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MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Covering financial, industrial, and agricultural conditions in the Fourth Federal Reserve District Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Vol. 8 Cleveland, Ohio, March 1, 1926 As a rule, February is the dull or “dead” season for many lines of business, which normally experience an increase in activity with the opening of spring. This sea sonal dullness has been present during the past few weeks, and there is little sign as yet of the real trend of business for the spring season. There are indications that progress in iron and steel and some other lines has hardly been up to the expectations of some who were perhaps over-optimistic at the beginning of the year; but the business situation in general during the first two months of 1926 has been satisfactory. Comparative figures available for January show that check payments, car loadings, building permits, and automobile and soft coal production continued to run ahead of the same month in the preceding year. On the other hand, the Federal Reserve Board’s index of production in basic industries was lower than a year ago; commercial failures were more numerous; and pig iron and steel ingot out put declined from last year, though slightly. It should be borne in mind that, eliminating seasonal factors, Jan uary and February of 1925 were unusually good months, owing to the impetus of the upswing which started in the last quarter of 1924 after the pronounced depres sion of the second and third quarters of that year. The situation a year ago, therefore, was different from that at present, in that business activity has now been at a high level for several months (again eliminating seasonal factors). In the Fourth District, conditions were somewhat spotty during January and early February, though the general situation appeared satisfactory. Manufacturers for the most part reported a normal volume of busi ness. The settling of the anthracite strike caused a decline in soft coal and coke prices, and iron and steel prices were also weak. Building permits were 11.8 per cent less in January than in the same month in 1925. Department store sales gained very slightly, but some of the wholesale trades were noticeably depressed—particu larly groceries and dry goods. Wholesale shoe sales, however, were the highest for any January in the past six years. Financial conditions continued strong, bank debits having increased 8.8 per cent, and savings de posits 6.3 per cent, over a year ago. Financial Conditions No. 3 January 30, 1925y but a decrease of 1.5 per cent from December 30, 1925. Commercial failures in this District, according to R. G. Dun and Company, numbered 244 in January, as compared with 194 in December and 199 in January 1925. Liabilities aggregated $5,581,160, as compared with $4,937,059 a year ago. In the United States, there were 2,296 failures in January, 1,878 in December, and 2,317 in January 1925. The following table gives the changes in the main items of the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve and reporting member banks: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (In Millions) Feb. 10 Feb. 11 Jan. 13 1926 1925 1926 Gold reserves ........... Discounts ...................... Acceptances ............... U. S. Securities ....... Total bills and secur ities ........................... Federal Reserve notes in circulation ....... Total Deposits ........... 307 50 15 32 259 33 37 45 294 66 8 36 2,795 533 301 333 2,896 332 325 390 2,799 506 327 369 98 117 111 1,177 1,060 1,212 204 189 188 179 219 180 1,668 2,296 1,714 2,242 1,733 2,325 Reporting: Member Banks— Fourth District (In Millions) Feb. 3 Feb. 4 Jan. 6 1926 1925 1926 Loans secured by stocks and bonds.... 503 424 498 All other ................... 769 745 770 1,170 1,268 Total loans ............... 1,272 Investment* ................. 625 649 624 Demand deposits ....... 1,007 1,015 986 Time deposits ........... 761 707 749 Reporting Member Banks— System (In Millions) Feb. 8 Feb. 4 Jan. 6 1926 1925 1926 5,528 8,448 13,976 5,478 13,036 5,404 4,745 8,368 13,113 5,453 13,040 4,900 5,688 8,492 14,185 5,444 13,305 5,861 Market activity in iron and steel for the first two months of the new year Steel still has failed to measure up to the general expectations. Here and there a soft spot has appeared, contributed largely by seasonable influence and also in some measure by an unbalanced demand. With present production so high, with some capacity still in reserve and with de livery service by the railroads so exceptionally efficient, buying for future requirements is light. However, the mills continue to ship out tonnage approaching a recordbreaking rate and there is every indication that con Savings deposits of sixty-seven se- sumption for current needs continues very large. In lected banks in the larger cities of the proportion to the volume of production and shipments, Fourth Federal Reserve District unfilled orders are unusually low as compared with stand amounted to $846,131,915 on January ards of the past. Contrasted with the early months of 30, an