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ECONOMIC REVIEW Additional copies of the ECONOMIC REVIEW may be obtained from the Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, P. O. Box 6387, Cleveland, Ohio 44101. Permission is granted to reproduce any material in this publication providing credit is given. JULY 1971 SOME CHARACTERISTICS OF FOURTH DISTRICT FCA BANKS: A COMPARI SON WITH THE O T H E R M E M B E R BANKS The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland has offered a Functional Cost Analysis (FCA) program to member banks IN THIS ISSUE in the Fourth Federal Reserve District since I965.1 FCA is a uniform cost accounting system that enables a participating bank to measure the expense and revenue of each of its Some Characteristics of Fourth District FCA Banks: A Comparison w ith the Other Member B a n k s ............. 3 principal activities and to compare these measurements w ith figures from similar banks that also participate in FCA. The program is now available to all member banks in all Federal Reserve Districts. 1 This program was developed by the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston and New Y o rk and gradually adopted by other Federal The Secondary Mortgage M a rk e t.......................... 14 Reserve Banks. For a more detailed explanation of FCA see “ Average Functional Cost and Revenue fo r Banks in Three Size Categories, 1 9 6 6 -1 9 6 9 ," Econom ic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, April 19 71. 3 ECONOMIC REVIEW In the past five years of operation, the FCA program has included an annual average of 975 (a measure of return on invested capital), net income to total assets (a measure of return on Federal Reserve member banks, 74 in the Fourth total funds), and total operating revenue to total District. A very large body of data, therefore, has assets (a measure of gross yield on total funds); for of 1969 and 1970, total operating expenses to total commercial banks in the United States.2 These been accum ulated on the operations assets (a measure of the cost of acquiring and data have been subjected to systematic analysis in maintaining a stock of income-producing assets) several studies,3 but relatively little attention has been paid to the differences in performance of were compared. Generally, it was found that all four ratios FCA and non-FCA banks. tended to be higher for FCA banks than for The FCA program was designed to improve non-FCA banks. Although the pattern of d iffe r decision-making by participating bank manage ences does not permit the drawing of firm con ment and, hence, the performance of these banks. clusions, it was observed that the difference This article reports on a comparison of some between net income as a percent of capital fo r the characteristics of Fourth District FCA banks with all-FCA average and the non-FCA member bank those of the other Fourth District member banks average increased from 0.5 in 1964 (a year before before and after the FCA program was initiated. the program started) to 0.8 in 1965 and 1.4 in Three operating ratios were compared fo r FCA 1968—all in favor of the FCA banks. Similarly, the and all non-FCA member bank averages over the difference between net income as a percent of 1964-1970 period: net income4 to total capital5 total 2 assets fo r the all-FCA average and the non-FCA member bank average increased from See, fo r e x a m p le , Functional Cost Analysis, 1970 Average Banks, available fro m th e B an k R elatio n s and —0.02 (the FCA banks were lower) in 1964 to 0.0 P ub lic In fo rm a tio n D e p a rtm e n t, Federal Reserve B ank o f (FCA and non-FCA member averages were equal) C levelan d. in 1965, to 0.01 in 1966 and 0.05 in 1968. The 3 Examples of studies using these data are: Frederick W. differences, although small, are important because Bell and Neil B. M urphy, Costs in Com m ercial Banking: A of the direction of change.7 Other differences Q uantitative Analysis o f Bank Behavior and Its Relation to Bank Regulation, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, 1968; Michael A. Klein and Neil B. M urphy, "T h e Pricing noted in this comparative study were the tendency for the average FCA bank to be larger and to grow of Bank Deposits: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis," at a faster rate than the average non-FCA member Journal o f Financial and Q uantitative A nalysis," V I, 2 bank. (March 19 71) pp. 7 4 7 -7 6 1 ; and Stephen M. Hagins, " A Preliminary Investigation into the Supply of and Demand for Demand Deposits Produced by an 'Average' Bank," unpublished M .A . thesis (University of Wisconsin — M ilwaukee, 1 9 6 9 ). 4 In summary, the findings of this paper indicate that FCA banks do exhibit differences compared Net income is total operating revenue less total operating cost and taxes plus or minus the effect of securities gains and losses and extraordinary items. 5 To tal capital is the sum of equity accounts, including c A fter 1968, to tal assets are net of hypothecated deposits. ^Nevertheless, the differences in FC A and non-FC A ratios may not be significant in a statistical sense. Because of technical difficulties, it has not yet been feasible to surplus and undivided profits; total reserves on loans and conduct such a test for significance; however, research in securities were included after 1968. this area is continuing. 4 JULY 1971 w ith the non-FCA banks, but the influence of the FCA member ratios for 1967, and so on. The 1964 FCA program in explaining these differences has and 1965 all-FCA averages that were used are for not been identified. 1965 participants. Additionally, to eliminate the effect of fluctuations in the FCA average ratios AVERAGE OPERATING RATIOS caused by changing FCA membership, ratios were An attempt to compare FCA and other member calculated fo r a constant group consisting of 47 bank average operating ratios over a period of time banks that have participated in FCA for at least immediately presents a problem: which banks five of the six years that the program has been should be considered FCA banks in a particular offered in the Fourth District. year? Difficulties arise because member banks are The non-FCA member bank average ratios used free to opt into and out of the program each year in this study are based on Member Bank Operating and because the major benefits of FCA partici Ratios, Fourth Federal Reserve D istrict.9 pation are thought to occur in the years following the year of initial membership. The turnover in AVERAGE EARNINGS RATIOS FCA participation may impart a pattern to the Table I contains figures depicting average net year-to-year changes in the operating ratios of the income as a percent of total capital for the 47 FCA averages that is independent of the effect of FCA, all-FCA, and all non-FCA member banks in the FCA program.8 The effect of FCA partici the Fourth District from 1964 through 1970. For pation is not likely to be reflected in the initial each year, the average ratio fo r all FCA banks year's ratios because participants do not receive exceeds the average ratio fo r all non-FCA member their cost and revenue analysis reports until the banks.10 Similarly, the average ratio for the 47 year following the year of initial membership in the program. The Composition of the Bank Groups. To allow for the lagged impact, the FCA ratios that were used in this analysis for a given year were limited g This report is published annually by the Exam ination D epartm ent, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The average ratios are "norm alized " by the exclusion of ratios that are considered outside reasonably norms. To assure to those banks that participated in FCA the com parability between previous year. Thus, 1965 FCA participants' ratios averages, the same norms have been applied to the FC A for 1966 were compared w ith the non-FCA member average ratios for 1966; 1966 partici pants' ratios fo r 1967 were compared w ith non- banks and all FCA and the non-FC A member "abn orm al" ratios excluded. It may be observed th at the published member bank operating ratios are averages for all (F C A and non-FC A ) member banks. However, since the follow ing are known: the mean ratios for all member banks, the number o f member banks, the g S im ilarly, the " n o n -F C A " average w ill be affected by FCA turnover. One possibility is that the " n o n -F C A " mean ratios fo r all FC A banks, and the number o f FC A banks, it is possible to calculate mean ratios for non-FC A member banks. averages w ill be raised as FCA banks drop out o f the program. This im pact is assumed to be negligible, how 1 0 During ever, since the present number of form er FCA banks is member banks has ranged from 50 6 to 4 7 0 , while the small (about 50) relative to the number o f Fourth District number of FCA participants since the program began has 1 9 6 4 -1 9 7 0 , the number of Fourth District member banks th at have never participated in FCA (about ranged from 71 to 79. Fourth District banks that have 3 4 0 ). had at least one year in FC A number 127. 