were 0.3 per cent less than they were at the end of February of thi* year. ' ** Throughout the month the acceptance market has been at a very low ebb and consequently ex tremely dull. Both the supply and the demand was weak. Few bills moved in this District at the low rates which have prevailed this month, and bills that did move were those maturing within 90 days. On March 11 rates were from 4 to \]A per cent and on April 15 they had declined to y/t per cent. The domestic bills offered in this market covered the following commodities: Crude oil, coal nipiron, wheat, oats, corn, steel products, knitted goods hardwood lumber, window glass, and wool. Th ’ imports bills covered coffee and woolen rags The export bills were for paints, auto tires, and ruh ber goods. Dealer’s comments on the acceptance market in this territory for the past month indicate that il has been very dull. During the latter part o f March there was a little quickening of demand but there was a very decided slump the fo r e o a l of April. There have been very few offerings and the rates have reached a point so low that' they fail to attract the buyers in Ohio. Most of THE M O N T H L Y BUSINESS REVIEW the customers are in a position to get a better rate on their idle money than is offered by the present market in bankers’ acceptances. A careful survey of customers has been made and almost without exception they declare that they like acceptances, but that the rates are too low to 3 attract them at the present time, even if they were in funds. A great many of them state that the reviving business is absorbing what otherwise would be idle funds. Without exception, however, they state that they will be interested in acceptances when other conditions prevail Calculations of Iron and Steel Industry Disturbed By Coal Strike} Output Continues Around 70 to 75 Per Cent; Prices Advance The coal strike carrying with it an unexpected defection of the non-union workers in the Connellsville regions, the key fuel district of the iron and steel industry, has interjected a disturbing influence into the iron and steel market after some weeks of steady and promising development. Because of the fact that the effective date of the strike was timed with the usual Easter holidays in the coke regions, the true character of the absence of the men from duty is yet to be determined. Nevertheless the situation has displayed certain possibilities which have tended to unsettle some of the original con fident calculations of the industry and it has had the effect of arousing apprehension among both producers and consumers over shortages of sup plies and of giving the market a sharp turn. Trices have been given a decided upward impetus all along the line, ranging from $2 to $5 per ton and these have come so rapidly as to arouse some anx iety over a possible over-stimulation of the market. The menace of the strike for the iron and steel industry at present is more prospective than im mediate. Most of the plants are in a comfortable position for some weeks on fuel stocks; however there is a belief in the trade that any extended pro longation of the irregular operations in the Connellsville region would likely have far-reaching ef fects in curtailing iron and steel output, and in checking the growing demand for mill and furnace products. Some blast furnaces have been forced to bank by interruption of coke supplies, and various others which were about to resume, have been held idle. The chief deterrent resulting from the uncer tainty caused by the strike, in fact, is that the placing in commission of further iron and steel capacity is being blocked. At present the industry con tinues to maintain an output of 70 to 75 per cent which has been more or less stationary since April 1. Operators are not inclined to put on ad ditional furnaces and mills until they feel more assured that these can be kept in uninterrupted operation. Barring the doubtful factor of the strike's influ ence, the expansion of the iron and steel industry both in market demand and production has con tinued very favorable. Steel ingot production in March was raised to the indicated annual rate of 32,500,000 tons, or to the basis of 74.3 per cent of the high record yearly output of the country in 1917. March represented a gain of 182 per cent over the low point of July. Pig iron production in March, according to the compilation of The Iron Trade Reviciv, was 2,034,784 tons, the greatest in 14 months, and a gain of 404,604 tons over February. Compared with the low point in July, the in crease is 135 per cent. Bookings of business by the mills and furnaces in March were the heaviest in about two years and the demand has shown no signs of tapering off. The buying volume from the railroads, building construction, automobile, general manufacturing and jobbing interests has been keeping to a high rate. Since January 1, the railroads have ordered ap proximately 60,000 cars as against 28,000 in the full year of 1921. This rate of buying is the larg est since 1913 and greater than the average of the past 10 years. Structural steel awards in March totaled 139,300 tons, or 77 per cent of the country’s shop capacity, the best showing since March. 1920. Since April 1, fully 140,000 tons have been placed. The price situation is well reflected by The Iron Trade Rcvictv's average composite of 14 iron and steel products. Since the low point of $32.80 late in March, the composite during the third week in April had been lifted to $34.02. This gain was the first substantial upturn of the composite average in 18 months. By way of comparison, the high point of the composite was $89.69 in August, 1917. In April, 1913, the average was $27.74. Lake Shipping Season Opens With Fair Demand For Bulk Freighters; Miners Strike Causes Little Change in Lake Coal Shipments The demand for tonnage during the early part of the shipping season will not be great enough to furnish employment for all the bulk freighters, but the number of vessels that will be idle during the period will be much smaller than it was in 1921 when down cargoes were very scarce and some of the boats had to come down light for coal. Ac cording to a line-up made by some of the shippers and consumers who are interested in mines, some of the furnaces will take forward considerable more ore than they did last season. No orders have been booked for 1922 delivery and it is not expected that sales of any size will be made until some ac tion is taken in regard to rail rates at both ends of the route. The start in the ore trade will be slow. Most of THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW 4 the big plants have a good supply on hand and they will be in no great rush to get started, but stocks at some of the furnace yards are low and early cargoes will be wanted at Cleveland and Buffalo. Some sales of dock ore have been made and some trading has been done in order to get certain grades for mixtures, but the indications are that there will not be much ore received at this end of the route until the middle of May. The docks at Lake Erie ports will be in better shape on May 1 than they were last year. The interior furnaces are taking ore forward at a pretty fair rate and ship ments from dock for April will show a good in crease over February and March. There is less ore in store at the furnace yards than there was a year ago, and the movement for the season will be much heavier than it was in 1921. A number of early cargoes were delivered but there was no great rush for coal on account of the miners strike, in spite of the fact that the docks at some of the upper lake ports cleaned up in better shape than expected. Considerable coal was loaded early for steel plants at Lake Michigan ports and at this end of the route. Tonnage was lined up to take about 100,000 tons of coal from Ohio ports to Buffalo and some of the coal carriers were un loaded at Toledo. Although the miners quit work April 1, considerable coal was delivered at the lake front last month, but the amount afloat at the opening was not as great as it was in 1921. Stocks of grain at the upper lake ports are much heavier than they were a year ago, but aside from the first trip, chartering has not been very active. A number of boats are still holding cargoes at Lake Michigan ports and at this end of the route. Reports on Manufacturing Conditions, Taken as a Whole, Show Distinct Improvement; Automobile and Truck Production Gaining Various manufacturing lines show another dis tinct