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The Monthly Business Review Covering financial, industrial, and agricultural conditions in the Fourth Federal Reserve District CLEVELAND, OHIO, JANUARY 1, 1924 “ THE NEW YEAR IS STARTING OUT WITH MUCH IN ITS FAVOR. IT IS TRUE THAT THE RATE AT WHICH INDUSTRY IS MOVING IS LESS IMPRESSIVE THAN IT WAS A YEAR AGO, BUT AT THE SAME TIME OPERATING FRICTION HAS BEEN FURTHER REDUCED. AS A RESULT THE 1924 BUSINESS MACHINE IS BETTER FITTED TO STAND UP UNDER THE WEAR AND TEAR OF A LONG DRIVE THAN WAS LAST YEAR’S MODEL. ’ '—E D ITO R IAL, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of CLEVELAND D, C. Wills, Chairman of the Board (COMPILED DECEMBER 22, 1923) NO. I | THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW A n E ditorial HE new year is starting out with much in its favor. It is triu that the rate at which industry is moving is less impressive than it was a year ago, but at the same time operating friction has been further reduced. As a result the 1924 business machine is better fitted to stand up under the wear and tear of a long drive than was last year’s model. Furthermore the fundamental working parts which proved s o successful last year are still in good order. In other words those con trolling factors which made 1923 a record year have been carried over into 1924. Let us see what some of them are. Undoubtedly one of the biggest single factors has been the univer sal conservatism among those charged with the responsibility of carrying on business, this conservatism being of a qualitv which was influenced neither by unfounded expectations of a great increase in business nor by the pessimistic opinions occasioned by various happenings throughout the world. Such conservatism in evitably tends to steady industry and trade as a whole and to inspire a widespread confidence in the future. T Other decidedly important factors are: The legitimate demands of a prosperous and well employed people. Efficient transportation together with the rehabilitation program mapped out by the railroads. The continuance of sound credit conditions. The improvement in the agricultural situation. Marked activity in building. Efforts to economize both in production and selling. The individual tendency to save. The faith of the people in the business stability of the country. It is not unreasonable to suppose that the above factors will govern 1924 business activities. In selecting only the favorable features it is not proposed to draw a curtain of optimism over the unfavorable ones. Their handicaps are fully appreciated but they are overshadowed by those elements which keep business in this country moving in the right direction. For this reason it would appear that the new year can be approached with confidence. A year ago the Monthly Business Revieio stated that there were good things in store for us in 1923 if we knew how to look for them. As we face 1924 no more fitting statement can be made. th e m o n t h l y business review 3 icrrowings by Member Banks Show Upward Trend; More Than One Billion Dollars Added to Savings Accounts in Year Ending June 30 xtans to city banks in the Fourth Federal Reserve D s :rict on December 20 were somewhat higher than thej were a month earlier due largely to the customary iemand for seasonal accommodations. On Novemer 20 they were $42,787,000 as compared with 49,687,000 on December 20, an increase o f $6,900,000 f.»r the month. Country bank borrowings also showed a gradual upward trend. On November 20 accommodations {tended to country banks totaled $17,386,000 and .1 December 20 they were $18,635,000, an increase for ihe month of $1,249,000. On November 20 the reserve ratio of this bank was 79.9 per cent as compared with 75.3 per cent on De cember 20. The reserve ratio o f the System on November 20 was 76.9 per cent as against 75.0 per cent on December 20. Reports from 18 representative banks in the Fourth District for the month of November, 1923, show an increase of 15.9 per cent over the same month last year. As compared with the previous month a gain of .6 per cent is shown. According to the annual report o f the American Bankers’ Association recently made public, over a bil lion dollars were added by the people of the United States to their total savings in the year ending June 30. Savings deposits in savings banks, national and state banks and trust companies amounted on the date named to $18,373,062,000, showing an increase of $1,041,583,000 or 6 per cent, as compared with the corresponding date last year. Unfilled Steel Orders Continue to Decline but Prospects are Brighter; Buying Movement in Pig Iron Extensive; Prices Turn Upward Prospects for a revived demand for steel have con tinued to improve and sentiment has become more ex pectant. From various reliable indications consump tion is moving forward on a large scale. Virtually all signs point to a very strong underlying condition and one which has been modified slightly, if at all, from that which existed several months back. General buying has been under check, especially in recent weeks when inventory-taking and year-end considerations have had a marked influence. In the opinion of some observers, not for years have inventories of steel on the whole been worked down or held to such a low point as is the case at the ending of 