5 ECONOMIC REVIEW TABLE I Net Income as a Percent of Total Capital Fourth District (4D) FCA and Non-FCA Member Banks 1964-1970 (Averages of Individual Bank Ratios) 1964 47 4 D FC A banks All 4D FCA banks All 4D non-FC A member banks 1965 9.2% 9.1 9.3% 9.1 8.6 8 .3 1966 1967 1968 1970 1969 10.8% 10.0 11.0% 10.5 11.4% 11.0 10.7% 10.4 8 .8 9 .3 9 .6 9 .9 11.5% 11.1 11.0 N O T E : Although year-to-year comparisons involving 19 69 and 1 9 70 are not strictly valid, bank group averages for these years are comparable. The principal difference in 1969 is that the individual bank operating ratios were calculated from the average o f the June 1969 and December 1969 call reports. In other years, the call report from the previous year's December was averaged w ith th at for the current year's June. In addition, fo r both 1969 and 1970, hypothecated deposits are subtracted from loans and deposits and, hence, from total assets. Also, after 19 68 reserves on loans and securities were included in total capital. However, the same procedures have been used in calculating the FC A and non-FC A ratios w ithin a given year. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland TABLE II Net Income as a Percent of Total Capital Fourth District (4D) FCA and Non-FCA Member Banks Selected Size Groups 1964-1970 (Averages of Individual Bank Ratios) Bank Size Group $5 to $ 1 0 m illion 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 * * 47 4 D FCA banks A ll 4D FCA banks A ll 4D non-FC A member banks 9.6% 7 .6 8.7 8.9% 8.2 7.8 $ 1 0 to $ 2 5 m illion 47 4D FCA banks All 4D FCA banks All 4D non-FC A m ember banks 9 .4 9.7 9 .2 9 .6 9.1 9.1 12.4 10.9 9 .4 12.0 11.4 10.0 10.0 10.1 9 .8 9 .0 10 .3 10.2 11.2% 10.5 11.5 $2 5 to $ 5 0 m illion 47 4 D FC A banks All 4D FCA banks All 4 D non-FC A member banks 8.7 9 .2 8 .3 9 .3 9.2 8 .5 10.1 10.5 9 .0 10.9 10.6 9 .6 11.7 11.8 9.7 10.6 10.3 10.3 11.5 11.2 11 .6 $ 5 0 to $ 1 0 0 m illion 47 4 D FC A banks All 4D FCA banks A ll 4 D non-FC A member banks 8 .9 9.1 8.5 8 .4 8.9 8.4 8 .6 9 .0 9 .4 9 .7 10.2 9 .8 14.5 13.7 9.1 11.4 11.3 10.2 12.2 11.7 11.1 9.0% 8.2 8.8 * N o t shown to avoid disclosure of individual bank ratios. N O T E : 19 69 and 1 9 70 not comparable w ith other years, see note on Table I. Shaded cells are those in which both FC A groups exceed the non-FC A average o f similar size banks by a m inim um of 0 .3 percent. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 6 10.8% 8 .7 9 .5 9.0% 9 .5 9.7 8.7% 9.1 9 .6 * JULY 1971 NET INCOME AS A PERCENT OF TO TAL CAPITAL, FOURTH DISTRICT MEMBER BANKS, BY SELECTED SIZE GROUPS, 1964 AND 1970 (AVERAGES OF IN D IV ID U A L BANK RATIOS) PERCENT 15 o o 14 13 1970 o 1964 12 o G 11 10 — o * o o o 1- o o o o o o — o o 9 8 o — 7 Under 1 I A I. 6 1 -2 2 -5 I ........ 5 -1 0 1 0 -2 5 2 5 -5 0 5 0 -1 0 0 100250 250500 50 0 and Over (AVERAGE DEPOSITS OF BANKS—M lLLIO N S OF DOLLARS) *For 1970, the smallest size group is up to $5 million. tF o r 1964, the largest size group is $100 m illion and over. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland FCA banks consistently exceeds the all-FCA A d iffic u lty of interpretation, however, is raised average. Moreover, the gaps between the average by the tendency for net income as a percent of ratios for the two FCA bank groups and the capital to increase w ith bank size. One reason for non-FCA banks widened after the beginning of the this tendency is that the ratio of capital to total FCA program, at least through 1968. A fter 1968 assets varies inversely w ith bank size. Chart 1 and the change in the method of ratio calculation illustrates (see note on Table I), the FCA bank group between net income as a percent of capital and averages exceeded the non-FCA average by about bank size. Note that in 1964, before the FCA the same amount as in 1964. program began, and in 1970, larger banks achieved the resulting positive relationship 7 ECONOMIC REVIEW Chart 2. SIZE D ISTRIBUTIO N OF FCA AND NO N—FCA MEMBER BANKS IN THE FOURTH D IS TR IC T, 1970 PERCENT (AVERAGE DEPOSITS OF BANKS—MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland higher net income to capital ratios than smaller performance of the average of all similar size banks. Chart 2 shows that the FCA bank group, non-FCA member banks in at least one year. Most when compared w ith non-FCA member banks, is of the high performance ratios were recorded by heavily weighted w ith medium and large size FCA banks. Thus, the higher average values for the net However, Table II does show that the higher income to capital ratios at FCA banks were due in income to capital ratios presented in Table I were part to the larger size of FCA participants. not due solely to the larger average size of the One direct way of dealing w ith this size-induced banks in the tw o largest size groups. FCA banks. bias is to group both FCA and all non-FCA banks Ratio of Income to Total Assets. It is possible, by size so that each group of banks is compared of course, that a comparison of the ratio of net with banks in a similar size class. This has been income to capital favors the FCA banks because of done in Table II where, owing to the small number biases introduced by factors other than size. It of FCA banks above $100 m illion in deposits was, therefore, desirable to compare the earnings (until recently) and below $5 m illion, size groups of FCA banks and non-FCA member banks in from $5 to $10, $10 to $25, $25 to $50, and $50 terms of some other ratio. Table III shows the to $100 m illion are considered. The comparison, ratios of net income to total assets fo r FCA and covering a span of seven years, reveals that the non-FCA member banks. As shown in Chart 3, the FCA banks in each size group surpassed the ratio is less consistently related to bank size than 8 JULY 1971 TABLE III Net Income as a Percent of Total Assets Fourth District (4D) FCA and Non-FCA Member Banks 1964-1970 (Averages of Individual Bank Ratios) 1964 47 4 D FCA banks All 4D FCA banks All 4D non-FCA member banks 1 9 65 1967 1966 1968 1970 1969 0.80% 0.77 0.77% 0.6 4 0.85% 0 .7 6 0.86% 0.81 0.88% 0 .8 5 0.9% 0 .9 1.1 % 1.0 0 .7 9 0.7 4 0.7 7 0 .8 0 0.8 0 0.9 1.0 N O TE : 1969 and 1 9 70 not comparable w ith other years, see note on Table I. Source: Federal Reserve Bank o f Cleveland TABLE IV Net Income as a Percent of Total Assets Fourth District (4D) FCA and Non-FCA Member Banks Selected Size Groups 1964-1970 (Averages of Individual Bank Ratios) 1964 Bank Size Group 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 19 70 * * 47 4D FCA banks A ll 4D FCA banks A ll 4D non-FC A member banks 0.90% 0.67 0.7 7 0.83% 0 .7 2 0 .6 6 0.72% 0.6 6 0.7 3 0.83% 0.6 9 0 .8 0 0.68% 0.7 7 0 .8 0 0.8% 0.8 0.9 $1 0 to $25 m illion 47 4 D FCA banks All 4D FC A banks All 4D non-FCA member banks 0 .8 0 0 .7 9 0.7 8 0.77 0 .7 3 0 .7 6 0.9 6 0 .8 3 0 .7 5 0.9 2 0.8 7 0.81 0.7 8 0.77 0.77 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0% 1.0 1.0 $2 5 to $ 5 0 m illion 47 4D FC A banks All 4D FCA banks All 4D non-FC A member banks 0.7 4 0 .7 4 0 .7 2 0.71 0.67 0.6 8 0.81 0.75 0.7 3 0.85 0 .7 9 0.77 0.8 7 0.8 8 0 .7 5 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 $5 0 to $ 1 0 0 m illion 47 4 D FCA banks All 4D FC A banks All 4D non-FCA member banks 0.7 5 0 .7 4 0 .6 8 0 .7 4 0.7 8 0 .6 4 0.67 0.72 0.71 0.7 9 0.8 3 0.7 3 1.14 1.09 0 .6 3 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.1 0.9 $5 to $ 1 0 m illion * * N o t shown to avoid disclosure o f individual bank ratios. N O T E : 1969 and 1 9 7 0 not comparable w ith other years, see note on Table I. Shaded cells are those in which both FC A groups exceed the non-FCA average for similar size banks by a m inim um of 0 .0 5 percent. Source: Federal Reserve Bank o f Cleveland the ratio of net income to capital. The breakdown calculated for Member Bank Operating Ratios may of this ratio by bank size group is shown in Table obscure some differences between the FCA and IV. the non-FCA averages after 1968. Nevertheless, it A change in the rounding method from two is clear that the net income to total assets ratio of decimal places to one when these ratios were both FCA bank groups rose more rapidly than that 9 ECONOMIC REVIEW Chart 3. NET INCOME AS A PERCENT OF TO TAL ASSETS, FOURTH DISTRICT MEMBER BANKS, 1964 AND 1970 PERCENT 1.5 1.4 O 1970 — © 1964 — 1.3 — — Q 1.2 — — 1.1 o * 1.0 — o o o 0.9 — — o o o o o I 1—2 G I L_ 2 -5 5 -1 0 1 0 -2 5 — o t ° I — 0.7 Under 1 o o 0.8 — 0.6 o 2 5 -5 0 I 5 0 -1 0 0 I 100250 I 250500 500 and Over (AVERAGE DEPOSITS OF BANKS—M lLLIO N S OF DOLLARS) *For 1970, the smallest size group is up to $5 m illion. tF o r 1964, the largest size group is $100 m illion and over. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland of the non-FCA average after 1964, at least through 1968. Again, based on the similar size OPERATING REVENUE RATIOS Given that the FCA banks have tended to have comparisons shown in Table IV, the appropriate higher conclusion seems to be that the higher FCA ratios banks, it seems logical to attempt to determine if were not due solely to differences in bank size. It this was due to higher revenues, lower costs, or is also of interest to note that eight of the eleven both. average earnings ratios than non-FCA shaded (high performance) cells in Table IV are Chart 4 depicts total operating revenue as a common to the shaded cells in Table II. Thus, the percent of total assets fo r Fourth District FCA and patterns exhibited by the two income ratios are non-FCA banks fo r the 1964-1970 period. It is very similar. immediately apparent that the FCA banks are 10 JULY 1971 Chart 4. TO TAL OPERATING REVENUE AS A PERCENT OF TO TAL ASSETS, 47 FCA, A LL FCA, AND ALL N O N -F C A FOURTH DISTRICT MEMBER BANKS PERCENT ANNUAL Last entry: 1970 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland higher revenue-generating institutions. To avoid biases that may be introduced by differences in OPERATING EXPENSE RATIOS The ratio of total operating expense to total size of FCA and non-FCA banks, Table V permits assets equal size comparisons. Even though there seems Operating Ratios until 1969 and, therefore, is not to be little difference in revenues earned by FCA readily available prior to that date. In 1969 and was not calculated fo r Member Bank and non-FCA banks in the $25 to $50 m illion 1970, however, total group, fo r the other size groups, the FCA banks percent o f total assets tended to be somewhat have had markedly higher revenue to assets ratios higher fo r FCA banks than the average of the than the same size non-FCA average. Thus, bank non-FCA member banks (see Table VI). The total operating expense as a size is not the sole explanation fo r higher than figures substantiate this, and it is also true for average revenues at FCA banks. some o f the individual size groups. 