improvement. The letters received from our correspondents this month, giving reports on manu facturing and business conditions throughout the Fourth Federal Reserve District, are the most opti mistic of any received since business started in the right direction. Two months ago the betterment following the turn of the year was reflected in the reports taken as a whole. Last month the reports indicated a more conservative increase in activity,' while the first weeks of April have undoubtedly brought increased spring production, partly due to seasonal demand. Automobile production continues to increase. Orders for passenger cars are coming in at a good rate and in some instances April orders are double those of March. One large manufacturer reports “ business even better than our expectations” . The National Automobile Chamber of Commerce reports that production of cars and trucks in the first quarter of 1922 was 220 per cent of the first quarter 1921. March shipments of all makers in creased 32 per cent over February and were 65 per cent greater than March last year. The fac tory shipping figures for all manufacturers are: Carloads Driveawavs Bv Boat 1922 1921 1922 1921 1922 1921 January 15,297 6,48a 7,467 3,185 143 93 February 19.636 9,986 10.173 7,507 180 99 March *25,210 16,287 *15,804 9,939 264 75 •Partly estimated. Practically complete production of passenger cars for February was 109,005. The truck business for the first quarter of 1922 in general shows a decided improvement over the corresponding quarter of last year. A part of this improvement has been brought about by the fact that excessive stocks held by responsible dealers have been reduced to a limited number. A partial absorption of trucks that were held by companies who liquidated business, and also the marketing of Government owned trucks, as well as trucks re-imported from the Kuropean battle-fields, has also taken place. With those stocks out of the way it is only natural that buyers must pur chase trucks that have to be made by the manu facturer. These things are reflecting themselves in the output of the truck manufacturer. A large truck company reports March as beine the best month they have had in orders since June, 1920, the orders exceeding any subsequent month by about 20 per cent. Deliveries were the best, with one exception, of any month since Sep tember, 1920. Indications from all of their 40 branch offices throughout the country show a con tinued gradual improvement over March business. The construction of buildings now under way in Cleveland is causing a stronger demand for trucks for heavy hauling purposes. Practically complete production of trucks w February was 12,898. The automobile axle business has shown a marked improvement since last month. A large concern re ports business now running at approximately 50 per cent of normal with prospects of a 75 per cent output in May. There has been no particular change in the hard ware business since our last report. Prices are low and competition keen. Retail business is look ing better. Customers are still buying on a verv conservative basis. An encouraging feature is that buyers are paying for their goods as they get them. There is a much improved feeling in the cork industry over that of a few months ago. The de mand is more active and several important plants in the District are operating almost at capacitv The outlook for the next two or three months reported to be good. ,s There has been a slow but steady increase in the printing and lithographic ink business since the THE M O N T H L Y B U S I NE S S REVIEW first of the year. Trade with South America is slow but in the Far East where considerable business is done there is a better feeling. In the tool manufacturing line, local business is reported to have slowed down a little the last few weeks, but the general tendency over the country appears to be forward. A further gradual improvement is noted in the farm implement industry, but up to this time it is confined principally to reports of dealers' stocks moving rather than factory shipments. The plate glass industry is running strong. A large manufacturer reports operations at 90 per S cent of capacity, which is up to normal, and that the production is being sold. At a recent meeting of the company’s managers located in leading cities of the country, a very satisfactory outlook was re ported. Business in electrical lines is picking up. March sales of products used by railroads show a large increase over those for February. In comparison with the preceding five or six months, the past month has evidenced a fair increase in demand be yond what might be considered seasonal. The radio industry continues to show a remarkable growth. Jobbers Slow in Ordering Supplies of Gasoline for Summer Trade; Domestic Crude Shows Increase; Market for Gasoline Growing March was a month of hesitation so far as the buying of refined petroleum products was con cerned. The prices of all refined products trended upward throughout the month, this being especially true of gasoline. However, buying was slow for the reason that the jobbers over the country hesi tated to make big commitments for summer busi ness until they were sure that there could be little chance of any reductions in the posted price of crude oil. At the same time they realized that a sudden entry into the market by jobbers for a big quantity of gasoline would have the effect of stim ulating the price. Stocks in the tanks of jobbers are low all over the country, but they maintained their hand-to-mouth buying policy. The weather during March was generally bad over the country and retail sales of gasoline were not very heavy. Refiners quite generally, faced with a relatively high price of crude oil on one side and a low price for the products on the other, restricted their oper ations during March as during February and Janu ary, and for the most part ran their products to storage, rather than sell them at prevailing prices. Inquiries from jobbers to refiners seeking to con tract for supplies of gasoline for the spring and summer trade, increased considerably during March over those of February. However, their offers were, for the most part, rejected by the refiners, because of the latter’s confidence in stronger prices to come later in the season. Fuel oil prices were generally low during March, the demand being small due to restricted indus trial activity, and the coal strike apparently not being taken very seriously by fuel consumers. Toward the end of the month, fuel oil demand in creased somewhat, and gas oil began to move more freely as the large gas companies came into the market to contract for requirements covering three to six months. The fact that public utilities companies are usu ally very close and intelligent buyers seems to in dicate, through their extensive purchasing the lat ter part of March, that they believe the bottom has been reached. Gasoline buying declined some what toward the end of the month, due to the fact that both refiners and jobbers wished to hold off on making commitments until after the jobbers and refiners’ salesmanagers got together at the Na tional Petroleum Marketers’ Association Conven tion, which was held April 4 to 7, at Kansas City. At that time both buyers and sellers expected to be able to size up the situation more intelligently and plan their policies for summer business. Kerosene sales were slow throughout the month, largely due to the absence of export demand which in former years has taken up the surplus from do mestic refineries. Production of crude oil continued to increase from week to week during March, especially in the fresh pools of the Mid-Continent fields, and the month showed, for the first time in two years, an excess of domestic crude produced over crude con sumed in American refineries. The general belief is, however, that the demands of the gasoline season, which is already opening strong, will shortly take care of the excess and bring crude stocks more into a line with consump tive demand. At present the market for gasoline is strong and other products are showing a sym pathetic tendency upward. Business in Canned Goods Continues in Fair Volume; Food Products Business Shows Substantial Gain Sales of canned goods have continued in pretty fair volume since last month. Retail grocers re port that spot stocks are moving into the con sumers hands very well, although the sales as a rule are still quite small. Stocks held by the canners have been reduced to