increase of 6.3 per cent over 1925, tonnage apparently is better spread out. The high Iron Federal Reserve System (In Millions) Feb. 11 Jan. 13 1925 1926 Feb. 10 1926 and 2 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW market pressure one year ago, which faded out sharply by the end of March, seems absent this year. January showed a further gain in steel production, and with one exception reached the highest point for any January in history. The ingot output, approximat ing 89 per cent of the country’s theoretical capacity, was within 1.2 per cent of the greatest month on rec ord, and indicated an annual rate of production of 49,680,000 tons. This is a gain of 4.4 per cent over De cember and 2.8 per cent over January 1925. Pig iron in January as compiled by IRON TRADE REVIEW showed a gain in total of 2.2 per cent over December or a total of 3,222,672 tons compared with 3,249,357 tons. However, the number of furnaces in blast at the end of the month had fallen by nine to 227, or 58.5 per cent of the total number of furnaces in the country. The true significance of this decline in operating fur naces is obscured by the fact that a number of stacks were banked to enable them to sell their coke in the open market and to avail themselves of the abnormally high prices which had resulted from the coal strike. The effects radiating from the anthracite coal strike have produced an abnormal market behavior in some lines which has found some reflection in the general situation. These elements of artificiality are now rapidly being eliminated as a result of the strike settlement. After having sold up to $13 and $13.50, ovens, coke has fallen to the more rational basis of $4 to $5 and is still in process of deflation. This precipitate drop has caused some buyers of iron and steel, particularly in pig iron, to hold back to see if prices in other lines will not be affected by the backwash. Nothing definite of this sort yet has appeared. Pig iron makers are pointing out that even current coke prices are higher than those at which they had contracted for some months ago covering present production. Building activity has not measured up to that of a year ago, as far as steel requirements are concerned. The automobile industry is operating at a higher rate today than at this time in 1925 and is increasing its output. Advances in oil prices are the stimulus to the launching of new plans for pipe lines and greater de velopment work, some of which involve large tonnages. The railroads continue to place their needs conserva tively, especially in rolling stock. However, the num ber of cars ordered in January, totaling 8830, showed a marked improvement over the 1695 placed in Jan uary 1925. Miscellaneous steel demand appears to be holding up well. Keen competition, especially where capacity is very large, has brought about greater price softness over 30 days ago, particularly in sheets, plates, and in some localities, in pig iron. Some of these irregularities have resulted from failure of the producers to maintain ad vances which they had announced for first quarter. IRON TRADE REVIEW composite of fourteen leading iron and steel products reflects this modest yielding of prices. In the third week in February it stood at $38.90 compared with $39.15 one month previously and with $39.20 at the beginning of the new year. Negotiations are beginning on Lake Superior iron ore for the season of 1926. event of greatest importance in the coal industry during the past month was the settlement of the anthracite strike early in February. One of the effects of the settlement has been a decline in the price of some grades of soft coal and coke, the drop in the case of coke being particularly severe. The Coal Age average of spot prices of bi tuminous coal declined from $2.14 per ton on Feb ruary 8 to $2.10 on the 15th. On January 8 it stood at $2.19. Coke prices rose from $4.50 to $10.50 per ton between January 8 and February 5, but have re ceded to a marked degree since the latter date. Production of bituminous coal during the five weeks ending February 6, according to the Bureau of Mines exceeded that for the same period of any of the pre ceding four years, the gain, over last year being con siderable. Retailers in this District report a large vol ume of business during recent weeks. Auto production for January by A m er ican manufacturers (including Cana dian plants) totaled 282,369 passen ger cars, and 31,502 trucks, accord ing to figures furnished by the Fed eral Reserve Bank of Chicago in cooperation with the National Automobile Chamber of Commerce. This was an increase over January 1925, of 35 per cent for p as senger cars and 17 per cent for trucks. Total January output was almost as great as that of December. Truck manufacturers in this District report that busi ness in January and the first part of February has been well ahead of last year, and that orders are being re ceived in encouraging volume. Makers of auto p arts also report an unusually large amount of business, in some cases at record levels. The hand-to-mouth buy ing policy of customers is causing some difficulty, owing to the fact that it is necessary