11 ECONOMIC REVIEW TABLE V Total Operating Revenue as a Percent o f Total Assets Fourth District (4D) FCA and Non-FCA Member Banks Selected Size Groups 1964-1970 (Averages of Individual Bank Ratios) 1965 1966 1967 1968 47 4 D FCA banks A ll 4D FC A banks A ll 4 D non-FC A member banks 5.04% 4 .8 5 4 .7 3 5.20% 4 .8 5 4.7 9 5.09% 4.9 9 4.91 5.41% 5.2 6 5 .0 4 5.54% 5.4 8 5.2 9 5.9% 5.9 5 .6 $ 1 0 to $ 2 5 m illion 47 4 D FC A banks A ll 4 D FCA banks All 4 D non-FCA member banks 4 .9 4 4 .8 4 4.6 9 4 .9 8 4 .9 5 4 .7 5 5 .2 3 5 .1 3 4 .9 3 5.3 4 5 .4 2 5.1 2 5.3 4 5.4 2 5.3 2 5.7 5.7 5.6 6.4% 6.4 6.2 $2 5 to $ 5 0 m illion 47 4D FCA banks All 4D FCA banks All 4D non-FCA member banks 4 .7 6 4 .6 4 4.81 4.91 4.7 8 4 .8 4 5.0 6 4 .8 3 5.15 5.31 5 .3 6 5.25 5.4 8 5.51 5 .4 8 5.8 5.8 5.8 6.5 6.5 6.5 $5 0 to $ 1 0 0 m illion 47 4 D FC A banks All 4 D FC A banks All 4 D non-FCA member banks 4 .4 8 4 .6 3 4 .7 2 4.61 4 .6 6 4 .6 3 5 .0 0 5.0 4 4 .8 8 5.3 5 5 .3 6 5.1 8 5.6 2 5 .7 0 5 .3 0 5.9 6 .0 5.6 6.9 6.7 6 .3 Bank Size Group 1969 19 70 1964 $5 to $1 0 m illion * * * N ot shown to avoid disclosure of individual bank ratios. N O TE : 1 9 69 and 19 60 not comparable w ith other years, see note on Table I. Shaded cells are those in which both FCA groups exceed the average for similar size banks by a m inim um of 0 .1 0 percent. Source: Federal Reserve Bank o f Cleveland FCA and Bank Growth. The revenue and cost percent, while deposits at all Fourth District characteristics of the FCA banks suggest that these member banks rose at a rate of only 6.7 percent. banks may also have experienced high growth in During the same period, the combined deposits of the period examined, inasmuch as an association Fourth District member and non-member banks between high revenue, costs, and growth has been increased at an annual average rate of 6.8 percent. observed in the past.11 In fact, from 1964 to In summary, Fourth District FCA banks have 1970, inclusive, deposits at the 47 FCA bank tended to be more rapidly growing, to have had group increased at an annual average rate o f 9.3 higher earnings, revenues, and costs than the non-FCA member bank average. However, a lack of uniform change in performance by FCA banks 11 Lyle G ram ley, "G ro w th and Earnings at Individual Commercial Banks," Essays on Com mercial Banking, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas C ity, 1 9 6 2 , pp. 13-15. 12 in all size groups, along w ith discontinuities in the data, prevents the analysis from reaching firm conclusions on the causal impact of FCA. JULY 1971 TABLE VI Total Operating Expense as a Percent of Total Assets Fourth District (4D) FCA Banks and Non-FCA Member Banks Selected Size Groups 1969-1970 (Averages of Individual Bank Ratios) Bank Size Group 1969 1970 $5 to $ 1 0 m illion 47 4 D FCA banks All 4D FC A banks A ll 4 D non-FC A member banks 4.8% 4 .5 4 .3 $ 1 0 to $2 5 m illion 47 4 D FCA banks All 4 D FC A banks All 4D non-FC A member banks 4.7 4 .4 4.4 5.1% 5.2 4.9 $2 5 to $ 5 0 m illion 47 4 D FC A banks All 4 D FC A banks All 4D non-FC A member banks 4 .4 4 .4 4.7 4.8 5.1 5.2 $5 0 to $ 1 0 0 m illion 47 4D FC A banks All 4D FCA banks All 4 D non-FCA member banks 4 .5 4.8 4 .6 5.2 5.4 5.2 $ 1 0 0 to $ 2 5 0 m illion 47 4D FC A banks All 4D FC A banks All 4 D non-FC A member banks 4.7 4.7 4 .4 5.4 5.3 5.1 TO TAL 47 4D FC A banks All 4D FC A banks All 4D non-FC A member banks 4 .6 4 .5 4.4 5.1 5.2 5.0 * N o t shown to avoid disclosure o f individual bank ratios. N O T E : 1969 and 1 9 7 0 not comparable, see note on Table I. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 13 ECONOMIC REVIEW THE S E C O N D A R Y M O R T G A G E M A R K E T INTRO DUCTION second section discusses the post-World War II As part of its stated policies to help provide developments in the secondary mortgage market adequate housing for all citizens, the Federal and the Government has long efficient market; the third section analyzes the been interested in the problems involved in establishing an nation's mortgage market. One of the Govern behavior of the mortgage markets since 1965. In ment's primary objectives has been the establish the conclusion, some of the more widely discussed ment of a viable and active secondary market for suggestions for improving the secondary mortgage mortgages. A secondary market facilitates the market are presented. transfer of a mortgage from its originator or any other subsequent holder to other investors. The existence of an active market provides needed liquidity to lenders and makes it possible to attract BACKGROUND OF THE MORTGAGE M ARKET AND FEDERAL PARTICIPATIO N more diverse types of investors. Combined w ith Whenever a borrower gives a lender a lien on Government-fostered standardization of some of property as security fo r repayment of an obli the mortgage instruments, the secondary market gation, a mortgage is created. Prior to 1934, has led to greater participation by national "long amortized mortgage loans were very rare; instead, distance" lenders than would otherwise be the most loans were in the form of notes requiring case. Because of the localized nature of housing payment of the entire principal and interest at and the m aturity.1 heterogeneity of individual mortgage Arrangements for renewal o f the instruments, a mortgage holding, in the absence of a secondary market, becomes a long-term invest ment w ith little opportunity for liquidation. The first section of this article discusses the 1 A m o rtization principal and requires interest the of mortgagee the mortgage to repay in the specified instalments over the term o f the loan. There are numerous history of Federal participation in the primary and types of am ortization , w ith the most popular providing secondary mortgage markets in the 1930's. The for equal m onthly payments. 14 JULY 1971 unamortized mortgage, however, could be made at Housing Administration (FHA) was created by the the discretion of the participants. Loans made enactment prior to addition to its program of mortgage insurance, the 1934 also differed from the modern of the National Housing Act. In mortgage in that they required much larger down FHA was given authority to charter and supervise payments. private national mortgage associations in the hope As banks failed and credit markets virtually collapsed in the early 1930's, there were many of stimulating investment in home financing. In conjunction w ith FHA insurance, the national foreclosures, unrenewed loans, and very few new mortgage associations were intended to organize a mortgages were made. With the scarcity of funds, secondary mortgage market and thereby more financing home ownership became more d ifficu lt, efficiently allocate the limited available supply of and virtual stagnation existed in the home con mortgage credit. Although the FHA insurance program is still in effect and has added some struction and home financing industries. Federal Home Loan Bank System and Home stability to the mortgage market, the FHA did not Owners Loan Corporation. Beginning in 1932, the succeed in establishing a single private mortgage Federal of association, even though several applications for residential charters were filed. The authority of the FHA to mortgage financing. The first of these programs charter private national mortgage associations was was the establishment of the Federal Home Loan repealed in the Housing Act of 1948. Thus, the Bank System (FHLB). The primary goal of this desired level of secondary market activity failed to new organization was to increase the volume of develop. Government program s initiated intended to a number revitalize funds available fo r home financing. Although the The Veterans Administration (VA) was created FHLB remains an important indirect source of by the Serviceman's Readjustment Act of 1944. mortgage funds today, its authority to make direct As the name of the act implies, the original loans to home buyers was repealed in 1933, with purpose of the program was to aid servicemen establishment of the Home Owner's Loan Corpor returning to ation (HOLC). however, has developed into a major housing civilian life. The VA mortgage, The HOLC operated between 1933 and 1954 market instrument, paralleling the FHA insured and was authorized to refinance existing mortgages mortgage. Although the specific terms, conditions, on one to four fam ily dwellings that were due to and eligibility requirements differ between the two be foreclosed or otherwise canceled. The most programs, both FHA and VA provide backing for significant contribution made by HOLC was the individual popularization of more liquid secondary market