a considerable extent. Canners, quite generally, are in a much stronger financial position than they were a year ago, and are looking forward to fur ther improvement. Asparagus packers have sold their entire output for 1922 as futures, at a price somewhat higher than opening prices for 1921. Canners of sweet corn are reducing their acre THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S R EVI EW age and are planting only enough to take care of future orders, or an amount that they are able to finance easily. Spot tomatoes are in a strong position and are commanding a good price. The tomato crop is third in value of the vegetable crops in this country. From 200,000 to 300,OCX) acres are devoted to this crop annually for canning and manufacturing pur poses. The yield is around 1,000,000 tons per annum. The past month has witnessed but little change in the food products industry, but the increase in business over March of last year is substantial. The wholesale grocery business is reported to be steadily improving. Retail grocers are also gain ing more confidence. Stocks of goods in retailers hands are light, and this fact coupled with in creased confidence in values, is leading wholesale grocers to expect a very good business with the arrival of new pack goods about July 1. This fact is also evidenced by the amount of future buy ing done by the retail trade for delivery from new packs. Local Building Affected By Recent Strike; Outlook Grouting Brighter; Exposition Plans Progressing The building outlook has brightened considerably since our last report. Many workers who were out on strike a month ago have returned to work and construction is again moving forward. Building materials are inquired for in larger volume and are moving from the retail yards. While building operations in Cleveland have been seriously affected by the strike called on March 1, the figures for the leading suburbs indicate a marked increase over 1921. Had it not been for the handi cap of the strike it is easy to see how the house building program would have forged ahead during the early part of this year. For example, the value of permits issued in Cleveland Heights for the first three months of the year is $1,751,782 as com pared with $1,182,735 for the same period last year; Lakewood $1,699,815 as compared with $1,409,628; Hast Cleveland $784,165 as compared with $263,210; West Park $426,420 as compared with $275,491. The aggregate increase for the leading sub urbs of the city over last year for the first three months is in excess of $1,500,000. From these figures it is apparent that the clear ing of the way for operations with a definite con clusion as to wages and working conditions, w ill provide a direct stimulus for the industry. A healthy increase in building is reported in Cincinnati. All types of buildings are represented in the applications for permits, but dwelling per mits are in the lead. The Building Exposition to be held in Cleveland is scheduled to open April 22 and is to continue eleven days. The Exposition has been planned with a view to stimulating the building of homes and in addition to show types of heating apparatus electric fixtures, labor saving devices, decorations and furnishings. It is being staged under the aus pices of the Builders Exchange and is the first of its kind to be held in Cleveland since 1916. The total of building permit expenditures of 154 leading cities reporting to Bradstreefs for the month of March is $234,288,294 as compared with $130,245,280 in February, and $117,994,780 in March a year ago. This is a gain of 72.1 per cent over February and of 98.6 per cent over Matrh 1921. cn ’ Improvement in Basic Industries Reflected in Pulp and Paper Business; Orders Slightly Larger Business in the pulp and paper industry has been quite slow during the past few months, but at present there are indications that business is grow ing. Orders are now coming in at a better rate and with more satisfactory specifications than for some months past. Manufacturers and merchants who attended the annual convention of the American Paper and Pulp Association recently held at New York, look to the future with confidence. The meeting was described as a starting point of a forward move ment all along the line in the placing of orders to fill up the depleted stocks. The improvement in basic industries throughout the country has already reflected an increased ton nage in the paper mills, as the small stocks quite generally carried by the consumer, are not suffi cient to meet the needs of any material advance in business. It is estimated that stocks at the mills on the merchants’ shelves, and in the hands of the printers and consumers, are lower than they have been for perhaps two years. The demand for fine paper is continuing at about 75 per cent of normal. Coarse papers are slowlv working back toward normal and orders are in creasing. Production of wrapping paper was esti mated at 50 per cent of normal a short time a«>~ News print mills are running at about 85 per cent capacity. According to a report of the American Paoer and Pulp Association, news print consumption has been running heavy since last October. Sixty odd newspapers in the United States of more than 100000 circulation each averaged more pages daily and Sunday combined in March, than during any orev. ious month on record. The anticipated spring pick-up which is cus tomary in the paper box and box board business was not very strong. From this time until July £ the usual dull period. Prices on box board are still quite low, and orders are small. THE M O N T H L Y BUSINESS REVIEW 1 Tire Production Gaining; Orders From Automobile Companies Larger The rubber industry has shown a slow but the high point, while buying for the coming sea healthy improvement during the past month. This son is not yet under way. Belting and other rub is true not only of the larger companies which have ber products required in industry is reported to be been on the up grade for some time, but it also showing a gradual improvement. applies to smaller concerns. For a time the im The India Rubber Review, after a careful sur provement was noticeable principally in the Akron vey, is of the opinion that caution is still needed in district. The steady demand for tires, however, is the tire industry. In this connection it says: “ That being reflected in larger production by companies the tire industry as a whole, however, has ex outside of the Rubber City which until recently panded beyond present needs is apparent. During were operating their plants on a largely cur the war period factories were expanded to take care tailed basis. of war-time tire requirements, and also tire de Reports indicate that dealers as a whole have very small stocks on hand, and will have to be mands which were based upon the use of five or dependent to a large extent upon production dur six tires per car a year, whereas the increased qual ing the next three months to supply tires for the ity of tires now produced has decreased this de motoring season which is at hand. Sales of tires mand to approximately three tires a year with re to automobile companies are showing a steady sulting plant equipment for which demand must be postponed for at least several years.” increase. The crude rubber market is holding rather firm. There have been no particular changes in the mechanical rubber goods business. The market for Buyers of crude rubber are showing more inter rubber heels is very good and is even better than est than they did a month ago, and are watching before the depression set in. The demand for market developments closely, but the volume of boots and shoes for the spring season has passed transactions is small. Coal Production Drops As Result of Miners Strike; Considerable Reserve Supply in Hands of Consumers The last few weeks prior to the coal strike brought out a final spurt of activity which carried the production of soft coal up to 11,448,000 tons in the week ending March 25. The output was the largest recorded since December, 1920. Pro duction during the week ending April 1 declined to 10,463,000 tons according to a recent report of the Geological Survey. The first week of the miners strike brought a sharp drop in production. Complete returns of coal loaded into cars at the mines indicate that produc tion during the first week of the strike was 3,784,000 net tons of bituminous coal and a few cars of anthracite dredged from the rivers. The total production of all coal was estimated