to buy materials for standard lines of auto parts m excess of sales orders Automobiles Business of tire manufacturers in this District quieted down more than sea sonally during January, but has picked up noticeably in February. During January, dealers were restricting their purchases to their immediate needs, partly because of hesitation as to the course of tire prices due to the continued decline in the price of crude rubber, which was around 69 cents a pound in February as compared with 88 cents early in January, and partly because the manufacturers did not begin to solicit spring stock or ders until February 1, three months later than f or" merly. During the first week of February, tire prices were cut about 10 per cent, and this, together with spring stock ordering, has been largely responsible for the increased activity of recent weeks. Crude rubbe prices have sagged off somewhat during February but not to the same extent as during the first part of’j a ” uary. On February 16, crude rubber was quoted at 63 Rubber and Tires THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW cents, as compared with 69 cents at the opening of the month. Reports indicate that the demand for original tire equipment has held up better than that for renewals, doubtless because of high automobile production. Busi ness in hard rubber lines continues excellent. The first rubber exchange in the United States, known as the Cocoa and Rubber Exchange of America, opened on February 2. This was followed by the opening of a second, the Rubber Exchange of New York, Inc. The membership of both consists of foreign firms as well as those in this country. It is reported that rubber trees are being planted in Panama, and attention has also been attracted to the output of Mexican guyale rubber. This rubber is ob tained from shrub trees which formerly grew wild in certain parts of Mexico, but which during recent years have been cultivated and developed commercially. Guyale is said to be as satisfactory for most uses as crude rub ber found in other parts of the world. Stocks of tires in dealer’s hands are reported to have increased materially since the Department of Commerce report as of October 1. At that time the average cas ings per dealer were 56.6 as compared with 62.2 on April 1, and 53.6 on October 1, 1924. Production of high pressure inner tubes, according to the Rubber Asso ciation of America, totaled 3,814,617 in December, as compared with 3,430,209 in November and 4,259,609 in December, 1924. December shipments showed a 30 per cent decline from the preceding year. Production and shipments of balloon tubes in December continued to run far ahead of the preceding year. 3 ly. As compared with a year ago, however, wool was nearly 25 per cent lower, raw cotton 17 per cent lower, and cotton goods about 10 per cent lower. Sales of 19 wholesale dry goods houses in the Fourth District in January ran 6.4 per cent under January, 1924, and 22.2 per cent under December. Stocks on January 31 were 6.3 per cent lower than the preceding year. Sales of woolen dress goods by department stores in this District for the year 1925 were 16.7 per cent less than in 1924; cotton dress goods, 9.9 per cent less; silks and velvets, 15.3 per cent greater; men's clothing, 0.4 per cent greater; women's coats, 0.1 per cent greater; women’s dresses, 3 per cent greater; sweaters, 20.4 per cent less. Boot and shoe factories have been busy with Easter orders for the past month. Customers have ordered but little be yond Easter delivery, but new samples are being made up preparatory to be ing sent out on the road in March. Manufacturers in the Cincinnati territory state that immediate prospects are good. Preliminary reports indicate a gain in shoe production in this District during January as compared with De cember of 4.5 per cent. Final figures for December show an increase of 7.2 per cent over the same month in 1924. The output for all of 1925 was nearly 10 per cent greater than for 1924. Sales of reporting wholesale shoe firms in the Fourth District during January gained 12 per cent over a year ago, but fell off 17.4 per cent from December, attributable entirely to seasonal factors. Stocks on January 31 were 6.6 per cent below those of a year ago. Paint Conditions in the paint and varnish January sales of men’s shoes in department stores were industry in the Fourth District are sat 0.8 per cent greater than in January, 1924, and of women’s isfactory, according to the reports of shoes were 6.6 per cent greater. manufacturers. Orders in most cases are being received in good volume. The Manufacturers engaged in various lines bad weather of fall and winter, making outside paint General ing difficult, has held the household lines back to some Manufacturing of industry in the Fourth District re port that conditions in early February extent. Further development of the lacquer line is are very much the same as a month reported. No change has taken place in the hand-topreviously. In some cases, a tendency mouth buying policy of customers, which appears to have become well-established in the paint industry, at toward recession is observed which is