1923. This situation has been forcing a fair amount o f immediate buying but this has not been sufficient to match the outgoing shipments of the mills so that unfilled tonnage has continued to decline. Added to the year-end hesi tancy has been the expectation or hope of buyers to bring about lower prices for steel which has held back buying for future delivery. Up to late December very little tonnage had been bought against 1924 requirements except in steel rails, tin plate, and a few other favored lines. In recent weeks the attitude of buyers against obli gating themselves on the future has been changing. Starting conspicuously with the automobile and au tomotive interests which are planning large pro duction schedules for the first part of 1924, suitable tonnage for the first three months o f next year has been put on mill books. This has been in such lines as sheets, steel bars, strip steel, and related lines. The list of buyers representing diversified lines of use, now coming into the market for first quarter needs is ex panding, and the outlook for a liberal buying movement of steel in the near future is considered promising. Tn many cases the placing of these contracts has not made price a first consideration. The : ailroads have maintained their position as hviavy buyers of steel, par ticularly in connection with track material. Further heavy orders for rails and track fastenings for 1924 delivery have been placed. Car orders, while not large, have been of a heavier total than in five or six months, while inquiries now in active negotiation total at least 20,000. Prospects for car building on a steady scale for some months to come are pronounced to be good and some steelmakers estimate as many as 100,000 may be placed. New building work is coming out well considering the season and the tonnage of steel placed for this purpose week after week is favorable. Many projects in a formative stage are before the mar ket. Tin plate buying for the first half o f 1924 has been the heaviest in years. Buying of miscellaneous consumers in sheets, bars, plates, line pipe, and some other lines has been lagging. The buying movement in pig iron which began abruptly the last half of November and extended into early December has proved to be one of the most extensive in years. Well over 1,000,000 tons o f iron were booked within a few weeks by furnaces, largely for first quarter of 1924 delivery. This buying move ment followed a backward market situation of six or seven months during which time prices had declined from $8 to $10 per ton. As a result o f the heavy buy ing recently, prices of pig iron have stiffened $2 to $3 per ton and a fair volume of sales is being made at these higher levels. The market is not without some soft spots, however, for the buying of steelmaking grades has not kept pace with that of foundry iron, and low prices still prevail on the former. Despite the sluggish conditions of new steel business, mill and steelworks operations have been reasonably well maintained. At the present time the general THE MO N T H L Y 4 BUSI NESS REVI EW activity o f the steel industry is put at 70 per cent of capacity. The Steel Corporation plants have been running around 82 to 84 per cent while those of the Independents on the average have been considerably lower. Pig iron production in November as compiled by Iron Trade Review for the first time in a year fell below 100,000 tons daily or to an average of 96,373 tons which compares with 101,375 tons in October, From the high point in May pig iron production has now declined 22.8 per cent. Total production in November was 2,891,191 tons against 3,142,642 tons in October. The eleven month total indicates that 1923 production will be approximately 40,300,000 tons, a new high record for the country. Active furnaces at the end of November numbered 231, a reduction of 14 from the previous month. Steel ingot production in November fell to the annual rate of 37,126,000 tons, In October the indicated annual rate was 40,735,000 tons. The rate in November was 24.1 per cent under the high mark of April. Production of steel ingots for the country fo r eleven months totaled approximately 40,383,OCX) tons which indicates that the full year will not quite reach the high record period of 1917. Due mainly to the reversal of the pig iron market Iron Trade Review composite of fourteen leading iron and steel products has turned upward for the first time in 13 weeks, barring a slight change in September F or the week of December 20 the average was $43 compared with $42.81 for an November, $43.84 for O ctober, and $44.64 for September. Automobile Production The Department of Commerce announces November production of automobiles, based on figures received from 186 manufacturers, 96 making passenger cars and 119 making trucks (29 making both passenger January ..................................... February ................................... March . ....................................... April ........................................... May ............................................. June ............................................. July ............................................. August ....................................... September ................................. October ....................................... November ................................... December ................................... ^Revised. cars and trucks). Data for earlier months include 1^ additional manufacturers now out of business Fi<ni ~ on truck production also inclurle fire apparatus’ • street sweepers. ' ' al NUMBER OF M ACHIN ES Passenger Cars 1921 1922 1923 43,086 81,696 223,819 68,088 109,171 254,773 130,263 152,962 319,770 176,439 197,224 344,639 177,438 232,462 350,410 150,263 263,053 337,362 165,616 225,086 297,330 167,756 249,492 314,373 144,670 187,694 298,911 134,774 217,566 *335,023 106,081 215,352 284,680 70,727 208,010 .......... 