instruments. mortgage. innovation This the long-term amortized residential mortgages, making them in home financing Reconstruction Finance Corporation Mortgage played a major role in stabilizing the home finance Company. The Federal programs of the early market and fostered the phenomenal growth in 1930's failed to aid in the development of the private home ownership that has taken place since desired secondary mortgage market, and they also the 1930's. failed to establish an efficient, well-functioning Federal Housing Administration and Veterans Administration. In June 1934, the Federal primary market in each local area of the nation. In an attempt to aid the reestablishment of a normal 15 ECONOMIC REVIEW mortgage market, the Reconstruction Finance FNMA instituted tw o procedures designed to (RFC) created the RFC Mortgage improve the agency's performance as a secondary Company in 1935 under Section 5(c) of the RFC market fa cility: the stand-by commitment and the A ct.2 Until its dissolution in 1948, this organi purchase option. Corporation zation, in cooperation w ith the FHA, assisted in the development are agreements by FNMA to purchase a specific mortgage w ithin a FHA-insured stipulated time period at an agreed-upon price that mortgages and, later, mortgages guaranteed by the was below the current market price.4 Builders VA. taking out stand-bys were able to obtain construc Federal through the secondary Stand-by commitments mortgage m a rk e t of purchases National Mortgage of Association. In tion loans from commercial banks that otherwise 1938, when it became apparent that no national would not have been w illing to make loans. If the mortgage associations would be formed and that mortgage market had improved by the time the the RFC Mortgage Company purchases would not final mortgage was placed w ith the bank, the be sufficient to meet the home financing needs of holder the by the mortgage to the highest bidder. If no alternative President to organize a national mortgage associ buyers were available, FNMA would purchase the nation, the RFC was requested of the stand-by could sell the final ation. The primary purpose of the new Federal mortgage National Mortgage Association (FNMA) was to provided the stand-by commitments fo r a fee of 1 provide: secondary market facilities for home m o rtg a g e s ,... [a n d ] supplementary assistance to the secondary market for home mortgages by providing a degree of liquidity for mortgage investments, thereby improving the distribution of investment capital available for home o mortgage financing... percent of the At first, only FHA mortgages were eligible for intended to provide a greater degree of liquidity purchase by FNMA, but eligibility was extended for mortgage investments and were used until to cover VA mortgages in 1948. FNMA remained a 1968. at the pre-arranged price. FNMA mortgage balance, which was absorbed by the builder or passed on to the final mortgage buyer, depending on market conditions. For an additional fee of 0.5 percent, the seller of a mortgage to option which mortgage from FNMA could obtain a purchase allowed him to repurchase the FNMA w ithin nine months at FNMA's purchase price. These procedures were subsidiary of the RFC until 1950 when it was The legislation creating HUD in 1965 provided transferred to the Housing and Home Finance that FNMA retain its separate identity, allowing Agency, which became the Department of Housing FNMA to be reorganized in 1968 and divided into and Urban Development (HUD) in 1965. In 1956, two separate corporations. Under the terms of this 2 reorganization, Section 5(c) was added to the RFC A ct on January 1, 1935, by P. L. 1, 74 th Congress. 3 all of the Federally financed Special Assistance Functions and Management and Liquidating Functions were turned over to a new Federal National Mortgage Association Charter A ct, as amended through December 31, 1969 (Washington, D. C.: Office of the General Counsel, Federal National Mortgage Association) p. 1. 16 4 Since May 4, 1 9 6 8 , stand-by com m itm ents have been lim ited to m ulti-fam ily mortgages. JULY 1971 Government operated corporation, the Govern this article, a secondary market transaction has ment National Mortgage Association (GNMA). The taken place if the mortgage being traded was privately financed secondary market operations already in existence at the time the transaction remained was first initiated. This definition is designed to w ith FNMA, which later became privately owned and managed by its stockholders. Summary. From the 1930's until the passage of eliminate mortgage purchases dependent upon commitments from the final lender.5 the Housing Act of 1968, the secondary market Problems. The major obstacles to the develop for mortgages was virtually limited to VA and ment of a competitive secondary mortgage market FHA can backed mortgages. Even among these be grouped into five categories: (1) Government supported mortgages, trading was commodity differentiation, (2) lender differenti light by ation, (3) differentiation among states, (4) d iffe r commitments, technically making them primary and most purchases were preceded entiation w ithin states, and (5) imperfect market market transactions. Usually today when FHA and information. The fact that FHA and VA backed VA mortgages are sold, either w ith or w ithout mortgages have a known risk, represent a more commitments, they are grouped into blocks, and standardized instrument, and, therefore, are more the originator capable of being traded nationally has led to the of the mortgages continues to service them fo r a small fee. relative success of the secondary market for these Although the Federal programs did not succeed in developing a viable secondary instruments. market for The problem of commodity differentiation mortgages, these programs and the wider use of stems from the fact that differences in the quality amortization had a great effect on the terms of a of the real property and the credit standing of the typical mortgage. For example, the length of the borrower affect the risk and asset value of a mortgage was greatly increased to allow full mortgage. In turn, this results in differences in amortization of the loan and still provide reason y ie ld s , able m onthly payments. Instead of being similar to insurance. The state laws governing issuance of the a m o rtiza tio n , equity, and Federal a short-term renewable note, the mortgage became mortgage, as well as the measures of property a long-term obligation, usually w ith a m aturity value, may also cause variations from one between 15 and 30 years. The loan to price ratio, mortgage to another. When all of these variables an indication of the relative sizes of the mortgage are taken into consideration, it is often d iffic u lt and the downpayment, also increased. As am orti for a nonlocal secondary buyer to determine zation and Government insurance attenuated risk, precisely what he is purchasing. lenders became more willing to accept larger loans relative to downpayments. Mortgages also differ by the type of lender making the original loan. The various groups of lenders tend to concentrate their holdings among DEVELOPMENT OF THE SECONDARY M ARKET Before discussing the secondary mortgage mar particular 5 types of Com m itm ents mortgage in holders mortgages having distinct this to instance purchase are agreements specified volumes by of ket, it is necessary to define what is meant by mortgage loans from a mortgage originator prior to the secondary market transactions. For the purpose of closing of the loan. 17 ECONOMIC REVIEW characteristics. For example, life insurance companies, mortgage companies, and most savings market. Mortgage Companies. During the 1948-1954 banks prefer to deal in FHA and VA mortgages, period, some important developments did occur, while commercial banks and savings and loan particularly the emergence of the modern-day associations prim arily hold and purchase conven mortgage company. Due to the pent-up demand tional mortgages. for housing after World War II and the fact that Differentiation of mortgages among states is FNMA was not successful in establishing a national due to differences in laws governing foreclosure secondary mortgage market, a large proportion of procedures, usury ceilings, and taxation of out-of- the financing of new homes was met by private state institutional lenders. Differences within states stem lenders. While commercial banks, chiefly from differences in the costs of doing savings and loan associations, and mutual savings business in metropolitan areas as opposed to rural banks were expanding in their local markets, life insurance companies began purchasing mortgages areas and small communities. The great diversity among mortgages has on a national basis. Mortgage companies developed resulted in imperfect market knowledge. Because as the agents of the insurance companies to of the lack of homogeneity among mortgages, it is facilitate the investment needs of the life insurance d iffic u lt for potential buyers of mortgages to companies and meet their desire to avoid servicing participate in a unified national market trading a loans—which would have required local offices. To uniform knowledge encourage these correspondent relationships and concerning availability of existing mortgages for to ensure the availability of large volumes of purchase and sale is restricted to small groups of mortgages, life insurance companies committed potential investors. themselves to product. Generally, the