slightly more than seasonal, but the trend of business for the spring months least for the time being. can hardly be determined as yet. Buying by customers in nearly all cases continues to be on a restricted basis, Clothing Clothing manufacturers in this District so manufacturers in general are “marking time” to report some seasonal increase in ac somethatextent, awaiting the opening of spring before shap tivity during February. In men’s cloth ing their operations for that season. ing, production for spring delivery con tinues. Style changes have retarded early retail buying to some extent. An important maker Agriculture and In the strictly agricultural communities, at this season of the year, interest of women’s wear states that a recovery from the 1925 Live Stock recession is taking place in this line, aided by a down largely centers around the live-stock ward revision of prices which has stimulated production situation. In this connection, it is of and distribution. In worsteds, orders for Easter delivery interest to note the gradual rise in have recently been placed in large volume, causing a prices of dairy products during the past several months. marked increase in factory operations. Seasonal quiet The two factors entering into this are the natural in is reported in the knit goods industry, awaiting the crease in consumption in the cities, and the decrease in the number of milk cows and heifers on the farms. opening of the spring season. Prices on February 13 showed no great change from The United States Bureau of Agricultural Economics a month ago, wool and raw cotton having stiffened slight is authority for the statement that consumption of fluid Shoes 4 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW milk in the cities increases about five per cent yearly, while the past year showed a decrease of one per cent in cows and nine per cent in heifers on the farms. Fluid milk prices during the latter half of 1925 ranged from six to twenty per cent higher, and prices of butter and cheese averaged six per cent above the corresponding period of 1924. The United States Department of Agriculture reports a decline for all classes of cattle in the country of four per cent, which appears to be fairly evenly distribut ed throughout the several districts. The decrease in the number of hogs is shown as eight per cent for the whole United States, with Ohio show ing a loss of nine per cent; Pennsylvania, seven per cent; and West Virginia about fifteen per cent. The decreased production in all classes of live stock has brought about considerable increases in prices, with the result that the total valuation has increased nearly seven per cent. The decline in the number of horses for the year 1925 is but a continuation of the downward trend which has been going on for several years. There is some evidence of increased interest in the breeding of the better strains of horses in this district, but not to a sufficient extent to check this downward trend. Throughout the bluegrass regions of Central Kentucky the raising and devel opment of thorough-bred horses has always been one of the principal industries, and is still rated as one of the chief sources of revenue. Further sales have recently been an nounced by the Burley Tobacco Asso ciation, bringing the Association’s total for the season up to February 4 to about 125,000,000 pounds, including pur chases by the Italian Government. Deliveries of the previous sales are being made as rapidly as possible. At the beginning of February, the Association still had on hand about 60,000,000 pounds of the 1923 crop and 35,000,000 pounds of that of 1924. The Association re ports that the 1925 crop is being taken by manufac turers almost as fast as received from the growers. According to the Commissioner of Agriculture’s report, January sales of burley through the loose leaf ware houses were about 33,000,000 pounds. Total loose leaf sales of burley for the 1925 crop up to February were nearly 60,000,000 pounds, or somewhat higher than sales of the 1924 crop during the corresponding period last year. Prices being received for burley in the Fourth District are generally satisfactory. Loose-leaf sales in January averaged $19.73 per 100 pounds, or $2.14 less than in the same month last year; but reports indicate that prices have been a little firmer in February, and that they compare very favorably with prices being received for Green River tobacco in western Kentucky, which is not in the Fourth District. Production figures for 1925 of all types of tobacco show that Kentucky was the greatest producing state, with 29.1 per cent of the total for the country. Ohio Tobacco produced 3.8 per cent; Pennsylvania, 4.3 per cent; and West Virginia, 0.5 per cent. The United States D epart ment of Agriculture estimates the 1925 crop of burley at 271,000,000 pounds, or about 20 per cent of the total for all types. The 1924 burley production was 299000,000 pounds. Retail Trade Department store sales in the Fourth District increased very slightly during January as against a year ago, the gain being 0.2 per cent. Six of the eleven centers shown separately re ported