1921 4,831 7,830 13,328 18,070 18,070 14,328 11,136 13,400 13,978 13,149 10,487 8,656 22 046 24m 19467 21 79S 71949 Trucks 19?? io ? i 13350 ?00™ ^ 6 0 S & 6 26298 I n ilP 2 ’S 3 S 4 n ’S 8 £ ’ *66 20,354 4 9 576 24097 ••• • * Freight Loadings Show Moderate Decline; Car Supply Grows; Equipment in Excellent Condition Revenue freight loadings have fallen below the million-car-per-week mark, but they continue to be notably higher than during the fall of last year. In the week ending November 24, there were loaded a total of 990,217 cars as against 946,642 cars for the same week last year. The volume of business this year is strikingly shown by the total movements during the first 38 weeks of the year in comparison with the same periods in 1922 and 1921. This year, up to the time of the last available report, there were loaded 45,673,690 cars as against 39,048,387 and 35,918,733 in 1922 and 1921 respectively. Not only is the total movement in 1923 heavier than in the two preceding years, but it is also heavier for each separate period of the year, as shown by detailed reports. As a natural consequence of having passed the peak in car loadings there is an increasing surplus of cars, During the week of November 22 there was a total surplus o f 111797 cars and a shortage of 1,866 cars, * It should be noted as being remarkable thit I this year we have had no period when there ? n n £ net shortage of freight carrying equipment. PreH- 3 tions made earlier in the year to the effect tint ti ' would probably be a car shortage have not been fu lfill^ The condition of freight cars is better than it J been for years. On November 15 the carriers report a total o f 149,192 cars unfit for service, or about per cent of their total supply. ’ 'At a meeting of the Great Lakes Sliinnpr* Advisory Board held on December 11, reports were ^ ceived from various committees as' to the probaK?' needs for equipment and the prospects tor business the early part of 1924. While the reports w *n not uniform, some of them indicating a probable redii*^ tion and others a probable increase, apparently the fi result o f all reports tended to indicate a continuation^' production in about the same volume as has been perienced during the latter part of this'year ^ THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 5 Present Outlook for Building Favorable; Experts Believe Early Spring Months Will Show Healthy Activity The outlook for building operations has improved considerably during the last few months. Last August there was a manifest letting down in the volume of construction but since that time each succeeding month has been giving a good account of itself with the re sult that the rebound has been one of the outstanding fall developments. Construction is now running con trary to the usual seasonal trend. Experts who have analyzed the situation take the view that presiMit activity may be accepted as a fairly re liable indication of what may be expected in the early spring months; in other words they expect a healthy demand for labor and a good market for building materials. The one possibility of interference they point out, is the cost factor. Evidence of the heavy volume of November construc tion is to be found in statistics compiled by the Builders’ Exchange covering the issuing of permits in Cleveland and the adjoining suburbs. The figures for November, in the city proper show a total of 1,334 per mits issued, involving an expenditure of $6,906,000 in comparison with 989 permits calling for an expenditure of $3,805,000 for the corresponding period in 1922. The total valuation of permits issued up to December 1 this year is $58,372,000 as against $51,000,000 for the same period last year. Making the comparison on the basis of permits issued, the first eleven months of this year exceed the same period in 1922 by approximately 4,000. As for the suburbs the ratio of increase follows somewhat along the same lines as Cleveland proper, the four communities of Cleveland Heights, Lakewood, Shaker Heights, and East Cleveland having issued building permits up to December 1 this year with a total valuation of $30,000,000 in round figures as against $28,000,000 for the same period last year. The month of November showed a valuation of $3,202,000 this year compared with $2,908,000 for November, 1922. Production of Portland Cement in November Exceeds Demand; Stocks on November 30 About 7,000,000 Barrels Production of portland cement in November was 12,600,000 barrels, an increase of 11 per cent over November, 1922, according to the latest bulletin issued by the United States Geological Survey. For the eleven months ending November 30, production was nearly 127,000,000 barrels, or 12 per cent more than was ever produced