purchasing mortgages from the To encourage and facilitate trading in the mortgage companies prior to the actual closing of secondary mortgage market, it was necessary to the loans, and frequently before construction of foster changes in the mortgage instrument itself. the homes. Some mortgage companies currently Most other capital market instruments have larger, conduct some uncommitted business, but it is of more uniform, nonamortized denominations and relatively little importance.6 On balance, the bulk are easily traded, making them more attractive to of all mortgage company sales are still based upon most capital market investors. In its initial form, prior commitments. however, the mortgage instrument is denominated in relatively small amounts and requires on-site The volume of loans that life insurance companies add to their portfolios fluctuates w ith knowledge of the property being mortgaged for an money and capital market conditions, as well as accurate The most their cash flows. This has caused the mortgage common method of overcoming heterogeneity, companies to turn to FNMA and mutual savings increasing the denominations, and attenuating the banks (which were permitted after 1951 to hold risk of holding an individual mortgage is the Federally judgment of its quality. underwritten mortgages originating packaging of numerous individual mortgages into large blocks or pools. These blocks of mortgages can then be bought and sold in the secondary 18 ®The introduction o f pass-through participations may increase the volume o f uncom m itted business done by mortgage companies issuing the new securities. JULY 1971 outside of their market areas) fo r commitments. tures in the money and capital markets. The Because of wide fluctuations in the inflow of agency performs many of the functions of a savings, however, mutual savings banks prefer to central mortgage bank and, in its role in the operate w itho ut prior commitments. This pref secondary market, acts prim arily as a "buyer of erence and the reluctance of some other investors last resort." To encourage sellers to seek other to buyers, FNMA has tried to keep its offering prices enter the mortgage market—e.g., pension funds—has encouraged some mortgage companies at a minimum to maintain an inventory of mortgages in reserve, a provided repurchase arrangements which allow the practice that in turn has furthered the develop seller to repurchase a mortgage previously sold to ment of a secondary mortgage market. FNMA also FNMA at the original purchase price w ithin a began making stand-by commitments in 1956, in specified option period, normally nine months. effect providing a buyer of last resort to the m ortgage companies. The warehousing of level. Since 1956, FNMA has From the mid-1950's and 1960's, FNMA was successful in establishing a secondary market for mortgage loans by commercial banks also helped Government underwritten mortgages. While it is provide true that the vast m ajority of transactions were mortgage companies w ith needed liq uidity. These companies obtain interim financing based on commitments, the market mechanism by putting up notes against the collateral of their was established and some transactions did take total place. Since assets, which include unsold completed mortgages as well as partially completed mortgage 1956, sales by FNMA from its portfolio have been generally moderate, although loans that may or may not have committed in 1958 and 1963 the dollar volume of sales buyers. These "warehoused" mortgages are then exceeded purchases (see Table I). The greatest redeemed from the commercial payment is received from banks when the final mortgage shortcoming of the developed was the secondary exclusion market as it of conventional mortgages—the largest category of mortgage debt. holders. Role o f FNMA. The establishment of FNMA Mortgage-Backed Securities. Following the provided a buyer of FHA mortgages; in its first most recent reorganization of FNMA in 1968 and year o f operation, FNMA purchased 17 percent of the passage of the Emergency Home Finance Act all mortgages insured by FHA. During the World of 1970, the stage was set fo r a more active War II years, however, FNMA sold most of its development of a secondary market for conven mortgage holdings at a p ro fit and did not return as tional mortgages, and the secondary market for an active supporter of a secondary mortgage Federally underwritten mortgages was expanded. market until after its new charter and reorgani The most important innovations over the past few zation in November 1954. Prior to 1956, all sales years have been the packaging of mortgages into of represented existing blocks fo r sale, either directly as pass-through mortgages and, therefore, were true secondary mortgages participations or indirectly as mortgage-backed market transactions. Since August 1956, FNMA bonds, and the establishment in 1970 of the has made advance commitments, but only for Federal FHA and VA to FNMA mortgages. Loan Mortgage Corporation purchases (FHLMC), a subsidiary of FHLB. Both FHLMC mortgages with funds raised through issuing deben and FNMA have been authorized to purchase FHA FNMA Home 19 ECONOMIC REVIEW TABLE I Federal National Mortgage Association's Purchases and Sales of Federal Housing Administration and Veterans Administration Mortgages (Thousands of Dollars) Total Purchases Year FH A Purchases VA Purchases Total Sales (2) (3) (4) (1) 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 19 60 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 $ 24 8 6 ,0 4 9 5 7 4 ,5 3 8 1 ,0 2 1 ,0 4 4 2 5 9 ,5 3 5 7 3 4 ,5 6 9 9 8 0 ,4 9 5 6 2 4 ,3 9 0 5 4 7 ,4 2 7 1 8 1 ,2 9 0 19 7,54 8 7 5 6 ,9 3 3 2 ,0 8 0 ,6 1 7 1 ,3 9 9 ,6 0 2 1 ,9 4 4 ,3 8 0 4 ,2 1 9 ,9 6 9 5 ,0 7 8 ,8 1 3 $ 11 19 ,9 3 4 12 1,61 9 2 3 8 ,7 9 9 1 8 4 ,5 5 0 5 5 3 ,5 2 6 6 9 6 ,4 5 3 4 5 3 ,6 9 5 404,941 1 6 2 ,8 5 0 18 1,98 9 6 2 7 ,1 3 4 1 ,6 3 5 ,1 2 4 9 1 1 ,7 0 8 1 ,2 9 7 ,5 6 8 2 ,8 0 7 ,3 8 7 3 ,7 9 1 ,5 2 3 $ 13 6 6 ,1 1 5 4 5 2 ,9 1 9 7 8 2 ,2 4 5 7 4 ,9 8 5 18 1,04 3 2 8 4 ,0 4 2 17 0,69 5 14 2,48 6 1 8 ,4 4 0 15,559 12 9,79 9 4 4 5 ,4 9 3 4 8 7 ,8 9 4 6 4 6 ,8 1 2 1 ,3 1 2 ,5 8 2 1 ,2 8 7 ,2 9 0 $ FHA Sales VA Sales (5) (6) ___ ___ — ------ 5 ,0 1 4 2,8 87 4 6 5 ,5 6 8 3 ,4 7 4 4 2 ,0 9 3 5 2 1 ,9 9 9 3 9 0 ,6 6 7 7 7 9 ,8 2 4 78,091 4 6 ,5 6 2 73 1 1 ,744 358 $ ___ ------ 1 ,2 50 2 ,0 4 9 1 3 8 ,8 4 3 3 ,0 4 8 2 8 ,7 9 6 3 1 8 ,6 2 9 1 9 5,10 3 3 8 9 ,4 7 4 44,541 14 ,508 73 7 ,7 1 0 188 $ 3 ,7 6 4 83 8 3 2 6 ,7 2 5 426 13 ,297 2 0 3 ,3 7 0 1 9 5 ,5 6 4 3 9 0 ,3 5 0 3 3 ,5 5 0 3 2 ,0 5 4 ... 4 ,0 3 4 170 ... ... ... 2 0 ,2 9 3 1 8 ,4 1 0 1 ,8 83 Less than $ 5 0 ,0 0 0 . Source: Federal National Mortgage Association and VA mortgages from originating sources, combine these mortgages into large blocks or pools, and then issue bonds that are secured by the the investor, GNMA guarantees the performance of the servicing agent. In addition, both FNMA and the FHLMC have blocks of mortgages to public investors. The bonds been are guaranteed by GNMA. Pass-through partici mortgages for their portfolios; but as of the pations are issued by private financial organi present time, only FHLMC has made any pur zations and differ from mortgage-backed bonds in chases. The FHLMC has also been given authority several respects. Only FHA and VA mortgages to issue conventional mortgage backed bonds, but are eligible to back the participations, thus attenuating the risk of final default. The origi nator retains the servicing of the mortgages authorized to purchase conventional these would not be guaranteed by GNMA and would, therefore, be d iffic u lt to market. The primary purpose of the new mortgage- and passes the monthly mortgage payments, plus backed instruments is to attract large investors, any prepayments, on to the holder of the pass such as pension funds, which traditionally have through participation after deducting a nominal been reluctant to invest in mortgages through the service charge.7 As an additional protection for secondary mortgage market and in some cases prohibited from doing so. These securities elim i 7 The detailed treatm ent o f late payments and prepay nate the paper work of handling individual and ments varies among issuers. highly diverse mortgages and through the GNMA 20 JULY 1971 Chart 1. MORTGAGE DEBT O UTSTANDING BILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF PERIOD Last entry: 1970 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System guarantees meet the legal liquidity requirements often imposed on pension funds. new new securities. FHLMC has fo r the most part securities also have the characteristics of other followed FNMA even though the FHLB and the capital market instruments, in The the more active innovator and participant in the that they are savings and loan associations deal almost exclu conducive to active and frequent trading in the sively in primary conventional mortgages. The secondary market and can be held as long-term interest of the FHLB and the savings and loan portfolio investments. associations in the development of the new bonds Since FNMA has been primarily concerned with and the secondary conventional mortgage market FHA and VA mortgages, it was not expected to would appear to be a reasonable expansion of play an active role in the development of the their previous operations. mortgage-backed bond or a secondary conven tional mortgage market. However, largely because of the influence of HUD, FNMA has proved to be THE MORTGAGE M ARKET