increases, the largest being in Cincinnati, with 9.6 per cent. With regard to sales by individual departments, twentyfour out of fifty-two departments reported by 73 firms in the Fourth District showed an increase over Jan uary of last year. The greatest gains occurred in m usi cal instruments, 32.8 per cent; lamps and shades, 25.7 per cent; and silk underwear, 22.3 per cent. Decreases of over 20 per cent were shown by woolen dress goods, women’s suits, women’s skirts and waists and blouses' Percentage changes in the departments doing the great est business in January were as follows: % change—Jan. 1926 compared with Jan. 1925 Silks and Velvets 4- 6.3% Linens — 1.4 Domestics — 1.9 Toilet Articles, Drugs -f 0.4 Men’s Clothing — 3.0 Men’s Furnishings -f 8.4 Women’s Coats — 3.1 Women’s Dresses 4- 4.4 Misses’ Ready-to-Wear — 7.0 Furs +13.9 Millinery — 8.5 Women’s and Children’s Hosiery +10.9 Shoes + 4.9 Furniture — 8.8 Floor Coverings —2.9 Sales of twenty wearing apparel firms in January in creased 5.7 per cent over the same month last year, but decreased 36.0 per cent from December on account of seasonal factors. Stocks at the close of January ran 4.2 per cent higher than a year ago. Wholesale Trade Sales of wholesale grocery firms during January dropped 5.8 per cent below last year, all reporting cities expe riencing a loss. The largest declines took place in Akron, with 12.9 r»er cent, and Youngstown, with 11.7 per cent, while Toledo with 0.2 per cent recorded the smallest decrease. Dry goods and hardware decreased 6.4 and 7 6 ner cent respectively from January, 1924, but drugs gained 1.6 per cent and shoes 12.0 per cent. Wholesale shoe sales in January were the highest for any January during the past six years. Drugs also THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW compared favorably with previous Januarys, but dry goods sales were the lowest in six years, and the same was true of groceries, with the exception of 1922. This bank’s weighted index number of wholesale trade, including 104 firms in five lines of trade, stood at 80.8 in January (1919-1923 monthly average—100). This was slightly higher than in January, 1921 (78.8) and 1922 (70.8), but fell below the same month in 1923, 1924, and 1925. The index of January, 1923, was 88.2; 1924, 87.7; 1925, 81.3. For the tenth successive month the value of building permits in the United States in January broke all records for corresponding months in previous years. Valuation in 168 cities, according to Bradstreet’s, aggregated $229,609,114, a gain of 8.8 cent over January, 1924. The Middle Atlantic, South western and Southern sections of the country accounted for the gain. In the Fourth District, the valuation of permits in Building Building Operations January 1926 (Valuation of Permits) January 1926 Akron.......................................................... $ 463,174 A shtabula................................................... 8,600 B arberton................................................... 18,172 C anton........................................................ 198,720 Cincinnati.................................................. 1,155,030 Cleveland proper.................................... 2,822,800 “ Suburbs: Cleveland H eight*........................... 333,400 East Cleveland................................. 129,383 E uclid................................................... 129,965 Garfield H eights............................ 138,500 232,700 Lakewood............................................ P arm a................................................... 75,325 Rocky R iver...................................... 30,650 Shaker H eights................................. 232,000 Columbus.............. 1,003,900 Covington, K y ......................................... 53,200 D ayton....................................................... 370,810 121,015 Erie, P a...................................................... Lexington, K y ................................... 351,824 Lim a............................................................. 464,385 M ansfield.................................................... 65,400 N ew ark....................................................... 5,000 Norwood..................................................... 123,970 Pittsburgh, Pa.......................................... 3,792.755 Springfield........................................... 58,690 Toledo......................................................... 405,497 Wheeling, W. Va.................................... 65,090 Youngstown.............................................. 1,017,350 T otal........................................................ n . 