before in a similar period. A seasonal falling off is shown in shipments, the movement from the mills being 10,251,000 barrels or a decline for the month of more than 4,000,000 barrels. Shipments for the eleven month period exceeded 129,000,000 barrels, an increase of more than 17,000,000 barrels over the corresponding period of 1922, the best previous record. Notwithstanding the remarkable demand experienced this year, production has been relatively greater. Stocks of finished cement in manufacturers’ hands on Novem ber 30 were nearly 7,000,000 barrels, an increase of 30 per cent over last year. Lumber Industry Shows Tendency to Mark Time; Dealers in Market For New Supply of Materials W hile the continued volume of construction during the fall and early winter months has resulted in a fair volume of business in the lumber industry, late reports indicate a tendency to mark time. When seasonal factors are taken into consideration, however, the trade in general appears to be more than living up to ex pectations. Prices show some signs of strength although no notable changes are predicted. Manufacturers in four southern states have advanced the price from $2.00 to $3.00 per thousand on high grade stock and from $1.00 to $2.00 on low grade material. Stocks in the hands of retailers are comparatively low. Retail yards have completed deliveries to most of their jobs and are in the market to secure a new supply. Inquiries are now being sent out by the large concerns in this territory. Present orders are largely for January and February shipments. The Southern Pine Association's barometer for the week of November 30 shows that orders booked dur ing that week were 88 per cent of normal and within 2 per cent of production. Paving Brick Shipments Remain High; Common Brick Plants Well Occupied Considering seasonal influences, shipments of vitri fied paving brick for November were running above normal, 64 per cent of the industry's tonnage reporting total shipments of 21,689,000 brick, according to a report just made to the United States Department of Commerce by the National Paving Brick Manufactur ers’ Association. In October 66 per cent of the in dustry’s tonnage reported shipments of 34,287,000 brick. Unfilled orders on hand declined from 64,531,000 brick for October to 54,535,000 for November. For THE 6 MONTHLY BUSINESS the first time since last spring the total number of brick manufactured for the month ran greatly in ex cess of shipments, indicating that companies are manu facturing for stock in anticipation of late winter and early spring shipments. The Common Brick Manufacturers’ Association tells us that prospects are good. An encouraging feature of the situation is that those sections in various parts of the country which have been showing little activity in construction work are now coming into the market with greater strength. REVIEW In most localities the present month’s brick business has been as good as that of last month and consider ably better than that of the same month a year ago According to the Association, 1923 business has been at hast 25 per cent better than it was during 1922. Ihere is usually a lull during the latter half o f the year m the brick business. The past year was no ex ception, these lulls appearing at various times and in different parts of the country. Practically all the plants, however, have now recovered and in most in stances are well occupied. Selling Season in Burley Tobacco District Now Under Way; Returns Act As Stimulant to Christmas Trade The Burley Tobacco Growers' Cooperative Associa tion opened its receiving houses throughout the district on December 10 and its members are now engaged in delivering their crops. An advance is made by the Association at the time of delivery. The advance values established for the 1923 crop are the same on most of the higher grades of tobacco, but on the lower grades they have been increased somewhat, so that the average advance received by the growers will be larger than last season. The independent loose leaf warehouses started the sales season for the tobacco growers who are not mem bers o f the Association early in December, and their opening was watched with much interest because o f the information these sales give on the trend o f the market. So far the sales have been averaging in the neighborhood o f $20 a hundred. The sales of 1922 tobacco averaged about $28, so the price this year is considerably under that of last season. It is, however near the level o f the price paid for the 1921 crop. ’ The advance o f the Association to its members and the receipts of nonmembers from their sales on loose le a f floors are supplying the growers throughout the die tnct with cash which naturally is serving as a stim,,* lant to the Christmas trade. Market for Canned Goods Strong; Holiday Buying Above Wholesale Grocers’ Expectations; Quality Products Preferred The fact that labor has been well employed has had an important bearing on the canning industry throughout the past year. Improved sentiment toward canned products in general also reacted very favorably. The result is that most canners enjoyed a very good business in 1923. At present the markets are strong, and while not so active as in other seasons of the year, a good volume of business is being done daily. The expectations are that after