at 3,793,000 tons as against 5,590,000 tons during the first week of the 1919 coal strike. At that time, however, anthracite mines were working to capacity and produced 2,008,000 tons. The Survey states there are additional evidences that the country was heavily stocked with coal on April 1. In addition to the coal held by consum ers, the coal on the upper lake docks and in storage at the mines, there was a heavy tonnage in cars at the mines for which no billing orders had been received by the railroads when April 1 arrived. The total quantity of coal unbilled in cars on that date exceeded 1,400,000 tons of bituminous and 115,000 tons of anthracite. It is estimated that around 3,000,000 tons of soft coal were added to the consumers’ stock piles by the final spurt in production during the week prior to the strike, which would bring total stocks in the hands of consumers on April 1 to approximately 63,000,000 tons. The present rate of consumption and shipments abroad is about 8,300,000 tons a week. Production of anthracite coal practically ceased during the first week of the strike. Railroad rei ports of loadings show that 172 cars were shipped during the week ending April 8 of which 27 were left over from the week preceding, and 145 were the product of river dredges. Based on these load ings, the total output is estimated at 9,000 net tons. Farmers Start Spring Work; Acreage of Burley Tobacco Undecided; Poultry Business Important Spring work on the farms has been delayed somewhat by rain, but farmers have taken advantage of the good weather and have made progress in getting the soil ready for spring planting. The winter wheat crop in most sections of the Fourth District has wintered quite well. Some of the fields, however, are spotted as a result of the severe weather last January and February. There has been less than the usual amount of freezing and thawing this spring with the result thUt wheat THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N ES S REVI EW 8 fields are already taking on a healthy color. But it is still too early to make any exact estimate of the wheat crop production, for quick changes in the weather such as occurred last year make spring estimates very uncertain. The United States rye crop April 1 showed a condition of 89 per cent compared to 90.3 per cent April 1, 1921, and 88.5 per cent average on April 1, for the last 10 years. According to a recent report of the Ohio De partment of Agriculture, the average farm wage on April 1 for the state of Ohio was $32 a month which is a reduction of from $8 to $10 a month from the wages paid a year ago. The supply of labor in most sections of the state is amply suffi cient for all needs. There is nothing especially outstanding in the burley tobacco situation at this time. The tobacco is now all in and most of it has been in for the past two or three weeks. The Marketing Associa tion is placing the tobacco which has not been sold into hogsheads for storage purposes and it is probable that sales of tobacco in hogsheads will be made later on in the season when the tobacco ha-s gone through the “June sweat” . The growers appear to be very well satisfied with the results obtained by the Association up to this time. At present there are over 55,000 growers in the organization. It is still too early to determine what the acre age for the present season will be, but it is ex pected that a somewhat larger crop than last year will be planted in view of the fact that last year’s acreage was below the average. Plans for establishing a marketing organization among the dark tobacco growers of western Ken tucky, similar to the one in the Burley field, are being pushed forward and the interest seems to be very keen. There is no question but that the proceeds from the sale of last year’s tobacco crop have been o f great benefit to the farmers of Kentucky, and reports all indicate a decided improvement in busi ness in that part of the District. The consumption of eggs has increased with re markable rapidity in the country during the past two years, according to reports received by the Ohio Division of Markets ot the State Agricultural Department. The egg business, which is now one of the important industries of the country and occupying the attention of market men, as well as producers, more than ever before, is of great concern in Ohio! It has established itself here in a very firm wav and has ramifications throughout the entire state. Ohio has become one of the largest egg producing sections of the entire country. Beyond furnish ing a supply sufficient to meet the" needs of its own people, and they are not small, thousands of cases are shipped to outside markets. In 1920 the producers here sent 300,000 cases to New York, or 9,000,000 dozen. But this grew enormously in 1921 when the New York market took 457,839 cases or 13,735,170 dozen, an increase of more than 25 per cent. Many men, in Ohio and other states, and women as well, are realizing the rapid growth in the de mand for eggs as an article of daily use. As a result, increasing numbers are constantly going into the raising of chickens, the egg laying quali ties of which are the most pronounced. It has proven a successful line of industry to those w ho operated along scientific lines and make egg pro ducing a matter of careful study. Textile Industry Shows a Little More Confidence; Warm Weather Brings Out Retail Trade There appears to be a somewhat better feeling in the textile industry in the Fourth District than there was a month ago. Whether this slight im provement has been brought about by a more con sistent demand for merchandise, or because many of the large mills in the east are closed down on account of strikes, which naturally causes de pleted stocks sooner or later, the fact remains that the demand has been picking up a little during the past two weeks. Reports from manufacturers of fancy knit goods indicate a somewhat uneven activity. As a rule it is customary to start work on materials for the coming fall by March 1, but so far there has been less than the usual amount of work in this direc tion. There has been no particular change in the knit underwear business during the past month. Weather c o i t i o n s have been partially responsible for the slack demand for spring goods for immediate de livery. The big department stores have been or dering slowly and this is also true of the small retailers. Within the past ten days, however, a slight betterment appears to be taking place, par ticularly in the larger stores which are coming into the market with larger orders. Manufacturers of men’s and women's clothing are marking time to some extent awaiting the results of opening up of fall lines. The undertone generally is more optimistic than it has been for several months. While the late Easter together with unsettled weather conditions delayed the opening up of retail trade, the few warm days we have had appeared to bring out substantial retail business. The new wool clip is reported to be fairly satis factory. Prices of wool are continuing high The strike among New England workers still continues and more men are reported to be idle than at any previous time this year. Labor trou bles among the textile workers in Great Britain are also being experienced. THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S R EV I EW 9 No Particular Change in Transportation Situation Shown Through March During March there was a large increase in the movement of freight traffic in this territory, this being a continuation of the improvement which has been noted so far this year. Up to this time no complete figures for April showing the effect of the coal strike have been given out. The total operating revenue for the eastern dis trict for February, 1922, showed an increase of 4 per cent over the same month in 1921, and there was a net revenue of almost $28,000,000 as com pared with a deficit of over $7,000,000 last yean Reports of 200 Class 1 railroads filed with the Interstate Commerce Commission show that Janu ary operating revenues aggregated $394,940,789 dr 16 per cent less than in the corresponding month of last year, while operating expenses were $337,142,000 representing a decrease of 23.7 per cent from January, 1921. The operating income totaled $29,476,422 as against $51,588,000 in December. Passenger traffic on Class 1 railroads decreased 20 per cent in 1921 as compared with 1920. The number of bad order cars on March 1 was 334,628, this being an increase over the