867,305 January Per cent 1925 change $1,072,307 — 56.8 20,120 — 57.3 28,313 — 35.8 504,582 —60.6 1,355,010 — 14.8 3,454,125 — 18.3 843,000 —60.5 399,733 —67.6 75,275 + 7 2 .7 145,500 — 4.8 526,875 — 55.8 35,500 + 112.2 29,800 + 2.9 453,000 —48.8 1,005,600 — 0.2 129,750 — 59.0 353,801 + 4 .8 80,345 + 5 0 .6 63,295 + 455.8 64,895 + 615.6 806,700 —91.9 23,550 — 78.8 66,650 + 8 6 .0 3,296,852 + 1 5 .0 57,850 + 1.5 392,892 + 3.2 125,921 —48.3 302,625 + 23 6 .2 15.713,866 — 11.8 5 28 cities in January amounted to $13,867,305, a decline of 11.8 per cent from the same month last year. Very large declines occurred in Akron, Ashtabula, Canton, Cov ington, Mansfield, and Newark, while substantial gains were recorded by Erie, Lexington, Lima, and Norwood. At the foot of this page appears a table showing build ing operations in the main centers in this District dur ing the post-war period. It will be noted that except in 1921, the value of each year’s permits increased over the year before in the District as a whole. Some in dividual cities did not follow this trend. For the Dis trict, 1925 was easily the best year, but this was not true of Akron, Cleveland, Lexington, Springfield, and Wheeling. Comparative inactivity continues in the lumber trade in the Fourth District. Weather conditions have retarded out side work, and orders in general are not plentiful. Manufacturers, however, are reasonably optimistic, feeling that the present situ ation is not unusual when the time of year and the severe winter are taken into consideration. Prices have shown but little variation recently, the Aberthaw in dex of industrial building costs remaining unchanged at 195 on February 1. Retail dealers are buying cau tiously, awaiting the breaking-up of winter. Demand for lumber by furniture manufacturers is stated to have been heavy during January. In the common brick industry, some quieting down has recently taken place, due to seasonal closing of plants. Paving brick manufacturers have also been ex periencing seasonal inactivity, but prospects as meas ured by unfilled orders are reported to be somewhat im proved over last year at this time. Shipments by hol low building tile manufacturers were very large in January, and orders now booked are sufficient to keep operations at a high level for some time. Concrete busi ness has increased during the past few months. Cement production in Ohio, West Virginia and West ern Pennsylvania, totaled 523,000 barrels in January, as compared with 764,000 a year ago. Shipments in Jan uary, 1926, were 382,000 barrels, and in January, 1925. were 346,000 barrels. Building Materials Fourth District Building Operations Akron..................... C anton................... Cincinnati............. Cleveland............... Columbus.............. D ayton............ Eric...................... Lexington.............. Pittsburgh............. Springfield............. Toledo.................... Wheeling................ Youngstown.......... D istrict................... *Not available. Valuation, by selected cities, 1919— 1925. (In thousands of dollars) 1919 1920 1922 1921 1923 27,225 3,783 4,551 20,348 7,493 * * 3,863 6,014 7,396 16,197 10,245 13,188 25,944 26,647 47,708 65,625 46,532 52,148 69,391 6,346 18,191 9,265 10,157 22,297 5,858 6,133 11,509 8,055 10,275 3,701 3,358 4,861 3,305 4,263 2,027 3,914 1,183 2,192 1,947 23,429 35,246 14,657 17,051 33,119 1,336 791 1,274 2,188 1,533 7,739 9,207 7,899 6,699 15,537 1,252 1,153 3,432 482 3,986 5,754 3,354 5,339 6,225 5,677 136,362 151,839 129,824 179,908 209,561 1924 8,837 7,982 24,423 63,015 21,626 9,748 7,036 1,761 34,256 1,924 16,930 5,158 11,834 214,530 Total after 1925 war period 14,505 86,742 8,034 33,289 31,114 147,758 69,254 413,673 29,510 117,392 12,484 64,062 8,696 35,220 1,966 14,990 41,512 199,270 1,598 10,644 81,746 17,735 18,757 3,294 50,508 12,325 252,027 1,274,051 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW 6 Retail and Wholesale Trade D E PA R T M E N T STORES Akron. .................................................. C an to n ................................................................. C incinnati........................................................... Cleveland............................................................ Colum bus............................................................ D ayton................................................................. New C astle........................................................ P ittsburgh........................................................... Toledo.................................................................. W heeling............................................................. Youngstown....................................................... Other C ities....................................................... D istrict................................................................ W EA RING A PPAREL C incinnati........................................................... C leveland............................................................ Other C ities....................................................... D istrict............................................................... F U R N IT U R E C incinnati........................................................... C leveland............................................................ Colum bus............................................................ D ayton................................................................. T oledo.................................................................. Other C ities....................................................... D istrict................................................................ C HA IN STORES* Drugs— D istrict................................................ Groceries— D istrict.......................................... W HOLESALE G RO CERIES A kron.................... ............................................... C leveland............................................................ E rie....................................................................... P ittsburgh........................................................... Toledo.................................................................. Y oungstown....................................................... Other C ities....................................................... D istrict................................................................ W HOLESALE DRY GOODS..................... W HOLESALE D R U G S................................... W HOLESALE H A R D W A R E ........... .. W HOLESALE SH O ES.................................... * Sales per individual unit operated. 5 5 7 6 6 4 3 7 5 5 3 13 69 6 3 11 20 9 3 11 3 5 11 42 3 5 3 4 4 10 3 3 28 55 19 16 16 7 % Incr. or Deer. SALES Jan 1926 compared with Jan. 1925 + 0 .4 —3.8 9.6 —1.6 1.5 + + + 1.7 0.04 7.0 +0.6 + — —5.5 2.1 — + 4.9 — 3.1 + 5.7 Index Numbers of Trade in the Fourth Federal Reserve District (Average M onthly Sales for the Five-Year Period 1919-1923, nclusi ve--- 100) fan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan . L922 1923 1924 1925 1926 D epartm ent Stores (55)*. . . 74 88 94 92 92 Wholesale Drugs (15)*.......... 91 115 109 110 111 Wholesale Dry Goods (18)*. 74 97 87 68 64 Wholesale Groceries (50)*... 69 79 84 80 74 Wholesale Hardware (15)*. . 60 94 95 94 86 Wholesale Shoes (6)*............. 45 45 44 48 56 Wholesale— All (104)*........... 71 88 88 81 81 Chain Drugs (3)*.................... 86 98 91 97 9S * N um ber of firms. Debits to Individual Accounts +0.2 + 12 .3 + 7 .8 13.0 4.1 — + — 15.0 16.2 — 14.3 — — 17.6 — 22.7 +0.8 6.0 — 12.9 — 7.8 — 1.6 — 16.9 — 0.2 — 11.7 — — — 1.3 5.8 —6.4 +1.6 — 7.6 +12.0 A kron........................... Butler, P a................... Connellsville, P a .... Greensburg, Pa......... Hom estead, Pa......... Lexington, K y .......... Oi! City, P a.............. Pittsburgh, Pa.......... Springfield.................. Steubenville............... Wheeling, W. V a... Youngstown............... T o ta l........................ (In thousands of Dollars) 5 weeks 1926 ending % change o date Feb. 17 from >ec. 311926 1925 eb. 17) 105,533 + 1 7 .6 153,095 12,848 + 13 .1 18,987 55,057 + 3.5 83,668 473,464 + 20 .2 589,233 804,476 + 10.5 262,440 171,051 + 9.0 264,474 5,776 + 9.2 8,244 95,824 + 22 .8 145,451 39,850 + 9.3 57,575 25,335 + 2.0 3 s ,588 4,843 + 5.5 6,880 36.526 — 10.7 50,653 16,801 — 18.8 26,162 6,266 — 18.4 9,144 15,578 — 6.5 22,564 1,135,122 + 2.7 S0^8f>0 27,313 + 14.6 42,182 11,824 — 4.6 18,005 244,699 + 17.0 J74,807 15,920 + 2.1 22,528 63,368 + 23 .4 91,543 74,431 — 0.3 114,097 14,198 + 5 .1 21,103 3,456,103 + 8.9 5,128,313 1925 or to date % incr.1926 (Jan. 1- deer.over Feb. 18) 1925 126,650 + 2 0 .9 16,847 + 12. 7 78,021 580,051 ++ 1 78 .2.8 1,090,884 + 1 5.7 226,004 + 1 7.0 7,408 120,729 ++ 12 10 .3 .5 51,913 + 10.9 34,683 + 2.6 6,510 + 5 .7 57,020 — 29,548 — U.2 11.5 11.001 1 6.9 22,°02 — — 1.5 1,565,401 + 2.8 35,180 + 19.9 18,284 1.5 315,567 — 22,794 —+ 1 8.8 1.2 76,098 117,633 —+ 2 03.3.0 19,247 + 9 ,6 4,630.375 + 1 0 .8 Fourth District Business Statistics (All figures are for Fourth D istrict unle»« otherwise specified) B ank Debits (23 cities) Millions of dollars . Savings Deposits (end of month) Thous. of dollars . . Ohio (43 banks) W estern Pennsylvania (27 banks) T otal (70 banks) Actual N um ber Commercial F ailu res— Num ber Thous. of dollars . ” “ — Liabilities Postal Receipts-— 9 cities Sales — Life Insurance — Ohio and Pa. “ — Dept. Stores — (55 firms) “ — Wholesale Grocery — (50 firms) “ — “ Dry Goods— (19 “ ) " — " H ardware — (16 “ ) " — Drugs — (16 " ) Building P erm its, V aluation— 28 cities Production — Pig Iron, U. S. Thous. of Tons “ — Steel Ingots, U. S. “ — Automobiles, U. S. Passenger Cars Actual Num ber Trucks — Bituminous Coal, 4th Dist. Thous. of tons barrels . “ — Cement; Ohio, W. Va., Wn. Pa. — Petroleum , O., Pa., Ky. pairs “ -— Shoes, 4th Dist. casings. “ — Tires, U. S. tons Bituminous Coal Shipments (from Lake Erie ports) Iron Ore Receipts (at Lake Erie ports) ‘Figures confidential 3D tc«m bcr, 1925 January 1926 3,302 607,527 234,105 841,632 244 5,581 2,884 76,192 20,269 6,444 2,814 1,759 1,779 13,867 3,316 4,153 282,369 31,507 20,725s 523 1,758* 3,627* Jan u ary 1925 3,035 565,654 226,343 791,997 199 4,937 2,732 83,249 20,338 6,923 3,006 1,904 1,751 15,714 3,372 4,199 209,241 26,984 17,394* 808 1,716* i 3,495* % change +8.8 + 7.4 + 3.4 + 6 .3 +22.6 + 13.0 + 5 .6 —8.5 —0 .3 —6 .9 — 6 .4 — 7 .6 + 1.6 — 11.8 —1.7 —1.1 + 34.9 + 16.8 + 19.1 — 35.3 +2.4 +7.2-' + 3.8 THE M O N T H L Y B U S I N E S S REVI EW 7 Summary of National Business Conditions (By the Federal Reserve Board) Industrial activity in January was in slightly smaller volume than in December, and the distribution of commodities showed a seasonal