the first of the year they will show increased activity on account o f the depleted condition of stocks. Future prices have already been named on ^several commodities (which is at least two months earlier than usual). This demand for future prices came from th » buyers. e The holiday season as usual has brought with it an increased demand for items such as nuts, dried fr u i^ o f all kinds, canned goods, etc. In fact wholesale g ro cers say that holiday business is above their expect* tions. Quality products are very much in demand Retail grocers report a heavy business at this time They are buying conservatively and as a result stock* are not large. The housewife appears to be critic*! in her Christmas purchases this year and her present policy is to shop around. A marked preference 7 being shown for goods with an established reputation Present Conditions in Farm Implement Trade Show Little Change but Outlook is Brighter; Plans Are Made for Progressive Merchandising The farm implement industry is facing the future with more confidence than it has shown for several years. For many companies the calendar year is also the figfal year. For three years the financial statements of leading companies have recorded losses. A profit on yearly operations has been an isolated exception. While it is not expected that the situation will show great improvements in the 1923 statements, every company is looking forward to making some reduction of losses. The feeling is general that the "red ink” period ha passed and that the industry is now in a fair p o ^ S tion to start the recouping of its losses of from fiftee ~ to twenty million dollars during the last three years This new confidence is founded upon general pro* perity and the improved agricultural situation rath^I than upon any immediate betterment. While futur orders have shown little perceptible increase, th~ farming community has realized approximately one and one-half billion dollars more for its 1923 operation* 7 THE M O N T H L Y B US I NES S REVI EW than it did last year and in addition to this there is an urgent need for new machinery in order to restore agricultural mechanical equipment to its pre-war basis. The industry is beginning to appreciate more fully its sales opportunities, the stable basis upon which it rests, and also that its big shortcoming in previous years was in merchandising lines. With this concep tion of existing conditions it has completed plans for selling its product to the public in a constructive way. In other words it will attempt to show the farmer that farm machinery is the basis for creating the wealth with which to buy other necessities. In this campaign and also in its efforts to lower the costs of distribution the manufacturers are receiving the whole-hearted sup port of the dealers. Fall and winter business, though not a large factor in the industry, has been quite satisfactory. The com paratively favorable prices for com and low prices for hogs have made efficient feeding necessary and this has proved to be quite a strong factor. Tractor trade has shown an increase of about 20 per cent during 1923. The retail branch of the industry is in a fairly satis factory condition financially. While failures have been numerous during the last three years, resulting in a considerable reduction in the number o f dealers, it is now estimated that all but about 20 per cent of those remaining have been operating at a profit, small though it may have been, and that even a slight improvement in conditions will reduce the number of probable failures among this small group. The retailers have taken their losses, have comparatively clean stocks, and by following a conservative policy have placed them selves in a position to take full advantage of increasing business. A decidedly optimistic view of the future is taken by the Chilton Tractor and Implement Journal. It says that with the farmer realizing, as he is beginning to, that present price levels are prac tically certain to continue for some time, with the manufacturers more hopeful as their financial position is strengthening, and with dealers in the best condi tion in three years, the entire industry is starting the new year with hope and confidence that a gradual res toration of business to a normal volume is on the way. Paper Mills Active; Conditions in Book Paper Division Reflect Cautious Buying Paper manufacturers report that their mills are doing a good volume of business, in some instances better than last month and also better than last year. Conditions in the book paper division of the in dustry are less favorable, being comparatively slow at the present time. Buyers do not appear to be anxious to place orders beyond immediate require ments. In addition, just at this season the demand for magazine papers is less than at almost any other time, owing to the fact that the January issues are usually the smallest of the year. However, for the most part this is a normal seasonal condition and a turn for the better is expected shortly. The following table compiled by the American Paper and Pulp Association shows percentage changes in production and shipments by identical mills in Novem ber, 1923, as compared with October, 1923: Newsprint ....................... Production Per Cent — 1.5 Paperboard ..................... . . . . Wrapping ....................... — 13 Tissue ............................. ....... Hanging ..