number reported on February 28 at which time there were 272,867 cars awaiting repair. On March 15, how ever, the number had decreased to 154,499. On January 1 of this year there were 313,190 bad order cars. It is estimated that between 14 and 15 per cent of the total freight car equipment of the country’s railroads is still unfit for service. Until the beginning of the coal strike the num ber of idle serviceable freight cars showed a steady decrease since the first of the year. On December 31 the number was 470,516; on January 31, 330,681: on February 28, 245,100, and on March 31, 206,746. A Special Survey on Farm Implements In the Egyptian quarter of the British Museum, standing humbly in a glass case between two mum mied Pharoahs, is a little group of farm utensils, A broken wooden plow, a rusted sickle, two sticks lied together with a string, and several tassels that had hung on the horns of the oxen. These were found on the banks of the Nile three thousand years ago. Egypt had a most elaborate government at that time. She had an army and a navy, an art and literature. Yet her bread-tools were no better than those of the bar barians whom she dispiscd. It is one of the most baffling mysteries of history, that agriculture—one of the first industries to be learned, was among the last to be developed. The traditions of agriculture, the industry of in dustries, reach back beyond the date of written rec ords. Together with hunting and fishing it shares the distinction of being one of the oldest of human activities. Because of the traditions in which the art of agriculture has been enveloped, changes have been slow in coming. Just as practically all new inven tions, which have proven themselves to be of lasting benefit to society, have had to pass through “a trial as by fire,” just so were the infant ideas that hand work on the farm could be replaced by machinery, ridiculed. The men who dared to think such foolish things were branded as “ dreamers," and persecuted as enemies of society. The first railroad was torn up. The first telegraph wires were cut. The first sewing machine was smashed. The first man who sold coal in Philadelphia was chased out as a swindler. The first iron plows were said to poison the soil, while horses shied when they say the first unwieldy reaj>er, and farmers laughed and declared they would stick to the old-fashioned cradle. But the development did come. The crude, unwieldy tillage tool of the ancients has been replaced by the smooth-running modern plow—the fundamental farm implement. The self-binding harvester has taken the place of the tiny hand sickle and the back-breaking grain cradle. The threshing machine lias supplanted the flail. And in place of slow plodding oxen is the “ iron horse”—the modern gas tractor—ready to chug its way across the fields twenty-four hours" each day without tiring. Modem farm machinery is the answer to the far mers call for shorter hours, less heart-breaking toil and greater financial returns. The American farmer has not become the most up-to-date of all the agricultural peoples of the world for the mere pleasure of an ex periment, but because by using modern methods he can produce more food and cheaper food under the eco nomic conditions with which he is confronted. It is almost impossible to realize what this com plete change has meant to food production. The period before 1860 may be considered one of hand production and since that date—or at least since 1870 —that of machine production. The following table taken from The Influence of Farm Machinery On Production And Labor9 is based on a very careful study of all data available on the subject: M an L abor Man-Hours Required for Production Crop (1 acre)By Hand By Machine Barley ................................... 64 3 Corn ..................................... 39 15 Cotton ................................... 168 79 Hay ....................................... 21 4 O a ts....................................... 66 7 Potatoes ................................ 109 38 Rice ....................................... 62 17 Rye ....................................... 63 25 Wheat ................................... 61 3 The plow is our oldest agricultural implement. An cient monuments, dating back forty centuries, bear 10 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N ES S REVI EW sculptured representations of the plow. As early as 1100 B.C., two thousand years before the horse was harnessed to the plow, the Israelites, who were un skilled in working iron, “went down to the Philistines to sharpen, every man, his share and his coulter.” (A coulter is a blade or disk on the beam of a plow to cut the sod.) History does not give the name of the first plow or the name of its inventor. Perhaps the snout of a wild hog in its quest for grubs suggested the shape, and a budgeon sharpened to a point was the crude imita tion. Later a widening of the point into a chisel shape made the instrument more efficient in its work. Grad ually improvements were added, but the real change came in 1837 when John Deere, a blacksmith at Grand Detour, Illinois, built three steel plows, one of which is still in existence. Then near the close of 1873 James Oliver whose name is still linked with the chilled plow in all parts of the world, perfected the chilling proc ess. From that time there lias been a steady im provement and today, the land that was once scratched with the aid of a crooked stick, is now turned in long, even furrows by the trim walking plow, the up-to-date sulky, and the gang plow for traction plowing. All of this has gone far in relieving the farmer of bur densome toil. Different soils require different types of plows. A plow with its working parts made from soft-centered steel is popular in the west, while in the east the chilled plow gives the most satisfaction. Plow manufacturers count quite a lot on replace ment business each year. There is a particularly heavy wear on the moldboard, landside, and share, which means that these parts must be replaced frequently. A year in which there is less than the usual amount of rainfall means more business for the plow manu facturer. Dry, hard soil makes plowing more difficult and consequently a larger replacement business for the manufacturer. While the plow is the basic tillage tool, many others are used in the preparation of the soil for the seed, and in caring for the growing crop. Next to the plow, the harrow seems to be the tool most common to eastern and western farms. Spike-tooth, spring-tootli. and various types of disk harrows are among the most important, and are used principally for leveling and pulverizing the soil. The disk harrow has won con siderable popularity within the past few years. It is an all-around harrow being adapted to a variety of conditions. It is generally used in preparing plowed land for corn or other crops, in preparing corn-stubble land for oats in the spring or for wheat in the fall, in cultivating alfalfa, and, in recent years, in harrow ing sod previous to breaking. The roller is a tool that is used to pack the soil in dry weather, mash bumps and level the land. It is efficient in the preparation of the seed-bed when properly used, but when improperly used it does more harm than good. Cultivators and weeders are also important factors in the division of tillage tools. In some sections of the east the walking cultivator is still in general use, but on the larger farms the sulky cultivator has replaced the old-style method. Various types o f weeders are also extensively used for stirring the soil after spring crops are planted—chiefly corn and po tatoes. Seeding machinery is used in planting the crop. This work is very vital and the importance of proper selection, care and adjustment of seeding machinery must not be overlooked. A field may be fertile, the soil properly prepared, but without proper seeding, good crops cannot grow. Corn and potato planters* grain drills, and grass seeders may be classed under the head of seeding machinery. As a labor saver and a source of profit, the manure spreader has come to be regarded as a necessity on the farm. The need for proper application of lime in its various forms for the purpose of correcting soil acidity, has also brought about a wide use of the lime spreader. Harvesting machinery comes next. This is a very important branch of the farm implement business and for several reasons. Few operations on the farm can be as completely carried out by machinery as that of har