decline. The level of prices remained practically unchanged. seasonal variations <1919— 100). ure— January, 120. w holesale Latest fig p rices _L ~ 1923 4 Index of U. S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. (1913— 100, base adopted by Bureau). Latest figure— January, 156. Production The Federal Reserve Board’s index of production in selected basic in dustries was about one per cent lower in January than in December. The output of iron and steel, copper, and zinc increased, while activity in the woolen and petroleum industries declined, and mill consumption of cotton, the cut of lumber, and bituminous coal production increased less than is usual at this season of the year. Automobile production, not included in the index, was slightly smaller than in December, but considerably larger than in January, 1925. Factory employment changed but little in January, but the earnings of workers decreased considerably owing to the closing of plants in most industries at the opening of the year for inventory-taking and re pairs. The volume of building contracts awarded in January, although seasonally less than in December, exceeded that of any previous January on record. Contracts awarded were particularly large in the New York and Atlanta Districts. Trade Sales of department stores and mail order houses showed more than the usual seasonal decline in January but were larger than in January of last year. Wholesale trade declined considerably and was in smaller volume than a year ago. Stocks at department stores showed more than the usual in crease in January and were about eleven per cent larger than at the end of January, 1925. Freight car loadings declined in January and the daily average for the month was approximately the same as a year earlier. Prices Wholesale prices, as measured by the index number of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, remained practically unchanged from December to Jan uary. By groups of commodities, prices of grains, coke, and paper and pulp increased, while dairy products, cotton goods, bituminous coal, and rubber declined. In the first three weeks of February there was a decline in the prices of grains, and following the settlement of the strike in the an thracite region, a drop in the prices of bituminous coal and coke. Price advances were shown for refined sugar, copper, and petroleum. Monthly averages of weekly figures for bankB in 101 leading cities. Latest figures are aver ages for first weekly report dates in February. 1925 Weekly rates in New York Money Market: commercial paper rate on 4-to-6 months paper and acceptance rate on 90-day paper. Bank Credit At member banks in leading cities the seasonal decline in the demand for credit, which began at the turn of the year came to an end toward the close of January, and in the early part of February the volume of loans and investments at these banks increased considerably. The increase was largely in loans for commercial purposes, which after declining almost con tinuously from their seasonal peak early in October, advanced by more than $50,000,000 in February. The growth in the commercial demand for credit throughout the country, together with some increase in currency require ments, was reflected in a withdrawal of funds from the New York market and was a factor in the increase in the demand for reserve bank credit after the end of January. Reserve banks* holdings of bills and securities increased by about $66,000,000 between January 27 and February 17. As the result of the withdrawal of funds from New York the rates on call loans became somewhat firmer in February, but commercial paper rates were slightly lower. Index of National Business Conditions The base (100) for all the charts except the first is the m onthly average for the 5 years 1919-1923 inclusive. For the first chart, the base is the m onthly average for the three years 1921-1923. C O M M E R C IA L FAILURES PC* Cl-NT R E T A IL PCBCJtMT TRADE PfP CfNT W H O LESA LE W lfftiT TRADE 200 I ISO j V |* .. J K/ / y 50 j1 j1 1 U J j ISO __A V V UA V / * V v v j 50 A A 59 O o 1921 1922 1923 1924 1923 192 1 192 6 1922 1923 CAR 1924 I92S 192 4 L 0 A D IN G S 1921 PCRC w t WHCeNT. iw t 1923 iw 4 192 s ° E X P O R T S OF M E R C H A N D IS E P W C fittL.____________ ________ ______ ______ m cnt 200 A V ' l jr J * __ Aw 1 1 ISO ISO 100 100 so so w COAL P R O D U C T IO N yJ f V ... 1921 P I6 1 92 2 192 J IRO N 1924 1925 1*21 IM I 1924 1024 percent /A A I V V „ V , 0 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. ---•921 1922 1 923 132 4 0 1 92 5 1926 LATEST FIGURES 6. Wholesale Trade, December—«9. Member Bank Credit: Loans, January— 121. Investments, J a n u a ry 7. Buildinx Permits, January— 141 . 135. 8 . Car Loadings, January— 110. Member Bank Deposits; Demand, January— 121. Time— January— 9. Exports of Merchandise, January— 84. 181. 10 . Bituminous Coal Production, January— 134. Check Payments, except New York, December— 137. 11 . P i« Iron Production, January— 132. Commercial Failures, January— 178. 12. Automobile Production, January— 145. Retail Trade, December—203. A MM { 0 1929 PRODUCTIO N re*cen T . ISO 1 92 S l» t* 1