SINCE 1965 General Trends. The ebb and flow of funds into 21 ECONOMIC REVIEW TABLE II Annual Rate of Growth of Mortgage Debt Outstanding Governm ent Guaranteed Conventional Total 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Average annual growth rate Federal Housing A dm inistration Veterans Adm inistration 6.62% 6 .5 6 7.37 6 .9 9 6.06 7.62% 7.08 7.78 6.6 9 5 .9 0 5.38% 5.4 9 7 .0 0 8 .2 2 8.21 0.65% 3.9 2 4.4 0 5.4 2 4.2 8 6.7 7.0 6.9 3.7 Sources: Board o f Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Bank o f Cleveland the mortgage market since 1965 have been at the end of 1965 to $451 billion at the end of sensitive to changes in overall economic activity, 1970, at an annual average rate of 6.7 percent. especially to conditions in the money and capital During this period, the fastest rate of growth markets. occurred During periods of limited economic growth and declining interest rates, funds were readily available; while in periods of in 1968 when total mortgage debt outstanding increased by 7.4 percent; the slowest rapid rate was 6.1 percent in 1970, considerably below economic expansion, funds were scarce, and many any of the preceding four years (see Table II). lenders were completely out of the mortgage Mortgage loans guaranteed by the Federal Govern market despite high interest yields. Chart 1 shows ment grew more slowly than the total between the total volume of mortgage debt since 1965. 1966 and 1968, but FHA loans have grown much Although more rapidly than conventional loans since 1968. this outstanding debt has increased annually, the dollar volume of new loans has However, at the end of 1965 and 1970, conven fluctuated. tional loans outstanding represented 69 percent of The proportion of loans having Government guarantees has also varied as money market conditions changed. To a large extent, total mortgage loans outstanding. The trend toward greater Government partici mortgage credit is a function of the volume of pation in the mortgage market since the credit savings flows into commercial banks and the th rift crunch o f 1966 is also apparent in the volume of institutions. The mortgage market cannot, there new mortgage loans made. In both 1966 and 1969, fore, effectively compete with the money and savings flows at commercial banks and other th rift bond markets for funds, because of the vulner institutions fell sharply, causing a reduction in the ability of the inflows to the spread between yields volume of funds available for mortgage lending. on savings accounts and other alternative invest Although the data are incomplete and only show ment outlets. mortgage loans made by savings and loan associ Since 1965, total mortgage debt outstanding in ations, the trend is partially discernible from Table the United States has increased from $326 billion III, especially when it is recognized that nearly all 22 JULY 1971 TABLE III Mortgage Loans Insured by the Federal Housing Administration and Veterans Administration and made by Savings and Loan Associations (Millions o f Dollars) FH A 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 Savings and Loan Associations VA A m ount Percent Change A m ount Percent Change A m ount Percent Change $ 8 ,6 8 9 7 ,3 2 0 7 ,1 5 0 8 ,2 7 5 9 ,1 2 9 11,908 + 6.87% - 1 5 .7 5 - 2.3 2 + 1 5 .7 3 + 1 0 .3 2 + 3 0 .4 4 $ 2 ,6 5 2 2 ,6 0 0 3 ,4 05 3 ,7 7 4 4 ,0 7 2 3 ,4 42 - 6.81% - 1.96 + 3 0 .9 6 + 1 0 .8 3 + 7.89 - 1 5 .4 7 $ 2 4 ,1 9 2 16 ,9 2 4 2 0 ,1 2 2 2 1 ,9 8 3 2 1 ,8 4 7 2 1 ,3 8 7 -3 0 .0 4 % + 1 8 .8 9 + 9 .2 4 - 0.61 - 2.1 0 -o - Sources: Board o f Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland TABLE IV Total Residential Mortgage Debt Outstanding by Type of Lender (Millions of Dollars) Commercial Banks A m ount 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 $ 3 2 ,3 8 7 3 4 ,8 7 6 3 7 ,6 4 2 4 1 ,4 3 3 4 4 ,5 7 3 4 5 ,6 4 0 Percent Change 11.94% 7 .6 8 7 .9 3 10.07 7.57 2.3 9 Savings and Loan Associations Mutual Savings Banks Life Insurance Companies A m ount Percent Change A m ount Percent Change A m ount $ 1 1 0 ,3 0 6 1 1 4,42 7 1 2 1,80 5 13 0,80 2 14 0,34 7 1 5 0,56 2 8.85% 3.7 3 6 .4 4 7 .3 8 7 .2 9 7.27 $ 4 0 ,0 9 6 4 2 ,2 4 2 44,641 4 6 ,7 4 8 4 8 ,6 8 2 4 9 ,9 3 7 9.89% 5 .3 5 5.67 4.71 4 .1 3 2.5 7 $ 5 5 ,1 9 0 5 9 ,3 6 9 6 1 ,9 4 7 6 4 ,1 7 2 6 6 ,2 5 4 6 8 ,6 9 3 Percent Change 8.53% 7.57 4 .3 4 3.5 9 3.2 4 3 .6 8 Sources: Board o f Governors o f the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland mortgage loans made by savings and loan associ contrasts between the effects of the two periods of ations are conventional in nature. In addition, severe credit restraint on the mortgage market. commercial banks normally make a substantial Most striking is the behavior of FHA-insured amount of conventional mortgages; but as Table mortgages. Rather than allowing funds to dry up IV shows, the increase in mortgages outstanding at and the number of new loans made to decrease commercial banks was extremely small in 1970, sharply, as in 1966, FNMA increased its purchases indicating that conventional mortgage loan origi of FHA and VA mortgages. This stepped up FHA nations probably decreased substantially from activity in the mortgage market in 1970 increased previous year levels. the volume of insured loans to $11,908 m illion or Comparing early 1970 mortgage market results w ith those from 1966 shows several marked 30 percent more than in the previous year. The total volume of FHA mortgage loans outstanding 23 ECONOMIC REVIEW increased to $72 billion in 1970.8 meet the enlarged demand for policy loans.10 FHLB pursued an aggressive "advance” policy Interest Rate Effects. Generally, in choosing in 1970; as a result, savings and loan associations am ong maintained the volume of mortgages made in early commercial banks and life insurance companies, of various competing uses of funds, 1970 better than they did in 1966. These institu all the major mortgage lenders, have the fewest tions closed $21 billion of new mortgage loans in legal restrictions. 1970, only 2 percent less than in 1969 and 2.4 and mutual savings banks are limited by law to a percent less than the 1968 cyclically large volume. relatively narrow choice of investments. 11 Savings and loan associations 19 Further In 1966, they had made only $17 billion of new complicating the mortgage market is the depen loans, a decline of 30 percent from 1965. The dence of three of the largest mortgage lenders strong market support action taken by the various upon time and savings deposits for their funds. As Federal largely alternative investment outlets w ith higher rates of housing agencies is probably responsible for the relatively small percentage return develop, the net flow of funds into these decrease in housing starts in 1969 and 1970 and institutions is likely to decrease, partly because of the short duration of the slump in housing starts.9 "in fle xib ilitie s” on rates paid. As can be seen in The three major sources of private mortgage Chart 2, commercial banks experienced a net funds—commercial banks, mutual savings banks, outflow of time and savings funds in 1969. and life insurance companies—seem to have Interest rate differences have a double effect on curtailed their volume of mortgage lending more the volume of mortgage lending. First, as rates on severely during 1969-1970 than 1966, causing competing investment instruments rise, suppliers total mortgage debt outstanding to increase less of funds tend to decrease their purchases of rapidly in the more recent period (see Table IV). mortgages. This is particularly true when mortgage In 1969 and 1970, life insurance companies did not have the freedom to choose freely among the 10Due to special circumstances arising from policy loans, insurance companies made fewer mortgage loans than in alternative uses of funds as did the other financial the previous year from 1 9 66 through 1969. In 19 70, life intermediaries because of contractural arrange insurance companies increased their volume of mortgage ments contained in their policies. A substantial loans made to $ 7 .0 m illion from $ 6 .6 m illion in 19 69, still well below the volume o f $ 9 .9 m illion in 1 9 65 and share of their investment funds had to be used to $9 .2 m illion in 19 6 6 . See The Tally o f L ife Insurance Statistics, Institute of Life Insurance. 11 O Unpublished data. Board of Governors of the Federal For life insurance companies, this includes the possibility of acquiring equity in the mortgage property. Reserve System. 12 M utual g savings banks enjoy somewhat more freedom of choice than savings and loans inasmuch as they are able to "credit hold U nited States, corporate, and municipal bonds, and crunch” spans the second half of 1 9 69 and early 1970. The period most comparable to the 1966 corporate stocks as well as mortgages and consumer credit The recent impact o f tight credit markets on mortgage instruments. Savings and loan associations are generally lending, however, was more intense during 1970 than restricted to 1969. graphic areas. 