••••.............. Felts and Building ____ , Other Grades .................. Total— All Grades ........ — 8 —28 — 15 — 8 Shipments Per Cent — 6 — 7 — 13 — 15 —26 — 3 — 9 — 18 — 18 — 12 — 10 Soft Coal Production Shows Declining Tendency; 1923 Stands Out as Impressive Year; Holidays Cut Into Anthracite Output While bituminous coal production has recently shown a declining tendency, the output is still suf ficiently large to make 1923 stand out as one of the most impressive years in the soft coal industry. Production during the first 289 working days of 1923 was 516,660,000 net tons as compared with 376,932,000 net tons for the corresponding period last year. The total output in the first week of December is now estimated at 9,828,000 net tons. This in cludes mine fuel, coal coked at the mines, and local sales. Compared with Thanksgiving week this was an increase of 885,000 tons, but it was 332,000 tons less than in the week ending Novem ber 24. According to a recent report of the United States Geological Survey mining of anthracite coal in the week ending December 8 was hindered by an outbreak of labor troubles at the mines of a larg’e company and also by the occurrence of a church holiday. The total output for the week is esti mated at 1,899,000 net tons, an increase of 151,000 over the holiday week, but 201,000 less than in the week ending November 24. Final returns on anthracite shipments show that the total output in November may be estimated 8 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW at approximately 7,746,000 net tons. In comparison with production in October this is a decrease of 978,000 tons, which may be attributed to the fewer working days in November an d to the occurrence of holidays. Cumulative anthracite production to the end o f Novem ber stood at 87,744,000 tons, a figure t h a t has been exceeded but twice during the eleven y e a r s for which records of monthly production are available. On page 11 of this month's REVIEW we present for the first time a chart showing the new index of em ployment in manufacturing industries, compiled by the Federal Reserve Board’s Division of Research and Sta tistics. Wide industrial and geographical representation in the composition of the index is obtained by using data collected by a number of Federal and state agencies cover ing 33 separate industries, which are grouped into 10 gen eral classes, as follows: metals; textiles; lumber; vehicles; paper and printing; food; leather; stone, clay, and glass; tobacco; and chemicals. The final index and each of the 10 group indexes were obtained by combining the 33 in dividual industry series, weighting them in accordance with their relative importance as determined by the number employed according to the census of manufactures of l 9 i o and 1921. The index is expressed in terms of percentages with the monthly average for 1919 as the base, i. e., lo o per cent. It is so constructed that its movements, although they do not measure the total volume of employment reflect increases o r decreases in this volume. No correc ’ tion was made for normal seasonal variations, because although these fluctuations are noticeable in individual i n ' dustnes, they vary as to time and degree and in the finai index largely offset each other. A full description of th«! data and methods used in compiling this index and n t the results obtained was published in the December issue the F E D E R A L R E SE R V E BULLETIN. f Zl THE MONTHLY BUSINESS 9 REVIEW Debits to Individual Accounts Akron.................... Butler, Pa Canton........ Cincinnati. . Cleveland.............. Columbus.............. Connellsville....... Dayton................ Erie...................... Greensburg......... Homestead.......... Lexington, K y .. . Lima.................... Lorain.................. Middletown*. . . . New Brighton. . . Oil City............... Pittsburgh............. Springfield............. Toledo................... Warren, Ohio........ Wheeling............... Youngstown.......... Zanesville.............. Week Ending Week Ending Dec. 19, 1923 Nov. 21, 1923 (324 Banks) (322 Banks) $ 14,446,000 $ 16,218,000 3.504.000 2.694.000 9.605.000 9.328.000 80,794,000 75.337.000 146.904.000 154,881,000 31.616.000 37,200,000 1.334.000 1.187.000 17,445,000 15.407.000 7.813.000 8.491.000 4.835.000 4.970.000 961,000 1.135.000 3.968.000 6.745.000 5.133.000 4.353.000 1.702.000 1.600.000 2.577.000 2.426.000 2.532.000 2.678.000 2.694.000 2.959.000 199.215.000 199,702,000 4.579.000 5,406,000 43.613.000 43,258,000 2.618.000 2,941,000 10.348.000 13,011,000 12.041.000 12,087,000 3,266,000 3,228,000 Increase or Decrease W'eek Ending Increase or Decrease Amount Per Cent Amount Per Cent Dec. 20, 1922 (323 Banks) 12.3 $ 15,340,000 878.000 5.7 $1,772,000 $ 30.1 2.572.000 932.000 36.2 810,000 3.0 11.070.000 1.465.000 ■ -13.2 277.000 7.2 82.533.000 1.739.000 - 2.1 5.457.000 5.4 148.818.000 6.063.000 7.977.000 4.1 17.7 34.820.000 2.380.000 6.8 5.584.000 12.4 1.426.000 92.000 - 6.5 147.000 13.2 15.523.000 1.922.000 12.4 2.038.000 7.499.000 314.000 — 678,000 — 8.0 4.2 4.765.000 70.000 — 135,000 — 2.7 1.5 794,000 — 174,000 — 15.3 167.000 21.0 70.0 6.548.000 2.777.000 197.000 3.0 17.9 4.203.000 780.000 930.000 22.1 6 .4 102.000 1.359.000 343.000 25.2 6.2 151.000 — 146,000 — 5.5 " ” 44,666 ‘ 2,576,666 3.398.000 — 265,000 — 9.0 704.000 -2 0 .7 0.2 216.153.000 487.000 16,451,000 - 7.6 18.1 4.123.000 827.000 1.283.000 31.1 — 355,000 — 0.8 45.514.000 2.256.000 - 5.0 12.3 2.862.000 323.000 79.000 2.8 25.7 2.663.000 10.936.000 2.075.000 19.0 0.4 12.246.000 159.000 - 1.3 46,000 — 38,000 — 1.2 2,871,000 357.000 12.4 Total.............. $635,606,000 $605,179,000 $30,427,000 * Corresponding figures for 1922 not available. 