vesting. While complete equipment means quite a heavy investment, the investment pays for itself not only through a saving in labor, but through value added to the crop by promptness in caring for it. A noted authority on farming hit the nail on the head when he made this statement: “ Any farmer who real ly needs a farm machine and does not buy it, is paying for it whether he buys it or not.” Haying machinery includes mowers, rakes, tedders, hay loaders, barn equipment, and stacking tools. In all of these, improvements have been made. The mower does better work with less power; the modern self-dump rake has proven its superiority over the older wooden frame, wooden wheel, hand dump style* the advent of the loader which did away with the tiresome hand-method of loading, especially in flat farming sections, created a demand for the side-delivery rake; the tedder makes possible the speedv drying and curing of a heavy hay crop; and the mod ern barn equipment and stacking tools complete the job. Early in our story we told how the sickle and the cradle have been supplanted by the modern grain binder, now used in almost every country in the world McCormick spent the best years of his life before he succeeded in convincing the skeptical public that his reaper was something worth while, but he had the satisfaction of seeing his dream come true. It has been said that the reaper “ pushed the American frontier westward at the rate of thirty miles a year.” Most of the western railways followed the wheat and wheat money paid for them. The reaper clicked ahead of the railroad, and civilization followed the wheat from Chicago to Puget Sound, just as the self-binder is leading the railroad today. It is still far ahead in Western Canada and even farther in Siberia During the Civil War the reaper did the work of a million men in the grain fields of the north and made possible the successful termination of the war. The binder with the aid of its allies—modem farm imple THE M O N T H L Y BUSINESS REVIEW ments—played the same important role in the World War, and even on a larger scale. Threshing completes the journey of the grain on the farm. Solomon said “ There is no new thing under the sun.” Modern threshing methods are new but thresh ing is old. The ancients taught us how to thresh. Threshing is the removal of the grain from the head; separating is the removal of the straw. Lastly, the chaff is removed—that is cleaning. The ancients did the work with flails or oxen. Today an up-to-date threshing outfit combines all the operations and it is a success because it is an improvement over the old method. There was a time when practically all the thresh ing throughout the country was done by men who owned threshing outfits. They traveled about from farm to farm. But this system very often caused delay which resulted in the loss of grain. The past few years has brought a change. Neighboring fanners have gone together and bought outfits of their own. They no longer wait until late in the season to thresh their grain. Labor conditions and the use of the gas tractor, are resulting in the use of smaller threshers. Very frequently farmers have found it impossible to securc sufficient men to do the work required by a big thresh ing outfit. Then, too, paying for the labor is expensive while exchanging work at threshing time, as farmers sometimes do, is very inconvenient to say the least. Little threshing machines have been called grain insur ance policies. The housewife has something to say about it too. Of all the days in the year, none are dreaded as that one when the threshers are expected. Even worse than the heavy work for the busy farmer’s wife is the uncertainty. Largely due to the weather, threshers can never be depended upon. The roast may spoil if they are a day late and that means that the prize pullets will have to be killed for “ nothing is too good for the threshers,” and besides, if the meal is not up to the high standard of the community, the farmer s wife is certain to hear about it, if by chance she ever 11 ‘listens in” on the telephone. Smaller threshing out fits make work lighter for the farmer's wife. It is practically impossible to tell the many interest ing and important things that should be told about the growth of the farm implement business. The ensilage cutter is an example of what a new kind of machinery on the farm can do. This machine has revolutionized the dairy industry. Heading a properous implement manufacturing concern in the Fourth District is the man who invented the “ blower” type of ensilage cutter that made the high silo possible and it was he who suggested the idea for the first round silo. And so the improvements have come; each im provement making life on the farm a bit brighter, the work less burdensome, the results more pleasing, the returns larger. Modern farm machinery has placed the American farm on a higher plane and has moved the United States far away from the bread line. It is necessary to add, however, that the farm im plement industry is still at the bottom. But for the most part, it is rock-bottom, and already reports are coming in that sales in some localities are showing a slight improvement. Buying during the past few years has been very light and the farmers have been making their old machines last as long as possible. A sure indication of this is the heavy replacement business. Quite a number of large farm implement manu facturers were interviewed in connection with the pre paration of this survey and every one of them reported growing evidences of the need for new machinery on the farms. Scientific agriculture is still young. Step by step fanning is becoming a sure and scientific profession. The risks and uncertainties that formerly tossed the farmer back and forth, between hope and despair, are being mastered. The New Farmer is facing a brighter future. NOTE:—In the next issue of the Review we {Jan to publish a survey on power farming. THE M O N T H L Y BU S I N E S S REVI EW 12 The Story Of Our Fiscal Agency Department The duties performed by the Federal Reserve banks as fiscal agents of the United States have been delegated to the banks by the Secretary of the Treasury under the authorization of a brief clause forming a U r £? *• 1 e £ 4.1 r* i part of the first paragraph of Section 15 of the I’ ederal Reserve Act: “------which banks, when required by the Secretary of the Treasury, shall act as fiscal agents of the United States; ---------Since this provision appeared in the original text of the act as approved »«f t « • t *• r December 22, 1913, the magnitude and importance of the operations subsequently to be performed thereunder by the Federal Reserve banks could not then have been fully realized by anyone. Its simplicity is one of the chief merits of the provision, for it required the Reserve banks to perform any duty the T reasury considered advisable to delegate to them in the emergency of the unprecedented era of Government war financing which began early in the year 1917 and which still continues. From a financial point of view, the war is not yet over. This article is not a history of war financing, but inasmuch as the duties of the Fiscal Agency Department are the result mainly of such operations, probably brief mention of a few matters of interest in that connection will not be out of place. In its contribution to the financial assistance of the Government, the Fourth Federal Reserve District has ranked third, being exceeded only by the Second District (Federal Reserve Bank of New York) and the Seventh District (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago); the proportion of the total of the various issues taken by subscribers in the Fourth District has been approximately 10 per cent. The immediate financing of the war was accomplished by the issuance of short-term notes, called Treasury certificates of indebtedness, to be retired subsequently by the proceeds of long-time loans or taxes, The first issue of Treasury certificates in recent years was dated March 31, 1917, and was for an aggregate amount of $50,000,000, of which the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland took $3,500,000. Beginning with that issue, the Fourth Federal Reserve District has participated in 96 issues of Treasury certificates and notes and has received and paid for allotments aggregating $3,275,000,000. Of course, it must not be inferred that this amount represents in its entirety new funds absorbed by the Government, because many of the issues were in effect partially or wholly refunding operations, a recent illustration of which was Series A 1926 four-year Treasury notes dated March 15, the entire allotment of which was paid for in per cent Victory notes, maturing May 20, 1923. The amounts of the various Liberty loans were as follows: T<>tai Amount F™lthmFSmi ........ . R” " v'i^i,trict $203,300,050 lMrst Llberty L®3" ............... $1,989,455,550 Sccond Libcrty ^ ............. 3,807,865,000 410,352^450 Third Liberty Loan ............. Fourth Liberty Loan .............. Victory Liberty Loan ............ 4,175,650,050 6,964,581,100 4,495,374,300 At 7I7TITII7IZ 1otal ............................... $21,432,926,000 405,051,150 701,9091800 443,802,250 TTTi---------$2.164415 700 ' ’ Agency Department handled the pavments / or Liberty Loan bonds and notes allotted to subscribers in the Fourth District, although most of the Payments were made in the first instance to firms, corPora^ons and banks. 1 he firms and corporations turned over t{ie amounts they collected to the banks and the banks in turn remitted to the Fiscal Agency Department, which credited the account of the Treasurer of the United States on the books of the Federal Reserve Bank and the funds were then available for payment of the expenses of the Government. As a matter of fact, a large proportion of the funds to be realized from each ^ie Liberty Loans except the First was expended hy the Government in advance of their flotation, through the previous sale to the banks of Treasury certificates of indebtedness, the banks turning in such certificates as payment was received by them from the individual subscribers, firms and corporations. As the payments were received and entered, the Fiscal Agency Department, from stocks furnished by the Government, delivered or shipped the securities to the hanks, It would have been physically impossible for the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland to collect the payments for and handle the distribution of these vast amounts of securities had the operations not been facilitated by the splendid co-operation of the banks of the district, and a major portion of the credit for its successful accomplishment is due to the banks of every locality which spared neither eff°rt nor expense in handling the numerous details connected with the receiving of subscriptions from their customers, the collecting and transmitting of payments and the delivery of the securities, As a corollary to the flotation of the Liberty Loans the performance of numerous other duties from t‘ * to time has been required of the Federal Resent banks, among the more important of which mav hi mentioned the following: Treasury certificates of indebtedness and Treas note—subscriptions, allotments and payments ^ Conversion of First 3 ^ ’s into 4’s and 4% ’s THE M O N T H L Y BUSINESS REVIEW Conversions of First 4’s and Second 4’s into 4% ’s. Conversion of Victory 3•;:i,s into 4'}4’s and vice versa. Redemption of maturing coupons detached from U. S. Government securities. Redemption of maturing Treasury certificates of indebtedness. Redemption of Victory notes. Exchanges of denominations. Exchanges of temporary bonds for permanent ones. Exchanges of bonds and notes from coupon form into registered form and vice versa. Transfers of ownership of registered bonds and notes. The conversions of First i l/z s into 4’s and 4%\s were operative for limited periods only and the con versions of the Victories also now have been ter minated, but the other functions mentioned continue to the present time and all of them, with the exception of transactions in connection with securities in regis tered form, are now performed also by the Cincinnati and Pittsburgh Branches. The Fiscal Agency Depart ments of our three offices carry unissued stocks of the securities of all outstanding Government issues from the First Liberty Loan to date and are pre pared at all times to render immediate service in the exchange of denominations within an issue, the delivery of bonds in permanent form in exchange for tem porary bonds, and the delivery of First 4j4’s ami Second 414 ,s in exchange for First 4’s and Second 4*s respectively. However, exchanges of coupon for reg istered or registered for coupon bonds and notes and transfers of ownership of bonds and notes in registered form are submitted by us to the Treasury Department, since all registration records are maintained there; consequently, such transactions require at the present time an interval of about fifteen days for functioning and delivery of the new securities. Individuals, firms and corporations will find it ad visable to entrust all matters of this sort to their bank ing connections, as most banks are more or less famili ar with the requirements of the Treasury Department and have supplies of the prescribed forms; the banks also are in most instances prepared to forward securi ties to the Federal Reserve bank under proper safe guards at nominal expense. The brief outline presented herein of the functions performed by the Fi>cal Agency Department may con vey the impression that the various operations are com paratively simple, but the clerical work of the de partment includes many intricate accounting problems and most of the operations involve the handling of vast amounts of securities in a limited space of time and with absolute accuracy. Most of the other departments of the Federal Reserve Bank arc required to restrict their dealings to the members of the Federal Reserve System, numbering 883. but the Fiscal Agency Depart ment recognizes no such distinction and transacts busi ness with all banks of the district, numbering 1,968, and with corporations, firms and individuals. At the present time about 75 employes are assigned to the fis cal agency work, although on a number of previous occasions a considerably greater number has been required. 13 Interesting deductions may be drawn from some of the totals compiled. For instance, during the year 1921, we redeemed 9,132,000 United States coupons, aggre gating in value $62,120,000. Assuming that such cou pons represented one year's interest at 4% per cent, the par value of the United States securities from which they were detached equals $1,461,647,000; con sequently, that amount of such securities apparently is lodged in the Fourth District and owned by its resi dents. Usually the physical bulk of valuable securities is not particularly embarrassing to the holder, but the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, on a number of occasions during the past five years, has found its vaults seriously congested with large accumula tions of such valuables. Dealers in many commodi ties are accustomed to carload units, but probably none of them has ever in his most optimistic moments considered the necessity of handling United States Government bonds by the carload. It is a fact, how ever, that the securities handled by the Federal Re serve Bank of Cleveland since early in 1917 would have filled to capacity quite a number of railway mail cars. During the year 1921. the Fiscal Agency De partment handled 4,725,000 pieces of bonds, notes and Treasury certificates. Were that number of pieces to be piled flat one upon the other, they would make a column over 2,200 feet high. During the war and for some time thereafter the allotment of Treasury certificates of indebtedness was simplicity itself; liberal subscriptions were desired and all of them were allotted in full. In fact, for a considerable period the Fiscal Agency Department em ployed a sales organization of about 25 men actively soliciting subscriptions from banks. The response of the banks was very gratifying and it is no exagger ation to state that hundreds of banks purchased to the extreme limit of their ability. Except among the banks and a comparatively few large corporations, there was 110 market at that time for the short-term issues, and sales subsequent to the primary distribution were infrequent. Within the past two years, however, the distribution among investors has become quite general and the sales organization has been dis banded. The quota of the Fourth District is 9.06 per cent of each offering, and it is invariably over subscribed. At the present time all of the outstanding issues are quoted above par, and there is a broad, open market. In accomplishing this recognition for the world's premier short-term security, the Treasury and the Federal Reserve banks have enjoyed the invalu able assistance of the banks and of many investment firms. It is hoped that this article will furnish the reader with some idea of the character of the duties of the Federal Reserve Bank as an intermediary between the Treasury Pej>artment and the lxmks and the public in mat ters connected with Government securities. Had the Federal Reserve banks not been in existence, the Sec retary of the Treasury undoubtedly would have found it necessary early in the year 1917 to establish regional organizations of some sort to handle the vast amount of detail incident to the financing of the war, for obviously it would have been impracticable to cen tralize in Washington all of such activities. 