24 real estate loans w ithin fa irly small geo JULY 1971 Chart 2. NET SAVINGS FLOWS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 CO M M ERCIAL BANKS 30 20 10 0 M U TU A L SAVING S BANKS -1 0 —20 1965 '66 '67 '68 '69 '70 '71 END OF YEAR Last entry: 1970 •C U M U L A T IV E T O TA L Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland interest rates are held below the level of market During periods of high interest rates, demand for rates, often though artificial interest rate ceilings new residential mortgages is also depressed because (state of the increase in the total cost of a home. As was usury laws). Second, as interest rates at true during 1969 and 1970, interest rate advances commercial banks and other savings institutions is and generally tighter mortgage terms frequently retarded, and the available supply of loanable occur during periods of inflation so that the costs funds at these institutions is decreased. This of property are higher, thus discouraging mortgage second borrowing. increase, generally impact is time deposit magnified when growth maximum interest rate regulations on deposits, imposed by It therefore appears that the primary mortgage the various regulatory agencies, are effective. It is market can be quite sensitive to monetary policy. unlikely, however, that these institutions, because In general, the market expands during periods of of their long-term loan portfolios, could become expansionary monetary policy, and it is one of the fu lly first and most strongly affected economic sectors competitive w ith market interest rates. 25 ECONOMIC REVIEW TABLE V Federal Home Loan Bank Operations (Millions of Dollars) 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 To tal Advances Outstanding (End of Period) Advances Made Repayments A m ount A m ount A m ount $ 5 ,0 0 7 3,8 0 4 1,527 2 ,7 3 4 5,531 3 ,2 5 6 $ 4 ,3 3 5 2 ,8 6 6 4 ,0 7 6 1,861 1,5 00 1,9 29 $ 5,9 97 6 ,9 3 5 4 ,3 8 6 5 ,2 5 9 9 ,2 8 9 10 ,615 Long-term Advances Outstanding (End o f Period) Percent Change Percent Change A m ount +12.61% + 1 5 .6 4 —3 6 .75 + 1 9 .9 0 + 7 6 .6 3 + 14 .27 $ 2 ,9 2 3 1 ,9 29 401 392 85 5 7,5 34 + 17.91* - 3 4 .0 0 - 79.21 2.2 4 +118.11 + 7 8 1 .1 6 Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and Federal Home Loan Bank Board during periods of restrictive monetary policy. took additional steps to encourage the taking out Although influencing the volume of total expendi of long-term advances in the 1969-1970 period tures in the economy is one of the goals of (see Table V). To add greater support to the monetary policy, spending for housing has social recovery in the mortgage market in late 1970 and value, which may partially exempt it from the early 1971, the FHLB began to discourage the desired results for the credit markets as a whole. early repayment of these advances and to encour Consequently, FNMA and FHLB have recently age its members to make additional mortgage loans been attempting to lessen the impact of monetary instead. policy on the housing industry and the mortgage market. The FHLB, through the issuance of short- and The secondary market operations of FNMA affect the overall availability of funds in the mortgage market more directly than the FHLB. long-term advances to member institutions, can FNMA is capable of increasing the total amount of affect their liquidity and, therefore, the ability of funds a given savings and loan association to make new restraint through the purchase of mortgages in the loans. Short-term advances are often taken out by market and decreasing the amount of money available during periods of monetary FHLB members to compensate for seasonal varia available during periods of rapid credit expansion tions in savings flows and loan demand. Longer- through the sale of mortgages. This action some term advances, which require specific collateral, what offsets the general effects of monetary tend to increase the amount of money available to policy. In addition, both FNMA and the FHLB the mortgage market as a whole and, particularly, finance a large portion of their support operations to those regions of the country where the local through funds raised in the bond market.13 This T5 lending institutions may have insufficient funds to U ntil the increase in the m inim um denom ination of meet mortgage loan demand. Although the volume these bonds in 1 9 70, apparently a substantial am ount of of advances has always increased rapidly during funds were being w ithdraw n from th rift institutions and commercial banks to purchase the periods when interest rates are rising, the FHLB Digitized for 26 FRASER bonds. F N M A and FH L B JULY 1971 Chart 3. FNMA MORTGAGE COMM ITM ENTS OUTSTANDING MILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF PERIOD Last entry: January 1971 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System has the effect of drawing funds into the mortgage percent and 8 percent, respectively; whereas in market, where they may be more urgently needed 1966, the volume had decreased by 16 percent and in terms of social values. In periods of tight credit 2 percent (see Table III). conditions such as 1966 and 1969, total mortgage sales by FNMA As would be expected, the volume of com m it were extremely small, while ments increased during periods of "tig h t" credit purchases of mortgages were at record levels (see and decreased as credit conditions eased (see Chart Table I; Columns 1 and 4). Although the purchases 3). By providing mortgage companies and builders are preceded by commitments, they do serve the w ith funds in this manner, FNMA again helped purpose of channeling funds—that would other soften the burden of monetary policy on the wise go elsewhere—into the mortgage market. The housing industry.14 Since May 6, 1968, FNMA sale o f a mortgage, however, constitutes a true has been conducting a "free m arket" auction of secondary market transaction and acts to absorb commitments for the future purchase of eligible excess available funds of mortgage lenders. In the single fam ily FHA and VA mortgages, as well as 1969 period of increasing mortgage rates, FNMA purchasing eligible FHA and VA mortgages "over borrowed funds in the private bond markets to the counter." Some m ulti-fam ily mortgages. increase its purchases of FHA and VA mortgages and to give support to the primary market. Largely 14Leo due to this support, FHA and VA were able to M arket, (Los Angeles: University of California, 1961) p. increase their mortgage loan activity in 1969 by 10 138. Grebler and Oliver Jones, The Secondary Mortgage 27 ECONOMIC REVIEW however, are still purchased by FNMA through improved the secondary market, but they have stand-by commitments or at negotiated prices on gained some acceptance and should continue to an individual case basis. increase the scope of the secondary market. So far, The Secondary Market. Commercial banks and $1 billion of mortgage-backed bonds have been savings and loan associations in general do not issued by originate mortgage loans with the intention of FHLMC. selling take secondary market activity involving conventional advantage of the existence of the secondary mortgages. The slow start in issuing these new them. At times, however, they FNMA, and only $615 m illion There has been virtually no by new market to adjust their portfolios, both by selling mortgage-backed securities is due at least partially any oversupply to the easing of money market conditions in 1970 and by purchasing additional mortgages if the market conditions indicate that and the adequate supply of loanable mortgage new mortgages should not or cannot be made. Due funds that has characterized the period since the to the Government backing and standard high introduction of the securities. quality of FHA and VA mortgages, most of the In general, during periods of interest rate VA stability, the yields on mortgages in the secondary mortgages. These portfolio adjustment purchases market are below those available in the primary purchases and sales involve FHA and and sales are not based on prior commitments and markets, an expected result of charges for servicing therefore qualify as genuine secondary market and other costs of origination. The yields on Aaa transactions. In spite of the many efforts to corporate bonds are also generally below yields on develop a secondary market since the 1930's, most F H A -in s u re d of the purchases and sales of existing mortgages secondary market. This spread between corporate mortgages purchased in the are only marginal secondary transactions because bond and FHA mortgage yields is due chiefly to the initial loan, in most cases, would not have been the well-established bond market mechanisms, the made w ithout a commitment from the final greater degree of competition in the bond market, holder. and the larger denominations of the bonds.16 It is In order to draw new sources of funds into the likely that the yield on the newly established mortgage market, particularly the large private mortgage-backed securities w ill be between the pension funds, the GNMA pass-through partici two, perhaps approaching the yield available on pation was developed. Since the program became Aaa corporate bonds. operative in February 1970, 992 applications to Throughout 1965, when interest rates were form mortgage-backed pass-through participations stable, the yields on the various instruments have been received by behaved as expected (see Chart 4). In 1966 when GNMA, totaling $3.9 billion; of this amount, $2.3 billion have been sold interest rates began to increase steadily, the and delivered, although commitments have been secondary market yield increased relative to the received fo r more.15 These new FHA and VA conventional mortgage yield; it was substantially mortgage-backed securities have not markedly 16 Risk 15 A ll data concerning m ortgage backed securities are as o f J u ly 1 9 , 1 9 7 1 . 