5.0 $637,949,000 — $4,920,000 — 0.8 Movement of Livestock at Principal Centers in the Fourth Federal Reserve District for the Month of November, 1923-1922 Cincinnati........... Cleveland............ Columbus............ Dayton................ Fostoria............... Marion................ Pittsburgh.......... Springfield.......... Toledo................. Wheeling............. Cattle 1923 1922 28,066 27,641 13,383 11,986 65 73 2,140 2,107 1,000 1,335 72 88 38,636 59,340 131 75 853 759 764 427 Cincinnati........... Cleveland............ Columbus............ Fostoria............... Marion................ Pittsburgh.......... Springfield.......... Toledo................. Wheeling............. 12,924 12,780 12,493 11,162 24 29 61 55 18 88 7,044 6,214 54 51 436 764 427 Hogs Sheep 1922 1923 1923 1922 149,050 136,716 9,169 9,330 145,895 106,431 46,003 45,918 9,418 6,951 1 178 16,071 13,526 467 327 13,210 12,703 1,378 2,235 10,071 11,230 1,198 532 324,086 288,402 56,572 60,785 8,626 7,694 1,211 1,380 12,125 17,591 1,719 1,623 3,016 3,104 354 355 Purchases for Local Slaughter 73,252 64,302 3,966 4,726 123,055 82,794 8,161 19,221 116 36 1 66 1,018 160 5 18 1,947 3,030 24 13 62,159 60,739 9,966 9,062 454 239 5 133 1,540 199 3,016 3,104 354 355 Calves 1923 1922 9,186 9,589 11,925 9,930 247 223 668 656 467 433 117 152 37,164 24,512 238 208 401 676 1,530 1,089 5,261 10,997 208 43 59 7,533 12 154 1,530 Cars Unloaded 1923 1922 2,110 1,991 2,113 1,943 27 17 45 ” 40 4,705 5,890 131 40 225 28 4,483 9,604 44 25 116 6,738 35 1,089 Wholesale Trade Percentage Increase (or Decrease) in Net Sales During November, 1923, as Compared with October, 1923, and November, 1922 Dry Goods Hardware Net Sales (selling price) during November, 1923, compared with October, 1923........................................................................ . . . — 15.7 — 16.4 Net Sales (selling price) during November, 1923, compared with November, 1.9 1922..........................................................................— 4.0 Drugs Groceries — 9.3 — 10.1 3.6 4.0 THE 10 MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW Comparative Statement of Selected Member Banks in Fourth District Dec. 12, 1923 (81 Banks) Nov. 14, 1923 (81 Banks) Loans and Discounts secured by U. S. Govern ment obligations.............................................. $ 27,863,000 $ 27,661,000 Loans and Discounts secured by other stocks and 409.223.000 402.558.000 bonds................................................................ 693.806.000 696.101.000 Loans and Discounts, all other............................. 47.237.000 U. S. Pre-War Bonds............................................. 47.982.000 112.235.000 116.416.000 U. S. Liberty Bonds............................................... 4.462.000 4.499.000 U. S. Treasury Bonds............................................. 55.907.000 U. S. Treasury Notes............................................. 56.559.000 4.752.000 U. S. Certificates of Indebtedness........................ 5.491.000 299.511.000 Other Bonds, Stocks, and Securities.................... 294.241.000 1.654.996.000 1.651.508.000 Total Loans, Discounts and Investments............ 109.167.000 Reserve with Federal Reserve Bank.................... 110.445.000 36.405.000 Cash in Vault.......................................................... 32.747.000 901.985.000 Net Demand Deposits........................................... 893.506.000 601.256.000 Time Deposits......................................................... 602.322.000 4.040.000 Government Deposits............................................ 8.757.000 2.106.412.000 2.097.169.000 Total Resources on date of this report................ Increase $ 202,000 Decrease $ 6,665,000 5.270.000 3.488.000 3.658.000 8.479.000 9,243,000 2.295.000 745.000 4. 181.000 37,000 652.000 739.000 1,278,000 1,066,000 4, 717,000 Building Operations for Month of November, 1923-1922 Permits Issued New Construction Alterations 1923 1922 1923 1922 267 40 Akron.......... 170 42 $ 216 76 162 49 Canton. . . . . 335 371 197 265 Cincinnati... 716 1,009 801 752 Cleveland*.. 104 392 315 67 Columbus... 165 175 91 Dayton........ 63 86 26 17 129 Erie.............. 17 38 18 22 Lexington. . . 97 Pittsburgh. . 448 353 84 13 64 54 13 Springfield. . 327 234 132 Toledo......... 103 57 26 Wheeling___ 37 25 168 128 22 20 Youngstown. Valuation Increase or Decrease New Construction Alterations 1922 1923 1923 1922 Arnount Per C e" t 399,600 $ 180,634 $ 76,395 $ 66,915 $ 228,446 92 580,964 491,640 36,605 19,639 72,358 - 1 2 o 2,380,515 1,167,675 284,845 335,925 -1,263,920 - 4 6 5,354,103 9,063,287 942,810 1,298,700 3,353 294 50 f 822,865 734.180 189,420 143,535 42 800 _ 4 1 350,105 384,408 115,477 121,846 27,934 5 t 151,040 299,900 19,475 45,525 122,810 62 ? 65,405 122,980 9,925 3,860 63,640 91 o 2,173,582 2,130,888 135,735 104,376 11 335 - 0 ? 