14 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S R E V I E W Debits to Individual Accounts (In Thousands of Dollars) Akron............................ Butler, Pa.*................. Canton*........................ Cincinnati.................... Cleveland..................... Columbus..................... Connellsville*............... Dayton......................... Erie.............................. Greensburg................... Homestead*................. Lexington..................... i* Lima* Lorain * . .......... New Brighton*. Oil City........... Pittsburgh....... Springfield....... Toledo............. Warren, O .* ... Wheeling......... Youngstown. . . Zanesville*. . . . Total... * HpMn Week End ing Apr. 12,1922 (326 Banks) Week End ing Mar. 15, 1922 (326 Banks) $ 14,128 2,344 9,102 79,892 146,025 33,190 1,032 12,217 5,969 3,785 636 4,559 3,614 1,302 1,973 2,456 155,284 4,738 37,119 1,954 7,901 12,845 2,979 $ 10,858 1,833 5,819 65,404 107,572 28,849 995 11,610 6,737 4,047 597 8,246 3,280 1,032 1,885 2,591 135,431 4,012 27,492 3,295 7,300 10,642 2,638 $545,044 $452,165 Increase or Decrease Per Cent Amount $ 3,270 511 3,283 14,488 38,453 4,341 37 607 — 768 — 262 39 — 3,687 334 270 88 — 135 19,853 726 9,627 — 1,341 601 2,203 341 $92,879 30.1 27.9 56.4 22.2 35.7 15.0 3.7 5.2 —11.4 — 6.5 6.5 —44.7 10.2 26.2 4.7 — 5.2 14.7 18.1 35.0 —40.7 8.2 20.7 12.9 20.5 Week End. ing Apr. 13,1921 (274 Banks) $ 15,008 Increase or Amount —$ 880 72,842 146,850 35,874 ..... •. 13,128 6,267 3,865 .............. 4,181 7,050 — 825 — 2,684 •.«. . — 9ii — 298 — 80 ' **378 2,367 159,922 4,693 26,273 .............. 8,150 14,217 89 — 4,638 45 10,846 — 249 — 1,372 $513,637 $6,471 Per Cent — 5.9 9.7 — 0 .6 — 7.5 ••« . . . — 6.9 — 4.8 — 2.1 9 :6 3.8 — 2.9 1.0 41.3 — 3. — 9. 1.3 Comparative Statement of Selected Member Banks in Fourth District (In Thousands of Dollars) Loans and Discounts secured by U. S. Government obligations..................................................................... Loans and Discounts secured by other stocks and bonds.. Loans and Discounts, all other............................................ U. S. Bonds........................................................................... U. S. Victory Notes.............................................................. U. S. Treasury Notes............................................................ U. S. Certificates of Indebtedness....................................... Other Bonds, Stocks and Securities..................................... Total Loans, Discounts and Investments............................ Reserve with Federal Reserve Bank................................... Cash in Vault...................................................................... Net Demand Deposits.......................................................... Time Deposits. •.. .#.............................................................. Government Deposits.......................................................... Total Resources at date of this report................................ Apr. 12, 1922 (85 Banks) Mar. 15, 1922 (85 Banks) 39,404 326,722 606,810 125,683 4,965 24,446 10,221 272,436 1,410,687 92,177 27,510 800,284 468,902 12,711 1,812,189 42,146 324,830 602,070 123,074 5,473 26,011 9,326 271,754 1,404,684 102,901 26,766 806,491 471,921 19,642 1,822,718 Inc. 1,892 4,740 2,609 895 682 6,003 ” 744 Dec. 2,742 508 1,565 10,724 6,207 3,019 6,931 10,529 Wholesale Trade Percentage Increase (or Decrease) in Net Sales During March, 1922 as Compared with February, 1922 and March, 1921 Net Sales (selling price) during March, 1922, compared with February, 1922...................................................... Net Sales (selling price) during March, 1922, compared with March, 1921........................................................... Dry Goods Groceries Hardware 13.5 21.2 33.1 — 18.6 — 12.6 __13 .5 Drugs 14.1 — 0.3 THE M O N T H L Y BU SI NESS REVIEW IS Department Store Sales Percentage ot net sales (selling price) during March, 1922, over net sales (selling price) during same month Cleveland Pittsburgh Cincinnati Toledo Other Cities District last year........................................................................ —15.0 —24.2 — 13.6 — 12.0 — 13.3 —17.8 Percentage of net sales (selling price) from January 1,1922, to March 31, 1922, over net sales (selling price) during same period last year....................................... -15.8 —25.6 — 10.6 — 12.1 — 15.0 — 18.3 Percentage o f stocks at close of March 1922, over stocks at close of same month last year..................... 8.6 —4.9 11.2 — 2.8 10.4 3.0 Percentage of stocks at close of March, 1922, over stocks at close of February, 1922............................... 10.7 9.6 10.1 4.5 12.3 9.7 Percentage of average stocks at close of each month this season (commencing with January 1,1922) to average monthly net sales during the same period................. 403.6 432.4 534.4 398.3 498.8 441.4 Percentage of all outstanding orders (cost) at close of March, 1922, to total purchases (cost) during the calendar year, 1921...................................................... 7.5 6.2 11.6 4.9 10.2 7.4 Building Operations For Month of March, 1922-1921 Permit Issued New Construction Alterations 1922 1921 1922 1921 ' Valuations New Construction Alterations 1922 1921 1922 1921 436,720 184,215 1,727,660 295,945 2,210,785 1,169,790 3,055,870 4,744,308 1,169,910 589,370 568,132 357,849 191,469 182,065 90,260 100,995 3,250,223 1,357,162 85,970 114,485 714,380 408,990 313,347 125,430 149,305 507,435 52,196 34,560 266.300 422.300 124,590 447,396 57,828 37,805 220,262 9,583 155,600 19,906 26,640 T o t a l..... 2,960 2,795 2,217 3,180 13,702,122 10,399,948 * Figures include Lakewood and East Cleveland 1,874,966 Akron.............. Canton............. Cincinnati....... Cleveland*___ Columbus........ Dayton............ Erie................. Lexington........ Pittsburgh....... Springfield....... Toledo............. Wheeling......... Youngstown... 139 117 390 514 449 204 127 60 540 72 221 44 83 77 74 281 943 173 110 60 38 153 240 171 373 437 358 206 120 24 308 22 88 217 85 168 209 43 34 98 93 900 1,166 162 116 77 80 118 29 263 37 41 Inc. or Dec. of Total Valuation Per Cent Inc. or Dec. 95,950 — 296,259 — 55.6 35,522 1,430,753 431.6 482,560 825,735 49.9 476,665 -1,742,803 —33.4 382,540 322,590 33.2 113,417 544,262 115.5 41,360 7,064 3.0 49,000 — 21,930 — 14.6 200,370 1,912,953 122.8 11,320 — 30,252 —24.0 292,800 168,190 24.0 5,394 202,429 154.7 39,915 — 371,405 —67.9 2,226,813 2,950,327 23.4 Movement of Livestock at Principal Centers in Fourth Federal Reserve District For Month of March, 1922-1921 1922 Columbus. Fostoria. Toledo. Wheeling. Columbus.. Fostoria... Pittsburgh. Springfield. Toledo___ Wheeling.. Cattle 1921 1922 Hogs 1921 18,865 20,598 103,126 95,735 67,195 10,197 8,000 96,828 3,026 .............. 211 10,404 1,893 1,666 9,455 7,893 5,783 317 553 28,946 24,986 173,703 156,117 3,583 197 2,346 273 8,047 892 9,003 656 278 16,152 9,363 32 5,409 41 491 278 503 2,490 Purchases for 65,092 15,808 71,025 7,378 538 672 54 38,212 6,053 632 849 534 2,490 503 Sheep 1922 1921 1922 Calves 1921 7,808 5,545 17,092 14,470 16,771 21,046 13,267 11,645 238 215 193 95 1,013 *"877 157 716 530 527 74,556 80,042 20,311 19,209 246 130 284 199 441 1,177 736 1,089 1,804 95 90 1,296 1,622 Local Slaughter 63,939 7,323 5,298 9,520 9,290 49,461 11,629 16,363 12,066 11,472 .............. 142 79 885 5 6 93 “ “ 32 66,607 6,994 21,270 2,197 7,601 .. 7 30 1,699 181 104 562 ’ ‘ 599 1,804 95 90 1,542 1,296 ♦ • . . . • « • « « « ........................ • . . . • Cars Unloaded 1922 1921 1,634 1,687 6 9 3,584 1,774 1,319 \9 3,189 * ••♦♦• 122 ” i28 23 18 (deck.) • • • ♦ • • • • * • • • • • ♦ ♦ ♦ ♦ ♦ % • • • f « • • • ♦ • + • * • • ................... FOURTH FEDERAL BESEBVE D IS T R IC T