28 is secondary m ortgages. not considered m ortgage because th e y ields are based data on used fo r F H A -in s u re d JULY 1971 Chart 4. SELECTED INTEREST RATES PERCENT M O N TH LY Last entry: May 1971 NOTE: Mortgage data based on FHA field-office reports for market areas of insuring office cities. For "conventional," average interest rates are for first mortgages on new homes. For "FHA-insured," weighted averages of private secondary market bid prices for certain new-house mortgages are converted to annual yield. Breaks in FHA insured series indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rate. For corporate bonds, weighted average of new publicly offered bonds with at least 5-year call protection are used. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System above the conventional interest rates finally mortgage yield peaked in 1970. when changing m a rk e t conditions. Conventional This (primary) rates are usually set for given periods probably resulted from the fact that the secondary and require administrative action to change. In market for mortgages is more competitive than the times of increasing interest rates, this w ill lead to primary market and is, therefore, more sensitive to the market determined secondary rates increasing 29 ECONOMIC REVIEW more rapidly, while the reverse is true during directly by the impact of economic conditions on periods of declining rates. In addition, during the the housing construction industry than by the most recent period of increasing interest rates, yield structure of various alternative investments. primary mortgage rates were restrained by state To counteract the reduced participation of the usury ceilings. Although there were fewer legal life restrictions on the secondary market yields, these secondary yields were constrained by Government pressure, increased its participation. As is shown in Table I, partly because of the social implications of high FNMA became much more active in the purchase mortgage rates. This permitted the yield spread of FHA mortgages in 1966 than in any previous insurance companies market, the and others Federal in the Government between Aaa corporate bonds and the secondary period. In 1968, as conditions became increasingly mortgage yield to narrow. In fact, the yield on Aaa tight corporate bonds was greater than the yield on agencies F H A -in s u re d increasing the Federal agency share of total pur mortgages purchased in the in the also mortgage market, other became large scale Federal purchasers, chases from 7.7 percent in 1965 to 58.2 percent in secondary market in late 1969. One o f the most important changes in the 1968, and 46.5 percent in 1969 (see Table VI). mortgage market since 1965 has been the relative Although savings and loan associations are only withdrawal o f the insurance companies (see Table marginal participants in the FHA mortgage V I). As interest rates increased and the rates of market, they did increase their volume of pur return on alternative investments increased relative chases in 1967 and 1969 when yields on FHA to the yield on mortgages, the insurance companies began to turn to other investment mortgages climbed above those available on con ventional home mortgages. outlets. One of their frequently used alternatives was the purchase of equity in the property being CONCLUDING COMMENTS fewer Some of the improvements long sought by mortgages, the insurance companies began to sell experts in the secondary mortgage market have o ff a larger proportion of their portfolios of come about since 1968 or are currently in the mortgages. In 1965, sales of mortgages equaled 7.1 planning stage. The most discussed improvements percent o f those purchased, while sales were 23.6 relate to the development of (1) a market maker percent of purchases in 1969. banks, usually net sellers, also and (2) a central mortgage bank.17 Most notable of the accomplished reforms has tended to cut back their participation in the been the institution of the "free market auction" secondary FHA market between 1965 and 1969, by FNMA that allows the yields which it receives when mortgage on FHA and VA mortgages to fluctuate w ith activity. On the buyer's side of the market, mutual market conditions. The administered rates, which mortgaged. In Commercial banks addition generally to purchasing reduced all savings banks were forced to cut back their activity when savings flows declined. The smaller buyers of FHA mortgages, such as industrial banks and finance companies, also withdrew from the market. Mortgage companies were affected more 30 17 For a mortgage more detailed m arket and discussion o f the suggestions fo r secondary expansion and im provem ent of the m arket, see Grebler and Jones, The Secondary Mortgage Market. TABLE VI Total Purchases and Sales of Federal Housing Administration Insured Mortgages by Type of Institution (Thousands of Dollars and Percent Distribution for Year) 19 65 1966 1967 1968 1969 Type of In s titu tio n Purchases C o m m e rc ia l banks $ 6 8 1 ,1 2 4 10.8% Sales Purchases $1 ,01 4,23 4 16.1% $ 12 7,76 4 $ 54 7,43 9 8.1% Sales Purchases $1 ,07 8 ,9 6 9 15.9% $ 122,481 $ 4 2 2 ,3 2 6 Sales $ 9.7% 7 6 2 ,7 7 0 Purchases $ 17.5% 3 1 0 ,4 1 8 Sales $ 4.1% 872,301 Purchases $ 11.8% 3 2 1 ,4 0 2 Sales $ 4.9% 8 9 2 ,6 9 5 13.6% Savings and Lo an A ssociations $ 31 4,05 1 $ 5.0% M u tu a l Savings Banks $2 ,3 9 0 ,6 9 3 F ederal A gencies 37.9% $1 ,4 6 1 ,5 9 8 23.2% $ 2 3 1 ,8 6 8 3.7% $ 4 8 4 ,4 3 4 O th e rs * $ Insurance C om panies M ortg a g e C om p a n ie s 7.7% TO TAL 7 3 5 ,6 0 3 11.7% $ 6 ,3 0 2 ,5 1 8 2.0% $ 169,191 $ 2.7% 10 3,43 2 1.6% $4 ,62 7 ,6 8 0 73.5% $ 17 7,95 2 2.8% $ 80,531 1.3% $ 6 ,30 2,51 8 26 0,868 3.9% $1 ,78 3,35 0 26.4% $1 ,35 1,70 0 20.0% 19 7,83 9 2.9% $1 ,95 6,08 5 29.0% $ 65 7,339 9.7% $6 ,76 2,31 3 $ $ 4 4 2 ,9 1 5 1.8% 10.1% 1 3 8 ,592 1 6 6 ,6 7 3 2.5% $5 ,01 7 ,4 8 9 $1 ,2 0 5 ,4 7 3 27.6% $ 6 9 3 ,8 4 7 1 5.9% $ 103,151 74.2% 2 3 ,1 7 2 0.3% $ 2 1 2 ,7 1 6 3.2% $6 ,7 6 2 ,3 1 3 2.4% $1 ,0 2 9 ,0 6 4 23.6% $ 4 6 7 ,4 1 7 1 0.7% $4 ,369,701 $ 2.1% $ $ * Includes industrial banks, finance companies, endowed institutions, private and state benefit funds, etc. Source: U . S. D ep artm ent o f Housing and Urban Development $ 8 6 ,6 5 4 $ 2.0% $ 1 0 7 ,7 3 2 2.5% 6 3 ,5 2 0 1.5% $3 ,252,511 74.5% 1 0 ,9 3 0 $ 0.2% $ 8 0 ,4 0 0 1.8% $4 ,369,701 $ 6 6 1 ,7 0 9 $ 8.9% 80 ,9 2 7 1.1% $ 149,484 12.9% $1 ,1 9 5 ,7 4 7 18.2% $ 2.3% 28 7,47 7 $ 11 5,35 5 97 2,24 1 $ 13.1% 585,631 7.9% 2 1 9 ,9 8 4 2.9% $4 ,3 3 3 ,1 5 0 58.2% $ 3 5 9 ,1 9 5 0.6% 5 5 ,839 0.8% $3 ,853,611 52.0% $2 ,4 2 2 ,6 1 6 32.7% 7 7 ,5 1 5 $ 4 8 9 ,1 3 9 7.4% $ 30 6 ,7 5 2 4.7% $ 3 ,064,781 46.5% $ 3 5 7 ,6 3 4 4.9% $7 ,4 5 2 ,8 5 9 1.0% $7 ,4 5 2 ,8 5 9 $6 ,590,901 $ $ $ 45,751 8 4 9 ,3 0 3 $ $ $ 5.4% 4.4% 1.8% $4 ,349,561 66.0% $ 701,761 10.6% 8 5 ,9 4 8 $ 1.3% $6 ,590,901 ECONOMIC REVIEW had been used previously, tended to distort the for doing business, and taxation of out-of-state allocation lenders. process of the market. Potential investors were faced w ith both the uncertainties of In addition, competition could be increased by the easing of geographic restrictions the market and the additional problem of antici on primary lending activity, allowing the flow of pating the judgmental decisions of the admini funds to go directly to the areas of the country strators. having the greatest need. FNMA and the FHLMC are also moving in the Improving the marketability of the mortgage direction of developing a standardized conven instrument, however, w ill serve little purpose if tional little investor entry into the secondary market is not progress has been made in standardizing state laws, also improved. One possibility of increasing the FNMA is in the process of developing a standard confidence of potential investors in the market mortgage contract fo r each state, w ith as much ability of a mortgage is to establish Federally homogeneity among states as possible. When this chartered market makers or a central mortgage project is operational, some national homogeneity bank fo r conventional mortgages. These market w ill exist, cutting down the current extent of makers would act as central clearing houses for mortgage instrument. Although market segmentation. The primary purpose of this purchases and sales of mortgages. Combined w ith a program is to facilitate the purchase of conven workable classification system and simplifed legal tional mortgages by FNMA and FHLMC, but it and administrative procedures, the market makers w ill also help develop more reliable conventional could increase the volume of secondary trading mortgages and broaden the potential market for and the scope of those participating. The results of such a move would be similar to the advantages of them. Further standardization of statutory restric trading a corporate stock listed on an established tions would probably lead to increased compe stock exchange over trading an unlisted stock. Not titio n only would the large institutional buyers enter the among the various primary lenders. Currently, the multitude of restrictions tends to market, but as confidence in marketability isolate the various local markets from each other, increases, smaller scale traders might also enter. A discouraging secondary market transactions. A central mortgage bank could also act as a clearing more homogeneous product would also be brought house fo r market information and provide the about environment needed to develop the secondary by the adoption of a uniform code concerning foreclosures, redemption periods, laws mortgage market.