79,900 50,200 6,900 3,875 26 676 - 3 1 f 466,630 1,164,048 104,125 78,977 722,565 132 | 101,435 154,223 22,914 14,975 60,727 52 % 353,050 388.180 48,620 14,825 68,925 18 y T o ta l... 3,386 2,839 1,851 1,522 $16,551,209 $13,060,228 $1,993,246 $2,252,973 $3 231 ^54 * Includes figures for East Cleveland, Lakewood, Cleveland Heights, and Shaker Heights/ ~ Department Store Sales (1) (2) Percentage of Increase or Decrease Comparison o f net sales with those of corresponding period last year Akron.............. Canton........... Cincinnati....... Cleveland........ Columbus........ Dayton............ Pittsburgh. . . . Toledo............. Youngstown... District............ U.S. Average •Includes B July 1 to Nov. 30 4.5 — 1.7 16.3 15.1 18.8 14.5 12.2 10.7 10.6 2.1 11.2 10.3 15.4 9.9 14.0 13.0 24.4 21.4 14.1 10.3 9 .4 6.8 three reports from other cities. No. of Reports 4 3 9 5 6 3 6 4 3 46* A November Stocks at end o f month com pared with A November 1922 9 .6 7.0 13.7 16.5 10.0 8.2 20.2 31.7 27.4 17.9 13.3 B October 1923 1.6 2.3 -0 .5 2.2 1.8 —0 .1 3.1 1.3 7.4 2.1 21.0 P (3) „ (4> Percentage o Percentage o average stocks out st a t i di ng at end of each orders at end o f month f r o m November July 1 to No 1923, to total vember 30 to purchases dur. average month ing calendar ly sales over year 1922 same period 412.9 727.3 473.6 388.0 436.8 437.8 400.9 385.1 283.0 410.7 403.0 10.0 5.5 6.3 6.1 9.4 7.6 5.7 8.5 6.9 6.5 THE MONTHLY BUSINESS REVIEW 11 Summary o f Business and Credit Conditions in the United States ___________ _By the Federal Reserve Board ~T**o E =p ,rv I Production of basic commodities and factory employment decreased in November. Distribution of merchandise by wholesalers and retailers was some what less active, and wholesale prices showed a slight further recession. /Y PRODUCTION ~r.: : IE Production in basic industries decreased about 2 per cent in November. The decline was due chiefly to reduced production of iron and steel, and smaller sugar meltings. The Federal Reserve Board’s new index of factory employment which is shown by the accompanying chart also declined, due to lessened activity at iron and steel plants and large seasonal reductions at clothing establishments. The volume of employment is now 2 per cent smaller than in the spring but 3 per cent larger than a year ago. Contract awards for new buildings were smaller in November than in October in all reporting districts except New York but were 20 per cent larger than a year ago. Final estimates by the Department of Agriculture show larger yields of corn, oats, tobacco, and cotton than in 1922, and smaller yields of wheat, hay, and potatoes. The total value of agricultural production at December first prices was 12 per cent larger than in 1922. Each of the ten principal crops except wheat showed an increase in value. TRADE Railroad freight shipments in November showed about the usual seasonal decline from October but were in heavier volume as compared with previous years. Wholesale trade was 13 per cent less in November than in October, which is more than the usual decrease at this season, but sales continued to be slightly larger than a year ago. Sales of hardware, drugs* and meat were larger than in November, 1922, while sales of shoes were smaller. Retail business was smaller than in October in most lines. Sales of mail order houses declined more than sales of department stores, but were 11 per cent larger than a year ago. PRICES The Bureau of Labor statistics index of wholesale prices declined in Novem ber to a point 4 per cent lower than last spring and about 3 per cent lower than a year ago. The chief reductions occurred in prices of animal products, fuel and house furnishings. Prices of clothing and crops, on the other hand, increased and the latter group averaged higher than in any month since 1920. During the first half of December prices of sheep, beef, sugar, cotton, silk, and rubber declined, while quotations on crude oil, wheat, and wool were slightly higher. BANK CREDIT The total volume of credit extended by member banks in leading cities showed but little change between the middle of November and the middle of December. A seasonal reduction in commercial and agricultural loans in most districts was accompanied by increased loans on securities, with the result that total loans remained practically constant. During the same period borrowings at the Federal Reserve banks were also practically unchanged. Holdings of acceptances increased somewhat, partly in connection with the financing of cotton exports. The increased demand for currency for holiday trade was reflected in both a moderate expansion in Federal Reserve note circulation and a reduction in gold certificates held by the Reserve banks. Rates on commercial paper sold in the open market continue to show an easier tendency, as indicated by increased sales at 444 per cent, particularly in interior districts. The December issues of one year 4*/i per cent and six months' 4 per cent treasury certificates, compared with per cent on a six months’ istfue sold in September, were largely oversubscribed. FOURTH FEDERAL BESEBVE D IS T R IC T _ r * fcCMTu ------------------------- BOUNDARY Of OISTftlCT — — BOUNDARIES OF BRANCH T d U lT O H lE S --------- — BOUNOAfcltS Of STA TES <§> F£D£EAL HCSCItVC 6ANIC CITY O fCOfftAU ItESCatfl eRANCN CITIES